The following is a presentation of TFNN, the morning market kickoff with your host Tommy O'Brien. Good Monday morning everybody. I'm Tommy O'Brien, coming to you live from TFNN Monday morning, 9.06 a.m. and we're going to kick things off with some fireworks this morning, folks. Right now you're looking at an S&P down 1.75%. You heard it right. You're down 77 points. That's an extension of lower prices that we had coming at us on Friday. You're looking at an S&P trading at 43.44. You back things up just to 9.30 in the morning on Friday. You had a print of 44.62. You're talking about 120 points, almost 3 full percent in the S&P that we are trading down just basically since the open on the previous day of trading. NASDAQ 100 down a similar 1.7%. You look where we are. You're talking about almost 500 points in the NASDAQ 100 from Friday's open. The Dow below 34,000. You're talking about 1.9% in the negative, down 657 points. We haven't even started trading for the week yet and you got the Russell down a staggering 2.54% Russell always with some volatility and how about the VIX? Volatility index this morning, we saw a spike of 26.75. Right now you're sitting at a level of 26.19. You take a look at the VIX, boy, you can't ignore that spike, right? I've talked about it in my newsletter on a couple occasions, talked about it on the program a couple occasions in terms of lower lows and lower highs in that volatility index. Not so much the case. You got a VIX spiking back to a high that we haven't seen going back to May. That high in May was 28.93. Right now, you're spiking. I mean, look at this action just from Friday. Friday's action, you had an 18 handle on the VIX. We wake up this morning and you got a VIX trading at 26.18 and folks, it's hitting everywhere across all markets as you'd expect when you get this type of action to kick things off. It's Fed week as well. Interesting to add that onto everything going on. We got a Fed meeting starting tomorrow. We got a press conference on Wednesday, 2.30 p.m. is the press conference. Two o'clock is the announcement and it is hitting everything. As I said, even Bitcoin, check out Bitcoin's action. We'll put it on a short term chart on Friday's action. You were sitting at about 48,000. Right now, you're talking about Bitcoin trading at 43,000, 310 basically just under the lows that we had a week ago on Monday, crudes down $1.45 to 70, 37 gold. One of the things green on the board right now, you got gold trading at 17.59. You're up $7.90 gold and quite a pullback you had on gold the last week in terms of you were talking about, yeah, that's just five days ago. On Monday last week, you were trading just under 1800. Making above that price point on Wednesday. And man, the sell-off on Thursday and gold was dramatic. And you're just kind of sputtering right now. Below those price levels, you jump down two notes in bonds. And that's where we're getting some higher price and lower yield. You're talking about a yield right now of 1.316%. You're down about five basis points. So you'd come into the session at about 1.37%. Let me take a look on the five minute to see the action here. Yield-wise, we came into, we ended Friday's session with a yield of about 1.37%. Just like that, we're trading with a yield of 1.316%. The 30-year is up more than a full point and five ticks right now, 163.24. And as we talked about that volatility index this morning, we're trading at 26.09. And let's just jump into some of these markets. I like to kick it off with some news. But man, the news this morning is the markets. And we're going to talk about some news after the break as well. But I'm going to take a little bit of action in terms of where we are in some of these indices. Now I've talked about on many occasions, right, the one that we've had. I mean, look at this folks, decisive break. Okay, I'm going to extend these to the right. I'm going to extend the top line. That doesn't matter as much right now. Excuse me. I'm even going to back this up a little bit further to see the full context. Now these channel lines we're dealing with in the S&P to zoom it back in, okay? Pretty defined. Doesn't get much more defined in terms of the upper boundary and the lower boundary, right? You were stuck on the upper boundary as we accelerated from the November lows. We had a price point of about $3,200. I think it's $32,25. Yes, it is. $32,25 on the dot was the low in the S&Ps. Now again, keep things in context folks. As I give you kind of the bear case here, you're still 1,100 S&P points above where we were trading at last November. Did you hear that? 1,700 S&P points down where we were trading at last November, okay? Let alone, we're just below where we were trading at on August 19th. The low there was 43, 47. You're basically just testing those lows that we had on August 19th. But man, did we get back there in a flash. That's just one