The following is a presentation of TFNN, the morning markets kickoff with your host Tommy O'Brien. Good morning everybody. I'm Tommy O'Brien, coming to you live from TFNN Thursday morning. Just after 9 a.m. Eastern time, we got about 24 minutes to go until the start of trading and volatility in both ways in this market folks overnight. You trade higher, you almost make it to 3800. Right now you have the S&P's positive by half a percent. Things look a little dicey in the overnight session last night, whether it was even 10 o'clock last night by even 730 last night, you were under 3740, markets charge higher basically during the European session, which is interesting. You get the DAX right now down 1%, FTSE down 410%, but you can see from about 330 in the morning up until all the way until about 730 in the morning, the S&P's traded from a price level of about 3740. You were slightly below that level, but you're talking about 55 points to the upside. We've given up some of those gains, but markets in positive territory to kick things off so far. Back to a 15 minute chart just to see the volatility this week. There is the close of action on Friday. Markets accelerate higher from Monday's closed holiday, continue the action higher on Tuesday, gives it all back pre-market and quite an acceleration we had on the opening bell yesterday gave up some of it. But as you can see, we're opening basically of where we were on Tuesday's closed. Interesting action, right? Erase all the volatility of yesterday. We are sitting right where we closed Tuesday's action. Now I'm ballparking here, market traded a little bit off, but you're sitting right at Tuesday's highs of 3780 in the S&P's. NASDAQ 100, excuse me, pretty similar action in terms of volatility in both directions, man. You're talking about 400 point moves, folks, from where you were Tuesday to the lows of early Wednesday back to the highs of yesterday. The S&P NASDAQ right now, about 50 points off of where we were in the pre-market at 11,700. You're trading 11,647. You get the Dow right now up about a quarter percent, 30,544. The bust Russell barely in the green right now at 1693 Bitcoin back above 20,000. We were below that number overnight, 20,610 for Bitcoin. You got Ethereum trading at 1120. We were down to 1041 overnight in Bitcoin. Crude catches a little bit of a bounce. We make it down to almost 102 last night. We're trading at 10659. And you jump over to the gold contract right now, flat at 1838, but we had volatility in both directions as well, down to 1826, back to 1838 this morning, and we jumped to no 10 bonds. We got some higher price and lower yield coming at you. The 10-year, 3.1%, just like that, man. Look at the action we've had in the last week. 3.5 points to the upside practically. Well, not quite. More than three points, we'll call it. From 114.10, the low of last Thursday to 117.16, let's back it up even a little bit further. Was that the exact low? Pretty close to the exact low. That's last Thursday. You actually make the exact low last Tuesday, but only a few ticks below that price level. We got yields rising to almost 3.5%. Now they're pulling back a bit. They're still sitting at 3.1%. The yield on the 10-year right now. We jump over to the volatility index, sitting under 30 right now, at 2917. Jumping back to the notes and the bonds. Interesting article over there at Bloomberg this morning, we're going to kick the program off with just one second as we get it all acclimated here. Stocks are losing the race with bonds in an era of tightening Fed. We got a lot to talk about. Chairman Powell, he was out there yesterday making some waves in the market, talking about soft landing very challenging, recession possible. Folks, no matter what the Fed chairman is saying, shouldn't really be news, and it's not really news in the market. If you look at where we are right now, no matter what Chairman Powell is saying, I think it's very clear that they are going to bring the rate hikes. They understand that inflation is raging and they have to get it under control, even if that is going to make things a little bit difficult for the foreseeable future. It's anybody's guess whether that brings a recession. Chairman Powell, whether that leads to a recession, he's the one that can ease the brakes, which is the important part of that. The market already pricing and I saw somewhere today that as of May of next year, the Fed, the market already pricing in potentially, that's when the Fed begins to ease. It's highly possible that that's when the Fed begins to ease when you think about that they're going to be bringing it with 75, 75, 75. It's not going to take long to get those rates to a level that they should have an impact. A year out from right now, maybe inflation is tamed and maybe they can provide a little bit of ease back into the economy if the market is really struggling in recessionary tendencies, which is totally possible. So we go from that headline back to the article talking about bonds and the era of Fed tightening. Some interesting statistics here. So yeah, the 10-year treasury is hitting 3.5. Remarkable. We're already back to 3.1, right? Got to have some quick fingers in this market, folks. If you're looking for price levels that stocks may trade to get them on your charts, maybe put in some limit orders.  And you're 3.1 for 10 years, you just lost four tenths of a percent for 10 years. That's how quick these markets move. Now, that's the highest since 2011 when it reached 3.5%, comparing bonds with an ever volatile stocks is tricky. Various measures show the allure of fixed income growing. I would agree. I was looking at bond funds just talking about retirement, OK, long-term retirement for the first time like last week or two weeks ago because it matters. Bond funds have gotten decimated in price. We'll take a look at some of those throughout the hour. Stocks generate about 5.3% of their price in earnings on average, making the gap between the two asset classes yield close to the slimmest since 2018. If you apply that same exercise with blue chip corporate bonds, investment grade yields were just 45 basis points below that of the S&P 500s payout through Tuesday, the smallest gap since 2010. So think about that. You're getting investment grade yields that are barely 45 basis points below what the S&P 500s payout is through Tuesday. And meanwhile, what is the risk of getting into a corporate bond versus what is the risk of getting into the S&P 500 right now? That speaks for itself, I think. Rising rates across the fixed income landscape are chipping away at there is no alternative mantra for stocks. I would agree again. There was no alternative when the 10-year was at half a percent in the doldrums of the pandemic. Really tough to even look at it when we started the year off at 1.5% in the 10-year. For the bulk of the past decade, the narrative has been that low rates globally have pushed yield hungry investors out of the spectrum into assets such as equities. I would agree. Things change, though, in the current environment. For income investors, for our multi-asset class income strategy, we're leaning more into the bond market than we have over the last decade. Now, that's one asset manager talking to Bloomberg. Now, here's what I wanted to get to here. The S&P 500s premium over high-grade bond yields. This is the one we just talked about, right? Which has snuck into about 45 basis points. Look at this chart, man. The red line is the US investment grade bond yields. The black line is the S&P 500 current earnings yield. Now, here's what to think about on the heels of this, right? That is the current earnings yield. What happens if earnings get slashed yet again? Now, what could happen is that if earnings get slashed yet again, you may have yields going down to showcase the recessionary tendencies going on in this market. It's a seesaw battle. But nonetheless, it's important to look at this chart. When you look at these, I've not been this close. Basically, since 2009, 2010, when you were over those levels, coming out of the 2008 pandemic, a lot of tightening there. So for the first time, yeah, it would make sense to take a look at those fixed income yields. We'll be right back, folks. We'll be talking to our man, Kevin Hakes. We'll be right back. In a time of booming inflation, where you're purchasing powers eroded, there's no better place to protect your hard earned money than in gold. 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You're bumping up right near that 3,800 price point trading at 3,788, right now, posited by almost seven-tenths in the green. Let's jump over to our man, Kevin Hinks. We talk to Mr. Hinks every Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday at 9.15 in the morning. You can watch Fast Market, folks, every trading day at 12 noon Eastern time, right here on Tiger TV. Kevin Hinks, good morning. Good morning, Tommy O'Brien. Happy Thursday. It's summer, Tommy, and markets are unable to hold rallies, unable to sustain any sell-offs. I think we call these summer markets, Tommy. So yesterday, pretty strong day during the day, big fade at the end of the day. Now we're back up today. It looks like the NASDAQ is the strongest again today, Tommy, but drone pile date two on Capitol Hill, that's usually fun to listen to. We did get some inventory data in crude that showed something positive. For the first time in five weeks, Tommy, crude oil production in the US went up slightly from 11.9 million barrels to 12 million. That's a good thing. So we wait for FedEx earnings today. Darden had good restaurants, KB Homes had good earnings. I'm sorry, good earnings out of Darden and KB Homes. So we've got some positive things. We've got yields back down to 3.1%. So all things considered, Tommy, everyone should remember we're in summer market. Yeah, pretty interesting action in terms of a two-way market right now. I mean, the force has been to the downside. There's kind of no denying that since the beginning first of the year, but man, these moves in both direction this week, evidence of it. I mean, yesterday, Kevin, when I was chatting with you, boy, I'm pulling up the chart here. We were about about 3720 or so. We had 3,800 by the middle of the day. And just like that, you were at 3,740 overnight. 