@techreport{NBERw10739, title = "The Dynamics of Criminal
Behavior: Evidence from Weather Shocks", author = "Brian Jacob
and Lars Lefgren and Enrico Moretti", institution = "National
Bureau of Economic Research", type = "Working Paper", series =
"Working Paper Series", number = "10739", year = "2004", month =
"September", doi = {10.3386/w10739}, URL =
"http://www.nber.org/papers/w10739", abstract = {The persistence
of criminal activity is well documented. While such serial
correlation may be evidence of social interactions in the
production of crime, it may also be due to the persistence of
unobserved determinants of crime. Moreover, there are good
reasons to believe that, particularly over a short time horizon,
there may actually be a negative relationship between crime
rates in a particular area due to displacement. In this paper,
we exploit the correlation between weather and crime to examine
the short-run dynamics of criminal behavior. Drawing on crime-
level data from the FBI's National Incident-Based Rep