We have to start watching these two levels here to the upside. The five-day moving average, you can see here, the last three times it got to the five-day moving average. Welcome to Access a Trader, the number one community for those who are committed to taking control of their trading in order to achieve success, profitability, and longevity. Thank you for joining us. Here's Dan Shapiro to help you find your edge, master your process, and own your future. Hey, guys, good evening, everybody. Welcome to another edition of theaccentrader.com. Nightly update, hope everybody's doing well. I usually have Thursday nights off to kind of just clear the head. My daughter had back-to-back basketball games yesterday, so I couldn't record the video, so I'm basically recording the video now, and oh, yada, yada, yada, yada, I have a basketball game literally after I'm done doing this. So remember when you were younger, right? Remember when, well, some of you guys are younger, you remember that crush you had, right? You loved that crush, that crush in your eyes could do no wrong, the way this person laughed, the way the person flung their hair, the way they dressed, their sense of humor, right? You know, that crush, you just couldn't stop thinking about that crush. And then one night you saw that person in a bar, and it was like two o'clock in the morning, and that person was slurring their words and talking a bunch of nonsense, and ultimately like threw up on you, right? How would you feel about that person, right? How would the appearance of that person in your eyes has it changed, right? They have a different opinion of that person, as the perception of that person a little bit different than you were before somebody threw up on you. So that's kind of where we are right now. We're in a market, and I said this today, pre-market during the morning strategy, that I feel like this week was probably the sloppiest, right? You know that crush, right? The crush that the market is good, and it'll give you organic opportunities, and everything will be good, because again, you believe in technical analysis. You have that technical analysis in such high regard, and usually things are going to follow through in that matter, right? That's your crush, okay? That is your fantasy spouse, whatever you want to call it. And this week we started seeing so many images of that crush, right?  We saw this week, for the exception of today, I thought it was very, very aggressive, we'll get to that in a second. But I thought we saw for the first three days of the week the absolute sloppiest three o'clock in the morning market literally barfing on your new shirt feeling. And when you see what happened the last few days, we lost 364 only to reclaim it on the clothes. The next day we lost 364 again to lose the previous days low to reclaim 364 on the clothes. The following day, all these things reclaiming, and again, reclaiming usually a bullish thing, then you saw the market gap lower, right? And gap down very, very aggressively, only to recover, only to close below that 364 level, only to gap down today, which is again, it's supposed to do that, only to rally to green and reclaim the moving average. Again, sloppy, incoherent, all over the place, right? But the good news is today was actually the first day of the whole week, right? That we literally had a lot of value. Names like Netflix exploded. We'll get the Netflix in a second. NVIDIA had a great wash off the open going green to red into a really good wash that we caught in the morning. Microsoft's still incredibly strong, right? But the problem is the market is sloppy right now. The market is in a way that you're trying to have a reasonable conversation with a person who's been taking shots of Patron for the last two hours. It's sloppy. You can't understand them. They don't make sense. But you know what? It's okay. You wait to have an intelligent argument or intelligent discussion with that person when they become sober. I believe at least for today, the majority of the day, this is the first time that we saw the market kind of coherent, kind of looking at channels. They went through the channels. They followed through to the channels and everything was good. Now, before you turn around and say, well, today was a really productive day for the bulls. I wanna illustrate exhibit it, right? Even though the market was bought on a gap down. Again, if you've been watching this broadcast for years and years and years, I always say the biggest value on any gap down, especially in this really long, exaggerated range that we have is always to the upside. So that's not really surprising. The initial channels are always gonna be to the upside. What they did was, they did a great job. They did reclaim pretty decent levels and they reclaimed at 1.364. And when you kind of take a step back and like look at the tape today, you'll see a little bit of a concerning picture. Now again, this might not be something or they might turn into, there might be something that might turn into nothing, but the one thing that's really bothering me about what we did today and just over the last three, four days of the week is, number one, we have four consecutive days, right? Take a look. Here's a high, lower high, lower high, lower high and we keep on getting rejected off the five day moving average. The five day moving average for me, again, if this is the first time you're watching this broadcast, it means represent short term sentiment, right? That's a very, very big deal. So for me to get bullish, like really, really bullish on the tape, I would love to see the cues kind of reclaim 367 on a close. We basically would take out three straight days of lower highs and reclaim a pretty big level to go back to the highs. And for every name that does look good and Microsoft has been an absolute monster, right? I think we could all agree with, right? Absolute beast. Netflix for the last three days has woke up very, very strong, took out a major level. Congratulations for you guys who traded today off that 531 remount supply, just absolutely exploded. And the one thing that I started thinking about Netflix, I really couldn't find a catalyst and somebody turned around and said, well, a fund took a stake at it. Yeah, funds takes stakes in companies all the time. And somebody turned around, Alison said, well, maybe it's going higher because of the whole Delta, Delta is getting the Delta strain is getting strong. And I said, well, you could be right. But if Delta was a big deal and a catalyst for Netflix, well, wouldn't Delta also be a catalyst for Peloton that looks like garbage, like Zoom that looks like garbage, like Dock U, right? That looks like garbage. So I don't think for a second, the strength in Netflix is due to some, you know, stay at home theme stock, right? At first I did, but I didn't because if that was the case, Zoom would be strong, Dock U would be strong, Peloton would be strong, all these names would be strong and they're not. So look, without speculating, right? And I think we all love speculating. I think it's one of the things that we do great as human beings. We speculate, we dream, right?  Like somebody really might know something. This is the biggest volume we've seen in a long, long time, okay? This move was exaggerated to beyond all points, right? Incredibly bullish. And the question remains, and again, we're fully speculating, but there's the question remain, Amazon's in streaming, right? Amazon Prime is okay, right? They got some things on there, right? It looks some pretty decent. They're not Netflix, right? Disney, right? Disney has Disney Plus. Does Disney and Netflix make a good fit? Probably not. You're not gonna have Disney, right? Bambi next to After Porn ends four. It doesn't kind of mesh well, right? So you probably take Disney out of the picture. Then you look at names like, for example, like MGM and Apple, they're all into streaming. A candle like this, well it makes a person start to speculate. Obviously it's all speculation, but we have to really watch this thing for the next couple of days. Not really aggressive option flow. We saw some 550s, but this is definitely something we definitely wanna pay attention to for the next couple of days. Especially going into tomorrow's session, any dip into rising 60 minute support we have to keep an eye on. And if you look at the 60 minute channel, right? If you look at the 60 minute, obviously this is the dip I'd like to look at, but it does have, I still have room, right? It still has room to all the way to this top of this channel here in the 556 area. Maybe it takes a day of rest, maybe whatever the case may be, but this is something we really need to kind of pay attention to for the next couple of days just because it's so unusual and moving completely opposite of its own peers in the whole quote unquote COVID stay and move in place. But here's where things get really ugly. And if you look at the market today, you'll clearly see as great as that reversal was, you still have a lot of weakness, right? Amazon cannot get out of its own way. Again, bad earnings is just gonna drift. Facebook, again, continue to go lower. Again, it held the bottom range here for now. You have names like Apple that reversed couple of days ago and really, really, this was kind of like the telltale sign of what potentially was gonna happen today at the open because this is the leader that kind of ran it up. And this was kind of the first thing that took it down. So you still have a lot of spots here. Tesla, right? Tesla had this big, big monster move here out of the range and then it failed the range and then tonight it starts this whole AI presentation, right? Look, I don't know what's gonna happen to AI right now. It's what, five o'clock Eastern time. I believe that it's gonna start screaming shortly. Okay, so a lot of you guys are going to see this video after what Tesla's gonna do. I don't know what's gonna do tonight. But the one thing that we will talk about on Tesla is what happened last time it had a big event. If you guys remember the last really big event was battery day, right? If you guys remember battery day, battery day, battery day they got to introduce a whole big battery, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, battery, right? And what happened was they gap the stock up on battery and then they sold off the stock like 37 points in the next 24 hours. I'm not saying it will, I'm not saying it won't but we have to be at least conscious for that in the morning. And the one thing that we wanna know more than anything more than any type of speculating of what potentially could happen with Tesla tomorrow is looking at levels that we could at least technically realize, right? Today it washed, held the 200 day moving average. Obviously the 200 day moving average we're gonna keep an eye on tomorrow because if it starts losing the 200 day moving average obviously it's not a good thing. And if history repeats itself based on the whole battery day, right? Well there's gonna be a lot of value to the downside. On the flip side, right? Tesla had a big run up two days ago and it stopped at the five day moving average. Just in case it's good, right? Cause we don't know what they're gonna say on battery day or AI whether hell it is anymore, right? We have to start watching these two levels here to the upside. The five day moving average you can see here the last three times it got to the five day moving average it got rejected, got rejected, got rejected. So I wanna keep an eye to the 200 day to the downside tomorrow. I wanna keep an eye on the upside if it starts taking out the five day moving average. So basically be prepared, right? Basically be prepared from both sides of the aisle. Just the way we were kind of prepared today from the video, right? We talked about in the morning about, you know it held to 1.9740 twice, right? Once it got right through that 1.90 and a half let it level twice it got through there and it washed all the way to 87 really, really good move there in the morning. So we have to be prepared. I have no bias into Tesla for tomorrow. I do know that it's gonna put in a pretty good range tomorrow just because there's a catalyst, right? There's a catalyst and people are very, very aggressive