news update welcome folks with the dow industry's finish up one fifty three nasa down twenty two s and p's up twenty two and a half you talk about running into the close folks nice volatility uh... barlain you get you you have a higher price you do have a contraction of volume once again but as i said uh... through the show uh... might take window dressing this thing wants higher price gold gold contract on seven dollars sixty cents straight at nineteen fifty four we get silver of twenty nine cents twenty five all sixty two cents an ounce right sweet crude up sixty eight cents a hundred thirteen dollars two cents a barrel notes and bonds the ten-year note uh... down one full point plus eight ticks at that one twenty one twenty one the thirty year down two full points at four ticks at one forty seven oh seven and king dollar king dollar out here which you go up uh... ninety eight point seven nine seven our king dollar did do folks is this it went to lower price rejected lower price of the bottom line that's still game to get the higher price we don't take a look at the s and p this is not enough volume for a bc structure up against what you have a higher close once again bottom line we did uh... sixty eight million shares out there you needed uh... seventy four or look at a close that was a seventy four for a bc up this market wants to go man and the x one hundred we have inside the end the x one hundred the three queues we did uh... fifty five million i think it is sixty five we need sixty three so bottom line that also need more volume but guess what you're coming into window dressing next week higher prices i expect we'll see we don't take a look at the gold contract out here gold contract down seven dollars year trade in nineteen ninety five we had uh... nineteen fifty five rather idea hundred forty three thousand contracts traded out here and that's like contract volume going sideways but my take building costs for higher price that's how this baby is setting up and if we go over to the king dollar we take a look at king dollar what you're gonna see a king dollar out here is that king dollar bottom line rejected ninety eight four hundred today and this is a beautiful triangle man as i said a little bit uh... earlier on the update at that three o'clock when you're trying to like this folks okay what ends up happening you come in right to the peak of it so this thing's gonna be break one way the other and normally what ends up happening let's say we break top side there's probably gonna be a false break in going downtown you break downtown just the opposite that's how these things normally play out which is really deviant have a great one folks have a safe one come back and visit tommy monday morning kicks us off nine o'clock thanks for that oh yeah oh yeah folks


A Minnesota appeals court has ruled employers in Minneapolis still have to provide paid sick leave for their workers. The ruling filed Monday affirms a January ruling at Hennepin County District Court, which said the city could require only Minneapolis-based companies to comply with the sick leave ordinance. The local law, which took effect in July, allows employees to earn one hour of paid sick leave for every 30 hours worked up to 48 hours a year. The Minnesota Chamber of Commerce filed a lawsuit against the city last year, arguing state law preempts the ordinance. The chamber appealed the January ruling, which allowed the city to proceed with the ordinance. If you've enjoyed this segment of Lakeland News, please consider making a tax-deductible contribution to Lakeland Public Television.


Hey guys, it's Nate, AKA The Foot Accountant. Welcome back to the channel. It's Monday, it's market outlook time, and let's talk about what is happening today and this week in FIFA Ultimate Team. We're gonna start off by looking at the Sunday sell-off with maybe a little bit of squad battle rewards, supply that is hitting the FIFA Ultimate Team market and hitting these top cards and making some of their prices drop a little bit more. And then also, the loading screen is no longer there, but we are getting Saudi League. The Saudi League is coming today. There was a loading screen earlier today that showed what is coming for the Saudi League. So that's gonna be the second league that comes out. This is the loading screen right here. That's gonna be the second league that comes out this week because the EFL cards go out of packs today and the Saudi League is going to be going in packs on Monday. So this was their loading screen today. I don't really know who this is. Some people are saying it's Gomes, not sure. But the Saudi League is what was out last year, I think, when the Premier League was out as well. So it looks like they're maybe doing some similar leagues as they've done in the past. And that's what a lot of people have asked me. What's the league that is after-prem? Some people have been telling me Syria, and some people have been telling me it's gonna be the same as last year with Bundesliga. So to be honest, boys, I don't know what is true right now. It's just all over the place. There's nothing that is for sure. So we can speculate, we can look at the pack code and say, hey, Syria is listed first in the pack code, but does that really mean that they're going to be coming out first? Or is it gonna be the same as last year? We really don't know. So that's just something that we're kind of like looking at right now and we're not sure about. So look for more confirmation on that later this week, I would say. Just look for tweets by EA or any little hints that we might get as well about what the next set of team this season cards, the main league at least, is going to be. That's gonna be something that we're gonna have to kind of to watch and to look out for. But the market is dropping a ton out of weekend league at the moment, and I wanna talk about that. I wanna talk about other content we could see this week regarding team of the season in the Premier League. Now, if you look at these prices, this is, a lot of these cards are down a lot. They're actually at their lowest points that they have ever been for most of these cards, if not all of them. I think the only exception is like KDB is, and Richarlison is still above what he was during the lighting rounds, but a lot of these guys are very cheap, Slyunchu's still a bit expensive. But these guys got packed a lot tonight. When is the buy time on these? There's a lot of stuff that we have to talk about this week in terms of like fodder, in terms of the guaranteed Prem SBC. Is it gonna be Tuesday? Is it gonna be Thursday? This is my feeling right now, just to give you a quick thing at the beginning of the video talking about these prices. If you want somebody from the Prem team of the season to try out this week, if you wanna try them out, I think now is gonna be a time to buy them if you're looking to sell before Thursday rewards. Honestly, we saw this with community thoughts. Kind of what happened was, out of the weekend, they kinda hit a price, right? They kinda got low, and we'll go take a look at some of their graphs to show you this, but they kind of got panic sold off and they hit a lower price out of the weekend league, and that was kinda like their price for the week, basically. Does that make sense?  