So what is a neural network? We could define a neural network mathematically as a differentiable function that maps one kind of variable to another kind of variable. Like how in classification problems we convert vectors to vectors, and in regression problems we can convert vectors to scalars. Recurrent nets just throw sequences into the mix, and so we end up with numerous architectures that can be used in various applications.


They might be right on the threshold of being a well known local park and moving up into the next tier of being a well known regional park. Then you have the parks that are frustratingly dragging along with very minimal investment that are located in highly populated areas that seemingly could really make a huge mark on the industry, but they just never expand to capitalize on that potential. I'm going to be looking at several different parks in North America that I feel could be the next major players in the industry and give my thoughts as to whether or not I think this will happen in the future. Elich Gardens in Denver, Colorado has an interesting history. Elich Gardens in its original location actually opened in 1890 and closed in 1994, but for 1995 was relocated to its current site, also in Denver. So it's in its second iteration right now, but unfortunately for Elich Gardens, funding has been approved in March of 2020 for a redevelopment project called the River Mile. This is a huge project for the Denver area and Elich Gardens sits right where investors want to develop. Though it probably won't happen for several more years, the park in this location will have to be closed, but Revesco Properties stated that when the time comes, Elich Gardens would be moved to a bigger, even better location. This could actually be a really good opportunity for the park to become a decent park. Due to its location in Denver, there's such a great area to draw from, with virtually no competition, which is why many have been puzzled over the years as to why the owners of Elich Gardens never capitalized on this. The closest notable park to Elich Gardens is a small park called Cliffs in Albuquerque, New Mexico. Besides that, there's Lagoon, which is an eight-hour drive, but there's no major competition anywhere close to this park. Kentucky Kingdom in Louisville, Kentucky, which originally opened in 1987, and stood Standing Banata operating from 2010 to 2014. And this is a great success story. There are many parks fairly close to Kentucky Kingdom, but this park is really special. This park was left abandoned by Six Flags after the 2009 season, and it sat dormant for several years. And then it arose from the ashes at the hands of Ed Hart, who brought it back to life. Ever since 2014, Kentucky Kingdom has been built up as a strong up-and-coming amusement park, and is continually being invested into with many more exciting things to come in the future. This park is already very well respected amongst enthusiasts, and will surely continue to flourish in the future based on what we've seen so far. I think there's a lot of great big things to come for Kentucky Kingdom, and they absolutely deserve it. This park has done a complete 180. From when it was Six Flags, Kentucky Kingdom, it's just completely transformed, and it's become so much of a better park, I think, and I think a lot of us enthusiasts really appreciate what Ed Hart has done with this place, so thank you so much, Ed Hart. Lagoon in Farmington, Utah opened in 1886. This is a park that really began to emerge in the spotlight, with the opening of Cannibal in 2015. The park is already looking to have a bright future ahead, as they're impressively also building their mysterious 11th coaster, which will be known as Primordial. Little is known about Primordial, but based on the enclosing structure being built, this is looking like it could be a really good sized addition. Lagoon already has a really solid collection of 10 coasters, with a well-rounded lineup featuring many great family coasters along with the likes of Cannibal and Wicked. When it comes to the surrounding area, Eelich Gardens is 8 hours east of Lagoon, Silverwood is 10 and a half hours northwest, and Cliffs in Albuquerque, New Mexico is 10 hours away, and those are basically the closest parks, so there is really nothing around here. This park is really on its own, and I think they're going to really sort of capitalize on that potential that they have, and we could see a lot of really great stuff coming from this park in the future. Magic Springs and Hot Springs, Arkansas opened in 1978, and this is a beautiful park with a great scenery. It's a very good sized park it seems, and it could be expanded greatly. Despite its absolutely beautiful location, this park leaves a lot to be desired, as far as the major attractions go. The star attraction here is a Mauer Sky Loop, which is definitely very unique, and intimidating for the general public for sure, but there's not much else to this park really. There is a water park here as well, which is probably a good draw for the area, and maybe that's why much hasn't been invested into the dry park, but I think they could really do a lot with this place. It seems like they have a lot of land to work with, and I would hate to see this park just kind of sit how it currently is, because they could really do so much with this place. Six Flags over Texas is about five hours southwest of Magic Springs, Six Flags St. Louis is six and a half hours northeast, and Worlds of Fun is seven hours north, so this is another park that really just sits way out on its own. Six Flags, Darien Lake and Darien Center New York opened in 1981, and this park is absolutely huge, this is a resort park with a great setting. It's situated 45 minutes east of Buffalo, and this park has such a huge market to draw from, with virtually no major competitors. Now Canada's Wonderland is only two and a half hours away, but is located in Canada of course, which means you'd have to drive across the border to reach it. Marine land is also only a bit over an hour away, but once again is located in Canada, in Ontario specifically, but Darien Lake is set up so nicely to be a destination park. There's already a water park, hotel, and campground on site here, along with tons of land and a picturesque setting on the lake. Six Flags graced the park with the Common Vekoma Boomerang and SLC models in 1997 and 1998, and then in 1999 they added the first of the two Superman Ride of Steel Intamin hyper coasters, which after 21 years is still undeniably the star attraction of Darien Lake. So they got three coasters in back to back years in the late 90s, but after that the park received a Zamperla Moto coaster 11 years later in 2008, then 10 years later with the small compact Gerstlauer Eurofighter known as Tantrum in 2018. I really do hope that Six Flags takes a little bit of time with this park to really turn it into more than it currently is because it really has so much potential being such a huge resort property. They really could do a lot with this park, and it's a wonder why it hasn't been turned into something like that already. Adventureland in Altoona, Iowa opened in 1974, and this is a park that we've heard a lot about lately. This park has made great strides in the past five years as they've installed two new coasters and have a third new one on the way. Of course having just demolished the OD Hopkins Looper known as Dragon, this park is one that you can tell the owners take great care in as it looks so nice and has a great atmosphere. There is currently no real competition in the surrounding area, with the closest major parks being Six Flags St. Louis and Six Flags Great America, which are both at least a five hour drive from Adventureland. Worlds of Fun is also about a three and a half hour drive, so that's not even that close either. There is ample opportunity for Adventureland to become much more of a destination park rather than the small local park they've been known as for over 40 years. The owners have already stepped up and took initiative by making great investments into the small park, and it seems like they've had great success thus far and don't plan on stepping it down anytime soon, especially with the looming proposition of a large theme park opening in the near future. Marine Land in Ontario, Canada has been around for quite a while, opening in 1961. The owner of Marine Land passed away last year in 2019, and his wife took over control of the park. Since this, she has expressed great intentions of opening some really nice additions that this huge park sorely needs. Marine Land is a massive park in size, but is severely underdeveloped, as there are many expansive areas where there are no attractions, rather just a large open grassy land. To begin to hopefully bring this park up to where it needs to be, to try and maximize its potential and compete in the area, officials have confirmed that they are hoping to add two new rides, one of them being a very thrilling flat ride made by Zamperla. There are also talks of a possible new large scale roller coaster in the coming years as well. Marine Land is known mostly for, besides the animals, a huge 183 foot tall aerodynamics custom looper, opened in 1983 by the name of Dragon Mountain. It's a terrain looper and is quite fascinating in layout, but beyond that they haven't really added anything notable besides the SNS drop tower. This park could really use a lot of work, and I hope that these plans do come to fruition in the next few years. California's Great America in Santa Clara, California, which opened in 1976, is arguably the only of the five paramount parks which Cedar Fair acquired in 2006 that has yet to be truly transformed into an upper-tier Cedar Fair park. While Cedar Fair has thrown this California park a bone every now and then over the years, with one of the best GCI's in Goldstriker and one of the first RMC Raptors with Railblazer, this park hasn't really been pushed over that threshold as it currently stands. I think that will change in the future though, as Cedar Fair revealed a pretty nice looking 10 year plan a couple years back, and we're even going to be getting a BNM Hyper at one point, which may still happen at some point in the future. Six Flags Discovery Kingdom is only an hour away, but the heavy hitters of California like Magic Mountain and Disneyland are about 6 hours away. California's Great America isn't competing directly with these parks though, and seems to pull from a different demographic and area altogether as compared to Discovery Kingdom. Seeing what Cedar Fair has done with all of the other paramount parks to date, I believe that they're going to do really great things with California's Great America in the coming years as well. Six Flags Mexico, opened in 1982, is located right in the heart of Mexico City, and there simply just isn't any major competition around for at least several hundreds of miles. There is La Faria, located just over 20 minutes north of Six Flags Mexico, which is also in Mexico City, but that park may never reopen again, and Six Flags Mexico