Hey what's up guys welcome to a new video so in this one I'm going to be going over my Q4 strategy video so this is the strategy that I actually implement myself every single year every single Q4 ever since I've started dropshipping over three years ago now. Now whilst the products might change actual principles and fundamentals of the strategy doesn't so in this video I'm going to be taking you through everything you need to know so by the time you finish watching this video you'll have a clear cut of vision of exactly what you need to do. The notes in this video as well will be available to download so you can get your copy and work through step-by-step in your own time to download them just check out the link which I will post below in the comment section or the video description. Anyway with that being said guys thanks for tuning in I hope you enjoy it and let's get straight into it. So the content I'm going to be covering are the three core elements to any successful dropshipping business and as you can see on your screen that is the store the product and your Facebook ad or your marketing ad.  Let's give you an example then you could have a really nice store that you spend thousands of pounds designing you could get professional designer in and you have a really nice looking website you could have the next best product that nobody's ever seen before that everybody wants to buy but if you don't have a very good marketing campaign or Facebook ad you're simply not going to drive enough traffic to get the success that you want and this works every way around too so you could have the next best product since sliced bread everybody wants it it's a really cool product you could have an awesome Facebook ad campaign that drives traffic for say £3 per CPM but if you've got a dodgy looking store that nobody's going to trust again you're not going to make the sale so just make sure you watch the whole video stick to what I go through because you need to do all three of these things correctly first thing sir so I'm going to start with the actual Shopify store itself now my recommendation is to go with the general store because it allows for fast flexibility and I want you to make this store Xmas themed as well I'm going to show you a couple of stores in a second just because people don't believe general stores work but they do and just as proof here's a couple of big ones that you guys can use for inspiration and this is bluecrate.com you can see these guys are still kind of like Halloween themed so what I want you to do is replicate something similar but make it Xmas themed as we can see on the right as well there's like a little chrome extension called similar web these guys are averaging monthly visits of around a hundred thousand so obviously they're they're doing something right they're obviously doing pretty well the next one even bigger is high go sharp you may have heard of these guys before and these guys are regularly getting around 200,000 visits per month so as you can see the general store strategy obviously still works but the main reason I want you to use it is for fast flexibility as it says here our key to success will be rapid testing of different products to find exactly what works and when we do find what works we're going to double down on it so as it says in the next point focus on one product at a time for a couple of reasons really number one is your pixel if you're trying to sell a product in the camping niche in the dog niche in the hiking niche all at the same time it's going to confuse your pixel a little bit unless you've got the custom conversion set up however if you're a beginner and you're trying to make money as quick as possible you don't want to waste time doing that just make sure you focus on one product at a time the second point is confusion slash workload you don't want to be buying off more than you can chew here when it comes to running Facebook ad you need to have a clear focus of what you're currently focusing on otherwise you're going to get lost and otherwise you're going to end up spending lots of money and not seeing the results that you hope for next point just a recommendation it doesn't really matter to be honest just make sure you fill out your store accordingly so when people come on it looks legit it looks professional and you look like a substantial and established business so as a ruff order thumb then I recommend five collections slash niches with 10 products per collection next point then this is the most important part you want at least one trending product per niche and this when I say one trending products we're going to get into that second in the next section but this is going to be the product that we're focusing on that we're going to be pushing that we're going to be marketing that will hopefully bring us all our sales an important note here I'm going to put this in bold because it is very important is that don't restrict yourself to the niche so if you create your store and your niches are let's say golf hiking dogs cats and mobile phone cases but then you find say a unicorn product that is really trending but just because it doesn't fit into your niches then then you kind of write it off that's not the case what we want to do here is build a store that's focused around the product and not the niches if you find a product that's selling really well by all means add it to your store and just go with that next point then is you must include an upsell to maximize your average order value this is something not to be neglected it's like the number one and easiest thing you can do to increase your profit margins and make some more money just one little tip make sure that