with their opinions. So one side of the market is gonna get caught tomorrow being upside down. As long as we are conscious of the levels to the upside of the levels to the downside I do think we could go into tomorrow's session after this whole AI event with no prejudice, no bias just watching those levels and those levels are obviously gonna be on tomorrow's prime target at morning strategy. What I don't like again about going into tomorrow's session is I started seeing a lot of names kind of fizzle out despite all this and all that and the bulls did a great job. There's a lot of names that look like they're about to have some really big technical damage. Before I go to my daughter's basketball game let me give you guys some names, right? Look at mRNA, mRNA it pretty much ping pong now through every single supply and demand zones, right? So you had this big rally a couple of days ago got rejected on the 10 and it got sold off today back to back days and it held the 20. So this 20, right? And again it's the same exact same scenario as Tesla. I have no bias on this thing. We know the upside channel here. We know the downside channel here. Something's gonna give you, right? Something's gonna give and because of its average to range and because the market is so sloppy and it's not gonna give you 900 different setups we have to be conscious of names that could potentially do very, very well to the upside and do very, very well to the downside. So you have this 10 day moving average here around the 413 area, you have this area here below this 375 level, something here is gonna give. And our job right now because the market is so drunk, I think that's the best way of saying it, it's so drunk, it's so out of control. And by the way, trying to throw up on all of us just the way you're a dream girl or dream boy did in the bar and we wanna avoid the throw up, right? I don't want the throw up on me. I don't want the stankle.  So the most important part is we wanna kind of get it out of the way of the sloppy this. We wanna kind of get out of the way of the noise and all that good stuff and concentrate on the valid pivots. And there's a lot of names that are not tradable for tomorrow just because they're in congested channels but there are names in the ranges like an mRNA and a name like a Tesla that could be very good. Again, a name like Peloton, right? Look at Peloton. Peloton's held this whole bottom range here twice. If Peloton starts losing this bottom channel, this thing could get hit as well. So again, there's definitely a name that I'm watching. There's some shorts, there's some longs. I wanna make sure we are covered from both sides and things are starting to look good. By the way, for all you guys who like these little plays, keep an eye on this stock Grom. I kind of like this thing. Had a big, big move, initial IPO, kind of going sideways. A little bit of a sloppy of trade but for all you guys who trade these little ones, keep an eye on this thing. Any clothes above this like 30, 30 level could be pretty good. Again, stop today at the linear regression line. So any clothes over 30, 30 could be good as well. So again, going into tomorrow, do I love some things? I kind of like some things, right? But again, it's not the nature of the business that we're in that we're comfortable with, with very predictable moves. The market is sloppy, the market is drunk. Again, say what you will, people are on vacation. This is the last day of summer. Nobody's there to defend prices. But again, sometimes the reality is this. Sometimes the market just wants to throw up on you. Your job is to get out of the way. Guys, have a great night everybody. God bless and I'll see you all tomorrow.


Hi folks. I'm Jim Kondos as most of you know. I am Vermont's 38th Secretary of State. I want to thank you all for attending this discussion regarding our upcoming primaries and for helping keep voters educated with official trusted information. Today's focus is on next week's primary elections. Our plan is to hold at least one more of these events to discuss our planning for the November general election as well. This year the 2022 August primary and upcoming November general are once in a generation elections as we all know. There have not been this many open statewide and federal seats at any time in recent history and certainly not my tenure as Secretary of State. I'm really of the mindset that when voters have more options both on the ballot and how they vote that's a good thing. The last statewide election in Vermont was during the COVID-19 peak. Fortunately that is not the case this year. However one positive outcome from the 2020 election was Vermonters embracing voting early or voting by mail. As a result we have worked with the Vermont legislature to permanently increase flexibility and voting options for Vermonters. Examples of the new positive impacts of Act 60 2021 provisions for ballot drop boxes and the opportunity for voters to be able to cure any defective ballots. I want to take this opportunity today to discuss what options early voters who haven't returned their ballots have, what early voters who have already returned their ballot can do to ensure there weren't any issues with it and what in person voting may look like for those voters who want to vote in person and what you all can expect as reporters next week and in the hours and days following the closing of the polls at 7 p.m. First it is important to remember that the August primary is really three separate elections in one day. It's a Republican, a Democrat and a progressive election. It's essentially a nominating process for each of the Vermont of Vermont's major parties where voters have direct say in the major party candidates who will appear on the November general election. In June we issued a postcard ballot request reminder to all Vermont voters describing all the tools voters have available to utilize in order to utilize the Vermont no excuse 45 day early vote period. And I'll give you some numbers here as of late yesterday. We had 52,120 voters who have already cast their ballots or who have requested their ballots early and a total of 25,970 just about 50% who have already returned their ballots to their town clerk. This represents a two and a half times increase from the last midterms in 2018 prior to COVID. I often say before an election your vote is your voice, exercise it. Well while that remains true, many Vermonters still have unreturned requested ballots and they need to know how to get their ballots back so that their vote does count. One, they can deliver their ballot directly to the town clerk during business hours and I would advise that you contact your town clerk directly to verify their office hours. You can use a secure drop box where you can place your ballot before election day. We have about 200 towns that over 200 towns who have secured drop boxes in one form or another and you already can bring your ballot directly to the polls on election day. So if you're unable to get to the town clerk before election day, which is Tuesday, August 9th, you can still bring it to the polls. Very importantly, the town clerk needs to have the voters ballot in hand by 7 p.m. when the polls close for their vote to count. I'll repeat that. It's important that people understand that the town clerk needs to have the voters ballot in hand by 7 p.m. when the polls close for their vote to count. Voters can check directly with their town clerk or at mvp.vermot.gov to verify the address of their polling place and also to check and I'll talk about this a little bit later to check the status of their ballot if they sent it back already. A small number of polls have moved to new locations from years past. That information is available on their mvp, my voter page and people can look there to see if their polling place is the same or not. Voters in towns with more than one district may have a new poll location as a result of the 2022 legislative reapportionment process. By Vermont law, any ballots received by the town clerk by mail up to and on election day will be counted. Another important point to remember, Vermont is not a postmark state. Postmark dates do not count here in Vermont. Our hope is voters heed our warnings on by mail ballot return and those who didn't get their ballots in the mail in time, which from our estimation was either last Friday or this last yesterday, Monday. And if they didn't get their ballots into the mail by then, they should be prepared to bring it to the town clerk before election day or to the polls on election day. If someone has lost their ballot, they can still vote at the clerk's office before primary day or at the polls on primary day, they will need to sign an affidavits saying that they have lost their ballot. If you did not lose your ballot, but you just forgot to bring it with you to the polls, you will be asked to sign an affidavit that you have not yet cast a ballot. And I want to be very clear. Vermont's polls will be open, as always, for every voter who wants to vote, whether returning a ballot or voting in person. New to Vermont's election this year is ballot curing. Voters now have the opportunity to cure defective ballots, which previously was not possible by law. So if they forgot to put their voted ballot in the correct envelope or they forgot to sign the certificate with the voting ballot, or they didn't return their two unvoted ballots, their ballot would be deem defective by the town clerk as per Vermont law. And that voter's ballot would not have been counted. Now voters can correct those errors, either with the town clerk or at the polls on election day, so that their ballot can be counted. Voters can also check mvp.vermot.gov, the My Voter page to verify ballot status. If it says defective, they still have work to do and they should contact their town clerk to discuss how to cure it. In most cases, the defect may be cured by simply submitting an affidavit online through the My Voter page, or they should watch for a postcard to come from their town clerk. We did provide pre-printed postcards to the town clerk that they can utilize to mail to Vermonters for those whose ballots have been deem defective. And we understand from some of the town clerks that we've talked with that it's working very, very well. Within five business days of election day, town clerks must make a good faith effort to notify the voter using any contact information they have in the voter checklist other than a mailing address. We do not have phone numbers or emails for all registered voters and this goes back decades of grandfathering where it was not required. A lot of the town clerks are trying to update their information as they go, but it's still not complete. And just as an FYI, and I want to speak a little bit about the defective ballots. So this year, we only have so far to date, 444 defective ballots. And of those 444, 260 have been cured already. That's close to 60%. So I would say it's working and working well. That is 260 votes in the past elections would not have been counted because of an error and how they returned it. Now it works. My message to voters encouraging them to verify their ballot status is simple. Every vote counts. Make sure yours is. I would also like to remind people of Vermont's innovative accessible voting system, AVS as we call it. It's a fully ADA compliant process and will be available for use at all the polls. The AVS enables Vermont voters, including those with disabilities, to cast their ballot privately, independently and securely. And I'm sure many of you are wondering what can you expect on election night from our unofficial, and I repeat unofficial, reporting of results. As you are aware, the number of early and absentee ballots for the August statewide primaries has increased from years prior to 2020. Changing the workload placed, it changed the workload that was placed on the Vermont town clerks and election workers. As for new Vermont law, the town clerks now may conduct the early processing of ballots up to 30 days before the election. However, no results will be known until after the polls close at 7pm and the town clerk basically flips the machine to report mode. We get asked every year, so I want to be clear, there is no way to get an early