and after his Tai Chi dance. Shake your hands. Shake your hands. Don't hit him if you roll the bell. No biting. No hair grabs. Are you ready? You ready? He's got his Tai Chi stance. Yeah. Opening it up. So when does the police tell you? Wow. Yes, I beat the guy that's like kippy years old. Don't tell me we're gonna fight again. No, that's it. That's it. That's it. That's from one angle. There's another video from another angle. That's pretty much it. Is that when he was going to the hospital? No, he's fine. How'd they even do that? Wow. Everybody's amazed that... This is even happy. This guy... He's just in shock. He's never been punchy before in his Tai Chi training. Well, I like the uniform. The uniform is amazing. He won in the style. 10 points. Wow. Alright, that's the depend of it. And yes, we are giving away these free DVDs. A seller rated Wing Chun System Quick Start DVD. Normally retailing for 129 bucks. But, enter the contest. All you need to do is to subscribe, click the notification bell, and like and comment on this video. And you'll enter automatically into the draw. Every week, we're gonna give away a free video. So, good luck. Yeah, so what do you think about this video? What do you think? M&M vs Tai Chi? I think those... Those two words should never be put together. Wow. My question is... Yeah, because we look like... A lot of people there. Dude had no game plan whatsoever. That's it. Okay, so M&M vs Tai Chi, what do you think about this video? Do you think M&M... Do you think Tai Chi is better? Or M&M is better? Probably not a good question to ask, right? So, come back and we're gonna give you some more comments about it. So, here's a review of what I think the strategy of the Tai Chi guy had. Like, lack of strategy. Or maybe he had a strategy. Alright. So, in Tai Chi, he's probably doing this, opening up his stance. It's like this opening up stance. Because he's baiting for the guy to punch. But it's probably a backfire, right? Yeah. It only works when you're fast enough. And obviously he was a fast enough. I'm baiting for him to punch in the middle and boom! I got punched and then basically after that it's over. The guy's really back trying to recover from that first punch and then there's a whole barrage of punches after that and he doesn't have any defenses against that. So, if he was faster, maybe he could have done that. So, because in Tai Chi, we have the strumming the lute, right? It's up and down. So, he had the strumming the lute posture a little bit too high. So, he opened up all this and all he had to do, the guy had his fist down here, right? Well, he had to do it with the spoon. How can you parry that? You have to be that fast. And the other thing he's doing is leaning back like this. He's already setting himself to be knocked over. So, he wasn't fast enough, first of all, to parry this. So, he got punched. Boom! And already I'm pulling backwards and then just a few. There's no way I can defend against all these barrages of punches. So, technically, that was what I think happened. What do you think? So, the guy got his first punch, first jab, knocked him back and in Tai Chi, you don't actually hit when you train. So, we probably didn't know how to recover from a hit in the first place. We tried to use some ankles, but it didn't work well. We tried to do some angles to move around. But too slow. Just the MMA guy was just a lot faster and he was a lot more non-telegraphic with his jab. Boom! It's very hard to... Okay, in Tai Chi, what they do is they push hands, right? They push hands, it's that slow, right? And they train against punches that come in like this. The punch is coming like this. Oh, yeah, I can parry it and I can do this, right? It's good to train the sensitivity, to train the movement, the connectivity and the balance of your body and it's really good. You develop an attribute of being rooted. You develop an attribute of being able to flow and blend with the energy. But the problem is that they don't train to fight. It's just the drills. They're confusing that, oh, I'm really good at push hands. I can really be good at this drill. But then, they don't train to fight. They think that the drill is the fight. That's the problem, right? And a lot of people in Wing Chun have this problem to do. What do they do? They do this. What is this? Is this a fight or is this a drill? Cheesaw. It's a drill. So they think that, oh, yeah, I'm really good at Cheesaw. But then confuse the drill with learning how to fight. Learning a drill doesn't mean that you're going to learn how to fight. Learning a drill will develop an attribute. What's the attribute that's being trained when we do Cheesaw? We're doing the attribute of learning how to create sensitivity. It's an attribute. It's a skill. But it's not how to fight. So I think, I don't know what this class you guys are going to do. Maybe he might train more to figure out what he is not doing, right? What's missing in his training, right? Yeah. And then if he really worked hard and figured out what's missing in his training and then add that in his training, maybe he might get better in chances of fighting an MMA guy, right? No. No, probably not. Don't take a lot of training, right? But the key is this, right? Look at MMA. MMA, for a minute, a long time, all the grapplers were winning. Yeah. And then all the people, all the strikers were losing. And then they're saying, no striking works in MMA, right? Yeah. Back before. But now you see all the strikers are now winning. Yeah. They're dominating MMA now. So what did they do? Is it because, you know, they're better or something? Possibly. But what they did was they changed the strategy, right? Yeah. They adapted to what was happening in the MMA arena, right? They say, okay, how do I fight a grappler with striking? And they figured it out, and now they're dominating. Maybe the grapplers will come up with a new strategy and say, okay, now how do you figure out how to fight the strikers? Yeah. So it's really like, what is that guy's entangy training? Is he training to fight against an MMA guy? Or is he training just to fight against other Tai Chi guys? Right? Same thing in Wing Chun. Are you training to fight against MMA guys? It's completely different training than fighting against someone on the street for self-defense. It's totally different, okay? Because they're shaking hands, okay? They were prepared, even in that match, right? They shook hands.   There's no guard. There's no time to prepare. There's no cameras. Nobody's going to help you get up.   Probably against a lot of people, maybe two or three attackers, and you're going to be scared. It's completely different from a real fight. So what are you going to train for? Are you going to train to fight MMA guys? If you do that, then train against MMA guys, right? Are you going to train Tai Chi and learn how to develop your balance for health and for sensitivity and grounding and rooting? There's a lot of stuff that benefits a lot of attributes that you can develop with Tai Chi, but are you training that for that? Or are you going to train against to fight in competitive matches? Or are you going to train it for self-defense? So you're going to decide, if you're studying martial arts, what is the goal that you want to train for? So people are saying, is MMA or Tai Chi better? I don't think that's really the question, right? The real question is, what do you, as a martial artist, want to train for? And how are you going to train? And how are you going to adapt to what you want to achieve? Exactly, 100%. So that's my take on this video, and it's a ridiculous match. I don't even know why the guy would do that. So it never happened. Maybe he gives cocky. He said, yeah, my Tai Chi is so powerful. I got this vintage, so-and-so seafood master and such.  When a guy is so cocky, he can't even beat me. And obviously, I put it wrong. Vintage doesn't matter. All that matters is training. People think that they can account with their history, or with their lineage, or with their background. None of that matters. When you're fighting, it's just heavy training. What can you do? Does it work or not? Yeah, I think that's what anything.  You have to be prepared for what you're going to do for one when you come up against an opponent and what that opponent actually knows.  You know basically what his style is going to be. But on the straight, you don't know. You don't know how trained they are. You don't know what style they are. You don't have time to watch his videos and see what his moves are. You don't have time to spar and dance around and see how he's going to react to your attacks or defenses. So in the street, in self-defense, you have to be able to react right away. You have to have moves that work most of the time. You can't say, okay, what are you going to do that? I'm going to do this. What are you going to do that? You need moves that you just have to react to that are going to work most of the time. Well, not all of the time, because you can't predict everything. But you need moves that are going to work most of the time. And you use those, and you use the ones that have the highest chance of success. That's the best strategy if you want to learn self-defense, which is different from competitive matches. Because competitive matches, you can see what the guy is doing. You have an idea of what kind of attacks he's going to use, what strategies he's going to use, because MMA is pretty much the same thing. And you have that framework to work with. You know what's going to happen. You know there's someone who's going to stop the fight if they have to. But not in self-defense. It's a completely different way of training. So I want to know what do you guys think about this video? What do you think about training in general, and Kung Fu, and martial arts, and Wing Chun? What are your comments? What are your suggestions? What is your feedback? So subscribe to this channel to get more full stuff and more talks like this. And we'll see you soon in the next video.


