आई, आई आईदिश्ःट, र��व, अब वी़। लगा की, तुदर में, भी लगा लिए बहुं भी बस्टे कि चिन्च हैं, ईसन क्यम और कि सकती ही लिकं ब्रिएं? आँ अन पुब दीव में, बहुत साडिची जो कावे करने वाले है, साती साथ, I also share the cut off, I also share my own insights about the result, so before it gets late, let us very quickly dive into the topic, just wanted to know from you if you guys can clearly see my screen and can hear my voice, if yes please comment down below, once I receive a few comments, I am directly going to jump into today's topic, okay so yes I can see a lot of you sharing your greetings, I have Mamta, Sonia, Babita, Sanjay, Chanchal, Anshika, Somya, Asya, Babudev, Satyajit, Aditi, I would want to tell each one of you that you know this session is going to be really really interesting and I want to congratulate each one of you out there who cleared UGCnet and who did not even clear UGCnet, I want to congratulate you for putting in the effort and sitting for the exam for preparing so hard and I know that all of you have put in your very best self on the day of the exam, so I would want to congratulate you for putting in the effort now we will talk about the result, as I told you earlier, these are the 6 topics that we are going to talk about in this video, we are going to be talking about the UGCnet December 2023 result, we will talk about the rest of the facts we will talk about whether there is anything wrong with the result, because since morning so much confusion is going on that finally after understanding the whole confusion, I have come to you with this PPT, in which I want to talk about all the confusion that is happening and what is its solution I am also going to share the results of my students, my students as in the students who are studying for me from the online course, there is a special message for those who did not qualify I am also going to be talking about what is the next step, that the result has come, now what you have to do next and then there is this big question which a few students have asked me on YouTube, so YouTube and social media platforms which are connected to me, which are not part of my course many of the students have sent me this message after the result that I am out of syllabus, so what I want to say about that, we are also going to be talking about that okay, so let us quickly talk about some important facts, UGCnet December 2023 result was delayed since one day, last night around 1 am, this result was declared and result this time was shocking that it was given in marks rather than percentile or percentage, so I remember in 2018 the result came in percentage, then there was a shift the result came in percentile because there was a paper in two shifts, so how do you know that it may be a little difficult from shift to shift so percentile kind of helps you understand that you are standing in comparison with the rest of the students, that is why the result was in percentile this time UGC has declared the result in marks, so this is a very good thing because you get more clarity that next time if you have to prepare, then how many marks you have to aim cut-off list has been announced by NTA, general cut-off which has gone is 60.66% age, why? because 182 marks, they have agreed that anyone who has come above 182 marks, they have been given net in general and whoever has come above 208 marks, they have got JRF in general category, so JRF's cut-off is very high which is 69% okay it is I think one of the highest cut-off which is in history for English Retreaters, but one very good thing is that 1600 students have qualified, UGCnet English and JRF 126 students have cleared, okay now two things, now we will stop this PPT here, I want to talk about two things quickly one, I have the cut-off list with me, so if we see English in cut-off, so you guys please see this, assistant professor in JRF has cut-off marks, total candidates right, so if we talk about English, on 182 marks, they have cleared the general category cut-off and 1619 candidates have cleared, JRF 208 has cleared 126 candidates now apart from this, if you see here, OBC is EWS, ST, ST and PWD have a lot of variations and if we see OBC's cut-off, as I always say, that around general and OBC's cut-off, some 15-20 marks come in OBC so this time we are seeing 182's 160, similarly 208's 194's, there are 2 marks difference in EWS and ST, ST's cut-off goes down more, so 168's 148 means 12 marks has gone down from OBC okay, so this is the list of cut-off, this list is from NTA's official website along with that, one more thing I would like to tell you is that, there are a lot of students asking for the official question paper so on our website arpita karwa.com, you will get the UGC Night paper 2 so you will get the official question paper of the paper conducted on 6th December along with that, the official answer is mentioned here so you can check from here, not only on 6th December, but till now, 2004 onwards whatever year it is, if it is 2 times paper, then both the board's paper 2 is mentioned here with the official answer key, so whatever students are going to prepare for UGC Night and those who want to see the past year papers and understand the paper pattern so I would really suggest them that you please ensure that you go through the past year papers which we have provided, because there are so many papers on the same platform and you won't get them anywhere else, so it is really beneficial, free of cost available this is also written here because I wanted that no student gets this confusion back, so anybody who is watching this video please ensure that the question papers are available on my site and I have told you about this cut-off now let's talk about is the result wrong so I have a list of students, I have the list here so there are 24 students who have reported that they could not qualify for UGC Night English in spite of the fact that they have cleared the cut-off English ke hi students hai, cut-off dikhayi jari hai for general category ki 182 pe net cleared hai, there are students jinn ke usse zada marks hai and still they could not qualify aur aisa general ST, SC, OBC, PWD, EWS sab mein hua hai ki unki je respective cut-off marks dikhayi jari hai, usse zada bhi marks agar koi candidate leke aaya hai, uss category ka tab bhi wo qualify nahi kia hai, kar na chahiye qualify but nahi kia asse 24 students ki complaint hame, amare paas abhi tak aaya hai and 5 students asse hai, jinn wo ne aaj poora din mein hame report kia hai ki unki jo marks hai, jo unka jo marks sheet basi ke li jo aata hai, result aata hai, NTA ke side pe usme jitne marks like gayin hai, wo marks come hai from the mark that they have calculated from the final answer ki so final answer ki main aap responses bhi aata hai, to aap responses ke saap se calculate kar sakta hai ki apki kitne marks hai to usme jitne marks aare hai and result mein jitne marks aare hai usme difference hai, so there was this student I cannot disclose the names I am just randomly stating that her name is A so a student hai, usne ye bataya hai ki unki marks jo final answer ki ke saap se hai, wo to 198 hai but unki result mein jo marks NTA ne likti diye hai wo 178 diye hai, 20 marks come mentioned it jis wajise wo cut off clear nahi kare paaring hai ok, so ye do boht bati mistakes abhi tak abhi tak humare saamne aaye hai ab aap ka course of action kya hoona chiye number one to saap se pehle ye jo khohalla matrakha itnaz aada YouTube pe bhi, otherwise bhi aap ke man ke andar so I know ki NTA ki taraf se ye jo situation hai it is not favourable for all the students but saap se pehle boht zarudi ki aap please kaam rahe and then calmly you see ke aage kya ho raha hai de ke hum jitne bhi teachers hai hum lo ek level kak NTA ko influence kar satte hai but whatever NTA decides whatever the people who are working in NTA decides that is going to be the final verdict we cannot challenge it any further we can take all these ye jitne bhi matter hai isko hum escalate karke un tak pocha satte hai unki dhyan mela satte hai unko plead kar satte hai is se zyada humare hatne nahi hai ki hum change kar paye ye cheez ko because wo ek department hai department ne jo verdict diya hai jab tak department khu change nahi karega tab tak kahi se bhi aur change nahi ho sakta hai so is poore situation mein ho sakta hai or time lage we don't know isme dono possibility hai ho sakta hai NTA change kar de kap karega change result we don't know about that number two NTA also has this thing ki wo refuse kar sakta hai ki jobi usne bola hai ye finder hai aur ye sif mein abhi ki baat nahi kar rahe ho agar mein bohat pehle jaun abhi tak last 5-6 saal jab se mein pahar rahe ho students ko mein her bar net mein dekhti hu ki ko hi 2-3 questions hai se hote hai jisme NTA ne jo answer bataya hai wo gallat hai but still NTA final answer ki mein us gallat answer ko hi maan ne kar deta hai and wo gallat answer hi sahi maana jaata NTA ki tarab se to wo sare students jino ne uska actually sahi answer deya tha unko 0 marks milte hai aur jins students ne gallat answer deya unko 2 marks mil jaata hai aur ye hota aaya hai aaj tak 6 saal ki history mein maine ye cheez deki hai and NTA ne bohat baar actions liye hai jab kabhi koi answer ko challenge kya gaya aur bohat baar actions nahi bhi liye hai kisi liye I cannot say with full confidence ki kya ye situation ko NTA better karega ya nahi so sbse bhele important hai kaam rahe Hame nahi pata hai aage kya hone wala hai kya jo result hai usko revisit kya jaayega kya results ko revisit nahi kya jaayega chahi inme se koi bhi situation ho hum sif calmly betke iss puri situation ko observe karne ke lawa aur kuch nahi kar sate hum se mera matlab hai students hum jo teachers hai we are definitely going to go up to the authorities we are going to take this matter forward mere paat hi 21st students and nearby students inki puri list hai me ye puri cheezo ko e-mail ke through draft karke NTA tak mocha rahe hu we are also going to share a letter with them with all the proofs so that NTA ko pata chale ke aisa kuch hua hai and then wo iss pe kaam kare but as a student aap ke pass me keval ek ki cheeze ke aap bhat calmly situation ko observe karne secondly please koi rumours me believe mat kare ye abhi ek aisa time hai ki youtube pe aur naja ne kaha kaha aapko whatsapp groups me aur alag alag kare se ye bataya jayega ki kaise NTA ne koi statement dedi hai kaise aap naya result release ho raha hai iss din pe naya result aayega ya koi bhi iss type ki rumours jayegi you don't have to believe anything except what is there on the official site of UGC net aur aapko koi aur insaan kuch bol rahe to you don't have to believe that ok because aap ke abhi bohat sare aise friends oge jo nain nain tareki bataya batayin ke aapto exam hi wapas oga ne ansakies wapas aayegi result wapas there is no point believing that another interesting thing stop blaming the world ek bohat you know bohat sundar episode mujhi aadata hai meri life sa so there was this time when I was getting trained under my mentor so meri mentor ne ek baare ek activity kari thi and he gave me a canvas ok and mujhe painting nahi aati bilkul bhi I am a very very bad painter he gave me brush and paints and he told me there is this painting that is there in front of you this painting go exact replicate this canvas ok so jab me ne karne lag gayi man meri boht initial stage the training so meri jab karne lag gayi toh achanak se meri dekhah ki meri when brush is strokes kar rahi toh aah nahi rahe and painting bohat sundar mein ka sir the paint brush was not good and ye jo canvas nahi ye boht khurdurasa ispe jab mai kar rahi hoon nahi toh kahe nahi matna ye boht finishing aa nahi pari esme and me kaafi data krib kar ti rahi ki kese canvas paint brush paint sab ki tum ek boht achhi painter hoon because agar ek painter achha hai toh wo kaisa bhi canvas ho kaisi bhi brushes hoon wo still usse boht sundar output nikaliga but agar ek insaan achha painter nahi toh ko her cheese me burai dikhin ye story ye episode mai apke saat kyu share kar rhi hoon isle because abhi aisa time gen gen students po sare students kahe na kahe abhi ek blame game keel rahe duniya ke upar blame nta ke upar blame teachers ke upar blame apne friends ke upar blame apne parents ke upar blame ek boht bada blame game chal rahe because abh subah se I have been speaking to so many students and sub se me jab baat kar rahe thi yarnaya because abhiι tak kut se pad rite ruhaI Ne segregate spe bide write tro out ban bu Pir tr ये आपके अंदर एक जस्वा हूना चीए, तभी आप लाईप में कुछ कर पाएंगे. I remember this very beautiful story of Edison. So Thomas L. Y. Edison, as you all must be knowing, was the one who invented the bulb. And उन्होंने बहुर त्राय की आथा, दस हजार परीके उन्होंने त्राय करे to make that filament which is inside the bulb. But he was not able to light up the bulb. So once his laboratory where he used to work, was on fire. And due to fire, the whole laboratory, everything was destroyed. So many reporters came to him and said, Edison, you are a very scientist, your whole lab is destroyed. How much you will be hurt. It is such a bad thing that happened with you. And Edison said a beautiful thing, which is very very dear to my heart. So Edison said that there is nothing bad about it.  