Welcome to this fourth robustly beneficial podcast that today we're going to discuss the paper by Google that was published in 2014-15, I'm not sure exactly of the date. And it's called Focusing on the Long Term, It's Good for Users and Business, which is a very interesting paper, I think it's quite unique in its genre because it tackles the primer of long term and the impact of some modification of the algorithm on the users in the long term. Which if you think about this is very rare, like usually what we're doing when we're doing testing algorithms is always like very short term, like most of the time it's A-B testing. So the basic idea of A-B testing is that when you go on a website, the website is going to randomly choose to show you a version A or version B of the website. And if people engage more with the version A than the version B, eventually the website learns, well it's very basic learning, but it learns that one of them is more engaging and it uses for instance the one that has the most engagement out of the two. But these tests are very short term because they just see the immediate reaction of people when they are exposed to this kind of content. Exactly, so in the paper they describe the whole methodology on how they made this change, they made this study. So the basic idea is to have two conditions, one that's called control, that is the normal condition in which the software works and one experimental condition, which is a change for example the experimental condition can be increasing the number of ads by 25% that appear in Google search. And an interesting point was that they see right away that over the short term, just over a few days, increasing the number of ads increases also the revenue. But for these users, for which we increase the number of ads, after one, two, three months, we also see that the user changed and they start to click less and less on the ads. So over the long term, if we count the effect over every day, we see that in the end the revenue decreased. Yeah, that's very interesting. And one thing that was striking to me in this paper, maybe we can discuss more of the results before going to other things. Another thing about the result is the study of how long does it take for people to get used to this kind of new ad load for instance. And so if there are more ads people eventually learn to ignore more of them. But how long does it take to learn? And actually, I did not have the chance to be surprised because I learned about this paper in a talk and the guy just said, well look, it takes that much time for people to learn. But I think it's an interesting question maybe for people for listening. How long do you think it takes for people to learn, to stop, to click less on ads whenever you have this change of algorithm after which there are many more ads? So the result in the paper was that after three months, they expect to have measured only 65% of the learning effect. So we can think that after six months in total that people would have reached 95% of how much they learn to avoid the ads. And that's a surprising amount of time. If you think about it, whenever I see a website with too many ads I stop clicking on them or I stop going on the website maybe quite quickly. And I feel like this learning process should be fast, if I had to guess. So maybe you have this impression because you compare things that are very different but here they make the measurement of a small change in Google search results. I don't know how much they increase the ads in the experiment but I think it's not from 1 out of 10 ads but from an average of 3 to average of 3.5 ads. I guess in this case it's harder to learn. But then it means that you learn subconsciously, right? Exactly, a lot of this kind of thing is unconscious. And it's quite amazing that the learning rate of the unconscious mind is very slow. It takes months to change the behavior because of the change of what we're exposed to. And that's interesting. And it raises all sorts of other questions like what are the impacts of a change of the algorithm that recommends less conspiracy videos on some user? And probably if you do A-B testing you would not see that much maybe? Yeah, I don't know what you would see. You would see that if you increase how many conspiracy videos are in the feed then people would click more on it. But what we could observe over the long term is that if you sustain this increased amount of conspiracy video then maybe what could happen in the future is that users get more critical and decide to detect this kind of video and click less on it or what could also happen which would be a lot worse is that users get to believe more and more in these kind of videos because they also have been studied where we know that if you just repeat something to someone a large number of times they would start to believe it's true even though they have no reason to. So maybe over the long term high increasing the number of conspiracy videos would make people believe in it more and engage with it more and more. Yeah, it's hard to study. One thing that was interesting in the paper is that they proposed new methodologies to study these long term effects. And maybe before getting into this, it's interesting to know that it's hard. We don't have a lot of studies in psychology out there to the best of my knowledge that study these sort of long term impacts of repeated exposure even though this paper shows that there's such an impactful thing going on after weeks and weeks and even months and months. And so the methodology was not like... I wouldn't say it was groundbreaking but it's still interesting. So the way they did this is... Essentially because the problem is that you would want to... The basic approach where you have this user and you give him a treatment like basically showing him more ads for instance for a long period and then after that you need to compare this with the control group and you need to compare this on the same kind of exposure to the same thing. So the idea is that after this you revert back to the old algorithm, the old ad load and you compare on this same ad load, small ad load whether the user who has gone through this treatment period for weeks is going to click more ads than someone in the control group and I guess this is more like the classical scientific method like the statistical test applied to this setting but it's actually very inefficient because you have to choose ahead of time the period of time you want to study and you don't know how long it will be and then if you want to test more you need to redo the experiment with other people. And so the other thing that they proposed was rather to do this comparison between someone who has this change of algorithm for a long period of time compared to someone randomly selected from the control group who are exposed to increased ad load on a given day only and you compare this and this allows you to give you a curve as a function of time to have this comparison over time which is nice. The way they do it is every day of the experiment they would take someone that has not been in the experimental condition and just for this they put them in the experimental condition and compare this with people that have been in the experimental condition since the beginning of the experiment. So like this the short-term effect is the same for the group used as control and the group used as experimental because they are both today affected by the experimental condition but like this they can measure how much the people from the experimental condition have learned since the beginning of the experiment. Yeah, do you think there's a better way to do this? I've tried to think of it a bit but I haven't found a better way to do this it sounds like a reasonable methodology. Yeah, I think so because the problem as you said that either waiting for the end of the experiment to be able to make a measure it's a very cumbersome or during the experiment if we only have experimental group and control group the comparison is meaningless because we are comparing two different things so the measure we get out of it is not interesting. Yeah, one reason why they said that it was better to do this one-day experiment every day you could think that I'm just going to do this on the first day and that's the baseline. I always compare how much people would click on the first day when they were exposed to more ads. But by doing this repeatedly they can control for compounding variables maybe because of some other sites that people started using they got to learn on this other website to use less ads, to click less on ads so that's the way to control this. Yeah, exactly. Any real life event outside of the platform can change a lot for a few specific days how much people engage with the ads. I guess if there is a political campaign people would be more likely to click on ads because people are talking about it at the moment. So yeah, this is why it was important for them to compare every single day with another group on this same day. Yeah, I guess it does not completely remove the compounding variables because maybe they are, as you said, maybe you get into a political campaign and there are like the ads are more engaging or people click more on ads and this increases maybe the variance of how people click and maybe the difference between the control group and the experimental group gets increased because of this. Yeah, so they agree. The measurements are very noisy because they are also able to do it over a large number of people. Yeah, the impacts are quite high. Much larger than in the paper we talked about last week. It was, I don't remember the figures but it was like double digits like it was 18% something like this. So yeah, 18% for Google in terms of ad clicks. It's a lot of money when you think about it. It's like billions of dollars. So a huge stake. And if you want to do good, yeah, I think that it raises a lot of questions. It shows also really the impacts again of the algorithms. Here you have really huge impacts on how people behave on a daily basis like how much they are going to click on ads which is not what we perhaps care the most about here on this podcast. But it's interesting that you see that just these changes are very simple changes like you just add more or less ads. You change the people's behavior quite a lot. So yeah, algorithms matter. They have a strong impact. Yeah, so as we discussed yesterday that the topic of ads is not extremely important and interesting. But what was really interesting in that paper is that it shows that users learn from the platforms. And this platform has an effect that can accumulate over a long time and change users in very significant ways. So certainly what we are exposed to everyday with this platform such as polarization or angry videos they certainly have an impact on us and that make us learn and change our behavior. So this is I think quite a worrisome and more studies on this kind of thing would be extremely beneficial. Another striking thing about the paper is that the experiments started I think it was in 2007 something like this and it was published in 2015 or something like this. So the paper is the result of nearly maybe not a decade but like several years or like say at least five years of studies. And this shows that it takes a lot of time to gather this kind of data that are I think really interesting. So if you want to do robustly beneficial algorithms I think it's critical to understand this interaction between algorithms and humans and it takes a lot of time. So like we should start now. We don't want to wait for the