The following is a presentation of T-F-N-N. Trade what you see with Larry Pezzavento. Call now, toll free at 1-877-927-6648 or internationally at<PHONE_NUMBER>. Now, Larry Pezzavento. Hey, looking good, Billy Ray, feeling good, Lewis. We're going to take a look here at the Treasury Bonds. We went up into our cell zone here. Market immediately dropped almost $1,500. It hasn't even rallied back to the 382 as of yet. We'll take a quick look to see what that number will be. We've already made the first profit objective because we were risking, oh, by golly, it did make the first 382 right there. I saw that a little bit late, but there it is. At 208, so you made your first profit objective on this. The worst thing that could possibly happen is to put your buy stop in here, as you lock in at least $600 or possibly $800. But your first profit objective, if you're risking a point, when you make a point, in fact, you make quite a bit more than a point, you've got to take some of that off the table because you're looking at an hourly chart and you don't know what's going to happen next as we already know that. So let's just keep in mind what we're watching here. You're looking at these things. Now, we just made, for those of you that are 382 aficionados, we just made a 382 here in the E-mini S&P here just a second ago, right up at the old 347.96 level. So you might want to look at that, but whether this is going to be a new high or not, we'll have to wait and see. The fact that it did break 60 handles to the downside in a matter of a short period of time, about three and a half hours, and you had some nice ABCDs on the way down here. You can see that there's your A, B, C, D to the downside. Stopped right at very strong support would be my guess. Let's just double check it here. Looking at this 13-minute one and we'll move it over. And let's just go to the... Well, what we've got to do here is to clean out all of this real easy like and move it over just a tiny little bit and see where our support would be coming in here. And it's probably close to 50%. It looks like our last little low here was January 8th. You remember the King's birthday? Put that over there. And we hit right at the 50% level here today. And so far, what we've done is backed up to the 382 level right in here. So let's watch that as we're looking at some of these things here today. Okay, now, by the way, your first 382 on this came in at 4808 and it dropped 20 handles down to this level, which more than made up for any loss you might have taken here because it has had a really nice 382 off of this little move right there. You can see it right there. This only took 40 minutes to do it, but that's right after the open. And then down she came. So that's what we're watching here with some of these things that we're paying very close attention to. Okay, now, let's look at another one over here because we've covered the bonds. We've covered the S&P. Now, let's go to the old precious metal because if you like 382s, folks, you're gonna be really surprised when you look at this chart. I didn't see this until a tiny bit later, but look at this, folks. We're gonna have to put this on an hourly so you can see the strength of this move coming into this. Look at the range here, folks. There was your low here that we had yesterday. We rallied all the way up to right between the 61 and the 786. There's 61, there's 786. There's the 1.618 expansion of this whole move right there, right on the money, 2056. And look what's happened down she came. Now, those of you that have been following me here day after day, we look like we're heading down to make a big ABCD down here right around that 2000 level. So we're gonna look at this right now. You've got your high here. There's A right there. There's B right there. There's C right there. And now it's saying it's coming in. There's your 1.618. And that comes in here at 208. So tomorrow, folks, maybe today, you wanna be taking a really good look here at the gold here at 208. That's a pretty good thing to watch. Let's just double check. Here's a case where we had at those questions yesterday. How do I go back from one timeframe to the other? Well, all I'm trying to do is make sure I don't miss anything. This one, you say I'm looking to be a buyer now at 28 on this pattern right here because this happened today. So I've got a new pattern to look at. There's your ABCD there. So there's my new pattern coming in right here. I have two others at this level right here. So 208 is gonna be my buy and my stop is going to have to be below this level right here. So I'm just bringing that to your attention. But the interesting thing about this today on this smaller timeframe, I was in there doing a lot of things today, folks, trying to keep up with all the things, but look what happened to the gold after we hit that 1.618 expansion here. The market broke all the way down. It dropped 27 handles to the downside and look at the upside. It stopped exactly at the 382 at 2039.  I mean, it's gotta mean something because that tells us that we're heading down to these levels right here and that's where I think we're heading down to this level right around 2012 to 2008. So let's watch that very, very closely. Just to be safe here, if you want to watch this the rest of the day, I will not be doing this, but if you move this over, you might even get another rally up into here, which would be a 50% off of that level or you might only make a 382. So let's draw that in. So that would tell us that we shouldn't get any higher than 2025 here. That's what the bottom line is trying to tell us as we look at some of these things. So I hope that gives you a little bit of an idea of what we're watching here this morning. Okay, one other one that is interesting here, that is the natural gas. Here's the natural gas on a short-term basis. We had the big break, if you'll remember. We want to get the hourly up because you'll be able to see that we did make the 382 retracement here this morning. We'll just bring it up so you can see where we are. We went right up, excuse me, the 50% is where we went to. It went to 64. That's really all that it's done. Hold on just a second. Just a second. Bill, I'm on the radio show right now. Forgot to change an order, folks. It's going to cost me a couple hundred bucks. Okay, but anyway, I'm watching here today here with the natural gas. This has been a pretty big break. We had this move here on the daily. Let's go back to the daily here. Man, I'll tell you, okay, I just want to get this. This is the daily, and you can see here where we've come here, and there's the big 382 here that we're looking at for today to be a seller, and that's where we were looking at it right here, at the 382 here at 67. That's in the March, okay? That was two days ago, so it's starting to work, and that's a good sign. Let's see, make sure we get something else up here to look at this, and we'll see where we are. Okay, okay, S&P's now rallying above the 382. Let's take a little break here, and we'll be right back.<PHONE_NUMBER>. Steve Rhodes started his trading career as a student almost 20 years ago, and the student has now become the master. Steve won the prestigious Timer of the Year award in 2018 and barely missed that mark again in 2019, finishing at number two for the year, an amazing accomplishment. 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Toll Free at 1-877-927-6648 internationally at<PHONE_NUMBER> Okay folks, what I would like to remind you of, if you sold this here in 1997, your stop has got to be here at 4807. You're only going to risk 10 points on this, okay, because you're right at the 382 right now. You went a little bit higher. You've been as high as 4801, but your stop has got to be at 4807. What happened to me is I had sold this here and I forgot to cancel the second order, so I ended up being short 6, and I didn't, excuse me, short 4, so I just covered the position which will get me out of basically break even, because if I'm doing this we want to be watching it. It's actually having a thunderstorm here in Tucson here this morning, folks, so that's going to be really interesting to see how this stuff all works out. All right, let's get together here with Mr. Rich Anderson who'll be coming on tomorrow and the reason why I'm going to switch gears here because we've got a trade coming up here. I've got a couple of questions that I have to answer folks, but I want to show you, this is the July soybean chart for a very, very long time, three days. For me, that's a long time. Here's where we are, folks, and we've got this big report coming out tomorrow at around 11 o'clock. Rich is going to be our guest tomorrow. We're going to go through, you know, what's going on with it. It'll be out by now, I believe, and so we'll be watching it, but this is what we'd like to do. We want to see a real bearish report tomorrow and get it down to here Do we know it's been here for four days? So this may be the low. We don't know that, but if it's a bearish report it should get to here and we can become farmers at that time. What we did is we measured from the high down to your low. You see how it brings you down into this zone right here. So there's the zone where we want to get down to is right about here, the 78% level at this level right here. And when the report comes out, folks, we know that they're very, very volatile most of the time. The good part about this is if we miss it, if we do miss it, believe me, I'm extremely bullish gold, the soybean complex, and I'll show you why in just one second, but that's why we want to, this is new crop beans, excuse me, this is old crop beans. They have any, Larry, get your act together. This is not July. This is January. This is going to be a new crop soybeans. They haven't even been planted yet. So now they're guessing where it's supposed to be and believe me, it is a flat out guess. So that's what we want to be watching. Okay. Now the reason for it is