Hey everyone, this is Dan. Welcome to another episode of my ASML videos. I've been trading ASML in the last couple of years and have earned quite a bit of profit. I believe ASML is the best semiconductor stock for several reasons. Just in the last month, it went up more than 12%. I believe the stock will continue to go up. Let's get into the details. First of all, let's review the price forecast I gave in my August 12th video. At the time I predicted ASML would be at $850 or above by the end of November 2021. On $812, ASML closed at $781. And as of today, September 15, it closed at $889.33 already. Definitely price went up more than what I predicted and definitely in the right direction as I predicted. In light of all that, will I be setting a new price target? I will explain that in the next few minutes. Let's go back a little bit and trace the price forecasts I provided and how the price moved subsequent to my forecasts. My first ASML video was published on March 28th of this year. At the time, the price was $626 and I forecasted the price would be at $640 or above. And then on June 6th, the price already went up to $683. Definitely went up as I predicted and exceeded my price target. And then on June 6th, I raised my target at $720. And then a little bit more than a month later, July 21st, the price went up to $721. Again, exceeding my target by a little bit. On that day, I raised my target at $750. And then about three weeks later, August 12th, the price went up to $781 already. Exceeding my target, then on that day, I raised my target yet again to $850. And then about a month later, on September 15th, the price is $889. Again, exceeding my target. So what's going to be my next target? I will talk about that pretty soon. Stay tuned. Let's look at the one-year chart. This is based on a daily period. The candlestick chart is ASML. I'm plotting this chart against two very popular semiconductor stocks, NVIDIA and AMD, Advanced Micro Devices. As you can see in the last year, AMD went up about whooping 140%, definitely extremely impressive. NVIDIA, on the other hand, went up by 71.97%, pretty impressive but not nearly as good as ASML. And AMD went up by 35%. QQQ, representing the movement of NASDAQ 100, went up by about 35% also. And SPY, representing the movement of Standard and Poor 100, went up also by about 35%. So definitely you can see the historical performance of ASML. And actually that momentum is most likely going to continue. If you look at Google Trends and see how many searches have been done on the keywords ASML, that's represented by the blue line. That's how it trended in the last year, pretty much low number of searches. As compared to NVIDIA, the red line and AMD stock, the yellow line, you can see ASML has not been very well known by the investors. Or at least there have not been so many searches on those two keywords ASML stock in the last year. That's why I'm saying that ASML is the least known among the three stocks. In the meanwhile, if you look at the PEC ratios, ASML is at 1.8. That's according to Yahoo Finance. NVIDIA is 1.66 and AMD is 1.35. So ASML has about the same PEC ratio as NVIDIA, although both of them are higher than AMD. But all these numbers are pretty reasonable. And that's why I believe it's a pretty safe environment at this point to invest in ASML. And when ASML becomes more well known and more popular, I believe the price will continue to go even higher. As I covered in my previous video starting from the March 28th video, I mentioned that ASML has some monopoly in the EUV semiconductor lithography market with 100% market share. Now the EUV technology is needed by any semiconductor foundry that needs to make chips that are 7 nanometers or smaller in dimension. And that's why they have a monopoly in that market. And then next to that, in the EUV market, they also have 88% market share. There's no other semiconductor company in the world that enjoys this kind of monopolistic position. And that's why I believe ASML is the best semiconductor stock to buy. And of course, we also will be looking at the valuation of the company and what is overpriced underpriced. All the other considerations will support my argument that it is indeed the best semiconductor stock to buy at this point. I'd like to remind you that I'm not a financial advisor. I provide my stock trading strategies and analyses for educational purpose only. If you want to buy or sell stocks, you should make your own decisions and you should definitely consult with your financial advisors before you do so. Let's continue. ASML announced their second quarter earnings on July 21st. And by all measurements, the results were very impressive. And the management said that they expected the sales to grow about 35% in 2021. And previously, the target was only 30%. So definitely, they revised the target upwards, which is another bullish sign. Since all the advanced FAT plans will be needing the ASML EUV Lithography equipment, let's look at how much money will be invested in new FAT plans in the next few years. First of all, Intel announced about 6-7 months ago that they will be investing $20 billion in the next 2-3 years. And actually, they have revised the number upwards. I will talk more about that. Towers Semiconductor then announced that they would be announcing $100 billion in the next 3 years for building new FAT plans. And then Samsung followed up with the announcement of $300 billion of investment through 2030. There will be a lot of investment made also in the European Union, although that's still evolving. We'll cover that in the next couple of minutes. In the meanwhile, it's being reported that Taiwan Semiconductor has been talking with several entities in Germany about setting up plans in Europe. Also, September 10th, Fortune magazine reported that the Intel CEO said they would be investing $95 billion in FAT plans in Europe. And construction could begin as soon as 2022. ASML plans to ship 40 EUV systems in 2021. Each system costs hundreds of millions of dollars. And the quantity that they're going to build is pretty precise. And actually, they have orders to cover the next couple of years. And that's why the earning stream is extremely predictable. And recently, ASML also bought back shares to reward their shareholders. These are a couple of charts from the Better Investing Stock Selection Guide database. If you look at how ASML's sales have been trending, which is the black line here, it's been trending upward nicely. And compared to NVIDIA and AMD, they're pretty much all trending up because of the semiconductor shortage that's been going on. And if you look at ASML's EPS, the black line here, it's pretty healthy also in the last five, six years. It's comparable to NVIDIA. And AMD is very impressive. And I have produced videos analyzing NVIDIA and AMD as well. And I own shares of ASML and NVIDIA as well as AMD because I'm bullish on all three companies. As far as ASML's historical EPS growth, since 2012, they've been growing at 23%. And since 2016, the growth has accelerated to 30%. And actually, the management is saying that their sales will be growing at 35% for 2021. So these are all very bullish signs for ASML. If you look at the return on equity of the three companies, they're pretty much comparable, at least in the last four years. It's a little bit bumpy for AMD, although they've stabilized since about 2017. And then if you look at debt to capital ratio, of course, the lower the number, the better. ASML is a black line here. It's comparable to NVIDIA. Actually, it's a little better than NVIDIA, although advanced micro devices has made significant improvements since 2016. And actually, the debt to capital ratio is more favorable