Source:  CARB Staff Report on the 2007 Ozone Plan, Table 14
 [1] CARB's commitment is to 81 tpd NOx reduction from new technologies. See CARB Resolution 07-28 (September 27, 2007), Appendix B, p. 3

                                   Table F-3
                   Summary of Reductions Needed for SJV's
               Ozone Attainment Demonstration Updated July 2011
                          (tons per summer day, 2023)

                                      VOC
                                      NOx
                                       A
2002 baseline emissions level
                                     457.5
                                     565.2
                                       B
2023 attainment target level
                                      342
                                      141
                                       C
Total reductions needed from 2002 baseline levels to attain in 2023 (A  -  B)
                                     115.5
                                     424.2
                                       D
2023 remaining emissions (baseline measures and control strategy measures adopted prior to June 2011)
                                     338.6
                                      195

Reductions from baseline measures and control strategy measures adopted prior to June 2011[1]
                                      118
                                      370

% of reductions needed for attainment from baseline measures and control strategy measures adopted prior to June 2011
                                     103%
                                      87%

Reductions needed from remaining commitments and new technologies
                                       0
                                      54

% of reductions needed from remaining commitments and new technologies
                                      0%
                                      13%

 Source:  2011 Ozone SIP Revisions, p. B-3.
 [1]  Includes State and District measures as adopted whether SIP creditable and non creditable.
3.  Evaluation and Conclusions
a. Enforceable Commitments in the Attainment Demonstrations
A portion of the emissions reductions needed to demonstrate attainment of the 1997 8-hour ozone standard in the SJV is in the form of enforceable commitments. We describe these enforceable commitments in section II.C. above.
In most instances, a nonattainment plan should include the adopted measures it relies on to demonstrate attainment and RFP and/or meet other CAA requirement or should identify the adopted measures it relies on that are already SIP approved, federally promulgated, or otherwise SIP creditable. EPA, however, recognizes that circumstances exist that warrant the initial use of enforceable state commitments in place of these adopted measures. It believes that the CAA allows approval of such enforceable commitments as elements of a CAA control strategy requirement when they are limited in scope. Once EPA determines that circumstances warrant use of an enforceable commitment, EPA considers three factors in determining whether to approve the use of enforceable commitment to meet CAA requirements:  (a) does the commitment address a limited portion of the statutorily-required program; (b) is the state capable of fulfilling its commitment; and (c) is the commitment for a reasonable and appropriate period of time.
As shown in Table F-4 below, reductions in the projected future year baseline inventory from measures already adopted by the District and State (both prior to and as part of the 2007 Ozone Plan as well as the subsequent 2008 PM2.5 Plan) and approved or proposed for approval by EPA provide the great majority of the emissions reductions needed to demonstrate attainment of the 1997 8-hour ozone standard in the SJV. The balance is in the form of either enforceable commitments to specific aggregate emissions reductions by the District and CARB and or emissions reductions from new or improved technologies under CAA section 182(e)(5).
We believe that, with respect to the 2007 SJV 8-hour Ozone SIP, circumstances warrant the consideration of enforceable commitments as part of the attainment demonstration for the SJV. As shown in Table F-1 above, the majority of NOx emissions reductions and a substantial fraction of the VOC reductions needed to demonstrate RFP and attainment in the SJV come from rules and regulations that were adopted prior to 2007, i.e., from the baseline measures. As a result of these State and District efforts, most sources in the San Joaquin Valley nonattainment area are currently subject to stringent rules adopted prior to the State Strategy's and the Plan's development, leaving few opportunities (and generally more technologically and economically challenging ones) to further reduce emissions. In the 2007 Ozone Plan and the 2007 State Strategy, the District and CARB identified potential control measures that could contribute many of the additional emissions reductions needed for attainment. See 2007 Ozone Plan, Appendix I and 2007 State Strategy, Chapter 5. However, the timeline needed to develop, adopt, and implement these measures went many years beyond the November 2007 submittal date of the SJV 8-hour Ozone SIP. These circumstances warrant the District's and CARB's reliance on enforceable commitments as part of the attainment demonstration in the 2007 8-Hour Ozone SIP.
Given the State's demonstrated need for reliance on enforceable commitments, we now consider the three factors EPA uses to determine whether the use of enforceable commitments in lieu of adopted measures to meet a CAA planning requirements is approvable: (a) do the commitments address a limited portion of the statutorily-required program; (b) is the state capable of fulfilling its commitments; and (c) are the commitment for a reasonable and appropriate period of time.

i.  Commitments are a Limited Portion of Required Reductions
For the first factor, we look to see if the commitment addresses a limited portion of a statutory requirement, such as the amount of emissions reductions needed to demonstrate RFP and attainment in a nonattainment area. For this calculation, reductions assigned to the new technologies provision (CAA section 182(e)(5)) are not counted as commitments.
As shown Table D-12, the remaining portion of the enforceable commitments, after accounting for approved measures and advanced technology measures, needed to demonstration attainment of the 8-hour ozone standard in the San Joaquin Valley are 7.7 tpd of VOC and 4.6 tpd of NOx (the remaining portion of CARB's 2023 NOx commitment). When compared to the total reductions needed to demonstration attainment, the remaining portion of the enforceable commitments represents at most 6.7 percent of the needed VOC and 1.1 percent of the needed NOx. Historically, EPA has approved SIPs with enforceable commitments in the range of 10 percent or less. See our approval of the SJV PM10 Plan at 69 FR 30005 (May 26, 2004), the SJV 1-hour ozone plan at 75 FR 10420 (March 8, 2010), the Houston-Galveston 1-hour ozone plan at 66 FR 57160 (November 14, 2001), proposed approval of the SJV 2007 PM2.5 SIP at 76 FR 41338 (July 13, 2011), and proposed approval of the South Coast PM2.5 SIP at 76 FR 41562 (July 14, 2011).

ii.  The State is Capable of Fulfilling Its Commitment
For the second factor, we consider whether the State and District are capable of fulfilling their commitments.
As discussed above, CARB has adopted and submitted the 2009 State Strategy Status Report and the 2011 Ozone SIP Revisions, which update and revise the 2007 State Strategy. These submittals show that CARB has made significant progress in meeting its enforceable commitments for the San Joaquin Valley.
The District has already exceeded its commitments for reducing NOx emissions for the attainment year of 2023. See Table D-4. It also has already adopted rules (Rules 9510 and 4320) that are projected to achieve NOx reductions in the attainment year. These reductions, however, are not currently creditable to the attainment and RFP demonstrations. In addition, it has adopt revisions to District Rule 4702 (Reciprocating Internal Combustion Engines) that are likely to achieve substantial NOx reductions. See SJVAPCD, Final Draft Staff Report Proposed Amendments To Rule 4702 (Internal Combustion Engines), August 18, 2011. It has also adopted Rule 4566 (Organic Materials Composting Operations) that will achieve an estimated 19 tpd reductions in VOC (in SIP currency) by 2017. See SJVUAPCD, "Final Draft Staff Report, Revised Proposed New Rule 4566 (Organic Material Composting Operations)," August 18, 2011, Appendix B, p. B-3. Finally, the District is also continuing to work to identify and adopt additional measures to reduce emissions.
Beyond the rules discussed above, both CARB and the District have well-funded incentive grant programs to reduce emissions from the on- and off-road engine fleets. Reductions from several of these programs have yet to be quantified and/or credited in the attainment demonstration. See, for example, SJV PM2.5 Progress Report, section 2.3
Given the State's and District's efforts to date to reduce emissions, we believe that the State and District are capable of meeting their enforceable commitments to adopt measures to reduce emissions of NOx and VOC to the levels needed to attain the 1997 8-hour ozone standard in the San Joaquin Valley by June 15, 2024.

                                   Table F-4
           Reductions Needed for Attainment Remaining as Commitments
              based on Approved or Proposed for Approval Measures
                         (tons per summer day in 2023)

                                      NOx
                                      VOC
                                       A
Revised 2002 baseline emissions level
                                     565.2
                                     457.5
                                       B
Attainment target level
                                      141
                                      342
                                       C
Total reductions needed from baseline and control strategy measures to attain (A-B)
                                     423.9
                                     115.5
                                       D
Reductions from baseline measures and adjustments (Table D-11)
                                     338.6
                                     54.2
                                       E
Total reductions from approved measures (Tables D-5, D-11)
                                     32.4
                                     53.6
                                       F
Total reductions remaining as commitments (District and CARB) and, for NOx, reductions from new technologies (C-D-E)
                                     53.2
                                      7.7
                                       G
Reductions remaining as CARB enforceable commitments[1]
                                      4.6
                                      5.9

Reductions remaining as District enforceable commitments
                                       0
                                      1.8
                                       H
Total reductions remaining as new technology reductions (CAA section 182(e)(5)) (F-G)
                                     48.6
                                      --
                                       I
% of total reductions needed remaining as commitments not including NOx, reductions from new technologies
                                     1.1%
                                     6.7%

[1]  Calculated by subtracting from CARB's 2023 46 tpd NOx commitments (Table D-6) the adjustment to baseline from State & federal sources on Table D-8 (21.5 tpd) and emissions reductions from creditable State measures on Table D-10 (19.8 tpd). District has no NOx emissions reductions remaining as commitments. See Table D-5.
iii.  The Commitment is for a Reasonable and Appropriate Timeframe
For the third and last factor, we consider whether the commitment is for a reasonable and appropriate period of time.
In order to meet the commitments to reduce emissions to the levels needed to attain the 1997 8-hour ozone standard in the San Joaquin Valley, the 2007 Ozone Plan and 2007 State Strategy included an ambitious rule development, adoption, and implementation schedules, which both the District and CARB have substantially met. Given that almost all the emissions reductions committed to by District and CARB have already been achieved and the rules to achieve the few remaining ones are schedule for adoption by 2013, EPA considers these schedules to provide sufficient time to achieve the few remaining reductions needed to attain (when considered with the emissions reductions provided by the advanced technology provision) by the applicable attainment date of June 15, 2024. See Table F-4 above. Thus we find that the commitments are for a reasonable and appropriate timeframe.