By joining the military during a very active period of war. I absolutely went into it with the idea that I could die Both my legs were amputated due to an IED that I sustained while I was deployed to Iraq. I Mean, I'm still here. So there must be something more His career was over in his mind, you know And he had to figure out something else to do. I absolutely felt like I lost some of my purpose When DAV came into my life, they gave me a new mission I could still be a productive member of society could still support a family The DAV gave him that sense of purpose again to get his life back together But we need your help call this number and give just 63 cents a day Just $19 a month and help a disabled veteran right now. The DAV is absolutely making a difference They were giving me something that I could believe in again something that I could be proud of get this official DAV blanket when you call and give just $19 a month right now to help our sons and daughters recover from the wounds of war when I see him with our son it makes me feel just blessed the disabled American veterans Made me feel useful again your gift no matter how small can help a disabled veteran right now There are so many more disabled veterans who still need your support Please call this number and give just $19 a month or give right away at help DAV dot org


Caffeine, it's everywhere. According to a 2013 study published in the Journal of Caffeine Research, caffeine is the most widely used drug in the world. In the United States, more than 90% of adults use it regularly, and among them, average consumption is more than 200 milligrams of caffeine per day. More caffeine than is contained in two six ounce cups of coffee or five 12 ounce cans of soft drinks. While many coffee lovers and energy drink drinkers say they reap the benefits of having caffeine, is there a downside to it all? How exactly does caffeine affect your mental health? After all, it's been a much debated topic. So let's take a look at whether caffeine is an overall benefit or risk to your mental health. Number one, should you have caffeine if you have a mood or anxiety disorder or a mental illness?  Do you also drink coffee?  After all, caffeine increases heart rate and blood pressure. So what does this do to someone with let's say an anxiety disorder? In a Psychology Today article, the Braun von Brenner Center for Translational Research notes that caffeine can trigger anxiety, especially when drinking more than one cup a day and in people who are more sensitive to coffee's effects. The author notes that it is important to understand there are large differences in how individuals process and react to caffeine. So have you noticed how caffeine affects your disorder symptoms? A study published in the journal Psychiatry Research focused on 43 patients and found that anxiety disorder patients have increased caffeine sensitivity, which leads to decreased consumption. It would seem to make sense that anxiety symptoms could indeed increase with even simply the increase in heart rate and blood pressure caffeine can provide. A 2005 Cambridge study published in the journal Advances in Psychiatric Treatment notes that psychiatrists rarely inquire about caffeine intake when assessing patients. This may lead to a failure to identify caffeine-related problems and offer appropriate interventions. Excessive caffeine ingestion leads to symptoms that overlap with those of many psychiatric disorders. Caffeine is implicated in the exacerbation of anxiety and sleep disorders and people with eating disorders often misuse it too. It antagonizes adenosine receptors, which may potentiate dopaminergenic activity and exacerbate psychosis. In psychiatric inpatients, caffeine has been found to increase anxiety, hostility, and psychotic symptoms. That seems like enough to not want to take another sip of that mocha, right? Well, kind of. There's also research out there that shows differing results, highlighting the benefits of caffeine. An article from NOCD explains that in a small study sponsored by Stanford University, seven of 12 patients with OCD saw immediate improvement on 300 milligrams of coffee daily. The authors suggest that caffeine may work better in one concentrated dose each morning than spaced out throughout the day, and reminds us that caffeine remains a well-known anxiety producer in many people. So, while there are studies that suggest caffeine can be good and bad for your mental health, an important question to keep in mind is, what do you notice it doing to your mental health? Number two, sleep disorders and insomnia. Most people will generally order a cup of coffee to stay awake and get some energy back. So, it makes sense that you'll have trouble falling asleep when you drink a ton of caffeine. That same 2005 study published in the journal Advances in Psychiatric Treatment explains that caffeine reduces slow-wave sleep in the early part of the sleep cycle and can reduce rapid eye movement, or REM sleep, later in the cycle. Caffeine increases episodes of wakefulness and high doses in the late evening can increase the time taken to fall asleep. So, if you consume more caffeine than average, don't be too surprised if you struggle more and more with falling asleep. Number three, mental performance. What about the benefits? There's quite a bit of research out there showing how caffeine can improve mental performance. Very well-mined describes a 2012 study's results and found that caffeine was shown to improve performance on a range of different tasks, including vigilance, response times, information processing, and some, but not all, proofreading tasks. Take it easy though. Don't think this means the more caffeine the better. The study also compared people with a low daily caffeine intake with those who consumed a lot of caffeine each day and found that the improvements are not too significant. So, the more caffeine you consume, the less improvements you'll see. Remember, moderation is key. Number four, caffeine withdrawal. So, what happens if you drink a lot of caffeine each day and then suddenly stop? You may realize you've become dependent on it and experienced caffeine withdrawal syndrome. An article by Stacy Lu published with the American Psychological Association explains that, according to the DSM-5, caffeine withdrawal syndrome occurs when people skip a dose of caffeine and experience headaches, fatigues, depression, and trouble concentrating. She goes on to explain that research suggests many people use caffeine just to avoid these symptoms, so others, especially children and adolescents, may not understand why they feel sluggish and have a raging headache. So while it's nice to get a few cups of coffee each week or drink down those energy drinks, perhaps before a big soccer game, it's important to know what caffeine does to you. Feel great after a sip or two of that mocha? Go ahead and drink a cup or two if you enjoy it. Moderation is key. But if you're not feeling the benefits of caffeine, then maybe it's not worth all the buzz. Did you enjoy this video? If so, make sure to hit the like button, subscribe for more psychology content, and share this video with a coffee lover. Thanks for watching, Psych2Goers. See you next time.


So, welcome to the post T session. I am happy to invite Dr. Nasa. Many of you know that Dr. Nasa has spent a lot of time in the ministry of human resource development and has been always supportive of activities done by educational institutions. So, welcome Dr. Nasa and all yours. Thank you Professor Fatak. First of all, I would like to thank IIT Bombay and Professor Fatak to give me this an opportunity to interact with, I think everybody is able to hear me. So, you have given me the opportunity to interact with mostly the tier one institutions representatives, the directors of the institutions, registrars and vice-translators. I was asked to present what is accreditation, what is NBA doing. Most of the institutions present here, they know what is accreditation and NBA, but for those who are not from the system, I will just give a brief note on the activities of the NBA and later on about our criteria and what are the activities going on. NBA was established in 1994 by AICT under section 10 U of the AICT Act. It became independent in 2010, but in 2013 it became completely independent of AICTE administratively as well as financially. So, now we are totally independent in decision making as well as financially and we do not receive any grants from Ministry of HRD or any other government agencies for the purpose. We are totally dependent on the fees, we charge for the accreditation from the institutions. The fees for institutions whether it is a government, private, central government, state government is same, there is no discrimination. Just a brief about what accreditation in terms of NBA means, it is a process of quality assurance and improvement, whereby a program in an in approved institution is critically appraised to verify that the institution or the program continues to meet and or exceeds the norms and standards prescribed by the regulator from time to time. It is a kind of recognition which indicates that the program or institution fulfills certain standards. These are our general policy on accreditation. Programs and not educational institutions are considered for accreditation. There are some institutions which write that XYZ College of Engineering is accredited by NBA. That is totally wrong and if my request to all of you who are present over doing this activity kindly remove that from your advertisement because we do not accredit an NBA, an institution. We accredit only the programs and if you have to advertise write that these programs are accredited by NBA. NAC does the accreditation of an institution or a university or a college. The program should be accredited. It should be offered by an educational institution which has been formally approved as an educational institution by the concerned regulatory authority that it is approved by AICTE or Ferreira Deem University by UGC or the State University Act and all that. At least two batches of the program should have the students who should have graduated from that program. The programs are considered for assessment accreditation only at the written request of the institution. We do not ask them to come to us but they have to write, send a request to us saying that you want the program to be accredited. But now I think AICTE has made some mandatory requirement for increase in intake and additional courses and all that. What accreditation says to notify? It notifies the parents and prospective students that the program has met minimum standards, faculty, deems and administrators of the programs, strengths and weaknesses and by ways to improve the program. For employers that graduates are prepared to begin professional practice, the public that graduates are aware of the societal considerations. What are the benefits of accreditation? These are demonstrate accountability to the public, demonstrate the commitment to excellence, its strengthens consumer confidence, it facilitates continuous quality