Early warning systems are a potentially valuable tool in adapting to climate-related risks associated with infectious diseases when based on forecasts with high skill and when there are effective responses within the time frame of the forecast . Through advanced seasonal weather forecasting that draws upon established associations between weather/climate and infection/transmission conditions, conditions conducive to disease outbreaks can be identified months in advance, providing time to implement effective population health responses . Most current early warning systems are focused on malaria and dengue but there are examples for other diseases, such as an early warning system developed for Vibrios monitoring in the Baltic Sea . An early warning system for dengue outbreaks in Colombia based on temperature, precipitation and humidity successfully detected 75% of all outbreaks between one and five months in advance, detecting 12.5% in the same month . Dengue warning systems in Brazil, Malaysia and Mexico have generated satisfactory results . An effective early warning system for malaria was implemented in the Amhara region of Ethiopia .
IPCC
Climate Change 2022: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability
IPCC Report