Hey, will you what's up girl? How you doing? What's going on? How's life? Hi Clara, what's going on? I have a livestream and a really really long time So I decided to just hop on because I wanted to see what you guys were doing and what's up in how's life Because I know a lot of us are stuck at home. Hey Hey, hey, hey, what's up? Hi Hey, Ava's boys. Hi. Hi. Hi Mia Hi Riley. Hi Zorin I'm trying to say hi to everybody as they come in. Hi David. Hi. Hi. I'm sorry Justin your volleyball got canceled.  What's going on? What have you guys been doing since you've been home? Yeah, so it's really hard because a lot of the parks and recreation are closed where I am and Because of that you can't play outside a lot. So I mean I've seen people try but It's not working really well. Hey Hi David Beloso, did I say that right? Hey, Lily Billy.  How is I going? Hey, I hope it's not too chilly outside because I'm about to go film something Thanks, Claire. I'm so inspired by you. I'm a new volleyball player and you channel so much. Thank you So you guys can ask me anything that you want to ask me while I'm here I only have like 20 minutes or so. So you can ask me anything while we're here right now Thanks, Aisha Yeah, our inspiration if you get a net and pop it up then you can play Yeah, so a lot of the volleyball seasons have been canceled and It's really hard for that to be happening especially if You just started playing or if it was your senior year. Oh Okay, I'm gonna scroll up a little bit. What is a good way to process spikes? So right now because we don't have nets the best thing that I would do is start working on your spiking approach So the longest thing that took me to learn when I started spiking because you guys know I'm an outside hitter I had to learn how to do my approach and getting your timing for your approach is no joke So I would start working on that three-step approach or that four-step approach just to know both of them So that way you know how to do both of them so you can figure out the timing for you Do you have any tips on overhand serve? I can't get over the net So one of the things a lot of people forget is you need to step into your serve So you're not just tossing it up You actually have to step into it to got to get that momentum and that torque from that arm rotating My favorite volleyball position It changes a lot Like do you want to know the position I would like to play or if I could go back and do it all over what I Would choose because I have changed my mind Online school seems overwhelming. I think college classes that were online and I Am gonna announce the giveaway bidders in this next video. I've been playing volleyball for 10 years I'm having trouble with my receiving form. Okay, so when you're serve receiving the ball You're having trouble digging it and giving it to the center. Is that what you're talking about? Do you think we'll be going to school next year, you know, I really don't know yet it really depends We got to just take it here. Take it by ear day by day What's my favorite position? Okay, so my favorite position to play is The outside hitter if I could go back in the day and like change my mind Honestly, honestly, I would have been a setter. I Would have been a setter How am I doing okay? Do you want to see something I'm an elite passer and how to pass well, so you have to start you pass before you dig Okay, so you should definitely start working on passing With somebody tossing you a ball getting that ball control Making sure you're working on your bottle control. You're able to navigate You're not getting overwhelmed when you're passing then start working on getting the down ball So you can start getting it to a specific target You have to have a really great amount of control when you want to be a libero So that means that you need to be able to if it's coming straight to you You need to be able to turn that ball any way that you need to get it to the center possible Yeah, the libero is a very important position. Absolutely. They're the best passer on the team. Thank you, Malia I live in the UK and debating to start volleyball. You should It is absolutely worth it. It's absolutely worth it. How do you jump higher? Start working on your quads so on your leg strength and also your approach So a lot of people think that they need to jump high or they need to do jump training Or they need to start working on their jump, but if you work on the approach To go into to hit the ball. Sometimes your approach can be tweaked. So it works better for you It is worth it to be a libero. Absolutely. You need agility Okay, you need to learn work on that passing form and you need to be able to navigate the ball Anywhere it is. I mean hustle. Just straight hustle Straight hustle. That is a really cool emoji. What kind of emoji is that? Thanks, Kaylee I'm trying to read as fast as I can How do you choose your position when you never played club volleyball before you want to try so one thing I always recommend people to do is to kind of look online and see the kind of different positions that there are So that way you can choose the best position for you So you don't want to choose something that you feel like you have to do or if you're tall You feel like you have to do this or you're short because you feel like you have to do this You want to do something that you're passionate and you know, you can stay a long time in so that means that if I like Personally trying a little bit of everything to see what you want to do and where your best fit is So I played for a long time as a middle blocker to come to realize when I was in college that Middle blocking wasn't my favorite thing to do and I really like to hit So when I transitioned to outside hitter, I realized I was home. It was where I needed to be this whole time It is really hard to pancake I would recommend doing the pancake last reason work because if you can go in for a pancake you can pass the ball Jump float tips. Okay, so I do have a jump float video, but it was a quite long time ago So with your jump float you want to definitely make sure that the ball is right over that serving shoulder So you don't completely just ricochet it off everywhere and that flat the hand needs to be like high-five flat It needs to be completely high-five flat So I know that I want to teach the overhand serve you snap your wrist when you're serving for that give more of a top Spencer straight high-five Hi, do you think I should try for volleyball as a freshman sophomore get more experience go in freshman year. I Didn't do freshman year. I would definitely go for a good waste practice. Okay, so Addison right now What I would do is I know that I talked about the volleyball In my