Hi everyone, welcome to the first smart resummon of this quarter. Our speaker today is Professor John Burge from the University of Chicago. And you talk about how to increase electricity market efficiency with flexible mechanisms. And before we start, I would like to go through some of these basic instructions for this webinar, which I think are particularly useful for those who are attending this seminar for the first time. Everyone will be muted upon entry to reduce background noise. And there are a few features on your screen that you can use to communicate with the speaker and the panel. There's this check feature. If you have any, if you encounter any technical difficulties such as you cannot hear the speaker, you can use that to let us know. And there is this raise hand feature. You can use that to, if you need a simple question to be clarified. For example, a definition or something like that. And if you have any in depth questions, you should save it to the user Q&A feature. And those questions will be answered after the end of the seminar. Now, I would like to know this is a schedule for this quarter. There will be five seminars. And I would like to remind you that the next seminar is in two weeks. And the speaker is Manini Bhattanu from VMware. Charlie, I will let you introduce the speaker. Thank you very much, Chen Wu. My name is Charlie Colstead. I'm the faculty co-director of Bits and Watts and welcome to the smart grid seminar for the fall. It's my pleasure today and privileged to introduce a distinguished Stanford alumnus, Professor John Burge of the University of Chicago. John's specialty is mathematical modeling of systems under uncertainty, particularly stochastic programming and large scale optimization. This is an area relevant to my research in economics and highly relevant from so many modern problems. As signs of his stature in the profession, John is editor-in-chief of the journal Operations Research and was elected to the National Academy of Engineering. John received his PhD in 1980 from the legendary Stanford Operations Research Department, which is now part of MS&E. He went on to a career at the University of Michigan, Northwestern and now the University of Chicago. Northwestern, he was dean of the School of Engineering and Applied Sciences. We're lucky to have John Burge with us, sort of with us today speaking on the highly relevant topic of increasing electricity market efficiency with the flexible mechanisms. John, I'll turn things over to you. Great. Thanks, Charlie. Okay. Now let me share my screen. Great. Well, thank you, Charlie, for the introduction and for inviting me. It's great to be virtually at Stanford. I usually like to, when I go to Stanford, I usually like to go for a run around the dish. So I didn't get a chance to do that today. But I thought about it while I was doing my morning job. I want to thank you all for coming. What I'll be talking about is increasing market efficiency with different kinds of mechanisms, so called flexible mechanisms. You can think of this as being somewhat synonymous with increasing renewable penetration. For the most part, renewables have very low marginal costs, and I'll be basically talking about marginal costs. So when I talk about efficiency, even though it's minimizing costs or minimizing resources, you can also think about it in terms of renewables and I'll mention that as we go through. So this is joint work with colleagues at Wisconsin as well as also at the University of Chicago, Bernie Lissuter, Lena Rolt and Victor Zavala in Madison and then Andrew Chen, my colleague in computer science and Arnab Sir, who's postdoc with me. Okay, so the big theme of what I'm going to talk about is that electricity, forward and spot markets are very complicated things. There are things like startup costs and minimum run levels and times, all of which make operating these markets quite complex. There's also a great deal of uncertainty. There's uncertainty and demand, for example, it depends a lot on the weather. There's also uncertainty in supply and particularly with renewables, wind and solar and in terms of how much they're going to be providing. And the way markets are set up now, there are inherent inefficiencies and that uncertainty in the supply and the intermittency makes those inefficiencies, I think even more salient and perhaps even greater. But there are ways in which you can redesign these markets that can increase the consistency, making incentives for efficiency, and that you can do that by allowing some kinds of flexibility so that's the basic bottom line of what I want to get to. So what I'll do is I'll go through talk a little bit about renewable sources and their impact. I'll give you, if you're not familiar with the way most of the markets in the world work, I'll give you a little bit of an overview of how these markets work. And then I'll talk about some of the issues in terms of market power, which you can think of as not being efficient issues that arise because of these fixed costs which create non convexities, which markets have some difficulty dealing with. And then a particular property of the way markets are operated today, which means that you can never match both prices and quantities in the right way, the way you'd like to. And that there lack, there are, there is a lack of incentives for things that might be good for the market like pooling or like relocating to me. And so I'll talk about ways to resolve it. As Charlie mentioned my introduction level what I do is is stochastic optimizations because of programming. So it's not surprising that I'll talk about how stochastic programming can help resolving these. But it requires some additional mechanisms and I'll talk about those in terms of flexible bids and integration of markets in particular here I mean the market for energy and the market for transmission. Okay, so you've probably all seen something about the growth of wind and solar. Probably around 1500 gigawatts globally right now. To put that in perspective the US has capacity of around 1100 gigawatts. So, the amount of global wind and solar power is effectively greater than total us electric power generation capability. It's been predominantly wind, but solar has been increasing at a very high rate somewhat recently, and now wind and solar globally have about the same installed capacity. And as I mentioned it's highly variable. I just took a snapshot here from my so, which is the mid continent independent system operator. Which operates in the central part of North America from Manitoba at the north to Louisiana in the south. And my so has a lot of wind capacity. But it's highly variable. So this is the snapshot several years ago it's even more so now since the my so has increased its wind generation capabilities, quite significantly. But you see fluctuations that are basically, you know, from less than 1000 megawatts available to 10,000. So, and in very short amounts of time these are ours down here. So in very, very short amounts of time. You see wide fluctuations in terms of wind variability. Solar same thing. It's variable. Obviously, there's not too much solar production at night. But even during the day, there's there can be very high variability in total solar availability, depending on particular weather conditions. So, so solar, solar and wind both have high variability. That sort of led in California to this sort of the famous duck curve and I took an example from just August of this year when when you had I think the highest net demand for this year although it's actually much lower than it was several years ago. But here's that this the green curve is the total net demand, and the purple curve down here, or the total demand is is is what's here in green. And then the lower curve is the net demand after I take out the solar generation. And, as you would imagine a solar generation goes when the sun sets. Here's some time around seven o'clock. It looks like was around seven or eight o'clock on that day. So we have to match. And I guess there's a little bit of winds and probably have some wind in here as well. So, what that means is there has to be this ramping up of generation in order to be able to match these, these two curves at this point in time once the sun sets. That's what that required a ramping rate of 9000 megawatts in three hours here on that day in August. So it's it's a big challenge. It's even more of a challenge because this is an aggregate. But, but the grid actually is a network. And that means that in some places the grid we have to ramp up very very rapidly but there's, there may not be any generation capability there we may not be able to get the generation from one spot to another. And that can lead to really wide variation in the prices across different regions. And I'll show some examples here just these are examples actually just from today, I thought I'd just take a snapshot. This is the price of electricity in them, and two parts the myso grid. Here this is, this is Iowa and Illinois and Missouri. And here this line the border between looks like Minneapolis or in Minnesota and Wisconsin. And you see wide variation in prices in very close proximity locations. So here, for example, and this this was persisting a lot today I'm not sure exactly why, but here this dislocation had a price of $105 per megawatt hour. And the dislocation over here had a price of minus $30 per megawatt hour. I wonder why, why is electricity selling at a price of minus $30 per megawatt hour. Well, $30 per megawatt hour is about what is earned on the production tax regulation that allows you to recoup taxes by providing wind power. And so by taking that production tax credit, which amounts to about $30 megawatt hour, it's still profitable to be producing, even though there's actually no place for the generation to go. So these wind farms, there's a wind farm located here. These wind farms are generating power just to get the production tax credit. It's not productive in any means. I mean, you could earn money just by parking a truck full of electric toasters here and getting paid $3 per megawatt hour for what you were producing or for where you were consuming. And that's not a very effective use. Now I'm not going to talk about that specifically, but what I would like to talk about are ways in which we can try to eliminate this kind of inefficiency. So that, you