we have some good information from Rich and that is this is the commitment of traders. I'm going to bring this up so that you can see we got a call coming in. You'll notice here that the things that they're looking to buy, you notice soybean down in here is looking to be a buyer because commercials have moved over. Look what they're short, the S&P, the Nasdaq and the Russell. And I think we have a caller coming in from Cocoa Beach, Florida. Lauren, what can I do for you? Hi. I'm looking at arm holdings. I'm wondering whether it's going to hit its target of 85 or whether it's going to continue on this small, minor ABC down that I'm seeing happen right now. I mean, I'm looking at it as a community person as well. Okay, good. It looks to me like it could be doing that or it also looks to me like it could be just taking a minor retracement and heading back up into a rising price channel. I have to go with you on the downside. This is what I think is happening here. I see the ABCD from 80 down to 64. We rallied up exactly to the 61% you're setting up for an ABCD swing to the downside. It's going to get you down to about $61 and if you look at that from your low up to your high you'll see that's going to take you just halfway between your 50% and 61% retracement. It's at 69% right now so I'm assuming that we're going to I might be off the air in a minute folks because there's really a major storm here. But 61, Lauren, is what you're looking at right here. That makes sense to me because, you know, we had a 61% retracement here two days ago and we're lower today. That means that we've got to buy us to the downside from what I can see. Got it. Thank you. Does that help? It's my pleasure. Is that what you were looking for? Well, you're welcome. Thank you for calling in. First time caller and I appreciate it. Okay, let's get back here and to talk a little bit more about these beans. So what our game plan is, is we'll be getting here tomorrow and around 21, 12, 21, 14 is where we're going to be buying it. Let's try it again, Larry. 12. Oh dear, that's not good. Hold on just a second. That is not good. I've got to get the thing back up again. Hold on. There's so much rain hammering on the skylight here folks that I can hardly hear. It's really, really heavy. Oh my, it's getting really big now. I'm going to type this in so we can see it. We'll be doing this tomorrow too because this is a big trade. It could be in for a long time. Might only last 20 minutes, but here we're going to be buying here at 12 15 and we're going to put a stop at 11 95. You're going to be a farmer. It's going to cost you a thousand bucks. You're going to buy at 12 15 and you're going to put a stop here at 11 95. That would weigh down here.  You don't have to lease the land. All you do is you buy the soybeans for July. They haven't even planted yet. So you don't even have to. Wow. You don't even have to. I'm saying wow because this place is shaking. Oh, just stopped. Oh my God. Just like that. That's great. Anyway, we're going to buy it at 12 15. Here it comes again. 11 19 11 95 as a stop. Boy, that that you should you should hear it folks. I don't know if you can or not, but boy, this is really a heavy rain coming here today. Okay, let's move this one out of the way. And I want to find out what happened to my layout page. It disappeared for some reason. Oh, this is not a good sign. Oh, here we come. We're coming up here right now. So bear with me here. Just pop up and we'll be we'll be ready to go here and see what's going on. Hold on one second. I want to get this right here is the soybean oil because we've been in this for quite some time. We write up at our objective right in here and with the report. Remember on the daily folks, let's get this up here. You'll see where we are. There's the daily that we bought it at. This is like what we're hoping to do in the soybeans. Now, soybean oil is only 20% of the product. The other 80% is meal. And so we're going to be looking at meal and soybeans will do meal tomorrow because we've got Shane coming up at the break. But here's where we are. Right at our profit objective and the way we figured that there was your ABCD right here. The last move extended that much and these we know these markets repeat over and over again. And so we're almost there right now. So this is the time where you want to be taking profits, especially into a major crop report. This has been a good winter, folks. It's well over 12. Let me see six seven. Yeah, we'll ask pretty good a little over $1200. So that's what we'd like to. We're risking six. We made 12. So that's two to one and that makes it nice. Now it's total silence here in the desert. The monsoon is finished because when it comes down, it comes down in buckets and then it leaves and doesn't come back for quite a while. We've got to take a break now and the master himself, Mr. Shane Smollin, the Wolf Trader.com will be coming up and we'll listen to what he has to say about these volatile markets that we're seeing right now. So we'll hang in there and stay with us. We'll be right back after this words of our sponsor. The Gold Report As a precious metal, gold is still king. 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After all, he's got 45 years' experience as a day trader. Larry will also provide daily charts, videos and data on the key markets that he's tracking. Expect notifications from Larry on market movement you need to act on at any time. First-time subscribers also get a 30-day money-back guarantee. If you're not satisfied, let us know and you'll get a full refund within 30 days of signing up. Subscribe to the Fibonacci 24-7 newsletter today. TFNN.com Educating Investors Don't forget, you can listen to TFNN live on your mobile device 24 hours per day. Go to TFNN.com and hit Watch Tiger TV. That's TFNN.com and hit Watch Tiger TV. Okay, we're back folks and I believe we have the wolf trader himself on the line today. Shane, how are you doing? Is this Duke and Duke? Duke and Duke, 100 South Broad Street, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 19147 Suite number 6. I'm in the right place. I'm in the right place. You got it. Tell us what you're looking at, my friend. We'd like to hear the words of wisdom from someone who really understands astrology and that certainly is you. So please tell us what you're looking at. Well, thank you. First of all, are you okay with the weather there? Sounds kind of crazy. We just had a hail, it was a hail storm. Sarah, just tell me that golf ball size hail, that's what the news was. It happens in the desert, because it's cold. It was 29 here. It was 29 here. There was snow in the mountains. Yeah, there's a hard freeze warning for Tucson. That big front's moving across the Midwest and there's this Arctic blast coming down. It's in Western Canada right now, but it's going to move all the way down across the United States. We had that storm last week and this one's going to be even stronger, but this time there's that big Arctic push behind it. Front coming through. Part of that global warming thing, I understand. Yeah. Okay, let's go ahead and talk about something we might understand. Absolutely. Where are we going from here and where are we? Tell us. I like to start out with the geomagnetic storms just to give everybody a viewpoint of where we are from a seasonal standpoint. The reason I tie these two together is because the solar storms correlate inversely to the seasonal pattern that we're in January. It's tapering off right now, but it will start to pick up for every March and April, which tends to correlate with falling markets. If you put these two graphs together, you can see that as these solar storms start to pick up, you can see that the peak, the Dow Jones actually peaked right about now. Everybody knows there's positive seasonals in about this part of the month, but now it's going to be falling as the solar storm activity increases. We're pretty far up there right now in the S&P, and I think if the S&P had its way, it would definitely try to push to a new high, but nothing is guaranteed, and it's looking kind of ragged here. We've had some pretty strong thrust down three of them now we've seen. To me, it's starting to look a little bit tired here at this point, but again, like I said, if it had its way, I think it would try to make that new high. From a seasonal standpoint, we are definitely at a peak right now for the S&P 500. Again, I'd like to talk about that with the actual solar storms, because there is a direct inverse correlation there. Do the solar storms cause the solar cycle, or is it just a correlation? There's no way to know that, but they do correlate pretty much perfectly inversely. I'm just going to talk about some key points here on the S&P 500, and I do also want to talk about Bitcoin because of the ETFs just came out, and that's going to be changing how we should look at Bitcoin. I'm not really even sure yet. I'm starting to ask some questions about how has Bitcoin changed and how is it going to change in relation to the markets, because I do think it's going to change now. But in terms of the S&P, it's pushing back, obviously, we saw that. Is this a double top, or is it going to try to make another high? I don't think it really matters. Even if it tries to push up, I don't think there's really much more left here on this rally. I think we'll get the very, very end of this. Now, the one thing I am looking at is, are these substantial negative divergences? This is true in money flow and the Fed use. There's two really very large negative divergences. So, money flow is pretty reliable, but the Fed use, the Fed internals, this is very reliable. There are no instances of this since 2009. There's no documented instances of this type of a divergence that does not retrace. So, I think the odds are in our favor that we're going to have to figure the question is how far and how long. So, what we try to do here is time those events and try to time