month ago folks, all right? Things look crazy. Of course they do. But you're talking about an S&P within about 200 points of the all-time highs, okay? And you're just back to a month ago in terms of where we were trading. But this is also the highs we had in July. But as you see, I mean, we were bumping up in terms of the upper boundary line early in the ascent to higher prices. But in May, you transition to the lower boundary line. And man, it just found that lower boundary line on three occasions almost perfectly. Whether it was in June, whether it was July, whether it was August, we caught a bid on all three summer months, right? June, July, August, higher prices. Guess what? We roll in Labor Day weekend comes at you. We come back from Labor Day weekend. There is the Friday before Labor Day, right? Friday before Labor Day.  Friday before Labor Day, you're talking about a high of $45.50. We come back on Tuesday, man, we have just seen negative prices. You did get that one reprieve last week where you got a bid. But other than that, it's been lower prices. And we're talking about $43.49. Now again, I mean, that's a decisive break lower. Haven't seen it. As I talked about, so this trend line really originates in November in the S&P. You can put it up. It's just on a daily in your charts, folks, okay? But you look at this in terms of where we are. What was so cool about this trend line is if you take where we are in November, you push it to the left, pretty well defined, going back to the COVID lows almost. And look at that break, folks. That is a decisive break on two straight days. We're well below that channel line now. Not what you want to see. The NASDAQ 100, a little bit of a different story, okay? We had some trades going on in my newsletter, Rocket Equities and Options. You can check it out on the front page, TFNN folks under the newsletter tab. All the newsletters we do come with a 30-day money-back guarantee. And we were going a little bearish in the NASDAQ 100 here. The reason why is that you have the NASDAQ 100 bump it up against the upper boundary line, okay? You come into the Labor Day weekend. There is July, excuse me, there is September 3rd. You actually have a high on the Tuesday back from Labor Day, $15,708, and just like that. We're down below that 600 points from that price point. You were trading above $15,500 on Friday and just like that, you give up almost 500 points from that action. Now, what to think about here, when you take a look at the NASDAQ 100, okay, this is going back to, again, where the markets really started accelerating. You had November. You came off a low in March. You came off another low in May, okay? And then you correlate the highs that we had back in February. You match that up to some of the higher areas we had back in July, in August, and that brings you to an area of $15,708 just recently. And man, you make it to the bottom line of that trend channel, folks, and that would correlate to November 2nd to March to the lows of May. You're talking about maybe another 5, 6, 700 points, and that would just be a trade to the lower boundary line of an upward channel, folks. It's not even breaking the channel in the NASDAQ 100. Dow, different story as well, accelerating lower in a big way. Dow didn't quite match up on the channel to the lows of November, but if you take that out of the equation, pretty well defined in terms of these lows you had, whether it was February, the lows of March, the lows of June, lows of July, lows of August, and man, we break lower in a big way. Where are we going to go, folks? Where is the pain? Where is it going to stop? We'll find out. Stay tuned, folks. What we like to talk about for Monday Trading, come back, it's Fed Week as well. Right back in Freeman. What's separating you from the most successful men and women on Wall Street? That's right. Information. Having all the information gives us the perspective we need to place the right trades at the right time. The TAS Profile Scanner is the premier market profile based scanner. Powered by its acclaimed TAS proprietary algorithms, this feature-rich scanner instantly filters over 2,500-plus global financial markets, such as stocks, ETFs, commodities, futures, and forex. This powerful suite of tools leverages instant trade filtering and strategy formulation to show you emerging trades before they happen.  