This is covering the spread here are your hosts Jim sawness and dr. Ed Fang What is going on everybody welcome on into covering the spread? That's right here on the fan dual podcast network and number fire comm as we are once again getting you said for Super Bowl 54 between the chiefs and the 49ers today Talking with dr. Eric Higa a pro football focus. He is down in Miami We're gonna get his thoughts on this game and where he is leaning for the chiefs and the 49ers My name is Jim sawness. I am a senior writer and analyst for number fire comm joined here as always by Ed Fang you can find his work over at the power rank comm and find Ed on Twitter at the power rank Ed Super Bowl coming up on Sunday. How you doing? I'm doing great Still looking forward to the game just like yesterday There are some podcasts that do five podcasts in a weekly of Super Bowl. I don't think I could do that partly because like by this time of year were probably a little burned out, but also like Yeah, there's a lot. I Agree with that. I actually thought about breaking my Super Bowl preview up into like four or five little episodes I decided not to just because I felt like it flowed a little bit too well the way I had it into one one thing but you know for me like During the regular season, I never get into one game quite this much So it's fun to you know dive into the personnel a little bit more It's fun to think about some of these Props in in the game stuff that just doesn't happen for any single regular season game Yeah, so it's just a little bit a little bit at a different over process and you know the People want to hear about it this week So, you know, let's give them what they want and it's a lot slower process Which I think is a good thing because you have more time to actually like diagnose the intervals of matchups We're gonna talk about with Dr. Eric eager and just a bit, but he is down in Miami as mentioned and I Think that's like a That's like a goal like if I could so like a bucket list thing if I could sometime be at the Super Bowl I don't care if it's like there To like talk at all I just want to like be around the atmosphere in the Super Bowl because like in other events when you're around That fun energy, right? It's it's hard to parallel that like one time I've been at anything close to that was Playoff game a Minnesota twins playoff game back when I was like in high school middle school, maybe I was Game where Tory Hunter like overdo the ball in center field and the A's had inside the park home Ron is a really bad game if you were a twins fan But like just that energy of the atmosphere is so cool, and I think it's it's awesome that Eric's down there Yeah, absolutely. I think The energy is is really awesome and just you know, it's kind of like going this You know for me going to the Sloan every year where you kind of have that energy of being around all the GM's and and Yeah, it's very cool. It's a lot of football talk I'd that would also be a lot of fun. This is our second Super Bowl podcast I guess second and a half maybe we did talk about with the whale capper last week Find him on Twitter at whale underscore capper to get his thoughts a couple thoughts in Super Bowl 54 We had JJ Zacharyson of number fire and Fanduul on yesterday to break down some player prop beds to get both the whale capper And the JJ podcast make sure you search for covering the spread wherever you get your podcast whether that be Apple podcast Spotify Stitcher the Google Play Store you can find us there and if you're listening on Apple podcast Please feel free to give us a rating and review as well because those do help us out a ton Dr. Eric eager you can find him on Twitter at pff underscore Eric He is a data scientist for pro football focus and the co-host of the pff forecast podcast We're gonna preview Super Bowl 54 with him from Miami right now Covering the present Let's bring dr. Eric eager back into covering the spread once again to break down Super Bowl 54 And he is coming to us from Miami Eric How are things going down there at the site of Super Bowl 54? Well, it's you know living in Cincinnati growing up in Minnesota. It's never this warm there, right? There's people everywhere. It's a little overwhelming, but it's a lot of fun I think I just I walked I told you guys I walked by Barry Sanders on the way here And I interestingly I was huge Stan growing you know growing up and then I found out that running backs don't matter So it's a little conflicting morally for me But yeah, it's a lot of fun Say one what did Barry say when you told him that running backs don't matter Well, I I didn't actually say hi to him otherwise You know he still looks like he could play a little bit so I didn't want to you know infuse anything I remember my brush with that was when the Vikings drafted Adrian Peterson I was like I think I was either in middle school or early high school and I texted my dad And I was like I'm gonna watch every Vikings game now cuz I wasn't a Vikings fan But like and now I'm like oh, you know that actually didn't matter all the pretty good player But you know didn't matter all that much, but I mean it's pretty cool. You're down there What's the atmosphere been like the first couple of days? You know, it's been great And I think one of the cool things so we have four or five six people down here giving interviews and doing stuff And and you know We used to be a group that was you know met with a lot of skepticism Analytics met with a lot of skepticism and now people do want to hear about you know how you know Kyle Shanahan, you know runs his offense and how he does it optimally and Pat Mahomes to Andy Reed and and even another Ravens Right, even though they lost in the divisional round like why were they you know? Why are they like now gonna be a mainstay at the elite part of the AFC? And so like it's just fun because the league like is evolving to the point where somebody you know People like us are welcome down here and we can chat with people about the game and there are perspectives value And I don't want to like out you here But I think you're pretty public about the fact you're a cheese fan and we can mention that here I think because we know you're good enough analysts to Analyze things objectively, but as like a cheese fan, you know, it's been a while obviously 50 years since they've been to the Super Bowl So does that kind of change the experience for you knowing that you're gonna like get to see your team in this game? Yeah, I mean I went to the AFC title game two weeks ago and the funniest thing And so I was in I went as a part of a radio station I do hits for and the people in the booth like I'm you know 34 years old I've only really been a cheese fan for 10 years or so Yeah So like I don't have the the scars that these folks have but like the amount of time that people just like said Finally like there were tense like I met a guy who was a radio show host of different stations Like hey, sorry, I didn't say hi to you at the game I was just so nervous the whole time I was like, you know like being kind of being working in football, you know being a fan But being a little bit detached you don't necessarily get as much of that right and so So for me, I am like I was more nervous about the AFC title game than I am about this game I think if they lose to the 49ers they would have been beaten by a you know for me a Viable opponent, but it is sort of it adds a little bit of fun for sure Absolutely So Eric, let's get into the game Patrick Mahomes is looked awesome this season, especially in the postseason and What is your take on whether the 49ers defense can keep them in check? Well, you know in this game is going to be about who can get two or three stops It's not going to be about shutting down the other team and so, you know from that perspective I think the only team in the NFL this postseason that's been able to stop Kansas City has been themselves Maybe we've seen the the two drops early in the game against Houston last week Yeah, the Kelsey drop on the first drive and then the drop by Tyreek Hill on the first drive of the second half You know most of the time their receivers are getting open most of the time Mahomes He didn't have a negatively graded throw last week Yeah, he has only 4% of his throws were negatively graded postseason So, you know the Niners are gonna have to do quite a bit and hope you know the chiefs stop being so efficient offensively in order for them to like, you know, I mean if they only score in the Low 20s, I do think they win 49ers so, you know, how do you get those three four stops you need? I think that they're gonna have to cover on the back end and then make the homes hold on do it a little longer And then the the pass rushers have to be disciplined uses past rushers in Tennessee's morning We saw Mahomes make plays of this leg as a result. So you said 4% negatively graded throws What's like the context on that like what's league average for that number if he said 4%? 