Launchpad was the experience of my lifetime. It helped me onboard it super fast. I understood all of the protocol labs technologies, including PowerPoint technologies there and really set me off with a good start. The best part of the Launchpad is the Color Week and really get to know my cohort quite a bit and also the ecosystem of other players as well and that's great. The most kind of useful and pragmatic piece of Launchpad was getting to meet all the people on various teams you know that so I work on the Saturn team now which is the content delivery side of Filecoin but I met people from Filecoin Green and people from the Filecoin Foundation and even people outside of Filecoin and outside of protocol labs and so as an onboarding for someone who had never kind of worked in Web3 before I got to see all aspects of the kind of Web3 ecosystem and protocol labs. One of the great things is from the first day you are really a condition of people that are gonna be working on different teams. Once Launchpad is over and you're working on your working group or working on your different foundation wherever you're working you have to connect with those people in the future and then they become someone that you can connect with automatically just from going through the program which is amazing.


Hello, welcome to SSUnited Social Decide and this is continuation of Power BI tutorial. So in the last video we have seen how we can pivot the columns and today we will see how we can unpivot the columns. So initially we have this input data and we have rotated this input data with the country in the columns and values in the aggregate value. Now we just want to unpivot that input and output should be like this. So just move to Power BI desktop where we will see how we can do this. So here as I told you we are having countries in the columns and these values are aggregated values. So we just want to rotate these columns into a single column with the country and other column will be the aggregate values that will be the value. So how we can do this? So for that let me select all these country columns. After that here we can see we are having unpivot column option. So just unpivot column and we need to wait few seconds and this is the attribute and this is the value. So in the attribute let me call this as country and in the attribute that is the value. So this is the initial table that we were having before pivoting the table. So how we can use the pivot and how we can use the unpivot to rotate the table structures. So I hope you have understand how we can pivot the table and how we can unpivot the table. If you like this video please subscribe my channel to get many more videos. Don't forget to press the bell icon to get the notification of our newly uploaded videos. Thank you so much.


Bitcoin has now been rejected three times from that 60k level. As you guys can see here on this chart, the price continues to trend down as it respects this descending trend line. Today we're talking about this weekend's price action snooze fest. Then we're going over what we're watching on the charts right now. And finally, of course, we're going to end this video with some trade setups that we're going to be watching over this week. So stay tuned guys, you don't want to miss this video. Hey, what's up Jay here and welcome to Bitcoin Daily bringing you guys the best tips, tutorials and ideas to help you guys become profitable and successful traders. The goal of this channel is to empower you guys with the knowledge and resources to help you get to that next level. So if you guys are new here, make sure to hit that subscribe button. Make sure to smash the like button and make sure to turn on notification bell so that you guys are notified as soon as we post a video five times a week. So the first thing that we're going to talk about today guys is that recap from this snooze fest weekend. So not really not much went on this weekend in Bitcoin. We gave you guys basically from what we gave you guys on Friday's video, one entry triggered those are very small move though. It was the 57.5 K entry. So that would have been more or less right around here and that went ended up going up to about 58500 that would have been around 17% more or less on that move. If you guys entered that you guys would have probably stopped out at least one time here. As you guys can see, we had a pretty big drop right there. So yeah, you would have probably ended up just about break even or a little bit in profit if you would have took this trade and stopped out that one time and then took profit up here. You would have pretty much had a small profit. That move in total would have been around 17% if you use 10X leverage for Ethereum. Pretty much the same thing here. We had the entry we saw here was a 1760 bounce, which would have been right around here between these two candles and that ended up going up to about 1800. This is one about to 1810 or something. So that would have been around a 11% profit if you were able to catch that and it did hit twice. So you would have been able to enter it there and you would have been able to enter it again right here again. So you could have taken profit on that twice. And right now it just hit that same spot again. So guess what we're doing, guys? We're entering that same trade again right now, what we just did. So hopefully we make profits by the end of this video. All right, guys. So let's go ahead and jump into the charts and let's take a look at what is going on right now, what's gone on over the weekend. As you guys can see, on Friday, we spoke about being at this resistance right here. So we said that we needed to either we're either going to see a breakout to the upside, which would have broke out of this 60K range, which you can see here. That's where we got rejected. Or if we would have broke out, we could we would have gone and, you know, tested this previous all-time high, then saw probably some sort of consolidation back down to retest the top of this and then continuation up. But what we saw instead was that rejection right at that 60K level. And of course, we got pushed down lower. So we also broke below this Fibonacci level that we're watching here. That was at 23.6% level. We broke under that and that's currently where we're sitting. So you can see after we broke under that, we've kind of been struggling to get back on top of it. As you can see here, we've been rejected a few times there. And right now we're just kind of sitting in the middle of nowhere here. So there's really no support here. There's we have the resistance right here. And we have the descending resistance as well. So that's something that we're watching for right now. So if we continue down here, then that next support level is going to be that 55K area, which is where we saw support here. We saw support here, saw support here, saw support here. So we've seen support a lot at that level. And we've also seen resistance a lot at that level. So that's definitely going to be a place of interest. There should be a lot of buying coming in, a lot of support coming in. If we were to dump back down to those levels, as you can see, we almost hit it over the weekend, but we only went down to what was at 55, 400.  So that's currently the next support level that we're going to be watching here. As far as for resistance, now this resistance is going to get stronger because the descending line is also going to be here with this resistance as well. So in order to break out, we're going to have to get through not only the Fibonacci level resistance, but now we also have to get through this descending line that's now meeting with this Fibonacci level. Right? So if we can get a break to the upside above this, we should be able to test this 60K level one more time and hopefully be able to break that level now that we got rid of the descending line. So something that we could possibly see is a break. If we see the break to the upside is to break that test that this again, possibly get rejected again. But if we can keep a we can test the top of this, basically the top of this channel and then continue up, then we might see the continuation up where we test retest this previous high. So that's one possibility once one case scenario there. But as you guys always know, there's a million different case scenarios. So we just got to kind of prepare for all the case scenarios, right? So that's what we will do at the end of this video. We're going to prepare you guys with different levels and different trades depending on what it is that happens throughout the week. So overall, we zoom out of the chart and the chart still looking very bullish. As you guys can see here, this is where we broke out of this falling wedge, which took us to the new all time high. And this is where we're at now. As you guys can see, this is a bullish pattern right here. This is a bull flag after an impulse move up. You know, we're trading within a range. We're just consolidating within that channel right now. So that is a bullish move, guys. You guys could also see that we printed it higher high than we printed a lower than we printed higher high than we printed a lower high. So as long as we continue on this path, we are good guys. Everything looks healthy. Market looks healthy. We're in the neutral here on the daily on the weekly we are. Let's see where we're at on the weekly right now. So on the weekly, we are still in overbought territory, but it's been coming down as you guys can see. So that might be why we're seeing so much consolidation right now. And so little volatility at the moment because we it's just kind of trying to get and trying to reset itself back into that neutral area. As you guys see, we've been overbought for quite some time now since October. And this is the lowest we've been. Basically, we came down this low. You can see in February, we came down on those during that falling wedge. And now we're just kind of going down again. And as you guys know, we spoke about this last time we had. We do see here a bearish divergence on the weekly. But however, on the weekly charts, remember that it takes a lot longer for things to happen. So it's just something to keep in mind. But, you know, you can't just trade based off of the weekly patterns because those are very long term and that that could stay that way for a long period of time. So if we were to continue in this channel, this is pretty much the trend right here, right? This is pretty much the channel. If we were to get rejected and go to the bottom of this channel, where the bottom could take us is back to that 52 K area, 52 to 50,000. So it would depend when the time is very important as far as where we would go, depending when we would go down here. It would be right around that 52 K, you know, possibly 50 K area if we were to continue down like this on this channel. Now, if we break up the move to the upside that we could expect what we'd have to do is measure this impulse move, right? So if we measure this impulse move here, you know, when when measuring, we're trying to predict where the breakout is going to go on on a bull flag. You basically measure this pole, the move of the pole, right? So from the bottom of this move to the top, that kind of puts it that what we would put that, let's say we broke out if we broke out here, for example, that would put our target right at 72,000 around that 72,500 dollar mark for its next big move. So what does that mean? That