Hi everyone, Joe for jazby's casebreaks.com. That's me coming at you with 2021 Bowman baseball jumbo edition eight box picker team, too Brand new release just dropped today. Thanks everybody for getting into the action If you see a little rooftop next to your name, that means you won that team that filler pack we did a little bit earlier Jeffrey you ended up with the last bottom mojo with the angels and there's everybody else Thanks everyone for getting in making this happen And remember we had two cases over here, and I randomized it and we did one case. There's the other case right there Brian Peeples is here too. Yeah Didn't see a lot of Padres in that first jumbo case It's jay for jumbo not not like the Joker. We're gonna do better than the first case here All right, so this break is gonna take a little over an hour so settle settle in If you're watching the replay of this break You can fast forward to the end. There'll be a recap at the end But for those of you watching live tonight Hang in there or you can visit Jason at Jaspie's breaks on Instagram live if you want to hang out with him Or if you don't feel like watching this break, I guess you could watch Mojo sports who visited our shop and did a nice little like 35 half an hour video about the store did a little store tour Interviewed some people here at the shop including Nick and myself You can watch that and you can come back and then we'll have about half an hour left of the break link is in the chat Yeah, Carmelo still playing brain and you got Lakers wizards on in the background And the wizards are up eighty eight That was a three-pointer ninety seventy four on my Lakers With about a minute left in the third quarter There's still kind of in it They're gonna have to do a lot of work in the fourth quarter and that's a start then Macklemore with three Nick will plan. What's going on man? How are you? Hit a three here before the end of the third quarter Make it eight ninety to eighty. That'd be nice. Here's the first box. All right. Good luck, everybody You're on Wednesday the 28th a nice new release day 2021 Bowman is brand new. Let's see what we got going on here Royals They're up nine five in the bottom of the sixth They've been playing some good baseball the Red Sox hanging on to a one-nothing lead DeGrom was on the mound. Who was pitching on the other side? And DeGron just never seems to get never seems to get the The run support that he should get Feel like he'd be like a 25 game winner if he just got a couple more runs a game Outdueling him was Nick Povetta Went five innings one hit three walks seven strikeouts and then the bullpen kept the Mets in check DeGrom Six innings three hits one earn run one walk nine strikeouts That they're down Although it's the bottom of the ninth. I suppose they could Suppose they could still walk it off But I think I have some financial interest in in the in the Red Sox, so I'd rather Not walk there's Eddie Berto Hernandez For the Rangers that'll be for Jonathan who won that who won the Rangers in that of that pack break We did a little bit earlier today. Nice Congrats. I think our first auto was that guy in the previous jumbo case Remember this year all-card ship including paper, which is pretty cool So take advantage of that while that offer still stands on our group breaks ladies and gentlemen There's Bryce Harper Sky blue to 499 It's 005 out of 499 for Drew and the Phillies There's Matt Manning refractor for the Tigers Dare McKenzie with the Tigers Rookie of the year favorite six to Sanchez Josiah Gray and that's pretty cool Rookie of the year favorites autograph Dylan Carlson 48 out of 50 Cardinals Jeff Dorlak got the Cardinals straight up. That's pretty cool Remember we'll do an autograph recap at the end of this break as well. There's a sparkle speckle Eddie Diaz to 299. What do they call this speckle sparkle? Speckle so the speckle Eddie Diaz going to the Rockies Robert And I think the Red Sox officially beat officially beat the Mets 1-0 Mets getting too hit And just wasting another DeGrom start. Mariel Bautista Cincinnati Red Legs that'll be for EA With an auto If you click the break schedule folks It's not complete, but I've been working on a 2021 Bowman baseball guide So give that a look that'll give you kind of an overview on on some of these players Just some basic old information, but maybe saves you the trouble of Looking up some players All right, that was box one second box Yeah, I was on the Red Sox And now I'm on I'm on the Nationals. They're up 8-2 on the Blue Jay So I'm feeling good about that pitch as well 8-2 bottom of the 8th as long as Vlad Jr. Just doesn't go off. Do you guys see him yesterday Vlad Jr.? This could be a great year for Vlad Guerrero Jr. owners People who have his rookie cards in their collection. I'm sure they're doing well this year What are those cores do we have? Yeah, so Royals are still leading the Pirates 9-5 in the top of the 7th Nationals up 8-2 bottom of the 8th It's like rays are gonna beat the A's maybe it's 2-0 in the top of the 9th And brave stretching the lead 10-0 over the Cubs now 16 hits for the Braves tonight after that performance against the Diamondback not too long ago Now they're pounding out 16 hits angry Phillies and Cardinals are tied at 3 top of the 6 angels leading the Rangers 4-3 in the top of the 5th Mariners leading the Astros 4-2 top of the 5th and Padres at Diamondbacks just started on Lakers It's not looking good for the Lakers Sorry, Brandon Richards, and we got a Eddie Yeen 14 out of 50 Gold autograph for the Nats there you go Joshua Lucas on the board with the Nationals Some good color here too. We got Jesus Sanchez Sky blue paper to 499 for the fish That goes to Chen and we've got a speckle Christian Robinson to 299 No worries Joshua. Thanks for getting to the action. There's still many boxes to go So maybe more hits to go Christian Robinson once again for Adam and the snakes Mount Castle Kiebert and We got Jared Kelly white sox autograph for Charles wolf killed Charles won that spot It's a good spot to win in one of those filler packs nice There's Jordan and Balazovic Fuchsia to 199 for the twins Shane Shane also won the twins in that filler pack 6-0 Sanchez and Louis Santana 19 out of 499 on that refractor autograph for Patrick Cologne and the Stroh's that kid right there supposed to be I mean the blue jays How expensive had the blue jays been over the last few years? Getting good draft spots and getting doing picking players really well he was a Yeah fifth overall picks so they're getting good draft positions and they're picking very well So that all all adds up to hashtag good for the hobby, but also Pretty pricey to get the teams like the blue jays We're two boxes in this is our third box of eight Angtite folks another 40-50 minutes to go no need to despair yet if you don't have a hit Had a long ways to go play it of the wisdom the box second half of the box. What are some fun? Anyone have any fun? Ballpark baseball stadium promos going on for the Dodgers this year. I think they're doing if the Dodgers Pitching staff has ten strikeouts. Let's see what they have this year You get a free With the purchase of like a medium drink or something like that you get a free jumbo jack burger from Jack in the Box I feel like they're gonna be giving away a lot of those this year that their staff had 13 strikeouts today So then the next day the day after you can go and get a jumbo jack All right get a bi-medium drink and you get a free jumbo. Maybe some medium medium curly fries throw that in there, too It's pretty good. All right anyone else have any fun any of their home stadiums home ballparks with Fun promo this will save these at Austin Martins. I want I want parallels though So those are all for the Blue Jays Matthew Shearer You're in jumbo, too. There's Andrew Vaughn to 150 right there Atomic parallel White socks I'll be for Charles That's good Brian Hayes coming back. We need to come back Ed Howard's speckle autograph nice to 299 Charles got the Cubs straight up nice Ed Howard. Now it looks like he's a good kid and Has and could be the future of that shortstop that middle infield area for the Coveys Yeah, I would love to get a redemption apparently Austin Martins a redemption, right get that redemption slow play the Superfractor. Oh Would love that Matthew Shearer would love that there's could Brian Hayes again blue paper to 150 Andrew Vaughn fuchsia could Brian Hayes blue paper for For Frank and the Pirates We've been playing pretty good baseball even without this guy. So imagine you get him back Andrew Vaughn fuchsia to 199 for Charles and the South Siders and We've got a yoelki cespidus Nice There you go. Half brother of alfield yo and his cespidus supposed to be pretty good Chicago White Sox Charles He won the white socks in that filler break. We had When we gave away a handful of teams there's Christian Robinson blue shimmer to 150 Adam and the Diamondbacks, you know, I feel like I saw an interview where you'll he says for this Was saying he wanted to play this year So I think he's he's pretty motivated to play this year and I wonder with Eloy Jimenez going down early in the In the spring, I wonder if the White Sox will eventually give him the chance and Then a nice six-dose Sanchez rookie autograph 98 out of 100 Atomic refractor For Chen and the Marlins nice sharp-looking card here There's bow nailer paper to 499 for Cleveland It's gonna go to Cajun Cheng Cleveland, this is for you nice river saying he pulled a Yoelki cespidus at your at your LCS good support your LCS and then you can then you support your virtual LCS Jaspies Saren Sabato Yeah, and in river saying that's got to be yeah, that's that's what it's got to be one of the top three to five autographs To get in this set. All right fourth box almost halfway there. All right next bit. Good luck Then it's more. What do you got for me? Just seeing the funniest thing Anthony Rizzo the Cubs was pitching and Just struck out Freddie Freeman both players laughed about it. That's a fun highlight to to franchise first baseman Facing each other but on the mound. That's funny Both both guys I think are gonna be free agents at the end of the year, right? Think Freddie Freeman and Anthony Rizzo will be free agents at the end of the year. Where do they end up? Where do they end up? I got to think that I got to think that Freddie Freeman re-signs Right Yeah, Dennis thinks so too Freeman will stay in the ATL They've got a young exciting team. They got a chance to win a chip in the next He'll sign like a little three-year deal or something like that. That's what I think maybe a fourth if he has a He has a good agent Rizzo though. I feel like I feel like Rizzo might want to He might end up elsewhere Maybe he'll go ring chasing somewhere There's Jose Rodriguez another white sock autograph for Charles Yeah, I guess if They're Shailin leers to 125 Yeah, if the NL ends up getting getting the DH Next year I could that could extend a lot of guys's careers There's another 15 teams that has a DH spot Be good for guys like guys like Rizzo There's a there's a little storyline Little storyline in LA for the Dodgers that they want to get One thing that's not in Clayton Kershaw's trophy case is a silver slugger There's Jose Tenna Neon Green to 399 for Cleveland K-Shaw with that one. Remember if that goes away This is the last year that that that pitchers are gonna have to win a silver slugger That's something that they wanted to do is Garrett Mitchell to 499 former UCLA guy For the brew crew Robert It's from Southern, California Oh and a speckle auto Zach vene Nice one for the rocks Robert with the Rockies. Oh, you're saying if the DH happens next year Bring bring Rizzo to the Braves. That would be wild. I would Wouldn't you have like albies hitting second you would have like you would have like Acunia Albies Freeman Ozuna Rizzo as like your top five hitters Yeah, that's gonna be it once things really click for that team.  