2 Samuel chapter 5 and verse 1 until verse 5 then all the tribes of Israel came to David saying indeed we are your bone and your flesh also in the time past when Saul was a king over us you were the one who led Israel out and brought them in the Lord said to you you shall shepherd my people Israel and be ruler over Israel therefore all the elders of Israel came to the king at Hebron and king David made a covenant with them at Hebron before the Lord and they anointed David king over Israel David was 30 years old when he began to reign and he reigned 40 years in Hebron he reigned over Judah 7 years and 6 months and in Jerusalem reign 33 years over all Israel and Judah somebody say amen we have a lot of people who are very anointed very known and thorough in the scripture and I'm not going to just try to preach some kind of a thing to make you feel confused or say it's very deep I just want to share something very practical that will launch us into the sessions that we will have in just about 40 or 35 minutes or so as a local church we've been in a series that we've called it host the Holy Ghost meaning to host the Holy Spirit in our life and this morning I want to talk about how to activate the activity of the Holy Spirit in our life somebody say with me activate the activity of the Holy Spirit in my life turn to the neighbor say activate the activity of the Holy Spirit in your life turn to the other neighbor say get activated in Jesus name anointing of the Holy Spirit is one of the most important things that we need as Christians anointing of the Holy Spirit is what breaks the yoke anointing of the Holy Spirit is what heals the sick anointing of the Holy Spirit is what draws lost people to salvation anointing of the Holy Spirit is what draws young people to church what draws young people to church is not coffee and smoke machines on the stage what draws young people to church is not ribbed jeans or earrings in their ears what draws young people contrary to popular opinion is not clapping or dancing it's the anointing of the Holy Ghost anointing is not hype anointing is not volume anointing is not lights anointing is not smoke machine anointing is not ribbed jeans anointing is not even shaking and baking it's the power that produces change in people's lives anointing is one of the things that the devil will fight and attack in the last days more than anything else Satan is going to be the anti Christ anti Christ meaning he will go anti anointing he's not going to be anti Jesus he's not going to be anti savior he's going to be anti anointing that means Satan hates anointing because anointing is the only thing that can cripple his kingdom he's not afraid of good sermons he's not afraid of fabulous music he's not afraid of our facilities he's not afraid of the eloquence of our speech he's not afraid of our professional organizational skills he's not afraid of the gift of administration none of those things can cripple his kingdom like one drop of God's anointing and therefore devil will do whatever it takes to entice Christians first to hate anointing despise anointing to not embrace anointing to get offended at the anointing to trip over the anointing and to completely wash their hands off and say I don't want to do anything that has to do with the power of the Holy Spirit in the church today I don't understand it I don't like it it makes me uncountable it's crazy because it goes outside of my box of thinking I didn't grow up seeing this I didn't grow up embracing this the way I grew up we didn't do that and the devil will do whatever it takes to put you against the anointing because the anointing goes against him what we need as church is more of the anointing what you need as a Christian is more of the anointing healing is great but anointing is better because anointing produces healings see getting an apple is good having an apple tree is better getting delivered is great but getting relationship with Holy Spirit is so much better because he produces freedom he produces healing he produces salvation and he produces change in our life if you agree say amen amen David was the man who got anointed at a very young age when he was very young a prophet named Samuel came to David and he anointed him to be a king David was not old enough to be a king David wasn't ready to be a king David didn't have the education to be a king David had no connections to be a king David's dad wasn't a king nobody in his family was a king and the prophet at the very young age comes to David and says you are a king I want to encourage every person who doesn't consider themselves young today don't believe in young generation when you see signs of potential it's too late you got to believe and speak into teenagers to see signs of change you got to develop a Samuel anointing a Samuel's gift and Samuel's gift is he sees a teenager he doesn't see a kid he sees a king we have today older people who don't see a king who see a kid in a kid it doesn't take Holy Spirit to see a kid in a kid it takes the Holy Spirit to see a king inside of the kid and it doesn't take the Holy Spirit to see a king inside of the king people come up to me today and they say Vlad I listen to your messages you're so anointed I know that where were you when I was 14 when my prayer was God kill me in a car accident because I know I have no purpose in this life and my pastor did not wait until I preached my sermon good he starts speaking into me that there is a king inside of this confused and secure kid and he started to speak into me before I even believed it and those words produced something the Holy Spirit because I believed in those words start producing change inside of my heart many pastors today are threatened by young generation some pastors today they see young generation as a threat like Saul did with David when he saw David rising up he saw him as a threat to his kingdom so he wanted to kill them churches today fight against young people because they see young people as a threat if we give them too much freedom they'll act this and they'll act that young people are not a threat you're just insecure come on church help me out amen there is the rest of us we don't see young people as a threat but we see young people as victims Israel when they were walking to promised land they looked at their children and they saw them as victims they said this to God and God repeated back to them in numbers and the children that you call victims will possess the promised land God was saying sometimes we get so negative as parents that we are barely winning any breakthrough in our own life we look at our poor children and we're like if I cannot breakthrough they'll never breakthrough but you have to understand never see next generation through the lenses of your history and your experience but through the lenses of God's promise and God's plan for this if you are a young person you should be clapping right now because that means God has a plan for your life come on somebody young generation are not victims young generation are part of God's plan in the last days there is also a category of people who don't see them as victims or don't see them as threat they simply curse the next generation by calling next generation by their current situation by their current problem it's kind of like Rachel did when she was in pain of child labor and a baby popped up but it cost her so much pain and she looked at that little child and she said you're a son of my sorrow it's kind of like what the other people did when Jacob was born and say you're suplanter it's what Elisha did when his servant made a mistake and he says let leprosy of name and come upon you never curse somebody because you're hurting because you're struggling my Lord Jesus Christ saw his disciples hurting and suffering and making a lot of mistakes but you never once see Jesus making the leprosy of the sick people and his disciples because they made a mistake even an Judas Jesus didn't even curse Judas he still called him a friend even though Judas was acting like a devil when your kid is acting out and he's an alcoholic never call him an alcoholic call him a preacher with a great testimony when your child doesn't want to come to church call him a missionary simply say God will use you you're gonna be great in God's kingdom it irritates them you wanna really make them mad look at them prophetically not prophetically don't look at them through the lens of the reality look at the next generation and begin to say I see greatness in you I know God's gonna use you in these last days God is little bit short on people and so I signed you up on God's plan you got no choice I'm your mama I brought you into this world and I signed you up with God's kingdom Samuel makes David a king when David is not even ready to get a license Samuel calls him a king when he's not ready to even get married I love this about God he starts very early you see these teenagers we have pastors here today we have bishops here today we have pastors from different countries in this room do you know why every service we have teenagers represented on this stage because if the world gives them license at 16 at 15 they better be speaking in tongues healing the sick casting out devils leading people to Christ and already know how to pray how to preach and how to lead other teenagers in their school to God if at 11 they get introduced to weed that means at 12 they got to be introduced to Christ if at 14 it's an average age where a teenage girl loses her virginity this is where at 14 they have to lose their pride to God and lose their arrogance and lust at the altar give the life to God if Mormons make their teenagers missionaries before they go to universities that's why we have intership that before you go to your university give one year to God you're still going to spend that year in your university studying for a degree you are most likely will not use because you will change your majors three times prophetic word by the way for you so instead of changing your major four times and having your parents pay for your confusing trying to discover God's will for my life pause give that one year to God join an intership whether it's at our church or somebody's church and then make a difference for God before you go trying to make living in this world are you with me church so I see that Samuel anoints David at a very young age David had a calling on his life and his calling was to deliver the people of Israel from their enemies God never called people in the Old Testament to make them rich famous or because they were great God only was calling people because there was an assignment on their life to bring his people out of certain trouble that they were in when God calls a man or a woman it's not because he deserves to be called it's not because he now lives so righteous that God gives him an award when God calls somebody it's usually a response to a cry of someone else that God has been hearing as you're sitting here right now and I am speaking with you in our church there's a voice message that's currently completely full people are calling our church number and leaving their voice message there now the interesting part is you and I don't actually hear those voice messages the only person who knows that somebody's leaving a voice message is somebody who's at the office right now I want to tell you something from a large generation people are crying out to God every single day single moms who cannot pay their bills people who get heartbroken as we saw the testimonies and people who are demon possessed people who are suffering under the burden of homosexuality lesbianism people who cannot figure out their gender today people who are today maybe are rejected maybe molested maybe those who are being raped drugs