What's good YouTube, this your boy Chihuahua, back with y'all again with another art video man. If you're new to this channel go ahead and hit that like button, comment, subscribe, make sure you click post notifications so you will be notified anytime you budge out some heat. In today's video I will be giving you a full walkthrough on my skin tones swatches I just released. It is a pack full of all my colors, the shading of the different skin tones so if you're not that good making colors I just released a pack the link will be in the bio for $10 I'm finna give you a full walkthrough on how to use it, how to install it. For the people who don't got Adobe Illustrator that don't got Procreate that use different art platforms I went ahead and put the color sheet in there for you guys so you can take it to any program you would like of your choice and you can just use the dropper tool and you can sample all my colors and put them inside of any program you would like you get to use it for any program you would like so it's not just for Adobe Illustrator and Procreate it's for anything you want to use it for art related digital to why so I made sure I made it very simple for you guys and also I put a link in there to make it easier for some people to just that just don't want to take the time out picking the colors you can just hit this link and I'm finna show you how to do it. Soon as you make your purchase it'll look just like this you know what I'm saying I'm giving you a full walkthrough like if I'm buying it for myself you know what I'm saying soon as you make your purchase you will receive a message in the google drive and you'll see all the files you know I'm saying you'll get a color sheet and this is the color sheet I'm talking about as far as you get with this sheet you get to take it to whatever program you want and you get to just sample the skin tones that I got in here and I'm pretty sure on other programs they have an option where you can save your own presets so with that you can just use the colors I gave you you know I'm saying and you can save it inside of the program that you like to use but here go all the skin tones I I may customize myself that I use personally because I really just spent hours on in just trying to find some good tones and this is what I'm gonna be using through out this whole month so y'all can see exactly how good it is. So I dropped the sheet in there for you guys for the people who can't really install it even if I get to give you the perfect directions because some people have problems because their drivers are probably not up to date it or whatever the case may be I went ahead and made it simple for you guys I went ahead and dropped the sheet in there so you get used for everything and I also dropped this ASE file and this file is strictly for Adobe Illustrator all you will have to do is save this file to your desktop and I'm gonna show you just say it's strictly for Adobe Illustrator so let's go ahead and go to this ASE file it's called T-World skin tones Adobe Illustrator I made sure I put Adobe Illustrator in the title so you can know it's strictly for Adobe Illustrator so go ahead and save this download this to my computer so I know it's in my download folder so what you want to do open your Adobe Illustrator up and how you use this ASC file this ASE file will make it so much easier for you just to install it inside Adobe Illustrator what you do is once you inside Adobe Illustrator you come over to your swatches your swatch library menu you hit this menu and then you will see this option that say other library you want to click that and then when this pop up you want to go find wherever you save that ASC file to your computer so I just put it in my downloads folder so I'm gonna go to my downloads folder and the ASE file is right here so all I have to do now is double click this ASC file and it's gonna automatically go inside of my Adobe Illustrator so that's it that's all you got to do and once you get the colors inside the program just drag it over here and drop it on to the side just lock it in and now we got all the colors all the presets you really ain't got to take the time out and put it in manually with that ASC file when you use in Adobe Illustrator now for the rest of the programs you would have to use the dropper tool but it's all good longest you got the colors that's all that matter that's all that's the only thing that's important inside of this bundle is this color sheet right here so even if you got to do it manually and install it in the program you like it's still worth it man um I will be dropping some videos using these colors I will be going live so make sure you stay tuned on my channel you hit that bell so you will be notified every time I get on but throughout this whole week this whole month you will be seeing me use these colors man so make sure you stay tuned more heat coming soon if you got any questions all you got to do is leave me a comment under this video and I make sure I go try to check it out for y'all try to help whoever need help or if you having any problems with your order just let me know because you know I'm saying I really want everybody to be able to enjoy what they purchase I appreciate y'all for the love and support man make sure you stay tuned more heat coming soon and we out this thing


Hello, let's do some more advanced exercise on queues using two senders and blocking mechanism. Here we can see in illustration how the task can be sent to the blocked state, one accessing the queue. In this example we've got the following components, a queue of length of four elements, the same size, the sender task and the receiver task, which executes first. At the beginning, a receiver task tries to read the data from the queue. As the queue is empty, task is sent to the blocked state. In the next phase, receiver tries to read the data from the queue again. This time the queue is empty, so receiver is sent to blocked state again. Just after it, sender task is sending message 1 to the queue. It is forcing scheduler to move the receiver task from blocked state to ready state. In our case we are using timeouts to get requests, thus in a third phase, receiver tries again to read the data from the queue, this time successfully. So it can continue its execution. In the fourth phase, there is no activity in the queue. Both tasks operate in ready state. Let's have a closer look on queue blocking mechanism with combination to CMC-SOS version to API. After a sender is calling OS message queue put to send the data to the queue, it can do the following operations. If there is no free space in the queue, the sender task is blocked for setable time. This time is specified within one of the arguments of this function, OS message queue put. So it can be blocked for this time. Then it will continue execution, that's on the next instruction, but of course without sending the data to the queue, because there was no free space. In this case, this OS message queue put function is returning OS error timeout, which means that the timeout elapsed without being successful in sending the data to the queue. It is important to monitor the output of this function once we are using it within the task. In case we specify OS wait forever as this timeout, the task will be blocked till there will be a free space in the queue to send a new data. So it can be used to really block the task till the queue will have the free space to send the data. So it's really like a semaphore with possibility to send something afterwards. If there is a free space in the queue, the sender will continue execution. So the next instruction will be executed just after it will send the data to the queue. So it will not wait the setable time, this timeout, but it will continue just after sending data to the queue. This is an important message in terms of calculating