Good morning traders and Welcome to the live trading webinar. This is Bruce at bookmap This is the bookmap education here. We're gonna go through live order flow analysis in the in the markets in the markets up to you What you want to look at here? Obviously, we had the holiday on Monday now Tuesday and Friday We'll do that and just you should typically look at the SNPE many because most traders want to look at that But we can look at whatever you guys want Then Wednesday tomorrow, we'll have live trading with Joseph J. Trader stocks trader and then live trading with Scoppelsenia futures trader. We also have in the morning We have rain who will go through live analysis for the crypto markets and then at 11 30 We have Tom B. We'll go through live analysis Again for the S&P and that'll be daily All right, so both of those streamers Great education that we offer. We have an educational course And then we have these live events to shore up all the details in that educational course All right, so Let's jump in here to All right The disclosure general disclosure all bookmap limited materials information and presentations are for educational purposes only and should not be considered Specific investment advice nor recommendations risk disclosure trading futures equities and digital currencies Involves substantial substantial risk of loss and it's not suitable for all investors Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. So please know what you're getting involved with here this is only for educational purposes and Reading the order flow within bookmap. These are not trade recommendations. Okay We will go through a lot of different things as you guys know and We've been going through Recently market structure in more detail here So we're gonna continue in that vein And understand in the order flow on higher time frames. What's going on? Extrapolate that and then look at lower time frames and go through as many examples as we can That is the key in here as to go through as many examples as we can That's why a lot of times we look at the lower time frames So that you can get that experience.  All right, so that's the goal And let's jump in and take a look and see what's going on. All right, so Here we have the SNPE many guys and let me know if you have any questions we can get the conversations going in here Yep. Oh Okay, no sound. I'm sorry in discord there. Okay, can you guys hear me now? Sorry guys Okay, well you missed the risk disclosure, which I can go through again and Yeah, just in case here. Good morning, JC JC moon Secular Burt and Lewis a general disclosure all bookmap limited materials information and Presentations are for educational purposes only and should not be considered specific investment vice nor recommendations Risk disclosure trading futures equities and digital currencies involves central risk of loss and it's not suitable for all investors Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. All right, that's out of the way look at the SNP in here and We're gonna start again. Like I said, we've been going through Market structure in detail elast several webinars All right, and we're gonna be looking at the raw order flow in here to understand who's in control of The market now this one's pretty simple Looking at the SNP here look at 930 or just before the 930 cash open. This is just this is picture perfect in fact We have an area of consolidation and before the 930 cash open sellers came in and Pretty heavy selling drove that market lower the cash open We get a pullback to where it dropped from here Okay, we don't see sellers above it Or I'm sorry buyers above it. We don't see like a high or high We made a lower low here in a lower high here Sellers are still in control All right now that's pretty obvious to see But take a look at the at the movement here All right and look at also the the three elements on this bookmap chart So again, let's just we're just gonna start off really simply and it's just worthy of doing this exercise Time and again Look at just one element on this bookmap chart just best bid and offer Okay, you can already see so much more than candlesticks in here You see the speed of the move the speed of the move right back up here again, but on low volume though on low volume and then And we'll put the volume dots on in a minute and get that context Okay, so we're just going through market structure created by best bid and offer this sets the foundation And we see an again speed of the move. We know more sellers are in here Again speed of the move and then again in here. Okay, pretty steep pullback here It did break this little swing here, but look look how it broke it It it failed it came back in the range and we see more sellers. All right, so we know sellers are in control All right now. Let's put this structure in here now This and wanted to you know, just overlay will just overlay candlestick chart in here just for now This is five minute Yeah, that's fine. We can look at a five minute and We start to understand the structure here It is lacking in the candlesticks It is because it's aggregated within that period and then that period ends and a new period begins And then aggregates within that period until it ends So you really don't get the transparency in here of what's going on in the market structure As and you can see we continue to go lower here. All right, so The one pullback here it did break smaller structure But it failed it came back in the range All right, so the candlesticks in here Just want to show the difference between candlesticks and best bid and offer and all the nuances in the details In the in the order flow here. Okay, it's all in here The candlesticks is a lot harder to read. So let's take it off here and then let's look at the raw data and That's one of the the benefits here a book map is looking at This is what professional traders like about it is that this is not hiding anything It's all in here. So let's put the volume dots on now. We have our second level of context in here sellers The move back up. There's there's some, you know some volume in here Okay, but it's it's it's lower. You can see it and there's buyers in here So this is the the delta down here in the bars or in the dots in here Some they come right back in but they bring it right back into where it dropped from here And what do we get up here? We get sellers up here We if you want to see it go back up and maybe go above these areas or this 3950 here Then you've got to see buyers come in right and we don't Okay, so we see sellers up here and then there's a lot of back and forth in here But here's where the sellers come in again It's pretty clear All right, you can see the drop sellers again and then in here Some selling and then we get the buyers come in but it fails in here and sellers come in again here So we'd be looking for it to at least test down to Maybe this 3910 in here where there were buyers previously Okay, well and it just blazed right through it On some pretty heavy. We're gonna see nice stop run in there and you can see it down here with that red line All right And yeah, so now again, we see sellers in here. It's getting interesting now though We're starting to see buyers come in and they just broke above this little swing in here All right, so sellers still remain in control All right, so That's what we want to determine now if you might be a volume profile trader you or you know candlestick trader or whatever it is but this this process in here will apply to anything and We think this can be really helpful for you so We have the volume in here in the context of the volume now. Let's add also the heat map and that's the other side of the trade and Are they getting filled in these areas? All right, so what we can zoom in and kind of View these areas in here and and see So yeah, they're getting filled in here Filled in here also filled in these areas down here here Okay, so they are staying On the bid and getting filled. Here's a nice move and stop run to the downside here Also getting filled in this area All right, so we know that they mean business they are getting filled on the downside Okay, so what we're looking to see if buyers take control and we just don't see that yet Okay, so we stay with the downside All right, we can see we do have a little double bottom pattern in here kind of like You see this the sellers in here But then the buyers come back in on the second leg here and they kind of just come up to this area here So we're still sell side until we see something different Okay, we need to see quite a bit of buying come in here to change our our View okay now note that they have bought on the bid on the way down in these areas in here, so We want to put those pieces together into the bigger picture All right, so it would just remain sell side until we see something different here So let's see if the sellers can drop it down to about this 3890 and then maybe down to 3880 Bradley, okay, enjoy. So are you new here Bradley to the to the webinar? And then if so Bradley, we'll just Let me know what what sort of trading methods do you use? And We can we can look into it here. So I just want to cover that order flow Works on all of them Okay, well welcome welcome Bradley Uh, it works on all of the different ways of uh, of trading the markets. I mean, you know, whatever it is that you're looking at Elliott wave Wycoff Distribution accumulation markup markdown, uh, etc. So, uh Yep, and so again, uh, you know still still looking for sellers in here until we see something different, right? Okay, now I don't see any kind of opportunity in here Um at the moment and we don't really call out trades. This is not a trade calling room nor a trade recommendation Uh room whatsoever What we do in here though is we look at order flow and where we think order flow will give us a Higher probability movement to one side or the other Okay, it's really back and forth in here at the moment Okay, nice buying in here again though structure still sell side 3900 the figure up here. Okay, we've already come down More than 50 points here So, you know nice down day. All right, you know one thing I want to do, um uh Good morning, kevson. Uh guys in discord. Let me know if you have any questions in here Okay, now see this is something a little different here Okay, now it's not a whole lot of buying but it's things are starting to look shape the shape of this is starting to look a little different Okay, so we made a higher or Kind of equal high here Okay, uh, but looking for you know, our buyer is going to take control of this market Guys, if you want to review of this we you can look at last friday's webinar, uh regarding, um, Who's in control and there's are several webinars on who's in control Uh, and the way we've we've marked it up for for years actually, um is just by using