compared to ASML or NVIDIA. But in fact, all three companies are in pretty good shape as far as debt to capital ratios. If you like what you've seen so far, I'd like to encourage you to click the like, subscribe, and notification button so that you'll be notified when I publish my next video. It will also encourage me to make more videos like this in the future. Thank you very much. Let's continue. An article from Motley Fool published today investigated the growth of ASML. If you look at their revenues, it's been growing since 2017 at a pace of 33%. And then went down a little bit to 22 and then 8% in 2019 when the entire industry went through the slum. And then it picked up again for 2020 and 18%. And the first half of 2021, it jumped at whooping 45%. Growth margin, again, significant improvement. They are all more than 40%. And recently it jumped up to 52.4%. And definitely that's a very impressive growth margin. EPS growth, I went from 42 to 27 to 1% 38%. And then the first half of 2021, the EPS growth was an impressive 110%, another bullish sign. This is the evaluation I did in my last video. I'm keeping the same calculations, same assumptions. As I mentioned in my last video, I calculated the prices for 2021, 22, and 23. And they are 631, 819, and 1063. And from that, last time I decided to set a target of $850 a share by the end of November 2021. As of today, since the price already went up beyond $850, I am setting a higher target of $910 a share to be achieved by the end of November 2021. As you can see, $910 is still within this range. A little bit on the high side, but it's still safely within this range. Let's look at the other analysts' opinions. I'm comparing the ratings from August 12th to today's ratings. As far as closing price, it was at $781. Now it's at $889. My target went from $850 to $910. And Yahoo Business maintained a buy rating. High target went up actually from $820 to $975. Average price target went up from $760 to $861. Low target went up also from $700 to $720. Luz Nevillea maintained his very bullish overall A rating. TipRanks.com maintained their moderate buy rating. The high target went up from $820 to $998. That's a significant jump. And the average target went up also from $810 to $949. And the low target went up as well from $800 to $874. CN Money maintained a buy rating. The high target went up slightly from $966 to $975. Medium target from $800 to $925. Low target. That was apparently a mistake last time from CN. I checked that and that was what they printed. But now apparently they realized error and they revised that low target to $743 more in line with the other organization's low targets. And then the Street.com maintained their buy rating A minus. Their target went up from $1043 to $1120. And my target of $910 is pretty much around the medium or average target range among these rating agencies. That's why I'm very comfortable with the target of $910 for now. And most likely as the price continue to go up I will revise my target upwards. Let's look at the chart. This is the daily chart. From this chart we can see that the price was trending upward along this very bullish channel all the way up until the middle of July. Then it took a yet more positive turn upwards and followed this new channel with a steeper slope going up. At this point the RSI indicator is flashing an overboard warning. And previously when RSI was at this level for example here the price went sideways for a couple weeks before it picked up momentum again. And also when it happened here it actually went down for a few days until it hit the middle of the Bollinger Band, the 20 day moving average before it picked up again. And that's why at this point I won't be surprised if the price starts to move sideways for a few days or even go down a little bit. And maybe when it hit the middle of the Bollinger Band then it will start to pick up again. So I'll be waiting a little bit. I won't definitely won't be buying at this point but I'll be waiting for the price to dip a little bit and start to recover before I buy more. And actually when it starts dipping I might even sell some of my existing shares to lock in my profit. As far as the DMI indicator it's still flashing bullish. MACD also bullish. But then again the stock is probably at this point a little bit overboard. I expect to pull back in the next few days. Let's look at the hourly period. We hit an all-time high here on Wednesday at 9.02.72. And that's why at that point it's going to be a very strong resistance point. It's probably going to take us a few days before we can overcome that resistance. If you look at the RSI signal here it's flashing an overboard situation and sure enough the price started to go down. And if you look at the DMI indicator it's still bullish but MACD turned bearish about five six hours ago. Let's look at the support and resistance levels. I drew the Fibonacci extension diagram here using this point in the beginning of March as a minimum point and this point in the middle of July as a maximum point. As you can see from this diagram the line is accurately predicted quite a few pricing levels in the last few weeks. And that's why I believe this Fibonacci extension diagram is applicable. For support levels I see the next support level 8.84 which is right here Fibonacci 78% and then the next level down will be 8.48 which is here Fibonacci 61% and also in the middle of the Bollinger band 20 days simple moving average. Next level support will be 8.23 here and then the next level down 7.97 Fibonacci 38%. For resistance levels I see the next resistance at 9.03 which is the all-time high level and then the next level up will be 9.08. It's the upper Bollinger band around here and then next level up 9.30 which is Fibonacci 100% and the next level up will be 9.80 Fibonacci 123%. What are my strategies? First of all I expect a small pullback in the next three to four days. The price will either go down a little bit until it'll hit the middle of the Bollinger band and most likely it'll recover from there. Or better yet the price might just go sideways horizontally for a few days before it picks up momentum again and continues to move up. Because I'm bullish about ASML for the long term I'll be holding half of my shares for the long term and I'll be doing swing trading with the rest of the shares. I will buy more shares during dips and when it bounces from a support level or when positive news breaks out. And I will sell some shares when it drops at T resistance level or when adverse news breaks out. For example if ASML starts to drift down in the next couple days I will most likely sell some of my shares to locking my profit. And I will tweet my subscribers when I buy or sell ASML shares or when major news breaks out. For example on July 27 I tweeted to my subscriber that I sold some ASML as well as mRNA and BNT shares because this price has started to drift down so I sold some shares to locking my profit. And then on August 18th I tweeted again saying that I bought some ASML shares because the price was at a time 4% below the all-time high and it was starting to recover. And since August 18 because I bought the shares at $778.60 I'm already seeing a 14% paper gain which is not bad. Again if you like what you see please click the like subscribe and notification button. As usual I will very much appreciate your comments questions and suggestions. Let me recap my price forecast. I expect ASML to be at or above $910 a share by the end of November 2021. And as of today it closed at $889.33. This wraps up my video for now. I will chat with you again in the next few days. In the meanwhile I'd like to wish you the very best of luck with your financial investments.