last video because right now we can't really go play volleyball You want to work on that spiking of that hand motion because a lot of people have noodle arm when they're spiking the ball Like they get the approach they get up there and it's just like So working on getting that that hand motion the snapping motion So a volleyball is really great for that because you can kind of do a down ball and practice on that. Oh Yeah, Kiera Clara don't don't Give a sprained thumb don't don't do it girl. Don't do it So to work in your agility there is this thing maybe a link it have you ever seen that yellow ball that has other small little Nodules on it that when you bounce it it goes anyway That's one way that I worked on my agility really really well It's tough to get that but working on Jillie another way if you have a volleyball at home You can have somebody like I'm actually gonna do it on my video today. Should I just tell you guys anyway? I mean I'm about to do it. I'm about to do it in my video today Hi, David. Okay If I'm only going to be a seventh grader not that very tall should I wait a little bit? Absolutely not go for it now the more experience the better you need experience the more experience the better Yeah, I spring my fellow ones How to practice picking up a spike serve so do you mean by yourself or Somebody else because I could do definitely I can definitely do some videos with somebody else Which is how to go with your fear of diving now diving sometimes is unpleasant It especially if it's a hard floor But you really have to understand that if you learn how to dive the right way your fear can start to go away you have to learn how to dive the right way and One of the ways that a lot of coaches start talking about diving is they lay down those those gymnastics mats and Teach you how to dive the right way.  That's takes time It takes time because anybody with any kind of flying object coming to your face Of course, you're gonna flinch it takes time and the more you start to play in the more experience you get The more you will stop being so apprehensive about the ball coming towards you So just it takes time a lot of these things will take time. It doesn't it's not one of those things that you know You just start playing you're really good Like it took me a couple of years to be good and that's not saying that it will take a couple of years for you It took me a couple of years because I have a lot going on. Okay, but it takes time. I Saw somebody say their coach spring their hip while diving Back in 2014 I pulled my back while diving I was out for six months. It was a pretty bad spring It was a pretty bad spring Haven't been on diving before I have not done a video on diving yet I did one on the pancake, but not the actual dive and roll which I can do Thank You Sophia for that very nice Comments What are other sports to help with volleyball a lot of volleyball players I saw do track and field on the side I mean, that's what that's what I did But a lot of a lot of they did track and field inside because track and field is really great for conditioning and getting you in the Athletics shape, you know what I mean? So because they do a lot of running and burning and cardio And not everybody likes cardio so You're so welcome Natalie Let's see So, um, I Don't know if you've already you guys knew this because I think a lot of you guys are really new to my channel I didn't start playing volleyball until I was in 10th grade when I was like 15 turning 16 I don't know if you knew that thumbs up if you already knew that I just want to just want to get it like a feel of who knew that 411 girl, you can be the best libero the fastest libero the quickest libero You better go out there and do that thing Should I do volleyball in or out of school both get the most experience? You can't get the absolute most experience you can because the more experience and the more contact you get on that ball the better I'm telling you I'm five four and one to play in college So I don't think that what is your favorite position that you're already playing? I'm talking to me Who who who is your favorite position that you're already playing any tips for indoor indoor high school? Indoor is so fun, but indoor has rules So I know that outdoor and beach is a little bit more flexible in things Indoor has rules and there's like lanes you have to stay in so when you have a job, that's your job Like you can't do other people's job. You got to do your job So I would definitely start looking at the strategic and strategy about indoor and learning those rules So you understand what's going on because outdoors kind of like that ball is over there. It's cool I'll go get it, but indoor it's like I'm not that's hers. That's hers. I play outside in middle right now Okay, so what I would do is because of your height I would definitely consider libero, especially if you feel like you're not gonna grow anymore It would give you the best chance to play in college. I'm answering so many questions guys And a lot of you guys who feel like you're short on the shorter side, I think that you guys are Pretty young. Yeah, drop how old you are. I just want to see kind of kind of the audience of Before I give my next advice. I just want to see how old you guys are because I stopped growing when I was like 1617 so if you're like 1314 12 11 13 14 you have room to grow You have yes.  Okay real deal Listen when I was in the 7th grade When I was in the 7th grade I was four 10 Okay, four 10 7th grade and 7th grade is like what you're like 13 then right? Okay, I was 13 and I was four 10. Okay When I got to you ready for this are you ready when I got to the 9th grade I was five nine dog Okay, then I got to 11th grade.  You go for that thing.  