Hi everyone, Joe for jaspyscasebreaks.com, coming at you with Jaspys 12 box off-season random team football mixer with a Brady Autograph Super Bowl football giveaway. That's pretty nice. 32 spots, everyone gets a random team, and then at the end of the break, we'll re-randomize everybody's names and the name on top gets that Tom Brady Super Bowl Autograph football. And a lot of great stuff here in the break itself as well. Thank you, thanks everybody here for making this happen. Thanks to all the people who bought their spots straight up, and congrats again to the people who won their spots in the filler breaks here. There's all 32 teams, thank you to the teams. Let's roll it, let's randomize it, two and a three, five times for names and teams. One, two, three, four, and fifth and final time. After five, we got Drew down to Chad. Two and a three, five times for the teams. Two, three, four, and fifth and final time. After five, we got the Chiefs down to the Lions. All right, Drew, you have the Kansas City Chiefs. Robert with the Chargers, Kevin with the Giants, Gretchen with the Bengals, Don with the Eagles, Gale with the Saints, Jeff with the Panthers, Jonathan with the Dolphins. Tony with the Ravens, Connor with the Titans, Colin with the Falcons. Don with the Vikings, Tana with the Washington football team. Bradley with the Bucks. Jeff with the Steelers, Ken with the, Ken has the Niners. David with the Broncos. Bradley with the Cardinals. Michael with the Jets. Jeff with the Patriots. Adam with the Seahawks. Don with the Bears. Eric with the Cowboys. Robert with the Packers. Connor with the Bills. Don with the Colts. Brandon with the Jags. David with the Texans. Colin, you got my Raiders. Tyler with the Browns. Buntai with the Rams and Chad with the Detroit Lions. So let's get all this on one screen right here. Now trades are allowed if you would like. So let's sort this by column B. And I'm going to pause the video and allow for a bit of that trading time. So remember, all the different years. We've got one 2013, couple 2013 boxes, an old 2011 box, 2019, 2018, 2020, so mostly 2020. But we cut across a few different years as well. So just keep that in mind before you make your trades. I'm going to pause the video. When we come back, we'll see if there's any trades. And then we'll have a break to go out. All right, welcome back, everybody. A little bit of trade chatter. But in the end, no deals were done. But thanks, everybody, for being part of our Tuesday. I appreciate that. Almost the end of the month. The 31st tomorrow. And then all of a sudden, we're in April all of a sudden. All right, so there is the final printout right there. Here is the Tom Brady. There's the autograph. There's the Super Bowl logo right there. There's a tri-star sticker right there as well. Next to the Super Bowl logo, that's a tri-star sticker. So pretty nice. Again, we'll re-randomize everybody's names and see who the name ends up on top. All right, so this is 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11. And the Panini one box is 12. All right, so I think we're in good shape right here. Let's go back in time with these Tops Chrome member when Tops did football. So let's go back in time to 2011. Anyone remember the 2011 draft class? All these blur together in my 2011 draft class, how that Radio City Music Hall in New York, New York. This was the guy on the box, Cam Newton's year. He was drafted number one overall out of Auburn. That's the Carolina. Vaughn Miller was drafted second. AJ Green, there's Marcel Darius, AJ Green, Patrick Peterson, Julio Jones, Alden Smith, Jake Locker, Tyron Smith, Blaine Gabbard, JJ Watt, that was your top 11 right there. Here are some others hidden in the later rounds too. Kerrigan, Cam Jordan, Mark Ingram, so a lot of dudes. Andy Dalton in here as well. Kyle Rudolph, actually a pretty good first couple of rounds there. Randall Cobb, DeMarco Murray was in the mix there. Jordan Cameron, Richard Sherman, Jason Kelsey, so on and so forth. So there you go. TJ, what's going on? Gonzaga is what you're hearing in the background. USC, Gonzaga 5837 on USC. 15 minutes left in the game. Oh, I did not notice that. I did not see the announcement by PSA saying they're halting all services. Where was that message? Is it on Twitter or something? It's on their Twitter?  I guess my, I don't know what, I don't work for PSA obviously, but you think it's because, you think it's because they are that backed up? Wow, an hour ago PSA announced the mean suspension of nearly all card grading services. PSA is temporarily halting value economy regular express services which accounted for 97.9% of all items submitted. Read President Steve Sloan's update for details. There's a link, there I'll drop this link to everybody in the chat. It goes to the PSA site. Yeah, I think it is volume. The sheer volume of orders that PSA received in early March has fundamentally changed our ability to serve as a hobby. The reality is that we recently received more cards in three days than we did in the previous three months. Even after the surge, submissions continue to never be foreseen. Levels given our backlog, it would be disingenuous for us to continue to accept submissions for cards that we will be unable to process in the foreseeable future. It's unpleasant, blah, blah, blah, especially after the price increase, it's necessary to properly serve the customers who are already submitted to PSA. Their goal is to bring back all suspended service levels by July 1st. So April, May, June, so a few months. They're planning on expanding their California operation from 58,000 square feet to 62,000 square feet, hiring more people, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah. Wow, from 421 employees back in January, 2020, they now have 783 people. So it sounds like a step backwards to go a couple steps forward. So hopefully that'll be a good thing, even though we have to wait. There you go, ladies and gentlemen, I guess you have to wait on grading for a few months. Timmy is saying, why is Chrome and Finest so hot right now? Wish I had some of your old ones? I know, right? I don't know, I think it's just the trickle-down effect from how popular hobby has been just in general lately. It's an insert rookie AJ Green, but there he is. It's Marquis Colston. So this will go to Gretchen and the Bengals. Comic says, I use, comic is fancy, he uses Super Express, so it doesn't matter to him. Doesn't affect you. Yeah, I guess like their highest service level is still available, if you were that motivated. Here is a Silver, a Refractor Von Miller, going to my rivals, Denver, it's gonna be for David. Flow Show, what's up? Who'd I got in the Dodgers Angels game tonight? I have no idea. I kind of don't care. There's Tori Smith, Atomic, Refractor, I just want everyone to be healthy, playing the final exhibition game of the year. That's all I care about. There's Tori Smith, the autograph is gonna go to Tony Barkie and the Purple Birds. I remember how hot Peyton Hillis was for a moment or two. Hobby Hot, Fantasy Hot, Ryan Williams, Gold Parallel. We've got Greg Salas to 299, LaShawn McCoy. It's an important game, no it's not. It's an exhibition game. The important game is on Thursday. To be honest with you, I think Angels fans probably make a bigger deal about this game than Dodgers fans do. There's Tony Romo to 199. And there is a rookie, Julio Jones, that's a catch. Right there, of the many, hundreds and hundreds of catches he's made over his illustrious career. Colin with the rookie Julio Jones. Am I gonna go to Dodgers games this year? Yes. Absolutely, I think everyone in California, all ages should be able to get the vaccine or be eligible for the vaccine in a couple of weeks. And I think they're already starting to open up outdoor stadiums for sporting events. So yeah, I think, I'm hoping by late April I should be able to hit up a game or two. I've missed it quite a bit. Although I think tickets might be expensive because I think, from what I understand, I think Shawn Jasper has Angel season tickets. And he says that the limited capacity is open to, is open to season ticket holders first. I'm sure that would be a similar, might be a similar policy for the Dodgers. And then, so those tickets may end up on the secondary market, which might be kind of expensive, but I'll just have to figure it out. Oh, that's right. The Blue Jays are opening in Florida, right? For regular season games, and they're gonna play there through May. The Raptors are down in Florida too, right? When do they get to go back? Oh, 60 bucks for wear. Yeah, I guess I honestly haven't even looked about that. I really should. So this is 2013, Tops Chrome Football. This was the, I think the year before the Odell Beckham Jr. year. So 2013 is the, Eric Fisher went number one overall, it's that year. And then Lane Johnson, a lot of offensive and defensive line here. Tavon Austin was on the front of the box. Tyler Eifert, Deandre Hop, there you go, Deandre Hopkins, Zach Ertz, Leveon Bell, those are some of the names here. Eddie Lacy, Travis Kelsey, Keenan Allen Rookies, so on and so forth. I think limited capacity Yankee 6 either require proof of vaccination or a negative rapid test, says Adam. That's not so bad. This is Josh Freeman, Mike Lennon, Terrence Williams. That's Zach Stacey. Zach Stacey was pretty great for a second or two as well. There's a Travis Kelsey rookie card. There's Alden Smith. Nice, that'll go to the chiefs. That's gonna go to Drew Fisher. Having a good time. Mini Marquise Goodwin, that'll ship. It's only Vett Comets that won't ship. There's Eddie Lacy. He was, he was on a, I don't know, seemed like he was gonna be on a Hall of Fame trajectory, Eddie Lacy. The first couple of seasons are so good. There's Darius Slay, Blue Wave. And there's Bangles Rex Burkhead. There's Leveon Bell, does Leveon Bell still have? Rookie card, still has some value. There's Monty Bal, Mini Rookie, E.J. Emmanuel, Manty Teo. Huh, that's interesting. You're right. Yeah, Angels being a West Coast team would never be at like a small, small stadium, small spring training ground in Florida. It's trying to gondol. It's nice dunk there. David Johnson, good flip there. There's Eddie Lacy again. Eli Refractor, Alex Okafor, 299. For the Cardinals, that'll be for Bradley.  