For expert on migration, a lifelong interest in it

David FitzGerald is a sociology professor and associate director of the Center for Comparative Immigration Studies at the University of California San Diego. He studies a broad range of immigration issues, including international migration, transnationalism, comparative immigration and nationality laws.

FitzGerald, 39, earned his master’s and doctorate degrees in sociology from UCLA and a master’s degree in Latin American studies from UC San Diego.

Q: Why are you engaged in this wide area of research?

A: I’ve been interested in migration my whole life. I grew up in the Middle East, where my father worked as a doctor. Crossing borders was part of my everyday experience. As a researcher, I’m fascinated by how different kinds of physical and legal borders develop. A society’s values are reflected in its immigration policy.

Q: In 2009, you co-edited the book “Mexican Migration and the U.S. Economic Crisis.” Studies show that migration has slowed since the Great Recession. Will it rebound, and what other factors are at play?

A: New arrivals from Mexico dropped 60 percent from 2006 to 2010. The main reason for this drop is the weak U.S. economy. The second-most-important factor is increased U.S. border enforcement. Surveys conducted by the center show that more than 95 percent of migrants from Mexico who attempt to enter illegally eventually succeed, even if about a third are apprehended by the Border Patrol. However, U.S. border enforcement strategy is pushing migrants into ever-more-dangerous wilderness areas. Our surveys show that many potential migrants are so afraid of the risks of crossing clandestinely that they are staying in Mexico.

If and when the U.S. economy starts creating more jobs, I expect immigration rates from Mexico to rise. But I don’t think they will reach the historically high levels that they did in the early 2000s. First, fertility rates in Mexico have fallen dramatically, from seven babies per woman in 1960 to 2.4 babies per woman in 2009. That means that over time, the relative number of young people entering the Mexican workforce, the demographic group most likely to migrate to the U.S., will decline. Second, border enforcement is driving up the risks and costs of unauthorized immigration, which will limit the ability of people in Mexico who are very poor and who don’t have close relatives in the U.S. to migrate illegally.

Q: Is it possible enough time could pass that those in Mexico and Latin America lose ties with the U.S. and stop coming?

A: There are many examples of emigration rates dwindling in countries that were once major countries of origin. Think of Italy, Spain and South Korea in the last 50 years, not to mention Germany and Scandinavia in the 19th century. For emigration to stop from Latin American countries, their economies would have to grow much faster than the U.S. over many decades. Even if the wage gap narrowed, social ties across the border are so strong that family reunification migration would continue for years after the economic rationale to migrate had diminished.