seems to be the superior park with much better operations based on the horrendous things I've heard about how La Faria is operated. This also seems to be an underrated Six Flags park as well, which houses a pretty solid collection of nine coasters, including Medusa Steel Coaster, an excellent looking RMC conversion, and Superman El Ultimo Scape, a great Morgan hyper coaster. Six Flags has invested decently into this park in recent years, but this park could really be something greater due to its location and how well the park has been set up. From what I can see, this is actually a beautiful place with a pretty good atmosphere, and maybe even some decent light theming along with a couple really solid attractions. Last on the list that I want to talk about is Waldemir in Erie, Pennsylvania, which opened in 1896. Anyone who has watched my channel for some time likely knows how much I love Waldemir. This is one of those small, family owned and operated parks that opened in 1896, so it's been around for a long time. It's actually one of those parks where you can just walk into without having to pay admission, and you can just pay per ride or you can buy a wristband. But Waldemir is a truly special place, and I believe we will be hearing some great things from the park over the next decade. The reason I say that is when I began visiting Waldemir in 2009, they just had a tiny water park with a few slides and a lazy river just kind of shoehorned into the front of the park. They had a couple decent flats as well, but in the past decade, they've made some awesome progress, and it makes me so happy to see such care put into these small parks to ensure their continued success. Over the last five or six years, the water park has been completely renovated from being a small sliver of property attached to the front of the park, to probably being at least three times the size it originally was, by adding a massive wave pool, water complex, and rally racers mat slides which are currently being built. The water park is definitely a huge asset to Waldemir and draws in a lot of locals, but they've been giving the dry park some love too. In addition to receiving one of the best wooden coasters in the world, with Ravinefire 2 in 2008, a Zamperla Disco ride called Mega Vortex was added in 2009, as well as Chaos for 2019, which is a Zamperla MIDI Discovery Pendulum ride. Looking at the year by year additions, since 2007, they've basically added really good additions to the park every year, from thrilling flat rides to big water additions to a new kids area, and in addition to the new mat racer slides for 2020, there is also a new SBF spinner called Whirlwind Opening. For these reasons, I think this small park on Lake Erie will only continue to improve and draw in more people as the years go on, and I wouldn't even be too surprised to see another decent thrilling coaster addition at some point in the next decade as well. So do you guys agree with my picks? Let me know which parks you think I may have missed that you think could potentially become major players in the industry. I would love to hear your thoughts. Thanks so much again for watching. Be sure to like my page Coaster Daddy on Facebook, and follow me at Coaster Daddy Official on Instagram. This is Coaster Daddy. Bye.


All righty, let's play this in full here. It was just uh, I was just This never leaves this room All right I think this is much much better. I'll be like your that transition of him especially with that face Although he looks a bit bored Like this is such a I mean, I know he's not actually singing this but But you might bring out the chest a bit more shoulders back, but we head up a bit and maybe a bit more strain in the face I don't personally it's subjective, but it feels like just ever so slightly bored But I do like the contrast of that face going into This so you can get ready for this. I don't mind that But I still wonder just totally up to you acting wise if you want to push that moment potentially a bit more But I think that transition That works pretty well. I'm so curious. Let me know if you're gonna do the whole thing with your the lights And if you happen to be at this point when that turns on like that hand finishes that move with a clear Panel and everything it's a little bit of keep alive and they could blink a bit Now generally here here my thoughts This covers animation would also look wise and things and obviously you can tweak whatever you want Based on the own depending what I'm saying here. So Watch out for this this already. I'm gonna turn this Leave the sound a bit as you go down, especially if I follow that finger It's very very straight line there, right? So and then you get it into a bit of an Ike hand as it seems where I see a lot of movement through here But not that much in there like this movement doesn't influence the wrist enough making this Ike even this is a bit straight. I mean you have a bit of an arc there. Definitely here, which is good But then watch out you have a bit of a harsh Stop in terms of your Spacing here.  I'm exaggerating bit But it's it has a bit of a harsh Change there where I would look at you refining your arcs a bit more and then watch out It's a mechanical thing of as your arm goes up your upper arm Moves and then boom and then it stops and then it's purely just this where it starts to feel a bit mechanical where only the elbow Moves but not really the upper arm And then let me go back here It's hidden by the mic. Let's make sure that your your shoulders also involved But it's basically like as a whole I have a feeling Also here. There's a slight moment of your arm almost staying and put it's not too bad But especially here here it locks again a bit and then only a wrist moves or moves more It feels a bit weird and then here's another one in terms of your Your arcs turn us off here. So if your hand is here here Here whoa, and then this happens so you can see that Crazy change there. We really have to work a bit more on your arcs Even if it's just you know from here then to here and maybe Here and then here even if just a little bit But you want to work on that and it's the same thing here when you have such a big visual change in That path and that wrist goes down in an arc and then you have a bit of a ease in and then boom Then we're just staying put on that on that line there and then you suddenly come back So again, this could be a bit more fluid in terms of your arcs Same thing here. You're starting a really big move this way and then goes pretty straight down and then over here And I think that's throughout your your Movements here We're not gonna frame through the whole thing is a bit longer But I think I was I want you to take a look at this and really comb through Wrists and elbows and nose arcs and just everything that moves where you can could you do a bit more with your arcs? Soften them a bit and have them less flat. I Think that's gonna give you a bit more fluidity and you can see this even in his nose and we do it one more if you track his nose here Moves over there.  I'll keep alive there, but I would just kind of push this a bit more Based on your arcs. Just watch out for that but mainly and I know he's not singing but I Think you do to kind of push the idea a bit again I would like he feels very relaxed in his posture where again I would push out the chest a bit more and just Imagine pushing the pose more. I really feels like he is yelling that note there this Timing wise is a bit even Going down so you can even do a bit of Like imagine a bit slower than speed up with a bit of a bigger arc and even this This is such a big accident in the voice Made it could be him doing something maybe a little flourish with his arm The head could go up a bit just a bit of anticipation to that and then for this, you know, he goes down it could be Following that a bit more into something like this Where you might even go into something like that or might even be a bit more exaggerated There's something like this You just kind of track your arcs and kind of pushed out a bit more that moment a bit more and then here he goes Right and I think as that voice goes up. I will bring up his roots He goes so the root is almost mimicking the tone of voice where he goes ah and then and then As you do this and it deflates you can mimic that in the body So he goes up up up and sings and the root comes back down shoulder comes back down arm starts to relax Everything just kind of starts to relax and deflate in the body just like his voice And I wonder because the voice goes down doing this That you might open your eyes Earlier he holds that pose but he looks and has maybe I darts which you might not notice too small but something where you can and then you can And then do the turn so it feels like we're I don't see an eye opening at all to be honest here So I think you could try just open the eye a bit sooner and then do the turn And then watch out then it gets a bit too it to pose to pose where your things even though it's offset with one arm And the other I see a lot of movement through here and this goes down and it kind of stopped But then nothing happens and I think given that style of animation here where there's Arcs and movements and or somewhat lack of arms arcs, but you know, there's enough ambient movement here that then it suddenly becomes too minimal Where it just feels a bit too minimal animation compared to the beginning so the style suddenly changes a bit So it is too a bit more in your moving holds for that Hey, this is not I don't mind this but the thing that brought me here was that I would cut sooner Was your cutting on the word? Hey, and I would just go Into this And you might have to watch out how you swing back where you might have to overshoot a bit and come back It's a bit harsh and it's stop on some on some moments like here Potentially dissections too, but I will cut a bit sooner where you might even potentially finish that move But the hay is purely in this shot and in this shot even though this might be accurate in terms of him Chest facing this way head facing the guys. I think you could cheat and bring that chest over Facing this way just cheated and then that way you can maybe rotate the head a tiny bit more So maybe that nose reaches maybe here But then giving us a bit more of a separation between the chin and the shoulder to stage it a bit more So it's the chin doesn't kind of flow into that chest You could get a bit more contrast in this again Not my drawing is helping but imagine the chin and the neck and the shoulder are separated in terms of negative space there Hey guys, I was just uh, I was now for this shot guys I was just uh, this all seems very limited in terms of what eyebrows are doing the eyelids I was just This never leaves this room especially through here. It's basically just in here So you're gonna have to look at pushing those moments a bit more really incorporating the whole face. It's just uh, I was just This never leaves this room This never leaves this even this could be this never leaves the room It leaves could have a bit of an