15% And and Mahomes Mahomes when he spent the first probably 10 weeks of the year hurt He was at about 15% so his his floor is basically league average in terms of limiting negative plays And then since then he's been, you know, I believe it's like 8% since their bi-week So he's just been, you know really efficient like just being accurate, right? And the thing out of Texas tech for him was always like he was a while He was a gunslinger and fret-farve all that kind of stuff But missed as many throws as he made it made and to probably Andy Reed's credit That simply hasn't been the case last season He was at 9 9% negatively graded throws or 9.5% in this year He finished somewhere around like 11 or 12 over the whole course of the season So he's just a very efficient football player in terms of getting the ball in his player playmaker's hands So Eric, I want to ask you about maybe what exactly Andy Reed does I saw your tweet about his, you know, his less negative negatively graded throws I've done some work. Basically Andy Reed's team's interception rate have been below average All but three of his 21 seasons All of them happened in Philadelphia Hasn't had a season above the NFL pick rate in Kansas City Any sense for what Andy Reed is doing? Yeah, and you get the the offshoots of that are great, right? Because the Chiefs defense, for example, has not been a talented group for like three, four years And they're still winning 60, 70% of the games And so I went back and looked at starting field position for an opponent And Andy Reed has been better than all but one team over the past few years and that's New England So like, not throwing interceptions is just one of many things he does to put The rest of his team in a position to succeed even when they're weak And that to me is like Andy Reed Andy Reed, you know, when you win 65, 70% of your starts with Alex Smith You're just putting him in a position to succeed And the most the thing that I wanted like the the thing about Reed to me that That demonstrates his brilliance more than anything was in 2016 They were 12 and four, they were two seed in the AFC Alex Smith other than Sam Bradford are the lowest average of the target in the league They knew they had to be more explosive on offense So they go and draft Patrick Mahomes with the 10th overall pick They used three picks to go up and get him And Saddam is first year But instead of playing Alex Smith's offense He prepared a new offense for Patrick Mahomes with Alex Smith Average of the target his last year in Kansas City was was a half a yard bigger Than the previous season he won the passing the passer rating title So like to me he's not only been grooming this position for Patrick Mahomes For some while he's been in the you know in the league But he groomed it for him when he was you know having him sit on the bench for a year And it's just to me just terrific core site Terrific just creating an environment for Mahomes who has all the gifts in the world But you know wasn't as productive at Texas Tech as you know some of these other quarterbacks And we've seen the results Yeah, and I think the incredible thing about that Alex Smith offense was that He was so efficient on deep balls And you know that's not even like you know He he was never that talented in throwing deep But all of a sudden once he gets Andy Reed, Tyree Kill and Travis Kelsey The efficiency is there too And it just kind of it showed you the upside of that offense If you were able to get someone who objectively had better talent in there And that's exactly what they'd done Absolutely and then you've even looked at how this has evolved If we look at the San Francisco offense They're a very some up in the passing game They're very similar to what the Chiefs were during the early Smith years Where Kelsey's leading the league in the act for a tight end Tyree kills a low a dot player just like Devo Samuel has been And then you look at you know, and then you look at the low a dot of Jimmy grapple He's the lowest in the league, you know Smith was second lowest in 2016 So there's a really fun parallel there Reed has evolved his offense away from what San Francisco is doing in the passing game Whereas Shanahan, you know with grapple kind of in Alex Smithy and type player I think he's a little bit maybe has more potential But like you know succeeding just the way that Reed did with Smith Yeah, it's really interesting the parallels Between both teams for a lot of turn factors for this week Now let's talk about the other side of the ball here Because the Chiefs able to put the clamps on Derek Henry in the ASA championship But Kyle Shanahan's schemes in the running game Are next level from pretty much anyone So do you think this 49ers ground game will continue to be as successful as it was Those first two postseason games or can the Chiefs kind of turn the ties here a bit? Yeah, so so the Niners running game is 14th this year in success rate Which I think a lot of us will pull back and say well that seems kind of low I mean they're a very good run team And and that's like I think the point to beating them they are explosive There's six in EPA per run play But they're they're 14th in success rate Which means they get stopped on first and second down Relatively frequently for a team that's as efficient as they are running the football That has to be it for the Chiefs And the thing that that Kansas City has done so well to improve themselves is they tackle better Right, so you know both of these defenses are lower in the league standings In success rate than they are in EPA allowed Which means again they're giving up some successful plays that don't turn into big plays I think for Kansas City to succeed both in past defense and in run defense They have to kind of do that they have to tackle You know Derek Henry had a decent number of four-yard gains against them He didn't have that many 15-yard gains against them And that I think really helped them sort of like maintain you know sort of efficiency on defense Yeah, absolutely. So you also wrote this week about the improvement in the Chiefs past defense When Jimmy G does have to air it out who do you think has the edge there? Well, I think the 49ers still do obviously with scheme and with talent I you know great so you take Kelsey or sorry Kittle and you take Matthew to elite players of the position I always think when that matchup happens the offensive player has an advantage So like in in that you know in that matchup, it's probably going to be George Kittle getting his and you know Deebo Samuel is you know pretty good And even while the Chiefs second area I think is really good as a unit They're not as talented player for players So, you know, I think they're improved and the name of the game And again, this is always fun because we think about historic Super Bowl defenses about being a shutdown defense The goal for the Chiefs on Sunday is to get two or three stops Like that's it. That's all they have to do And and we saw that with ten in the Tennessee game They score to go down 1714 Tennessee runs the ball in first down Get stopped for a yard runs the ball in second now get stopped for a yard And then Tennessee goes, you know goes in the pre-vend and runs a screen And the game's over I think by that time right like you did once my home's got the ball You know and a score would put them in the lead and that to me is the thing So, you know, make Garoppolo play from the ordinary situations Force, you know, inefficient first and second downs And then cover and tackle right cover and tackle low ADAP plays on third and long As long as you tackle you're going to have you're going to get a stop or two Excellent and then and then also do you think the Chiefs defense is going to miss one Thornhill I've been looking at his cover grades all week They're good Yeah, and they're very good for Thornhill Sorenson's come in a little bit it looks like a little bit of a downgrade Or torn into the scouting of you guys does that open up in your opportunities for the Niners Absolutely, but one thing that Spagnola has done a great job with when they signed Matthew He was going to be their deep safety like a Earl Thomas type And, you know, traditionally in his career he's played in the slot, you know, Houston and also Arizona And so, you know, Kendall Fuller was playing the slot He was the main main piece of the Alex Smith trade Since Fuller's come back from injury he's played in the deep safety role Sorenson's kind of played down in the box and then Matthew has played in the slot So it sort of moved around the chairs a little bit To where it's not a it's not a direct Sorenson for Thornhill replacement Sorenson was already playing a lot as a linebacker in the dime And things like that at nickel and and so, you know, he's kind of still playing that role It's Kendall Fuller who's a converted corner playing that deep position I think he's done a pretty good job at it It's really impressive to change your scheme on the run Which is kind of what they've done because Thornhill was down late in the year And to be able to change that as you're making a playoff run Is pretty wild and I think it says a lot about Steve Spagnolo And I think they're like, we kind of glossed over that move in the off season Because, you know, as oh, they kind of had to make the change After what happened in the AC Championship game But it has made a major difference And I feel like we've kind of overlooked it, I guess Yeah, I mean the the last AC Championship game The Patriots were able to throw the ball in 2.23 seconds per throw And all of their first reads more or less were available to them And now, you know, the Chiefs not only forced quarterbacks to their second read relatively frequently But they're a top 10 team in the NFL in terms of expected points added on the first read So they're simply just covering that first look that the other quarterback has Better than they did a season ago And it's crazy because their personnel other than Matthew And Thornhill have not been, I mean, Basha Breeland's a replacement level Corner and Charvarius Ward was an undrafted player That they were able to acquire from Dallas a season ago And he played the ASG title again as a starter So it's really sort of a fun look at sort of how much the coordinator matters in defense Absolutely Now Eric, you're down there in Miami, you've been talking a lot I'm sure throughout this week and talking about a lot of different players And you've been talking to different media members, you know, like us Who are asking you questions Who is one player not getting enough talk right now Who has the potential to really skew things here from a betting perspective From a betting perspective, that's great So to me, it's like, to me, it's who that tertiary chief receiver is Because I think the sharp play, you know, when you're looking at totals Is to stay away from Kelsey, stay away from Hill Because every single game, it's one or two of them So you look at like the passing map from a home to the Houston game And it was all Kelsey in that middle strip, that 10 to 19 And then he almost completely avoided that against Tennessee He went deep to walk and he went underneath to everybody else And so like it's sort of hard to It's sort of like with a Patriots running back It's sort of hard to know who they're going to incorporate But if you look at like the second year, Nicole Hardman's of the world The Demarcus Robinson's of the world And the Sammy Watkins of the world Like there's I think some betting angles there that matter a lot And to me, it all starts with Nicole Hardman He out snapped Demarcus Robinson last week I believe for the first time in a while Robinson has been going down I think he's like a good candidate for an over, Robinson and under And then with Watkins, you just basically have to bite the bullet And bet his under every single game Like because there's going to be games like last week Where you're