rectangles and saying like here they are Here they are Here they are Here they are Uh, and then look for price action within this Uh, and uh, if buyers are gonna, you know, take it back or our seller is going to continue Okay, so and we can look at this whole area in here As it's you know sellers are dominating it they they moved it away from all of these other areas in here We could get a pullback To here we can get a pullback even to here Okay at at like 17 39 17 or 18 and still be sell side Basically, okay on this time frame here I just want to make that point Uh, that you know, this is what we want to understand who's moved it away from value areas Okay, and you can see it's creating a big value area down here right now this whole area down here Okay, just a lot of volume trading back and forth in here Okay, so you know according to like wyckhoff for example Well, this would be your mark down And then this would be your accumulation phase potentially Okay, or is it continuation? Okay, that's what we're going to determine in the order flow Levi good morning. Is it levy or Levi? Let's see here I'm just not seeing much right now Another thing in here. I don't I don't know if you guys have, uh, um Seen uh dugs uh webinar doug plus he did a webinar. I can show you where it is. Um Like the pants Levi. Okay. Thank you Um, yeah, I just want to show this here for a moment. Um, we're having you know, all sorts of events and traders You can see here's tom b. He'll be up uh in another hour or so We had an event here in german okay, um and It is uh in here with oliver. It was excellent. It does have english subtitles So you can get something from this if you don't speak german If you speak german, he's I seem to be articulate as can be to me. Um, anyway, uh, and then here's the one with doug, right? So Uh, doug plus talking about an option strategies.  Uh, very nice of doug to do that Uh, and you can start to see some of it, you know, potentially unfolding here as well I'll leave it at that. I don't want to take it away from doug Uh, but it's in the webinar if you guys want to review that and you can reach out to doug in the discord channel as well and he will He's in there As a moderator. I forget what hours, but he's very active in there Okay, so, uh, anyway guys, we have a nice community over in discord if you want to join us over there Yeah, still not seeing much in here. Um Um, you know, another thing we can take a look at in here, uh, is within this structure What's going on? You know, um, where do we see, uh, you know, like what white cough says as as accumulation or distribution Okay, well, well, we have it all here in book map. Uh, you can see the limit orders Uh, and then you can also see the aggressors So we do see some aggressors coming in here on the buy side now. It's not a lot Okay, also in here So and you can see sellers coming in right now. So, uh, to me, this looks like sellers still remain in control And we're going down to the bottom here of the range Uh around this, uh 87 level Okay, there's a quick move Now these kinds of moves in here we have to be kind of careful Uh That a very very quick move in a stop run like this and then this is what I want to cover before it gets away from us Is this can be a nice trapped? Volume or stop run and we get buyers back up above it. This is our pivot point here 92 So we can look for pullbacks. Maybe even a little bit lower into here this kind of zone To 91 to 92 area and look to see if do we get more sellers? Do are they on the bid in here? Uh, uh, if they are Uh, do we get sellers trading into them? Okay, or does it repel them see I was repelling them right now Okay Great. So actually looking for buyers now to trade it back up to 98 99 and maybe the figure here at 3900 Okay, looking for it. See the buyers coming in see the reaction to the bid Okay, and we're kind of looking at this whole level in here now again This is kind of that white coffee and um accumulation here All right So we see sellers sellers sellers Buyers and we saw that little double bottom pattern in here Okay, we did not break the high here. Okay now we are Now we're breaking it All right, so see how you can read the order flow in here And let's just dim the heat map for a moment here and make it easier. So there's our move Okay into 3900 Right now we we just talked about this in detail. Let me know if you guys have questions about this This is pretty strong buying coming in now and so Uh, and again, we're looking for maybe uh, see if this is new buying coming in after accumulation period down here Uh, and then look for pullbacks into well, yeah, I like this kind of 07 area here Uh, and then also all the way back up here To where those sellers came in Okay, now look at the strong buying. Okay, so we're just talking about volume right now Okay, but we did talk about on the way down. Uh, all of these traders getting filled on the bid Okay, so, uh, here's our break above it now We'll just go through the process again, I think Okay sellers in control we went through that whole thing. I'm not going to do that one again Uh, however in here we didn't really know Uh, we were we were saying sell side until we see something different And then we saw something a little different. However, the structure was still sell side here Okay, we just noted the buying coming in Okay, then we came back down here Uh, and this was where it got a little like wonky. We weren't really quite too sure Uh, again buyers come up here. They did not break the structure. We still remain sell side Okay, until we see something different Sellers come in sellers come in again, and then we we can even look at this area and zone in here Hey, where the buyers came in And they're supporting it here now. Are they supporting it in the book? This is where book map can help you. So let's look at this 89 Level here or so and let's turn on the heat map All right, so they're in here, but they're not really getting filled Okay on the bid We're we just we see some sellers in here and we know that was a stop run I'm going to get rid of the hero for now We know that's a stop run. Okay quick move. Uh, and then we talked about this area in here Okay, we talked about the zone the pullback beautiful pullback here Actually to it now. I know this isn't hindsight Uh, but once we started to get back up in here, that's when we're looking for the move up into Uh, 97 98 99 and and the figure Okay, I guess 98 99 and the figure Okay, so now we've come up to 04 here 05 Okay, we're looking for 07 That was our zone up here. I guess it's more like 08 Bradley calling me mr. Pringle. All right Very very formal Uh and respectful. Uh, no, you can call me bruce. It's fine. Um Uh modify your analysis when looking at individual stocks. Yeah, we'll we'll do that as well Okay, um, all right guys. So the the move has continued. Okay, we've come up into our 08 area Right. All right now we saw this whole thing unfold here Okay, and it's continuing so far Okay, where is it going? Well, I really like the 08 area here. Um, and um, Now we need to see if we get more continuation here more buyers in here Uh, or where it might pull back Okay, well it could pull back to you know in this little pocket in here. So around maybe oh three and a half Uh, also this little area where it broke into and then out of and through Uh here, you know around 3900 the figure You know these other areas so now Let's look at it on this other time frame in here and let's mark it up buyers taking control Okay, we even saw it down here. This is where we originally saw it Okay, the potential trap we were going sell side here until we saw the pivot Once we saw the pivot and noted the buyers and we noted them again. That's when we're looking for the move up here Okay, now they've taken it and moved it away from this whole area here All right Hey, again buyers in here Hey buyers in here All right, so where that's where we're looking for these pullbacks potentially here Like our oh three and a half Uh potentially here at 3900 and then also down here at Well, yeah 95 or our original pullback all the way back down here to this kind of 92 ish level All right, so we're just looking right now Other people have the same ideas look at the the liquidity in here at 3900 Uh bradley, what stocks would you like to take a look at? It was pmi today, uh rob Oh jeez Yeah, it was okay. Yeah 10 a.m. Yeah, that that that's uh very telling Um, but you know look at look at the move though, right? positive number Here's here's the data Here's the the kind of a dark kind of Shadow around the release And here's the move down into high liquidity all the way through, you know, they're staying in the book here and getting filled All right, so, you know, this is why these this area 008 right here is super important Okay, this is you know, we had the pmi Okay, we had the um Uh The move into this high liquidity here that stayed in the book now And we and we traded right back to it Okay, and we marked this up in advance Okay, so if we got the break here, these would be the the areas in here. All right, so uh And we're looking for our pullbacks in here now too Okay, and we marked up uh our what a 03 and then also this one here and it just didn't quite get to the figure here Not yet Okay, let's see if we can get our buyers buyers right back up to 08 looking for it Uh, I'd love to see you try to get up a little bit higher maybe 10 Yeah, I'm not having it So some back and forth in here right now. Uh, here's something interesting. Look at the bid Reaction to it buyers looking for buyers up here And look there we go. Let's see it. Let's see them. They pulled that liquidity here at 05 And then they're back in I'm looking for the bid to show some more interest here. These guys are pulling here So just then we just need our aggressors and then the move up into 08 In a quarter and then oh And then 10 Okay. Yeah, pmi and then ism at 10 945 and then 10. Okay. Yeah, thanks jc Okay, looking for it guys. Let's see if we can get it here Might have to come back down one more time here and then come back up So that would be back to kind of the figure ish area 101 maybe but Looking for those buyers to come in and come back up into 08 in a quarter here And just based on the order flow Okay, maybe maybe a little lower maybe seven and a half here. This is what see the sellers came in right here Okay at 10 we're just about 10 30 Nvidia I'm sure we can take a look at Nvidia staying in the book nick is mean that meaning that Uh, they're the liquidity like at at 3900 here. There's 186 187 contracts, whatever There are they staying in the book and are they going to get filled? Okay, that's what we want to determine Because otherwise, you know, we have we have a kind of an area here of you know demand And see see how we got a little bit of both actually out of that