Assalamu alaikum. Welcome to the Beliefs of Islam with me Hassan Hadi. Today's episode is the infallibility of the Prophets. As a matter of fact, in Islam we believe that prophets and messengers of Allah are infallible. Now before engaging in a demonstration of this reality from the scriptures of Islam, namely the Quran and the prophetic sayings, allow us to bring forward both the definition of infallibility in addition to the rational evidences. Al-Fadl al-Muqdad, a renowned Shi'a theologian, offers a concise definition when he says infallibility is a trait bestowed by Allah to a legally accountable individual, Muqallif, in such a way that the presence of this trait negates in this individual any motive to disobey or commit sin while he remains capable of doing so. This bestow is a consequence of the person's acquisition of a moral habit, meleke of refraining from sin. In addition, this person is aware of the reward earned through obedience and the punishment incurred through disobedience and in apprehensive of forgetfulness and failing to perform the better of two praiseworthy acts. It is essential to note that infallibility never compels a person to obey or nor prevents him from disobeying. Rather, his faith, knowledge and perception of Allah's greatness has reached a level where they do not allow him to commit a sin or disobey Allah Azawajal. According to several Ahadith, Allah Azawajal strengthens the prophets and imams through the pure spirit, the spirit of faith, the spirit of strength and the spirit of lust and the lofty spirit accordingly. Now that we define infallibility, we turn to an analysis of the intellectual and textual proofs for the existence of this trait in certain individuals. On a preliminary level, when examining the verses of the Qur'an concerning the infallibility of the prophets, it is important to keep in mind that divine revelation can never contradict itself, nor that dictates of sound intellect. Therefore, we must read these verses firstly, holistically and intertextually and secondly in light of reason, so that no contradictions occur. In regards to the infallibility of the prophets, we will mention only one rational proof, A'Shay Khaldosi states the following. Infallibility is necessary for a prophet, so that surety in him is attained, and as a result their purpose of creation is fulfilled. In other words, a prophet must be infallible so that mankind can trust the revelation that he brings forward. Some scholars have expressed this proof in the following way. Once the intellect independently accepts the existence of Allah and the logical possibility of revelation and prophethood, in a general sense, not as pertains to any specific prophet, the intellect then affirms the necessity of the infallibility of the prophets in receiving and conveying divine revelation. The evidence for this is that since Allah has sent his prophets to guide mankind, he must send a person who is neither careless nor forgetful, must less sinful. If not, he will contradict his own purpose in sending a prophet's revelation and in essence the purpose of his creation itself. If the prophets were capable of carelessness, forgetfulness or sin, people would never fully trust that what they say is from God. They would always entertain the possibility that prophets have lied to them or made a mistake or misander to the Allah's intent. This theological principle is firmly based on the attributes of Allah Azza wa Jail himself. In particular, it is based on his omniscience, el omnitipans kudra, the purposefulness of his actions, khikmah, both in creation and legislation and in essence on the fact that he is a free from impropriety, injustice and purposelessness. If a prophet were to make a mistake in receiving or conveying revelation, this mistake would demonstrate either ignorance, weakness or incompetence in Allah's actions. In reality, if the prophet were not infallible, either he would accidentally or intentionally make mistakes in guiding people or at the very least his people would not trust him sufficiently, either in terms of his acclaims or prophethood or in terms of the message and duties that he brings. In the first case, the prophethood would become a cause for the misguidance of people. In the second case, the prophethood would be utterly without purpose, far be it from Allah Azza wa Jail who either misguide or act without purpose. This is for today. Until we meet next episode, thank you very much.


