{"action":"created","issue":{"url":"https://api.github.com/repos/ankidroid/Anki-Android/issues/3619","labels_url":"https://api.github.com/repos/ankidroid/Anki-Android/issues/3619/labels{/name}","comments_url":"https://api.github.com/repos/ankidroid/Anki-Android/issues/3619/comments","events_url":"https://api.github.com/repos/ankidroid/Anki-Android/issues/3619/events","html_url":"https://github.com/ankidroid/Anki-Android/issues/3619","id":102536628,"number":3619,"title":"Forecast Statistic not predictive","user":{"login":"kcroker","id":10903188,"avatar_url":"https://avatars.githubusercontent.com/u/10903188?v=3","gravatar_id":"","url":"https://api.github.com/users/kcroker","html_url":"https://github.com/kcroker","followers_url":"https://api.github.com/users/kcroker/followers","following_url":"https://api.github.com/users/kcroker/following{/other_user}","gists_url":"https://api.github.com/users/kcroker/gists{/gist_id}","starred_url":"https://api.github.com/users/kcroker/starred{/owner}{/repo}","subscriptions_url":"https://api.github.com/users/kcroker/subscriptions","organizations_url":"https://api.github.com/users/kcroker/orgs","repos_url":"https://api.github.com/users/kcroker/repos","events_url":"https://api.github.com/users/kcroker/events{/privacy}","received_events_url":"https://api.github.com/users/kcroker/received_events","type":"User","site_admin":false},"labels":[],"state":"open","locked":false,"assignee":null,"milestone":null,"comments":39,"created_at":"2015-08-22T13:14:25Z","updated_at":"2015-12-28T05:09:35Z","closed_at":null,"body":"As it currently stands, the Forecast statistic does not propogate previous performance trends when determining hypothetical future card loads.  E.g. if a user on average, and with small deviation, pushes 60% of the daily load at Hard, 20% at Good, and 10% Easy, and 10% Again; then forecast can easily intelligently anticipate card loads.  At present, it does not seem to do this at all, nor does it display the anticipated new daily alottment, and so Forecast is not useful at all for determining effective review-only periods over which one can reduce the daily card load."},"comment":{"url":"https://api.github.com/repos/ankidroid/Anki-Android/issues/comments/167485760","html_url":"https://github.com/ankidroid/Anki-Android/issues/3619#issuecomment-167485760","issue_url":"https://api.github.com/repos/ankidroid/Anki-Android/issues/3619","id":167485760,"user":{"login":"kcroker","id":10903188,"avatar_url":"https://avatars.githubusercontent.com/u/10903188?v=3","gravatar_id":"","url":"https://api.github.com/users/kcroker","html_url":"https://github.com/kcroker","followers_url":"https://api.github.com/users/kcroker/followers","following_url":"https://api.github.com/users/kcroker/following{/other_user}","gists_url":"https://api.github.com/users/kcroker/gists{/gist_id}","starred_url":"https://api.github.com/users/kcroker/starred{/owner}{/repo}","subscriptions_url":"https://api.github.com/users/kcroker/subscriptions","organizations_url":"https://api.github.com/users/kcroker/orgs","repos_url":"https://api.github.com/users/kcroker/repos","events_url":"https://api.github.com/users/kcroker/events{/privacy}","received_events_url":"https://api.github.com/users/kcroker/received_events","type":"User","site_admin":false},"created_at":"2015-12-28T05:09:35Z","updated_at":"2015-12-28T05:09:35Z","body":"That graph cannot be correct, given the existing color definitions.  The\nnew learns certainly should not be changing (your red, usual blue).  Could\nyou please remove any card caps (limits) and adjust the colors to be\nconsistent with their current definition in anki for easier comparison\nplease?\n\nOn Sun, Dec 27, 2015 at 8:56 PM, jvanprehn <notifications@github.com> wrote:\n\n> Keeping track of the number of cards per state at each time instant in\n> gregreen's code gives the following:\n>\n> [image: anki_forecast]\n> <https://cloud.githubusercontent.com/assets/16454627/12011555/e0510a3a-acd2-11e5-8a55-e143cf3bddf8.png>\n>\n> To generate the screenshot I also 'simulated' the past using the review\n> log so that past and future can be displayed in one chart.\n>\n> Is a chart like this considered useful? (it's actually just the pie chart\n> which already exists in Anki + time dimension).\n>\n> —\n> Reply to this email directly or view it on GitHub\n> <https://github.com/ankidroid/Anki-Android/issues/3619#issuecomment-167435838>\n> .\n>\n"}}