Let's get over to our man. Mr. Tim or as we do every Tuesday and Thursday, and don't forget folks You can reach Tim every trading day at odd hyphen Oracle comm that's odd hyphen Oracle comm Tim did an amazing workshop for us It was a great workshop. We're gonna be doing more of those workshops Tim or what's going on brother? All right, I think you over some charts We got time to go through them. We definitely got time man. Yeah All right, so we went we start with chart one. Okay, and It's kind of just this looks at the bigger picture. This doesn't try to pick out You know the day of the low I guess you might say but does get you close to the the lows in general Okay, and what what it is is the weekly American Association individual investors bullbear ratio and all it is it kind of measures what the individual investors are doing out there if their bearish usually has to bully sign if they're bullish use the a bearish sign and today actually I Circled in red there and whether I say that we're actually yesterday Which is point five five and anything below point seven five. You're looking at a low now Now that's a Marcus gone up This is yesterday three but the you know mark's gone up for over a week not up today But it was straight up and these guys remain, you know on the bearish bearish side of things Right, so that that bodes well for the bigger picture is what I'm saying that say we can have some short to pullbacks Most likely we will at some point and maybe maybe start one right now. I don't know but on the bigger picture You know over the next several months anyhow, this is a bullish sign Yes, so that's kind of the bigger picture. Yeah, let's flip the chart to okay and That's in the top window. I use this arms index a lot it The trend or arms is the both same thing Richard arms came up with I think back in 1970s whatever But it measures volume and it measures up volume and but down volume and also major advance and declines and it combines all in into a a Ratio, yeah, it's just basically as it's yes over declining issues divided by up volume divided by down volume and you do all those ratios and you come out with a number one is basically everything's neutral You got as much up volume as down volume on advance usually declining issues doesn't say much But when you start getting volume on the down issues this ratio starts to rise and you would think that Would be bearish But it's really not it's actually bullish and more people rely on this sell side on their declining stocks the more bullish that becomes and So when you get this ratio on a 10-day average, so that's like two weeks of trading This is a 10 trading days. Yes. I use a 10-day and you get up around 1.2 you got a lot of down volume on a lot of down stocks in general and It turns out to be a bullish sign and all that Shaded pink areas are times when that ratio was above 1.2 so Currently we had going back here. It looks like about The October we had a bunch of that reading near 1.2. Currently. We're at 1.18. It's it's more bullish than bearish Yeah, because we yesterday with the market flying up. Yeah, yesterday I mean here look at this folks. Okay, cuz this is this is a big diversions Yesterday, we have a closing one of 1.5 to men and the market, you know, it's up slightly. It's like, okay, really Yeah, and actually the day before that yeah 1.23 the day before that this three days ago 1.28. Yeah, so as the market was going up, I you know people are kind of selling it here, right? so So let's get to the just of what we're talking about I sent you another chart 3 and what that I do is just put to chart 4 oh chat for you. That's right 3 4 Okay, I get 4. Yep. Yeah 4. It's it's it's kind of Here's where we really are if you look at the back in the April-May period, you know shade in light blue and The market was great. We we covered this quite a few different times, but that April-May period was bumping against the February highs and We talked on your show This is the BVIX VIX ratio and there's two I look at it both ways There's a VIX to VVIX ratio, which goes against the trend. In other words when that When that race going up marks going down This is kind of just reverses it so when the S&Ps are going up I hear the music Stay right there folks. Tim and I gonna be coming right back We have the Dow Industrial's down 220 and Aztec off 116 S&Ps are up 34. Tim and I come right back folks Welcome back folks. Tim Lloyd, Tom McBrown. We do appreciate you growling and prowling with us out here We have the Dow the Dow Industrial's right now down 228 and Aztecs off 126 We have the S&Ps off 37. We're talking with our man, Mr. Tim Lloyd and we are I'm on the third shot that he sent Tim, which is the the spy over the I got We're doing that chart number four Okay, so a chart number four is the TLT over the VIX of the is that right? So that that'd be chart five Okay, oh, I see so I thought you want to Replace you didn't want me to replace one you just one second. Oh, I came back. Oh, yeah, actually I just skipped that Chart which is chart three I could we can go over that chart the one the new chart I had a chart three and I updated and sent you another one chart three. Yeah, I have that one up Let's do that one first and we'll go back. Okay, and that's the VIX to the VIX ratio. Okay Yes, it is I believe one second. This one says spy Hold it one second be up in the top right top left corner. Oh, yeah. Yeah. No, that's what it is. Yes That's what it is. Yes. Let's all right. Okay, just okay. That's chart three. That's what the chart four, okay? I might put just just That's a daily. That's the TLT And the VIX, right? No, there'd be a VIX. I see that'd be That's chart five. Okay. Oh the one just give me one second one second. Sorry about this folks So I'll get this one second. Hold it because there's only one shot that I didn't put up But I missed I misunderstood. Okay. We were replacing it once they just give me one second. I'll get this right now Okay, where Where'd you go, Jacob? Oh, where's your hat? Oh my god? I kind of find this hat now Jacob if you hear me, we send it over again. Okay. Let's do the TLT the VVIX first. No, okay Let's do that. Okay. Okay that one now. This is Okay Yeah, the middle window is a daily PLT, which is a bond market over the VVIX Which is the bigs of the bigs. Yes, and you wouldn't think this would draw any conclusions of anything worthwhile but it really does and There's a divergence process and there's a acceleration process and we talked about actually we had this similar chart on our webinar on Tuesday, yes, and what I want to show you the top window is the rate of change the 10 period rate of change for the tilt VVIX and the right and the second window down from the top is the RSI 10 now. There's a two-week RSI and I pointed out the divergence, but also I point out the acceleration So when this this ratio accelerates to the downside and both those ROCs and RSIs gets over Oversold you're looking at a short term low and all those red dotted lines across the chart when that happens It can also work the other way when there's acceleration to the upside There's also a consolidation or a reversal and that's happens when the RSI 10 and and ROC 10 reach above Well, I'd be above 70 and the rate of change would be above Actually 30 and that's that the blue lines across the chart. I see that. Yeah. Yeah, so yesterday We reached you know about 40 So that ratio has gone up too fast too quick And so it's due for a rest as it means at top, you know, sometimes it means the salivation if you look at the April period 2023 I got a circle in blue on the bottom chart there. I see that. Okay. Yeah, I just went sideways And the other two times they had minor pullbacks, but neither one hit new lows or anything Kind of just stalled the rally. So I'm doing thinking We've gone up too fast, you know, what's going to do next is probably also We've been up eight days in a row going to yesterday Up eight days in a row predict the mark will be higher a hundred percent of the time This is over the last five years within five days and the average gains point seven It's about the same statistics is up seven days in a row So even though there could be a minor pullback here. We're such a Momentum up another five six seven