The following is a presentation of TFNN. Trade what you see with Larry Pezzavento. Call now toll free at 1-877-927-6648 or internationally at<PHONE_NUMBER>. Now Larry Pezzavento. Okay, looking good, Billy Ray. Feeling good, Louis. We're going to look at the German DAX like we always do. Nothing's really changed here, folks. We could go either way, as you can see, without any trouble. And the FTSE is even more quiet. If you'll take a look at this one, it is in the same range here for what, six or seven days? More than that, 10 days. So not really much is happening to either one of those. I want to address the question that one of our listeners in the den today said that Maria thought that she could see a retest of the 2910 and the S&P 500. That could certainly happen. I don't know whether that's going to happen or not, but the good thing is nobody else does either. I have a commitment on something that I think the market might move lower. If you think it's going to go higher, that's your opinion. But I don't know what else to say. I'm wrong a lot, folks. Look at me. I missed a $75 move in gold because I thought I could buy it back cheaper. You think I don't feel pretty good about that one? Not very good at all. Anyway, let's move on to a couple of things that people have asked me about. One is this open interest thing, folks. I only check on open interest when the market is making a huge move out of a consolidation area like we had with gold or if it's making new highs in the market and I see something a little bit differently. Let me show you how simple it is to do this. I printed this out and I'm going to post it up here.  Hold on here. Just a minute there. There we go. You just go to www.cme.com and then you see where it says across there, that big green arrow. You just click on the data arrow and then that takes you in the volume and open interest section. And as you can see there on the right, the only one that's in black is metals. That's the one we're looking at. And you just go down and you can see that the net change in copper futures yesterday was minus $5,476. If prices are going up and open interest is dropping, that means the market is weakening. That's what that means because that's short covering. If we look at this from another standpoint, and we'll just get this up here again so you'll be able to see, it's really simple to do, folks.  And here it says daily open interest volume. And notice the one in black is open interest. That's for yesterday. And you'll notice there for the 10-year treasury note, which is the largest of all the commodities traded, you notice they have 3.7 million outstanding contracts. And there's one from that I believe is the S&P. And that's a mini contract. That's a baby contract down one-tenth from what it used to be. So it's down $94,955. It was up yesterday. The market is weakening. Those statistics come right out of John Murphy's book. I'll get this up here so you can take a quick look at it and do this yourself. Defy human nature. And you'll be able to see here that you have a rising price and falling open interest like we've had in the treasury notes and treasury bonds, the market is actually weakening. And in the copper, you had a rising prices and falling open interest, the market is weakening. With gold, you have a rising price and a rising open interest, the market is very strong. That's all that's telling you. The players are coming into the market. The CME is an auction house, folks. For every buyer, there has to be a seller. It's not like with ETFs and other stuff that you make this stuff up, that's mainly what you're watching when you're doing these kind of things. So that's why I think it's so very important to try to understand that. That's all I'm looking at. Okay, let's move on here. We had a big move in gold yesterday, folks. I had to do something yesterday for one of my neighbors here, and I had to leave for a bit. And I was short, so I had a couple... I had a very small position in silver to the short side, and when I was listening to the radio, I don't have a fancy phone to get prices and stuff. I heard that the price of gold was at $14.30, and I said, oh, there goes my silver trade, and I figured I lost my five cents. And when I came back, I couldn't believe it. It couldn't even take out the previous day's eye on a run when gold was up $35 on the day.  Unbelievable, unbelievable, unbelievable. Anyway, that's what's going on here. So keep in mind that sometimes these markets don't do what you think they're going to do. The other question that I wanted to pose here is that I did post a trade yesterday that I thought was interesting, and I don't know if it's going to work or not, but if you'll notice here in this euro, we were selling that euro up around that $14.08 level. It dropped about 35 pips last night, and I don't even know where it's trading right now. Last time I checked it was $13.95. The way I do that now is I just lower my stop to just a tick or two above that old high so my risk is almost nothing. That's the main thing that I try to do. I don't always do it that way, but that's what I'm trying to do. I've been asked to take a look at Apple, and I wanted to bring this to your attention here. This is, of course, one of the most, well, it is the biggest actively traded stock in the world, and it held us white as held. You'll notice we made a 1.27 expansion on the downside when it was trading down there at 142. We went up to the 78% level. A $78, $73 rally went up there at 215 and change. We came down to the 61% retracement again. These are perfect numbers, folks. If you don't think Fibonacci works, it doesn't work all the time, and it's certainly working with Apple. You'll notice that we're above the 61% retracement and most probably it looks like we want to go to about 204 in the Apple. If we get above 206, 207, that means you're probably going to go a lot higher, but it's been following these numbers. My goodness, right to a T, so you'd have to think that's what you'd think what would be going on. So that's neither here nor there. Folks, we're going to have Stan Harley as our guest today, and I'm going to do my level best to have Simonly on tomorrow or Friday. Thursday, we've got the Wizard of Florida, calls it to the minute, Winsky, and today is Stan Harley. And on tomorrow or Friday, I will have Simonly on if he's in Chicago. He's traveling right now, so we will keep a close eye on that to have him on to see what's going on. I wanted to bring a one particular chart to your attention and I know I put it. Oh, here it is. I do have it just a second. I've got these in order now, which makes it a little better. Yesterday, we were talking about the hog market, folks, and one of the things that we were mentioning is is that when we had this, when you had this big gap down, look at this, folks, you gap down below the 61% retracement, okay? That sets up a very, very, very scenario in the hogs. And just take a look what they're doing to the nearby August hogs. This is an absolute debacle coming in here. And you'll notice here, folks, we made a double top in hogs at 103, folks, with 30 cents a pound lower. And this is in the midst of this Asian flu. Now, what do you think they call that over there, folks? Guess what? Probably fake news.  Now, you'll wonder why I'm a technician for heaven's sakes. Give me a break. You know, you can think and throw all the... Larry's going to get off of his soapbox now and be calm and read a few chapters out of the good book. Anyway, we'll take a little break here and I'll be right back after my solemn time for prayer.<PHONE_NUMBER>. 