the timeout, the timings within the tasks. Concerning the receiver, a receiver to get the data from the queue is calling OS message queue get function, and if the queue is empty, receiver task will be blocked for again, setable time, then it can continue, of course without the data reception. In this case, there will be this return value OS timeout, please for more details you can go to specification of the type OS status underscore t which is used here. In case we'll specify it as a timeout OS wait forever, the receiver task will be blocked till there would be any new data within the queue. So again, it can be used to block the task till the data will come to the queue. If the data are available within the queue that can be read by the task, the task will continue just after the data reception. So again, it will not wait till the timeout will elapsed, but just after the data reception. And then important message is that the scheduler is responsible to move the task from ready to blocked state and vice versa, both cases just described. Before we will go with the code processing, let's discuss what we would like to have within our application. Because both tasks, sender1, sender2 and receiver as well have the same priority, receiver will get data from the queue after both tasks put the data into it. So we can monitor what would happen if the queue would be full, what would be the side effect, how it will be visible. Here on the screen we can see such a situation. So at the beginning, receiver would like to have read something from the queue, but the queue is empty. So receiver is blocked, is waiting for the new data and scheduler is switching the context to the next task, which can be sender1, which is as follow the ready list. And sender1 is sending the data to the queue. And then after it will finish its job, the scheduler is switching it to the next task from the ready list. So the last task, which has been not yet executed from the ready list with the same priority is sender2. So again, sender2 is sending next data to the queue. So after this, we've got two items within the queue, then there is let's say the time for receiver. So receiver can accept within its time slot and accept one item from the queue. So after this queue will have still one component. And then again, we've got the time for both senders, sender1 and sender2. So at the end, we'll have three items in the queue. And then after receiver action, we will have one component less. And in a few iterations like this, we'll have the situation when the queue will be full. And the sender would be blocked because there would be no free space to put more data. So in this case, it will be put in the blocked states. And it would need to wait till receiver will accept some data from the queue. This is how it will work. Let's check, let's verify whether it will be exactly like we see on the screen. Let's do some practice with queue where there are two senders and one receiver. We can reuse previous lab. We'll start with stm32cubemix or stm32cubeide, then free artist configuration, tasks and queue stub. Let's create two sending tasks, sender1 and sender2 and one receiver task with the same priorities like on the picture. We will use one queue with eight elements, eight bit long. After adding of those components, please generate the code and open main.cfile. Within main.cfile, we need to implement ng functions for sender's tasks. Within start sender1 function, we will define local 8-bit variable x set to 1. Then with an endless loop, we will send small s via swo interface using task underscore action function. After this, we will put x variable to the queue with 200 milliseconds timeout. And in the end, we will put sender1 task into blocked state for two seconds using osdli function. Similar operations will implement within start sender2 function with different value of x variable, this time we will set it to 2.  Then we need to implement our start receiver function. We will implement local 8-bit variable res set to 0. With an endless loop, we will send big r over swo interface using task underscore action function. After this, in case of successful reception data from the queue, we will send received character over swo using again task underscore action function. We will try to receive data from the queue using osmessageqget() function with 4 seconds timeout. Then we will send our receiver task to blocked state for two seconds using osdli function. After all of those code operations, please build a project, start the bug session, open switm console and start the application. We should receive the results like this one on the screen. The beginning sender1 is sending big s, then sender1 is sending small s and then receiver is sending its big r and its next iterations it is receiving both elements from the queue and displaying them as 2r and 1r. What would happen if receiver will higher priority than senders? Let's analyze the situation on below picture. Receiver is executed first as highest priority task. It is blocked as queue is empty, then sender1 is sending some data to the queue. This action unblocks receiver task. Receiver task continues its execution as it is the task of the highest priority and in its next iteration of the endless loop it is blocked again by waiting for some data on the queue, which is again empty. After this, sender2 is selected by the scheduler. This task is sending some data to the queue. Just after this, receiver is woken up again by the scheduler, is moved from the blocked to a run state. It is reading data from the queue and again it is sent to blocked state by waiting for next data on the queue. And the situation repeats, so sender1 is sending some data to the queue, it is waking up the receiver, then receiver is sent to blocked state again waiting for new data, then sender1 is selected by scheduler and it's sending some data to the queue and so on and so forth. Let's perform simple example to test this situation. Let's continue with previous lab doing only one small modification. In our case, receiver will have a higher priority than both senders, so let's start from stm32cubemix or stm32cube IDE. Within free RTS configuration, please select tasks and queues tab. And then please change receiver task priority from OS priority normal, which is selected for both senders, to OS priority above normal. So in our case, receiver will have a higher priority than both senders. After this, please build a code, start a debug session and verify whether behavior is in line with our expectations. This is our result. Receiver is executed first as highest priority task. It managed to send big R and then it is blocked by waiting on the queue. Then sender1 is sending some data there. We can notice it by small S on SWO console. This action unblocks receiver task, which is displaying this message, it is one. It continues its execution as it is the task for the highest priority. When it's next iteration, it managed to display R again and then it is blocked by waiting on the queue. After this, sender2 is selected by scheduler. It is sending two to the queue and big S over SWO. Just after this, receiver is woken up. It is sending two R over SWO and it's blocked again waiting for next data on the queue. Let's consider the situation where we have single sender and two receivers. We should remember that the message from the queue is taken by the task with highest priority. In case of equal priorities, the task which is waiting longer time will be selected by the scheduler, thus it is not deterministic. Even if higher priority task is in blocked state, waiting for the access to the queue, it will be woken up immediately by the kernel in case queue will contain a new data. Only in a case higher priority task is in the suspend mode, it will be not taken into consideration by the scheduler. Thank you for watching this video.


