Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelensky visited an airfield at an undisclosed location on August 6 to congratulate airmen and women who are fighting Russia's invasion and to inspect Soviet-made aircraft carrying what appeared to be Anglo-French Storm Shadow Missiles. He emblazoned glory to Ukraine with a felt pen on a missile that bore a sticker with Ukraine's coat of arms and the Eiffel Tower intertwined, and the French name for the Storm Shadow Missile, Scalpy G, written on it. He also inspected two Western-supplied air defense systems, Patriot and Iris TSLM, that were on display on an undisclosed airfield. The visit comes as Russia said a Ukrainian missile strike had damaged the Konhar Road bridge linking Mainland Ukraine to Crimea on Sunday, Russia's RIA news agency cited the Moscow-appointed head of Crimea, Sergey Aksyanov, as saying. RIA cited acting Kursun regional governor Vladimir Saldov another Moscow appointee as saying the strike on the bridge, one of three road links between Crimea and Mainland Ukraine involved in Anglo-French Storm Shadow Missile. He did not provide any evidence.


from theCUBE Studios in Palo Alto in Boston, bringing you data-driven insights from theCUBE and ETR. This is Breaking Analysis with Dave Vellante. Like a marathon runner pumped up on adrenaline, UiPath sprinted to the lead in what is surely going to be a long journey toward enabling the modern automated enterprise. Now in doing so, the company has established itself as a leader in enterprise automation while at the same time it got out over its skis on critical execution items and it disappointed investors along the way. In our view, the company has plenty of upside potential but will have to slog through its current challenges including restructuring its go-to-market, prioritizing investments, balancing growth with profitability and dealing with a very difficult macro environment. Hello and welcome to this week's Wikibon Cube Insights powered by ETR. In this Breaking Analysis and ahead of forward five UiPath's big customer event, we once again dig into RPA and automation leader UiPath to share our most current data and view of the company's prospects relative to the competition and the market overall. Now since the pandemic, four sectors have consistently outperformed in the overall spending landscape in the ETR dataset. Cloud, containers, machine learning slash AI and robotic process automation. For the first time in a long time, ML and AI and RPA have dropped below the elevated 40% line shown in this ETR graph with the red dotted line. The data here plots the net score or spending momentum for each sector with we put in video conferencing, we added it in simply to provide height to the vertical axis. Now you see those squiggly lines, they show the pattern for ML slash AI and RPA and they demonstrate the downward trajectory over time with only the most current period dropping below the 40% net score mark. While this is not surprising, it underscores one component of the macro headwinds facing all companies generally in UiPath specifically. That is the discretionary nature of certain technology investments. This has been a topic of conversation on theCUBE since the spring spanning data players like Mongo and Snowflake, the cloud, security and other sectors. The point is ML, AI and RPA appear to be more discretionary than certain sectors including cloud. Containers most likely benefit from the fact that much of the activity is spending on internal resources, staff, like developers as much of the action in containers is free and open source. Now security is not shown on this graphic but as we've reported extensively and last week at CrowdStrike's Falcon conference, security is somewhat less discretionary less discretionary than other sectors. Now as it relates to the big four that we've been highlighting since the pandemic hit, we're starting to see priorities shift from strategic investments like AI and automation to more tactical areas to keep the lights on. UiPath has not been immune to this downward pressure but the company is still able to show some impressive metrics. Here's a snapshot chart from its investor deck for the first time UiPath's ARR has surpassed a billion dollars. The company now has more than 10,000 customers with a large number generating more than $100,000 in ARR. While not shown in this data, UiPath reported this month in its second quarter close that it had $191 million plus ARR customers which is up 13% sequentially from its Q1. As well, the company's ARR is over 130% which is very solid and underscores the low churn that we've previously reported for the company. But with that increased ARR comes slower growth. Here's some data we compiled that shows the dramatic growth in ARR, the blue bars compared with the rapid deceleration and growth that's the orange line on the right hand axis there. For the first time UiPath's ARR growth dipped below 50% last quarter. Now we've projected 34% and 25% respectively for the company's Q3 and Q4 which is slightly higher than the upper range of UiPath's CFO Ashim Gupta's guidance from the last earnings call. That still puts UiPath exiting its fiscal year at a 25% ARR growth rate. While it's not unexpected that a company reaching a billion dollars in ARR that milestone will begin to show lower, slower growth. Net new ARR is well off its fiscal year 22 levels. The other perhaps more concerning factor is the company despite strong 80% gross margins remains unprofitable and free cash flow negative. New CEO Rob Enslin has emphasized the focus on profitability and we'd like to see a consistent and more disciplined rule of 40 or rule of 45 to 50 type of performance going forward. As a result of this decelerating growth and lowered guidance stemming from significant macro challenges including currency fluctuations and weaker demand especially in Europe and AP and inconsistent performance stock as shown here has been on a steady decline. But all stocks are facing all growth stocks are facing challenges relative to inflation, rising interest rates and looming recession. But as seen here, UiPath has significantly underperformed relative to the tech heavy NASDAQ. UiPath has admitted to execution challenges and it has brought in an expanded management team to facilitate its sales transition and desired to become a more strategic platform play versus a tactical point product. Now adding to this challenge are foreign exchange issues. As we've previously reported unlike most high-flying tech companies from Silicon Valley, UiPath has a much larger proportion of its business coming from locations outside of the United States around 50% of its revenue in fact because it prices in local currencies when you convert back to appreciated dollars there are less of them and that weighs down on revenue. Now we asked Breaking Analysis contributor Chip Simington for his take on this stock and he told us quote from a technical standpoint there's really not much you can say it just looks like a falling knife. It's trading at an all-time low but that doesn't mean it can't go lower. New management with a good product is always a positive with a stock like this but this is just a bad environment for UiPath and all growth stocks really. And he added 95% of money managers have never operated in this type of environment before so that creates more uncertainty. There will be a bottom but picking it in this high inflation high interest rate world hasn't worked too well lately. There's really no floor to these stocks that don't have earnings until you start to trade to cash levels end quote. Well, okay, let's see. UiPath has $1.6 billion in cash in the balance sheet and no debt so we're a long ways off from that target that to cash value with its current $7 billion valuation. You have to go back to April of 2019 to UiPath's series D to find a $7 billion valuation. So as Simington says the stock still could go lower. The valuation range for this stock has been quite remarkable from around $50 billion last May to $7 billion today. That's quite a swing. And the spending data from ETR supports this story. This graphic here shows the net score or spending momentum granularity for UiPath. The lime green is new additions to the platform. The forest green is spending 6% or more. The gray is flat spending. The pink is spending down 6% or worse and the bright red is churn. Subtract the red from the green and you get net score which is that blue line. The yellow line is pervasiveness within the dataset. Now that yellow line is skewed somewhat because of Microsoft citations. There's a belief from some that competition from Microsoft is the reason for UiPath's troubles but Microsoft is really delivering RPA for individuals and isn't an enterprise automation platform at least not today. But it's Microsoft so you can't discount their presence in the market and it probably is having some impact but we think there are many other factors waiting on UiPath. Now, this is data through the July survey but taking a glimpse at the early October returns they're trending with the arrows meaning less green, more gray and red which is gonna lower UiPath's overall net score which is consistent with the macro headwinds and the business performance that it's been seeing. Now nonetheless, UiPath continues to get high marks from its customers and relative to peers it maintains a leadership position. So this chart from ETR shows net score or spending velocity in the vertical axis and overlap or presence in the dataset on the horizontal axis. Microsoft continues to have a big presence and as we mentioned somewhat skews the data. UiPath has maintained its lead relative to automation anywhere on the horizontal axis and remains ahead of the legacy pack of business process and other RPA vendors. Solonis has popped up in the ETR dataset recently as a process mining player and has a pretty high net score. This is a critical space. UiPath has entered via its acquisition of process gold back in October, 2019. Now you can also see what we did is we added in the Gartner Magic Quadrant for robotic process automation we didn't blow it up here but we circled the position of UiPath you can see it's leading in both the vertical and the horizontal axis ahead of automation anywhere as well as Microsoft and others. Now we're still not seeing the likes of SAP service now and Salesforce showing up in the ETR data but these enterprise software vendors are in a reasonable position to capitalize on automation opportunities within their install basis. This is why it's so important that UiPath transitions to an enterprise wide horizontal play that can cut across multiple ERP, CRM, HCM and service management platforms. While the big software companies can add automation to their respective stovepipes and they're doing that UiPath's opportunity is to bring automation to enable enterprises to build on top of and across these SaaS platforms that most companies are running. Now in the chart you see the red arrows slanting down and that signifies the expected trend from the upcoming October ETR survey which