before they go to sleep and you all have done it so am I when we didn't serve God we say God help me and God hears those prayers he collects those prayers in the cup and when the cup runs over in each city God picks up a phone and dials a person in that city and says I'm calling you to ministry now you think God's calling you because you're special you think God's calling you because he hates you maybe he's like Lord I want it to be a businessman and you're calling me to ministry Lord what have I done you think God is calling you to be a missionary or God is calling you to preach it's because maybe God wants to just annoy you you don't realize the only reason God's calling you is because he's answering somebody's cry it's answering somebody's cry when at the age of 16 when I fell the call of God in my life I never thought until now that I meet people who get impacted by my ministry I never thought that God knew all of that and he wasn't calling me for any other reason except for this he knew the cries of people that my life supposed to impact and God was trying to be fair with those people by answering their cry if I would answer the call do you know why healings don't happen deliverances don't happen do you know why people go to hell because we don't pick up the phone for every lost person in the world God makes a phone call many of us we have our phone unsilent or some of us we like the feeling of conviction but we love the snooze button too much we love getting convicted oh it feels so good it feels so bad but it feels so good we are spending costals especially we love feeling bad about ourselves coming to the altar oh man it hurts but it feels so good I know I will do nothing absolutely with this but it still feels good snooze snooze snooze and then we say why is God letting people go to hell why do you let him go to hell God gave his son what are you giving for that I'm on Facebook road to me and he says I can't believe in God because if he's so loving why is he letting people go to hell who don't never heard of him I said actually it's not God's fault it's yours I said get off of your Facebook and go start preaching to people if you really want people to say don't talk about it go talk to them God has done everything God can do so everybody can be saved now what he does is he calls us to be a solution and to be an answer to this world but what most of us are doing is we're fighting in the church and what style of music we're gonna have what style of clothing we're gonna have and what color of carpet are we gonna have instead of people who are going to hell English language it's not about you but I want my name I want to preserve the culture I'm in America I need to preserve my culture in the church well I hope you will be really good and confident when you meet Jesus Christ whose eyes are burning with fire and your accomplishment on this earth was I preserve the culture he says I died to save the world and you lived to preserve your culture which means nothing now in eternity it will be embarrassing we need to live for the cause of seeing people come to Jesus are you with me when we live with that calling God gives us anointing on that calling say this with me say I am anointed and I am appointed you are appointed to win souls and make disciples you are appointed because you are appointed you are already anointed come on if you believe in that give God a shout of praise right now thank you Jesus but being anointed does not mean that anointing is functional in our life a lot of times what happens is that for those of you who maybe got a new phone or you got a debit card in the mail or a credit card you have found this to be true that a credit card or debit card arrives to you and they have this thing a sticker on it that it cannot be used until it gets what's the word so everything is there it's your card it has your name on it it's connected to your account everything is there it's just if you go to ATM or you go anywhere it will not work what? come on say El Camino activate it so I want to share with you right now three things that activate the anointing of the Holy Spirit or the power of the Holy Spirit the first one is desperation somebody say desperation come on say desperation a lot of times when you discover you are called by God and you start to get desperate for God like never before you become so hungry for God that you begin to notice that it's not just you speaking now it's not just you ministering right now it is the Holy Spirit moving through you are you with me number two it's not only desperation somebody say association say association so not only you are desperate but you have to also associate yourself with certain kind of people you know we know that the quote that says a feather they fly together the Bible says that people who walk together with the wise they will become wise when you connect yourself many times with people who are anointed it robs off on you right same thing as the opposite if you always hang out with people who curse f-bombs will slip out of your mouth if you surround yourself with people who are poor you will be like that if you surround yourself with people who are walking with God seeing people saved, seeing people delivered it will quickly begin to rub off on you that's one of the reasons I don't listen to anything I want to listen to on YouTube or on my phone I don't even listen to all the preachers I want to listen to because I want to have exactly in my ministry and in my life what I listen to because through listening to someone reading a book watching somebody's videos there is an act of impartation into your life so you receive activation through association and the third thing is impartation so the way we get activated is when we get desperate when we surround ourselves with people who walk with God and number three when we get impartation now for David Samuel came he took a jar of oil and he poured on David's head and when the oil touched him and Samuel prayed for him and pronounced the blessings the spirit of God came upon David at that moment and because David was careful enough to continue to surround himself with anointed people like Samuel Nathan Prophet and others and because David was careful enough to continue being hungry for God that anointing grew with him it didn't die now I want to point out something that's very important and it's been a painful experience for me when I was younger David received impartation without physical manifestation David did not shake did not fall did not speak in tongues and didn't prophesy nothing happened on the outside a lot of times apostles and she whoever the pastor that you look up to people come up to them and they say pray for me so that I will walk in the same grace that you walk in or like tomorrow is going to happen what apostles going to pray for everyone and many of us will experience absolutely nothing David had exactly same experience Samuel prayed for him no shaking no vibrating no falling no speaking in tongues no prophesying nothing this is what I found out when you receive impartation and nothing your body doesn't react you're still anointed if your mind reacts King Saul was anointed and there was reaction he started to prophesy he went he saw the prophets and he started to say thus says the Lord one time when there was anointing King Saul vibrated on the floor and shook all night but one thing about King Saul is that nothing in his mind ever changed he didn't go from son of Kish to become an anointed man his body reacted better than his mind and therefore on his inauguration Saul was hiding behind bags David never experienced any physical but mentally something shifted in David when Samuel prayed for him he says that's it God is with me, the spirit is with me and when a lion comes David doesn't run David runs at the lion unlike Saul who hides he runs at problems he begins to experience God's supernatural favor because real importation is not when your body reacts it's when your mind transforms about five years ago I was in a very desperate situation in my life where nothing was wrong physically nothing was wrong financially nothing was wrong in any other area except one spiritually I started to notice that we see healings on our conferences but I don't see them personally in my life we proclaim salvation salvation salvation but when the altar call was given nobody's coming to the altar call we're not baptizing people and our church is very very small and I decided to take a desperate I became very very desperate where I took all of my money that I had and we gave them away to one particular ministry that sees many people come to know Christ and we asked this ministry to pray for me and my wife so that we can see salvation I didn't ask for miracles I just wanted to see salvation and I also wanted to see God's favor in the area of spiritual walk with him I met with this particular minister and I asked him to pray for me for the impartation of seeing people coming to know Christ he took my hands it was one minute twenty seconds prayer I haven't recorded on my phone he prayed very calmly and nothing happened I walked out and I was like man just empty my whole account at least a shaking baking that's a heavy price I'm like I know some people who shake if the man of God comes two or three miles of them and my body I'm like one of those some of you hear them my body is like Baptist body or something it just doesn't respond to any costal experiences like Ben he comes in everybody falls and I stand anybody I mean unless then after a while when I see that he keeps pushing me I'll just go down to help you so you don't get discouraged I just don't react my body I'm not one of those people who doesn't react and when I left the meeting with this minister of God and I had two things to do one of them and I said Lord nothing happened and God says you choose what happened he says do you believe in the prayer that he just prayed he says if you do accept it and begin to see yourself that you're anointed by God to see salvation and to see healing and that's what I did I switched my mind I know people who that minister and many others prayed for who shook on the floor for three days and couldn't stop speaking in tongues nothing changed in their life I'd rather have no manifestation in my body but a transformation in my mind and change in my life and change in my ministry than shake and beg but there's no results and there's no food the Bible says your life is transformed by the renewing of your mind not vibration of your body some of you can be free the moment you get touched your heart God set you free but I didn't shook but the demon didn't say anything praise God you receive freedom and you live out of that freedom the Bible says who the son says free is free indeed but it also says you shall know the truth and the truth will set you free sometimes God sets you free and you shake and beg and we love this stuff but sometimes God touches you with the sense of knowing something changed and you walk out with the renewed mind and your life changes King Saul was vibrating but he never changed his mind David there was no physical manifestation but his mind shifted and his life was forever transformed same thing happens with our team they see more healings I think sometimes even people who do healing ministries on a weekly basis they live normal jobs have businesses what happened something shifted in their mind I'm the person God can use it can happen today I don't have to have a healing crusade to see God move through me I don't have to be a pastor to see the Lord use me to influence other people and as they go about their life God uses them why not because impartation happened through shaking because impartation happened through revelation that God has