Amen. So keep your place there in 1 Peter chapter 5. We'll get there in just a minute.  Because of the title of the sermon, that's right. You should say amen because the Bible is there to smack you in the face. All right? So we're going to hit everybody a little bit this morning. Even myself, I'll give a couple of examples, but we're going to talk about something. You say, why would I say that right away? Because what we're going to talk about this morning is a major problem in our society. It's something that the culture of the world, the culture of the United States especially, is really moving in this direction. And I want to show you, hopefully I can convince you to shun that, to buck that status quo that you're seeing out in the world there today. But what I want to talk about today is being casual and the dangers of being too casual, especially in our Christian lives, in our relationships with people, with our families. But this is where society is moving today. It's just this casual everything today. And I want to talk about the dangers of being too casual this morning. So what does casual mean? What do I mean by being casual? I'm not talking about just having a casual conversation. I mean, we'll talk a little bit about conversations. But the definition of casual that I really want to hit on this morning is right out of the dictionary where it says the definition of casual is relaxed and unconcerned. Relaxed and unconcerned. So I want to talk about the dangers of being relaxed and unconcerned in your life this morning. Look down at 1 Peter chapter five and look at verse number eight. The first application of this is the casual Christian. You know, just the casual Christian. The Christian that is taking his Christianity, his obligations as a Christian, as a follower of Christ, you know, in a relaxing and unconcerned way. Look at 1 Peter chapter five and verse number eight. The Bible says this. It says, be sober and vigilant. You see those two words there? Why? Because you're adversary the devil, you know, as a roaring lion, walketh about seeking whom he may devour. So we see these two words sober and vigilant. You know, it's pretty much the opposite of relaxed and unconcerned. So the relaxed and unconcerned Christian, the Bible here is telling is not going to do well. Because what is it going to take to resist the devil? Look, the devil Satan is real. Demons are real. These things are real. You know, I often thought I was driving down that we knocked on a door yesterday that had like, like, what is it, poem reader or something above the door and all this. And I've often thought, you know, obviously we'd never do this. But, you know, walking into one of those places, would that person know that I'm a Christian? Would that person recognize that, you know, I am a believer and a saved believer of the Lord Jesus Christ? Would they recognize that? And I was asking Brother Jeff this as we went soul winning. I was like, I've often thought that, you know, I'm never going to go to a poem reader obviously. I'm never going to go to a witch. But, you know, would they recognize it? And that, why do I think that way? Because that would tell me if it was a scam or not. Because look, those things are real, folks. Demons are real. Satan is real. It's a real thing.  He can't take away your salvation.  It's impossible. You are sealed by the Holy Spirit.  That's what he wants for the rest of the world. But Satan can derail you from your Christian life. He can stop you from being profitable. He can stop you from having a spiritual life.  They will not kill your salvation, but they will make it to where you are unprofitable to anybody. So should you be relaxed and concerned, and unconcerned about this thing, which is your Christian life? I don't think so. The Bible says be sober. That means have your wits about you. Be vigilant. That means never let your guard down. Never be unconcerned.  That is who Satan wants to attack the most. So we need to be sober, be vigilant in our Christian life. Turn to 1 Corinthians chapter 14. It's literally the opposite of being casual. It's literally the opposite of being relaxed and unconcerned. Look at 1 Corinthians chapter 14. Let's talk about our church life. How about should I be casual and relaxed and unconcerned about my church life?  It's the verse of the week. The Bible says this says in 1 Corinthians 14 verse number 40 it says let all things be done decently and in order. Now Paul is talking to the church at Corinth here. You know that's talking about things in a church need to be, look I had better not be relaxed and unconcerned about what happens in this church. I had just better not, look that's the problem with Christianity today. That's the problem with Christian churches today. Look you could have a Christian church today that's a real Christian church that preaches the gospel, that you know they go out and they go soul winning and they do all the things they're supposed to do and they become relaxed and unconcerned and they're gonna have major problems in that church. Because what? The devil's trying to attack that church too. Things need to be done decently and in order. This is a problem with Christianity today. You know all these liberal churches, there's anything and everything goes. That's not the way this church is gonna run here because look I'm responsible for there. I'm not following you home.  I'll sit here and I'll scream the word of God to you and if you don't do those things in your home you know you'll deal with the consequences of those things but when it comes to who's gonna be responsible to the Lord Jesus Christ about what happened in this building that falls on me. And things must be done decently and in order. What kind of order? This order. That's it. So there may be things, that's why we turn to all these verses all the time. There may be things where you're just like oh man that's different than any other church. Like somebody got kicked out of church? That's different than any other church I've been to. That's just following the Bible. Nobody likes doing those things. Nobody likes confronting someone about fornication or drunkenness or anything like this but the Bible says those things are not to be in the church period. And I mean I didn't write the book God did. And things must be done decently and in order no matter what. That's why for men's we have a men's preaching night coming up. With a men's preaching night coming up and there's rules. There's rules for the men's preaching night. And look it's not an issue here because all the men here that preach know the rules and they know. I mean I require that the men that come up here and preach wear a shirt and tie. That's not a requirement to come to church here but I require that the men that come up here wear a shirt and tie. I wear a shirt and tie and a suit every single time I preach. Why? Is that because I'm great and I think I'm better than all of you? No it's because the Word of God is great and I'm showing respect for the Word of God. I'm not great. You are not great but this word is great. And we should show respect and reverence towards that. So there's rules. There's doctrines that they must abide by. They must abide by the clear doctrines in the King James Bible. You know what's funny? Just think about this for a minute. Of all the preachers that have come here to preach, of all the times that other preachers have come to our friends Verity Baptist Church, all the men that have gotten up to preach at men's preaching nights at Verity, at men's preaching nights here, nobody is telling these men, like I am not sitting down with these men and telling them what to preach. Isn't it strange that nobody gets up here and preaches some weird crazy doctrine? No, it's because they have the Holy Spirit inside them. They have the Holy Spirit inside them. They are saved and they read the Bible. They study the Bible. Now look, if somebody was saved and didn't have any idea what the Bible said and just decided to just come up with something to preach, it could possibly happen. But it doesn't happen because these are men that read the Bible, they study the Bible and the doctrines of the Bible are clear. The doctrines of the Bible are not, they're not complicated. They're not complicated to understand. So they just stick to the doctrines of the King James Bible and that's why you see every single time a preacher comes here to preach, I have no idea what they're going to preach. We don't talk about it. And it's just doctrines right out of the Bible and there's never an issue because somebody that is saved, that has the Holy Spirit in them, that reads the Bible. Look, the doctrines, God does not make it complicated. That's why you see people like, well, that's your interpretation and then they believe some weird false doctrine that can just be clearly proven from the Bible, like not of works. Isn't that the false doctrine that's out there? It's just like works-based salvation. So you get these people and they just preach all this works-based. Well, that's your interpretation. Yeah, I interpret not of works to mean not of works. It's bizarre. It's bizarre. But it's out of respect for the word of God. It's a formal respect for the Bible. That's what we're talking about. I don't sit here and somebody that got up here that was just flippant with the Bible, that was just relaxed and unconcerned and hadn't read any of the Bible. Think about this for a second. Could this person get themselves in trouble? They haven't read any of the Bible. They opened up a page. They read one verse and they preached the entire sermon, even though they'd read nothing of the rest of the Bible. Look, that person's going to get themselves in trouble because they're relaxed and unconcerned about the word of God. But it's not going to happen because the men that come up here preaching, they take it seriously. They read the Bible. They study the Bible. How about this? Look at Ephesians chapter five. Look at verse number one. How about this? Here's another one that we shouldn't be relaxed and unconcerned about. The words that come out of our mouth. How about that? The words that come out of our mouth. Look at Ephesians chapter five and verse number one. Ephesians chapter five, look at verse number one. The Bible says, Be therefore followers of God as dear children and walk in love as Christ also hath loved us and hath given himself for us in offering and a sacrifice to God for a sweet-smelling savor. But fornication and all cleanliness or covetousness, let it not be once named among you as become a saints. He's talking to believers here. He's talking to people who are saved. Look what he says here. He says, Neither filthiness, nor foolish talking, nor jesting, which are not convenient, but rather giving of thanks. He's talking about like what saved people, what should come out of saved people's mouth. That's what he's talking about. Now look, again, I don't really care how you speak in your house, at home or at work. I mean, look, I do care, but I don't have any control over that. And here's the other thing. If you do speak different at church than you do at home or than you do at work, I think you're leaving a major benefit to the Christian's witness on the table. Because there is nothing in my opinion that can more quickly distinguish who you are to the world than the things that you say, the way you speak, and the things that you don't say. Especially when you're out at a job, out at work, wherever. Look, I've been in construction sites for 25 years. There's nothing I haven't heard. It's not like, oh, Pastor doesn't like party words. There's nothing I haven't word. I don't like them. But there's nothing I haven't heard. But the point is, those things in the house of God, we should not be casual with our speech. Don't get casual with your speech here. It's just, you know, look, yeah, there's a lot of words in the Bible. But you can't just use those words in any context and have them be fine. I mean, just taking God's name in vain is a perfect one. That's one where like, we can be out on a construction site, and somebody like uses Jesus Christ's name as a swear word. I will say something. I will speak up in those cases, because that deeply offends me. So you can't just take any Bible word folks, and just spew it in any sentence you want, and think that that's appropriate. It's not in the church. A good rule, here's my philosophy with with language. And this is my philosophy, how I've raised my kids, all that. When the men of the church sit in a circle, stand around talking about things. A five year old should be able to walk into that conversation and be edified by that conversation. If you don't want your five year old saying something, then don't speak that way.  