. It's like, I got one problem fixed, but it traded into another problem. And like, it's still festering. It's still, the whole problem is still there. So that's what's been going on. I don't know if you've... That must have been very frustrating. Frustrating indeed, my dude. Very frustrating. Maybe you've shown Penn like you're his Oscar. So anyway, I don't know why I thought of you about that with that story, but it's just very like me to like avoid unpleasant things, you know? Like to postpone them. And by postponing them, I just make them worse. Now, I could have like just bit the bullet, accepted reality, gone to a professional, had it done, had them fixed the dent, paid a retail price, and then I would have a forking bumper with a non-broken sensor. But instead I let fate, you know? I just didn't have the agency to sort of take command and I let fate dictate what happened. So let's rewind everything. So what would you do differently from the first, when it came to this guy wanting to borrow your vehicle? I probably, given the circumstances and given the situation at the time, I probably still would have lent it. Okay, so... Truth be told. If you see, okay, once you see the bumper problem, how would you handle it differently, if at all? I probably would have pressed further, right? I would have continued my interrogation a little bit more vigorously to see if I could extract a confession, you know? It made him pay for it. And the next time you encounter a Mexican on the street who wants to fix your vehicle, how are you gonna react? I'm going to probably not do it. Probably not gonna do it. I'm gonna say no, my dude, thank you for the offer, but I'm gonna pay retail. So why is this alcoholic dude in your life? Well, he's no longer in my life. He's moved to back to East Coast and he's taking care of his aging mother.  It was a transitory experience episode that I sort of helped him bridge. And so in a way, it kind of feels like a Metspa, but it's a cost of doing business. Like you take a loss once in a while and I'm cool with it. Now, how long have you had a cell phone? I've had a cell phone. Okay, 2003 maybe? Okay, I think I got one in 99, but I've had a cell phone for 23 years. My phone has never died on me, but all the time I have interactions with people who tell me that their phone died on them. So I'm always highly suspicious of people who say that their phone died on them. What's your experience? Do you get people telling you that their phone died on them? I can't say that it's not happened to me because it has many times. Especially these iPhones, they have this weird thing called optimized charging. So if you leave your phone plugged in, the optimized charging algorithm takes over and doesn't actually charge your phone, this is only with the latest iPhones. I know you're half a latest iPhone. So I don't really hold that against people. I think that's a, I think it's a realistic hazard that one faces in today's world. I think people are lying. You think they're lying? Yeah. That's very well, that can very likely be true. Majority of cases are lying. It's the easiest out in the world. Yeah, because it's never happened to me. I'm 23, I've had a cell phone for 23 years. And you've never, I can simply cannot believe that. I mean, I've never needed to invoke my phone died. It's just- Your phone has never died, you're like- My phone may have, but I've never invoked it as an excuse. It's never come up. It's never been important. It's never like prevented me from meeting an obligation of whichever way I'm feeling myself. It's just that it's one of those common excuses that I just think indicates I'm dealing with someone that's pretty slow. But are you dealing with a woman or a man here? Both, but men and women invoke these kind of slack excuses. Well, hold on a second. I have to do a little cooking here. I'm sorry. I know you don't do this. And this is all alien to you. What are you cooking? Okay, so I've got, no, I've got bone and chicken breast from Whole Foods. My sweet yams and rice. Simple, simple. It's not Gordon Ramsay's here, but it works. Oh, so I had someone close to me. Yes, they say, I don't get it. Sometimes you seem health conscious and sometimes you don't. Because for example, I'm in Australia. I've been walking 10 miles every day since I arrived in Australia. So when I'm getting that much exercise, I'm not paying great attention to what I eat beyond trying to stay in the zone. About 40% carbs, 30% protein, 30% fat. And so my friend said, sometimes you seem so health conscious, sometimes you don't. And I've come to associate health conscious by and large with neurotic people.  Like I was raised in a health conscious environment that absolutely crippled my life. Like I was raised on this vegetarian diet, 80% carbs, 10% fat, 10% protein. I don't know, what's your experience with people who are quote unquote health conscious? It seems to me that most people I know who are quote unquote health conscious are actually going at things in an unhealthy way that generally speaking, it's unhealthy to be health conscious because people tend to go off in deranged directions. I totally agree. I think that, like I'm thinking of what's that guy's name? Tim Ferriss. All these people that are like constantly on about keto and their macros and their dietary regime, that is a bit like obsessive and probably doesn't really yield them any real benefits.  And yeah, there's a weird energy about that. I found that you really only need one proper solid balanced meals with all the food groups just like they taught you in junior high school, you know? And if you did that, if everybody did that, they'd be fine. But because we're in this world where food is also, it's not only nourishment, but it's also a form of recreation that we have all of these terrible health problems because people are eating in ways that they didn't evolve.  It's okay to eat that stuff, but you're really probably eating way too much of it.  And were they healthy? Yeah, so they probably ate this way. And it was like, the key word is normal loop. Normal food isn't important, but it doesn't need to be an all consuming part of your worldview.  And I don't mean that as a judgmental thing. I'm saying this is like a flashing light that bro, there's something wrong. But what about struggling with over-eating or under-eating? Do you struggle with over-eating or under-eating? Well, I don't feel like I eat that much. I mean, I have one meal a day and then I have little bits of tiny little supplementals here and there. But at the same time, I still gain weight. So I don't eat any desserts or very rarely just as treats. So it's something I do struggle with because I don't feel like I used to be incredibly athletic and I kind of know how to be athletic. And so I'm more sedentary than I wish I was and it's taken a toll on my health. So do I overeat? Probably. Pat, how tall are you? How much do you weigh? Luke, it's so depressing. I can't, I can't, I can't confess it. This is a loving inclusive. I can't confess this. There's no judgment here. Believe me, I can't endure the mockery. I was called chubby cheeks. Once I got back to Australia, people were saying like, hey, you gained weight. So I put on 10 pounds since I left Australia and I've got chipmunk cheeks and we're all in it together.  Yeah, since I got to Australia, not Australia. Okay. So a couple of years ago when we were talking about this and I was walking and like at my peak, I would walk about six miles a day, right? And but then recently I stopped swimming because of this cold lung issue. Then I started running, I started walking again. So I walked for like a couple of weeks ago, I walked four miles, four miles, not even six. And I got back and I was like bedridden. And this was really like a, this was a real confrontation with my own mortality because I couldn't believe that four miles of exercise reduced me to such fatigue.  That's probably three solid hours of walking, if not more. Yeah, I mean, and that's interspersed with a lot of live streaming. So. Yeah, I only have live streaming.   They shouldn't be calling you chubby cheeks. Now maybe you're just losing weight after your time in LA because were you walking 10 miles a day in LA? No, no, I was not walking 10 miles a day in LA. I'd bike about five miles a day in LA. Oh, that's nothing. I mean, five miles of biking. But now I'm just exhausted. I'm not leaving the house today. I'm wiped. Yeah, that's a good feeling. That's one of the best feelings in life actually is being wiped from exercise, and having the ability to sleep. Just having, I can recover. It's like this incredible vacation. Yeah, it's like a well-earned dessert. But yes, I'm way heavier than I should be. And it really, every time I think about it, it's sort of like the dent in the car. It's like, every time I think about it, my mind just kind of collapses and just reduces to rage that I've allowed this to happen. And so that's- You wear it well. Oh, well, yeah.  There's a wood face. There's a lot of weight. Yeah, you got a bone structure that can carry this weight.  You know?  It's just, that could be like, it could be like distilling all that heat and energy. It's like turning into lead and uranium, you know, all this power, powerful metal. I think so. I think so, if you think about it. So, but this is the time of year, you know, that the fog is gone, the skies are clear. So I'm gonna put into like a good three months of solid exercising. We'll see what we fix. Then we'll start talking numbers, Luke. Then we can talk numbers. Have you seen a doctor about your cough? Like you've had a cough as long as I've nine years. Wow. I did about 10 years ago. And they gave me this asthma medication, right? Adbear, it was called Adbear. Now, this is the first pharmaceutical I've probably taken since high school. Like, but I did it, you know, I was instructed to do this course of action, so I did it. And like, I got these hives, all of my arms. The second day, I'm like, my arms are like burst out in these blisters, you know? And it wasn't clear that there was any therapeutic benefit to any of this. So that really disenchanted me with this whole medical establishment. And I'm very skeptical of pharmaceuticals. And I don't, that was, that was the extent. So no, the long short of it, it's been like 10 years and I'm not inclined to do it again. I'm trying, I'm inclined to do things naturally because I'm a natural man, you know what I'm saying, bro? What about TB? Have you been tested for tuberculosis? No, you think I have TB? No, I don't. I thought that was extinct. I thought that was like, I thought that was what do you call it, eradicated.   Then asked his lawyer to cover it up.  I really like, I really like DeSantis A, B, I don't know.  Are you joking? I think this is a joke, but here's what Trump says. That if he runs for president, I will tell you things about him that won't be very flattering. He's gotta get off the stage. This guy's what, the 80 years old? Yeah. I really think this whole boomer generation needs to just simultaneously, collectively bow out. Okay, we're done. It's time for you exers, you know? We need a moment of sun, Luke. We're exers. We should be ex-proud. So Herschel Walker has taken the lead with 55% of the vote counted. He's taken the lead for the first time. So by how much? It's slender, slender. Slender. Well, isn't that the idea is that the Democrats would be favored in their early mail voting and then the Republicans would take over? Something like that, but. Yeah, I need Herschel. I need Herschel for my big score, but I need Nevada and I need to really get paid. I need New Hampshire. Well, that's a real, that's kind of a stretch. Okay, Nate Sobus says that this should be a fairly normal election. It's not gonna be an extreme, either extreme Republican or extreme Democrat.  And I wanna say, I wanna do a strict accounting about who was accurate, who wasn't. Because this Nate Silver, he sort of, the way he does predictions, he leaves himself so much wiggle room that he can always claim to have been right, you know? So you're gonna hold the post as accountable. Yeah, bro. But Ann Coulter had a point though, elections have always over, they've always over projected democratic strength and then that always narrows towards the day of the election, just so that they can cover, they start, you can create a poll to predict anything. Whatever methodology used determines results. And so as you get closer to the election, these pollsters have to start using different methodologies so that they're at least within the ballpark, right? Otherwise they lose credibility. Okay, bro, any final words? All right, I gotta eat some dinner, but good chat. Blessings. I'll see you back in. All right, blessings. Okay, bro, take care. All right, bye-bye. Let's check in. So let's watch a little bit of this. Thank you so much. You know, over these past four years, we've seen, I'm sorry, I just find politicians boring. We're not gonna listen to a politician. Has tightened up races in these last few weeks where they thought they weren't going to be as competitive. Let me tell you what I've heard from Democrats was exactly that issue, Savannah, when they were talking about places where they were nervous, feeling like Democrats were really put on defense by Republicans on the issue of crime, kind of late in the game and in key places like for example, Pennsylvania. Look at Wisconsin where that's been another key issue too. So yeah, crime. Right there sitting at number three, by the way, tied for gun policy issues that are important to voters. You know, inflation and crime, what they have in common, they're really tangible people. Sometimes like, you know, three of us live in Washington. People sit there in the Beltway and they talk about things that are sort of esoteric. Everybody puts together a grocery budget, right? Everybody walks out of their home to go to their car or to school or whatever. You feel these issues in a really tangible way. You look at where Democrats are right now. More voters say President Biden's policies are hurting this country than helping, right? These are the headwinds that Democrats are facing. Okay, so what I'm seeing is a lot of tension in her shoulders and neck and the head having some tendency to tip back to compress her spine. So a lot of pulling down and in on herself. That's been a big issue in that race in a state that Donald Trump won by double digits. That is a reflection of what we're seeing in other key states around the country too. Well, Governor's mentions could be switching hands in more than 30 states tonight, but one place where that won't happen is in New Hampshire where incumbent Republican Governor