number, any early numbers on turnout or updates throughout the day on a primary day. I repeat, no actual results or turnout numbers will be available until the report is run by the town clerks after the polls close on election day. For hand count towns, and that is any town with a population of less than 1,000 that have not otherwise voted to use a tabulator, the counting of votes cannot start until after the polls close at 7pm. This year, the town clerks are utilizing new tabulators supplied by our long-time and trusted vendor LHS Associates out of New Hampshire. These tabulators will provide new tools to voters letting them know if, for instance, they overvoted in a particular race, like filling in three ovals for a race that specifies no more than two, or if they insufficiently mark their ovals. The voter can choose to correct their overvote or have the ballot cast as is, meaning that their votes can count in that race. And this is as good a time as any to remind you and you all and the public that official results are not immediately available on election night. This is a common misinformation point that once the election is over, all the results are official, they are not. The town clerks in Vermont by law have 48 hours to review, to verify and certify their election results before they submit them to our office. Official results are then certified at the statewide canvass seven days after the election, which is represented by the three major parties and me. That one-week period is actually one of the fastest in the country. Most go two weeks to 30 days before they actually canvass. Keep in mind that recounts may slow down the results of a particular election, which would not be available until after the recount itself is dissolved. We do need to move away from the notion that elections process ends and the official results are available the moment the polls close on election night. That's just not how the process works. And it's for good reason. Generally across this country, the reality is that accurately counting votes in an election may take longer than in times past. It is vitally important that we do take our time to get things right. Accuracy leads to better integrity. With something as important as our elections, the focus must remain on doing things accurately and not doing them as quickly as possible. Additional time to report results is not an indication of a problem. It is only an indication that the process is deliberate to ensure an accurate count. With that said, as it currently stands, we do not anticipate any significant delays in either the recording of unofficial results on election night or of official results at the statewide canvass the following Tuesday. I ask that everyone exercise patience. Remember that our town clerks and election workers are working incredibly hard on before, on and after election day. In fact, many of the town clerks are in their offices before 5 a.m. on primary day and won't go home until after midnight. And it's important to understand that they are the reason why the door to democracy is kept open for all the monitors. Our election night results site is ready to provide you with the unofficial numbers that I know you'll be looking for. Unofficial results will start appearing on our election night recording site as the clerks start to enter them into our election management system. Typically sometime after 8 p.m. and they will continue long into the night. Out of an abundance of caution, I want to be proactive and say that redistricting may cause certain issues with the presentation of election night results, but we're not anticipating any at this time. But I just want to make sure that you're aware that there may be some issues with that. Remember, again, the election night reporting site is not official. It provides convenience. And if we make, and if we find that changes to the map from redistricting are causing issues with the election night reporting system, we will communicate and address those as soon as possible. As always, even when ENR is functioning perfectly, which we anticipate it will, it is the single best source for unofficial election night results. Excuse me. Again, keep in mind that these numbers can change over the next 48 hours as town clerks provide the official account for certification as for the certification at the campus. And remember that I or my staff will have no idea about turnout numbers as the primary day goes on next week. We are only privy to the same anecdotal info you'll be hearing from people who have visited those polls. I will not be able to say what turnout looks like until we have the official return of votes from every one of the Mott's town clerks. While I don't anticipate for Mott's primaries being the focus of any specific disinformation campaigns, it is something that we are very vigilant about. On our end, we have direct reporting channels with both Facebook and Twitter and all 50 states do to report any disinformation designed to suppress voters so that the platforms can then take action to take those sites down. On your end, I would ask that you before you bring further awareness to any unverified anecdotes about the voting process, you first check with Vermont's trusted official election sources that would be our office or the town clerks. It doesn't take much time for something false or misleading on Facebook or Twitter to cause a lot of harm. If you have any questions on election day, again, please don't hesitate to reach out to my chief of staff, Eric Covey. I want to thank all of Vermont's hardworking elections team, which is the smallest in the nation, and all of our hardworking town clerks for their work to increase access to the ballot box for Vermonters. They deserve our gratitude and our appreciation. Election season is always such a special time of the year and I am so proud to be from Vermont where we can continue to do all we can to increase voter access and make sure our voting process is not only secure, but also equitable. As you all know, this year is a bittersweet year for me as it is the last election cycle I will oversee as Vermont's chief election official. So I will leave primary voters with a simple message that I have been repeating since I took office 12 years ago. Your vote is your voice, exercise it. It has been my honor as a secretary of state to have served for Vermont citizens for the last 12 years. I hope to see you all at the polls on August 9th or that if you've already voted, thank you for being a voter. With that, I'm going to turn it back to Eric who will open it up for questions. Okay, so if you've got a question, let me know in the chat or raise your hand. We're going to kick things off with Jack. Go ahead. Hi there, Jim. Thanks for doing this. I suspect that a lot of the people who are on this call know the answer to this question, but maybe some of our viewers and readers and listeners could benefit. Could you please sort of chew up under what circumstances people can cure their ballot? Simply changing your mind is not an acceptable reason to alter a ballot. Am I correct? That is correct. And I'm actually going to bring Will in and let him describe the reasons that you can change, that you can cure your ballot. Sure. Thanks, Jim. And thanks for the question, Jack. It's a good one to get information out on, of course. I think Jim went through a few of the reasons earlier, but I'll summarize them. And I think what's most important to remember is they are all focused around the method, the manner in which the ballots were returned, not anything about the way that the voter voted on the ballot itself. And so those are that the certificate envelope that the voted ballot goes in is not signed. That's a very common one that can be cured. That the voted ballot is not in that certificate envelope when it's returned. That also will make it defective and can be cured. And that the three, these are the three most common. And then in the case of the primary, that the two unvoted ballots haven't been returned along with the voted ballot. There is also a couple other instances where if the voter needed still needs to supply additional documentation regarding their registration. So voters that register for the first time in Vermont by mail or online are required to submit some documentation for personal identification. And if that hasn't happened when they registered, they need to do that before their vote can be counted. And the fifth reason is if the clerk's records indicate that a ballot has already been returned for the voter. And so it's interesting too, because those last two cases that I mentioned, as you can see, really require some communication and coordination with the clerk, either submitting the documents or figuring out why they're already marked off as having returned a ballot. And so in those cases, they can't use the affidavit to cure that defect. They actually have to contact the clerk and work out a way to either submit the documents or figure out what's happening with their record. And, Jack, I do want to add, in 2020, we actually had a significant number of defective ballots in the primary. And that we thought that the reason why was because it was the first time many people were voting by mail or voting early and were confused as to the process. That and the fact that our process said that you couldn't cure the ballot. So now that we've done this, I mean, we're now less than 1%. If you take the total of the ballots that have so far in this election been deemed defective, it's less than 1%. And it's of that 60% have already been cured. So that's a huge success on our part. And has there been a different or enhanced voter education around those processes to make that number better than 2020? That's a great question, Jack. And after the last election cycle, Will and his team undertook working with the Center for Civic Design, which does a lot of, they look at your documents and determine if there's a better way of saying it. So we have actually used this this organization, which works pretty much with all 50 states in various ways to review all of our election documents to make sure that they're worded correctly, that they're worded simply. And we've made a huge effort to increase the information and how it's presented to the voter. So we're really pleased with that. And we'll continue doing that with other other items in the election process. Excellent. Thank you. Hey, Peter, go ahead. Thanks, Eric. And thanks, Secretary of State condos for doing this. I have three questions. I've been in and out of this. Did you already give us the total number of early ballots had been requested to date, Jim? Yes, but I don't want to be about it again. I got it on tape. No worries. No worries. I can listen back. Just wanted to make sure it'll be there. You mentioned that you don't anticipate vote counting issues related to redistricting, but that it's a possibility. I'm just hoping you can explain why redistricting could potentially lead to delays or issues in getting results. All right. So let me let me take that first. And then, Will, I'm going to have you come in to go further. So the deep dive is that we have to change a lot of our back end of our systems to match up for and it's not the actual vote counts themselves. It's how they're aggregated because some of the there are district changes that have occurred. And, you know, you can look at Burlington and other places where there have been changes to some of the legislative districts. For instance, here in central Vermont, Stowe used to be part of the Illinois County District that's now part of the Washington County District. So there had to be a change in the back end. And Will and his team have been working with our contractor who manages the system to ensure that those things are correct. And they're doing literally every day they've been testing the system to make sure we don't anticipate any problems whatsoever with the statewide. That's an easy one because the numbers are the numbers and it's it's, you know, those will it's done on a statewide basis where we may have a little bit of an issue. And Will, I hope I'm not saying too much here, but where we may have a little bit of an issue is with the map for the legislative district, the legislative districts, we know