the upsell is from the same supplier as the product that you're focusing on that way you're going to save yourself about two to three pound per that extra carriage charge next point as well make sure you have an eczema themed countdown timer then it's relevant it's current people coming onto your store know that you're active because you're keeping up with trends the fact that it's coming up to Christmas and again another little important note is make sure you use this appropriately if customers come onto your store and you've got 20 items in stock then they refresh the page and you've got 25 items in stock or 10 items it's not going to look very good customers will be put off by that and they'll just go elsewhere so just yes it's a general store but just make sure you keep things professional the final point then is just again another recommendation and I'm not affiliated with these guys I just like the way their stores look especially when you're designing a general store so if you have the budget it's about a hundred dollars I believe um then I recommend using the optimized theme moving on to the second core element then which is the product I'm not going to go into crazy amounts of detail in this section probably because my previous video was specifically on products and how to find them so make sure you go check that out if you want to delve even deeper so to begin with then it has to be a seasonal slash trending products what I mean by that is that it will sell immediately we don't have time to build a brand we don't have time to create tons of content and get loads of different influences on board we need the products that since we put it in our store and start advertising it is in demand and it's going to start bringing in some sales through the door uh from day one number two in terms of coming up with ideas for products then I think whether related and things people care about or can be sociable with to give you an example then of some products that fit this criteria also the next point as well which is ideally doubles up as a gift this is quite important with it coming up to Christmas obviously people are in buying moods and they're not only buying for themselves but they're buying for other people too so I mentioned in my previous video but again just to mention it now it's one thing I like to mention in my Facebook ads is so for example if you're selling Labrador socks you could say um makes the perfect gift for somebody who has a Labrador and then that way even if they don't have a Labrador themselves it might trigger in their mind somebody who does um and therefore they're more likely to buy it as a gift for somebody anyway to give you some product examples we have this petal kind of light fruit and nut box which is perfect for this time of year because it's the time of year where families get together social gatherings things like that it's just a nice piece that they could have on their coffee table or something the next one being this LED lamp this is a proven seven figure product I can't remember what video it was but it featured in one of my videos where I found this store that sold a lot of these um especially this time of year where it's getting darker earlier um it's the kind of thing you could add to a room just to make it a bit more cozy and a bit warmer um whilst the weather is cold outside next product is this transformer car I think personally I think this is a great product especially for this time of year what kid under the age of say 12 years old wouldn't want this me being 27 I'm a fan of it and to be honest if my girlfriend bought me this for Christmas then I wouldn't be disappointed anyway that being said back to the strategy itself um the next point is e-packet is a must purely because in term on AliExpress e-packet in my opinion certainly from my experience has been the fastest service you can get so obviously it's just going to help with not missing that delivery date because obviously if somebody buys something as a gift and it arrives after Christmas Day the chances are they're going to ask for a refund the next thing you want to make sure you do as well certainly as it comes up to December is ask your supplier for the last dispatch date for delivery before Xmas now obviously they won't be able to guarantee anything um from past experience it's usually towards the end of the first week of December and once you've reached that point then where you can't guarantee delivery before Christmas there's a couple of things you can do number one is you can just proceed as normal but just make sure you have a note on your site that says delivery not guaranteed before Xmas so people know or the second thing you can do then is start sourcing the product locally for the rest of the month if possible to give you an example then I'm on aliexpress here not a lot of people know this but if you search for certain products and what you can do then is if you take a look at this box you can set what country the products are currently available from um at the moment I've got it set to UK so these are all the different countries that have products in that can ship to the UK so at the moment I've got Spain and just to give you an example of a current product I've found it was this product here I'm not saying this is a good product but what I'm illustrating is the fact you can source this from China Russia Spain and the US and if you have a look at the delivery time here you can actually get this delivered within a week to the UK so when you reach that point then just have a look around on aliexpress and see if you can actually source that same product just a bit quicker moving on to the next few points then