So if you look at a guy like Zaha, right? Even Zaha is down. 780, this guy was 920K, but you can tell the community thoughts last week, they went down, they were pretty low on Monday, they rose a bit into the mid week, and then they went down again Thursday and Friday, or Wednesday and Thursday, and then they rose into the weekend. Not all of them rose as crazy amounts as like Zaha did, but Brandon's down at 159, man. This card I think was like 180, almost 190 at one point on the weekend, at one point, but yeah. So he was 163, and as you can tell, a lot of these guys just kinda went down. Some of them continued to go down throughout the week, but there were some guys, like Zaha was pretty hyped up, right? We just looked at his graph and he went kind of upwards in price from Sunday or Monday into Tuesday, some 740 to 770. So if you want to try one of these new Premier League Tots cards out, like especially a guy like Vardy, who doesn't have a team of the, another like big card, he doesn't have a lot of other specials that are this high rated, and especially this one that has the week full upgrade. This guy was 1.15 million on Saturday. I would not be surprised if this Vardy card goes back to like 950 at some point during the week, just because of him being a very OP card that a lot of people want to try out. A lot of people say he's very good. So again, a lot of these cards are down a ton. They're down a ton. I think they could rise up a little bit this week depending on what happens with EA's content. I feel like some of these cards are like too cheap anyway, man. But that's how we felt last week about the Community Tots. We felt that a lot of these cards, which they're cheap again, man, and weak and they sell out. Wow, PK is 209K. A lot of these guys are cheap. I don't mind picking up some of these guys, to be honest. To be completely honest, I don't mind. Picking up some of these guys if you want to for your squad. This is like, this is the last big time if you wanna buy any really meta players this week. And leading up until Thursday rewards is gonna be not the last time, I guess, but one of the final times where you can snag yourself high rated meta cards, especially ones that are out of packs at a discounted price. A lot of these guys are dropping out of this weekend because what's happening is people are wanting to try these new Team of the Season cards at the expense they're selling their Team of the Years. Like, I'm watching this in Bapay right now. I'll drop a cheeky 2.9 million bid on this because he's a 3.9 million coin card. So I'm kinda watching this Team of the Year in Bapay. I am throwing around the idea myself of possibly maybe buying Ronaldinho and in Bapay and seeing if I can work out, put them in my squad because a lot of these cards are gonna rise back up in my opinion, you're gonna see them rise up a heavy amount. I'm not gonna mess around with this bid because I'm recording a video, but I wanna maybe get a cheeky bid in here and see where this in Bapay could go. But a lot of these guys could rise, I think, this week because you've seen them drop a ton in price. Like in Bapay it was 4.5 million two weeks ago. This Ronaldo was like 8 million a couple of weeks ago. Now he's 7 million, almost going under 7 million. Icons are down and the other out-of-packs special cards are down as well. And this is what I really wanna talk about and stress with you guys. Prem specials this week and also, I'm gonna go 3-4. Prem specials and specials from whatever league is gonna come on Friday. That's gonna be the focus of our investing this week and that timeframe for investing right now isn't a terrible time on some of these out-of-packs cards, like Future Stars or like, I'll go 3-6, all right? This is my final bid because I don't wanna make sure that I'm not, you know, 3-6 is pretty low, but I'll go 3-6 is my final offer right there, all right? It's my final offer. Out-of-packs Prem cards this week, right? I was looking at the right wing SAR. A lot of these cards are getting panic sold off from the weekend league. And they were pretty high this weekend and now they're down just because people are finishing weekend league selling their teams off, right? This SAR was 2.58 earlier. He was over 2.90 this weekend at one point. So just watch the panic selling on the Premier League cards because what we like with those is they're gonna be linking to these new team of the season cards that people get from red picks, that people get from red picks this week from weekend league rewards. So there's probably gonna continue to be a lot of Premier League squads built this week. That's kind of why I like the Zaha again, man, like Zaha at eight, seven, or nine, 790, 780, I think is what it said on footben, 780 for the Zaha card. If you wanna try a Zaha, like he might be back up at 850, 860 after this weekend league, it's very, very a possibility it could be. So just watch the panic selling on some of that stuff this week and that's gonna be where I focus most of my coins, most likely.  I talked about it with you guys on Friday night or on Saturday morning when I made that upload. I said, hey, I made a ton of coins this week doing this kind of trading and this kind of weekly, you know, fluctuation stuff. If you wanna start buying some of these other out-of-packs cards, I mean, be my guest. Like you can start to chip away at these, but I would say go slow with it. I would say go slow with it if you find some cards you like. I like Lacazette this week again. Primarily Striker, French. The chance to bounce, to have a bounce on that card is big. If it went up this past weekend, it's probably gonna go up again. Shapeshifter, Marais was another one. I was a big fan of. This to Soco is really low, 653. I think this guy was like well over 700K this weekend. On Saturday, I believe, yeah, 700K? Okay, so maybe it wasn't well over 700K, but he definitely was 700,000 coins and this is a very high tier center mid and the prem. St. Maximon is down. But the real reason why I'm telling you guys to get on some of this stuff and why we're buying sooner rather than later is because of all the coins that are gonna get in fluxed onto the market with this rewards team right here. Think about all the guys that got elite, right? Think about all the guys that got elite. They're getting three of these cards tradable. At minimum, you're making 400, 500,000 coins with the potential from a top 100 pack to make over 10 million coins.  