Level the playing field with the TAS Profile Scanner, which you can find under the services tab at tfnn.com. Sign up today. Sharpening your skills as an investor is like getting better at playing a musical instrument. You have to practice, sure, but you also need excellent instruction from experts. At tfnn, you'll get advice and guidance from THE authority in technical market analysis, and it's not just dry tedious text either. tfnn airs live financial content streamed live on tfnn.com and tfnn's YouTube channel with Tiger TV, live every market day from 8.30 am to 4.00 pm Eastern. For free, each host is an experienced trader and gives their take on the market while taking calls and questions live from around the world. From the moment the market opens until the closing bell sounds, Tiger TV has eight different shows with expert hosts to help you make the right moves with your money. Watch online at tfnn.com or on tfnn's YouTube channel and become the investor you were born to be, tfnn, Educating Investors. Welcome back folks. I got a chart of the queues up here. We're trading down about $6 right now from $373.83 on Friday. You're trading at $367.91, you're as low as under $367 at about $8.30 an hour ago this morning, got about 12 minutes to go until the opening bell. Now take a look at the queues here. As I talked about in the NASDAQ 100, obviously trading in comparison to the queues, where you go? Now they have a nice defined channel line as well. I was talking about you're bumping up against the upper boundary line, you trade to the lower boundary line, you're talking about maybe $350, give or take. Now what I'm looking at on this chart, if you're in the queues here, all the way back to July 19th, that's the last area. Maybe that's the low you head to now, $360 is sticking out on this chart, of course. That's where you really accelerated higher about a month ago on August 19th. But we had 64 million shares traded on July 19th. Maybe that's the next step. And the reason why I pinpoint that as well is because that would bring it down to the lower boundary line. You work out time a little bit forward, that is going to basically correlate to that lower boundary line. Now it throws a little bit of a wrench into this, okay? If you are short, a little tough being short in the market when you come into Fed Week and Chairman Powell has shown that he is committed, let's just say committed to trying to stimulate this economy the best he can until full employment is restored, right? We are nowhere near full employment. And for some of the data we got last week, we got a soft CPI number. That's going to give Chairman Powell some ammunition this week to say the transit of natures in inflation is what he's seeing causing them not to have to rush to whether it's payback stimulus, whether it's raise rates, don't see that coming any time soon. But I'm not sure I see the market completely falling out of bed with Chairman Powell having a meeting and a press conference in the ability to put out some calming words there. Not sure it'll happen, folks, because we got a lot going on and there's only so much the Fed can do as we've seen on a day that we get the markets down one to two to two and a half percent across the board right now. And what's it have to do with? It has to do with a lot of things, folks. It's got to do with valuations. It's got to do with the fact that we're so far away from full employment right now. It does have to do with some of the Delta variants going on, folks. We are unfortunately, it's almost mind boggling. I had to check it. My friends were talking about we're back above 2,000 deaths a day. It's just a tragedy of epic proportions that we're losing 2,000 Americans every single day to this virus that we have a vaccine for. Nonetheless, that's where we currently sit right now. One of the things out there, though, that is having a dramatic impact is Evergrande over in China, that Chinese real estate market. How far will President Xi go with his crackdown on China's real estate sector? Well, we're going to find out as the fears of contagion ripping across the markets having an impact for sure. The question has suddenly become an urgent one on trading deaths around the world after months of treating the crisis at indebted developer China Evergrande Group has largely contained investors on Monday rushed to price in the risk that Xi will miscalculate as he tries to curb China's property market excesses without derailing the economy. Part of what they talk about here, economists assign a 30% probability to a hard landing. The resulting market turbulence may add pressure on Chinese leaders to tap the brakes on policy tightening or at least take steps to limit the fallout Goldman Sachs called for authorities to send a clearer message. I've talked about it on the show before as well, folks. President Xi over there, he has a plan for the next 10 to 20 years, not the next 10 to 20 days. Even though most people don't expect Evergrande to collapse, all of a sudden the silence and a lack of major actions from policy makers is making everyone panic as they say. And then you have over here, gauge of developers in Hong Kong plunges for a five-year low over there. And I think we had the Hong Kong Hang Seng down, let me pull it up here. 3.7%, I think it was, what are we, 3.3%. You got the Hang Seng down. Evergrande shares were plunging 10% as other property shares