The following is a presentation of TFNN. Trade what you see with Larry Pezzavento. Call now toll free at 1-877-927-6648 or internationally at<PHONE_NUMBER>. Now Larry Pezzavento. Okay, looking good, Billy Ray feeling good, Lewis. I want you to take a look. This is the E-mini S&P December contract. You see here on the far left where this high was made. That was the day the Federal Reserve was meeting and had their big meeting. And of course we had the breakdown and then the rally back up and then another big breakdown. But if you'll notice here, we had a perfect ABCD up here that we talked about yesterday at 43-69. But unfortunately the high was 43-71 and a quarter. So we missed it by about one and three-quarters points. The cold on we got a telephone message coming in here. So bear with me here one second. And that's what I did Jake. God dog it. Hold on just a minute. They said I did something wrong. So let's try it all over again. Time is running short on me boys and girls. It really is. All right. We're going to go up here and change windows. And I put screens right there. There's a screen. I put that on screen one just like it did before. Now hopefully it'll be working. Let's check and see. Maybe that'll be working. Hopefully it is. What's important today folks. You'll see the 382 was made here. Let's blow this up. But look how quickly we've given up 50 handles. Boys and girls, if we go below here. You see this level right here? You're going to see a CRASH. I'm not going to spend it. Expend the energy to say what that word means. But starts with a C, ends in an H if we go below here. This would be so incredibly bearish that you just can't believe it. It will be as bearish as this one right here. So you can see what happened there. So just be really careful folks. Because if we get below here. Look at this folks. We've given up 55 handles in two hours. Three hours. Not a good sign. All right. Let's move over and take a look at the gold market. Because it has illiterally given up the ghost. And this is what's important here. Remember we bought this at 81. And when you have a $1,500 profit right here folks. The best thing you can do is put your, the worst thing you do is put your stop at break even. There's no question about that. Now let's just look at that. That big rally we had $15. So we're just going to take it little by little. And go back to see what we haven't really got any highs to really measure any 382 on about the only one we have would be either this one or even that one there. This was probably, that's probably something I don't know. Yeah, that that goes right to the 382. But if you can call this a high, that's a rally of $7 more. That isn't very much. But here's the key. If we look at this now on the long term weekly folks, we are below, believe it or not, we're below the 786. You see there 1869. We're now trading at 1867. Train says we're moving on down to 1827. So I hope everybody put their stop at break even because after you have a $1,500 profit, that is your money in your pocket folks. So you've got to protect it.  I keep talking about that day after day, whether that happens or not, I'm not sure, but that's the main thing that you really have to do. Very, very important. You know, it's just incredible. Hey, from my perspective, it is anyway. Okay, let's move on here to another one that we want to talk about here, which is the Euro. Everybody's been talking about the Euro as a great buy. Well, we've had a very nice rally. You can see there's the rally. We had the ABCD down here. We went a little bit lower.  We've rallied a little over 100 pips, which is a considerable rally. So let's see why it stopped right here. So we're going to go and make this a hourly chart right here. Okay, and there's where it stopped. Okay, and you can see the high back here is where it stopped. I can tell you just by looking at a few charts, it's going to be almost exactly 50%. Let's just double check. And there it is. It's exactly 50%. Now, we do have a few ABCDs on the way up here. And this is an hourly chart, so you're able to do those. The first one we have is right here. Now, people have always asked me about how Lori did her trading in the Euro. There's an ABCD pattern here. And then if you look at the next one you had here, you have another ABCD pattern right there. See, that's all she was doing. She was watching these ABCD patterns to see that they lined up. She would have sold this one. The market broke down about pretty good, about 50 pips from there. And now it made the 50% retracement, and then it went a little bit lower. Now, people have asked me, is this a three drive to a top pattern? No, folks, it is not. I'll tell you why. There's no symmetry here. There's drive one, there's drive two, there's drive three. But you see, there's no symmetry here. You really need some nice symmetry. That's what you look for. It's nice symmetry. And we had that in one of the other things we were looking at today that we just talked about. Let's get it up here. I'll move it up. Here's where we are. I'm going to blow this up now so we can see it pretty good. And, all right, there's where we are. We'll just take this off. There's drive one, there's drive two, and there's drive three. You see the symmetry? Symmetry is when the market goes from high to high to high in nearly the same time. Now, look what's happening here, folks. There's high to high to high. Now, is that so hard? That's not really hard. So using the same context, what we're going to do is we're going to look at that AB leg right here. There's a one last night at 55. Then we had another one right here. And it came right in. It should have gone to 78, but it only went to 71, which was the exact 61% retracement. And remember with our good friend who I used to work for many years ago, Albert Einstein, when I was working there at the University of Chicago when I was nine years old, getting my PhD in doctorate. Anyway, wait, was that? No, that wasn't me. Anyway, let's take a look at this. You'll see here, we do have equal highs, and we do have an exact 61% retracement up here. And look at this for now. We're 51 handles below. Folks, if we start getting below here, I'm just going to show you where we're going, OK? There's where we're going right here.  Let me tell you, there'll be this one right here. If it does, it probably won't. But if it does, we're heading down 100 handles to 4080 is where we're going to go. That's, if this goes below here today, that's really bad. And let me tell you why, folks, OK? You see this little ABCD panel we just talked about? If that one fails, the first sign that it's going to fail is it gets below 4,300. And then, of course, if it goes below this one, then you're going to be looking at that right here. And then people are going to say, hmm, this market is kind of bearish, OK?  Barry Steinmetz, who runs Starlight Capital, I believe he's one of the big hitters in the, in the hedge, oh, shuck. Hold on just a minute, what we got here. Maybe we got a caller coming in here. Hold on a second here. Oh, we got a call here from Richard in Massachusetts. What can I help you with, Richard? Let me get this back up here so we can see it. Are you on the line? Yes. Hello, Larry. Hi, what can I do for you, my friend? Stay with us until after the break, OK? I sent you a text message on Skype a few minutes ago. OK, wait till after the, wait till after the commercial, Richard, OK? Steve Rhodes started his trading career as a student almost 20 years ago and the student has now become the master. Steve won the prestigious Timer of the Year award in 2018 and barely missed that mark again in 2019, finishing at number two for the year, an amazing accomplishment. Steve Rhodes is committed to sharing his techniques and knowledge with anyone who wants to learn and he shares his vast amount of trading knowledge every day in his Mastering Probability newsletter. Steve's award-winning newsletter, Mastering Probability, is delivered every trading day with updates throughout the afternoon. Sign up for Steve's market newsletter, Mastering Probability, and you'll receive access to seven of Steve's educational webinars absolutely free. At TFNN, all our newsletters come with a 30-day money-back guarantee, so you have absolutely nothing to worry about. Visit TFNN.com and try Mastering Probability 30 days risk-free today. TFNN Educating Investors. Are you ready to take your trading to the next level? Introducing Tom O'Brien's award-winning newsletter, Market Insights, your key to successful active trading. Tom O'Brien, renowned for his expertise in the financial markets, has designed Market Insights to be your daily guide to profitable trades. Tom publishes his daily Market Insights newsletter every market day before the market open, along with updates when warranted. Stay ahead of the game with Tom's real-time analysis and trade recommendations delivered straight to your inbox.  Ready to join the ranks of successful traders? Head over to TFNN.com and subscribe to Market Insights today. Don't miss out on this opportunity to supercharge your trading results. Market Insights comes with a 30-day money-back guarantee for all new subscribers, so you have nothing to risk. Don't miss out on this opportunity to revolutionize your trading game. Head over to TFNN.com right now to join the thousands of traders who have already experienced the power of Tom O'Brien's award-winning newsletter, Market Insights firsthand. TFNN, educating investors. Currencies, commodities, and bond markets are as important as ever right now with how they're driving the volatility in equity markets across the globe, which is why it's a great time to try out Teddy Kegstad's Tiger Forex report. Teddy Kegstad breaks down the forex markets every Monday using his 30-plus years of experience as a trading veteran of futures, forex, stocks, and options. Teddy releases his weekly Tiger Forex report every Monday morning with coverage of all the major currency pairs, including the Dollar Index, the Euro Dollar, Pound Dollar, Dollar Swiss, Dollar Yen, as well as many more, and he also has weekly coverage of the crude oil market and the 30-year T-bonds as they both influence forex markets tremendously. When you sign up for the Tiger Forex report, you also gain instant access to Teddy's 60-minute webinar archive. He just hosted forex strategies and fundamentals. What is behind the Tiger Forex report? For all the details and to start your 30-day Tiger Forex report subscription today, visit the front page of TFNN.com. TFNN, educating investors. Okay, folks, we have Richard on, I think, from the great state of Maine. Richard, how are you doing? Hello, Larry.  