I mean, right there, that's almost, that's eight million coins between those three cards right there on Thursday. So all it takes is for somebody to get crazy luck like that and they're making a ton of coins. Gigi's, if you got elite in the week, by the way. But there's gonna be a lot of coins pushed on the market and just the high tier cards are really gonna be boosted up because of all the guys that got elite this weekend are gonna make tons of coins from rewards. They're gonna go out and they're gonna buy these new team the season cards and maybe some of the even older cards like the Brant and like the Zaha that we looked at and just other special cards in this game. So like high tier stuff, cards over 500,000 coins that are meta, that are very usable. I would expect to see a very nice rise on this for Charleston this week. He went down a lot because of his new card, but this one, this one was a position change and then they gave him the 93, right? This one's one five and this one's a million and this for Charleston, the team of the season has a lot of hype around him. Maybe not for Charleston actually because the price difference isn't that big, only 500K but you know, maybe a ribbery. 1.28 for Franck Riberti. If it is Syria team of the season this weekend that's gonna be, that's ridiculously low price for him and that'll be a card that goes up a lot with Syria Tots but Premier League is I think where you wanna focus. Again, this Mahrez is, I'm a huge fan of that at that price, that's really, really good. This Lucas card was 400K at one point this weekend. Mahrez was like 350, 360. Kate Bauer was 245, again man, like a lot of stuff is just low after the weekend like sell off because everybody is selling cards to go try to do or to try to try out to buy these team of the season cards. That's why you're seeing a lot of stuff get low. So if you're buying out-of-packs cards, just spread the wealth, right? If you're buying some of these out-of-packs specials like a Haight Bauer and a Mahrez, just buy like a couple of each. I wouldn't go all in on one card. That worked really well for me last week, just kind of spreading out the wealth, buying a few cards here and there. Erickson's 140K, that's crazy low for him but I would just say diversify basically. Don't just buy all the same card. That way if one of your cards doesn't rise that much, like last week, Headliner Wine All-Illum that I bought didn't go up that much with rewards. Maybe you have some other cards that you bought that will go up a lot more instead of just one card that just goes up a little bit and you have a bunch of it. So spread out, look for more out-of-packs specials and you don't have to buy those tonight, all right? You don't have to buy those early in the week. You can wait on those because a lot of low prices were seen later in the week as well as people were just waiting for that guaranteed Premier League or guaranteed community SBC last week. And I want to talk about that SBC for this week. When is it gonna come? A lot of people have said it's probably gonna come on Thursday again. I'm thinking they might drop the Prem guaranteed SBC either Tuesday or either on Thursday. I think those are the two days. Since they're dropping upgrade packs on Thursday, maybe they're gonna drop the Prem SBC on Tuesday. That's just a thought. It's not for sure. But if we do see that and if that gets added into the code, you're gonna see a lot of panic on Monday night headed into Tuesday if we see that added into the code. So that's just something to think about. Not for sure. Just something to kind of think about as we go throughout our week and as a timeframe sort of thing. Okay, then about they went for 386. So definitely not in my price range for where I want to get that card. But just kind of watch out for that stuff this week. That's a possibility. The guaranteed SBC I'm thinking is probably gonna be somewhere around 87 or 88 rated requiring a team in the season card just because EA know they're gonna be able to get everybody to do this SBC. If you haven't done a club stock on fodder, fodder went up a little bit today thanks to the Marcus Alonso SBCs, both of them. So fodder across the board is up a little bit. Not a crazy amount, but as you can see, I did do a club stock. I do have some guys in here. A lot of 87s, 86s. So I'm set. And if you haven't done a club stock yet, the prices aren't terrible. They could be better if we go and check the sound of foot bin. They could be better. 84s aren't terrible. 85s are just up a little. 86s are up one to two K a card. So these prices aren't that bad. They were just a little bit cheaper before. So if you haven't got SBC fodder yet, maybe you try to get on some bids and try to snag these guys for a club stock. That's what I would do, nothing more than that. Just stock some in the club because I would expect more very high quality and high value SBCs this week. Speaking of the SBCs, let's look at Alonso really fast. 260 K for the 90 rated card. I don't know how many of you guys are doing that. But if you're doing that, you're probably playing him at CDM, right? Cause that's not really like a left back card in my eyes. It's more like a CDM. Looks great as a CDM, but 262 K, I think it was just a bit overpriced for most people today, but it was kind of a weird scenario with the premium, the flashback Marcus Alonso, which is this is the card that I saw first. And I was like, man, that is not a very good card. And then I saw this one. I was like, okay, that's interesting. I'm glad this one has no expiration though. That's pretty cool. I would expect to see another one or two of these flashback to another team of the season, SBCs this week, as well as probably another player moments card. They're probably gonna hit us with some SBCs this week on foot in terms of player SBC. So I would expect to see probably another team of the season, SBC as well. And Diddy goes away in two days. I'm gonna end up doing that one for sure. That's a very good card, very cheap and good value card in my opinion. But I would expect to see another one at some point this week as well. And then hopefully, even today on Monday, I would expect to get some other sort of player upgrade packs, whether it's 81 pluses, whether it's 80 plus player picks, I would expect some other SBC today. I hope that it's not 82 plus guarantees. Give us one that we can grind. And I hope that EA changes their mind on what they originally said and actually ends up giving us those premium leak upgrade SBCs that we really want. But those are supposed to come out on Thursday. And I wanna talk about that next. Thursday is going to be a massive day, depending on what comes and what doesn't, with all the stuff that should be coming, like the guaranteed prime SBC, if that's Thursday, the premium leak upgrade packs, you have week and league rewards. Last week on Thursday, they dropped something else as well. I think they dropped the mid icon. Maybe that was Friday. Maybe actually that might have been Thursday.  