the next in the next lecture of testing this lecture 10 this is in continuation of embedded development life cycle and testing life cycle and different types of life cycle like V model multiple V model etc. so in earlier session we studied about real life cycle what are what are the entry and exit criteria that needs to be understood and what is the dependency how it is going to enter how it is going to group and we also studied about two types prototyping life cycle and formal life cycle and example prototype life cycle we studied just glance through the session what we had in the earlier class this is an example of prototype life cycle having entry and exit as a finalized prototype with the finalized SRS greedy source code testing aspects which is enough for going for the formal life cycle a formal life cycle we know that it is a v shape why because on the left hand side we have finalized requirements of specification then we have a design next to that then we have a coding then in parallel to that the various aspects of testing have been carried out specification is a high level testing but design is a integration so coding it is code or unit testing so that is what is called v-model as part of the exercise that we do testing of these levels produce the test result so that is a formal life cycle after we are done with the example after we are done with the prototyping so this is another way of depicting the v-model life cycle each life cycle elements have its own process like the process has to have to be having a objective scope entry inputs outputs and it is defined for each of the process that we follow life cycle and in our session we understood about each of this process items taking an example of test plan where we identify objective to prepare a test plan scope is the project preparing the acceptance testing then entry we do with a high level requirement specification project plan also is taken care then we have the inputs as a service project plan outputs as a baseline test plan and feasibility exit is the outcome of the testing what we do preparation is that this plan is outcome along with the test ability report also we went through consumer lifetime spot life cycle example and we defined a sample chart other the general entry and exit criteria for embedded software testing so testing life cycle we studied taking an example of automotive testing system requirements study test planning test execution and the defect movement which also involves a test automation package release package release then the test conclusion of a test program so each one these five phases have its own process each of them we studied about its objective scope and inputs outputs and exit will not go through in detail because of the console is in detail as it is applicable in the future this is taking an example of automotive process how they follow for testing the embedded software also we studied about some of the embedded software words we will touch with this again and again so that we are aware of this also we had a few questions as exercise so that is about a previous session now we will with that background we will go through the next session okay we know that we model life cycle how it is once we have laid out we model life cycle there is another variant of we model life cycle that is called multiple we model life cycle why this is required what is the importance of this okay so the essence of multiple we model life different physical versions of the same system of developed that means you take an example prototype we might have prototype 1 2 3 etc so it is a different versions or different feature wise products as a prototype we would have developed each one possessing the same required functionality that is the minimum functionality has to be there actually because the end product what we are going to develop is the same but there will be a multiple variants versions in terms of a physical outcome this means for instance of the complete functionality can be tested for the model as well as for the prototype and the final product on the other hand certain detailed technical properties cannot be tested very well on the model and must be tested on the prototype that means the end once we finalize the end model you may not be able to test some of the technical elements of that product so we may have to go for testing on the prototype itself for instance the impact of environmental conditions can be can best be tested on the final product but we do not have to do it or we may not be able to do the environmental condition completely so likewise we have a scale level or incremental way of having the model used testing the different physical versions of require this product requires specific techniques and specific testing on it we know that different products will have a different I mean deviated slightly on the aspect therefore a clear relation with the multiple V model and the various test environments so the system is developed as a sequence of systems development that become more real in the end so we have a subsystems it is called multiple physical versions it is called subsystems usually these are model prototype and final product could be anything what we develop so the multiple V model based on the well known model it is also called SPIL or RACU program is a development model that means though it is called as a what is that called life cycle elements requirement design coding testing all together it is called as a development model with the fundamental multiple model is based on the V model in principle so each of the product appears for us in complete V development cycle including design code test we have a different variants of the prototype developed as a multiple V cycle so that is why it is called as multiple V model this is typically used in production environment where they may not be able to conclude on the final end product or they might not have designed such a way that one go they will develop the final product what they do is they will first identify the basic V model in that again they will identify subsystem V models so all the subsystem V model comprise into multiple V model life cycle so this is a master plan sort of thing we will definitely study about a master plan maybe in the next session okay so this figure you can see how it looks like model V development life cycle we know that we have to read one V in the earlier session it could be for a model or it could be for a prototype or it is for a formal one so each one has a design source code development and build and testing design build test so you can see three V here three V models only a small one and the medium bigger one so it does not mean that it is same actually it can have a different aspects like we might have a detail design or low level algorithms and all the stuff taking care in the bigger one and the smaller one may not need it again depends on the what sort of a development we are going to adapt so basically the model or initial prototype will have a smaller V model life cycle whether the prototype will have to be so I have put yes that book is mentioned as yes why because there could be multiple prototypes having feature set features set one in the first prototype and first prototype having features set one second one having feature set two third one could be having feature set one plus some changes or you can call it as set three what could be having feature one two three partially etc so all this can be their part of the prototype so we can have multiple like this so I just drawn in between it can have multiple V models before we draw on the final product so that is the meaning of this multiple model life cycle again tell that it will be having multiple development life cycle defined for each of the variants like we have an initial prototype defined as a model off hand work feature set prototypes something like we users will develop a proof of concept application or the feature like features set one two three etc and accordingly we will have a life cycle all this together we will try a bigger V model that is as a final product or a formal V life cycle we can call so this also can be part of a usually this will be part of a last plan you can call this as a one single having multiple V so okay so in multiple V model life cycle we have a testing activities below which basically divide into three categories they are test techniques test levels and types and other issues test techniques test level and types and other issues so these three categories basically we divide the V model test activities each is then put in one or more Vs at the relevant stage of it that means basically we will identify all these categories then we will apply into each of this so that is how it is been done for it to strike so we will study about each of these three categories so you can see this table techniques test level types other issues is actually this whatever model V model multiple model and in the next slides I have later V models these are all basically derived from the testing methods of their book by Vart Kruppman and Edwin Nodboom because there are several techniques but this is a book that is being referred for this course embedded software testing here okay so test related activities and issues that need to be allocated throughout the development and testing life cycle what are those here development and testing development also can be having some of these tests because developers as a tester is very important for embedded software testing I will explain that in as a developer as a tester how it is techniques so what are the techniques that we have that should be considered for multiple model and these specific to multiple V model code coverage analysis control testing, fagin inspection, failure mode and effective analysis is also called as second fault injection fault analysis, formal verification, interface testing, model checking, location testing, random testing, rare event testing, simulation, state transition testing, statistical research testing these are the techniques that are used or can be considered it need not be all some of these based on its applicability and corresponding test level for types where they can be applied for example code coverage analysis can be applied for design verification control flow testing code review so there is a term called control flow or control flow and data flow so some of the very important items that we need to be knowing for embedded software testing in order to understand control flow is basically the controlling also or the way how the program is controlled the main software product is getting controlled in terms of the logic or flowing on the entire system data flow is where data how it is getting flowed on throughout the structure so fagin inspection it is a type of inspection method maybe I will we will discuss this some detail later for confirmation test we follow this FMEA for our design application fault injection where we have integration we inject signal errors or any data errors in terms of system and we do the integration