During the long rainy season, there is low confidence in projected mean rainfall change . Although some studies report projected increased end of century rainfall , the mechanisms responsible for this are not well-understood and a recent regional model study has detected no significant change . Projected wetting is opposite to the observed drying trends, giving rise to the 'east African rainfall paradox' . In other parts of east Africa, no significant trend is evident , agreement on the sign of change is low, and in some regions, CMIP5 and CORDEX data show opposite signs of change .
IPCC
Climate Change 2022: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability
IPCC Report