That's why I'm not sure if they're gonna drop all of their content this week on that Thursday again. But for Thursday with the premium league upgrade packs, what that is, is it's basically a 25K pack with all Premier League players. And that's why we're so hyped about those. And that's why we want those really badly in this game. Because think about it, if you're getting a 25K pack with all Premier League cards, which is by the way the same upgrade pack that we had during Team of the Year, the potential of you packing some of these cards is just awesome. It is so, so awesome. And I really hope they released those for more than 24 hours like they say they are doing. But what you're gonna see with that is a lot of people are going to go unassigned on Premier League golds. So if you plan to do a Thursday, put in a shift on Thursday and like get a ton of golds to make these packs and go on a side on golds to do this. What I would do is use this filter right here. Yo, min price 650, max price 750 on Premier League. And what I would do is if you're gonna go unassigned with this, literally just start bidding on these. The earlier in the week that you do it, the better because people are gonna start doing this. They're gonna go unassigned because they're just gonna try to make as many as those premium league upgrade packs on Thursdays they can.  This really is getting in me, man. I really am not happy about this because if you make those packs, let's say you go a thousand cards unassigned, you have to make all those packs on Thursday and you have to open them because if you don't open them before Friday at 6 p.m., the team of the season cards are out of packs.   That's gonna be a tricky game to play. So I hope that EA changed their mind and just give us those packs for multiple days this week because that would be awesome. But you know what? At least right now it's not looking likely. Although my fingers are crossed. I keep tweeting at EA. I'm sure you guys see it. I'm like, hey, yo, dudes, give us these packs because we really want them and your game kind of sucks mid-week without them, which really, there's gonna be not a ton to do this week, except maybe try out some team of season cards, maybe work on objectives if you're gonna do the objectives for Jimenez, maybe do some of that and maybe do an SBC or two that comes out. But if they don't release those upgrades, there's not gonna be a ton of content unless they put the guarantee down on Tuesday. Depending on what happens with that, we'll have a lot more to talk about this week. But in general, team of the season cards, when to buy them, I think Thursday is gonna be the time with the influx of the Week in League Rewards, which is what we saw with Community last week. All of the Tots cards last week were their absolute lowest. Two hours after Week in League Rewards came out. So about two hours after when people started opening up their Elite packs and all that stuff is when we actually saw the lowest for a lot of these cards. And I think it's gonna be the same this week too. And there's gonna be a lot of people that wanna go buy these Prem cards for their teams this weekend, right? Like Simon was 230K Rewards. These Prem cards have dropped a lot already. Aguero was like two six, two seven this week and he is now, I think at two, two nine. Two, three flat, there's pages of supply of Aguero, two, two, seven. So a lot of these cards have dropped and they're probably gonna stay around this range. You might see some cards bump up and down just because they're very, very desirable. This De Bruyne, I think a lot of people are gonna try him mid-week. He's gonna be rare. And so I would expect him to kind of bump around a price mid-week.  Maybe you could look to flip this card because just a ton of people are gonna wanna try him out. So 4.1 right there. All it would take is an undercut at like three nine and you might be able to get undercuts or a flip somewhere. So expect maybe some of these Tots cards. I think Vardy might fluctuate a lot this week. Possibly a guy like Henderson, Jordan Henderson because of the just those desirable cards, right? They don't have any other special cards in this game and they've dropped off a bunch already.  Hendo's card, Retralison I think people will try out. Kovacic, Wambasaka, the cheaper guys are gonna be a lot easier to try out for a lot of people but I think you will see some fluctuations on these but Thursday is the ultimate buy time for a lot of them with the rewards supply coming into this game. But again, meta out of pack specials from the Premier League are our main focus and then whatever league is coming after the Prem. And if you're somebody that wants a very meta prime icon moments card, even though they're in packs, a moments card, a prime card or a team of the year item. Like we're talking a really high tier like a Ronaldo team of the year. If it is going to be Serie A team of the season now you might have a little bit of his price might not rise a ton but Liga and team of the season is not gonna be for a few weeks. Neither is LaLiga Santander. So definitely take a look at some of these cards if you want them for your team. It's gonna be a lot of market rising. Wow, Messi at 3-5, under 3-5. Wow, that's gotta get bought pretty quickly, yeah? Wow man, Messi's really dropping right now. This guy was well over four million coins last weekend. So crazy drops in a lot of these cards and the market's gonna get a ton of coins on Thursday to boost the stuff back up. So that's the market outlook for this week. Lots of stuff that could happen. I hope EA makes it a fantastic week of Premier League tots. We're really relying on the SBCs that they put out and hopefully we can pack some team of the seasons as well. I've only packed one tots that wasn't a guarantee. That's why you don't see this counter, man. I'm gonna flaunt this counter when I get some more team of the seasons but for now, really haven't got any. So hopefully you guys have and hopefully you've been able to open some packs. I look to do the same this week on my account as well. Let's keep you guys up to date with the market and stuff like that. If you enjoyed this video, smash your thumbs up on it. Comment down below if you have questions and subscribe to the channel if you're new. It's been Nate, The Foot Accountant. Catch you guys later. Peace out.


