So remember back in 2017 after Trump and the Republican Party passed their tax cuts and There were all of these companies like Home Depot and whatnot all giving their employees $1,000 bonuses and then 2018 rolls around and they're not giving their employees any bonuses Why do you think that's the case? Why would they give their employees? Bonuses and say that this is specifically because of Trump's tax cuts before it even got implemented and Why would they not do the same thing once it actually is law and once it became implemented? Well, there's one very specific reason for that. It's because that was nothing more than corporate PR They were trying to dupe you into believing that them getting more money. It's somehow good for you Because hey turns out they want more money That's their one goal is to get more and more money So it's in their interest to convince you that them Getting bigger tax cuts will also benefit you and trickle down to you turns out that hasn't happened So it's not just that like when you look at it from the perspective of the optics. It's bad optics But in practice What did Donald Trump's tax cuts end up achieving? Well exactly what we said it would achieve it gave tax cuts to the rich and poor people got Dicked so as Jonathan shape of the New York Intelligencer writes the biggest effect of the Trump tax cuts is obvious people who own businesses and other sources of Concentrated wealth will have a lot more money and the federal budget will have less But the advocates of the tax cuts insisted it wasn't about letting the makers keep their hard-earned money Rather than handing it over to the takers It was about incentivizing business to repatriate funds and ramp up its investments Thereby increasing growth and wages the Congressional Research Service a kind of in-house think tank for Congress has a new paper Analyzing the effects of the Trump tax cuts It finds that none of those secondary benefits have materialized shocker Growth has not increased above the pre-tax cut trend neither have wages after a brief and much smaller than expected bump Repatriated corporate cash from abroad has leveled off It's of course possible that the growth in wages would take longer than the year or so that has passed since the tax cut to show up If the Trump tax cut had encouraged new business investment It might take years for the new investment to bear fruit But the study looks directly at business investment and finds Nothing now as you can see from this chart here not much has changed So what Donald Trump claimed would happen did not actually happen Now chate continues Supporters of the Trump tax cuts insisted not only that they would promote growth But that they would promote so much growth the measure would pay for itself even moderates like Susan Collins Repeated assurances by the party's pseudo economists that the plan would not increase the deficit So far the growth feedback from the tax cuts has made up about five percent of the plans revenue loss a mere 95% shy of the predictions the passage of the plan was met with a Coordinated wave of corporate public relations announcements of worker bonuses, but the paper finds no widespread increase in bonuses or worker compensation.  Well, I for one am completely shocked. I Mean, I know that we already saw that trickle down Economics doesn't actually work and that the money and the wealth never trickles down to the working glass But you know, I just thought this one last time if we tried it, maybe things would go different turns out I was wrong. I Mean who believes this Who believes this I know that the Donald Trump Kool-Aid drinkers the MAGA chuds It's just the core base. They believe this right Donald Trump can Fart and claim that it's poetry and they would accept that but you have to have common sense You have to see that after the Reagan Revolution when both parties essentially embraced trickle down economics to an extent The wealth hasn't been trickling down Income and wealth inequality is as bad as it's been since the fucking gilded ages What more has to happen in order to demonstrate that trickle down economics doesn't work If Trump truly cared about workers, which is why he claimed we needed to give their bosses the tax cuts Then he would have just put that money directly in their hands Why do you have to funnel that money down through businesses if you truly care about workers then give them a tax cut he had to make sure that the Business class and the wealthy they all got a tax cut because trust me they're gonna share that wealth No, they don't share the wealth. They never do that. They get their CEOs bonuses They invest that in stock buybacks, which should be illegal and this is what happens I mean, we've seen it time and again. How many more times does it have to happen until people see? Oh, this is clearly the rich trying to dupe us But I mean they don't get it if you want to know what is going to empower Workers, it's Bernie Sanders new plan that would allow for worker owned co-ops Putting workers in direct control to an extent of these businesses So they actually have a say so you're democratizing the workforce to an extent That's something that would actually benefit workers not these trickle down tax cuts that never trickle down So I couldn't not talk about this because how many times that I tell you guys this back in 2017 And early 2018 this corporate PR Don't be fooled by it. They're giving their workers these one-time thousand dollar bonuses But they're not going to do it next year and they didn't they didn't they were just trying to sell you on Donald Trump's tax cuts because it benefited them and they really really wanted you to think that them getting more tax Cuts is great for you. No If you are against taxes then ask yourself this Why didn't Donald Trump give me as a working-class American? More tax breaks, why did he give them the lion's share of the tax benefits ask yourself that right? You got a couple of things he doubled the standard deduction, but the overwhelming majority of those tax cuts Went to the top. I had to say told you so if you didn't believe me, but this is the way Politics works if there's a policy that's being proposed History is usually going to be the best indicator as to what will happen when it's rolled out again if it didn't work before Odds are not gonna work again Triggered on economics has not and will not ever work period


What's up you guys welcome to the single guy? I'm Lloyd and today I'm going to be talking about a trend or a Movement that's all over the internet when it comes to getting women in pickup and that's social circle game now There's a lot of people that's talking about this There's a lot of people that's saying it's like the be all end all when it comes to pick up and the number one thing That attracts women a lot of big companies are saying this I'm not gonna mention any names or SD now Todd Valentine had a great video where he talked about the truth of social circle game So if you want to check that out. It's on his a winner game website. It's a great video having said that Let's get right into it now But I want to talk to you about is I want to tell you what the reality of this situation is now I'm not saying that social circle game is bad I'm not saying it doesn't work what I am saying is that what they are Advertising what they're saying is going to happen is a little bit exaggerated and on top of that I just don't think it's practical for the average human being to execute when it comes down to it For the average guy out there I don't think social circle games should be your primary focus now having said that there's tons of good things about social circle game First of all, it's if you see a lot if you see a guy walk into a room with a lot of hot girls around him Do you think he's gonna be more attractive than a guy who's not? Obviously social proof definitely makes sense having meeting women that are friends through friends is Definitely the best way to meet people some of the hottest girls that I've ever gotten have been through that What I'm saying is that the amount of effort to make it your primary focus and make it the primary way that you get women is Just not worth it I mean I think having some of the principles in there making sure that you have friends making sure that you're meeting people in Your life and meeting women through them who you can start a relationship with or sleep with or whatever it is I definitely think it's a good thing in life But I don't know if the ends justify the means quite in the way that they're saying them first of all The guys who do really well at social circle game They usually have a job in the nightlife industry or they're usually some sort of like promoter or coke dealer or Maybe they're like a photographer for like some model company or whatever they have Or maybe they're just famous, you know, and maybe like they spend a lot of time going out and partying all the time Okay, these are the types of people that succeed in when it comes to social circle game Most people if you have a nine-to-five job or you're pursuing something a business in another category I mean, it's just not going to work for you You're not gonna be able to put in the amount of hours if you do your business or whatever your career is gonna suffer tremendously if you do this and The hey, you know this thing is the ear the average guy that for you're the average person of the people you spend the Most time with and quite frankly if you want a couple strippers promoters and a coke dealer to be your best friends I mean, what do you think that's gonna turn you into? So you have to ask yourself these questions Also the end results that you're gonna get from doing this So I know a lot of guys who plan events and do that sort of thing or promoters I kind of know their lifestyle and yeah, sure the girls that they get are hot like their tens They're the hottest girls in the group, but they don't get that much of them They usually like I'll sleep with more women than they do buy a lot And they're just constantly surrounded by women and their days consist of doing favors for other people Their days consist of like, you know, organizing events and trying to get people to come constantly on the phone They're always on the phone and I just don't know if I'm putting that much effort in to get the You know the five girls that they sleep with that year Unless they're in a relationship. It might even be less The if that justifies the means right now They're talking about I see a lot of like the death of text game around where people just the idea behind this is you just use your social media profile To get to get girls that way You don't even really text them They just kind of hit you up or you hit them up and they see your social media profile And they say how dope you are and they see your snaps and everything and you meet them that way and you sleep with them That way if you want to make that the primary way where you're meeting women It's gonna take you a lot of work You're gonna be on your phone constantly the more time you spend on your phone the less time You can have meeting real women and having real sex As well if you're the type of guy who's making it your mission to be friends with people that are high up in the social ladder Or they get the super hot girls or whatever there are always guys in the group that don't get laid There's always guys in the frat house who aren't pulling there's always guys at like that You know big big big shot company that still have trouble at the parties that they go to You shouldn't be making friends and just by association think that you're just automatically gonna get girls from that you still need to have Conversational skills you still need to have game and all the stuff that we talk about the fundamentals on this channel If you leave the spot that you were from that's the other big social circle built up You're not gonna have that social circle anymore What happens if you're put in a different location where you don't have those friends or connections that you made You know you're still gonna have to work on the fundamentals. So what am I saying? I'm not saying that social circle game is a is a complete waste of time I'm just saying it shouldn't be your primary focus because once you put in this much effort You're gonna get the results.  I've definitely gotten laid through Instagram I've definitely gotten laid through my friends and they've been really hot girls But if I make it my primary focus, I don't have as much success I don't have as much fun and I end up actually like hurting my life in the long run So that's my advice to you guys.  Let me know what you think about this Let me know what your experience is when it comes to getting girls through your friends If you made it to the end of this video consider subscribing I come out with videos like this every single week and I'm coming out with an e-book on how to talk to girls So stay tuned for that as well. Thanks a lot and good luck out there