just like, oh crap, you know, like he gets you, right But then the other 10 out of every 15 games He's going to go under that total by a country mile, right So from the betting perspective, I think it's Hardman I think he does chip away a little bit at the targets Of the secondary receivers for Kansas City Yeah, pro football focus had Hardman As running 22 routes last week Which is the most he has run this year In a game where Tyree Kill was healthy So I am very much interested in a Nicole Hardman as well That speed too is pretty lethal So we've seen the total in this game kind of go up It's 54 and a half right now It opened up at 52 and a half It's been pretty steady at 54 and a half for a while now Do you think that number has moved too far Or do you think that upward movement is appropriate? Yeah, I think our number for the game is 54.4 So it's basically been where it's had to be So I've taken a few overs Specifically like early on when the big market moves The secondary markets are slower to move So you can get the team like that Kansas City Chiefs team total 27 was available on Sunday night It's morning morning at minus 110 Now it's 27 and a half like minus 130 minus 140 So you look at some of those You're like those have moved quite drastically I think if this thing gets to 56 With that being it's hard to say in the NFL But a key number being eight touchdowns or so Then the unders in play I think right now you just sort of leave it where it is You think your star is that you got 52 and a half Earlier in the week and you move on But to me I think it's actually in the right spot Because if you go through the game states There's not a ton of game states Where both teams score relatively few points Interesting And how about the side We have the Chiefs at minus one and a half At Fandil Sportsbook What's your number and any opinions on that? Yeah, I have them basically minus 0.6 So if you're inclined to Obviously being a Chiefs fan I don't know if I want to bet San Francisco But I do think if you're going to I do think San Francisco is maybe a little bit undervalued At the same time like It's basically a pick the winner situation I've looked back at a few other Super Bowls Last year I mean you get some dead numbers And they're sort of enticing you just to kind of They're enticing you into bad bets at this point Because of the wisdom and the crowds and everything So basically if you look at this number It's sort of irrelevant You just pick who you think will win And generally speaking that will be the right side Yeah, absolutely It should be a pretty fun game Any other numbers that stand out to you We got a lot of markets Tender for the Super Bow Any ones that stand out to you as being profitable Yeah, so we put out a few this week So I like the Watkins unders I think Watkins if you can get him Like I saw somewhere I think was this Superbook had him as under four and a half perceptions I think that's a pretty good play These vary so much But if you can get Watkins under You know, let's say 67 and a half Is I think where his yardage total was I think at Vanduul it's maybe a little bit higher But another one a couple ones Like so this is specifically from you guys I like you know Devo Samuel 54 and a half That's a probably an over if you like that And then I you know hold your nose and mostured under 77 and a half Even though it's minus 124 you guys are at It's it's me I think like they they want to be multiple At the running back position And the and the sort of likelihood That they're going to give him all the carries again It's pretty well Yeah, we had JJ Zachary So not yesterday to talk about props And he also said mostured under 77 and a half It seems like Coleman's trending towards playing so And they've never really given one Dude all the carries when they've had A full compliment of guys So it seems to bode well for mostured under Especially if you think that the chiefs wind up Putting up a pretty good number It's harder to see mostured hitting that number Well that and yeah So the tricky part is that Burrida had the fumble issues Late in the season and against the Vikings So if they're if he and most were the only two available backs There is a chance that he would just go straight with mostured Just because of a lack of trust But historically he's always wanted to play two backs Even all the way back to the Atlanta days Yep All right, that is Dr. Eric Eager A pro football focus you can find His podcast as well PFF forecast All the good stuff from down in Miami Eric Want to thank you for carving out some time for us During I'm sure what is a busy week We really do appreciate it Good luck Enjoy the game And hopefully we'll talk to you again soon Hey guys thanks for having me on This is a fun podcast to follow along with All season You guys have done a great job Thank you so much We appreciate it and have fun See you guys Covering the future One final big thank you to Dr. Eric Eager For swinging by for today again Find him on Twitter at pff underscore Eric And make sure you check out his podcast The pff forecast podcast And if you're looking to place a bet on the big game But aren't sure which team will win yet Fandall has you covered Simply place a bet of at least $25 On an anytime touchdown scorer prop For this for the big game And receive a $1 bonus and site credit For every point scored Buy your player selected team up to $25 It is that easy For more details This is sportsbookdaffandall.com Must be 21 years old Gambling problem Call 1-800-Gambler And one thing that Eric touched on there Ed was Raheem Mostert And the under on his rushing prop At 77 and a half That's something that JJ talked about yesterday And just kind of exploiting recency bias And you know you're not going to find Much more recency bias than on a guy Who just went off for four touchdowns In like 200 yards Yeah absolutely And I really respect both JJ and Eric And you know I think when The Super Bowl is obviously a very public Betting event There's people that don't bet a lot That are going to come in and like Oh hey Look what Mostert did last week And keep that number really high And I think that's going to be related Actually I don't think I know that's going to be related To what I'm going to talk about And covering the future as well Just got to remember It's a really public Betting event The Super Bowl And you know It's good to It's good to fade the public And people who just get too excited about things That makes me very nervous Because I bet the chiefs And the public money is on the chiefs So we'll see We'll see how that one goes We'll get to the cover in the future In just one second But first Fandall continues to give you More ways to win this time With its big game props pick'em contest Log into your Fandall Or Fandall's sports book account And answer 15 questions on the chiefs match But the 49ers And if you get at least 12 questions Right You will earn $100 But if you get all 15 questions correct You'll earn $15,000 And the best part is It's completely free to play Seriously To enter visit fandall.com Or sportsbook.fandall.com Eligibility restrictions apply Let's move now into covering the future And Ed You said you wanted to exploit the public When it comes to an event like this That is very heavily bet on by the public Where do you find an edge When you're looking at the props available For Super Bowl 54? Yeah, I mean I think in general The idea is you want to To fade the public You know the public is going to be excited They're going to bet things like the over They're going to bet you know over like yards And just for things to happen And as Gila Alexander likes to say You know when you're going like taking it under You're betting against humanity And essentially you're kind of betting Against humanity here And Rufus Peabody has talked about this a lot He's big on betting Super Bowl props And he every year is cheering for The most boring game possible So essentially just what we got last year Last year You know you can kind of hear him counting his money last year Is like the defenses of the Rams And the Patriots were dominating that game So anyways I wanted to put a little data Behind one of them Let's just look at safeties So safeties are pretty random Pretty rare as they come into games When you look at the data over the last five Regular seasons There's been about 15.6 safeties on average Per season And so when you work that out per game That means there's about a six percent chance For a safety in a game And it probably could be less Because it was a possibility That two of those safeties could happen in a single game So that essentially means that There's about a 90 At least the 94 percent chance That there's no safety in this game So this is something that you should look for That's the number that data says Over the last five regular seasons You're not going to You don't want to bet this at a sharp book Like Fandall Because I think it was minus 2,200 And if you work out the math There's no value in there But if you can get a lower number You know betting against safety Is something that you might be interested in I'm almost certain that a sharp like Rufus Peabody Is making these types of bets as well So that's the number driven by the data I think it's I also talked about Using data and numbers where randomness is really The primary driving force The counter example is like Whether the first play is going to be a run or a pass There's less randomness in that Because that's something in the mind of a coach Based on personnel or whatever he's looking at Safety, no one's scheming for a safety A lot of it has to be a confluence of factors So I do think this is something That randomness is going to play a role The number is there's probably about 94 percent chance Or more that there's no safety And use that to look at your sports book Or shop around for the safety problem What would the number need to be For you to bet on there being a safety If there happened to be a book that was a little bit more A little more frisky with the safeties Would you need that to be closer to like Seven or eight percent for you to find value in it Or where these two offenses push you away I mean you know I'm betting against humanity Jim So I mean I'm gonna go with a no I mean obviously there is a yes bet too But no I mean it's just I think it's an example of just the way The betting works with the Super Bowl And what sharps are taking Just like JJ and Eric Eger are telling us Go