days up in a row or eight days in our case The market just doesn't top go back down and it may have the mouth and salivation, but it goes up again So well next week be a down week. Yeah, maybe the first part next week But probably towards the end of next week is probably going to go up now Tim No, I know I was going to ask you this question I was going to ask this question because I was well aware from when you were on on Tuesday Explaining the deal that if you're up seven or eight days, it's a hundred percent of five days later Is that five trading days Tim or just days in general trading days? Okay, cool That's five trading days So, you know yesterday so that would predict next Thursday. Yep would be a higher high So can you have a pullback going off if you're thinking about puts in here? It's probably a bad idea I'll put it that way right all right, so But you know, I guess if you I don't know how the pullback's gonna work You know if you get it you get a 10-day trend up around, you know close to 1.2 That's not an ideal short period. You know if you're down around point eight. Yeah, maybe but not up around 1.2 And so don't get buried, but did you get that other chart? I have it up right now. Yes. I do. That's the the vvi x Slash vixx. That's what I have up. Okay. All right, okay this this chart If you look at the first light blue area, okay Time of April May time period tested the February high as the market went sideways. Yes, and we talked on your radio. I'm thinking now We're gonna go higher the reason why higher because of this ratio the vvi x the vixx ratio It was breaking out to new highs and so currently The left hand blue area currently we're testing the October highs right now on The SMPs and if you notice that ratio is making higher highs same situation We had back in the April May period test in the February highs. I see that whether yeah, so there's a mild consolidation coming You know, we're probably gonna start breaking up again So I don't know how big the consolidation is but in my opinion should be pretty minor according to the eight-day Eight days up in a row or seven days up in a row and he had a trend of 1.18 Which you're neither one is buried plus a bullish divergence on the bvi x vixx ratio so, you know Don't know what next week plus. There's another city to next week Is it 10th week is week of the year is it can't yeah, man You get so many statistics of it's so cool.  This is kind of intriguing. It was really intriguing because you know If we have this S&P up seven or eight days in a row, you got a hundred percent of five days later We're talking like next Wednesday to Thursday You know so so picture it'd be kind of cool if you did have some sort of a pullback you know and Then all of a sudden, you know for some reason, you know, you got an expansion, you know topside I mean that as soon as Paul was talking about it Paul was talking at 2 o'clock today Tim and the IMF and He was much more hawkish than he was even when the Fed basically came out with their You know statement last week. Yeah, just stay right there It's him stay right there folks gonna shot break Tim and I gonna be coming right back We have that out on 236 Nasdaq up 136 S&P's off 39 Tim and I come right back folks Well, welcome back folks Tim or Tom over and we do appreciate your growl on a problem with us We have that out and I was trading down to 240 and as I got one 40 S&P's are off 39 And the chart that we're looking at right now is the the vvix slash vix So yeah, I just sent you another chart on gold. Okay, Jacob get it. Yep I'll bill. Let's see. We will we will get that we will get that beautiful one two three. Okay Let's see I'll get them. It's yeah, go ahead inflation deflation ratio. Yep. Okay. That's all right here one second All right, you can start talking about it. He'll get it right over to me. All right All right. Yeah, I sent it a couple just a minute ago. Okay, I thought this is worth covering because this is a pretty rare It's a it's Martin Pring's inflation deflation ratio Martin Pring's been around Longer than I have yeah a long time at both of us So if he's a yeah, I came up with this ratio actually don't know what the internals are But over time his work this chart goes back to mid 2015 and I marked the times This is on a weekly time frame so Yeah, it's on a weekly time frame and I just use an RS high for it now is that and it did extremely well Picking out the bottoms and actually does pretty well on the tops, too But it does really well at the bottoms and you don't get many signals on this chart But when you do as well as work really good it picked out You get the chart up yet. Not yet Okay, go ahead. That's all right. Just keep talking But anyhow The second window up from the bottom. So when you get to it was I thought I Got it. I got it. Okay. Cool. One second. I got it. There we go. I got it Tim. Go ahead right the last low in August 2022 I have other indicators that said that was an important low Yes, and and I said at one point I said, I don't think that lowest ever We're going to be years for that low is going to be broken and The market rallied up and it's been consoling since about April May of this year We're into a kind of a sideways pattern and we had a sign of strength over here a few weeks ago Yes, last couple weeks Marcus just been consoling or in that consolidation The RS I this is on a weekly time frame. So these So you have to have quite a bit of pressure off all the way through the week even though price damage was really not much in GDX or XEU that inflation Deflation ratio on a weekly time frame went through the floor And that's really a good thing if you're bullish because if you look at the RSI it has to get below 30 as Of last week it was 28.89. So it's blow 30 right now to get the signal. You have to close back above 30 But usually 30 is pretty much where it turns around at So I don't know if we're going to rally this week or not, but if it does These signals if you look back You know that they come maybe once a year at most okay So so it's a rare signal last time we had a signal was August 2022 Which was correct the market went up and now we got another signal that we're November of 2023 I say we're getting in the process of getting a signal We need to close above 30 now to have that triggered But these signals are multi month signals are not like a week or two They're multi month and sometimes they can you know last a long time that the one in 2019 You know one straight up for about six months. We kind of get Back and forth, but anyhow, or the way of 2016 was straight up for Yeah, that was a beauty. Oh, that was a nice one. You know, that's the other signal type things that Are suggesting something close to happening here. Yeah, because if you take a look at this folks Look at this for a second the GDX went from 17 to 45 That's the 2016 one that was a beautiful run. Yeah, yeah, that's the last big run Really? Yeah, it is the last big run we got right Yeah, so so we got that going on right now So I guess let me ask you this what we don't know in inside of this signal What you just said is that how does he get the the correlation of the inflation deflation deal, right? We don't we just know that this is how this works, right? Is that correct? Right? That's how it works Yeah, I probably should look at the definition what he's got in there. I don't know That's all right. I was just curious right something with it, right? But it's like anything it's acceleration, you know a lot of these signals are generated through acceleration of these These are ratios and stuff like that. Yes, that's what the trading public is missing You know, they're all looking at moving averages or right Trin lines up and down stuff, you know, the true meaning of the market a lot of times if it gets Accelerated in one direction too far is going to snap back to a norm. Yes, and That's what this inflation deflation ratio is all about. It's just gone down too fast too quick It's going to snap back to a norm and and so it's it's it's kind of opened my eyes Of how to look at the markets and I agree Allerations and ratios and stuff is you know, and the trend lines is kind of like the old the old new this It's the old theory. This is a step forward I think you