We started the network but it is never finished and we are going to continue with that. We're going to continue with it today by announcing two more initiatives associated with reducing regulatory burden. The first is that BC today commits two entrepreneurs in the province of British Columbia that we will continue to ensure there is no net increase in regulations in the province of British Columbia until 2015 minimum. And the second thing that we will do is we will backstop that by passing, introducing and passing legislation requiring an annual report by government, any government in the future to ensure that British Columbia has to report out each and every year on how we are doing on the regulatory count, how many new regulations have added, what has been subtracted and where we end up. And that will enshrine accountability in legislation and we will be the first jurisdiction in the world to do so. I've seen firsthand the impact that red tape has on business. In addition to its obviously negative impact on jobs and prosperity, it's a huge, huge impact on creativity and on family times. Anything that can keep me out of the back of my store and keep me in the front of my store with my customers and with my design is more than welcome.


This is covering the spread part of the Fandall podcast network UFC 287 is coming up this weekend some potential Final dances for some of those fighters. We're gonna break that down with Austin swam getting his read on the card for this weekend We'll also talk some baseball later on to get you ready for what should be a fun weekend of sports This is covering the spread right here on the Fandall podcast network and number fire calm My name is Jim Saunas. I am a senior writer and analyst for number fire Joined here as mentioned by Austin swam check him out on Twitter at a swing 3 find his work over at number fire calm and on The number fire daily fantasy podcast meet Austin. Happy UFC weekend to you. How you doing? I am doing very well a place that I have family down in South Beach So they're excited about UFC 287 down in Miami. We got lots of sports coming this weekend Easter weekend So why'd you go you should have brought someone a fan duel to send you there You know, I've considered bribes for like when they have the the world fantasy like football championships and stuff like that I've considered bribing the staff to try to get me to emcee those I typically do but like I want to ensure my spot I don't think that they will take bribes because they are people of integrity. However, I'm not above trying it at least To like finnegan my way there. So maybe next South Beach event We can we can tug on some ears try to get you in there Oh, that'd be that'd be sweet. I definitely miss that weather in Denver We got snow that passed through here still chilly in the 40s. So I would take a trip to South Beach right now I need that that temperature up so that my coarse-sealed homerun props don't do as poorly as I did yesterday I called Freeland apparently an ace and so it was just I agree who knew not me went poorly so What we'll do for today is break down UFC 287 talk to Austin about all that and later on We'll talk about the MLB slide for today as well But first a reminder to make sure you're subscribed to the covering the spread podcast feed If you want some thoughts on the Bristol dirt races both trucks and the cup series those are up in yesterday's show There's a time stamp for that so you can skip beyond the basketball stuff and the basketball hockey Skip over there. Check out Bristol dirt if you want some of that And then also to subscribe on the covering the spread podcast feed If you like what you hear leave us a five star rating and you can find all these shows over on the Fandle YouTube page as well Let's kick things off though Austin and talk about UFC 287 the main event for this weekend is Alex Pereira taking on Israel, Adesanya You know right now Adesanya is minus 146 in the money line to win this event So when you look at this one Austin, what's your break down of this fight? And how do you think see things playing out here? So it you know, it's obviously great fight Alex Perez the first middleweight to ever beat Israel Adesanya So we're excited to see what happens in the rematch. I think some people felt like Pereira got lucky It was a very odd year in 2022 most fifth round title fight finishes ever and typically you do not see those entitle fighters Minding their weapons making sure that they make it to the cards if they're ahead But we saw three of them including this one And I don't really feel like you got lucky because that fight was very very close Especially with the state of mixed martial arts judging in 2023 that fight really could have gone either way Especially when Pereira with this flurry that he ended up winning the fight with would have had the most signature moment of the entire fight And now I'm not surprised to see Adesanya coming back as as a favorite We see this a lot with stars where their money line does get used a little bit as the Adesanya Probably the biggest star in UFC this side of John Jones now that Conor McGregor's kind of faded out of the sport full-time And I really the story of this fight will be adjustments, you know Adesanya's lost three times to Alex Pereira now twice in kickboxing once in mixed martial arts And there's a rumor that Adesanya is probably gonna mix in some wrestling this weekend to try to Avoid what Alex does best but the thing is Adesanya has never been good at that He has just a 14 percent takedown accuracy He's one and only takedown landed was against Pereira in the last fight and he only went one for four on those attempts He's a big strong dude to take down You know Pereira is training and the thing I think about Alex is he only has eight pro MMA fights So he's actually learning a lot between these fights Whereas a veteran like Israel Adesanya well over 10 fights in UFC He kind of is what he is at this point and with I have Izzy Adesanya's expected takedown success below 15 percent In that case I can pretty much project a striking match here And I do think striking CTS rate tells the story Pereira plus 1.6 Izzy Adesanya plus 1.13 historically I think he's just a touch ahead there So I do like Pereira as an underdog and he's a slight favorite according to my stuff So very very very palatable at this number. So right now as you mentioned Pereira's money line is plus 1.16 It sounds like you're expecting this to potentially go the distance. Am I hearing that correctly in the way you were discussing this match? Or what's your read on how Pereira might be able to win this one So there was not a lot of volume not