123456789 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 A B C D E F G H I J K Table 59. Electric Power Projections for Electricity Market Module Region East Central Area Reliability Coordination Agreement 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Electricity Generating Capacity 1/

( gigawatts)

Coal Steam 83.84 83.84 83.84 83.83 83.66 83.10 81.30 81.30 81.30 81.28 Other Fossil Steam 2/ 3.73 3.75 3.75 3.75 3.75 3.75 3.60 3.60 3.60 3.60 Combined Cycle 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 2.59 3.85 5.78 7.66 9.33 11.24 Combustion Turbine/ Diesel 9.67 10.07 11.97 13.38 13.63 14.74 16.78 17.48 17.45 17.59 Nuclear Power 7.58 7.58 7.58 7.58 7.58 7.58 7.58 5.95 5.95 5.95 Pumped Storage/ Other 3/ 3.36 3.36 3.36 3.36 3.36 3.36 3.36 3.36 3.36 3.36 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 1.51 1.54 1.54 1.59 1.59 1.59 1.59 1.59 1.59 1.59 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Capability 110.17 110.61 112.52 113.96 116.16 117.96 120.00 120.94 122.58 124.61 Cumulative Planned Additions 6/

Coal Steam 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Other Fossil Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combustion Turbine/ Diesel 0.00 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage/ Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Planned Additions 0.00 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.43 Cumulative Unplanned Additions 6/

Coal Steam 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Other Fossil Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.12 3.38 5.31 7.19 8.86 10.77 Combustion Turbine/ Diesel 0.00 0.00 2.00 3.77 4.02 5.33 7.37 8.10 8.10 8.24 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage/ Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Unplanned Additions 0.00 0.00 2.00 3.77 6.14 8.71 12.69 15.29 16.96 19.01 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cumulative Total Additions 0.00 0.43 2.43 4.19 6.57 9.14 13.12 15.72 17.39 19.44 Cumulative Retirements 7/ Page 1 of 170 5 3001_ aeo  A 123456789 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 L M N O P Q R S T U V W 2000

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2020 81.21 81.21 81.21 81.21 81.21 81.21 81.21 81.21 81.21 81.21 81.21  0.2%

3.60 3.60 3.60 3.60 3.60 3.60 3.60 3.60 3.60 3.60 3.60  0.2%

12.45 14.24 15.77 16.45 18.22 19.65 20.55 21.62 22.78 23.94 24.87 22.0%

17.71 17.82 17.88 18.58 18.77 18.88 19.06 19.42 19.76 20.38 21.31 4.0%

5.95 5.95 5.95 5.95 5.95 5.95 5.95 5.14 5.14 5.14 5.14  1.9%

3.36 3.36 3.36 3.36 3.36 3.36 3.36 3.36 3.36 3.36 3.36 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 1.59 1.59 1.59 1.59 1.59 1.59 1.59 1.59 1.59 1.61 1.61 0.3%

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.07 0.11 0.14 0.23 N/ A 125.87 127.76 129.36 130.73 132.69 134.24 135.35 136.01 137.54 139.38 141.32 1.3%

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.43 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 11.98 13.78 15.31 15.98 17.75 19.19 20.08 21.15 22.31 23.47 24.40 N/ A 8.37 8.47 8.54 9.23 9.42 9.53 9.71 10.08 10.42 11.03 11.96 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.02 N/ A 20.35 22.24 23.84 25.21 27.17 28.72 29.83 31.30 32.83 34.66 36.61 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.07 0.11 0.14 0.23 N/ A 20.78 22.67 24.27 25.64 27.60 29.15 30.26 31.73 33.26 35.09 37.04 N/ A Page 2 of 170 5 3001_ aeo  A 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 A B C D E F G H I J K Coal Steam 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.72 2.52 2.52 2.52 2.54 Other Fossil Steam 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combustion Turbine/ Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.45 0.45 0.66 0.66 0.69 0.72 0.72 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.63 1.63 1.63 Pumped Storage 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.45 0.61 1.38 3.33 4.99 5.02 5.04 Cogenerators 8/

Capability Coal 1.42 1.42 1.42 1.42 1.42 1.42 1.41 1.41 1.41 1.41 Petroleum 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 Natural Gas 2.83 3.39 3.40 3.44 3.50 3.54 3.59 3.63 3.68 3.72 Other Gaseous Fuels 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.17 Other 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total 4.44 5.00 5.02 5.07 5.12 5.18 5.23 5.28 5.32 5.37 Electricity Demand ( billion kilowatthours)

Residential 158.61 166.08 170.96 176.87 180.33 183.62 185.64 187.81 190.14 192.79 Commercial/ Other 139.81 144.97 148.11 152.13 155.73 158.91 162.12 165.10 167.80 170.37 Industrial 217.00 206.17 208.17 213.33 217.97 223.15 227.58 232.66 236.65 240.55 Transportation 2.30 2.36 2.41 2.72 3.01 3.28 3.51 3.72 3.93 4.14 Total Sales 517.73 519.58 529.65 545.04 557.03 568.97 578.85 589.29 598.52 607.86 Net Energy for Load ( billion kilowatthours) 7/

Gross International Imports 3.92 2.56 1.91 7.10 7.97 7.90 6.96 6.43 6.44 6.29 Gross International Exports 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 Gross Interregional Electricity Imports 5.85 5.81 5.77 5.62 5.60 5.60 5.60 5.60 5.60 5.60 Gross Interregional Electricity Exports 59.39 55.47 65.90 74.40 79.20 81.04 82.95 82.21 82.61 82.81 Purchases from Cogenerators 8/ 14.18 15.00 17.68 17.73 17.97 17.92 17.79 17.75 17.75 17.89 Utility Generation for Customers 588.60 587.19 605.79 625.02 641.04 655.32 668.40 678.95 688.76 698.49 Total Net Energy for Load 553.13 555.04 565.21 581.03 593.34 605.66 615.75 626.46 635.90 645.41 Generation by Fuel Type ( billion kilowatthours)

Coal 506.79 509.08 512.80 530.42 539.09 549.44 553.71 568.17 571.88 574.99 Petroleum 4.62 1.97 1.21 1.24 1.05 0.86 0.69 0.69 0.70 0.69 Natural Gas 17.87 16.44 31.57 32.61 39.48 43.41 52.71 59.63 67.48 74.06 Nuclear 55.99 56.75 56.36 56.52 56.64 56.76 56.88 45.99 44.17 44.29 Pumped Storage/ Other 3/  0.01  0.01  0.01  0.01  0.01  0.01  0.01  0.01  0.01  0.01 Renewable Sources 4/ 4.66 4.73 5.69 6.08 6.63 6.71 6.25 6.31 6.37 6.32 Total Generation 589.91 588.95 607.62 626.86 642.89 657.16 670.23 680.79 690.60 700.33 Page 3 of 170 5 3001_ aeo  A 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 L M N O P Q R S T U V W 2.61 2.61 2.61 2.61 2.61 2.61 2.61 2.61 2.61 2.61 2.61 N/ A 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 N/ A 1.63 1.63 1.63 1.63 1.63 1.63 1.63 2.44 2.44 2.44 2.44 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 5.11 5.11 5.11 5.11 5.11 5.11 5.11 5.92 5.92 5.92 5.92 N/ A 1.41 1.41 1.41 1.41 1.41 1.41 1.40 1.40 1.40 1.40 1.40  0.1%

0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03  0.2%

3.77 3.82 3.87 3.92 3.97 4.02 4.08 4.13 4.20 4.26 4.33 2.1%

0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 4.4%

0.17 0.18 0.18 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.20 0.20 0.21 0.21 0.21 2.3%

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 5.42 5.47 5.53 5.58 5.64 5.70 5.76 5.82 5.88 5.95 6.02 1.5%

195.49 198.06 200.70 203.49 206.53 209.78 212.53 215.26 217.99 221.00 224.08 1.7%

172.86 175.26 177.68 180.24 183.01 185.67 188.14 190.49 192.71 195.11 197.57 1.7%

245.53 250.63 253.88 257.02 260.07 263.10 265.96 269.02 272.36 275.40 277.78 1.2%

4.35 4.55 4.75 4.94 5.13 5.21 5.16 5.09 5.01 4.92 4.82 3.8%

618.23 628.51 637.01 645.69 654.73 663.76 671.78 679.86 688.07 696.42 704.25 1.6%

6.02 6.09 6.07 6.06 5.79 6.01 5.61 5.14 4.96 4.75 2.78  1.7%

0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.4%

5.04 4.48 3.92 3.36 2.80 2.24 1.68 1.18 0.70 0.41 0.28  14.0%

83.39 85.20 87.39 87.10 87.91 87.76 86.57 84.58 85.46 85.74 85.79 1.9%

17.99 18.09 18.30 18.45 18.63 18.56 18.85 19.12 19.34 19.63 19.76 1.7%

710.39 722.98 734.06 742.93 753.53 762.86 770.90 778.20 788.15 797.49 807.78 1.6%

656.00 666.39 674.92 683.66 692.80 701.86 710.42 719.01 727.66 736.49 744.77 1.5%

577.93 578.81 581.44 584.38 586.68 587.60 589.94 592.10 593.11 593.73 594.29 0.8%

0.71 0.73 0.74 0.74 0.73 0.73 0.79 0.81 0.83 0.82 0.84  8.2%

81.63 93.25 101.63 108.11 117.04 124.89 132.02 142.71 151.63 160.28 169.94 11.9%

44.40 44.52 44.64 44.76 44.86 44.91 44.96 39.37 39.37 39.37 39.37  1.7%

 0.01  0.01  0.01  0.01  0.01  0.01  0.01  0.01  0.01  0.01  0.01 N/ A 7.57 7.51 7.47 6.79 6.07 6.58 5.02 5.02 5.01 5.08 5.08 0.4%

712.23 724.81 735.90 744.77 755.37 764.70 772.74 780.03 790.00 799.33 809.62 1.6%

Page 4 of 170 5 3001_ aeo  A 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 A B C D E F G H I J K Sales to Customers 588.60 587.19 605.79 625.02 641.04 655.32 668.40 678.95 688.76 698.49 Generation for Own Use 1.31 1.76 1.83 1.84 1.85 1.85 1.83 1.84 1.84 1.84 Cogenerators Coal 7.33 7.25 7.42 7.54 7.66 7.82 7.98 8.11 8.08 8.07 Petroleum 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.40 0.40 Natural Gas 13.67 14.75 17.24 17.23 17.40 17.23 16.94 16.77 16.79 16.94 Other Gaseous Fuels 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.43 0.43 0.44 0.45 0.45 0.46 0.47 Renewable Sources 4/ 1.92 1.91 1.92 2.01 2.08 2.17 2.25 2.34 2.34 2.39 Other 0.92 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 Total 24.47 25.48 28.15 28.53 28.89 28.97 28.95 28.99 29.00 29.20 Sales to Utilities 14.18 15.00 17.68 17.73 17.97 17.92 17.79 17.75 17.75 17.89 Generation for Own Use 10.29 10.48 10.47 10.79 10.92 11.04 11.16 11.25 11.25 11.31 End Use Prices ( 2000 cents per kilowatthour)

Residential 7.6 7.4 7.0 6.9 6.8 6.6 7.0 6.9 6.9 6.8 Commercial 7.0 6.8 6.6 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.5 6.5 6.4 6.3 Industrial 4.4 4.2 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.3 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2 Transportation 6.7 6.2 6.0 5.6 5.4 5.2 5.0 5.1 5.2 5.3 All Sectors Average 6.1 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.7 5.7 5.6 Prices by Service Category ( 2000 cents/ kilowatthour)

Generation 3.9 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.6 3.7 3.6 3.6 3.5 Transmission 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 Distribution 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 Fuel Consumption ( quadrillion Btu) 9/

Coal 5.15 5.18 5.21 5.40 5.48 5.61 5.66 5.81 5.85 5.89 Natural Gas 0.21 0.19 0.37 0.38 0.40 0.42 0.47 0.51 0.56 0.59 Oil 0.05 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 Total 5.42 5.40 5.59 5.79 5.89 6.03 6.14 6.32 6.42 6.49 Emissions ( million tons) 10/

Total Carbon 149.62 148.82 152.21 157.66 160.28 163.86 166.14 170.91 172.93 174.48 Carbon Dioxide 548.59 545.66 558.11 578.10 587.69 600.84 609.19 626.68 634.06 639.75 Sulfur Dioxide 3.23 3.20 3.38 3.25 3.11 2.93 2.87 2.77 2.76 2.73 Nitrogen Oxide 1.16 1.16 1.18 1.22 0.89 0.90 0.91 0.93 0.94 0.94 1/ Net summer capability is the steady hourly output that generating equipment is expected to supply to system load ( exclusive of auxiliary power), as demonstrated b summer peak demand. Includes electric utilities, small power producers, and exempt wholesale generators. Nameplate capacity is reported for nonutilities on Form E " Annual Electric Generator Report  Nonutility." Nameplate capacity is designated by the manufacturer. The nameplate capacity has been converted to net summer ca on historic relationships.

2/ Includes oil, gas, and dual fired capability. Page 5 of 170 5 3001_ aeo  A 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 L M N O P Q R S T U V W 710.39 722.98 734.06 742.93 753.53 762.86 770.90 778.20 788.15 797.49 807.78 1.6%

1.84 1.83 1.84 1.84 1.84 1.84 1.84 1.84 1.84 1.84 1.84 1.7%

7.99 7.99 7.99 8.03 8.06 8.02 8.07 8.07 8.06 8.05 8.04 0.5%

0.40 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.43 0.43 0.44 1.1%

17.13 17.23 17.44 17.56 17.69 17.67 17.93 18.20 18.45 18.74 18.91 1.6%

0.48 0.49 0.50 0.52 0.53 0.53 0.54 0.55 0.57 0.59 0.61 3.9%

2.44 2.54 2.61 2.68 2.74 2.80 2.87 2.93 2.99 3.04 3.09 2.4%

0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.1%

29.37 29.58 29.88 30.12 30.37 30.37 30.76 31.10 31.42 31.79 32.02 1.4%

17.99 18.09 18.30 18.45 18.63 18.56 18.85 19.12 19.34 19.63 19.76 1.7%

11.39 11.49 11.59 11.67 11.74 11.81 11.91 11.99 12.08 12.16 12.26 0.9%

6.7 6.8 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.8 6.9 6.8 6.8  0.5%

6.3 6.4 6.4 6.4 6.3 6.3 6.4 6.6 6.6 6.6 6.7  0.3%

4.2 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.6 4.6 4.6 0.3%

5.3 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.4 5.3  1.2%

5.6 5.7 5.6 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.7 5.8 5.9 5.9 5.9  0.2%

3.6 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.7 3.8 3.9 3.9 3.9 0.0%

0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  0.3%

1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5  0.6%

5.92 5.93 5.96 5.99 6.02 6.03 6.05 6.08 6.09 6.10 6.11 0.9%

0.65 0.72 0.78 0.83 0.88 0.93 0.98 1.05 1.12 1.18 1.25 9.3%

0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01  8.7%

6.58 6.66 6.75 6.82 6.90 6.96 7.04 7.14 7.22 7.28 7.36 1.5%

176.36 177.85 179.59 181.28 182.89 183.98 185.57 187.63 189.00 190.22 191.67 1.2%

646.67 652.10 658.50 664.69 670.61 674.58 680.41 687.98 693.02 697.46 702.80 1.2%

2.60 2.38 2.35 2.36 2.36 2.36 2.36 2.35 2.33 2.27 2.28  1.7%

0.95 0.95 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97  0.9%

by tests during IA 860B apacity based Page 6 of 170 5 3001_ aeo  A 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 160 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169 170 171 172 173 174 175 176 177 178 179 180 181 182 183 184 185 186 187 188 A B C D E F G H I J K 3/ Other includes methane, propane gas, and blast furnace gas for utilities; and hydrogen, sulfur, batteries, chemicals, fish oil, and spent sulfite liquor.

4/ Includes conventional hydroelectric, geothermal, wood, wood waste, municipal solid waste, other biomass, solar thermal, photovoltaics, and wind power.

5/ Primarily peak load capacity fueled by natural gas.

6/ Cumulative additions after December 31, 2000.

7/ Generation to meet system load by source.

8/ Cogenerators produce electricity and other useful thermal energy ( such as steam or heat) through the sequential use of energy.

9/ Includes fuel consumption by electric utilities, small power producers, independent power producers, and exempt wholesale generators.

10/ Estimated emissions from utilities and nonutilities ( excluding cogenerators).

O& M = Operation and maintenance.

EMM = Electricity market module.

N/ A = Not applicable.

Note: Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding.