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Sign up today. Many of our new listeners have heard about the Tiger's Den. The Tiger's Den is a lively community where professional traders and investors can meet, exchange ideas and information in a comfortable, moderated atmosphere. Hear all of the TFNN shows, plus see all of the charts as they happen live and have access to archives of all of those charts. You can test drive the Tiger's Den absolutely free for 30 days and greatly enrich your knowledge of these markets and how to make your money work for you. Details on the Tiger's Den of TFNN.com Call now. Toll free at 1-877-927-6648 internationally at<PHONE_NUMBER>. Okay, folks, I've posted a chart for margin debt and it just goes back over the last 20 years. Of course, it's different this time but as you notice, there is a correlation between stock market highs and lows and margin debt and we're at a relatively high level of margin debt. You can see the S&P in blue making a triple top in there and the margin debt turned down about a year ago and then I understand from the news early this morning that two of the Democrat candidates want to absolve the 2.7 trillion dollars in student debt so that they don't have to pay that back. I think that's really great and the fact that they're going to tax, put a tax on stock trading and bond trading and futures trading. I think that's a wonderful idea because pretty soon, if they keep that up, we will be looking like Weneth Wehler as some people would say. Anyway, the margin, they tell me that there is a pro-share for margin debt but I don't know anything about those ETFs so I'll look that up to find out if it is true or not but this does have some pretty interesting things. That triple top to me means something because if you go to 1999 and 2000 you'll notice the S&P, you'll notice that it was trading up there. If you just go to the left side over there you'll see that blue lines, you'll see the triple top there and then of course the market didn't top. In the NASDAQ, the doubt topped in January of 2000, the March 24th was the top in the NASDAQ so this means something I'm sure but I don't trade against it, I don't use the pro-shares or anything like that, I really don't. So that's it, we'll have to see if that's going to be the case or not. I did want to bring to your attention one particular future that I think you have to pay attention to and I don't trade this very often and that is the natural gas. It had a little bit of a move yesterday up about 6 or 7, about 10 cents, not very much so it shouldn't get below 218. 215 was low on Friday, it shouldn't get below 215 if that is going to be any good enough but we don't know if in fact it's going to work or not. None of us do that, I mean that's why that's basically why I'm a technician because I don't know what these things are that people are talking to us about. There's one other one that I have on a watch list, I don't know if it's going to happen or not very, very today or soon but keep an eye on crude oil up around 59 bucks per barrel. That could be a real interesting one folks if you're going to be looking at a low risk entry into the crude oil market. It's been very bullish ever since we made that 61% retracement and it appears that it's still moving higher this morning and we want to be watching that. The other one that is really interesting that still in holding pattern and that's the one we talked about yesterday that was a live cattle still trading right near this 108-109 level it stayed in a narrow range yesterday. This is the only one of the complex cattle or hogs that has any type of support down here so they're having a debacle of course in the hog market. Rich Anderson spoke to me early this morning and they said they had two very, very large hedge funds that were trapped that evidently they had not gotten out of their positions on the way down that they had planned on if they had a plan like that and now they were paying the ultimate price because there were virtually no buyers down here and they have to try to they have to get out of their lungs and that's not a good situation to have happened so we want to watch it relatively closely and remember folks we had this big move in the corn market and again, you know, maybe this is all discounted you know, we've seen this before we got up to 465 in the December corn and we haven't been above that now for, you know, well over two weeks so it might be a situation where we we'll see where it's at and we'll take a look at this. Okay, anyway, I believe there's a lot of support at 432 in the Christmas corn if we get down to that level that's the 382 level so I would keep a very, very close eye on that folks, I want to mention again that Stan Harley will be our guest at the half hour which is always fun tomorrow or Friday I'm going to have either half-Simon on Thursday we have the Wizard of Florida Mr. Winsky will be on so we have to watch this extremely very, very closely I want to check the the cocoa market, folks because someone's asked me a question about it and it's its major resistance here in the cocoa up around that 2550 level you'll notice that was a butterfly pattern a three drive pattern and a 61% retracement any time we get above 2600 you're going to have a pretty big move in cocoa to the upside would be my would be my guest but that's like I say it's my guest and I don't know just like anybody else we just have to wait and see now you have to give me one second here because I want to double check what the markets are doing and who is calling me at this time in the morning can't do it right now but have to do it a little bit later let's talk about the gold market that's an overseas call there's nothing I can do about that folks I'll have to do it a little bit later and we'll be able to see it okay someone's asked me a question if oil moved to be 59 the reason why 1.6% retracement is what that is that's really what you're looking at is when you're watching that so pay attention to that price it's just a little above 59 I believe in the August crude that's the one I'm looking at let's just do that right now that phone call folks we lost a good friend yesterday the wife of one of our students over there passed away and they were just that was just a call thanking us for the card anyway let's move on here to the gold market we've had a pretty nice move in gold we've had some pretty good swings here we've had just about a $20 move to the downside big swings in gold right now I'm going to be nibbling at the short side of gold here up around this 1433 level not risking more than about 5 or 6 bucks but that's just a short term trading that I'm looking at so keep an eye on that the S&P you know we've had a little bit of a bounce from our low last night we rallied 10 points that's all we've been able to rally folks over the last few days since we topped at 2960 we've been railing basically 10 points each time so you know if we get something bigger this time I guess it'll be probably a 15 or 20 handle move 20 handle move will take you up to 2962 and I believe that would be a very strong resistance in this area and we'll be able to see if that's going to be the case Maria I have to apologize to you dear when you said 2910 I see 2910 also I mean it is not going to happen overnight but I think that's going down I was I don't know my mind must have been reading 3010 because I'm very very stocks stop get off my softbox a little bit I don't want to get on this thing too much bologna here all right let's move on here to I want to cover the coffee market here because it's really it's it's really trying and I don't trade I'm thinking of trading it but look at this really nice pattern that we have here in coffee if it happens and I will