under Raheem Moser and there's very good reasons for that And I think there's a lot of reasons So you were talking about the value of rooting for a bad game I am going to root for a good game here And go for the over on the cheese point total At 27 and a half because I do like the spread here with the cheese Slaying one and a half But you can get that a better number It's some other books There's also a pretty good amount of juice on One and a half it's minus 115 right now So the number I feel best about Is the cheese getting over 27 and a half points individually Now I should mention that there's pretty heavy juice here too It's minus 122 So again do some price shopping See what number you can get But this is my favorite market for this specific game It's a pretty fair number It's a number I think the chiefs should hit here Because the big question with them Is the match up with the 49ers defense Because they're the second best pass defense in football Based on our metrics at number fire And those were good numbers Even though they played basically half the season Without Quan Alexander and D4 But Patrick Mahomes this year was Unreal against top level competition He had three games against top 10 pass defenses Small sample but he added 0.34 Passing net expected points per drop back Which is a full tenth of a point better Than any other quarterback With at least 100 drop backs in those scenarios Matthew Stafford with second and 0.24 Mahomes was an outlier in the most positive sense And two of those three games he played Against top 10 pass defenses were on the road One of them was against the Patriots Where he heard his hand early in that game And still played pretty well throughout that one Now it's a neutral site Pretty tasty spot there for the chiefs Now the chiefs have failed to score at least 28 points In nine games this year if you count the playoffs Mahomes though didn't play in two of those games Two others were blowouts over the Bears And I believe the Broncos was the other one Where the opponents scored just three total points They didn't have to do much there But the 49ers aren't going to score just three points They're going to force the chiefs To keep the foot on the pedal here At least a little bit And I would expect that the chiefs Should play pretty well there If we look at the non-blowouts in which Mahomes played They scored at least 28 points 10 out of 15 times And given that I expect this game to be competitive They're going to score points And with how good Mahomes has been Even against good defenses I expect them to get there So again I don't mind the spread I think minus one and a half is fair I like it better at one obviously But I think that that's an okay number I feel a lot better about the over on their point total At 27 and a half So if I had to pick one number to bet For Super Bowl 54 I would go with the over on that point total At 27 and a half even though there is Minus 122 on that over at FanDuel Sportsbook And you talked about the spread Being fairly efficient yesterday Any leans for you on the individual team totals The 49ers are I believe at 26 right now Any feel for you on either their total Or the chief's total? Yeah I do think if any of them I like chiefs over their win total And I think the idea is that The ceiling for the chief's offense Is higher than the ceiling for the San Francisco's defense And that's nothing against San Francisco's defense They're a great unit They proved it all year Patrick Mahomes hasn't just been great recently He's been great over two years as a starter And they got a lot of guys healthy And on many parts of that offense He's got a lot of weapons There's a lot of speed And you know they do simple things Like throw a lot on first down So of any of those I think I would go With that matchup If you want to bet the 49ers Their team total right now is 27 With minus 116 on the under So a little bit higher actually Yeah that would be just Also interesting I think that number is I think that over is a little bit interesting too A lot of respect for San Francisco's offense They've been pretty good all year Actually better passing success rate Than running success rate Something Eric Eager talked about as well And then you have the injuries On Kansas City's defense Juan Thornhill won't be there And Chris Jones is still dinged up right? Yeah he was limited in practice last week And I think to me that says he'll play But it might be a situation Similar to that Titans game Where he played But wasn't an every down player And like when he did play He was super disruptive But it's different when you're playing the 49ers Where the situations where You're going to want him in there Are the early downs Where he can kind of bottle up most of it And that's those war with the situations He was out there against the Titans So I think if we get Chris Jones To like the Titans version of Chris Jones It's a different situation Than if we can get a full Chris Jones There'll be more practice reports I believe today Wednesday So maybe monitor him And consider the 49ers If he's still limited practice there Yeah Yeah I'd be interested to see I mean he's obviously Probably the best player in that defense Or close to it So and a guy Him or Matthew Him or Matthew It's one of those two Yeah I mean Frank Clark's pretty good too But you know I mean Chris Jones is going to be on the interior A little bit more Trying to disrupt the running game As well as rushing the passers So Yeah And like we talked about yesterday If there is a Quote on quote weakness Of the 49ers offense It is their interior offensive line play So Chris Jones A pretty major factor in a guy To keep an eye on here That is all we have for Super Bowl 54 And it's been a pleasure Breaking things down for you And I'm excited to Not talk about it anymore And just sit back and enjoy some football Yeah absolutely I think it's my last show of the week So Yeah Me too It's very freeing to have my final podcast On a Wednesday like What am I supposed to do Thursday, Friday I guess we'll see But you just released a new episode Of the football analytics show With Nick Costos That's awesome Yeah had Nick on It was a fun conversation We talked about analytics and betting And fantasy football We talked about Super Bowl We talked about a lot of things That were not Super Bowl as well Food books Nick's a fun guy He got a lot of opinions And was just It was really fun to talk to So check it out at the football analytics show That's awesome I need to give that a listen Because Nick Is I've interacted with him a couple of times Being on You Better You Bet Than having him on this podcast And just A fun person to listen to talk Like I could give him a microphone And let him just kind of go for an hour And see what comes out And I think I would listen to that personally So Yeah A guided conversation would be pretty good too What else do you have over at the Power Inc? Well I keep finding mistakes in my Super Bowl preview So Hey that's why That's why we have the longer shelf life man It's time to make edits You're good Yeah exactly I mean the one I really made was that I missed that Juan Thornhill was heard Until we had talked yesterday And then I also Keep saying that Patrick Holmes' rookie year Was last season Right You pointed out It's not true That was this year as a starter So Anyways I still think the preview was really good I looked at offensive tendencies Looked at some snap count data on defense To see how Both defenses will approach the game And looked at turnovers And things I mentioned about Andy Reed And his interception rate Since he's been a head coach Which I think is fascinating So you can get that at thepowerrank.com I was looking through a piece I wrote for Number Fire in I think Like 2013 or 2014 a couple weeks ago Just for some reason It was about Vance Warley Being the opening day starter for the Twins And I found a typo there So it is never too late To find and correct a typo Because you bet I went in and made that change Never too late Make sure you find all that's work Over at thepowerrank.com Find him on Twitter at thepowerrank And check out the football analytics show Wherever you get your podcasts As I mentioned yesterday We do have a DFS show up as well For the single game slate for the Super Bowl With myself and Brandon Gadouli You can find that by searching for the Number Fire Daily Fantasy podcast feed And of course check out our podcast The JJ Zacharyson Which went up yesterday And our podcast with Whale Cap Or last week about the NBA Breaking down all those things You can get those By searching for covering the spread Wherever you get your podcasts If you have any questions for me I am on Twitter at Jim Sonnis J-I-M-S-A-N-N-E-S You can also find The FanDuel Podcast Network At FanDuel Podcast Big thank you to Calvin Theobald Our video producer Front of the video side of things here today As always Thank you, Calvin Thank you to Dr. Eric Eager JJ Zacharyson And WhaleCapper For helping us preview Super Bowl 54 Good luck to all of you As you place your bets For the big game on Sunday Enjoy the game Hopefully you are able to still enjoy it Even with all the money on the line And we'll talk to you again soon This has been covering the spread right here On the FanDuel Podcast Network