b.  Attainment Demonstration
      In order to approve a SIP's attainment demonstration, EPA must make several findings:
      First, we must find that the demonstration's technical bases-emissions inventories and air quality modeling-are adequate. As discussed above in sections II.A. and II.B., we are proposing to approve the revised emissions inventories and to find the air quality modeling adequate to support the attainment demonstration.
      Second, we must find that the SIP provides for expeditious attainment through the implementation of all RACM. As discussed above in section II.C., we are proposing to approve the RACM demonstration in the SJV 2007 8-hour Ozone SIP as meeting the requirements of CAA section 172(c)(1).
      Third, we must find that the emissions reductions that are relied on for attainment are creditable and are sufficient to provide for attainment. As shown on Table F-4., the 2007 8-hour Ozone SIP relies principally on adopted and approved/waived rules to achieve the emissions reductions needed to attain the 1997 8-hour ozone standards in the SJV by June 15, 2024. The balance of the reductions projected to be needed for attainment is currently in the form of enforceable commitments to adopt measures to achieve aggregate tonnage reductions of VOC or NOx in the near term from available and identified technologies and commitments to adopt and submit in the longer term measures relying on the development and deployment of new technologies that will achieve specific aggregate tonnage reductions of NOx.
      EPA has previously accepted enforceable commitments in lieu of adopted control measures in attainment demonstrations when circumstances warranted them and the commitments meet three criteria. As discussed in above, we proposed to find that circumstances here warrant the consideration of enforceable commitments and that the three criteria are met: 1) the commitments constitute a limited portion of the required emissions reductions, 2) both the State and the District have demonstrated their capability to meet their commitments, and 3) the commitment are for an appropriate timeframe. Based on these conclusions, we are proposing to approve the  enforceable commitments as part of the attainment demonstration in the SJV 2007 8-Hour Ozone SIP.
      CAA section 182(e)(5) allows extreme ozone nonattainment area plans under certain conditions to include provisions for the development of new technologies and allows EPA to approve attainment demonstrations based, in part, on those provisions. For the reasons discussed in section II.E., we are proposing to find that California has met the conditions for relying on new technology provisions in its attainment demonstration for the SJV.
As discussed above in section IV.C.2. above, the SJV Ozone Plan and State Strategy, as adopted in 2007, demonstrates that a 75 percent reduction in NOx emissions from the 2002 base year level is necessary to attain the 1997 8-hour ozone standard. Since the adoption of the SJV ozone SIP in 2007, the base year NOx emissions level has be revised downward by 12 percent due to new inventory methodologies and data. Both CARB and EPA recognize that the ideal approach for evaluating the impact of these base year inventory changes on the attainment target in the SJV 2007 Ozone Plan would be to perform new air quality modeling, but both also recognize the time and effort involved in such modeling. CARB has committed to update the SJV 2007 Ozone Plan modeling to reflect the emissions inventory improvements and any other new information by December 31, 2014 or by the date the SIPs are due for the revised 8-hour ozone standard whichever comes first. See CARB Resolution 11-22, p. 3 and 2011 Ozone SIP Revisions, p. B-8. EPA is proposing to approve this commitment.
EPA believes that a 75 percent reduction from the base year NOx emissions level from the existing modeling provides the best currently available estimate of the NOx reductions needed to reach attainment. CARB has committed to, and has reaffirmed its commitment to achieve the reductions needed for attainment in the SJV. See CARB Resolution 07-28 (September 27, 2007), Appendix B, p. 3, 2009 State Strategy Status Report, p. 13, and CARB Resolution 11-22, p. 3. It has also stated that these commitments are sufficient to address the attainment needs of the SJV. See 2011 Ozone SIP Revisions Supplement, p. 1. As discussed above, CARB's commitment to achieving 81 tpd of NOx emissions reductions from new technologies is sufficient to cover any reductions that may be needed for attainment due to the changes to the base year inventory.
      For the foregoing reasons, we are proposing to approve the attainment demonstration in the SJV 2007 8-Hour Ozone SIP.
G.  Reasonable Further Progress Demonstrations
1.  Requirements for Reasonable Further Progress Demonstrations
      CAA section 172(c)(2) requires that plans for nonattainment areas provide for reasonable further progress (RFP). RFP is defined in section 171(1) as "such annual incremental reductions in emissions of the relevant air pollutant as are required by [title 1, part D] or may reasonably be required by the Administrator for the purpose of ensuring attainment of the applicable [standard] by the applicable date."
      CAA section 182(b)(1) specifically requires that SIPs for ozone nonattainment areas  classified as moderate or higher demonstrate a 15 percent reduction in VOC emissions between the years of 1990 and 1996. For ozone nonattainment areas classified as serious or higher, CAA section 182(c)(2)(B) also requires the SIPs demonstrate a three percent per year reduction (averaged over three-year periods) of ozone precursor emissions from 1997 until attainment. CAA section 182(b)(1)(D) prohibits states from including emissions reductions from pre-1990 federal motor vehicle control programs in their RFP.
      The ozone implementation rule interprets the RFP requirements for the purposes of the 1997 8-hour ozone standard. It establishes requirements for RFP that depend on the area's classification as well as whether the area has an approved 15 percent reduction plan for the 1-hour ozone standard that covers the entire 8-hour ozone nonattainment area. See 40 CFR § 51.910(d) and 70 FR 71612.  SJV has a fully-approved 182(b)(1) plan for the 1-hour ozone standard that covers the current 1997 8-hour ozone standard nonattainment area. See 62 FR 1150, 1172 (January 8, 1997).
      For areas with fully-approved 182(b)(1) plans for the 1-hour ozone standard that cover the current 1997 8-hour nonattainment area, the ozone implementation rule requires an RFP plan providing for an average of 3 percent per year of VOC and/or NOx emissions reductions for (1) the 6-year period beginning January 1 of the year following the year used for the baseline emissions inventory; and (2) all remaining 3-year periods after the first 6-year period out to the area's applicable attainment date. 40 CFR § 51.910(a)(1)(ii)(B). Except as specifically provided in CAA section 182(b)(1)(C), emissions reductions from all SIP-approved, federally promulgated, or otherwise SIP-creditable measures that occur after the base year are creditable for purposes of demonstrating that the RFP targets are met. The implementation rule also sets the base year for RFP calculations as 2002. 40 CFR 51.910(d).
      The RFP demonstration must calculate and exclude the non-creditable reductions from the federal motor vehicle control program as described in CAA section 182(b)(1)(D). The method for calculating the target emissions levels is found in Appendix A to the preamble of the ozone implementation rule. See 70 FR 71612 at 71696.

2.  RFP Demonstration in the SJV 2007 8-Hour Ozone SIP
      California has made several submittals to address the RFP requirement for the 1997 8-hour ozone standard in the SJV. These submittals are:
   1. Chapter 10 in the 2007 Ozone Plan (adopted April 30, 2007)
   2. Appendix D of the 2007 State Strategy (adopted September 27, 2007)
   3. Enclosure B to the Letter, James Goldstene, Executive Officer, CARB, to Wayne Nastri, Regional Administrator, EPA Region 9, February 1, 2008
   4. Appendix A of the 2011 Ozone SIP Revisions (adopted July 21, 2011).
      For this proposal, we are reviewing the revised RFP demonstration contained in 2011 Ozone SIP Revisions. This revised demonstration incorporates the inventory revisions described in section II.A.2. of this TSD as well as reductions from measures that have been adopted since the 2007 Ozone Plan's submittal. See 2011 Ozone SIP Revisions, p. 2. The revised RFP demonstration is shown in Table G-1 below.

3.  Evaluation and Conclusions
CARB calculated the RFP target levels following the method provided in the ozone implementation rule and preamble. See 40 CFR 51.910 and 70 FR 71612 at 71631-71650. The table provided in the SIP (reproduced in Table G-1 below) follows CARB's standard format for presenting RFP demonstrations.
      In Table G-2 below, we have modified CARB's table to make the calculations easier to follow and to remove reductions from several currently uncreditable District and state rules from the RFP calculations.  We have also removed the contingency reserve.  We discuss contingency measures in section II.J. Table G-3 gives a description of each line in Table G-2.
      As shown in Table G-2, the SJV 2007 8-Hour Ozone SIP provides for RFP in each milestone year. EPA, therefore, proposes to approve the  RFP demonstration.

                                   Table G-1
                           Revised RFP Demonstration
                             (tons per summer day)
                                                                           Year
                                     2002
                                     2008
                                     2011
                                     2014
                                     2017
                                     2020
                                     2023
                                     Line
                                      ROG
                                       A
Baseline
                                     457.5
                                     407.6
                                     354.1
                                     331.0
                                     328.9
                                     330.5
                                     339.0
                                       B
MVCP adjustment
                                      0.0
                                     12.4
                                     17.8
                                     22.4
                                     25.4
                                     26.4
                                     26.5
                                       C
RACT correction
                                      0.0
                                      0.0
                                      0.0
                                      0.0
                                      0.0
                                      0.0
                                      0.0
                                       D
Adjusted baseline in milestone year
                                     457.5
                                     445.1
                                     439.7
                                     435.0
                                     432.0
                                     431.0
                                     431.0
                                       E
RFP commitment for reductions from new measures
                                      0.0
                                      0.0
                                      0.0
                                      0.0
                                      0.0
                                      0.0
                                      0.0
                                       F
Future year with existing measures
                                       --
                                     407.6
                                     354.1
                                     331.0
                                     328.9
                                     330.5
                                     339.0
                                       G
Required percent change since previous milestone year compared to 2002
                                       --
                                      18%
                                      9%
                                      9%
                                      9%
                                      9%
                                      9%
                                       H
Required percent change since 2002
                                       --
                                      18%
                                      27%
                                      36%
                                      45%
                                      54%
                                      63%
                                       I
Target level
                                       --
                                     365.0
                                     327.2
                                     293.5
                                     264.4
                                     239.7
                                     218.1
                                       J
Apparent shortfall
                                       --
                                     42.6
                                     26.9
                                     37.5
                                     64.5
                                     90.9
                                      121
                                       K
Apparent shortfall, percent
                                       --
                                     9.6%
                                     6.1%
                                     8.6%
                                     14.9%
                                     21.1%
                                     28.1%
                                       L
Shortfall previous provided by substitution, percent
                                       --
                                     0.0%
                                     9.6%
                                     9.6%
                                     9.6%
                                     14.9%
                                     21.1%
                                       M
Actual shortfall, percent
                                       --
                                     9.6%
                                     -3.4%
                                     -0.9%
                                     5.4%
                                     6.1%
                                     7.0%