everything together to try to get that just right. Fear of greed index, this has been high. It's 73, 74, and even when we had those two declines, it still stayed up into the 70s, which I think is a good sign for a shorting perspective because even when we get these sell-offs, people are not believing it, and so the optimism is still staying high. Now, the Russell and gold have been weaker. So, these have been laggards. So, the Russell has been falling behind the S&P, and it's barely rallied on this last rally. The S&P was leading, NASDAQ was second, Russell was third, but the Russell looks very weak as does gold. Now, the question is, is this fallout from the Bitcoin ETF? Is this money, these types of investors moving their money to the Bitcoin ETF? Hard to tell, but I do think the Bitcoin situation is not going to be good for gold here. I think gold looks very weak at this point. And so, as Bitcoin gets the spotlight, I think gold's going to struggle here at least in the near term. Now, Bitcoin, I do think there was some hype here with Bitcoin that drew up the S&P, and they do correlate together when we first get a move, when we start to get the risk on trades, Bitcoin tends to lead the S&P. So, I do think there was some type of a risk here, but now that the Bitcoin ETF has come out, S&P had his sell-off this morning. It has recovered a little bit in the mid-day, but I think maybe that was some type of a masking variable that kind of drew it up and teased out, just kind of teased it up into the new moon today. So, I don't know if that's a real thing. I mean, in terms of the strength of the S&P, or if it just kind of, it's hard to tell because this has never happened before with the Bitcoin ETF. So, I'm kind of one of the things that I try to do is I try to pay attention to what's actually like new events that are happening and unfolding in the markets. This happened in 2009 with the Fed use and quantitative easing and every time there's something new like an ETF I try to understand, okay, how is this changing the market and what markets will be affected positively, what markets will be affected negatively. We talked about the optimized Bradley. There's a high approaching to this. We'll talk about that. We'll get to that chart. And so that's coming up pretty much this weekend. So, we are hitting a series of highs here, no matter how you look at this in terms of different cycles. The volatility quad lunar is approaching a low and that's going to happen like tomorrow. So, there's a lot of events here now lining up and then we have the planetary steelium coming in this first half of 2024 and the context of that is going to depend upon where the market is going. If the market's rallying and breaking out, they can tend to be positive. If it's falling, they can tend to be low. So, I'm going to go through some charts and just show that. So, we do have our intraday biarrhythms here that we track and we posted this morning and so far the S&P is following this pretty closely. We had this sell-off here after the hotter than expected inflation report. And so, it's coming into the midday hour here and this says that we'll have some type of recovery into the close. But I do favor this market getting weaker. I think we're just in the final throws here of this and it's been a very, very impressive rally, no doubt, since late October. But I think we're getting near the end here. But we do look at this even on a micro level like this on the intraday. Now, Bitcoin, I do want to just put some points here. I'm going to come out and do a webinar on this at some point. I'm just kind of asking some questions right now about this. I do think the ETF changed Bitcoin. This is some type of an experiment. We have a fixed underlying now because obviously Bitcoin is fixed in supply. So, we got to ask ourselves how is that going to affect the ETF? Is it going to be more stable or is it going to be less stable? Is it going to be more volatile, less volatile? Right now it appears that it's kind of shoring up the volatility. But that remains to be seen. So, that's just a kind of a question mark. ETFs now, it can tend to draw money away from different markets. So, we didn't see that as much. Bitcoin was really a closed system. It was kind of its own thing. It did correlate with S&P when we have these risk-on type moves. But that might change the relationship between Bitcoin and the S&P. And I'm going to start to research this because typically they tend to go to Bitcoin would lead. So, if you go all the way back to COVID every time that we had these big lows, Bitcoin would surge and then S&P would follow it. But now, we've got a break. We've got to pay some bills. So, stay with us. We'll be back with Shane Smolian, folks. WolfTrader.com Stay with us, please. 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Head over to TFNN.com right now to join the thousands of traders who have Tom O'Brien's award-winning newsletter Market Insights firsthand. TFNN Educating Investors Market Insights This program is brought to you by Vista Gold. Traded on the NYSE American and TSX under the symbol VGZ. We're back, folks. We're Shane Smollion on the line. Please continue, young man. All right, so I was just kind of posing some questions here about BT. What does the ETF mean? I think it's possible the correlations could change between Bitcoin and S&P. It could end up being that it could be the opposite. I mean, they could start moving in opposite directions as these ETFs gain steam, so this is a big deal. And then the other question is gold in trouble. Gold looks very weak here. You were talking about that 2002 level down into there, and that's right where it gapped up after that last Fed meeting. So I do think gold, at least on the short term, Bitcoin is kind of stealing the spotlight here from it. So those are just my thoughts. I haven't really kind of formulated any opinions. I'm just kind of asking questions right now, but I think we have to ask these questions because every time something happens, it introduces a new variable to the markets. If we want to understand where the stuff's going to go, we need to understand this. So I felt like I had a good handle on this, especially since the COVID and the correlations, but now this might change things. So fear and greed index, I do want to talk about this. You can see this is all the way up to 74. This is from CNN. It's like 73, 74. It's pretty high. And even on those sell-offs that we saw, those multiple sell-offs, it didn't really budge. It just kind of stayed there, which is a good sign for a top. I mean, you want to see people not believing the selling. And this is an intraday comparison here of the Russell versus S&P versus Nasdaq. You can see that this is the Russell over here. This is the S&P here and this is the Nasdaq. And you can see that the S&P was the strongest. It did try to come up and hit that high again. But you can see the Russell was just very weakened to here. Now, I don't know if that has something to do with the type of investors coming into Bitcoin or whatever it was, or if it's just the Russell is weak right now for other reasons. But it is lagging. And so to me, that's not a good sign. I mean, I definitely would, if I was expecting this market to keep rallying from here, I would like to see the Russell pushing up there, especially the Nasdaq too. These two can tend to lead on the early move. So to me, this is not a good sign. It's starting to look very ragged into here. We've had these three pushes down here. This is the third one down here. So it's kind of making it like a triple head. It's way, it would try to make a new high, but again, no guarantees of that. I do think something's wrong here to see this type of price action. It's just looking very ragged. And volatility is not a sign of bull markets. So that's not really a good thing if we're expecting this to go higher. Real quick here too, I'm going to look at these, the solar storm activity. There hasn't been too much recently. We just had a G1 storm pass here on this. We have this triple head forming here on the S&P. So you can see it's looking like a head and shoulders, but it still might try to push here. We'll see. But to me, this does not look good. This is not a good looking pattern. Again, you can see the G1 storm was the last storm that we had. There's just not much activity, but it will start to pick up getting into February. So just keep that in mind. We'll start to look at that as February unfolds. You can see that the 50, this still looks very strong from the terms of the simple moving averages. 