anointed me when I got prayed and that's it come on let's put our hands together for Jesus Christ I want you to see David got anointed David did not apply for being a king David didn't go searching who's hiring for being a king and David didn't come to Saul and say FYI just letting you know I'm next in line you better start training me when you're anointed never grab for a platform seek for opportunity where you can serve when you finally figure out that you're special grab a vacuumer and learn how to vacuum your church when you finally come out of their low surface seam make sure you learn how to put gloves and clean toilets because David's anointing did not demand a platform it sought for an opportunity where David can serve same David anointed to kill giants after playing music for Saul and getting rid of the demons from Saul Saul says you're free and David you know what David did went back to be with the sheep because there's one thing about anointed people they have to maintain a small view of themselves otherwise that anointing will kill them just because every person you prayed for in the mall got healed don't grow wings remain small in your eyes because God came to Saul when Saul started to make mistakes and Samuel said this to Saul from God he says when you were small in your eyes he says I picked you but now your head got swollen anointed people must also learn never to take offense when opportunities are presented to them that are below their anointing you asked me to be an usher did you know I'm a prophet I am an apostle why am I sitting on the back real apostle real prophet real pastor is somebody who is just like their savior who one day can give prophecies walk on water step down, gird himself and wash somebody's feet if you cannot pick up a towel I have an audacity to question not the anointing but your crazy character God is not interested in building superheroes God is not looking to create justice league or revengeous league God is building his kingdom and everyone in his kingdom from the guy who holds the microphone to every person there is first a servant and I want to tell you something right now in our church we have this policy if God really really really anointed you I want to see results on the street and in kids ministry some of you heard when Ivan got up and spoke and God uses him powerfully in healing a year ago I remember when Ivan just moved from California and he came up and one of the things he wanted to do is to be more involved in church and I said Ivan we go street evangelizing why are you not on the streets and I remember he looked at me and was like well that's below me if serving is below you leading is above you if you're too small if you're too big I'm sorry for serving and you're too small for leading and I told him I was like Ivan until you used by God on the streets and secondly until you serve the kids in the kids zone and I hear healings from the kids the stage is no place for people with ambition stage is a place for people with the heart and the anointing and today when he goes to kids ministry for salvation, two healings two baptism of the Holy Spirit and all the kids love him why? and he doesn't preach at the church he preaches at the streets when I before I preached at the church I preached at homeless shelter and I preached at jails I stopped going to homeless shelters because we would do fights after the sermon one side would fight another side it was a great sermon they loved each other I ended the sermon and they started a war there I couldn't pass through because they were all throwing stuff and I stopped going to jails because they would pat me three times each time because I was 21 and they thought I was bringing drugs to the inmates because Russians who are 21 don't go preaching in jail the only jail ministry led by Russians it's usually about 60 and above not 21 year olds I preached first at homeless shelter then in jail and so I had my two practices and then on Wednesday night I preached to a crazy youth group they didn't fight and they didn't pat me they didn't pat me down but I want to tell you something if you want to be used by God if you're anointed don't look for a platform look for a place to serve and sometimes that place of serving is not going to be anything special God is the only one who knows how to connect the dots when you serve you may say if I'm going to go serve nobody is going to notice me you don't want people to notice you you want God to notice you and put you people if they put you here they'll put you down from here whoever puts you there has the power to take you down but if people don't put you there they can never take you down what if his wife can took Joseph's reputation she couldn't take his anointing she ripped everything from him but she couldn't take his grace and the favor of God upon his life but when God puts you in there when God gives you the platform there was an opportunity to kill soul and grab a platform for his anointing but he says I trust God to put me in there and when absolutely to take his platform David walked off and he says if God doesn't want me there I don't want to be there but I don't have to shine I want you to remember this when you're anointed don't look for a place to shine look for a place to serve don't look for a place to shine look for a place to serve I'm bringing this message to an end and we're going to pray right now the important thing that I wanted to share with you is this David got anointed as a teenager to be a king only at 30 years of age he saw a drop of the promise of God is when he was leading one tribe tribe of Judah for 7 months for 7 years and 6 months and for 7 years he was faithful with one tribe this great king anointed by God but he's only managing one tribe for 7 years and after 7 and a half years God saw his faithfulness God saw that he didn't use it as an excuse or compare himself to other kings who had more God saw that he grew and he became stronger with that one tribe he didn't say God why did you let me go through all of this and normally you gave me one tribe God I deserve more one tribe's on the day of his anointing and I didn't get nothing I fought and I wrestled and I finally got the breakthrough and it came in the form of one tribe God I'm offended David never did that he had one tribe he managed that tribe he worked with that tribe he grew that tribe he became stronger the house of David became stronger the house of Saul became weaker and weaker and then came a point he was managing one tribe that God said David I'm going to give you 12 tribes now God's anointing will begin a process in your life where God will give you in small nuggets of the things he promised to you some people get everything but watch those people those things they get never last because they didn't stretch they didn't grow their mind didn't shift the structure wasn't developed to maintain what God gave them it came in it ripped everything apart and two years later everything is back where it used to be and what God does with David and he will do that with you and he will do that with me is that he first makes you who you are you begin to serve you begin to be faithful and finally he gives you a breakthrough just the tribe of Judah and instead of comparing yourself to another pastor instead of comparing yourself to another person instead of complaining and saying God I deserve more God when is my harvest going to come listen work the tribe of Judah for 7 and a half years work the tribe of Judah for the 7 and a half years and there is God's timing where God will measure all the rest of the 11 tribes and in one day he will not add tribes by years he will add them all at once acceleration will take place when Jesus came on this earth he was announced to be a son of God at the river Jordan later on he got announced to be a son of God by the church you know that Jesus is still waiting to be announced as a son of God by the world Jesus only got one tribe he is still waiting for the 11 tribes he is still waiting for the fullness where every knee will bow and every tongue will confess even Jesus is still waiting for his full inheritance if you are in that place right now you have gotten that one tribe I want to tell you something I want to encourage you today to activate yourself in the Holy Spirit I want to encourage you today to pray for the sick I want to encourage you today to witness the people I want to encourage you today the anointing that you got whenever you got it is laying dormant until you stop being lazy and stop waiting for God to move you move and God will follow we are not in the Moses time where Moses waited Joshua stepped in and God split the door we are in the time where God says these signs will follow we don't follow the signs behind us we take a step, God takes a step you pray for the sick, God says I will heal you witness to somebody, God says I will save them you will pray for somebody it's freedom, God says I will deliver them you move, move don't wait for the microphone don't wait for somebody to give you recommendation don't wait for somebody to open the door for you you go find a place to serve not a place to shine but a place to serve it measures you a next step and you will notice that where things will shift in your life things will shift in your family things will shift in your tiny ministry and there will be that one tribe don't ever be a man who took one talent remember in the New Testament and what he did with that talent with a bad attitude he buried it, he says what's the use of this if it's not wealth he buried it and God came back to him and he says you lazy and you wicked servant if God is using you in words of knowledge that only heals people's back never be embarrassed of that make sure everybody's back is healed if God uses you to witness to people in the way that he gives you prophetic words about their destiny and you see somebody who's doing a crusade make sure you use that one talent and one tribe until God himself measures another level of the grace in your life never compare never complain and never grumble about what God has entrusted you with because that's not his spoiled brat attitude kills the trouble of God's grace and he stops the timing of God to bring a change in our life I just decree and declare that it's gonna be an acceleration at God's time but until then work your tribe work your talent if you got those 20 people make sure that those 20 people are the best 20 people make sure that you're doing today what you would do if you would have a thousand people you pray today like you would pray when you would have a thousand people you fast today like you would fast as if you would have a thousand people you today smile you today preach like you would have a thousand people now make sure you don't spend your money like you would have a thousand people because you'd be broke.  I am not going to be offended if I don't have a place to shine. I'll look for a place to serve. And God, if you entrust me with one tribe, I promise one thing. I'll never stop being hungry. I'll never stop being holy. And I'll never stop being humble. My head is not going to blow up in pride. My heart is not going to get big in offense. And if somebody doesn't cheat me right, if somebody talks about me, if somebody has their expert opinion about me, I am not going to let that get into my head or into my heart.  And I only had you, but I'm going to be the same man. And God, you can count on that. God sees that. He will bless you. Honest rise, Trophy. Thank you for watching this content. I hope this was a blessing to you. If you're like me and you like to click on things, click on this, subscribe to our channel, and the content will come to you every time we post it. And remember, the best is yet to come.


