The following is a presentation of T-F-N-N. Trade what you see with Larry Pezzavento. Call now toll free at 1-877-927-6648 or internationally at<PHONE_NUMBER>. Now, Larry Pezzavento. Okay, looking good. Billy Ray feeling good, Louis. I posted this chart up here today. I couldn't believe it, folks. This happened when I was over in the UK doing the seminar with Tom Hougard and Dr. David Paul. And Al Brooks, I wanted to show you this chart pattern because this really blew me away. This was basically a chart pattern. Now it looks like you can see it's a beautiful ABCD pattern. You can see the 135 pattern. You can see the volume, folks. You know what this is? This is the betting line for the big horse race that was happening last Saturday in London. That's how they do these things. I mean, my gosh, it's same ABCD that we deal with all the time. Well, what's going to be interesting now is we're going to see how this works in real life as far as how these things move because we have something happening today as we speak. And we're going to try to work this out so you folks can take a look at it for what it's worth. Sometimes they work, sometimes they don't. What all we're going to do now is we're going to move this over just a tiny bit so I can see the doggone thing, and then I think we'll be a little bit better. And I want to get this chart up right here, which is the same thing that the betting guys are doing is doing the same thing we're doing with numbers here. So all we're going to do now is share the screen. By the way, our guest today will be Shane Smolian, theWolfTrader.com. And then on Tuesday, I think we have a free day. Wednesday we have none other than Mr. Joe DiNapoli who will do the whole show because we don't get to hear him very often once a month. And then also we're going to hear Tim Boss on Thursday. So now, as you can see here, these are the standard deviations from the mean in the S&P 500. And if you remember, I've been talking about this level of 44, 30 for a very long time. I want you to see the bottom red line down here, folks. You see that 44, 30 right over there on the right? That should happen at 12, 30. In about, let's see, 11. Yeah, in about, let me see, it's 11 o'clock. Yeah, in just about an hour, I believe, I'll post the thing, but if we get below that, if we get below that, that means there's trouble in River City. But look how these things have bounced off these numbers. And that is the same thing that the betting, let the using betting line at Betfair and what was the other one? William Hill and several of the others, they post these charts that shows you how the betting line moves. And that's the same thing we're doing when we're trading stocks. You know, people are buying at some price and selling it at another. So it's really amazing how those things really lined up.  I'll be happy to post that here for you because they're highly advanced mathematicians and I think you'll be interested to see what their family looks like because it's a pretty cool family. It happened to be in the rain that day, but you can see here they had all their Fibonacci clothes on. And this is actual picture, folks, by a photographer of a snail family. And this flower happened to be just above it to look like an umbrella, but I thought you'd get a big kick out of that. Anyway, let's just move on to the thing that we wanted to talk about, and that is the old stop and be here. So what we're watching for is that standard deviation coming in here very, very shortly. I'm going to bring it up because I'll get the chart up here so we'll be able to see it. The last chart I had was at 44.34. Let's just get the old thing moving here one second. All right, all righty, here we go. Up in there, okay, and there you go. This is the artificial intelligence program that we're looking at, said that we should be down in here just around that 430 level. Of course, we got a long way to go, so it could be a lot more. Yes, that was a 30-minute chart on a standard deviation. Yes, Johnny, it was. But those are the numbers that these algorithmic traders use to push these markets around, and they do it all the time. So that's the main thing is to remember that everybody does something a little bit differently, but that's what we're watching there. And also, finally, I wanted to show you the last one because I posted this over a week ago. Let's just get it down here so you'll be able to see it. You're going to be able to see that 430 level again. Hold on one second. It's going to be just a tiny bit lower this time because the standard deviation has changed. Uh-oh, just a second here. Uh-oh, uh-oh. All right, here's where we want to go. Just a second. Boy, don't ever let an Italian do a job with a mouse unless he's an exterminator. Okay, move this up here. Okay, here's where we are. You can see the ABCDs here. The low that we're looking at right here, boys and girls, you see that low right there? That's a 382. This also is a 135 pattern. I posted that in the video to the 24-7 folks last night to get short at 44.90. The high was 44.91. That was a perfect 382 off of this high right here. And so that's what we're waiting to see is what happens when we get down to this level at the key time that we're going to be watching here early this morning to see if that's going to be... that's going to be accurate. Okay, now there's a couple others, things that have to be really taken in into account today, folks. And that is we've got something really big getting ready to happen very, very soon. And it's something that we've been very shun for a very long time. And I wanted to get this up here so folks can remind ourselves where we are here with this. Now this is, of course, a technical picture has nothing to do with the fundamentals. And this is the weekly... excuse me, this is the daily bond chart. Let's try it again, Larry. It's the weekly bond chart. And if you remember, these are the times one, three and five is when the Fed was in there. The last time was right here, setting right at the 61% retracement of .3, a downtrend, perfect symmetry between one, three and five. And now we have, as you can see here, we are within a day's trading, or even today. I believe it'll be sometime this week would be my guess. The number to watch, folks, here is 139 here in the thing. Now one of two things is going to happen here. And it'll usually be one or the other. It's either going to collapse through that 1.618 level, or it's going to have a bounce of about $10,000.  We're down over 20, down 20 grand from that high we made up here. And look at this, folks, that's every single week. And each of the rallies have just been minor, tiny ABCDs. I mean, this just didn't have any friends at all. The interest rates are going higher, folks. It doesn't make any difference what this bounce is from here. Well, it will make a difference because that'll tell you the strength of the interest rates you're going to do. But I think it's going to be, Duffy's right, the rate of the drop of this, the rate drop, oh boy, oh boy, let's try putting the words together. The increase in the interest rates has been historic, and I think history is just starting, really. I don't think there's any question about that. We see that in all the charts that we look at with the interest rates. We've talked about this yield curve, so many bonds. Mr. Duffy, I have to correct you on something. The quote from Goldfinger is Mr. Bond, he said, do you expect me to talk? Mr. Goldfinger said, no, Mr. Bond, I expect you to die. The reason why I know that, that was Mark Douglas' favorite Bond film, and he quoted that all the time. All right, boys and girls, we'll be right back with a couple more interesting charts,<PHONE_NUMBER>. I think that if you want to be successful at trading in the stock market, you're going to need a crystal ball. After all, it's impossible to predict the future, right? Like any endeavor in life, before you decide it's impossible, get some advice from the experts. You might find that it's not so impossible after all. For daily market overviews that give you direction on the key indices, selective stocks, and commodities, subscribe to the opening call newsletter at TFNN.com. The opening call newsletter is written by Basil Chapman, creator of the trading methodology known as the Chapman Wave. The Chapman Wave up-down sequence gives you an edge in identifying price turns, finding the peaks and valleys in stock prices.  