Walk as you're back. And there's a Matt Scott, four out of 50 for the Jaguars. I do not remember Matt Scott. Brandon, with that one. Out of Arizona, he's from Corona, California. Born in Chino, where the ball brothers grew up. And back here is our autograph. Camo Refractor, autographed Deon Sims for Miami. Jonathan, with the Dolphins. Johnson Blast, to the past. So that was 2011, 2013. What would the next year be? I think 2018, we jump a handful of years ahead to 2018, which is right here. 2018 has to be the Josh Allen Lamar Jackson year. Yeah, this was the draft in Dallas, Arlington, Texas at AT&T Stadium. This was the Baker Mayfield, Saquon, Sam Darnold, Josh Allen, Layton Vandoresh, Lamar Jackson, so on and so forth. DJ Chark. Whoa, what up, Jose? J-Dog saying, did you see that Windhorst? Brian Windhorst reported that Lebron started recruiting Curry at the All-Star, came recruiting to do what? Going into business together? Own a team together after they're done playing? Recruiting him to go grab a bite to eat after the All-Star game? Yeah, recruiting him for Space Jam 3. Next box, good luck everybody. We got rookie threads Bradley Chubb. And that'll be for Denver, that's gonna go to David. I don't think that's really gonna happen, would it? I mean, Steph must have a few years left on his deal, first of all. There's Bo Scarborough, rated rookie autograph for Dallas. I can't see, I can't see him leaving and I can't see him going to, or Golden State letting him go. I think that's kind of silly. I don't think Lebron's gonna go to the Clippers at all, not after being a Laker. Would be one of the last teams he'd go to. All the other teams, I guess it could possibly happen. I have a feeling he may wanna angle himself, position himself to be on a team that would maybe draft his son, I could see that. All right, Thomas, you go to jaspeyscasebreaks.com. All right, so that was 2018. Now let's go into 2019, we got 2019 certified? Oh, we have another old box here, 2013. Let's go back to our 2013 mode.  And remember, Clippers are building a new arena, so he would have to go far, further. No, but he's not going to the Clippers. That I can guarantee. All the other 2019 teams, I could see it. Yeah, and I have a hard time seeing Steph Curry joining Lebron on a basketball team. I have a hard time seeing him leaving the Warriors, or the Warriors even letting him go. I mean, I could recruit Steph Curry too. But I don't know if that actually means it's the recruitment's actually working. Giants, Kevin. I mean, I guess Brian Windhorse has to kind of explain what the level of recruiting is. What is recruiting? I mean, is it just Lebron saying kind of nudging Steph Curry and saying, hey, you should come join the Lakers? Ha ha. I'm sure everyone's doing that. I'm sure Yannis is saying, hey, Steph, you should come join, come here to the Bucks. Steph Curry on the Bucks? That would actually be kind of crazy. And there is Matt Barkley, freshman fabric, dual relic and autograph, 20 out of 199 for the Fly Eagles Fly, Don with the Eagles. It's to 999, it's Connor Vernon for the Raiders. Brandon Pettigrew to 100, Dan Marino to 999, and Lance Briggs, he's of his jersey, it's 299. That's for the Bears, that's gonna go to Don. There's Matt Forte to 250, and Robert Alford for the Falcons to 999, new generation. Yeah, Currys are freeing an agent after what, the 2022 season. But again, can you see Golden State really letting them go? I don't think the Lakers would have the money to sign. Signed Steph Curry. Recruiting is nice, but I think we're going into 2019. But I'm gonna save those towards the end. Maybe we'll, yeah, maybe we'll do just this flip skip to 2020, we'll bounce around a little bit between 2019 and 2020. I'll be crazy though. I wouldn't hold my breath of Steph Curry, but that'd be awfully crazy. But Golden State has to put a lot of butts in that new or that brand new sparkling arena they built. So I think they're gonna extend Curry for as long as they can. Make sure they get a healthy Clay Thompson back. Draymond's probably gone as they start retooling that team a little bit, but yeah, they're gonna need at least Steph and Clay, both the Splash brothers to be there to market that stadium. There's many butts in those seats as possible. I mean, unless that relationship between Steph and the ownership just crumbles, I suppose that's possible, but seems unlikely. They seem to be pretty on the same page. All right, Contenders football. We've got Darnell Mooney, who's our first autograph. That's for the Bears, Don, with the Playmaker here, Darnell Mooney, Ross Blacklock for the Texans. Next autograph, that'll be for David. We'll do a randomizer on this. So we'll do a left-right randomizer. Albert Okwabanem for Denver. That's gonna be for David and Denver Broncos. And we've got a nice Brian Edwards, ticket stub, die-cut autograph, 36 out of his number, 89. Nice. That'll be for Colin. He's got my Raiders. My Raiders expecting a lot from him next season. And we've got an out of 149. This will be a separate randomizer, because it's a numbered card, and we've got points coming up. So remember we're giving away that Tom Brady autograph football. The points will be in spot two. That'll be the consolation prize. I think that takes the place of an auto too. Yeah, it does. So we'll do a little bit of housekeeping at the end here. Let's just knock out this XR. And turns out Gonzaga's pretty good, ladies and gentlemen, they're up 76.57 on USC. Is it destiny for Gonzaga? There's Kenneth Murray. There's Quintessifus to 199. Jimmy Garoppolo to 199. Henry Ruggs, the third. Triple Relic. Another one for Colin and my Raiders. It's like 10 out of 75 on that one. And we've got Desmond Patton to 199. That's for the Blue Horseshoes Don. Don McCrae with the Colts. Stiandre Swift. Take it. There's Bradley Andre to 249. Miles Sanders to 75. And we've got J.K. Dobbins, Triple Relic, and Autograph. That is for Tony and the Purple Birds. By the way, that Brandon Iick, Extreme Rookies, was numbered to 99. That's for the Niners, that'll be for Kenny. All right, so now let's go to 2019, a certified football. We're almost there. We've got a couple little base heavier boxes off to the right, but those are fun ones. It's mosaic and prism, prism hobby, so it's gonna be pretty nice. Yeah, it looks like Gonzaga's gonna do it, right, ladies and gentlemen? I think they could, if it's gonna be chalk, if it's Gonzaga Baylor in the final, you gotta think it's still Gonzaga, at least the way they're looking right here. At the beginning of the game, we saw, we're thinking we're watching Daily Wager on ESPN or something like that. We saw like a little stat where the, where USC was, where Gonzaga was only minus like eight and a half or something like that, points. And they were saying that that was the lowest they've, lowest they've been favored since like January, which is wild. There's Mike Allstock to 3.99. And we got Will Greer, rookie patch and autograph to 1.99. 25 out of 1.99, three-color patch and auto, Carolina, Jeff Rosetti, freshman fabric. Out of 50, we have Riddell Armstead and David and Yoku, mirror signatures. Seven out of 75. For the Browns, that's gonna be going to Tyler Rickiness. There's Ed Reed, Immortals to 1.99. We got Josh Jacob, new generation relic for the Raiders. Colin with the Raiders. We've got Penny Hart to 1.99, Colts. And we got new generation relic, Andy Isabella, that'll be for Bradley and the Cardinals. We'll do a relic auto recap at the end, of course. Matthew Safford to 4.50, who's out here in LA now. Maybe not literally right now, but eventually somewhere around here. All right, let's do some 2020 Mosaic football. Love this Mosaic football. I think in a short amount of time, the reputation of Mosaic football has grown to maybe be sort of in the same class as Prism, select maybe. Both. Time to take another look at a nice sort of third-party mock draft site. Most of you may know about Walter Football. They still has Trevor Lawrence at number one. Zach Wilson with the Jets is what he's thinking. And Tray the Lance, he's got penciled in number three for the Niners, moved up. And then Justin Fields for Atlanta. We've got Hakeem Butler. It's our first autograph for the Cardinals, Bradley. As I say, as Simmons, Mike Evans, Smith, for Devious White. And an NFL debut, Justin Herbert. That'll be for the Bolts. That's gonna go to Robert. I feel like Mac Jones has been, ah, Panthers at number eight. Walter Football has, Mac Jones going there. I feel like Mac Jones' stock after his workouts have been creeping up. So there's Antonio Gandy Golden, Red Parallel, Isaiah Simmons was a Mosaic Parallel. And we got a regular Justin Herbert right here for the Chargers, Robert. There's TJ Watt. And we've got a Marquise Brown, nine out of 25. It's a nice one for the Raven. That's gonna go to Tony. It's Josh Allen, Gronkowski. And here comes our second autograph behind LT. It's gonna be Henry Ruggs III, nice. I will go to my Raiders, that's Colin, with the Silver and