So look, that kind of governs my speech. That should govern, like, that's my standard here. That should govern the way. There should be, look, because guess what? The men of the church will be sitting down, we'll be talking, and guess what? Kids will plop down and just listen. And that's good. That's a good thing for the kids to sit down and, you know, what's a man talk about? And I've told my kids when they're young, hey, you want to come and sit with the men, that's fine, that's great, but you should be quiet and listen. But they should be edified by what they hear. So that should be our rule. If you, if you've got a lot of little kids in this church, that should be our rule. If we don't want a five-year-old or a six-year-old saying it, or saying it a different way than, you know, just remember that we shouldn't be casual with our speech. Because these kids will repeat these things. They will begin to talk how we talk. It's important. Go to Ephesians chapter five. You're, you're there still. Stay in Ephesians chapter five. How about this? The world is teaching today that we should have casual relationships. That relationship should be casual. Everything about relationships is casual. What does the Bible say? Look at verse number 22 of Ephesians chapter five. Talking about marriage. Look, marriage is the formal relationship that God defines in the Bible. It's very formal. It's very detailed. Look at how detailed it is. Look at verse number 22. It says, wives, submit yourselves under your husbands as unto the Lord. For the husband is the head of the wife. Even as Christ is the head of the church, and he is the savior of the body. Therefore, as the church is subject to Christ, so let the wives be to their own husbands in things they agree with. No, in everything. Boy, people really hate this today. Nothing fires people up like, like this. That wives should be in subjection to their husbands just as this church is in subjection to Christ. It is the most serious subjection, meaning he's in charge of the marriage. He's in charge of the family. Look at verse number 25. Now we go into the husbands. Look, that's a very formal declaration of the structure of the family and the responsibility of the wife. It's very formal. It is not relaxed and unconcerned. Look at verse 25. Husbands love your wives even as Christ also loved the church. That's pretty specific and pretty formal right there. Saying, husbands, love your wives how? Like, I love my wife. I love my wife. I gave her flowers. No, as how did Christ love the church? Christ didn't come to earth and be like, I love you guys. And just saying, just like, have this feeling of butterflies in his stomach that, hey, I love you. No, he came and he gave his life. He gave everything for it. This is the kind of love that's a tall order for a husband. That's a very formal command and gave himself for it that he might sanctify and cleanse it with the washing of water by the word that he might present it to himself a glorious church, not having spot or wrinkle or any such thing, but it should be holy and without blemish. If you take verse 26 and verse 27, that directly commands the husband. He's not only verse 25, he's not only supposed to be sacrificial to his family, meaning if there's nothing to eat, if there's not enough to eat, you don't eat.  But in verse 26 and verse 27, he's talking about you are the spiritual leader of your family. It is your job to spiritually edify your family. If your children grow up and they do not know who Jesus Christ is, it's your fault. That's formal. That's very concerned and that is not relaxed. Talking about literally the spiritual well-being, is there any more serious well-being that there could be? We're talking about heaven and hell. You're saved.  How are people not concerned about this? Because they're too casual. That's why. Because they're they're not concerned. And we got to go out and we got to beg people to be concerned about their salvation today. We got to try to be convincing and persuasive to get one individual to be concerned about their eternal destination. They're just relaxed and flippant about the eternal destination or even the spiritual growth folks of their own families. Do you know? Do you know? Let me just ruin your your day as a parent today. Do you know that you could have some kids and look we got some really great kids in this church. And I love every single one of these kids in this church. You know what? By the time these kids they stand up here and they listen to the Bible and they listen to pastor just yell and scream the Bible to them and they're going to get saved when they're six, seven, eight years old. Pretty soon they're going to start asking their parents, hey am I going to heaven? And we're going to get a chance to preach the gospel to them. And a child that's been in church even as a young child is going to understand the gospel at a very young age because they know who Jesus is and they've heard the Bible preached and they've been out soul winning with their parents and they've heard the gospel. They're going to start asking questions like what about me? What about me? And then when you explain and you preach the gospel to them directly they're just they're going to believe it and they're going to get saved at a very young age. It's a beautiful thing. It's one of the greatest reasons that God designed the church to be a family integrated church. We're not family integrated because somebody made this up because like pastor Jimenez or pastor Anderson made it up. No, it's in the Bible. And they're reading the Bible is very clear in the Old Testament to say that the children and the women were there as well. This is why. They'll get saved at a young age, but back to my point there's no guarantee that the devil's not going to devour them in this life just because you got them saved.  Because I know plenty of saved people that have fallen into horrible, horrible sin that have destroyed their lives. You'll meet drug addicts folks who are saved. You'll make people who have made mistakes in their lives the type of mistakes that they cannot undo that are saved. There's no guarantee that just because our children get saved that suddenly everything's fine. And if you do not prepare them to be vigilant and sober by being that spiritual leader, you notice how much time do I spend on the women here? How much time am I spending on the men? Why? Because it's their fault when it all comes apart because they're in charge. When the ship sinks it's the captain's fault. So it is important that God declares this formal declaration in the most extreme language, the most extreme comparison that he possibly can with the example of Christ and the church. There's nothing casual. There's nothing unconcerning. There's nothing relaxed about this. It's very formal. So look, it's a formal thing, your marriage. It's a formal thing, the responsibilities of a husband and a wife. Now look, let me say this again about the formal responsibilities of the husband and the wife. And this is one that people just miss, people don't understand. Let me fix 75% of the marriages in America right now, at least the ones that believe the Bible. These responsibilities of the husband and the wife are independent of each other. Notice who's speaking. This is the Word of God. This is Jesus Christ here. This is the Holy Spirit telling us these things. It does not say that a wife has to be submissive to her husband. She has to reference her husband. She has to follow her husband be submissive in everything as unto the Lord, by the way. That's another sermon in itself. A husband can't tell his wife to go do something ungodly because God's ultimately in charge. But the point being is that these responsibilities, your responsibility as a wife is independent of whether or not he is fulfilling his role as a husband. And your responsibility of a husband, of being that sacrificial spiritual leader, is independent of whether or not she is being a submissive wife. Because what people will do is this.  And then it's just this, it's this endless, it's like the Middle East war, right? Like, it's this endless thing that can't be solved. Because like, who fired the first shot? Well, I mean, we can't figure that one out. But the point is, is that if you run your marriage that way, it's not going to go well. Because your responsibility, so you're like, well, he doesn't provide for me and he's not making a good decision.  It's the most important decision of their life. Some people are bad leaders. You should know that before you get into that marriage that is forever. But the point is these rules are independent of one another. It's like, well, my wife, she's not submissive to me. It doesn't matter. Be that sacrificial, be that spiritual leader. Be that sacrificial leader that you are supposed to be. Do your job because you're subservient to God. It is God that is telling you to do this, not your wife. It is God that is telling you to be a submissive wife, not your husband. These are commands from God. We fulfill them independently. We'd have a lot less trouble in marriages if people looked at things that way. I mean, there's plenty of, there's plenty of casual men out there. It's called laziness. I mean, but it just doesn't mean that you don't have to maintain that reverence. It may mean it's harder for you to maintain that reverence, but these commands come from God, not from your spouse. All right? Now, look, turn to 1 Corinthians chapter 7. I kind of went off there, but the point is, is that marriage is a very formal relationship that God has defined. Marriage is formal. It is not relaxed and unconcerned about anything. It's very formal. God laid it out. Genesis 2, you know, 2 become 1 flesh. It's very formal. There's an anti-marriage crowd out there today, folks, that is trying to just take away this formality. And I'm not talking about sodomites and perversion. I'm talking about just people that say that you shouldn't get married. It's a push today. It's a cultural push today. Look at 1 Corinthians chapter 7 in verse number 2. You know what that's called? That's called fornication. I don't care how long, oh, we've been together for 20 years and everything's fine. You know what? That's fornication. That's what it is. And the Bible says in 1 Corinthians 7, 2, nevertheless, to avoid fornication, let every man have his own wife. Let every woman have her own husband. If you're just like, well, we're going to just going to be together and not be married, that's fornication. You should be married. In 1 Corinthians 6, just one chapter before, it says, flee fornication. We should have nothing to do with it. It's this casual idea of relationships.  