The following is a presentation of TFNN. The morning markets kickoff with your host, Tommy O'Brien. Good Wednesday morning, everybody. I'm Tommy O'Brien, coming to you live from TFNN just after 9 a.m. Eastern Time. We got about 24 minutes to go until the start of trading. And believe it or not, folks, we got a little bit of red on the board. Nothing to be too alarmed about. You check out this acceleration, right? Usually, I'm kicking things off with a 15-minute chart, maybe a 5-minute chart, maybe a 10-minute chart. Today we're on a daily, because it just does not stop man yesterday. We make a high of $48.21 technically overnight, $48.24, we've backed off a bit. But I was looking at this morning, we're talking about almost a two-month trip to higher prices, and it's been a one-way trip. I mean, how much heat did you ever have to take in this rally? And you're talking about a rally that's 700 points in the S&P. And realistically, the biggest pullback you can find is about 50 to 60 points. I mean, this might be it, $46.07 down to $45.48, yeah, 59 points. What did we get on that first installment for a pullback? We got to a high of $44.13 and got down to $43.54, pretty similar, right? 60 to 70 points. It just keeps going. What I also found interesting is, when I was looking at this initially, you got the pullback from October 17th to October 27th, everything changed. The market takes off. The 1 to 1.618 expansion, you built a slight base there, but boy, we're going after the 1 to 2.618 expansion is $49.07. It's been a one-way trip. Not often does that level of the Fibonacci expansion show up on my charts, and there it is. And yeah, will it stop there? 5,000, 5,000, man, within 190 points of the S&Ps. And we just traded up 700 points. Dow, off by 43 right now. Let's get back to a 15-minute chart.  We make highs. Dow, 17,000. Excuse me, NASDAQ 100. NASDAQ 100, 17,000. Pretty remarkable, man. We're off by a quarter percent in the NASDAQ 100. You're off by about a quarter percent in the Dow. The Dow makes it to almost 50 points away from 38,000. Think about these round numbers we got coming. 40,000 in the Dow, potentially. 5,000 in the S&P. Those are some nice round numbers to quote our man, Basil Chapman, who's got an outstanding webinar coming up tonight for opening call subscribers. We'll talk about that later in the program. But folks, these subscriber webinars that all of our newsletter writers host do, I encourage you to sign up for their newsletter, go to the webinar. It's archived. You get Basil's outstanding opening call for a full month. You'll gain access to his update that he puts out for subscribers. This morning, of course, you'll get the newsletter for a month. You attend the webinar tonight. And the newsletters come with a 30-day money-back guarantee. It's the best deal around, man. So check it out. If it's not for you, there's no shame.  When people cancel folks and they get a 30-day money-back guarantee, I'm the one saying thank you to them. Thank you for trying it, right? Basil's saying thank you for trying it. Thank you for attending my webinar. If it's not for you, I understand. I appreciate the opportunity. So feel no shame, man. Get in that webinar.  But I expect you will realize there is tremendous value to what Basil is doing tonight on that webinar. And it's so interesting, man. Basil was talking about, my dad was talking about last night on his show. He talked to Basil on his program yesterday. And my dad was talking about a firm. Now, a firm's got a deal going on. And it's pretty remarkable. I was looking at this chart. Man, you've got to go back. What are you having on a weekly? Yeah, a weekly. My goodness, it looked like a daily. From $176 to $8. Well, guess what, folks? If you were brave enough to buy that bottom, and boy, how do you catch a falling knife? But we're pushing $50 today. And what is Basil talking about? What is he talking about? Let's pull it up right now. Because I was listening to him last night. And it was so cool how it kind of coincided in terms of my dad talking about a firm, talking about it's trading higher on volume. You're getting that acceleration right now going on higher. $50.46. Today, you're up about $50 pennies. Now, the news on them yesterday is that they are doing a deal with Walmart. And they're going to offer pay-over-time service at Walmart's self-checkout kiosks. My dad said he was out there buying a pizza or something. And he had the option pop up. I mean, you're going to be at Walmart, Walmart. Unfortunately, lower on the socioeconomic totem pole as in people who don't have the ability to pay for it always right now. Seems like a firm might get some action there. Walmart, there's only one Walmart. But what Basil was talking about, what he is going to be talking about tonight, which was so cool how my dad talked about a firm. Look at this. And this is what could possibly, my dad's saying, ABC is everywhere, right? It is remarkable when you look at it. What can carry this market higher? There are a tremendous amount of stocks that have not participated in the all-time high rallies. Disney comes to mind. A firm comes to mind. There's too many to name, right? Sectors and stocks just coming off major 2023 lows. What was this thing trading at in 2023? $8.80. That was the low to kick off the week. We're at $50. Folks, check out Basil's webinar tonight. Sectors and stocks just coming off major 2023 lows, ready for even more upside action. That's a, yeah, this is one of those equities, man. Look at this equity coming off the lows, ready for even more upside action. Now, I don't know if he's going to be talking about a firm in the webinar tonight, okay? But I thought it was awesome how my dad was talking about a firm. He talks to Basil. That's a, yeah, check out this stock, man. You know, there are many stocks that have made these lows last year that are ready for even more. And coming off those lows, but boy, you look at that, right? Pretty remarkable. Disney, they don't have that acceleration just yet, man. Down from 203, just one of the stocks that comes to mind, making some pretty dramatic lows of 78. We'll see what Basil has to talk about tonight. His show, of course, is coming up next, but check him out, folks, tonight at four o'clock. That's going to be an awesome webinar, and I just think it sets up so well on the timing of things. So there's his webinar. The opening call newsletter by Basil Chapman. Sectors and stocks just coming off major 2023 lows, ready for even more upside action. You get 90 minutes with Basil tonight from Fortale 530. It will be archived, so check that out on the front page of TFNN.com and, hopefully, for all of you that got those Tiger Dollars out there, you can take those Tiger Dollars, apply them to Basil's opening call, subscriber webinar, and best part, you still get a 30-day money back guarantee, folks. If you're not into it, you don't think it's going to provide the value. Maybe you just don't have the time. Whatever it is, we refund the Tiger Dollars, you get to use those however you want going forward. So it's a good deal. Check that out. Tonight, four o'clock, our man, Basil. December 20th, folks, you got five days. Pretty remarkable. All right, what else have we got going on today? Let's see. Where are we going to kick things off? Let's kick it off with yields. Got one headline up there, 3.88. That's what I'm seeing on my charts, man. The yield on the 10-year, there's your five-minute basis. Chopping around a bit, but we are up by nine ticks at 112.23 right now. The yield on the 10-year, you put it back on a 15-minute. You see the acceleration last Wednesday, and yeah, we are dealing. Let me pull it up exactly right now. Oh, I lost myself a bit. Okay, I'll pull it up. I'm pretty sure we're sitting at 3.88 or 3.89% the yield on that 10-year. So much for 5%, and you put this thing on a daily, crossing the 618. That's quite a move away from that. Where are we going? Probably going to 116.18, man. And props to my dad for calling it, man. When this move started, it wasn't gonna stop. When they made that shift, when they hinted, when the futures went through the roof for swaps for the much cut, I have to recalibrate my brain talking about cuts versus hikes, right? We'll see where we go, but what do we got this morning, folks? We got lower yields coming at you. Jump over to the dollar index as we come into the 915 break. Dollar index, positive by about three pennies chopping around 102.20. How about the VIX? Well, 27 on the VIX. Mark with the negative territory. We're gonna talk about Wednesday. We'll take a look at some good news, drive with the open, we'll be right back. Tiss the season for leveling up your trading skills. Basil Chapman is happy to offer all opening call subscribers a free subscriber webinar Wednesday, December 20th, 4 p.m. to 5.30 p.m. Eastern. Basil Chapman will be discussing major sectors and stocks that are coming off their lows in order to prepare your portfolio for 2024. This is a free webinar for all opening call subscribers. If you are not yet a subscriber, visit the front page of TFNN.com today to secure your spot for Wednesday, December 20th. TFNN, educating investors. If you're looking for potential trading setups in the stock market, then Rocket Equities and Options Report is a newsletter you should try. Tommy O'Brien delivers options and equity trades when the markets present them using a combination of fundamentals and technicals. Sign up for Rocket Equities and Options Report today with a 30-day money-back guarantee so you have nothing to risk. For all the details and to start your subscription today, visit the front page of TFNN.com. TFNN, educating investors. Everything in the universe is governed by the Fibonacci sequence. This mathematical principle is responsible for everything from the most aesthetically pleasing artwork to patterns in the stock market. To stay on top of stock patterns you can take advantage of, sign up for the Fibonacci 24-7 newsletter at TFNN.com. When you subscribe, you'll get a weekly report from veteran day trader Larry Pezzavento on stocks you need to pay attention to and you can trust Larry's analysis. After all, he's got 45 years experience as a day trader. Larry will also provide daily charts, videos and data on the key markets that he's tracking. Expect notifications from Larry on market movement you need to act on at any time. 