Uh, this is the beauty here. Uh, we can see all this and determine Right. So did they stay in the order book? Yeah, they did they stayed in here and started to get filled but look how many out of Here we had 132 remember we had 187 earlier Well, they pulled a lot of it as price is coming down now. It's 109 And Now we're starting to see transactions 26 only 26 traded there Okay, 27 Let's go let's zoom out a little bit more. Okay now what traded well 151 Okay, so, you know, most of that stayed in the order book in here All right, or we we can see the transactions in here. This is how you This is what we want to determine Uh, and is there buying interest do they stay in this order book here? So earlier here, we were looking for this move a little bit higher Kind of 08 or 07 and a half here. Uh, just just couldn't make it. All right, so Just not enough buyers in here Uh, let's see if we get them now though. We came we pulled back finally to this area in here now. Don't forget You know, who's in control here on this smaller time frame And buyers And this is a pullback to 3,900 So we're still looking to see if we get our buyers in here Okay, here they come now. Let's see if they can stream right back up into here Where it previously auctioned off And if there's even more that can finally get up into 08 And then maybe our our 10 level here Okay, see if these guys seem to want to to trade but I'll bet you these guys pull pull their liquidity here We'll see that's what we want to understand like, you know, they Do they really want to trade? And that's what we're determining in the auction in here any questions on this Okay, not bad. There's our our 06 and look at the volume still looking for higher still looking for higher guys Yep, there it goes 0809 still looking for higher See if we can get let's see if we can get all the way back up to here, which is what our 16 and a half Let's just zoom in here. Let's just Really confirm it All right, let's just be a little more precise Yeah, where do those sellers really start to come in and move this here? So let's zoom in here This isn't bad Boy, I would say it's actually maybe a little bit lower here. Maybe 15 ish 14 and a half 14 to 15. Let's call it 14 to 15 in here uh Or yeah, potentially also here at 16 and three quarters Okay, so let's mark up our lines And let's look for it here and here Well, we'll just look at that whole zone actually. Well, we'll put one more line in here 15 All right, so that's what we're looking at and now we can get rid of this guy All right, and we can get rid of this guy here too. Okay Guys, we're already blasting through that. Wow. What a beautiful move Geez turn it turned around for a second. Um All right guys. Well, anyway, uh beautiful move unfolded I don't know if it was clear for you guys seeing this at least for the test back up into this zone And you can see now like, you know Look how it paused in here right in our zone Hey, and then look who took control above that area All right, so again, you know noticing who's in control And uh, can they still take control? Um from the market here Okay, so our sellers over here Uh, this is one of the rectangles I got rid of um I deleted this one in here. Here was our our accumulation Okay, and now we see our move Okay, so this would be the markup phase in here from this accumulation period down here Okay, that's classic white coffee in Uh analysis there Okay, beautiful move into this structure up here as well And then kind of pulled back now All right, so anyway guys like uh, yeah nice move, uh and looking for still continuation Maybe we can get up into 30. Um, let's just take a quick look here I mean, we're going to get a pullback some pullbacks in here. Uh, that was a big move is also a big stop run here Uh, but uh, uh now this bigger picture in here Okay, now we we mentioned that sellers being in control here Right Okay, so now we're looking at some of these other pockets. They're still in control in the bigger picture here for the day All right, it's just this other little area here from 10 o'clock onward Um, we saw the back and forth in here and then the buyers coming in stepping in on a smaller time frame Okay, so some nice point moves in here guys. This is you know, it's moving nicely I like it when the it's beautiful and the es moves like this Uh, and uh, you know, uh, it's painful when it when it doesn't, uh, you know, two to three points instead of like You know 20 points this this move 20 points, uh, so it's a beautiful 20 point move on up Um, we noticed it here. Okay back up into 3,900 Right now we can go over also strategies in here how you want to manage some of these things And uh, we'll cover that in a minute here. All right, so that we'll we'll come right back to that Uh, I want to jump over to nvidia I've got it here. So Okay, here it doesn't work for that. That's fine Okay Uh guys very very similar Um, you know, can you see it? In fact here, I'm going to use this tool here in bookmap zoom by drag And then left click hold and then drag it to the current market And we're just going to get that big volume dot out of the picture here So we're going to look at the volume Other than what was right at the open All right, and then now we're going to go through that same process in here first, you know Who's in control? Who's moving the market? Uh, and we can take a look at it sellers You know sellers in here buyers in here buyers in here Uh sellers taking it down. Here's here's where they took control though. Um, again into these lower areas All right, and again, this is very similar to what we just saw in the s&p Uh, a little bit different on the on the bottoming pattern in here, but this is where the buyers came in Okay, so same idea now you guys, this is why we're going over this again and again and again. We've talked about Uh trap volume, uh, let me show you some of the webinars And i'm just bringing this up for anyone who's new in here, uh, and um Uh, if you want to review some of these concepts, we go we go through them in detail So we can go through the live streaming events in here Okay, now again this these live streaming events in here, uh the book map Live analysis in here that um that I do uh is uh the the foundation All right, and then we open that up the floodgates for other traders tom b Uh scott pulsini a j trader rain Uh, whomever, uh, we do pro trader webinars. We do other events So we bring them in so you get a you get the foundation from us And then let these guys, you know, these guys are the rock stars And they'll take it further Okay, so uh, look, you know tom b volume profile in detail Scott he uses volume profile, but he uses something very interesting using stops and icebergs looking for big market events And then taking those big market events And then looking for direction J trader, uh, you know going through his way of Looking for pullbacks and also small caps and uh many strategies there in small caps All right, so anyway, what I want to go through is we'll continue on down here Yeah, reading market structure momentum trend trading The importance of market structure and order flow. We've been covering this a lot Reading the order flow and who's in control versus your trading bias. This was a Not a good webinar for me, but good to learn from How to curb your bias Okay, and just read the order flow that the chart is telling you And we went through that whole process in here on that es and it told us something Um, and instead of holding on to like no, I'm going short Understanding candlesticks part one and part two Or at least yeah, here's part one and part two Okay, market structure and candles Okay, uh, let's see Market structure point of control momentum Who's in control price action? Who's in control again here? Okay, so you can go through these, um So one the one I was looking for Um, oh trapped trapped traders look for the ones in here. Let's do a quick search So, uh, here we go. Here's one from j trader on traps Okay, here we go traps icebergs false breakouts Again market structure traps Uh trading traps stop runs. Okay, so just want to show you all these things because this if you want more on this This we've covered this so many times You will start to recognize it notice it and then look for it Okay, uh, we we were looking at sell side until this started to unfold Look at the beautiful pullbacks to those areas in here. Okay. Look at how the structure finally did break in here, right? So these are the things, uh, we're starting to look at Uh, and then you get this beautiful move, uh unfolded here And now this is nvidia in here. So it's very similar Uh, the market it broke structure in here actually compared to the es I guess we'd be looking maybe at a bigger structure up here Uh, this is just it's it's almost Almost the same though Okay, now look at the high liquidity in here too. They got filled in here and in here And uh at 135 and then also here at 135 50 didn't quite make it to 136 Okay, 930 cash open sellers still in control in the bigger picture though Okay, you want to look at crude we can take a quick look at crude. Let's jump back to the es and see what's going on in here Well Looks like a continuation pattern, um But you know, let's just take a look though. Let's go through the same process in here All right, so we know the bigger picture here Uh on this on this time frame from 10 38 onwards here Okay, uh, and then We'd be looking for pullbacks To the same zones that we just blasted through and we when we turned our head and Mark those up in here. Okay, so these zones in here. So kind of this 18 or 16 and a half 15 and 14 All right, so looking for pullbacks maybe into those areas here. Hey, what about what about in here? Well, we even go through the process down in here Uh and read it, but uh look at the selling in here not bad Okay, buying is not bad selling again. Not bad. I mean, it's really kind of all over Okay, this is why we stay with the structure in here now It did make a low slightly lower high in here, but it's making a higher low here Okay, so just still going with the buy side until we see something different Uh, I still see buyers coming in here and I see them coming in here now All right, so still looking for this to continue Okay up into where this is where we start to target high liquidity 27 30 Okay Looking for the move up into those areas Okay, now, uh One of the things in here, um And there there's our move Look at still looking for 30 Okay, there goes 29 and something there's 30 105 traded at least a 30 There's 30 and still still higher All right, let's just zoom out here. Let's get our bigger picture again Okay, we're at this area here looking for the next one up here We kind of drew where sellers took control here 35 Uh 40 up here is uh, this is getting kind of interesting Uh, it's really up here. I don't know. I