I always try to be honest in a game If I didn't get it, I didn't get it if I touched it. I touched it How do you stay motivated and quarantined? So one of the that's a really good question Motivation in general. So I want you to know that what's going on right now Is it is okay to be unmotivated because there is a huge thing going on right now So even if you don't feel motivated to practice, that's okay. What you're doing every day That's great. You don't have to always go out there and do like every minute of your day doesn't have to be productive Just do the best that you can and that is the greatest enough They do they sure do kaley short people do have advantages and volleyball. Absolutely You better do that kind. She said I'm five two outside Bravo girl I have watched haiku It's in my queue Yeah, so I'm making a video today. Hopefully it's not too chili outside I'm making a video today about some more things that we can do during quarantine But then I'm also want to make a volleyball um like conditioning video I think it will be really helpful because if you're like me You need to be working out right now. I see a lot of you guys want to do um Uh overhand serves and stuff I see a lot of overhand serves But first before I answer that question, I want people to tell me in the chat right now what's one thing That you're really good at it doesn't even have to be a volleyball just something that you're really good at What are you really good at? Let me think about what I'm really good at baking oh Sleeping me too. Thank you for that baking Watching anime Valentino. Give me a different answer receiving Flexible underhand serves math drawing you guys are good at some good stuff guitar supporting receiving english dancing Watching anime back sitting Math art writing Skateboard baking hitting that's a good one sports these guitar you better do you're trying to make my whole day That's what you're trying to make my whole day Eating I'm good at that too Okay, let me think about what I'm good at, huh? I'm really good at video games y'all like no cap like really I've been playing a lot of animal crossing lately A lot too much animal crossing as of lately I love baking too. I'm trying to bake some more. I bake those cookies though I am good at making videos man I do have tiktok I mean, have you guys seen my tiktok? I mean, I haven't posted on my tiktok in like a little bit But I mean I do have tiktok I have a really nice island on animal crossing. I'm not going cap. I do I am going to be in the coach. Thank you Yeah, I play a lot of animal crossing probably too much My tiktok is I think it's coco dot volley or coco volley. Thank you, Addison My tiktok is coco volley or it's coco dot volley Yeah Okay, so what are some basic things coaches look for an indoor tryouts? You have till July.  Here's some things that that we look at when you're trying out for high school I want to see Coachability now. I know I talk about coach ability a lot Coachability is defined by how well I think you will meld with the team How well I think that you are going to be able to understand the concepts How well I think that You are going to work Towards the team. I'm looking for somebody with a great attitude Somebody who I say, okay, let me fix your form. They're receptive to that. I don't want someone who's going to go Man, I didn't even do no wrong. I never did no wrong You know, I want you to understand that what I'm doing for you is the best thing that's going to be for you I want to be helpful and I want you to understand that I'm being helpful Okay, number two. I want to look for basic skills So that means that some coaches want to see it depends on what team if you're trying out for like an advanced club team They want to see what you can do. I want to see what you can do too Just because I want to understand where athletically you are. So passing Okay serving Setting setting is probably minut on that list because setters are a more specialized position And they're not I mean they're looking at it, but at the same time, you know, um hitting Okay hitting and um all of those skills The most important I would say It does depend. I'm just gonna say that it varies. I would say they look at passing and serving a lot I've been playing for 10 years Aisha Can you be in a good team even if you're not the best at serving? Oh, yeah There's always a way to learn for serving. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah, uh-huh for sure. Love you too, Jackson Hey, Chloe. So I don't really coach right now Um because of what's going on with the life, but I do private coaching in my area So I live in charlie, north carolina and that's where I coach. So I coach one-on-one. So let's say that you were like Wanting to get some coaching one-on-one because you want to go make your club team I would coach you one-on-one on growing your skills Yes, that's correct If you are a libero a great skill to have is setting because most liberos can set So if something happens to the center, the libero is the next best chance. That is a great great observation, angela How does that again school schedule for balancing volleyball and school work? So what I would do when I left home was I had volleyball practice right after school for like two and a half hours I would get home and do my schoolwork, but just prepping ahead You might have to use some of your weekend to get some of your schoolwork done ahead ahead of time But taking it by stride and day by day. Don't stress yourself out Don't stress yourself out. Take it day by day So you having a bad issue and with some balance Hmm, I'm gonna research that for you. I'm gonna research that for you and take a look Hey, chloe. So you might have the opportunity. Well, you'll catch a growth spurt, but I'm not gonna I'm not gonna bank on that. I would start working on that hitting approach So you can learn how to adapt even if you're on the shorter side to hitting You're 5 10 and 11 Girl don't let nobody make fun of you. That is a fantastic thing Let's see somebody something and I'm scrolling I'm trying guys.  So they had an open club. Bye. They had an open club volleyball What is it called Tournament it was an open called volleyball tournament that was going to raise money for the club team And that's why I played in the tournament because it was a reverse co-ed So that means that women can hit on a woman's net. However, the men had hit from back row To answer that question Okay, so Chloe, I'm thinking about doing online coaching But I just want to see who would be interested in that Give me a thumbs up if you would be interested in doing online coaching with me because I'm trying to like figure that whole thing out and um I just want to see who's interested Like if we could get that going Because I would love to do that. It would just make my day to like one on one go. Hey, girl. Let's do this. Hey girl Let's work on that Um, I want to do online coaching so bad like so bad. It would be awesome I'm five two one. Well, there's so many thumbs up You guys would really be interested in that be so cool That would be awesome Yeah, I would love to do I would love to be able to like video conference you And we do skills one on one and I demonstrate it and we work it that way that would be awesome Let me think about what I'm gonna do if you let's see If you want to do online coaching.  