Good afternoon ladies and gentlemen, welcome to CMC Markets non-farm payrolls webinar on Friday the 4th of December with me Michael Houston, where I'll be taking you through today's numbers. Hopefully we'll get an idea of how well the US economy is continuing to recover the 21 million jobs that it lost in the wake of the March and April lockdowns. Thus far we've recovered about half of that number but jobs growth does appear to be starting too slow and obviously that's a concern I think more broadly for US politicians on Capitol Hill over the course of the past few days and weeks there has been some evidence that weekly jobless claims numbers have been starting to increase again. We saw that with a big increase the week before last to 778,000 and though we did yesterday see a drop back to 712,000 jobs that that particular figure could have been skewed by the fact that there was a Thanksgiving holiday in the interim but nonetheless I think there is some anxiety amongst policymakers on Capitol Hill that maybe the US economy is starting to slow quite significantly certainly this week's ADP report was a little bit disappointing coming in with only around about 365,000 jobs. Now that was significantly below what I don't know for a lot of people were expecting. Now if we look at the market calendar we can see that not only do we have a US payrolls report we also have the Canadian jobs report as well. So as far as what we're looking for I think the likelihood is this month's payrolls report will not have the same impact as previous months and why do I say that? Well I say that because I think most of the focus thus far or over the course of the past two or three days has been on these renewed stimulus talks and I know a lot of you are probably going to roll your eyes I certainly did when I heard that Nancy Pelosi was talking to Steve Mnuchin the US Treasury Secretary the outgoing US Treasury Secretary about the prospects of a new stimulus plan but I think this time really is different because at the end of this month the end of this year the current CARES Act unemployment benefits expire. Now unless there is a replacement stimulus package put in place 12 million Americans will lose their unemployment benefits with all the blowback that could have on the US economy going into 2021 and that's going to be very significant if you know if you have concerns about the economic outlook and the concerns of well-founded your own Powell head of the Federal Reserve has outlined his concerns that in the absence of a fiscal response an additional fiscal response from US policymakers we will see the US economy economic output drop quite sharply in January and February because ultimately 12 million Americans who have been in receipt of unemployment benefits under the CARES Act will lose them so there is a deadline next week for some form of stimulus plan to start to form and this stimulus plan is bipartisan it's 908 billion dollars well below the two billion dollars two trillion dollars rather two trillion dollars the Democrats are pushing for before the election but such is such is the way things are at the moment I think that it's quite important that we understand that there are significant consequences to they're not actually agreeing a plan before the end of this month so let me just get rid of that because that should not have come up that's a technology for you so let's look at what we're expecting in terms of the numbers you can find the economic calendar from the news and analysis dropdown window here takes you to the market calendar and then you can then see what the forecasts are so 481,000 is the consensus for non-farms for today and that's down from the 638,000 that we saw in October a week ago this consensus was an awful lot higher so it has come down quite a bit the unemployment rate is also expected to come down from 6.9 to 6.8 that's obviously very positive from where it was in April when it was around about 14.7 so that's a big decline but let's not forget that the unemployment rate was down around about three and a half percent in February this year so it's still almost double what it was in February and I think what's also important to remember is the participation rate the US participation rate was at 63.4 percent in February and it's now at 61 61.7 percent so that means that over two percent of that two percent decline as a result of US workers dropping out of the workforce in other words they are not looking for work because they're not optimistic about finding it so I think going forward the actual numbers are probably less important than what US policymakers are looking for with respect to a potential stimulus deal in terms of the Canadian jobs report we're expecting a rise of 20,000 new jobs in November that's down from 83.6 in October so I'm just going to drop that down and then we're going to have a quick look at the dollar index this is the CMC dollar index and those of you who are regular viewers of my weekly videos will know that I was suggesting that the dollar could well rebound as long as it held this particular support level here now that we've broken below it the downside momentum in the dollar is likely to continue and I think this is why this particular payrolls report is less important than say previous ones because on a technical basis we've seen a significant break lower in the direction of the US dollar not only on our own dollar index but also on the broadly more weighted dollar index that is the these the CRB dollar index also if you look at the Bloomberg dollar index we've also seen a move to the downside there so what does that mean going forward well essentially if you're looking at Euro dollar in terms of an inverse correlation with the CRB dollar index we have seen a significant breakout here so even if we get a fairly decent payrolls payrolls number which could cause the dollar to rally slightly we probably won't see Euro dollar fall back much below 121.20 that's where I'm identifying a key support level on Euro dollar so if we get a good payrolls report we could see the dollar rally a little bit but overall now that we've broken towards the upside on Euro dollar I'm looking for a move to 125 over the course of the next three to four weeks so I think you know I think it's important not to underestimate how important this 120.70 area is if I look at this as a weekly chart here we can see that on this particular high here it was also resistance 120 was also a decent resistance there it was also a decent low through that particular weekly candle there so it's important not to underestimate the importance of this break higher and on the basis of technical analysis here if you if you take this as a triangular consolidation with a horizontal line through there a sloping trend line there and you project this particular move higher it gives you a minimum price objective of 122.30 so now that we've broken through 121.10.20 which is this particular level here then we could well see further gains towards 122.30 is a minimum with a view to going towards 125 over the course of the next few weeks as I say these are technical breakouts so essentially all I'm doing here is I'm applying a set of rules based on what the markets are telling me so I've got a question here Covid deaths so today at an all-time high stimulus is still doubtful in my opinion and Black Friday sales are down do you see a flight to safety and dollar strength in compared to Canada no I don't no I really really don't because I think when push comes to shove I think the the odds of doing nothing now are much higher in terms of a US stimulus deal than they were say for example three or four weeks ago you've also got the vaccine news you've got a whole host of positive catalysts driving sentiment here equity markets are higher you've got weak weakness in commodity prices investors I think market investors are much more comfortable buying stocks now than they were say for example three or four weeks ago and why is that essentially it's because of the vaccine the fact that the vaccine is going to get rolled out people can see light at the end of the tunnel and the light at the end of the tunnel excuse me and the light at the end of the tunnel is not a train coming the other way now you want me to make the chart a little bit bigger on the screen I'll certainly try my best for you sir is that is that any better I'm hoping that's better okay so hopefully you can you can see that a little bit better so as I say we've broken higher through 120 70 and the prospect of a move towards I think 120 230 is very much on the cards as long as long as we stay above these key levels here so essentially the breakout level here and the 120 and the 120 and the 120 110 20 level here as I say it's all it's all about levels in terms of when you're trading currencies or any other market for that matter and what we've seen at the moment is well over the course of the past few days there's a significant breakdown in the dollar the dollar usually acts as a safe haven it's not acting as a safe haven right now and until such times as I see signs of a reversal in sentiment and at the moment I'm not seeing that then really you've got to trade with the move the trend the trend is higher so in terms of that I think the line of least resistance at the moment at the moment is for further dollar weakness and further euro strength for the sterling strength now you want me to have a quick look at the Russell and the Russell again it's it's looking fairly positive you know you can argue that US markets are looking very strong and and they most definitely are but the you're getting higher lows and higher highs and I think irrespective of the payrolls number even if it's a good one we will see further upside the stock markets going forward it's the same thing for the S&P 500 it's the same thing for the Dow as well and and the Dax and the FTSE if we look at this chart here again it's a similar sort of story when you actually look at the way the market is trading it's in it's very much very much by the dips and you know I think in that context this is this is the way you've really got to look at it I think if if you're looking for decent payrolls number you could get a modest dollar rebound but overall I don't think it will change the overall narrative of a lower dollar going forward now obviously if stimulus talks do break down and that's not we're not going to know that for certain until the 10th of December next week because that is the deadline for a stimulus plan to get passed so we've still got another