Good morning, good afternoon, good evening, wherever you are and welcome to the AI for Good Global Summit all year, always online. I'm Charlotte Kan from the ITU, the International Telecommunication Union. Like most of the world, the AI for Good Global Summit has gone digital with weekly online programming, allowing us to reach even more people in 2020. AI for Good perspectives offer expert insights, global visions and shared solutions for the AI for Good global community. Today we bring you the first episode of Etri's AI for making a better tomorrow on the subject of space-year temporal algal bloom prediction using deep learning. Etri is the National AI Research Institute of the Republic of Korea, so let's take a look at this short video about Etri. Three revolutions changed human history. And now, another great revolution is about to transform our daily lives. AI, it's the age when imagination becomes reality. A new era in which everything is connected, where artificial intelligence becomes commonplace and where a reality beyond the bounds of human imagination is realized. We at Etri are preparing for this new era. Faster than the changing world, we at Etri are leading the core technologies of the fourth industrial revolution through innovative research and development that reaches beyond everyone's expectations. We are creating a better world. Etri, the National Intelligence Transformation Research Institute. There are three different meanings, I mean interpretation of AI for my own experience. Firstly, many people are considered AI is a technology, especially one of the software or information technology, very specific. And the second meaning, second interpretation is AI services. Based on the AI technology, we can also use some computing powers or some network technology, then we can invent or we can also provide some nice AI services. Some examples are from a Go playing game between the AI, AlphaGo and a real person, instead of. Many people are regarding this event as AI technology, but when realized, when implemented these AI services, the Google has a big size of computing system behind and also the high speed network has been doubly linked with this AI computer and the space, the hotel where the game has been organized. That means if you implement some AI service, you need AI algorithm and data and also super computing infrastructure and also high speed network. This is the second interpretation for me. And finally, AI is some paradigm which give a great impact not only in the technology, but also in social and environmental impact through the AI paradigm. So many politicians, including our president, when he invited some Japanese businessmen, the first is AI, the second is AI, and third is AI. In this case, AI is the paradigm. So I can give you three different meanings or interpretation of AI in this context. Now, let me hand over to our expert host, Dr. Miran Choi. Dr. Choi is principal researcher and standardization specialist at Etri. Dr. Choi. Thank you, Charlotte. Ladies and gentlemen, I'm Miran Choi from Etri Korea. Thank you very much for joining us in our perspective session. The first episode is on the subject of spatial temporal algorithm prediction using deep learning. This project uses deep learning to predict algorithms a week in advance. Then it makes possible to suppress the algorithm earlier and efficiently at a low cost. Currently, this project has been applied to the Techeong-ho Lake in Korea. Next, let me introduce the speaker of this session. Dr. Ji-yeong Kim is the managing director of a smart data research section at Etri, leading one of the AI projects. He received the MS degree from Seoul National University in Korea, and his research topics include deep data analysis, machine learning, and IoT. Now, let's watch the presentation. Hi, everyone. My name is Ji-yeong Kim. I'm leading the research project of the spatial temporal algorithm prediction using deep learning. Before this presentation, it will be better to play the introduction video. After that, I will spread our research more technically and deeply. Techeong-ho Lake contains pristine nature and has a mysterious view of the cliff. The place where migratory birds, winds, and people took a break turned green.  Algal blooms spread across the country. The algal blooms are threatening us with dangerous toxic substances. Algal bloom has already emerged as a serious global environmental problem. The biggest worries for our people is the safety of drinking water sources. To handle this, the Korean government has established new technology policies. By 2022, Et Tourie has been developing spatial temporal AI blue-green algae prediction technology based on direct readable water quality complex sensor and hyperspectral image. There are two key technologies here. First, real-time high-density algae measurement. Currently, it takes two days from sampling to getting final results for algae monitoring. Et Tourie aims to measure in real-time using direct readable probe sensors. We increase measurement density in two ways. Fixed sensors mounted on buoys and moving sensors mounted on water drones. The big data on water quality is collected from the fixed and moving sensors and hyperspectral imaging systems. By analyzing this big data, we improve the accuracy of algal bloom prediction. Previously, it was difficult to predict or analyze algae due to the lack of data. Now, we can make the accurate prediction of algal blooms using deep learning. In Et Tourie, we aim for 90% accuracy in predicting algal blooms above the world's highest levels. This enables early suppression of algae through preemptive measures in advance. Et Tourie's sensor network-based AI prediction technology can be applied to various industries such as environment, weather, transportation, and agriculture. With a total market forecast of $220 billion by 2025, we can expect to gain global market competitiveness. Et Tourie will provide practical solutions to reduce public anxiety about algal blooms. Through advanced ICT to realize what is imagined, Et Tourie will open a bright future. In this section, I'll explain the introduction shortly. Some explanation is already mentioned in the introduction video. As possible as I can, I'll skip the repetition. What is algal bloom? An algal bloom means rapid increase or accumulation in the population of algae in the water system. It directly affects water quality and makes people in danger with toxin substances. In many countries, in addition to Korea, algal bloom makes problems. This situation comes from climate change, global warming, drought, and so on. It is a critical environmental problem that makes water pollution and economic losses. Our research goal is to predict an algal bloom earlier and exactly. If we predict algal bloom earlier, we can suppress the bloom by efficient way and low cost. There are several efficient methods for suppression. For example, algae harvesting ship, water surface aerator, flood gate opening, your ultrasonic algae control log, yellow soil spraying, and so on. In spite of all these useful methods, late response to algae bloom takes a lot of cost and time for recovery. In the total algal bloom control system, my project team is focusing on in red box. We are trying to predict algal bloom trajectory using deep learning with various kinds of data collected. There are two main challenges in forecasting algal blooms. First of all, algal bloom data set shows severe data imbalance characteristics. The target event, algal blooms are rare, occurred a few in Korea. What happens, it makes severe problems and takes time and money to recover. But anyway, it is rare, so prediction model is difficult to make. To mitigate data imbalance, we adopted several techniques such as data augmentation in order to maximize forecasting performance. I will explain more details in next slide. Another challenge is that we must forecast broad area while only small portion of target areas are available for deep learning because of the lack of available environment data. We make a hybrid model use machine learning and simulation techniques together to overcome the lack of data. Handling extreme data imbalance. Handling data imbalance is very important for accurate prediction because machine learning algorithm may be biased toward the majority classes. While minority classes are often more important in practice, we utilize two techniques to handle data imbalance. Since the data distribution of chlorophyll concentration is extremely skewed, we applied log transformation to make distribution conform to normality. Log transformation is a simple but useful technique to increase validity of the applied analysis as many of methods assume data normality. Moreover, log transformation helps the model to offer only positive values, which effectively shoot our case. In addition, we applied over sampling technique called SMOT. One of the most intuitive data level techniques is to either under sample the majority class or under over sample the minority class. We should avoid under sampling because we may lose useful information especially when the site of data set is very limited. On the other hand, over sampling can preserve all the information currently available. The simplest over sampling method would be reflicating or randomly sampling minority instances. However, it may lead to overfitting and potentially create confusion in training. Therefore, we adopted synthetic minority over sampling techniques in order to increase samples in minority regions. The main idea of SMOT is to generate new instances using gradient distance factors to the nearest neighbors. It is originally proposed for classification problems so that we adjusted to regression problem setting. Experimental setup. For the experiment, we used daily data collected from Water Quality Monitoring Station at Daecheong Lake during 2012 to 2018. The collected data consists of eight measurements, water temperature, pH, electrical conductivity, dissolved oxygen, total organic carbon, total nitrogen, total phosphorus, and chlorophyll A. As you can see at the bottom, the data distribution of target variable, chlorophyll A is extremely skewed that the algal bloom eventually are very rare. The goal is to accurately predict the concentration of chlorophyll A in seven days. A convolutional neural network model is well suited for regression type problems, capturing dependencies in and between time series. Hence, we decided to build CNM-based model. We have conducted four experiments for comparison. Blue line is the base line with no techniques. Red line uses log transformation, green line uses over sampling techniques using SMOT, and purple is the hybrid one using both log transformation and SMOT. In the result graphs, the difference looks small, but the fourth hybrid model is better in most test cases. As you can see, the mitigating techniques we applied help increase R-squared while minimize mean-square error. The fourth model shows the highest R-square and the lowest mean-square error, especially when the target chlorophyll A is above 25 milligram per cubic meter, which is the boundary line for RGR. Let's move on to the second topic, the chlorophyll A estimation for a wide target area. The prediction of chlorophyll A concentration for a wide region is a challenging issue because we only monitor and collect water quality data from several monitoring stations. Consequently, we don't have enough data to train a deep learning model and to perform a prediction of the region. Then, how can we collect the water