Yeah, this has to be probably one of the probably one of the better weeks I think I said it and I say this every morning this past week great week Had a lot of good action to some stocks that were going on and you know what I think we're gonna end up hitting pretty big going on Into this into today. Let me just share one of my screens really quick right here. Just to be able to Get something done for everyone here. Hold on a second. Somebody else there we go So the cyber group members could see it. Alright, so basically a lot of good stuff that happened And I guess everyone heard about the big news this morning job reports were up big That was some really good news shockingly there a lot of people going to work, right? Let's just end up happening. Why why is the market down? Why is the market down anybody could tell me? Why wouldn't you have such a good jobs report and the market down? Well? Nobody knows the answer. Well, I'm gonna tell you the answer. Okay? Because one of us will be more tightening coming. That's right. There you go, Bill Norman because now they might not have no other excuse, but they might have to raise interest rates another Three-quarters of a point, you know what that's gonna do to the due to interest rates You know, it's gonna do to corporations. I mean you could see going across the board My watch list was nice and green this morning and all of a sudden just boom. It just went total red Everything across the board. So and what do you have you have basically it if that is running out of money, Janice I you know what? You know, they keep saying they're running out of money, you know, but then I keep hearing just keep printing it You know, I mean, I just know I don't I just want to know who's who's the bank the credit card companies charging the interest And who's getting that interest?  I mean, it's unbelievable, but Listen You know what I can't feel sorry for most of the people out there for a long time I remember we I remember I bought my first house. I paid seven and a half percent interest You know what I mean people who get in free money. It was great. It was nice It's just how fast they're doing it is ridiculous I mean, it's crazy how quickly they're doing it, but inflation is there people are working I guess so I guess they have no they have they have an excuse that they can raise them So we'll see how that works out. But you know what that's good trading opportunity for all of us because remember we need Action we need excitement and let me tell you there's a bunch of stocks that are moving this morning I can't wait to go through it Specifically some of the brand names are gonna be moving because of the news that came out I want to talk about what what happened So far this week and what we had What we had yesterday for some of you that are watching YouTube that didn't maybe your first time here You hear every morning just want to give a quick recap what what moved yesterday a lot of nice stocks and VIV Stock went from seven dollars to fourteen dollars at ten o'clock. This thing was like a Rocket beautiful stock any RV Another I mean look at this like we When do you ever jump into a stock and it starts at nine o'clock in the morning at three dollars goes to seven I mean these things are up almost a hundred percent and it's not overnight It's only one day. That was a nice movie tradie. Yes, I yesterday Sega si ga a little bit more expensive Not like the cheaper ones. This one had a nice move yesterday 17 to 20 that we trade in the cyber group room GOV x This is a clever for 270 to $4 right in the middle of the day great day trading I know a bunch of you guys did really well. Yes, they're on that one a little bit more Tratable the AMC was a little bit more skeptical a little more dangerous to trade But you know what earnings came out yesterday didn't do too well stock is finally taking a little bit of a beating I'm not really a big fan trading Josh likes to trade Once while AMC, but that stock just has a lot way too many shakes APDN that stock just was literally a rocket ship stock was 50 cents already up to seven another really nice Moving stock. I mean I thought it was done a couple of days ago I mean this thing has turned out to be a very good swing trade for all that matters SOPA another one Had a really nice move and the stock came down No problem, I'll check that out Bill so as sofa that was another one that moved pretty nice I'll check that that one had a we made some good money and two more just after hours pegas pegs Can't I I'm not a very good typer pegs did really really well yesterday 13 to 15 and last but not least I O&M another stock that moved really well, and it's moving pretty good this morning It's up 130 percent so far this morning. So a lot of good stocks that are moving and we're gonna go through them right now So listen, that's what you missed yesterday Don't worry about when it turned to page and I say this almost every time It's like a new adventure every day just so many cool stuff that's moving in the market and you know That's what that's basically what it comes down to so let's see what is moving this morning There's a this stock right here. It's the biggest percentage gainer. It's garbage been a boy buyout This is the one that we found a little bit earlier I just a little concerned about it had that big spike early around four o'clock was at four o'clock in the morning She's kind of flat here six million shares traded I'll put this on the b-list. Okay, and I think I already had it written down on there. That's why it was last For some of you here you could see that's why I put it last on that watch list remember We want stocks to have a trend. Okay, and I didn't really see any crazy iceberg orders ATNX this is a big gap up from yesterday Kind of really flat right here. This is the one that we looked at right now, which is MOBQ Let me go hop over here on level four It's got to hit the lead a couple of things here Just got a lot of stocks on my watch list. It's got X at some of them Kind of save the ones from yesterday Okay MOBQ So while that one's load up, let's check out the level four. I love the volume on that stock. Yeah, that's what I thought okay, so Let's bring it up right here had a couple of big iceberg orders right here, which you could see right here This guy's isn't there's someone out there for about He just upped his bid he just went from you could see how things just tanked right here But if I zoom out you can see the 18,000 share buyer right here around 220 and you got the resistance at 260 Kind explains why it's not breaking through 260 right here And you could see why this is a support here at 220 there It looks like some supports levels at 242, but really decent move up about 57% All right, Peg Peggy. That's another stock that looks pretty good to five million shares already traded PEGY I want to see where the orders are see where the iceberg orders are see where the high frequency trades are Okay, so we had a big order out there at 418 let me show you right here. It kind of had that big move at a 15 shot up You could set went down. He's still out there selling it and it's not only here for 80 It's also here 450 so that's probably one of the reasons why the stock is backing off Do I see any big buyers out there? You got a 21,000 share buyers sitting right now around 290 So he's right around here That's way out of the way. That's like A long way to go for that one, but but we'll put it on the watch list We'll keep an eye on it. We saw this one this morning I know some of you were trading this this morning great run up on KZIA that they ran from 215 in pre-market Some of you guys did phenomenal on it ran all the way to 320 the stock took a very very big hit Definitely want to put on a watch list and see what's going on when the market opens up But there's some good good volatility on that one. All right now We're working our way down. We're at number 10 in the big percentage gainers You know now we're at I mean it was still at 16 percent.  