Tomorrow or the next day. Alright, what can I help you with, my friend? Okay, I was looking at the treasury bond on the weekly and the monthly chart about 30, 40 minutes ago, and I happened to notice 30 years to me to be a three drives to a bottom around 112 on the treasury bond of 30-year. And I think if we bought that thing over the next week or so, maybe week after next, we'd find a nice little buy that could last us until June. That is, I think maybe we should even buy that June contract and just watch it float up to about 140, huh? Well, there's a possibility and I posted a chart in here on the weekly chart and I've got a price objective of 105, Richard. But what you're looking at, getting on the hourly chart, I'm going to bring this up here. I hope you can see it because this is really a clear chart from my opinion. Here's the high that we made back at 120. That was a 382. That's when the Fed did their first meeting. There's when they did their second meeting. And then we had the big move down. We had to just draw it in so we'd be able to see it because this is one of the larger traded things.  We rallied several days all the way up into the 20, right there. You can everybody can see it right there. We came down and we made our price objective at 112.28. The low was 112.10. And now we've had a rally. The problem, Richard, is if you take the high of that BC leg back on the 25th and you measure that from the high down to the low, you're going to see that today's high today is an exact 50% retracement with an ABCD pattern in here. So the only way your long-term project here of going higher will work is if you can get this thing above 115. But from my perspective, I still think we're heading down to 105. And that's the area that I'm thinking we're going to be going to. But that's my two cents worth. So we each have an opinion. And if you bought it down there, you got a great trade on. So just make sure you put a stop in. But this market is still headed far south, in my opinion. OK. I can understand that. So what you're saying is it could go into discount territory if it breaks below five? No, it's not really discounted. Just the people have to pay more for the bonds. So that's another reason for it. So I hope that. I hope that helps. I mean, if it gets down to 98, it's going to be a discount premium on the 6% coupon is what it'll be, which will be a big surprise. Does that help? OK. That helps. Thank you, Larry. Have a safe trip back and tell your lovely bride. I said, hello, OK? All right. OK. You bet. That's Richard Rube, folks, who had just had a birthday on the 27th. And we had a nice salutation for him. And boy, did I did I kick the cat on that one, folks. The 27th of September was Mark Douglas's birthday. And he had a birthday too. But unfortunately, he passed away six years ago. And we weren't able to give him the accolades that he really needed because, folks, I've been doing this for a long, long time. And one of the most fortunate, one of the most fortunate things that ever happened to me was when Mark moved here in 96. He came here to Tucson to spend, they were here five years. And then they moved up to Scottsdale where all the shopping was up in 2001, or actually in 2002. But we worked every day. That's where he wrote the book, the trading in the zone.  I mean, there was a family affair. So we, in fact, his wife ended up marrying Sarah and I because she happens to be a preacher. So that's how close we were. And we remain close. But we can imagine having somebody with that much depth of knowledge of what really goes behind a trader's mind and working with him every day for six years. And boy, I'll tell you, he was really special. My goodness, I'll tell you, I just can't give him enough credit, folks. If you haven't read that book, trading in the zone, you're really missing something really spectacular. If you wanted to extend it, get the audio version where you can hear Mark's voice and he can talk to you about what trading is all about. And it's all about risk control, folks. I didn't get a chance to tell Richard, if you'll look at the 382 that came in from the last major high that we had back in here, back on the 20th, that's when the Fed was there. And this is what we've done today is we just made a 382 retracement of that. And not only that, but equals the rally that we had back here in the 13th and 14th. So between the 28th and 29th, we rallied almost two handles, which we did, just like we did here, and then down again. So it just doesn't look very good from that perspective. So if you have any questions, folks, please be sure to, you know, send me an email or call it, folks. I am so exhausted, I shouldn't be doing this show. That's how tired I am. And I, you know, never mind. Anyone do the best. If you have any questions,<PHONE_NUMBER>. Hey, Jeff, if you're listening, I know you have some questions about Lori and the Euro. If you call in now, let's answer them together for everybody. That would be a big help to me and maybe to everybody else because she did some really simple things that worked really good and they work on anything. But let's, we've got to look at a couple of markets here because there's a few markets here that are really, really in super trouble. Let me show you the one that is really shocked. Well, not shocking, but we had a grain report today. And evidently, it must have been pretty bearish because the beans are down. But what's down is the Christmas wheat. I mean, I saw 50, it's at 48 right now. Look at this, folks. There's where we are. Look at this. We're coming down here. It looks like we're heading down. Believe it or not, to 518 here in the wheat. Look at this. This has just been a total look at this. We tried the long side here, worked for a very short time, had another one that broke about even. But look at this. It appears to me that we're getting ready to make another ABCD all the way down to here. Folks, believe it or not, I'm not kidding you, but Peter Lides a year ago said that wheat was going to break $5 a bushel is what he said. And he's not a wheat farmer or anything like that. But he said it was going down to that level. But look what it's doing today. If we look at this on the daily chart, it's going to look like a falling safe. And there it is. You can see we're breaking down right now. We're at the 1.618 expansion of this whole move right here. And you're down. How much are you down here? Oh, my goodness. You're down about, wow, weeks down about 40 cents today.  It must be poisonous. That's the only thing I can figure out. But look at this. This is really, this is really shocking. These poor guys and wheat farmers are really in bad shape. Let's go back just a little few months ago. Okay. We just put this up on the long-term weekly and look where we were. Do you remember back here it was trading limit up? Look at it right now, folks. Look where we are. That's why you got to believe in the charts, because a lot of people were bullish all the way down. I don't know. Possibly. I'm not sure. Anyway, that's what we're watching here today. Let me double check the old clock on the wall to see if I've got it working. And then we can see how much time I've got left, which is very, very slim. We've only got a few seconds left. And we'll be right back. 877-976648. Gold report. As a precious metal, gold is still king. It continues to hold the most effective safe haven and hedging properties across the global major trading hubs of the London OTC market, the US futures market, and the Shanghai Gold Exchange. The Gold Report. Tom O'Brien publishes his weekly Gold Report every Monday morning for subscribers consisting of coverage of the XAU, HUI, GDX, The Dollar, Bonds, The South African Rand, as well as 25 different mining equities with specific buy-sell recommendations. The Gold Report. New subscribers get a 30-day money-back guarantee so you have nothing to risk. Subscribe to Tom O'Brien's Gold Report newsletter now at TFNN.com. Everything in the universe is governed by the Fibonacci sequence. 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Folks, and I believe we have Jeff on the line. Jeff, how are you doing? How are you doing well? How are you? Very good. What can I help you with, my friend? Are we on the air? Yes, sir. You're live. Just like Memorex. There's a delay on my computer. Yes, so I have a dozen more questions on Lori's style of trade. So the first one is if you might know what her win rate was? Yeah, she was hitting a better than 55%. Okay, so we're on 50%. Close to 60%, not quite 60, 59. She was wondering why she couldn't get to 618 and I said, are you making money? And I said, yeah, then forget about it. Right around the 58, something like that, as I recall. That's 30 years ago, but I'm pretty sure I'm right. Okay, thanks. Okay, next question. Did she focus on a particular time of day, like for the first two or three hours of the open, or did she trade around the clock? No, she never did. There was no round the clock back in those days because they didn't have that yet. So there was an opening at the Chicago Trade Merc Futures. And so that's what she would be doing. She would wait until the opening of the Merc Futures and then that's when her trading would start. She watched the Forex charts, but didn't have access to trading goes. She didn't have a large enough account. Okay, so she traded starting around 9.30 Eastern and then she stopped at a particular time? I know, just the end of the day. That was pretty much it. Okay, so she'd traded until, I guess, about five o'clock Eastern time. That's correct. Both the Euro and, well, no, while corn closes at two, well, to 20. Yes. But she closed to the end of the day for each of these markets. That's correct, yeah. Okay, got you. Thanks. Next question. So, Will, would her style of trading, where you look for an ABCD and then calculate your stop and your target based on the harmonic, would that work on any commodity, any futures? Anything that's actively traded? Yes, it certainly does. Has to because it's normal markets. So she focused on the Euro and the corn because they're liquid or liquid, the most liquid? Yes, that's correct, yeah. Well, the Euro because that's the most liquid of all and the corn was the easiest one because it had a margin of only $800 at that time. I think $800,000 at that time, so you didn't have to have much to do it, but that's what she did. She still would have days. She might not trade for a day or two because there wasn't a good pattern, but when the pattern came up, she would take it. By the way, I think I charted this morning. My first low-re-trade was on corn this morning and it just hit its target about 10 minutes ago, so I completely spoiled down. Oh, yeah, oh, stop that. Hold on, let's just get up here and let everybody see it. We'll take a look at the corn because it's been, I haven't even looked at corn. I've looked at beans and I've looked at here's Christmas corn right here. Let's get this up. Which time frame, Jeff? 15 minutes? Yeah, it's an hourly. Hourly? Okay, let's get it up here and we'll take a quick look at it. Oh, I see it right there. Oh, that was a beauty. Yeah, very nice. Yeah. Let's get this up here. I don't know what happened to the green market. Well, it had a report. It had a report, but if you're looking here, folks, here's, you know, if you like ABCD and I certainly do, but here's what you want to be looking for. First of all, clean all this stuff out. Take your pencil and just draw from your high down to your low and then take your next one and go to right here. And then from right there you can see a series of these going up, okay? But the main one is this one right here and I bet you, Jeff, went short about $4.89. Am I correct? That's exactly right. That's correct. Well, now, if you look at this real closely, and I'm sure you can just see this, Jeff, look at this closely because this is the same thing we were seeing in the S&P and gold and all the others. Look at this, folks. Look at the symmetry between this three drive to a top end or drive one, drive two, drive three. Look at that.  