                                      NOx
                                       N
Baseline
                                     565.2
                                     425.4
                                     359.0
                                     307.4
                                     258.8
                                     224.9
                                     194.6
                                       O
MVCP adjustment
                                      0.0
                                     16.8
                                     21.2
                                     24.8
                                     26.9
                                     27.8
                                     28.2
                                       P
Adjusted 2002 baseline in milestone year
                                     565.2
                                     548.5
                                     544.1
                                     540.4
                                     538.4
                                     537.4
                                     537.1
                                       Q
RFP commitment for reductions from new measures
                                      0.0
                                      0.0
                                      0.0
                                      0.0
                                      0.0
                                      0.0
                                      0.0
                                       R
Change since 2002
                                       --
                                    123.10
                                     185.1
                                     233.0
                                     279.5
                                     312.5
                                     342.5
                                       S
Change since 2002 percent
                                       --
                                     22.4%
                                     34.0%
                                     43.1%
                                     51.9%
                                     58.1%
                                     63.8%
                                       T
Reductions since 2002 already used for RFP substitution and contingency through last milestone, percent
                                       --
                                     0.0%
                                     12.6%
                                     12.6%
                                     12.6%
                                     17.9%
                                     24.1%
                                       U
Reductions since 2002 available for RFP substitution and contingency in milestone year, percent
                                       --
                                     22.4%
                                     21.4%
                                     30.6%
                                     39.4%
                                     40.2%
                                     39.7%
                                       V
Change since 2002 used for ROG substitution in this milestone year, percent
                                       --
                                     9.6%
                                     0.0%
                                     0.0%
                                     5.4%
                                     6.1%
                                     7.0%
                                       W
Change since 2002 available for contingency in this milestone year, percent
                                       --
                                     3.0%
                                     3.0%
                                     3.0%
                                     3.0%
                                     3.0%
                                     3.0%
                                       X
Change since 2002 surplus after meeting substitution and contingency in this milestone year, percent
                                       --
                                     9.9%
                                     21.4%
                                     30.6%
                                     34.0%
                                     34.1%
                                     32.7%

RFP met?
                                       --
                                      Yes
                                      Yes
                                      Yes
                                      Yes
                                      Yes
                                      Yes

Contingency met?
                                       --
                                      Yes
                                      Yes
                                      Yes
                                      Yes
                                      Yes
                                      Yes

  Source:  2011 Ozone SIP Revisions, Appendix A, Table A-1 (San Joaquin Valley), p. A-30

                                   Table G-2
        Revised RFP Demonstration with Uncreditable Reductions Removed
                        No Contingency Measure Reserve
                             (tons per summer day)

                                     2002
                                     2008
                                     2011
                                     2014
                                     2017
                                     2020
                                     2023
                                      VOC
                                       A
Baseline
                                     457.5
                                     407.6
                                     354.1
                                     331.0
                                     328.9
                                     330.5
                                     339.0
                                      B1
Currently uncreditable reductions from Rule 9410
                                       --
                                       --
                                      --
                                      0.6
                                      0.2
                                      0.5
                                      0.4
                                      B2
Currently uncreditable reductions from DPR's pesticides element
                                       --
                                      1.2
                                      1.2
                                      1.2
                                      1.2
                                      1.2
                                      1.2
                                      B3
Currently uncreditable reductions from Rule 4653
                                       --
                                      0.0
                                      0.6
                                      0.7
                                      0.7
                                      0.8
                                      0.9
                                       C
Baseline with uncreditable reductions removed
                                     457.5
                                     408.8
                                     355.9
                                     333.5
                                     331.0
                                     333.0
                                     341.5
                                       D
MVCP adjustment
                                      0.0
                                     12.4
                                      5.4
                                      4.6
                                      3.0
                                      1.0
                                      0.1
                                       E
Adjusted baseline in the milestone year
                                     457.5
                                     445.1
                                     439.7
                                     435.1
                                     432.1
                                     431.1
                                     431.0
                                       F
Basis for required RFP reductions
                                       --
                                     445.1
                                     359.6
                                     322.6
                                     290.6
                                     263.4
                                     239.6
                                       G
Required percent change since previous milestone year
                                       --
                                      18%
                                      9%
                                      9%
                                      9%
                                      9%
                                      9%
                                       H
Target level
                                       --
                                     365.0
                                     327.2
                                     293.6
                                     264.4
                                     239.7
                                     218.1
                                       I
Apparent shortfall
                                       --
                                     43.8
                                     28.7
                                     39.9
                                     66.6
                                     93.3
                                     123.4
                                       J
Percent apparent shortfall in VOC, percent
                                       --
                                     9.8%
                                     6.5%
                                     9.2%
                                     15.4%
                                     21.6%
                                     28.6%
                                       K
Percent shortfall previous provided by substitution
                                       --
                                     0.0%
                                     9.8%
                                     9.6%
                                     9.2%
                                     15.4%
                                     21.6%
                                       L
Percent actual shortfall
                                       --
                                     9.8%
                                     -3.3%
                                     -0.4%
                                     6.2%
                                     6.2%
                                     7.0%
                                      NOx
                                       M
Baseline
                                     565.2
                                     425.4
                                     359.0
                                     307.4
                                     258.8
                                     224.9
                                     194.6
                                       N
Uncreditable reductions from Rule 4320
                                       --
                                      0.1
                                      0.6
                                      0.7
                                      0.8
                                      1.2
                                      1.5
                                       O
Uncreditable reductions from Rule 9410
                                       --
                                       --
                                       --
                                      0.9
                                      0.7
                                      0.5
                                      0.4
                                       P
Baseline with uncreditable reductions removed
                                     565.2
                                     425.5
                                     359.6
                                     309.0
                                     260.3
                                     226.5
                                     196.5
                                       Q
MVCP adjustment
                                       0
                                     16.8
                                      4.4
                                      3.6
                                      2.1
                                      0.9
                                      0.4
                                       R
Adjusted baseline in the milestone year
                                     565.2
                                     548.4
                                     544.0
                                     540.4
                                     538.3
                                     537.4
                                     537.0
                                       S
Change since 2002
                                      0.0
                                     122.9
                                     184.4
                                     213.4
                                     278.0
                                     310.8
                                     537.0
                                       T
Percent Change since 2002
                                      0.0
                                     22.4%
                                     33.9%
                                     42.8%
                                     51.5%
                                     57.8%
                                     63.4%
                                       U
Percent reductions since 2002 already used for RFP substitution through last milestone
                                       --
                                      0%
                                     9.8%
                                     9.8%
                                     9.8%
                                     16.1%
                                     22.3%
                                       V
Percent reductions since 2002 available for RFP substitution and contingency in the milestone year
                                       --
                                     22.4%
                                     24.1%
                                     33.0%
                                     41.8%
                                     41.8%
                                     41.1%
                                       X
Percent change since 2002 used for VOC substitution in the milestone year, percent
                                       --
                                     9.8%
                                     0.0%
                                     0.0%
                                     6.2%
                                     6.2%
                                     7.0%
                                       Y
Percent change since 2002 surplus after meeting substitution in the milestone year
                                       --
                                     12.6%
                                     24.1%
                                     33.0%
                                     35.6%
                                     35.5%
                                     34.1%

RFP met?
                                       --
                                      Yes
                                      Yes
                                      Yes
                                      Yes
                                      Yes
                                      Yes

                                   Table G-3
  Description of the Lines in the RFP Demonstration Calculation in Table G-2
Line

                                       A
(VOC) Baseline
The total summer season daily VOC emissions in the San Joaquin Valley in the current milestone year (MSY). Total includes benefits from control measures adopted prior to the submittal of the SJV 2007 8-hour Ozone SIP as well as control strategy measures adopted prior to submittal of the 2011 Ozone SIP Revisions. It does not include reductions from SJV Rule 9510.
                                   B (1-3).
Currently uncreditable reductions from DPR's pesticide element and Rules 9410 and 9456.
Reductions for the current MSY from District Rules 9410 and 9456 and CA DPR pesticide element are included in the Baseline. EPA has not yet proposed approved these rules into the SIP and therefore they are not currently creditable in the RFP demonstration.
                                       C
Baseline with uncreditable reductions removed
The current MSY's Baseline (line A) with the current MSY's Uncreditable reductions (lines B1-3) removed.
                                       D
MVCP Adjustment
The reductions from the pre-1990 MVCP for on-road vehicles that must be excluded in the RFP demonstration per CAA section 182(b)(1)(D). These numbers are calculated using the EMFAC2007 according to a method described in Appendix A of the preamble to the ozone implementation rule (70 FR 71696). Values on Table G-2 for this row are the difference between the current MSY's adjustment (line B from Table G-1) and the previous MSY's adjustment (line B from Table G-1).
                                       E
Adjusted baseline
Calculated as the previous MSY's adjusted baseline (line E) minus the current MSY's MVCP (line D). Except for 2008, this value is used in the calculation of the Apparent  shortfall (line I).
                                       F
Basis for reductions
This number is reduced by the Required percent change since previous MSY (line G) to calculate the Target VOC level (line H). In the 2008 MSY, it is the same as the Adjusted baseline (line E). In subsequent MSYs, it is equal to the previous MSY's Target VOC level (line H) minus the current MSY's MVCP adjustment (line D).
                                       G
Required percent change since previous milestone year
40 CFR § 51.910(a)(1)(ii)(B) requires a 18 percent reduction between 2002 base year and first MSY of 2008 and 9 percent between each subsequent MSY.
                                       H
Target VOC level
Level to which VOC emissions in the nonattainment area must be reduced to meet the RFP requirement. The target is calculated as MSY's Basis for reductions (line F) reduced by the Required percentage (line G).
                                       I
Apparent shortfall
The current MSY's Target VOC level (line H) minus the MSY's Adjusted baseline (line E).
                                       J
Percent apparent shortfall in VOC, percent
The percentage shortfall calculated by dividing the MSY's Apparent shortfall (line I) by the current MSY's Adjusted baseline (line D).
                                       K
Percent shortfall previously provided by substitution
The percentage of the VOC shortfall addressed by NOx substitution in previous MSY. This must be accounted for in subsequent MSY to prevent double-counting reductions.
                                       L
Percent actual shortfall
The shortfall that must be addressed by NOx substitution in the current MSY in order to demonstrate RFP. Calculated as the current MSY's Percent apparent shortfall in VOC (line J) minus the current MSY's Percent shortfall previously provided by substitution (line K).
                                       M
NOx Baseline
The total summer season daily NOx emissions in the San Joaquin Valley in the current MSY. Total includes benefits from control measures adopted prior to the submittal of the SJV 2007 8-hour Ozone SIP as well as control strategy measures adopted prior to submittal of the 2011 Ozone SIP Revisions. It does not include reductions from SJV Rule 9510.
                                   N & O
Uncreditable reductions from Rule 9410 and 4320
Reductions for the current MSY from District Rules 9410 and 4320 are included in the Baseline. EPA has not yet approved Rule 9410 into the SIP and has determined that reductions from Rule 4320 are not currently creditable.
                                       P
Baseline with uncreditable reductions removed
The current MSY's Baseline (line M) with the current MSY's Uncreditable reductions (lines N and O) removed.
                                       Q
MVCP Adjustment
The reductions from the pre-1990 MVCP limit for on-road vehicles that must be excluded in the RFP demonstration per CAA section 182(b)(1)(D). These numbers are calculated using the EMFAC2007 according to a method described in Appendix A of the preamble to the ozone implementation rule (70 FR 71696). Values on Table G-2 for this row are the difference between the current MSY's adjustment (line O on Table G-1) and the previous MSYs adjustment (line O on Table G-1).
                                       R
Adjusted NOx Baseline
Baseline emissions with the uncreditable and non-creditable reductions removed. Used in the calculation of the Percent change since 2002 (line T). Calculated as the previous MSY's adjusted baseline (line R) minus the current MSY's MVCP (line Q).
                                       S
Change in NOx since 2002
Calculated as 2002 Baseline with uncreditable reductions removed (line P for 2002) minus current MSY's Adjusted NOx baseline (line R).
                                       T
Percent change in NOx since 2002
Percentage change in NOx emissions since 2002. Calculated as the current MSY's Change in NOx since 2002 (line S) divided by the current MSY's adjusted NOx baseline (line R).
                                       U
Percent NOx reductions since 2002 already used for RFP substitution through last milestone year
The cumulative NOx reductions used for VOC substitution. The NOx reductions that have previously been used for substitution are no longer available for substitution. Calculated as the sum of the previous MSY's Percent change in NOx since 2002 used for VOC substitution (line U) and the previous MSY's Change in NOx since 2002 used for VOC substitution in the milestone year (line V)
                                       V
Percent NOx reductions since 2002 available for RFP substitution in milestone year
Remaining NOx reductions that are available for VOC substitution. Calculated as the current MSY's Percent change in NOx since 2002 (line T) minus the current MSY Percent NOx reductions since 2002 already used for RFP substitution and contingency through the last milestone year (line U).
                                       X
Percent change in NOx since 2002 used for VOC substitution  in this milestone year
Equal to the current MSY's Percent actual (VOC) shortfall (line L) unless line L is less than 0, then it is equal to 0.
                                       Y
Percent change since 2002 surplus after meeting substitution in this milestone year
This is the surplus NOx reduction available this milestone year after providing the cumulative VOC substitutions. Calculated as the current MSY's Percent NOx reductions since 2002 available for RFP substitution (line V) minus the current MSY's Percent change in NOx since 2002 used for VOC substitution in this milestone year (line X). If this number is greater than zero, the RFP requirements have been met for this milestone year.