I'm Buster Cohen with The Street, and I'm currently across The Street from the Greenwich Village location of Chipotle Mexican Grill. Here they've just rolled out a new queso dip offering, as well as other offerings like Avocado Citrus Salad and frozen margaritas. I'm very excited. This is a big day for a Chipotle super fan like me. So let's go check it out. I'm here in beautiful Washington Square Park in New York City.  Cheers. Well, as you might have seen, I got some queso on my clothes. But I'd say it was worth it. This is a very good supplement to the chip. It's pretty cheesy, a little spicy. Yeah, but definitely the cheese is coming through the most. If you're not a big cheese person, this might not be the right addition for you, but if like me you are, then by all means. Now that's good. It's not great, and I'll tell you why. The queso taste is blending in a little bit with the taste of the chicken and the pinto beans for me. So if you get queso on your burrito, maybe go for a different choice of meat. That being said, it still adds a nice kick, and for cheese fans, you won't be disappointed. Now that's very good. The avocado citrus adds a really nice tang, I would say. I'd say it's especially good on the vegetable salad. And in my mind, this really just rounds out what was already a pretty good salad offering from Chipotle. Now, I'm absolutely stuffed, but I did get dessert, and I'd be remiss if I didn't try the bunuelos. So here we go. Now that is a nice dessert. It's very sweet, the chocolate's very rich. It really just melts in your mouth. It's kind of an amazing way to close out this meal of entirely new offerings from Chipotle. I like them so much. I hope they expand. I hope they expand to the location by my work. I hope they expand the location by my house. Expand, expand, expand Chipotle. For The Street, I'm Buster Cohen. Have a good lunch.


Okay guys very good morning. It is Thursday the 16th of April. Hope everyone is doing well First things first just remember to like and subscribe to the channel has some really great comments and an engagement with questions and stuff yesterday So long may that continue and thank you for for joining us Gonna have a quick word and I've mentioned this before but for anyone new who is joining us This is amplify now, which is our kind of new e-learning portal We put together and launched at the beginning of 2020 Do check it out. I'll put a link in the description of the video If you wanted to have a closer look and look at all the different material, but one thing is First of all from a top level. What is this? Well, basically we've condensed all of the the teaching that we would have done in-house on our training floor in London on to an On-demand e-learning kind of portal now that portal consists then of different chapters You can see here chapter one is going through Economics 101 and and this is very much not theory based Economics when it is in a way, but this is all applied Market relevant economics is very different to to what you would study free for example at university or if I'm a book This is all about what is it in our experience so predominantly me well and peers deliver all of the content And we've all been in the market from ranging from 15 to 20 years It's about what is it you need to know to analyze and trade markets basically so Economics 101 and then we cycle through different asset classes FX bomb markets commodity markets Of course we go through technical analysis how to interpret trade the news probably one of the most popular sections trading psychology Risk management and it and it goes on. There's also quite a cool feature where Yesterday evening Sam did a live webinar. So both him and I do private live webinar for 45 minutes every Wednesday, which is also part of this portal and The the newest part that we've added recently is kind of a market section at the top where Sam Records a short kind of review of each day and then his kind of trade ideas and setups for the following day It's a great if you're if you're swing trading if you're working full-time But also intraday and then I put together what we call a macro now section Which is basically little snippets of videos generally around 10 minutes in length So little bite-sized pieces where I talk about some of the hot topics at the moment or for example yesterday I put live recording of the US retail sales report as it came out an empire manufacturing to see, you know The idea about Preparation execution mismanaging correlations these types of things. So do check that out as I said I'll put the link into the video Some of the comments here from the feedback just generally has been, you know, just great to see since we launched the product You know people have generally enjoyed certainly the fundamental aspect hopefully that I can help in that respect But also the trading psychology, I'd say is an area which we we definitely specialize in we have will our MD Who very much teaches in that area? So yeah, check it out No, just happy to say that it's been well received so far We'd love to get more people onto the portal to kind of grow out that community So I'll leave that with you to have a look, but let's let's get straight into markets then let's talk about what's going on this morning and From a charts perspective not going to spend too long on that Gonna let you guys obviously do what you do on your technical analysis side Overall from a sentiment perspective this morning A little bit of reversal generally from what was a slightly lower close of Wall Street last night I think the Dow finished down about 450 points or so this major three indices kind of down about 1.82 percent So overnight in Asia Pacific session bit of a mixed bag But we've clawed back a little bit in the future since we've had the European kind of open the DAX up about 77 The S&P up 10 the Dow future up about 100 at the moment in the FX markets Dixie still pretty strong We'll have a look at that in a moment That has put a bit of downside pressure on both the major pairs just more generally in euro dollar and cable on the top left Hand corner and then T-notes pretty sideways basically flat at the moment holding on to some of the elevated Moves from yesterday given the kind of economic reality hitting home as evident in some of the data that we saw And then gold just a little bit of a range break. It looks more than anything else this morning Just quite recently here in the top right. We've just popped higher Just getting close proximity to the R1 on the futures and that being as well. You can see from a technical perspective The previous high point that we had around when some data's were being released yesterday kind of range from the Asia Pacific session from yesterday and the support point from the prior session Well two sessions ago in the US afternoon So interesting to see how gold actually responds here at around that level but gold a little higher Looks a little bit more technical led there with 11 dollar gain at the moment rather than generally a risk-off kind of themes of things crude oil still remains one to watch I guess yesterday it was on our kind of watch list Kind of headlining if you like in that respect and you know, you can see when we retested Around this kind of 20 level. This is the $20 mark here We bounced got close to it again, then we saw another break came back to that level And then we started to see a little bit more weight come in this Europe entered the market yesterday The lower bound now printing at around 1920s These lows are getting lower in that respect and this is when we we kind of look here Just more broadly around those late March early April lows So we have managed to break below there So we are trading still around two decade lows at the moment in WTI crude irrespective of that Accord struck between OPEC plus and G20 oil producing nations