80 points up, 40 points down, kind of the standard right now. We have a VIX pretty comfortable at around 30 right now. And yeah, I wanted to get your feeling on the yields, man. We're just like that. We're actually under 3.1% right now to be exact, Kevin, 3.098 I got right now as I'm pulling up the chart on the Thinkorswim platform. You got the tenure right now up almost 19 ticks at 117,17. I was reading one analyst out there today talking about maybe you have easing. Like, when's the Fed gonna start easing after all this hiking, you know, May 2023? What do you see for a landscape right now where maybe we are getting a little bit of a pullback finally in yields as, yeah, as I'm speaking to you, man, we're making new up 21 ticks now in the tenure. It's just not stopping, a little bit of easing in the life of yields. Yeah, the question is, what are these telling us, right? What are lower crude oil prices and lower yields telling us? And it may be telling us that we're in for a slowdown, that the demand destruction is starting to take hold here. So the good news is, think about this, Tommy, a lower crude oil is gonna show up in the CPI data, which may then lower yields, which it looks like it's doing, which may allow drone pile to take us far off the break slightly in terms of the overall economy. So this is not the worst scenario that we can talk to. Crude oil is finally starting to tick slightly lower here down from, you know, 130, spend some time at 120, now it's about $106. So crude oil is starting to ease a little bit. Maybe remember the inflation data that we're getting, though it's widespread, is still dominated by energy, Tommy. So any improvement in the price of crude oil, the price of gas at the pump will ease inflation fears. It is pretty interesting, just even watching the yields this year, as you have yields rising dramatically as the Fed is gonna be hiking pretty dramatically and they're in that cycle right now. And then you get to a point, maybe, and like you're saying, maybe that's the point that the market factors in what we know about the Fed.  And just like that, remarkable, that you're talking about three and a half points to the upside in the 10 year, almost a four tenths percent pullback from where we were last Thursday alone. So markets this morning, Kevin, we're sitting just shy of about 3,800. You mentioned Darden, some pretty good numbers. They've given back some of those gains even. They were up to 122 though. They're back to about 116. They got a conference call going on at 830, so not sure what they're saying there yet. As you said, Chairman Powell, day two today, nothing too surprising that he's saying yesterday, of course, but always the market listening very closely to what he has to say. What are you guys talking about on the program coming up at 12 today, Kevin? We've got three good names. First, we'll talk about Snowflake, the cybersecurity company. Then we'll look at CarMax. They have earnings coming up, like fully old do a presentation on CarMax. And then we're gonna stay covering airlines. So we're gonna look at United Airlines today and what they're doing. The airlines are in a volatile, crazy, uncertain place right now with demand spiking, problems filling, canceled flights. So we're gonna look at what effect all these inputs have on actually the price of some of these airline stocks, Tommy. Nice. Snowflake, CarMax, CarMax, an interesting one, man. Those used cars, the whole car market right now. Maybe a little bit of a shift, right? Wasn't it in the last CPI numbers? I think it was some of those automobile numbers, new automobiles coming down a little bit. Maybe a little bit of rotation out of the craziness in that sector. And yeah, airlines. I got two headlines this morning, Kevin. I'm gonna talk about both of them having to do with airlines, cutting some of their flights to kind of deal with some of the shortages they're dealing with. United, you're gonna be talking about 12% of domestic Newark flights to help tame delays. So they're just cutting flights, man, to try and keep up. And American, they're gonna stop flying to four small cities. So a tough one, man. Pilot shortages is what they're talking about. I found it interesting. Two headlines up this morning about those airlines. Yeah, we'll see how that shakes out. But man, those airlines spend quite a roller coaster to say the least, man. Well, Kevin, we appreciate you taking the time every day, man. It should be a wild one as usual. And we don't talk to you tomorrow. So you have yourself a great weekend, man. A great day. We'll be watching and we'll talk to you next week, man. Thanks for having me on, Tommy. Have a great day. You too, Kevin. Always a pleasure, man. Folks, tune in every trading day, 12 noon Eastern time. I say it every day. TD Ameritrade, Thinkorswim, they are a sponsor, folks. But I tell my friends, I would use the Thinkorswim platform anyway. I would watch Kevin's program fast market anyway. I've learned a tremendous amount, especially when it comes to trading options, defined risk. And folks, there's nothing like this market right now when you're talking about being a trader, if you're talking about premium, you're talking about volatility. For the longest time, it is almost difficult to remember where we were for the VIX for an extended period of time, okay? You talk about where we were in the VIX. Now, the pandemic blows things out of proportions, okay? But I'm just gonna zoom in.  When you were just sputtering around in the high single digits, that seems remarkable, okay? But even if you back things up, folks, to where we were at the end of 2019, you had a VIX at 11, 12, constantly. The spikes in the VIX back then got us to 18 potentially. One spike got us to 16.90. This market would plead for a number like that. Folks, the VIX has not been below. What are we talking about? Look at this. The VIX has not been below 14 for almost two and a half years. I had to recalibrate my brain to say that, okay? As traders, that is extreme volatility for an extended period of time. It's not going away anytime soon. Check out the program at 12. They do an outstanding job understanding. Volatility is a trader's best friend. Sometimes, folks, you just gotta understand how to do it and define the risk. Sometimes is the best way to do that. There's a chart for you in the S&Ps, folks. From 2174 up to 4808. And right now we're sitting at 3789. We got three minutes to go until the opening bell. Stay tuned, folks. We'll be right back. If you want to take advantage of this sector, now is the time to subscribe to my Gold Report. 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In the TigersN, you can look over the shoulders of Tom O'Brien and the other TFNN hosts while they analyze charts during their live TigerTV programs and join an interactive trading community with hundreds of members exchanging ideas, interact with other tigers and tigeresses as they share trading ideas, news analysis, and discuss the market action all trading day, even at night and on the weekends. The TigersN at Discord is accessible on mobile or tablets as well. So it's always at your reach. To sign up today and become a part of this educational community of traders, just visit the front page of TFNN.com. TFNN is excited about our new software charting program, the Art of Timing the Trade Chart. In collaboration with Tom O'Brien and using his best-selling book, The Art of Timing the Trade, Your Ultimate Trading Mastery System, David White has programmed an outstanding piece of software that will complement any trader's methodology. 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The market's open, and you got an S&P opening up 20 points in the positive. 3783, get ready for some volatility, folks. That's par for the course these days. We got summer trading, Kevin mentioned it. It is June 23rd, we're coming into July 4th, before you know it, folks. We just had a long weekend, which is great. We had Juneteenth celebrated on Monday the 20th since that took place on Sunday the 19th. And then what do we got? We got a week from tomorrow. We're coming into another long weekend, July 4th, a Monday holiday as well. Gotta love it right now, summer trading, as I said. A little bit light, and we got a volatile market already. You add a little bit of light volume, a little bit of less eyeballs in front of those screens, especially as we come into some of those long weekends, provides the opportunity for a little bit extra volatility than even normally. Right now, markets lifting off in positive territory to kick things off. Crew contract, catching a little bit of a bid, back above 106, man. Don't sell that, don't sell that call crew contract just yet, and thanks, Al. Let me jump over. I think we got a caller. Who we got on the line. Jose from Lakeland. What's happening, Jose? Good morning. Yes, top of the morning. Good morning, good morning, good morning. What, another holiday Monday? What am I gonna do? Stare at the wall? Come on, let's get these markets open. Get out in Lakeland, get a nice sweat going in this 95 degree humid temperature, man. You'll be fine, don't worry. Yes, hey, it's a good thing I had a double shot of espresso this morning. You're throwing out a lot of information. Let me ask you, this stock market's gonna be a buy at some point months down the road.  What's the best way to play it? And do you think it's gonna be the buy of the century? Well, I mean, the buy of the century might have been that 666 or whatever it was up to 4,800, because that's been quite a run, man. You back things up, what year was that? Yeah, that was 2008, right? No, where were we? Yeah, 2009, so we're only talking about 13 years to go from 600 to 4,800 in the S&Ps. I'm not sure we have another run like that in it right now, man. I always talk about context, right, Jose, and I know you know it, man. We could have some pullbacks, man, because if you just do some simple comparisons of where we are in what year and what those annualized gains still are, there's still huge returns. If you go back like six years, right? Seven years, eight years. I just have the chart up in the S&P. We kicked off 2019 at what, 2020, 500? And we're at 1,200 points higher from where you were. You're 50% higher, Jose, from where this market was, kicking off 2019, right?  You were at about 2,000. You almost double your money from where you were 2016. So that's a tough one. When you talk about buy of the century, but yeah, I mean, there's nothing to say. So many great stocks have come back to pre-COVID levels, right, that at least that one is totally on my radar. It depends what you're doing. Are you looking for an investment for like a longer-term investment? Just putting some money away. Are you looking for a- I was gonna ask, what about the spy? Just like the man said, said it and forget it. Are you looking for like an investment, like an IRA or a retirement type investment years down the road? Oh, God, no. No, I mean, I'm a day trader, but I got a kid that I would like to make secure. So- Sure. Well, the reason why I was asking, right, is because what you could do is pick a few levels. You know what I mean, that maybe you're comfortable with, because it's dicey, man, where this goes. Is it go, could it go to 3,200? Very possible, man. Could it go to 3,000? You better believe it can go to 3,000. We were at 3,000 almost coming into 2020 when the pandemic began. So, you know, those levels, I would be looking, coming back to at least where we were coming into the pandemic, 3,400 is totally in play. And if you take a look at the Fibonacci levels on here, man, I mean, the S&Ps, I got a chart of the S&P futures up here, but I can take a look at the spy. We're through the 3,800. The 50% is about 3,500, it's one price level. And the 6,18 is right at about 3,200, man. And the reason why the 3,200 keeps sticking out is that's the 6,18 of the full move from 2,100 to 4,800.  So that's a price level that I'd be a lot more comfortable because 3,800 right now, man. Geez, I mean, we're still positive from where you were coming into 2021.  