it. We are finally here. It is the 2021 NFL Draft and it's shaping up to be a big one with all the buzz that's been going around for today. Twitter, a glow throughout the entire day, which normally mean great things for tonight's draft. So let's settle in, get set and enjoy, which should be a fun night. Welcome here to the Fandal YouTube, Twitch, Facebook and Twitter pages. My name is Jim Sonnis. I am a senior writer and analyst for numberfire.com joined here by three fantastic analysts here to break down the draft for you. You're on the YouTube, Twitch, Facebook and Twitter pages of Fandal throughout this entire draft. Both today and tomorrow we'll be breaking down the DFS, betting and season long implications of the NFL draft, hopefully giving you some good actionable takeaways as you try to allocate money in the coming months. We're also giving away an NFL jersey to get entered for the NFL jersey of your choice. Go to YouTube. YouTube and the Fandal video is the name of the page there. Go to the description and check it out there. There is a King sumo link in the description. You can go there, get yourself entered for an NFL jersey of your choosing. Let's meet our analysts now starting off with the newest analyst at numberfire and Fandal. That is Ryan Williams. You can find him on Twitter at Ryan Alexander underscore W Ryan. What's up man? Welcome to numberfire. How's it going? What's going on fellas? I'm happy to be here. It's been a long time waiting, I guess. I was able to go on vacation before starting. That's awesome. No, it's awesome. I mean, this is like Christmas for fantasy guys, right? Getting into the draft, seeing these landing spots. So what better way to start off than with this show right here? Absolutely. And because our audience does not know you, but Bethany Peters on YouTube already saying her new favorite analyst, Ryan. So you've already got fans in the crowd here. That's great. But Ryan, introduce yourself to the audience. You know, what's your background? Where are you coming from? And what are you specializing in when it comes to this this NFL draft live stream? For sure. For sure. Yeah.  It's nice to be not in the driver's seat. That's usually what I do. I've been doing fantasy for years now, it seems like, but for the past five, six years, I've been with the Fantasy Authority doing DFS stuff for them and hosting that show, the Degenation Pod. So happy to be here doing DFS and best ball with the draft here tonight and hopefully chopping it up and winning people some money throughout the year with Fandals. So that's great here in Chicago. I'm curious to see what the Bears do if they keep the number 20 pick or trade up or trade back or just let people get fired tonight. I mean, we'll see what happens. So it's never a dull moment here in Chicago. But yeah, happy to be here with you guys, Jim, Brandon, JJ, let's ride, man. So Ryan, I asked you before, are you excited or afraid? What's the sentiment for a Bear's Fan on draft night? Jim, you just got to put me on the spot, man. The sentiment is always anxious, right? You never know what's going to happen, especially in the Ryan Pace era. I mean, who are we going to get? We're going to get Ryan or Kevin White. We're going to get Roe Kwan. We're going to trade up for Mitchell Javisky. I mean, it's nice to not be in that quarterback controversy this year. Let somebody else deal with it. Let San Fran deal with it. That's nice.  Low expectations, the best thing in NFL draft or in NFL franchise could possibly have. So make sure you follow Ryan on Twitter at Ryan Alexander underscore W. Also joined here by JJ Zachary, editor-in-chief of Number Fire and Fandle. And JJ, Ryan mentioned Kevin White's fun guy to bring up because you've been doing it. You've been researching a lot about guys who are not early declares and all that. I'm sure you're glad to stop thinking about that. Stop thinking about BMI and finally get this draft underway. Yeah, man. I want to see where these wide receivers end up going. It's a pretty interesting class overall. It's kind of deep like last year's class, I would say, but it's not the same kind of wide receivers that you're getting. So I think that you can make the argument that it's not that deep because there are a lot of smaller slot guys and those are more replaceable than the Alpha types that we saw last year, but there are some good wide receivers, especially at the top of the draft. So it's going to be a lot of fun to see where these guys finally land after analyzing their high school profiles, essentially, going all the way back there over the last couple of months. Hey, we have another Chicago one in the YouTube chat. It says, very afraid. So afraid versus excited. We've got, I think, two for afraid as of right now. Let's go to Brandon Gedula, managing editor of numberfire.com. My co-host on the heat check fantasy podcast, talking DFS and Brandon today. We got some dueling wind total projection. So are you prepared to lose this head to head for our wind total projections here? Uh, it's funny you phrase it that way, because the hat I'm wearing, I won off of you in a bet. Nice. I have no comeback. How are you doing tonight? I'm good. You know, there's a lot of ways to cover the NFL draft and growing up, what we had access to, what I had access to was film coverage. If it was like an offensive lineman or a linebacker, you'd see some tackles or some blocks with the highlight funnel. I got bored, but I'm excited to talk wind totals, fantasy projections, DFS angles. That's what I'm most interested in. That's why we're doing this. So I think that we got a lot of good information coming for those of us more interested in the fantasy angles than the hip swivels and things like that. Does that mean you were not grinding the Dylan Raiden's tape that I had asked you to watch? Did that not happen? I don't grind the tape. Okay. Well, we'll get back to this and we'll have some words for sure. Now, the NFL draft obviously very impactful because we're playing fantasy. We're playing DFS and we want to know who's going to produce in the NFL. And JJ, you've done a lot of research on this and the importance of draft capital. What does it mean for a player's fantasy outlook? What happens tonight here in the first round? Yeah. I mean, look, so draft capital, I have a model. I prospect running backs and wide receivers in this model and draft capital is a big input in that model. So at the running back position, it's more important than it is that the wide receiver position draft capital is. And I think that you can think of that sort of intuitively where a running back that gets drafted early, let's say in the first round, a team is going to throw him on the field ASAP and want him to get a lot of touches, et cetera, et cetera. And volume is much more driven at the running back position via coaching decision than it is actual talent. That's just the fact of the matter. I'm not saying that the guys who are getting a lot of volume in the NFL level at running back aren't talented. It's just that if a wide receiver is getting a target, it's more earned than a running back, seeing a touch on the ground, because a wide receiver has to actually get open in order for the quarterback to throw him the ball. So draft capital matters more at the running back position than it does a wide receiver, still matters a wide receiver. But just to give you an example though, since 2011, so after over the last decade, we've had 14 running backs drafted in round one. The average attempts for those running backs in year one, so as rookies, has been over 205. And that's with players who get injured, not playing a full 16 game schedule, now obviously 17 game. So yeah, draft capital matters a lot, especially at the running back position. So the guys that are going tonight, and we're going to be live tonight and tomorrow night, there's going to be one player in particular, Cadarius Tony, who profiles to be not very good analytically. And I'll go over all that when he gets drafted, but a guy like him who doesn't profile that well, but teams seem to like him. Film scouts who watch more film than I do seem to like him a lot. And he's athletic and he has that dynamic, but he's just an awful route runner and didn't have a good analytical and prospect profile. But if he goes in the first round, then you have this dilemma where you're staring at someone who has that draft capital, who you know first round wide receiver should do something, but then has this horrible analytical profiles. There's some dissonance that you have to figure out from a fantasy standpoint, but overall draft capital matters, matters a lot more running back and does that at wide receiver, but it matters for all players. And we have to put our opinions aside at some point, which is unfortunate because some of us still cling to those Marcus Mariota priors, not naming names. And it's definitely not me. I want to talk to you, Brandon, because you wrote a piece for Number Fire last week talking about the impact from an expected points perspective that guys can have right away when they are taken early on the draft. And both, I believe your win total projection model and mine rely on projecting net expected points. At least mine does. I don't know about yours, but what kind of impact can we see? Which positions drafted early on have the biggest impact and what's the overall impact we can expect from these first rounders as far as efficiency goes? Yeah. So my Sims are partially based in net expected points. That's where my subjective analysis comes in trying to project each offensive and defensive unit. But I also regress things like Super Bowl odds and win totals to try to get like a consensus vibe. That way it's not just all what I think is going to happen. So I feel I kind of check myself there. But yes, net expected points, which is Number Fire's expected points model, there are numerous expected points models out there nowadays. But I wanted to see, should I be overreacting? Should I be reacting heavily to what we see tonight in tomorrow and like these early round picks? And it was a high level approach when I looked into stuff. You know, yeah, if there's a complete overhaul, you would want to approach things a little bit differently. But those are pretty rare to see a team be completely, you know, indistinguishable from what they were a year ago. And I didn't really want to find like outliers and make excuses, but just kind of see overall trends. And realistically, what I found was, it's not a whole lot of reason to react to early picks. Surprisingly, teams that took running backs early in rounds one through three did improve their offensive efficiency, which kind of goes against what we say in the analytics department. But it makes sense because if you look back, teams that generally are taking running backs, A, yes, there are some running backs who make a difference. And that's, I don't think anyone really in the analytics universe is saying no running back can make any difference at all. So it's either the game changers or teams in good spots. And so they see their offense improved. But realistically, what we see is in this something similar to what you found years ago, teams that got banned from Dallas Cowboys Reddit for this. So they're subreddit for this. Teams that take offensive linemen generally see boost 60% of teams that took an offensive linemen in the first three rounds saw their year over year offensive efficiency improve. Now quarterbacks, it's kind of a coin flip whether you're going to improve or not. But it's one thing, teams that are taking quarterbacks early probably had a bad offense the year before. So you can kind of improve there. Surprisingly wide receivers though, and this is kind of a big one because there are going to be a lot of big name receivers taken early. They kind of don't really make a big impact in year one based on the whole, like the high level offense. And as far as defense goes, kind of forget about that. So I'm not going to overreact to too much of what we see updating my win simulations. You can keep the level head. I will overreact. That is okay by me. Now, Ryan, I want to go to you here because there are a lot of big storylines that we're going to be watching throughout this draft. See where players go. But if you had to pick one storyline that you're really focusing on honing in on for this draft, what stands out to you for tonight? Oh gosh, again, put me on the spot.  I mean, you're looking at that team that has a ton of weapons and talent around them. And like thinking about Mac Jones going there is just disgusting for fantasy purposes, like that does not make me excited about Brandon Ayuk, who was an awesome rookie rod receiver last year coming onto the scene, does not make me excited about George Kittle. And I just can't, I just can't believe, I just refuse to believe that that is the pick that they traded up for. And it changes the whole state of everything, right? What they do with their number three pick that they traded up for to get. So it's kind of, I guess, in the DFS community, we call that chalk. Like, I guess that's kind of a chalk answer. But it really is what it comes down to is what the 49ers do at number three. Well, that is my big thing I want to see tonight too. I want to see where the quarterbacks go because when you look at quarterbacks who succeed and quarterbacks who fail, it's often like it has nothing to do with their talent. A lot of times it's based on the circumstances they enter. Like I have no idea if David Carr ever would have a good quarterback because the circumstances around him were so terrible back in the day. It does matter a lot. And whatever quarterback goes to San Francisco is probably going to succeed because I have my offensive line rankings are very rudimentary and they're not finished yet. But I want to have something to talk about here. And San Francisco number one right now, an offensive line based on the rankings that I have here. Again, rudimentary, they'll update as things go along, but they're the number one offensive line. George Kittle, Debo Samuel, Brandon Iuk, that's a good supporting cast to have. So they'll be the number three overall pick with good surroundings. No matter who goes there, you boost your view with them because they have a good situation. But there are also other good situations in this draft, like maybe the Denver Broncos take a quarterback. Maybe they don't because they're trading for Aaron Rogers after June 1st. I don't really know the way things will work, but landing spot matters so much for quarterback. That's what I want to see tonight, where these quarterbacks wind up, because not just for like, you know, betting, you know, trying to decide who will be good there, but also for like Dynasty, if Justin Fields goes third overall, which probably won't happen. But if he goes third to the 49ers, I think he's the 1.01 in Superflex Dynasty League. So there are a lot of things that will change here based on where these quarterbacks go for tonight. It looks like they are getting the draft underway. No pick as of yet, but Joe Thomas on the screen, we can all appreciate that for sure. JJ, what are you keeping your eye on for this draft here tonight?  