know price and volume is still very important but The acceleration of the ratios and stuff is that carries a bigger story I think what the the market is going to do no, I agree I agreed Tim particularly because see the ratios that you're actually using a Very important because that you know like when you're talking the TLT Well the bond market is literally, you know, who knows a hundred times bigger than the stock market So you got a correlation there inside and then you have the fair gauge on the other side So I can see that in a second man, you know that they they're all relevant Because there's not just one thing, you know that is moving markets. I mean that that's that's the reality I mean, you know, you you have all these different things that are moving markets Particularly, it's just a movement of money, right and those ratios are showing, you know Bottom line is that one there's more fear when there's more greed, you know, because some of the remember folks, okay These ratios work on the upside also. This is what's so cool about this, you know Yeah, it's not a one-way scene which you know is very important, you know Because there's plenty of things that can work on a one-way deal, but you know when you get both sides of The correlation it's awesome because it's like, okay, when you're supposed to get out Well, you know, we know that you got out in July Why you get up in July because that ratio was basically saying hey, you know You better get out man because pretty soon we're gonna be going down and pretty soon was basically about five to ten day trading days later folks, okay, so Yeah, yeah, you know matter of fact, you know the Last chart, you know in chart five on our discussion today was that TLT to VBX ratio Getting up plus 40, you know, and that ratio hit there yesterday So what the market do today, you know go without so right? I mean it gets pretty close to wherever you need to do, you know, so I mean it's It's a you know how far it's going down.  Yeah, we did have a tree yeah, yeah go all the way back down. Yeah, so folks. I'll just do this quick Tim and I have traded three gap plays many times when the only X was there and these are something else man I mean if we get lucky enough for that Tim, it's gonna be pretty wild man Well listen Tim, it's always a pleasure. You have a great weekend a safe weekend We look forward speaking to on Tuesday All right, love you man. Love you man, and I'll go through this three-gap play as soon as we come back folks Welcome back folks who's Tim and I we just talked about three-gap play so this is how this works folks So we had three gaps on the way up, you know bottom line is that you had a couple signs of strength, right? So you get one small one a larger one and a larger one, right? So what happens with a three-gap play is this is that you get to the high Then you come back and you fill all of them you come all the way right back down Okay, now as long as you do that with lighter volume, okay, and What's happening here? We have lighter volume out here today You're going into 102 million chairs and you get 69 as long as you do that with lighter volume What you have is that at that point there at the bottom. That's the buy Because the way the gaps work when you get a three-gap play like that that the three-gap play Is the trend is higher if you had we have three gap plays lower That's that's how that works and they're phenomenal plays You know when you can get it right because what ends up happening two different things end up happening Just as we went up if it's going to be a three-gap play you're going to fill these very quickly that's what I've seen these layout here for like two and a half weeks at the highs before they do it but when they do it it's phenomenal because they come back down and You know when Tim and I would play in these a lot because there's a lot of these in the 90s We were playing in the option market because if we come back down that all of a sudden it's oh my god You know, yeah, your risk is very low versus your reward because what ends up happening all you have to do is put your stop underneath the last gap and You know, you know we go from there But that's how a three-gap play works the biggest thing to get out of that is that whatever way that you actually gap That's where the trend is going as long as you do pull back and you're pulling back with light of volume That gives you the verification that this market still wants higher price You get a fast and furious on the way down you get price price destruction without volume folks is one of the best buys out here Okay, they're very hard to buy. Don't get me wrong because when you get fast price destruction, you know, it's like oh man What's going on? Always remember folks the bank and claw your heart out the bull can run you over and thank God There's always another trade health happens in prosperity. Have a great night folks Have a safe night come back and visit Tommy tomorrow morning kicks us off 9 a.m. Great show folks Look at him folks


It's March the 16th, 2022. It's Wednesday o'clock. That can mean only one thing. Time for What Now, America? I'm Tim Appichell, your host. And today's title is USA and the World Could Do Much More for Ukraine. With me, my guests today are Jay Fidel, Karen Buzzard, and Cynthia Leeson-Clair. Good morning. Good morning. Good morning. Well, we've got a whole full agenda. So let's get to it. Jay, we just heard President Zelensky get before Congress and ask again and again for things that we're not giving him. One, he's asking for enforcement of a no-fly zone, and he's asking for fighter jets. First question is, is he hitting all the right notes in his ability to request Congress for something that President Biden and many people in Congress don't want to comply with? Yes. Yes, he is. I think what's really interesting, and it's a nuanced point, is if he asks for something that they're not inclined to give, what he's doing is setting the stage to have them give it once Putin goes further. For example, if Putin uses chemical weapons, bio weapons, then Putin's going further. And he is pushing Biden off that cliff. If Putin goes one step further, it offers Biden the opportunity of meeting Zelensky's request. So what he's doing is setting up a scenario that will, A, limit Putin from doing anything more horrendous, if that's possible, and B, if he does something more horrendous, then it gives Biden cover for meeting Zelensky's demands. So I think it's really a smart move. Let me ask you this. I thought this was a smart move, and he's done it before. But he really hits the note, in my opinion, right on very well by saying, hey, this is a matter of world democracy and the avoidance of autocracy, which has plagued Europe, obviously, for hundreds of years. And he seems to be making some great inroads into that. Is it striking a chord or a note within the American population audience? Well, it's certainly striking a note within the Foreign Affairs audience, because there was an article about this very thing called Pax Americana just a few days ago. And they talked about the battle of the great powers. And Russia wants to be a great power. And America is a great power. And China is a great power. Arguably, after being consolidated in this affair, Europe could be or is or will be a great power. But Putin wants to be a great power, and that's the bottom line. Yeah, sure, he wants the border to go further west. Yeah, sure, he wants the glory of the USSR. But more than that, he's participating in what is described in this article a few days ago in Foreign Affairs. And it's very instructive to think of it that way. It's a clash of great powers. And he wants to be there on the stage. What haven't we done for Ukraine as a nation? Now, President Biden just announced an additional $800 million, strictly for military, being anti-armor situations. Or I think that would be the Javelin weapons. And certainly about 7,000 for small arms and about 800 for anti-aircraft, which would mean stinger missiles. What have we done and what aren't we doing enough of? Oh, there's another kind of anti-aircraft missile. Forget the name right now, but it's more powerful than the Javelin or the stinger. And it's a battery of weapons that you