I took a taxi here today and the taxi driver asked me what I was here for and I explained what I was talking about and he said it's blindingly obvious. He didn't quite say it like that, he said it in a rather more fruity fashion, shall we say a rather more forthright fashion. And he said it's blindingly obvious basically that the UK would suffer if it did decide to leave the European Union. I didn't disagree because I've learnt in the past that arguing with taxi drivers is a bit of a mistake. But you know, speaking to an audience in this country, a lot of what I'm going to say may seem blindingly obvious in the sense that the costs associated with a withdrawal from the EU for the UK's Foreign Security Policy are obvious. But I have to say that for a UK based audience they're perhaps not so obvious and the debate I think on this area in particular has only just got going.  But as you're all aware, and I know there was a discussion here a couple of days ago, the British Prime Minister announced his intention to have an in-out referendum. That referendum is going to take place, he would hope by the end of 2017. And we've now got a fair sense of in outline what the issue areas are that the Prime Minister wants to have a discussion on. And that discussion at the moment is framed in terms of technical talks about what the substantive issues might be. And we'll I think be closer in December and at the December European Council having a good sense of what the debate or the terms of the debate might be or rather what the terms of the negotiations might be. And I'm really happy to talk about that at length if it's useful. But I wanted to focus on the foreign policy area for some reasons that I will make clear. It's an interesting area because I think it's one of the areas in which the UK government is not actually seeking to repatriate powers. Nothing that David Cameron has said so far or remembers of the British government can be read as a desire to alter the status quo when it comes to common foreign security policy or the common security and defence policy. So one could read that as a recognition of certainly on the part of the current government that it sees real benefits that derive from the UK from its engagement with this process. However, what the benefits are for the UK and how those benefits are understood is something which isn't really discussed or debated at length. And the UK Parliament has Commons Foreign Affairs Committee has just launched an inquiry into the cost and benefits for the UK of a Brexit. And it's done that in part because there isn't really a clear body of evidence which has been accumulated across time in the UK which makes a sort of clear here an argument for UK policy makers as to where the benefits do derive for the UK. And again, they may be obvious to everybody in this room, but I don't think they've been sort of codified or marshaled in a way that I think is yet digestible. So what I want to do is to divide my remarks up into several parts and they're divided up to look at first of all where I see the current benefits lying for the UK in the CFSP, CSDP. Secondly, what the costs would be to the UK for a Brexit, then to look at what some of the costs might be for the EU of the UK leaving. And finally, a whole series of timescale issues which I think are important in terms of acting as a preoccupation for British foreign policy if it does decide to go down the road of Brexit. And these issues are issues that I had the opportunity to discuss recently with the House of Commons Foreign Affairs Committee. So they have been rehearsed previously, but they haven't been done so publicly. I think what's clear if you think about the benefits, and these hold for any Member State, these are not UK specific benefits, is that all aspects of foreign policy, if we widen foreign policy out to include trade and development policy, aspects of justice and home affairs even for the UK are embedded within and pursued through the European Union in such a way that it's quite difficult perhaps to disentangle what is UK national foreign policy and what is EU policy. And the UK is certainly, as other Member States have done, used its EU membership to enhance its international influence by using the EU to leverage and amplify national foreign policy. And that's perfectly on track with what other Member States have done. And I think the UK has really gained the best of both worlds through CFSP. On the one hand, it still has freedom of maneuver to pursue its own national foreign policy and obviously continues to do so and acts independently when it chooses to do so. But it also gets to act collaboratively and leverage common resources when it also has a preference to pursue that route. So I think that the foreign policy area is one that the UK has derived significant benefits from, and in particular a state like the UK as a state which has had a whole series of lengthy engagements internationally and has widespread commercial and other interests across the globe, it gives it a fantastic footprint and also a way to marshal its arguments with a group of other Member States. I think in a fairly efficient and effective way there are some real benefits I think in terms of the EU decision making mechanism or mechanisms on foreign policy for the UK to pursue its foreign security policy interests. And of course more broadly European integration has provided the UK with an unparalleled period of peace with its neighbouring states which historically the UK has not enjoyed. Alongside NATO it has played a really pivotal role in managing the transition of the continent from Cold War cleavage through to what we have today. Crucially a key British foreign policy objective end of the Cold War and onwards has been to pursue the integration of countries in central and eastern Europe in the western Balkans to get them as part of the European political mainstream and to realise key British foreign policy objectives. All of this I think is given and actually if I was the Foreign Secretary standing here that's probably what I would say in terms of what the benefits are that are derived to the UK. So let's raise the temperature a little bit and start to talk about what some of the potential costs would be for the UK of a Brexit. Well I think the first is that it would raise a broader set of questions for the UK as to what the orientation and objectives of its national foreign and security policy should be. The EU membership has been a key component of the UK's diplomacy and foreign policy since 1973. There are very few people now working in ministries in the UK who have had an experience of British foreign and security policy prior to the UK's EU accession. So the business of doing business with other member states has established some fairly harden arteries I would suggest in terms of the way that one communicates with other member states. Altering that status would take the UK into an unknown situation in terms of recalibrating its relationships with its European neighbours. And the fact that it's enjoyed significant efficiencies by operating through that system, the fact that it can do business with 27 other member states. And it's allowed to or able to engage in all sorts of resolution of interstate differences, ironing out problems, pursuing collective positions on issues of common concern. All of that has become the way in which the foreign office and other parts of government in the UK have been in operating mode since the UK joined a European political cooperation and obviously through its successor under the CFSP. It's recognised when you look at the words that the Prime Minister has added on the sanctions regime towards Russia, for example, where he makes very clear that these benefits derive for the UK because there is a real efficiency benefit from getting all of these countries onside. What, of course, the UK doesn't know is the cost in terms of the diplomatic and political bandwidths that would be required for an extended period, the extended period being unknown, and having an institutional preoccupation, which the UK doesn't like, doesn't like doing institutions, doesn't like talking about institutions, that would come as a consequence of an exit. And that would place an immense burden, I would suggest, on the existing infrastructure that the UK has for pursuing its foreign security and defence policy. So whatever other things the UK thinks that it might pursue outside of the EU, it's not going to be able to do so because there's going to be a real opportunity cost and I'll come back to that in a moment. And all of this, of course, is in a context in which there is the most uncertain environment, international environment, international security environment that the UK has faced since the middle of the 20th century. The combination of the broader structural shifts within international relations shifts in the balance of power together with the volatility that we've now got in the UK's European neighbourhood. And how you go about managing that change and complexity is enough in itself without reorganising, recalibrating, restructuring the relationship with one's neighbours which has been established and functioned in a particular way since the early 1970s. And of course, this also comes on the back of a period of time, recent history where the UK's austerity and its struggles as with other European countries to deal with a global financial crisis has already raised questions about the UK's place in international relations. What it can do, how it can do it, and particularly the resources that it's put into foreign and security policy issues. So you've got this massive security change environment, these broader struggles within international relations. This arc of crisis that runs within the UK's neighbourhood right from the east with Russia all the way through its southern borders, these multiple security challenges into the Middle East and so on and so on, things that people are familiar with here. And it's the combined magnitude of these challenges that will require multi-institutional and multinational responses and that the EU is going to be, whether the UK likes it or not, a central player and payer in mitigating those challenges. And so for the UK not to be a part of those arrangements clearly would be something of a loss. And if we sort of zoom in on some of the areas where the UK is currently active, you can see that the UK's engagement and interest, for example, someone like the Horn of Africa at the moment where it's made a considerable investment to try and get the situation stabilised on the ground. It now has an embassy in Mogadishu, where it's got FCO, MOD, DFID staff, all working to pursue UK foreign policy objectives, which are then leveraged to the EU's financial and technical resources. All of those projects, if you like, all of those specific policies which have been designed, developed and are being implemented as part of a broader or nested within part of a broader policy would come into question. So it's not just the macro issues, the kind of bigger, broader international relations issues and how those might be managed, or the neighbourhood issues, but it's also the regional and the sub-regional strategies and policies that the UK put into place, which would suddenly be left without the anchor that they have present. And of course, Member State Exit has no precedent. The UK has no way to assess accurately what the cost would be for its foreign security policy of departing from the EU. And I think it's going to be very difficult on the available evidence to calculate what those costs might be. Whether you calculate them financially, that's pretty difficult anyway to do when you evaluate foreign policy success. Whether you do that in terms of the perceptions of third countries, what people might think if the UK looked as if it was exiting. Whether you do that in terms