so stay away from consumables or hazardous products number one reason well I guess there's two kind of like main reasons number one is you want to avoid the risk of potentially harming someone for obvious reasons and number two then is these will be slow through customs especially if you don't have a decent supplier so certain products require certain certifications in order to be able to come into the EU and if your supplier doesn't send those products with the required certifications they're going to get held up it's going to delay the process and ultimately you're going to get disappointed in the angry customers that want their money back final point then always always always use google trains to see if your product is in demand for two reasons number one you want to make sure that it's selling a product that is currently popular that people are currently wanting to buy and number two is as long as you set this to worldwide so as an example this is led dog color it's going to tell you where the popularity for this product is coming from so if you put something in here and it tells you that say canada is popular for this product or that sweden is popular for this product then you know exactly what countries to focus on with your facebook ads which is what it says here in brackets important for marketing purposes as well with that being said then let's move into the third core element which is your facebook marketing campaign my main focus over the past three and a half years now has been facebook ads so that's the strategy in which i'm going to use for this video starting from top to bottom then step by step i want you to have a maximum of five ad sets in a purchase cbo campaign and i want you to select the lowest cost bid strategy obviously we want the cheapest conversions possible with a daily budget of 100 pounds now the reason i want you to do max five ad sets is so that you don't spread your budget too thinly one of the things coming into q4 more and more people are spending more and more money on facebook advertising facebook ads are a bidding platform so you need to be spending as much money as possible per ad set to give that ad set the best chance possible if that makes sense 100 pounds per day is quite a lot so make sure you watch your ads every six hours and if one if they start to tank all the results are really poor then it's completely your decision which ones you switch off which ones you decide to keep but in keeping with this strategy this is what i recommend so keep an eye on the cost per link click not cost per click there has to be this is quite a key factor that's important make sure it's the link click because this shows intent with the customer that they're actually interested enough to click on your ad and then actually click on the link to go to your site which shows more intent they're simply just clicking on your ad under 30 pence in my opinion is ideal obviously the cheaper the better so if you can get around that number or lower then great each ad set then i want you to use one interest flexed with engaged shoppers usually i don't use engaged shoppers but with it coming into q4 more and more people are going to be buying things through facebook ads there's going to be fresh people coming into that particular category that particular audience and the fresher the audience in my opinion then the better because obviously the more likely they are to make a purchase next point is i want you to keep the audience size under one million purely because if you do the maths with a daily budget of 100 pounds and five ad sets you're looking at 20 pounds per day roughly per ad set depending on whether you set the rules or not and 20 pounds spent on an audience size of one million people it's a tiny tiny percentage so as a very maximum then to make sure you test the audience adequately make sure you stick to an audience size of maximum one million people let it run for two days then this gives it a chance to optimize somewhat and after those two days any ad sets with zero purchases then turn them off once you've turned those ones off then that haven't made any purchases let the current ones run for another two days and then start to scale them by increasing budget and as long as the sales keep coming in consistently then i would keep increasing the budget every couple of days now you might have watched some of my previous videos where i've said let the ads run for four days the reason it's over a shorter period now is because with it being q4 and a lot more people buying and spending through facebook then it should be easier to get those purchases therefore it should be easier for your ad sets to optimize that bit faster moving on then into the targeting quite an important part and this is where google trends comes into play i want you to follow the demand so use google trends see where the popularity is coming for that particular search term and then use those countries as the one that you want to focus on and target next point though something worth considering is in my opinion i do this now i tend to stick to the u k and the e u only purely because it's much less competitive than us and when i say much less if you take the drop ship industry in america in the united states and compare it to the rest of the world and this is through the orders that are processed through ibelo too then there's more orders processed for america through ibelo than there is through every other country in the world combined so that just gives you an example of how competitive the u s is compared to other countries moving on then to facebook strategy part two so if this all goes well and you want something a bit more advanced or