a lot of activity in the last fight neither fighter eclipse 100 significant strikes So there really aren't enough signature moments to expect a big time finish now There's all this conjecture about, you know, maybe Alex has gotten a lot better grappling since he's training with longtime UFC champion global Tushera I tip I do lean that way. I don't really have any value compared to the number is to go the distance The thing about an inside the distance prop if you feel good and you feel strongly about under four and a half rounds in this fight That's significantly favors Pereira. Izzy Adesanya's knockdown rate In middleweight defenses is less than like 0.8 percent. So it's very very small Hasn't really shown that elite power that he did against lower level guys coming into the sport Any and he's also shown historical durability and excellent defense at 58 striking defense So I do tend to lean toward a close fight that goes to the cards But if it stops early, I'll feel much better about Alex Pereira's money line Okay, so Pereira money line plus 1.16 is a bet Austin likes For this headliner here for UFC and that's the one bet we are locking in here Let's open up the rest of the card to you Austin though because we have plenty of other fights here available Looking at money lines on the rest of this card, including the prelims. Where are you seeing value there? So I see value with a guy that I've spotted just about every time that he's fought He's been the underdog in every single fight that he's had in UFC thus far. That is chris curtis he's coming back at plus 108 on fando sportsbook when I checked last night and If I can project a striking match without much interference My data set is really good at predicting that and chris curtis is a guy that helps make that a reality for me 100% takedown defense on 32 attempts face and kelvin gaslam 32% takedown accuracy not a lot of volume there He's not an elite guy out that better guys have tried and failed to get curtis to the ground So I feel very good about a striking match here And if in that case there's just a gulf in striking ability and offense here 15 whole percentage points between these guys as far as striking accuracy is concerned And curtis lands nearly six per minute gas limit just three and a half per minute. So curtis is more active He's more accurate and the issue for me is with curtis is that he's been too willing to fall behind He's he's a guy that thinks I'll get my reads and I'll find the knockout blow What the problem is as you're doing that if you're absorbing too many punches as he's bottom three on this card In strikes absorbed you can lose a decision I would love to see him reverse that trend here because he's got every reason to with a four inch reach advantage I mentioned he's more accurate some key trends I'm looking at here curtis is five and one in ufc affiliated appearances as an underdog And he's two in own ufc when he has a reach advantage like this one So I think he leads the dance and I do think he wins a striking match here against gasoline You mentioned the money line was plus 108. It is still right there at fandula sports book for chris curtis versus kelvin gaslam That is on the prelim card Over on the fandula sports book if you're looking for the navigation there Curtis plus one away to the money line any other money lines you like here for saturday austin So I will flip over to the main card and it is a fight that is absolutely a dynamic we see in ufc a lot We have young prospect rising Maybe fallen star descending who ends up winning out when those two clash I like rob plant who is the quote-unquote descending star here. He's coming back around plus 150 Uh, there's this card. It has a lot of prospects that are lee adrian yan yas is one of those but When he font's been a top 10 guy for years and he is one of my data's favorite fighters And it kind of shows the flaws of doing this with just data because rob font has a plus 2.43 striking success rate It's top three on this card. It's one of the best marks at vantom weight The problem is he's just a high volume guy that works behind his jab There's not a lot of power or danger that comes with those strikes just a 0.54 knockdown rate still I really like him in this particular spot because I have significant questions about yan yas And that's kind of what happens with ufc the they face these guys that don't really test these abilities And then they get to this top shelf level where every guy can do everything and that's font yan yas hasn't faced a grappling threat Um, only five low quality takedown attempts so far where his font. He's not an amazing grappler But he took down joe zalba took down uh cheeto vera and his last two consecutive fights So if yan yas can't grapple at all this one's going to be a route But if you look on the feet, he can still have success against yan yas A yan yas is knockouts have come against guys that are 5 11 in 1 in ufc. They're not talented fighters They're not beating anyone else hardly Um, that is not rob font rob font is a guy that absolutely just mantled kodi garbrain He's a high level fighter And I trust him with a reach advantage she get this done in another similarly projected striking match And if it's not a striking match, I know rob font's dominating it So you mentioned before that we can see stars like adesanya get a bit of juice on their money lines because people know them Do is there a similar dynamic with prospects like yan yas where There's a bit of unknown so people get excited about that or is is it a different dynamic there? Yeah, for sure. You know, you and I have talked on here about sugar shan oh manly before as he's been rising up the ufc ranks um Hey, there are a couple other guys on this card 18 year old rahul rosas jr Ignacio bahamondes these electric prospects that are knocking everybody out putting up big striking numbers They really kind of just ascend to this meteoric rise until they reach They reach the place that their trajectory is supposed to be because the gap in the champion in a ufc division And the guy that is right on the fringe entry level is a canyon And so you're exactly right that these money lines you get juice for prospects because we think they're unbeatable Until we find out they are Okay, so uh, austin is on the rob font money line at plus 152 Alex perera plus 116 and chris kurtis at plus 108 We have a lot of props though Across the board here for ufc when you look at those austin any standout to you is being good values right now So I will stay on the main card with an interesting fight And by the way your listeners here on the cover in the spread get it first over on my dfs podcast of my own here