Attention, Lotto residents. This is a community notification of a new sexually violent predator in your area. Please stay tuned to the following short program for more information. Hi, I'm Technician Ron Hackett with the Denver Police Department. The Sex Offender Registration and Compliance Unit at DPD is responsible for the registration, monitoring and tracking of all registered sex offenders and sexually violent predators who live in the city and county of Denver. Here's a brief history of sex offender legislation in Colorado. Our state laws trickle down from federal government mandates. In 1994, we had the Jacob Wetterling Act, which mandated that states would establish a sex offender list. Megan's law of 1996 said that the public would have access to those sex offender registration lists. The Pam Litchner Act of 1996 stated that some offenders might have to have lifetime registrations. And the Adam Walsh Act of 2006 unified sex offender laws across the country. In Colorado, the legislature has determined that sexually violent predators, by definition, pose a higher risk to the community at large and therefore mandated that upon their release from the Department of Corrections, the community must be notified. Sex offender notification in Colorado happens in two ways. The first is passive and ongoing through the sex offender registration process, which is a list maintained by local police departments. The second way is active via community notification for those offenders determined to be sexually violent predators by the courts or by the parole board. Most sex offenders in Colorado are supervised by the criminal justice system in our communities. Most sex offenders engage in crossover behavior, which means they may have been arrested for one type of crime but be apt to commit another.  There is no typical sex offender, but all tend to be deceptive, manipulative and secretive. 80 to 93% of sex offenses are committed by someone known to the victim. Sexual deviancy begins in mid to late adolescence. Sex offenses are not impulsive.  The community has a vested interest in helping offenders to be successfully managed in the community. Sex offenders have the same need for housing and employment as any other citizen.  There are approximately 16,500 registered sex offenders in the state of Colorado. About 65% of convicted sex offenders are placed in the community on probation. The remainder are in the Department of Corrections or Community Corrections. Offenders may be caught for one type of offense but be at a high risk to commit another type. Crime of conviction is only one indicator of risk.  The offender's residence must be verified quarterly by the Denver Police Department. The full sex offender registration list is available by calling the Denver Police Department Identification Bureau at<PHONE_NUMBER>. Convicted felons and those with multiple convictions are posted online at denvergov.org slash police.   Now, here's a look at the newest sexually violent predator living in Denver. Here's an overview of the registered sex offenders currently living in Denver. There are 2,225 total living within city limits. In Denver Police District 6, there are 388. Precinct 611 has 147 registered sex offenders. Of those, 86 have felony convictions and 61 have misdemeanor convictions. Alfonso Greer Jr. is a sexually violent predator currently living in Denver. He's 57 years old and was born on September 25, 1957.  He's currently a transient living near the 1100 block of Park Avenue West in the Lodo neighborhood of Denver. Schools located within 1 mile of this offender include Polaris at Ebert Elementary School at 410 Park Avenue West. Parks located within 1 mile of this offender include Commons Park at 2101 15th Street, City of Cuernavaca Park at 3500 Rockmont Drive. Recreation centers located within 1 mile of this offender include 20th Street Rec Center at 1011 20th Street. Bus routes located within 1 mile of this offender include Route 10 20th Avenue, Route HX 28th and Civic Center, Route 38, 38th Avenue, Route 40, Colorado Boulevard. A brief history of charges against this offender convicted in Denver District Court for Criminal Attempted Second Degree Sex Assault. He's not on parole or probation, registered with the Denver Police Department on June 15, 2015 as a transient in the area of the 1100 block of Park Avenue West in the Lodo neighborhood of Denver. Past charges against this offender include Criminal Attempted Second Degree Sex Assault, possession of cocaine, shoplifting, larceny, burglary, carrying a concealed weapon, assault, arson, obstructing police, vehicle theft, kidnapping. Alfonso Greer Jr. has been determined a sexually violent predator after meeting the following criteria. Criteria 1, age 18 or older on the date of the offense or under 18 and tried as an adult. The offender was age 44 at the time of the offense. Criteria 2, the crime must have been committed on or after July 1, 1997 and convicted on or after July 1, 1999.  The offender was convicted on February 19, 2002 for criminal attempted second degree sex assault. Criteria 3, the relationship to the victim was one of the following. Victim was a stranger to the offender or the offender established or promoted a relationship with the victim primarily for the purpose of sexual victimization. The victim was a 30-year-old female. The offender was known to the victim. Criteria 4, positive results are the passing of a risk assessment instrument administered by probation parole staff and a qualified treatment evaluator. Positive results include an assessment for the presence of a mental abnormality, a level of denial regarding the offense, treatment appropriateness and motivation, presence of sexual deviant interests. The offender was evaluated by the Colorado Parole Board with positive results, determining him to be a sexually violent predator.


The following is a presentation of TFNN Trade what you see With Larry Pezzavento Call now toll free at 1-877-927-6648 or internationally at<PHONE_NUMBER> Now Larry Pezzavento Okay, looking good Billy Ray feeling good Lewis. Well folks I posted the chart for the footsie and also for the Dax and as you can see it's a bee equal CD Let's talk about something that's important folks last night. I got a phone call from my friends down in Kentucky Newport centers and Jeanette Sims. They run trade thirsty. It's one of the larger websites for traders And they asked me if I would make a contribution to the people in Mayfield, Kentucky And I said, what did you have in mind and he said how about your profits for today? And I said, okay, send me five hundred dollars. I didn't say that but yes, I did and it turned out to be a relatively good day, but The main reason I'm going to try to chat with you here for a second is two-fold 1948 we had a terrible terrible tornado and I've set through three or four these When I was a youngster there in Indiana and my sister was four and I was eight We were my grandmother's house in Clinton, Indiana just north of Darrow about 12 miles where I was born and We were in the cellar where my grandfather made salami and cheese and they lost the house the roof was taken off Most of the stuff was destroyed. It wasn't much of a house anyway But it was destroyed the neighbors helped build it up over a period of few years The reason why I'm weaving this little story around because that was the most scared I've ever been in my life My sister called me To remind me about this situation when she was she still remembers it and I I do too, but anyway 20 years ago, I believe it was in Christ Church, New Zealand They had a terrible earthquake and we have several friends from that area as did Larry Williams and Larry Williams Myself and Bob Minor and a few other people got to get Mark Douglas got together We put a seminar together for the folks and donated all the money from the seminar to the Christchurch people They amounted to a little over seventy thousand dollars and so what I'm going to be doing now is I'm trying to figure out a way To raise some money for the people. I'm not put your hands down folks I don't want any handout or anything like that But I'm trying to figure out something that we could do to help them now One of the things that I was thinking about this morning is I made a few phone calls to a couple of people that are very very Rich and very very genuine generous and they already paid thousands of dollars To the organization to get it going but folks these people have nothing unless you've seen what a tornado can do I mean, it's nothing like what an earthquake the only thing that could be worth worse than a tornado And I don't know if there is anything worse in tornado would be a flood or a you know a fire that destroys everything But we'll try to figure it out, you know how we can help these folks When I was at Drexel Burnham during those years December, I'm not this is This is the absolute truth folks in December if you had made your quota in December, you know You weren't going to make it that was basically the bottom line and you were you were told when you went to work for Drexel You're going to give five percent of the money that you make to charity Just get you get ready for it because it's coming and so that was a that was just a status quo And that's what we did. I actually did a little more than that But I you know when you're making a lot of money, you know, you got to give some of it away folks You can't you can't take it with you got to help some people along the way and these people have nothing I watched a little bit of Fox News last night and I saw these little families that were just You know just literally I guess I get a little too choked up and stuff But anyway, we'll figure out some way to help them But if you do if you do want to give something, you know, let me know and I will forward it on to him Or you can go to tradethirsty.com and Hubert centers and Janet Sims I probably have a link on there where you could give something I'm donating my income from them for the year to these folks And so hopefully that doesn't amount to more than 50 