trade this one if we get down here in coffee that's what I'm looking at okay that's I'd like to see it down about another 10 cents down to about 90 cents a pound I will be looking to buy the coffee there that's a perfect Gartley stay tuned for Stan Harley and we'll be right back<PHONE_NUMBER> Larry Pezzimento has just started his brand new service Fibonacci 24-7 and he's already delivering content to his subscribers on a daily basis when the markets opened and even on weekends each Monday you'll receive Larry's written report that provides detailed commentary and a summary on the charts and videos that Larry sends out and throughout the week when warranted Larry will send out via charts or videos or both the key markets 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timing the trade charts allows you to scan thousands of stocks for Fibonacci formation setups including guardleafs, ABCs, butterflies and much more the art of timing the trade charts is designed to help you when scouring the markets for stocks just beginning to form the trading patterns that many investors spend days, weeks or even months searching to find and right now we're offering licenses available at only $79 a month we are so confident that you're going to love this new charting software that will even give you a 30 day unconditional money back guarantee don't miss out on this incredible new piece of software get your copy of the art of timing the trade charts by visiting tfnn.com this segment is brought to you by Think or Swim for more information just click the Think or Swim banner on the front page of tfnn.com okay we're back folks and we're talking with Stan Harley the Harley stock market letters are you there my friend good morning Larry that and Tucson how are you I am good my friend we have a question from someone here at tfnn that is totally confused and it happens to be me do you have any idea about these zero interest rates and negative interest rates that that they're talking about well Larry it's my belief interest rates are heading lower okay not higher and in my latest report which you have there on your desk I show a 40 year pattern and interest rates going back to the 1800s the last in 1860 the yield on the 30 year treasury made a high 40 years later 1900 made a low 1940 made another low 1981 made a high the next pivotal turn in that 40 year cycle by my count is due November December 2022 sure over in Europe rates are below zero my sense is we're going to do a double bottom with the 1940 low it's got down to around 1.8 and I would suspect we'll get down into that range could be a little above could be a little bit below but essentially a double bottom with the 1940 low so I look for the yield on the 30 year treasury to get back to 1.8 minus somewhere in that range so the pressure is down now after the latter part once we begin 2023 I think things are going to get very interesting across the board but we got we got three and a half years of party time and I heard you on the air a little while ago talking about giving spreading candy out to everybody who wants to get free student loans I was a student college but I paid my own bills I didn't need somebody else to thank you very much but Stan when we went to school the tuition was $10 a year yeah it's all relative Larry yeah it's all relative yeah yes well I when you hear what these people pay to go to school like 48,000 to Harvard and Dartmouth which I think is the most expensive college is close to 75,000 I believe so well I've got two sons what one of which is a graduate of Arizona I know all about writing those checks well Arizona we need those that's for sure yes hey listen Stan before we do the stock market what's your feeling on the precious metals are we near a high in this area Larry I think so I think I think we are if one looks at a monthly chart of the metals complex I see very clear evidence of a cycle that averages about 95 months that's just a skosh under eight years and beginning with the January 1980 high if you count forward in time 95 months plus or minus you'll see we tend to make pivotal highs quite regularly the last occurrence in that cycle was in September of 2011 and my regression modeling suggests that we are awfully doggone close to the next high we are right now was at about 92 months or so from that high so we're there we're essentially there now pinning it down to the day week minute hour is the challenge I also look at weekly and I'll also look at daily data silver I heard you on the air talking about that a little while half an hour ago silver is lagging gold considerably I've never seen that happen Stan not well I've never seen a divergence like that before have you seen that before where silver is lagging so badly you know it's all it's different every time but divergences mean something and of course they mean something at the tail end of a turn of course they can go on for protracted periods of time but I think what we're in is if one goes back and looks at the 1980 peak and you saw a sharp drop into 1982 then you saw a retracement rally and then the trend continued lower I think what we're experiencing now is analogous to that that is the September 2011 high is roughly analogous to the January 1980 high we saw the sharp drop bottom December 2015 we've been coming back up chugga lug chugga lug higher more or less now we're right at the next 95 cycle high the 95 month cycle high we're either there or we're very very close in my opinion and then I look at the divergence on the silver chart and that says mm mm mm yeah that's that really shocked me yesterday when I saw what silver had done given the fact that gold was up $3,000 silver couldn't even be up two cents that died I just hadn't seen that maybe I saw it I don't remember it that's for sure Stan one of the things that you're talking about in your letter is pretty obvious by looking at the charts and at this monster triple top or whatever it is but you assume that we're going to break out to the upside on this is that correct I am Larry and you go ahead and show that chart if you would please from paper here you bet I'm looking at it on the screen we've got that what we've got the gan rule of four developing here and this has been my theme for some time and this is a pattern at least to my knowledge was first observed and commented upon by WD Gann about a hundred years ago he called this pattern the rule of four and simply stated the rule of four applies when a market either advances to a level of resistance or perhaps a gain angle or a trend line there are essentially three touch points initially which all fail to punch through and then the fourth time is make or break and that's exactly what's going on now if you look at the down we've got a little bit above it but each time we pulled back below 25K we tried in January 2018 again in October of 2018 again in May of 2019 and each of those three attempts failed the market fell back below 25K and here we are straight down to the bottom we've got a little bit above it but each time we pulled back below 25K and here we are struggling again I heard on the air art cash in and many others are in the back of their voice are talking about triple top triple top that's exactly what I want to hear is skepticism and then if I'm right about the rule of four the fourth time we should punch through and I think that's what's developing right now the down the SMP made margin of new highs a couple now just a little back and fill I suspect by the end of this week this little back and fill thing will have run its course there's some serious trade negotiations going on in Japan with China and I know President Xi and President Trump will be getting together