of the impact on the British psyche in terms of people's willingness to engage within the world outside. All of those things, you know, it's difficult to calculate and got no reliable means to do so. The closest we've had is when the previous government, the previous coalition government that was in power between 2005 and 2015, ran the balance of competences exercise. And you may recall there are a whole series of reports produced on different aspects of EU policy. The idea being to look at, you know, whether the balance of competences were in favour of the nation or not in terms of the benefits that the UK derived. And one of the reports was on foreign policy. And amongst plenty of others I produced evidence that was submitted to that process and that report. And what was clear, and I quote from the report itself, which was a masterpiece of drafting by the Foreign and Commonwealth Office, and it says I quote that all the evidence suggests that it's generally strongly in the UK's interest to work through EU foreign policy. And I set out why that was the case in terms of greater influence over non-EU powers that derived from a position as being a leading EU country. Stress on the leading perhaps because that hasn't been as obvious in recent years. The international way of the single market again, perhaps an obvious point to make, and therefore the ability to deliver on trade and commercially beneficial and the ability to deliver on trade agreements. The reaching magnitude of the EU's financial resources and development and economic partnerships, the range of versatility of the EU's tools as compared with other international organisations and so on and so on. And it was clear from that exercise that the UK did not face obstacles to pursuing its foreign policy beyond those which were annoyances, shall we say, that come from the grit in the machine of decision making within the EU, which many people here I'm sure are more than familiar with. So there's no precedent for the exit, we don't really know what the costs would be for UK foreign and security policy. And of course the UK would also be going against the trend of contemporary European international relations. The enlargement has been the great project within Europe, the dual enlargement NATO and the European Union. And a key part of British diplomacy has been to advocate certain domestic reforms to countries to facilitate their admission to the European Union. And that advocacy continues in cases such as Bosnia and Serbia to pursue very painful economic and political reforms outside the EU. I think the UK argument that these things are worth doing would obviously have very little credence if there was one hand on the door of the exit. And I think that the Brexit itself would create a broader diplomatic crisis for the UK. It would have to, and its diplomats, and I know there are some here, would be working overtime, unpaid, I would hope, as a taxpayer, to counter the view that Britain would be shrinking in its international role and influence. And, as happened during the Scottish independence debate, where the membership of key bodies such as the UN Security Council and so on would be appropriate for a country that felt in some way to outsiders as being shrunk. And of course the United States, which has already expressed a clear preference for the UK to remain within the EU, would then face a UK which was in a position which is contrary to the position that successive US administrations have pursued, both Democrat and Republican, which is to seek a larger European Union and see a European Union as a key organising device for the security and stability of Europe. And the UK would no longer have the leverage that would come from being on the inside for future enlargements or that defence policies developed in a manner that might be compatible or strengthened rather than duplicating NATO. And I think from that we could obviously draw the conclusion that the UK would look diminished and would look less useful to the United States or future US administrations than would be the case in the current period. But I think the costs are not just on the UK side, but they are also on the EU side. The UK is a key participant in the EU's common finance security policy, its common security and defence policy. It hasn't always been the most enthusiastic when it's come to institutional innovation or development or deepening, but in terms of participation and in terms of its engagement with CSDP missions, both military and also civilian missions. It has been a significant player and has obviously brought considerable expertise to bear in terms of debates and discussions between the member states in areas that the UK cares about, but also in areas perhaps in which aren't, first, all the UK concerns, but it's been able to bring the perspective of a state which has a certain experience within foreign affairs. One thing I would say as an aside and I found rather peculiar is that the UK seemed to derive absolutely no benefit from providing the EU's first high representative under the Lisbon Treaty arrangements. I don't mean that in the sense that Baroness Lashdon was there as some kind of agent for the UK government, but I mean more about the British debate, about the value of CSDP. I think for her term of office as high rep, I don't think the quality of the British public debate, certainly the British elite debate outside the foreign office, actually improved in terms of realising what some of the benefits might be for CSDP and for CSDP, but others in this room may have an explanation as to why that is the case. If you look at the CSDP, I mean the UK has been and is enthusiastic for CSDP operations. If you look at Atalanta, it's obviously playing a leading role there in terms of the headquartering and directing from Northwood. It's also now made major commitments to the now for MED operation as well. If you take a look at the civilian missions of the CSDP, the UK has been present in a big way and has actually integrated CSDP missions, a participation in CSDP missions very much at the heart of its interesting capacity building in third countries. Beyond that, the UK has been rather enthusiastic for thinking about the CSDP as a route to build up European military capabilities. Push the idea of battle groups, maybe battle groups haven't become all that they could have become in terms of operational instrument for the EU, but I think it clearly demonstrated that the UK is not against CSDP developments, but it's against CSDP developments through a particular prism and is willing to push in some areas in which it feels that there is a benefit in terms of capabilities development. If you look more broadly to EU foreign policy to include development policy, again there was a balance of competence as a report that was written on development policy and to quote from the report, the close alignment of UK and EU development objectives and the EU's perceived political neutrality and global influence mean that the EU can act as a multiplier for the UK's priorities and influence. I think a recognition in those constituencies in the UK that the UK does get something out of engagement, but also equally the fact that the UK does play a key role in helping to develop development policy within the EU itself, bringing its own perspective and also crucially of course bringing its own significant national spend on foreign and security policy. Let me now just sort of turn in the last section of my remarks to what I'd call the timescale impact, which I alluded to at the start, that the impact of disentangling the UK from the EU's foreign security policy relationships will be extremely costly I think for all sides and with the outcome of that process completely uncertain. At present the UK is able to combine its national foreign policy assets with those of the EU in pursuing the objectives that it wants to pursue and only agreeing with or to collective action if other member states also agree on the action. But the UK has also or also faces at the moment another order challenge which is the austerity challenge. So at the moment in which we're talking about the UK possibly doing less within the European Union or dramatically less it was seeking an exit. This is also on the back of a period in which over the last five years we've seen a 16% cut in the foreign and commonwealth office budget. This is in real terms 19% cut in the defence budget and therefore there is a real interest on the part of the UK in cost effectively pooling diplomatic military capabilities further with its other partners and to have the European Union as a route to do that closed off I think would be an absolute tragedy. It would also I think complicate some of the key bilateral relationships that the UK has sought to move forward on over the last few years. And I'll just pick out one of those which are the Lancaster House agreements that have reached between Britain and France on defence in 2010. And the premise of those being that it would be closer cooperation between the UK and France to burden share to facilitate both in their ambitions for defence within the EU and NATO. And France to its credit I think it's persisted with the idea of this coordination and both sides think it worked hard at it even in a climate in which there has been a reticence on the part of recent British governments to develop or to deepen. EU defence policy and I think any prospect of a UK EU exit would raise questions over the rationale for that particular form of bilateral cooperation and it may make it attractive for France for example to see if it can develop more within the rhymar grouping of Poland and Germany as an alternative forum if the British can't be counted on as a future partner within a European defence. And of course there would be the cost to the UK of renegotiating all of the things that it currently gets from the EU by way of the existing corpus of agreements. Talking to an analyst yesterday he suggested that the EU currently has something in the order of 10,000 international agreements in place with third parties, give or take a thousand he said. And of course on a scenario we call the doomsday scenario in which the UK did seek to cut its links from the EU outside of an EEA type agreement there would be a need for the UK to recodify its relationships with many third countries. And clearly that would create a huge burden on the UK's diplomatic and political infrastructure to do so. And at the same time of course it would be renegotiating a major bilateral relationship between the EU and the UK of course which would be a demanding set of negotiations I would suggest. So in conclusion if we would see Brexit which of course I think you gather I would very much not like to see the UK could well be preoccupied for the best part of a decade in reorganising and reordering its foreign relations at the time in which it has major issues within international relations and within its neighbourhood to give attention to. And of course at the same time the UK would also find itself having to work as hard to try and influence the EU policy agenda from the outside as opposed to the inside which will probably create an additional bilateral diplomatic burden from the one that currently exists. So I think in conclusion the UK can choose a Brexit but its security will remain intertwined with the successes and failures of the EU anyway so it's going to be a major foreign policy preoccupation. And by the way perhaps more parochialy with the UK presidency the council do you in the second half of 2017. We've got to find a way and the UK government clearly has to find a way of ensuring that it does the business of the presidency which I'm sure it will do very well. It has done in the past but it will also do it whilst potentially engaged in a national debate about its future relationship with the EU. So I'm glad I'm not a diplomat and I'm only a humble analyst. But one of the things I'll be fascinated to hear is what the perspective is from this side of the water on whether you see the UK having a meaningful and credible future even on the worst doomsday Brexit scenario. And what the options might be for the UK because of course one of the things I haven't spoken about is what the alternative positioning might be. And I'd be happy to talk about some of the ideas that have done the rounds which have been alternative conceptualisations of the UK son EU. So thank you very much.


