At 1.5°C, 2°℃ and 3ºC of global warming above pre-industrial levels, mean annual temperatures in east Africa are projected to be on average, 0.6°C, 1.1°C and 2.1°C warmer than the 1994-2005 average, respectively . Highest increases are projected over the northern and central parts of the region and the lowest increase over the coastal regions . The magnitude and frequency of hot days are projected to increase from GWL 2°C and above with larger increases at higher GWLs . At GWL 4.6°C a number of east African cities are projected to have an up to 2000-fold increase in exposure to dangerous heat (days
IPCC
Climate Change 2022: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability
IPCC Report