I'm gonna write down my email address so you can see it. Okay, hold on All right, cool. Here's my email address so you can email me it is Cocoa voli contact At gmail.com My ad is like crazy looking dog. Let me fix that because it looks weird It looks super weird. Okay. Does it look a little better? Look. Okay. I'm trying. I'm struggling out here in these streets Just screenshot it Are we all good? We're good now. We're we're doing great Cool We got it. You can email me so I can email you back Great So if you're interested. Yeah, yeah, it's all lowercase Thank you. Have you guys seen this before? This is my yoga dogs They're all doing different yoga poses. Look legit. Ha ha I know Yeah, it's I have a dog thing Have a dog thing Yeah, I'm gonna make a workout video and probably not today because I'm gonna go outside shortly in a minute to do my outdoor like workout um And then I'm gonna post a video I might post a video later today depends on how fast I edit it If you email me, I will get back to you on that. I gotta I gotta work out some kinks I want to play volleyball in school best best backup, but my team Isn't the best. Yes You should try out and I'll tell you why you should try out because you need the experience to get your hands on the net Now I have played listen Coco has played for some teams that weren't the best Not at all not at all you can just email me maria and say that you were interested um in volleyball coaching online it is 544 p.m Can somebody drop in the chat my email for everybody else? But yeah, I've played for some teams who Have not been the best But I went I went anyway, and I knew I knew going in this was going to be rough But I went anyway because I wanted to give that experience to work on things I wanted to be able to work on things. Mary Claire I have a video coming up on that and it's gonna be awesome But to be recognized I would definitely start working on your skills and your niche that means what role are you going to play? Are you the outside hitter? Are you the center? Are you the libero?   Who? I'm feeling that Yeah, somebody dropped my email. I'm just gonna jump over here. I'll type it I don't know. I can't Somebody type it How do you play for a club team or where do you find one? So what I did was I tend to do Uh, you can do a google search of your area like volleyball clubs near me Okay, and see if there's one there a lot of recreation centers got them Um, so I would look there or your school team. So I would definitely get more involved as possible So if that means playing club play club recreation play recreation All of that. It's late. I don't know where you where are you guys from? Tell me where you're from. I live in North Carolina. So that's eastern united states Yes, you can't blur Absolutely michigan. We got texas.  I'm in charlotte mexico, virginia, greece Such great places I want to visit you guys when this is over Virginia. I'm in virginia a lot um navaa, illinois Coventry, england Minnesota I've been to philly remember. I used to live in pennsylvania um, canada, nebraska carolina I've been to germany too. I have not been to ohio yet Is that in russian? It looks like it's in russian. So i'm gonna assume russia. I don't know what position I am I don't know what to practice during quarantine. I read it in that capital letters. I read it in caps What I would do is I would first look at the video I posted last week About things that you can do by yourself and then look at the video. I'm gonna post later Maybe tomorrow about what I'm gonna do when you can do with somebody else And those are two great videos so far and then my workout video And then other videos I'm gonna post soon because all I'm doing right now is at home stuff Because I can't go nowhere and you can't go nowhere. So let's play volleyball at home I'm playing basketball with great cardio How do you deal with social anxiety? So one of the things is to slowly integrate yourself Into Slowly interestate yourself into social situations. So you can get a little bit more desensitized in social situations I'm not saying go to like a party like with a lot of people and that just be the great thing I would start slowly hanging out with one or two people at a time so that way you can get a little bit more Comfortable in social settings and that way you can expand a little bit more. I forgot to tell you guys I have a patreon now Do you guys know what patreon is? How do you feel less calm before a game? I have a routine before a game I listen to music before the game and I'm just like get the world out of here. I'm feeling it. I'm jamming right now Like that's what I do Um before a game for sure Yeah, if you don't know what patreon is patreon is a website where you can go you can support creators Yeah, that is correct. That's my email coca-cola contact at gmail My favorite Position I played was outside here. Can you have long nails? I wouldn't recommend it.  That's what it felt like Yeah, so the video me last week didn't include the wall which is super helpful. Um the video today only requires somebody else So I'm gonna be doing it because I just need to work out and then I think I'm gonna put my belly button up today anyway Bye clara You're so welcome do well in school I'm seeing you see the questions are coming so fast Okay, I'm 14 and five six. I love playing back row Yeah, okay, so what I would do is get I would I would go everywhere and try every kind of position So even if you are it doesn't really depend on your height I would go and try everything to see something that is comfortable for you. Hi. Talia. Taylor. Lucario. Did I say that right? I'm announcing the giveaway winners today I've been playing volleyball for 10 years. Do you consider it being good? I did to play another sport Now it depends on what sport like is it something that you have to be super dedicated at Probably not. I Did track when I was In high school. I did indoor track and outdoor track and that was really great because it gave me um A really good cardio background like I was ready. So in volleyball season.  