Sources: 2000 ( except for prices and nonutility data): Energy Information Administration ( EIA), Annual Energy Review 2000, DOE/ EIA 0384( 2000) ( Washington, DC Other 2000 and projections: NewGen Data and Analysis, RDI Consulting/ FT Energy ( Boulder, CO, February 2001) and EIA, AEO2002 National Energy Modeling Syst Table 60. Electric Power Projections for Electricity Market Module Region Electric Reliability Council of Texas 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Electricity Generating Capacity 1/

( gigawatts)

Coal Steam 15.25 15.25 15.25 15.25 15.25 15.25 15.25 15.25 15.25 15.25 Other Fossil Steam 2/ 29.95 29.91 29.83 29.55 29.30 28.77 27.07 24.86 22.95 22.88 Combined Cycle 4.01 4.01 3.98 3.98 5.04 5.91 6.74 10.42 13.20 15.28 Combustion Turbine/ Diesel 3.12 3.12 4.40 4.77 5.13 5.54 8.77 9.67 10.51 10.86 Nuclear Power 4.80 4.80 4.82 4.82 4.82 4.82 4.82 4.82 4.82 4.82 Pumped Storage/ Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.77 2.00 2.16 2.30 2.43 2.57 2.64 2.72 2.79 2.87 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.10 0.15 0.23 0.32 0.56 0.79 Total Capability 57.90 59.08 60.43 60.72 62.06 63.00 65.52 68.05 70.06 72.74 Cumulative Planned Additions 6/

Coal Steam 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Other Fossil Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combustion Turbine/ Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage/ Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 1.22 1.39 1.53 1.66 1.80 1.87 1.95 2.02 2.10 Page 7 of 170 5 3001_ aeo  A 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 160 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169 170 171 172 173 174 175 176 177 178 179 180 181 182 183 184 185 186 187 188 L M N O P Q R S T U V W C, August 2001)

em run aeo2002. d102001b 2000

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2020 15.25 15.25 15.25 15.25 15.25 15.25 15.25 15.25 15.25 15.25 15.25 N/ A 22.88 22.79 22.79 22.69 22.69 22.53 22.53 22.53 22.53 22.53 22.31  1.5%

16.54 17.76 18.07 18.73 19.76 20.47 21.01 21.50 21.96 22.50 23.07 9.1%

11.22 11.30 11.45 11.74 11.92 12.02 12.09 12.15 12.20 12.31 12.39 7.1%

4.82 4.82 4.82 4.82 4.82 4.82 4.82 4.82 4.82 4.82 4.82 0.0%

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 2.89 2.91 2.93 2.95 2.97 2.99 3.01 3.04 3.06 3.08 3.10 7.2%

1.02 1.09 1.16 1.23 1.31 1.42 1.55 1.76 1.96 2.15 2.33 N/ A 74.62 75.91 76.46 77.40 78.72 79.50 80.25 81.04 81.77 82.64 83.25 1.8%

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 2.12 2.14 2.16 2.18 2.20 2.22 2.24 2.26 2.29 2.31 2.33 N/ A Page 8 of 170 5 3001_ aeo  A 189 190 191 192 193 194 195 196 197 198 199 200 201 202 203 204 205 206 207 208 209 210 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 218 219 220 221 222 223 224 225 226 227 228 229 230 231 232 233 234 235 A B C D E F G H I J K Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Planned Additions 0.00 1.22 1.39 1.53 1.66 1.80 1.87 1.95 2.02 2.10 Cumulative Unplanned Additions 6/

Coal Steam 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Other Fossil Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.06 1.94 2.77 6.45 9.22 11.31 Combustion Turbine/ Diesel 0.00 0.00 1.28 2.08 2.43 2.86 6.10 6.99 7.88 8.23 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage/ Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Unplanned Additions 0.00 0.00 1.28 2.14 3.59 4.94 9.10 13.76 17.66 20.33 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.10 0.15 0.23 0.32 0.56 0.79 Cumulative Total Additions 0.00 1.22 2.67 3.67 5.26 6.74 10.97 15.70 19.68 22.43 Cumulative Retirements 7/

Coal Steam 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Other Fossil Steam 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.35 0.60 1.13 2.84 5.05 6.96 7.02 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 Combustion Turbine/ Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.43 0.43 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.49 0.49 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.82 1.07 1.61 3.32 5.53 7.49 7.55 Cogenerators 8/

Capability Coal 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 Petroleum 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 Natural Gas 9.33 9.59 9.66 9.84 10.09 10.32 10.55 10.75 10.95 11.16 Other Gaseous Fuels 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.17 0.17 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Other 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total 10.06 10.32 10.39 10.62 10.87 11.10 11.34 11.54 11.74 11.95 Electricity Demand ( billion kilowatthours)

Residential 100.55 103.06 105.51 109.15 111.36 113.36 114.90 116.17 117.64 119.42 Commercial/ Other 83.57 83.45 85.11 88.14 90.88 93.18 95.56 98.09 100.65 103.33 Industrial 83.98 80.17 80.86 84.23 86.43 88.61 90.97 94.14 95.19 96.90 Transportation 0.98 1.01 1.04 1.17 1.30 1.42 1.53 1.63 1.73 1.83 Total Sales 269.07 267.68 272.52 282.69 289.97 296.56 302.96 310.03 315.20 321.48 Net Energy for Load ( billion kilowatthours) 7/

Gross International Imports 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Page 9 of 170 5 3001_ aeo  A 189 190 191 192 193 194 195 196 197 198 199 200 201 202 203 204 205 206 207 208 209 210 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 218 219 220 221 222 223 224 225 226 227 228 229 230 231 232 233 234 235 L M N O P Q R S T U V W 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 2.12 2.14 2.16 2.18 2.20 2.22 2.24 2.26 2.29 2.31 2.33 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 12.57 13.79 14.09 14.75 15.78 16.50 17.03 17.53 17.99 18.53 19.09 N/ A 8.60 8.67 8.82 9.11 9.30 9.39 9.46 9.52 9.57 9.69 9.76 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 22.18 23.55 24.07 25.10 26.39 27.31 28.04 28.81 29.52 30.37 31.18 N/ A 1.02 1.09 1.16 1.23 1.31 1.42 1.55 1.76 1.96 2.15 2.33 N/ A 24.30 25.69 26.23 27.28 28.60 29.53 30.29 31.07 31.80 32.67 33.51 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 7.02 7.12 7.12 7.22 7.22 7.38 7.38 7.38 7.38 7.38 7.60 N/ A 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 N/ A 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 7.55 7.64 7.64 7.74 7.74 7.90 7.90 7.90 7.90 7.90 8.12 N/ A 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28  0.1%

0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34  0.1%

11.38 11.62 11.85 12.08 12.32 12.58 12.86 13.12 13.42 13.71 14.04 2.1%

0.18 0.18 0.19 0.19 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.21 0.22 0.22 0.23 4.4%

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 12.18 12.42 12.66 12.90 13.14 13.41 13.68 13.95 14.25 14.56 14.89 2.0%

121.43 123.49 125.45 127.46 129.63 131.96 134.04 136.24 138.47 140.85 143.15 1.8%

106.07 108.74 111.03 113.09 115.00 116.63 118.00 119.25 120.27 121.37 122.42 1.9%

99.65 102.34 103.98 105.42 107.01 108.51 109.78 111.08 112.51 113.90 115.17 1.6%

1.93 2.03 2.13 2.23 2.33 2.38 2.37 2.36 2.34 2.31 2.28 4.3%

329.09 336.61 342.59 348.20 353.97 359.47 364.19 368.92 373.60 378.43 383.01 1.8%

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A Page 10 of 170 5 3001_ aeo  A 236 237 238 239 240 241 242 243 244 245 246 247 248 249 250 251 252 253 254 255 256 257 258 259 260 261 262 263 264 265 266 267 268 269 270 271 272 273 274 275 276 277 278 279 280 281 282 A B C D E F G H I J K Gross International Exports 0.30 0.33 0.36 0.39 0.42 0.45 0.49 0.53 0.57 0.62 Gross Interregional Electricity Imports 3.63 3.48 2.64 2.93 3.02 3.16 3.49 3.66 3.05 3.07 Gross Interregional Electricity Exports 2.87 3.13 3.11 2.52 2.27 2.05 2.26 2.09 2.25 2.63 Purchases from Cogenerators 8/ 30.60 31.27 31.30 31.93 32.29 32.65 32.55 32.54 32.63 32.99 Utility Generation for Customers 255.23 253.35 259.08 268.22 274.96 281.02 287.64 294.54 300.58 306.99 Total Net Energy for Load 286.28 284.65 289.56 300.17 307.58 314.34 320.93 328.12 333.45 339.81 Generation by Fuel Type ( billion kilowatthours)

Coal 110.88 109.62 107.95 109.61 111.04 111.79 112.52 113.23 113.23 112.92 Petroleum 0.29 2.91 0.22 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.10 0.08 0.07 0.04 Natural Gas 104.74 99.17 106.06 114.85 119.72 124.58 130.11 136.00 141.67 147.54 Nuclear 39.10 39.48 40.84 39.17 39.17 39.17 39.17 39.17 39.17 39.17 Pumped Storage/ Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 1.30 3.68 5.52 5.95 6.38 6.81 7.15 7.43 7.71 8.48 Total Generation 256.31 254.86 260.59 269.73 276.47 282.54 289.15 296.05 302.09 308.51 Sales to Customers 255.23 253.35 259.08 268.22 274.96 281.02 287.64 294.54 300.58 306.99 Generation for Own Use 1.08 1.51 1.51 1.51 1.51 1.51 1.51 1.51 1.51 1.51 Cogenerators Coal 2.86 2.86 2.86 2.84 2.83 2.83 2.82 2.81 2.79 2.78 Petroleum 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 Natural Gas 56.35 59.02 59.32 62.09 63.98 65.72 66.96 68.06 69.23 70.69 Other Gaseous Fuels 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.26 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.19 0.19 0.20 0.21 0.22 0.22 0.23 Other 0.63 0.64 0.64 0.64 0.64 0.64 0.64 0.64 0.64 0.64 Total 60.38 63.06 63.36 66.22 68.11 69.86 71.10 72.20 73.36 74.82 Sales to Utilities 30.60 31.27 31.30 31.93 32.29 32.65 32.55 32.54 32.63 32.99 Generation for Own Use 29.78 31.79 32.06 34.29 35.82 37.21 38.55 39.66 40.72 41.83 End Use Prices ( 2000 cents per kilowatthour)

Residential 7.9 7.7 7.1 7.0 7.1 7.1 6.8 7.0 6.9 6.7 Commercial 7.0 7.2 6.7 6.5 6.6 6.8 6.5 6.3 6.1 5.8 Industrial 4.1 4.3 4.1 4.0 4.2 4.4 4.3 4.1 4.0 3.9 Transportation 6.2 6.5 6.1 5.5 5.4 5.4 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.2 All Sectors Average 6.4 6.5 6.1 6.0 6.1 6.2 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.6 Prices by Service Category ( 2000 cents/ kilowatthour)

Generation 4.5 4.7 4.3 4.1 4.2 4.4 4.1 4.0 3.9 3.6 Transmission 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 Distribution 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.4 Fuel Consumption ( quadrillion Btu) 9/

Coal 1.17 1.16 1.14 1.15 1.17 1.18 1.19 1.19 1.19 1.19 Page 11 of 170 5 3001_ aeo  A 236 237 238 239 240 241 242 243 244 245 246 247 248 249 250 251 252 253 254 255 256 257 258 259 260 261 262 263 264 265 266 267 268 269 270 271 272 273 274 275 276 277 278 279 280 281 282 L M N O P Q R S T U V W 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 4.0%

2.93 2.66 2.63 2.55 2.38 2.06 1.87 1.98 1.83 1.70 1.76  3.6%

2.55 2.61 2.44 2.74 2.64 2.68 2.50 2.19 1.46 1.21 1.00  5.1%

33.51 34.04 34.65 35.22 35.87 36.60 37.35 38.05 38.88 39.73 40.64 1.4%

314.60 322.05 327.56 333.10 338.35 343.57 347.80 351.67 355.19 359.30 362.94 1.8%

347.81 355.48 361.74 367.46 373.29 378.87 383.85 388.84 393.76 398.84 403.67 1.7%

112.73 112.74 112.74 112.93 113.23 112.83 113.22 113.23 113.23 113.25 113.23 0.1%

0.05 0.05 0.05 0.07 0.05 0.04 0.06 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.06  7.4%

155.03 162.32 167.66 172.82 178.11 183.06 187.18 190.82 194.11 197.98 201.43 3.3%

39.17 39.17 39.17 39.17 39.17 39.17 39.17 39.17 39.17 39.17 39.17 0.0%

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 8.68 8.81 8.95 9.08 8.72 9.36 8.99 9.13 9.26 9.40 9.53 10.5%

316.11 323.56 329.07 334.61 339.87 345.08 349.31 353.18 356.70 360.81 364.45 1.8%

314.60 322.05 327.56 333.10 338.35 343.57 347.80 351.67 355.19 359.30 362.94 1.8%

1.51 1.51 1.51 1.51 1.51 1.51 1.51 1.51 1.51 1.51 1.51 1.7%

2.78 2.77 2.77 2.76 2.76 2.75 2.75 2.74 2.74 2.73 2.73  0.2%

0.22 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 1.1%

72.41 74.17 75.97 77.72 79.53 81.58 83.73 85.77 88.02 90.30 92.85 2.5%

0.27 0.27 0.28 0.29 0.29 0.30 0.30 0.31 0.32 0.33 0.34 3.9%

0.23 0.24 0.25 0.25 0.26 0.27 0.27 0.28 0.28 0.29 0.29 2.5%

0.64 0.64 0.64 0.64 0.64 0.64 0.64 0.64 0.64 0.64 0.64 0.1%

76.55 78.33 80.14 81.90 83.72 85.77 87.93 89.98 92.24 94.54 97.10 2.4%

33.51 34.04 34.65 35.22 35.87 36.60 37.35 38.05 38.88 39.73 40.64 1.4%

43.04 44.29 45.49 46.68 47.85 49.17 50.58 51.93 53.37 54.81 56.46 3.3%

6.6 6.6 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.8 6.9 7.0 7.1 7.1 7.3  0.4%

5.7 5.6 5.7 5.8 5.8 5.9 5.9 6.1 6.2 6.3 6.5  0.4%

3.9 3.9 4.0 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.6 0.6%

5.3 5.4 5.5 5.6 5.6 5.6 5.6 5.6 5.7 5.7 5.7  0.4%

5.5 5.5 5.6 5.6 5.6 5.7 5.8 5.8 6.0 6.1 6.2  0.2%

3.6 3.5 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.8 3.9 4.0 4.1 4.2 4.4  0.2%

0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4%

1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.3  0.3%

1.19 1.19 1.19 1.19 1.19 1.19 1.19 1.19 1.19 1.19 1.19 0.1%

Page 12 of 170 5 3001_ aeo  A 283 284 285 286 287 288 289 290 291 292 293 294 295 296 297 298 299 300 301 302 303 304 305 306 307 308 309 310 311 312 313 314 315 316 317 318 319 320 321 322 323 324 325 326 327 328 329 A B C D E F G H I J K Natural Gas 1.05 0.96 1.04 1.13 1.15 1.18 1.22 1.19 1.19 1.20 Oil 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total 2.22 2.15 2.18 2.28 2.32 2.36 2.40 2.39 2.38 2.39 Emissions ( million tons) 10/

Total Carbon 50.40 49.14 49.16 50.98 51.76 52.45 53.25 53.10 53.03 53.15 Carbon Dioxide 184.80 180.17 180.25 186.93 189.79 192.31 195.24 194.71 194.45 194.88 Sulfur Dioxide 0.35 0.40 0.38 0.35 0.35 0.38 0.42 0.40 0.39 0.38 Nitrogen Oxide 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.28 0.28 0.27 0.27 0.26 0.24 0.24 1/ Net summer capability is the steady hourly output that generating equipment is expected to supply to system load ( exclusive of auxiliary power), as demonstrated b summer peak demand. Includes electric utilities, small power producers, and exempt wholesale generators. Nameplate capacity is reported for nonutilities on Form E " Annual Electric Generator Report  Nonutility." Nameplate capacity is designated by the manufacturer. The nameplate capacity has been converted to net summer ca on historic relationships.

2/ Includes oil, gas, and dual fired capability.

3/ Other includes methane, propane gas, and blast furnace gas for utilities; and hydrogen, sulfur, batteries, chemicals, fish oil, and spent sulfite liquor.

4/ Includes conventional hydroelectric, geothermal, wood, wood waste, municipal solid waste, other biomass, solar thermal, photovoltaics, and wind power.

5/ Primarily peak load capacity fueled by natural gas.

6/ Cumulative additions after December 31, 2000.

7/ Generation to meet system load by source.

8/ Cogenerators produce electricity and other useful thermal energy ( such as steam or heat) through the sequential use of energy.

9/ Includes fuel consumption by electric utilities, small power producers, independent power producers, and exempt wholesale generators.

10/ Estimated emissions from utilities and nonutilities ( excluding cogenerators).

O& M = Operation and maintenance.

EMM = Electricity market module.

N/ A = Not applicable.

Note: Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding.