four or five days where the prospect of a stimulus plan is being dangled in front of the market as a carrot so until such times as that option is completely removed from the table markets are going to react on the possibility that we're going to get one and that's what it's about it's about what the market expects until such times it's no longer possible so the market expects a Brexit deal the market expects some form of stimulus package and as a result that suggests that we could well see further dollar weakness and further equity market gains so and that for me I think is it the important thing more than anything else it's about expectations and deliverables and at the moment it's still possible to deliver a stimulus plan and it's still possible to deliver a new UK trade deal and the vaccine the vaccine is happening whether it be Pfizer we're probably going to get an AstraZeneca and an Oxford vaccine as well and that is that is what's fueling this momentum and at the moment the momentum is on risk side so until such times as we get some evidence that it is that it is not then ultimately it's really a case of by the dips in terms of equity markets in general you know and I think that for me is the most important catalyst more than anything else now I'm quickly being asked about gold I'll quickly look at that because this is important we're back at a very key resistance level here for gold we've rallied quite nicely but the key level for me is this 1848 1850 area this this candlestick reversal pattern here is Morning Star we've rebounded off 1763 that's held quite nicely I'm still very much a case of by the dips in gold prices just basically on the back of dollar weakness more than anything else but we could struggle to get through this 1845 1850 level in the short to medium term and I think that's going to be very very important I'm still a gold bull on the longer term but we are in a downtrend at the moment and this is going to be a significant barrier going forward so gold prices at the moment very much a case of by the dips momentum is turning positive on my slow stochastic but I think it's too soon but now the see a move higher through 1850 for gold prices particularly ahead of the weekend you've also got to bear in mind that ahead of the weekend we could there is significant headline risk I call it headline risk has a habit of undermining any short or long position so for me I'm still very much a by the dipping gold prices but at the moment if I'm long on a particular move here I'd be very cautious about where we are at the moment because I think there's potential for a little bit of a pullback in the short to medium term to around about 1820 1825 right we're just coming up to the the the numbers now the non-farm payrolls some reason they haven't appeared on my calendar and I have absolutely no idea why but as I say we're looking for 481 an unemployment rate of 6.8 percent and here we go 6.7 so that's good 245 that's a really disappointing number been in a perverse way that's actually good because it's a disappointing number it's going to concentrate mines on Capitol Hill it's going to make them much more incentivized to arrive at a stimulus deal so 245 is disappointing revision of the previous number six is revised down to 610 from 638 so that's pretty much a dollar negative pretty much across the board on the basis of the fact that it's going to really incentivize the potential for a stimulus deal concentrate mines will get fiscal stimulus the Federal Reserve is also meeting in two weeks time so headline numbers disappointing the unemployment rate is lower so again it's a little bit of a mixed bag I'm going to check the participation rate for you on my Bloomberg to see whether or not we've seen a significant fall in that to reflect the fall on the in the unemployment rate so bear with me a second while I dig that out and 61.5 so yeah I mean basically the participation rates drop back so even though that unemployment rate is lower this is a result of more people dropping out of the workforce so ultimately it's not a particularly great employment report so it's it's a dollar negative you're going to see euro dollar continue to push higher the dollar to sink lower big level on the cable for anyone who's interested is 135.05 it's the highs from December last year the post the post-election peaks that we saw in the wake of the conservative party landslide win that's likely to be a bit of a barrier in for this week I would be surprised if we see a move above 135.10 in cable in the short to medium term and in turn I think that's likely to limit the upside in euro dollar perhaps to around about 122 in the short to medium term but overall pretty poor set of numbers in terms of the non farm payrolls numbers now what does that mean for dollar CAD because it was looking at the dollar CAD number and that's a fairly positive number so again positive for the Canadian dollar negative for the US dollar that should push dollar CAD lower let's have a quick look at dollar CAD while I'm here and yeah I mean pretty much that is half of the course if we look at the way the dollar CAD has traded over the course of the past two years it's not hard to see what the direction of travel is there so certainly looking for further further declines in dollar CAD towards 128 and potentially even even lower over the course of the next few days and weeks certainly the next level that I've got the support for dollar CAD is the September 2018 lows at 127.80 okay so anyone have any other questions I've seen your question on copper I will come to that in a moment um UK 100 right yes I got asked about that on Sky News this morning um FTSE 100 I'm still fairly bullish on it and I'll tell you why um if we look at the way the FTSE has behaved over the course of the past few days we can see that we've seen a very strong move higher now if I scroll back on this and I select year to date on my shortcuts we are still 15 down on the year if you compare that to the DAX the DAX is pretty much flat I don't think a stronger pound is going to impact the FTSE to the same extent as it has in the past simple reason being is the reason the FTSE is under performed so much is because of the high correlation high proportion of banks commodity and retail stocks and aviation stocks hospitality and leisure stocks that it currently has in it you've got the likes of Rolls Royce IAG who own British Airways you've got IHG international hotels group who own the Holiday Inn chain you've got Whitbread who own Premier Inn you've obviously got the four major banks um you've also got BPM Royal Dutch Shell all of those stocks have been hit the hardest in terms of a vaccine bounce back you've seen a significant rebound in the more bombed out areas of the FTSE 100 the UK stock market so you then should see a significantly robust rebound now if we can hold above six and a half thousand then I think over the course of the next few months we should see a move back to seven thousand let's not forget we're all the way back at seven thousand three hundred at the beginning of this year and we're at six and a half thousand now so there's plenty of potential even with cable at current levels Richard for us to go an awful lot higher okay so hopefully that makes sense the cable may act as a little bit of a drag but I don't think it'll act as a significant drag and I think that's the I think that is the biggest concern going forward um so for me I'm very much of the opinion the FTSE 100 has got potentially a significant amount of more upside because it has to play catch up with say for example the CAC which is only eight percent down year to the year to date and the DAX which is pretty much recovered all its post pandemic losses so hopefully that answers your question so that's the FTSE 100 I'm fairly I'm fairly constructive on that talking about cable sterling dollar as I said previously 135 is a big level 135 10 in the short term I don't see it much above that even though even though I can still see cable going to 140 over the course of the next three to six months I'm fairly constructive on the pound on the back of a weaker dollar obviously the brexit UK EU trade talks are going to play apart in where cable goes but overall I think they'll come to some form of fudge that will get us over the end of the 31st of December deadline is there no deal brexit disastrous all around for UK and EU stocks no because I think they will they will somehow avoid that outcome there'll be some form of deal it's not going to be ideal it will be it will be fudge 101 but ultimately there will be some form of accommodation because the the economic situations warranted if you look at the the French economy you look at the Italian economy you look at the Spanish economy the shutdowns the restrictions the hospitalizations the economic the the services PMI numbers that we've seen over the course of the past two or three months it will be utterly irresponsible for policy makers on both sides of the channel in Brussels in France and here in the UK to have a no-deal Brexit at the end of this month utterly irresponsible now that's not to say that they couldn't have won by mistake but I think once it becomes a parent that on the 1st of January that the situation is unsustainable there would be measures put in place to mitigate the worst effects of a no-deal Brexit and I say no-deal Brexit in inverted commas because I think there will be some form of deal put in place to make sure that the worst effects are mitigated by and large and if it's bad for the if it's bad for France it'll be even worse for Ireland so you know it's not a zero-sum game here it's not a no-deal Brexit it's just bad for the UK and it's you know and it can be absorbed by everything else we've got an ECB rate meeting next week and that is likely to see the ECB extend their PEP program for another six to 12 months at the moment it expires June 2021 I think you'll find they'll extend that to the end of 2021 to the middle of 2022 so I think policymakers will do whatever they can to keep markets moving higher and at the moment I think the bigger problem that Europe have at the moment is not a no-deal Brexit it's this recovery plan that's currently being vetoed by Hungary and Poland they need to find a way around and they need to find a way around Hungary and Poland they need to find a way around that rather than worry too much about you know new trade terms between the UK and the European Union there is a deal there to be had you know and are they really going to throw away everything that