Now I have this thing that I can start afresh. All the mistakes I have done in my life, all the things that I was not able to make the bulb, all of them are burnt. Now I will make my laboratory back and start afresh. So now think about it, a scientist whose laboratory was everything for him. Even if the scientist can say that he is fine, that is why I will make everything back. And he saw it in a very positive way. Like we say, you are seeing half empty glass or half filled glass. Edison saw that I am not seeing that I am working so hard for so many years. I am seeing that I have made so many years of mistakes. So can we also bring this approach in this moment that whatever happened, NTA's mistake or anyone's mistake, I cannot do anything. I have to do it from today that I have to give my 200% and next time I have to qualify for NET and GRF. Okay, if you can keep this approach, then I am telling you that this approach will take you very far in life. Today, I think I am at the place where I am in my life. I think there is a huge burden of this thought behind it. Whenever there is something wrong in life, I have never gone in a blame game. I have only seen what can I do in this moment. And I have started doing that and automatically things have started to get better. Okay, so this was the second thing that we just talked about. We have covered two points till now. Number one, what was the result of UGC NET and what was the cut-off. And the result has come. Secondly, we have talked about what mistakes have been made in the result and what NTA will revise the result. Okay, now I would like to talk about the closest topic of my heart which is the result of my online course students. So firstly, I want to congratulate all of you who are watching this video who have cleared UGC NET and made us proud. I am not just saying this to the students who are part of our online course but also students who are associated with us through YouTube and other social media platforms who have seen our YouTube videos and have taken some guidance and have qualified from their hard work. And I would like to tell you that this day of result has passed six years. On this 14th of February our company is going to turn six. And six years have passed for arpathakarwa.com. In six years we have seen so many results in six years duration. And every time it is so overwhelming to see the performance of the students because every time, I feel that so many students have become, my God, how will more students qualify from our course than this. But every time we have beaten our past records. And I am so so so glad that 100 plus NET is coming out of our course every time. Till now, in today's date, the amount of data my team has been able to gather on that basis is 78 students. Till today evening, we had come to you who have qualified from our course through UGC NET. So I am just talking about the students of qualified NET from our course. Not this data is not consisting of students who have seen our videos through YouTube. Only our online course students. And 18 plus students have qualified. You will always know that arpathakarwa.com thrives on the fact that we share everything transparently. Be it our course syllabus, our course, our demo lectures, we share everything transparently. And we tell every student to come and see everything. See all our syllabus, demo lectures, PDF, mock test. See our portal trial. See our results. Read our testimonials. Read the feedback of the students. After seeing everything, if your heart is satisfied, then join us. Because you are giving each and every rupee. I would want you to get 10 times that. And if you don't get 10 times, I want your blessings to come out. That is the biggest gift for a teacher. So I would always add to this value that we share transparently. And this time also like always from past 6 years, we have been uploading the result. And on our website, arpathakarwa.com, you will get the result of the students. Not just the result of the students, but their names, their percentage, what college they are from, what city they are from, their photographs, we display everything. And we do this so that authentically, any new student who wants to join us, he will join us after seeing our entire past track record. And you think that if I am putting something on our official website, so it has to come very, very authentically. So there is a possibility of getting a lot bigger. Also one more thing that I wanted to talk about is that you will not see all the results on our website this time. Because today we have received so many messages, that our team is gradually compiling the result. So as soon as it is compiling, we are putting it on our website. So we would want that you visit our website every few days, and maybe one or two days after that, then you will see more results in it. Till now, all the results I would want to just take you through this. So if you go to arpathakarwa.com, there is a page with our results. On which we have put the entire playlist of our interviews of the toppers. Till now we have done the podcast. And here, all the students who have enrolled from our course, fill this form and submit the results themselves, where they put all the details, their photograph, official mark sheet, they put everything, our team checks the authenticity, they have put the email id here, which is registered on our portal, and we tally, that many such students have not uploaded the results, which actually are not our students. Okay, and then here you see the results. So right now, our team has compiled so many results, because we have to collect all the photos, and in this, we have mentioned the category, so that you can know, in which category so many students, till now, when it was in the percentile, then it was in the percentile, then it was in the percentage, you will see the first result. So I think, in December 2019, there was a result in the percentage, then the results were in the percentage. So till now, all the results, we have done in June 2019, and all the results, since we started studying, since then all the results are mentioned here. I would like to tell you one more thing, we have this, you know, this new scheme that we have launched, on our website, you will get a scholarship page, when you go there. So we give scholarship to those students, every year, who are financially weak, who want to study, so we give 100% scholarship to those students. Apart from that, the students who top in UGC net, they get a cash reward of Rs. 2,100 from our cost every year, which is enrolled in our cost. And you know, if you are somebody, who is also looking for such scholarships and rewards, you can join our online course, and we will be more than happy to like, you know, give to you this, this token of appreciation from our site, for putting in so much effort, in clearing a competitive exam, as difficult as net. So, this thing also, I would like to tell you, that all the students, now the results we will fill, and those who qualify in top 5, will also be given cash prizes from our side. Okay, so, this was the result of our course, and I am very very happy once again, to share this, that this time's result, will be better than before, because, till now, this is the first time, when we have got 78 plus students, of qualified net, and it is really really amazing, and if there is 78 in a day, then I am really really hoping, that till tomorrow, this number 200 will be crossed, very soon, and I would like to update that, on our website, and as soon as it comes to the website, you all have access to the website, you can go and check it, and it can be inspired, by those who have achieved so much, from their hard work. Okay, now, let's talk about those students, who have qualified in net, for them, today is a very big, and historic day, but now, we will talk about those students, who have not qualified, so for them, there is a very special video, which I have uploaded today, on YouTube, whose link, you will get in this, YouTube Life description box, and I will show you this video, when you go to my channel, so here, in the section of videos, you will see, the first video, which you will get, right now, I am taking live, so live is different, the first video, which you will get, is this, 4 minutes video, I would really appreciate, if you watch this video, those who have cleared net, if you want to watch it, it is very important, because, this is a video, which will tell you, that, somewhere in your life, every small failure, you should not use your heart, watch your life, with a little bigger lens, as we say, in Gita, you will see, that this is everything, so when you see it, from a third person point of view, you will see, that these things, are very small, which you are feeling, today, I remember, my mom always used to say, whenever, I used to get very worried, I used to get very tensed, so she always used to say, that, whenever you are tensed, you should ask yourself, that, after 10 years, will this thing, bother as much as today, for example, today, my phone's cover, breaks, and I feel, this was so dear to me, it broke, and I am very sad, and as soon as, in this moment, I think, after 10 years, I will feel, the pain of breaking this cover, as soon as I see it, I feel, in the larger scheme of life, these things do not matter, not like that, UGC net does not matter, it is a very important, your career's milestone, and, I myself, give coaching of UGC net, so I know, the importance and worth of this exam, teachers, students, everyone works hard, to get a student to this place, but, at the same time, this is not the end of life, this is very important to understand, sometimes, we think, that, if this did not happen, we cannot do anything in our life, now, nothing is left in our life, you lose, you should get up, it is very important, so, that thing, maybe, gave you the inspiration, so, before that, if you could watch this video, I would be really happy, and, please, watch carefully, close your eyes, and, I really wish, what I am saying in this video, that, it could touch your heart, and, you, as it happens, that, when a child goes down, then, he lifts himself up, and then, runs away, so, the, you know, the spirit of running down, if you could watch this video, I would really feel, that, I am a teacher's brother, because, a teacher, is not the only one, who, students are qualifying, are standing with them, a good teacher is, the students who fail, are celebrating with them, I remember, maybe, I already told in my videos, that, Kota Factory, Aspirin, there are 