bucks But anyway that you know if you can help them out a little bit because these people are really really in big trouble I remember when Katrina happened at 04 we had 1800 families come in from oh shut up just a minute my my alert my alerts going off here I've got to turn it on here. Ah, there we go. That's what I wanted to see hold on just a second That booked a little money. All right. Let's move on here to a little bit here It was in Katrina. We had 1800 families come from New Orleans and when they came here They basically had nothing at that time. I had a very active Trading room with you ensign with that Leslie and Shelley Simon Leslie Juflis and Sully Scheinman was running it and I I gave a little talk in there every morning for a bit and we raised I think we raised close to a hundred thousand dollars for the people from Katrina It was one family in particular with six kids had nothing. I mean they just didn't have anything and One of the one of the car dealerships here gave him a beautiful suburban van And then we had at one of my buddies here in town had several homes They gave him a year's free rent and he was a carpenter. He was able to get a job right away They got their lives together and kids are already, you know out in the area. Some of them have grandkids I guess already but You got to give a little bit back So I'm gonna give it even if it's a little as possible you got to do something for Christ's sake these people are man They're just absolutely devastated, but I'm a little too emotional about that stuff because I've I've been so lucky folks Gee whiz. I mean I just I got to be one of the luckiest people that ever walked here I'm not I'm not rich by any stretch of imagination But if you had it if you had all the other things that I have Well, never mind. Don't make any difference. Let's move on to the markets Speaking of what a one of the trades for today was this one right here? I was watching the wheat market and of course, you know, I do like the 382 retracement Look at this beautiful 382 retracement folks stopped right there at seven 79 we're now trading at the 1.618 level at 758 the risk on that trade was about four cents. It's made 23 cents So that's the kind of thing that I like to be looking at the other thing that I mentioned I I do these videos every day for the 24 7 folks. Oh, by the way, Jeff huge from alpha insights will be our guest today And he'll be he'll be coming on at the half hour But one I when I do these videos what I try to do is set up strategies that you can use for yourself because I can't send Things out immediately, you know when they're absent, you know when they're actually happening I mean it because by the time you get them, it's 10 15 rooms late Maybe even longer and you can't you can't do it's what I try to do is to set up a Situations if you see this happen do this so that that's what I try to do and sometimes it works You know, sometimes it doesn't but that's that's neither here nor there now I wanted to go and bring back one of March charts from yesterday And that was the Palladium that we were talking about I do have these charts now if you if you want those I I can put them into a file and send them out to you So you'll be able to take a look at it But Bart will be one of our regular guests from now and we'll have him on every two weeks because he does some really good stuff and And he's incredibly talented at what he does He's happens to be a pilot folks and anytime I've ever had a pilot as a student and I had all four of them I've had see I had John Bart Bucky and Jeff all four of them all that whole group of f-16 pilots Let's try that again Larry f-18 Navy pilots and I had them as students and they're all still trading Let's let's talk just a little bit about the Palladium. I'll be right back. Wow this holy cow will be right back You might think that if you want to be successful at trading in the stock market You're going to need a crystal ball after all it's impossible to predict the future, right? 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I posted the chart of palladium don't trade it I never have but people watch it. I have a customer that's heavily involved in it And you'll notice that the low today on that chart was I believe 1911 It's now rallied $50 off that level now You notice on the way down and hit those three eight two retracements all the way down Remember those folks because someday maybe not in my lifetime But someday there's going to be a correction in the stock market And you're going to be able to see these numbers working, you know good tandem now today We had the federal preserver out there doing their preservation stuff for us And you want to watch these numbers because if we get a very good number We should have some really strong resistance in the s and p 500 at around the 343 level In that ballpark now it's there's a possibility that we're making a little bit of a low here Let's see if see if I can remember to bring this up and there we are right here Here's where we are right now Just get this up Right now and then we'll be able to see we should be looking for a low down here right around noon And then we have a rally back up now that number on the far right up there You see 18 39 that has nothing to do with price folks. This is all time related Just forget that number. It just happens to be how they measure price But that has nothing to do with the number that's important Is 13 46 43 that's the number Let's keep that in mind All right, we will have jeff huge on it to break hopefully and that's something that we certainly all want to hear But anyway, we'll watch that very very closely as I always say that when I said holy cow folks That goes back to my days of watching uh And listening to the radio with the mel allen and the new york yankees and stuff. He would always say holy cow And I think dizzy deans had something a little more crazy than that Now I wanted to bring some of these commodities to your attention because these are right from the newsletter that we write each week And I I think some of them are you know, you'll be surprised at how well some of these things actually work now I just did these I updated them this morning These were remember these were done on sunday saturday and sunday and I send them out sunday night But you see the 61 retracement there and heating oil it's dropped from 228. It's dropped over eight cents That's around 3500. You can see that's a beautiful 135 pattern with a 382 and a 61 retracement And you don't have to worry about the fundamentals or anything. You just look at that stuff and say, yeah, maybe it works And maybe it doesn't and folks I keep this stuff as simple as possible And that's the only way I can work because I first of all I'm technically challenged as you all know And so I keep it just as simple as I as I absolutely possibly can and it works for me It works for others But it doesn't work for everybody the key here is it doesn't now Here's one that we we talked about several times here and that is copper now Copper is signaling that something's not right here folks Now you'll notice here. Hold on one second here We might have someone calling in might have got in here We have Robert from Kansas City, Missouri. I know Kansas City, Kansas on the line Robert. How are you? Great Larry. Thanks for taking my call Well, you were very lucky. I don't know how you got in there were 12 people ahead of you, but you snuck in So good luck to you today. What can I do for you Robert? Well, I was going to see if you could look at have you covered oil and natural gas today I have my apologies No, no, no, there's nothing to apologize. I will cover it right after I there's one of those things that I had to Cover. I think I have it right here. If I'm not mistaken. I did I did the Heating oil, but I haven't done I don't think I haven't put crude up yet And I did have natural gas I have a kind of a specific question about Sure, us so because I you trade the teachers and I don't I trade the more the ETFs, but on us so and which tracks crude oil Correct, do you have the chart up am I hitting you cold or No, the problem is is with this new system that I have I'm not able to put the chart What I have to do is I've got to go in I've got to change settings To make the chart of certain size and I come back and re-change it But I will do this when the break comes up I will have that chart posted before Jeff gets on the air. It only takes me about three minutes But during this time, I really don't have a chance to do it But I'll put the us so up with the things that we should be reaching some type of a bottom here In the crude oil, we're almost at the 382 level That comes in right around 69 dollars a barrel. I think we've been as low as 69 40 today And I'm watching that level 69 very very closely. That's down, you know, like six dollars from my 16 dollars from high So I think that that's something that you have to watch Well, and so I guess I'm looking at it a little differently and I wanted you to Kind of Give me your thoughts on this Well, I guess I'm looking at it as you know from november 26 down to December the third is that kind of the a to b leg and then from December 3rd up to December 9th was at the b to c and now we're on another leg downward. You should not see it that way I will tell you what I'll do you just send it to larry passavento at gmail.com And then right after the show I will forward that chart right out to you so you can take a look at it How's that that way? You'll be sure to get it and uh, it only takes me a couple minutes I'll be more than happy to do it for you. So Is that a sound okay? Yeah, yeah, that's that's okay. Thank you. All right, you bet Thanks for calling your heart and happy holidays to you too And in fact is I'll include all the charts from the futures part of the newsletter In that so you'll be able to see what we're watching on some of these things But I do believe the crude oil is getting close to a bounce now How much the reason why I'm bringing these commodities up and I only got a few more to go here Is because of the fact