That's what God wants to happen there. It is formal. There is a formal way to do things right. Even this idea of dating, of dating today. I mean, first of all, dating to the world is divorce training. That's what it is. It's literally divorce training. I mean, modern dating, I'm not talking about dating as it pertains to us. We'll get there in a minute, but modern dating is just, first of all, it's fornication. It's just fornicate and repeat. That's what it is.  It's ruining people's chances at a godly marriage. Because if you go out and you just fornicate and repeat and fornicate and repeat and then you think you're just going to go and just get married to some godly woman or some godly man, it works either way.  Every marriage is a business transaction. Even worldly marriages are business transactions. Think about it. They're business transactions.  What happened?  They're just, those are surface level sinful transactions.  I mean, that's a worldly transaction but even spiritual marriages, they're transactions. Look, you're supposed to be equally yoked, the Bible says. But the point is, is that modern dating is divorce training. It's just fornication. That's all it is. It is just getting people used to just breaking up and breaking up and breaking up and oh, I love him and now I don't love him I love him and love his action, folks. Oh, the butterflies went away and all this and it's crazy. It's like training people to get divorced and then they actually do get married and I go, well, the butterflies went away and I've done this 12 times before. What's the big deal? It's just a piece of paper and they don't have any respect for the institution of marriage in the first place. But back to the point. Let's just go back to, let's talk about actual biblical dating. Should that be formal or should that be casual? Turn to 2 Corinthians chapter 6. You should never be dating someone, now that we know what we want, we know about what God wants for a relationship between a man and a woman. He wants them to be married if they want to have a physical relationship, have a life together, you know, all these different things. You should never be dating someone that you don't intend to marry. Wow, that's extreme.   A relationship between a man and a woman is to end in marriage. If they want to have a physical relationship and be together and they're to be together forever, all right? Look, so if you're dating someone that you know you would never marry, you should not be dating them in this Christian life. Biblically, you say, well, how do you know? Well, there's several disqualifying factors right up front and you're just like, well, does it matter how good looking they are? No, it doesn't. This is the problem with many people. First of all, if they're not saved, they should, you should not be dating them. Period. I'm not saying you can't get somebody saved and then start dating them with the intent of marrying them. I mean, there's plenty of stories that we know where people have very happy marriages where they met and one of them wasn't saved and they got the other saved and then they began dating. That is completely appropriate. But here's another one. If you're in 2 Corinthians chapter 6, look at verse number 14. The Bible says, be not unequally yoked together with unbelievers for what fellowship hath righteousness with unrighteousness. So, yeah, you shouldn't date somebody that's not saved, but you also shouldn't date somebody that is just not spiritually minded at all. You're, you know, I'm a soul winner. I come to church three times a week. I want to serve the Lord with my life and then you meet somebody and they're saved but, you know, she just doesn't like coming to church or he just doesn't really go to church and doesn't really want to, you know, continue going to church. Look, there's plenty of people like that that are saved. You should not be dating that person unless they want to change, you know, how spiritually minded they are and move in that direction. That is not somebody that you should be dating. 1 Timothy 5.8 says this, but if any provide not for his own, for those of his own household, his house, he has denied the faith, he is worse than any of them. You shouldn't be dating someone, ladies, that can't support you. You're like, why? We're just dating. But the point is marriage. You shouldn't be dating somebody that can't support you or has no plan to be able to support a family. Turn to Matthew chapter 5. There's all these disqualifying factors and you'll notice I haven't talked about how good looking the person is yet. Look at Matthew chapter 5 verse number 32. Here's another one. You shouldn't be dating somebody as a Christian who's divorced. That sounds mean, but that's just the Bible. They're trying to beat up on somebody that's divorced, but we're not going to have somebody that is divorced come into this church and wanting to date single people in the church. It's never going to happen. What will happen? I will throw myself into the situation. That's what will happen. And it's never happened here, but it's happened places before. It's happened. The Bible says, you say, why are you so mean to divorce people? I'm not mean. I'm just following what the Bible says. Do we have to go back to that we have to run things decently in an order here? Look at Matthew 5 verse 32.  So the Bible here is saying is that if you get divorced, look, God hates divorce, the Bible says. If you get divorced, that you should remain single. That's what the Bible was saying. And that's, you say, well, that's mean to divorce people. But you know what? If people would actually follow this, you know, a lot fewer people would get divorced. Because what happens is you get people that are in marriages.  I really think my life could be better if I was married to that guy. Or if I was married to that girl. You're like, that's not extreme. That happens all the time. That's why people get divorced many times. Is that some wife leaves her husband for some other guy, or some husband leaves his wife for some other woman.  I bet you a lot of people would stay and work that marriage out. I've talked to so many people just by the way. And all of this preaching is for people that have not been married yet. And for people that are married and maybe are thinking about divorce. That's what this preaching is for. It is not to punch people in the face that have been divorced.  Because there's more people that, you know, there's another generation coming up that needs to hear the truth. That's the problem. So if the choice is I can work this marriage out or be single for the rest of my life, you know what? I bet you there's a lot more people that stay married. The vast majority of people that I know personally that have been divorced, you've talked to them 20 years later, and I don't care if they've been married two more times, three more times, whatever it is, and I won't get into those stats. But the vast majority of people I know personally that they've been divorced, they wish they would have stayed and worked out that first marriage. The vast majority of people that I know that aren't just total fools and wicked people. They wish they would have stayed and worked it out. Marriage is very formal. Dating should be very formal. Dating should have one purpose. And Baptist dating, you know, we can talk about that after service. You want to ask me what that is? I'm not even really sure what that is. It's basically exclusively talking to people. When you're exclusively talking to another person, that's kind of Baptist dating. But look, you should not be exclusively talking to somebody in the church, in another church, unless they are marriage material. It's very simple. Because marriage is the formal goal, young people. Not having fun and hanging out or whatever. And you know what? I mean, this is the decision in your life right here. This is the decision.  I would memorize those responsibilities. Because the more a young lady and a young man understand those responsibilities, the better choices they will make and who they marry. And you know what, folks? It is all about that choice because it's forever. This is why, this is why that God gives the Father as a help to the young lady. Because he knows, God cares about these young ladies. He knows that who she will choose as her leader is the most important decision she will make in her entire life. And God puts that dad there and he's like, you know what, I need some protection for this young lady. I need some protection so she doesn't go and find some guy that's really good-looking and goes and marry him, has a miserable life. So he gives the ladies, the young ladies, that extra protection. Turn to Proverbs chapter 18. Marriage is the formal declaration. I'm sick and tired of hearing all these media figures and all this pretending like, oh, just having a relationship that you're in and you're just not with anybody else is marriage. It is not. It is fornication.  That's what it means. The difference between right and wrong is very clear. How about this one? Friendships. Friendships. You shouldn't have just casual friendships. Look at Proverbs chapter 18. One of just such a great proverb in the Bible. Now look, everybody wants friends. Everybody wants friends. Everybody. Did you know, though, that you know how I like all-time highs and all-time lows? You know, there's all-time low of people in the United States today that have friends. It's at an all-time low. I mean, all-time lows. People that know the Bible. People that have no friends, you know, is at an all-time high. I love these trends because I wonder if they're connected. Here's a, let me give you some stats here from a bigthink.com. And I don't know these websites or really care. But I mean, 12% of people, it's all-time lows. These are all-time low or high numbers, however you want to look at it. 12% of people have zero friends. 