Welcome to my channel, I am Arpata Karwa and this is a video dedicated for all the aspirants who want to understand how to revise in the last few days. I am pretty sure that UGC Net exam is coming nearer and your heartbeats are also raising in the same speed. So if that is the case with you, don't worry this video is specifically for all those who are struggling with the question, what if I forget on the day of the exam? How should I remember? How should I revise all this that I have studied in so many months and give my best shot on the day of the exam? So if that is you then keep watching this video because in this video I am going to tell you some scientific tips on how to improve your memory and prepare for a competitive exam by revising in a certain way. So let's begin without any further delay but before that there are a lot of other videos which I have made specifically for UGC Net aspirants. There are videos on how to solve MCQs, on how to make mind maps and remember faster, what are the things that you must remember when you are giving your exams, some do's and don'ts. So don't forget checking out all these videos before you sit for the exam because in these videos I have given you some mistakes which commonly students make and lose out on important marks. So all the video links are there in the I button also you can find these videos on my YouTube channel so subscribe my channel and get to see all these videos in the playlist. The first important principle of revision is the very simple fact that information plus emotion leads to long term memory. I'll explain what this actually means. We all must understand the fact that whatever we are learning that is actually attaching itself with certain emotion. Let me tell you while I was attending a neuro linguistic programming seminar last week I figured out a very very important thing which said that human beings are emotional beings, we are not logical beings, we are emotional beings.  Let me tell you friend that if you think this you are mistaken, why? I can sing a song for you and that might actually take you to a childhood memory.  A very simple example would be maa ke haath ka kana, when you eat something after 20 years also you can totally relate that this is just like the way my mother used to cook food. So you can see how any information which has a very strong emotion attached to it is going to be stored in your long term memory. 20-25 years pehle kuch hua hai, wo aapko turant iad aajata hai when you actually see something which can actually tell you, bridge that gap between information emotion. So what I am trying to say here is that all learning is state dependent. The way we learn and the emotion that we are feeling while we are learning that is anchored to the very process of learning. You all must be aware of the situation that there were classes during our schools when we used to hate the subject. So for example for me it was math, I used to hate math. Why I used to hate math because what was the class situation when the math teacher was teaching? If you look at the students reaction you will figure out that most of the students were either bored or confused. So in the scale of 0 to 10 how exciting the class was for me it was in negative for you it might be 3 or 4. On the other hand I remember all the English lessons why? Because in the scale of 0 to 10 the excitement level, the emotions that were attached with that subject was somewhere 8 or 9. The way teacher used to teach I used to really enjoy it and that is the reason why I have taken up a career which is in the same field because my emotional connect with English literature is very strong. So what I meant by explaining you all this is the fact that if you want to actually retain anything for your exam make sure that there is some emotion attached to it. Don't just try to mug up information that is not going to stay in your memory for long. If you want to actually understand something add some emotion into it. If you are reading a writer like Shakespeare just try to feel that love when you are reading Romeo and Juliet. That emotional connect is going to be so strong that you will remember all the characters of Romeo and Juliet and you read Hamlet with no interest with no emotion. You will forget even the major characters name. Why is that happening? Because information only linked with emotion can stay in your long term memory. So I keep on saying that again and again because I want you to understand the basic pattern of mind. Mind works best when there is information with emotion. So whenever you are studying or learning anything you try to put some good emotion into it so that that can bridge the gap and you can stay with that information forever. The next important thing that you must understand is that why children learn so good and so fast and so efficiently. Have you ever noticed this? I have a brother who is like 8 years younger to me and I have actually seen him growing up like a kid. So when I used to see him learning languages and subjects I was amazed to see the capacity with which he used to learn so quick and he was so attentive, so playful throughout the day. And if you look at these characteristics you will figure out that why children learn at a much faster rate than we adults do. I was attending a lot of seminars these days, psychologists, I was meeting and while I was discussing all these things with them I figured out that there are two things which children have and which we lack. The first one is neurogenesis. Now what is neurogenesis? Neurogenesis are new brain cells.  And when new brain cells are developing their brain is becoming more powerful and they can retain a lot of information, a lot of things so quickly. On the other hand the next important thing that children have are neuroplasticity. Now what is neuroplasticity? I can understand that a lot of biology is coming into play but I actually want you to understand it thoroughly so that you start applying it in your life. Neuroplasticity are new connections. So we all know that there are different neurons and protons and there are different nervous system connections that are there in our brain. Einstein is said to have more neuroplasticity that means more neuro connections than we have. The brain size was same yet he was able to use it somewhere around 3-4%, we can hardly use it even 1%. The reason why he was able to use so much of his brain is because there were new connections with the same information. So when you are attentive, when you are happy, when you are motivated, when you actually know why you are studying it and how this is going to help you in your future life, you feel motivated to study and new brain cells are built, new connections are built and that is how with very less effort you can actually retain information for a longer run. So make sure that when today you are sitting down for studying, you make it a playful activity, do something about it so that it appears to be more fun and less boredom and I am pretty sure that what you study in that one hour would be way more better than how you have studied in the past one week. Another important thing that you must have rewired in your brain after this video is the fact that all learning is belief driven. I can't tell you how important this step would be in order for you to understand that you can remember everything. I have seen a lot of students calling me and complaining me that ma'am I have a very bad memory, I forget things, whatever I learn, I always forget it on the day of the exam is so much negative self-talk they have. I would like to tell you here is that there is a very beautiful quote by Henry Ford and I am pretty sure you must have heard it somewhere or the other. The quote says that if you believe you can or if you believe you cannot, either way you are right. If you think you can do it and if you think you can't do it, you are right because whatever you are going to feed inside your brain that will become your truth. I am going to tell you a very very blunt truth here. There is nothing called good or bad memory. Please remove this thing from your mind. There is only a trained and untrained memory. No one has such a bad memory in their mind that they forget it. They forget it because they keep thinking that they will forget it.  And if I tell myself from today itself I am going to remember. I remember things well. Whatever I study in the first go, I remember it. And if you keep on saying that your brain will work accordingly. It's a very simple thing. Your brain is like that supercomputer and the self-talk is the program that runs it. So if you have a negative self-talk, the supercomputer will not be efficient. So remember that every day when you sit for studies and when you get up from your study routine, meditate. And there's a very powerful meditation that I have uploaded on YouTube. I'm pretty sure that a lot of students are following it also. It's a five-minute meditation. You just need to plug in your earphones. And it's a meditation in which you have to visualize that on the day of the exam you're writing all the answers correctly. You can actually see that all the answers that you have written are correct. All the questions that you can see in the question paper are appearing very easy to you. And when you reprogram your mind, gradually in four or five days, you will see that whatever you're revising is going to stay in your brain. So make sure that you understand the importance of your belief. All learning is belief driven. If you think you can remember, you will. If you think you can't remember, you will not remember.  In this video, I've given you a lot of theoretical concepts. And I can understand that you are looking forward for something more practical, which you can apply and get results. So I have taken out six key principles for faster learnings from a lot of books and by speaking to a lot of psychologists. And I have summarized it in the form of a mnemonic, which is be fast. So put these six principles in a sheet of paper and apply it from today itself.  So B starts for belief. Now, belief, as I've already told you, all learning is belief driven. Make sure that you have your beliefs aligned. Never tell yourself that you have a bad memory. Keep on appreciating yourself for remembering so many things. And I'm pretty sure that more you appreciate yourself, more new things you'll be able to retain and remember. E stands for exercise. At least 30 minutes a day, take out time for exercise.  