This is supposed to be a big name for the Phillies No, Brian says Rizzo, not a D. That guy just picks it up first. I mean they can alternate Rizzo if Rizzo and and Freeman ended up on the same team a little less time in the field to preserve their careers All right halfway through the break we still got a lot of time for to look for an Arias autograph Remember, don't forget. We got saw four more boxes go. We got another 35 minutes good to go in this break and another what 12 autos Next one. I think the did the Nationals hang on to win they did they won a two. That's another W for me in Joe's picks. Who's the next team? I'm looking at. Oh, I don't think Chicago is gonna win They're down unless they scored 10 runs in the top of the ninth, which I don't think is gonna happen. So I'm gonna make that read Texas I'm on Texas. The angels are only up a run. So So maybe Maybe I can get a W there if the Rangers can Take advantage One runs not a lot. So a lot of game to go six seven eight ninth I would love some a train whistle hits to ripper out of fives and under I don't think in When we did bowman draft, I don't think we got any supers. I feel like we did get a couple reds Out of fives, I don't think we got any super out any super fractures there. My knife bit me I'm okay. No blood. I'm gonna want to get blood all over your bowman cards That's not the kind of red we're looking for Yes, we do allow trades before a random team break not on fillers but on on like a regular break, yes There's Stevie Emanuel's refractor autograph for the A's It's gonna be for Jeff. We've got the A straight up Jeffrey Goldberg. Come on Lakers Let's switch back to nlb network now now that that's over What do we got here on nlb network we got Padres at Diamondbacks Do I have financial interest? I think I financial interest in the diamondbacks in this game It's Grayson Rodriguez aqua shimmer. Hey, why is Ramirez on the mound? Those it wasn't this a Ryan Weathers start Oh, he was I guess Ryan Weathers was just the opener today Just did one inning This one goes to John and the O's I was expecting it. I was on the Mets or I was on the Red Sox I do is it sold out I know it was only in few spots away There wasn't anything sold out after this so maybe that'll be the next break after this is Daryl Collins for the Royals Ryan Linde KC Luis Garcia and mariel bautista speckle autograph for the red legs ea with the reds There you go a couple reds autos there Oh, you have the red socks in this one too All right, there's a a dynso reyes purple paper to 250 That's for Detroit. That's gonna be for DMAC Oh, you were on the Red Sox today Yeah, I I had crunched some numbers and I was just like there's a little value in the red socks. I've been playing well Mets don't like to hit for DeGrom I had a mad you got him at plus 225 nice. I had met plus 220, you know five cents better than me It's a good play I had if you look in the joes pics area on the break schedule, you'll see what I had last couple days Um, has there been austin martin sabato accoste blaze esfidis atomics? I haven't seen any yet Oh, yeah, I would definitely pull those top names if I did But everything ships ladies and gentlemen, so everything you see here Will ship out. I've been doing okay in baseball. I'm I'm I'm hitting less than 50% But um, I'm up plus 34 almost 35 units Which I'm happy about this is the best season I've had in a long time So it's making up for Previous years as well But you're killing it in the hockey, huh? What's what's the You have a a strategy a basic overall strategy for hockey Riffus is that against the sabers? No, you just watch a ton of hockey.  I think a few autographs already It's never been a low chopper. You see right and kasey martin to 299 Nice speckle Hmm, I guess taylor weidner didn't make the start today, so I might not be on the diamond backs anymore Let's check that a little bit later, but usually No action if the starting the stated starting pitchers don't start obviously That daniel lynch is actually numbered right there and hard to see against the atomic Parallel there, but that'll go to the royals That sounds like it's Gone No warning track it's double It's tease jr Playing some good baseball. He's pretty good a lot of cheers there in arizona for the Padres interesting jaren diran diran Red Sox for travis Joe Adele and eddie Diaz For robert and the Rockies There you go robert Yeah, maybe peely up people just love to tease jr everywhere. I have to admit I do he is fun to watch He plays with a an unbridled joy and love for the game. There's jose abray you neon green Kasey martin refractor Yeah, that's a good understatement rex to tease could be a great player in the future It's a great player now And we hope in the future that'll be good for All the people who have a big to tease jr collections Abray you neon green paper for charles and the white socks And a deal amador For the rocks another one for robert. We've got some yellow paper right here robert poson to 75 jeffrey goldberg jeff g with the a's Joey bart Hunter bishop All right two boxes to go almost there Getting there folks getting there. All right almost there. I got another 20 minutes ago I've not seen any I think jason on the instagram channel may have pulled a sabato autograph I don't think I've seen any yet. I've not seen we've seen ed howard, but not not col franklin I don't think you seem to col franklin All right next box Good luck everybody. Sorry Super factor there Okay, so the arizona promo we talked about this earlier at the dodgers stadium The dodgers have at least 10 strikeouts With the perks of a drink you get a jumbo jack for the arizona. It's if they hit a home run There's mariel bautista to 499 another one for ea So in the diamond backsball park They hit a home run Next day with the perks of a medium drink you get a jumbo jack. Yeah, this is one of the guys we're looking for And there's mc abel 187 out of 199 fuchsia shimmer For drew and the fight and fills Julio rodriguez It's supposed to be a big deal for the m's. That's the 250 Gavin lux off the dl So hopefully we'll get back into this fling thing soon Richard hoffman with the m's Nicoladolo There's gabriel arias See play of the whistle nothing to worry about kashan chang cleveland indians cleveland.  And you're welcome. All right. There's bobby dalvik blue paper. Gabriel arias is actually the The player that san diego traded to cleveland in the mike clevenger deal And my guess and there's bobby dalvik for travis and the red sox. My guess is that He is also the reason why They were probably comfortable letting uh Comfortable letting uh francis lindor go who's getting booed in new york by the way after a slow start. There's usually al Diaz Oh, yeah, bautista. So I don't think he's the son of a ball player. I don't think he is Yeah, I don't think so using al Diaz going to the o's john hyanga But which bautista are you talking about as the father? If you're thinking uh, jose bautista, probably not Unless he had a kid pretty young There's asa lacy nice one for the royals ryan lind Royals look like they're they're ahead of schedule. He's still got guys like asa lacy and bobby witt jr coming up the ranks There's byron laura Neon green paper to 399 for texas jonathan It's jeter downs It's supposed to be one of the big The big names going to the boston red sox For the mookie bet steel Alright last box Good luck Last box. We made it. Thank you. Thanks everyone for getting into the action For breaking with us for joining the breaks for keeping me company in the chat All that all that good stuff. So thank you very much We're almost at the end. Let's finish strong Let me find a really low numbered hit for someone who hasn't gotten a hit yet. I would love that I know right you hear that in the background racks imagine playing baseball and you're struck by lightning And they said the kid played the next day too. All right to 125 francisco alvarez Part of the bowman scouts top 100 Going to the metropolitan that'll be for james O'neill cruise for the pirates Riffer saying should be a color auto in this last box. I hope so There it is G1 bae or bae g1 208 out of 250 g1 going to the buckos Frank with the pirates Like they I feel like the pirates have a good scout in south korea I mean they've been getting some a lot of korean players out here Oh a super Superfractor Non-auto superfractor coming up. There's alex keerlaw blue paper to 150. It's a good one too Zach vene Non-auto superfractor one of one going to robert guruky And the colorado rockies A little bit of extra dust in there The ninth overall pick In the 2020 draft and a superfractor robert All aboard the big hit express Nice Riffer's like not worth anything donation pile. All right twins chain Yeah, that's a very nice hit There's coal franklin rex was just talking about him charles with the cubbies He's got the northsiders and the southsiders Bought the northsiders straight up won the southsiders in a uh In that filler pack and yellow speckle jared kelly for the white socks speaking of the southsiders There you go charles back to back And another gabriel arias to 499 refractor autograph for kshon chang cleveland indians cleveland This is for you and tristan houses to 250 Going to the red socks travis With gossas the last couple cars. We got torkelson. We got anthony and there you go ladies and gentlemen Here's the quick recap And kshon you were worried about the indians nothing to worry about two autographs Right there. There's one. There's bay There's asa lacy.  That was 2021 the brand new bowman baseball jumbo edition eight box picker team number two from jasmiescasebreaks.com Thanks for breaking with us. Thanks for watching. I'll see you next time for the next one. Bye. Bye