25% of people have no one they can talk to. From the New York Post, it says 49% of people, this is half of people in the United States, have fewer than three people, meaning one or two people that they would consider close friends. And here's what's worse. Friendship, according to all these studies, friendship declines like your ability to have friends declines after the age of 25. And one of the main reasons for that is people, you know, have families and get married and all these different things. So think I'm a 25-year-old and I have no friends. Well, what's happening is, I mean, here's just the mechanics of it, what's happening is more and more people in society are getting married and having families and have less and less time to hang out with me, this 25-year-old guy that is just single and just has no friends. Which, you know, there's probably reasons I don't have friends. We'll get to that in a minute. But the point is, is that it is the ability to have friends declines after 25 years. Now you combine that with the fact that we have never had that the age of average marriage in the United States has never been higher. So you combine the fact that there's more and more of these single people and people are getting married later and later in life and people have friends less and less and less and you start to see why we have a generally unhappy section of society. Especially the, you know, Gen Z and Gen X. Now look at Proverbs chapter 18. But the Bible see it solves this for us. Proverbs chapter 18, look at verse number 24. Proverbs chapter 18, look at verse number 24. The Bible says, a man that hath friends must. So first of all, the Bible isn't calling out a guy that has a bunch of friends. It's saying, if you want to have friends, this is what you need to do. That's what the Bible is saying. A man that hath friends must show himself friendly. And there's a friend that's taken closer than a brother. But I really want to focus on the first part of that because the Bible here is saying that if you want to have friends, you must show yourself to be friendly. You say, what in the world does that mean? So you're like, well, I'm socially awkward or I'm an introvert or whatever. Well, the Bible here is saying like, if you can't change that about yourself, you're not going to have any friends. That's why you see socially awkward people. Look, I'm not beating up on people that are introverts or socially awkward or whatever. But I know a lot of people like that, by the way, who are awesome soul winners and have a billion friends. Why? Because they've overcome that. Because why? Because they show themselves friendly. They do things that are friendly towards other people. The Bible is saying, if you want to have friends, you are in control of that. I mean, the Bible here is saying, fix that. Fix that and you'll have friends. See, here's the thing. Everybody wants friends that are formal with them. Isn't that true? Isn't that true that everybody wants? I mean, this is what people call a good friend, right? Somebody that is, I mean, what is the definition of casual? What do we, it's somebody that is unconcerned and relaxed. How many people want friends that are just unconcerned with them and just completely relaxed and just don't even ever think about them? Nobody wants that. Everybody wants this group of friends that is really concerned about them, that is concerned about what's going on in their life, that pays attention to them, that gives them attention, that cares about them on a regular, consistent basis. See, the problem is everybody wants that friend, but very few people, as those stats showed you, are that friend. And the Bible here is saying it's kind of counterintuitive when you think about it. The Bible here is kind of saying that if you want that type of friend, you need to be that type of friend. And then you will get that. It will come back upon you. You can't be a casual friend and expect to have real friends. It reminds me, there was this story of this guy that he was like a Bitcoin billionaire. He like, and he stole all these Bitcoins from this dark website or whatever. And when he was getting arrested, there was all these articles, and there was, I think there was even a book written on him, but basically one thing that came out was this guy, he was this young kid. He was like in his mid-20s or whatever. And he just wanted people to like him. He wanted people, you read the story of what happened to this guy, he stole all these Bitcoins, he was literally a billionaire. And he just wanted, I mean he was obviously living a bad life and all this kind of stuff, but he wanted so badly to have friends and to have companions, and he couldn't get any. Billions of dollars, see money can't buy you these friends. He just had people that took advantage of him, that stole from him. He wanted people to like him so much that he would carry around a briefcase with a million dollars in cash in it. And one of the investigators asked him, why in the world would you have a briefcase with a million dollars in cash? And he said, because I wanted to try to impress girls. He wanted to try to get a girl to like him, by carrying around this briefcase with a million dollars. And the investigator said to him, did it ever work? And he said, no. So there you go. You don't need tons of money to have a decent relationship. Okay? But the point is, is that you can't buy these friends. You have to be friendly. I mean, he should have just read Proverbs 18, 24.  And probably many years in jail, I'll tell you, because what he's up to now. But I mean, the point is this, you can't buy this. The Bible is just telling us you have to be this, and then you'll have it. All right?  I mean, you should think about your friends. You should, I mean, you should reach out to people. You know, this is literally, let me give you an example now. I told you I'd offend everybody. Let me offend myself, okay? So, you know, hospitality is one of the qualifications of a pastor. Think about this for a second. When I get a missed call from one of you, and it has gone by for, I try to keep my, I have two stupid phones and four email addresses and all these different things. And I, you know, I always say that we're over-communicating in our society today, but that's another complaint on its own. But I, if I pick up my phone, and sometimes what I'll do is before church, before church, I will hit do not disturb on my phone. And then sometimes I will forget that I have do not disturb on for like two days. And then I will turn off do not disturb.  I'm like, ah!  You would sort of think like, this guy doesn't care about me. And obviously if things happen, you set things on your phone or whatever. But the point is, is that you need to show concern. Like, I'm horrified by that because if somebody would call me and I would see the call, I'd pick it up right away or if I miss it, I'd call them back right away. Because I'm concerned. I really am concerned. I really do want to reach out to people. But you have to be, show that hospitality, show that you're concerned. And then you will have friends. It's very simple. You should call your friends. You should think about your friends.  They won't show hospitality. Because they're afraid, you know, introverted people, socially challenged people, whatever you want to say. You know, they will not want to reach out to people for fear of rejection. They will not want to have somebody, you know, invite somebody to something or I've got a birthday party. Do you want to come to a birthday party? They won't want to do that because of fear of rejection. You have to get rid of that. You have to get rid of that. Why? Because the Bible says you have to show it. You have to show it. Look, God did it for us. I mean, God commanded his love toward us. And that when, because we were really great and nice. No, God commanded his love toward us in warrior yet sinners.  He reached out to us. We need to treat our friends the same way. If we want friends, this is who we need to be. You know, you can change in your life.  Because they've overcome that. Some of the best soul-winners that I know are very quiet people, but they are just very good at preaching the gospel. They've overcome that. Look, if we all just decide that we're going to be who our tendencies tell us we should be, you're like, we've got no chance at this thing. Because we've all got different problems, folks. So the Bible is saying initiate. Initiate. Initiate. Don't be a casual friend. Be a formal friend.  This is someone that will not have friends. It's very simple. Because they aren't a friend. So what am I trying to get at here? I'll try to land the plane here. Being casual will get you nowhere good. That's what I'm trying to say. Being casual in your relationships especially, that's why even at work the Bible says dress for that, you know, not the Bible, but haven't you ever heard the saying, you know, dress for the job you want? This is what people, I can't tell you how many interviews I've been in over the last 10 years are people like, they don't even, like they wear their pajamas to the interview. I'm just like, you know what you're saying?  I'm casual. I'm unconcerned about getting this job. And see, you know, showing up on time to work. You know what you're saying? You're saying I don't care about this. But guess who does care? The boss. The guy that owns the place. He cares.  Pay attention. Show you care. Like ultimately God does not want a casual relationship with us because if you're casual in everything, you're going to be casual in your relationship with God as well. Don't be relaxed and unconcerned. Because guess what folks? Is that what you want from God?  We're going to talk about that tonight. But when you're praying in those situations, let's say you're just this person that prays whenever you get in trouble. You're like, you only dial 911. That's your prayer life philosophy. But say you are dialing 911. Do you want God to be just relaxed and unconcerned with you? No, you want a formal God at that point. Do you not want somebody that's going to show that he cares about you at that point? Of course you do.  God doesn't want an on-again-off-again relationship with you. He wants consistency. And another thing, the last thing about being casual is this. Being casual is the first step to inappropriateness. Whether it comes from just applying it to relationships and dating, but it's the first step to literal sin. You start getting a little too casual with the way you speak.  Did you know that? And other people speak in a bad way. I mean, it is crazy. Like, profanity is getting so bad. Like, sometimes I'll literally say to somebody, like, do you realize that you just swore like seven times in two sentences? It makes you sound like a moron, first of all.  Like, you just don't know how to find words. You can't use words, so you just like insert profanity. But if you are not concerned and you are too relaxed as a Christian, you will start to conform to that yourself. So you need to be careful and formal. You want friends, be formal as a friend.  Nobody, no wife out there, wants a husband who is leading her family who is relaxed and unconcerned about everything. No wife wants that. This is why feminism, you know, messes up so many young ladies. Because they tell these young ladies that what they do is they, and this is outside the Christian world. This is just a truth. They tell these young ladies, you need to be in charge of a man. You need to compete with the man. You need to do all these things. So what do they do? They find a weak man. They find a weak man, and then pretty soon they start having children. And you know what they want? They want to provide for their children that maternal instinct their conscience takes over. And pretty soon they realize they married this puppy man that can't protect them, can't support them, can't do anything. Now they're upset. Hey, feminism gave that to you. The Bible is telling you, you find a strong man to marry. You find a strong man who is equally yoked, who's saved, who's equally yoked with you, that is going to lead you and strength through the Bible and everything's going to work out. So it's these things we need to listen to upfront in our Christian lives. And God, you know, God doesn't want us relaxed and unconcerned in our Christian lives. We're to be sober and we're to be vigilant if we want to make it through this thing. Let's bow our heads and have a word of prayer.