Sound off for Chesterfield. Chesterfield, first cigarette in America to give you premium quality in both regular and king size, brings you drag net. Ladies and gentlemen, the story you are about to hear is true. The names have been changed to protect the innocent.  You're assigned a homicide detail. You got a call that a man has been murdered. His killer is unknown. Your job? Get him. Here's what the tobacco trade press has had to say about Chesterfield's. U.S. Tobacco Journal. Boston, Massachusetts. Chesterfield cigarettes in the new king size is still maintaining large turnovers in this area. Dealers report that sales continue to climb on this size, and it seems that volume on the regular size has climbed to new heights with its big brother. And tobacco leaf reports from Chicago. More calls for Chesterfield king size cigarettes than for most brands being marketed. Dealers all over the country tell us no product they ever handled has grown so fast in so short a time as king size Chesterfields. King size cigarettes give you quantity, but only Chesterfield king size gives you quantity plus quality. Premium quality. Chesterfield king size contains tobaccos of better quality and higher price than any other king size cigarette. The only difference between Chesterfield king size and Chesterfield regular is that the king size is larger, contains more of these same tobaccos. Enough to give you more than a one-fifth longer smoke. So remember, Chesterfield is the only cigarette to give smokers premium quality in both regular and king size. Ask your dealer for Chesterfield, either way you'll like them. Premium quality Chesterfields and much milder. Dragnet, the documented drama of an actual crime. For the next 30 minutes in cooperation with the Los Angeles Police Department, you will travel step-by-step on the side of the law through an actual case transcribed from official police files. From beginning to end, from crime to punishment, Dragnet is the story of your police force in action. It was Saturday, May 12th. It was warm in Los Angeles. We were working the day watch out of homicide detail. My partner's Frank Smith. The boss is Captain Lorman. My name's Friday. It was 8.04 a.m. when I got to room 42. That's you, Joe? Yeah, I'm sorry I'm late, Frank. I got held up in traffic. Okay, no problems. I'll sure be dead when I get that freeway finish, won't you? I'm the end of the pass this time of the morning. You can't go more than 10 miles an hour. Yeah, cars will be clever for our own Frank. Oh, boy, when we get through tonight, I'm gonna go straight to bed. I might not even stop to eat. Oh, what's the matter? You have trouble getting sleep last night? Well, I wouldn't have had any trouble if I'd had the chance to do it. What do you mean, I don't get it? My brother-in-law. Oh, what do you have to do with it? A couple of weeks ago, he sent away for one of those courses in hypnotism at home. Book got to the house yesterday. Right away, he's got a new career going to go into the hypnotism business. All right. Book tells how if you do it right, you can have full control over people making do things you want, all that stuff. Right away, he's got to practice on somebody. We just finished dinner, and I was all settled down to watch television. He comes in with this little book, a little bitty mirror in the candle, and the first thing he likes, the candle, and tells me to look at it. Concentrate, you know. I told him to go take a run and jump, and right away, Faye joins in, and says I don't want him to get ahead. I said something about the fact that he could use one, and it started. He ends up with me sitting there, and him trying to control my will. Oh, did it work? I don't know. Waved his hand in front of me, and flashed the mirror in my eyes, and I fell asleep. Right away, he wakes me up, wants to know how it felt, and what it was like when he put me under. I told him he didn't, and I just went to sleep, so he kept trying to use what this book calls post-hypotic suggestion. You know, when I'm asleep, he says something I'm supposed to do when I wake up. Oh, yeah. And then he woke me up and waited for me to do it. What do you want you to do? I never found out. He just sat there and looked at me. Every time I'd doze off, he'd wake me up so I could do whatever it was he suggested, and around 1.30 this morning, he gave up. He said the book wasn't any good, and he was going to get his money back. All the time, Faye's sitting there just watching miserable. If I'd known what it was he wanted me to do, I'd have done it to get him off my back. Never did find out what it was. This morning, would he say hello? I figured I wasn't cooperating, I guess. I get it. Homicide Friday. Yes, ma'am. Yes, ma'am, it is. Yes, well, what was that address again? Next, ma'am, we'll be right out. Something for us? Yeah, a woman out on Burns Street, 6425 says her son's been murdered. Frank and I drove out to the house. It was a typical residential neighborhood. When we got there, a crowd had gathered around the front of the house. A radio card arrived, and the officers had gotten the people back from the lawn and the entrance of the house. We went in and met the woman who had placed the call, a Mrs. Edith Curtis. She was a woman in her late 40s with graying hair, and as we talked to her, she kept leaning a handkerchief in her hand. Jeff was cleaning the gun. Middle of the week, he looked at it and said that it needed cleaning. He's always home on Saturday, so this morning he said he might as well get at it. After breakfast, he got out all the things he uses, put them on the table in there, and started to clean the guns. I was in the bedroom, tidying up the place. I heard these loud voices and then a shot. I went to the living room and I saw this man standing there. As soon as he saw me, he turned around and ran for the door. I yelled at him, but he didn't stop. What'd you do then, ma'am? I went over to Jeff. He was just lying there, still and quiet. I could see where he'd been shot. I knew he was dead, and then I called you. Before you got here, the other men, the ones in the car, got here. But it was too late. My boy was dead. Terrible. Just terrible. I'll go see if my partner's finished with the call, Mrs. Curtis.  