improvement, it improves staff morale, it recognizes the achievements and innovations, it facilitates information sharing, it gets priority in getting financial assistance from the regulatory bodies. For the institutional point of view, it helps the institutions to know its strengths and weakness and the opportunities coming. It initiates institutions into innovative and modern method of pedagogy. It gives the institution a new sense of direction and identity, provides society with reliable information of quality of education offered. It promotes intra and inter institutional interactions. Until 2013, NBA was accrediting the programs on input and output based parameters. After 2013, the NBA criteria has moved to outcome based accreditation. I will come to be later on. Outcome based education is student centered learning as Professor Sridhar was telling about the attributes that the students should have. This outcomes may include a range of skills and knowledge. Outcome based accreditation focus remains on evaluation of outcomes of the program, though output and input parameters are also looked into. Input parameters like infrastructure facilities, resources, administrative practices, academic as well as financial resources were evaluated and output like a success rate of students were predominantly evaluated as dear. What is the outcome based education? May purpose is to accredit the programs where we want to know what should the students learn. It is not that how many students are getting passed. We wanted to know the qualities of the student and what the students should demonstrate to the professional world. Accordingly designing both curricula and delivery mechanism for which we are here today teaching strategies to build the required skills and competence. These are the graduate attributes. These are usually known in the Washington Accord as a graduate attributes. We tell them as a program outcomes. These are specifically needed for the students once it graduates. These are engineering knowledge, problem analysis which Professor Fartak has been stressing since morning. Design and development of solutions, conduct investigation of complex problems, modern tool usage, engineers and the society, environment and sustainability, ethics, individual and team working, communication, project management and finance and the lifelong learning. These are the 12 graduate attributes which a student should have after he has graduated. Now, the NBA has introduced two tier system. One is the tier one documents that is applicable to engineering technology programs offered by academically autonomous institutions and by the university departments and constituent colleges, the university. Most of the participants present here are belongs to the tier one group because they have the academic autonomy. The tier two document is for non-autonomous institutions that is those colleges and technical institutions which are affiliated to a university. They do not have any academic freedom. For both the same set of criteria have been prescribed for accreditation, but the weightage is different for tier one and tier two. Evaluation of tier one institution focus on program outcomes and program educational objectives. This is the more weightage given in that and the tier two institution focus remains as before in the student performance, facilities and technical support and continuous improvement. These are typical examples of tier one institutions. The institutions of national importance like IITs, triple IITs and IITs, universities, deemed universities, private universities and the autonomous institutions. The tier two institutions are the colleges affiliated to universities not enjoying the privileges of academic autonomy and deliver programs prescribed by the university to which they are affiliated and the only university empowered to examine the enrolled students for a world of dignity. NBS criteria of accreditation, there are nine in number. First is institutional vision, mission vision and program educational objectives. Second is program outcome. Third is program curriculum. Fourth is student performance. Fifth is faculty contributions. Six is facilities and technical support. Seventh is academic support unit and teaching learning process. Institutional support and financial resources and the lastly continuous improvement in attainment of outcomes. Now these nine criteria they are as existing as of today but from first of June 5, 6 days before tier two document has been redesigned. It will have 10 criteria. It is already available on our website and we have started implementing the new self-assessment report based on 10 criteria but the institution will have the flexibility till 30th September to opt for the earlier version or the new version. But from first of October it will be the new system of SAR tier two that will be based on 10 criteria. These are the different weightages for tier one and tier two institutions and where you can compare that the vision mission the marks the weightages given to tier one institution in vision mission is 100 in comparison to 75 and the program outcome is 225 in comparison to 150. The student performance as I told you earlier it is in tier two which is given more preference and the continuous improvement also given the most importance in the tier two system. The new SAR tier two as I told you we are going to have 10 criteria instance or in spite of nine earlier. The first is vision mission and program educational objectives, program curriculum and teaching learning process. Here I would like to emphasize then the teaching learning process we are considering the initiatives taken in the improving the teaching learning process where MOOCs can play a very important role we had already in built into the new system. The third one is course outcome and of program outcomes, student performance, faculty information and contribution, facilities and technical support, continuous improvement. These are known as the program based criteria. Then we have institutional level criteria first year academics though it was a little bit part of earlier SAR also but it was not being evaluated and the most important thing here was most of the students who come from various backgrounds during the first year they use that is a lot of difference and it was being neglected in earlier part of SAR. Now it will be a big part in it will play a big role in evaluations from the new SAR. The student support system and the governance institutional support and financial resources. So it has been redesigned into 10 criteria's and I would like to inform you for the tier one institutions also our new SAR is almost final and on 10th of June maybe three four days after we will we are going to have our final meeting for finalizing the tier one document also where most importance has been given to the teaching learning process and the program outcomes. But basically we want to see in the program outcome based accreditation is how much the student is learning. We were earlier dependent on only on the processes that they have they have I mean curriculum has been revised or based on outcome and all that. But the attainment levels were not being looked into here the more emphasis will be how much percentage each percentage of each criteria or each graduate attributes program outcome has been attained. So that the emphasis will be more on the program out attainment level of the program outcome rather than the process being initiated by the tier one institutions or tier one institutions are more matured institutions. So we will like to give more emphasis on the attainment levels. So that will be finalized on 10th and it will be put up to our board once it approves it will circulate it to all the tier one institutions and put up on our website also to seek the comments from all the stakeholders and if there will be any significant comments that will also be incorporated before notifying it for implementation. In tier one institutions we evaluate based on the grades in each of the criteria and the grades are the marks if they are more than 7 equal to or more than approximately 75 percent or more then we give the grade as Y Y is the compliance between 60 to 75 percent we call them as the compliance with concern. There are some concerns where there is scope of improvement where the institutions can address and the between 40 to 60 percent is called as the weakness they have to do a lot to improve in that particular criteria less than 40 is a deficient criteria. For award of every detation in the tier one institutions out of 9 criteria an institution the program has to get at least 7 Y that is 7 criteria should be fully compliant that is the more they should have more than 75 percent marks in at least 7 of the criteria and the remaining 2 criteria should be C that is compliance with concerns there should be no weakness or the deficiency in that particular program then that program is accredited for 5 years and fourth and if there is some weakness in the remaining 2 7 fully compliance and 1 or 2 weaknesses then we give them 3 months time and if that weakness can be converted into a compliance with concerns or compliance that the committee looks into then we give them 3 months compliance a time period and after the compliance report is received from the institution this is again re-evaluated and accordingly decision is taken to accord the accreditation for 5 years otherwise they are accredited for 2 years. For 2 years the decision is taken on at least 3 compliance any 3 criteria they should be fully compliant and there should be no deficiency in the faculty contributions others remaining 6 can be weakness or concerns the program is accredited for 2 years if they have 3 Ys and no D in the faculty no deficiency in the faculty contribution and if they have the deficiency in the faculty contribution their state are very rejected whether it is if the remaining or even 8 Ys will not accredited this is the most important criteria faculty contribution they should not get less than 40 percent marks in that particular criteria. Procedure for accreditation is the institution has to submit the EASAR first they have to register themselves on ENBA most of the institutions are already registered on ENBA after that they have to submit fees and all that and submit the EASAR the base on the SAR we constitute a committee the committee visits the institution and the report is submitted to the moderation committee which we call it to identify the borderline cases borderline cases are where they are either the borderline for 2 years or for 5 years. So, in TA 2 it is 5 percent weightage is given on both side after 600 they may be somewhere in 570 to 630 so they are treated as a borderline case and for 750 also 720 to 780 so they are those are considered a borderline cases we convey those weaknesses and the concerns to the institution to send us the report whether they agree to those recommendations or not they cannot change the thing there may be some mistakes by the evaluation team may be they may not not it properly also there may be some facts which they can correct that