can deploy. I'm not sure it's all that mobile, but it will bring these migs right out of the sky. And we have not provided that yet, although we've talked about providing it. So if you ask me what else they can do short of delivering fighter planes into the skies for what do you call it? No fly. No fly zone. That's what the US could do, these batteries of anti-aircraft weapons. Do you agree with President Biden that there should not be a no fly zone? I'll tell you the truth. I go back and forth. It depends on what I'm reading today, what you're sending me, all these people sending me. And for every article that says yes, there's an article that says no. And I keep listening to Karen and she tells me no. I would agree with Karen. How do you know I was going to say that? But I think we're going to get there, Tim. There's a very interesting front line movie. I should have sent all you guys a link that just appeared on PBS last night. It's the history of Putin. It's how he got here, the road to war, I think. It is most interesting. And it talks about him and his war strategies and tactics over the years. He's been in power 22 years now. And he's done this sort of thing a lot. He's killed a lot of people. He's a monster. And his M.O. is all the same. I mean, for example, when he was first taking power, he set up a fake attack on a school in Russia. I mean, it was a real attack. And he blamed the Chechnians for it. And then he went and he blasted the Chechnians. So a lot of school kids, young school kids died.  And it was him. And then using that as a starter, he killed a lot of Chechnians. He bombed them the way he's bombing. Well, he also went into that theater and just slaughtered them. Yeah, so that's what he does. That's his M.O. And how he approached that. Yeah, that's what he does. He's done it over and over again. And I don't know if the Russian people understand what a monster he is. But his M.O. is always the same. And so his M.O. now is going to be through slaughter people. He's a slaughterer. And when that word gets out on the streets of Moscow, I mean, people really figure it out, they're not going to want them in office. I'm not sure how much power they have because he's really finesse the ability to stay in power. He's good at that. So I guess to answer your question, I think we know him well enough to know that he is going to continue to do this. And if he continues to do this, he's going to step it up. That's what he always does. In each one of those examples, those instances over the past 22 years, he's stepped it up. He's a monster. And if he does that, as I said at the very beginning of the show, it's going to cross the red line for NATO, for the EU, for the US, for Congress, for Biden. And I think all of a sudden, Karen and I will agree. Karen, you're listening. Karen and I will agree that what we need to do is put a lot of weapons in there, including jets and fighter planes. Okay. Well, for now, Karen, to you, President Zelensky saying, hey, I need fighter jets. And the United States has nixed the deal that there would be 20, I think it was 28 MiG jets to be delivered to Ukraine. And the United States kind of doesn't want that. The President Biden said, that's direct involvement. Aren't there some innovative ways, Ukraine, some MiG jets?  Let me have you react to it. What's to prevent a neutral country that has an air force that has MiG jets? And this country happens not to be a NATO country, but an independent country with an independent sovereign right to give arms to another country or sell arms to another country. What's to prevent a hypothetically in Argentina? To say, hey, we got 28 MiG jets and we'll prevent the pilots from Ukraine, from flying over there, getting in those MiG jets and flying them to Ukraine. Well, I guess it could, if it would even fly from Venezuela with jets over there. Sure, or vice versa. Just how the pilots fly into the country a non-NATO country and fly over and pick up the jets and fly them back. In that way, NATO's not involved. Well, it would still be an attack from one country on another country if, you know, even if it was flown by a different country, they would be. No, not flown by a different country, flown by Ukrainian pilots. Oh, so they were going against jets. These are MiG jets. That's what they want to fly is MiG jets. And there's plenty of countries after that are non-NATO countries that have plenty of MiG jets. Why are we not thinking out of the box on this? What's timing the administration on this one? I'm good. I make a counter-argument. I think we're going in the wrong direction. I think we should de-escalate the military involvement and try to work on the diplomatic side because I think just... Tim, did I say that I was going to agree with Karen about anything? Yeah, but you're gonna have to hold that for me. I'm gonna do a follow-up question, Karen. Get ready. Now, you made quite a bold statement there and I respect all claims. Then we try that before Putin just said, I don't care, I'm going in and began the atrocities. We tried it in 1938. Okay, Karen, you have the floor. If you look at the history of NATO, I think that whole history has been erased by the media, including in the documentary, which I thought was very biased, Jay, last night. They haven't looked at the history of NATO aggression in Eastern Europe and provoking Putin. So I think, unless both sides can look at the truth of what's really happening, there can be no negotiation. Okay, I'm gonna interrupt you. Let's find the other side on the table, just because... Karen, I respect you as a guest, but I'm gonna interrupt you for a second because we make statements that we should expect follow-up questions. And one's gonna be all the things that Jay mentioned and that Putin has been guilty of how he's invaded Russia, how he's invaded Crimea. Doesn't that count for the counterargument that you're trying to present? Well, I think there was a... You know, it's not like Putin has no reason behind what he's doing. He's interested in his national security. Crimea, there was a Russian naval base there that his theory was he was protecting the naval base from U.S. But also, if you kind of research the history of it, this same situation arose during Obama's administration, but Obama refused to send military weapons. He sent, quote, support, but not military weapons, including these missiles that are being sent now. So there was no escalation, but I think that escalating, you know, particularly now with what's become a kind of local conflict into a not a worldwide conflict, could lead to a World War III, which is, you know, nuclear... No, I understood that, understood that concern. I get that. And that's why maybe the no-fly zone is off limits. And I agree with you on that point, but to de-escalate the military approach here, when he's aggressively slaughtering innocents. I think I've... Oh, sorry. Well, I'm just saying that, you know, what's the next step? Okay, so here's the follow-up question. What if Putin uses chemical or biological weapons? What's your response then? Well, as I say, I don't think we should...  