50 is pushing above the 200 and still widening here. But this is the G1 that I care about, that I really, really watch. This has been very, very good to us in the last two years. We've had some very nice trades, very nice swing trades. In addition to what we do with the polar R squared, we have these swing trades that we take from time to time. You can see that the Fed internals are just having this persistent divergence down into here. And so when that happens, the market can do these types of thrusts like this and these types of posturing, but it really can't go anywhere until the Fed really decides to change their stance. And so the Fed did make this pivot and they did start to talk about three rate cuts coming, but I do want to talk about something that talking about a rate cut is not the same thing as quantitative easing. So those are two different things. And so we don't even know if they're going to do it. They're talking about, you know, in March. People are talking about March. We don't really know that. The inflation report came out hotter today than they thought. So that's not really a guarantee. And just because the Fed says an out of pre announcement, it doesn't mean anything. The only time that I've ever seen an announcement by the Fed result in a sustained rally was when we were between quantitative easing one to quantitative easing two and the Fed actually announced a date. They're going to start quantitative easing two and then the market actually took off and rallied from that news event. But just to say that the rate cuts are going to start to come, I don't think that's enough to get this going. We're going to have to see a change of the posture. We're actually going to have to see proof of that from the Fed. And we just don't see that yet. So to me, I just think this is not a very good looking pattern here for the S&P. I think it's got to come back at some point. So just putting that out there, we do have two important indicators that we look at. We look at in addition to the bed use, we look at the quad lunar cycle and the planetary speed index. These are basically kind of in conflict right now. They're kind of going against each other. So this is kind of creating this choppy situation. So as we get further and further out into the month, I think it's going to get more and more difficult for this market as we get out there. Take a look at something like just a simple money flow. And I think people have seen this on daily, weekly, monthly charts. There's a lot of divergences happening. I mean, the money flow has been falling and falling and falling. And this would suggest that we got to come back to this 4423 level. This is not a positive picture for the S&P 500. So at some point, I think the gravity of this is going to start to come into the picture here. So this is just something that I look at. And if we look at the actual, the VXX I look at this volatility indicator here. And I have this quad lunar cycle here. These are the blue arrows and you can see that on the 12th which is tomorrow, this actually comes into a low on volatility. So we're starting to see some of these cycles are all kind of starting to line up here one by one by one and starting to tell us that, hey, maybe this is the time here that this market is going to start rolling over. And I just don't think, you know, when I talk about a sustained rally, I don't consider this rally here a sustained rally. Certainly it's powerful, but I'm talking about one that can last six months a year. That can't happen if the Fed internals are still falling like this. That just has since 2009, there's no documented cases of that. I go back and I study this data all the time. So until the jet fuel comes back to the party, I don't think this market is going to be going too far. I mean, like I said, it could try to jut up to a new high here, but I just don't think in terms of a long, long-term sustained rally, I don't think that that's coming. Now, real quick, I want to talk about the Bradley. We talked about this before, the Bradley Barometer. The Bradley Barometer just for people who are tuning in this time. It's essentially, it's an indicator that measured the effects of transits on financial markets. We look at long-term aspects. We look at harmonious aspects, hard aspects. And this was developed by Donald Bradley in the 1900s. And so what I've done here is I've taken this original Bradley with software, and we've optimized it to come up with an optimized version that has less inversions. So what I'm talking about when I say inversions, the original Bradley Barometer would actually have situations where the turn would not necessarily, it wouldn't matter if it was going up or down, you would just look at the turning point. So the turning point is what mattered. This one, not so much. This is the optimized Bradley, which you can see here, and I'm just showing this comparison. This is the forecast that it made ahead of time. And you can see these numbers here. This is the S&P 500 here to the right. And you can see here the number four here. This is the low that it predicted at the end of November here. They actually predicted this and you can see here this was the market before that. And then afterwards, the market actually did rally and follow that predicted forecast. So this is not a bad model to look at. And so I've kind of added it to our arsenal here. And so this actually did forecast that rally that we saw. It doesn't necessarily predict the power of the rally. Of course, this was a very, very strong rally, but it did predict the rally for us. So where does this show us now? Well we take a look here at this particular barometer. It shows us coming into this high on the 14th. And so this particular so far, this has been very good. This isn't the only thing that we look at. I just want to remind people that this stuff can be wrong. It's not always right. But so far this, you know, from late late November to what we're seeing right now this has been this has been a very solid forecasting model. This is making a high on the 14th. And so like I said the seasonal pattern. Sure. Paying bills now. We'll be back with you in three minutes. Okay. Shane will join us in three minutes folks. Stay with us. If you're looking for potential trading setups in the stock market, then Rocket Equities and Options Report is a newsletter you should try. Tommy O'Brien delivers options and equity trades when the markets present them using a combination of fundamentals and technicals. Sign up for Rocket Equities and Options Report today with a 30 day money back guarantee so you have nothing to risk. For all the details and to start your subscription today, visit the front page of TFNN.com. TFNN Educating Investors Everything in the universe is governed by the Fibonacci sequence. 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I just can't, unless the Fed changes their stance early, I can't really see much more of this. Now, again, I think it could try to pop up to a new high if it wants to, but there's no guarantee of that. I think to me, what I'm seeing here are signs of erosion here. It's looking kind of ragged. And again, I think the curious question here is what's going to happen with this Bitcoin ETF situation. I think it's a very intriguing situation and I think we should explore it more. And we will explore it more in webinars. We have a webinar each Saturday, so I put this up on the screen here. We talk each Saturday about the market, so you can, you know, if you're more than welcome to show up, it's going to be on WolfTrader Future's YouTube channel. And then on Sundays, so in addition to just the newsletters, we actually have live accounts managed accounts, so you can actually see the actual trading results, how 2023 went. And so that's something that we try to do to try to raise the standard of putting what we say in the newsletter with these auto trading accounts. If you want to check out, you can check out on each day. Saturday is more kind of broad base. We talked about the markets, and Sunday is more detail. We look at how did the actual trades go and the actual live accounts from 2023. So if you want to check that out, you can come to each both are open to the public. You can reach me at Shane at WolfTraderFutures.com. That's my email. And then the website is www.WolfTraderFutures.com or www.fedjuice.com. So we hope to see you this Saturday. I think we have a good time. There's a live chat. You guys can ask questions. And so just show up bright and early, depending on where you live. It's eight o'clock on eastern time. So for those of you on the west coast, I know it's early, but we also have subscribers in Europe and Japan. So I try to pick a time where everybody can meet, but I do think we have a good time. So we look forward to seeing everybody there on this Saturday. Thank you for joining my friend, and we'll see you again soon and may God bless. We'll see you tomorrow, folks. Stay warm! Bye!


What's going on and welcome to the NBA DFS Q&A show. My name is Tom Vecchio. I'm here every Wednesday at 4 p.m. taking your questions about tonight's NBA Slates. Remember to follow Fane Dool on the YouTube, Twitter, Twitch, Facebook pages, taking your questions there. All the time you can follow me on Twitter at DFS underscore Tom. We have a good Slates. I think we are in for a higher scoring slate. We also have a number of injuries we need to be paying attention to across various different teams. We just got some news recently Nicole Jokic is on, is now listed as questionable. Obviously that changes things for what should have been a good matchup, especially against the Utah Jazz with no Rurigo Bear. So this is a big one. We know that LeBron is doubtful. Hardin is expected to play. Anthony Davis is probable. Deer and Fox's questionable has missed a number of games in a row. Nurkic is probable. And then we have a few secondary players, although I'm very interested in Robert Williams tonight. So we have a lot going on when it comes to this slate. I think that there are clearly a few top tier games that we want to be focusing in on when it comes to fantasy production. I think that there are a few that could be potentially falling a bit further behind. Brooklyn and Sacramento is shaping up to be a fantastic game. Portland LA also shaping up to be great. A group of teams between the four that don't play a whole lot of defense. They've certainly some great, viable fantasy options. OKC and Dallas with a 206 overrunder is just so, so low, combined with a 12 point spread in favor of the Mavericks just isn't super enticing compared to some of these, you know, one, maybe two possession games we have across the slate. So I know that I want to be limiting or eliminating the options from Dallas and Oklahoma City. Outside of a handful, of course, there's no porzingas for the Mavericks. So looking to Luca is always a great option, but don't want to be overexposing the lineups in that capacity. I think that Nick's certainly good spots a nice pace up environment for them, along with the Cavaliers, some weak defenses. It's a pretty good slate overall. Born to Laugh is asking Udoka Azabuki or Isaiah Jackson. Well, right now we have to technically, we would have to wait on the confirmed starting lineup because there's a chance that Eric Pascale is the starting center for Utah. Sure, Azabuki