accent where the body can come up a little bit a little bit of a chest move a bit of a head accent in the head It leaves this room and this room will be like his most Embarrassed moment where you know throughout the whole thing the head can go down meaning like the nose tip would be here Not the end here. It can be subtle, but I think right now It's extremely limited where there's nothing really going on through there as a scrub as you can see there I was just This never leaves this room and even this could be you can anticipate this with maybe the shoulders go first two frames earlier the slight offset and Then the head and even this could be where and it's not like this watch out as you bring down your lids It would bring down the other eyebrows a bit just was that connective tissue in the face is a bit missing there But you are asking something about There's one spot during that first step move where the left hand kind of gets stuck in one spots There's one spot during that first step and then you're saying It's behind the bodies wasn't sure if it was a big deal or not during that first step I'm not sure what you mean I mean, this has a bit of a sticky feel to it because I'm a bit of a messy art there, but it's not there I'm not sure which one you mean is it? Through there, that's somewhat hidden What do you mean this I'm not quite sure which part you mean maybe a Frame counts would help me. I'm not quite sure but anyway, these are kind of my impressions in terms of just overall cleanup and Giving this a bit more life and texture where it doesn't feel so Separate even with a big nose like this I think this because enough controllers to move a bit of those corners Even a little bit on the nose tip as the jaw goes down. You want us to make this. It's a bit more organic. It's just This never leaves this room and especially the end. It's just a bit too limited where you just stick to lip-syncing. That's it And on the personal notes, I know I'm I was always not not a massive fan of these type of textures I mean with this with these kind of models because they're so limited in their in their Textural detail and then you have this where it's such a clash of styles but again, I think you're gonna put in lights so we'll see at the very end how that is but Even stuff like this. I feel like all those lines Kind of distract from the face in the silhouette and you got stuff like this in the boxes right behind him Where I would take these out put that table over here like no one No one will know anyway. This is the backside Even this feels like there's so much detail and my eye almost wants to go here first before looking at that That's you know textures as much simpler than this So if you need this I would just simplify and move it over there clean this silhouette I would keep that with simple colors All of this just kind of like that even this t-shirt might be too much Noise compared to here, but that's just me. I know this is very subjective But that's just kind of what I my thoughts and textures and looks in animation. All right. Thank you All right, there's an email you can sign up you can start whenever you want you can submit whatever you want You get 16 submissions either way a like and subscribe would be awesome. All right. Thank you


Hey everybody, this is Brian and this is a quick video this actually could become an entire video series if people start leaving Comments saying hey, we want more Basically, I'm an amateur Options trader now. What does that mean? Well, I'm sure you've heard of the stock market stocks have things called options where you can both Buy and sell contracts basically Again, I'm going to explain this very poorly because I'm an amateur. I'm not a professional stock wizard or anything like that What we're looking at here is think or swim This is their desktop platform and I realize this looks like sandpaper on eyeballs, but we're going to break this down I've had a lot of feedback from people saying what is your methodology? What are you doing? Well, what we're talking about is SPX zero DTE Meaning we're going to place an option that expires the same day. So what we're doing is we're selling a contract But it has to trigger the same day. Otherwise, we just walk away and keep the money That sounds really cool, right? It's taken me about a year and a half two years to really figure it out This is not a unique thing. There are millions of people out there explaining what I'm about to show you I just do it a little differently And I'm trying to cut out a lot of the advertisements and fluff and You know buy my course kind of thing because I have no intention of doing that right now All right. So first off, what are we talking about? We're talking about making money and you have to keep detailed logs So paper trading is fake money And I started with ten thousand dollars and I've made twenty two thousand dollars now I want to throw a big flag out in the field right now Paper trading is not real life. I'm just going to repeat that. It's not real life at all This is simulated meaning we're playing with a computer algorithm I'll explain that a little bit more in depth, but basically let's dive through the details We're looking at SPX and notice I'll also have vix down here vix Or vix is the fear index. So this is kind of the opposite here. So when the vix is going up SPX is going down. Let's just zoom out here. So we're going to go to the There we go. So you can see this is the chart and it's kind of choppy and let me just get rid of all these drawings And we're going to do this whole thing from scratch here. I've already got a trade Live, but I want to walk you through the methodology. So we're going to clear that drawing set get rid of all that nonsense And let's walk through this. So here we have our chart here We have what's called a TTM squeeze and here we have an rsi and I'm going to walk through each one of these These are called studies. Now our charts. I just have a candle and let's go ahead and zoom into the one day one minute And you can see how we've got these other little lines What are these? Well, these are studies. So if I click this studies thing Actually over here again, not a professional The studies I have here are the moving averages two lines. I just have the defaults 918 zero simple Then we have the TTM squeeze and the rsi That's how you get all of these things on here So what really is this if I zoom in here are the two lines You can see there's a top and a bottom and they show you direction or the implied direction It's not a perfect science, but it tells you hey When you see these things cross like this, that means the direction is going to change and you can see sure enough It's going down the little pink lines on top And then when it crosses it's because the direction is changing And that you can I think it's called death cross and golden cross I'm not a financial wizard But the death cross means it's going to go down the golden cross means it's going to go up And there's probably better examples in this chart than kind of a down day here Yeah, so here's a good example crossover another crossover So it just tells you it signals you when the market is changing a direction Obviously green candles mean up red candles mean down you have these wicks which they're that's a whole science in itself Don't get pulled into that too much And then you have this TTM squeeze and this actually took me a minute to understand what's going on here. It looks pretty But what's it really signifying if you look at it say this blue here is going up as the stock price is going up As the two lines are going up, but you notice it starts changing color Right where this dark blue bar is is where that red line is meaning It's going up going up going up and up. We're probably going to change direction And then nope it faked out and then it just keeps going up again And then you get a couple bars signifying it's actually changing direction and that correlates with these red bars here And now it's going down once it hits this threshold. You can see it's actually going down further And the colors change again dark red and then when it switches it goes to yellow and you notice how It's switching right around here and starting to go up So the TTM squeeze is another visual indicator. There's a lot of mathematics in the background that show you What's happening? So you can kind of see relative to The price action of what's going on here in a choppy Little segment like this where it's I mean, how do you even begin to trade this up down up down? Well, that's why you use the indicators. You can see these two Lines are still strongly moving upwards even though you've got these chops in the candles And the TTM squeeze is still pumping upwards Once we notice that the squeeze is going down Then the stock's also going to start going down and of course the two lines signify that as well Down here is rsi and again If i'm just chunking through this as fast as humanly possible and you don't understand it This is not a beginner's video. This assumes you have some options trading experience I'm just explaining my methodology. I can make a full video series if you want me to Um, so rsi is just the relative strength basically and I just keep these default We have 70 as high 30 as low and what this is saying and let's just find a snapshot right here You see how it's up And it's also up here on the TTM squeeze and our rsi is also up. So what do we have? We have three indications that this is high So rsi means it's usually not going to go too far above 70. So this is at 62 and change It's relatively high meaning there's a good chance. It's going to go down soon and we can just kind of Scroll backwards in time here and you can see how All of these indicators kind of work beautifully together You've got the two lines with the TTM squeeze and then you have this rsi. You notice how it does jump above 70 right here TTM squeeze signifies. It's going to go down rsi confirms. It's going down. So that's how you kind of trend I say I should say get the general trend of what's going to happen here Now that you understand that you understand the basic meh got tongue-tied basic methodology to this So we're going to zoom out to the 15 minute. This is my morning routine here And what we're going to do is we look at just kind of a day This is the start of the day I should say previous day closed and there's the first 15 minute candle So here's our previous day and this is where it stopped off at and what I'll do first thing in the morning Is I will just go ahead go to drawing tool and do a price line here And just draw a line doesn't have to be perfect. I just make a nice red line saying hey That was previous day Market opens up and I wait for the first 15 minutes if you're confused you can see down at the bottom here is the time 945 So I wait for that first 15 minute candle and I just draw a line here Again, this is not a unique strategy There's other channels that probably explain it better than I can but what we have now is a range a day range Meaning this is where it left off yesterday. This is where it's