a lot of part of this week given my expectations for a market that's going to power higher my sense is whatever comes out of those meetings between the two presidents of the two largest economies on planet earth is is resolutely positive and what do you know you and I wake up one morning and the futures are I pop into the upside that's my expectation we'll see we'll see what pans out but that's my expectation okay that makes great sense one of the listeners that we got a break coming up here but when we get back I'd like for you to address the fact that they're saying that they notice the absence of any oscillators on your on your on your charge do you want to you want to you're basically just look at cycles and stay with us Stan could you do that please absolutely if you stand Harley the Harley stock market letter we'll be right back if you're in the CD market and looking for a secure investment the Tiger First mortgage program may work for you the security for these first mortgages are building lots 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at more than $1,900 in 2011 and after spending many years consolidating at lower prices gold may be poised for its next big run Tom O'Brien publishes his weekly gold report every Monday morning for subscribers consisting of coverage of the XAU, HUI, GDX, The Dollar, Bonds, South African Rand as well as 25 different mining equities with specific buy-sell recommendations as of April 1st of this year the gold report currently has 8 active positions with an average unrealized profit of almost 8% for each open trade new subscribers get a 30 day money back guarantee so you have nothing to risk for all the details and to start your gold report subscription today visit the front page of TFNN.com don't let gold's next big run pass you by sign up today will the S&P 500 continue to climb for bold trades on US stocks in either direction trade SPXL SPUU or SPXS directions daily S&P 500 bull and bear leveraged ETFs direction leveraged ETFs an investor should carefully consider a funds investment 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do you get to the conclusion that's that's what they were asking well that's there's that's a complicated response to that I look at a plethora of things of course I'm a market technician I look at charts I'm primarily a cycles kind of guy so I will look at a chart and initially it was through visual visual inspection try to spot recurring highs and lows and once I think I found something then I will input the data into a spreadsheet and do a regression analysis of the data and if I can find evidence of a cycle that has a reasonable standard deviation then I'm on to something but I also use indicators that measure both track both price velocity as well as price range and I it's the combination of the two across multiple time frames that I use in trying to decide whether I think the markets are going up or down some some issues in the newsletter I put indicators in there and some I don't this particular issue that just came out a couple days ago I would not I would highlight though the fact that I've got the market internal data in there for example I've got the advanced decline on and an advanced decline oscillator that tracks a 10 day and 30 day moving average of the net difference between advances and declines the advanced decline line by the way which for those who may not know is just a running summation of each day's net difference between advancing issues and declining issues on the New York Stock Exchange and by maintaining a running summation of that data we construct what's called an advanced decline line many technicians utilize that tool and the AD line by the way just made a new all time high so that is that that's strongly supportive of my bullish thesis well it's certainly playing out that way for sure one other question that we have Stan and that is the the work of the foundation for the study of cycles and Edward Dewey did you look at any of his work that he did during those years that he was quite famous during the 20s 30s 40s 50s and 60s? Dewey absolutely I did Larry I've got his book on my shelf and then when the foundation for the study cycles was back here in Irvine California I went to all the the luncheon meetings and the evening meetings for years and years and Dewey's original notebook was there for everybody to look at and I with parsed his notes and looked at them very carefully yeah I wish I could have met him but no he came came before me that's for sure yeah well that's for sure hey listen I can remember I can remember trading those bonds back in 1680 that was how far back I hey listen thank you for being on our show tell the folks how they can reach you Stan and get an idea of what you're doing best way website is www.harleymarketletter.com okay listen I'm going to do my best to get up there soon and have lunch with you I've been saying that but this time it's for sure okay look forward to it Larry alright thank you very much Stan Harley of the Stan Harley stock market letter and I want to cover one other thing that's the one of our listeners was asking about and that was hold on just a second I got to get the chart up so we'll be able to see it it will only take a second here and that is the market for the gasoline where is it it was natural gas but we'll cover it again just because it was that we did cover it once but let's cover it again because it's such an important level here down at that 218 215 being the low I think it was a slightly lower today as long as we stay above that 215 level this has a chance to have a pretty good rally you've got that three drive to a bottom pattern remember this is a weekly so this covers just about six months in here and you'll see that that is a three drive to a bottom pattern stopping right at the 78% level and that's why it's that's why we think it's that important now sometimes they work sometimes they don't but that's that's neither here nor there so it will be a pretty good idea to see how these things actually move on to some of the other things I know there's a lot of chatter this morning in the room this morning at the Tiger Den talking about the hog market and believe me Mr. Z I have Mr. Anderson on it and also Mr. Monly on it because those folks are in the business and they're what's going on in that hog market is very very unusual because we have this Asian flu out there and it's supposed to decimate the Chinese herd and remember there's 1.5 billion Chinese there's only 388 here a million here in the United States so something's not right in Denmark boys and girls I don't know what it is but we have to pay very very close attention to it there's one other stock that I think deserves our attention if you'll give me one second here I'll get it up of course it's one of the Fang stocks and that is Facebook because it's under a great deal of investigation investigation here you'll notice here that we have a pretty strong rally here off of our bottom on December the 26th we're up here around that 195 level we still haven't broken above the 78% level slight divergence but this stock is in the news folks they're trying to put some regulations on probably there should be some because you know social network is pretty powerful and if you don't control it at least somewhat you know what are you going to do they can take anybody off at any time and you know then they tell you what they want here that's well we certainly live in different interesting times don't we folks that actually happens to be a Chinese curse so we'll go on to the next one we had one other Fang stock that we wanted to cover that looks like it could be ready to either go straight down