What's up everybody jcm4jasmiescasebricks.com. We're giving away a $2,100 mystery crate spot with this 2020 optic choice Baseball one box break random teams number 15 the way this works guys as far as we do the break randomize customer names and teams It should be the hits out then at the end of the break We will take all 30 customer names and randomize them and Top name at number one will get a spot in the mystery crate that break is now sold out guys All that's left is to sell out the last one number 16 and we can break open that mystery crate tonight So let's do the break first guys. Let's roll the dice and we got ourselves a six and a five for eleven times break first one two three four five six seven eight nine ten and 11 Ron down to Adam cupper 11 times one two three four five six seven eight nine ten 11 And again guys stick to what you got Angels down to the Yankees So there's that right there. I'm gonna quickly alphabetize it. I'll give you guys like 30 seconds to see your teams All right guys, so there you go stick to what you got How about Damon and Joke it's just going at it game had like 30 plus points in the first half and jokers had like 25 All right guys, and again, this is one of the preview cards in that mystery crate guys A Kobe Bryant Jersey number 24 to 25 sold for $5,000 recently. This one is number 25 out of 25 same style same everything so Number to 99 in the zone from the same set same year sold for about $2,800 to remember that that's already 900 or 800 more dollars or 700 more dollars. Sorry more than the spot price to get in I expect this to be at least I mean I'm probably going a little too low before maybe 4,000 if not more because I know the Jersey number sold for 5,000 I think that has to increase it just a little bit, but I wouldn't be shocked if it's like a $4,500 card though Maybe only like 500 bucks So at the end of the day it's still an on-card Kobe Bryant Like I said, that is also part of the mystery crate So somebody in that crate won in nine chance to win that Kobe And you're gonna make potentially if you didn't even buy a full spot You only want a spot for like 70 how much of this break? This break is $77 you could potentially win a $4,000 card for $77. That's the last way to win right there guys in the next crate I mean, that's not bad Andres Munoz to 45 you got Joey Gallo to 45 With Maryfield to 88 Christian Yelich that is numbered to 84 and quang young him Tell you guys. There's some really really nice hits in this mystery crate I also showed you guys as a preview that each year old one-of-one autograph from transcendent baseball 2018 It graded a nine five ten That'll easily be the money back as well in the crate. All right, so there you go So that's St. Louis, Milwaukee, Kansas City, Texas and San Diego First one is Ronaldo Tatees. That's a diamond picks. We got a little Mike trout Jordan Yamamoto It's a beautiful looking card Number 26 out of 99 now a rookie in 2021, but with a prospect this year Debbie Garcia Yankees with that one that is 14 out of 99 Yankees gonna add him cover man and last one here Bobby wit jr. At a 99 beautiful card Kansas City that's going to run Nice box. There you go. So Bobby wit Debbie Garcia. You have a motos or autographs And you're all your inserts right there So let's give away the spot Good luck guys remember only number one gets a guy's top name at number one. Here we go That's roller. Here's a customer names roll it Six and a four lucky number ten ten times. Good luck one two three four five six seven eight nine ten ten times Wow PJ man, you're gonna have to stay up for this man after ten times six and a four Ten times PJ you are the winner So congratulations, man You paid a fraction of the price to win a spot right here in this mystery crate So there you go. Congratulations, man. One more way to win guys is on the website. Last one is at 24 left guys Appreciate it guys. Jasper's case breaks.com


What's up everyone? It's your girl Kenzie here from Layton Sports Cards and I'm ripping a personal here for Wahoos. We've got a 2022 Panini and Maculad WWE Hobby Box. All right, thanks as always Wahoos always appreciates your support here Here we go Um, Yogi, we need to... It's the command for it There you go. You are welcome sir. All right, we got redemption on the bottom. You know what that can mean Wahoos Let's see up first. Whoa. Look at this guy.   You're gonna let that marinate for a second there. Let me grab some more sleeves Buy myself today and try my best. Here we go. All right, we've got a Happy Corbin patch 22 of 99 Happy Corbin. And we've got Jumbo Patch here. Finn Balor 15 of 99. That's a leather Looks like his leather jacket that he's got on. That's pretty sick. Let's standard That's really cool And we're getting to our Autos. Modern Marks 29 of 99. A Dana Brooke Dana Brooke. It's a 99 and we've got memorabilia autographs. I don't want to look at the redemption. There we go. Nikki Ash, 32 of 99. Is it Ash or A S H? Looks like maybe A S H. Nikki A S H. All right Here we go. Wahoos A S H. Gotcha. Thank you, Jeff. Upside down Immaculate collection. Marks of greatness Card 6. Go! That's one of my favorite UFC Greats there. So that is awesome Ronda Rousey. Ronda Rousey. What do they call it? Rousey Ronda? Rousey Ronda? That's sick Marks of greatness. Ronda Rousey That's cool. Curious to see what that looks like. Yeah, for sure Rousey Ronda Rousey. That's what it is. I was like what was it? It's a tongue twister. All right, Wahoos. That will do it for your box. Congrats on those hits. Thanks as always for hopping in and we'll get these right out to you


Hello, it's time for part 4 of either proving or debunking long-time myths regarding the Super Nintendo and or Super Nintendo games. In the past, I've looked at total BS rumors like Higane not actually being a blockbuster exclusive, and looked at things that turned out to be true, like being able to earn a Hadoken Fireball in Mega Man X. This time around, I'm gonna talk a little bit about the Super Nintendo console itself. Now, for those of you out there that own an original Super Nintendo, what color is it? Is it gray like it's supposed to be, or is it kind of a weird yellowish beige color? I'm willing to bet a lot of folks watching this have a yellow Super Nintendo, and I bet a good number of you folks were told that the reason it turned yellow was because it stained from cigarette smoke. I'm also willing to bet that many of you who were told that were immediately confused by that information if nobody in your family smoked, and you'd be 100% right to be skeptical because cigarette smoke is not the reason Super Nintendo's turned yellow. Bromine is, according to Adam Savage's Tested.com. See, many electronics manufacturers used a plastic called ABS, or Acrolinitrile, Budedain, Styrene. But one of the main problems with that plastic is that it's got very poor resistance to UV rays to the point that it can become combustible. One popular solution was to work a flame retardant into the plastic mix, and in the case of Super Nintendo, that was bromine. But there was a side effect. When exposed to enough light for a long enough period of time, the chemical bonds in the plastic begin to erode. And as a result, the bromine in the plastic begins to oxidize, thus turning your Super Nintendo into a sickly yellow color, kind of similar to the way an Apple would if you took a bite out of it and left it someplace. But hey, if you're stuck with one of those weird yellow SNES consoles, it doesn't have to stay that way. I mean, sure, you'll have to take apart your Super Nintendo and remove the plastic casing to clean it properly. But if you've got some hydrogen peroxide laying around, that should do the trick. In fact, there's plenty of people out there that have used a fantastic product from Billy Mays called OxyClean that'll do the trick just as well. But yeah, the yellow in the casing comes from bromine, not from your Aunt Gladys' packs of Virginia Slims. I also want to talk a bit about the Super Nintendo CD peripheral that never got released because it sure seems like there's a ton of misinformation out there.  