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At TFNN, all our newsletters come with a 30-day money-back guarantee so you have absolutely nothing to worry about. Visit TFNN.com and try Mastering Probability for 30 days risk-free today. TFNN, educating investors. Welcome back, folks. We have the market slightly in red territory. We're taking a look at Crude right now. Crude up a dollar, trading at $74.89 right now. You put this thing back on a daily basis. You see the acceleration off the lows. We make a low a week ago, $67.71. We'll be talking to our man, Teddy Kakesette, coming up at 40 past the hour today. In about 20 minutes, always a good conversation. We'll talk a little bit of Crude. Crude, $75 almost and you jump around. Pretty remarkable what's going on in terms of geopolitical across the world. So you got Red Sea, shipping risks, dog global trade, vessels shunning the Red Sea and that having to do with the US weighing whether to attack the Houthi rebels in Yemen and how that may impact things. Now you look at this, right? You're talking about, where was I reading it? Was it 14%? I was just reading this. The Red Sea is one of the world's most important shipping lanes carrying about 14% of global maritime trade and the industry is bracing for weeks without its most important trade route as the US and its allies consider military strikes against those rebels in Yemen. And they've been targeting commercial ships after a wave of attacks prompted a number of major companies to reroute their vessels around the southern tip of Africa. So what's it gonna be? Higher shipping costs, longer delivery times, driving up the price of goods. The chairman of apologize spit out his morning coffee and bringing a new inflation risk to the economy. There are still hopes that this diplomatic channels will be enough to prevent the closure. We'll see if that happens. You talk a little bit of inflation. We'll talk to our man Teddy about this as well. UK inflation slowing more than forecast, CPI in the UK, 3.9% the lowest since September of 2021, we'll jump over the pound in a moment but you get the pound falling as figures if you will hope for a pivot by the Bank of England. Now it's interesting. And Teddy always talks about this, man. So what's that doing to the pound? That's driving the pound lower. Okay, you drive from 127 down to 126. What's gonna happen? You're gonna have rates come down in the pound US dollar. You're gonna have a weaker pound. Excuse me. You're gonna have rates come down in the UK.  So we'll talk about some of that but it continues in the worldwide front. You jump over the dollar index and not as big of a reaction on that dollar index, right? Interesting. We jump over to the Euro US dollar. See how that's moving on some of that news. You see the volatility. We're kind of right back to where we were even last night, right back to almost where we were trading yesterday at about one o'clock and pretty much where we were about 24 hours ago for the Euro US dollar right now. Yeah, and look at how. It's pretty remarkable, man. So I was just pulling up. I mean, look at this Red Sea and Yemen, right? That waterway, the waterways. The waterways used to control the world, man, with trade. Not so much the case anymore but that's an important one. Keep your eyes on that one, man. When you talk about shipping, you talk about crude, you talk about inflation risks, et cetera. All right, what else have we got going on before we come in? We got nine minutes to go into the opening bell. Yeah, let's talk a little bit of FedEx. Why not? So FedEx tumbles lower last night. It's gonna cost more money. Shouldn't be surprising as they were talking about in the den last night, man. I was talking about that UPS deal yesterday. Just the perspective of that UPS deal and the numbers and how much money you actually need to provide a median quality of living almost right now. FedEx, you're gonna open down 30 bucks, man. That's a 10% drop. You drop immediately on the numbers to 260. You dropped to 239 this morning at 630. A little bit of volatility and a little bit of selling. 57,000 shares at 640 in the morning. We'll drive some of the action. You see, right? These are five minute bars. Most five minute bars prior to the market, you got 2,000 shares getting traded. You got 9,000, you got 4,000. 57,000 was a sell there at 251. You're sitting at 248 right now for FedEx. And we jump over to FedEx. Weaker demand here with the revenue outlook. Results fall short of estimates. Lower demand. Lower full year sales outlook. It's a tough one, man. Earnings for a share, 399 versus 418 revenue. They miss as well 2217 versus 2241, 22.17 billion, that is net income 900 million for that 90 days or 355 a share versus 788. Yeah, and they're gonna have some different. We'll see what happens, man. You have waning demand. We expect revenue to continue to be pressured by volatile macroeconomic conditions, negatively affecting customer demand for our services across our transportation companies. That should be startling. And it is to the market when you get a company like FedEx that's trading off 10%. Take a look at this thing longer term. Where are we open in 250 or so? I mean, all things considered. You started the year at almost 180. You're sitting at 250 even after these numbers. But be careful on this because this thing has some room, man. And if they're seeing something the market isn't seeing right now. Yeah, we're gonna open at 250. So all things considered, right? Keep your eye on that because they had some strong words, man. You gotta listen to those strong words because that's the last thing that people wanna say, man. For the remainder of the year, we expect revenue to be pressured, negatively impacting customer demand. I mean, we saw it. A demand problem is a big problem, folks. Tesla had a supply problem for a long time and yes, they had some cash crunches, but as long as it was a supply problem and there was always demand, there was never that big of a worry. Remember when Elon transitioned to price cuts across the board, they have a little bit of a demand problem right now. Otherwise, they wouldn't be cutting prices. That's spooked investors just a bit. FedEx, they have a demand problem and that's what they're telling you, man. UPS shares, they're gonna open down six bucks on that news. Yeah, there you go from 162 to 156 right now. And UPS, well off the highs at 233. And this is one of the interesting things, right? We are pushing remarkable highs right now, but it is again, driven by the biggest stocks out there, man. You got Apple shares, 196, 94 yesterday. We're off a bit. Let's see how some of the things, let's put it back to a five minute.  I think, what was that? Was that on the, I don't know. We got a little bit of a drop off last night from where we were just on negative market action from 196.80 to about 196.12. You can jump over to Nvidia shares. Nvidia makes a high of 504 on Monday. We're trading at 493 right now. You jump over to Microsoft shares. Man, Microsoft, they meant so strong. Microsoft trading at 374, just off the high of 384. Google. I mean, what happened to Google being the dog? They are pushing all time highs as well at 138.10. We jump over to Tesla shares. Tesla back a bit 256. We jump over to Walmart. I was in a Walmart yesterday. It is an interesting store. We'll say that. Great prices though, man. And in this environment, everyone's trying to save money. Man, everyone's trying to save money. We had this consolidation at the highs of 2020, right? You hit COVID hits. Walmart comes down to 102. You chop around for a bit from about 133 to 153 on Walmart shares. That might give you a little bit of a support area. Where's an area of... TFNN has just launched their new trading room, the Tiger's Den, hosted at Discord. TFNN has been educating traders for more than 20 years with live programming hosted by a variety of professional traders during market hours. And now they are expanding their reach with the Tiger's Den, available to all Tigers and Tigresses for just $1 for the year. There's no catch or added costs when you join our community of traders. In the Tiger's Den, you can look over the shoulders of Tom O'Brien and the other TFNN hosts while they analyze charts during their live Tiger TV programs and join an interactive trading community with hundreds of members exchanging ideas. They interact with other Tigers and Tigresses as they share trading ideas, news analysis, and discuss the market action all trading day, even at night and on the weekends. The Tiger's Den at Discord is accessible on mobile or tablets as well. So it's always at your reach. To sign up today and become a part of this educational community of traders, just visit the front page of TFNN.com. Currencies, commodities and bond markets are as important as ever right now with how they're driving the volatility in equity markets across the globe, which is why it's a great time to try out Teddy Kegstad's Tiger Forex Report. Teddy Kegstad breaks down the forex markets every Monday using his 30 plus years of experience as a trading veteran of futures, forex, stocks, and options. Teddy releases his weekly Tiger Forex Report every Monday morning with coverage of all the major currency pairs, including the Dollar Index, the Euro Dollar, Pound Dollar, Dollar Swiss, Dollar Yen, as well as many more. And he also has weekly coverage of the crude oil market and the 30 year T-bonds as they both influence forex markets tremendously. 