Black. The Raiders somewhat surprisingly did invest a bit more in the offense than I thought they would, I think. Who else, what other wide receiver did they add? Oh, they added Willie Snead. So they added John Brown and Willie Snead IV. They added Kenyon Drake as well. They gave him a lot of money. And the suggestion was that he would actually be used as a receiver as well. So there are a lot of pass catching options for the Raiders. Let's see how that works out. I like the Ngakwe pickup by the Raiders. Hopefully that'll have a nice trickle down effect and take some double teams away from other guys. There's Lawrence Taylor, another LT, the 99. My guess is that they'll go heavy on defense and the draft too. We'll see, Raiders are in a tough division. A lot of things will have to go right for the Raiders. They want to get to the playoffs. Although, what does everyone think? Game 17 is a go. I'm pretty sure, right? Is that official? Game 17? I think they're taking out a preseason game, which I'm OK with, and they're adding a 17th game. Here's Prism. What does everyone think about that? The obvious thing is, well, what about player safety? How many players are banged up by the towards the end of the season, especially running backs? That might affect playoff planning. Prism, football, hobby addition, taking out a preseason game. I think the common argument from the player is like, hey, what about player safety? Of course, the almighty dollar is pretty important. I don't know, maybe they expand rosters. They could expand rosters. That would be pretty nice. Maybe an extra bi-week? Or would they screw around with an extra bi-week, maybe? Oh, the Vikings are playing the Chargers at SoFi. Yeah, you've got to get tickets for that. Yeah, I've got to start planning for the fall. I'm going to watch the Raiders in their U Stadium. I'll try, Nick. Try to pull something nice out of this box for you. We got eight. This is nice. Tua, Tungo by Loa, blue-cracked ice to 99. That's for Jonathan and the Dolphins. Nice. That is awesome. Now, Nick's thinking, when they push the extra bi-week next year, oh, right, I'll be right in the world. Then it'll push the Super Bowl back to the Sunday of President's Day weekend. That would be pretty nice, too. Yeah, yeah, I agree, Kenny. Now all the stats will go up. There's Michael Vick to 149, Red Wave. Yeah, that kind of screws up like stats, right? I'll be like, oh, that guy's a 2,000-yard rusher. And you're like, well, remember, that's 17. That's when they started the 17-week season. I suppose an even older generation would complain about how it went to 16. So I guess, I don't know. But it's been 16 for a long time, right? So and when they changed the schedule from whatever it was, 14 to 16 or something like that back in the day, I feel like not enough history had been established where people were just like, OK, not a big deal. But now that the sport has become what it has, since this guy's era, Carlos Dunlap, now you're thinking, well, all that's been established. I would have been more comfortable with them fiddling around with playing games or adding more playoff spots or something like that. What's done is done, Kenny. Like it or not, we're going to have 17 games. I guess I won't mind towards the end of the season. And we'll unpack a lot more of this as we get closer to the beginning of the season. But I think there's a lot. There's some big broadcasting changes, too. It's T.Y. Hilton. I think Amazon's getting more exclusive games on Thursdays. Right, Chris is saying one by a week. 16 games season since 1978. There's Rayquan Davis for the Dolphins. Let's hope that it'll be another 40 years before we change up the number of games again. Oh, nice Patrick Mahomes to 275. I like the 175. I like that color back there. Right, that's right. It doesn't mean I have to like it. I'm sure Kenny will still end up enjoying week 17 once it's on TV. There's Joshua Kelly. Red Wave Autograph for the Chargers. That's for Robert. There's Golden Tape to 249. Orange for the Giants, New York football Giants. That's going to be for Kevin. And we've got Tyrell Lewis for the Rams to 75. That'll be for Buntai and the Ramley. 2019 limited. Right, one more week of DraftKings, Kenny, exactly. Baseball, I feel like I don't know. I wasn't as angry about 17 games as much as I thought I'd be. I think mostly because I think it's been talked about so often for the last three to five years. So I guess we were kind of mentally we're sort of prepped for it. But baseball, they can't change from 162. We have here, we've got Tom Brady back here. Patriots edition going to Jeff. We've got Lamar Jackson, Juju Smith-Schuster, 99. And behind Devante Parker is Riley Ridley, piece of his jersey, 39 out of 49. Going to the Bears, Don. Miles Jack and behind him is Ed Oliver, 13 out of 25. Rookie Auto for the Bills. Oh, have the NFL go to 162 games? How long would that take? That would take years. Or you'd have to expand Rossers to like 200 people. Then they could do it. Two-color patch autograph. It's Rookie Patch Auto. This is 2019 edition. Dwayne Haskins, 25 out of 99 going to the Washington football team, Tana, with Washington. Maybe he revives his career in Pittsburgh. He wiped his hand across that auto before it dried. Right now, let's go with Contender's Optic. Two autographs from here. And then we'll finish off with Panini 1. Then we'll do some randomizers. If you're having a bad break, just remember, we're still giving away that Tom Brady autograph football. So that's still on the table. As you can stare at the autograph above my head right there. Here's Jimmy G. So he might be done in, will he be done? In San Francisco, there's Khalil Mack to 27. It's the green pulsars they introduced this year. Darius Leonard to 199. And the two autographs behind Drew Tranquil is Rashawn Gary for the Packers. That'll be for Robert. Now, remember, due to the top loader shortage, we've been having to place some of these thinner cards into top loaders that are a little bit larger than they should be. Obviously, our shipping team is blue taping these with painter's tape, so they won't rattle around. But just be careful if you're moving the tape or something like that. There could be very loose inside that top loader. Rashawn Gary going to the Packers. Robert, and the last one here is David Montgomery to 149. 37 out of 149, rookie ticket autograph. Yes, the Brady is literally on the table. All right. All right, here we go. Last box of the break. This is the 12 box off season football mixer. I think I'm kind of on time actually. I predicted the correct time for this mixer. Sometimes it's hard to judge gauge how long the mixer's gonna take. All right, last one. Good luck. It's gonna be in landscape mode. And it's gonna be Jersey and autographed Jacobies. 55 out of 75 for Don and the Blue Horseshoes. And that's that, ladies and gentlemen, thank you. Let's do some randomizing. Let's get our rando on. Let's flip back, do I have a new dice here? Yes, so let's flip back to the screen right here. There's random.org. Oh, I don't want, what are these? I don't want random geographic coordinates. What was that? We'll have to check that out later. Okay, so first we'll do the left, right cards for the contenders round numbers cards. There was a numbered round numbers card. Jeter Grossmottos, Carolina, and KJ Hamler Denver, that was to 149. And then of course everybody has a shot at the big prize of the break. Tom Brady, autographed football, tri-star authenticated. The second name will get the 250 points. For all three lists, one dice roll, one and a five, six times for all three lists. One, four, and sixth and final time. After six right side cards, we'll get these. For this one, that was numbered. One and a five, six times. One, two, three, four. I'll check, Colin. Five and sixth and final time. After six, Carolina will be on top. After six, so it'll be the Panthers. That will be Jeff Rosetti. We'll get that card right here. Colin wanted me to check the air pressure on this football here. A little deflated. Probably just enough to get a better grip on that football in adverse conditions. Not that, not that. A goat like Tom Brady would need anything like that. One and a five, six times for the Tom Brady autographed football. One, two, three, four, five. Good luck, and sixth and final time. After six, thanks everyone here for giving this a shot. I appreciate it. Spot two, a little consolation prize. I know it's not what you want, Jeff. 250 points, but there you go. 250 points going your way. I appreciate you getting in. And big congrats to Don, Don McCray, who won that spot in the most recent filler that we had to do for this. Wins the Tom Brady autographed football. Let's actually, let's take that baby out really quick. There you go. There's the autograph. There's the Super Bowl logo right there. The commissioner's autograph. Now the sticker is a little, you can see, oh, you can see it right there. It's a little faded, but it says tri-star on there as you can see with the authentication number. So pretty nice stuff. There you go. Nice big auto right in the center of the panel. Very nice stuff. And there you go, ladies and gentlemen, let's do a quick little recap. Thanks everyone for giving this a shot. It was really nice. Couple of Herberts in the mix. Nice Brian Edwards. So a lot of great stuff. A lot of different ears in this mixture. Travis Kelsey rookie, Julio Jones rookie, Vaughn Miller rookie. So all sorts of nice stuff.  That was Jaspie's 12 box off season NFL mixer, featuring that Tom Brady autograph. Thanks everyone for joining. I'm Joe. I'll see you next time for the next break. Bye bye.


