Hillary's Struggles with Young Voters
BERMAN: Bernie Sanders is on top of the world this morning, beating Hillary Clinton in New Hampshire by more than 20 points. How did he do so well? How did she do so poorly?</s>HARLOW: That is the big question, the question being debated on both those planes. I guarantee it right about now. Jeremy Diamond, Chris Frates, Carl Bernstein, Josh Rogin back with us. Josh Rogin, to you. When we look at Sanders, sources telling CNN tonight that his camp takes this win, big win tonight, maps out the next six weeks, looks at all of these other states. Looking Michigan very closely right now. Minnesota, places where they don't go to the polls for, you know, three, four weeks' time. And some look at this and say, are we at a Bernie peak? Where do you, where do you fall on that?</s>ROGIN: Well, I think that there's a realization inside the Sanders' campaign that they can't ramp up and take advantage of all of the new money, the new support they have right away. It takes time to build infrastructure. So by projecting that they're working on the states that are a little further out, they can lower expectations for the states coming up, namely South Carolina and Nevada, states that Hillary Clinton is, by the way, favored to win heavily because of structural and political realities that go beyond what's happened in the last couple of weeks. So they can...</s>HARLOW: Depending on how the voter may feel. The electorate look so much different than in Iowa and New Hampshire.</s>ROGIN: Exactly. Plus... And, and Hillary Clinton has done well in South Carolina before. The Clintons have a big infrastructure there, they have a lot of support there. So Bernie Sanders is trying to capitalize, take all of the new political and financial capital, and spend it down wisely. If he spends it fast and then comes up short, it'll be over. But if he spends it slowly, and then projects wins out in the March and April timeframe, he can keep the narrative alive, keep the money coming in, and sort of stave off the down turn that's coming next week.</s>BERMAN: Keep your eye on Nevada though. It comes first for the Democrats, it's a caucus state, which means organization matters. Bernie Sanders has been up on TV there, he sent people in, paid staffers. He could do better than expected in Nevada. I want to play some sound from Hillary Clinton here because you know her well. You've studied her for a long time. She was talking tonight in her speech, and she focused on the young voters, the young voters who are running away from her in almost unimaginable numbers. I mean she lost -- Bernie Sanders won like, what? Ninety-one percent of younger voters. And Hillary Clinton knows that and she talked about it in her concession speech tonight.</s>CLINTON: I know I have some work to do, particularly with young people. But I will repeat again what I have said this week.</s>BERMAN: So got the number wrong, Carl, I got the number wrong. It's 83 percent of the younger vote that Bernie Sanders won. It's still a lot. You heard Hillary Clinton say she knows what it's like to stumble and fall down and get back up again. What does this mean</s>BERNSTEIN: She does. It's a line, it's a line, it's a line from her mother, from her childhood, and indeed Hillary Clinton has done this throughout her life, both on the public stage and in private. But there's -- we keep hearing from Hillary Clinton a kind of evolved, why I should be President. And when meanwhile, we're seeing Bernie Sanders saying this is a movement I'm building. And she's now up against a movement. And what all those exit polls show, and the anecdotal evidence shows, is that this movement has left her behind, certainly in the states she's competed in so far. And I was fascinated by Randi Kaye's interviews earlier tonight on CNN with some undecided voters in South Carolina, a number of whom were African-Americans who said, oh, I think I want to go with Bernie Sanders. I think we're looking at something that is a real repudiation of Hillary Clinton, of the Clintons, of Clinton fatigue. She might be able to right herself, the demographics still favor her in many ways, but this is a new campaign and Bernie Sanders has tapped into something. We don't know where it's going to go, but it's a different kind of fight, it's for the soul of the party, and part of Hillary's problem is she has come late to the issues that have been defined by Bernie Sanders. That's not to say her whole career in politics, her whole life has been devoted to many of the same causes being espoused by Sanders. But in this campaign, particularly on economic matters and disparity and Wall Street, she is late to the party and that's a big problem.</s>HARLOW: Well, and that's... And that, Carl, that's what she, she pointed out tonight in her speech. She sort of ticked through, and when I worked for the Children's Defense Fund, et cetera, et cetera. Saying here is how I executed on what you're hearing from Bernie Sanders. Chris Frates, to you, looking at Hillary Clinton and the fact that women 30 years old and younger voted or Sanders over Clinton tonight in New Hampshire by a nearly 4 to 1 margin. Couple that with what Carl just said in terms of some of the African-American voters, this so-called firewall for Clinton in South Carolina, may be tipping towards Sanders. What do you do if you're her campaign manager right now?</s>FRATES: Well, I think, you know, she really has to take a hard look. And you saw those stories start to come out in the press that she was thinking about reorganizing that campaign. Keep in mind that those stories are almost job security articles for the Clinton campaign because, now that it's out there, she can't do a whole lot of reshuffling without looking like she's panicked a little bit. But if you're Hillary Clinton, you have to look at that gap, and you saw her bring some heavy hitters. She brought some women Senators to the stage. Amy Kkobuchar. She brought Madeleine Albright, who famously said, you know, there's a special place in hell for women who don't support other women. But younger voters are going towards Bernie Sanders because he represents the left here, and Hillary Clinton, whether it's on the TPP trade deal, whether it's on the Keystone Pipeline, Bernie Sanders has outflanked her, and always says she's coming late to the party, because she's making political calculations and not calculations based on principles. That's hugely problematic for her. And when you look at of course South Carolina, (will) is Clinton country, that's good territory for her. And so is Nevada. But the Sanders' people are making an argument that they have the money. Now, remember, they are raising money almost at the same clip that Hillary Clinton is, and they have an almost bigger advantage, because they're getting smaller donors. As he loves to say, his average donation is $27. That means that donor can give again and again and again. Whereas the Clinton donors are often maxed out. But he can do things in Colorado, Minneapolis, and Minnesota, in Massachusetts. So look for this map to get a lot bigger a lot faster, guys.</s>HARLOW: Well, and also...</s>BERNSTEIN: Poppy, let me interject with one idea here, if I may.</s>HARLOW: Quick, quickly, Carl.</s>BERNSTEIN: And that is the distrust factor. That's what is really undermining Hillary Clinton. It shows in all the exit polls. The server. The, the line that she keeps going to about the vast right wing conspiracy is not working. And that is a big problem for her.</s>HARLOW: And when you look at the money, I was just going to say, the Sanders camp raising $20 million in January, Clinton raising $15 million. And, as Chris points out they're tapping a broader base that is not giving anywhere near the max. Ostensibly you have more to tap. All right, guys, stay with us. A lot more ahead. Bernie Sanders, Hillary Clinton, face to face, the two of them debating in the PBS Democratic National Debate in Wisconsin tomorrow night. You will be able to see it live right here on</s>CNN, 9: 00 pm Eastern. Again, tomorrow night, 9:00 pm Eastern. Bernie Sanders, Hillary Clinton debate.</s>BERMAN: So you want clarity coming out of New Hampshire? Forget about it. The Republican race, it is a mess right now heading to South Carolina. Who has the best shot down there? Who really won and who really lost coming out of New Hampshire? That's next.