Due to the rapid warming at high northern latitudes, the Arctic tundra is one of the terrestrial biomes where climate change impacts are already clearly visible . Climate models project that warming of the Arctic is likely to continue at more than double the global rate. Compared to the period 1995-2014, mean annual surface air temperatures in the Arctic tundra are projected to increase by 7.9ºC-10°C by the end of the century in scenarios of high GHG emissions . In scenarios of low GHG emissions , the projected increase is 2.6°C-3.2°℃ . The Arctic is also projected to have amongst the largest increases in precipitation globally, but with high uncertainty. In contrast to climate change, LUC is projected to be very low in Arctic tundra systems .
IPCC
Climate Change 2022: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability
IPCC Report