I almost died on a vision quest by the way on Shasta maybe two years prior. There's many layers to this to unpack and so I go oh that's interesting I'm in a Shasta yeah she's like I know a person she has a private label business she goes up in a truck once a month she has about a hundred clients she fills it up in five gallon jugs and I'm one of her clients a couple more weeks go by she calls me late one night and says Andrew I had to pull off the side of the road I'm just coming down from Shasta I just had a download and the vision is somehow you need to involve this warranty again involved etc etc I had a vision basically from from spirit God what everyone called like some energetic insight I was dismissive at first even though I'm into all of those things it's just we kept getting drawn back to Shasta and ultimately we decided to get into the water business


Hi everyone, Joe for jaspyscasebrakes.com coming at you with a fun one here 2023 Bowman Draft Baseball 8-Box Jumbo Edition. This is pick your team number two All-Card ship Tom Brady's are going to go to the nationals etc. etc. Josh Gibson retro fractures will be randomized All right, that makes sense. That's our usual So we usually would do big thanks to this group for making it happen here on Wednesday the 13th Honk day pick your team to you have jumbo to next your name That means you won those spots in the filler that we did not too long ago. We did that in a separate video There's Jeff with last bot mojo and the Cardinals Joe, what's going on Joe Hauer Baltimore Orioles good to see you Joe Appreciate you and everybody for getting in case going here. Oh, sorry Christmas train being knocked around here I'm already Loosened up there. Let's that open. There are the Jumbos Dodgers ornament guy There is right there Over there for a little bit. I'm gonna make myself a little bit of room here. All right. So with jumbo three autographs per box Super jumbo has five. All right. Good luck everybody. Matt Arnold wants to see some Royals That'd be nice There is Who's the Mitchell Blake Mitchell or something like that? I feel like is It's the guy we want to chase for Kansas City The key guys that we're highlighting that we're focusing on here would be these guys all card ship in case you're wondering as of as a 445 Los Angeles time on Wednesday December 13 2023 I've yet to pull any kind of Tom Bray Matt Smith has the Nationals. I'm sure he's He's hoping that today is the day All right, and away we go. Good luck everyone. We've got max some paper here max Clark's going to Tristan and the Tigers Paul schemes will be going to Tristan and the Pirates Cole Emerson's will go to Seattle Steven Seattle and nice These are the mood ring short prints And that is Paul schemes nice It's a strong one there for Tristan and the Pirates good start got a gold Jack Mahoney 35 out of 50 that'll be for the Rockies. It's gonna go to Mark L A Jake Wilson for the A's Alexander who won that in the filler Roger Garious 283 out of 499 for the Yankees. It's gonna go to Matt Smith Noel McLean Looks like these parallels are not numbered They look nice, and here's our first autograph Justin Reimer Boston Red Sox Kyle with Boston base auto. I like these glass parallels. They have in here. That's Colt Emerson That's gonna be for Steve and Seattle White Langford a lot of why it's in this class as well Notice Here's why Langford one of the More highly touted whites number four overall pick Jacob Wilson nice to 125 that'll be for Alexander and the A's Number six overall pick another highly touted prospect here So that hero why it why a crowl and there's a Brock of Raidenberg For the Marlins that's gonna be for Jeff Jeff on the board with the fish with the spot that he won in the filler Max Clark's all those will go to Tristan and the Tigers. Let me find some numbers Some ink From mr. Max among others There's another why it why it huddle full or autograph in this stack Paul schemes. I'm probably gonna miss some key players here and there But remember all card ships. So don't worry. They'll all get to you Got a blue Devon salty bun to 150 that'll be for the Phillies Charles With the Philadelphia Phillies. There's a match Shaw Wilson And we got a TJ Nichols 138 out of 199 for the Rays. That'll be for Mark B Got Paul schemes up here as well followed by a match Shaw EA has the Cubs. You'll get all those match Shaw's Spencer Jones Kristen Campbell Christian Campbell, and there's our third auto Mac Horvath Blue Wave auto for Joe and the O's You go Joe first box got a hit 47 out of 150 On the second round pig Orioles have a yeah, you're welcome Joe. Thanks for getting in good to see you Orioles And racking up collecting some nice youngsters and prospects over the years There might be an ownership change for the Orioles at some point Lot of big things happening with the O's. I think ownership change is going to be a big thing When and if that happens and I think The lease on cannon yards might be up Something like that. They might look to try to Put a little more funding into that use some updates to that to that park They'll get him to spend a little money on payroll There's some stars around those youngsters and see what happens. There's a lot of things happening around that region You can DC the wizards owner Wizards and capitals on our major is the same person Might move a little south I think from the district To build a new sports complex That'll house those teams And I guess the commanders will probably look for a new stadium as well I had a lot of changes in that a lot of good upgrades in that region Yeah, Joe Harris says yeah, I hope they do switch ownership. We and the lease was signed for another 30 years All right, so that's that Dotsom eyes cross some teas Yeah, maybe some new new ownership So the now's a good time I think I mean, you know, maybe the angeles family there's like hey This might be a good time to sell while the team has a lot of future potential got a lease locked up All that sort of stuff, you know team valuations been going up for decades now 004 out of 199 Garrett Bowman for the Braves they can cash out You know they can cash out and Someone could get a nice team with a beautiful ballpark, you know in a fan base hungry for some For an ownership that might breathe some life into this Young and exciting team all good things. We've got Adrian Santana to 199 buzzer on Los Angeles is that the Dodgers are gonna try to trade for Tyler Glass now and Manuel Margot although most fans Want Manuel Margot to be switched out with Randy Arras, Arania, but the price tag is gonna be a lot bigger if that happens in a trade They met with Yamamoto the Japanese free agent So while he's going on his tour He met some teams here in LA too, and he's also going around flying around too. He's all over the place Obviously, I'm happy with Otani being a Dodger. I think MLB announced that his that Otani's Dodger 17 Jersey Was the fastest selling Jersey in 24 hours or something like that There's Maui Ahuna speckle autograph for the Giants. That's gonna be for Tristan The Dodgers really need those starting pitching a Lot of guys coming off of injuries and a lot of just pictures were just unproven too young so if they can get two sort of Bonafide starting pitchers Feel pretty confident about About a strong season Obviously would love our as Arania. I feel like he's the kind of player the Dodgers need the sort of clutch Playoff hitter. I mean as long as you have the arms It's usually a recipe for a deep run into the playoffs Jay, there's a Jason Woodard 90 out of 125 Dodgers have been looking at Corbin burns too, although Maybe the Brewers aren't gonna give up Corbin burns now. I don't know what the case is there, but Dodgers have been looking at Corbin burns and shortstop William Dennis since Last year last summer. I like these glass cards right here. There's Anatello for the Boston That's gonna be for Kyle. There's Marcelo Meyer to 250 And I guess what other I guess Cody Belanger still needs a home That's another free agent Domino that could fall somewhere like I've not heard any buzz about a Haven't heard any buzz about or any connections or rumors as to where Belanger may go I think there were initial rumblings about maybe Maybe the Yankees, but I don't know if they have the money to sign Belanger to a long-term deal That's what he's probably looking for Giants me Giants Giants have a lot of money. They allegedly said Hey, we gave we offered Otani just as much as the Dodgers did Salistand goes to the Mariner Steve Skeins will go to Tristan and the Pirates cold Emerson was also go to Steve again Pilsen what's going Dodgers trade for Dylan Cease poor kid with your white socks tired of this owner Yeah, let's We'd be happy to I'd be happy to adopt Dylan Cease and put him in a good home There's Joe the Toronto Speaking to the Dodgers Jeff with the Dodgers my Dodgers You do have a lot of prospects, so I think I Mean they might they might still flex their their their financial muscle and still get Yamamoto, but I Would be more active and they should be in my opinion. They should be more active in the trade Market they've got a lot of youngsters coming up the pipeline And not a lot of places rented play I don't know if they'll get too many opportunities to a lot of stars in a lot of different positions Next by at Langford Not numbered, but we'll go to the ranger Steve C I think the Dodgers have been linked to Dylan Cease as well And there's our third auto of the box Tommy Hawk not Tony Hawk, but Tommy Hawk for the Guardians Brian Cleveland, this is for you There's transformative talent why at Langford Cease is a beast being wasted here, you know I was talking about I think I'm talking about this with the Rex the other night Where we're just every for the last few years For the last few years, I've always been like man that White Sox team looks really good on paper You know but They pre like pre like Lance Lynn decline He was he was a beast goblin up in ink Dylan Cease was there and Eloy Jimenez, Louise Robert, Jose Ebreu Tim Anderson You know kind of a fun young team to watch But yeah, they kind of there was sort of a misstep with with Tony LaRusso I don't know if that was the best Best manager for the White Sox Didn't work out well Yeah, they're not just spending money for a manager. I feel like they're like a manager away You know someone to tie all that together put them on the same page Same with the Bears. Yeah Well Bears have been looking good the past two three games LaRusso slept a lot LaRusso still still battling some Some alcohol issues too, I think Eric what up? Did I sabotage with an egg? No Far from it Eric Jennings. I've been helping push that 20 box break on this on this very stream 20 case break on this very stream. What happened? Speckles are not numbered by the way Something going on over there? Mike wasn't working Did they unmute? Did you unmute? Is Emmett Olson to $199? 