the numbers will be correct. Our concern is whether the map will match up to it. So that's just one area. Will, do you want to add anything to that? Sorry, I don't have much to add, Jim. That was that was pretty thorough. I would reemphasize, of course, that it has nothing to do with the accuracy of the counts occurring at the polling places on election night and our ability to ultimately report the accurate result. But Jim was correct that we're just working very diligently right now with the software developer to ensure all of the the mapping for where the results need to be sent to be combined and canvassed for the various offices at different levels. Jim gave a great example of the switch with stow now being part of the Washington County Senate district. But I think as you all know, there's there's a ton of examples of that across the state where towns have moved from either one rep district to another or from one Senate district to another. And of course, I expect accuracy and perfection out of our team and my software developers, but we thought it was prudent to just flag that as a as a possibility. Thank you. And finally, and apologies if you also already hit on this, but are there things, Jim, that your deputy would customarily be doing on election day, election night, that he won't be doing given his status as a candidate in order to avoid even the perception of conflict? Here's where we stand with that. Chris hasn't been in this week and he won't be in through through the election. So he will not be involved in any aspect of the election leading up to it. It's we had that discussion early on when when he decided to run. And we thought it was the proper thing to do. I will say this office, we don't actually touch any of the ballots. All we do is aggregate the numbers that come to us after they're certified by the by the local election officials. So, you know, the town clerks are the ones who actually handle the ballots. They're the ones and their boards of civil authority are the ones who actually review the ballots, pack them up and seal them into secure bags or boxes to hold for the 22 months that were required to hold them. And given that, Jim, can you talk about why you decided it was nonetheless prudent for Deputy Secretary Winters not to have been in the office? And it sounds like the cutoff was last week. He hasn't been in since last week. That is correct. Well, first of all, Peter, I just want to make it clear, you know, this office is about more than just elections. So Chris has not really been involved in the elections process at all leading up to this. But we thought we decided early on that we were going to ask him not to be here in the office this week or through the election, just to take that perception out of out of the discussion. You know, but we have other divisions. I have the state archives. I have the office of professional regulation. I have the corporations registrations, which includes the business portal that we've been working on. And Chris has been the lead on some of that. So, you know, we do have other work that needs to be done, but we've decided that he will not be here this week or the early part of next week. And I'm sorry. Last, last question, I promise on this. So is he not working? Is he not on the job during this period?  Is it unpaid leave? Is he taking vacation? He's using his vacation and leave time. Thank you. Calvin, go ahead. Hi, yeah. Yeah, thank you. I'll echo the others. Thanks for holding this. Just we see this play out in other states. But I mean, quickly, like what is the most common thing that Vermonter may forget that prevents them from voting either leading up to or on primary day? I guess, I mean, that's a hard one to answer, Calvin. But you know, the fact is the whole country has election day on November, the first Tuesday of November. That's an easy one for everybody across the country. That's the general election. For the primaries, primaries are set by the by the state individual states and Vermont, you know, we used to have our primary the second Tuesday of September. That was problematic in meeting federal guidelines for getting balance out to the overseas and military voters. So we had moved it to the fourth Tuesday. And, you know, we had a real struggle getting those getting the everything still put in place. So we asked the legislature to move it again. And background, I think it was 2012, they moved it to this the second Tuesday of August. But some towns or some states, they've had their primaries back in May, June, I think the vast, I think the vast majority of states have their primaries prior to the end of June. And there are very few states that do it later. But, you know, it is what it is. In some states, it's in their constitution. So it's difficult to change it. But in other states, it's in their statute. And, and they've made it accommodations. I guess it's, it's just a matter of getting the information out. And, you know, I have to be honest to Calvin, a lot of the interest in primaries depends on who the candidates are. And it's if they're competitive races. This year, as I said early on, we've got a basically once in a generation change going on at the state level, where you have a U.S. Senate seat is open. A U.S. House seat is open. You've got contested primaries on both of those. You have the Lieutenant Governor's race is heated. You have the Secretary of State's race as a primary. You know, so these are things that drive, whenever reporters ask me, well, what do you expect? I don't know. I think the easy answer is that it depends. And, you know, it's, it's, I know reporters would love to have a definitive answer, but I can't give that to you. I guess my last follow up and I don't know if there is a definitive answer to this, but, you know, this being your last term in office, and out of all of your years serving as Secretary of State, in your view, how do we encourage more voter turnout, right? I mean, we've had a record number of these past few elections. I mean, was it mail in early absentee? I mean, what was the answer and how do we grow that? Well, you know, I think, I think that's a multifaceted question. And, you know, and the answer obviously is multifaceted, but I think that really what you have to look at is, and one thing which I have been vocal about is I would support making like for instance, November, the November general election, a holiday that so everybody would have that opportunity. The problem is our society has changed over the years. You know, people work, it used to be that most people didn't work on Saturdays and Sundays. Well, now people work on Saturdays and Sundays. They work at night. They work during the day.  People are busy, and it's sometimes hard to get people to focus on a particular day. So that's why I fully support what Vermont has done where we have a 45-day window for voting. It's really an option. People don't have to do it. They can wait and vote on election day. But, and then the other aspect is to, is to provide convenience and options to people to be able to cast those ballots, meaning whether they do it by mail, in person, at the clerk's office, how they get it back. Those are all things that, you know, our office and what I've tried to do is, is remove any obstructions and barriers to allowing people to vote. That sounds good to me. Thank you. Okay. Do we have any other questions today? Yep, I do. Okay, go for it. Um, Mr. Secretary, first, yeah, thank you for calling us. And I'm sorry, the lawnmower is going off in the background. So I was going to ask you why drop boxes are necessary, but I don't now because right as this press conference started, my shut-in at home next door neighbor asked me to deliver her sealed ballot for her. I hope it's okay that I do that. If it's not, let me know. But, so my, my other question is, are you concerned at all about delays in U.S. mail delivery? Certainly, those have been more frequent. And what do you recommend people concerned about that do? So that's a great question, Guy. And we've, we've actually, I was just talking with a couple of reporters yesterday about this issue and nationally. I actually attended the National Postal Conference. I was invited to be there as a speaker back in May out in Phoenix. And, and we spoke about this whole very issue. I actually met with Lewis DeJoy and had this conversation with them as well. But, but to put it bluntly, the post office has assured us, and I will say that they did in 2020, and they've done it again this year, that our, that election mail will be given a priority. So that's why you didn't see it for this one, but in the, in the general election, we're going to be switching all of our envelopes over to have a stripe on the side, a colored stripe. And that is to help the Postal Service identify it. Also, every, every postal envelope and every election envelope has the, the symbol on it that says this is election mail helps them to identify it as well. We will and his team have been meeting with the Postal liaison that they have that's been assigned to Vermont, New Hampshire and Maine, literally weekly now for several months. And, you know, as I think he's probably had a couple of conversations this past week with, with, with that individual. And it's always when we hear, we see something come to us from front porch forum, we'll notify them and let them know that this is that here's what we're hearing. And, you know, I think the problems that we've heard and Guy, I'm sure you're looking at front porch forum, but the problems that you see seem to be isolated to certain towns or certain areas versus a statewide issue. And I can tell you from 2020, we actually, our Postal Service was went above and beyond. We had postal carriers that were checking the blue boxes on the corners, street corners to see if there was election mail in there. We had them, the postmaster for from a town might call the town clerk and say, hey, we just received three ballots in the mail, and the clerk would send someone down to pick them up. So, you know, it's a matter of all of that total discussion occurring. But I think the other thing is that we've been very clear, we were in 2020 and we've been clear this year that, you know, if you're going to mail your ballot back, it should be in the mail by seven to 10 days before. After that, you should try to make arrangements to get it dropped off at the town clerk's office or at a drop box. What happens to ballots that do come in on a Wednesday or a Thursday? Are they just S-O-L or? Next week, you mean? Yeah. Yes. It's, I wouldn't use the word term S-O-L, but I would say that it's, you know, the Vermont law is very, very strict and says that we will, and very clear that all ballots must be received by 7 p.m. on election night. And I do want to add, I don't have the actual number, I don't know, Will if you do, but I don't have the actual number. But the number of ballots that we receive after the deadline is pretty small. It's pretty small. Okay. Speaking of state law, other state laws do have more stringent guidelines on video oversight of drop boxes. Vermont's is like, you can have video, but as long as you're inside of the town office, it's okay. Any thought about recommending strengthening Vermont laws to make it more, more oversight to allay some of those concerns? Well, first guy I will say, and Will can vouch for this, but this is the first year we're officially having drop boxes. It's the first year that it's in statute. And if you look at the statute, it actually is pretty stringent, but it doesn't require, it recommends but doesn't require a video of it. But it does require it to be on municipal property. It has to be visible from the office, from the town clerk's office, or from an official office. And so it is, I would not characterize our laws being weak. I just, I think our law is made to fit Vermont. And I know there are people out there that do not like drop boxes, but the vast majority of Vermonters do support them. And by the way, we have over 200 towns that have drop boxes in one form or another. Okay. Thank you. Okay. Any further questions today? Going once, going twice. So that will conclude today's session. We do have a recording. If you need it, just let me know. Thanks, everyone. Thanks, everyone.