similarly FTA fault this involves host problem here what we do is we do an analysis of the fault so what is the root cause of a particular fault so where it is going to hit that means if I inject an error where and all is going to impact this needs to be analyzed so against the requirement definitely requirement will take care of the fault recovery and fault detection and recovery mechanism all this will also affect test in terms of fault analysis formal verification model integration test interface testing field test then we have a model checking with regression test requirements verification software acceptances integration system integration unit test so these are some of the test levels or types so based on the type of product that we use these test levels types corresponding to the techniques we can use it and we have other issues as that category architecture design certification detail design design and build tools design and build simulator design and build stuffs I will explain about stuffs in electrical design and build tires design for testability this is one of the very important thing that now almost all industries they are following especially product part companies like Samsung in the design phase so they will identify the testability part that means whether this design can be tested so without that testability design is not complete or design will not have full proof mechanism so they need to have some sort of a design which will support or help testing that could be test hooks or it could be a test stuffs or drivers or test monitor whatever test and of course we have high level requirements, low level requirements, master test plan, we will touch base master test plan production requirements release criteria so this is the third category and so this is a complete master list of three categories this are need to be considered before we take up the multiple view model those techniques levels and other issues can fit into any of this I mean basically we need to draw a picture when we do the view model multiple view model planning all this have to be considered so that is the main thing about multiple view model so now we consider only the first one model multiple view model applicability for model that means what are this is an example out of this how much we can draw for the model so that is the thing but allocation is called allocation of test related issues of the model so low level requirements and verification detailed design specification design for testability so all this will be on the left hand side as I said the view model is and corresponding to these requirements we have a full criteria we have a integration model integration we have a conformance test we have a test these are the some of the selected techniques test level types and other issues so for this so what is the outcome like we have a simulation we have a very state transition testing model testing these are some of the activities similarly on the left hand side we do FMEA, FTA, conformance specification for infrastructure so this is falling outside the view on par with the model so this is the applicability how we are going to draw this master table okay another one is view model applicability for prototype what are the categories that we can use for prototyping view model here again outside the view we have a techniques in terms of FMEA, FTA, FTA, conformance specification within the view we have low level performance detailed design plus verification requirements design for testability then on the right hand side we have any test at the bottom host target based testing we have software integration software acceptance then we have hardware software integration then we have system integration then we have the package release on the right hand side so this can go for multiple testing based on the bug fix and all that through the help of regression testing and also we as a result of that we come up with the coverage analysis it means how much we are covered what is left out what is pay what is pass what is fail it is a code code analysis statistical usage testing so this on the right hand side is all about the techniques what we apply for this prototype this is an example of prototype view model when it comes under the multiple view model life cycle final product the formal product how we can apply the multiple view model product requirements that means end product requirements detailed design and because code and all we already taken care in the prototype so final product we leave with only the requirements and design and in terms of releasing or deploying the product to the customer we have at least criteria acceptance and all that certification is important especially the products are going to be fitted in terms of safety aspects that needs to be taken care certification like we have the ones and it will be from designated authority from Airbus or Boeing automatically we have others are on par with this certification process and in terms of the techniques statistical so this will be applied before we complete the view model this is allocation for final product or the formal product applicability so that is about multiple view model where we have initial prototype final product have been organized into multiple view models each one having design code test design code test finally we are going to have the final or the formal product and its applicability is that on a master list of techniques test level types and other issues okay the next one is nested multiple view model we have studied about view model we have studied about multiple view model then another term called nested multiple view model name itself tells the multiple models are nested basically definition is here when the view model at system level is combined with the multiple view model at component level it results in the so called nested multiple view model so the meaning is that system level we have a view model it is combined with multiple view model we have seen having prototype final and before prototype so once this is combined at the component level so we have defined the system level the component level is multiple models it is so called nested multiple view model so we have an example here you can see this is a multiple view model 1 multiple view model 2 n etc so component 1 component 2 component n this is nested under the one view model so this is an example of how one example of taking a component as a multiple view model at the component level so parallel development is also called as parallel development view model in continuation of that then nested multiple view model all test related activities and issues can be allocated to the correct level in the correct place that means whatever we identify testing activities it should be applied for the particular level the component 1 component 2 component 3 specific test will be applicable for the specific view whatever we have followed with the multiple view model so at the system level higher level test issues can be allocated the overall development cycle this is one more big 3.7 we have seen parallel development in terms of view model component 1 2 3 etc when it comes to nested multiple view model the system level best related activities can be allocated to the correct level for this actually you can see in the bottom little test plan legal requirements design and build tools emulators stuffs etc all this will be applied that means this is common same thing is going to be applied for view model 1 view model 2 view model 3 as an example 3 we can see that each view at the system level or component level is applicable three times you can see so high level test issues so in the multiple view model as an example is taken care here that means we have a master test plan safety plan we have at least applicable for all this as a bigger view model so when it comes to the individual view model this portion is taken care of in a nested model same thing is depicted in the similar way here because 3.6 the multiple view model components put together it comes to high level test the common line is basically so the multiple view model with the 3 sequential vesicles does not take into account the practice or functional decomposition of the system the development of such is from start to execution by an active design base where it is determined which components hardware or software are required to realize this and those components develop separately and finally integrated into a full system in fact the simple view model can be applied to this development process at a high level the left side of the view model hands the decomposition of the system into this component the middle part of the view model is for parallel development cycles what we have seen here for all the components the right side of the view model integration of the components so if we do this the left hand side of the view model hand the decomposition of the system into various components as we said high level requirements design low level design coding etc the middle part of the view model construction development cycles like we have a prototype 1,2,3 components parallel the left hand side we are going to have a validation or integration of all these aspects so this principle can be repeated for components that are too big or too complex to develop as one entity for such component an architectural design activity is carried out which components are required we need to have an architectural design so that will identify how many components are required to make the system work so this also could result in another view model within the view model we can another view model so that is why it is called multiple view model multiple view model is not only helpful when it has to be planned and executed for a completely but also in the case of your users of a kind product so in fact the development project for a product is about the new release of just a few components then the multiple view model and the full or the master plan the development of the complete product can help to identify the relevant activities so basically when we have a complex or bigger systems what we do is we go with the parallel development of different view cases and as I said on the left hand side we have divided basically into components we have divided the system into multiple components so the middle part we will identify the cycle for each of these components and the right hand side we will have the integration so on the left hand side of the article or master view model what we have decomposition into subsystems or the middle part we have the parallel development of each of the component for each of the on the other side we have the integration of all these subsystems so that is the significance of multiple view model in context with the listing so basically these are used in bigger or complex systems numerous features identified for numerous components so that is the significance of multiple view models applicability in terms of nested nature having understood these models different types and their activities categorized