Literature that assesses trends of poverty and vulnerability, as well as exposure to climate change, reveals that geographic patterns of poverty and vulnerability are uneven and changing over time . However, a robust finding of different studies is that population growth in most vulnerable country groups and regions 'is' and 'will be' significantly higher in the future compared to population growth in countries classified as having low vulnerability . In summary, a significant increase of population is expected in highly vulnerable countries in the future. In addition, global studies predict that, by 2030, almost 50% of the world's poor will be living in countries affected by state fragility, conflict and violence .
IPCC
Climate Change 2022: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability
IPCC Report