starting today And if it was higher, I would have done the candle up here But you get it you just want a range and then in the center of that range I'll do another line I'll right click edit and we'll make this one yellow Why am I doing this? Well, there's a concept called mean reversion meaning It's going to try to find the center. It's going to constantly battle to try to get up here It's not always true but you will see that more often than not where it will kind of just bounce up and down around this line and Today is really not the day to demonstrate that because it just keeps going down down down Now that I have these I have a general direction of which way I think the market's going to go So here is our bottom 4255 and it's trending downwards again. This is not a perfect science, but This is why we keep very very I want to say detailed logs And I've only lost I think one trade it was a max loss and honestly that was my mistake I didn't really even follow the guidance. I just gave you I took a higher risk and I ended up paying the price So that wasn't fun But uh, I also try to factor out the percentage. Um, a lot of people will tell you Try to take 50 and I'm going to explain that here in a second but What we're really emphasizing is you use the indicators the lines along with the tpm squeeze and the rsi to get a general direction Off the first 15 minutes of the day. So the first 15 minutes showing this is going down And generally that's exactly what happens. Let's just zoom out here So you can see it's going down for the day Now yesterday was a good example of when this just simply doesn't work You can see it started right left off here. It started here and let's just draw a trend line right here Completely just disregarded that went right up. So that would have been a max loss day Now this is where risk management strategies really come into play which is critical for This specific strategy here Point being now that we've got a direction we would enter a trade and I've already got one entered But I'll show you how I would do it I don't go to the trade tab because this is rubbish. It doesn't really tell you anything Um, let's just about some of these I actually go to the analyze tab and I go to add simulated trades. So what this does is it allows you to see All the goodness in here with the bid ask and all that that's probably too many of them now Bid and ask is great. It tells us what we're going to get but it's not really being super helpful here in terms of What we need to see on the screen. So Let's go ahead and click this and I also want to customize this. So I want to see the probability of in the money And probability of out of the money again. This is not a beginner's video at all But what this does now is it shows us on the screen very elegantly what our probabilities are So you can see right off the bat here We've got these percentages and let me just clean this up because my screen's a little bit smaller here So we're going to get rid of this probability of out of the money All right, so our probability of in the money is gone So now we just have the probability of out of the money So out of the money is our chances of winning the trade. We want this to be out of the money Meaning we want this to expire worthless because we're going to collect a premium up front So you can see the further away we go the higher our chances, but The lower premium we're going to collect So if I went right here, I would get 9.7 and I could go analyze cell and a vertical And go to my risk profile and you can see I would collect $4,050 versus losing $6,000 and that gets a little bit confusing, right? So let's just Only show my trade What we're looking at here is the risk profile the showing us very clearly we would be Getting $4,000 in credit and potentially losing six grand and we can adjust our actual numbers here And that will scale it down So I'd only want to do one contract We would be gaining $435 and potentially losing $580 This is you know a 50-50 shot May the odds be in your favor because you know when you look at the chart it can go all over the place So let's just go back to our analyze. We're going to go to add simulated I typically We're late in the day here, but typically at market open. I'll shoot for about a 75 ish Um And I'll just go right click Analyze sell and then vertical now if we were going the opposite direction like if we thought the stock was going to go The opposite direction go up. We would go over here. So we would say Right about there right click Analyze and sell vertical. So all we're doing here is just credit spreads anyways point being Pick the one you want based off the direction you want. We're going to analyze a Call vert or call vertical because We want this thing to go down And if we look at our risk profile sure enough The further down it goes the more likely we are to make money further up more like we are to lose money And then we can infer our break even right here, which is 4228 from there I would just right click confirm and send when i'm happy make sure everything on the screen is the way I want it And then send it off Once the trade has actually been filled you can see I've got an active trade here That's when I would go in and I would say okay. I want to know where this thing breaks even so Let's look at my fills for the day here We got spx and this is at 40 to 40 Let's double check that here This is kind of sandpaper is on eyeball. I don't like this at all But basically you have your pnl opening your pnl for the day Open is what's currently open and then for the day is just a wrap up of the entire day So you can see I've already done a trade earlier That was my 42 80 and these are zeroed out Pnl is open is zeroed out So my pnl here is not zeroed out. These are the active trades. So it's 42 40 and 42 50 This is where I would typically go to the chart Draw another line just anywhere Right click it edit properties And I set the color the style the width and what we say that was 42 40 I just want a visual representation on the screen of where our break even is on this trade Which is this dotted line Because we're selling a call vertical. We want it to be below that dotted line And let's just zoom out here because this just looks horrendous And now you can see real time What's going on here? We have our range with our middle We picked a direction and it appears today We were actually successful in picking that direction and we have our break even on the dotted line So anything below this line is pure profit And if we go to our analyze tab Make sure that our current options are checked. You can see this is where we are Potentially making 250 potentially losing 750 because that was a much smaller trade This is where risk management comes in here. There's two things you want to really make sure of one is size Your trade appropriately. I'm only risking 750 dollars. You're saying only But look at the account size. You have to really look at how much money you have available So 750 for this account really isn't a huge deal And 250 Is what we're gaining now This is where it gets confusing. You can do two things. You can either let it expire worthless meaning do nothing And as long as this price stays below this line, you're going to collect that entire 250 dollars sounds really good, right? The problem comes in the markets are not always your friend as we saw from yesterday where Yesterday was actually a profitable day for me And that's because I got out early it started here And I Got out about here. So it was profitable. But then the market immediately shot up and had I stayed in Would have been a max loss day Max loss is not fun because then you have to figure out how to get the money back The point I'm trying to impress here is the more time you are in the trade the more risk you're assuming Because anything can happen Um, for example, yesterday, I think ellen musk said he was going to buy twitter and then the stock market rallied Which is why that just shot up So I'm not happy with this being here. I want to take my money and run. So what I can do is flip to the monitor Let's look at whoops Look at spx and you can see I have 180 profit Open meaning I could make 180 dollars right now. So what a lot of Zero dte spx traders will tell you is take 50 percent. So it would be 250 divided by two I actually don't like doing that I will look at A is the trade going against me if it is I'll immediately just cut my losses and sell it Even if I take a smaller loss rather than that entire 750 Which don't always count on that because the market can move against you very rapidly But this is why I use a spread because I have a defined risk And a defined reward. It's not ever going to go over 750 In terms of the amount I'll lose But it also shouldn't go over 250 the amount I'll win Again, you're going to see people in the comments who are way smarter than me explaining. That's not actually true. You can There are instances you can lose more and make more even though you have your risk defined But this is a good definition of defined risk also This you want to note that you typically don't want your risk to be three times more than your reward so Three times this Is about that. So we're about one to three ratio here, which is pretty good Enough rambling what I want to do here is I want to right click spx. I want to create a closing order and I want to buy Because we're selling I want to buy to close And that brings up this screen again sandpaper on eyeballs I don't know if it's because I'm on linux or what but the estimated price is not popping up It may be because I'm on spx and not an actual stock because spx is an etf Anyways point being we have the mid And then the high now there's a lower but basically what this is This is the the spread that people are looking at right A lot of times mid will actually trigger and it's going to put you right around mid And you'll see this number adjust around. So if I just want to sell it right now As is I could confirm It's going to cost me $50 plus the commission. So about $52 But remember when I got into this trade, I already collected my premium. So I'd be walking away from this with about 207 dollars So you can either take your profit and run Or you can go in here and you can adjust this and what a lot of people do will do a dot 10 And what that'll do is ten dollars plus commission of fees and you may be going why would you do that? um It's personal preference. Um, a lot of people remember you want to get out of that trade When you have profit because the longer you're in the trade the more risk you're assuming and at the end of the day Let's just go back to yesterday here The market can move against you very very rapidly I mean, this is just went straight up and it would have been a max loss. So This is why you want to make sure you can get out of the trade So again, let's just go back here And let's create a closing order And I'm going to do this as a dot 10 Now what I'll also consider doing once in a while is what's called an oco or one cancels the other Meaning you can have two of these bad boys in here So let's go ahead and create a duplicate order And let's just do a stop Now a stop This takes a bit of explaining but we can do a stop limit limit Whatever we want to do So if we do a stop limit and add a specific mark, what does this really mean? Well, now we have two different Orders we will be doing but one of them will trigger and one of them won't And this is where we can really decide where we want to be. So for example, I could say I want this at 25 Doesn't really seem to make a whole lot of sense. Honestly when you look at it, but Let's adjust this so it's actually what I wanted it But now you can see you have two different orders So you'd have you walk away with ten dollars or you could do your stop loss of 25 dollars Again, very very fictitious example. I tend to not mess around with stop loss When I'm doing a spread because if you look at your analyze tab, you already have your risk defined So what I will do is I will just simply go in here right click Adjust this down to a 10 Notice this is below the mid I'll confirm and send so this would cost me ten dollars plus commission fees or 12 dollars 28 cents Go ahead and hit send now before you ever hit this you want to make sure You know what you're doing. This is a simulation. This is not real I want to pause right here and say because we're in a simulation This may actually trigger as soon as I hit send Paper trading tends to have extremely unrealistic fills Meaning you can make a million dollars in five minutes.  