2-3 series, I really like, and I remember, Kota Factory, which is a series, on Netflix, or on Prime, I don't vividly remember, in that, there is a very good character, Jitu Bhaiya, who is the teacher, in Kota, he gives IT coaching, and, the entire, you know, season, when the end comes, then, the students, who are not qualified, who are not qualified, Jitu Bhaiya, sits with them, and celebrates, that, the hard work we have done, let us celebrate that hard work, it cannot be qualified, it is fine, but, due to the spirit of sports, we can celebrate, the hard work we have done, for so many months, and what that was, a very hard touching moment, for me, and I really want, that, if you are sitting far away, then, I cannot like, really hug you, but I can give you, a virtual hug, and I can tell you, that, you are not alone, there are many, students, who are not qualified, and, we all, have to, get up again, get up again, stand up, and run in this race, and qualify next time, so please, pat yourself, on your back, and say, you did a great job, whatever you have done, whatever you have done, about the loopholes, we will talk about that, but, the hard work, for that, please, give yourself strength, and get up again, okay, now, we have talked, that, if we are not qualified, then, we have to get up again, so, what is the next step, so, for both of you, it is a different next step, the qualified ones, they are very simple, pat your back, celebrate your win, go very well, treat yourself, go with your family, celebrate with your friends, go with your friends, in life, the more important it is, to achieve success, maybe, the more important it is, to celebrate success, because, the chances of success, life gives very little time, so, when it gives little time, and we don't celebrate that moment, then, they go away, because, in our life, we have achieved one position, and there, we make another position, today, I did one thing, and, immediately, the next goal is ready, in the next goal, we get it, it is not that, we wait once, the goal we have achieved, we celebrate it, okay, so, the qualified ones, I would really want to say, at least, take a week, and celebrate, the effort you have done, the effort you have done, that celebration, asks for it, now, let's talk about the qualified ones, so, the first step is, accept your marks, don't stay in denial, don't play blame game, it's not because of it, it's not because of it, it's not because of NTA, this, in life, in general, sometimes, something is wrong, instead of blaming it, first of all, accept the reality, that it's not qualified, I accept it, and remember Edison, that, with that positive note, we accept ourselves, that it's okay, there are some mistakes, because of that, it's not qualified, we won't do it this time, and it will be qualified, okay, now, when you accept your marks, next is, analyze the nature of your mistakes, most of the time, what happens is, as soon as you don't qualify, many students are like this, or they go to guilt, or they go to blame game, they go to guilt, it's our fault, we are not good, we never study, I can't do anything in life, or they go to it, because of this person, because of this, because of this, this happened, this happened, okay, in all these, sometimes, we don't see what we have to do now, our next step is, that we have to take the exam paper of December, and we have to analyze the whole paper, every question, which you have done wrong, see that question, and make a list of all those things, which you have done wrong in the question paper, all those topics, now you have to read them again, do one Swat analysis, what is Swat? Swat is, your strength, weakness, opportunity, and threat analysis, what is this, you can read it on the internet, it's a big theory, I won't go into detail, but basically, Swat analysis says, you should know what is your strength, what is your weakness, what are the opportunities, what are the topics, which you have left incomplete, and what is the threat, what are the topics, where you make silly mistakes, make mistakes every time, these 4 things, when you know, you have to work on these 4, what is your strength, do it better, what is your weakness, try to convert it into strength, all those incomplete topics, this time you have to cover, what you have left out last time, from now, from today, first, do the analysis of the past year paper, your December paper, make a list of all those things, which you have done mistakes, and according to that, decide your next strategy, I need a lot of right guidance, I have a lot of students, from whom I spoke today, they said, that ma'am, we had read the writers in so many details, on Francis Bacon, we had made notes of 50 pages, now you need to understand, that somewhere, you are working in the wrong direction, on Francis Bacon, you have to do some thesis, that you have made notes of 50 pages, instead of that, if you had made notes on John Clare, today your question would have been correct, John Clare came in the paper, so it is very important, that you know what to study, and how to study, how much to study, which topic you have to read in so many details, many students, we will talk about one more thing, which many students ask, that paper was out of syllabus, that is why they ask, because they do not know, what to read and how to read, they read it from a guide book, and they think, we have read it, now there is no question on its basis, so question paper is out of syllabus, the thing is, the source you are reading, that is incomplete source, in the past year papers, when you penalize the past year papers for 10 years, then you understand, what to study, from the last 3 years, they have never focused on post-colonial literature, but I remember, when I gave a net in 2017, at that time, I got a lot of questions from post-colonial literature, and that trend has been repeated again, like fashion, fashion is repeated every year, UGC net trend is repeated, that is repeated again, so many questions, post-colonial literature has come, now if any student thinks, UGC net syllabus, post-colonial literature is not written, so paper out of syllabus, paper out of syllabus was not there, you do not know the syllabus, what is it, this is very important, preparation is not a problem, direction is a problem, you are working hard, you are studying for 6-7 hours, but what you are studying, is it relevant from exam point of view, this is important, one very important thing, many students are still like this, meaning I think, the day paper was done, many of you got to know that, you will be able to clear it or not, those who were scoring 55-60%, they fear in their mind, that it may be 55%, that I may qualify, that I may not, but if any student is getting 25% marks, then he knows, that he will not be able to qualify, now after 25%, if you have got paper on 1 month, on 6th December, today is 19th January, you wasted 1 month, 15 days, just think that, let the result come, then you will see, in this period, if you do 5 writer days, then can you believe, you are 45-5, close to 250 writers, you are still studying, you have covered, and you are still not late, till now you have not studied, no problem, but from today itself, it is very important, those who are not qualifying, please do not wait, when will the next admit card come, be an opportunist, be ahead, be way ahead, than your competitors, this is a very important line, this is a very important line, this is a very important line, this is a very important line, this is a very important line, you have to go ahead, from your future, only then you will be able to qualify, if he has read 30 writer, if he has read 30 writer, you should have 31 writer, only then you will get net, and not that, Henry Ford, the main founder of Ford Motors, he used to say a very amazing thing, most people get ahead in the time, that others waste, most people get ahead in the time, that others waste, those who waste time, those who utilize time, are successful, so it is very important, from today itself, from this moment, you should plan, that from tomorrow, how you should study, please don't waste more days, till now, you have wasted 15 minutes, that means, you have wasted a very crucial time, even now, if you don't, and you are 2 months before the exam, then this same history will be repeated, because then, you will have many such topics, which you will not be able to do, due to time crunch, so it is very important, that, we shouldn't make the same mistake, we should understand the pattern, last time, we left some topics, made a list of those topics, and start studying them, okay, with this, I would also want to share this thing, that, New York's offer was going on, which, ideally, had ended on 6th of January, but then, because now, the result has come, and I really want, that those who are enthusiastic, those who actually want, to prepare properly for June, because look, even I would like to take those students, in my course, who want to study with a lot of dedication, who want to use a quick shot, in a month or a month and a half, and give net, I don't think, that is a, right approach, so, that is why, I myself, have brought 50% off for those students, by talking to my team, this 50% off, you are getting it on 6 months, and on 12 months, you want to take paper 2, available at discount, and paper 1, paper 2, you want to take both, available at that too, and for this, you can prepare for Gate 2024, and you can prepare for June 2024, June as in UDC net, so in our course, what you will get, I am going to very quickly tell you, so this whole course, is a video lecture course, animated video lecture, in which, what type of video lectures, I will just show you, we have uploaded on YouTube, the whole playlist, you can see, this is the most important work, summarise it, there is a playlist, sorry, this is not updated yet, but you will get it here, on the website, so, voodering height, you will get this type of, design, whatever you get, those are all of our course, some videos, which we have published, great expectation, then, if you go ahead, you will get Pride and Prejudice, Rhyme of Ancient Mariner, Paradise Lost, all these videos, we have uploaded these videos, so that, any student, who is thinking, to enroll in our course, can see this, and not just this, you will get demo lectures, on our website, so we have two websites, one is arpathakarwa.com, in which, we have uploaded all the details of the courses, in this, you will go to the video course, so in the video course, you will get, video lectures, mock test, and pdf, apart from this, you will get the entire course syllabus, on each topic, we give lectures, they are all available, along with that, we have this website, courses.arpathakarwa.com, in which, you will read, so in this, whenever you go to a course, even here, you will get all the lectures, and here, in front of the lecture, which lecture, you will get, which concept, available for free, so you can listen to that, in our course, in this course, you will get audio and video, both, our entire course, is now, video lectures, and its prices, as soon as it is completed, its prices, will be three times, because it was a very, very exhaustive course, in India, there is only one course, in which, through animated videos, we tell you, the entire story, so that, it will be published in your mind, and the entire storyboards, of these animations, we give you, in pdf form, that too, okay, in this course, you will get 50% off, you will get 50% off, along with that, you will get, unit wise mock test, when you go into this, so here, you will get, unit wise, mock test, old and middle, English literature, age of Chaucer, Jacobian, Carolian age, Enlightenment age, modern age, unit wise, full length, you will get, full length, you will get, 50, you know, mock test, you will get, and unit wise, mock test, you will get, literary theory, terms and