Right, think about that, right? We're on like a 12, 13-year bull run. And all we've done is erase the last year's gains. Well, when we say erase last year's gain, I know it looks astounding. Let's remember when COVID hit in March of 2020. This market went down 8,000 points in three weeks. It's almost unfathomable. I mean, you make a great point. Context is so important, folks, and what Jose's saying, right? You gotta remember the mentality of where we were when you had the S&Ps trading at 2,100. We almost got a 1,900 handle in the S&Ps, okay? And at that point in time, if you said to anybody, right, Jose, you know what, I think the S&Ps are gonna be back at 3,200 by the end of 2022. I said, two years from now, we're gonna be at 3,200. That's percentage-wise off of 2,000. What is that, 60%? It's gonna rise over the next, I'll take it, man, get us back to 3,202 years when the whole economy was shut down and we didn't know what life was gonna be like, right? It's important to remember those things. So yeah, right now things are dicey, man. How the summer goes, people are saying maybe we're a little bit oversold here. But boy, things are dicey right now, man. I mean, for the first time, I'm not sure if you were listening to the beginning of the program. I mean, investment yield is somewhat attractive right now. And now we've dropped a little bit in the last four days, but that's gonna be something that's gonna wane a little bit on the demand for stocks. It's gonna be there for at least the next six months or something like that. And I think the real tail risk here is that it's just tougher to get ahold of than we even envisioned right now, right? That we got numbers. March was supposed to be the peak of inflation, right, Jose? Well, no, guess what? Now main number on CPI was a bigger number. What happens if July is a bigger number when we get July? What happens if August, it's still at 7% or something like that, right? That's dicey, man. So stay on top of that data month by month is what I would say.  I'd be a lot more comfortable. People get hypnotized. They get hypnotized when they see the market going one way up. They certainly get hypnotized. Look, there's a lot of stark differences between Alan Greenspan. His nickname was incremental Al, quarter point, quarter point, quarter point. And this guy who wants to play God with the market and loves, has no problem capitulating to a president. I don't think Greenspan as bad as he was capitulated to a president, meaning Trump wanting, you know, keep interest rates at zero. This guy's got to grow a spine, man. Hey, have a good weekend out there. It's undeniable that he's late to the party and we'll see if he can pull it out, but it's a tough order right now, man. And yeah, it's a tough order to say the least. Jose, man, thank you so much for calling into the program. I always appreciate it. Good to talk to you, man. You have a great Thursday. Thank you, you too, Mike. Okay, man. Folks, give us a call.<PHONE_NUMBER>, and Jose's exactly right. It's gonna be ahead of when things happen, right, folks? I mean, look at how this year played out, okay? Maybe it's two months, maybe it's three months. The market is always forward-looking. And look how quickly it got ahead of itself, right? January 3rd, boom, let's go to the races. Market's going down because the Fed is hiking. Now, the Fed didn't hike until what? March, I think, March 15th. I think that was the hike. Look where we are on the chart. Look at what this market did. Let's just zoom in on this year. Let me take this Fibonacci number off here, okay? 4,800, by the time the Fed had actually started hiking, you were at 4,134, and that's actually the first time you got a real bounce back to 4,600. Same thing's gonna happen once the Fed is done hiking, and maybe you get a little bit ahead of the fact that they've crushed this economy and they might have to start easing. Watch that data, folks. It's gonna be important where we go for CPI as we come for the months forward. Stay tuned, folks. S&P's up 13, we'll be right back. 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You got the S&Ps up 17 points right now. NASDAQ 100 up 14, the Dow catching a bid. Dow leading the way up half a percent, up 160 points right now, and you got the Russell right now up a quarter percent. I guess the S&Ps are up about half a percent, but yeah, the Dow leading the way up 6-10th percent right now. Gotta pull up an article. I'm just talking about on CNBC, folks, and I talk about it all the time. The analysis on CNBC leaves much to be desired. Sometimes you just get the fundamental news, so there's nothing wrong with that, but check out this headline. If this is not indicative of a market crash, stocks rise as Wall Street strives for a comeback from this year's steep losses. Folks, we have like a, no. Take a look at this chart, okay? Take a look, what is that? That's the Dow, excuse me, I want the S&P. Just from where we were this year. Did you see the headline I just pulled up? Stocks rise as Wall Street strives for a comeback. Do you see a comeback on this chart, folks? Okay, that headline has no business being written. We barely have a bounce. All we're doing is chopping around below 3,800, which is where we've been since June 13th, the last 10 trading days. There is no bounce on that chart just yet, folks, okay? That is not what a bounce looks like considering what the decimation to this market looks like, okay? On June 8th, 15 days ago, not even 15 trading days, 15 days ago, the S&Ps were trading at 4,160. That's almost 400 points from where we're trading at right now. Just be aware when you see articles like that, headlines like that, context is important, where we've been, how far we've fallen. And if this is a bounce worth selling, or if this is a bounce worth celebrating, then we are in trouble, folks, because we were just trading at 4,800. We've had the worst six, first six months to start the year since 1970. And that's the headline that you get. Be careful, man. Now, to continue that conversation with Jose, context is important, folks. Remember where we are, and that'll help show you where we may go, okay? The 27% return that the S&P put up, what would that be? 1,100 points, yeah, something like that, right? Well, the S&P pulled 26, 27% for the year 2021, completely irrational and it's all gone. Forget it was there, folks. It did not exist, okay? Because the pricing and the earnings that they had last year all went away because of basically a number of different factors. Energy being a huge factor. Inflation being caused by some of the factors of energy being a huge factor. Supply chain issues being a huge factor. So you take that all back, but again, remember killing just to get back to where we were prior to the pandemic. Now here, you want a headscratcher here, folks? I'm not even sure this is gonna be a headscratcher, but check out, let's see, let me get this right here. Is that the year? Yeah, so for the presidential elections in 2016, you can't even see the volatility on this chart, but there is the volatility in November. You had the S&Ps dive down to 2028, you finished it out at 2198, you had a nice acceleration higher with Republicans taking over, a little bit of tax breaks coming in for companies across the board, whether you agree on that or not, okay? When that happened, folks, all right, the S&Ps were trading at 2157 when that election took place. Now over the course of the next year, we traded out to 2,900, okay? But remember all the rhetoric, and I think it was correct rhetoric, but Trump was handed a very good economy that was operating on all cylinders already, okay? I'm gonna back things up. You had just risen from 600 to 2,100 over a period of from 2009 to 2016, or let me get that exactly on the chart. There's 2016, right? We had based a little bit for a couple of years after the run higher, okay? But remember the feeling at that time in 2016 of things were good, right? Things were great. Trump got in, things could be even better if he just gave money, a bunch of money back to companies that probably didn't need it, that handed it out in the form of dividends and buybacks, okay, but that gets political for tax breaks. But nonetheless, the market was already rocking and rolling. There was a lot of good sentiment about where it was. People were feeling really good about their stock prices, okay? The S&P was about half of what it's trading at right now. And that was only less than six years ago, okay? Think about that, folks, because even at the price we're at right now, 3783, it hasn't even been six years. So still with a thousand point pullback in the S&Ps, with a thousand point pullback in the S&Ps, if you just bought the market in 2016 or even 2017 when you kicked it off, when it was at about 2,200, right? You're still talking about 1,500 points that you've made. You're still talking about almost a 90% return if you bought the market in November of 2016 about five and a half years ago. A 90% return if you bought the market five and a half years ago, folks, keep those numbers in mind as you try and do the calisthenics in your head about what type of pullbacks are possible, okay? Because it's been a heck of a run from 660 to 4,800. I mean, we're talking about taking Fibonacci levels off of the run that we had for COVID.  You take the number that we had from the bottom of the doldrums in 2009. The 382 brings us back to that 3,200 mark two. Look at that. That 3,200 just keeps jumping out, folks. 3,200, you wanna see a little Confluence area? So here's your Confluence area, folks. Put it on your charts. The 382 for the full move from 600 and change in 2009 and the 618 from the full market lows in March of 2020 basically line up within about 20 to 30 S&P points. They're both at about 3,200 and that's also where we kicked off the year 2020. Put it on your radar, man. Confluence is a very powerful indicator, folks. Doesn't mean it's gonna come back to that level. But if I'm talking about the 382 of the entire run hire from 2009 and folks, what's the 382? 