don't know what that liquidity is doing at 40 So much. I don't really see it In terms of our structure, but this one's good here Just around 35 and then I I like this one up here Around 44 or so Yeah, that was beautiful. Huh Burt. Yeah, I mean that was that was really nice Uh, you saw that you as soon as you saw the breakout in the book flipping where you went long and caught a good Good scalp. Yeah, I mean you could still be in this. It's not this is not a scalp Uh, I mean if you're trading scalps Great and you you know if it's working for you It's fantastic. Just continue doing what you're doing But uh, whatever works for you, right? We're going through the order flow on multiple timeframes in here Excellent Burt. Yeah, your strategies is confluence on what you learned here in these webinars Hero dug tom volume and planning with david david. We got to do a webinar with you so, uh The amount of free education here is worth worth book map costs itself We think so, um, I I've been thinking that for years That we offer incredible, um You know deal on education, uh, and we're bringing more people in too um, I'll reach out to you david, um and You know bring you in and just uh, you know, if you want to go through um An afternoon event doesn't have to be like a pro trader webinar or anything Uh, I don't know if you're in here david But if you are Then uh, yeah, let's uh, let's uh do something. Um, I'll reach out. Um, Okay So let's see. How about oil? Yeah, let's take a look over at oil Is there any way to have book map draw levels from csv? Yes, there is a geo geo capital I'll show you where that is Okay, uh guys, I don't want to show too much on this. I'll answer your questions But I I'm you know, we're here for the order flow in the live analysis So I don't want to uh deviate too much from that. I want to look at oil I just want to show you where you can find these things quickly, right? Just for references. So we'll come over here Uh, youtube page scroll down bonus materials in here Um, and then uh features and components this playlist here, uh, you'll find very helpful So view full playlist click on that And then let's do let's just do a quick search in here, um for Control f in in the browser and look at note and here it is notes It's this video here columns custom notes and cloud notes. It's the cloud notes feature that you're going to want to use Or or custom notes. I'm sorry. You can use both all right All right guys. So let's come come back in here. Um beautiful move up in here to our level that we marked up For good reason Funny enough though the the liquidity was here Okay, and then it's a little off on our levels as well like uh, we're looking at 45 44 up here and then it's there up here at 40 But uh, you know, uh, I don't know. I don't know what to say about that. Uh, we're It was a beautiful move to our level here Let's see if we can get uh more buyers yet again up here Uh, and then a breakout up into 40 Uh 40 liquidity, but our level is actually 43. I guess All right, um Let's look at crude Okay, I got the v contract up here Let's see what the liquidity looks like I'm not sure if this is the correct contract Let me take a quick look here Here we go guys all I do for these things is uh looks like it is They just put this in here. Um, see the CME um I this trades on the nine max, of course, but like, uh, you know, it's cme group. They Bought up everything basically uh the um Cme in here, um Saying it's the v contract, but let's just verify it. All I do is it is see it a search very quickly for cme volume CL uh, and this is one of the uh options that pops up It will um Click on here volume and open interest Okay, the all the contract specs are in here and you should know your contract specs You should know exactly what you're trading now. Let's look at the um the volume in here also open interest Okay, it's just getting ready to roll. It's it's getting there. Uh, it's it's still got some uh Uh a few days in here to go, but you can see it right november contract right here Okay, so uh At the close the open interest uh was 151 Uh, you can see see the change in here. Um, also the open interest. So, uh, yeah We're getting ready to roll the total volume though is still You know in october, right? So just just let you know about that and also let you know that Uh, rollover period can be very challenging. I I feel uh, I know traders like ft 71 They do not trade during that period uh because of the You know the analysis there's other traders doing other things Okay, so we're starting to see some of that behavior in here in the liquidity All right, so uh a crude oil in here Yeah, let's see bad, you know move up into here. Maybe you can move a little higher Maybe this 87 30. Let's just zoom out a little bit more here This is kind of all over the place You know, let's go through that same process and structure market structure Okay, and who's in controlling areas in here? Let's just go through the whole process Okay, take it all off Uh, and then go with the Rectangles in here Okay, so yeah, this you know the buyers take it up here, but they're You know really tested in here Hey, and then you can see kind of a flip in here uh, and um You know above this area below this area it flips again above it retest retest and goes back higher Okay, so buyers in control, but we're still retesting down here And maybe this is a better uh zone or area to take a look at Hey buyers in here. We're talking about moving on up into Maybe 30 up here over 25 some somewhere around in here and retest that Okay, so anyway not a trade recommendation and uh, let's we're just looking at structure in here With just best bid and offer now. Let's put the volume dots on Okay, and then now we're going to this is really the the a really key understanding in the order flow. Okay, so what? Look who's in control Sellers take it here and they they're still kind of taking it down here At being tested here by the buyers. So again, like it's both. It's it's back and forth in here right now Okay, so I don't really have a view In terms of order flow one more element though like to really can help confirm things is going to be the liquidity uh, so here we go And it's kind of a mess too. Um, let's just zoom vertically here Boy, it's really just kind of a mess So there's that's my analysis, uh geo It's it's uh It's a mess. Um, sorry Sorry, that's all that's all I have for you though. I don't really see too much kind of unfolding here Uh, this this move here is really nice by the buyers, but you can see we've been below it several times in here All right, let's jump back. Let's look at this es beautiful move guys into 40 Okay And that liquidity in here So there was no reason to be I mean look this is hindsight now, but we did not say sell side, right Just want to verify, you know, we did not say sell side. We're looking for continuation in here Uh buy side Okay, we did not see anything in here that told us there if we got pullbacks It would be into these zones in here and it kind of you know bounced off the our upper zone in here of around 16 and a half Okay, and this is where the buyers creeped in here and then really moved it quickly up into 30 Uh 35 and then our next level was 40 and our next level we still we liquidity is here the supply is up here, but uh You know, we still have uh this area what has not been tested up here Okay in our our 43 level and there's not much up there. Anyway, we do have the figure up here at 39 50 Buyers coming in again I don't know. I don't know what I think of that. I mean, it's it's not bad buying. So maybe we can come up a little bit higher Uh here this level 33. Maybe maybe a little bit higher our 30 kind of 5-ish level Aloha crypto surfer Yeah, 35 could be a good area due to some of these transactions Uh And this is this is our SVP column session range volume profile So, uh, this is for the entire session. What we're viewing in here though is this the chart range volume profile this one Okay, so um And we're just trying to the truck buyers are trying to get through The top of it here and try to get back up into probably You know maybe here, but uh, I like it a little bit lower here In this 35 or 36 level in here It stops in icebergs Stop runs to the upside Icebergs starting to get filled on the on the downside here or on the on the offer not much to to write home about I mean, that's a thousand but From up here on down Here we go. All right. So buyers coming back in All right buyers. Let's see you break it here. You should be able to break it 35 Uh 36 Maybe maybe 40 here, but not looking for too much here on the buy side and this it really picks up here Not looking for much though Okay, and you can see it all it did was break up to about 35 and it were right back down In fact guys, you know, this is where we need to be really careful And we need to really understand if the move is unfolding or not Because this can turn into one of those traps again And we come right back down to 28. Okay, that's what we want to understand Okay, now they seem to be supporting it here or there's no support on the bid There's a little bit support on the bid now, but did they buy up here? No Okay. All right, let's see the reaction here. Are they supporting on the bid? Not really Okay, so watch out here Okay, look for the sellers to try to stream it down to 28 Uh, let's see here. Leroy week by and they will push it up a bit An imprint in the double top and the market will revert back. Yep Kind of seeing that right now exactly Your trading method classic man is a trading Is looking at how price reacts at prior open high low close Floor trader pivots and vwap Okay Yeah, I would just I would really recommend Or encourage you to look at the order flow around those areas Okay, that that's all Stick with what you got but look for the order flow to support it Okay, let's let's put an let's put a vwap on here guys. Our idea here was a move streaming down back into 28 It came back down to just this liquidity here at 30 And and the buyers are coming back in and we're above this little area here All right, but I don't know I I still don't This does not look convincing Again, so uh, they really need to pick it up And see that buying up in here Um that that that's uh going to stream higher up into 40 and and maybe 50 right at that point And it's not there here they come actually it's looking pretty good now All right, so let's see. Let's how this how does it relate to all of this over here? That's pretty good pretty good. All right. I'm looking for 40 here Again, not a trade recommendation, especially at these levels This is something that that I would have just let I would have missed it You know, I would have let this kind of float by here Um, and a higher time frame it's probably still just be in it You know, maybe I got out at around 40 or something, but