is currently in the field and will run through early next month. Suffice it to say that there is downward spending pressure across the board and we would expect most of these names including UiPath to dip below the 40% dotted line. Now as it relates to the conversation about platform versus product let's dig into that a bit more. Here's a graphic from UiPath's investor deck that underscores the move from product to platform. UiPath has expanded its platform from its initial on-prem point product focus on automating tasks for individuals and back offices to a cloud-first platform approach. The company has added in technology from a number of acquisitions and added organically to those. These include the previously mentioned process gold for process discovery, process documentation from the acquisition of step shot API automation via the acquisition of cloud elements to its more recent acquisition of re-infer a natural language processing specialist. Now we expect the platform to be a big focus of discussion at forward five next week in Las Vegas. So let's close in on our expectations for the three-day event next week at the Venetian. UiPath's user conference has grown over the years and the Venetian should by far be the biggest and most heavily attended in the company's history. We expect UiPath to really emphasize the role of automation specifically in the context of digital transformation and how UiPath has evolved again from point product to platform to support digital transformation. Expect to focus on platform maturity when UiPath announced its platform intentions back in 2019 which was the last physical face-to-face customer event prior to COVID. It essentially was laying out a statement of direction and over the past three years it has matured the platform and taken it from vision to reality. You know, I said the last event actually the last event was 2021 the Costa Cube was there at the Bellagio in Las Vegas but prior to that 2019 is when they laid out that platform vision. Now in conjunction with this evolution the company has evolved its partnerships pairing up with the likes of Snowflake in the data cloud, CrowdStrike to provide better security and of course the big global system integrators to help implement enterprise automation. And this is where we expect to hear a lot from customers. I've heard there'll be over a hundred speaking at the show about the outcomes and how they're digitally transforming. Now I mentioned earlier that we haven't seen the big ERP and enterprise software companies show up yet in the ETR data, but believe me, they're out there and they're selling automation and RPA and they're competing. So expect UiPath to position themselves and deposition those companies position UiPath as a layer above these bespoke platforms shown here on number four with process discovery and task discovery building automation across enterprise apps and operationalizing process workflows as a horizontal play. And I'm sure there'll be some new graphics on this platform that we can share after the event that will emphasize this positioning. And finally, as we showed earlier in the platform discussion, we expect to hear a lot about the new platform capabilities and use cases and not just RPA but process mining, testing, testing automation, which is a new vector of growth for UiPath document processing. And also we expect UiPath to address its low code development capabilities to expand the number of people in the organization that can create automation capabilities and automations. Those domain experts is what we're talking about here that deeply understand the business but aren't software engineers enabling them is gonna be really important. And we expect to hear more about that. And we expect this conference to set the tone for a new chapter in UiPath's history. The company's second in-person gathering but the first one was last October. So really this is going to be sort of a build upon that and many in-person events for the first time this year. UiPath was one of the first to bring back its physical event but we expect it to be bigger than what was at the Bellagio when a lot of people were concerned about traveling although UiPath got a lot of customers there but I think they're gonna really up the game in terms of attendance this year. And really that comparison is unfair because UiPath again was sort of the middle of COVID last year but any rate we expect this new operations and go-to-market oriented focus from co-CEO Rob Enslin a new sales management we're gonna be hearing from them and the so-called adult supervision has really been lacking at UiPath historically. Daniel Dinez will no doubt continue to have a big presence at the event and at the company. He's not a figurehead by any means. He's got a deep understanding of the product and the market and we'll be interviewing both Daniel and Rob Enslin on theCUBE to find out how they see the future. So tune in next week or if you're in Las Vegas definitely stop by theCUBE. If you're not, go to theCUBE.net. You'll be able to watch all of our coverage. Okay, we're gonna leave it there today. I wanna thank Chip Simington again for his input to today's episode. Thanks to Alex Meyerson who's on production and manages our podcasts. Ken Schiffman as well from our Boston office our Boston studio. Kristen Martin and Cheryl Knight they helped get the word out on social media and in our newsletters. And Rob Hough is our editor in chief over at Silicon Angle does some great editing. Thanks all. Remember these episodes are all available as podcasts wherever you listen all you gotta do is search breaking analysis podcasts. I publish each week on wikibon.com and siliconangle.com and you can email me at david.volante siliconangle.com or DM me at dvolante if you got anything interesting I'll respond. If not, please keep trying or comment on my LinkedIn posts and please do check out etr.ai for the best survey data in the enterprise tech business. This is Dave Vellante for theCUBE Insights powered by ETR. Thanks for watching and we'll see you next time on breaking analysis.


Good day, fellow investors! Today I want to discuss SETKLARMAN's largest U.S. portfolio position. It is Chenier Energy, MYSA LNG. Now, I already made a video about natural gas, what's going on, what are the long-term trends, so don't forget to watch that, because it will give you a much better understanding of this video and the company Chenier Energy. Just a quick reminder, LNG, liquefied natural gas trade, is expected to boom in the next 10 to 20 years. And especially what is expected to boom are North American LNG exports. You can see here the first three columns, two columns, the first one is practically in existing 2015 NO exports, then huge jump in 2025 and then again a huge jump in 2040. The U.S., thanks to the shale oil revolution, has become from a net importer and net exporter of oil and gas. Chenier understood that trend and created an export natural gas facility. In order to export natural gas by boat, you need to liquefy the gas, because then it's 600 times smaller in volume. And Chenier is investing, I think they invested now about 20 billion and will invest another 10 billion in order to have 7 or 8 liquefification trains in order to put the natural gas coming from the fields in Texas on the boats and ship them around the world mostly to Europe and Asia Pacific, which are net importers of gas. And you can see here the trains that LNG is building. Five trains are fully contracted, six trains coming on seven trains and then I think there will be another eight trains. In order to export natural gas coming from the fields around Texas, which where there is plenty of it it is low cost to extract so Chenier can compete globally even with the additional liquefification and transportation costs for natural gas. Just a reminder here, which I already this chart is already shown in the other video about natural gas. Natural gas prices vary a lot around the world because it costs to transport natural gas. Okay, short overview done. Now what's the value? Where does Seth Klarman see the value in Chenier energy? As I said 30 billion will be invested by 2020 and every year the company is now investing about 4-5 billion dollars and it's just started so it's really a growth startup that has 30 billion in investments. And if you look at this slide you can see that the cash flow distribution per share when all eight trains are made will be from $640 to $8 per share. Seven trains $540 to $640 per share. All the eight trains will be probably built in the late 2020s so I have taken 2027 as an approximate year to make my calculation. If let's take the average, if a shareholder can expect to get $7 per share in cash distributions in 2027, you attach $7 per share a yield of 5% thus we multiply the $7 with 20, we get to a stock price of $140 in 2027. As the current stock price is $45 in 10 years it should be $140. Of course there will be also cash distributions from 2020 going on the onwards that are a little bit smaller but however significant. So you can expect a return of about from 12 to 15% if everything goes as planned. And we have seen the chart about the expected LNG global demand so there is a high probability that everything will work out well. Thus, Klarman is already positioned to get the cash flows and then to make a 15-12 to 15% return in the long term. US will keep pumping out gas at a low cost will have a mode and Chenier is perfectly positioned to take advantage of that trend. Now what I want to close with is how to play that investment because it's not linear, it won't be linear and there will be lots of volatility around it. If we take a look at Chenier's stock price you can see in 2014-15 it was around $80 then it dropped to $24 and now it's around $45. You have to see okay I know that in 2027 the stock price will be around $140 so what's my expected return on investment and then you can do the same as Klarman. He bought more when the stock price fell at $24 around $30 and then he immediately solved that position when it went up to $40. So he is trading around his long-term expected trend. You know you have 12-15% in the long term and then you can increase your returns by trading around short-term sentiment in natural gas prices because when natural gas prices are low also Chenier's price will be lower. Margin of safety, $30 billion invested, long-term positive trend for LNG, long-term huge growth in the demand for natural gas. So a lot of interesting developments for Chenier. However it's let's say a boring business all done in 20 year contracts for where the customers want to secure their supply. Feel free to dig in into the sector if you're more interested. Please share your findings in this. Please share your findings under the video. We are here to learn all together and create a community of profitable low-risk high return investments. Thank you for watching don't forget to subscribe, click like if you like the content and don't forget to watch the next video about the natural gas sector which is about Gasprom. I'll see you in the next video.