H.  Transportation Control Strategies and Transportation Control Measures to Offset Emissions Increases from VMT Increases and to Provide for RFP and Attainment
      1.  Requirements for Transportation Control Strategies and TCM to Offset Emissions Increases from VMT Increases and to Provide for RFP and Attainment
CAA section 182(d)(1)(A) requires that areas classified as severe or extreme submit transportation control strategies and transportation control measures (TCM) sufficient to offset any growth in emissions from growth in vehicle miles traveled (VMT) or the number of vehicle trips, and to provide (along with other measures) the reductions needed to meet the applicable RFP requirement. This CAA section also requires that states choose and implement such measures as are specified in section 108(f), to the extent needed to demonstrate attainment. In selecting the measures, Congress directed that States "should ensure adequate access to downtown, other commercial, and residential areas and should avoid measures that increase or relocate emissions and congestion rather than reduce them."
EPA believes that it is appropriate to treat the three required elements of section 182(d)(1)(A) (i.e., offsetting emissions growth, attainment of the RFP reduction, and attainment of the ozone standard) as separable. EPA has historically interpreted the first element of this CAA provision to allow areas to meet the requirement by demonstrating that emissions from motor vehicles decline each year through the attainment year. General Preamble at 13522.

      2.  Transportation Control Strategies and TCM to Offset Emissions Increases from VMT Increases and to Provide for RFP and Attainment in the SJV 2007 8-Hour Ozone SIP
      Information in 2011 Ozone SIP Revisions reproduced in Table H-1 below shows that on-road mobile source emissions of VOC and NOx decline steadily from 2008 to 2023. This decline in emissions is due to EPA's and California's mobile source programs, California's clean fuels and SmogCheck programs, and CARB's in-use truck and bus rule. As discussed above in section II.D., these programs are fully creditable for SIP planning purposes in attainment and RFP demonstrations, including demonstrating compliance with CAA section 182(d)(1)(A). The on-road emissions in Table H-1 are calculated using EMFAC2007, the most recent EPA-approved mobile source emissions model for California.
      As described above in section II.C., the SJV MPOs evaluated a wide variety of transportation control measures, including those measures listed in CAA section 108(f), and determined that there were no combinations of reasonable measures that would expedite attainment of the 1997 8-hour ozone standard in the SJV. See 2008 Ozone Plan, Appendix C.

                                   Table H-1
           On-Road Motor Vehicle Emissions in the San Joaquin Valley
                                   2008-2023
                             (tons per summer day)
                                     Year
                                     2008
                                     2011
                                     2014
                                     2017
                                     2020
                                     2023
                                      VOC
                                      78
                                      66
                                      50
                                      43
                                      39
                                      37
                                      NOx
                                      229
                                      183
                                      153
                                      115
                                      91
                                      69

Source:2011 Ozone SIP Revision, Appendix B, page. B-3.
3.  Evaluation and Conclusions
      Because VOC and NOx emissions from on-road mobile sources decline steadily over the entire time period covered by the 2007 8-hour Ozone SIP, the SIP does not need to include additional transportation control strategies or TCM to offset growth in emissions from growth in VMT or vehicle trips; therefore, we propose to find that the SJV 2007 8-Hour Ozone SIP meets the first provision of CAA section 182(d)(1)(A).
      In Association of Irritated Residents v. EPA, 632 F.3d 584 (9th Cir. 2011), the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit held that, with respect to the requirement to offset any growth in emissions from growth in vehicle miles traveled or the number of vehicle trips, section 182(d)(1)(A) of the CAA requires States to adopt transportation control strategies and measures whenever vehicle emissions are projected to be higher than they would have been had vehicle miles traveled not increased, even when aggregate vehicle emissions are actually decreasing. EPA has filed a petition for rehearing on this issue. Docket Nos. 09-71383 and 09-71404 (consolidated), Docket Entry 41-1, Petition for Panel Rehearing.
      The Ninth Circuit has yet to issue its mandate in the Association of Irritated Residents case, and EPA has not adopted the court's interpretation for the reasons set forth in the Agency's petition for rehearing, pending a final decision by the court. If the court denies the Agency's petition for rehearing and issues its mandate before EPA issues a final rule on the San Joaquin Valley 2007 8-Hour Ozone SIP, then we anticipate that we would not be able to finalize approval of the SIP with respect to the first element of section 182(d)(1)(A). Therefore, in the alternative to the proposed approval, we are proposing to disapprove the SJV 2007 8-Hour Ozone SIP with respect to the first element (i.e., offsetting emissions growth) of section 182(d)(1)(A) based on the plan's failure to include sufficient transportation control strategies and measures to offset the emissions from growth in VMT. If EPA were to finalize the proposed disapproval, the area would be eligible for a protective finding under the transportation conformity rule because the submitted SIP contains adopted control measures and enforceable commitments that fully satisfy the emissions reductions requirements for reasonable further progress and attainment. 40 CFR 93.120(a)(3).

      As discussed above in section II.G., we have proposed to find that the SJV 2007 8-Hour Ozone SIP provides for RFP consistent with all applicable CAA and EPA regulatory requirements; therefore, we also propose to find that the SIP meets the second provision of CAA section 182(d)(1)(A); that is, to include transportation control strategies and TCM as necessary to provide (along with other measures) the reductions needed to meet the applicable RFP requirement.
      In discussed in sections II.C. and II.F. above, we have determined that the SJV 2007 8-Hour Ozone SIP provides for the implementation of all RACM, including all reasonably available transportation control measures, and provides for expeditious attainment of the 1997 8-hour ozone standard. Therefore, we propose to find that SIP meets the third provision of CAA section 182(d)(1)(A); that is, to include TCM to the extent needed to demonstrate attainment.

I.  Use of Clean Fuels or Advanced Technology for Boilers

1.  Requirement for the Use of Clean Fuels or Advanced Technology for Boilers
      CAA section 182(e)(3) requires that plans for areas classified as extreme must require each new, modified, and existing electric utility and industrial and commercial boiler that emits more than 25 tpy of NOx to burn as its primary fuel natural gas, methanol, or ethanol (or a comparably low polluting fuel), or use advanced control technology (such as catalytic control technology or other comparably effective control methods). These requirements must be submitted 3 years and be effective 8 years after November 15, 1990.
      Further guidance on this requirement is provided in the General Preamble at 13523. According to the General Preamble, boilers should generally be considered as any combustion equipment used to produce steam and would generally not include a process heater that transfers heat from combustion gases to process streams, a waste heat recovery boiler that is used to recover sensible heat from the exhaust of process equipment such as a combustion turbine, or a recovery furnace that is used to recover process chemicals. It also does not include boilers used primarily for residential space and/or water heating. General Preamble at 13523.
      Only boilers that actually emit more than 25 tons per year of NOx are affected. Emissions vary from year to year, however, making applicability difficult to determine. Boilers with rated heat inputs of greater than 10-20 million Btu generally have the potential to exceed the 25-tons-per-year limit depending on the fuel type. A source with these high rated heat inputs should therefore be considered affected unless its federally enforceable permit specifically restricts NOx, emissions below 25 tons per year from each boiler. In addition, boilers with rated heat inputs less that 15 million Btu (MMBtu) per hour which are oil- or gas-fired may generally be considered not subject to these requirements since it is unlikely that they will exceed the 25 tpy NOx emission limit. General Preamble at 13524.
      We believe the term "catalytic control technology" in CAA section 182(e)(3) was intended generally to refer to selective catalytic reduction (SCR). SCR is a post-combustion control technology that reduces NOx reductions by injecting ammonia into the flue gas, which then passes through layers of catalyst in a reactor.