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Don't miss out on this opportunity to supercharge your trading results. Market Insights comes with a 30 day money back guarantee for all new subscribers, so you have nothing to risk. Don't miss out on this opportunity to revolutionize your trading game. Head over to TFNN.com right now to join the thousands of traders who have already experienced the power of Tom O'Brien's award-winning newsletter, Market Insights firsthand. TFNN, educating investors. Don't forget, you can listen to TFNN live on your mobile device 24 hours per day. Go to TFNN.com and hit Watch Tiger TV. That's TFNN.com and hit Watch Tiger TV. Welcome back, folks. We've got markets open. You're looking at an S&P down by 10 points, trading at 48.10 right now. You're looking at an Aztec 100, negative by 38, Dow off by 99, the Russell off by 12. We jump over to yields right now. Take a look at the tenure. You're positive by seven ticks, but we give back some of that game. We were just trading at 112.25 or at 112.21 right now and jumping around on this story. I was checking out. So Bloomberg talks about the massive fund traders, excuse me, the hedge fund traders dominating a massive bet on bonds. And so what they're doing is, this is the basis trade, okay? It's a bet basically between the treasury price and the futures for those treasuries that are usually just off by a couple basis points. And they're clipping those couple basis points by using leverage that is sometimes 50 times the money they're putting up. They profit from the tiny price gaps between treasuries and derivatives known as futures, okay? 10 or so firms, 50 times what they invest themselves using leverage, using tens of billions of dollars into the trade to supercharge the returns. And what it talks about here is that these few firms, okay, estimate they account for roughly 70% of hedge fund basis trade bets, they're huge, okay? And what the market's a little worried about right now is that they are so big to the treasury market which has ballooned to a $26 trillion market, okay? That they threaten the orderly running of the treasury market if regulators crack down too hard. Think about the position you're in, right? You're already in a losing proposition. The whole point is to make sure that nobody is too large to fail, okay? Once they get there, then it's a problem. And it seems like this article saying they pretty much have gotten there. They crack down too hard and they could threaten the orderly running of the treasury market, go too easy and there's a threat of too much financial leverage building up at these hedge funds. The size of the trader's positions means the Fed may have to intervene if they hit trouble again. Because why? Because they're too big to fail. For a market that's necessary for the $26 trillion treasury market. Pretty remarkable. The gap is usually a mere fractions of a penny, only worth doing at scale and ramping up returns through the use of leverage. Yeah, pretty remarkable, man. But you wanna talk about how much money they make. Eight or fewer traders are behind almost half of all bets made against two year treasury futures. Four traders are left. Four traders or less account for one out of three dollars in that market. Just amazing, man. Now, who's defending that trade? Ken Griffin? You say not. I don't believe it. Defenders of the trade such as Citadel's Ken Griffin, the king market maker of all, says the enormous volume of buying and selling by hedge funds means they're helping the market stay efficient. True. Completely true. But the other side of that is that they're too big to fail. Banks used to perform this critical market making role to have retreated because of new leverage rules imposed after the financial crisis. So what happened? Banks got out of it. Hedge funds got into it. They're now the ones that are too big to fail and we're gonna have to bail them out if something goes wrong. And folks, when you're using 50 times leverage and you're using it to make fractions of a penny, you have to understand that there's always risks there. If it was free money, it would be free. It's not free. There's an outlier risk is what happens, right? And if that ever would have hit, it would be a problem, man. Yeah, look at this, man. One team generated $1.5 billion in profit in 2020 and that year's basis trade contributed a billion dollars alone, man. Yeah, and guess what? The 2020 episode may have fed a belief among some of the group that the central bank will always ride to the rescue. Market participants say there's an implicit fed put. That's the last thing you wanna hear, man. And then you talk about Lehman routes all the way. Gotta love it. And what they talk about, they link to this article, which is from last week, talking about that the SEC is gonna mandate to centrally clear US Treasury trades. They're gonna try and increase those regulations, but you see what's gonna happen here. They already let them get structurally important to the market and then it's very difficult to pull that back, as we know. Mortgage demand, slipping another drop in despite another drop in interest rates. Maybe there's just a little bit of lag here. That would be my anticipation because boy, it's just gonna keep going, man. 6.83%, you kidding me, man? 6.83, we might see 6.5 before you know it. We might see six. We just dropped from above 5% in the 10 year to 3.89, something like that. Yeah, so keep your eye on that one, but nonetheless, you get a little bit of a pullback. 6.83% is the number of points increasing to 0.6. That's with the loan putting down 20%. Applications to refinance a home drop 2% for the week, 18% higher from the same week one year ago. And for a mortgage to purchase a home declined 1% for the week, 18% lower. That's gonna change with these interest rates, man. There's no way it's not. It's too big of a move. It impacts the monthly payment too large to not see anybody on the edge saying, you know what, we're close enough. I feel like we're still gonna go down. I can always refinance. In worst case scenario, I'm in at 6.8% right now. Better than 8%, man. So the mortgage association expects its mortgage origination volume to increase 22% in 2024 to $2 trillion with a 14% rise in purchase volume and a 56% jump in refinance demand. Now I always say it, percentages on small numbers can be deceiving. Refinance demand has been extremely low for obvious reasons. So yes, the percentage rise is gonna be dramatic once we get a reprieve possibly from these high rates. All right, what else are we gonna jump to here? Yeah, we talked a little bit of UK inflation. We're talking to our man, Teddy Kegstad in about five minutes coming up after the next break. So we'll take a look at that. And we got the S&Ps off about seven. Let's see how some of the equities are moving this morning making news. We jump over to FedEx shares. They claw back some of those losses, but still down 10%. Double digit loss, $28.36 is what they're trading to the lower off 10% on the dot right now. We jump over to UPS shares.  So the market thinks that FedEx has a problem, man, versus even UPS. With that said, we took a look, right? UPS has been trading lower, man. UPS started off the year at 178, we're at 158. FedEx started the year off at 180, we're at 250. A little bit of a different story there in terms of where they are in their trading patterns. The S&Ps, we're at all time highs. You gotta love it. Tim was talking, my dad was talking to Tim Ortt yesterday too and they were talking about that Christmas rally, the Santa Claus rally. I mean, we're coming into the end of the year, man. Gonna be interesting to see how this market reacts when we reach the first, after the first. Is anybody waiting for tax selling here? Not as much of an incentive to get out of the market right now when you're only getting 3.8% versus a free 5%. So what do you do? You keep it at stocks, you go to a little fixed income, you take some of those profits after the first of the year to delay your taxes, we will find out. All right, as we come into the break right now, we're gonna jump to some of the action in a pound. Yeah, they're clawing it back a little bit as well. 126.72 right now in the pound. We got crew trading higher, 75, 21. Stay tuned folks, we're coming back with our Antenna cake stat. We'll talk some more, talk some commodities, we'll go in, right. TFNN has just launched their new trading room, the Tiger's End, hosted at Discord. TFNN has been educating traders for more than 20 years with live programming hosted by a variety of professional traders during market hours. And now they are expanding their reach with the Tiger's End, available to all tigers and tigers for just $1 for the year. There's no catch or added costs when you join our community of traders. In the Tiger's End, you can look over the shoulders of Tom O'Brien and the other TFNN hosts while they analyze charts during their live Tiger TV programs and join an interactive trading community with hundreds of members exchanging ideas, interact with other tigers and tigers as they share trading ideas, news analysis, and discuss the market action all trading day, even at night and on the weekends. The Tiger's End at Discord is accessible on mobile or tablets as well. So it's always at your reach. To sign up today and become a part of this educational community of traders, just visit the front page of TFNN.com. You might think that if you want to be successful at trading in the stock market, you're going to need a crystal ball. After all, it's impossible to predict the future, right? Like any endeavor in life, before you decide it's impossible, get some advice from the experts. You might find that it's not so impossible after all. For daily market overviews that give you direction on the key indices, selective stocks, and commodities, subscribe to the opening call newsletter at TFNN.com. The opening call newsletter is written by Basil Chapman, creator of the trading methodology known as the Chapman Wave. The Chapman Wave up-down sequence gives you an edge in identifying price turns, finding the peaks and valleys in stock prices.  First-time subscribers also get a 30-day money-back guarantee. 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This program is brought to you by Vista Gold, traded on the NYSE American and TSX under the symbol VGZ. Welcome back, folks. We got the S&Ps off by about five points right now. We'll catch a little bit of a bid on the open. We got the S&Ps down by five. We're trading at 48.14. We jump over to the Dollar Index, DXY. Trading right now, basically flat. We pull back a bid on the open, 102.22, to talk about some of the market action in forex and commodities. Let's jump over to our man, Teddy Kegstad. Folks, you can check out Teddy's outstanding Tiger Forex report. He's got new issues every Monday, updates throughout the week when warranted. That's right under the newsletter tab at TFNN. He's got a couple of outstanding webinars that you can check out on the services tab as well. We're coming into the holiday season. You might have a couple extra days. Maybe your home just relaxing. Don't forget about those. Head on over to TFNN. You can check out those webinars right under the services tab. Teddy Kegstad, quite a market we got going on. Good morning. Absolutely. Where would you like to start? Oh boy. You wanna start with yields? We talked a little about the 10 year last week. We're under 3.9%. And it looks like it's not stopping anytime soon, man. What do you think of the market action? And yeah, let's start there if we could. Sure, sure. Well, I like the right now where we're at right now as far as with the yields. I think that obviously yields are gonna be a very big topic with what's going on with England as well. So, but I think right now our numbers, like we've been talking about this are, even