The following is a presentation of TFNN, the Tiger Technician Hour with your host, Hazel Chapman. Call now. Call free at 1-877-927-6648. 1,000 Chapman on this Thursday, the 9th of June, we're already moving quickly into June, down 45 and 32,864. A week ago, I said, I'm anticipating, and I drew this in, an oval pattern, Chapman Wave Stalk Lake Formation, possibility. It's not a rectangle, it is decisively an oval, where it runs up to a high, and it runs down to a low, and after that it makes narrowing highs and lows. So it's only an oval, it cannot be a rectangle, that's a completely different pattern with a Chapman Wave methodology structure, a different one. So let me just do this, right here. Within the context of this particular pattern, there isn't really a duration for the oval pattern, called the Chapman Wave Stalk Lake Formation, so there's usually a lot of movement up that makes the first big leg, it's got nothing to do with Chapman Wave Peak, APB, C, etc., it just is a big move up, and then the price of whatever you're following starts to go sideways, and that sideways pattern says, no matter what happens, you keep thinking it's going to break to the upside, and it doesn't, then you keep thinking it's going to break to the downside, that's the technique, it traps you, it's like a rectangle formation, except in this case, the pattern itself, one that I developed when I was hand charting way back in the 1970s, these are structure that says, at a certain point, in fact, right now, going into tomorrow is just perfect for it either to break down, and that would mean, it doesn't have to close, it just has to break under 32,509, that would take it below, the low that was made six sessions ago, that's negative, and that means you've got now an arch formation, and you can start tumbling to the downside, or, and this is really important, it breaks to the upside to start a new leg, in this case above 33,272 in the Dow daily, to start creating the neck, now it's really unusual to go from a peak A to a leg B for the neck, what very often happens is that every, if everything comes together, it has an explosive move that becomes not really a one-to-one and exact measurement, but a breakout that is much bigger than the small neck that comes back in a beak formation, stalks a single leg up, tucks the other leg underneath the body, oval body, then it has the neck, and then the neck at a certain point, maybe it could be anything from slightly higher to even a third higher, comes back and then the beak tests the upper part, in this case 33,272, and how it breaks under that level, and for how long is really important. In this particular instance, if there is, I don't know what good news there could be now, because the jobs number wasn't, the jobs number was still quite low, meaning that the Fed is kind of still stuck at the jobs number, the job list number was higher, that would have said, you know what, maybe the Fed can start loosening in another couple of months, now we don't know, so I don't know what the CPI number is going to be, whatever it is, it might be a momentary spike, this could be the momentary spike that goes to 33,273 or higher, and then by Monday, Tuesday comes back and the big test is how does the beak act inside, because if it closes under 32,509 at any point, either immediately or after the spike up, that is really negative, so as it stands right now, the MACD is strong, the stochastic is flat at 89%, nothing here is negative except for one little thing, yes the nine period is over the 14, but you've taken, since the high that was made on the 20, was that the 30th or something, on the 1st of June at 32,272, it hasn't been able to break above, that is a negative, because price, with the technical strong, price has to move, price is not moving, and that makes me nervous, so what I've seen to subscribe to an opening call, we're still long, we're long for way down, way down, we are way down at about the last one was at about 31,480, yeah we are at 32,785, we've taken some profits, got two newest positions in the nearer term, just not messing around, and we actually, even though we've been quite bullish overall from the low that was made, we have very few positions, we've had a very big cash position, I'm ready to put that cash to work in very selective areas, and this particular sorting out over the last week where a lot of people said, oh this is just terrible, we're going down, we're going to crash, and a lot of people said, oh no, no, no, we could go higher, you're stuck in the middle, and that just confuses everybody, we've been anticipating it, so what we've done is we've traded a three times long index, and intraday traded it, taken money off and then set back, taken money off, set back, maybe taken a little last, but mostly had profits, and all I'm doing is that, and the reason is, look at this, I mentioned to subscribers yesterday, the SLX, which is the steel ETF, with all the steel companies had done fantastically, gone from 54 up to 65, 11 points, I mean it's nearly 20%, but wait a minute, it went to a leg E, and yesterday it pulled back sharply, and today it's down again, and yesterday it is a 60.88 off there, meaning it's 65, it's 9% down in two days, three days, so even when you're finding something, for instance, I've spoken about IBM, IBM has done so well, it's a leader in fact, in the machine technology, information technology, IA, this is the artificial intelligence, cloud enterprise software, look at this, it's really turned the corner, but it hasn't been able to break out yet, here it is at 140, it has gone from the 125 level back in late May, all the way to 145, I mean that's 20 points, that's fabulous for a big company like IBM, and now it's stalling, but it's only stalling, it's not failing, it's just stalling, CRM, this is salesforce.com, I've lumped the two together because they're kind of in a little bit in the same area, because IBM's changed its stripes, and I showed that they made a triple top, A peak A, and then peak B fractionally higher, then peak C yesterday was fractionally higher, and today it's having a nice move up to 255, I like this action, I did want to go long, but I decided that there's a lot going on, and I needed to be more flexible in the sense that, yes, we might add it to the list, but it is already in late C, I needed to see what happened today, and so far today is quite good action, and it's broken the down channel, the higher 311.25 back in November of 2020, that was the all-time out with the little doji candle plummets down to the low of 154, I would say cutting off is a serious thing, and now it's up beautifully, I'm 154 to 190, 140 points, I mean, what is that? Yeah, 40 points for 154, that's 30 something percent, just boom, like that, so yes, it's good, but it's not great, but it's very good near-term action, so I just wanted to, I'm just showing you, I'm pointing out aspects that are really important at this particular moment, and you can look at the unbalanced volume as a tad overboard, now remember, I use unbalanced volume, Tom O'Brien uses volume, pure volume, he looks at the, where the price was at a certain volume, where it is now, tomorrow, today's the last day to sign up, he is only taking a limited number of people, I would recommend if you are really interested in knowing Tom's technique backwards and forwards, this is a perfect time to jump right in, sign up for Tom's, and you get your book, you get a whole bunch of things, it's worth it. 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Yeah so a couple of questions just popped right in, in your chart that you're showing of Salesforce, Salesforce.com, can you comment on this PKPPC and that big cup formation that you've got? Yeah so what I like to do is there's a technique that I've developed over the years, I try to find the plumb line that is where the number of bars on the left are showing that if there is a turnaround you could get an equal number of bars to the right either going back towards the top of the cup formation or in the bottom of the arch formation but sometimes the visual is not, it doesn't work, it just, I'm very visual, I was a once a graphic artist, this is, I'm just visual. So yes there's a mathematical part of it but I love the visuals but so what I do is if I could make a midpoint and I see that the the rallying that's occurring looks to me like there could be an equal number of bars then I consider that the plumb line, this isn't the plumb line, the low of the trough of May, I had to move it and I moved it to right there, I moved it to this bar. Now I have a particular candle in my workshops and my webinars that I give and in the webinars that are online for those of you who are part of my service, my opening call service, you'll see that I've got a lot of webinars based on the plumb line itself but if I can't get the midpoint then I'll go to the very next thing which is a particular candle. From that candle what I do is I like to draw from the left side to the right a chaplain with inside wedge target resistance line. In this particular case if I took it from the line that I wanted which was this low of the 9th of May and I drew it vertically, sorry horizontally, I would get something much lower down so maybe that worked earlier on I took it away I just don't remember anymore but what I did choose because the left side the place that I'm going to is the high of the 20th of April at 19330 but I also like to bump right up against the previous major down thrust so I go all the way to this candle right here on the 14th. Now what I'm looking at is I take that distance and I go to the plumb line of the choice that I made in this case I've chosen this particular candle right here on the 16th. I go to the right and it says that by the 15th of June salesforce.com should be testing the high of the 20th of April which is 19330. High today is 19222 so it's got another couple of days to go into next week to be able to test that level that'll just be one point and it's not it's a cup formation but it's really only a cup formation in that I chose the left side high the the real one should have been first of all that high that was made in the 20th and then going all the way to the 12th which is a high of 190 of 201.12 but I like to do this all very conservatively and that's the way it works. Now the next thing that's important is that yes for the first time there's a there's a chance that by tomorrow we don't know we could close above the 14 black 14 period exponential moving average for the very first time since we broke down the week of the 3rd of December up in the 289 area I mean 290s so this will be the first time and you're getting the MACD for the very first time we've still got another whole day and a half to go before the Friday afternoon four o'clock close on the weekly chart but the histogram is turning positive in other words we've crossed positive in the MACD at this point it's up 0.94 but the the week is young we've still got to go until four o'clock tomorrow sarcastic went under 20% went under 12 I think it actually went to 9% it went to 7% so at this point it's at 24% so there are some things here that are starting to to work but if you look at this monthly chart as in one foul move it's gone from a trough A huge trough A in the 180s from the 311 all-time high and then a bounce to the upside didn't even make a peak A and then plummeted down again so it's gone to a leg B in basically one big swoop to the downside of the monthly chart so