World Intellectual Property Day is really an opportunity for all of those who are interested in the purposes for which we have intellectual property, namely innovation and cultural creation, to come together and to celebrate the contribution that intellectual property makes to both of those two social phenomena of innovation and cultural creation. This year the theme of World Intellectual Property Day is visionary innovators. Visionary innovators really are those people that transform our lives. There are not so many of them that achieve this fundamental transformation in society or in the economy, but when they come along the impact is enormous. I mean it changes the whole way in which society operates. One of the great innovators here was Chinese Sai Lun I think is the way his name is pronounced. The contribution of Sai Lun I think was to industrialize in a certain sense the making of paper and that was an extraordinary transformation to bring about. You know there was the invention of a moveable type which was taken up by Gutenberg and it's a very interesting example of technology transfer if you like, but originates in China and that of course enabled the democratization of knowledge which was so important to the renaissance and to European civilization. The example of Marie Curie, Sklodowska, is extremely important. She had to struggle let's say to establish her own right to be a scientist as opposed to the wife of a scientist and then she had this you know desire to understand that led to the fundamental discoveries for which she was rewarded with Nobel Prizes in two separate disciplines and I think she's the only person who has achieved this in the disciplines of physics and in chemistry. I think in the case of the arts innovation really revolves around new ways of seeing things. What an artist is able to do or a composer or a writer is to show us a different way, a new way of looking at the world, looking at the same thing. I would betray my generation you know in favor of Bob Dylan. I think he really, well you might say he captured the what was in the air at the time but he had a transforming effect also. It's very difficult to see who are the creators, the transformative creators that are operating at the moment. We see them a little bit in architecture that's a very visible and tangible expression of change. As R.A.D. is one example, Norman Foster is another example. I'm very fond of our own architect, Stephane Benich of our new building at WIPU. In the long term we are dependent upon innovation. If we don't have innovation we will remain in exactly the same condition as a human species that we are in now and to change that we need innovation. I think we should look upon intellectual property as an empowering mechanism, a mechanism for balancing the competing interests in and around the act of creation or innovation. So you have to get the balances right and that's why we all talk about intellectual property. So I would encourage young people to engage in a discussion about intellectual property because by definition it is concerned with change. By definition it's concerned with the new and those things that are bringing about transformation and change in society. So I would encourage young people just jump on this and let's look at it and talk about it and what's right with it, what's wrong with it. But let's look at it in a balanced manner.


There are a couple of different things that influence the quality of your quantitative research. So what makes your research reliable and valid? To understand those things and what does the quality of your study depend on, we first have to go through what does the concept of reliability and validity mean in the context of quantitative studies. This is one way to understand reliability and validity. The concept of reliability is fairly easy to understand. It basically means that if we repeat the same study again using the same sample, would we get the same result? In quantitative studies your analysis is done by a computer and the computer will always produce the same result if you give it the same data. So reliability in quantitative analysis or quantitative studies is mostly about measurement reliability. So if you measure the same things again, would you get the same result? Validity on the other hand answers the question of does the study answer the question that is supposed to answer correctly? So does it provide a correct answer? Reliability is about do we get the same answer? If you repeat the same study, reliability doesn't tell us anything about whether the result is correct. Validity tells us whether the result is correct. Then validity can be broken down into four different categories. Measurement validity, which we will discuss later, refers to whether the variables in our data measure the concepts that we claim they measure. Statistical conclusion validity refers to whether our statistical results are correct. So if you have identified a trend or a difference in the sample, have we identified that correctly? So is there really a difference or a trend in the population? So it relates to whether our statistical associations measured from sample generalize to the population. Then we have internal validity, which refers to whether the relationships actually correspond to the causal relationships that we claim. And internal validity is about causal inference. So have we identified the right controls and have we controlled for the controls appropriately? Or is our experimental or quasi experimental design free of any possible selection effects that would confound the treatment effect? So that's causal inference. Then external validity simply refers to our results from one population generalized to other populations. So what determines the quality of a research study is an interesting question. And it can be examined through the research process according to Singleton and Straits book. So Singleton and Straits say that our research always starts the research topic and formulating of a research question. Of course your study is not very valuable if the research question is not interesting, but we will be focusing on the empirical part. So after you have your research question set, then you start to prepare your research design. And the research design has two main components. One is sampling. So what are the units, people, organizations, projects, whatever the units that you're studying. So which units and how many are you studying. And then we have measurement, which variables we collect. So if we think of our data as an excel seed, sampling concerns, what are the rows in that excel seed. And measurement concerns what are the columns in the excel seed. Then we do data collection and after the data has been collected, we typically process the data somehow, we screen it for errors, we modify it into different form and then we do data analysis that we interpret the results. Finally we write an article about it. So which part defines the quality of a study. It's this part here. So when you have collected your data, then you have basically already set an upper limit of the quality. If your data are not good, then you can't make a good study. On the other hand, if you have great data, even if you mess up your data collection or data analysis and interpretation, that is something that you can fix. You have the data, you can just analyze it a bit different. It's important to understand that the validity of our causal claims depends crucially on whether the sample is appropriate and whether we have collected all relevant controls or whether we have a valid experimental design. After that, data processing and data analysis are just mechanics that will allow you to document this great study conducted here. So this is the important part. And you should not rush into data collection, obviously, because if you just go and you collect data right away, the odds for you doing it correctly with a good design that includes all relevant controls is pretty low. This is highlighted in some of the readings. So the problems in rejected manuscripts in good journals are rarely about data analysis. So when I myself read you a paper, I typically have lots of things to say about the methods because that's my specialty. But if the data are good, the design is good, then I will say that, okay, do the analysis differently, resubmit, and then I will reevaluate your manuscript to see whether it makes sense. But if there is a control variable that is very important based on existing theory, that provides an alternative explanation for the phenomenon that the researcher are studying, which has not been measured, then there is nothing that they can do about it, in most cases, because it's very difficult to go, particularly if you collect the data with the surveys, very difficult to go and collect additional variables. Also, Aguinis and van der Berg say here, that data analysis problems are really something that cause an article to be rejected, because data analysis problem is something that you just re-analyse the data, fix the problem, and you're going to be fine. So the problem is that if your design doesn't allow you to make causal claims, then you can't make a claim, and there's nothing that you can do about it. They also say that there is this kind of persistent belief that if you have a bad design, you can compensate that using a fancy method. So some people seem to think that because, let's say, multi-level generalized structurally because of modeling is a new thing, therefore using that makes your study better. That is not true. The quality of the study is determined largely before data collection, and then after that, you have to just choose the appropriate analysis instead of going with the one that is the most complex. If you have a bad design, you have bad data, then using a fancy method for that data just means that you spend a lot of time using a fancy and complicated method on bad data, and the outcome is not a good paper anyway.