the report given by the evaluator is not correct as on the date of the visit but later on if they have added something that not considered the ones that compliance report is received from the institution that is sent to the team chair and team chair presents it before our evaluation engineering evaluation committee. In the presence of the team chair and the team members the EESC members the decision is taken the team chair has to present the case as if it is own institution because he has visited the institution to he presents the case of all the programs to the EESC team and accordingly decision is taken for 2 years or 5 years or not in the recommendation of EESC goes to our subcommittee of academic advisory committee which is chaired by a chairman N B A Dr. Suresh Prasad and they check the inconsistency between various institutions and the programs also accordingly the final decision is taken by the subcommittee of EESC and convey to the institution concerned and the institution still if it is not satisfied they can appeal to us within 30 days of the date of the communication of the result. And in the appeal cases also they have to justify the reason as on the date of the visit not any additional information which has not been provided to the experts or to the in the SAR. And there also the team chair has is called and the representative of the institution comes to the appellate committee and he presents his case in front of the chairman of the visiting team where both of the team has to agree that these things were available on that date or not. So, accordingly the decision is taken by the appellate committee this is about the accreditation of process. We keep the evenings of the visiting teams deliberately kept free of the activities to enable the team to complete the writing of the report which is a very lengthy report. So, we usually give the time of the evening to the visiting team not for the social activities some of the institution engage them in some social activities in the evening that I request you all of you not to do that. It is extremely important to note that the visiting team members do not indicate to the institution whether they would discredit or not agreed the program and that report is strictly confidential. After the conclusion of the exit meeting all contacts of the institution should be through NBA only. After that you cannot interact with the chairman or the visiting team members till the decision is. NBA makes travel arrangement for the team members including accommodation and travel to and from the campus where the program is delivered through authorized travel agencies. Do not ask them for anything that is my request to all of you we do not accept the working lunch during the visit you have to not to do anything. NBA requires every team members to exhibit the highest standard of professionalism honesty and integrity it becomes the duty of chair person to oversee these aspects. We are trying to involve as many as evaluators from IIT's, NIT's, universities and some credible people who are really they may be serving in IIT's earlier they have moved to private institutions and there are some private institutions which have been accredited for 5 years they know all that outcome based accreditation they have the knowledge of the system we also involve them all during our visits. Evaluation team members must be objective and truthful in reports, statement and testimony in the larger group sessions with either faculty or staff must be avoided and it should be totally a random sample. Students groups and the faculty groups are tutored in some of the institutions might be avoid that let the team do their own work. EIT members must strictly adhere to the visit schedule and they must avoid socializing even during the accreditation visit it shall not solicit accept any gratuities from the institutions I have already told you about this. The visit should be conducted in a very polite and cordial atmosphere whether you agree with the evaluation team members or the even evaluation team members do not agree finally be polite put up your case do not argue and we there are some evaluators also here I could see they have to be very polite and do not compare your institution with the institutions you are visiting. You have to simply verify the facts what are available in the institution accordingly write the report do not compare them with IIT's or NIT's or university you belong to you have to see their what is presently there in the institution be polite. Institution shall not offer any gifts etcetera to the team members I usually a given call in the morning of the visit to the institution concerned and tell the principal or the director do not finally do not do this and if any team members also ask finally give a sharing. So that we are also aware of the fact that if there is some demand from anything though all are credible people but there may be some we cannot take and finally ensure that this is not. The self assessment report is consisting of two parts one is institutional and departmental part part 2 seeks that information on these all nine criteria which I have been done and we will incorporate the new essay we have already done it for tier 2 and for tier 1 also we will be doing the same it will be now having the three parts institutional information and the program level that basic information of the institution will be there but the institutional parameters which will be there that will become the third part now. India became a member of the Washington Accord in June 2014 last year and the next meeting of the Washington Accord is a weeks ahead may be around 20th June that is in Turkey where this item of MOOCs blended course is also coming I cannot share with you right now because that agenda is totally confidential whatever will the decision will be will come communicate it to all the concerned authority and but MOOCs has been already incorporated in not exactly written as a MOOCs but the new in methods in teaching and learning and that should be demonstrated and that should be well publicized in your website also that you are doing it and others can really copy it or may be modify and improve the system also that should be implemented by other institution also. Thank you very much.


Hi everybody, Sean with jaspyscasebrakes.com and jaspys.com for all personal breaks doing a quick little mini mixer, multi-sport mixer for Fayaz on our personal site jaspys.com. We're gonna start with 2016 Panini Don Russ Optic Baseball, Hobby Box Then we're gonna go to, stay with basketball with baseball, go to 2020 Top's Chrome Hobby Box Then we're gonna skip over to football with 2020 Panini Black Football Hobby Box just came out yesterday, and then finish it off with some basketball 2018-19 Panini Don Russ Optic Basketball Blaster, so he's already picked out his boxes. Here we go You can see back there. You've got the optic, the Panini Black and the Top's Chrome. Start with the optic baseball right here Good luck, banger. He's on our Instagram. We do personal breaks on Instagram Seven nights a week. Later Tiger. Have a good one, man. I'll see you back I'll be on Instagram late, or on Sunday and Monday, and then I'll be back here on YouTube late on Tuesday, Wednesday Next week as well as either Thursday or Friday. I'm not sure yet. So I'll see you then So looking for Corey Seeger in this, as well as other rookies But he's the biggest one today. He's having an incredible year so far Watching some Formula One practice racing, Belgian Grand Prix practice laps Right now, banger. Yeah, we're we're still working on it I mean it's getting closer and closer. I think we're down to our last like little construction projects and stuff so But I think last I heard I know we were shooting for the beginning of September I think now we're looking at like two weeks maybe at the We should be all all good. There goes both videos Yeah, trust me, I think we're all excited for people to finally be here again We've done some renovating some reorganizing and all that stuff all in the meantime, so it looks really nice It was already nice, but now just like it all makes sense looking good Cool starting with Ross stripling rated rookie hollow very nice Jose Fernandez rested piece Travis Janikowski rated rookie bronze That's number 36 out of 199 Michael Conforto rated rookie Lorenzo Kane hollow Dallas Keichel, there you go. This is the guy we're looking for Corey seager Numbered out of 299 rated rookie hollow blue Nelson Cruz diamond King Chris sale diamond Kings hollow Evan Longoria James Shields To 199 Henry Owens rated rookie Ricky Henderson Eddie Rosario Peter O'Brien rated rookie blue to 149 Evan Longoria Rose Chapman hollow Alex Rodriguez Tom Murphy blue rated rookie to 149 Josh Donaldson and Carlos Gonzalez diamond Kings hollow Nelson Cruz Bryce Harper diamond Kings black Numbered to 25 very nice nice looking card there Aledmus Diaz rated rookie Jason Hayward hollow Steven Matz and Yosemite Tomas blue to 149 Nick Marqueques Tyler glass now the prostitutes Matt Carpenter Xander Bogarts green seafoam to 299 Trevor story rated rookie And he was a rated rookie that year he's awesome young Hio Park rated rookie hollow Jacob DeGron Josh Donaldson diamond Kings blue number to 149 Jason Hayward and Eric Hosmer diamond Kings hollow David Price David Price diamond Kings green to 299 Tom Murphy rated rookie no more Mazzara rated rookie hollow. He's now with the white socks. They're incredible Jason Hayward Justin Upton bronze to 199 Jorge Lopez Rated rookie Jose Fernandez Rest in peace hollow your first auto rookie Kyle Schwerber Very nice Optic studio rookie auto Kyle Schwerber for the Chicago Cubs Kettle Marte rated rookie another good one That one's numbered out of 299 Brian Dozier Zach Reiki back to the future Addison Russell Chris Davis back when Chris Davis was Ridiculous Chris Davis number to 299 Rob Reeve Snyder Jacob DeGron diamond Kings hollow Nolan Aronato Eric Hosmer to 2 to 199 Billy Burns Jose Paraza rated rookie hollow Jose Abreu illusion Ryan Braun To 299 Tyler Naikwin rated rookie Addison Russell hollow Mukibets Carlos Correa illusions hollow red number to 99 Michael Brantley Peter O'Brien rated rookie hollow Adrian Gonzalez Brendan Rogers the prospects blue number to 149 Tyler Duffy rated rookie Hector Olivera the rookies Your auto is a rated rookie of Mack Williamson red Numbered five out of five There you go. He's with the Giants apparently or at the time. He was Miguel Cabrera diamond Kings red numbered 66 out of 99 Jose Altuve Jose Fernandez again rest in peace hollow Lorenzo Kane Adrienne Beltre red to 99 Brandon Drury rated rookie Nolan Aronato hollow Roldis Chapman Jose Paraza the rookie blue to 149 and Jack Peterson There's your first box. Give me a second. Let me put this stuff away real quick Yeah, not a bad first box You got a lot of what we were looking for Yeah, next up tops chrome stick with baseball Looking for two autos in this one Hopefully big names Lots of good color parallels Refractors with the big names that we're looking for also either or both. I Don't think it'll stop. I think it just needed to bring