Regurgitates the same video that I've heard a million times repeats the same stuff. We've seen online a million times Hey, what's up guys, it's Josh here today. I want to share a couple reasons why I'm not as invested into frag.com as I was before I'm a little disclaimer. I absolutely love fragrances.  I always want you to keep messaging me Has nothing to do with that. I actually love the community of people I talk to and I love wearing fragrances But there's just a couple aspects to the whole fragrance situation on YouTube that it just kind of has me Unsure about exactly how I feel about it or where I want to go next. I love talking about fragrances I'm probably going to keep reviewing fragrances. I'm going to keep buying them and I keep you know all this stuff But these are just a few of the things that kind of hold me back from being more invested into frag.com Number one is the overall lack of interest in fragrance now fragrance has a decent amount It's this steady amount of viewers who like fragrance and it's a small amount But it's not really something you would use to grow now If you look at the people who like blow up like curly fragrance or like Jeremy fragrance a lot of the stuff that they do Has nothing to do with fragrance. They're really in shape They get a lot of girls to review their stuff They use a lot of things to make their videos entertaining and although they are centered around fragrance what brings people in Isn't really as much about the fragrance. So it's like the actual idea of fragrance isn't really mass appealing So if you want to blow up on YouTube, you know picking something with just a low level of interest or a sustained level of interest It's like you kind of want something that can boom in my opinion number two is the price barrier It just seems like 30 40 dollars for like an average cologne Especially with how often they aren't the best or how often, you know, you just don't really want to keep it or recommend it It's just an okay fragrance to spend 30 or 40 dollars It's just quite a bit to make a video on something that's really average the fragrances that are worth going after are usually niche fragrances But then it's like then the the price barrier separated even more, you know, you got people who only buy niche You got people who only buy cheapies and so like, you know people are just gonna buy a bunch of cheapies And they'll never try any of the good stuff So you have this good fragrance to recommend but nobody's gonna try it and then you, you know Buy the newest cheap thing and it smells similar to this other fragrance and it's just like okay So you end up with like all these bottles I don't know maybe you guys can like let me know down below the cheapest way to ship fragrances because I would Like to start selling some of the ones that I don't use and that would actually help out my channel quite a bit because Then I can make some money off the fragrances that I don't use and use that money to buy more fragrances versus right now I have to spend straight money on them and then on top of that if you're not a top influencer You don't get almost any fragrances sent for free like yeah I get um oil house kind of fragrances or like non popular brands sent to me and I love reviewing them They're fantastic 100 but at the same time it's not like a Versace Or like a Chanel and those is what people want to see those kind of bring in the views So it's just kind of like I'm trying to make it all work And it just seems like there's just too much congestion, you know and then on top of that I'm not hating on anybody here, you know more power to you But you have these random accounts just come out of nowhere never heard of them And they spend thousands of dollars on fragrance and like what it seems like is You just wanted to buy fragrances and you wanted to just copy the next guy And then all of a sudden this guy has like $10,000 worth of fragrances And like because I can't afford to spend $10,000 it's like there's an aspect to his channel That's much better than mine and it's like bro this guy This guy literally just spent a bunch of money on fragrance And then literally comes on here and like regurgitates the same video that I've heard a million times repeats the same stuff We've seen online a million times and it's like I can't even touch this guy because I can't afford to spend All this money on cologne all the new releases to this and niche fragrances It's just like it's so freaking expensive And like maybe like I said if you guys could help me out with some shipping advice things like that If I was able to ship and even make half the money that I spent on cologne back It would be a lot easier to continue to do it and make top 10s things like that There's actually a lack of really unique dna is out there once you try a lot of fragrances It's like very very very few fragrances is going to wow you it's going to be unique You are going to uncover some fragrances that are really unique, but guess what they're in the niche category So it's like there's already so few people who buy fragrances and then the amount of people who buy niche fragrances Is probably like five percent of people there the niche fragrances are so so good But to spend so much and have so little people watching it, you know And then on top of that guess what if you hype anything everyone's just going to buy it because everyone has all this money to buy Cologne I don't mind forking out a lot for a good bottle, but these guys are insane, you know The fragrance were formulations. This thing is just so annoying You should have to rename the fragrance if you take out a certain amount of ingredients I shouldn't be able to buy a fragrance and you take out 90 of the ingredients replace it and you call it the same fragrance There's got to be some way around that there has to be a certain amount of the original ingredients to call it that fragrance Because it's like it just sucks so bad Like I have a bunch of old fragrances that I want to re-review they're from 2016 and 2017 But guess what I'm gonna have to put it as an old batch because I don't know the new batch So then basically like my review is kind of worthless because if you want to check out that fragrance You want to see how the new batch is but I have the old batch fragrances get reformulated in two or three years So it's like I buy this fragrance I don't use it and now I want to do a review on it But I can't even do a good review because I don't know what the current formulation is just exhausting You spend all this money you have this stuff. Oh, that's the old formulation go buy another bottle jack I don't know if you guys been watching my channel, but I haven't done a top 10 fragrance in a while And it's not because I don't want to it's because I want to do a freaking good list I know how like I don't want to throw people under the bus But certain people use the same fragrances and their top 10s over and over and over and over and I just I want to have a unique list But again, there's not enough unique fragrances at a unique price point So I'm literally going to be regurgitating top 10s just for views and I just can't do it I like to have a unique kind of constant I like to have a unique something to say that I notice about something that other people don't notice You know, I don't like to see what other people say and then repeat it I want to try it on my own and see what like my personal views are Without seeing what everyone else kind of thought, you know, how separated everybody is You know, like with the price of fragrances and then you know people Shun people who buy like copies of fragrances But it's like I see what you mean because now we have like a millions of copies of one fragrance And it just becomes a little blurred and confused but at the same time, you know, the copy of the fragrance is $50 The real fragrance is $400 So it's like it's just hard to to get all in one camp and then on top of that You got lots of cheapy guys who like will never buy a niche fragrance ever again And it's like, well, what's the point of being into fragrances if you can't try niche because that's actually where it's good It's actually where fragrances are amazing, you know, so anyways guys, this has been kind of my little rant I love fragrances and I love all the people who write me and talk to me about fragrances And I'm somebody to where if I have something bad to say, I'd rather not say it That's why I didn't really want to make this video, but I just kind of wanted to update it So we're on the same page. I don't want a bad mouth anybody. I don't want to talk badly on anybody I love fragrances. I will continue to love fragrances and I still love talking to everybody. This has just been my two cents But anyways guys, let me know what you think of this video. I do have some fragrances Set up to review next. I'm going to re-review as Zara wants it. I'm going to re-review fierce supernova I've been trying both these out, but I actually didn't write a full review up for it Look for those coming up pretty soon But I've been trying them both and I have enough in my head to do another review right now But anyways guys, we're on the road of 50 000 subscribers and I couldn't do without any of you guys Hope you guys are the best. I'm having a great day out here. Hope we're having a great day at home See you all in the next video. Peace


Krisel ist Data Scientist und der ein oder andere kennt ihn vielleicht noch vom 31 C3, wo er den relativ bekannt gewordenen berühmten Xerox Scanningbug-Vortrag gehalten hat. Dieser hat ihn offensichtlich nicht nur hier bekannt gemacht, sondern sogar auch zur internationaler Bekanntheit verhelfen. Und damit begrüße ich ihn und freue mich auf einen spannenden Talk und bitte euch nochmal um ein ganz ganz herzlicher Applaus für David. Dankeschön. Dankeschön. Ja, danke schön. Herzlich Willkommen auch noch mal von mir, auch an die Leute.      Es ist schön wieder hier zu sein. Es ist toll, dass ich zurückgekommen bin. Mein Name ist David Krisel. Ich bin ein IT-Professional von Bonn. Und professionell, ich kenne mich mit Data Science und Machine Learning. Es ist essentiell, dass ich von den großen Mengen von Data extractiere und seit 2014 habe ich Data von ca. 100.000 Artikeln von Spiegel online retten. Und das habe ich einfach niemanden erzählt. Und ich habe niemanden erzählt. Und in den 2,5 Jahren, aber ich habe niemanden erzählt. Die öffentliche Opinion ist irgendwie pfiffig. Weil diese Tage, die Leute reden von Fakten. Und wir haben jetzt eine große Menge Data auf der vielleicht größten Opinionmaker unserer Nation.   Und lernen etwas von Spiegel online. Und in einer solchen Weise, dass ihr es holt. Und benutzen sie für dich. Und zweitens, wir sehen, wie die Daten-Retention-Manier der Age funktioniert. Und wir werden das in einer Art, dass es für niemanden verständlich ist, nicht nur IT-Professionale. Und ich werde es von einer sozialen Perspektive anschauen. Und sehen, wie modernes Daten-Prozess unsere Gesellschaft verändern kann. Und ob oder nicht diese Veränderung besser war, ich lasse das zu dir am Ende. So, first, let's see how Spiegel mining works. Around the clock every couple of minutes, one of my servers looks at Spiegel online automatically. And if there are any new articles available, then they're downloaded and stored. And this gives a huge advantage to my dataset. I can, I get new articles minutes after they've been published. I get them in their original state without any corrections that may be applied later. And this, of course, is much better than downloading articles that have been online for years and might have been added hundreds of times. And I extract certain features from these. Features can be the data publication or the category. I take these features and analyze them. And the most interesting of these analyses, I take to write a blog article, which gives people insight into the world of Spiegel online. And we're going to do some very simple analyses first to see how it works. First of all, I want to see how often all categories occur. The size of the circles shows you how many articles have been published in a certain category.  