from here or go straight up and that is Netflix as you can see on the chart of Netflix I believe it was probably a short up there around 269 I don't know where it's trading right now but I wouldn't risk more than $7 on that but that was a very nice guardly pattern in a short term downtrend it's got the things necessary to put the trade on a B equal CD really good price symmetry between a B and CD all of that lines up I don't know what the stock's at all folks in fact I got a tip yesterday Friday I got a tip yesterday from what was the stock as elegant one of these stocks that went up about 30% I can't remember the name of it but it jumped 30% yesterday a guy didn't know anything about any buyout or anything like that but he had a chart pattern that he really liked and sent it on to me and said this looks like it's getting ready to go up and then this morning he sent me an email showing that it I can pull it up here and email but I want to waste that time I should do it if I'm going to say something about it I ought to do that let me get up here and see if I can get this thing the way it should be and then we'll get you the name of this stock oh that's not what I want to it's a trouble when you hit the wrong buttons at my age it's oh dear this is sick I had to get inbox where are you Alan come on where does that stock at I don't have it son of a gun nope that's not it I'll find it and I'll let you know at the end of this break that's coming up here we'll certainly have it for you where are you Alan you're here in the email somewhere I didn't delete you I'm wasting time here I hate to do that but that's neither here nor there I'm going to find this because I think it's important enough because that's the first time that was a tip ahead of time and I didn't I actually didn't have anything to take a little break here and I'll get back and talk about this stock just a little bit here I'm certain you are or strive to be one of the best of the best at everything you do in life it's the most common trait that we tigers and tigers share if you're looking to become the best of the best when it comes to managing your money let me teach you to do what most wealth managers tell you can't be done which is how to time the markets I'm Steve Rhodes author of mastering probability for the last 12 months timer digest has been tracking my newsletter signals which have earned me the ranking as their number one market timer in the nation for the S&P 500 for the last 12 6 and 3 months timer digest also ranks me as the number one market timer for gold as well the fact is markets can be timed and I'll teach you the exact set of tools that I use that has transformed me into one of the best at what I do sign up for mastering probability today by clicking on the newsletter tab on the tfnn.com and get immediate access to workshops where I take you step by step how to use an extraordinary set of tools as well as provide great market calls to sign up today if you haven't checked out the newsletter page of tfnn.com what are you waiting for all of the tfnn newsletters are informative up-to-date affordable and must have for every trader looking to gain a competitive informational edge in today's markets tfnn newsletters cover every aspect of the markets to offer you the very latest in market news plus new subscribers get to test drive our newsletters risk free for 30 days from all aspects of the markets including stocks, bonds, metals commodities and tech there's a newsletter to fit your needs exclusively from tfnn stay informed each day you trade and get that competitive edge that will help you stay ahead of the game visit our newsletters page by going to tfnn.com and click the newsletters button near the top of the page tfnn.com educating investors since 1984 Bazal Chapman has been using the Chapman Wave methodology to advise traders of his expert market opinion while originally hand drawing charts from the late 1970s into the 1980s Bazal noticed that prices under most circumstances virtually always had a certain number of legs to the upside before declining sharply later Bazal found that computer software which included the standard market technical indicators enhanced the degree of accuracy in calling price turns as well as market trend calls thus was born the Chapman Wave sequence using the Chapman Wave methodology along with other indicators Bazal Chapman advises his subscribers of his expert market opinion each market day with his opening call newsletter right now you can get a 2 week free trial of the opening call Bazal's daily trading newsletter by visiting the front page of tfnn.com cancel at any time during that trial and pay absolutely nothing get your 2 week free trial to Bazal's newsletter the opening call today by visiting tfnn.com this segment is brought to you by Think or Swim for more information just click the Think or Swim banner on the front page of tfnn.com okay we posted a chart here we've been down 7 days in a market that looks like it's turned higher the difference between the 61% retracement and the 50% retracement where we are now is $200 and if you like sugar you got to take that risk so sugar looks like it wants to go higher from here folks just being down that many days in a row should be positive one correction when we were talking about crude oil folks the August crude that I was looking at the number was not 50 above 5900 it was above 5800 5832 I believe was the number the 61% retracement on that whether it's going to be doing is it 1240 so it's trading just about exactly at the 50% retracement so you know your risk there is you know you got to risk $400 darling but if it works it's going to be a good one because look how many days in a row we're down we're down 8 days in a row and the most it can do is drop half a cent that's not bearish that looks pretty bullish as a matter of fact I'll have to check my fundamental note sheet Ruby to make sure the fundamentals line up with this because it's it ought to be pretty good I have a running joke with with Saim only about the fundamentals because when I first met Saim many years ago there was a market that was way up in the air sugar and he was so wildly bullish and I had to really well never mind we're going to have Saim hopefully on tomorrow or Friday depending upon his travel situation because there's a lot of things going along in these grains and tariff stuff and he's involved in some of these negotiations whether that means anything or not we'll try to have if between Thursday and Friday we'll have Rich Anderson on on either one of those days in between and then on Thursday of course we have the wizard himself from where's he from schools Florida norms you got to give norms and credit folks he's had some really great calls on these minute to minute moves in fact Mr. Z pointed one out today that the bottoming on that solstice was really you know spot on so we'll keep a close eye on that so those are the things we're watching today live every day in an attitude of gratitude and may god bless and folks try to do something nice for someone that doesn't have as much as you may god bless you