So make sure that you keep on exercising every day so that you feel so efficient, so energetic.  F stands for a very important thing, which I think nobody uses. That's forget. We all start reading something with some preconceived notions in our head. And we keep on telling ourselves, this is wrong, this is right, this is right, this is wrong. Have you ever seen yourself reading a blog about something you already know? So always make sure that when you're reading something new, you forget all the previous information. There's a doctor I visit and in front of his cabin, there's a very beautiful line written that, And I strongly believe in the idea that whenever we are reading anything new, let's take it in that same energy. Let's not try to look ki sayi hai, gallat hai, acha hai, bura hai. Just look at it as if it is a new piece altogether. So forget all the previous information when you're reading anything new and just try to be present. A stands for active. So be active, be participative when you are reading anything. I have seen a lot of students, you know, just lying down on the bed with a book and trying to read it. Nothing is going in your head, man.  So whenever you're reading, make sure you make notes, you highlight points, you keep on writing something here and there. You keep on jotting down examples. When you are active, when you're participating, you're just like a kid. As I've told you in this video, that kids learn with so much energy because they are very efficient. They are always playing full out. S is very important that a state dependent, as I've already told you, information with emotion is going to lead to learning. So make sure that you always have a good positive emotion attached with your learning process so that you can learn faster and better. And T, as we all know, is a very, very crucial factor. T stands for teach. So always study with the intention that you're going to teach it to somebody. So when you study with that intention that you're going to teach it, you study with a lot more power.  So you're not just studying that particular subject, you're actually looking at what all things can be asked from that particular topic. So teach is very important. Always have this thing in mind that whatever I'm learning today, I'm going to teach it to somebody tomorrow. And if you have that intention in your mind, just look at how your brain reads it even more carefully. So with that note, I'm going to give an end to this video. I hope that all these tips and tricks that I've given you will be beneficial in your study preparation. I am hoping that all that you're doing right now is making you feel more motivated. You're all positive and confident for the net exam. My good wishes are always with you. And I really hope that you shine on the day of the net exam. Wishing you all the best. Thank you so much for watching this video. Like and share this video with all your friends. Also comment if you have any other questions or queries. You can also put your questions on other social media platforms so that if in case it is not answered on YouTube, we love to answer it on the other social media platforms. We also keep you notified about all the important UGC net updates on the social media platform. So that's it for this video lecture. We'll meet very soon in the next video lecture. Till the time we meet next, happy learning, keep loving literature, and stay tuned to arpitakarwa.com.


SoftBank to acquire Boston Dynamics from Alphabet. You see here, again, Boston Dynamics, were they earnings focused enough, or were they dreamers? Ruth Porat, who is maybe the best CFO in America, is trying to get it so that Google's Alphabet Division, the Moonshot Division, that people still have a hope of making money. I wonder what they can do with Verily, which is their health division there. But that's why Waymo, I've said it's worth 70 billion. It's why Alphabet's one of the largest positions that we have for action alerts. So I guess my thinking here is, and I don't understand that trade was going to occur, that they weren't making money, and Ruth Porat is now saying, listen, I need money being made by these moonshots.


What's up everybody? Jason here for jasperjasecasebreaks.com. This is a 12-team round on number block that fills spectra Pikachu number one This includes the Celtics, Wizards, T-Wolves, Nets, Spurs, Suns, Hornets, Magic Blazers, Raptors, Kings, and Jazz So again, 10 total spots. It works just like our traditional round on number blocks But only for these teams in this specific break. So again, here you go. And again 10 people get a number from 0-3-9. Like in example, if you get 3 randomized to you you'll get any number with 3 being the first number next to the dash on the left side. And again If the card is not numbered, which there'll be base cards that are not numbered It'll be randomized at the end of the break in one lot So someone's gonna get a nice little lot of base cards and it's only for these teams That are part of it. So not everyone, not everybody else is gonna, everything else is still gonna go to the teams Specifically every card, but only for these 12 teams We're gonna put these cards to the side and then that little lot for these 12 teams If there is any base cards for them, we'll be randomized to one person in this break So here you go. Let's roll the dice And it's gonna be five out of one six times One, two, three, four, five, six Six times Robert down to Ryan six times. Here now on the numbers 0-3-9. One, two, three, four, five, six Four down to five So Robert you have four, Matthew with nine, Robert with eight, six, three, zero, any, no redemption for these teams You got spot one, any one-on-ones and Robert with last one, which was seven. Greg you have two and then Ryan with five So there you go. That's the way it ended up right there Now again in a separate video, we'll be starting the break now guys. Appreciate it, jaspyskatesrace.com


NATO General warns of Russian trap for Ukraine. Moscow has forced Kiev to choose between losing men or territory according to retired French General Jerome Pelystrandy, the editor-in-chief of the Review Defense National. In an interview for the French outlet Le Depêche, Pelystrandy pointed out that Russian forces have made advances ever since the Ukrainian chaotic retreat from Abdiivka in mid-February and are now approaching Chasov Yar and Kharkov. Moscow has in fact presented a tactical dilemma to the Ukrainian command, forcing it to choose between protecting territory at the risk of taking significant losses or retreating and thus giving up ground, Pelystrandy said. In addition to advances west of Abdiivka, Russian troops recently took the town of Ivanovsky, west of Bakhmut, the general noted. This reflects this desire to exhaust the enemy, he said. Moscow knows very well that Kiev lacks artillery shells and by relentlessly shelling these territories, President Vladimir Putin is ultimately preventing the Ukrainians from rebuilding their defences. This is a way of forcing them to give up ground and exhaust their stock of weapons. According to Pelystrandy, Russian troops are aiming for both Chasov Yar and Kramatosk, a key crossroads for Ukrainian logistics in Donbas. Its loss would be dramatic for Kiev and pose serious strategic and logistical difficulties, he said. Kharkov also came under heavy bombardment last week, Pelystrandy said, adding that Ukraine is on the defensive along the entire front and urgently needs more ammunition. Review Defense Nationale is considered France's preeminent military publication. Founded in 1939, it is traditionally led by a general officer. Pelystrandy has been editor-in-chief since 2014. In 2022, he also joined the French outlet BFM TV as a military expert. Poland launches Armoured Vehicle Coalition for Ukraine. In Warsaw, the opening of a coalition of armoured vehicles in support of Ukraine took place reports the Ministry of Defence of Ukraine. As noted by the Department, during the meeting representatives of the participating countries formulated a position on strengthening the armed forces of Ukraine with certain armoured vehicle models and organising their repair. In addition to Poland and Germany, the initiative also involves the United Kingdom, Sweden and Italy. The purpose of the Armoured Vehicle Coalition is to strengthen the armoured shield of the armed forces of Ukraine, jointly enhance our military capabilities, encountering the Russian aggressor, ensure the effective functioning, technical maintenance and repair of equipment and weaponry provided to us by Allies, said Deputy Minister of Defence of Ukraine Ivan Havryliuk, who led the Ukrainian delegation. Within the framework of the Coalition, four syndicates have already been created. Each has been assigned specific tasks, supply of weapons and ammunition for western armoured vehicles, technical maintenance and repair, training of crews and technical personnel, development of effective tactics for the use of armoured vehicles on the battlefield. This is a very important initiative of our Allies considering the existing issues in the armed forces of Ukraine with the repair of foreign-made armoured vehicles. I hope that with the help of Allies, we will be able to quickly, as much as possible, establish an effective repair base for western armoured vehicles in Ukraine. Havryliuk added, he clarified that within the Coalition, a roadmap will be developed in line with the strategy for the development of the armed forces of Ukraine. It is expected that in the long term, Coalition members will assist Ukraine in creating a fleet of vehicles and establishing industrial partnerships with our country. On March the 18th, Polish Defence Minister Vladislav Kosinyak Kamiz announced that his country, together with Germany, was forming an armoured vehicle coalition for Ukraine. The official emphasised that this is one of the most important coalitions. It is worth noting that there are several other coalitions aimed at assisting Ukraine. These include the Aviation Coalition, Drone Coalition, Tank Coalition and others. Medical terms are aimed at assisting the people of Ukraine in creating a fleet of vehicles in Ukraine. The Polish Defence Minister Vladislav Kosinyak Kamizak Kamizak Kamizak Kamizak Kamizak Kamizak Kamizak Kamizak Kamizak Kamizak Kamizak Kamizak Kamizak Kamizak Kamizak Kamizak Kamizak