know, we don't have circumstances like this where a distance of only about 20 miles has price differences. There are more than $100 megawatt hour and and we have either what we call stranded power or negative prices. Either you could just sort of spill the wind, not not generate any power or you generate power and have negative prices. And that's a function of the network. So the question is, how can we come up with some mechanisms. But before I talk about the mechanisms to try to address these problems I thought I'd go through and talk a little bit about how these markets are constructed. Let's talk about this if you know everything about the electricity market. I apologize, but I'll try to go through and give everybody someone of an introduction. So in most places, it's about 60% of North America. Most of Europe. Many other countries around the world, South America, Asia, Australia, New Zealand, have something called an independent system operator. That example of those prices was this independent system operator called MISA or mid-continent. They coordinate the use of the transmission system, basically the use of the network. And they provide service to the customers, customers being both consumers as well as industrial customers and then securing the power from the generators. So they run this wholesale market for energy for distributors usually here buying electricity from the generators, but going through the independent system operator as operating the market. I'll talk a little bit more about the role of transmission in this but basically the independent system operator is organizing the use of these transmission lines and deciding what generators are going to be generating and how much and ensuring that there's enough generation for each of the consumers that's associated with the network. Okay, so the participants in the network are in the market are the generators and what in electricity is usually called the load entities or the demand. Those would be the consumers or the distributors. And there are also financial participants and the financial participants are there as a means to try to lessen the potential market power that either generators or the load entities might try to exercise. The way the market works is that the buyers and sellers submit bids that the bid is both a quantity and a price, either to buy or sell depending on which side of the market you're on at particular notes or locations along the network. And the independent system operator clears the market by considering these bids but also considering the capacity of the transmission network, as well as the energy that's lost in transmission. The energy loss and transmission is not very great, but the independent system operator still has to consider that and basically balancing the market. But because of the transmission network, it's, it's not just a matter of summing up the supply and demand make sure we're finding out where they cross. They have to solve an optimization model actually to make these determinations because of all the constraints from the transmission. And then they come up with prices. The prices. If you're familiar with these authorization models, they're basically the grunge multipliers in the authorization model. And they are the marginal costs of supplying electricity. An additional amount of electricity at each location. As I said, and my zone particular the many transmission lines are congested and you get these, these wide variations in prices. So the, the way the market works is there, there are two instantiations there's a forward market which is called the day ahead market, because operates 24 hours in advance. And that schedules everything and it basically tells the generators, oh, we want you to produce tomorrow. So what that means is the generators are then able to start up their plants since many of the plants requires some time before the thermal generators in particular, requires some time to be able to actually get to full generation capacity. And then in the real time market they make adjustments. So there's a real time market to make adjustments. And, and then the day ahead market to make commitments. It's also called unit commitment. Ideally, what should happen is that the day ahead market has prices that are the expected value of what you would see in the real time market. And that the only thing the real time market is doing is adjusting in real time. The idea of having the day ahead market is because it's cheaper if you've planned exactly when these plants are going to be operating that it's less expensive if you can plan on it in advance. But because of the network, the congestion in the network actually creates areas in which a single producer or a single consumer. But in particular in these networks, producers, a single producer actually can exercise market power and affect what the prices. And in fact, there's a big incentive for generators to withhold the amount that they put into that market. In the day and relative to the real time I'll show you basically what that means. So here's the quantity say that they're offering that's on this y axis. And here might be the price that they would receive in the market.  They call the residual demand curve represents what price they would receive if they produced or offered a given quantity. There's one incentive to offer a lower quantity. So this, this red line here first month's a lower quantity in the day ahead market. And then what they'll receive in the day ahead market is this price that's here so they'll receive a high, high price in the day ahead market. However, they're actually able to produce a lot more. So by offering this, this smaller quantity in the day ahead market. And what they can do is then later in the real time market. They offer a higher quantity. And now they'll receive this different price in the real time market. They received in the, in the day ahead market. So by offering this additional, this additional quantity, they'll receive this price, they'll be able to get this amount of revenue. So they'll get their revenue from day at market plus extra revenue from the real time market. So there's an incentive again for them to withhold in the day ahead market, get a higher price and then have higher quantities in the real time market when the real time market has lower prices. Now, we might, you might wonder, well, can that really process if everyone's, if they're not able to exercise market power, then this disadvantage should go away and these two prices should end up the same. But what we see is actually they, they don't. This is the cumulative difference between day ahead price and real time price in the my so market. Again, this was some years ago, before they changed their, their market rules. But effectively what this says is, if you sold power in the day ahead market, got the high price, and bought it back in the real time market, you would make the difference in these two between those two prices. And your portfolio would be growing like this curve. This, if this was something like a stock investment, I think it has a sharp ratio of something like 150 where the market generally has a sharp ratio of 0.4. So this, this was, it looks like kind of a no lose bet if you could enter into these markets. In fact, there was a way to enter in these markets, they allowed financial participation. So, a pure financial participant in this market should have been able to realize a curve like this and as I said, that's like an investment with this enormous return relative to very little risk. So that seems like almost, well, it seems like too good to be true. If this money is sort of sitting on the table, why aren't people entering into this market. Yeah, so as I said that what you might expect is maybe that the consumer side that the demand side should be adjusting their load but they're often, they're often regulated. And they have steep penalties if they don't meet the demand. In other words, they're representing consumers like retail consumers. And there may be very high, high penalties if they're not able to meet the demand. So, so there's little fact in terms of actual physical adjustments in terms of demand. But as I said, there are these financial bidders, they could enter the market either on the demand or the supply side. And it seems like what they should be doing is entering on the supply side. In other words, trying to sell electricity at the high price in the day had market, and then buying it back in the real time market and making that difference. As I showed in that curve. However, I'll just mention this now and then then I'll talk about why it's problematic. Not only can they enter the energy market, there's another market for transmission and the transmission market behaves a little bit differently. But let's look at what actually happened with these markets. So here are the number of bids that were placed by virtual bidders by these financial traders, either on the supply side, or on the demand side. So the blue dots correspond to the number of bids on the supply side. And the red dots correspond to the amounts that are bid on the demand side over this over that same period of time. So as I said what what we might think should happen is that people should be bidding supply. They're going to trade in the day had market and then buying back in the real time market, but instead they're doing the opposite. The red dots are a lot higher than the, than the blue dots. It looks like the financial participants are doing the opposite of what would be expected to try to make this market more efficient and decrease the market power of these generators. Okay, so. So the first thing is to try to understand why, why this might be going on. And the least, to some extent, I think it's explained by what are called financial transmission right so as I said there's this other market for transmission. And it's usually represented here by these financial transmission rights and what this financial transmission right, let's say for a line that can has a capacity of 100 megawatts. And when you, when you own that right or when, when you buy it, then you're paid the difference in the prices between the two locations because the my so is collecting additional funds in place a but it's paying for it maybe through the transmission in place B. So my so is collecting an additional amount, and this infant system