Good morning from the old Medina of Tunis. It's a beautiful sunny day today. So I decided to visit this city called the Benzers or Biserte in English and it is a very important city because it used to be a military base for the French during colonization and it was also the last territory to gain independence in Tunisia. It's supposed to have this beautiful nice old port that I'm really excited to see and show you but what I'm most excited about is a point that's further north of Benzers and it is the northern most point in continental Africa. I have no idea how I'm getting there from Benzers but we will figure that out and I'm really excited to bring you in on this adventure. I love love love love the old Medina in Tunis. It's one of the very few Medinas where you really get that raw experience. You're not really hustled by a lot of vendors. You can walk peacefully and it's very authentic especially for me. When I compare it to many Medinas in in Morocco like America, she can get really hectic but the blue and yellow doors are just so incredible to see. Right behind me is the Ba'b Sa'adun and not too far from here there's supposed to be a louge station and louages here in Tunis are public mode of transportation where you basically get into a van, you pay for one seat and you wait until the van is filled with other travelers going to the same destination. So from here, Tunis to Bizerte, it's about one hour. They are pretty efficient, they are affordable so it's going to be less than 10 dinars. I'm going to leave the exact price out here and they're pretty fast too. So I'm gonna go and find my station. It's so busy out here because it's a Monday but also there are a lot of administrations and a lot of hospitals around this area. Pretty crazy. Just arrived to Benzers and this is the old ports behind me. I got off the station, the louge station, walked a little bit and then took a taxi. It was like 2 dinars. As I started walking here, I can smell the fresh seafood and the taxi driver just told me that there's actually a market right there where you can buy seafood and then you can walk right there and then ask them to grill it for you. This is like my favorite way to to eat seafood so I'm gonna do that and see if it's really good. There's an after party going on. Look at that. Oh my gosh, that meal was fantastic. I'm even taking some leftovers home. I have a feeling by the time I get back to Tunis it's gonna become seafood puree but it was so so so good and I'm still here at the old ports. I'm gonna walk around just to see what it looks like from the other side. Now regarding the northernmost point in continental Africa, when I was talking to the louge driver and the taxi driver everyone's telling me it's not a good idea to go by myself because it's the off-season there aren't a lot of people up there and even if I take some public transportation to get there I will still have to walk and they told me that it's not the best idea. So I think what I'm gonna do, I'm gonna try to find a taxi driver, try to negotiate a price and see if he can take me all the way there maybe spend a couple of minutes there and then bring me back. So fingers crossed. Oh my gosh, they have a beautiful Medina here in Benzert. Everything's blue and it reminds me a lot of the old Medina of Shevchev and in Morocco. Although even in the Tunis they use a lot of blue but here it's very different and I love the art on the walls and they even have some pots right there. So beautiful and peaceful. The one thing that I've been really enjoying about Tunisia is the culture of tea rooms, les salons de thé. So they have tea rooms all around the place. I mean coffee shops and tea rooms but more tea rooms but especially in the old Medina many of the tea rooms are frequented by young Tunisians and it just brings like a beautiful vibe to the old Medina because I'm not used to like back in Morocco for example the old Medinas you know it's like old very traditional not a lot of young people going there but that wasn't the case and so even right here when I go to the old Medina the first thing I find a beautiful tea room where you can order some tea, Minz tea, but the difference is that in their Minz tea they like to add some nuts so usually almonds or pine nuts. So I've been ordering almond a lot but then today I'm trying with the pine nuts and it adds an incredible flavor. I really never imagined that you just throw some nuts in there and it's gonna really change the flavor but it's so so very good. I found the taxi driver who was kind enough to you know just do this with me and we parked the taxi all the way there because there are a lot of puddles of water and we don't want to get stuck in there so I'm going to walk a little bit and it's funny because it just starts to be raining so just the two of us out here we're gonna make it happen we don't know exactly what it is but we shall see. It's deserted out here there's not a single person nobody here. The sun is all the way there and you can see there's a lighthouse right there. This is the northernmost point in continental Africa from Tunisia.