No. Very kind of you, but I'll be all right. This house has been full of tragedy. The last couple of years, nothing but sadness. I'm used to it. I guess the good Lord makes you used to it. If he didn't, I don't think a mother could go on. Ma'am. My youngest daughter, Alice, two years ago, this next month, the 24th, she killed herself, Sergeant. It almost killed me too losing her. Yes, ma'am. That's why Sam used to it. I got to the point after Alice was dead where I couldn't see any reason for going on. Then I figured that the good Lord must have wanted it this way. And I wasn't the one to say it was wrong. Alice was going to have enough trouble as it was. I don't think I understand. Suicide, Sergeant. The one unforgivable sin. Yes, ma'am. Okay, Joe. I called them. Checked with the fellas in the car. They're looking around the neighborhood. Miss Curtis. Yes. I wonder if you could give us a description of the man you saw. We'd like to get out a call on him. Of course. I saw him pretty good just standing there looking at me. Well, how old a man would you say he was? Maybe 35 or 40. Not any older than that, I'm sure. How tall would you say he was? Taller than you. About how much taller? Oh, maybe a couple of inches. Well, I'll make him about 6'1 or 2. Is that right? Yes. I think that's pretty close. About his weight. How heavy do you think he was? I'm not very good at that. I guess about 180 round there. What about his clothes? What was he wearing? Could you remember? He had on one of those blue denim outfits. You know, the trousers and the jacket light blue. Then the coat had that dark blue trim knitted around the bottom and collar. Had on a white shirt. No tie. The pair of those shoes were the real thick soles. That rubber. Anything unusual about them? I don't think I know what you mean. Whether they have any marks or scars, anything that might make it easier for us to identify them. No, not that I could see. But you won't have any trouble identifying them. I'll tell you if you have the right one or not. Did he have a car? Would you know that? I don't think so. I didn't see one. All right. Thank you, ma'am. I'll call us in right away, Joe. Get out the local and APB. You know, Miss Cruz? Yes. Could you tell us exactly what time the shooting took place? Not exactly, but I'd say about a quarter to eight. Did this man say anything to you? No. Not a word. You never saw him before? Maybe around the neighborhood of the stores? In the street someplace? No, I never saw him. I know that. But if I see him again, I'll know him. I'll be right back, Joe. I hope you won't take offense, ma'am. What's that, Sergeant? Well, you don't seem too greatly concerned about your son's death here. I thought I'd explain that to you. I told you that I have to figure that it's the Lord's will. I might as well tell you, Sergeant. You'll probably find out anyway. What's that, ma'am? Well, Jeff and I had a few arguments. Nothing serious, but we did have words. I beg your pardon, ma'am.  I am. She lived with us here in this house. I thought it was a happy home.  I found out too well, huh? You see, Alice, that's my daughter. Yes, ma'am. Well, she was going to marry. She'd met a young man who worked in an aircraft factory. She seemed to think he was very nice. I couldn't see much in him. I told her so. We had quite a few rows about it once when he was here. And that night, the row, Alice's young man left, made quite a fuss about my trying to run the children's lives. Told Alice that he'd marry her right away that night. But when they were married, he didn't want to have anything to do with Jeff or me. Well, did Jeff take any part in this quarrel? No, ma'am, yes. Finally, the young man stormed out of the house. Alice was in tears, just seemed to go to pieces. That night, she took an overdose of sleeping pills. I'll never forget when I called her for breakfast. Terrible. That's not doing any good. I'm sorry, Sergeant. That's quite all right, ma'am. You said you and your son had several arguments. Was it about this engagement thing? Yes, after Alice's funeral, Jeff seemed to sulk around the house. Then at night, he'd go out and drink quite a bit. He seemed to think that I'd caused Alice to do away with herself. I tried to tell him that I didn't, that I was just as sorry as he was. I told him how badly I felt, but he didn't seem to do any good. Well, have you heard from Alice's fiancé since that night? He was at the funeral. What's his name, Mrs. Cruz? Dudley. Bruce Dudley. You know where we can get in touch with him? I think Jeff had his address. I can look for it. Thank you. But you don't think that Bruce had anything to do with this. I know it wasn't him. I know Bruce. I know what he looks like. It wasn't him in the living room. Well, we just want to talk to him, ma'am. Of course, he might have hired someone else. No, I'm sure Bruce had nothing to do with it, even with what he did say that night when they had the fight. Jeff told him that if he didn't get out, he'd throw him out. When he left, Bruce said that someday our meddling in other people's lives was going to backfire. That it might take some time, but that we'd be repaid. And that look in his eyes when he went through the door. Sergeant, maybe he did do it.  At 9.12 a.m., the coroner arrived and removed the body. The men from the crime lab crew went over the place. A complete set of pictures was taken before the body was removed. Layton Prince went over the rifle on the table and the cleaning apparatus. Frank and I noticed that the tablecloth on the living room table had been on the floor when we got to the house. Mrs. Curtis had told us that her son had grabbed it as he fell to the floor. We talked with the neighbors. One of them, Mrs. Alvin Kemper, said that she had been watering the lawn between 7.30 and 8.00 a.m., but that she had seen no one enter or leave the Curtis house. She told us that she had heard frequent and loud arguments between Mrs. Curtis and her son. Frank and I drove out to the address of Bruce Dudley. It was a modern one-room apartment on Riverside Drive in the San Fernando Valley. We rang the buzzer a second time and waited. Looks like he's not in. What time you got? 12.17. He's probably gone out. Come on, we can check the manager. Yeah? Mr. Dudley? Yeah, where do you want? Well, police officers would like to talk to you. Okay. Come on in. Just got up out late last night. I don't feel it all well. I'll move those clothes and sit down. I'm going to put a pot of coffee on. Oh, I feel like a troop of midgets ran barefoot over my tongue. Yes, sir. Go right ahead. What do you want to see me about? You know what, Jeff Curtis? Yeah, I know him. Hey, what do you say your names were? Well, my name's Friday. It's my partner, Frank Smith. You got any badge, something to prove that you're cops? Yes, sir. Here's my ID. Sergeant Joseph Friday. Okay. Now, what's this about Jeff? He's dead, Mr. Dudley. Dead? Yes, sir. How'd it happen, accident? Well, we're not sure. He didn't kill himself, did he? Why'd he ask that? I just thought he might have. His sister killed herself, thought he might have done the same thing. Do you know of any reason that he'd do something like that? No, no, not that I could name. I understand you and Mr. Curtis didn't get along too well. Well, we got along all right. Oh, and Alice and I split up there with some worries. Nothing serious. Well, the way we get it, you pretty sought him. Yeah? Yeah. I understand that you and he had quite an argument. He was ready to throw you out of the house.  She's been throwing lies around again. Well, is it true? Did you and Curtis have an argument? Yeah, I got nothing to hide. You been out of the house this morning? No, why? Have any way of proving you were here all morning? Just got up. You know that? You guys got me out of bed. What are you trying to prove? Just want to know if you can account for your time. That's all. You think I had something to do with Jeff's death? Is that it? We didn't say that. No, but you meant it. Oh, excuse me. No, don't think. How about you? No. You don't mind if I have a cup, huh? No, sir, go right ahead. Thanks. Now, let's face it. You guys really think I had anything to do with what happened to Jeff? We're not paid to say what we think. We try to get the facts. Yeah. And if I was you, I'd concentrate on Mrs. Curtis. I wouldn't put it past the old bat to kill her own son. You check around the bars in the neighborhood and talk to his friends, I'll tell you.  