they've discussed right now on the altar of fishing and a level playing field I don't think that they will so I think for me it's still all to play for okay so I'm being asked about yeah let me ask you let me ask you answer your question about copper sir well I mean I think it's fairly clear from that the line of lease resistance for copper let's go to a weekly chart here because that tells us all we need to know the next key resistance for copper is 360 I still think we've we've still got potential to go quite a bit higher the biggest the biggest the biggest driver for copper demand generally tends to be out of China China's doing well at the moment and and I think Chinese economic activity has proved to be fairly resilient we've got China trade numbers coming out on Monday so keep an eye out for them import and export data if we see fairly decent import and export data that's likely to give copper an additional lift going forward but I think we may find a little bit of a barrier as we approach 360 in the short to medium term so keep an eye on the China trade data which comes out um Monday in Asia goal prices I talked about earlier I think there is a bit of a barrier um anywhere near 1845 1850 I think we could see a little bit of a drop back down to 1820 25 but overall I am fairly constructive on goal prices despite the fact that we've seen a little bit of a sell-off in the past two or three months overall I still expect gold to go back to 1900 dollars an ounce over the course of the next couple of months um looking looking at um being asked about bitcoin and ethereum yes not I mean basically with bitcoin the biggest problem you've got with that at the moment is you've got a bit of a barrier at 20 000 so it's going to be very very difficult to move above the previous highs as seen from here if you look here and you look here you've got a very significant barrier at 20 000 which means that you're going to have to be very very cautious about being long of bitcoin anywhere below that um on a technical basis is a very very big ask to get above 20 000 in the short to medium term so I think there's certainly potential in bitcoin to come all the way back um to around about 15 and 12 000 um so I'd be very very cautious about being long of crypto I'm not a big fan of crypto I have to say I'm going forward and as a result that may and because it's such a it's because it's such an illiquid market it makes it very very difficult to trade with any degree of certainty and we all well up on the year we've we've made significant gains this year and while I still think that we could well go higher I think in the short term we could see some significant moves towards the downside natural gas natural gas I'm being asked about here we go natural gas this is a nice little chart that I've drawn here very much by the dips mode for natural gas we have seen a bit of a drop in the past day or so but since June we've been in a fairly nice uptrend on the daily charts if we can hold above this trend line here then there's no reason why we can't continue to move higher so looking at this trend line in the natural gas contract suggests that while we're above this trend line from the June lows then we could well see further gains going forward so any stop loss would really need to be below this trend line that I've drawn in from those lows there um Tesla well Tesla indeed Teslas is always a good one let's have a quick look at a car manufacturers my car manufacturers watch list here we go well there's no prizes for guessing that's very much by the dip mode at the moment $600 is a bit of a barrier at the moment um but um given the way Tesla trades I wouldn't rule it out but I think buying at these sorts of levels is a highly risky endeavor I think there's certainly scope for it to drift back down towards around about $500 this this this set of previous highs here certainly not an area I would be comfortable buying Tesla shares at near the all-time highs I still you know it's very I'm very much I'm of the opinion that you trade the market when it's close to support levels you buy into a market when it's near support you sell it when it's near resistance and for me I think if I was going to be buying Tesla I'd be looking to buy on a dip back towards this blue line that I've drawn in here or the line through these series of lows through here it's all about seizing the opportunity when it becomes available so wait for the market to come to you rather than you try to jump on the back of a trend that may start that may be starting to fizzle out silver being asked about silver quite happy to talk about silver similar sort of story here with relative to gold where we're looking to approach trend line resistance from the highs here we've seen a decent rebound from these lows here if I draw in a horizontal line through these lows here decent support in and around 21 and a half dollars an ounce but there's resistance starting to approach resistance from the peaks in August so does appear to have found a little bit of a base in the short term to push higher we need to push through these this trend line support here to retest $26 in the short to medium term but overall I think if you're if you're bullish if you're fairly bullish on gold you you can also be potentially bullish on silver as well but again it's about timing the air entry and at the moment given where we are now relative to where we were on Monday I'd probably wait for a dip in silver before contemplating getting back into that particular market okay I'm trying to see whether or not I've got there are any other questions one thing I would make you all aware of ladies and gents is we got the ECB next week I'm gonna quickly talk you through euro sterling because I think euro sterling could be quite interesting as a barometer of where we go to next and at the moment even though we've broken above this trend line resistance which I talked about in great length in my previous videos we haven't been able to take out these series of highs at 90 70 the next key level for me on the downside is 90 0.900 if we push back below 90 level then we could well head back towards these very very big big level at 8860 so 8860 is the next key support if if we break below the 90 level which is acted as resistance here here here and here and support yesterday so that 90 level is a big big level for euro sterling we can hold above it we should go back to 90 70 if we break below 8990 8980 then we've got a good chance of retesting the lows all the way back in November at 8860 again it's about levels so how it behaves between 888990 and 90 will determine the next underlying move in euro sterling in terms of the dollar index I'm a seller of the dollar index on rallies in the same way that I'm a seller of the CMC dollar index on rallies as well if you look at the dollar index you're essentially looking at euro dollar upside down because euro dollar makes up 57 percent of the dollar index so the fact that euro dollar has broken higher means that the dollar index should break lower okay so at the moment euro dollars tried to go higher he's tried to go through 120 180 it's losing a little bit of momentum going forward and as such we could see a retest of 120 115 120 120 okay so I'm still very much a seller of the dollar on rallies but we could see euro dollar start to drift back down towards 120 120 given the gains we've already seen this week and we have an ECB rate meeting next week so you could see some of these euro longs that we've seen this week start to get tapered off as we head into next week I'm still very much of the opinion that in a straight fight between the Fed and the ECB the Fed is going to win in terms of where it wants to go in terms of monetary policy so it doesn't change my view that euro dollar won't go towards 125 but given where we were a week ago where we are now we could see a pullback in the interim and we could head back towards this this red line here on a break below 120 120 okay so see we don't do the Nigerian nearer so an answer to your question best market in 2021 has been renewables if we look at best I got asked about baskets a few minutes ago if we look at if we look at baskets ladies and gentlemen they're here go to share baskets and we've got a whole host of share baskets big tech china tech cannabis if you're that way inclined driverless cars EU most automobiles banks european banks UK banks US banks we look at renewable energy and compare that to driverless cars and big techs look how renewable energy is performed relative to remote lifestyle driverless cars and big tech now obviously renewable energy are much smaller cap stocks and as a result there's more froth in them but if you want to know how we construct our baskets go to the CMC markets website and then look at share baskets which are right there and then that basically gives you the breakdown of how we construct our various baskets so if we go for example to say for example renewable energy we can then display that there and you can see that how that's that's performed relative to the other markets we scroll all the way down here go to renewable energy it then shows you the weightings and the makeup of each stock and each individual basket so you can see the renewable energy one has 17 renewable energy stocks within it including plug power for solar and what have you and we have that for all the major markets so you've got big tech we'll go to that there and you can see that you've got alphabet apple got 20 stocks in there facebook microsoft so on and so forth okay so you can you can you can you can sort of see that straight away from there and you can do that you can do that for a pretty much much much all the baskets um for weed weed stocks if you like so you know we've got we've got a whole host of um products that you can trade in terms of cannabis so you get a cannabis basket there you've got that particular and it's got canopy energy in it can it's not canopy energy canopy canopy in there canopy growth um and other and a whole host of other cannabis stocks but again they're very very how shall we say volatile so you've got to be very very carefully if you're trading those particular those particular markets um c m c c n h index okay so let's let's have a look for that forex indices here we go there it is load that i mean if you look at the c n h index or if you look at the dollar c n h which i've got down here it gives you it sort of gives you a fairly similar idea of where we are if i'm just i'm just going to push that um push come back to that in a