fall. That's the headline over there at CNBC, excuse me, and you can see the dramatic impact, folks. And I would just be anytime you got China in the mix, watch out. Protect yourself. Have those spikes up on your back, folks. I watched a video last week of China, and this was from a month or two ago, maybe a few months back, just demolishing half of a city that was kind of half-built because they were just building so fast, things collapsed. They have all these half-built high-rises all over some cities. They just decided to tear them all down because they weren't getting built anytime soon. I thought it was actually just a graphic artist display. I didn't think it was real. When I first saw it, it was like 15 half-built high-rises, all collapsing, all being exploded and demolished at the same time. No, that was China, figuring out that, guess what? They got a little bit ahead of themselves, and they were just going to start wiping out half-built cities because they were such a mark on everything that they were doing out there. It's a big deal in a big way. So that could play out in a big way. Look at Evergrande stock in Hong Kong, right? We're talking about going March of this year at 1650. Yeah, you're trading at peanuts right now for $2, folks, in a big way. And as they say, insurers listed also dropped. You had one insurer down 5%. You had another one down 5.7% there.  And sometimes it takes a couple months to come out in terms of where that risk really lies across markets. And you're seeing some fear in our markets this morning that that might start to hit some of that as well. I mean, they're just assets in some way. And you'll see how that plays out. Market's getting a little bit of a bid right now off of the lows. Let's jump over to some of the thank stocks.  You're down $60 right now. Trading at $34. You're just down to Wednesday's lows. I mean, all the tech stocks, of course, down dramatically when you got the markets getting hammered so harsh. Microsoft really traded lower on Friday. You're lower again today, down by about $3 to $297. Apple shares trading from $149 on Friday. You were below $143 to start off the day. Tesla shares lower today as well. They were dealing with their own woes down from $760 to about $734. We'll jump to some of the social media companies, Facebook shares down as well. Not going to find many stocks in positive territory today. Even the likes of crypto. You got Coinbase down about $12. And we talked about Bitcoin down about $3,300. We'll jump over to Ethereum. Another one people love to follow. Florida with under $3,000. We were just trading at $3,600 on Thursday. Under $3,000 yet again, taking a look at the daily. Back to an area that we did have support in Ethereum in early August. But man, these crypto sectors, folks, if you start seeing the market reverberate like this, there's not many things that are not gonna get hit when you got a market trading down one to two to two and a half percent to kick things off the Russell down just over 2% right now. Russell trend line not really applicable right now, but I mean this Russell just straight out in a consolidation. I'm gonna take off these trend lines. Whoops. Let's delete that one. Let's delete that one because those trends do not exist because what does exist, folks, we're gonna activate that drawing. The Russell is in a straight out consolidation for the better part of this year with a bottom portion of about 2,100. We're trading at 2,180 right now. The top portion about 2,360, which we had the all-time highs going back to March. Crazy that you gotta go all the way back to March to get an all-time high in the Russell. Man, Russell, watch out. Maybe 2,100 scenario, look for a little bit of buying activity in the Russell as we've seen a bounce on one, two, three, four, five occasions. Looks like we're on our way to that price level right now. All right, folks, stay tuned.  We'll see where we open, and that's gonna be an exciting one for sure. Are the bulls ready for the open? Are the bears ready for the open? We got a VIX trading at 2,566 right now, folks. That is some volatility premium, and it is Fed week as well. Stay tuned, folks. We'll come back, see what else we have on tap for the week's trading. We'll be right back. 