She used to be on his back all the time about the girls he went out with. I knew some of them. He used to double date with them once in a while. They ever have any arguments about this while you were around? A couple of times, yeah. If you don't believe me, why don't you check with Harry? He'll tell you the same story. Lord knows he went through enough of it. Harry? Yeah, Jeff's brother. He got married... Oh, let's see, about five years ago. Moved out of the house, locked stock in baggage. He went through a thrash with his mother about it. He'll tell you about it. He used to come over to see Jeff once in a while after he got married, but the old lady caused so much trouble that they started me at a bar. Got to the point where Harry wouldn't go in the house. Check with him. He'll tell you. You know where we can get in touch with him? No, I haven't got the address. Look it up in the book. Harry Curtis. I think it's out on Selma someplace in Hollywood. All right, sir. What do you work? Myer Aircraft. I'm a toolmaker. You work today, sir? Yeah, I'm off today. What's this for? Just wanted to know where we could meet you. You still think I had something to do with it, huh? No, we didn't say you did. Your name came up and we had to check it out. Yeah. Well, there were a lot of times when Jeff and I didn't get along.  I never do anything to hurt him. He got enough in his hands with that mother. Yeah. Sure, one night we came home from a date. Alice, me, Jeff and his date. We're sitting around the kitchen having something to eat. Mother came in madder than a wet hand. Ray's cane told Jeff to get the woman out of the house. Jeff totally wouldn't have her talk to the girl like that. He thought quite a bit of her. The old biddy walked right over and slapped the girl across the face. Told her to leave Jeff alone. Said she'd rather see him dead than tie up with a girl like that. 2.40pm, we drove back to the office. There had been no replies on the local or the APB. We checked the names of Jeffrey Curtis and Bruce Dudley through R&I. There was no record on Curtis, but Dudley had been arrested twice for LAMC 4127C, being drunk in a public place. He'd served sentences in the city jail in both charges. We checked with the coroner's office and they told us that Curtis had been killed by a .38 caliber bullet. It had been fired at close range in the city. The bullet was booked for evidence and we made out a dead body report. We put in a call to the brother's house, but we were told that he was out of the city and he wouldn't return until sometime that night. We left word for him to call our office as soon as he returned. We checked on the suicide story given us by Mrs. Curtis and found that an Alice Curtis had taken her own life by an overdose of sleeping pills two years before. 5.20pm, Frank and I drove out to talk to Mrs. Curtis again. You want to look at Jeff? Yes, Mrs. Curtis. This way. When we were here this morning, you didn't say anything about your other son. Harry? Well, you see, Officer, Harry doesn't care much for me. I know it's hard to believe that a boy would desert his own mother, but that's what Harry did. He got married and right away his wife started to cause trouble between it. A rifle your son was cleaning this morning. Oh, yes, those men from the crime lab, I think they said they took it. Yes, ma'am. Did your son do much hunting? Well, he used to. He used to do quite a bit before Harry got married. He used to be a great pal. Mother couldn't ask for a better pair of sons. And when Harry left home, Jeff sort of gave it up. He cleaned the gun when he had to, but he didn't go after game anymore. Then, too, he was afraid to leave me alone at night. Ma'am. Well, we've had a lot of trouble with prowess in the neighborhood. Had to call the police a couple of times. They didn't find anybody, though. Is your son's clothes, ma'am? Yes. This man you saw this morning, did you notice that he had a gun? Yes, he did. It was a revolver. When I came into the room, it was still smoking. Did your son keep any other firearms in the house? Oh, no. Just the rifle. I wouldn't have any other guns in the place. I don't like them. Had me called to go up on the attic, led me, Mr. Curtis. What? The attic man. Have you seen him? The attic man. Have either you or your son had any reason to go up there? No, I don't think we've been up there since we moved. Could I get you officers a cup of coffee or anything? I've got some nice fresh cake, like a slice of that. No, ma'am. Thanks. Just the same. Oh, no. Look at here. Ma'am, look at here on the shoulders of these suits in the back. See this dirt? Looks like it came down from that door to the attic. Now, let me get a chair, and we'll have a look. What's this all about? I told you we haven't used that attic. Don't you believe me? I'd just like to take a look if you don't mind, ma'am. Well, maybe I do mind. It's just going to take a minute, ma'am. I think your officers have sure got your nerves. I tried to be nice to you. Help you out. Isn't enough that my boy said, now you have to come in here and tear my home apart. There's something up here, Frank. I can reach it. Have you ever seen this, Mrs. Curtis? No. I haven't got any idea how that gun got there. It doesn't belong to us. What do you think, Joe? I don't know. 38-calibre. You are listening to Dragnet, the authentic story of your police force in action. And now, a report every smoker should hear. Nose, throat, and accessory organs not adversely affected by smoking Chesterfields. First, such report published about any cigarette. A responsible consulting organization reports a study by a competent medical specialist and staff on the effects of smoking Chesterfields. For six months, a group of men and women smoked only Chesterfields, 10 to 40 a day their normal amount. 45% of the group of smoked Chesterfields from one to 30 years for an average of 10 years each. At the beginning and end of the six months, each smoker was given a thorough examination, including x-rays and covering the sinuses, nose, ears, and throat. After these examinations, the medical specialist stated, in my opinion, that the ears, nose, throat, and accessory organs of all participating subjects examined by me were not adversely affected in the six months period by smoking the cigarettes provided. Remember this report and buy Chesterfields, regular or king size, premium quality Chesterfields, and much milder. We took the gun back to the city hall. It was checked for fingerprints, but none were found. We checked with pawn shop records, but the gun had not been registered. By checking with the manufacturer, we got the retailer's name. It had been sold to the victim, Jeff Curtis. The gun was turned over to Russ Camp for the routine check through ballistics. Look it up. Right. Look at this, Mike. It's right up there. Got a make, Russ? Yeah, a match. 