This stock right here is not looks like it's not in ECN Okay, I mean not a Pharmaceutical stock which is good because we know they don't come back So it looks like it's building some really nice support levels Stock is testing some big support levels back in May and July You got a little bit of a big iceberg order hovering right around about 280. All right, so looks like we're all we're right about there So I'm gonna put this one on a watch list, you know me I love bottom fishing because you always get these suckers that average down and Sometimes they won't have a choice. That's the only reason why New York Stock to change stocks Not really that good a MTD. I know you guys been trading this like an animal We did really well the last couple of days trading it. It took a very big hit. She's moving again I'm just warning you make sure you check your journals Okay, look at your reports that we gave you cyber traders in the trading room For some of you on YouTube, you know, we're broadcasting in two rooms on my trading room I'm broadcasting live here, but I'm talking specifically to you guys in the cyber group room Some of you guys did really well on it We know how volatile this thing is but it but when this thing moves It's got some really really good iceberg orders out there. So AMTD is going on the watch list definitely All right net was a big gap up from yesterday, but it looks like it's back and off.  We're already at 5% we're done Man, we tell you the space is not doing too well We trade space many of times stocks taking a hit probably could be on your short list But the stock keeps trending down and that pretty much does it Twilio not doing too well That's about it aim sees already to watch list squares on the on the on the big loser talking about 8% here Draft King has been doing well on our swing trade We it gapped up pretty big right here But the reason why everything is pretty much down right now is because what's happening with the Dow What's happening of that announcement that they talk about job reports were really good which leads to They're gonna probably raise interest rates. So listen. It's Friday. It's gonna be a damned heat wave here in the northeast I'm looking forward to getting the hell out of here and going fishing And having you know and spending this weekend on other people's money Because that's what people do during the summertime So if you do well, just take your money have your fun, you know and call it a day If this is this supposed to be the slowest time of the year listen Earnings big earnings week the past two weeks already passed. We're beyond that a lot of people are vacation I know a lot of restaurants my town closed down for almost two three weeks because they know a lot of people away You should be doing the same but September October November damn well be to be ready remember I'm gonna be live down there with Tom Busby and DTI on Was it August? 23rd to the 22nd of 23rd. We got we got the onsite here in New York City Our two-day big event every year. That's gonna be on October 27th and 8th 26 27th and 28th So make sure you guys know about it and listen if you're watching cyber if you're watching YouTube just like I said Why don't you and our trading would be happy listen? We had a really good event yesterday, too We had several hundred people in our webinar yesterday a lot of you a new trials you registered to To be part of it. Please be make sure you watch those videos.  Don't get too cocky It is Friday make your money and when you make it you know for the day We'll see you back on Monday and have you have a great weekend everyone


Okay everyone, I've already tried to film this video twice and made it all the way to the last book when my phone has given out. So we're gonna try this a third time. So if I talk through the books very quickly, I'm sorry I just really want to get this video done because we're leaving in less than two days and tomorrow's gonna be really really busy. So wish me luck on try number three, third time's a term, right? This is my channel, Lore's Little Library, and today I'm gonna be talking about all the books that are coming out in the first half of 2022 and I'm excited to read them all. Let's just get that out of the way. So I'm gonna say I'm excited to read these still, but I'm gonna say the lot so just bear with me on it. But let's get right into the books. So the first book that I'm gonna talk about comes out on January 4th and that is One True Loves. This is by Elise Bryant. This is a companion novel to Happily Ever Afters, also by Elise Bryant, which I have not yet read but I am planning on picking up in January of 2022. So maybe right after I pick it up I will be motivated to pick up One True Loves. So it follows some of the side characters from Happily Ever Afters, that's all I have to say about that one. Then also on January 4th we have a sci-fi novel called The Kindred by Alicia Dow. I believe this follows two main characters, one who is like a commoner, regular person, and one who is like down the line of being heir to the throne and he's kind of a playboy. But they are kindred. They are either mind-length or they are soulmates. I'm not quite sure. This is why I'm gonna have to read the book to find out.  So they get shoved on a spacecraft and blasted out to earth. So that's quite the eventful meeting and I get the feeling they might not click upon first kectic meeting like that. So this is the sci-fi that I'm actually excited and looking forward to reading which is kind of cool. Then jumping to the end of the month on January 25, we have a book that I have been looking forward to for quite a while and this is Loveboat Reunion by Abigail Hing Wen. This is the sequel to Loveboat Taipei and I rated that 4 out of 5 stars. I loved it. I believe it's following all of our same main characters and I don't know how far after the first book this one takes place but I just know that I'm excited to read about these characters again and see where they are after Loveboat Taipei. And by the way, Loveboat Taipei follows our main character who wanted to be a dancer but her parents actually end up sending her on this program that is based off of a program that the author Abigail Hing Wen actually experienced when she was younger and it basically sends them to Taipei to learn about her culture and her heritage and to like teach her Mandarin and teach her other elements of culture. Like I said, I very much enjoyed it and I'm looking forward to the end of January when this comes out. Also on January 25th, we have a book called In Every Generation and this is by Kendraic Boyk. You might get that name wrong, I'm so sorry. This takes place in the world of Buffy the Vampire Slayer I believe. I actually haven't seen Buffy the Vampire Slayer but I probably should because I want to read this book. So it follows our main character who is a witch and she is very passionate about the earth and the environment and her mom promised she will teach her magic slowly and on the condition of using it for good. So the slayer of the generation dies and it actually is discovered that our main character, the witch, is the next slayer. And she's like wait a minute though, I'm a witch. So she becomes the first ever witch, slayer, witch, I mean the witch, slaying vampires. I'm all here for it and I'm excited to read it but I also should probably watch Buffy first. Moving on to February, on the first of February we have a book called The New Girl. This is by Jessie Q. Soutanto who is the author of Dial A for Anties. And the new girl is actually a dark academia, one of a few that I will be talking about in this video. So we are following this main character who starts going to this very prestigious academy and some weird things start happening and no one is batting an eye. And our main character is like what, hello guys, no one's going to question this. Okay so she starts to dig and she's discovering secrets on like this teacher and dark things about this student, the golden boy and everything. So I believe it's going to be a very drama filled dark academia. Also on February 1st we have a book called This Woman Kingdom and this is actually Tara Moffy's next book. It is a fantasy and I'm thrilled to be read, to be hearing about it. So it takes place in a world that is based off of like an ancient Jin kingdom. And we have a servant girl who is secretly the heir to the throne. Like nobody knows it but I believe she knows it. But then we also have the crown prince and he has heard of these prophecies that describe like the death of the king. And so there's kind of an issue with there being a crown prince but also a true heir that is heading from the world. And so I'm excited to see how that plays out. I am very interested in this fantasy world and plot so. Then a week later on February 8th we have a book called Not the Witch You Wed, which not the witch you wed and this is by April Asher. And this follows a witch who doesn't actually have any magic. She used to date the shape shifter but he broke her heart and you know sad and very upset about it.   