like everything needed to stop temporarily just to bring attention To what was going on you got a purple. I can see it right there It's popping out a little bit. I think purple's to 250 Hopefully it's an auto and a big name. Yeah, I think I think the thing will continue I think the playoffs will continue. I think I think the Clippers and the Lakers are gonna do incredible, too I won't be surprised if the only way either one of them gets knocked out as if it's by playing the other one I Forget who was the night that the the Mavericks that Luca hit that last second three to win it When he hit that three everybody was like, oh, you know Like the Clippers are dead in the water and I was like guys the Clippers are still gonna win it in six I was just like, I mean, let's be honest. They're the Clippers and it's Paul George and Kauai Leonard They are who they are. We know who they are, you know But yeah, I think I think eventually like it'll end up being you know, the Clippers and Lakers potentially to knock one one of the other one out and I just get the feeling that like if you put, you know, the best version of Kauai and Paul George against the best version of LeBron and Anthony Davis LeBron and Anthony Davis win every time boba shit bass rookie That was Pablo Lopez bass Nico Horner 35th anniversary refractor Alex Bregman Robelle Garcia bass rookie Vlad Guerrero junior future stars No, no more Mazzara refractor Colin Moran Andres Munoz Juan Soto Travis Demerant rookie prism Travis Demerant bass rookie Jordan Yamamoto Anthony Santander Gavin Lux freshman flash refractor Chris Paddock Michael Baez rookie Erin Nola Trey Mancini refractor Domingo Leba bass Lordess Gurriel Hunter Dozier Ricky Henderson die-cut refractor Noah Cindergaard Manny Machado Vlad Guerrero junior Eddie Rosario refractor Ronald Guzman Jose Ramirez and Alex Young rookie Chris Paddock prism very nice Rogelio Armenteros rookie Nico Horner bass rookie and Purple Cory Kluber Number to 299. Yeah, that Lucas shot was incredible And Brad that actually is a very good point Brad saying on YouTube is saying that Luca probably appreciates the extra recovery time Which I didn't even think about Kyle Lewis freshman flash refractor Austin Meadows Brewster grader all Jose arena Brian Anderson refractor Mike trout Seth Brown bass rookie Michael Conforto Carter Keeboom refractor Max Muncie Mauricio Dubon John Means Noel Naranado 35 Robbie Ray Tony Goslin Scott Kingery Edwin Rios rookie refractor Jose Abreu Cody Belanger Brandon Bell Miles Mikolas prism Jack Flaherty Heimer Condillario Josh Hader Max Kepler Matthew Boyd Joe Evato Lorenzo King Sheldon News rookie refractor Ozzy Alves Jeff Samarja Matt Chapman First auto Sheldon News rookie auto for the Oakland A's Andrew Benintendi Nelson Cruz Anthony Rizzo and your second auto Zach Gallin rookie auto for the Arizona Dimebacks Eric Hosmer Louise Castile Christian Yelich Boba Shet 35th anniversary refractor Nick Solak Jose various John Lester Was a L2 a 35 refractor Dustin May rookie Nixon Zell Keston here Miles Mikolas refractor Miguel Rojas Harold Ramirez and Liam Kendricks Eloy Jimenez prism Zach Gallin bass rookie Kyle Seager Eson Diaz Victor Robles refractor Jeff McNeill DJ LeMahue Dylan Cease Adrienne Morjean rookie refractor and Logan Allen Some nice box there for you No, Robert. Unfortunately Yeah, top scrims obviously one of my favorite Look at these cards great Especially in lighting like this studio lighting Now on to football 2020 black came out yesterday should be two autographs per box one relic card and Two base card one of them probably a numbered parallel These are great looking cards to banger I'm not sure if you saw any of these yesterday yet, but literally just released yesterday Well, here you go banger, let's hope it starts good So starting off with The rookie numbered Derek Brown 25 out of 75 for the Carolina Panthers Another rookie Jeff Gladney for the Minnesota Vikings unnumbered on that one Your relic awesome looking card here. I love that tie-dye pattern eight out of 99 Van Jefferson for the Los Angeles Rams Rookie patch auto also for the Los Angeles Rams cam acres nine out of 99 see the flat Mat color on there. Just had his base card Jeff Gladney rookie auto for the Minnesota Vikings 49 out of 199 That is panini black Yeah, it's awesome looking cards, huh? And it really highlights the rookies, which is very cool. Obviously. That's what everybody wants now our 2018-19 basketball optic hobby ball or sorry Hang it or blaster. We all know exactly who we're looking for in this Mr. Luca Dancic Not only do I want to find a rated rookie of his I want to find a rated rookie hollow or Some sort of colored parallel good luck banger So starting off with Eric Bledsoe DeMar DeRozan Robert Williams the third rated rookie hollow Mike Connelly Gary Harris Nicola miratik Winner stays Jerry West hollow Rodion's Curricks rated rookie Deer and Fox D. G. Augustin Victor Oladipo lock it up hollow and Stephen Adams second half. Good luck Tim Hardaway Jr. James Johnson Kyrie Thomas rated rookie purple hollow Justin Jackson rated rookie Ryan Anderson Aaron Gordon Steph Curry league leaders J. R. Smith Al Horford Lonzo Ball Franchise features Russell Westbrook Not bad, but I thought it was Thought it was the one we were looking for Landry Chimette rated rookie Clay Thompson Markel Fultz Winner stays Kareem Abdul-Jabbar and Carl Anthony Towns So no, no Luca, but thanks for giving it a shot nice little Multisport mixer there for you banger and guys that was a quick personal block personal break for a multisport mixer for Fayaz Available on jaspys.com for all personal breaks. I'm Sean Jaspys case breaks calm and jaspys.com. We'll see you next time


Sticks mapping fort lines after over a month since the official count got over Peru's new president has been finally sworn in. Pedro Castillo the left wing candidate from the free Peru party is now the president of the country and to talk more about this to talk about what this victory means we are joined by Prabhu Prakash. So Prabhu can you tell us about this what does this victory signify especially considering that Castillo has announced that he will be essentially and he will be bringing in a new constitution and essentially changing the very nature of the structures of governance in the country. You know if we look at what Peru is today and that really goes back to what we will see is the first Pujimori presidency. But even before that you had military coups you had dictatorial regimes over there and Peru became a part of the what is called the Operation Condor which brought right wing regimes in Latin America together against different shades of the left. So that was the history on which Pujimori arose in the 90s and of course the death squads large-scale sterilization of women all of this was carried sterilization of indigenous women were carried out by Pujimori. So there is that whole bloody history which is there in fact Argentinian group in Lima were picked up in Operation Condor which was said death squads funded run by the CIA which were operating in Latin America at the time who came to Lima picked up three Argentinians from there and brought them back. So to Argentina so all of this history is there with Peru. So when you talk about what is happening now we cannot really do that without referring back to that period. Keko Pujimori represents that for those forces which at that time ruled over parts of Latin America large parts of Latin America and which is currently changing and she represents it because of her father's legacy and the parties and party and party she represents and what her personal political philosophy is. Of course as we know Pujimori was also convicted of corruption in fact his political stock fell drastically after he was caught in major corruption scandals where the money was siphoned off from the state coffers. So that was really what brought him down. But if we take the larger picture of Latin America what we see in Peru is of course a change of two kinds. One is a kind of left forces we are seeing and this is also based on the indigenous people mixed population. If we look at Pedro Castillo he is a mixed part indigenous part Spanish mixed origin mestizo and he of course is harked back to the indigenous people of Peru. If you also look at where Peru is you will see it's on the Andes and this is where a large part of the indigenous population still is. So you have Bolivia you have Peru you have also Ecuador you have also parts of Chile. So all of this is where a lot of the indigenous population are concentrated and they are like in Bolivia if a moralist represented that. So you also have with Castillo that kind of political forces coming into play not just also the left ideology but also this. So I think that is very much what we are seeing and what is important here is that the first announcement Castillo has made is the possibility of changing the constitution and that is the constitution that Pujibori had brought in. So that constitution if it is changed then a lot of the dictatorial powers that have been gathered by the president and the state would perhaps be then open to change and review and I think that would be very interesting and there's a very important thing that would happen in Peru if that comes through. We have also seen a similar process in Chile which has started but I think all of this is not simply a victory of a candidate over another candidate but it is really a much bigger victory of and it could it could represent the seismic shift in Latin America. So this I should not I do not think this is just simply a small change in one relatively not very big country but it is really a very significant part of the change which is going on in this region. Tell us more about the sort of policy changes that Castillo is you know thinking of bringing in when we look at the previous constitution the sort of privatization that was carried out during Fujimori's time the sort of neoliberal provisions that was brought in. So that sort of changes that Castillo is is what we think he would be planning to bring and what that would mean for the indigenous populations for the people of deep Peru as they say you know who have supported him and brought him into power. You know I don't think an immediate change of the policies is going to be so easy because he has a support base in the parliament which is not very big. So there are various other parties over there and all of them put together what is the what is the weight of the left as opposed to the weight of the center in the right that's something that we'll have to see. So it's not very clear that a sharp shift in policies is immediately possible. What you're talking about is trying to change the deeper structures of the state which were changed under Fujimori and even before and the fact that you have neoliberal provisions in various parts of the constitution. So instead of talking about only change of policies if the process of constitutional change is initiated I think we are going to get a much a very different kind of forces than released and most probably if it can be done it will