I should mention the information I'm going by here is from David Chef's 1999 book Game Over, and it's well worth checking out if you can find it. Anyway, Nintendo had a deal with Sony going back to 1988 when they developed the SPC 700 sound chip for the SNES, and that eventually led to talks of both a CD add-on to the Super Nintendo, as well as a hybrid console that reached a prototype stage that I'm sure many of you saw was sold at an auction for $360,000. So, why wasn't this put into full-scale production? Because Nintendo felt it didn't have enough control in its agreement, since Sony was using their own format called a Super Disc that they had the rights over, which allowed them to do other stuff with it outside the Nintendo umbrella, like putting out movies and music. Well, Nintendo President Hiroshi Yamashi said, nope, we're Nintendo, we're gaming royalty and we can do whatever we want, so they decided to go to Philips, another electronics manufacturer and a competitor of Sony's, and they ended up getting much better terms on their deal. Oh, and Nintendo never bothered to tell Sony anything, so when the Philips deal was announced at the 1991 CES, Sony was just as surprised as anyone else. Sony eventually told Nintendo to eff off and ended up releasing their console as their own thing, a little gizmo called the PlayStation. So why didn't the Philips CD attachment ever get released? Well, apparently you can blame the Sega CD for that, since that sold so poorly, it scared Nintendo away from ever releasing any sort of Super Nintendo CD attachment, and that was that. So yeah, Nintendo's hubris bred a competitor in Sony that they're still tangling with to this day, just because Nintendo was butthurt, that Sony had their own format that they could claim the rights to. So ultimately the deal fell apart and as Marge Gunderson would say, it was all for just a little bit of money. Now, this next myth involves the legend of Zelda, a link to the past, and it's existed for years and years regarding this completely random dude who somehow for some reason has his own hidden room in the game. I mean, come on, what are the odds of that?  Yup, it turns out this one is 100% true. Back in 1990, Nintendo Power held a contest with the prize being to have your own name featured in an NES game. All you had to do to enter was to encounter a Warmech in the first Final Fantasy for NES. Take a picture of the screen and mail it in. That's easier said than done since a Warmech is the rarest enemy in the game by far, but Mr. Hulahan was able to find it and win the contest, except for some reason, his name didn't appear in an NES game, but in his Super Nintendo game and friggin' linked to the past. Now that's cool. So, how do you find this room? Well, there's a few different ways, actually. One is to place Link at the bottom of the screen, place a bomb and blow yourself up, then immediately dash south using the Pegasus Boots. Somehow this causes the game to go into kind of a debug mode, so to speak, so the next hole you fall down will be the Chris Hulahan room, where he kindly greets you and awards you with 45 rupees. Hey, that's pretty cool. Thanks, Chris. Here's one that's really confused me over the years and it has to do with the cover of Earthbound. So here we've got a Starman Super, one of the strongest enemies in the game. At a glance, you can see that it looks like NES is actually inside the Starman and piloting it somehow, which implies at some point in the game you can take over one of these things and crush other enemies with it. Well, if you've played through Earthbound, you know that's not true because that never happens, so what's the deal with the misleading cover then? Well, the thing is, if you look closer, NES isn't inside the Starman, that's actually his reflection. The Starman Super is actually looking down at NES and NES is looking back up toward it. You'll also notice what looked like levers or controls at NES aside are actually his arms. So yeah, the cover isn't actually misleading, it just looks a certain way at a glance.  This next myth goes back to 2006, but it might as well have come from my elementary school playground because it sounds so ridiculous. Okay, so stay with me on this one. Everyone knows about the top secret area in Super Mario World above the Donut Land Ghost House, right? Well, what if there was an extra super-duper-tippity-toppity-top top secret area that was above that top secret area? And get this, the power-up you get there is a laser suit and... I'm sorry, but Mario looks utterly ridiculous like this. So yeah, this fooled a few people back in the day, but as you might expect, this was just a rom-hat created by someone named Kay Phoenix. And while I appreciate the effort here, Laser Mario just kinda sucks. He can't duck in this form.  But yeah, there is no Laser Mario in the original Super Mario World. Super Tennis is one of my favorite sports games, and many people don't know about the extra character you can play in this game. If you complete a circuit and win all four majors, you unlock an event on this tiny island in the middle of nowhere where you play against a dude named Don Jay.  Seriously, he's like twice as fast as any other player. Now, I'd heard that there was a trick to unlocking this guy to make him a playable character, and I've seen videos that show people playing as Don Jay, but even after beating Don Jay, I don't see a way to do that unless there's a rom-hat floating around out there somewhere or something like that. What you can do is go to the character select screen, press L five times, then X once, then R seven times, and X once, and you'll hear the music change so you know it works. And whatever character you select will have the same attributes as Don Jay. In other words, you'll be ridiculously fast and utterly crush anyone in your path. Unfortunately, this does not work on this Nintendo Switch version of the game for whatever reason, so that's kinda lousy, but still, it's a fun code to use. All right, that's all for now, and I wanna thank you for watching, and I hope you have a great rest of your day.


Hi, everyone. In this short video, I'm going to show you how to get started using the Citation Management Platform Zotero. Zotero is open source, so all you have to do is go to their website, Zotero.org, and you can download this platform for free. And one nice thing about it being open source is that you can continue to use it even after you leave CMU. So you're going to simply click on the download button, and then you want to complete both of these steps. You want to download the desktop application for your operating system of choice, Windows, Mac, or Linux. And then you also want to install the web connector. It's defaulting to Chrome, but you can also select the connector for other browsers. Once you do those couple of steps, you're going to go to register to create your account with your username and password. So then you can open up your desktop application, and we're just going to set up our preferences, which you should only really have to do in the beginning and then you will be all set to start adding citations to your library. So we're going to go to Zotero up here at the top and then preferences. And we need to configure our sync settings. So if you go to the sync panel, you'll want to make sure that your account is linked here. And I'm going to suggest that you select the sync automatically option, as well as select the file syncing options down here. So basically, what we're telling Zotero is that we want it to sync all of the data, as well as the attachments in our account to the cloud, as well as to other devices that we might be using. There is a limit as to how many PDFs you can add to your Zotero account, but it's very generous. And I think for the types of projects that you're working on during your time at CMU, you will probably have plenty of space in your account. If you ever do run out of space, you can simply unselect these sync attachment file options. And then it's just not going to sync the PDFs. But you would still be able to create your bibliographies with Zotero. So you're going to still have most of the functionality there. But I'll say that unless you're really running out of space, I would just start with these options selected here. Now another thing to keep in mind is that we have basically just told Zotero that we want it to be automatically syncing our account. But occasionally you might go in here and just not see some items that you think you've added. You can always tell Zotero to sync again. It's kind of like a refresh by selecting or sorry pushing this sync with Zotero.org button here. So this is just going to manually tell Zotero to go ahead and sync everything. And then in most cases, you will see the item that you expected to see there show up. Now that we have our account configured correctly, we are ready to get started by adding citations.