though they're tracking in the direction where they want it to be, now they're talking about a soft landing and what have you. Remember that the original plan by the Fed was for us to have a recession. Even though we all Americans will say we've been in one, they said we have not been in one. So for us to have a soft landing, a soft landing isn't what they're looking for for one. Unemployment still I think is way too low for their original targets. They're looking, they want higher unemployment. So unless they're really going to shift their narrative and their strategy, which is what the original set out to do their premise, I think that we're still on, we're gonna holding pattern with them. I think we're hitting the extremes. Do I think yields can go lower overall? I think that's gonna be the trend with the election year, but I still think we still have a chance of getting them popped yet, one more time. I think that the news is trying to force the Fed's arm and I'm sure that there's a lot of pressure from the government as well to like at least stop raising rates for the next like six to eight months at least or even more going into the election, I would think. So, but the question is, are they gonna hold firm? And I think we still have to watch the numbers. There's a lot of things that could cause inflation to come spiking back again. So, I mean, what happens with, I mean, this thing that's going on in Yemen with crude, we touched on this a couple of weeks ago. Remember, when a couple of weeks ago, I said, did you just hear about this, these ships that have been attacked? And just yesterday alone, you had five or six of the major shipping companies that go through that area say they are no longer going to go there at all.  I mean, I don't know how many companies run major shipping out there, but I know that when it comes to that area of the world, it's not that many. So, if they're not gonna go there, what does that do to international trade? You know, you're gonna see a lot of disruptions on a commodity scale especially. And that's gonna affect the currency markets as well. Yeah, some like 14% of global maritime trade or something like that, which is just a remarkable number, swings around that corner. And yeah, it seems like it's a business, right? They're sending employees around there and I think it probably reached the point. Being on those ships, imagine, they're people, they got families, man, they're employees at some point, it probably just reached that point, right? Where it's like, man, the company's probably even just from a liability perspective at some point, just too dangerous and yeah, pretty remarkable. And we know geopolitical tensions, man, they can cause some headaches and we got crewed up to 75. Maybe that's a headway, segue to crude. I got crewed up here. A little bit of a rise on some of that geopolitical risk, but maybe just a little bit of a reprieve of the pullback we got. What do you think of crewed at $75 right now? I, you know what, actually, from the Tiger Forex report, I had crude going up into the 75, just over a $75 mark for the upward correction off the lows. That's a key area. If this trend is gonna remain the trend and hold the channel, then we should see the market sell off from this area over the next couple of sessions or at least start to go sideways. If we can sustain a trade above 75, that breaks the channel of the current downtrend and that puts us into what could be a big range trade, where we established a low. I was saying already for weeks that I think that this lower, it's about $70 is about as low as you're gonna see in the oil market. I think you're gonna see a big range trade, especially between 70 and 90 over the next probably four to five months as we get through the winter time. But things like this could spark something totally different. Because now how does that oil get to places like Israel? Then you have cost to carry that gets affected. Then you have inventory builds up, build ups. So short run, could it be bearish oil? Absolutely. I wouldn't be too quick to jump on a major bull bandwagon, but we don't know how these tensions are gonna rise. Yemen is just one spot. If it keeps on growing, historically revolutions, they spark and they go global. Doesn't matter what period of history you're in. And right now we're in a major revolutionary period globally and it seems that fire, that spark is not going away. And I think that if that's the case, if history proves that way, that we're gonna be in for a lot more of this kind of turmoil in the Middle East and around those areas. Most people don't think how that affects our trade, but it really does. And it's gonna affect yields, it's gonna affect currencies, it's gonna affect commodities, which is good for us as traders. But I like when we have trends that are established because of better reasons and more. So, honestly. Yes, for sure. And then you throw in that, those are Iran-backed rebels, right? So it's like we know Iran gets in the mix that causes some possible escalations, for sure. Sure, sure. You wanna talk a little bit about the UK and their inflation? Because we got the pound for the women today, that was out last night, right? And how that plays into things. Looks like they got some lower numbers as well, kind of jiving what's going on here so far, at least for the meantime. Yeah, and that plays into, with the Tiger Forex support, I mentioned how last week's high was kind of a critical area. So I have that as an upside breakout level to keep the trend going, which right now is more of a correction. They've been rallying since October, we haven't had any really severe pullbacks, okay? But now we have a fundamental reason for the trend to change because the Bank of England is not gonna be on a raising basis, obviously. Are they gonna be quick to start cutting rates? Well, that's a whole nother question. Are they gonna be ahead of us? I would believe so. So I think that the narrative alone is enough to kind of put us where right now you've probably seen in a cap in the pound US dollar and I'm not trying to click the top from last week. However, I would say that the 125.95 area, 126 even area in the pound, that's a big directional area. So I think we could see a dip below that, chop around that, because we're heading into the holidays. So be cautious over the next week and a half, two weeks. It could take until January for things to really start moving again. But I could see us get below that area and then probably get down to the 124 to 12320, 2330 area for a correction. And that would be just the correct to move off of the current uptrend. So that would be like a nice technical sell-off area. Now, if the trend changes fundamentally, then that would be the area if we fall below that. Well, look out below, baby, we're gonna see a real big trend move down to the downside in the pound, US dollar. So, and that could see us down at the 120 level, 118 area, which I think is very, very plausible. And that's without us continuing to raise rates either. This is just by us not doing anything. So, and I think that that's, if there's gonna be a mark at the trade, look for some big swings in the pound for sure over the next four or five months. The Euro, I think it's gonna be a little bit tighter of a trade though, so be cautious with that. Nice. Man, yeah, in that 118, that's where we're on March. So it's not bonkers. Pretty remarkable the volatility in that pound dollar. Teddy, I appreciate it as always, man. Have a great Christmas, have a great weekend. Merry Christmas to all you guys. Merry Christmas, man. We'll talk to you next week, okay? Thanks. Okay, have a great one. We'll be right back, folks. Stay tuned. Test the season for leveling up your trading skills. 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A must-have tool for every trader out there striving to find an edge in today's markets, tfnn newsletters cover every aspect of the markets so you can analyze the market before you trade. Try any of our great newsletters risk-free with our 30-day money-back guarantee. Just visit the Newsletters tab on the front page of tfnn.com tfnn Educating Investors Don't forget, you can listen to tfnn live on your mobile device 24 hours per day. Go to tfnn.com and hit Watch Tiger TV. That's tfnn.com and hit Watch Tiger TV. Folks, we got the S&Ps. They're trying to turn green the whole market. NASDAQ 100 is trying to turn green as well. We're back above 17,000. NASDAQ 100, you got the S&Ps off by just three points. Counted them during the break and we've only had nine red days since this market took off in October. Only nine red days. Pretty remarkable when you put it that way. Now, that's red bars, which have the low to the high, the open to the close. I'm not sure if maybe we got some higher opens, etc. that turned into red or what it not, but nonetheless, man, even today, even today's candle. Oh, no, that's not today. What is that? How did that happen? Yeah, today's candle is slightly in the red, but you're talking about nine days. Pretty remarkable. Even that run that we've had since December 7th. No red days until today. Excuse me, December 7th. Last couple of weeks, no red days since that acceleration. Pretty remarkable. And yeah, we'll finish it up with this one. Why not? 100 container ships, man, talking about that red sea out there. Now, Bloomberg's got out there. I think it was an opinion piece, is it? No, it was their energy daily newsletter. I guess I was reading earlier. One of their newsletters, the red sea oil panic is overblown despite the waterways renewing importance. Global crude flows may not be hit nearly as hard as feared. That one's out this morning by Julian Lee, not familiar, but nonetheless, 100 container ships, man, rerouted. Oil prices are rising as ships avoid the key transit route. And the US is talking to allies about how to prevent those rebel attacks that are backed by Iran. So watch out for that one. Watch out for crude. And don't forget, folks, Basel Chapman's coming up next. You got three minutes until he does the 10 o'clock update. Head on over to the front page of TFNN. You'll see the opening call of a subscriber webinar tonight. You heard him, man. Sectors and stocks just coming off major 2023 lows ready for even more upside action. I listened to him yesterday, listened to him on my dad's show last night. I can't wait to see what kind of equities he has out there. Coming off those major 2023 lows and ready for even more upside action. Sign up, folks, for Basel tonight. Listen to his program. Coming up next, talk to you tomorrow.


