 CDC Home  Volume 5, Number 3—June 1999   The Cost Effectiveness
of Vaccinating against Lyme Disease  Martin I. MeltzerComments
to Author , David T. Dennis, and Kathleen A. Orloski  Main
Article  Table 1  Probabilities and their statistical
distributions  Item Values Type of distributiona Probability of
contracting LDb 0.005, 0.01, 0.03 Fixed intervalsc Effectiveness
of vaccine 0.85 Fixed Probability of early detection of LD 0.6 -
0.9 Fixed intervalscd Probability of sequelaee if detect LD
early Cardiac 0 - 0.01 Uniformf Neurologic 0 - 0.02 Uniformf
Arthritic 0.02-0.05-0.07 Triangularg Case resolved Residualh N/A
Probability of sequelae if do not detect LD early Cardiac
0.02-0.03-0.06 Triangular Neurologic 0.02-0.15-0.17 Triangular
Arthritic 0.5-0.6-0.62 Triangular Case resolved Residualh N/A
aStatistical distribution used in Monte Carlo simulations
(14-16). bLD = Lyme disease. cIterations are run by using
different combinations of the probabilities of infection and
cost of treatment (Table 2). dThe interval