minute um ryan and then we can look at c n h i did some analysis a few weeks ago on the rem nimby and i think there's potential for us to move back to 649 on the offshore one the reason being we've we've traded out of this sideways consolidation here if you project that move lower the minimum price objective is for 649 so if we're projecting a one at 649 you're going to be projecting a broadly lower dollar anyway which suggests to me that there's further dollar downside over the course of the next few weeks so i'm very much of the opinion that while we remain below 660 on the offshore one then we're likely to see 649 in due course of course that will then mean that the c n h index should go higher so hopefully ryan that answers your question let me just zoom that up so you can actually see the levels that i'm talking about hopefully that helps no worries at all i'm looking at the rand it's going to be a fairly similar story here that we do appear to be finding a little bit a little bit of a base but ultimately the direction of travel here is fairly clear the rand still looks fairly strong it's certainly the dollar is weakened quite substantively broken below those very key support level there and i would suggest that the rand has the potential to strengthen further if we break below this low of a few days ago at the end of november of around about 15 15 oh 15 10 there or thereabouts if we break below 15 10 we could well see further further rand strength going forward the dollar looks broadly weak across the board and i think while equity markets remain fairly well supported then the dollar is likely to suffer pretty much across the board okay so um with respect to renewables utility stock i can't really advise you one way or the other there um you know i can't give you advice on what you should or shouldn't do i think it's best you you talk to a uh you know a financial advisor on that regard um you know it's a tough one um does anyone have any other questions ladies and gents before i wrap this up um as i say i mean excuse me i do have a week ahead video um if you want to find and out about any market analysis or what have you go to the news and analysis the insights section on the website we've got a whole host we've got air b and b next week ladies and gentlemen the air b and b ipo um i think there's a you know that that should that should generate some fairly decent interest when it starts pricing on the 10th of december you can read all about that here i've written a quick praisey and on the news and analysis section of the website so that's under insights that's where you can read all the commentary about the markets and what have you um so air b and b that that that goes out of the door on the 10th of december being asked to look at the DAX more than happy to do that still a big barrier in the DAX around about 13460 we can see that here let me just zoom that in for you i think that's going to continue to underperform i think um there's a big barrier around about 13460 um there's certainly potential for more upside on the foot season there is the DAX at the moment but if we do break this high here then we've certainly got potential to go back to the highs that we saw in february but at the moment year to date the DAX is just below where it was when it started and now i've got a little button called year to date up here which basically snaps it straight back to the first of january that can be found in this column here and just select the star year to date and it will then appear in the column this menu bar up here so any options where you will have a star you enable it it will then appear as an option in the toolbar and it will save you having to access the drop down menu so hopefully that helps you i'll just notice someone asked me about dolly n let me have a quick look at that for you for me i still think we're going to see a retest of these lows that we saw back in november of 10315 10320 at the moment there's decent resistance around about 10470 10480 um and as such as long as we stay below this series of highs through here you can see this dolly n trend is very much for a lower dollar and a higher yen as long as we're back below here i think we can retest these lows back here around about 10315 10320 okay so ladies and gentlemen i'm hoping that um you found all of that um useful um like to all wish you all a very nice weekend and um a restful one and hopefully um hopefully you will have a successful successful week next week trading the the various headlines that i outlined um just now um so just quickly recapping that we've got an ecb rate meeting on the 10th we've got an eu summit on the 10th as well which should outline um hopefully outline rubber stamp and eu uk trade deal we've got china trade on monday we've got bank of canada rate meeting on the 9th of december and we've also got the air bnb ipo on the 10th as well um okay which question was that was that ethereum because i think i covered that earlier um ethereum yeah i mean with ethereum at the moment it looks very overbought to me it's very near the highs with bitcoin with bitcoin looking a little bit soft i would be reluctant to be going long of ethereum at these sorts of levels um given given what bitcoin is doing at the moment and given the fact that bitcoin has a very big top at 20 000 so you know we're looking at the 200 day moving average quite a long way away from it you know if you're looking to get into ethereum i probably wouldn't be looking to do it quite yet um hopefully that answers your question on ethereum going back um as i say thanks very much for listening ladies and gentlemen it's been a pleasure talking to you i hope you've found today's webinar useful if you have please please send some positive feedback in about 24 hours time you'll be getting a follow-up email from me um for feedback please be nice um and if there's anything that you'd like me to cover that i haven't covered in this video or future on this this webinar for future webinars please let me know because ultimately these webinars are all about you and a guide an educational guide for you so thanks again for listening um hope you will have a great weekend and um see you all next year because this will be the last non-farm payrolls webinar um for this year thanks a lot and cheers and before i go yes you can you can access the recording of the webinar it will go on youtube in the next couple of hours and i will tweet the link out so um it goes it does go out the recording does go out on youtube.com forward slash cmc markets plc and if i don't speak to you any of you before have a great christmas have a great new year and see you all next year thanks a lot walk-through style webinars absolutely we can talk about that we can do them separately um but we will we will certainly we will certainly definitely look at that as well thank you paul cheers


Remember a Hallmark card when you carry enough to send the very best. In Salad Days on the Hallmark Playhouse, Hallmark brings you Hollywood's greatest stars in outstanding stories chosen by one of the world's best-known authors. The distinguished novelist, Mr. James Hilton. Good evening, ladies and gentlemen. This is James Hilton. Tonight on our Hallmark Playhouse, we present a dramatization of a book by Helen and Bellamy Partridge called Salad Days. Mr. Partridge takes his title from Shakespeare, one of whose characters talks of his Salad Days when he was green in judgment. This symbol of youth charmingly fits Mr. Partridge's recollections of his own youth, the trials and tribulations and also the joys and sorrows and excitements of a boy going to an upstate New York College in the gay 90s. Those of us who are old enough and also those of us who are young enough will get the flavor, I think. And to star as the young Mr. Partridge, we have that fine actor Ronald Reagan. And now here is Frank Goss from the makers of Hallmark cards. One of the particular joys of Christmas is sending and receiving Christmas cards. While the pleasure Christmas cards bring can never be measured, isn't it good to know that Hallmark cards are priced the same this year as they were last year and the year before and the year before that? And that the quality of Hallmark cards has constantly improved throughout the years. Yes, today, just as for many Christmas seasons, that Hallmark on the back of your card is looked for and welcomed. It tells your friends you cared enough to send the very best. And now Hallmark Playhouse presenting Bellamy and Helen Partridge's Salad Days starring Ronald Reagan. Here comes a moment in a man's life when something quite accidental crops up to set him thinking back over the past. When he lets down a net as it were into the deep sea of memory and holds up whatever comes, the important and the trivial, the sad and the happy, the serious and the funny. Just such a moment came to a lawyer named Bellamy Partridge whose young son jogged his elbow and made him put down the evening paper. Son, where on earth do you find that old elbow? In the attic. These are pictures of days when I was going to school. See, there I am, pointed shoes. I certainly thought I was the old you kid in those days. What's that building you're standing in front of? That's the old dormitory at Hobart College. That's where I lived when I was going to Hobart. Who's that funny-looking guy? That's Jim Chase. He was my roommate. I was a junior when I was a freshman. I can see Jim now running through the window and shouting, heads out. What did that mean? That meant the girls from the Delancey School were marching by. We'd all run to the window and hang out to watch them go by. Heads out. I can hear Jim saying it just as though I was still living those days. Heads out! Heads out! There's my girl. See that dark head with bangs? Who's the blonde when walking with her? You're not supposed to ask questions about girls, freshman. Why not? Freshmen aren't allowed to think about girls. I'd like to know how anyone's going to stop me from thinking about that one. Well, if you really want to know, that's Judge Dwinell's daughter, Judy. But I won't do you any good because half the upperclassmen in school are stuck on her. Do you know her? Sure, I've met her. She's my girlfriend's roommate. But don't ask me to introduce you. Upperclassmen do not introduce freshmen to girls. How do you meet a girl like that? After wangle an invitation to one of the teas they give at Delancey School. But freshmen can't wangle invitations. Well, maybe this freshman can. You're pretty fresh, freshman. You're pretty fresh, freshman, Jim said. And he was right. I was. But Judy Dwinell had walked by my dorm windows. I saw her pass. It was hers from that moment forward. I don't know why you wanted to be bothered with a girl. Well, you will when you get to be a little older. Whose picture is this? Let's see. Oh, that's Professor Turk. I majored in English under him.  