next Cambridge Analytica++ because I think there's a lot of things going on on the social media that we really don't understand and it takes years to understand them. It takes also a lot of resources like you had to be Google to do this essentially. Yeah exactly. This kind of study will very difficultly come out of academic research because usually academic research is run by PhD students that do PhD for at most four or five, six years and you don't do a five-year study if you do a five-year study. Yeah, yeah. Don't start your PhD by saying oh I'm going to run a five-year experiment. You're not going to graduate. So there is this kind of experiment that can be run but simply analyzing the data from the past even though there were no experimental conditions can it give us as much information as this kind of experiment? Yes, I think there's a term for this. I think it was called natural experiment or something like this. When you have this population and for some reason one part of the population was exposed to this kind of content and it was a bit arbitrary like it could have been the other. In such a case like you have a natural setting to do sort of a comparison between treatment and a control group but this only occurs like usually there are confounding variables like the reason why this group of people were more exposed to this kind of treatment was because of some other reasons and maybe this other reason was the reason why the treatment worked or something like this. Yeah, so we believe that the data so far from the past on this platform is nearly useless to answer very deep research questions? No, I don't think it's useless at all. I just think it's much harder to analyze but it's much more plentiful. There are many more data like this so you can leverage maybe this amount of data but if you ought to do this, you need to do it well and basically the classical approach of test hypothesis seems very obsolete to me for this kind of thing. To say these things that go on for years like this where you have plenty of confounding variables I think given that there are lots of data and you want to explore these data to understand what's going on I would say that it would be worthwhile to have more embracing more global models that include different aspects like the fact that there was this president that got elected at this moment and things like this and it's going to be tricky it's going to be hard and it's going to be not fully reliable but maybe you can still leverage this by huge amounts of data to have a model that still makes predictions that are somewhat informative but yeah, I think it's very hard. Yeah, I think it can have still a lot of value if you study population that are somehow homogenous and you see that between them some got exposed somehow randomly to such type of content and see how their behavior changed I don't know if you start watching a first video about football then there's a chance you will start to like football a lot change little by little to watch a lot more videos about football in the future I think this data even though it would be subject to confounding variables it could still give us a lot of insight Yeah, I think it's extremely challenging to because I would encourage this kind of research I think there's not enough of this kind of research like analyzing the past data of social networks for instance but the study has to be done extremely well which is very challenging and you need a lot of variable people to do this and also like you need a venue to publish your paper and I'm not sure it's going to be that easy to publish this kind of long term quantitative studies of something with some very complex model I don't know if it's a field of research that exists today I don't think so Yeah, like it'd be hard for me to advise a PhD student to work on this I feel like it would be a curious suicide Yeah, okay If you could do an experiment on let's say YouTube so decide to change something in the recommended system for half of the world and observe the effect of a time, what kind of things would you do? So I've gone more and more interested in the concept of intellectual honesty like Julia Gelef has a talk about this on YouTube and so it's basically the idea that you should try to not lie to yourself and if you think about it we're lying to ourselves a lot arguably all the time like we want to believe something and so we discard this thing and we say oh no it's fine and we tell it to ourselves and because of this we have this confirmation bias going on and all sorts of things like this and the example I gave once is that when I was doing math popularization a lot well I'm still doing this a lot but I convinced myself that mathematics was extremely important like then mathematics research was underfunded now I'm not even sure about this anymore I don't want to make mathematicians angry if they watch this video but I think there are good concerns like the AI ethics but back then I think I was really lying to myself because I was doing this math outreach on YouTube and blogs I felt like I had the duty to defend mathematics and I was kind of lying to myself mathematics is extremely important that's why I'm doing this and that's why you should also read me and watch my videos and fund me if you can and I think intellectual honesty is really really important but I would like to have a better understanding of how different videos impact people's ability to be intellectually honest and I fear that a lot of science popularization videos including mine and that's very annoying for me but I'm trying to be integrity honest I think a lot of videos may be counterproductive in this regard it's like comforting people's belief that science is important and is the way to go and what science says is true and it increases some overconfidence so I would be really curious to see the impact to try to randomize the impact of different videos on people's intellectual honesty because I think this is really like something if you can make progress on it's going to be much easier after that to have more robustly beneficial proposals for algorithms or for societies but this is a very difficult like we talked about yesterday about the fact that you're doing your PhD in education and it's hard to study long-term effects in your field as well even though it's critical so a lot of the experiments in psychology these days are like one shot like you get this guy for two hours and you can do not everything you want on the guy but you can do things on the guy for two hours but then it's over you cannot touch the guy saying we have things better and as a result you only study short-term effects then you write books and you make proposals based on this study of short-term effects and the long-term effects may be neglected one aspect of the paper nevertheless they build this model to anticipate the revenue of Google based on number of users times how many has we showed which others times how many users, how much users click on ads times how much money we get from each ad so what was interesting is that they had all these factors that is more than just how many clicks on ad do we get a short-term study would simply change the experimental condition and measure how much clicks on ad do we get but this one it measured over time these several aspects so what's interesting what changed that the click-through rate how much user clicks on ads it changed over time right at the beginning of the experimental study it was some values that was increased because more ads were shown but then it decreased over time they see this as a more complex system something else that could happen is increasing the ads would decrease the number of users because users would do it in the paper they talk about the fact that they they try to anticipate what would be the long-term effect based on the short-term effect and this can be valuable I mean apparently it has been valuable for how they run experiment inside Google to correctly maximize their revenue over time not correctly but better maximize their revenue over time by now they sort of built a kind of indicator that you can test over a short period of time and will help you predict what will be the expected revenue for a longer period of time yeah so they had this basic model where as you get exposed to something you change your behavior and then it asymptotes like this and the typical time length of variation is about two months two or three months and so this means that you can apply this for instance to last week's paper last week's paper like we said that what the paper said that if you change the algorithm of Facebook news feed you can change people's what people like how happy the posts of people who are going to be afterwards but the impact was very small was the order of the 1% or 2% and I did some rough calculations if you assume that how people exchange their mood essentially is similar to how they change their clicking patterns on ads then you should multiply essentially like roughly by 12 something like this it's also very rough but yes by 12 maybe more and this makes the impact very important like you increase happiness by 12 or 20% on billions of users that's huge that's huge and also like you can have other side effects like there are studies that show when people feel more lonely they feel they become also more aggressive so if people start to post more happier posts then there can be a feedback loop more people get used to see even more positive content and maybe there are some feedback loops that are not even captured by this toy model but then there are also limitations to these predictions of the long term given short term data like maybe there are some features of human cognition that aren't monotonic like maybe at some point you get too much exposed to this kind of thing and it's negative maybe you have more complex behaviors but we lack data to understand really what's... there are even some things that would be extremely difficult to measure within an experiment so for example in the case of Facebook if we do the same experiment and you talk about these feedback loops that the more people post positive things the more they will see positive things but to really change... to really activate this feedback loop you need the whole Facebook user base or at least the... all the network of... all of one huge network of friends that are all chatting together and see the message of each other to be connected to really activate this feedback loop as long as you keep it an experiment with just 10% of Facebook users you will not see this kind of thing I was interviewed by some other person yesterday and he asked me... like if I get to choose for the YouTube algorithm whether it's going to... like I could not change it so that it would instantly promote a lot more ecology videos would I do this? would I click on the button to do this? and I answered like... it seems beneficial but I would be... like I need more data to be really sure and the typical thing that I am afraid of is that if you just increase this or some of the ecology videos there are videos like that say that we should protect the environment and so on but they are not really scientific and they may propagate fake news or ideas that are actually counterproductive to protecting the environment I think it's actually a very complicated topic and there are lots of things that... well, like we gave the example of nuclear energy and a lot of ecological videos like for instance Greenpeace videos or stuff like this we'll say that... that nuclear energy is having a negative impact on the environment for instance and some people