Good morning Facebook and YouTube. It's Tammy with Collard Valley Cooks. I hope you enjoyed our all-day cook yesterday. Now today all I have to do is warm up the spiral ham, put everything in the oven to get it warm. That's it. I'm gonna make some cornbread and some biscuits, which only takes a minute, and breakfast, I'm not breakfast. Lunch will be served at 12.30 today. Me and Chris are still doing church virtually, so we'll have plenty of time to sit down and go to church. A lot of y'all may be at a morning sunrise service, but the sunrise here has been up for a while, but now where you are it may not even be up yet. But we have a spiral ham. So yesterday I showed you how we did a butt portion ham. Today I'm going to show you how to do the spiral ham. I'm not rinsing this ham out of the packet, okay. This is a spiral ham. They cost about twice as much as the butt portion, and so we're opening it up out of the package. And really all you're doing with a spiral ham is warming it. It is pre-cooked, pre- sliced, and ready to eat for the most part. You could eat it just like this.  We're gonna sit it right here on top of this. I'm gonna taste it. I'm gonna wash my hands. Actually it's pretty salty. And we're going to dress it up a little bit, slide it in the oven. Now I am going to the directions on this thing. Forming instructions. Heat your oven to 275. Remove all the packaging materials and place it in a shallow roasting pan. Flat side down. Cover it with aluminum foil and bake it approximately 15 minutes pound. Do not overcook it because it's pre-sliced and everything. If desired, glaze it with the glazing instructions. So what you're gonna do is cook it first and then you're gonna glaze it at a higher temperature at the end. It just says if you use their glazing packet, just distribute the ingredients with your hands. Cut off a corner of the glaze packet. Squeeze it over the top of the ham. And they don't even tell you to to raise the temperature but I personally would. All right, a little bit. So I am going to put some pineapple on it. My sister would always pour like a Coca-Cola over it. We do have a Coke, don't we Chris? Yeah. Okay, I'll go get one in a minute. I think I'm gonna take this off the bottom and let it sit down in there. So we're just going to take some pineapple just to make it pretty for company. And two picks. Let me open these. I guess I should have had them laid out for y'all before I got started. But I didn't know this thing didn't have a pour stout. That's probably enough. Okay, cherries. Let me get me a spoon to get them out because I don't want to get ham in the cherries. So I'll just lace some cherries. I'm gonna lay them right here in my congealed salad right quick because I don't have anything laid out. And it's a cherry congealed salad so what could they hurt? So you're just gonna take a cherry, your toothpick, and that's it because the cherry will keep the pineapple on there. Okay? Happy happy happy Easter did the bunny rabbit come last night? Now we know that Christ is the reason for the season. But bunny rabbits are still fun and I have them in my kitchen. We've got a family coming today that Chris used to work with their dad. That's a that's a broken pineapple but we'll still use it. And they were looking forward to the Easter Bunny coming to see them. The oldest one I believe is 11. The youngest one I believe is six. And then there's one in between. This one's broken too. So there's quite a few of them. Whoops, there's three of them. They're kind of like stepping stones a couple years apart. Then of course our girls will be here but they're wrong and they'll sit at the adult table with us. And I'm gonna fix the kids a table out there in the sunroom. I'm going to put them out there and turn on some cartoons.  Look I've got everything made except this ham. So I am with it. Chris walk around and show them what all we have for lunch today. You can call it out to them. Okay this is some German coleslaw? Yes. That we've had in the refrigerator for a while. So it's good and fermented. Good to go. Yeah, it has to ferment. We have some double eggs with a little rabbit. We have the blueberry lemon cake which is delicious. We have some potato salad. This is hash brown casserole. Now all this is cold so it kind of looks not that great. But now that's why we have that light turned on up there in your journey doll. It's out of the refrigerator. Cream corn. Cream corn. And we're gonna warm it up. And some collards. And I think we're gonna make maybe some cornbread or some biscuits. Something like that. So we'll have a little bit of everything. We need to make some sweet tea right quick. Actually this side is pretty. Let me turn it around towards you. Show it to them. All right so I'm just gonna pour cocoa over it. We're gonna get it in the oven at 275. Really and truly y'all all you're doing with this is warming it. That's it. 275 is just a warm temperature. So when I slide this in the oven I'm sliding everything in there with it. So let's go ahead and do that. I had my oven turned up to your house. Turn it back down. Oh we had a we got that other ham too. The one I didn't get that out of the refrigerator. Right. The one it's just a what we've got a shank or a it's a butt portion. Butt portion. All right so I'm gonna show you how this is going to work today. We're gonna get this in the bottom and I have another oven rack if I need to use it. I'm gonna put this largest one down there with it. So you're not gonna put tin foil or anything on that since it's got coke and stuff in it? Oh I guess I should. Thank you daddy. I probably should foil everything because they're gonna sit in here for a while. Yeah. What would I do without my husband? I get excited when I'm live. Y'all I'm excited anyway because this is all I got to do today. All I got to do is make some bread and how easy is that. A bigger piece for this. Oh and the pineapple juice could be poured on it too. We would have got a smaller ham but that was like the smallest ham they had. Yeah. Because we had that other ham and we knew it was gonna be too much. But we couldn't find another smaller spiral ham. And the two picks are coming through which is fine. Because it'll vented a little bit. I think it needs to be vented a little bit. I'm gonna put a couple of little vents in it with my knife. Alright let's cover up this other stuff. We're gonna get it in there. I'm gonna use my smaller foil for these smaller pieces that I'm covering. Thank you. I just carry it. This is gonna go in. Today all I have to do is make biscuits then and cornbread and I'll do that in my little oven. And I'm just gonna leave this on this temperature all day long. And everything will be warm and ready to eat. Because all this stuff is super cold from being in the refrigerator. But it's gonna take a while to get warm. So you could just put any slide in here. If you've got church today. This is something you could turn your oven on 275 and just go to church. And be ready for dinner. Actually going to put my potato salad in there too. But I'm gonna wait for about an hour and then put it in there. Because we really like our potato salad warm. Let's just go ahead and stick it in there and I ain't got a full lid. Cut myself for that. So there's our Easter dinner. So all I have to do then is make biscuits and cornbread. Put it in the little oven. I'm gonna transfer this cherry salad into something to make it look a little more presentable. Because we have dug into it. I hope y'all have a wonderful and great Easter. That's all you have to do with your ham. You don't even have to glaze it. But you can cut the end if you like the taste of the glaze. Cut it open. Taste it first because sometimes it has some spices that not everybody's crazy about. If you like it then just leave your pineapple and everything on the ham. Uncover it. Just drizzle the glaze over the top. And that's all you gotta do. That's it y'all. I hope y'all have a wonderful and happy Easter. Don't forget to praise our Lord and Savior Jesus Christ for what he has done for us. Carrying all of our sin on that cross and rising up for Easter so that we could have new life and abundant life in him and eternal life. Y'all have a wonderful and blessed Easter. Love ya. Bye.