Chris Sinuno has been re-elected and he joins us now live. Governor, congratulations. Yeah, we don't want to hear from politicians. Rhonda Santas is talking. So let's learn about the Tower of Babel. I think that there is, imperialism obviously has many forms and the most successful imperialists now are Jews. But their form of imperialism, and this is very imitable, is a cultural and also an economic form of imperialism. That's been very successful. Okay, thanks, Mark Braumann. I wonder what Richard Spencer has to say. Oh, right. It's time for the midterms. It is 6 p.m. where I am, which means that it is 8 p.m. on the East Coast. So we have a few polls closing. I don't see much of anything that's definitive yet. I was just looking at the New York Times tracker and they think we've called some races that are not really contested. So we don't know much. And so I think we're still kind of in prediction mode, but I'm not gonna actually have a long monologue tonight. Instead, I'll just let people ask questions or even throw in some info if you would like. That would actually be appreciated. I would also say this and allow me just to spruke a little bit. So I will only be talking for one hour tonight on this Twitter space. But if I will probably be talking for three to four, not 70 hours, with my sub-stack group. So if you go over to radixjournal, or atixjournal.substack.com, you can subscribe and then go down and look for our members' calls. And we, those are good. I think at 538 or what have you. And the red era that is upon us and that has lasted since the mid-90s and is still going. The blue era was characterized by democratic hegemony and wide margins, particularly in the House, but also the Senate. And lasting paradigmatic legislation, Civil Rights Act, Immigration Reform Act, the New Deal, Square Deal, all of it. Even Obamacare was kind of like the last gas of the red era. And that occurred when Democrats were in control of both houses. The red era is defined by Republicans generally doing well and also no legislative achievements. I mean, I'm not being sarcastic when I say that I genuinely cannot name something that the GOP has done. And it's actually, the GOP has done quite well in House elections and Senate elections since 1994. But with stars, you know, you're Paul Ryan, you're Newt Gingrich, other nerdy libertarians. And I think the red era is gonna have kind of like a Indian summer or something. I do think the GOP's gonna win. And we will see typical red era stuff coming out of Congress in the next two years like an abortion ban or an impeachment of Joe Biden or stuff like that, basically nonsense. And correct me if I'm wrong, if you can. But I don't think that can last. I think the general, there's a kind of new coalition that will be blue that's brewing that is going to include quite a bit of upper and middle class white people in the suburbs and beyond. And if Trump gets on the ballot in 2024, I think you will. That coalition will be fully operational. Anyway, I will post, how do I post a tweet in here? Do you guys know? Oh, there we go. Well, all right, anyway. So who's that ravishing woman in this Ron DeSantis video? Okay, she's got really good technique. Notice how she's got a nice long neck. She's got width across her shoulders. That must be his wife. She's not tilting, is she tilting? No, she's not tilting to either side. So she's got a lot of width across her chest. She's got a nice long back. Her head is poised on top of her spine. But look at that beautiful long neck.  Yeah, she's looking good. Ron DeSantis, he's thick-sat, but he's got reasonably wide shoulders. It doesn't have a lot of neck, but he's, so the boxer, like when you're in a fight, right?  So Ron DeSantis has a bit of that fighter instinct in him where he's making himself tighter and smaller. But not bad.  So he could really benefit from little more length in his neck. He's losing his neck. So the more he struggles, the more he goes through difficult times, the more tension he's gonna have in his head-neck back. And so that leads to ever-increasing layers of compression, but still a fairly young man. So these layers of compression haven't become disabling. All right, let's check in with Richard here. You can go to my account and read if you'd like, but anyone wanna jump in? Samuel, you're up first. What do we know? Or what do you know? Or tell me something I don't know. Samuel, you have to unmute yourself. Okay, Samuel, you're not gonna speak. Anyone else wanna jump in? Okay, I will mention this. I did see something very interesting on Twitter just as I was about to get on. And that is the Miami-Dade County early vote. And just like everything in our society, it is polarized. So Donald Trump says the early voting is fake, or you can trust it, don't vote early vote on the day out. That's why I guess I took his advice. I just kind of blank voting on the day out. It's not, I live in a small town, so it takes 15 or 20 minutes to do it. But anyway, Miami-Dade County, Miami-Dade County, the early vote was really strongly Republican. So that is pretty remarkable in itself. And it also does, just it's one bit of information, but it does suggest a red wave. Okay, Samuel, do you wanna try again or with someone else blank to speak? No, no, no, thank you, sure. He doesn't wanna speak. All right, guys, no, no, what do you wanna say now, jump in? No, no, nothing, thank you. All right, don't ask to be a speaker then. All right, anyone else wanna jump in? Are we just kind of too early on the show? Come on, guys, I'm trying to run a show here. Guys, you need to ask me questions. What do you think of the issue of the economy and inflation being a center issue seems like in this debate and why Republicans will probably win. It's sort of funny to me because it seems like they're gonna win on that issue, even though they have no plans to make anything better.  How is it that like they're able to, people focusing on this one thing is this gonna trump all the other issues? Because it's deeply, there's this like psychological character to elections in general, and I think midterms in particular actually, where the midterm just becomes a referendum on who is perceived to be in power.  Like, I mean, he kind of does in the sense that he can release some strategic reserves, but he can't do that. And this idea of blaming him for that is kind of like in-brained or animalistic or something. And again, as I mentioned many times, there's just this weird psychological effect where the party that is in power loses in the midterm, particularly in the first term midterm. And I don't, I mean, the other side is, I mean, or the side that lost is greater mobilized. There's general dissatisfaction or just like some quest for balance or something. So it's interesting just looking at Ron DeSantis without the sound dog. So yeah, he seems strong as a bull. He seems very much a biter. He seems to have tremendous vitality and seems to have a bright future and his wife is very poised, very graceful, very gracious. And Ron DeSantis, like he's got the build of a fullback seems to exude energy. So a lot of strength. So Alexander Technique isn't everything, you know, grace and ease isn't everything. But sometimes Alexander teaches that they so don't want to distort their musculature, that they're afraid to pick up pencil. I'm exaggerating obviously. Oleg and since Jeb Bush in 2002. Now we've got some calls to make. In the first of the two Oklahoma Senate races this year, Fox News can project that GOP Senator James Langford will win a second full term in office. And special election. We project that Republican Mark Wayne Mullen will defeat Democrat Kendra Horne. Moving to Connecticut where Democratic Senator the incumbent Richard Blumenthal wins the third term by defeating Republican businesswoman, Leora Levy. Over to Texas and the governor's rates where we can now project that Governor Greg Abbott will remain in the governor's mansion for a third term. He defeats high-profile Democratic candidate, Beto O'Rourke. A lot will be said about this race because this is multiple efforts on the part of Beto O'Rourke. Multiple efforts and multiple tens of millions of millions of dollars. And a lot of focus on Beto O'Rourke as a candidate, Britt. O'Rourke is becoming the Charlie Christ of Texas. Yes, exactly. I'm sorry, but I don't know who you're talking about. I think the Democratic candidate was Robert Francis O'Rourke and not that other phony name. Yeah, I mean, he's gone from the cover of Vanity Fair magazine and this shining hope of the Democrat Party. Jessica, your thoughts on what has happened to Beto O'Rourke? Is he, does this seal the deal? Is he done now in politics or not? Never say never with these things. But I think if the evening goes as I expected to for Stacey Abrams as well, that there's gonna be a lot of soul searching about where you're dumping your money when you go on Act Blue, right? There are a lot of people whose races are a lot closer than you would expect, like Sherry Beasley in North Carolina. I'm not saying that she's gonna end up pulling that off, but when you think about where your dollars could go, that maybe that extra money going to Maggie Hasden, it looks better than expected there in New Hampshire. Defending Nevada, things like that, giving more money in Pennsylvania, maybe to Tim Ryan who had to go it alone without Chuck Schumer's support at the end there. These are celebrity candidates. I think that there have been incredible messaging moments that kind of have rallied the Democratic base and made you really focus on the issues that matter to us as a party, but they are seemingly just not great candidates to win statewide office, and I hope people will take stock of that. Okay, we can also project that Democratic governor, Dan McKee will win the first full term in office defeating another GOP businesswoman, Ashley Clouse. And over to Connecticut, where Democrat incumbent Ned Lamont will defeat GOP candidate Bob Stepanowski. And finally, in the great state of New Hampshire, we can project that Republican governor, Chris Sununu, will win a fourth term. And Dana, he's been on the show with you a number of times with you and Bill. He also possibly has other ambitions. Well, he might. So there was a heavy attempt to recruit him to run for the Senate in New Hampshire, and he didn't wanna do that.  He wanted to sing his teeth into things. I don't know if he actually has ambition to run for president, but of course, that decision doesn't need to be made for a little while unless we're talking sooner than later with Britt. You know, you mentioned Sununu earlier in this and how it plays with that Senate race and whether it affects that. You definitely should.  You see that in Georgia, you see that in Florida, or not so much in Florida, you certainly see it in New Hampshire, and you see it elsewhere. Mike DeWine, for example, in Ohio, how much can he help JD Vance to get across the finish line and what appears to be a pretty tight race out there? And we'll see what happens in Arizona as well with Kerry Lake and Black Masters. Okay, let's head over to Bill Hammer. And this is your favorite, Virginia. We're gonna look at Virginia. Yeah, let me just pop up here a moment here. We were talking about North Carolina a moment ago. I was just checking Ted Budd has taken the lead here. But let's pop up here to the house races in Virginia. Thanks for being patient. Okay, here we go. Virginia too, Jen Kagan, you got about 60% of the vote in. She's got a lead here of 19,000 raw votes, about 11% on the board. So she continues to, I mean, we saw this one about an hour and a half ago. She took the lead. She's maintained that lead in Virginia too. They liked that run there. Virginia seven closer to Washington DC. So this is Spanburgers race with Yesly Vega. What I've seen guys is this race is getting closer throughout the night. We still got some vote out there right now, but Vega continues to hang on to a lead with the difference of about 6,300 there in Virginia. Can I show you a couple of things in the Senate race here that I'm saying? Let's pop down here to Georgia and watch what's happening with Warnock and Walker. Warnock about 30 minutes ago had gone below 50%. He popped up again. Remember 50% in Georgia is where you need to be to avoid the runoff come four weeks from now. And Camp in the governor's race, he has been pretty consistent from what I'm seeing well above 50% now for really, I guess ever since the polls closed two hours ago. So Camp is running at 51.6. Walker is running at 47.1. So again, it's about that four point spread that you see between Walker and between Camp. Let me get out here. Hey, one thing, there's a libertarian in that race in the Senate race that's getting three times the vote of the libertarian in the governor's race in Georgia. I mean, I don't know if that factors in, but there is a difference there. Yeah, and it could take some votes away and we're gonna see, I can't reflect on the board behind here, but listen, a point could be significant, right? Can I show you what's happening in Ohio before I kick it back over there real quick? Here is Ohio, here is Ryan and Vance. Guys, we got a race here. This is really interesting. I mean, it's a different race than what we saw about 15 minutes ago. Vote total of 23,000. Here's what I would think about. I would think about Cuyahoga County, three-to-one Democrats in that county. Ryan's got more votes out there in Cleveland, Ohio. I would think about Franklin County, Capital City, Columbus. Got a lot of votes out there, guys. Just about 30% in. Ryan's gonna pick up a few more there. We'll see how that breaks down. And then down here in Hamilton County in Cincinnati is the east side of that county. There's a lot of votes out there too for Ryan in all likelihood because you're only checking in at 30%. But come back in a moment here and I shall show you as it rolls on, okay? Thank you, Bill. And Virginia 10 is tight. 