now we move into testing aspect irrespective of who or whatever the model we call so we know that host and target are available for both the testing as we have now taking into consideration how testing can be done by developers how testing can be done by independent testing and there are few principles so that we will go through in the end testing by developers so we know that systems are developed by larger teams sometimes divided into teams into multiple allocated subsystem teams or it could be physically separated we know that bigger systems or complex systems like our embedded systems or aerospace embedded systems are not developed at one side it will be geographically separated though they have an interconnection and all that the team the testing environment or the components or the lab and all that will be separated so the developed systems are large and complex but alone puts quality under pressure that means all should work in tandem make sure that they work for the quality and the end result that is for the product the demand for the quality is increasing in the competitive market of the user systems safety critical system so two aspects one is a competitive market because there are several developers available so we need to come up with a good quality also there is a safety aspects taken care so in order to avoid so at a later stage so better to do a testing little thoroughly in the starting stage or the beginning stage so beginning stage we know that there will not be any testing or formal testing though there are test plans and all that so the best way to do is testing done by developers so that is the background of why testing we need to have it with the developer so what are those the existence of an independent testing does not mean that testing during the development stage is less important that means it is equally important to have a testing done at a development time both teams have their own important role in the preparation of an end product with the desired quality it means they have their own whole testing team the independent testing whereas the developers as a tester have their own product should be having a high quality that is the desired goal an independent testing in general executes tests based on the requirements their purpose is to provide confidence that the system computes the requirements so they go by what you have specified what the product is supposed to do what you have documented what you have specified in the requirements they just go by that whereas in contrast to that testing at the unit level because they are very near to the input and they are the owners of the unit because they have developed because simply they own it and they are having the knowledge that means they know about the infrastructure of the company this knowledge is used again to test the integration of the different units the purpose of delivering the stable system so what they make sure is they develop the unit the piece of software and since they are knowledgeable they use the same test bench or the develop or debug environment to test it in terms of unit level or in terms of integration so to attest two things one is a quality so that there are no bugs creeped unknowingly second thing is the system that they developed should be stable so those two purposes are attained with the help of what we are testing at the early stage that is why we need to have a testing by developers the early stage of the development so continuation reasons why testing by developers is important early detected where defects are in general the cost of fixing defects is rising time we know that we have seen a chart where the cost arises we go deep into the product before we release the product we cannot afford to have bugs or issues at the end stage expensive high quality basic elements make it easier to establish a high quality that means the basic elements you put it right in the beginning only so the end product the whole product will come to an unfavorable system and this can't be solved practically by functional test that means you would have creeped some quality issues small small small into different elements in the beginning in the end it's very difficult to protect some of the bugs that were introduced because of the low quality during the development defects detected during post development stages are difficult to trace back to source as I said we cannot afford to have small small defects during the development stage so it is difficult to trace it back so better to identify in the beginning only defects detected during post development stages have to be corrected and this will lead to time consuming regression test that means we need to have a regression again and again the of excess that have been done on the product again need to be tested good testing during development stage has a positive thing for the total project time that means we have the components we have the productivity reliability etc done in the end stage because of the good testing we have done in the development stage the state testing of exception and possible equity level where exceptions can be I will tell about exception and interrupt some of the later stages because this is a new system development mode you may call it as an interrupt as a result of exception exceptions are somewhat unknown behavior of the system of certain conditions at the unit level or the source level basically the latest stage development may not be possible quickly to do it testing as well as fixing at the latest stage that is why we need to have some sort of testing done development of the product that means basically quality may not be or cannot be added to the product at the end by testing it should be built in right from the start taking the quality at every development stage very much necessary so how we can do is by testing testing is not pursued by many developers they are in task they are in development developers are seen ignoring the test aspects they will never care about testing aspects we need to have testing thinking testing the thoughts while doing the development so to keep the test effort for developers is a good practice it should be effective and efficient to do this integration development also will have integration studies are we can anyway we have seen some of the things we can go through that again sometime in the next sessions so essentially all activities have to be planned and should be controlled so that is the build from of testing by development testing at development stage okay now testing by independent testing we all know that the testing is an important aspect there needs to be testing plan testing procedure we have a test plan also so we will just go through that what are those testing by independent testing independent testing are mostly occupied with the high level test as I said they go by the high level test having requirements or specification are important these tests occur at the end of the development we know that development life cycle is getting closer the testing activity will start the test activities of these teams are the critical part of the development process that means it is very important element in the critical path it is an critical part it is an item that is under the critical path of the whole life cycle supporting activities activities have the objective of keeping the time for testing execution to a minimum it means whatever the support activities we need to have they have the objective of keeping the time for testing execution to a minimum that means when we are doing the development we identify test activities and planning so we do small test books and all that as a support we will have a predictable time how much it is needed for test execution atleast a minimum how much it is needed for each of the tests that is the idea behind supporting activities supporting activities are kept outside the critical path by executing the parallel with the development as I said support activities test books development and the strategies parallel development all taken care and separate activity supportively for development and the testing so this will not be a critical path but it is used while testing execution or actual testing is happening which is under the critical path formal life cycle for independent testing basically what are the formal life cycle items or phases for independent testing planning and control phase preparation phase we have a specification execution completion this is basically different phases that is being changed here these are all mapping to what we have discussed in earlier classes other way but in terms of formal life cycle for independent testing taking requirements as a input and doing the high level test they have to plan and control they have to prepare they have to specify they have to execute and complete it so these are the phases that are used for independent testing this is basically a formal what is described here because this involves including the test management and development lead also will be involved because he needs to know what works, what needs to fix so what is the test how it is getting passed or failed so most of the information needed by the testing for the product from outside the testing that means whatever the need for the product should be provided and the expectations as a testing sometimes the outcome of the test process is subject to an external audit that means there is a separate audit that is taken care against what is being specified so there is an audit team or the independent team who does audit on testing also is that important actually I think I can mention this independent activity to audit the adherence process again as to what is specified in plan or specification of the test aspects so any aspects of the life cycle it can happen on the test management audit can be done on the test management development and their activities quality etc. to get confused with audit and quality quality is a different thing audit is a different thing so these are some of the formal aspects that are used so that is about testing by purpose testing by independent team now we will move on to 10 principles of embedded software I think I will take up this in the next session as we are running out of this session so I will go through the words which we have done before so we model a couple of words I would like to add control flow data flow what we have is audit if anything is needed we can add it test harness test bed test bench 80 model based testing test drive test CD break points simulator simulator phase profile data sheet editor eyes in such a simulator static analysis then books reverse engineering we have life cycle interindexed criteria baseline prototyping stakeholder remodel control flow data flow audit we can do it I think we are taking care of all this remodel we have used so that is about some of the words why these words are going through each session is to have this in mind as a tester so that we will not forget this will be part in part of the embedded software testing that is why it is important to have this okay so we have a couple of questions what are the differences between remodel versus nested remodel multiple remodel so the total difference between a remodel multiple remodel and nested remodel what is the significance of nested remodel so why we need it so we have discussed about this please answer these questions so that is about this session next session next class very soft