62 out of $199, Marlins, Jeff With the fish There's a manual Bonilla 60 out of $199 that purple Lunar for Toronto. That'll be for Jeff There's no sabotage here Eric. The money all goes to the same place All into the same umbrella Jaspies Sports cars and collectible. Is there still a problem over there? Did they fix it? Cam Fisher That's Max Anderson not Max Clark. Sorry Max Anderson. We're looking for Mr. Clark. Well, they do restart the stream Hopefully it's working now Here's the very noble Meyer That's gonna go to Jeff and the Marlins There's Nathan Detmer to $4.99 for the A's Alexander, Paul Skeen's draft insert card Pirates I'm looking for Skeens to Work on that must at least I feel like he should really fill that out a little bit more It's the makings of a great mustache Could be one of the greats could be could be on the Jaspies all mustache team Make a play for that Did it look like a short print? I think the numbers ended one five Is that a short print number? Card 118 Here's some Jacob Wilson glass nice. It's a different picture. Okay Sleeved up we'll get top-loaded Jacob Wilson glass is gonna go to Oakland Alexander with Oakland other Jacob Wilson right there Matt Shaw Ryan Clifford to 250 that'll be for Joe Iverson The Metropolitan's What are the Mets doing this offseason? Like that is a that's a team that has Some muscle some financial muscle that they can flex Looks like fanatics live stream is back Those of you are looking for that And a nice draft picks prospects autograph Bryce Eldridge. I haven't seen one of these yet. Oh Nice So confirm that Jackson holiday is indeed a short print Giants Tristan with the Giants at 73 out of 99 So the usual card is of him hitting it sounds like that 20 casers sold out which is good because I'm on fanatics live tomorrow And I didn't I didn't feel like doing that solo This is jumbo to think I wrote in the schedule Unless I forgot no time schedule. Yeah jumbo to and there is Adrian Santana For the race that'll be for mark. I Lakers are in San Antonio. They just tipped off Get a look at Wembingham Anything of Davis look small compared to him That women young man with a no look pass is that anything Dave's on the ground clutching his ankle after the first play of the game? Cut to commercial what's happening? If they come back to a shot of him Going down the tunnel Don't like that We've got Quinn McDaniel 36 out of 75 yellow parallel For Tristan and the Giants, here's a transformative talent max Clark insert. This look pretty cool. I think Paul schemes Pirates Macron, I guess that's the regular Jackson holiday right there paper version. No, I think he's back on the floor good There's a rock rigio. That's for Matt Smith and the Yankees 336 out of 499 Skeens Speckled the honey man Michael oh, there is who Ralphie of Alaska's in the garden. Alright, we're looking for local guys in this Bowman Drive set There's Jack Winniger to 499. We'll look for Ralphie and some San Pedro, which is just maybe 1015 minutes south of us here no traffic There's the very noble Meyer Glass The very noble Meyer his autograph this time. There you go Jeff and the Marlins Getting the 10th overall pick. There it is Teddy McGraw purple chrome autograph for Seattle Steve with the M's 191 out of 250. Let's see if we can find his his future teammate in here somewhere All right gang. We're officially halfway through about 37 minutes in so yeah about another 35 Minutes to go we'll do an autograph recap at the end Let's get to box number five second half This is a eight box jumbo pick your team to 2023 Bowman Drive baseball just dropped yesterday and we've got Another jumbo case that we can do tonight. That's in its last filler given away 11 teams 21 spots left. We're only selling 22 spots outright We're randomized with 22 names top eight will get extra spots and we'll do the That blaster break itself then we'll randomize the full list again top 11 We'll get teams and pick your team three and we can knock out another one of these other box. Good luck Paul Skeens and Cam Collier nice 139 out of 150 one of the Reds is a big prospects here Brian Crouch with the Reds was the 18th overall pick last year 2022 cold Emerson chrome card And we've got a black chrome Shawn Sullivan. What is that number two? First one of those I've seen Mark Won the Rockies in the filler and it's out of 75 Nice 46 out of 75. That's pretty sharp nice Paul Skeens glass Tristan with the Pirates like that glass that glasses nice nice addition to this year's set Got a paper white Langford for Steve and a chrome white Langford for Steve second half Philip Abner That is a green grass parallel here. You can kind of see the grass That's going to go to Nestor in the Diamondbacks one of the snakes in the filler and a class of 2023 Cole carry like how that let that purple match in the team nicely here nice little color match And that's another one for Mark and the Rockies two of the three Nice design there. We've got a Carlos Jorge 330 out of 499 followed by a Dean Jorge Rodriguez That blue color not numbered and there's our third auto Austin troser blue wave autograph for the Mets Joe Ivers 48 out of 150 The Mets fourth round pick any other baseball stories here. We got Nothing too crazy here. Nationals plan to use Nick Sanzele as a primary third baseman penguins and pirates agreed to joint ownership of sports net Pittsburgh Trace Thompson signs a minor league deal Roberto Perez signed a minor league deal for Harold Farrell signs a minor league deal Daniel Hudson signs a minor league deal Francisco Alvaro is open to extension with the Mets, but here's the fun news of the day And we we can all I feel like we've all become Contract lawyers here With this Ohtani contract Ohtani contract contains conditional opt-out clause based on ownership comma front office It's interesting As opposed that makes sense So if either owner controlling owner mark Walter or the president of baseball operations Andrew Freeman if either of them leave The organization here for ten years, bro. He gains the opt-out possibility. It's like you're gonna Right, I like I'll bet Andrew Freeman was like, you know what that gives me a ten-year guarantee Oh dream on yeah, yeah, that's it indefinitely means until further notice. Yeah could be one game could be ten games Could be the entire season not that Andrew Freeman's job was ever in danger, but I suppose it's like in the in the Crazy event that the maybe the Dodger sell the team or something like that. I Think maybe that might be the thing Another a little more fun thing was MLB announcing a spring breakout prospect series We'll talk about that when I'm ripping open some packs next But basically it's a four-day series of exhibition games in which the organization's top prospects will participate in spring training contests between March 14th and 17th which I think is For baseball prospectors out there, I mean you might see some of these guys in the stuff you're collecting today You may see them in March in action And that's that's gonna help value. I think second-hand market value. There's Jacob Gonzalez mood ring short print That will be for the White Sox Jeremy Taylor Henny what's going on? You have the Padres in this one you you're Henry no Padres yet No autograph Padres yet or numbered cards And we still got a lot of boxes to go Rob, what's going on? Chase Davis lunar to 199 for the Cardinals. That's gonna be for Jeffrey Spencer Jones to 499 Some sky blue paper for Matt Smith and the Yankees Here's Zach Thornton For Joe Ivers and the Metropolitan's 370 out of 499 There's Brandon Maia 7 out of 10 Nice low number there from Matt and the Yankees and an orange Lucas Gordon 2 out of 25 White Sox Jeremy Taylor Of the way that orange looks And he's saying prices are scar good here. Why is it taking so long to fill? Yeah, I Would like to know that too Maybe people think there's a catch Maybe people think our wire prices is good. There must be a catch. No catch There's Jacob Gonzalez glass for the White Sox Jeremy Yeah, go to Jasper's case breaks calm ladies and gentlemen Don't don't take my word for it. Take Henry's word for it. Henry's saying Prices are good here Check it out Jasper's case breaks calm. Tell your friends tell a family member tell a co-worker Tell your friends on Instagram tick-tock Get them in on it. There's Nathan Detmer to 250 A's that'll be for Alexander And some more Paul schemes for Tristan and the Pirates Matt Shaw, and there's a Kendall George for the Dodgers. It's gonna be for Jeff and my Dodgers They're late first-round pick and that's that's the guy for the Dodgers, right Henry saying It's like 36 overall looks like some sort of competitive balance pick or something like that in between the first and second although if the Dodgers get guys like ours Arania Have room for that guy Dodgers are gonna face a a prospect You know pipeline sort of jam at some point they must start moving some prospects Maybe not him, but even some of the major league ready ones Almost said the Subaru auto was hit in Japan And there's our third It's Sabin Sabales. So bias Sabales And that's where Alexander the brave won that in the one the braves in the filler. Nice I'm gonna do a little recap after the two boxes to go Almost there. It's not that prospect series sounds very interesting. I Have no idea is it That's Sabine onions Henry saying brain from Rob Manfred He's saying quote spring break out provided you opportunity to showcase the future start of the game as they continue On their journey to the major leagues our fans get a unique opportunity to meet our best prospects get autographs See the next generation of major league major league is up close While it's not uncommon for highly regarded prospects to parts spate and spring training contests They're frequently plugged in as just late game substitutions Alongside an MLB roster lower minor league players are often in the minor league portion of spring training While playing on the backfields at teams complexes So before today there hasn't been anything specifically designed to get a club get a club's Most talented players regardless fades enough all on the same field in front of a larger audience This won't dramatically change the spring training season, but sets aside a few days to give fans a look at the future of