And it sounds like a very interesting like enemies to lovers second chance fake dating. Seems like we got a lot of tropes in there which is very intriguing. And I think it'll be a great read for Valentine's Day. Then lastly in February on the 22nd we have a book called The Girl Who Fell Beneath the Sea. This is by Axie Oh. And oh my goodness you guys I am super pumped for this book. The cover alone is just beautiful. I love the color, the art style. It's one of those books that I just want to immediately buy and like put on display on my shelf. I just have on my shelf but like put on display, give it its space and its room to shine. And then when you know the synopsis on top of it it's going to be a beautiful book like I know it is going to be. So this book follows our main character who lives in this town in this land that is going through a lot of like storms and the sea is like flooding and it's terrible. So what they are trying to do is that they are sacrificing a beautiful girl to the sea god every year hoping that one year they will find the sea gods one true bride to make all the storms stop. But one year it's someone very close to the main character and she's like okay no. So she decides to go under and figure out what is going on. And she actually goes into the land of the spirits and she learns that the sea god is actually a sleep. So she needs to figure out how to wake him up and oh my goodness I am so excited. This hits almost everything that I love. So I hope to pick this up very quickly after it comes out and I definitely want to buy it. It's so beautiful. Now we are going to move on to March and the first book to come out on the first of March is The Lost Dreamer and this is by Liz Huerta. This follows a mess of American mythology which again if you do not know me or my channel in your new first off welcome, hi hello, this is me, Laura, what's up. I love mythology and I love fantasy and especially like fantasy mythology that's my thing. So this book alone just based off that has already peaked my interest. And then on top of that we have Sears and we have Dreamers. So we have two main characters. One is a seer and a dreamer and the other is like just a seer. But I believe that dreamers are like being killed off and that's kind of an issue for a main character who is a dreamer. So they got to stop that and again it's mess of American mythology. So I look forward to this. I don't exactly know what all that means in terms of like what it means to be a seer and what it means to be a dreamer but I look forward to finding out when I pick up this book in March. Then a week later on March 8th we have One for All by Lily Lainoff and this is a historical fiction gender-bent chronic illness own voice rep. Three musketeers. Yeah, let's dissect that for a moment. So it's the three musketeers. So it's historical fiction but it's gender bent so we follow a female musketeer but it also has own voices so the author has chronic illness and so does our main character. There's a lot going on there that I am so ready for. I grew up fencing and so I loved the musketeers but to have a gender bent to see female musketeers just warms my heart. It's going to just make me want to pick up fencing again which I would love to but it's a little difficult but at the same time it's like the perfect quarantine sport because you're literally masked, fully covered and you have to remain six feet away. So we have that historical fiction and I am super excited especially because I've been wanting to pick up more historical fiction especially not World War II historical fiction so there we go. Also on March 8th we have a book where I'm going to butcher the title and I'm so sorry but I believe it's Blood Skyon but this is by Deborah Folligay and this follows our main character who is a blood rayon and she has magic powers of fire. But on her 15th birthday she gets conscripted into the king's army and she's very upset about this because she has to keep her powers hidden but then she realizes you know you could probably take down the king within by being a part of the army from the inside. Which just sounds super fun it reminds me a little bit of the gilded ones but it also makes me think of another book that I have on my TBR that I'm excited it's called The End in Fire so this sounds like a book that I'm probably going to enjoy our badass main character with magic taking down the system. Then we are moving on to April and on April 5th we have another dark academia called My Dearest Darkest and this is by Kayla Cottingham so this follows Finch who is a transfer student to another prestigious academy but right before they start attending they almost die in this accident but they don't and it's kind of like hmm okay interesting but then there's just another student called Selena Sinclair and she's like hmmmm Finch no. So and then I'm a little confused because then later on this synopsis it says that them and a couple other people end up calling this creature and making a deal where they do what the creature wants and the creature will grant them their wish. So sounds a little, sounds very intriguing I'm very interested to see how the first half of the synopsis and the second half of the synopsis work together but I've seen a lot of hype for this book and I mean it's coming out in April I'll have plenty of time to pick it up for the next spooky season so. Also on April 5th we have two more books coming out so the next one I'm going to talk about is called Love from Scratch and this follows I think it's enemies to lovers and it's the idea that there are these two people who work for like this baking show network and like a video of them goes viral and they decide to make their own show about it. It has the theme of baking and so that's all I really need in order to convince me to pick up this book. There have been so many books coming out about like baking and cooking and I think I need to do a reading vlog because I enjoy books about baking because I very much enjoy baking I should hope I do considering I work in a bakery but yeah so I would love to pick it up purely for the base theme of baking. I will suffer through any other plot line but if there's baking I'm there. And then the last book that comes out on April 5th is the Merciless Ones by Namina Forna this is the second book in the Deathless series or the Deathless Girls something like that. I have the first one it's called the Gilded Ones I rated it 5 stars I loved it so if you haven't already you should pick up the Gilded Ones in preparation for the Merciless Ones. We'll warn you it is very gory kind of like violence heavy but it's we have a badass main character who fights in an army for the king so like there's gonna be a little bit of blood and gore but it follows this world that's very strict on this one religion that holds men to a much higher standard than women and women have to go through this purity ritual where I think when they're like 15 they have to see what color their blood is if it's red they're pure they're good to go if it's gold that means they're like some sort of demon and that's a pretty bad fate for them but our main character whose blood run gold is given an opportunity