The natural variations of climatic system, as well as the potential influence of human activity on global warming, have changed the hydrologic cycle and threatened current water resources management. And the conflicts between different objectives in reservoir operation may become more and more challenging because of the impact of climate change. This study aims at deriving multi-objective operating rules to adapt to climate change and alleviate the conflicts. By combining the reservoir operation function and operating rule curves, an adaptive multi-objective operation model was proposed and developed. The optimal operating rules derived both by dynamic programming and NSGA-II method were compared and discussed. The projection pursuit method was used to select the best operating rules. The results demonstrate that the reservoir operating rules obtained by NSGA-II can increase the power generation and water supply yield and reliability, and the rules focusing on water supply can significantly increase the reservoir annual water supply yield (by 18.7 %). It is shown that the proposed model would be effective in reservoir operation under climate change.
Yang, G; Guo, SL; Li, LP; Hong, XJ; Wang, L
Multi-Objective Operating Rules for Danjiangkou Reservoir Under Climate Change
Water Resources Management