Coming to how I do it, what I want to say is it is not a supine position with a slight head tilt. What I learnt from Winker Dolens is the more you tilt your head, the pyramid of the clinoid will become parallel to you. So it is like this, it is down below. So if you are just supine with a 5 degree tilt, your clinoid will be dipping down. You are actually putting your drill like this but the moment you put it like that so your pyramid of your, of the epsilon-atyl-clinoid will become more parallel to the floor. That is very important. You have to actually drill along the direction of the pyramid like this. That is very important. Psycho-matic, we realize because I love cartoons since childhood so, so it is a very simple approach, a standard terional, two burrows, key burrowl as well as at the superior temporal crest. A small terional craniotomy, it can make it as big as possible. The important thing is to take off the base of that and drill the sphinoid ridge. The important thing are the cuts. If you are doing an obridsagomatic, then your cuts will be like these. If you are taking an extended temporal, this can be enough but the main thing is the moment you take this off, this is the extra exposure you need and this is our focus. The more anterior your lesion is that if you are talking about a clientoidal meningioma which is more towards tuberculum cellae, even this approach would be good enough with an orbital groove. The more it is towards the tentorium and the temporal like meningioma, even this, you may not be removed, even this part is enough. That is what I believe is important. This is the cadaver. This is the left side. The orbit, you have already done it, the orbit is agomatic. Reduction of the sphinoid ridge, that is the specimen I drilled maybe a year ago as the orbital wall, lateral orbital wall. This is important. Now, this is the Petrus pyramid. It is practically parallel to the floor. That is what I mean by extradural. You are actually cutting not only the meningo-orbital artery but the complete tentorial duplicature. Dolan's uses the word tentorial duplicature because this is the fold of tentorium from a temporal dural. It folds over the anterior clientoid process and merges with the lateral orbital wall and then with the frontal dural. The moment you cut this over the Petrus, you are actually cutting this tentorial duplicature over the clientoid process. The moment you cut it, the pyramid of the tentorium of the anterior clientoid process becomes completely visible. This is the pyramid, you see. It is... Otherwise, you are only seeing this tip.  That is very risky. That is the reason why you can rupture the aneurysms.  Because the ICI is here. That is the Dolan's triangle, the ICI is here.  So you actually have to make it into a shell, dissect the complete shell around it. Don't pull it out. You have tendency to do that and take it out. And that is the ICI. You see that? That is the ICI. Chances of rupture of an aneurysm would be if you are drilling it right into it. But if you are drilling it as a pyramid, you will never... For the pyramid exposure, you need to expose the... That is the cavernous hemangioma of the cavernous sinus, a pretty old video, a large cavernous hemangioma of the cavernous sinus. So taking off the clinoid process, the initial part can be done with a cutting drill and then a diamond. This was one of my earlier cases. So I was very hesitant. So to drill it right till the shell, took it off like a projection in the end. But it is very important that you must see what you are dissecting out. You should not pull it out. But there can be a middle clinoid process which may not be an ossified, a middle clinoid process. If you see the skulls, the anterior clinoid and the posterior clinoid, that area can be in 0.1% of anatomical variations, can be a middle clinoid process, which may be fibrous, which may be calcified. If it is calcified and you pull it out, that strut, that small spicule can injure the carotid artery. You have already opened the cavernous, anterior cavernous sinus there. That is the V2, the V3, these are very bloody tumours. Best approach is extradural approaches. So it is all extradural. You peel the outer, the two layers of the cavernous sinus, already done the anterior clinoid removal there. So the third, fourth nerves and the V1, you have to go between. So you can see now V2, V3, here was the 3, 4 and the V1 coming there. So you are going between the 4th and the V1, the Parkinson's triangle. That is the angle of, that is the superior orbital fissure. That is the clinoid which has been removed, that is the joint gel form, something there. And you can now see the third, the 4th, the V1, the V2 and the V3. It is all splayed over the cavernous sinus and that is the dura, the temporal dura. And then you can open the Parkinson's triangle here, do a decompression. That is the 4th nerve. I learnt from Professor Dolan's that 3rd and the 4th nerve should be really respected. The 5th can tolerate traction. The 3rd and the 4th, even intradurally will not tolerate traction. 4th will not clinically manifest, 3rd will remarkably manifest. You just give a slight traction because of any meningioma, your 3rd will go. 4th can be reversible, 3rd is usually may not be reversible if you feel. Then you rapidly decompress it. Look for the internal corroded artery in the cavernous sinus. Along with that there will be a 6th nerve and there will be some sympathetic plexus along with that. These patients can have post-op horners because of this thing. Look for a meningo-hypophysiol trunk branch which is going into the tumour, coagulate that. Then this tumour goes into the cellar. If you saw the MRI, you can take that out. These tumours should not be coagulated in mass and then try to take out because if you do that, you will damage all the cranial nerves. You will be having a complete ophthalmoplegia. Yes, there will be ophthalmoparesis in such patients but that will be transient. The most important nerve which may not come back in these patients will be the 6th. That is the only true intra-cavernous and that is a giant paraclynoidal anism. That is again forgotten like Dr. Gupta, which is left. I think temporal. This should be frontal. This is the orbit. I am sure of. This is temporal. That is temporal. This is the right side. This is the right side. So, we are drilling the clientoid and then because this is open, you are going in the direction of the pyramid and that is the optic nerve. So, all the time this is the optic nerve and that dissection is, you have to see what you are dissecting. There is always some bleeding from the cavernous sign is there. If you cannot drill it out completely, just leave at the tip here if I could remove, then the dura is opened. I will just complete that sentence later. That is the area where the clientoid was removed. So, that is the Dolan's triangle. That is the ICA. That should be the ICA there and which continues here, intuitively. Dissect your falciform ligament. Look for the optic nerve. That is the optic nerve, it's extraordinarily. Follow it down. That is the ICA. Nicely turned and that is, we are putting a clip at the PCOM, one, another one at the A1. This is giant anism, coagulate anism. That's one neck. Look for the other neck. That is the optic nerve, that's blade area. This was an elderly lady, so it was very much calcified. We had to put many clips. Despite that it was not closing, so maybe I think six, seven clips we put. These anisms can be difficult and actually, Dr. Mathuria was saying that one of his anisms, he had to put an artery clip because bleeding did not stop with the normal clips. I didn't know what to do after that. So that's the ICA and the PCOM which is preserved. So like this, that was the y-extradural. If you see this image, these clips are just protruding out from this area. So in the usual intradural, you cannot put clips like this. You have to