Biden Maintains Lead In Key Swing States.
TEXT: LET'S GET AFTER IT.</s>CUOMO: All right. We're going to cover Trump and Biden a lot, probably close to daily. I mean, we're coming right up to the election. What about Biden versus Clinton? "What? What?" Hillary Clinton losing four years ago surprised a hell of a lot of people, right? So, the Wizard of Odds wants to look at the numbers behind why Trump versus Clinton is not Trump versus Biden. Hello, my brother, Harry Enten. What do you have for us today? No secret, Biden is in better shape than Clinton. Tell us why.</s>HARRY ENTEN, CNN POLITICS SENIOR WRITER & ANALYST: Yes, I mean, it starts off really just by looking at the national polls. Look at where we are right now compared to four years ago on this date. What you see is that Biden's lead nationally is not only more than double what Clinton's lead was, at this point, but Biden is over 50 percent. Clinton never got anywhere close to that. When you look at the polls, and you're honest with yourself, there's only one conclusion to reach, Christopher, and that is that Joe Biden is in a significantly better position right now than Hillary Clinton was at four years ago at this point.</s>CUOMO: Popular vote pizza (ph). Swing states, please. Yes, I know. This is your thing all the time, right, the swing states.</s>ENTEN: Here's the key nugget, right? Look at these key swing states. Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and look at where Joe Biden is. He is up in all of them. And I know we had this discussion on Tuesday night, "Oh, the race is closing." Look at where we are right now compared to a month ago in those states. All of those polling averages are within a point of where we were last month, and in all of those key states, Joe Biden has a 5-point lead or better.</s>CUOMO: If you take the MOE into consideration, is it more than a 3- point to 4-point race anywhere?</s>ENTEN: I mean, look, if you look at those swing states, and you take into account the margin of error, of course it might be closer than these averages indicate. But that is the reason why we take an average, right Chris? It helps to shrink that margin of error and gives us more confidence in these results. There have been a ton of polls conducted in these states, specifically in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. And the fact is in the polls that I trust most often, Joe Biden pretty much has never trailed in any of these states, at least over the last six months.</s>CUOMO: Florida, not on your list. Does it matter still as much as always?</s>ENTEN: I mean Florida matters. Look, if you're Joe Biden, you want to win in the State of Florida, right? If you win in Florida, Donald Trump pretty much has no map to win. But we have a slide up here, if we can just flash-forward to it that shows the electoral map. And this gives you a really indication. If you just give Joe Biden in the states, where his lead was at least 5 points in August and September, he gets to 279 electoral votes. That is enough to win, and that is without Florida. Florida is great for Joe Biden, but he doesn't need it to the same extent that Donald Trump does.</s>CUOMO: What this past week shows us is we are a lot farther away than just the days count. This is about moments, transition, the debate, a little bit, but there's a lot that can happen that will change these numbers one way or the other. Harry Enten will be along for the ride. Thank you very much. And we'll be right back.</s>ENTEN: I'll be riding shotgun with you.</s>CUOMO: Yay! We'll be back.</s>TEXT: CUOMO PRIME TIME.