      2.  Use of Clean Fuels or Advanced Technology for Boilers Requirements in the SJV 2007 Ozone Plan
      The 2007 Ozone Plan addresses the CAA section 182(e)(3) requirements on page 2-9 and concludes that existing District boiler rules meet this CAA requirement:
      District Rules 4305, 4306, and 4352 address NOx emission limits for the boilers in this category. Most of the boilers under Rules 4305 and 4306 are fired on natural gas and therefore satisfy the requirement of paragraph (A) above. Liquid-fuel fired boilers are also addressed by those rules and the applicable NOx emission limits satisfy the requirement of paragraph (B) above. Solid-fuel fired boilers are addressed by Rule 4352 and the applicable NOx emission limits satisfy the requirement of paragraph (B) above.
      Therefore, the District already complies with this requirement and there is no need to include additional control measures in this plan to satisfy the section of the federal Clean Air Act.
2007 Ozone Plan, p. 2-7.

3.  Evaluation and Conclusion
      SJVAPCD has adopted 6 rules that control NOx emissions from boilers that are potentially subject to the requirements in CAA section 182(e)(3).
      Rule 4305 "Boilers, Steam Generators, and Process Heaters  -  Phase 2" as revised on August 21, 2003 was approved by EPA on May 18, 2004 (69 FR 28061). It applied to any gaseous fuel- or liquid fuel-fired boiler, steam generator, or process heater with a total rated heat input greater than 5 million Btu per hour. The requirements in the rule have now been superseded by those in Rule 4306.
      Rule 4306 "Boilers, Steam Generators, and Process Heaters  -  Phase 3" as revised on October 16, 2008, applies to any gaseous fuel- or liquid fuel-fired boiler, steam generator, or process heater with a total rated heat input greater than 5 million Btu per hour. The NOx emission limits in the rule, which range from 5 ppm to 30 ppm for gaseous fuels and is 40 ppm for liquid fuels, cannot be achieved without the use of advance control technologies. See "Alternative Control Techniques Document--NOx Emissions from Industrial/Commercial/Institutional (ICI) Boilers," Emissions Standards Division, EPA, March 1994 ("1994 ACT"). We approved Rule 4306 (revised October 16, 2008) as a SIP revision on January 13, 2010 at 75 FR 1715. All units subject to Rule 4306 were required to comply with the limits in the rule no later than December 1, 2008. See Rule 4306, section 7.0.
      Rule 4320 "Advanced Emission Reduction Option for Boilers, Steam Generators, and Process Heaters Greater than 5 MMBtu/hr" adopted October 15, 2008 imposes more stringent limits than Rule 4306; however, sources subject Rule 4320 may opt to pay an annual fee in lieu of meeting these limits. Source which opt to pay the annual fee under Rule 4320 are still subject to RACT requirements (Section 5.3.3). EPA approved Rule 4320 into the SIP on March 25, 2011 at 76 FR 16696.
      Rule 4307 "Boilers, Steam Generators, and Process Heaters  -  2.0 MMBtu/hr to 5.0 MMBtu/hr," as revised on October 16, 2008, applies to any gaseous fuel- or liquid fuel-fired boiler, steam generator, or process heater with a total rated heat input greater than 2.0 MMBtu per hour but less than 5.0 MMBtu per hour. EPA approve Rule 4307 (revised October 16, 2008) as a SIP revisions (and as meeting CAA section 182(b)(1) RACT) into the SIP on January 13, 2010 at 75 FR 1715. On May 19, 2011, the District slightly modified this rule to provide relief for one almond pasteurizer; however, the source is required to fire its boiler exclusively on PUC quality natural gas. See Rule 4307 (amended May 19, 2011), section 5.1.2. See also, SJVAPCD, "Final Draft Staff Report, Proposed Amendments to Rule 4307 (Boilers, Steam Generators, and Process Heater  -  2.0 MMBtu/hr to 5.0 MMBtu/hr)," April 21, 2011
      Rule 4308 "Boilers, Steam Generators, and Process Heaters  -  0.075 MMBtu/hr to 2.0 MMBtu/hr," as revised on December 17, 2009, applies to any gaseous fuel or liquid fuel fired boiler, steam generator, or process heater with a total rated heat input greater than 0.075 MMBtu per hour but less than 2.0 MMBtu per hour. EPA approve Rule 4308 (revised December 17, 2009) as a SIP revisions (and as meeting CAA section 182(b)(1) RACT) into the SIP on January 31, 2011 at 76 FR 5276.
      Boiler subject to Rules 4307 and 4308 are too small to have the potential to emit 25 tpy or more of NOx. An uncontrolled 5.0 MMBtu gas- or liquid-fuel boiler would need to emit at a rate of 1.14 lbs of NOx per MMBtu burned to emit 25 tpy of NOx (25 tpy x 2000 lb/ton divided by 365 days per year x 24 hours per day x 5 MMBTU/hr). According to Table 4-7 in the 1994 ACT, uncontrolled NOx emissions rates for gas and liquid fuel boilers range from 0.06 lb/MMBtu to 0.79 MMBtu.
      Rule 4352 "Solid Fuel Fired Boilers, Steam Generators And Process Heaters," as revised May 18, 2006, applies to any boiler, steam generator or process heater fired on solid fuel at a source that has a potential to emit more than 10 tons per year of NOx or VOC. We approved Rule 4352 into the California SIP on October 1, 2010. In that action, we determined that the District had failed to demonstrate that the rule provided for the implementation of RACT as required by CAA section 182(b)(2); however, we also determined that rule's emissions limits were sufficiently stringent to necessitate the use of the advanced technologies required by CAA section 182(e)(3). All units subject to Rule 4352 were required to comply with the Rule's limits no later than January 1, 2007. Rule 4352, section 7.0.
      All of the NOx emission limits in the revised rule effectively require operation of Selective Noncatalytic Reduction (SNCR) control systems. We believe SNCR is "comparably effective" to SCR for the affected sources as discussed below, and thus fulfills section 182(e)(3) requirements for these affected sources. SNCR also appears to achieve NOx emission reductions comparable to combustion of clean fuels at these types of boilers.
      According to information in the RACT/BACT/LAER Clearinghouse, recent Prevention of Significant Deterioration (PSD) permits contain emission limits for coal-fired boilers ranging from 0.067 lbs/MMBtu (for large coal-fired boilers with SCR and low-NOx burner technology) to 0.1 lbs/MMBtu (for medium-sized coal-fired boilers with SNCR). These limits reflect Best Available Control Technology (BACT) determinations under the PSD program. According to the 1994 ACT for ICI boilers (Tables 2-6), wood-fired watertube boilers with SCR can achieve NOx emissions of 0.22 lb/MMBtu. The 1994 ACT does not contain emissions levels for wood-fired FBC boilers with SCR but states that this type of unit with SNCR can achieve NOx emission limits ranging from 0.03 to 0.20 lb/MMBtu. Additionally, a permitted biomass facility in CA that operates a low temperature SCR has a similar emission limit in its permit as biomass facilities with SNCR (approximately 0.1 lbs/MMBtu).
      Our review of these emission ranges indicates that although emission rates can vary according to fuel type and boiler size, generally SNCR controls are comparably effective to SCR for boilers firing wood (biomass), MSW, and many other types of solid fuels. As a general matter, SNCR is also comparably effective to SCR control for circulating fluidized bed coal-fired boilers of less than 50 MW electric generation capacity. For coal-fired boilers, we focused our review on circulating fluidized bed boilers of less than 50 MW generation capacity because all existing coal-fired boilers in SJV are of this type and below this size. The emission levels achieved by SNCR control systems are also generally comparable to the uncontrolled NOx emissions from boilers firing clean fuels such as natural gas, which may range from 0.07 to 0.45 lb/MMBtu. 1994 ACT, Table 2.2. SNCR control systems consistently achieve up to 80 percent NOx emission reductions and are compatible with almost all solid fuel-fired boiler operations, while other controls may in some cases be sensitive to catalyst poisoning and other technical constraints. As to boilers that emit above 25 tpy of NOx, we note as a practical matter that only existing boilers in SJV are likely to be constrained by the NOx emission limits in Rule 4352, as all new boilers that potentially emit above 25 tpy and all major modifications at existing boilers will also be subject to the more stringent control technology requirements of the Nonattainment New Source Review (NNSR) or PSD permit programs. The requirements of Rule 4352 are generally applicable to this source category and do not supplant any more stringent control requirements that apply on a case-by-case basis under the NNSR or PSD permit programs. See 75 FR 60623.
      New and modified boilers that will emit or have the potential to emit 25 tpy or more of NOx are subject to the District's new source permitting rule (Rule 2201 "New and Modified Stationary Source Review"). This rule requires new and modified source to install and operate best available control technology/lowest achievable emissions reductions technology. EPA approved Rule 2201 into the SIP at 75 FR 26102 (May 11, 2010).
      Based on our review of the emission limitations in SJVAPCD's rules and the applicable compliance deadlines, we propose to find that the SJV Ozone SIP meets the requires of CAA section 182(e)(3).