means that if we were to break out from this bull flag, this next move, you see how there is this big impulse move right here, where it went from here all the way up to here. Basically, if we measure that and put it at where this would break out. Now, I'm just estimating that this is where the breakout would be, but the breakout could be here, could be here, could be here. You know what I mean? So depending where that breakout is, is where that next price target would be. So in the event that the breakout was here, our target would be around that 72,500 levels, 73,000 level, right? If we grab this and let's move it over here. Now that kind of changes our price level to around 72,000. If we move it down here, now that again, changes our price level to around 70,000. You know, so so it all depends where that breakout ends up happening. Once that breakout happens, you know, according to the whole, the theory of bull flags, the next impulse move up after a breakout would be above the same move of this previous impulse move right here, right? So that would give us basically a move up to $70,000 and beyond. So it just depends at this point, it depends where we see and where we get this breakout. So that's currently what we're watching for so that then we can try to come up with our next price prediction for Bitcoin. A breakout from this bull pattern is a scenario that could take us up to that 70 to 75 K area. In Ethereum, we have more of the same guys. Basically, as you guys know, Ethereum is very correlated with Bitcoin itself. So depending what Bitcoin does is basically what Ethereum is going to also do. So again, on Friday's video, we spoke about, remember, we said X marks the spot where we said that this trend line, this channel was meeting up with this descending line. And, you know, we had it was maker break at that point for Ethereum. We had to either break through this and continue up in this channel, right? Or we're going to go down and fall to the bottom of this channel. So we ended up getting rejected there. You know, it looks like it really tried to break out. But when Bitcoin got rejected at 60, then Ethereum also got rejected there, which led us all the way back down to the current levels that we're at right now. So you could also see that we got pushed under the this channel right here that we were using. And now it looks like we might be we might have that channel there as a resistance and guess what what's happening again? Another X marks the spot scenario, right, where we have two different trend lines running into each other at the same time. So we basically have a double resistance here. So that's something that we're watching this week for the next few hours really today to see if we're going to be able to break through this this trend line right here and continue up or if we're going to get rejected and possibly retest these areas right here. So these are that those 1720 to 1730 areas that we've spoken about several times, as you guys can see there. So same thing here, guys, if we measure the move, the total move of Ethereum here from the bottom of the move to the top of this move, right? And then we move it to where the possible breakout could occur. This would give us the level a possible level to possible prediction, right? So if we go ahead and draw that out and put it over here and let's say that the breakout would come at some point the next day or two, then our target here would be possibly $2,300 for Ethereum. Now, if that breakout happened, let's say closer to over here, let's draw this channel a little further down, then that would put our target around that 2250 to basically around 2200 range, right?  So all we can do right now is just kind of wait it out. See when the breakout occurs and then we can play that price target and set up different trades going up. Now, if it continues down, then we need to look for the supports and set up different trades for a bounce back up, right? Because eventually there will be that bounce back up. It's only a matter of time here. So the current supports that we're watching is this level right here that we've told you guys several times at 1720 to 1730 area. We really like that area there for a bounce. As you guys can see, we've had a lot of support there. We've had a lot of bounces and we've also we also have that Fibonacci level there. If we were to break below that, then that next level that we would be watching is basically this level right here, which is at 38.2% Fibonacci level, which is just around at 1530, 1520. I'll say 1520 to 1550 area, right? That's going to be that next level, as you guys can see, there's been price action there, a lot of price action there. So that would be that next level that we're going to be watching if for any reason we went, you know, lower down than we are currently. I hope you guys are enjoying this video so far. So far we've covered the recap of the weekend. We've did an analysis on both Bitcoin and Ethereum. Next, OK, next, we're going to cover some trade setups that we're going to be watching different levels that we're going to be watching basically our watch list for this week. So these are the trade setups. This is a watch list that we're going to be using this week to take trades for ourselves and for our team. If you guys have been enjoying this video so far, make sure to hit that subscribe button. Don't forget to also smash the like. Let's get this video up to 100 likes. And of course, do not forget to turn on that notification bell so that you guys are notified as soon as we post these new videos because a lot of these videos have trade setups in them and you don't want to miss these. All right, so let's jump right in. All right, so let's start it off with Bitcoin. The first level that we're going to be watching here this week. First of all, we need to see a break above fifty seven five hundred. Right. We got to see a break above there in order to continue up. That is a resistance level, as you guys can see here. Now, the thing with this is there's also resistance. Real close by because we have that descending level coming down on us now. So we don't want to we no longer want to take that fifty seven thousand five hundred level entry. We're leaning more towards that fifty eight thousand dollar level as an entry. And if you want to be safe, then you can use that fifty eight thousand five hundred level that should be a little bit safer because that's pretty much if we reach above that level, there should be a lot more volume and momentum to the upside at that point. But you can take that fifty eight K level entry as well. However, it's a little bit riskier because it could be fake out. So we might not have enough momentum and volume yet at that point. So it's up to you which one you want to take, depending on your risk tolerance. But those are the two levels that we're watching as we try to break this resistance barrier that we're currently facing above that. Then that next level, of course, is going to be sixty K. If we can break above that sixty K level, we should hopefully see a retest of this previous all time high at sixty two thousand. So that's going to be the next level we're watching. And then, of course, above that, we're watching sixty two K for a breakout above that for new all time highs. Now, unfortunately, the market does not only move up, so we have to prepare for case scenarios where we move lower and look for entries in that case. Right. So if we continue down the first entry that we're looking for is, of course, fifty five thousand. So that's going to be right around this Fibonacci level right here where we've seen we've had a whole lot of support there previously. So it is a level where I'm expecting buyers to come back in and defend that level. So that's that first area that I'm watching for a bounce entry. If we were to go below that for any reason, then the next level I'm looking at is fifty two K and below that is fifty K and fifty two to fifty K. It's already that would be the bottom of this channel here. So as you guys can see, that's the bottom of the channel. So that's in the event that this week we got completely rejected up here and tested the bottom of this channel before heading back up, right? We'd be using fifty K and fifty two as that those support entries there. In Ethereum, as you guys know, it is very correlated with Bitcoin. So you have to be careful when taking these entries because you also want to want to be watching Bitcoin and seeing where Bitcoin support is at that time. Now, Ethereum has been holding up pretty good overall, even with Bitcoin, you know, dropping, it did make it drop here. But basically the first level that we're watching for a breakout here, we're still watching that 1800 level, but we're going to be risking only a small amount here, you know, because, as I said, there's two with two different resistances here, plus there's a third resistance if you count the fact that 1800 is a whole number. So people will be taking profits there at 1800. Anyone who's been buying these dips here are probably going to be taking profits there at 1800, just like they did previously. Remember last time that we dropped down here when we got to 1800, there was a whole lot of consolidation because everybody was anyone that that bought those dips was taking profits there. So that's the level that we're going to be watching for our first entry right above 1800, if we continue up beyond that 1820 is that next level. But again, it's still pretty risky. We saw a lot of consolidation there, but now that that level is kind of cleared out a bit, it's it's a little bit better now to hit that level. So I'd be I'm watching that level is now back into my trading plan, that 1820 level, and then above that, of course, we're watching 1850. That's that next level. And if we are, if we are to break above this previous high here, that's going to be the next another entry and then above 1900, of course. If we were to drop to the downside and possibly test this Fibonacci level here, that next entry there is that 1720 to 1730 range. If we were to drop deeper for any reason, then I'm looking at the bottom of this channel here, right? And this next Fibonacci level here. So that's right around that 1530 to 1560 range where we could possibly see a bounce at that point. If for any reason, we were to head down this way. All righty, guys, so those are the trade setups that we are going to be watching this week, depending on what the price does from here. You know, we might change things up and down, but right now today, that's what's on our watch list. That's what we're watching. And that's those are the trades that we're taking right now at this moment. For these day trades, remember that we use Bybit. And if you guys are interested in signing up for an account on Bybit to trade with leverage like we do, then you can just go down to our description on this video and click where it says trade on Bybit with leverage. So that is pretty much it for us, guys. I hope you guys have enjoyed this video. If you did, make sure to hit that subscribe button, guys, make sure to smash that like button as well and turn on that notification bell if you guys have any, any questions at all about anything that we've covered in this video, drop it in the comments. We're always happy to answer your questions if we have the answers for them. Thank you guys so much for tuning in. I will see you guys on the next video. As always, peace and love.