this is just an attempt at a rally I'm using this just as an example because a question came up all right that's that so next thing so all I'm saying is this is a leg C it should go to a D we're in a buy mode but it look how it's struggled to go to each higher peak well the day is young but so far so I'm saying if anyone's interested in this yeah you could just know well you could start your position here but the biggest position should come maybe wait for D and then see where it pulls back but I'm just suggesting to you that that gap it might take a little while to full but at some point there should be an attempt to get back under 174 and it's at 191 right now so so far this is nice action and it's good action that's the reason why I'm saying there are certain areas that I want you try to get into and for subscribers and then I want to pull the position saying that there's a chance that some stocks might have seen a pretty major low even though we're going back towards that level to test it later on but that's the way I'm looking at I'm not sure this is one in that category but I'm saying these are the stocks I'm looking at all right enough with that and the question came in about Exxon Exxon yeah oh very nice the good statement there Pat says the Dow which is the world's oldest actively managed index I've got I've tracked it back to 1920 but I've actually written down I've got it on hand-charted paper okay all the way back to the 1890 level I think was 1890 so world's oldest actively managed index kicked out of kicked out Exxon mobile nearly two years ago along with Pfizer and Raytheon technologies you know I've talked about this over and over for decades about the Dow that they always make a move into something that is about at that point about to go uh much higher and then it just sort of disappears and then it comes back later it's I mean it's really hard for the for the board to be going to choose these things correctly but let's have a look there's Exxon down from yesterday's high not all-time high 170 105 oh 105 57 was yesterday's high the all-time high was oh 104.76 yes it broke it was that the all-time high oh look at that yes Suri it was the all-time high look at Raytheon RT of course Raytheon's changed as RTX it used to be um uh Raytheon RTX oh Raytheon used to be oh I used to know so well have a friend who who's a senior engineer there followed it first anyway made a peak e-high but look at that 93 down to 40 back in March of 2020 so yeah uh they changed to choose what was the other one oh Pfizer look at Pfizer and each one of these that I'm showing you now it's just recently been an all-time high so Pfizer hit the major major long-term inside track chappanwave resistance line goes right into it goes slightly above the intermonth makes an all-time high of 80 61.71 of course there's multiple multiple splits and now trading at 53 16 so yeah they tend to do that and in fact they put sales force back in just as maybe they put sales force back in they put it in um as it went up to its high then it went all the way to 311.25 before it punched 50 percent so yeah it's tough to do but I always talk about that you know what can I say now it's done 93 S&P's down 9 I'll be right back if you want to take advantage of this sector now is the time to subscribe to my gold report the gold report is a comprehensive look at the metal sector as well as the markets that move gold which is the currency and bond markets new subscribers get a 30-day money back guarantee so you have nothing to lose every Monday morning I published a gold report with coverage of gold silver bonds the XAU HUI GDX as well as more than 30 different mining equities to see for yourself the types of profitable trades that are recommended within the gold report sign up now by 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reserve your seat today visit the front page of tfnn.com tfnn educating investors this segment is brought to you by think or swim for more information just click the think or swim banner on the front page of tfnn.com we're looking at the one minute chart of the e-many just hit the 200-period breathing average once again i think there's an attempt at least to move higher my suspicion was and i said to subscribers that there's a chance that in the end by the end of the day we actually close a lot narrowly in a fairly narrow range waiting for tomorrow's news uh we are looking at uh leg b uh just begun a b oh it's actually leg c let me just do this summer so many of you asked me could i do some of this live so that you can keep learning about javenway methodology look single leg a up right here from that low that was made at about 10 12 this morning at about 40 90 goes to peak a then it pulls back and underneath it i forgot i i've lost for some reason i've lost the ability to keep the uh letters holding i have to now keep clicking on that so this is another a underneath the previous a this is another a because this is the low bar that started the whole move up and now the next highest peak from this lower a is right yes that becomes a b and then this becomes c and it's testing that look at this how long it's taken over the at the 200-period moving average my suspicion is it wants to break away it wants to get to the 417 area look at this big single leg a and failure mode in the 120 look at the 120 just it did so i i was asked could i please keep a fibonacci i usually put them on and take them off because i do visual things which pretty much does the same thing sometimes as a fibonacci but look look at that beautiful cup formation and uh look at this big spike that goes to peak d and e and it had a same the measurement this this low bar became the doji low bar of 2150 950 uh 950 yesterday on the 8th yeah yesterday um that became the midpoint of a move to the right side which took just an extra three bars to get to that peak d and then popped to e and that was a fibonacci number right there now look what's happened a sharp move down trough a trough b trough c and now this is attempt at a rally so these are all things that um i just parted parcel but the irony of the whole thing is that i can do this look oh i can do this if that wasn't the what i wanted to do that has all the notations written in right before we go on i will look at love for for the den i do believe i have a call i'm going to go right there right now we have a caller oh we have sharky from uh the massachusetts area hi how are you doing good morning basil how are you i'm well thank you yeah i'm doing a little bit better here wow you've had a tough time i know i hope you are doing better yep yep feeling feeling good now it seems like i've got this pneumonia thing under control now so we're we're on the menu so um yeah so this is how i'm kind of and maybe can help me wrap my head around this and stuff so uh listen to a little bit of uh uh justine legard the ecb uh you know uh equivalent of the fed chairman over here this morning okay and i did some research on oil and last night and just what's happening with you know maybe the prospects of china coming online now uh coming out of this thing um and uh you know their demand for oil is going to put a uh uh you know some pressure on the supply um and oil uh what i've researched is going to be you know making its way up um also one of the things that was striking about what she said okay about rates it seems like it's a coordinated effort by both the us and and the ecb central bank uh to raise rates and and to remove assets from the balance sheet and and draw that down um and you know she talks pretty eloquently about we're in we're in a situation now instead of low inflation and possibly static inflation we're in an environment now of high inflation and and because of um oil and other things food and stuff like that it's making it real difficult for everyone okay and and she spoke a little bit about the war and rushes aggression and how that has impacted oil markets and and food markets so where where are we headed here um it's the area um to look at still in in in oil or is there a pause here and i just kind of want to get your view on all of that so under under normal circumstances virtually everything we've looked at any of any of the energy sector any of the oil stocks i i'd mentioned xon just a little earlier xon is a little bit below yesterday's actually multi-year high cvx is another one this is chevron i went to peak uh i don't know if that's a b or an f uh the doji candle i'm always wary of doji candles at highs it just everything i'm looking at says there should be and there has been some kind of a pullback and i've spoken about this before we have seen a high level consolidation but we've not seen the kind of pullback where you can just grab say the sco which is the um multi-short crude oil pro shares um which i i love them when they were split down the uh three four dollar area another at 18 but just to grab them and say okay no this is a very difficult period that we're in because of all the the the factors that are going into making crude oil scarce at some point you get a little bit of an alleviation but the overall aspect of two i mean you've still got i don't know what germany's doing i know they're trying to cut back on the oil lines just get natural gas it just seems to me that this is an area that is still has the chance to have a consolidation but a high level consolidation in other words you just have to wait patiently at core positions you hold shorter term you take something off and then you wait to put that back to me that's that's what i'm looking at now because if i look at the us o uh that is the crude that's the us natural uh this is the us that united states oil fund lp it's unlike natural gas this thing is below the i mean if you go back this this has highs up in the 350 area uh back in 2011 so this is nothing what we're looking at the united states oil fund right now it's in fact just in a rectangle formation from the high of uh january of 2020 at 106 down to the low that was made in that terrible calamity when when oil went negative um the futures went negative at 16 dollars so this is just coming back but the real implication is the price the actual price of of of gas some of the highest levels we've ever seen here in the united states so that is going to have its own impact and that's the reason why i still feel that that for subscribers you've got to be very selective here having a big cash position there's nothing wrong with that so i don't know i mean the god i've heard her speak she's it she is pretty eloquent but i to my memory i don't actually remember her she's almost like an economist in that she's really good at the look back period what happens in the future i mean it's a tough enough if you're doing technical analysis but if you're doing fundamental analysis that's even tougher so i'm just saying let's look at the price and the price says yes we are kind of toppy uh yes all the oil companies are having major i mean if you leave let's just go to mro a marathon oil i mean look at the last move up and then it's stalled uh it had a spectacular move leg e in the monthly chart and a peak d in the dating chart and yet it's still struggling at 33.24 is a high on the made of i made the 31st it's just stuck in a range but it isn't breaking down can i hang on for the break i just got one you know one really yes i'm so we've got sharky holding on we're down 40 62 in the downhill we'll be right back discuss all these macro aspects are you in the market for