1146 p.m., Harry Curtis called the office. He was surprised to hear of his brother's death but said that he would be down to see us in the morning. Frank and I checked out and the next morning we drove out to the house on Burn Street and picked up Mrs. Curtis. We talked to her in the interrogation room.  I don't understand what you're trying to get me to say. Well, maybe if we laid out for you, ma'am. Yes, that might do it. At least it would be something. All right. When we walked into your house yesterday morning, you said that nothing in the house had been touched, that everything was just as it was when your son was killed, is that right? Yes. I guess I said that. Mike, have you been sure one way or the other, ma'am? What did you say? I said that. I hadn't touched anything. Nobody did. Would you tell us what your son was doing when you left the room? I told you he was cleaning the rifle. On the living room table? Yes, that's right. What did you say he did after he was shot? I said he fell down. Did he touch anything as he fell? Brush up against anything? Well, when he fell, he grabbed the table cloth, pulled it down with him. Well, then maybe you can explain how it was that all the things he used to clean the rifle and the gun itself were still on the table. What? How is it those things didn't come off the table when he pulled the cloth off? I don't know what you're trying to get me to say. Well, you'd like me to tell us the truth. I'm telling that. All right, ma'am. When the crime lab went over your house, they found two places in the kitchen floor that had been filled in with plastic wood. The job didn't look very old. Well, what's wrong with that? Jeff took good care of the house. He might have tried to plug up some place where ants were getting in. When the men from the lab dug up the patches, they found 238 caliber bullets underneath. They checked them with a bullet that killed your son. The bullets came from the same gun. I don't know what you're talking about. What does all this show? You talked about the prowlers, said you had trouble with them in the neighborhood. That's right. What action did you take to stop this? I called the police. Had them come out and try to find the person who was causing the trouble. When did you call the police lab? Three weeks ago. Well, you've checked the reports, ma'am. There's no record of anyone having called the police to check prowlers in that neighborhood for the past six months.  Is that what you're trying to do? We're trying to get the truth. Frank. Yeah, Joe. Check the office and see if Mr. Curse is here. Yeah, sure. You've brought my son here? Yes, ma'am. We've got to get the truth to this. Well, why did you have to get him involved in it? Well, as I said, ma'am, we're trying to find the facts. You don't believe what I've told you? Well, no, ma'am, you've made it a little difficult. How can you say that? Well, first you tell us that nothing was touched, yet the physical setup doesn't make that possible. You deny knowing anything about the gun when we find it, but we find two bullets that have been fired from the same gun embedded in the floor of the kitchen. You told us about prowlers in the neighborhood, but there's no police record of it. Your next door neighbor says she was out in front of her house all morning, but she didn't see anyone enter or leave your house. If we find the murdered gun up in the attic, you told us you saw the killer leave the house with the gun.  Now, can you tell us who put the gun there? No, ma'am. There's too much here that doesn't gel. They got you into this, didn't they, Harry? Yes, mother. They're trying to tell you that I killed Jeff. They want me to tell them that I killed my own boy. Tell them. Tell them I wouldn't do a thing like that. Not my own boy. Pray that I can't, mother. What do you mean you can't? The officers just told me about it. Well, who are you going to believe, the policemen or me, your mother? You don't give me much choice. What? I love you, mother. You got to believe that. I know that whatever you did, you thought was right. I know you didn't mean to hurt Jeff. I know that. And you think I killed him too, don't you? Harry, give me an answer. You think I killed Jeff, don't you? Yes, mother. Well, I did. I didn't think I meant to do it. I think I just wanted to frighten him. He was running around so much. Those tramps he was seeing, terrible women. I had to keep him home. I had to keep him with me. He was all I had. I'm not young anymore, Harry. You went away, then Alice. Jeff was all I had. I didn't want him to leave, and he was going to. We had an argument. He was cleaning the guns. I got the revolver. That way I knew that I'd always have him with me, that he wouldn't leave. I pulled the trigger, then I knew what I'd done. That Jeff was gone too. I didn't know what I was doing. I didn't know. You've got to believe that, officer. Yes, ma'am. Do you believe me? That I just wanted my boy? I wanted to keep him. That's all any mother wants. I tried to keep my boy. I mean, that's what was wrong. What do you mean? You tried too hard. The story you've just heard was true. The names were changed to protect the innocent. On September 4th, trial was held in Department 87, Superior Court of the State of California, in and for the county of Los Angeles. In a moment, the results of that trial. Now, here is our star, Jack Webb. Each of our dragnet case histories is based entirely on facts taken from authentic police files, and everything we tell you about Chesterfield is based on facts too. Chesterfield, for example, is the first to name its ingredients. Chesterfield tells you what it's made of, because you should know it gives you the best possible smoke. It brings me to the report that George Veneman and Hal Gibney read earlier. That too is based entirely on facts. Nose, throat, and accessory organs not adversely affected by smoking Chesterfield. First such report ever published about any cigarette. Remember this the next time you buy cigarettes and ask for Chesterfield. Regular or king size, premium quality Chesterfield gives you the best possible smoke. Edith A. Curtis was tried and convicted of murder in the first degree and was sentenced to the state penitentiary for women to Hatchopee, California. While serving her sentence there, she died from natural causes. Murder in the first degree is punishable by death or confinement in the state penitentiary for life. You have just heard dragnet, a series of authentic cases from official files. Technical advice comes from the office of Chief of Police W. H. Parker, Los Angeles Police Department. Technical Advisors Captain Jack Donahoe, Sergeant Marty Wynne, Sergeant Ben Spracer. Heard tonight were Ben Alexander, Herb Ellis, Helen Cleve, Whit Conner. Script by John Robinson. Music by Walter Schumann. Hal Gibney speaking. Tomorrow, sound off for Chesterfield. Either way you like them, regular or king size, Chesterfield gives you the best possible smoke. Much milder Chesterfield. Chesterfield has brought you dragnet, prescribed from Los Angeles. This is NBC, the national broadcasting company.