And there's, you know, a lot of evidence and I've written content around it and done studies on it of running backs really not mattering much in real football, as they do in fantasy football or as much as they do. But I am interested in this particular class and the situation right now across the league, because there are a lot of teams that don't have true bell cow backs across the league. And then on top of that, you have a running back draft class that's really thin. You really have three, you know, true bell cows coming out that we can feel fairly confident in with Najee Harris, Travis Etienne and Givante Williams. And so what I think could end up happening is we're going to see teams potentially reach a little bit for that position in fear that they're not going to get one of the big, one of the big three, you know, even though, you know, whether that's smart, whether that's not smart, that's not what I'm debating here. I just think that people see a supply and demand issue. And look, those three running backs are good running backs. They would be right there in the conversation with some of the top guys last year, like a DeAndre Swift or, you know, cam makers, etc. But at the same time, you know, do you, should you be spending a premium pick on them? I don't know. But I do think that, you know, there are teams tonight that we're going to see potentially take one, you know, we'll be talking about them while they're on the clock that they could hypothetically take one. I think there's one in particular that likely will. But I think a lot of it is probably driven by the supply and demand issue of this running back draft class. Yeah. And that is an issue because that could inspire teams to take that running back early knowing that the falloff occurs after that third player potentially Givante Williams or others. So that could be a motivator there. Jaguars are on the clock. But Brandon, I want to get quickly. What's the thing you're watching for tonight? The big takeaway for you? The big thing you're monitoring for this draft? I think pretty much everyone touched on it to some degree. But it's really because I'm coming at this mostly from like a betting and daily fantasy angle, not even a dynasty angle or anything like that. It's basically where the quarterbacks go, which teams get quarterbacks, what the fit is. Because again, that you can probably do a pretty good job of projecting team efficiency based on who your quarterback is and just team expectations, things like that. I'm not saying that's the only thing that you would consider, but we'll learn a lot. But realistically, it's kind of does a quarterback fall to a team that's in a better spot or has a lot of weapons like Denver? I know there's a lot of rumors about Denver and quarterbacks right now. But if New England trades up, I think that's going to tell us a lot. So realistically, it was just mostly trying to figure out where these quarterbacks go, what the fit is, because that's going to have a lot of impact each and every week for daily fantasy purposes, but also trying to project out team-wide efficiency for some wind simulations. All right. So we have eight minutes left before the Jaguars are done on the clock. So I do want to get our first round bets in based on the ads of Fandall Sportsbook. These were as of 7 o'clock tonight. I believe things are closed now. I mean, fresh here because I think they're closed during the draft. I guess they're still open right now, at least for some of them. So Brandon, you had one bet to make based on the odds of Fandall Sportsbook. What was the favorite prop to you? Trevor Lawrence, number one overall. Why do we let you be here? I went with the Eagles to take their first position that they draft to be a wide receiver. That's plus 155 on Fandall Sportsbook. I think it makes a lot of sense for just a lot of reasons, the picking 12. It's firmly in the range where one of the big three being Jamar Chase, DeMonte Smith, and Jalen Waddle probably not Chase. I'm aware of that, but one of the big three could be there, depending on how things go. I've seen that pretty frequently in the mocks, but Philadelphia was 27th in reception at expected points generated by their receivers last year, 24th in the percentage of expected points coming from the receiver. So just kind of low all over. And I've heard this like a thousand times already, but they passed on Justin Jefferson last year. If anyone didn't know, the Philly fans are, they won a receiver. So I think that just makes a lot of sense. We're getting some pretty solid odds without it being completely off the radar. Yeah. I think that one makes a lot of sense for sure. Picking 12. So we'll see if the Giants decide to take that pick off the board at the NFC East rivals there, but I think that one does make sense too. See what Jalen Hurts has and you can't do that with the supporting casts they have right now. What about you, Ryan? What's your favorite bet based on the odds of Daniel Sportsbook? Yeah. Well, if I'm going to start with the San Francisco team and what they're dictating everything, let's just go with the exacto, right? Shout out to the Kentucky Derby that's coming up. Four in a row going on. So yeah, I saw that to get the exact four picks to start it off, Trevor Lawrence, Zach Wilson, Trey Lance and Kyle Pitts plus 230. I just said, why not? I think Trey Lance just fits that system and scheme of what the 49ers want to do and can do with the weapons there.  And I have to believe that they want some type of mobile quarterback to fit in that system there in San Fran. And then Kyle Pitts to Atlanta, that's all the talk that it's been. They're going to keep that pick and take them. So that seemed like a surefire one if I could get number three, right? Yeah. If we look at the mock drafts from Daniel Jeremiah, Mel Kuiper Jr. and Todd McShea, two out of the three, have you winning that exacto? So if you get plus 230 odds in that, sounds pretty good to me. JJ, what is your bet for this first round of the draft? Yeah, you know, I was going to go with over four and a half wide receivers taken, but the juice changed on that one a little bit.  And then I think that you could look at, you know, Rashad Bateman, Elijah Moore, Kaderious Tony, even like Rondale Moore could hypothetically slip. I don't think Tarris Marshall is going to be in the first round anymore because of his medicals. But regardless, I was going to go in that direction, but the juice isn't big enough. I'm going to go with what I was just talking about the running back position. And I'm going to pick Pittsburgh to take a running back at plus 125. You know, if you look at what's ahead of the Steelers in this draft, because I do think Najee Harris, you know, ends up being that pick. And I think he's going to be the first running back off the board. You know, a lot of people, you know, if you look ahead of them, you know, you look at like Miami, Miami is probably the one team that, which by the way, if you guys recall last last year on this live stream, I became, I became a Miami Dolphins fan last year on the show. So, but the Steelers, my hometown team, if you will, I don't really, I'm not as much of a fan as I used to be because I can't, but the Steelers, you know, if you look at Pittsburgh media and you listen to Pittsburgh media, everyone's talking about them getting Najee. If you listen to Kevin Colbert, their GM, he basically said this past week that he doesn't care much about positional value.  But I mean, that's, that's the way that they're thinking, you know, the way, the way that they go about their, I was why I was listening to this, the way they go about their board is that they don't pay attention to mock drafts. They don't pay attention to what's going on around them or anything. They literally are just ranking players. And so, you know, if you're going to throw away a positional value in that, that layer, you know, with your, with your player evaluation, and you're just going with the best players, Najee Harris is a really good prospect as a running back. And if you're not going to pay attention to the positional value aspect of things, then it's very easy to see a team like Pittsburgh, who has Benny Snell basically leading the depth chart right now, taking Najee Harris in the first round, despite the fact that they have probably the worst, if not one of the worst offensive lines in the league. So I do think Pittsburgh ends up going running back and to get back to the Miami thing, you know, there, Miami's a very analytically driven front office now and analytically driven front offices don't usually go in that running back direction. I do think they're going to add a running back at some point in this draft, but I would be even though they have a couple of first round picks, I would still be somewhat surprised if they get a running back at what 18 overall. Yeah. So JD, you were talking about how the Dolphins became our team last year. And that was partially because they picked, they made smart picks. I think the smart pick for them is my bet for this year's draft, that they will take an offensive lineman first at plus 340. That's a prime position to potentially get Panay Suwel. We saw Jamar Chase wearing the Cincinnati Bengals, you know, shoes on the red carpet, potentially he's going to Cincinnati. And if he does, that would likely leave Suwel as being the top guy left on the board from Miami. They took three offensive linemen last year, but that offensive linemen still not fixed. They've already said they're moving Robert Hunt to right guard. They have Austin Jackson to left tackle, but there is an opening at right tackle. We just saw them trade Eric Flowers as well. They've got needs on the offensive line. We talk a lot about getting skill position guys for Tuoh, but like Mike Kosicki, Will Fuller, Devonte Parker, not a bad trio. If you can add Panay Suwel to that group as, you know, right tackle, left tackle, whatever it may be, that's a pretty, uh, pretty salty little pairing there. So I think the Dolphins go offensive line. That's plus 340 if annual sportsbook. Those are our bets. And we'll see how things break during this first round. The other thing too. Sorry, I was just going to say, Brandon was going to make some sort of sarcastic comment. I'm sure that's what Brandon does. But here's the other thing to that bet, Jim, that I like. Number one, you're getting pretty good juice on it. But number two, I do think that Miami traded to six with Jamar Chase and Kyle Pitts in mind. And those guys are likely, you know, what we just talked about are likely not going to be there. I mean, seems like Kyle Pitts is going to go for if Atlanta doesn't trade back. And it seems like Jamar Chase.  So like, sounds like Jamar Chase is likely going to Cincinnati. And if they don't, you know, if those were their targets, then it makes sense that they pivot a little bit if they do stay at six and go offensive line, because, you know, maybe they're not as in love with the with the Jalen Waddle or Devonte Smith. Yeah, I think that they seem to run things efficiently. And I think the smart move here would be to go offensive line, especially when it's a guy as solid as Panaceo. Well, definitely in favor of that. In YouTube, Ryan, my dad says you beat me for best beard. So I just I'm taking loss after loss on this show. I can't take that. I can't dig myself out of this hole. Jason asked any ideas why there seems to be a lot of shade for Justin Fields relative to other quarterbacks among media perceptions of the draft. I think that for me, it's confusing. I think that if I were to look at Justin Fields profile, the one red flag you could say is that he did have a high sack rate in college. But part of that's because Ohio said a lot of COVID issues this year, they're missing for their top six offensive linemen, I think Michigan State or the Penn State game. That could be the one red flag. I don't know if that's the reason why people are talking down to Justin Fields, but it's confusing is what I'd say. All right, the pick is in for the Jacksonville Jaguars for the first pick in this draft. Let's get this thing popping. Oh, they went Trevor Lawrence. Who could have possibly anticipated this? Trevor Lawrence going first overall to the Jackson Jaguars.  What do they say about the Jaguars in year one under Trevor Lawrence Durbin Mayer? All right. So they're over under on FoxBet is six and a half winds. I have them at 5.4 winds. I think there's a lot to be worried about still. And again, looking back at historically what we get from rookie quarterbacks, it's not a big hit rate of performing above the NFL average in year one. Realistically, we're looking at maybe top 20 efficiency. That's not enough to project a team. When you account for their schedule, just kind of simulating out the season thousands of times. I don't have them as a very strong team. So I don't know what you have. I feel like my gut is that you are high on what he's going to do and that he's going to revolutionize the offense. Precedent is a little bit more temper than those expectations. You said 5.4. I have 5.3. So we are 0.1 winds off in our projections for the Jaguars. It's for the same reasons like that offensive line is not hideous. They have usable players at each position. It's not a standout offensive line. I don't think they're past catching you. Even with Marvin Jones being there, I don't think it's like a standout type thing. So I am skeptical that they have a lot of success in year one. And that's not because of Lawrence, like you said. I mean, his statistical profile is amazing. He is young. He's efficient. He's experienced. That's the big three for a first round quarterback. He checks every box there. He's athletic. I think that there are a lot of the reasons to like him. But this Jaguars team has a lot of work to do. So I think, I don't know if I'm betting the under and six and a half, but I'm not betting the over. That's the way I'm doing that right now. But JJ, I know you have your projections cooked up for this year. And I believe you had Lawrence already in there. What do they say about Trevor Lawrence's fantasy outlook for year one? Yes, I'll be doing projections while these skill position players are drafted. So I won't have them this quickly probably throughout the night. But I already had Trevor Lawrence in there because we knew that he was going to go first overall. Now, keep in mind, the one thing that's kind of obnoxious while building projections this year is that there's a 17 game schedule. Whereas, historically, we've projected for 16 games. So some of these numbers sound a lot more insane than they actually are. So I'll give you a points per game at the end. But right now I have Trevor Lawrence for 43, 56 passing yards, 27 touchdowns, 27.2 touchdowns, 264 rushing yards, 1.4 rushing touchdowns, 14.4 interceptions. And that again, just to give you a little more context of what that all means, that's 17 fantasy points per game, which is not bad. It brings him to QB 15 right now in my projections. So I do think because the rushing element that he can bring and a lot of the quarterback rushing touchdown projections are going to be conservative just the way that I build projections generally. So they're going to be, I mean, you could easily see Trevor Lawrence with three or four or five touchdowns this year. It wouldn't be shocking at all. And so I think that he's actually not a terrible late round quarterback target because he does bring that rushing element a la and Andrew Luck and what Andrew Luck was able to do. And projection wise, he still comes out as QB 15. So I'm actually fairly high on him this year. QB 15 may sound pessimistic, but when you're not like a heavy rushing quarterback, you're a rookie, that's actually, that's, I was not shocked, but I was surprised at how high he was in those projections. Yeah, absolutely. All right. So we have three minutes and 30 seconds left for the jets with the second overall picks. So Ryan, I do want to go to you. We have Trevor Lawrence now in Jacksonville, DJ Chark is there. We've got Marvin Jones, James Robinson, tentatively the number one running back. How do you feel about this team from a DFS perspective now that they have Trevor Lawrence as their quarterback? Yeah. So the nice thing about DFS is that the wind models don't matter. Like the worst the team is the better it is for DFS when they have a competent quarterback. And you're looking at Jacksonville and like, yeah, they got