quality data for wide regions? To overcome this situation, we make use of a hydrodynamic water quality simulation model by using the sensor data from the monitoring stations. This simulation model can generate water quality data for wide prediction regions. I will explain more details about the overall prediction scenario from the next slide. First, I'd like to explain the Environmental Fluid Dynamic Code, the EFDC simulation model in short. This three-dimensional hydrodynamic water quality model that can simulate up to 22-stage variables for water systems such as rivers and lakes. The basic structures of the EFDC model is illustrated in Figure 1. It is composed with four main components, including hydrodynamics, water quality, sentiment transport, and toxin of the water system. To perform simulations, virtual grids are used to reflect the complex shape of the river. Our study area, the Dachung Lake cell in Geum River, is divided into about 6,000 virtual grids. Among them, we mainly focus on almost 400 cells near Chuseok River regions here. In the modeling phase, the input data is the sensing water quality data and metal or logical data monitored from the surrounding station of the prediction region. Once the EFDC simulation model is generated, the model can simulate the spatial temporal changes and characteristics of water qualities and chlorophyll A concentration of the grid cells. As a result, we can collect time-series water quality data for each grid cells in the Chuseok regions. These time-series water quality datasets of the regions will be used in the deep running phase for the chlorophyll A concentration prediction. To perform a chlorophyll A concentration estimation, we use one of the variations of AlexNet, a widely used CNN model. The convolution layer of CNN can extract the spatial association of water quality data among the neighboring cells. The CNN input image was composed of the simulation result and weather data and generated by stacking them in dimensions. Consequently, each image will represent the information of our day. The detailed setup for the CNN model is described in figure below. Experimental result. This slide shows the prediction result of our model in terms of accuracy. Our competitor is the EFDC simulation result that is generated from the real water quality data on the prediction date. If from three-day predictions from August to October in 2018, the average accuracy for 90 days achieved. Root mean scale error is 1.06 milligram per cubic meters and r-scale equal 0.902. From the result, we proved that our model present of feasibility accuracy for chlorophyll A concentration prediction of spatial temporal regions. By using EFDC simulation, we can perform prediction without the burden of collecting real data for a broad region. Now, I've told you everything I want to share today. Summary. We are trying to predict algorithm based on machine learning for hourly RG suppression. We encountered two challenges. Challenge one, how can we train prediction models from imbalanced water quality data? Challenge two, how can we estimate chlorophyll A concentration for the broad target area? Future work. We are collecting more data using these sensor devices and so we hope to get better results with these data. This is the end of my talk. Thank you for listening. Thank you for your presentation, Dr. Chin. Now, I will ask you two questions on your presentation for the audience. The first question is, I'm not familiar with the EFDC model, but it looks more accurate because it uses hydrodynamic theory and topographical information. Then, what are the benefits of using machine learning techniques to predict algorithms? Right. The EFDC model produces accurate and explainable results, but various boundary conditions are needed and model parameters must be leverantly calibrated by domain exports. Such conditions and parameters change easily, so it is very difficult, almost impossible to adjust them. So, I think machine learning based approaches are more available to predict algorithm. Thank you for your answer, Dr. Chin. Now, the second question is, you mentioned that you use convolutional neural network model for the prediction. In my opinion, for the time series data prediction such as water quality, the LSTM method seems to be more appropriate. Have you tried to use the LSTM for the prediction of algorithms? Yes. As you mentioned, the LSTM achieves good performance for time series data estimation. And I applied the LSTM for the prediction as well, but it shows a similar result with the CNN model. Therefore, to ease the presentation, we only explained the CNN-based model today. Nowadays, we are developing new ideas with various types of prediction models. So, I wish I could have another chance to show the improvement in RG prediction shortly. Thank you, Dr. Chin for your detailed explanation. Okay. I hope you all have enjoyed episode one of AI for Good Perspective, presented by Etri today. Thank you for your participation and let me hand it back over to Charles for the closing. Well, thank you, Dr. Choi and Dr. Kim for the presentations and inspiring discussions. Please join us again on the 15th of October for another fascinating insight into Etri's advanced work on AI in the Republic of Korea, when the subject will be AI-based language learning technology.


Okay, we're back here live in Las Vegas, this is theCUBE. SiliconANGLE, Wikibon's flagship program. We go out to the events, extract the signal from the noise. I'm John Furrier, the founder of SiliconANGLE. I'm joined by co-host. Hi everybody, I'm Dave Vellante, wikibon.org. Jagesh Sahiba is here. He is the chief architect of the ADP Innovation Labs. He's a CUBE alum. Jagesh, welcome back to theCUBE. Nice to be here. It was in New York, we had you on, right? It's Mongo. Absolutely. It was TenGen, now it's Mongo, they changed the name. Good move. You had the founder of Datastacks on earlier today. Should I ask them, John? Are you going to change your name to Cassandra? Well, anyway, welcome back. Good to see you again. Good to be here. So the ADP Innovation Labs, you have a lot of titles. You're CTO, VP, but the ADP Innovation Labs, really, you're the latest focus. Talk about the Innovation Labs. A lot of people don't associate ADP with a technology company, an apps company, somebody who's playing in the cloud because you've got a reputation in a lot of other businesses, but talk about the Innovation Labs. So Innovation Lab was started a few years ago and our mission is to create relevant, consumable, cutting-edge technology solutions for our clients so they can manage their most important assets, the people. And our offering today is our mobile offering out of the Innovation Labs, but we have a number of other initiatives that we're working on to introduce new ideas and solutions in our products. Okay, so we got to ask you. So we were sharing the Wall Street Journal article this morning, so you and your CIO and some of your other colleagues were quoted. There was an article in the CIO Journal within the Wall Street Journal about ADP and the interesting piece that a lot of people don't know is that you guys are a major player in the human resource, human capital management marketplace. You compete with the likes of Oracle, SAP, your IDC has you number three in the marketplace behind those two, Workday, obviously up and coming. So talk about your initiatives, let's start specifically with the HR piece, but let's talk more broadly about the software in a moment as well. So we offered the broadest array of products in area of H&M, human capital management. And ADP, innovation is nothing new to ADP but I think more concentrated efforts out of the labs and having dedicated environment within a company like ADP to foster that kind of attitude is a revision of our CIO microphone to, and you must have heard that we opened another location in the city to kind of further his vision of bringing innovation culture to ADP.  So talk a little bit about your area of emphasis in that space. Are you sort of more recruiting, talent management? Are you doing core HR? Where's your, where's the innovation focus? So we're very well aware of the major disruptor in the market for us, be mobile, social, cloud-based computing and analytics, right? And we're embracing all these technologies and looking at our products at and say, how can we ingrain social within our products? Not as a bolt-on but kind of ingrain social aspects throughout our product line. So when user is using our system, they have the capability and ability to make informed decisions either through real-time analytics within our products, as well as leveraging the social medium to get the job done. So it is nothing to say it is concentrated on one area of ADP where we're realizing this disruptor in the marketplace and improving our products by ingraining these concepts. I mean, you guys are developing, I'm already on hundreds of applications, right? Yes, we have hundreds of applications, we've used 60 years of industry experience. The breadth is quite varied. Yeah, so talk about cloud a little bit in how the whole SaaS model has changed your business because you guys have been around for a while. So you had to respond to that trend. Talk about how you've responded. So today we have over 300,000 clients on our SaaS platform and we're not new to SaaS. I think my component has been saying all along that we've been doing cloud for a long, long time and being able to bring services quickly in a very cost-effective manner to end user with the minimum requirement from our clients, minimum investment for our clients and consume services from the cloud makes perfect sense in the industry we are in. So talk a little bit more about the innovation lab. So roughly how big is it? What's the process that you guys use to innovate? Is it R&D versus just applied engineering? What is it? Now the innovation is nothing to say we create something, we throw it over the wall and our products adapt, right? We do grow products, incubate products. You can think of it as a startup within a big company with deep pockets, per se, if I could say that. But it is a startup mentality that we're trying to, innovate, use technologies and really step out of the box. So you're building products, you're building. We're building products, we still own mobile, we still operate mobile out of the innovation labs and the idea is that grow the product, grow the technology, use it, understand it, operate it and graduate it so our other products can leverage the similar technology.  