hey everyone welcome back to another counterside video today's video we're going to talk about the updated tier six guide but before that give it an updated counterside videos please hit that subscribe button down below okay guys before we proceed to the updated gear guide i'd like to feature a couple of honorable mentions um namely this one the rshhsr so it means religion science handheld special rifle is engraved so this one that um the option one is specializes on anti-striker damage then if you take a look at the other stats that it gives as you can see there aren't a lot so more or less um you may use this one as something on your you know not your major units or not the ones that you bring but could be one of the filler um gears that you could have and the next one is also in that space so it's called the welsh crown so for this one um the main the what do you call this the first option is bar enhancement so this i think i see a you know application in terms of your units that give barriers or receive barriers so this one is kind of okay can be used as well um let's check out the options options too so pretty decent skill haste nothing to you know nothing to write home about um specialized as well anti defender damage or damage resistance overall and there are also anti you know counterparts on the other side so in the left side so this one pretty decent gear and these two i'm not sure i think because this is this is actually tied to the fur balls fur so we had one event uh wherein we had to attack a boss doll so that actually was part of um this actually was part of that event so one is your hexa case which can be farmed in the game which i will you know mention later the other one is actually going to be your sincere movement which actually just drop uh this week in terms of its availability and the other one that we're going to talk about is the bellies suit which also i'll you know um i'll show you where to farm this one within the game so let's take a look at the stats for these gears okay the guys so the link for this file is going to be you know it has been in you know the previous tier six guide as well but i also posed a link to the guide in the description of this video so we have here a sincere movement hexa case and belliesa suit added to the list so again for belliesa suit we'll start with that one so it's a fix it's a fixed stat for hp which is can we can vary depending on your enhancement as well um and your hexa case is going also to have a fixed stat which is attack as well hexa case is available for counters while belliesa suit is actually available for soldiers and most of the other stats that they have are pretty much the same so critical critical damage system skill haste um you name it it's actually they're really the same including the minimum and the maximum so where do you get these gears guys so um first and foremost you can see here at the bottom ideal units to equip so for the hexa case it's going to be you know um those you need to bulk up um attack stat or and also for the belliesa suit it's going to be units needing high hp so soldier version um this is it already um mech version i'm not sure with this one the soldier version but the best suit i'm not sure we're going to have a counter version for this one okay so just gonna edit this and for the location you can actually get these two and supply off dash military supply acquisition you can farm the molds for these you can farm them there um i still lack one of um one of the gears the tier six gears that featured also in that um in that stage but i will add that soon once i i'm able to grind out a couple of gears from that stage okay let's go back to sincere movement sincere movement is actually the opposite of if you remember we had courageous crown um previous to previous to sincere we had actually uh sorry courageous crown here so it's just the opposite same option to stat so as you can see your hp attack defense crit and the others are the same the only thing that is different are actually the option one stat so for courageous crown you have here um anti counter damage so this is more damage um anti counter anti melee anti soldier anti mech while your sincere is going to be anti counter damage resistance so this uh sincere basically is again the opposite so which means it is going to give you more resistance so defensive and tanky units will you know will benefit from it and it is available as well um for your soldier version which is going to be sincere skeleton and also sincere radar for your mech version so it's actually available in the gauntlet shop seasonal gear so i like this gear um mainly because it provides a lot of damage resistance on top of you know your tank units that are you know that that you have um it would be good that you put two sincere gear sincere gears tier six in one unit so that you can increase a lot of um damage resistance um this will be mostly be for me i think be used in pvp especially if encounter a lot of counters more or less that is not that that is where it's going to play right now um as for as for the other content i'm not sure on where you could bring this but for me what i did was i was able to put this in an ahara chifuyu because i this actually has evasion so the primary stat is going to be evasion so again um a defender which has evasion or an attacker which has evasion this would be good for that specific or any kind of unit that falls under those categories okay so once you go to the shop you go to season um we go to seasonal gear so it's gonna be here so as you can see you still have courageous sight here um courageous movement a courageous crown i finished off the two of them sincere movement i did finish off the two already and this actually reverts to the original price of 6000 uh gauntlet points so more or less if you need them now you better get them now because i actually forgot to buy these two um i only bought the counter versions but there are still mech and soldier versions of the gears available the shop okay and the other one let's go to where you can farm um your hexa case and your billy as a suit it's going to be supply operations going to be here so you have here um i this is going to be your hexa case you can farm it here your billy as a suit is going to be farmed here so the iron shaders armor mold um for this one it is going to be your max will corp armor mold for the hexa case and i actually still have to farm for these this will give you your west protocol t6 to profit industries accessory mold so i'll update you guys once i have that specific gear um ready and i've farmed them or it already okay guys so for those of you have stuck this for in this video please consider subscribing because this really helps my channel a lot and also guys don't forget to click that bell icon so you don't miss any counter side videos also guys don't forget one last thing please put a like to this video if you think this is informative to you thank you take care stay safe this is the warden and i'm out of here


The following is a presentation of TFNN, The Power Trading Hour with your host David White. Call now toll free at 1-877-927-6648 or internationally at<PHONE_NUMBER>. Now David White. And welcome all to another excellent edition of the Power Trading Hour. It doesn't matter where you're at as long as at this time. You're here. The following takes place between 2 p.m. and 3 p.m. And what do we have today? Well we've got a more, a lot more of the end of the world discussions. I don't watch CNBC much if ever, I just happen to turn on the TV to catch the weather and caught Josh Brown pounding the desks saying the end is nigh. I don't know. I've been to New York in a while but there used to be a guy that would just stand out there on the center grass strip and yell and scream, the end is nigh. I wonder if he's still there. But no end yet. It's always like those people, like the people say that they're, who was it, what was the name of that gal? I'm trying to remember now, she was on, oh Miss Cleo. She didn't know that her company's going bankrupt and didn't know much, the IRS was coming to get her. Of course, she didn't pick up any Lotto tickets either, the one. Anyway, predicting the future is very hard and many people claim to do it. Good traders, they kind of react to what happens and what they're seeing. They have to live kind of in the moment.  They're not going to make it easy for you. It's not just going to, you see something that happens five minutes later. Generally it's, there's a lot of stuff that warms up to the point where it actually starts to boil over. Anyway, on today's movement today, it was very much reticent of yesterday's move and that is it came down, the volume all but stopped. There was some volume in the indexes but when you got down into a lot of the individual stocks, nothing happened. Now yesterday, I think we were doing a little over six billion shares. We were doing about 5.6 billion, so about 400 million less or 500 million less than we were doing at this time yesterday. So push that down and again, I'm not a big fan of deciding that the end of the world happens during expiration week because most of the time it doesn't. Most of the time it does, you get kind of a really good idea that things are bad before it starts and then on Friday of the expiration week, everybody's been bearish all week and then the market's been selling off and then you get these huge rips on the last day. And I think tomorrow is kind of that kind of idea, maybe not as bad as some of the other big sell-offs in the past. But just watch stocks. I think I said at 11 o'clock or 11.30 in the den that I was looking at my ticker and just wondering, is it frozen? Did the computer freeze up? Did something actually moving? I already launched this just in case something was going on, but there was nothing. You get the first volume, maybe in the first hour or something, and then it just goes dead in a doornail. And as a trader, if you're trading very short time frames, it's kind of boring because there's nothing going on. Those five-minute bars don't mean much if there's nobody trading. If you're a little more medium-term trader like me, then you start going, things that make you go, and that is lots of movement and no significant price or volume change together. And of course, it's always the same thing. You see a lot of lightning, but you don't hear the thunder.  