operators, and this owning the transmission rights means that you receive that that difference. So let's let's imagine a situation in which the transmission is binding and let's say that prices are in a or $20 megawatt hour and in be their $30 megawatt hour. So we expect the real time prices to be lower. So we would expect someone to try to offer additional supply here to bring price down to try to take advantage of that, let's say that $30 to $28 swing in place be but instead what happens is we see an additional demand bed at, at be so in other words someone says well I'd like to purchase additional power at be was you purchase additional power that's going to require another resource which is more expensive. And that raises the price. Let's say that raised the price from $30 megawatt hour to $40 megawatt hour. What that means is the owner of the financial transmission right now earns an additional $40 at be compared to $30 at be, and they earn it on all 100 of the megawatts of transmission that they have the right for. So they'll earn it an additional $1000. That bed only loses on this one megawatt. What you lose on the bed is the difference between the real time price and the day ahead price. So they lose $12, but they gain $1000. So, there's a huge incentive then for the virtual traders. To try to manipulate the energy market, because of their investments that they have in the transmission. So, the fact that these marks are not integrated is, is again, one of the issues that creates some kind of inefficiency. The other thing that happens is this, what what can happen because of that is that in the day and mark we have commitment and the commitment involves minimum run times. And having to deal with turning units on and off. So you'd like to run that that initial auction in such a way that that's done in an optimal manner. But if there are these additional forces that are increasing demand artificially say that can lead to inefficiency by having more generators on. The other thing it leads to is non convexity and I'll just mention that briefly. And this is a little example of say three generators. Here's generator one every time I turn on it costs 50 this one costs 300 this one costs 100. These two have some minimum one capability so many many thermal generators have to run it at some minimum level. And then different costs that are associated with it. Because of that, you're showing, as you increase the amount of generation. What's the total cost and then what's the marginal cost. And what happens is that the marginal cost actually changes substantially. So if I marginal cost that low as another generator comes on, then maybe it goes back to high for the next one, then low again as as an additional generator comes on. And then it has these periods in which it can go from very low to very high and back again there are ways in which we might be able to get around it I've sort of drawn in possible way here. In general, this has these these non monotonic issues, which also can create inefficiencies. In this case, the marginal cost themselves might not cover all of the cause for production and so there have to be some sort of charges that are spread through the market and so the market has to adjust by having additional charges for everybody who's generating. And then there's additional incentives for for generators to exercise market power to to reduce their outputs that they can increase their marginal costs and increase and increase the marginal costs and then increase the amount that they receive from the market. Now the other issue which I want to try to deal with is that there is a lot of uncertainty associated with supplies I said is also associated with demand. So if I think of the residual demand is like the load minus whatever is provided by the renewables. There's there's absolutely no way that this day ahead market that's just based on bids and then run like traditional auction assuming that production will be exactly equal to those quantities. There's no way that that market actually can reproduce what will happen in terms of both price and quantity. Because the price the marginal cost basically is convex it's it's increasing as the generation or the output increases. That means that if I look at the price as a function of the quantity it's this convex curve here. And then I fix the quantity and look at the expected price is going to be higher than whatever is right along the curve. So the, the way the market is cleared is going to be along, let's say that blue line. But the expectation is somewhere inside. It's inside the convex hall of that blue line. It's somewhere inside. And so if I try to match the quantity, the expected price is always going to be higher than whatever I have in, let's say the day ahead market. If I try to match the expected price, then the quantity will be higher than whatever I have in the day ahead market. These, these markets actually can never match both the price and quantity. And the main reason for having them was that we wanted to have sufficient quantity. If we end up matching on price well we'll have sufficient but we're actually going to be paying more than than we actually need. If I match in terms of quantity, then the price is going to be lower than, than what it should be. And that's not going to get enough people to supply. So there's, there's additional kinds of inefficiency because of this uncertainty. I'm just repeating what I said the nonlinearity and the cost implies that matching these expected price and quantities is just not possible in these deterministic models can't do it. So we can include that. And as I said, that's the kind of thing that I've done in my work. Actually run the process assuming that there are generators like wind and solar which are going to be random and assuming that I can represent that randomness effectively than that we can run. We can run that auction with this uncertainty actually included into it. And then the other thing is to allow some kind of flexibility. Particularly for certain kinds of loads, such as data centers. So date data centers are actually represent a large amount of load and someplace that can be about 5% globally it's maybe one or 2% of all electric power consumption. And that basically can be done anywhere. A lot of it for example gets done above the Arctic Circle. Particularly for mining crypto currencies. But, but there are many data centers that are performing tasks for like Google and Amazon or Facebook that are located in the main grid. But those tasks can be performed virtually anywhere and sometimes they can be performed at different times. So the load can be shifted. So allowing flexibility and shifting that load actually can improve these markets substantially as well. And then the third point is to integrate it so that we don't have that incentive to try to manipulate one market to receive additional profits in another. Okay, so I'll just mention about the stochastic unit commitment. This is something I've worked on for quite a while. You can solve these models somewhat efficiently now, at least to the extent that could be used in these bidding processes. We have required generation of many scenarios. We can fairly robust ways to generate scenarios not exactly it's hard to predict wind in a very specific location where there's a wind turbine. But, but we can generate many scenarios of what the wind might be in different locations. So this is the way these models are set up. I minimize the total costs, includes the fuel, the startup, any penalties, I'm not able to actually meet the load. I balance the low balance it or make sure that I don't exceed transmission. I respect the physics and make sure that I stay within the limits of all the different generations. This is mathematically what it would look like. Here's some wind scenarios as I'll just show you this. This is for a small example using one of the toy grids. That's available. This is for the wind generators and then allowing randomness in the wind that's being generated. And then looking at the effect. I'm going to look at the effect actually of doing this two ways. One is how much is it worth if I was able to precisely predict the actual wind generation. But it's worth something in this little model. It's sort of 500 out of a total of 60,000. It's not very much about what less than 1%. But it's certainly certainly a value to know something about the future. But what's interesting is this other concept which I have coined as the value of a stochastic solution, which is how much is it worth to solve this stochastic model versus the deterministic model that's used today. And that value is actually a little bit more than 1%. It's something like when her close to 1.5%. So that's, that's actually quite substantial if you could save 1.5% just doing this. That certainly that's it's worth the computational cost. So what one of the efficiencies could just be just including this model just what how much is the model worth that's it's worth substantially. What happens if I also include these, these flexible loads. And in this case, let's say I have this data center, and it could bid and one of two locations either a or B, let's say there's a load and a load and be there's a transmission capacity between a and B. So I'll allow the data provider to say, Well, I'd like to get this served this delta, but you, the ISO can determine where to place that place that book. So it could either be over here so if the wind let's say the wind is concentrated in a but as higher costs, or it can be over here. So that load actually to be flexible. Then we can get sort of substantial savings. So the way I've worked it out here. If I did the fixed bids, this would be the cost. If I include uncertainty and include the flexible bids, then I get this cost here the gain is I don't need to turn on that expensive plant that was in part a I get some marginal advantage over whatever the minimum run capacity was for the generator in region a and I get additional amounts of wind that I couldn't have used before because I was limited by the transmission. And as well as having already this minimum run capability for the generator in a. So the load at a can can help share the savings and actually it reduces it reduces costs but it also reduces carbon emissions because I'm able to use up all the wind whereas I wouldn't have been able to use all