Welcome to ToffeeTV, it is the player ratings Everton won West Ham United Nail first victory of the season for the Toffees perfect timing just before the international break and all good, all good, tight game always was going to be West Ham came, I don't know, they played like we do essentially when we play away, they play with getting five at the back over the plate like we used to, five at the back and then shut out the midfield and it's very difficult to break down like we've seen with the way we play so it needed a good goal, a good strike, we haven't had too many of them this season, they were really difficult to break down and I think we've only had something like one shot before we scored the goal so but we got the three points again, again defensive, built on defensive the defense and which was superb today and will be reflected in my in my player ratings so just glad to get the three points it's out the way now the win is out the way no more court it's great having good performances, decent performances but when you're waiting for that first win of the season you know seven games in the pressure can start to build outside more than inside I think as fans we've been watching it since you know develop since the first couple of games of the season where we got beat and we're behind with you know we're behind what's going on so and the managers obviously know what he wants you know in terms of the the defense and the centre backs and getting into very reliable centre backs and it's made a huge difference with the way we've defended so fantastic stuff let's get into it anyway in gold, Begavitch obviously came in no no real issues made one good save in the second half that he had to he did he did sort of whistle one away when the one at the post when he just stood and watched it but what I would say is if he dived for that shot it could have hit him and gone in so clever stuff from Begavitch today he knew what his angles were he knew it was it in the post and he probably thought if I dived this might hit my arse and go in and I look stupid so who's stupid now you know I'm saying genius genius but he did a fine did fine um couple early on at us from Corners he got under but most game nice and steady and done his job to be fair decent decent performance from him I've given him a seven um Nathan Patterson excellent again really really good again solid in the tackle aggressive wants to win his battles um doesn't want to be beaten in the tackle doesn't want anyone to go past them but contribute going forward as well always a always a will and run it always an out ball um if it it's just a pity we haven't got it's just a pity we haven't got someone who can switch the play a little bit quicker in our midfield otherwise our full backs would be on all the time all the time they're always free and at times I think we if we if we just had plays you could get their heads up and switch the ball quickly we'd be in so often um but it seems like a dying dying out in football doesn't it someone who can pass the ball 60 yards but he was brilliant and and what typified his what typified his um his game was towards the end and I didn't even know it at the time the one that um Schmacher's put wide but Schmacher's in and Patterson just gets a touch on it and takes it away from his foot and the ball just goes because I'm sitting I can't see that in the ball he looks like he's trying to go down round Begavitch um and I thought he'd go to be honest the first but the touch by Patterson he doesn't give up on it he doesn't just let him get a shot as he's pulling his foot back Patterson just gets a touch and knocks it and that is a that is a match winning tackle a match winning tackle that from Nathan Patterson there just just they're the things in games where you look at maybe you look at other players or from other teams and you're like you think of the little things like that but I don't know who I was they took the shot by the way I only seen the video might have been corn I don't know um I've only seen the video of the tackle I wasn't even paying attention to who was but um he just puts his foot he just gets his foot in there and it's just it's just an incredible incredible tackle which you if he hadn't made that tackle and they'd scored no one would have said anything about that that's the thing that's how good a tackle it is um so just brilliant I've given my nine on I can't speak the high highly enough about him um just can't speak highly enough about him at all just just absolutely brilliant uh Mike Cosgrove on the super chat thanks Mike says that's an evident team I can get behind thought gone a man of the match closely followed by Patterson yeah super thanks Mike um so I've given my nine um Michael Encore on the other side I thought he started a little bit ropey he lets Bowen get the better of him and Bowen put a lovely ball in and and Connor Cody to be fair made a brilliant block to go for a corner um but he grew into the game and I think as the game went on he got more and more into if started winning the battles defensively offensively I I don't think he's I don't think he's um the kind of play he's going to give you what may be our last two left back to give us but defensively I think he grew into the game I've given my seven um as I said a little bit of a shaky start but I think I think he grew into the game um the center backs Connor Cody captain the team brilliantly absolute leader this is exactly what we've been missing for the last few years is someone who understands how to defend which is not always a normal thing by the way people who smell danger said this so often some of our defenders and Michael Keane has been guilty of this all the time the they wait for things to happen rather than intervening in them Connor Cody completely understands how to defend he's just it's just such a dying art that as I never told me and I've been brought up with this completely brought up with this since I was a child all the way through and it's in in the last few years it's been something that's been missing so much yeah he mean it can do it to a point but somewhat I just honestly can't speak highly enough of Connor Cody and what he brings and his leadership is just huge huge if I was honest no if I was ever right I'd try and just get the deal done now to sign him and make him our player that's how much I think he I don't think anyone ever thought like you know when he signed for it don't think anyone thought I should read them all I don't think anyone was like that but obviously him the goal he got in the barbie obviously that was disallowed you could see what it meant to me you could see what it meant to him today and there was about five minutes to go or we were just going into injury time and he was I think one of our players was down or something like that and he's like saying to him you know he's saying to the team get up get up for this this this you know you could see how much it meant to him three points is experiencing his first three points well first experiences first three points playing forever in a good this one part but you could see how much it meant to him dragon players up and I just thought I just love that side of football that doesn't get spoken about or in this in this age of like analytics and stats and all the rest of it you can't quantify leadership you can't quantify players dragging another player or getting in the face of the opposition you just can't quantify what that means and we haven't had that for so long and now we've got two now we've got two and you know Everton as a club have done so well to bring these two players in and I don't care if they're both 29 or whatever they are I couldn't care less you know it's for the younger players to lay in off them so I've give I've given him an eight anyway I'd give him an eight and James Tarkowski next to him as one thing this is what I was going to say about Conocoady on the ball Conocoady was was really good as well playing some lovely balls and maybe that's just one thing that Tarkowski playing on the left side maybe is something that he just lacks occasionally on the ball early on the game he was getting the ball you know when it goes back to code maybe this is just he's a defender he's a defender isn't he and I think you know there's any still what there was you know between there were very few mistakes there was a one late on where the ball just like bounced over the red or something but there's very few very few mistakes there are the odd one I appreciate that but they want to defend they want to get their head in there they want to they don't want to get hurt but they're not they don't mind being hurt and James Tarkowski was the same today again just he wants to defend and we're Conocoady next to him they're just a brilliant partnership in terms of in terms of games like this where they're edgy and it might take a set piece I mean set pieces look how much better we we look on set pieces now the organization and people but getting their heads in the way and there's so much more confidence in our defendant and it comes from those two so I've give James Tarkowski a seven and a half Garner sitting in front of them brilliant impeccable just does his job perfectly just wins the ball gives it played that lovely pass a couple of times that he used to play all the time that round the corner back to the center back on the other side ball just breaks things up and gets us going I thought again just look like he looks like he's been an everton player for ages doesn't he anyone who had any issues of signing you know again a player who's in his 30s he's seen what he can give us today just worth every penny worth every penny of what we pay what we're paying him just effortless absolutely because he's class because that's what good players do they're effortless and he is he's class I've given me an eight today he just sees the danger gets a foot in plays it nice and simple just again he's another leader on the pitch fantastic absolutely fantastic uh oh nana I actually thought today this was I thought he played within himself a little bit oh nana I don't I don't think he was poor by any means because he wasn't clearly and he gained a couple more of those brilliant trademark tackles I just thought he looked a little bit off the pace slightly um a little bit slower than we've seen in other games maybe he'd been given a particular job in the midfield and that was a case there was a case of you know not not going away from that I just thought he played a little bit within himself and it led to a little couple of mistakes you know they're passing um but he but he was fine he's fine just thought it was just times and this was a general thing in the first half where we slowed the game down too much and I thought I thought it was a little bit of a culprit to that of of slowing the game down um I don't think he always looks like he's got the ball and the control as well um which can be a little bit of issue and he was up against listen Declan Rice's class act isn't he he's a class act but yeah I thought I thought oh no it was just a little bit just again you've got to appreciate what this was that is third start in the Premier League is that right third start or fourth start is it fourth start um in the Premier League so you've got to appreciate that as well um but he was fine and he enjoyed uh enjoyed doing a video with the Gladys Street at the end uh which is a first I've seen obviously seen other players do it but it was a first to see an ever player do that take a phone out and do that I don't know where he'd been hiding the phone but um so I like all that and I think the fans