fashion it parallel to the ICA. Your clips will be always like this. Here it helps you to fashion your clips like this, especially in giant because they do not respect the anatomy, the giant anisms. These are broad neck ones. So I think this is the left one, left, left. So cutting the territorial duplicature, the temporal side, that's the orbit. Superior orbital feature is removed, that's the ACP, yeah, it shows. And you have to peel it down. You cannot start drilling here. You have to peel it down right till the apex, right till you see the tip, till you feel the tip with your disector. Open the anterior cavernous anus there. This approach I think is too big for small anisms. So I think intradural is the best approach for small anisms, but for giant ones in which you have to refashion the neck and everything, this is a very safe approach. And then you have the petrocephalic, you are actually drilling like this. Then you are not drilling into the tip. You can actually feel the tip of the clinoid here, drilling the whole pyramid of the. What we realized is, we realized that once you do, I will finish this first. That is the optic canal and that is the last bit. So this is not the tip. The tip is already out. This is just a part of the ridge over close to the optic nerve that is removed and the dura is cut. Small durotomy, I usually put the curvilinear along with cut straight cut down to the clinoid. So it becomes a T because all the clips will be approached like this. In an intradural approach, all your clips are like this. So this is the giant anisms, opening the falciform ligament, look for the distal ring, look for the A1. The A1 was stuck so that is being dissected. Usually after dissection we puncture the anism, decompress it, but something happened here before I keep this video. Needless to say, I think every case gives a challenge. It humbles you. Then we drilled the rest part of the firs of the optic canal and that is the optic nerve. And we thought, then this is the ICA, typicom, choroidal, coagulated anism released the A1. The A1 is stuck there. This is important because that will give us the exposure of the neck. So all this maneuver, extradural is important because all your clips have to be directed like this. That is what I think. That is what I was trained with. And then that is the optic nerve. We are trying to separate. And while we are trying to separate, I saw this video at least 10 times after the surgery but I could not, I do not think I was trying, but I did not rupture it, it ruptured on its own. I thought, then again repositioning of the clips, the multiple clips were applied there. This should not happen. This why I always keep it because here you have to be careful that if your aneurysm ruptures, despite your temporary clips, your clip at A1, picom and there will be some cross circulation on the opposite side of thymic canal and they will be bleeding. So this is something you should avoid. A better thing would be to do a planned rough puncture because the problem is if you put random clips, this is the area of which you can actually take in your clips. That is the pituitary stock. So that is something, if you have two long clips, you can actually take the pituitary stock in your clips. That is something that you have to look at the pituitary stock when you are doing these cases. Two things it helped. It gave a better trajectory at the lateral part of the ICA. You could not do the complete resection. You could try to with an intradural approach, the complete resection. But there was a vein. Always there was superficial middle cerebral vein which was coming and attaching at the lateral water. For that you used to get injured while you were doing a complete resection intradurally. That was I think to preserve that in complete resection and the third nerve. Extradural was better for a complete resection. But in cases where you only require partial trailer resection, maybe a small aneurysm, maybe a small client nodal meningoma, I think that would be the best way to think.


My name is Basil Johnny Trenham. In England you pronounce it Basil. We do. I lived in England for a year, that's how we pronounced it. Why are you saying Basil? There are two ways to say Basil, Basil and Basil, and Max Brumelow has the correct way. Americans, learn the f***ing language. Why is it called 420? 420 for April 20th. Yeah, April 20th is 24. Incorrect. America, sort out your dates. This is my English person if I was in a, like, Pirates of the Caribbean or something like that. Hello puppy, would you like some black tea? F***ing horrible. So really it's not that much about smoking weed, it's more about federalism versus devolved state government, right? That's completely correct Max, and I think your assessment of it is not only sharp and observant, I think it's a message to all of us here at Berkeley that if we put our minds to something, we can see the truth behind anything. That is exactly what I meant. So research shows, sorry, are we boring you? No, no, I just found this tennis ball. So research shows that smoking weed makes you lazy, unproductive and sexually ineffective. Well, I'll say right now two of those are true. They say, okay, they say it makes people lazy? That's an individual thing. I see so many people on this campus who are so f***ing productive, honest, and they smoke weed every single day.  I don't know how it is in Great Britain, but here in America that's definitely not true. Do you think that 420 is more about just smoking weed and having a nice time, or is it really political? I think people just want to get f***ed up. Me too. So introduce yourself to the program. My name's Emilio. And are you smoking today? Yeah, a lot. A guest from the massive thing behind your ear there? Called a backwood, mag-drink. Seems like everyone's having a pretty good time out here today. Oh yeah, yeah, of course, yeah. Having fun, smoking, everyone, yep.  Really, look how popular it is. If it's this popular, why is it illegal? Why is it illegal anywhere, honestly? All these drugs, they don't have proper studies done for them. They actually don't because they're illegal, right? So who's going to study? And not only that, but I mean, this is maybe just the weed talking or whatever, but the drug companies are not going to focus on drugs that they can't put a patent on. I'm Neil. I'm Manjap. You guys smoking today? I cannot disclose that. I can neither confirm nor deny the statement. Plead the fifth. Oh, f*** yeah, there we go. So what's 420 about for you guys? Embracing unity and love between all people. You see what he just did there? He gave you the scripted answer. It's all about increasing diversity and embracing other people's perspective. You know, we got the Donald Trump group over here behind you. I don't know if they do the same. And let me tell you this much, I miss you, Barack. I miss you, Barack. So we increase diversity by smoking, mind-enhancing drugs. Now listen, that'll give you another perspective, right? You have the sober perspective and then you have the enhanced perspective. You want to create something innovative. You want to create something new. That's one way to do it. You create that different perspective.  I'll put it back on. We put it back on because that's what we do with life. We get back on the track of life and we keep going. When life kicks you down, what do you do? You get back up. When life hits you in the face, what do you do? You slap back. When life gives you lemon, what do you do? Make lemonade. Shout out Beyonce. So guys, thanks very much for talking to me. Enjoy the rest of your 420. Thank you, Peter, for the interview. Peter, one of the greats. Peter deserves a promotion. You guys aren't given the promotion he needs. Yeah, my name's not Peter, it's Max. Peter, shout out Peter. Peter, Peter, we have a guest on the show today. His name is G. It's your boy, G. All right, thanks, Basil. Max, I love you.