um You know still still looking for a move back up here to 40 at this point It looks clearer now right on this on this time frame Okay, so let's zoom in There it is guys. These are again traps You know start to understand these areas and then look for stop runs like this up above Okay, and you can see a small one here looking for 40 High liquidity front running 40, but they're they just traded There's 40. Wow. Look at that Okay, now look at that stop run above 40 as well beautiful Yeah, I would say the reading here for me at least was a little trickier, but uh We in hindsight it sure is easy. Uh, you can see the volume in here. Um, but uh, Wasn't quite sure it wasn't quite convinced here yet Uh, could have uh easily come back down here and then move back up Um, but uh overall though, we were we were still buy side in here Until we see something different right look at the selling in here even even before all of that Right, you know, this is this is not Uh, it's starting Uh, but we need to see it does this turn into distribution And it didn't Okay, at least and it still actually may look we just came up above 40 and we came up to our level in here We finally we finally traded up to our level Uh, just about Did it even transact? Let's take a quick look Yeah Just the best no it didn't transact 43 and a half and the best offer went up to it All right, so uh, anyway, um, and now we're starting to see you know, uh some back and forth in here Um, I I shouldn't say back and forth. We're still we're still bullish until we see something different Okay, but look at the selling coming in now okay, so In here noting some of that selling noting the pullback Noting some of the buying we're still bullish Okay, now do we see, um the uh, uh, distribution in here Some selling we we're looking for potential traps in here on both sides basically, uh, and then, um Here we got follow-through on the buy side Okay, now look at the selling coming in Okay, so now is this turning into our distribution It's looking pretty good You know, it's quite a bit of selling now You know This this this watch, uh back down to 30 looking for them to trade it back down to 30 and also our 28 level here for traders to fill that liquidity there at 30 Yeah, Leroy. This is definitely like a nice kind of Pop up above And then slam right back down below And guys, I mean understanding these areas in here. This is why like You know this I think the the stops in icebergs is so valuable Uh, Leroy is pointing to a double top. Uh, I guess this double top up here Uh, but um It's not really the double top that that I'm kind of looking at here what or maybe you're looking at the bigger picture double top here Yeah, maybe you're looking at that. I don't know.  So that's 700 stops in here Okay, we can turn on the stops and icebergs on chart. Let's let's do that just to verify this and What what we want to cover in the order flow here is the stop run. Oh, this is icebergs Sorry We'll put that one on here and Let's look for Icebergs and stops stops Okay, so here limit is 162 threshold Um, I'm gonna take it off here I'll tell you why later. Um But uh So there it is 779 that's huge that's huge right so now let's understand the order flow up here Hey, because you know, you don't have you don't really have much insight here It's this is where this this is just a beautiful indicator. It is showing you What happened in this move to the upside here through this 40 level A lot of people got stopped out now if a lot of people are getting stopped out and we can look at And this is another just I I love looking at this in book map. I just I love it here Look look how we can see Precisely what happened in here Precisely Okay, there's a stop run all the way through here Let's take best bid and offer off as well Okay, so little stop runs in here. Here's the big one Okay, it was was was triggered in here Okay, so kind of an odd one. Uh, I would say this is like Uh either um You know, uh I would say it's a larger player um, but the reason being in here is the uh Stop problem is kind of triggered on this Volume in here this one right here Okay, look at the detail in here, uh, and then look at the stop run unfold here Okay, so And then it just continued on up until all of those stops were filled Okay, so people getting slipped all the way up Into that area But usually what we see is like maybe if you don't let's say the red line began here Up at this at at 39 42 well Then this would be like, you know Uh aggressive buyers market buy orders could be stops that or people, you know exiting with a market sell um Or a market buy, uh, and um, that's possible But we know that these are stop orders here. That's just fact. That's the beauty of of the stop iceberg indicator mbo data from from the CME and only only rhythmic shows this uh, so Or at least I believe it's only rhythmic still at this point Anyway, we see the entire stop run here and the move to the upside and If it began here at 42 and moved on up, uh, then we would know that people are getting maybe you know Slipped in this area in here And then filled up, you know above 40 42 and above on up into 42 and three quarters We're just looking at the details in here But we're really understanding how these markets operate and that's what I want to cover in here start to understand Precisely how these markets operate. It is important To understand that and that's a big part of our education in here because we can show all of this here in bookmap It's all in here And then you don't need to if you're trading this or you maybe you don't want insight to this But this is where it will add a benefit Is we can understand this move here, which was a significant move And then we can understand what's behind it Okay, it stops okay, and uh That's what we want to understand in the order flow All right, so if it stops Okay, it's most likely people exiting right Okay, i'm assuming that Uh, of course Uh, but it's like kind of empty orders in in essence Uh, it Um, if we get sellers below it Well sellers can take control and move it back down into these areas. So this is kind of like a vacuum in essence It's kind of like it just it just went through all these orders, but then there's nothing after that now Just because that's true Doesn't mean that's gonna we're gonna find the sellers and they're gonna move it back down And this is kind of important Because we can get stop runs just like this and have still have acceptance above the area And we want to we want to uh determine that though, uh or ascertain that Okay, so we can see here the sellers came in and now the sellers moving up lower Okay, so now we at that point here. This is not trapped volume It's just a stop run and then uh Uh, it did not accept above that area and we see the sellers move it We'd be looking for them to move it back into Point of control or a most traded level in this area here or Back down to uh some of the swings Okay, and you can see what happened Okay, we traded back down to the swings Okay, point of control of these area of this area in here or most traded level would be here And that would be around uh What? 32 31 31 and a half All right, and then look at the swings down here. We have a swing here Okay, which is at 28 And then we have another swing down here, which is at 26 and a half or so Okay, we've come down there and we've bounced All right, so now the picture is getting really interesting Okay, now this is turning into distribution buyers buyers some sellers buyers sellers sellers All right again Wycoff All right for you Wycoffians out there All right, just trying to clarify here and You may and the reason being is to let's clear our let's keep our drawings. Let's clear stops and icebergs on chart And then let's take a look at our heat map and I want to cover Wycoff in here because we've read these books Wycoff has been around for a long time uh, and People a lot of people know who he who he is or was and what what his uh methods were And here it is in the order flow Okay, here's your mark down your distribution your mark up your distribution All right, so now looking for then if that's distribution Uh, we're looking for the sellers to take control Okay, maybe from this point here I don't really see them taking control here Not yet. So i'm still looking for kind of back and forth in here right now to be honest We see some buying in here Okay, now structure wise though structure wise We made a a lower high here a lower low here And another lower low here back down into this area here And then maybe maybe you can go lower here to like a 22 and a half or so Okay, liquidity is not there. Is that 20? Okay, but i'm i'm looking more for like kind of 22 and a half in here Uh, Johnny, um, Johnny Franco, how do you get really good at this? You practice uh, you study Uh, you you go go through our educational course Uh, and then you come to these webinars Uh, and then you uh record your data In here when you start up book map in the morning Uh, and then um You know go go through the same process here And build an edge So understand where where you what you're looking for in the charts here build your edge Uh, and replay it too Okay, come back and uh use replay mode after the market closes You can use it on the weekends because you've record your data you can replay these files in here and practice more Okay, determine your edge. What exactly are you looking for and and be uh Very specific with it. Uh, you can see scoppelsini as a trading plan. Uh, g8 trader has a very detailed trading plan Tom b has a trading plan. So, you know, this is essential. You've got to develop your edge Okay, so someone what was someone talking about in here was the um uh Yeah, they're looking at Prior open open high low close Floor trader pivots and vwap. Great. Okay. There's their market structure. That's what they're looking at. In fact, let's put it up here Up on the chart Okay vwap we maybe also point of control. Let's just throw point of control in here too Um, and uh, let's put in um, I don't have any floor trader pivots, but we can also look at open high low close Here i'll take a look at my um Um, thank god, I got rid of that big bar in here. Um, look at the uh Compact view Okay, uh, open high low close for today or yesterday. Um, our previous session Uh, let's Look at less here Okay, so well you can see what happened. All right, so uh, yeah, you know, you um, let's see that's uh Who was it here was looking for that? Uh, classic man, um So, uh, yeah, here's your open high low close previous session, but here's your dip below it and the move back into it Here's what it looks like on the hourly chart. Here's what it looks like on the 15 minute chart So, uh, and then here's our here's where the uh, the sellers took control that we marked up in here And we said around 44 43 somewhere around in