devise, movements, language and pedagogy, English and India, Harpe, and its interface, is exactly same, as in, UGC net, so that, when you give mock test, you will get, familiarity, right, about this, any details, you can contact my team, apart from this, we have released, a very beautiful trailer, recently, this trailer, this trailer of 7 minutes, in which, course, you will get, what benefits, what things, you get, how, you will cover, interface, how, payment, demo material, where you will get, everything, we have explained, in 7 minutes, so that, any student, who enrol, knows everything, and after clarity, he enrol, so this video, link is given, in description, apart from that, you can watch, on our YouTube channel, here also, you can watch, the second video, you will get this, okay, so this is, our course, now, we will talk about, a very important topic, which is, what paper, was out of syllabus, so see, any, UGC net, you take the paper, we divide it in 3 parts, 50% questions, those are, which are easy, 30%, those are, which are, tricky, they are not difficult, tricky, and 20% questions, they give, from such areas, which mostly, out of syllabus, are considered, out of syllabus in the sense, that, from such areas, which you generally, won't read, okay, this time, Sachin Tendulkar, or any sports person, asked a question, this time, last time, he asked a question, on Shashi Tharoor, on Mahatma Gandhi, he asked a question, some such questions, once, on Charlie Chaplin, so these are, some such questions, which are asked, so that, they can drop the cutoff, see, this time also, highest, which, J.R.F., if we take the cutoff, 69% has gone, okay, 69%, that means, somewhere, over 80%, no one will be J.R.F. why 80%, which, in India, is doing top in J.R.F., should know everything, ideally, but still, why, over 80%, can't get, because, deliberately, in the exam, they don't want, 100 on 100, okay, like, in English, in the school, they don't give 100, because that shows, that you are perfect in the language, in the language, no one can be perfect, even UPST's, the toppers, they also, out of 2000 marks, the final marks, they come, 900 something, so you think, 1000 marks, come less, from 2000, okay, even though, they are, all India rank 1, so this is a strategy, you have to understand, if you see, 20% questions, which, you have never read, that means, they are not out of syllabus, they are a paper pattern, even, we, every year, update our, our courses, all the writers, who, questions are being asked, post-partition, literature, Dalit literature, everything, despite that, if I am also, to give paper, then 10 questions, I will also get, which, I may not answer, but yes, if you take our coaching, then you can solve this, from here, you can solve 10 more, from here, any student, who is doing it, 20% questions, he won't be able to do it, but if, his strategy is right, then, this 80% questions, he will be able to do it, okay, easy questions, now you will say, ma'am, I have seen paper, so 50% questions, won't be easy, why won't be easy, we will come to that, but one general, viewpoint, you understood, 50% easy questions, 30% conceptually, conceptual questions, which, are such, which, assertion reasons, or indirect questions, you will read, you will have to, play with yourself, you will have to play with yourself, you will have to eliminate, you will have to see, this two, this writer, this cannot be done, this cannot be done, then, you will reach, okay, now, let's talk about, what is the story of, out of syllabus, see, I have taken two examples of students, the first student is, who has, referred to detail syllabus, which I have done, at arpathakarwa.com, so if, you see, my given syllabus, this whole syllabus, if you see, this syllabus, which I have given, N to N, 13 modules, in this map, literary terms, will see, all of them, in literary theory, all the theories, and theorists mentioned, all of them, you will see, so, one student, who has, referred to detail syllabus, which is given, on our website, who can be, or, those students, who are studying, from our course, or, those students, who are studying, but, they have, taken our syllabus, as a blueprint, they are studying, from different places, or, those students, who have, made their own syllabus, after going through, past 10 years paper, like this, at arpathakarwa.com, I am giving syllabus, this basically, I had started, I had made it, when I, had done, the net preparation, so at that time, I too, had seen a lot of books, coaching, and I understood, that, these people, are not being organized, anywhere, I am not getting anything, so, I have seen, all the writers mentioned, to them, in different categories, segregated, European, British, diasphoric, and I have made, a syllabus, and this syllabus, is getting updated, every year, changes are coming, okay, so, some students, who follow my approach, will say, we will see, 10 years paper, and then, we will design, our own syllabus, so, from these three, any student, that student, will never feel, that this time, okay, he will never feel, that the syllabus was, he will always feel, that the syllabus was, not out of the syllabus, why? because, if you see, I shared with you, in the last time, I have taken a whole, YouTube live, I will show you, the life, where it is, you will get it here, this is the official, answer, live, in which, this is a, one hour, 12 minutes, where I have explained, this whole paper, in it, where every question, has been asked, in my syllabus, if you, read it yourself, then, you have to take care of, all the things, in this way, I have discussed, every question, in detail, in detail, or you have to, take care of this paper, in which way, you have to read, okay, so, coming back to, what I was sharing, that, you will see, in this whole, that, I have mentioned, that, this topic, you will not feel, that, this is absolutely unknown, and I have even marked, in red colour, that, some writers, who are like you, this question, this is out of syllabus, I have never read it, okay, there were one or two questions, in between, which, we have not read, which, what we say, falls in 20% category, apart from that, these are all topics, these are all writers, who I have written, as it is, if you, go to the site, check here, here, you will get the title, okay, now, the thing is, you have to understand, that, syllabus or paper, difficulty, hard cup, when you have, the syllabus, prescribed by UGC, referred to that, what is the syllabus prescribed by UGC? if, just a second, so, when I type this on Google, so, these are the syllabus, these are the UGC prescribed, if you, read according to this syllabus, only, if you, listen to this syllabus, then, you will feel, that, the paper was out of syllabus, and it was tough, because, UGC has left, a lot of open-ended syllabus, has written poetry, now, which poets, which poetry, poetry is American, Indian, post-colonial, European, British, post-modern, which poetry to read, so, those students, refer to guide books, or, some institute, which, in a systematic outline, you are not able to read, from the start, everything is not covered, or, they study, and are non-serious, which, have read a little, have not read for 10 days, then, have not read for 1-2 days, have not read, have given papers without reading, all the things, have covered 20-20% of this, have read a little, have read a little, have read a little criticism, have read a little, have read a little British literature, have left the Europeans, have read a little of Americans, those who are reading from this type, will feel, that the paper is tough, and it is out of syllabus, then, I want to clear this thing again, that paper is not out of syllabus, your preparation determines, that, do you think paper is out of syllabus, or not? Okay, if you have actually, all the writers, who are coming in 10 years, have read them, then, 11th year, they will not allow any new writers, but, if you have read only, the same writers, or, some canonical writers, who are studying in MABA, then, you have read, only, a written off paper, which will, show you, what is it, you paper is out of your syllabus, then, when, you as well, write, back to? these are, 0, these are, that paper is good, okay, this is, have read their books, which were, people wanted, haven't read yet, अपने नहीं ज़ा लगा दें आप पेंडवोल करीए, पूरा कोस हमारे आनिमेट़ेद लेक्छोच काई, जिस में सारे वो चीजे हम दिसखास कर रहे हैं, जो कही ना कही, students को पता नहीं होती, pack figures, मैंने जब आपना येवाला विट्यो शेर कियाता, इस पूरे विट्यो में दिकाई है क्या अमने वो ब्छेँज्चन से बार पेपर में आया है, वो हमारे, Pdfs में हमारे विट्योज में कहागा अमने मेंशिन कर रहाता है, तो मैंने प्रूस के साब दिखाए, तो गर अप द भोलना चाुओँँँँँँ, हम अस तीचोज आपको सिब गईध कर सते है, बत रिएल महनत आप की है, जे नोने अमारे कोस को पड़ा है, विट्योज में आप की है अंग पेपर में बेटे है, हमारा आस तीचोज एक गाम है कि, हम आपको साभने होच नहीं ज़गे ले� your parents proud and you made the entire nation proud so thank you so much for showering so much love on us and i want to congratulate you once again for this lovely surprise and success that you have bestowed upon not just in your family but in the life of arpatakarva.com team as well thank you so much and i wish you all the best for all the future endeavors and with that note i would like to take your leave that's it from my side for this video lecture i'll meet you very soon in the next video lecture till the time we meet next happy learning keep loving literature and stay tuned to arpatakarva.com


CD pattern to the upside going to take us probably around $73 a barrel, but we'll let Mike Moore get into that because he really understands the energy complex better than anyone that I have met in all my years of doing this. So he's really given us some good information. He knows about the crack spreads and which ones to watch the heating oil versus the, you know, the crude oil versus the gasoline. What I don't understand is here gasoline, you know, goes up 40 cents on the on the commodity market and it drops 40 cents in Tucson, which is really an amazing thing from from my perspective. I says, how can that possibly happen now because you've been so nice today. We're going to take a little trip. We're going to go over to Germany and we're going to look at the German decks. So we get this up here and take a quick look at it and then we'll go up here and we'll be to finish this. I'll give you an interesting a interesting human interest story. You can see we're up against some really big ABCD double tops up here in the NASDAQ, the German Dax. Now this is totally different than we're looking at in the Dow Jones and the S&P and all the other things that we're watching. This is a different different animal. So what we're seeing now is the fact that this has a possibility of making some type of a top in here, whether it's a major top or not. I don't know. All I know is if you get above that line right up here, you're wrong and that's what it's really all about. You know that there's nothing nothing more exciting about it than just looking at that. That's what you really have to do. So anyway, that's what we're paying attention to here the Dax. I have never traded the Dax. My friend Tom Bougard trades it every day. I've watched it trade. It trades very similar to the S&P, but it doesn't have the volatility. Well, it has the volatility, but it doesn't have the liquidity that you have in the S&P and well, the NASDAQ. But the NASDAQ is a totally different animal because it's basically seven stocks and it can do whatever it wants to do for something. I have a little human interest story a couple of months ago. One of my old clients and Drexel Mernum Pestaway, Stan, who ran a junkyard in Los Angeles, he graduated out of Canoga Park High School and we were the same age and he never had a college education, but he was a good mechanic and he had a little a little gas station repair shop called Reds Repair Shop and he turned it into a truck stop and then he turned the truck stop into a junkyard. And when he turned it into a junkyard, he became a multi-millionaire because every time he would pull a car off of the freeway, which the city of Los Angeles would pay him, I think 150 to pull it off, each car was worth 5, 600 and sometimes thousands of dollars in parts. And of course, he had a huge junkyard. He sold at 15 years ago and retired. Always loved trading bellies and later he traded the S&P. Well, Stan passed away and I found out the other day that I was mentioned in his will. He had a classic car that I really loved and that was a 1944 coupe and not nothing famous or anything, but it was in perfect shape, running great and everything. And the family wants to buy it. Wanted to buy it back, you know, because they wanted to keep it in the family and I said, no, no, no, no, no. I said, it's not for sale. I said, you just keep it for me. And I said, the next time I call you, I said, I'll ask you to bring it to me. Of course, it was a big joke. But Stan was so good to me all those years, some wonderful presents. We should go overboard on presents and stuff like that. But boy, he was a lot of fun. He lived to God. He was five years old. He was 88 when he finally passed to 89. 