Good afternoon Hello Hello, hello, so I think we'll let people continue to wander in I know the food truck lines are long and wet and Not a lot of fun this afternoon But we'll go ahead and get started nonetheless now and then just let people wander in as they wander in I think My name is Tom Darby and I have been Attending radiant with my wife Karen for 22 years now Karen's right over there. Yeah We definitely Definitely feel blessed to have been here for that long. I've been an elder here now for a little over 10 years And Karen and I own four businesses with our children In the plain while Michigan area. So we have four children Son-in-law my daughter just got married a month or so ago and then a daughter-in-law Um, the four kids work with us in the businesses So a lot of people wonder I wonder if they still like each other. Do they still get along? And they do and we do Uh, they we still have sunday lunches every sunday at one o'clock. They all come we spend time together We vacation together still so everybody still gets along and that is a miracle and it's a god thing So we're just thankful for that We never expected that All of them would work in the businesses. We just prayed that god would send them wherever he wanted them and we tried to train them up and Pray over them and talk to them about we wanted them to do what god wanted them to do And we were blessed just in an amazing way that he placed on all of their hearts to come and work with us So we're thankful for that So we started our first business Um in 1995 Um, I grew up around here. So I went to gull Lake High school then I left got a mechanical engineering degree Down in indiana and then had three job opportunities and came back up here to work for an aerospace company for 10 years before um, I Started our first business and felt called to start our first business So the marketplace is a mission field um to me was something that um, I really didn't think about when I was young I grew up in a home. I went to church at a catholic church not far from here grew up in a home where my father was the son of a irish father and an italian mother so a pretty wild situation and um, so he grew up going to the catholic school in the catholic church And then my mom was just an on fire holy spirit filled woman. So But I grew up always knowing And believing that jesus died on the cross for my sins and that God was god But I chose at a young age when I was in high school To believe that the world what the world had to offer was better than what god did So I chased that through high school Chased that through college and then my first experience with a marketplace mission Missionary or mission field was my senior year in college my friend graduated before I did he went to work for this company And I received a letter in the mail back then we got mail it wasn't on phones and um That letter said hey, I met this guy In the workplace and he led me to jesus in a relationship with him And he said you need this And I can remember thinking to myself as that was going on I hate to say this but I'm thinking oh no I lost my best friend because I wasn't ready yet I always knew that I would make a decision for jesus. I just thought I would do it when I was old I was believing what the world was telling me and I thought when I'm old and stop having fun Then I'll make that decision, but he was after me. So he sent me letters I got time for me to graduate and I had three job offers and one of them was at where he worked And at that point I was you know been poor been in college for four years So my sole decision was based on who was offering the most money and that company offered the most money God knew right where he wanted me and he found a way to get me there So I got there and he just stayed after me and and then I got a roommate That roommate was a believer since the time he was born I think so he was after me And then my mom was praying for me. So I was a marked man So about six months later, they were both after me and saying hey, there's this christian concert at miller auditorium And we want you to go with us. I said no, I don't want to go but they just kept pestering me pestering me Finally, I said, you know what? Yeah, I'll go So I went and I just had a radical experience with god at that At that music festival is what it was. I think it was steve camp that was there singing And giving a message and it was just amazing. So They made an altar call at the end. I stood up and I felt like I floated down there and from that time on I was just on fire. So I got to work that monday And my friend came up and said hey mike who was the guy who would let him to christ would like to see you at Break time So I went up there at break and mike said hey, I'd like you to come and be a part of our bible studies that we're doing here at work And he said i'm also going to start a small group in the evenings and he had four of us That were two of us were brand new believers one was not a believer And then Another my roommate who had been a believer since he was really young and he said i'd like to disciple you guys and meet in homes Our homes Once a week in the evenings For the next year, would you be willing to do that? And I didn't know why but I said yeah, you bet I would be willing to do that So that was my first experience with somebody in the marketplace who looked at it as a mission field So I had made a decision In his name was mike mike didn't just say okay, that's good enough Tom saved and tom's going to heaven mike said hey now The real work starts and how do we go through this discipleship process? So we took The four of us and it kind of grew the one the one individual Who came into that group and hadn't accepted christ ed accepted him at the first meeting that we were at So then we were all christians in a way. We went And he poured into us over the next year. He poured into us Having us memorized scripture He poured into us speaking into us teaching us how to read the bible Teaching us what the words meant as we were reading. What does it mean to be redeemed? What does it mean to be saved? What is it? What is grace? What is favor? What are all of those types of things so that as we read through the bible? We had a better understanding of what it was. He taught us principles On being a husband being a father He taught us principles on the workplace Then as we got to the end of this time as we were getting to the end of our year He started to tell us you know what? If all you do is take this information and how I've poured into you and how gods poured into you over the Over this past year and you do nothing with it but keep it to yourself He said this has been a waste of time He said i'm doing this for you so that you can go out and do this for other people so that they can go out and do This for other people and we can keep this going so that was my experience with um the marketplace and at the end of that time um I started to as he said that I started to meditate on Ephesians 2 10 Which says for we are god's workmanship created in christ jesus To do good works that he created in advance for us to do So that that he created in advance for us to do weighed heavy on my heart at that time So I started to pray and what is he taught us how to pray and taught us how to do things He said if you really want your prayers to be effective you have to understand what god's will is Because if you're inside of god's will and you're praying inside of god's will for his life Then he's going to make it happen through his power So I started to pray that I said you know What is it that you prepared in advance for me to do and I started to think oh, you know like At in my early 20s. I'm thinking are you going to send me to some foreign country? Or am I going to go into a church and work for a church or what am I going to do? And as I prayed through this and sought it out What I felt him saying to me was I have you right where I want you I want you in the marketplace and I want you going out and pouring into people's lives there And I think for a lot of us for many of us That's what our call is You know, we can't all be called into full-time ministry in the church A lot of us are called to full-time ministry and life In the marketplace pouring into people So if you look at The marketplace as a mission field, so there's a little under 200 countries in the world The united states is the third largest country. So you've got china india and then the united states But if you look at the marketplace inside of the united states There's 150 to 160 million people working in the marketplace That would make the united states marketplace The ninth largest country in the world And right now if you're working in the marketplace You're seeing a need for jesus. I'm seeing god move in the marketplace in ways that I haven't in the past 35 years that I've been there But part of that I believe is because if you go back 50 years when I was young most all my friends And their parents went to church So most people were going to church. It's just what you did now. I'm not saying everybody was on fire for jesus and They had a relationship with him like they should but at least they were there and they were hearing There was an opportunity to share and they were learning things and You look today and you can look at any of the statistics and less and less people are going to church I don't think god's sitting around saying hey, let's wait for them to come to us He told us in the great commission that we night. We need to go out and go to them And that's what's going on in the marketplace right now I've had opportunities to speak at a lot of different places and I've had opportunities to get to know The head of the west leon church for the united states and canada and spend time with him And the west leon church right now is doing something that they call marketplace multipliers So it's moving through that church right now or they're training people up inside of their congregations to go out and be missionaries into the mission field Part of a group that's um cea christian employers alliance. It's doing the same types of things um a group called c12 where there's Over 200 different groups of business people who meet once a month and pour into each others businesses and pray over the Their businesses and their communities and what's going on in the lost But the biggest thing that's going on is i'm seeing more and more people awake to the fact that we're called to go and do this We're called to share our faith and we're called to do it in the marketplace even though society tells us That that's something maybe