you want other ways of scaling then this is what i recommend so i want you to go ahead and create look-alike audiences based on the highest quality traffic as soon as you have 100 people look-alike audiences the key to success with them is using the highest quality base audience as possible so the look-alike audiences i want you to create then are view content and add to cart purchase and then video views for 95 percent and 75 percent as soon as you've got 100 people in those custom audiences go ahead and use them to create the look-alike audiences if a look-alike audience then proves a winner and it's profitable you've got consistent sales coming in then what i want you to do is create another look-alike audience based on that same custom audience not many people know you can do that but you can and if you can create one look-alike audience of it the chance is how you might be able to create two, three, four or five so it's all about doubling down then and what's actually working the final couple of points then is make sure you retarget all vc and a to c minus the purchase that way you're going to be showing people who have come onto your store and haven't purchased showing them the same ad again and the more they see your ad up to a kind of around four or five frequency score tends to be the sweet spot for me anything more than that then people tend to start reporting your ad or commenting on it saying i keep seeing this damn ad how do i get rid of it so keep an eye on your frequency score when it comes to retarget and add set your budget to five dollars per day monitor it look at the frequency score after three or four days and then adjust your budget accordingly the final point then to wrap this video up is retarget all purchases so everybody who's made a purchase retarget them with a different product with a discount code that thanks them for shopping with you when it comes to facebook ads the more specific and relevant your ad is to your audience then the better results you're going to get and with that being said then guys i'm going to wrap the video up i just want to say a massive thank you if you've watched this video all the way through i really hope it helps you and i'm really confident and believe in this as a strategy so please do make sure you head down into the video description or the comments download these notes and just work through them step by step and i'm confident that if you follow this then you'll be able to get some decent results anyway with that being said make sure you comment like subscribe and let's get into announcing the winner of the previous video then to see who's going to win that one to one call so this is the previous video that i uploaded the support and this has been really good in fact i just want to say thank you to everybody who asked for this full q4 strategy video but anyway let's get into announcing the winner of the call so i'm just going to take the url head over to our random comment pick a 20 unique comments which is awesome so thank you very much and the winner of the previous video then is day m s so thank you very much for your comment hit me up on instagram we can get that call arranged and guys if you just want to get straight down to business book a call right away i've had quite a few bookings actually recently so thank you very much you can do so check out the link in the video description below and yeah we can get that call arranged that'd be something guys i feel like i've been talking for absolutely ages thanks again for watching and see you in the next one


Hi, my name is Liam Rowe, currency trader and trading coach at trading 180.com and welcome to this week's fundamental and technical Forex and gold supply and demand analysis if you're newer one welcome to you And if you're returning unequally one welcome to you and if you want to support the channel and get the quality content out there And help support it then please don't forget to like subscribe and share with your fellow trading colleagues So trade 180 process Is really to apply fundamental Analysis to establish our directional bias and then apply technical analysis supply and demand strategies to time our trade entries risk management And established profit targets, so we use the best of both worlds to take the best trades, so let's get into the week ahead in the calendar and and Looking at trading economics the week ahead saying it was going to be a busy week With the US Federal Reserve monetary policy meeting and jobs report taking center stage Also attention will be given to corporate results of the dismal earnings from Amazon not really too concerned about that elsewhere The Bank of England and Reserve Bank of Australia will be deciding on interest rates and I'll guess I'll go into some of the Negrity I guess So in the US to Fed is expected to deliver a half-point rate hike on Wednesday Which would be the first such move since 2000 the year 2000 22 years ago and to work confirm plans to begin shrinking its nine trillion asset portfolio by 95 billion a month in June investors will watch the clues on the rate hike trajectory And that's really important to curb price pressures that are Four decade high meanwhile pressures sorry markets see non-farm payrolls increasing by 380,000 the least in a year But still pointing to strong hiring momentum while unemployment rate is seen falling to 3.5 percent matching February's 2020 Pre-pandemic rate, so there's that going on elsewhere in America key data to follow include Canada employment figures trade balance And then we've got Mexico Brazil Central Bank of Brazil not too concerned about that in the United Kingdom The Bank of England is expected to high crates for