51 to 48, Jennifer Wexton over Hong Kong. Biden won that by 18% in 2020. So that's the margin in that race is something that we're watching closely to see what it indicates for the rest of these races across the country as well. Very big difference in that margin. So we're gonna take a quick break and we have Laura joining us for me. Okay, it does not look like a red tsunami, right? Maybe a red wave, the title of my video. But we're not seeing a red tsunami here. JD Vance is struggling. Republicans are flipping some seats in the house, but does not look like a red tsunami right now. The JD Vance has now captured the lead in Ohio with 45% of the vote coming in. And now we've got New York Times needle is back. So let's have a look at the New York Times needle regard to the house, regard to the Senate. And it's not back, okay? So Blue Mirage is why Federman is leading Dr. Ars by 74%. Pittsburgh and Philadelphia have released their returns. They're way more Democrat than the counties. It doesn't look like a red tsunami. I think that is the most important upshot. Now, Raphael Warnock has taken the lead in Georgia. It's 58% reporting. He's now got a 4.4 percentage point lead of a special walker. So it looks like a decent night so far for polls. Good night for polling averages. Looks like a lot of polls are gonna do better than they did in 2016 and 2020. Warnock up 4 percentage points in Georgia. And let's get some spence. I don't know what it is, but it just is such a strong effect. It is like, you know, those weird statistics where like if the Phillies wear their alternative uniform while they're on the road, they always lose or something. It's just some weird, like thing that's consistent, but just doesn't seem very rational. And yeah, I mean, the Republicans don't have a plan for inflation other than just to talk about it and blame it on Biden. And but inflation is bad and that seems to dominate things. I was a little bit surprised because as you might know, let's say two months ago or maybe even sooner, I was kind of itching to say that this was gonna be a blue wave just on the basis of early wave. Cause I really, and remember, you know, in Kansas on a pro choice referendum, it won with like 60% of the vote or maybe even higher than that. And so you could say that there was just... Okay, so what about the predicted betting market? So four hours ago is at 85% that Republicans take control of the US Senate. Now it's down to 65%. So the predicted price chart for Senate control by the hour suddenly slipping away from Republicans are still giving them 65% chance according to the betting market. Florida has gone red, but what's happened in Florida is not showing universally in surrounding states. CNBC apparently fired Shepard Smith. Okay, we've got a lot more polls coming up, a lot more polls closing. The Senate, of course, who are these Democrat incumbent Mark Kelly, the former astronaut, is taking on Republican Blake Masters also too early to call at this hour. Let's bring in NBC's Von Hilliard, rather, who is in Scottsdale with the GOP candidates. Von, let's start with the governor's race.  You're an Arizona native. What are the voters telling you tonight? Right, the Democrat, Katie Hobbs, and back to the Arizona Secretary of State who oversaw the 2020 election in which Donald Trump narrowly lost to Joe Biden. When you're looking here at this race, this is the question of play. It's a longtime conservative state, but folks in the state, especially independents and conservatives, reticent to Donald Trump and his allies, showed that they were willing to vote for Democrats in 2018, Kirsten Sinema, in 2020, Democrat Mark Kelly and Joe Biden. The question is, are you willing to do it again in 2022? And when you're looking at this governor's race, as well as the Senate race here, the big question is, where do these independents lie? This is ground zero for election denialism. Up and down the slate of GOP candidates, you're looking at candidates who have called for the decertification of the 2020 election. Now the question is, is that a high enough? Okay, very strong night for Republicans in Florida. So Ronda Santis is doing really well. Which for the Democrats was, this could be the end of democracy. Is that bringing home to people across the globe? Are they concerned that America could actually stop being a democracy?  I mean, what is happening in Italy is clearly a concern. But just like in the United States, it's partisanship in almost every other country. This is the former Trinidadian ambassador to the United States. Yeah, I really wanna know what he has to say. But an approach in which he pushed back against some of the democratic agenda items. But when you're looking at Mark Kelly's class, he has some other problems in Houston, they did extend voting. So it was another set of facts, but it just brings to mind again, this confusion about how votes are cast, when they're counted, when they're allowed to be post-marked. And I'm not saying, I'm not in favor of federalizing elections, but every two years, we're gonna have this problem. But we didn't have this problem really up until what, 2016 is when we really started the Democrats who look at that and say, this is the bill, they go farther for another other reasons. But is there a bill in between that says, here's a national standard that each state has to meet? Yeah, well, we'll see how that goes. But I think Florida, I said this when I was with you guys on election night in 2020, Florida is still the model for the country, I think. The coalition of new voters, younger voters, Latino voters, we'll see where African-American voters turn out in Miami-Dade when it's really broken down. But this was a tour de force performance by Ron DeSantis and Marco Rubio. And to me, that is the great light for the Republican Party. And they know how to count votes, and they know how to tabulate absentee votes and mail-in ballots, so it can work. And it worked in 2020, and it seems to be working now for the Republicans. And the state has some certainty, which I think is so important for people's belief and trust in the system. It's exactly right. And what happened in Florida was that they went through the hanging chat experience and they said, never again, we're gonna fix this. So they open the ballots as they come in, and then they start processing those ballots. And if you live in Florida, you can trace your ballot on a website. Here's where yours is, we have it, it's been counted. So why haven't they learned that lesson in places like Pennsylvania? I heard Kerry Lake today said, if I'm elected, we're gonna clean this thing up. Okay, the New York Times needle is back. It says 75% chance that Republicans win control of the U.S. House of Representatives, and the Senate is a toss-up, right? That's what's coming out from the New York Times. So New York Times poster, Nate Cohn, says that Democrats were running ahead of our expectations outside of Florida, but they were running way behind in Florida. The J.D. Vance has taken the lead in Ohio. Doug Mastriana may wind up being one of the worst nominees ever in a major race in a swing state, right? It's Chris Saliza from CNN. Let's get more from Laura Ingram. If he comes within five points of taking it from Hocal, that is really significant. But look, in the end of this cycle, whenever we cast the last vote, it could be a mixed bag for some of the MAGA candidates. But look, this is the process. So you have to have, you know, run great campaigns, and it's a complex electorate with a lot of issues that are bubbling out there.  I mean, I was kind of for the other candidate, and she really turned out to run a great race in the end. And we should point out, I mean, they could end up with three seats pick up in the Senate. I mean, it's early, and we don't know how these races are gonna turn out in the end. And again, Don Balduck in New Hampshire, keep an eye on that. I mean, we don't know what will happen. I'm not asking this favor to win, but, you know, we don't know at this point. He could actually pull it out. And as you point out, you know, and we've been going through all of these voting rules for all of these states. There's so many states where they will not, where they don't say, we're gonna count the mail-in first. Oh, the strategy first. Then we're gonna count the day of. Then we're gonna go to our provisional ballots. This is the order that we do it in. So when you start getting this vote in, and I'm looking over your shoulder, Lord, I'm seeing that things seem to be changing around in Ohio right now, it just, that's the kind of thing that people don't, it fosters distrust in the system. And I think also to the point that, you were talking about like philosophy earlier, look, depending on what Oday does in Colorado, if he loses by a bigger margin than some of the other more populous conservative candidates, that's something to take into account. I mean, if Mike Lee wins by a massive margin in Utah, that's a loss for Mitt Romney. So there's a divide in the party, the populace I think have the edge right now. But again, it's a long night ahead. It is. And it's great to have you here. Great to have you here. Joining us is now is Republican National Committee Chair, Ronan McDaniel. Thanks so much for being here, your initial impressions of tonight. Well, I think it's gonna be a long night. I think your analysis has been spot on, but I do think looking. Okay, and I think we need to hear from Ronan McDaniel. I think we need to hear from the former Trinidadian ambassador. Your support here in this state. Of course, the husband of Gabby Giffords. The President's at issue, the balance of power in the Senate and in the House. And we've got some calls or at least some characterizations of. Yeah, let's go to Arizona. A lot of folks are watching this Senate race between Mark Kelly and Blake Masters. It is too early to call there. And the same story in Wisconsin. Ron Johnson looking for another term in the United States Senate up against Mandela Barnes, too early to call there. Both parties waiting to see which one will go. The Pennsylvania Senate race, that is still too early to call. Too early to call. Let's go to the Georgia Senate, one of the other big ones tonight that we're watching, for potential switch and control of the Senate. The Georgia Senate, well too early right now. At some point, we ought to say too close. Well, we do have too early and too close, we'll have to. At this point, it's hard to say too early at this point. We're getting into too close. Georgia Senate, it's too close to call. Okay, you're the boss. I'm not. It's others that make that decision, but we're probably off of the too early. All right, let's get to Peter Alexander. He's a Dr. Oz campaign headquarters in Pennsylvania. How are they feeling tonight? Well, right now they're so waiting for the numbers to come in right now. They anticipate that this is gonna be several days before they may know who the real winner is. This would be a Democratic pickup if John Vetterman can win the first time candidate, Dr. Mevin Oz is hoping to put his name on the board tonight as well. The bottom line is that they feel fairly good about the trajectory of this race. The momentum Oz campaign has had in recent days. The bottom line for Dr. Oz has been a focus on being a moderate is why he's invested so much time in what they call the Collar Counties. Those four key counties just outside of Philadelphia, like where we are tonight in Bucks County, they are affluent and well educated. And they're really what separates Pennsylvania's Philadelphia metro area that is so heavily Democratic from the more rural conservative areas further west throughout this state. What was notable though, is that just this past weekend, Dr. Oz has put his efforts to cast himself as a moderate, posted a rally alongside the former president, Donald Trump. And I think if he struggles tonight, there will be a lot of scrutiny for that decision here. But keep a real close eye on those Philadelphia suburbs over the course of this night, 283,000 votes. That's what separated Joe Biden from Donald Trump in those counties back in 2020, according to a top advisor to the Oz campaign. Their goal tonight is to be about 40%. They know they need to get about 40% of the vote there. So keep a close eye on the numbers that come out of those counties. The bottom line is, they think they're gonna be out of for a while. Philadelphia, as we've noted, reinstated today's event in Leicester, a procedure that helps them prevent against any double votes. That means in the words of the acting secretary of state, they may be at this for the next few days. Back to you. Yeah, but the pace of this result will certainly cause some anxiety. The exit right now, Dr. Oz, is getting fewer of those white male, non-college educated voters, or the white non-college educated voters than Donald Trump did. Interesting metric to watch there. Let's go to Wisconsin. Governor's race is tight there. We've got Shaquille Brewster on Judy and Milwaukee's at the headquarters for the Republican in the race. Tim Michaels, hi Shaq. Hi there, good evening. Polls just closed about a half hour ago, so there's still a lot of votes to come in. But I've been talking with both campaigns, both party chairs, and it's almost as if they're reading from the same script. They say that they are feeling cautiously optimistic. Republicans saying that they've seen high turnout in their high population areas. Democrats saying they see high turnout in long lines in areas like Dane County and Milwaukee County. And they both say that it was the issues that drove their voters to the polls. And look, in Wisconsin, all of that can be true at once. This is a 50-50 state. If you look at the turnout in the past couple of statewide elections, 2020, 2016, 2018, you saw the electoral margins all under 25,000 votes. Both sides understand that this is going to come out to that election day turnout and who's able to edge out the other at the end of the day. And as we continue to watch these polls results come in, I want to give our viewers a warning in terms of what we see out of Milwaukee. I talked to the director of the Elections Commission there, and one thing that Milwaukee does is they collect all the absentee ballots at once, and then they submit them to the county, and that's when we get that result. So just like we saw in 2020, it is likely that in the highest population part of the state, we will not know a significant amount of that vote until later in the evening, the director says they expect that to come around midnight Eastern time. So a lot of votes to come, but you have both sides saying that a lot of people have been turning out and they're both cautiously optimistic. All right, Chuck, thank you so much. We have an important Senate race to call at this hour in Colorado. NBC News is projecting that Michael Bennett, the incumbent, will return to office. This is a very interesting result, perhaps an indication, Hallie. Again, at the size of the red wave, this is one of those seats that, of course, Republicans were hoping to pick up the Republican candidate there, Joe O'Day, running as a moderate, and that race had tightened up. I just talked about a couple days ago, Joe O'Day, the Republican candidate in this race, and you know what his biggest messaging was about it? It was economy, economy, economy. I mean, he kept pivoting every question. Did he hit on that? Clearly what he thought was gonna be a successful strategy for him, but this is a, this is an interesting call. One of the key races that Democrats were watching. I think if people thought there was gonna be a wipeout, this would be one of the canaries of the coal mine races. But I talked to some Republicans who said, you know, Joe O'Day went too far in attacking Trump, and he actually, he got Trump's attention, Trump went after him, Trump went after him, and that hurt some Republican support. Depressed the Trump votes. Depressed the Trump votes. And he didn't regret it at all, right? He kept, he's his own man.  