When it got mad, which happened almost every hour on the hour, that beard fairly bristled. Do you see those beady little eyes? Let me tell you, when he fixed those eyes on you, it was something to really make you freeze in your seat. Professor Turk always seemed to have it in for me. I can hear him now saying, Mr. Partridge? Mr. Partridge? Mr. Partridge? Did you hear me addressing you, time? Yes, Professor. Jane, why don't you answer me? I did answer you. Only after I spoke to you three times? I'm sorry, sir. I didn't hear you. Mr. Partridge, if you do not pay attention, you will leave this class as unforgivably uninformed as you entered it. Yes, sir. Now then, Mr. Partridge, you have chosen to write a paper for this class on the subject of college English courses. You say that some of the books that students are required to read are among the dullest that ever came off a printing press. I didn't know you were going to discuss our papers in front of the class. Indeed. Do you think I can hold an individual session with each individual member of this class on each individual subject? Well, I guess I didn't think about it, Professor Turk. You didn't think much about this paper you wrote, either. Would you be so kind as to name for the class some of the books you consider the dullest that ever came out of a printing press? Well, I was thinking of books like The Mill on the Floss. Well, you're really. And what else? I don't seem to remember, Professor Turk. Oh, come now at least have the spunk to stick up for your own convictions. Well, some of the works of Carlisle and Thorough... Maybe they are dull and not worth reading. Each of the books you have so criticized are writing the papers kindly try to improve your abominable punctuation, Mr. Partridge. Yes, Professor Turk. By the way, I was the student most often called down in class. Most often called down in class. Most often kept after class. I thought old Turk really had it in for me until one day toward the end of the term it kept me after class.  Pretty hard on you this term. You do think that, don't you? Well, sir, I... The worse the student comes along and the teacher senses that he can be molded. It's just possible, Mr. Partridge, that you have a very worthwhile future. And if I can prepare you better for that, then we will both be repaid for the mutual agony we have suffered in one another's company. Well, my father's a lawyer, Professor Turk, and I've sort of intended to make that my profession. I see. Well, you'd better go home and work on the assignments I gave you. If you don't, you're never going to know what I wanted to be. And maybe he was right. Who's that girl? She was 17 when that picture was taken. You can see how pretty she was. I spent long months thinking and planning and plotting how to get to a T at Delancey School. I got to a point where I couldn't work out of sheer frustration and desperation. You have to class to work, not to daydream. I'm sorry, Professor Turk.  You don't concentrate in class any longer. Your compositions don't show any thought. Something's wrong, and I want to know what it is. Oh, it's very difficult to explain, sir. All right, my boy, out with it. You wouldn't understand. I couldn't possibly tell you. Oh, now it begins to dawn. You had much appetite lately, Mr. Patrick? Very little, sir. And have you been sleeping at night? Not too well, sir. I didn't say it was a young lady. My boy, the symptoms are all too obvious. Now, what is the problem? Well, the problem is I'm a freshman. A freshman can't attend the T's at Delancey School, and I haven't even been able to meet her. Well, now, there are certain circumstances under which a freshman can attend the T at Delancey School. There are. A freshman can go if he happens to be escorted by a member of the Hobart faculty. Well, I'm afraid that isn't much help. On the contrary, Mr. Bodridge, I happen to be attending a T at Delancey School next to be delighted to have the pleasure of your company. Yes. You go to Delancey, don't you? Of course. That's where you are, you know. Oh, sure. I know. I was just kidding. It's a nice party, isn't it? Oh, very nice. If you like tea. Oh, I like tea. So do I. I am an English major. Oh, that must be very interesting. My English prop brought me to the T. That's him over by the door. He introduced us. Don't you remember? Oh, that's right. He did, didn't he? I'm all mixed up somehow today. Oh, the teacher's emotioning, too. The tea's over. Oh, don't go. Oh, but I have to. I've been waiting for months to meet you. I had so much I wanted to say to you, and I haven't said any of it. Well, perhaps we'll meet again, Mr. Bodridge, and you can say it then. I hope we'll meet again. Well, if you hope we'll meet again, I'm sure we will. All set against the backdrop of Judy's smile. Judy's eyes. Judy's voice. The freshman prom villain. I don't know when I've had such fun. Judy, will you come to all the dances with me? As long as I'm in college, will you be my date? You don't want to tie yourself up for the next three years, do you?  I'm so glad you could come. Our last Saturday before we go home for the summer. Are you going to miss me? I don't know how I'm going to survive until fall. Can't I come to see you? Oh, I'm afraid I could never make Mother understand. But why? Don't ask me now, Bellamy. Let's just enjoy the time we have. There's so little left as it is. Judy, do you care anything for me at all? Of course I do, Bellamy. Of course I do. Will you write to me this summer? Of course. Will you write to me? Every day. So will I. Judy, will you take my fraternity pin? Will you wear it? Yes, Bellamy. You know, that means we're engaged, unofficially. Yes, Bellamy, but very unofficial. Get on the train now. I must. Goodbye, Bellamy. Goodbye. That first summer without Judy was the longest I'd spent until then. In fact, the only ones that were ever longer were the summers I had to spend later without her. Who's this woman here, Daddy? Gee whiz, she sure looks mad. That's Judy's mother, Mrs. Dwinell. She still looks mad. Did you ever meet her? Yes, I certainly did. Did she always look as mad as that? Son, the first time I met her, she looked madder. School was in session again, and she'd come up to see Judy. Judy asked me to come down to the hotel to meet her mother. The situation was just about as strained as the situation could be. I can see Judy now, standing there with a desperate look on her face, saying, Mother, may I present Bellamy Partridge? Mother, may I present Bellamy Partridge? Bellamy, this is my mother. How do you do, Mrs. Dwinell? How do you do? It's a nice day, isn't it, Mrs. Dwinell? It's going to rain. Oh, I hope not. So you're the young boy Judy told us was blowing her around at school. I think that's very kind of you, particularly since you know that Judy is engaged to an attorney in Rochester. Engaged? Mother, we're not engaged. Well, perhaps not in so many words, but there's been an understanding for some time. You must meet Mr. Cole sometime, Mr. Partridge. He's one of the most distinguished lawyers in this part of the country. He has a beautiful home to take Judy to, and he can give her everything a young girl could want. Mother, how can you talk like that? You know that. Now, Judy, there's no point in keeping anything from Mr. Partridge. It's only fair for him to understand the situation. You do understand now. Don't you, Mr. Partridge? Yes, I understand, Mrs. Dwinell. I understand only too well. We will return to the second act of Salad Days, starring Ronald Reagan. Have you seen the Hallmark Christmas card train? You'll see it in full color in the December issues of holiday, ladies' home journal, and better homes and gardens. You'll see it at the fine stores where you buy Hallmark cards. And you'll certainly see it in the smartest homes this holiday season. In fact, when you see it, you'll want several for your own home and to send to your friends as your personal Christmas card. For besides being so colorful and gay, the Hallmark Christmas card train is a practical way to enjoy Christmas cards. You know how pleasant it is to have your cards all together so you can show them to the family and friends? Well, the Hallmark Christmas train holds up to 150 Christmas cards, yet six inches high and 38 inches long. The engine has peppermint candy stripe wheels and the gaily decorated cars following carry a Merry Christmas Happy New Year greeting. When you're sending it as a combination, gift and greeting to your friends, there's a place on the bright red caboose for you to sign your name. Can you think of a nicer way to say Merry Christmas? And the Hallmark Christmas card train is so adaptable. You can place it on the mantle, curve it to make a centerpiece for your Christmas table, or station it out of the tree to hold saddest surprises on Christmas morning. And here's more good news. The Hallmark Christmas card train costs only $1, complete with mailing envelope, a gift that's all ready to go. Yes, you will surely want to see the Hallmark Christmas card train. It'll make a non-stop run straight to your holiday heart. Plan to see it tomorrow. Now back to James Hilton and the second act of salad days, starring Ronald Reagan. An old album turns and with it, the years pass by. Bellamy Partridge knew he would have to struggle to get what he wanted. And so he did. He knew there was trouble ahead and he was right. But when it all happened, like so many other things in a man's life, it wasn't much like anything he had ever expected. The man with the white whiskers? That was our family doctor, son. He brought me into the world. He bandaged my first skinned knee, taped my first sprained ankle, took care of me often on from the day I was born until the day he died. The summer I was a junior, he had a serious talk with me. One of the most serious talks I guess I've ever had with anyone. He had me come down to his office and he said to me, Bellamy, there's something I've got to tell you. Bellamy, there's something I've got to tell you. I don't quite know how to begin. What is it, Doc? You know how we worried last winter about all those colds. I haven't got a cold now. You've got a cough. Bellamy, I've had you down here going through all those examinations because I was afraid of that cough. I'd certainly like to get rid of it before school starts. I'm carrying quite a load this time. Son, I wish I didn't have to tell you this. But I'm afraid you're not going to be able to start back to school next month. What do you mean? If you're going to get over that cough, I'm afraid you're going to have to go out west for a few months.  