that we are looking at something that We'll put hogs up here next, you know folks what they're telling us about this inflation stuff Is about the same stuff that they told us about the negative interest rates. Okay I mean sure there's some supply chain problems and stuff like that But the thing is kids not getting christmas presents and everything go go on amazon or go order something And see how hard it is. I mean it's so simple. It's unbelievable. There's nothing back order that I can see I've looked at electronic stuff Apple stuff. I mean it's just everything. I mean it's it's there. You just have to buy it. I mean, maybe it's a little bit more expensive You know, but it's there. There's not supply shocks and stuff like that. So I I'm getting so Frustrated with the news that I just don't know what the heck to do So I'll just move on and look at another chart here that we want to pay attention to This is another one here. This is sugar. We'll put this in here for ruby because She's always looking at it. This was the one we put out You'll see there was a beautiful head and shoulders perfectly symmetrical the right shoulder To the left shoulder right on the money and you can see here We've broken down, you know, well over 800 on the first move here And we don't know where that next move is coming But it should come down to at least a thousand dollars off of that right shoulder that would take it down To right around just under 1900 and 1899 So that's one that we're watching remember when you're looking ahead and shoulders pattern folks The right shoulder must be equal or lower than the left shoulder if it's higher It's not a valid head and shoulders pattern You can't do that. That's more like the hunchback and order name You don't want that one You want the one with a right shoulder is lower than the left shoulder? And that's the one that gives you the key to looking at we did that one I believe, uh, I don't know if I sent I did the cocoa chart already. Hey, we'll be right back with Jeff huge. Hopefully Alpha insights will be right back folks Are you having fun trading the markets but having trouble finding like-minded individuals to discuss your trading and investment ideas with Become an apex predator in the trading markets and join the tiger's den trading room only at tfnn.com The tiger's den is an exclusive trading room where successful traders from around the world come to exchange trades and ideas Join the den and surround yourself with the sharpest minds in the trading world Subscribers to the tiger's den are also the first to have their questions answered live on air And can privately chat with our tfnn hosts live during their shows Interact with other tigers and tiger's as they share trading ideas news analysis and discuss the market action all trading day Subscribe to the tiger's den risk-free with our 30-day money back guarantee and become part of the tfnn trading community tfnn educating investors You could be making money off the stock market and if you're already making money off the stock market You could be making a lot more Check out tfnn and tiger tv and get expert investing advice to give you the power to control your financial future Go to tfnn.com and find the newsletter for you Whether you're into trading gold metals futures currencies or options You'll get advice and analysis to help you seriously get ahead tfnn also features trading services with a 30-day money back guarantee for new subscribers As well as tfnn's tiger den trading room trading software and educational webinars for all trading levels And make sure you check out tiger tv for free on tfnn.com or tfnn's youtube channel for live financial content From 8 30 a.m. To 4 p.m. Eastern on market days Stop watching on the sidelines while other people get rich and become the investor. You were born to be tfnn educating investors tfnn is excited about our new software charting program the art of timing the trade charts In collaboration with tom o'brien and using his best-selling book the art of timing the trade your ultimate trading mastery system David white has programmed an outstanding piece of software that will complement any trader's methodology Using this first of its kind program the art of timing the trade charts allows you to scan thousands of stocks for fibonacci Formation setups including guardleaf abc's butterflies and much more The art of timing the trade charts is designed to help you when scouring the markets for stocks Just beginning to form the trading patterns that many investors spend days weeks or even months Searching to find and right now we're offering licenses available at only 79 dollars a month We are so confident that you're going to love this new charting software that will even give you a 30 day Unconditional money back guarantee don't miss out on this incredible new piece of software Get your copy of the art of timing the trade charts today by visiting tfnn.com This segment is brought to you by think or swim for more information Just click the think or swim banner on the front page of tfnn.com Okay, we're back folks and I believe we have jeff huge from alpha insights on the line right now jeff. Are you there? I am here larry. How are you? I'm very good. I'd like to say something to you to the folks out there listening I've been doing this business since 1959 a little over 61 years And I can say with 100 confidence. This is a triple a Program that this young man has built up. I've not seen any I've seen a few as good But really none any better you cover the whole gamut It's not a rich get-rich-quisk Quick see scheme reading like that, but it's really good Solid information with the technicals and fundamentals So you should be very very proud of what you do jeff because you've done a fabulous job And I can tell you I've been doing this show for 14 years and the number of times I've said something like that about somebody you can count on One hand so you should be very proud of yourself. Thank you larry and I especially thank you for calling me a young man at age Oh, I got a I got a cat 56 fluffy fluffy come over here Hey, let's talk to us about these uh hard asset things that you're looking at my friend Well, you know, we published this chart looking at paper assets versus hard assets It's really a ratio of the s and p 500 to gold And we took it back to 1970 so right around the time where nixon Took us off the gold standard, which was actually in 72 But we got the whole history here and what we've identified is four clear regimes where Either paper assets or hard assets were leading and so we saw basically hard assets leading paper assets from about 1972 into 1981 and then we saw paper assets just take off and obliterate hard assets for the next Many years and effectively from about uh all the time of the uh internet bubble peak to around the 2011 high end gold Hard assets outperform paper assets, but since that time paper assets have been outperforming it So what we're looking at right now is paper assets breaking out both from, you know, trend resistance and chart resistance And we're most we think it's most important when we get a quarterly close above these levels And it looks like we're on track to close uh with a breakout above these key resistance Stuff points which should suggest uh paper assets will continue to lead hard assets going forward Wow Well, how about the interest rates? We've got the Fed acting today. What do you think they'll do? Uh, it's hard to say. I know that the uh, uh, cacophony of economic opinions out there really favors The idea that they will accelerate this process of tapering their asset purchases As we all know they were buying about 120 billion dollars per month In a combination of treasury and mortgage securities They as of last month cut that back by 15 billion to just 105 billion per month and it's expected at the Um, uh, announcement this afternoon at two o'clock new york time that they'll double that the 30 billion reduction So we'll go from 105 to about Uh, what uh, 75 billion a month for a couple more months So that should end this entire liquidity injection by april If that in fact pays off what we're looking at is What are the implications for treasury rates at this point? This is a daily chart going back to Oh about a year ago or so of the 10-year treasury yield And it looks to us like we're setting up for a push higher. This is a classic Inverted head and shoulders base formation if it holds the prior lows around 131 And if we were to take out the 175 level with authority That would project initially to 235, but that's really just Um, the right shoulder of a much bigger inverted head and shoulders base pattern that we're not necessarily picturing on the chart here But the next big setup could take us up to around Four to four and a half percent longer term And so, you know, my conclusion here is that regardless of what the fed does It looks like the market's setting up the rates to go higher And I think an initial push to around 235 over say the next Three to six months time horizon seems like it's in the cards at this point Jeff we have a question for one of our listeners and that is what if the fed? reverses and started instead of pumping in liquidity starts taking liquidity out in a great way what will happen Well, that's that's what we're talking about here So this this reduction of asset purchases is effectively taking liquidity out of the market Um, you know by by lessening what they're injecting in now what your college probably asking is what if they Continue to pull out after they get back to a neutral point. I don't think that's a high probability But it would suggest that inflation is running rampant and with yesterday's ppi number Um, there's no question that that is a risk at this point And that's what I think the interest rate markets are telling you Rates and inflation have a long history of positive correlation And unless the fed is broken that correlation then we should see rates moving higher Okay, now you've got a really neat chart here on market analysis. So you still think the market's headed higher jeff Well, if