Hillary Clinton Big Winner of Democratic Presidential Caucuses in Nevada.
BLITZER: Two presidential contests tonight, two big winners, Donald Trump the big winner in South Carolina, Hillary Clinton the big winner in Nevada. She spoke emotionally after her win.</s>HILLARY CLINTON (D), PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE: Americans are right to be angry but we're also hungry for real solutions. In the campaign, we've heard a lot about Washington and Wall Street, we all want to get secret, an accountable money out of politics that starts with appointing a new justice to the Supreme Court who will protect the right of every citizens who vote, not every corporation to buy elections.</s>BLITZER: Bernie Sanders may have come in second, but he reminded his supporters where he was in the polls only a few months ago.</s>SEN. BERNIE SANDERS (I-VT), DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE: We began in Iowa. We were 50 points behind. When we began in New Hampshire, we were 30 points behind. And we were way behind here in Nevada. But what I think is happening is that as people hear our message -- and it's a tough message because it speaks to the truth of an American society today that a lot of people just don't want to address.</s>BLITZER: Ron Brownstein, the next big Democratic contest is next Saturday in South Carolina primary. Iowa causes doing well there?</s>BROWNSTEIN: Yes, absolutely when you'll see for a further see the biggest participation by African Americans where she won about three- quarters of them tonight in Nevada as well. There was one bit of I think very good news for Bernie Sanders tonight, which is, as I said before, his advantage among younger voters extended into the minority community, always according to the exit poll. There is some question whether his Latino support was as strong as the exit poll said based on the actual voting. But he still -- I think he has two big problems that come out of here. One, is that Hillary Clinton's advantage among older minority voters tonight was even bigger than her advantage among older white voters was in Iowa and New Hampshire, and that is definitely an issue moving forward. The other is he's still not winning Democrats in most places. He didn't won a majority of Democrats in New Hampshire, but tonight he only won 40 percent of Democrats, based on the same number as Iowa. And as John McCain learned in 2000, ultimately, you have to get people in the party whose nomination you want to vote for you because you're going to be the nominee.</s>BLITZER: But to me, he does really well with young people ....</s>BROWNSTEIN: Yes.</s>BLITZER: Although the young people don't vote as big a percentage as older people.</s>HENDERSON: That's right which is a problem. It will be a problem in South Carolina. He's also isn't changing the electorate as much as Obama did in 2008 not bringing in enough new voters. I think it was something like 80,000 voters ...</s>UNIDENTIFIED MALE: As opposed to 120,000 in 2008.</s>HENDERSON: Yes, it supposed to that in 120,000. So that's something. I think tonight we also saw a significant shift in terms of Hillary Clinton.</s>AXELROD: Yes.</s>HENDERSON: She is often the narrator of the Hillary Clinton experience in some of these speeches she gives. Tonight she was the narrator of the Democratic coalition's experience. She immediately pivoted from sort of beating up on Wall Street to voting rights. She said, we, we, we, a lot more in this speech than she has before so I think that's critical to what her message will be moving forward.</s>AXELROD: And very few barbs aimed at Bernie Sanders, that sort of edgy, kind of attack language was not there tonight. And she -- this was a good night for her ...</s>AXELROD: ... by her performance.</s>BLITZER: Did you say barbs or barks?</s>AXELROD: Barbs.</s>BORGER: She sounded to me tonight much more like a general election candidate. I mean, I think she really pivoted away from Bernie Sanders, as you were saying, didn't attack Wall Street as frontally as she has. And you know, I think it was her way of saying, OK, I'm going to get another one under my belt next week, and then I'm moving on from this. And so ...</s>BLITZER: And there was a nice gesture when Bernie Sanders actually called Hillary Clinton to congratulate her to concede. I don't know if that happened on the Republican side ...</s>AXELROD: He did call ...</s>BLITZER: Let's go quickly to John King, he's over the magic wall. He's getting more information over there, John?