First-time subscribers also get a 30-day money-back guarantee. If you're not satisfied, let us know and you'll get a full refund within 30 days of signing up. From Educating Investors. What's separating you from the most successful men and women on Wall Street? That's right. Information. Having all the information gives us the perspective we need to place the right trades at the right time. The TAS Profile Scanner is the premier market profile-based scanner. Powered by its acclaimed TAS proprietary algorithms, this feature-rich scanner instantly filters over 2,500-plus such as stocks, ETFs, commodities, futures, and forex. This powerful suite of tools leverages instant trade filtering and strategy formulation to show you emerging trades before they happen.  Level the playing field with the TAS Profile Scanner which you can find under the services tab at TFNN.com Sign up today! Sharpening your skills as an investor is like getting better at playing a musical instrument. You have to practice, sure, but you also need excellent instruction from experts. At TFNN, you'll get advice and guidance from the authority and technical market analysis, and it's not just dry, tedious text either. TFNN airs live financial content on TFNN.com and TFNN's YouTube channel with Tiger TV live every market day from 8.30am to 4pm eastern for free. Each host is an experienced trader and gives their take on the market while taking calls and questions live from around the world. From the moment the market opens until the closing bell sounds, Tiger TV has 8 different shows with expert hosts to help you make the right moves with your money. Watch online at TFNN.com or on TFNN's YouTube channel and become the investor you were born to be TFNN Educating Investors Toll Free at 1-877-927-6648 Internationally at<PHONE_NUMBER> Okay, folks, I posted the chart of the German DAX and also you can see the ABCD formations that are there. I'm also posting the one for the FTSE and this one's a little different because it's been stronger as you can see here, it's completed the big ABCD pattern up here with a three drive to a top pattern and it's sold off and so those are just a few of the patterns that we're watching here today as we look across the board. Several questions came to me over the weekend about how does this war affect folks over my pay grade. I know how to do one thing and that is find the ABCD patterns on short and intermediate time frames and try to know what my risk is. That's what I do. I don't listen to this stuff. I mean I was in London for eight, nine almost ten days. I didn't get to hear the news. Thank God I didn't know what was going on and it didn't have anything to it didn't make any difference to what we were looking at. I was able to do we were able to do three trades during the time we had a couple others that we just missed but we had a very good day Tom and I trading together in a pretty substantial account. We made just under five percent per the day with virtually no heat at all and then my deal with these folks was I would follow through for another couple weeks and we finishing this last week here with a really nice run here. We've had six winners and one loser, our loser today was in the gold and we just missed reversing on it which would have made everything back plus some but that was our first first loss but we would like I mentioned you know we sold the S&P last night at the three eight two at you know forty four ninety and we covered that at forty four forty four forty five and we're waiting to go long here in around twelve thirty in just about an hour we'll be able to watch this now if it's if it's below forty four hundred here now that's going to really be a problem for the bulls folks but I really think it's going to hold I don't know what the last price was on that S&P but I believe that forty that forty four thirty is going to be very important because that is you know setting at that one standard deviation and going below that is going to be but the now Jones is acting much better than the other ones you know that's it so anyway that's what we're paying attention to as we watch some of these things trade today I wanted to bring another chart to your attention here because we were talking about the treasury the treasury bonds and I also want to show you you know what's going on with the treasury notes because it also is in an area where it's going to be very very close to all of the AB remember this is a weekly chart folks and as you remember you know we've been various this thing for a very long time I mean look at this up here this is when they were feeding us I don't want to go into that this was the old one you know negative interest rate stuff now it's too too high interest rates anyway we're coming down really fast on these treasury notes okay so we're either going to go blasting through that you know we are going to go through it the question is are we going to have a little bit of a bounce before that time and folks the interest rate is increasing the interest rates are increasing not only that the shorts are piling in I mean the interest rate the open interest in this darn thing is increasing that tells you that this market is extremely extremely bearish because they keep adding to it well that that will lead to a really strong short covering rally that's why if you follow these things look at that 1.618 expansion down there because you get to that point and it doesn't turn you know wow this thing's going to really fall out of bed but that's my two cents worth just looking at the chart so that's pretty much what we're paying attention to now there's another one today that's very very important that had a huge drop in open interest on Friday we alerted the folks on the video last night the importance of this I'll get this up here so we can take a quick look at it and it's we're going to be over here just a second it take me a second there it is okay here's where we are get this up here so we can take a quick look at this one this is a really interesting one because we hit its bottom today we did make that double top up here at that 5 66 level we took out this high over here by just a little bit we had a big drop in open interest on Friday in the May natural gas of 31,000 it wasn't picked up by the other contract so there was a net change of $6,000 on an up move like that that is not bullish folks that means that was short covering we had more of it today we dropped all the way down to around 622 last night and it went up rally $4,000 to get up to a new high and then we backed off again so those are the things that we're trying to pay attention to as we look at some of these things because you know they're very interesting because the swings we're having are you know they're phenomenal remember this is just got to I think the margin on this thing only like $3,500 or something like that so it's really an interesting one to be trading if you're going to be trading something where you don't have to worry about high interest rates or high margin requirements and I know some of these are getting ridiculous in the futures for the stock indices and also for gold and also for crude oil but of course you have many gold and many crude so that helps a little bit on that okay now the next one we want to talk about here which everyone wants to see anybody I do anyway that's the main thing oh just a second I got it ready to go and then I can't find it so give me a second here I'm only a minute away from getting this done I hope that's what I'm saying and here it is right here and this is one of my favorite things to trade along with my good buddy Mr. Z and news here extremely bullish usually not as bullish as before but still pretty bullish I want to get this up here this is the 15 minute chart on soybeans you can see the ABCD pattern that we had last night hanging right there at the 382 and of course with the 135 pattern following it right afterwards it left yourself open for a really good move to the downside to the tune of just about a thousand bucks in this move here about 750 to 800 dollars and that turned out to be pretty good and that completed the ABCD to the downside to folks so now you probably could have bought it down there but I was happy enough with the hit the cash register kaching kaching and you know move on to the next one so let's remind ourselves that I have to show you one other thing that was sent to us by a good friend over in Longboat Key Florida good old country boy from Missouri hold on one second here that's old Dr. Mark P we're going to get this up you got to see this folks you talked about how things have changed since I was growing up you got to take a look at this folks this was our division of our example of Gatorade folks this is what we had for a sports drink when I was a kid drinking out of the hose we also took our baths out of that same hose too anyway I thought that was a little funny so that was very very funny