weapons. They just, you know, got LaVisca Chanel last year, who I think is actually going to be good in this offense with Trevor Lawrence because a lot is made. I'm looking at watching NFL Network, their stream here and a lot's been made of his deep past and his deep balls because those have been great throughout his career, but he actually had like a nine adot in targets, like very shallow. So that's right up LaVisca's wheelhouse. I think Urban Meyer is going to try and garner touches to get him. And he should be good. He's going like real late in best ball. So I was actually looking to see where exactly that was. I had it up because he's going to be a target for me, but I definitely think, yeah, this offense is going to be one to target. I think Trevor Lawrence will definitely help keep them in games, keep them competitive. And that's definitely what you like to see from the wide receiver standpoint. Now, not sure with James Robinson what that's going to mean for him, so to speak, but yet to be seen. And that could be wills up for him, too, if they don't go out and get him somebody to compete with. Yeah. The good thing for him is if they can be more efficient, they'll generate more touchdowns. And I think that that's a positive for all running backs. The fun thing too with LaVisca is that Urban Meyer is the guy who coached Percy Harvin in college. He post he coached Curtis Samuel in college. He can have some fun with guys who have a unique skill set. So if we're going to get anyone to get LaVisca to take off, I think Urban Meyer might be that guy. All right. The pick is in for the New York Jets, and it seems likely this will wind up being Zach Wilson. I mean, like the props on this one were just absurd across board. I think it was minus 5,000 or so to close. All three of the Daniel Jeremiah, Mel Kuiper, Jr. and Todd McShea, final Mock Drass, did have Zach Wilson going to the New York Jets. My personal win total projection number does already have Wilson in there under the assumption he would be the pick. They're at 5.7 wins. Now, they have Corey Davis there. That helped quite a bit. Also, Carl Lawson helped them out. It's not the best situation yet. It's not the worst. They're kind of similar to Jacksonville because the offensive line, I know it gets ragged on a lot, but right now they're projected to have continuity along the offensive line. That matters quite a bit. They don't have any glaring holes along the offensive line. They could definitely improve it with the 23rd pick, and I'd love them to do that, but no massive holes there as of right now. Roger Goodell walking over the podium to announce the second overall pick. While he does that, make sure you get yourself entered into the drawing for the NFL jersey of your choice. That is the King Asumo link in the YouTube description. Goodell announcing the pick right now, and it is indeed Zach Wilson going second overall to the New York Jets. Like I said, 5.7 wins my projection for the Jets this year. It's not very high, but again, a lot of issues to work out there for sure. Ryan, I actually want to stick with you because I think this team, I lost a lot of money on them in DFS this year trying to chase the Denzel Mims empty targets didn't go so hot, but now they got Zach Wilson, Corey Davis is there. Do you have a height of opinion of Zach Wilson to think that Corey Davis and Denzel Mims can be DFS relevant right away? Or are you going to be approaching this offense conservatively? I'll definitely approach conservatively, but you have to look at the situation last year with the quarterbacks that Sam Darno did not play a full 16. They were bringing in Joe Flacco who just looked dead. I mean, couldn't move the ball at all. So even with that Denzel Mims was showing some flashes. I had him in a couple like dynasty leagues. I ended up trading him in one and regretting that immediately after I did so because I do think he's an all-world talent. But you're looking at a guy like Corey Davis coming in too who was the wide receiver 30 in PPR last year. I mean, really took on a resurgence there and Tana Hill is not like the all-world passer that we know, very conservative, very just efficient with his passes. So if those guys can be explosive for him and a guy like Jameson Crowder too, you're thinking about who, when Sam Darno was a rookie, Sam Darno leaned on him as well too. So, and they don't have any running back situation to really go home to at this point in time right now. My Michael P. or I in dynasty shares would like for that to be incorrect. I should say share because shares would be very, very conservative for multiple reasons. That's very scary. No, so you're thinking about that situation there bringing in guys like Tevin Coleman, I believe, and then only having Ty Johnson. So they really could be in a situation where they're passing a lot too with that division getting a lot better, see what the Patriots do. So definitely like getting some shares of the wide receivers in this offense with that pick. We got the Zach Wilson Jersey swap on the screen, looking good, looking swaggy, looking very young. Yeah, looking like my son. Like we talk about like skincare routines. I feel like he needs to like go the opposite way, like have worse skin care regimen. So he looks like he's older than 12. We'll work on that, Zach. Working in New York, we'll probably do that all for him. Brandon, I want to go to you quick. What is your wind tunnel projection say for the jets this year? So FoxBed has them at six and a half. They came out 6.3 for me hitting the over and 57% of the simulation. So not really anything amazing, but it's a fair number. Again, it like JJ mentioned with the 17 game season for fantasy projections, you got to think like in eight win seasons, not like an eight and a half win season. So it's a little bit different, especially for these teams kind of on the lower end where that's a big jump in a win to get seven wins compared to six. So not really anything that I would chase, but definitely not the worst line. Yeah, for sure. JJ, Corey Davis is there. We got Denzel Minz there as well. Can you feel okay about them in this new offense under Zach Wilson? I mean, I think longer term you're going to feel better. I still have some fear about year one that I'm going to have that same fear with basically any quarterback prospect that's not Trevor Lawrence. So I play it more conservatively. My projection for Zach Wilson right now is like 37, 31 yards, 24 passing touchdowns, 170 rushing yards. He doesn't have the rushing ability quite like a Trevor Lawrence does. One rushing touchdown, 14.6 interceptions is QB 29 right now. And that's really, I mean, that's just how projections work out with this much ambiguity and a rookie quarterback who doesn't necessarily have the mobile ability that we're going to see from a Justin Fields or a Trey Lance. It's just hard to really buy into him right now in year one in redraft as a dude that you want to target in fantasy football. Best ball, maybe you want to get him as like a QB three if you go with the three quarterback build. But yeah, he's not someone I'm really looking for here in year one. I like him in dynasty, though. Jim, you did great work on obviously your quarterback stuff and all the stuff that you look at points to him being a pretty good prospect. So I'm into him longer term and I think that he has a great ceiling with his arm. But I do think there's going to be some growing pains in year one, especially with a lot of just moving parts in that Jets offense. Yeah. So what you're referencing is I look at quarterbacks based on the analytics behind them, the numbers behind them. And what you want to look for is like we said with Trevor Lawrence, young, experienced and efficient and Zach Wilson, not experienced 27 games with 10 plus pass attempts in college, but would have gotten there if not for injuries during his sophomore year. I think we can say, you know, reasonably experienced two and a half years as a starting quarterback at a decent college. And we talk about the schedule a lot. It was it was very easy. It was it was an easy schedule. However, quarterbacks of the easy schedules who go in the first round are just as likely to succeed as guys with tough schedules based on what's happened in the past. And also when he did play tougher competition, he measured up well. He had a 10.8 adjust yards per 10th and they faced top 50 defenses by SP plus. So he played well. That's the actually as of now the seventh best mark of all drafted quarterbacks since 2010. But he might be moved down because the 49ers are on the clock now with pick number three. All right. I'm going to ask you all who you got final moment of truth here going third overall at the 49ers. Ryan, are you sticking with Tre Lantz? Yeah, I'm going to stick with Tre Lantz. I was going to ask if I could take the field against Matt Jones because I would love that. But stick with stick with Lance. All right. Ryan's got Tre Lantz JJ gut call. Who is it at pick three? I'm going to go with Tre Lantz as well. I just I have a really hard time thinking a team gave up that much equity to get. Look, I think Matt Jones is fine. I think that he's going to have he can have a Kirk cousins like career, but it's hard for me to see that ceiling giving up that much for that, you know, for that kind of ceiling. And Tre Lantz has the ceiling. There's no doubt about that. So I'm going to go with Tre Lantz. Brandon, who you got third pick? Tre Lantz. I think it's just everything's pointing to it. The line movement. I agree with what JJ said and what Ryan said. I think it's it's just inevitable. Yeah. The third overall pick. It was plus 370 at the time at the time we recorded covering the spread our betting podcast yesterday. It was like plus 200 this morning and was minus 130 when I was looking or minus 160 this afternoon. So it moved a lot in favor of Tre Lantz.  That's going to happen all night long, baby.  We're going to also see if Ryan's trifecta stays alive here with the first year two for two so far. I'm sure there's a lot of suspense between those two. We'll see if you can stay alive here. And I'm anxious. Are you guys like nervous right now? I'm nervous about this.  I just I need to I need to chill for a sec. Yeah. I mean like Tre Lantz. I think the way the way to analyze him is that it's like a cone. It's a range of outcomes. And if we're talking like Mac Jones, the range of outcomes is here. Tre Lantz, yeah, it's off the screen. Whoops. Tre Lantz, the range of outcomes is here. But that means you get this into the range of outcomes. The top end is really good. And who's drafting for floor like that at the quarterback position? You should never draft for floor because no quarterback has a good floor. Yeah, right. Exactly. It just doesn't exist. All right. Here we go, boys. All right. Pick is it for the 49ers at the third overall pick. I bet Ryan's happy. That's what I'm going to say. I bet Ryan's happy. This is this is my thought. It is Tre Lantz. Tre Lantz goes third overall. So Ryan, three for three. How you feeling based on those first three picks? Listen, now this is what will happen.  She's like, why do you play him in DFS?  But so now the Atlanta will come up and they have a new regime. So they'll do something to mess it up. But no, speaking of Tre Lantz love this. I mean, this is this is just what it should should be. He's he just fits the profile. He fits what Shanahan and Co want to do there in San Fran. This makes a ton of sense. Mobile quarterback, you're looking at the numbers that he had. It's awesome. I saw that there were some comparisons that he's taste some hill with an arm. It's just going to be awesome. It's going to be awesome to see this offense kind of explode with a quarterback of his caliber. And this is absolutely wills up for this entire offense. I mean, George Kittle, Debo, Ayuk, you get you love to see it. So I'm very excited that this is the pick. And I just can't wait to have a conversation when this is all said and done about what it means to have, you know, three weeks going into the pick, everybody saying that it's going to be Mac Jones and people being sure and so much fodder on Twitter that it is the pick. And then we get to the the night and, you know, they were playing us. Yeah. I think it's hilarious personally. Like I feel bad for people who like because the people who were talking about it are reliable people. Daniel Jeremiah, Adam Schefter, Adam Schefter is the best in the business. Like so much respect for what he does. And I mean, it's very possible it just changed and people, you know, made their their bets based on relying on those guys. I've done the same thing. I believe in Adam Schefter wholeheartedly and it didn't work out. So a tough outcome there.  That was the same thing as Josh Allen. The thing you love about Trey Lance though is even though he has those those traits that Josh Allen had, he was actually good in college and Josh Allen wasn't. So that's a fun differentiator obviously is at the FCS level, but a lot of that production came in the postseason. He was used to playing good teams North Dakota State. They're not just I mean, they're they're the best team, but like the same thing as Alabama. So I think that Trey Lance a wide range of outcomes, but high ceiling. And that's what JJ said wholeheartedly agree with that. Excited to see what he does in San Francisco. But now JJ how we rank in Trey Lance in Superflex Dynasty because he goes to San Francisco. However, there is a very real possibility he doesn't start in year one. So how we feeling Superflex Dynasty drafts with Trey Lance? Yeah. So speaking of which, you know, that ambiguity with us not knowing if he's going to play year one or not, I don't know how you really build that honestly into a projection at this point because Jimmy Garoppolo is still there. So what I did was I basically split it out. I did give Trey Lance a little bit of an edge just because we almost always see these quarterbacks who are drafted in the first round, see the field a lot sooner and more often and more frequently than we expect. So Trey Lance right now is getting I think I think I had him at 52% of the team attempts, maybe a little bit more too. So it's cute. His line right now is like 2,300 yards, 14 passing touchdowns, nine interceptions, a QB 30 rank. So he's like, you know, if he were to play a full, if we knew that he was going to play from the start, full 17 game schedule, he would be almost a more attractive late round quarterback option than Trevor Lawrence would be just because of that rushing ability and what he was able to do in college. Now to your question, Jim, about Dynasty, I think given this landing spot and given the fact that he's got Kyle Shanahan, and you would think that Kyle Shanahan is going to be around for a decent bit, the weapons there are great. The other thing too is that they're going to be able to craft an offense and morph an offense around him where they're not going to have to ask him to do that much because the entire San Francisco offense is predicated on yards after the catch. I mean, you have Debo Samuel, Brandon Iuk, George Kittle, three guys who are incredible at that. And then obviously they have a great running scheme to open up lanes there. And then I mean, now they have one of the most mobile quarterbacks in football. So it's not going to even be fair. So I think in Dynasty right now, you know, we don't know where Justin Fields is going to land and he's the other quarterback that's left that has that true upside. I don't think you can put Zach Wilson ahead of Trey Lance from a Dynasty standpoint, from a fantasy standpoint, because of what Trey Lance does with his legs. So I think Lance is the 102 right now. I think that that Trevor Lawrence is clear, the clear cut 101 in super flex leagues. Trey Lance is the 102. What will be interesting is if Justin Fields goes in the top 10, and if he goes to Denver, then I think all of a sudden you have a clear second tier of quarterbacks where you could go either direction. You know, if you need to win now, maybe Justin Fields sees the field first. But if you need to, if you can wait a little bit or if you're rebuilding, then Trey Lance is a little bit more attractive. But I mean, I think, you know, depending on where Justin Fields goes, I think Trey Lance is at least in the top three in the super flex rookie draft conversation. So Brandon, I am not altering my projections for San Francisco this year, because I still feel like Garoppolo is most likely starter. Are you in the same boat there? Yeah, that's that's pretty much the way that I'm trying to play it. It's kind of just the assumption. And for me, I mean, Foxbat has them 10 and a half win team. There is minus 167 odds on the under for me. They came out at 10.6 wins. So, you know, right online with their over under, but they rated they rated with a top eight schedule in terms of ease. That's kind of one of the one of the few things that I'm trying to look at.  