have to be done through a referendum and then electing a constitutional body which will then frame the new constitution the path that Chile has taken in which it has really is now in the process overhauling Pinochet's constitution. So it's a similar process over here that we are talking about and I think if there if he's able to do that so that would be very very significant for the future. The question is the at the moment the body the congress that is not very conducive to really sharp changes of policy. So given that we'll have to see who the finance minister is is chosen a fairly strong left-wing prime minister and from the same party party Libre or Freedom Free Peru party. So that is that is there but who is the finance minister is something that we'll have to see and once we see that we'll also know what's the direction he wants to take but as I said the equation in the congress which is necessary for changing policies is not that clear as of now and we'll have to see how it pans out so maybe for the time being he might be forced to take a more reformist position instead of a more radical position with respect to immediate policies but I think the fact that he's put the first thing on the agenda as the constitution change of constitution I think that indicates the longer term of plans that he has. Let's also put it party is new this party that has won the election it's also relatively difficult situation because of the correlation of forces that is there his victory was razor thin so we'll have to see what is the level of support that people you know will give him for the policies he's proper he's going to propagate or is propagating so I think it's a difficult situation for him not that simple situation for him to negotiate but I think the right focus is what he has chosen the issue of constitutional change change of constitution and finally can you tell us what Castillo's victory means for the continent for the for the Latin for Latin America as a whole I think that's a very interesting question because if you see the changes that have now taken place you had Argentina earlier you had Chile the referendum on the question of having a constitution you have now Peru you have Bolivia where Ivo Morales party again won victory so you've already had four left victories in the region Ecuador yes the left did not succeed partly because of the divisions on the left itself Brazil Bolsonaro is not in a good position he's handled Covid very badly there's rising discontent about him there are charges of corruption of his and his family so Brazil seems to be some something which will probably go to the left in the next year's election particularly if Lula is able to stand for elections and the Americans are not able to stop him so I think that would be a huge cispic shift in Latin America if Brazil goes to the left so I think Latin America again we are seeing a rise of left what was talked about 20 25 years back the left is rising in Latin America if there was a reverse there was a reversal clearly that you got a set of right-wing forces coming in over here coups that were manufactured preventing Lula from running coup against Ivo Morales all that has happened but I think what we are seeing is probably a beating back the forces of the right and this if we see what's happening in Latin America Peru is going to be an important step though it doesn't have the way to Brazil Argentina has but nevertheless Peru is important and being another country which is going this way I think does indicate a larger shift to the left left again in Latin America and a weakening of the American backed regimes that had taken power and I think both of these are going to be important I think Trump has helped in that context as did George Bush because they all focused George Bush focused on West Asia Trump focused on everybody so he was really his allies everybody who's he was basically damning though he was a great friend of Bolsonaro and I don't think Bolsonaro has been particularly helped by that but if you look at all of this the U.S. policies have not been particularly successful in Latin America and the Trumpian aggressive policy of America first backing various right-wing forces I think is rebounding on the United States in terms of a lack of legitimacy so I think what we are seeing in Latin America is a larger resurgence of left and if that happens in Brazil again I think we are going to see a return to a kind of left I would call it the red tide but definitely a big tide rising in Latin America again we already have Mexico also taking a certain path even if it is not a clear shift for left politics it's a clear shift away from U.S. hegemony and I think that's that's important for the continent so thank you for joining us for this discussion and that's all the time we have keep watching


So, let us discuss the implications of there is the formula that we derived for the success ultimate success probability of a gambler. So, that was equation 6 here equation 6. So, it says basically it is a ratio of 2 powers one taken with respect to the starting amount and the other one taken with respect to the goal amount. So, let us consider various cases for example, the first case 1 is unbiased random walk unbiased case you can still call it as it is a random walk in the money domain. So, it is unbiased. So, that is p equal to q equal to half.  Now, we have a small problem if q equal to p this is 1. So, it 1 minus 1 is 0 and denominator is also 0. So, when q equal to p equal to half expression becomes 0 by 0 type. But we know how to evaluate those 0 by 0 cases there is something called use L Lopitha's rule which says in the limit if you have two quantities let us say y x divided by z x and you have to take the limit at the some point limit at some point I am not going to specify it is y prime x by z prime x you go on doing it until you get a not a 0 by 0 term. So, this is just an illustration, but in this case specifically you will come. So, in our case therefore, limit p equal to q of f k l will be it is a derivation derivative with. So, we supposing we write it as 1 minus 1 or or limit x equal tends to 1 of a quantity called x to the power k divided by 1 minus x to the power l and this will be basically d by dx of x to the power k minus k x to the power k minus 1 divided by minus l x to the power l minus 1 evaluated at x equal to 1 which is simply k by l. Hence to summarize for an unbiased random worker or unbiased gambler for a unbiased gambler that is p equal to q equal to half is neither winning streak nor losing misfortune then f k l is k by l simply says that if he has low amount his chance of winning is small closer he is to the final amount the chance of winning is high. So, you can optimize of course, depending on some assessment of the winning probability and how much money he has to start with that could be another interesting problem, but this only mentions a value neutral probability that the probability of winning or losing winning depend is k by l or probability of losing obviously, implies probability of getting ruined f k 0 is 1 minus that. So, it is l minus k by l. So, how far he has to stay from how close he has to start to the winning amount can be decided on his his assessment of what risk he can take to the amount he is putting. Now, let us consider case 2 where the person has a tendency to lose basically every time he bats for some reason. So, let us say q q is greater than p probability of losing is more than the probability of winning then we can write f k l equal to q by p to the power k minus 1 as we derived q by p to the power l minus 1.  However, is the probability of winning becomes weaker and less and less as the amount becomes larger and larger in a fashion which is not linear even here in the previous case p equal to q case equal to half case the probability reduced as l increased starting from a given point he had no chance of winning of course, but the probability came down linearly here the probability will come now down exponentially because q by p is more than 1. As you can see if q by p is more than 1 which is some quantity which is let us say 1.1 or something.  So, we can now consider case 3 which is this will be more clear when we look at case 3 that is p greater than q that is a winning streak case. So, then for the case 3 we can write since p is greater than q we can write for convenience sake it is slightly differently I mean same way, but we can now write it as q by p to the power k divided by 1 minus q by p to the power l. So, q is less than p winning streak now let us see what happens if l tends to infinity person says I have just let us say I have to only 10 dollars and I want to know whether I have some chance of winning if I bet a million dollars or for that matter even higher amount what is my chance of winning that and I he has a feeling that he has a winning streak 5 percent 10 percent whatever. So, then this this formula says that as l tends to infinity f k l tends to be a finite nonzero finite value nonzero finite is of course, finite, but nonzero value given by 1 because when l tends to infinity q by p will tend to 0 why because p is larger than q. So, it will be a smaller number less than 1 and any small number to the power infinity is going to be 0. So, it is going to be therefore, only numerator left which it does not depend on l which is q by p to the power k. So, now of course, if it starts with k very small this probability is very small ultimate probability, but if it starts with the reasonable amount of k knowing his own assessment of q divided by p this advantage of this success probability could be significant to win a very large amount. So, we illustrate these 3 cases by a graphical form with respect to the starting site k say let us say up to some l value here. Then we first saw that for the unbiased winner that is p equal to q equal to half it is a straight line let us terminate here. So, this is a straight line and for a player with higher p value there is a probability that he could win starting from k equal to l definitely he will win. So, the probabilities this is let us say l here then, but then the probability is always above than an unbiased case. So, this is for p greater than q in the same fashion for a person p less than q the probability will go as a sub linear curve. So, this is a supra linear curve and a sub linear curve when you reach l of course, the probability is always 1 because you are almost at the winning point and interestingly the problem now therefore, is the ultimate willing probability when the betting amount is very high that probability is 0. So, the so finally, as l tends to infinity f k l tends to 0 if p equal to q again tends to 0 in a more faster manner if p is a less than q tends to a value 1 minus q by p to the power k if p greater than q. So, this case is of quite some interest and if you now look back at the derivations we made for the problem of an absorber just single absorber case which defined the point 0 of a semi infinite lattice over the positive side of the x axis then l tending to infinity is a very similar to that problem. Now, the