382 is a healthy pullback in a bull market, okay? Interesting action to say the least. That's really cool that that lines up there, man. As I said at the beginning of the program, right? If you have areas that you wanna get in now, I was asking Jose about is it longer term? Because if it's longer term, folks, you don't have to wait until it hits 3,200, right? Let's say you got 50 grand in cash, pulled out of the market that you do wanna invest in a 401K or an IRA. If you know it's gonna be in there for five, 10, 15, 20 years, okay? There's nothing wrong with saying, I'm gonna put in 25% of that money at 3,500. I'm gonna put 25% of that money into 3,200. I'm gonna put 25% of that money into 3,000 if we get there, and I'm gonna put the rest in at 2,500 if we get down there, right? Nothing wrong with that at all. But try and figure that stuff out ahead of time because you see how quickly these markets move and we get those spikes. But boy, that's an interesting one, man. From the lows of 2009 to the highs of 4,800, right there, the 3,823,200, the 618 of the entire run during COVID, 3,200. And where we come into 2020, 3,200. You're talking about, what, 16% from back from where we are right now? Just make sure you're willing to take that risk if you're in that market, folks. If you still have equities, it's not too late. What you have right now in your account, that's what you have, folks. You don't have what it was at at 4,800. And there's a lot of options out there in terms of maybe fixed income to something you're looking at a little bit more closely than you were previously, right? All right, S&Ps. We're up 18 points right now in NASDAQ, up 37. We'll take a look at some of the equities moving when we get right back, Darden Restaurants out with their numbers. KB Homes, we'll be right back, folks. Sharpening your skills as an investor is like getting better at playing a musical instrument. You have to practice, sure. But you also need excellent instruction from experts. At TFNN, you'll get advice and guidance from the authority in technical market analysis. And it's not just dry, tedious text either. TFNN airs live financial content streamed live on TFNN.com and TFNN's YouTube channel with Tiger TV, live every market day from 8.30 a.m. to 4.00 p.m. Eastern for free. Each host is an experienced trader and gives their take on the market while taking calls and questions live from around the world. From the moment the market opens until the closing bell sounds, Tiger TV has eight different shows with expert hosts to help you make the right moves with your money. 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If you're not satisfied, let us know, and you'll get a full refund within 30 days of signing up. Subscribe to the Fibonacci 24-7 newsletter today. TFNN.com, educating investors. This segment is brought to you by Think or Swim. For more information, just click the Think or Swim banner on the front page of TFNN.com. Welcome back, folks. We have markets giving up some of the gains. Nasdaq 100, you're about to go red. We're flat right now in the end. There's your red print in the Nasdaq 100. Negative by one point. S&Ps, positive by just seven. You get the Russell negative by five. Dow positive by 85. Check out Meta, Facebook, man. Down another 1%, you're trading at 154. You were trading at 384. Remarkable, just last September. Yeah, August, when's the exact print? September 1st, 384. And I think that's, is that the high? 384, that's the high.  And look at how far this thing has fallen even after it fell out of bed on those January earnings, right? Look at that gap it had in February, man. And you are just well below those levels. We're down, what are we down from 240? You're down now to what? 30, 35% to 154.45 for the price of Meta. I think Zuckerberg, he was on Kramer. Mad Money potentially, was that Tuesday night maybe or Wednesday night he was on there? Maybe last night talking about they want a billion people in the Metaverse. Now what's interesting here is they bought Oculus VR in 2014, eight years ago. They bought that VR headset maker. So you talk about taking some time, man. Now they're talking about the potentially the second half of this decade. Folks were only, were not even halfway through the year of 2022. If we got to make it to 23, 24 and 25 that's three and a half years out just to begin the second half to get into 2016. Market does not like to wait three and a half years for potentially seeing an impact when you're spending money right now. So he was out there. The one thing I will say is they have 3.64 billion monthly active people across their family of applications. At some point folks, this will be a buy and you might be getting there, you know. Facebook is quite a platform. Whether you agree with Facebook or not whether you think Facebook's gonna have some problems because they're the catered to the older generation. Guess what man, they still got Instagram which is just a huge company its own right. And you've got a company Meta Facebook that is right now valued at $418 billion quite a haircut to say the least. All right folks, stay tuned. We got our man, Basil Chapman. He did his program at eight o'clock that's coming up right now. Larry will be live. He's a little bit under the weather. We may have him at 11 o'clock fast market at 12. You heard what they'll be talking about at the top of the snowflake live program all day folks. Have a great Thursday.


us soca it's a star war show there'll be lightsabers phelonis what a lot of lightsabers what oh my god that's gonna be the sentiment once the show is over this is his big grand adventure this is his big test as it were because this is his shark the other because the other tests weren't him in the other ones don't count even though he was executive producer they don't count but they kind of do but they don't this is an awesome piece this is his third season of the Mandalorian was like in a huge part like written by him john john john john was also there he was john was also there every single episode of a soca was written by Dave pheloni and he directed a few of the episodes but he wrote every episode alone this is his grand adventure this is his this is his crossed back i would rather talk about the much more medicine is me like the first target was a new hope and then they they went for it and they gutted it and squeezed it for all of it was worth they failed miserably to push it forward and to benefit to even transfer that that wonderful energy that probably would have gotten them a bit of you know the whole like moving the the fun of the old into the new and then be able to bank on the new they're going to try and make that ray movie but that's going to be a huge mistake there was an era and this was fucking ages ago now that we were like wait a second that's prequel stuff what you're doing with prequel stuff what's going on and then we realized uh even in the marketing and then just full-on seasons of tv where it was just like you like the prequels we like the prequels too it's like no you didn't yeah you said you didn't like the prequels which is a fascinating shift but they it's done they sucked all prequels for what they're worth too that's fucked yeah because their own stuff wasn't taken off they had their own trilogy of movies plus and it still didn't catch on so they said oh uh prequels people like the prequels and then and then that really culminated in obi-wan kenobi which that feels like gotta be the biggest disappointment in star wars for a long time what better way to say yes uh the greatest elements to extract and use from the prequels than anakin skywalker and obi-wan kenobi and doth vader and the era you know between prequels in the sequels and order 66 uh fallout it's like yep you use all of it for nothing it was a fucking worthless show now play a clip of something cringe it's great horror and memory hold basically all of these shows and every time we get mentioned like oh we watch like all over fat remember that yeah now that you mentioned it i do remember that yeah yeah just remind you we've seen three seasons of the mandalorian we've seen boba fat the book of we've seen kenobi and and then there was this weird fucking one called andor we saw that guy yeah that was that one that was weird someone someone got fired for that story that was a random show and ain't a crazy show it arguably banks on a spin-off of a new hope and it's this entirely own thing it's all its own characters and to the dismay of many star wars fans it did have bricks in it it had people that's disgusting did it have a single lightsaber sound even i don't i don't think so wonderful that it didn't have any i don't think it was yet i go in the force will be with you always i get the impression that in this show we're going to be hearing a lot of those every effort in the spirit of that observation about the eras of star wars that they wanted to extract as much juice out of as possible but we're now at the point that they're extracting from where i was going with a huge part that is theirs that is the thing that they made which is your character can argue we're still we're transitioning it's partially prequel that was still you know when george lucas was around but it's also partially rebels which was a disney creation that's that's holy disney yeah and that's it rebels to be pretty cringe i've heard that um it's pretty cringe okay thank you we're talking about eras and stuff but not long ago or maybe it was long ago didn't disney want to do like a high republic sort of thing and i guess that just never took off at all the recent announcement that they did was they they broke up the entire star wars timeline into these eras of which i believe seven of them were in the course of maybe like 50 years meanwhile you've got these ones that like comprise thousands of years you know like the new republic then newly created high republic which i think is that 200 300 years before phantom menace there's also going to be uh james mangold's doing that origin story of the jedi film like the very first one which uh i'm not interest i don't like the idea of that at all i don't just don't ruin it you know whatever i'm thinking of right now is better it just don't just don't touch it i don't want an origin story we know how you've handled origin stories they're terrible not even lucas could get origin stories done right so yeah yeah yeah but like stop no when i was a kid much like everyone i loved the jedi and the lightsaber, and it was so cool.  Now when I think of seeing lightsabers, all I think is, ah, f***'s sake, here we go, like they're s castle. Yeah. Except for it now. We've been near six years since TLJ. Six f***ing. Something is that's been going on for four years away from all of those people that said But in 10 years, TLJ will be considered a masterpiece by everybody. It's getting worse, if anything. Well, I mean, all we've seen is the gradual decline of Star Wars. And more and more flashpoint. Even been that gradual. We're now at a point where people pretty confidently and routinely point out that the MCU sucks and people weren't quite willing to do that like a year ago or especially two years ago. It feels the same here, right? Like it feels like Obi-Wan was the inflection point in terms of a general dislike and disinterest in Star Wars, because people expected a lot of that show. And then when it didn't deliver, it definitely had an effect on people watching and or Mando season three, obviously. People did not like that and people weren't as willing to defend that one. And now we're coming to this show and it'll be interesting to see what the reception is. Even though a haymaker that finally knocked the structure that is Star Wars over, although I think after haymaker after haymaker, you know, of course, we talked about the 10 year looking back at TLJ. Star Wars reputation has gotten worse and worse and worse. The time goes on. I think a lot of people will look back and they will point to the last Jedi being the thing that really started the decline of Star Wars. Because even now, TFA gets a lot of good will, though it has soured. So even though the problems really did begin right off the bat with the Force Awakens, I think more people will point to the last Jedi being the beginning of the ruination, like like in a car crash where it's sudden and but then like