89 when he passed away in great health and everything. And he was asleep.  One of the many that have joined the funeral parade here at TFNN. I don't bring this up to be modeling, folks, but when you get to my age, I just can't believe how many of my friends have died. I talk to 20, but almost every day now just to make sure he's okay. And of course, Byron's in Africa doing a deal with the Chinese on some type of minerals in Maui. Or Maui, is that where it is? Mara, whatever. It's near Marrakesh. And so I don't get to talk to him too much anymore. Anyway, let's get back to the markets. I still believe that picture of Byron's means something, whether it does or not. I don't know, but it's saying that the bull markets. And when you see what's happening with this stock that came out to this cava, it sells Caribbean food, folks. And it hasn't made any money. And yet it's coming out with an IPO. And from what I understood, from Bob Pisanti today, there were 20 calls coming into the New York Stock Exchange, people wanting to get ready to do IPOs. Because this is the first one. It was a test to see how well it was going to be what do you call it, observed. And so it's doing pretty good. So hopefully you will see what happens. Right now, the bull market is still in effect. We've seen new highs in the recovery highs, not new all time highs, but recovery highs in the Nasdaq, the S&P, and the Dow Jones. The Russell, not quite so much because it's been lagging, but the rest of them are doing extremely well. And we'll have Mike Moore as our guest coming up when we finish the show here with, I've got one more chart that I wanted to share with you. And that was one that we were looking at. Oh, dear. It's the wrong. This is the right one. What am I talking about? This is the one. Yep. This is the one. Now, where are you?  Here, it's right here. What am I talking about? I got it right here. This is the Canadian dollar, folks. We were saying how this was a triple bottom that was going to fail and fail. It has done because it just keeps going down, down, down. That probably means we're looking at a major A, B, C, D in the Canadian dollar, whether it has anything to do with the fires and all the other stuff that they're having trouble with up there. That I don't know. But we've broken out all of these lows, closed below there.  The only chance you had was last Thursday. Friday said goodbye. Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday said more goodbye. So that's why we think it's going to go, you know, a whole lot lower as we look at some of these things here unfolding. If you have any questions, Mike will be on pretty soon. But it's<PHONE_NUMBER>. And programming note, we're going to have Norm Winsky as our guest tomorrow on Tuesday. We are going to have the Gold Report. As a precious metal, gold is still king. It continues to hold the most effective safe haven and hedging properties across the global major trading hubs of the London OTC market, the US futures market, and the Shanghai Gold Exchange. The Gold Report. 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Watch online at TFNN.com or on TFNN's YouTube channel and become the investor you were born to be, TFNN. Educating investors. Think or swim banner on the front page of TFNN.com. We held this. We came just shy of the stop here when we broke back above this line. This is projected higher. We're just about to break above this upper line here. That comes in at 69.81 minus three ticks per hour. I'm going to talk about that here in the analysis. Mike, why do you do three ticks per hour? What function does that do? Well, since it's a trend line, right, this is a trend line right now and it's one o'clock PM, right? That trend line is coming in at 69.81. If I go over one hour here, it's going to come in at 69, 69.78. So if you're getting along a certain amount above that line, you've got to adjust how, where you have that long order in. And if you have a stop below the line, you have to be adjusting that stop downward underneath the line. Otherwise, you stop us drifting over towards the line. Okay. Does that make sense? Yeah, that's perfect. Yeah. I've never seen that complex or that kind of idea, but it's a great idea. I like it. Well, if you kind of look, I'll give you just a visual example. If you wanted to get long above this line and let's say you make that line green, you would have a sliding order, sliding order wherever that is going down. And in some softwares like CQG, I believe you can, you can put it in order that actually has a bracket order around the trend line and it'll move down above it with the trend line. So that makes a good idea because it's forcing you to trade with the trend. This is a good idea. I like it. Exactly. So in any case, I'd said in the analysis this morning that this was bullish and also if we broke get along a decent penetration above 69.95 minus three ticks per hour and or on a pullback thereafter and look for decent strength. So your decent penetration is one thing. Decent strength is another animal that's multiples of the decent strength. And I usually give that out in my morning analysis in the, with the emails I send out to my clients. But anyway, that's poised for higher trade. And I would also note that yesterday we had left a minor bullish reversal below. So that's also in place. You want me to take a look at the natural gas next? You want to take a look at the unleaded gas or the heating oil? Let's do unleaded gas and heating oil then we'll do natural gas last. I'll let a gas left a minor bullish reversal below two days ago as well. We've been seeing strength from that. And we have broken above this formation right here, which I said should bring in strength. We popped up chop sideways and we're seeing more of that as well. If we take up this upper formation here, which is going to come in at 271.34, 271.34 plus 2.5 ticks per hour starting at one o'clock. And then that'll project this upward probably at least 17 cents plus. And if you break above there decently and back down through it decently, I'll look for decent pressure. We also have a good formation down below coming in at 250.17 this morning. That's going to come in at 250.36 as of one o'clock and a decent break below there. I said we'd project this down with 9 cents minimum, 27 cents plus maximum, but your minimum now is going to be more like 13 cents. Okay. Okay. Now heating oil, that also left a minor bullish reversal below two days ago. We've seen some of the strength from that. And since we broke back above this line, I'd said this morning to get long above there. So against approaching a stop above 237.91, get long and a decent penetration above. So the sale against there didn't work, but getting long above it didn't. And now we're popping up. Now we've broken above this more significant formation up there, which has sizable projections to the upside. And that comes in at that was this one here at 243.94 plus 0.5 tick per hour, which I said would bring in, will project this upward 13.5 cents minimum. The only thing that this has really got to clear is it's got some of these possible exhaustion areas on the way up that's got to contend with. It's trading right in this exhaustion area right now at 247.70 to 250.06. But this is a pretty substantial formation. This is chop sideways for quite a bit. So this is ready to run. If it's going to run, if it fails back down through this line, I'll be out of all longs. I would be short and be looking for this to get crushed right back down into these areas. Do you want to look at the Brent in the gas oil, or would you like to look at? Let's look at Brent because I have not seen a Brent chart. I don't know if it still looks like the WTI, but let's take it. Is that Brent? Almost exactly like WTI. It just got to spread in between it. Left and minor bullish reversal below in there two days ago. This is approaching a formation up above that comes in at 76.43 minus one tick per hour. A decent break above there will project this upward another $5.50. Then we have a formation below. This is a very significant formation down here at 71.85 to 79. A decent break below there is going to project this downward at least $3.50 minimum, $7 plus maximum, but it's also a long-term formation as well. It would definitely be paying attention to that if this rolls over. In other words, this is going to be a major pivotal area that will probably dictate where the market goes from there for days slash weeks. Likewise, if we break above this line and fail back down through, that would be an excellent shorting opportunity. That would be short looking for it to dump back down into here, add to your shorts below here, and it could really come off. Outside of that right now, we're bullish looking for a break above here. We were making that double bottom when you were on a show a week or so ago, and that was certainly a best place to buy it. It was right on the money, and that's been a heck of a move so far. When we were over in here? Yeah, that one, and then also the one on the right, too, is a this one right here. Yeah, that one's a real nice one. So the gas oil here also left a minor bullish reversal below two days ago. It had broken above this formation we talked about last time, popped above here, which is said you're bringing strength. Broke above this, which is said you're bringing strength. Then we chopped around here, saw some pressure from a break below here. So put that strength on hold, and then they're taking off over here. We've got to pay a few bills, Mike, stay with us and we'll be right back, okay? We'll be back with my core analytics, so stay tuned. You might think that if you want to be successful at trading in the stock market, you're going to need a crystal ball. 