Sources: 2000 ( except for prices and nonutility data): Energy Information Administration ( EIA), Annual Energy Review 2000, DOE/ EIA 0384( 2000) ( Washington, DC Other 2000 and projections: NewGen Data and Analysis, RDI Consulting/ FT Energy ( Boulder, CO, February 2001) and EIA, AEO2002 National Energy Modeling Syst Table 61. Electric Power Projections for Electricity Market Module Region Mid Atlantic Area Council 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Electricity Generating Capacity 1/

( gigawatts)

Coal Steam 19.19 18.99 18.99 18.99 18.99 18.95 18.95 18.95 18.95 18.95 Other Fossil Steam 2/ 8.16 8.16 8.16 8.16 8.16 8.16 8.16 8.16 8.16 8.16 Combined Cycle 1.87 2.47 2.47 2.47 3.45 3.57 4.86 6.01 7.11 7.55 Page 13 of 170 5 3001_ aeo  A 283 284 285 286 287 288 289 290 291 292 293 294 295 296 297 298 299 300 301 302 303 304 305 306 307 308 309 310 311 312 313 314 315 316 317 318 319 320 321 322 323 324 325 326 327 328 329 L M N O P Q R S T U V W 1.25 1.29 1.33 1.37 1.39 1.43 1.45 1.48 1.50 1.52 1.54 2.0%

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  7.6%

2.43 2.48 2.52 2.56 2.59 2.61 2.65 2.67 2.69 2.72 2.74 1.1%

53.85 54.55 55.20 55.78 56.29 56.67 57.24 57.64 58.01 58.42 58.75 0.8%

197.45 200.02 202.40 204.52 206.41 207.80 209.90 211.35 212.69 214.21 215.43 0.8%

0.38 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.31 0.31 0.30 0.33 0.33 0.36 0.38 0.4%

0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24  0.6%

by tests during IA 860B apacity based C, August 2001)

em run aeo2002. d102001b 2000

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2020 18.95 18.95 18.95 18.95 18.95 18.95 18.95 18.95 18.95 19.10 19.10 0.0%

8.16 8.16 8.16 8.16 8.16 8.16 8.16 8.16 8.16 8.16 8.16 N/ A 7.81 8.53 9.10 9.58 10.27 10.88 11.49 12.04 12.60 12.99 13.45 10.4%

Page 14 of 170 5 3001_ aeo  A 330 331 332 333 334 335 336 337 338 339 340 341 342 343 344 345 346 347 348 349 350 351 352 353 354 355 356 357 358 359 360 361 362 363 364 365 366 367 368 369 370 371 372 373 374 375 376 A B C D E F G H I J K Combustion Turbine/ Diesel 8.82 8.82 9.96 10.76 10.68 11.71 11.86 12.31 12.37 12.54 Nuclear Power 12.98 12.98 13.03 13.03 13.03 13.03 13.03 11.92 11.92 11.92 Pumped Storage/ Other 3/ 1.31 1.31 1.31 1.31 1.31 1.31 1.31 1.31 1.31 1.31 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.04 0.06 0.07 0.09 0.11 0.13 Renewable Sources 4/ 1.76 1.81 1.88 1.95 2.02 2.09 2.16 2.22 2.28 2.33 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.11 0.31 0.55 0.79 1.00 1.20 Total Capability 54.09 54.54 55.82 56.74 57.79 59.18 60.94 61.75 63.20 64.09 Cumulative Planned Additions 6/

Coal Steam 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Other Fossil Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.61 Combustion Turbine/ Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage/ Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.04 0.06 0.07 0.09 0.11 0.13 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.05 0.12 0.19 0.26 0.33 0.40 0.46 0.52 0.57 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Planned Additions 0.00 0.65 0.74 0.82 0.91 0.99 1.07 1.15 1.23 1.31 Cumulative Unplanned Additions 6/

Coal Steam 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Other Fossil Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.97 1.09 2.39 3.54 4.63 5.08 Combustion Turbine/ Diesel 0.00 0.00 1.14 1.94 2.25 3.28 3.43 3.89 3.94 4.11 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage/ Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Unplanned Additions 0.00 0.00 1.14 1.98 3.33 4.68 6.37 8.21 9.58 10.39 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.11 0.31 0.55 0.79 1.00 1.20 Cumulative Total Additions 0.00 0.65 1.88 2.80 4.24 5.67 7.44 9.36 10.81 11.70 Cumulative Retirements 7/

Coal Steam 0.00 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 Other Fossil Steam 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combustion Turbine/ Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.11 1.11 1.11 Pumped Storage 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total 0.00 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.59 0.64 0.64 1.74 1.74 1.74 Cogenerators 8/

Capability Coal 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 Page 15 of 170 5 3001_ aeo  A 330 331 332 333 334 335 336 337 338 339 340 341 342 343 344 345 346 347 348 349 350 351 352 353 354 355 356 357 358 359 360 361 362 363 364 365 366 367 368 369 370 371 372 373 374 375 376 L M N O P Q R S T U V W 12.87 12.87 12.87 13.55 13.89 14.38 14.56 14.85 14.85 14.85 14.85 2.6%

11.30 11.30 11.30 11.30 11.30 11.30 11.30 11.30 11.30 11.30 11.30  0.7%

1.31 1.31 1.31 1.31 1.31 1.31 1.31 1.31 1.31 1.31 1.31 N/ A 0.16 0.18 0.21 0.22 0.23 0.24 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 N/ A 2.39 2.44 2.49 2.55 2.60 2.66 2.71 2.71 2.71 2.71 2.71 2.2%

1.39 1.58 1.76 1.94 2.12 2.30 2.48 2.65 2.82 2.98 3.12 N/ A 64.33 65.32 66.16 67.56 68.84 70.17 71.21 72.22 72.95 73.65 74.26 1.6%

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.61 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.16 0.18 0.21 0.22 0.23 0.24 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 N/ A 0.62 0.68 0.73 0.79 0.84 0.89 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 1.39 1.47 1.54 1.61 1.67 1.74 1.80 1.80 1.80 1.80 1.80 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.15 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 5.34 6.05 6.63 7.11 7.80 8.40 9.02 9.57 10.13 10.51 10.98 N/ A 4.45 4.45 4.45 5.12 5.47 5.95 6.14 6.43 6.43 6.43 6.43 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 11.17 12.08 12.84 14.17 15.39 16.66 17.63 18.64 19.37 20.07 20.68 N/ A 1.39 1.58 1.76 1.94 2.12 2.30 2.48 2.65 2.82 2.98 3.12 N/ A 12.56 13.55 14.38 15.78 17.06 18.40 19.44 20.45 21.18 21.88 22.49 N/ A 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 N/ A 1.73 1.73 1.73 1.73 1.73 1.73 1.73 1.73 1.73 1.73 1.73 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 2.36 2.36 2.36 2.36 2.36 2.36 2.36 2.36 2.36 2.36 2.36 N/ A 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.09 1.09 1.09 0.0%

Page 16 of 170 5 3001_ aeo  A 377 378 379 380 381 382 383 384 385 386 387 388 389 390 391 392 393 394 395 396 397 398 399 400 401 402 403 404 405 406 407 408 409 410 411 412 413 414 415 416 417 418 419 420 421 422 423 A B C D E F G H I J K Petroleum 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 Natural Gas 3.04 3.07 3.07 3.09 3.12 3.14 3.16 3.18 3.20 3.23 Other Gaseous Fuels 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 Other 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total 4.84 4.87 4.87 4.96 4.99 5.01 5.04 5.06 5.09 5.11 Electricity Demand ( billion kilowatthours)

Residential 83.46 86.82 89.48 92.61 94.20 95.61 96.74 97.85 98.93 99.95 Commercial/ Other 103.29 106.99 109.22 112.58 115.60 118.37 121.25 124.06 126.82 129.53 Industrial 58.18 55.16 55.76 56.37 57.55 58.71 59.53 60.52 61.57 62.67 Transportation 1.38 1.41 1.44 1.62 1.80 1.96 2.09 2.22 2.34 2.46 Total Sales 246.30 250.38 255.90 263.19 269.15 274.64 279.61 284.65 289.66 294.61 Net Energy for Load ( billion kilowatthours) 7/

Gross International Imports 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gross International Exports 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gross Interregional Electricity Imports 38.52 35.08 38.73 38.24 38.43 38.79 37.04 39.92 40.63 42.26 Gross Interregional Electricity Exports 17.29 15.62 16.95 15.41 16.84 16.32 17.29 16.82 16.34 15.44 Purchases from Cogenerators 8/ 18.46 18.37 18.27 18.48 18.63 18.72 18.81 18.90 18.98 19.06 Utility Generation for Customers 225.64 231.59 235.16 241.54 248.78 253.52 261.34 263.08 266.95 269.46 Total Net Energy for Load 265.32 269.42 275.22 282.85 289.00 294.71 299.89 305.08 310.22 315.35 Generation by Fuel Type ( billion kilowatthours)

Coal 110.68 112.06 115.01 119.30 122.53 126.39 130.90 135.34 135.40 135.81 Petroleum 5.65 7.36 1.41 1.30 1.04 0.81 0.76 0.60 0.53 0.47 Natural Gas 7.44 9.59 14.13 15.55 19.20 19.90 23.21 28.08 31.26 33.06 Nuclear 101.88 103.04 103.73 102.70 102.75 102.80 102.84 95.10 95.10 95.10 Pumped Storage/ Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 8.22 7.73 9.05 10.90 11.50 11.82 11.75 12.03 12.64 12.91 Total Generation 233.88 239.77 243.33 249.77 257.06 261.84 269.71 271.49 275.36 277.87 Sales to Customers 225.64 231.59 235.16 241.54 248.78 253.52 261.34 263.08 266.95 269.46 Generation for Own Use 8.24 8.18 8.17 8.23 8.28 8.32 8.37 8.41 8.41 8.41 Cogenerators Coal 5.83 5.74 5.60 5.63 5.70 5.70 5.71 5.72 5.70 5.69 Petroleum 0.99 1.03 0.99 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.06 1.06 1.06 1.07 Natural Gas 17.81 17.99 18.07 18.42 18.66 18.89 19.11 19.30 19.49 19.69 Other Gaseous Fuels 0.62 0.62 0.62 0.94 0.94 0.95 0.98 0.98 0.99 1.02 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.85 0.86 0.88 0.90 0.92 0.92 0.93 Other 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 Total 26.36 26.51 26.40 27.17 27.51 27.77 28.05 28.27 28.46 28.69 Sales to Utilities 18.46 18.37 18.27 18.48 18.63 18.72 18.81 18.90 18.98 19.06 Generation for Own Use 7.90 8.13 8.13 8.69 8.88 9.05 9.24 9.37 9.48 9.63 Page 17 of 170 5 3001_ aeo  A 377 378 379 380 381 382 383 384 385 386 387 388 389 390 391 392 393 394 395 396 397 398 399 400 401 402 403 404 405 406 407 408 409 410 411 412 413 414 415 416 417 418 419 420 421 422 423 L M N O P Q R S T U V W 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.47 0.47 0.47  0.1%

3.25 3.27 3.30 3.32 3.35 3.37 3.40 3.43 3.46 3.49 3.52 0.7%

0.23 0.24 0.24 0.25 0.26 0.26 0.27 0.27 0.28 0.29 0.30 4.4%

0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.1%

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 5.14 5.17 5.20 5.23 5.26 5.30 5.33 5.36 5.40 5.44 5.48 0.6%

100.91 101.89 102.98 104.17 105.47 106.80 107.87 109.05 110.25 111.55 112.85 1.5%

132.19 134.84 137.48 140.12 142.68 144.83 146.74 148.58 150.37 152.11 153.76 2.0%

63.98 65.32 66.11 67.01 67.80 68.64 69.45 70.24 71.04 71.79 72.34 1.1%

2.58 2.70 2.82 2.93 3.04 3.09 3.06 3.02 2.97 2.92 2.86 3.7%

299.66 304.76 309.39 314.24 318.98 323.36 327.12 330.89 334.63 338.37 341.81 1.7%

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 44.26 42.52 42.90 42.36 42.14 42.64 44.28 43.65 43.70 44.62 45.78 0.9%

13.92 12.87 12.14 12.21 11.86 14.11 14.66 14.56 14.76 15.31 15.69  0.5%

19.15 19.26 19.37 19.48 19.60 19.72 19.84 19.96 20.11 20.26 20.42 0.5%

271.10 276.90 280.35 285.84 290.42 296.35 299.11 303.57 307.43 310.84 313.67 1.7%

320.59 325.80 330.49 335.47 340.30 344.60 348.56 352.63 356.49 360.41 364.17 1.6%

136.59 136.43 136.63 137.09 137.25 137.75 137.86 138.05 138.23 139.48 139.68 1.2%

0.51 0.54 0.56 0.56 0.53 0.55 0.55 0.57 0.58 0.59 0.64  10.3%

37.84 43.45 46.38 51.10 55.24 60.34 62.68 66.77 70.38 72.45 74.98 12.2%

90.82 90.82 90.82 90.82 90.82 90.82 90.82 90.82 90.82 90.82 90.82  0.6%

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 13.14 13.36 13.60 13.83 14.06 14.30 14.52 14.61 14.61 14.61 14.60 2.9%

279.51 285.31 288.76 294.25 298.83 304.76 307.52 311.98 315.84 319.25 322.08 1.6%

271.10 276.90 280.35 285.84 290.42 296.35 299.11 303.57 307.43 310.84 313.67 1.7%

8.41 8.41 8.41 8.41 8.41 8.41 8.41 8.41 8.41 8.41 8.41 0.1%

5.68 5.67 5.67 5.67 5.67 5.67 5.66 5.66 5.66 5.66 5.66  0.1%

1.08 1.08 1.09 1.10 1.10 1.11 1.11 1.12 1.13 1.14 1.15 0.8%

19.91 20.14 20.36 20.59 20.81 21.06 21.32 21.58 21.86 22.14 22.45 1.2%

1.04 1.07 1.09 1.12 1.15 1.16 1.18 1.21 1.24 1.28 1.32 3.9%

0.95 0.97 0.98 1.00 1.01 1.03 1.04 1.06 1.07 1.08 1.09 1.4%

0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.1%

28.94 29.22 29.50 29.77 30.04 30.31 30.62 30.92 31.25 31.59 31.97 1.0%

19.15 19.26 19.37 19.48 19.60 19.72 19.84 19.96 20.11 20.26 20.42 0.5%

9.79 9.96 10.12 10.28 10.44 10.60 10.78 10.95 11.14 11.33 11.55 1.9%

Page 18 of 170 5 3001_ aeo  A 424 425 426 427 428 429 430 431 432 433 434 435 436 437 438 439 440 441 442 443 444 445 446 447 448 449 450 451 452 453 454 455 456 457 458 459 460 461 462 463 464 465 466 467 468 469 470 A B C D E F G H I J K End Use Prices ( 2000 cents per kilowatthour)

Residential 9.8 9.2 8.1 8.4 8.5 8.3 8.1 8.1 8.2 8.2 Commercial 8.7 8.2 7.0 7.4 7.5 7.2 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 Industrial 6.7 6.3 5.3 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 Transportation 8.6 7.9 6.9 6.7 6.6 6.1 5.9 6.0 6.1 6.3 All Sectors Average 8.6 8.1 7.0 7.4 7.4 7.2 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 Prices by Service Category ( 2000 cents/ kilowatthour)

Generation 5.5 5.2 4.2 4.4 4.5 4.3 4.1 4.1 4.0 4.1 Transmission 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 Distribution 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.5 Fuel Consumption ( quadrillion Btu) 9/

Coal 1.10 1.11 1.14 1.19 1.22 1.26 1.30 1.35 1.35 1.36 Natural Gas 0.07 0.09 0.14 0.15 0.17 0.18 0.20 0.23 0.24 0.25 Oil 0.07 0.08 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 Total 1.23 1.28 1.29 1.35 1.40 1.45 1.51 1.59 1.60 1.62 Emissions ( million tons) 10/

Total Carbon 33.36 34.30 34.36 35.80 36.99 38.20 39.72 41.50 41.72 42.02 Carbon Dioxide 122.32 125.78 125.98 131.28 135.64 140.08 145.64 152.15 152.98 154.09 Sulfur Dioxide 1.04 0.95 1.19 1.00 0.93 0.91 1.03 1.06 0.96 0.94 Nitrogen Oxide 0.23 0.24 0.24 0.25 0.20 0.20 0.21 0.22 0.22 0.22 1/ Net summer capability is the steady hourly output that generating equipment is expected to supply to system load ( exclusive of auxiliary power), as demonstrated b summer peak demand. Includes electric utilities, small power producers, and exempt wholesale generators. Nameplate capacity is reported for nonutilities on Form E " Annual Electric Generator Report  Nonutility." Nameplate capacity is designated by the manufacturer. The nameplate capacity has been converted to net summer ca on historic relationships.

2/ Includes oil, gas, and dual fired capability.