Let's zoom out This guy right here is our dot 10 Meaning if this thing goes down and triggers it, it's going to actually sell it And it looks like it's actually fairly close looks like as we've been recording this the market's been dropping I can go into my monitor and I can see it's currently at a dot 20 dot 225 So this is actually extremely close to triggering this thing But now I can just walk away go about my day and you know do my day job Go hang around play playstation. Whatever I'm doing that day point being Like many of you I have a day job and I have a life and I can't sit here and watch the screen all day So this is what you really want to do is your orders Now you can add in another order if you want Or you could just cancel it. You can either cancel it here or you can just right click and cancel it right here See tada cancelled Now if I've got things to do like for example, if I'm working I will actually go in and let's create a closing order And I'm going to do my 10 that's my profit collector here And I'll do my ocl And this is where it's going to get confusing I'm going to create a duplicate order And let's go ahead and I just want to do a stop And we're going to do market A lot of people are going to tell you to do limit the problem is the market can move against you so fast It'll shoot right beyond your limit. It'll never trigger So we want to look at our profit range here So let's confirm and say, okay, so I would be paying 1750 on the second one This is where you got to do some math here. You got to go into your fill And we're looking at This thing was a net price of 2.50 That's what we got for it. And this is where I'm probably going to not do this. Well, but let's go ahead and do it too And oh come on. Did you work with me here? There we go So it would cost me 20 dollars to close this thing And I think that's probably because it's towards the end of the day If it was closer to the beginning of the day, this would be a much higher cost Data is working in our favor But I would just simply do something like this confirm send Now we have the oco all set up. You see that little link there? So one or the other is going to trigger either I'm going to sell for a profit at dot 10 or I'm going to just stop out at 2.0 Bit late in the day. Yeah, I see it's way up here So this is where it gets a bit a little bit ridiculous because you notice how if it goes above this We're looking at max loss and because we're in a five dollar increment It doesn't make a lot of sense Which is why I tend to avoid doing this And you can actually go back in here and adjust it and then I'm just kind of screwing around with this So I'm going to cancel replace. Let's say we did this wrong like I just did And then if I look at the chart, you notice how boom, it's right at that line now So basically one of these is going to trigger So it's either going to go down here and I'm going to sell and take a profit minus 12 dollars or the market's just going to hate me that day And it's going to shoot up here But as soon as it hits this it's going to say nope I don't want to lose any more money than I have to and it's going to try to sell as soon as it can That was a lot of words and admittedly I probably explained it poorly But that is kind of the method to my madness if you want me to slow down Redo this video Make a series of videos explaining this in depth. Let me know. I am not a financial guru I'm just a normal person like you who's watched a lot of youtube videos and tried to figure this out Let's recap really really quick because I realize I threw a lot at you and this is just like Sandpaper on eyeballs is the best way I can explain it We're doing spx zero dte. Why are we doing spx and not will spy because This is cash settled meaning if the market went down and went above we're not going to get assigned So we don't lose our money. We can actually wait for the trade to go back into our favor Um first first 15 minutes of the day. I will actually go in And I will mark Previous day First 15 of the day and then the mean or the middle That way in case we're dealing with like a choppy where it's going to go back and forth I know where the midline is Pick a direction go for it and then I put a dotted line saying hey, this is my break even here Then I'll go in and put stops.  I mean if you've learned some options You know about the greeks and time decay is in your favor The amount of time decay on these is insane and that's why I don't really play around with this upper stop here Let me go here I don't really play around with this too much because honestly that time decay is going so fast It's just going to eat you alive, which is why you want to do a spread Specifically I do vertical spreads. So I have a defined risk and a I should say defined risk and a defined reward The risk should be no more than three times the premium collected that way if it goes against me I only have to go back and win three trades Now in my albeit humble experience what typically happens is Let me pull my sheet up I'll enter the trade And I record everything down Very much so I can go back and see what did I screw up or what was awesome about this And you'll notice some of these I'll take the max profit where others I'll close out early If the market is choppy, I will just take my profits and run meaning I will take 50 of the profit And let me actually demonstrate that So let's say the market's getting all kind of weird on me here And I want to just Ancel these so I'm going to cancel both of these orders here I could have selected them both, but I'm cancel those out. So now we're just running blind 235 P&L markets acting weird, you know alien musk is going to buy Twitter I'm just going to go here create close and say I want out of this ASAP The mid is about 20 I'm just going to lock it send it in confirm send It's going to cost me $20 and some change send boom and bang filled got my money So if I flip back over I now have a zero P&L and my profit for the day because I did a previous trade is $435 Lots of words, but basically Don't get a false sense of security on paper trading. These fills are highly unrealistic and they fill a heck of a lot faster than real life So this is the zero DTE with xpx Drop a comment below and let me know what you thought if it was super confusing If you want me to do like a whole video series on this or if it was just complete rubbish And you thought I have no idea what I'm talking about All right. Talk to you later. Bye


and worship you for the glorious gospel of grace in our Lord Jesus Christ thank you Lord that you've saved us God thank you that in Christ you have made us accepted in the beloved and I pray God if there's anyone here that isn't saved how that you would save them for your glory the name of Jesus Christ our blessed God and Savior we pray amen you may be seated our sermon title this morning is believe in him believe in him and our text is John chapter 3 verse 16 what a great text amen and John chapter 3 verse 16 says for God so loved the world that he gave his only begotten son that whoever believes in him should not perish but have everlasting life one of those glorious texts in all of scripture a famous text but a text that is often taken out of context or a text that is often hijacked and deluded and corrupted in its meaning but in our study of John chapter 3 in the Lord's conversation here with Nicodemus so far this conversation has been set against a backdrop and it is a backdrop of man's depravity all men outside of Christ are born depraved Adam is our representative in the Bible says in Romans chapter 5 verse 12 that just as through one man sin entered the world and death through sin and thus death spread to all men because all have sin and sin has impacted sin has affected every aspect of who we are sin has caused our heart as the Bible says to be foolish to be darkened sin has caused our hearts our understanding to be defiled your understanding the Bible says is depraved we are feudal apart from Christ we are feudal in our thoughts professing to be wise all men outside of Christ are fools they're filled with all unrighteousness and we are spiritually blind and dead in our trespasses apart from the regenerating work of the spirit of God in the heart of man all men outside of Christ are totally depraved God's assessment of you and I apart from the regenerating work of his spirit is what is meant by the term total depravity it is a thorough or pervasive depravity that depravity is clearly seen in the thoughts and intents of man's heart apart from Christ in that they are always and continually evil mark chapter 7 verse 21 says for from within out of the heart of men proceed evil thoughts adulteries fornications murders thefts covetousness wickedness deceit lewdness and evil eye blasphemy pride foolishness right just the the the stack of evidence against us is great all these evil things mark says come from within and defile a man the glorious truth however the glorious truth against the backdrop of that disgusting and deplorable reality is the history of the Bible from Genesis to Revelation that is the account of God's working in history to redeem a fallen man to himself why why is that the case why would God do this what it's for his own glory God for the praise and worship do his name and for the exaltation of his son has worked in history to redeem fallen man to himself but secondly it's because the Bible says in the Bible teaches that God is love that God is love this is not a sentimentalized or sappy or superficial kind of love this is a love that is governed by God's perfect holiness it is a love first for