the organization I like that. I think that's great I'm sure MLB network or somebody will televised it or something like that Get to see All these prospects together at once You know a couple highlight moments for some of these players might be good for The hobby might be good for your collection It's a good thing Rob is close. Onion is cebola Cebolla is close Paul Skiens Oh, they already have 38 points The start of the second quarter A couple minutes into the second quarter There's Samuel Zavala 172 out of 250 purple chrome That's for Henny and Penny And another Padre green paper 1999 Prince J. Bashir's Padres are warming up a little bit here EA with all of those uh match shots these ones aren't numbered These lunars are not numbered, but they look pretty cool And look at that. It is a Padres box gold wave on card autograph J. Bashir's Seven out of 50. You're welcome. Thanks for getting in And he's not the Padres guy He's still a hit though. We'll take it No, no Lankford or Colt Emerson autographs Not yet. Anyway Gold really, uh, really popular looking for head Some bush and Bashir's Things that things that you would use shears on Tai P. What did Michael Jaspy pull? Yell it out Michael What'd they pull? Tristan if you're here, you better go over to the Fanatics livestream Oh, actually I can watch on the desktop Wow It's a Brady auto What's it numbered to? What out of 50? It's nice All right, let's try to beat that here Oh, look at this. This is nice. We've got a Paul Skeen's mood ring Tristan and the Pirates I feel like someone was saying that there isn't any Tom Brady in HTA, but I can't believe those rumors ladies and gentlemen It's Marcus Brown to 75 Matt Smith and the Nationals Just red and gold in HTA and super was in a jumbo That's good enough for me Garrett Forrester to 499 And we got another Jay Bashir's It is a Padres box Bass this time And we got a Rock Rigio Matt Smith and the Yankees Welcome to the Rock Welcome to the Rock Eighth and final box. Thanks everybody for getting in. This is 2023 bone draft baseball jumbo eight box case break picker team two Picker team three is in the store Right now in a filler with Eight spots within the filler being given away That's still holding at 21 super jumbo is down at 22 Picker team four all teams available straight up 12 teams left on that We can get a couple more of these going tonight. We'll go through some more orders after this I may take a Just a little break to snack on some food And we'll come back and maybe do another Another jumbo break would be pretty nice Might be able to should be able to do pick your team three tonight And we've got a good chance of doing picker team four as well Good luck gang final box Let's try to finish strong here I feel like it's been a pretty solid break thus far, but Wouldn't mind ending with like a train whistle hidden out of five or under Let's see one of those If not, let's keep searching Keep going on that monster hunt We've got more jumbo in the store jaspy's case breaks.com There's a mary and boyd to 125 That'll be for charles and the fillies We've got a blue jays auto. That's jace uh boffrin That'll be for jeff and toronto Hold emerson paper. We've seen a lot of those Maybe some ink would be would be awesome Clark Henry saying jace is a good bat This jace might be a good bat too Josh's brother. We've got 69 75 luke kashaal for mark and the twins yellow lunar paper Wyatt langford Got a brice eldridge glass for tristan and the giants Got a braden taylor 42 out of 199 for the rays mark b Matt Shaw haven't seen any of his Ink or any color here as well Need to see some of that. That'd be nice And here is a marlin kemp alderman For jeff and miami Marlin's a second round pick. Those are jacob wilson for the a's for alexander Be looking for one more autograph Better be here. All right. Good night Bye. Bye. All right and behind louise on helicunia is michael carrico blue wave autograph for ea and the cubs not the matt shaw we were looking for but On the board at the very end 99 out of 150 cubs fifth round pick And that closes it out recap tons of uh Parallels right here that are sorting and shipping team will take care But here are the hits another sort of low numbered cards or other Highlights right here mood ring Out of 10 another mood ring Class of 2023 glass Jackson holiday uh image variation Some more glass The the lunar parallels look cool There was a cold emerson glass and another paul skeen's mood ring, which is pretty awesome There you go gang eight box pick your team two in the books. I'm joe I'll see you next time for the next bowman draft break. Bye. Bye


Okay, then let's start with the first speaker, which is Maria Niku from the Finnish Literature Society. So, hello everyone, I'm from the Finnish Literature Society, and unfortunately we are not members yet, but we are joining soon, so that's going to happen. So, Finnish Literature Society was founded in 1831 for the advancement of written Finnish, in fact the Finnish word was invented for the purpose. So, we have large archives of handwritten Finnish documents, especially from the 19th century, and so we are in a good position to develop models for, public models for Finnish handwritten texts of the era. And while there are already several models for Swedish language from 19th century, such models do not yet exist for Finnish. So, we are taking 19 to early 20th century diaries written in Finnish by significant cultural figures, and going one writer at a time. And we have two goals, firstly to produce automated transcriptions that are good enough for fuzzy surges, in other words with distances of no greater than two characters. And the longer term goal is to create models with multiple hands that would be useful with many kinds of Finnish handwritten materials. So, mostly, or at least judging by our first example, Asperin Harpkula, the diaries are pretty easy in terms of layouts and even lines and so on, but there are some challenges, namely the first one is that diaries often span several decades, which means that the style of writing changes due to changing conventions of writing and the writer's age. And that creates the problem of selecting the training material so that it is representative of all the materials, but not too large compared to the total size of the materials. And the second problem or challenge with the diaries is that they are normally written for own use, which means that they are careless, so to speak. For instance, with Asperin Harpkula, the letter A is often left open, which means that it looks the same as A or U or N. R and S look the same, H and K and so forth. So this kind of random carelessness is understandable to human readers, but this is a different kind of situation for the machine. So the results so far, we are only just starting with some of the first models created is that we have a model of about 40,000 characters and it's looking quite promising with smallest character error rate at about 5% a bit under. But as to our first goal, it isn't good enough yet. As you can see, there are a number of words with distances of over two letters, which either does or doesn't matter depending on what the user search for. So it matters a great deal for personal or place names, but at the moment, I'm not at all certain that there's anything to be done to improve the results. One of the means maybe that the National Archives kindly gave us some 600,000 words, if I remember correctly, of Finnish training data. So we'll have to see if it works. So that's about for me. Thank you.


Hey everyone, this is Dan with another episode of my ASML videos. I have been trading ASML in the last few months and have earned quite a bit of profit. ASML announced second quarter earnings today. The stock price jumped up and I bought more shares. Why am I so bullish about the stock? Let's get into the details. First of all, let me recap my price forecast in my June 6th video. At the time, I predicted that ASML will be at $720 a share before the end of September 2021. June 6th was a Sunday and before that on Friday, June 4th, the market closing price was $683 and certainly the price has been moving in the direction I predicted. And actually, as of today, July 21st, it closed at $721 and $1 above my target price. So definitely, the price has been moving very nicely. In light of the new developments, will I be setting a new target? I will talk about that in the next few minutes. Let's move on. This is a quick recap of the very, very detailed fundamental analysis I did back on March 28th of 2021. If you are interested, you can refer back to that video. It's in my YouTube channel. The gist of it is that ASML has a monopoly in the EUV lithography market and they have 88% market share in the EUV segment. These equipment, what does semiconductor boundaries need if they want to make the most advanced semiconductor chips? And that's why it's a very profitable business for ASML. Also today, after the earnings announcement, investor business daily said that ASML tops earnings target and provided higher guidance. The most important part was that ASML management now expect sales to grow about 35% in 2021 as opposed to their previous prediction of just 30%. Both numbers are impressive, but revising the growth projection from 30% to 35% certainly made the investors very happy and that's why the price of the stock jumped today. This is the information ASML shared with the investors today in a presentation. I just pulled out one page from it. Here it is, the net sales growth is projected to be about 35%. There's another page where they mentioned the capital return. What the management has been doing is that because they've been making a lot of profit, generating a lot of cash, so they're returning the profit to the investors by way of dividend and share buyback. So over the years, they've been returning these amounts of money back to the investors. As you can see, the capital return has been growing steadily and that's a sign of a very well managed, very successful company. Because of the worldwide semiconductor shortage, quite a few foundries have announced their capital investment plans to catch up. Intel back in April announced that they will be investing $20 billion in foundries and then Taiwan semiconductor followed with the announcement saying that they will be investing $100 billion in the next three years. Then Samsung said that they will be investing $300 billion through 2030 and the European Union also said that they would be investing in new semiconductor foundries, although they haven't announced any specific amount of money that