So still definitely watching this at the moment the infantry situation obviously clear and evident Yesterday is going to take a little bit of time for these cuts to kind of kick in and all You know with the the data we were seeing yesterday from the US and just generally globally just really solidifying the economic impact and the the demand Consequence of what we're seeing. I do think you know WTI crude could see some more Downside still remain quite bearish on that for the moment. Haven't seen that big kind of sell-off yet But definitely again it remains on that kind of watch list in that respect and on that front actually I did do a Tweet yesterday where I was talking about this a little bit and I just want to quickly bring that up Because I got asked a question from our head of training About just generally Let me switch over my screens oil prices and he was asking by how much do I think US oil production will drop in April May and June as a result of current prices making some of the more expensive shale production economically unviable so this is True, there's there's definitely a sense that with oil trading at these levels There are going to be casualties and there already has been some extent, but definitely in terms of the operational number of rigs In play that's going to drop dramatically at these price levels given that it's not economically viable at these levels I guess what Piers is asking here is well How much is that going to be specifically because when you put that on top of then the forced cuts being now adopted by OPEC plus and so on That is that enough now to offset then this demand shock and then therefore to put a floor under prices So my response here was really Using the IEA report. I'm sure if you if you trade crude you were watching that release yesterday but kind of going through the The nuts and bolts of that report and it showed a couple of interesting things that just quickly to share It showed that a forecast drop in demand in April of as much as 29 million barrels per day year-on-year followed by another significant year-on-year fall of 26 million barrels per day in May so really April and May is is the kind of I guess the the peak impact of the demand and that kind of goes hand in glove Was what we're seeing just generally the tracking of the movements of the virus now As we'll discuss shortly we're seeing a bit of plateauing now in some of the key hotspots But other areas obviously on the decline now in June According to the IEA report the gradual recovery likely begins to gain traction Although demand will still be 15 million barrels per day lower than a year ago So despite the groundbreaking OPEC plus accord with the likes of US and Canada of course those key countries outside of that Due to see the largest declines One of the main things is I don't Going off these numbers these forecasts of which you've got a base your decisions on Through their research And it's a shared view amongst other Kind of bodies is that generally the demand shock is going to outweigh any measures that have been taken thus far so in the short term I Think there's more pain before then we see a recovery But this OPEC deal is going to be more long-lasting than what it's going to be that very Kind of testing period over the next coming weeks It's going to be quite quite key Total non-OPEC output falls could reach five point two million barrels per day But that's not going to happen until Q4 of 2020 So I do think that the deal struck will carry some weight in order to help support prices But it's just not enough for right now when we're at the peak of the demand shock if that makes sense So definitely that's what underlines my kind of bearish real oil for the moment All right, let's move on I'm going to just literally go through all the major headlines from this morning And then I'll let you get on with the session ahead. So update on The coronavirus cases now as you can see on the left-hand side here have now topped 2 million globally interesting statistic it took four months for Coronavirus to hit 1 million confirmed cases globally it took 12 days For 1 million to turn into 2 million You know as per the kind of nature of the virus and in which the way it spreads globally and now as a pandemic, of course You know, this is obviously one of the most worrying things right at the beginning But there are some positive signs that we need to discuss and First off, let's have a look at this Chart here. Let me just zoom it out a little bit so you can see the kind of Trajectory of these lines and this is one we've looked at a number of times on the FT And it's looking at the idea that obviously Italy and Spain's death tolls have been falling But Importantly the two kind of that we were looking at that which was still kind of coming up to the peak at this point And was somewhat lagging as some of the mainland european spots Was the uk and the us and uk and us daily deaths May be plateauing now according to what the latest data we've been seeing from yesterday is suggesting Um on this point then the uk is expected to extend its national lockdown today Remember, it's not like we hit a perfect kind of triangle hit a peak and it declines We generally hit a period of Of plateauing and as the deputy chief medical officer of the uk government said just a few days ago It's going to be potentially two to three weeks at that plateau before then we start to see this material decline so The lockdown as we've suggested before is probably going to be into the early kind of end of first week second week of may Most probable that would be in fitting them with much of the same sort of timelines that we've seen from other countries on this point The chief medical officer chris witty though did say that in his view we're probably reaching the peak overall Elsewhere in the states trump said data suggests the us are also nearing their peak In new cases. He said he will unveil guidelines to relax the stay at home rules Today, so that doesn't mean I wouldn't anticipate him to say right. That's it staying home rules are over now Again, he's going to give guidelines and some guidance and how definitive or accurate that guideline is going to be probably not Very much But but again is kind of just trying to manage and give the the public some kind of idea about the roadmap ahead I mean as we've seen the The kind of health secretary in the uk suggesting about a hundred thousand tests going to be happening XYZ date that's not going to be hit either So with these types of numbers that politicians put forward as I've said many times before You know take them with a bit of a pinch of salt and not particularly I would say market moving most of the time It's just you know, they're politicians and they have a job to do with a certain type of agenda that they have so Other things german chancellor angela merkel She said that they would allow some smaller shops to start reopening Next week But if we quickly just jump back here Obviously germany's been in a period of plateau for quite a bit longer than the likes of the uk and the us That's a little bit further down That kind of development curve if you like in terms of the virus in itself. So all in all Although obviously this is not a good situation here in terms of total numbers One great headline I saw yesterday was A lady. I think she's based in the uk. She was the oldest confirmed lady to Contract coronavirus and basically fend off the virus and she was 106 years old. So absolutely cracking job and Yeah, not not a good situation the overall globally of course, but you know It's signs are that we you know for cautious optimism at this point in terms of how the virus is perceived um, however even though this is you know, kind of Potential positive the economic reality, of course is what's what's hitting home now and this is where You know as somewhat of