Hello everybody! Watch this video to find out how to recover data from a software BTRFS RAID based on Linux, how to create a BTRFS RAID 5, how to replace a fold-in disk, and how to recover lost data from a damaged disk RAID. Hello friends! If you need to recover deleted data, view or restore removed browser history. Hetman Software Products will help you. Follow the link in the description, download the necessary program for free, install it and analyze the disk. The utility will show you the data you can recover, so you will be able to view it or get it back. In our channel and blog you will find solutions to any problem, from installing an operating system or configuring it to fixing possible bugs and errors or optimizing mobile gadgets. Our specialists will answer any questions you ask in your comments under the videos or articles. Usually, MDADM and LVM are used to create a RAID system in Linux, and you can learn more about it in other videos on our channel. In addition to these tools, you can also find integrated RAID support in BTRFS file system. This system uses its own features to create and manage disk arrays, and we are going to study them in detail. BTRFS is a modern file system with an integrated copy and write feature and RAID support. The essence of copy and write is that when you copy existing files, they don't overwrite old data, which makes it much easier to recover after crashes or failures. As interruptions in the write operations don't affect the previous state of data. BTRFS stores metadata separately from the file system data, and its main advantage is that you can use various RAID levels for data and metadata. Another purpose of this journal file system is to provide a more effective way to manage the storage system and improve data integrity features in Linux. Before you can start using BTRFS, you need to install special tools to manage this file system. Do it with a following command. You have to create a mall on point directory for BTRFS file system before you can build a RAID array. Use this command to create the directory, where data is the directory name. Now you can start building the array. This file system doesn't require a hard disk to be divided into partitions if you want to build a RAID. But there is more. When building a disk array, you can use physical hard disks, their partitions, and even combine disks and partitions into a single array. For illustration, I'll show you how to use five hard disks to create a RAID 5 system. To save the trouble of having to enter the root password every time, run the sudo i command and type the password, and now you can run all commands as administrator. To build the RAID system, type this command in the terminal. Here L is the mark or name of the file system, and the parameters that can be used are D to set RAID 5 for file system data and M to set RAID 5 for file system metadata, and F to force BTRFS file system even if one of the drives has a different file system. After that, you can mount BTRFS RAID using any of the drives included into your array. In my case, I used five drives to create a disk array – SDB, SDC, SDD, SDE, and SDF. That is why I can mount file system data with the help of drive SDB in the directory with the name data. Open the disk management tool and mount the drive, and then it becomes available. Otherwise, you can use the form and command to mount the drive. To check if everything is okay, run the command sudo dfh. Now you can see the BTRFS RAID system mounted in the directory with the name data. To view information on how the operating system uses this array, that is, how much space is free and occupied, type this command. To unmount the array, you only need to use a single command. To replace the drive, there is a BTRFS replace command. It is run asynchronously, and that is why the first parameter gives the command start to launch the process, cancel to stop it, and status to see its progress and condition. First of all, you need to identify the number of the damaged drive with the help of this command. Then replace it with the new one using this command, where 3 is the number of the missing drive. SDG is the code for a new drive. To recover a damaged BTRFS system, use the mount option Recovery by entering the following command. Start the recovery process. Even the most reliable and full-tolerant system may fail some day. As system error, drive failure, hardware issues, damaged metadata, accidental removal or wrong settings, any of these may result in knocking the RAID down and making it lose important information. If you face anything from that list, just use Hetman RAID Recovery. It can restore data from non-operational RAID systems or from drives that used to be part of such systems. For utility, we'll read all available information about the RAID and then rebuild the damaged RAID so that you can copy all the discovered data from there. Connect the drives to a Windows computer, use a virtual machine, or install Windows alongside your main Linux operating system. The utility will scan the drives automatically and display all the information about your RAID. As you can see, in case with BTRFS RAID, the program doesn't collect the drives into a single RAID. This can be explained by peculiarities of building this RAID type, but all the information is stored according to the RAID type which is used. To start the recovery process, open the Drive Manager, right-click on any drive that used to make up this RAID and run the file scan. When scanning any drive, the results should be the same as all of them are elements of the same disk RAID. When the scan is over, the program will display the file it has found. The preview feature will help you find the required images or videos more easily. Select the files you want to recover, click Recovery, select what you want to save them, and click Recovery again. In the end, you will find the recovered files in the folder you have chosen. If the fast scan can't find the required files, then go for full analysis. This scan type takes much longer, but it's sure to find all the information still existing on the drive, even if it was removed a long time ago. As this is a RAID 5 system, all the information remains intact in spite of one drive missing. But if two drives go south, a part of the data is bound to be damaged. BTRFS supports data compression at the file system level. It means that the information available on the disk will be compressed automatically as more new data is written. When accessing files stored in the file system, the data of such files will be decompressed automatically. The file system feature helps to save disk space and your time, because you don't have to look for a third-party tool for compressing your files. BTRFS supports three main file compression methods, ZLIB, LZO, and ZSTD. They differ by the degree and speed of compression. Over-utility supports recovery of files compressed with any of these methods. In the Procopy interface, compressed volumes and files are shown like this, highlighted in a different color. Another serious advantage of BTRFS file system is its ability to create sub-volumes. In plain English, you can create, for example, three different disks sub-volumes on one hard disk. These sub-volumes may expand and the cost of free space is taken from another volume. When necessary, this feature lets you expand one disk at the expense of another without either compressing or transferring the actual data. These sub-volumes are then displayed like this. In the Procopy interface, you can create sub-volumes as disks inside the main drive. In the same way, folders containing snapshots are displayed. Here is the command used to create sub-volumes. To view the list of sub-volumes on this drive, run the following command. And this one to mount a sub-volume. Where SDB1 is the drive code. There are only a few data recovery tools capable of reading BTRFS rate systems. That information may be erased during the scan, so having an option to create an image of the array and then run the scan on the image instead of the actual set of disks could be a serious advantage. All in all, though, the best way to avoid losing important data is to backup your files regularly. And that is all for now. Hopefully, this video was useful. Remember to click the Like button and subscribe to our channel. Push the bell button to receive notifications and never miss new videos. Leave comments to ask questions. Thank you for watching. And good luck.


Well, I want to echo what you've heard from folks already. Thank you all for coming here and advising us and giving us input about some key questions that we had that you've heard stated already. Let me point out NHGRI sort of took the lead in organizing this, but by no means is this really a workshop for us, as you're gonna see in some of the things I'm gonna show. This is really something that has become of great interest to NIH, but we were certainly willing, for reasons I will explain in a minute, to take the lead in trying to see this workshop become organized. I think, really, what Francis pointed out about this inventory of something on the order of 65,000 genomes to be sequenced or exomes to be sequenced in really the next short period of time. Of course, all of you are recognized that the reason this has all become possible, of course, is because this precipitous drop in the cost of DNA sequencing shown here, this iconic graph that we show frequently for the data that we've collected for our three largest sequencing centers, but I think it's emblematic of the state of the art with respect to the field of genome sequencing. We obviously have, as NHGRI's flagship effort in our extramural research program, our genome sequencing program, which we renewed last year, and while it has several new components of it that capitalize on new opportunities created by the reductions in the cost for genome sequencing, nonetheless, it still has in place as the major component of that program our large-scale genome sequencing centers at Baylor and at Broad Institute and at Washington University and shortly this evening you're gonna hear from Rick Wilson who directs the genome institute at Washington University. So we, of course, are thinking critically about how to capitalize on this prodigious amount of sequencing capacity just in these three centers alone, and institutes alone, but the fact of the matter is there's others that we support and there's, of course, others that we're very interested in as well, and just recognizing that capacity, we wanna deploy that capacity in the most effective way possible for our specific scientific objectives. That said, we're not the only ones, of course, who are thinking about this, and the reason for it, of course, is that these technologies are just resulting in a massive dissemination with respect to genome sequencing capabilities. It is not just NHGRI leading the way with respect