You got to have all kinds of back up and redundancy. So how has Splunk helped you? Let's talk about the conference here and tie that back. So obviously it must be a godsend for you to have Splunk because you have all this data, different structured data, unstructured data. Can you just elaborate on this one? Absolutely, so a few years ago when we rolled out our mobile solutions offering, we wanted, it was a business critical application, right? We were embracing mobile and we wanted to have complete visibility and 360 degree view of how this product is functioning, how it's being received in the marketplace and have that feedback loop so we can improve product continuously by collecting real data and real information the way our end user uses it. And Splunk is a critical component of the success we had with this product. Using Splunk, we're able to monitor end to end. So imagine a web request entering your web tier going all the way to your backend systems and databases. We're able to monitor and have traceability of the request all the way through our systems to detect and understand the processing steps, help us identify root cause of the problem. More importantly, going beyond IT ops, we're using Splunk to capture a lot of the business metrics so our product managers can make informed decisions on what feature functions are used more often, when they're used, do we see during the tech season on April 14th, W2 statements went off the roof. So now we have real data feeding back into our product cycles and that's very important what Splunk brings to the table. We were at Oracle Open World last week, we had Max Shireson on theCUBE from CEO of Mongo. You guys are Mongo customer. How are you using Mongo and Splunk together and are you forcing those guys or helping those guys work together? They're quite a complementary technology. Mongo is our mobile database and our caching layer and Splunk gives us visibility. Not only for Mongo, we did create a custom application to monitor MongoDB, but Splunk is giving us visibility throughout the landscape. Every systems we touch as part of the offering of the mobile solutions, we're able to monitor and understand the usage patterns. Okay, so talk about mobile real quick. Mobile, I know we're tight on time, but I want to get your take on mobile, bug sense, big announcement for these guys and also in your business. How is mobile shaping how you guys think about the technology? Yeah, I'm excited to learn about bug sense. Today we instrumented our application to collect information such as your offline activity and feed it back to the server side. What bug sense will allow us to do is capture much more detailed information. So I'm interested in learning about bug sense. But mobile in general, right? It is a necessary component of our offering and the reception of the mobile offering has been tremendous to date. So guys, thanks for coming inside theCUBE. I'll give you the final word. Tell the folks out there what it's like here at the conference. Obviously it's growing, it's still an intimate community here amongst the Splunkers, the employees, and then the customers. I don't know what you call, I guess you'd call the customers Splunkers, but explain to the folks the vibe, the feeling. What's it like here? Describe in your own words what's going on here. I find this extremely energetic. Splunk people are gracious. They've been very helpful and the event has been absolutely phenomenal. And they're fun, right?  And we have a great venue. Great venue, but I think people make the difference, right? I mean, my interactions with Splunk people has always been absolutely fantastic, very friendly, very upfront, very direct, and very easy to work with. Yeah, and they're smart too. And they're very, they loved, like I said yesterday, I wrote a blog post on it. They're very product-centric. They're a product-centric company. They believe in product excellence, which I love to hear from a product guy. So good product always saves the day and good marketing and good market momentum helps as well. And absolutely customer-focused too. It helps as a megatrend called big data. Machine data, data exhaust. As we say, spinning data exhaust into gold, as they say yesterday. Jess, thank you so much for coming inside. I think you really appreciate it. It's good to be here. Thank you very much. ADP, great company. Thank you very much. Thank you very much. Thank you for the journal. Feature story yesterday, congratulations. Innovation labs, analytics, great stuff. We'll be right back. theCUBE exclusive coverage in Las Vegas. I'm John Furrier with Dave Vellante. This is theCUBE. We'll be right back with our next guest after this short break. theCUBE.


Hey guys she bear one thousand here. I'm gonna take the boat out for a little bit Sorry about the sign It's almost noon so we're gonna take the boat out and Do a little fishing so Hopefully I don't get skunked by monkey again But she's getting better. That's good We're mostly just wanting to go take a ride But I figured we'll get back in a little channel somewhere and Drop a line in excuse me drop a line in and See what happens. I might put her on some worms so she'll have more of a chance of catching different fish I'm probably gonna stick to some chicken liver or chicken desert All right now I got to unroll this So I'll set you down over here. It's very windy. Sorry about the wind All right, I'm gonna unroll this Okay I'm gonna set these right here for now That just holds the the cover up so the rain can run off a little better I Need to I hate these cheap plugs I think I got another one in there somewhere. I'll have to look for it Hey, there's that I'm not sure if I want to bring this camera or if I'm just going to use the JVC I Don't like the JVC, but I Don't want to screw my camera. We have full tank of gas I need to take this plastic out and clean it off or get another one that's got a gauge in it I can bear to see it says fool Now need to go hook up the truck so Let me get the truck moved. What I usually do is I'll just pull it up That way and then I'll just wheel a boat around and hook on to it. I think we're ready to go After we hook it up, we'll check the lights and everything so hang tight guys. It came on I think we were I Think it's when we went camping I've been home with sasa. I hear some brake dust And it went off and came on again and went off for about a week but then It's either got a bad sensor Or I think it's either got a bad sensor Or one of them's dirty So I'll get you on the stand. We'll hook this boat up So I think that's in the trailer part because we just checked this remember so Let me check it out and see what I can find out should have brought you with me. I was a easy fix I Just didn't have that plugged in all the way Okay So now we have to Lift our foot up. I replace them with these jacks at work Forget to lift them up Rip them off bend the frames and everything so See you do I forgot one time on our other boat But it was up high enough where it didn't hit anything. We just came back and was unloading the boat Or getting ready on hook the boat and And the jack was down. So all right now that we're hooked up. I gotta keep this battery up here This is not the right trailer You can see Damn you was way zoomed in Where the wheels are Almost in the sound of the boat. You got all this weight here And you unhook that thing that wants to jump up on you so I Need something I need another trailer where the wheels are gonna be back here more, you know someone's tried to compensate by putting longer bunks on it, but that doesn't change Your pivot point right here, you know, it's a full crane And that doesn't change that won't change that so it's a small trailer.  Sorry again about the wind guys. It's gonna be windy out there today So it won't catch some fish, right? We'll get out here. We're gonna start up the motor Or you want to go first? All right, so we're gonna start the boat up the motor here in a second People there just came in to do some fishing looks like with the sun so So I thought it started up down You ever mentioned that Love this Okay guys, this is the campsite where we've been wanting to go that they kept saying it was closed, but There's some campers there And there's some campers down there Now that's the road to go out of here and right up there's that road there It's where I had to bear encounter But as soon as I came out in because I had the boat parked here And as soon as I came out there Bear turned around walked away so we're gonna do a little fishing here and Shall fish shall fish me once it ain't gonna happen again but Our lower units going out. We're cruising up here about 25 mile an hour Just like a one-in-the-neutral now if you idle it it'll push you along, but that's why I've been wanting to Check that lower unit out. So Something happened in there. We'll see what it is I'll put shaft strip and something's going on. So So we're gonna check this out for next weekend because there's a fire pit right there But I'd like to be by the trees Okay, but I'd like to be all right Where you want to set the tent up? Right there in this right there in the Sun. I like where they were at. Yeah, it's right on the water Okay, well, we'll see if we can get in here next weekend But I know I've been checking it out and keep saying it's closed, but this is what's this pot pots preserved I think so yeah But anyway Anyway, so there's that but Out fishing me it ain't gonna happen again Yeah, it's recording yeah, I see you and everything Oh Yeah, he cut a fish oh He he's a baby fish Yeah, I guess what I didn't bring but stringer The stringer the stringer I didn't bring a stringer. Oh Yeah He's not squawking either He's not squawking Well, I'm not getting out fish today No You gave me an orange flowers in there. Yep Because she's she's going back. So I don't want to hurt him too bad. All right. Oh, he's shaking I'm sorry fishy I'm sure you've been saying that to that one you almost caught. Yeah, he broke my line You kind of broke your line Okay, so anyway, there's number one Yeah, he did yeah when you when you went back over your pole Enough hooks Okay guys, so there's my day of fishing Yep, two and I had one on but he got me underneath the tree limb. So when that happens They'll usually get off Yeah She had a big one on up there at the campsite But um I told her when you set the hook he got a yank it. Well, she kept yanking Kept yanking. I'm like, what are you doing? And then oh no, and it looked big. Yeah I mean it was trying to pull him like no, you only yank on it one time to set the hook So When you seen that where I was telling her watch this, you know to do this That's what I was showing her not to you only do it one time to set the hook and once he's on there Then you can play with him Right, but she thought I meant keep setting up But we're we're going to come back out tonight. She's going to do more filming so stay tuned for her video I'm going to end mine here. I got some work to do on the boat motor. So stay tuned while the motor's fine So the lower unit right We'll take it apart. See what's wrong with it I may try to find a used lower unit Or rebuild that one. We'll just see What all's going on with it and see what's happening and then we can go from there But so I mean it's all right as long as you're just past an idol Since you wrap it up. It's just kind of like a clutch slipping. You know what I mean? So Uh, the guy that had that before us they already had him In at 601 dollars and then they wouldn't go ahead and You know put a new output shaft or anything like I don't get it That's why I've always been concerned about that Because the way they screwed this guy, you know I think what it was was Oh, he'll get out there and he'll have problems and he'll have to bring it back Right. I think that's what they I know that company and they're good for that And they keep your stuff for months Yeah, yeah, so We'll see what Yeah Well, we'll see what's going on with that one, but if it don't rain monkey's hungry So I gotta take her home. I fed the fish and I gotta feed her. I gotta feed the monkey So That's about it guys. Uh, so I hope you enjoyed the shea bears fishing Yeah, yep So we're gonna get her fed and we're gonna come back out. Like I said, she's gonna do more filming on hers Yeah, but I'm just gonna call it right here. So Okay on mine. So I'm gonna bring a big light for her because her camera don't have night vision. So And I also got the smaller light for it's charged up and ready to go. I got three batteries charged for you Yes, I noticed I thank you. So All right guys, thanks for watching appreciate it. Shea bearer met the man legend. I'm I can't talk.  Thanks for watching appreciate it


