 It was also noted that at least half of the tropical cyclones reach hurricane force and become Category 3 Severe Tropical Cyclones.The Island Climate Outlook predicted that the first tropical cyclone of the season could occur, before the end of November or about a month earlier than usual.The 2006–07 South Pacific cyclone season got off to an early start with a tropical disturbance developing into Cyclone Xavier, late on October 21.