a lagging indicator Uh, which is somewhat why markets haven't just you know, just collapsed on the back of this type of information I mean, certainly we did see some selling pressure at the initial release But look we finished lower on wall street last night and this morning we're rallying it again so You know a lot of this information that we're going to get about the economic reality of what the last Several weeks is going to entail Has been priced in to up to a large extent I guess what we're trying to track as as market participants is about how severe is this impact but also quite importantly is Obviously current prices today are pricing in future expectations So this kind of guideline and roadmap that politicians do put out is going to be quite key To manage that as kind of deliverable milestones of where might the economic recovery be And we've got to look at economic data right now as to determine well How bad is now because that will likely then be our starting point To then how long will the recovery take and the longer that takes well then The more market prices might be sensitive in a negative fashion and and so on so here just going to Go through all of the different data points that we had yesterday because there was some quite top level ones Of importance and and first off was u.s. Retail sales. Of course it came in at minus 8.7 percent So the worst number on record in fact albeit It wasn't that far removed from expectations And the bottom end of that range for retail sales in us yesterday was minus 24 percent and it came in at minus 8.7 So it is historically the worst we've ever seen But it wasn't anywhere near as bad as it possibly could have been However, there were other data points u.s. Industrial output dropped the most since 1946 so basically the second world war As you can see here We had the empire state manufacturing That was a pretty bleak picture the lowest in history Firms only anticipate a small improvement in business conditions over the next six months So this is it you can see the severity of the drop-off but again Yes, this did breach by a considerable margin the most pessimistic estimate on the street However, we are talking about the state of new york and obviously that's been the the kind of epicenter of the us outbreak So not a huge surprise or be a pretty Dire reading in terms of the number and the overall report And then that leads us up into what we we're going to be looking out for today, of course And it's thursday so every thursday we get those weekly initial jobless claims coming out the us They have been a bit of a focal point to kind of I guess visualize how bad the unemployment situation is likely to be in america and the the kind of depths of the economic downturn in q2 for the us And the estimate for jobless claims this week is well the more precise number now Because I tweeted this at the beginning of the week the expectation today is for 5.1 million I got a range low of 1.4 to a high of 8 million Remember we've got up to kind of the the mid six millions It's kind of the high so far But if it comes out as expected today that would put the four week average obviously north of 20 million meaning That roughly one in eight of the workforce would have been Laid off and now applying for for jobless claims. So Yeah, quite quite incredible really At this point and this was a graphic here where widespread job losses could send the unemployment rate As high as 20 percent in april and I would say I mean that's that's not As high as that figure sounds and in fact that's double the peak of what we had in the global financial crisis I've seen numbers way higher than that in fact put out by some big main street kind of Wall Street analysts. So Yeah, this is jp morgan's estimate for april But obviously this is likely to to be tweaked as per what today's number comes out as But as you can see here, the peak of the financial crisis was down here at 10 Similar margin was seen in the kind of early 80s. So this would be unprecedented in that in that scale This was again another way to add a little bit of context about how Historic the current times that we live in are and this this covet 19 situation This is looking at a graphic from Deutsche Bank and just to explain what we have here We've got four different scenarios that we've we've faced. There's economic challenges over the years The financial crisis job losses due to the covet 19. So this is the present situation the second bar The third one jobs lost during the 1930s depression and jobs lost during the 2008 2009 recession And so this is here This was the amount of jobs lost in the financial crisis but here the amount of The change in non-farm payrolls and the monthly payroll data that we've seen If you take the cumulative value of all of those jobs created since the global financial crisis So totaling them up from 2009 to february of 2020 if this number comes out as expected It would mean that basically We have superseded now all of the jobs that were created Since the the global financial crisis over the last decade. So again, it's it's it's quite It's quite unimaginable really when you think about the scale But the important point here is while all of this is quite grim reading Don't forget a lot of this has been priced in To this respect I guess what we need to do going forward and I guess determining whether or not this is a bear market Kind of rally or actually is this something more Concrete behind this recovery that we've been seeing in equities of late may continue It's going to be well How when we put all of this data together and then when those kind of advanced GDP numbers and we start to get more clarity over just generally the second quarter and also how does the virus develop on the relaxation of the lockdowns in terms of any potential Kind of secondary rate waves and stuff. That's what's going to be quite key. I think determining the future price movement So even if jobless comes out quite bad I would say the kind of shock value of how it might move the market is probably decreasing to some extent So do bear that in mind And also bear in mind that actually pretty much on every single occasion Jobless claims has come out higher than expected. We've actually rallied on pretty much. I think all three occasions So, you know, that goes to show about how depressed Expectations generally are that you can take a negative number And the markets rally to that extent What does this mean just more generally? Well, I mean, this was the heat map from yesterday and The reason why I'm showing you this was The the financials have been the kind of highlight of earning season. It's always the way of which earning season generally Gets released the united states is a period of a couple of weeks now We'll see these earnings reports, but banks major banks start it And we've had jp morgan and so on yesterday Day before you then had yesterday a few more goldman sacks investment portfolio took a bit of a hit bank of america city group Following their rivals and selling aside billions in terms of lost provisions JP they were finished down and what three and a half percent In two days ago it was down another another five percent yesterday So these money center banks definitely because a lot of them as well have consumer exposure And with these mass layoffs, of course those kind of products and usage is going to decline So they've been hit quite severely yesterday. They're ranging down between five and nine percent Some of the investment brokerage type national banks a little bit better performance But still obviously not fantastic But but goldman's managing to just etch out a slight positive gain on the session of about point two percent Earnings front not really too much from an index traders point of view on a macro expected to look out for today But obviously i'll be Tweeting the latest kind