You can look at a team and say, oh, this is this is like a 10 win team. But it's like, what's their schedule look like? Don't base it off of last year's win loss records, obviously. It's just like, how does this team match up week after week with their expected opponents, things like that. So, you know, over thousands of simulations, hopefully, I get in the right ballpark. Yeah, I'm at 10.0. So we're in the same same spot there. I feel really good about that team. They're they're good. Okay, so the pick is in for Atlanta. The semi closing odds, these were as of like this afternoon when I was pulling stuff, because I had stuff to do later on. Kyle Pitts to go fourth overall was minus 210. Justin Fields was plus 430. And Mac Jones was was 22 to one. So I mean, I don't think they're going to go Mac Jones, but Kyle Pitts minus 210. And importantly, if this is Kyle Pitts, that means Ryan hits is as that is exact. Easy for me to say already and go plus 230. That's not too bad. All right, Roger Goodell slowly making his way towards the podium to announce the pick here for the Falcons. The other options, it seemed like we're a trade down or go the quarterback. And obviously, they have not gone the trade down route. They are sticking to pick number four. Justin Fields over under was seven and a half. Mac Jones is over is already hit it plus or minus 198. So that one's already in the book. Does not matter for this pick, but Atlanta is going to go with Kyle Pitts fourth overall. So Ryan winner winner chicken dinner. At least the first winner tonight. You got it. Kyle Pitts here at the fourth pick. Yeah, no, love that. Sorry, I was doing multiple things at once. That's great. Love Kyle Pitts here. This is going to be awesome for Atlanta and for people that can trust Matt Ryan that aren't myself because I think that this is just going to skyrocket his value. I guess we'll see what happens with Julio Jones. I know there were trade rumors happening last week that they were going to move on from him. That's kind of tough for me to believe, but a new regime there in Atlanta that's taken over. So that that's possible, but you definitely have to love what he's going to be able to do here in this offense with with Calvin Ridley as well to not really doing a running game as well. I mean, we're looking at the options here for these first couple of teams and not having a running game. It just is speaking volume. So you're looking at Mike Davis being the lead back there. That's not going to scare you at all. He's definitely and if Julio Jones leaves, I mean, we could be looking at a rookie tied in seeing triple digit targets. That's that's just kind of the talent that he is. And so it's going to be really interesting as JJ, you were talking about what people are doing in super flex, you know, with Trey Lantz going to San Francisco, like, what are people going to do in super flex with Kyle Pitts being here in this situation? Because I've seen people talking about taking him at the one oh one, you know, overall, not in super flex necessarily, but outside of that. And I think people will start to have to question that at a position that's tied in, that's thin, but you've got to love Matt Ryan here in best ball. Definitely in DFS, they're going to be attacking the field. They were like in one point games, I believe the most one point games or one possession games might have go back through my notes last year. So that's definitely something to look at too, when you're thinking about targeting this team for DFS and such. JJ, Ryan, some of the projections for Kyle Pitts in year one. What are you seeing with Kyle Pitts with the Atlanta Falcons offense? So people are going to think this is like a hot take that I'm that I'm reading this and that I'm just I'm just falling into the hype with Kyle Pitts, but that's really not the case. If you look across the Atlanta Falcons offensive roster right now, it's really just Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley that are going to absolutely gobble up some, some target share in that offense. Now you have Kyle Pitts and what I think is going to happen with the with the new offense there, Arthur Smith there. You're going to see a lot of 12 personnel, a lot of two tight end sets. We saw that with Anthony Firkser and John O's Smith in Tennessee last season. I think we're going to see that a lot this season. And what that means is that the person who gets probably hit the most, aside from Hayden Hurst, I mean, he's going to get hit in some way, but Russell Gage is probably going to get pretty destroyed from a projection standpoint as a result of this move. Now even still Russell Gage in my, in my projection still has like a 10 and a half percent target share. So he's still going to be involved in some way. Kyle Pitts, I have it a 16 and a half percent target share, which is pretty high for a rookie tight end, but we've never seen a rookie tight end really like this before. So with that being said, when it's all said and done, you know, you have Atlanta a team that's likely going to have to pass a good bit because their defense is atrocious. They don't have a high wind total. So the, the past rush ratio, you know, looks high for Atlanta, even if they want to be run, you know, even if they were to land one of the stud running Max's class and they want to be run heavy, they're not going to be able to. So all of that combined guys, Kyle Pitts, you know, Ryan mentioned the, uh, the fact that he might hit triple digit targets. I think he will hit triple digit targets. I think, I think we're looking at a tight end prospect, a rookie tight end who is going to hit a hundred targets. That's also with the 17 game season to be fair, but who is going to hit a hundred targets this year. If he stays healthy, I haven't for, and I won't read the decimals because that's obnoxious, but I haven't met 67 receptions, 771 yards and six points that I'll do for touchdowns, 6.7 touchdowns, which puts them at tight end six in, in, in 2021 projections, which, you know, look, you can, you can look across the tight end landscape and realize that this makes more sense than it probably sounds. Uh, looking at a rookie tight end, you know, tight ends don't do much as rookies, uh, but the tight end landscape sucks. Uh, there's not many good tight ends at all. And I think, you know, there's going to be a lot of hype surrounding him ADP wise and cost wise when you're drafting your fantasy teams this year. But I think it's warranted because that projection still has room for growth. There's still room for growth within that projection. So he's tight end six right now in my projections. I think he should be drafted as such. And I can understand if people see a higher ceiling than that. Yeah. Tight end six. Like I know that, like we joke about how thin tight end is, but that's still a very strong projection for him in year number one. Okay. So Brandon, I want you to give me a sanity check here because I put a Kyle Pitts in Atlanta in my wind projection model and I got a number that was kind of high and kind of scared me. So eight and a half. Is that egregious or are you kind of in line with that? No. So my simulations like Atlanta, they're over under seven and a half on Fox bet. Uh, the under the unders minus 125, the over being minus 105. So easy. Let's go. Yeah. Uh, my Sims have them as, uh, like an 8.6 win team. Uh, so I'm with you. Like they were actually one of the higher teams, uh, because, you know, and I would hope this is the case, but a lot of my simulations are close to the bookmakers. If they're, if they're completely different, that's probably an issue. But they were one of the highest teams, uh, in terms of the over. So I kind of like Atlanta, uh, for, for the over bet, uh, this year. Yeah, eight, seven and a half is that's a good number. Uh, so if I've got eight and a half, a full win. I have, and I have them with the bottom, like a top three schedule in terms of fees. That helps too. We'll take it. Uh, I think that having New Orleans be lessened potentially, that helps a decent amount. Carolina, a lot of question. I don't have a super optimistic projection for Sam Darnall there. So, uh, I think that's playing a role in this as well. Um, okay. So Brian asked over on YouTube, how much does Mac not going there, swing the draft all the top picks go one spot higher assuming Mac falls. Is there a fight for fields now? Yummy. I think the big question is where does Mac Jones fall to you? And I have no idea because Carolina has a quarterback in place. Denver has a quarterback could use, you know, do they view Mac Jones being an upgrade over the tandem of drew lock and Teddy Bridgewater? I don't know. Personally, I think the adjustment fields would be, but Mac Jones different discussion. So we will see where Mac Jones winds up falling. But now, uh, this pick is going to swing a lot of things because I have the dolphins taking an offensive lineman and plus 340. If Penae Suel goes to the, to the Bengals, it's a very bad bet. But Jamar Chase, as of this morning, his total was five and a half. Uh, the under was minus 178. He was also minus 1500 to be the first wide receiver taken. Penae Suel was, uh, his over under was six and a half. And the under was a plus 100. I thought that was a pretty interesting one. So it had gotten me both Cincinnati and Miami, but just wound up going with the, uh, the other route with that and going with the dolphins there, uh, the Bengals at pick number five, it says the pick is in. We'll see how this goes. Personally, if I were making this pick for the Bengals, I would go with what we discussed before where got to protect your quarterback. Uh, we have, I mean, they have decent guys in, in Tyler Boy and T Higgins. Like that's not a bad set of wide receivers. So I personally would go offensive line, but we'll see where they wind up going here. Ryan, we know Joe Burrow, we back a quarterback for the Bengals this year. What's the outlook as of now before we know what this pick is for you and them in DFS because that Taylor loves to throw. That's a great thing for us in DFS. How are you feeling about T Higgins heading into year two and Joe Burrow in year two? Yeah, this would, this would definitely kill my soul because I love T Higgins. So I wanted him to get all the targets. I have already like, I think of six best ball teams. I have them on four currently right now. Um, but I mean, regardless it looks, listen, Joe Burrow, when he was healthy, um, and I guess that goes along with this, but when Joe Burrow was healthy, he was able to keep these guys afloat. Tyler Boyd and T Higgins both, um, just with his ability. I mean, they were, they were past heavy offense. I think that he was a top 10, uh, fantasy quarterback from weeks two through nine going into their buys. So you love to see that. Um, and I think both Tyler Boyd and Higgins were in the top 14 in PPR. So Chase definitely changes things, would love to see Penet there. Um, just because like you said, it's Jamar Chase. It's Jamar Chase. Okay. So that, I mean, Chase is going to be awesome in this offense. I mean, you're hoping that he stays healthy. He's coming off of a, uh, Joe Burrow that is coming off of that gruesome knee injury, tearing the ACL and the MCL and, and they got it. They got to do something to get hit, to get him protected because if he's not protected, you're talking about him starting the 2021 season, it wasn't even a foregone conclusion. He was going to start the 2021 season, um, when the injury happened. So, you know, maybe they're thinking that you add weapons and it could be explosive and maybe he won't get sacked because he'll be getting the ball out. So these explosive guys, um, it definitely affects T Higgins and Tyler Boyd, both, um, in the sense because Chase is reuniting with his guy from college. You got to think he's going to be asking for the ball. Um, I can't wait to see the Odell Beckham outburst from Jamar Chase when he's not getting the ball, but this will be great. This will be great for him in that offense. If Joe Burrow can stay healthy for sure. Yep. Absolutely. So JJ, I believe you had Jamar Chase as your first overall ranking pre-draft, correct? Among wide receivers? I did. Yeah. I think that he's, he's in the top tier with, uh, Najee Harris and Travis Etn from a prospect standpoint. I think he's in his own tier. If you just only look at wide receivers, he has an incredible breakout age, you know, at LSU, he outperformed Justin Jefferson. Uh, when, when he was a sophomore, Justin Jefferson was a junior and then Justin Jefferson comes the NFL and breaks the rookie receiving record. See the guy who played better in college who had, who was a year younger, uh, you know, uh, uh, age wise than Justin Jefferson. Um, and he outperformed him and Jefferson obviously did what he did this past year. So I did get a projection done then for, for Jamar Chase as well. Um, and look, T Higgins, I think will be fine. Um, I, what, the way that I generally view teammate competition and what I've noticed through years of doing projections and just analyzing this stuff is that it limits a player's ceiling more than it does his floor. So a player like T Higgins is going to see a pretty strong target share regardless of his situation, right? Unless they have just like, you know, pro bowler after pro bowler after pro bowler, but that's not the case. So T Higgins and I think it's in year, since it's year one, I don't think Jamar Chase is going to out target T Higgins if they're both healthy, uh, throughout the whole season. So I have Higgins at a 22% share and Jamar Chase at a 20% share for year one. And since Cincinnati is already a pretty, uh, pass heavy team, I actually didn't change the projected passing outcome for them volume wise because, uh, you know, you add a piece like Jamar Chase, you become a better team. So they might want to throw more in neutral game scripts, but overall it's probably more of a wash. So overall, if you look at Jamar Chase's line, I have him at, again, this is 17 games, not 16 games, about 76 receptions, almost a thousand yards, 996 yards, five touchdowns, positional rank, wide receiver, 36 as a rookie. Now it's not bad. You know, I think in, you know, just building out these projections and looking at their depth chart, I think this is going to end up hurting Tyler Boyd more than T Higgins, just because Tyler Boyd is someone who's been very, very, very volume dependent throughout his career, because of the position he plays, he plays in the slot. Slot guys are more dependent on that volume piece than other players are because they're not as efficient, they're not scoring as many touchdowns. And so I think Tyler Boyd also in two wide receiver sets, Tyler Boyd is not going to be on the field. So we're going to see a lot of Jamar Chase and T Higgins, you know, Cincinnati doesn't utilize their tight ends much at all, which is great for Tyler Boyd and for the other wide receivers as well. But I think overall, this is going to hurt Boyd way more than it's going to hurt T Higgins. Yeah. And given how well T Higgins played last year, I think that that's the way it should be to Jamar Chase, tremendously talented T Higgins also very good. And it'll be fun to watch the Bengals next year, hopefully they address offensive line early in the second round. Okay, the Dolphins pick is in, we'll see what they do there. We do this still a bit of time here, but Brandon, I know you're a T Higgins guy too. So any thoughts for you from a DFS perspective on the Jamar Chase selection? It's going to make it tough to stack. So I think we're probably going to have some weeks where we like Joe Burrow, but the right stack might be a little bit frustrating. Just have two lineups, one of each, then you're set.  