Seaman is of an extraordinary level of potency. You are using it to spill it on the JNU bedsheets. Okay? If that's how you are using it, well, that's your compulsion. We have a biology, we cannot put it under the carpet, it's there. The body has its needs as it has there is physical hunger, so there is sexuality. But to what extent is your choice? So in the yogic culture, this is called as virya. It is one of the most potent things. Obviously, it has a potency if you know how to explore. That's Karnam Seth Guru. I want to know that when a student steps into college, all of a sudden he gets… he or she gets access to a huge amount of pornographic material which so far was off limits for him or her. And in the process, he or she enjoys that. And as we said, he experiences… she experiences heaven on earth. But… and we even have nicknames for those people who overdo it. They masturbate. We overdo it sometimes. So how do we know how much of that is good or bad? And so, can we have the truth about masturbation? It looks like a popular question, eh? See, we have a biology, we cannot put it under the carpet, it's there. It's best we address it for what it is. But right now, the problem in the world is because certain religious institutions in the world took this attitude that the very biology of the human being is wrong. Because of this, culture started hiding it under the carpet. Well, in this culture we never had it, but after the British came and left, we became more prudish than the British. But before that, if you look at our temples, all the outside temple art is all pornographic, if that's what you want to call it. But we don't call it pornographic. We are only talking about the various dimensions of human biology. Because we don't see it as wrong, but we see it as the periphery of life. If you stay there only, you will stay on the physical dimension forever, you will not explore anything else. So in the temple art always it's the periphery. You are supposed to look at that and understand it's the periphery of life and try to make an attempt to go deeper. But at the same time, not to be in denial of it, not to glorify it or not to be in denial of it is the most important thing. But in your college, watching these things on the poor whatever your internet or whatever, people tell me that someone told me, I don't know if this percentage is so correct. When I was asking, what is the content? I was trying to understand the internet and its content. What is the real content on the internet? They're telling me, you should know, they're telling me 70% of the content on the internet is pornography. Is it so? Is it so? You must be an expert. Is somebody doing PhD on it? They told me 70%.  If it occupies a small percentage, it's okay. 70% of a technological platform which could do millions of things, unfortunately it's pornographic, just biology of life.  It is one part of your life.  Biology is the front end of a bull. It's okay for him, that's all he knows.  It is part of our life. We are not denying it. So, at a certain stage in your life, it's like this, a 95-year-old man went for a medical check-up with his doctor. The doctor did a thorough check-up and said, hey, old boy, you're doing great for 95. No problem with you. Then the old man asked doctor, but what about my sex life? Then the doctor looked at him and asked, thinking about it or talking about it? So at different stages of life, there are sometimes you only think about it and talk about it. There are sometimes you indulge in it. These are passing pieces of life. How much of it is needed for you, you are the best judge. But at the same time, you came here not to explore your biology. At least you should have gone to MSc in biology. You shouldn't be wasting your time in a technological institute exploring biology. Does it mean to say you don't have biology? You don't have biological needs. You have, it's fine, but it must be on the periphery. It should not become the core of your life because it will reduce you in the sense a creature which was purely biological evolved into a place which has an intelligence of its own beyond its biology. See animal intelligence works for its biology alone. How to get its food, how to get its mate, this is all its entire life is. If human intelligence also functions like that, you are belling the evolutionary process. You are seeing how to go back, take the evolutionary process backward, not necessary. This does not mean you do not have a body. Body has its needs as it has, there is physical hunger, so there is sexuality. You have to address it in some way, but to what extent is your choice, but definitely it should not be the front end of your life because you're rolling back evolutionary scheme of putting your intelligence and consciousness in the front. Instead of that, you're putting your biology in the front.  Can wasting our semen damage us spiritually?  Yes? Well, we have skin, we have epithelial cells, we have hair, we have many other aspects of body, you know, heart, liver, kidney, so many things. All these cells are of a certain potency in their own way, but semen is of an extraordinary level of potency, it can create a whole new life. Well, today you can take an epithelial cell and do a lot of things in a laboratory and maybe we can clone you, all right? So the potential is here also, but it is not in the same dynamics as it is in the cell which is… which you're referring to as semen. So in the yogic culture, this is called as virya. Virya also refers to what you call as vajra, which means stability or diamond, which is the hardest thing. So in the human body, virya is considered to be like vajra. That means it is one of the most potent things if you know how to use it. Well, how to use it means you can use it to produce a child, that's one thing. Well, if your… this question is coming because you're using it to spill it on the genuine bedsheets, okay? If that's how you're using it, well, that's your compulsion, you're doing whatever you're doing. And this is not something to be judged morally, that's not the point. It's a question of what is the level of compulsion that one has. But anything in this body, can it be transformed into a different level of function? Absolutely. Not just semen, just everything in this body can be transformed. See, suppose I give you all soup-making ingredients, same soup-making ingredients to every one of you, do you believe all of you will produce the same soup? No. You will produce five hundred varieties of soups, those same ingredients. That's all that's happened with us right now. All of us are fundamentally same ingredients, but see how different each one of us are, different soups. Well, if I give you soup-making ingredients, either you can make a great soup or a lousy soup depends what kind of skills you have, isn't it? So this goes for everything, not just for semen. Every dimension of your body and your mind, you can transform into something tremendous, or you can make it mediocre, or you can make it a serious problem. Every aspect of your life, that goes for this aspect of life also. This same energy, see, people are making it literal translations, but if you want to produce a certain, let's say, epithelial cells, how much energy the body spends on it. And if you want to produce a cell which you call a semen, how much energy body spends is very different. This can be scientifically established. So when you're investing so much energy in that, obviously it has a potency if you know how to explore. But are you competent to explore? Are you capable of exploring? Do you have the necessary sadhana and guidance to do that? That's a big question mark.


It's the mat work. Kaiel Dadian I'm hoping I'm saying that right correct me with pronunciation below man But he says finally someone is saying this don't understand people who want you to post five picks of artwork before the song is released It's actually comment, but I wanted to add context to this I talked about in the video that Especially when you're early on nobody's checking for all this stuff that you do pre-release. They really aren't so Get to it Release the song and then do things after you release the song So every ounce of attention that you do create whether it's a new post or a new ad and all or whatever it is It goes back to your funnel which eventually goes to your song Like it doesn't it doesn't make sense to get somebody's attention I'm spending a hundred dollars two hundred dollars on an Instagram ad Teasing this song that nobody knows about and the song's not even out and then when the song finally comes out I have to hope that I get their attention again, which means I'm probably gonna have to pay for it All right, go ahead and have it there and available So when you have people's attention you can squeeze every little bit of it out there There is It maximizes That's it. All right So those people who say do this amount of posts before and they're not They're not considering your audience All right, your level of fan base if you don't have a fan base to actually organically post in and In and create any type of suspense It's not gonna do too much for you a lot of these people are just giving you something to do Right and making you feel like you did something. So they maybe you know get paid For giving you those answers. So I would actually avoid a lot of that advice Who says you have to do x y and z before you post without consideration?


Have you ever seen a TV ad claim 4 out of 5 dentists use this brand of toothpaste? Why do marketers like to cite experts? The reason is because when it comes to complicated issues, people rely on expert views. But here's the thing, everyone, including scientific experts, can have their views. But when it comes to science, they need to back up their views with evidence and rigorous analysis. And then, as a reward for their efforts, their work gets scrutinized by other experts. This is the peer-review process. Peer-review is when scientists who are experts in the field scrutinize a paper before it gets published.  It's not perfect, but what it strives to do is weed out the errors, ensuring that the science is rigorous and evidence-based. This idea of scientific research being based on common standards of evidence is referred to as social calibration. Once a paper has gone through the peer-review process and published in a scientific journal, then it faces the hardest test of all, the test of time. You get an idea of the quality of scientific research from how frequently other scientists cite that research in their own papers. So what peer-review papers, which have been scrutinized over time, have to say about climate change. In 2004, Naomi Arezquez examined nearly 1,000 peer-reviewed papers from 1993 to 2003, matching the search global climate change. She was particularly interested in the number of papers which rejected the scientific consensus that humans are causing global warming. What she found was nothing. Not a single paper rejected the consensus. This wasn't to say that there were no papers in existence rejecting human-caused global warming, but her analysis indicated that rejection papers had a negligible presence in climate research. Nearly a decade later, I led a team of researchers at Skeptical Science in conducting a follow-up analysis to the Uresca study. We thought it was time to have another look at the level of agreement in scientific papers. In order to capture the range of topics in climate change research, we expanded the search from global climate change papers to include global warming papers. In 21 years from 1991 to 2011, this added up to more than 12,000 papers. We had at least two members of our team read each abstract, the summary at the start of each paper. We categorized each paper on whether it affirmed human-caused global warming or not. In the end, we identified around 4,000 papers stating a position on human-caused global warming one way or the other. Among these 4,000 papers, 97.1% endorsed the consensus that humans are causing global warming. What about the other 8,000 papers? Well, abstracts are short summaries that introduce a scientific paper. If they don't need to, they don't waste time stating something they assume their readers will already know. Most astronomy papers don't think it's necessary to explain that the earth revolves around the sun. Similarly, nowadays most climatology papers don't see the need to reaffirm the consensus position. When a paper's abstract does mention human-caused global warming, there's overwhelming agreement. Replication is a fundamental part of the scientific method. It should be possible to repeat an experiment and get the same result. So how could we check our results? We invited the scientists who wrote the papers to rate their own research. This offered another way of appraising the work. 1,200 scientists responded to our invitation, and over 2,000 papers were self-rated. Among the papers stating a position on human-caused global warming, 97.2% endorsed the consensus, according to the scientists who did the research. As far as cross-checks go, this was a strong validation of the 97.1% consensus that we found from reading the abstracts. So both the early work of Naomi Oreskes and our more recent analysis found overwhelming consensus dating back to the early 1990s. An additional way to look at how scientific understanding has changed over time is to look at the way scientific studies cite other studies. If a paper makes a valuable scientific contribution, other scientists will refer to it in their own research. If there was an ongoing debate within the scientific community on climate change, then you would expect to see two schools of thought competing in the published research. But as a consensus forms, the presence of the dissenting viewpoint gets proportionally smaller. One study looked at this by analysing the way climate papers reference each other. This graph shows a measure of scientific disagreement over the past few decades. They found that scientific consensus had already formed in the early 1990s. Coming at it from a completely different angle, they found exactly the same result as Oreskes and our own analysis. The scientific research tells a clear story. In 1995, a landmark IPCC report found a discernible human influence on global climate. But even before that report came out, there was already overwhelming agreement in the scientific literature. 18 years later, the evidence has become so strong that the most recent IPCC report stated that it was more than 95% likely that humans have caused most of the observed warming since the mid-20th century. 4 out of 5 dentists endorsing a brand of toothpaste is a strong statement, but that's just 80%. 97% of relevant climate papers affirm the scientific consensus that humans are causing global warming. And that's not just a view of scientists. It's a position expressed in peer-reviewed scientific papers.