to fight in the king's army so there we go now it all connects now you're ready to read the Merciless Ones just kidding read the Gilded Ones before you read the Merciless Ones and lastly we have the month of May and the first book to come out in May that I'm excited for comes out May 3 and it's Book Lovers by Emily Henry so I love to be treated by Emily Henry and I very much look forward to reading people we meet on vacation by her but Book Lovers follows our female main character who is a literary agent living in the big city her sister convinces her to go on vacation in a small town where she meets our male main character and he he's a he's a book editor I think it's enemies to lovers but all I know is that both of our main characters work in the literary world and I'm excited for that that is what I want give me more I'm here for it I am ready for this book so ready also on May 3 we have a book called Ballad and Dagger and this is by Daniel Jose Older this is actually a Rick Warden Presents book but it's also a YA I believe it's their first YA book from that imprint which is pretty cool so it follows like the San Madrigal I believe so we have this island that was taken over by some darkness or curse in the island seas so all the people flee to the states where they have their new community and our main character is really passionate about music and playing the piano and there's this big name in music that he really wants to impress however there's I believe a murder and a lot of betrayal and feelings are hurt and they realize that the dark mysterious thing that caused them to flee from their island may have actually followed them to their new home and that's not gonna sit well so I'm excited to read it because it is Rick Warden Presents it's YA so even though I have a lot more of the middle grade from this imprint to read I still would love to pick up their first YA book and then the last book that we have in May comes out on May 10 which also happens to be my birthday and it's called Breathe and Countback from 10 this follows our main character who wants really badly to work at this underwater theme park type thing as a mermaid and she's gone through a lot of surgeries on her body and so she's her recovery has been full of swimming and she loves swimming, she loves being in the water but her Peruvian parents are like no we do not approve so she's like you know what no this summer I'm gonna work as a mermaid I'm going to flirt with the boy next door like she's gonna take life into her own hands but I believe she discovered some secrets that may have been kept from her while she's trying to live her life this sounds like such a cute and wonderful summer read I am excited for it to come out on my birthday obviously and yeah it's coming out at the beginning of summer so I want to pick it up that summer because even if it's like she's pretending to be a mermaid it's still like good summer vibes I would love it I also kind of want it to be where the secret is that she actually is a mermaid that would give me huge Emily Winsnap vibes which I loved when I was younger so but we'll see either way I'm excited to pick up the book thank you all so much oh my gosh I made it through the video how exciting but thank you all so much for watching this if you want me to do a part 2 let me know in the comments below and I would happily do a part 2 for the June through the end of the year for releases that are coming out probably a little bit later in the year though when more of those releases have been announced but otherwise if you liked this video give it a thumbs up comment down below like I said if there are any new releases that I didn't mention that you're looking forward to let me know because I would love to have those on my radar and add them to my TBR otherwise go ahead and subscribe and hit the bell to be notified I am posting 4 videos every week during the month of December otherwise I post twice a week on Sundays and Wednesdays but other than that like I said thank you for watching and I look forward to seeing you all in the next video but until then I wish you happy reading


Hi, my name is Leon Roeb, currency trader and trading coach at Trading1AT.com. Welcome to this week's forex and goal supply and demand analysis. If you're new, welcome to you and an equally warm welcome to you if you are returning. And if you like the analysis that I provide every week, please don't forget to press the like button and subscribe. And so question of the week before we get into the analysis was sent to me on YouTube and the person said, good day, sir. Leon, I got a quick question. Does the dollar appreciate on bad news surrounding its economy based on safe haven appeal in a risk of environment such as we are having during the US banking situation weeks back and the current sentiment on the US debt ceiling challenge? Because what that's what I observed, the dollar rallied on the back of these bad news. Please explain it better. Why isn't the dollar the one to be affected by the news? And it is a great question and something that I will get into as we go through the analysis in the video. So because I will be talking about the debt ceiling and I can kind of tie the questioning with that. And so getting into the week ahead, 22nd of May. So this week in the US the spotlight will be on the debt ceiling negotiations, FMOC meeting minutes and several Fed speeches. Additionally, investors will be closely monitoring data on personal income and spending PCE prices and the second estimate of GDP growth, corporate profits, durable goods orders, services and manufacturing PMIs as well as new pending home sales. So a lot going on this week. The data, furthermore, fresh May PMIs are anticipated in the UK, Australia, Euro area, Japan and Germany. Finally inflation rates for the UK will be released and monetary policy decisions are awaited for China, New Zealand and that's pretty much that's it. So they've done a bit of a typo there, FMC. And yeah, so that's basically what we've got going on this week. So let's get into a bit more of the technicals and some fundamentals and starting off on dollar index and dollar index is just a measure of dollar strength against the basket of currencies and you can see in fact my bias actually was to the short side and looking for a decent area to look for shorts, not in dollar index but just on other dollar currencies and the dollar has been rallying this week on the expectation of a high interest rates because of recent data that has come out that has supported that and inflation and also as well the expectation that the debt ceiling would actually be resolved at some point but things have turned at the last minute on Friday which has caused the dollar to kind of pull back in a little bit and so dealing with policy rates first and power steers policy debate with clear signal on June rate pause and so again as I was saying during the week and up to you know come from last week to this week we started having the market price in the probability of a rate hike in June and it actually reached I think as high as maybe 38 39% on the on the CME Fed Watch tool and this is the probability this basically I'll read it out it says this is the likelihood that the Fed will change the federal target rate at upcoming FOMC meetings according to interest rate traders analyze the probabilities of changes to the Fed rate and US monetary policy as implied by 30 big Fed funds futures pricing data and so we keep an eye on this and and up until I think it was like I said Friday Friday before Jerome Powell speaks this was basically as high the probability on a rate hike was as high as about 30 39% and this was down to maybe something like 50 something percent 60 something percent and and so yeah once we got Jerome Powell's speech that came out that he was a bit more signatory rate pause basically the market has pared back expectations for now who knows it could obviously you know it's a moving target it's not static so that it is data dependent and so I'll just read a little bit of this which says the Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell gave a clear signal he is inclined to pause interest rate increases next month taking command of the policy debate over several officials suggested they wanted to keep hiking and he said we've come a long way in policy tightening and the stance of policy is restrictive and we face uncertainty about the lagged effect of our tightening so far and about the extent of credit tightening from recent bank stresses Powell told a Fed uh sorry Powell told a Fed conference Friday in Washington having come this far we can afford to look at the data and the evolving outlook to make careful assessments he said reading from prepared notes so investors pared bets on a rate hike next month to around 13% after Powell's comments compared to 33 before the spike so that was reflected again on here so um yeah the chances of a potential pause are on the cards but it depends on whether the market believes Jerome Powell right but there are things going on um you know um as far as as well the debt ceiling that they have to be concerned about as to why they may or may not also would have to factor in why they may or may not um uh hide crates as well and obviously one of them is the debt ceiling and Biden seeks to call um McCarthy after that limit talks hit impasse and this happened on Friday as well and so Joe Biden directed his age to schedule court on Sunday with White House Speaker Kevin McCarthy after the top Republican accused the White House of backtracking in talks on raising the U.S. debt limit and so for those of you out there who um you don't know what the uh the debt ceiling means right uh I'll just read this article just quickly it's not going to read the whole five minutes maybe maybe about a minute or two just to get an understanding of why the debt ceiling is um so a such an important thing to the battle of a raising the debt ceiling has threatened to rattle markets and wreak havoc on the U.S. economy so political leaders in Washington have been arguing for months over the federal debt limit and the conditions under which to raise it failure to come to an agreement would mean a first ever default on some of the government's obligations the debt ceiling is essentially a cap on U.S. government borrowing right now at nearly 31.4 trillion since January Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen has been using special measures to avoid a payment default but she's warned that the Treasury's risk risks running out of cash for its obligations as soon as June the first so JP Morgan uh CEO Jamie Diamond and other bank executives have warned of dire consequences if a deal isn't reached and it says here it's a fluid situation with ongoing discussions between White House and Congressional leaders House Speaker Kevin McAfee said Thursday negotiations would agree to a deal in principle as soon as this weekend but then talks broke down on Friday with Republican representatives Garrett Graves saying that the White House was being unreasonable so um this is basically um an issue uh that potentially could um was expected to be resolved sooner rather than later and to kind of go back to the uh the question from uh universe Alice 2438 and it was talking about um risk off right and so the debt ceiling is a risk off situation so risk off scenario um which typically the U.S. dollar would be a risk off in a safe haven currency so in a risk off environment when there's lots of fear uncertainty and doubt in the market money will go out of risk on assets um into risk off assets or safe haven uh assets like gold for example and uh and currencies like the Japanese yen the Swiss frank and the U.S. dollar now when the risk off event is actually originating in the U.S. then it wouldn't really make sense uh logically uh for the dollar to rally if um you know their experience in the risk off event right but what's happened is is that the market is actually priced in the uh risk event being resolved so although their headlines have been talking about the debt ceiling the debt ceiling you know it's a it's a risk event it's a risk off event who knows who knows the market has actually expected the risk event to get resolved so they're getting ahead of the um of the news and thinking okay well the probabilities are that they're gonna you know raise the debt ceiling so let's just you know take advantage of this while everybody else um including myself to a certain degree was thinking um that okay a risk off event would mean money would come out of the dollar the market has actually been pricing in the news event anyway as far as what they expect which is basically a positive outcome if it was a negative outcome that that's what they expected then the dollar would actually be falling but because they expect a positive outcome from the risk event they're getting ahead of that and making money to the upside and so that's pretty much what happens and what you need to think about during risk events is what is the expectation that the event will be um uh will be resolved um you know a positive result or actually a negative result right and whether you know and and that um is really where the money is made it's the expectation of what um of how the event and risk event is going to get resolved so for example with the banking crisis um you know for now there's been no other banks so the expectation is that um the the banking uh crisis is being contained for now now if the federal reserve starts to hike rates even more that might put pressure on other smaller banks and they might start to default and it might cause like a domino effect so the the fed have to keep an eye on um not only just raising rates because of inflation but they have to you know a counter of that could be actually more banks um starting to default which is what they don't want because then that would bring on um a potential recession of credit crunch etc and so it's you have to be a bit more dynamic and a bit fluid in your thinking when it comes to these things it's not an exact science right fundamentals is not a science doesn't mean that one you know a equals uh b or one equals two right or one to two equals two it's not it's not like that you have to be a bit more dynamic in your thinking when it comes to the expectation of where money is likely to flow and the result of the event so although the dollar um is under pressure in terms of the risk sentiment overall the um the debt ceiling is expected to be um uh resolved and so that actually has made money go into the dollar right so so that's pretty much an explanation I hope you know the explanation um makes sense all right um so yeah that's pretty much it uh so the dollar can back to the dollar that's the reason for the rally we've seen the rally this week in the dollar the expected um uh interest rate uh hikes or an interest rate hike um being priced in as well as a resolution to the debt ceiling but now we've come to a bit of a pause just before this uh or just beyond that supply zone and just under this uh supply zone here so we're in a bit of uh no man's land but let's see what happens this week I probably expect the market to um with with uncertainty to continue to fall in fact so to the downside we could see obviously if um if things continue to um create a positive environment for the US dollar meaning that they may continue to can uh uh hydrate that has to be priced in so you could actually see the dollar stop to um move higher but I'm my bias is at least for the second half of the year to get to look for a short trade on the dollar again we're not looking at a short in the dollar index we'll be looking for shorting on you something like the uh dollar yen and so speaking of the dollar yen we've seen prices break past this supply zone and that supply zone was was due for a break anyway because that level had been touched several times you know once twice already and the more times the level is touched the um the the weaker it becomes and you can see my analysis from last week looking at this demand zone prices did bounce off of this demand zone came back again and we had some