buying or selling real estate in the bay area including the surrounding st petersburg tampa and clearwater markets tiger real estate llc is a firm that has extensive experience in the tampa bay area whether you're looking to sell your current property for maximum value or you're in the market for a second home or investment property tiger realty has the experience across all areas of real estate in the tampa bay area to help buyers and sellers make the most informed decisions across all price levels from the price you should be paying per square foot in certain up-and-coming areas to the type of cash flow investment properties are capable of creating tiger real estate can help you make the best decision when it comes to all areas of the market before you make one of the biggest decisions of your financial future called tiger real estate llc today at 727 329 83 22 or email us at tiger at tfnn.com that's 727 329 83 22 call us today the technology around us is changing every day with so much happening it can seem impossible to keep up with all the information david whites investment newsletter the technology insider is designed to give you all the information you need to understand the technology that shapes today's markets and tomorrow's future david white has made his living staying on the cutting edge of technology his weekly newsletter will give you specific recommendations for value tech stocks as well as entry prices target prices and stops to set for each trade david delivers his weekly newsletters every friday with updates throughout the week you can get the technology insider at tfnn.com for only 37 in 50 cents sign up for david's newsletter the technology insider and get an inside look at everything the technology sector has to offer try it risk-free today with our 30-day money back guarantee tfnn educating investors biotech is booming but for how long whether you think the biotech bull has room to run or has run its course trade lab u or lab d directions daily s and p biotech three times bull and bear etfs visit direction investments dot com slash biotech today an investor should consider the investment objectives risks charges and expenses of the direction shares carefully before investing the prospectus and summary prospectus contain this and other information about direction shares to obtain a prospectus or summary prospectus please contact direction shares at<PHONE_NUMBER> the prospectus or summary prospectus should be read carefully before investing an investment in the funds is subject to risk including the possible loss of principal the funds are designed to be utilized only by sophisticated investors such as traders and active investors distributor four-side fund services llc this program is brought to you by vista gold traded on the nyse american ntsx under the symbol vgz hi folks we're back with white chalk in uh massachusetts and what else are we looking at about you know um sd is is one that i i i talked to you know called you a while back and uh you know i guess i'd want to look at that i i just want to just your quick opinion on if the oil continues and inflation continues to go this way and in a macro view what what are the implications you know for the market as we move well summer and into the for those of us who lived through the 1970s with oil in fact i remember flying out going back to see my family in south africa um i we decided because we're the newborn son that we would uh i i i decide on a why that we'd have all stops and we took this pan am flight and uh we flew over the the west coast of africa the gold coast and that's where they have a number of oil for oil facilities and some of those cities there and i remember looking i i looked out the plane and then i said to the um uh to the hostess i said excuse me what's going on over there looks like a parking lot she says those are the oil tankers that are sitting there because these countries got so much money so quickly they started to build and build and build but they didn't have the facilities the docking facilities so they got all these tankers with concrete and everything those tankers are sitting out there and they've had to bomb some of them because the concrete is hardened they've been there so long it looked like a parking lot that was in the 1970s so um the the ramifications are really not good at all for everything i mean just from your petroleum products to everything so if crude oil at any stage actually starts to trade uh let's put it this way it's at 121 if it starts to trade in the 128 to 132 area for more than two three weeks not just a sudden spike in the give back that's going to have ramifications that we can't even be sure of and yes there's we've got two things we've got to decrease the container ships um they are in fact containers and container ships it seems to mean that they're kind of in a blockade right now there aren't people enough people to unload we should have used our national guard to just go right in and yep you would have paid the union workers at the same time but also included the guards we should have had them unloading ships for two years now we would have been done with that and now China's actually China's almost shutting down one more time so the implications are very negative so there's no question so to answer the question real simply a much higher price include all that holes will have ramifications on the economy there's just no question about it okay all right great thank you okay well thank you so much for calling boys love to hear from you look after yourself i hope you feel much better very soon all right well thank you very much god god speed and to you too thank you very much so folks let's just do this a couple a couple of questions came in so can i look at Baidu so remember i'm saying that there's been a spectacular runoff i mean percentage gains from 100 to 100 and almost 50 in Baidu that's a 50 percent incredible 50 game but wait a minute this is the stock that was at 354.82 in february of 2021 had a little bit of a dip to the 101 area you have 101.62 May the 12th here we are not even a month later and it's going peak A peak B peak C peak D and there's your e with a doji candle you can have a little bit of a rest here on the 200 period moving average yes thank you for pointing that out so percentage wise remember i'm i believe very strongly that is what you enter at and what you what what you make that's way more important than where it's come from and in this particular instance yep it had a a whopper of a decline ab that's your c yeah and now it's making a peak i can't do this consecutively gosh i i used to know it so quickly i'd be able to we haven't had this for a long time where it's suddenly changed and it's going to peak E there you are and it's in the in the in the week it's only a leg A and you can see it's going to bump into resistance spectacular move you can expect at this point that it becomes just a little bit harder for it to keep making the gains so that's Baidu the fxi which is something that i spoke about earlier on i said there are enough american stocks that are giving you giving you really weird things why go to china but if you're looking at profits a profit is a profit i see nothing wrong with that so this and and fxi the china large cap etf made a peak yesterday it's pulling back could digest gains for a little bit here so a couple of things we need to talk about vix index trying to make it as simple as possible there it is how important is the 200 period exponential moving average that's how important it is one two three four five six since six days ago is trying to test the 24s it's at 24.47 it's just stuck there it isn't actually running sharp it is up 51 cents at 24.47 is the volatility index month a daily chart uh yes uh down's down 130 sbs down 14 and yet this is only up 48 cents it is up 2 percent that that does make a difference excuse me tomorrow at one o'clock today right now is at 10 minutes to uh just about 10 to 11 it's called a 24 hours from now during my show tomorrow if the volunteer volatility index is up over 25 60 or actually touching 26 as the as the market just tanks and we're looking at the down down 450 sbs down 80 that is going to be very negative because what it's saying is it's taking the 200 period exponential moving average and moving away from it on the upside and breaking all six or seven bars worth of trading and it's trading up in that area if by Friday or even Monday on the other hand if there's something that is just like rather than light at the end of the tunnel which is the train coming along if instead we're looking at um some amelioration of the tension and the dowels are able to move whatever it closes at today if by tomorrow at this time the dowels up 180 to 250 points and holding very well not just a spike in the at 830 and then a drop but is holding very well volatility index is a 2370 or lower i'm going to suggest to you that there's a chance that the market just has a really good week of relief rallying we'll have to deal with that if that's the case in terms of saying what is going to work what has worked and is coming back in other words do we suddenly see the slx the steel sector come alive again well this the way it's come down here says at a peak e way below below the 70.43 18th of april high that's going to be tough amazon let's just go through these a lot of people ask me about these things so this is doing now amazon yes it comes off the low of about 101 and spirals to the 128 area wonderful percentage gain this is a stock that was trading at uh where did i put it right there it was hey if i don't know oh it's split of course it's split um i have to now to give you the new number i should have typed that in uh of 188.65 in july and it went all the way down to 100 i mean let's face 180 down to 100 oh that's a big move but look at that nice move to the upside so you want to see by wednesday of next week amazon trading at 131 or better you want to see uh let's go to facebook oh they already changed the symbol sharpening your skills as an investor is like getting better at playing a musical instrument you have to practice sure but you also 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basis um yeah facebook changed its name to meta i don't know i i took it took me years to get to say meta so look peak c1 c2 c3 c4 at triple top right there in the um emini and that whole cluster formation from 10 to 10 and at the 200-bit moving average and then it arches over a hole's nice thing goes to peak A and I said underneath it's a peak A then another one then B and C but look what happened the 200 period moving average it couldn't hold above it it's using that and it couldn't break above a new high to go to a D and now it's turning down to make the arch formation look at this for a beautiful left side right side price time match you can learn these techniques maybe tomorrow I'll do a whole thing just kind of showing these techniques in real time so here we go look left side right side beautiful plum line I just wasn't able to do this during the show but tomorrow maybe I'll take time but look at that it's one ball late is that not a fantastic technique look at this there's your plum line right there boom same number of bars to the upside same number of bars to the downside you remember people always say oh it just crashes to the downside no same number of bars the arch and cup formations are so important if you can learn them it just really helps you so just sum up I don't like what I'm seeing was have to know what's happening tomorrow we've got a bit in for one of the indexes actually three times long one of the indexes on a on a serious pullback later today and even then we've got a tight stop and if we can survive into Monday or Tuesday there are a lot of stocks that are really worthy and waiting for a pretty decent second phase to the rally the start of the lows that were made in May so that's what I'm looking at as I said today I think that will close it will maybe even come back from but the dog from earlier in the debate today later in the show after about 3 p.m. and just sort of like when the Fed does the Fed speak at 2 o'clock on Wednesday but if the market's sharply high or sharply low it just kind of utilizes as it gets into that announcement we might find that we have a wonderful day sitting