of time tables when everything's going to happen for next week when we start seeing more companies reporting Final pieces of headlines to be aware of Just in case i get any questions to front run that Dennis and ozzy jobs data overnight not really too much reaction to be honest In fact the australia posted a surprise rising jobs in march Because a lot of that front run the entire impact of the corona virus and in fact actually from a jobs perspective Employment was bolstered by hiring by supermarkets and associated supply chains in order to get ahead of the impending lockdown So actually it's kind of an artificial Artificially high number that doesn't really reflect the current condition So it's been discounted by the market in that sense even that was better than expected Quick look at the dollar This is a dollar index and this is pretty much a A year to date what i'm looking at here on the access And interestingly obviously quite a powerful rally that we had in the dollar yesterday It's up again A decent amount this morning And we're finding a little bit of resistance though just at the kind of symbolic kind of hundred level You can see that was a previous point of contention when we're rallying in the dollar quite aggressively Back in in early mid-part february and we found some stern resistance at around this point So we're kind of back there again now Why is it rallying? Well, I guess the easiest way for me to explain this is if you look at this Chart and you look at the timing So when the pandemic really started to grip financial markets and equities we're seeing large Significant big selloffs remember when we were seeing the Dow falling, you know kind of 1500 points the price The circuit breakers the price limits were kicking in every single day Um that this dollar rally was at the peak of that volatility And so here it's one of those things where although you might think well the u.s economy is getting badly hit on the back of this Well, that that global reserve currency status really starts to kick in when you start to see a kind of a Global issue facing financial markets You know the the kind of flight to quality is into the greenback in that sense And so here you've had a pretty Significant rally and then obviously we came tearing back down after the fed started Unveiling all these types of additional liquidity programs more unconventional measures as well as taking obviously rates down to zero We starting QE and so on and then we've kind of bounced around quite quite a lot since then so Now I think you know if you're actually looking at the the movement we've seen over recent weeks It's starting to get a little bit more narrow. I think that's a reflection as well as overall markets The volatility has died down quite a bit from where we were And I do think that's why we're coming up to quite a decisive point In the coming weeks or so of really deciding or not. Are we going to get that new? Secondary push down the markets in terms of equities So there's a couple of different things I guess I'm I'm saying I'm tracking in order to determine have we actually hit that bottom or not yet Whether it's you know kind of movement in the Dixie The equity market the oil market I think it's quite a key component to that because I think if we do breach these lower bound levels and start to see a Run down to 16 dollars or below. I think that potentially could be a catalyst So I think at the moment a lot of these asset prices It kind of almost feels like the market's watching one another to see who shows their hand first a little bit And that probably explains why a lot of these fund managers as we saw in that Bank of America Kind of hedge fund manager survey recently we talked yesterday Is that why there's been quite a movement into cash for the moment because I think that in decision Prove you know provides quite a lot of challenges in terms of that investment of money over a longer time horizon Rather than just intraday trading. So yeah, hopefully that makes sense terms of the actual Schedule four today For this morning, you've got some eurozone data industrial production US data housing starts building permits Obviously the jobless claims we discussed and then the Philly Fed business index Expected to be again pretty similar to what we had With the empire number yesterday We're going to look for a negative reading of 26 pretty much doubling of the figure that we had in the prior month Ranged there minus 42 to minus minus 18 Earnings wise Abbott Blackrock more than Stanley And then from supply side of things in fixed income you've got French and Spanish supply as well as a guilt auction coming out of the dmo Is also happening today Finally just wanted to point this out because It's not happening today, but it's going to happen tonight So before I deliver the briefing to finish off the week tomorrow morning By this time tomorrow, we would have had released the latest Chinese data It's quite a meaningful part of the month. If you look at Chinese data It's their GDP reading and that pink line on the right hand side Is actually the market estimate and as you can see here The expectation on the street is that GDP in China, which is always tracked around this kind of five six percent level It's going to drop to minus six percent now There is actually a range where the bottom end of that range is we could see a drop of up to minus 11 This also comes alongside retail sales fixed asset investment Industrial output all for the month of March and remember China was in full lockdown at that point. So It's going to be a good indicator of just how how severe is that as that impact being And that's going to come out overnight session So definitely worth keeping on lights of the Aussie. For example, if you're looking at a proxy in the FX market All right, that is it. I'm going to wish you a good day ahead any questions, of course Just feel free to leave a comment and I'll reply throughout the day and remember to subscribe to the channel And I'll see you guys tomorrow. Have a good session ahead. Thanks very much


Hey guys, it's Nate aka The Foot Accountant. Welcome back to the channel. We're talking Player of the Month Messi Again, this is the second time this year that Player of the Month Messi should be coming out He won LaLiga's Player of the Month award for the month of February, which was what just released a couple days ago I'm gonna show you the tweet right now to confirm to you and show you that he actually did win Player of the Month Because this is important. We all need to know this That he wins the Player of the Month, right? This is the actual tweet showing Messi winning Player of the Month El jugador del FC Barcelona as Leo Messi Mejor jugador del Mace de Febrero in LaLiga Santander. So he has been named. He is the one He is the Player of the Month and currently we do not have an SBC for this Messi card yet because We have this Courtois Player of the Month SBC that still has one day 13 hours left remaining on it. So this is going to expire in the next day and a half or so It's gonna be going away And we're gonna be getting a Messi Player of the Month SBC to replace this So this will be the second time ever that we've had a Messi Player of the Month SBC Last time in December was the first time ever and we're gonna look back on that SBC as Kind of what we should expect for this second round of Messi Player of the Month We kind of have a good idea of how these things go nowadays with the Messi Player of the Month We've had a Neymar Player of the Month now So we kind of know how EA likes to run when they have these big-time squad building challenges for Player of the Months that feature Massive expensive players in this game, right? Messi last time was like 2.1 to 2.2 mil I think for most of the time that he was out He dropped to like 1.8 mil at some points when fodder was stupid