point l is now going to infinity. So, that success point actually does not have much role to play, but the point 0 which is for any finite k k is closer to 0 than l has an important point a important role in deciding on the final success probability. We showed that for an unbiased random walk in the presence of a absorber also had exactly the similar results for an unbiased random walker is the probability of ultimate escape from the point 0 was 0. For a biased random walker if his forward jump probability was weaker than his backward jump probability then also is the probability of escaping the absorber was 0. In contrast the probability that the random walker will escape the absorber was a finite for the case when p was greater than q and we gave an example of a positive and a negative ion being driven by an electric field from a plane parallel plate. So, as we mentioned this is a plane electrode and apply a positive potential with respect to a far of point then positive ion would escape and negative ion would deposit on the absorber and there is no chance for the negative ion to escape the absorber. Whereas, there was a finite probability that the positive ion would escape the absorber and in fact, this is a method that is used for collecting judge particles. So, there is a close similarity between an apparently entertainment problem like the gamblers ruin with respect to the real physical system behavior. Most excitingly and interestingly the analogy does not stop here more and more research has been progressing in this area of finding out the probability of either going one way or the other by of course, generalizing the p by q ratios to handle problems on the one hand connected with the nucleation theory on the other hand connected with the phase separation in granular media and all that. How systems are separate from one phase to another in a binary system for example, there is a certain connection to this gamblers ruin problem and that is why it is of utmost interest. In the course of one study and research one will I am not surprised if somewhere one finds that your problem can be formulated in some measure in the lines analogous to the concept of ultimate probability that we defined and in the solution that we obtained correspondingly. Just to give taste of how it is connected to a problem like a nucleation for example, analogy with the nucleation problem. Those of you who have some idea of nucleation or would have heard of something called a critical nucleus would know that just because water vapor has reached a super saturation you do not get a rain or you do not get large drops. It has to pass through a process of forming a small particles first small droplets and these droplets have to grow. They have to grow to a certain size beyond which other processes take over and large particles are formed large droplets are formed. So, in the early stages even though thermodynamics favours the formation of a liquid phase actual kinetics dis favours the formation because small particles have a large surface area and the surface free energy offers resistance. All this basically implies for asking a question that if this is the droplet size space or droplet mass space or monomer number of monomer number of atoms molecules in a droplet and we say 0 0 mass then each monomer adds a certain mass and let us say there is a critical size which has to grow and if that size is let us say L then you can ask a question that that under a certain condition if one starts with the droplet of n mon k monomers what is the probability that it could execute a kind of random walk with the certain probabilities of p and q's and eventually reach L. It is a very genuine question in nucleation theory. However, to formulate in the way we have done we cannot assume p equal to q or even constant p and q. This problem so, what is the question is what is the probability a molecule that a cluster or a droplet starting with the k monomers. Monomers means its molecules eventually reaches a critical size L of course, exact nucleation theory tells that reaching a critical size alone is not sufficient, but it is a precondition. It is much more nucleation theory is much more than just reaching a critical size, but at the moment let us go to the minimum requirement condition. So, this is the question. So, then we have to now postulate that if it is already a droplet somewhere let us say you have put a seed some seed particle of some size k then you have to have the probability of its going to k plus 1 and a probability of it becoming k minus 1. What are these called? Yes. So, p and q, p's and q's represent condensation of a monomer and evaporation processes equivalently. So, the winning streak and a losing tendency is equivalently represented by the condensation and evaporation processes in a case of a droplet. So, they can therefore postulate we do not need absolute values of condensation rates or evaporation rates. All that one needs is condensation rate divided by evaporation rate because if you see it will be always p by q ratio. So, once you know the formula all many terms drop out, tendency terms only remain and p by q can be formulated. And let us say that we have information let us assume p by q or q by p either way or to begin with p's and q's are site dependent or site when I say site here it is actually the volume dependent. So, but to be very specific it is more convenient to call it a size dependent that is p has to be now replaced with p i where i is the site index i varying from 1 to l and i is the molecular monomer size and similarly q be replacing q i. Now, this is where one requires a an engineering mapping of a mathematical situation what we identify as variables how does it connect to the reality of the process. So, this is where the ingenuity lies. So, we can see that when we do this identification of p i being the condensation rate condensation probability that is probability that a droplet acquires 1 molecule equivalent to 1 dollar bed 1 molecule and becomes i plus 1 a droplet of size i we should say a droplet of i molecules becomes or becomes a droplet of i plus 1 molecule. Analogously we can define the evaporation rate probability as a q i is again the probability that i the droplet and i droplet let us write it as i droplet evaporates evaporates 1 molecule and becomes i minus 1 droplet. So, we have exactly the same formulation and we ask now a question same way ask the question about ultimate question ultimate probability for the droplet for the system here system is the droplet to reach the critical required for onward growth. So, if you follow the steps it will be we go back to the steps it will have the same formulation like for example, as we seen equation yes as we saw in our equation 1. So, exactly, but we must then redefine the q's and a p's in terms of the site itself they are no longer constants, but the methodology runs throughout. So, just to keep the continuity we just write that here also I could write f k l probability that it will reach l that is the critical cluster starting from a droplet of k molecules is now q k that is important point f of k minus 1 l the probability that it would shrink by 1 and then from there it will become a critical cluster eventually any number of time is allowed one has enough time let us say. So, it shrinks by 1 molecule and then eventually becomes a critical cluster or it grows by acquiring one molecule through a probability p k and then it goes over to become a critical cluster l. Hence, we see a exactly the same scenario here and the same boundary conditions also work if there is virtually no molecule no droplet there is no chance of it ever reaching l. So, you have the same issue f not equal to 0 and if it is already a critical cluster then it exists. Hence, the probability if k equal to l is 1 and further we have we can formulate our p's and q's in such a way that p k plus q k is always 1. So, so actual rates will depend on times. So, fundamentally how we manage to get rid of the actual dynamics and kinetics is because the concept of step is a far reaching thought. The real time there is no there is a constraint of having to do it in a real time. In steps all that matters you you are free to take your next step the system will wait. So, as a result of which actual rates do not matter the relative probabilities only matter. So, p k plus q k equal to 1 simply implies that in the next step it has to either shrink or to evaporate. So, that is all. So, in a computer simulation it is very easy to execute these things. So, once this assumptions are made formulations are set you just have to go through every step that we have done virtually runs through like for example, the we defined j k here it will be the same way our j k definition is going to be as earlier j k is going to be f k minus 1. Now, l we are just omitting it is going to be there at the end. So, you will arrive at a general formula now j k define and 1 arrives j k is going to be again with an unknown j 1, but it is not a closed solution you have to write it as a product now k equal to 1 to let us say i the dummy index is i equal to 1 to k minus 1 of the ratio q i by p i. So, you need now here you need physics you cannot do it formally, but nevertheless it has been reduced to a product for the j k and then from this j k we can easily go over to f k evaluation because the same steps go on putting the values etcetera and we get with this we get. So, f n for example, is going to be sigma i equal to 1 to n j k some of all these fluxes is going to decide the value of f n at any point up to a point some up to a point n. So, again use the boundary conditions etcetera that is use f l equal to 1. So, this leads to the solution of implies j 1 for example, you can get it as 1 by 1 plus sigma k equal to 2 to l we just want to be careful about not taking the very first monomer. So, we that is why this that is why we separated it out. So, we evaluate j 1 and from this point the final answer is very clear now because if you follow the same steps f n l is going to be you can actually write it as some product evaluated at n divided by 1 plus some product evaluated at l where sp is just a definition sp of any value k is defined as k equal to 2 to k equal to 2 to not k let us keep it dummy i equal to 2 to k of product the sum and product together. So, i equal to 2 to k and let us say j equal to 1 to i minus 1 it will be. So, that is sp k that is of u i by p i. So, that is the definition. So, if you can evaluate f sp k then you say assign values of k equal to n and k equal to l and you have the probability ratio. This is basically the aim of introducing this example is not to actually solve a nucleation problem we do not intend to do that. Want to give you a taste of how stochastic techniques that we are learning in this paper modeling techniques is in this study is useful and can be rewarding to attempt at real world physical engineering problems. So, with this basic spirit in mind we will explore phenomena several phenomena and also give examples of what is the physical implication of this phenomena in engineering problems. Thank you.


