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Analysis Clubs / Macro Economic Trends and Risks   Subject:  Re:
Catastrophe theory, instability, risk Date:  10/10/2012  2:32 PM
Author:  yodaorange Number:  405703 of 440082  I have added my
answers to Wendy’s excellent questions. My apologies for not
better explaining my position in the first post.  Does this mean
that you are now a bull?  No, I certainly am not a bull. I try
to always consider a range of outcomes. My median expectation is
a broadly flat market for the next 5 to 10 years. Jeremy
Grantham published his latest 7 year market forecast yesterday
(10/9/12). [1] He is forecasting the SP 500 to return 0.0% real
assuming 2.2% inflation. I agree with his forecast.  Do you
believe that the Fed's QE infinity forever will control the
business cycle, over leverage, malinvestment bubbles?  I would
not use the work control, but given 5 to 10 years, the Fed’s
goal is to “moderate” the business cycle, over leverage and
malinvestment. Instead of fo