to having the bulk of the sequencing funding that's going on, but rather the reason you see these tables around this room filled with individuals from other institutes is because, virtually all the NIH institutes are getting involved in this and using these same technologies for doing genome sequencing for their studies. If you actually wanna see some real data for that to put it in context and to also show you the trend, if you just do, in fiscal year 11, query the database of NIH grants, and if you use the key term genome sequencing, it's very interesting what it reveals, and especially when you can do a similar query over several years. So this is just some real data to indicate it, and blue is money that, and this is in dollars, millions of dollars, blue is genome institute, red is everybody else at NIH, all the other institutes. If you go back as recently as 2005, 2006, you can see that 68 or 70% or so of all grants given out key word genome sequencing would have been NHGRI grants, but now you can see, fast forward to last year, we have complete data, and in fact, the majority of the dollars being given out key word genome sequencing end up being outside of NHGRI, not even NHGRI. You can also follow this for grant numbers, and this is a little deceiving, because of course we give out a handful of very large grants, but nonetheless, the trend is pretty clear, that just in terms of total grant numbers were once upon a time we were hovering around a quarter of all the grants that would carry the key word genome sequence, you can see a considerable drop off in 2011, with a much larger number of grants given out by other institutes. This is actually a good thing, I don't wanna portray this as anything but a good thing, it's the dissemination of genomic capabilities across other NIH institutes. Of course we also have to realize that the same capacity that will end up being used to generate genome sequences, especially if human, is not gonna just be limited to the NIH. I would point out there's various other major players that are relevant to consider, and that we are certainly in contact with many of these. Certainly there's very large operations such as BGI, and certainly the Sanger Institute. I could have put here in this column, I don't know, 10 or 12 different ones, I just grabbed a few places I know that have some reasonable amount of sequencing capacity, but there's many others. And of course there's the private sector of which just a couple examples are shown here, who are developing considerable amounts of sequencing capacity as well. So in thinking about all the sequencing capacity, whether it be at NHGRIs, whether it be other NIH institutes, whether it be others in the international sphere or private sector, of course NHGRI is very interested in thinking about strategically how to deploy that for various purposes that is best encapsulated in a strategic plan that we published in February of last year, that I know many of the people sitting around this room have seen, this was again written and the strategic plan it was carried out by NHGRI, but in fact is very much on behalf of the whole field of genomics, and we recognize that many are gonna be pursuing the kind of objectives we lay out. This is sort of the iconic figure from that paper that portrays various domains of research activities going from more basic side to the more clinically applied side over different time intervals. I just wanna focus your attention because what's relevant to this meeting is this slice here. Really using genomic approaches in particular genome sequencing to help us understand the biology of disease. And I think it's what Eric Boerwinkel set up in some of the early points in his talk was the idea of really focusing our attention, especially on complex genetic diseases. And represented in this time interval where we're sitting is right in here, the next decade. And what we predicted in our strategic plan was that this was gonna be a very intense decade with respect to genomic achievements and pursuits and projects that were gonna be in particularly relevant to this middle domain. And of course that likely will continue even beyond 2020. So we are looking towards this next decade and beyond and we at NHGRI, but as Francis alludes to and certainly the case, it goes beyond NHGRI and all of NIH is really thinking towards the future. What are the right kinds of studies to design that would maximally capitalize on the kinds of sequencing capabilities that we have? I will tell you quite candidly the reason we have workshops like this is don't think for a minute we know precisely how to execute on this kind of a vision. We very much aim to learn. We are still students at this. These are very hard problems and NHGRI is continually trying to gain this kind of input and I think others at NIH certainly are as well. As Francis alluded to, we need to design the best and most effective studies for pursuing these goals, how to be most efficient, thinking about all the various options that one has. And so as Eric Warwinkle nicely laid out, there are many issues and there are many questions and they're just sort of shown here. He actually went through many of them bullet by bullet but we're gonna come back to these over and over again throughout this workshop to try to see as we are trying to learn what we can come to conclusions with respect to the trade-offs and the various issues that we need to try to address and to try to answer these fundamental questions that will help guide the design of some of these future studies. So once again, this is sort of a backdrop for why we are here and we're really eager to discuss, debate, strategize and hopefully try to answer these questions. So with that, I will stop and Terry, do I turn this over to someone or you're gonna take over? Or Eric's gonna take over, excellent. Thank you.


Hello subscribers! Today is July 5th, the day after Independence Day. I hope everybody had a wonderful holiday. I know I did. First of all, I definitely want to let you know that I didn't make a trade today. I know, I know it's going to be a week since my last trade, but for good reason, I'll let you watch the video as to why I made that decision. Also, my last video, I did let you know that I joined a few Facebook groups and I'm trying to help people out, answer any questions and whatnot. Being involved with the community, that's always a great thing. But I'm sad to report that I actually removed myself from those Facebook groups for many different reasons. One of the biggest reasons is it was a distraction more than what I felt like I was doing good for the community. Reason why is these Facebook groups are basically designed for pump and dubs, it seems like. And very, very, very beginning beginners, very beginners. And that's absolutely okay. I'm not knocking on beginners, but for the majority, they just, they don't, nobody was interested in understanding how to actually day trade. And everybody's, for the majority of the people that I saw, they're in it for the quick buck. And, you know, to each their own, I'm not knocking on them, but it was more of a distraction. And I got a lot of solicitations of, hey, take a look at stock XYZ. It's going to go to the moon. It's going to be, it's going to go a thousand percent tomorrow. Get in today. And I didn't like that. I didn't like the environment. It was almost exhausting having to read through so many messages, posts, and nobody cared. And that's fine with me. That's absolutely fine. I'm not here for, for that, just for the intention or anything of that nature, but I'm here to stay on track. I removed myself from those Facebook groups to stay on track and focus what I'm doing here with this channel, with my trading, with my strategy. And I'm just going to get right to it. So with that being said, I also wanted to let you know that I have very few trading rules for my strategy. And one of those few rules include, do not trade on Fed meeting day or Fed minutes. And that's for, for many different reasons. The number one reason is markets tend to be flat. The markets tend to be flat because the markets are waiting to see what the results are of the Fed meetings or Fed minutes.  The markets don't know. And that's where the markets tend to stay flat. That was not the case today. I feel so bad, but hey, I stuck to my guns and I didn't trade. And I didn't lose any money. That was the biggest perk of today was I didn't lose money. That's a win in my book. But thank you so much for watching. Hit that subscribe button down below. It'll help me out tremendously. I'm trying to get to 100 subscribers. And let me know what you thought about this video. If you thought this video was helpful, please comment below. And also if you have any questions as well. Thank you so much for watching. Good morning, everybody. It is Wednesday, July 5th. I hope everybody had an awesome 4th of July. I just want to mention today that the Federal Open Market Committee, FOMC, and we have Fed Minutes today. And that might prevent us from making a trade. I have to be very careful as to the setup that I trade today. It has to be a very good one, very strong in order for me to play it. But again, my prediction, which I generally don't like to make predictions. But I think that today is going to be a very flat morning. And it might start moving after the Fed Minutes is over, which by the way, it starts at 2 p.m. Eastern Time. So about 12 noon, my time. We might start to see a very nice move around noon. It is setting up right here. I don't like it. It's just way too sketchy to trade today on this Fed Day. You could probably squeeze it out. Let's see. Let's look at the 2,4250 puts. 2,4250 puts. Let's even talk about today's. Or no, excuse me. These are Fridays. Okay, they're trading at 82 by 84. Generally, I like this right here. But being a Fed Day, I don't like it. That might have been a good 80. I saw it up to 88. Well, I was wrong. Looks like that was a move right there. You could have been getting at 84 and getting out at 90 cents. It's 89 by 90 cents right now. We saw it around right here. And right here, you heard me say 82 by 84. You could have gotten 84. And been getting out at 91. It's seven cents. Wow, look at that. They're up to 98 cents now. That was a play right there, guys. I missed it. I absolutely missed it. Down. Kind of went sideways a little bit and then continue down. Wow, what a move to the downside. Amazing. I missed it. I completely missed this trade today. I'm not too worried about missing this move here, missing the setup. This is all part of being a disciplined trader, discipline and patient trader. Only swinging at the pitches that we like. There's no sense in trying to swing at a high ball, low ball, where the chances are there. But just when we're talking about money, it's worth being patient. And I know my setup fairly well, so I'm not too worried about it, guys.