How's it going everybody? This is 1920 prism retail three box break number 13 The first thing we got to do randomized all 29 names Who bought in because we're giving away the pelicans for free in this break Don't think we have any more retail to post but we will have maybe some fast break. Maybe a same deal pelicans give way spot So check in with Jason Mar on that. So we're going five times name on top gets the pelicans for free For fifth and final time name on top Mike. There you go Mac Like McCarthy with the pelicans So me print out the list and rip. Good luck everybody box number one. Oh Good luck everybody. Here we go. So last dance basketball mixer tomorrow and then probably Not a few more nights until we have another basketball mixture you guys and gals completed our whole basketball inventory This past week or so. I feel like we've done like At least a couple hundred boxes worth of mixers. So that's awesome But we got new releases this week anyway mosaic basketball. That's coming out Wednesday It's gonna be a very hot release and then blasters versions come out Friday. So it'll be a lot of fun Yeah, I know a lot of basketball basketball is the hot The hot stuff on the market right now a few years ago couldn't sell a basketball break really I mean, maybe not a few years ago, but like three or four years ago. We didn't do much basketball But now it's definitely the primary sport we do here at Jasper Basketball and then probably a tie for football and baseball, I would guess And then hockey and then miscellaneous stuff after that So it's pretty crazy to see to see the rise in basketball breaks the last few years But I mean Luka Donchich Trey Young Zion Williamson John Morant will do that Jason Tatum Definitely has part part of it the the great rookies There's Luca base and there's rondo green Kobe Silver Rob W your second one hit you one in the last break. This is break 13 by the way 14 filled up before 13. So we did 14 look before this. There's KZ Okpala Ruby wave Yeah, last two three years. Yeah, I mean the rookies help and yeah, just the overseas market. There's Rui green. I Remember people this year. We're talking about how this is such a top-heavy class like there's no good players after RJ Barrett, but Definitely has proven to be wrong There's been some great players in this class Not named Zion or Luka or Zion or John Morant. I mean, there's Shaquille O'Neal green Chris Paul and There's Grant Williams auto for the Celtics. It's going up to Mac. There's Ruby Allen Iverson. Yeah, there hasn't been a bad rookie class And pretty much any sport. You're right Kobe Trey young definitely will happen at some point Football doesn't look like it though. There's the honest that'll ship. No other veteran base ship except for LeBron Kobe Luka Trey and Yannis. There's Bay Basley football next year you have Trevor Lawrence and Fields from Ohio State. So Football the next year is gonna be crazy this year of Borough and to a There's a Ruby hot you more. I think basketball may be a kind of a class down this upcoming draft class But I've heard that 2021 NBA draft is like pretty stacked Alexander Walker a little dead in that one So this class might not might not perform like it has the last couple years But then the following year basketball, I think like Jalen green and a few other guys are supposed to be like Like three or four consensus number one picks But like I said, you never know.  Nobody's good in it. And then a guy named Yannis onto the compo came first on the scene like 2015 started playing really well And now those boxes you can't find for under like prison boxes are like 30 Or prison cases are like 30 40 thousand dollars a case 2013 So you never know Yeah, Lamello could have a hanger or Lamello could have a potential hangers up Sean's been up for like 10 15 minutes. Here's the link Lamello could have hobbies potential for sure And that Anthony Edwards probably be pretty good, right from Georgia. So not not saying there's not going to be any any good rookies But maybe not like a Zion Williamson or a John Merritt but yeah Definitely take some time in the NBA. I mean these These these are all like teenagers most of the guys coming out Football is a little different. You can usually tell football first year if they're gonna be good or not Maybe not quarterbacks. You know Peyton Manning had a pretty bad rookie year, right? But like running backs and stuff I feel like you can usually tell unless their team is just really bad But even like if their team is really bad like say Juan Barclay, you can tell he's like a top tier talent All right, there's Carson Edwards Silver Baseball, I mean it takes a few years for baseball guys, obviously too PJ Washington Emergent Silver Carson Edwards Green Joe Harris There's Nikhil Alexander Walker Ruby Yeah, he had the record for touchdowns and interceptions. It's crazy Peyton Manning Ersan Eliasova It's like James Winston Chuma Okiki, I think James Winston saw his potential. There's say Kudamboya Might be good to sit behind your breeze and play for Sean Peyton There's Jared Culver Silver a nice one there for the grids that's going out to Matthew S Yeah, I mean, Bronny James will probably go for double what Zion's going for. There's Kelton Johnson San Antonio Spurs that's going out to Adam Kelly just because of his last name It's gonna be insane But yeah, check out the 2021 NBA draft class. It's supposed to be like Incredible, so I'm excited for that too. All right, that was box two on a box three But yeah, football Hopefully football starts on time this year, but that's gonna be a lot of fun There's so many players in this NFL draft So many skilled position guys You know, you got a few quarterbacks will probably sit for a couple years Maybe a year or two Jordan Love Elise a couple years, right? I think Herbert starts pretty much first season. Maybe not the first game, but I think he'll be started by the middle of the season I think If two is healthy, he'll probably start, right? Maybe Fitzpatrick for A quarter or half this evening and Joe Burrow is definitely starting day one Yeah, Barani's in freshman this year, so that makes um 15 16 So yeah, he'll be uh sophomore then junior then senior then I think by the time that happens He won't have to go to college because I think the one and done will be done I don't know imagine if he goes to the Lakers or something I don't know like he could be just over hyped. Who knows but if he is the number one pick In that class, I know his cards are gonna go for like insane amounts of money I wouldn't be surprised if he went number one if he plays Very well in high school All the hype that he'll have Going straight from high school to Ca to the NBA Think you could outsell Pretty much anybody Aaron Baines silver auto for the phoenix suns right there. That's going out to matthew s Oh, that's who it was. Yeah, I'm only baits. I saw that too. So who knows? I mean I remember a few years ago people talked about The guy who got drafted by the kings He was like the top. He was like a top the second best high school player or first best high school player the Scala Bissieri But then he kind of flamed out. I don't think he's kind of a bust so Go either way There's porzinga silver in washington base Emergence ion mac that one Oh god miss your little And last silver rookie is kasey oak palla for the heat Sean So there you go. Thanks everybody for getting in that was prism retail 13 Coming up next is obsidian soccer


Come on. That's 45. You almost did, man. Let's go. Come on. Come down light. Light. Control it. Here we go. I told you. Here we go. Pull it close. Line 6. And we're going to go for the first half. Line 6. Echo. He's unconscious. I'm sorry. Little rights and lefts and stuff. But there's going to be a team of people behind y'all. Commander will put her in the stage. Ma'am. Me, sister, stay. Make sure you're ready. That's a team. Team us. And now form us. Regarding the situation in which I find myself. All positions. So it's a pleasure.


Hey everybody! Welcome back to Magic Orthodoxy. My name is David and this is a Magic Review. Hey, today we're going to look at the Full Monty from Leem Montier and Big Blind Media. All right, so what is the Full Monty? It's basically a Monty Effect. Now, it's not a three card Monty, it's actually a four card Monty. And if you don't know what Monty is, it's followed the ace, followed the queen. It's that gambling routine where you're expected to try to find the one in different card. Leem has put together a really cool interpretation of this trick. And if you'd like to see the trailer, this is it. So have you girls ever played or seen the old three card Monty? Like find the lady or chase the ace? Have you ever seen anything like that? No. No? It's like an old street hustle where some guy would have two jokers and a queen and they mix them up and you have to try and find the queen and you bet money on it. You never sort of thing. It's the sort of thing like people know about but I've never met anyone who's actually had a go because they know it's a scan basically. So what I've decided to do is I try to invent a version that seems so fair that you'd want a bit on it. And it's not a very original idea. All I've done is sort of marked the card that I was going to use. So the idea of this is that you would keep your eye on the queen. In this case, it's the queen of spades. And that would be the card that you'd point out and win all the money. And there's not going to be actual money. This does seem a bit unfair, like a bit easy compared to the other ones. And then the jokers would be the losing card. So if you found the queen, you'd win. And if you found one of the jokers, then you'd lose. But because it's a 1-in-4 chance and the cards are marked on the back, hypothetically, would you guys be willing to bet on that sort of situation? Yeah, hypothetically. No money's changing hands, don't worry. The other thing is I could make it even fairer as it's you guys and I know you guys. I'll get rid of one of the jokers. So instead of a 1-in-4 chance, it's just a 1-in-3 chance. So you're really in there. So what card would you bet on? You guys would bet on the queen card, right? Yeah. Yeah? Okay. Well that's when I'd have to change it from a game that you can't lose into a game that you can't win. And I'd do that by just clicking my fingers and asking which of the queen cards you'd like to bet on, right? But of course, it doesn't matter which queen you bet on. It's a scam because you wouldn't find a queen. You wouldn't find even a joker because this is a totally different trick that just uses the four. And that is the full monster. All right. So that was Liam Montier. If you