system
A chat on subreddit /r/PoliticalCompassMemes
human
This flaw in analysis is so bad.  From what I understand, you arrive at these numbers by dividing the number of people in the demographic by the number of murders done by the demographic.  This assumes every murder only ever kills one person, and that's extremely askew of reality.

I see feminists do the same thing for rape statistics to demonize men, and that's an even worse situation because the average rapist commits far more rapes than the average murderer commits murders.

The fact is, people are really bad at giving honest arguments based on statistics because it is so easy to bend numbers out of context into your bias without even realizing it.
gpt
Recidvisim is &lt;2% for murderers. It's possible the distribution is taily, but for the rate to drop from 4.5% to even 3%, the average recidivist would need to commit 26 murders\*.

We don't have enough serial killers, for that to be the issue here.

\* 26 = (0.045/0.03 - 0.98\*1)/0.02