Since we have done a two-way independent sample ANOVA and one-way independent sample ANOVA and then we did one-way repeated MANOVA, moving forward today we will be talking about repeated MANOVA with more than one independent variable. We know that between group design can be extended to incorporate multiple predictors more than one independent variables, same can be done and same could be true for the repeated MANOVA samples as well. Pictorial repeated MANOVA is used where the effect of two or more within-subject vectors on the dependent variable needs to be investigated simultaneously. Just like we have done in two-way independent sample ANOVA, just like we have done in repeated MANOVA, we can take more than one independent variable where individual variations of the subjects cannot be controlled. In those conditions where individual variation is too much and we want to control it, two-way repeated MANOVA is our best choice. What we do is that all subjects are tested in each level of both the factors. Like we have done in one-way repeated MANOVA, we have the same subjects and we use those same subjects across all levels of the independent variable. Here in two-way MANOVA, similarly, we will be using the same participants across each level of each independent variable. Mean difference between groups split on two-within-subject vectors are compared and then we compare them to groups that we have manipulated. For example, if we have factor A and it has two levels, like level one and level two and factor B, we have three levels, B1, B2 and B3, there will be six treatment conditions. Like we talk in factorial MANOVA, if it is a two-in-two, then two-in-two will be our four possible levels or conditions in which we have to take our participants. If our two-in-two-three factorial MANOVA means that our first independent variable has two levels and our second independent variable has three levels. So two-in-two-three means that we will have six possible conditions. Always remember that we are talking about one-way MANOVA, repeated or independent, and we are talking about two-way MANOVA, in which we have more than one independent variable, but our dependent variable will always be one. Because if we are increasing dependent variables, it means we are heading to the multivariate analysis, which we will not talk about multivariate in this BS level courses. So in factorial MANOVA, we can increase the number of independent variable and the number of independent variable within each variable, but our dependent variable will always be one. So the design investigates both the main effects of all factors and the interaction effect of the both factors, like we have done in the independent factorial MANOVA, where we calculate the main effects as well as the interaction effect. So this is similarly the two-way MANOVA factorial. Here is an example. We will do this in detail in the SPSS. There is a research evidence that attitudes towards stimuli can be changed using positive or negative imagery. We can change the attitudes by giving a positive or negative imagery. So as part of an initiative to look at which type of imagery could be used to make teenagers' attitudes towards alcohol more negative. So they wanted to make the attitude towards alcohol negative using different kind of imagery with each drink. The scientists compared the effects of three types of imagery that is positive, negative, and neutral imagery with the two different types of drinks, that is coffee and alcohol. So here we have two independent variables. Number one, drink, type of drink, where it has two levels, alcohol and coffee. So this is one independent variable and it has two levels. And secondly, our independent variable is type of imagery. And we have three levels in which we used positive imagery, negative imagery, and neutral imagery. So 2 into 3 means we have two-way MANOVA, where there are two independent variables. There are two levels of one, there are three levels of one. And if you're calling it a repeated MANOVA, it means that we are using the same participants in each one of these six conditions. So 3 into 2, 6 becomes 6. And 6 means that in all six conditions, we are only one participant. There would be like 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8. So eight participants across all six conditions will be used. So here I have explained that there are two predictor or independent variables, type of drink and type of imagery. The type of imagery used positive, negative, neutral, three levels, and the type of drink, two levels. So these two variables completely cross over, producing six experimental conditions. How do we make this hypothesis as we did in an independent MANOVA or one MANOVA? Similarly, we'll be using the same to construct our hypothesis. So main effect, main effect of drink, we'll make that there is no group main effect or at least one group mean is different or it differs. And similarly, main effect of imagery we'll make null hypothesis that there is no difference or alternative hypothesis that at least one group mean is different from the other two groups. Or is it that our interaction effect can be hypothesis? So if there are two independent variables, there will be three types of hypothesis, one for the main effect of first independent variables, second for the main effect of second independent variable, and third for the interaction of two variables so the null hypothesis would be there's no interaction between drink and imagery for alternative or that could there exist interaction between drink and imagery. In the next tutorial, we'll be using SPSS and conducting the same data in SPSS.


Hi everyone and welcome back to the OSDC mini series and reproducible research. Today we're going to pick up where we left off with the introduction to art and get into some data visualization. Because this lesson picks up where the last one left off we're not going to cover the setup and installation sections of the lesson. We're basically going to jump straight into the creation of the new project setting up our working directory and then jumping straight into the code for creating this data visualizations. If you need a refresher on some of that previous material, we just like to refer you to the introduction to our to some of those early segments. There you can find some more in depth information about installation of packages, setting up your working directory and that sort of thing. And then once you pick up with on that material, you can just jump back over to this current workshop in order to just start right with the data visualization. So by this time this screen should look familiar to you we're just in the R studio environment. And the first thing that we're going to do, as in the previous case is create a new project. If you are working from your existing projects that you started for the introduction to our workshop. That's fine as well. But we're going to go ahead and treat this one as a standalone project and just create everything from scratch. So as in the previous case we're going to start with this new project wizard. Again, I access this just by navigating to file and choosing new project. I'm going to first click on new directory. And then new project. And then I'm going to call this one data is with our with hyphens in the middle. So go ahead and create the project. Okay, so you can see here now that we've got our project saved in our working directory. Again, if you want to confirm the location of your working directory, you can use the get wd function. When you run that, it should tell you the default location of that of that project in my case it's the users folder on my C drive. And as in the previous case we're going to start by setting up our working directory with the required folders. If you remember from the previous case, we're going to use the dur dot create function to create these folders. Beginning with data in quotation marks. When you run this again you should see these folders appearing over here in your folder structure. Do the same thing again for data output finally for fig or figure output sorry to create function. And once you've got all these created that's everything we need in terms of setting up our working directory. We're actually going to just go ahead and import the data set that we created in our previous exercise. And we're going to store that in our data output folder and that's going to become the data set that we use for the purposes of this workshop. Another thing that we want to do in this screen before creating our script file is just load the tidy verse package which contains ggplot and ggplot is the the package that contains all the data visualization tools that we're going to be using here. You could also import ggplot to as its own standalone library but we're going to do it as part of the tidy verse package, because there are some additional functions that we want to import from that package. So if you haven't already, you're going to need to run the install packages function with tidy verse. So if you're starting this project from scratch for instance if this is the first workshop you're you're completing with us, then you're going to want to run this step. If you've already done the install for the previous workshop, then you can skip this step. So when you run this, you'll see some processing some text here on the background depending on if you've installed this before or what kind of condition your your hard drive is in. This might take longer or not so long depending on what your systems like. Once that's run, you're going to want to use the library function. And remember library just loads that package. So the installation and the loading are separate and you need to do both. But whenever you create a new session, you're only going to need to rerun the library function just to load that that package. Okay, so now that tidy verse is loaded, we're good to go we can go ahead and now have access to all the tools that we need for this lesson so we'll go ahead and get started. So with that out of the way, let's go back up to file and choose new file and scroll over here to our script. When you do that you're going to see this new script file appear again in your upper left corner. It's untitled because we haven't saved it yet. So the first thing that we want to want to do is go ahead and save this. And because this is a different file than our actual project file, which is right here we can give it the same name without there being any kind of conflicts. So we're going to call this one also data is with our go ahead and save that our project folder. So you see that script file appear here in your folder structure.