Yeah, welcome back to think tech. I'm Jay Fidel. It's Tuesday noon and we have global connections and the question before the house is how the US can break Putin's hold on Ukraine. With guest Carl Baker, senior advisor Pacific Forum. Thank you for coming down Carl appreciate you being here. Thanks for having me Jay it's it's Ukraine is sort of the topic of the day for part of the world anyway. Now I think it's an important topic because it's something that has been festering for a while and it still hasn't been resolved. Well let's, let's get the environment down let's look at a map and you can describe, you know the significant elements of geography we're talking about here. I mean, as you can see, you know your crane borders Russia is sort of that that in between land between your Western yes central Europe, and, and Russia is part of course part of the old Soviet Union, in some cases. There's a lot of Russians that feel that it's really the homeland of Russia of the Russian Empire. And so you know there's a lot of a lot of emotion attached to that particular piece of land and there's a lot of a lot of history associated with that piece of land of course on the bottom there you see Crimea, which was a next, or taken back by Russia, depending on your perspective I guess. And that was done in 2014, which which led to the Minsk Accord, which involved trying to resolve the rest of the disputes between Russia and Ukraine which is in the Donbas which is on the eastern side of Ukraine and that's that's areas still contested. And that's of course where the Russian troops upwards of 125,000 or so troops have been stationed, and have been massing for the last couple months. And of course, there's some dispute about what's really going on in the Donbas on from the Russian side. They're saying that that the Ukraine hasn't kept its, it's part of the bargain in the Minsk agreement in that they haven't had elections. And of course that that's contested also because Ukraine says we can't have elections as long as there's interference from the Russians and the Russians say well we can't allow. We can't allow you to to have a free reign. So we're going to maintain forces in that area, until you have the election so so that's part of the contestation right now between Ukraine and Russian. So I had to guess I would guess that that argument is poppycock. Who's what's which side is poppycock I mean I think I think both sides see the other sides argument as as poppycock. You know it's a little bit like if you go back to to thinking about what we have in Asia. You know it's the old debate between South Korea and North Korea about independent means for achieving autonomy. And North Koreans say we can't do it as long as the Americans are there, and the Americans say well we can't do it as long as North Korea is a threat. So in some ways it's the same the same principle applies here that, you know, neither side trusts the other side and so to say, one side is poppycock and the other is is not is is just not looking at it from both sides. I guess I'm just letting my feelings about boot and slip out. So, you know, we had we had this whole experience with Trump and the $400 million of military aid that was going to go to Ukraine and it got us into she got us into an impeachment didn't it. Whatever happened with that what's the upshot of all of that four years ago. In fact, you know we have delivered that $450 million worth of equipment. And so it was it was completed the transaction was ultimately completed. But of course, yeah, it caused a lot of consternation because everyone was concerned that Trump was was really siding with the Russians for his own political benefit and and you know that's a problem in in American politics more than it was in in Europe I mean in some respects Ukraine was was the recipient of American politics or the or the recipient but the, the, the, the casualty of American politics over what was happening between Russia and Ukraine at the time. Russia, you know, the economy is the size of Texas it's really not that strong an economy. Having 125,000 troops on the border must be somewhat intimidating to Zelensky, and I wonder how strong he is I wonder how well equipped he is I wonder how committed his army and his military forces are and whether he is really prepared to deal with them. You know, to me it sounds like the elephant and the fly. Well, yes, I think he could. I think I think that Ukraine ultimately is is, you know, it's, it's not it's not going to go toe to toe with the Russians to maintain its territorial integrity, but I think what it will do is if if Russia would invade Ukraine. There would be a lot of resistance and it would become, you know, a real quagmire for the Russians to try to control all of Ukraine. Certainly, again, you know, but again, this is mostly about the Donbass it's mostly about that that eastern part of Ukraine, that that there's that the Russians feel that that this is an opportunity to kind of poke at Ukraine, and Ukraine is really concerned about the separatists in in that particular region because you know that that's and that's why the elections haven't been haven't been held because there is concern about the separatists. And yes, the Russians are, you know, they've talked about the little green men in that region. And you know, and clearly there's there's Russian support for those separatists in the Donbass because, you know, Putin, it is in Putin's interest to see Ukraine fail to the extent that he can make that happen. And so, you know, and that's where that's where it becomes complicated, because, you know, the United States has has in some ways two choices. You know, I mean, if you want to talk a little bit about the article that Alexander Vindman Vindman wrote in the New York Times, his argument was the United States needs to act independently and move forcefully on on Ukraine and leave NATO aside because NATO is not committed. And he somewhat was critical of Biden's approach to stay within the confines of NATO and he kind of misquotes Biden's intent because what what Biden had said is look we need to work this through NATO. And and Vindman said that Biden while what Biden meant was to stop at the end of NATO's commitment, but that's really not what he said he said we really need to work through NATO. You know, and if you remember back in 2014, there was a particular person, the Victorian Newland who is now deputy assistant deputy secretary for policy, who made a rather vulgar comment about the Europeans. I think that that Vindman sort of falls in that same category that he's being a little bit dismissive of what the European countries, both through NATO and through the European Union can do to prevent Putin from taking those steps. You know, I think, and I think the in the last in the last week, since that Vindman article I think that actually NATO and the European Union have stepped up, especially in the case of Germany, which has said, look, if you if you really don't back off from this threat of aggression, then we are going to cancel Nordstrom to we're not going to accept the gas through that pipeline, and, and you're going to suffer economically and I think that that is where Putin is vulnerable. It's viewed because they spent the Russian spent a fortune building the pipeline. It's already done as I understand cost them billions to do it, and they were relying on sales of gas to Western Europe to Germany. So if they can't realize that they've lost the investment at least for a while, and they've lost the income from selling the gas, and they need that. They do because because Russia is vulnerable Russia does depend on that on that export of natural resources as you know they're they're not they're they're not the empire that Putin would like him to be. And so that that does make them vulnerable and of course the other thing it does is it makes Putin vulnerable to dissatisfaction with the oligarchs that run those other companies.  So I think you know what what what the Biden administration has done I think is correct, because they have focused on the economic aspects. You know, Venman Venman said all that we need to deploy a division of military army division, you know out of cycle into the region. And I think that that just sends the wrong segment because the other thing that that would love to do in this context is is get some separation between the European countries and the United States, because as much as he would like to see the Ukraine fail, he would even more like to see NATO fail. And I think by by getting a little bit too far ahead in your skis for the Americans in this case, and not not work through the Europeans and with the Europeans. I think you have a real risk of doing that. You know, and so that's, you know that ultimately is is where I think the more mature American approach is, look, we aren't, we aren't the power we were back in the 90s where we could actually dictate the terms in cases a long ways away from the United States, we really have to depend on the Europeans, because if you start imposing unilateral sanctions on you on on the Russians without without commitment from from the Europeans, it's going to be very difficult. In fact, you know, it really sort of sort of puts us in a very vulnerable position because then there's there's people in the European Union that will take advantage of the year of the American sanctions and promote European interests in that context. Yeah, they won't back us up and our relationship will be strained.  So that's a real problem. But let you know let me let me unpack on two sides of that. One is women maybe you know frustrated with Biden's lack of aggressiveness. He wants him to do stuff. He doesn't like Russia much. You can tell that from his testimony back when he doesn't like the relationship that Trump and Trump's friends had with Russia.  