that we're not supposed to do so the barna group in 2018 Did a study and what they based it on was they call people And they interviewed people who attended church at least two times a month and believed that the bible was god's written word And they asked them some questions. So this kind of tells you where the mindset has been And i'm seeing it change but where it has been and that is the first question they asked them was Should we act ethically in the workplace as christians? You'd think that would be a no brainer, but it was 82 of the people said yes i'm not sure what the 18 percent were thinking but Still 82 percent said yes, and then they asked them Should we make friends with non christians in the workplace? Only 66 percent said yes Just making friends with non christians in the workplace And then they asked them should we share our faith in the workplace? And only 24 percent said yes So that's not that 24 percent were sharing their faith. That's just asking them If they thought they should share their faith So we we in the western church I'm sure not in this room if you're here and you're at this conference You know, you're not having this issue But in the western church as a whole What we're seeing more and more Is people step out of this and start to step in the realization that hey, we're called to pray a church We've we've you know the conference has spoke. I hope the conference has been awesome by the way Yeah, so amazing But speaking about prayer and so much time in prayer in prayer inside of our churches But these Are all church buildings for the local church. We are the church So prayer inside of our businesses Prayer outside in the marketplace Is no different and no less important than what it is inside of these four walls We need to take it out into those places if we want to see our workplaces changed And if we want to see our communities change So what are some of the reasons that people gave for not sharing in the workplace? They said not an appropriate location. I'm being paid to work not share Now there's some truth to that We'll talk about that in a little bit that we're paid to work and we need to be a good example And we need to do that But I don't see in any of the verses in the bible where god talks about us going out and sharing our faith Where he says hey do it everywhere, but the workplace You know, don't do it there. I mean just look at jesus is his example And when he went down to the lake of galley With peter and james and got on their boat after they had been fishing all night long hadn't caught anything now that's their workplace That's for their work and that's their job If we're not supposed to go in the workplace. What was he doing going there? So he goes down there They're getting done with their shift. He borrows their equipment He stands on it and he goes ahead and he gives a message and then when he's done He does a miracle there. Should we see miracles in the workplace? We have seen miracles in our workplace We should expect miracles in our workplace and jesus did work did miracles in the workplace You can even go all the way back to genesis if we're talking about god in the workplace God gave adam the garden He was right there with him He was in the workplace So from the design in the beginning and I mean it's just common sense for everybody that sits in here But it's it's not as common as what we would like it to be That hey, we can't just get to work and say hey, that's not who I am anymore And I'm going to leave jesus outside and at five o'clock.  I'll go That's not what it's about. We're not going to reach the people expecting everybody to come to the churches because they're not We've got to go out to them And if we're going to spend 40 hours a week somewhere Building relationships what better place to do it than in the workplace? Where else do I spend more time? There's no place that I spend more time Than in the workplace getting to know people and if i'm purposeful about it I can take the casual relationships and then move them into meaningful relationships And then move them into spiritual relationships over time. We're going to talk a little bit about that as well Too busy not enough time for businesses wife for kids Elder at a church. I understand busy But we can find time to do those things. Hey, am I willing to Give up one lunch a week to do something like this. Am I willing to get up earlier one day and go meet people for breakfast? What am I willing to do to make that time for god? Don't feel qualified. That's the pastor's job I mean the pastors are anointed All of you pastors are anointed in a just an amazing way But it's all of our job and we are qualified sometimes we feel like giddy in and we don't think that we can do things But it's not our strength. It's god's strength. It's god's power He says uh in first peter 3 15 in your hearts honor the christ the lord is holy Always being prepared to make defense to anyone who asks you for a reason for the hope that is in you So always be prepared. It doesn't say pastors always be prepared. It says all of us always be prepared We're all called to share when he sends us out Afraid people may not look at me Or like me. I'm sorry or look at me differently. Yes and yes That can happen. It does happen. It's happened to me over the 35 years more than once I can remember when I was young and we were just I was it was less than a year since I had made my decision and really surrendered my life and we were on fire And we were talking about it at work and this guy at work pulled me into his office and just berated me I mean just berated me about You know even talking about god at work or how could I Believe what I believed and he was just so angry and it caught me off guard It was the first time that I had ever seen that but we should expect that that's going to happen sometimes It's a spiritual battle and those types of things go on And all's we're called to do and I was called to do is just continue to love on him. He was actually Kind of a friend of my parents and by the time he passed away He had accepted Jesus as his lord and savior So he had had that change and I'm not saying that anything that I did had an impact on that But what I'm saying we just don't know where people are and we're called to love them And irregardless of if we attack if if we're attacked by them We have to be wise with how we respond and we are going to get attacked. It is going to happen. You can expect it Concerned I may lose my job I haven't seen that happen yet. I'm not saying that it couldn't happen If it did happen one thing I know hudson taylor has this saying That he said god's work and I've got it up in my office god's work done god's way will never let god's provision So I believe that wholeheartedly and if I was doing god's work And somebody let me go now if if i'm not showing up for work on time and if i'm doing a terrible job I can't blame that on hey it was because I was sharing my faith but if It did happen and it was because I was sharing my faith and I was a great employee There's no doubt in my mind that god's going to replace that with something better. I mean he promises that we can hold on to that promise so Co-workers are hostile towards anything spiritual again. That kind of goes back to what we talked about a minute ago My company has a policy against it. I really haven't seen that yet. I'm not saying that something like that couldn't happen But if you look at the fruit of the spirit and glations At the end of that it says against these things man can make no laws So if we're just doing those things and then sharing outside of work beyond that So if we're doing the fruit of the spirit out of glations is Love joy peace patience kindness goodness faithfulness generalist and self control So if we're doing those things inside of the workplace and we're pouring that into people And then they can't tell me what I can do with my personal time And then outside of that I'm meeting with people and pouring into them and loving them and drawing them to jesus But but I honestly have not seen I have seen in a couple cases Where their companies have had policies for supervisors where they couldn't do something like that with people that worked for them For whatever reason, but that's the only thing that I've seen in the 35 years And then I've invited them to church and that's great. Yes, we need to do that We should be inviting people to church. Some people won't come So I mean we have to pour into them right where they're at, but also inviting them to church It's like we're almost like saying here here. I'm gonna hand you off to the pastor And now it's their job and it's not my job. We can't just invite them to church We've got to meet them at church. We've got to take them to lunch after church We've got to then talk to them at work We've got to do what mic did with me and we've got to say, hey, am I willing to pour into them and to mentor them And to go through and build them up We've got to pour into people beyond to just making that invite but by all means yes We should be inviting people to church John Newton who wrote Amazing grace and I'm sure you all know who he was. He was a slave boat captain Back in the 1700s and he had a radical conversion and became a priest Wrote to William Wilbur force who was a young man at that time in parliament And a lot of you probably know about him as well But he was in parliament in England trying to get the slave trade stopped there and he wrote this to him And I I read it a while ago and I just think it just applies to us in the marketplace as well He said the example and even the presence of a consistent character May have a powerful though unobserved effect on others You are not only a representative of Yorkshire You have the far greater honor of being a representative for the lord in a place Where many know him not And an opportunity of showing them what are the genuine fruits of the faith That you are known to profess So how true is that for us where the workplace is concerned as well Where he talks about Where many know him not I've I've had opportunities um to speak with especially people in their early 20s And share with them and a lot of them not a lot of them some of them don't even know the basic bible studies I mean you're starting from You would think that everybody would know the story of Noah or those types of things We're getting into a generation where that's just not true anymore It's not true in in some ways It's almost better. I don't want to say it's better But in some ways it offers a different type of opportunity Where we're starting with someone who has