I recently wrote a book on mindful defensive driving and the purpose of the book of course is to save lives. I was a paralegal for the state of California for around ten years and I eventually retired from an appointed position with the Department of Motor Vehicles as a hearing officer. What happens anytime, it was primarily an administrative law judge in respect to a person's driving privilege. So what we dealt with are people called NUTS, N-O-T-S, it's an acronym that stands for negligent operators treatment program. If we get too many points against our driving privilege, which is in a certain period of time, we can lose our license for six months and replace them with a probation. So people would come in to me and they would tell me their story and I was able to set aside the six months and just put them on probation so that I had some options available. Because a lot of times people, they received citations, we found that maybe they're going through a divorce or they were sick, something was going on in their life and they started receiving more citations because driving is an attitude and when something's going on with our life, that experience, our experience can be reflected in their driving. And so if a person came in and said, gee, I was going, had some hard times and things were okay now, maybe that would give weight to just put them on probation and sustain the six months suspension. So we dealt with that and sensitive issues like folks that are coming down with dementia, older people, very sensitive issues and how to handle that. I would never say, well, you can't drive anymore. I would always ask people, say, well, I'm going to ask you not to drive for a while. But they would know most of the time they couldn't pass the test. And so very sensitive issues like that really have to be fair and impartial in this position. And a vehicular manslaughter. So issues like this, anything pertaining to the driving privilege, that's what I would hear. And it was a great position and I think we make a difference, you know, trying to get the bad drivers off the road, the good drivers on the road. And I feel very honored and privileged to retire from that position. And I'm grateful that they gave me that opportunity. And but what got me into teaching was more or less a unique experience. I'd like to share that with you if I could. I was driving across the Bay Bridge going to San Francisco, Oakland, San Francisco. And the flow of traffic was around, I don't know, 60, 63 miles an hour. So I was going with the flow of traffic, but the speed limits, 50 miles an hour. So I suddenly noticed some red lights in my rear view mirror. And so I pulled over next to Treasure Island and the officer, California Highway Patrolman, he got a vehicle and he came up to the car and I looked him in the eye and I said, why me? Because I was going along with everybody else. And he looked at me and said, well, why not? And so we both laughed as he was writing up a ticket. He said, I want you to go to traffic school. So I did. I attended traffic school and while I was there I was very impressed by the instructor because they really cared about saving lives. It wasn't just about the money, it was about saving lives. So after the class I went up to the instructor and said, gee, I wouldn't mind doing this part time. They said, well submit a resume. So I did and that's commenced by teaching experience and teaching traffic school. And that was in 1984, or 1984. So what did I learn from that experience? Well, I learned, can you go faster than the posted B limit? Well, you can, but we subject ourselves to getting a ticket, if we do, and that's what happened to me. So I learned from my experience, say things that's what we all do. So I've been teaching now for about 30 years. I've taught behind the wheel driving and I have several years of doing that. I'm not doing that anymore. And I teach for an organization in the Bay Area now and continue to teach a couple of classes a month in defensive driving. And I've discovered that in my personal opinion, about 80% of the people that drive really don't know defensive driving. They think they do, but they actually don't. I think after years of teaching, I realized that the key element in defensive driving is really being mindful, being aware of everything around us. When I teach, I always ask students, do you think that being aware, being mindful of the things around us are important? Of course, they say yes. Another question I pose is, have you ever gone from point A to point B and you get to your destination and you don't remember anything along the way? And most people will say yes, that's happened to me several times. Well, the reason why we don't remember is because we're not present. We're not in reality. We're not in here and now. We're thinking of the future. We're thinking of the past. We're thinking about where we're going to have for dinner tonight. We're going on vacation next year, the argument we had with that Mabel in the last family meeting. So we're thinking about all these different things when we're driving and we are. Well, then, when who's doing the driving? Is it an automatic pilot? Well, I believe it is and my book explains that, that it is on what they call route behavior, it's ROTE, route behavior. In other words, it's an automatic pilot.  But if you learn from professional driving instructor, then that idea has been incorporated into our subconscious mind and we're going to be safer drivers. But the key element is mindfulness is being aware. Well, what happens if you read this book or you go to a defensive driving school or get behind professional driving, professional behind the wheel driving, and you become cognitively aware that you actually aren't incorporating defensive driving techniques, but you want to because you know it's safer, it can save your lives, it can save others. Well, how do we do that? Well, how do we change the habit? And my book addresses that, how do we change the habit? Well, we have to incorporate that new procedure for according to many psychologists, 21 to 30 days, we consciously make an effort to behave in a certain manner for 21 to 30 days to start getting into our subconscious mind and it becomes a brand new habit. Now, how long will that brand new habit stay with us forever? So for a 21, 30 day investment, as I say in the book, as we can become threefold the best drivers in the world, we're also going to protect ourselves and the other guy and we're going to save money too because we're not going to be getting tickets and we're going to be keeping out of accidents and we're going to keep our lives safer and our family safer and the other guy too. So that's what the book is all about. It's about saving lives and the mindfulness is essential and there's little mindfulness exercises in the book and they're very simple, they're not complex, keeping aware of your breath as it goes in and out, maybe the rising and lowering of your stomach, maybe doing it for five minutes a day, any little thing like that that can increase awareness. Another aspect of mindfulness is that, you know, a lot of us will just walk up to our vehicle, we'll hop into the car, turn on the key, we'll take off. Well, you and I as mindful defensive drivers are held to a higher standard. We don't do that. We may fit down and map out our trip, our journey. This is an intelligent way of approaching traffic safety. We use our minds to keep us alive, keep us safe. So we might map out our journey. We go out to the car, look around the car, look in the back of the car, check the tires, look at the windshields. We check things out, get into the vehicle. A lot of times, if I'm busy, I'll take my rear view mirror and just bring it down to my level of my eyes and I'll talk to myself, say, hey, you're in a car now. Get your stuff together, be focused. Your life and the lives of others depend on this. I prime myself for it and I recommend we all do that. Only takes a few seconds, but it can save a life. I would say the reason why I wrote this book is essentially my legacy. It's giving back. And I believe that if people read it and actually apply its principles, the principles of mindful defensive driving, that they can not only save their lives, but they can save others. How far ahead do we look? Well, I'll ask people in class, students in class, how far ahead they look. Some people will say, oh, I look at the vehicle right in front of me. The average is maybe two or three cars ahead. Well, you and I as mindful defensive drivers look as far as we can ahead. Of course, we're glancing around, keeping our eyes moving and scanning, but every few seconds we want to look as far ahead as we can. We're looking in a rear view mirror every five date seconds, not just when we want to and we think it's necessary, but at least every five date seconds, even if we're dead stopped at a stoplight or stop sign, we're looking at the five date seconds. We want to know what's around us when? All the time. Accidents happen, how fast? Like that. So we want to know what's around us all the time and have both those hands on the wheel at all times and really being focused and aware. Now, most of us know this, but it's really, really important to incorporate it and make it a habit. And so that when we're not focused in the present moment, not being in the air now, when we are thinking of the future, the past, then at least we have something to protect us and learning and implementing these defensive driving techniques is essential to our well-being and others' well-being. I think in conclusion, I would say that does everybody going to run out and purchase this book? Probably not. You know, learning about defensive driving and safety issues usually is second hand to a lot of people, not too many people say, I'm going to have a driver's safety party this Friday night. You want to come over? Oh, yeah, count me in. So, but I will say this, is that for people that really sincerely value life and take their responsibility in driving an automobile seriously, then perhaps they will purchase this book. It's not about selling books. It's about saving lives. And if nothing else would be a good gift for somebody, and you may want to read through it yourself, and may learn something, that could save your life. Thank you for listening to me.