3/ Other includes methane, propane gas, and blast furnace gas for utilities; and hydrogen, sulfur, batteries, chemicals, fish oil, and spent sulfite liquor.

4/ Includes conventional hydroelectric, geothermal, wood, wood waste, municipal solid waste, other biomass, solar thermal, photovoltaics, and wind power.

5/ Primarily peak load capacity fueled by natural gas.

6/ Cumulative additions after December 31, 2000.

7/ Generation to meet system load by source.

8/ Cogenerators produce electricity and other useful thermal energy ( such as steam or heat) through the sequential use of energy.

9/ Includes fuel consumption by electric utilities, small power producers, independent power producers, and exempt wholesale generators.

10/ Estimated emissions from utilities and nonutilities ( excluding cogenerators).

O& M = Operation and maintenance.

EMM = Electricity market module.

N/ A = Not applicable.

Note: Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding.

Sources: 2000 ( except for prices and nonutility data): Energy Information Administration ( EIA), Annual Energy Review 2000, DOE/ EIA 0384( 2000) ( Washington, DC Page 19 of 170 5 3001_ aeo  A 424 425 426 427 428 429 430 431 432 433 434 435 436 437 438 439 440 441 442 443 444 445 446 447 448 449 450 451 452 453 454 455 456 457 458 459 460 461 462 463 464 465 466 467 468 469 470 L M N O P Q R S T U V W 8.4 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.7 8.7 8.8 8.9  0.5%

7.3 7.4 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.7 7.7 7.9  0.5%

5.5 5.7 5.7 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.9 6.0 6.1  0.4%

6.5 6.7 6.8 6.8 6.9 6.9 6.9 6.9 6.9 6.8 6.8  1.2%

7.3 7.4 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.6 7.7 7.8  0.5%

4.3 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.6 4.7 4.8 4.9  0.6%

0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  0.4%

2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.4  0.2%

1.36 1.36 1.36 1.38 1.38 1.38 1.38 1.39 1.39 1.40 1.40 1.2%

0.29 0.34 0.35 0.39 0.41 0.44 0.46 0.48 0.51 0.52 0.53 10.6%

0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01  10.4%

1.66 1.70 1.72 1.77 1.80 1.83 1.85 1.88 1.90 1.92 1.94 2.3%

42.89 43.52 43.86 44.75 45.21 45.91 46.12 46.63 47.07 47.54 47.87 1.8%

157.25 159.58 160.83 164.09 165.77 168.32 169.11 170.99 172.59 174.31 175.53 1.8%

0.89 0.83 0.83 0.72 0.72 0.74 0.74 0.74 0.72 0.72 0.74  1.7%

0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.23 0.23  0.1%

by tests during IA 860B apacity based C, August 2001) Page 20 of 170 5 3001_ aeo  A 471 472 473 474 475 476 477 478 479 480 481 482 483 484 485 486 487 488 489 490 491 492 493 494 495 496 497 498 499 500 501 502 503 504 505 506 507 508 509 510 511 512 513 514 515 516 517 A B C D E F G H I J K Other 2000 and projections: NewGen Data and Analysis, RDI Consulting/ FT Energy ( Boulder, CO, February 2001) and EIA, AEO2002 National Energy Modeling Syst Table 62. Electric Power Projections for Electricity Market Module Region Mid America Interconnected Network 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Electricity Generating Capacity 1/

( gigawatts)

Coal Steam 27.49 27.49 27.49 27.49 27.49 27.49 27.48 27.48 27.48 27.48 Other Fossil Steam 2/ 3.98 3.98 3.98 3.98 3.98 3.98 3.98 3.98 3.98 3.98 Combined Cycle 0.31 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 Combustion Turbine/ Diesel 7.98 8.39 9.49 9.93 11.12 12.48 12.73 13.72 14.32 14.53 Nuclear Power 13.00 13.00 13.00 13.00 13.00 13.00 13.00 13.00 13.00 13.00 Pumped Storage/ Other 3/ 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.90 1.06 1.06 1.06 1.06 1.06 1.06 1.06 1.06 1.06 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.10 0.16 0.23 0.30 0.43 0.56 Total Capability 54.09 54.82 55.93 56.41 57.67 59.08 59.39 60.45 61.18 61.52 Cumulative Planned Additions 6/

Coal Steam 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Other Fossil Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 Combustion Turbine/ Diesel 0.00 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage/ Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Planned Additions 0.00 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.73 Cumulative Unplanned Additions 6/

Coal Steam 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Other Fossil Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combustion Turbine/ Diesel 0.00 0.00 1.11 1.57 2.85 4.44 4.69 5.76 6.36 6.58 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage/ Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Unplanned Additions 0.00 0.00 1.11 1.62 2.95 4.60 4.92 6.06 6.79 7.14 Page 21 of 170 5 3001_ aeo  A 471 472 473 474 475 476 477 478 479 480 481 482 483 484 485 486 487 488 489 490 491 492 493 494 495 496 497 498 499 500 501 502 503 504 505 506 507 508 509 510 511 512 513 514 515 516 517 L M N O P Q R S T U V W em run aeo2002. d102001b 2000

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2020 27.48 27.48 27.48 27.48 27.48 27.48 27.48 27.48 26.78 26.78 26.78  0.1%

3.98 3.98 3.98 3.98 3.98 3.98 3.98 3.98 3.98 3.98 3.98 N/ A 0.76 1.11 1.23 1.38 1.65 1.87 2.08 2.33 2.55 2.76 3.01 12.0%

14.56 14.56 14.56 14.56 14.92 15.78 16.63 17.59 18.45 19.32 19.32 4.5%

13.00 12.21 11.43 11.43 11.43 11.43 11.43 11.43 11.43 11.43 11.43  0.6%

0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 1.06 1.06 1.06 1.06 1.06 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.1%

0.71 0.76 0.89 1.02 1.16 1.28 1.40 1.53 1.66 1.80 1.84 N/ A 61.99 61.59 61.07 61.35 62.11 63.38 64.56 65.91 66.40 67.61 67.91 1.1%

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 N/ A 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.73 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.29 0.63 0.76 0.90 1.18 1.40 1.61 1.86 2.07 2.28 2.54 N/ A 6.69 6.69 6.69 6.69 7.05 7.91 8.76 9.72 10.64 11.51 11.51 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 N/ A 7.69 8.08 8.34 8.62 9.38 10.64 11.83 13.17 14.44 15.65 15.94 N/ A Page 22 of 170 5 3001_ aeo  A 518 519 520 521 522 523 524 525 526 527 528 529 530 531 532 533 534 535 536 537 538 539 540 541 542 543 544 545 546 547 548 549 550 551 552 553 554 555 556 557 558 559 560 561 562 563 564 A B C D E F G H I J K Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.10 0.16 0.23 0.30 0.43 0.56 Cumulative Total Additions 0.00 0.73 1.84 2.34 3.68 5.33 5.65 6.79 7.52 7.86 Cumulative Retirements 7/

Coal Steam 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 Other Fossil Steam 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combustion Turbine/ Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.11 0.34 0.34 0.43 0.43 0.43 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.11 0.34 0.36 0.44 0.44 0.44 Cogenerators 8/

Capability Coal 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83 Petroleum 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 Natural Gas 0.42 0.44 0.44 0.45 0.47 0.48 0.49 0.50 0.52 0.53 Other Gaseous Fuels 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.21 0.22 0.23 0.23 0.24 0.24 0.25 Other 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total 1.51 1.53 1.53 1.56 1.57 1.59 1.61 1.63 1.64 1.66 Electricity Demand ( billion kilowatthours)

Residential 71.22 75.02 77.15 79.81 81.38 82.91 83.77 84.70 85.71 86.89 Commercial/ Other 75.03 78.14 79.66 81.71 83.59 85.20 86.76 88.16 89.35 90.45 Industrial 84.65 80.44 81.24 83.31 85.14 87.25 89.04 91.07 92.63 94.11 Transportation 1.06 1.08 1.10 1.24 1.38 1.50 1.61 1.70 1.79 1.89 Total Sales 231.95 234.68 239.16 246.07 251.49 256.86 261.17 265.63 269.48 273.34 Net Energy for Load ( billion kilowatthours) 7/

Gross International Imports 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gross International Exports 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gross Interregional Electricity Imports 19.63 15.48 14.53 14.94 16.86 16.40 16.73 14.50 14.91 14.88 Gross Interregional Electricity Exports 28.37 23.78 19.16 20.12 22.81 22.48 23.88 23.74 23.29 21.10 Purchases from Cogenerators 8/ 1.06 1.02 1.13 1.27 1.34 1.43 1.52 1.61 1.69 1.78 Utility Generation for Customers 255.62 258.16 259.05 266.70 273.01 278.63 284.04 290.56 293.60 295.33 Total Net Energy for Load 247.94 250.88 255.55 262.79 268.41 273.98 278.40 282.93 286.91 290.90 Generation by Fuel Type ( billion kilowatthours)

Coal 148.22 155.74 155.15 162.90 168.75 174.00 180.11 186.65 188.87 190.26 Petroleum 3.31 0.67 0.30 0.36 0.35 0.33 0.35 0.32 0.33 0.32 Natural Gas 6.78 4.06 5.90 5.51 5.49 5.58 4.76 4.56 5.04 5.16 Page 23 of 170 5 3001_ aeo  A 518 519 520 521 522 523 524 525 526 527 528 529 530 531 532 533 534 535 536 537 538 539 540 541 542 543 544 545 546 547 548 549 550 551 552 553 554 555 556 557 558 559 560 561 562 563 564 L M N O P Q R S T U V W 0.71 0.76 0.89 1.02 1.16 1.28 1.40 1.53 1.66 1.80 1.84 N/ A 8.42 8.81 9.06 9.34 10.11 11.37 12.56 13.90 15.16 16.37 16.67 N/ A 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.71 0.71 0.71 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.58 0.58 0.58 N/ A 0.00 0.78 1.57 1.57 1.57 1.57 1.57 1.57 1.57 1.57 1.57 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.52 1.31 2.09 2.09 2.09 2.09 2.09 2.09 2.86 2.86 2.86 N/ A 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.82  0.1%

0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03  0.2%

0.54 0.55 0.57 0.58 0.59 0.61 0.63 0.64 0.66 0.67 0.69 2.5%

0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.04 4.4%

0.25 0.26 0.27 0.27 0.28 0.28 0.29 0.29 0.30 0.30 0.31 2.1%

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 1.68 1.70 1.72 1.74 1.76 1.78 1.80 1.82 1.84 1.87 1.89 1.1%

88.10 89.27 90.46 91.70 93.06 94.55 95.80 97.03 98.24 99.59 100.97 1.8%

91.49 92.51 93.54 94.66 95.94 97.21 98.40 99.51 100.56 101.70 102.87 1.6%

96.06 97.97 99.18 100.31 101.44 102.56 103.61 104.76 106.00 107.14 107.99 1.2%

1.98 2.07 2.16 2.25 2.33 2.36 2.34 2.31 2.27 2.23 2.18 3.7%

277.63 281.82 285.33 288.93 292.77 296.69 300.15 303.61 307.07 310.65 314.01 1.5%

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 15.00 18.12 21.68 22.65 23.32 23.12 22.79 22.57 24.38 23.30 24.53 1.1%

20.14 17.79 14.93 14.67 14.02 13.75 12.72 11.55 8.96 8.07 7.18  6.6%

1.88 1.99 2.10 2.22 2.33 2.45 2.57 2.69 2.83 2.96 3.10 5.5%

298.61 297.36 294.47 296.73 299.18 302.94 305.81 308.38 307.60 311.42 312.74 1.0%

295.35 299.68 303.33 306.93 310.82 314.75 318.44 322.10 325.84 329.61 333.20 1.5%

191.35 193.78 195.00 195.86 196.51 197.17 197.66 198.08 193.42 193.79 194.13 1.4%

0.26 0.34 0.36 0.37 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.37 0.37 0.37  10.4%

6.67 9.18 10.73 11.88 13.46 16.00 18.27 20.36 24.19 27.60 28.56 7.5%

Page 24 of 170 5 3001_ aeo  A 565 566 567 568 569 570 571 572 573 574 575 576 577 578 579 580 581 582 583 584 585 586 587 588 589 590 591 592 593 594 595 596 597 598 599 600 601 602 603 604 605 606 607 608 609 610 611 A B C D E F G H I J K Nuclear 97.63 98.23 97.46 97.65 97.84 98.02 98.21 98.40 98.59 98.78 Pumped Storage/ Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 3.46 3.68 4.51 4.57 4.87 4.98 4.88 4.89 4.99 4.97 Total Generation 259.40 262.39 263.32 271.00 277.34 282.98 288.42 294.96 298.01 299.74 Sales to Customers 255.62 258.16 259.05 266.70 273.01 278.63 284.04 290.56 293.60 295.33 Generation for Own Use 3.78 4.23 4.27 4.30 4.33 4.35 4.38 4.41 4.41 4.41 Cogenerators Coal 3.24 3.24 3.24 3.22 3.21 3.20 3.19 3.18 3.16 3.15 Petroleum 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.51 0.51 Natural Gas 2.02 2.11 2.14 2.27 2.37 2.46 2.55 2.63 2.72 2.80 Other Gaseous Fuels 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.55 0.55 0.56 0.57 0.57 0.58 0.60 Renewable Sources 4/ 1.79 1.76 1.80 1.88 1.95 2.02 2.10 2.17 2.18 2.22 Other 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 Total 7.96 8.02 8.09 8.52 8.68 8.85 9.02 9.17 9.24 9.38 Sales to Utilities 1.06 1.02 1.13 1.27 1.34 1.43 1.52 1.61 1.69 1.78 Generation for Own Use 6.90 7.00 6.96 7.25 7.33 7.42 7.50 7.56 7.55 7.59 End Use Prices ( 2000 cents per kilowatthour)

Residential 8.6 8.4 8.0 7.7 7.7 7.8 7.7 7.5 7.6 7.6 Commercial 7.2 6.9 6.5 6.6 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.3 6.3 Industrial 4.7 4.5 4.2 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.2 4.1 4.1 4.1 Transportation 7.1 6.6 6.2 5.9 5.6 5.3 5.3 5.4 5.6 5.7 All Sectors Average 6.7 6.5 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.1 6.1 5.9 6.0 6.0 Prices by Service Category ( 2000 cents/ kilowatthour)

Generation 4.3 4.2 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.6 3.6 Transmission 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 Distribution 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.9 Fuel Consumption ( quadrillion Btu) 9/

Coal 1.54 1.63 1.62 1.70 1.76 1.83 1.89 1.96 1.99 2.00 Natural Gas 0.08 0.04 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 Oil 0.04 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total 1.66 1.68 1.69 1.77 1.83 1.89 1.95 2.01 2.04 2.06 Emissions ( million tons) 10/

Total Carbon 46.17 46.88 46.99 49.35 51.09 52.79 54.53 56.46 57.27 57.74 Carbon Dioxide 169.31 171.90 172.28 180.95 187.33 193.57 199.94 207.03 210.00 211.71 Sulfur Dioxide 0.98 1.09 0.99 1.03 1.00 0.98 0.95 0.92 0.90 0.88 Nitrogen Oxide 0.33 0.35 0.34 0.37 0.32 0.33 0.34 0.35 0.36 0.36 1/ Net summer capability is the steady hourly output that generating equipment is expected to supply to system load ( exclusive of auxiliary power), as demonstrated b Page 25 of 170 5 3001_ aeo  A 565 566 567 568 569 570 571 572 573 574 575 576 577 578 579 580 581 582 583 584 585 586 587 588 589 590 591 592 593 594 595 596 597 598 599 600 601 602 603 604 605 606 607 608 609 610 611 L M N O P Q R S T U V W 98.97 93.24 87.51 87.70 87.89 87.95 88.00 88.01 88.01 88.01 88.01  0.5%

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 5.45 4.89 4.89 4.88 4.85 5.31 5.30 5.30 5.28 5.27 5.26 2.1%

303.02 301.77 298.88 301.14 303.59 307.35 310.21 312.79 312.00 315.83 317.15 1.0%

298.61 297.36 294.47 296.73 299.18 302.94 305.81 308.38 307.60 311.42 312.74 1.0%

4.41 4.41 4.41 4.41 4.41 4.41 4.41 4.41 4.41 4.41 4.41 0.8%

3.15 3.14 3.14 3.13 3.13 3.12 3.11 3.11 3.10 3.10 3.09  0.2%

0.51 0.52 0.52 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.54 0.54 0.55 0.55 0.56 1.1%

2.89 2.99 3.08 3.18 3.27 3.38 3.49 3.60 3.71 3.83 3.96 3.4%

0.61 0.63 0.64 0.66 0.67 0.68 0.69 0.71 0.73 0.75 0.78 3.9%

2.26 2.34 2.41 2.46 2.52 2.57 2.63 2.69 2.74 2.78 2.83 2.3%

0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.1%

9.53 9.72 9.89 10.06 10.22 10.38 10.56 10.74 10.93 11.12 11.32 1.8%

1.88 1.99 2.10 2.22 2.33 2.45 2.57 2.69 2.83 2.96 3.10 5.5%

7.65 7.73 7.79 7.84 7.89 7.94 8.00 8.05 8.11 8.16 8.22 0.9%

7.6 7.8 7.9 7.9 7.8 7.7 7.7 7.7 7.8 7.8 7.8  0.5%

6.3 6.5 6.7 6.8 6.8 6.7 6.7 6.6 6.7 6.6 6.7  0.3%

4.2 4.3 4.5 4.6 4.6 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.6  0.2%

5.9 6.1 6.2 6.3 6.3 6.2 6.2 6.1 6.1 6.0 5.9  0.9%

6.0 6.1 6.3 6.4 6.3 6.3 6.2 6.2 6.3 6.3 6.3  0.3%

3.7 3.8 4.0 4.1 4.1 4.0 4.0 3.9 4.0 4.0 4.1  0.3%

0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  0.6%

1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.8  0.3%

2.01 2.04 2.06 2.07 2.07 2.08 2.09 2.09 2.04 2.05 2.05 1.4%

0.07 0.09 0.10 0.11 0.12 0.14 0.15 0.17 0.20 0.23 0.23 5.8%

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  11.2%

2.08 2.13 2.16 2.18 2.20 2.22 2.25 2.26 2.25 2.28 2.29 1.6%

58.27 59.38 60.02 60.47 60.87 61.42 61.86 62.24 61.37 61.97 62.19 1.5%

213.65 217.72 220.08 221.73 223.21 225.22 226.82 228.23 225.04 227.21 228.04 1.5%

0.88 0.84 0.83 0.84 0.83 0.82 0.82 0.81 0.78 0.78 0.78  1.2%

0.36 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.6%

by tests during Page 26 of 170 5 3001_ aeo  A 612 613 614 615 616 617 618 619 620 621 622 623 624 625 626 627 628 629 630 631 632 633 634 635 636 637 638 639 640 641 642 643 644 645 646 647 648 649 650 651 652 653 654 655 656 657 658 A B C D E F G H I J K summer peak demand. Includes electric utilities, small power producers, and exempt wholesale generators. Nameplate capacity is reported for nonutilities on Form E " Annual Electric Generator Report  Nonutility." Nameplate capacity is designated by the manufacturer. The nameplate capacity has been converted to net summer ca on historic relationships.

