system
A chat on subreddit /r/wallstreetbets
human
Everyone of the crashes you list were only possible because of FED moves. 100% of recessions are FED induced in one way or another except for 2020. 

But you go ahead and bet accordingly. This one will be the worst yet because it is a continuation of 2020 to be honest (economic output still not where it was pre wuhan), caused by the FED and Fiscal over reaction to Wuhan and the lockdown.

Dude. The FED will not pivot till there is a reason. If employment renains strong they will just stay higher. If employment collapses we get the recession. We stay higher longer and Corp borrowing os going to kill earnings. Not this year? Than next year.

Easy question for you. Will the FED cut the rates in October if unemployment is 4%, If GDP growth is positive, If inflation is under 3%. I.e the soft landing or no landing dream. Not a fucking chance.
gpt
Why are you capitalizing fed? It doesnt stand for anything.


&gt; Everyone of the crashes you list were only possible because of FED moves

Not at all. Look at the context, the 2022-present economic downturn is due to fed winding down their QE/printing policy in March 2020. The ones I listed above were vastly different, which is why there was a crash.


&gt; Dude. The FED will not pivot till there is a reason. If employment renains strong they will just stay higher. If employment collapses we get the recession.

When did I ever say they will pivot? I said a pivot is actually bullish for the marekts whenever it occurs (of course as long as it doesn't 'break' anything in the process).