Going on everyone Sam here with late in sports car driven 23 for any select baseball hobby six box break number nine random team Style look again at your random results as always can find those on the website under the results tab as well as the link in chat Good luck here. Everybody. Let's do it. I don't want them to win. Believe me, dude I do not want them to win at all, but They are my pick unfortunately. I hate to say that I really do I really really I'm telling you when when Garcia got up in modern on his face. That's when they lost second Who the Rangers? Yeah. Yeah when Garcia got all mad. Yep. That's when they lost that game No, that's exactly what's what John said when they took the emotion when they took the emotion away I could just tell when Presley struck out the last dude in the eighth And mod and on they showed modern on a walk it off his face Like ready. Yeah. Yeah, exactly no chance silver George Brett tomorrow Johnson Nice one there rookie Jersey Otter a prospect Jersey Otter for the Pirates Congrats Pittsburgh. Is this uh, this is all all shit, right? Yep, I'll catch up cool. Very nice and a Matt Williams Aglio Ardonias to 25 the relievers out there for yeah. No, that's valid to valid to Yeah, look for yeah Aaron Zavala silver and more base Yeah, that's fine unless there's like a gold or lower grippy silver 299 Gavin Williams Jersey Audit for the Guardians George Brett try color Miguel blaze. We've got Yoshida on the Sparks Jersey Grats on that one there Red Sox and base Judd Fabian. Who did Tennessee play Mississippi State? Oh That's right, they did that's right Roberto Alomar. I forgot. I'm here talking about it today We're playing Xbox Who I know I know I know white Eddie Murray to at 149 sick of Jake already, bro Jake already. We're only two hours in. Yep Frankie Frisch Comfortable Cal Ripken and chief Meyers. Oh, I'm gonna do a random at the end to for both of these just in case Maglia Ardonias, they're probably there might not be but I'd rather just Duke FSU, that's a good game man white Harry Ford for the Mariners Then Zardo Jim Tommy Jim Tommy Silver Frank Viola Jason Dominguez on the jumbo Jersey. Whoa. Whoa. Sorry. Whoa. I saw in there yanks Kyle Harrison as well Best letter to get in Star Wars like D is good because of Vader Um, there's a lot of good letters to be honest D is good T is good because then you get everything that starts with the Buddy Murray David Cone base and base. Oh Cooper jerpy do a cartaya going to the Dodgers We got a gold. Oh got a gold gold gold gold silver hunter brown It is AJ Smith Schauver 210 going to the Braves nice one Atlanta Yeah, I mean elemento is not bad. None of those are terrible. I would say AJ Smith Schauver as well Green. Oh my god Emerson Hancock to 75 Silver Robert Moore to your cartaya again this time on the Jersey card the smaller Jersey card Terry F pick up the Broncos and mosaic choice. Thank you buddy. That's down to 11 to go now Everybody Gabriel Hughes really win it's you 25 going to Cleveland man Thanks for the sub there go jackets that is no more Garcia para. I'm assuming that is in either The Georgia Tech yellow jackets or the Columbus blue jackets would be my guess Silver Jack Morris Thank you state for lollipops.  Plus you get exclusives to Archie Vaughan That's a sprinkles in the nickname. We call I said you look like an archie Ellie and Fuego White of Raphael Palmera Nice one there to at 149 way forward in a jam at home a Silver Kyle Manzardo and Fuego silver Ellie and punch Jake such a bot dude It's not good Nine to go Star Wars everybody nine to go in Star Wars random letter style No, these are not licensed to me No guardian. Yeah trade ship to get who? Yeah, he was he decent or no, no, I know I got it for the race He's kind of it's running back for Oklahoma State Ollie Gordon. Yeah, somebody was saying that last week Kyle that Ollie Gordon White is junior Kevin arrow to 149. Let's go bang. Oh Yeah, he's right about that. I like the race. You're the one of In America Kyle Harrison 299 Emmanuel Rodriguez mean Kyle Connors to Jersey auto Yeah, I've met half of the raids fan half of the raids fans in America. It's kind of wild Dude Silver Kai Bush I'm not honored Dishonored anything In the presence of great Yuri Perez on the scope for the Marlins You should be honored God Have you even show up to this fake stuff?  Yeah, there you go Carl Ryan Zimmerman If that's even being a little bit too generous That is a green Bobby Whit jr. 275 the only current guy to have this Very strange No, I just think he's like he signed a deal with them I think we got a green John Smoltz diamond level nice one there five of five go into the Braves That's library guru jr. Should never done it Bobby Miller nice one there You you you are like when it's like a movie when somebody builds a robot To be like their prodigy and then the robot ends up like coming back and destroying them That's how I feel with you with that kind of stuff Silver one gun to mark Johnson to 99 on the Jersey auto pirates again Like oh, this is my great creation and it comes back to destroying me at the end But instead of like blowing me off just Repeatedly spam my own tricks back at me That's the only way to I need good Italian players. Wow Yeah, that's a Kyle question for sure Nice true Thorpe for the inks on the zebra Short print and then to 199 another tomorrow Johnson tomorrow Johnson half case here Siva green Maglio or Dona's 275 cross Silva Pudge and base Yeah, me too. Thorpe's actually looking decent Thorpe's pretty decent for the inks Paul Canerco for the white socks on the scope Rod a crew and more face Silva Jackson holiday silver Marcelo Meyer and more face Willy cam Reach there to be honest the inks to 149 is Mike me Cena on the white bit of a reach bit of a reach Silver Tyler Gentry. Hey, you're where's not mine to 49 chase the water nice one there for it the Guardians chase the water silver Marcelo Meyer Grayson Rodriguez nice one there jumbo Jersey for it the Orioles nice there we go Carl played Tidwell do some some soccer and basketball sets unlike you I like it though Harry Ford we got redemption Ellie De La Cruz Rookie signatures going to the Reds Congrats since he going to Kevin D. That's Kevin I'm Mario Soto to 25 for the Reds again 9 to go on Star Wars everybody 9 to go lime green Nick Gonzalez to 75 Bill Terry Tago Tago the Silver Everson Pereira. You love that one. Don't you? Bobby Whit jr. On the Jersey Player Warner Bobby hit you with the V man. No, I don't believe so yet Mitchell. Don't believe so yet Scope Samuel Zavala going to the Padres or hack Wilson Heck and how newhouser? Yes, sir Just a few to go Schuster. There's Jacob Barry on the silver tomorrow Johnson on hell Martinez South Freilich nice one there for the brew crew Congrats mil walkie babe Herman MKE White Luis on Halecunha for the Rangers still Matt Levin now silver Larry Doby Mariano on the auto there we go yanks Mariano Rivera and their Sandman White Tyler Gentry to 149 Merrill Al Simmons Oh, yeah, that's the best good Fabian Kaden Wallace the 49 for the Royals Grats on that Royals South Freilich Drew Thorpe base and base So Bob Griffin McGarry Jack later Jack heavier Jack heavier Now you just Hey, you woke the beast buddy to 149 is Connor pre-lip Silver Luke Gold Masataka Yoshida sparks Jersey go into the Red Sox mark McGuire White manual Rodriguez nice erod to 149 base and Pereira base that is JT gin base and base Johan Rojas Carlton Fisk Alex Ramirez Each year oh silver nice to 99 South Freilich Jersey auto congrats their brew crew made his debut William picking up a Star Wars six series spot. Thank you, buddy. That's not a 15 to go now 50 bucks a spot on that you're guaranteed to walk away with something which is awesome Bruce Souter nice one there to 25 on the diamond level Kaden Wallace Silva cool Papa bell Jackson at Joe, but Jersey auto for the Tigers and Hiney grow Really stargill scope last pack. Good luck everybody. Try color Brooks Robinson for the Orioles Jordan Lawler nice one there on the Jersey card congrats diamond backs and Larry Doby All right guys gonna do a quick random for the non MLB cards really quick No, I'll just go to one spot. There wasn't anything super crazy in there a couple of cool Papa bells MLB So we're gonna roll the dice whatever team is on top after four times we'll get to the non MLB cards one Two three and four go to the d-backs d-backs gonna get none all non MLB So congrats Arizona quick recap coming here everybody We've got Drew Thorpe That was zebra green to five smolty Jordan. Lawler give a cartaya Bobby wit masataka Yoshida twice South railic that is Jason Dominguez Diego Cartaya Grayson Rodriguez Yuri Perez Bobby Miller and tomorrow Johnson and then autos We had LED la Cruz Mariano Rivera Jackson Job tomorrow Johnson Gavin Williams manual Rodriguez tomorrow Johnson South railic Kaden Wallace Pudge Rodriguez chase the lotter and gold to 10 AJ Smith Schauber I'll do it for the break everybody. Thanks again for the Phil coming up next is the second select baseball


Hello everyone welcome to another episode of sugar MD the ultimate diabetes channel today We are going to talk about how diabetes is defined or how do you diagnose diabetes? I am dr. Ahmet Ergin. I'm an endocrinologist practicing in Florida and New York. Let's get started So guys we have had a lot of videos in this channel I believe we have around close to 150 videos right now about diabetes It is typically scattered is based on what you're asking But I am going to go back to basics a little bit and remind you a few things and today is The most basic thing. How do we even diagnose diabetes because we have a lot of viewers who are pre-diabetic Or insulin resistant and they want to know If they're already diabetic right they asked me hey Do I have diabetes have this number that number Listen carefully I am going to give you the metric numbers the milligram per deciliter Etc and then millimole per liter for European watchers. So we'll go over the numbers today today is the numbers game Let's get started now before we jump into that. I want to categorize how we diagnose it So we typically have two out of three Criteria met to diagnose diabetes and number one is fasting glucose Number two is A1c and number three the two hour glucose tolerance test So let's talk about the fasting glucose typically fasting glucose is less than a hundred is acceptable We call it normal if it is a hundred milligram per deciliter or in millimole. I is 5.5 millimole per liter. I don't use millimoles. I have to look that up. I'm sorry. So that is normal So if you go between hundred and hundred and twenty five in your fasting blood sugars And that's milligram per deciliter and that would be five point five to six point nine Millimole per liter for European watchers again And in that case you are considered pre-diabetic based on the fasting glucose numbers again Remember just one criteria Doesn't always diagnose you for pre-diabetes or diabetes you have to have two out of three So fasting glucose is one of the criteria we look at and we look at two hour glucose tolerance as well as A1c So if it is more than 125, which is like 126 or above Then you are fitting one of the criteria to be diagnosed for diabetes So that's fasting glucose now. Let's look at the A1c I don't think there is different values for A1c for European watchers as far as I'm concerned So but A1c is typically like most of you know if the A1c is Less than 5.7 that's considered normal and these are in percentages And I think the obviously the reason there is really no milligram per deciliter Etc because it's represented in percentages. So less than 5.7 percent is Normal considered normal. I mean you can argue about that, but you know, this is the criteria I'm just talking about here and 5.7 to 6.4 is considered pre-diabetic for the A1c criteria and More than 6.5 and above is considered