So which maybe leads us to a conversation about election deniers on the ballot. Since I was seated from former President Trump in the 2020 race, this is a really important point that I think I'm glad we're talking about, because if you look at the races across the country, there are hundreds of people who are election deniers or election skeptics, including 17 candidates who are running for the Senate on the Republican side, who have questioned the legitimate result and I know that's not something we would typically be sitting here to desk talking about in the midterm cycle. So, so important because these are the positions that do the administration of elections wherever you live in your state, in most states, right? Along with the attorney general, 10 of those secretary of state positions are election deniers or election skeptics who are running. And here's why this matters, and let me give you one example here. There are three states where all three state wide races, governor, secretary of state, and attorney general, the Republican candidates are. Oh my God, they're election deniers. What are we gonna do about that? All right. Right now congressional correspondent, Kilmitty Ducart, has the latest talking about the congressional races and what that might mean for the balance of power. Kilmitty, what do you got for us? John and Greta, good to be with you. I was just standing next to the RNC chairwoman, Ronna McDaniel, who said she's feeling good about tonight, but it's gonna require some patience going forward with some of the voter snags and delays. But right now going into tonight, Republicans have had the momentum. The stage behind me is set for victory. The mission statement clearly labeled their take back the house. And when you look at some of these key house races that are in play, there's a chance for a real governing majority, much more than how Speaker Nancy Pelosi has had over the last couple of years. And they have quite literally been begging on a big victory. The Congressional Leadership Fund, a super PAC linked to Kevin McCarthy. They have poured millions of dollars into states that President Biden won by double digits. But there's been one race in particular that House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy said he was keeping an eye on. That was Virginia's 10th congressional district between the Democrat incumbent, Jennifer Wexton and the Republican newcomer, Hung Cao. We understand that that race was just analyzed by our analyst, Mark Halperin. And that was certainly, he had hoped that that would be a key indicator of a big wave. We're expecting House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy to speak a little bit later tonight, depending on how the race goes this evening. That'll depend on what kind of a speech that we hear from the potential next speaker of the House. Kevin McCarthy, thank you. We'll check in with you again later in the evening. Matt Schlaff has joined us on the panel with Senior Political Analyst Rick Santorum. You know, we're waiting, Matt, for Arizona to find out what's going on in that Governor's race and also the Senate race as well as Pennsylvania and a lot of other states. But I don't think you can ignore that. There's gonna be blood on the floor in Florida between President Trump and Governor DeSantis with that blistering win that DeSantis had tonight. Yeah, but I have to say, I agree with Rick Santorum. You know, Marco Rubio's win as well. What it really shows is this state of Florida, the ultimate bellwether, the state that we used to watch till 3 a.m. just went full-scale. All right, we picked up four House seats. Florida has changed, is it because of the new migration that you talked about? The COVID people? People coming in, or are people just turned off to the Biden policies? And I think that's really the question going on tonight. You bring up Arizona, I'll just say quickly. The one thing we've been noticing as we're talking is that all of the Democratic Party is a vote-early party. Get the souls to the polls in all those programs. And the Republican Party is an election day party. And so what you're gonna see in all these races is a lot of heart attacks almost that happened out there in the country. Calm down, the next hour is gonna determine everything as these rural communities come in with same-day voting. It's a big problem out there for Blake Masterson. Going back to what you were saying about the Marco Rubio race too, and if this is so important, Val Deming's outraised Marco Rubio on that race. Everybody's outraised every Republican. She's also, this shows us how much damage was done by the defund the police movement. This is the former police chief of Orlando who ran in that race and she could not run far enough away from that movement. This is someone who felt that personally. This is vindication for those of us who said, look, fight racism, don't fight America. And what the Democratic Party did is they started fighting cops and they started fighting America and saying America's a stinky place. And they lost the American people on that argument. You see all these exit polls that are coming in that other networks are creating about. No woke is in there. I'm telling you, woke is the central focus of swing voters who said the Democratic Party has gone too far. And we heard how much anti-woke stuff in Ron DeSantis and acceptance speech. No, look, transing the kids and keeping them out of school and wearing masks and the jab for two-year-olds people have just said enough of this intrusive government and DeSantis was really the oasis at the very beginning of this thing, saying we're following the actual science and we're not going to do this. And camp was good too. The camp was very good. If you look at the Republican governors, we were talking about this earlier. John, this Republican governors are doing incumbent governors who stood up during COVID are crushing it tonight. The memories are still fresh and it's not a partisan issue for folks. If your life was deeply affected by COVID policies that did not work out for you when we saw this in urban areas and some of the most vulnerable people in this country were hurt the most by these policies. Black and brown people were disproportionately affected by this. I sound like a Democrat when I say that, but it's true in the case of COVID because a lot of lower income workers were disadvantaged because a lot of their industries were shut down and they had no way of providing income. And a lot of them lived in close quarters and a lot of them had to use mass transits so that they were close to each other. And so naturally they were gonna... Speaking of camp, we just mentioned this. I think we're actually gonna project him now as the winner in Georgia. This was not really a surprise. Late in the race, he just really outstripped the Stacey Abrams there and we're now gonna project Brian Camp as the winner of the governor's race in Georgia. And also Doug Collins, we're projecting Doug Collins as, he's gonna be our guest on this rather, Doug Collins. We are projecting a guest in here by Doug Collins. Doug Collins will give it to you. If Doug Collins were running, we would have won the war. Doug Collins joins us. There's Doug Collins. Doug Collins, what do you make of this race?  This is a second big loss for her.  Well, it's a huge blow to the Democrats, but it also is really two of the up-and-coming faces. You're seeing Stacey Abrams in Georgia. You're gonna see Beto O'Rourke in Texas. Again, it just seems like in Georgia, especially over the last couple of weeks, that frankly, Abrams' campaign gave up. They could not catch traction. They were losing support among traditional Democratic voters who felt that Stacey Abrams had sort of left Georgia that she was looking beyond.  Will you stay? And it was just a disconnect. Brian Camp kept the state open. Brian Camp worked hard to make sure that Georgia was prospering in its economic and safety areas, and that's what paid off. When you pay off with good policies, it works. Does he help Persia Walker? It's still, I think this is just a different race, and I think this is the race coming up, but I think what I'm hearing from my guys back in Georgia is that the numbers are on the same projection for Walker. They're not concerned. What is interesting in Georgia, because of that supposedly terrible SB202 that was supposedly full of voter intimidation, we're actually seeing votes come in early, which has been so unusual for us in Georgia to see Fulton County to Cap County, and these votes actually come in early, so it's actually thrown the projections off. Now you're actually just waiting for the day of voting, which is going to trend much heavily toward the Republicans, which I think you'll see Walker close this gap and look at it in the way Camp's going. I do think if it turns out a good day of voting, Walker could win this without a runoff. Wow, that would be a big night for Republicans. When we talk about how big the red wave would be, this is in the full Hurricane Force wins-of-change type of red wave. But to do it without a runoff, that would be rather surprising. Yeah, I mean, it's still not there yet. I mean, there's still some numbers. I mean, some of the numbers for Walnut and the gap has been rather significant, but the numbers have been trending from what I've been hearing from the Camps and from others is that the numbers are where they have projected them to be given early voting and now day of voting. What has really changed, though, and I think it's been said on the network a few times now, is this idea that Republicans are voting more and more day of, and when you see some of those numbers out of even traditional Republican counties that the numbers for Democrats were higher, that's what you're seeing. So it's changed the dynamic in many of these states. Doug Collins, thank you. We're learning a lot with this new kind of realignment in our political system. Let's get over to Mark Halper now, who is at the touchscreen. Let's take a look at some of the races and the data that we have coming in, Mark. So let me start again with the House, and there's some races that have not been projected yet, where Democrats, though, look like they may pull them out. And so I'll say, reinforced by a little bit more data, what I said the last time we talked, which is this is not going to be at the House a massive red wave. House Republicans will take the majority, but again, we're looking more like a pickup in the lower range of what people have talked about. Not a massive wave that we've seen in some of the previous cycles. There's a vast majority for the Republicans, but not a massive wave. We'll talk a little bit about some of those races when more data comes in. Back to the Senate and talking about the Senate scenarios. Again, as we've talked about, Senate Republicans playing defense in Pennsylvania in the Senate race there, and we're seeing still, as you look at the vote coming in, in Pennsylvania, Federman is still ahead of Dr. Oz, but lots of vote to come in there. Republicans are feeling a little bit more nervous and feeling a little bit better. If Democrats win this race, Republicans need to pick up two of four races that they're competing in. New Hampshire with Maggie Hassan as the incumbent, Georgia with Raphael Warnock as the incumbent. Right now these races look very close, but the Democrats seem to be in a position to win. That would mean the only way Republicans are going to take the Senate majority. Again, if Democrats win Pennsylvania and hold their two incumbents in New Hampshire and Georgia, Arizona and Nevada, that's not a sure thing. So we went into the night thinking more likely than not, Republicans would take majority in both the House and the Senate and maybe have a big night in the Senate.  Senate control very much up in the air and looking less likely than it did before the evening started. Thank you, Mark. We'll be back to you, of course. And now to Mar-a-Lago, the Home of Foreign President, Donald Trump. Eric Boling, the host of Eric Boling the Balance joins us. Good evening, Eric. Hey, Greta, how are you guys? The covers are great, by the way. I just want to let you know about five minutes ago you put up the poll, the Camp Stacey Abrams poll. The crowd came over and watched and started applauding. They're very, very obviously watching that race because they know, I think some of the people on your desk have been saying this. I talked to a couple of camp insiders here that actually worked for the campaign. They said, if camp holds by seven or more, they feel that everything down-ballot will fall the Republican way and especially what they're looking at is Herschel Walker against Reverend Warnock. So I think the seven number is big. I think most people believe Kemp is going to hold it. Will he hit seven? Will Herschel take that race and what remains to be seen? I'll tell you, when DeSantis was talking a little while ago, you guys took it, the place was really tuned. I heard chants of two more years, think about that for a second. Two more years means 24. Will he or won't he? I asked President Trump as he came into the venue earlier, what about DeSantis? What about the sniping back and forth? And I mentioned earlier what he said to me was, I'll tell you what, if he runs, he'll run against me like everyone else. Now think about that for a second. That's Trump saying he's going to run. We know it's going to happen, but effectively he basically told us. But DeSantis was hitting on something very, very important. We talk about inflation being on the ballot. We talk about crime being on the ballot. Wolk is on the ballot. Certainly, Wolk is on the ballot down here. Very, very popular government, governor who's pushed back on Wolk policies, pushed back on CRT. And it's going to be a dogfight if DeSantis gets in here. I don't get the sense he's going to, but I will tell you this crowd is a Trump crowd. They're jazzed, they're ready, they're guy to come out swinging Eric, thank you. All right, big races that have captured the nation's attention tonight are New York and