The pivot lineup, assuming that they're similar salaries. But that was the kind of one of the first things that came to my mind was like, that's great for Joe Burrow. There might be a lot of weeks where it's like naked Joe Burrow, not necessarily naked, but having a really difficult time. Well, I mean, we say that all the time.   Okay, so the Dolphins pick is in. Tyler Boyd is fun, Jim. He's fun. He's from Pitt. So you're going to, you know, I got to get some love. Yeah. Oh, we can, we'll have to ask outside sources here, but Dolphins pick is in main contenders, Jaylen Waddle, Devontae Smith, hopefully Penae Suwel, we'll see. I'm kind of shocked Suwel might be falling to seven here. Probably a good thing for Detroit. But if we look at the props, I think a fun one was a match that between Jaylen Waddle and Devontae Smith at close, Jaylen Waddle was minus 270 to go ahead of Devontae Smith. And as someone who, you know, when I was not in New York, I would play some college football DFS. I was a little bit surprised by that because obviously Jaylen Waddle was very good when he was healthy. But Devontae Smith was disgusting. We'll talk about Devontae Smith once he's drafted about the ills of a wide receiver who does not declare early. The size stuff is an issue for sure as well. But just watching him play football, like I had to watch a lot of Mac Jones to try to figure out why the 49ers are going to take him third overall and then didn't. Every time I watched him, I was like, wow, Devontae Smith is really freaking good. So it was shocking to see Waddle at minus 270, but maybe we'll get an answer on this right now. As Dolphins pick is in Roger Goodell, is that the podium for Miami, we'll see what they do here. See how they help to it. They're going to help to up. We'll just find out how with this pick. And it is in fact Jaylen Waddle of Alabama going to Miami. So Waddle minus 270 over Devontae Smith catches. His total was nine and a half minus 110 in the under. He was minus 130 by the go top 10. So Jaylen Waddle going to Miami. And Brandon, I want to go back to you here actually, because this is a very different Miami team than we saw last year. We talked a lot about, we talked a lot about upside at quarterback and Tua, although I have a high opinion of Tua, wasn't a high upside quarterback for DFS, but now he adds will fuller Devontae Parker is healthy. Jaylen Waddle is there too. That's a heck of a lot of speed. Can we now use Tua Tonga Vilo and DFS now that he has all these weapons? Yeah, probably, but it feels, you know, similar because stacking such a big part of daily fantasy and we got Micah Sicki in there as well. So, you know, just trying to figure out each and every week, like the right stack, I feel like again, it's kind of pre pre tilting, but it's going to help Tua, and that's going to make him more viable. But the stacking is going to be a little bit problematic. And as far as sheer upside goes, I mean, just with the profile, like what we saw from Tua, there are reasons to, you know, question like the high end weekend weekend, like week out upside. But, you know, overall, this is going to be really, really positive for Tua, which I'm excited about, because Jim made me a very big Tua fan last year. Because Tua is the best, of course. We're not going to write off Tua because of a couple of bad games. Not when he was, when I already played as well as he did at Alabama. How about you, Ryan? How are you feeling about this Dolphins offense with Jaylen Waddle being down now? Yeah, it's tough because I think the Tyree kill comparisons for Jaylen Waddle definitely hurt, or hurt, definitely helped his stock tremendously. And you're thinking about, you know, also what helped him too is he exploded to start the season in those four games. He went ballistic with, you know, 500 yards and four touchdowns. So that's the last memory that we have of him. So I think that's what gets people excited. I would have loved to see Devontae Smith go here. I think he's going to, you know, just help out a quarterback like Tua a lot more. I mean, if Tua is not able to get him that ball downfield, and you're talking about, he's got an ankle injury. Devontae Parker's got injury history. Preston Williams got injury history. So he got a lot of injury history here at the wide receiver position. But I hope he can stay healthy. Hopefully that helps stretch the field. But I am interested to see what Miami does from a running back standpoint, especially from DFS, because Miles Gaskin was being utilized in the red zone a ton. So you think about a guy like Jaylen Waddle. Yeah, yeah. No, I am too. So you think about a guy like Jaylen Waddle who could stretch the field. And if he gets them down there into the red zone, it could be, you know, awesome for Miles Gaskin work. So curious to see how that shapes out. All right. So Jaylen Waddle goes six. JJ, it's a very different team. So it is a lot of extrapolation on your part to build a projection for them. But what are you seeing for the past catchers in Miami now that we know kind of what the situation looks like? Yeah, you guys remember Preston Williams? You remember him? Oh, yes. Remember Lynn Bowden? Yeah, we can say bye-bye to them. Someone trained for Lynn Bowden in my Dynasty Leagues, please. I'm accepting all offers right now. Yeah. So, I mean, now you have a really good trio of wide receivers where, Jaylen Waddle can play in the slot. He can play on the outside and be a burner, but you also already have that burner in Will Fuller. But the trio kind of works together in a fun way, where you have Devonte Parker, Jaylen Waddle, Will Fuller. I think of those three, just because he's a rookie and that's just the way that things generally go, Waddle's going to have the lowest target share of the three. I haven't met 16.5% target share this year, which really isn't bad. But that ends up being, let's see, 55, reception, 760 yards, 4.7 touchdowns. He's wide receiver 52 right now in my projections, which is not terrible, realistically. I think that he's a better best ball asset, just given the fact that he'll probably have some unpredictable production, the fact that he's a big play waiting to happen. He's a really interesting and tough prospect for me. A lot of people will peg him to be just like Henry Rugs, what we saw last year with Rugs being the first wide receiver off the board, a speedster similar to Jaylen Waddle. The difference that Henry Rugs objectively and analytically was a worse prospect than Jaylen Waddle. A lot of people made excuses for Rugs as to why he didn't produce in college because he played with great teammates and the teammate competition was there. But like I said earlier, that matters more for floor rather than ceiling. If you look at Jaylen Waddle, his freshman season, he outproduced Henry Rugs. He outproduced Devontae Smith. Jerry Judy was the only player on that Alabama team that had more receiving yards than Jaylen Waddle did. Sophomore season doesn't play as many snaps. I think someone that had to do a seniority and had to do with the fact that you had Jerry Judy, Henry Rugs, Devontae Smith, all his juniors, and he was a sophomore. Then this past year happens where up and through those first four games before he got injured, he had more receiving production than Devontae Smith did, who won the Heisman. It's a small sample size that you then have to extrapolate. I'm not saying that Jaylen Waddle would have won the Heisman or that Devontae Smith wouldn't have won the Heisman. But there's a lot of what ifs with Waddle. A lot of film guys like him and that has to go into our evaluation. That's part of the reason why draft capital matters is because teams are looking at that stuff and teams are there's talent evaluation embedded in that draft capital. He's sixth overall. He's going to look great in my model despite the fact that my model is very production based. He didn't have the best production in the world because he was hurt during his explosion year, didn't play as much as sophomore year, and he was a freshman. You can't expect him to be Rondell Moore his freshman season. I like Waddle. I think the fit is interesting and fun, him going back and playing with Tua. I think it's a strong enough pick, but I still stand by the fact that I think Miami traded up thinking that they were going to get Jamar Chase or Kyle Fitz. I'm pretty sure they thought that the Bengals were going too well and didn't happen. But this has been such a fantasy friendly draft. Oh, yeah, yeah. No defensive players. Lions pick in seven. Could they go quarterback? Justin Fields is there. They're not super committed to Jared Goff. I need to break well reactions, Jim. Yeah. Devontae Smith is there at seven overall. They didn't trade back, which we thought was possible. Jim, what do you have for Miami's wins? There we go. Panaisoel going to Detroit. Jared Goff throwing to Tyrell Williams for Shad Perriman, but with a rockstar offensive line. I mentioned before I have my offensive line rankings rudimentary ones cooked up. Right now, if I put Panaisoel as our starter right tackle, because Taylor Decker is a left tackle, they are ranked seven, the seventh best offensive line in football. So although the passcatches are rough for sure, they can still address that later on. They're going to have a good offensive line. They have a competent quarterback and they have DeAndre Swift. So I think that's pretty enticing. Do you want to go back to Miami here quickly? Because it is an offensive line and we can linger a bit longer on Miami. Brandon mentioned my win projection. Do you want to do like a three, two, one? We spit it out at the same time or should I just tell you? We've been pretty close. I think it's going to be too hard to do a three, two, one. 9.4. I had them at 9.4 as well. Wow. This is really weird that we're alive. We are working out the same model. This is really great for our listeners. We were half a win off on San Francisco.  See? So yeah. I mean, FoxBot has them eight and a half, but they came out about 80% likely to go over. They have the 20th ranked schedule, but according to my matchups, they should like be favored with the two point home advantage. It should be favored in like 12 and 12 of their 17 games, which you can look at like average or total opponent. But for wins, you could look at like how often how frequently they're favored. And I think that's a big advantage for Miami. So going back to like the two a thing, it's going to help to us for this offense to be better. It's going to be very relevant for betting. Maybe a little bit less relevant for DFS. It's still going to be difficult with that DFS stacking. But again, again, it speaks to the advantage for Miami getting their offense moving up the board. And I should note that like, I have a very optimistic projection for the Buffalo Bills. Like it's not expecting regression for Josh Allen, just because I think the dolphins are good. That defense combined with upgrades pretty much everywhere for Tua. I think that bows well for them. So 9.4 for Miami, not quite as optimistic for Detroit. There are 5.4. Maybe that's too high. I think their total is like right around there. So 5.4 for Detroit that is after adding in Sue well, good offensive line, not a lot of skill guys. So JJ, can you are you going to bother making projections for Detroit yet? Or do you think it's situation where like you just wait to see because they have to get a pass catcher at some point, right? Yeah. So in my projections right now, I have a line that just says rookie because it's coming. I know that it's coming.  Deandre Swift, you know, we'll see a good bit of work. I don't think Deandre Swift is going to be a back who sees, you know, 250 plus carries in the season, but his target share numbers could be bonkers just given the kind of running back that he is. So the backfield is pretty much locked up. Tight ends obviously locked up. But I don't know if people have looked at their wide receiver depth chart. But it's it's currently for I believe, I mean, it could have changed. I don't know your muffs for everyone. Yeah, it's currently for shod pyramid, Tyrell Williams and Quintez Cephas. That's what they're working with right now. And so they're going to have to go after some wide receivers in this draft. The problem is they didn't get one here, right? And I mentioned earlier, I do think that from a true alpha standpoint, there aren't many of them in this class. And if you look at what they have right now, a wide receiver, they don't have that. They have two burners with brashad, Paramount and Tyrell Williams to Y guys, basically.  