 Seligman offered a hypothetical jar filled with 331 blue marbles (representing the number of Conservative MPs at the time) and 269 red marbles (representing the number of Labor MPs) from which a blindfolded observer draws six marbles.The probability that all six would be blue (meaning that all six scandals would be tied to Conservative MPs) was 2.76%.A resident of Manhattan, Seligman died at age 84 on January 31, 2009 from multiple myeloma.