you have internal injuries that just kill you over time is kind of the how I think of it in a way. If TLJ was really good, I think people would have been fine with what TFA was setting up and where it was going. He gets out of the car and he's limping. And then just a mobster just guns him down with all of the bullets ever. And the doctor's like, I think it could have been the internal injuries from the car. It could have been the hail of bullets. He also had cancer at AIDS. The amusing thing for us is that this is the first of all the TV shows that we don't have as much context to be upset about if they ruin everything. I don't know anything about any of these people. We know loads about her because I know a little in the other shows. She was great. She was in a few episodes of Mandalorian. Luke turned on a lightsaber and killing stuff. Yeah, she was a cringe bland orange lady. Pretty much. That's it. She's just a cringe bland orange lady was all we got. We're going to be getting from what I understand Sabine. He's got colored hair. She's a Mando question mark. No, I'm not Mando. Yes, she's a Mando tech super genius. That lady Mandalorian season two episodes five. You mean the one with thrown the one that she was? Yeah, the stick lady. She's going to be coming back. We've got Ray Stevenson. That's going to be cool. He's like an actor. He's going to be playing a bad guy. That's fun. The rest of the rebels gang will be in this. Mary Elizabeth Herra. Yeah, that's the one. Yes. The sun is in it. That's we like human hybrid. That's the thing. Oh, and of course, that fellow. Remember at the bar, Zed? Do you remember the pilot man? Yeah, you know his name. You said you said the fella at the bar and I thought you were talking about Dave Velloni. I'll probably be at this. My pure misfortune. I ended up watching a bunch of this show fairly recently because a friend was going through it to prep for a shoker. So is it a soccer or a shoker?  I don't think I've ever had anybody say a shoker. I mean, I think I saw it I honest.  I don't care. Yes, I care, right. She's my favorite. It is a room room room room room. Too strong, powerful. With Mandor, I felt like we could go into trying to make predictions about what's going to happen. I don't really know what I'm meant to be expecting. If we had seen one was in Rebels, we probably will to make some good predictions. I think between us all, we've seen loads of different things, but with the was actually seen all of Clone Wars. Have you seen all of rebels? All of Clone Wars most of Rebels. And I've seen half of Clone Wars. What I would add, though, is that I don't know that the way that those shows are structured is going to be a good point of reference for how this show will be structured, because the Clone Wars has an overarching story. But I guess you could say it's like semi serialized. There are like these much smaller, condensed arcs and then different ones. Whereas this is just eight straight episodes that are like 50 minutes long for overarching plots. So it might be a bit hard to use Clone Wars as a point of reference. That's kind of what I was saying is like a plus to the show.  It'll benefit us viewing it. But for people who would benefit the show as well, because we won't be able to criticize it for that. We will instead be like, OK, fair enough.  Oh, Phenix Strand. No, the Mando Lady, the the. He's going to take it over. That's the one, Boca Tard. Oh, so she was at Maskenata. We had all the she's I don't even know why I did. Remember, she's girl Yoda. That's how they've contrived her into the world. They did nothing. Yeah, because she's orange and he's he's green. Orange and green are what we call complimentary colors. All of the artists and chat and in the comment section will agree. And green and red are complimentary colors. Green and orange. That's right. I blue and blue and orange, green and red. You can tell green and orange compliment each other because when Rags speaks, you can see the orange and the green. Great. That's true. And Fringy is green and I am orange. You compliment each other. Well, Fringy is at a new haircut. It sure looks good on the note. I've chat and comments. So I was going to say that they were the ones that were making essays about Okutan and how badly they butchered her in Mando season three. Because remember, we read one of them out that was like looking all about her history and all the things that she's done. We were like, none of this was in the show. And nobody mentioned it. Yeah, she's the bland. The British British British British. I wonder if in making this show, they kind of recognize that a lot of the people are going to be watching it, probably didn't watch all of Clone Wars and Rebels. Yes, but at the same time, that's just narrative juice that you can grab. It's pretty built like histories and you can just imply them even. But you don't really get that at all. We had Burkutan as a point of reference and they just ignored. And that's the thing, right? Maybe this will be better than that. But that's something that we kind of have to think about. So yes, the idea here is that we're going to go into it fairly neutrally. We're going to chat about it as it goes on. And Theo will be our helpful guide for little tidbits. Like when we say who's that and then he goes, oh, it's someone cringe from episode three. Oh, OK.  And Star Wars staple. Exactly. And because of all of the new characters having like the little group, they're going to be all really good at all the things they need to be good at. The best even, not remote, not a little bit good. Very good. All of the good. Yeah. Yeah, I think that's really bad. Yeah, bad, well-voting. Yeah, I'm vaguely interested to see how Asoka is characterised. I want to see if there's any consistency to it, whatever, because she's been really bland for like most of the everything she's been in for the past forever, as opposed to being boring, but also having some semblance of a character in Clone Wars.  I'm going to die through that. Well, so one of the things I've seen people talking about is the color grading of this show. So we'll keep that. Yeah, we'll see if it gets an A or an F. He will have nothing but to do. Well, is anything else anyone wants to say before we go ahead and start this thing up? Oh, wait. Yes. We forgot. What about comment showcase?  That's the first episode of our rags. Oh, my goodness gracious. Who's the new face this time? Are they running? Are they running out of helmets or robots? Do we have a new kitchen sink? Okay, sorry. Clone Trooper guy, guy. Oh, guys, guys. Because it's called David Tennison. He voices a robot, right? Apparently he's voicing the same robot he voiced in Rebels. Yeah, I was going to say that's a clue. The evil guy. Oh, wow, we're doing a big red. That means it's evil. Oh, it doesn't even like fade into the background.  Oh, that's okay. It's his own stamp on it. Okay. What is the way to find the lost Imperial Grand Admiral Thrawn? Yeah, you have to yell it. Imperial Grand Admiral Thrawn. Where did he go? But he's gone. So Katano captured one of Thrawn's allies. Oh, Katano. Secret map. Oh, that was in Mando. Oh, we've got a map. Oh, a secret map. Oh, a map, yeah. Oh, wow. He's planned to soak him in search of the man of prison and Morgan Nelsbeth. Morgan Nelsbeth. He was in the New Republic of Trout. They only just done that, wasn't that, ages ago? Didn't Morgan get captured in season two of Mando? Yeah, that was a while ago. Jesus Christ. Do you remember when Gus Fring was taken? And they didn't even notice. Yeah, yeah, they didn't even notice. He didn't show up at trial. It's like, he didn't show up. Yeah, he didn't show up. That's right. How inspired a shot of space and then a ship comes into it? How inspired? A ship has entered this sector. They're early. Oh, it's a smart gun guy from Aliens. Ask them to identify themselves and transmit their clearance code. The signal is an old Jedi clearance code. Yeah, but the fact that it's an old one. You can also just talk to him. Well, all of the Jedi stuff is going to be old. You talk to him? I'm calling their bluff. Signal them to come aboard. I want to meet these Jedi. No, I'm calling their bluff by meeting them. No, communicate with them. What if they're holding party? If they just hold party, you're fucked. You just invited them to your ship. Why? Yeah, if they are Jedi and they're bad, you're fucked.  I love that he said, like, they're probably lying. Now to go kill myself. Oh, come on. No way. They're all going to die. It is going to take over this ship. Look at him. Look at his hands. He's got a custom helmet. He does have a custom helmet.   Look, I'm going to keep this on that ship. What if they just pour out and start shooting you? Yeah, please. The ship looks evil already. Oh, they're wearing black cloaks. Oh, come on. They'd be more obvious. Yeah, these are the bag.  Thank you for allowing us to come on board. Yeah, we don't know why you did, but thanks. You're no Jedi.  He's antagonizing them. Why? Why would you not say could you provide some proof or identification? Can you make something float? Scan these imposters for identification. Allow me to show you our identity.  He's going to kill them. Very nice.  Yeah, that's crazy.  How could this have happened? We are no Jedi. Yeah, I got that. Oh, no way. Very bad boy. I can't believe this happened. There's a whole ship full of soldiers, so what now? Oh, they took a Luger. They based it off of a Luger. You can tell by the grip. Half the security tail is dead. Oh, you're cringe. Why do you like poles to take a hood down? No, two of us can do it. OK, three of us shoot at once. Oh, never mind, OK.  I haven't ever seen that before. That could be cool. Why did they stop shooting at him? Yeah, everyone's just stopped. Because they knew they'd lost.  No. What a great chest impression, geez. So he deactivated the saber. Someone right. Wait, you can do that? Don't you have to have like an understanding of the internal mechanisms of that in order to? Of course. OK, with us always. Why did it take? When is this meant to be stuck? Oh, no. Where's the rest of the soldiers of this huge ship? She knows about Thron. Yeah, because you told me. So like this reveals. So this like reveals the Sith to the New Republic and everything, right? It seemed like he was familiar. He was familiar with Jedi, but not Sith, which is weird. You know what? This one, there was nothing clever or interesting about any of that. No, it was awful. They didn't like subvert the ship's security to free the prisoner and make him escape. Hi, we're actually evil or whatever. I remember when Han and Luke had to hide from all these soldiers on these big ships. Oh. Oh, I love Egypt. Oh, that's on earth. Space Egypt. This is this is. There she is. Do they have sandcones on? Yeah, Soka. He's my favorite. I love a Soka because she's so amazing and awesome. And I sure do love a Soka. Tano, how long are we going to spend on big sweeping? Oh, God, is this Mortis? What's my what is that bad stuff in the Clone Wars that would take a while to explain? Wait, the wait. Mortis is the name of something bad. Yeah, great. Oh, nice place. Like, all I'm going to say is force avatars. You know, Mortis is Latin for our death. So not everyone's death just ours. Oh, my God, that is. Oh, that was a terrible. Oh, you don't know how deep that was.  