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All right, so what we know about the rigid rotor so far is once we've written down the rigid rotor Hamiltonian, we can write down solutions, wave functions that have the form, some normalization constant, a Legendre polynomial that describes the theta dependence, and then this exponential, imaginary exponential that describes the phi dependence. And we've seen a few cases of this wave function so far. So for example, the 1, 0 wave function, the one with quantum numbers, l equals 1 and m equals 0, was n cosine theta. And for every one of these wave functions that we write down, if it solves Schrodinger's equation, meaning the Hamiltonian acting on the wave function gives us back a constant multiplied by the wave function, we can write down the energy that's associated with that wave function. So in the two cases we've seen so far, when the wave function is n times cosine theta, the energy of that particular wave function is some constants that are just the constants in front of the Hamiltonian here multiplied by a 2. We can also write down the psi 1, 1 wave function, which looked like sine theta rather than cosine theta and an e to the i phi. And then that wave function has the energy also same collection of constants, h squared over 8 pi squared mu r squared multiplied by the same number 2. So those two wave functions have exactly the same energy as each other. But of course, not every wave function has exactly the same energy. We'll see that when l has a different value, the energy turns out to have a different value. So the easiest case that we can demonstrate that for, we've seen this wave function before, but we haven't talked about its energy. The simplest of the wave functions is the 0, 0 wave function. And that wave function is just a constant. If I insert the constant and normalization constant for the wave function, if I take these derivatives of that wave function, then I'll get back a constant times that wave function. And in fact, those derivatives are not hard to do. If this is just a constant n, when I take the phi derivative of the constant, I get 0. When I take the theta derivative of the constant, I get 0. So everything inside parentheses here is just 0. So the energy of the 0, 0 wave function is just 0. So that is a constant times the wave function. The constant is 0 times the wave function. There's other more complicated wave functions. When we write down the 2, 0 wave function, that one's a little more complicated. It involves a quadratic dependence on cosine theta, as we know because it's an L equals 2 function. And we'll skip the math. I think you've seen me evaluate Schrodinger's equation enough times on wave functions. If we take these various derivatives of this particular function and evaluate what we get, we're going to get back the same function we started with multiplied by a constant. And the constant in this case will be not surprisingly. Same collection of constants from here. And then another number multiplying that collection of constants. So things to stop and point out here are the energies that we get are always, so we can do this as many times as we have the patience for, in general, for the L, M wave function. The energy of that wave function is always going to be this particular collection of constants, 8 pi squared mu R squared multiplied by some number. That number is always going to be an integer. The integer might be 0. The integer might be 2. And in fact, that's what we're going to get every time L is equal to 1. Interger 0 is what we get when the O equals 0. For any one of the wave functions that has L equals 2, remember there were five of those, we're going to get the integers are 6. And the general pattern is the integer that we multiply these constants by is L times L plus 1. So we have not proven that statement. I'm just telling you that statement is true. As you remember, we have a recipe for if we know what the wave function looks like for a particular L, let's say L equals 2, we have a recipe in the recursion formula for the Legendre polynomials that tells us how to get the next one. So you can use that recursion formula essentially to figure out if I know the energy for the L equals 2 wave function, what would it be for the O equals 3? What would it be for the O equals 4? I won't show you those steps explicitly, but it turns out that any one of these wave functions, the energy of that wave function turns out to be this collection of constants and integers. So that's an equation we'll use several times, so I'll put that in a box. A couple of things to point out about that equation. Number one, we can just call that E sub L, not E sub L and M. If I want to know the energy of wave function two zero or zero zero, those have an index, a quantum number L and a quantum number M, but M doesn't show up anywhere in this energy. So it turns out the value of M is irrelevant. That's why the one zero and the one one wave functions both turned out to have the same energy as each other. Their M values were different, but the values of L were the same, so they end up having the same energy. So we normally just write that E sub L not E sub L M, because it ends up only depending on the value of L. The other important consequence is because multiple wave functions, the one zero, the one one, even the one negative one, wave function all have the same energy as each other, have all the same energy as each other. So multiple wave functions psi L M have the same energy E sub L. So that idea begins to sound like the concept of degeneracy that we've talked about previously, and the degeneracy of these wave functions turns out to have some pretty important consequences for the properties of the molecules that we treat with the rigid rotor approximation. So our next step will be to explore that degeneracy a little further.


Hi everyone, Joe for jaskiescasebreaks.com. We knocked out a case of 2021 Bowman Chrome Baseball. Hobby Edition, 12 box pick your team number 14. Thanks everybody. We got it done without the assistance of a filler. We just did it straight up. So I appreciate that as well. There were no hurdles. Just all 30 teams, everyone got some teams. Thank you. Adam Harper, congrats to him. Thanks to him. Hopefully I'll be saying congrats to him by the end of the break. Last spot Mojo Astros. Pop that there. And let's pop open this fresh case and let's see what we can pull out of here. So big thanks everybody who's been getting into all of these breaks. We thought there, I mean, this has been so popular on jaskiescasebreaks.com. We thought there might have been an appetite for that 10 case break, but we ended up not doing that. We refunded everybody for that. So we've got plenty of cases remaining for pick your teams. And I think that's the best kind of configuration because this pick your team actually, they were, teams are picked and the things, the breaks sold out rather quickly. So maybe this is the sweet spot. I think some of those cases may be reserved for personal breaks as well, but I don't know. If the group breaks out of things, keep selling them out. We'll have cases, plenty of cases for us. So keep going on jaskiescasebreaks.com. In fact, I loaded up another case just right now. So if you're watching live and you're like, dang, I just missed it. In fact, a couple of people have purchased teams already. So get your teams early and often. I'll be back at three o'clock this is at six o'clock Eastern tomorrow. That could be one of our first breaks of the day. If we get a lot of that done tonight and then sell some more teams tomorrow morning, sell out the rest of the teams when I go live. And the next thing you know, we'll be breaking another case of Bowman Chrome and then I'll be loading another case of Bowman Chrome. I set them up, you knock them down. It's good teamwork, ladies and gentlemen. So thank you for getting in on the action. Anybody here in the break watching live? I know big boys 007 is in. I know Adam is in because he just spot the last spot. Anyone else still around? Where's Brad King was around? Maybe he's listening in the background. Who else would be up? Do I usually see up this late? No, Darren's usually asleep. Adam I know is here. EA, man, oh it's a little late for EA. He's on the West Coast. Capola maybe? TJ maybe? No, Brad's still here. Okay, Kevin's here. All right, Kevin's got the Yankees. All right, so we got a few people here. Baron Radcliffe leads us off and that goes to Brad King and the Phillies. Getting the fifth round choice in the 2020 MLB draft. Fifth round, Georgia Tech strongly built middle of the order masher. That's what we like to hear in our players. Michael Toglia, Shimmer and Errol Vera. 193 out of 499 refractor autograph for the Porterhouse steak and the Halos. Oh, what color is that? Refractor, pegged to the number nine prospect international signing in that class. He's really good, Derek. Porter, if you want to sell that, let me know. Porterhouse steak, Derek Porter. He's not very good. He's incredible. He's going to be one of the top guys right next to Joe Adele and Mike Trout and Shoyo Tani. He's going to go to the Dodgers because he wants to be on a winning team. He might not play. So the quotes today on that. He might not play. Did you see Shoyo Tani's quotes? They asked him about his future as an angel and he was just like, well listen, I don't want to say one way or the other but I want to be on a team that wins. So he wants to go to the Dodgers. You know who else said that? Mike Trout. And Errol Verrill will be a Dodger too. Don't be mean. But Porter, if you want to sell that, let me know. And make sure you price it at a premium. Sean just makes so much money here at Jaspeys that he just doesn't even know what to do with it. I see him with new kicks every day. I legitimately wear crocs. I just see him with just new Nike, new Jordans every day. These crocs. 