I just look at the index the s and p500 index, this is a textbook bull market as you can see I mean it's it's uh By design we're basically looking at a series of higher highs and higher lows Which by definition is an uptrend in a very very neat Trend channel, which is one of the key characteristics of a bull market Markets tend to trend in in kind of this defined trend channel And you know from my perspective when we see you know, this is a two-year daily closed charts We're really looking at the the number that matters how the market ends up at the end of each day as opposed to how it got there We've got some pretty well defined support levels at 45 37 and 42 78 those coincide uh loosely with the 50 day moving average and the 200 day moving average and unless we were to break Substantially below the 200 day moving average I would have to say that the bull market remains intact and at this point You know the noise that we've seen the last couple of days that everybody's you know all concerned about I think is largely just you know positioning ahead of the fed's decision I think the market's set up for a move to 4800 on the s and p And in fact as we break out to that level We'll be Setting ourselves up for an even higher target price of roughly 5000 on the s and p So it would not surprise me to see us hit that 4800 before year end And I think 5000's in the cards for the first quarter Okay, I could see 4800 by years ahead but 5000 that's got to be out there in 2022 somewhere I guess Yeah, yeah in the first quarter. I think possibly even January if you think about it, Larry One of the things that could really drive money into the market is just people just Capitulating and buying apple okay apples the biggest stock in the index It's the best performing stock in the index. It is driving the market If you don't own it, you're gonna lag You're gonna underperform it that last week the entire performance in the market was apple and microsoft If you did not own those two stocks you underperformed the market last week Wow, it's amazing. Now. Hey, can you stay with us? Jeff? We've got a one more segment to do Absolutely, we'll be right back with jeff huge alpha insides folk Are you in the market for buying or selling real estate in the bay area? Including the surrounding st. Petersburg tampa and clear water markets tiger real estate LLC is a firm that has extensive experience in the tampa bay area Whether you're looking to sell your current property for maximum value or you're in the market for a second home or investment property Tiger realty has the experience across all areas of real estate in the tampa bay area to help buyers and sellers make the most informed decisions Across all price levels from the price You should be paying per square foot in certain Up-and-coming areas to the type of cash flow investment properties are capable of creating Tiger real estate can help you make the best decision when it comes to all areas of the market Before you make one of the biggest decisions of your financial future call tiger real estate llc today at 7 27 329 83 22 or email us at tiger at tfnn.com that's 7 27 329 83 22 call us today The technology around us is changing every day with so much happening that can seem impossible to keep up with all the information David whites investment newsletter the technology insider is designed to give you all the information you need to understand the technology That shapes today's markets and tomorrow's future David white has made his living staying on the cutting edge of technology His weekly newsletter will give you specific recommendations for value tech stocks As well as entry prices target prices and stops to set for each trade Dave delivers his weekly newsletters every friday with updates throughout the week You can get the technology insider at tfnn.com for only $37 and 50 cents Sign up for david's newsletter the technology insider and get an inside look at everything the technology sector has to offer Try it risk-free today with our 30-day money back guarantee tfnn educating investors Are china a shares hot or not? If you trade china a shares now may be time to take a closer look trade chAU or chAD Directions daily csi 300 china a share bull and bear etfs china a shares in either direction Visit direction investments.com today an investor should consider the investment objectives risks charges and expenses of the direction shares carefully before investing The prospectus and summary prospectus contain this and other information about direction shares to obtain a prospectus or summary prospectus Please contact direction shares at eight six six four seven six seven five two three The prospectus or summary prospectus should be read carefully before investing an investment in the funds is subject to risk Including the possible loss of principal the funds are designed to be utilized only by sophisticated investors such as traders and active investors distributor four-side fund services llc Don't forget you can listen to tfnn live on your mobile device 24 hours per day Go to tfnn.com then hit watch tiger tv That's tfnn.com then hit watch tiger tv Okay, folks we're back with jeff use alpha insights jeff. You've got a chart here that Sort of contradicts a little bit about this bullishness about The market breath. What do you see here about the this collapsing market breath? Yeah, it's my biggest concern larry and it is absolutely one of the Contradicting factors of what's happening in the index As I mentioned, you know, the index is being carried along by just a handful of stocks We mentioned apple and microsoft. We could also throw in their google amazon nvidia adobe Oracle very recently To the lesser extent facebook and netflix which had been categorized in that fang group And then tesla also has been on and off again a big contributor But you know the long and the short of it is without the that handful of big tech and you know Next generation disruptor stocks You have not been participating in the market and what this chart is really telling you of of the 2000 stocks in the net in the nyse index the nyse composite Most of them have been Not not contributing to the most recent highs in other words We've seen this fall off or a downturn in the advanced decline line And in the nasdaq which is the lower panel It's even worse the nasdaq composites made up of around 2,500 stocks and it's been utterly collapsing It actually peaked back in february And has failed to keep up with the peaks in the nasdaq 100 Which as all will know 50 percent of the weighting is that handful of of heavy heavyweight tech stocks And so you know this lack of participation is a real concern at this point and it speaks to this you know The generals are running up the hill But the infantry is retreating and eventually what's going to happen is the generals are going to follow I just don't know exactly when that's going to happen But based on just pure trend analysis We could project that the index itself does have another leg higher And that's that's typical at the very end you get that kind of a melt-up phase as everybody panics in So you're a believer of the santa claus rally then? I think it's in the cards definitely. I think the senate is there for santa claus rally Okay, it makes sense of course with the fed today. They can change all the rules Now you also have a really interesting chart here on volatility And uh, we haven't had anywhere near the volatility we had in the 2000 Market but for heaven's sakes 2008, but we had a pretty big run here is volatility over is it just getting started I think it's just getting started a lot of people have been focused on the down trend in place from the peak in march of 2020 Where there was a series of lower lows and lower highs But if you set the clock back a little further to mid 2017 what you can clearly discern is a pattern of Higher lows and higher highs And so you know that is definitely the definition of an uptrend and in my opinion volatility is now in Official uptrend and what we need to see to confirm that is another new high Which would mean that volatility would have to exceed the prior monthly close of 54 percent We're currently at about 22 percent, which means volatility's got about 150 percent upside in terms of a potential move and As we know what what the vixx actually measures is Realized volatility right and so you know what we're we're seeing is there's implied volatility realized volatility And so this is just basically a backward looking index of what has happened But there's a futures market that's also projecting just the same way and that's looking out forward Six months and we're seeing higher volatility levels priced in at this point So in my opinion, we will continue to see volatility press higher and we should get into You know the panic zone, which is going to be north of 30 percent again Okay, now we have a question for one of our listeners from Cincinnati, Ohio And that question is do you see a potential crash in the stock market either soon or Okay, all right. That's the answer Not this year next year. I do see a top in the market. In fact, we went out yesterday To our institutional investors and told them that we think the market will top In the first half of 2022 Uh, okay Makes good sense Well, listen, thank you for joining us my friend and we'll have you out again I want to wish you a very happy holiday. We'll have you on right after the first of the year And keep up the great work, Jeff. You should be very proud of what you do because It's definitely top quality. I'm very very impressed I appreciate that, Larry. And so is everybody else too For your listeners, if anybody wants to take a deeper dive into my research, Alpha Insights I'll offer a 25 discount today only to anyone who types in Tfnn into the coupon code Oh, well, that's fair enough. That's a Christmas present for everybody. That sounds great All right, you have a great Christmas. Take care now Thank you very much, Jeff. I really appreciate it and we'll have you on again Of course after the first of your Jeff huge of alpha insights Folks, what I'm