the fourth straight meeting by 25 basis points to 1% as inflation hit a 30-year hire although some officials are concerned about the growth outlook and that's very very important as cost of living pressures Mount also important data Following include Bank of England's monetary indicators, so let's see elsewhere in Europe Retail trade in the Euro area is forecast to be unchanged for a month earlier in March But Germany sales are set to increase for the second month while industrial production is expected to fall for the first time in Six months as factory orders continue to drop and that's obviously important for the the growth of the economy, right? So the unemployment rate probably hit a fresh record low on the blocks economy while Germany while in Germany It was steady at pre-pandemic lows So they've got some positive data a little bit positive data out of out of Europe in Germany Germany being Europe's powerhouse But other data to follow include Eurozone business climate producer prices And then you've got the central bank in Norway and the Czech Investors also followed the OPEC meeting on Thursday So they are Expected to stick to planned output increase. Okay, so that should potentially support commodity prices even though EU moves closer joining the US and the UK and imposing a ban on Russia crude imports right in Australia this is obviously going to be important as well the Reserve Bank of Australia will likely increase borrowing costs by 25 basis points of high interest rates After first quarter inflation rate hit a two decade high of five point one and the labor market remained historically tight So folk focus on sorry will also be given to the RBA's forward guidance, which is seen Being brought forward so that the benchmark interest rate reaches one point two five percent at the end of 2022 So pretty much all central banks at the moment or the major central banks probably apart from the Bank of Japan And the Bank of the Swiss National Bank are our hiking rates at the moment. So Yeah, we've got some or looking to hike rates at some point. So Yeah, some some positivity and really how you kind of trade this is is by understanding who's hiking more and first Versus who is lagging behind. So at the moment for me, the Australian dollar is is a buy The US dollar is still a buy even though, you know, we're waiting for pullbacks on some of the pairs Canadian dollar for example as a buy New Zealand dollar is a buy and the rest are pretty much Cells the pound is a bit of a unique one But we'll get into that as we get into the charts So let's get into the charts and starting off as we always do on the dollar index Now on the dollar index, this is some of last week's analysis looking for really a pullback on this On the on the dollar index as far as it being a Measure of our dollar strength. So Looking to buy the dollar you were really kind of looking for, you know, some sort of pullback But prices just kept going higher, right? So not say that we were gonna buy the any the dollar index Because we would really buy the dollar yen dollar Swiss for example, but But yeah, prices just kept going higher and this is what happens when you have I guess strong monetary policy when the dollar is leading the pack But we did get some interesting news last week and that was that There was US stagflation fears on the rise, right? So there was a surprise GDP contraction at the time At a time when inflation is running at 40 year highs and inevitably lead to more talk of stagflation Particularly with the Fed set to hike interest rates aggressively. However, major trade and Inventory swings must decent underlying domestic demand with cute second quarter activity set to be much better So although the headline number end up being very disappointing very very disappointing The the market is pretty much looking past it there actually because when you think about it, you know The it I think it had probably been I wouldn't say priced in but it had it was definitely a surprise But I think the market were like well, maybe it was just a bit of a blip, right? And again looking at you know, whether whether it's the beginning of a contraction trend, right? and gonna lead to a potential recession or whether it is just Just a Bit of a blip, right? So, you know GDP falls but derails these are a details offer reasons for Optimism and again the second quarter growth should rebound. So the market is You know factoring and actually a second quarter should just you know This should be basically like a pullback these numbers and the Fed is like a still set to hike by 50 basis points in May So it hasn't derailed the the feds hiking It's still hiking aggressively So, you know, you can see GDP levels versus pre-COVID trend and although this was a bit of a pullback in the future We still have potential growth. So the market has looked past it hence the reason why you're seeing I guess on the On the DX why you're seeing the dollar index, you know Strengthen where a lot traders would have been getting short on that on that news and in the group I did say to the guys that I was looking to just wait and see and in fact, let me see if I can find that conversation Yeah, so here was the 28th Thursday 28th of April and I was talking about talking to some of the guys and here were some of the comments You know about buying gold for example, we're getting the financial advice, but You know when the the stagflation narrative, you know came out. I was saying that you know this Another negative court would obviously put the US in the technical recession Which would then mean all bets of a rate hike out the window, but let's see how the story develops Yeah, so a lot of traders would