What's up, Navigation Traders. Happy Friday. Today is Friday, April 28th. This is the weekly video update. So Sunday night, if you recall last Sunday night, they did the first round of the presidential elections in France. And so we just had a ton of premiums sucked out of the market, which was good for the positions that we already had on. Now it's given us a little bit of a challenge to find new opportunities, but we did find a few. So let's jump in and go through the trades. So our first trade, which is one that we broadcasted as our trade of the week on Navigation Trading Live. If you haven't attended yet, remember every Monday morning, 8.25 a.m. central time before the markets open. We do a live stream from our Facebook page and YouTube channel, so you can tune in there and view our trade of the week, and we give a little bit of a market overview. And if you have any questions or topics that you want me to cover in a little bit more detail, feel free to shoot those over to me and I will do my best to try to cover those. So let's jump in. So our trade of the week that we did on Monday morning was in corn, because after all that premium got sucked out, there wasn't a ton of high implied volatility to choose from. And so when that happens, I like to get A, either a little bit directional or B, look to some of these grain futures or some of these other futures contracts that still give you a really good bang for your buck as far as risk reward goes. So we put on an iron condor in corn. So let's take a look at that. So you can see we're still pretty centered. Already got a decent amount of profit just within this week, but not enough to take off. So we'll continue to monitor corn. Next trade we made was in FXC, which was a closing trade. We took off a strangle and after that announcement came out with the French presidential election, huge contraction in IV, and we're able to book over 60% profit on that trade in FXC. If we take a look at the chart of FXC, you can see what happened. You know, this was on Monday. This was the contraction and volatility that we saw Monday, and we are still well within our range of that strangle. So booked a very nice profit there. Next trade. Let's go to the next page here. Next trade we made was a closing trade in EWW. So this was a straddle that we had actually rolled from April, but with that contraction implied volatility, we're able to take that off for a nice profit as well. So if we looked at the chart here, same kind of situation. Huge contraction in IV. Took that off for profit. Next trade, another closing trade in TLT. Made over 53% of max profit in TLT. That was a strangle that we had on. Same situation across the board. Just that premium just got sucked out of the market, which is excellent. I mean, that's what we're looking for. We want to put these trades on with IV. Wait for that premium to get sucked out and book those profits. So another good trade there. Another closing trade was in EWZ. So we had a strangle on in EWZ. Made over 40% of max profit in just six days. Ideally, we like to get 50% of max profit out of a strangle. But if we get 40% in six days, we're going to take that money and run every time. So that was another good trade. In FXE, we had another strangle on. And so this one moved up out of our range a little bit. So we rolled the puts up and then we rolled the entire thing out to June. So what you'll start seeing is because we've done a lot of additional testing. And with our experience, what we've found is that really holding these positions past 21 days to expiration, if there's three weeks left to expiration, we're really going to start getting more aggressive about rolling them to the next expiration cycle. You're taking a ton of risk off the board. You're still going to have that theta decay. You're going to collect more credit, give yourself more time to be right. So look for that on, especially on naked positions like strangles and straddles. We've really come to the conclusion with all the studies that we've looked at and run and seen that holding those positions in the last few weeks just does not pay off. And so rolling those out to the next expiration cycle when you've got a few weeks left is what we're going to start doing more aggressively. On iron condors and other defined risk trades, we might leave those on a little bit longer because we're kind of defining our risk at order entry. We're not doing a ton of adjustments on those. But on the naked positions, definitely do some more, do some more rolling out to the next month as we get to that two to three weeks out from expiration. So what this looks like in FXC now is this is what we've got. So again, we rolled the puts up, collected more credit and then rolled out to June and collected more credit for that. So we're still very centered now. Just waiting for some of that theta decay to happen for us. Next trade, another closing trade in snap, which is snap chat. Remember, this is one that we put on as a trade of the week a couple weeks ago. Took about 25% of max profit out of that trade, which is what we look for in a straddle. Snap has earnings coming up. Let's see here. When is that earnings announcement? Click on the blue button here. 510. So it's still whatever 12 days away or so. But with that profit, we wanted to get, we were going to get out before earnings anyway, regardless of where we were profit wise. And so the fact that we were able to bank that 25% of max profit and get out, that was another good trade for us. And then EWW closed the strangle for a nice profit, had a big move down and EWW gave us the opportunity to take this one off. This was a spread that we had, we had rolled from April to May. So it was an adjusted strangle. And again, you know, that just proves the staying mechanical, rolling your untested side up and then rolling out to the next expiration cycle, as discussed in our course, how to maximize your profits trading options. It continues to work over and over and over again. You got to let the probabilities play out. And again, it paid off for us. Next trade was in IWM. And this was an adjusting closing trade. So we had an iron condor on in IWM. Obviously, the market's been strong. And so you can see it moved up and past our break even. We now we've had a big move down today in IWM. If we take a look at the chart, last couple days have been down. So it's moved back into our range. And we could actually take this off now for close to break even. I haven't calculated exactly. But if we if we took this off right now, we'd be at about break even. I'm going to go ahead and hold it look for potentially a little bit more down move. We can still use this short delta in our portfolio, which is another reason I don't mind holding on to this and and allowing it to potentially move down and actually get get out of this iron condor overall for a profit if that does happen. Now, obviously, if it if it explodes back higher, you know, we're gonna we're gonna either add another iron condor on to collect some more credit. The problem with doing that is look at where IV is you've got an IV percentile of two IV rank of six, just not attractive to put another iron condor on. If we had higher higher IV right now, I would have already put another one on. It's kind of centered around the current price. But in this case, I'm just gonna hold this this call vertical as it is and and look for potentially a little bit more of a down move before we take that off. Next trade was an opening trade in EWW. So IV spiked up, you know, dropped after the French election announcement and then it spiked back up only got to about 40 the IV percentile. So not above that 50 level that we really want. However, you know, with, you know, with such low IV across the board, it was kind of the best option available and I wanted to add some more positions on. So we've got this strangle on still very centered and we'll continue to wait for theta to decay in that. If we take a look at the charts here, you can see after the announcement applied volatility got crushed and it spiked right back up not quite to 50 but it got to 40 when we put this on and you can see it's now already turned around and gone back down. So it was a good time to put it on in hindsight and so hopefully we'll continue to stay in a bit of a range to profit on that one. Next trade was in Lulu. So this is a trade that I put on today. Now I don't I don't put a lot of trades on on individual stocks, right? I'd much prefer to trade ETFs or futures. But in Lulu and keep in mind Lulu is not on our standard watch list for iron condors, but implied volatility is over 50. If we take a look at the trade tab and look at the options, I mean, look at the open interest. We've got a ton where you know Lulu continues to stay extremely active. So we've got a ton of open interest on both sides. We've got really tight bid ask spreads, you know, three, four cents wide on both the puts and the calls. So you know, and that's what we're looking for. And that's that's what the watch list is comprised of of of stocks that consistently have that liquidity tight bid ask spreads open interest. And when you find a stock that has those components, it's okay to start even if they're not on the watch list, it's okay to trade those. And so that's why we put on this position in Lulu. Not to mention, most stuff has low IV and this one popped up over 50. So made it a good candidate to put on an iron condor. So still pretty centered here. Nothing else to do. We just put this on. So we'll continue to wait on Lulu. Oh, the other thing about stocks, obviously, we want to we want to avoid earnings, but they just announced their earnings a couple weeks ago, two, three, three weeks ago. So we don't have to worry about earnings for quite a while. And again, another reason why I put this on, we typically I'm not going to do these monthly income trades leading into earnings, because you got the rise in implied volatility leading up. But we've got plenty of time to collect some theta and potentially get out of this, we will definitely get out of it before the earnings announcement, but we've got a plenty of time before that happens. And lastly, the last trade we did today was in XLF. And we had a straddle on an XLF book that for over 25% of max profit. And so that was a nice trade as well. So took a ton of positions off, had a really good profitable week trading. If we go back to the platform and take a look at our overall portfolio. So the other positions we have on soybeans. Take a look at that. Still pretty centered there got a little bit of profit not enough to take off yet. So we'll wait on that. EFA, we've got a strangle over here kind of up towards our upside and not enough profit to take off yet looking for a little bit of a down move in EFA and we'll book that profit. If not, we will look to next week, you know, we've only got kind of the point I was talking about, we've only got 21 days to expiration in May. So even if it doesn't breach our break even to the upside, I'm going to look to potentially roll these puts up and move this thing out to June, collect more credit on the on the roll of the puts up and collect more credit on the entire spread being moved out to June. So look for that early next week, regardless of what price does. Now if we get a nice move down, we'll just take this off and close it out. But we'll see what happens. I already went over EWD, FXE, GLD, we've got this iron condor in looking for about 40% of max profit actually had an order in to get out of this but just it never got hit. So I'm going to give it over the weekend. Hopefully gold doesn't fall to the downside if it stays up right where it is or moves up a little bit. We'll book this profit on Monday. IBM, we don't have a position on IBM. IWM already went over that we've got the vertical on Lulu cues. So this one is an iron condor the the price has barely breached our break even I actually had an order in today to close out our