It comes right out there, right on the money and that's what you're looking for. And if you're looking for some type of symmetry, if you look at the time between highs and that's really what you're watching. From high to high and high to high, it's off by about an hour, about an hour and a half, but your target doesn't get hit till right there. See, so you sold it right on the money so you did the right thing. That's basically what you got to do. So congratulations. It worked like a chance. I had a couple of questions if I could. Well, they're $3 each, but you can mail them in a check later. No, that's okay. Fire away, Jeff. Whatever you need. So, so when I was looking at this, I mean, I just learned this started a couple of days ago when you brought it up. The, you know, that ABCD against the opposite trend can be a Gartley. It depends on, you know, if you have a swing in that down trend that uses the next point, right? So there it is right here. There's your Gartley pattern. I'm showing the Gartley pattern. Now if you take the high back on in August, okay? And if you just drew the ABCD I'm going to draw it into everybody can see it. There's your A leg right here. There's your B leg. There's your C leg. And there's your D leg. And the high today in corn was at 490 and that is 707 and corn hit 707 probably more than it hit 618 because that's the harmonic number in it. And by golly, I don't know why, but it's working pretty good. Right, so I notice the advantage of, if I call it a lorry pattern, the advantage of the lorry pattern is that if you do not have an X point you just have a really big drop, say, you know, big trend and you can't find an X point or if you do it's like very far away. Well, you can use lorry's technique where you don't need an X point because it's plus or minus the harmonic, right? So if you have it, which is another good tool to have. So my question though is that if you do have that X point and the pattern qualifies as both a Gartley and you know, an ABCD going against the trend which like lorry's trade, which way would you trade it? Would you trade it with a plus or minus harmonic or would you trade it like the way I always trade the Gartley is with a 0.618 retrace of the A to D range. Just go in at D. If you got ABCD, just go in at D and don't try to be cute and put a stop in and you're going to be right more than you're wrong. Keep it as simple as possible. If you wanted to set the target, what would be your preference for your target? Would it be the 0.618 AB or would it be a harmonic? Do you often on the trade itself? Yeah. Yeah, be making it right now right at the 61% retracement but you have to ask yourself if it's coming down this fast see it's already below the 61% retracement it's coming down really fast. I would just put a trading stop in like it about lock in basically $400 you've got $600 right now so if it gets a little bit lower and it holds, see right now it's still holding it's still making new lows but if you get to 4786 4766 you know down another couple cents then you're going to be looking at a 786 retracement and if you don't want to carry it overnight that's where you'd be covering it. Okay, so I think it's over there. Uh-oh. That's okay. Can I hold on and ask you a couple more? Sure, you bet you. Absolutely. Thanks. You might think that if you want to be successful at trading in the stock market you're going to need a crystal ball. After all, it's impossible to predict the future, right? 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Introducing Tom O'Brien's award-winning newsletter Market Insights your key to successful active trading Tom O'Brien, renowned for his expertise in the financial markets, has designed Market Insights to be your daily guide to profitable trades Tom publishes his daily Market Insights newsletter every market day before the market open along with updates when warranted Stay ahead of the game with Tom's real-time analysis and trade recommendations delivered straight to your inbox Whether you're a seasoned trader or just starting out Market Insights provides the edge you need to navigate the markets with confidence Ready to join the ranks of successful traders? Head over to TFNN.com and subscribe to Market Insights today Don't miss out on this opportunity to supercharge your trading results Market Insights comes with a 30-day money back guarantee for all new subscribers so you have nothing to risk Don't miss out on this opportunity to revolutionize your trading game Head over to TFNN.com right now to join the thousands of traders who have already experienced the power of Tom O'Brien's award-winning newsletter Market Insights firsthand TFNN Educating Investors TSC American and TSX under the symbol VGZ Folks, we're back with Jeff from New Jersey What can we help you with again? My friend, do you have another couple of questions you said? I do. Just to clarify the last one I have to be a little bit of a nudge because I like to have a target when I can So if you have a pattern that's both called a lorry pattern and a garlic pattern I think I heard you say you would probably pick the 618 of the AD range if you had to take a target Mathematics Proceeds Geometry There you go, okay So I'll go with Gartley See sometimes I can't be here to do like a trailing stop or whatever I have to leave the computer or something So I like to have a pre-calculated target that I can put in In any case I can't manage the trade But okay, so thanks for that I got two more questions So my understanding is that she would calculate the d-point of the ABCD and then she would enter her trade But of course sometimes price is going to go a little bit higher before it rolls over if you're lucky Did she adjust her target from the higher price or she left it at the calculated d-point? She left it there Okay great, thank you And the last question I wanted to ask your permission If I could shade the AD range I'm sorry not the AD range Well the qualifying AD range by like say two pips like for example I had asked did she have a minimum range for the AD range to qualify for her to trade and you said yes 30 pips for the Euro If I made it 28 pips would that be okay? You have to write that and give me a written authorization before I let you do that Jeff believe it or not you can do anything you want to do as long as you use a stop, do you understand that? Yeah but I like to try to optimize and sometimes this happens often I think it might happen for you also where you have an entry and price comes up really close of a no cigar and it turns over and you miss the trade so I find that shading my targets extending my stops by a couple points it actually helps That's good, that's what you should do She didn't do any of that but you could do that Okay so that would not be heinous if I use the 28 pips would you still have your authorization to trade? Okay so you'll be alright Okay I'll send you a form Okay well that's great so it sounds like if that was 30 years ago she's no longer trading Well she's trading with the gods she passed away of a cerebral hemorrhage about 8-9 years ago she was in her 60's and she, no no she's a lovely lady but she's a good person Okay Well that's fantastic I appreciate all the details in your time I want to keep this lorry trade as a tool when I don't have a garbage setting up but I do have an ABCD going against the trend and I can't find a good X-point I can trade it this way Okay but just don't tell anybody else about it, it's for you and me only Okay just Alright Thanks Jeff for calling in If I get back to Philly we'll get together, okay? Okay sounds good Thanks Larry Okay let's move on here to some of these markets here we're looking at the corn we've looked at some of these other things but the one you want to pay attention to folks is this S&P and the Dow Jones Let's just look at the Dow Jones to see where we are on a percent basis We've come down pretty good but the key here is this low here if we take that out that's not going to be good and so far we've come down to the 786 I believe there it is right there we've rallied a little bit off of that we started getting below here folks let me show you what you're looking at you're looking at this right here let's just go down to an hourly Okay here is the problem Alright just get this up here this is high right back here Federal Reserve Federal Reserve high just for kicks and giggles remember we made it in the S&P I haven't even checked this yet this morning and there's the high in the Dow Jones today exact high you see that and there's your same pattern that you had in the S&P there's your 382 okay if you get above this we're going to go a lot higher but if we get below start getting below this what you're going to be looking at is B C D we start getting below here we've got three hours to go two hours to go and I don't think it will probably happen today but get ready for Monday because we get below here you're looking at a move that went from 3500 down to 336 1200 points take 1200 points under this 34132 and you'll be looking at the Dow Jones 54 we're basically 32,500 32,500 is 1200 points lower in the Dow Jones let's write this up here I probably won't happen but what the hey we'll just see if it's right there's your AB leg right there there's your CD and we'll draw it here so we can see it a little clear and