could still be in for some minutes, but we have to get some confirmation on the actual starting lineup. At this point, I would lean towards going to Isaiah Jackson for the Pacers, who's in line to be the starting center. Again, he's $6,000. Solid matchup for him going up against Orlando, bottom 10 in the league versus centers this year for the most famous points allowed per game to them. So right now, I would lean towards Isaiah Jackson. It's kind of a tough, also generally a tough question to answer because they're at such different salaries, where a Jackson is up at $6,000. Azabuki is down at $3,500. So that would change your line of construction overall in terms of where you're prioritizing the players and in terms of the salaries, the leftover salary where you would spend it. So until we get an update on the jazz starting lineup, whether it's going to be Pascale in there, I think that may change things for you. If you're looking for other options at those price tiers, let's see. I think Mobley is in a great spot tonight. He's a little more expensive at $6,900 compared to the $6,000 for Jackson. It's also potentially whether you're rostering that center or power forward. I'm big on Evan Mobley tonight. I took the over on the 29 and a half points rebounds assist combined for him tonight. It's a pace-up spot for Cleveland in a big way. They're 28th in the league. And Pace Houston is sitting up at third. That's great. We have a, what is it? Three and a half, four points spread in favor. Yeah, four and a half points spread in favor of Cleveland. Solid 2-18 over under and Houston dead last in the league against centers. This is a great spot for Cleveland. Obviously we'll be looking at Cleveland for some other value options, not just their high-priced big men. We know that Darius Garland is out, so this presents the opportunity for three value plays in their lineup. Yeda Osman, Isaac Acoro and Dean Wade. Osman is coming off a big game. They're most recent one without Garland. 38 minutes from him. Under one fated point per minute, but more importantly, he reads salary-based value, which is always something you want to be focusing in on. Brandon Goodwin, I'm high on him for the Cleveland Cavaliers. He also played, what was it, 28 minutes? 27 minutes in their most recent game? 27 minutes in their most recent game. He's the minimum salary, which is absolutely awesome. So starting off a build with going to some of the value potentially with Goodwin and going to Yeda Osman, leaves you with a lot of open salary. If we do see Pascale in there and we get Yochit ruled out, I think that's obviously an easier path for Pascale, scoring some fancy points. The three solid value plays to start things off. I'm big on Bob Donovich tonight. I just think that the extra shot opportunities will be there for him. I mean, we're working with 8,500 per player remaining, and you can go any which way. If you want to get up to Yochit, you want to get up to Anthony Davis, getting them both in your lineup at this point is very, very easy. I mean, 72 under left for three spots left. You can spend up for another star, find some salary relief in the $4,000 range, and you're pretty well-balanced lineup of players that should be seeing an increased amount of minutes, increased usage, whatever it might be, good game environments, all these sorts of things. So if Yochit does play, I think that's good. M.B. should actually be here, not Yochit. So if Yochit does play, I think he's actually in a good spot. No, we're to go bare for the jazz. I see this as a bounce back spot for Denver. What are they, four and a half point, three and a half point dogs on the road. If Yochit plays, I think this opened up a two. If Yochit plays, I'll have more interest in going to Denver at plus three and a half. I do like the Nets tonight. I took the Nets at minus four a little bit earlier. I think there's just a clear bounce back spot for them against the Kings. They've lost what now? Six in a row, seven in a row. Yeah, they lost last night to Phoenix. I think it's seven in a row now. Just a bounce back spot against the weak Kings team. This should be a spot that they should get back in shape, just beat the Kings. I like the Nets minus four. That's where I got them. Like I said, I took the over on Mobley 29 and a half. I also took the over on Alec Berks at, I think it's 14 and a half or points rebounds that's just combined. This is a really good spot for the Knicks. Do we have, no, Berks is not listed or he was taken off. So I like Berks tonight. I think it's at 14 and a half or 15 and a half. Pays up spot for the Knicks. They're dead last in league in offense. Pays Memphis is playing all the way up here at six. Good game environment overall. Close spread, two 17 and a half over under. I think it's modest overall. So I like Berks. I like some of those secondary players on the Knicks alongside Barry and going to Julius Randall.   I like him in the betting market tonight as well. The Charlotte and Boston game is, I think one of the main games I want to be targeting. We've got a close spread. We have a high over under. We have extremely viable, fancy options on both sides. I think we can be looking here for many, many choices. Like I said on today's Daily ISO, the podcast, I am big on Rob Williams tonight. Love the production from him on a nightly basis. More importantly, I love the matchup. And I also don't think he's going to be too popular. We looked to Boston and obviously two main usage leaders for them, nothing surprising with Tatum and Brown. But 1.14, fan two points per minute is what we see Rob Williams, the time lord producing on a very modest 12.1% offensive usage rate combined now with a very favorable matchup against centers. I think he's in a great spot tonight. I think he's in a great spot to exceed value. I don't think he's going to be popular in tournaments. That's the spot I want to be going to him. Most people will likely be paying up for Joel and beat, especially if we see Yolkich ruled out. And I think that this mid tier is where we could see some players go overlooked. And Rob Williams is one of those players I want to be focusing in on at the mid tier. So the injury news on tonight's slate is always important. The Yolkich news we're not going to have, I assume at the 7pm lock. So look to have some spots open or have your roster swaps available just so you can pivot in and out of whatever it might be. That's always important. Going to Yolkich potentially swapping in for Davis and then having another option in one of the later games that's a higher salary to allow you to shift those things around I think will make things a little bit easier. DJ is asking, how do you feel about Kessler Edwards over Moe Harkless? How do you feel about playing Treman over Jalen Green? So I like Kessler Edwards overall, whether it's on this slate or just going forward as long as the salary stays roughly the same. I would be on him over Moe Harkless in this matchup. The minutes are there big time for Kessler Edwards. He's small forward, only 3,900 consistent production from him. He's only 3,900, he only has to do so much but it's more about the volume of minutes that he's playing on an unenightly basis going for over 30 in most cases. He can get the scoring going at times as he showed a little bit last night. We'd like to see the consistency when it comes to the rebounding, which boosts his floor points overall. So I'm on board with him over Moe Harkless slightly. Minimum salary for Harkless, which is a little bit better than the 3,900 but the role for Harkless and the lack of production I think is a little bit more apparent when he's not the primary score even with the Aaron Fox out. We're gonna see Halliburton, we're gonna see Heald, we'll see Rashawn Holmes taking up some of that usage for him. So I would lean towards Kessler Edwards and then Trey Mann over Jalen Green. That's a good question. Obviously the change in usage for the Thunder with SGA out presents a different story. So if we adjust for SGA being off the court. You know, the issue I have with this comes down to Trey Mann. Not the greatest production in the world but solid usage rate overall. The issue I have with this is that this game is a 206 overrunner, right? That's where I'm not loving it. Meanwhile, Jalen Green is producing roughly around the same but he's in a significantly better game environment. So the increase in usage for Mann is certainly better but if push comes to shove like I think I'll be going to Jalen Green I just wanna be buying in and buying in on that game environment overall rather than a 206 overrunner and Dallas has been super solid on defense as of late especially since Christmas. So I would go with Kessler Edwards and I would go with Jalen Green for those two questions. If you're looking to get some of those players in your lineup, my Kessler Edwards obviously very affordable go to Green at 45. I mean, this is super easy. Like I said, I'm big on Brandy Goodwin. If you also wanted to roll with Yedda Gossman. I mean, $8,700 per player remaining is absolutely fantastic.  You can do so.  