put side because most of the value has gone out of the put side but I didn't get filled. And so we'll continue to hold this one over the weekend. Look for either a little bit of a move down if we don't get it. We'll go ahead and take off that put side just like we did an IWM so that we have that that one side vertical and try to try to manage it that way. Mention snap SPY we've also got an iron condor on here. No profit or loss hanging out towards our upside need a little bit of a down move here to book that profit. So we'll continue to hold that one. TLT see do we have a position on TLT? No, we don't we took that one off. Yeah, so nothing in there. XLF we already took off and XRT we still got two strangles on in here. So we've got the one that we already adjusted the one with five contracts. And so we need a little bit of a down move in XRT. Again, this is in May. Early next week, we'll be looking to if this if we don't get a nice move down to book this profit, we'll go ahead and roll this one out to June. And then the strangle we have on with four contracts. We'll look to aggressively manage this and book those profits next week. Just looking for a little bit more profit. We're at about 40% of max profit. I want 50 on this one because we've been in it for a for a decent amount of time. So look for those next week. One other thing I wanted to show you if we take a look at our overall portfolio. So these are all the positions that we have on in with navigation alerts. And you can see we had a really good day today over $600. This is the open P&L on the overall portfolio. Keep in mind this doesn't take into account all the profits that we booked. This is just the current open P&L. And we I have this beta weighted to the spy. So you can see the delta of our portfolio where we've got short delta of about 370. And so that's that's, I like that, you know, that's that's perfect. I like to keep my this is something that I'm actually going to do a full couple, maybe one or two videos on to get a little bit more specific. But the amount because I get this question a lot, how much short delta should I have in my portfolio? Right? When we're selling premium, we want to have short delta, because as the market moves up, that's going to contract that volatility. So that's going to help our premium selling, right? With that implied volatility contraction, what we want. But the down moves are what can hurt your positions. Okay, so we want to keep that short delta on for kind of a for protection, basically. And, and the amount of delta is kind of subjective, right? You, you need to figure out for your portfolio, and in your comfort level, how much short delta you want to have on. But for me, what I like to do is a since we're really still hovering at all time highs in the market, I like to have a little bit extra short delta on. And, and the way that I compare that is I look at the amount of theta that we have on. So I kind of look at it as a delta theta ratio. And, and I like to have, you know, at market highs like this, if I really have a short bias in the market, I like to have maybe four or five times the theta amount in delta. And remember, this is beta weighted to the spy. So, you know, four or five times is fine. Three, four or five times, the amount of theta is good for delta. If we, if we had a huge down move in the market, and, and we were looking and, you know, we had the assumption that maybe it wasn't going to move down as much, then this, this ratio might be one to one, or even less. Okay, so that's kind of the ratio that I look for having about a one to one to one to five theta to delta ratio. Okay, the other thing I wanted to point out is, because I get this question a lot, well, how much, how much can I expect to make from the navigation alerts? Right? And, you know, that's just an impossible question to answer. I don't know that everyone's going to put on every single alert. You need to do the number of contracts that fits your portfolio size. I do a relatively, I do relatively small positions in these navigate with these navigation alerts, because I want to make sure that people who have a small account can participate. And if you have a larger account, all you have to do is multiply the number of contracts that you want to do, right? So, so but what you can see here is on theta, it's at 92, right? So if we bring up our little calculator here, and, and say, okay, that's our daily theta. So if price and volatility stayed exactly where it is, we're collecting about $92 a day. Okay, so if you take 92 times 30, 30 days in a month, that equals so, so this portfolio, so, you know, that's $2,700 a month. Okay, some of you might that might be great. Some of you might say, well, that's that's not enough. And if you have larger account, then you can multiply that out depending on what your theta is. Now, the other thing to make sure you understand because I'm all about creating realistic expectations, okay, you are not going to keep all 2760 per month of that theta, right, we're going to have adjustments, positions are going to move against us, all those things that happen in trading on a daily basis. Okay, but as a realistic expectation, over time, you should expect to be able to keep about 25 to 35% of your monthly theta. Okay, not every single month, but on average, over periods of time. So if we take 2760 times, let's say 30, 30%, okay, that equals $828. So a portfolio like this could should average about $828 a month over time for you. Okay, again, I trade a pretty significant sized account. Okay, so my in some of my other counts, my theta is much larger than $91. Okay, but again, with these alerts, I want to make sure that everybody can participate. So I'm doing some, some, you know, one, two, three contracts at a time, which is very reasonable for somebody with a small account. But you need to you need to make sure you understand that based on your account size. So I hope that was helpful. I just want to I want to kind of give you a little bit more behind the scenes of the thought process of why we do what we do and how and the realistic expectations that you can have, you know, especially if you're wanting to become a full time trader, that can help you figure out what that realistic expectation of income is going to be for your account and for the trades that you put on. So hope this was helpful. If you have any questions, let me know if you have any topics you want me to cover on Monday morning for the live broadcast. Let me know that as well. Have a great weekend and we'll talk to you soon.


Alright 2S, counter. COUNTER! So you were over there, huh, let's go! How's it going everybody? Dot to Joy here back with some more Dragon Ball Fighters, Ranked Matches, this time playing the main team of Jiren Krillin and Yamcha. Now this is one of my favorite teams in the game and I definitely feel like it's one of my strongest teams as well, but the reason we're playing them today is because I am fresh off a devastating loss. It was in one of the past videos, maybe we could show a highlight reel here of one quick thing that made it crazy. Oh no, the humanity goal! Oh and it hits both! Oh no, the androids! Why?! But yeah, it was wild. That double Sunday was crazy dude. Alright, but we get a quick opening shot here. I am just in the mood to play some Jiren. In case you aren't aware, this character is crazy. He can counter everything. Oh, except for when you miss the counter. That's what he can't. The only way you can't counter something is if you miss the counter or if it's a super. But other than that, everything's fair play. Grabs, attacks, just pretty much anything. I'm sparking just because I feel like, oh the rock! That was wild Yamcha. I miss the Yamcha, so that's fine. We'll get the 6M. We'll go into a Jiren combo. I'm trying to make this no bar, but I feel like it's going to need one punch up to the moon. Alright, so we're down a character. Well, they're down. We're down to two characters already is what I should have said. Counter? Counter? Oh, wow. That was actually perfectly spaced. That was crazy. Alright, rock assist? Rock assist! It's hard to beat the rock assist. That was kind of cool. Counter! It lasted through Gohan. What's crazy is in the past, I don't know how it would have worked with Gohan, but I'm pretty sure I would have gotten hit out of the counter. That's how much they buffed Jiren. Alright, just glare at him. Look at the eyes, dude. The eyes have no reason to be that good. Yeah, I did miss time. I should have done the grab on the way down. I definitely... Oh, was that a key blast? You can't key blast Jiren. That's against the rules. Jiren has his own rule book in this game. Alright, the rock assist has enough hit stun that we can land a grab for the snap out. Oh, I tried to fake it into the other counter, but I was too slow at the transition. Level 1 to the... Oh wait, you couldn't tag out. Rock assist? Yamcha? That's going to be Videl down. Now the question is, can we keep Jiren around long enough to deal with 18? I don't know about that. It's going to be crazy. Rock assist. Dash in. Oh, the blocking. Stop that. We almost died right there, but we do have a Senzu beam. Senzu beam, we're back! Now key blast can't really kill us as easily as before. Okay, not going to do the most damage. Level 3, we're going to have to... We're going to make him want to spark. We're going to try to read it with the EXI glare. It's our best option. Back dash EXI glare. Oh, he didn't. Counter! Oh no! Whatever you hit me with, I'm countering. Key blast. I got those. Krillin! You can also call assist during the counter. It's crazy. Counter! Oh, is that going to be it? This might be it. It's probably... Is it three bars? Yeah, that's all she wrote for that. Maybe even this will be enough. Yeah, just that is going to be enough. Absolutely crazy. That was a Jiren game though. Jiren just does that. Man, I love this character. I love this team. It's so much fun playing this team. Great first game. That was fun. It was a lot of fun. Speaking of the Videl icon, that... The spacing with that EX rocket kick? Man, that was sick. Do I start with the counter? It's so hard to want to press anything. It's just... It's just so menacing. You can just hear like dread. Grab. We do have command grabs as well. It's a bit slow, but with this much pressure, it is... It is relatively hard to see coming. Grab again. Had to run it back. So nice. Sometimes you just got to do it twice. Okay. In the corner. No bar needed at that time. So we're going to go into the next character with four extra bars. Oh, I love this character. Rock assist. Vanish. Don't want to get hit. Beautiful. That hit. That does hit. Okay. I just wanted the level three for the knockdown. I wasn't sure where that combo was going otherwise. All right. Do I go low here? I'm going to say yes. We're great. Spin this man. Oh, I got hit. No. The perfect... I don't know. We weren't even that close to a perfect, but whatever I played here, and I have perfects on the mind, dude. All right.  