The panel will be on Pediatric Ethics and it will be moderated by Dr. Laney Ross. Dr. Ross is the Carolyn and Matthew Bucksbaum Professor of Clinical Medical Ethics and a Professor of Pediatrics, Medicine and Surgery. Laney is also an Associate Director of the McClean Center and the Co-Director of the Institute for Translational Medicine. Laney Ross is the co-author of four books and many, many peer-reviewed papers on ethical issues in Peds Ethics and Transplant, Human Subject Protection, Genetic Testing. Dr. Ross has been the recipient of many honors including a John Simon Guggenheim Memorial Foundation fellowship and a William Bartholomew Award in Ethical Excellence from the American Academy of Pediatrics. Dr. Ross just completed a term on the board of the Directors of the American Society of Biorethics and Humanities and his Chair of the NIH Special Emphasis Panel on Societal and Ethical Issues in Research. Laney is on many editorial boards in addition to moderating today's panel on Pediatrics and Family. At the beginning of the panel, Dr. Ross will present a talk entitled Why We Are Still Not Ready to Incorporate Sequencing into Newborn Screening Programs. Please join me in warmly welcoming Dr. Laney Ross. Dr. G. E. M. Rysselmeyer-Squibb. I didn't even know that G. E. did medical equipment. I thought it was dishwashers. And I will not discuss off-label uses. Can you hear me? Sequencing is and what it does discuss the controversies regarding the identification of the ACMG-59 and discuss the risks and benefits of sequencing of healthy populations such as newborns. So let me begin with what I'm even talking about. So just a quick overview of genetics versus genomics. So in high school we all learned about Punnett squares and Mendelian genetics and we learned one gene, one disease. And we've come to realize that that's oversimplistic. It's also not accurate because we have modified genes and the fact is that our genes interact with the environment. So now though instead of talking about the genetics, we're going to talk about all of our genes and it turns out we have a little bit less than 20,000 genes and that they make up about 3 billion base pairs. So if I talk about the fact that we're all 0.1% difference, there's a lot of differences when you think of 0.1 times 3 billion. The thing is that most of our genes are actually small. They're about 3KB. And so it turns out that a lot of the genome has nothing to do with the genes there. Well, they have something to do with genes but they have to do with regulation and other things that we don't even fully understand. But our genes only make up about a quarter of our whole genome. And we don't actually still, we used to call it the junk DNA when I was in medical school, we still don't fully understand what all the rest of the genome does. So the bottom line is that just because we know your genes doesn't we know your phenotype which is who you actually are and what health issues you actually do experience. So sequencing in general when we're going to look at a large number of those 3 billion base pairs we're going to usually do it because you have a specific problem and we're trying to understand what the cause was. Now as I've been trying to say your whole genome has a lot more information and it turns out it's not like looking at an x-ray where you can see the heart and the lung zone on picture. You actually have to go interrogating and specifically looking at different parts of the gene code if you want to try to figure out could this part, this gene be related? Because again it's not one gene equals one diseases. So when you're doing that though you may pick up what we call incidental findings which are health issues that may or may not be relevant to you because again your genotype doesn't equal your phenotype and maybe about health problems that you're not worried about. So I may be doing this work up because you have seizures and I may find that you have a gene for cancer type of things. So that's what we call either an incidental or secondary finding and then we have things called the variants of unknown significance. So remember I said that every gene is about 3,000 base pairs but the fact is is we can find a variation and then we don't know is that a health problem or is that just a normal variation? So that's what we mean by variants of unknown significance. So this idea that you could take a genetic diary, I could read your genetic code and know what you're going to eat for breakfast tomorrow or who you're going to vote for in the election is just not true. Okay so given that as our understanding of genetics I want to look at three different areas of sequencing that have become popularized now. The first is looking for these diagnostic unknowns, trying to understand why you have a particular health problem and then we'll talk about the ACMG and then finally sequencing children. So this is really exciting and it's only eight years ago that this is the first case report in the literature where sequencing actually helped reach a clinical diagnosis and actually changed medical treatment for a particular patient, in this case a child. So the child was a 15 month old who had the symptoms of what looked like Crohn's disease but way too young to have Crohn's disease and so they thought it was an immunodeficiency but all the workups they did were negative. And so then they did sequencing and they actually found a missense mutation so they found something wrong in a gene that actually could be related to Crohn's but actually because of the type of gene that it was the treatment would actually be a bone marrow transplant and they did the bone marrow transplant and the child can now eat and drink. So this was a child who was actually being G tube fed and IV fluids for the first 15 months of life and gets cured. So that's the incredible power of sequencing. Here's another study four years later which looked at again many different types of complicated diseases to try to see these are kids who had lots and lots of workups could we figure out what their health problem was if we did sequencing and what was important of the first 40 cases they were actually able to find explanations in 12 or in 30% of them the highest yield being in those who had complicated disabilities and anomalies as well as immunodeficiencies and what's important to know is that before they had done the sequencing many of these children had actually undergone lots of genetic tests and so one question is do you do five or six different genetic tests or do you just do sequencing as the first line which is going to be cheaper, which is going to be more efficient and the authors of this paper were trying to argue we should just be sequencing everybody because it'll be cheaper in the long run. But there's an important article that came out by Dr. Martis which points out that even if we can do your genome sequencing cheaply it's the interpretation that's really expensive so her article was entitled the $1,000 genome, the $100,000 analysis because what she pointed out were all the different healthcare providers and informaticians and all the other providers who had to be involved in order to try to interpret your genome so again it's not like just looking at an x-ray it's going to take a lot more work and so pointing out that it took molecular and computational biologists geneticists, pathologists and physicians with exquisite knowledge of the diseases and treatment modalities research nurses, genetic counselors, information technology and system support specialists among others and so her argument is that even if we make sequencing really cheap and we have, we're now under $1,000 a sequence it's not going to lead to availability and ability to do it in all different parts of the country and so her argument was sequencing is not ready to be a first line test the second ethical issue then is this concept of the ACMG-59 so the ACMG stands for the American College of Medical Genetics and Genomics and what's important is they gave some guidance on how we should deal with sequencing and in March of 2013 their first statement came out and they said that they recommend reporting of incidental findings so those findings and even if I'm looking to try to understand why you have seizures if I find cancer genes I should be reporting those but they went beyond that they actually didn't just say I should be reporting them they actually said I should be specifically looking for it so I need to interrogate all those aspects of the genome for these 56 at that time now 59 variants that could be related to cancer and they said we should do it regardless of whether the physician orders it and we should do it regardless of whether the patient wants to know this information and remember this information may be being obtained on some competent adult like you or me but it also may be being done on a child or even on a newborn and they called this what they called was opportunistic screening since we already have your sequence we can just do this and the critics called it a mandatory hunt it was mandatory to hunt for incidental findings or an oxymoron in terms so what were these 56 genes most of them are cancer or cardiac genes and virtually all of them only present in adulthood and in fact as I mentioned that in 2017 they added some genes and they actually removed one because they realized that it was less dominant than they thought so these are genes that they state are high-risk alleles and they are in high-risk populations so if you have a family history and you have one of these genes you're at high likelihood the fact is we have no idea how impactful they are in populations in the low-risk general population and so again the fight that ensued after this was it doesn't require consent of the ordering physician or of the patient and they kept saying well it's just like radiology since it's already there the American College of Medical Pathology said no it's going to take a lot of work and what you haven't even told us is who's going to pay for it and what do we do when we call up the ordering physician who said I didn't order that information I really don't want it and things of that sort and so and more concerning was there have been several studies now that have come out to show that those genes that are highly penetrant in high-risk populations tend to be much less penetrant in minority populations just because of genetic variants and so we may be doing a lot of harm without getting all the benefit as was hoped meanwhile so the geneticists, the ethicists, everyone was fighting there was a lot of pushback from many stakeholders and they actually the biggest fight actually came in pediatrics because the question is why are we testing children for adult onset disorders the ACMG had actually written a policy statement one month before they came out with this new statement working with the American Academy of Pediatrics saying we shouldn't be doing predictive genetic testing