We continue today with chapter 30 freedom of will Do you not understand that to oppose the Holy Spirit is to fight yourself?  If you be prisoner then God himself could not be free For what is done to him whom God so loves is done to God himself Think not he wills to bind you who has made you co-creator of the universe along with him He would but keep your will forever and forever limitless The world awaits the freedom you will give when you have recognized that you are free But you will not forgive the world until you have forgiven him who gave your will to you For it is by your will The world is given freedom Nor can you be free apart from him whose holy will you share God turns to you to ask the world be saved For by your own salvation is it healed and No one walks upon the earth But must depend on your decision that he learned death has no power over him Because he shares your freedom as he shares your will It is your will to heal him And because you have decided with him he is healed and Now is God forgiven for you chose to look upon your brother as a friend And from the workbook Lesson 235 God in his mercy wills that I be saved I Need but look upon all things that seem to hurt me and with perfect certainty assured myself God wills that I be saved from this and merely watched them disappear I Need but keep in my mind My father's will for me is only happiness to find that only happiness has come to me and I need but remember that God's love surrounds his son and keeps his sinlessness forever perfect To be sure that I am saved and safe forever in his arms. I Am the son he loves and I am saved because God in his mercy wills it so Father Your holiness is mine Your love created me and Made my sinlessness forever part of you. I have no guilt nor sin in me For there is none in you Amen


Welcome to Film by Run. My name is Stephen Cousins. Today we are at Worthing Running Track, Worthing Leisure Centre Track and we're here today to test the accuracy or not of the stride foot pods. So we're going to set the watch to use the stride foot pod for speed and for distance and we're going to ignore GPS altogether. We're going to turn GPS off because we need a nice map around the track but it's not going to be used to measure our speed and distance. But also I have with me my little wheel just to test that this track is actually 400 meters long and we do that by measuring the inside lane. So if you look down here we're going to put the wheel about 20 centimetres in from the edge of the track and that is officially the line that 400 meters should be on. So zero. I finished going around the track and on my Phoenix 6 watch using the track run mode from Garmin I have 386 meters. So hopefully you can see that there 386 let's just try and get in the shade 386 meters ran the track so not 400 meters as we would hope. However using the same foot pod on Bluetooth on my other watch we measure 0.41 which is approximately 410 meters. This is using the normal run mode on the Garmin 245 watch. So that's a bit of an interesting result from the off really given that we've only got one foot pod different protocols and plus some Bluetooth to two separate watches but both watches measuring differently using the same foot pod. Anyway let's have a look at what we've got on the wheel. So the wheel is measuring 398.4. So what we can conclude from the wheel measure is the official measuring line which is 20 meters inside the track on lane one is not quite right. So we probably need to move into the centre of the track so I'm going to measure the track one more time and this time from the dead centre of lane one. Right that's me done 400 meters ran the track here at Worthing 385 meters recorded on the Phoenix 6 from the Stridewind foot pod. By the way yeah I'm using the Stridewind foot pod which is the newest latest version of the Stridefoot pod and on the Garmin what have I got? That's interesting 42 0.42 okay so it was dead on 200 meters over there we seem to have added some but interestingly I've already looked at the wheel and we're dead on 400 meters in fact it's absolutely dead on 400 meters. So I think we're done with the wheel now I think we can say for definite that as long as you run somewhere between the centre of the lane and towards the inner edge of the lane you'll get 400 meters of distance. So you know the track is 400 meters long isn't it really? So now we're going to run around the track at zero calibration and we'll see what distance we get running pretty much dead centre of lane one so we're going to do that. Okay first run around the track and actually pretty successful. The watch on my left hand is the Phoenix 6 let's have a look at that 397 meters 397 meters round the track and a Garmin 245 has measured 0.41 so 400 meters or so around the track 410 meters 397 the thing is that margin of error is is slight enough that see if I run on the outside of the track I'd like to get 400 but in fact let's do that so I'm going to run on the outside edge of lane one outside edge of lane one another lap and I'll see if we get 400 meters on the Phoenix 6. So I'm going to run there right on the outside edge of lane one and we'll do another 400 meters and see what we get. Okay just going up to the end of the lap there we go 401 on the Phoenix 6 401 meters there we are 401 meters on the Phoenix 6.44 this is weird isn't it so that's 440 meters that can't possibly be right but it's the same foot pod so look there we are that that's the stride foot pod stride that shows you that it's connected via Bluetooth and it says the status is connected and if we click here speed always distance always calibration factor 100 yet that watch is giving me 0.44 for distance whereas the Phoenix 6 has given me 401 meters and I am running around the outside edge of the track so a little bit further in and it's going to give me 400 isn't it on a hundred calibration so no no extra calibration on on the watch at all I am I'm a bit flummoxed now as to how how that is right perhaps what I'll do is I will connect this watch via amp plus so I'll connect the Garmin 245 via amp plus and connect the Phoenix via Bluetooth and see if that makes a difference let's do that right we're off four kilometers round the track and we'll see what we get at the end okay I couldn't resist it I've just stopped at the line on the first lap round the Garmin Phoenix 6 has measured 407 meters whereas the 245 has measured bang on 400 meters so interesting okay I've stopped at the end of the second lap I have on my Phoenix 6 823 meters 824 how is it adding 20 what so okay I stopped and it said right hang on this is ridiculous it's just adding numbers as we go 826 meters now it's just added 827 meters Bluetooth is not doing well here is it some things up with Bluetooth 827 meters I stopped and it said 823 and now it's gone up to 828 meters this is the Bluetooth signal this is not and plus and plus look we're on 0.79 meters and I did run I have to say more on the inside of the track so let's now carry on and I'll go I'll move back to more the center of the track now okay ten minutes in we've done 1600 meters but the the Stridefoot pod connected via Bluetooth is saying 1640 meters the Stridefoot pod connected via amp plus is saying 1.59 kilometers so pretty darn good okay let's carry on and we'll do another 200 and then I'll swap them over again I think right so I've done two kilometers and I've now swapped them around again so the Phoenix 6 is connected via amp plus and the Garmin 245 is connected via Bluetooth and we'll see if we get a difference so the Phoenix 6 recorded 2046 meters for that two kilometer run the Garmin 245 recorded 1.99 kilometers so pretty bang on okay finished oh dear this is hilarious okay look so the Phoenix 6 connected by amp plus has measured time of 1029 for two kilometers 1,998 meters uncalibrated and over on the other watch this is two kilometers connected via Bluetooth to the same foot pod 2.02 kilometers same foot pod just transferring the data via Bluetooth or via amp plus that's the only difference and different watches so that's it from film my run here on the track at Worthing we've tested the Stridewind foot pod uncalibrated on the Garmin Phoenix 6 and the Garmin 245 connected via amp plus and via Bluetooth we've had different results on both watches interestingly enough from the same foot pod but what are you gonna do go figure and the thing is about this kind of stuff you know you are never gonna know the exact distance you've run if you're in a race on a track you're gonna be weaving around people you might have to move quite far out into lane three to get past people at the end of the day the result for your race is gonna say 400 meters or 800 meters or 1500 meters whatever it is but the actual distance that you've run might be completely different it doesn't matter according to the official race results and according to your PB you've run 400 meters around the track regardless so there we are queued off really to the stride foot pod even though even though we've got some odd results in general you know it looks like the stride foot pod on this 400 meter track has performed very well indeed there we go take care thanks for watching see you for another epic film my run adventure not that this has been particularly epic but there we are next time bye bye


Hello everybody welcome back to esoteric Atlanta, of course, my name is Bryce and we are on Day seven of our 30 day shadow work challenge now just to note This week just for this week There will be no Hathor material or return of the divine Sophia material just because of the challenge going on I am also finalizing all of my course material for our yoga Intensive that is coming up on November 20th We saw one spot left for that. So if you want to take that spot, I'll put a link down in the description box below So you can look at that. I also know that some people have emailed me to jump into the challenge right now I'll be sending you the challenge a little bit later today It's hard for me on Sundays to check my email because I'm out of the house most Sundays I'm I teach outside of the household Sundays. So You should be getting that challenge from me today To join the challenge where we are and we are having so much fun guys over on our signal group I'll put a link to that in the description box below if you want to join the signal support group a lot of people in there helping each other through this and really working hard to Work on their own shadow. So let's go ahead and talk about let me see here. I got to pull up The challenge itself. So let's go ahead and look at what we're up to today and tomorrow So for today Monday November 7th, you had to do Marnie Alton's uh bar again The the the original exercise you started with so I'm curious If you notice any differences like was a little bit easier Are you starting to see your body change? There's a magic with exercise and yoga We called the mysore magic where? Something you thought was impossible. All the sudden starts to become possible Is that are you starting to experience that you had the option to add in? Sponga nurses 20 minute begin our yoga if you wanted to Then of course you had the five minute cold shower and meditation which we spoke about yesterday So I will link that video down in the description box below if you missed that and of course today You're starting a new task which is food journaling.  