44 out of 99, William Contreras. They're like, they're not. They're Jordan brand crocs. They're Jordan brand crocs. That's what he's wasting his money on, Darren. So make sure that you charge him as much as possible on the higher end of things. Don't give him a deal. William Contreras, Wilson's brother, goes to Richard and the Braves. Ooh, my first red autograph, red parallel, that is. Not a Cincinnati red. But my first red parallel, five out of five, Pedro Paneta for Mark N and the Oakland Athletics rated number 11 international prospect in his class by Baseball America. Out of fives and under, get the world famous train whistle. All aboard the Big Head Express. Woo-hoo! Nice, I gotta set that aside for picture time as well. It's pretty nice. There's Taylor Tramel to 4.99, Refractor. Just in the interest of time, those numbered cards I'll sleeve right now but they'll be top-loaded later by our shipping team before they're sorted out. Oh, yeah? It was a non-auto. Yeah, here's an auto, red, look at that. Oh! Pedro Paneta, let's start, right? That's a big one. Yeah, he's pretty good, supposedly. That's a really big one. He's team number five outfielder in his class. Damn! 13th overall by MLB.com. See, big boys knows. Big one there. I'm glad we did this.  Originally, I was like, not gonna do it because it was getting kind of late, but then nothing else was filling, so I just said effort will be listed. Let's do a bow and chrome. We got rewarded. Rex, Joe, did you ever see the happening with Mark Wahlberg? Yes? I feel like, I know I have. I just don't remember it. I feel like I'm confusing it with War of the Worlds with Tom Cruise. I think it was a similar kind of movie. Things are attacking something and then, like, let's try to escape the city. Yeah, big boys 007 thinking that Paneta, red parallel auto, two, three K, maybe more. I mean, why not just hold on to it if he's supposed to be a big deal, right? Grate it. Hopefully it grades out 9, 5, 10 or something like that. And then hopefully becomes a superstar and then he start adding more and more. You know, there were three autographs in there. Yeah, I've only written one box. Adam, should we send one back to Tops? And be like, I think you guys made a mistake. I like when everybody, I know, I hope they're all like that. I like when everyone, whenever we get shorted an auto, everyone's like throwing their fists into the sky and being like, Tops owes us another auto. And then I always respond, so if we ever get an extra auto, we should send it back to them, right? So it all evens out. They're like, no, we shouldn't. It's like, that's the game. There's Drew Waters, Green Shimmer to 99 for the Bravos. Jefferson Cuero for the Brew Crew, the Porterhouse steak. Number 10, Brewers Prospect. Let me keep that aside so I can do a recap at the end anyway. Oh, Roni Maurizio to four now. Wasn't he on the Giants? Or am I thinking of someone else? Maybe I'm thinking of Marco Luciano. Or is that one of the three tenors? Brad, hi. The wife says you're wasting money. Tell Crystal that it's, hi, Crystal, it's fun. This is, I think maybe Brad should buy Crystal a spot in a break. The couple that breaks together stays together. There's Louise Robert to 250, Purple Chrome. It's an activity you can do together. She'll have a steak in this break and she'll be excited about potential hits that gets pulled. There's Brian Ramos, Autograph for the White Sox, Greg Davis. It's a nice little thing you can do together. And there's Po Yu Chen to 199th Magenta for the Pirates. And that's gonna be for Adam, oh no, check that Adam has the Padres. Eric, Eric J with the buckos. All right, it's a good idea, right, Brad? Buy your team.  And you're like, hey, I introduced you to this. How did you get all this luck? The way I see it, it's better than, I mean, Brad, you could be at a bar with your buddies. You could be at a casino, you know? But no, instead you're home, you're hanging out, you're goofing off, you're having a good time, family friendly show. Brad, tell her to watch some of the other channels and then compare it to ours. And I think she'll be glad that you're watching our channel. Right, that's right, that's right, dude. Yeah, buy her like the Giants in the break or something like that. There's Starlin' Aguilar. I don't know if foam and chrome would necessarily be like a fun break if you're not like super into like baseball prospecting, but I mean, there are some other like fun, like sort of higher end breaks that are coming up. It'll be like fun to watch and, you know, and if you hit fun to get some of those hits too. There's Anthony Walters. Metz. Autograph. It's a California kid from Whittier. It's like about 45 minutes to an hour east of here. There's Jeremy Pena to 150, blue chrome for Adam and the Astros. Dave says he's, that's why he's not married. There's Helchris Oliveris to 25, orange parallel, nice. Orange for Mark and the Rocks. There's Milcar Perez. Mariners. Mark again. Mark Nezbauer. Some nice cards back to back to back. Number 31, M's prospect. Corner fan grabs. Braylon Marquez to 299. And that's for the Cubbies. That's gonna be for Jay Remington next box. I feel like today was like a light day in baseball, right? There wasn't really much going on. Yeah, the Royals and Indians were making up a game. Indians in Cleveland beat the Royals 8-3. Another makeup game. Reds pounded on the Pirates 13-1 in Cincinnati. Another makeup game. White Sox edged out the Tigers 8-7. Apparently Rex was saying there was a fight in that game, which I thought was silly. Nationals beat the Rockies 5-4, and the Mariners beat the A's 13-4. M's are trying to get themselves into a wild card spot there. I think the NL is pretty spoken for. I think the Dodgers are still trying to gain, trying to win the NL West. I don't know if they want to be in a wild card situation, but it might be too little too late. But it looks like Dodger's Cardinals is gonna be the wild card situation there. But it's, I don't know what's gonna happen in the A.L. The Yankees are now a game ahead of the Red Sox in the wild card, so they have the first wild card spot. Boston has the second wild card spot, but Toronto is right behind them, a game back, and the Mariners are a game and a half behind Toronto and Boston. Or half game behind Toronto, game and a half behind Boston. Could be interesting. You know, it would be fun to watch you break with late night Dave Who? Portnoy, I don't know what a Dave Portnoy is. There's Fernando Teteis Jr. to 299. That'll be for Adam Harper and the Padres. Julio Carreras, Rockies. That's for Mark and the Rocks. Ooh, yeah, yeah, yeah. She would like triple threads. Crystal King, triple threads. That would be good, Red. There's Nick Gonzalez to 250, and I think there's like a lot of old school, sort of older school players as well. Just kind of some more historically recognizable names. Because Bowman's tough. These are all like prospects. Who knows what these players are gonna be in the future? Ooh, another Red. Red Shimmer, which is out of 10, six out of 10. That's Jeremy Della Rosa for Big Boys 007 and the Nats. Number six nationals prospect according to mlb.com. Thought there was another out of five for a second. There's Justin Martinez, Diamondbacks, Eric with the D-Vax, and the Jorge Soler, a little color match there. Blue Chrome to 150. And the Royals, that'll be for Greg Davis and KC. All right, next box. Oh, he's the guy that had, Dave Portnoy is the guy that has Barstool Sports. He owns Barstool Sports. He's a pizza review guy. I don't know. We'll see if he fits Jaspies. We'll interview him. We'll see if he's a good fit for Jaspies. Next box, another two autos, maybe three. We'll see. Orange Shimmer coming up. And that's gonna be Alexander Ramirez, 17 out of 25. Metz, nice little color match there too. Richard Apples and the Metropolitan's. Number 19 prospect in the Metz system. There's Jagger, Haynes, Padres, Adam Harper with the Friars, number 21 prospect in the organization. Number 21, Padres, organizational prospect according to Baseball America. There's Jazz Chisholm, Purple Chrome to 250. For the fish, that's gonna be for EA. Jorge Soler, Refractor, 4.95 out of 4.99. And that's your case hit right there. It's those fall one per case. And that is Cabrion Hayes, Bowman Ascensions. Sometimes these can be autographed. I've seen parallels of this too, like numbered cards. That's for the Pirates, Eric J with the one per case Ascensions insert. Is there two? Oh, the Justin Martinez autograph I think was the first auto that was for Eric C and the Snakes. We'll do an autograph recap at the end too. Remember, all cards ship. So if I miss like a, I miss, I shouldn't miss numbered cards, but if I miss a numbered card or if I miss a variation or a short print or something like that, don't worry. All cards will ship. All right. Next box, big boys Elvis having you need some of the best team in baseball cards. Well, the reigning champions Dodgers you don't have them, Brian Croft does. So you don't have the best team in baseball. There's Errol Vera, 47 out of 75. Autograph for Darren Porter and the Angels. Yellow parallel. Sean Jaspy would be interested in picking this up Darren Porter. He's the number eight Angels prospect according to Baseball America and pegged as the number nine prospect in the 2019 international signing class by mlb.com. Excited Scouts at the 2019 instructional league participated in Angels pre spring program in Arizona 2020. Smooth Swinger from both sides of the plate uses leg kick together. Momentum owns wiry strength to produce power, swift runner, soft hands, accurate arm. There's Brennan Davis to 75. Jay Remington in the Cubs.  I know. I want to see, they would, they would, they would be, there he is Pedro Leon. Dodgers, if they win their wild card match, they would face the Giants, right? I think in the bracket, they would face the Giants. There you go. Last spot mojo strikes again. 70% of the time it hits 100% of the time. 341 out of 499 refractor auto for Adam Harper and the Stroze. Number one international prospect in his class. Nice. The Hassan Kim to 499 Padres and we're halfway through the break. Ah, I see, I see. The number one team of 2021 right now. Season's not over yet.  