We know that reading is crucial to our children. It's crucial to their education and their upbringing. But what their reading matters? We want the best books in the hands of every Muslim child. We want books worth reading in the hands of our children. Because words matter. Words build our children's worldview. It matters what they're reading. So let's take a quick look at what's out there right now. So the first book is called The Hina Wars. It's a Muslim protagonist, a Muslim girl on the cover. It's about Hina. It's about a school competition, Hina Competition Mehendi. The author is a Muslim, okay, visible Muslim. This is the author you'd see her if you open the inside cover. But what you might not know if this book was in your child's hand is that the protagonist is this. I don't know if there's younger kids in the room, but she comes out to her Muslim family and then pursues a romance with a non-Muslim girl. Okay, this is a top-selling book marketed to young adults. They call it YA, young adults. That doesn't mean adults who are young. It means children, like young teens. Okay, the next book, Salma the Syrian Chef. A beautiful picture book marketed to young children about a Syrian refugee. She misses her grandmother and wants to make her full recipe, Fava bean recipe, and she cooks with the different members of her family. But then we get to this page and she's cooking with her two uncles. But when you read underneath the picture, it's very clear that these two men are in a romantic relationship. This is a picture book. For young children. Then you have, on the other hand, you have authors like this. So New York Times best-selling author Terry Brooks. He's written classics, good, clean books. Like this, The Sword of Shenard. So this was actually on Ilm Tree's reading list, I think, several years ago. It's a clean book. It's a good book. The more it has a message, it has a moral. It's about finding truth. But fast forward a few decades and he comes out with a book like this. A sci-fi dystopian novel. And the main character falls in love with a humanoid, a robot, who was created her purpose creation. She was a pleasure since that's what she's called a synthetic being, a pleasure, synthetic being for the purpose of providing pleasure to Richmond. Again, this is a YA book, Young Adult, marketed to young children. These are not books worth reading. These are not the books we want in our children's hands. So a mindful Muslim reader, we ask ourselves questions and we spend a lot of time thinking about what makes a book worth reading. Is this how I want my child to speak? That's one of the questions we ask because we rate our books on our website for language. And this is the question we're asking when we give the rating. Is this how I want my child to speak? Amazon best-selling book. With words like this. Do we want this in our child's hands or do we want a book like this? Written by the poet laureate of the United States, Amanda Gorman, a young black woman, the youngest ever poet laureate who was appointed by the president. With words like this. The next question, is this how I want my child to act? So there's books like this, again another. I pulled these all from the Amazon best-seller lists. Books like this or do we want in the hands of our children? Books like this. The one Amir read earlier this evening that teaches children about honesty. Even when it's difficult. And the last question and probably the most important, is this how I want my child to think? Because in the end of the day, our beliefs, what's in our hearts, are going to inform our actions and inform the way we live and inform our akhira. So is this how I want my child to think? So there's books like this, very popular. I'm sure you guys have all seen it. This is going to be on the shelves in your children's classrooms in most schools. Or you can have books like this, 10 beautiful things. It's about a young child traveling across the country with her grandmother and the grandmother challenges her to find beauty in the world, even though she's faced a tragedy. So is this how I want my child to think? Those are the questions we spend a lot of time thinking about when we recommend books. So a few days ago, someone forwarded me this Instagram post from an organization called We Are Teachers that represents about three million teachers. All reading counts, graphic novels, that's comic books, magazines, read aloud, movie captions, a back of the cereal box. All reading counts. We disagree with this. We disagree with this. All reading, if all of this reading is equal and it all counts, that means there's no value in elevating a child through what they're reading. There's no value in elevating their language or their morality or the messages that they're getting. So we disagree with this and we're going to do a little exercise. We're going to rewrite this Instagram post. So if this was Amira, Mashallah spends a lot of time making beautiful Instagram posts, so follow us on Instagram if you don't already. This is what we would post. This reading counts. Reading that builds language that elevates the language of our children.  And most importantly, reading books that increases their understanding of the truth. Those are books worth reading. This is what we want in the hands of our children. So one of our mission at Mindful Muslim Reader is to elevate young Muslim readers one book at a time. We read every book cover to cover so parents don't have to.


Hi everyone, Joe for jaspyscasebreaks.com coming at you with a little hockey 2020-2021 upper deck allure hockey five box random team break number two one spot gets you two random teams each And all carship big things to this group here. Let's double you up. Oh double up. Oh, oh like Sir mix a lot There's the combo right there ducks coyotes are combo'd Thursday night football on the background. Oh That's an interception Wow Let's randomize names and teams three times Wow Giants coming up with a huge interception With two 16 left in the game only down a point With you just have to protect the ball Taylor Three times has been a great game. I think we've been treated to two great Thursday night football games in a row two and a one three times for names and teams one two and three Rick down to Robert Two and a one three times for the teams one two and three Kings down to red wings. Oh, that's crazy. Now the Giants have to eat clocks still score All right, Rick with my king is Taylor Tyler that is with the Canadians Don McCrae with the maple leaves Rick with the blue Jackets Silvio with the Islander Scott with the Blackhawks Tyler with the penguins Nick with the Devils Don McCrae with the Canucks the lightning and the Rangers Spencer with the Oilers Mike Tower with the Golden Knights Don Rabb You have the National Predators Don M with the Flyers and Senators Nick with the Bruins Spencer combo team ducks and coyotes Silvia with the Stars Robert with the Panthers Don M with the St. Louis Blues Mike with the Sabres Don R With the Sharks Don M Wilde Capitals and Avalanche Scott with the flames Don M with the Jets the Hurricanes and Robert with the Detroit Red Wings Let's sort alphabetically by team. We're gonna pause the video when we come back We're gonna see if there's any trades and then we'll have the break stick around. Oh, welcome back folks So Giants are now up 29 27 on the Washington football team So Giants Before we pause video Giants had settled for the field goal Had to settle for the field goal Washington gets the ball back trying to get into field goal range and beat the beat the Giants 39 seconds left and that's it first in 10 Play blown dead All right. Good luck RTR. What's up? You didn't know there was no there's no minor league championship this year Jilo, what's up? Do I think win probability charts in sports are useful? Yes, are you talking like the pregame or like real-time win probability or both? Yeah, I think it's useful if you're trying to do like in-game wagering you can try to use that probability percentage to try to Correlate it with with the money line that's currently being offered and you can try to find some edges there I think it's a fun talking point. I think it's a good talking point though. I don't know if they really are super helpful but Just another talking point I guess Because it'll be like I'm sure this game is like You know the Washington football team have a you know 55% chance of winning I guess that's kind of interesting to know All right, so all carship all those rainbows are really cool. These double rainbows are a little bit thicker right there Which is pretty neat. So that double rainbow Philip Brober will go to the Edmonton Oilers. That's gonna be for Spencer Brad Marshawn black rainbow And we've got a Morgan and Gekke for the Carolina Hurricanes That's gonna be Don McCrae with Carolina. How's that even calculated? I don't know computers but I think they just have they have a Computer just calculating all these different probabilities like they take data historical data from field position to time to the players on the field what they can do the stats what Taylor Heineke can do with you know at With 27 seconds left in the game What happens historically in games that are this close between these kind of teams? So I think they use a lot of like that scenario kind of data and then some player data Individual player data try to figure to figure all that out. I mean, I'm assuming I don't know exactly how it works, but There's a refractor rookie Alexander Romanoff for the Canadians that'll be for Tyler Vale. I like these rookie Like these orange slice parallels here nice die cut Nicholas Baudin For Chicago, that's gonna be for Scott. Are they infield goal range? No, they're out of field goal range That's a first down Thomas Harley and our autograph is Kiefer bellows now my hockey knowledge not very strong So you're gonna have to let me know if if we like Kiefer bellows a lot. Let's go to the Islanders Silvio With the green auto. I mean, I know this guy if you're getting about the stickers that they put on the Yeah, it probably is more for gamblers the winning percentage stuff probably more for gamblers and like trying to use wind percentage to to like in-game wagering like on like Live wagering on the money line to who wins the game. All right next box. Good luck. There's another double rainbow right here These are pretty cool On the copet are red rainbow And there's a kale macar Orange sliced eye cut For Colorado that'll be for Don and we've got Shane Bowers for the abs. That's gonna be for Don McCrae 48 yards Dustin Hopkins It's up. It's wide, right Wow with time expiring the Giants win by one point, but there's a flag The Giants are off sides Wow Five-yard penalty and a first down Come on Giants My favorite statistic in sports is war wins above replacement Because I think I think that that is that allows you to kind of let's see if he makes his 43 yarder first. Oh I thought he missed it again Wow Washington football team wins by one point He went from zero to hero. Oh boy. I Like wins above replacement because I think it's a you're able to kind of see how a player It's easier to compare players in different arrows with wins above replacement because it compares them to their own peers You know what I mean? Yeah, Oliver. What a what a great game. It's our last Thursday night was great. This night tonight was