It sort of becomes a war of... Do you think that negotiating with Putin he's gonna capitulate and back off? Is that your belief? He would if, you know, the right things were on the table. Right now, the U.S. has refused to put the neutrality of Ukraine on the table. That was the key point of the negotiation that Anthony Blinken would not consider. And also I wanted to point out, if you read a lot about the history of Ukraine, that actually some people consider that in 2014, there was a coup led by Victoria Newland, who was now kind of head of what's going on now. And she was appointed by Obama to overthrow the legitimate election. And there's tapes of them you can find online ticking the new administration that would be anti-Russian. That was their key goal. So they put in place... So it's not like we have been... We haven't been sitting by neutral. We've been involved in Ukraine for a long time. And we've been... Well, Ukraine's a breakaway state from the Soviet Union. Yes, I would expect they want a non-Russian partisan to be part of the government. That makes sense. Yeah, but we have been underhandedly... We haven't been honest about our involvement in Ukraine. It's not like we had no involvement. We had a major involvement in there. And actually a lot of people feel... Have you ever heard of the Wolfowitz policy that's a neo-Conservant? Paul Wolfowitz, Paul Wolfowitz of Iraq fame. Yes. Yeah, basically that some people feel that Biden is following this now. And Victoria Newland was one of the neo-Conservatives who thought this up. Was that the US should be the dominant superpower and they should prevent any other power from gaining any kind of standing. So basically right now the two powers they're most concerned about are Russia and China. So the expansion of NATO, I think into Eastern Europe, actually it was promised it would not expand. And Bill Clinton was the first president to start expanding it. Was a clear threat to Russian from the beginning. And I think the continuation of that policy was provocative to Russia and particularly bringing it up right to their back door staff. It was very provocative. All right, I gotta go to Cynthia but I will say that provocative begets provocative and his aggressive moves in the world stage has been provocative. So it's not a surprise that nations near Russia said, hey, NATO, bring me in, please. So again, provocative begets provocative. Cynthia, going to you. Before I forget, Tim, I'd like to say that I disagree with everything that Karen has said. One. I know, but you already agreed with her. So you get to do both. I agree that we shouldn't put fighter planes there now, but that's the only thing. Okay, I just wanna punctuate that. Well, let me clarify that. Fighter planes or the no-fly zone, there's a difference. Same. You think the same, okay. Cynthia, going to you. I know you have a list of things we've done thus far and things we're gonna do. Why don't you hit that list? Hey, first, I'd like to say that Biden today called Putin a war criminal. He did it. So it's been established that Putin is a bad guy, not just because we instigated it or he was threatened. Should you have said that? Let me break into that. Should you have said that? Is that gonna hamper future negotiations with Russia, be it nuclear arms reductions or any other kind of negotiations? Was that a bridge too far or was it appropriate for him to say it? I think it was appropriate, but it was done in a really odd way. It was sort of a question of a Fox News reporter and he didn't hear it quite right. And he said, no, the first time. And then, because she said, do you consider Vladimir Putin a war criminal? And he said, no. And then he stopped and turned around and said, wait a minute, did you say if he is a war criminal? Cause yes, I think he is a war criminal. He said those words and I- So he further clarified it and defined it. All right. I don't think it makes a difference in any kind of negotiations with Russia. Anything that Russia does right now is a lie. We have to just look at everything he does as projection. He's either accusing someone else of doing it and is about to do it or has already done it or he just designed to try to keep his people in Russia under his thumb, like Jay said, right? When they really know the truth about what's happening, I can't imagine that they are not gonna just write. Maybe you answered my question and maybe I didn't hear it. Was it appropriate for the President of the United States to call the leader of Russia a war criminal and how will that, if at all, hamper future interaction with Russia? I don't think it will hamper it. And I think he was right to call him that. He's not the first leader to do that. There's quite a few other leaders that have done the same thing. And so I think it's important that we label him that so that we can label what he's doing as criminal and not instigated, sorry, Karen, but definitely- But I have to say, to go back, we're war criminals too.  What if we killed over a million people in those countries but they don't seem to count somehow, I don't know, but Ukrainians all of a sudden count. So I think- Yeah, I like your, I'd like to check your fact on that. Okay, well, I don't, okay.  And that is the exact things that are in this next tranche of things that are going over to Ukraine. 800 Stinger anti-aircraft systems, 2,000 Javelins, 1,000 light anti-armor weapons, 6,000 A24 anti-armor systems, 100 tactical unmanned aerial systems. So he's sending drones, that's a very new, that's a good thing. That is new. Okay, let me hit that point. That is new. How is that different than providing jets? It's not defensive, I mean, it's defensive, not offensive. Providing the jets, I think, or putting the jets up in the air for the anti- and for the no-fly zone, that's all. No, I didn't say no-fly zone. I just said giving them jets so they can meet Russia in the air over sovereign airspace. Well, I have been the same like you, just ship some of those Ukrainian pilots to Germany, have them pick up those migs that got sent there from Poland. Well, Germany's a NATO country, that doesn't look good. But this is the thing, Poland didn't want it to be on them. They wanted it to be on the United States. So that's why they sent them to Germany first. Well, I go to the point that Germany's a NATO country, sent them to a non-NATO country, sent them to Argentina, sent them to Venezuela. I agree with you, and I think that's a great idea. And I don't understand why they can't get creative, like you said, to get those planes to these guys. But I know that for what they're saying anyway, and what's being put out there, is that these are defensive weapons, and those, the no-fly zone or the jets would be a defense, I mean, an offensive. So they don't want to do anything that's offensive, just defensive, which I don't quite understand. Where are the... When I hear, and I'm not picking on you, Cynthia, but it seems that the United States has allowed Putin to define the playing field, to define what is offensive, what is defensive, what's allowable, what's going to prompt him into a nuclear warning and it's saber-rattling. If you're a jet and you're bombing over a sovereign country, civilian targets, putting a jet up in the air is not offensive. It's defensive. Yeah, it has offensive capability. If it goes into Russian airspace and bomb Russian civilian targets, but to take a jet out of the air with your own jet, to stop them from indiscriminately killing, I'm not sure that's offensive.  And I think that those migs should have already been there. That it's like ridiculous that... Okay, that's what I'm trying to get at. I'm trying to figure out who thinks that the migs is inappropriate, appropriate. Who thinks the fly zone is appropriate or inappropriate? I got you on record. We don't get to tell them what to do or what to think, unfortunately. And so I'm just kind of saying what they think. I agree with you, Tim, completely. And let me finish this list because we got some more stuff on here. All right. 100 grenade launchers, 5,000 rifles, 1,000 pistols, 400 machine guns and 400 shotguns. Over 20 million rounds of small arms ammunition. Grenade launchers and mortar rounds, 25,000 sets of body armor and 25,000 helmets. Okay, here's the question. Is that enough? I don't think so. And also my question is, why the heck did it take us so long to be doing this? Why wasn't this stuff already on the ground in Ukraine? How long has he been there? What, 19 days, I think? So what's taken us so long? We did the approval. I wish I knew what day it was, though. We really don't know what's been delivered and not delivered. I mean, I don't think the news, there's a blackout on what exactly, where they're getting it and what they're getting. And I think it's appropriate that the news not know what they're getting and where they're getting it. Right. My biggest thing that I wonder why we're not doing it, maybe we are because it would have to be covert. But why don't, all those independent actors that were working in Afghanistan and all those soldiers for fortune guys, right?  