you put it in right there and there's what we may buy there's what the ship will start sailing if we get below here so be careful because we haven't even had a vacuum there's been no fear in this market at all you know the people have been talking about it all away and I don't know if it's going to work or not but the fact that it started in the right direction is good enough for me but we'll wait and see that's what my target is folks and I'm sticking to it alright let's pay attention no more no more questions Al says the board is lit up you just can't get through so I can understand that alright let's take a look at back and take a look at this old crude oil that we looked at the other day I wanted to show you there's where the crude is right here okay remember last yesterday we were watching this 382 right here if you remember we were watching this 382 okay there's the 382 right here it misses it by about a couple pips but it had a beautiful ABCD there if you remember remember this is 30 minutes let's just go to the 15 minutes so we can see it there it is right here move this over there's the ABCD right there and there was a 382 with just a pipper too as they say in the trade there's where you are right there okay you miss it by just a little bit you notice how this high does not take this high out that's because this was the ABCD right here there's your AB this is why there's your AB there's your CD we said the low would be about here there it was right there there was the low okay and all you did now is you made another 382 of this one and look what's happening we're starting to move down we're in a bear market now and crude all folks believe it or not and that's pretty much what we're watching here you see it's important that this could not take that out if it did it changes the whole structure of everything and until that happens not going to be the same so we're heading down here we're now down $5 a barrel folks and just a matter of two days this is well three days 28 29 that's two days see that's how that works right and the next one would be the 30th which is the Saturday we don't we won't be trading on Saturdays that's it okay so that's pretty much what we're watching here today and let's move on here to what's going on and we'll be right back 877-927-664 wait if you're looking for potential trading setups in the stock market then rocket equities and options report is a newsletter you should try Tommy O'Brien delivers options and equity trades when the markets present them using a combination of fundamentals and technicals sign up for rocket equities and options report today with a 30 day money back guarantee so you have nothing to risk for all the details and to start your subscription today visit the front page of tfnn.com you might think that if you want to be successful at trading in the stock market you're going to need a crystal ball after all it's impossible to predict the future right like any endeavor in life before you decide it's impossible get some advice from the experts you might find that it's not so impossible after all for daily market overviews that give you direction on the key indices selective stocks and commodities subscribe to the opening call 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tfnn.com then hit watch Tiger TV okay folks I put the wheat chart back up here because I'm a little curious about it now see wheat break 45 cents in one day folks that's really unusual as you notice here just a few weeks a few days ago back here in the 10th we were looking to be a buyer on this ABCD pattern we had a really nice there's your A leg ah shut the front door had the wrong tool there's your ABCD coming in right here and just absolutely perfect we measured the time down if you remember everything lined up pretty good had a really nice rally up here and then it's had the break but boy this is really bad shape here here's what's interesting to me I've been a little busy doing other things today but if I had a clear handle there's yesterday's high at 585 and there's today's high half a cent higher now if that's exactly 382 that's an ideal type of a thing which you've got to you're gonna have to go into report but the thing is if it's right so you can see what happened here let's just measure it from the high looks like 50% let's just double check here it's right at well yeah you see it here it's just a little above but this is only three cents so your 382 comes in here at 583 and the high is 585 and now it's trading wow that's hard to believe 46 cents lower I just can't imagine how Barry said report had to be because I'll have to check with Rich Anderson here over the weekend to see why it's so very very now someone's asking me am I picking a bottom in here hello operator no this is what I think could happen to stocks actually that's just like the S&P here today at 30 excuse me at 43 69 which was the 618 retracement or 382 retracement behind back here this looks the same so if we start going below here that's what you're looking at so folks live every day hit an attitude of gratitude and may God bless make sure you do something for your neighbors see you on the flip side on Monday


President will notice, dangerous my stock and trade. If the job's too tough for you to handle, you got a job for me, George Valentine. Write full details. Standard of California, on behalf of independent Chevron gas stations and standard stations throughout the west, invites you to let George do it. Run Until Dead, another adventure of George Valentine. Dear Mr. Valentine, recently I've had reason to investigate and reassure myself of your integrity. I'm quite confident that you can handle a rather small task for me with the utmost secrecy. I say small, but it's a matter of great urgency to me. I only hope that it doesn't surprise you too much that I should be appealing for help. Sincerely, Dashiell Fenwick. Dashiell Fenwick? Well, Bruxy, we're coming up in the world. Or the world's coming down. That's old Iron Jorfen. Yeah, a name that makes the lords of the underworld really tremble in their custom-made shoes. I know. The little David that slew a dozen Goliaths because he's a private citizen with a crusade against crime. Angel, you can't possibly know what a surprise this really is. Why? What do you know that I don't know? Well, I was Lieutenant Barclay's guest at the Grand Jury hearing on the Suderman case. Yeah. I've already had my surprise, Mr. Fenwick, yesterday. And so, members of the Grand Jury, as your special investigator, I must report that there is no case against Mr. Suderman. No case whatsoever. No case? No case? Did you hear what that guy said? Yeah. I'm asleep. Maybe I'm asleep when I'm dreaming it, or my ears are ploughed. No. That's what he said, all right, but keep your head on, Lieutenant Barclay. It's only a state tax evasion case. Well, what else are you going to get a guy like Suderman on? You can't prove anything else? You're mixed up with everything in town, but you can't prove it, can you? I tell you, Valentine, if I didn't know better, I'd say old iron jaw had finally been reached. And weak? Hey, hey, young Mr. D.A., you worked with Fenwick on this. How do you like it? I don't. Hello, Barclay. Hi. Well, maybe you can't reach an investigator, but you can't reach a witness, eh? What are you talking about? Molina Atkins? Oh, sure, that accountant wife of the past four months. Oh, yes. Well, we hoped it'd pan out better. Her stuff did kind of blow up in our faces, but that's the way it goes sometimes. Yeah. Well, you did a great job. It hadn't been for Fenwick. Barclay, Fenwick did exactly what I would have done. He had to make that report. On the evidence we found, Eric Suderman was just not guilty, if that's all. On the evidence? Yeah. After Fenwick's report, you can bet the grand jury will drop this like a hot potato. Now, what's the matter, gentlemen? Did you bet on the wrong team? Congratulations, Suderman. Well, I knew I wasn't guilty. I could have told you. Now, listen, Suderman. Sorry I can't buy you a drink, but I have my own celebrating to do. Now, for heaven's sake, don't look so surprised. Toughest crime investigator in the state says I'm innocent. Well, I am. That's all. It's, uh, oh, you know what's that word. Oh, it's justice. That's all. That was yesterday, Angel. Only yesterday. Well, come on. What are we waiting for? This is today. Mr. Ballantyne, that Suderman report was the most disappointing one I've ever had to make. Yeah, I can imagine. But Mr. Fenwick, if the evidence didn't warrant anything else, what could you do? Yes, of course. Nothing, of course.  Is that why you came to me? Oh, no, no. Of course not. No, not at all. Uh-huh. No, it's something else. Something altogether different. Yes, um, this morning, I tried to get in touch with an old friend of mine out of town, a man who's been ill for some time, um, Mr. Atkins. Atkins? Yes, the father of the recent prosecution witness, Malina Atkins. Go on. Well, I called Mr. Atkins this morning, an old dear friend, mind you, and he sent word by his housekeeper he wouldn't speak to me. Oh. Well, I suggested driving up, thought perhaps his illness was worse, quite frail, you know, but he just doesn't care to see me. Yeah. Well, that's all there is. I want you to find out what's wrong. Driving, you should make it up there by midnight. Uh-huh. You can't reach an investigator, but sometimes you can reach a witness. What's that? Well, in the Suderman case, you staked everything on Malina Atkins' testimony. But at the last minute, her evidence blew up, didn't it? Well, it's not healthy to give evidence against Suderman, Joe. That's what I mean, Angel. It's dangerous. And when a girl has a father to think about, too... Oh, she tried as hard as she could. Oh, she'd been forced to withhold something, threatened, maybe. Or her father. Isn't there some way you could see the girl here in town? Ask her what's wrong with her father. I've, uh... Yes, I've seen Malina. She's upset and tired, naturally. Yeah, naturally. Yes. Anyway, she cares too much for me and not to reveal any other reason for upset. What do you mean? Oh, I've said so much. I may as well complete the confession. It's my hope that Malina Atkins will shortly accept me as her husband. What? Yes. You mean... You mean you and... Well, what's the matter, Miss Brooks? Do you think it impossible for a man of my years to be viewed with affection by a daughter? No, no. No, excuse me. It's... Well, I guess it's just my turn to be surprised at all. Congratulations. Well, excuse me, but you called it a confession. Because I've kept it a secret. Because, uh... I was afraid of what might happen to Miss Atkins. Oh, I see. Yes. Oh, what difference does it make? Go find out what's the matter with Atkins. If it's just as bad teeth that make Atkins so sour, well, then you get a cigar, Valentine. A whole carload of cigars. I said Mr. Atkins is dead. He's what? Oh, I'm sorry you drove all the way up here and didn't nobody is since this evening. Well, there's so many of his friends to tell about it. I don't know what to do, but I was there. I was there and I saw it.  