Counter. Counter. Counter. Counter. Me like... No. I'm just having fun. Okay. Nice. All right. We're back on track. This is... This should be the end of Adele, maybe even with no bar. Now I'm going to need a bit of bar. That's fine though. I don't mind spending it. Let's just use a level one and on to the last character. Ken 18. Stop this. I don't know. I'm going to start with a counter. Should have won with Yamcha assist. That's why we have Yamcha on the team for those situations where they're attacking you, waiting for your counter. Yamcha's a great option for that. The rocks fought through the barrier. How? I don't even know how that one worked. Let's go. Do I level three again? Probably not. Keyblast. We counter those against the rules. Jiren has his own rule book. You have to read subsection C. Level three. I'm going to overhead this time. Oh, I forgot the dash part of the overhead classic. Wow. Wow. Wow. That was nice. Definitely should have held that counter longer. So that is going to be the end of Jiren, but he did get us into a good enough spot that if we lose, it's not going to be Jiren's fault. In fact, it'll be mostly mine. How it would have been anyway, but Jiren definitely pulled his fair share. All right. And this should be the end if I do three destructive discs. One, two, three. All right. Nice. Numbers. Let's go. Numbers with Krillin. I am looking forward to the next set even more now. That was a great beginning. Oh my goodness, Jiren. I'm feeling okay. I can't wait to move on to the next set. Let's go on, see what happens in the next game, but great game to that opponent. Okay. We are back against game two and sure enough, we have found a super safe for gojito player, meaning there's TOD. There's very real TOD potential here now. We could get level seven. Hopefully it doesn't happen to us. I'm going to start with a counter. As always, you know, you have to start with a counter. Honestly, I feel like they should make Jiren counter at the beginning as a way of balancing the character. That'd be cool if a character's way of balancing was your opponent gets to know how your first action is going to be taken. All right. We canceled into a light there. All right. We're just going to go for a counter. Oh, I didn't even mean to do that. Hopefully admit that. That was supposed to be a countering, but that was sick. It just clocked me over the head. Combos? Android 21 assist. You got those? Okay. Oh, that was risky. Oh, I was waiting for you. Punch. Wow. The fact that it doesn't scale into supers is crazy. Oh my goodness. Just punch him to the moon, then. I thought I'd have to use two bars there. Oh, nice. I definitely was mashing. I wanted to get a light jab off. Another thing about Jiren is that his 2L scales like a medium. So it's really hard to get it. If you get hit by his 2L, you are suffering from that. I can't believe we lost Jiren this early. Dujita is going to take him away, and now it's pretty much even. We definitely got, we got punished for mashing there. Ken Krillin and Yamcha pick up the slack. That's another great part about this team, though, is that these two characters are also very good. All right, up in the air. Level three, I think, is what we're going to go with. Bend it back, Krillin. Here comes theoki. What's the mix? What's the mix? Run, Krillin. 2H. Nice. I don't know if it's just me, but I cannot run after Krillin's level three. My inputs are not clean enough. I am very bad at it. Wow, that was sick. Oh, don't get punished for the short range. Don't throw out jabs that you know won't it. All right, kill a lot of time here. Take your time. You want to waste Sparky. EX Rock. Yes. Just make a block. It's good enough. Man, Krillin's legitimately good in this. I can't believe Krillin's legitimately good. Oh, even with the fake, he was able to catch it with the heavy, with how much space it covers. That was so cool. I've actually never seen that much range needed for that 5H. 2H. Wow. Oh, and on the complete opposite spectrum, it's Krillin. Oh, my short, stubby arms. Why? I keep trying to punish the 2H. Oh my goodness.   Okay, good. Oh, how embarrassing. My God, the 2H does not reach very far. Wait, what? Oh, that was one of her abilities. That was so confusing. I just thought, I thought that was just like the anime, but she just teleported because she could. I did 2H again. That was just a bad 2H. I mean, all of my 2Hs were bad, but that one I just shouldn't have done regardless. The other two I thought would hit. All right, Yamcha reads. I just wish it was my read. Nice combo. The orb with Piccolo just getting a bit more damage. That's fine. Nice. Three bars. That should be enough, right? Hold on. I went quiet to try to do the math. I had to do it in my head. You know, I got a calculator on the side. Neo Wolfang. Fist. That is going to be enough. All right, we take game one here. All right, I'm feeling good. I feel like we could, if we can do that exact same setup, maybe get a bit more out of Jiren, I'm feeling like we could take game two as well. Obviously, it's going to depend on any adaptations our opponents makes, but I'm still feeling good about it. Did we get a rematch? 27 seconds? Usually when it gets to 25, I start sweating a little. 20 is when I start panicking. Oh, but the stamp. It seems like a friendly stamp. Usually that encourages, that's encouraging. 15 seconds is getting a little nervous. Okay, good. The stamp to time ratio really just got me more and more nervous. Like, Yamcha. Oh, the staggers. You've got to watch out. You know, I'm going to swing again. All right, hold it. I was, I was reading a DP that I could feel it coming, but I didn't want to commit to just countering this phase and giving up pressure. Nice tag. That was smart. I should also go for a raw tag myself, actually. Oh, combos. Oh, well, this is a level one super. So we'll be able to get off the ground to do relatively whatever we want, like switch and then throw a sense of being. Oh, no, no, no, no, no, no. Don't take me out. I have to feed a sense of being to Jiren. He's hungry. He's hungry, dude. What assist does he have for Gojita? No, no, unfortunate. The sense of being that I never got to give. I didn't block. Okay, I'm not blocking. I'm not thinking. Sixth time. I didn't have Yamcha assist. Don't rush it. Don't rush it. Don't DP. Let's go. That time I read the DP. I could feel it in the air. I could feel the tension. All right, I'll take it. Why did I think we're not in the corner?  That was so smart. I counted that like three days in advance, dude. Come on. Come on. You knew I countered that three days in advance as well. Oh, I don't know if we got enough damage off that last destructo. No, I don't think this is going to be enough. Rough, rough, rough, rough. I was just saying like, never mind.  I don't know.  All right, well, we have to play for the Blue Life. Oh, that's that's critical. That's critical. Into the tag. Yep. Saw that one coming. Mixups. Oh, it's fine. We actually have a, we have a lot of coming back to D, dude. We're either going to get a character really quick. Oh, solar flare. I just level one. I just did it. Ah, vanish. 2S. 2S is going to work. Unfortunately, it didn't really combo, but if a blue combo hits, that's a combo to me, dude. It's as real as it can be. I'm just super dashing. A lot of uptext, not a lot of blocking. That's, that's the situation where super dashing is going to get a lot of, a lot of hits in. All right, Gujida blue. I'm feeling a bit safer now. Seven dragon balls, but there's not enough bar to make it a problem just yet. It's mostly because he has Gujida CSS.  All right, not enough to kill, though. Oh man. I'm panicking again. I'm panicking. Ended up. Oh, that was sick. The whole vanish, but Krillin was ready to punish. Can Gujida turn it around on his own? I can't even speak. Can he turn it around on his own? Probably yes. Nice. Sit down. We're out of there. Bad afterimage. Didn't kill us for it, though. So that's at least good. EX rock. We escaped. Oh my God. He got the fake Krillin. That was not a real Krillin. Man, I can't keep him at bay. There we go. Is that going to be enough? Krillin post vanish is a little wild. Oh man. Oh man. I'm going to try it, dude. Why not level one with Jiren? All right, 2s. Counter. Counter. So you were over there. Let's go. Hold on. Wait, I might have to do another game now. I'm feeling inspired. That was the vanish.  That was crazy. All right. I think I'm going to do another game. I'm going to triple dip. Usually, I mean, last time we got double Sunday for doing the triple dip, but I'm going to do it anyway. We're going to risk it. Okay. We're back to finish off the video. And I'm just going to counter this whole, this whole time is just a counterfeit. Sometimes you miss counters, dude. But I hope that we laid a lot of counters. After that last post vanish, I'm feeling inspired. I got to land some more counters before I put Jiren down for another couple of weeks. Oh, nice grab. Grab? Nice hit. Oh, I couldn't get the counter. Snap. No. Okay. He's just going to let us go. Super dash angle was really good. In those situations, you got to use the Krillin rock assist. We kind of have situations for both. I don't know if we're going to die here. It depends on how heavy these hit. It's looking bad though. It's looking bad. Oh, Jiren, the dream is already gone. No, dreams die.  Round three is the bonus round. And I am infamous for being very bad in bonus rounds. All right. We got three bars though. Let's just, if we can at least get a win, at least then we could, we could prove the bonus round curves wrong. At least then we could be an outlier. All right, let's go. We'll take this. If he guard cancels, we do have to flex though. Oh, we got to hit there. Pretty lucky we avoided the galactic donut. I'll take it. If he guard cancels, we have to flex. We can only flex with Krillin. That would be sick. Whoa. Nice air to air. Didn't think you'd actually land that kick on me. Two S feeling good. Get back there. I got nervous once I had him in the corner. Thank you. All right. Once that assist comes back up, I'm going to be looking for a guard cancel. Seven bars. I should spend it. I'll spend it. It's not like we need a lot. All right. Take him down to this much health. Four bars left.  I was born and it molded by it. Let's go beam. That's fine. Slow it down. Take the sparking. Take all the time you need. I'm taking all the time I need. A little bit of personal time as well. We're going to spend the last three bars for this. Five bars. Would he wake up level three? Nah, he wouldn't do that to me. Oh, wow. The reflect and the unfortunate side switch with Krillin as well. Definitely not on purpose.  It's fine. Maybe we'll get the hit somewhere else. There it is. We get the hit. It took a little while longer. Man, the frames are jumping now though. The frames are having, wait, why are there so many Dragon Balls? Why is 19, why is my hometown showing back up? Oh no. Oh no. Maybe we'll just leave it at one. Yeah, we have to leave it at one. This is a 19 frame bonus round. You have to push, you have to push further beyond. Oh no. No, he's actually going for shed run in 19 frames. I actually, wait, wait, he didn't do it. He didn't do it. Wow. I thought he had the perfect setup for it too. Let's go. Now, can he handle the classic 19 frame mix though? This is what I used to do back all that. Why is he getting better? Was he also born in 19 frames? This is bad. This is not good. All right. It's back down to two. We're both even again. He's good. He's good at the game. Hold on. This is a bonus round I never thought I would play. I was born in 19 frames. Let's go. Let's go. They said it couldn't be done. They said it couldn't be done in 19 frames. It can't be done. EX Galeclaw. Nice. You know what? It's Galeclaw time. EX Galeclaw. EX Galeclaw. EX Galeclaw. I regret it. I really thought we'd hit him. I only did that because I thought it would work. Oh, don't level three dude. That would be extremely tough. I think we're in trouble. I think we're in danger. 19 frames if you can hear me. Now would be a good time. Now would be a great time. 19 frames. Come back. Go. Yes. We take it. That was clean. Hopefully you guys enjoyed this video. If you did, definitely let me know down below the comment section. I'm sorry for leaving on this guy, by the way. It's just the frames. Yeah, it's not it's not really the person. The game was I actually really had fun with the game. But thank you to all the opponents I fought in this great games. Hopefully you enjoyed it as well. If you did, definitely let me know down below in the comment section. While you're down there, make sure to like button and subscribe. And feel free to check out other videos that should be on your screen right now. Other than that, I have been Dr. Doi. Thanks again for making it to the end of this video and I will see you in the next one.