It's going to happen when you did that. That was cringe. Also, what a lame way to get into an ancient temple.  Oh, it's a cool way to get in. No, it's not a wall, but it's a sideways wall. It does look like the apple of age. Oh, yeah. I love me some sad. I didn't know that Assassin's Creed was a prequel or sequel. Maybe it's great. We get to explore the least interesting part of Assassin's Creed in a Soka Tano show. OK, we're indulging a little bit now. Come on. Oh, I thought it'd be like a bubble. No, no, you you turn the top part and then it makes a machine go. You just turn that one, too. Yeah, you just turn this one. Yeah, and that points to video game puzzle. Why wouldn't you make it something she has to understand? So oh, I guess that's a puzzle. But it feels like what if you turn it in another way and look from a different angle? Yeah, we're going to wind up another ball. That doesn't lie around because it's a straight line. Why are you smiling? Yeah, it's a smug. She figured it out. Oh, OK. But what did she figure out? It looks like she could have aimed at a couple of different places, but OK. Yeah. Well, that's the thing. Why don't you just use your lightsaber and cut through the wall? Yeah, wait. Whatever she's unlocking, just cut it open with your legs. Just cut it open. It literally doesn't matter. Maybe she's just nailing this. So she's been here before then. Well, no, this is this is the place that she got as information from Lady when she was a member. She was like, you need a map to get to the woman. Lady is the reason she's here. But to be honest with you, it's the point that she's like using the force to figure out where she's meant to put it. Yeah, what she's doing? Well, you have to force to figure out the ground and like not looking at it. It almost is like, ah, yes. See, she's sensing. What's what does this got to do with the force? If bad guys put it here as a map to throne, why did they put a map to throne in a big table? Maybe it's not the force. Maybe I'm maybe I'm wrong. Now I'm starting like this is supposed to be a map to throne, right? Why is it so I want it somewhere like crazy? Yeah. Can you just put it in a box and put a padlock on it? All the ancient temple to use a map to get through. She could have just cut through the floor like she did before. I'm going to say, I feel like it's insisting upon itself right now. Oh, no. Oh, no. It's the last element that all we need that to stop the meteor. Oh, no. Intended, I guess it is. Oh, there you go. Ultipast. Oh, there it is. It's the snitch. How come it was an ash? Big chunky snitch. Oh, the the power stones in there. Oh, it's the apple of Eden or something. We've got to come up with more references. I did the steps. You've got three. It's it's I feel like there's a million and we just all didn't have any dragon. Yeah, I love going to lock balls. I found it. You're not. That's why he's the voice of one of the robots. I guess that's a robot. Wait, can we get back to him?  Rags, this whole seat is not been hurrying up. Oh, hey, bud. Come no closer. No. The map. Give it to us. Wait, did they coincidentally get here at the exact same time as her? I wasn't waiting at the top of the hole. Unlock it in which case. Why would they need it to do that if it was a bad guy's map in the first place? Whoa, they've got cool anti lightsaber weapons. God, of course they do.  Is the second one shorter than the first one? Yeah, I think so. Yeah, the different. OK, they're gone.  Action C, number two. Here we go. What? That was quick. How did she know where they are?  Consistently, in her tails, too, on her head. Oh, yeah, those would be flopping around. Why do you hold that pose for so long? No, don't say that aloud in return. Why do you? Those two didn't need to do that. Why do they have to? No, it closed that. What? What's the point of that? Initiate self-destruct protocol. Why would you give it so much time? Just have it explode and not say anything. She's going around. I still haven't got one map because this would blow it up, right? Yeah, why? What? This would be a long. Guys, it's one shot and a Jedi state. One shotgun. Oh, my Jesus Christ. Oh, my goodness. What? Oh, my God. It's a fire. Why is there so much? They've blown up the planet. What? Oh, my God. Oh, God.  What were you planning on getting the map? They just created the war door in space. Jesus. He's treating so casually, too. Good thing I arrived when I did. OK. Well, anyway, moving on, I guess. If you didn't keep at such a safe distance, maybe we wouldn't have lost communication.  But you can talk to people on other planets and stuff. I have my programming. Next time, stay close. I feel like that doesn't address the point that he's making, which is that he's programmed to do it the other way. Yeah, which might want to change his programming. Exactly. I found it. The map? Right where Morgan said it would be. I still don't get how the bad guys didn't have control over that map when she's the bad guy that gave her the info. It's a bright thrusters. Fulcrum, this is home one. Do you copy? There's been an incident. How close was that? I'm not even going to bother. You can get to anywhere in the galaxy at any time. Wait, so are you telling me they just destroyed the ship somehow? And surely, there's hundreds of people left on the ship. Just like right. But wait, wasn't there a ship for the droids? What did they arrive on? Oh, I guess they blew it up. Like they watched a lot of ship. Here it is, the star of Final Destination 3. And other movies. I think she may have been one or two things other than that. But that's her main role. And she's Rebel's character, right? Yep, you excited? Yeah? Look, there we go. She was the closest thing to a good character in Rebels? Oh, OK. She was like, OK. Oh, I will say it's kind of neat that our gang so far is two aliens and a robot. That's neat. Yeah? Yay. He seemed to have abilities like you. These days, there are few who can wield the force. Does they not know about perhaps one of them at all? But they would have to. She's running to Sith like all the time. I find it weird. She knows about Jedi, but not Sith. Like what's? Yang, make a copy. I don't know. She's a guy in the Sith, but I mean, you'd assume. And also the emperor, you know? The emperor's not bad, though. I feel like there are bad Jedi. It would be more well-run than Jedi. She's running to them like loads of times. Yeah, you're right. She was running to the Threat Rebels. Starmac, this one holds the secret Morgan's after. The location of the last missing They really took their time with that. That seems like super important information. Okay. What if the Grand Admiral moves? In an ancient temple that leads to Thrawn? Why? That's a problem. Why is it a great question? I'm sure we'll find out. Thrawn. Thrawn died at the Battle of Lothal. His death was never confirmed. I bet most deaths aren't confirmed in these kinds of battles. I'm so confused as to what Thrawn actually is. Big blue man. I'm so confused.   Can't help but jerk off how clever he is, which means he needs a map to him. Did they learn nothing from false awakens of that map? If Thrawn survived, does that mean Ezra? Oh, Ezra, that's another one of those characters. He's not a Rebels character, right? He was the main character. He'll probably shop in this, right? Probably. Nothing is certain, except our enemies believe that they know where to look. But if the enemy knows where to look, then surely they've already gone there, right? Let's take a look at this map. We cannot show you the map. The device is locked. Why don't you? Didn't you open with that? Yeah, how did this long for you to say we have a map to Thrawn, we can't unlock it? The defense council is requesting an update on the incident. Tell them I'll be right there. He'll be right there. You know who could help you with this. I do. What's with all the pauses? Oh, my God. Just talk like normal people. You just have to drag out every scene. That's the one that pauses. So dragged. 20 minutes. 20 minutes. Not saying anything of substance. That's the annoying part because it could be confused with us. See, they're like biting their time, building an atmosphere. But it's just big long pauses. I don't record it, by the way, but she said they're going to run an identity thing like a scan on the lightsabers for the bad guys. Why wouldn't they have done that already? The Empire was defeated thanks to the rogue efforts of Commander Ezra Bridger. Why does that? Wait a minute. Clancy Brown. Yeah, he's a novel of Rebelsman. I guess we're just getting everyone.  He has played a Star Wars character before, but he was a demon, so it's fine. Commander Sabine Wren. And Sabine. Oh, and they got the mural. Sabine Wren. But she hasn't been here the whole time.  She's going to fly down. Why are we waiting for Commander Wren's arrival? No rails on anything. The city looks very fake. There's no windows. There's no, like, the volume. Yeah, nothing's real. So every set is, like, really small. Finder. Now. Look. Oh, it's a fire. It's a Mando, too. It's just so cool. What are we doing? Oh, god, look at me. Oh, no. Oh, this is just. Oh, my god. This is the right of grabbing me and saying she's cool. Maybe I'll just let me go. He looked like a clown.  Oh, she's going to. She's going to. When she's driving her motorbike. These guys are going to try and stop it, but they won't be successful because she's a badass. What do you want, Porter? Governor Zaddy is looking for you. Why is that? You were there. By the way, it's not. It doesn't make you cool to skip on the ceremony about the war and the sacrifices people made. It doesn't make any sense. That's kind of makes you.  Well, here's a new order. Get lost. You just disable her thing remotely or whatever. Oh, is she going to, like, go over the top? She's going to ramp over the top. Over the top or beneath it. She doesn't listen to anyone.  Guys, look, she would come up. I'm still when they put a block of music back in. Jesus, this is awful. God, she's so cool.  I love her already. I hope I grow up to be just like her. I feel like it'd be funnier if she just stopped, lifted her bike over the rallying and just went on the other side. Why are you calling her her first name? You're not going to refer to the risk of being. One punch, man, or something. That's several it would be in there. Oh, wow. Why did you do that?   Yeah, the French. Now you're evading the police. Is that what you're doing? We're oh, yeah, you're so cool. I need this music to get out of my ears. I got it low. It is so cool. Music was so great. Oh, they gave up whatever and the road that ends.   I was asking earlier what this is the road going legit goes to nowhere. Oh, it's a critter. Look, it's a critter. Well, if she just leaves here, you could just go here to get it. You look interesting.  