There's got to be the two things go together and just wasn't seeing it or feeling it. The option market makers got just slightly more bearish last night. I'll look and see what they've got going on now. But they've pretty much been around from last night. They're very sure that they can get it up to $4,500, maybe to $4,525. We'll look at the numbers tonight. The one thing that really disturbs me is that nobody is short other than the equities themselves. They're buying in the monies. They're not buying out of the monies, at least in the S&P 500. And that was the only thing that really troubled me going into this morning's out, that and having internet problems at the office. But other than that, everything looked kind of good. In fact, one of the stocks that I've been looking at for maybe 10 days, it looks like it's going to go right up in Park itself, where I thought it was on options a week ago. Those looked very, very good. Another one I had was problematic all the way up until about an hour ago. And now we're running to the end zone, and we're going to spike the ball, I think, on that over the next couple of days. It was one of the most heavily shorted stocks yesterday. And they pushed it down, couldn't get it more than a buck lower. Now it's, I don't know, $0.75 higher. I think it's all those folks shorting it the last couple of days, probably going to reward me well on some very inexpensive options. And of course, if you've been listening for a while, you know how much I love expiration week, because you can find, if you can find really good setups, you can really get that 300 or 400% return if you're buying them. And I don't know what these are right now, but I was adding all the way through the morning. I also had another really good, huge run in one of the stocks in the Tech Insider. So I'm going to do a little superior dance. In fact, I'm thinking about doing the rest of the show in interpretive dance. But we've got Tim Ward on in the next segment, so probably wouldn't be appropriate. Maybe tomorrow, an entire show of interpretive, interpretive, I can't even say it, interpretive dance for the markets. Hi. Anyway, that's about it. Options, expiration tomorrow, everybody has been talking about at the end of the world. Generally, as I said yesterday, when people start talking about that, even people that I really think a lot about, it's normally something that almost everybody starts bringing up at least a couple of days, if not three days before. I suspect that if we're going to have some kind of over-the-cliff Thelma and Louise moment, that it happens next Wednesday with the Fed. And that's kind of it. We'll be back with Tim Ward here in a minute. There's just not that much to talk about. But give us a call<PHONE_NUMBER>. And you can talk to Tim. He's got three charts. We're going to go through those and hear calls. Be back in a minute. What's separating you from the most successful men and women on Wall Street? That's right, information. Having all the information gives us the perspective we need to place the right trades at the right time. The TAS Profile Scanner is the premier market-profile-based scanner. Powered by its acclaimed TAS proprietary algorithms, this feature-rich scanner instantly filters over 2,500-plus global financial markets, such as stocks, ETFs, commodities, futures, and forex. This powerful suite of tools leverages instant trade filtering and strategy formulation to show you emerging trades before they happen.  Level the playing field with the TAS Profile Scanner, which you can find under the services tab at tfnn.com. Sign up today! Every market day from 8.30 a.m. to 4.00 p.m. Eastern. For free! Each host is an experienced trader and gives their take on the market while taking calls and questions live from around the world. From the moment the market opens until the closing bell sounds, Tiger TV has eight different shows with expert hosts to help you make the right moves with your money. Watch online at tfnn.com or on tfnn's YouTube channel and become the investor you were born to be, tfnn Educating Investors. And we're back with Tim Ord of the Ord-Oracle.com. Tim has been writing a newsletter for over 30 years. He's won many, many different awards for Timer of the Year in different disciplines. I want to thank Tim for coming back here today. How are you doing today? Good, thanks for having me on again. Thank you over some charts. Yeah, before we get to those, we do have somebody that wants to take a look at Planetier. The symbol on that is P-L-T-R. And while you look that up, Tim, I will welcome Rob from St. Pete. How are you doing today, Rob? Hey, David. Yeah, I just had the question on Planetier, what you were mentioning. And just, it looks to me like it's breaking out and just wondered what yours and or Tim's thoughts were on the stock P-L-T-R. Well, hopefully he's getting his charts up at the morning. At the moment on it. They had news today and have a fairly nice, decent volume pop that's going into the previous high, that previous high at 2750 had 42 million shares. That was on June 28th, so you're breaking through there today. This is a company that does a lot of double top secret stuff, so they don't have many big press releases, but they had one on information for cars. For probably chasing us around for every mile we drive. But Tim, have you been able to get that chart up and take a look? Actually, I went to stock charts and it won't come up. I've got it. P-L-T-R, yeah. Oh, P-P as in Paul. Paul, Larry, Tom, Robert. Yeah. Okay, what was that again? Paul? P-L-T-R. P is in Paul. P is in Paul. L is in Larry. T is in Tom. R is in Robert. Okay, P. Yeah, sorry about that. I thought that was a T and it wasn't coming up. Oh, okay. Actually, there's only a fairly new stock. Looks like a sideways consolidation is going on since 2000. It really started in January of 2000. And the market just kind of went sideways. And if we do a Fibonacci relationship here, let me do it real quick. Yeah, well, that's how you do it. But you did a 50% retracement. And actually, you did have a couple of big volume days one in August. And actually, you're doing one today. So, after you do the average daily volume, you got market pushing up on higher volume basically since the, well, the July low, actually it's late July, early August. So, and the market did do about a 50% retracement from the a little back in November or actually October. I don't know, it looks like to me, be my guess, we're probably going to go back to the February high, but around 45. At least take a shot at it. That's what it looks like. What happens there, we'll have to wait and see. But the market is, you know, the longer the base, normally the longer the rally phase, and the thing's been basing since last, you know, over a year, a year and a half. So, and finally, you get time to go with it. This was a fairly new IPO and they deal in a lot of top secret stuff. So, it's not like you get news that moves this thing around very much. This is one of the few contracts that they have that probably, if they told us about, they wouldn't have to kill us. So, it is all top, it's all top secret CIA and NSA and all that kind of stuff. So, there's not a whole lot. There's only a couple of companies that are kind of like this. But yeah, that 45 high has pretty high volume, 171 million shares out there. So, eventually, it's probably, that high volume high is probably going to get retested at 45 eventually. Earnings is back, I think, in the first week of November for the thing. So, you're probably not going to hear a lot more news until then on it. But then news so far is pretty good. Yeah, also, you know, if you look at the March flow, it looks like, to me, that's probably a potential head bottom because it failed to hold the previous flow to bust it through. So, you probably at the neckline, if you connect a trend line from the March high, and you draw it across to the forward, you know, the highs going forward, you're right at that neckline right now. And you got volume pushing against that neckline. So, it gets kind of rewarding here in the next several days. So, it's kind of an inverse head and shoulders, maybe. Yeah, the may low, I'd call the head. That's how I look at it. And you have the neckline right now. Okay. Very, very good. Okay. Okay, we're going to, thanks for the call. We're going to go back to Tim Ordscharts, which I have already got up here. You want to start off with number one here? Yeah, I just wanted to point this out. This is actually the bullish percent index for the gold miners index. And what the bullish percent index does, the major, the percent of stocks, they're in that index that are on point and figure bicycles. So, you know, when this ratio is at 100, another hundred percent of those stocks in that index are on bicycles. And when it is at zero, it's another 100% of the stocks are on cell signals. And right now, there's 4.37% stocks are on bicycles in the gold miners index. Now, there's about 95% of them on cell signals. But this is kind of a triggering indicator. And I did what I did was put an RSI, which is in the top window of the bullish percent index. When everybody basically heads to the door, the exit door, and the faster they go to the exit door, the more likely that you're looking probably in the intermediate term low. And so, the RSI kind of measures the velocity of the bullish percent index decline. And the faster that velocity is, the more likely that RSI will fall rapidly. And that's what you want to do. And it's kind of a form of a panic situation. And yesterday, this is updated to yesterday's close. And there's 4.37% or, yeah, the RSI, yes, they closed at 4.37%. And previous times is below 10%, which is basically all those blue horizontal lines are the times when the RSI was on this index is below 10. And it came at the March low. If you look at last March low, it nailed that low. And that's the last time. So it's been over, well, basically a year and a half since the RSI fell below 10% on the bullish percent index. So it's an indicator that at most you could have it triggered maybe once or twice a year, but it's been about a year and a half since it's got this low. So one thing is, there's probably a workout low here. Okay, we're going to be back in just a minute with Tim Ord of the Ord-Oracle.com. Are you having fun trading the markets, but having trouble finding like-minded individuals to discuss your trading and investment ideas with? Become an Apex creditor in the trading markets and join the Tiger's Den Trading Room only at tfnn.com. 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We are so confident that you're going to love this new charting software that will even give you a 30-day unconditional money-back guarantee. Don't miss out on this incredible new piece of software. Get your copy of the Art of Timing the Trade charts today by visiting tfnn.com. With Tim Ord of the Ord-Oracle.com. And we're looking at this chart. We have kind of a question that comes together here for Hector. And he wants to, he says, GDX for Tim Ord is the buy today. Or is it close? Are we in the neighborhood? Well, it's, I don't know, you're looking at this chart. There's a lot, you know, we blew down, but we're down for over 4% right now. And if you look at that chart on GDX, basically you're at an eight-year trend line major support around that 30 range. So, yeah, I don't know. I mean, it's been going up and down around the 30 range for the last month because we hit it back in mid-August with mid-September. So, and today the, you know, the RSI got down to 4%. It to me is pretty much for a war-shout, you know. So, you know, you got to buy when everybody else is selling. So here we are. So yeah. Yep. Yep. You got to buy when they're crying and sell when they're yelling. Yeah, that's right. Exactly right. And actually, if you ever look at this chart a little bit closer, go back to the RSI of that bullish percent index. Every time you get a surge of the RSI above 90, I didn't draw those lines in because the graph gets too sloppy. But back in the high we had, well, is it in May there, May, June high? The RSI for that bullish percent index got above 90, and previous times got above 90 was a short-term high. So, and now we're just the opposite. We got the RSI below 10, the same scenario, but this time on the buy side. So, I got that point that out. So, all right, do you want to move on or we got more questions on this? Well, we've got the GDX down here at the bottom. You've got major support put in here. I don't know. I think we covered it. Let's go ahead and take a look at chart number two. Okay, we've got that up now. All right, chart number two is actually the middle of charts one I want to talk about. And what it is, this is the summation index for the NASDAQ composite index. One thing I want to point out on this is big declines can occur when this index is below zero. Well, we got below zero back. You know, eyeballing here looks like a July timeframe. And if you notice, NASDAQ composite, which is a window above it, still managed to push higher. So, what this say is when the NASDAQ summation index falls below zero, large declines can occur, which is those red vertical lines I have listed there. So, like last March, it fell below zero and you had that last March decline. We had another big decline. It looks like probably September of 2020, you had a decline. We had one in probably June, July, or this would be, yeah, July of this year, kind of have a quick decline. And, you know, we've been below that since and nothing's really happened. Well, it happened, don't know, but what this says is that the leadership of