All right, folks, hey, welcome on back to a brand new week inside our live trading room. Good morning this Monday. February 5th, great to see Leda, John, Grant, Brad, Margaret, all of our students and members alike. There we go, I got the webcam working once again. I've been at a commission for a week there, but great to see all of our students and members there, and great to have all of us back on social media, Facebook, live, LinkedIn, Twitter, YouTube, the work. So you could tell by the ugly mug, this is not Fausto, I'm tagging in from this morning. But with that said, let's hop right to it here. This basically is going to be the embodiment of a Monday morning here for us because it's a lot of poppin' drops. I even used a little Fibonacci on this thing here from the first run up that this had. But basically right now, a stock like CDIO, you can't expect for it to make a second win move all the way back up towards where it was at 285, 288. We did have resistance earlier in pre-market right around 312, 315 actually there. You know what? I'm gonna bring up the Nasdaq book viewer in just a moment. I was gonna even bring up book map that was there. Got the hot tag just a bit late so I didn't have my book viewer up and running here just to begin but basically stocks like CDIO, even if there's some news out that came out on it, we're not gonna just jump in on it, we're not just gonna expect for it to run back up. I mean, granted, if it ends up just stalling out here we could say there's a chance that maybe it could. Let's bring up the book viewer here right now and I'll show you where the orders are currently on this trade. I'll at least put this on our list to begin but let's see, where do we have here? Let's probably filter this out just a little bit. Let's see, is it gonna show on this ECN? Ooh, it's not. So it has to be through the EDGX. Then we'll have to break out book map because it's through a different ECN that's not on the Nasdaq. So with that said, there's actually one showing here now at 280 but it was this one up top that we're thinking that could potentially be a target. If this doesn't break lower that is at least here but from the initial run up we were hoping for the pullback and maybe a bounce from the VWOP or even if it breaks that maybe past resistance at 250 it just kept dropping. So that's where I had to break out that like little Fibonacci thing that I normally don't like using but basically from bottom to top it was right around here next support line roughly at 234, 235 and inside our chat board I wrote that to you just earlier. I didn't explain it was off the Fibonacci but I was saying it was off 235 looking for that bounce. But here's the other thing I said though and this is the counter to this. This needs to move back up soon. We want it to, we need it to because laying over support doesn't make us money. Laying over support gives us an entry. It might give us an entry but if we don't get that bounce up then how are we making money on it? You tell me and when a stock breaks to a big level if we're not getting that big move that we're looking for we'll be getting a big move. I guarantee you that just to move the opposite direction. So for now CDIO it's up like 11% still I'm just gonna throw this on our watch list to start good spread, good order book, it's tradable. But what was the other one this morning that we had? I thought it was one from our pre-market watch list that we had here. Let me just take a look. It was the BRTX, BRTX basically made the same exact type of move here. Ended up popping up by like 730, 745 in the morning granted by eight o'clock maybe it could bounce back up again. It was dropping here at the time but perhaps we could see support build but as soon as the eight o'clock move hit it just continued to dump off. So that's kind of what I'm talking about with CDIO stocks like these that are low float therapeutic farmer stocks. We say this because we have a lot of new members joining us here. We always have new members joining us but a lot that came in over the last week or so. So last thing that we want new trial members to do is like trade and risk any sort of money before they go through our classes. You might have 20, 30 years of market experience behind you and it's impossible for me to not respect that, right? But this is a different sport compared to investing or long-term trading or just swing trading even. Especially in pre-market, right? You can't set stop orders. You cannot set a stop order in the pre-market. So you don't want to get caught slipping on a trade like this, right? We'll seem to be said just across the board. So now this one's not even looking as good. I mean it ended up running its course. It kind of looks similar to CDIO but the other one is more of a recent move. So I guess I'm giving it more of a benefit of the doubt there. Maybe it could pop back up. But what we'll do is just go right from top to bottom otherwise and there was one from Friday as well but that's actually on the loser side now. Hey, it goes to show pop and drop, right? But let's go right from top to bottom here see what we can grab and pop and drop this stock. Actually take a look at the daily chart here. This crazy stock. I don't know what this company is. Chia Che, is it like the Chia Pet company? Changi Acquisition Company. So I'm assuming just an Asian company with that like China company ended up leading to a nice pop I guess year one day back on or the week of the 19th and then just collapsed. So there had to have been some news that came out this morning, right? Just break open Benzinga Pro because this stock not only took off today but it ended up breaking all-time highs. So what gives? Why is this stock pushing all the web to make all-time highs this morning? Up 72% pre-market shareholders voted on Friday to approve a merger agreement with Taiwan Color Optics. So with that said, I guess it's acquisition company. It's not like an IPO. It's one of those special purpose acquisitions but yeah, I don't know what happened on Thursday and Friday that led to the drop and then the squeeze all the way back up maybe just people pumping it up day traders that is notice the drop off. There's no real support holding this up or there wasn't from the beginning. Lower highs here pulling back. It's not going to be surprising to see this come back down over time but I guess given how much it's up percentage wise it's hard for me to not slip this on the main list at least for now but if we build up a pretty strong watch list going into the open then I don't want anything to do with this thing.  It's got thin liquidity out there. So this is kind of like a last resort type of stock for me right now. You know, we'll just build up our watch list and see where it takes us and if we have a lot to work with then I'll get this to the boot, easy. FDMT kind of same deal. I didn't even put this on the pre-market watch list because how thin it was is like a $29, $30 stock. GRDI, I mean this one's chopping around a little bit here. Actually what happened on this look what happened to the daily chart here. I guess even dating back to the 29th just from Monday last week but popped and dropped and fell off a cliff after and I guess from Friday's close it's technically up a few pennies of 29% from that. It's another funky move, right? So I guess I'll add it for right now but it's just more for the volatility. This one at least has like CDIO has a pretty good spread, good order book. So for that reason more than anything, I guess I'll add it. So Monday, you can't expect much. You got a bunch of Fed speakers talking today. You had Palantir earnings after the close today which will be nice. It'll be fun to follow for tomorrow. And then afterwards it's got a bunch of other companies reporting throughout the week. So ADVM not looking terrible as far as like not dumping off. I guess that's how desperate we are here. If the stock didn't tank, I guess that's good. EDVM, oh man. What else we got here? RVSN familiar name from last week and the week before. I guess this ended up making a bit more of a pop this morning here. Nice, I'll take that. But again, what goes up comes back down. So don't be surprised if this is a head fake or a false push then that has come all the way back down towards 11 at least here. And Palantir up like 2% or 3% pre-market early this morning had a couple of the stock ETFs like Tesla and NVIDIA earning ETF really not much more out there. I mean, I know that chip stocks are doing good.  Actually, NVIDIA is up like 3%. So in terms of like, you know, a more name brand company we could slip on our watch list. I don't know if there's any news that came out over the weekend with NVIDIA. I know it's not earnings. They're probably not for another week or so. But you know what, if you do option calls on NVIDIA then you could definitely try and focus on this trade. Or if you just want to give a stab on one share as we say, right? All right, so let me know if there's anything else looking good from the gainer side here folks. I'll take a look over on the loser side right now. There we go, INBS, which is so perfectly timed. Wow, this couldn't be any better time as far as what I just said. You know, I said before it was like on the losers list and whatnot. Well, that was kind of more of an assumption because of how much it pumped and then dumped back on Friday last week. Your stock went from basically $2, $2.50 in pre-market all the way up to like basically seven heading into the afternoon. But it was on such a microscopic float, throughout the day and just like typically I guess, but let's take a look, the loser side here. Yeah, this is what I was talking about. Trade station has this allegedly as 120,000 share float. That's like the lowest I've ever seen. Benzinga Pro has it as like 720,000 shares which is still micro-scopic. And what goes up comes back down especially with the lower the float is. So this is so perfectly timed right now. I didn't see this exact drop before I said what I said. So there could be news with this. It could be direct offering of shares, common stock offering right there. I swear I didn't find that out before I did this meeting. So right here, IMBS announces issued warrants. It is warrants, not even common stock offering but warrants I guess for 1.77 million in gross proceeds but a similar reaction nonetheless to what we get. So IMBS, we're done with it. That was last week's flavor. That was Friday's flavor and that's pretty much it. All right, bunch of stuff hard to borrow. Otherwise and stuff not down enough to