doing right now is I'm trying to prepare This chart for our gentleman who was asking about the the us. Oh And I will just try to do this into one quick fell swoop here And uh, well, you know by golly, I think it's getting ready for a buy Let's just draw this in and we'll just get ready for the Next party up by golly. It's right there. Hold on. Let me get this up here And then we'll move on to just a second. I can get that up And then all I have to do is to change that little puppy a little bit And that'll get us right to where I want to be and that's right here. I have to go I have to change these display settings. That's what drives me nuts, but you know, nothing like what's going on here All right, let's move on here to one other thing here and uh, just give me one second here. There we go I'll have all this redone here by the first of the year. I'm sure we're going to have everything finished And that's what I'm really looking forward to so that I can not mess around with some of these things Oh, now it's disappeared. No, no, that's not it. Where is it? It's just just giving a break here Well, I'll tell you what since we're worrying about that I will bring up this one right now This is where we are in the stock market folks using the ai And this is where we are right now. We should have bottomed right here. We shouldn't get any belower 4602 if we go below 4602 folks That means it's going down for the rest of the day So it's got to start rallying and it doesn't have any time To dilly or dally because if it goes below 4602 this forecast is flat out wrong And you don't want to have anything to do with it. That's the main thing that you want to pay attention to So let's just get this other chart up on the us. So I'm going to have it today And I will send it out to robert from kansas city, but I there it is right here. Here we are Here's what he was asking and he was saying does I do I think it's a buy Now you notice here that we've had that big move in the crude oil We were right down at the 382 retracement now. This is trading at 50 39 Okay, now we should not get below 69 dollars a barrel in crude oil if it's any good because that's the 382 If we get below that Then I would say yes, you could be a buyer of us o Anywhere around this level 50 39, but at 49 39, you don't want anything to do with it So your risk here is one point because if if crude oil breaks that 382 and if crude oil breaks that 382 That is not a good sign folks, and I'm talking with within a heartbeat So that's the main thing to remind ourselves. We'll be right back folks 8 7 7 9 2 7 6 6 4 8 Sharpening your skills as an investor is like getting better at playing a musical instrument You have to practice sure, but you also need excellent instruction from experts at tfnn You'll get advice and guidance from the authority and technical market analysis And it's not just dry tedious text either tfnn airs live financial content streamed live on tfnn.com and tfnn's youtube channel with tiger tv Live every market day from 8 30 a.m. To 4 p.m. Eastern for free Each host is an experienced trader and gives their take on the market while taking calls and questions live from around the world From the moment the market opens until the closing bell sounds tiger tv has eight different shows with expert hosts To help you make the right moves with your money watch online at tfnn.com or on tfnn's youtube channel And become the investor you were born to be tfnn educating investors You might think that if you want to be successful at trading in the stock market You're going to need a crystal ball after all it's impossible to predict the future, right? 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Which pays you on a monthly basis the target first mortgage program may be the program for you The best rate on a five-year cd in the country right now according to bankrate.com is paying 1 per year or $1,000 per $100,000 invested the target first mortgage program pays 7 per year paid monthly on secured high value Buildable properties in st. Petersburg, florida The investment is for four years paying 7 per year or $7,000 per $100,000 invested Your investment is secured by high value real estate in st. Petersburg, florida Your investment can be anywhere from 100,000 to 500,000 You want to make 1,000 per year on 100,000 dollars invested or 7,000 per year on a secured tiger first mortgage The tiger first mortgage program may be just the program for you The tiger first mortgage program pays 7 per year paid monthly for more information You can call<PHONE_NUMBER>. That's<PHONE_NUMBER> Okay, we're back folks. If you'll give me one second I wanted to show you one other thing here and then we will be moving on to a couple other things I was hoping to have johden aptly on this week, but he doesn't answer his phone He doesn't answer his emails and i'm surprised he answers anything, but that's the way it's going Let's just talk a little bit here about that wheat trade that we were looking at today when it was making the 382 Retracement here. I just wanted to give you a little update of what we're looking at here There was the 382 now. This is great for you know, low-risk trading interday. I use 15 minute charts Beautiful 382 retracement here. You'll notice that the price objective here was 759 seven bit roughly 759 And so what we're going to do now is just to Bring it up to date to see what's happening today This will all go to all the money that I made on this today. We'll go to the folks at the Uh Down in mayfield, kentucky. God bless them and now you can see here that we're already at 752 That price objective was 1618. You notice how we went through that 1.618 like it didn't even exist That tells you that it's going to go lower That's why you've got to pay really close attention to 4602 In this s and p folks because if it breaks that and if it breaks that That's breaking below some major major support and that's not a good thing Especially when the feds out there today and if you think the fed is your the fed is your friend I have some interesting Information on the two shares of the brooklyn bridge that I still have for sale because you will be the type of person That should buy it if you believe the fed has your back because that fed does not have your back They have their own back folks. They're a bank for bankers. You've got to remember that and we've got a festival next we've got the TD Ameritrade thinker swim and then steve rhodes is coming up and then david white at 2 o'clock and then tom o bryan Wrapping everything up folks. It's christmas season. Try to help your neighbors And live every day in an attitude a gratitude and may god bless And i'll tell you that's a saying that you all should live by because uh, we don't know how much time we have here I just found out this morning that two of our closest neighbors here In uh two son.  I'll have coven They're doing okay, but that's it. See y'all tomorrow folks may god bless


You can see this power supply is way too short. We got this little energy conservation box that probably hadn't worked in 20 years in this unit that goes into here. So it comes from the power supply, makes a junction with this in here and then this supplies power over to the water heater. It is just to put a six foot whip, connect onto this box and bring it all the way straight to the water heater. I want to bypass this whole apparatus thing that's going on here. With the way my pipes are right here, I might not be able to get to this piece to take it off the wall, but this one I can definitely take off the wall. Two outside lines, this one.  Connection here and the connection here. Do it away with this middle section, which is a lot better. Tint to wire on a 20 amp water heater. You want to play it safe, go with a tent. And that's, it's okay. Right will go on the disconnect, mount the same way the piece was mounted. We got a little nut. I'll show you a picture over here in a second. Look at the place. Now this cord is actually going to be correct to top of my water heater off so that I can go ahead and install the whip to the water heater. Often what I'm going to do is mount it to the 90 and then screw the whole thing down on top of the water heater after this is locked down on these wires and I'm just going to kind of match up the colors.  I'm just basically cutting through the insulation. This is some pretty stiff wire so you really don't have to worry too much about it. Whenever you're wiring, I suggest replace your disconnect. Good shock. Make sure that you put your covers back on your disconnects. Alright so this is wired up so all we'll have to do when we're ready to fire this is plug in our disconnect. The water heater is still dry and I definitely don't want to turn it on. This unit is being stripped out all the countertops and faucets so there's no sense in turning water on right now until we get that done. Pretty much just like the disconnect except the only difference is there's a ground screw down inside of here that will need to cure this water heater with a ground. Always use your ground. Never skimp on using the ground. Of course on this one we got a red and a black coming for the water heater. We've got a red and a black coming from the disconnect so it's just a matter of matching our wires up. I just want to cut the insulation just enough to be able to strip it back. Again like I said, red to red. Wires if they're loose inside of this wire nut are going to burn it and secured. Once you do that very you don't want to skimp on.  I want to make sure that there's no access for anybody to be able to get electrocuted or shocked on any of your wires. Do it in place. It's sealed. There's the wires hanging out. All the covers are in place. Everything is tight and secure. Got that cover back in place. So all we need to do now is when we get water to the water heater we're able to power it up and have hot water for this apartment. I hope this little series has been helpful to you. We just wired up this water heater after we went ahead and piped everything in. Hey this is Dan Giles. I'll see you in the next video.