These three categories make up half of the articles. And of course the next very simple feature is the data publication, which lets us measure how many articles they write per day. And this looks very, very messy. It's almost impossible to see any patterns. This is due to weekends, where of course a few articles are published normal. And here's the first article, the first practical article. I obviously had a, as you can see, I had a gap in my data in March. And this is because March in German has an air, so an umlaut. Luckily I noticed this after only a few days. So if you gather data, then you should build a warning system that tells you if no data has, if you haven't received any data. Luckily I had this, but I left it. I set the timer too long. So eventually we can calculate, it makes more sense to calculate the articles per week instead of the articles per day. And it shows you that they publish roughly 100 Articles per day. So the valleys that you can see here are the Christmas weeks, where fewer articles are published. And the data set for this article is from the 4th of December, so you can't see that valley yet. And if you look at some features individually, you can look at them individually, but it's even more interesting if you look at several features together. And this shows us that, for instance, the output in politics and panorama is constant, but science and academics has decreased quite a lot. And this is not just for these two, there are several other categories. And this data is very interesting if you are in competition to play online. So half of what we have to do is just taking features and putting them together cleverly. This shows you the typical length of an article per category. And an average article in culture is twice as long as, almost 3 times as long as an article in sports or panorama, and still twice as long as politics. But despite their short length, short average length, politics, sports and panorama are the most popular results in the most popular categories. And this means that what they're optimizing for is reach. So the categories that are shortest are those with the highest output. And I'm saying this without any, without any, I'm not trying to value it. It's simply an observation.  It's just an observation. And most of the things that I'm going to be speaking about in my talk, that probably is the same for other media. Another important thing is experimenting with features. This shows the volume of publication per day and per hour. The rows are the weekdays and the columns are the hours of the day. And of course during work hours, during the week, most articles are published. And now you can learn how things are done in data science. You always find views validated that you've always expected. That's a boring part of data science, but it's good to check your measurements. We can see, for instance, that a few articles are published during the small hours of the day. But secondly, in data science, you always find patterns where you didn't expect them. And this always happens when you combine features. So I'm going to show you articles by weekday and time. And the length of the articles. So the red articles are longer than the blue articles. So the long articles are most often published at five o'clock during the weekdays. And the same is true for the weekends. They will be delayed a bit. And 30 data sciences is also kindling the worst kinds of prejudices. Give me a show of hands who thinks that the people from the culture section like to sleep in a bit. So for the internet we have a room of thousands of people and almost everybody raised their hand. And the solution is yes, they're right. The cultural scientists publish, tend to publish their articles later. So the epigraph shows you the articles in all countries but culture and the bottom one shows you just culture. But because they come in so late in the morning, they also go home early. But to not just feed your prejudice I was invited to speak a lot in October and that's what I told them as well. And then they said no, no David. Some of these articles are scheduled in advance, I have to say that. So just to keep you on tabs, if you work on these things don't stop thinking on by yourselves what you really can conclude from these findings if you went in with some prejudice like we did just now. We have seen how evaluations like this work. So now we can go one step further and of course in the internet things get really crispy when personal data gets involved. So I thought, wouldn't it be nice, a nice feature if we would read what the authors were from those online articles and that's what we'll do now and evaluate these in two ways. One, when you're kind and the second would be somewhat politically incorrect. Now the first evaluation will try to uncover staff structures in turn to speak online. Now you do not just know who wrote an article but who writes with whom and with articles, when authors often write together then you can assume that they work together a lot. So you can understand which authors are important for which other authors and those that do not write together often are not important for this kind of view. So we can kind of build a map of authors this way and this is what it is and this is part of the social network of speak online authors generated in time and every author is one of these bubbles authors that don't occur a lot have been filtered out and these clusters of authors that cluster together and that looks like these are the teams. Now we have to check whether this kind of uncovering from the outside is actually true. So we now color the authors according to their categories which we can get from the Spiegel imprint and in many cases we see that the categories, the different departments have formed automatically. So in this network politics a bit more distributed I didn't circle them all, panorama, travel I'm not going to name all teams but you'll see how it works. The red distributed buttons are the bento team that work a bit overreaching that's the young Spiegel if you don't know and the thing is we have quite exactly been able to map who is internally in the same team with whom and now look at all those gray bubbles these are gray because they cannot be categorized from the Spiegel imprint maybe they've left the, for example the head editor has suddenly turned gray recently so next to these color groups we can still assign them to the same teams we can say something about them although we don't really know anything about them and that's quite interesting so we can live find something out about these people and now we go to the politically incorrect part I can now turn your attention to something every line here is an author and from the left to the right you have time passing and every stroke is an article published by this author at one time and if we know one of these authors now then we know who will publish when so we see this line with a regular pattern a columnist who publishes once every week apart from certain weeks and with other authors the density is higher so we know very well when these people are on holiday too because these are the gaps in the slightly dense lines so if we know the holidays we know whose holidays with the hyper portion overlap with someone else's so things like Christmas almost everyone is on holiday you can just reduce out so now I'm appealing to your experience and now assume that you have certain colleagues that always go on holiday together so joke aside with such data you can read who is linked with whom in a romantic way and this is why I've anonymized the authors so clear well of course these are not all couples but these are candidates for couples and if you're interested in such a thing you are in a 99% stretch of the way and you've all been laughing now can I just ask for a show of hands who of you has taken holidays to be here from their employers so about all of you these data exist believe me so let's just stop for a moment and ask ourselves what we've just seen and what the social implications are what we've just seen is gaining knowledge about internal information in very personal areas of life from data that doesn't really look like it would be about this at all it's just spiegel articles and now we've got some clear evidence who is romantically linked to whom and we have some structures of my talk if you publish data it's not you who decides what you are publishing it's your adversaries and we haven't even looked at the data themselves we haven't looked at the contents of the articles just metadata times and authors just as with data retention that's all just metadata as well so just take a few months of your metadata whom you've sent mails and what messages to what websites you've visited I can then tell you what your best friends are if you have an affair what your sexual orientation is whether you're pregnant, whether you're sick what your political orientation is what your religious beliefs are whether you have financial problems and everything I've just forgotten so the abuse potential for this kind of data and of data retention cannot be put into words I'm not going to start with conspiracy theories we can all believe that data retention is there to clarify crimes and is useful for that and that's quite a plausible thing to think and you can also believe that the people that's storing and interpreting these data are all good-willed we can all assume that but that does not mean that someone will come into power next month who has very different attentions so what we're building here is the infrastructure for a general surveillance that even George Orwell's big brother would be ashamed about und that kind of surveillance this surveillance infrastructure we are now expressly putting aside for the case that a new government is malignant and wants to use it that's what was happening right now so we've now had a brief detour to metadata now back to Spiegel Online to raise the mood a bit and a small insert now that you can use the next time you reach Spiegel Online so let's go for something slightly bigger when I was reading the authors' names from those articles then at some point I was quite annoyed because sometimes they are on top of the articles as you see on the left or at the bottom as you can see on the right and if the authors are on top the names are written out and at the bottom you have short names so you have a full sense at the top from Marcel Rosenbach and at the bottom you just have a nickname sometimes just the last name or four or five words the friendly Mr. Philipp Alvarez de Suza Suarez I've written it down explicitly five words just for one name so data science can be annoying from a technical point of view don't say I haven't warned you so I just said what the fuck why are there authors in so many different ways in different places so I took that as a feature asking whether authors would be mentioned on the top or the bottom and I took some measurements from these groups of articles and compared them the authors on top articles and the authors at the bottom articles and the authors at the bottom articles without full names are typically articles roughly 300 words long or less you can see the length of the full names and towards the rights articles will be longer but if the authors are on top an article typically is more than two and a half times as long about 750 words so you know what you want to be googled with as an author right? and another thing the long articles have a two percent probability of the short articles the percentage is higher so if you want to know who wrote the articles themselves look at where the names are if you have a short agency news items names at the bottom so we've already seen that at the beginnings of the day that is the time where most long articles are published and these are in fact the ones that are written by the authors themselves comparatively high in the morning so we can now take a step back and ask what's been done and we have this huge amount of articles and we've just cut them apart in very simple ways we've divided them into weekdays times of the day categories and well with the simple ideas we've had some very interesting results already but all we haven't done at all yet is look at the contents and wouldn't it be totally cool just divide the articles into the actual topics which they are about Spiegel online delivers a good help for us here because they have keywords every article is given about 10 keywords from their authors the article on the left has the keywords politics abroad Saudi Arabia King Salman of Saudi Arabia so I took those keywords from all the articles I have about 65.000 keywords which I have found and now let's look how often keywords appear in the same articles different keywords so the keywords that almost always appear together they are in a way they are married to each other which you can regard as one and the same and on the other hand there are keywords that have their own existence