J.  Contingency Measures
1.  Requirements for Contingency Measures
All 8-hour ozone nonattainment areas classified under subpart 2 as moderate or above must include in their SIPs contingency measures consistent with CAA sections 172(c)(9) and 182(c)(9). Contingency measures are additional controls to be implemented in the event the area fails to meet a RFP milestone or fails to attain by its attainment date. These contingency measures must be fully adopted rules or measures which are ready for implementation quickly upon failure to meet milestones or attainment. The SIP should contain trigger mechanisms for the contingency measures, specify a schedule for implementation, and indicate that the measures will be implemented without significant further action by the State or EPA See 68 FR 32802, 32837 and 70 FR 71612, 71650. Contingency measures should submitted along with the attainment demonstration which was due by June 15, 2007 for areas designated in 2004. See 70 FR 71612, 71651.
Additional guidance on the CAA contingency measure provisions is found in the General Preamble at 13510 - 13512 and 13520. The guidance indicates that states should adopt and submit contingency measures sufficient to provide a 3 percent emissions reduction from the adjusted RFP base year. EPA concludes this level of emissions reductions is generally acceptable to offset emission increases while States are correcting their SIPs. These reductions should be beyond what is needed to meet the attainment or RFP requirement.
States may use reductions in either of VOC and NOx to meet the contingency measure requirement. General Preamble at 13520, footnote 6. States may also use a combination of VOC and NOx reductions.
EPA has also provided guidance that contingency measures could be implemented early, i.e., prior to the milestone or attainment date. Consistent this policy, States are allowed to use excess reductions from already adopted measures to meet the CAA sections 172(c)(9) and 182(c)(9) contingency measure requirements. This is because the purpose of contingency measures is to provide extra reductions that are not relied on for RFP or attainment and that will provide continued progress while the plan is being revised to fully address the failure to meet the required milestone or to attain. Nothing in the CAA precludes a State from implementing such measures before they are triggered. This approach has been approved by EPA in numerous SIPs. See 62 FR 15844 (April 3, 1997) (approval of the Indiana portion of the Chicago area 15 percent rate of progress (ROP) plan); 62 FR 66279 (December 18, 1997) (approval of the Illinois portion of the Chicago area 15 percent ROP plan); 66 FR 30811 (June 8, 2001) (proposed approval of the Rhode Island post-1996 ROP plan); and 66 FR 586 and 66 FR 634 (January 3, 2001) (approval of the Massachusetts and Connecticut 1-hour ozone attainment demonstrations). In the only adjudicated challenge to this approach, the court upheld it. See LEAN v. EPA, 382 F.3d 575 (5th Cir. 2004). 70 FR 71611, 71651.
Furthermore, states can also use federal measures that result in additional emissions reductions beyond those needed for attainment or RFP as contingency measures. EPA has approved the use of federal measures as part of contingency measures in several actions on 1-hour ozone SIPs. See 62 FR 15844 (April 3, 1997), 62 FR 66279 (December 18, 1997), 66 FR 30811 (June 8, 2001), 66 FR 586 (January 3, 2001), and 66 FR 634 (January 3, 2001).
In addition, CAA section 182(e)(5) authorizes EPA to "approve provisions of an implementation plan for an Extreme Area which anticipate development of new control techniques or improvement of existing control techniques, and an attainment demonstration based on such provisions," if the State meets certain criteria. See CAA 182(e)(5). See TSD, section II.E. Such plan provisions may include enforceable commitments to submit, at a later date, contingency measures for failure to attain under CAA section 172(c)(9), in addition to the contingency measures to be implemented if the anticipated technologies approved under section 182(e)(5) do not achieve planned reductions. These contingency measures must be submitted no later than three years before proposed implementation of the plan provisions and approved or disapproved by EPA in accordance with CAA section 110.

2.  Contingency Measures in the SJV 2007 8-Hour Ozone SIP
      The contingency measure provision is described in Section 11.6. of the 2007 Ozone Plan and Appendix D of the 2007 State Strategy as updated on February 1, 2008. California revised its contingency measure provisions in the 2011 Ozone SIP Revisions, Appendix A.
      To provide for contingency measures for failure to make RFP, the SIP relies on surplus NOx reductions in the RFP demonstration. See 2011 Ozone SIP Revision, Attachment A, p. A-3. See also Table J-1 below and Table G-2 in this TSD.
      To provide in part for contingency measures for failure to attain, the SIP relies in part on additional incremental emissions reductions resulting from fleet turnover in the 2024. For SJV, these values are 2 tpd NOx and less than 0.5 tpd VOC. See 2011 Ozone SIP Revision Supplement, Attachment 2. CARB has submitted an enforceable commitment to submit no later than 2020, additional contingency measures under CAA section 182(e)(5) that meet the requirements for attainment contingency measures in CAA section 172(c)(9), in addition to contingency measures to be implemented if the anticipated long-term measures approved pursuant to section 182(e)(5) do not achieve planned reductions. See CARB Resolution No. 11-22 (July 21, 2011).

3.  Evaluation and Conclusions
Contingency measures for failure to make RFP - As discussed above in section II.G., we are proposing to approve the RFP demonstration. As seen in Table J-1, there are sufficient excess reductions of NOx in each milestone year to provide the 3 percent of adjusted baseline emissions reductions needed to meet the RFP contingency measure requirement.
No RFP contingency measures are needed for 2008, since the 2011 Ozone SIP Revisions demonstrate that SJV has already met its 2008 milestone. See Table 11 above. As a result, contingency measures for failure to meet the 2008 RFP benchmark will never be triggered and thus are not needed.
Contingency measures for failure to attain  -  The incremental additional emissions reductions that will occur in 2024 (the year after the attainment year) from the continuing implementation of both on- and  - off road motor vehicle controls may be used to meet the contingency measure requirement for failure to attain. For the SJV, these reductions are 2 tpd of NOx and less than 0.5 tpd of VOC.
Based on our proposal to determine that the State has satisfied the criteria in section 182(e)(5) for reliance on the new technologies as part of the attainment demonstration in the SJV 2007 8-Hour Ozone SIP, we propose to approve CARB's enforceable commitment to submit no later than 2020, additional contingency measures under CAA section 182(e)(5) which meet the requirements for attainment contingency measures in CAA section 172(c)(9). These contingency measures would be in addition to the contingency measures required should anticipated new technologies approved pursuant to section 182(e)(5) do not achieve planned reductions. CARB Resolution No. 11-22 (July 21, 2011).
Accordingly, we propose to approve the RFP and attainment contingency measures in the SJV 2007 Ozone SIP under CAA sections 172(c)(9) and 182(c)(9), based in part on CARB's commitment to submit by 2020 additional contingency measures meeting the requirements of CAA sections 172(c)(9) and 182(e)(5). Following the State's submittal of these additional contingency measures, EPA will approve or disapprove the provisions in accordance with CAA section 110.

                                   Table J-1
                  Excess NOx Reductions in RFP Demonstration
                   Available for Use as Contingency Measures
             SJV 2007 8-Hour Ozone SIP as Revised on July 21, 2011
                             (tons per summer day)
                                                                           Year
                                     2011
                                     2014
                                     2017
                                     2020
                                     2023
NOx adjusted base year
                                     565.2
                                     565.2
                                     565.2
                                     565.2
                                     565.2
Contingency requirement
                                     3.0%
                                     3.0%
                                     3.0%
                                     3.0%
                                     3.0%
Percent change in NO emissions since 2002 surplus after meeting VOC substitution in the MCY (line Y from Table G-2)
                                     24.1%
                                     33.0%
                                     35.6%
                                     35.5%
                                     34.1%

K.  Motor Vehicle Emissions Budgets
1.  Requirements for Motor Vehicle Emissions Budgets
      CAA section 176(c) requires federal actions in nonattainment and maintenance areas to conform to the SIP's goals of eliminating or reducing the severity and number of violations of the NAAQS and achieving expeditious attainment of the standards. Conformity to the SIP's goals means that such actions will not:  (1) cause or contribute to violations of a NAAQS, (2) worsen the severity of an existing violation, or (3) delay timely attainment of any NAAQS or any interim milestone.
      Actions that involve Federal Highway Administration (FHWA) or Federal Transit Administration (FTA) funding or approval are subject to the EPA's transportation conformity rule, codified at 40 CFR part 93, subpart A. Under this rule, metropolitan planning organizations (MPOs) in nonattainment and maintenance areas coordinate with state and local air quality and transportation agencies, EPA, FHWA, and FTA to demonstrate that an area's regional transportation plans (RTP) and transportation improvement programs (TIP) conform to the applicable SIP. This demonstration is typically done by showing that estimated emissions from existing and planned highway and transit systems are less than or equal to the motor vehicle emissions budgets (budgets) contained in the SIP. An attainment, maintenance, or RFP SIP should establish budgets for the attainment year, each required RFP year or last year of the maintenance plan, as appropriate. Budgets are generally established for specific years and specific pollutants or precursors. Ozone attainment and RFP plans should establish budgets for NOx and VOC. See 40 CFR § 93.102(b)(2)(i).
      Before an MPO may use budgets in a submitted SIP, EPA must first determine that the budgets are adequate or approve the budgets. Submitted budgets that have not been found to be adequate or approved may not be used in conformity determinations. In order for us to find the budgets adequate and approvable, the submittal must meet the conformity adequacy requirements of 40 CFR § 93.118(e)(4) and (5) and be approvable under all pertinent SIP requirements. To meet these requirements, the budgets must reflect all of the motor vehicle control measures contained in the attainment and RFP demonstrations. See 40 CFR § 93.118(e)(4)(v).

2.  Motor Vehicle Emissions Budgets in the SJV 2007 8-Hour Ozone SIP
      The SJV Ozone SIP as submitted in 2007 included budgets for VOC and NOx for the attainment year of 2023 and the RFP years of 2008, 2011, 2014, 2017, and 2020. See 2007 Ozone Plan, Section 9.2.3 and Appendix C and CARB Staff Report, Appendix D (updating MVEB for Madera and San Joaquin Counties).
      CARB submitted updated MVEB for the San Joaquin Valley and their documentation in Appendices A and C, respectively, of the 2011 Ozone SIP Revisions. See Tables K-1 and K-2 below. The updated MVEB are for NOx and VOC for the RFP years of 2011, 2014, 2017 and 2020 the attainment year of 2023. No budgets were included for the RFP year of 2008 because it is no longer applicable as a conformity analysis year. CARB provided additional information in the 2011 Ozone SIP Revisions supplement and in emails from Douglas Ito, CARB, to Elizabeth Adams, EPA, on August 9 and 11, 2011. Table K-2 below shows how the updated MVEBs were calculated. This calculation is described in the Appendix C of the 2011 Ozone SIP Revisions. The baseline inventories are the initial SIP on-road mobile source inventories in the Appendix C of the SJV 2007 Ozone Plan as submitted in November 2007. They continue to be based on same planning assumptions that were used in the initial 2007 Ozone Plan.
      The MVEBs are calculated by taking these baseline inventories subtracting reductions from certain pre-Plan measures ("existing measures") and reductions from measures adopted after the Plan was adopted as well as measures and other inventory adjustments included in CARB's New Heavy Duty Diesel Truck (HDDT) Model (collectively "new measures"). The final MVEB is this resulting total rounded to the next highest tenth of a ton.
      Existing measures are:
         * AB 1493 Green House Gas Standards (NOx and VOC)
         * On-Road Portion of the Carl Moyer Program (NOx and VOC)
         * SJVAPCD's Rule 9310  -  School Buses (NOx only)
      New measures are:
         * SJVAPCD Rule 9410 Employer Based Trip Reduction (NOx and VOC)
         * Smog Check Improvements (Low pressure evap, cutpoints, light and medium duty diesels, smoke test) (NOx and VOC)
         * Reformulated Gasoline (VOC only)
         * Heavy Duty Diesel Truck Model (NOx and VOC)
               * New HDDT inventory
               * HDDT Recession Impacts
               * HDDT In-Use Rule
               * Heavy Duty Diesel Truck (HDDT) Chip Reflash
               * HDDT Public Fleet and Solid Waste Rules
               * HDDT Idling Rules