low And they would rebound to points where he was like 2.1 mil So I think this SBC would be one that people would be interested in again because if we take a look at Messi's cards You kind of have to take into account what cards Messi has right? He's got a 96 What would this player of the month be? I think this player of the month would be a 97 rated I doubt they would give him a 98 so I think it would be a plus one rating So what can you expect from his 95 to his 96? He went up plus two pace plus one shot plus one passing plus two physical plus one defense and Plus one dribbling so I would expect another kind of looking at this card right here Maybe even this card. I would look at some plus ones and plus two in all the stat court categories So probably 99 dribbling you'd probably have 95 passing 95 shooting 92 pace and then 43 defense basically I would expect plus ones maybe a plus two from this card But it would be 97 rated it would go one rating above this player the month version right here Then the next thing is is is it worth it? Is it really worth it? And what's the cost going to be and what are they gonna do for this SBC? Can we invest in it which that last question can we invest in it? That's a big time Yes, from me right now based on prices that I'm seeing on the market But I want to talk about the cost of this SBC first As one of our examples that we're gonna use and how they're gonna make this SBC I would expect it to be very similar to the first one that they put out which as you can tell right now Was it went out when it was in the game? It started at like 2.1 mil it started and it went down Fodder got cheaper as we got into team of the year fodder was very cheap as we had it into team of the year It's like 1.8 million coins at its very cheapest. What is this SBC gonna be around this time? I think it's gonna be somewhere between the 2 2.1 to 2.2 mil range all the way up to 2.5 just kind of depends on when they release that SBC How much they require for it and what SBC fodder is when he actually comes out because if we look at SBC fodder right now Prices are low especially in the area where this card is going to be requiring the most cards 87s 88s and 89s have dropped considerably since The Ramos SBC came out and we have had these cards dropping price because of the two for one packs and all the packs that have been opened This weekend take a look at this. I'm gonna zoom this in a little bit because This needs to be zoomed in check this out here This Allison was 34 33,000 coins in the middle of the week last week We got the Ramos SBC and we had a shapeshifter guarantee pack that came out last week and this card boomed at 45,000 coins on Thursday What literally happened the next day on Friday this card goes from 45k drops off a cliff with all the two for one packs going out Down to 34,000 coins the same thing happened today on Saturday He was 34 to 35,000 coins all day being the cheapest at the time when those two for one packs are coming out So these high-rated have dropped a ton right and and you know, why am I interested in investing in these right now? Well, if you think about it these high-rated are at their, you know usual lows, right? These high-rated cards fluctuate all the time between when we have pack supply and when we have really good SBCs These cards are low right now and we still have all of the SBCs except for the the The the guaranteed shapeshifter pack which helped some of those 89s rise a little bit But we still have this name our SBC out for 11 more days We're getting a player the month messy SBC which I'm talking about right now And then possibly a player of the month Bruno Fernandez coming in, you know, five six days as well All of those SBCs are going to be hyped up people are still completing Neymar people still need to buy 89 ratings for these Player the month SBCs And that's why I'm a huge fan right now of 80 rated cards for this SBC for the messy SBC Because I think they're gonna make the they're gonna make the requirements Basically the same as last time because they've done it twice now with messy and with Neymar They've required three eighty nine rated squads. I think for the first time that messy at play the month Yeah, he had three eighty nine rated squads a Couple eighty eights and eighty seven and eighty six, I think and you I mean you got good packs in return You were getting a hundred that are fifty K packs in return for some of those SBCs for doing them Because they were eighty nine rated squads So I think that high-rated are a fantastic investment at the moment high-rated informs as well Eighty five eighty six eighty seven rated informs are definitely good looks at this time On the market as well So definitely take a look at those and when you're investing in these high-rated, right? The eighty-nine's are kind of my favorite because they go from like thirty five K to forty five K so easily Focus on I like focusing on the center backs, right? Kealini, you know sometimes if you invest in one of the eighty-nine's is like Allison or or Harry Kane, right? Usually Kane Lewandowski are some of the cheapest eighty eighty nine rated But the ones that rise the most are the center backs because they get the best links And they're the most necessary for chemistry that you need in the squad So that's why I'm a huge fan of buying the center backs. That's why you saw me have some go deans I have some cool abalis and I have some And I have some kealini because those are kind of my favorites in terms of investing in fodder 36 K for cool Bali Is not bad 35 K is like a perfect buy price for these in my opinion Especially if you can get some of the the Barça boys, right? Griezmann believe it or not. This card is basically SBC fodder. He's like 38,000 37 38 K During the lighting rounds this man goes lower than that 37 at the moment 36 K for Griezmann I have a couple of these. I'm a huge fan of this investment as well as well as Sergio Busquets Both from Barcelona both went up big last time well Busquets went up big last time Messi came out But Griezmann is now SBC fodder as well, which making it's making him really a good look for investments for this SBC So take a look at fodder I'm a huge fan of that investment now and actually in the next couple of weeks So if you're somebody who wants to go unassigned on fodder, you know, this could be You know an opportunity for you to get on some fodder some high rated informs and stuff like that Fodder across the board is pretty cheap if we take a look at it again, especially over the past few days 86 is are now getting cheap 13 K. That's viable for me 84 is a very cheap 83s are still very cheap except for some of the ones with good links So those are up a bit because of the 84 to 91 guaranteed SBC Those are inflated a tiny bit because of that so just keep an eye out for those gold informs Let me take a look at these really fast High rated gold informs. We're talking 85 rated at 15 16 K This Glick would be a good one for that 16 K for that car. It's not bad Alonzo is in team of the week this week and Martinez is not 23 K when you're buying some of these informs to purchase for an SBC investment of Of course, you want to focus on stuff that's going to be required in the SBC, which this time would be Spanish La Liga Maybe Argentine But you want to focus on stuff that is out of packs stuff that is in the current team of the week Will not rise up as much because it's still in packs at the moment and yes It'll still rise because people will be using that and those will be the cards that get into some solutions But if you buy the cards that aren't like a Higuain, right? I don't think he's in he is he's not in this week's team of the week, right 86 Higuain is one of the cheapest 86s If you can get in for like 23,000 coins look what he went up to this weekend He was 31 K and now he's back even this is from team