</s>KING: So Wolf, let's look at today's races and try to project what we learn today as we go forward and let's start with the Democrats. First, just the score, Hillary Clinton wins narrowly in Iowa. Bernie Sanders wins big in New Hampshire. Hillary Clinton wins in Nevada by a decent margin. If you look at the map, you think it's pretty evenly divided, right? The dark blue is Secretary Clinton, the light blue is Senator Sanders but more than seven in 10 Nevada live in poor economy. Las Vegas and the suburbs predominantly she wins by 10 points there just as she did in 2008 took care of the state of Nevada. Now, let's move on to the Republican race, they come to Nevada next. They were in South Carolina tonight. The map speaks for itself. The dark red is Donald Trump. The lighter red is Marco Rubio. He wins two counties. Donald Trump sweeps the state, dumping Ted Cruz up here in the evangelical heartland of the state, winning here in most of the areas where Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich won. Rubio getting a little bit and looks like this will hold by a narrow marginal, just looking at the two counties with outstanding votes. Ted Cruz about 1000 votes away there are -- about 1000 votes away there. But it looks like that will hold for Marco Rubio, who will get the more victory of that. So what's happens next? Now let's stay with the Republicans. One of the reasons this has to be disappointing to Ted Cruz is that this is a state, the deeper the area, the higher percentage of evangelicals. If you bring out the map, Super Tuesday, which comes after Nevada for the Republicans, they go to Nevada. Then, March 1st is Super Tuesday. Not all of Super Tuesday but most of Super Tuesday is fought out down here. If you look at this evangelical vote, this is what Ted Cruz thought would be his wheelhouse and he wanted more momentum than a third-place South Carolina finish to get into here. The question for Ted Cruz is can he regroup in a place where you have a high percentage of evangelicals and also a lot of Tea Party voters, a big challenge for the Cruz campaign going forward. I want to leave up the same map up a switch. The Democrats now come to South Carolina., the deeper the color, the higher the percentage of African-Americans. Hillary Clinton did very well with African-Americans in Nevada tonight. She's going to come into South Carolina where you have a high percentage. Let me just take this up a little bit. High percentage of African Americans, will without a doubt be the majority of the Democratic electorate in South Carolina.</s>BLITZER: That's next Saturday.</s>KING: Next Saturday. And they will be a majority or plurality in many of the Super Tuesday states together. There are a couple Super Tuesday States North of this but in most of the Super Tuesday States down here, you just look. You have a huge percentage of African- Americans. So, some people will question the margin of the Clinton win today, but she's now moving into what should be more favorable territory. And so, opportunity for Hillary Clinton, once South Carolina and then beyond, and questions for the Republicans as they move into that map as well, Wolf, where you have more states on the calendar every Tuesday, bigger challenge, but also bigger opportunity.</s>BLITZER: But both of these remaining two democratic presidential candidates. They are well funded and they have strong organizations right now, presumably suggesting this contest could go on well after Super Tuesday.</s>KING: It could. Let me give you an example of that. If you come back to the race to the nomination chart here on the delegates now we're talking about, we've given this is a projection, a hypothetical that gives Hillary Clinton South Carolina. This is based on 55/45 going forward. As you look if you go through just to Super Tuesday, if Hillary Clinton won them all but only by 55/45, Senator Sanders stays in play, and he's got a lot of money. He raised a lot of money after New Hampshire but his campaign is trying to raise more tonight. There is no question, the Sanders campaign, at least through Super Tuesday, and they say beyond, is staying in, which means we've got a lot of fun.</s>BLITZER: This could go on and on and on. And remember, eight years ago it went on until June before Hillary Clinton conceded to then Senator Barack Obama. Let me go back to Dana, David Chalian and Mark Preston, who are also picking crunching some of this numbers this inside numbers. Dana, it's really fascinating how well they did. But Marco Rubio right now, if he comes in second place in South Carolina, that's going to be nice for him because he could have come in third or maybe fourth. But after that setback in New Hampshire, he's done relatively well.</s>BASH: He has done relatively well, but he hasn't won. He hasn't won in Iowa. He hasn't won in New Hampshire. And he hasn't won in South Carolina, which was the place that his campaign aides really thought was his best bet for lots of reasons. So, the question moving forward, even a Rubio adviser said to me a couple days ago, admitted to me, the question tonight would be for them from their donors, where are you going to win? I just texted another top Rubio aide asking that very question, and I said, where are you going to win next? And the answer was, "Oh, well, the place we get most votes.", which is sort of a clever way of not answering my question. So, what do you guys think?</s>CHALIAN: I don't know where they're going to win next. First let's look at where they're going next. Getting on a plane tonight to Tennessee, then going to Arkansas, all before they go to Nevada. And so, Nevada's Tuesday, but as you know, Tennessee and Arkansas are two of the states on March 1st. So, Marco Rubio going there first, and then you know, I look at this list of states on March 1st. If Marco Rubio really does, now that Jeb Bush is out of the race, consolidate the establishment lane support, you have to remember, in many of these states, establishment, Republicans will make up a big chunk of the electorate. And so, he's going to be able to play in ...