will love all that um so I've given honor a seven a woe be nice and tidy did really really well for the goal just broke the lines that's exactly what we need from from him breaking the lines getting the ball into Mopai um look few lovely little tricks little nutmegs and drag backs and all those kind of things always looks like he knows what he's gonna do with the ball always knows looks like he's gonna he's well he doesn't always look like he is in control of the ball as a fan but yeah that's his own particular style um and he uses it almost I think he does it to like draw people in almost like he's gonna he it almost feels like he's knock off control and he's just drawing the player in and he's gonna use a little trick he gets himself out of some really really tight situations but again just again just um played the game he's been playing in recent weeks and done his job I've given him a seven point seven five um as I said got the assist for the goal just like to seem do that more often drive forward the ball a little bit more link up drive drive with the board this this will come from playing with better players and the team playing more together um just drive forward break those lines because we do have a little bit of an issue with the front three let's be honest it's yeah we'll come on to that in a minute but yeah I think um again at the woby woby was really good today uh Gray put some lovely balls in played one after we'd scored the second fizzed it across and all it needs is a tapping again at the back post um just just needs a tapping at the back post but again there's times with Gray where he just wants to I understand what he's doing he just wants to he wants to slow it down so he can use his base of pace to get away from people and I understand that it's just at times I just think don't slow the game down there's times he's given the ball and you think just run at them they're not going to get men back and he'll slow it down and then that allows them to get men back and then he speeds it up and it's just like no no hit them while hit them while they've got um well they've got you know numbers forward um it's sometimes just a little bit too too slow in that in that term I just want it to run at pace but he likes to he likes to slow it down as I said but it can be annoying but he did he did alright he did okay again I think first half was difficult him him him and Gordon weren't really affecting the game at all um you want them to be wide but obviously you want the full backs wide as well but it's they're just not I don't know they're just not they weren't linking up properly I think he got a little bit more joy second half and I've given him a seven Gordon I thought he was poor I thought he was very poor if I'm honest um okay so Anana was using the fans phone for fair play um I thought I thought Gordon was poor I thought he looked you know what he reminded me if he reminded me de la feu when de la feu used to always be blowing out of his ass after 20 minutes like there was serious times in the game where he's like there was one way I think it came from I think it was just after we scored and the ball was played across the box I think it was the wrong choice but it got to Gordon but he was like he was like labouring it was like I was running after him and then there was just moments where he was given he was given the the the man he was supposed to mark far too much space and then he quickened up towards the end towards you know a little towards as he was getting to I don't know whether his fitness his fitness looks an issue to me in terms of general fitness or like getting right on the pitch for 90 minutes it doesn't look like someone who can play for 90 minutes it doesn't look like for someone who can sprint and then be fine he looks like someone who sprints and then needs five minutes to recover like again like when I used to play Sunday league and that's an issue if you're a professional footballer you need to be on it all the time and yet he looks leggy he looks like he needs a little break every time he has a sprint and that's I think that's a I don't I don't yeah I think that's that's an issue that he's got to sort out I had to thought he was poor all game and I was no surprise that he got dragged off I thought he was crap I mean I wasn't going along I'm getting wet saying he's worse but there's times where he just doesn't take responsibility for for like the play he's supposed to be marking or the job like at no time today did he ever look threatening and at no time did he look there's a couple of moments where he got back and he put a foot in and stuff like that but I thought he's all round play was was poor and where his first half had go well okay dead loads of men back and they were keeping it tight and all that kind of thing second half you know certainly after we scored Gray started to get a lot more joy and yet he just looked tired so I people make excuses for him and I don't understand why do you make excuses for him he's a Premier League footballer who should he's got talent and we've seen the talent and I just for me it annoys me it annoys me I think people have seen this and it annoys me when players aren't doing the basic job they're required to do and I think the difference is he's he's standing out because at the back end of last season he was the one putting the effort in maybe when other people were but the teams changed a lot since then and he hasn't quite gone up with it and I think he needs maybe the next couple of weeks just I don't know whether it's a fitness issue or whatever but I was I was really disappointed with them so I've given them a five five point five really disappointed with them because the last two home games he's being crap absolutely crap and again the major issue I see is a fitness issue so talented player very talented player when he wants to but he just doesn't look like he can get around the pitch and Mopai got the match winner didn't he and that's all that really matters worked hard again first off really difficult for him to to get over the game because because where he's playing and and stuff but second you could see him trying to drop in and get trying to get a little bit of a feel of the ball players like you know out of the game for ages they come in and they try and drop in and try and get a feel of the ball and get into it but he he stayed in the game and he took his he took his he took his goal brilliantly took his goal brilliantly and was always a threat always joined up really well okay listen he's not today we could have done with a with a domino carvel even just because we need an out ball and and things like that but he done his job and he's got his goal and that's all you want you know second start and he's got a goal that's all you can ask isn't it you know one and two for evident that's not bad um so i've given him an eight because of course he got the match winner i'm not gonna really i'm not gonna say well he wasn't he wasn't rubbish when he was in the game he joined him really really well so um just everyone's got a different you know way of an i've seen his name as well it is Neil Mopai and that's that's the way he's gonna be said um yeah i've given him an eight it's good when it goes a great goal as well to be fair it was a really well taken goal um and and sometimes you just need that in games like that just in games like that just a little bit of class it's a little bit different that's what separates two sides it was a good goal so i've given him an eight um just before i move on from the subs one thing i would evidence set piece man that's absolutely awful and this is something we've got to get sorted you know whether the whether it's great or whether it's um Michelangelo took when it was terrible set pieces or something i haven't have got to sort it out of me we've got to put put a woby on them put a woby on the set pieces but they are garbage like in a game like that again where it's close that can be the difference and we've got big men in the box but the set pieces are rubbish gotta sort that out anyway on to the subs uh Decorei great to have a sub like Decorei isn't it ready to come on you know after you know after six seventy minutes whatever it is it's great to have players like him coming on um he did alright apart from when we had the break late on in the game we had something like a four on three and he tried to play the hardest ball in the world we were in injury time and he tried to play some mad ball when he could have even if he just kept all of it and run into the corner it would have wasted more time he basically kicked it back to their player which was so annoying so annoying um i've given me six point five years but that's so i hate that that was a chance to wrap the game up but even if you don't wrap the game up don't give the ball away don't give the ball away simple as that on the set pieces yet it's great having a set piece specialist who's on the bench we need one who's in the team you know i'm so annoyed with that though give it to someone an easy pass and even if you just keep the ball even if you just keep the ball uh rondon fantastic cameo from rondon again was the what a little cameo that was his little he didn't he did a nutmeg on one of the west hand plays but he was he was he did it in so slow motion that that their player didn't even see it because it was so slow that their player couldn't it was like bullet time in the matrix he did it in such slow motion that the west hand player couldn't readjust himself because i don't really i don't think he could comprehend how it had been done it had been done so slow um incredible stuff by rondon there i've given him a six uh dwight mcneil wake that run around a little bit do's a favor dwight do you know for the next two weeks find a wall a finch farm just a just a innocent innocent wall right and just practice kicking the ball against it with your right foot just i don't know how a professional footballer has got to the stage of being in the Premier League like he is that is so one footed it is incredible incredible how he has managed to do that so find a wall every day and then every day after training for an hour like ryan gigs ryan get let's talk about ryan gigs better but ryan gigs said that all he used to do was practice kicking the ball with his right foot against the wall and literally it's your job isn't it it's your job to be able to do something basic with your right foot he is the most