and I would want to thank Dr. Mark for that one that's a very very good one to pay close attention oh one other thing Basil Chapman's got his webinar coming up this Wednesday I believe folks I try to get to it folks because he really knows the history of these markets and I think it's it's something you ought to pay attention to I'm going to sure certainly be there but he does a great job with his opening call stuff and you know you just have to pay attention to that and it's worth it to watch what Basil has I really enjoy it because of the historical things that he brings up and I think those are worth the price of admission plus I like the way that he counts the waves because he use it with letters instead of numbers and it keeps it is very simple and he's got his way of counting and that works extremely well for him and it's basically a similar type modification of you know wave you know if the problem is it doesn't work all the time and there's where the problem lies for most of these folks is you can't really do that now we're going to have Shane Smollion the WolfTrader.com coming up next very very shortly so it's very important I wanted to show you this one this happened last week when we were I when I was out of the office over there this was the 61% retracement that we had in the S&P and as you can see we're selling off you know quite rapidly we're not down to you know we're just having a normal correction folks this is not really anything very big if we get let's let me see if I can get the last price of this thing up here you know we're trading it 44 28 right now in the S&P what happened to my data yeah 44 28 and as long as we stay above 4400 in the next this from 1230 on 1230 to the end of the day that could be a big reversal so you know because the all we've done all we've done in the the YM the Dow Jones E-mini is take out the lows of the overnight lows from we had last night and we had huge swings last night folks we had 300 point swings in that thing like it oh no wait 300 wait 40 for no 150 point swings in that thing so it's moving around and of course bonds just keep going lower and lower and lower we're getting close to 139 folks 139 08 in the bonds is the 1.618 expansion write yourself a little ticket on that one<PHONE_NUMBER> I guess no one told me that this was going to be a where is the the music what I do wrong now one minute to go oh wow I'm showing that it's times over what's that what's going on with that Mr. Shane Smolian will be our guest today tomorrow I believe I'm not sure I haven't checked the calendar I know we have Joe D. Neppoli is on Wednesday for the full hour Thursday I know we have Mr. Tim Bost and Friday we are closed for the good holiday of Good Friday probably the last Good Friday holidays will ever let us have that will probably be going to the way of the hula hoop and some of the other things that we've seen over the periods of time so that's pretty much it boys and girls so we're waiting to hear from Mr. Shane Smolian I don't know what happened to the evening break or the morning break here but it didn't occur so not going to worry about it too much alright we'll be right back with Shane Smolian folks to WolfTrader.com you might think that if you want to be successful at trading in the stock market you're going to need a crystal ball after all it's impossible to predict the future right like any endeavor in life before you decide it's impossible get some advice from the experts you might find that it's not so impossible after all for daily market overviews that give you direction on the key indices selective stocks and commodities subscribe to the opening call newsletter at tfnn.com the opening call newsletter is written by Basil Chapman creator of the trading methodology known as the Chapman Wave the Chapman Wave up down sequence gives you an edge in identifying price turns finding the peaks and valleys in stock prices get the opening call newsletter by Basil Chapman in your inbox every day first time subscribers also get a 30 day money back guarantee if you're not satisfied let us know and you'll get a full refund within 30 days of signing up tfnn.com thanks for educating investors what's separating you from the most successful men and women on wall street that's right information having all the information gives us the perspective we need to place the right trades at the right time the TAS profile scanner is the premier market profile based scanner powered by its acclaimed task proprietary algorithms this feature rich scanner instantly filters over 2,500 plus global financial markets to stocks ETFs commodities futures and forex this powerful suite of tools leverages instant trade filtering and strategy formulation to show you emerging trades before they happen for a limited time you can save $100 off your first month by using the promo code upgrade and you still get a 30 day money back guarantee so you have nothing to risk level the playing field with the TAS profile scanner you can find under the services tab at tfnn.com sign up today sharpening your skills as an investor is like getting better at playing a musical instrument you have to practice sure but you also need excellent instruction from experts at tfnn you'll get advice and guidance from the authority and technical market analysis and it's not just dry tedious text either tfnn airs live financial content streamed live on tfnn.com and tfnn's youtube channel with tiger tv live every market day from 8 30 a.m. to 4 p.m. eastern for free each host is an experienced trader and gives their take on the market while taking calls and questions live from around the world from the moment the market opens until the closing bell sounds tiger tv has eight different shows with expert hosts to help you make the right moves with your money watch online at tfnn.com or on tfnn's youtube channel and become the investor you were born to be tfnn educating investors at 1-877-927-6648 internationally at<PHONE_NUMBER> okay folks I believe we have Shane Smoyth WolfTraderFutures.com on the line Shane are you there good morning is this Duke and Duke this is the office south broad street Philadelphia Pennsylvania well your forecast of a lower market coming into the day is certainly right you want to tell the folks what you're looking at my friend absolutely so today we're going to talk about the geomagnetic storm and this is a big topic Larry I don't think people realize this and this I think this ties into astrology too because it's talking about how magnetic feels electromagnetic feels affect the moods of the populace now your good friend Arch Crawford is really the expert on this topic so I would love to hear from him one day on this if you could get him to come back out of retirement that would be great but I'm going to talk to you about a geomagnetic storm that we had on March 31st so people may not know what this is so I have a visual here this is an image here showing what happens the sun makes these sunspots and there's these ejections that come off and you get these geomagnetic storms so when this storm comes off it takes a couple of days to reach the earth and we have our magnetic fields here that help deflect these particles and protect the earth but it creates these beautiful lights in the sky it creates the northern lights and when these storms come it can bring the lights down very far south and this particular storm brought them all the way down to New York City for the first time in over 40 years this is great this is astrophysics but what does this have to do that was my question my friend that was my question so we're doing a little science lesson here today but this is another image this is another visualization of the earth magnetic fields protecting us and then creating this this illumination that helps us well we had a storm on 331 which was very significant now this actually happened on 28 the storm came off the sun two of them came off and they merged it hits the earth on March 31 now the northern lights were visible in New York City for the first time in 40 years that's how strong the storm was this has a depressive effect on markets for at least one week I think in this case it's even more the Federal Reserve of Atlanta wrote about this I'm going to talk about statistics and data from the Federal Reserve of Atlanta about this now you may think that's weird that the feds are talking about geomagnetic storms but they understand how these things affect markets believe me Larry and so I strongly believe that they look at the astrology in the cycles too and to me this is proof of it the feds speculated that this affects the moods of investors in other words it creates a negative mood on investors