don't remember who he is, I've done a lot of reviews for him and Big Blind Media in the past and I'll put those links in the description below. All right. So a couple of questions that we always ask about all of our magic reviews and the first of which is what is in the box? What's in the box? You're going to get a cardboard sleeve. You're going to get the DVD and then you're going to get the necessary gaff cards to do the trick. You won't need to add any of your own cards to this. It's completely self-contained. All you'll need is a little card wallet maybe or something to keep them all together and to have them ready to go in your jacket pocket. Is it what I thought? You know, originally seeing the trailer, it did kind of remind me a lot of Gary Freese NFW just because it follows that same plot where four identical cards turn into another set of four identical cards. So it does kind of borrow, I think, a little bit from that plot. However, the secret to this trick is original and I was pleasantly surprised. How are the angles on this? There are some angle issues and I'll say something that would be pretty obvious. I think your angles will disappear the more skilled you get at performing this trick. In other words, you're going to have to pull off your slides and be wary of your angles during the presentation and it's just going to come from your knowledge of the trick and your remembrance of the routine that's going to make those angles vanish. Okay? So I would think that a less skilled magician, a less skilled card magician will have some issues with angles, but I think the more you practice this, the better you get at this, the more familiar you are with this plot, your angles will disappear. Can it be inspected? That is the best part of this trick. I mentioned NFW earlier in the trick and here's the thing. NFW cannot be inspected. You sweep the cards away and you say, ta-da, that's the end of the trick. With Liam's trick, you basically flop the four new cards down on the table and just step back, spectators can examine everything and best of all, there's no switching. All right. So what's the overall quality and production value of the DVD? This is going to be shot just like any other big blind media DVD involving Liam Montier. The sets look identical. His two model spectators have been used in some of his previous DVDs. In fact, I think he's even wearing the same shirt. So it's everything you'd expect from big blind media. There's another aspect of this DVD that I think is worth mentioning and we'll just chalk this up to teaching. There's some really great vignettes on this that allow you to learn the trick depending on your skill level. So if you have no skill level going into this, there is a version where you watch this. Liam walks you through each one of the slides. There's also an experienced magician's explanation where Liam just basically says, and now you do this move and he doesn't teach it to you. So it makes it go a little faster. There's also a review explanation on this where Liam basically understands that you understand the effect. And it's a great tool to go back and review.  And then you go back and say, you know what, I really want to pick that up again, but I don't remember how it went. You can watch the review video portion of this. And it's basically a quick reminder. It's a quick tutorial about how this trick went. You don't have to sit through the, you know, the teaching and an explanation all over again to get the gist of it. So that is really cool. All right. So is it well made? The cards you get are all bicycle stock and will last you a lifetime if you take care of them. How much practice does it require? This is a trick that involves some serious lights. I will say that. I'll say that it's marketed towards beginners because there is a section where he teaches you all the slides, but I'm also going to say it's probably going to work better for you if you're already an intermediate level skilled magician, or if you already have some knowledge of card handling. There are some knuckle busters and I would say that this is going to take some practice and some getting used to. How much setup and reset is there? One of the great things about this teaching DVD is that he actually has a section where he teaches you how to do the reset. That is so nice and so refreshing. I think a lot of times magicians on DVDs, they fly right past that. They don't mention it at all. Or they say, oh, reset's easy. You just have to do this or this or this. But Liam actually takes the time to teach you the reset for this. And I think that's a wonderful addition. All right. So what are the positives to the full Monty? You know, like I've been saying, you're going to get all your cards included. You don't have to add any cards or a record deck to do this package trick. It's got a really simple reset and you end clean. You end clean in a Monty routine. That is so awesome and so just refreshing to see that you can end clean. And the beautiful transition of four alike cards, transforming into four different cards, plus the familiarity that your spectators are already going to have behind the plot, you know, the Monty routine. I think it's such a familiar plot. So I really think this is a winner. Is it worth your money? It's $25. $25 for a 20 minute DVD. You're going to get all of your gaffes and cards that you will need.  I think $25 is well within the range of the amount of teaching and the cards that you're getting that are included. And the impact of this trick is going to make. I think you are well in the pocket.  Who would like this? Anybody who does Monty routines already? Anybody who's been doing NFW but is looking for something to upgrade and maybe, you know, have a big reveal at the end where the spectators get to handle the cards? I think this would be the upgrade to that. Anybody that just loves doing a walk around and thinks that this kind of magic would be appealing to them, I think she'd definitely pick up the Full Monty from Liam Moncier and Big Blind Media. All right. So that is my review for the Full Monty. And if you'd like to purchase your own, you can head on down to BigBlindMedia.com. And we want to thank Big Blind Media for providing this review copy for us so that we can review it for you.


Would you like to work on 3D open-source software this summer? Look no further. Blender is participating in this year's edition of Google Summer of Code. Hello, my name is Thomas Dinges. I'm a development coordinator at Blender. Google Summer of Code, or GSOC, is a global online program focused on bringing new contributors into open-source software development. We have participated in this program since 2005 and we are filled to celebrate GSOC's 20th anniversary this year. Sounds interesting? Familiarize yourself with Blender and start looking into the code. Pick a project from our ideas page or come up with your own idea and discuss it with developers and potential mentors on our chat. You can find all further information on our website at www.blender.org. Get involved and make free and open-source 3D content creation even better this summer. See you on our channels.


So I've had about a dozen people ask me out to make either like a Patreon or PayPal and I've also actually had people just send me money through my email already. So I figured I'm going to talk to you guys about what my missions are, my aspiration is, a little bit about me, my personal life and also my financial situation and my current like job, I guess professional career. So I have thought about the ways I can make money through YouTube, whether it's making some sort of online program I could sell, which I don't have the tech know-how and the programming skills to do, although I'm currently kind of looking at it right now. I was thinking about writing a book but to do a book without a publisher wanting to do it with you, your profits are very minimal unless you want to do all the shipping and that's kind of stuff yourself. So that's for me the book is I haven't even started that yet.  I also thought about selling what I make hygiene products I make lip balm I make I'm not wearing anything guys right now nothing I make lip balm I make deodorant I make toothpaste I have a couple products I made but I haven't really figured out how to get a production line or how to do that maybe I'm gonna try to look for some like Chinese companies and try to figure that out maybe I tell them what to make and I resell myself I don't have no idea how to go about doing that and I just I have started doing consulting but I honestly I only had like a handful of clients here and there contact me and do I usually do 8 12 and 14 16 week fitness consult with diet analysis with various pricing I also have done just like our consult sessions but like just charging people they can ask me questions have me evaluate their diet answer their questions with my unusual amount of dietary knowledge related to food so I have done I've been I haven't really got had any monetary success so far from my channel basically all the work I've done has been for free so far so I'm trying to figure out and I my monetization through YouTube has not been approved and I don't know what's going on with YouTube it could be months to I don't know if I'm ever gonna get approved with through monetization through YouTube so that's up in the air in regards to my mission and what my aspirations are I every time I look at someone whether it's you know maybe my dad looks sad upset he's overweight or maybe I see someone on the street like that you know when I look at my mentally disabled sister and see that you know she could have been a normal person when I look at hear about a woman having a miscarriage or or someone's baby having a heart procedure at two weeks old all of these things I attribute to modern life and modern problems and I hope one day that I'm on a large enough platform to make a huge difference in regards to human nutrition and health and really as silly and as simple as it sounds is if people eat and live the right way everyone will be happy and attractive that's as simple as that I think it sounds crazy but that's really what my life goal is and the way I'm trying to do that now is partially through this YouTube channel but in regards to my professional career trying to get from point A to point B hasn't gone so well so I guess I'll talk about my personal life first so I'm actually a triplet I was born in the early 90s I have a brother who does physics stuff out in California very successful got his masters in physics my sister is unfortunately on the other end of the spectrum she stays with my parents in an area in the New York City tri-state area and I stay with my grandma in one of the boroughs and I go travel up with them and I do a lot of filming at their house from time to time so that's my current I could really I could go to my upbringing and like how my mother had a double kidney transplant and all these health problems related to the the C section being boss she had to and she had a stroke recently and you