all kind of questions questions and not not a lot of preconceived notions about Who god is and jesus is So I mean that can but that's where we're at at this point and especially in the marketplaces we go out there In in work with people. So there's a couple scriptures that I want to read that You know, I think are foundational for Talking with people about sharing in the marketplace Romans 10 14 How can they call on the one they have not believed in how can they believe in the one they have not heard And how can they hear without someone preaching to them? And how can they preach unless they are sent? As it is written how beautiful are the feet of those who bring the good news And then the great commission obviously Matthew 28 18 and 20 and jesus said to them all authority in heaven and on earth has been given to me Go there for and make disciples of all nations Baptizing them in the name of the father and of the son and of the holy spirit Teaching them To observe all that I have commanded you And behold I am with you always to the end of age And then second Corinthians is the last one that Out of chapter five In christ god was reconciling the world to himself Not counting their trespasses against them And entrusting to us the message of reconciliation I'll read that again and entrusting to us the message of reconciliation Therefore we are ambassadors for christ God making his appeal through us I can't tell you how many times as I've been talking with people they've they They've said, you know, that's jesus's job or that's god's job or And jesus did the job 2000 years ago. We can't do that. I can't save anybody. None of us can save anybody That's what jesus did But as we read through scriptures It's not that we don't play a part From that moving forward and drawing people to him that we're not his ambassadors I don't know how we can read through the scriptures at different places And think that we don't play a part and that's that's not part of all of our jobs And it is And so the marketplace as we go out there and as we're working in the marketplace Is a target rich environment for sharing god with people They may not always be receptive But if they feel our love and they see see our love and if it's not just about a bunch of rules And if we're building relationships and pouring into people That gives us the foundation to make to make a difference So i'm going to talk for a few minutes here another 15 minutes or so and then take some questions But i'm going to go through a few things that over the past 35 years I've seen as foundational as far as having Impactful ministry in the marketplace First is and it runs right along with the theme of the Um what what we've been talking about here and what what everybody's been preaching about here and that is prayer um A successful outreach starts with prayer and it's foundational So at our businesses We're fortunate enough to we have prayer Each day and the prayer meeting that goes on each day. I'm not a part of that one But a group gets together At a first break time and they read the proverb of the day Together so whatever day of the month it is they read that proverb and then they pray So every day we have that and then once a week I get together with a group and we do a bible study and prayer At lunchtime and it's for Some of my spiritual leaders that are there as well as family members So for a long time we had four generations of my family at our businesses praying My grandma would come in my mom was there She would come in myself and then one of my children would be there as well So there would be four generations on top of other stuff praying for The people that work there praying for things that people brought up to us from a health standpoint praying for their families praying for the community and that's foundational In what has gone on from a spiritual standpoint and I believe as well how we have been blessed in the physical realm as well And has got as how God has poured out his blessings on us But also we talked about the miracles Jesus went and did the miracle in the workplace with James and Peter and I'm gonna Pick on my daughter because she's a family member. We've seen other stuff go on But I'll just tell that story real quick. So my daughter when she was in high school It was having headaches just terrible headaches And we so we took her into the doctor and they did a CAT scan and He called me at work and he said you need to get a hold of Karen and you need to go pick Adrienne up We read something on the CAT scan and you need to get her to the hospital Or actually it was an MRI. So he said you need to go get a CAT scan So not the not the phone call you want So I grabbed her we went in when we got there They did everything and they called us into a room and they showed us and they said you see that spot That's on her brain. They said that's not normal and that's what's causing some of the issue But we don't know what it is So they did a bunch of tasks and we prayed and they couldn't figure out what was going on They we ended up going to Cleveland clinic with some specialists And they immediately knew what it was and they said it's a cavernous angioma Which is a bunch of small blood vessels that didn't form right when she was born and they started to bleed And it was bleeding on her brain and that was what was causing the problem So we prayed we prayed here at church. We prayed at work. We prayed everywhere at home We laid hands on her for six years. She had non-stop headaches So they never went away So I I had a friend who I had met through business and we became spiritual friends his name was mark girly And mark's great great grandfather. I think it was fenius girly was abraham lincoln's pastor And he had a lineage of healing and they started the healing rooms in grand rapids. Well We became friends and he said hey, I would like to do a teaching on the holy spirit in the workplace Can I use your company as a guinea pig? Can I come down and Teach some of your leaders who want to come on hearing from the holy spirit in the workplace And I said sure no problems there was about 15 of us in the room and mark came down He was teaching on that and at one point he was going through and he didn't know adrian situation He said it would be like if somebody had headaches all the time And I felt like the holy spirit said stop and tell him about adrian. So I said mark hold on a second I said actually adrian does Have headaches non-stop and she has and he said well, can we pray for her? He said sure so we all stretched out our arms and he put his Hand on her head and started to pray and she felt her head Beating and he felt heat in his hand and her headaches went away instantly And she she has yeah praise god and she has not had headaches since then Six years no headaches. That was in the marketplace That was a miracle in the marketplace and it wasn't that we hadn't prayed in other places And I can't tell you why god didn't healer six years before I'm thankful that he did when he did and he uses it the way that he used it Um, and it means what it means, but we've seen other things go on like that So as you pray in the workplace and as we Expectantly look to god to do A measurably more than we can think or imagine Through his power that verse says not through our ours. Why I can't do any of that But he can but we just have to believe it We have to know who he is and we have to know that he wants to work there Just as much as he wants to work Anywhere else there he wants to go everywhere and be everywhere including the workplace Loving our neighbors So if if prayer is foundational Which it is and it starts there and I think you know One of the things that I was taught by the man that Mentored me was through prayer when I first started off praying It was like a shotgun list of things that I thought You know, I should be praying that I wanted or needed or whatever it was and he said no no no He said that's okay.  So If we're going to build those relationships that we talked about and take them from just the casual ones Into meaningful ones and spiritual ones one of the best ways to do that Besides praying for the people on top of that is actually loving our neighbors and loving them. So when the When the the expert in the law came up to jesus and said, you know Hey, what are the most two important commandments? He takes them back to deuteronomy into leviticus and it starts with hey Love the lord your god with all your heart soul and mind and strength So hey god's at the center. That's what we've been talking about That's where it has to be and then the next one is love your neighbor as yourself And that's that outreach part that we're talking about right now. How do we reach out? Into our sphere of influence and have the largest impact we can possibly have for him And then not grow weary I had had a friend for 20. I think it was close to 25 years. We had worked together In about a year ago He was he had not given his life to the lord. He came Into my office. He closed the door and with tears in his eyes. He said He said I I I think it was like two or three weeks before he said I gave my life to jesus. He said thank you for not giving up on me and thank you for pouring into me Um over the past 20 whatever years it had been So I would be easy to think hey This person's just not going to make that decision But we don't know that We don't know that God does so we continue to love them. We continue to love on people. We can do it In a myriad of ways inside of the workplace But one of the best ways is just being kind Being kind romans Two four says god's kindness Leads people to redemption So it doesn't say I'm going to argue them in It doesn't say I'm going to use the bible to shame them in It says god's kindness leads people to redemption So you can never Under estimate just what being kind to somebody The type of impact that that has and the draw that is because it looks different Society's not that kind right now if you just get on facebook, which I'm not on but my kids I think some of them still are maybe they're all off not to but they used to share stuff There were times people would say stuff about me on there and they're like dad They're saying this about you, you know because of your stand or whatever it is and I'm like, you know, that's okay I'm not there, you know, but people Unfortunately, especially on social media just feel comfortable and being nasty at times So kindness then becomes something that differentiates us as followers of jesus from everybody else in society If we can work at that and make sure that we don't fall into that same trap that