And he doesn't like Russia's interference in our affairs and our voting. He doesn't like that off so he's angry at Russia, and he wants Biden to take a more aggressive posture. But as you say there's risk attached to that and the risk I want to ask you about is war. I mean, it seems to me that you know the world is very antsy and anxious these days, and the possibility the thought of war seems to be a little more ubiquitous than it was in various places in the world. But listen, how how much risk do we have of offending that may be the wrong term but offending the Russians to the point where we actually get into a shooting war with Russia. And I think I think taking taking aggressive actions that that are seen as as contradicting what the European Union and what NATO are doing would would certainly push us in that direction, because then, then the argument becomes this Putin's going to take up of the lack of cooperation between the Americans and Europeans, and and take advantage and move move troops into the dumb bus. So I think you know I think that that's really where the risk lies, I think if, if the United States and Europe can put together a package of threats which which we've done with economic threats Nord Stream to cut off from from the swift the the financial messaging system that allows you to do international banking and allows the oligarch to transfer money in and out of the United States, taking those things away from Russia puts them in a very difficult spot, and then suddenly they're having to deal with with the inflated ruble and and inability to sell natural resources into into Europe. I think that that the real risk is is just trying to get a little too far ahead of this, you know, and Putin is always is always watching, I mean he's, he's very much a person who, who is always seeking the advantage in that relationship. And so, you know, yes, he's concerned about about NATO expansion into into the Ukraine. That was the basis for him saying that he wanted to have some kind of guarantee. I don't think we need to give that guarantee. But what we do need to do is we need to encourage number one we need to encourage the Europeans to stand by their commitments to the economic threats. And second, we really need the Ukrainians to step up and take some responsibility for for at least thinking about what to do with the Mexico courts, because right now, you know, Ukraine isn't really doing very much and the United States could also get involved more involved and more encouraging about trying to move the Mexico court forward. And if they can't work that then maybe we need to think about how do we improve that how do we do something so that we can actually implement those those agreements and if they can't be, then we probably need to start thinking about maybe participating in some dialogue to allow that to move forward.  And the fact that we live in a, you know, a transparent country in large part. He knows much more about us than we know about what goes on in the inside of the Kremlin. I'm sure we know something but I'm sure he can see clearly, not only into the way our government works but it's the way our public opinion works. That's all we wear it on our sleeve every day. And he knows that there's no appetite for getting, you know, involved militarily in somebody else's problem.  It sounds like Afghanistan maybe at a lesser level but it sounds like Afghanistan, and I would suggest that there's really no public opinion appetite in this country and I know appetite in Congress either to the extent that appetite still exists in Congress. But to have a war or a situation called a, you know, a foreign relation situation where we put more money, more time, more, may I say, boots on the ground into somebody's foreign entanglement. And I think that people would oppose that and he knows that. So to the extent that Vindman is suggesting any of that, it sounds to me like a dead end because Congress and the people will not go along with it. And aside from what NATO has in mind or what how it would react to this, the circumstance. Don't you agree we are we are totally transparent and therefore, you know, we are not going to be involved in a foreign entanglement right now. We were totally transparent, but we're certainly more transparent than the Russians are on this. And so yeah, I think that's right. I think, and that's why I'm, that's why I think, you know, the real the wise choice is, is to be very careful that it's the Europeans upfront in this situation and it's not us trying to get ahead of the Europeans because that's that was part of what happened in 2014 when when they did in fact the next Crimea is that is that the Americans and the and the Europeans simply weren't on the same page and there wasn't any that we couldn't come to an agreement on how to deal with the situation and so it simply took advantage of it and and put boots on the ground and said now deal with the fate of complete. Yeah, that was impressive what he did. And it was you know it was also impressive what we didn't do. And I'm sure he's looking for another opportunity just like that again. Exactly. And that's why I think we need to be very very careful that we don't, we don't try to get out of step with with the Europeans here. And that's, you know, and that's, that's always the, always the tendency on the part of the Americans who want to be aggressive and demonstrate, you know, to the to the world that the United States is going to stand up to, to the autarchs and all this kind of stuff. And another thing you know that bin man tried to bring out that that that Ukraine has become the fulcrum of American credibility alongside Taipei or Taiwan in in Asia, you know, and I think that that's just an overstatement of the importance of Ukraine. We support a free Ukraine and yes we're going to work through NATO to defend Ukraine's interests but not to the point where we're sending sending a division out of cycle, which you know, yes it's a it demonstrates a significant cost, but it's a cost that is probably lost in the in the real time drama that's unfolding in the Donbass region so you know I think it's, it sounds attractive to the Americans that want to, you know, demonstrate power, but I think in this case, the real power is the ability to cooperate and move forward in a multilateral fashion. And one thing that occurs to me is that in recent years, not without a lot of skill.  I think he has the capability of doing that. And I suggested if he was really going to go in, if he's really going to have those boots walk into the Donbass, he would soften them all up. I mean it's good military strategy by by by stepping up his cyber attacks don't you think, and he could get a long way with that. He could do half the job without ever stepping across the border. Yeah, well yeah and that's and clearly that's what he's doing now is is trying to maintain that that vagueness in that particular region of are these people really going to support Selensky are they going to, you know, call for for a better association with the Russians. You know so that's why that's why it all kind of focuses on that particular on the Donbass, because that's where that's where the real uncertainty for Ukraine lies is the ability to maintain control in that part of the country. Yeah, and they speak Russian in that part of the country there you know ethnically they are large part Russian. Yeah, yeah, there's that's right and so yes they do tend to look to look to Moscow. And so and I think and Putin knows that and I mean my personal opinion is that that's really the area that that Putin is focused on he really understands that that the risk for him is too great to try to take on Ukraine, because just like the United States, I don't think has a stomach. The United States general population doesn't have a stomach for engaging in war. So the Russian population doesn't really have the stomach for engaging in a foot soldier war in Ukraine, because because the rest of the country is not going to fold just because Russian troops come yet they would then have a fight on their hand, hands, you know, similar to what I think Richard Haas compared to when the Russians tried to invade Afghanistan. You know at some point. The Russian population is going to become weary of that also. And so I think that that it works. It works on both sides of the reluctance by the leaders to get involved in a war that is not going to be popular at home. I wonder what would happen in Western Europe. If he did physically attack with weapons and troops and, you know, tanks and mortars and, you know, fighter planes and all that stuff reminiscent of World War two and, and the Blitzkrieg. That's what it sounds like. And he comes west, just like the Britain, when the Blitzkrieg was going east, but whatever. And he makes war on the people of Ukraine. Will Germany stand by? Will it think about sanctions or more? Will there be a join of issues, so to speak, by the Western European NATO countries, simply because they really can't stand to have a war on their border. Yeah, I mean, I think, I think that that both sides, ultimately, I think both sides are fairly comfortable with this sort of vagueness that surrounds Belarus and Ukraine. You know, you've got you've got the Baltics that have have moved into NATO. And, you know, and I think that that there's this sort of vague comfortableness on both sides of having Ukraine and Belarus as somewhat somewhat less defined on where where the loyalties lie. It's almost like a DMZ in some respects, you know, between NATO and Russia. And so I think that that that ultimately both sides are comfortable to the extent that that's sort of, I mean, comfortable. They're willing to live with the status quo in this interest. Yeah, because Putin is the aggressor here. I mean, I, let me ask you this question. There's no real interest by NATO, in terms of moving closer to the Russian border is there. Well, it doesn't really suit their style. Yes, and that's why there's been resistance to accept Ukraine into into NATO. You know that that's that's that's why they're in the situation they are because there's been a reluctance. You know, ever since ever since the Clinton administration to number one for the Americans to support that notion. And number two, NATO recognizes that there are legitimate Russian interests in in maintaining a less western country between them and NATO. Suppose NATO at this point, you know, as one of the various tools in the toolkit decided to include Ukraine in NATO or at least to step up the discussions in that direction. I guess Putin would see that as a very aggressive threatening move. What would the effect be you think. Yeah, I mean, I think that would that would somewhat force Putin's hand is is he would he would feel that that then he has to move now, because he can't, he can't wait for for a later date because it's not going to get any better. And so I think that it