associated with minimum monthly temperature , and the geographic range of the vector in the USA is restricted, in part, by low temperatures. Thus, a northward range expansion is projected; however, future dengue risk also depends on built environments and competition with other mosquito species . Climate change is projected to increase the geographic range and extend the seasonal activity of the dengue vector in the southern USA by 2045-2065 ; however, transmission is projected to be limited by low winter temperatures in the mainland USA, potentially preventing its permanent establishment . In Mexico, increased dengue cases are projected this century  .
IPCC
Climate Change 2022: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability
IPCC Report