Have you ever wondered why God created music? I want to show you from the Scripture that music is spiritual. I'm also going to show you how the Holy Spirit uses music. Before we begin, I want to take a moment to encourage you to subscribe to us if you're watching us on YouTube. And when you do subscribe, click that notification bell so that you can receive alerts whenever we release new content. And for all those other platforms, remember to follow us wherever you're watching us. God always creates with purpose. God always creates with intention. There is nothing that God has created that lacks a purpose, and music is no different. Music, in fact, is spiritual. Job 38 verses 4 through 7 say, Where were you when I laid the foundations of the earth? Tell me if you know so much. Who determined its dimensions and stretched out the surveying line? What supports its foundations? And who laid its cornerstone? As the morning stars sang together and all the angels shouted for joy. The morning stars is speaking of the angels. The angels were singing God's praises when he was creating the world. So if music came before the material world, then music is spiritual in nature. In fact, 1 Corinthians chapter 14 verse 15 says, Well, then what shall I do? I will pray in the spirit and I will also pray in words I understand. I will sing in the spirit and I will also sing words I understand. If music wasn't spiritual, it wouldn't be possible to sing in the spirit. The Bible even describes something called spiritual songs in Ephesians chapter 5 verses 18 and 19.  Instead, be filled with the Holy Spirit, singing Psalms and hymns and spiritual songs among yourselves and making music to the Lord in your hearts. You see, the thing about music is it's a very powerful tool and music, in fact, causes your soul to be opened. It causes you to be more susceptible. It causes you to be more easily influenced while you're listening to music. So imagine this. This is why I caution people when they listen to secular music because the music moves you emotionally and mentally and that music puts you in a state that opens the soul. It makes you more vulnerable to whatever the message is that's being carried on that music. So imagine that you're putting yourself in this vulnerable state, opening the soul, and then you're allowing someone to speak lyrics or seeing into your soul in that moment. This is why we must be careful with the kind of music that we listen to because music is spiritual in nature. Also, consider the fact that music is a heightened form of expression, which is why it's used in worship. Psalm chapter 150 says this in verses one through six, praise the Lord. Praise God in his sanctuary.  Praise him for his mighty works. Praise his unequaled greatness. Praise him with the blast of the ram's horn. Praise him with the leer and harp. Praise him with the tambourine and dancing. Praise him with strings and flutes. Praise him with the clash of cymbals. Praise him with loud clanging cymbals. Let everything that breathes sing praises to the Lord. Praise the Lord. So music is not only spiritual. Music is something that can be used by the Holy Spirit because it is spiritual in nature. Now really, the Holy Spirit can use whatever he wants to use, including things in the material world that aren't exactly completely spiritual in nature. But when it comes to music, the Holy Spirit can actually use music to enhance ministry. Elisha requested a harp to accompany him while he prophesied. Second Kings chapter three, verse 15 says, now bring me someone who can play the harp. While the harp was being played, the power of the Lord came upon Elisha. Think about the fact that Elisha, the prophet, requested a harp before he began to prophesy. Now could he have prophesied without the harp? Could he have prophesied without the music? Absolutely. In fact, we see that mentioned several times in the account of Elisha's life. But in this particular instance, he called for music because he knew that there was something about the music that would aid him as he prophesied. A band of prophets used their instruments to aid them as they prophesied. First Samuel chapter 10, verse five says this, when you arrive at Givia of God, where the garrison of the Philistines is located, you will meet a band of prophets coming down from the place of worship.  So these prophets formed a band, began to play, and that music enhanced the prophetic words that they were speaking. The prophetic ministry, as you read the Old Testament, you'll find the prophetic ministry and music go hand in hand quite often. And there is something about music. There is something about music that's so powerful that it aids ministry, it aids the message, it aids the prophetic gift. There's a mystery to it. And I can't really explain to you how all of the dynamics work, but I do know this. As I read scriptures like these, it becomes obvious to me that the Holy Spirit in fact uses music. So that's the biblical support for that truth. It should be noted that God wants us to use this gift of music even in times that we're ministering. In fact, if you've ever come to one of our miracle services, you'll notice that the music really plays a key role as the miracles manifest. Now, I am by no means saying that the miracles couldn't happen without the music, but there's something about music that brings people to a state of faith. There's something about the music that helps to prepare the hearts of God's people as they receive the power of the Holy Spirit. I can't tell you how many times it's happened where I'm praying for someone who's believing for a miracle, and I'm believing for God to heal them, and the Holy Spirit will speak to my heart, and he'll put a song in my spirit. He'll put a sound in my spirit, and I'll turn and I'll instruct the worship team to play a certain song in a certain way, and the moment the worship team begins to play that certain song in that certain way, power begins to flow, and the people that stand before me when they're receiving prayer begin to tremble under God's power. Now again, am I saying that it's the music that does this all on its own by no means? But I would liken it to a similar thing, such as how we use oil. Think about how the Scripture describes in James that we are to, when laying hands on the sick, use oil. Now, we know the oil doesn't have any power unto itself, but paired with the oil, our acts of faith produce the miraculous. In a similar but not exact way, music carries something on it. The waves of that music do something to the atmosphere. There's something about music that connects heaven to earth. There's something about music that shifts spiritual dynamics. There's something about music that aids in the overtaking of spiritual authority. In fact, this is the case that we see when David played for Saul. In 1 Samuel, chapter 16, verse 23, the Scripture says, And whenever the tormenting spirit from God troubled Saul, David would play the harp, then Saul would feel better, and the tormenting spirit would go away. Now, it's not as if demons dislike music in general. In fact, there are certain types of music that invite demonic influence and give demonic powers places of authority. So we know that in the general sense, demons don't just leave whenever music is being played. So in 1 Samuel 16, 23, it wasn't that the tormenting spirit went away simply because there was music being played. But the tormenting spirit went away because the music that was being played was anointed. Music can be anointed. Music can carry a weight of God's touch.  There's something that's actually carried upon it. And the same is true of music. It can be anointed. It can carry God's power on it. And there's something about when you connect with anointed music, it does something in the realm of the spirit. Music is a means of permeating the atmosphere. Something, as I said, is carried upon the waves. No, it's not the music. It's the presence of the Holy Spirit. And there are certain types of songs and sounds that attract the Holy Spirit. Going back to what I was explaining earlier, we see this happen in our services. In fact, I've seen it happen to where if a worship team plays something that's slightly off, and I'm not talking about off key, I'm talking about off of what the flow of the spirit is, it disrupts the dynamics in the room. I'll never forget when I was attending a Bible conference in Southern California and the Holy Spirit was moving. The worship team was playing this one song, and they were singing it. The people of God were singing it. And it wasn't just emotion or hype. You could sense that there was a real presence. The glory of God had manifested in that place. And there was a flow to that moment. There was an atmosphere in that place. Sure enough, the worship leader turned, spoke to someone, and they very abruptly shifted the flow of the service. They changed the song. When they did that and they took it in a different direction, suddenly that atmosphere dissipated. That weight lifted. And I remember standing there watching the worship team kind of fumbled to try to get back to that flow again. And I recognize something in that moment that our sensitivity to the Holy Spirit even applies to the type of music we listen to. Because the Holy Spirit can anoint music. So we see in Scripture that music is spiritual. Music can be used to enhance ministry. And music can be anointed. I pray that we would allow the Holy Spirit to guide us in our choices of music. And I pray that the Holy Spirit would anoint the godly music that we use for ministry and for worship. Father, I pray right now in the name of Jesus that you would begin to cause us to see all of the ways that you move. Precious Holy Spirit, we thank you for the gift of music. Give us discernment, Lord. Let us be sensitive to the Holy Spirit that we may be guided in our music choices. And that we may enter deeper places to the worship that you've anointed in the precious name of Jesus we pray. I want you to say it because you believe it. Say amen. And I truly believe this. There's someone watching me right now. God's called you to worship ministry. And even as you're hearing me, the Holy Spirit is inspiring you to pull sounds out of heaven. And that is it for the lesson. I want to give you now a question for conversation. Has the Holy Spirit ever used music to touch your life? Tell me about it in the comments. Now I'm going to read comments from a previous video titled, It's Time to Stop Limiting God, I Am the Resurrection and the Life. Emily Laramore writes, Thank you, Brother David, for this series. It was so deep and powerful. The Holy Spirit always brings new revelation every time I watch any of your content. Hikmatu Kamara writes, I am blessed to be a part of this great family. Your messages always encourage and ignite in me a fresh desire to do the will of God. May Jehovah continue to bless you and use you mightily. Thank you so much. Bible verse of the day writes, Thank you, pastor. I am so glad that I found your ministry. Your ministry is helping me grow closer to the Lord and desire the continual communion of the Holy Spirit more than ever before your messages stir my faith. I also love the worship by Stephen. Bianca writes, I never saw this Bible story as clearly as I see it now. The way it was explained deeply relates to how people like me live in this world, especially in times of trial. May God give us the faith to live in a way that glorifies him. Glory to God for this powerful message. And the final comment I'll read from this video comes from Jacqueline Parmer Cortez who writes, Thank you and your entire team for all that you do to spread the gospel of Jesus Christ throughout these media forums. God bless. I want to encourage you with a portion of scripture found in Mark chapter 12. Jesus sat down near the collection box in the temple and watched as the crowds dropped in their money. Many rich people put in large amounts. Then a poor widow came and dropped in two small coins. Jesus called his disciples to him and said, I tell you the truth. This poor widow has given more than all the others who are making contributions. For they gave a tiny part of their surplus, but she, poor as she is, has given everything she had to live on. When it comes to our giving, God looks at how we give in proportion to what we have. Whether you have much or you have little, you can please the Lord in your giving by giving in proportion to what you have. Give generously, give sacrificially and help us continue doing what we're doing for the Lord. Help this ministry continue to expand and to grow and to reach souls and to bring healing to the nations. Help us continue to take the power of the Holy Ghost all around the world. This ministry is growing. This ministry is effective. This ministry is good soiled. So give a one-time gift or become a monthly supporter by going to davidhernandezministries.com. For one-time gifts, go to davidhernandezministries.com. Donate to become a monthly supporter and that's key. Go to davidhernandezministries.com. If you believe in what we're doing, if you want to help us win souls, if you want to join hands with us and you want to join our army of supporters from around the world, then go to davidhernandezministries.com. Donate for one-time gifts or davidhernandezministries.com. To become a monthly ministry supporter, help us continue to reach people all around the world. And remember, nothing is impossible with God.