positive news out from the dollar but uh now what we've got is let me just draw an update this we've got a demand zone right here and potential uh supply and I think there may be scope for a uh short trade at the moment um the the yen again holding rates but possible yield curve adjustment June or July coming through also is where there was some positive news surrounding their economy and rising inflation which puts pressure on the bank of Japan to potentially do something about yield curve control so I think this supply zone and also as well the higher supply zone I think are really nice shorting opportunities uh to buy the yen hopefully um and again depending on whether the the um the news for uh the dollar starts to run out of steam right I think that ceiling um has been priced in always being priced in um and I can't see that you know even when it you know June 1st comes around I can't see the market really you know taking off to the upside I think then after that it's going to be really about whether the Fed are going to potentially cut rates later on this year so if you do want to get short on that on that yen um on that dollar yen then you know this is the area to start to look for some short trades if you want to buy the dollar then you're looking for pullbacks into this zone before looking at getting uh long uh looking at the dollar Swiss again Friday's uh you know news came out negative for dollars so we did get a move back up to this area on the um on the dollar Swiss and again a big rejection from it so let's see if you want to look for short trades there if you're looking for any kind of long trades and again that supply zone has been touched several times so again I expected that to um start to uh break but if you do want to get long on the dollar Swiss it looks like these are the areas to look for any kind of long trades again you look for um go down to that the lower time frames and look for uh any kind of um um uh trade setups that you'd want to see within those zones um dollar CAD and the dollar CAD again a bit of a tricky one because the Canadian dollar actually um had some good news as well and there's I think there's a little bit of a hawkish um hawkish tilt to their uh to their bias uh for the Bank of Canada because inflation came up uh higher than expected so the market could be looking at the potential for a uh surprise hike and that really would surprise everybody it's not really a pair that I'm interested in trading anymore um there there was um a bit of uh I did have a bias to short the Canadian dollar and I still do to a certain extent but I think that um there's going to be a bit more of a difficult trade I think for me um if you are looking to get involved in this and buy the US dollar look for you know bigger pullbacks or you're looking at buying a Canadian dollar I think the absolute highs would be decent or even a move just above that but I'm not really looking at this this currency pair where fundamentally it doesn't really make too much sense to me the New Zealand dollar um I think it could be a decent buy on a pullback and that's providing the Federal Reserve don't hike rates and the RBNZ the New Zealand central bank actually do stop to hike rates or continue to be more aggressive in hike rates because they already are expected to hike rates this week so a pullback into that zone would be nice to look for buy trades on the um on a New Zealand dollar but this is with the Federal Reserve expected to hold rates and the RBNZ looking to hike rates so that's where the divergence is coming in um if you are looking to buy the um the US dollar then I think again that level's been touched several times so you know I think a sell there isn't necessarily the greatest you might want to wait for a move and it's so at these highs before looking at getting uh before getting short and even that level's kind of been touched several times but it's led to a new low so um that has it going in its favor uh the pound dollar pound dollar and um the pound this week fundamentally uh Bank of England Chief Economist says UK inflation at turning point in Hupill says a key measure of price increase should decrease and the UK economy grew by a sluggish 0.1% in first quarter of the year so Bank of England Chief Economist Hupill gave the clearest indication yet that officials think they might have sorry they might be able to pause their rate hiking cycle saying inflation has hit a turning point and is likely to slow but you also have Bank of England sorry Bank of America yeah Bank of America policies uh expects another UK rate hike after hawkish Bank of England forecast so um there's a bit of uh there's there a bit of odds at the moment um uh and a bit of uncertainty around whether they will hike or or hold I think it all depends on the um what the inflation numbers are this week if they come out and they are higher than expected then you're likely to have the pound start to rally because then the expectation for a rate uh an extra rate hike would have to be then priced in right so this could be the floor um if inflation does come down as expected I do think that we could see a deeper pullback into uh these one two three levels so let's see what happens uh this week um it's going to be very important to uh to have a to keep a watch on the data all right and then we just uh update this uh supply zone right here and you've got kind of like a supply zone sitting on top of this uh sitting on top of this demand zone in fact one of those I just draw this down here yeah make a bit clearer so these are your options if you do want to be a buyer of the US dollar then the first supply zone if prices pull back to that area or the second area there so um yeah the expectation is for the Fed to hold rates now um and one more hike expected but again it's data dependent it is data dependent um and that could be um hopes could be dashed for a for a rate hike if inflation is seen as coming down uh faster than expected or as expected uh going to the euro dollar and the euro dollar again this week the euro not necessarily being weak but the dollar um the market pricing in an unexpected rate hike has pushed the uh dollar down to like the 107s and so um we've come down to really fair value or just below fair value for the exchange rate so if we look at the low to the high so the low would be or be considered an absolute bargain price and the high would be expensive when it comes to exchange rates 50% is what is known as fair value so we've come down just below that fair value area into the area that I thought that prices uh could potentially bounce from that support resistance within that demand zone and so um the catalyst for the turn is possibly the fact that the market has now got ahead of itself and the market and uh and the Fed may not actually uh high rates right and if they don't then I think the market should want to go uh higher we do have a supply zone here that we need to get passed but ultimately I do think that any moves to the downside even down to the 107s right should be a decent buying opportunity providing that inflation comes down for the US dollar and um the euro keep hiking which um Christine Lagarde say uh says that she sees key juncture as ECB needs sustainably high rate yeah so we need says we have to keep sorry we have to really buckle up on achieving the 2% inflation goal uh ECB president speaks in broadcast in if you were spain's TV so european central bank is a key juncture because it needs to keep preserving um a person persevering with its monetary policy uh just as consumer price growth show signs of flowing uh christine president christine lagarde said now is a moment which is also quite critical because inflation is beginning to go down she said in an interview with spanish state one channel TV broadcast for friday we are beginning to see the um efficiency of measures but we still need to have high and sustainably high interest rates so very hawkish right very hawkish still and um and so yeah going to the chart while you've got one central bank that's you know maybe look into pause christine