his own righteous character his own divine justice it is a love that is first concerned with his own glory it is a love that would not settle for anything less but that God would be just and that God would be holy and that God would be glorified God's holiness is of such perfection God's justice so pure so undefiled and man's sin is so much a horrid stain such an offensive blight on the character of God that to uphold his perfect justice and to preserve his perfect holiness God would be right and just to cast mankind into an eternal torment as punishment for their sin but the history of the Bible the history of the Bible from Genesis Revelation is not a story of a hopeless condemnation amen it's not a story whereby God only vindicates his holiness and justice by glorifying himself in man's eternal punishment the glorious truth of the Bible is that God from Genesis Revelation has been working in history to reverse the human tragedy of sin and to provide a means by which we may maybe saved it's for our good it's for his glory that's great love amen it's a love that upholds God is just but it's also a love that upholds God as the great justifier all in such a way that God alone gets all the glory there's only one way that that could be done it's only one way one way alone that God could be just and the justifier it would take an immeasurable love it would take an indescribable gift and it would take an indestructible faith an immeasurable love an indescribable gift and an indestructible faith first an immeasurable love a love so immeasurable as to be thoroughly and completely unconditional a love so great that flowing from it would be grace and mercy and kindness and compassion and patience all toward those that are thoroughly and completely undeserving in every way enemies of God by their wicked works but secondly that immeasurable love result in an indescribable gift the chasm or the rift between man and God created by our own sin against him is so great there can be no forgiveness no forgiveness of sin without the greatest of costs which is the shedding of blood the giving of that which is most valuable life to fully and finally repair the breach would take a sacrificial gift on the part of God so great and it's such so high so unimaginable a cost that it is described by the Bible as indescribable it would be a gift or a sacrifice of God's own son the only response that is warranted the only response possible to uphold the justice of God to uphold the holiness of God that is born out of the love mercy and grace of God is a response in faith and an indescribable faith this great salvation would have to be so completely the work of God alone that it would render man unable to boast of anything and that God whose chief consideration is his own glory would have all of the glory to himself the only appropriate response is a God gifted God empowered God preserved faith now all these points think about it for a moment this immeasurable love of God that indescribable gift that indestructible faith the the glory that is the gospel of the Lord Jesus Christ all explained beautifully in one simple but extraordinarily profound verse John chapter 3 verse 16 for God so loved the world but he gave his only begotten son and whoever believes in him should not perish but have everlasting life Martin Luther called John 3 16 the gospel in miniature God is the master of understatement the master of the economy of words so much profound truth packed in such a few words we could spend weeks and weeks and weeks talking about this verse alone it's glorious so how are we to respond to these glorious truths how are we to how are we to respond how we how do we think about these things maybe you've heard a great piece of music and you've had your heart stirred right your emotion stirred you think about that great piece of music maybe you listen to it over and over again because of the way that it makes you feel gospel is nothing like that it should stir our emotions it should stir our affections but it should change our life maybe you've seen fireworks before right you just odd by the fireworks you leave the fireworks displayed just thoroughly impressed and you go back to your life as it once was we should look at the gospel and be impressed we should look at the gospel in just glory and how wondrous it is but it should transform who we are we're not just sit back and simply ponder the love of God how great God is and what God has done we should respond with faith and be transformed by the power of the gospel you must believe in him this glorious gospel these glorious truths demand that response it is the only appropriate response you must believe in the Lord Jesus Christ John writes this gospel spend these words that you might believe that Jesus is the Christ the Son of God and that believing you might have life in his name this belief in Jesus Christ is not merely mental it's not merely intellectual it's not merely and only emotional believing here is the way the Bible communicates genuine saving faith you must entrust yourself to him for salvation you must entrust yourself to him in order to follow Christ by faith we'll see that as we get into our text so we begin we need to understand first the context of our verse here the context in which John 3 16 is found John 3 16 is an explanation of an illustration given to us by the Lord Jesus Christ in verses 14 and 15 in verse 14 Jesus Christ begins to recount for us the historical account that we see in numbers chapter 21 numbers chapter 21 is where the Israelites in the wilderness grumbled and complained against God I think about the foolishness of that all that the Lord had done for them and they grumbled and complained against God in judgment against them God sent fiery serpents among the people and many of the people were bitten by the serpents and died however Moses comes between God and the people to intercede for the people and in an act of great mercy in a great act of love toward a stiff necked and rebellious people God tells Moses to make a bronze serpent and to put the bronze serpent at the top of a pole and to raise that pole so that whoever is bitten would believe God look to the bronze serpent the remedy that God has provided that they would be saved from the serpents now Jesus says in verse 15 in the same manner the son of man must be lifted up in the same manner Jesus Christ must be crucified sacrificed on Calvary's cross so that those believing in God and the salvation that God has provided may look to God's provision may look to the Lord Jesus Christ in faith trusting him alone for salvation and that placing that saving belief in Christ they wouldn't perish but have everlasting life in all of that all of that is because God so loved the world that he gave his only begotten son that whoever believes in him should not perish but have everlasting life we see in verse 16 that this glorious act of mercy this glorious act of grace on the part of God begins with an immeasurable love an immeasurable love for God so loved the world that he gave his only begotten son literally there the verse begins so loved God the world that word so means in the same manner in the same manner now ask yourself in the same manner as what it's in the same way that God demonstrated love for those wicked hard hardest hard-hearted rebellious complaining grumbling Israelites by providing for them their rescue from the serpents God demonstrated love in the same way toward the world in raising up Christ remembering the illustration think about the illustration for God so loved the world think about what so loved the world then is emphasizing numbers 21 in the account of God saving the people from the fiery serpents is drawing attention first to the total depravity of the people if you read that account in numbers 21 it is drawing attention to the grumbling and complaining of the Israelites now imagine for a moment they've been led by the strong arm of God out of Egypt God punished judged their oppressors with 10 plagues took them through the Red Sea on dry land destroyed the pursuing armies of Pharaoh God fed them with manna out of heaven gave them meat to eat brought water out of a rock they heard his audible voice he gave him gave them his law on Mount Sinai he gave them the pillar of fire by night in the cloud by day and led them through the wilderness God chose in of himself to love the children of Israel not because there was anything lovable in them but simply because God chose to shed his love on them look at all that God has done and then yet in great sin in great rebellion they complain and grumble against him their rebellion is shocking as their rebellion is and that is the point of that passage how shocking the rebellion the sin of Israel was against their God as shocking as their rebellion is it can only be eclipsed by the great love and mercy of God in saving them rather than blowing them up on the spot right in the same manner God loved the world in the same manner the sin of this wicked world against God your sin my sin so absurdly and wickedly and pervasively evil so offensive to God that in this context our wickedness the wickedness of this world may only be eclipsed by how great the love and mercy of God that he would provide for our salvation rather than blowing us up on the spot God so loved the world in the same manner God didn't have to make provision for our sin but he did he didn't have to make provision for our sin how great and wondrous the love of God you see that the magnitude of God's love isn't being here primarily explained or emphasized by its scope in that it extends to a great number of people it certainly does it extends to people from every tribe tongue and nation it's not extending only to the Jews also to the Gentiles people from every tribe tongue and nation an immeasurable an innumerable mass of humanity that the Lord has saved it's being primarily described here by its perfection perfectly and totally independent of how unlovable its object is there's not anything lovely about us right the Bible says even our good is as a filthy rag God's love is so completely unconditional so completely sacrificial and it's a choice of God's own sovereign will perfectly glorifying God alone grounded exclusively in God alone and look at the great love with which he loved us not only did he love us with an immeasurable love a great love but he gave his own son he gave his own son look at what it cost God to redeem man to himself this is an immeasurable immeasurable love he did that for a world that did not know him for a world that rejected him rebelled against him and killed him it's an immeasurable love we can only truly understand the love of God God's amazing love toward us when we further understand how unlovely we are and then all of that only in the light of Jesus Christ on the cross you know both of those truths must be urgently pressed and preached all the time throughout history this verse has been torn out of its context and one half of the truth has been taught and it leads to error both truths must be taught and urgently pressed urgently