Projections of future crime derived from the empirical relation- ships between temperature and crime in the USA show the potential for increased criminality under RCP8.5 compared with RCP4.5 . For RCP8.5, holding all socioeconomic conditions at 2015 levels, violent crime could increase 0.6-2.1% by mid-century and 1.9-4.5% by late century . The rise in property crime is projected to be smaller as property crime flattens at higher temperatures . Using relation- ships between crime and monthly temperatures established for five US regions by Harp and Karnauskas , Harp and Karnauskas  project 18,800 additional violent crimes annually beyond 2014 levels by the end of the 21st century under 1.5℃ warming, rising to 48,200 under 4℃ warming. Aggregating data by states weighted by population density, Mares and Moffett  project an average an- nual increase of 0.94% across seven categories of violent and prop- erty crime for each anomalous degree Celsius of warming . Changing socioeconomic conditions in the future may either reduce or exacerbate the projected contemporaneous relationship between temperature anomalies and crime , whereas adaptation could weaken these relationships.
IPCC
Climate Change 2022: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability
IPCC Report