Ice Modeling of Lake Superior en Copyright 2013 Tue, 21 Apr 2009
14:00:54 -0600 2008 simulation  2008 Movie  is a link to a video
of the surface temperature during the 2008 season. This is more
of a test than anything else.   ]]> results Tue, 21 Apr 2009
14:00:54 -0600 model sensitivity result Here's an early model
sensitivity result from a series of runs I just did. I tested
the model's sensitivity to two parameters:  1. The initial
starting temperature: The base case has a uniform initial
temperature of 3.8C, and I did two runs where everything else is
identical, but I use an initial temperature of 2.8C or 4.8C.
These are HUGE swings in initial heat content, but not
completely unrealistic, based on observational data. 2. The air
temperature. For the base case, I use a forcing field of AT,
then I did two runs where I added and subtracted 1C.  I present
the results in two different fashions:  1. Heat content, scaled
to average temperature 2. Surface temperature at the location of
the western NOAA buoy.  here