Mr. Atkins died this evening with a stroke. Now, look, look. You're his housekeeper. I know how difficult it is. But I've got to know what happened, all of it. I'm sorry. It's just all those people tramping in and out, but never making any noise. It's so quiet when people die. My mother had a stroke. Well, his daughter was here this afternoon, Mr. Valentine. Molina? Yes, she was nervous and upset. It just made me mad because I knew he'd be upset too. No better than an invalid he was. Molina was upset about what? Do you know? No, something she didn't want to talk about to him. But then a man came here to see her. She tried to keep her father from even knowing that man was here, but the man pushed right into his room and their voices were raised, but I couldn't hear anything and the man laughed and then he went out. Who was this man? What did he look like? Oh, I was in the kitchen. I don't know. Fine. What else? Well, a little while later, Molina left too. She'd been crying. And Molina looked frightened, didn't she? Yes, but I was just mad. All that upset. And when I went into Mr. Atkins' room, he wouldn't tell me anything. He'd just lay there in his bed like a ghost. It was half an hour later, Mr. Valentine. I heard his slippers on the floor. He's never supposed to be out of bed. And when I got to him, he was trying to climb the hall stairway. He was mumbling. He had to reach the telephone. He had to call somebody named Weeraker. Weeraker? Benwick? Yeah, that's him. The same man he was worried about not seeing the day before. And I argued with him. He tried to push me away, but... Well, anyway, it was then that he... Right there on the stairway. Yes, yes, all right. Now I understand. Well, Angel, I guess we can report to Mr. Fenwick now. But I don't think it's going to win me any cigars. His lights are on, George. He must still be awake, but he's almost gone. Well, good evening. Yes, but I'd say it's good morning, wouldn't you? Oh, Valentine, isn't it? Yeah, that's right, Mr. Suderman. This is Miss Brooks. Mr... Well, how do you do? Nice morning for a stroll. Yeah, sure.  That thing behind me is not a Doberman pinch I'm walking. All right, we can go into the house now, Mr. Suderman. A policeman? George, what are you... All right, get him in here, Peters. Suderman, we've been looking for you for the past hour. Well, Valentine... Just skip the formalities, Barkley. Where's Mr. Fenwick? Or is he... No, he's not dead. That's what you mean. Fenwick's a little too tough to kill, isn't he, Suderman? I was awakened from a sound sleep. I have no idea what you're talking about. And furthermore, Lieutenant... Oh, sure, sure. Alibi, alibi, alibi. Barkley, we've been out of town all night, so come on, let's have it. Oh, tell them, Peters. Go on, you tell them. Yeah, sure, Lieutenant. And listen carefully, Mr. Suderman. After the lecture, we always have a question period. I'm willing to be instructed. Well, I'm on the 7th Street beach, see downtown. Checking doors and nightlights. You know how it is. When I see this guy wrapped around a telephone pole. On foot, I mean. Well, I can see it at glance. He's drunk, so I poke him to send him home. And gosh, I see it's Mr. Fenwick. What? Oh, now wait a second. I know, I know, Miss. All I enjoy never took a drink in his life. But when I recover myself to get him in a taxi and down to the hospital, I find somebody's port at least one drink down him to cover the stuff. Stuff? Dope, Mr. Valentine. Some kind of a drug.  But he's saved by the stomach pump, see? Thank you, Peters. Mr. Fenwick is resting quietly in his own bedroom. And pretty soon, maybe he can even talk. But now in the meantime, Mr. Suderman. You have no right to question me. I can explain where I've been all evening. Is that so? All right, suppose you... But I don't need to say anything. I don't need to talk to you until such a time. Hey, Clark, come here. What are you... Now listen to me. Never mind that word for a minute. What? I said, listen, will you... Mr. Fenwick hated Suderman. Well, that's why I've got him here. Suderman was cleared, remember? Oh, well, so what? He's got a grudge on the old man. And the old man maybe has the works on him now. At least Molina Atkins does. I figure she was being pressured through her father. But now that he's dead, she's free to talk. Atkins, father, say something in English, will you? Sure, sure, I'll say something in English. Let's get to Molina Atkins as fast as we can. Well, it wasn't fast enough, was it? No. Not by a good many hours, I'd say. Lying there since last night. So that's Molina. Witness for the grand jury rests. Rest for good. From a blow on the back of her head. We'll return to tonight's adventure of George Valentine in just a moment. The outside of your car has to go through all kinds of weather. Hot sun, fog, rain, and sometimes snow. But look what the inside of your car's engine is up against. Every time you turn off the ignition, internal engine parts are exposed to drops of acid laden moisture, which results in rust, the cause of 80% of engine wear. But here's the sure way to stop this high-cost rust. Use RPM motor oil. It's a premium quality motor oil that's compounded to keep a rust-preventive film on internal parts at all times. Turn off the ignition, leave your car standing idle for days or weeks, and this moisture-proof film stays on internal parts, keeps costly rust from starting. No wonder RPM motor oil is first choice in the West. It's the oil that stops 80% of engine wear. Ask for RPM at independent Chevron gas stations and at standard stations where they say, and mean, we take better care of your car. And now back to tonight's adventure of George Valentine. A couple of days ago, Eric Suderman was cleared before the grand jury. A simple state tax evasion case, but as Lieutenant Barkley says, on what else can you ever nail a cagey man like Suderman? Molina Atkins was chief witness for the prosecution, though her testimony faded rather badly at the last minute. Well, Special Crime Investigator Dashel Fenwick, old iron jaw, had an idea of pressure might have been brought to bear on Molina, and you have an idea he was right. You see, old iron jaw himself was picked up downtown, drugged, and Molina Atkins is dead. Yeah, that was it all right. Her head smacked the corner of the table there. But the broken lamp on the floor. No, the technical boys say it was the table. Somebody must have socked it with a lamp, Angel. Just stood there and socked it. She fell, hit the table, and that was it. What did the janitor say? He listened to the radio all last night. But he did fix a fuse in the basement at nine o'clock. Fuse? Well, breaking the lamp might blow a fuse. Okay, okay. So we say she was killed at nine o'clock. But did anybody see anybody? No. Was there a party elsewhere in the apartment house so people might be wandering around? Seeing anybody? No, no, no. Are there any... Yeah, I get the general idea, Lieutenant. Nobody saw anything. Where was your little friend Suderman around nine o'clock? Outgiving birth to an alibi? 8.30 to 9.30. Oh, how convenient. The rackets he runs, the payoffs he gets, he's always covered. The whole family of alibis he has, but now are not one of them that we... No. No, no, wait a minute. You know, we have got one thing on him. What's that? DA's office is working on this case, too. They proved he was up at Molina's father's yesterday. Wait a minute. That makes him the man the housekeeper told us about. The man who paid a visit to upset everybody and make them scared. Yes. So at least we know Suderman was in touch with Molina. He was threatening or intimidating or... Oh, right, all right. We know there's more evidence than the tax evasion keys. Everybody knows that. It's murder, I want solved. Only who can tell us anything? Old man Atkins decides to tell Fenwick something and dies of a stroke. Maybe Fenwick is found out by then and he gets drugged. And the little girl in the middle of the whole thing, she got to... No, I'll get it. Yeah, Barkley speaking. What? Lieutenant, what is it? Sergeant.  All right then, all right then, why didn't... Yes. Yes, we'll see you later. Okay, okay, spill it. The next sergeant who should be nameless is on duty at Fenwick's house. When? He posts a guard in the hallway, but none outside while Fenwick sleeps quietly in the room. A room downstairs, a room alone. Come on, get to it, will you? Yeah, I'll get to it. Like somebody got to old iron jaw. The windows open. They got him out of there. He's gone, you hear me? The last guy who knows anything, he's disappeared. Right out from under our noses. Even took Fenwick's own car to get him away without being noticed. Well, be of good cheer, Lieutenant. Maybe we'll find something in his room. Oh, sure, an arrow, maybe. Pointing at the villain, yeah. A tough man with a conscience. We could use a few more like him. Instead of one less. To think of it, only known in time, he could have... Wait a minute. Look out, Barkley! What's going on? What's going on down there? Come on, come on, it's only an accident. Keep going, all that guy, you're blocking traffic. Oh, George, look at that car! It's Fenwick. All right, easy does it, boys. Lift him, easy. We're still alive, George. Yeah, but I don't know how, aren't you? His car must have rolled over a couple of times coming down the bank. All right, under the stretcher. There we go. All right, I'll meet you, Doc. I'll meet you out there. Old iron jaw is indestructible, isn't he? Yeah. Only stretcher road. Car sails over a bank. No reason. One occupant in car, Fenwick. Run, Fenwick. Run until dead. Oh, no. Old iron jaw just felt good tonight. He just sneaked out for a little pleasure. By himself. Well, that's what Sotomayor wants to think. Just an accident. Skid, maybe. Why, you couldn't go over that bank unless a lot of extra effort was made. Uh-huh. Well, this time, I've got a head start on the maternity department. What do you mean? Well, both other times, the crimes were committed hours before we got there. Well, this time, there's only been about 15 minutes for my little friend to prepare the delivery of his next alibi. Come on, let's find Suriman. Let go of me, will you? I'm not touching you. The rulebook says I can't. I want to just keep walking up there to