they will be investing. With all these future investments, actually they already started to happen. That's why ASML's revenues has been growing so quickly and actually it's going to go on for the next couple of years at least. This is the historical view of their revenues and net income. And so today I updated this last bar which reflected what the company announced today in the way of revenues and net income. As you can see, the last three or four bars have been substantially taller than the previous bars. So just confirm that the revenues and net income are growing very significantly. This is a chart from the Better Investing website showing the debt to capital ratio of ASML, which is indicated by this black line. It's trending up a little bit, but compared to the overall semiconductor industry, they are actually in very good shape. Of course, the debt to capital ratio, the lower, the better. At this point, I can rattle off another dozen finance ratios from what I learned back in business school after I've taken about 20 accounting courses and finance courses. I can do that just to impress you, but that'll be a disservice because we don't have time to waste on this. We know ASML is a very successful company. They're generating a lot of revenues, a lot of income, and a lot of cash. The important thing is how fast they're going to grow. So look at how fast they have been growing. Again, this is from the Better Investing website. As you can see, since about 2011, their revenue growth have been going at about 20% rate and that's pretty much a slope of this line. And their EPS growth has been at about 16%. Now, notice that the blue line in the industry average, the black line is ASML. The industry has been a lot more bumpy than ASML. As you can see, there's pretty severe dip, but ASML seems to be holding up pretty strong even against bad times. Same with EPS. There was a big dip here for the industry in 2013, but a dip in 2013 was not nearly as strong for ASML. That's another sign of a very well-managed company. As you might remember a few pages ago, we mentioned that the ASML management forecasted that the 2021 sales growth would be 35%. So that means this line will go up like this for 2021. And likewise, the EPS growth will be a lot steeper as well. That's why it's very bullish all around. If you like what you've seen so far, I'd like to suggest that you click the like, subscribe and notification button. That way you'll be notified if I publish more videos in the future and it will also encourage me to make more videos like this. Thank you very much. Let's continue. Let's look at the other analysts opinion and especially what they have changed between June and today. This is the closing price today, 721, my new target. I'll be talking about that in the next few minutes. Yahoo Business, maintain the buy rating. Same high target of 820. The average target has been increased from 747 to 760. I highlighted the new numbers in yellow. Low numbers the same. Luznevalier actually downgraded it from A to B. The main reason is the quantitative rating. And that means the chart for ASML is not being doing as well as a broad market since about a month ago. In fact, the entire semiconductor industry has underperformed compared to the broad market for the last month. But later on we can see that ASML is picking up very nicely in the last few days and there might be a sector rotation coming back to the semiconductor business in the next few weeks. We'll talk about the charts later on. But it seems that Luznevalier is the only analyst who is somewhat negative about ASML during the last month. If you look at tipranks.com, they increase the high rating from 806 to 820. Average went from 752 up to 810. Low target from 700 to 800. Seeing money also increase the targets. And same with the street.com. So it's pretty much bullish all around with the exception of Luznevalier. What is my only evaluation? This is the recap of my evaluation back in June. My prediction was $720 a share based on these calculations. Today I refreshed my calculations. First of all, I downloaded the latest market caps and the trailing and forward P ratios and the PEC ratio from Yahoo Finance. And this line is ASML. The very impressive part is that ASML has a PEC ratio of just 1.5. Of course, the slower the PEC ratio, the better. As you can see, some of the semiconductor companies have PEC ratio of 2, 2.3, even 4.3, 2.6. 1.5 is very conservative. And that's because they have very high earning growth numbers. Then based on the information we talk about, I assume earning growth of 29.8%. And that's very reasonable if their revenues will be growing at 35% as predicted by management. And I believe a 45 P ratio going forward is reasonable because they have currently a P ratio of 56.9. Actually 45 will be fairly conservative. I then apply the trailing 12 month figures for the company. And then using these assumptions, I calculated what the stock will be worth for 2021, 22, and 23. And from these numbers, I decided that I can set a target price of $750 a year by the end of October, 2021. As you can see, 750 is on the low side compared to this range. It is a very conservative number. As the price approaches that number, I will most likely revise my target upward. So please stay tuned, as I publish more videos in the future. Let's look at a chart. This is the one-year chart comparing ASML with the industry semiconductor industry that is as indicated by the SMH ETF. And this candlestick line is ASML. And then the blue line is QQQ, representing the movement of the NASDAQ 100 and the purple line is SPY, representing the movement of the standard and poor 500. ASML has been going up to the tune of 87% in the last year. And the semiconductor industry only went up 57%, very impressive number, but not nearly as good as ASML. And the SMP and QQQ only went up 36%, which is impressive. But again, not as good as ASML. Three-month chart. Here you can see ASML went up by 9.6%. QQQ by 6.2% and SPY 2.6%. SSMH, the entire semiconductor industry on average, went up just about 2.6%. You can see that in the last three months or so, up until a few days ago, the semiconductor industry is underperforming compared to the broad market, as represented by SPY and QQQ. But then it's been recovering in the last three, four days. And the recovery for ASML is even more impressive, especially today, right after the earnings announcement. And that's why I think sector rotation might be favoring the semiconductor industry again in the next couple of weeks. I'll be very watchful and looking for any future developments. Let's look at the daily chart. We can see that since around April of this year, ASML has been trending up very steadily along this channel, rather narrow channel, actually. And then it broke below that as the entire semiconductor industry went down in the last couple of weeks. But as of today, it went above this trend line. So hopefully this recovery will continue. If you look at RSI indicator, we had almost an overboard situation here corresponding to the dip afterwards. And now we're at this point, which is not as high as that. So we might still have some momentum go yet for the next few days. If you look at DMI indicator, we just see a bi-signal from yesterday. And MACD is just about turning bush. Let's look at support and resistance levels. I use a Fibonacci extension diagram and pick this point around May 15th as a minimum point and this point around June 15th as a maximum point. Draw the diagram. For support, the next level down will be at 694, which is the middle of the Bollinger Band, 20-day moving average. And the next level down will be 677, which is a 50-day moving average, the blue dashed line here. And the next level down will be 669, the lower Bollinger Band, the next level down will be 641, a 100-day simple moving average. For resistance, that's when we go to the Fibonacci extension. The next level up will be at 734, which is this line at Fibonacci extension 23%. Next level up will be 750 here, Fibonacci 38%. Next level up, 763, right here, Fibonacci 50%. Of course, there's a next line up at 776, which is Fibonacci extension 62%. What are my strategies? I'll be buying ASML shares during dips, especially when it bounces from a support level or when positive news breaks out. And that's exactly what I bought additional shares today. It already went up for $2 or $3 after I bought my shares today. Of course, I have been holding ASML shares since the beginning of this year, and it's been seeing some pretty nice profit already. As usual, I'll be holding about half my shares for the long-term because I'm bullish about a company which has very, very strong fundamentals and I'll swing trade the out of 50%. And I'll sell the shares when it drops at key resistance level or when adverse news breaks out. That's with about 50% of my shares. The other 50% I'll be holding long-term. And I'll definitely be monitoring current events related to the semiconductor industry and related to ASML. I will tweet my subscribers when I buy or sell ASML shares or when major news breaks out. And that brings to this page my Twitter account, which is DanMarketL. I'd like to encourage you to subscribe to my Twitter account in addition to subscribing to my YouTube video. For example, on July 16th, I tweeted my subscriber that in light of the S&P 500 inclusion of Moderna, which is another stock that I follow, and I make quite a few videos on that as well. You might want to check them out. I said, I am raising my price target for Moderna to $300 a share to be reached by the end of September, 2021, and I just bought more Moderna shares. And actually, it has gone up quite a bit already since I bought it on July 16th. Again, I'd like to encourage you to click the like, subscribe, and notification button. And as usual, I will very, very much welcome your comments, questions, and suggestions. Thank you for watching all the way to here. Let me recap. My new price target for ASML is $750 a share to be reached by the end of October, 2021, and today's closing price is $721. So it's got quite a bit of distance to go up yet. At this point, I'd like to remind you that I'm not a financial advisor. I share my stock trading strategies for educational purpose only. If you want to buy or sell stocks, you should make your own decisions, and you should definitely consult with your financial advisors before you do so. This about wraps up my video for now. I will chat with you again in the next few days. In the meanwhile, I'd like to wish you the very best of luck with your financial investments.