the NASDAQ composite is real narrow. And when it gets narrow, you know, bad things can happen. Normally, you're in a bullish trend, you know, I don't know, over 50% of the stocks are carrying the rally. And here we don't have that. So, a very few stocks are carrying the rally, but those few stocks are doing extremely well. At some point, that could stop. And when that stopped, you could get big corrections. And that's what I'm pointing out here. Also, seasonality is not favorable right now this quarter. And that runs into, you know, possibly first of November. So, the next 30 days are better. Could be difficult for the markets. Well, they have large declines, maybe, maybe not. But this is not the best time to put money into the market, the best time to put money in the market. So, when everything's blowing up out there, and we really don't have that here. So, you know, am I expecting a big decline here? Not really. But I'm thinking more of a trading range is going to develop. And so, this is kind of a warning sign that this is not a good time to add money to the market right here. Unless the summation index gets down to, you know, below like 800 or something, that'd be a better time. Because the market's pretty oversold when it gets down there. But it was kind of time to be careful, because seasonality here and the Nasdaq summation index is below zero, which is not ideal. So, it's kind of, I guess, pull back the bullish horns for the moment. So, we can go on and actually look at another chart that, if he had to invest in, if we want to take a quick look at chart number three, okay, let's see. Here we go. We got chart number three. So, this is the summation index again, but this is the summation for the Nasdaq, or for the New York Stock Exchange, NYSE. And if you notice, you know, Nasdaq's way below zero, and the NYSE summation index is still above zero. Yesterday it closed at plus 43, which doesn't predict a large decline will occur here. So, of the two markets, I guess, Nasdaq is in a weaker position compared to the NYSE. So, can we still get a decline? Yeah, you know, it's kind of hovering around the zero, still above, but hovering around the zero. And I did, with blue lines, point out the times when the summation index did fall below zero.  There really wasn't one in 2019 at all. And will we get one this year? I don't know, but we'll also watch the CNN greed-fear gauge, and right now it's at 37. And normally big declines don't happen when everybody's already scared. 37 is pretty, people are kind of scared. So, I think we're just going to bang around in a trading range, and really not go down that much. We may go down some, but not a whole lot. Because the fear gauge, CNN's fear gauge is already at 37, and it's very seldom gets in the 20s. So, we're pretty, you know, everybody's kind of in a fear right now anyhow. So, I'm thinking it's a trading range going to develop between now and probably first of November, and then from there start marching higher again. So, I don't really see a top of any consequence here, even though we fell off about 2% already, which is not big, but... Well, we're going to the break, and we're going to the break. We'll be back in a minute with Tim of the org-oracle.com. That's pretty much it. We'll be back in a minute. Are you in the market for buying or selling real estate in the Bay Area, including the surrounding St. Petersburg, Tampa, and Clearwater markets? Tiger Real Estate LLC is a firm that has extensive experience in the Tampa Bay Area. 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If you scroll down, you can see where it was in the past. Very real time at the bottom. If you scroll down, the lowest it's ever been was basically that March 2020. If you scroll down, my eyeball has got into the teens and the highest it's ever got was late 2020. It looks like about 97. So if you get around 20s and 30s, a lot of times you're setting the lows previously in 2017, it consistently stayed below 20 for several months there. When you scroll down, I don't have you on TV here. I've got it here. So it kind of tells you where we are. So 38 low, if it's in the 20s, it's probably better. But it's pretty good. If you've got a rally going, this thing consistently stays low. It's usually a pretty good sign. If you get above, like you said, 90, things are getting kind of hairy, but it did get picked out to March low pretty good. And then wherever that high was, it was probably October of 2020. I don't know what happened there because it's not, I don't have a graph right next to it. But in general, it's kind of looking at, we're in a minor or lower range right now. And there's already fear here. So that's why I'm saying we're probably not going to get a huge decline from here. But if we're up around 80, then to me, September, October, it could be a pretty bad month. But if the market even goes down here a little bit, a couple of weeks ago, we were getting that near 60, a little bit below 60. And with a 2% drop in the market, which is not huge, then we're already below 40. So if we drop another 2%, we'll probably be below 20, be my guess. So that's what I'm saying. I don't think there's a 10 or 15 point or 10% or 15% decline in the market here just the way that's kind of set up. Because everybody's already kind of scared already. And everybody's talking about seasonality here too. So go ahead. I'm sorry. I was going to say the big talking heads on CNBC, from Kramer to me just turning on Josh Brown, hitting Josh Brown at lunch when I was looking for the weather. These guys are all talking about the end of the world. So generally, I want to fade those guys on the other side. But there is at least in the media, a lot of people talking that they either tend to be totally wrong or a bit early. So I just didn't know. Do you look at anything else for that kind of bull bear sentiment? No, actually, I try not to watch those guys because normally, I meant something else like the bear bulls, the bull bear studies and that kind of stuff. Or is this kind of now? Well, no, I watch this. I do watch the text. You know, yesterday we had a gob of down tick readings, which is kind of a sentiment indicator, but it's much more short term. Also watch a role in the National Association and individual investors thing. You notice that took a big dive yesterday. So that ratio, I don't have it right in front of me, but that ratio took a big dive also. So there's a lot of sentiment besides this one here, if you're a Greek age, the individual investors are pretty bearish too, probably because you listen to Kramer and those guys. So they kind of have influence on the market. So I don't think market is set up here for anything because of the different sentiment indicators right here of a big decline. So I do think a trading range could develop. So I'm thinking that's probably what's going to happen over the next month. Market might try to go up here, can't go up, would come down to these lows again, or maybe just a little bit lower. And that's all it does. So probably leadership, there's evidence that the rotation and the market's going to go on here too. So that's the reason why I think NASA, you know, the leadership there could change. And the NASA, if this A-mark is going to get hit, it would be the NASA just because the summation index way below zero. And that could, you know, rotation out of the high flyers into some other sector that may pick up steam. But part of the S&P's concern I think is pretty much going to hold steady in this vicinity, if not a little bit, you know, could go a little bit lower, but not a lot lower. So, you know, to get that year in rally, I think there's going to be a really big year in a rally that will hit new highs. And you need that fear in the market, you know, the wall of worry, you know, Joe Granville saying back in the 70s, 1970s. And if you don't have that wall of worry in the market, the market rally are really not worth that much. So you got to have that wall of worry to really get the market going to the upside. If everybody thinks the market is going to go up in their position for it, there's really no buyers will have to really drive the market higher. So the wall of worry thing is really important. I think the next several weeks, we'll create a bigger wall of worry, and then we'll get, you know, the November-December rally or mid-October to November-December rally. So that's how I'm kind of viewing the market. So nothing big here to the downside, but you know, sideways, it may be a little bit lower than, but not a whole lot much different. Good enough. Well, I want to thank you for being back on. It is Tim Ord, that's O-R-D, the Ord-Oracle.com. He's got a book on Amazon, and that's the secret of price and volume. And of course, his newsletter, which you can find at his website. Thanks again, Tim. All right, we've seen a couple of weeks. You bet. Okay, as we come back here and wrap up the rest of the show here, if you want any of the charts, just email me at path at tfnn.com. We'll be glad to send them to you, or if you want the link to that CNN page, we could do that too. Anyway, as I said, I kind of always like, I think the last couple of days, I always am kind of a contrary trader. Some people call me a little more than that. Try not to be too objectionable. I just didn't see anything coming in here today. You know, options still show that they're fairly bullish. We'll see you in the next couple of days, but I'm looking for $4,500 or higher for Fridays closed tomorrow.  It's good to stick. So we'll be back and wrap up the show in the last second. Sharpening your skills as an investor is like getting better at playing a musical instrument. You have to practice, sure, but you also need excellent instruction from experts. At TFNN, you'll get advice and guidance from the authority and technical market analysis. And it's not just dry, tedious text either. TFNN airs live financial content streamed live on TFNN.com and TFNN's YouTube channel with Tiger TV, live every market day from 8.30 a.m. to 4.00 p.m. Eastern for free. 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The Tiger First mortgage program pays 7% per year, paid monthly. For more information, you can call<PHONE_NUMBER>. That's<PHONE_NUMBER>. Catch Tom O'Brien, professional trader and educator, founder of TFNN. Also a special guest on CNBC. Tom will bisect and dissect the markets. The Tom O'Brien Show, next on TFNN. And as we get ready to wrap up the end of the day here, tomorrow, of course, options expiration, I'm looking for at least a short bullish pop before we probably have some kind of sideways action going into the Fed next Wednesday at two. And see whether or not anybody is actually going to call him on actually tapering or if he's just going to talk about it until we all want a stoning. I think stoning is underrated, but just me. Anyway, continue to look at the rest of what's going on out here.  You can't get the UV XY really positive. It's down 32 cents now. And maybe it does nothing tomorrow, but my guess is that everybody probably going to try to short it at the close yet again today. So you're probably going to get some kind of gap up in the morning. The only thing that bothers me is nobody's really buying any big downside protection. Last couple of days, the out of the money puts in the S&Ps have been very low, like 20% compared to 80% calls. So that's the one thing. There haven't been that many of them though, but other than that, everybody is kind of a dour looking down. Everybody wants to sell, but doesn't seem like many people are pulling the trigger. We continue to see a lot of stocks that I saw earlier in the day that they were just trying to wash them out. That again makes me think that maybe we are going to have that rally that Tim spoke of kind of in October. We've got about another week or so and maybe eight, nine trading days before the end of the month. This is general body on the street starts moving out of the old stocks. It gets the new stocks. So when you can, not when you have to.