to lower-emission scenarios . Incidence of malaria in Madagascar is projected to increase under RCP4.5 through RCP8.5 . Distribution of P. vivax and P. falciparum malaria in China is likely to increase under RCPs higher than 2.6, especially RCP8.5 . In India, projected scenarios for the 2030s under RCP4.5 indicate changes in the spatial distribution of malaria, with new foci and potential outbreaks in the Himalayan region, southern and eastern states, and an overall increase in months suitable for transmission overall, with some other areas experiencing a reduction in transmission months .
IPCC
Climate Change 2022: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability
IPCC Report