Climate Risk Indicators

Projections of climate change are associated with uncertainties. Often, a mean estimate of model projections is used to identify likely pathways of climate change, with little focus the representation of low probability-high impact events. In this work area, we focus on providing indicators of high-end risks, which have the potential to severely disrupt important societal sectors and affect a large number of people.


This United Nations Development Programme report, commissioned by the Climate Vulnerable Forum, focuses on the benefits and opportunities of limiting warming to 1.5°C, as enshrined in the Paris Agreement, in terms of economic growth, employment, avoided climate impacts, energy security, access and imports and health.