You can also do so and you're still left with 7,400 per player. You get some solid value in there. Players in great game environments with Cleveland playing up in pace. I've seen massive extra usage in minutes for Ospin and Embiid and Harden do their things. Then you drop in a few more players and again, lineup is looking solid. So as I said last week, what a lot of NBA comes down to what it comes down to for me is narrowing my player pool of values and then prioritizing the studs on the slate. So on tonight's slate, I think Embiid, Davis and Harden are my top three. Not necessarily in that order. I would maybe prefer, especially Anthony Davis on a point per dollar basis at 9,600, slightly ahead of Harden. And it's like Harden and Embiid are like 2A and 2B. I just like the salary on Davis a little bit more. So prioritizing the studs, prioritizing the value. We don't wanna be expanding the player pool too much. You can play everybody. So focusing in on the key value plays. I'm big on Ospin as well. Chamezzi Matu could be in there for a set of minutes against Brooklyn just because the Sacramento lineup is still a little bit thin. No Marvin Bagley for them as well. I'm not too big on some of these O.K.C. Dallas players although they do offer good value. I don't mind taking a few shares of them. Like I said, Trey Mann is fine. I don't wanna be overexposed myself to some of those value plays in a game with a 206 over and under. Cody Mann is a player that showed up a little bit in some of the initial roster, the Optimizer builds that I did a little bit earlier. His production per minute is a little bit lacking when it comes to Charlotte. Although this is a great game environment against the Boston Celtics, he's a step behind some of the players which is pretty clear. 0.65, Fane do points for me. He's a clear step behind even the fourth best option when it comes to Charlotte. So I like this game environment. I think I wanna limit my cat, my exposure on Cody Martin because I think he showed up a little bit too much in the Optimizer when I did it earlier. So a player like that is good but not great in my opinion. Like those are the players I have like very middling opinions on because they could certainly go out there and play 30 minutes in post, 19 Fane do points. Like that's not out of the question for a player that's ultimately fifth when it comes to usage and production on the Hornets because we know that there are several players ahead of them. I'm buying into this game environment pretty heavily. I like Charlotte and Boston to have plenty of points. This game between the Wizards and the 76ers I think ultimately falls into the mid tier for me. MB has obviously been unbelievably strong in the past month really. He just got named what's a Eastern Conference player of the month for January. He's been absolutely unbelievable. The 10 and a half points spread and modest overunder combined with the fact that we have the Wizards on sec day but back to back like I wouldn't be surprised to see the 76ers to just run them out of the gym. And if they're up by 15 at a certain point Embiid's not going to be playing a whole lot. So I think that's why Embiid combined with the salaries also just a half a step behind Anthony Davis at $9,600. So if push comes to shove I'm going to roster Davis a little bit more than Embiid. I still want plenty of shares of Embiid because as we've seen from some of these games 27 minutes and 77 feint two points, 36 minutes, 62, 31 and 63 like well over two feint two points per minute I think is what we could be in for tonight. Especially if we do see the 76ers kind of take care of business beat the Wizards as the spread would indicate 10 plus points. So I'm well aware that Embiid can only play like 28, 29, 30 minutes but he could certainly go for like 1.9 or two feint two points per minute again. So I'm taking plenty of shares of Embiid but he is just slightly behind Anthony Davis in terms of my prioritization. Do you like stacking Tyrus Maxi and Seth Curry over Keras Lever and Chris Duarte or should I look at Jalen Suggs and Franz Wagner? So I don't like stacking an NBA. I'm I don't like call it stacking. It's just about like getting more exposure to a certain game. Chris Duarte and Keras Lever I think that's interesting overall when it comes to you know, this game environment because obviously a very, very soft matchup going up against the magic again, not worried about the matchup for Curry and Maxi. It ultimately comes down to like, will they be able to reach fancy value given the game environments? So, you know, if their salaries were 100% equal and they're pretty darn close to it, I'm going to choose Duarte and Lever just because this overrunters higher. It's a significantly closer spread Indiana. If you've been following the NBA, it's like Indiana is getting like a one possession game almost every night. It's like down to the wire. So I would choose Duarte and Lever out of that group. If you wanted to, you know, get some shares or some shares of Jalen Suggs as well, because we do have a strong overrunner and a close spread, like those that group of three players in one lineup, totally fine with that. That's the kind of way, you know, I look at like, quote unquote, stacking NBA, it's not like I'm going out of my way to stack a team. It's like, OK, I'm stacking them because of the game environment, because we're looking with like so many strong factors for X, Y and Z, the pace, the spread, the overrunner, the extra usage, whatever it might be. So that's how I kind of look at it. And I would say that Duarte and Lever kind of fit that mold. So if you're looking to go that route for Orlando and you want. Duarte is small forward, we want Lever as well. You mentioned Jalen Suggs. Sixty nine hundred per player remaining is obviously very easy to work with. Yet Ayosman, again, always looking to get some shares of him. Just thirty five plus minutes is what he really should be seeing tonight. I said I'm big on Bob Donovich for Utah. He was one of the one of the value plays I wrote up to on numberfire.com. All players in the midrange, none of them are like super, super devalued plays, but seventy nine hundred per player remaining is really, really easy to work with, even if you are prioritizing. You know, getting to what James Harden and you want to get in some Anthony Davis, like there are options out there that you can make this lineup work. There really are. And you're working with, again, all players that have solid minutes, solid usage, great game environments, you know, high or, you know, increase in pace, a pace up spot for Osman and the Cavaliers. All good stuff overall. So I would certainly look to that game. That's one of the games I'm looking to to prioritize.  And then these two games, Brooklyn, Sacramento and Portland LA. These are games I want a lot of exposure to. Ultimately, four teams that don't play a whole lot of defense and, you know, teams that play fast, plenty of potential production on both sides for everyone involved. We can be looking to the high end stars with Harden and Irving. We can look into the value with Kessler Edwards, even going to Nick Claxton. If he's good to go, you know, I'm still going to be liking plenty of Tyrese Halliburne as I have for in the past couple of days or past couple of games with Deere and Fox out. Prioritizing Anthony Davison, as I said, one of my top stars on tonight's slate. Westbrook, I think, is fine. You know, as I mentioned before, or I mentioned, I should say, on today's podcast, The Daily ISO, I have almost no interest in Avery Bradley or Stanley Johnson. For me, it's about Davis, Malik Monk, Russell Westbrook and Carmelo Anthony, like those are the players I'm going to probably in that order, I would certainly take Monk over Westbrook. At the point of our position, like I think Westbrook has certainly is a fine salary, but I think I can make a better case for the Malibol. We're going to Tyrese Halliburne, you know, a little bit more expensive, slightly less expensive when it comes to Halliburne. I think I can make a better case for those two players. I would have a little bit more exposure to. Obviously, we're dealing with a ton of injuries here in the mid tier. If Deere and Fox plays, he's been out, what, five games around six games? Five games in a row now? Like if Fox is good to go, the question would be how many minutes does like does he have a minutes restriction tonight? Because ultimately, it's a good game environment against the Brooklyn Nets. No important updates. It's a good game environment against the Brooklyn Nets. It's got a high overrun under the Nets don't play a whole lot of defense. They play fast, etc., etc. Like if Fox plays, I have some interest in him. It just comes down to how many minutes will he be able to play? So this is a game you absolutely want to be prioritizing. This game kind of in question right now because we're dealing with the Yokoch news.  Should I stay away from Trent Forrest and play Isaac Okoro? I think Trent Forrest is ultimately in a good spot. He's going to see plenty of minutes. Let's see what we have him projected for. If it's updated, let's see. Trent Forrest is projected for 17 right now. Still got the game time decision tag. So that might increase once he is listed as good to go. Isaac Okoro should be pretty chalky tonight. I think that's certainly a fine play. I know I have some good shares of Okoro in the first builds I did throughout my optimizer. So I would lean towards Okoro right now just due to the safety that Trent Forrest isn't technically he's not 100% confirmed to play. And especially because we have the Houston game starting before the Utah game. So, you know, if we do get some update prior to 8 p.m. when the Houston game starts and you want to shift to Trent Forrest, I think that is certainly fine. So again, on tonight's slide, I took the Nets minus four. Got him a little bit earlier at minus four. I think that's a good spot. Just realistically, just a very clear bounce back spot for them going up against the Kings. They've lost like six or seven in a row now, even if they hadn't lost six or seven in a row, like this is a game that they should still win. But even if they come in, you know, winning five games in a row, then they lose last night to Phoenix. This is still a bounce back spot for them against a very beatable Kings team. So I like that. I got Alec Berks at over 14 and a half points rebounds assist combined. I like the over on that. I also like the over on Evan Mobley, as I said, over 29 and a half points rebound assist combined for him. This is just such a good matchup for Cleveland. Houston dead last in the league against Senators. It's a pace up spot again. They're 28th in the league. Houston is sitting up at three. We have a good game environment overall