the wind. If I didn't have this. So, these incentives can include some kind of sharing so that there's an incentive there's an additional incentive for like the data center providers to offer flexible loads. The uncertainty. We can can try to ensure that those resources again don't don't try to exercise market power in any way by saying that they face penalties for example then have some charges if they are not able to produce what they what they bid into the market. And I could also include similar charges for those who enter into this market and impose some kind of additional costs on the financial transmission market. So by including surcharges for those as well. I can, I can even increase the amount that I get in terms of efficiency. So there are many things about making this actually work in practice. Particularly if if a generator like one generator has additional information that the ISO doesn't have. How can we ensure that it's incentive compatible for the generator to provide that information. How can we determine exactly how these, these savings might be shared by having these flexible bids, how this could even be greater if you could share across ISOs, and particularly because a lot of these data centers. They don't, they're not physically restricted really in any manner. And so you, if you were able to go across ISOs throughout North America or not even in North America outside. How would you be able to share to make this even more capable. And how can we test this, but so I haven't, haven't done empirical testing. That's one of the things I'm quite interested in, in trying to be able to do. So, to summarize, electricity markets present a lot of challenges. The current market designs create some efficient inefficiencies, and by explicitly including uncertainty and these flexible bids and integrated markets. These inefficiencies can be eliminated and we can increase the use of renewable resources. Okay, so thank you for your attention and hopefully I'll have time for a couple of questions. So put, put your questions in the Q&A. There is already one question there. Yeah, can you see, John, can you see it? I do. Can you see it, John? Yes, okay, it's when you discuss the effects of transmission cans constraints. So it's your slide we have the negative $50 for wind or never negative 30 next to $100. Is this a situation where there's no transmission line? Yeah, so, so effectively, there is transmission. The promise it's all congested. So, so what's happening is where the electricity is being generated. It's already using up all of the transmission, and you're not able to get additional power into that location where the price was spiking more than $100 a megawatt hour. Okay, let's see. Oh, what would be the impact. Yeah, I, I think it's possible. Like my, my little toy example was something like, you know, one 1%. I think the total cost impact could be 2%, which is something in excess of $100 billion a year. So, yeah, and that will be in the United States. So, yeah, the impact I think could be something like 2%, maybe of total electric power cost. And, but a bigger impact in terms of renewables. That's something on the order of 10%, maybe greater renewable usage. Okay, next was, don't we expect a day ahead real time premium due to risk aversion. Yeah. So, there is, there is a little bit of risk aversion and actually when I started to look at that. I thought, oh, that must be yet. It must be risk aversion that's, that's causing this, but the differences are so huge it was $2 over a day. And to have that level of risk aversion. Like 10%. It just didn't make it, it didn't make any sense at all. So it, it really can't be easily explained by risk aversion. So the fundamental role of FDR is hedging against congestion. That people often lose on FDR doesn't seem surprising. Can you explain how this is evidence of market power. So the evidence of market power is more about about how those the day ahead prices are being pushed in the opposite direction from real time prices. And, and how that's benefiting the people with financial transmission rights. We in a study, I have a paper that talks about this with Ignacio Mercadal, Holly Hortaciu and Mike Pavlin. And what we found and looking at the myso data are some of these examples where actually the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission for actually did discover that people were doing this deliberately. So that paper goes into about kind of the evidence for this. And the model. Okay, so that the, the generation scenarios that I showed. Those are, those were predictions from models from Argonne. Some of my colleagues at Argonne National Laboratories. Now they're very precise so they, they will model when conditions within, you know, sort of the few square meter kind of areas so that they can get precise when condition predictions at different points in time. Exactly at a wind turbine. And then they generate these, these scenarios. So, so those were scenarios that were generated by that, by that Argonne model. After you are be synthesized. You could the by buying and selling power in different locations with virtual bits and thank you Bob for the question. So, yeah, that's, yeah, that it's possible but you have to you'd have to leverage to the, to the total capacity of the FTR, which is, which is, what to do so it, it's because the price is changing in a nonlinear manner. That's that's a little bit harder to do. And then the next one. If power generation forecast include information on their own uncertainty, could that be useful in classifying the magnitude of certainty. Yeah, so, yeah, that's kind of I was leading to at the end. How can you extract that uncertainty and what the wind generators might might be might be considering. I mean they they know something about local conditions that that the ISO might might not know. That could be a value so yes that could help in terms of in terms of classification here. Okay. I don't know if we have a the ability to have an applause can to pause here but we should. Thank you very much. Thank you Charlie think thank you everyone for for having me. And addressing other issues. I don't have any other issues. Yeah, and I would like to thank the Professor Jones for this wonderful presentation. Does anyone have any last minute question. Thank you so much for taking time out of your day and being here to offer this great seminar. Thank you. Thanks for here. All right. Okay, thank you very much. Thank you everyone. Thank you.


The good news that a player has to share is Masahiro Tanaka in the wake of him taking that line drive off his head yesterday. Right, John Carlo Stanton hits it, Tanaka goes down. And Bob, he was down for three and a half minutes. He was on his side, medical personnel attending to him. Within five minutes, he was up and the Yankees reported that he seemed alert, but then the Yankees gave good news on him last night. CT scan was negative. He had had some concussion symptoms. Aaron Boone said those has waned as well. But Bob, when that first happens, to quote Aaron Boone, he said, you're thinking about a guy's life.  Going back and watching the tape and watching Tanaka, he was throwing fastballs to batters and wasn't finding his location with them. That was a soft cement mixer slider to Stanton that did nothing. Bob, that ball didn't break at all, so it's basically a BP fastball and Stanton crushed it. Yankees are fortunate. Boone, by the way, said he checked with Stanton as well, seemed like he was okay. And as we pointed this out yesterday, he was just doing his job. He's out there, he's got to get his swings in, especially in this abbreviated camp. No one hits a baseball harder than John Carlo Stanton, and you're right, as he's ramping up to try to get ready for the season, the Yankees aren't going to tell their hitters. Oh, by the way, take it easy today. That was a simulated game. There was talk about the L screen. Tanaka had that option. He told the Yankees he didn't want to pitch with that. Remember, our John Flaherty brought this up yesterday. When you talk about Tanaka, he has a pitcher who really extends. He really gets that left foot out, brings his arm through. Sometimes that L screen is a hindrance. It's a distraction. He didn't want it. I don't think he seemed like he was in his best mode yesterday, Bob. That's why I talked about those fastballs missing their locations. That one slider is one that gets hit. But for the Yankees, this is a fortunate day because they can talk about Tanaka being back. He'll be in the concussion protocol, Boone said. But they do have good hopes and high hopes for him to be a pitcher for them, obviously, this season. All right, so after he checked out of the hospital last night, Tanaka took to Twitter and said, I appreciate all the support. I feel it a bit right now, but I'm all good. Going to try to get back on the mound as soon as possible. Thanks again for all the encouraging words. So again, that's a story we'll keep an eye on. In the meantime, another part of the Yankee story was two guys who are still not in camp. That's DJ LeMayhew and Louis Sessa, both prior to getting to New York at their homes, tested positive for COVID-19. LeMayhew appears to be asymptomatic. Sessa feels a few of the effects. So what's next for them? Well, when that occurs, Bob, according to the manual that every team has and every player has, and it's more than 100 pages, is they have to self-isolate. And there are six requirements, once you have tested positive, that you have to pass in order to be able to travel, in order to be able to rejoin your team. A couple of those are you have to test negative twice. And those negative tests have to be more than 24 hours apart. You also have to go at least 72 hours where you don't have a fever and you can't be using any medication to bring your fever down. Obviously, your team physician also has to examine you and give you that clearance. So the Yankees will be waiting on both of those players, LeMayhew and Sessa, Boone revealing that yesterday, Boone not thinking that either was a serious case, but when you have it, you have to follow all the protocols. And Bob, this is Baseball 2020. We talked about how that 1.2% was a positive number for Major League Baseball. But if you're one of the players who test positive and you're in that 1%, you wanna get as healthy as possible as quickly as possible.