preached upon all people we need constant reminding of our depravity constant reminding of our sin our rebellion against him and constant reminding of the great love and mercy and grace and compassion and patience of God listen how Paul puts these both together the scripture puts them together all the time and this is one of them the more obvious examples of that in Titus chapter 3 verse 3 Paul says the Titus for we ourselves were also once foolish now listen to the diagnosis of man once foolish disobedient deceived serving various lusts and pleasures living in malice and envy hateful hating one another but listen when the kindness and the love of God our Savior toward man appeared not by works of righteousness which we have done but according to his mercy he saved us through the washing of regeneration the renewing of the Holy Spirit whom he poured out on us sparingly no a abundantly through Jesus Christ our Savior that having been justified by his grace we should become heirs according to the hope of eternal life you know if you preach the love of God without its contrast with the wickedness of man you get a prideful self-righteous people who may admire the love of God but see no need in themselves of a Savior both truths must be preached must be pressed upon people all the time mark chapter 2 verse 17 Jesus said those who are well have no need of a physician but those who are sick he said I did not come to call the righteous but sinners to repentance if you preach the wickedness of man without its hope for redemption in the love and mercy of God then you get a despairing discouraged disheartened hopeless faithless legalistic people striving in their own strength for right standing with God sounds like Islam doesn't it Paul said again to Titus in chapter 2 verse 11 for the grace of God that brings salvation has appeared to all men teaching that grace teaching us that denying ungodliness and worldly lusts that we should live soberly righteously and godly in the present age looking for the blessed what blessed hope the blessed hope and glorious appearing of our great God and Savior Jesus Christ who gave himself for us that he might redeem us from every lawless deed and purify for himself his own special people zealous for good works you know from the standpoint of those rebellious and dying Israelites in the wilderness that day in numbers 21 God showed love toward all of them didn't any provided a rescue for anyone who would look to the bronze serpent the bronze serpent was raised for anyone to look but there was no other remedy I want you to get this it was an act of mercy toward all of them whether they looked or whether they didn't whether they believed in God whether they trusted in the provision that God had sent or if they didn't here in John chapter 3 verse 16 this love of God is said to be directed to the world in the same way there's much error in thinking in theology with respect to this verse we need to be clear about this the world here in John chapter 3 verse 16 in context is the mass of fallen and lost humanity it is a general term world is a general term used for humanity fallen humanity in a general sense this is the world of chapter 1 verse 10 that did not know him made up of lost people this is the world of chapter 3 verse 17 that his son was sent into this is the world of chapter 3 verse 19 that the light has come into where men love darkness rather than the light this is what is referred to by the world in John chapter 3 verse 16 there are two errors that people often come to when they consider this verse one is that God loves only those who believe and he hates everyone who has lost but he has only hatred for the wicked and only love for those who believe that's one erroneous way of thinking the second is that God loves everyone indiscriminately in exactly the same way now it's biblically true I want to understand this it's biblically true that God hates Jacob I loved Esau I have hated right Romans chapter 9 verse 13 in Psalm chapter 5 verse 5 the Bible says that God hates all workers of iniquity in Proverbs chapter 6 verse 19 God hates the one who sows discord among the brethren and he hates the false witness that speaks lies and so on however we got to understand it is also equally true that God shows love and compassion toward lost people in Mark's account remember the rich young ruler in Mark chapter 10 very interesting tucked away in verse 21 Mark says in 10 21 that Jesus in speaking with the rich young ruler a lost man that Jesus loved him and in an act of love he's sharing the gospel with him the second great commandment is what to love your neighbor as yourself in Luke chapter 10 a lawyer wanting to justify himself ask Jesus then well who's my neighbor and what did Jesus do he told him the parable of the good Samaritan in the parable of the good Samaritan who was his neighbor everyone who ever he came across anyone he came across was his neighbor Jesus himself said that we're to love our enemies right in 1st Timothy chapter 2 we are to pray for all men which is good and acceptable in the sight of God who desires all men to be saved it is the desired will of God that all men are saved God has two desires a will of desire and a will of decree and God's will of desire he desires that men are saved God says he takes no death no pleasure in the death of the wicked takes no pleasure in the death of one who dies but that wicked man would turn from his wicked ways and live it is the love and compassion of God that wicked men would repent finally there's no greater act of love than the giving of the gospel no greater act of love than the gospel God's offer free offer of the gospel to all men everywhere is a glorious act of love toward them God doesn't do this in condemnation if you've been here week after weekend and week out and you've heard the gospel time and time again God doesn't preach the gospel to you in condemnation Jesus Christ did not come into the world to condemn the world Jesus Christ came into the world that the world might be saved through him it is a great great an act of grace an act of mercy an act of love on the part of God to spread the gospel he offers the gospel freely in love and commands all men everywhere to repent this is a loving act doesn't Paul say to the Corinthians you are to plead with lost people as though God were pleading through you that is a heart of love a heart of compassion on the part of God towards those who are lost that need a savior the gospel offer is a sincere offer it's a sincere offer on the part of God to lost people they might be saved so those who would say that the world in John chapter 3 verse 16 is referring only to believers without distinction to race I want you to think about it in verse 16 he so loved the world and that phrase whoever believed are not equal terms for God's so loved the world that whoever believes in him they're speaking of two different things that which is expressed by the one is not expressed by the other and I'll leave you to ponder that secondly the world of verse 17 is inclusive of both he who believes and the he who does not believe of verse 18 the world is inclusive of those who believe and those who do not believe thirdly there's a part of the world that rejects the light and is condemned in verse 19 again the world being made up of those who believe and those who do not believe so you can't say the context here demands that the world in the love expressed in John 3 16 is a general love toward all humanity it's a general love toward all humanity those who believe that the world means that God loves everyone the same John 3 16 is not teaching a universal salvation not teaching universalism the context here clearly teaches that unbelievers will perish will face judgment and eternal punishment for their sin the bible also clearly teaches a particular or electing love reserved for those that God chooses no one would fault me for saying that i love you but i love my wife in a very particular way amen there's a particular love for my wife that i don't have for all of you i love you but not the way that i love my wife no one faults that there is a distinguishing love but there is love nonetheless for God toward lost people and there's a particular electing love for his elect but listen just like Moses raises up the only remedy for those that were bitten by the serpent God raises up the only remedy before the whole world Jesus Christ was raised up to be the propitiation for the sins of the whole world to be the ransom for the whole world to be the mediator for the whole world to be the savior of the world in the sense that he is the only one he is the only reconciler he is the only repairer of the breach he is the only mediator he is the only propitiation he is the only ransom he is the only son of god He is the only savior in the sense that he is the only one who can. He's the only savior for the entire world.  He is the only one. God in that sense has sent his son for the mass of sinful, fallen, lost humanity. It is the greatest act of love imaginable. It is an immeasurable love. If men are going to be saved they must look to Christ alone. And how great is the love of God for this sinful world that he gave his only one of a kind begotten son. John MacArthur said that God so loved the world wicked though it was. And despite the fact that nothing in the world was worthy of his love he nevertheless loved the world of humanity so much that he gave his only begotten son the dearest sacrifice that he could make. I would submit to you that is an understatement. So that whoever believes in him should not perish but have eternal life. The end result of God's love is therefore the gospel message. The free offer of life and mercy to anyone who believes. In other words, the gospel. An indiscriminate offer of divine mercy to everyone without exception. Manifest God's compassionate love and unfamed loving kindness to all humanity. It is a great love. Immeasurable love. That is the love with which he's loved us. You know that him that we sang. The love of God. It's written by a man named Frederick Lehman. And the third verse is just staggering in its thought. In its scope. Could we with ink the ocean fill and were the skies of parchment made? Were every stalk on earth a quill and every man ascribed by trade. To write the love of God above would drain the ocean dry. Nor could the scroll contain the whole. Those stretched from sky to sky. It's an immeasurable love. Immeasurable love. You know just like those Israelites. Think for a moment about all that God has done for you. Think about the love that God has shown you. If you're here today in Christ. Think about the love that God has shown to you. But if you're here today and you're not saved. Think about the love that God has shown toward you. You're here today. You hear the gospel being preached. You have a Bible in your hand. You have genuine bloodbought brothers and sisters around you that care for your soul.  You have all the resources available at your fingertips. Think about the grace and mercy and kindness and compassion.  