great It's Carter Hart red rainbow Ovechkin And we got another die cut orange slice Sydney Crosby penguins Tyler and we've got a lime green Green quartz that is 68 out of 99 Connor Halibut for Winnipeg. That's gonna be for Don McCrae Oh, Horvath Red rainbow And we got a bow and Byron abs Don Tyler Benson red rainbow rookie And behind Kale McCar is another bow and Byron grand entrance Autograph for Don McCrae and the Colorado avalanche Green auto alright two more boxes to go if you look at the break schedule go to the Joe's picks tab I Was on the New York football Giants plus three and a half Boy, I thought they were gonna win outright for a second there though We have a we have a weekly pool here at Jaspies Where we select just game straight up I did pick the Giants One of them to win there What's next Thursday's game usually Thursday night games are kind of duds, but Pretty good here, and there's a rookie Alexi Lafreniere for the Rangers Don with New York We got Martin Jones green quartz Don Rav With that 153 out of 99 on that die cut Thomas Harley Dallas Relic Going to Silvio King of potatoes in Carolina at Houston next week. Well, I don't know how how advertising that matchup sounds on paper But I guess you could say the same thing about this came this came turned out to be pretty good And we've got a what is this? Phillip Kuroshev in a very familiar looking pattern. This is for the Chicago Blackhawk Scott Corwin That is a one-of-one Golden Treasures auto Scott with the Chicago Blackhawks All aboard the Big Head Express Whoo-whoo, I don't know again. I don't know if he's a good player or not, but I hope he is if not I hope he becomes one This season this upcoming season and there's a Connor McDavid. All right final allure box. Thanks everyone for the fill appreciate it And that's brutal the guy the guy who went offside for the New York football Giants On that miss kick by Washington. That's a long That's a long Flight home. Are they flying? Hey, how close is I'm a west coaster. How close is DC to New York? Are they taking a train back a private bus? Maybe Like a really nice bus. I don't know how that works All right, we got City Sully That is a different parallel right here. That's Brent Gallagher for Montreal The Vagney Malkin orange slice for the penguins and there's Thai Dell Andrea 30 out of 99 the Malkin goes to Tyler and the penguins and the Thai goes to Dallas and that's for Silvio Brady or Rogers this week. Yeah, I think King is right Rogers does does does carve up Detroit pretty well And Rogers usually pretty good after a buy after a loss that is not a buy It was like a buy they were playing like it was a buy Who's uh, who are they playing? Oh, who's who are the buccaneers playing? Falcons, maybe I don't know faults. How many boxes are in a case of hybrid? That'll that should answer your question. I honestly don't know Don with the Flyers Relic James Van Reed's mick That's last Bob Mojo for Don M There's another base Alexi Lafreniere Hmm Brady and the Falcons. I guess it depends on whether you think Rogers is rusty to start the season If you think that then maybe you go then you go Brady. Yeah, well For the game overall though, Boone. Yeah, sometimes those Detroit Packers games can get kind of crazy There's Jason Robertson last Hit here for Silvio in the Dallas Stars. Sometimes those games can get crazy. I'm tempted to take the Lions plus the points I think they might be able to kind of keep it close But it could be a higher scoring game though, which may favor Aaron Rodgers. There you go folks That was 2020 2021 upper deck allure hockey five box ram team break number two. I'm Joe for jaskies case breaks calm I'll see you next time for the next hockey break. Bye. Bye


Hello, welcome and thank you for watching Nursing School Explained. Today's topic is pulmonary embolus or PE. So let's look at the pathophysiology behind a PE. So remember that the thrombus is the blood clot that is on the move where an embolus is a blood clot that has become stagnant or dislodged somewhere. So for a pulmonary embolus that is a thrombus that is now dislodged in the pulmonary artery it can so it's it's a thrombus but it can also be a fat or air embolus or tumor. So basically what a fat embolus is that usually happens after long bone fractures when let's say the femur breaks. Bone marrow is released, some fat enters the bloodstream and then it can become dislodged in the lungs where an air embolus is basically the mishandling of an IV line. So now air has gotten the patient's IV line, it travels up the vasculature and then this air does not allow blood flow to the lungs and their flow for it becomes obstructed and certainly tumors can cause that as well. But the most common cause of pulmonary embolus is DBT, deep vein thrombosis that becomes dislodged and is now entered the pulmonary artery and is causing some major problem with ventilation and perfusion. Other causes are atrial fibrillation. Remember that when the atria they just quiver and there's a lot of swishing around of the blood in the atria the patient is more prone to clots it can become dislodged and then get into the pulmonary artery as well as pelvic veins after surgery. So any kind of abdominal surgery puts the patient at higher risk for a clot that forms in the pelvic veins. Now risk factors because we know the most common one is DVT so it's immobility right that's a high risk factor for for DVT or surgery in the last three months also patients with a history of DVT are more prone to get more DVTs smoking certainly is a risk factor as well as obesity which kind of goes along with the immobility birth control pills have a higher risk for blood developing blood clots air travel so being sedentary at high elevations for a long period of time and also immobilized can put patients at risk for PE as well as heart failure pregnancy due to due to the increase of blood volume that the mother goes through when she is trying to nourish the fetus as well as patients with clotting disorder certainly they're going to be at higher risk for an embolus. So signs and symptoms so just think about if there is now a blood clot obstructing the pulmonary artery the blood flow to the lungs certainly the patient is going to be short of breath they might be complaining of chest pain they might be mildly or moderately hypoxemic and it all depends on the size and the location of that pulmonary embolus they might have tachypnea so increased respiratory rate as well as cough as well as tachycardia they might have an episode of syncope they might have a fever they might have hemoptysis so bloody sputum in the cough crackles as well as wheezing can be lung sounds that are commonly heard and if it's a massive PE that's also called a saddle PE and that would basically be a blood clot that is so big that it obstructs the lungs at the bifurcation and does not allow blood flow into either one of the right or left lungs and when it's that massive the patient certainly will have altered level of consciousness because now we're not having any perfusion and oxygenation it can cause hypotension as well as impending doom so impending doom basically just means the patient knows that something is very wrong with them and they think that if you're not going to help them they are going to die very shortly and they will let you know about that so then complications of pulmonary embolus includes pulmonary infarction just like a clot can obstruct the coronary arteries causing a myocardial infarction a PE a pulmonary embolus a blood clot stuck in the pulmonary artery can cause pulmonary infarction because now the tissues past that clot do not get any perfusion and blood flow and therefore the tissues will die it can also cause pulmonary hypertension that is usually when there's an obstruction by that blood clot that affects more 50% of the lungs and then the the the rest of the pulmonary vasculature will get so backed up that hypertension or high blood pressure evolves there now for diagnostic tests a D-dimer is always a good blood test to check if you're suspecting pulmonary embolus but keep in mind a D-dimer is a very non-specific test for clotting so a D-dimer might be elevated for a multitude of other reasons but it's a good screening test if the patient presents with any of these signs and symptoms and maybe they have risk factors of surgery let's say then a D-dimer would be a good test now a CT scan of the test with IV contrast is pretty much the gold standard to diagnose a pulmonary embolus because by injecting the dye in the IV now we can see how is the dye spreading through the lungs and we can see if there's an obstruction whether it's partial or complete or how big the problem area is now I also wrote down here a VQ scan and that's called a ventilation perfusion scan don't ask me why that's not a P I didn't invent it it's called a ventilation perfusion scam and it is a nuclear medicine test where the patient instead of the IV contrast gets injected radioactive dye and a lot of times they also ingest it and then by the way that these nuclear isotopes make their way through the body sorry not ingested inhaled inhaled radioactive isotopes so that way we can see again how is the pulmonary vasculature responding to these isotopes but this test is very time intensive it's very specialized and it's usually only used if the patient is allergic to IV dye or they can't have a CT scan because of radiation exposure that an example would be a pregnant woman who has now a suspicion for a P E and then certainly because we're going to have we're going to have to think about dissolving that cloud so our PT AP TT our coagulation times intrinsically and extrinsically are going to be important to know and assess beforehand before we give these patients any kind of anticoagulants now if the patient is in respiratory distress we certainly would want to check an ABG as well as an EKG to see the effect that that pulmonary embolus has now maybe caused on the heart we might also want to check cardiac markers such as proponent CK CK MB and a BNP to see if there's any cardiac reasons for the patient's symptoms to rule out P but also in addition to see if we know that it's a P has it caused any extra strain on the heart or maybe not put the patient in heart failure because of all these problems with the circulation to the lungs now nursing care related to pulmonary embolus is to prevent we know that it's the most common reason for pulmonary embolus so we should prevent it to begin with and that is by doing all these good things that we do for patients that are post-op so maybe they're going to need O2 administration coughing deep breathing use of the incentives parameter as well as SCD so a sequence of compression devices that help promote blood flow from the lower extremities as well as early mobilization so getting them up getting them moving if even if it's just in the chair or to walk to the restroom it's going to help prevent dbt now for assessing we definitely want to want to assess the patient who has a PE very frequently look at their vital signs because we know they can have tachypnea tachycardia maybe low blood pressure as well as their O2 sat is going to be a good indication as to how well they're perfusing as well as an EKG or telemetry monitor to check the cardiac rhythm and then certainly want to assess lung sounds frequently to see if there have been any changes now for medications the patients will be on some sort of an anti coagulant again depending on the size and location of the pulmonary embolus and the severity of