know my family's never been in good health and they've always had health problems fortunately I have been in upper middle class although I can't say I had a lot of guidance or support when I was growing up I at least wasn't in a super bad scenario I guess outside of what else what else can talk about personally I mean you know the health of my family and my sister being mentally disabled has has been one reason for this nutritional journey but that's not really the it's really just about the big picture and helping the health of people in general in regards to my professional life this ties in with progressing my personal life so when I was out of high school I was in and out of community college not doing so well worked a bunch of really terrible minimum wage jobs eventually broken to catering which was still terrible but I got me to New York City Hospitality and I've never really held a job for a long period of time I've never had any good connections I've never really made any good money working in Bart has a bartender or waiter in restaurants in New York I've had jobs that were good that I passed up for other jobs that were lied to me about so my career has been shaky at best and I've I've never made more than like 20 or $30,000 a year and that's saying being generous and I'm 25 now I've been very good at saving money but I've never made a living wage really this year might actually be the first year I make over poverty line to be honest with how much money I've spent on failed business prospects but so I've never been too successful monetarily and right now recently you know I had a really good job working for more recently Salt Bay opened a steakhouse in Midtown and I was making the most money I ever did in hospitality I was making like $1,500 $2,000 a week I never even made half that before so I quit that job to go on Masterchef because I thought if I was on Masterchef I would possibly have a life opportunity that meant I would never have to do this again and unfortunately you know that that was probably one of the literally worst things to ever happen to me in regards to like taking away a job that might have actually given me some financial freedom and not giving me anything in return and I've literally never found a job since I got back from I can't say that I've worked a few very terrible jobs since I've gotten back I tried to get a job out in the Hamptons but guys I talked to earlier about having pride and not asking for handouts but I have no connections every job I've gotten in hospitality is me cold-holing and going in like a stranger and you guys know how that works and me being an actor and doing some of that on the side all I've really done is student films and it's all connections too so I'm trying to move away from that and make something for myself I'm getting back into personal training I'm slowly starting to give up on the bartending thing because listen same thing with acting and bartending I'm good at both you can put me on a professional film set or a cocktail bar and I can perform just as good as the average person I'm not exceptional I'm not a prodigy I'm not gifted but I can do the job I just have not been given an equal opportunity as other people have I'm actually scheduled my breast augmentation for dude I made a joke like that to one guy and he teed off on me he was pissed I made a joke about getting a boob job because they female bartenders have it easier but all that aside I've been looking to get back into personal training I have a couple interviews this week maybe it'll work out maybe it won't worst case and I've been going on bartending interviews I had a couple this week and hopefully some places should be hiring over the fall but honestly it's a very stressful and difficult job this personal training job I'm looking into is like 10 minutes from my house the normally I could drive in and out of the city an hour and a half each way and that's what I've been doing for like four years so as it's part of me and my personality and my seriousness is like having to take care of my mentally disabled sister to some degree and being in my car for three hours a day those two things not a fun personality I try to be fun and happy and I really like joking around and stuff and you guys haven't seen a lot of that with my YouTube channel but that's how I am that's how I want to be but as a result of some of my life factors it hasn't really happened so I kind of I've kind of spread myself to think I'm doing these YouTube videos I'm half ass bartending not so successful my heart's not really in acting but I figured I could get cast because of my look so I'm kind of trying to do it but I don't have any connections I got I have no real idea how to monetize my YouTube channel properly I'm just kind of at this position where I'm just hoping to either audition and get on a show that gets me super popular or maybe work this personal training jobs save up some money try to look into the production for my products or just maybe just grow my YouTube and Instagram to the point where I can build up enough of a base and a fan base to to become successful myself so I just want to give you guys all this information all this background for any more you guys start sending me money on the patreon and guys I'm gonna do the PayPal and patreon because I know people wanted both but the PayPal thing and patreon whatever rewards I have listed on patreon you will get the same thing in PayPal and I know I put like answer one question if you give me a dollar answer you know whatever I put answer five questions if you give me $10 a month in email and then like if you give me $25 I'll do a half hour consultation for you every month or like if you give me $50 I'll do a one hour consultation every month with you where you can ask me questions and hopefully this and if this does get to the point where I can't actually handle it that's a good thing and that means I don't have to work anymore and I can do this full-time and sort that out but by all means guys please you know I do not need money I could I will be fine like if you guys want to support me and give me money and make my life easier and maybe you know contribute to my future mission and my happiness that's what you're doing if you give me money I've will tell you right now I have not spent money on anything besides food clothing and transportation in my life I've literally the only time that I have ever I went out to eat once for my birthday last year and the other money I've spent has only been on necessities and I since I'm with my grandma the rent I pay is minimal so that's not I mean yeah the rent expense is there but I do not spend money on anything that I do not see contributing to my future in my goals I mean I don't really know what other people spend their money on but my like no one I mean you know I don't all my clothes I bought at thrift stores and I need you I bought all my used clothes all my clothes all my clothes are actually used the only stuff I buy new or like t-shirts and shorts from like H&M and cheap stuff all my shoes my expensive ass shoes they were bought used from thrift stores everything you know I really don't spend money and that's because part of it was my parents never gave me any money or really bought me anything when I was growing up and and then I understand and how hard I've worked in all of my jobs and how difficult I know it is to earn money even when I go to spend five ten fifteen dollars I know how hard it is for some people to earn that much money so I really do value money and I understand what it means when someone even sends me a dollar of their money because just all my life experiences and everything has kind of related to that so I don't really want to go too much into anything else I think I've touched on all the the aspects of my life and my aspirations and what I do personally and if there's any other specific things you guys would like me to answer like how I used to play World of Warcraft for 10 hours a day and League of Legends for dude I was good at League of Legends like I was actually a diamond player and I played before they even had that rating system I used to raid ice crown Citadel and World of Warcraft I used to I bodybuilded from when I was 14 to like 21 I used to be in the gym for two hours a day I have a lot of stories that aren't that aren't really that interesting but they might be interesting to some of you guys how I went from doing that to to this so kind of turning my life slipping my life kind of around going from being a loser that pretty much play video games all day to someone who wants to improve their life so maybe we could tie that in somewhere along the lines and I'm a big part of that was my jaw surgery a couple of the two years ago and me being on Accutane a couple years ago so I don't I don't even want to look and see how long this video is already but I think that was really as short and concise as I could have answered this and giving you guys any reason to support me so I will put the PayPal link in the description if you send me a note just tell me what you want you want me to answer your questions do you want me to smile more in my videos you know just tell me they want a half hour like do you want to talk to me for in half an hour on Skype do you want me to send you shirtless pictures on snapchat art I don't I don't use snapchat and it might be a little more money for that's kind of I'm joking I do not that is actually you know oddly enough that is my backup plan in like two or three years if nothing works out maybe we'll go down that route but um what else yeah like on patreon there's some stuff listed and guys please don't hold me accountable to that stuff I put on patreon if I get a hundred people that starts sending me 10 question emails might take me I will try to get back to everyone but it might take me a little while and I really know how to differentiate the I wouldn't know how to differentiate the patreon emails from actual people so I haven't really thought this out too well but hopefully it goes well so I'm gonna put those in the description I for me the PayPal I really know what's easier what's better if there's and if there's any other better ways for you guys to support me like outside of patreon and PayPal please let me know also I would love to do some sort of like like I know Sean Baker started the HBO podcast and they've got a lot of support I feel like I could do something like that and I could have very very long I was on a primal edge health with Tristan although I feel like I kind of stole the show and didn't let him speak but you know who knows I'm sure there are a lot of a lot of opportunities for myself we're going to open up over the next you know a few weeks few months and I'm a little more optimistic than I've been because you know on and off the past few years of my life have really been just constant really just constant failure and like as soon as it looked like I was gonna be successful and things were gonna work out you know everything I just everything just went to shit you know and that's happened to me about half a dozen times already so I don't want to go specifically into my job history or like how I couldn't get a gig on the Hamptons this year and how many times I've tried to get gigs out there for various things I don't want to go into specific details about that but you guys can probably find my resume on LinkedIn and you guys can probably look on other other websites if you really looked hard enough and hey if you send me an email and ask me I'd probably tell you so that's it guys I'm not going to stop talking before this video goes to like half an hour