the door, Suriman. Oh. He's back at his house again, huh? Mm-hmm. I told you Fenwick's too tough to kill. The doctor didn't want to move him any further than this. He's, uh, that is, I suppose he's able to talk? I don't know. You don't get an answer to that. Come on, get inside. No. Huh? What do you gentlemen want to ask me? We want to tell you that everybody else is being eliminated. I mean, everybody who could conceivably have a grudge against Fenwick or against Molina Atkins. Not to mention that there's nobody who could have a grudge against both of them and the same night. Well? Well. Point one, Fenwick cleared you of tax evasion because of insufficient evidence. But there were certain evidence not given, check. Oh. Oh, you hardly expect me. Okay, point two. Molina Atkins had that evidence, but was afraid to give it. Only it looks like last night old iron jaw found out what it was all about too. No comment. Hmm. Mr. Suderman, if you can suggest any other conceivable reason for the girl being killed last night and for not one attempt, but two attempts to be made on Fenwick's life. What did he say? What did he say? Oh, now you're getting it? No, no, no, I don't mean that, but although I do have a right to... Wait a minute. That's for me. I have an alibi, you know? Never mind. I'll get the door. George, what is this? Mr. Fenwick is asleep and the doctor's leaving, but the noise is... Well, look who's here. Come in, young Mr. D.A. Hello, Barkley. Hello. Mr. Suderman. I guess your alibi can wait a little longer. Now that we've got a representative of the D.A.'s office present, suppose you just... Barkley. I'm his latest alibi. Uh... You. The whole office is. I know. I'm sorry, but we all are. I hurried out to let you know.  You... The D.A.'s... Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah. He was down there at our place at the same time Fenwick's car must have spilled over the hill. Suderman, why didn't you say so? Why, I was... You wanted to find out what we knew, didn't you? You've got a perfect alibi for once. Why have you been so nervous? Now, why does a man get for tax evasion? Is it 10 years? Because that part of it's true, isn't it? We were... Hey, Angel, what did you say about Fenwick? Well, just that he's asleep. The doctor's out packing up his things now. Old iron jaws alone? Well, yes, but... Hey, listen, upstairs. Keep them there, Barkley. Let me do this. George! Fenwick! Fenwick! Where's what is it?  Yes, but don't... He's all right. So am I. Just dumb, that's all. It had never occurred to us to believe alibis from a guy like Suderman. What? And an automobile crash or a drug in a stomach can't be coincidence, accident. So they've got to be murder. Well, all they really were was what happened right now.  Oh, no. Please, Mr. Valentine, please... Sure, you want us to go so you can try it again. Oh, no, you hired me. You're stuck with me. Just a minute, Barkley, we're all right. Oh, look, Howard, that's all. Look, Howard... The whole slate wipes clean pretty fast, doesn't it?  A liquor to give you a little courage. Only a noisy policeman comes along to interfere. Look, Howard... Then you sneak out by yourself from downstairs, take your own car and try to... Old man in a car, doesn't it? What was it? Molina? Yes. Uh-huh. She wasn't what she seemed to be. No. Well, I guess that coin has two sides, Fenwick, doesn't it? One way we looked at, she'd been pressured by Suderman. She was afraid of him. At the worst, maybe she withheld a little evidence. But looking at the other way, everything has happened. She was no good. She never was. You mean all of her evidence? It was all a hoax. What? I knew her father. I knew her. I staked everything in her testimony, Valentine. Her testimony, all of it, was very cleverly designed to swell bigger and bigger and then explode. She didn't say any more. She didn't know any more. It was a garden path designed by her very good friend, Mr. Suderman. And the thing that led you down that garden path? Well, I wondered when you told us in your office that you loved her. I've written all this down, Mr. Valentine. It's in the mail. Eric Suderman's complicity, my own blindness. All that's necessary for someone else to bring him to trial again. Wait a minute. Wait a minute. Suderman must have guessed you'd written it down. That's why he's been so nervous.  But if that's the case, then he must have known... Get out of here, Valentine.  No. Suderman knows everything. I learned all this from Molina.  It didn't occur to him that I might close my own mouth forever. Suderman knows about you seeing Molina. All of it. I went because I'd been suspecting them and still afraid to admit it. It was around nine o'clock. I told her I loved her. She laughed at me. I grabbed her. I made her tell. I heard the whole truth for the first time. I seized the lamp. I struck her. She fell at the floor. I ran. But you left something out, didn't you, Fenwick? It's in my confession. It's what Suderman knows when he found me in the bar at ten o'clock. Yes. Yes, I killed Molina after him. Okay, Barclay. Come on in now. You too, Suderman. Hey, what's been going on in here? Hello, Lieutenant Valentine. I'm rather glad it worked out this way. I can go... Suderman, we've got you for framing false evidence, perjury, maybe tax evasion tool. But you may slip out again. What is this? What's he been saying? Slip out? He will not. I wrote down every single word of it. Suderman, where were you at ten o'clock last night? Never mind, I know already. In a bar someplace accusing Fenwick here of murder. Well, how did you know he'd committed murder? Why, I merely added two and two... And decided a man like Fenwick had done that? How fantastic can you get? Oh, but I've been following him, watching him earlier in the day. No, no. You were out of town at Old Man Atkins Place. You had an alibi. In fact, you've got too many alibis. All of them good. Hey, wait a minute. How did he know she was dead? We didn't find her till this morning. She was up there, of course, after it happened. I could tell Fenwick had been there. How could you tell? There wasn't anything in the apartment to indicate anyone beside Malina had been there. But it was just after it. Well, I'd seen him leaving. Fenwick struck her with a lamp at nine o'clock and then he ran. How could you see him when you've got an alibi that says you were somewhere else, 830 to 930? Too many alibis. No, no, no. Well, people told me they'd seen him. Just a minute, nobody saw anybody out there, not even the janitor. Wait a minute, Barclay. There's another way you could have been told, isn't there, Suriman? What? A way you could have got there after 930. Then going out to find Fenwick by 10 and still, in the meantime, be told who it was struck Malina with a lamp. One way you could have been told. Just one. No, you don't... The corpse told you, didn't she? Malina herself. Nursing a bruise, maybe, and telling you what happened. Sure. Sure it was the corpse gave you the idea how to kill two birds with one stone to keep them both quiet. All you had to do was add another bruise. The back of the head against the table. So she'd lie there more quietly, Suriman. Like a real cork, should. George. What do you suppose will happen to Mr. Fenwick? Oh, he'll... he'll stand trial for his self-brooksy for hitting Malina with that lamp, something like that. He certainly beats himself with his conscience, doesn't he? Old iron jaw. It was a close call. Well, but darling, it certainly looked like Suriman was making him run. Run until dead. Yeah, yeah. Sometimes you can escape from a Suriman. Fenwick tried to escape from himself. He probably... Oh, come on, Angel. Let's go out for dinner before I turn philosopher. People who know the whims of November weather will be taking a raincoat to the football game next Saturday. And don't think chevron supreme gasoline isn't prepared for the weather too. It's prepared months ahead of time by standard of California where automotive engineers know how sensitive gasoline is to seasonal weather and altitude too. That's why chevron supreme is climate tailored, scientifically tailored to meet the weather demands in your driving area. Try a tank full of this premium quality gasoline tomorrow and you'll notice right away how much better your car responds. Faster starts, faster getaway in traffic, and ping-free power to lift your car over steep hills. In fact, you can't buy a better gasoline for today's high compression engines. And because it's climate tailored, count on chevron supreme to get the best out of your car every day in the year. Ask for it at standard stations and at independent chevron gas stations where they say and mean, we take better care of your car. Tonight's adventure of George Valentine has been brought to you by standard of California on behalf of independent chevron gas stations and standard stations throughout the west. Robert Bailey is starred as George with Francis Robertson as Bruxy. Let George do it is written by David Victor and Jackson Gillis and directed by Don Clark. Also heard in the cast where Bill Boucher as Lieutenant Barclay will ride as Fenwick, Byron Cain as the attorney, Larry Dobkin as Suderman and Frank Hale as the housekeeper. The music is composed and presented by Eddie Dunstetter, your announcer John Heaston. Listen again next week, same time, same station to let George do it. This is the Mutual Don Lee Broadcasting System.


You know when you're facilitating a workshop and one person in the workshop keeps asking questions and keeps wanting to go in different directions and kind of spoils the mood and makes your life more stressful? Well, there's one thing you can do to really tone them down and maybe stop them from doing that without you telling them to stop. And that is having a parking lot. So basically a piece of paper that says parking lot or in a mural board, just a block that says parking lot. And what you do is when someone says something that's irrelevant to the workshop, you say, that's really interesting. It might not be something we can work on right now, but I'm going to add it to the parking lot that we can look at at the end of the workshop or later and we can talk about it. So they feel seen, they feel heard, they see that you're writing down the thing that they asked and the topic that they asked, but you're not necessarily having to actually deal with it. And usually that makes them go, okay, I'm seen, I'm heard, I can stop now. That's really what I do. Just having a parking lot in every workshop so that when things come up that are outside the scope of the workshop, you can put them on there and guess what? You can sell those things as extra workshops later. It's great.