Nice, that's good. I like the sound of that. That covers the spot for sure. Easily covers the spot and we're only halfway through this break. There's another, what, 25, 30 minutes to go. So apparently brothers, homered off of brothers for the first time since 1975. According to MLB.com it's every younger sibling's dream coming up to the plate against your big bro and going deep. Cleveland outfielder Bradley Zimmer can officially say he did so in the big leagues after hitting a solo shot off his older brother, Kyle Zimmer, during Monday afternoon's 8-3 win over Kansas City. I had no idea they were brothers. In fact, I don't think I even knew a Kyle Zimmer existed. I knew Bradley Zimmer, but the Royal's Reliever left an 84.5 mile per hour slider over the plate and a 28-year-old Bradley, two years younger than Kyle, tattooed. It's gone. I'd say it's a mixed day of emotions, Bradley Zimmer said. I don't necessarily pride myself just because I hit that off my brother. Hopefully someday we'll be on the same team. Blah, blah, blah, blah, it's good, good, good. So according to the Elias Sports Bureau, a brother homering off a brother has only happened three other times in ALNL history in the modern era since 1900. In 1904, the Naps is George Stovall off of the Tigers is Jesse Stovall. Rick Pharrell in the 30s, Red Sox is Rick Pharrell off of West Pharrell in 1975, Joe Niquro, Astros is Joe Niquro off of Phil Niquro.  There's Gabriel Rodriguez, Bowman first shimmer for Cleveland, this is for you. Darren Porter with the Indians. Yeah, I've pulled a couple non-auto super refractors out of here. And then one black one of one parallel that had like a mojo refractor to it. I think all three were non-autos. 242 out of 299, Jordy Barley, Speckle, Otto for the Padres, Adam Harper, Austin Hayes, Purple Chrome to 250 for the O's. That's gonna be for Donald, 41 out of 250. And Angel Rondon for the Cardinals. That's gonna go to David Chan, Dave and the Redbirds. Number 14, Cardinals prospect. And we've got a Cabrion Hayes yellow parallel, 56 out of 75, Eric Jay and the Pirates. Got that one per case earlier today too. All right, next box. Did I pull you a Derek Carr super fracture? Out of what, like a Pops Chrome football or something? Next box. We've got Gilbert Celestino, 153 out of 199, Magenta Shimmer, four, Icapola and the twins. There's Tyler Keenan, M's, Mark for the Mariners. Chrome football, it's all black with silver triangle or something like that. That sounds pretty cool. Derek Carr, start off the season pretty well. There's Hedbert Perez to 125, Brew Crew. Hedbert Perez once again for Darren Porter and the Brew Crew. Adley Rushman to 199 and Aldo Ramirez. Adley Rushman, Kiebert Ruiz, Joey Bart. They're gonna be a new generation of some great catchers coming up the ranks. There's Aldo Ramirez for Brad and the Red Sox. That's right, you were around when Boss Man was stepped into the breaking table every once in a while. Oh, he never sent it? A dual logo, man? You should be able to get something for it though. There's Taylor Chamele. It'd be like, hey, can we like points or something like that?  If you're feeling spicy, Derek Carr is 20 to one. 20 to one odds, plus 2,000 to win the NBP this year, which is just slightly longer odds than Lamar Jackson at 18 to one. Russell Wilson, 16 to one. Dak Prescott, 16 to one. And just ahead of guys like Justin Herbert, 30 to one. Derek Henry, 50 to one. Baker Mayfield, 50 to one. Jalen Hertz, 50 to one. Oh, you've just been holding out. They want to trade out something to do. Who was it? Who are the two players? Ooh, autograph relic. Autograph relic, that's the first time I've seen one of those. There's Wander Franco, purple shimmer to 250 for the raise. And the relic auto is Luis Garcia, rookie jersey in auto, 40 out of 130. Right on the card as well. Sharp looking card for big boys, 007. Nice, might be a slightly thicker card stock here. Are you numbered? Oh yeah, 40 out of 130, there it is. Rookie jersey in auto. Chrome autograph relic. Nice. Drew Romo to 4.99. Refractor for the rocks. Jordan Mickey and some other guy. That's random. Tariq Scoobal, 32 out of 2.99 for the Tigers. That's gonna be for DY and the T-Grays. There's George Feliz for the Mariners, Mark with the M's. Yeah, no worries, Dave. Ronnie Maurizio, speckled to 2.99. All right, look at this, we're almost there. Three boxes to go. Good luck. Case we're wanting going back to NFL odds. Kyler Murray is leading right now, plus 550. We have, yeah, do we have some ALNL Rookie of the Year odds? So at the moment, so at the moment, is, I guess Randy Arrozirania is still technically a rookie. 2021 AL Rookie of the Year odds according to sportsbettingdime.com is minus 175. Ryan Mountcastle is second at plus 385. Adolas Garcia plus 700, he's seven to one, basically. And then Luis Garcia, that's Astros edition, Luis Garcia. Wander Franco at 18 to one, Shane McClanahan. And the odds really start getting really long after Wander Franco. Wander Franco's 18 to one, which is still pretty long, but Shane McClanahan jumps up to 85 to one, Alec Minoa, Akil Bidu, blah, blah, blah, blah. 2021 NL Rookie of the Year odds. Are these opening odds? No, I think they're, it looks like Jonathan India is minus 1150 to win AL Rookie of the Year. And then Trevor Rodgers is plus 725. Patrick Wisdom is plus 1500, 15 to one. Frank Schwindel, Ian Anderson, the odds are to get really long there. Brett Beatty, Shimmer. So I guess those are pretty set, huh? Let's see, going to Vegas Insider. I don't know when this was updated, but according to Vegas Insider, Bryce Harper is now minus 300. There's Tucker Bradley, 67 to 99 for Kansas City, Greg Davis, to win the NL MVP. Riley Green for the Tigers, to 499, Refractor. Bryce Harper minus 300, I think Tatis Jr. was a favor for a long time. According to this website, he's three to one now, plus 300, but Bryce Harper is a prohibitive favorite at the moment. And then Soto at plus 450, and then it jumps up to Trey Turner at 66 to one. You get really long there. There's Josh Winkowski, yes. He does use black ink right there. Brad King with the red socks. I think Brad and I looked at that last time he got one of these. He says that some of them are black ink, some of them are blue ink. That's black ink for now. Speckle Matt Manning to 299 for DY and the Tigers. Yeah, Lamont Wade Jr.,  And he's been producing pretty well in that flex spot. AL MVP odds. Shoyo Tine's currently the prohibitive favorite. He's minus 2,500, which is just huge. Vlad Guerrero Jr., plus 800. It's a big long shot. That's the only guys they have on the board, really. You got Cy Young odds, maybe? All right, so according to sportsbettingdime.com, AL Cy Young, yeah, Robbie Ray's gonna win it, right? He's minus 198. Garrett Coles plus 153. It's gonna be one of those two guys, but it's gotta be, I think it's Robbie Ray. He's had an incredible season. Lance Lynn at 2100, plus 2100, 21 to one. Carlos Rudeau in 60 to one. Yeah, the odds are to get really long after that. John Means, Lance McCullers, Ohtani at plus 200 to one. Jose Barrios, Nathan Nivaldi. But the NL is interesting. Scherzer, I guess, is the odds-on favorite. Minus 163, but Corbin Burns is almost even money. Plus 108. And then it jumps to Walker Bueller at plus 1650. Which is kind of long. Bueller had a few sort of less-than-sellers starts the last few times around, which I think really hurt his cause and probably boosted Max Scherzer and Corbin Burns. That's sort of the leaders. All right, second to last box. The penultimate, Willem Diaz, 234 out of 350. Magenta, shimmer, rated number seven prospect. In that class, that's for my Dodgers, Brian Croft, the boys in blue. There's Gabriel Maciel for Capola and the twins. Dane Dunning, 79 out of 250. Pup Krohn for Daren and the Rangers. Carlos Colmenares, 223 out of 499. Refractor for the Reyes, that's gonna be for Jeffrey and the Reyes. Pablo Obrayu for the Brewers. Daren, cases Lazzardo for the A's to 499. That'll be for Mark. And the final box. Good luck. You know, the Dodger Stadium, remember, because of COVID, they were supposed to have the All-Star game in 2020 last year. Obviously, the pandemic ruined those plans. Um, so there was no All-Star game. And then last year, or this year, it was, they already had scheduled it somewhere else. Did the Rockies, I think, are there? Anyway, in 2021, or 2022, next year, next summer? In 2022, the Dodgers get it officially. They get it back. So by then, it'd be cool to see if any of the prospects that we've been pulling out from these Bowman Chrome breaks starts to make their way to the futures game. I wanna go to the futures game. I think that'll be a lot of fun. Hopefully, I don't know if any of the distributors or maybe Tops or something like that, if they do like sort of fan fest or gathering or something like that, maybe they'll have some event there that we could maybe kind of sneak into. Maybe we can break from a fan fest event or something like that at Dodger Stadium or sneak our way into an event or something. There's Shailen Polanco, nice. 12 out of 25 for the Pirates, Eric J. And you go number eight prospect in the international class per Baseball America. I think we've seen some of the mock-ups of him as well. Third best outfield prospect per MLB.com and an Orange Auto too. Luis Toribio, 86 out of 250. Purple Chrome for my rivals, the Giants big boy is 007. Should have one more auto. Sometimes I've seen these Dawn of Glory inserts be autoed as well, which is pretty neat. And there's Johendrick Pinango for J. Remington and the Cubbies. Number 25 Cubs prospect per Baseball America. Love Baseball America. There's Austin Meadows to 2.99. And that is that boys and girls. That was 2021 Bowman Chrome Baseball Hobby Edition. 12 box, pick your team number 14. Number 15 is in the store right now on JaspysCaseRace.com. Go and get your teams and maybe we'll knock out another one tomorrow. Here's a quick little autograph recap from the last box going backwards to the first box. Nice Jersey and Auto, Luis Garcia. Some nice color here. There's an Aril Vera to 75. Some orange shimmer. Out of 10, Jeremy Delarosa. Refractor Aril Vera, Baron Radcliffe and of course we had the five out of five. Pedro Pineda, nice. There you go gang. Thanks very much everybody for getting into the action. I appreciate it. I'm Joe for JaspysCaseRace.com. I'll see you next time for the next Bowman Chrome Baseball Break. Bye bye.