would be, it would, it would really force Russia into into a difficult position. And I don't see that that's really in anybody's interest at this point. So we talked about Alexander Venman and his very interesting article, maybe overstated in some ways in the New York Times, about a week ago. And let's let's let's take that off the shelf for a moment, Carl. Let's let's talk about, you know, what would happen if if Biden is too soft on this that he makes a mistake of being faint hearted and not aggressive enough. I'm not saying he should be as aggressive as Alexander Venman wants him to be, but he has to be at least some has to be somewhat tough. And he has to show that he runs this country, which is very questionable these days. Well, suppose he goes in there too soft, and he doesn't demonstrate the kind of will the kind of power you need to achieve, you know, sanctions that work leadership among the NATO countries in the EU that works. What happens if he makes a mistake in that direction. I mean, I, I don't know. I mean, I, it's a little bit hard to say I mean certainly I think Putin, if Putin sense that that was the case he would try to take advantage of it. And then the real, the real wild card is what does what does NATO or what does the European Union do. I mean, because ultimately the economic sanctions are dependent on successful implementation by the European Union. And I think that that's, you know, something that that there's a little bit of uncertainty in the United States anyway of how how the European can the European Union really put together a coherent strategy that would would effectively stop Putin from moving forward. And that's that's kind of where the unknown wise and and certainly it would hurt America American credibility, if it was viewed as as failing to, to take off a hard enough line. But I mean again it's your, you know your hypothetical is a little bit hard to envision, because I mean what I've seen from the from the Biden administration is that they recognize that they, they can't soft sell this thing that they can't. And really, it engaged in, in, you know, going too far to to appease the Russians, you know, I mean I hesitate to use the word appease because you know that there's always this tendency didn't go well in 1938.  You know, and in this case, you know, it's not, it's not that black and white. It's not, it's not either either you know defend defend Ukraine or you're appeasing Russia. You know, it's more complicated than that there has to be a multilateral agreement there has to be a sense of of multilateral action here. And so, you know, I don't I don't like the idea of trying to reduce it to either either attack or appease, because it's just not that it's not that straightforward. No, it's complicated. You know, we've talked to you have a few minutes more like to ask you about one other area logically. We've talked about Putin's opportunistic style, and you got to give him credit I mean he's, he sees options. It's a good politician and international politician, he sees options he evaluates options. He's always waiting he's playing the long game. He looks for opportunities and, you know, Xi Jinping is not that different. You know, it seems to me that it's worthwhile just talking about the kinds of opportunities that may come Putin's way. For example, you know in the in the last Southern Adventure. He saw as an opportunity that the US and the EU were not on the same page and Crimea. And so he saw that as a as a time and opportunity to move. Okay, there are a lot of opportunities that could happen. I just name a few and I'd be interested in your thoughts about this. For example, China does something aggressive maybe on Taiwan, and it steals the headlines. It sucks up all the oxygen in terms of global opinion. I guess that might be an opportunity that Putin would move into. Likewise, if there was some kind of extraordinary event in the United States, another insurrection would have you with some kind of remarkable thing that happens politically or in terms of, you know, social contention in the United States, where that sucks up all the oxygen done the headlines around the world on a tremendous increase in COVID under Omicron.  Am I right to think that these kinds of things, even though they're distant from Ukraine, distant from, you know, Russia. They could, they could present opportunities, maybe a combination of them could present opportunities that would move into and use the same kind of strategy they used in Crimea. Sure. I mean, he, he, you know, he did it in, he did it in in Georgia in 2008. And so, yeah, I mean, I think that that's always a risk, but I will say that I think the risk is much greater when the perturbation occurs nearby. In other words, you know, the real concern has to be stability in in the Ukraine, you know, Zelensky has to has to be strong. And he can't be seen as as being weak, because that's, that's where I think somebody like Putin would take immediate advantage when he sees when he sees a weakness there. If he sees if he sees any any level of uncertainty of NATO support, or the European Union support for for maintaining Ukraine as an independent economy or an independent state. That's, that's where the greater risk is. Sure. There's, it is the case that if you know if there's some something that happens in the United States where the United States is is unlikely to to provide the support that it has provided provided to NATO or, or to Ukraine separately, then I think I think Putin would look at that as a potential opportunity. And that's why I think it's important to to maintain a sense of unity with with NATO in the context of the European continent, and that that's that's where the least likely chance of some other extra personality, influencing in Europe to occur, that if you if you can maintain a solid foundation in Europe, then then other other things that happen around other parts of the world become less likely to be seen as an opportunity. Yeah, depending on just how catastrophic they may be. Yeah. Let me ask you one other thing, you know, it is suggested by Putin, Putin's nature and his background as a KGB and all that. And what we've seen with Navalny with the poisoning of the valley and there was another retired Soviet, I should say Soviet Russian intelligence officer who was poisoned with radioactive poison in Britain. A few years ago, I mean this is all coming from the Kremlin and Putin. So he doesn't mind going offshore. He doesn't mind creating disturbances offshore. And as I mentioned before, he's fully capable with you know his, his internet skill to bring down utilities and, you know, infrastructure and the like, and he could and has done that in Ukraine. So, suppose we have an event that is closer just as you suggest that is right across the border, such as disturbance in the government in Ukraine, which is really a provocation by Putin assassination of Zelensky or somebody else in the government in Ukraine. That would be very disturbing. And it would be the kind of thing that tumultuous thing that might set up an opportunity for him. It seems to me that has to be on his list of options. And he's, he's demonstrated in the past when he's fully capable of crossing the border and creating that kind of disturbance. What do you think about the possibility. Yes, it's an it's always a possibility and you know that's why that's that's why I mean I will go back and say that's why there was so much concern when Trump appeared ready to bolt from NATO. You know, because because that's really the mechanism that that has has sustained that stability that prevents people like Putin from doing those kinds of things. NATO is is the core to the defense of Europe, and any sort of unified response in Europe. You know absent absent NATO, the European Union has has fiddled a bit with with some sort of independent military force, but it certainly doesn't have the credibility and the potency. It's a military force that includes the United States. So, you know, so that's why I think, you know, it's important to recognize that while, while, you know, territorial wars are becoming less important because of all these other threats that are out there. And that is that territory does still matter that it is still a factor in international relations, and that you still need these these old fashioned military forces like NATO to to maintain some level of peace, especially in an area like Central Europe where there's a lot of a lot of uncertainty and a lot of contested areas. Last, last point of discussion and maybe this calls for some things that you've already covered but what would your advice to the administration be right now all these things considered all these risks and events and, you know, arguments and and power points what what what would your advice to Biden be to navigate through the channel on risk. Well, yeah, I mean it's a lot of basically a reiteration is that you have to work the multilateral angle, you have to work through NATO, and you have to work with the European Union to ensure that there's no daylight between the United States and the European countries, both economically and militarily on this issue on on any issue in that region, whether it be Belarus whether it be Ukraine, whether it be, you know, supporting supporting the Baltics, you know you have to you have to maintain a very strong multilateral unified front to to protect everybody's interest. I think that that would be the preferred approach. And it might always have been the preferred approach, except something you said earlier in the program, you know, back a few years ago, when we were perhaps stronger more influential in Europe had greater, greater cloud there. It might not have been the same. Your answer might be different if we were talking say 20 years ago, am I right. That's exactly right. I mean and so what I'm suggesting is, is part of what I think has to become the accepted reality on the part of the Americans is that the unipolar moment is gone. And we really need to think about how we, how we cooperate with the rest of the world to achieve the goals that we're after. Much more sophisticated. It's on it's on the soft side of soft power for sure. Thank you, Carl, Carl Baker, senior advisor to Pacific Forum and a wonderful guest for our show. Thank you so much, Carl, and happy Christmas. Thank you.


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