Of course, I had to change up my shirt to introduce the next speaker, who is Chris Smith from Pulumi. And the folks at Pulumi were cool enough to send me this shirt that has this pretty neat looking platypus on it, and it says Pulumi on the back. I think it's pretty fun when I wear it out, I get compliments on it. And I'm sure you're going to get some compliments on his talk, which is going to tell us about continuous delivery and infrastructure testing and how they're perfectly together. I'm excited to check it out. I'll see you in the chat. Hello, I'm Chris Smith. I've worked at a couple of companies you have heard about. And currently I'm at Pulumi, where I spend a lot of time thinking about CICD and cloud infrastructure. And so today, I'd like us all to answer a single question. That is, is it possible to move faster and not break things? It kind of seems obvious, right? Similar to the secret to weight loss being diet and exercise, if you want to move faster and not break things, you're going to have to have more confidence in the changes that you're making to your code and to your infrastructure. However, that's a little easier said than done. So let's talk about what the problem is in, say, modern workloads that we need to address, right? Why can't we just run more tests for cloud applications? Well, first, let's take a step back and look at kind of an academic view of how software testing has been done in the past, right? Typically, it'll be stratified across different levels with your kind of fastest, most easy to write in the unit testing layers. And then as you introduce mocks or stubs, having integration tests for where software components come together. And then finally, kind of the largest, most expensive types of tests are systems tests or integration tests that cover all the functionality end to end. But there's a problem here, which is how does this apply to the cloud? Right, if you're testing cloud software, there's a lot of components that say you don't control. Your application code may involve, say, the business logic or how a login is performed, but if you're relying on a hosted database server or some networking component so you can actually receive those web requests, then it becomes a lot more tricky. And so when you want to test cloud software, there's more than just the code that say you've written. It's where that software will run, how that data is stored, and which users have access to it. And all of these are controlled and configured in some cloud provider, whether it's Azure, AWS, GCP, or so on. And so, okay, great. We understand the problem. Let's just test that. Well, if you're familiar with your cloud resource console, it's not something that's very amenable for testing. This is a screenshot from the AWS console. And if you needed to, say, go in here, click around, change settings, every time you wanted to verify a fix or run some tests, you wouldn't have a great time. And so the solution that a lot of people have started moving towards is something called infrastructure as code. And this is the silver bullet that we will be using that will enable us to actually test our infrastructure. Because once we start encoding our infrastructure in actual program code, we can then inspect it and validate it. So what is this concept? Well, it's infrastructure, but as code, I mean, you can see how rather than needing to manually click around in a resource provider console, you can just define how you want your cloud resources to be configured directly in code or a configuration file. Now, sometimes in the past, you may have heard of configuration as code as kind of a precursor to this. But if you start to use actual code, like real programming languages, you can now take advantage of the benefits of using real programming languages and that entire ecosystem around that. So I'll go into some details on infrastructure as code, but some common tools on how you can use this are Pulumi, AWS CDK, and the most popular infrastructure as code solution, HashiCorp's Terraform. One of the benefits of using infrastructure as code is that you can have expressed your infrastructure in a much more abstract or expressive way. Rather than having just a flat list of resources and seemingly arbitrary configurations, you can start to encode things using, say, if you need to create a set of resources, use a for loop, or if you only need to create a certain resource at certain times, if statements. This all lends itself well to making your cloud infrastructure easier to manage, maintain, and set up especially as your infrastructure requirements grow. So the way it all works is essentially there are three steps. First, you write some code that defines, that creates cloud resources, you know, say by calling a constructor or whatnot. Now, when you run that program, it'll evaluate those resources in memory and create the resource graph, and that will be a goal state, so to speak. And if you diff that resource state or goal state from, you know, say the last time you ran your update, you can see what changes need to be performed. And that's, say, a preview of your deployment. And then if you actually want to apply those changes, then you would update your resources. And that is then what would go and contact your cloud resource provider and actually go and create new resources or delete existing ones. So with this ability to encode cloud resources within application code, we can now start to test it in ways that will allow us to understand and validate not only the application code that we've written, but also the environments that that application will run and have more confidence that we're not going to break production if we ever say touch some networking change. So if we're going to put this all together, we need kind of some sort of application that's not too complicated, but not, you know, basic. And so what I'd like to do today is I'm a little excited. The worldwide launch of countdown as a service. I'm actually thinking about quit my job and getting some of that sweet, sweet VC money. And the app is simple, right? If there's ever an exciting event that you want to say, get a notification, super excited every day, you know, a new text message or an email, this software as a service package will do that. Or maybe say there's an anniversary coming up and you want a heads up a few days before, there you go. So it's still a work in progress, but let's talk about how we could actually test this application and verify that everything's on the up and up. So here's it's overall architecture. It's straight board, runs a single EC2 VM on AWS and it reason writes data using NoSQL DynamoDB. And then separately, a regular cloud watch event fire, say every day, that will then run an AWS Lambda to read from that database and then send out messages as needed, say to all the subscribers for various events. So again, the goal here isn't to be a super fancy application, but just have enough infrastructure that we can think about how we would actually test this and have more confidence making changes. So let's talk about kind of, well, what's the view of unit testing when we're looking at that through the lens of cloud resources? Well, one of the benefits of when you're using infrastructure as code, you have that ability to preview changes. That is build the resource graph in memory of the way things would be created or would be configured without actually needing to go and create them. And this allows us to write unit tests for the expected inputs to resources. So in this image, you'll see the DNS record for get.pulumi.com, which is a service that we use at Pulumi for distributing plugins and binaries. And so the DNS record has several inputs, such as aliases or zone IDs. And what we can do is in our code, verify that those inputs are what you would expect. So tools that you can use for doing this type of testing are Pulumi and AWS SDK. And so when you think about testing resource inputs, the thing to keep in mind is that it's well suited for asserting the requirements of your infrastructure. That is the things that are very important that they need to be enforced even as the application evolves. And so there are several areas to look at, such as permissions and making sure that dependent services have the right setup and configuration to actually work, or that, say, any SLOs that your team or group is trying to adhere to, well, that, say, your infrastructure supports that. And this is actually something that can be surprising if you think about it. For example, if you want to have, say, two and a half nines of reliability, well, that would mean that whatever systems you have for monitoring or alerting need to have a particular degree of sensitivity in order for you to not only find out about that, but then take some action like doing a failover or sending traffic to a replica or whatnot. So let's look at how this would actually work in practice, just as an example for this type of testing. So what I have here is the source code for the super exciting countdown as a service. And you can see this is the polluting source code for where we're creating these resources. In this case, however, all of the resource creation is done in separate files, and then we just export these properties. So if we want to run the unit tests for our infrastructure, not our application code, then all we need to run is npm run test. Because the infrastructure is written in code, we can use the same testing tools and frameworks that other real programming languages use, or in case of using TypeScript and JavaScript, Mocha. And so the tests for this application, as you can see, all the tests have passed. And then here's how we wrote them. First, we mocked out the part of the plumi engine, which actually constructed resources. So rather than say comparing resource state with some previously known state or contacting the cloud resource provider to make changes, we just want to keep it in memory. So this is essentially some boilerplate code to say don't do anything with those results. And then we can just launch right into writing tests. This is the same sort of setup you'd see for a prototypical JavaScript test, but we're getting the plumi cloud resources that would have been created, and then checking that their inputs are as expected. So in this particular test, let's say the organization requires that all resources have some particular tags, like a name or an owner, so that those resources can be reclaimed later. And so we then check the VMs tags have those properties. Similarly, another type of test we can have is verifying that the instant size of a machine kind of is some known class, right? So sadly, until I can fully bootstrap my new startup, I'm just gonna have to reside on T2 micro instances. You know, and you can see how again, this just allows you to encode the requirements of your infrastructure in code. And so for example, say when it comes to the DynamoDB tables, the application code requires or assumes that it has the certain indexes exist on the data store. And so because of that, we can then, when we create those cloud resources, assert via unit tests that, hey, this is the hash key or sort key for that database. So just quickly recap, infrastructure unit tests provide a very quick way to verify changes. It doesn't require contacting the cloud or using any external APIs, but instead it all just runs on your local machine. The trade-off however, is that you can only validate resource inputs. It doesn't actually look at existing resources on the cloud, which means that you can't look at some complex sorts of setups. Okay, so we've looked at that bottom most layer of the kind of test hierarchy. Well, what does integration testing look like from the view of cloud applications and looking at live resources? So I'm gonna tell you what my plan is if my new startup doesn't work out. I'm gonna build a time machine, and I'm gonna build a consulting firm. And all my consulting firm is gonna do is tell people which AWS S3 bucket has public read access. And I'm gonna tell companies, you can give me millions and millions of dollars and I will prevent these horrible data breaches that you see all the day in time. The next thing approach that we'll be using is looking at something called resource policies or ways that you can essentially apply the same types of unit tests that we wrote before, but applying them at the time before a resource is created. For example, preventing bad changes from ever being made to the cloud or inspecting resources after they've been created and confirming that they adhered to various policies or whatnot. And by doing so, we can not only verify that there's kind of a min bar of quality or security across our cloud infrastructure, but we can also make sure that the live resources that we have don't have common sorts of problems. And so some tools that you can use today to do the sort of thing are Pulumi HashiCorp Sentinel or Open Policy Agent, OPPA. Similar to infrastructure as code, policy as code is well, kind of sort of the same thing, allowing you to essentially take those, the types of validations that we wrote in unit tests, but applying them as a policy that can then be, you know, checked across every resource change that happens in an organization. And essentially raises the min bar for resources within your company. So let's take a look at how to apply this policy as code in practice. So here we have our infrastructure code for say the countdown service. Where does policy come into play? Well, this is perhaps a very boring demo, but if we say go to GitLab, where the code for this application all resides, I'm just gonna click this link to the Pulumi Stack where this exists. And so this is the production instance of that application. We can see all the resources and the update history for the app. And if we click into these details, you can not only see the changes, but policies already being checked. In fact, we can drill in here and see these are within Pulumi. My organization has been configured to apply, you know, the Pulumi AWS Guard policies across every stack update. And so whenever I make changes, a collection of AWS specific resource policies will be ran. And sure enough, we can see a couple of resources in my stack have some violations. And so let's drill into the backend VM. This is the EC2 instance that kind of is serving my application.  