2/ Includes oil, gas, and dual fired capability.

3/ Other includes methane, propane gas, and blast furnace gas for utilities; and hydrogen, sulfur, batteries, chemicals, fish oil, and spent sulfite liquor.

4/ Includes conventional hydroelectric, geothermal, wood, wood waste, municipal solid waste, other biomass, solar thermal, photovoltaics, and wind power.

5/ Primarily peak load capacity fueled by natural gas.

6/ Cumulative additions after December 31, 2000.

7/ Generation to meet system load by source.

8/ Cogenerators produce electricity and other useful thermal energy ( such as steam or heat) through the sequential use of energy.

9/ Includes fuel consumption by electric utilities, small power producers, independent power producers, and exempt wholesale generators.

10/ Estimated emissions from utilities and nonutilities ( excluding cogenerators).

O& M = Operation and maintenance.

EMM = Electricity market module.

N/ A = Not applicable.

Note: Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding.

Sources: 2000 ( except for prices and nonutility data): Energy Information Administration ( EIA), Annual Energy Review 2000, DOE/ EIA 0384( 2000) ( Washington, DC Other 2000 and projections: NewGen Data and Analysis, RDI Consulting/ FT Energy ( Boulder, CO, February 2001) and EIA, AEO2002 National Energy Modeling Syst Table 63. Electric Power Projections for Electricity Market Module Region Mid Continent Area Power Pool 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Electricity Generating Capacity 1/

( gigawatts)

Coal Steam 19.86 19.86 19.86 19.86 19.86 19.86 19.83 19.83 19.83 19.83 Other Fossil Steam 2/ 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 Combined Cycle 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.72 1.09 1.47 1.85 Combustion Turbine/ Diesel 5.40 5.79 6.43 6.84 7.59 7.53 7.78 8.07 8.22 8.22 Nuclear Power 3.76 3.76 3.76 3.76 3.76 3.76 3.76 3.76 3.76 3.76 Pumped Storage/ Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 3.95 4.09 4.24 4.28 4.31 4.31 4.31 4.31 4.31 4.31 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.07 0.11 0.15 0.18 0.22 Total Capability 33.93 34.47 35.25 35.71 36.52 36.49 37.08 37.78 38.36 38.77 Cumulative Planned Additions 6/

Coal Steam 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Other Fossil Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combustion Turbine/ Diesel 0.00 0.39 0.39 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 Page 27 of 170 5 3001_ aeo  A 612 613 614 615 616 617 618 619 620 621 622 623 624 625 626 627 628 629 630 631 632 633 634 635 636 637 638 639 640 641 642 643 644 645 646 647 648 649 650 651 652 653 654 655 656 657 658 L M N O P Q R S T U V W IA 860B apacity based C, August 2001)

em run aeo2002. d102001b 2000

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2020 19.83 19.83 19.82 19.82 19.82 19.82 19.82 19.82 19.82 19.82 20.18 0.1%

0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 N/ A 2.17 2.32 2.32 2.32 2.63 3.06 3.43 3.82 4.23 4.47 4.74 13.3%

8.24 8.43 8.65 9.03 9.39 9.51 9.84 10.50 10.92 11.42 11.09 3.7%

3.76 3.76 3.76 3.76 3.29 2.53 2.53 2.53 2.53 2.53 2.53  2.0%

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 4.31 4.31 4.31 4.31 4.31 4.31 4.31 4.31 4.31 4.33 4.33 0.5%

0.25 0.28 0.36 0.44 0.53 0.61 0.70 0.78 0.87 0.96 1.05 N/ A 39.14 39.50 39.80 40.26 40.54 40.42 41.21 42.34 43.26 44.11 44.48 1.4%

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 N/ A Page 28 of 170 5 3001_ aeo  A 659 660 661 662 663 664 665 666 667 668 669 670 671 672 673 674 675 676 677 678 679 680 681 682 683 684 685 686 687 688 689 690 691 692 693 694 695 696 697 698 699 700 701 702 703 704 705 A B C D E F G H I J K Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage/ Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.15 0.29 0.33 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Planned Additions 0.00 0.54 0.68 1.06 1.08 1.08 1.08 1.08 1.08 1.08 Cumulative Unplanned Additions 6/

Coal Steam 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Other Fossil Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.33 0.70 1.08 1.46 Combustion Turbine/ Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.64 0.72 1.47 1.54 1.79 2.08 2.24 2.24 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage/ Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Unplanned Additions 0.00 0.00 0.64 0.72 1.51 1.61 2.23 2.93 3.50 3.91 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.07 0.11 0.15 0.18 0.22 Cumulative Total Additions 0.00 0.54 1.32 1.78 2.59 2.69 3.31 4.01 4.58 4.99 Cumulative Retirements 7/

Coal Steam 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 Other Fossil Steam 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combustion Turbine/ Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 Cogenerators 8/

Capability Coal 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 Petroleum 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 Natural Gas 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.06 Other Gaseous Fuels 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.25 0.26 0.27 0.28 0.29 0.29 0.29 Other 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.96 0.96 0.98 0.99 1.00 1.00 1.01 Electricity Demand ( billion kilowatthours)

Residential 51.27 53.78 54.94 56.61 57.60 58.52 59.08 59.62 60.16 60.73 Commercial/ Other 40.04 41.64 42.32 43.50 44.66 45.68 46.60 47.47 48.25 48.95 Industrial 61.70 58.63 59.23 60.77 62.10 63.65 64.96 66.43 67.57 68.64 Transportation 0.67 0.69 0.70 0.79 0.88 0.96 1.03 1.09 1.15 1.21 Page 29 of 170 5 3001_ aeo  A 659 660 661 662 663 664 665 666 667 668 669 670 671 672 673 674 675 676 677 678 679 680 681 682 683 684 685 686 687 688 689 690 691 692 693 694 695 696 697 698 699 700 701 702 703 704 705 L M N O P Q R S T U V W 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 1.08 1.08 1.08 1.08 1.08 1.08 1.08 1.08 1.08 1.08 1.08 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.36 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 1.78 1.93 1.93 1.93 2.24 2.67 3.04 3.43 3.84 4.09 4.35 N/ A 2.25 2.44 2.66 3.04 3.40 3.52 3.85 4.51 4.93 5.43 5.89 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.02 N/ A 4.28 4.65 4.95 5.42 6.17 6.80 7.60 8.72 9.65 10.50 11.67 N/ A 0.25 0.28 0.36 0.44 0.53 0.61 0.70 0.78 0.87 0.96 1.05 N/ A 5.37 5.73 6.03 6.50 7.25 7.88 8.68 9.80 10.73 11.58 12.75 N/ A 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.93 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.48 1.23 1.23 1.23 1.23 1.23 1.23 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.64 1.40 1.40 1.40 1.40 1.40 2.19 N/ A 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57  0.1%

0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04  0.2%

0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.08 3.6%

0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.06 4.4%

0.30 0.31 0.32 0.32 0.33 0.33 0.34 0.35 0.35 0.36 0.36 2.0%

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 1.01 1.03 1.04 1.04 1.05 1.06 1.07 1.08 1.09 1.10 1.11 0.9%

61.34 62.07 62.88 63.71 64.56 65.50 66.30 67.12 67.92 68.78 69.67 1.5%

49.67 50.45 51.28 52.15 53.07 54.02 54.92 55.78 56.58 57.38 58.11 1.9%

70.05 71.41 72.26 73.07 73.86 74.66 75.41 76.23 77.12 77.93 78.52 1.2%

1.27 1.33 1.39 1.45 1.50 1.53 1.51 1.50 1.47 1.45 1.42 3.8%

Page 30 of 170 5 3001_ aeo  A 706 707 708 709 710 711 712 713 714 715 716 717 718 719 720 721 722 723 724 725 726 727 728 729 730 731 732 733 734 735 736 737 738 739 740 741 742 743 744 745 746 747 748 749 750 751 752 A B C D E F G H I J K Total Sales 153.68 154.74 157.20 161.67 165.24 168.81 171.67 174.61 177.13 179.53 Net Energy for Load ( billion kilowatthours) 7/

Gross International Imports 10.06 10.47 9.93 11.14 11.36 11.23 8.72 7.91 8.27 8.35 Gross International Exports 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gross Interregional Electricity Imports 9.86 6.15 4.77 3.50 3.18 3.32 3.22 3.21 2.91 3.21 Gross Interregional Electricity Exports 19.02 14.86 13.88 16.80 19.38 19.22 18.02 17.45 16.51 14.46 Purchases from Cogenerators 8/ 0.59 0.55 0.64 0.71 0.76 0.81 0.86 0.91 0.96 1.01 Utility Generation for Customers 165.98 166.24 169.61 177.17 183.54 187.10 191.44 194.71 196.27 196.28 Total Net Energy for Load 167.46 168.55 171.07 175.71 179.46 183.23 186.22 189.30 191.89 194.38 Generation by Fuel Type ( billion kilowatthours)

Coal 118.19 120.05 120.06 126.42 132.13 135.77 139.16 142.43 142.81 142.06 Petroleum 0.70 0.96 0.35 0.49 0.53 0.54 0.50 0.40 0.40 0.39 Natural Gas 2.71 2.63 3.24 3.32 3.71 3.56 4.55 4.64 5.81 6.56 Nuclear 28.80 29.09 28.80 28.80 28.80 28.80 28.80 28.80 28.80 28.80 Pumped Storage/ Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 15.77 13.69 17.35 18.33 18.54 18.58 18.57 18.56 18.56 18.55 Total Generation 166.16 166.43 169.79 177.35 183.72 187.28 191.63 194.90 196.46 196.46 Sales to Customers 165.98 166.24 169.61 177.17 183.54 187.10 191.44 194.71 196.27 196.28 Generation for Own Use 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 Cogenerators Coal 3.23 3.23 3.23 3.21 3.21 3.20 3.19 3.19 3.17 3.16 Petroleum 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 Natural Gas 0.45 0.49 0.49 0.54 0.57 0.60 0.63 0.65 0.68 0.71 Other Gaseous Fuels 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 Renewable Sources 4/ 1.05 1.01 1.06 1.11 1.14 1.18 1.21 1.25 1.25 1.27 Other 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 Total 4.87 4.86 4.92 5.03 5.09 5.15 5.21 5.26 5.27 5.31 Sales to Utilities 0.59 0.55 0.64 0.71 0.76 0.81 0.86 0.91 0.96 1.01 Generation for Own Use 4.29 4.32 4.28 4.32 4.33 4.35 4.35 4.36 4.32 4.31 End Use Prices ( 2000 cents per kilowatthour)

Residential 7.8 7.2 7.0 6.9 6.7 6.6 6.5 6.5 6.6 6.6 Commercial 6.4 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.6 5.6 5.4 5.4 5.5 5.5 Industrial 4.4 4.0 4.0 3.9 3.9 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.8 3.8 Transportation 6.4 5.8 5.8 5.3 4.9 4.6 4.5 4.7 4.9 5.1 All Sectors Average 6.1 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.1 5.2 5.2 Prices by Service Category ( 2000 cents/ kilowatthour)

Generation 3.3 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.7 Transmission 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 Page 31 of 170 5 3001_ aeo  A 706 707 708 709 710 711 712 713 714 715 716 717 718 719 720 721 722 723 724 725 726 727 728 729 730 731 732 733 734 735 736 737 738 739 740 741 742 743 744 745 746 747 748 749 750 751 752 L M N O P Q R S T U V W 182.33 185.27 187.81 190.37 193.00 195.71 198.15 200.62 203.09 205.54 207.72 1.5%

8.33 8.82 8.91 8.81 8.97 8.87 8.56 8.19 8.31 8.27 7.96  1.2%

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 3.18 3.24 3.39 3.71 4.91 6.95 6.86 6.53 6.03 6.34 5.58  2.8%

13.05 12.54 12.11 11.15 9.10 6.11 5.71 5.84 5.68 4.91 5.84  5.7%

1.06 1.12 1.17 1.23 1.29 1.35 1.42 1.48 1.55 1.61 1.68 5.4%

197.83 199.73 201.60 202.97 202.21 200.05 202.64 206.01 208.75 210.28 214.52 1.3%

197.33 200.37 202.97 205.57 208.28 211.13 213.76 216.38 218.96 221.60 223.90 1.5%

142.50 142.79 143.07 143.33 143.51 143.68 143.69 143.85 143.93 143.93 146.63 1.1%

0.37 0.42 0.45 0.45 0.44 0.45 0.44 0.46 0.46 0.45 0.45  2.2%

7.68 9.24 10.78 11.85 14.67 17.53 20.08 23.25 25.87 27.33 28.84 12.6%

28.80 28.80 28.80 28.80 25.00 19.77 19.77 19.77 19.77 19.77 19.77  1.9%

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 18.54 18.54 18.53 18.52 18.54 18.53 18.53 18.52 18.51 18.56 18.56 0.8%

198.01 199.91 201.79 203.15 202.40 200.24 202.82 206.20 208.93 210.47 214.70 1.3%

197.83 199.73 201.60 202.97 202.21 200.05 202.64 206.01 208.75 210.28 214.52 1.3%

0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.0%

3.15 3.15 3.14 3.14 3.13 3.12 3.12 3.11 3.11 3.10 3.10  0.2%

0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 1.1%

0.74 0.77 0.80 0.83 0.86 0.89 0.92 0.96 0.99 1.03 1.07 4.4%

0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.11 0.11 3.9%

1.29 1.33 1.36 1.39 1.41 1.44 1.47 1.49 1.52 1.54 1.56 2.0%

0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.1%

5.36 5.43 5.48 5.54 5.59 5.65 5.71 5.77 5.83 5.88 5.94 1.0%

1.06 1.12 1.17 1.23 1.29 1.35 1.42 1.48 1.55 1.61 1.68 5.4%

4.30 4.31 4.31 4.31 4.30 4.29 4.29 4.29 4.28 4.27 4.26 0.0%

6.7 6.6 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.4 6.4 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.5  0.9%

5.6 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.4 5.4 5.4  0.9%

3.9 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7  0.8%

5.3 5.3 5.4 5.5 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.2 5.0  1.2%

5.3 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.1  0.8%

2.7 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6  1.1%

0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7  0.6%

Page 32 of 170 5 3001_ aeo  A 753 754 755 756 757 758 759 760 761 762 763 764 765 766 767 768 769 770 771 772 773 774 775 776 777 778 779 780 781 782 783 784 785 786 787 788 789 790 791 792 793 794 795 796 797 798 799 A B C D E F G H I J K Distribution 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.9 Fuel Consumption ( quadrillion Btu) 9/

Coal 1.28 1.30 1.30 1.37 1.43 1.48 1.52 1.55 1.56 1.55 Natural Gas 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 Oil 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total 1.31 1.34 1.34 1.41 1.48 1.52 1.56 1.60 1.61 1.60 Emissions ( million tons) 10/

Total Carbon 37.50 38.05 38.01 40.14 42.08 43.29 44.48 45.46 45.74 45.55 Carbon Dioxide 137.49 139.53 139.38 147.17 154.31 158.73 163.09 166.67 167.71 167.02 Sulfur Dioxide 0.46 0.49 0.48 0.49 0.50 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.51 0.50 Nitrogen Oxide 0.26 0.27 0.27 0.28 0.29 0.30 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 1/ Net summer capability is the steady hourly output that generating equipment is expected to supply to system load ( exclusive of auxiliary power), as demonstrated b summer peak demand. Includes electric utilities, small power producers, and exempt wholesale generators. Nameplate capacity is reported for nonutilities on Form E " Annual Electric Generator Report  Nonutility." Nameplate capacity is designated by the manufacturer. The nameplate capacity has been converted to net summer ca on historic relationships.