3.  January 8, 2009 Budget Adequacy/Inadequacy Finding
      On January 8, 2009, we notified CARB that we had found the budgets in the 2007 Ozone Plan for the RFP milestone years 2011, 2014, and 2017 adequate and the MVEBs for the RFP milestone years 2008 and 2020 and the attainment year of 2023 inadequate for transportation conformity purposes. See letter Deborah Jordan, EPA Region 9, to James Goldstene, CARB, "RE: Adequacy Status of San Joaquin Valley 8-Hour Ozone Reasonable Further Progress and Attainment Plan Motor Vehicle Emissions Budgets," January 8, 2009. We published a notice of our findings at 74 FR 4032 (January 22, 2009). This adequacy finding is also available at EPA's transportation conformity website, www.epa.gov/otaq/stateresources/transconf/pastsips.htm.
      We found the budgets for 2011, 2014 and 2017 adequate for transportation conformity decisions because they were consistent with the State's RFP demonstrations for milestone years 2011, 2014, and 2017 and were based on control measures, with one minor exception, that have already been adopted and implemented. The budgets also meet the other adequacy criteria in 40 CFR 93.118(e)(4) and (5). These budgets are currently being used by the MPOs and DOT in transportation conformity determinations. EPA's proposed approval of the revised budgets submitted in August 2011 does not affects the adequacy status of these budgets. They remain adequate for transportation conformity purposes until EPA either finds replacement budgets adequate or a final action approving replacement budgets becomes effective.
      We found the RFP budgets for 2008 inadequate for transportation conformity purposes the 2007 Ozone Plan did not show RFP for the year 2008 and thus the budget did not meet the transportation conformity rule's adequacy criteria that the budgets when considered together with all other emissions sources, are consistent with applicable requirements for RFP (40 CFR 93.118(e)(4)(iv)).
      We found the 2020 and 2023 budgets inadequate because they included estimated emission reductions associated with a number of commitments for future rule adoption that lack specificity. As such, the SJV MPOs would not have been able to accurately quantify future emission reductions associated with the commitments. Therefore, the 2020 and 2023 budgets were not precisely quantified or related to the overall emissions inventory and other measures as required by the adequacy criteria found in 40 CFR 93.118(e)(4)(iii), (iv), and (v).

4.  Proposed Action on the Revised MVEBs
      As part of its review of the budgets' approvability, EPA has evaluated the revised budgets using our adequacy criteria in 40 CFR § 93.318(e)(4) and (5). As documented in Table K-3 below, we found that they meet each adequacy criterion. As documented in this TSD, we have completed our detailed review of the 2007 SJV 8-hour Ozone SIP and supplemental submittals including the 2011 Ozone SIP Revisions and are proposing to approve the SIP's attainment and RFP demonstrations. We have also reviewed the proposed MVEBs submitted with the 2011 Ozone SIP Revision and have found that they are consistent with the attainment and RFP demonstrations, were based on control measures that have already been adopted and implemented and meet all other applicable statutory and regulatory requirements including meeting the adequacy criteria in §93.118(e)(4) and(5). Therefore, we are proposing to approve the 2011, 2014, 2017, 2020, and 2023 MVEB as shown in Table K-1.
      EPA is not required under its Transportation Conformity rules to find budgets adequate prior to proposing approval of them. However, we will complete the adequacy review of these budgets either prior to or concurrently with our final action on SJV 2007 8-Hour Ozone SIP. We will also post the revised budgets on EPA's adequacy review web page.
      If the proposed approval of the budgets is finalized, then the SJV MPOs and the U.S. DOT will be required to use the revised budgets in transportation conformity determinations. For these conformity determinations, the motor vehicle emissions from implementation of the transportation plan should be projected and compared to the budgets at the same level of accuracy as the budgets in the plan, for example emissions should be rounded to the rounded to the next highest tenth of a ton (e.g. 0.1 tpd). Also note that due to the nature of these budgets (combining reductions from control measures related to the in-use truck and bus rule, some of which may be included CARB's upcoming revision to the EMFAC model, EMFAC2011) the MPOs will need to show the off-model emission reductions associated with the individual control measures incorporated into the budgets, from CARB, for the appropriate analysis years in future conformity determinations so that they can include these reductions in regional emissions analysis per 40 CFR § 93.122 until EMAFAC2011 is submitted to EPA and EPA approves the model for use in SIPS and transportation conformity determinations.

                                   Table K-1
           Motor Vehicle Emissions Budget in the SJV 2007 Ozone SIP
                          as Revised on July 21, 2011
                         (tons per average summer day)
                                                                           Year
                                     2011
                                     2014
                                     2017
                                     2020
                                     2023
County
                                      ROG
                                      NOx
                                      ROG
                                      NOx
                                      ROG
                                      NOx
                                      ROG
                                      NOx
                                      ROG
                                      NOx
Fresno
                                     14.3
                                     36.2
                                     10.7
                                     30.0
                                      9.3
                                     22.6
                                      8.3
                                     17.7
                                      8.0
                                     13.5
Kern (SJV)
                                     12.7
                                     50.3
                                      9.7
                                     42.7
                                      8.7
                                     31.7
                                      8.2
                                     25.1
                                      7.9
                                     18.6
Kings
                                      2.8
                                     10.7
                                      2.1
                                      8.9
                                      1.8
                                      6.7
                                      1.7
                                      5.3
                                      1.6
                                      4.0
Madera
                                      3.4
                                      9.3
                                      2.5
                                      7.7
                                      2.2
                                      5.8
                                      2.0
                                      4.7
                                      1.9
                                      3.6
Merced
                                      5.1
                                     19.9
                                      3.7
                                     16.7
                                      3.2
                                     12.4
                                      2.9
                                      9.9
                                      2.8
                                      7.4
San Joaquin
                                     11.1
                                     24.6
                                      8.4
                                     20.5
                                      7.2
                                     15.6
                                      6.4
                                     12.4
                                      6.3
                                     10.0
Stanislaus
                                      8.5
                                     16.9
                                      6.4
                                     13.9
                                      5.6
                                     10.6
                                      5.0
                                      8.4
                                      4.7
                                      6.4
Tulare
                                      8.8
                                     16.0
                                      6.7
                                     13.2
                                      5.8
                                     10.1
                                      5.3
                                      8.1
                                      4.9
                                      6.2

                                   Table K-2
           Motor Vehicle Emissions Budget in the SJV 2007 Ozone SIP
                          as Revised on July 21, 2011
                         (tons per average summer day)
                                                                           Year
                                     2011
                                     2014
                                     2017
                                     2020
                                     2023
County

                                      ROG
                                      NOx
                                      ROG
                                      NOx
                                      ROG
                                      NOx
                                      ROG
                                      NOx
                                      ROG
                                      NOx
Fresno
                                                             Baseline EMFAC2007
                                     15.62
                                     51.87
                                     13.04
                                     40.67
                                     11.18
                                     32.41
                                     9.64.
                                     25.94
                                     9.08
                                     22.89

Existing measures

                                                               Local Reductions
                                     0.00
                                     0.03
                                     0.00
                                     0.05
                                     0.00
                                     0.13
                                     0.00
                                     0.11
                                     0.00
                                     0.10

                                                               State Reductions
                                     0.01
                                     0.10
                                     0.01
                                     0.10
                                     0.01
                                     0.07
                                     0.00
                                     0.00
                                     0.01
                                     0.01

New measures

                                                               Local Reductions
                                     0.15
                                     0.05
                                     0.29
                                     0.27
                                     0.20
                                     0.22
                                     0.27
                                     0.18
                                     0.25
                                     0.15

                                                               State Reductions
                                     1.20
                                     15.51
                                     2.10
                                     10.30
                                     1.68
                                     9.42
                                     1.15
                                     7.96
                                     0.88
                                     9.15

                                                                          Total
                                     14.27
                                     36.17
                                     10.64
                                     29.95
                                     9.29
                                     22.57
                                     8.21
                                     17.69
                                     7.95
                                     13.49

                                                                         Budget
                                     14.3
                                     36.2
                                     10.7
                                     30.0
                                      9.3
                                     22.6
                                      8.3
                                     17.7
                                      8.0
                                     13.5
Kern (SJV)
                                                            Baseline EMFAC2007
                                     15.76
                                     86.69
                                     13.56
                                     70.77
                                     11.67
                                     55.71
                                     10.36
                                     44.64
                                     9.44
                                     37.62

Existing measures

                                                               Local Reductions
                                     0.00
                                     0.02
                                     0.00
                                     0.04
                                     0.00
                                     0.09
                                     0.00
                                     0.08
                                     0.00
                                     0.07

                                                               State Reductions
                                     0.01
                                     0.12
                                     0.01
                                     0.12
                                     0.01
                                     0.09
                                     0.00
                                     0.00
                                     0.00
                                     0.00

New measures

                                                               Local Reductions
                                     0.10
                                     0.04
                                     0.21
                                     0.19
                                     0.14
                                     0.16
                                     0.19
                                     0.13
                                     0.18
                                     0.10

                                                               State Reductions
                                     3.01
                                     36.29
                                     3.68
                                     27.76
                                     2.85
                                     23.78
                                     2.01
                                     19.39
                                     1.43
                                     18.86

                                                                          Total
                                     12.63
                                     50.22
                                     9.66
                                     42.65
                                     8.66
                                     31.60
                                     8.16
                                     25.06
                                     7.83
                                     18.58

                                                                         Budget
                                     12.7
                                     50.3
                                      9.7
                                     42.7
                                      8.7
                                     31.7
                                      8.2
                                     25.1
                                      7.9
                                     18.6
Kings
                                                            Baseline EMFAC2007
                                     3.34
                                     17.28
                                     2.75
                                     13.53
                                     2.31
                                     10.52
                                     2.00
                                     8.49
                                     1.81
                                     7.29