symptoms that the patient is having now usually if the patient is hospitalized they will be on heparin either IV or subq or they can be on low venox subq and then we want to while they're at the hospital prepare them for anti coagulation at home because this is a medication that the patient most likely has to be on for several weeks maybe even months to lower their risk of complications from that and so while they're at the hospital they're still going to be transition for PO medications whether that is Coumadin or eliquid or Pradaxa or whatever these medications are that the physician has decided based on the patient's other medical conditions preferences and so forth now if this is an acute PE so this is a patient who is acutely ill acutely short short of breath now we know that we have a pulmonary embolus that is majorly obstructing their lungs we have to act quickly to prevent this pulmonary infarction and the lung tissue from dying so the treatment is either thrombolytics and you might be familiar with that from strokes or maybe even MI because when the patient when there's no cath lab close by the patient has to get thrombolytics and that's usually TPA which is tissue plasminogen activator and that's just a name of the thrombolytics and those are basically the clot busting medications so those are medications that will dissolve that fibrin clot and help break it down and therefore hopefully the patient's symptoms will resolve and then there's also surgical measures which is pulmonary thrombolectomy so this is basically surgical removal of that pulmonary embolus which is of course a huge undertaking in the big surgery that the patient will have to undergo. So in conclusion remember the PE is most likely caused by DVT so we need to do all those measures that help us prevent deep vein thrombosis by early ambulation incentive spirometer use making sure the patient moves making sure those SCDs are in place and if they've had surgery most likely the patient will be on a preventive anticoagulant such as lobenox so that they don't develop the DVT that then can lead to PE or pulmonary embolism. So thank you for watching this video please also refer to the other videos in my respiratory disorder playlist and I hope to see you again sometime soon. Thanks for watching!


Hey guys, my name is Wilson and today we're going to be going over the top five most profitable business ideas in 2020. Last year we did this video and it was super popular, which is the reason why we're doubling down and cutting right to the chase and telling you the top five most profitable. And they are bubble tea joints, ramen joints, delivery only restaurants, food trucks and plant based restaurants. There you go. Those who cannot wait and finish the whole video, these are the ideas that you can run with. But for those of you guys that want to know the pros, the cons, the nuances of how do you actually be able to take advantage of this phenomenon in 2020, please continue watching throughout the whole video because I'm going to be sharing with you all the research that I've done and as a return, I really appreciate if you can just smash the like button. That's the only thing that I ask for, otherwise let's dive right in. The number one most profitable business idea in 2020 is still a bubble tea joint. It is because it is still super, super popular. I think this thing has become just a phenomenon and a habit for people to take on. For those of you that do not know what bubble tea is, bubble tea is basically an Asian dessert drink with tea based with tapioca on the bottom, something that's very chewy and it has written a huge, huge wave. Even today in 2020, it is still super, super popular and it's evolving like crazy. Now, having said that, if you're not in a location or a city that has high Asian demographic that likes and enjoy this product, then that's probably not a place where you should be opening this and this probably is not as applicable to you when you can skip on to the next one. However, if you are considering if you're actually situated in an Asian dense community that has bubble tea as part of the offering or as a staple item, then this is still a very profitable business idea out there. Now, on the same note, the pros of having a bubble tea joint is the low barrier to enter and the low investment. Why is it low investment? It is because the equipment that is needed is bare to nothing compared to a full scale restaurant.  Bubble tea is super easy to make versus let's say a full scale restaurant that requires a stove and oven and a head of scale fans, all these crazy things. And in turn, you would attract a lot more legalities that you need to deal with, a lot more strict food safety requirements that you need to fulfill and that itself oftentimes takes a lot more investment, a lot more time to build and that's the reason why having a bubble tea shop is just that much more popular because the investment is much lower, the ability to create one is a lot easier as well. Now, the third pros of creating a bubble tea joint is the fact that it's just super easy to make. The quality assurance is so easy versus a full scale restaurant because all you need is to have a recipe, a recipe of putting powder in the drink, milk powder, flavor powder, syrup, mix it for 30 seconds and you're good to go. A lot of times it is so easy to make. Anyone can come into place to make this drink and the product would be equally as good if they follow the formula versus someone that has a recipe that needs to cook up a pasta or chicken or whatever the case may be. It just, there's just more variables to it and it just makes the quality much more difficult to predict and much more difficult to sustain and maintain. Bubble tea joints, the quality assurance just is that much easier. Now, on the same pro, it becomes easier for us to hire talent because anyone can come in and do their job equally as good as the next high schooler. So a lot of times in a food and beverage environment, talent is the one and most difficult thing to overcome and that is the reason why by far I think bubble tea joints are still one of the most profitable, one of the most easiest to create in terms of business models out there in 2020. And last but not least, another pro for bubble tea joint is the fact that the turnover is just so easy for this joint and this model to create because for you to create a drink is just super simple, probably 30 seconds per drink and after you create the drink, people can grab and go. You're not worried about people squatting in your place and not being able to fulfill them and if your place has high demand, it becomes so easy for you to be able to churn and create that volume. And to satisfy that, I actually have friends who are able to make more than a thousand bubble teas in any single day and in turn, they're able to generate tons and tons of profit for this specific model. Oh, guys, I totally forgot to talk about this. Cogs is also one of the major points and the major pros of running a bubble tea joint because the Cogs, which is the cost of good souls, is much lower than, let's say, running a full scale restaurant. The Cogs probably around 20 to 25 percent is what we're looking at. So for any time we have a bubble tea, the cost of creating that is probably around a dollar and we are retelling it for six dollars. So a little bit lower than 20 percent versus someone that is creating, let's say a pasta or a chicken salad or whatever the case may be, the cost of good souls is substantially higher. On the same note, operating a bubble tea shop and maintaining the Cogs is so much easier because everything is portioned out properly to the sizing, which in turns becomes a lot more efficient. So there's less spoilage and less areas for people to either steal from you or less area of where the Cogs goes missing. Whereas, let's say if you're running a restaurant, it's a lot easier for your chicken to go expired, for your chicken to be someone to be selling your chicken now or like your staff going out there and eating all your chicken and all these things that can go wrong, which in turn brings up your cost of good souls. A lot of times I see restaurant Cogs at 30 to 35 percent, which in turn becomes your profit. The better you're able to maintain your Cogs, the better, more profit you can put in your pocket. And this is talking from experience because at 720 Suites, we sell bubble tea as well.  Now, after all the regular bubble tea, there are tons of cons of this business model. First of all, it is super, super competitive, okay? Me walking down our street in Vancouver, there's always gonna be more bubble tea shop than 7-11s out there. It is a fact and it has become one of the staple items in Vancouver. What does that mean? That means competition is just furious. People have so much different options that they can choose from, so you better be good at what you're serving. Now, with any profitable business models, there's always gonna be super high in competition. So be aware of whether this opportunity still exists within your area. If, for example, you still see one or two bubble tea shops around your area and they're always, always packed, then that's probably an area where there can be room for another bubble tea joint, okay? Now, the second cons of running a bubble tea joint is the low ticket item, okay? It is very, very low ticket item. What does that mean? Low ticket item means that you need to run the volume game. You need to sell a ton in order for your math to make sense in order for your business model to make sense because if you don't sell enough, your rent percentage and your rent or your labor percentage would be taking up majority of the cost, okay? Whereas if you can run the volume game, your rent and your labor would substantially go down in terms of percentage-wise and in turn, you're gonna be able to really see the effect and the efficiency of running a model like this, okay? Because in a bubble tea environment, at most, you're only selling one or two bubble teas at what? $6 a drink. Whereas, let's say in a full-scale restaurant, anyone that goes in can go for a ticket price of $50, $60, and in turn, you make more money from less people in those restaurant environment, whereas for a bubble tea joint, you're making less money per person. What does that mean? You require a lot more people to come through the doors and that itself, you need to make sure that there's high demand for this product before you go into this business model. So all in all, bubble tea concept is still super profitable, but you require it to be a lot more competitive moving forward. As an example, 720 sweets, we are always innovating with the product that we're serving because you need to be able to carve out a specific niche even within the bubble tea industry right now. Some people go for brown sugar milk, some people would go for best taro, some people would go for the best milk tea, best tapioca. So if you wanna be able to succeed in this model, you definitely need to find something that you're really good at and to have super high quality. Long gone are the days that you can just mix powder and milk and serve people. And that's the reason why at 720 sweets, we just go for super innovative quality items that we can serve people. And in turn, we see a lot of success by doing that. If you guys are looking for more opportunities for the bubble tea niche, feel free to leave me in the comment section below. I would recommend you a few different franchises, which I think has great quality