diabetes. Now that's the A1c Now when you look at the two hour glucose tolerance test If you don't know what it is you basically get a fasting glucose down and then you drink a Sugary drink and two hours later. We check your blood sugar again Now so if your blood sugar is less than 140 at two hour mark, which is 7.7 millimole or below then you're considered normal. If it is 140 to 200 That's considered pre-diabetic and the millimole for that is 7.7 to 11 And if you are more than 200 milligram per deciliter or 11.1 millimole per liter then you are considered Diabetic. So One another thing that we don't necessarily put in this criteria system because it is basically Epizotic, which means that if anywhere for any reason you had blood drawn or you use somebody else's meter And you just check your blood sugar and you found that it's more than 200 Well, that is very suspicious Of course if you had a blood work done and your blood sugar is like You know more than 200 and you have symptoms. You don't really need any other test So as if you have symptoms of diabetes, which we have a video about you can look into that video But the most common symptoms are Polyurea, which is excessive urination Polydipsia, which is excessive thirst Losing weight if you have Especially these three most common and severe symptoms along with blood sugar more than 200 Then we don't really need a 1c test. We don't need any other test I can comfortably tell you that you are diabetic and uncontrolled diabetic because you are symptomatic also remember when you are symptomatic there's also a Significant and important sign that you are insulin deficient if not permanently at least temporarily You are insulin deficient because if you have insulin in your system, you cannot really lose weight So with the high blood sugar, I mean So if your blood sugars are high and you're losing weight that is because You have very minimal insulin left most top-2 diabetics cannot lose weight because their insulin resistance They have a lot of insulin Etc, which we talked in other videos. I don't want to go into too much detail But the bottom line is if your doctor tells you hey, I have to put you on insulin for a short time To just get the sugar under control don't panic that doesn't mean that you are going to be on insulin permanently again I am an avid supporter of allistic approach Integrative approach or at least non insulin medications before we go jump on the insulin So again, you have a lot of options that you can use Starting with your diet and exercise the best you can but insulin is always the last resort unless You are losing weight. You are excessively urinating You are drinking water as a view cannot wrench your thirst Then you definitely need insulin at least for a short time. So guys if you like this video, please give a thumbs up Please share with your family members. They may find this beneficial. All right guys talk to you later All right, thank you for watching and I want you to be more informed and more educated So to do that go ahead and watch this next video right here


Okay, very good morning. It's Anthony Chunk here from Amplified Trading. It is Tuesday the 16th of June. Don't forget to like and subscribe to the YouTube channel. Everything that you need to learn about trading and also financial markets. So daily macro briefings for me, tech core analysis videos from my colleague Sam and kind of markets explained on key topics from Eddie. So videos coming out every day of the week. So don't forget to subscribe to the channel. A quick look then at markets this morning and Yeah, what a difference a day makes to quote a famous phrase and Yeah, equities having a really powerful recovery after what looked like a fairly nervy start to the week on a pick up in the coronavirus cases that we were seeing globally particularly in key geographic regions like several North American states and also in mainland China being overwhelmed if you like by the wave of Fiscal and monetary stimulus that keeps getting thrown at the market from this time the Fed and also the US Administration would talk of another trillion dollar stimulus package from Trump. So they're the main things I'm going to talk about and going to give you a bit more detail about what exactly happened yesterday and Yeah, go into somebody's these stories in more detail. Interestingly I saw a funny tweet this morning and it was saying the only winners in the market Last night were the Federal Reserve and the Robin Hood traders who of course have this idea of Not caring a great deal about the underlying intrinsic value of assets more So they just keep buying on the notion that you know this this the stock market can't go down They weren't wrong yesterday. And so just having a quick look across these asset classes here You can see the S&P 2500, you know just an awesome recovery yesterday after you know, we broke down through some key areas in yesterday's trade We had that test of the blip that we saw before the kind of ramp into the close on Friday The reopening of trade on Sunday night on Globeck saw a test and bounce off that level And then we just broke down in the European session all the way down to the respective kind of S2 actual level there before the bounce came in but it's really since the open on Wall Street We continue to move higher as Europe exited the market We just continue to push on and there were a couple of catalysts along the way here With a new announcement of some more details and the latest one of the latest facilities announced by the Federal Reserve Which we'll have a look at The DAX then this morning playing a bit of catch-up. So bit of a gap higher in the DAX As you can see here in the chart Just broadening this out slightly here so a gap up from the close that we had last night and Finding a bit of support then that initial low that was seen at the reopening of trade In the overnight session in the futures market for the DAX just coinciding with that high that we had in the European morning On Friday just providing a bit of a floor now for price activity And that's quite a key level you can see here going back to the early part of June as well And also to support level and respective resistance on the 11th Quite a key area now support on the downside if we were to move back down at any point today in the DAX And of course if we did then looking for that gap filled down towards those highs that were seen in around 12,100 there in the DAX on the upside Keeping an eye here. We've had an overnight challenge on a couple of occasions up around this 12 329 which also brings into play that low that we saw. This was actually the the day of the ECB that was when we saw that volatility initial pop decline and then kind of stabilization to trade pretty much neutral from where we were and So yeah, it's some some interesting upside levels and downside levels here in terms of a range perspective now Just just to see where we go from today. I don't really have too much of an outright view here Where they're going to rally or fall just given the nature of what's been happening with these Kind of focus on the risk, but then these the central banks and the governments come out and pledge more More kind of stimulus. It's hard to really call the market right now all I'd say is I guess following logic then that we continue to track With great interest and vigilance the ongoing Developments of some of the coronavirus numbers coming out of various states in America those sensitive ones like California, Texas, Florida, and so on north and south Carolina also developments in China But yeah as far as The stimulus announcements go you would say that for the time being as far as the intro day is concerned perhaps We've heard everything so far. I there's not much more now to be announced if that makes sense So whether or not this equity bid can be sustained. I'd say if I was going to pick a side I'd rather be more biased to potentially know and that now the kind of the the general forces at play have kind of shot their bullets the Fed have come out Trump has come out the markets moved accordingly. So that's kind of priced in to some extent So a little bit of a drift off perhaps the there's just a strength of the rally yesterday and to find a bit of consolidation could well be the order of the day and then I guess I mean the the mindset now of not really looking to force and view too much a little bit more just letting the charts dictate the type of Strategies to deploy at this point and then just finding some some solid technical Set-ups to play out that view. So yeah, just looking elsewhere gold here in the top right Has been a bit of an odd one actually hasn't really been responding too much from a risk perspective But you can see here the pivot level in the near term. It's just trading close proximity to that at the moment Perhaps a significant near-term level here. You can see in yesterday's session. It was a respected level both in the early and late European session was also back on Friday and Thursday of last week as well So, yeah If that that gold move a little bit hard to get the cue off equities at the moment because it has been if anything Tracking rather than being an inverse relationship According to a risk sentiment So again, I'd be more inclined to look at that from a more technical Basis that we know how quickly gold can move through key levels and see a bit of momentum go through The order books I'd be kind of looking at that that way in the effects markets the Dixie Gap down upon the rally and renews risk appetite last night. So it is recovering a little bit for quite depressed levels So naturally then major pairs Rallyed yesterday, but a bit of consolidating at the moment So again, it really the effects markets have been quite a good indication at the moment of risk I think yesterday I was working with a couple of guys and This was around a time at the open and we were kind of looking at the S&P NASDAQ We're looking to break higher and actually it was the Euro kind of breakthrough quite a key upside level That then the currency market started moving and that was almost the the first domino to fall that then actors a trigger for those US equities to take out some upside levels given the fairly tight correlation at the moment of the dollar being a Reflection of just general risk appetite. I risk on dollar weakness risk off dollar strengthen in that respect but let's have a look at some of the stories that have been coming out because there are plenty to talk about and Gonna kick off with the first one which is Here so the Fed will begin buying broad portfolio of corporate bonds I actually had a couple of alerts go for my phone a couple of the guys were Asking questions about this last night And so here's the kind of the more detail to be aware of so the Federal Reserve Planned to buy individual bombs under its what's called the secondary market corporate credit facility bit of a mouthful But that's the SMCCF Underscoring then its role of continuing to be somewhat of a backstop for markets So the SMCCF is one of nine Emergency lending programs that were announced in March So the fact that they they've announced what they did last night is not a surprise in terms of the actual program What is a surprise? There's some of the details about what exactly and how they're going to purchase Which a lot of people are looking at so it has Couple of things to be aware of capacity of two hundred and fifty billion dollars So far. Well, that's the capacity so far It's only invested about five and a half billion and ETFs to purchase corporate bonds. So, you know, it's a mammoth program And hence the reason why, you know markets look at these types of facilities in such a bullish kind of fashion Given the scale is quite unprecedented The Fed announced that it would purchase corporate bonds to create a portfolio that reflects a broad diversified