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This segment is brought to you by Think or Swim. For more information, just click the Think or Swim banner on the front page of TFNN.com. Welcome back, folks. We got markets open and we got the markets in negative territory to say the least. You're talking about an S&P, negative by 73 points, folks. You're talking about an Azdec 100, negative 264 points. Dow off 580 right now, the Russell off 50. Taking a look at the dollar index right now. You're looking at a dollar index trading at 93.33. That is up about 14 basis points. So you got dollar strength right now on a day that we got weakness across the markets to say the least. And you're catching negative action in these markets to say the least as well. As we're talking about a price point right now, excuse me, that it's really rocking as we have all of these markets really hitting new prices, yeah, even negative territory in the open. Pulling back the charts here, I got up. You're looking at S&Ps making negative 75, Nasdaq negative 275 right now. Dow just about 600 points in the red. And let's jump back to some of the stories. So staying on Evergrand real quick, okay? Where we got? I got a couple stories out here. Let's see which one. This is the one I want to talk about. So this gets into some of the nuts and bolts in terms of the interest rates they're really dealing with here. Evergrand moment of truth arrives with bond payment deadline and battle developers do to pay interest on notes Thursday. And they're talking about, I think it's $85 million, where are we at here? There it is, $83.5 million of interest on 8.25% notes, five-year dollar bond. That is due on Thursday. There's a 30-day period before mispayments considered a default according to the bond's covenants. Evergrand needs to pay 36 million coupon on an onshore bond the same day in total Evergrand has 669 million in coupon payments coming due through the end of this year. Some 615 million of that is on dollar bonds. Watch out folks, that is a big one in a big way. And man, you talk about some max pain if they start dealing with that folks, that is gonna be max pain in a big way in terms of where that ends up resting in that market. Just give me one second. There we go. All right. Excuse me as I pull that up there. Okay, let's jump around to some of the other stories we have going on in terms of what is shaping these markets. We're gonna jump to Morgan Stanley. Surprise, surprise, Morgan Stanley sees the potential of a 20% drop in the S&P 500 growing. Well, I wonder when they put that out, because yeah, we're gonna be there before we know it folks. You talk about the S&P, my goodness. Now we're catching a bid right now in the markets. You put this back to a 15 minute. We're talking about an S&P. Let's put it on a daily real quick to figure out what we're talking about for 20%. So what are we talking about 20%? If you're trading at 45, 49, you're talking about price point of, yeah, I mean, we're down 200 points already folks in this index. Let's back it up a little bit. Let's put it on a three-year weekly. I mean, you're talking about 10% would be about 450. It's considered, you gotta think about that we started off 2020 at a price point of 32.25. Doesn't mean it would drop out of bed in terms of being, I'm getting some delayed data. There we go, okay, caught up as this market is moving so quick here. 43.63 right now in the S&P. You're already up 23 points right now in terms of that index pop and we get the NASDAQ 100 popping as well, 15,117. You actually spiked to 15,035 on the open. Crazy action as we talk about and the dial off about 508 right now. And yeah, we get into this, but you're gonna hear more of this talk as we get this type of volatility folks. When you get a VIX trading at a 26, you better believe that there's the probability that you could get a 20% pullback in these markets. We just got a three to 4% pullback in the last two days. In a note on Monday, the strategists laid out two directions through the US market. They dubbed as fire and dice. The fire outcome, the more optimistic view the Federal Reserve pulls away stimulus to keep the economy from running too hot. The typical fire outcome would lead to a modest and healthy 10% correction, but it's the more bearish ice scenario that's gaining traction, the strategist said. Laying out a picture in which the economy sharply decelerates, earnings get squeezed, stocks globally fell on Monday in concern that the debt crisis in China, Evergrande could impact the broader financial system. And yeah, as they talk about down dramatically from those price levels in a big way. All right, let's jump around to what we got going on in terms of stocks making moves. Where are we? There we go. Let's jump down the line to a specific equities moving today with some news. China Evergrande on the top of the list continually. What we do have out today is that you have Pfizer talking about in their trial showed COVID vaccine was safe and effective when used in children five to 11. Pfizer and partner byontech said they would submit the results for approval as soon as possible. Pfizer with the market trading down this morning. But that's encouraging news on the humanity, friend folks, because that is the last piece of this puzzle, getting kids vaccinated. I got two kids young in the house below the age of five right now. Actually, one of them gonna be turned into five shortly. He's in pre-K, you know, you got a bunch of kids in pre-K right now in