understand that it has... that this is because it has some carbon emission and that's wrong so that's... it's possible that just by clicking on this button you're promoting the wrong kind of videos and it's also possible that by clicking on this video you also create the wrong kind of reactions so there's this other paper probably we'll discuss it at some point here on the podcast that shows that if you increase people's exposure to alternative views so the setting exactly was like you were on Twitter and you pay people to follow one Twitter account that retweets the tweets from the opposite side if you're a Democrat it shows you tweets from Trump I don't know who and if you're a Republican it shows you Clinton or whatever and they actually showed that this increased polarization Well, they expected it to decrease and that's a very... like I've actually heard a lot of people saying that we need to increase diversity in recommendations of Twitter and YouTube and so on but actually if you just do this it's probably not going to be robustly beneficial and actually maybe like these studies show that at least for some people it's going to increase polarization and so you really need to understand better these kinds of social medias and the psychology of people if you want to make robustly beneficial interventions and that's why these kinds of papers I think are really important and really critical I'd say you need more of these kinds of papers I'd say Showing one ecological video might teach something about the ecology but we should look beyond that how will user change their behavior and what will they do afterwards Yeah, yeah Yeah and it's also possible like if you want to do something that's really robustly beneficial I think what you recommend really needs to depend on the user like if you want to get people excited about mathematics like I love 311 videos and like I would want the YouTube recommender system to just suggest 311 videos to me but maybe it's not the right kind of video for like a 12 year old kid maybe it's like he's going to scare him because it's a bit technical and same thing for ecology like maybe there are some ideas of ecology that are scientifically correct and there are ways of ways to go but like the user is not there yet and he needs to process other information before getting to this kind of content so like personalization that's often the it's critical if you want to make robustly beneficial recommendations yeah and unfortunately all of this is very hard to study and to analyze them so what can be done about what kind of research can be done to better understand these effects yeah so like the classical approach for studying long term effects in healthcare is epidemiology where you just track people and you ask through questions that you ask them through surveys you ask them what they hate and stuff like this but this is but I guess a survey about well I guess you could do epidemiology of how people think I don't know how effective it would be how reliable it would be trying to understand why people change their minds about this or that trying to think of research ideas that could be relevant to better understand how to make robustly beneficial algorithms yeah clearly it's not easy maybe some psychologists that watch these videos will have better ideas than we can so I hope you've enjoyed this podcast I think it's a lot of food for thoughts because it's quite different from the way people think about algorithm testing for instance like we really think of algorithm testing as you run this test and it's done but this kind of paper shows that well tests are limited they have their flaws as well and yeah I think we need a lot more research to understand this I hope you found this interesting it's a lot of food for thoughts and I hope you will see you next time next time we'll discuss the introduction of PhD thesis that was written here at EPFL by Luka Mestre called efficient learning through comparisons or from comparisons which is also a very important thing in terms of AIFX because if you know what people really desire well it's easier to know what's robustly beneficial to do see you next time


Sad to know where all the best toys are? And this December, many of the hottest smartphones are just a penny, with service in Appalachian Wireless. Stop by your local Appalachian Wireless to check out all of the great smartphone deals that consistently top the nice lists. Ho ho! This Christmas is truly going to be bigger and better than ever! Better service, bigger savings, that is! Ho ho ho ho ho! That's today's Appalachian Wireless! It is Christmas week and Santa Claus is busier than ever. In fact, he is getting an early start this year, visiting children at Fairview Apartments in Pikeville right now, along with his friends from Signature Healthcare. EKB News reporter Shannon Deskins is standing by live with a jolly old elf powered by the 4G LTE network of Appalachian Wireless. Hey Shannon! Hey Jill, the spirit of Christmas is alive and well in Pikeville tonight. When a lot of people are out and they're doing their Christmas shopping and they're thinking about those gifts to give, that's exactly what's happening here tonight. And I've got a group of Signature Healthcare who have put together, I guess a parade, if you will, of things to do here in Pikeville. And they're going to be handing out some gifts tonight. I've got Alicia with me right now. It was with Signature Healthcare. Tell me what we're seeing on the Pikeville bypass tonight. Tonight you're seeing in a season where everybody is getting gifts. We just came out here and wanted to give something back to the community that has given so much to us. So you're seeing us hand out gifts, give out candy, hot chocolate. We're just going to give merry men enjoy. And I think that the word has already gotten out that the jolly old elf himself is going to be out tonight because we have got, and you can't see it on camera, but we've got children everywhere and you really haven't even made your first stop. So you're going to spend the next couple of hours in this area on the Pikeville bypass just spreading the Christmas cheer. Absolutely. We got together as a group and we wanted to do something close to home. So we contacted our local housing development office and they told us how to put together baskets and just give to children. And we couldn't be more excited that we're able to come out here and do that tonight.  And I'm sure there's going to be some people watching to go, you know, if they can do that and they can put that together, I can too. So what can somebody if they're watching do to say, hey, we want to do that in our community? Well, you can contact your local HUD office like we did or get with the local church. There trust me, there are plenty of opportunities to give back to your community.  Yes, ma'am. And there is a lot of giving here tonight. In addition to Santa Claus and everything else that's going on, there's parallelers that are going to be going along this trailer behind this trailer tonight. So as I said, Jill, the spirit of Christmas is alive and playful tonight. Back to you. Like a lot of fun, Shannon. Thank you.


At first glance, this stretch of Northern California looks green and lush, full of life. The Shasta River meanders 58 miles from the Klamath through Siskiw County and Lake Shastina, supplying water to everything and everyone along the way. But take a closer look, talk to the people who live up here, and soon you'll discover that water is drying up and may soon disappear. That scenario is playing out in a growing number of cities and towns throughout California. Three years of little or no rain prompted Governor Jerry Brown to declare a drought state of emergency last January. We are in an unprecedented, very serious situation. The city of Montague is now facing the very real possibility of having no water to drink. We have about another two months of water to get the city through before we would have to look at other water conservation measures. Montague gets its water from Lake Shastina, also known as Duel Reservoir. But it's not much of one now. On this day in mid-June, the level was just 4,700 acre-feet, a fraction of the 35,000 acre-feet average. Snowpack was zero this year, so runoff from Mount Shasta was non-existent. Montague is a microcosm of what's happening throughout the state of California during this drought crisis. Only it's worse for this town's 1,400 residents. It's the first time in the history of Montague that we've been in a drought situation, so it's a very, very new experience for us. June 13th, Montague Mayor Jane Keller welcomed California's drought task force for a critical government-to-government meeting. Today's meeting in Montague is the fifth regional site visit that the drought task force has done around the state. Chief Deputy Director of the Governor's Office of Emergency Services, Nancy Ward brought the task force team to meet with government leaders from six Northern California counties. We really want to hear from you. Siskiu, Modak, Trinity, Shasta, Lassen and Tahima all represented. We wanted to hear firsthand what they're seeing as the concerns so that we can understand if we're seeing gaps that we can take back to the task force, the greater task force, and ensure that we're trying to close those gaps as easily as we possibly can. We've been a tremendous effort of city, county, state, federal and tribal government representatives coming together to deal with a very complex situation. County leaders got an opportunity to shed light on their predicament, giving a firsthand account of and lending perspective to the realities in their own communities. Obviously, the drought has terrible consequences for people, for ag, for fish and wildlife because we're in an incredibly serious drought. People are stepping up to come up with creative solutions in a neighborly sort of a way, which is to say, how can I help my neighbor by running a pipe, by sharing a water right, by helping drill a well. This is the heart of the project right here. Siskiu County gave the task force a tour of the location of a planned $1.1 million dollar pipeline project that will divert water from the Shasta River to Montague. We have worked with different water rights owners who have displayed an interest in helping the city of Montague. At least putting in another well, some place to pump the cool water into the Shasta, for the water to come here and then get transported correctly, correct? Right. And so, you know, long-term, you're absolutely right, but there's likelihood this related to construction timing. But really drove the message home for the task force. The nearly empty reservoir, it's 85% below the annual average. Rings of water levels past are like a tree's growth rings, only here, there's stunning evidence of the evaporation of their water supply. The Shasta River that runs through here connects with big springs about six miles, river miles downstream. Drought task force leaders watch, listen, and learn about what factors are leading to this crisis and the effects they're having on towns and their citizens downstream. But what if anything can be done about it? That's the priority and focus of the DTF. I think we got some questions answered, but I think also it has shown a light that we may need to do some follow-up meetings in that area. What this community did is work together, local government, state government, the tribes, and they've all come together to solve the problem of drinking water for this particular community. That's what we want to replicate up and down the state of California.