here. I think I said 44 We came up to about 43, uh, and um Just by reading the and we read this move to the downside Okay, and then we uh Look for we saw the distribution. We're looking for the potential the buyers to come in We saw the trap we saw the move up upside Okay, so that's your there's your open high low close, but that's what you'd be looking for Uh in here this rejected Okay, this uh, so you want to we want to understand the order flow around this down here And basically what we saw in this little wick in here was some, uh accumulation, right? And then move back into the range here from the prior session Right. So, uh, there you go. That's understanding again order flow around some of these areas in here Okay, vwap is here this white line And just dim the heat map for a moment Uh, now my vwap might be different than yours. I think I have it reset. Yes You can see it. It resets here at 9 30. So anything prior is not in the calculation So it's probably going to be different I know that's not the way to read, uh, the, uh Vwap you're looking for the entire session typically That's what I have It might be pretty similar because of all the volume during the cash session Usually kind of gets kind of similar to it Okay, really are you watching a one minute double top? Okay All right guys, so We talked about this in here. Um Now now we're getting we didn't really know because we we did see the distribution in here But buyers in here, uh, we've made lower highs lower lows slightly higher highs in here So this is kind of confusing but look at the sellers now All right, so now sellers trying to drive it away from this area here I'm actually looking to see if we can get a pull back to here Maybe let's look at the heat map No, they're gonna go for 20 looks like They kind of miss that. Um A bit of a difficult read in here, but we can see sellers in here This was this was tough. Uh, I feel But now we know sellers are driving it away No, no worries. Uh, lee right. No, thanks for the The feedback in here guys. Do you like this? Uh This I mean, we've been you know, kind of working our way up into this Talking about market structure traps Uh, you know, we've been putting subjects on these webinars trying to at least cover some of them before the event and you know to uh Have have some a little more structure to instead of just what the market gives us have a little more structure to it So and then just for the the webinar presentation itself But that you know, we Can only take what the market gives us so But we're when we see these some of these elements unfold then we can go through them If you like it give us a thumbs up in here This is the direction that we're gonna do more of if you like it Okay, so we need to get your feedback on that Um, so, uh, yeah, please please let us know Um Yep, okay Thanks guys Moonwalker. Thank you. Yep Okay, so, uh, anyway, uh The um, uh, where do I want to leave off? Okay, so we actually we did get our pullback We didn't get to 20 but we got our pullback here. Uh, still looking for 20 though I think the volume's starting to pick up now. They're starting to start to move it a bit 2017 back to VWAP basically or was it a previous point in control? No Okay, so yeah back back into this area here 27 17 and a half Something like that. All right, so getting getting some feedback from you guys. You guys do like the More structure like this Okay, so talking about who's in control Um, etc There's we don't I mean we cover the the columns in here quite a quite a bit as well I mean, I'm always looking at the columns Uh, I'm not a you know, I like volume profile quite a bit Uh, I'm not I don't it's not my main way of trading though But I kind of look at it as kind of another kind of confluence or confirmation um Yeah, something to uh Uh consider But uh, I like I You know, I like looking at what book map is showing me. What is the chart showing me? I think there are some drawbacks to volume profile Uh, whereas like this move in here, you're not going to see it in the profile. Here's your profile Do you do you see this move in here? No I mean, I don't know how it's helping so much Uh, I'm looking for sellers and I'm looking for them to take it into 20 and and and VWAP in here Okay, just I'm lining up liquidity here with the the order flow Okay All right. Yeah, if you like if you like the video give us a thumbs up there. I'll like um I'll maybe maybe I'll run a poll tomorrow and and see see what you guys like in terms of Which which direction here in terms of market structure or uh, you know Something different Okay, all right. You guys want me to continue for individual equities Um, yeah, it's the same process here. Omni feed is excellent. Uh, dx feed is great too Um, omni feed is I haven't I haven't played around with it yet. So I I just know that it is offering um Something really nice, uh, that uh dx feed does not which is the nicey arca um data Okay, so that's a that's uh Uh Really nice, uh liquidity in those ecns. So that's that's a big one I would recommend, you know, maybe you might want to subscribe to both Uh and and see which one you like better If that makes sense, I know it's a cost to it, but uh, you'll have to determine it I I don't know yet or come come to the discord chat and ask that would probably be the best Yeah Uh, thanks quasi Would I cover deltas? Um Glad to help your trading though that and overall it's really great to hear I mean, we're here. We're here for you guys I was we can see that this is still kind of back and forth in here Was looking for that move into 20 in here due to this selling but look at the buyers come in above it here You know up up here now You know it to me it's still boy. It's it's both ways here. I mean like Look at the we want to look at who's in control, right? Sellers that's why we're looking for sellers and sellers into this Okay, this turned into our kind of our little trap again Um right in here and buyers above it, but you know, it can still really sell off here Uh, in fact, it could even sell off here But like what I want to cover though is look at the buyers in here That's what we want to compare sellers versus buyers in here Okay, now we're getting our answer. So now we're looking for Uh, and we got to look at the stop run too And it is Hey, but buyers starting to take it Hey back up into that previous stop run area. So look for 40 Uh, and then maybe we can get back up into 50 45 and 50 liquidity up here at 40 and at 45 Oh, you want to look at the quotes delta. Got you. Okay. Um, yeah, well, maybe tomorrow, uh, if you don't mind, um, but We we can we can add it in here the the quotes delta is the adding and pulling of liquidity in here, so You know, it's um, you can see it's changing very very quickly in here. Okay, so Yeah, I have I have kind of a hard time reading it to be honest Uh, let's see if there are any settings in here for it Not really Yeah, I mean when these markets are moving like this, I find it kind of hard There's other ways to configure these columns. I'll I'll go over it tomorrow. I think or yeah tomorrow before j trader gets in if you like Um, we can we can look at, uh, you know different ways to uh, read some of these columns in here We can look at almost something similar to it as a c o b column And do an aggregation Uh, and then limit that aggregation maybe for I don't know 10 20 levels, whatever And then you have the overall quotes or delta up here. So here you see 2100 down here.  We're looking for it when it's in balanced, right? That's that's what maybe that helps you. Um, there are videos on this on the features and components playlist Uh, so, uh, you know, if you want to take a look at that right, um CVD seems to be okay Underutilized asset. Yeah, you know, um, well, we look at stops and icebergs in here CVD and and just want to cover this brian um indicators, uh, we want to I always stress, um, and I think this is, um A very worthy thing to say is that indicators are They don't offer you signals. Uh, they offer a confluence and Really understand what the indicator is doing Okay, because you will see discrepancies between what the indicator is telling us, uh, and, um What's actually happening in the order flow? We want to match those two together That's when that you can get something out of the indicator, but understand precisely. What is it calculating? What is it displaying? How to read that and then how does that react or how does that merge with The price action and the order flow uh And that's of course, that's my opinion, but uh order flow rules is what we've seen and This is telling you a lot. So read the order flow and then You know look for maybe something in here to give you additional insight We're even doing the same with stops and icebergs. Okay, and this is a level of transparency. That's amazing Okay, scott is he's he's taking not a signal from here, but he's taking these stops and icebergs Um, uh movements in here, uh as an event Okay, and that's the big event and now he wants to understand the order flow around the big event Okay, so, uh, that's uh his his way of trading and looking at the markets That's a tricky market now. I mean you see sellers you see buyers you see sellers Yeah, I thought we'd get it back up into 40 here. Just couldn't do it um but we do Yeah, we're kind of getting in that time of day here. Uh, european clothes just, uh, uh unfolded so uh Quasim, yeah, if you're using a thinkorswim version, um the you it's um Um, uh not uh mbo data, uh, it's um Dx feed data even for futures. So If you want to try the mbo, you'll have to come over to get the standalone version Um, so you're all set right now with uh, you know thinkorswim great Uh, just do this though. If you want to really check it out. Try it for a month Just try it for a month Come to these webinars ask questions, uh, and then see if that's something you want to do Right, or maybe you just want to stick with your thinkorswim version Right, that that would probably be the best Uh, they just they they don't offer the mbo data. Uh rhythmic, um stream From thinkorswim. That's why Okay, all right guys, we got to go. Thanks for coming everybody. If you like this, uh one last shot Give us a thumbs up there. Uh, and then we will catch up tomorrow. We'll do some live analysis with the, um General markets the es and then and then there will be j trader all about j trader. Okay Excellent. Thanks guys. Uh, we'll catch up with you tomorrow Okay. Yeah, thanks everybody Bye-bye


So the money flow concept is what we talk about every single day in MIC and spend the single, number one single thing that has led to me having an awesome, awesome year so far. I can't even believe it. It's been going really, really well. I'm focused. I'm sharp. I'm staying zone there because what I've been doing is making sure that I'm not touching that hot stock.