and so what we have here is this is a graph of what happened this is from NOAA you can see as the geomagnetic storm approaches you can see the activity you see the temperature jumps up here the speed jumps up here the density jumps up here so all of these particles are coming in bombarding the earth and so we can track exactly when this comes to the earth and you know see when it's passing over us okay so that's important here's another view of it here you can see there's this huge jump up here in the density of the particles and then the speed gets up to about 600 kilometers per second so these are very fast-moving particles coming around us so what does it have to do with the market well first of all these sunspots these geomagnetic storms tend to come after the sunspots forms so the sunspots are the dashed line and the geomagnetic storm is the solid line so we can kind of see these coming a little bit but we don't really know we just have a very short notice now this is the actual solar storm activity of the year and this is average so what happens is it runs up into March falls down into July it goes back up into October so Larry can you see any patterns here on this chart relating to stock markets can you see any patterns there I'm not able to see the chart the way that it's supposed to be set up because I hold on second I I'll keep going here so I'm going to give people a hint here so this is an actual solar cycle of the Dow Jones this is historical going back to the early 1900s and what we find is that these two charts are inverse these two charts are inverse so the more that the sun releases the solar flares the lower that the market goes and it is exactly correlated it goes all the way down into February into April as the solar storm activity increases as the solar storm activity decreases the market goes back up and then as the solar storm activity increases into October the market falls etc there is it is an exact mirror of the way that the SMP behaves so this is direct evidence that what's happening on the sun with these storms is affecting the markets ok we'll be right back with bothtraderfeatures.com Shane Smolian folks we'll be right back Tiger Realty has the experience across all areas of real estate in the Tampa Bay area to help buyers and sellers make the most informed decisions across all price levels from the price you should be paying per square foot in certain up and coming areas to the type of cash flow investment properties are capable of creating Tiger Real Estate can help you make the best decision when it comes to all areas of the market before you make one of the biggest decisions of your financial future call Tiger Real Estate LLC today<PHONE_NUMBER> or email us at tiger at tfnn.com that's<PHONE_NUMBER> call us today the technology around us is changing 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we're back folks we're talking with the wolf trader.com Shane Smollion himself Shane would you like to continue please so absolutely so we're showing here on the long-term the solar cycle activity solar storms correlate with the s&p or the end the Dow Jones but take a look at this next chart this next chart is actually what happened when the storm passed over so right when the storm passed over you can see that the s&p was rallying on this kind of the following this arc path that jumps up and then the geomagnetic storm hits and that was the end of it it's just completely into the rally and this is what the data shows from the Federal Reserve the Federal Reserve actually tracks what's going on here with U.S. stock returns on all these different markets NASDAQ, S&P, AMEX, New York Stock Exchange and this is comparing what happens after the geomagnetic storm the week after versus a normal bad day a normal sorry a normal day on the S&P on the NASDAQ the S&P the AMEX and all of these markets are lower across the board for the week after this geomagnetic storm so this is a different event there's plenty of data on this they also track the large versus the small caps and essentially the smaller the cap of the stock the more it's affected by these geomagnetic storms and the the thesis was that it's likely affecting the mood of the smaller investors because the smaller investors affect invest in these smaller microcap stocks or the institutions are investing in the larger stocks it's just a fascinating study on this and I think this definitely ties into the astral work that we do but again this is from the Federal Reserve of Atlanta they did a study on this you can look this up it's online I will go more into this with subscribers at a later date I just wanted to bring this to the attention because it stonewalled the rally the minute that this thing passed over earth and it was a strong storm I saw in the news that it was something that they hadn't seen in a long time so and you're right Arch did do a lot of work on that because I remember over the 40 years that I've known him seeing some of those reports so over my pay grade buddy but you make a good case for it so what else are you looking at well we follow the steelium so I don't know I've been talking about this planetary steelium I just want to give people an update in terms of where we are on this and there's an outlier case forming here now we're in the last peak of the steelium you can see that the planets are still pretty tightly aligned here and this tends to draw markets up for the most part but there is an example here what I want to show you is we have three or four peaks this year the steelium is four peaks the largest peak occurred in March right with that rally and then there's a fourth peak here then there's no more steelium peaks for the rest of 2022 so I think this was helping to hold up the market I think once these pass I think we're going to have much much lower prices coming on this but I want to look at this little peak three to four example here because we're going to go back to Covid here now let me explain to you what happened here so in Covid there was a series of three peaks here there was peak one peak two peak three now the pattern that we're seeing here is that the market tends to peak near or right after the highest steelium peak so right here here's the highest steelium peak and peak two the market runs up for a little bit and falls down but what we've seen this we saw this in 2009 too is that sometimes that after the if there's another lower peak the market can decline all the way into that we saw this during Covid where the peaks sometimes they can mark a low this also happened in 2009 and we can go back into in 1987 this happened so that the lower peak also marked a low so there's an outside chance that I think this is happening now and if this happens if this scenario plays out then we could be looking at some type of a low coming in around early May or early May maybe the first week of May something like that if it follows the same pattern either way if it doesn't fall as pattern when we get past May the situation gets much much worse for equities so I think you know the lifeboat has come back how many times is the lifeboat going to come by for people okay we had a rally this is the chance I think from here on out we're going to have problems with this market so let me talk to you about where we are now on the market there's a similar situation here so again this is the Covid chart here this is the chart that we have now we have the four peaks we have peak one peak two peak three and then here's your fourth steeling peak here it looks very similar to what we saw during Covid so if that plays out again as it did in 2009 as it did in 1987 there is a chance it's going to happen for sure but there is a good chance based upon the previous behavior that this could mark some type of an interim low into here in the first week of May and we could have a scenario like that playing out well I know that NASA they're posting in the room here that NASA watch the solar storms everybody has to I mean if you're sending spaceships up there you better be aware when these things are happening because you don't want to send a spaceship in the midst of a solar storm do you absolutely I mean that's one of the big concerns with space travel the radiation exposure and then you're crashing into objects and I mean space travel is no joke you're exposed to all different types of things I told you that my wife gave me a ticket on space travel did you know that for my birthday on the 28th of July? the problem was it's a one way ticket and I don't know what she meant but I guess I figured it out little Rodney Dangerfield for you my friend okay tell us you have a new webinar something coming up this weekend that you'd