Florida. And I got calls every single day folks of positive cases and none of those kids have the ability to get vaccinated. That will be, I think the last step, you get kids vaccinated, then it really does become a personal accountability issue in terms of getting vaccinated. It's a real bummer with 2000 people dying every single day and bummer doesn't even encompass it, doesn't even do it justice. But there's not much else to be said on that front. But Pfizer coming up with that data and looks to be five to 11 year olds coming up. And I think it'll be two year olds to five year olds shortly after that. All right, what else we got? The oil stocks trading lower. You had oil dropping about a buck 50. So not surprising you got some of these stocks in lower territory. Colgate Palm Olive, the consumer staple stock upgraded to a buy from a whole that Deutsche Bank, the investment firm said Colgate's difficulties with inflation and in some international markets so it's already priced into the stock. What's their symbol Colgate Palm Olive? Right, my computer's a little bit slow right now as we rock, let's see. Yeah, CL. And look at that in a red market, that upgrade holding steady up 1.1% for Colgate Palm Olive right now on that upgrade. JP Morgan, bank stocks slid in unison. Lost you in the den. Okay, yeah, I'm getting a little bit of, sorry, let me get back in there. Okay, I'm not in the den, huh? All right, one second. Excuse me, one second. These computers moving too fast today. What's going on? I'm coming back, I'm coming back. Give me one moment. There we go. All right, I'm back in the den. Here come my charts. All right, there are my charts and there's a chart of Colgate Palm Olive up about a percent right now. It's 76.97 with a market deep in the red. We have caught a bid though. I mean, if you were really not afraid, but if you were thinking negative action was gonna fly on the open and you could make that argument, maybe the bull's holding their breath right now with the market's catching a slight bid. And I say slight, I mean, anytime you get this type of move, right? 8.30 in the morning, we're trading at 15,048.  Yes, 62 points right now, but you're 20 points off the lows we had this morning. Jumping around to some of the other equities as I was jumping through. The only other one I wanna touch on was the ARC innovation down 2.75%, not surprising when you think that you got all the big dogs in the tech stock straight and lower in a big way. And let's see what they got. So Coinbase, we already talked about. DraftKings, Square, let's see how they're doing. What's gonna happen? On days like this, the volatile stocks are gonna be even more volatile, right? Square is down 2.9%. Let's say Coinbase down 4.67%. Tesla shares, catching a little bit of bid, still down 2.7%. We'll jump into some of those equities and we'll get right back folks. Stay tuned, I'll be right back. Are you in the market for buying or selling real estate in the Bay area, including the surrounding St. Petersburg, Tampa and Clearwater markets? Tiger Real Estate LLC is a firm that has extensive experience in the Tampa Bay area. 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A little bit of a lift on the opening bell. We get the dial catching a bit. Look at that. You're up 250 points from where we were on the lows. Almost 300 points from the lows right now. 34,040 and the Russell trading down 46 points right now. I mean, anytime you get an open folks down, this dramatic, I mean, it's not like I saw the action tilting to a market where you had the NASDAQ down 1.7% on the open. Were you really gonna extend things to 2.7% down on the opening bell? That's where you get into the standard deviation, the likelihood of a move. I mean, your one standard deviation, your two standard deviations away from the norm in terms of what you, in terms of the statistical probabilities of those moves extending. Catching a bid right now, but doesn't mean that the day's negative action is done. You take a look at on a 30 minute on the daily. I mean, it was a pretty consistent week last week. If you look where we were, right? It looks like nothing compared to what we saw on Friday and on today.  