I won't finish with my class. I know what a disappointment this must be for you. But I also know you can meet it, Bellamy. You must meet it. To see you because this was something I just couldn't write to you. Bellamy, I'm so sorry. I'm so sorry. The toughest thing to take is leaving you. I don't mind the rest so much, but leaving you, Judy, you know how I feel about you. You've known from the beginning, haven't you? Of course I have. Will you wait, Judy? Yeah, I'll wait, Bellamy. Picture two, Daddy? Yes, that's Judy's picture two. That's the way Judy looked when I came back from out west. I was sunburned, healthy, and full of self-confidence. I got off the train, saw my family, and then I got on another train and headed for Judy's hometown. I walked straight up to the door and rang the bell. I didn't care whether her mother came to the door or not. She was no longer afraid of anyone or anything, except the possibility that Judy might have changed toward me. The minute she opened the door and said my name, I knew. Bellamy, oh Bellamy! Judy, Judy, let me look at you. I are still a prettiest girl in a whole dog-elan country. You know that. Why didn't you let me know you were coming? I wanted to surprise you. Is your mother here? No, no, she's out. Father's in the library. Well, I want to ask someone for your hand in marriage. It's customary to go to a girl's father, but in your case, what do you think? Well, I think you should ask father, because that's the proper thing to do. Father, of course, won't give you an answer. He'll say you have to ask mother. So then you ask mother, and after she says no, you ask me, Bellamy, because I've been ready with my answer for a long time. That's all I want to know. Which door leads to the library? That one. All right, here I go. Judge D'Winell, I want to marry your daughter. You want to? What's your name? Bellamy Partridge. Oh, we haven't seen you for some time, Bellamy. My eyesight isn't all it used to be. So you want to marry Judy, do you? Yes, sir. Well, I'm afraid you'll have to ask Judy's mother. Ask me what? Oh, hello, Mrs. D'Winell. My dear, this is... I know who this is.  I want to marry Judy. Ridiculous. I won't hear of such nonsense. It isn't nonsense, mother. I love Bellamy and he loves me. He hasn't even finished school, has he? Well, I... He's going to finish school. He's going to be a lawyer like his father and my father. And how are you going to live? We'll manage. We aren't going to wait any longer, mother. We're leaving tonight to get married. I'll not hear of such a thing. And just one minute, Mariah. You've said quite enough.  Judy is going to be married in her own home to the man of her choice. She's going to have a proper wedding. That is, if the young folks are willing to wait long enough for us to make the suitable arrangements. Are you Judy? Are you Bellamy? Yes, of course we'll wait. But only long enough to make the suitable arrangements during the album is the minister that married us. That was the beginning of my real happiness.  That isn't the last picture in the album, Daddy. There's one more. Oh, so there is. Now, who do you suppose that is? I don't know. But whoever it is should have some clothes on. That's you, my boy, in the tender age of four weeks. It is to take a picture of me like that. Well, I think it's time this young man was in bed. What earth are you doing with that old book of pictures?  And we'd come to the beginning of a very important chapter. What happens in it? Tell me, Daddy. No more tonight, my boy. It's bedtime. Son, that's an ending for fairy stories, not for life. Life isn't that simple. For taking it all in all, I've had many more good times than bad ones. And throughout all that has happened, your mother's been with me. Sharing the work and the fun. So the one thing I'm really certain of is this. The luckiest moment in all my life was when I met her. James Hilton will return in a moment. When you're buying that Hallmark Christmas card train, take a look at another bit of Christmas beauty. Hallmark gift wrappings for your Christmas presents. Hallmark gift wrappings are completely coordinated. Select a basic color scheme, and you'll find there's matching paper, seals and tags for your feminine gifts, your masculine gifts, and those wonderful gifts you'll be wrapping for the children. Also, Hallmark designs are scaled to the size of the box you'll be wrapping. So if you'd like your gifts to be the ones everyone wants to open first on Christmas morning, select Hallmark gift wrappings. You'll find them at fine stores across the country. You'll know them by their beauty. And by that familiar Hallmark and crown you always look for on the back of cards when you'll carry enough to send the very best. Here again is James Hilton. Thank you for being with us on the Hallmark Playhouse tonight, Ronnie. I expect your performance took many of our audience back to their own college days. It certainly brought back memories to me. Well, to me too, Jimmy. I always enjoy your Hallmark Playhouse stories. And by the way, you know those Hallmark Christmas card trains, Frank Goss, was talking about earlier tonight? I think they're the best addition to holiday fun we've seen in a long time, and I'm so grateful for the one given to me tonight. You know, when I was a kid, I always wanted to be an engineer. Well, you won't have to be any kind of engineer to put the Hallmark Christmas card train together. It's a very easy thing to do. In fact, the whole idea is a delightful one. Well, it's made my visit doubly enjoyable. Now, what's your story for next week? Next week, we shall dramatize Marcella Talence, The Night of the Hayride, the story of how a lonely woman recaptured her lost life and found her happiness again. And as our star, we are delighted to have charming Loretta Young. Our Hallmark Playhouse is every Thursday, our producer-director is Bill Gay, our music is composed and conducted by David Rose, and our story tonight was adapted by Jean Holloway. Until next Thursday then, this is James Hilton saying, Good night. Those that have been carefully selected will give you expert and friendly service. Remember a Hallmark card when you carry it up to send the very best. Ronald Reagan appeared tonight for the courtesy of Warner Brothers, producers of I'll See You in My Dream, starring Doris Day and Danny Thomas. The role of Judy tonight was played by Barbara Eiler, others in our cast included Barbara Jean Wong, Myra Marsh, Ted Osburn, Eddie Firestone, Parley Bear and Ted D'Corsia. This is Frank Goss saying, Good night to you all until next week at the same time. When Hallmark Playhouse returns to present Loretta Young in Marcella Tallinn's The Night of the Hayride, and the week following Lorenzo Sears' John Hancock starring Dana Andrews, and the week after that our traditional Christmas presentation Here to Paulie's The Story of Silent Night on the Hallmark Playhouse. This is the CBS Radio Network. This is KMVC, Kansas City, Missouri.


Okay. Hello everyone, my name is Lorenzo Grande and I'm a Technology Analyst at ID Tech X. Today I'm here with Denis, who will tell us a bit about ILICA and their applications in the IoT industry. Well, Lorenzo, last year we launched a solid-state battery at the ID Tech X, which was our M250 solid-state battery for smart homes and smart buildings. And this year we've got new products which can operate at a higher temperature, up to 150 degrees, to be inserted in sensors for industrial applications next to a hot machine or an engine in a car for sensors. And this is demonstrated here. Okay. Can you tell us a bit about the perpetual beacon? That's right. Well, these batteries have sub-million power capacity. So the question is, what can they really do with such a small capacity? So we're demonstrating this with a beacon that has our battery, a PV panel from electricity. We're combining those two to power this autonomous sensing device which has electronics including sensors, and the data is sent to a tablet through Bluetooth. What you really want to look at is what's down here, which is the same device on a hot plate at 120 degrees, and it's still operating quite nicely. Wow, that's impressive. And here we have a wafer which shows the way your batteries are produced, right? Yeah, that's correct. So the way solid-state batteries are produced is through a PVD, physical vapor deposition technique, evaporation in vacuum chambers using a six-inch wafers, kind of semiconductor-type wafers. Okay, so you transferred some techniques from the semiconductor industry to produce your solid-state batteries. Absolutely. In fact, techniques for depositing or synthesizing MAMs or OLEDs are not really far away from the way we make those batteries, so it's quite transferable. Wow, that's great. And as you said before, the markets you're targeting is the internet of things with its industrial applications. The industry is 4.0, and can you give us some examples of where these batteries could be employed? Well, you've got it on the head. So these are small batteries, small in size, so they are very useful for inserting in very small sensors that you don't really want to forget, you want to forget about and make them invisible. Then the high-temperature performance is enabling those sensors on hot parts. So industry for predictive maintenance, a machine acquiring data that might tell you whether the machine is about the pump. For example, a pump is about to heat up and break data to enhance productivity in cars, for example, sensing gas through an exhaust composition of gas where the temperature is quite high is very useful. Wow, that's great. And so what do you think of the AdTechEx show? I guess here we have many companies that come to your booth and have maybe some partnerships in mind. We start loving it here, so we keep coming back to it. We like learning about the ecosystem, and we're getting all those people really sharing this vision for IoT. And we know we are part of an ecosystem, and so we want to understand what those people are and to start working with them. Wow, that's great. Well, Denise, thanks again for your time and wish you the best of luck. Pleasure, Ranzo, thank you.