like the folks to take a look at maybe? Sure well we talk every Saturday we have a webinar we've been talking about lately about moving averages optimizing moving averages for charts there's certain moving averages actually on the S&P right now one of the breakout moving averages is like the 14 it just crossed through that so it's in a breakout lower but we're kind of in this process of optimizing moving averages to help people get different levels they can look at for support and resistance on the markets and we'll probably talk about the storm some more the geomagnetic storm too well you know these folks that do these logarithmic trading they knew all about these moving averages and all the variations of them because that's how they move these markets around by looking at the standard deviations of the mean and the other things that are involved with these things and you can see them move dramatically off of these numbers so I think it's a really important thing to look at one other question I want to ask you is when's our next lunar event don't we have a full moon coming up here pretty soon but the new moon wouldn't it the new moon I don't know the exact date on that I don't have that in front of me I didn't have it either so coming up soon let me talk to you real go ahead sorry please continue so let me let me talk to you so I'm just looking at the nasdaq here so this is the nasdaq here you can see this is the nasdaq across the 50 crossed below below the 200 here and it got rejected pretty strongly above you know once it got to that 200 moving average right there this is a chart that I wanted to show people this is dealing with the four hour chart so essentially what happened here is that the S&P has been declining in a rather complex fashion and so there's these lines that form called they're called speed lines and essentially what these things do is they they they go through these retracement levels and then they extend the line out and you can see the S&P goes all the way up here to the 786 out here and this was where it stopped and it's in the process now of making a parabolic it's making a parabolic rise now it's making a mirror again mirror so if it keeps following this line it'll come down below that 4400 level and it keeps following that line right there so I thought that was an interesting intraday chart to look at too now one of the things I talk about with people too is to watch bitcoin because bitcoin is leading the S&P we'll talk about that, let me get back yes we write back with wolftraderfutures.com Shane's million folks just a few minutes sharpening your skills as an investor is like getting better at playing a musical instrument you have to practice sure but you also need excellent instruction from experts at TFNN you'll get advice and guidance from the authority and technical market analysis and it's not just dry tedious text either TFNN airs live financial content streamed live on TFNN.com and TFNN's YouTube channel with Tiger TV live every market day from 8.30am to 4pm eastern for free, each host is an experienced trader and gives their take on the market calls and questions live from around the world from the moment the market opens until the closing bell sounds Tiger TV has 8 different shows with expert hosts to help you make the right moves with your money watch online at TFNN.com or on TFNN's YouTube channel and become the investor you were born to be TFNN educating investors you might think that if you want to be successful at trading in the stock market you're going to need a crystal ball after all it's impossible to predict the future right? 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Hey there what's happening traders welcome back to yet another version of my weekly segment called trader talk now guys first of all I like to say I missed you guys actually last week I didn't put out a video because I was actually in the middle of a trade and frankly I just got a little bit lazy because sometimes I like to actually withdraw money from the market and actually go live my life okay last week I actually spent most of last week shopping and relaxing and chilling because the thing about forex is a lot of people fail to realize that you actually need to take money out of the market hit that withdrawal button no matter how little it is you make and this is part of the things that I always preach on the forex mastery course redrawing your money from the forex market is such a vital part of your trader psychology journey yes because what's the point I because I you know what's the point of making all this money and then you're just seeing it on the screen and then what happens is one bad trade comes along and wipes you out like what is the point it just feels like you're working in vain so what I actually did was actually reduce some money from my trading account and spend most of last week just chilling shopping and obviously guys would you believe I've been living in my apartment in Dubai for about eight months now I literally didn't have curtains in my living room just because I was so busy with life and trading and e-com and all that kind of stuff so last week took money out of my trading account and actually went to go and enjoy myself and he felt really good because I could actually feel the fruits of my labor and the same thing for you forex mastery students I want you guys to you know ensure that you withdraw some money no matter how little it is because at the end of the day you're putting in a lot of effort you're putting a lot of energy into this game you should be able to withdraw some money out and go and spend some time with your family so guys once again welcome to another episode today I'm going to be jumping into the charts a couple of I think last week we've had one of the best trading weeks or months in like two months to three months why because AUD USD has been giving us back to back winning trades guys the market is respecting our market philosophy of top-down analysis forex mastery students you already know how to do this whereby we go on higher time frames and we analyze all the way down and AUD USD we have been absolutely milking it so AUD USD has actually given us north of 300 pips in profit and gold actually tanked almost about I think 600 pips so in total of last week alone we've been able to net about 900 pips which I'm obviously going to show you guys on my screen shortly so I wanted to say a quick shout out to all the forex mastery students I will always give you guys a shout out to keep encouraging you guys you know to tell you guys that listen all the things you learn on the forex mastery course I'm happy that you guys are actually starting to see play out in real life okay you're not just learning for learning sake a lot of people learn learn learn but they never they're never able to practicalize it okay the last two weeks you know the last two weeks have actually shown us that what it is that we hold on to in terms of price action and the philosophy of the top-down analysis actually does work as far as I'm concerned that is the most realistic way to trade the foreign exchange market so for those of you who haven't grabbed the forex mastery course you're sleeping on the bicycle okay the link is going to be down below and short to grab it but enough about that once again shout out to all the forex mastery students because I love you guys so dearly guys literally one guy sent me a screenshot he was like he sent me a screenshot of how much he had made from the gold short trace that we have been analyzing you know um on mastery course and obviously on my youtube channel he sent me a screenshot and he was like sir take a look at your student that made me so proud the guy had made a lot of money of gold and that actually makes me really happy so without any further ado I'm gonna jump into my charts let's go over what worked okay how we're able to make money off of it what we decided not to trade why we decided not to trade them and let's also see if there are any trading opportunities for us to jump into so guys without any further ado let's absolutely go if you haven't gotten the course already I suggest you do so the link is going to be down below but for now let's talk some chart let go hey hey what's happening people welcome inside of my screen just making sure everything's recording fine mic check webcam check all right fantastic it's good to have you guys obviously once again for some strange reason between the introduction of this video and this aspect of the video my energy level has actually dropped so pardon me if I feel a bit seem a bit off but notwithstanding I'm definitely going to give you guys an amazing trade at all anyway