Macron opposes regime change in Russia. French President Emmanuel Macron said the root cause of the current conflict in Ukraine is that neither Europe nor Russia properly digested the end of the Cold War after the fall of the USSR in 1991 and stressed the importance of re-evaluating Europe's relationship with Moscow. However, he noted that the time for dialogue with Russia has not yet come and that Europe needs to continue providing support, including military aid to Ukraine, and prevent Moscow from achieving a military victory on the battlefield. Speaking at the Munich Security Conference, Macron gave his take on the Russian mindset, stating that after the collapse of the Soviet Union, Moscow did not digest the end of an empire and continue to harbour resentment and an obsession of geopolitical empire. At the same time, Macron admitted that the West had also failed to digest its approach towards Moscow, but noted that his assessment and advocacy on this issue may be too late. The French leader went on to state that he doesn't believe for one second in regime change, arguing that such methods are unlikely to lead to anything positive or resolve the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. When I hear a lot of people advocating for regime change, I would just ask them for which change? Who's next? Who is your leader? How to implement it? We experienced several times in the past decade a lot of regime change in a lot of countries. It's a total failure, Macron said. He stressed, however, that it was nevertheless important for Europe to help Ukraine, save its territory, people and sovereignty, and help Kiev create something on the ground that would force Russia to come to the negotiating table on the conditions of Ukraine. He also suggested that the West must find a way to allow Kiev to present something sustainable for Russia itself, but noted that it's too early to formulate something like that. Macron is one of the few Western leaders that maintains contact with Russian President Vladimir Putin, even though many of his phone calls have reportedly been at the request of Ukraine's Vladimir Zelensky, who has outlawed speaking with Russian leadership. And although Macron has repeatedly called for a ceasefire that doesn't humiliate Russia, he has nevertheless continued to provide Kiev's military with progressively heavier weapons, announcing last month the delivery of infantry fighting vehicles to Ukraine's forces and hinting at potential transfers of fighter jets.


So as the day started, we were notified of a massive patch that's the landing. It arrived, mostly installed, and while some people benefited way more than others. As there was a timeframe of about 10 minutes, I believe, after the patch and before the first maintenance, if you do a certain thing, you were able to purchase gear with upwards of 30k armour values. Like what? Has it gone guys? My name's DPJ and if you enjoyed the video, leaving a like really helps out and if you like what you see and want to see more outriders on a daily basis, be sure to subscribe. So there was a glitch earlier today, which like I said, within a 10 minute window, that if you lugged into the game, went to any of the mini-vendors, mainly though Bailey or Tiago I'm hearing, that they were selling armour with upwards of 25k armour stat values on it. Now I first heard about this on Facebook, so a few mentions of it on Twitter and Reddit, but it slipped under the radar for most people it seems. Now I have checked and it also seems for the most part guys, even after the two maintenance episodes today, some people who purchased this armour with his crazy high values get to keep it. While others who purchased it, the armour was reverted back to those normal values. As you can see on the screen now, this is footage from a friend. You can see he still has his armour and while just look at it. He brought 3 or 4 armour pieces from Tiago when he first lugged back in this morning and he still has this as I make this video. You can see armour here of upwards of 25k, which is utterly crazy. I mean who needs a tank build now when you have armour 3 times as strong as anyone else's and I can also confirm that this armour does act as you would imagine. It does make you tanky. Now I will state, it does seem as though people can fly know about this bug or glitch and will know that sometime in the future, do something about it.  Shame I was snowing my head off when this patch drops as I was way too late to the show, but even still it's all good. But yeah guys, a quick video on the glitch if you missed it. It's crazy what I believe deep down we all know that issues with this major patch would follow. Personally for me, playing pulse patch on xbox, xbox cusx with friends or also on xbox cusx is multiplayer connectivity issues are just as bad. Constant kicks, lagging, unable to join back parties and so much more. I will test it properly though via a stream so if you want to catch me there you can, but I'm not guys ended a video has arrived, let me know down below in that comments section if you landed yourself some of this high value gear. Also let me know if it's been inverted or you still have it. But on that note, the end of the video has arrived, if you enjoyed it leaving a like really helps out. If you're new around here and want to see more outriders on a daily basis be sure to subscribe and if you never want to miss a video I upload you can turn notifications on by hitting that bell button. But guys thanks as always for stopping by and hopefully I will see you on that next one.


Jazz Marie asked the question, just wondering if anyone found a solution to replace InfoPath. My company currently uses InfoPath and would like to find another alternative. Not an alternative, whatever you were thinking of, another alternative. Another alternative. It depends. We knew we'd get that in there. Do we actually have, off the top of our head, the deprecation date for InfoPath? When is it going to stop functioning? In my mind, it's already dead to me. It's zombie life now, right? Do we have a funeral for it? We had a funeral for it. We had a funeral and it was reincarnated. This is one of those things where I know that there's a number of third party solutions that are out there. And so I know we jokingly say it depends. But depending on what you're trying to do, there are quite a few options that are out there. I can say with a rather large organization, about 50% of their InfoPath, I was able to build in Microsoft Forms. It was anything above and beyond some of the functionality. It went into PowerApps, which most companies, if they own licensing to that point, they already have PowerApps. So they're probably already paying for it. So those, to me, should be your first two options. Keeping it in the ecosystem. Yep, yep. Again, you do things that are beyond that. There are third party solutions that can go do a lot of other things and some that you may already have licensed for those. But yeah, Forms, PowerApps, Power Automate, the things that are out of the box, the things that you probably already have use. And then, you know, whatever remains, it's like anything. It's the 80-20 rule. 80% of it will move across easily. Then you spend your life trying to move the other 20%. Yeah, it's just kind of like development. Reforce of whatever you're trying to build is probably out of the box. And only a fourth of it really needs development, depending on what you're doing, right? So you just kind of got to keep those things in mind. I'm sure there's something already there before they go to the extreme. You know, it was already there before your 75% was my 80-20 rule. 80%, 75%. I don't know why you're nitpicking on that 5%. Hey, I'm here to nitpick. That's what I'm here for, right here. Some of us are just holding on to the legacy tools. Just couldn't let it go. Just give me my 80% and just let it go. Thank you. That's all I asked for. Thank you. Some of us are just hanging on to our legacy tools. I still use Pull Out SharePoint Designer every once in a while, but... Shame, you're sure you're not. I do all of my best work. I do all of my best work in front page, so. Oh, God, that hurt.  Is it almost 20 years since front page been dead? I think 2003 was the last version, if I remember right. I believe so. Yeah. Can you believe that? 20 years ago. Was it? No, no, no. We all may be showing our age here. Just going to... No, it was later than that. I was at Microsoft when they shelled it. So I started at Microsoft in 2006. So it was like 2006, 2007, wasn't it? Must have been the zombie stage. We know how that works.  It's going to have that. There's probably a Wikipedia page, which I'm sure is completely... It is. Office Suite from 1997 to 2003. OK, plus I stand corrected. You were in zombie stage. Yeah, I was in the zombie stage and there was that even like an open source kind of effort around it. And so, good times. They did kind of start giving it up free once they decommissioned it. So, yeah. I'm not surprised you were excited about that. Yeah, I don't think about front page anymore. I'm still dealing with all of these, all this work that I did in Silverlight. Or Flash. Flash. Yeah, Flash. As I sit here listening to my Zoom, yeah.  There we go.