market index of US corporate block bonds rather than just buying exchange traded funds that track credit So that last point there is the is the really important one So it's this idea that they're going to be purchasing a corporate bonds to create a portfolio rather than the kind of a fixed tracker That the market took as a cue as being a little bit Beyond what that they were expecting. So this was kind of the first thing that happened last night. We also had Yesterday the Fed separately announcing it had now opened its Main Street lending program so the MSLP for small and medium-sized businesses and The other thing well two things then that we had on the back of this as you can imagine US corporate bonds are rallying on the back of the Fed announcement So when this came out, you can see the Fed saying you'll begin buying corporate bonds on Tuesday This is looking at one of the respective Indexes that you can monitor to track this type of specific movement tied to US corporate bonds And then the other thing that happened was Trump came out And the Trump team weighing a one trillion dollars for infrastructure to spur the economy So an existing US infrastructure funding law is coming up for basically renewal at the end of September And the administration sees that as a possible vehicle to push through a broader package According to people familiar with the matter the Democrats they unveiled their own 500 billion proposal this month as well So again, it's kind of whatever it takes and you know from a a campaign a Political campaign year it is not that Untoward to see this type of activity and you would pretty much very much expect Trump to be throwing everything at trying to Stimulate the economy through infrastructure That being then to offset the magnitude of the economic downturn that we've experienced in the pandemic and to get the economy Back on track doesn't matter how depressed some of the economic figures are as long as they're moving north He's got a good narrative there that he can say that you know He's helping assist a solid recovery and that's where they're heading as per some of the tweets He's been saying more recently. So, you know, these two forces Have been the underlying reason of why markets have Recovered like they have particularly in US equities. The other thing we've had overnight the Bank of Japan Just another reason for the short-term optimism They are upsizing a corporate lending support program. They kept everything else unchanged as expected So the central banks virus response package is now is estimated to be one trillion dollars worth in size The bank still has scope to use existing measures more for the economy as well as what they were suggesting So not really that surprising in terms of what the POG did but again The fact they increased the size of the lending support again kind of in fitting with the other facilities and mechanisms that the US have put in place and You know all the more support now that they're they're implementing Moving elsewhere. We had the One-hour kind of teleconference call between Johnson and the UK in European negotiators over brexit And a couple of things to be aware of So the UK and European Union look on course to reach a deal over their future relationship with the bloc's top officials confident Johnson is willing to compromise and the Prime Minister said the prospects for an accord are very good formal discussions will resume on the 29th of June in a more concentrated format than the previous three Week kind of format British government which has ruled out extending the December deadline for negotiations from privately Officials from Brussels and London say they are focusing on reaching an accord between mid-august and the summit of EU leaders scheduled for mid-october One thing I did share with the guys I emailed out on the distribution list this morning was this This was looking at a nice matrix of different Scenarios being the highest one the most to the bottom one the least likely This was constructed by the guys at ing economics And I tweeted this yesterday as well. My handle is there so feel free to grab the graphic from there But I do like these matrix That they put together which basically Break down what it is exactly that's expected But interestingly it gives us a market impact in this case for euro sterling in the cross and the 10-year gilp over the period of the coming quarters So ing's base case and I have read increasing amount of banks looking at this now actually Not expecting a transition Extension so despite some of the things that I have been saying over recent months about the idea that the pandemic gives a good excuse to kind of get a delay In order to have a more safer and sound economically Transition period into delivering brexit. Most of these banks now think that actually the UK government will not do that And that actually they will kind of put together a piecemeal kind of very basic trade deal And that would be enough then for politically them to kind of move forward particularly for the UK to say that they've Delivered brexit now, obviously this is going to have some Initial disruption to supply chains at the start of 2021 When we start to actually start formally leaving the single market But it kind of is almost like the lightest touch deal where a lot of stuff remains the same But it gives then the politicians enough political say to Go back to the public and say they've committed on the promise and what the government's mandate was which was to deliver brexit And then they can sort out all the other details over the foreseeable future So that's what quite a few people are looking at at the moment And as per as I've just said in some of these articles this morning they're kind of talking about a timeline now Of looking to get something done By mid-august and a summit of EU leaders scheduled for mid-october And actually if I just quickly jump to my twitter account Again, if you if you need it here's a kind of full timeline of the key dates to be aware of so that that looming Deadline, of course, and as UK UK weekly talks, they're going to happen At the end of june, which is then the first of july the deadline for the transition extension Which at this point as I said most banks now are suggesting that that's not going to be the case that the UK will formally ask Or request for that Then we have the august period and that then leads up into this mid-october EU council meeting Which is where they're looking to get the deal Done and so here it would be end of october UK EU deal to allow for ratification And then basically we go through the council meeting in december the transition period ends and then the new relationship begins as per the Predetermined timetable as it exists today, which is the first of january 21 Yeah, good research report from from ing on this going into more details about various different scenarios Their base case and then what need to happen for the other ones to materialize and how the markets might react So again, if you just jump on my twitter account You can get that full timetable and also the link to the article with that ing graphic as well for those that need it Okay, looking at the calendar for today. What have we got? Well, we've already had some economic data come out So let me just get you up to speed The UK unemployment rate for april was actually 3.9 percent. So there's actually lower than expected average hourly earnings They were a touch lower Claiming count change was higher than expected overall Sterling not phased by that economic data. You've had german cpi come in in line with expectations. So A negative reading on the month to month at minus 0.1 and plus 0.6 in the year a year But again, these were in line with expectations. I'll be a minutes overnight Nothing particularly exciting and not really much in the way of a reaction in the Aussie So no real need for me to go into that in greater detail But having a look at what else is there You've got the iea monthly all market report that'll be at 9 a.m. London time Always worth keeping a bit of an eye on just to see the adherence to just general compliance with the Predefined OPEC plus agreement and then also the outlook as it evolves about demand going forward oil As you've already seen on the charts this morning bouncing in step with equities Given the fact that you know, generally the short term influences fundamentally for oil have been very much so pinned on How the virus Is going to impact the global economy and as such consequently demand And at this point as we've said, you know, if infrastructure spending in the u.s. It's going to be on mass supplemented by a variety of different Mechanisms from the Fed to support the economy or then that alleviates some of that tension And so oils come back up to the top of this recent range trading on the 37 handle Um elsewhere this morning zew economic sentiment. I'm looking for further improvement there So again, this is the economist and analysts kind of current and forward-looking expectations in in germany So I don't think that's going to be too much of a surprise because obviously economies are generally reopening and numbers have been Relatively controlled. So we should be coming off the most depressed levels here And a lot of these economic indicators and that's pretty much the same conclusion for us retail sales today That's kind of your main headline reading at 130 Looking for a bounce back month to month to 8 percent from a previous obviously record breaking negative 16.4 percent But again, this is a may report So it will encompass the fact that many of the u.s. States were reopening during this period. So it's going to be a much more Solid figure than what we had in the complete shutdown of april Hence the reason why that prior was so bad Otherwise you've got u.s. Industrial production cap utilization coming out this afternoon The na hb housing market index and then the api is coming out after market speaker wise today is the first of the Powell testimony So he'll testify before the senate banking committee before he heads to the house tomorrow So today is always the more important one because he generally just repeats His speech to the house How important is today's speech? personally, I think it is Not very important and the basis of my reasoning being that the federal reserve meeting was only just a few days ago And not only was it a federal reserve statement and press conference They also released their latest summary of economic projections So as far as the clarity goes in fed communication, they've already outlined that very recently So I don't see any need for power to come out and really shake things up here So he's probably going to be as it usually is when a central banker meets politicians much more of kind of Approding the finger and pointing and why haven't you done this and why did you do that? And how do you see this working and these sorts of questions? And I'm sure they'll try and draw him in given the disparity in the fiscal response between the republicans and the democrats currently being experienced on Capitol hill, but he will be reluctant to really comment on anything of that nature So keep an eye out for that Three o'clock feds. Clarida also a voting member, but that's not until later on 9 p.m. London So 3 p.m. Chicago into the close on wall street Fixed income wise some uk supply But that's about it The other thing as well the final thing I was meant to wrap in when I was talking about all the positives that helped yesterday Was obviously yesterday. We also had the other big Tail risk for markets was the u.s. China ongoing trade dialogue and mike Pompeo The secretary of state said he planned to meet chinese officials in hawaii earlier this week two u.s. Officials said And one western diplomat told cnn on sunday. So again, that's another thing that can Probably underpin some of the the general positivity from yesterday. I guess the point I want to make today is I think a lot of that now is reflected on the on the screens And so I wouldn't just come in today and just start hitting it going long Not unless the market perhaps comes down a little bit and you get the strategic nice point to get in from an entry perspective And what I mean by that is you know, let's just take a simple Example here in the s and p if the s and p were to come back down to You know this kind of area here, which has been a pretty decent level on prior occasions So if we come back down to 30 75 and a quarter well, then perhaps it starts to become quite interesting And do we for the time being until we get the next the next kind of catalyst? See perhaps a little bit of consolidation in in that type of nature All right, that is it any questions feel free to leave a comment on the video happy to help as always And don't forget to like and subscribe to the youtube channel. All right guys take care and have a good day Thanks very much