and are never or almost never in the same article so they are not related and then there is a certain middle way an example here politics Angela Merkel Angela Merkel so an Angela Merkel article quite often has the politics keyword but the other way is not quite the same there are many more articles on politics without Angela Merkel as a keyword so these keywords are not the same but clearly they are linked so we are measuring for all 65.000 keywords pairwise how related they are and then we link those that are strong related with very strong springs in a physical sense which pull those keywords together less related keywords get weakest springs and we now run a physics simulation and see how these thousands of thousands of springs will adjust each other and themselves and you can see that some keywords will be brought together not so strongly so we have a topic map of all the things that Spiegelmann reported about in the last two and a half years and looks like nothing is happening but this is where the detailed work is going on you can't see it from such a distance so let's zoom in very closely to really learn what we have created here this is the dieselgate affair folkswagen affair you see the keywords have different sizes the size of the keywords affects the number of articles so these are the articles that are in those keywords and the colour shows what the primary category is for these articles so this kind of yellow is economy which fits so the funny thing is that this kind of depiction is very strong you can gain a lot more insights from this kind of image not just what's related you can have all kinds of measurements that you will show with colours of course so you have these coloured keyword landscapes now you can see whether topics and measurements are related and that's what we will do today but let's look a bit further first various airline accidents this is between panorama, green and politics red and the political elements are from the Ukrainian shooting down of an airplane and my voice is failing now that's better well not mine as a translator ok now this is the Greek crisis now this clearly has been politics red and economy yellow and Wolfgang Schäuble has been lay out in the same place he is in grey not due to his age but because his keyword has no dominant category and now something more recent now this is the US presidential election 2016 we see Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump and everything that's gathering around and of course it's all red for politics and to see the keyword emails being added to that and from there we'll now look at just understand the whole size of the landscape did you see the microscope talk today where people were zooming in and we'll now zoom out and understand how huge this whole map is and we're zooming out now we are just seeing the old frame and you see how the US presidential election is embedded into the whole particular landscape you see the Syrian civil war the Islamic state Islamist terror and on to France just next to it yeah the mathematics has no mercy at the top you have the recent Turkey topics the recent coup attempt and the dictatorship and to the right you have Russia and the Ukrainian conflict and left below is Israel and the conflict and now let's zoom out again now this is the whole political landscape this time two rectangles marking where we started the presidential election then the foreign politics section now that's in the upper right and lower left you have the domestic politics and recently you have this huge cluster in the middle that's the refugee topic huge cluster that's developed just between domestic and foreign politics which fits of course now zoom out again now you can't see anything anymore just differently colored landscapes just some broad orientation this is where we're coming from the red thing is the politics part then in poisonous green you have panorama divided by economy now this Turkey's cluster chain is network net world and then you have the cultural and so on and so on we can't go through them all but you see these areas have overlaps and are linked with each other once again one more step and this is the whole thing we've seen the lower part and this is where we actually started and the rest of the world somewhat distant to the rest of the world you have science I see you can understand and you've been working in that field once and very far away from the main continent you have sports and now we see how large the whole thing is and how broad the Spiegel topics are and you can see that all on my website you can do your own research on it as in the google maps kind of thing which is much more fun than me doing it for you so that's what we do now we are going to apply this Spiegel online under many articles offers well hmm well the laughter starts before I'm even mentioning it you're not even sure what I'm going to say they offer you to state your own opinion and under some articles they block this opportunity and that's what we look at now and I did say at the start that some articles have retrieved just a few minutes after publication so if I found an article could not be commented that was right from the start so no one would comment that quickly so let's very briefly look at how things developed temporally and you see how the ratio of articles that can be commented are red is those that cannot be commented and in blue they can be and when I started out downloading it was about 80% of articles that could be commented and exactly since the big refugee topic came up and was reported on the commentable article articles are declining and now since a short time it's actually the majority of articles that cannot be commented the red line is overtaking the blue one and that's not just in the politics category it's across the whole offering and since the hate in the net has become so much worse across the internet or Spiegel online is too much afraid of these mean comments I can't read that from the numbers so the interesting thing is the small green plot there again these are non commentable articles but these have a small excuse or apology at the bottom because of netiquette we've blocked this you don't have to read this through so this apology used to appear on refugee articles at the beginning and it seems like Spiegel online itself wasn't quite happy with the rise of comment blockings but as you see this hint has been taken out a lot now even though commenting has been blocked more and more and now back to the land the more red a keyword is the fewer articles in its category are commented and the more blue it is the more articles it can be commented on and the grey keywords are in a bit where about 70% of articles can be commented on and of course this is not this is a continuous scale and I'm going to publish the map on my website as well where you'll be able to click on it we're gonna start with some simple things you guessed it, sports is almost always commentable it's very blue and if you wonder about the red dot in there that's a specific article format which technically cannot be commented on and another topic that also usually allows you to comment is technology and economy these are strikes by the German railway and speaking of strikes probably most of you are thinking of Lufthansa whose main business seems to be strikes very blue you may laugh at I arrived here by plane after all these blue topics let's look at something red deep red is around justice which are reports on criminality murders attacks and they prefer to have fewer people comment on these the commentability on these is around 80% this is the NSU topic neo-nazi activity and this is the same for all neo-nazi topics and the redness of these is 18% commentability also deep red is refugees and not just concrete articles but also column writes so from the outside it looks like Spiegel blocks common systematically depending on topics and it's very powerful that we can see this systematically so it's not just it's important not simply to analyze it's also important to visualize information which allows people who are not IT professionals to find patterns there's only one direct connection to the brain that's your eyes and things get really interesting when you look at how Spiegel online orders commentability by nation this is the Middle East conflict in Israel and they allow virtually no comments on any of these articles let's move to the conflict in Ukraine and suddenly so as a take home message ladies and gentlemen it's fine to bash the Russians and what we did here is simply visualizing and measuring our filter bubble Iran's okay, you can comment on that Great Britain, yep, Turkey yeah, they're not quite sure about that yet and France is interesting this part of the map would like to be blue but all the keywords around the terrorist attacks are deep red and that extends to their neighbors as well and let's look at that in more detail all of these are articles on France but by time the blue line is the amount of articles that could be commented on and red is what could not be commented on and we can see that 2014 and 2015 and then we had the series of terrorist attacks in November 2015 so obviously we get a large peek in articles that were published on France and most of these could not be commented upon so you're allowed to comment on France but not on the attacks and the interesting thing is that this has persisted ever since the attacks fewer articles could be commented upon few of France related articles could be commented upon let's take another step back and I can see that Spiegel Online I can understand that Spiegel Online can just block articles based on their past experiences and of course they have every right to do that to decide whom they give a platform whom they don't but we also have the right to make this visible and I think it looks like Spiegel Online prevents comments on articles where they suspect that red's opinions might not be opportun politically and if this says something about Spiegel Online or about our society at large I will leave up to you to decide in Grunde 2 geteilt so my talk could be divided into two parts up to here firstly we just divided our collection into just a few buckets and afterwards we divided them into way more buckets and each article could even appear in several buckets at once and this was far more complex but also far more powerful so remember these two ways of bucketing articles and now we're going to do something political we're going to look at campaigns campaigns, political campaigns work very similarly they do voter targeting where they divide their voters into several categories so for instance you could divide them by gender skin color, age income so you could all black women in California of a certain age you could send them targeted advertising and this is a very rough way of targeting and it works in analogy to the targeting we did on the left's part of the previous slide but what would be the right part of the slide a few weeks ago this article from the Swiss Tagessanzeiger went viral I'm sure many of you have seen it it was I was told to read it dozens of times every day partly because of course I researched on this topic and it claimed that a data analysis company had succeeded in doing a very fine grained analysis of potential voters which would be the analogy to our map and went on to say that they did it for the US presidential election as well as the Brexit debate and it claimed that this is the reason that Trump was elected that Brexit went through and of course this is spooky and it sells well oh dear the same company behind Trump which is where your tinfoil hats start glowing and they claim that their petitioning of the voters is so fine grained that you can send perfectly targeted advertising to each voter and they can go even further they can target the tone of their advertising so that they hit very precisely of course it's not clear if they actually succeeded because most of the information comes from the company itself and I think they sent a very good salesman to the press who gave a very good talk to the press and they just bought it all he really said is that I can give you advertising that's very well targeted to your target audience so in other words finally we can only target Viagra spam to only those people who actually need it but we can't force them to vote or to buy something they still have to do that on their own big data can't do that so if you're afraid of this what you should really question Judgement and I'm sure some of you had the same train of thought and I didn't expect any applause at this and they felt relieved at this but the problem is very few people questioned their own judgement in fact most people vote for the person who shouts something that fits emotionally just a few days before the election and of course this is what politics want once I mean where would we get if politics rewarded long term success and this emotional targeting works with highly personalized advertising in a very efficient way and this means that data science technology can influence elections so is it so what do you think will have been a bit small I thought I was speaking of data retention younger I'm on the CCC So I think that most people shed my opinion and this brings Und es macht Sinn, um kritisch zu sein von Städten der Elend. Wir müssen das in Fakt, aber wenn wir uns völlig unkritisch sind und uns selbst unkritisch und alle diesen Robben indiskriminativ zu Facebook, dann haben wir nicht ein einziges Ding gewonnen. Mein Gespräch ist am Ende.  