and great product that you may be able to bring to your city. So all in all, it is still a very profitable business idea out there. Nonetheless, be very, very careful whether you wanna choose this business model to go ahead with because competition is super furious and what does that mean? Moving forward, people are going for more quality drinks. You cannot just feed people powder and sugar and expect them to come back. You need to feed them good quality tea-based items with good quality pearls and tapioca. And if you're looking for more information, definitely hit me up. I can recommend a few different bubble tea joints that I think are doing exceptionally well and has a good process that has good ingredients. And I think like going into a franchise model and buying into people's franchise and people's recipe is still a very profitable idea out there. So leave me a comment section below if you want to know more about my recommendation. Nonetheless, let's jump into the second most profitable business idea in 2020. The second most profitable business idea in 2020 are ramen joints. Ramen joints are still super, super popular as become one of the most, I guess, up and coming food staple item out there. All the places, different places that I've been traveling to ramen is picking up in popularity in very, very rapid pace. And what does that mean? That means that there's a lot more opportunity for you to be able to take advantage of this phenomenon. Ramen joints, super high in popularity. Now on something that is an advantage over a bubble tea joint is that ramen joints have much higher in ticket price. And what does that mean? That means that when people go into a ramen joint, each ramen is $15 to $20. And in turn, they can also order an api, either gyoza, chicken karage, and they can also order desserts, and they can also order a drink. And in turn, an average ticket value, we're talking about anywhere from $20 to $30 versus a $6 drink that bubble tea has. And what does that mean? That means that with ramen joints, they have much more opportunity and much more margins for error and margins for, let's say, spending into marketing costs. And in turn, if, and when you can run a ramen joint with the same popularity and the same amount of traffic going into your joint, your profitability would go up substantially higher as well. Another pro for running a ramen joint is the talent required. The talent required is very, very different from running a full-scale restaurant because a lot of ramen joints, they are actually franchises. And I would highly recommend any of you guys watching if you want to jump into this opportunity to go through franchises because the soul, the heart of where a ramen joint is, is the broth. And it is something that is very, very difficult to perfect, which is the reason why you would always, always, or I would highly recommend you to go with a franchise because they already have perfected the broth. They already have done all the R&D. All you have to do is follow the process, follow the recipe, and you're good to go. And what does that mean? That means that it's so much easier for you to hire people to follow these process as opposed to, let's say, any of the restaurants out there. And a very special thing about ramen joints is they're etiquette, okay? Every time I go to Japan, I go there. There's no reservation. You need to stand outside, line up, and when it's your turn, you have to order one ramen at the very minimum, okay? So if you're taking up a seat, you have to order. This etiquette and this cuisine is not meant to be shared. It's not meant for you to be able to spend hours at this place to socialize. No, it's not like that.  Average time at a ramen shop is anywhere from 15 minutes to 25 minutes, and they expect you to finish, and they expect you to be out of there within half an hour. And this is a very, very special etiquette for ramen joints that no other cuisines have expectation for you. And people that enjoy ramen, they understand this etiquette and which in turn, what does that mean? It means much more higher turnover for this business model. And which is the reason why I love this model. Our friends who are making three to $4 million in an 800 square feet place in Vancouver, which is insane. And what that means is that they're just always constantly churning out customers, churning out customers, and just on the go, on the go, super highly efficient. So if you are asking me, I'm gonna tell you, the second most profitable business idea in 2020, what is it? They're ramen joints. Now after raving all about ramen joints, I know there are tons of cons as well. First up, the investment is substantially higher than a bubble tea joint in comparison, whereas it all obviously is so lower than a full-scale restaurant, but you still need to invest in the proper stove and actually hooded fans and all these full-scale restaurant items, right? But nonetheless, the investment itself might not be suitable for everyone, so it requires much more higher in budget, okay? And another cons of running a ramen joint is a lot of people that can get into the ramen business, they have to buy franchises because this is a very niche and very, very specific item. And what does that mean? You need to pay an upfront franchise cost, you need to pay ongoing royalties, but with that, it comes with their support, so this might not be a model that's suitable for everyone. Nonetheless, it is still a super profitable idea out there. And last but not least, another con is that the labor that is required to run a ramen joint is still, I would say, a second tier of talent that is required over bubble tea joints. Bubble tea joints, you require people, anyone can come in and run a bubble tea joint as long as they form a lot, whereas the next step up, I would say that's a ramen joint. People need to be a little bit more skillful in creation and creating the items because there's a broth, a little bit more variable in place. Nonetheless, this is still a very, very profitable idea out there in 2020. The third most profitable business idea in 2020 are delivery-only restaurants, AKA known as ghost restaurants, virtual restaurants, cloud kitchen, whatever the case may be. These models are basically restaurants with no physical storefront. We're talking about only working out of a commercial kitchen and people are commissioning out and working out with third-party delivery apps such as skipped dishes, Grubhub, Postmates, Uber Eats, all these different delivery services to distribute their meals. This is a very, I guess like new business model that is like gaining tons of steam. Even the ex-CEO of Uber, Travis, has raised more than $400 million, creating their own cloud kitchen to be able to service this type of business model. We're talking about Stevie Ioki creating their own pizza brand using this model as well. Food delivery service as an industry is expected to be more than $70 billion in 2022. We're talking about an industry that is gonna be picking up tons of steam and this is still, we're talking about the forefront of this whole model and nonetheless, this is the reason why I'm super, super excited to share this model with you. This is the next most profitable business idea and we're gonna dive right into the pros of running this model. Now the pros of running this model, there's just so many pros. You know what, at the end of the day, you don't need to go through the huge investments of buying your own equipment, to go through all the licensing, to go through the food safety requirements, to understand how the nuances of building out your own kitchen, you don't need to understand none of those. All you need is to go through this kitchen and it's already all provided for you. You don't need to get your own food license. You don't need the major investment that you're gonna be able to throw upfront just so you can build a restaurant. All you require is to be able to rent a spot in the commercial kitchen that can service this type of needs. That itself is a huge pro and versus someone that needs to fork out hundreds of thousands of dollars to create their own storefront, to create their own equipment, to create their own restaurant. This is a huge, huge plus because all you have to do is just rent a kitchen and you're good to go. And the second pro of running a delivery-only service restaurant is that you avoid all the headaches with staffing, the front of house staffing. All you need to worry about is production. All you need to worry about is maintaining your operation and the quality of your food service and your food product. That itself is a huge, huge pro. If you are someone that is super skillful and loves just cooking, you don't need to worry about running a brick and mortar store. You don't want to worry about bringing people in through the doors. All you have to worry about is your recipe. This is the model for you because if you have quality item, if you have quality product, all you have to do is create the product, put it on these third-party delivery app services and it that itself. If the quality is good enough, you're gonna be able to attract tons of people to always come in order from you. You don't need to worry about running marketing, getting people through the doors. Or let's say, for example, it's a rainy day. How are you gonna be worrying?  All you have to do is focus on your craft and you're good to go. And another pro of delivery-only restaurant. This is a very specific pro for this type of business model is that you're not married to your business, okay? You don't need to sign a five-year, 10-year lease into a physical location, which at the end of the day, you might hate, okay? All you have to do is sign a lease with a cloud kitchen and you're good to go. That might be a commitment of roughly a year to two years and that itself allows you to be less stressful. You're not married to it by life. And in turn, allows you to have much more opportunity to try out different concepts until that one that really hits home to your customers. So this is a huge, huge pro specifically for delivery-only restaurant models.  You cannot bank and you have much less creativity that you can play because you're relying on third-party apps and delivery services. On the same note of actually relying so heavily on these apps is the fact that all your eggs is in one basket, all your eggs is in this one basket and you cannot diversify because they are the lifeline of your business. Food delivery apps now controls your destiny. And in turn, if any given day they change your policy, they increase their rates or they decide to favor specific brands, then you are in trouble and then you have no more leverage because they control your lifeline. They're holding you by the neck, which is something that I do not like at all. And in turn, how can you actually combat that? And how can you actually leverage this model? You can actually run this by for a year, two years to gain some momentum to prove your concept, to be able to gain your subscription base, your returning customers. And in turn, that allows you to be able to have the confidence and the base to create a storefront. And that allows you to be able to be much less risky in this venture of yours because you have now proven yourself to be super successful and to be a quality item.  