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From http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Future_of_the_Earth#Solar_evolution


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So mathematically speaking, what in the fusion-burning equations suggests that the Sun's luminosity will accelerate with respect to time?

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This is a multi-stage problem. First, You have to agree with the fact, that the more the core contracts, the more the total energy radiated by it will be high. This results from:

  • when you divide the radius of the core by 2, density profile remaining constant (which is a poor approximation, but I use it here for the sake of simplicity), the gravitational force inside the core will be twice as high (as all distances are divided by 2);
  • the surface will be divided by 4
  • the pressure needed to support everything in the core will double to support gravity
  • the temperature will rise accordingly
  • the radiated energy, as sigma*T^4, will rise...16 times

So the more a "usual star" is compact, the more it will radiate energy. This is not true for white dwarfs, because it is degenerescence pressure of the electron gas that keeps it from collapsing. To comment about the radiuses of stars, as there is more radiated energy, either the star becomes bluer (blue giants), or it becomes bigger and keeps the same surface temperature, or less, which will happen for the sun (will simply inflate, then become a red giant). Now about the fusion reactions: their dependance to temperature is very, very sharp, sometimes T^17 locally. This means that only a relatively small contraction of the core will be enough to rise temperature enough for the fusion reactions to accelerate enough to...sustain the temperature, although radiated energy has increased. As you can guess it, the radiated energy, when the density distribution does not change a lot, must be in equilibrium with the energy from nuclear fusion. So as there is more radiated energy (more luminosity - if the neutrino emission rate keeps constant, as it is the cas while the primary reaction is still H+H->He), there must be an increased rate of burning Hydrogen.

So, even with the rate kept constant, it would have taken less time to go from 50% hydrogen to 25% hydrogen than from 100% to 50%: the same absolute mass of hydrogen represents a bigger fraction of the total amount of hydrogen in the star, the later you measure it. Because of that, as the necessary increase in reaction speed (nuclear reaction constants) comes from rarefaction of Hydrogen, a rarefaction of 20% will happen in less and less time. If a rarefaction of 20% correspond to an increase in luminosity of, say, 10%, then as the next 20% rarefaction in Hydrogen will happen faster, the next relative increase of 10% in luminosity will happen faster too.

All I said is true with a constant overall Hydrogen destruction rate. As I said, radiated energy increases, so the Hydrogen must be consumed faster and faster: luminosity will accelerate even faster because of that.

Finally, when main fuel changes from Hydrogen to Helium, the energy released per unit mass will decrease, so the contractions of the core will become more intense, accelerating...the acceleration.

I hope I didn't make too many mistakes in my speech, I am not very familiar with astrophysics, only had some lectures about it. And I hope it is...understandable!

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