Then I like to go to alignment and do this center across like that. And so those are FICA taxes and I'll make them a different color to note that those are kind of linked together. And so let's make that like dark blue and then white, something like that. I'll make the whole thing bold so it's easier to see. And then I'm also gonna copy that and put it here. And I actually have an adjustment. I should make it go across this whole thing here. Let's format this again. Format cells align center across the three of them like that. All right, that's better. Mucho mejor. Okay, and then I'm gonna say, let's make these all black and white.  And then let's check the spelling. I'm sure I misspelled something, right? No, really? Serious? I think spell check is broken. That never happens. So we're gonna say, okay. And then our two employees, let's say our Adam Hamilton. I'm not sure if I spelled that right either, but that's what it says on Adam's W-4 form. So anyway, we're gonna say, there it is. Now the FIT, the federal income tax, is the employee's federal income tax, and it would be dependent on what they gave us on their W-4. So I can't just use a flat tax rate. This is the main tax, which is quite complicated in the United States because I have to look at tables to figure it out based on the information they provide us on like at the W-4. So I'm just gonna make up a number here. It's not, you know, it would be totally dependent on what they give us. So I'm just gonna make up 720 on the income tax. And then the social security is a flat tax to some degree. In other words, I could just say, if that's your earnings, I'm gonna say this is times 0.062. So I'm gonna say that that should be somewhat straightforward calculation, although once Adam hits the cap, there is a cap as well on social security. So then it gets messed up there too. So again, even though it looks simple right here, when you combine all this stuff together, it gets quite complex quite quickly, especially if you have multiple employees and then you've got caps and whatnot. And then the Medicare is gonna be equal to, it's also a flat tax. The gross earnings, which we're saying his gross earnings are 4583.33. And then we'll divide this or times this by 0.0145. Cause that's the Medicare rate, typically. And by the way, this number here is 60,000 a year, I think divided by 12. No, this is gonna be 55,000 divided by 12. That's where we're getting this number monthly pay. So we might pay people monthly, which is what we're gonna do here for the practice problem, or bi-weekly, semi-monthly, or weekly. And then I'm gonna make an adjustment to social security so I can tie out to my amount on our bank reconciliation, which we'll talk about later. So this is kind of a mess up here, but I need to tie out to that number. So we're gonna make a little bit of an adjustment. So the net pay then is gonna be equal to this minus this minus this minus this minus my adjustment. So it's gonna be the 357, 357, 270, that's gonna be the net check, which ties out to 357, 270, 357, 270. So that's the net check that's gonna come out of our checking account. These are withholdings that we're gonna have to take from the employee before they even get their money. And we're mandated to do that in the United States on the federal side. And you might also have state withholdings that are required as well, depending on what states you are in. And then you might have what's called like voluntary withholdings, such as benefit programs like a 401k plan or some Medicare, that kind of medical insurance and that kind of stuff that would be voluntary withholdings that they can opt into if they so choose. These are mandatory. All right, so then we've got the social security also on the employer side, we have to pay our portion of social security and Medicare. So I'm gonna say, these are FICA, these are gonna, I'm gonna say these are employer taxes. So they have to match social security and Medicare. So this is what they're paying over and above. And then I'm also gonna make an adjustment because I messed up when I did the calculations in the practice problem. So then we're gonna say Erica, Erica Smith, let's say. And we'll say that she earned 2,400 and her FIT, we're just gonna make up an FIT because it would be dependent on tables and what she told us on her W-4. But the social security somewhat straightforward would be the gross pay times 0.062. That's the employee portion and the Medicare is 2,400 times 0.0145 generally. And then I don't have an adjustment because I didn't mess that one up, I don't think. And then we're gonna say this equals the sum, let's do it this way, this equals this number minus the sum. Let's do it this way this time of these three, which is the same thing in essence of this, minus this, minus this, minus this. And then I can say, all right, the social security and Medicare over here is gonna have to match on the employer side. And then there we have that. So that looks good. Okay. And then I'm gonna put a box around this. I think I did that properly. And now let's say that's our only two employees. Now, this is something if we did inside of zero, that zero would basically make this data for us so they can help us put, and then it would post it automatically to the financial statements, but it also has to give this data to the clients in the form of a coupon stub or something like that. And it has to track this information on an employee by employee level on a both paycheck by paycheck, as well as year to date level to give it to the employee and to populate the forms that we need for reporting purposes, 941, 940, W2, W3, and so on. So again, if you did this externally, all of that stuff would be done by the third party provider and they might provide us with a report which would look something like this, which we would then have to just simply take and put into our system to make our financial statements correct. So let's imagine that's the case. What would the journal entry look like? If it was done internally, the journal entry done by Gusto within zero, if it's done externally, the journal entry we would have to put in the system based on this payroll register provided by the third party payroll provider so that we can get our financial statements correct but not needing all the detail. So I can imagine a journal entry for each employee and we can imagine combining the journal entry to one large journal entry. So for example, let's say that we have, we'll say that this is gonna be the date. I'm gonna add another right click and insert and I'll just put the date over here. This will be date. And then I'm gonna say this is gonna be for a journal entry and then I'm gonna say Adam, two tabs, and I'll skip one maybe and Erica, two tabs, skip one, total. Something like that. And so we're gonna say the date. I'm gonna make this a date field, home tab number, making it a short date. And this is gonna be on two,


Welcome to the course on bear calls the bear call is a bearish spread as the name suggests and we are going to use call options To put the bear bear call trade on the candidate. I'm choosing for my bear call is Amazon so Amazon is right here the tickers AMZN and What we have is Amazon reported results last week and it was actually very good results for Amazon So Amazon blew through gapped up, but since then it's not been able to sustain the higher levels there So, you know right after the initial euphoria, I guess the you know Amazon has started to come down and so right now it's about at about 225 it went up to a high of about 233 and That's a and so it's come down to 223 So my sense is that this is It's going to be tough to break this one because it jumped up quite a bit You can see that it jumped up from 195 all the way to to 220 so that was a huge jump for Amazon and if you look at the past three or four earnings Results the jump has never been quite so strong And in fact this was a down move and this was a down move and here again We have here. We have a slight up move maybe about ten fifteen dollars, but that's about it A bear call is a good strategy for Amazon right now. Now. What exactly is a bear call? So a bear call is going to use two spreads. It's going to use a long call and it's going to use a short call So which means which tells you right away that the dominant position is going to be the short call and not the long call So we have so the short call means we are going to sell a call option And that's going to be the dominant option then once we sell the short call We are going to buy a call at a higher strike price to limit the risks of the short call