on children for conditions that are going to present in adulthood and the argument was that it was against the best interest of the child the ACMG said no no no we still affirm that you shouldn't do predictive genetic testing in families that expect it but these are unsuspecting patient participants this is the general population and maybe if you diagnose it you can then if you diagnose in the child you can then sort of go back figure out which parent has it and maybe you can save one of the parent's lives again assuming that this family is going to have a high-risk gene which we again know is not the case in the general population so they kept fighting and then they finally conceded that okay maybe people should be allowed to say no so they now said that patients and physicians can both refuse this type of testing but they still felt that if parents wanted it they should be allowed to test their children for adult onset conditions leaving them in a sense with two disjoint policy statements one saying you can test children for adult onset conditions and the other saying you can't just a few months ago they actually came out with another revision because this is still creating a lot of pushback and basically they've now come to acknowledge that how highly penetrant they are is really unknown in the general population and so that they're now only talking that you need to return these results in the clinical setting not necessarily in the research setting where there are many other objectives at stake and so they acknowledge in the absence of penetrance data that can only be obtained through robust genotype-phenotype correlation the medical ethical principle of non-maleficence should dominate of importance is in this correction update in 2019 nothing specifically written about the sequencing of children so why are the identification and reporting of the secondary findings so controversial in pediatrics as I've mentioned to the extent that we don't want to be testing children predictive testing for adult onset conditions so if you really want to know about the parents test the parents children do not need to be the canaries in the coal mine and it's sort of denying that the children has some right we could argue whether there is this notion of a right to an open future we could talk even about the child's right as an adult not to know disinformation many of us don't want to undergo sequencing ourselves and there's also the issue whether a child has a right to privacy even against his or her own parents about conditions that will not present until the child is an adult and so most of the ethicists have been writing against offering this mandatory hunt at least in the pediatric setting which gets to an interesting issue then so I'm now arguing against all the sequencing and yet we're now talking about sequencing newborns so the history of newborn screening is basically that in the beginning we added one disease and we had one test and then in the 1990s we developed something called tandem spectrometry which is a platform technology which means you can test for many different disorders at one time and sequencing in a sense is another platform technology you can look for a lot of different genes all at one time and because of all these new technologies we've come up with actually in 2005 they came up with something called the RUST the recommended uniform screening panel because before 2005 some states were testing for only four or five conditions of childhood in the newborn screening panel and other states were testing for as many as 40 so to create some equity we decided we would all screen at least for the same ones although some states including Illinois test for even more than on the recommended uniform screening panel meanwhile at the same time the National Institute of Childhood Health and Human Development decided to actually give money $25 million over five years to look at the question of what are the benefits of doing sequencing of newborns I've already been pretty critical of it but meanwhile as I said they funded different type of studies some looking at healthy kids, some looking at sick kids some trying to see could we actually pick up the same diseases that we're doing by picking it up with other platforms and the answer was no and things of that sort but here's the problem with doing whole genome sequencing and a healthy person so I'm going to give you one that comes from the literature of a healthy person and the first two things you're going to see are circled are really irrelevant in telling us about an antigen that they have and another aspect which you'll also notice if you follow the asterisk it says that the coverage was very low so probably inaccurate and what it means by coverage we actually don't read the 3 billion base pairs like from left to right and keep reading it's not like a book you actually take out pieces and then you combine them together and you want to get overlap to make sure that you have accuracy and that you're putting the base pairs in the right order in the second one they now had enough coverage they thought these were accurate and they were able to find in this healthy person two homozygous meaning that they had two abnormal genes which would mean in an autosomal recessive condition that they most likely have this disorder and the two that they found were cocaine syndrome which is failure to thrive, microcephaly and cognitive disability and the other one they found was Usher syndrome which was type 1b which is associated with deafness progressive vision loss so as you're reading this think about whether we did this as a newborn think about whether we did it prenatally or think about whether we did it on a healthy adult like James Watson the Nobel Laureate this is his genome that was published in the journal Nature so to be fair Watson's genome was sequenced at a time that we didn't have as powerful technologies that we do now so if we redid James Watson's sequencing I don't think we'd necessarily find Usher syndrome and cocaine syndrome but the fact is is that it still gets to the point that even if we did it doesn't matter he is neither deaf nor blind nor does he have microcephaly which is associated with cognitive disabilities as a Nobel Laureate so we know that genotype doesn't equal phenotype and yet decisions will need to be made if we do it in a newborn based on genotype without really knowing what the child's future health really will pretend so there's a real serious potential for over treatment for creating patients and waiting where parents know that their child's at risk for this disease and waiting for this in the sense the second shoe to drop there's the potential for stigma and labeling would James Watson if he didn't speak in nine months his first word would be worrying about cognitive disabilities and things of that and there's also actually believe it or not the possibility for misdiagnosis because the way we read sequencing there's certain types of genetic information that we actually are unlikely to pick up so my concluding remarks are we're not ready for genomic sequencing of children let alone of newborns we should only do sequencing in children for cause and we should not be offering parents the option of receiving these adult onset information unless the condition is known to present in childhood thank you very much since I get to supervise myself I'll take questions the final findings that are coming up the 23 and me have lots of implications for young parents and I've got to have a tall child, a short child that's actually just retarded what is the society thinking through on that recovery well I mean 23 and me claims that you're supposed to be an adult to give your samples now parents can give their child samples we also really aren't at all close to doing a lot of the phenotypic descriptions you just said it turns out that there isn't a tall gene it's going to be many many different genes and with our genetic information at this point we're probably still able to explain less than 10% of our height variation so we're far away from it but the question is will we ever get there and I'm not sure because I'm not sure we're ever going to be able to separate out genotype from the environment but these are the questions we need to be asking today in order to be prepared for the future John Thanks, great talk you mentioned the society level and you argued compellingly against those three you gave those three examples of why we shouldn't be doing this genome sequencing give us a sense of the market forces I mean 23 and me got mentioned who's pushing and saying we should just be doing this technologists and you know and the fact is is that the first whole genome sequence that we did which we started in 1991 with the whole genome project took 10 years and cost $3 billion and we can now do it in 72 hours and it cost less than $1000 so the cost has come down and so now the question is let's just get all this information and it's tantalizing I mean people love to use 23 and me they like to know their ancestry I love that they learn whether they can curl their tongue to which I say look in the mirror and you'll know whether you can curl your tongue so I mean so a lot of it has become entertainment John Hey John Lantos from Kansas City thanks a lot I agree with almost everything you said and also know that our place has been pushing the envelope on trying to sequence more and more babies and as you know the Vermont Oxford Network the largest network of neonatal intensive care units has just started a collaboration with Radies Genomic Center and they want to start sequencing thousands of babies do you think there's any chance that all these arguments for why this is a bad idea will convince anybody not to do it? Well so you know it's interesting that you're saying that because the Boston Children's when they tried to do their sequencing project in a very I would say in a very appropriate way with good consent we're only able to enroll 6% of all the babies over a two-year period so part of the answer is how robust a consent process and how much follow-up and how much genetic counseling is the network going to have because the fact is is that over 90% of parents refuse to participate when they truly understood what the risks and benefits were Harold and that'll be the last question there are a bunch of you raised a number of points about who we should screen for what and why I just wonder independent of that if we thought about infrastructure one of the big challenges here is that we don't have anywhere near the infrastructure required to support people for the genetic testing that probably would be evidence based if I were to make you the czar of the American healthcare system and said you have several billion dollars to spend to improve our capacity to do genetic testing and we thought it was appropriate where would you spend the money to improve that infrastructure so that we could really support people when it's a good idea to do genetic testing do we really want to put the 7 billion in genetics I would start with the first premise I think there's a lot of other places a lot of more low hanging fruit like controlling hypertension, diabetes and obesity both in childhood as well as in adulthood because many of our health problems as adults start in childhood to childhood education because education has more of a health impact in childhood than healthcare itself is that what I suppose to answer