Now that is an old-fashioned caramel cake, you can tell by looking at it. Hey y'all, it's Tammy with Collard Valley Cooks and today we're making a very, very old-fashioned cake, caramel homemade on the stove top. Alright, we're starting with a stick of butter and you're going to let it melt in a saucepan. I'm going to let that melt to a good bit and then we're going to add some sugar to it. I hope you're having an awesome day. You're going to keep it down on the medium heat once that melts good and we're going to add two cups of brown sugar and I'm using light brown sugar. You can use dark brown if you want a darker caramel and I like to stir these two together pretty good and then I add my milk but you can add them all at the same time if you want to. Alright, we're going in with the cream. This is a half cup of evaporated milk. You're going to bring this to a slow boil so the sugar has time to melt. You don't have it up on high. That's right centered. Now, when you're making caramel or fudge or light rum and icing, any of those, you got to be careful and make sure that you melt all the sugar granules. So I bring it to a slow heat until it starts to simmer and boil and then I turn it up on high and it usually takes a good, you know, a few minutes for it to get there. You could see there's sugar all over my spoon. You can hear it in the bottom of there still, hear it. So use that as a guide. We're going to put a lid on it which will help the sugar get off the side of the saucepan and go down into the icing as well. The icing is going to boil. When it boils, it's going to rise in the saucepan so you want to make sure when it's larger now. Don't use a tiny one. This is just a medium size. Alright, I'm taking the spoon out and I put it in the sink and I'm not going to use it again because it's got sugar all over it. We're going to let it come, it's starting to boil around the edges. We're going to wait until it's in a good boil or I'm going to go ahead and put a lid on it. I'm going to wait until it's at a rolling boil and then we're going to time it for three minutes so we can go ahead and set our timer and just not hit the start button until we're ready. This is so good, y'all. It's so easy. A lot of people are intimidated by caramel icing but it doesn't have to be hard. It is good to make it on a good dry day. All candies that are made when the weather's good. I'm going to turn it up too high and hit the timer. I'm going to leave that lid on it at least for the first minute so that I know that it's raised up and got all that sugar off the edge of the saucepan. Alright, we've got 13 seconds left on the clock for the first minute so we'll be taking the lid off after that first minute and you'll see that it's raising up in the saucepan. Whoops, that's hot and it's good, lowly good. Now at this point you should be able to stir it again but use a new spoon. These are really nice spoons. You get a whole set on Amazon. They said about, I forget how many was in the box but there's a lot of them and they're nice and heavy and good quality. If you're ever interested in any of our things that we use in the kitchen, it's all there on our Amazon store. You can go there by going to our website and clicking shop mail. We've got one minute and 10 seconds left. So you're going to continue just to boil this, good. And sometimes I do like to take it and go around the edge just in case what I get to the last minute, just in case there might be a sugar granule on the side that needs to go back down in there. It's hot. Let me just go ahead and put me on the thing because it's getting really hot. You make candy, it gets hot. You've got 30 seconds. Now this is going to transfer right to the mixer immediately and you're going to ice your cake immediately so you need to have everything laid out and ready before you start your icing. Now your layers there ready and everything should be there. All right. It's time to take it off the stove. All right. We're going to go ahead and turn the mixer on and pour it into the mixer. Icing. I add a little bit of powdered sugar to it. You can do the same thing with this caramel. It makes it easier to ice if you want to do that but you don't have to do that. This is an eight inch layer. I like to use eight inch layers. This is an old piece of cookware that I have that's Queensware. It's really pretty and the eight inch layer fits on it really nice. Just don't make a whole lot of icing but it's really rich. Everybody loves caramel in the fall. It's really good. I wanted y'all to see this, how it looks the next day because it was so caramel like and sticky. I was afraid you guys would be like, well that's not like my granny's. Okay. So you need to see how it does set up and it does get hard like it's supposed to. And I'm going to have a piece for breakfast this morning so I just wanted to let y'all see it. See. It's nice and formed like it's supposed to be. My fingers already. And I'm having it for breakfast and this is such a soft cake. It is my white cake mix but instead of using one and a half cups of buttermilk I use a half cup of water and a cup of evaporated milk. It actually makes a softer texture in the cake. It's more soft like a cake mix soft. So all of my cake recipes, if you'll substitute that buttermilk for a half a cup, the one and a half cups of buttermilk with a half a cup of water and a cup of evaporated milk, you'll love the texture of them. And you really have to ice it pretty quick because it does start getting thicker. Ooh, I've got too much on this side and not enough on the other and it's wanting to slide. Just push it. Don't be afraid to move your cake around and you're not going to have time to wash your hands so you're just going to have to clean the plate later. So just keep moving it around until you get it good and iced. If you need to scrape it off of one part and put it on another you can. The cooler it gets, the more it's going to start setting up and it's going to get easier to ice as you go. Now that is an old-fashioned caramel cake you can tell by looking at it. I just want you to kind of see what consistency it is like on the edge of this bowl. You can see that it's perfect. It's actually perfect. So good. I got me some hot water so it would cut it nice. I'm going to give it a try, y'all. Did you get a good picture for them? So it looks pretty. Homemade cake layers and homemade caramel just like Granny's. Yum, yum. Thanks for watching Color Valid Cooks, where we cook like Granny did. Bye, y'all. Love you. This is an old-fashioned caramel cake you can tell by looking at it.


Hi, I'm Daniel Weisberg, Search Advocate at Google. And in this video, I'll discuss a few best practices for governments and authority entities to make information more visible on Google Search. Many times, the advice is similar to the advice we give to other websites. But I'll try to focus on what's most relevant to you. I'll discuss three topics. Optimizing your site appearance on Google Search, making sure Google can find and index your pages, and analyzing queries that you're ranking for and queries that you're not. Let's start with some search engine optimization basics you should implement on your site. These are best practices to optimize your content appearance and findability on Google Search. Create unique, accurate page titles. A title tag in your page HTML tells both users and search engines what the topic of a particular page is. When your page appears in a search result, the content of the title tag may appear prominently in the search result snippet. So it should be both short and informative. If the title is too short, too long, or otherwise deemed less relevant, Google may show only a portion of it or one that's automatically generated. Google may also show different titles depending on user queries or devices. Use the description meta tag. A description meta tag in your HTML page gives Google a summary of what the page is about. While the title should be only a few words or short phrase, the description may be as long as a program. Description meta tags are important because Google might use them as snippets for your pages. So make sure to write a description that would both inform and interest the users. Use heading tags to emphasize important text. Use meaningful headings throughout your content to indicate important topics and create a hierarchical structure for your pages. These will make it easier for users and search engines to navigate through your content, especially if your pages are very long. Improve site navigation with intro links. Government websites usually provide guidance on multiple subjects to a broad audience. These can make it hard for users and search engines to understand where to find content and what is most important. To help with that, first make it easy for users to distinguish between regular text and links. You don't want users to miss the links. And second, use descriptive text in the links. This will help users and Google understand what the link pages are about. In addition, your site's information hierarchy will help make it clear what is most important and how to navigate between sections. You should start by making sure the site navigation menu has all the important sections and also by providing breadcrumbs on the top of your pages. Add structured data to your pages. Structured data is code that you can add to your pages to describe your content to search engines. Google uses this information to display your content in useful ways, such as rich results. There are several types of structured data governments can potentially use. Here are three ideas. Frequently asked questions or FAQs for pages providing information on areas where users might have recurring questions. How to for pages where you have step-by-step guidance on how to do something like getting a certificate, a visa or a permit. And breadcrumbs to help describe how your website is organized. For more best practices, check the SEO starter guide linked in the description. It's long, but it can be a valuable way and it can be a valuable resource. After optimizing your content, make sure that Google can find and index your pages. These can be easily uncovered using the index-covered report. Log into search console and find the report in the sidebar. When you open it, the default view shows a summary of indexing errors on your website. Click to show valid reporting, valid and excluded pages too. Here's what each status means. Errors prevent pages from being indexed. Pages with errors won't appear in Google, which can mean a loss of traffic to your website. Valid with warnings are pages that may or may not be shown on Google, depending on the issue, but we think there is a problem that you should look into. Valid pages have been indexed and can be shown on Google Search. Excluded pages were not indexed and won't appear in Google, but either we think that is your intention or we think it's the right thing to do. Clicking a row in the table will lead you to a more detailed report showing examples of pages that are affected and provide more information on the issue. Here you can also grab a link using the share button to share the details with a developer that can perform code changes to your website. After you or your developer have fixed the error, click Validate Fix and Google will validate your changes. You can watch the Index Coverage episode in this series to understand more about the issues affecting your site and learn how to validate the fix you have implemented. To help search engines discover all your content, it's very useful to tell them which pages, images and videos to crawl on your website. This is done by submitting a sitemap. If you have a sitemap, you can submit it to Google and track its status using the sitemaps report on Search Console. If you submit the sitemap using this report, you can see whether we were able to read it when we read it and more. To learn more about sitemaps and how to track their status using Search Console, check the links in the description. Now that you've checked that your pages are being crawled, indexed and served optimally, it's time to analyze how well your pages are performing using the performance report. Here, you'll find the chart summarizing impressions, clicks, average click through rate and average position of your site in search results. Below the chart, you'll see a list of queries that users click to reach your website. You can change tabs to view the information broken down by pages, count fees and search appearance. Here are four things to look for when analyzing your performance data. If the number of impressions is significantly higher than clicks or, in other words, if the click through rate or CTR is very low for a query or a page, you might need to create better titles and descriptions to make your snippets more attractive in search results. If search queries that you expect to see don't appear, your site might not have enough useful content relevant to those queries. If important pages on your site are not in the pages list, there might be an issue with them. In that case, you should use inspect URL to find out why. Check how many queries show your site when the user does or does not include your site's name. These might show interesting areas where people are searching for content directly related to your site. Those are just a few examples of what information you can learn from the default reports. Check out my previous video on the performance report for a more comprehensive overview on how to use the report to optimize your organic search performance. Before I end this video, I want to discuss one less tool that might be helpful for you. Google Trends provides access to a largely unfiltered sample of actual search requests made to Google. It's anonymized, categorized, and aggregated. This allows us to display interest in topics from around the globe or down to city level. The data can be useful for governments in many ways. Here are two ideas. Check top queries in your region and compare it to the queries you're getting traffic from, the ones we just discussed from the performance report. If there are queries missing from your traffic, check if you have content on that subject and make sure it's being trolled and indexed. Check related queries to important topics you're interested in. These might surface surprising queries and help you prepare your site for them. For example, by adding content related to it. Try out by visiting trends.google.com, pretty fun, and inside.  To recap, optimize your site appearance on Google Search with SEO best practices. Make sure Google can find and index your pages. Analyze queries that you're ranking for and queries that you're not. Don't forget to subscribe to our YouTube channel to watch our upcoming Search Console videos. Stay tuned!