generally start to jump in on bad news based off of You know just go into Forex factory and say and sell or buy and you know trading 180 We don't trade like that. That's how everyone else trades, right? We don't trade like that and You know we made obviously smart decisions not to just get involved emotionally and looking at the headline figures Because there would have been a lot of traders selling that dollar and as you can see They would have been caught on the wrong side of the market and as I said then it could be a blip a massive one But still temporary, right? So I did you know kind of warn and I was saying to kind of hold fire with with the guys and not to You know get involved in that trade just yet and obviously you could see what ended up happening Technically, you know prices end up going higher obviously And but obviously they stick and still come down and I'm hoping that it does because I'm still a buyer really of the dollar In many ways angled But I really want a deeper pullback on the dollar So let's see what happens. So so yeah, the dollar not not great But let's see what happens, you know with the economy and what the the market is already priced in So I do think that the dollar is definitely due a pullback It is you know very expensive at the moment. So any pullbacks to Any kind of demand zones as confluence on the DXY is you know, what I really want to get involved in so let's see What happens there moving on to the dollar yen? That dolly end just hasn't pulled back has it look at that crazy, but let's see There is a demand zone there put the first demand zone that I probably may look to get involved in Here because in fact the upside from there was around about 431 pips so prices, you know prices pulled back. That's a decent pullback For me to that zone into that 127 round number 128 somewhere around there and see what potentially could happen in that zone Yeah, so I do think that the again the dollar is quite expensive. So if that that zone does fail Then again, I'd have to probably over wait for a demand zone to be produced Or if prices can come down to that one two two one two one area then that would be an absolute You know great buy I think a buy an opportunity on that dollar Dollar yen definitely not buying the the yen although there is risk off Concerns the market seems to be a bit more focused on the fundamentals rather than putting their money into safe haven assets moving on to the Swiss dollar Swiss and Again looking at the dollar Saying I say in this last week that you know why even though you can get Supply zones If you're trading against really the the fundamental analysis then you're pretty gonna get in love getting caught Just going short for no reason or just for a technical reasons is the reason why a lot of traders end up getting you know Losing trades right personally as you can see from last week I was looking for a pullback to try and get long Of course, no one can predict the future We have to wait for you know prices to come down obviously prices went to the upside And we have to just wait for a pullback to get in that a better price, right? So Unfortunately prices haven't come down to getting back involved in this in this trend But so if they do then that for me is gonna be a decent buy if you do want to be a buyer of the Swiss franc for whatever reason but fundamentally I say fundamentally probably more to do if maybe the dollar You know being a bit Expensive and probably some sort of profit-taking then I would personally, you know, I wouldn't rely on a level You know his zone that was Back, you know, 20 years ago, so 20 years ago. Sorry 2020 May 2020 not 20 years ago I wouldn't necessarily rely on any kind of zones that were two years old. I would rather For price to prove that there is supply there and then a pullback into that zone before looking to get Shorts if that was the play of course and but it's not for me. So Moving on to the dollar cat dollar cat is a very interesting one I am Looking potentially a session really delete that I am potentially looking at a trade But it's further up at the highs. It's around here I do think that there is a scope for a potential downside around that area here. So Currently not too interested But if it does come up above that around that 130 cent one, you know $1.30 Area then I probably may look for a short trade in that in that zone To get shortened by the Canadian dollar You do have in fact this was a Was hidden demand right here So there was an opportunity to get involved in that Last week when prices came down into that zone and went to the upside But if we do get again prices come up into this area here Very interested in that You've got two central banks that are looking to high crates Which should lead to what is known as a value auction to be fair Prices even though if you if you zoom out on a daily timeframe chart You can see where prices have been in this What people would describe as a bit of a range But it's actually an auction between the 129 and the 124 So I do think the highs around here are decent for a potential short trade And again the guys in the group probably get a bit more analysis on that was it probably but they definitely will but For YouTube just know that you know this for the meanest decent area to look for short trades and I'll And there are several reasons why which I'm not going to get into in this Video is free video Dollar New Zealand dollar US dollar soap New Zealand dollar did sell off The US dollar generally does typically strengthen in a risk in in risk-off environments or you know in his global turmoil and commodity currencies like the New Zealand dollar won't necessarily stand a chance. So what