And so I don't know if they will get that true, true X in this draft, maybe, maybe terrorist Marshall, maybe, you know, in the second, I think they still they have their second, right? So maybe terrorist Marshall. But that's that's where they're at right now at the wide receiver position. It's just really, really not good. Yeah, it's rough. So they've got to be there at some point. We'll see what they do to address that eventually. Now the Panthers pick is in. I find this one very interesting because the overs already hit on Mack Jones and Justin Fields. So, you know, from a betting perspective, that's already happened. But Carolina has Sam Darnold, not a whole lot invested because they have not in the I don't think they picked up his fifth year option yet officially, which means they could move on David Tepper, their owner is analytically minded. And we hear a lot of analytically minded people talking about the importance of quarterback where you throw stuff at a wall, see what sticks, get guys in the room, see who pans out and then figure it out from there. I feel like it wouldn't be outrageous for them to potentially go with Justin Fields here at pick number eight. I don't know if they will. I think they should personally. Ryan, what are your thoughts on Carolina here at pick eight before we know what the pick is? Yeah, I while I'm looking at Ian Rapp for here on NFL Network talking about how Justin Fields is the only quarterback that they are interested in at all so that that would definitely be intriguing. I currently love Robbie Anderson right now being reunited with Sam Darnold just because of what they were able to what he was able to do with them when they were at the Jets. And you're talking about, you know, still having a guy like DJ more there and Christian McCaffrey obviously. So I mean, whoever the quarterback is is going to have weapons to utilize. I would love to see them just, you know, take care of some of these other needs that they could, especially since they just traded for Darnold. But I really have no feel for what Carolina is going to do here. And, you know, you got those college guys there and Joe Brady and Matt Rule, that could really shake things up here at number eight. I kind of want them to I want this to happen. We talked about the landing spots for San Francisco and Denver earlier, but like Carolina is pretty good too. Given the play callers you were talking about the what they showed last year, I thought was really impressive. You know what they did with Teddy Bridgewater quarterback. And it's not like Bridgewater is a bad quarterback, but I thought they did pretty well. So pick is in for Carolina. Let's see what they do. I think that Rashawn Slater is very much in play here. Nope, it's not. The pick is in for Carolina and the first defensive player of the draft has taken JC Horne. So the Panthers now eight straight defensive players taken in the draft. So that means that JC Horne is the first defensive player taken. Let's see if I had the odds on that pulled up here. He was minus 105 to go in the top 10. He was plus 170 to be the first quarterback taken, which he was here. So we have JC Horne eight overall to Carolina. That means they don't go quarterback, which means Justin Fields still on the board here for the Denver Broncos at pick nine, kind of regretting the fact that I didn't go with the Broncos state quarterback at plus 340, which was my initial bet, but I got scared by all the Mark Slater there and Rodgers reports and dumped out of it. So I didn't want to go in there, but I'm going to go back to the Lions here quick because Brandon, I didn't get your take on their win total for this year. I have them at 5.4 after adding Sue L. Are you as low as I am on them? I'm lower. Foxback has them at five and a half wins. I did upgrade them a bit because again, consistent with my findings, like offensive linemen do typically have some positive impact. You talked about their offensive line overall, but they came out at 4.7 wins for me on top eight. Scheduled difficulty, not going to be favored very frequently. So factoring all that in, not looking super hot and like Jay-D mentioned, they're wide receivers. When I first looked at them a couple of days ago, refreshing my mind, it was concerning. So I was laughing there because Shocker, the guy who at one point was a huge Jarrett Goff truth. There was a point eight wins above you on the Detroit Lions who could have possibly predicted that. Okay. So I added in JC Horne to my Panthers number. So Brandon, the difficulty I had with the Panthers is when they made the San Darnold trade, I didn't move them at all. I had moved them down with Curtis Samuel being gone because like the whoever's getting third in targets there is probably going to be worse than Curtis Samuel. So I downgrade for their overall offensive efficiency with no Samuel. And I can't really view Sam Darnold as an upgrade. If I were to go anyway, I'd feel like I'd probably downgrade their projected passing efficiency. So I've been at seven and a half. That feels kind of high still. Where are you on Carolina based on the all season moves they've made? So you said you had them at seven and a half? Yeah. That's what they are on Foxbat. They came out at 6.9 for me. They're actually very nice. But their efficiency kind of like I have a kind of convoluted process, but you know, I can see what their efficiency sort of says they should be. I haven't like a 6.3 win team. But then once you would account that, you put it in the simulator and play the season out a bunch of times, almost seven wins, but still, you know, on that under, not really a team that I would be expecting to win eight games this year, though. Yeah. They're an easy stay away from me personally, just because like it's partly because I'm right on the number at Foxbat, but also because I just don't know what to expect out of Sam Darnold.  Do you want to set a quick reminder? We're going to be giving away the Jersey for the random Jersey giveaway. You get to pick who you want in the Jersey. We're going to give that way after pick 10. So you got a couple of minutes left here still. Go to YouTube, check out the description on this live stream, click expand, click the King Sumo link, enter your email there. That'll get you entered to win the NFL Jersey of your choice. As a reminder as well, we are back once again tomorrow at 7 p.m. Eastern, right here on the Fando YouTube Twitch, Facebook and Twitter pages will be going live for rounds two and three, breaking down the fantasy implications there and a lot more wider receivers going to go than as well, probably potentially depending on how the running backs go. A lot of that as well. So make sure you come back tomorrow, 7 p.m. Eastern, just subscribe on the Fando YouTube, Twitch, Facebook or Twitter pages and make sure you tune in tomorrow once again. Also, we do have time to take some questions specifically. I have YouTube pulled up. So if you want to ask a question, I would go over there and ask that. We have a question from Serp Funkyton. Funkyton, I probably messed that up. Does Denver go Mac Jones? And Justin asked, please fields to Denver. I would love fields to Denver. I think that'd be tremendous. I think that the, so an answer Serp Funkyton, I don't know if that's right, but we're going to go with it. I don't think Mac Jones goes to Denver because what is the difference between Teddy Bridgewater? Oh, he said it. He said it. I mean, like, I don't know. I mean, to be fair, to be fair, though, Mac Jones going to Denver would be like him playing in Alabama where you have, you have a good offensive line, pretty good offensive line. You have weapons, incredible weapons, right? He'd be back with Jerry Judy. I don't even know if they, I guess they didn't even like play together, right? No, yeah, they did because, because Jones played for Tua when he was here. True. True. Yeah, exactly. So he'll be back with Jerry Judy, you know, Cortland Sutton's there, no offense. Alberto K. J. Hamler. I mean, this is a good set of weapons that basically what I'm saying is you have to be pretty bad at the position to not be able to do something. So I can understand. That's not a very poor drill on too much. The guy's been through a lot. I do hope it's Justin Fields though. I really, really hope it's Justin Fields, because again, we talked about this earlier. If this is Fields, all of a sudden in Super Flex, start at rookie drafts, you all of a sudden have a one, two, three where, you know, there's a lot more depth there. You don't have to like, you know, feel weird if you're chilling there at the three spot, and there's like a clear one and two. And I'm not saying that as someone who has multiple one of the threes this year. I have one in a league that has copies with you. I think I had the 1.03. One of the 1.03 is I think you have one of the 1.02s in that one. Yeah, but it's the start to tight end. So I'm probably going to, I might lean pits there. I drafted Jared Goff in the startup. So I need to draft a quarterback. So I'm hoping for a good landing spot for Justin Fields. The pick is not yet in for Denver. I really don't think that Denver expected to be in this situation without trading. I think they did either, but I feel like if you, if you are given a gift, you should accept the gift. The gift is Justin Fields being available for you at pick number nine. You should be okay to take that. The pick is in. We have a couple seconds here. So Ryan, I do want to ask you about Carolina. No changes as far as the personnel. We have Sam Darnold, Robbie Anderson, DJ Moore, Christian McCaffrey, good supporting cast. Can Sam Darnold be good enough though to make them still be DFS relevant? And Jim, you're bearing the lead. He gets away from Adam Gase. Everybody gets away from Adam Gase goes on to do great things. So yeah, no, you're not going to really sell me on Darnold, so to speak, but definitely the weapons as in Robbie Anderson and DJ Moore still love them. I think they should be able to scheme some touches to them. And then also, I just wanted to mention real quick with the Detroit Lions, it's a DeAndre Swift season. I mean, this guy is going to be incredible. Anthony Lynn is there now as the offensive coordinator who was able to get Austin Eckler all the touches that we not all of them because he loves them on the field for sure, but definitely was able to manufacture touches for Austin Eckler too. So love DeAndre, especially if they're not going to address wide receiver until their next pick, which I believe is 41. So yeah, well, no, I think that you're spot on like Anthony Lynn is the reason. So I have this this this take that I try to not vocalize because like I know people will shred me on Twitter and I get shredded and I don't need this. But like, I think Anthony Lynn is a very good offensive coordinator. That is the take I will take to my grave. And I think it's a good thing for DeAndre Swift that they went offensive line. They need to pass catcher so that they can generate enough touchdowns so that the under system have a ceiling for fantasy. But the floor is very good. And Anthony Lynn is part of the reason the floor is good. Okay. Pick is in for Denver at pick number nine. They got a lot of ways to go with this. There's been a lot of Justin Fields around defense. They couldn't go off in the line, I think. Never know. And now they're pulling up a Jersey Patrick Sartan. Okay. So the Cowboys get sniped. I can't you can't hate. I can't hate on teams though that address important positions and dress important positions. Exactly. I get more tilted when they're going after positions that don't that aren't important.  What you should really be doing is is doing your best to enhance the pass and stop the pass period. And so you're looking at offensive line. I can't fault any any team going offensive line and trying to build offensive line. We know how important the O line is. Quarterback obviously wide receiver. And then on the defensive side, that's edge rush. You don't have the edge rushers in this class like we've seen in historical classes, but it's edge rush. And that's cornerback.  But, you know, team building wise quarterback is still a very big question mark. And I actually think Denver is not that far away. Technically, I mean, the offensive like we already talked about the offense. If you plop a quarterback in there, he's going to be able to do fine. Defense is not that bad. You have good good players on the line. You have good you had good cornerbacks even before this pick. You enhance that sure. So I mean, maybe they're doing something that we don't know. I still think quarterback was the more logical choice for that team and where they're at because you could realistically went, you know, you could start to be competitive in a year or two. Yeah, I think the quarterback in general was not a not necessarily the biggest need. I would say quarterback when Justin Fields is on the board becomes a need. So it's like, oh, if you get a gift, you should accept it. That's where I'm at with them. But it's going to be looks like as of now, unless an Aaron Rodgers deal does come on later on. Yeah, would you think quarterback would be relevant for that for the Packers? No, I would guess not because I think that if maybe this is because I didn't have a high opinion Jordan Love, I feel like if they were going to make a move, they would have gotten a piece they could have sent back a law a.k.a. Justin Fields, like get a quarterback you can trade to Green Bay in that scenario if you wanted to do it. So I feel like that actually might lower the odds that happens. I'm not totally sure, but two things that I want to add here. Number one, how pissed off are the Cowboys that two corners? I know. So pissed. Like every mock draft was Patrick Sertan to Dallas, Patrick Sertan to Dallas, Patrick Sertan to Dallas. And then number two, how annoyed are we going to be when Justin Fields is a New England patriot? Oh gosh. I was actually I was going to lead off with that when Jim asked me like what my what I was watching for. I was like somehow some way Justin Fields is going to be a patriot and then it's going to start all over again. Well, or or the Patriots can just they're going to be able to be in a position to get a ransom for that pick. Yeah, you're looking at who's up. I mean, Dallas, the Giants, Philly Giants, I'll say that as well. They really should. Yes. Please, I would love that. Yeah, it's it's it's insane. I'm pretty sure I said a while ago that the Lions, Panthers and Broncos should be contracted if they didn't draft Justin Fields. I might have been a little bit harsh in that. But you know, that's fine. Not harsh. Here's the other thing. The other thing. Does this not feel somewhat like it felt when Deshaun Watson fell? I don't know. That's interesting. It doesn't for me, JJ, because we kind of knew that it was a potential possibility because all of this talk behind him was like, how are these GMS and people who are supposed to be doing this for a living, like not seeing what the public is seeing, you know? And that's kind of how I feel sometimes. And we'll see what happens because you have a guy who's here in Denver, Elway, who, you know, we have a trade, by the way. Oh, here we go. The Eagles just moved up to 10. So they jumped. They traded within the NFC East. They're not going to jump the NFC East as well. They jumped. Yeah, but they're jumping the giant. They're going to get Devontae Smith here. This has to be Devontae Smith because because Smith is the last part of that tier. And a lot of people were mocking the Giants, which was kind of bizarre to me. It didn't make a ton of sense. I think this has to be Devontae Smith. It has to be Devontae Smith. So as someone who had Devontae Smith under 11 and a half, that would be good. Helping make up for my Justin Stilts. They're not going. They're not going fields right now. No, no, no, no.  