left footed player i've ever witnessed in my life it's like it literally is just a for standard like he won't even attempt to play passes with his right foot it's mad it's absolutely mad just kick a ball against the wall for an hour please and honestly you're a professional footballer it is literally your job to be able to just do basic things with your right i reckon i've got a better left foot than he's got a right foot genuinely genuinely because he won't even attempt to do things with his right foot and it's so annoying because it's literally your job to be able to kick a ball that's like that's that's sort of like the main part of your job kicking a ball so stay behind after training for an hour and just work get a coach and just say can we work on my right foot can we work on my right foot because and you know what if you go if you do enough training you should have you've got you're going to have 10 more years of your career work on your right foot please because it will give you so many more because everyone knows that all he does is get on his left foot they just they just get on his left side and that's it which is everyone knows is the crib side so yeah there you go three points happy days happy days we got there seven points seven games seven points the ref was garbage the ref was absolutely garbage they had about three files and then he booked on a kodi for nothing booked on a kodi because Antonia decided to do a forward roll absolute nonsense and we probably should have had a penalty as well we probably should have had a penalty gray was definitely clipped definitely clipped so so the corey six and a half rondon six McNeil six there you go there you go there you go you've had a bit of everything haven't you've had a bit of mate six and you've had a bit of snoop two weeks to enjoy this wind there you go there you go so make sure you check out my classic reaction there is some like matchday stuff on there as well after the goal and and after the game and frank lampard and obviously my reactions about make sure you check that out make sure you check buzzers videos out as well and yeah we'll be doing the final way tomorrow we're not off we're not off no no no no we don't take days off on toffee tv certainly not on toffee tv premiere we do not take days off so there you go make sure you head over to toffee tv premiere tomorrow for okay so great wasn't fat whatever whatever i'm just moaning the ref leave me to moan toffee tv premiere tomorrow for the final words live doesn't there'll be nothing to watch tomorrow so you might as well sign up for toffee tv premiere because there's literally nothing to watch so come and join us make sure you check out buzzer videos as well there you go thanks for watching see you later


This is the breakfast and plus TV Africa. Thanks for joining us. We'll head straight to looking at the papers this morning. Chris Cain de Wanda joins us. Chris, it's good to have you join us this morning. My people, my people. Good morning. Our governor, our governor. Should we say that? How might we see if we're... Oh God, it's not easy, it's not easy. But we're leaving by grace, you know. Lagos is another thing altogether these days with the fuel situation. I don't know if you have some there you can share with me and lend me some. No problem, I will. All right. Let's quickly take a look at the leadership newspaper this morning and see what the leadership's got for us. It talks about last minute appointment, how governors said booby traps for successes. These boldly written on the leadership. It's with full height of political riskality. It says stakeholders and CSOs. Appointment in other governments continuum or government is a continuum. Governors insist really. Yesterday was quite interesting on the social space. I mean, looking at all of the reactions and the thoughts. 2023 polls will hold despite attacks on our offices. That's what INEC is saying. But we hope that that does not affect, you know, the outcome of the elections or the entire process. Abuja Kaduna, real world secured. Ministers as shores passengers and beware of thieves. Federal government wants Nigerian travelers to the United States and Europe. I mean, that's what I and Kofi had been talking about before this time. 2022, Ghana beats South Korea 3-2 and Cameroon draw 3-3 with Sabian. That's what it is. Quite interesting yesterday. A lot of people were happy, especially Africans. It was, you know, was a great one to look at. But that's it on the leadership. All right, let's move on from the leadership, of course, to the next paper we have on our table. We'll do the Guardian, which has the following stories, headlines there. Cybercrimes raised concerns for 30.2 trillionaire monthly e-payments. The writers of that headline. Nigerians count losses as forces get sophisticated. Empty bank accounts. In the recent time, people have been complaining of the bank accounts being empty. And the banks do nothing about it. The birth of IT staff were since recovery time in banks. NCC issues over nine security alerts since the beginning of 2022. Experts seek review of Cybercrime Act 2015. Kick against plea bargain. Read the story for more. Quite interesting, if you ask me. Senate President Lawan loses a court of appeal. Is it time he hangs his gloves up and throws in the towel? Attacks on facilities. Troubling. Won't deter us from conducting credible polls. Ionic vows. He's coming after a fire wrecked havoc on the Airborne Office of the Independent National Electro Commission. Appeal court reinstates Adebu to others in Nogun. Beware of politicians craving for power. CJN warns judicial officers. A delicate suspense. OCEA Chairman Six Others. The throne's three monarchs. And we have enough food for Nigerians. Agriculture Minister Bose. Right. Thank God for that. Well, away from that, we have the punch. And quickly, APC assembly tackle a delicate Gov. Sax. 12,000 workers. APC Fium says Gov. Cort's endless. I take that again. APC Fium says Gov. Cort's endless. Litigations, agitations, destruction. State of Oshun backed by law. Gov. Action illegal says assembly. Sat local Gov. Chairman had to court. And PDP bags a delicate action. Heads APC. So it's really going to be difficult. But in whose interest is all of this? I mean, that's one big question we need to ask. The interests of the people or in the interests of various political parties. Another caption says foreign NGOs, FinTech firms linked to terrorism financing. No candidates for national award. Nominees fail exam. 50% materials deployed. Bond offices threaten poles. That's what INEC says. 50% materials deployed. And bond offices threaten poles. But they're saying, regardless, we're going to have the elections. Assoons of new crisis. Six intervention. 10,000 resident doctors remaining in Nigeria. Contractor suspends Legosi Badon Road construction resumes January. So it's like they're going for, you know, the festivity. Canua APC chair cuts with 367 PVCs. Jilled. Wow. That's the much we can take this morning on the punch. Let's move on to the next paper there. The nation needs to perhaps have following headlines on its front page. A delicate hit social state with a gale of sacriversals. I'm sure we'll have no surprises the way the nation put it. It says workers, three monarchs, Osiak chair, others fired. 30 permanent secretaries, demoted lawmakers, draw a battle line with governor of a state named Anthem, local others. Supreme court overwhelmed by 6,884 cases. CJ and Ariella laments. Beware of money passport theft in U.S. U.K. Government warns Nigerians that a miracle likely to carry Africa's flag to round off 16. This comes after black stars. Got Africa's second victory, Africa's third victory at the World Cup. It was a relief. I saw Senegal win, I saw Morocco win, and then the black stars. It's a good one for Africa. After the first encounter. Yes, it's a good one for Africa. That first match was interesting. Let's go on. Liga selects three bidders for 4th million bridge. That's $2.5 billion 4th million bridge. Maybe a long last battle shall end. Let's start with this one on the front page of the nation. They're looking at the other side of it, maybe looking at the side of the opposition in Ocean State. Now opposition in Ocean State and their complaints. What are your thoughts on the pronouncements and the moves by the Dancing Governor who's now become the Dancing Senator who's now become the Fighting Governor Adela Kei who's fired 12,000 workers appointed by the outgoing Governor of Ocean State, Uye Tola. 12,000 of them. He also sacked three monarchs, told them to vacate their palaces and ordered the police to go there and seal it off and occupy those palaces. He also reversed the appointment of 30 permanent secretaries who were appointed or promoted by Uye Tola's government barely 48 hours before he left the seat and finally he suspended the chairman and members of the Ocean State independent electoral commission. What are your thoughts on this? Good morning to all those watching us across the globe this morning. They are the criminal nodes. The Governor Adela Kei is no longer a Dancing Senator. He's now a Dancing Governor because barely 24 hours after he was wanting to see him dancing before an audience he was trying to address. Dancing book by Kiz Daniel. That video is on social media. But I think that dancing should be a little bit of past. That is what he's doing. Let's start with the issue of workers. 