What's up, y'all is dubbing. I'm back with a Madden challenge group game This was against that boy dirty who made it from placing well in the Miami Challenger Never played him before it was the first time I ever matched up with him leaderboards or anything like that Not sure what he wanted to do. I know I watched the books playing man He was running a wide-trip stretch dive, you know that type of thing So I need a bag that we come out stop to run early Jason Pierre Paul's one of the best players in this mode I love drafting him goes for a draw and diamond can sue blows it up I drafted both for those guys if you watched the earlier videos both of them are coming up with big plays Here we go again. He has nothing to throw to Tries to hit the corner out late.  That's what it's all about Here we go. I hit the drag underneath try to get a first down the Andre gets popped So I go here. I got a third inshore. I go corner strike miss my corner route, which was a touchdown Go over here try to make a play but their car steps out of bounds Frustrating because I had be open for touchdown over the middle late, but I ran out of bounds I got bad animation running out the pocket Took me out of bounds So I took three always take three when you get a turnover because it changed the possessions You can't give him that possession back that you just got for stopping them on his first drive So that's why in that situation. I'll always take three able to go ahead and get me I'm one up on possessions right now and I get ball I have so I'm pretty much two up on possessions And here he goes I stopped the run again, but he throws in the flats here hits me with the juke the juke It's gonna have spin cross and then nice play by him Obviously playing on balance that Ezekiel LA can do all of that gets him down to the 10 Just hard to play defense like that We I mean obviously he was open should have got ten yards, but he just juked me and spun me and got 70 off of it Here we go. We're inside the 10 now. This is where games are won and lost He goes ahead why was your quick Harrison Smith pops the Shandex and I mean we need a fumble there Hey, here he goes I put Harrison Smith in the yellow zone right there and the slants just ran by him I don't know why Harrison Smith didn't play it. I don't know. I should have kept them in the deep blue He probably would have played the slant a little bit better So now I'm down seven to three Got a score in this drive got to go back and take the lead get sacked on the first play was just terrible Melvin Gordon didn't block anybody there Second play the same thing. I tried to scramble He actually mans up my lone receiver and he was able to take away the scramble because he was so close So we go got third and 11 here I'm gonna go ahead and throw the corner out late able to get that with the Marius Thomas He's my possession receiver. He's probably the best receiver on the team So I put him in a slot so he can make plays make big catches for me and that was one on 30 and 11 I'm gonna hit the flat pass to Kelsey get a couple yards. I'm on conservative. So he's not gonna chuck anybody or anything like that Third down hit the corner out over his user Big play there. I'm trying to hit a draw. We get a couple yards here Probably one of my biggest runs of the game. Honestly, I look like three yards I got a second and eight this time he blends everybody. He spies Tries to cover the whole middle, but he cannot cover the street to Travis Kelsey That's a touchdown example of how how somebody putting a spy I mean you scramble that much makes him put a spy just opens up so much more on the field Here when I give up a streak down the middle That's that's bad to give up a big play like that, but I was playing the run right there. Good job by him And here we blow up the dive Nice job by me and we blow up the dive again. I was really prepared for diving stretch out of wide trips I really was so That wasn't gonna happen to me here. He gets sacked through his lineman quanta Alexander and he no huddles And so biggest play the game right here. I need to get a stop. I Need to make sure I get the ball again go up another possession I want to go cover three I want to blitz everybody fourth and 11 and I just have a hook curl 3d blues and my user So I got a guard a C route to the left Don't think anything over the bunch can hurt me because the yellow zone and Crouse right there two great players My best DB's on the field. He's gonna go ahead and just snap and just throw anything over the middle of field right through three people and Travis Benjamin catches it Travis Benjamin. Yeah, so it takes it to the two runs after that gets a nice little chunk You appear and he goes there run we stop it again I'm calling my timeouts to try to get the ball back goes PA and the round is covered I send the spy he does a good job of falling and not throwing the ball away So I have to use a timeout and he runs here concedes, but uses as much clock as possible Get the ball back my best one of the day. I'm on conservative can't catch a body there Frustrating but we'll live with it. No fumbles. Here we go again I try to hit a cover three beater wasn't able to roll out.  I take too much time to run this player here I go ahead and hit this streak to Melvin Gordon Get me enough yards close to field goal range here. So I'm going to try to hurry up and call corner strike I need to get out of bounds And then probably get I want to say maybe three to five more yards to make this field goal reasonable You know and honestly here during the game. I didn't know how many yards I needed I didn't and he calls timeout. So as offense player, I'm thinking what could his defense possibly be me I would put two double flats hard flats and cloud flats on both sides A deep blue and a deep blue in the middle. I would only rush three people Anything over the middle is fine. I can't get a field goal off cannot allow me to get out of bounds So I'm thinking personally he's going to double flat me. So I'm going to run deep corner My best cover two beater over the clouds to go at our bounds So I'm going to run this because I think he's going to go double flats on the street. Kelsey Hopefully hit this by the sideline on his two flats What happens is he actually blitzes and the whole time he covers the corner out. Good job by him I chuck it over there anyway. Hopefully you get fluky Derek are over throws it what you should because he was super boxed You know, honestly Derek are saving me an interception there. So I always hated that when the quarterback Throws it out of throws it out of bounds to save an interception. So now I'm thinking he's blitzing again I go ahead hit the flat which is bad and I just get a bad animation on the sideline Not able to fight to get out of bounds and I don't get a field goal there It's so bad for me not to get a field goal in that situation A terrible management by me. I should be up 13-10, but I gotta get over that Get the ball out of half gotta go get seven He does a good job here But I try to squeeze the corner running and cover three and the mayor's timers didn't make that tough catch for him He can't expect them all So here we go with uh Third and 11 I try to scramble and somebody dives Jason Brett dives and tackles their car Get me to a fourth and four Go ahead hit my flat that Kelsey's able to get four yards on on a flat So just remember four yards on the flat. I'll be able to get Once again draw. I cannot get my draw pop in this game. He keeps shedding He keeps limiting into the one yard two yards almost not even worth it. And here I go I get sacked. Oh my goodness Kawan short got to me Man, here we go third and 11.  Okay, that's why I got screamed that last play Get me over here to a 39 now So 39 probably four down territory. So I'm going to go ahead and try to get half of this That's my thought process here. If I get half of this once again I got a fourth and four on a flat rock So if I can get half and get to a fourth and five fourth and four the whole playbook is open That's pretty much my goal here on 39 is to get half of this I mean, obviously if he's going to give me all of it I'm going to take it but I have no problem and here we go I'll just check it down to melvin gourd and I'm tackled right away I should be on balance there so I can break a tackle So I get the fourth and sixth. It's not ideal. I don't think my flat pass can get six yards So I'm not going to run corner strike I'm going to come out here and run deep corner because corner strike the flat routes not going to get me six yards That's why that's why I run deep corner bigger play But I get them again Which is huge because fourth and one and fourth and six are completely different So now instead of running deep corner, I'm going to go ahead and run corner strike because I mean, it's the best short yard is pass play in the game Now obviously probably the best pass play in the game is corner strike out a bunch And so that's pretty much what changes I can't run corner strike on fourth and six, but I can run it on fourth and one for sure And honestly he has to worry about the run on fourth and one too You know, so that that's pretty much a huge difference between fourth and one fourth and six Terrible by him to be on aggressive on fourth and six Although he's still on aggressive actually doesn't get the jump there He goes hardflats and I hit the corner route womb Because fourth and one you got to respect the hard flat the flat So he went hardflats able to hit the corner route there dump it off the moving board I'm still on balance that time we catch the body get the block And score a touchdown that easily the difference between balance and conservative is that easy And here we go this play I went out the quarterback didn't think he would do that slant, but he threw it God bless his heart You know now you run a draw and he's getting 10 yards on the draw Good tackle there by gentlemen Ramsey my corner There goes a little drag before he gets to the flat routes nice timing nice pass by him I had double flats, but he threw the drag before he got there and here we go Zeke fighting So, you know, this guy is definitely on balance. He's not on conservative He was second before he goes verts. I don't make that hit with Harrison Smith bad By me. I got to make that play make him drop that And we're gonna get a little bit of pressure. He rolls up and throws the c-route while he's running over there Good play by Hayes open You'll run and I'm gonna soup grabs him