lagarde is coming out and pretty much saying that they're they're quite hawkish and so this now starts to look like um a decent price to look to uh get involved in the financial advice of course but just telling you what i'm doing and so yeah that's um this the area here if you do want to get involved and try and short the uh the u.s dollar then that first supply zone is where so it's short the euro then that supply zone is where you want to get involved um oz dollar the australian dollar um is a bit weak at the moment uh based off of some china data um coming out which wasn't supportive of the um or isn't supportive of australia as australia are uh one of their biggest trade partners and so if china are not growing then um exports and imports are going to be affected which affects the economy um inflation looks like it's um stubborn in australia but i think um uh the r b n z if i remember correctly um are a bit more dovish slightly dovish on um on hiking rates um or they've changed their stance if i remember correctly anyways um at the moment i think i think the australian dollar hopefully should be a buy at some point once um china do start to get their act together but i do think this level has been touched several times so i think price could come down to the 65s before uh bouncing if it doesn't come down here and bounce off of there that could be where we look for uh any kind of long trades if you're looking to buy the australian dollar if you're looking to buy the and let me just update this uh this demand zone from over here should be the last one and you have a supply zone right here so right on top um this is where you want to look for any kind of short trades if you're looking to buy the uh the us dollar um so the expectation actually for a hold um has is is really kind of dominant at the moment so and that and that's for the rba as well so again that's more data dependent so uh let's see i think when when they were talking about inflation maybe about a week or two ago they were quite hawkish but the market is expecting uh actually more of a hold than a hike so um you know that's where we could enter into this this range or this auction um and i think the 65s 50s down to the 65 round numbers are probably where it's a decent area to look for any kind of buys if you want to buy the australian dollar and finally gold so gold did have a really nice pullback into a zone uh that i was expecting from last week we had a little bounce based off of the news so if you do want to be a buyer of gold any kind of little pullback that will be quite nice um if you're looking to sell gold it looks like there are some i think probably all of this is going to be supply um yeah you're looking for a pullback into these zones and when you're again if one of the things that you can do if you know you're thinking that there's a wide zone of supply is break it down and look for areas of support and resistance within those areas of uh supply wide areas of supply and demand even on a daily or an intraday uh time frame and uh that's where you want to look for any kind of um any trades as confidence right so you've got resistance there resistance resistance of poor support so the underside of this supply zone is decent for a potential uh sell if you want to look to sell and you think that the dollar's going to strengthen right because you're not just selling gold you're thinking that you know thinking gold's going to get weaker you're going to you're thinking that the dollar's going to get stronger so you have to understand you know the reasons why the dollar is going to get um stronger and then gold to get weaker so um i think prices have come down to um really nice bargain area so any buyers for i think for gold if you're bullish on gold into the medium long term i think it's going to be nice and even cheaper in fact would be in fact the 1900s i think that's going to be a really nice area to look for uh buying gold if you're a gold bug anyways guys uh that's it for this week um again don't forget to like subscribe and share and until the next video hope you have a great trading week take care


Yeah massive championship weekend coming up and a historic first beckons for one school on friday as a new champion will be crowned in the issa manning cup football competition monahai will be contesting their first ever manning cup final while heidel will be taking part in the urban area showpiece for the second time the match is set for the national stadium in kingston and heidel's head coach devan anderson is imploring fans to come out and witness the spectacle we are back in manning cup this feeling is a very excited feeling for us you know we want to be the champion that's why i am that's why we are here as someone said before part one team part one team out with manning cup is concerned the top two teams here they will be a festival tomorrow just come out plan to enjoy yourself meanwhile monahai's technical director craig bottler says his team is eager for the clash but when i played manning cup final in 1984 and it has never left my mind and for the boys this is something that will remain with them for the rest of their lives so they're very excited about it they're very determined to come through and they're very unified it's a very exciting thing manning cup has done a lot in terms of opening up the eyes of jamaica to whatever it is that you're doing and these boys have been playing it playing a brand of football that i don't believe it has been seen before and they're very excited about ensuring that in winning they'll be able to continue that sharing that brand with the country to make the country a better national team the one and only craig bottler now the walker cup final will also be contested on friday that's the urban area knockout and it will proceed the manning cup final starting with a pre game show at 2 30 p.m local time that's 3 30 ect and jamaica college will take on sedanja technical in that match with us to preview the manning cup final is our in-house football analyst and self-proclaimed prediction guru leje williams um and leje you know what at the start of the season is someone had said to you that on championship day in the urban area you would have sedanja technical and jamaica college in one final and then you would have heidel and mona in another final you would say yes what you would probably think that the manning cup final would be jacian stats and mona heidel would be in the walker cup final it's not the case and a first time champion will be crowned let's start with the manning cup because it's the big one mona versus heidel yeah that's a huge matchup uh i'm expecting a lot from it i know a lot of people would be disappointed maybe some jamaica college fans said andro technical fans even some kingston college fans that they won't be seeing their team in the final but i do think especially after the semifinal round was was drawn i do think that these are the two best teams left in the competition from that point onwards so i'm expecting a really good game i think that in the case of heidel you know at the start of the season a lot of people are really high on them and then as the first round faded and into the round of 16 and people are saying that oh maybe not so much maybe they're a little dark horse but i think their quality has told all throughout the competition they have i'm glad that rudall speed came on the show beforehand because he has a lot of players that are playing for this heidel team he mentioned kianny jackson rinaldo barry too i've come on the show previously and stated that i think that he's a top three player in the competition in urban era football i would like to upgrade him to a top two and he's definitely not number two rinaldo barry i think he's absolutely fantastic and oh mario henry they have talent really out of their ears and i think they have a very steady hand that's leading them as well in devan anderson and i think that their system has evolved and they're playing really well right now and in the case of mona we know before you get to mona i want to stay on