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watch One-Minute World News Last Updated: Thursday, 3 August
2006, 11:46 GMT 12:46 UK Iraq civil war warning for Blair
William Patey The position is not hopeless but will be "messy",
says Mr Patey Civil war is a more likely outcome in Iraq than
democracy, Britain's outgoing ambassador in Baghdad has warned
Tony Blair in a confidential memo.  William Patey, who left the
Iraqi capital last week, also predicted the break-up of Iraq
along ethnic lines.  He did also say that "the position is not
hopeless" - but said it would be "messy" for five to 10 years.
Mr Blair said the violence was designed to put extremists in
charge rather than leaders committed to democracy.  "What should
our response be? However difficult it is, stay the course, stand
up for those people who want democracy, stand up for those
people who are fighting sectarianism, stand up for a different
vision of the Middle East based on democracy, liberty, the rule
of law," he told reporters