I think it probably should. Yeah, but I was like, yeah, we have a Siriani who's who's saying that there's a quarterback competition, right? Yeah. It's not between Joe Flacco and Joe and Hertz. I'll tell you that. So why not bring in fields and just, you know, make it a three man? This has to be Devontae Smith. I think you're probably right. Although I would say Rashawn Slater is not totally out of their own possibility because that offensive line is aged and old. That is for sure. Devontae Smith is very much a need for someone who doesn't know this stuff. Would the Giants be looking at offensive line? Yes, they should. They need to. They are interior line especially. They have other issues. So I didn't know if that was like their number one issue. Actively bad. They traded Kevin Zitler, who was, he thought off a bit last year. But so the trade here is the Eagles gave a pick 84 to move up two picks to pick number 10. They swapped first though. Yes, they saw first. So Dallas will pick a pick 12. They moved down a couple of spots. I think there were, I think all three of these teams are Rashawn Slater contenders. I do want to see the the prop bets on Rashawn Slater coming into today. Actually, his total was nine and a half. So the totally overs already hit for him. I'm getting ready. I'm getting ready to make a Devontae Smith projection boys. I think it's going to happen. Okay, so we're going to get that the Eagles trade up, which I think was interesting because everything about them this off season has said 2021 doesn't matter. So Brandon, when I look at my wind total projections, they don't like the Eagles at all. Are you in a similar boat with the Eagles right now? I think we're going to differ there. Oh, no. By how much? By how much? Well, what do you have them at? Because their wind total is, what's that? I don't want to say it. Now you got to tell me. Just tell me the wind total first. So they're over under six and a half on Fox bet. Oh, okay, cool. That's fine. I have them at 7.6 wins. Okay, we're off. We're fighting and I'm five and a half. I just like with, I know the offensive line gets guys back like Andre Diller missed the entire year last year. Lane Johnson was never fully healthy. Brandon Brooks is healthy. They have a lot of guys who are coming back, but the core around Jalen Hertz is not one that is positioned right now to allow Jalen Hertz to succeed. And because so much of my projections revolve around projected passing offensive efficiency, it's really rough. So that's why I'm low here. I'm assuming you have the offense overall ranked? Where are you with Phillies? Probably the better question right now. So overall offensive efficiency, Philadelphia projected 28th. Okay, yeah, that explains a lot then. Yeah. So here's the details on the trade with the Cowboys getting picked 12, the Eagles getting pick number 10 as they trade up here. So let's see what they do. I feel like JJ's probably right that it is Devonte Smith going to Philadelphia. A question from Bethany Peters over on YouTube for Ryan. She's asking, how would a tight, drafting a tight end like pits alter your strategy and best ball for how many of the position you would roster? So pits probably going to be like not a super late round tight. I assume people will be pretty on to him. If you get pits, are you drafting more to safeguard yourself against like the potential issues with the rookie tight end, or do you feel pretty good about that position because pits could be so good in that offense? Yeah, I mean, it's going to be tough because he had an ADP of around 76.4, I believe the tight end six before this happened. I mean, but again, everything was talking about of him going for so I think people were expecting him to land in that situation. For me, it makes it tough to buy into him in a best ball situation as a rookie at that high. If it happens to where he falls to me and I'm making my picks and I'm able to get him in a round where I feel comfortable and he falls in my lap, I'll take him, but I'm not going to go out of my way. People are going to reach on Kyle pits. I could see him going third, fourth, fifth round given this scenario, especially with the speculation of Julio still swirling around. We don't know what's going to happen. So little rich for my blood, but if he's there after five rounds and I could still get him five or six, I'd like that. I mean, sure. You know, with that projection, why not? Okay. The Eagles pick is in at pick number 10 after the trade up with the Dallas Cowboys, and it is in fact Devontae. I got a projection ready, boys. I got a projection ready. This is why he's a pro. It is the editor in MF and chief of Fandolin number fire because he got that projection ready to go before the pick was even in JJ hit us. I got Devontae Smith actually. So he, he bumped Jalen waddle from wide receiver 52 to 53 because they're basically identical doing it in different ways. The Devontae Smith 57 catches seven hundred and six, seven hundred and seventy six yards, 4.8 touchdowns, 9.6 PPR points per game. Now, you know, there's the reason I say it's two different situations. I think with waddle, you're looking at probably some bigger playability than Devontae Smith and he's not going to see the same type. I mean, he's not going to play the same type of position as Devontae Smith will. Devontae Smith is probably going to be a lot on the outside going to play a lot on the outside as he did at Alabama. But the difference is that, you know, this is probably going to be a more run heavy offense than what we're going to see in Miami as well. But the difference is that there's just more target share up for grabs in this Philadelphia offense with Jalen Rager being the only other wide. I actually think that Devontae Smith outtargets Jalen Rager this year. You know, just what I've studied historically is that rookie wide receivers who I know Jalen Rager was hurt and I liked Rager coming out. He was my wide receiver four. But historically what we found is that, you know, wide receivers who don't do a whole lot their rookie season, you know, generally don't become studs very often. So Jalen Rager can, sure, I think he's going to be a fine piece, but not the piece. And I wouldn't be shocked at all if Devontae Smith right away is the guy in Philadelphia getting that 16, 17% target share, kind of a flat distribution throughout that offense, you know, because they utilize their tight ends and Zach Hertz is still there, the corpse of Zach Hertz, I should say. And so, you know, Devontae Smith not a bad landing spot.  We can talk about that in a second, I'm sure. But I don't think it's a terrible landing spot for him to see volume right away and be an integral part of that offense. It's just that, you know, there's question marks on how that offense is going to run. I think Philly's going to end up having one of the lower pass to rush ratios this year given how they ran the offense with Jalen Hertz. And so that's going to limit his upside just a little bit. Well, I do want to hear your thoughts on Smith as a prospect overall, because he's a fascinating study, given the production, but also some of the red flags in being an older commit. Before that, though, there is some fun here because we get Joe Burrow reunited with Jamar Chase, Jalen Hertz, reunited with Devontae Smith, the guy who caught the game winning touchdown pass in the game, where Hertz got benched for two at Tunga by Loa. So everything coming a full circle. But talk to me about Devontae Smith. He does go 10th overall. There are concerns with, oh, the bears are on the clock, Ryan, just so you know. Oh, Ryan, you're about to get him. Oh, Ryan, while you compose yourself, I just tweeted to you. You got to go change pants. Go ahead. Totally. Oh, it's a good J. J talking about Devontae Smith that I'm going to ask you, Ryan, if it's Mac Jones or Justin Fields. Oh, man, if it ends up being Mac Jones, I'm going to die laughing. So Devontae Smith, a lot of people are going to be concerned about his BMI matters to some degree in my model. BMI does, but don't overstate what BMI does. And, you know, by BMI, for anyone listening, I'm talking about body mass index. I'm just talking about the thickness of the wide receiver. Devontae Smith has a BMI that's like 22, and we don't see that ever. You know, if you look at first rounders historically, the lowest in my database is like Hollywood Brown and Calvin Ridley, which were closer to 25. But Devontae Smith is skinny. I'm not as concerned about that. I'm more concerned about his non-early-declared status, which, you know, we can talk all day about how he went back, he won the Heisman.  And so if he went back to college, that signals us that he wasn't ready to be a first round pick in the NFL, and that teams weren't going to pick them there. And so that's the reason their signal. We've seen 53 wide receivers drafted in the first round since 2006 before tonight. Of those 53, there were 13 of them that were non-early-declars, and of those 13, only five of them posted one 1,000-yard season in the NFL, and only one of those wide receivers posted multiple 1,000-yard seasons. That was Dwayne Bow. So I'm more concerned about the lack of good breakout age for Devontae Smith, the lack of early-declare status. I'm more concerned about that stuff than I am, the BMI and the stuff that usually doesn't matter. And I would argue that Devontae Smith's BMI, if it were higher, he wouldn't be the same prospect that he is and the same player that he is. So I still think he's a good wide receiver. He's probably going to be my wide receiver, two or three post-draft depending on what happens with Elijah Moore and Rondell Moore, or not Rondell Moore, Rashad Bateman. And you know, Tarris Marshall, I think he's going to drop, so he's going to drop in my rankings. But Devontae Smith from a dynasty standpoint, I got Jamar Chase as the wide receiver, won. And then there's a big group still, even with these landing spots where you got Devontae Smith, Jaylen Waddle. And again, we'll see where Elijah Moore and Rashad Bateman end up going. All right, Ryan, talk to me. How are we feeling? What's survived? Are you good? I've not felt this anxious since 2017. And, you know, of course, San Fran was involved in that. And now, you know, by not taking Mack Jones, I guess they could be involved again, depending on who this pick is. You know, they traded, so you trade your 20 fifth round pick. And they, I think they gave up a 22 first rounder. So basically hedging everything. This has to be for fields. I mean, there's J.J. Doney, I can't even look at J.J. because when it's not for fields, I'm going to feel salty and just like I should have, I should have thought that. But either way, they definitely believe in, you know, all that stuff that they said about Andy Dalton, not true, that he's not the quarterback of the future. And they did not age well. So we will see. I would not be shocked to see it be Mack Jones because Mack Jones was the favorite from all of the higher ups. So I could see them thinking they got one off on people by getting him here. But this has to be fields. I hope that somebody in that room is saying we can't pass up on this guy. He's falling right into our laps. We didn't have to do much to trade up for him. When people didn't think they were in a position to make a big splash like this. So all right, the pick is in the Chicago Bears after trading up to pick 11 are taking Roger Goodell is stalling, making us wait for the 11th overall pick in this year's draft. The details of the trade on the screen. This is so good. I'm so glad we have a Bears fan right now in this change the graphic. What is happening? Oh, we're talking about there's a there's a marathon. They're raising money for something. Wow, this is just painful. Well, I'm trying to build out. I am Ryan. I don't want to jinx it, but I'm starting to build out the Justin Field projection. Okay, well, that's that's risky. Build it out. Build it out. That's good luck. The Giants gave up next year's first round pick a fifth round pick this year and a fourth round pick next year. And they gave that up to select with the 11th overall pick. Potentially we're finally going to know Dave Gettleman traded back by the way. Oh, it happened. Wow. Oh my gosh, save the day just passed off to another guy. Okay. Take the mask off and let's get it. Come on. Show me the graphic, baby. Show me the money. The suspense. Bears fans are happy. Yeah, it's Justin Fields to the Chicago Bears. They trade up the Chicago Bears have their actual QB one Justin Fields goes 11th overall. Sorry. Nine or so picks too late, but he comes off the board. So, Ryan, going back to you one more time. Justin Field is a Chicago bear. What is your outlook for this offense? Your offense headed by Justin Fields. That's that must sound fun. All the Darnell Mooney because he's, you know, he's the one who's going to be around for a while. I mean, this is awesome for Alan Robinson and best balls. I'm so excited that I took a chance on getting him when there was rumors that we were going to be landing Russell Wilson here. So I wanted to, you know, go ahead and get some shares of him there. This is great. I mean, I can't remember any time in my lifetime, we've had a franchise quarterback that we could, you know, talk about of this magnitude. You know, of course, the Ohio State talk and the narrative of, oh, you know, I can already see the narrative tomorrow is going to be, well, so many teams didn't want to take Justin Fields. And of course, Ryan Payson, the Bears do take them. So what does that say? But this guy is so talented. I mean, this is going to be so exciting. My fiance has already texted me that she's happy we renewed the Bears season tickets. That was a conversation. So this, this is awesome. This is exciting. It's exciting for the offense. I mean, he's going to, Matt Nagy is going to have a guy that he can mold. He left before he was able to do that with Patrick Holmes. Now he gets a Justin Fields guy. This is kind of what we've been waiting to see is what he can do with a quarterback like this. And you're talking about the way they can scheme things with him to kind of, you know, run and maybe build out a West Coast offense there in Chicago. This is going to be awesome for guys like, like I said, Darnell Mooney, late in drafts, please snag him up because he is going to be awesome. Even a guy like Cole Comet, you know, I tied in late. If you want to punt tied in, getting a guy like him, but I'm actually shocked that they were able to somehow do this. This does not feel real. And I will, I will be taking this time now to go on the website in order jersey. I am proud of you. Very good selection. Now you can get entered in the drawing. Maybe I guess that's probably dumb. Okay. The Justin Fields Jersey swap already on the Chicago Bears. Andy, who did that already, but good job on the graphic side over at Fandall of getting a Justin Fields up there already. The reason we are excited about Justin Fields is he is a tremendous quarterback prospect. He doesn't have the experience factors we talked about with Trevor Lawrence, but tremendous efficiency. He is a runner, but also look at that efficiency. He was a number two in total QBR in the nation behind Mac Jones this year. And that's a number that accounts for schedule. That is important because Justin Fields faced the toughest schedule we have seen for a quarterback probably ever. The average ranking of the defense he faced in SP plus was 24.63. The second toughest ranking for a quarterback drafted since 2010 was 33.00 by Sam Bradford in a year where he played like five games before he got hurt. The second, the second toughest one for a guy who played a full season was Jake Locker at 35.83. So a full 11 spots gap between Justin Fields and the field. So yeah, we can talk about struggles against Indiana and Northwestern. Northwestern is a good defense, obviously, but also he faced a lot of good defense. If you face enough good defense, you're going to struggle eventually. And overall, he still had a 9.4 adjusted yards per attempt against top 50 defenses by SP plus this year. He was very good. That's why we are excited to see Justin Fields finally get picked too late, but he did get picked. And we are very happy about that. Guys, JJ, let's let's let's raise a glass to Alan Robinson, his best quarter getting the best quarterback that he's ever played with periods dating back to ever. I mean, ever, right? Like ever because college was awful, too. So yeah, projection wise, it's a little difficult for Justin Fields. I think that he has a better chance to play a lot of games than Trey Lance does. I could see a scenario where like Dalton starts the first game and they're like, what are we doing? Why are we doing this right now? So like a Tom Savage, Deshaun Watson. Right, right. Exactly. So Fields right now, though, with all that being said, I have met about 35 50 passing yards, 21 and a half passing touchdowns, which probably should be higher. 367 rushing yards, which again, it's at that right now, not because he's not projected to play everything, three to four touchdowns on the ground, 12.7 interceptions, 15.3 PPR points per game. I don't know why I said PPR doesn't matter for quarterbacks, but again, that's that's his projection divided by 17. So it's not actually what I would expect him to. I would expect his points per game number to be closer to like 17 to 19, as opposed to, you know, that that 15 number. I think he's another good late round quarterback option this year, as long as, you know, reports are positive and that he does end up, you know, getting that starting job, which right now I think we should feel fairly confident in, even though Chicago told Andy Dalton that he was, he was the guy, poor Andy Dalton, man, poor Andy Dalton. I mean, he got 10 mil, right? Yeah, that's true. Who's this going to who's this going to be, though? Is this is this Slater, Jim?  