of the week 11 Can I go get myself a Higuain right now? If I can find a Higuain at 25 K I would be a fan of that because this is a card that is out of packs that has been being used in SBCs Since team of the week 11. Oh There he was right there Higuain how much how much how much? 27 K 27 K for Higuain Maybe I can try to snag an open bid at like 25 or 20 or something like that These are the types of informs that you want to invest in when you're investing in fodder Are the ones that are an old team of the week? So that's just a tip for you guys as well that are looking to invest in this SBC for messy I want to talk about this general market movements with this SBC as well Last time we had player the month messy I'm going to drag you over to foot bin one more time to take a look at this Last time we had play the month messy. It was the first time we ever got that SBC There was a ton of hype a ton of panic selling we saw icons going down in price Messy's gold card went down messy this messy team of the group stage card went down a bunch Look at this the SBC was released on December 12th last year or last last time which technically was last year to 2019 gotcha anyways 2019 December 12th was when the SBC was released people saw the price at like 2.1 2.2 mil So this tradable version went from 2.2 mil It was actually below that and it boomed right back up to 2.5 because everybody saw the SBC and they were like Yo, it's not worth it for me. I'm just gonna buy it right back So that's why you saw a boom on that card at the moment We're not really seeing a lot of panic selling on this messy I'm not seeing panic selling on the gold messy on the the team of the year is down a little bit But not much like I'm not seeing a ton of cards and that just shows me that people I don't think people know that this SBC is coming and that it's ready and that's gonna really Be interesting for this SBC when it comes out. We're really gonna have to monitor and see If it's worth it if the stat boost is big if the stat boost is big, right? If they give messy plus twos in a lot of the categories if they make them a 98 Then you're gonna have a lot more extra demand for this SBC than you would have had before and if they make this SBC Under 2 million coins So basically the same price as the past SBC then I do think you would have more people that go to do this one We have to talk about demand with this one, too A lot of people did the first SBC, right? A lot of people did that first player the month messy because it was the first one It was in December and they're like, yo, I would love a 96 messy that I could use for the rest of the year in my club Now we're getting towards team this season again. Is there gonna be enough hype for it? It all depends if they make this SBC 2 to 2.5 mil. I don't think a lot of people will do it That's my opinion even though fodder is cheap if they make it 2 to 2.5 mil fodder Probably won't rise up that much if they make it 1.8 mil fodder will then rise to probably make the SBC to around 2 million coins or a little bit more because then I think people would end up doing it because right now you have the option of buying this messy for 1.9 You can do this 99 messy for 4.3 mil Or you can wait a couple months for team of the season then have yourself messy for another team of the season messy which you know depends on the price Who knows right messy the shapeshifter card we can't we can't leave that one out there as well That's a position change. That's a bit different if this messy is a position change one That would also bring some hype right like we have this messy shapeshifter, which is a position change center forward if The new one if this new messy that comes out play the month messy is also a center forward or a cam That would mean a lot for his SBC price as well if it's central I do think that would be more demand for the card and again That's just up to EA what they want to position that card as an SBC I could see it be central since they just released this people that want to go and buy this card now Would sell that would sell that card and Maybe go do the player the month because it's 97 rated So that's the biggest thing that I want to talk about with this SBC is if it's a center attacking mid messy or a center forward Or a striker messy. I do think you will see a lot more people want to go do that card because of the position change It just depends again What EA wants to do with that card if they release it right wing which I think they will do But if they do center attacking mid that would be a lot more hype for this card And then I think you would see more market movements once that SBC drops I think you would see the high rated golds rise and you might see other versions of messy fall and other high rated Icons attacking icons, maybe like a garincha garincha last time was somebody who took a pretty really Pretty sizable hit in price when the messy SBC was supposed to come out before it came out like this 92 Garincha was somebody that a lot of people wanted to use And he took a hit in price because people were listing this card and because they wanted to get played the month messy basically So this is again another one of those cards to watch if a center attacking mid card comes out Somebody you you might want to watch just watch some of these icon moments center attacking mid Maybe like a like a bad Joe center attacking mid He's a he's a center attacking mid icon icon moments So just kind of watch that maybe like a Ronaldinho could take a hit in price because of this messy So just be careful With these cards and it's again It's gonna be one of those decisions that we kind of have to make once we see the SBC come out And once we know what is actually going to be released And what the card is gonna look like and what the SBC is gonna cost because if they make it the same SBC as last time Then it's probably gonna be like 1.8 mil Like it would be priced right now, and I do feel like a lot of people would go and do that We've been on a roll with some pretty good. So pretty good value SBCs lately I mean the way the things have been going this SBC, you know Not the best but not terrible this SBC. It's all right But the Colorado is decent the Rooney is decent the Ramos is decent looking back on some of the other player SBCs This treasure gaze honestly not terrible either. It's okay, but it's not terrible Neymar. All right, this one was overpriced This quartois was pretty cheap. I mean some of the SBCs we've been getting have been decent value lately So I wonder if that trend continues On foot so again, I would expect this SBC to come out on either early early this week I don't know if they would save it for later in the week I would think it's gonna be soon and that's why I'm putting this video off for you guys Because I think this SBC is coming soon And I want to talk about the market movements because of it and the possible investments that we do have Because of it as well I've got myself a first owner untradable messy in my squad at 94 right there. I was lucky enough to pack it from From an upgrade pack, so I'm not gonna be doing the messy player the month SBC I feel content with that one for now but maybe We'll try to get the team this season card down the line But some of it taking a content to just into memory and into thinking when you're thinking about doing this SBC is Team this season is not that far away So play the month messy would expire around the middle of April right middle early April Some to think about when you're if you're pondering doing this SBC that time frame Where we're gonna be at in a month from now when that SBC would expire But if you enjoyed this video smash a thumbs up on it comment down below if you have any questions And of course subscribe to the channel if you are new it's been Nathan foot accountant catch you guys later peace out