Welcome back again folks. Welcome to all new viewers, to all new people that are trying to understand what we saw in a play. In fact, what we're trying to do is we're trying to share what we saw in order for you to be able to know what other traders are looking at and the idea is to simplify it and put it in words that it makes it look a lot easier than it is. But the idea is to try to minimize all the flafla, all the complicated stuff. I'm trying to make it simple for you guys to understand what we saw and why we played it that way. So this is the zoom play that we played this week. Zoom was bullish because of the fact that the new variant from COVID is hitting a lot more than we thought. There are a lot of talks about rules and regulations that will be a little stronger than we thought. So we may go back to using zoom a little more than we thought we would. So this was us on Monday looking at the chart. Looking here is Monday. So basically when you prepare, you look at the situation. This is the one-hour chart. I have a black line. This black line at $360, $355, sorry $366 is drawn because I saw there was resistance right there. Resistance pretty much there and right there. Resistance is where you have the buyers. They stop buying at one point and they start selling. So sellers overtake the buyers.  And then the bulls come back in all to that certain point. And all this top becomes that resistance. And if you see in my charts, I often do this here to explain what happens. And this is the rejection of the same line. And this same line is where it drew my attention. Here, if you see this dark green line, it's a 200 EMA. Same place. So when we look at it, what I did, I put an alert in my chart right on this line. When it crosses the line, I open the chart and I look at it. Are we going to reject it and come back down? Or are we going to blow through it and start moving upwards? Now, because we were very bullish on it on that day, as soon as it alerted in my chart, I opened up position because I knew it was going to go at least test this area here where there's no resistance in between the top here and there. So basically, I took the 380 strike because we're going back to 380. We're very close to 380. However, it didn't go straight up. It was kind of trying, but the following day, it had a wick to the top side, to the upside, sorry, a wick to the upside, and then it came down. Now that wick is really tricky. If you're quick enough to hit the sell button as soon as it crosses the old resistance, because now the resistance is the old top from the previous day, we crossed it and then usually what we expect when we cross this, we get above it, down to it, and then we start moving towards where we thought we would go. But it didn't happen that way. It just went up and down very quickly. And why did it stop there? I'll show you right away. Same chart, right? See all these wicks? All these wicks at the bottom. I'll show you the wicks again. All these wicks I'm talking about. This is all the bottom that was bought. So basically, sellers are coming to the point and as soon as it gets under a line, it gets bought. Under a line, it gets bought. It happens to be the 200 EMA, but that's another story. Look at where they stopped buying. Let me get out of here for a second. That's the line they stopped buying and they stopped selling, sorry. And it happens to be the top of that wick on Tuesday. Now, if you're quick enough, you could have exited there and regroup and see what happened was this. We came down under my previous support line, but it used to be resistance and now I was expecting it to be used as resistance, sorry support. So basically, here was resistance. You know, it's going to try as soon as it broke. What we were expecting was this, right? At least test it, come down and then go like this. But it didn't. Instead, rejected hard. We had a bearish day, but it ended up being higher, which was a good sign, saying that we still have buyers above the line that we had. And basically, it just had a found support at the end of the day on above that line. And on Wednesday, same thing opened up above the same line. So all this is consolidation. Yet we were still above the bearish side, which was the seller's side where we were rejecting and coming back down. Nope, we are above it. And now we're above water and sailing above water, right? So looking back, we could have sold exactly on that on these wicks, but we did not. We were bullish on the play and we decided to exit in three different spots today. When we started blowing through, as soon as we went above this line, basically we are entering. Remember, these people were selling up until the point where they found no other sellers. They only found buyers at that bottom to go up. So basically, crowd that is under and the crowd that is above is a totally different crowd, right? As soon as you get just a bit above this yellow line, you get into the other guys with the other guys, this crowd, not the other crowd. So as soon as we stepped into the new crowd, that's when you know it's going to be bullish for real. So it started to be very bullish. Now, what I was looking at is this first exit, second exit, and then I was looking for a third exit. And if you look back, see, let me share this with you. You know this area where people see sellers, sellers, sellers. You know this area is pretty much an area where you need to rethink about staying in, but it kept on going, right? So basically we took off partial. As we go up, you look back, you know there's, they are sellers at a certain point. And I had to look back because this, this looked a little confusing. So what I did instead, I changed to a daily chart. Sometimes you can look further back to know exactly what you think you could find. And what I found was this. This is a daily chart. This is the gap we were looking at before. So you drop dramatically from there. But I was looking at this ramp up. Oh, by the way, just remember this black line that we had. WIC came to it. WIC came to it, but this was used as old resistance. So I played it in this area, but it's also useful a few months back. Well, this is back in June. But the important part is this, you know, we crossed it and then look at it here. We have a very bullish day, very bullish. And then next day, same height came down, came down, had a hard time, right? So this, these two guys, top of these two guys was my bet that we could see a top right there. And if you look at what's what here, we have a top of high of 395.43. And just before is 395.44. Basically, it's a pinning away. And this is where we decided to look at what was going to happen. I'm very close to that. Sorry, I'll put it right there. 395.49 close enough. This is the line that we had on this, these two partners. And I'll put it on the one minute because my last exit was something I wanted to get out. And I'll show you something that I have a video on that is dated, I believe last over Christmas holidays or something. So look back in December. I talk about the Tima, the Tima on the five minute, but now it's on the one minute because I wanted to have my last bit quite precise. So look at the Tima. Tima is the neon green line that you see here. On the one minute, it never closes under the Tima, never closes under the Tima. And then we get to see this yellow line is the one we had decided 395 that could be an old resistance. Now, if I'm looking at it, other people are also looking at it. Sometimes I look at it and all the people don't care about it. But the idea is to have a point that maybe people will have the same idea and start to take profit at that time. So basically, we cross that yellow line and then, oh, here and look what happened right after that. We dipped under Tima. Here it's still touching. Now it's not, right? As we were crossing below and it's crossing under my yellow line, I decided to exit right here. I believe it was on this candle that I decided to exit. We weren't at the top of the day, very close to it. And I only kept a few contracts. But the idea was to sell on the way up on resistance that we saw and establish a point because now we're not at all time high. We have the ability to look before where previous resistance was. So basically, we're going to have to fight to all bag holders at that resistance point. People that bought there are super happy to be selling either flat, you know, breakeven and get rid of that bag that they're holding. So should you. Now you're green. You're happy to get out here and be happy with the greens. So basically we bought the 380C and we carried it over from Monday until today. We ended up having something that was very successful. I believe we had over 300 and something percent on these last contracts. We still have a couple of runners for the end of the week. But we are deep in the money. You know, when you sell at 395 and you're 380 contracts, you're deep in the money. So looking back, the very important points that you have to remember is this. Planning the trade is having an alert set on something that you are interested in planning. This was resistance. Now it's breaking above. You have news chart. All good. All looking your way and set target. Set your target. Do you have like pennies until the next, um, the next target or do you have potential? This one had potential at least declined to the first, the first ladder level. So this was the entry point and the exit point is same thing. When you start, when you start moving up, you have to start scaling out. I always like to take half out at 100%. That way I have zero possible loss because I took all my, the money that I invested in the first place out and the top one is not, oh, it doesn't really matter. No, you want to secure that money. So you have to look at it and I'll go back to the team. Look at the team, which is a triple exponential moving average on the five minute. I showed you on the one minute here that is, it was approaching my, my resistance that I had looked over a longer timeframe sometimes can be useful. So I hope you guys are learning a few things, but you know, the idea is to have a plan for an entry and a plan for an exit. And this pretty much sums it up. Thanks for watching and I'll see you soon.


John, can I have you describe Jeremy in one word? Impressive. Jeremy, can I have you describe Adam in one word? Doe. Oh! I happen to love... And so do I. I love cookies and cakes. It does. It's a dog hug. That's a compliment. That is a compliment. Didn't we even say that when we had this really emotional hug at the end of the movie? It was so soft. I'm a little squishy. You work out too much. You're like, your body is like chiseled stone. It's not comfortable on you. It's not comfortable to cover with.  I'm doughy. I'm warm and embracing. Like a body pillow. I'm a body pillow. Get your hand-helms body pillow today. That's right. Load her now. Okay, John in one word. Stellar. Jake, how would you describe Hannibal in one word? Farts. Hannibal, how would you describe Jake in one word? Not farts. You connecting those words? That's one word. I'm bad at looking at the word count. Word count is never my thing. What is Hannibal's favorite food? Mints. Five milligrams. What is Jake's favorite food? Barley. What do you like most about Hannibal? It's funny. What do you like most about Jake? Intense. Why would Hannibal most like to take a vacation? Maybe he'd go back to Hawaii to that place he went. Where you went to Hawaii, but he would bring other people. Yeah. So rural Hawaii. Why would Jake like to take a vacation? A family-friendly spot. Orlando. Less people, less but family-friendly for sure. Jeremy, we are massive Avengers fans at MTV and everyone has been... What's up my tag? Just one? Just one? Everyone has been wondering where Hawkeye was during Infinity War. What is the funniest fan theory that you have had? You think I'm bad for you? Yeah, yeah. I was playing tag. Once... One month out of the year? One of the Avengers? It takes a month off. Sorry guys. It just happened to be the month that the Infinity War happened. Sorry guys, I got a thing. I got a thing with my friends before I was an Avenger. And also Hawkeye often likes to hang out with his buddy, played by me, who is Hawkeye. And he's just a guy who's obsessed with Hawks. And knows lots of Hawke trivia. He can identify a Hawke. He has terrible eyesight. But he really is an appreciator of Hawks. And that is my Avengers character. Hawkeye. He has a sidekick. Hawkeye. That's me. And I'm just a guy that's constantly kind of a little warm. I'm always just like, is it me, you guys?  You're Hawkeye. You're always hot. Always hot. So that's sweet. There's a lot of fun. We have a lot of fun with those three guys. And that's going to be a... That is another spin-off. Hawkeye. Hawkeye. Hawkeye. Hawkeye. Hawkeye.