Hey girl friends, I'm Bianca Renee and you're watching Bianca Renee Today and today is the last Sunday of 2019. That's crazy, this year literally flew by but a lot has happened this year.  He's growing and he's growing fast. If you did not know that I'm pregnant, I don't know where you've been all year. Now since we are at the end of 2019, I thought it'd be a good time to do a little recap of all my favorite products of 2019, from hair care to skincare to makeup to things I'm gonna continue using in 2020. So let's start off with hair products. I actually got two new favorite hair products in 2019. Starting with the Not Your Mothers curl talk mousse. Technically the curl talk line was launched in the end of 2018, but the relaunch of the silicone free mousse was 2019 and I reviewed this in February and that is when I fell in love and this is literally top one or two favorite stylers of all time. Like you guys know I'm a gel girl but this mousse changed my life. It's great for wavy hair, curly hair, fine hair, gives you volume, drives pretty fast, silicone free, paraben free, sulfate free, super affordable. I'm talking like seven bucks, readily available and it's just, it's probably what I used all year long. Another amazing curly hair product that became one of my favorites this year is the very new Curl Smith in shower style fixer. This is Curl Smith Super Hold Extreme Hold gel for curly hair and you applied on soaking wet hair and this gave me amazing results and even amazing day one curl. So this is probably my favorite new gel that launched in 2019. So these two were great additions to my year. Another thing that happened in 2019 was that I did the rice water rinse challenge. For you guys that were around let's subscribe if not you should subscribe now. Early this year I did a whole, what I do, like at least four weeks of rice water rinse video challenges but I really did not enjoy that. But fortunately this year Curl Smith also launched a super slip prebiotic primer that has rice water in it. So I was very excited to see that I can get my rice water benefits without having to do the actual rice water rinse all over again. So this has been really cool to have a product with rice water in it. Honestly the whole new Curl Smith line for your scalp I was very impressed with this year as well as them releasing two new deep conditioners and these are great additions to my mass collection. My favorite probably smelling an affordable mass of this year this might not even be a 2019 thing but it's something that I used a lot in 2019 is the Not Your Mothers matcha green tea wild apple blossom hair mask.  These are great and super affordable. Another kind of random hair product that I learned about in 2019 is dry shampoo. I never knew the dry shampoo could be used for curly hair I thought it was for straight hair but dry shampoo is amazing for volume uncurly hair. I use this on like day one curls when it just won't give me any lift. It kind of gives like your roots a little bit of grip and it keeps everything up and I fell in love with this IGK first class charcoal detox dry shampoo which is silicone free it's kind of hard to find a silicone free dry shampoo but this one was the game changer this year. And my last curly hair product that really I don't even know if it made an appearance on my channel but I did use it a lot this year is the main choice exotic Kool-Aid mellow melon and nectarine melted shine oil. This shine spray smells amazing and actually makes your hair look shiny. Some shine sprays make your hair look like greasy and they smell weird but this one actually made a difference and I loved it. So this was another frequent used product in 2019. Now let's talk about hair accessories. Another main choice favorite is these main choice crocodile clips. I got these clips in a PR package and I love them.  So these main choice clips or clutch. I also use my goodie Outchless Forever bands. This might not be a 2019 thing either but it's the only hair ties that I use period. Like I don't have time for my ponytails to be popping all over the place. Goodie Forever Outchless bands. These don't pop. They don't break. I repeat these have never popped on me before. You know that's a curly hair problem. So these are the only scrunchies that I use and I probably will never switch. And one of the greatest curly hair finds of 2019 is definitely the Be Hairful brush. I did a full video on this recently. I did a giveaway on it recently and this brush is hands down the best to tangling brush I have ever used. In my video I even compare it to other brushes and it's pretty much undefeated at least for me. So this Be Hairful brush was a great addition to my 2019. I will continue to use it in 2020 probably the rest of my life. Especially on my soon to be child. I do have a promo code. Hopefully it's still active whenever you watch this video so I will link it below in the description box. You guys can save some money. Now let's move on to makeup. My favorite foundation of 2019 would be the Too Faced Peach Perfect Comfort Matte Foundation. This is one of if not the best foundation for oily skin. I have extremely oily skin and this foundation keeps me matte all day long and it smells great, oil-free, 14 hour wear, oil controlling, photo friendly and all that is true. And I also used it with the Too Faced Primer which I liked as well. As you could see it's running pretty low. But since it doesn't really like an affordable foundation I had to kinda chill out and make sure I don't use it every day so I don't run out. And I started using the new Juvia Place Foundation Sticks. This is the color Dominicana and this has been a really great like easy go-to every day foundation when I don't wanna use my expensive stuff and it's actually what I have on now. My favorite lipstick of 2019 is not actually what I have on right now but it's by Real Her. This is the color I am adaptable. This is my favorite red of 2019. You guys have probably seen me wear it on Instagram. If you guys don't follow me, follow me now. But this red is like the perfect red. It lasts all day long. It doesn't smudge. This is like when you could wear to Disneyland from the beginning of the day till the end you could eat your Cheeros, you could have your Dole Whip and it won't get messed up. A new liner that I got this year is by Profusion. This is Profusion's Wing It Super Fine Eyeliner which is what I use today for my wings. As some of you may know, I only use the NYX Cosmetics Winged Liquid Liner and then I also use the Swing by the Balm. But this is a very affordable, amazing, very pigmented liquid liner that I have been using towards the end of 2019 when I got it. And I'm very picky about my liquid eyeliners. This one's been great. Another Profusion must that I legit use probably every day this year is my Profusion CNS palette. As you could see by how grimy it looks, that's how much I used it every day. Like look, this one has hit pan and it just has like all the most beautiful brown, neutral, copper colors that I use every day. And this is probably under 10 bucks. Like sold at Target. I love how affordable Profusion is and I use her stuff all the time. When it comes to skincare, not much has changed. I'm still using my products from Mary Scott Skincare including her Sunshine Cleanser. I use her Mandelic Acid and I also use her Soul for Acne Lotion. I use these every day at night when I go to bed. My favorite daily moisturizer of 2019 is Derma-E's Vitamin C Renewing Moisturizer. Me and my husband Royce use this every morning. He actually probably uses it more than me. That's why we've used probably three bottles this year. And this one is now empty too because he likes to take my things. But this has been a great every day moisturizer. And a really good like thicker moisturizer is probably better as a night cream that I've been using is by Urban Skin RX. This is their Hydra Balance Instant Moisture Infusion. It's like a very thicker cream, very moisturizing moisturizer. Very moisturizing moisturizer, go figure. But yeah, I've been loving this one as well.  You guys saw me use it in a previous video and that is probably my favorite face mask of 2019.  It's exfoliating and yeah, get that for show. So I think those are all my legit favorite products from 2019. I feel like I reviewed so many things this year, but these are the products that really stood out for me and that I'm gonna continue to use forever. Now since we are approaching the end of the year, you guys know what that means. It's almost time for me to launch my next year's challenge. If you're new to my channel, every year I start a challenge for you to continue throughout the whole year. First time was a no heat challenge where I challenge you guys not to straighten your hair for a year. Then I did the deep conditioning challenge where I challenge you guys to deep condition your hair once a week.  So this is what I'm gonna need from you. I need three photos. I need the first photo to be a picture of your hair before where it had all those damaged straight pieces that wouldn't curl back.  Let me know when you big chopped this year, was it January, was it the middle of the year, was it yesterday? Let me know when and show me how you look with your new big chop.  So that's three photos.  And you just might make it in my next 2020 video of all of my amazing big choppers.  And it might've been a very emotional thing for you, but I'm looking for real big chops. I'm talking like one inch, two inch, or if your hair is longer, maybe you did like five inches or more. I don't know. I'll need to see the pictures, but if you cut off a significant amount of your hair due to heat damage or color damage, or maybe just a fresh start, I wanna see your progress throughout the year. So I'm gonna show everybody how amazing their hair could look if they would be just as brave as you. So the best way to send me photos is gonna be on Instagram at MsBeyondGrenet, DM me your photos and I might just put you in my 2020 challenge video when I announce the 2020 challenge, which I already know all of you are gonna wanna join next year. If you absolutely positively don't have Instagram, but you wanna send me your photos, you can email me at Bianca Renee events at gmail.com. I'll link all this information below in the description box, but I can't wait to see your progress. So now I wanna know what were your favorite products of 2019 and how many of them did you buy because of me? Leave a comment down below and let me know. Make sure you hit that subscribe button and the bell so you know to find us soon as I post a new video. I post new videos every week and you get an additional video on my new channel which is called R&BFam, which is a new family channel that my husband and I started to document. Our whole pregnancy, baby journey, we got vlogs, we're gonna have kid product reviews, strollers, things you need to know before and after you get pregnant, and we just got a lot of content going on all over the place. So subscribe to R&BFam, subscribe to Bianca Renee today, follow me on Instagram at nizbiancarenna and I hope to see you guys next week or next year. Happy new year everyone and thanks for watching Bianca Renee today.