Why can't we sneak people in there, dress them up like Ukrainians so they got more soldiers? I can't we do... Believe it or not, you're not gonna like this answer. It's against the Geneva Convention. Okay. For warfare. Well, okay, we can't do that then. Well, you know, I mean, believe it or not, and as horrid as the idea is, there are rules of warfare. Right. And all civilized countries allegedly adhere to the Geneva Convention. Allegedly. That's many, many decades ago. We already know that Putin is not keeping those Geneva Convention tenants. He's not doing any of that. I agree. That's why he's been labeled and defined as a war criminal. Absolutely. Okay, thank you, Cynthia. JTU, we're giving quite a bit of military aid, maybe not enough. What's the next step if Putin uses a chemical or biological weapon? Oh, fighter planes for sure. Okay. To me, that's the red line. I don't know if Joe Biden feels the same way, but when he steps it up to weapons of mass destruction, it's time to really get serious. And we should not allow one day to go by without bringing in fighter planes, including our own. That's so outrageous and so in violation of all the norms and all the conventions that he cannot be permitted to tolerate that. We cannot tolerate that.  He's a mass murderer. He gets off on slaughtering people by the thousands. We cannot let him do that. It's a moral question. You've heard the conversation with all the paneling, or the panel guests here. What's your reaction thus far?  Not just us, but all the cable news networks, they don't know, we don't know. I mean, I got an email from a retired Air Force officer mechanic a few days ago. And he said, you know, sending migs into Ukraine may not be the greatest thing because everybody assumes there's a lot of mig pilots in Ukraine, I'm not sure that's true. And they don't have ammunition. And what about fuel? And what about repair and maintenance? It's a pie in the sky kind of dream. It may not work. And have we thought, have we thought of the details? Not clear. So all of this is, and yes, it is provocative for sure. So that's really what drives me to say, let's do other things. Let's do those Patriot missiles. That's what I was trying to remember before. Patriot missiles, they're more powerful than stingers or javelins. And we only give the Ukrainians plenty of that. And as Cynthia said, drones are a good idea. But I would add to Cynthia's comments that drones can very easily be offensive weapons. They can act as spotters for artillery and for stingers and javelins and the like. And they can also be weapons. They can be loaded with explosives and fall down on a tank. There was something in the newspaper about this. What I'm saying though, is that we're not qualified. We're not qualified to say if it's too little, too much, what it is, what more should be. I'm satisfied that he's doing and spending what he needs to do and spend right now. And it's a fair approach. Let me go to you. We'll get Jay back here in a minute. Do you think the United States is doing an adequate job in this conflict? I know your position is to deescalate by cut back on military assistance. Other than military assistance, what can the United States do to aid the Ukrainians? Well, I think there needs to be a serious effort to go back to the bargaining table, including with the Ukrainian president and Putin and the US to try to resolve this in a way that doesn't just kill and escalate. OK, let me go there. What if Putin doesn't care about negotiations? He just shows up for the show and he continues to aggressively push forward. Then what? I guess you won't know unless you try, because calling him about what he's doing while they're at the negotiation table sees fires as a broken daily. And he continues to push forward while he's negotiating. What then? Because that's what's happening now. I think telling him a war criminal is a way to get him to the bargaining table. And I think the Biden's use of language against Putin all along, if he was seriously interested in resolving it diplomatically, has been atrocious. He started at the very beginning. I couldn't believe the things he would say about Russia if he seriously wanted to negotiate with them. I mean, you try to start at a neutral point with a competitor. You don't attack them and call them in. Yeah, that was the question I was trying to, I was asking Cynthia whether it was appropriate or not and was that a bridge too far? Why is that really inappropriate if his goal is to get to the bargaining table? If his goal is just to continue military operations following the Wolfowitz doctrine and dominate, then perfect thing to do. OK, thank you. Cynthia, same question. Well, I don't agree with Karen as far as the talks go.  And so I don't think that negotiations are working. I think that they're just a show and a distraction for what's really happening. The thing that I am the most worried about is here in America, what's going to happen if he starts using nuclear weapons? So are we ready for that? I don't hear any talk about getting us ready just in case because there's a big just in case sort of hanging out there. But I'm going to use Vladimir Zelensky's words instead of mine as far as what more could be done. This is what he said. Russia has attacked not just us, not just our land, not just our cities.  It threw tanks and planes against our freedom, our right to live freely in our own country, choosing our own future. Right now, the destiny of our country is being decided. And he says, and he makes a great example. This is all from his speech this morning. He says that he makes this explicit connection to the attacks on the United States at Pearl Harbor and 9-11. And he says, our country is experiencing those things every single day, which I thought was a really important point. So these are things that changed our world forever. And they only happened one time. These are happening every day to him, which I thought was really important. But he says, so he showed a video that shows the destruction of the cities. And anybody who saw it had to be crying. I was weeping. It was so powerful to see the visions, I mean, the visuals of what his country looked like before and what it looks like now. And it was just striking. And then he says it would bring, OK, Zalinsky noted that he's almost 44, 45 years old, but added, this is important. My age stopped when the heart of more than 100 children stopped beating. I see no sense in life if it cannot stop deaths. And he was referring to the children's hospital that got bombs that killed 100 children. All right. Thank you, Cynthia. Do anything and everything, that's my answer. Anything that we can do, we should do it now. We should have done it yesterday. OK, good. We've run out of time, so I'm going to go around the table for last comments or last thoughts. Jay, with you. It's sticking in my throat, Tim. I think Karen must be reading a different set of journals than I've been reading, because what I've been reading is universal over and over again, article after article after article for The Times and The Post, movie after movie, documentary after documentary, The Atlantic, The Guardian, and of course, Foreign Affairs.  Can I say that three times?  We've already tried. I wouldn't try for one second more. And as Cynthia says, it's no more, no less than a distraction and a waste of time. And really, Karen, I think I'd like to send you some sources. Maybe you should look at the sources. I've read a lot of academic journals about this. And most of them, if you read the academic journals, they support what I'm saying. OK. I'd like to have a conversation with you offline, but right now it really sticks in my throat. Here's the good news. What now, America, is not a spoon-fed show. We don't necessarily need agreement. I don't want agreement. And I like the fact that Jay disagrees with you, Karen. And Karen, you may disagree with Jay. That's what this show is all about. Whatever you claim, bring evidence to the table. That's good. Thank you, Jay. No, I'm not finished. I want to say what I said at the beginning. We are involved in a much larger issue than just the slaughter of people in Ukraine. We are involved in the future of Europe, not only Ukraine, but Europe and the world, great powers of the world, the powers of the world, the morality of the world. And to the point that Cynthia made a little while ago is that the American people have to understand that. They're only an inch away. They're an inch away in terms of Russia's cyber attacks, its