12,000 workers. It is obvious that the administration of PPCNR tried to put some wages on the way and laid out so many landmines for Governor Adela Kei who was to take over from there. And part of those activities was that various points made in the hours of the living. Normally, as it's supposed to be they are supposed to be a former that is what the constitution says that is what is supposed to be obtained. The outgoing Governor, irrespective of whether who is coming in is in a position from the opposition or not is supposed to have a handover node detailing everything that happened what is left to be done that is how it is. We have a big brother in another politician in Donald Trump who did the same when current President of the United States took over. Donald Trump did no handover to Amanda. So we can leave that to the point what needs to be done and what needs to be done is probably the suspension of the 12,000 workers and setting up a panel to look at the rationale behind those appointments and if they find it in their wisdom that those recruitment was wrongly done then they have a right to recommend the Governor to fire them. That to me would have been a better approach. Suspension and with tassel Larry after the panel said the Governor can take a decision but the Governor has the right to do whatever he likes. Secondly is the issue of the Prime Minister appointed few days before Governor left. He is not appointed in his four years just few days before he left he decided to appoint them and give choice to the voice. He agreed with Governor then third is the issue of the three they were suspended. He said they were suspended as most of our colleagues are pushing out. They suspended them and said their panel should be taken while he is going to look into that issue. The big one also is the issue of the state of Washington. Do you ask does the Governor have executive power to do that? Yes he does because the issue of executive order is the right that is enshrined in the Constitution. Don't forget President Muhammad Buhari also sometime this year and last year also issued some executive orders and over certain issues but it is the constitutional issues I also believe that he can take it to the state assembly for consultation the man seems to want to he doesn't want to jump himself into this shark infested water that the APC have created for him and I think that he just have to take what decision he has to take but on the other side of it Governor Yusuf has also come out to say that he left 14 billion Naira in the course of Washington state for the incoming government. Before we move on the new governor has also announced you know just by his word that he is reversing the pronouncement of the name of Washington state that was previously known from the days of Arabeshola since 2012 he is reversing that to Washington state he also said he is changing the slogan of the name of the state changing the slogan of the state and the ocean state house assembly has come out to tell him you can't do that just simply say we are no longer known as state of Washington we are now known as ocean state the slogan that we had I am changing that slogan to another slogan because he is saying that in 2012 this state of Washington as it is called today was enshrined into law it was assented to law in 2012 by the then government passed by the state house of assembly that's number one the flag of the state the symbol of the state and the slogan of the state are all products of law so what do you say to that is this governor showing us that he has the tutorial tendencies and it's not ready to do things according to law or you think it's just an oversight or maybe a mistake I think I mentioned that before I said what the last of this time is does the governor have the constitutional right to issue executive order and I said that as president already president you know that we run a federal system the president did that within the federal level issued some executive order which we have obeyed and the governor is issuing he issues six executive orders on his presumption what he needs to be determined is whether he has the right to issue an executive order if it's within his right then all will end good if the state house of assembly feels that he has stepped on their fundamental right he has bridge the constitution all they need to do is to go to court what it is the governor has issued six executive orders and that is what it should be if the state house of assembly feels that he has stepped out of then they should go to court and question that and challenge that don't forget that I see a lot of issue arising between the governor and the state house I think the states have 26 law makers if I'm not mistaken and to them are of the APC alright I think we can move on to the next story now Chris can you hear us yes I can hear you okay then let's quickly look at the punch newspaper on this it talks about security foreign NGOs and fintech firms linked to terrorism financing your thoughts on this one that's the worse on one that's the worse on one so I think proper investigation should be carried out and if it's true that that is the situation then our security agencies should do the needful I've got to help people supporting such acts Nigeria is already having serious insecurity challenges across the country it's no longer limited to not east or not west south, south, southeast and every part of the country now don't forget that some countries also raise advisory report or statement warning their citizens not to find themselves in some part of the country on two, every attempt for any organization to seem to be involved with such acts the rightful decisions taking as quickly as possible but my problem with all this is that all those that were arrested for terrorist acts for belonging to some groups Boko Haram and the rest of them I have not seen any of them prosecuted in the past few years and that is what the problem for me we cannot just be making pronouncements and making arrests as we said only for us to just keep them in the kula they need to be prosecuted and they need to be punished for their acts we cannot continue to reward such acts and thereby embodying some of these people that recently as I've said several on this forum had that some people were even released from creepy prison about one round one Boko Haram that is not doing us good so I think this issue should be thoroughly investigated and Nigeria should be given the opportunity of knowing that but another issue is always the secrecy with all of this and of course this is a government report so you see NGOs, banks and what have you are non this are non governmental organization foreign non governmental organization responsible for this or in connection with this but do you think that we're sincere because it feels like it's about we don't get to put out the details the way it should be how does that even help the fight of terrorism that's what I said in my last I said Nigeria should be made should be those information should be brought to the fore so that Nigerians we know the outcome of investigation that is what we've always seen in the past where we get those issues are investigated today Nigerians don't get to hear of it let's say you be shocked that after today in the last 48 hours this same news will die off and we'll continue to see if nothing else alright let's look at more stories are coming from the papers I think the next one we would like to take just give me a second because I lost my script there okay so let's look at the fact that the Supreme Court they achieved justice of Nigeria yesterday we had the opportunity to interface to bring this up as a topic with our guest first major conversation for the day his speech at that banquet in his honor by Yasu Miki Glavna of River State but on the front page of the Guardian the CJN part of the things he said in one of the speeches he made was that judges should not hope not with politicians and should be aware of what politicians have of their minds and the Guardian has highlighted that politicians cravings for power CJN warns judicial officers I think there's a line in his speech where he said either in your state when he was received by his state or in River State that politicians and judicial workers need not be go hand in hand together so what are your thoughts on this in the light of the controversy that thrilled his River State speech the Chief Justice of Nigeria should leave my example and it's not a question of do what I say do what I say and he was captured on video where he made those statements supporting the G5 softly and also saying that he was happy that the Government of the States shame on the member of the G5 that in his the coming of a Mayan of that magnitude and nature the Chief Justice of the Federation and just like so many other judicial heads judges and justices are supposed to be abhorred and not supposed to be partisan probably that was a sleep because that could be very very detrimental as we move into the 2023 election where circumstances where lawyers when the case gets to Supreme Court lawyers may ask the site of this case and the situation and ask the Chief Justice to recuse himself rescue himself from being part of the panel that would determine some of these issues and that is not good enough so inasmuch as his admonishing judicial officers to be non-partisan he also should do everything to stay away from such comments that's also still on the punch newspaper it talks about the merit award the Nigerian media merit award you have 32 nominees for this award and none were qualified should we be worried about the kind of country that we have we should be worried but you have to ask yourself what were the criteria used to determine the 32 have not seen it and that is part of what we are talking about transparency the award committee ought to publish the criteria used in picking these 32 people and it is only when we've seen that that we now know why they've failed the exam and that is an exam also which type of exam is there arithmetic, is there mathematics is there science, is there general knowledge remember in the past where some people asked to stand up and sing the national anthem and play and decide the pledge so we don't even know the type of exams that we are giving but it's not good enough but at times you ask yourself is that exam does that exam invalidate what they have achieved in the past or what they have done to have merited them those are what those are the fundamental issues but as I said the award committee need to publish one the criteria for picking who they picked and reason why they were picked and also a kind of exam is not just saying they didn't pass the exam what type of exam is that and how come 32 eminent Nigerians enter that exam and none of them pass the exam something is wrong some way something is definitely wrong some way it is difficult for us to make an informed statement on such issues Chris thank you so much for the time and for joining us this morning we have to pull the plugs at this time and looking forward to having you with us next week thank you very much for having me do have a wonderful day ahead on the program we have more discussions coming up and of course we look at the central bank of Nigeria saying that the NNPC has remitted zero dollars to it in forex reserves so in terms of forex profits so far from cruel sales let's call it that what exactly is the situation Labudy show me joints ahead please stay