everybody else is We look different and we become attractive to them And then being spiritually attractive You know part of that is Being a good worker So we kind of alluded to it a little while I'm not going to spend a lot of time on that But if you're going to work and you're not showing up on time You're grumbling you're acting like everybody else is acting. You're not getting a lot done Then we're we're going to lose Some of that witness that we can have as opposed to if we're excelling at what we do Irregardless of the situation It's going to be much much more meaningful a couple of verses on that Colossians 3 23 Whatever you do work at it with all your heart as working for the lord not for man And then one that caught me when I was reading through proverbs when I was younger and it's kind of always stuck with me and I First time I read I was I can't even believe this isn't the bible But it's proverbs 18 9 it says whoever is slack in his work is brother to him who destroys So, you know, I don't think that's not good. I don't think we I don't think we want to be slack in our work I think we want to Pursue excellence Because we serve an excellent god. We serve an amazing god. We serve the creator of the universe And he's creative. He can give us creative Amazing ideas inside of our workplaces. I can't tell you the number of times And we talk about time and one of the things that people said is we don't have enough time But how god makes time for me I I use an example from just uh, it's fairly recent past few years Where I was walking through the shop and they were having all kinds of problems with one of our machines And I looked at it and instantaneously. They'd been working on it for a couple of hours I knew what the issue was and it was an obscure issue that I should not have known And I said I think you need to look at this and they said really I don't think that's it And I said no humor me just look at it and I walked away and I came back And that fixed the issue and the issue was fixed and that wasn't me that was the holy spirit So what that did was that saved me Half a day or a day's worth of time that I would have been there hunting through trying to figure out what that is so, you know, we can if we If we yoke up with god and if we we look back to that Hudson Taylor saying god's work done done god's way Will never lack his provision that provision is not just fiscal that provision is time that provision Is the resources that we need that provision is the ability to do The things that we want to and that he needs us to do inside of the workplace from a spiritual standpoint So we just need to continue to trust him and pour into him and continue to cry out to him for his direction You know as we As I tell people and work with people about taking god into the workplace One of the things that I tell him to do once you start praying and find other people to pray jesus sent out Um, I think it was in luke. He sent out to 72 in pairs of two So if you can find other people to pray with we have that inside of our work It doesn't have to be somebody that goes to the same church that you go to just somebody that believes The same things that you believe from the standpoint of who jesus is and what the bible teaches and then it's god's written word But if we can find those people that are like-minded to pray with That's huge and then take that That time and listen and then get those marching orders and then go out and have an impact inside of the marketplace Uh, you know, we have an opportunity to help people around us inside of the workplace discern light from darkness truth from lies True joy from fleeting happiness Eternal hope from despair In reality of eternity from the here and now Jesus when he was walking through and I'll finish up with this. He's walking through in matthew nine and He's going through the towns and the synagogues and the country side And he's seeing the crowds and he tells his disciples. He says, you know, it's the bible says he has compassion on them And then he says The harvest is plentiful, but the workers are few Asked the lord of the harvest therefore to send workers out into the harvest field In the marketplace is one of those places It's a harvest field that as we continue to pray if we're getting together and we're praying That's one of the things we pray is that god will continue to raise people up and send them out into the marketplace So that we can have an impact for them for eternity um as At times I've gotten busy and and started to maybe think about coasting or wanting to coast a little bit He always brings to mind the stanza from amazing grace that says when I've been there 10 000 years bright shining as the sun I'll have no less days to sing his praise than when I first begun and the picture that I get is Who out of all of these people inside of my sphere of influence is going to be there singing with me And who's not And then that just brings me back right back to the reality of a lot of this stuff stuff is a temporal And what I need to be focused on is what's eternal All right, so I'll I'll attempt to answer a few questions if you guys have any questions You're all wore out It's it yeah Both yeah At that time it was a little uncomfortable just being honest I mean they we had relationships and I had known them long enough that they had earned the right It wasn't like a stranger coming up to me And so I knew who he was and I had seen the changes in their lives. So From that standpoint I was okay with it If it had been just somebody on the street corner or a stranger doing that then it would not have had the same meaning So it comes around those relationships life revolves around relationships our relationship with god and others and then It because they had that relationship with me and because they were willing to do that It did it got me to the point of where I just said yes to get them You know off my back and to go And and then god used that in a And just a mighty way to transform me in my life that that Their willingness to do that and care about me and love me that much Changed my life Yeah Yeah, I mean continuing to show god's love as hard as it is in those types of situations. He tells us to love our neighbor and when you go to the The parable that speaks about that You know the person the good samaritan the samaritans were not liked by the jewish people They were considered half-breeds. They had they had been conquered by syria a long time before Intermarried and it was so when jesus used that as an example to us. He's saying hey, we're called to Love everybody and he tells us to love our enemy. So I would say You know, I I would try to Limit my interactions with people that are overly hostile. There's no reason to it's just It's it can be I don't want to say can be a waste of time But you continue to love them, but I'm not going to spend all of my time with them because all's it is I did that when I was First a christian at first somebody wanted to be confrontational all of a sudden they were taking all my time And I was spending all of my time with them instead of where I instead of where I should be spending it So the enemy was using them to distract me and take me somewhere else So I would say continue to Love on those people continue to act in the way that jesus would act continue to try to pour out the fruit of the spirit But also be wise enough to limit the interactions and spend your time where you should be spending it Yeah Either one of you guys Yeah, remote work is surely A new dynamic and over the past two years when I've spoke that seems to be one of the ones that comes up Almost every time because it is Different and especially I mean it's I don't know that it's that different for people who are in their 20s But for me pushing almost 60 now it's different for me. I'm just not used to that That's not the way I work But a lot of the same principles apply and what I've seen people do is as they're pouring into people And as they see opportunities inside of meetings on You know social on on the internet, however, they're doing it What they've done is then The same way you might pull somebody aside if you're at work and speak to them in a one to one They reach out to them after they've had not in front of everybody And then they have a one to one in that manner and pour into them in that way But the hostile person which we all will deal with if we're Out in the workplace and you're trying to share your faith. There's nobody that won't it's the same type of thing that I just talked about and that is You know praying being wise With how much time I spend with that person how I interact with them Definitely loving them and showing the fruit of the spirit so they can see what's different I mean you think about that individual that screamed at me when I he literally was yelling at me Calling me names closed the door was just hostile He gave his life to jesus before he died as he went later on in life And who knows how many people and how they reacted to them him when he was hostile What kind of impact that had on him and how the holy spirit was able to use that Amen That is so true and it's and it's becoming more and more and more prevalent in that manner Yeah Yeah, I'm sorry Yeah, yeah, you definitely want to armor up and that's why I call it marketplace missionaries because if you think about missionaries They're going over in many cases into hostile In environments hostile places and they're bringing the gospel And I use that and god gave me that word for that very reason It can be that way and is that way so about three years ago god started to lay on my heart to write a book I Didn't want to because it's not something that I had ever desired to do and told him no basically for six months kind of ignored him until he beat me over the head and I finally went to caren and said I think god is saying that I should write a book. What do you think and she's a protector of my time And she does just a wonderful job with that. She's just a wonderful partner in all of this and So I was hoping she would tell me no and And she said no, I think you're supposed to I'm like oh shoot so So I ended up uh being obedient and doing what I was called to do But I say all that to say that um just uh, you know, I've spoken a little bit about what's in here There's more than that we brought books as gifts to all of you So if you want a book go up and take a book if you have somebody you want to give one to go ahead and take two But that's our gift to all of you Um, so not all the workshops have gifts, but we have a gift for you All right All right. Thank you so much.