you've seen is really a strong sell-off and There was no there was just no demand at those areas, right? So zooming out again, I'd probably say For me, there's levels, but nothing really interesting To get to get long on I'd probably wait for proof if I was looking to trade this pair Which I'm not proof of demand and then Pull back into that zone. Whether you want to call it a double bottom I'm not really inclined to call it that there's certain setups that we use in trading 180 technical setups to to determine whether there's a strong demand or strong supply. So Once I see that type of setup or once I did see that type of setup That's where I'll be interested in going long technically, but fundamentally this pair doesn't really interest me But if you are interested in continuing, you know, the short trades here really is where your first opportunity is to get Short and continue buying the dollar if you haven't taken profit already Moving on to the dot pound dollar pound dollar. So the pound I was saying last week you can see the analysis Last week that I was looking for a pullback into that supply zone and for Prices to go to the downside, which they did but they just didn't pull back right to that area. I was looking at that Thinking. Yep. I do want to get involved in that but unfortunately there was none again, so strong trends just really strong trends this year has been a a year for for really volatile price movements if you consider the pound Sorry Consider the pound dollar was moved currencies generally move In a year probably around an average of maybe about seven maybe five to maybe eight percent I think so far we've moved around. Yeah, something like nine percent So that's definitely above the average. So from basically the high of 2022 to the low of 2022 we moved at nine percent, which is again quite a quite a move In in comparison Probably the pound dollar there moved around seven percent from 20 the lows of the highs of 2021 Yeah, about seven about seven eight percent. So we've definitely moved, you know, a Quite a large amount over the over a short space of time and we still got another, you know, six months seven months to go so For me anyways pullbacks Into zones that 130 area is going to be a very nice zone looking at any kind of long trades again I'm not keen on on using 2020 Areas to look for buy trades. I'm not looking to buy this anyway Put his door looking to sell it But again looking at Where we are from a fundamental perspective You've got rates and effects are waking up to a less hawkish Bank of England reality So the markets are expecting too much tightening from the Bank of England and are slowly waking up to the less hawkish reality And I've been saying this for a good maybe month or so that I was looking to short the pound and you can see What's happened with the pounds against various currencies? This means guilt's will struggle to follow treasury and bundles higher and the curve should price out hikes So Sterling has started to react to the weaker consumer demand and barring a very hawkish surprise Risks look skewed to the downside. So again You know, this wasn't hard to see You know again we're using the fundamentals to predict, you know medium to long-term trends And that's what you know, we consistently do it trading 180 and you can see that also as well recession risks sparks UK Market jitters ahead of Bank of England decisions So retail stocks the pound and Sterling junk bonds have all slid money market bets Money markets bet the Bank of England will have to pivot to rate cuts basically meaning That it might not hike as much as they were signalling maybe about a month or two ago Which then causes a revaluation of the pound So the UK markets are sounding the alarm of a potential recession piling pressure on the Bank of England to balance curbing Balance curbing surging inflation what we've protecting growth. So that's what's known again is stagflation So with that being said Any pullbacks for me on this are definitely selling opportunities Moving on to the Euro dollar again. You're a dollar continue to sell off We got in up here and took profit round here and It's looking for maybe a deeper pullback, but it just didn't come so it is what it is again But there's opportunities always opportunities to to buy getting another strong trend to the downside of pullback to that zone for me is definitely a Said that he definitely but it's a me. It's a nice opportunity to get short again continued shorts Although the euro at some point We were debating in the room in the discord group whether the euro or when the euro is going to be a buy and I think there was Obviously a pullback is due at some point, but I do think that I Think that the euro is going to be a buy when we see some economic growth and talking about the euro zone So again also recession fret hangs over Europe's fragile economic growth So it's not looking good in Europe either, right? So growth of zero point two in the percent in the first quarter was less than expected Economy is vulnerable to fall out from the Ukraine war so geographically where they are they're being them They're being really, you know affected by the the Russia Ukraine war So euro zone recovery from the pandemic is already showing signs of flagging even before it meets the economic storm clouds Heading its ways danger of a recession loomed interview this week after Russia halted gas flows to Poland and Bulgaria offering a Fortaste of what the region might have in store, but even without energy rationing such a move might provoke that outlook Looks ominous Underscored by weaker than expected growth reported Friday So economic growth not doing too well And so that's