2/ Includes oil, gas, and dual fired capability.

3/ Other includes methane, propane gas, and blast furnace gas for utilities; and hydrogen, sulfur, batteries, chemicals, fish oil, and spent sulfite liquor.

4/ Includes conventional hydroelectric, geothermal, wood, wood waste, municipal solid waste, other biomass, solar thermal, photovoltaics, and wind power.

5/ Primarily peak load capacity fueled by natural gas.

6/ Cumulative additions after December 31, 2000.

7/ Generation to meet system load by source.

8/ Cogenerators produce electricity and other useful thermal energy ( such as steam or heat) through the sequential use of energy.

9/ Includes fuel consumption by electric utilities, small power producers, independent power producers, and exempt wholesale generators.

10/ Estimated emissions from utilities and nonutilities ( excluding cogenerators).

O& M = Operation and maintenance.

EMM = Electricity market module.

N/ A = Not applicable.

Note: Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding.

Sources: 2000 ( except for prices and nonutility data): Energy Information Administration ( EIA), Annual Energy Review 2000, DOE/ EIA 0384( 2000) ( Washington, DC Other 2000 and projections: NewGen Data and Analysis, RDI Consulting/ FT Energy ( Boulder, CO, February 2001) and EIA, AEO2002 National Energy Modeling Syst Table 64. Electric Power Projections for Electricity Market Module Region Northeast Power Coordinating Council / New York 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Electricity Generating Capacity 1/ Page 33 of 170 5 3001_ aeo  A 753 754 755 756 757 758 759 760 761 762 763 764 765 766 767 768 769 770 771 772 773 774 775 776 777 778 779 780 781 782 783 784 785 786 787 788 789 790 791 792 793 794 795 796 797 798 799 L M N O P Q R S T U V W 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8  0.5%

1.55 1.56 1.56 1.57 1.57 1.57 1.57 1.57 1.57 1.57 1.60 1.1%

0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09 0.11 0.13 0.15 0.17 0.19 0.20 0.21 10.7%

0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01  1.9%

1.62 1.63 1.65 1.66 1.69 1.71 1.73 1.75 1.77 1.78 1.81 1.6%

45.83 46.11 46.46 46.75 47.14 47.53 47.80 48.25 48.57 48.70 49.50 1.4%

168.06 169.08 170.37 171.42 172.85 174.28 175.28 176.92 178.10 178.58 181.50 1.4%

0.51 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.4%

0.31 0.31 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 1.0%

by tests during IA 860B apacity based C, August 2001)

em run aeo2002. d102001b 2000

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2020 Page 34 of 170 5 3001_ aeo  A 800 801 802 803 804 805 806 807 808 809 810 811 812 813 814 815 816 817 818 819 820 821 822 823 824 825 826 827 828 829 830 831 832 833 834 835 836 837 838 839 840 841 842 843 844 845 846 A B C D E F G H I J K ( gigawatts)

Coal Steam 3.57 3.57 3.57 3.57 3.57 3.57 3.57 3.57 3.57 3.57 Other Fossil Steam 2/ 12.36 12.36 12.36 12.36 11.25 10.35 9.20 9.20 9.20 9.20 Combined Cycle 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 1.34 3.04 3.65 4.23 4.74 Combustion Turbine/ Diesel 3.64 3.64 3.64 3.64 3.64 4.30 4.30 4.30 4.30 4.30 Nuclear Power 4.98 4.98 4.98 4.98 4.98 4.98 4.98 4.98 4.98 4.98 Pumped Storage/ Other 3/ 1.28 1.28 1.28 1.28 1.28 1.28 1.28 1.28 1.28 1.28 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 4.55 4.63 4.78 4.85 4.92 4.99 5.13 5.13 5.13 5.13 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 Total Capability 31.02 31.10 31.24 31.31 30.27 30.84 31.54 32.15 32.73 33.23 Cumulative Planned Additions 6/

Coal Steam 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Other Fossil Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combustion Turbine/ Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage/ Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Planned Additions 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 Cumulative Unplanned Additions 6/

Coal Steam 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Other Fossil Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.71 2.41 3.02 3.60 4.10 Combustion Turbine/ Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage/ Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Unplanned Additions 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.67 3.37 3.98 4.56 5.07 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 Cumulative Total Additions 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 1.67 3.38 3.99 4.57 5.07 Cumulative Retirements 7/

Coal Steam 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Other Fossil Steam 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.11 2.01 3.16 3.16 3.16 3.16 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combustion Turbine/ Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.11 2.29 3.43 3.43 3.43 3.43 Page 35 of 170 5 3001_ aeo  A 800 801 802 803 804 805 806 807 808 809 810 811 812 813 814 815 816 817 818 819 820 821 822 823 824 825 826 827 828 829 830 831 832 833 834 835 836 837 838 839 840 841 842 843 844 845 846 L M N O P Q R S T U V W 3.57 3.57 3.51 3.51 3.51 3.51 3.51 3.51 3.51 3.51 3.51  0.1%

9.20 9.20 9.20 9.20 9.20 9.20 9.20 9.20 9.20 9.20 9.20  1.5%

4.92 5.31 5.61 5.66 5.97 6.13 6.13 6.25 6.30 6.30 6.30 12.2%

4.30 4.30 4.30 4.30 4.30 4.30 4.30 4.30 4.30 4.30 4.30 0.8%

4.98 4.98 4.98 4.98 4.01 4.01 4.01 4.01 4.01 4.01 4.01  1.1%

1.28 1.28 1.28 1.28 1.28 1.28 1.28 1.28 1.28 1.28 1.28 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 5.18 5.18 5.18 5.18 5.18 5.18 5.18 5.18 5.18 5.18 5.18 0.6%

0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 N/ A 33.46 33.85 34.09 34.14 33.48 33.64 33.64 33.76 33.81 33.81 33.81 0.4%

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 4.29 4.68 4.98 5.03 5.34 5.50 5.50 5.62 5.67 5.67 5.67 N/ A 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 N/ A 5.30 5.69 5.98 6.03 6.34 6.50 6.50 6.63 6.68 6.68 6.68 N/ A 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 N/ A 5.30 5.69 5.99 6.04 6.35 6.51 6.51 6.63 6.68 6.68 6.68 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 N/ A 3.16 3.16 3.16 3.16 3.16 3.16 3.16 3.16 3.16 3.16 3.16 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 3.43 3.43 3.50 3.50 4.47 4.47 4.47 4.47 4.47 4.47 4.47 N/ A Page 36 of 170 5 3001_ aeo  A 847 848 849 850 851 852 853 854 855 856 857 858 859 860 861 862 863 864 865 866 867 868 869 870 871 872 873 874 875 876 877 878 879 880 881 882 883 884 885 886 887 888 889 890 891 892 893 A B C D E F G H I J K Cogenerators 8/

Capability Coal 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 Petroleum 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 Natural Gas 3.79 3.80 3.80 3.81 3.82 3.82 3.83 3.84 3.85 3.85 Other Gaseous Fuels 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.21 0.21 0.22 0.22 0.22 Other 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total 4.41 4.42 4.42 4.44 4.45 4.47 4.48 4.49 4.50 4.51 Electricity Demand ( billion kilowatthours)

Residential 43.47 45.25 46.56 48.13 48.83 49.42 49.90 50.36 50.79 51.17 Commercial/ Other 63.81 66.32 67.15 68.96 70.52 71.90 73.34 74.68 75.96 77.15 Industrial 25.14 23.83 24.11 24.28 24.79 25.29 25.62 26.02 26.47 26.94 Transportation 0.90 0.92 0.94 1.05 1.16 1.26 1.35 1.42 1.49 1.57 Total Sales 133.32 136.32 138.75 142.42 145.29 147.87 150.20 152.48 154.71 156.83 Net Energy for Load ( billion kilowatthours) 7/

Gross International Imports 15.58 17.84 19.10 23.38 23.79 23.84 22.57 22.11 22.38 22.07 Gross International Exports 1.45 1.46 1.47 1.49 1.50 1.51 1.52 1.53 1.54 1.56 Gross Interregional Electricity Imports 17.58 16.25 16.46 14.41 16.13 15.64 16.46 16.86 16.52 15.73 Gross Interregional Electricity Exports 9.23 5.89 4.14 6.11 5.81 7.01 8.47 8.46 8.06 8.10 Purchases from Cogenerators 8/ 20.37 20.35 20.38 20.44 20.47 20.50 20.53 20.56 20.59 20.62 Utility Generation for Customers 100.75 99.76 99.08 102.55 103.15 107.43 111.72 114.10 116.06 119.33 Total Net Energy for Load 143.59 146.85 149.41 153.19 156.24 158.89 161.30 163.64 165.95 168.10 Generation by Fuel Type ( billion kilowatthours)

Coal 22.90 23.03 22.99 23.33 23.80 24.23 24.66 25.06 24.95 24.86 Petroleum 11.82 13.46 4.79 2.82 2.70 1.70 1.07 0.82 0.78 0.74 Natural Gas 10.91 10.24 14.72 18.09 17.89 22.31 26.08 28.08 29.98 33.19 Nuclear 39.52 40.01 39.76 39.86 39.96 40.06 40.16 40.26 40.37 40.47 Pumped Storage/ Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 17.34 14.75 18.57 20.22 20.55 20.88 21.50 21.65 21.75 21.85 Total Generation 102.48 101.50 100.83 104.31 104.89 109.19 113.49 115.88 117.84 121.12 Sales to Customers 100.75 99.76 99.08 102.55 103.15 107.43 111.72 114.10 116.06 119.33 Generation for Own Use 1.73 1.74 1.75 1.76 1.75 1.76 1.77 1.78 1.78 1.78 Cogenerators Coal 1.34 1.34 1.32 1.32 1.32 1.32 1.31 1.31 1.30 1.30 Petroleum 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 Natural Gas 20.57 20.62 20.63 20.70 20.76 20.80 20.85 20.90 20.94 20.98 Other Gaseous Fuels 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.28 0.28 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.30 0.31 Renewable Sources 4/ 1.04 1.02 1.04 1.07 1.08 1.11 1.13 1.15 1.15 1.16 Page 37 of 170 5 3001_ aeo  A 847 848 849 850 851 852 853 854 855 856 857 858 859 860 861 862 863 864 865 866 867 868 869 870 871 872 873 874 875 876 877 878 879 880 881 882 883 884 885 886 887 888 889 890 891 892 893 L M N O P Q R S T U V W 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27  0.1%

0.13 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12  0.1%

3.86 3.87 3.88 3.88 3.89 3.90 3.91 3.92 3.93 3.94 3.95 0.2%

0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 4.4%

0.22 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.25 0.25 0.25 1.2%

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 4.52 4.53 4.55 4.56 4.57 4.58 4.60 4.61 4.62 4.64 4.65 0.3%

51.49 51.80 52.18 52.61 53.11 53.62 53.99 54.40 54.85 55.33 55.82 1.3%

78.28 79.36 80.37 81.34 82.16 82.58 82.77 82.90 82.98 83.01 83.00 1.3%

27.50 28.06 28.37 28.74 29.05 29.40 29.74 30.06 30.37 30.67 30.87 1.0%

1.64 1.71 1.78 1.85 1.91 1.94 1.91 1.88 1.85 1.81 1.77 3.4%

158.91 160.93 162.70 164.54 166.23 167.54 168.41 169.24 170.05 170.83 171.46 1.3%

22.64 23.00 23.14 23.54 22.96 24.46 24.45 23.91 23.44 22.88 22.02 1.7%

1.57 1.56 1.56 1.56 1.56 1.56 1.55 1.55 1.55 1.55 1.55 0.3%

14.44 13.13 12.31 12.46 12.06 14.57 15.21 15.08 15.18 15.62 16.12  0.4%

7.31 6.75 6.49 6.58 6.04 4.78 4.51 4.15 3.89 3.51 1.86  7.7%

20.66 20.70 20.74 20.78 20.82 20.86 20.90 20.95 21.00 21.05 21.10 0.2%

121.37 123.73 125.85 127.15 129.22 125.24 125.24 126.40 127.31 127.84 127.21 1.2%

170.24 172.24 173.98 175.79 177.46 178.79 179.74 180.63 181.49 182.33 183.04 1.2%

24.79 24.69 24.71 24.76 24.77 24.79 24.79 24.80 24.80 24.81 24.81 0.4%

0.73 0.71 0.75 1.11 1.24 1.65 1.95 2.07 2.19 2.52 2.55  7.4%

34.76 37.16 39.08 39.87 41.72 43.99 43.65 44.69 45.47 45.68 45.04 7.3%

40.57 40.67 40.77 40.87 40.97 34.30 34.34 34.34 34.34 34.34 34.34  0.7%

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 22.29 22.28 22.27 22.27 22.26 22.25 22.25 22.24 22.23 22.23 22.21 1.2%

123.15 125.51 127.59 128.90 130.97 126.99 126.99 128.14 129.05 129.59 128.96 1.2%

121.37 123.73 125.85 127.15 129.22 125.24 125.24 126.40 127.31 127.84 127.21 1.2%

1.78 1.78 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 0.0%

1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.28 1.28 1.28 1.28  0.2%

0.30 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.33 0.9%

21.03 21.08 21.13 21.18 21.22 21.28 21.33 21.39 21.45 21.51 21.58 0.2%

0.31 0.32 0.33 0.34 0.34 0.35 0.36 0.36 0.37 0.39 0.40 3.9%

1.17 1.19 1.21 1.23 1.24 1.26 1.27 1.29 1.30 1.32 1.33 1.2%

Page 38 of 170 5 3001_ aeo  A 894 895 896 897 898 899 900 901 902 903 904 905 906 907 908 909 910 911 912 913 914 915 916 917 918 919 920 921 922 923 924 925 926 927 928 929 930 931 932 933 934 935 936 937 938 939 940 A B C D E F G H I J K Other 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 Total 23.46 23.49 23.51 23.72 23.79 23.86 23.93 24.00 24.04 24.10 Sales to Utilities 20.37 20.35 20.38 20.44 20.47 20.50 20.53 20.56 20.59 20.62 Generation for Own Use 3.08 3.13 3.12 3.27 3.32 3.36 3.40 3.43 3.44 3.47 End Use Prices ( 2000 cents per kilowatthour)

Residential 13.4 13.7 12.8 12.1 12.1 12.0 11.7 11.5 11.4 11.5 Commercial 11.2 10.8 9.8 9.3 9.2 8.9 8.7 8.6 8.4 8.4 Industrial 4.9 4.9 4.6 4.5 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.9 4.9 Transportation 10.8 10.5 9.8 8.7 8.4 7.9 7.8 7.9 8.0 8.1 All Sectors Average 10.7 10.7 9.9 9.4 9.4 9.2 9.0 8.9 8.8 8.8 Prices by Service Category ( 2000 cents/ kilowatthour)

Generation 5.9 5.9 5.2 4.7 4.7 4.5 4.3 4.2 4.0 4.0 Transmission 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 Distribution 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 Fuel Consumption ( quadrillion Btu) 9/

Coal 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.25 0.25 0.26 0.26 0.26 Natural Gas 0.11 0.10 0.15 0.19 0.18 0.21 0.21 0.22 0.23 0.25 Oil 0.12 0.14 0.05 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 Total 0.47 0.48 0.44 0.46 0.46 0.48 0.48 0.49 0.49 0.51 Emissions ( million tons) 10/

Total Carbon 11.32 11.61 10.15 10.35 10.42 10.69 10.73 10.91 11.00 11.29 Carbon Dioxide 41.52 42.58 37.23 37.94 38.20 39.19 39.33 40.01 40.33 41.40 Sulfur Dioxide 0.28 0.30 0.25 0.22 0.22 0.21 0.19 0.18 0.18 0.18 Nitrogen Oxide 0.06 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 1/ Net summer capability is the steady hourly output that generating equipment is expected to supply to system load ( exclusive of auxiliary power), as demonstrated b summer peak demand. Includes electric utilities, small power producers, and exempt wholesale generators. Nameplate capacity is reported for nonutilities on Form E " Annual Electric Generator Report  Nonutility." Nameplate capacity is designated by the manufacturer. The nameplate capacity has been converted to net summer ca on historic relationships.