Have you been in a station when the delivery service was not able to process your order because it was overwhelmed by other orders? Well, it could be sold with the planning. And the Opto Planner is a really great tool for scheduling and planning with constraints. And in this video, I'm going to show you how to use Opto Planner order picking quick starts to get perfect results planning for picking up multiple orders items in the warehouse. So let's begin with the problem formulation. So here we have the warehouse, the trolley and the debit station. So what we need is to pass to the Opto Planner the configuration of the warehouse, the orders we have and the trolleys we have as well and their capacity and the amount of boxes. And then Opto Planner will assign products to trolleys and will create this step-by-step plan to fulfill the orders. And let's consider the example of it. So for example, first idea that comes to mind is just to pick up or take the two orders and merge it and just to pick up till you can, right? And here you could see that we pick up banana and ammo, combine it to box number one, then we pick up snack, then pick up orange pot here. The first constraint will appear because we cannot store products from different orders in one box, right? So this needs to be avoided. The next problem is that if we will even pick up it, right, like banana apple, again snack here, orange from the other order here and the grill here. Next problem that we have is that we didn't consider that we need two trolleys already. So we need to plan ahead the amount of trolleys and the list of products or step-by-step plan for products ahead. Consider we have two trolleys, all right, okay, we will create the plan like this. So the trolling number one will pick up banana and apple, then we'll go for the snacks, one, two, three steps, then we'll go for the orange as another four, five, six steps and for the grill which is in house. So seven, eight, nine, ten, eleven, twelve, thirteen, fourteen. So it's fourteen steps, it's quite a lot, you could see it's a mess. And well, we need to avoid it as well, let's create the, well, another constraint would be that each time we create the next step, we need to consider that the distance between the current step, current plan step and the previous step should be minimized. Also, you can see here this solution. For example here we can see that for the trolling number one we did two steps actually combining the orders from fruits shelf and go only for the nearest one, for the meat one, right? It's only two steps. After that we assign for the trolling number two to go for the drinks, one, two steps, then go for the snacks, three step and go for the grill, four step and four step back. That creates, that gives us only eight steps, so it's much more better than before. The next problem that we have is that you can see here that it's not quite, it's not planned for going back, so we don't return to the depot station. Well, in case we need to return it anyway, we can consider and replan it a bit to decrease the amount of trolleys or amount of steps. Now let's consider that we need to not only minimize the last step, but minimize the distance to the origin. What does it mean? It means that if we go, for example, we create a plan like this, so we can go for banana, for salmon, pepsi, snack, grill and vegetables, after that return back and go for the meat. This is acceptable for the first relay, but the problem is that actually we could do better. In case if we go for fruits, fish, drinks, snacks, house, vegetables and meat again, we will decrease the number of steps. So here instead of ten steps, we will have only eight of it. So we will pick up like one, two, three, one, two, three, four, five, six, seven, eight steps with entering of the depot station, because the depot is here and the old trolleys would be created from this place and will be returned back to this place. So and also let's consider in the previous example, we could see that unfortunately the different trolleys were containing the same order, but it would be much better if we have the whole trolleys that is assigned only for one order. So let's try it and see how the planner is going to solve order picking problem. Firstly we have factory lease and three orders and pre-configured warehouse. So start it and soon we will see all the planner solves our problem and first of all you can see that there is no any hard constraints broken and it means that the planner creates the only solutions where the general products capacity is less than trolleys capacity, right? And it does not account in solution where the products of different orders go to the same box as here. So you could sum the volume and check by yourself that it does not exaggerate the trolleys capacity with four buckets and also you could see that there is no different colors in one box because the planner will not mix different items for different orders in one box. Now also take a look for the distance. So here you could see that for the trolleys number one each step of the planner will minimize the distance between current location and location of the previous step. So you could see it here and also you could see it is looped. It plans to pick up products not only by way two but on the way back. It is the best solution that the planner can create but you could tweak it by yourself. Just you could go for the optplaner.org and download optplaner quick stars and try it by yourself. Thanks for watching.


G'day, how are you going? If you're new here, my name is Tech. Welcome to Bootlossophy, my channel all about boots. In this video, I'm going to review my pre-loved Alden 403 boots in Chromic Cell, otherwise known as the Alden Indie. This is the Alden 403 work boot in Brown Chromic Cell. This style by Alden is also known as the Alden Indie, but technically the real Alden Indie is the 405 style made of brown calfskin leather. Why is it called the Indie? Well, if you haven't heard by now, this is the boot worn by Harrison Ford in all the Indiana Jones movies. The story is that in his previous life as a carpenter, he wore these boots as a work boot and when he was picked for the role, he rejected the costume designer's choice of boots to wear as the exploring archaeologist. Reputedly a pair of red wings and he insisted on wearing these in the films because of their comfort. These are second hand, bought off eBay nearly a year ago. They were in really good condition with some wear on the soles and the heel, but everything was in really good nick. The Alden 403 was first brought out in the post-World War II years as a work boot. Because of Alden's history involving the manufacture of orthopedic shoes, it was comfortable to stand around in all day, sturdy and the flat cork sole allowed you to work in construction and walk in and out of the building without dragging in mud and sand. At the time Harrison Ford was a carpenter in the 1960s and 70s, this was a carpenter's boot along, I guess, with boots like the Red Wing 875 mock toes and the Thurrogut mock toe boots. It speaks of the quality and style of work boots in those days when you compare them to the rubber padded Gore-Tex and nylon fabric monstooths of today. This is technically a mock toe. It has this U-shaped stitching along the edge of the vent. It copies the stitching on the moccasin shoes of First Nations North Americans, which is why it's called a mock toe short for moccasin toe. However, in this case, it's a mock mock toe. The stitching does not stitch together two pieces of leather, like real moccasin shoes or like the Thurrogut or Red Wing mock toes. This mock toe stitching actually just puckers the single edge of leather at this point. I think it's probably just decorative, but there may be a structural or strength reason like stretching or something. If you know, let me know in the comments below. As a result of the mock mock toe, it's quite a sleek and elegant boot despite the fairly wide sole. Unlike the Red Wing or Thurrogut mock toes, the sidewalls are not steep cliffs to climb, but a smooth slope for the eyes to meander over. Made of smooth chrome excel rather than the Red Wing and Thurrogut oil tan leathers, it's also pretty versatile. You can see that while it may have been made as a work boot, it can easily be switched over to casual wear after a hard day's work putting up house framing. So for Dr. Jones, it's a perfect boot to wear when lecturing in class, wearing a tweed suit as well as in the desert or jungle, kicking Nazis in their private parts. So you can wear it as a work boot in construction. I wouldn't, though, particularly as it costs six hundred US dollars these days. But more practically, you can wear it with a less formal suit, as I said, tweeds or some other material with a texture. You can definitely wear it as a business or smart casual boot. They work well with wool pants, say, or moleskin trousers or chinos. On top, you can wear a button up shirt for a bit of formality, maybe with a blazer. You can add a non matching waistcoat to change it up. If you wanted to make it less business casual, it would pair quite well with an Oxford cloth button down and some jackets like leather jackets or bombers. Honestly, think of Indiana Jones. You can wear the indies on any neat occasion from going to the office to date night. From going to the mall or a day out with friends. I guess you can wear them with jeans. I mean, I see no reason why not. But I hasten to add that these in Chrome Excel or the four or five in smooth calfskin are not rugged casual boots like Iron Rangers. Before I talk about construction, I'll just touch on the Alden New England shoe company. So Alden was founded in 1884 in Massachusetts in the US by Charles Alden. For whatever reason, he seemed to have started the company at a great time for shoe making with industrialization of the new Goodyear welting construction method, helping to make productivity gains in shoe making. Demand for good quality boots seemed to soar with the opening of the West and so Alden prospered. The Great Depression in the 1930s hit everyone, but Alden survived. As time went on and more and more companies sought cheaper places and countries to make shoes for less. Alden seems to have made the decision to stay in New England region of America and instead of competing on price, branded themselves as a company that made high quality dress shoes and specializing in orthopedic and medical footwear. Alden is the only New England shoemaker that's left of the hundreds that started out at the same time and remains a family owned business. Recently, they had to withstand and survive a catastrophe. It's come to light that their former CFO, Chief Financial Officer and bezel Alden of about 30 million dollars between at least 2011 and 2019 when he was found out and then terminated. He has since been