Time here from our systems. It is January 16th of 2023 PF sense plus release candidate 2301 is available. Well, it wasn't available just today It's been available for a little while, but I did load it three days ago on my system here at my office slash studio Now this is separate than my business office That's still running the current stable version But I wanted to share my experience in the upgrade process and I did a few lab machines which went boringly smooth I mean Changes and breaking things is more exciting which I had a little bit more exciting upgrade doing it with my system Which the real difference is I was running snort and end top I just removed those packages and did the upgrade again and no problems I say again because I've done a video on boot environments linked down in the description below and what you do So you can be at the minimal amount of risk here of disruption and problems or you know Having a reload of firewall, which is just pain in a but but you go and set up a boot environment You run the upgrade process and if it doesn't go well because you've forgot to remove snort or end top PNG I was hoping it didn't have to but these settings all came back after I reinstalled them But that broke so all I do was roll back to a previous boot environment remove those two packages run that process again Worked perfectly fine. And here we are making a video now And well this video is being made and uploaded through a 2301 firewall So let's dive into some of the changes and things that are really different or not so different about the 2301 I'll be leaving a link to this down below so you can read through all the feature changes But the big major ones we want to talk about here is first the refactoring from 7.4 to 8.1 PHP this is well important because PHP 7.4 has reached end of life as of here today It is no longer supported therefore if there's a security problem found in that old version of PHP You're not likely to get an update or a patch for it. It's a big maybe because as I said, it's unsupported now One problem is when you move from PHP versions There's new ways to do things this code improves and there may be some deprecated functions And that's a lot of testing to do so that's a lot of the under-the-hood changes that occurred with this version So it's not just the PF sense system itself But it's also any of the packages that may have dependencies or problems running the older versions of PHP The next thing is they went from free BSD 12 all the way up to free BSD 14 Now there's a lot of good reasons for doing this You're getting the latest kernel and you may not know this but people that work at Nekate are also code contributors Not just to pfSense, but they're also co-conservating to BSD project itself Those upstream commits are going most likely into the latest kernel And if you're running a older version of free BSD There is some extra labor involved in bringing that code back into the older kernel This will kind of relieve them of some of that technical debt And as they push upstream updates and changes to the BSD project and they can pull that back down into pfSense but you remember pfSense is built as a distribution that is Appliance-like as in single tasks focused on being a firewall and the features that they put in it So you're not really at risk from running the latest packages because it's not like a full BSD distribution Where you're just pulling from any package because there's been maybe some people concerned if you're running They'll bleeding edge of all this with that causing the instability And of course you have the people who are writing kernel stuff pulling the kernel in and packaging this to be a Extremely stable firewall. So I think it's really cool that they brought this all the way to free BSD 14 This allows them to pull data in faster I believe and you know keep the iterations going when there's changes or updates that need to come to this now of note 2.7 community edition is also doing these same things moving to the 7.4 8.1 and moving to free BSD 14 I'm talking about plus because that's what I'm using and I mentioned a boot environment So I did test this with 2.7 and so there's a lot of parity here in terms of the base operating system being the same I've talked about this before where pfSense plus is still Essentially built on top of your pfSense community edition. So they share a common base But the pfSense plus does have some extra things that are listed in a video also down below So you can see the difference between them such as the boot environments and a couple extra features that they add on on top of it Now this is my system here at the studio. It is the 231 beta It has been running for four days four hours 32 minutes because that's how long ago I updated it I figured four days is enough to do some testing to see if I would run into any problems of things that didn't work Things that are working fine are my privacy VPN right here my WireGuard VPN to the office which you can see has moved about 17 gigs of data In receive and transmitted at 1.53 gigs. So that's worked perfectly fine I loaded HAProxy on here just to see if it would load to see if there's any issues because it is a newer version slightly I didn't set this up yet to do any testing we use HAProxy at my office, but I haven't really dove into it I do have some future videos I'm working on and I'll probably do those here on this system But it does load and didn't have any errors the air services and money are snort and snort works perfectly fine Didn't have any problems there and the final one is going to be under firewall and of course PF blocker NG No errors no trouble running this extension here So the common ones that you see a lot of people running Also worth noting that I have plenty of different networks in here lots of different interfaces and firewall rules and No issues moving things around between any of these now My reason really for making this video is to share with you the changes that are coming in the new version of PF Sense whether that be the 2.7 community edition or the 2.3.0 1 but specifically I am testing the PF Sense plus 2.3.0 1 now I'm curious what your experiences are why you have or have not upgraded to the latest version if there's challenges you have just well Put them in the comments below or more importantly if you can reproduce a specific problem let the developers know That's how these problems get fixed is through proper testing and evaluating and seeing if there's some Reproducible bug that occurs that well can be squashed so this can get to full release faster Obviously, I don't know or have a crystal ball that tells me when the full release date is But as we can see with PF Sense they are getting close because well once there's a lot of bugs quash Or there's not many or many bugs left to quash I should say it's probably we can speculate really close to coming to full release now before it comes before release Maybe I'll do some testing on my office because I also am using HA proxy and acne and a few other things there With radius server and I want to test to make sure all those function work And I can also use the boot environments to test even that larger environment like that Which as I said with the video link down below kind of reduces all of your risk for doing any of this So let me know what your thoughts are in the comments down below if you're having problems Netgate forums is a great place to discuss that if you want to discuss topics You've seen on this channel or reach out to me My forums are a great place to engage or reach out of me or any of the socials that I've mentioned Down in the links below. Thank you and take care And thank you for making it all the way to the end of this video If you've enjoyed the content, please give us a thumbs up If you would like to see more content from this channel hit the subscribe button and the bell icon If you'd like to hire a short project head over to Lawrence systems comm and click the hires button right at the top To help this channel out in other ways There's a join button here for YouTube and a patreon page where your support is greatly appreciated for deals Discounts and offers check out our affiliate links in the description of all our videos including a link to our shirt store We have a wide variety of shirts that we sell and designs come out well randomly So check back frequently and finally our forums forums dot Lawrence systems comm is where you can have a more in-depth discussion About this video and other tech topics covered on this channel Thanks again for watching and look forward to hearing from you


Hello and welcome to the session. In this session we will discuss a question which says that take a five-year period of moving average and determine short term oscillations for the final data also plot the graph for action and trend values. And this is the data which is given to us. And now we will start with the solution. Now when we take a five-year period of moving average and for this first of all we will draw a table for this given data. Now here we have drawn the table for the given data. Where the column is representing the years, the column tree is representing the number of students in thousands. And in the column tree we will find five yearly moving totals and in column tree we will find five yearly moving average. And in the last column we will find the short term oscillations. Now first of all we will find the five yearly moving totals. For this we will add the values of first five years that is starting from the year 1995 to the year 1999. So we will add these five values and we will write this total against the middle year which is the third year that is the year 1997.  Next five years. That is we will add these values against the year 1998.  So this last year's value is taken into account. So in the next which we get 121. Put the total against the year 2000 and we are getting 130. Now in the next step we will add total against the year 2002, 125. That is here it will be 97.5 19.4 which is equal to 21.4 142 by 5 is the short term better the values in column 2. 2012 20 19.4 minus 19.4 which is equal to plus 0.6 minus 21.4 grand point 6 minus 26 is minus 7 minus 28.4 is minus 2.4 minus 25 but on the graph will be the year 1995 with 9. Five point is that in year 1995 there were 9000 students. Now the next point that we will plot on the graph will be the year 1996 it on the graph. We are getting the graph for the actual values of the trend values on the graph. And we will plot on the graph will be the year 1997 we will plot the years. Plot will be the year 1998 with point on the graph for the trend values. And this is also called the trend line. So this is the solution of the given question and that's all for this session. Hope you all have enjoyed this session.