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Good afternoon, welcome to CMC Markets non-farm payrolls webinar on Friday the 5th of April With me Michael Houston, and I will be spending the next half an hour or so Basically walking you through the latest US employment report before we get started a little bit of Housekeeping do a risk warning first and foremost Basically any I will I will not be giving trading advice, but what I will be doing is obviously highlighting some key levels looking at the prospects for A good number a bad number a neutral number what? What the directional impact might well be of the numbers when they released obviously we also not only have the US? Employment report today. We also have the Canada jobs report as well so Got quite a bit to get through but obviously questions are welcome. I will try and answer your questions is Fully as I can obviously stopping short of telling you where to buy or sell I cannot do that Nor would I do that anyway, even if you ask me so Don't even try Nonetheless once we get the risk warnings out of the way We can we can get started. So just get rid of that get rid of that and Now we can have a look at my screen. So Basically, I think Expectations around this month's payrolls. I'm not I wouldn't say they're as high as they were in The February number and I think there's a big big reason for that. We posted a very poor number in February came in at 20,000 missed by a country mile Now there could be a number of factors behind that because the ADP number The equivalent ADP employment report which came out two days before that was actually a fairly decent number So the big question is why would? Why would why would we why would we get a week February number? Well, there could be any number of factors behind that There could be the fact that we had a US government shutdown And that could have skewed the numbers it could mean that we get a significant upward adjustment to the February numbers when the March numbers are Reported in 14 minutes time. Also, what we could get is a significant Significant uplift in the March numbers. So at the moment The disappointing number coming as it did against the 311,000 new jobs that we saw in January is not too much of a concern. There could be another factor as well Behind the disappointing number. It could just be that the US labor market is getting tight and That basically while the vacancies are there There aren't enough people to actually fill them and that's probably why the jobs figure was so low What was encouraging was that the wages numbers came in at 3.4 percent Which is a decade high. It's the highest level since the financial crisis And that would support the view that the US labor market is tightening up and the employers Having to pay their staff more to not only keep them, but also attract new staff What does that mean for the dollar? Well to be quite honest not that much now because since the last payrolls report The Federal Reserve Has come out and changed its guidance quite significantly From where it was at the end of last year In fact, it's actually been quite notable at how quickly the Fed has turned around It's forward guidance because if you think about where we were at the beginning of last year Markets are pricing in up to three rate rises this year If we look at the performance of the dollar index over the course of the last six months and you can see it on the chart in front of you Hasn't really gone anywhere. It's traded between 95 and 98 Which is the equivalent of euro dollar trading between 112 and 115 116 So it's been pretty uninteresting all round And I think that that more than anything else is likely to really I think Dictate what the dollar does today because the change of guidance that we saw from the Fed Where but whereby we are now not expecting any rate rises this year And we've seen a significant downgrade to the growth forecast Means that even if we get a very good us number a very good payrolls number The dollar upside is likely to be fairly limited if we look at this dollar index chart here We can see 96 80 96 80 three levels of resistance all the way through here Now that level is important because what it does is it equates to a low in euro dollar of around about 1 1180 so if we look at euro dollar On a daily chart here. This is a daily chart I've drawn a slight trend line through here. It's slightly skewy. I might have to redraw that a little bit But what it's basically telling us Particularly through these lows here is is a very solid area of support between 1180 and 112 and we're roughly We're just above that now. So if we get a good payrolls number in excess of 200,000 We could see euro dollar push a little bit lower But it's going to take something quite substantial to push it below This 1180 level is it's important for a number of reasons first and foremost It's important because it's the lows of the last Few weeks, but it's also important because it's a 61.8 Fibonacci retracement of the entire up move from the lows at 103 40 all the way back in 2017 end of 2016 to the peaks at the beginning of 2018 so it's important not to underestimate how important this 1180 level is So if we get a move down there We'd really have to see a either a significant push up in wages to 3.5 or 3.6 percent And even then you'd have to ask yourself the question as to whether or not that is likely to cause the Fed to hike this year And my view is it wouldn't because if you actually look at what US Treasury yields are doing They're potentially pricing in a the potential for a little bit of a right cut. So I Think you know, you have to you have to Temporate your expectations when it comes to the likelihood of what may or may not happen with respect to US rates into 2019 and you've also got a temporary into the fact that President Trump has always made it quite clear it's already made it quite clear That he wants rates to go lower From their current levels his new Fed point more nominee Steven Moore has already suggested that it should be a 50 basis point rate cut from the Federal Reserve Now that's not going to happen But the point is that The direction of travel for US rates appears to have topped out That's borne out by the fact that US Treasury yields since non-farm payrolls a month ago Have dropped quite substantially we can see that On this chart here. So this is the March payrolls report Here which was around about the 8th of March and We got we got that We got that disappointing jobs number since then yields have come down quite substantially Now we have seen a bit of a rebound and a good and a good payrolls report could see yields push up And the bonds sell off, but ultimately the direction of travel for us yields remains towards the downside Now so that's euro dollar 111 80 on the downside a poor number could see us push back up To these series of highs through here So we're looking over the last four hours four on a four hour chart We've got a series of highs through 112 40 or 112 50 And we could even see it push up towards around about 113 But i'm not really expecting a number that's going to move it significantly out Of its current range now i'm being asked about the cable very good question And it's no less valid But obviously there is an awful lot of political risk Around the cable, but again, it's a similar sort of story when it comes to the support levels We can look at the moving averages here. We've got the 200 day moving average We've got a series of lows through 120 960 So while we're above 120 960 cable is very much a buy the dip And the same way that euro dollar is a buy the dip while it's above 111 80 for a move back towards Either 113 in euro dollars case or around about 130 170 132 in cables case If you look at the way the cables performed thus far this year It's been a fairly steady range albeit it's moved around quite a lot in today But ultimately what it's telling us is that Traders are reluctant to push it aggressively lower Simply because they're not too sure whether or not we'll get a A an extension to article 50 next friday the likelihood is we probably will Whether therese may has already asked for an extension to june 30th Simply i think she just copied and pasted her last letter to the eu commission asking for the extension to the 30th of june Working on the basis if at first you don't succeed try try try again. So she's going to do that I don't think the EU will give it to the 30th of june. I think they will give her a much longer extension and it will be contingent on The uk participating in european parliamentary elections on may the 22nd or may the 23rd or whenever they are so At the moment while a no deal brexit is the default legal position I think the european union will do all it can to avoid that Playing out because if they don't they'll be as good as throwing island underneath the bus Because they will be adversely affected quite significantly by no deal brexit As will france even though Emmanuel Macron is talking tough He's already got problems with the guillot genre protesters I hardly likely think he's going to want anymore Now i'm being asked if is trump interfering with the fed's independence absolutely He is he's trying to influence what the fed does and I think one part of the reason why you saw The fed call a halt was I think part and parcel of that But I also think the makeup of the fomc has changed slightly And it's become more dovish anyway, and I think the fact that china's slowing down The economic data that we've seen out of germany thus far has been absolutely abysmal I think it's going to be much more difficult for the fed to raise rates when no one else is The ecb is not going to be raising rates anytime soon the bank of england probably won't And the bank of japan definitely won't so I think the last thing that I think The the us wants is a stronger dollar Rates are already very very high relative to the rest of the world And I think that should be enough and there is evidence that the higher rates are affecting the housing market in the us If you look at home sales, they have been disappointing so I think calling rates would be where they are I think the fed's finished its great hiking cycle The big question now is when will the fed ease again? And I think that could be at the beginning of next year It could come as soon as december this year, but much will depend on the data and at the moment The data while it's slowing down. It's not falling off the cliff. So Looking at the cable 12960 if we get a strong payrolls number of strong wages number We could see the dollar move higher towards just below 130, but there's good support down there if we look at If we look at the dollar yen It's a similar sort of story a strong dollar move could see us move up Towards the top end of the range that we've seen over the course of the past few Over the past few weeks, which is 112. It's really struggled to get much above 112 And I think it will continue to struggle to get much above 112 on dollar yen. Let's have a quick look at the Dow before we get started because I did get asked about that And we can see here. It's pretty actually let's look at the s&p because we've broken above these highs here Haven't got much in the way of lines on that. I don't tend to look at the Dow as much as I look at the s&p And if we look at the s&p, we've just posted a golden cross On the daily charts, which is where the 50 day moving averages crosses above the 200 day It's usually fairly bullish What we need to see is a move above 2900 the all-time highs are all the way back here in october The air is looking a little bit thin, but again, it's the direction of travel You don't sell into an uptrend. You look to buy the dips and that is the way