at the last second Forces him in the goal line situation, but he's able to get the quarterback sneak and tie the game up Good job by him. I mean he made made a couple plays there We'll have to dump it off the Melvin Gordon juke away catch two bodies Hey, I'm liking the balance life right now You know, I think I'm gonna leave it on balance for the time being until I need to put it back on conservative this game Once again, here we go. I'm gonna hit Melvin Gordon. I mean, he can't shoot three people He's not Zeke Melvin Gordon's not Zeke, but he can fight for me a little bit get to a third and six here I step up in a pocket hit the corner route Oh, the marriage time is his catches in front of his face good catch by the marriage Like I said, that's why you put your big body receiver that can go ahead and make a play like that for you And he did he came up with a big catch for me there In a in a in traffic situation Here I'm just running corner strike with a drag Plays hardflash able to hit the C route to Deondre Hopkins My draw with my backup running back gets a couple yards. Now here I get to a second down. We're going to run the clock I know for a fact If I run the ball, we're going to take this to the two minute warning. I put it back on conservative Run the ball to the two minute warning my biggest flaw in this play call here is that I came out in a different formation Now obviously a different formation like this just telegraphs run because I didn't pass in it all day I don't know how he's going to adjust to it I you know, I'm just telegraphing the run here just to get a two minute warning and he blows up the run So he gets it all the way to you know from second and four to third and sixth That's huge, you know, it's a big deal because Now I cannot run corner strike like we talked about. I I have to make a play over six yards You know, that's a big deal It changes a lot because this is not four down territory.      He did a great job there boxing my run didn't get anything on first down So I'll go for a pass, but I don't like throwing anything near crows So I'm gonna go ahead and just take this sack right here. He had a spy make him use a timeout So after that bad run on first down And the second down I'm pretty much conceding a field goal here Hoping Melvin Gordon can make a play, but he doesn't make him use all his timeouts Kick my field goal perfect. So he can't block it. Now. He has what 57 seconds. No timeouts to get a field goal So I'm gonna kind of concede the flats. Hopefully he doesn't get out of bounds on all of them He gets out of bounds on that one That's my goal here. No big plays, you know, no corner routes. No C routes. He's in bunch No pa post. I'll make move cross in the box to stop pa post Pretty much kind of conceding the drag hoping I can make a tackle and keep him in bounds Any playing bounds right here is a huge win for the defense those back over here And he's actually able to get out of bounds with jimmy Graham He only picks up five yards, but he stops the clock So I'm hoping one of these plays I can grab them in bounds and make them use 15 20 seconds That's the goal here. I'm not going to give up a C route not going to give up a corner route Not going to give up a cover three bomb. He's going to have to work down the field And he continues to keep running pa post here You know, and I'm going to go ahead and concede that but jpp comes up with a huge play Sacks the quarterback keeps the clock running tick tick tick tick tick tick No big plays. That's pretty much my whole philosophy here. Nothing over 10 yards Hopefully nothing out of bounds, but if it's less than five yards, I'll live without a bounce Once again, we'll just cover three cloud flats No bomb plays and here he scrambles with the quarterback doing me a favor slide here goes from 28 seconds tick tick tick tick tick Guess man. So hopefully this is want to be the second to last play the game. Hopefully Goals for four verts here quick snaps it and somehow once again, travis benjamin is just You know, he's jerry rice this game comes up with a big plan traffic Here's one more play has to get out of bounds. I'm going to run db fire double flats both sides Make sure he doesn't go flat out of bounds doesn't throw a corner out of bounds He can throw the ball over the middle field all he wants because that ends the game So that's what we're going to do double flats He steps up and then domicom soup gets him to end the game Gg's in the chat to my man. That boy dirty. He played a great game played really good defense made me work But I was able to come up made a couple more plays than him and moved on in my group Thanks y'all come back with tons more gameplay videos for y'all. I'm out of here


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Hey everybody what's going on it's your man Kory, welcome to the Digital Dash where I will be giving you guys tips on how to market your sons and get those numbers. Boom it. Now if you're new to the channel and you don't know who I am, first off welcome.  Now what I want to do today guys is going to be a little bit different. I don't have a real lesson to teach, but I do have a story of how a close friend of mine almost lost $30,000 due to, for lack of better words, this fugezi ass playlist company. Now before we get into all of that make sure you come and follow me on Instagram, I make sure to put my app name somewhere on the screen. Come talk to me, come engage with me, come give me some video ideas, all of that. Now with that being said let's get right into it. So like I was saying this close friend of mine, this mentor of mine, someone that I've been working with for the past couple of years of my career. He recently got caught up in a situation where he worked with this fraudulent playlist company and they almost got him to lose $30,000. So for the sake of this story, we're just going to call this friend Zach, right?  You know, pretty much taking the Metro boom and Mike will made it out for his own production. So as a part of his game plan, he decided to work with his playlisting company and they're a pretty popular playlisting company. I've seen Facebook ads for them. I've seen people reviewing them on the internet. I've seen people talking about them. So they're definitely somebody that's out there, but pretty much he decided to work with his playlisting company about five or six months ago give or take to top of his campaign to get a little bit more streams on his Spotify profile to bring some more presence to it. So fast forward about three or four months after that, he gets an email from this show kid. He's like, Hey, we have flagged the account. We've held your money because we have detected fraudulent streams on your account because of this. We can't give you a payout of $30,000. Now off top, Zach is mad because, you know, I'm pretty sure he would have been mad if it was $50 or if it was $100, but $30,000. That's a different level of anger right there. But Zach, he's confused. He doesn't know what's going on. He's hitting up this show kid. Like, I don't know why we would be detected for fraudulent streams. I don't know what's going on. How can we figure this out? So pretty much he and this show kid start to look into it together. This show kid reveals that the fraudulent stream started kicking in around five or six months ago. Around the same time that Zach started using that popular playlist streaming company, they're looking to it and they determined that the company has been using bot playlists. And if you haven't seen my video about bot playlists, they're pretty much these robotic playlists that are made by people who just program a bunch of computers to go through playlists like listeners. They're pretty much used by people to drive or streams to game the Spotify algorithm or to pretty much gain Spotify out of money entirely. And they don't like this. Spotify hates this. If they catch you, they will try to make an example of you. And it's exactly what they were trying to do for my friend Zach. They were trying to make an example out of him, hold up his money and pretty much send a message out to other people of stop using these bot playlists to naturally Zach is mad. He hits up the playlist streaming company. He asked him all his questions. They deny it. But the evidence pretty much pointed to that it has to be you guys. It has to be you guys pushing all of these bot playlists onto our music. Now, luckily for Zach, this show kid didn't take down his account because I have heard some horror stories. I have seen real results get knocked off by one bad playlist to one fake playlist and it just completely ruins the entire operation. But he was able to pretty much let them know that he didn't know. And they gave him a pass for it. So I definitely learned a few things from this situation. Right. One is that people will scam you over anything. Like there are literally people in the industry who will scam you over any and everything. But I don't want you guys to let it discourage you from working with people and getting outside help. I just want you to be a little bit more diligent in asking questions and making sure that you're not working with someone or something who is trying to take advantage of you. Another thing that I learned is that it's probably a bad idea to work with a faceless company, right? Like this company that Zach was working with while they were a pretty well known and pretty reputable company. I don't think that during the duration of his campaign, he ever talked to a real person. Like there was no one guiding him through the process. There was no one letting him know like what was up with the playlist. He was pretty much just, you know, paying his money, being placed and then never hearing from these people again. And in my opinion, that's pretty much a red flag when you can't even get somebody on the phone or on the email to talk to you about what's going on in your campaign and where these results are pretty much coming from. And thirdly, this is an epidemic that's probably not going to stop anytime soon. Like I said, this was a reputable company putting people into these bot playlists. I'm sure there are others out there who are doing the same thing. And until Spotify comes up with a real way that we can tell, you can't really tell if you're in a bot playlist until it's too late. I have a video about that. I'll make sure to link it in the description below so you can learn a little bit more about it. But pretty much when you're pitching yourself to these playlists, just be diligent and watching your analytics. If you see anything sketchy, stop it while it's still happening before it goes too far and you know, takes it to a place where you can't pretty much reverse the results. Now as always guys, if you feel like you learned anything today, please like and share this video. Hit those post notifications as well as I wouldn't want you guys to miss anything. Once again, my name is Kory and I'll see y'all next time.