Are you sure? There's only 78 of us here and there's like everybody else is over there, you know Fails and play all kinds of sports. I wouldn't do acrylics on sports. Ooh girl. Don't do it. Yeah, I don't do it Yeah, it really depends on the person I personally don't like having long nails because sometimes I'm just like and I hit my hand and it hurts But practice. I am not a good singer y'all. So I am not gonna sing Yes, we're like what come on. Let's play. Let's do it. Hi Chloe There is really no best height for libero Because there's some liberos that are my height who are 5'10 So I think that it really depends on if you want to play that position or not Do I want to do tiktok dances? Look, I'm not trying to be a tiktok trend guys. Like I know how to do the renegade But I'm not gonna post it on tiktok. You know what I'm saying How to be a good setter I've been working on setter for like ever. I've been working on setting forever I would definitely start working in that ball shape hand And making sure that you understanding how to push the ball out. So that setting video that I have Um, really was a really great explanation of how to set I do have a video of how what a volleyball manager does And that is the volleyball manager That was on my team when I was playing and I interviewed her you should go watch it Yeah, I need to do one. I need to get some mats so that way I can really properly show you guys slow Moon So I mean, I think the coaches are going to look for your basic skill level They want to see that if you're able to pass set serve if you're coachable those are things that they're looking at Thank you. I dyed it recently as you can see it's like this burgundy. No, I'm sorry. No burgundy. It's like this blondish color Yeah, I have the overhand serving course if you guys forgot about that So I have the overhand serving course on teachable and it goes really in depth of overhand serve I think a lot of people forgot about that Like it's like a legit like course course on volleyball. I think I want to discount it soon so that way you guys can take it What time is it? Almost time for me to go guys. I got like five more minutes before I have to go outside and play grass Yeah, yeah, I would coach 11 year olds for sure Yeah, we'll coach 11 year olds for sure. One of my main goals is I want to be able to come and coach you guys Or find a way to coach you guys online. I would love that I think I'm going to make the online coaching Yes, the online coaching would have to cost money so that way I can do It like full time with you guys and just keep keep keep keep coaching You guys want to do that? Let me write this down. So we're working on diving right now We're still working on our serving. So hold on diving Go ahead and tell me what else we're working on Serving oh, yeah, if I saw the class that would oh, what if I started a class? I'll put that in there. Let's see Look at you Bella out here setting everybody else up for success hitting and yeah for sure Rotations we're going to work on rotations. I'm just going to start a whole volleyball school Just the whole school passing Blocking so should I just write down like everything I'm just going to put everything everything We want to work on everything cocoa everything everything. We're just doing everything Okay cross shots. Yes. My favorite thing to do is hit cross Settered up.  Listen Listen, it's the trick set over hand Look, man. We got it all going on here. Everybody's just throwing google classroom in here Jumping drills I might do a video uh in a minute when I I have somebody helping me out with my video today. Let's see who that is I think this is the first person I featured on my channel Yeah I just wrote everything. I wrote everything guys. It's cool We're going to work that out Chloe We're going to work that out. I'm going to I'm going to like mind meld and brainstorm on that Okay, guys, what time is it? Oh Snicker doodle. Okay. So I'm gonna have to go but I wrote down all of these beautiful beautiful notes I'm going to oh synchronize attacks. Let me write that down I'm going to live stream again probably on sunday and Follow up with you guys But make sure if you're not following me on tiktok Do that on tiktok. Okay and email me if you want or interested in volleyball class Shoot me an email at coogle volley contact at gmail.com and I was trying to respond to them as quickly as I can possible Okay um And then we can We can we can work on it Okay peace See you guys later stay safe Email me mary claire because I'm think I'm gonna have to think about it I do have a p.o. Box. Do you want me to give you this before I leave? I'm gonna put my p.o. Box. Um Where should I put that in the comments? Maybe look at my instagram story. I'll put my p.o. Box on my instagram story All right, peace. Bye. Bye. Bye. Bye. Bye. Bye. Bye. Bye. Bye. Bye. Bye. Bye. Bye. Bye. It was nice seeing you guys I'll see you guys soon. Bye. I gotta go film Bye


minding. I really want to talk about the narrative that is coming for the next probably year or so which is going to be which central bank is looking to be the first to cut rates and this is really important because it will determine which pairs you're looking to buy or sell. So yeah let me get into this just let me know if you can see my pen tool one second can you see this by the way guys can you see that yeah yeah excellent excellent excellent welcome Lawrence as well let me just mute some of the mics I think there's a little bit of feedback coming through on mine and shady advice is here as well welcome so just as again more of a more of an overview as to why rate cuts and overall why we're looking at divergences or maybe maybe to kind of look at it in terms of leading and lagging central banks in terms of rate cuts because as we know all basically paths and roads lead to interest rates right so interest rates INR right in terms of currency value and and as well you do have a risk-off sentiment right risk off so risk on a risk off right to the side but typically when you think about risk on you're more concerned with interest rates and when you're thinking about risk off the risk off side of things you're more concerned with I guess it's more sentiment fear you know uncertainty doubt and safe haven and traders putting their money into where they think money then money's going to be more protected so all roads into interest rates right and the main things that determine whether a central bank is going to hike or cut rates or just keep rates on hold right is going to be what determines what happens with GDP and what happens with inflation now inflation is really the big unknown traders I mean central banks try to manage inflation via managing interest rates but they also do the same thing with the economy right so they're intertwined so depending on what happens with inflation and GDP you know that will determine what happens with interest rates right and it's really important also as well to know that everything goes in a cycle yeah you have a GDP cycle you have an inflation cycle and again that determines interest rate cycles and so I'm not necessarily going to go into the details as to why but just understand that this is historically what you know happens you can go back and look but this is if you understand you know the the relationship and you've done the short course and test I think it's channel was it channel 28 27 or something like that if you submitted that to me then you should know this if not then I definitely advise you do this right and so GDP and inflation actually are correlated in a sense that whenever you have in certain phases of the economic cycle you will have either inflation or deflation right so