that I always work on the basis of You but you basically trade in the direction of the overall trend the overall trend is higher And as such We could well retest the 2900 level. I would be surprised if we move above it today ahead of the weekend I think it's likely that we've probably seen the highs in the short term We may try for a little bit of a push higher But if we look at a weekly chart, we can see that we are looking a little bit stretched at this point in time And also if we look at say for example The footsie 100 as a case in point We are now approaching some very key resistance levels on a lot of the major indices We can see it on the footsie 100 draw a trend line through the peaks from last year Currently comes in around about I would suggest 74 50 Um 74 around about 74 50 so we could see a move up there Particularly if the pound drops against the dollar and a similar sort of story when we look at the DAX 12 000 a little bit of a top there, but if you go slightly above that Here you can see we're also got a significant area of trend line resistance going forward, but Certainly, I think um the direction of travel Still remains by the dip and that's borne out by the fact the euro stocks 50 Has just posted a golden cross as well 50 day moving averages pointing upwards Really solid support now at 32 81 in the euro stocks 50 so despite all the negative data and The poor growth outlook equity markets still look fairly buoyant and I suppose in Europe That's not too surprising because if you've got german yield 10 year yields yielding nothing Then where you're going to put your money in europe if you can't put them in bonds You're going to put them in equities because generally you'll find that as long as central banks keep monetary policy loose Then you should um get good demand for equities. Okay. So here we go looking for 180 000 non-farm payrolls 1 000 in Canada jobs Wages 3.4 Here we go 196 000 for us payrolls wages a bit lower. So that's a weaker dollar number So that's probably going to see the dollar sell off a little bit a euro dollar go up cable go up Canadian jobs report was a negative number Which is a little bit of a surprise and the revision for February was only a modest one. It's gone up from 20 to 33 000 So it's a poor canada jobs report and it's not a particularly It's a good headline number on the non farms, but it's disappointing on the wages So we've got a little bit of a mixed report for the us Slightly dollar negative, but not massively. So wages are still fairly decent. They're still well above inflation But but but obviously the decline in wages is a little bit disappointing. So 3.2 average earnings slightly missing expectations There's nothing in that report that is going to move the dollar out of its range. Let's look at the effects on dollar CAD and Any potential move here. It's a weak canadian jobs report with a negative number. That is likely to see a dollar move higher and Against the canadian dollar and it has and I think we could well see a move back up towards those peaks in march at around about 134 40 Canada weekend up towards there, but I would be surprised if we went much above there because of the aggregation of tops In and around Through march. There's a decent top in the dollar CAD. There's a decent bottom around 133 so I think the range trading that we're seeing in the Currency markets is likely to continue and I think that's that's that's that's been a That's been a consistent problem. I think for several months now is the fact that At the moment markets are trading in ranges But there is an advantage to that because if a market is trading in a range You can play the range you can sell into the tops you can buy into the dips And you can manage your stops much more effectively So in the case of the canadian dollar here if you get a move above 134 it's it's immediately apparent where your stop loss goes. It goes above the previous highs It's manageable. You can put it 20 or 30 points away with a certain degree Of confidence that hopefully it won't go through that and if it does then it will probably go quite a bit higher By the same token if you get a dip back to around about 133 where you've got these lows here Then you can put in a small buy order with a stop loss below the lows and then look for a rebound higher and and that's essentially You know the way that I like to trade the markets. I wait for the market to come to me I'm not one of these people who jumps in on the back of a move higher or lower simply because It can end up biting you and also it'll mean that your stop is likely to be further away than you would like it. So In terms of where we are at the moment Those numbers aren't going to be ripping up any trees. They're not going to move They're not going to cause the Fed to move one way or the other and in fact the softening in wages is more than likely Going to suggest that they're probably going to Not be moving on rates anytime soon and it could actually temper expectations about Slowing down the reduction in their balance sheet, which is due to end in September But could actually happen a little bit sooner But I think overall those numbers slightly dollar negative Will probably see the pound go up the euro go up and the dolly in slip back as far as equity markets are concerned It's a bit of a Goldilocks report because it's not too hot and it's not too cold so If we go back to the DAX, we'll probably see Another test through that 12,000 level the highs that we saw yesterday And look to edge ever so slightly higher. So this is my one hour chart We can see here that pretty much since the end of March We've been trading steadily above this 50 hour moving average And as long as we stay above it then we're probably likely to continue to drift higher However, what I wouldn't be doing ahead of the weekend is taking on Too much in the way of risk because you don't really want to run anything over the weekend 196 is better than expected. I'm being asked 180k dollar should have appreciated Yes, it should have but the dollar is not the headline number is good But the wages number was disappointing and it's the wages number. It's the inflation or the lack thereof Which will drive the dollar direction the headline number on the jobs report is probably good for the stock market. It'll push It'll push stocks up But as far as the dollar is concerned It's slightly disappointing because what investors are looking more closely at is what inflation is doing What wages are doing wages are weaker That is likely to Depress yields and as such the dollar will probably weaken on the back of that but i'm not talking we're not we're not talking You know, we're not talking about a significant amount of weakness or strength either way It's a goldilocks report. It's a good report on the headline But it's a disappointing on the wages therefore what the dollar will continue to do Particularly against the euro and all the other g10 currencies Is it likely to continue to trade within its ranges in which case? You know, if we get a drip if we get a dip down to around about 112 on euro dollar It'll probably rebound from there and go back higher There's there's nothing in these numbers to suggest that we're going to break out of the range that we've been in over the course of the last few weeks So I think now Um It's probably a good idea To look ahead to what's coming up next week because those numbers You know, then they're not really they're not really going to change the narrative Around the direction of the dollar. We're near the top end of the range And they're not going to push it higher and break it out So let's have a look at what's coming up next week And I think one of the reasons why you'll find that the dollar is not making any significant moves against the euros because next week We've got an ECB rate decision And that comes out on the wednesday the 10th of april not thursday wednesday for some reason It's on a different day. Maybe it's because Of the EU summit or something like that. Maybe they've decided to put it on a different day But in any case, I think it will be particularly instructive Given that the ECB at its last meeting said that it would be restarting or implementing a new TL TRO program a loan program To try and stimulate demand Stimulate growth in the euro area. So, I mean And we know we know That the euro zone is In a manufacturing recession. We've seen it with the german PMIs. They've been abysmal As have french as has some of the french data though part of that is driven more by the fact that President macron has a couple of local a few local difficulties With protesters setting fire to things In paris what's also noteworthy is that core prices core inflation core cpi In the EU is at 0.8 percent And that's just above an all-time. It's all-time low Which is 0.6 percent. So there is There is scope for the ECB to try and adopt extra easing policies to try and keep The lid on the euro And that's likely to put downward pressure on it It's still in you know, it's it's it's still I think it's still likely to have another go At that one 1180 area over the course of the next few days What else have we got next week? Well, obviously we have the EU summit And that's likely to push the pound around quite a lot You know the big question is what type of extension are we going to get If we're going to get one at all I think the smart money is likely to be on the fact that the EU will grant an extension It will probably be a year But that remains to be seen. We've also got the latest china trade numbers Which drew out on the 12th on the friday They were really disappointing in february, but they were likely to have been skewed by lunar new year So I think we did see an improvement in the PMIs in china In the last set of numbers and that could impact how the Aussie dollar reacts over the course of the next few days Now if we look at the Aussie dollar We can see there's a big area of support All the way through the 70 level apart from obviously this little flash crash spike That we saw at the end of last year when apple posted that profits warning and we had some disappointing economic data out of china So if we look at the 70 level on the australian dollar and we look at this trend line through here We could squeeze higher to around about 71 20 But if the china data for march is the trade data for march is disappointing particularly imports As well as exports Then we could we'll see further weakness In the Aussie dollar So if as a reminder in february Export chinese exports declined 20 percent, which suggested that demand for chinese product was slowing quite significantly in february Imports were also down 5 percent, which suggested that internal demand Was quite weak as well So they'll be in they will be very very instructive in terms of whether or not we get a march bounce back We also have fed minutes Also out on the wednesday same day as the ecb rate decision and again for me. I think I'll be looking for some nuance behind The real sharp change of tone In the fed's guidance because as i as i suggested earlier We had An expectation that we potentially see a policy mistake from the fed This year with potentially two or three rate rises now We're not pricing in any and what I want to know is what calls federal reserve officials To change their guidance So sharply So those fed minutes should be instructive when it comes to that Furthermore, we've also got bank earnings start us bank earnings jp morgan chase first quarter earnings Wells fargo first quarter earnings. How is the Inversion of the yield curve affected profitability for jp morgan Certainly banks have been closely watched over the course of the past A few months if we look at jp morgan and