If uncertainties can be quantified, the framework involves a further option of characterising assessment findings with likelihood terms or more precise presentations of probability . The relevant probabilities can pertain to single events or broader outcomes. Probabilistic judgements can be based on statistical or modelling analyses, elicitation of expert views or other quantitative analyses. Where appropriate, authors can present probability more precisely with complete probability distributions or percentile ranges, also considering tails of distributions important for risk management. Usually, likelihood assignments are underpinned by high or very high confidence in the findings.
IPCC
Climate Change 2022: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability
IPCC Report