All your customers belong to food delivery apps. This is something that I really, really do not like because this doesn't give me the freedom to reach my customers. This doesn't give me the freedom to be able to own my customers because once again, we're at the mercy of these food delivery service apps and that's something that I really don't like. But nonetheless, the pros of it is that far outweighs the cons. And in turn, if for example, like I said, if you've proven to be successful, then you can go out and create your own restaurant. And this is the third most profitable business ideas out there in 2020. The fourth most profitable business idea in 2020 are food trucks. Food trucks are definitely making a comeback. Food trucks, I would say right now is definitely gaining a lot of steam because people are supporting local small businesses. They're getting into back into the trend of these specialty items and they love it and they have no problem going outside, waiting in line in the rain for a good food truck taco. This is definitely coming and getting a comeback. And a lot of pros with this is the fact that you can actually go to your customers versus a ghost kitchen, which is delivery only service. You can actually go to your customers, you can go to different locations in town who has an appetite for your food offering. Another pro of food truck is the fact that the investment is substantially lower than a brick and mortar store. The investment is somewhere around 100 to $200,000 and in turn you actually own this asset that you can sell in the future versus you being strapped down into a physical location to five-year lease, 10-year lease and that itself is a huge commitment that not a lot of people like. This itself becomes a very, very good business model that fits a very specific type of people that can drive around or not honed and they're not holed down by this physical location. And this is the reason why it has made the list of the top four most profitable business ideas in 2020. Oh, and an added tip with food trucks is the fact that they can run to a lot of different events and usually at events, they are the most popular item. That because that's the only choice that they have and in turn, they often food truck owners see a certain spike and this becomes part of their business model that they can go to different events because those are guaranteed traffic and in turn guaranteed business for them. Now on the flip side, the con is the fact that you're always on the road. It's very, very difficult to be on the road. It is very exhausting because you don't have a physical location which you can just go in and clock in and clock out because you're always chasing after that business. On another note, the con is the fact that weather might be a concern. If the weather in your area is always raining, then it becomes a half a year operation. So in Vancouver, food trucks are super popular during the summertime, whereas the winter time, right now it's snowing outside and the food trucks are all out of commission and that in turn limits the amount of days that you can be in operation and the quality and the service that you can provide to your customers. People might think that you're not as relevant and that itself is a con of this business model. Nonetheless, this business model is only attractive to very certain type of people that might, for example, want to try out different business ideas. In Vancouver, we have a ton of food trucks that is out there creating an experience for people, testing out different formulas, testing out whether there's a demand for their offering and in turn, they turn into a business. They turn into a storefront and that's usually how the model works. We have three different restaurants off the top of my mind that went from having a food truck to getting into a solid brick and mortar location. So if you don't not have that much investment and if you want to limit the amount of risk you have, this might be a profitable business idea that you can consider in 2020. Oh, and something that I totally forgot and thank you, Jason, for reminding me are the licenses. Licenses are usually super, super confusing and within any city and any jurisdictions, they have only certain amount of permits that they allow people to operate in. You oftentimes need to go and apply for them and oftentimes there are quotas that you need to apply for which at the end of the day makes it super confusing and in turn turns a lot of people away from the food truck business. So for example, within our Vancouver city, there's only 30 different food truck licenses that they're offering and if we want to be able to get into the business, we cannot actually apply for it anymore because they already shut them down. All you can do is buy an existing food truck license off those people. Now, how are you gonna be able to hunt down the 30 different food truck and ask them whether they have and wanting to sell? That's a very, very difficult process already. So nonetheless, that's a really, really big con is that it's not something that you can apply for and get right away. There are quotas and there are city permits that you need to go through the hoops in getting. The fifth most profitable business idea in 2020 are plant-based vegan restaurants, okay? We're talking about a plant-based restaurant that five, 10 years ago, no one has even thought of creating because there's just not much of a demand for it. It's just not the cool thing to talk about. People are less health-conscious about what they put in their body but in today's age, it is definitely getting a ton of steam. A lot of celebrities are jumping on the train right now. People like Beyonce, people like Brad Pitt, they're really, really vocal in terms of their support in plant-based diet. And even for like ice cream, plant-based ice cream has increased more than 25% year over year. And we can actually see this movement gaining so much steam when actually just last year alone, all the fast food chains have plant-based options. They have vegetarian options like Beyond Meat.  So in today's age, I know it's in its infancy still, very, very infancy. But if you have the passion to actually love what you love the substitutes, love plant-based stuff and really being an advocate of this industry, then this is still a very, very profitable idea that you can actually go in during the beginnings and to be able to reap the rewards from years from today because people who are in this street, people who are passionate about it are gonna love what you have to offer. On the con side, this is still very, very beginning as I was saying that you're not gonna be able to hit the masses. You're not gonna be able to hit the mainstreams. However, once again, if you're passionate about this, then it is completely fine. It is a very, very good model that you can actually be able to benefit from because people who love it, they've rave about it and the supply for this is still very, very low. So if you're thinking about creating a plant-based restaurant, now's the time to do that because there's just not much demand for, not much supply of it and the demand is growing, leaps and bounds every single year. So there you go, the top five most profitable idea in 2020. We're talking about bubble tea joints, ramen joints, food trucks, delivery-only restaurants and last but not least, the plant-based restaurants. These are the most profitable ideas out there amongst all the research that we have done and at the end of the day, it's not suitable for everyone. You really need to see if it is suitable and it has demand.  If there's no demand, there's no need to create something like this and it is also not for every single one. You need to understand how your personal circumstances are like at this moment to choose the right vehicle to get you there. Nonetheless, I really, really hope you have enjoyed this video. The only thing I can ever ask for is for you to smash the like button. Otherwise, comment below and let me know if you guys have any questions. I'll see you guys in the next video.


Hello and welcome into the John Stoltzrager show. I'm Joe Wamba joined now with John Stoltzrager head coach of the men's and women's Programs and coach you guys head up to Wilkesbury for the Diamond Invitational and have some pretty solid performances there Yeah, it was it was a really good meet. I think You know some of our kids did personal best which is you know always what you're shooting for but more than anything You know they they swam fast and they swam against kids that were rested shaved and tapered And we weren't we had a short two-day rest which means that they didn't swim in a afternoon on Thursday they didn't do a lift on Friday and We just went in there and and and saw what we could do and some differences from this meet versus some of the other Meets that we've had It's a two-day meet which is unique for the the other meets in the season. Yeah, it's a two-day meet So it's set up like your conference championship So the events are the same and you swim a session on Saturday morning Saturday afternoon and then Sunday morning And again It's designed to kind of teach your body how to do a change championship format Which some of the freshmen have never done before so you know again It's it's a great learning experience for the kids and a great opportunity for them to to race some fast kids And let's talk a little bit about the philosophy of it being shaved and tapered our team did not do that And what is the motive or for not doing that this weekend? The big thing for me is you know I want my kids to get up and go and swim fast against those kids that are shaved and tapered if You can do a lifetime best if you can keep up with these kids that are shaved and tapered and suited Then when we shave taper and suit up, it's going to be a huge advantage for us both Physically and mentally so if you can keep up with a suited kid You're doing pretty well and you mentioned it. We did get some personal best out of this weekend and some events Yeah, we did we had um, you know Julie she did a personal best in her 53 Natalie did her personal best in her two backs So again, we saw some kids, you know really swim fast and and really got after it Which is what you're looking for you're looking for you know the kids to to Again race those kids that are suited and you talked about it a little bit before we went on air um You're off this weekend, and then you get into the most grueling stage of your your season before the Mack tournament or Mack meet in February Yeah, our we we really shift gears after Thanksgiving. This is truly the only holiday that the kids get After after Thanksgiving we'll be back We'll swim through finals and then we'll actually stay after finals for another week and then the home for for Christmas And then they're back up here like the 27 28th, and then we're doubling we're doubling every single day We'll do four hours a day That is that is a lot of time in the pool. It's a whole lot of time in the pool And actually we'll also be lifting so you know emcee will get to see us a lot over over that Christmas break and You know them we'll taper off into our conference meet Well, we hope all that hard work will pay off when we get into February for you guys It will definitely pay off. I mean the kids will put in the work and you know I really feel that they're you know buying into our system and what we're trying to do here and You know in February we will definitely surprise some people well coach We appreciate your time. Enjoy this holiday off and good luck in the rest of the season. All right. Thank you very much He's John Stoltz trigger. I'm Joe Wamba, and this has been the John Stoltz trigger show happy Thanksgiving