This fight between kevin holland and santiago punzanabio is actually going to be austin's fight of the night this You guys got it right I think both sides are viable in daily fantasy, which means this fight's going to be a back in fourth war And I like over two and a half rounds here Uh, it's sitting at plus 108 on fando sports book. I think we just have an overrated amount of power in this fight kevin holland only has a 0.49 percent knockdown rate since moving to welterweight last march santiago punzanabio just 0.25 percent since he had a lot of injuries a huge multi-year layoff And he's just come back and he's not quite he doesn't quite have his fast ball anymore Right and I in that respect these guys neither these guys wrestle both average less than half a take down For 15 minutes. So we've got a striking match here. There's not a lot of power I love over two and a half as these guys trade and by the way people are worried about kevin holland is potentially this accurate guy that lands with power santiago punzanabio excellent 62 percent striking defense So the guy with power is facing the better defensive fighter. I love the way this sets up to see all 15 minutes And it sounds like based on your read of this match you want to see all 15 minutes to not just for your bet But also like from a a viewership perspective sounds like you'd be into that as well Oh, yeah, this fight should be a banger for sure and and I will have a lot of this fight in daily fantasy on both sides So I am hoping yeah it goes to the judges. We get plenty of significant strike points over on the dfs side Yeah, okay, so that is holland versus punzanabio Plus one away to go over two and a half rounds in the popular section over at fando sports But if you're looking for that prop there, what about other props? What else is seeing for right now for saturday? So you've probably you probably can relate this like with nascar I almost feel gluttonous going back to a spot that i've gone to over and over again. It just gives me 10 baby I guess 10 I know exactly I'm going here with jerald mirshart by submission. Uh, it was sitting at plus 360 But I would not be surprised if he shortened whatsoever Because i've seen a lot shorter numbers at other books But I I can't help but go back here with mirshart when I look 77 percent of his fights have been won by submission in his pro career 27 of 35 He averages 1.70 submission attempts per 15 minutes, which is a top three mark on this card It is really his one plus skill in ufc and I just have questions about his opponent here Jim you would you would appreciate this as someone that I know your banter His opponent joe pipher comes out and says jerald mirshart sucks Which is in my opinion not good got not a good thing to say to someone Who's going to be punching you in the face in a couple of days? But the reality is I could make that argument sooner for joe pipher because the only fighter pipher has fought And beaten in ufc is actually the ufc record holder for fewest significant strikes landed It with a minimum of four fights in 20 minutes He is at alan amadovsky did not do anything in ufc and joe pipher thinks that he's a world leader now that he knocked him out I think the 10 time winner in ufc jerald mirshart here Really gives joe pipher a lesson and mirshart looked improved on the feet in his last fight He knocked down bruno silva who's a guy that went all 15 minutes with perrera Like I think mirshart is still improving this deep into his career and he's a great submission guy So I think he does use his weapon of choice Um to dispatch of the prospect pipher here Uh, I am someone who believes you should get 15-year penalty for not taunting after a good play So I am pro trash talk regardless of whether you're good.  So honestly I'm I'm in you know, I respect the joe pipher The the trash talk, but I I understand we're coming from with the with the mirshart by submission That's in the method of victory. Uh plus 360 is uh still where it is for that one from mirshart versus pipher honestly like If we could like trash talk like on this show I'd be fun like I I would never because I love my guests And I don't want to trash talk myself because that's weird But like I wish there were aspects of my life where I could trash talk like playing f1 manager the video game I can't trash talk to williams as I fly by them. That seems kind of weird Um, so I need to find an outlet in my life where I can trash talk because it's uh, it's one thing I'm missing pretty sorely right I absolutely feel like you would be the kevin garnet of the bedding sports radio landscape Yeah, I don't I think he's on another level Um, I don't think I can get there. I'm bad at trash talk. That's maybe that's why I respected so much is because I'm bad at it So, uh, joe pipher full respect man salute to you, but I would like to win some money So we're cheering for gerald mirshart there to win it by submission That is austin swain. You can find him on twitter at asway and three as he mentioned uh the keycheck fantasy podcast for usc 287 coming up later on today to hear more about these matches from a dfs perspective I'm pretty sure i'll have time to fill out a lineup. So checking out your helper checking out the heat check as well austin Have a fantastic weekend. Thank you for your insights. Good luck to you and we'll talk to you again soon That sounds good jen. Have a great weekend Alrighty again, that should be up on the number fire daily fantasy podcast for you later on today Check out austin on twitter at asway and three if you want to play the dfs side Check out the helper there if that'll be up on a number fire as well We're gonna dive in to today's nlb slate later on talk about some money lines and strikeout props I like but first a reminder grand slams no hitters and double plays are back And there's no better place to get in on the action than fan duel america's number one sports book That's because right now new customers can step up to the plate with a no sweat first bet up to $1,000 Sign up place your first bet and get up to $1,000 back in bonus bets if you don't win So don't miss a chance to get a no sweat first bet up to $1,000 when you join fan duel today Fan duel official partner major league baseball must be 21 plus and president select states First online a real money wager only $10 deposit required refund issued is non with trouble bonus bets that expire in 14 days Restricts is applied see full terms at fan duel dot com slash sports book Fan duel is offering online sports wagering in kansas under an agreement with the kansas star casino llc gambling problem call 1 800 gambler over to fan duel dot com slash rg in arizona 