scratcher yeah so let's jump into the chart so what I actually have in front of us right about now today we're going to kick off with AUDUSD now why are we kicking off with AUDUSD we're kicking off with this because AUDUSD has you know gone on to make us a significant amount of money I remember calling the short trade somewhere about here I said a pullback of here touch of here four hour candle break my entries are actually on four hour candle break of somewhere about here okay and we've pretty much been able to ride this wave all the way to what the downside now my overall targets for AUDUSD are this blue bar about here why is this my overall target if you do your top down analysis properly for xmas tree students you already know how to plot your key levels all my levels here are simply plotted based on key levels they're so simple and straightforward to plot but most of the time a lot of traders get them wrong my key levels are here to pretty much guide me and help me know exactly where the market is most likely going to go into and where the market is most likely going to turn around so what actually gave birth to this reversal because AUDUSD was actually in an uptrend for a very long time as you can see from March of 2020 all the way up until March of 2021 which is an entire one whole year of an uptrend so what gave birth to this reversal now we started to see I mean if you check on the weekly timeframe this is a left shoulder head right shoulder so forex mastery students you know once we see a chat pattern form on a weekly timeframe it simply means one thing trend reversal so that's strike one strike two we also saw a clear break which was this of this neckline don't forget the way we traded forex mastery course is our trading is broken down into two okay the trading is broken down into two because one aspect is for market analysis and the other aspect is for trade execution so first things first we need to understand where exactly is this market going a lot of people confuse get confused when I say stuff like go and hire timeframes to to to obviously get a trading done actually I don't actually mean that you should trade on higher timeframes a lot of people feel that oh because they have small account sizes they can go to higher timeframes that is very very false that's not what I mean what I simply mean is on higher timeframes once we're able to analyze on higher timeframes we can get the full picture so the higher timeframe was able to tell us that AUD USD was due for a massive reversal okay and a massive reversal that will most likely come into this blue zone about here so once we're able to see that on higher timeframes then we were able to scale to timeframes like the four hour timeframe and start looking for what only selling opportunities which were somewhere around here now I held on to my selling opportunity for a very long match is still holding on to my sales I have a second sell position on the break of this counter trend line about here forex mastery students you should be very familiar with these strategies it was very simple and straightforward equation a clear break guys I take this again so there was a clear break of the neckline sorry I'm moving a bit fast you can see clear break we don't trade here we don't trade at the trade at the break of structure on the higher time frame we this is a confirmation for us we use the higher timeframes to kind of like not just in the right direction so AUD USD higher time frame was able to give us that kick give us the kick in that direction I'm like okay cool it's time for us to start going so once we're able to anticipate the move on a higher time frame we then had to scale to lower timeframes to refine our entry so what we've been able to do in essence is I've been able to anticipate that once we break out of this this this neckline about here our next level target is going to be here and here so if you calculate from 0.758 0.7600 which is about here all the way to 0.700 so the difference is about 600 pips so all we did on the higher time frame was to anticipate the entire move on a higher time frame and once we were able to get the entire move on a higher time frame only then were we able to scale to lower timeframes to trade in that direction I hope this actually starts to make sense to a lot of people because a lot of people were like but I have a little account size how can I profit off of this is the same thing you're most likely going to trade on a lower time frame all I require from you to do is do the market analysis on higher timeframes okay before you come to lower timeframes so that you have a more confident direction okay so that you know that if you're clicking that sell button that sell trade is most likely going to work out or if you're clicking that buy button it's most likely going to work out why because the higher time frame says so why because you have done your due diligence on a higher time frame so I'm still very much I still have both my positions open if you combine both positions at the moment I'm currently floating about 310 pips at about 12 lots each so it's a significant amount of money I was actually able to close out actually have 14.3 lots open I closed out two made some redraws last week obviously when shopping actually still have some of the stuff that I bought like obviously can't start showing you the stuff but it's actually right next to me some really cool stuff some new clothes you know because like I was saying to you guys I never really have the time to enjoy myself I moved to a new city which is Dubai and I haven't really gone out I've been on my screens either I'm working on e-commerce or trading or doing analysis I'm freaking shooting videos for you guys so it felt really rewarding for me to actually redraw some of my profits and actually go out and chill so there you go guys I think I should have a couple of my positions open okay I'm gonna take a screenshot and put it somewhere on here so that you guys can actually see that this ain't no joke a real live account so that you guys can see so that you guys can also see all the trades real time so I hope you guys have been able to somewhat be able to verify my transparency because all the trees that I all the trees that I take I come on here and I call them live if you're doubting me watch the previous video we called all this shit live okay even when the market came down here I said it was time to start selling broke the counter trend line and bam all the way down here so my I'm actually going to be taking on at least 80 percent of my positions about here because I'm not really sure if this market can maintain this momentum all the way here I feel we're mostly going to get another retracement before we come here so I don't really want to be caught up in this market coming here and then pushing all the way back to the upside although my stop losses are somewhere about here obviously I keep locking up I have what I call a trailing stop so yeah I'm completely risk-free and some good peeps in the bank now AUD USD is just one of the trades we took the juiciest one I feel like the juiciest one was gold okay so I anticipated gold give me a sec here guys my gold trades were actually so there was a simple counter trend line break and the break of structure yes right about here so if you come on for I'll just quickly explain to you guys why exactly we went short so my short trades were actually somewhere inside of here and my stop losses came above here and my overall targets were actually this green bar about here first level targets here second level targets here I call this live on the trailer talk you can check the previous videos I'm just here to update you guys to tell you guys what I'm actually looking at at the moment and lo and behold our first to go first level target was smashed before I even knew what was happening we were this close to my second level target and guys the most annoying thing happened guys we came shy of my second level my overall target few peeps you can see I'm so pissed off okay we jumped all the way back here so I ended up closing my second trade somewhere about here actually it was actually somewhere around here once I started to see this consolidation it didn't really look like this market was gonna continue heading lower I just close it out just imagine if obviously this first level target gave me some money but oh guys look at how close I was look at how close I was yes this even happens to the best traders as well and no it's not my broker's fault usually what happens is that the market will need to kind of like cross this line significantly before I get taken out for a take profit it's just the way brokers fulfill