What is going on everybody is Stas here welcome back to another video so in today's video we're going to be doing an overall market update taking a look at the Dow Jones the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq we're also going to be doing a trading update talking about what I personally did today in the stock market as well as talking about three stocks in particular that I'm looking to swing trade here heading into the month of October in 2019 so if you guys find value in this video if you enjoyed this video if you find it helpful feel free to go down below hit that like button consider subscribing if you want to see further content for me involving the stock market trading and investing this is the channel for you and without further ado guys let's get right into it starting off here with the SPX so at the time that I'm recording this video with around 23 minutes left in the trading session we're currently pretty flat in the markets in terms of the SPX up only 61 cents trading at around $3,007 if we zoom in a bit here to the one day one minute you guys can see we hit a peak roughly at about 30-20 which if we zoom out again you can see that is a resistance roughly at that all-time high that we experienced a couple months back in the S&P so this is a bit worrisome that we are getting rejected here you know heading into the close of the market right now which in my opinion could be leading to a potential pullback 229.90 to retest that level of support which has been a strong support over the past couple of weeks here on the S&P 500 going to the Dow Jones this one's currently read as well down 30 cents down 0.11 percent you guys can see here just like the S&P the Dow is struggling right at those all-time highs at around $27,400 so this could be a sign showing us that this may be going back down to retest the upcoming support which is around $26,900 to around $27,000 so going to the NQ right now this is the only green one actually the S&P just turned green right now but the the NQ is up $9 up 0.11 percent and it does seem like it is holding successfully that old resistance from back in April to May of 2019 as a new support right now which is at around 78.75 so the fact that we're holding that we're also holding that 50 S&P this one could be going up to retest let's say 79.95 maybe $8,000 and you guys can see if I zoom out a bit the all-time high here is around 8,051 so again if we reach this resistance we break out that's going to be a huge breakout we may be going to all-time highs at that point so overall that's what the markets are looking like right now guys they're pretty flat you know that they're barely up you know they're barely down they're barely up they're like right at that you know you know the level that they closed that yesterday pretty much and this is interesting because if we go back to the S&P we actually opened up the day pretty strong today this morning I thought that there is going to be potential to break into the all-time highs as we did gap up from yesterday's close so initially I was very very interested in seeing you know are we going to gap out breakout all-time highs you guys can see we didn't do that which is showing me in the short term now again like I said you know this could be pretty bearish for the S&P especially if it breaks this 50 S&A which is this green line here on this 20-day one-hour chart so that's a key technical spot on the S&P if we do break that 29.90 is the next support level like I mentioned a couple of minutes ago if we're going to the Dow very quickly let's break down some smaller time frames you can see right now the Dow's actually breaking below that 50 S&A which is not too good of a sign that could be the sign that we're going down to maybe 27,000 flat to around 26,900 like I said and if you go back to that one day one minute on the Dow you can see we gapped up aggressively this morning we hit a high at about 27272 which is really about 100 points below the all-time high and at this point I was thinking we may be going all-time highs today right we may be pushing that limit but again we got rejected and we started to downtrend which is not too good in terms of a bullish standpoint now right the bullish standpoint they would obviously want us to be breaking out of these resistance levels so at this point the bears are taking over on an intraday perspective here on the one day one day one minute rather for the Dow Jones if we're going to the Nasdaq very quickly guys before we do talk about what I ended up doing today in terms of trading you can see you know again on the 184 hour we already talked about that we're holding that 50 S&A that's good on the 20 day one hour we're also holding that and it seems like we got rejected by that resistance as you can see on a closer basis here which is not too good the bulls would have wanted us to break out here into the eight thousands we didn't get that so as of now guys although we are you know holding that 50 S&A on both the four and one hour chart if we go to the intraday chart the bears are taking over right now unless we do end up doing something like this in the last 18 minutes of trading which if we do that's going to be very good for the bulls so overall right now that's what I'm looking at in terms of the markets in terms of some key technicals if you have any insights guys feel free to go drop them down below in the comment section the markets are interesting right because we got you know these interest rate cuts yesterday 25 basis points I figured that the market already had them priced in so I didn't think the market was going to fly up which it really didn't because again we're flat right now so at this point I'm just interested in seeing how this reacts you know are we going to dump are we going to sell the rate cut news like we did last time we got a rate cut these are some things that are going through my mind and again I would love to know what you guys have to think about that down below in the comment section so let's talk about what I traded today which is PayPal guys one of our discord members in the discord link is down below in the description box for those of you guys that are interested one of our discord members actually called this one out this morning again ticker symbol PYPL and from his call out I was able to break it down analyze it and trade it and it was very very awesome a very very good setup this morning I want to talk to you guys about that right now but if you if you guys didn't catch my video like a couple feels like a couple weeks ago where I talked about PayPal breaking these trends you know I haven't watched it since I'm probably say since that video and I look back at it and I was like wow this really has not recovered yet but it could be setting up for potential breakout here which in my opinion this morning that is kind of what it was setting up to do now that we saw the results for the rest of the day obviously it didn't break out but this morning it was setting up for that breakout which if we zoom in very closely here guys you can see that it hit the bottom of this wedge it hit the support of this wedge and then it started to climb up pre-market heading into the market opens so that was very good and when he called that out I think it was like at the market open or something like that maybe 20 minutes after the market open you know at that point it was starting to trend up right and again we were holding the higher low holding the bottom of this wedge so in my eyes I was thinking this one's starting to climb and it's going to potentially either break out of these moving averages and this resistance of the wedge which would be extremely bullish or it's going to get rejected here it's going to see some resistance and then potentially sell off or maybe just consolidate a little bit and maybe decide tomorrow which way it's going to pick and obviously it did the latter half of that you know it's really consolidating and struggling right now here but we have another day of trading tomorrow where if it pops guys this could be an insane swing trade which is actually the first swing trade this first stock that I'm looking to swing trade if we do end up getting that breakout and to talk about what I did today if we zoom in a bit closer you know we were gapping up heading into the market close yesterday and pre-market today like I said right take a look at the gap up pre-market we went from 105 we started to trend up there you know we ended up getting to 106 at the market open roughly then we ended up selling off testing that 50 SMA here and I actually took a position I believe it was at around 106 24 guys 106 24 and then all of a sudden this thing started riding that 50 SMA like I expected because again if we go back to that four hour chart at this point in time this is the trend it's going up like this so I figured this has a really good chance to touch up here because again that's the resistance of the 50 SMA and the top of that wedge and it filled that gap perfectly and that was actually where I wanted to sell this initially because I knew if I wanted to swing trade this I would have to wait for that breakout and since we weren't at that point yet I didn't want to force a swing trade when the technicals weren't pointing to a good swing trade quite yet but I did realize and analyze this one as having good day trade potential which again like I said is what I ended up doing so I got in again 106 24 I believe to be exact and then honestly I ended up just selling up here as we started to get into the 106 70s because at that point you know I didn't have a lot of money tied up into this but I was up around like 0.4 something 0.3 0.4 more towards the 0.4% side and that was a very quick you know in and out it was around like a 20 30 minute day trade at that point where I realized that we were getting to the top of that resistance I wanted to just take the profits and then again like I said wait tomorrow to see how this level ends up playing out are we going to break out of that wedge and if we were to break out again that's where I'm looking to take that first swing trade so on that note guys that is the first talk that I'm looking to swing trade believe it or not it's PayPal and that's what I ended up doing in terms of trading PayPal today so let me know down below what are you guys doing in terms of trading any swing trading that you did today are you buying any stocks to swing trade or you day trading let me know down below in the comments I'd love to know so PayPal waiting for this one to break out the second stock that I'm looking to swing trade here which is another one that we talked about in the discord chat is Alibaba guys the good old Chinese company Alibaba ticker symbol BA BA so today Alibaba ended up breaking a key resistance at around $178 this was critical because you can see over the past couple of weeks there's been a resistance at this point literally five separate occasions once here twice here three times here four times here then five times the fifth time was literally five six days ago and then we retested it today or was that yesterday let me just double check that we retested it yep today really towards the end of the day yesterday we broke out and then today we fully broke out and now we're just in another channel as a whole from around $180 you can see here all the way up to around $188 and this is actually looking very good for a re-entry on BABA I didn't trade BABA today I know a bunch of people in our group