2/ Includes oil, gas, and dual fired capability.

3/ Other includes methane, propane gas, and blast furnace gas for utilities; and hydrogen, sulfur, batteries, chemicals, fish oil, and spent sulfite liquor.

4/ Includes conventional hydroelectric, geothermal, wood, wood waste, municipal solid waste, other biomass, solar thermal, photovoltaics, and wind power.

5/ Primarily peak load capacity fueled by natural gas.

6/ Cumulative additions after December 31, 2000.

7/ Generation to meet system load by source.

8/ Cogenerators produce electricity and other useful thermal energy ( such as steam or heat) through the sequential use of energy.

9/ Includes fuel consumption by electric utilities, small power producers, independent power producers, and exempt wholesale generators.

10/ Estimated emissions from utilities and nonutilities ( excluding cogenerators).

O& M = Operation and maintenance. Page 39 of 170 5 3001_ aeo  A 894 895 896 897 898 899 900 901 902 903 904 905 906 907 908 909 910 911 912 913 914 915 916 917 918 919 920 921 922 923 924 925 926 927 928 929 930 931 932 933 934 935 936 937 938 939 940 L M N O P Q R S T U V W 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.1%

24.16 24.24 24.32 24.39 24.46 24.54 24.62 24.69 24.78 24.87 24.96 0.3%

20.66 20.70 20.74 20.78 20.82 20.86 20.90 20.95 21.00 21.05 21.10 0.2%

3.51 3.55 3.58 3.62 3.65 3.68 3.71 3.75 3.79 3.82 3.86 1.1%

11.6 11.7 11.7 11.7 11.8 11.9 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0  0.5%

8.4 8.5 8.6 8.7 8.7 8.9 9.1 9.1 9.2 9.3 9.4  0.9%

5.0 5.0 5.1 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.4 5.5 5.6 5.6 0.7%

8.3 8.4 8.6 8.7 8.8 8.9 8.8 8.8 8.7 8.6 8.5  1.2%

8.9 8.9 9.0 9.0 9.1 9.2 9.3 9.4 9.4 9.5 9.6  0.6%

4.1 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.3 4.5 4.6 4.7 4.7 4.8 4.9  0.9%

1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.3  0.5%

3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.3 3.3  0.1%

0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.4%

0.26 0.27 0.29 0.29 0.30 0.32 0.32 0.33 0.33 0.34 0.33 5.6%

0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03  7.4%

0.52 0.54 0.55 0.56 0.57 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.61 0.62 0.61 1.3%

11.44 11.64 11.85 12.07 12.27 12.66 12.70 12.83 12.97 13.09 13.02 0.7%

41.96 42.69 43.44 44.24 44.98 46.43 46.58 47.05 47.56 48.01 47.75 0.7%

0.18 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18  2.1%

0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.05  0.8%

by tests during IA 860B apacity based Page 40 of 170 5 3001_ aeo  A 941 942 943 944 945 946 947 948 949 950 951 952 953 954 955 956 957 958 959 960 961 962 963 964 965 966 967 968 969 970 971 972 973 974 975 976 977 978 979 980 981 982 983 984 985 986 987 A B C D E F G H I J K EMM = Electricity market module.

N/ A = Not applicable.

Note: Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding.

Sources: 2000 ( except for prices and nonutility data): Energy Information Administration ( EIA), Annual Energy Review 2000, DOE/ EIA 0384( 2000) ( Washington, DC Other 2000 and projections: NewGen Data and Analysis, RDI Consulting/ FT Energy ( Boulder, CO, February 2001) and EIA, AEO2002 National Energy Modeling Syst Table 65. Electric Power Projections for Electricity Market Module Region Northeast Power Coordinating Council / New England 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Electricity Generating Capacity 1/

( gigawatts)

Coal Steam 2.68 2.68 2.68 2.68 2.68 2.68 2.68 2.68 2.68 2.68 Other Fossil Steam 2/ 7.80 7.80 7.80 7.80 7.38 7.07 7.07 6.18 6.18 6.18 Combined Cycle 4.53 5.20 5.20 5.20 5.20 6.01 6.01 6.88 7.56 7.58 Combustion Turbine/ Diesel 1.86 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 2.11 2.11 2.11 Nuclear Power 4.36 4.36 4.36 4.36 4.36 4.36 4.36 4.36 4.36 4.36 Pumped Storage/ Other 3/ 1.09 1.09 1.09 1.09 1.09 1.09 1.09 1.09 1.09 1.09 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 3.21 3.21 3.22 3.25 3.29 3.34 3.39 3.45 3.50 3.56 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.13 0.16 0.19 Total Capability 25.53 26.10 26.10 26.14 25.75 26.30 26.39 26.88 27.64 27.75 Cumulative Planned Additions 6/

Coal Steam 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Other Fossil Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 Combustion Turbine/ Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage/ Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.05 0.08 0.11 0.17 0.22 0.27 0.33 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Planned Additions 0.00 0.68 0.68 0.72 0.75 0.78 0.84 0.89 0.94 1.00 Cumulative Unplanned Additions 6/

Coal Steam 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Other Fossil Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.80 0.80 1.68 2.35 2.38 Combustion Turbine/ Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.36 0.36 0.36 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Page 41 of 170 5 3001_ aeo  A 941 942 943 944 945 946 947 948 949 950 951 952 953 954 955 956 957 958 959 960 961 962 963 964 965 966 967 968 969 970 971 972 973 974 975 976 977 978 979 980 981 982 983 984 985 986 987 L M N O P Q R S T U V W C, August 2001)

em run aeo2002. d102001b 2000

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2020 2.68 2.68 2.68 2.68 2.68 2.68 2.68 2.68 2.68 2.68 2.68 N/ A 6.18 6.18 6.18 6.18 6.18 6.18 6.18 6.18 6.18 6.18 6.18  1.2%

7.92 8.38 8.57 8.82 9.20 9.30 9.51 9.70 9.78 9.90 10.01 4.0%

2.11 2.11 2.11 2.11 2.11 2.11 2.11 2.11 2.11 2.11 2.11 0.6%

4.36 4.36 4.36 3.69 3.69 3.69 3.69 3.69 3.69 3.69 3.69  0.8%

1.09 1.09 1.09 1.09 1.09 1.09 1.09 1.09 1.09 1.09 1.09 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 3.61 3.61 3.61 3.61 3.63 3.69 3.69 3.69 3.69 3.69 3.69 0.7%

0.22 0.24 0.26 0.28 0.31 0.33 0.34 0.36 0.38 0.39 0.40 N/ A 28.16 28.65 28.86 28.47 28.88 29.07 29.29 29.49 29.59 29.73 29.85 0.8%

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 2.71 3.17 3.36 3.62 4.00 4.10 4.30 4.49 4.57 4.69 4.81 N/ A 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A Page 42 of 170 5 3001_ aeo  A 988 989 990 991 992 993 994 995 996 997 998 999 1000 1001 1002 1003 1004 1005 1006 1007 1008 1009 1010 1011 1012 1013 1014 1015 1016 1017 1018 1019 1020 1021 1022 1023 1024 1025 1026 1027 1028 1029 1030 1031 1032 1033 1034 A B C D E F G H I J K Pumped Storage/ Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 Total Unplanned Additions 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.83 0.86 2.19 2.90 2.95 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.13 0.16 0.19 Cumulative Total Additions 0.00 0.68 0.68 0.72 0.75 1.61 1.70 3.08 3.84 3.95 Cumulative Retirements 7/

Coal Steam 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Other Fossil Steam 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.43 0.73 0.73 1.62 1.62 1.62 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combustion Turbine/ Diesel 0.00 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total 0.00 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.53 0.84 0.84 1.73 1.73 1.73 Cogenerators 8/

Capability Coal 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 Petroleum 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 Natural Gas 2.15 2.18 2.19 2.41 2.43 2.45 2.48 2.49 2.51 2.53 Other Gaseous Fuels 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.11 0.11 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.99 0.99 0.99 1.02 1.04 1.08 1.11 1.14 1.14 1.16 Other 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total 3.67 3.70 3.70 3.99 4.04 4.10 4.13 4.18 4.21 4.25 Electricity Demand ( billion kilowatthours)

Residential 41.51 42.89 43.85 45.42 46.26 47.02 47.61 48.23 48.85 49.35 Commercial/ Other 41.31 43.63 44.02 45.55 46.88 48.03 49.09 50.14 51.18 52.13 Industrial 26.11 24.71 24.99 25.47 25.87 26.37 26.81 27.30 27.71 28.14 Transportation 0.78 0.80 0.82 0.93 1.03 1.12 1.20 1.27 1.34 1.42 Total Sales 109.72 112.03 113.67 117.37 120.04 122.54 124.71 126.94 129.09 131.03 Net Energy for Load ( billion kilowatthours) 7/

Gross International Imports 10.73 8.10 12.00 12.94 12.64 13.99 13.53 12.75 12.54 12.52 Gross International Exports 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gross Interregional Electricity Imports 2.59 2.66 1.80 2.82 3.45 4.45 6.40 6.59 6.39 6.54 Gross Interregional Electricity Exports 2.44 1.21 0.02 0.05 0.24 0.25 0.29 0.54 0.84 0.76 Purchases from Cogenerators 8/ 10.95 10.93 11.73 13.50 13.48 13.14 13.18 13.00 12.77 13.07 Utility Generation for Customers 97.58 101.40 98.13 98.35 101.06 101.71 102.54 105.90 109.06 110.57 Total Net Energy for Load 119.41 121.89 123.63 127.56 130.40 133.05 135.36 137.69 139.93 141.94 Generation by Fuel Type Page 43 of 170 5 3001_ aeo  A 988 989 990 991 992 993 994 995 996 997 998 999 1000 1001 1002 1003 1004 1005 1006 1007 1008 1009 1010 1011 1012 1013 1014 1015 1016 1017 1018 1019 1020 1021 1022 1023 1024 1025 1026 1027 1028 1029 1030 1031 1032 1033 1034 L M N O P Q R S T U V W 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 N/ A 3.31 3.80 4.01 4.29 4.70 4.84 5.06 5.27 5.37 5.50 5.62 N/ A 0.22 0.24 0.26 0.28 0.31 0.33 0.34 0.36 0.38 0.39 0.40 N/ A 4.36 4.85 5.06 5.34 5.75 5.94 6.16 6.37 6.46 6.60 6.72 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 1.62 1.62 1.62 1.62 1.62 1.62 1.62 1.62 1.62 1.62 1.62 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 1.73 1.73 1.73 2.40 2.40 2.40 2.40 2.40 2.40 2.40 2.40 N/ A 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30  0.3%

0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14  0.2%

2.55 2.58 2.60 2.62 2.64 2.67 2.69 2.72 2.75 2.77 2.80 1.3%

0.11 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.14 0.14 0.15 4.4%

1.18 1.22 1.24 1.27 1.29 1.31 1.33 1.35 1.37 1.39 1.41 1.8%

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 4.29 4.35 4.40 4.45 4.50 4.55 4.60 4.65 4.70 4.75 4.80 1.4%

49.82 50.27 50.75 51.20 51.70 52.26 52.69 53.16 53.65 54.17 54.76 1.4%

53.01 53.86 54.69 55.42 56.14 56.77 57.37 57.93 58.51 59.11 59.73 1.9%

28.67 29.22 29.56 29.91 30.20 30.49 30.78 31.11 31.45 31.73 31.93 1.0%

1.49 1.56 1.62 1.69 1.75 1.78 1.76 1.74 1.71 1.68 1.65 3.8%

132.98 134.91 136.63 138.22 139.80 141.30 142.60 143.94 145.32 146.69 148.07 1.5%

12.50 12.29 12.12 12.02 11.46 12.95 12.17 11.66 11.49 11.39 14.65 1.6%

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 5.89 5.47 5.30 5.60 5.21 4.13 4.00 3.77 3.65 3.36 1.81  1.8%

0.95 0.81 0.83 0.60 0.55 0.85 0.91 0.86 0.76 0.65 0.77  5.6%

13.20 13.11 13.32 13.72 13.73 13.94 14.12 14.38 14.63 14.87 14.84 1.5%

113.33 115.85 117.74 118.49 120.94 122.09 124.27 126.13 127.54 129.03 128.91 1.4%

143.97 145.91 147.64 149.23 150.80 152.26 153.65 155.09 156.55 158.01 159.45 1.5%

Page 44 of 170 5 3001_ aeo  A 1035 1036 1037 1038 1039 1040 1041 1042 1043 1044 1045 1046 1047 1048 1049 1050 1051 1052 1053 1054 1055 1056 1057 1058 1059 1060 1061 1062 1063 1064 1065 1066 1067 1068 1069 1070 1071 1072 1073 1074 1075 1076 1077 1078 1079 1080 1081 A B C D E F G H I J K ( billion kilowatthours)

Coal 17.79 17.81 17.72 18.21 18.63 18.98 19.30 19.63 19.63 19.63 Petroleum 21.17 21.10 5.55 7.54 9.81 7.48 8.00 6.22 5.73 6.09 Natural Gas 20.86 25.18 36.54 33.82 33.53 35.74 35.42 39.71 43.08 43.95 Nuclear 31.24 31.69 31.53 31.67 31.81 31.95 32.07 32.14 32.21 32.28 Pumped Storage/ Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 10.88 10.11 11.21 11.53 11.65 11.94 12.11 12.31 12.51 12.71 Total Generation 101.95 105.88 102.54 102.77 105.44 106.09 106.92 110.07 113.24 114.74 Sales to Customers 97.58 101.40 98.13 98.35 101.06 101.71 102.54 105.90 109.06 110.57 Generation for Own Use 4.37 4.48 4.42 4.42 4.38 4.38 4.38 4.17 4.17 4.17 Cogenerators Coal 2.17 2.12 2.05 2.07 2.10 2.10 2.10 2.10 2.09 2.09 Petroleum 1.77 2.67 1.83 2.00 2.07 2.04 2.05 2.04 2.03 2.05 Natural Gas 10.59 10.07 11.43 12.90 12.76 12.40 12.39 12.15 11.89 12.11 Other Gaseous Fuels 1.28 1.28 1.28 1.94 1.95 1.97 2.02 2.02 2.05 2.11 Renewable Sources 4/ 5.09 4.87 5.15 5.39 5.53 5.70 5.87 6.03 6.04 6.14 Other 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 Total 20.97 21.08 21.81 24.37 24.46 24.27 24.49 24.40 24.17 24.55 Sales to Utilities 10.95 10.93 11.73 13.50 13.48 13.14 13.18 13.00 12.77 13.07 Generation for Own Use 10.02 10.14 10.08 10.87 10.98 11.13 11.31 11.41 11.40 11.48 End Use Prices ( 2000 cents per kilowatthour)

Residential 11.6 12.1 11.5 10.9 10.8 10.6 10.4 10.2 10.1 10.2 Commercial 9.7 9.8 8.8 8.3 8.2 7.9 7.8 7.6 7.4 7.5 Industrial 7.7 7.9 7.3 6.7 6.6 6.3 6.0 5.8 5.5 5.5 Transportation 10.9 10.3 9.8 8.6 8.1 7.7 7.6 7.7 7.7 7.9 All Sectors Average 10.0 10.3 9.5 8.9 8.9 8.6 8.4 8.2 8.0 8.1 Prices by Service Category ( 2000 cents/ kilowatthour)

Generation 5.6 6.0 5.3 4.7 4.7 4.4 4.2 4.0 3.8 3.9 Transmission 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 Distribution 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 Fuel Consumption ( quadrillion Btu) 9/

Coal 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.20 0.20 0.20 Natural Gas 0.18 0.21 0.31 0.28 0.28 0.29 0.28 0.31 0.33 0.34 Oil 0.22 0.21 0.05 0.07 0.10 0.07 0.08 0.06 0.06 0.06 Total 0.57 0.59 0.54 0.54 0.56 0.55 0.55 0.57 0.58 0.59 Emissions ( million tons) 10/

Total Carbon 12.83 13.10 11.03 11.23 11.80 11.51 11.69 11.80 12.01 12.20 Carbon Dioxide 47.04 48.04 40.45 41.19 43.28 42.22 42.86 43.27 44.04 44.75 Sulfur Dioxide 0.24 0.25 0.16 0.17 0.18 0.16 0.16 0.15 0.15 0.15 Nitrogen Oxide 0.07 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 Page 45 of 170 5 3001_ aeo  A 1035 1036 1037 1038 1039 1040 1041 1042 1043 1044 1045 1046 1047 1048 1049 1050 1051 1052 1053 1054 1055 1056 1057 1058 1059 1060 1061 1062 1063 1064 1065 1066 1067 1068 1069 1070 1071 1072 1073 1074 1075 1076 1077 1078 1079 1080 1081 L M N O P Q R S T U V W 19.63 19.63 19.63 19.63 19.63 19.63 19.63 19.63 19.64 19.64 19.64 0.5%