J-E-S-L-L-O! The Jell-O program starring Jack Benny with Mary Livingston and Phil Harris in his orchestra. The orchestra opens a program with I Love to Whistle from Mad About Music. All of us are running a race with a clock, a hundred things to do and so few hours in which to do them. Well here's one good way to save time and save money too and that's to serve Jell-O often. For Jell-O is delightfully simple to prepare. It takes only a moment to dissolve and it's quick setting. You can put a mold of Jell-O in the refrigerator before you go out shopping in the morning and take out a delicious dessert at lunchtime. And a Jell-O is one of the most inexpensive desserts you can serve for a package costs only a few cents. No matter which flavor you choose, you can be sure of an easy, economical and detractive dessert every time. For Jell-O brings you that delicious extra rich fruit flavor that rivals the fresh fruit itself. So be sure to insist on genuine Jell-O when you buy and buy it often, serve it often. For Jell-O is a grand dessert. That was I Love to Whistle played by Phil Harris in his orchestra. And now, ladies and gentlemen, we bring you... Hold it a minute, Don. How about letting me introduce myself tonight just for a change? You know, something different. Oh, sure, Jack. But what's the idea?  Now, I think there ought to be a little more dignity to these introductions. Oh, all right, Jack. All right, you take it. That was I Love to Whistle played by Phil Harris in his orchestra.  That sparkling personality and all-around good fella, Jack Bennett. Thanks, Jack. It's all right, kid. You deserve it. You see, Don, an introduction like that gives me the right kind of a build-up so that I can carry on with a feeling of confidence. Yes, but Jack, I could have introduced you the same way. I know, Don, but I sound more sincere. You know, it rings true. Yes, but it also sounds a little egotistical, doesn't it? Oh, I don't know. I think Don's right, Jack. It sounded pretty conceited to me. You don't say, Phil. Yes, bragging like that isn't very bad taste. Now, if my orchestra just finished the number, I personally would never turn around and say it was great. No, Phil, neither would anyone else. With that gang of cadenza butchers, you ought to be glad to be working at all. Listen, Jack, it's your own fault. When I was hired for this job, you said you wanted me and 17 men. You didn't specify musicians.  Well, so was Robin Hood, but he didn't have to worry about music. Anyway, it's a fine bunch of boys you've got.  Well, they thought you were through with it. I nearly killed that for you, didn't I? Oh, well. And incidentally, now that we're discussing my job, I'm getting pretty tired of matching you double or nothing for my salary every week. Don't blame me, Phil, if you're unlucky matching coins. Well, it's been going on for eight weeks. There's something funny about it. Oh, no, there isn't. You stand just as much chance as I do, so let's forget it. Oh, hello, Mary. Hello, Jack. What's the trouble now? Oh, the same thing. Phil's beefing as usual. I never saw such a guy. Ain't it the truth? Yeah. Say, Jack. What is it? It's the dollar of yours. What half dollar? You know, the one with the two heads on it. Mary. Oh, I get it. A crooked half dollar. All right, wise guy, you cheated me out of eight weeks' salary. Now listen, Phil, don't get hasty. Why, you... Now, wait a minute. This may sound fishy, but if you want to know something, I've been saving that money for you. Jack's building a new house, too. Quiet. Of course I'm building a house, but it's my own money. I'll see it. I've got two beautiful coconut palm trees right in front, and it's all mine, not Phil's. Just the same. I'll bet the coconuts have wavy hair. Now, you're just trying to be funny. Well, that's fine. The house that my Jack built. Now, wait a minute, Phil. Yeah, I didn't know that was going to get that you laugh there. Now, Phil, look, let me ask you something. You've known me a long time, haven't you? Yes, I have, Jack. Well, do you think for one minute I would ever stoop as low as to cheat you out of your hard-earned money? Definitely. Now, that's gratitude for you. Gratitude? Why should you want to save my money for me? Because you're always throwing it away. What are you going to have when you get old? Rheumatism, the same as you. The smart answer, Phil, but I haven't got rheumatism. Gee, do you always groan when you walk? Listen, Mary, the only time you ever heard me groan was yesterday when I had my shoes on the wrong feet. Well, how'd you happen to do that, Jack? Oh, I don't know. I must have had my legs crossed when I put them on. Not meaning to change the subject, Jack, but what about that dough you owe me? Well, Phil, I don't want to have to prove my honesty, but as long as you're so suspicious, here's a bank book with your name on it. Here, take it and keep it. It's the last time I'll ever try to help anybody. Gee, how did I know you owe me that? Oh, don't apologize. Go ahead and play a number. We'll forget about it. Okay. Can you imagine that, Mary? That's appreciation for you. Well, Jack, let me ask you something. Do you save your money? Yes, I do. Save it. Jack even carries it around with him. Oh, Mary, I do not. Then what's that big lump in your sock? That's my long underwear. Well, it's got Lincoln's picture on it. The fine thing, Mary, giving away my hiding place. Now I'll have to get a burglar alarm for my garter. Why don't you keep your money in the bank? Because it's none of your business. See, I've had just about enough from you, Mary Livingston, of all the meddling, busy bodies. Oh, Jack, Jack, please, remember, this is my anniversary. That was last week. Play, Phil. No wonder I'm not an sanitary. See, Doodle played by Phil Harris and his orchestra. And now, ladies and gentlemen, as we have a long play tonight, without further ado... Say, Jack, I was just looking over this bank book. Are you sure there's eight weeks' salary here? Yes, there is. Well, one deposit is 15 cents short. All right, so I had an ice cream soda. It doesn't hurt you to treat your business manager once in a while. Here, here's your 15 cents. Oh, that's all right. I just thought I'd mention it. Oh, no, no. Here's your 15 cents. Take it. No, Jack, you keep it. Nothing to do, Phil. Here, take it. Don't be silly. Keep it. Jack's gonna win, folk. Stay out of this, Mary. You caused enough trouble for one night. Oh, Jack, look at Kenny over there. I wonder what's the matter with you? Where? Oh, hello, Kenny. Hello, Jack. What's wrong? Oh, nothing. Well, don't stand there like a pallbearer. What's the matter with you? Well, last Thursday night they gave out the Academy Award for the best movie actor, and I didn't get it. No, there's a shock. Who did get the award, Kenny? Oh, some guy named Tracy. Tracy? Well, that's Spencer Tracy, and he deserves it. You've only been in pictures a short time, Kenny. What do you expect? Well... Well, I've been in pictures for years. I didn't win the award. You couldn't win it when it was on a punch board. I'm not talking to you. Anyway, Kenny, don't worry about it. Your time will come. It better. You know, I'm the one who should really be upset about the award. I just missed it by a hair. Gosh, I missed it by a hair last year, too. You'll have to miss it by something else pretty soon. No, I don't know. Let me tell you something, Kenny. You have to have a great dramatic part to be eligible for such a high honor. Well, what about that great scene I had in the Golden Follies? The Golden Follies? Yes, you know, that big scene in the lunch wagon where I was eating all those hamburgers. Kenny, you can't get an Academy Award for eating hamburgers. You can't? No. Well, this is a fine country. No, I don't know why I waste my time explaining anything here. You know, Jack, I always thought you did a swell job in pictures. How come you've never been honored with an Academy Award? Well, Don, there's a lot in the part you play. Now, if I'd have been cast in Captain's Courageous, like Spencer Tracy, I'd have had a good chance. You know, a story of the sea gives you a great opportunity for dramatic acting. Well, if you're so confident, why didn't you go over to MGM and try to get the part? I did try. I walked up and down in front of that studio for a month with a sailor suit on. If they can't take a hint, what can I do?  