That's kind of not great because then if the instance goes away, so does its data. Also, hey, you're not encrypting your data so that if somehow the machine were compromised or whatnot, that wouldn't be good. Similarly, you know, not having detailed monitoring. And so you can see how by just applying kind of common policies, especially those that are open source and can have a lot of developers with a lot of mind share working on and raising that min bar or encoding best practices. How this can be useful in just raising the bar for your own cloud applications and infrastructure. So to recap, resource policy tools allow you to validate your resources and inspect, you know, the actual state and not just the inputs. And this allows you to not only prevent bad changes from happening, but also allows for more complex interdependent resources. For example, if resource A's inputs depend on resource B's outputs, you actually couldn't test that using traditional, or using the unit testing approach that I went over earlier. So now we're onto the hardest part, systems testing, right?  Well, if you're using infrastructure as code, this is actually kind of straightforward. You can just create an ephemeral environment.  And so these two images on the right, you can see, one is just showing you the preview of changes that would be made when making an update, right? So this is from the actual Pulumi service itself and whenever, and this particular change was going to add a couple of metric alarms. Now that's kind of nice, it's good information, but you know what would be even better is if say you use a tool like a Pulumify, which would then just stand up the Pulumi stack and then just point you to a URL that you could then test and interact with and, you know, actually see whatever changes or features, you know, live on your cloud. And so this is a very powerful tool that allows you to have, you know, a high fidelity view of the results of your changes. You can set up ephemeral environments using Pulumi, a TerraTest and kind of sort of any CICD system if you configure it correctly. And so what would you need in order to create an ephemeral environment? So when creating ephemeral environments, there's a lot of trade-offs to make because every cloud application is a little different. Every team has different needs for the sorts of things that they want to have easier to validate or, you know, what's important to look at, right? So for example, if you're standing up a very sophisticated application, it may take a long time to create all those resources. And so maybe you'd only want to have your ephemeral environment stand up a subset of it so that it's quicker to run and validate. You know, another trade-off could be, say, costs, right?  So there are a lot of ways that you can kind of configure or tune your ephemeral environment to get it just right for something that works well for you, right? Ultimately, ephemeral environments, you know, like policy as code, like unit testing of infrastructure, these are all techniques that you can apply towards gaining more confidence in your cloud applications. And the question is ultimately, well, how do you find the best set or way to apply these tools for your app? So when you're running these cloud or these ephemeral environments, you know, how do you want to get, you know, what do you do to get the most out of it, right? So first I would suggest kind of always looking at dependent services and components. That's probably the most value you're gonna get out of that because it's usually the thing that will likely break. You know, similarly, deployment safety is another suggestion that I would highlight. Not only is it beneficial to stand up in a ephemeral environment and see what the change is, but there's also an implicit transition that takes place when you deploy those changes. And sometimes if you're not careful, deploying those changes to your infrastructure could result in some downtime. It could be the case that when everything's all said and done, your app's working great. But will there be a few seconds or maybe a few minutes in which your application isn't reachable or just will fail all of its requests?  But by using the ephemeral environment as a way to simulate these changes, you can then, you know, run some sort of tool that will simulate load and then expect that it has, you know, continual success while the infrastructure transitions to its newer state. So let's look at how we can set up ephemeral environments in GitLab as an example. This was actually straightforward to do. If we go to our GitLab CI, we can just create, you know, our ephemeral environments. On merge requests and, you know, wire through the merge request ideas, that unique identifier. And so to do a little Julia Childs, you know, put something in the oven. If we go to our production instance of our countdown as a service, you'll see this beautiful model that we have for on the homepage. But you can see that in Safari, it does not look all that great. And it is because CSS is very hard in case you did not know. And so if we go to our GitLab app, we can totally, we can click some totally random SAS file and wow, if maybe we do need to uncomment this one line of code so that it'll render correctly. You kind of get where I'm going here. Well, I've already created a merge request to save us the time of creating a little merge request and then waiting for the ephemeral environment to stand up and, you know, get deployed. But you can see here's the pipeline and in the merge request, we also previewed the changes to production. And so within GitLab, because we're using a dynamic environment here, you know, there is a link to the merge request version of this application or that ephemeral environment. And sure enough, by changing that CSS property, everything has been fixed. Huzzah, right, the day is saved. So this all happened, you know, automatically by configuring our GitLab pipelines and just hooking it up with the right, you know, lifecycle triggers so that it would create, stand up the ephemeral environment, which will then be visible in our merge request. But one thing that is kind of unfortunate is that although the pipeline ran and we preview what the changes would happen in our production environment, you know, for example, it still has these policy warnings, you know, it's unfortunate that it isn't displayed in the merge request. Like, I don't know, if only there was a way to have Pulumi or whatever tool you're using to manage your infrastructure, kind of surface that information on the merge request. Well, there's a session later today by a colleague of mine, Pranit Loki, and he'll be looking specifically at this problem and seeing what you can do to kind of improve the experience from GitLab. But anyways, I'm gonna go ahead and merge this merge request into, you know, my repo. And then you can see a new pipeline has been started to, you know, build, test the application. But now you'll see that there's this new job for tearing down the ephemeral environment so that the environment that was created specifically for that merge request will be destroyed, you know, the resources reclaimed and so on. So, so far we've seen how ephemeral environments can allow you to exercise your full application with all the bells and whistles so that you can better understand, you know, what changes are being made, not just to your application code, but in the context of the changes to the infrastructure that your application runs in as well. And overall, we've seen how we can apply unit testing towards cloud infrastructure, applying resource policies towards cloud infrastructure. And then finally, these full ephemeral environments. And so to extend a perhaps an awkward metaphor, we'll see how well it fits. Some of you may be familiar with the video game Tetris, okay. And all of these tools and techniques, you know, that's all the goo in the center there, right, setting you up for success. And then finally, your continuous delivery pipeline is that wonderful, you know, four point vertical slice that's you're gonna drop down into it and it all just works together and you will be able to move faster and have confidence that you're not breaking things. If you would like to learn more about, you know, infrastructure testing, you can follow me on Twitter and by the time of GitLab commit, there will be many more resources available on how to configure your GitLab pipelines and I'll be tweeting about those extensively. Thank you very much and have a wonderful afternoon.


Hello and welcome to episode 47 of the Daily Decrypt, Independent Members of LTV Network. I am your loving, faithful host Amanda, and today's episode is brought to you by NewBits. The extremely popular YouTube channel, Computerphile, has today released a video called, What Is Bitcoin? And if you visit it, you will notice that in the comments sections, Computerphile's viewers are largely commenting that they don't understand Bitcoin from having watched this video. They still have questions about what's a hash, what's a mining machine, how do blockchains work? And I think that right now would be an extremely good outreach time for those who have answers to these questions to go and interface with these people on the comments section of the Computerphile video. The video also fails to mention increasing prices and increasing scarcity as building incentives for miners, and so there's all sorts of things that people are befuddled about in the comments section there, so I encourage you to go and reach out to them. Bitcoin and almost all cryptocurrencies have had a nice little surge in the past 24 hours, and so if you're the type who likes to buy low and sell high, you may be spending some Bitcoin today. I know that I did. I put in an Amazon order through Perse, asked for 19% off, and then I went and spent some fold app gift cards at Starbucks, which were 20% off. And so I'm wondering, do you know of any other ways where one can get a discount for spending cryptocurrency instead of fiat? If you do, again, please share them with us in the comments section. There is new and exciting code on GitHub from developer Owaki, which is called Adblock to Bitcoin. It's meant to help people whose websites are monetized by ads, ask their viewers who use ad blockers to donate Bitcoin to help cover expenses. When used, the code makes a friendly message pop up in place of where ads would be, saying things like, hey, I noticed you've blocked 200 of our ads, while you have every right to do so, we were just wondering if you'd be willing to chip in 50 cents worth of Bitcoin. And this would be useful not only for web owners' revenue streams, but also potentially for Bitcoin adoption in general. And I am confident that a lot of people who don't use Bitcoin today would be incentivized to do so if they knew it could remove their guilt about their ad blocker. The code is of course free and open source and available linked in the description. New headlines have cropped up today that there's been a baby advance in the advent of quantum computers. And a lot of people wonder, what does this mean for cryptocurrencies, which are of course reliant on cryptography for their security. There's not actually a lot published on this subject. Actually the most referred to piece was a blog post written by Vitalik Buterin, developer of Ethereum, back in 2013, in which he explains that if enough lead time were given, say a few weeks, that cryptocurrencies could be retrofitted to deal with any possible threats of quantum computing. But as with so many things, certainly there is more than one way to skin a cat. So if you are aware of any live and active discussion forums, or even articles not mentioned here, which talk about how cryptocurrencies would fare and perhaps even thrive in a quantum computing world, do share them in the comment section below. Whale Club is an active group of hundreds of Bitcoin traders who chat regularly with one another on a TeamSpeak server. Whale Club also has its own YouTube channel and podcasts, and they've recently launched a Telegram chat group and are inviting anyone who's interested in discussing price movements and speculation to join them. Telegram really seems to be blowing up in its usefulness lately. I'm not sure if you've realized that or if you've joined, but I do recommend joining if you haven't. They have both mobile and desktop versions, and there's a wicked handy wallet in Telegram called Telebit which has zero fee transactions. And they can do that because their sponsor is Trezor and Trezor is paying for all of the transaction fees, and so if you're a Whale Club trader, what better way to save money, I would say. So the invite to join Whale Club's chat is in the description, should you choose to do so. Today's episode has been brought to you by Nubits, which is a cryptocurrency whose value has been almost exactly one US dollar for over a year. The Nubits people are able to pull this off because they strategically control the available supply of Nubits, utilizing crypto equity tokens called new shares. What magic is this? How does it work? You can learn more about that at Nubits.com. Have a great day.