for example we have boom we have contraction we have recession we have bust or slump phase then you have the recovery and then you have the expansion and then you back to the boom phase again right and then it you know and then it continues on and you're out here again and then it goes back to contraction same thing with inflation right so inflation cycles you usually get rising inflation yeah in the in the recovery expansion phase in the boom phase of the economic cycle yeah and then you typically get deflation during the contraction recession or bust or slump phase yeah so you can actually actually could predict or forecast what is likely to happen with the economy right depending on where inflation is likely going right because if we know that they're correlated we should be on this end of the cycle right because things are contracting and we're seeing inflation come down now which one leads and which one lags I haven't necessarily looked into 110% but they're both correlated right so it for example you won't you I don't think you'll ever see and I don't say ever but it's highly unlikely that you'll see deflation in a you know boom or recovery or expansion phase of the cycle just like you will probably likely unlikely to ever see deflation of sorry inflation or rising inflation in the recession you know bust or slump phase right or the contraction phase and so where we are now we're moving into the phase we are moving into the stage of if any of you have been moving for any length of time maybe the past you know year or two we've been really kind of focused on the on this side of the cycle right so with the you know recovery expansion stroke you know boom phase of things now we're coming into the contraction phase you know recessions everyone's talking about recession next year and how you know pretty much most countries are likely to go into a recession and so again interest rate cycles just to link this to interest rate cycles interest rate cycles will again move in the same way yeah that for example of GDP and inflation right so if you know that these two are correlated right these two are correlated then the same thing should happen with interest rates right if you're in the if if you're in the phase where you're in the recovery expansion boom phase and inflation is rising above their 2% target of course yeah because it got 2% target then interest rates are likely to be likely to rise right like to hike interest rates and so if we're heading into the contraction you know recession bustle slump phase of the of you know the GDP cycle the business cycle therefore the inflation cycle therefore in the interest rate hiking or cutting cycle we should be on the cutting end right and you'll see in that play out right now if you're not seeing a play out that is what all the big fuss is about yeah it's basically where are we and what is the central bank likely to do in the future you see an inflation come down you see in signs that the economy is contracting therefore you're seeing interest rates start to come down and we know that interest rate cuts typically devalues the currency now the level of devaluation because we trade currencies together right for example euro dollar all right the question now becomes the nuance which is who is likely to cut first and who is likely to cut lost yeah and so the per the say the person but the central bank that is likely to cut first yeah is the country that really you should look to you should look to sell first yeah and we have a great really good in fact let me just clear this by the way is everyone following is everyone following me is there any questions anyone got any questions that they want to ask yeah no if if you want to ask any questions then just you know post it in the in the chat now this is by the way this was this is ing and this is found in the I think I put it in the bank I think it's the bank research channel within one of the years I've had a bank forecast of the bank research channel that I put this in and so this is where we talk about or where you know I'm talking about who's hiking also I say who's cutting first and who's expected to cut first and for example and and also as well the question is by how much which also is a determinant value of a determining factor of value this is what the ing are predicting right so what we've got is all the central banks they think that the next move for the dollar is going to be in terms of a you know a cut right it's going to be May Eurozone I think June Bank of Japan I think May is going to be probably one of the central banks that I trade going to be a hike see I trade what we trade in terms of like we don't know I don't necessarily trade you know these Swedish corona for example all that all the Norway currency Norwegian currency and again so we've got cuts cuts and these are what is expected now this is just one bank by the way their word isn't gospel so you have to do a bit more research in terms of looking for information where banks are telling you where they expect or what they expect to happen with each central bank and it's not going to be easy and sometimes the information isn't necessarily out there but you know there are times where we can we can see that and they've been actually talking about it or mentioning it quite a lot in Bloomberg because I don't know if anyone's mentioned seeing it but you're starting to see a lot of paragraphs within articles that talk about swaps rates right swaps of rates of pricing in rate hikes and cuts etc when you see something like that and I'll and I think I'll go over an example of that a little bit later but basically it's just talking about whether the market is positioning itself for rate cuts sooner or later now since this has been released I have seen information that actually kind contradicts this right where you've got in fact they think that the economists and traders are betting on a later move for the United States yeah and an earlier move in fact this is now I think it's like April right this is April rather than June and so yeah so the point I'm trying to make is this is first of all you got to get more of a consensus view right and secondly why the question is well why does the bank think or why do banks think that this is likely to happen and again this comes back to our understanding of economic cycles and where we are right and so if we understand that if interest rates are coming down I'm sorry inflation is coming down right towards their 2% target it means that the central bank are likely unlikely to continue hiking rates right but then we have to look forward and say well if we're in this cycle yeah if inflation is coming down and we're probably heading towards deflation