So it didn't look so bad. Tuesday you sold off as well. You had a two-way market. Wednesday you did accelerate higher. Thursday you sold off at the beginning and traded higher and then Friday and today it's been all negative action. This is the first time we've had a real bar to the upside in Friday and Monday's action. NASDAQ 100 down about 201 so far. All right, jumping around to other articles I had out here in terms of what we're talking about. Bitcoin trading lower with the market, 10% to 43,000 as risky assets tumble globally. Regulatory concerns intensify. That's one way to put it. I would put it as in they're selling everything folks. They're selling everything in a big way. The only thing up on my chart right now, I've got, I got gold up about seven bucks, right? Silver's up four pennies right now at 22.38. That was after they both had some harsh days on Thursday and Friday. You look at the run we had in gold. Last week on Wednesday you were up at almost 18.10. You traded 17.58 and then we got notes and bonds, of course, a little bit of a reversal of the note and bond action as well. So everything kind of reversing slightly on the open right now. I emphasize slightly on the open right now as we have the 10 year up nine ticks right now at 1.3302 at 8 a.m. USI is 1.3309. So we've pulled back about seven ticks already on the 10 year. Let's take a look at some of the stocks that I like to take a look at. Disney down 1.75% today, taking a look at the daily on Disney. Disney November 117, you get efficacy on the vaccine. You trade up to 203. If you're looking to get into Disney, 170 is a great point. Not sure you're gonna get back there, but man that's been an area of support whether you get back to May, you get back to July, August, kind of just been in consolidation for the better part since May. In Disney at 180, Uber's really been trading low in a big way. You're trading at 39.53. Now Uber putting this a little longer term time frame. We'll put it, oops, excuse me. We'll put it on a weekly. The full run from the COVID lows at 13.71. You're up to 64.05. You're right at the 50%. You've been chopping around there. Now I'm gonna take this one off here and show you. If you take a look, I mean, we're talking about, you are almost back folks to where we were prior to having any information of the vaccines. I mean, Uber's getting to an area. You get down to $35. You're talking about almost cut in half here. It's tough buying an equity that's pulling back like this. You gotta get your stops in place because there's something wrong right now with what's going on in Uber trading down from $64 to $40. And you're back to an area of where the world didn't have vaccines. Think about the impact on a company like Uber's businesses in terms of how that should have transformed their businesses even though we're getting like the third or fourth wave right now, right? Things are taking longer than we thought. We still have amazing vaccine spokes that should be able to get us over this home. That was not the case until November. I mean, it's almost hard to remember the rhetoric prior to this vaccine data. I believe some of what they talked about was that they would need it to be 50 to 60% effective or to make sense at all. Now, yeah, some of that advocacy might have Wayne versus Delta. It might wane over time. The battle of the boosters going on on Friday as well. But nonetheless, I mean, we got some pretty powerful vaccines that should be able to get us over this home. It should be able to help with severe disease and illness is should be able to help the economy, the world behind the US in terms of vaccine taking longer time, but the future is there. And Uber, just paying the price in a big way, trading low at $39.44. When you look at that run it had in November, this is a week below on that weekly bar is $3406. We're trading at $39.42 right now on Uber. Jumping back to the markets, drifting a little bit south with the S&Ps down about 60, NASDAQ down about 212 right now. Let's take a look at some of those fang stocks and see how they're trading. Microsoft shares down about 810% not that bad when you look at where the market is, right? Microsoft 100 right now down 1.4%. You got Microsoft down 810%. You got Apple shares down 1.2% right now. Google shares trading lower by 2% on the dot, 2773. Let's take a look at Google. Now this thing, my goodness. I'm gonna take this Fimonacci number off there for some clarity. This has just been a one-way rocket ship folks and take, if you're in Google, you're bumping up, coming to that lower boundary line. Let's see, excuse me. 2730, we'll send you to the bottom line of that channel line and I'm gonna back this up even further. You can see the run in Google. You could say started in October, right? The market really takes off on October 29th. They had earnings on that level as well. So you had earnings, you had an election, you had vaccine efficacy and Uber's been in a straight shot and look how defined it is on the bottom side of that, you have it matching up whether it was the lows in January, the lower area in March, the lower area in May, then Google really starts accelerating to the top side and look at the top side. You pair it with the November high. You pair it to the highs in February. You pair it to the highs we had in April. Matches that level in July, touches that level in August. So if you're looking for Google, not sure these trend lines are gonna hold forever folks. I mean, Google is traded from 1600 to 2700 in that channel line, but remarkable that you're still within that channel line in