Silly, it was embarrassing. The restaurant next door thought I was picketing their navy bean soup. Oh, well, all we can do is try. We must never be discouraged. And now, folks, we... Come in. Mr. Benny? Yes? I want to take this opportunity of congratulating you on winning the Academy Award. Thank you very much, but I didn't win. Gee, you ought to get a new jockey. Goodbye. That guy. He comes in here once more. I'll put sneeze powder in his bubble gum. Whatever that'll do. And now, ladies and gentlemen, for our feature attraction tonight, the Benny Little Theater Movement will present an original courtroom melodrama entitled Death in the Night Club, or Sally, Irene, and Murder. I thought that picture was Sally, Irene, and Mary. Don't forget, Fred Allen's in it. Now, uh... Fred wasn't listening in, I'll scream. Now, on the night of February 16th, Mr. Hamilton J. Vance, a Wall Street broker, was murdered in the Hatsi Tatsi Night Club. Mr. Vance was just about to finish his dinner when somebody served him a lead demi-task. Who killed him? I'm coming to that. A notorious gangster known as three tonsil divine. Alias Scarvoice Andy was suspected and immediately placed under arrest, but denied any connection with the crime. I didn't do it. I didn't do it. That remains to be seen, Andy, and hello. Hiya, buck. I will play the part of Fearless John Benny, a district attorney who has just sent more people up the river than the Albany Night Club. Kenny Baker will be my assistant, which is at least two strikes. And Don Wilson will be the attorney for the defense. Say, Jackie, am I going to be in this? Oh, sure, Phil. You can play the part of the orchestra leader of the Hatsi Tatsi Club. Why can't I be the victim so I can lay down?  You'll be the orchestra leader and I'll get you a windshield wiper for a baton so you won't have to wave it. All right, the first number will be singing in the rain. Oh, shush. What am I going to be, Jack? Well, Mary, you're going to play a double role. First, my sweet little secretary, Millicent Livingston. Ready? Uh, would you like to sign these letters, Mr. Benny? That's very good. And second, that of a hard-boiled nightclub dancer, Gertie Lasstrip. Try that one. Lay off me a third degree and write or let you have it, say?  But, Mary, don't play it quite so tough.  I want something between Shirley Temple and a lady cab driver. And now, folks, for our courtroom murder drama, we'll go on immediately after Kenny Baker's song. What are you going to sing, Kenny? Sweet is a song, and I dedicate it to the women of America. All of them?  Mary, help me stack up these law books when you're kid. This is heaven caressing, pressing you close to my heart. Darling, yours very few. This is heaven so near to you. I'm in love and I'm making it clear to you. Don't you please believe me when I say, Sweet has a star. Are you possessed all of war? I will always be like the queen's harmony of sweet and love. Sweet has a star. You're a lovely reprise of me. Sweet is a song sung by Kenny Baker. And now, ladies and gentlemen... Hey, wait a minute. How was that? Very good, Kenny. And now, ladies and gentlemen... Thanks. Quiet. We will present our dramatic highlight, Death in the Night Club. The scene opens in the office of the district attorney, Fearless John Benny. It is the last day of the big cry of three tonsile divine, and Benny is making last-minute preparations before entering the courtroom. Curtain may use it. Wellness Livingston, I think I'm ready. Now, let's see. Here's the gun, that's exhibit A. There's the bullet, exhibit B. What's this awful looking thing here? That's your lunch, exhibit C. There's the phone, D.A. Well, get off my lap and answer it. Okay. Hello? Yes. Yes, all right, I'll tell him. Goodbye. Who is that? Your wife. Oh, my wife, A. What does she want? He says, if you don't get rid of me, she's gonna black your exhibit I. Well, I can't worry about her. I got this trial on my mind. Have you got those notes that you took at the coroner's inquest? Yes, sir. Well, read them to me. It says that since the corpus delectae was found in a state of rigor mortis, it's a clear case of non-composementis. It's so fast, though, and too wet. Oh, too wet, A. That'll hang them. Who's there? Kenny Baker, exhibit me. Oh, come in. Well, Baker, did you get those fingerprints I sent you out for? No, but, oh, boy, have I got a clue. What'd you find out? Well, I was up at the Hotzy Totsy Club snooping around, and the head waiter came over and gave me a kick in the pants. Gave you a kick in the pants? What does that have to do with this case? Well, at least we got footprints. That's fine evidence. Well, come on, Baker. We got work to do. And in less than three hours, that jury will bring in a verdict of guilty or ma name ain't Fearless John. Peanuts, popcorns, and hot dogs can't enjoy this quiet without a hot dog. Hear ye, hear ye. This court is now in session. Judge Schlepperman presiding. Everybody rise. Hello, everybody. Sit down and be quiet, please. We will now continue with the case of the state versus the wine. Shall we proceed, gentlemen? The defense is ready, Your Honor. The state is ready, Your Honor. That's fine.  Now as my first witness, I'd like to call the orchestra leader of the Hotzy Totsy Club to the stand. Mr. Corny Harris. Swear, Mr. Harris, in. Do you swear to tell the truth, the whole truth, and nothing but the truth? Yeah, man. Now, Mr. Harris, how long have you and your orchestra been playing at the Hotzy Totsy Club? 12 years, but for the last six we've been wanting to leave. Well, why didn't you? We can't get the bass drum through the door. 12 years in one place, eh? What's the name of your orchestra? Corny Harris and his stationery gypsies. I see. Now listen, Corny. You and the defendant, free tonsil divine, are very, very good friends. Are you not? I object. The objection is kosher. All right, then I'll put it this way. Harris, how long have you known the defendant, free tonsil divine? I object. Kenny, you're on my side. Oh. He objects. Objection overlooked. Now answer this. How long have you known the defendant, free tonsil divine? Stop yelling or give me back my 15 cents.  Uh, Mr. Harris, I'd like to ask you just one question. Yes, sir? Where do you have your hair done? Pee-pee's beauty shopping. I object. Your honor, Pee-pee's beauty shop is irrelevant in material and advertising. Quiet, I'm Pee-pee. Oh, I see, a sideline. No more questions. Cow porn, peanuts and programs. Can't tell the district attorney from a crook without a program. Your honor, the state would now like to call on the dancer at the Hotsie-Totsie Club, Miss Gertie Loss Strip. Ah, now they're getting someplace. Take the stand, Miss Loss Strip. You'll swear to tell the truth, the whole truth by nothing but the truth.  I'm with a husband today.  Is that right? Yes. Do you mind if I take off my hat? No. And on the night of the murder... Do you mind if I take off my coat? No. And on the night of the murder, you were dancing, weren't you? Do you mind if I take off my hat? Yes, I do. Please, let her alone. It's warm in here. It's a fine judge. Now, Miss Loss Strip, where do you live? At the Marseille. What's the address? 