I'm going to use an example, basically, because the introduction was already made. So when we talk about clean energy, what are the constraints and what are the opportunities? Because nothing comes for free. And I'll use an example of the Nile. And I just call it a stressed, trans-boundary river basin with challenges and opportunities. And I'll use just this example so that we can discuss what the consequences of these things are. The African countries, of course, with the support of the developed countries have recognized that infrastructure development is the opportunity for Africa. And there is the so-called PIDA program, which is the program for infrastructure development in Africa, which deals with transport, with hydropower, with water supply, and so on. And this PIDA program is envisaging to achieve by 2040 an interconnected continent. And there are nine dams planned, big dams, and five smaller dams. But overall, when you see the potential of Africa, you have potentials of a capacity of about 54 gigawatts, which is a huge number. In order to achieve that, you have to build thousands of kilometers of transmission lines. And you have huge storage potentials that you have to use for that. This just as the macro scale of what you can do in Africa. But as I said, I'll show you that there are challenges with that. Most of the river basins, where you would build the hydropower plants, those river basins are trans-boundary. So anything you do upstream will have impacts downstream. You see here the bigger ones, like the Nile. You have the Niger in West Africa. You have the Zambezi in Southern Africa, which cover about minimum of nine countries, up to 13 countries that you need to handle in an integrated manner at the political level. So I will not talk about the political level. I'll talk about just the physical side of the issues that will have to inform our politicians and our economists to come to a sound information-based political decision. So there is this UN Water Courses Convention of 1997, which tries to handle these issues. And there are some articles, too, I've highlighted here, that need consideration. One is, I just call it, the right to development. Every country has the right to develop, and it is formulated, as you can see here. And there is the other issue of defending existing uses. You don't want to cause any significant harm to neighboring countries when you develop yourself. Basically, in the water sector, it's an upstream-downstream thing, but it mustn't necessarily be the case. These issues are also across sectors. Let's say you develop hydropower, you may damage irrigated agriculture, and vice-versa. So it is the transponder issue is one thing, and then the sectoral issue is the other. I'll come later to the issue of, of course, ecosystems as well, because they also need to be considered. So before I talk about the Nile Basin, this issue, this example that I'm going to give you, you have that on the Zambezi, you have that on the Niger, you have that in any river basin in Africa, where you have, as I said, some kind of a conflict of interests, not necessarily a win-win situation. You may have win-lose situations, and they need to be identified. And I'll show you an example where we have tried to identify these win-win and win-lose situations that will inform us to identify the corridor where we can, where we can understand what the implications of decisions are. So for those of you who don't, are not very familiar with Africa, basically United is the longest river in the world, but sometimes people say it's also the Amazon, but anyhow it's a very long river. It covers about 10% of the African continent. There are 11 countries in the Nile Basin with more than 400 million people. And within the basin we're talking about a magnitude of 200 million people. These are the countries, people think when you think about rivers it's basically the main river, but when you see the whole catchment countries like Burundi, Rwanda, highly densely populated regions, countries like the DRC, although it's a small part, they are also part of the Nile Basin. Everything you do there will affect the equilibrium of that river system. We are in the climate change discussion and irrespective of climate change, only due to population growth and other aspects, the Nile is a waterscast region. As you can see in this map, you have physical scarcity in a country like Egypt. In the other countries you have economic water scarcity because the water infrastructure is not developed. So we have, and this will change over time, it will be aggravated by climate change and also by population growth as well. So the challenges that we have on the Nile is we have droughts. We have this high variability of climate in the Nile Basin. It's basically simple, like Joseph's dream, seven wet years, seven dry years, these patterns we can see from those few time series that we have. We have floods, we have environmental degradation and as we are in, like in most African countries we have poor coverage of water supply and sanitation. And based on that, most of the economies, for example, like the economy of Ethiopia, there is a clear correlation between the GDP and the rainfall patterns. So there is a huge food insecurity if you have consecutive dry years, these countries don't have the resilience to secure food for the people and power shortage. Those of you who have lived in Africa or have visited African capitals, it is in every day's life you can see there's power shortage. The opportunities in the Nile Basin, like in also other basins like in the Zambezi, but also in the Congo Basin, is you have a huge untapped potential for energy. You have also untapped potential for food production. And I'm always optimistic to say there is the political will for cooperation, although sometimes the media tells us that there are conflicts and the conflicts are part of that will for cooperation. But I think gradually our politicians, our decision makers are understanding that we have to cooperate. Now I come a bit to the hydrology of the Nile. The total runoff is 85 cubic kilometers. It may sound a big number, but when you project it on the population that you supply, it's a very small number. Basically the Nile is a river which is, it's a dry river you can say. You have 85% of this comes from a very small area basically from the Ethiopian highlands. And compared to other big rivers, it's really a waterscass river because you have on one hand the high seasonality, meaning you have dry season wet seasons, and then you have the inter-annual variability also. I'll show you some charts about that. And as I said, 70% or as I mentioned, 70% of the flow occurs between August and November. For example, this shows you the pattern of the Nile over the year. So as you can see, most of the flow occurs in summer of the northern hemisphere, shifted by one month, and most of the water comes from the Ethiopian highlands. And as you can see in most of the year, the water flows very, very low. And I'll show you a similar picture later. You have here those times around the beginning of the 70s. There was a dry year, and then you have some consecutive dry years from 82 to 86. Some peaks high flows in the 80s, 90s. And this is the annual influence of high Aswan Dam. And as I told you, the water there is influenced by the rainfall pattern in the Ethiopian highlands. I'll come to these circles. You may please try to remember what happened in those years in that part of Africa. I'll tell you the answer to the quiz later. The major subsystems of the Nile, I'm telling you this story so that you understand, building a dam, you have to understand how a water system behaves. So basically you have four systems in the Nile. You have the White Nile, which is originally South Lake Victoria. You have the Blue Nile and its tributaries, which originates in the highlands of Ethiopia. You have the South Swamps in Southern Sudan and South Sudan, which is a huge swamp, one of the biggest swamps in the world that basically swallows all the water that comes from Uganda and from Lake Victoria and gives only half of it downstream and the other half evaporates. So the swamp grows and gets smaller. And then you have the Main Nile, basically where you don't have any water coming in, basically where the river just flows through the desert for, I don't know, how many thousand kilometers. And this on the left side, it shows you basically the thickness of the line shows you the magnitude of the water in the river system. So I'll go quickly through some key characteristics of the countries. We have the Nile in Egypt, where 99% of the water comes from outside of Egypt. We have the agricultural economy and the livelihoods of the people fully depend on the Nile. It is fully regulated by Hassan Dam. And you have in Egypt, of course, it's a middle income country. It is a highly developed water resources infrastructure. So the main challenges are you have a decline per water capital availability. So water quality is deteriorating, sea level rise, which leads to salinization of the soils in the Nile Delta, which is severe for the Egyptian farmers. And then when you come to Ethiopia to the Blue Nile, you have complete other characteristics which were, I told you, the highest seasonality. But you have land degradation is a huge issue. You have high sediment loads, high erosion. And on the other hand, the opportunity is you have huge potential for hydropower development and for flow regulation. When we go to the Sudwekt Lands, that was the yellow circle in the middle. You have, I think, the second largest swamp in the world. It has a very complex hydrology that we still don't understand. And half of the water evaporates. And it is home for endemic fish, birds, for animal movement and plants, very unique plant ecosystem. And it's also a major source for fishery in the region, for livestock, and for water for domestic water use. Its development is very low. So but still there are some ideas to develop infrastructure there. And I just mentioned one thing here at the bottom. There is a major interest to conserve water loss by