chases Long-term chart here. We can see that we have We have broken to the downside, but we have recovered a little bit over the course of The past few weeks and we can see that here But is a decent area of resistance all the way through 108 the jp morgan So disappointing numbers here could see Banking stocks in the u.s. Start to roll over So i'll be keeping an eye out for the the income numbers the revenue numbers for jp morgan chase And for wells fargo i'll be looking at the mortgage Lending and the overall business lending data for wells fargo First quarter earnings, which are also out on friday So it's a busy week towards the end of the week wednesday thursday friday and likely to be very instructive for The markets At the back end of next week. So in the short to medium term I think equity markets are likely to drift higher as we head into the weekend and we may well see The currency markets will just continue to range trade between the lows and the highs Of the weak does anyone else have any more questions Before I wrap anything up before I wrap all of this up actually before I do I'll have a quick look at gold because it's always a nice little favorite Good support around about 1276 We're likely to probably see a retest of that on the back of those weak wages numbers Generally tends to feed into a slightly weaker dollar. There's nothing in those numbers suggest that Equity markets going higher gold generally tends to move inversely to that And we could well see a retest of this key level here around about 1276 on gold Looking at crude oil briefly finding a little bit of a top around about 70 70 71 dollars a barrel, but but uh Crucially we do appear to have broken above the 200 day moving average albeit Very modestly you can see it here Let's just zoom it in We're holding above it and I've continued to hold above it for the last four days So while we're above it the likelihood is that we could try and move higher But if we don't make a break for the upside towards 72 dollars a barrel We could well drift back down to 68 in the short to medium term Okay, hang saying yep can certainly have a look at that. We don't have the china a50 But we certainly do have the hang saying it was closed today Because of a china holiday and hong kong holiday But we have broken up to the top side Momentum looks positive. Chinese stocks in general look fairly positive have come a long way But certainly looking at looking at this chart momentum is on its side If we look at the One hour chart As long as we hold above this 30,000 level then I think momentum is likely to remain positive for a push Push up even higher again. It comes back to what I was saying earlier. You trade with the trend. The trend is higher We're making higher lows. We're making higher highs If we're not able to take out this series of peaks Through here around about 30,100 we could see a correction back towards this this pin low here But you've got a nice little hammer there Which suggests that there's decent demand for hong kong stocks in at around 29,790 so again Looking looking to buy the dips on the hong kong 50 Getting asked about the omex. Let's see if I can find that For you That would be Is that the swedish omex auger? Are we talking about the swedish index? Yes, we are. Okay good. Okay Now that's an interesting one We're right on the cusp of a very significant peak on the on the omex Now the big question here is can it sustain this move higher? Solid support all the way through 1550 we're quite we're quite away away from that I would be surprised if we move Significantly above this 1630 level this week. That's not to say that we won't But certainly I think in the context of the weekend I would be a bit concerned about being long as opposed to being short at these sorts of levels This is one of these this is one of these trades that's slightly risky Because you don't want to suddenly find that as you had in the weekend You've got a short position And it's sort of sitting on the highs and it's not really doing anything Um, let me just add a slow stochastic to that Still potentially got momentum towards the upside there You can ask about silver. So absolutely you can It's not too dissimilar to gold really. There's good support Going through 14 at $14 80 But there's a there does appear to be a nice little area of resistance around about $15 20 as identified by these series of peaks all the way through here So again as with silver we're in a little bit of a range so Any any short position you'd probably put a stop loss around about 15 30 Looking for a move back towards the lows around about 15 or 14 90 But again a little bit of a range not really doing anything particularly exciting is silver Okay, so hopefully that's um That's all um, that's all for this week if you have any feedback On the non-farm payrolls webinar and if you found it useful Please leave a google review. That would be absolutely enormously helpful The more good reviews we get the better Otherwise I'd like to thank you for your company this afternoon. Thank you very much for listening I hope you all have a very great weekend and Have a good week trading Over the course of the next week or so. Cheers. Thanks very much


Okay, let's try this one. So this one has to do with trends in atomic size You can look at the periodic table and figure out this problem. So the question is asking Put these in order of Size smallest the biggest so Remember well, so these are all alkaline metals all group 1A So if you look at where they are so again the periodic table is your cheat sheet again You look at where they are and you remember that The atom size gets bigger as you go down the periodic table Then you can just look at where they are relative to each other and answer this question so the smallest one is going to be the one that's the highest up and In this case, it's sodium and then the next smallest one of course is potassium And then of course cesium cesium is actually Enormous and that's smallest the biggest


Live from New York, extracting the signal from the noise. It's theCUBE, covering Spark Summit East, brought to you by Spark Summit. Now your hosts, Jeff Frick and George Gilbert. Jeff, we're the last time we had it. Hey, welcome back everybody. You are watching theCUBE live from Midtown Manhattan at Spark Summit East. We're excited to be here. Spark is the latest, greatest, coolest thing in data science and big data.  So we're really excited to be joined by Peter Lee, who we just saw. It seems like only yesterday, man. Yeah, only yesterday. CEO of RapidMiner, we're at your event, RapidMiner of Wisdom, welcome back. Great, great to see you again, Jeff. Absolutely, so before we jump in, give us a quick update. I don't know if you had some good updates in the last, only good what? Weeks, I think, since we last saw it. We always have great updates. First of all, not injured. That's right. That's right, the kickboxing. Gotta watch out for that.  We don't want to go there. Right, that's right. No, so I'd say we're tremendously excited. It's been rapid adoption of the RapidMiner 7 release. It's a release that has a lot of meaning in the Spark community. We now have capability to execute or to push down something like 1,000 data prep methods in 250 machine learning libraries into the machine learning models into Spark. So there's some great stuff on the product side. I think Gartner has just released the magic quadrant for advanced analytics, predictive analytics platforms. We're really one of three key commercial offerings that are in the leader's quadrant and we've moved very sharply in advance of our legacy incumbent competition. So some great stuff since then. Thanks for asking. Yeah, congratulations. Let's jump in a little bit, because we're here at Spark now, we're not at wisdom, so talked a little bit about it, but where is really the key tie between RapidMiner and Spark and how do you see Spark kind of changing the game for RapidMiner? Yeah, a couple of key messages. I'd say thematically, we couldn't be more excited about Spark. Spark is something like 100 times performance improvement over alternative approaches.  So that's just tremendous. I'd say a second key area for us well beyond the performance, and of course we take advantage, and I'm sure we'll get into some discussion of what we take advantage of in terms of support, but RapidMiner really expands the universe of people that can take advantage of this just transformational paradigm shift in technology. Spark today is still, as I'm sure we can see here at this summit, a very developer centric effort. It's kind of a bit lower down in the weeds still, certainly relative to where a lot of the customer conversations I'm having take place. Lines of code in the keynotes, that's really all you need to know. Right, right, a bit deeper than where I am for sure. So if you think about that lines of code in the keynote, RapidMiner is a code optional platform. So for deep coders, we have native support of R and Python scripts, which we can execute in Spark. So Spark R, PySpark, that's fantastic. If you are not really developer centric, you can still use RapidMiner to help exploit all of the capabilities of Spark, but through a visual interface. So much more expanding from data scientists to really the citizen data scientists that really do want to take advantage of all that Spark has to offer. So let me try and unpack a couple of those things because they're very significant. So R traditionally has been very popular or open source statistical programming language, but for the most part, as far as I understand, like only really terror data and maybe Oracle sort of on their own, made it distributed. So Spark R, I assume, is an implementation that allows you to program in R as if you were on a single machine and it works across the cluster, scales out. That's right, that's right. So we have direct integration. We announced in fall last year that we would support developers who are able to take advantage of their code of that distributed computing framework in Spark. And so that type of effort is pioneering. We're the first predictive analytics platform to do so. And I think kind of even if I go beyond that and I think about it as a journey, we've been supporting native execution in Hadoop since 2011. So Spark to us is really a very natural evolution of a much broader migration adoption towards that Hadoop, big data-centric approaches, modern approaches to predictive analytics problems. Now, just to clarify, if you can parallelize R, if that's a verb, does that do all the libraries inherit that capability? Is that what makes them all elastic? We have support today for two of the libraries that are affiliated with the Spark platforms, the Machine Learning Lib, ML Lib, and as well as H2O. So with RapidMiner, you can take advantage of all of those cool offerings that are developed there and we expect to be able to announce shortly some of some more special capabilities, in particular with the H2O library. And so you could use R within Spark to talk to ML Lib or H2O and those libraries are distributed. Yeah, and I don't want to get, and I think George, yeah, I kind of don't want to get too deep and stray at it. I'd say kind of the higher level messages in terms of less how we make the pasta, but more the delicious tasting meal afterwards, is I think you could think of RapidMiner, I think, as a platform that easily enables both coders who want to get really under the cover in the weeds and I'm not the right person, my partner and technical founder, Ingo, would really be able to do justice. That's why I don't want to stray into areas where he's better served than me. But I'd say that the coders level, I think there's tremendous