1 800 next step or tax next step to five three three four two In kineticate<PHONE_NUMBER> or was it ccpg dot org slash chat in indiana 1 809 with it in wyoming and kansas 1 805 22 4700 or in kansas ks gambling help dot com in louisiana 1 877 770 stop in maryland md gambling health dot org in new york 1 877 a hope and wire text open y In west virginia go to 1 800 gambler dot net as we talk about the mlb side of things for today Not a whole lot i am seeing as far as value on money lines based on my model one spot I do like based on what i'm seeing based on the model i trust the most right now I do like the pirates of plus 114 against the white socks and that does feel icky Not super high on the pirates personally rich hill is starting i think lukas g lead will look pretty good in his first start this year so On the surface not a huge fan of this but i understand what the model is saying I think what it's saying is it's more so that it's Lower on the white socks and consensus than being higher on the pirates the white socks defense pretty bad Their bullpen and its current state is not good and the offense is fine Although they do get a boost today by facing a lefty instead of a righty I do like again we saw from lukas g ledo in his first start this year g ledo was a guy Who struggled a lot last year and a guy i was Going against pretty often whether it be dfs or talking about uh unders and strikeout props opposing money lines and stuff like that I thought he was better in that start last week than he was most of last year in a very tough matchup with the astros But starting pitching isn't everything So my model has the pirates as slight favorites in this game implied odds of plus 114 Are 46.7 and i'm willing to ride at the model here Despite not being all that high on pittsburgh they are at home That matters quite a bit uh, they Have other stuff like the defense is better offense is fine bullpen is fine I think that's enough where this game might be closer to a toss up than what the uh sports books are saying So plus 114 the pirates the one money line. I like for today There are two strikeout props that I like there was some movement on these earlier this morning So do you want to check to make sure they are still available at the numbers? I was looking at but the ones I wanted to go to A couple of lenders the first one is jack flarity against the brewers. I was looking at under five and a half It was uh minus 114 earlier on today. We'll pull that up right now Over at fandall's sports book. See where it is right now minus 122 right now in jack flarity So as moved a bit more towards the under that is still okay minus 122 a fair number for me and Flaherty says and the brewers they're definitely a team that will strike out But they also draw a lot of walks the brewers active roster has a 10.6 walk rate versus righties Since the start of last year. That's a big concern for flaherty who walked seven guys in his first start this year And we saw that with flaherty last year when he came back as well Had some troubles with control and that jack's a pitch count and a higher pitch count means it's tougher to get deep in games Now flaherty has stretched out. I haven't projected for 97 pitches for tonight, but the walks concern me 4.7 strikeouts projected for me with jack flaherty He needs six to get the over here So I'm fine betting against that minus 122 a bit Juicier than it was before but still a fine number of my me And one I'm going to bet so jack flaherty in the brewers and the cardinals game. I want the under there at minus 122 The other one is chris bassett. I want four and a half The under here for chris bassett facing off with the angels for today and the under on this one is now minus 128 That's getting closer to the point where I step off But minus 128 still of value for me I have the odds on an under four and a half for bassett at 60 percent So as long as it's less than minus 150 I still think there is value on bassett to go under four and a half strikeouts I am projected for 3.95, which is why the under is so high there for me And that projection for bassett includes last year's data as well So it's not just a reaction to what we saw in the opener But maybe it should be because last week was really rough. He had no strikeouts got chased early the velocity for bassett was really bad and It comes after a really rough spring training so That would be one thing if we were just reacting to what bassett did last week where he had no strikeouts velocity was bad it could be an overreaction to one start, but This is not just one start again. It does include some data from last year and even then it has a strikeout projection at 3.95 so Regardless of whether you want to put stock in last year or just react to last week I think both those things do point towards under for chris bassett against a very good angel's offense again I have the under here at 60 so If you can get it before it gets to minus 150 it would take it if it goes down to three and a half again I've got about 3.95. So I probably would step away if it does go down to three and a half Um, I think that that point I would be okay Stepping away, but with it currently at four and a half minus 128 on the under I still think there is value there. So chris bassett under four and a half minus 128 jack flarity under five and a half at minus 122 and then Going with the pirates money line of plus 114 Against the white socks for today That's all we got across baseball and usc for today But we are back once again next week breaking down everything across the sporting landscape as always new podcasts every week day On the covering the spread podcast feed so make sure you are subscribed wherever you get your podcast and again Check us out over on the fandal youtube page as well subscribe there If you like what you hear leave us a five star rating or on youtube give us a thumbs up We appreciate those of you who have been doing so big. Thank you once again to our guest austin swain for swinging by Breaking down his thoughts on usc 287 find him on twitter at a swain three find his work over at number fire and find His dfs podcast that he checked over on the number fire daily fantasy podcast feed If you've got any questions for me, I am on twitter at jim sonnis j i m s a n n e s reminder our bristol dirt podcast is up on the Covering the spread podcast feed already and over on the fandal youtube page. I hope you all have a fantastic holiday weekend For those of you who are celebrating good luck to you across your bets We'll talk to you once again monday talk about some major league baseball This has been covering the spread right here on the fan duel podcast network