then we are automatically know that we're heading into a potential recession which then means that you know we're gonna look for cuts and so it's understanding the data today which has an effect of pricing you know over the next three four five six months right even though I think it's already I think most of the pricing is actually or the forecast are being priced in based on what's happening today so as an example let's say all this you know I throw out a bit of an easy question right if if let's say for example GDP or GDP but if unemployment non-farm payrolls right comes out on Friday comes out on Friday and let's say it's a fantastic number in terms of employment right it's a really high number what do you think the the market is likely to price in let's just say that currently it is pricing in a May cut yeah but let's say non-farm payrolls comes in and it's a fantastic number do you think that ING or you know banks in general are likely to move this expected cut in May towards April or further out towards maybe June or July which way June July they were considered delaying the rate cuts absolutely right that's exactly it right towards August right exactly towards this end right and the reason why we all instinctively know the reason why but all we say instinctively but we know the logical reason why but just to explain it for everyone and anyone who's watching this video and it's because non-farm payrolls is an indicator of how GDP is doing right a gross domestic product and typically in in a recession you have lower employment and higher unemployment right but if employment is continuing to rise yeah that means that GDP may not be heading into the recession as soon as maybe the market is pricing in or how you know whoever expects right a recession maybe in if a recession is expected for example in in you know May or June right then that's gonna have to be pushed back yeah in terms of well it might the recession may not happen in May or June anymore it might happen in you know July or August which then again we overlay that with understanding okay well if that's the case then in fact the interest rate cycle should also be delayed yeah and so because there's no really need for the central bank to cut rates if the the economy is doing okay or better than expected of course you do have to overlay that with inflation but if inflation is going down to their 2% target I think we're at what we are 3.2% or something like that quarter on quarter and if it's starting to come down still but the but the economy is doing okay then we are likely to not have to cut sooner now if non-farm payrolls comes out as being you know terrible for example or below way below the the forecasted number that is basically the opposite right that the economy is contracting because we've got low employment and potentially depending on the unemployment numbers if that comes in higher then you know then the market is going to price in April but depending on where we are right depending on where we are on this time horizon in terms of when is the first expected cut and also how many cuts right because in fact you still you also got ING who are forecasting more cuts then than Europe which is again a bit of a bit of a strange one but that is also a factor because the more cuts the more devaluation the the the least amount of cuts the least amount of devaluation right and so we need to keep an eye on the data which we always do anyway but it's this is the reason why the data we look at is very significant and we can get a better understanding as to which pairs we should be trading right the dependent upon what we are our understanding of GDP inflation interest rates what's happening and so if we had good GDP news we're likely to push back on the the rate cut also as well if inflation right if inflation comes out you know higher than expected yeah or remains sticky for example and is not heading towards their 2% target yeah then that is also going to cause the central bank or forecast about what central banks are likely to do with their cuts to be pushed further into the future and why is that why would stickier inflation cause central banks or you know central banks or yeah actually central banks to maybe actually cut a bit later anyone when I hazard yes simple stuff I know you guys know it but just to double check hold for longer pretty much yeah very succinct Alexander's thank you very much that's after they have to hold for longer right so they don't have to necessarily cut so much or they might even have to hike in the case of the Australian dollar but if inflation stays sticky or the New Zealand dollar but pretty much they're holding for longer so then the cut will come later right so they'll be holding a holding December January February March April if inflation is stickier today right and if they just not coming down to their target then they may have to hold for longer while inflation does get down to their 2% target so this is basically what is going on and so just in case anyone was was confused or was unsure as to what is going on in terms of what the narrative now is and what it's likely to be or very highly probably likely to be in in the future of course you do have risk-off sentiment as well but from a fundamental perspective this is the game plan this is what we always need to keep our eye on and and certain data so Daniel says so higher inflation expectations will become entrenched and central banks lose credibility to that's another thing that's more again more nuanced than talking about credibility there was a there was an article that I did post on the Bank of Canada talking about their credibility on inflation and the reason why credibility is important is because