Welcome to dealing with materials data, this is a course on collection analysis and interpretation of data from material science and engineering. We are looking at some of the R tutorials, so we had an introduction to R and then we learnt how to describe data using R and this is the module on probability distributions. And in this module we have looked at discrete distributions, we have also looked at uniform distribution which is sorry normal distribution which is a continuous distribution and we are going to continue with continuous distributions. In this case we are specifically going to talk about log normal distribution. So log normal distribution is a distribution x is said to follow log normal if log of x is distributed normally. So the probability distribution function for log normal is 1 by root 2 pi and 1 by beta x exponential minus log of x minus alpha whole squared by 2 beta squared where x is greater than 0, beta is greater than 0 and f of x is 0 otherwise. If you use the change of variable y goes to log x, the resulting distribution is actually a standard normal distribution with alpha taking the role of mean and beta taking the role of standard deviation. So Kalamagrao is the one who came up with the law of fragmentation, he showed that large collection of particles which result from particle fragmentation. This is very important in mineralogy and geology and such areas where you are trying to break and make smaller particles and in such cases the particles their size distribution is actually log normal. So this is what Kalamagrao showed and in the case of grain size for example sometimes it is said that the data follows log normal distribution. I am going to show you one data which comes from a paper of Underwood ferrite grain size which we will plot and see that it follows log normal. But if you use our FIT DISTR plus FIT distribution plus library and try to do the fitting you will see that it is not quite log normal and this is common. In fact many data sets that is expected to be log normal I have verified and rarely you get a good fit for log normal. There is one more data set which from Smith and Jordan so it says mathematical and graphical interpretation of log normal law for particle size distribution analysis from Journal of Colloid Science and they also say that log normal law is excellent for particle size distribution analysis and they also describe in their paper how to gather data and how to analyze the data for log normal distribution. So we will take data which is given in this paper and try to see if it follows log normal and also try to generate from our model the data and try to see if we can compare the distribution that we generate with the empirical data and say anything about the distribution. Of course the log normal distribution for in R the command is LNAM. So DLNAM, PLNAM, QLNAM, RNAM are the commands or the function calls. So you can get the probability density, cumulative distribution function and quantile function using these three functions the random deviates are generated using RLNAM. So we are going to use standard mean of two and standard deviation of one and we are going to generate these quantities just to check. So we will now do the R tutorial for log normal distribution. The first exercise as usual we are going to make three plots and we are going to plot between 0 and 15 and the first one is log normal the probability distribution function. The second one is the cumulative distribution function and as we indicated for DLNAM the mean log is 2 and standard deviation log is 1. So that is the value we are using. So you can see the mean log 0 standard deviation log 1 is what by default it uses but you can change those values and of course I am also going to do the quantile plot. So there are going to be three plots. So you can see that this is the distribution and this is the cumulative distribution function and this is the quantile plot. Of course you can plot just the plots individually to get a better idea how they look. So this is the distribution function of standard log normal distribution. So if you see some data follows distribution like this then you expect it to be log normal. So that is what we are going to see. You will see many data that looks like this but it need not be log normal because there are competing distributions which describe similar kind of data is what we are going to see and of course we will see the cumulative distribution function goes like that and the quantile function because it is the inverse of the cumulative distribution function. Of course one can generate random deviates from log normal distribution and that is what we will do and plot that data as a histogram. So this generates random deviates from log normal distribution again with the same mean and standard deviation and then we are going to have a histogram plot and you can see that the data goes like this. So it has a long tail but it peaks somewhere closer here in the beginning and then it goes down. So let us take a look at couple of data sets. The first one that I want to use is from Underwood and so let us read that data first. So it is for ferrite size versus numbers that is what Underwood has given. So this is the size and these are the numbers. So if you plot this, so you see that the data goes like this. So Underwood says that this could be expected to be log normal approximately and let us check. So we want to use the library fit dastr plus then we want to take this data and we want to check whether our data follows. As you can see if we try to look at the data then it does not follow log normal really. Log normal is somewhere here and our observation lies somewhere in beta. This is for V1, you can look at V2, in fact V2 is more or less like uniform. So it is clear that difficult to see that this data follows log normal distribution and there is another data which is from Smith and Jordan like I told you and let us try to load that data and see what happens. So we want to read the Smith Jordan log normal data, we want to plot X and then we are going to use fit distribution plus library and describe the data of size. Again here again the data seems to be in the beta, it is not really in, however if you look at the data so you can see that it does look like log normal distribution very nicely. So even though it looks nicely like this when we try to do the fit this dastr plus you see that it says that the data is not really following log normal, log normal means it should have been somewhere here but observation falls somewhere in beta. So this is a problem, it is very difficult to actually know and there are other competing distributions which I will also give and something like beta which by changing parameters you can fit the data well might do that. So it is really difficult sometimes to know which is the right distribution that the data follows even though if you know for physical reasons that the data is expected to follow distribution that is the distribution you should use. So we are again going to take a look at the Smith Jordan log normal data and I am going to calculate the mean and standard deviation of the size data and I am going to generate random deviates with that mean and standard deviation from the log normal and then I am going to plot it, then I am going to plot the data. Then we will see whether there is a better matching that we can see and of course you can see that the histogram of data that I generated with the same mean and standard deviation looks like this and our data also looks like this. So it does look like we have a data so every time I run you get a different distribution because the random deviates are different. So you can see that every time the deviates that you generate seem to fit very well which is not surprising because from by looking at the data for example you can see that it looks like the log normal. So in the case of grain size and such fragmented particle size etc. it is expected that the distribution is log normal so it is always useful to try to see how closely does the log normal distribution describe the data. So log normal is an important distribution so it is used especially in areas like this where there is reason to believe based on some of the theories like Kolmogorov's law of fragmentation for example that the data is expected to follow log normal distribution but sometimes for example grain size there are other competing distributions that will describe what is happening. So we have also seen in some cases the grain sizes it was very different. We have seen data while we were doing descriptive statistics so especially grain size data it is very difficult to say that it should always follow log normal but in other cases where you expect log normal you will try to fit the data to log normal and see even though if you do blindly and try to fit the data to available distributions there are other competing distributions which will show up and probably show that they have better fit to your data. So it depends on your needs and purposes if you know for sure that the data should follow given distribution that is what you should try to fit for. If you just try to get a description it does not matter whatever distribution that you can get then of course you can explore and find the distribution that describes your data the best. So this is log normal distribution and like I said I have found it very difficult to find any data that if you use fit DSTR plus will show that it is log normal. So I am not sure unless maybe if you just generate random deviates and give it to fit DSTR plus it will show that it is log normal in all other cases I have found that there are always competing distributions and most of the times it is beta that it shows to be better fitting. But it is a good exercise for you to go look up data as part of this course you should also train yourself to go look for data or generate some such data and try to do the analysis and see if you can get better data that fits log normal distribution. Thank you.