Being alone. Being alone. See, I thought this was a block and I thought Neil's not even going to go for this one because probably everybody comes in here and says that they're blocked by being alone, but nobody has. No, not that I can think of. Okay. I am very... You have a very active mind. That's what's interesting about you. It's like the kid from the Letterman kid. The kid who was on Letterman, not David Letterman, the kid who was on blocks. What a great episode. Yes. Taylor Townsend also a great episode. Yeah. Oh, did she do this already? Yeah. She beats me to everything. She's done it twice. In seven episodes, we added one. I didn't know how active that kid's mind was. Right. The Letterman kid. This, what's great about new Chrissy, you are, you'll say Chrissy Chaos.  Just you'll say, are my sexuality, like it's, everything is available. Right. And it's very fun to watch.  Right. I think it all stems from this fear of being alone because even I've noticed when I'm driving, right? When I'm driving, you know, in peace in the car, pure daylight, whatever, not scared of anything, just driving, I'm constantly looking for people to call to talk to through the drive. Like the moments of just sitting quiet, like I do it. I've been forcing myself to do it. I'm very inconsistent with it. I'm a big goal of mine is to stay consistent with it. One of the hardest things I do is trying to sit quietly and meditate. It feels almost like an impossibility to try to do this, you know, the transcendental meditation, 20 minutes twice a day.  I'm like, I have to talk to somebody. I feel like I'm alone. I'm alone. I'm alone. People who travel alone, it feels at this point in my life like inconceivable to do that. The amount of loneliness I'd feel, the amount of pressure I'd feel, the amount, how much I miss New York, it would, it would, it would be so much to the point where I would be like, I have to. It actually happened. I went to England. I was doing shows in England and I was by myself. My friend was supposed to come meet me. He couldn't get out there. I had tickets to the Yankees Red Sox in 2018 when they played the one and only Major League Baseball game. They played in London, England, my favorite baseball team of all time in the Yankees, their main rival, the Red Sox. I paid all this money for these tickets. There's trip over there. Bookshows around it sell no tickets, just a full loss and Taylor added shows in London. That is true. She actually played in the game. So two days before the game, I still had gigs left on the schedule. The game was the focal point. I felt so alone, created a scenario in my head where I thought I had appendicitis. It's just gas because I was eating fish and chips like it was my job, which it was. And I flew home. How's that job pay, by the way? Great. It pays in diarrhea. I flew home and got and convinced myself you're flying home because you want to see your daughter. You're flying home. This is the right move. Blah, blah, blah, blah, blah. Get home. My daughter was by my mom's house. Go knock on the door. My mom's like, what are you doing here? I was like, I want to come home early. I missed the baby so much. Blah, blah, blah. I have appendicitis. Yeah. And a mother's just intuition. She said, you were scared to be alone in England right away, seven o'clock in the morning. She was like, you're scared to be alone in England. Single tear in your face. I was like, I am. I was like, wow, I was. She was like, man, she was like, so you didn't go to the game. I said, no, it's tomorrow. She was like, you're going to regret this, honey. And then we went in, made me breakfast. Never mentioned it really again, but it was profound where I was like, as soon as you said what is your biggest blocks like that still is the one that I haven't. I feel like the other ones I've how much do you eat on those tickets?  I because I bought my ticket and for my friend, I was out three grand, which you know, I mean, there's a lot of money now. But back then, I mean, everything kind of insurmountable.  Yeah. And and so I still that being alone, I haven't the other ones. Again, you never you never fully conquer stuff. I think there's always, we all always learn, but that being alone one is as big a block today as it was in 2018 where the other ones are way less blocks. I don't think you're wrong to like people. Do you know what I mean? Like, I don't think you're wrong to want to talk like I have friends who call me on the phone. I don't want to talk on the phone really, but like it's I don't mind it. You know what I mean? Like, clearly they like talking on the phone.  Like how does it hurt you though, other than the Yankee tickets? I think ultimately it comes down to, you know, when I'm alone, then I think I have to still get faced with it. Like all the noise comes down. It's like you I still get faced with all these all this work I still have to do and all these questions that I, you know, say when we started the show that I wanted to have answered. So I could be the best version of myself for my daughter. I think I have to get faced with all these questions that I still haven't answered. And I'm still not even, I believe close to the best version of myself. And what what are my kids going to think of this imperfect failure of a dad? But also this idea that we're bad. Yeah. And we need to work on ourselves. Yeah. Is Catholic. Yep. Original sin can't get rid of it. Yep. What I've come to recently that may help you is like, I'm not going to die and be like, did it? Yeah. Like, you know what I mean? Like, it's never going to be solved. Yeah. So just like, maybe arc toward better. Right. I woke up. I looked in my house and half my furniture's gone because she's moving out today. Wow. There was a feeling of sadness, a real deep sadness. Yeah. Tell me, tell me about it. Well, you know, I was living with Kalaila for 10 years. And we've been broken up for about six, seven months. Yeah. And I don't know, this is the first time where I'm just kind of like, oh, this is real. Yeah. I'm alone. You know, and you know, I had a loud house, like I would wake up and there would be people in the living room. Yeah. Laughter, joy and all the stuff. And I don't know, man. You don't like being alone too much? Well, I haven't done it in so long. Like, I'm just sort of readjusting to it all. You know, I don't know if this is real or not, but I honestly don't believe that I'll ever be in another thing again. Do you ever hear Larry David used to drive when he was a cab driver? No. In New York? It's like two years ago. No, it was 40 years ago. When he drove into New York and he's like, when I would drop someone off, I would think I'm never going to get another fare. Yeah. He would think like, I'm no one's ever going to hail me again. That's our thinking. Yes. Yeah. Yeah. No, I don't want to though. That's the thing.  And Spade maybe. And I go, oh, that, you know what I mean? That could be a lifestyle that I could get. To some people, it's a cautionary tale, honestly. It is a cautionary tale. Yeah. To some people, but I'm with you in that there are times where I go I think about how I feel by myself and I think about how I feel with somebody. And sometimes I think that being with somebody is significantly more stressful to me than being by myself. Because the expectations of my, when I'm by myself are nil. They don't exist, right? Yeah. And the expectations when you're with somebody is like you have to behave a certain way. And it's hard and it can be gratifying. I refuse to compromise. No more.  Let's go to this vegan place before it's like, okay, I'll eat that. Not anymore. Have fun. I'm going to Morton's again. That's where I'm at now. Yep.    I'm watching the scary movie again. I'm not doing any of it. Go to my friend's wedding.  I'm not going. Brunch. I'll do that. Okay. I'll do brunch. No, I'm with you, but it can be, and I don't know if it's a personality type or if most people, their fear of loneliness is greater than their reluctance to compromise. I, because I think, yeah, I know. I don't know. I don't know. I don't know. You're right. It'll change. You're right. You're right. I don't know. This is the first day, so I don't know. It might change. Who knows? I might meet, you know, the one. Right. Who knows? You know what I mean? But this time, I'm going to go public or white. That's my next venture.  Yeah. What were the changes?  That's what are we doing? That's dumb. Yeah. This is like, I want one. I was like, all right, I'll do it. So she's like, it's important to me. It doesn't matter about you right now. And I was like, all right. So there's stuff like that where you're like, and now a person's relying on you. And what really did it was she had my back on a thing once. And I'd never had someone really have my back. And I was like, all right, I'm marrying her. That's really what did it. Never had a woman like fight for me. Yeah. And or even a friend really coming to think about it. But so that was huge. So I was like, all right, she's loyal. She'll stick with me forever. This is almost nice to have that moment. We're like, oh, good. Yeah. Before they're even on the clock. You're like, okay, this person exactly will defend me. Because that's a big one for me too. It was like, I want different. I think when I think about growing up, I always think about like being like sent to my room, some sort of incident.  Yeah.  And I wonder if you, you must have had that. Totally. You felt, I felt alone my whole life.  Oh, really? Was that in your vows? I did. I told her I didn't want to do vows, but she wanted them. So we did them privately and that was in there. Oh, great. Yeah. Because again, that's the cringe.  It's too hard. Yeah. Fantastic.  Yeah. And how did it go? Like it's bad. It goes good for a while. Yeah, that's what, that's what happened. Yeah. It goes good for like the first few months. And you can't keep it up. I can't keep it up. How do you know that? It's what none of us can. We, here's how relationships work. Women pretend to be sexual and men pretend to be thoughtful. And we can both do it for like three or four months. And then it goes to what we're really like. And then we start getting mad at each other. Yeah. Why? Is that just human nature? Yeah. Because we both want a thing. I believe men just want like sex and a connection.  Like whereas we have to, like it's a problem for us. We don't get it. So they, we both present in a certain way. And then we come to them. We're like, I'll give you a connection.  And then we, and that's kind of what happens. And we, and it's also like new structures. Yeah. I don't know. I just after a few months, I guess I don't want, I don't long for a connection much anymore. After a few months, I'm like, I don't know. Sometimes you just want to go back to being alone. That's the problem. That's maybe the issue with people like us is it's pretty, pretty good. Pretty fun. Yeah. A lot of fun. We got good, we got good. We got a full cable package up here. We can entertain ourselves. Yeah. Like I was an only child for a long time. I've never lived with any of my siblings up until now. So I'm like pretty good at just me and my TV. If I didn't have a TV, I'd lose it. That's the connection here. I mean, that's the, yeah. That's a great connection. I've lived with a girl, my son's mom. And I remember like sharing the bed was the first like, whoa. This is the end game. Was you got to find somebody to share a bed with? I had my own bed my whole life. And I had to share one. I feel like a demotion. Yeah, sure does. Now I also have to share control of the remote. Yep. And you got to wait for the bathroom. It's like prison. Yeah.  Also she doesn't wait until I'm done using the bathroom. Like you get less privacy. You get less TV time. And I know to a lot of women this just sounds like immature. Like that's your big problem with the TV. You're like, yeah, that was my best friend growing up. TV. Yeah. Yes. Also like hate most of their TV shows. Yeah, that's the problem. The men and women don't have a ton of shared interests. We don't. It's like we pretend. But I can do like a few date nights. You know, and maybe that's just me not being ready for marriage or whatever. But I don't know if I will be ready for marriage just because like I'm not going to be able to share a TV every night for the rest of my life. Yeah. And then it's also would you be in a relationship? Would you be one of those dudes who like has his own wing of the house? You know what I mean? Dude, you need that. Yeah. You need that. I feel like and it's only fair of a woman gets that too. Yeah. I mean, I a lot of women now are saying like I don't even want to live with a guy. That would be fine. Which is great. Yeah. Like, yeah, you're it's a smart way to approach it because it's not. Doesn't mean I love you less, you know. It's like this isn't going to help just constant. Yeah. Other person in your face. That is nice.  And maybe that comes from like my own issues too. Like just like things never being stable at home. Yeah. Like things were always changing. People were in and out the house. But one like unit, you know, being like a perfect couple and living together from like this point until forever just seems like a crazy goal to me. Look, if it weren't for children, there'd be no. No, I don't even think women would want to do it. Yeah. I think it's just about safety. It's about creating a stable environment for a kid. Now, on the other hand, unstable environment, exhibit, exhibit a nothing, but it is TV's best friend. Pretty good. Cowabunga on Netflix. Hey, did you like that? Did you like that? Yeah. Did you like it though? You want more don't want to work would rather watch videos of me grab acid with people.  This is like when the weatherman says there's a high-pressure system coming in. Although I'm not really used to the green screen.