New Hampshire. We haven't talked a lot about the New York governor's race, but Lee Zeldin, the Republican, going toe-to-toe with Kathy Hochul who took over for embattled governor Andrew Cuomo. And in New Hampshire, voters are choosing between General Don Bulldog and Maggie Hassan for Senator for Analysis. Let's bring in former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani. Great to see you, Mayor. Great, we are doing great here. And what are you hearing about the New York governor's race still very early this evening? Yeah, sure. It's pretty early to really take a look at it. It's going to take probably about another half hour to figure out where the vote is exactly coming from. And all of this will be a function of where the vote's coming from. I've been looking at the Georgia race and up until halfway through, Warnock was leading, Walker has taken the lead, and that's a function of where the vote's coming from. In Wisconsin, right now Johnson's behind, but if you look at where the vote's coming from, Johnson's going to win. I don't think there's much question about it. Vance was behind. He's now ahead. So you've got to take a look. Also, what kind of turnout was there? The critical thing for Lee will be what kind of turnout in upstate New York. George Pataki, who is the model they use, really won because he got an exceptional turnout in upstate New York. Because upstate New York was disgusted with Mario Cuomo, basically never doing anything for them when they lost all their industries. And he won a disproportionately high vote. And Lee has to match that vote. If he can, he's going to win. Do you like the intensity is similar to that of the way that George Pataki rode to the governor's mansion? There is. I'm not saying that means he's going to win. If you're asking me, is the intensity there, you're done right. The intensity is there for a different reason now though. The intensity in upstate New York in 1994 was all about the economy. Now it's all about crime. Upstate New York has more crime than downstate New York. The highest city for crime in New York is Rochester. Buffalo is number two. New York is number four. That's unprecedented in New York. In New York state, the crime issue was a New York City issue, not a suburban or upstate issue because of our incompetent criminal loving governors who have made it a statewide problem. And it's all them. It's all their policies. There's no other reason for the heavy crime in New York than Cuomo and Huckle. They put the laws into effect. There are probably 7 to 10,000 criminals on the street that weren't there when I was mayor and when Bloomberg was mayor. And they're the people who are killing, raping, stealing and frightening the people out of New York. And another thing that Kathy Huckle has tried to do is spin this back and claim that the whole crime spike is just a Republican conspiracy theory, but the data does not back her up on that. Mayor Giuliani, always great to see you and talk to you and get your insights. Thanks so much. Thank you. Let's bring it back out to the panel, Matt Schlapp and Rick Santorum on the desk with us. You've both been busy looking at North Carolina. The bud numbers look really solid. It looks like he's headed for a victory. New Hampshire looks incredibly tight and I think while we were talking, Herschel Walker has taken his first lead. Things as these votes come in and these key Senate races, you're going to see these numbers get better for the Republicans. The question is, New Hampshire, is it going to be enough? It's really interesting. If you look at the governor's races a little over four points ahead of Herschel Walker all night long, they've been tracking together which brings back to the point that Doug Collins made, which is if Kemp can get to 55, then Walker gets to 50. Which avoids a runoff, too. So you can call it coattails, you can call whatever, but the fact of the matter is they're moving together. They're in different places, but they're moving together. The interesting thing that's going to go up, which is the difference between I've been watching the Shapiro who's the Democratic nominee for Governor of Pennsylvania against Masturiano and watching Fetterman against Oz. And that race is tracking the same way. It's about a five point difference, a little bit more than five point difference. Which is interesting because if you're making the assumption which I think if you look at the numbers it's true that Oz is, you know, he's probably is not going to be a huge win on the part of the Democrat. Which you just sort of question whether you've been smart to put more money in to help Masturiano. The Republican party with their targeting always makes this mistake. We had a big chance to go down on the priorities and we didn't do it. We stayed up at the top and we could have picked up some more seats. I'm going to disagree with Mark Halpern. You can still have a big red wave and win close races. That's really the question going forward. You could win these all by two points, two and a half points. You've win 80% of them.  It's sort of like the bar exam. You don't need 100%. You just need 70. Are you talking to us about your scores, Greta? Well, the expectations have been so high, you know, and Republicans are trying to meet those expectations right now. We'll get a dose of reality, of course. Well, look, just to be quick, Republicans are going to control the house. I think we just picked up another one in Georgia. We're right there. The Republicans are going to control the house. The question is how big the majority is going to be. I think Matt is right. There are a lot of close races out there. We were looking at one in Rhode Island just a minute ago and that was one that was sort of a wish list. Come on, if we win in Rhode Island. I know, but we're down two points here. Again, the Republicans could lose that by two points. Are you going to have a lot of these types of close races? I wonder what Joseph Cotto has to say. I think that with 66% of the vote in, perhaps he won't relinquish his lead, but this is always the matter of we shall see. Pennsylvania, Oz, with only 33% of the vote in at 55, he started out way behind Fetterman. We'll see where that goes, but Pennsylvania, as we were saying earlier, has to say the least issues could prove interesting. That's probably being the generous about the situation. It sounds like one of your cats are around. Patrick, is he or she available to make it appear? I'll tell you what. I'm just going to go out and I'll come back in. I'll come back in with a feline part of the feline focus group. First time on Cotto, Gottfried. I have a question, is it possible for the Democrats to actually get to see one? This should be interesting. OK, great. Fascinating. Let's see what else is going on. Regarding whether it's a big red wave or not, I agree with it. It's a wish list. If we win in Rhode Island, we will go down 2 points here. it's tight, doesn't mean that a big red wave is informing. And I'd say this, Rick's inform was a senator. You know, okay, 51, 52, 53, the majority is what really makes it a different country. Well, let's go back over to Mark Halpern over at the wall. Mark, what do you have? Well, this is a part of the night when those of us who are in charge of data start to talk about where's the vote out, right? Some of these races where we don't have a projection of a winner. North Carolina remains something that Democrats continue to say they can win. I've looked at the data you see in Mechelburg County, one of the bigger counties in the state. There's still a fair amount of the vote out. It's a very good county for Beasley. What you're going to see now in a lot of these races, you'll see it in Georgia, you'll see it in New Hampshire, you're going to see it in this race. And as we head out west, you'll see it in the other races. It's kind of a contest. Rural vote comes in late sometimes, and some of these larger counties report partial vote, but not all of the vote. So we're going to cargo back and forth in a lot of these races to figure out what the outcome is. Regarding whether it's a big red wave or not, I agree with Matt. We'll see what happens out west. But some of these eastern contests in the House, which Republicans put a lot of money into, a lot of effort into, it looks like they're going to come up short. Doesn't mean they won't have majority. It doesn't mean they're not going to win a lot of races. Can you give me a favor and jump to the great state of Wisconsin and tell me how that Senate race is going? Greta, I love people from Wisconsin. They're very nice. So let's take a look. Let's take a look. The governor's race, this is another race, another state that's got a competitive governor's race and a competitive Senate race. And we've talked all night about the interaction there. Here's the governor's race expected to be stronger for the Democrats. And you see right now just a little bit of the vote in, Greta. So we're going to have to wait just 15 percent. The Democratic governor's had the Senate race. Again, it's one where the Republican on the Senate side is expected to be stronger. Right now, we're being coming. Ron Johnson is behind. But we got to wait. There's just a little more than 10 percent of the vote in in Wisconsin. All right, Mark. Thank you. We'll be back to you. Let's head over to Christina Thompson to find out what people are saying on social media. Well, Greta, people are really interested kind of going crazy over this red moon seen in the sky earlier this election day morning. Now, the moon. Okay, let's let's get the red moon. Let's see what Joseph Carter. It's interesting how the Republicans are doing a bit unevenly, I would say tonight. Like in Wisconsin, with 41% of the vote in Evers is ahead of Michelle's, even though Michelle's was not the strongest candidate by far. Evers is at 52.4. Michelle's is at 47, roughly. And then if one looks at Michigan, that's not a surprise that Tudor Dixon is not doing terribly well there. Even though she is at 47 to witness 52 and only 60% of the vote is in. I don't know where that percentage of the vote is from. So, you know, let's kind of wait and see. But it's the GOP is doing well. But I said there, as I said, they're a bit uneven. And in New York with 25% of the vote in Hockles, that's 65. And Zeldin is at 35. So that's definitely not, you know, great for for Zeldin, being a program, have their backs far too much in the world going to be how it's going to turn out. No one can call that race yet. On the whole, do you think it's a such that the Republicans are doing unevenly? Do you think perhaps I've aired in my analysis? What do you think the case is? I think it's just too early to tell when most of the senatorial and gubernatorial races, Joseph, that we've all anticipated would at least be competitive. And some of us have thought the Republicans would take the lion's share of them. Because the, you know, where where these vote dumps are coming from, whether they're mail in ballots, whether they're election day ballots, it varies according to the state. Some of them are very slow at counting or slow even slower than the others. So I just really think whether it's Michigan, Wisconsin, some of the other states, it's, it's just too early to know. I mean, let's say New York, for example, you have the vote so far, you just look at the vote total tally, and it doesn't look good for Zeldin. But in terms of turnout, Zeldin is doing is done phenomenally well in on Staten Island in New York City. He's done really well on Long Island. You know, his turnout is apparently down in New York City itself. So, you know, we just don't know yet, because there you know, you can, depending on which side of this you're on, you can point to some encouraging data. But there's encouraging data on the other side as well. So I think the truth of it is, is that most of these gubernatorial and senatorial races will be close. And that means that we'll either have to wait late into the night, in some cases, be up all night in other cases. And in one of two, at least, we may be here for days. And it's, I mean, one, one little thing here, Georgia, I mean, over the months, I've been accused by many of being overly optimistic in terms of the Republicans. But, you know, as recently as our chat, Joseph, just a day or two ago, I was saying that I think Walker is going to win. But I doubt if he'll get to 50, that may be one that I was a little pessimistic on, because I think you may be right, he may actually hit the 50 and avoid the runoff. So, you know, we, we just simply have to be patient.  It's, there's so many numbers. But most of the numbers don't have any, they don't have any sort of innate kind of harmony to them, or logic that can be super, that can be just immediately superficially, you know, deduce. So we just have to really take a breath and let some of this stuff wash over us for a while, because in most cases, it's going to be another hour or two. Attorney, he's the second Lieutenant Cup. Thank you, Lieutenant Cup. And I appreciate that. I'm sorry, I'm sorry. Thank you. You got a lot of stuff going on in there. I got a phone, a friend is what I got to do over here.  Okay, so right now, Johnston trailing in that race up there. Let me just see what's happening in the governor's race, folks. So Tim Michaels now trailing Tony Evers in that race as well. Very interesting. Watch that Wisconsin. Let me pop out here. We haven't checked in Pennsylvania. Here we go. On the governor's race, the attorney general with an easy lead over Mastoriano. And that is still just about a third of the vote in on the Senate race. Here's the big one. All right, here we go. At this point in the race, Federman has a lead on Dr. Mehmed Oz. You're at 37% in difference of about 91,000. Here's what I would watch in PA and it's pretty simple to break down this state. It's Erie in the Northwest. It's Pittsburgh here, Allegheny County. It's Philadelphia over here in the southeast and all these collar counties that surrounded. If you're a Democrat, that's where you win in Pennsylvania.  