Good morning. Welcome to CMC markets on Friday the 20th of August and this quick look at the week ahead beginning at the 23rd of August with me Michael Houston or we get started just do a little bit of housekeeping with risk warnings and what have you. And also have a look back at the events of the past few days because only days after setting new record highs pretty much across the board for European markets US markets and what have you. We've seen a bit of a turnaround in sentiment this week and while the record highs that we saw last week were based on very low volume. So are the declines that we've been seeing thus far this week. Now you'll hear an awful lot of narrative from various sources who want to know better I think that the reason we're seeing the declines. This week is largely as a consequence of the Fed minutes and that they're concerned about a Fed taper but to my mind that's our nonsense it doesn't really tell the whole story. And, you know, I think if that was the case. You would see US bond yields higher and they're quite clearly not as can be seen from this chart here. In fact from a week ago, all the way back on the 13th of August. They're at 137 US 10 year yields and they are now at 123 and a half and at the bottom end of the week so if the markets concerned about a Fed taper it's got a funny way of showing it. So, you know, when you read headlines about European markets stock markets decline over Fed taper concerns. I think by and large you can take it with a large bucket salt. There are any number of reasons as to why markets are lower this week Fed taper is certainly not top of my list. There's been various cross currents this week that have been affecting market sentiment. And we can start with concerns over a slowing global economy. Now that would cause a fall in bond yields because bond markets therefore pricing slightly weaker growth outlook. And that's why we've seen weakness this week in stuff like basic resources particularly miners, particularly copper prices and iron ore prices as well have fallen quite sharply. Now if we look at copper, copper prices are at a very key support level from the highs we saw back in April. They're on the 200 day moving average so I think where copper prices go to next could be a key bellwether in terms of the overall direction of the markets next week. And obviously next week is a fairly big week in terms of the focus on Jackson Hole Symposium, which starts on the 26th. But nonetheless, you know that the Fed is a factor in all of this, but it's only one very small factor in the wider scheme of things and this is why it's very, very important to understand why we're seeing the market declines that we've been seeing this week. So starting with increasing concerns over a global economy, prompting a fall in basic resource stocks, we've seen declines in copper prices, iron ore prices as well have fallen back quite sharply, as have Brent crude prices. We can see that in this chart here. And again, falling back towards the 200 day moving average and also trading at the lowest levels since May. So there is an underlying cross current of concerns about the strength of the global economy as we head in to year end. You've got concerns about rising Delta virus infection rates in Asia, you've got concerns about vaccine durability, not efficacy, durability. When will people need a booster shot? Those Pfizer people who've got double jabbed in January, February and March are likely to have to need to see another one. As we head into the autumn, how easy will it be for countries like the US, UK and obviously countries in Europe to get a booster jab into people's arms at the time that they're still giving second jabs to a proportion of their overall population? It would be easier for someone like the UK, which is double jab 75% of its population. But for countries that are behind that, it's going to be that much more difficult. We've also got to contend with China component of this overall story. And they're looking to pour sand in the wheels of its own recovery story with a crackdown, regulatory crackdowns on tech, on prices in terms of precious metals, in terms of the luxury sector talking about wealth redistribution, which has hit the luxury sector this week. We've had Toyota this week talking about halving vehicle production in September from 900,000 motor vehicles to 500,000 motor vehicles. If that is replicated across the sector, that is going to cause a slowdown in economic activity. So you've got all of that basically feeding into this narrative this week of equity market weakness. And that's what we have to look at when we're talking about what the markets are doing. If we look at what the FTSE 100 has done this week, last week we were up here around about 7,200 and we've declined five days in a row, pretty much wiping out all of the gains of the previous week. Now, does that mean we're going to go crashing into a bear market? Does that mean we're going to come all the way back to the 200 day moving average? Possibly. But again, we're in the wider range that we've been in over the course of the past few months. So yes, we could see some further downside. There's decent support around 7,000. That's likely to be a very key support level on the downside. Similarly with the German DAX. If we look at the German DAX here, we've got another sharp fall at the moment. We're holding above the 50 day moving average. But again, this is all the way back on Friday last week. So we've gone with a slow climb all the way up and then we're back down to where we started pretty much two weeks ago at the beginning of August. So in essence, we've gone nowhere in August, despite all the narratives of table concerns, this, that and the other. Similar sort of story, S&P 500. Now this is an interesting chart because we're on the 50 day moving average. But we're also on this very decent trend line that I've drawn in through here as well as this key support level all the way through here. So this could be interesting if we break below the 50 day moving average because we could see a little bit of a sharp move back to these areas. These are these lows that we saw all the way back in July 20th of July. So I think it's very important to not get too caught up in the overly pessimistic narrative or the overly positive narrative.  And that's the price action price action basically dictates what the markets are feeling at any given time on what the flows are actually doing. Look at the NASDAQ again 50 day moving average. It's, you know, it's really quite something when you look at the number of technical indicators, which tend to be fairly common across the board. So we've got the NASDAQ 50 day moving average acting as a support S&P 50 day moving average acting as a support DAX 50 day moving average acting as a support. Now the fly in the ointment as has always been is offering the Nikkei 225 and I've talked about this at fairly great length over the course of the past two to three weeks. Asia is the fly in the ointment of the global recovery story. So we're seeing that played out in the Nikkei. So how we react around this 27,000 area this area of support through here could dictate how much further upside we have for equity markets in general. But certainly if we look at the way the dollars performed this week, it's been very much a case of risk off. The dollar is going higher simply on the basis of the fact that people are coming out, investors are coming out of stocks and they're putting their money in the haven trade of the US dollar. The only currency that these come even close to the dollar performance this week has been the Japanese yen, which is a classic risk off currency. The Japanese yen hasn't really gone anywhere this week. You know, and you can see and you can see that played out in this dolly in chart here in pretty uneventful traded in a fairly tight range over the course of the past few days. So that's, that's the dolly in for you. So looking looking ahead to next week we've broken some fairly key support levels on euro dollar. And that suggests to me that we've got scope to go quite a bit lower. I say quite a bit lower. It's all relative. It's this is this is these double lows here around about 116, which was the lows from 28th of September around about September, October, November, 2020. That's the next key support level on euro dollar now that we're below 117 we haven't been able to get back above 117 10. And that for me, I think if we can get back above 117 10 will get a bit of a short squeeze. Now we are oversold. It is true, but just because we're oversold doesn't mean we can't continue to go lower. So you have to basically trade what you see here. We've broken below this key support level, which the bias means suggests that we could well see further losses back towards this next area of support. 116 12. So 116 figure 10. You're really talking about that low there that very long shadow candle there from November. 