33 West 52nd Street. What's your apartment? I haven't said get to the phone number, please. All right, what's your phone number, Miss Loss Strip? Gladstone 2875. Where'd you get that number, Baker? I want it in a raffle. And now, Miss Loss Strip, tell us in your own words what happened on the night of the murder. Well, then, when a man came in with a gun and fired a shot at Mr. Van. Well, I could have died. Mr. Van said. Well, you saw the murder. How many times was Van shot? Yes, Van. Van, say? And where was he shot? In the pond. I see. Van's was shot Vance in the pond. That'll be all, Miss Loss Strip.  Baker. Now, Miss Loss Strip, on the night of the murder, you had dinner at the Hotsie-Totsie Club, didn't you? Yes, ma'am. And you had a dessert, didn't you? Well, I... Come clean now. What did you have for dessert? Yellow, because it's the most delicious dessert in America today. I thought so. Now, what flavor did you have? That night I had strawberry. No, no, it was raspberry. No, now, wait a minute. I think it was cherry. Are you sure it wasn't orange or lemon? No, I remember it was lime. Ha-ha! I knew you'd crack. It's lucky we haven't got a jury of sliced bananas. No more questions, Miss Loss Strip. Thank you. Goodbye, Your Honor. Goodbye, nothing. I'll see the things.  Swear in the defensive, please. Do you swear to tell the truth, the whole truth, and nothing but the truth? No, sir, I don't. Oh, come on. No, sir! Or do it for me, will you, Andy? Oh, no, if I tell the truth, you'll hang me.  There's an electric chair in this state. Well, you better put rockers on it. I'm old-fashioned. I'll have to question you anyway. Now, listen, three tonsiles. You were in the Hotsie-Totsie Club on the night of the murder, weren't you? Yes, sir. I went up to see Ma. She's a chorus girl there. You're Ma, a chorus girl? Yes, Nate Hips divine. All right, then tell me this.  That won't sway the jury. Now, tell me, you hated Hamels in advance, didn't you? No, I didn't. You were seen leaving the Hotsie-Totsie Club with a gun in your hand? So what are you stalling for?  You're going to burn. You're going to sizzle. Gosh! You haven't got a chance to bind, so you might as well confess. You murdered Hamels and Jay Vance. I didn't do it, I tell you. I didn't do it. I can't get anywhere with this guy. I only had some new evidence. Hey, DA, DA. What is it, Baker? I was just out in the hall and I met the bartender from the Hotsie-Totsie Club. You did? Yeah, he saw everything and he wants to talk. At last our key witness. Nice work, Baker. Right this way, Mr. Nazarro. At last I'll cinch this page. Take the stand, Mr. Nazarro. Now, you're the bartender at the Hotsie-Totsie Club. Is that right? Yes, sir, I am. Then tell us exactly what you saw on the night of the murder. Well, I was mixing a scotch and soda and a shot rang out. Yes, yes. So I looked up and raised my feet and forced it to bend and went right in to get myself a stick and went outside the night. I was sitting in the water just waiting for a seat. And I saw it burn.  What was awful?  And then I said, wait, will you talk English? What did you see?  What? Somebody just shot the judge. Hooray, we've got a new case. Play, Phil. Bance was probably a rat anyway. There is something new under the sun and this time it's something new and delicious to eat. It's a special idea for St. Patrick's Day and the gayest dish you've seen in a long time. St. Patrick's Jello Moles. Made with shimmering green lime jello with delicious fruit inside. And here's all you have to do. Dissolve a package of lime jello in hot water and chill until slightly thickened. Then fold in two cups of diced grapefruit, half a cup of diced oranges, and half a cup of canned crushed pineapple. Chill until firm, turn out on a platter and view with pride. A beautiful sea green mold of lime jello with grapefruit, oranges, and pineapple firmly molded inside. And it's tangy taste combination that's delicious and refreshing. Because there's extra rich fruit flavor in jello, believe me, your family will go for this grand St. Patrick's Day dessert. So get ready for the 17th. Order some lime jello tomorrow. This is the last number of the 24th program in the new Jello series, and we'll be with you again next Sunday night at the same time. Well, Mary, you were very good tonight. I thought you played that double role beautifully. And just for that, you're going to get two checks this week. You mean I get double calories? No, I'm just splitting it. Good night, folks. J-E-L-L-O The filmmaker appears on the J-E-L-O program for courtesy of Mervyn Leroy Productions. The tune suite is a song from Sally Irene and Mary. This is while you work this from Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs. This is an actual broadcasting company.


Good morning, everyone. Welcome. We're happy to have everybody out here this morning. This is a great day for the city of Fort Worth for transportation options for vision zero for safety and the next level of incarnation of transportation in the in greater Fort Worth. And we're happy to be here today at really the western side of the region's transit hub to christen and inaugurate our first red bus lane here in the city of Fort Worth. This is actually still considered an experimental treatment by the federal government. But city of Fort Worth regional transportation innovation team of transportation public works worked really hard with transportation management division and trendy metro to get this thing over the the goal line. So it's been even though it just seems like it's paint and it took probably about a couple days to get it done. Guess what? It's actually took a couple years to actually get through some of the red tape. No pun intended. Total pun intended. So we're happy to be here today. This is the first of a pilot of hopefully other innovations that you're going to see in the city trying to make transportation safer, more accessible and reliable, especially when you think about transit in our rapidly growing city and region. So we're really, really fortunate to have such a supportive director, TPW and assistant city manager and really blessed all of us are blessed to have such a supportive council. And with not further ado, I'd like to go and introduce Elizabeth Beck, council member district nine and a fellow planner. So she gets this stuff. Thank you. Well, first of all, let me say good morning. And I really want to start off by thanking everybody that helped make this bus lane possible. So if we could all just give the staff that made this possible a big round of applause for all of your hard work. So we know that our city is expected to grow by about 20,000 people annually. So that means in about five years, we'll have approximately 100,000 new residents here in the city of Fort Worth. And many of them will come right through our intermodal transit center here to catch a bus to travel either to and from downtown or other parts of the city. And as we prepare for that future, we want to make sure that we are providing a safe and reliable system for them to travel on. And what you see here today in this red bus lane is a step towards that future. This red bus lane isn't just paint, and it's not just an experiment, but it is our commitment to provide that reliable service. So we will keep our buses moving. We will keep our pedestrian safer, and we will keep our cars on the road all with some paint that we laid down to make sure that we are getting ahead of the game in our transportation system. The city of Fort Worth will make clear that this is part of the innovation that you will continue to see for years to come across all of our departments, but particularly in TPW as we try to to fit all of those new residents in without creating additional headaches for those of us that love Fort Worth and call it home. So it is my honor to be part of the project that got to literally paint our town red. And so with that, I would like to invite staff to join me as we cut the ribbon of our inaugural red bus lane.