orders so my trade would have the market needed to have come somewhere around here for my this take this take profit to have been activated that didn't happen I'm not gonna cry but nevertheless on gold I was still able to make a significant amount of profit if I do the calculation on 8 10 all the way down to 1 to 1 7 2 so you're looking about 700 peeps in profit on this massive drop alone you guys know I have not really been trading gold I've just been waiting for it to get ripe and ripe and so far so good gold was able to give us this massive drop moving forward gold has dropped however gold has jumped back into this range okay so from what I can see on a higher time frame gold has I really wish gold had actually come down here and stayed here and actually continue going lower then we could have actually said that yes indeed this is a full-scale trend reversal but god hasn't done that instead what god has done is god has in his usual fashion in his usual way of trickery my Nigerian brothers will call it why you in his usual way of trickery god has rallied all the way back above its trend line so this was pretty much a false break okay good thing we made some money off it but god has I feel like god just simply wanted to come and fulfill this key level okay I know why that reversal happened like that you see when you start to see things you understand what this is the weekly level it actually did this is why it's always good to draw your key levels on what the candle close on weekly or daily I usually like to use the daily but in this case we came to the weekly and that's exactly where it closed but all the same is pretty much the same thing it's okay it's one of those things guys nobody's perfect the market can act a bit irrational sometimes and it's nothing to to beat yourself over so guys I've been able to close out my gold in some handsome hefty profits as I speak to you and this is August 18th I'm currently up about 64% return on investment yes I started off the chairman with you guys in January at 0% return it was literally break even we've had a lot of winning trades we've had a lot of break even trades and I think we've only been able to account for about one or two losses since January if you ask me that's a very good track record I'm very transparent I come on here and I speak to you guys if you you're doubting this go and start from trader talk volume one watch from January you can take down the notes yourself I've been transparent trades that worked out we celebrated trades that didn't work out we cried together and trades that hit our break even and were able to get some profit out of it don't forget my break even trades doesn't mean I didn't make money my break even trade simply means that I was only able to take maybe a sick a certain portion you guys know at 100% retracement is where I always close a portion of my trade so break even trades for me don't mean I don't I didn't make money break even trades for me means that after I closed my trade at the first level target the remaining trade just went back and hit my stop loss for a break even okay even on break even trades we were making money although on break even trades we were not the profits were not huge like this one and AUD USD so if we combine everything together I was actually just looking at my equity curve it's actually somewhere on my screen about here I'll probably share my screen my equity curve with you guys at the end of the trading year so that you guys can actually see our performance but so far so good we're currently at 63.7% which isn't bad don't forget I'm trading for a lot of very wealthy investors and this is already August I can't really say what's going to happen for the rest of the year but I am hopeful that we can hopefully double this account I'm actually trading is significant like the account size is actually quite significant if you ask me definitely it's a lot of money runs into the millions of US dollars so 60 63% it's not bad at the moment I'm actually quite happy so actually let me just check so this so my AUD USD I need this trade to close in profit so that we can actually guarantee that we're actually at 64% on the dot because it's floating at the moment so yeah so hopefully AUD USD just behaves itself once I close it out I can actually smile at this point I don't really need to even trade again for the rest of the year because forex mastery students for those of you who's taking the forex mastery and the forex in millionaires course which teaches you how to get investors sorry birds are flying you hear me speak about you don't need to return crazy amounts of money every year for you to become you know for people to give you money to trade for them I'm only up 60 63.5 fraction slash 64 percent and my investors are very happy they calling me every day they're happy not every day but I mean they send me messages we see our account growing obviously we send them monthly reports they're happy about that you know and you see I don't really stress myself sometimes I'm and I don't trade for like two weeks I only trade when the market is ready and this is exactly what I teach you guys on the forex mastery course okay there's no need to stress yourself trading should be fun it should be free it should be easy should be you know just do your thing okay don't get emotionally attached invested in the market this is exactly a thousand consent that's my biggest secret I don't stress about the markets okay when the market is ready it just lets me know okay and what else do I have to say I mean let me know act like let me know act like obviously people aren't struggling with the market people are definitely struggling with the market but my point here is the more you actually trade the market and the more you actually start to detach yourself the more you actually I think it's more about being confident in your knowledge that's what trading actually comes down to for me I'm very confident in what I know this is why I can tell you guys that yo listen guys I'm not touching this I'm not touching this today I'm not touching this I'll be like guys I can bet you I can guarantee you because I have confidence in my knowledge and I kind of like know almost for certain what the market is most likely gonna do next because I know quite a lot about the market okay so a lot of this comes from experience most of the experience most of the experience I combined it into the course I put it obviously combined it together in a video series and put it on the course I try to put as much as knowledge as I could and experience into the course but for me it just ultimately boils down to I just I've seen this shit before okay most of the patterns that form in the market I've most likely seen them before so I can tell you hey I know this guy he's a bad guy you know anyway so enough of that let me know with most of your time today okay so hey guys one more thing if you're watching this video one more thing if one more thing while you're watching this video guys don't forget to go follow me on Instagram Instagram is I've actually started using I've actually started using my Instagram a lot lately I've actually started using my Instagram a lot lately if you want to see me spend a lot of the trading money if you want to see me where I live in Dubai because at the end of the day I realized that I only just come on here and actually just talk to you guys a lot about charts you guys actually want to see how I'm living I'm spending this trading money okay you actually want to see me actually spend this money my Instagram is the best place to catch me my name on Instagram is dapper.willis dapper.willis so DAPO it's like my youtube my youtube name which is dapper willis but there's just a dot in between so go follow me on on youtube go follow me on instagram and let's catch up you can send me a dm please don't send me to any dm but I mean you can catch up with me there and yeah let's actually build a community and stuff like that anyway so guys back to the charts okay gold what do I think gold is going to do next now gold will need to do something like actually come and break this level right about here because at this point it's very 55th we can bounce out of here it's actually looking like that might be possible so we're currently at the decision zone at the moment if gold can come in and put another daily candle close back down below back down below this level about here actually I see a Fibonacci playing out from swing high to swing low somewhere about here actually this Fibonacci has been broken nevertheless I'm going to actually look at this on the weekly time frame because sometimes once you look at things on higher time frame you're able