I'm Lieutenant Nick Jadon with the 16th Airlift Squadron based out of Joint Base Charleston. We're here in support of Mobility Guardian 23, which is a huge exercise in the Indo-Pacific working with our partners. So I'm a pilot on the C-17 Globemaster. We are responsible for airlift operations, aerial refueling, aeromedical evacuation, global airlift control, right now working in the Indo-Pacific and flying with our Australian partners. So that's been a super cool experience getting to fly with them, share our TTPs, our tactics, techniques and procedures, learning from them, learning how they do mission planning, down to execution, different things with their airspace, really being able to max perform the aircraft and how we train with them. So it's been really cool to see just like swapping seats with them and literally flying like one Australian pilot and one American pilot together has been really cool to see. Yes, that matters a lot because it demonstrates that we are so interoperable that we can just join together as allies and go take care of the mission, whatever it is. So when it actually first started even before we left here, we did a whole mission planning sell with the Australians down to like when our takeoff was going to be what we were going to do just to get to Brisbane and some of the formation maneuvers that we were going to like practice on the way there. We flew there as a two-ship landed and then woke up the next day, briefed up the plan for what we flew on Sunday and then went out and executed it. It started off with taking off as a two-ship. In my jet, it was our aircraft commander and one of the Australian co-pilots and then in the other jet, it was their aircraft commander and one of our co-pilots. So that was kind of cool. We took off, went up and flew out to an air refueling track, met up with a KC-46 and did some air refueling. So that was super cool for the Australians because that was their first time getting to air refuel off of a 46. So they don't get to see that really ever. And it was really cool seeing them succeed so well in it because I just expected maybe some challenges, whatnot, of being the first time seeing that, but they demonstrated the ability to do that just as easily as our pilots do. After that, we split up with the tanker and went to do a couple of airdrops. We didn't have any actual cargo that we were dropping. It was just for practice and training. But so we went in, did a practice personnel airdrop with a re-attack for a heavy airdrop, switching pilots like the whole time. So that was super cool to see as well, just how it was the same procedure either way. And building the confidence that if I were to fly with an Australian pilot in the future, we're just as capable together as we are separate. After that, we went and flew a low level through some mountain range in Australia. And that was super neat because it was a really deep valley with a nice river flowing through it. So it was super pretty scenery. And just be able to do that in formation with another jet was something that we don't get to see every day.  And that's just one of the, that's one of our mission sets, one of our capabilities. So to be able to practice that with them is cool. And then we actually did that low level a couple of times because it was a lot of fun and really good practice. So we cycled all the pilots through the seats again, just so that everybody got a chance to fly it and then headed home and did a formation arrival together. So honestly, that flight was probably probably my favorite part about this. Being able to work with the Australians was a super rewarding experience. It was a lot of fun. And just being able to learn from them, see how they, how they mission plan, how they fly, some of their localisms that we can use to just take home with us and use back home.


and the standard deviation or spread calculation for those two numbers, then we'll do our mathematical calculations, same kind of thing we did before. We have the batting average, we've got the z-score, same concept with the z-score. Now the z-score might not be exact the same because we might have trimmed off a little bit more or less in terms of the very high ones and the very low ones, but the calculation of the z for the data that we have here is going to be the same kind of concept, 0.311 each x minus the mean 0.221 divided by the z 0.06 and that's going to give us our 1.5 about. We could do that all the way down. We do the same thing for the RBI's which are absolute numbers here, so now we're going to say all right the RBI's are going to be the 131 minus the mean on the RBI's 26.575 and then take that and divided by divided by the standard deviation 26.337 gives us about 3.95 about. We could do that all the way down, all the way down. We can multiply out the z's and see what that does 1.518 times the 3.965 gives us the 6.018. Okay we can do that all the way down and then if we sum out that outer column that gives us our numerator. So we sum that up that gives us our numerator 35289. The denominator is going to be n minus 1 so we can then take the number of data points in this case 823 minus 1 that gives us 822 and then we have the numerator and denominator in the outer columns. So I can then say all right this is 352.898 divided by 822 and we get .429 so that's more highly correlated. I can do the same thing with my data analysis tool to double check it and that looks good and then if I plot this I can say okay now we've got something there's our regression line our trend line and it looks obviously more positively correlated here so we're going to say all right yeah the batting average as the batting average goes up then the RBI's goes up that's kind of what we would expect. We have here the batting average on the x and that's usually what we would do if we think that is kind of like the independent and then the dependent over here the RBI's but we could reverse it and it would look like this so now you've got it's still positively a positively sloping line but now we've got the RBI's and actually if you think about like the RBI's would be a would be a decent way to then think about what the batting average would be right according to this right if we knew the RBI's we might be able to predict you know what the batting average is now notice there's going to be of course outliers on these so like this one over here we had a batting average of higher than 0.6 between points you know 0.65 or something that's a very high batting average what would that indicate that would if they're that high of a batting average it would indicate that they didn't get on base I mean I'm sorry it would indicate that they didn't have that many at bats they probably had a few at bats which means the ratio isn't really a valid ratio possibly we could we might have been better off to delete that one because they probably didn't have that many at bats which means they didn't get and you can kind of see that from here because they if they had a really high batting average you would think they would have batted somebody in right and they didn't now maybe they were the lead-off hitter or something like that so they didn't have any opportunity but still as the lineup turns over you would think that they would have opportunities to bat someone in typically so something seems kind of funny with that if you flip it over here you get the same thing but now here's that here's the dot up here at the 6.5 and now the RBI's are down below


Marines and sailors, the Battalion Landing Team, First Battalion, Fourth Marines, and Combat Logistics Battalion 31, 31st Marine Expeditionary Unit, sacrificed their shore leave time by visiting children on the Paddy Orphanage. With the BLT visiting on one day and the CLB on another, the service members voluntarily switched gears from combat training to community outreach following the multilateral exercise Cobra Gold 2012. We've done military operations around Thailand and we just wanted to take the time to help the community. We much rather be out here than just wasting away time. I much rather be out here doing something that I love to do, something that can help. After playing with the children for most of the day, the service members demonstrated drill techniques and sang the Marines' hymn. Paddyah, Thailand.