I like it. It's a puppet, at least part of it is. The French part of it, I think. I don't believe that she's a commander with that attitude. Yeah, and they wouldn't refer to her by her first name. And she's insufferable. She's insanely disrespectful because she's so awesome. Disrespecting her own friends who died at the memorial of the memorial service they're doing. And she's like, no, I don't want to go. Actually, I'm just going to ride my motorcycle. Get a mando of stuff out of here. What's the mando tune? Oh, she'll put her helmet on as a payoff later. That's the song we just heard earlier. It'll be a payoff way later. Yeah, because she's feeling discontent about it all or something. And it goes without saying that we are wasting so much time. Yes, we are. Yeah. Well, for the record, we are 26 minutes into this show. That is absolutely nuts. How much have we accomplished in 26 minutes? Really? One of these people went to a temple and she got a map and then she talked to her friend and then the friend directed her to intervene driving up to full no freeway. All right, that is that that is we're going as a Jedi. Sometimes you have to make the decision. No one else can. That's what I did to defeat. Catch of this.   We're not really family. You're like a sister to me. OK, OK. Oh my goodness. And the force be with you. Is that the line? Oh, the destruction of this entire place. Yeah, maybe we should have our droids destroyed our temple.  Oh, yeah, she does.  Those stones look very white, Bill. We saw a shotgun one time in Manta Season two. Michael Bean, well, there's a shotguns in like some of the Star Wars games, right? Oh, yeah. But I think I think there might be ones in Rebels as well for all I know. But I'm just talking about the sisters of death. I mean, are we away? Do we do a night? Sisters magic. Yeah, yeah. This is the the style of the witch is of death.  A survivor. They're unironically so she's a night sister is what she's saying. Is it? No, it's very different than a witch. OK. Oh, that guy, that guy. People theorize he's Starkiller. His face was in the intro, I think. He was one of the people wanted to be Starkiller. And it's just like, OK, he's he's Ezra. None of these other fuckers have a helmet. Oh, he's definitely going to be a reveal. I don't know what. Yeah, of course. If he was Ezra, would that make any sense, though? I don't think so.  That guy is huge. And then night sisters have a very big magic. So maybe he's really short. Yeah, he apparently looks vaguely similar to one of the skins that Starkiller has.  It's one of the endings from Forza. Oh, he's got the flimpsaber on his back. They've all got the. That's the inquisitive flimpsaber, right? Yeah, but his spikes on it. That makes it cooler. You're looking for Sabine Red. Yeah, why would you? Surprised they didn't have her say man, I've heard about her. She's so cool. She's so cool. I get it soundtrack. It insists upon itself. Look, I'd like to call. I just like to call everyone's attention. We've just hit the 30 minute mark. Does she live on that tower on top? That's the same. Look at all the Stormtrooper helmets. Yeah, I bet she has like an ashtray with the dust. Oh, no, she's discontent. Look, she can't sleep. Oh, no, she sleeps with her boots on. She used to collect different maybe with you. Oh, maybe go to those ceremonies. And she woke up from. Yeah, yeah, it was really bad acting, too. They're flying real close to that tower, aren't they? Yeah.  Like do something. Jesus Christ. Poke in the show with a stick. God, make sure you park close. There's no rails or anything. Oh, you're here now. That probably took like 30 minutes. That would have taken ages, yeah. You missed the ceremony. Was it today or yesterday? What the heck? No, you were there. The one guy said she was just there. So where is she? I don't know. She was just here. Where did she go? I don't know where she went. You were missed, Sabine. Everyone was there. Not everyone. Was that the reason for why she didn't turn up?   It's part of your leadership responsibility. She was waiting for him to give us a better reason because I don't know what I'm supposed to make of it. Yeah, I kind of hate her. Talk. She looks like Tumblr made a Star Wars character. Oh, music's really. Long goals. I miss humans talking to each other. Can you please stop? Monty Python like get on with it. Ending there. Get on with it.  I think I know how to find Ezra. I have a map to throw. Why did you wait so long to say that? This will help me find Ezra. Apparently they're together. Is that a thing from the show? Did they disappear together? Did you have something to do with Space Whales? I remember seeing comments about this. You didn't have to do with Space Whales. Yes, Ezra went with the Space Whales. I'm going in. There's a lot of time pausing.  Geez. We've split he left for what I could gather. It's just because to make it crystal clear, you can have big moments where nobody's talking as long as you're achieving something. Did we just watch her go to take a shit? What was happening? I was like, is this like a ship that she's been on before? Is this like a ship? Yeah, she's having nostalgitisms. Oh, she drew on the ship. You really think Ezra's still out there? Nothing is certain.  It looked like it. She got herself a coffee, OK? Where did you find this? In a world named Arkana. It's still named. Arkana. Arkana? Mortis? Mortis of Dathomir's whole planet, Arkana. This is Star Wars, guys. I mean, yeah, the force is like magic, but like, come on. We don't do we need more. We don't need another magic system. This is getting more exciting by the minute. This is getting more exciting by the minute. No one would design a map you couldn't read. There must be a key. What? You wrote a show that nobody could understand. You can't read the map. It wouldn't be a map. What kind of insightful commentary is that? There must be a key to open it. Wow. Presumably, if someone made this map, they intended it to be read at least by themselves. Like, whenever you're ready to pay something. Where do you call home these days? This ship serves me fine. Well, whatever. Ah, Sokka, it's not a true home. Don't you ever get tired of moving from one place to another? No, it's Star Wars. I go where I'm needed. I needed you, Sokka. Not always. Didn't do what you needed. Ah. You never made things easy for me, Master. What do you mean?  Then I should have made a good one. Everyone's delivering this very, very meh. Are you false sensitive? Can she use the force? Or she not, is that? Like, yes, the character. She was not. Well, I guess maybe she will be now. Wait, between shows, she became an apprentice? That seems to be the implication. She certainly couldn't use the force. Can I take this? No. Surely, surely in a galaxy full of people who have experts in history and stuff to call upon, right? That's a reason to want to take it so I can think more clearly. No. I'm not sure that's a good idea. Why? It's important. This isn't just about finding this.  It's about preventing another war. I'm an actual Jedi. I should probably hold on to it. Except she's not even a Jedi, because. Or whatever. Whatever that means in the world. Pissing of lightsaber, you mean, right? First kind of force. The map stays here. OK. No, she's going to steal it. She's going to take it. Yeah, she don't even take it off. All the dialogue you could have had. And the reasoning. She just said she wanted to think clearly. No, but you see that subtext, Mola. You, you. Oh, thank you for what?   While this lady's chitchat. I was able to reconstruct the details of the two hiltz. Oh, good job, dude. Why was there no one else? That could do this in the Rebel Alliance or the Republic. This one, I do not recognize. But this one, I've only known one student who built a saber such as this, Bailon Skoll. Oh, Skoll? That's not an eyeliner. I can't explain. He disappeared at the end of the Clone Wars. Like so many Jedi. Yeah, like infinite characters you keep coming from. Yeah, exactly. But they all. You know what? I'm just going to say it. I don't care if it makes me sound like a conspiracy theorist, but I don't think Order 66 happened. No. I think it's all fake. I think that that Revenge of the Sith movie was propaganda created by the Republic. I think so. They will be formidable adversaries for you alone. Of course, you may not be alone for much longer. I'm not alone. I have you cool robotoid. Thank you. Who are you? Who are you? So she's gone, right? I was the robot, the only one who talks like a normal person in this show. And he did some work. You're going to like, yeah. We took some scans. And I even ran. That's crazy. How could this have happened? The problem with that is that, like, they would know, surely, and then they would want to. Why isn't she upset? Now where she lives? Yeah. Well, so I assume she's not going to go where she lives.  On the rock music this time. No, this is important. Serious music. Thank you. All right. All right. Wow, another free spirit. And she does what she wants. So she's just going back to the same place. No way she's actually going home. So I'm pretty sure the towel was in the right place. Oh, no, it's the evil world. Probably the towel was just like Phantom Menace. She took that road. He's going to walk right up to it. There they go. It's ball. Beep, beep, beep, beep, boop. I never think I've met. So she stole the map just to go home.  They're just sitting out there? I'm annoyed that Ahsoka wasn't more like, holy fuck, she stole the map. Wait, are there stanners and radar and stuff? There's like a city over there. They would notice if a ship just like landed there. I mean, you're right, Mola Ahsoka. This is meant to be something that matters to her. I mean, she's pursuing this mission. You'd think that she would care a little bit more to make sure that this didn't happen. It's like double fault because the whole idea is the bad guys want this.  I would also like to let everyone know we have hit the 40 minute mark. Can you imagine if you have 40 minutes into an episode of like, oh, Cain, how much stuff would have happened? Oh, geez. That's a good show. Oh. Yeah, I mean, we're slowing back down again. Yeah, yeah. I think 40 minutes ends of Fellowship of the Ring. We're basically leaving the Shire and we've already learned so much about the characters in the state of the world and what might be at stake and, you know, what Frodo and Sam needs to do. And we go back to the robot. It makes you wonder what the screen place for these episodes look like. Yeah, ponders hit orb for 10 minutes. She's going to solve this like right now, isn't she? All I want them to, like, the thing to win me back would be to have an interesting solution to why she can crack that open. Like, it's not a Rubik's cube and apparently you're just looking for a key. She took the map off the ship when I... And you haven't pursued her. Go and get it. Maybe she just needed some space to think. You don't need space to think with a map. All clear, according to Lady Ren. See? There you go. Why are you... Why are you... ...reacting to this normally? Nobody's reacting to this normally. We want to protect it. It's not about whether or not she has the orb. She took it and she went off. You know, the place I got it from, some robots attacked me and then blew up. And they destroyed like the whole area. You should have seen the firestorm they created. People are looking for this. Of all the people in the galaxy, how come Sabine is the one who you need for the map? Don't you have like expert cryptographers and historians and... Well, she's from the other show, though. She's a tech whiz, therefore, I guess, machines. I'm sure the galaxy is full of stable ones, though. Yeah, she built like a giga war crime weapon when she was really, really young. Oh, as you do. She's really cool, guys. So they let her have the key to Thrawn. Yeah, yeah, yeah. Cool. How about your master found you difficult at times? Ah, listen to that ominous music. Remember, if you don't, Anakin is Darth Vader. For the end of the Clone Wars, I walked away from him. Oh, sad robot face. I walked away from Sabine. I walked away from every... Sorry I brought it up. She's just like, yeah, I know. Why are you telling me this? Sometimes even the right reasons have the wrong consequences. What do we do then?  