We have yet to check in on New York. Here is sorry, this is the Senate race now. Chuck Schumer has been called not much of a race there, but he looks like Chuck Grassley is being reelected. Right now it's 64%. Lee Zeldin, it took under 36%. A lot of votes still outstanding here. Let's see what's happening, right? Long Island we've talked about that on the house races. There's a lot of keen interest here in New York about what's happening in these house races, because frankly, you don't find a lot of drama often in New York, but look what Nicole Mail at Hawkes is doing in Staten. So New York Times says John Federman has a 53% chance of winning his Senate race against Dr. with the outcome decided by 51 49 either way. Right now she's an easy winner with more close to 63% of the votes sat on the right down here in the southern tip of Manhattan. I want to check here. This is AOC easy winner 70% of the vote here in the boroughs of New York. Let's check in with New York 17. All right. This is Sean Patrick Maloney. It's the first time I've seen this guy. So we're taking in a real time here up against Mike Lawler, the Republican. He has a lead right now. Why is this important? Sean Patrick Maloney runs the DCCC, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee. He is responsible for overseeing all the House Democrats and their election campaigns throughout the country. He right now travel trails, right? Mike Lawler Republicans were big on Lawler. They thought he was a good candidate. That district is right above New York and the Hudson River Valley just across from West Point along the Hudson River. The thing that's tricky about this whole deal here is that in New York, Democrats drew the map. They gave it to a judge just said, we're not going to do this. Go back and do it again. They did it again. A judge said, forget it. I'm going to outsource it to another judge who will decide how you can draw the lines in this race. What was the outcome of that? Thanks, Coastal. A lot of Democrats leading Democrats in New York now. You're going live on the air. You're going out to my enormous audience. Yep. Yep. I really put you on for real. So I put you on speakerphone. So how you doing, mate? How's business? Are you fighting for justice, mate? Pretty sweet. Yep. Yep. Yep. So what do you think of Australia's Prime Minister and governing party? Do you have voter fraud in Australia? Is that a problem in Australia, voter fraud? How much attention do you pay to the American elections? How much attention do you pay to the Americans? And do you think Australia, do you think Australia attracts better quality candidates than America? I'm sorry? Do you think Australia attracts better quality candidates than America? So who's the last aborigine that you voted for? Penny Wong? The Chinese have bought a lot of people in Australia, right? They've documented cases of bribery. Yeah, I said they're documented cases of the Chinese bribing Australian politicians. Very much crime in Sydney. And what's going on with Sydney Trads? Andrew Fraser. Andrew Fraser. Beautiful, beautiful place. Up with you sometimes when I'm off the air. Not for a while, mate, not for a while. And it will be very difficult to put anything on the president's desk that he'll sign. Well, I think that they first need to get moving on with promises made and start with the border, start with raining in, runaway spending and recognizing that there's real statements that can be made in reestablishing some fiscal responsibility. And I think this is what voters expect. They're sending folks to Congress, both in the House and the Senate. And I do think that the Republicans will end up in a majority in both to deliver on promises made. And this is a moment where voters are tired of of not only getting something different than they expected out of the Biden administration, where all of a sudden left liberal policies have left America really weakened our economy and shambles and real distrust to a moment where they're sending folks to Washington to deliver. And so I think that's what we'll get from a Republican led House and Senate, a recognition that they were sent there to get a job done. And I think they'll go do it. Governor, you know, you bounce around the country. A lot of people ask the question after you do that, do you have aspirations for a different office after your term limited in Virginia? Well, I've been very, very focused on November the eighth and supporting great candidates and really helping folks that are standing for these values that are most important of making sure that the economy is delivering for our citizens and not a headwind against them keeping their hard earned money and making sure that parents are represented not just at the table but at the head of the table and that and that law enforcement is supported and not demeaned. These are basic kitchen table concerns. And this is where we've been focused. Yeah, I believe we've been hard in Virginia and deliver and deliver it sounds like you've been thinking about it though. Well, I appreciate I appreciate it. I'm always humbled on this discussion. I've been very focused on New York Times project social worker with a 61% chance of victory. So let's see what Baron Carter and Patrick and she's down by 10 points with 38% of the vote in. Obviously, there's a lot of postal balloting there. But all the same, I would have thought that would have been closer by now if Lake wasn't in the lead. And in Wisconsin, it grows closer and closer with 49% of the vote in Ron Johnson looks like he's on course to overtake Mandela Barnes. It is for the gubernatorial election with 50% of the vote in as such that Michelle's trails evers. Michelle's the Republican. He is 46.62 evers is 52.5. Obviously, all these things are way too close to call. In Arizona, the Secretary of State raised this is by far and away the most closely watched Secretary of State election in the country. Fincham is down to Adrian Fontez Fincham is a Republican who he very, very strongly supported by what might say the ultra mag let alone Magga wing of the party. He's at 41.9 to Fontez is 58.1. Obviously, Fincham could still win. But okay, let's get our eyes out here. I wanted to get your take two on the Georgia, the correlation between the Georgia governor's race and the Hershel Walker Raphael Warnock Senate race. You know, we've heard from Mark Halpern and from Rick Santorum and from Sean Spicer that maybe we need he needs to get Brian Camp needs to get to like for 54%. That might carry Hershel Walker over the finish line. Do you think that's attainable at this stage of the game? You know, that is attainable. But you've seen that the numbers close rapidly. Remember, Warnock started the night with a big lead because they counted the absentees and they counted the early in person votes first. Then all of a sudden the election day votes start closing it and closes rapidly. So, you know, he was behind people were saying is he going to lose? Is he going to be able to win Warnock was over 50%. Now they're headed for a runoff probably, but if governor camp extends his lead because he's got a decisive win over Stacey Abrams and these final votes, he can win. And we're seeing that in a lot of states. You saw that in North Carolina. You saw that in Ohio. You're seeing in other states where the polls have closed late and like in New York, if you're waiting to see the control of Congress, they counted the absentees and the early in person votes first and they counted New York City first. Now you wear the most fantastic and I think the country comes out of this election just as divided as it was before. And this is not going to be resolved. You know, the poll the voters said they don't want Joe Biden or Donald Trump running for president. The country wants to move forward. And until they get to move forward, they're going to be very evenly divided. And that's what I think we're seeing. No. Yeah, most how's that message heard at the White House? I mean, look, I am going to agree with Mark here. We've gone like gone are the days where we would see these major pendulum swings. We're seeing a pendulum nudge. Okay, pendulum nudge here from Fox News. In which it was thought that the Republican would easily overtake the incumbent Democrat, but with 61% of the vote in the Republican is only at 43.8. Whereas the Democrat is at 53.4. Not what I expected to see. But, you know, it is what it is. So in Connecticut, also, this is perhaps a bit closer than I thought it would be, but 23% of the vote in Ned Lamont, the incumbent who was thought to be cruising to reelection is at 53.6 to Stefanowski. He ran last time 2018 is 45%. And Michigan is still only 22% of the vote in Whitmer at 51.3 Dixon at 47.1 in Pennsylvania with 49% of the vote in Shapiro is at 56.4. So Republicans are only up six house seats at this point. We shall wait and see. In Minnesota, Tim Walls, the incumbent Democratic governor is at 68.3% with the Republican Jensen, whose first name escapes me, being at 28.9%. Only 21% of the vote is in there. However, Josh Shapiro has defeated Doug Masriano in the Pennsylvania governor's race. A really decent idea of how things are going to go. But Patrick, does any of the numbers that I've read to you, do they stand out as being especially surprising? Well, actually, I think it's the Connecticut number because some of us thought that the Connecticut Senate race might be comparatively relatively competitive. But I think few people thought the gubernatorial contest would be, you know, in single digits. And again, it's, you know, it's a positive sign for the Republicans. It doesn't guarantee, you know, a red tsunami, but it's it signals that, you know, if you're doing far better than expected and far better than normal in a state like deep blue state like Connecticut, then you've got a pretty good shot at all the competitive races around the country. And, you know, you would what what you were just reeling off there, Joseph, in terms of updates around the country. I mean, this is this sort of doubles down on why it's so difficult and perhaps a little dangerous to to draw at this early preliminary stage to have national trends. Okay, dangerous to draw national trends voting on the economy today are saying, wait, actually, we didn't like that. He and when it comes to energy issues, we've talked about that a lot tonight and Maria Bartiromo is talking about it. Joe Manchin is in the energy state. He's in West Virginia. He had to rebuke the president for saying that he was going to end all cold jobs the other day. And the president's press secretary came out and said, Oh, sorry, his words were twisted. No, actually, he said what he meant that's going to be just one of those races out there. And another one, Brett is in Montana. John Tester is the incumbent. He did win, but it was a close race. And if he decides to run again, that will be another speaker. But there's many races where Republicans could do well in 2024. What's that? Yeah, go ahead. Thank you, brother. Mark and model question. So what, what do you think the president's takeaway is here? It's likely overwhelming likelihood he's going to lose the house. He could lose the Senate, maybe not. Suppose he was like, keep the Senate. What does he take away from this? Does he adjust his agenda? Does he full speed ahead? What does he do? What do you think, Mark? Well, look, I've wanted the president to adjust his agenda for a long time, right? I think there's going to be some meetings at the White House. If they change the staff, then I think the president's going to change the agenda. I think if he doesn't change the staff, I think they're going to stick to it. I think, I think Joe Biden wants to run for president. He wants to stick with his agenda. He does not want to change. He is not a Bill Clinton whom I worked with who did radically change after these kinds of results. If you see him change the White House, however, then I think all bets are off. No. Okay, so this is looking like a standard midterm result with a moderate swing against the party in power, looking no evidence of a red tsunami. So GOP likely to win the senators races in North Carolina and Ohio. But what will happen in Georgia and Pennsylvania? So Florida is the most dramatic in the Republican direction. But that hasn't translated outside Florida. The New York Times says the Republicans have a 71% chance of winning the control of the House and the U. S. Senate is a toss up. All right, check in with MSNBC. So what's the temperature on the ground right now? Tom, it is a close race. Latino is very important. It was projected that one in five voters in this midterm election would be Latino here in Nevada. Kathy Cortez master the first Latino elected does have the support of the Culinary Workers Union. They had 60,000 people out knocking on doors. They projected to knock on about one million doors during this campaign to try and get those Democrats out to vote. So that's what she has going for her. And she told me she plans to keep that Latino vote. Now Republicans only need a small portion of that to make a difference because things are so close. And then, of course, there's the nonpartisans coming into the election. One third of registered voters in Nevada, almost one third were nonpartisan. Tom interesting. Well, last saw a co chaired President Trump's presidential campaign back in 2020. Biden carry Nevada by two points, but the pandemic hit the state hard. Gas prices are higher than average there. Important factors in this election. Very important. We've been talking to voters for months, and these are two of the things they always bring up money issues inflation at to that the cost of housing in a place like Nevada. But in the more recent weeks, they've also brought up abortion abortion rights being very important to a lot of the Democrats and also the nonpartisans. Capping protests mask though has been focusing on campaigning on that issue while her Republican challenger Adam Laxall has been blaming her and the Democrats for all of these economic problems that the working class in Nevada has been facing, but it's going to be up to those nonpartisans Tom because these are voters we've been speaking to over the last few months, and they tell us they care about all of these issues. Now what changes in Nevada between your nonpartisans, Republicans and Democrats is who they blame for the issues because everyone is facing the same issues. They just blame different people. It's going to come down to see what the nonpartisans decided. Did the Democrats sway them their way to keep supporting the current leadership or did the Republicans convince a lot of these nonpartisans to want change? Another thing they have mentioned over and over again, they would like to see a candidate who wins and also focuses on bipartisanship to work across the aisle. Tom. All right. Thank you. Guavanegas, who's in Nevada for us will have much more real time results and analysis for the rest of the evening. We pause now to rejoin NBC special coverage Decision 2022, the balance of power. Welcome back to NBC News coverage of the 2022 midterm elections, the drama beginning to build. Yeah, we've got to resolve in a very closely watched race Abigail Sandburger, the incumbent in Virginia holds on. That was a race we were watching very, very closely. Let's go to the Texas governor's race. Greg Abbott will get another term as governor. Arizona governor's race. It is still too early in that one. Very closely watched Michigan governor too early. Gretchen Whitmer, the incumbent, of course, says the object of a kidnapping attempt by those who opposed to COVID policies. And then the Nevada governor raised Steve Sicily at the incumbent versus Joe Lombardo, the Republican economy. A huge effort here, perhaps a headwinds for Democrats. We've got a winner in Pennsylvania. Josh Shapiro, the attorney general, is the projected winner over Doug Mastriano. Let's go to chuck on this one. Doug Mastriano, a very controversial candidate and Josh Shapiro has been able to open up this lead that we have. OK, let's see if we can get some other commentary in here. In this room that I've been blessed. So I'm ready. And I know you guys are ready as well. So, hey, God bless you guys. 20,000 votes ahead. God bless. Thank you, guys. OK, he's 20,000 votes ahead with 13% of the left account. So Russia Walker, it looks likely to win. And at Hershel Walker, 49, 49 with 87% in. And if nobody hits 50, we're going to have to do this all over again. You're right. And it looks like it will likely be a runoff in Georgia. But I do say when you've seen the last, he was able to catch up. The Democrats really tried very hard to take him down with the abortion allegations. He seemed to have survived that economy. The economy seems to be the most important issue in Georgia. We've also seen with Warnock that he's actually lost support amongst blacks and Hispanics. So that has given an edge, I think, to Walker. But you would want to see Walker more aligned with the numbers that we've seen, obviously, with Ryan Cowell.   