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To obtain a prospectus or summary prospectus, please contact direction shares at<PHONE_NUMBER>. The prospectus or summary prospectus should be read carefully before investing. An investment in the funds is subject to risk including the possible loss of principal. The funds are designed to be utilized only by sophisticated investors such as traders and active investors. Distributor, Four Side Fund Services, LLC. This program is brought to you by Vistagold, traded on the NYSE American and TSX under the symbol VGZ. We're back folks speaking with Mike Moore, more analytics than if we could move on to the next one. I believe would be natural gas, Mike. Natural gas had a nice pop in there today. We had left a gap open higher here the other day, held exhaustion down below. And then I'd said to get long above this line right in here and we see the nice pop right up through here and along above this line. So that is, pull that up over in here. I did a natural gas get today. I saw it for 256. Wow, that's up a lot. Yeah. So yeah, and this is also leaving a moderate term bullish reversal below today. So that could propel this higher for days slash weeks. And you know that I've been looking for a more macro correction to the whole move down. This could be one of them, but we've been wrong before, but we held exhaustion here, had a nice bounce, held exhaustion again here, held the bounce and held exhaustion here again as well. So I'll have to see if this builds up a base here and starts to go, but that's a pretty strong day right there. Suggest we're going to see strength for the next couple of days probably. Very good. You want to look at some of the spreads or you want to go to the S&P? Yes, I'd like to see a couple of those spreads. The ones that are most popular is what the folks here are interested in. Okay. Well, the DCD spread is the crude oil. This is basically a spread of the whole curve out in the futures markets in the crude. And this has often been a harbinger of what you'll see in the outright, not always, but we've, we had broken below a formation up here, which got us bearish. And this one just got us bearish. We came down here and we've held this major formation here a number of times if this rolls over and takes us back out on the downside that we should see some pressure for days slash weeks. Likewise, that would be a good fade. And right now we're just getting above this natural resistance right in here. So that might open up the upside a little bit. And then we have a significant formation above as well. That comes in around 408 and decent break above their projected support, at least 135 ticks. We have a question from one of our listeners. And the question is, what percentage of your trades are spread trades in the energy complex? Well, it depends on what time of year it is and what the what the spreads are doing. There's certain times where there's very significant opportunities in there. A good example would be the R&B front month spread just the other day. I mean, this just exploded here. This kind of volatility to see in just a short amount of time and having a lot of contracts on can really make a big difference. I mean, as you can see, for example, to give you some perspective, this movement right here over these these number of days is about the volatility of the entire market of that entire spread for eight months ahead of time. So being poised and we happen to get long right above this line right here. So providing an enormous opportunity on the upside. And then it also has opportunities when it swings back to the downside. So I hope that answers your question. Yes, it does. Yeah, that's fine. Just to give you an idea on the analysis for people looking at the analysis. This looks like a lot of wording. Okay. But when you're using the analysis, you're not even using most of this. So if you were to look at crude oil and you get down here, it says these all roll into the October contract and this is off hold. But when this is not a hold, you don't need to read any of this. This is just this is just a place that are here for all these sentences above it. And the same thing with all these sentences down below to this, those are all on hold. So you don't need to read any of those. And then you're really just working with the shorter term, the closer formations here, and maybe one line here and one line there. So it looks like a lot of stuff to digest, but it's not. And you have six outright markets. And then this is what's called a quick trade sheet. And this takes everything from the column like, like let's say here in the gas oil, and I put that right here. And it shows all your trading signals right next to the levels. And the reason why I have this on here, it says quick trade sheet is traders in the pits usually used to literally cut these four columns off of here and tape it to the back of their trading pads and literally climb down into the natural gas pit or the crude pit or the natural gas and crude options. And the way that this is helpful though, is when you're looking at these different resistance levels, when you're hitting a bunch of resistance levels, at the same time, let's say you're hitting them in the Arba, you're hitting them in the heat and crude at the same time, that gives you more confidence to sell at a certain level if they're all sort of hitting at the same time. And also this is something that's helpful because you can just highlight certain trades that are important to you. And that way it's just a quick reference. And then when you go down to the spreads, I'm trying to answer your question in a roundabout way here. There's a thing here talks about seasonal trends and then below here there's spreads. So there's five spreads. You have the crude oil front month spread, the Arba front month spread, the Arba to heat spread, and then you have the two cracks. So there's five spreads to do trades in here and there's six outrides to do trades in there. Does that make sense? It sure does. Boy, you do a lot of work. Oh my goodness. That's a big advantage though when you can see how those spreads work, because that's where the commercials are doing their business. Yeah, I mean, honestly, I just have two goals for my clients. Number one is to save them time analyzing. And number two is to drive new revenue streams. Because time is the greatest commodity and if you get to save some time, spend it with your family and your loved ones, make money as well. That's a winning deal for everybody all around. So I've had some clients that have been with me for 25 years. I've literally watched. Yeah, I know that feeling. That's for sure. That's good. You can give us what you're looking at in the gold market. Okay. So gold right here rolled back over and this is a very important day. Let me just pull this up. Sorry. There we go. So again, that main picture that I keep hammering away at is the break above 2062.90 worn a solid pressure for days last weeks. We had seen 131.9 of that, but then we got some more of that today. When we came down into here, we'd broken down below a bearish formation right in here, and we rolled over. Now I did say this morning that, give me a second. Tray below 1962.70 plus .5 a tick per hour now projects a slower. So this is either now in a new lower timeframe bearish structure or this may be another quote final stretch of the move down from the hot. I think it's likely the first scenario and I said that in a decent break back above 1963.10 will confirm that or suggest the later of the two and then I said to look for possible exhaustion. See this right here in 1942.70 to 1941.70. So we held that top part originally and then we came down to hold this lower one at 193.58. I didn't have a bi-signal against that one though. Okay. What's that? We're gonna have you on again next week. So take Monday off and we'll probably see you next Friday. How does that sounds good, buddy? Are we all done for today? You want me to come back out after your come back after the break? Please do<PHONE_NUMBER>. If you're looking for potential trading setups in the stock market, then rocket equities and options report is a newsletter you should try. Tommy O'Brien delivers options and equity trades when the markets present them using a combination of fundamentals and technicals. Sign up for rocket equities and options report today with a 30-day money back guarantee so you have nothing to risk. For all the details and to start your subscription today, visit the front page of TFNN.com. TFNN Educating Investors. You might think that if you want to be successful at trading in the stock market, you're going to need a crystal ball. After all, it's impossible to predict the future, right? Like any endeavor in life, before you decide it's impossible, get some advice from the experts. You might find that it's not so impossible after all. For daily market overviews that give you direction on the key indices, selective stocks, and commodities, subscribe to the opening call newsletter at TFNN.com. The opening call newsletter is written by Basil Chapman, creator of the trading methodology known as the Chapman Wave. The Chapman Wave up-down sequence gives you an edge in identifying price turns, finding the peaks and valleys in stock prices.  First-time subscribers also get a 30-day money back guarantee. If you're not satisfied, let us know and you'll get a full refund within 30 days of signing up. TFNN.com. Educating Investors. Everything in the universe is governed by the Fibonacci sequence. This mathematical principle is responsible for everything from the most aesthetically pleasing artwork to patterns in the stock market. To stay on top of stock patterns you can take advantage of, sign up for the Fibonacci 24-7 newsletter at TFNN.com. When you subscribe, you'll get a weekly report from Veteran Day Trader Larry Pesavento on stocks you need to pay attention to, and you can trust Larry's analysis. After all, he's got 45 years' experience as a day trader. Larry will also provide daily charts, videos, and data on the key markets that he's tracking. Expect notifications from Larry on market movement you need to act on at any time. First-time subscribers also get a 30-day money back guarantee. If you're not satisfied, let us know and you'll get a full refund within 30 days of signing up. Subscribe to the Fibonacci 24-7 newsletter today. TFNN.com, educating investors. TFNN has launched the Tiger's Den, hosted at Discord. TFNN has been educating traders for more than 20 years with live programming hosted by a variety of professional traders during market hours. The Tiger's Den, available to all Tigers and Tigris' for just $1 for the year. There's no catch or added costs when you join our community of traders. Sign up today and become a part of this educational community of traders. Just visit the front page of TFNN.com. Don't forget, you can listen to TFNN live on your mobile device 24 hours per day. Go to TFNN.com and hit watch Tiger TV. That's TFNN.com and hit watch Tiger TV. We're back folks speaking with Mike Moore, more analytics. Mike, we've got a question from one of our listeners and that is if you had to pick one trade to get ready for the next day or two, are you watching anything really special right now? I mean, that natural gas today was a very important trade because that's leaving a medium-term bullish reversal below. That medium-term bullish reversal suggests this is going to rally for days. So being long above this line right here was key. I mean, that's kind of late talking about it, but that was one I've been watching. And I think that the energies are really poised to rally out of here. So I think that the rest of the energy complex is a good play to the upside. And now, gold also right here is right at a very pivotal point. So this line right here, this is just shy of a decent penetration above it. If we get that decent penetration above it, this should rally for days. It might be a choppy rally, but it would rally nonetheless otherwise. This is a great short right here with a very tight risk.  So it's just that right at that nice point right in there. And a decent penetration in there today is 9.1. Let me just double check that real quick for you. That's actually going to be a little bit wider. 23.3. Give me one second. I'll tell you what, it's 23.3. I guess that penetration would be $10. At this point, this volatility is blown out a bit. Do you want to take a look at the S&P or the- No, we're out of time, my friend. That's it. We'll see you next Friday. Okay, buddy. Thank you, sir. I appreciate it. We appreciate you, Mike Moore or more analytics folks. We'll see him again soon. So have every day and an attitude of gratitude and may God bless.