Why did the conversation lead there? Sometimes the right things have the wrong consequences. What do we do then? Like, oh, man, floaty, yes. I know, I'm tired. How long have you been here? How about this nighttime? Why on the Soka here? Or is it not nighttime? Just get in the...  Isn't she a commander? Don't she have been in the house? Her very prominent house. Where have you been? What have the Sith been doing? Don't tell me the cat is going to like roll it over and just fits into place on the map somewhere or it's like, oh, that's the solution.  Yeah, but this doesn't mean anything to me. Think about it. If I can't connect with what's being done. Three figures. Think about it. Three figures. Wow. That makes a lot of sense. Dick Tecto. I'm so terrified that this means mortis stuff. Three faces. Three faces. Three manifestations of aspects of the force. Perhaps six years. He walks towards it any more slowly. Yes. Wait, three, three faces, three figures. Oh, of course.  What are you doing? Oh, that wasn't what you drew. I saw what you did.  Look, what do you mean? Yeah, but we have to look at it. You just have to look at it. I don't think we just have to press one button and that would be the key. Thanks, I got it. Surely you would have pressed it by accident, though. You think that you might have. No, it's just matching. Look, it's matching the way that the cuts. Rubik's key. You could have done that by accident. You wouldn't need any information. Just solve the puzzle on its own. That's the first thing I want to say to all the combinations. Oh, come on. Not even a Rubik's cube. That's not even that many combinations anyway. Why couldn't the person do this? I don't know what she's doing other than spinning it around. Wow, she's choking me. That's it?  Oh, does it float? I guess it floats. Yeah, it floats. Oh, we got it floats now. Oh, it's some other galaxy, rather than me. You need to tell Soka right now. Oh, my goodness. That was so cute. What are you trying to look at the galaxy? Oh, my gosh, it looked so far away from down here. Droid's going to be, it is nighttime.  Soka, what are you doing? What happened to the Sith? She's over here. I think I'm going on a trip. Oh, no. Good job, Droid. Look how they explode. No, it's the robot. You can't overpower it. It's the robot. What are you doing? Remember, RG1 punched it in the head. It's still punching the robot. Oh, yeah, you're screwed, because it's got a hold of you. Shoot her. Shoot her with a gun. Oh, no. Oh, shoot her. I appreciate that. You should have. Why didn't he execute her? Yeah, that would have made way more sense. Oh, wow. No, that worked. How did the gun fall from his behind to here in front? Do you see that? How did the gun get there? Who yet any backup now? Who young is on the Soka?   What am I thinking? So don't have any urgency, Soka. It's fine. Did you notice that the Soka was not looking at the robot? She was looking like, wait for me. Apparently, those two have been talking over the hologram once. Also, wait. Oh, wait. It actually might be worth grabbing that helmet, by the way. Wow, look at this. Oh, no. Why have you been waiting here? Why did you wait? Wait, if she had a blaster, she could have shot the robot. Do a blast round. Use the force and choke her. Use the force and break her neck. Just explode the droid and you're fine. Oh, spooky walk. Oh, yeah, maybe if you walk even slower. So you should be telling a Soka on the thing right now. She's handed it to a droid. Why isn't the droid just running for it? Yeah, I guess it wants to see this is epic. Your commander, get back.  Come on. OK. Oh, that was. Oh, wow. Yeah, lock swords. Lock balls. Oh, man. This is all right. This has been bad. Oh, this looks bad. That's what's happening. She wants to be so cool. You've only just now got in the pilot seat. You've been here all day.  And by the way, the police. So let's do that in the city commander. You can have the army here.  How was Sabine?  Going to have a ship. Yeah, this girl has force powers. Allude the authorities. Oh, man. They've got a ship. You've got to get that ship before they escape on it as well.   But just repeating the same motions over and over again.  It's the exact same thing every goddamn time. And it's just worse. I would like to give everybody. It is now been 50 minutes. It's been 10 minutes. Keeps getting dragged back. I'm pretty sure the power isn't a different distance again. Soka's got the slasher killer problem where she keeps getting ported backwards every time we see her. Oh, bye. Oh, I guess I'll go. Why are you trying to hit her with the cape? In Batman, if you hit him with a cape, it stumps him, right? Oh, you're dead. You're dead. Yes. OK, you're not going to die, but you should be dead. Oh, are we going to do the Kenobi thing of getting stabbed to the lightsaber? Everybody has, right? We've established Obi-Wan. Qui-God died of AIDS. He didn't actually die from the death. No, why? She's not dead.  So at this point, why are you going to kill a purple in person? Why God was the exception to the rule?  That collides pretty quickly. That was 50 minutes, Dave. Oh, my God, that was bad. You're being directed by Dave Filoni. This is all I'm creating by Dave Filoni.  I'm saying based on Star Wars by George Lucas, you liar. Goddamn.  That was just standard bad Star Wars Disney Star Wars writing.  Dude, I've heard some people say the only real problem is that it's boring. It's like, this is, I mean, it is really boring, but like it's badly written. Horribly written. Finding a scene that goes by without something ejectionable happening is like impossible. Which is crazy considering how the bad guys have the map. Why? Because everyone's retarded. The only reason I've got it is because it's like, I want it. Why? Well, you know, help me think. No. And I'm going to leave now. Oh, Dave, oh, Dave, she took it. And it took us a while to consider going, yeah. And then it took a while to actually go and get it. And how the bad guys have a big advantage. You can't have it. Now I'm just going to leave you in a room with it alone while I go and talk to my robot. I'm going to pretend that this isn't going to be. Yes. They're already pretending like everything happens in the neighborhood of the Star System. Oh, I'm here now. And now I'm here. And now I'm here. But now it looks like we actually go into a different galaxy. Is that happening? Yeah, that feels new for Star Wars. Oh, the whales. Look, whales. Well, man, it seems like a hugely significant thing to go to a different galaxy. It's always been in this galaxy. This is the kind of out-of-the-box thinking that you get from Dave Filoni.   And it's all bad.  Oh, we've got a whole bunch of different points converging on the same thing. Whoa. Look, that's Dathomere, right? Bar behind, I wonder if. Is that what that name is? Man, I don't know. Oh, that's Dathomere. That's weird. Well, I'm literally just shot in the dark. I have no clue. I'd be really curious to see how long the episode actually would be if they would talk like normal people to each other. Yeah, we'd learn more in less time. So that would be cool. We achieve so little with the time that we have because these big pauses and like belly character. Yeah, you should be allowed to spend an hour like this. I was so low. Oh, god. The pauses, we're insane. You're going to watch two episodes of Gilligan's Island and enjoy it myself. But instead of here, I have to watch it in the Simpsons, you know, and get more for character and story. And it will make more sense. What do we like? I mean, I guess it looks pretty decent. It looks good. I like the droid. Yeah, I like the alien cat. I think it does look a little bit washed out at times. Yeah, as much as the rain. Yeah, I didn't really notice it. I was just begging for something to happen. I think now it's, yeah, I guess I. I'm not even sure what to make of it. It's just the same as always. Canada, you're to blame for this.  It's just no different. It's no different. It is the same thing I realize here. It is a different day. The implications are going to probably be a lot bigger than anything in Mando even. Yeah, I'm kind of horrified by the places they seem to want to go.  We could see anyone turn up in this show. He's probably got access to anything that he could want from Star Wars. Again, this is this is going to be all on him. This one essentially. This is his show. This is his creation. And it calls back to a lot of stuff that he also made. And he wrote every episode. So this, I guess this is what? Like unbridled Dave Filoni. Yay.  And I don't have much to say about it, honestly. I think we'll have more to say as the episodes go on naturally, but this is a start is pretty terrible. That was, I guess I'm not surprised at all. We got the hallmarks of everything.   Yeah, I should have said something earlier, but the thing that's like guaranteed now in Star Wars is just bad action scenes. Not counting Andor. All of this is of course not counting in. Andor gets to be in a special place. That's just exempt from all of our Star Wars discussion. It gets to be special. But most gets to the point where you don't even want to call Andor Star Wars. Yeah, kind of. When I, when people say Star Wars, I don't even think about Andor because it's just so high quality compared to everything else. It doesn't deserve Star Wars in a positive sense. Deserves to be brought down by that French. One shotgun. If you want to kill a Jedi, it takes one shotgun. What are you going to do? What are you going to do against like 11, 12 pellets? Dude, I'm looking at when she got stabbed, he tilts the lightsaber from up to down and then drags it out.  Not what I do, dad. Oh, they're fucked. She should be fucked, but she's going to be fine. If I stabbed someone and I wanted to kill him with a lightsaber and that lightsaber is not coming out the way it went in. Move it left or right once it's in, okay?     It won't be like she is now permanently less able-bodied.  By the end, maybe even by the beginning, who knows.   The boring things happen. Ahsoka, everyone. Episode one. Thanks for coming. Thanks for watching. We'll see you for episode one, Joe. How exciting. All right. Bye-bye. Yeah, hey, whoa, yeah, bye. Thank you, Lord. But didn't I- What did you bring me?