prompting that the ECB rate high possible, but not likely in July Yeah, I'm so European Central Bank rate increase in July is possible, but not likely says Vice President Luis D Gwendoz said so there's you know There's no reason why and an end to net asset purchases shouldn't happen in July Gwendoz told the Spanish newspaper in an interview published on Sunday But rates will rise after that and may happen within months weeks or days July as possible But that's not to say it's likely and this is the read really the reason why so with that being said if you go back to You know the euro I think It's probably a pullback due on a daily of course and but I think that there are some definite opportunities to get short within that zone if not The high probability is going to be up at the highest Aussie dollar Again, there was no demand there, right to commodity currencies weren't on doing great But prices have come down into the other zone here in his one just above it now with the Australian dollar and RBA look into high crates. I think prices have come down to a decent zone to look for potential buys But they're not against the dollar, but technically it's decent You also have You also have supplies and sitting right on top of that demand zone right there So if you do want to continue to get short and sell the the Australian dollar Then that's really the zone then you've got a decent demand zone in fact I'll pull that down to maybe there. Yeah decent demand, but I think they've put it a better area would be down at that 70 cent area 70 cent demand zone Personally, I'm not really interested in this currency pair the Aussie yen Aussie yen came down into this decent zone a Nice pullback entry before potentially moving higher if the Australian Dollar of the RBA start to high crates I think it's probably been priced in for now But any pullbacks into this zone and possibly a potential stop-hunt below there was going to be nice If I support that 85 area, I think that's going to be absolutely lovely to a great zone to buy To buy or just above that that would be as known as a CPR the 86 area For the guys that know what a capture pain relief is so Yeah, I think again the Australian dollars still a buy. It's just where you want to buy And gold gold gold gold so gold again a bit of a mixed bag I do think gold is a buy overall But with the dollar strengthening for now in the next couple of weeks it puts pressure on gold But I do think later on this year with inflation still rising. I do think gold is a is a is a continued buy and There is where is it now? So it's right. Where is it? Where is it? Where is it? Where's it? What about the gold? Did I put that gold? article here is so Bloomberg WGC gold remains resilient amid heightened Uncertainties the gold generally does well in a risk-off environment. So World Gold Council CEO a pack ex-China Andrew Naila says global says global gold demand excluding over the counter OTC in the first quarter rose 34% on year thanks to strong ETF flows. He speaks with Yvonne, etc. So there's you know, there's a definitely interesting buying gold To protect obviously against inflation. So I do think that there was an opportunity Opportunities to buy gold especially as it comes down deeper into these zones for a nice potential upside. So We have that again, I think The if the dollar start does start to weaken and then it you know growth starts does start to you know Stagnate and potentially not grow as much as in the second quarter I think gold is definitely gonna Say definitely, but it's likely to go higher and probably reach the the highs the all-time highs again And even beyond that right because there are forecasts projecting that anyways that brings us to the end of this week's video Again, don't forget to like subscribe support the channel and I hope you have a great trading week. Take care


I did not grow up homeschooling. I don't know what I'm doing. I didn't grow up Catholic. I don't know what I'm doing I didn't grow up farming. I don't know what I'm doing You put a bullet of pigs forehead and everything changes and this till and keep Podcasts the very title of it comes from the fact that man is called to work my granny when I became a Catholic She said the only reason you want to be a Catholic is so you can be like the world Party on Friday and get drunk go to confession on Saturday in time to make it a mass on Sunday All of a sudden it just occurring to me this thousand-pound animal probably doesn't want me, you know Yanking on its nipples Farming is a spectator sport start slaughtering animals on the hilltop between three roads Do you advise that homeschool families allow their children particularly their sons to shoot each other with BB guns? In the modern world therefore is taking me away from From God and my family. I don't want that. So this is my response I don't know how this podcast stuff works. I don't have a smartphone


I'll be very quick to this afternoon, I'm sure you've all seen reports about the Iranians' apparent seizure. Is there any new updates on military assistance to Ukraine? I mean, has the world really run dry in here or what is it looking at? We have issued the last drawdown package that we had funding to support, and that's why it's critical that Congress move on that national security supplemental request and we get more funding. The assistance that we provided has now ground to a halt. The attacks that the Russians are conducting are only increasing, and now as I talked about earlier this week, they're using North Korean ballistic missiles to do their dirty work. So the need is acute right now, particularly in these winter months. From the United States, we support critical work.