with a four and a half point spread. Good over under, etc., etc. I'm big on Mobley tonight. I'm also going to be big on Jared Allen. Dre is asking, do I like Yolkich? I like Yolkich if he plays. He's obviously listed as questionable right now, right here listed as questionable. Like, I think this is a legitimately great spot for Yolkich against Utah because they have no Rudy Gobert. We obviously know the potential upside for Yolkich. So it's I do like Yolkich. Yes, you know, whether or not he plays is yet to be seen. So I know I have some like I'm planning on having some build set where I can swap Yolkich out for Anthony Davis, like that will be my swap. And then I'll try and shift some salary around, whether it be adding in hardening and dropping off someone else. Like that's the kind of swap I want to have set because I do want to have exposure to Yolkich, especially because he's A, he's in a late game and B, he's listed as questionable. Like if everyone's going to say, oh, I'm not going to play Yolkich, he's listed as questionable, it's happening after lock. I'm just going to roll with Embiid because that's the safer option. But that's a realistic scenario that a lot of people will prioritize and beat over Yolkich. And if that's the case, if Yolkich does play and Yolkich goes, you know, he's flying under the radar because of this and he's not popular in tournaments, Yolkich could go for 70. So I do really, really like Yolkich tonight. All things considered, but I'm prepared to make the swap if he does not play. So that's how you have to look at it. It's not whether or not I want to play Yolkich, it's whether or not he's actually going to be available for the Nuggets. And if he does play at that rate, I want to get the Nuggets at whatever line they're going to be sitting at, because if the Nuggets are fully healthy, like they can beat the Jazz with no Mitchell and no GoBear and no Joe Engels and their depth is going to be tested. And, you know, X, Y and Z and Hassan Whiteside has been ruled out. So it's shaping up to be a great Yolkich spot if he plays. So I am on board with the Nuggets tonight. I would ultimately, if Yolkich plays, like I would almost probably just take them on the Money Line, take them at the plus money, forget the points, just take them straight up. Like this is a matchup they should win.  So I will take the Nuggets on the Money Line if Yolkich plays. So again, that's a player, a big injury note on tonight's like, will Yolkich play? Darren Fox, I have a little bit less faith in that he will be playing just because he's missed so many games in a row. Harden has been removed from the end report, which is good to see. He should be out there for a full set of minutes, expecting the next again to bounce back. Jalen Brunson over Evan Fournier and how much value does Aaron Holiday have in the starting lineup? Jalen Brunson over Evan Fournier. That's a good question. So that's a good question. So I don't like the game environment for Dallas and OKC. Big spread, low over under. And then there's a case to be made against Evan Fournier simply just because he's not a high usage player in the Knicks. You know, under 20% usage or right at 20% usage. Producing 0.71 feint to points per minute is obviously not great. Brunson, better production, higher usage rate, easy match against OKC, but the game environment isn't good. Fournier versus Brunson. That's a tough, I think I would lean towards Brunson for the consistency. You know, if you're rolling with a cash game lineup, like I would take Brunson with the consistency, but if you are willing to obviously embrace the risk with Fournier and hope that he gets hot from three as he seemingly does, you know, in random games against minus against random games, he can do that against Memphis tight in a big pace up spot. I would go that route. I would go Brunson cash games and Fournier in tournaments. That's how I would approach it. If you have to choose one, I would 100% go with Brunson. If you're only choosing one. And then when it comes to Aaron Holiday, when it comes to Aaron Holiday in the starting lineup, I think overall it's fine. Why am I not finding him? He played what, 26 minutes the other night? If I remember correctly, 19 minutes. Who had played 26? It was Goodwin. I would pass on Holiday. I would take Goodwin. That's who I was debating today earlier. When I think, yeah, I wrote up Brandon Goodwin today at the $3,500 tier for Point Guard. I would take Brandon Goodwin at $3,500 over Holiday. That's what I was debating earlier. And I think I'm just going to lean with Goodwin 10 times out of 10, just based on game environments and his, at least consistency overall. So, yeah, that Brunson, that Brunson for me, a question is certainly good, but I would lean towards Brunson if you have to choose one. But if you're playing both cash games and GBPs, Brunson and cash for me in GBPs, you just hope that the three-point shot could be there for for me. As again, he gets it going in random games. And if he hits four or five threes, adds in a few rebounds or assist, like he will be exceeding value at that point in what is ultimately a better game environment compared to Dallas, which is a 12-and-a-half point spread with a 206 over-under, certainly not shaping up to be the best fancy environment on the slate. So, Yokoch news, super, super important on tonight's slate. We know that LeBron is listed as doubtful. We know that Davis is listed as probable. All these are pretty straightforward. If you are going to be playing Yokoch, remember, have your swaps set. Like be able to pull Yokoch out, drop in Davis and then use that almost $2,000 of salary differential to upgrade another spot. That is what you want to be prepared for. If Yokoch gets ruled in, will you be playing him? How much exposure you're going to have to him? If he gets ruled out, look to swap to Davis, make those necessary lineup changes. I'm here. Start over just kidding. Upside play Conley or Dinwoodie? That's a tough question.  Dinwoodie has really been struggling this year, specifically from the field. Like he just has these random inconsistency games, like not high volume of shots, one of 12, two of 10, three of three of 10, two of nine, like none of this is encouraging. I would just shoot for the upside with Conley with no Donovan Mitchell with no Ingalls. Jordan Clarkson's list as questionable. No go bare, no white side. Like at least he's getting up a few more shots. I would go with Conley 10 times out of 10 in that matchup. Like it may seem like a bit of a toss up, but better game environment, closer spread, especially if Yokic gets ruled in, go Conley 10 times out of 10 in that matchup. So just to recap, Yokic, big news on this on this slate. I took the Nets minus four. I took the over on Evan Mobley, 29 and a half points rebounds assist combined. I took the over on Alec Burke's points rebounds assist combined. He's been hitting this number like pretty regularly. He's hit it four in his last six games. Again, I like this matchup against Memphis. I like the pace up spot. So I'll certainly be looking to Burke's tonight, Mobley, Nets minus four. And if Yokic plays, I'll be looking to take Denver. That's yet to be seen. All right. So that does it for the Q&A. As always, every Wednesday, 4 p.m. It can be found here on the Faneville Twitch, YouTube, Twitter and Facebook pages. You can follow me at TFS, I'm Score Tom on Twitter. Until next time, good luck in your contests.


So I saw people tweeting about this game like I people kept reading pictures of it I had heard about it I had seen the box and then I had seen a news that said it came out on iOS and Android I think Android Like just the other day. I'm think it's five bucks to get the digital version And then I sit down and packs out This is like the first game that hits the table and we played it two times.   What I found is that most people who have played this game because I talked to a bunch of people at PAX who have played the game because Just because they played it before Nobody had the timing questions that we had nobody gave a shit like all the questions because it's such a simple game It's like a family game right that you would you wouldn't even think to ask these kinds of questions such a basic game But we asked those questions and then when we grabbed the rule book They didn't answer it in the rule book nor did they answer it on board game geek So no one on board game geek even asked the questions we were asking so some of the questions we asked I did discover we're answered in the rule book but in obtuse ways, but they were consistent But some of them I don't think we're answered in a consistent way that would satisfy me and you might say but it's a simple game It must not matter it actually would matter a lot it matter a lot because The bejeweled part that like make a combo is 100% of the game like if you are smart and capable of seeing the best possible combo on the turn That's it. That's it That's the only the only skill-based thing in the game is looking at that pile of marbles in the machine and Figuring out the most optimal way to get the most marbles to come out of it in one turn like already like When you put the marbles back on the thing in the middle of your turn Matters a lot and the rules are vague and they say like you can't like you have to do it randomly And you can't direct them, but I could legit like do better at the game by pay holding my marbles in a certain way And dropping them so that the black ones fall into the channel. I just opened Continue my combo. They really need to change the mechanism such that I think it needs a tower on top of the mechanism All it needs is on top of the mechanism instead of dumping the marbles into this flat surface or the bunch of holes at the end It should be in mark you ever use marble madness like a marble race Oh, yeah There was the one piece that was basically a funnel and the marbles would enter into and spin and needs that and