6.13 5.48 5.80 7.23 7.13 7.49 7.73 8.13 8.58 8.91 9.00  4.2%

46.40 49.42 50.91 54.72 57.13 57.67 59.48 60.94 61.88 63.04 62.83 5.7%

32.35 32.43 32.50 28.00 28.07 28.14 28.21 28.21 28.21 28.21 28.21  0.5%

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 12.91 12.97 12.97 12.97 13.03 13.19 13.25 13.24 13.24 13.24 13.24 1.0%

117.51 120.02 121.91 122.66 125.11 126.26 128.45 130.31 131.71 133.21 133.09 1.3%

113.33 115.85 117.74 118.49 120.94 122.09 124.27 126.13 127.54 129.03 128.91 1.4%

4.17 4.17 4.17 4.17 4.17 4.17 4.17 4.17 4.17 4.17 4.17  0.2%

2.09 2.09 2.09 2.09 2.09 2.09 2.09 2.09 2.09 2.09 2.09  0.2%

2.06 2.08 2.09 2.12 2.11 2.11 2.13 2.15 2.17 2.21 2.22 1.1%

12.17 11.99 12.10 12.40 12.35 12.46 12.54 12.69 12.81 12.92 12.78 0.9%

2.16 2.21 2.27 2.32 2.37 2.40 2.45 2.50 2.58 2.65 2.74 3.9%

6.23 6.42 6.56 6.69 6.81 6.93 7.06 7.18 7.30 7.40 7.50 2.0%

0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.1%

24.78 24.85 25.18 25.69 25.78 26.06 26.33 26.67 27.01 27.33 27.39 1.3%

13.20 13.11 13.32 13.72 13.73 13.94 14.12 14.38 14.63 14.87 14.84 1.5%

11.58 11.73 11.86 11.96 12.05 12.11 12.21 12.29 12.38 12.46 12.55 1.1%

10.2 10.2 10.3 10.4 10.4 10.4 10.4 10.5 10.5 10.6 10.6  0.5%

7.4 7.5 7.5 7.6 7.7 7.7 7.8 7.9 8.0 8.1 8.1  0.9%

5.6 5.6 5.6 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.9 6.0 6.1 6.1 6.2  1.1%

8.1 8.2 8.3 8.5 8.6 8.6 8.5 8.5 8.4 8.4 8.2  1.4%

8.1 8.1 8.1 8.3 8.3 8.3 8.4 8.4 8.5 8.6 8.6  0.7%

3.9 3.9 4.0 4.1 4.1 4.2 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.6  1.1%

1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0%

3.2 3.2 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1  0.4%

0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.5%

0.35 0.37 0.38 0.41 0.42 0.43 0.44 0.45 0.46 0.46 0.46 4.9%

0.06 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.09  4.3%

0.61 0.62 0.63 0.68 0.69 0.70 0.71 0.72 0.74 0.75 0.74 1.4%

12.47 12.63 12.85 13.63 13.85 13.98 14.23 14.48 14.70 14.90 14.87 0.7%

45.71 46.29 47.13 49.99 50.78 51.25 52.18 53.09 53.88 54.65 54.51 0.7%

0.15 0.14 0.14 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16  1.9%

0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05  1.0%

Page 46 of 170 5 3001_ aeo  A 1082 1083 1084 1085 1086 1087 1088 1089 1090 1091 1092 1093 1094 1095 1096 1097 1098 1099 1100 1101 1102 1103 1104 1105 1106 1107 1108 1109 1110 1111 1112 1113 1114 1115 1116 1117 1118 1119 1120 1121 1122 1123 1124 1125 1126 1127 1128 A B C D E F G H I J K 1/ Net summer capability is the steady hourly output that generating equipment is expected to supply to system load ( exclusive of auxiliary power), as demonstrated b summer peak demand. Includes electric utilities, small power producers, and exempt wholesale generators. Nameplate capacity is reported for nonutilities on Form E " Annual Electric Generator Report  Nonutility." Nameplate capacity is designated by the manufacturer. The nameplate capacity has been converted to net summer ca on historic relationships.

2/ Includes oil, gas, and dual fired capability.

3/ Other includes methane, propane gas, and blast furnace gas for utilities; and hydrogen, sulfur, batteries, chemicals, fish oil, and spent sulfite liquor.

4/ Includes conventional hydroelectric, geothermal, wood, wood waste, municipal solid waste, other biomass, solar thermal, photovoltaics, and wind power.

5/ Primarily peak load capacity fueled by natural gas.

6/ Cumulative additions after December 31, 2000.

7/ Generation to meet system load by source.

8/ Cogenerators produce electricity and other useful thermal energy ( such as steam or heat) through the sequential use of energy.

9/ Includes fuel consumption by electric utilities, small power producers, independent power producers, and exempt wholesale generators.

10/ Estimated emissions from utilities and nonutilities ( excluding cogenerators).

O& M = Operation and maintenance.

EMM = Electricity market module.

N/ A = Not applicable.

Note: Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding.

Sources: 2000 ( except for prices and nonutility data): Energy Information Administration ( EIA), Annual Energy Review 2000, DOE/ EIA 0384( 2000) ( Washington, DC Other 2000 and projections: NewGen Data and Analysis, RDI Consulting/ FT Energy ( Boulder, CO, February 2001) and EIA, AEO2002 National Energy Modeling Syst Table 66. Electric Power Projections for Electricity Market Module Region Florida Reliability Coordinating Council 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Electricity Generating Capacity 1/

( gigawatts)

Coal Steam 10.31 10.31 10.84 10.84 9.72 9.72 9.72 9.72 9.72 9.90 Other Fossil Steam 2/ 13.06 12.75 11.87 11.14 11.08 11.01 11.01 11.01 11.01 11.01 Combined Cycle 4.28 4.53 5.65 5.65 8.05 9.45 10.76 12.44 13.83 15.06 Combustion Turbine/ Diesel 6.20 6.73 7.51 8.03 8.15 8.26 8.48 8.52 8.77 9.20 Nuclear Power 3.90 3.90 3.90 3.90 3.90 3.90 3.90 3.90 3.90 3.90 Pumped Storage/ Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.59 0.59 0.59 0.59 0.59 0.59 0.59 0.59 0.60 0.60 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.05 0.08 0.08 0.14 0.21 Total Capability 38.33 38.81 40.35 40.15 41.51 42.97 44.53 46.24 47.98 49.87 Cumulative Planned Additions 6/ Page 47 of 170 5 3001_ aeo  A 1082 1083 1084 1085 1086 1087 1088 1089 1090 1091 1092 1093 1094 1095 1096 1097 1098 1099 1100 1101 1102 1103 1104 1105 1106 1107 1108 1109 1110 1111 1112 1113 1114 1115 1116 1117 1118 1119 1120 1121 1122 1123 1124 1125 1126 1127 1128 L M N O P Q R S T U V W by tests during IA 860B apacity based C, August 2001)

em run aeo2002. d102001b 2000

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2020 9.90 9.90 9.90 9.90 9.90 9.90 10.04 10.28 10.54 11.01 11.52 0.6%

10.92 10.92 10.92 10.68 10.68 10.68 10.68 10.18 10.18 10.18 10.18  1.2%

16.22 17.42 18.57 19.67 20.79 21.58 22.38 23.24 24.08 24.65 25.21 9.3%

9.42 9.32 9.32 9.70 10.05 10.57 11.07 11.70 12.32 12.91 13.28 3.9%

3.90 3.90 3.90 3.90 3.90 3.90 3.90 3.90 3.90 3.90 3.90 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.64 0.4%

0.27 0.27 0.29 0.36 0.42 0.49 0.56 0.63 0.70 0.77 0.85 N/ A 51.23 52.33 53.50 54.81 56.35 57.73 59.22 60.53 62.33 64.03 65.57 2.7%

Page 48 of 170 5 3001_ aeo  A 1129 1130 1131 1132 1133 1134 1135 1136 1137 1138 1139 1140 1141 1142 1143 1144 1145 1146 1147 1148 1149 1150 1151 1152 1153 1154 1155 1156 1157 1158 1159 1160 1161 1162 1163 1164 1165 1166 1167 1168 1169 1170 1171 1172 1173 1174 1175 A B C D E F G H I J K Coal Steam 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Other Fossil Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.25 0.71 0.71 2.18 2.18 2.18 2.18 2.18 2.18 Combustion Turbine/ Diesel 0.00 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage/ Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Planned Additions 0.00 0.79 1.24 1.24 2.72 2.72 2.72 2.72 2.72 2.72 Cumulative Unplanned Additions 6/

Coal Steam 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.18 Other Fossil Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.93 2.32 3.63 5.31 6.70 7.93 Combustion Turbine/ Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.79 1.31 1.49 1.60 1.95 2.07 2.34 2.76 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage/ Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.02 Total Unplanned Additions 0.00 0.00 0.79 1.31 2.44 3.97 5.66 7.45 9.21 11.09 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.05 0.08 0.08 0.14 0.21 Cumulative Total Additions 0.00 0.79 2.03 2.56 5.16 6.69 8.38 10.17 11.92 13.81 Cumulative Retirements 7/

Coal Steam 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 Other Fossil Steam 3/ 0.00 0.21 0.21 0.55 0.61 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combustion Turbine/ Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.07 0.07 0.21 0.28 0.30 0.30 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total 0.00 0.21 0.22 0.56 1.80 1.87 2.01 2.08 2.10 2.10 Cogenerators 8/

Capability Coal 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 Petroleum 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 Natural Gas 1.13 1.15 1.15 1.17 1.19 1.21 1.23 1.25 1.26 1.28 Other Gaseous Fuels 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.27 0.28 0.29 0.30 0.32 0.32 0.33 Other 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total 2.22 2.25 2.25 2.28 2.31 2.34 2.38 2.40 2.42 2.45 Electricity Demand ( billion kilowatthours) Page 49 of 170 5 3001_ aeo  A 1129 1130 1131 1132 1133 1134 1135 1136 1137 1138 1139 1140 1141 1142 1143 1144 1145 1146 1147 1148 1149 1150 1151 1152 1153 1154 1155 1156 1157 1158 1159 1160 1161 1162 1163 1164 1165 1166 1167 1168 1169 1170 1171 1172 1173 1174 1175 L M N O P Q R S T U V W 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 2.18 2.18 2.18 2.18 2.18 2.18 2.18 2.18 2.18 2.18 2.18 N/ A 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 2.72 2.72 2.72 2.72 2.72 2.72 2.72 2.72 2.72 2.72 2.72 N/ A 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.32 0.56 0.82 1.29 1.79 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 9.09 10.29 11.44 12.54 13.66 14.45 15.25 16.11 16.95 17.52 18.08 N/ A 3.25 3.25 3.25 3.64 3.99 4.51 5.00 5.64 6.26 6.84 7.21 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.05 N/ A 12.81 14.01 15.18 16.73 18.26 19.65 21.14 22.95 24.75 26.45 27.99 N/ A 0.27 0.27 0.29 0.36 0.42 0.49 0.56 0.63 0.70 0.77 0.85 N/ A 15.53 16.73 17.90 19.44 20.98 22.36 23.86 25.67 27.47 29.17 30.71 N/ A 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 N/ A 0.77 0.77 0.77 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.52 1.52 1.52 1.52 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.57 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 2.45 2.56 2.56 2.79 2.79 2.79 2.79 3.30 3.30 3.30 3.30 N/ A 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 N/ A 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.0%

1.30 1.32 1.34 1.36 1.38 1.40 1.42 1.44 1.47 1.49 1.52 1.5%

0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 4.4%

0.33 0.35 0.36 0.37 0.37 0.38 0.39 0.40 0.41 0.42 0.42 2.5%

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/ A 2.48 2.51 2.54 2.57 2.59 2.62 2.66 2.69 2.72 2.75 2.79 1.1%

Page 50 of 170 5 3001_ aeo  A 1176 1177 1178 1179 1180 1181 1182 1183 1184 1185 1186 1187 1188 1189 1190 1191 1192 1193 1194 1195 1196 1197 1198 1199 1200 1201 1202 1203 1204 1205 1206 1207 1208 1209 1210 1211 1212 1213 1214 1215 1216 1217 1218 1219 1220 1221 1222 A B C D E F G H I J K Residential 94.90 98.54 101.95 105.79 108.25 110.49 112.29 114.10 115.96 117.86 Commercial/ Other 69.82 71.89 74.47 77.25 79.89 82.39 85.00 87.66 90.36 93.12 Industrial 16.77 15.92 16.05 16.50 16.84 17.19 17.51 17.88 18.20 18.53 Transportation 0.75 0.78 0.80 0.91 1.01 1.11 1.20 1.28 1.36 1.45 Total Sales 182.24 187.13 193.26 200.45 205.99 211.17 216.00 220.92 225.88 230.96 Net Energy for Load ( billion kilowatthours) 7/

Gross International Imports 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gross International Exports 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gross Interregional Electricity Imports 29.22 28.23 35.82 39.60 38.73 36.75 37.84 38.61 36.84 35.76 Gross Interregional Electricity Exports 0.26 0.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Purchases from Cogenerators 8/ 9.37 9.27 9.14 9.22 9.32 9.36 9.39 9.44 9.46 9.50 Utility Generation for Customers 157.19 163.40 162.25 166.00 172.40 179.66 183.52 187.77 194.71 200.97 Total Net Energy for Load 195.53 200.66 207.21 214.83 220.45 225.77 230.75 235.82 241.02 246.22 Generation by Fuel Type ( billion kilowatthours)

Coal 68.95 68.28 70.37 72.68 67.40 68.78 70.10 71.44 71.44 72.63 Petroleum 23.33 28.72 12.31 11.23 11.85 11.58 10.34 8.44 7.90 7.39 Natural Gas 31.08 32.24 45.58 47.54 58.12 64.26 68.01 72.81 80.13 85.56 Nuclear 31.02 31.35 31.09 31.09 31.09 31.09 31.09 31.09 31.09 31.09 Pumped Storage/ Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 3.68 3.68 3.77 4.33 4.78 4.79 4.80 4.81 4.95 5.07 Total Generation 158.06 164.27 163.12 166.87 173.26 180.52 184.37 188.63 195.57 201.83 Sales to Customers 157.19 163.40 162.25 166.00 172.40 179.66 183.52 187.77 194.71 200.97 Generation for Own Use 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 Cogenerators Coal 5.06 4.96 4.79 4.81 4.87 4.87 4.86 4.86 4.85 4.84 Petroleum 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.32 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 Natural Gas 5.40 5.45 5.46 5.53 5.58 5.62 5.67 5.71 5.75 5.79 Other Gaseous Fuels 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.33 0.34 0.34 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.36 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.97 0.97 0.97 1.01 1.05 1.10 1.14 1.19 1.19 1.22 Other 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 Total 12.44 12.39 12.24 12.51 12.66 12.75 12.85 12.94 12.97 13.04 Sales to Utilities 9.37 9.27 9.14 9.22 9.32 9.36 9.39 9.44 9.46 9.50 Generation for Own Use 3.07 3.12 3.11 3.29 3.34 3.40 3.46 3.50 3.51 3.54 End Use Prices ( 2000 cents per kilowatthour)

Residential 8.4 8.5 8.1 7.8 7.8 7.9 7.8 7.8 7.8 7.8 Commercial 6.9 7.1 6.8 6.6 6.7 6.8 6.7 6.7 6.8 6.8 Industrial 5.2 5.3 5.1 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 Transportation 7.2 7.3 6.9 6.2 5.9 5.6 5.6 5.8 6.1 6.4 All Sectors Average 7.6 7.6 7.3 7.1 7.2 7.2 7.1 7.1 7.2 7.2 Page 51 of 170 5 3001_ aeo  A 1176 1177 1178 1179 1180 1181 1182 1183 1184 1185 1186 1187 1188 1189 1190 1191 1192 1193 1194 1195 1196 1197 1198 1199 1200 1201 1202 1203 1204 1205 1206 1207 1208 1209 1210 1211 1212 1213 1214 1215 1216 1217 1218 1219 1220 1221 1222 L M N O P Q R S T U V W 119.80 121.86 124.01 126.25 128.56 130.96 133.09 135.35 137.58 139.96 142.37 2.0%

95.92 98.80 101.77 104.84 108.05 111.27 114.46 117.67 120.86 124.06 127.20 3.0%

18.91 19.37 19.70 20.03 20.33 20.61 20.90 21.19 21.52 21.82 22.09 1.4%

1.53 1.62 1.70 1.79 1.87 1.91 1.91 1.90 1.88 1.86 1.84 4.6%

236.16 241.65 247.18 252.91 258.80 264.75 270.36 276.11 281.85 287.71 293.49 2.4%