did but hear me out on this guys this pullback from 184 which it ran to 184 today believe it or not and it's trending all the way back into the 180s which is quite the pullback which is why I'm saying this could be a nice sweet juicy entry here if it ends up holding the 180s or rather not the 180s may the $180 price point so you can see 184 now we're pulling down to 180 184 is in the middle of that channel so the fact that we are getting this pullback it's like a blessing in disguise so I'm looking to see if we hold 180 tomorrow you know if we can solidate a couple of days that's okay too but ultimately I want to see are we going to hold it and then slowly start to pop up and you know you see this other trend line here that I drew out right you know we popped out of the top of the wedge which is also very bullish you know this is actually an example of the stock breaking out of the top of the wedge as opposed to PayPal which hasn't yet you know we broke out of the top of that wedge and now we may be pulling down to retest the wedge as a support you know the top of the wedge as well as that overall 178 180 level as a support which is another good sign so that's just kind of what I'm watching at this point on Bob off we zoom in a bit you know you can see on the hourly chart here the 20 day one hour you know we could be pulling down to maybe 180 again you can see the double top here was that 180 right we may be pulling down to that 50 SMA even or maybe even that 180 SMA if we do end up breaking below 180 either way you know I think 176 to around 180 could be a good entry point right around this area here this general zone and that's kind of what I'm waiting for here I'm going to be very patient and once it does start to pull down there if it starts to show some confirmation of support a pop you know maybe some consolidation I might consider a position and of course I'll let you guys know and the purpose of me calling out these stocks guys talking about them in the videos it's not for you to just go out there and blindly buy them that's just not the purpose whatsoever it's for you to kind of see how I do my technical analysis and apply that to your trades but to also see what I'm looking to trade my reasoning behind it so you can also take that and apply it to your own trades as well and if you understand what I'm trading you know you understand Baba PayPal whatever it may be go ahead and trade them for yourselves but the whole the whole purpose here is for you not to just blindly follow me or anybody at that point right you should be relying on yourself being a self-sufficient trader investor and honestly in every area in life you know other than trading and investing in stocks right you should be like that in every area of your life so the third one that I'm watching and my phone keeps buzzing right now let me just um um uh what's it called turn this off for you guys but the third one that I'm looking at is Facebook ticker symbol FB and the movement on Facebook today and especially how it seems like it's looking to close this is very attractive in my opinion if we zoom out a bit to the 184 hour this is yet again another stock that is in a wedge right just like PayPal just like Baba Facebook is in a wedge right now a good sign we got is we broke out of that 180 SMA that was an initial good sign that we got a couple of days ago we're seeing a bullish cross which is the second good sign honestly which is the 50 SMA this green line crossing above the 180 SMA which is the yellow line in every time frame that you see when the smaller SMA crosses above the the larger SMA that's a bullish sign guys so we're seeing two good signs here in terms of Facebook the third sign I want to see ultimately and I've been saying this guys in these videos is a break above 190, 191 roughly that area and a hold at that area as a new support this is what we need to see and from there we may get some consolidation you know we may get some even a pullback to 190 a retest maybe a pop-up from there to 191 again just some overall consolidation but the idea from here would be that we start to trend up into the mid 190s maybe the high 190s even into the 200s guys that's kind of my trajectory right now from a technical perspective on Facebook if we do end up popping and doing exactly what I just said so this one's going to require a bit more patience in my opinion just due to the way it's been trending right it hasn't been moving much actually no that's a lie from 180 to 180 189 that's a that's actually a big move what am I saying but I feel like over the past couple of days not really the past three weeks but the past couple of days this area general area from 190 to around 185 it's kind of just been hovering here not doing much so I would love to just see that price pop to the top here that's just overall what I'm waiting for on Facebook and any positive catalyst too if one were to come around there's a bunch right now with Facebook involving the cryptocurrency Libra right I know a lot of you guys know about that that's pretty positive you know if another catalyst came along pop that stock price up from a technical basis that is all we need to see and then from there it could be flying up to 205 again 210 maybe 215 which is that high that we saw a couple months ago back in July of 2019 so overall guys those are the three stocks Facebook PayPal and good old Alibaba ticker symbol B A B A so let's talk about very quickly now let's run through gold let's run through natural gas see what those are looking like crude oil I kind of want to do a follow-up on these very quickly before I end off this video so natural gas right now it took a cliff dive today it took a cliff dive we're trading at around 255 right now we're down about 8 cents today down about 3% so now it seemed like we are holding 254 255 as a support this is a general area that I'm going to be watching for natural gas to hold tomorrow and honestly for the rest of this week and next week but the bad thing is guys we broke the trend right we broke that up trend above the 50 SMA we clearly dove below that so this could be free falling for all we know at this point in terms of natural gas and you guys as you guys can probably guess has been doing very poorly over the past day two days it's down 10% today down about two bucks so maybe D gas could be a play over these next couple of days which goes up whenever natural gas goes up in the case that natural gas does break that 255 level of support so let's go to slash GC very quickly you guys can see this one's holding very nicely 1495 gold has been showing a strong sign of support at this level so that's that's pretty attractive in my opinion you can see we hit that high at 1560 from there we failed to hold that 180 SMA that we've been talking about in the videos but we did hold that 1495 support which is good and right now you know I'm looking for either a dump below 1490 and from there we can short it by trading JDST which goes up whenever gold is selling off you know and then we could potentially find a support at 1450 you know or the flip side would be if we were to break above this 50 SMA and this 180 SMA this could be a bullish sign to potentially trade Jnug which goes up when gold goes up and when GDX goes up which is a gold ETF right and just to put this in there as well because I forgot to say for JDST GDX is what JDST trades based upon not necessarily gold directly but GDX does follow gold because it's a gold ETF so in a sense it does trade against or rather based on gold in a sense but kind of indirectly just figured to put that out there so crude oil right now let's take a look at how that is doing guys because we we all know the attack on the Saudi Arabian plants popped oil's price up to around 63 bucks now it's pulling down holding that 50 SMA this is a pretty good sign if you're looking to trade UWT which goes up whenever gold or rather crude oil is going up so this could be a sign that if if crude oil holds that level and starts to pop you know this could run from 13 maybe if crude oil gets back to 62 63 which I don't know if that's going to happen but even if it gets to 60 you know this could run up from where it is now 13 bucks up to about let's say you know 1450 maybe even like 15 bucks maybe at that point who knows right but either way that's going to be around a 5 10 15 margin and back to crude oil guys just to break that down again you know if we break below this point that's going to be critical right if we break below that point we're going to be running down to 56 bucks at that 180 SMA as that's probably the next major resistance as well as this point here I guess you can say $56 that could be where we're going and then from there obviously we could short it by trading DWT which goes up whenever crude oil is selling off so that's kind of the rundown for today guys if you enjoyed this video if you found value in this video if you enjoyed how I broke things down explained everything feel free to go down below hit that like button again consider subscribing if you want to see further content involving the stock market trading investing news technical analysis just everything stock market guys this is the channel for useful subscribe hit that notification bell and drop a comment let me know what you guys are up to in the markets what are your thoughts on the markets I would love to know so I'll catch you all in the next video have a good one peace out


Admiral Michelle Howard, Commander, Naval Forces Europe and Africa, welcomed Secretary of the Navy, Ray Mabus at an award and reenlistment ceremony at NSA Naples Officers appointed over me according to regulations According to regulations and the Uniform Code of Military Justice After presenting awards and reenlisting 10 sailors, Mabus took questions and discussed his top priorities for the fleet We're going to get the fleet back to 300 ships by 2019 We're going to get the fleet back to 308 ships, which is where we need to be by 2021 He addressed issues that concern the 21st century sailor like his four P's, people, platforms, power and partnerships By no later than 2020, at least half of all our power come from non-fossil fuel sources It's actually very special to me because still early on in my career and to be able to listen to someone with so much insight also to have them reenlist me the same day It's a great honor, it's special, it means a lot to me From Naples, Italy, I'm Petty Officer Kelby Sanders


Across our state, Wyoming citizens through the Game and Fish Commission protect large tracts of land and water as wildlife habitat management areas. Over to hunters and all outdoor enthusiasts, the 37 areas protect key habitat for creatures large and small. Here at the Amsdon Creek area in the foothills of the Bighorn Mountains, the Game and Fish purchase land to prevent landowner-wildlife conflicts. Over 300 elk use the hills and creek bottom as crucial winter range. Amsdon, like many other areas, is closed to human intrusion mid-November to the end of April. Livestock are also excluded in the summer to preserve forage for wintering wildlife. These sacrifices provide a secure reserve for winter stressed animals. By protecting a few key areas, be it for ducks or deer, Wyomingites work together to ensure our wildlife populations remain strong. So be sure to get out and enjoy your wildlife habitat management areas such as beautiful Amsdon Creek. From the University of Wyoming Extension, I'm Milton Geiger, Exploring the Nature of Wyoming.