weapons against us, its influence, its effect on the global economy. We can't take this lightly. And that's why I'm a lot further into finding a way to stop him one way or the other. He's got to be stopped. We cannot, we as human beings on the planet, we cannot sit around and watch commercials on TV while he is destroying the people in a country by the thousands every day. This is not acceptable. We cannot tolerate it. Thank you, Jay. Karen, either a response or your last thoughts. Well, one factor I want to consider is just the price that we may have to pay the blowback of these sanctions on us as Americans because we're already seeing it at the tank, the rising gas prices. We're going to see increasing inflation. Some say that we're going to start seeing the conditions similar to what they were before World War I, where Western Europe gets a lot of its gas and oil from Ukraine and Russia. So what will be the long-term effects on them? What will be the long-term effects of a lot of minerals they get from Russia for making computers and other things? So I think there is some blowback we need to think about. And also, do our sanctions affect the right people? Are they affecting the populace or just the ruling elite in Russia? Because hurting the populace, just like we did in Afghanistan, is not really where we basically put them in a famine situation. It's not really, to me, a good tactic, really. Thank you, Karen. Cynthia, you get the last word for the show today. Cool. First off, I think it's important to realize and know that right-wing media is still pushing Russian talking points. OAN and even Fox News has sort of backed off a little bit. But Newsmax and OAN are still completely spouting Russian talking points. And we have to remember too that China also was spouting the Russian talking points about the chemical weapons being made by America and Ukrainians in Ukraine. This is just a lie and a ruse for him to be able to start using his own chemical weapons, which are considerable. They said they got rid of them. But we have a scientist that came to our country that I want to say evacuated, but that's not the right word. But anyway, he came and he told us. In 1996, he told us that there are still lots and lots of weapons, chemical weapons, that they have stockpiled that they did not get rid of. And they have one lab that's still making them. And we know because of the Novichok stuff that he used on Navalny and the other guy I can't remember the other guy's name. But anyway, so he still, I mean, that Navalny's poisoning was just in 2020. So he's still actively using chemical weapons. We are ready for that. We have somehow get all the stuff to the Ukrainians that they're going to need in the face of a chemical attack. We're helping them with all this military, anti-tank, what are they going to do when the chemicals hit? Okay, we're going to have to leave it there. I'm sorry, but we really are out of time. We're going to have to leave it there. Cynthia, thank you so much for your comments. Karen, Karen Buzzard, thank you for your comments. Jay Fidel, like it or not, we're in a proxy war. The United States once again finds itself in a proxy war. And there always will be sides in this country about whether our measure of force in that proxy war is adequate or not adequate. And I invite anyone who's viewing this show to write in and discuss their feelings, email us at thinktechhawaii.com. We'd like to hear your comments about this show and anything said on this show. And until then, join us next week on Wednesday at 11 o'clock for What Now America. I'm Tim Appichelle, your host, and we'll see you then. Thank you so much for watching Think Tech Hawaii. If you like what we do, please like us and click the subscribe button on YouTube and the follow button on Vimeo. You can also follow us on Facebook, Instagram, Twitter and LinkedIn and donate to us at thinktechhawaii.com. Mahalo.


What's up everybody, I'm TheMangoose, you are awesome, and today I'm going to bring you my first impressions of the predecessor alpha. Up front I need to remind you that this is an alpha, not the game, but a development tool used by Omega Studios to create the game. As such, it's incomplete and buggy, I'm not going to point out that the scoreboard doesn't work or the minimap isn't functional, they know that, it's something they'll work on and implement without me having to say anything. Also, I should point out that while I'm going to be very critical of some things in the game, its constructive criticism aimed at letting Omega know that there are some things that need some change. Bottom line up front, this game isn't as polished as I expected, there is a lot of work that needs to be done, but it's off to a great start and is an absolute blast to play. Really well done by Omega Studios. Before I get into any of this, yes, the footsteps are way too loud. I know Omega wants to focus on correcting bugs and gameplay issues first and foremost, but for real man, those jackboots gotta go. I'm trying to look for bugs and exploits, but I'm having constant parasile and flashbacks of final drill competition. The rest of the sounds are great so far, several in particular has some B sound effects, but you only really notice them because old tall, dark and scary doesn't have feet. Now on to the gameplay, the game is fun. I've been having an absolute blast playing it, it feels great to get back into Agora.  I found that old strats actually worked and they felt really good. In this clip where I was playing Gadget, I was able to bully the opposing Gadget out of lane, take out the tower, then let my boy Sockap know I was rotating to safe lane. We ended up pulling off his successful gank on the enemy Muriel. However, right now there is some slight input lag. Added to that, I was on an EU server for this match so you can see where we chased this Murdoch down forever without landing a single basic attack. I can't hit him with anything. I think you got the kill so that's good. I mean I'm not the best player ever but I'm better than that. So that's the first thing I think they need to address. Nearly every one I've talked to has expressed that they have the same problem, about .5 seconds of input lag before a basic attack or ability goes off. Until that gets hashed out, it's going to be a little difficult to test the game well. Everything seems slightly unresponsive. The next critique I have is melee hit ranges. I played quite a bit of Fingmao in Paragon so I was fully expecting that his actual range would not match the visual range. Back in Paragon, the strike wouldn't happen at the tip of his Naginata, it was more towards where the blade started. You could watch your blade sweep through someone without it registering the hit. In predecessor it's the same thing, however it's much closer than that. I feel like I need to be inviting distance of a target for the hit to register. There are also some issues with reaping dash as well as Severog's Phantom Rush. You don't go where you think you're going sometimes and that's a bit frustrating. Range heroes seem spot on, however with the input lag it's difficult to hit your basics. You really need to lead your target and hope that they don't change directions. I had a terrible time trying to land a Serenity with Muriel. I do like that they changed it from a slow to a short knock up and her ultimate is done really well. Once you activate it you get a selection screen showing each hero with appropriate number keys allowing you to forgo the targeting system and simply reversal straight to wherever you want. Murdock is of course 1000% more fun in predecessor than he was in Paragon since he has active abilities. I had the most fun with Gadget. The radius of her mind seemed a little off and the mind itself will sometimes slip under the map but overall the targeting of her abilities seemed very natural. Playing Gadget in predecessor felt exactly like playing Legacy Gadget. The AI functions well, the minions properly retarget an enemy if they shoot you. The towers will also switch to enemies if they shoot you while you're under the tower. The minions look great and the towers look absolutely beautiful. Definitely an upgrade from Paragon's towers. The minions do sometimes have pathing issues though. That's to be expected I think.  