Existing measures

                                                               Local Reductions
                                     0.00
                                     0.01
                                     0.00
                                     0.01
                                     0.00
                                     0.02
                                     0.00
                                     0.02
                                     0.00
                                     0.02

                                                               State Reductions
                                     0.00
                                     0.03
                                     0.00
                                     0.03
                                     0.00
                                     0.02
                                     0.00
                                     0.00
                                     0.00
                                     0.00

New measures

                                                               Local Reductions
                                     0.02
                                     0.01
                                     0.05
                                     0.04
                                     0.03
                                     0.04
                                     0.04
                                     0.03
                                     0.04
                                     0.02

                                                               State Reductions
                                     0.57
                                     6.62
                                     0.69
                                     4.56
                                     0.51
                                     3.83
                                     0.36
                                      3.2
                                     0.26
                                     3.34

                                                                          Total
                                     2.74
                                     10.62
                                     2.00
                                     8.89
                                     1.76
                                     6.62
                                      1.6
                                     5.24
                                     1.51
                                     3.91

                                                                         Budget
                                      2.8
                                     10.7
                                      2.1
                                      8.9
                                      1.8
                                      6.7
                                      1.7
                                      5.3
                                      1.6
                                      4.0
Madera
                                                            Baseline EMFAC2007
                                     3.68
                                     13.11
                                     0.00
                                     0.01
                                     2.59
                                     8.54
                                     2.28
                                     7.22
                                     2.13
                                     6.49

Existing measures

                                                               Local Reductions
                                     0.00
                                     0.01
                                     0.00
                                     0.01
                                     0.00
                                     0.02
                                     0.00
                                     0.02
                                     0.00
                                     0.02

                                                               State Reductions
                                     0.00
                                     0.02
                                     0.00
                                     0.02
                                     0.00
                                     0.02
                                     0.00
                                     0.00
                                     0.00
                                     0.00

New measures

                                                               Local Reductions
                                     0.02
                                     0.01
                                     0.05
                                     0.04
                                     0.03
                                     0.04
                                     0.04
                                     0.03
                                     0.04
                                     0.02

                                                               State Reductions
                                     0.36
                                     3.85
                                     0.56
                                      2.8
                                     0.45
                                     2.68
                                     0.34
                                     2.55
                                     0.27
                                     2.92

                                                                          Total
                                     3.30
                                     9.23
                                     2.43
                                     7.66
                                     2.10
                                     5.79
                                      1.9
                                     4.62
                                     1.81
                                     3.53

                                                                         Budget
                                      3.4
                                      9.3
                                      2.5
                                      7.7
                                      2.2
                                      5.8
                                      2.0
                                      4.7
                                      1.9
                                      3.6
Merced
                                                            Baseline EMFAC2007
                                     6.20
                                     31.38
                                     0.00
                                     0.03
                                     4.21
                                     19.24
                                     3.63
                                     15.70
                                     3.32
                                     13.8

Existing measures

                                                               Local Reductions
                                     0.00
                                     0.01
                                     0.00
                                     0.02
                                     0.00
                                     0.04
                                     0.00
                                     0.04
                                     0.00
                                     0.03

                                                               State Reductions
                                     0.01
                                     0.05
                                     0.01
                                     0.05
                                     0.00
                                     0.03
                                     0.00
                                     0.00
                                     0.00
                                     0.00

New measures

                                                               Local Reductions
                                     0.04
                                     0.02
                                     0.09
                                     0.08
                                     0.06
                                     0.07
                                     0.09
                                     0.06
                                     0.08
                                     0.05

                                                               State Reductions
                                     1.14
                                     11.45
                                     1.33
                                     7.84
                                     1.01
                                     6.72
                                     0.70
                                     5.79
                                     0.53
                                     6.33

                                                                          Total
                                     5.01
                                     19.85
                                     3.64
                                     16.62
                                     3.13
                                     12.38
                                     2.84
                                     9.82
                                     2.71
                                     7.38

                                                                         Budget
                                      5.1
                                     19.9
                                      3.7
                                     16.7
                                      3.2
                                     12.4
                                      2.9
                                      9.9
                                      2.8
                                      7.4
San Joaquin
                                                            Baseline EMFAC2007
                                     12.13
                                     37.28
                                     3.04
                                     10.53
                                     8.64
                                     23.57
                                     7.49
                                     18.57
                                      7.2
                                     16.67

Existing measures

                                                               Local Reductions
                                     0.00
                                     0.03
                                     0.00
                                     0.05
                                     0.00
                                     0.11
                                     0.00
                                     0.10
                                     0.00
                                     0.09

                                                               State Reductions
                                     0.01
                                     0.08
                                     0.01
                                     0.08
                                     0.01
                                     0.06
                                     0.00
                                     0.00
                                     0.01
                                     0.01

New measures

                                                               Local Reductions
                                     0.12
                                     0.04
                                     0.24
                                     0.23
                                     0.18
                                     0.19
                                     0.24
                                     0.16
                                     0.22
                                     0.13

                                                               State Reductions
                                     0.95
                                     12.57
                                     1.63
                                     9.31
                                     1.27
                                     7.70
                                     0.89
                                     5.94
                                     0.71
                                     6.52

                                                                          Total
                                     11.06
                                     24.56
                                     8.31
                                     20.42
                                     7.18
                                     15.51
                                     6.36
                                     12.38
                                     6.26
                                     9.92

                                                                         Budget
                                     11.1
                                     24.6
                                      8.4
                                     20.5
                                      7.2
                                     15.6
                                      6.4
                                     12.4
                                      6.3
                                     10.0
                                  Stanis-laus
                                                            Baseline EMFAC2007
                                     9.00
                                     24.06
                                     0.00
                                     0.01
                                      6.5
                                     14.76
                                      5.7
                                     11.86
                                     5.23
                                     10.19

Existing measures

                                                               Local Reductions
                                     0.00
                                     0.02
                                     0.00
                                     0.03
                                     0.00
                                     0.08
                                     0.00
                                     0.06
                                     0.00
                                     0.06

                                                               State Reductions
                                     0.01
                                     0.05
                                     0.01
                                     0.05
                                     0.01
                                     0.03
                                     0.00
                                     0.00
                                     0.00
                                     0.00

New measures

                                                               Local Reductions
                                     0.09
                                     0.03
                                     0.17
                                     0.16
                                     0.12
                                     0.13
                                     0.16
                                     0.10
                                     0.15
                                     0.09

                                                               State Reductions
                                     0.46
                                     7.15
                                     1.02
                                      4.6
                                     0.81
                                     4.01
                                     0.58
                                     3.34
                                     0.43
                                     3.65

                                                                          Total
                                     8.45
                                     16.81
                                     6.34
                                     13.86
                                     5.56
                                     10.51
                                     4.96
                                     8.35
                                     4.65
                                     6.39

                                                                         Budget
                                      8.5
                                     16.9
                                      6.4
                                     13.9
                                      5.6
                                     10.6
                                      5.0
                                      8.4
                                      4.7
                                      6.4
Tulare
                                                            Baseline EMFAC2007
                                     9.26
                                     22.41
                                     0.00
                                     0.02
                                      6.7
                                     14.35
                                     5.96
                                     11.88
                                     5.44
                                     10.24

Existing measures

                                                               Local Reductions
                                     0.00
                                     0.02
                                     0.00
                                     0.03
                                     0.00
                                     0.06
                                     0.00
                                     0.05
                                     0.00
                                     0.05

                                                               State Reductions
                                     0.01
                                     0.04
                                     0.01
                                     0.04
                                     0.01
                                     0.03
                                     0.00
                                     0.00
                                     0.00
                                     0.00

New measures

                                                               Local Reductions
                                     0.07
                                     0.03
                                     0.14
                                     0.13
                                     0.10
                                     0.11
                                     0.13
                                     0.09
                                     0.12
                                     0.07

                                                               State Reductions
                                     0.41
                                     6.42
                                     0.99
                                     4.48
                                     0.81
                                     4.09
                                     0.60
                                     3.68
                                     0.46
                                     3.93

                                                                          Total
                                     8.77
                                     15.90
                                     6.62
                                     13.16
                                     5.79
                                     10.06
                                     5.23
                                     8.05
                                     4.85
                                     6.19

                                                                         Budget
                                      8.8
                                     16.0
                                      6.7
                                     13.2
                                      5.8
                                     10.1
                                      5.3
                                      8.1
                                      4.9
                                      6.2

                                   Table K-3
Adequacy Evaluation of the Motor Vehicle Emissions Budget in the SJV 2007 Ozone SIP
                          as Revised on July 21, 2011
                           Adequacy Review Criteria
                               (40 CFR part 93)
                                 Is Criterion
                                  Satisfied?
                      Reference in SIP Document/Comments
Sec. 3.118(e)(4)(i)
The plan was endorsed by the Governor (or designee) and was subject to a public hearing.
                                       Y
The November 16, 2007 transmittal letter submitting the SJV 2007 Ozone Plan was sent by CARB's Executive Officer, James Goldstene, the Governor's designee. The transmittal letter indicates that the CARB formally adopted the plan on June 14, 2007 through a Board Resolution (07-20). CARB released the plan on May 15, 2007 and requested public comments by June 13, 2007 or at the public hearing held on June 14, 2007.
The Plan relies on reduction from measures and commitments in the 2007 State Strategy. The November 16, 2007 transmittal letter submitting the 2007 State Strategy was sent by CARB's Executive Officer, James Goldstene, the Governor's designee. The transmittal letter indicates that CARB adopted the 2007 State Strategy for the SIP on September 27, 2007. CARB released the 2007 State Strategy on April 26, 2007 and May 7, 2007 and requested public comments by the public hearing held on September 27, 2007.
CARB updated both the SJV 2007 Ozone Plan and the 2007 State Strategy in the 2011 Ozone SIP Revisions. The July 29, 2011 transmittal letter submitting the 2011 Ozone SIP Revisions was sent by CARB's Executive Officer, James Goldstene, the Governor's designee. The transmittal letter indicates that the CARB formally adopted the SIP Revision on July 21, 2011 through a Board Resolution (11-22). CARB released the plan on June 20, 2011 and requested public comments by July 20, 2011 or at the public hearing held on July 21 2011.
Sec. 93.118(e)(4)(ii)
The plan was developed through consultation with federal, state and local agencies; full implementation plan documentation was provided and EPA's stated concerns, if any, were addressed.
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