Yeah, exactly. I think the only living president that didn't get there were Bill Clinton and Jimmy Carter. But everybody else. And I'll tell you, there's going to be a lot again to bring up Trump. A lot of people wondered, boy, Dr. Oz had done a good job for about a month sort of distancing himself from the right wing of the Republican Party. And they thought he was making progress in the Philly suburbs. And then he did a rally with Trump and Mastriana in the final week. Can we talk about actually that that very issue, which is the choice of Mastriana for the in the Republican primary and the effect that they're covering those races. And Mastriana was Trump's choice and beat. Yeah, maybe Dr. Oz closely alighting himself with Mastriana and Donald Trump. That that may very well cost him his Senate seat. Reigns about 25 days here in Las Vegas. And this happened to be one of them. But still, we've seen a pretty impressive showing at this location, although the polls have closed now. We've counted about 200 people still inside waiting to cast their ballot, which they still can do if they were in line at the time. This weather, though, I mean, it did have a pretty significant impact in terms of concern, at least we don't know exactly how it's impacted turnout just yet. But while it's been rain and high winds here up to the north near Reno, heavy snow has been falling throughout the day. Now to get into a little dynamic of this race here, it's really, really interesting. We're here in Clark County, home of Las Vegas. And this is an area where Democrats spend a whole lot of time and effort, including incumbent Senator... Come on, I'm trying to run a show here. OK. Then the Senate just spread throughout the state, and that really is Shapiro is an observant Jewish person. And he criticized Shapiro for sending his children to religious school, religious day school. So this was really... this state is where the governor controls the Electoral College and all of that count. And it's a Republican legislature and abortion. Abortion was a big issue here in the Collar Counties of Pittsburgh and Philadelphia because if Doug Mastriano became the governor, then the Democratic governor who was term-limited has been vetoing all of these abortion bans coming out of the Republican legislature. How you picked up on something that some of these races we're talking about have really become nationalized and part of the discussion... Oh, yeah. Yeah, which I think is fascinating, too. And just to the point Andrew's making, it's really, I'm really glad to run up the anti-Semitities of this. There's also crimes and this is an issue that I know you have some interest in, and we talked about earlier. The governor to be, if the projection holds, really from what Democrats... All right, Matthew Iglesias makes interesting points as the runway didn't materialize because all the Republicans moved to Florida to escape Dr. Fauci's gulag. And he says, every state should follow Florida's economic model based on low taxes and large net inflows of federal transfers. So we now got Republicans up seven House seats and checking the needle. 72% chance of Republicans taking the House of Representatives so it toss up for the Senate. 47% said that Federman was not healthy enough to serve. So there was that split there. I know someone who's really drilled down on all of this. Dasha Burns is the Federman headquarters in Pittsburgh. Dasha, what are you hearing? What are you picking up on there? She's down. Well, as I've been talking to the Federman campaign tonight, I'm hearing them talk about what Schunk was just referencing that's giving them some hope tonight. They're seeing in some of those counties that have a good number of their votes in that Federman is outperforming Biden places like Lackawanna County. Look, we've been following this candidate since early this year. And from the beginning, this is a candidate who has been trying to win over some of those voters that Democrats lost. Those voters in the rust belt, the working class folks, union folks, people in rural county. He's tried to bring that outsider brand to the campaign trail. And they're seeing some encouraging signs that that might be working tonight. Another encouraging factor for them is the race you all just called, the governor's race, Josh Shapiro being so far ahead of Mastriano, there's been hope for the Democratic Party here that Shapiro could potentially help pull Federman over the finish line, though both campaigns, Federman and Oz, acknowledging... So Democrats are doing too well for this to be a red wave or even a medium wave, says Mark Halperin. Too many Democratic House seats, the Republicans tried hard to take, have already been won by the Democrats. Republicans also are going to have a very difficult time taking the U.S. Senate. So, Tim Scott is... I'm trying to answer a great question. I didn't do all that I should have done. 62 to 37 is way too close from my perspective. I agree. Okay, that's Tim Scott down here, particularly from politicians. The story of redemption and Christianity. And so I think that Walker has been able to talk about his story of redemption, his close relationship to Jesus Christ. And I think that that in and of itself, I think helped. When you also look at Warnock being an extremist on the issue of abortion, where he supports abortion through the nine months, that just does not work for the pro-life voters. Yeah, and also there was the issue that Raphael Warnock had too with his own personal issues that seemed to cancel it out. But first Walker is about a 20,000-foot lead right now in Georgia. He seems confident going to bed at this point, but does look like there's... Well, he shouldn't go to bed, John. But I do think that it's... You want to keep Warnock under 50% if they're able to keep that going and it might end up in a runoff of, you know, I think... John Fettemann outperforming Joe Biden everywhere in Pennsylvania. For Arizona. Well, I think Ohio, Greta, I think JD is going to take it. He's just... He's been leading for quite some time. He's in a very strong position. You know, I think New Hampshire, which was viewed as a toss-up here in the final weeks, that doesn't look like it's going in our direction in terms of the Republicans. So that's, again, it's gonna... It doesn't look as promising in New Hampshire right now. What seems to be about Ohio if it goes for JD Vance, it sort of does take Ohio out of the swing state category, though, with the government. I mean, it does change things for Ohio, at least for a while. Well, I agree. I think what we've seen is that Ohio has become Trump country, and I'm not surprised that now you're seeing Ohio and Florida move away from being the purple states to being these red states, very promising, as we're going into... Can you bring up Trump in the... I can't help but think that Trump to Santa's thought, both of them. You know, both in the state of Florida, both have very passionate followers, and now you've got DeSantis winning by 18 points, which is huge in the last time, and Trump sort of giving them a little lip service in Miami. Not much at that rally. Well, he did vote for Ron DeSantis, and let's remember... Did he really vote for what he said that day, right? But let's remember, it is Trump's followers, and they also support Ron DeSantis, but they're first Trump followers. That is where it's at. They are not leaving to go to Ron DeSantis necessarily. I think you'll find, I mean, I've traveled across the country, and I got to tell you, the grassroots activists are still with Trump. And this is really, you know, a good problem that Democrats don't have. They wish they had this problem, too. What's with the party, though? What's with the party? What's with the party? We've seen this before. We've seen this before. Show and show it up. Hi, welcome. Hi, how's it going? We can't get rid of him, John. We can't show him up. I've got to pass. Let me in. So here's the thing. Strategically speaking, Trump's going to announce next Tuesday. What's that going to do? It's going to force... He announced four times already. Okay, he's going to announce officially. Biden has made it very clear that he is going to run to try to stop Trump from returning. Okay, that's news max. You're probably wondering, what does Glenn Beck have to say about all this? Some of us are interested in actually stopping them, instead of just standing there yelling and having as your slogan an expression of political impotence. Let's see, here's the thing on that. You can't just stop them. We have to... And I don't hear the Republicans come up with this. Who has... Who will define who we are and what we stand for and hold that up? The guy that got 60% in Florida tonight. I think so. This is the thing. Please don't go there again. I have to, because you're making my point. This is why you're making my point. This is... I'll just say it. You're asking Donald Trump to do something from a worldview standpoint. He's not equipped to do. And I know, I believe he loves the country. He does. He talked to me for two years to try to get me to join his campaign. The early part of his campaign, when he's losing all his ESPN deals and everything else, I talked to him during those periods.  You don't. There is a Carnival Barker, PT Barnum aspect to him for sure. That too often, politically, gets the better of him.  Okay? So he's not a clown and I sincerely believe that he cares. The problem is, and we had Tugger Carlson in Iowa this summer. And we had him in an event at a private dinner and we literally asked him. We were like, what changed? Where's the bow tie technocrat that you were on CNN? How'd you become... Bill O'Reilly got on Fox, promising to be a culture warrior and a technocrat. Tugger Carlson gets on Fox, was originally a technocrat and becomes a culture warrior. How did this happen? And you know what he said? I grew up as a political operative and I knew a lot. My dad was a political operative. I was around Republicans and Democrats. We were little league teams together. I could see why they believed in things like Medicare. I didn't agree with it but I didn't think these things were bad. We're doing things now that there's no political benefit to. And the only way to answer that is something is spiritually wrong with the country. I don't believe Donald Trump has the worldview to... That's why he keeps saying I don't know what went wrong. DeSantis acts the way he does because he knows what went wrong and does something about it. All right, last time we're talking about that. Okay, we'll talk about that next week. Let's go to Stu. We could make some calls for us. Stu. Well, one thing I would... This is not going to be the best thing I could be saying right now. I would love to be telling you right now that Chad Prather has been elected governor of Texas. Unfortunately, not this time. But we're going to say the second best thing, which is Beto O'Rourke lost. Thank God we do not live in a freaking state that is governed by Beto O'Rourke. I don't think this idea scared enough Texans. Texas is experiencing a hostile takeover. They are doing everything they can to bring this state into the blue. And they will, if Texans remain arrogant. Texas is turning blue. It's very possible, though. I will say it's not going to be as close as the O'Rourke cruise race was. That's not going to be a huge surprise. Also, Kim Reynolds wins easily in Iowa, as expected. I will tell you that there... There's a couple of interesting signals being put out there right now. We've been talking about the prediction markets for a while. About 15, 20 minutes ago, they turned negative for Republicans on the Senate for the first time. They've been favored since the beginning and turned negative now, 66% chance for Democrats to win the Senate and control the Senate. According to prediction markets, they famously fluctuate wildly. Now, the New York Times measure that we talked about earlier does not see it the same way. They still see 51 senators as their best estimate right now for Republicans. They have 49 that are leaning this way, 48 for Democrats, and then three toss-ups in the middle, which are Georgia, Nevada, and Arizona, which are all basically... They project as razor-raiser-thin margins, all less than three points, two of them less than one point. So this thing looks super, super close and can go well into the evening. That's why we're going to be going to the YouTube channel after this coverage is over. The Studio's America YouTube channel for late night, early morning coverage, and we'll keep going to, I guess, at least midnight here on Blaze TV. Joining me now is a comedian, self-described libertarian Tupac. Dave Smith, while the biggest issues of the midterms have been things like the economy and protecting our kids. Dave takes it one step further. He can connect our crumbling culture to today's biggest foreign policy issues, like how close we are to a war in Russia. Welcome, Dave. How are you? Thank