Thank you, Dr. Colwell. I really appreciate you doing this for me. I've got about, oh, I don't know, half a dozen interviews from all sorts of people, from oceanographers in Hawaii, to the Arctic, to sort of environmental historians. But I guess one of the reasons I wanted to talk to you especially was because when you're trying to explain to people how climate change can affect, like say COVID-19 or the spread of disease, what you've done seems like almost the purest example I've ever heard of. And so I just wanted to start that way. Using your research as an example, can you talk about how climate change can affect the spread of disease? I think the major component that is novel and new in thinking, I mean, not for people like myself who've been an environmentalist all my life, but for physicians who are practicing on a daily basis, the notion that the environment and weather and weather patterns can make a big difference is probably not something that they would readily accept. They can understand, of course, that influenza is seasonal. It's more likely to occur in the winter. But what they don't really understand is that the virus, the influenza virus, it prefers cold temperatures. And very likely, according to some research, the reason that it attacks in the winter is because our nasal passages when we're outside tends to be colder. So the attachment is easier. Now that's just one bit of data that's been published. But I think the notion that we can have epidemics spread from continent to continent on air currents, I think is something new. But for those of us who work in oceanography or in, let's say, some sort of weather related disciplines, that it seems quite natural and quite normal. We'll talk about what you found about warming oceans and the spread of color. Well, we did a very interesting experiment. It seems that the British Marine Station in Southampton, England, 40 years ago, he had done a really wonderful citizen science experiment. That is, they wanted to track over time the change in the warming sea water and the effect on the life in the oceans. So they collected samples of plankton. And they did this by sending plankton sampling devices to yachtsmen, shipping boat captains, to ferry boat captains, asked them to take samples of the plankton, provide the longitude and latitude of the sample site, and then mail it to the marine station. So they have this 40 years of plankton collected. We went together with the team at the University of Genoa in Italy, Dr. Carlo Prusso, and the team working on DNA in Germany at the Max Planck Institute. And then with the samples in England, we extracted the DNA. And then with very elegant gene probes or a mechanism by which we could determine the presence and the numbers of a group of bacteria that cause disease in humans. These are called vibrios. Vibrio cholerae, and we all recognize, it's the cause of the evasion of Asiatic cholera, of which we are currently in a pandemic, the seventh pandemic of cholera, it's global. But also some other vibrios, vibrio periheliticus, which is pathogenic associated with contaminated sepals. And then vibrio volnificus, which is a bacterium that's even more pathogenic, because when it goes systemic, the fatality rate is about 50%. So we were able to determine the increase over the past 40 years, year by year by year, in the increased numbers of vibrio with the water temperature going up with climate change. And then linking it, associating it with the increased, excuse me, infections of these different diseases occurring in England, Europe, and the North Atlantic of the US. So this is, I think, probably the first demonstration of an infectious disease linked to climate change. People got the disease color from both the water and from like the shellfish? Yes, it was from eating shellfish that hadn't been properly cooked. That was infected by the bacteria associated with plankton. You see, the key was that some 30 years ago, my students and I showed that vibrio cholera, the causative agent of cholera, is associated with plankton. Plankton, the zooplankton are its host. So knowing that, going back to the plankton that are stored from 40 years ago, 30 years ago, 20 years ago, we could then extract the DNA from the plankton, separate the plankton genomes, look at the bacterial genomes, and then with our detecting device, determine precisely the presence of vibrio cholera, vibrio perihemolyticus, vibrio lonicus, and then just link that. And we published this in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Science, showing this strong correlation with the warming of a sea surface temperature, the increase in the number of plankton that carry the vibrios, and then the increase in the number of vibrios, the increased cases of human infection. Wow, wow. Did you have a great moment when you saw that connection, those things connecting up? Yes, it was very exciting because I had been studying cholera for the last 40 years, and we had developed the data that showed that plankton carried the vibrios, and of course that was controversial because physicians like to think of diseases as being person to person and not having this kind of a host. You think of malaria with a mosquito as a host, but it's hard to think of vibrios as having the host, which they do, it doesn't fly, it swims, the copepod. Well, what do you think? I mean, speaking of why is it that much different to think of, let's see, vibrio, if I'm using the terms correctly, in phytoplankton, no, zooplankton in the ocean, why is that much different from a warming planet increasing the mosquito range up into higher latitudes and bringing mosquitoes to new areas? You put your finger right on it. It's analogous, it's parallel. It's what's happening in the aquatic system and what is happening in the air system that we live in and breathe in. So an increase in, in this case for malaria, it would be the increase in the mosquito habitat moving northward as the climate warms. So it's a migration, so to speak, but an effective and effective temperature. And are there other, again, I'm not sure I use the term like disease vectors that are being spread more widely because of a warming planet? I think we're seeing the evidence of it with the outbreak of Zika virus. It occurred in Texas and Florida. So that's one example. And then again, the Lyme disease, which has moved westward, it originated or at least was originally detected in Lyme, Connecticut, hence the name Lyme disease, but we now know that it has migrated the causative agent, which is a spirochine. And we have also the evidence of West Nile virus. We tracked an outbreak in West Virginia. It had originally been detected in New York. So we're seeing these changes in the epidemiology of infectious disease. And you think it's related to climate change? Indeed. It is related because we can see the northernmost reaches of these diseases moving ever northward to it warmer in our north of the equator in our habitat. What do you think some of the people I've been talking to have said another major factor in the spread of diseases, say like COVID-19, but others, has been other human activity that is related to climate change, but is somewhat different deforestation. And the idea is that we are bringing these disease vectors. We're getting closer to the disease vectors and it's getting closer to us in terms of like say bats or with kind of factory farms or farming out into the wilderness. What do you think about that there? Well, obviously, I'm very strongly supportive of the transmission of agents from the wild to humans. I serve on the board and have done for about 10 years of EcoHealth Alliance. And Dr. Peter Dazak is the president and he is, as we speak, he is in Wuhan, China, as a member of the WHO, the World Health Organization team that's looking into the origin of the COVID-19 pandemic. If the evidence is powerful because Peter and the EcoHealth Alliance team have been working on the transmission of coronavirus, including SARS and MERS, for the last 10, 20, 30 years. So it's no surprise. In fact, I think Peter and his team published a paper about a decade ago predicting another pandemic that could be more dangerous than the SARS and the MERS because we were right on it when the SARS occurred. The population of investigators was suddenly very concentrated on that particular disease and we were fortunate to evade a massive pandemic. But imagine what that would have been because the victims died very quickly. And I think Dr. Dazak even traced the origin back to a particular bat cave in Yunnan. I think he has, he and his team have pretty good evidence. I don't think it completely ties together, but I think the evidence does include an intermediary animal that the bat... Like a penguin or something. Indeed. And then men to humans. He's given a very detailed description of the market in Wuhan and the various kinds of animals that people will eat. Very strange indeed. And the likelihood is probably pretty good that even if it didn't originate in that market, material that was brought in as food source from elsewhere to the market and transmission in the market probably is quite likely. You think it goes back to bats again? I do because the bats carrying the whole family of corona viruses, the corona veridity as it's termed, that includes influenza as well as the SARS and MERS viruses. They're related, which unfortunately I think suggests that COVID-19 is going to be with us for a quite long time. Are you concerned about, and I don't know how to express it, whether you call it the politicization of science or the polarization of science? But basically we've had climate deniers and we've had COVID deniers. I do find it unsettling because it's an irrationality. It's a way of denying facts that are uncomfortable to really integrate into one's thinking. I find that discouraging because it doesn't really address what science can tell us and how it can protect us. Just think of this past year. This time last year we had no idea what was happening except that it was a virus. But within weeks we had the genome sequence because the genomes of the virus is relatively small compared to bacteria and obviously humans. So we now have hundreds of sequences. We now are tracking down variants which are mutations that can occur in one or two base pairs, for example, in the genome. And we know about the disease and how to treat