He's often referred to as the machine due to his superhuman calculation ability. He's one of the strongest potential challengers to the world championship. I'm very happy to have with us world number two US champion Fabiano Caruana. Welcome to Gibraltar. Thanks for having me. And you were coming back here, Fabi, after 2011. Yeah. So after all these years, what made you come back? I wanted to experience something a bit different from the tournaments I usually play. Open tournament is a different challenge. It's not a new experience, but it's something which I don't normally face. And it's interesting for me. It's also, I think, more fun to play different players. And it's one of the most reputable open tournaments in the world. So it was a good choice, I thought. And do you personally enjoy an open tournament or a closed tournament more? What's your personal preference? I think because it's different, I prefer open tournaments.  Usually you have the same repertoires or some variations of that and you have to try to find something new against the Brulein or against the Petrov or against the Knight or a Fendt. It can get pretty tiring and very difficult to find something which your opponent doesn't expect.  Talking about opening preparations now, that is one of your strengths. Now, there's a lot of criticism and admiration for opening preparation. A lot of people say it's taking over the game. What do you think? I mean, it's true that a lot of openings are very well analyzed now, especially if you go into, like, huge mega variations like the Marshal or the Bishop G5, but there's a lot of unexplored areas. And I really don't think we see that problem of, like, preparation killing chess. If they can't find advantage in the main lines of long theory, then they'll just deviate from the very start. And so you'll get interesting chess either way. Let's go back a little bit to how it all started for you. When you were 12, you moved from the U.S. to Madrid. And purely, I mean, the main reason for it was your game. Now, that's a big commitment for the whole family to relocate. Yeah. I mean, my parents made the decision at the time to go to Europe. They wanted to see Europe. They wanted me to experience a different culture and a different sort of life. So I left school in the United States and I went to Spain. And I started playing chess very consistently and studying chess a lot more. Along the way, you had a lot of coaches that you worked with, a lot of different trainers. Now, how do you decide that right now you're working with Rustam Kazemzano? I mean, I've worked with a lot of coaches. And, for the last two and a half years, I've been working with Rustam Kazemzano before that with Vladimir Tutolov. I mean, I've worked with a lot of coaches and also other players who are, like, you know, less consistently than my main coaches. I've worked with a lot of grandmasters over the years, which has been very helpful because every player has a different way of viewing the game and of working on chess. And I mean, in terms of, like, my current situation, I just find it very comfortable to work with Rustam. I think we get along well and we also achieve a good amount of work. And I think we have a pretty high level in terms of our analysis and our work ethic. Now, of course, computers are indispensable in today's time when it comes to preparation. What is the right way for a player to use the computer? How would you advise them that they should use the machine? I think it's just more something that you practice and then you get better at it. But in general, the stronger you are, the better you will be at noticing the times when you should press the computer a bit more to analyze this position rather than just take his word for it. A lot of it is just assessing which is the most practical way. Like, if something is objectively not that great or leads to a draw, but you know that your opponent just won't be able to find that. And a lot of our analysis I do just ends with, like, okay, this is new. It's a new idea. They won't expect it because the computer doesn't show it. And you have to make a ton of difficult moves. And that's enough for me. So it's not important for it to be the top move of the computer, but just a practically difficult option for your opponent to deal with. Yeah, I mean, if I think at the end of the day that something will work, I don't really care if it's good or not. It doesn't really matter to me if this is going to be novelty of the year or if, you know, people will write online that it's already refuted, that it's so obvious that it's dead lost. And then in 2015 you decided to move back to the U.S. So what made you do that? Well, that was a more personal decision from my side. U.S. chess, like, changed very dramatically over the 10 years that I left the Federation in 2005 and came back in 2015 and U.S. chess just kind of exploded after that. And now we see that it's one of the strongest, even arguably the strongest chess nation in the world. We just won the Olympiad a few months ago. And I wanted to get back to the place which felt most like home to me. And it also seemed like just a perfect time to come back when chess is booming in the U.S. What would you say is your biggest trend? I think that my positional understanding is pretty solid. I think I've grown very practical in my approach to chess over the years. I think that in general I'm a well-rounded player. I mean, all aspects of my game there aren't huge weaknesses. There are some things that I definitely have to work on. But nothing which makes me a huge target for another player. And so it's not so easy for other players to get the better of me.  That's quite a great quality to have. Is that something that you worked on? No, I haven't worked on it. I mean, there are players who are very expressive like Nakamura. Kasparov was, of course, notoriously. I mean, when he didn't like his position, I think you could easily tell. Even if you're not a chess player? Yeah. I mean, I heard that he would curse in Russian when he realized he made a mistake. There were famous videos of his game against Bishi where he blundered. And once he realized that the shock in his face was very obvious. Against Bishi, I made a similar, I mean, a terrible blunder. I was lucky I wasn't losing on the spot, but somehow I drew an end. And after the game he asked me if I blundered or if I sacrificed. Because you were still expressionless? Yeah, he couldn't tell. I was surprised because I thought it was pretty obvious that I had blundered. I don't know. I mean, I don't think it makes a huge difference. Because you see players who have bad poker faces who do pretty well on chess. The distance between, say, a world number two and even a world number eight, nine is not really that much. It's a few points and a few good tournaments here and there. Do you keep an eye out in competition? Do you ever feel any sort of insecurity or something when it comes to players who are around you? Do you follow that game? I do follow other games. I definitely don't feel happy when they do well. There are actually players who I kind of, you know, I kind of enjoy seeing them lose, which sounds very sadistic, but I can't help it. But I don't think it's because of rating. It's just... I mean, okay, right now I'm counting on ratings. So who are these players? I can't say that. I mean, I'm counting on rating to qualify for the game. So I have a pretty safe level. If I manage to maintain it, then it should be enough. So I prefer... I mean, I don't like to see players coming very close to my rating. I mean, if I keep doing well, I shouldn't care about anyone else's results. All right, so your focus is more just on your performance. You know, if I do well... Except the ones who you feel happy when they don't do that well. No, that's just some pure sadistic enjoyment that I get. With the US team, as it was in Baku, it's one of the strongest teams in the world. Which other country do you think is... I think India is... I'm not just saying that because you're saying it across from me. But India is really improving a lot. And, you know, in Olympia, they always do well. I think they got fourth, yeah, and in the last one. They are a very strong team, and probably will continue to get stronger in the future. China, despite their bad results in the last Olympiad, are of course very strong, and they're still improving. And you never know, because there are so many young Chinese players who are up and coming, and you haven't even heard of them. And then you, like, at some point see them pop up into some tournament and gain, like, 100 points. You know, we saw some surprising results from, like, Iran. They're very young. They had a teenage team, and they scored very well. Or even like, I mean, Norway, with Magnus leading it, and then... They did really well as well. Yeah, I mean, if their younger players continue to improve, like Tari, or I'm not sure who else is very promising, but yeah, they get some players closing in on 2700, they could also be a contender for medals in the future Olympiad. Right, now there's been a lot of talk about how the gap in rating between you and World Number One is getting really close. You're 13 points behind him. Is that something that you think about? Is that part of your goal? It is a goal. I mean, I do want to, at some point, catch up to him in rating or overtake him. If I continue playing well, then at some point it might happen. We wish you all the best for the trade-wise Gibraltar Chess Festival. Thanks. And can't wait to see you in action. Thank you.