Increases in the extent, severity and duration of fires are expected in all peatland regions in the future due to temperature increases , changes in precipitation patterns  and increases in ignition sources  , with associated rapid carbon losses to the atmosphere  . For example, drought has been linked to fires in Southeast Asian peatlands  and there are predicted decreases in mean summer precipitation  for high and low RCPs, particularly over the Indonesian region, by the mid and late 21st century  . During wet years, the fire probability in Indonesian peatlands also significantly increases  when temperatures in July to October surpass 0.5°C anomalies compared to the 1995-2015 baseline . Overall, current evidence suggests that peat carbon losses via fire have the potential to be equal to, or greater than, losses due to human peatland drainage and disturbance  .
IPCC
Climate Change 2022: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability
IPCC Report