I don't care if it's an apple whatever you ate I want you to write it down. You're the only person looking at this It's a nobody's watching you nobody's judging you This is just an experiment to see for you to start to see how your body is actually responding to food The programmers the controllers have had us believe one thing for a very long time about health and food And it's simply not true because everybody is going to respond to food differently Every human body carries different dispositions and we need to match that with the food I'm looking to do a longer round table or a bigger round table with a bunch of other people to talk about this Phenomenon of body energy and food that should be coming up in the future All right, your journals were how do you feel a week after the challenge? You've been doing this for a week. Are you starting to feel burnout? Are you getting tired? Are you feeling excited? Do your clothes fit differently? Are you just noticing muscle toning? Is the exercise getting easier is going to bed getting easier earlier? How is your overall feeling and mood progressing through this? What new emotions are coming up for you? How did you like the all meditation? Was it different from the sound bowl healing? Okay And then tomorrow tomorrow November 8th, we start kickboxing Now I really like this lady this trainer that I'm using For kickboxing. She's a lot of different kickboxing stuff on our channel Which you can see for yourself when you do it tomorrow. However However, if you're at the place right now with maybe you're still very much overweight Or there's some stuff going on and the kickboxing is not going to work for you physically now Then please go back to the bar Okay, and just let your body adapt before doing the kickboxing now with the kickboxing You do have the option to add in again our stronger nurses 20 minute beginner yoga This I added in because she doesn't do much stretching and stretching is super super super important to flush everything So that's why I added that in Um, and don't if you can't do the kickboxing yet Don't worry about it your body is constantly changing And so allow the changes to occur before you add in something that's not good for you in the moment Remember nature is always changing and so if it's not good for you right now Who cares go back to the bar and then periodically look back at the kickboxing and see how you're feeling All right, then you will again take a your shower last five minutes make it cold I somebody in the group said they did 10 minutes of a cold shower, which is amazing Um, I'm hearing a lot of people getting used to the cold showers actually liking the cold showers I love my cold showers in the morning. They really helped me I wish I could have taken a longer one this morning because I'm feeling quite congested this morning, but um But anyway tomorrow tomorrow, I'll take a longer cold shower All right, so you're going to do the all meditation again today for a second time and then tomorrow sorry We're talking about tomorrow and then you're going to have your food journal again. All right So when you do the kickboxing tomorrow I'm really curious to see what happens So if you hear noises outside, they are doing yard work. So I apologize if you can hear those noises So how did you like the kickboxing? Did you feel any anger come out? Did you feel any release with these particular moves that are different with the bar and the yoga? If kickboxing was too much for you, were you okay with going back to the bar?  I have to go back to the bar Was there an ego flare up? If so just acknowledge it Journal it and then move on Remember that using exercise for shadow work is using exercise in a different way. Did you do for sports or perform performance? Sorry, they're really loud outside How is how is using exercise is a modality to trigger the emotional body new for you or different for you So is this a new concept using your body to create friction to show you where your wounds are Is this new for you? It's the new way of looking at exercise versus maybe how you were trained in the matrix system through sports or through weight loss Sorry guys, I was just getting my my temperature checked Um, okay. So are you seeing exercise in a different way? Are you starting to see your body as an information highway of all of your personal coordinates of friction?  Means that there is no competition So competition if so is this liberating Are you experiencing soreness still or is it a new soreness? Are you opting to add in the 20 minute yoga with the required? um I think that's type of there guys. I'm at the required exercise or are you opting just to add in? The required exercise Why did you pick to do or not do the extra 20 minutes? There are no wrong answers only true answers How is day two of the all meditation affecting you list five things that you like about yourself with five things? You're great for for today reflect on all three on the three new things you learned about yourself over the past week So again, this is for tomorrow. Um the kickboxing All right, and then you're gonna look three people in the eyes and smile at them Turn off all electronics one hour before bed. You know this So anyway, same same as normal for the closing out of tomorrow now Again, let's talk about the kickboxing one more time So I just want to reiterate that a lot of people do have anger issues and kickboxing is a great modality to channel anger issues What are anger issues? Well anger issues are really just a lot of hurt and a lot of pain Coming up in someone frustrated with their own hurt and their own pain The hurt and pain that people experience doesn't always come out as anger issues for every person So for me when I am hurt like deeply hurt, which Obviously, we all have a lot of hurt. We have to work through so when I'm deeply hurt. I Take it out in different ways. So like when I'm deeply hurt. I'm more of a self sabotager I'll do things more to myself Right that then do onto other people But people other people will channel that differently and a lot that does come from your how you're raised Your disposition so if you're predominantly pitta, then you might have a lot of fire Which will lead to you channeling hurt With with what we call anger issues if that makes sense. So my second dosha is pitta, but it doesn't feed into my anger Okay, I hope that makes sense. Like when I get really angry I just cry and then I self sabotage like I don't do I don't project that out onto other people when I'm really really angry So so I want you guys to be aware of that.  Do you have anger issues? Do you feel the need to punch something every now and again? And if so then the kickboxing is going to be really really really good for you before I let you go Actually, let's go ahead and look at the kickboxing for tomorrow's For tomorrow's exercise. Sorry guys. I'm a little bit out of it today. I apologize Um, let me see here. Where is she? Here she is. So I'm going to pause this quickly because I got to turn these sound off So I don't get hit for the copyright Um, we love our fellow content creators on youtube I really want all these people who have these exercise channels to continue to be prosperous. So I don't mind um Them having commercials like this or any type of like Advertisements and obviously I understand I respect the the copyright thing. So I have the music off right now She actually has really good music though. So you're gonna see I really enjoy I've done this video from time to time. I actually really enjoy her and her choreography in her movement. Is it that? complicated So it's pretty easy choreography to follow She does a lot of kicking and she um, you see all sorts of ladies of different sizes in here working It's no equipment. So you don't have to worry about the equipment Now you can opt to do this with shoes or without shoes now I opt to always do exercise without shoes because it helps The kinetic chain of your body So the more that you crack your feet the more that you're able to get your feet to work as they're supposed to work without shoes It's going to kinetically be a dominant effect of your body But with that being said if you are more comfortable wearing the tennis shoes for this workout Then why are your tennis shoes or your sneakers as the northerners call it? Are your trainers as our English friends call it? So totally totally totally up to you and where you are Okay, and so this is only 45 minutes. It pretty much starts in the very very beginning But like I said, she doesn't incorporate that much stretching So if you do feel like you need that good stretch, then I would incorporate 20 minutes the Astana nurses 20 minutes of beginner yoga just to make sure you get kind of the blood flowing, right? So that's it guys again this this trainer right here She has a full channel full of all sorts of different Workouts and there is going to come a time in the next coming weeks We are going to get to pick your workout And so I wanted to show you her channel in case you really Resonate with her and you want to do more stuff with her later on again That's another reason why in this shadow work channel I've our challenge I've picked a bunch of different exercises and so that you have the opportunity to experience different things So that you have more knowledge when you proceed forward after this channel how to continue working on yourself What is working for you? What is not working for you? And so you you know knowledge is power knowledge protects the more you know The more you can plan accordingly to do the work at hand. All right you guys I hope you're having a wonderful day again any questions you have just let me know down in the comment section below I'll talk to y'all soon. Bye


Hey guys, what is up? Welcome to my channel for today's video. I am going to be going over my top five favorite gift sets. These are ones that I truly believe are some of the best values, some of the best products, as well as somebody who owns the amount of makeup that I do. I would still be super happy to receive these gift sets. They're great for yourself. They're great for somebody else. And I just can't imagine anybody who loves beauty not enjoy receiving sets like these. So in my opinion, these are kind of the best of the best of all the sets that you can find at Sephora. I did choose from Sephora because I truly believe they have some of the best sets. So if you want to see what they are, then just keep watching. Before we get into the video, I just want to thank today's sponsor for today's video. That is going to be Lily Silk. I have partnered with Lily Silk before and I'm doing it again because I love their stuff. If you've never heard of them before, they provide basically any type of silk product imaginable. They are an affordable investment in any type of silk product, you can imagine. Blouses, pajamas, pillowcases, scrunchies, hair caps, shirts, blouses, tank tops, pajamas, pillowcases, so many things. Lots more than that. And all of those items are also going to come in wide ranges of both sizes and colors. Like seriously, lots of color options. It's hard to choose. Lily Silk was my introduction into silk. So they really are like the most professional silk brands that I've ever known. And I feel like they keep things at an affordable price for silk, you know what I mean? So some things about the brand, they are zero waste. So the fabric remains are actually used to make items such as like silk eye masks, silk scrunchies, things like that. And they also work with TerraCycle, which is a world-known recycling company committed to zero waste production. They also are environmentally conscious. Their silk is sourced from mulberry trees, which actually requires less water than cotton to grow. And they produce their items made from natural fibers instead of synthetic. They only use 100% natural premium materials. They use things like mulberry silk, Mongolian cashmere, and they go to great lengths to keep their products clean and toxic-free. And they themselves are so proud of their natural gold silk collection and unique 100% charmeuse silk range with elasticity, which is a game-changer in the silk industry. So I did wanna show you some newer products that I've got to try out first starting off with this gorgeous silk blouse that I'm wearing. I love the gold detailing. Again, this comes in so many colors. And right now I have it tucked into my jeans. I have ripped jeans to kind of make it more casual. How beautiful is this champagne color? And it fits really, really well. I also have just one of their silk white button-up blouses. This one doesn't have the chain, but this is so versatile. You can pair it with denim jackets, cardigans, layer it under sweaters. It is so versatile and so pretty. And the great thing about silk is it kind of helps regulate your body heat.  