And then if Tyron Smith, you know, Tyron Smith is tremendous, but he has neck injuries. It's been, you know, he's had a rough go of it. Maybe you can move Rashaan Slater left tackle after, you know, Tyron Smith's time is up. So let's see if they do wind up going offensive line here. I do want to go to Brandon because he's cooked up a prospect model that has like top comps. His one for Justin Fields is pretty fun. So we'll get to that here after the the Cowboys get their pick in the Cowboys. I believe we're just like everyone had them taking a corner, but now that both Jaycee Horne and Patrick Sir Tanner off the board, that changes the equation quite a bit, as far as them. But like if you look at my wind total projections, they love the Cowboys, they're currently actually tied for fifth in wind total projection for this year, that is despite having a pretty rough projected past defense. And we'll see that changes here once they announce the pick for the Dallas Cowboys. Okay, they are going to announce it now. We'll see what the Cowboys do here at pick number 12, following their trade down with the Philadelphia Eagles. The person announcing this seems epic. I wish I had volume on. She's very excited. I would be to be in Cleveland watching the draft. What better thing than that? Michael Parsons. Hey, so it was not my school, it was Brandon's school. Michael Parsons, at least at a time. Michael Parsons goes to the Dallas Cowboys. They do get a difference making defensive player in Michael Parsons. I think they said Keanu Neal is going to be playing linebacker there as well. So Sean Lee retires. Michael Parsons come in, but I think that it's kind of like a pit situation where he's not necessarily a linebacker, kind of like a defensive playmaker. So that's why I do him there. But Brandon, I want to go back to you. Let's talk more about Justin Fields going to Chicago. You have this prospect model where you can put in inputs on different players and it'll spit out a top comp for the player. Who is your top comp in that for Justin Fields? Now that he is a Chicago bear. Yeah. So, I mean, all throughout draft season, we get what player this reminds me of, and that's the way that most people have their comps. And that's awesome. That's fine. That's not what I can do best. What I can do is look at the most predictive inputs, the most important things, wait things certain ways, looking at things like efficiency, rushing production in college, your age adjusted experience, which is something I learned from Jim, just kind of stole that right from him. But his top comp now is a lot of this has to do with the fact of the similar draft equity to Patrick Mahomes. Now is number one. So he's 89.2% likely or similar.  Trey Lance, Zach Wilson, so we don't know, but very similar prospects, which kind of goes into, you know, the whole discussion that we're having of why, why, why him, why is he falling and not these other guys. Dwayne Haskins, but also Joe Burrow to Johnny football, Kyler Murray. That took a dark turn. So, so I mean, there, there are some guys who didn't pan out, but you couldn't ask for a whole lot better of a profile. Right. And so I think for people who look at this from like an analytic standpoint, sure, I don't know why he was the one who fell necessarily, but very promising overall. I think that what were we just talking about? I have no idea what I was going to say. It's going to happen a lot on the show. By the way, did the bears pick him at 12? Is that what? Oh, yeah. So the key thing to note there with Mahomes being the top comp for Justin Fields is that it's Patrick Mahomes coming out of college and Patrick Mahomes hit like he was awesome, but he also had Andy Reid. He had this great supporting cast. We don't know what the outcome is. We're saying there are a lot of similarities between those two guys. And I thought there were a lot of similarities between it's not a comp, but there were similarities between Patrick Mahomes and Zach Wilson as well because off platform throws coming from a school that didn't face the best competition. Two and a half year starter, both of those guys started as true freshmen at their respective schools, very young Mahomes, a bit more experienced. He had 30 games of 10 plus attempts. Wilson had 27. They were very similar and both had good efficiency numbers in college. So that's what we're saying is that their prospect profiles are similar. That does not mean they will pan out the same. I think that that is, I would say the way that I phrase in Brandon, you can disagree at this, but I think that what I would say is something Patrick Mahomes asked is within the range of outcomes for Justin Fields. Do you buy or sell that phrasing of it? I mean, that's a, I mean, like I think that if he's your top comp, you got to say it. No, you have to say he'll be. No, no, no, I don't have to say that. What I can say and what I have to say is that based on the most important factors in college quarterback profiles, Justin Fields has a similar profile to Patrick Mahomes. He also has a similar profile to other players, obviously. But to say that he has Patrick Mahomes in him, I can't say because Mahomes is like, do the hot take. No, but I think that like the Zach Wilson Mahomes thing from like a film standpoint is like, we hear that a lot. We hear things like that. But what I think is most like intriguing is like, we don't know who's going to pan out. So we might as well look at what matters and look at like, what do players like Justin Fields, like who are they? Who have they been? And then we go from there. So I'm not going to say that he has Patrick Mahomes in his range of outcomes because we know what Patrick Mahomes has become. And Patrick Mahomes has become someone you can't compare anyone to.  JJ, Brandon wouldn't give me a hot take. Someone asked you, Dynasty, Superflex, quarterback rankings, we now know the landing spots for the four relevant guys, I'll say. Okay. How are you ranking Trevor Lawrence, Zach Wilson, Trey Lance and Justin Fields now that we know where they're playing? Yeah, I mean, I think that we can rank the top five now because I would assume that Mac Jones is just going to be the fifth. I mean, he would be the fifth probably regardless. Yeah. So I'm going to Trevor Lawrence first. I think I'm going to go Trey Lance over Justin Fields still, but same tier. I think, you know, it's not as attractive as Denver, but it could be worse. Organizationally, no offense to Ryan, you know, you kind of wish it would have been a little bit better of a landing spot there. But yeah, I mean, look, I think that Trey Lance and Justin Fields are sort of in their own tier now, given the, not only that, there's a draft capital gap there, at least some, right? And then Zach Wilson would be fourth probably in the next tier. And then I would put a new tier then again, going to Mac Jones. I'm assuming Jones finds a spot here in the first round. But who knows? I mean, we'll see. But the Chargers here, I assume it's going to go and get Rashawn Slater, right? Plug them in the left tackle and log out and forget it. Ryan, what are your rankings for Superflex, Dynasty, Quarterbacks, taking, not literally, because you're wearing a bear's hat, taking the bear's hat off for a second. Don't not again, not literally. But how are you ranking these quarterbacks? Yeah, you definitely have to go Lawrence number one. I would go Lance too, as well. And then, yeah, then I think it's a toss up. I mean, listen, what we like, what you would like about this from a Dynasty standpoint is there's only room for this to grow for Fields. You know, for Lance and Lawrence, they're coming into situations right now where they're going to be surrounded by a plethora of talent. I mean, the bears are in this position because they haven't had talent on the offensive side of the football for a while. So it is going to be, this is not just a play-and-play, it's going to be growing pains for Justin Fields here.  But at least you have the quarterback position now where people want to come to the team and play for. So I still would like him at number three, but the other two guys are leaps and bounds there. I like them above a Wilson with this pick. I think I'm in agreement with you, both of you, where I think Lance is two. I wanted to put Fields ahead, but the two most important things are surrounding talents and draft capital and both those things favor Trey Lance. So I have a higher opinion of Justin Fields and Trey Lance. So I want to put Fields higher, but the things that matter the most, both favor Trey Lance. So I will also go Trevor Lawrence won Trey Lance two, despite the fact that he might not start right away. Justin Fields three, Zach Wilson four, but I think Zach Wilson is a very respectable four because he's going to have a good play caller there. He's got some decent pass catchers. I don't think the offensive line is a train wreck. So I actually think it's a decent situation. I would say that he's like, I think he's in the same tier as Fields and Lance. I feel very good ranking them ahead of him, but I would say that he is in the same tier. And if I needed a quarterback and super flex dynasty and Zach Wilson was the one guy left, I'm not going to complain. I would take him. But I think that I, I feel like he's in the same tier that could just be because I have a very high opinion of Wilson. He did go second overall as well. So I don't know that's it makes sense to me. Yeah. I mean, I would, I think what we're really getting at here is if you're in a super flex league, dynasty league, get your quarterback this year. Yeah, you're going to get, you're going to, if you have a top half pick, you're going to get a great quarterback. And if you have a bottom half pick that hopefully means that you were competitive, right? And you probably have a good quarterback situation. You're going to have your choice of some really, really good wide receivers. And then, you know, it's going to go into like the mid second round, similar to what we saw last year really.  Running that class was definitely deeper. That's really what pushed things that down. But, you know, if you're, if you're sitting in like the top nine, eight or nine in a super flex draft, you're probably feeling pretty good right now, just because you have four good landing spots for these quarterbacks, pretty good landing spots for these quarterbacks. You're going to have Jamar Chase, good landing spot in Cincinnati. You know, you have, you have the three running backs and hopefully they find, you know, these destinations where they need workhorse backs. And then all of a sudden, you know, it's just, it's, something's happening. Our producer, Cal, just went absolutely because the winner, the winner of our random Jersey giveaway is a regular viewer, Bethany Peters. Oh, wow. Yeah, Bethany got it. You have won the Jersey draw. So congratulations. I assume, I assume it's going to be a nice, fresh Chris Conley. So congratulations to Bethany, the winner of our Jersey giveaway. Congratulations to the city of Evanson, Illinois, because Rashawn Slater is going to the Los Angeles Chargers, baby. The Northwestern Wildcats have their first, first round pick since I think the least Castillo has been a hot second. Pat Fitzgerald is there with Rashawn Slater. Good day. Yeah. Coach Fitz, go cats. Rashawn Slater. My wife said that she didn't like Rashawn Slater's suit. I agree, but I can't say that even though I just did. It's a pretty bad suit. But yeah, as Rashawn Slater is wearing it, I'm feeling good. So we're feeling good. But again, congratulations, Bethany. I'm winning the Jersey giveaway there. I'm going to put Rashawn Slater into the this. What I have is I have a projected production thing based on where a player goes in the draft. Okay. So I have the production for Rashawn Slater based on that. Let's scroll down here to the Los Angeles Chargers. I'm just going to talk you through this because why not? Okay, we put Rashawn Slater left tackle over Trey Pitkins. So I'd assume that he's going to tackle. Wow. Okay. So they were ranked 23rd. And if I put Rashawn Slater in there rank first, I sent some Northwestern bias here. They move up to 15. This is this is not based on my personal opinion of Rashawn Slater, which is that he should have been the first overall pick. It's based on past production of tackles who have gone 13th overall, effectively, you know, but they move up to 15th of my offensive line rankings. And the reason they do that is because they've done a lot of work there. Corey Linsley at center, big upgrade there for them over Pouncey was there last year. Matt Filer comes over from your Pittsburgh Steelers JJ. He will likely be playing left guard. They like Odea Boushee quite a bit, Robushi. He's with the Jets back in the day with the Lions last year. It's not a bad offensive line. And now you give Justin Herbert a good offensive line or at least average offensive line, which is better than it was previously to go with Keenan Allen to go with Jared Cook, importantly, to go with Austin Neckler, Donald Parham. He needs to stay out of the pace. Like you, my Jared Cook shares going, but JJ, Justin Herbert has a pretty good supporting cast. How are you feeling about him heading into year number two? Let me pull up his projection. I mean, I'm feeling good. I think Justin Herbert's great. And I would, I would love to have him on my fantasy teams. I have him on some dynasty teams right now. I have him as QB nine. And that's mostly because he's not running the football as much as other quarterbacks are. But I will say with Herbert, I think that we have some untapped potential with his legs that we haven't seen yet. You know, I don't think he's going to be like Josh Allen necessarily necessarily, but I think he has that kind of dynamic to his game that he didn't really show last season. And so that's intriguing.  It's tough to get those players in those quarterbacks to be high end QB ones, unless they have some sort of outlier season, which will happen.  And I say pocket, I understand that Aaron Rodgers can escape and do things. Jim is raising his eyebrows right now. Jets has tried it up to 14. Okay. Well, I'll finish my thought really quick. So, you know, with Justin Herbert, he's probably the best pocket. I say that and quote because he's not, I mean, he has athleticism in fantasy football that you can draft. He's just after that tier, which basically ends at like Russell Wilson when you're no longer getting those cheat code rushing quarterbacks. So the jets move up to pick 14. Also, we forgot Jones, baby. Oh, gosh. So we forgot the most burn at all. We have Joe Burrow reconnected with Jamar Chase. We have Jalen Hertz reconnected with Devonte Smith and Rashawn Slater reconnected with Justin Jackson, the carrier. Yes. Our political king. He's, he's risen. This is great. I have Austin Neckler would like for that to not happen. But like, you know, Justin Jackson is great. So we can all root for him there for sure. Okay. So the jets trade up. I have not seen the details on what they gave. They were 23rd. They traded up with the Vikings. So they were 23rd. They move up to 14th. It looks like they gave up two third round picks. Are they, they're not like reaching for a running back here or anything? Are they? I would have to assume not because I mean, there was a lot of buzz around the Cardinals and Najee Harris. Yeah, I don't see. I don't think the Cardinals are going to do that because they don't have enough draft capital on this draft in general. I thought that about the bills last year and that didn't work out very well. I haven't seen the details on what this wanted. Yeah, I still don't see anything here. I would bet it's Elijah Vera Tucker personally. Yeah, there were there was a lot of reporter buzz around Elijah Vera Tucker from people who are very well plugged in before the draft. That was the 23rd. I'm guessing because Slater we