Welcome to the city council recap for the study session on October 6th, 2020. All city council members were in attendance. Four members of the public spoke during first call public invited to be heard. One of those members of the public currently lives in a recreational vehicle which would be impacted by an ordinance appearing later in the meeting who expressed concern about the ordinance. The caller also mentioned the relationship between section 8 housing discrimination and the rate of homelessness and therefore the necessity for some people to live in non-traditional arrangements. A second caller who said she was a long time long month resident expressed concern about the rising cost of living and said that the cost was forcing her to leave town. Based on that, she said city council members should act with unbelief for those living in recreational vehicles during a time of economic distress. City manager Harold Dominguez provided his weekly update on the COVID-19 pandemic. He said that the recent spike in cases in Boulder County was primarily affiliated with the University of Colorado Boulder, but did not appear to have impacted non-university affiliated people. That was reflected in the ages of the people who were affected who were primarily in the college age group. Long months infection rate normalized with the population was on par with Lafayette Lewisville. In conversations with Boulder County Public Health, city manager Dominguez emphasized that the Boulder County was doing much better than other counties in the state and that continued diligence would ensure this. He repeated the advice to wear a mask, be socially distant and wash your hands. Dominguez emphasized that keeping the COVID infection rate down was important to protect the lives and health of local people in addition to the local economy. With respect to Halloween, Dominguez recommended that to ensure safety, people planning to dress up need to wear cloth masks under their costume masks. The Colorado Department of Public Health has issued guidelines for Halloween at their COVID-19 webpage, covid19.colorado.gov, slash Halloween tips and tricks. Councilmember Christensen expressed concern at the racial disparity of infection and death rates for COVID-19 in Longmont and how the disease has impacted Latinx and Black people living here. She asked members of the public to be cognizant with how they interact with members of the service industry and that those people who are not at high risk, either because of their race or because of their wealth, should not downplay the risks of COVID-19. Councilmember Tim Waters asked a question about the use of public service announcements to promote safe behavior from members of the public. Assistant manager Sandy Cedars said that the PSAs which had been filmed would be run by the partners of the city on the social media. City Manager Dominguez mentioned that the PSAs were actually being driven by the business community in order to ensure that businesses could stay open. Waters expressed concern about the slow pace of the rollout as it had taken four months for the city to make any progress. City Manager Dominguez informed city council members that there will be an executive session next week to prepare for the meeting on the 20th of October to discuss the Longmont Housing Authority, which would like to host a joint meeting with City Council. City Council members agreed to delay reports on waste services and inclusionary housing in order to ensure there would be enough time on the agenda. The 2021 budget presentation was next. City Chief Financial Officer Jim Golden prepared a presentation to respond to questions from city council members from previous meetings which had discussed the upcoming city budget. With respect to the Public Library, Golden shared a few sources of additional funding which would be allocated to the library to protect library services including grants, pre-allocated public improvement funds, and some money from endowments which are managed by the library board. An additional $37,500 was allocated to the library in order to provide additional digital resources for adults and children. Community Services Director Karen Roney outlined three goals set by the City Council at previous meetings. The first was drafting an ordinance prohibiting RVs from parking permanently on public streets. The second was to find alternatives or resources for those living in RVs. The final directive was to inquire about a specific property owned by the county as to whether that could be a space set aside for people living in their RVs. In response to inquiries, the property in question is not available for use. Several options were explored within city limits to including privately owned lots which are full to capacity already and therefore do not have additional space. The wastewater disposal facility at the RV campground at the fairgrounds could be made available for disposing of wastewater and City Council could facilitate access in collaboration with the county. Roney suggested that if council does pass an ordinance banning the parking of RVs on public land there would be a delay in the effective day in order to allow staff to make outreach to affected people to alert them to the changing rules and set up entry points for the coordinated entry system. Council Member Marcia Martin made a motion which was passed by council to direct staff to negotiate with the county to enable access for dumping of wastewater for people living in their RVs at the Boulder County Fairgrounds beginning on January 1st. The council also voted to suspend the prohibition on the development of RV lots in Longmont if the ordinance prohibiting the parking of RVs on public streets were to pass at a future meeting. Code enforcement supervisor Shannon Stadler and police chief Jeff Seider gave a presentation on an ordinance drafted by city staff prohibiting people from living in RVs or other similar sleeper vehicles on public streets. Council members went to great pains to ensure that only living in a vehicle would be only living in a vehicle would be criminalized as opposed to RV storage on city streets by land owning residents or vehicles used for construction. The topic ended with city council directing staff to finalize drafting of the ordinance and prepare it for a first reading this first step in making it a law. Mayor Brian Bagley made a statement in remembrance of Matthew Shepard a student at the University of Wyoming who was beaten to death because he was gay on October 12th, 1998. Mayor Bagley implored the public to stay civil and remember our mutual bonds of humanity with the upcoming election. Council member Susie Hidalgo-Ferring made a statement reminding residents to treat public school teachers with kindness as they attempt to cope with the challenges of teaching students during the pandemic.