Also talking about in my last collaboration with the L'Aisile, how much I loved their bra. It was the most comfortable bra. They actually also now have t-shirts silk bra, which is really great to wear under t-shirts. Again, it's super comfortable. It feels like nothing. This one does have an underwire, but it really is truly comfortable. And then the last product that I've been loving is the silk cap. Now, if you don't know, my natural hair texture is very frizzy and curly. And this helps keep the frizz out of my hair because instead of it getting rubbed against, like cotton or something, silk actually reduces frizz. So I've really been enjoying this one and I have it in this beautiful watercolor. And it really has helped my curly hair be able to be worn for more than one day. You know how if you have curly hair, the first day curls are good, but then the second and third aren't so good. This has really helped the longevity of my curls without having to re-style them. With that being said, if you are interested in shopping lily silk, I will have all the links down below to all of the products that I featured today, as well as just to generally shop. And then make sure you use code morgan15 at checkout. That will save you an extra 15%, which is a really great deal. And yeah, I mean, I love working with them because I love their products. I'm gonna be wearing these boxes for a long time now because I just think they are so gorgeous. And thank you again, lily silk, for sponsoring today's video. Let's get into it. All right, so let's get into the first set, which is one of my favorites. This is one that I've done a full blown review on. I absolutely love it. I purchase these every year. Even despite the size of my collection, I still purchase these. I love this lip gloss formula. So this is the Fenty Beauty Glossy Posse Fantasy For Some Four Piece Gloss Bomb Set. In this particular set, there is a new formula that there aren't any existing colors of. And it also comes with a full size lip gloss, which is amazing. So we have the full size lip gloss and a cream. And then you have it at three travel sizes that are going to be the fantasy formula, which is like an extra shimmery kind of metallic formulation. I love this set. I know there are a small number of you who do not like the Fenty glosses, but I would say the large majority of the makeup-loving population do love this lip gloss set. And the reason why I like it is because I enjoy just throwing these lip glosses into my purse to touch up with. And I feel like I could not have too many because they're all dispersed throughout my purse. They're extra, extra glossy. It's a nice thick formula that isn't too sticky. And the formula isn't too pigmented. So it's going to go over a lot of your lip colors, no matter what you're wearing. And I love how this set in particular this year does have a full size as well. And it's kind of that basic mauve pink color, which is extremely worn very often. I just think this is an exciting set to get. It's $38, which is not a bad deal. And I especially think it's going to be great for teens or maybe college age students. I really think that they would appreciate this kind of set. And I mean, everything from the value to the quality should just even originality because these are new shades. And if they're not a new shade, they're in a new formula this time around. I just feel like you can't go wrong with this set. And it's one of my most used holiday sets every year. So I had to put this one in. Okay, so the next one is one that I actually have for myself. And I know this is a good one because I have a large collection of makeup.  So Sephora, like I said, they do have the best gift sets in my opinions. Especially when they come out with their Sephora Favorites set. So this is the Sephora Favorites Beauty Must Have set. So this is $54. And they do say it has a $166 value. Amazing. I cannot get over the items that are in this one. This is probably my favorite Sephora holiday set to ever come out.  Who doesn't love a beauty blender? This is $20 to begin with. So this is already, not quite, but almost half the price of this entire set. And you get so much more. So right there, this is a winner right here with the beauty blender. You also get a full-size Fenty mascara. Again, mascaras don't last the longest, so it's great to get a new mascara. And a full-size Kosas Wet Lip Gloss. I've personally never tried this formula before, but I've heard nothing but great things about this. So three full-size items. Now let's get into the smaller size. So you get a grande lash-enhancing serum. This is amazing. I will take any good deal on a lash serum I can get because it can be pricey. Even though this is small, this will make a big difference in your routine. I fear that if you pick this up, you're then going to become a lash serum fan. So I'm so happy that they have this in here. This is currently the last serum that my mom uses. So she's really excited to get her hands on a little free set right here. There also is a deluxe size of the Milk Makeup Hydro Grip Primer. Personally, this is not my favorite, but it certainly does the job. It just makes my skin break out, but it's a very popular primer. So many people love it. It's kind of grippy, so it makes your makeup last longer, especially when it comes to masks. So if you like this primer, this is great. This is exciting for me. There is a Natasha Denona Baby Beba in here. Now I do have the shades that are in here already, but I think it's so cute that we get this little curated trio in here. If you aren't familiar with Natasha Denona, they are a very pricey brand, but they truly do have some of the best eyeshadow quality on the market. So it's amazing that you're going to get a little trio here and that you get to experience a Natasha Denona eyeshadow. This itself is $20. You can't beat this $54 price. You also get a NARS Laguna Bronzer. If you've never heard of this before, where have you been? This is one of the most popular bronzers for the past many, many years, okay? It's been a cult classic. For many years, you can't go wrong with this bronzer. It's not too warm. It's not too neutral. You also get a deluxe size of the Benefit 24 hour brow setter. This is again, one of my favorite brow setters. I love the bristles on there. It really does separate the eyebrows and it does make the brows stay in place all day. Another product that lasts a long time and you can't go wrong with. You get a Way Leave-In Conditioner. This is great for travel and it really does hydrate and add moisture to the hair. Leave-In Conditioner is something that you should consider incorporating into your hair routine no matter what hair type that you have. So this is a great way to try a really fantastic hair brand. And then finally, this is the only item that I was like, ugh, about. But you do have this from Dr. Jart. It's a color corrector. Really not sure how this works. I do need to do some more research on this but I truly cannot believe what a good deal is. This is, you are getting amazing products. Literally the best-selling products on the market for a phenomenal price. So I highly recommend this one. This is probably my favorite set in this entire video. Okay, the next set that I have, I couldn't find this online. I believe they sold out. But you might be able to get lucky at your local Sephora. They had this at my local Sephora when I picked it up and I'm very jealous because I actually am giving this away as a gift but I'm really excited for the lucky person that ends up with this. So particularly what I have in my hand and I would go for this if you can find it. The Velospa 12-day advance calendar. This is exclusively for Sephora. So you're only gonna find it there and you have 12 mini candles and Velospa is one of my favorite, if not my all-time favorite, candle brands. Whenever I treat myself to a candle brand it's either Velospa or Nest. Those are my top two favorite ones but there's something about the scent of Velospa. I love the fragrances that they come out with. So this is just all around incredible and you get 12 different scents. I'm trying to see what scents are in here. I don't even know.  So if you can't find this, they do have a set which again is at a stock so you're gonna have to keep an eye out. It's called a Japonica and I probably mispronounced that candle collection set which again comes with 12 candles. It looks as though it's very similar to what this 12-day advent calendar is. If you just look at Velospa candles on the Sephora website they have a ton of different sets. It doesn't need to be this advent calendar though there is something extra fun and festive about this one so if you can find it definitely run and pick it up because they sold out so quickly. My local Sephora, the person who worked there was like, oh you're lucky those sold out so quickly and they're amazing and they are. And Velospa has a lot of other candle sets on the Sephora website. They have some trios and then they also have some like four mini candle sets that come in really pretty boxes. So not only is the candle quality really great and the sense are great but they're also very pretty for home decor. So even if you can't get the set that I recommend of Velospa candle you cannot go wrong with it, okay? So I recommend these sets every year and I normally buy them for a person every year. So they are the another Sephora favorite sets but they are the Perfume Sampler sets. So there's a few this year they have a Deluxe Sample Kit and they have a smaller one for $25 depending on the type of person that you're buying for your relationship, your budget. They have clean perfume set, fresh set. So there's lots of different options but if you're just looking for a generally good set they have this one right here. This is $75 but what is great about these?   But the best thing is there actually is like a gift card in there that you can pick your favorite perfume in this set and you can get a full size of that perfume bottle for kind of free. And what I mean by that is you buy the set for $75 and you just get the samples, you pick your favorite and then you get the full size of the perfume. I just think it's a fabulous value because perfumes are so expensive and this is a way where if you do not know what a person's kind of scent preferences are this is a way where you don't have to guess. They can do the work for you, I'm picking up. And this one is random that I'm looking at but it comes with a mini Pat McGrath Labs Dark Star mascara. That's kind of funny, but anyways you get a voucher for a free full size fragrance that's in the set. And I just think that this is absolutely one of the best sets. I'm so tempted to buy one for myself because you guys are so into fragrance and I don't know too much about fragrance. I kind of have my staple scents that I use and I just want to get these so I can smell more of the scents that you guys are talking about. But anyways, lots of options for these to choose from but you need one of these as a gift. I think they're incredible. So this is the last set that I have to talk about with you guys, I don't know, I would love this. So what it is, it's by Dr. Darts and it's 10 mask must haves. So this is $67, it's not the cheapest but you get some really high quality face masks and I'll be, let me be honest. I've never tried these masks, they look so interesting especially like the rubber masks and for me, I think it would be exciting to try this out. And what's really great, again, you may not know somebody's skin type but these are 10 masks that all target 10 different things that might, you know, need done. We have brightening, wrinkle, firming, soothing, hydration, lots of options. And even though it's $67, if this isn't just one person, you could also break it up and keep some for yourself, put some in people's stockings, tape it onto their present. I don't know, I just think these are high quality masks and who doesn't love a good face mask, you know? And you have those really cool rubber masks that I'm very attracted to. I don't know, this set really excited me. I personally would love to receive this. I think it is awesome. Face masks is something that personally I don't like to spend my own money on but if I can get a face mask as a sample, I get really excited or in like a buxy charm or ipsy kind of situation. So this again, really fabulous. I don't know who wouldn't like it, you know what I mean? But anyways, those are my top five gift sets at Sephora that I think any beauty lover would absolutely enjoy. They're kind of like, you can't mess up with these. Guys, they make the best gifts whether for somebody else or for yourself, you know? So that's all I have for today's video. I hope you guys enjoyed it. Again, a huge thank you to Lily Silk for sponsoring a portion of today's video. If you're interested in shopping anything, especially the super cute shirt that I'm wearing, it will be linked down below for you guys and I will see you guys in the next one. Have a good one.