you, Glenn. It's good to be with you guys. Yeah, I think there's a very clear connection. This is not my observation. This is the observation of the most brilliant founders of this country, that if we go around the world searching for monsters to destroy, we become the dictress of the world, but we lose our own soul. Yes. And I think that's what a lot of you guys are talking about on the panel today. Yeah, I think that the global wars that we have fought started out as, if you remember right, I think the war in Afghanistan was first called Operation Crusade or something like that, because it felt righteous, et cetera, and because we were fighting Muslims, they thought, oh, we should change the name Crusade. But it started out as righteous indignation, but it has turned into something that is really, truly remarkably evil, that has exposed what we as a country never thought we were doing, and that is really bad things to people all around the world. Yeah, and isn't it interesting that I think a big split in the Republican Party today, and this goes all the way back to it, at least World War I, is kind of the difference. There are some Republicans who are criticizing Joe Biden for not being tough enough on Russia, and then there are other more America-first Republicans who are criticizing him for even being involved in this to begin with. And this goes all the way back through the conservative wing of the Republican Party was arguing not to get involved in World War I and then World War II and then Vietnam, and it goes all the way through. And I think that generally speaking, the hawkish side has won for most of modern American history. And I think since Donald Trump was elected, that's changed a little bit, and there's more energy in the America-first side, which is saying like, what do we really get out of all of it? Well, think about the difference between elites and the people. The American people are not terribly interested about what goes on overseas. They're not pining for more foreign policy intervention. They're not pining for nation building. They don't want America going around the world hunting monsters. They're probably concerned and skeptical about World War III breaking up in Europe. But on the other hand, you have a foreign policy elite against its meaning in life from intervening. You can never convince anyone of something if they're going to lose their livelihood. People are not going to risk their income to recognize something false about themselves and their worldview. People are also not going to risk their reputation and their sense of importance. A deepest fear for many of us is a fear of insignificance. So we try to attach ourselves to transcendental causes, which can be secular or religious. If you sign up for the US foreign policy agenda, then you want to be doing things. There's no prestige in not intervening. If you're in the foreign policy elite, how are you going to feel important if you sign not to intervene overseas? So we have incentives that are misaligned whereby we have a foreign policy elite that is heavily incentivized so that they can feel important to intervene overseas. It's not what the American people want. It's not in America's best interests. I would take it a step further and say, if you care about the culture in America, when has it degraded the most during Vietnam? I mean, look at what we're talking about right now. Everything that's happening in American culture, is it a coincidence that this follows 20 years of periwars where we don't have one victory to show? All we really have is the conservative movement, the evangelical movement being completely discredited because they put all of their chips in on the foreign Iraq, the war in Afghanistan. It brought us nothing but disaster. And now we're in the middle of a war 5,000 miles away from the east coast of the United States of America, on Russia's border, with the two countries with the biggest nuclear arsenal in the history of the world, staring each other down, for what? For whether the Donbass region is ruled by Kiev or Moscow? You explain to me how that's America first. It's not. I had great hope and if we hold the Senate, I have hope that the Senate in the House will grab the purse strings and stop this over there. I think this is absolutely corrupt.  This is riddled with corruption and it could very well quickly turn into World War III. And I don't know a single American who's saying, oh yeah, we should have boots on the ground there. We should be involved in that. We relate to the people of Ukraine as being decent people that just want to be left alone. But that's not what that story really is. That's just one component of the story. Because it feels, to me, and I'd love to hear your thoughts on this, it feels to me like this administration wants a war, wants it with Russia. Well, it certainly seems like what they want is to prolong the conflict and to bleed Russia dry. It seems like the attitude is that we have not been successful in defeating insurgencies, but we can be successful in supporting one. So we could maybe draw Russia into what we've been drawn into in Afghanistan, in Iraq, in Syria, in Libya, in Somalia, in Pakistan, in Yemen. I think that's possible. I mean, when we were in Vietnam, everybody knew Russia was working against us. We knew that, but they didn't make announcements all the time. This administration has done something I've never seen before, and that is, oh, we just send over this weapon system, this weapon system, this one's coming, they're going to get more of this, and we're even on the ground now training. Countries used to deny those things. They're coming out and saying, no, that's what we're doing, which automatically puts us into a war stance. And all of the proxy wars against the Soviet Union, well, I mean, the big difference is this isn't the Soviet Union anymore, but the big difference in this conflict is that this is on Russia's border. That makes this a whole different thing. Look, when the Soviet Union put nuclear missiles in Cuba, Jack Kennedy said, I will nuke the world if you keep these here. And we all think he was right. No one thinks that that was not a reasonable line to say, we cannot have a knife at our throat. That is unacceptable. And right now, this war, however you feel about it, is on Russia's border. That Russia is justified in invading. There's certainly not. I don't think we were justified in invading Iraq or Afghanistan, maybe Afghanistan, but certainly not to have a regime change against the Taliban. But you know what, as you know, about 90% of the things that are happening across the planet right now are not justified. That's not the question. The question is, what is the risk that we are incurring against our country and for what benefit? And as you guys have all been talking about when we can't even figure out our own problems. Let's spread liberty through America before we spread it through Eastern Europe. So can I be really cynical here? I've talked about for 20 years that these times were coming, and it looks very similar to what I laid out long ago. And the last thing on chalkboard that I wrote about these times coming was you're going to have an implosion of trust where no one will believe anything in the system at all. We won't know what is true and what is not, and we'll start looking at each other. And then you will start to have the banking go down, you'll have the economy go down, and you have all of these things, but what it takes to finally make that last turn and get America to forget what America was is a world war. And to me, it just seems a little too convenient that we're here and the thing that they could grab all of the controls each of the media of anybody that is speaking out, they can grab those controls because we would be at war. Is that too cynical? Yeah, well it certainly benefits a lot of powerful people to have an external enemy. And this has always been the truth for authoritarian regimes, right? This is how they benefit. And I gotta say I'll point this out, and some of your audience might disagree with me on this one, but Joe Biden's just as crazy that we would militarily defend Taiwan if China invaded. Look, we're not in a position to defend Taiwan militarily. We're not in a position to defend Ukraine militarily. What we need to be is what we were always supposed to be which is a city on a hill. We're supposed to set an example for the rest of the world by being a free society. And we don't go around the world enforcing freedom on other countries who maybe want it and maybe don't. And every time we try to do that we lose our own soul. Then this is what America is suffering through right now. And you're absolutely right, Glenn, that this is the perfect distraction for powerful people. What we need to focus on right now is holding our own society to account, our own leaders to account to work on our freedom here and then the best we can hope for is that other people will look at us and think how successful they're being. Look, we spread freedom throughout the world more effectively by being more prosperous than the rest of the world than we ever did through the point of a gun. And it's not even prosperous. It is the way we ran our society, the crossing of the Delaware with George Washington. That painting was painted by a German for Germans right after the Communist Manifesto came out in the 1850s. That's not an American painting. The Statue of Liberty was built for French to be able to teach the ideas of America to their own people. Those were both for their own people. Okay, thanks, Glenn, back there talking to Dave Smith. New York Times says John Federman has a 77% chance of winning in Pennsylvania. So we're looking about a GOP house with only about 228 seats. That's the somewhat of a challenge for Speaker McAfee somewhere between unmanageable and ungovernable. There's Matt Glassman. What happens when you have to extend the debt limit? Well, Kevin McAfee even become a majority leader at all. So it looks like GOP except for Florida is forming. Democrats are running about a point ahead of our expectations as the New York Times outside of Florida. So there's signs of a red wave. So we'll have a look here newsmax. Dr. Maria Ryan, who advised the campaign on healthcare issues, Dr. Ryan, as you watch the results come in your thoughts and also I will skip that. What is the flip of that actually at this point? Absolutely. My self included. Now, what's interesting is that Georgia Walker is just barely he's just barely ahead of Warnock. He keeps ebbing and flowing. Now Walker is at 49.1. Warnock is at 48.9. Walker with 73% of the voting cannot afford to be falling away from 50%. But he's cleaned it up. He's at 54 to Abrams is 46. So there is a big lag between Walker and Kemp. I think the Atlanta area, the suburbs of it, probably it's where this lag is coming from. Anything to say about the differentiation here, Patrick? Well, yeah. It's well traveled ground, isn't it, in terms of the relative strengths and weaknesses with this Georgia electorate between Walker and Kemp. I think the rule of thumb on the ground among Republicans has been that assuming, anticipating that Kemp would be a bigger winner than Walker if they both won, but certainly would win his race against Abrams relatively handily, was that if Abrams, sorry. Okay, NBC News has projected that JD Vance will win in Ohio. General Bolduc, he came on strong. All of DC said this guy can't win. McConnell and his forces supported his primary opponent. He ends up winning this late primary, but he needed to raise too much money in too short a period of time. And so, you know, he just couldn't defy gravity. I mean, it's a heck of a close race and he only had a couple million bucks and he got on TV at the very end, but it was too little, too late. So, John, I don't know if you agree with that. I mean, you can't always defy gravity on this stuff. No, and what the other part is too is people were counting them out as soon as he won the primary. They said he wasn't going to win. And so, you got a close race and a lot of these races, again, the Republicans has started out losing by bad margins and then they come back and they recover like you've seen in, like you're seeing Oz close the gap. Do you agree in these races that like in Arizona we got Blake Masters, we had the same guy down. But he couldn't get enough support throughout the whole race. He went through periods of time when he was dark because people were arguing over whether he had a chance. He always had a chance. Yes. And the other part is too is those candidates had to win tough primers. Like Arizona was working for, you know, Jim Layman. Jim Layman. You know, he was a very good candidate but Masters had to survive that primary.  So that's what was going on with Hassan with her resources. That was going on with Kelly having the Democrat Senate Committee attack Masters. But we'll see about Arizona and Nevada as a reported get. So we'll see what happens there. So there's still opportunities for the Republicans and we're still going to keep closing the gap and passing the Democrats as election day vote comes in because Republicans vote on election day. And this idea that the Senate races have been very helped by strong government performances as Mark Halperin keeps bringing up, that really does seem to be true. And Pennsylvania, that could be the one thing that's tough for us as Mastriano seems to be lagging a bit. And also the same in Wisconsin where the Democrat may be leading. But we'll see what happens when more of the votes get counted. And so Kemp absolutely probably helped Herschel. So he's coming ahead now. And then you'll see it in other states where as the Republican vote materializes on election day as they're counting those precincts then the Republicans do well. So it's still a lot of votes to be counted and we'll see. So some of these races are going to take a while. The Nevada race is particularly interesting because you have this question about what will they get done counting tonight. And then you have in Arizona this question about the people that want to go vote and their ballots couldn't be processed. That's already gone to court. I imagine Nevada is going to be in court too. And the bad part is the Democrats in Nevada control the process completely. And in Arizona Katie Hobbs is running for governor against Kerry Lake controls the process. She's the Secretary of State. And in Pennsylvania the Democrats control the process with Wolf who appoints the Secretary of State. So we just got to be vigilant and make sure that every vote is counted and honest and fair and we'll see what happens. Yeah if there is a red wave it hasn't materialized yet. Okay.