We talk about what I feel like is like an ideal Structure of a week, right? I'm gonna talk about structure because we always talk about like hey appointments set sit sale Numbers commissions calls all that stuff right door knocks, but what I'm gonna talk about is Sunday Because well literally I think the next week starts for me On like a Saturday, right? So I'm gonna talk about Saturday Sunday fun day Siesta Sunday success Saturday, right all the fun stuff do that's that's what I call them man If you guys follow me on IG and Facebook you see that stuff all the time Thursday if I can remember what days are in order right and then Friday. All right, so Saturday Saturday a.m. I want to be getting in dials right Sunday p.m. I want to be getting in dials right I want to set up Monday so that Monday I'm I want to run because we always talk about set 15, right? True or true DK. That's true. D D. Yeah with a uker K in the end Right there we go What a freak huh running Appointments, but I want to so I want to I want to set here I want to have on Mondays. I want to start off my week with at least At least and then Tuesday Tuesday Tuesday's actually gonna be my busiest day of the week I always made cells on Tuesdays, right? We talked about this for the visual tracker for prospecting 101 I always made cells on Tuesday because I was so and then and then p.m. dials, right? So I'm three days in a row. I'm front loading my week this one I want to have about at least five set this one. I want to have at least Three set right so then I and then I want to better run about two more here and then this one that this what this is like this is catch up This is doorknock. This is bonus day Whatever you want to call it But at the end of the day you've got to be thinking about your week structurally so three plus eight plus five is eight Plus two is ten right plus two is twelve. You need to pick up three more. Maybe this becomes Four three three. Maybe you get another three on Friday. Whatever the case is You need to end up with 15 set. So that's kind of how I think through the day, right is I Love to have it front loaded early in the week And if I can call if I need to call on Tuesday or Wednesday night to help these other days Then I will so at the end of the day the goals to set 15 I like to front load it can these are the best two times a dial in the week Monday and Tuesday nights are also pretty decent. So There you go


Hi everybody, Joe for Jasper's casebreaks.com. Happy Monday coming at you with a nice break here. 2022 hip parade baseball, limited edition, autographed edition, series five with the new labels here. You'll see them. You'll see them soon. Everyone gets a random team in the MLB. This product is loaded players on MLB's top 100 prospect list as well as current baseball stars. Every card's autographed and authenticated by the top companies in the industry. It's just tops and panini. Pretty nice stuff. It's only limited edition, so I don't think you're going to see a lot of graded cards, but obviously tops, panini cards you'll see in here. Big thanks to this group for making that. We only ended up doing one filler, so I also appreciate that. Makes life a little bit easier. All 30 teams are in. Let's roll it. Let's randomize it. Connection secure around. I assure you the connection is secure. Thank you. Three in a three, six the hard way. One, two, three, four, five, and six. After six times, we got Dennis down to Ivan. Three in a three, six the hard way for the teams. One, two, three, four, five, and six. After six times, we got the Phillies down to the Cubbies. It's supposed to be a World Series game today. Reigned out. Who does that help? Does that help the road team or the home team? Maybe it doesn't help anyone at all. Trades are allowed, but trade at your own risk. Dennis with the Phillies. Steve with the Guardians. Travis with the Giants. Steve with the Rays and the Yankees. Adam with the Angels. Roger with the Twins. Jay with the Red Sox. Steve Birch Astros and Metz. Chad B Pirates. Steve with the Mariners. John with the Orioles. Travis with the Blue Jays. Nester with the White Sox. Jimmy with the Nats. Barry with the Padres. Jeremy with the Royals. Brad with the Marlins. Michael, he got my Dodgers. Nester with the Reds. Chris with the Diamondbacks. Michael with the A's. Chris Walker with the Tiger. Steve Birch with the Rockies. Nester with the Cardinals. Barry with the Rangers. Matthew with the Brew Crew. Travis with the Braves. And Ivan with the Chicago Cubs. It's alphabetized by team. And we'll pause the video. When we come back we'll see if there's any trades. And then we'll have that triple case break. Stick around. We'll be right back. Hi. Welcome back everybody. No deals were done. So here we are. Let's scare up some good hits out of this triple case break here on the 31st of October Halloween. Here's Steve Birch's last spot mojo. Yankees, he was happy with his draw. Yeah, he did get a good draw right here. Triple case break, ladies and gentlemen. So all three, all autographs, all limited versions right there. And series five. Ten cards per case. And it's a triple case. Or one, two, and three. Now as most of you know by now for Hit Parade, limited is their base level. And then I think it's platinum. And then I think it's sapphire after that. But still in these limited editions you can still get some nice stuff. I mean it's basically commensurate with the price point. The sell sheet gives you an idea of what's on there too. Okay, oh. All right, first one out of the gate. Most of these are not going to be graded, but every once in a while they'll pop in a graded one here in limited edition. It's Paul Goldschmidt. Nice. One out of 18. That's Diamondback's edition of Paul Goldschmidt. Nice. One out of 18. That is from 2018 Triple Threads Baseball. Chris Parent with the snakes. Diamondbacks. He might win the MVP. The NL MVP this year. Next up is Piedolonzo from Inception. 58 out of 150. In 2022 Inception Baseball. Metropolitan. Steve Birch. He's got both the New York teams. The Yankees and the Mets. Next up is an Alex Bregman. Five out of five. Two-color Triple Relic. An autograph for the Astros from 2018 Museum Collection. That's Steve Birch with a Strow. Steve. All aboard the Big Hit Express. Woop woop. Tonight's World Series Game. Canceled so they're pushing it to Tuesday. It's kind of weird having that November Baseball, right? But I guess that's what we're going to be looking at with the extended wild card action. Although we didn't start late this year, but all right, we've got a Pedro Martinez from NT Baseball. One out of 15 from 2019 NT Baseball. That's for Jay and the Red Sox. Won that team in the filler. Won that spot and then got randomized the Red Sox. So nice. Good little parlay there for Jay. Next up is Christian Yellich from Stadium Club. And that's Marlon's edition of Christian Yellich. That's from 2015. And that is for Brad and the fish. Oh, here's the graded card. Sometimes there's graded cards here. It is a 910. Reggie Jackson. Wow. From 2006 Upper Deck. Epic Materials Signature. Reggie Jackson. Five out of five. Jersey and Otto. Graded a 910. That's awesome.  The edges and surface are a 9. Mr. October. Going to Steve Birch. Last spot mojo. And another train whistle, Steve. All aboard the Big Hit Express. Woop woop. Mr. October on the last day of October. There is Barry Larkin from Diamond Icons. We're on a Cincinnati. 9 out of 10. Kind of see the contrast from the see-throughness, the acetate-ness of the card here. Nester with the red legs. Acetate-ness is an actual word. Don't look it up. Trust me. That's an actual word. Someone in the comments is going to be like, no, no, it's not. It's called sarcasm. Look that up. Next one is, ooh, Gold Frame. That's Andrew Vaughn. 33 out of 50 from Gold Label. Gold frame from Gold Label Rookie Auto. That's pretty sharp. That's going to go to the White Sox, Nester, and the White Sox with the spot he got straight up. Another one. Is that red or orange? Maybe a little orange? Maybe a little Rye Mow Castle for the O's. Three-color Patch and Autograph. 37 out of 50. John with the Orioles with the spot he got straight up from 2021. Obsession? Inception. Inception. Baseball. Obsession might be a theme explored in the movie Inception. And there's Freddie Freeman. Finest Moments. Braves edition going to Travis with the Braves. Braves bats have been quiet through eight innings in a rain-delayed game on June 17, 2013 before Freddie found a way with his team trailing the Mets 1-0 in the bottom of the ninth of first base and stepped in. One out and a runner-on first. Freeman worked the count two and two before belting a walk-off home run at 1.22 a.m. giving Atlanta a stirring two-one victory that is. A two-one victory at 1.22. Wait, there's more. Another one. All right, good luck, gang. There's Rex. How's it going, Rex? Rex is still miffed at me. I didn't know I was, you were miffed in the first place. This case two. Good luck. So what did I do this time? All right, we got Peter Lanzo. 38 out of 99. It's from Diamond Kings. 