Maybe you think to yourself. God is planning to condemn me. Or that my sin is too great. My heart is too cold. Listen Jesus Christ did not come into the world to condemn the world. He came. The world through him might be saved. That you might be saved. God desires all men to be saved. And that's you. It's the desire of God that you would be saved.  That is what has motivated God's love for you. God's patience toward you. God's compassion toward you to this point. Are you going to grumble and complain against God like those wicked Israelites in the desert? To say that God's brought me out here to kill me and glorify himself in my condemnation. It's not the God of the Bible. He comes to you with immeasurable love in the gospel. And he calls you to repentance. Calls you to faith in his son that you might believe in him for eternal life. Let me also give you a warning in this. There's a warning here. God loving the world is not an excuse for presumption. Don't be presumptuous with God. Believing that because of God's love that you can live in your sin and believe that you'll somehow make it into heaven. Don't be presumptuous with God. You'd better understand the Bible.  I was witnessing to a man on the campus last week and he was banking on the love of God that he could live as he wants to and still get into heaven. Love of God.  But God's love is governed by God's holiness, God's justice. And we'll see the biblical balance of that next week as we get into verses 17 through 21. Second point on your notes, it's an indescribable gift. His immeasurable love is demonstrated with an indescribable gift. The greatest gift of God to the world is the gospel in which God delivered up or sacrificed or endured the loss of. That's what that word means. His only monogamous, radically distinctive, unique, without equal, one of a kind son. The only man who is ever perfectly worthy of God's love. Paul describes it as indescribable, too glorious to be able to be expressed in words. In 1 Corinthians chapter five verse 21, God made him who knew no sin to be sin for us that we might become the righteousness of God in him. It is only through Christ that we come to know the love of God and that we come to know God. The word there for only be gotten, better translated unique or one of a kind. It does not mean that Jesus Christ was created or that Jesus Christ came into being. The Bible never teaches that and any responsible or reasonable person would see that as error, would see that as a false teaching. Christ's uniqueness is another aspect that points to the greatness of the gift. Jesus Christ was not a created being. Jesus Christ was the incarnate one. As such, he is God in the flesh. When God gave the gift of Jesus Christ, he is giving himself as a great gift, an indescribable gift. All the promises of God are yes. All the promises of God are yes and amen in him. Think about your need and think about the gift that supplies that need. You need a perfect substitute. You need a perfect substitute. Jesus Christ is a perfect substitute. No sin. Word thought or deed lived perfectly satisfying the just and righteous demands of God for holy living. Perfectly lived for God. You need a wrath satisfying sacrifice.  The wrath of God was poured out on Jesus Christ. The punishment that you rightly deserve, Jesus Christ being God in the flesh was able to endure that eternal punishment in himself on the tree for those that would believe in the gospel. He takes the punishment you rightly deserve. You need someone who can conquer death, who has power over death. And Jesus Christ conquered the grave, conquered death. You need a savior. Jesus Christ is the only and perfect savior. It is an amazing gift. So what will you do? What will you do that that gift now is being offered to you? If you're here today, you've never turned from your sin and put your faith in Christ, what are you going to do? That gift is offered freely to you. Are you going to sit there indifferent? Are you going to sit there cold hearted? Or will you look at the gift? Will you look at the love that is shown to you and be grateful to God and receive that gift trusting him? Receive that gift in faith, believing in the Lord Jesus Christ. Will you turn? Or will you continue to make excuses? Don't make excuses. This is a glorious gift. This is an immeasurable love. Follow Christ in faith. Just trust him. You must believe in him. And all this, we're talking about faith. Point three is this is an indestructible faith. Whoever believes in him should not perish but have everlasting life. Hebrews chapter 11 says that without faith it is impossible to believe God. Ephesians chapter two says that we are saved by grace through faith. To believe in him and to have faith in him are expressing the exact same thing. God's grace and mercy is only available for those who believe in Christ. Now, literally there in verse 16, it says all believing ones. That all believing ones in him should not perish but have everlasting life. This is an ongoing, persevering, continual belief in the Lord Jesus Christ. It's that look of faith, that trusting of Christ. It's that looking to him, trusting him alone for salvation. It's that simple reception. But then it's that reception, that belief that bears fruit. Looking at this from a negative perspective, if you believe in him, you won't perish. That means then that if you are currently unbelieving, you're condemned already. Your default state, your default position is one of condemnation. That's exactly what verse 18 says. Means you are condemned already because of your sin.  And as eternal, as the life is, that eternal perishing, that judgment is also eternal. It's final and eternal. However, again, the purpose of the sun and his first coming was not to condemn but to save. To look at this faith from the positive perspective, those who believe in him, who exercise genuine saving faith will not perish, but they'll have eternal life. There is a promise here to those who believe in him of eternal life because it is a promise. It is a guarantee. It's a promise. It's a guarantee. It means you cannot lose it. It is a promise. There's a promise here that those who believe in him will never perish. That means that genuine salvation can never be lost. You can't lose your salvation. Believers will be preserved by God and will persevere to the end and be saved, and they're kept by God's power. This is God's grace, God's love, God's mercy again, and that he preserves those who are his. Listen to 1 Peter chapter 1 verse 3. Blessed be the God and Father of our Lord Jesus Christ, who according to his abundant mercy has begotten us again to a living hope through the resurrection of Jesus Christ from the dead, to an inheritance incorruptible and undefiled that does not fade away reserved in heaven for you, who are kept by the power of God through faith for salvation ready to be revealed in the last time. It's an amazing, amazing gift, and it is an indestructible faith. So what does it mean to believe in him? What does it mean to believe in him? This is getting to the very point for which John wrote his gospel. You must, in believing in Christ, you must entrust yourself to him for salvation. You must entrust yourself to him for salvation. This is no mere emotional response only. This is a response that is grounded in truth. It's grounded in who Christ is, what Christ has done. It is not a subjective belief only. Our faith is built on evidence, built on grounds of truth, built on objectivity. It is placing yourself completely at the disposal of the Lord Jesus Christ with a spiritual hope, with spiritual convictions rooted and grounded in the Word of God. You decide to believe in him despite what goes on around you or despite what goes on in you. You place yourself completely and trust yourself completely to Christ. Listen to the example of Jesus Christ. He's our great example. Listen to his example from 1 Peter chapter 2. Peter says, to this you were called because Christ also suffered for us, leaving us an example that you should follow with steps. Here's how you should follow him. He says, Jesus Christ committed no sin, nor was deceit found in his mouth, who when he was reviled did not revile in return. When he suffered, he did not threaten, but he committed himself to him who judges righteously. Jesus Christ committed himself to God in the same way that we're to commit ourselves to Jesus Christ.  You are to entrust yourself to him. You are to rely upon him and be at his complete disposal. You put your faith and trust in Christ. In the same way that Christ gave himself over to the purposes and plans of God, in faith you give yourself over to the purposes and plans of Christ. You just believe him.  Are these subjective feelings only? No. No, they'll be feelings. They'll be emotions. But it's this kind of faith that is a self-denying faith. It is this kind of faith that is an obedient faith because you trust Christ and Christ is completely for your good. Works together all things for your good. To believe in Christ is to put off those old appetites that once enslaved us and you do that by trusting in Christ. It means to confront temptation with a courageous faith, choosing Christ as Moses did rather than the passing pleasures of sin, right, Hebrews chapter 11. True faith denies the will of the flesh. True faith denies the will of the world, denies the will of the devil for the will of Christ who has saved you. It is putting Christ first, preeminent in your life, choosing Christ over sin. It's to say, not my will, but your will be done. And to do that in all things. And in that it's going to bear the fruit of obedience. There's a great promise here in verse 16.  If you entrust yourself to Christ in genuine faith in him, and the promise is eternal life, John chapter 6 verse 37, all that the Father gives me will come to me and the one who comes to me, I will by no means cast out. It's a glorious promise from the Lord. This is in a measurable love. Amen. It's an indescribable gift. And it is a persevering, preserved, indestructible faith. It's a glorious salvation. The only right response is to believe in him. You must believe, will you do it right now? Believe in him. Entrust yourself completely to him. Turn from that life that you've already wrecked. And put yourself in the hands of God and trust yourself to him. And you have an amazing gift, everlasting life, eternal life, forgiveness of sins, pardoned, washed, clean. It's a glorious salvation. Let's pray. Father in heaven, we praise you and thank you. Thank you Lord for this great salvation you've provided in Christ. We praise you, thank you for the great love with which you've loved us. Thank you Lord for this indescribable gift. And thank you Lord for granting us faith and repentance. Lord, when we were dead in our sins and trespasses that you caused us by your spirit to be born again, granted us faith and repentance. God, thank you for the work that you do to redeem us to yourself that we might be accepted in the beloved. We might worship and praise you forever more for your glory. God, in Jesus' name we pray. Amen.