it, how not to treat it, which is very important, and what works and what doesn't work. And so in this period of time we've come to an understanding which is hard to accept that we are in a pandemic. It's not going away, at least not overnight, and certainly not miraculously. So no, we understand that we are going to, well at least we should understand that we are going to have to continue to mask and distance and do all of the steps that we've been doing probably till the end of the year when the population of the world has been appropriately vaccinated and that control measures are fully working before we can really turn back to normal. Is it reasonable to think that humanity can change enough so that we won't inflict these crises upon ourselves? I think we will find ourselves in some pretty oppressive crises. I do think we'll find a way out of it and we will be changed and hopefully we will be more attuned to practicing science as it should be. Simply because it's survival. It's a pity to have to be driven to the point of living or dying in order to make the change that we could have made under circumstances that were much more beneficial and easier to accept and to work with. One other point I'd like to make about the work we've been doing is that we have developed a model for predicting outbreaks of color. We have used the relationship to rainfall and temperature because the bacterium responds as I just demonstrated in the example of becoming more abundant when the temperatures have risen in the water in the North Atlantic. We know that with a variety of these various environmental parameters we've been able to put this together into a model that allows us to predict a potential risk that is the risk of an outbreak of cholera for weeks and eventually we will get to about eight weeks ahead of time and so we've been working together with the British Aid Agency and with the British Meteorological Agency with NASA providing funding for us to do our work and collaborating with UNICEF to predict in Yemen where the risk will be the highest and then that allows the British Aid Agency and UNICEF to mobilize their medical supplies and personnel and locate them where they'll be most effective and this has allowed us to reduce the effects of a color epidemic that is to save lives and prevent illnesses and we've been modifying that model for COVID-19. We're just now using the kind of environmental factors that are associated with the virus, humidity, dew point temperatures and migration of populations when we do this by satellite sensing as we have developed the cholera moment and we can we can determine the movement of populations by satellite. Some of the more recently launched satellites are highly sensitive and can measure with the accuracy of a square meter compared to 20 years ago when I published our first satellite sensing data gathering. We had to use a mild quadrant off the coast of the Bay of Venga. Now we can measure the temperature in a Poland in a village in Bangladesh and we can measure the movement of populations very very easily. So using the model we're we're very exciting. I believe that this is going to be a powerful tool for public health in the next decade or two to be able to monitor and track infectious disease. Well I understand from the color example how you could look at ocean temperatures and impute algae movement but how does how do temperatures what's the relationship between what you can study and COVID-19? Well with COVID-19 it's important to monitor population movement. We can do that by the tracking of cell phones and cell phone tracking. We can do that by the sensitive satellite that can track crowds moving cell phones and we can couple that with the air temperature because as it gets colder people move inside that increases the risk of transmission. And we can also determine within a certain humidity range we now know from gathering the data that there's a greater likelihood of transmission as well. So these are put together in a very sophisticated mathematical construct that allows us them to provide this prediction of risk. And we've matched it up doing this with the United States on a county by county basis with the actual cases and the fit is between 60 and 80%. That's amazing. So what did you send out like amber alert warning like stay away from this area? Well more like the pollen index. Be prepared to be exposed to the virus when these conditions have all concatenated together. Yes. Wow. Wow that's amazing. So that's I mean one of the hardest parts in doing stories like these is when you get down to okay what kind of solutions have you got Mr. Journalist that you've been scaring us to death? Well that's the nice part of it but I've always been attuned to putting science to work because in Bangladesh when we had shown clearly that plankton were the host it became then well couldn't we just go to the plankton out of the water and reduce calorie and so that's what we tested. We tested all kinds of really cheap inexpensive filter material you know cloth and plastic and so forth and we found that the cheapest material of all was old used sari cloth folded four or five times gave a nice 20 micron micrometer mesh filter when we looked at it under the electron microscope. So we then trained women to in villages in a study we did to filter the water that we were taking from the ponds to the drinking water for the day to run it through a simple filter and we were able to reduce cholera by 50 percent almost 50 percent. We've talked about how climate change affects the spread of disease. I was also looking at that the other way around which is as COVID-19 and other diseases affected climate change and the closest I found was well I know that COVID-19 particularly affected the study of climate change in the sense of it it it pushed all the research vessels into port you know it's kind of shut down a lot of research and so yeah that's a practical way but is there any way in which this is affecting migration at all I mean it's the only example I could think of where and that might increase climate change because of people density I don't know it was just well no you're on the on the right track the whole reason that we must protect the tropical forest and diversity is to protect us because the forest absorbs greenhouse gases it it produces oxygen it it's a protective layer and it has kept us alive for centuries and centuries so indeed we can counteract climate change by by building the barrier so to speak or or or the sink for the greenhouse gases that increase the temperatures and so forth so if you turn that around just as you were asking if we cut down all the forests yes we biologically we are increasing climate change that's exactly what we're doing so we are controlling our destiny but we're not doing it the right way but one of the people scientists I was talking to in Hawaii his solution you know because because sometimes it gets down to individual solutions like what are you going to do and I hate to have to answer that question myself but one of the people I talked to said well you know I'm a scientist I had to sort of walk the talk so now I'm a vegetarian I have a solar panels and you know and I ride my bicycle and then but the other one also from Hawaii said he started planting trees he just got people to gather and he's got this mission to plant a million trees all of the above vegetarian I am going to be thinking a second thought when I'm invited to travel when the pandemic is over and we're back on airplanes I have found that I can attend many many more meetings by zoom it works very well I don't want to do it solely I mean I'm getting sort of come in claustrophobic I would like to get out and meet people again but but to do the kind of traveling I was doing I don't think I will I think I will be very selective have you had a vaccine yet I've been very fortunate as a faculty member at Johns Hopkins and at the University of Maryland I received my first vaccination on 21st of January and I received my second on the 19th of the Johns Hopkins Hospital outpatient I was very well done and the whole vaccinations that day that I was there so it was very impressive well I want to thank you for taking so much time and being so articulate about these issues Dr. Colwell I've really enjoyed this it's a great pleasure and it's been fun


COVID-19 changed the world in 2020. Billions of people changed how they lived and worked, while millions were infected, some at a great cost. The Navy changed alongside the world, face masks on ships became normal, socially distanced child and ceremonies became ordinary. While COVID-19 remains a threat to sailors and others, a vaccine presents relief. It will not be easy, and it will not be quick. But each and every sailor has a reason to take the shot. I did it because I believe in science, and I'm doing it because I know a lot of people have sacrificed not only their lives, but their families, the many nurses and doctors that had fought this virus endlessly, so I'm doing it for them because they have fought for us, and this is one way I can contribute to that. It's important for me to get the COVID-19 shot to ensure not only the safety of my shipmates, but ensure the safety of the whole Navy and general, to have the extra layer of defense to myself and my family back home. My family is the most important thing to me, and personally I have an autoimmune disease, and after a long talk to my doctor, I realized that it was the best decision I could make.


Australian Awards, it means life changing opportunity to me because it enabled me to grow personal and my professional life. It means a new world of ideas and skills to perfect my career. Change. We are an opportunity to influence change in the health sector in Zangir. Impact. And then building bridges for success. I think it's transformation. I think the Awards has given me an opportunity to transform the way I perceive things, the way I interact with society in developing the nation. Chosen. I've been chosen from so many applicants. The fact that they've identified something special in me and among a lot of applicants that makes it really, really special. It's been an eye-opener for me. I'm able to now see things differently in different ways. It's empowering. And I say empowering because as a leader I have a big change to make and I feel my scholarship is giving me that power.