optionality to really take advantage of everything Spark has in multiple levels. I think the other part, which is really exciting for the Spark platform itself, is there's a whole universe of people who really understand that Spark represents a paradigm shift in the big data era. A hundred times performance improvement, let's say, relative to alternative approaches, and then how do you open up and make that much more accessible to a broader universe of analysts that are really, when you look at the click tech and the tableau wave of data visualization and self-service analytics that are really moving beyond, I think, explanation of what's happened in the past and wanting to embrace new capabilities to really plot complex associations and make predictive insights and take action into what will happen. So I'd say we're a platform that can govern, even for the coders, the seamless integration and orchestration across the full life cycle of predictive analytics. Data prep, modeling and validation, and ultimately operationalization, where you deploy. And as you said, the citizen data scientist, right? Which is really where everybody wants to go to open this. It's growing five times faster, Jeff. We talked about it a few weeks ago. Growing five times faster than the data scientist. You should just be citizen, right? I mean, ultimately, you don't want it to have to be a data scientist to have the opportunity to execute better decisions based on a data-driven process. That's right, I think that's right. I think it's still, even with today and data visualization analytics, I think we do have that aspiration to push more deeply into the citizen, as you say. Let's call it the Microsoft Excel user, the three to 400 million people that can use Excel. But I think a word of caution is we still want our analytics processes, whether they're visual analytics today or I'm going to say predictive analytics, a little bit more complicated to happen within a governed framework. I don't think we want to have a situation where someone happens to come at a particular insight on their own in one corner of the organization and then take action when someone else may have a very different view. So I think analytics, predictive analytics, all of that still has to take place within some kind of a governed framework so that decisions aren't just precariously arrived at. I think with predictive analytics you have another challenge, which is that you still need a degree of, let's call it safety rails, so that we make sure that we're drawing the right, we're making sure that we're validating the right type of predictive insights. What are those safety rails? Because we keep hearing from different vendors that IT has to give guardrails if they're giving sort of power of self-service in different domains. What are those? Yeah, so I don't think IT has to give the guardrails in our use case. I can't speak to other vendors, but I would say that the type of guardrails that we believe we support in this massive movement, I think Jeff talked about citizen, I call it massive movement towards data democratization, data visualization, engagement, really the analytics revolution in this big data era. I'd say what we think about to the end user in our use case is really guided, both self-service and guided workflows. So when you think about that predictive analytics life cycle, data prep, model and validate, and then ultimately you operationalize, we help you within the platform with automated recommendations for data prep, model selection and parameter options. If you think about the world of big data and Spark, let's take it back to Spark, 250 machine learning algorithms. We have 95% of the world's no machine learning algorithms built in, but any particular algorithm may or may not be useful against any particular data set. It's bewildering, how do you choose? So I think helping our data scientists and citizen data scientists really begin to get more quickly to which one of these is most likely to be of best benefit is a real help. Even within a particular algorithm, you can have a dozen or so parameters that require tuning. So I think some form of guided workflow in that regard can really jump start. And I think, yes, that's right. Or we call it wisdom of the crowds. And I think being the number one open source predictive analytics platform, there's something like a quarter million active users of RapidMiner who have had tremendous experience in applying these machine learning algorithms against different data sets and can really aid and accelerate that life cycle. So let's talk about some of the problems they're solving, some of the applications they're building. Is there a customer journey in terms of how much of the application surface area they get comfortable with at first? Is there commonality in terms of the first applications they start building? What a great question. We actually had a chance following our wisdom conference to actually look back on the year. And we actually did a little bit of a deep dive into the use cases that propelled us in our growth. We doubled the year over year. So we thank Jeff and his team for coming out and talking to us about that. So as I think about the actual experience that we've seen and of course our plans for the future, a couple of key use cases do emerge. First of all, I'd say, George, that they fall into three simple, high value ROI kind of distillations. First and foremost, by a long shot, revenue-based ROI. So customer and marketing analytics, cross-sell, up-sell, customer segmentation, really the know-your-customer journey. I'd say that's by far and away the most important. Is this being built on a customer 360, data lake kind of implementation? Yeah, we see tremendous, of course, we're in the big data era. I wouldn't say it's restricted to that, but absolutely modern data science approaches in the know-your-customer use case, people are really trying to move the needle to get a much better, a much more granular view of the persona. And then what can I predict about this persona? And then I'd say much more importantly, just because you can make a prediction doesn't mean you can take advantage of it. So insight without action has no value, and that's something we talked about earlier. So I would say if you could answer your question on use cases and how we tie rapid miner and spark to those use cases, if you think about the vast trove of customer data in multiple industries, financial services, telco, manufacturing, go down the list, you now are, we've now arrived at a point in time where using say Hadoop or other big data technologies, we're storing much more information to really round out the true persona. Customer profiling, propensity to acquire certain customer intent, the customer journey, what they bought and didn't buy. So so much more who they hang out with in social networks. So I just say kind of higher level, we see rapid miner, number one use case is really taking advantage of technologies like Spark to really move the needle and get much more granular on customer insight. And then to take that customer insight and you ask about applications and actually embed predictive insights into either human decisions or automated actions. And so those are really cool trends. Human decisions is we would say something like Tableau or CliqueTech say, you might take a predictive insight, deploy it into a visual interface and then really have a human say, wow, that's pretty cool. Let's do something about this. Automated actions might be something where you have enough confidence in the predictive insight that you want to quickly just make a mobile offer. A shopper's in the store, she has a certain persona, you have a certain inventory, hey, let's send something out immediately and let her know that this is available at such and such a discount or so forth. So I think there's a variety of use cases but predictive analytics, last year customer and revenue ROI, number one. Number two and three kind of tied would be either risk based ROI or operational efficiency, you know, kind of in a dead heat, let's call it.  And are these being embedded in existing enterprise apps or are they being stitched together in new workflows? Great question, both. We would say, first and foremost, the number one use case is deploying to human action, human decisions, so most likely a visualization capability. Secondly, we would say embedding into enterprise applications. And so those could be third party or homegrown applications. The next piece would be some form of embedding in workflows, as you've pointed out. Can you elaborate when it's embedded in a visualization? Is it sort of a gooey, I don't know, dashboard or just from a business objects? Yeah, so we announced that wisdom, they all used the Tableau announcement as a great example of that. It was in fact the number one most talked about development just a few weeks ago when we were with theCUBE. But we are a predictive analytics platform, we're not a data visualization platform. So we really take our predictive insights and we can take advantage of, in this case Tableau, by being able to seamlessly integrate our capabilities in their visual platform and then allow their end users to be able to get all kinds of filtering and interaction or engagement, visual engagement with those predictive insights. So I'd say in that case of embedding, you're really looking at kind of an interactive, a two way interaction, it's not just the static display of results, but Tableau of course as we know is a leader in data visualization and interaction, exploratory data discovery. So as they kind of probe that predictive insight, there's a two way reciprocal way in which their visual interface can then affect the predictive insight and vice versa. So I think that's something that we're very excited about, we had a customer speak about it a couple of weeks ago and there's much more lined up. I think moving to other types of use cases, if you're talking about let's use risk and compliance in financial services and you thought about the vast trove of e-surveillance that has to happen in our financial services customers, you're talking about a volume of communication where it's very important for insider trading or other type of compliance rules to really sort out potentially harmful conversations. And so when you think about the rate of false positives in that regard, that's really not something where the use case is going to really help you very much to deploy all of that into a visual, let's call it, human decision interface. You're more likely than not to begin triaging and really using our predictive analytics platform to isolate the most likely troubling cases and really triage that and really automate, let's call it the investigative case management work that would need to happen. In that case, we would see our platform being used to actually take advantage of a predictive insight and then immediately embed or route that predictive insight into other third-party or homegrown tools. There are leaders in this space like nice systems that do a lot of anti-money-landering or financial crimes. So third-party systems or homegrown systems, we see both of them, absolutely. But those are different levels of volume and throughput. Well, Peter, unfortunately, we are out of time but we are glad that you're able to stop by here in our trips to New York City. I assume you come to New York City a lot, George. So again, thanks for taking a few minutes out of your busy day. Peter Leet from Rapid Biner. I'm Jeff Frick with George Gilbert. You're watching theCUBE. We are live in Midtown Manhattan at Spark Summit East. Thanks for watching. We'll be back with our next guest after this short break.