Item number SCP-106 Object Class Keter Special Containment Procedures Revision 11-6 No physical interaction with SCP-106 is allowed at any time. All physical interaction must be approved by no less than a two-thirds vote from the O5 command, and may only extend to testing situations. All staff, research, security, class D, etc. are to remain at least 20 meters away from the containment cell at all times, except for mandated maintenance and reevaluation checks. Containment cell must be held suspended in a secondary cell, the walls of which must be at least 30 meters distant from the outer walls of the first or primary cell. The secondary cell is to remain under total observations at all times, and be both illuminated and clear of any and all debris. Any items, movement, or non-normal activity noted within the secondary cell will result in a full site lockdown. Lockdown will be maintained until a situation normal dispatch is issued by site command. Any corrosion observed on the primary cell, secondary cell, staff members, or other site locations within 200 meters of SCP-106 are to be reported to site security immediately. Any objects or personnel lost to SCP-106 are to be deemed missing slash killed in action. No recovery attempts are to be made under any circumstances. Note, SCP-106 does not have a docile state. Any reduction in activity or increased compliance from SCP-106 is to be deemed a lowering tactic, immediately preceding an aggressive action, and treated as such. Note, SCP discontinued due to escape percentage. Revision 11-7 No physical interaction with SCP-106 is allowed at any time. All physical interaction must be approved by no less than a 2-3rd vote from the O5 command and may only extend to testing situations. All staff, research, security, class D, etc. are to remain at least 30 meters away from the containment cell at all times, except under direct order from site command. SCP-106 is to be kept within a sealed container comprised of 16 layers of lead-lined steel, each separated by no less than 18 centimeters of open space aside from minimal support struts. Said container is to be kept suspended by a continuous current system within a fluid medium. This medium is to be replaced in 48-hour cycles and constantly monitored for any corrosion intrusion. Any corrosion observed on any containment cell surfaces, staff members, or other site locations within 200 meters of SCP-106 are to be reported to site security immediately. Any objects or personnel lost to SCP-106 are to be deemed missing slash killed in action. No recovery attempts are to be made under any circumstances. SCP-106 does not have a docile state. Any reduction in activity or increased compliance from SCP-106 is to be deemed a lowering tactic immediately preceding an aggressive action and treated as such. Note, observation of SCP-106 has shown a slight resistance when passing through lead or other similar metals. The thickness of the material appears to make no difference. In addition, multiple layers of thin material appear to slow SCP-106, forcing it to enter and reemerge multiple times. Fluids also appear to temporarily confuse SCP-106. Note, SCP discontinued due to multiple surface breaches. Agitation system continued to disperse corrosion during breach event, resulting in multiple breaches and full containment failure. Revision 11-8 No physical interaction with SCP-106 is allowed at any time. All physical interaction must be approved by no less than a two-thirds vote from O5 command. Any such interaction must be undertaken in AR-2 maximum security sites after a general non-essential staff evacuation. All staff, research, security, Class D, etc. are to remain at least 60 meters away from the containment cell at all times, except in the event of breach events. SCP-106 is to be contained in a sealed container comprised of lead-lined steel. The container will be sealed within 40 layers of identical material, each layer separated by no less than 36 centimeters of empty space. Support struts between layers are to be randomly spaced. Container is to remain suspended no less than 60 centimeters from any surface by ELO2D electromagnetic supports. Secondary containment area is to be comprised of 16 spherical cells, each filled with various fluids and a random assembly of surfaces and supports. Secondary containment is to be fitted with light systems, capable of flooding the entire assembly with no less than 80,000 lumens of light instantly with no direct human involvement. Both containment areas are to remain under 24-hour surveillance. Any corrosion observed on any containment cell surfaces, staff members, or other site locations within 200 meters of SCP-106 are to be reported to site security immediately. Any objects or personnel lost to SCP-106 are to be deemed missing slash killed in action. No recovery attempts are to be made under any circumstances. Note, continued research and observation have shown that, when faced with highly complex slash random assemblies of structures, SCP-106 can be confused, showing a marked delay on entry and exit from said structure. SCP-106 has also shown an aversion to direct sudden light. This is not manifested in any form of physical damage, but a rapid exit into the pocket dimension generated on solid surfaces. These observations, along with those of lead aversion and liquid confusion, have reduced the general escape incidents by 43%. The primary cells have also been effective in recovery incidents requiring recall protocol. Observation is ongoing. Image file, SCP-106 mid-emergence. View image, access granted. Description, SCP-106 appears to be an elderly humanoid with a general appearance of advanced decomposition. This appearance may vary, but the rotting quality is observed in all forms. SCP-106 is not exceptionally agile and will remain motionless for days at a time, waiting for prey. SCP-106 is also capable of scaling any vertical surface and can remain suspended upside down indefinitely. When attacking, SCP-106 will attempt to incapacitate prey by damaging major organs, muscle groups, or tendons, then pull disabled prey into its pocket dimension. SCP-106 appears to prefer human prey items in the 10-25 years of age bracket. SCP-106 causes a corrosion effect in all solid matter it touches, engaging a physical breakdown in material several seconds after contact. This is observed as rusting, rotting, and cracking of materials, and the creation of a black, mucus-like substance similar to the material coding SCP-106. This effect is particularly detrimental to living tissues and is assumed to be a pre-digestion action. Corrosion continues for six hours after contact, after which the effect appears to burn out. SCP-106 is capable of passing through solid matter, leaving behind a large patch of its corrosive mucus. SCP-106 is able to vanish inside solid matter, entering what is assumed to be a form of pocket dimension. SCP-106 is then able to exit this dimension from any point connected to the initial entry point, examples entering the inner wall of a room and exiting the outer wall, entering a wall and exiting from its ceiling. It is unknown if this is the point of origin for SCP-106 or a simple layer created by SCP-106. Limited observation of this pocket dimension has shown it to be comprised mostly of halls and rooms, with entry. This activity can continue for days, with some subjected individuals being released for the express purpose of hunting, recapture, addendum. SCP review notes. Due to the exceedingly difficult to contain nature of SCP-106, SCP is to be reviewed every three months or during a post-breach incident. Physical restraints are impossible, and direct physical damage appears to have no effect on SCP-106. Current SCP, as of... revolves around basic observation and immediate response. Previous, more proactive special containment procedures have been recalled due to the events of breaches and... notes on behavior. SCP-106 appears to go through long periods of dormancy, in which it will remain completely motionless for up to three months. The cause for this is unknown, however, it has been shown that this appears to be used as a lulling tactic. SCP-106 will emerge from the state in a very agitated state, and will attack and abduct staff and cause gross damage to its containment cell, and the site at large. Recall protocol... SCP-106 appears to hunt and attack based on desire, not hunger. SCP-106 will attack and collect multiple prey items during a hunting behavior event, keeping many alive in the pocket dimension for extended periods of time. SCP-106 has no determinable limit, and appears to collect a random number of prey items during an event. The inner dimension accessed by SCP-106 appears to be only accessible by SCP-106. Recording and transmission devices have been shown to still operate inside this dimension, though recordings and transmissions are very degraded. It appears that SCP-106 will play with captured prey, and appears to have full control of time, space, and perception inside this dimension. SCP-106 appears... Recall protocol... in the event of a breach event by SCP-106. A human within the 10 to 25 years of age bracket will be prepped for recall, with the compromised containment cell being replaced and restored for use. When the cell is ready, the lure subject will be injured, preferably via the breach of a long bone such as a femur, or the severing of a major tendon, such as the Achilles tendon. Lure subject will then be placed in the prepped cell, and the sound emitted by said subject will be transmitted over the site public address system. SCP-106 will typically begin to gravitate toward the lure subject within 10 to 15 minutes after hearing the subject. Should SCP-106 not respond to the initial broadcast, additional physical trauma is to be administered to the lure subject at 20 minute intervals, until SCP-106 responds. Multiple lure subjects may be used in the case of major breach events. SCP-106 will typically enter a dormant state after finishing with a lure subject. In addition, subjects may... Image file... Agent... After release by SCP-106, subject had been missing for 2 hours. Subject remain alive for 1 hour after release. View image... Access granted.


You're Simon from Fural Shakes. I play the bass guitar and Simon plays the lead guitar. I'm using the Artisan 100, which I guess traditionally isn't a bass amp, but definitely sounds great with a Rickenbacker going through it. I'm using the 6L6 Series 1. The sun's out, which isn't ordinarily great for coughs like us. Lineup's amazing. Yeah. There's loads of bands you want to see. I'm looking forward to seeing Queen Kwong. I think we would have loved to have watched Turned Style and Creeper. There's so many bands in this festival to start listening to them off for a while, but there's loads of great bands. This is a festival where they've given a lot of those smaller UK bands that maybe aren't quite big enough to get on a Reading and Leeds or a download. They've given them the opportunity to show. It's cool because people have turned out to watch them and maybe it'll show those bigger promoters that under the surface of their big festivals, there are a lot of bands that are doing their thing and bubbling under the surface, so to speak. This is our first time. We only played our first show as a band in November. We've not been playing shows for a long time, so this is our first summer festival run, I suppose. I remember you was in the band with some other friends of ours so I used to hang around a bit. But if they're doing it, then I can do it, and so I'm going to start for Christmas, that's that. I think mum flew a bit earlier from that. I remember my parents always had Queen and status quo and stuff like that one in the house. I just remember thinking Freddie Mercury, even at a young age, thinking Freddie Mercury was absolute king. It still is. For me though, Queen as well. Out of all the parents I was, my parents listened to, a lot of it I felt like I was just being subjected to, but Queen was the one that always resonated, I loved her. It was arrogant, but not in a bad way, it was just very fantastic. I was thinking that Freddie Mercury is like the king of the world and wouldn't it be great to be the king of the world? I guess maybe as early as like two or three, I was influenced by that idea of just performing and playing music and doing that sort of thing for the job as it were. And I guess that never went away, that desire never really went away, so fast forward many, many, many years later and we're doing it with a singer and a band. I'm definitely not Freddie Mercury, but I'm doing my best impression. With our conga and moustache.