evaporation, by building a canal around the swamp. That would secure for downstream, meaning Sudan and predominantly Egypt, would secure water supply. But on the other hand, it would dry the swamps and it would have most likely very severe ecological impacts, which is very difficult to investigate. We don't know all the consequences that this would cause. So it's about trading off what we would get something, but we may lose something else. Lake Victoria is more or less because it's cut apart from the Sud in southern Sudan. It is an own, it can be regarded as an own water river basin. And basically there you have issues that do not diffuse downstream. But anyhow, millions maybe are a magnitude of 100 million people or 80 million people depend on the water systems of the Lake Victoria region. So these are the development potentials. Basically you have hydropower development potential in the Blue Nile system. You have in the downstream in Egypt, you have the potential for irrigated agriculture to make it more efficient. And in the Lake Victoria region also you have a huge potential for irrigated agriculture. I have highlighted the Sud and the confluence of the Blue Nile with the White Nile also for irrigated agriculture. So basically you can say, apart from the highlands of Ethiopia, you have irrigated agriculture as one opportunity and in Ethiopian highlands hydropower. And this is not necessarily a win-win situation, but because we have a distinct system, in this case the developments in Lake Victoria region in Ethiopia don't have big influences to each other on one hand. And I'll show you that hydropower development on the Blue Nile does not have significant impacts downstream, which is of course subject for discussion later when we come to the discussions. The key issues in the Nile basin, basically I've mentioned that, so let me go over to the next slide. Storage. Storage is not only in the power world very important, it's also in the water world very important because storage makes you more resilient to the variabilities that you experience in rainfall. And it will buffer the droughts and so building dams makes you more robust in any ways. It's not only in the water, in the water world like that, it's in the power world and even in economics it's the case. The bigger the buffer is, the more robust and resilient you are. So I'll try to make this now in the last five minutes. An example of a development of a dam called the GERD, which is the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam, which is being built not far from the Ethiopian side. Please see the magnitude of the storages. It has about 74 cubic kilometers of storage and then in that system downstream up to, until you get to Egypt, you have relatively small dams ranging from four to eight cubic kilometers. That cannot even buffer the flow that comes in the rainy season in Ethiopia for two weeks. They cannot even buffer that.  And now in the Ethiopian highlands a dam is being built. And you may know from the media that Ethiopia, Sudan, and Egypt are discussing issues around that. It's a big dam with six gigawatts installed capacity and the average annual energy is estimated to be 15 terawatt hours. So I come to this chart again. We did some modeling and climate change. We, when we talk about climate change, we assume that the future is not like the past and you have lots of assumptions. So we did the modeling for what would happen if we have the GERD and the highest one dam in the Blue Nile system. And we used the time series from 1911 to 2003. So the question I asked at the beginning, 1972 was the first famine in Ethiopia that led to the revolution and the coup d'etat. Then we have from 84 to 87 where we had this huge famine again in Ethiopia. And then that one, 1988, was the catastrophic flood in Khartoum. And then just almost a decade later, another huge flood in Sudan. So you can see the inter-annual variability is very high. The water ranges from 20 billion meter cubes in the dry years up to 70, a factor of 3.5. So buffering is very important. So if we build one day when we start producing energy in the GERD, what would happen? Let me explain that to you with this slide only. The black line, the energy at the highest one dam without the GERD tells you that in average, currently in Egypt, you can produce about 6.2 terawatt hours per year. This is a duration curve telling you probabilities. And in 5% of the time, you can produce more than 6.2, up to 9 gigawatt, terawatt hours per year. And then in those dry years, 10% of the time, you produce less down to 2. something terawatt hours per year. If you build the GERD, because you have buffer upstream, you would have a lowered energy production in Egypt. In those years that are very wet, you would still produce a constant amount. And then in the dry years, you could produce more than in the dry years now. So you have to understand that when you build dams upstream, the consequence would be, without going to details now, is that downstream, you produce less energy. But you will produce upstream in a magnitude of about 15 terawatt hours per year at the GERD, where the variability is much higher. As you can see, it's between 8 and 22 terawatt hours per year. And when you sum them up, we are going to have about 20 terawatt hours per year, the two systems. So it's important to see that upstream developments with their adverse impacts that you produce less makes the system more smooth. This is a chart maybe that has impressed me most. Basically, I want to draw your attention to the black line and the red line, which compares the evaporation of the Lake Nasser without the GERD, which is in mean about 9.4 millimeter cubes per year, which is a huge number. And then you build a dam upstream, you increase evaporation upstream, which leads to the situation that downstream you get less evaporation. And system-wide, the evaporation is the same. And this discussion is still ongoing between the three countries, what the adverse impacts are. And basically, to make it simple for you to memorize, you buy with evaporation, you buy basically energy, you can say that. It's not fully correct, but it's like trading evaporation. But there is another adverse impact for Egypt as well. It's about water supply deficit. The black columns show you if the GERD is not built, what the water supply would look like. So you have high peaks, and then over decades nothing happening. When you build a dam upstream, what would happen is you would have less severe deficit, but more often. And when we modeled that, and I need to mention that here, we maximized energy production upstream. What would happen if we didn't maximize energy production? Let's say we would have put in a rule like release water, produce less energy if you have a dry year. Then maybe what would happen is in those years, in this case in the 40s, where you have water supply deficits, maybe you could reduce that. This is subject to investigations in the future, but this is even if you maximize energy upstream, which is the worst case for downstream existing infrastructure, you would have reduced peaks, but more often. And economists need to analyze what does it mean for a national economy. This is a summary of, maybe I have said that already, so let me tell you the key messages now. This example is an investigation of modeling work that we did. Just a simple shot for seeing the interest of one upstream country, how it affects the two downstream countries. And that has shown us that the effects are significant. However, they can be lowered if we incorporate, let's say, release rules that consider downstream activities. The three key messages that I have here are basically climate variability and uncertainty in the Nile Basin will increase due to climate change. And as you know, as you have seen, we already have in East Africa, and this is one of the most variable regions in the world where you have high seasonal and intranol variability, and climate change will enhance that. Interestingly, I'm not a climate scientist, but when I discuss with climate people, they tell me it's either wetter or drier. They tell me it's either hotter or warmer or colder. But we as hydrologists cannot do anything with that. We just produce ensembles and do the models with that. So East Africa is, from the climate point of view, not a trivial region. More reservoir storage capacity helps mitigate impacts. We just did this one small example. We're currently at the Nile Basin. We're investigating even building more dams to what would it lead, what would be the impacts on that. And it is for us already evident that when we do that, we have to see across the borders. People tell us, my predecessors talked about green energy, building hydro and so on. The moment you do that, this will lead to a transboundary cooperation. Like I just mentioned, when you operate a dam, you cannot only operate it for maximizing energy or maximizing yield from agriculture. You may have to trade it off against producing less energy in order to reduce the downstream adverse impacts. That's in a nutshell what's happening on the Nile and what that region is trying to do when it comes to green energy. Thank you.


So this is a special Toshiba laptop, what is this? This is a concept idea so far, it's called a Dynabook, it should replace your notepad where you write with a pen, and it should combine the digital life and the hand-write feeling. So it has a good pen input? It has a very good Wacom pen and you have a very good feeling when you write directly on the display. It's very thin, it's below 7mm and yeah, it's mainly software-based, we use two notes where you can write hand-writing. So it's going to be Windows 10, it's coming soon? The specs are not fine yet, but it will be Windows 10 and it will be an Atom X5 processor. And yeah, it's a concept idea, Q4 we decided, we will take it up in Europe. Q4 is probably coming out, in what year? In Q4 we decide if we will take it up for Europe, it's a concept. So no price yet for this? We want a position for the 799. 799? Yeah. And it will just fit the keyboard on top? Yeah, it's a magnet.