However, the development narrative surrounding LAPSSET remains controversial in its assumptions, not least because it is being promoted in the context of a highly complex and dynamic social, economic and biophysical setting . Some of the key trends driving contemporary and likely future change in dryland regions are changing household organisation, evolving customary rules and institutions at local and community levels, and shifting cultures and aspirations . Dryland regions are also witnessing demographic growth and change in land use patterns linked to shifts in the composition of livestock , a decrease in nomadic and increase in semi-nomadic pastoralism, and transition to more urban and sedentary livelihoods . At a landscape level, land is becoming more fragmented and enclosed, often associated with increases in subsistence and commercial agriculture and the establishment of conservancies and other group or private land holdings . In addition, there are political dynamics associated with Kenya Vision 2030 and decentralisation, the influence of
IPCC
Climate Change 2022: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability
IPCC Report