Welcome back to another microsoft bytes. I'm Stratus I'm Gez. I love that clip Today we're gonna be continuing on our series on having mycroft gather information from the user after something has happened So we're going to be using ask. Yes. No today. It's a relatively simple in terms of the input output that we feed it and Because of that, we're not actually going to show it in action because it's very similar to get response So instead we're just kind of kind of walk through the additions of code that we have to our ice cream skill so that you can kind of see how we built it But there's not really much value in showing you, you know, mycroft in action on this So with that, I think we're going to jump over into an IDE instead of a terminal today and just kind of walk through the code Awesome. Let's do it So here we have the still that we've been been working on for a number of weeks the ice cream shop skill and We want to add this ask. Yes. No method. So to do that. We're going to Process the payment for the ice cream that these people are buying and then ask whether they would like to provide a tip With that payment or not we've done most of this already So we'll just just walk through it a little bit after we've spoken the dialogue and and provided the ice cream back to the Customer will add a method to process the payment and then start to build that out So to keep this symbol, we're just going to have a fixed cost of five dollars I'm going to tell the customer what the total bill is and then we're going to ask them Whether they would like to provide a tip. So for this, you know, it's very similar to the get response method And the other methods that we've looked at do self don't ask. Yes. No And provide a dialogue file and then a data object if we want to inject any Dynamic data into that dialogue Just like the get response. It's going to return a string and it's going to return one of four things So if there's an affirmative response, it's going to reply with yes. It's going to return. Yes this is Not only if the user responds with yes, it's going to do any kind of affirmative response So yes, sure, you know, all those sorts of things which to a human mean yes But not just returning if the string equals YES. It's it's for any type of affirmative response In that case, we can we can add a tip in thank the customer and move on But if they say no or you know a negative type response, then it will return the string and no And so we can check for that. The third one is is it can return none so if we ask this question and The customer doesn't respond at all. They're sitting on their phone. Whatever. It's going to return none So that that tells us that no response No utterance from the user was received so then we can do what we like there and Then finally if the user responds with something, but it's neither an affirmative nor a negative response So they might say bananas For whatever reason and that will return the full utterance and so We often get questions about you know, why is this the case like it seems quite weird if we're if we're asking a yes No question.  And so they reply with oh, actually I'd like another ice cream, please. Well, you know something like that Maybe they want to provide a custom tip amount. Who knows there could be could be incidences where You want to know What the user said Given that microf doesn't believe that it was a yes or a no answer and so you can use that there or you can not you can just say If they didn't say yes, I don't care about anything else So, you know delete all this that's fine, too. Great. So now we have we have the tip amounts that we've calculated for each You know each response type we can add that to the to the cost to get a total and then we'll probably report that back to the user When we were kind of chatting about this one of the things that I I kind of questioned was why are we using the ask yes No Rapper around get response when you could just simply use get response and do the checking because if you saw above We had an if statement if it was yes or if it was no or if it was none So that seems to me to be No added value in having an ask yes. No Method so I wondered if like maybe you can explain a little bit why we don't just do this ourselves Yeah, it's a question we get pretty regularly and and as I said like it really is a Rapper around get response the magic the magic really comes when you hit these vocab match methods And so now you can you can implement this in your own skill if you wanted to as well But what we've seen is that generally people start with something really simple like get the response and then check if the Response is the string yes, then do something or even if this if yes is in The response then then do something but the the limitations of this is that it's only going to work in English And it's only going to match if the response actually contains the letters way Yes, and so it will actually match if someone says something like yesterday That will also return as if it was an affirmative response, which probably shouldn't be the case And so what Vok match does is it it uses the vocab file for yes If there's one in the skill it will use that vocab file But otherwise it's going to use the one from my crop call which has a whole range of vocab in A number of languages that indicate an affirmative response So it might be yes, it might be sure it might be Yeah, it might be the tool for Indonesian I don't I don't think that was actually in my crop call yet but you know it can work for a range of Affirmative responses across languages depending on what language the the user's system is set to and So it's just a much more robust way of checking Whether things are affirmative or negative, you know rather than using these direct sort of string comparisons Which can work in a limited range of circumstances, but you'll find you run into all sorts of Issues when once you actually start using that in the wild and and that's how this method has come about is you know We've seen a number of skills try and do this in a range of ways And this is the way that we recommend that people do it And so that's why we made it a method available on the skill class so that it really just makes it easier for you to do a Very common thing and do it in a way that's consistent So that the users get a very consistent experience as well Make sense. So yeah, yeah, it's a great question and As I said, you know one that we get all the time. So good to cover That was ask-as-no and as we showed you it was built on top of git response But in a very standardized way that the mycroft team recommends that you handle these sort of approaches Really the big takeaway for me was the ask-as-no deals with the translation for you and that is really helpful when you're thinking about pushing out your skills to a wider audience Is there anything else that you want to talk about with ask-as-no? No, I think, you know, there's some other ones coming along the pipeline where we're looking at potentially having an even simpler ask-confirm method that only returns yes-no Potentially, so if you think that would be useful then we came to hear about it in the comments, you know, we always want to Make things simpler for for mycroft developers, but we also don't want to add things just for the sake of adding them So let us know what you think is going to be helpful and keep telling us Yeah, what what other videos you think would be helpful to to help you get across concepts? We've received a few suggestions at the moment and and we're looking at those for future videos. So yeah, keep it up Thanks, and I guess with that I will wrap this this episode up and we'll say until next time Until next time