look for that proverbial dead cap ounce. That's fun, that's fun. Tough to try and shorten this market anyway, right? I mean, we've said that all over the last several months but to anyone that is trying to go against the market here looking for the top, you could do it if you just do it intelligently. You see lower highs, you could try it and then set a stop. But if it ends up pushing up against you, you gotta get out. You shouldn't really be doing that to begin with but I know everyone has different personalities in our room of course. So of course with that said, I'm following the market. I know most of our students are but we'll see what happens maybe around 10, 10, 10, 30. Now this is pretty much all I got from Benzinga Pro. This is pretty much it here. GRDI, we already have that. Boil, it's not really going anywhere it seems. All right, so I'll tell you what, I need from you right now for Christian and all of a sudden YouTube right now. Let me know if there's anything that I'm missing. Got a question from Christian which I'll answer right here. What scanning tools are you using? So I'm using my percent gainers and losers list on the bottom left and then I am dragging in and out Benzinga Pro right there that you saw. Benzinga Pro, by the way, did a phenomenal webinar just in our live trading room. This was back a week ago. So Rich, if you could do this for me, just repost the link from that Benzinga Pro webinar, that workshop that James and Ryan did just in our main chat board. So students like Jith and Larry and all of us otherwise can see it. Larry, got a private chat to my friends and get to that in just a little bit. All right, so with that though, let me know if there's anything else I'm missing. Jith, I'm B-T-A-I. You tell me. Everyone here, you tell me, does this look good? Does this look like, yes, number one?  I hope it pops. I'll cheer lead it on. This doesn't look good though. I just need to let you know. Like, does this look good? No. So don't like try and be like a gunslinger, like just jumping in to jump in. I'll add this. It's hard to not add this given where we're at right now. We're kind of at desperation level here. But, you know, again, folks, like, unless it's on a clear trend, I'm not gonna be really getting like too excited for it. So I'll add it, but, you know, it's kind of my attitude across the day today. Until I see otherwise, until I see a stock that blows me away where I'm like, okay, let's sink my teeth into it. Maybe it could be GRDI. It's moving a little bit better here off 250, bouncing back up 20 pennies. And, you know, the only issue I have on this is that it tanked the last several days. So I guess maybe we're due for a bounce. So, you know, that could be something. But otherwise, again, most of our watch list, if not all of it, is very flat and congested, very stuck and stagnant here otherwise. So, hey, we're coming off a great weekend or at least I hope it was great for you. You know, beautiful weather here in Florida.  We don't want to start off the week on a bad foot, bad note. You know, we got a lot going on this week, mind you. We still have Fed speakers coming up throughout the day today. We have a bunch of earnings throughout the week this week. So I'm sure there's going to be plenty of opportunity out there. Let's just sit on our hands the first three to five minutes. That's all I ask, right? All right, folks. So, hey, otherwise, for all of a sudden, YouTube, Facebook, Live, LinkedIn, et cetera. Hey, at Cyber Trading View, I appreciate you folks joining us each and every day, each and every morning and afternoon. Perhaps we'll get Fausto back tomorrow morning, but at Cyber Trading View is our YouTube channel right there. Just make sure you hit the follow or subscribe button right there. And then if you're looking to join us inside our live trading room, just scan that QR code on the top left of the stream, get you access for a week-long trial with us, with Fausto, myself, fellow students and traders that you see right now, like Leda, Kathleen, Bill, Brad, et cetera. All of us there now.  Actually got like 112 of us right now. So looking forward to jumping back in our room seeing all of our students there. Give me about 15 or so minutes, folks. Right when the market opens up, I will be back on again, just as a new trial member joining us already. If you're already in our room, testing our room out for a week, welcome aboard. This will be a very fun week for us altogether, but you're hearing it from me right now. This is not exactly the greatest watch list that we've pumped out. So let's be very conservative as a student and as a trial member, it's really to say just sit on your hands entirely. This is not a sprint, unless if you got the IRS or the MOB knocking on your door, get it like the MOB. Unless if you got someone knocking on your door asking for money, you got time to learn, folks. That's all. All right, so buckle up, strap in, and I look forward to jumping back in the mic for all of us here in just about 15 or so. Take care.


We need to get our air in so that we can carry out the functions of the respiratory system. And we're going to start out in the upper respiratory tract. From here on out, we're looking at plumbing. We're looking at structures that influence how the air flows through the plumbing. And so even though there's two ways we can get in, we can get into the respiratory system through the mouth and into the oral cavity, or through the external nares and into the nasal cavity.  First of all, this is actually skull. And these are holes in the skull bones themselves. These are your sinuses. They're called perinazle sinuses. Hopefully we have a half head prep that we can look at to examine these different structures. Once we are through the external nares, air is through the external nares and in the nasal cavity, remember the nasal cavity is the space that's superior to the hard palate. You'll notice that there are some, I don't know, little, what are those, bumps? They are bumps. These are actually epithelial covered pieces of skull.  And make sure that you understand that this image right here is actually a sagittal section down the midline. It's a mid-sagittal section with the nasal septum removed so that we can actually see this. If it truly was a mid-sagittal cut, we go right down the middle of the nasal septum, which separates the left nostril from the right nostril. If we remove the nasal septum, we can look into that nasal cavity space. And you'll see these bumps. These guys are your nasal conchy, nasal conchy. And when we cover the skull, you'll learn the names of the bones that lie beneath the epithelium and create that structure of a nasal concha. This guy is my inferior nasal conchy. That's his inferior. This is my middle nasal concha. And this is my superior nasal concha. And what's the purpose? Why do we have these things? Because the lovely air that you breathe in when you are not smoking comes in and your nasal conchy, like, move it all around. Like, they make the air turbulent. It helps you smell better because it moves the air all around and touches your olfactory epithelium. It helps condition the air, helps warm it up, helps moisten it before you send it onward into the rest of the respiratory tract. All right, so once we get turbulent, that's totally a word, let's go into the nasopharynx. I'm just gonna, no, I can't make a line over it. This is my nasopharynx. We already know that. The nasopharynx is superior to the soft palate. And remember this little friendly guy, do you remember that guy? That's the uvula. The uvula is the extension of the soft palate into the back of your throat.  This might be one of my favorite structures ever. Do you see that right there? Okay, you saw where I drew. Do you agree that you might argue it might be a hole? It is.  Really? Yes, really.  This time, it's true. This is your auditory tube. Auditory tube. Auditory tube? No, Eustachian tube is a way cooler name. Eustachian tube or pharyngeal tympanic tube. Eustachian, who in their right mind would ever remember that except for me, because that's how I learned it. Auditory tube lets you know that, yeah, this probably does connect to your ear, so that's cool. Pharyngeal tympanic tube, that's a good one. Pharyngeal, it's in the pharynx. Tympanic, it goes to the part of your ear that is attached or connected to the tympanic membrane, which is your eardrum. What? This thing, that thing, you experience that guy every day and if you did, maybe not every day, but it clutch moments in your life. The auditory tube does its thing. And if it didn't, you would be crying right now.  Yeah, because you have air in your middle ear and when you go to a higher elevation, you are going to a low pressure environment and the low pressure when a gas is at a low pressure, it actually expands its volume. Well, the gas in your middle ear expands its volume and it pushes against the tympanic membrane, it pushes against the oval window. It's expanding in your middle ear and how does that feel to y'all? That hurts. That done hurt. And if it hurts, you don't like that, so what do you do? You go like this. Right, do it right now. You can totally hear your auditory tube open. And when it opens, it allows gas to go in or out. If you go to a higher pressure, hard for us at sea level unless we go into the water, but if we were on Mount Everest and we decided to come down, then as the pressure increases, the gas in our middle ear actually shrinks, which same thing happens. Your ears start feeling funky because there's like pressure pushing in on your tympanic membrane. Ow! And so all you have to do is pop your ears, right? That's just opening the auditory tube and allowing gas to go back and forth. I love the auditory tube. You can't see it unless we have a half head. So I hope we have a half head too. Okay. We've got our pharynxes. The pharynxes we know already. Here was nasopharynx. Here is oropharynx. And this guy is laryngeal pharynx. And we're going to spend the next entire section talking about the larynx. So we already know what pharynxes are, especially the fact that this, I'm drawing a green line through my what structure is that? That's my esophagus clowns. So our esophagus, you can send air down your esophagus, but let's not because there isn't going to be any gas exchange that occurs there. There will be only belching. All right. Are you cool? Is there anything else that you need to know? I don't think so. Let's move on to the larynx, which will explain how and why you can hear me know I can make sound right now.