to see a lot more clearly on lower time frames you just get a bit blind okay so just quickly draw this stuff as you can see there you go so what has actually happened is very funny so we've broken out of this trend line this descending trend line okay we've tanked back down below it with so there's a lot of indecision going on around here so we can either rally all the way let me zoom this in for you guys we can either rally out of here to like brand new high somewhere around here but if we can sustain below this level I mean I'm not going to touch gold so this is where I go I'm not going to touch gold until we come back down below here once we're able to come back down below here yes I can start looking for selling opportunities all the way down to this bad boy somewhere around about here so we have a lot of space okay so the determinant factor or just simplify this for you guys is these two guys about here if sorry guys let me see I could hear some noise so if we can break down below here fantastic sales start going again you know so it's between here and here so I'm just going to be watching gold gold has made me a significant amount of money I'm not really in a hurry but I'm going to at this point I'm going to need to watch gold to see what exactly is happening now it's broken out down AUD USD let's see what's happening on GBP USD actually so GBP USD is another clear case I think we're actually forming this left shoulder right shoulder we're currently at the neckline and this is a weekly timeframe so I'm expecting guys you're hearing it here live first here on Dapsys radio 106.5 ha ha mic check two one two if we break if we break this green bar at 1.361.367.38 which is about here best believe we have a lot of room to bleed to the downside at least all the way down somewhere about here give me a sec okay so at this point GBP USD is kind of like acting so what you want to do is go and watch my previous two videos my previous video where I broke down AUD USD's head and shoulder it will give you an it will give you some forex mastery students go and watch that video also watch the module on trend reversals as well it will give you some more insight as to how to trade this setup right so if you check guys I'm gonna need to see a clear break of this neckline once we get a clear break of this neckline most likely we're gonna come down here but GBP USD hasn't done that here so as long as we're inside of here there's a lot of indecision going on and this is why for most people who are trying to trade the pound they are most likely getting into they buy once they buy the market gives them some pips and then it reverses by the end of the day or the next day so a lot of people are getting stressed out the trades are not working out why are your trades not working out because if you scale to a higher time frame you find out that the market is actually stuck in the range GBP USD is pretty much in the range AUD USD was in the range hence why we couldn't make a lot of money but look at what happened to AUD USD when eventually broke out we made a lot of money same thing with gold as well so for GBP USD were currently stuck in the range the euro on the other hand has been very magnanimous okay we made a significant amount of pips on the euro however I closed out my euro trade very prematurely because I got scared but that's fine it happens to everybody and I'll explain to you why I got scared of the euro now my overall target for the euro okay when I started selling inside of here okay check my previous videos you see the setup as well so my sell trades were somewhere around here okay so there's a clear break retest counter trend line entry strategy mastery students you already know how to do that sell trades were here my overall target was this green let me just delete this my overall target was this green bar about here so I was expecting to make all of these juicy pips to the downside but something happened along the way now one thing about trading is we can forecast we can plan yes 1000 pips interview to however there's times whereby things just happen along the way so what actually makes a good trader is how you react when things throw you off balance so what actually happened in this case was as the market was coming all the way down I noticed that we started having issues around this region we kept on rejecting so we rejected it here and then we came back and I noticed it was actually rejecting it here and we came back and rejected it for the third time and that's exactly why I decided to zoom out so if for any reason you're in a trade and the market keeps rejecting a particular level simply scale out to a higher time frame and check and make sure your levels are drawn properly when I eventually came to draw my levels I found out that there was actually a massive wedge forming and the euro was at the bottom of the wedge what did I do I got the hell out of the trade although the market eventually came to came to hit my overall target but I didn't want to know because seven out of ten times the market will reverse against me now I have rules in place okay to safeguard my account to safeguard my trading sometimes okay those rules prevent me and I have to be honest with you guys sometimes those rules prevent me from making a lot more money than I should yes that's true however most times those rules protect my capital which is the most important thing for me it saves me a lot of money it does so the rules I put in place sometimes the market might go and make me make go on to move in the direction that I wanted it to go to and obviously I could have made a lot more money but that only happens maybe one or two out of ten times like in this case yes I could have made more money I got out of the trade early however nine out of ten times this guy would have reversed back to the other and I've been crying so it's all the tears and all the losses over the years that have actually made me draft out very strict rules when it comes to my trading if I see something I don't like it and it's not looking good and then touching it touching it or if I'm in trade and I'm starting to notice some bullish engulfing candles flicking off the level keeps on rejecting and I look at it give it some time if I'm not comfortable I'm out okay so guys I'm gonna leave you with that at this for this week we don't really have any trades that I would like for us to place I'm gonna be monitoring jimmy PUSD for a break of that level AUD I'm actually my AUD USD trade is looking very juicy and nice another thing is I don't think AUD USD is gonna drop all the way down here in one stretch watch out for this level watch out for another consolidation obviously I'm going to be here back here next week to update you guys watch out for another consolidation and then so that you guys can potentially because I feel like this market is too linear okay you guys already know what I mean so for xmas street students you know once the market is too linear like this is too it's too straight usually what tends to happen is that the market wants to it will eventually get to a point and start retracing for a bigger retracement and then before he heads lower so this is exactly how the market works so guys once again is your genius dap see thank you for staying to the very end of trader talk I have a little message for you guys on my other screen as always don't forget to follow me on don't forget to follow me on instagram and don't forget to do yourself a favor and grab the forks mastery course once again thank you so much this video is very long and I'll catch you guys in my other screen take it easy and peace out so there you go thank you for staying to the very end of this trader talk video um today I think I was pretty much just bragging about how we made a lot of money in the market because sometimes we actually have to work pat ourselves on the back and tell ourselves well done that was a fantastic trade because guys the market can be quite challenging okay and anytime we come out on top we should actually celebrate not too much but we should actually be like yes we did a fantastic job we stopped to our rules especially the rules that I teach on the forex mastery program the trades it with selling not to take the ones we decided to take have actually yielded us a lot a lot a lot of profit so guys once again thank you for staying to the very end um once again the link to the forex mastery course is going to be down below in the description don't kid yourself you need proper education all right guys so I'm going to leave you guys on this note and yeah I'll catch you guys later take it easy and peace out


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