The map is beautiful. Fringe really knocked it out of the park. The design is done really well. The jungle camps are arranged in a way that makes sense. It's very clear where safe and offlane are and there are several branching paths, access points and vertical pathways. The jump pad from one side of the jungle to the other is fun as hell however I don't think it currently serves much of a purpose. You have to climb quite a ways to get to it and it's almost just as fast to simply walk across the lane. The time it takes to rotate between the lanes seems spot on and it feels appropriately dangerous if you take the most direct route. The card system was really good. The activatable cards don't work yet, it's a known bug but the system itself works well. The stats are all fairly basic at this point. They'll add more interesting things once they have more data. I found myself having to make the decision of do I get this lesser card now or save up a bit for a more powerful card. I think that's the essence of a good item system forcing you to make that kind of decision. All in all the game is very impressive and fun. There are of course quite a few bugs to work out and honestly it isn't as polished as I expected it to be. I personally will not be live streaming the game anymore in its current state and I think Omid probably should have released the initial closed alpha under an NDA as many people will get the wrong impression from the gameplay. I will say this though, the most recent closed alpha I played was for a spell break and I think predecessor is actually in a far better state than that game was when I first played it. So I think the game is off to a great start but it is just a start. There are many things that need to be fixed or adjusted in the very near future. Before I go I want to let you guys know that there have been at least one alpha key giveaway in the predecessor discord so make sure you're in there discord and keeping tabs on it. Also if you saw my live stream of the game that was actually the very first closed alpha game of predecessor to be played and since I scored the first kill of that game, first first first blood goes to man goose. By the way I know that means absolutely nothing.


setting a date for a start of an event or program or group. I often hear clients say, I'm gonna do something a month from now, a set of date. And then they start working on, okay, then I have to do this for the launch, I have to do that for the announcement, blah, blah, blah. And I don't think it, I mean, and oftentimes actually, it works out that, oh, and then they have to, there's some family to take care of or some other job thing or work thing or something else to take care of. And then by the time the date they had set, it's already too close to announce something and to do other logistics. And so really before you set a date, like the most, okay, yes, you might say, well, I wanna, the event has to happen for, I would like the event to happen four weeks from now. Well, the very next date you should set in your plan is when do I announce the event for the first time? Yeah, that's the next date. When do I announce the event for the first time that the world is hearing about the event or the group or the offer? And then it's, so those are the two dates you need to set. The date at the start of the group or event or offer or workshop or program. And the second date you have to set is when does the world hear about it for the first time, like I'm announcing it, I'm really letting everyone know you can sign up now. Yes, you can sign up now. The sign up announcement date, those two dates are essential. And then in the middle between those two, you might have reminders, reminder announcements and some last minute preparations and preparing the content of the workshop or the group or whatever, those in between these two dates. But once you set these two dates, now you know this date's more important. This date is the start of the group or the workshop or the program. This date is more important because this is the date of the announcement of the sign up page or the sign up process for the world, for your group, for your community, for your audience, email us, whatever. So not knowing this date now, you now have to understand, well, what do I need to do before this date for me to get ready? And therefore, am I prepared for that? So again, this is the start of the workshop or the group. This is the sign up page announcement, meaning people can sign up now for the first time they're hearing about it. And this is where you are now. Sorry, I wish I had three hands, but this is the moment currently in time right now. And so between this, sorry, okay, this is the sign up announcement between the current moment in time and the sign up page announcement, are you clear what is needed to be done? And no, you don't need to send an email, you haven't sent an email to your newsletter in six months, 12 months, three months, you don't need to warm them up. This is so key, okay? The only thing people are always so guilty, oh, I haven't blogged, I haven't posted content, I haven't sent email newsletter. And so I can't announce the thing because I have to warm them up and like, oh, I'm here and this is what, no.  The first time they hear from you after a long period of silence can be, I'm excited to announce this workshop. Did you know that? People are so guilty, oh, I got to post five times before George says 80, 20 rule, post eight, four content things before I know, that's if you were consistent, okay? But anyway, if you're not, don't feel guilty, don't feel bad.  Here is my next workshop. I hope you like it. Please ask me any questions, first time they ever heard from you. Elvis is still alive, he has a workshop now, okay? All right, so that's the, so anyway, that's the real planning that needs to happen is from now to the first signup page announcement, what do I need to do? Just to get the logistics right, I got to create the signup page, the email they get after signing up, is that clear when the Zoom link and when the call is in different time zones, whatever, you need to, that's really only you need to do, you only need to sign a page or somehow they need to let you know they want to join the group or the workshop, and then once they sign up, you have their email address, how do you follow up? Hopefully you have some automated process, they sign up and they get the confirmation email, and then you have to set up the reminder emails, right? And then you have to think about, you ought to remind the audience to sign up, between the first announcement and the start of the program. So that's it, that's all you got to do. So I hope this is helpful for all of you who are thinking, I would like to, but I haven't done this, I've no, you just have to tell people how to sign up and how to join. And a great question follow up here is, well, but will anyone see it? The algorithms, social media algorithms, I've been gone for a year, two years, two months, anyone see it in my announcement?  They encourage it. Have you noticed when you post something after two months or a month or weeks of silence and you post something or months of silence, they suddenly show it to a lot more people than if you were posting regularly. Did you know that? Yeah, it's true. So now your audience might not be big. So maybe if you post regularly, you get two likes because maybe 10 people are seeing it regularly. You have a tiny, tiny audience. You know, 20 people are seeing it regularly and you get two likes. When you go away for a while, weeks or months, I don't know what the algorithm says because no one, they won't tell us, right? It's secret, otherwise people would do this exact rhythm. But after you've gone a while away for a while and you post again, instead of 20 people seeing it, let's say you have a tiny audience, now it's gonna be at least those 20 people see it, but maybe 30 or 40 people will see it. Again, they don't tell us the exact numbers, but that's, I'd noticed how it works. That's certainly how it works on Facebook and probably LinkedIn as well and probably Instagram as well. Facebook and Instagram, similar algorithm. So anyway, hope that helps.