then it Would go into the hole in the middle just put one of those on top to feed in that way you put the marbles They spin and spin and spin and they go down one at a time Completely out of any human control into the potion thing. Yep, but the game really just comes down to Like the rest of the rules are ultra ultra simplistic and it feels like the designers And I don't know there's three designers Castelli Crespi and Silva and they've they haven't done games. I particularly know about But I feel like they came up with this cool conceit and then design came with the simplest game that they could attach to it It is literally just you pull Mar you pull a marble off and Then are two marbles. I forget you pull one marble off And then any combos that get made with colors you also pull those off until you don't get any more combos So if there's blue red blue you would take the red marble which you now have now the two blue marbles Hit each other and two marbles of the same color handing each other makes them explode So you would take those two blue marbles and any other adjacent blue marbles vertically only and you take those and then if That results in two marbles of the same color smacking into each other in that empty space You just created you would take those and so on and the most you could take would be an entire vertical column If they just happen to luckily be arranged in such a great way that never happened But you can get a lot of marbles with good arrangements Then you take those marbles and in front of you you got two potions and the potions need Certain colors and certain numbers of marbles to complete so this one needs three red four black and a blue So you put the marbles on the potions to try to complete them And if you complete them you get them and then you take new ones each of the potions is a type that has an Effect they're like cards you can use once yeah, and basically you drink them to do stuff The action on your turn where you pull a marble is the only time you get combos So all the other options will let you take more marbles But movement of marbles will not generate further combos from right So for example is a potion that you can drink to take one marble But nothing explodes when you do that or take two marbles next to each other that are different colors Yeah, stuff like that reuse a potion take as many marbles as you want from the bottom horizontal row But no two of them can be the same color So basically that means get a red a blue a yellow and a black because there's only four marble colors Yeah, you're not gonna use that and see you're getting four out of it blow up all the marbles of one color in one row Mm-hmm, and then you also have a tiny pool of three you can basically keep three extra marbles around Yeah, in case you get like a ton of red and your potions don't need a bunch of red right now you could put three Marbles and store them in the side area like a sidebar and that way when you get a new potion Then you can move those into there, and you won't get you know You're not wasting the marbles so the potions are all worth varying victory points. Basically. They do this They do they all do things they're all equally powered but the more the potions that take more marbles are generally worth a lot more victory points and The game and is actually really weird and fiddly So basically the game ends there's these chivos achievements and the achievements are like get three potions of the same type or get One like five different kinds of potions Mm-hmm each time if you accomplish that you take one of these achievements is worth like four points Once all of the achievements are taken the game ends after everyone gets equal number of turns Mm-hmm, but that that doesn't feel super satisfying. Mm-hmm, and Really the way the game goes is you gotta make two fucking potions every round Are you lose right so that's the number one problem with this game is that you start catch up Yeah, you have two potions in front of you right and it's very snowball-y as soon as you finish potions You now have these powers that make it easier to finish more potions And then you when you finish those you get powers to help you finish more potions But you can never ever no matter what there's no way to finish more than two potions a turn every turn You start with two potions in front of you and the best you can do is to finish both of them You can also only finish one or fail and finish zero of them So the best you can do is two potions a turn no matter what if you don't do two potions a turn and someone else does How do you catch up to them if they because now not only would you have to basically hope that they fail and you succeed in order to Catch up, but they have more completed potions already available to them with powers That will make it easier for them to continue getting to a turn every turn So as soon as you fail to get two potions on a turn and someone else hasn't failed yet You may as well just quit because you can't beat them now and one of the potions is an attack And this is the one of the ambiguous ones where basically it lets you can steal someone else's pool You can steal their side marbles explain what the fuck it means by that it just says steal and we came up with like Four different ways that could go down Effectively different and says you can use a potion at any time on your turn even as soon as you finish it So I finish a potion right and then it's a stealing potion I use it and I steal marbles in someone's pool, but my pool is full am I allowed to do this? Do I have to put the stolen ones into my pool? Can I put them directly onto my other potion that isn't finished yet? Yep I've already done the part of my turn where I'm finishing a potion, right? Am I allowed to finish a potion then put more marbles in the other potion and then finish that one or do I have to put? You know is my turn to strictly take marbles put marbles finish potions Is it that sequence or not? I think and it's not entirely clear the game the potion stuff probably needs to be a little more Complex, but more importantly the game would be an interesting game of skill if It weren't a game where anyone who's smart can literally look at the board and Trivially calculate the best possible combo they could make here's how I think the game should I would have a timer You get 10 seconds to take your turn, right? Here's the first thing that I would do and if you out if you're holding marbles at the end of your turn when the Timer runs out they explode and you lose them here's Without the two experiments that I would do first if I wanted to make this game better Experiment number one is what you just said, right? You want to take exactly the right number of marbles like punished people for having unused marbles?  There would be some potions just out there and on your turn to make them on your turn You try to you take as many marbles as you can right via comboing and then try to get Finish as many potions as you can over the available potions Here's how to make that better you if you have extra marbles you must put them into the pool potions But if you don't finish one of those potions they make it easier for the next guy at first Yeah, so now suddenly the biggest combo might not be the best right but the point is just a whole bunch of Available potions and on your turn you take as many marbles as you can and try to finish as many potions as you can Oh draft the potions like splendor you could do that to tears of increasing power Drafting the potions is good Also, there's then you have pads like if you're falling behind go for a bigger potion because you make the bigger potions have bigger powers too Right, you could basically make this a lot like splendor or machikara where instead of just take coins as your turn It's you know there's a little game for taking the coins and if you play that game well you can get more coins Yeah, right so that's the first thing I would do to make this game I think the timer is the most easy thing to do just like your turn is X seconds and like 30 is the most I give and just do what you can make your shit And you'd better not be holding any marbles when the timer hits zero Like because then it's not a stare at the board for a minute to figure out the perfect combo.  What do I do? Uh, I need black up running out of time.   So good. Yeah a kid who plays this is gonna be way better at like but you'll type elementary Even middle school.  I see this pattern a lot. It is a But for adults like if you're like uh, you know If you're not super hard into games if you just sort of you know regular into games And you have like kids and you gotta play with them Yep, you know, then you would be great for you also compared to candy land for you But it's just it's this almost design pattern of Really solid core conceit everything else is lazy ship it. Yep And this just this fits that perfectly, but I've enjoyed it. I never need to play it again The expansion adds nothing the expansion I can see potion explosion the fifth ingredient Is just a fifth ingredient and apparently it's just a wild card You can just go buy a sack of marbles of a fifth color like buy some white marbles and there you go There's probably new potions and I assume there's got to be some potions that require the wild card. Sure, but uh, yeah Whatever it's okay game That's all I got to say you could buy worse. Yep This has been geek nights with rim and scott special thanks to dj pretzel for the opening music cat lee for web design And brand okay for the logos be sure to visit our website at front row crew dot com for show notes discussion news and more Remember geek nights is not one but four different shows sci-tech mondays gaming tuesdays anime comic wednesdays and indiscriminate thursdays Geek nights is distributed under a creative commons attribution 3.0 license Geek nights is recorded live with no studio and no audience, but unlike those other late shows. It's actually recorded at night