Google for the next $40 or so to the downside from where we're trading right now. All right, let's take a look at the VIX and see how we're trading right now. We got a VIX trading 2447, pair in some of those gains. You back up to where we are. You're now below the spike we had in August. You did get that higher spike though folks and that's the first time. I mean, look at this chart, right? Lower lows, lower highs going all the way back to, I mean, almost all the way back to June of last year. You really look at where we were in October of last year before we got the vaccine efficacy. You were pushing 41 16. That was coming into the election too, right? A very elevated VIX when we had an election up for grabs. We had a vaccine data due and man, just the market accelerates higher.  We've been dealing with 1538 VIX back in April, 1425 VIX back in June. Lower highs and then boom. Pay attention to that folks because the VIX telling you that it's not lower highs anymore on a day that we are coming into Fed week as well. That's the other interesting part of this, right? How that is gonna shape Chairman Powell's press conference. We're gonna find out on Wednesday folks. We got a meeting starting tomorrow. We got a press conference at 2.30 on Wednesday. With that in mind, stay tuned folks. We'll be right back to finish up the show.


So far, we've been using k-means on some hand-drawn two-dimensional data. Now, I'd like to move on to some other slightly more complex datasets that we've actually used before in some of our previous videos. Now, my goal for today will be to try and explain the resulting clusters. So, first off, the zoo dataset. We can load it in using the datasets widget, then feed it directly to the k-means widget. Just as a reminder, the zoo dataset contains 100 animals described by 16 categorical features. This also means that k-means has to convert them to numeric features in order to compute the distances. Now, based on the silhouette scoring we talked about last time, k-means suggests there are five clusters in our data. So, let's take some time to investigate what these clusters represent. To do this, I'll use the box plot widget. So, let's group the data according to our clusters and sort the features. This way, we get the features that are most correlated with the clustering at the very top of our list. As it turns out, the feature most related to our clusters is the type of animal. You might notice here that type is a target feature, and orange doesn't use target features to compute distances. So, the fact that the clusters are correlated with types at all is pretty cool in and of itself. Now, one cluster here includes most of the mammals. Another one includes all the insects. And we also see all the birds are in their own cluster. There's a couple of mammals clustered together with the fish, but if we select them to see which ones they are exactly, we find the dolphin and the porpoise, which makes a lot of sense. So, going back to our box plot, we see that the clusters also correlate well with the number of legs. Most of the animals in this cluster, for example, have no legs, and most of the animals in this cluster have two. Now remember, these two are the fish and bird clusters, respectively, so again, no real surprise there. Next one up is backbone. Interestingly, all the animals in any given cluster either have a backbone or don't. I could keep doing this all day, but instead, it might be more productive to consider an entirely new data set. How about the socioeconomic data from the Human Development Index? This is another one we've worked with before, so let's just load it in to replace our existing data. Now, this time, K-means would indicate that there are only two clusters, and I can't help but wonder how do these clusters manifest on a map? Well, I'll need the geocoding and the coropleth map widgets from the geoaddon. This way, I can see the line is drawn around Sub-Saharan Africa, the Indian subcontinent, and a few Central American countries. It is interesting, but also not really surprising, that these clusters correspond to well-defined geographical regions. Now, opening Boxplot to look at the specifics of these clusters in the same way as we did before, I find that one of the main indicators of what cluster a country belongs in is its total fertility rate. So, once again, in this video, I used Boxplots and Geomaps to interpret clusters. To conclude this segment of videos, I'd like to point out that when we look at all-encompassing, wide-spanning datasets, especially socioeconomic ones, it's only natural that we find divisions everywhere we look. No matter the method we choose, be it K-means or hierarchical clustering or any other means of unsupervised machine learning or group discovery. So, it's now time to move on to our next chapter, classification.


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