</s>BASH: In Massachusetts, Minnesota.</s>BLITZER: ... is going to be potentially get some of that establishment vote as well.</s>CHALIAN: He is, indeed. That the Rubio-Kasich face-off now that we're going to see, I'm sure we'll see it on our debate stage in Houston, is going to be a key race to watch in that way.</s>PRESTON: I also think that once we look past Super Tuesday, past the first, is that we're going to head into March 15th, and we're going to head into Rubio country in many ways in Florida. Jeb Bush is out of the race now. He's gone. Question is what is Donald Trump's lay to claim in Florida? He seriously has done a good job of connecting to a very angry electorate, and I'm sure there are very many angry people in Florida right now whose economy has been racked as well. And as somebody said to me tonight, it's not the employment number, it's the underemployment number that is really the big problem. Now, Donald Trump's second home is down in South Florida. But Marco Rubio went in Florida.</s>BASH: And he employs a lot of people in Florida.</s>PRESTON: And he employs, he does simply, he will tell you that many times over.</s>CHALIAN: And some of his largest rallies that he's had just campaign ...</s>PRESTON: But if Marco Rubio can win Florida on the 15th, new game. Just like John Kasich. If he can win Ohio, it would be an interesting game.</s>BLITZER: Yeah. A lot of people from the North, the Midwest, they've moved on to Florida. They may be open to Donald Trump as well. As we point out, he has a second home in Palm Beach, a modest place called Mar-a-Lago (ph). That's Donald Trump. All right, let's go back to you, Jake.</s>TAPPER: Thanks, Wolf. You know, we had -- the Republicans had record, a turnouts in Iowa. They had record turnout in the New Hampshire primary. And just a few minutes ago, we learned from a state election commissioner in South Carolina that there was record turnout for the South Carolina Republican Primary, more than 700,000 ballots cast. And Van Jones, this is kind of a canary in a coal mine for democrats, because the Republican turnout has been huge and the Democratic turnout has not.</s>JONES: Yeah. That's true. And there are two ways to look at it. If you want to ...</s>TAPPER: Give us the honest way to look at it.</s>JONES: OK. If you want to sleep well tonight and you're a Democrat, you say it's because they have many, many candidates, and so, many, many candidates are going to give you many, many more people, dragging people out.</s>TAPPER: OK, you did your due diligence as a democrat.</s>JONES: Yes, yes. Now, what's actual effect?</s>TAPPER: He's terrified.</s>JONES: We're terrified! Because it looks like the hunger on the part of republicans to get that White House back, to get it away from the Obamas, get it away from Clintons, is very, very palpable. And yet, on the other side, as much as there is this Sanders surge, as much as there is this Clinton machine, it just does not seem to be that same level of passion.</s>BLITZER: The passion vote.</s>UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Not yet.</s>LORD: Not yet. I keep talking about this, passion vote. When you talk to these Trump people, they are passionate. I'll give you an example. When I came home from CNN the other day, at my doorstep in Pennsylvania, it was a young woman with a petition to sign to put her brother on the ballot for Donald Trump. It was 19 degrees out there. They were going door to door. They didn't know who I was. They were canvassing the neighborhood, and there they were all revved up to go at 19 degrees. I mean, that's passion, and that's what we're seeing.</s>AXELROD: In Chicago, we'd call that balmy.</s>UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Yeah, yeah.</s>AXELROD: But I think Trump, look, there's no doubt that he has infused some energy all by himself in this process, and he is bringing new voters into this Republican process.</s>UNIDENTIFIED FEMALE: But I think Hillary ...</s>BROWNSTEIN: But there is a solution to the problem. Trump is both, you know, sort of the cause and the effect, because it's clear that there's not going to be the positive energy on the Democratic side that there was in 2008. I mean, that is a clear message. If there is an opportunity for big Democratic turnout, it's going to be that as popular as Trump is among Republican constituencies; he is equally unpopular among the core Democratic if that he is and then coming out, yeah.</s>BORGER: Two more polarizing candidates ...</s>BROWNSTEIN: Yeah, that would be it ...</s>BORGER: ... then Hillary Clinton versus Donald Trump. Each would motivate their base, right.?</s>BROWNSTEIN: The other base.</s>BORGER: And the other base, I mean.</s>BROWNSTEIN: Yeah, right.</s>BORGER: And you might have, look at it this way, you might have great turnout.</s>BROWNSTEIN: You would.</s>TAPPER: And also by the way, two of the most, you know, two years ago, two of the most famous Americans in the world, Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton.</s>BORGER: Right.</s>TAPPER: Who right now are on track to be the nominees of their ....</s>AXELROD: And a couple of New Yorkers, which is what America wants.</s>UNIDENTIFIED MALE: They love New Yorkers.</s>BROWNSTEIN: The last time two New Yorkers (inaudible) against -- Dewy and Roosevelt?</s>AXELROD: 1940. Well, Dewy-Roosevelt?</s>BROWNSTEIN: 1904, also.</s>BORGER: Supreme Court</s>UNIDENTIFIED MALE: And he wins.</s>JONES: I want to say one thing about Hillary Clinton, because I've been strong sticking out for the Bernie Sanders crew, and I think it's important. I was impressed and really moved by her today because she seems to be listening. She seems to be learning. It was a very different speech tonight. She was about the "we." Now she had this phrase about, imagine a tomorrow. Like, at the end of the speech, is going to pair ratio imagine a tomorrow where. And you could see that she is listening, that this is a party that needs to be inspired. Fine, we can be impressed by a good resume, but we need to be inspired. So, I want to say, tonight I think that Hillary Clinton and the Hillary Clinton you saw tonight, the Hillary Clinton I think that can win a general election but also can win over this party.</s>CARPENTER: Yeah I think Van is right, Hillary Clinton has learned from Bernie Sanders. And I do think one of the lessons from South Carolina is that both Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz do need to learn a little bit from Donald Trump. I think there's a reason Donald Trump congratulated both Cruz and Rubio, because he's going to turn both of them into Washington. Think about a three-person race. It's going to be Donald Trump against two senators. Those two senators need to stop talking like senators, got to drop this vague talk about the new 21st century, got to stop lawyerly arguing your case like you're going to be a Supreme Court Justice. They have to talk they are talking like a real person and pocketbook (ph) issues to take on Donald Trump.</s>TAPPER: Because it is true when Van Jones, after the Hillary Clinton's New Hampshire speech, we did a count of what the pronouns were we and us versus me and I. And Bernie and Hillary have the exact opposite result, 2-1. And tonight, we haven't done the pronoun count, but she did sound -- they seem to be sounding a lot of we and us.</s>JONES: And I think it's very, very important, because when you have young people who want to be a part of something -- and young people around the world want to be a part of stuff. If you say, "Look, I'm the smart person. I can fix it for you." that's deflating. If you say I need you, we can do this together. That yes, we can. I think that work a little bit.</s>AXELROD: Yes. What's interesting, though, is Trump has the opposite appeal. He's saying, "Yes, I can." Let me take care of it."</s>JONES: It's interesting.</s>AXELROD: "I'll deal with it."</s>TAPPER: But its interesting Amanda said that, Ron, because she's saying that Cruz and Rubio need to take some lessons from Donald Trump as somebody who's been studying the appeal or surface of appeal in some cases of these two. What would you advise Cruz and Rubio?</s>BROWNSTEIN: Well, first of all, they've already moved toward him on policy, on trade and on immigration. They've each ended up much closer to him than where they wanted to started. And both, you know, it was striking. I remembered in 1996 when Bob Dole went to South Carolina immediately after Pat Buchanan won New Hampshire, he went to the BMW plant outside of Greenville to make the case for free trade. Even with Nikki Haley there, no one did that this week, so they're not differentiating that way. Look, I think that ultimately, Donald Trump is strong, he is showing strength in all corners of the party but there are two areas that have been less attractive. One or evangelicals but the other one that's bigger are the white-collar, center-right, college-educated Republicans who had 25 roughly 25 percent among them tonight. Unless, someone can consolidate a big chunk of those voters against them and they are the voters who powered Romney and McCain, this is going to be -- the numbers just don't add up.</s>PRESTON: One big problem Hillary Clinton is going to have -- we've got it written off, she won in Nevada, a good speech, she is now the President of the United States. There's a big gap in there.</s>BROWNSTEIN: Yeah.</s>PRESTON: And one of that is ...</s>UNIDENTIFIED MALE: I don't think we did that.</s>PRESTON: Certainly not on the demand.</s>JONES: If you're listening to Van ...</s>PRESTON: But the biggest problem she has is honest and trustworthy. That translates into a general election. She is going to have to fix that problem and it's really hard to do because it's so baked in. It's really baked in.</s>AXELROD: She's got to dig very, very badly on that man measure.</s>BORGER: Can I get back to your question about Cruz and Rubio, which is the more they fight each other, the smaller they become and the larger Trump becomes?</s>TAPPER: We're going to take a very quick break. When we come back, more on election coverage. Stay with CNN.