Eight secret steps to create high converting CTA buttons. This is video two of two. Now video one, the link for that will be down in the description. If you haven't watched it, I highly recommend you doing it because in that video I go into detail about CTA buttons. I describe them, I show you how to create them, all that good stuff. In this video, we're gonna do steps five through eight and we're gonna continue on with our training. If you haven't subscribed so far, please do so, hit that subscribe button down there. Don't forget, ring the bell, turn on all bell notifications so you're notified each and every single time I go live. Okay, let's get back into this. The most effective CTA buttons are gonna be tied to the last action that the person did. Now this may include placing your button in the next step of the progression. So maybe they go through a whole chunk of text and as they get through all of that text, there's a button for them to continue on. It only makes sense to the brain. Let's take a look at an example and put it on the screen right now. So as you create your CTAs, remember, you wanna tailor the placement on your site and how the users are gonna move through it. Keeping the user behavior and flow in mind when determining how to place your CTAs will maximize the chances that they fall directly in line with your visitor's browsing habits. So as a result, you're gonna make it even easier for the visitors to take action and click on your buttons, that's what you want. Our number six tip is don't make your CTA buttons compete with other things on the page. If you do that, the eye is gonna look at these other items. You wanna make sure that it is the most prominent thing on the page. Now I wanna show you an example of just a second on Shopify, which I think is phenomenal, but they have really grown that company and one of the reasons they've grown that company so much is they have so many options. They make it so easy for people and they do great CTA buttons. There's no competition. When you do a CTA button, make sure there's a lot of space between that button and everything else on the page so that it's not so close to all this other information. That may confuse the mind. So let's take a look at Shopify's real quick. Now here is Shopify's page right here and it says get three months of premium for 99 cents. Look at the button, look at the button right there. And once again, the color didn't matter, did it? Because this is a white button here. It's that giant go premium button though. Nothing else on the page commands nearly as much of attention as that button does. As a matter of fact, there really isn't that many other things on the page that somebody could do, but click on the button. So the same is true for this next page, I wanna show you right here. The hot pink CTA at the bottom of the page has plenty of white space and the page is designed to draw attention to it naturally. The only other element that stands out quite as much is the other hot pink button on the page. And that button directs the users to take the same action. So they've got two spots you could do it. Now let's take a look at a service based company landing page. This particular one here is which button would you click? Which one would you click? Well, this may depend on your level of interest in the company. However, if you're part of their target audience, I think it's gonna be pretty easy to figure it out. The other one on there is self-defeating double CTA. Why would you even put a self-defeating double CTA on there? It's the same thing, both of these buttons go to the same place, so why would you do that to yourself? You don't wanna give them a choice like that. You don't wanna confuse them because when they have choices they may say, well, you know, right now I'm not quite sure what I wanna do, so I'm gonna hold off. That's not what you want in their head. Keeping with the same example, you wanna link to maybe case studies that could be more effective down the road, that type of thing, but don't make a competing button. I can't believe they even did that. That just makes no sense to me. I don't understand why you would have a competing button on there, but some sites do that. They think that if they have two different calls to action that they'll get more opt-ins, but in fact they're gonna get less if you have a different call to action as opposed to the other call to action and they're basically leading you to the same spot. Number seven is use first person language. People wanna know that you're talking directly to them. That's what they're looking for in the ad copy. That's what they're looking for in your blogs, your videos, your call to action buttons. They wanna know that you're talking to them. And I wanna give you an example of that and how we can change a button to make it even better. So you don't wanna talk at them, you wanna talk to them. Let me put a graphic up on the screen and I'll show you exactly what I mean. Now check this out. The result is gonna cause a transformation like this. So the result is more enticing on our better one. Why? Because it's already personalized ownership of the user. The first one just says, view your dashboard. But if it says, view my dashboard, that's even better. That one little word change right there. Another conversion killer you should look out for is we according to word stream. That's a really, really bad one. When you use the word we, you take the focus of your message off the solution that you're presenting. When you use the word we, you may be thinking that you're creating this community, this group of people, but people wanna be talked to one on one. When you say my dashboard or my website or my course or my training, that is gonna speak to them on their level and that's exactly what you wanna do. Now we're down to number eight. And number eight's very important. You wanna be super, super, super, super, super specific. We want specificity. If you do that, you're gonna get better results. Now I'm gonna show you an example where the company said deals and then they changed it to more specific things and it says 104 deals. So let's take a look at that right now and look at the differences. The first button says deals. The second button stated a specific number of deals such as this example that says 104 deals. See that up there at the top? Okay, cool. Guess which one performed better? The second version gave them a dramatic increase in clicks for their deals pages all because they made it even more interesting. By generating curiosity with a specific offer, they increased conversions and discovered a new tactic for future use. You need to A-B test this stuff and the only way to A-B test this stuff is to really have good software. The software I'm gonna recommend to you is Cartra, K-A-R-T-R-A. Do not go directly to their page. Use my affiliate link below. My affiliate link, when you click it, is gonna allow you to watch a video. And on that video, it's gonna go through everything Cartra does but one of the big things it does is it does A-B split testing. It can be done in emails. It can be done on sales pages. It can be done on pricing. All kinds of stuff. But here's the cool thing. It does it automatically. You don't have to do a thing. All you have to do is set up the comparison. And not only that, if you want it to make the decision for you based on how many clicks it got or how many opt-ins it got or how many purchases it got, it will even do that for you too. You don't even have to think about it. So you gotta check out Cartra. Go down in the description. Look for the link. You don't have to opt in. You don't have to give them your email. You don't have to give them your credit card. Just click the button and watch the video. If you like what you see, and I know you will, okay? You can actually get a trial of Cartra for only one single dollar. So you're gonna wanna check that out.  It'll make this a whole lot easier. Now I wanna finish this off with, you need to test, you need to test. Now I've had people say, well JR, I've got a page that's converting now and it's already making me money. I don't need to test. You always need to test. And here's why you always need to test because there may be a better page. There may be a better page. There may not be on your second test or your third test, but maybe your fifth test, you do find a better one. So it's important that you constantly test. And when you test, only change one element. Don't take a page and change the headline and the button. If you do that, you don't know if it was the headline or the button that got you the better results. So it's important that you only test one element at a time. If you have a page that's converting and it's working, make sure that you only test one element. Maybe you only wanna change the headline. Maybe you only wanna change the button. But don't change both. Don't do any other changes on the page but that one single element. If you do this and you continually test, your pages will get better and better. Your call to actions will get better and better. And you're gonna get better results and you're gonna make more money. And that's why you're on this channel and that's why you're watching this video right now. Now, the other things you need to do is you gotta click that like button down there. That's super important. That like button means so much to me. And if you got value, why not pay me back with a like? I don't charge you anything for these videos. Just give me a like and don't forget to subscribe because you're gonna want more of this. You're gonna want more training.  There's a lot of stuff to learn and I'm teaching you for free. At the time of this recording, I've got over 1,100 videos on YouTube on this channel. 1,100 and they're all absolutely free. So you need to check that out. Don't forget to subscribe, hit that button down there. If it's red, click it, turn it gray. And when it turns gray, you're gonna see a bell. You're gonna have another opportunity to ring the bell and turn on all notifications so you're notified each and every single time I go live. Hey, I really appreciate you watching my videos. I really do and I wanna help you out. 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