2020. That old school look. That's for Steve Birch and the Mets. You were lost for many hours. Yeah, I had a family thing come up, so I was unable to make it. But I'm here now. That's the important part. What do we got here? Book? Book it. We got Vlad Guerrero Jr. 99 out of 99. Now, this isn't, this is a repack product, so I'm going to actually peel that sticker back a little bit because we want to see what Travis is going to get. Now, if this was like a Panini sticker or something, an encased car from Flawless, I wouldn't do this, but nice. Big Jersey. Nice autograph. And that's from 2019. Nice. All right, nice Travis. There you go. Travis in the Blue Jays. Next up is Juan Soto. 93 out of 175. Tier 1 talent for Jimmy and the Nationals. I think Juan Soto is going to has one more year. I guess that'll be kind of a story, an interesting storyline to see if he just takes the year and tries for the agency or if the Padres will lock him up with some sort of extension this offseason. It's not going to be one of the many, one of many entertaining storylines, offseason storylines creeping up. Next is Jersey and Auto. Gary Sheffield, the Yankees edition, 70 out of 75. It's from a 2017 Triple Threads baseball. Steve Birch with the Yankees, last spot mojo. Oh, we got our, our Royals insider, Gilo. We've got Boots on the ground in Kansas City. Royals hired Ray's coach, Ray's coach to be the new manager. A Ray's bench coach. There is a three out of three, Alex Bregman, another Alex Bregman from luminaries, 2021 luminaries. We got a case 2022 luminaries in the store right now. If you want to get in on that ABC, always be closing. See, that's a sticker I wouldn't take off. Three out of three Astros, Steve Birch, all aboard the big hit express. Gave, how do we feel about this hire? Frank Thomas, 12 out of 25 from tier one. Nestor with the White Sox. Nestor, trust me, she'll like it too. It's a nice hit. Quadrado? Raro? Raro? I'm the Guardian staff in the World Series also. It sounds like a, it sounds like a good hires. Oh, nice Logan Gilbert. Purple's Speckle, 14 out of 2.99. Steve Birch with the Mariners. Albert Poole's officially filing for retirement. He wants to cash in on that, uh, that sweet, sweet MLB pension. There is Clayton Kershaw. Nice. 90 out of 99. Jersey and Autograph. That's from an older Triple Threads. It's from 2013. Triple Threads. That's awesome. Just got my Dodgers, Michael Lose with the Dodgers. Sounds like a young guy at Gilo, right? So maybe, uh, that's good, that's good for a younger team. Former Kansas, right? Former Kansas City. Kansas City really doesn't try to claim Poole's, do they? Or do they? Or do they? I'll bet they do, actually. Uh, there's Johnny Bench. 15 out of 25. Bench wins the battle at Titans. Back in October of 73. Yeah, part of the big red machine. Ron Cincinnati. Nestor with the Reds. I'll bet, I'll bet Kansas City Chamber of Commerce really leans into that in their, in their local pamphlets. Some famous Kansas City residents. Albert Poole's. Well, maybe you should make a pitch to the Chamber of Commerce saying, hey, listen, we got to, we got to get in on that, on that Albert Poole's train. And there's Bob Gibson speaking of the Cardinals. Nice. Marks of fame from Absolute Baseball. 47 out of 50. That's an older set. 2005. That's pretty cool. I guess this is technically Dauntless Playoff Baseball, but with the Absolute Stamp right there as well. Anyway, either way, awesome stuff. Nestor with the Cardinals. Good little run for Nestor right there. But wait, there's more again. A third case. Gilo, you should be that guy. Go to the Chamber of Commerce. Let's do that. Let's put up a little, uh, pitch the city to put up like a little plaque or a sign or something like that. Albert Poole's was here for like a second. You know, they could mix it into a Chamber of Commerce type stuff, you know, when they're trying to, trying to lure businesses into, uh, into the area and be like, Hey, you know, this is the, this is the home of Albert Poole's. Remember, he played, what was it? I'm looking at, was he there for one year at Fort Osage, Osage, Osage statue? Or high school? That is, we need a Jack Black sign and statue with Izzy from, but I think he still lives in LA. So is he from, I don't really think it was from Hermosa Beach. Um, he still lives in LA. So I don't know if that's really, I don't know if that really works. Here's Key Brian Hayes. Nice. Nine out of 10 silver ink autograph from 2022 tier one baseball, Chad B with the pirates. I, you know, I wouldn't really claim Albert Poole's unless he, until he kind of said, Hey, you know, getting traded to the Dodgers, you know, and getting away from the angels kind of revived, kind of reinvigorated him. If he was just kind of there and didn't really do anything and that was that. I don't know if I'd really claim it, but he'd make a pretty, pretty instant impact in the clubhouse at least. All right. Next one is a rookie ticket autograph. Jordan Alvarez. Houston edition. Nice. I was like, is it that Alvarez? It is Jordan Alvarez. It's a good time to get this. That'll be for Houston. No problems here. Steve Birch with the Astros. Let's see if he went to high school out here. Jack Black was born in Santa Monica, but raised in Hermosa Beach tracks. He was raised in Hermosa Beach. His mom worked on the Minuteman nuclear missile guidance system, the Apollo Lunar module, and the science ground station for the Hubble telescope. All right, we got Anthony Rizzo, rookie Anthony Rizzo, Padres Anthony Rizzo from Topps Finest. That's a blast from the past. That's going to be for Barry Roberts. It's 125 out of 499. I feel like you can feel a full All-Star team of people that were former Padres. I don't know. Jack Black's got some competition. According to Hermosa Beach, the Hermosa Beach Wikipedia page, all right, see these are, well, no, maybe not. A lot of people who live in Hermosa Beach, but Jack Black might be the only person on this page that has the grew up in Hermosa Beach tag next to him. So maybe he should get a statue here. Here's Steve Carlton, a 9 out of 15. Does Steve Carlton have a statue outside of a citizen's bank? I think it's a citizen's bank out of the vet, what do they call it back? Probably would have been the vet back in his day. Dennis with the Phillies. Yeah, there are a lot of free agent questions, including does Anthony Rizzo stay in New York? Did he opt out or is he, is this the last year of his deal? I think he opted out, right? He had one more year. I mean, they probably would, especially if, especially if they don't, if they lose out on the Aaron Judge sweepstakes. There's Zander Bogart. That's another guy, I think, who had opted out and could be out there. 3 out of 25, Silver, Ink Auto. It'd be a lot of great short stops on the market too. That goes to Jay and the Red Sox. Have I seen a recent video of Jack Black? Looks like an old scientist living on the streets. No, I don't, I don't keep tabs on Jack Black. And we got Corey Seeger, Dodger's edition rookie, Corey Seeger. 6 out of 10 black ink from Immaculate Baseball. It's pretty sharp stuff here. Michael Osia. Corey Seeger. Oh, he hasn't officially opted out. Hey, I feel like, I feel like he should stay. I feel like he's, fits that club pretty well. Doesn't seem to be perturbed by the New York lifestyle. Hey, speaking of New York, Jersey and autograph, Aaron Judge from Gypsy Queen. Nice. 1 out of 25 from 2018 Gypsy Queen Baseball. It's Steve Birch with a Yankees Last Bot Mojo. Strikes again. I feel like, I feel like a lot of big free agent signings will be put on hold until, until they figure out, until Aaron Judge signed somewhere. A lot of the, a lot of the big money thrown around in free agency could be held up by what Aaron Judge ends up doing.  Retro signature, 64 out of 99. Ronald Acuna Jr. From 2019 NT Baseball, Travis with the Braves. Oh wow, you read that Judge, him and Judge are really close. He may try to follow him wherever he goes. Yeah, I didn't realize he was close either. Who's saying he's close? In New York Post. Have they seen, have they been seen going on double dates together and frolicking in the, the autumn leaves in Central Park? All right, next one is a thicker one and it is, it's Chris Bryant. 6 out of 45. Cubs edition of Chris Bryant, and this is an old edition of Five Star, this is a 2018 Five Star Baseball. It's a really sharp design there. Cubs edition going to Ivan and the Cubs, bought a spot straight up, got randomized the cubbies on the board with the Chris Bryant. That'd be really interesting. Maybe if like Judge signs with New York, maybe Rizzo will be like, all right, I'll take a discount here in New York, or maybe they go, I don't know if they go elsewhere. I don't think you do a discount if they go elsewhere, but they stay in New York, maybe. All right, and the last one, the 30th hit of this triple case break here on the 31st is going to be Eloy Jimenez. Two out of five were closing with a train whistle. Two color patch and autograph from NT Baseball. White Sox, Nestor with the White Sox. Two out of five, out of five and under get the train whistle. All aboard the Big Hit Express. Thanks very much everybody. I'm Joe for jaspyscasebrakes.com and that was a nice triple case break of 2022 Hit Parade Baseball Autographed Limited Edition, Series Five, Random Team Break Number One. Keep your eye out on jaspyscasebrakes.com. We're always getting this fun Hit Parade stuff, so keep an eye out there. I'm Joe. I'll see you next time for the next Hit Parade Break. Bye-bye.