Und ich komme zum Schluss mit einem Ply to your, firstly the surprise. Did I say I downloaded hundreds of thousands of articles from Spiel online? I mean more than 700,000. I don't know all the articles, not just when they first appear, but in increasing intervals as well. So we can measure what's been changed, what has changed in an article. And to keep this short, I'm not going to give you a huge analysis, not just because of this talk, but also because I didn't have the time myself, but I have a little, I have a short demo. I track whether or not titles have been changed. And you find some interesting things here. There's the title, the headline itself. There's also the hate HTML title tag. It appears at the top of the browser window. And of course I track those as well. This article is from the 20th of January and on the 21st of January. So one day after it was published, I was notified that the title tag has changed and that SAP grows more slowly in 2014 than planned. So I wondered, what was it tied to before? When the article was first published, it was not SAP that was growing, it was the CEO of SAP that was apparently growing. And I like these little quirks because it shows that there are still humans working on the articles. Not just computers. And today it's called SAP is unable to reach their growth and gain targets. So this shows you how powerful the dataset actually is. I have a history of each article and this gives me even more powerful opportunities. And this was my surprise and here's my plea to you. You've seen all manner of things now. We've divided articles in simple and complex manners. We've seen that different ways of visualising things have different power. And we have tracked lots and lots of features from all of these articles. Even more complicated features. For instance, you could track the links in each article and see if certain authors have their little friends to whom they like to link. There's no limits to your imagination. And of course, as I just showed you, we can also track what has been changed in articles. For instance, we can see where there's the biggest uproar where the comments were closed after a certain amount of time. Also, if you have any ideas, please send them to me. If you have any ideas how I could analyse this dataset and there's a message I would like to send to you if you work on data. Raw data is awesome. Or even sexy. So keep all the raw data if you can at all afford it. If you can at all afford to stay it. I have modern 60 gigabytes of pure HTML. And it's not a problem at all to add features later on. So please don't limit your imagination. Imagine new features, imagine new analyses. Send it to me. Not all everything that you send to me may be possible. I have a job as well and I'm going to have lots to do at the start of the new year. But I really will try to do these. So, thank you so much. All that's left to say for me is thanks for spending this out with me. Here are my links. See you. Well, we can't release you so early because we have our Q&A, of course. First of all, thanks a lot. It was great to see how mathematics can be very exciting to analyse such data. And well, as always, if you have questions, go to the microphones. And all those that probably leave quickly for the yearly review. No, actually, the speaker for that is still here in the audience. So it won't be starting that quickly, but whenever you are leaving, why ever you're leaving, so where are we with questions? Microphone 3. Hi, fantastic talk. I'm really great, I thought. What I'd be interested in, did you once see whether they change articles depending on how many people click there? Well, if I understand correctly, they are testing. Do they do split tests and find how many people click on the article? I think they're doing that right now. So, correct me, but I think they are trying it out right now. So, what is split testing just for the audience? They publish articles with different titles and see where, on which the people click most and that's the title that can survive. You change Spiegel online by visiting it directly. Microphone 1. Okay, I wanted to ask whether you archive Spiegel Plus articles too, whether you include that. Was ist das für ein Wohl? Do you have a Plus account? Yeah, I am including them and of course I have a Plus account but automatically decrypts them. Yeah, I was really annoyed when they started appearing because I couldn't decrypt them initially and that's why you can find instructions in Spiegel Plus. Okay. There's a positive thing about them. The Spiegel Plus articles are longer in the media so you get something for your money as well. 1.001 words. 1.001 tales. Did you look at contents in your analysis as well? Word frequencies, perhaps the link to categories or keywords and link that with content to find whether keywords are complete or correct. No, I didn't. You can take keywords. That was quite quick and easy but I didn't look at the relevant words within the article. Those would of course be the nicer keywords but I haven't done that yet. 1.001. I would like to know which software you used to collect the data to analyze and visualize it and whether the data is available anywhere. No, they're not available anywhere else partly because I'm not sure if I'm allowed to distribute them. I use the Pi data stack and the software for downloading it. I write myself, it runs on one of my servers and beyond that I use Pandas for my analysis which is based on Python and then the whole Pi data stack. Just Google it, you can find a lot on it. And for visualizing it I use Tableau which is a visualization software that has pre-aggregated no, that can use pre-aggregated data up to a few gigabytes and you can make nice graphs for it and you can use Gaffee. 2.001. Did you analyze data real-time or did you do that already in retrospect? 3.001. Do you analyze the data while you collect them? 4.001. No, I simply collect the raw data and in the next step I parse the raw features from it and those are so few that I can actually keep them in RAM and create higher level features so it happens in three steps so I don't do it initially but ever since I started giving my talk it's been downloaded another ten times so it does happen in parallel. One idea for the evaluation you could look whether certain word groups appear in older articles to see whether they've been copied and pasted together. Do you mean an analysis like per article you get 73% new content, yeah? Yeah, good point. I'm gonna do that. Hello. I just wanted to give a hint but I'll put it into a question could it be that the non-commentability of Israel articles is just a resource problem could it be that be more to censor for legal grounds? For example, there might be singularities in German criminal law of course there are that you can't say certain things so that could be... Yes, had it been only Israel I would have thought that immediately but no yes, it could be of course this is a very important part of data science I did that in a slightly sarcastic way but of course it's up to you to draw your own conclusions from the data yeah, that could be of course I mean, the only people who really know is the people from Spiegel but Israel wasn't the only category that wasn't commentable and there's no singularity about simply justice topics. Hello David, thanks a lot for your talk did you consider offering the software as open source so that other sources could be used such as Tagesschau, the German TV news? No I didn't, but to be honest it's not all that difficult you just write a script that runs every couple of minutes and downloads all the articles and that saves it in a database, done the source code behind this is really uninteresting there are thousands of people who did it before but yes of course you could do comparison with other media how did you remove the strain you broke it all down into two dimensions the what? the tension because you have so many dimensions and you project it into two so how did you make sure that things would be put above each other they are not really close to each other or the links aren't shown in theory you can never exclude that altogether but I put a lot of care into the graph I kept only the most important edges because otherwise you get far too many and then there are professional graph layout for instance the one that Geffi uses you saw it earlier of course you have to invest a bit into filtering the edges when you've done that you're still not all the way there but it's most of the way you said that in October you visited Spiegel was there reaction to your analysis it was positive I'm not sure if this was simply because they can't do anything about it anyway but I found the exchange very positive and very interested and I liked going there they took it far better than colleagues at Xerox maybe a suggestive question again but maybe this is leaning towards well opportunities for further research the procedure the physics that we used to visualise topical closeness would it be mathematically more correct if you had a singular partition of the adjacency matrix of these keywords and such as Patreon has done yes but if you do that you can't make as nice a graph as I did and you'd probably get a similar result I mean I see the values of the edges or if you use all those dimensions it's kind of equivalent yes all is silent okay, 3 another short remark on maps the methods, the springs ultimately they position how stable are those I didn't dive very deeply into the theory I'd be surprised if you could prove this but they're established for large graphs because there's nothing to do there anyway you just iterate until it looks right and if it looks wrong you just press start again this is the practice hello did you ever use markoff on your data to generate spiegel data articles I mean no could you send me an email with that idea oh, wir haben Spaß oh, we are going to have fun I can just see it but we won't just generate articles but we also generate whether or not you're allowed to comment on the generated article oh, we could also generate author names, yeah right I believe we've come to the end of our time so if you have further questions surely you will be actually I'll be going out to the next beer bar that I can find if that's not in front of sale 2 it's in front of sale 1 so people can find me so didos to the beer bar on the beer bar and it is time for that thank you and thanks for listening to the translation your translators were zebalis and and Phillip and we love your feedback hashtag c3t twitter account c3lingo email hello at c3lingo.org we love to hear


Tomorrow night the rivalry is renewed with Alabama Huntsville as the chargers visit the Samford Center to take on the men's hockey team. Huntsville is just one and thirteen on the year but head coach Tom Saratori says that there's a lot to like about their opponent that hasn't shown up on the scoreboard just yet. Huntsville plays with good pace. Huntsville plays with really good pace. They're not a bad team. They're just struggling trying to find the net. You know, you're gonna find out they skate well. They actually got you know they move the puck very well. They're coming in here and they're going to be fighting and scratching and clawing especially when you're playing these guys. You know there might be a bit the game might be a bit more chippy or you know in that sort of sense so we're we're excited for the challenge and I'm sure they're as well. If you enjoyed this segment of Lakeland News please consider making a tax deductible contribution to Lakeland PBS.