on heidel a little bit here because remember at the start of the campaign they spanked kingston college came out of the same first round group and following that spanking there was an appeal and they were adopt three points kingston college got those points from that game but resulting from that as well was the fact that they lost about three players that they would have been looking to help them through this campaign how much do you think that would have impacted them and maybe even slowed their progress because although they continue to do well they weren't as emphatic as you rightly pointed out as many expected them to be so how much do you think that that decision where they lost about three quality players impacted them and slowed their progress i think it impacted them a lot actually because i remember doing a match with them and calabar earlier in the season and i saw that their system going into now the latter stage of the competition has changed greatly they didn't have an out and out strike anymore so they started playing more of a false nine and the number 10 and then after that so i think that they've changed a lot and i think what they've changed to i have to give props again to their coach devan anderson because he changed to a system that could accommodate firstly all of their best players and have all of his best players doing what they're best at if you look at someone like omari henry for example you have him running in the channels he's probably one of the fastest players in the competition you have ronaldo barrett playing in at the base of a midfield and at the same time he has players around him always to play those short passes and also have been strikers to running behind in those channels as well so i think his profiling of his team and his tactics have been relatively spot on so far this season and i think they've been fantastic yeah ronaldo barrett is a fantastic player to watch by the way um for heidel let's talk about mona now shall we yeah mona extremely talented team they returned i think in double digits players from a team that went to the semifinals last year and i i came into the season thinking that they were one of the three favorites for the competition you know the other two favorites who were playing the walk up final of course and they are the survivors so i do think that they're extremely talented squad and they've proven that they they're really outclassing judges i think in the semifinal and i i think above all they're extremely fit team and they have a lot of grit and determination to them in addition to the all the boundless um quality that they have as well as well as great coaching obviously so i think that this matchup i think these two teams dovetail against each other really well and then i think he can go either way really because of i think what each team does well goes against the other teams weakness so i think that we could see this game going either way yeah you spoke about mona and you gave us a lot of the good qualities of the team any area as they get ready for this big final on the weekend that you can pinpoint at the top of your head that they need to improve on very quickly um i think i think i would they would they're probably a transition defense you know the the player very open style and against heidel a team that is not shy about getting the ball from back to front really quickly with balls over the top so i think that would be their weakness and of course temperament as well they're a very aggressive team they feed off emotion a lot and i think that if they're in a situation and they're leading or they're behind that i don't want it to be a case where they'll lose discipline whether tactically or just in general play so i think that would be their weakness but i'm hoping that that will be in check for the game on friday yeah craig has been somebody that has been in the headlines where football is concerned and phoenix academy leger a win for mona come this weekend what will it mean for this phoenix academy well you know i'm actually really glad you asked that question because i know i have friends that have been in phoenix academy or were in phoenix academy from the leon bailey days coming up so i and i've known about the phoenix academy all this time and you know throughout the years people always said because you know craig isn't a very popular person in jamaican football circles he knows that everyone knows that as well isn't a very loved person yeah he is very popular he was one of the persons when i just moved to jamaica i heard a lot about yeah but for good reason i know he produced one of the the greatest exports in jamaican football history and you know people instead of giving him credit for that people like to use that with a stick to beat him with you know saying you're only produce leon bailey you've never been able to win any titles in the unders level since he said that he can create all of these players why not performing at unders level or schoolboy level well now he's coming to schoolboy football and in only his third season at a team that never made the semifinals before he accomplished that a team that never made the final before he accomplished that and he accomplished that not only just by taking up some great players it's players that are in his academy all of these players play the craig butler way so i think every all of the credit has to go to craig butler because of what he's been able to develop the culture tactically and enough to feel how these players behave as well so i think win or lose on friday all the credit has to go to him just because of what he's done with his program and generally what he's done for football in jamaica yeah quick one how badly will mona want to avoid a penalty shootout on friday well i mean the the miss what three or four penalties three or four in a row yeah so that well the thing is with mona players and i know that they they won't show that they're lacking confidence but if you have several players missing penalties naturally it's going to be on your psyche so i think they'll want to avoid it especially because heidel has won a penalty shootout already just to even get into the final so they'll want to avoid that but our feeling is going to be a high scoring game i'm not sure if it's going to go to final if a penalty shootout in 25 seconds the j jamaica college versus san angio technical jc won three manning cop finals against them 2017 19 and 2022 it's the walker cup this time can stats turn it around i know they would love to i heard a lot of stats fans and even some people who are close to the team saying that they are most glad that jamaica college went into the walker cup with them so they could beat them this time well i'm not going to give a outright prediction for the manning cop final because i'm unsure right now but for the walker cup the prediction guru is here guys and i'm going to say that jamaica college will bring on their fourth walker cup title on friday early you can watch that sports max you can go to the stadium or you can do both of them can catch it by the way you can watch it on sports max to be specific it starts with a pre-game show at 230 so this prediction guru is a convenient one he decides when he wants to make a prediction and by the way you want to predict the manning cop final too i want you to predict everything that's what the guru does and tell me and by the way ladies and gentlemen while i give him a second to think about his prediction he got the champions cup wrong um because he said clarin and college um and he got he said clarin and college would win everything so there you go he got that wrong but anyhow it's your time i'm going to go to mona i think they'll come from behind i'm giving you the extra points i think they'll need it i think mona will come from behind win the manning cop and i think jamaica college by hooker by crook will win the walker cup those are my predictions from thank you so much you know yeah hooker crook a most jamaican term right across the caribbean wherever you are stay with us on the other side of this break