found guilty and sentenced. Apart from the notoriety, this incident speaks loads about how much the company must have amassed in reserves for this to go on for at least eight years without running into financial trouble. Apparently, he was only discovered not when the company ran out of money, but when the owners wanted to create a trust fund and wanted to transfer the reserves to that trust fund. Thirty million dollars, that is a lot of six hundred dollars pair of boots. Anyway, let's turn to their construction. First of all, the uppers are made from Horween's famous Chrome Excel. Chrome Excel is a full grain combination tanned leather. It's been around since 1913 or 1914. So it's not a new kid on the block. It was actually developed originally for mechanical users as engine seals. Leather was preferred because the leather breaks down more gradually as opposed to a synthetic seal, which just suddenly failed. Chrome Excel leather is first chrome tanned, pickled to preserve using chromium salts. The hides, which look blue at this stage, are then re-tanned with mainly vegetable extracts and tannins. The chrome tanning makes the leather soft and supple and provides durability. The veg tanning makes the leather sturdy. It makes it easy to form into shapes and it makes the leather look good as it ages. Then the next stage is hot stuffing the hides with a secret formula of oils, waxes and greases. The hides are impregnated with these liquid forms of oils and waxes in a very hot steam process. This gives the pull up characteristic of the leather and makes it self-healing to a degree as you can rub out scuffs and scratches because the oils continue to reside in the leather and can keep moving around with the heat and pressure of your fingers. The process takes 28 days, so no rushing this quality product. In this boot, it's a medium thickness about two millimeters thick with a full leather lining from toes to vamp to shaft and under the tongue, beefing it up to over three millimeters overall. This feels sturdy rather than tough, but it remains supple when you wear it. As I've said earlier, the mock toe stitching is a faux mock toe. It pucks the leather for effect rather than so two pieces of leather together. The toe is lightly structured. The heel counter is internal and is covered by the lining. Outside, there's a single strip, back strip up the shaft to protect the stitch there. The tongue is lined, as I said, but it is un-gusseted. My right foot did the usual thing it does, and somehow made the right tongue slip all the way over to the right. I think the Chrome XL tongue is thin enough that even with the lining, it still slips about. I fixed it by cutting a slit in the tongue to pass the laces through. You can get a cobbler to put a short stitch to one side to prevent it slipping. The hardware is five brown eyelets and four so-called speed hooks. That's nine things to pass your laces through in a six inch boot. I'm used to maybe a seven eyelet boot, and sure enough, this means that the eyelets and speed hooks are small and old and gives you thick, flat wax cotton laces. This boot is not easy to lace up despite speed hooks. And apart from lacing up, it looks really busy down there. Inside is a leather insole, and then under that is a cork filling. Inside the cork is a steel shank that stiffens the boot underfoot, providing arch support and stability. That cork filling layer fills the cavity caused by the Goodyear welt. A Goodyear welt is a strip of leather or other material that goes around the perimeter of a shoe. The inside edge of the welt is sewn to the uppers on an insole. The outside edge of the welt is sewn through the midsole and attaches the outsole. In this case, it's a 270 degree Goodyear welt, meaning that it goes around 270 degrees of the boot. The heel portion is glued, sewn, and nailed separate from the welt. If you think about it, putting a strip of leather around the edge of the boot will create a cavity inside that strip, so the cork filling fills that cavity. Apart from just filling it, obviously the cork will provide some shock absorption. The midsole, the sole piece between the cork filling and the outsole here, this very thin piece, is leatherboard. Leatherboard is made of shredded chips of leather, compressed and then made into a sheet. Think of chipboard or MDF and carpentry. There's a bit of controversy over this. Why doesn't a $600 boot use real leather? I don't know because it's not a $700 boot, or maybe it's the reason the company had a huge cash reserve? Anyway, under that is a cork-nitral sole and at the heel, a leather heel stack and a rubber top lift. Cork-nitral is a rubber compound with chips of cork mixed up in it, soft enough to be comfortable underfoot, and it seems to me durable enough. To me, where I don't have to walk in snow and ice, it's grippy enough and it definitely has the advantage of not dragging any mud and sand and dirt into the house as you come in and out. Overall, bearing in mind I bought the second hand, I think QC is pretty good. I don't see any problems with the leather creasing badly or showing any loose grain, and I haven't seen any issues with the stitching. Just one thing though. When you stitch the good your welt, you generally stitch the outsole on, and then you sand the edge so that you smooth out the shape of the outsole. In this case, it looks remarkably like it became very close to the stitching when they sanded it. Is this carelessness in the sanding? Or is it really good sanding to enhance that sleek elegance? I'll leave it up to you. Now, leather care. Chrome Excel is pretty easy to take care of. Brush regularly, especially around the seams and the welts, not just to move the oils and waxes around, but also to make sure that you regularly brush off the minute dust and sand particles that, over time, could cause deep scratches and create weakness in the leather. Some people new to Chrome Excel are sometimes horrified when it scratches and scuffs, but the best way to fix this is two-fold. First, you use your finger and just rub at the scuff, which will eventually disappear. Second, don't see this as your more bought, dressed shoe with highly polished, corrected leather. This boot will patina, that means crease, change patches of color variation, scuff, and look used. You may not believe me, but that's one of the beauties of this leather. Also, if you're new to heritage boots and Chrome Excel, I wouldn't polish it very much. I guess you can, especially if you want a very formal boot to wear, but polishes, either wax or cream, will have a high wax content that will coat the leather and make it feel more waxy rather than that natural and breathable leather. It's an oily leather, Chrome Excel, so it shouldn't need much conditioning, but if you decide to condition it now and then, perhaps because it feels dry or it's been through mud and water, my go-to for smooth leathers is neutral Venetian shoe cream. It's cheaper than for Sophia, that's the top quality product, and for me, it's not a huge difference in the finish. I haven't, but I've also seen others use Big Four. Both will condition the leather with penetrating oils, with very little silicon and just a touch of wax. So, the leather will be conditioned and you can brush it to a reasonably glossy glow rather than using a waxy polish. I'll put a link to both products below. Bearing in mind these are second hand, I can't fairly talk about breaking them in. They are comfortable, though. I feel that the leather-cork-leather combination underfoot gives me a lot of comfort without needing any squishy foam or poron. This is Alden's true balance last, apparently their widest last.  It's quite wide at the waist and it's widened the ball of the foot with a rounded wide toe box. I was advised to buy true to size, that's true to my brannock size which is 8.5D. I'm okay in this, but the last is quite wide and I think I should have got my usual half size down to an 8D, because these are roomy if I don't wear thick socks. I'm not swimming in them, but a little more snug would have been good. Despite it being wider than I like, the heels do lock in, and the comfort of not getting the balls of your feet squeezed and the ability to wiggle your toes is much appreciated. The arch support is incredible. I guess it's a testimony to Alden's experience in making orthopedic shoes, but somehow, despite a wide sole construction, I feel like the leather under the arch hugs my arch. I'm slightly flat-footed so I appreciate the support, and this feels almost like a can to leave a construction reaching in under my arch to support it. You can see here the wide heel has this curved shape, the curve extending into the inside of the arch. I think the width and this extra support from the heel in the arch is also a contributor to how comfy this is all day. Now it's time to take a look at cost and value. Bear in mind that I bought these lightly used on eBay at Aussie 300 dollars. Put that to one side for the moment. New, they cost about 600 US dollars, but it's how you buy them that I find interesting, especially if you're outside the US. To start with, Alden does not sell direct. I think they might own a couple of stores themselves, but otherwise, they sell through third-party retail stores, more like partners than retail stores. Most of these retailers carry the stock models, but many also offer store-specific make-ups. So for example, you could get an Alden Indie with Commando Sells in Kudu from one store, or maybe Loden Suede on a leather sole from another store. Buying a pair, especially in Australia, can be quite confusing, but the trick seems to be to either buy a stock model or to research the kinds of make-ups that you might like the styles of from the various retail stores. The ones that seem the most accessible to Overseas interest might be Alde Wine, spelled E-A-L-D Wine in Raleigh, Virginia, and Alden of Carmel and J-Crew. If you have a lot of time, there are a lot of stores. The Alden Shoe website lists all of them. What do you get for your 600 dollars? US dollars, I remind you? Well, you get an extremely comfortable boot. As I said, the combination of sole materials and construction and that incredible arch support means that you can walk and stand around all day in these without feeling any discomfort. They'd be great for anyone with a less-than-perfect arch. You get, from what I see, a really well-made boot. Even being secondhand, I haven't seen any defect that they may have come with or that they may have developed with wear. The materials, apart from possibly that controversial leatherboard midsole, are fantastic and top-notch. You also made in New England and a name that's been around for over 130 years. So I think you can say that they are worth 600 US dollars. But that doesn't necessarily make them affordable. I tell you what, living in Australia where US 600 dollars translates to over 900 dollars and where Australian 900 dollars in Australia will buy you exactly the same kind and volume of drinks and meals as in America, I'm pretty glad I found a good used pair at Aussie 300. Is it worth buying it from eBay at that price? I think having done your due diligence to check for wear, especially on the heel and the sole and inside the shoe, having checked on the leather that it isn't over-creased or dry and cracking, yeah, definitely worth it. There you have it, my review of the Alden Indy 403 in Brown Chrome Excel. I hope you enjoyed the review guys. Let me know what you think, especially if you know whether there's a structural reason for that faux mock toe. Put something in the comments below. If you enjoyed the review, I have a load more reviews and unboxings to bring to you and from time to time I'll bring you videos about the different brands and even other leather goods. So please click on the like and the subscribe buttons and take care. I'll see you soon.