116 03. So how euro dollar behaves between 116 and 117 could dictate is likely to dictate where we go to next cables at a poor week. Despite the fact that the data this week by and large hasn't been that bad. Yeah, retail sales disappointing minus 2.4% public finances are much better for July as a result of high tax revenues and lower furlough payments. So half of what they were in June, we look as if we're going to come back all the way back down to 135 70 on cable. Why simply on the basis of the fact that we've broken below a host of key support levels all the way down from here. So once we broke below 50% level at 137 70, we went back to the next one 137 30 rebounded went all the way back and then came all the way back down again. So now for cable what we really need to do is make sure that we hold above 135 70. If it drops back below there we should say should see a rebound again we're oversold but again just because we're oversold doesn't necessarily mean we can't continue to fall back. To fall back to this area of support anywhere between 136 and 135 70 you can see that through this area of lows in the candles here. The absolute lowest 135 70, but you've also got loads around about 135 90 135 80 and 135 85. So in and around between 135 80 and 136 there's some there is an area of support for cable. If we drop below that, on the other hand, then we're really looking at a much darker picture in terms of where we could potentially go to next and then we have to start looking back at around about the lows of this year, which is around about 135 30 or even 134 80. So always look for previous support and resistance levels when we're looking for breaks of key levels euro sterling confounded. My expectations and ultimately you have to admit you're wrong on that by the bullet take it on the chin and didn't follow through on the downside we're now back up towards 85 74 85 85 80. This likely to be the next key resistance level, but again, we're still in the overall range that we've been in over the course of the past few weeks and months, and ultimately we could at a pinch head all the way back up here. The ultimate short squeeze is in place here. We are now in a shorter term uptrend for euro sterling, and we can basically draw that line in like so and draw it through those loads there. There we go. Actually, you could probably draw that line in there as well. Let's just get rid of that and redraw that. On there. Touch to the low. That's through there. It's not quite so it requires a little bit of tweaking. We'll use that one. And then that one there. So I mean, that's euro sterling for you. I mean, there is there is a fairly decent resistance around 85 80 that also coincides with a series of highs through here. So fairly decent selling interest through there could well get a drift back towards this series of highs here, which is around about 85 30. So the euro sterling does tend to generally operate in pockets of 50 points. So if it fails at 80, usually drops back to around about 20 or 30. So usually it's not hard and fast for all. So something to bear in mind. Okay, so moving on to the Jackson Hole symposium. Now, I think up until recently, I think they had been an expectation that this year symposium which this year will be a limited in person program. Like last year where it was a virtual affair. Last year the the Fed outlined their new policy of average inflation targeting or a it. Now this policy has been very apparent in the past few months in the central bank is prepared to tolerate prices rising much much much higher above its 2% target for extended periods of time. I mean, when you've got core PCE levels, which is the feds preferred measure of inflation targeting rising from levels of one and a half percent at the end of last year to be currently at around about three and a half percent already. And little sign that the Federal Reserve is any mood to slow down its current bond buying program. It's quite clear where the feds priorities are. It's not in controlling inflation. It's really about the labor market and that is going. That is going in the right direction weekly jobless claims are continuing to fall. And this week's symposium could offer guidelines and how the Fed is looking at how to start tapering its bond purchase but bond buying program as we head into the awesome. Now, those minutes were from July. So they predated the two payroll, the July payrolls report of 900 of 1000 and the June payrolls report which was upgraded to 950,000. So there is a discussion going on about the composition of when the Federal Reserve is likely to start looking at winding down this bond buying program. But you also have to understand that if we continue to see the declines that we've been seeing in equity markets over the course of the past week, and we continue to have concerns about a growth slowdown in Q4. For all this talk about a Fed taper, there is a there is a there is a likelihood that it may get delayed. It may not happen until next year. So, while you can talk about, you know, markets being spooked by a Fed taper, that Fed taper may not happen if all those other cross currents that I mentioned earlier in my update start to cause concerns about a growth slowdown. So the symposium is important, but it's only important in the context of the data holding up. So in that context, the August payrolls report at the beginning of September is likely to be a key bellwether going forward. We've also got France and Germany manufacturing and services flash PMI and we've got UK manufacturing and services flash PMI on the 23rd of August on the Monday. And they'll give us a fairly decent idea of how the German economy is basically reacting to the slowdowns that we're seeing in China. And we're certainly seeing an impact in business confidence in the past few weeks in terms of German business confidence, the recent floods as well. And that on consumer confidence, obviously there is there is potential for a little bit of a little bit of a concern there. Likewise, in France, there's been increasing evidence that business activity has been declining with both manufacturing and services slipping back in July from the June level. So I'll be surprised if we don't see a little bit of weakness in the August numbers, obviously there's also a little bit of a holiday factor, as well as factories shut down over the holiday period. Not so much in the UK, there's been an increasing disconnect in recent months between what PMI is telling us in the UK in terms of manufacturing and industrial production. And the actual headline PMI numbers because the headline PMI numbers have been fairly solid coming in in the 60s, whereas we've been seeing declines in manufacturing and industrial production. So there's a little bit of a disconnect or a divergence there. Obviously the pandemic is likely to have affected services flash PMI as we saw that are reflected in a big fall in the services July PMI is and we could see that carry over into August as well. Need to also keep an eye on higher cost prices being reported by businesses as they struggle to source necessary materials for the various goods and services. And we also have the German PMI not German PMI German IFA business climate for August as well and that is likely to be a fairly instructive affair in terms of German business confidence, particularly ahead of next month's German elections. Angela Merkel is stepping down. And who knows who's going to replace her, but from what I've seen of the various candidates, their political pygmies in comparison to Angela Merkel who's been like a colossus over German politics for the last 16 years. You know, you can argue as to how effective she's been. She's certainly been effective at maintaining the status quo, but she's certainly what not what I would have called a transformative Chancellor. And maybe that's what Germany needs and certainly there's no evidence that that is going to happen. We've also got second quarter US GDP the second iteration of that. That was a little bit of a disappointment on the first on the first draft came in at 6.4%, which was a little bit disappointing. I'm sorry, 6.5%, which is a little bit disappointing because we're expecting a number of around about 8.5. That being said, personal consumption was stronger than expected at 11.8%. But the fact that it fell short the GDP number, I mean, suggests that there are headwinds that US businesses having to contend with, particularly in the areas of the economy like manufacturing construction, where I think people were expecting a slightly bigger contribution. So supply chains disruptions, shortages of key parts, prompting factory shutdowns, business disruptions, still expecting a slight up revision to around about 6.6% annualized revision. So that by and large should be fairly positive and that's due out on the 27th. And we've also got US personal spending, as well as PCE inflation. And obviously the PCE numbers are likely to be closely watched after coming in at 3.5% in June. Now what struck me about them was that they slipped back in June, while PPI went up and CPI sort of flatlined or only increased very, very, you know, in a very marginal manner. So there is a little bit of uncertainty overall about US PCE deflator, core PCE deflator. And it's been trending higher for several months. And as I say, as I said earlier, you know, in the space of eight months, it's more than doubled from the levels it was at the end of last year when it was at 1.5%. We slept back in June, will we do the same thing in July, given the fact that on PPI measures, prices are still continuing to rise. You know, I think that is the big concern overall, you know, the Fed can look at the PCE as much as it likes. But there are underlying inflationary pressures, not only in the US economy, but globally as well because of supply chain disruptions, container ship fees and what have you, you know, freight fees, they are exerting underlying pressure on company profit margins and that's not currently being reflected in current stock market valuations. So, yeah, as I say, one one good thing about the recent decline in commodity prices is the fact that the energy components are starting to come down quite a bit and that's likely to be welcome news or consumers like you and me who need to basically fill up their cars every so often. In terms of earnings next week, it's fairly light. We've got Best Buy US Electronics retailer, which is done fairly well, tends to operate in the shadows of Target and Walmart. But nonetheless, still expecting to see some fairly decent revenues, online sales have been good, they jump 37.2% in Q1, revenues in Q1 are $11.6 billion, share price pretty uneventful. Fairly decent support in the share price anywhere through the June lows, July lows there and heading back towards this week. So talking around about 106 as a decent area of support for Best Buy. We've also got a recent IPO here in the UK, Bridgepoint Private Equity Company, own stakes in Fatface and Hobbycraft and just just bought a stake in fast food chain. It's Sue, been looking to update the market on its latest first half numbers, as well as potentially providing an update on its plans with respect to the Burger King franchise which it owns here in the UK and which is reportedly looking to sell and off low. Company currently has 27 billion euros of funds under management and a presence across the US, Europe and China. In 2020 the company generated 192 million pounds in revenues and profits of just under 50 million on a much lower figure for assets under management so it'll be very interesting to see whether or not and what happened there with that graph. We just reset that. Doesn't like that for whatever reason. Yeah, so as I say IPO at 350, it's quite comfortable at 5500, 500p. So that's that's Bridgepoint we've also got snowflake q2 numbers on the 25th we've got Salesforce q2 numbers on the 25th. And we've got US consumer chain, William Sonoma, which specializes in a range of household cookware bakeware and furniture. If you've ever heard of pottery barn, Western brands. That's the company that owns them. So, as I say that's it for this week's weekly market update. I had some technical problems this morning so I'm actually quite relieved. I've managed to get through this without too much in the way of incident, shall we say, but thank you very much for listening. This is Michael Houston, wishing you a very nice weekend, and speaking to you and hope to speak to you same time, same place next week. Thank you very much.


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