This article analyzes the sensitivity of electricity demand by sector to temperature, in the context of climate change. The paper outlines a methodology to incorporate climate variables into energy decision making. This methodology is based on the evolution of the thermal distance on cold and warm days with respect to established thresholds (Heating Degree Days and Cooling Degree Days) and its influence on demand. This approach has been tested in the Basque Country. Results show that the residential sector is the most sensitive to these changes, and future demand is projected according to multiple climate change scenarios. Due to the greater statistical significance of temperature differences on cold days, and the current limited use of air conditioning, it is estimated that residential demand could fall by as much as 4%, which could translate to nearly 20 million euros in annual savings and emission reductions of around 30,000 t. of CO2 per year.
Solaun, K; Cerdá, E
THE INFLUENCE OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON ELECTRICITY DEMAND. CASE STUDY IN THE BASQUE COUNTRY
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