yo what's going on guys it's me again with another video today we're gonna go over what is it that we're doing today the top 10 rules you must follow when trading all right guys real quick make sure if you haven't subscribed and follow the channel please do so remember that we're doing giveaways on every single video each video needs to get if you can see here I don't know you can see over here over 30 likes so we're doing 30 likes this one has 23 yesterday's has 17 so if we get over 30 on each one there were that triggers the giveaway all right guys so let's hop right into this video man the top 10 rules you must follow when trading so let's go let's go over to the first one let me put this in the let me go to the slideshow from beginning here we go all right so the first one is do your own research guys a lot of people are always asking questions and and just kind of oh man you guys came in see I haven't switched it oh there we go my bad y'all here we go all right number one do your own research so yeah so you guys have to learn to do your own research whether it's from a macro standpoint fundamentals or technical you know a lot of people just blindly follow you know either someone on Instagram or someone on Twitter or whatever whatever the media saying guys do your own research like yeah we have a trade room or where we share our trades but you guys when we share our trades you guys should be then trying to fix trying to see why it is that we're taking certain trades and stuff like that so always do your own research guys you know if not you'll never learn you'll never understand why it is that we're doing certain things and you know you'll always be having to depend off somebody else I'm getting a lot of notifications here because it's 11 a.m. currently and where the markets open so you might hear some noises and stuff those are alerts and stuff we have set up all right the next thing is to don't chase a moving train so what this means guys if if something takes off you know if there's a stock that already took off guys don't jump on it there's a perfect example what would be the link play everybody was jumping on link everybody was jumping on link we even told you guys do not jump on link at this moment because it's already gone it's the trains left the station and and we gave you guys pullback levels to jump into and we even use the same exact levels that we had recommended you guys in our market analysis of link so anyone that jumped at that price around $19 $20 they they're in a loss because that it dropped all the way down to $13 so that's a perfect example another good example that a lot of people are probably familiar with is jumping on Bitcoin when it was at all-time highs at $20,000 and it dropped drastically on them you know so guys don't jump on a moving train like wait for a pullback wait for the right entry that's gonna make you money in the end in the long run all right remember when investing you want to buy low sell high what a lot of people end up doing is buying high selling low because they buy high then the price drops on them they panic and they sell it at a loss this is this is why doing your own research is so so important because if not you won't understand this a lot of new traders they buy the hype after it's already too late you know I mean if you don't do your own research you won't be able to find those that low price to enter at so do your own research and don't chase a moving train number three trade with logic not emotions I see this way too much I have people always sending me messages emotional about their trades because they're in a loss guys you have to always have a plan in place before entering a trade if you enter a trade without a plan after I've told you a million times not to do it like now that's on you you know of course you're gonna be emotional about it you don't know what to do you don't have a plan in place you've let it run you've let that loss get way too big now now you're fucked you know so don't trade with him with emotions guys you have to take emotions out of it you got to detach yourself from this to treat money like points not like cash you know what I mean so in order to do that you have to start with with a very small amount of money that doesn't affect you something that doesn't that's not gonna trigger you if you lose it you know I mean and has to be an amount of money that you're willing to lose you have to be willing to lose it all once you get that in your head then that's when you'll start seeing progress in your training because then you're gonna start trading with logic and not with emotions it is so so vital it is one of the hardest things to do probably in trading and it's what makes trading so difficult with and have such a high learning curve because people just don't understand that discipline is so so important in trading and unless you learn to be disciplined when trading like you can't be profitable it's just not possible so that's why it takes usually experience a lot of experience to be able to detach yourself from the from the amount of money that you're trading with it definitely took us some time and then that leads right into the next one always always always use a stop loss guys I don't want to hear any excuses about this if you're not planning your stop losses ahead you're gonna you're never gonna succeed in trading you're never gonna be profitable I don't message me if you're in a loss because you didn't use a stop loss guys you always got to use a stop loss there's no way around it no if ands or buts stop loss stop loss stop loss put that in your head guys stop loss stop loss on every trade stop loss you want to enter here where's your stop loss you want to enter at whatever other price where's your stop you have to know your stop loss before your entry your stop loss it which is your risk management is way more important than the price you're actually entering at get that through your head guys number five very important know when to stay out of the market a lot of people don't understand this concept you don't always have to be in a trade guys you don't always have to be in a trade I know it's exciting to be in a trade it gets your adrenaline pumping gets you going but that's not how you trade you don't always have to be in a trade you have to know when to stay out of the market and wait for that entry that's why you have to look for those pullback entries so that you know what you're waiting for it you know they mean like you have you can't always be in a trade if you want that adrenaline rush then go to a casino go to your local casino go to the roulette table that on black that on red because that's basically what you're doing if you're just entering random trades you know this is a concept that's very difficult for beginners to understand because they always want to feel that rush of being inside a trade and they feel like if they're not in a trade they're missing out so they fomo guys you're not missing out I'm telling you you're not missing out there's always another trade there's always another day no one's is sitting on your hands and stay out of a trade guys so important number seven wait did I skip a number yeah I did skip a number my bad guys number five so this is actually number six but whatever I actually fix it but it's gonna probably throw off all the other numbers it's all good yeah it threw off all the other numbers so good guys so six only invest what you can afford to lose guys this is super important and this ties into being your emotions trading without emotions this ties into you know being disciplined because if if you're investing more than you can afford to lose then you're gonna be emotional about every single trade you take which leads to you making bad decisions so the way to do this is start with a very very small fraction so that you're not emotional about it you have to be able to detach your emotions from your money if you want to be successful and that's just the truth out with trading that's why so many people fail because they cannot make that separation of emotions and and the money they're investing they can't separate themselves from it so very important guys it's all boils down to discipline diversified guys you always want to be able to diversify you always want to any anything you're invested in you want to have you want to be diversified in I preach this all the time never put your eggs in one basket when trading you only should be risking you know between 1 to 5% on any given trade ever risking any more than that then you're not practicing proper risk management you're not trading with the trading plan you're not practicing proper risk reward you know it basically you're not going to to succeed it's just you can't cuz it's a long-term remember this is a marathon not a sprint yeah you might get lucky one two three times but in the long run when the law of large numbers comes into play then you're gonna lose it's just it's the law you know what I mean it's we it's we preach this for a reason we're not I'm not telling these things for no reason you know I mean so you have to always have your portfolio diversified with crypto I like to keep between 30 to 50% of my portfolio on Bitcoin I like to keep around 20 to 30% I like to keep around 20% and out coins it depends on how much I have in Bitcoin which which then you know depends how much I have in out coins and then I like to keep around 20% to day trade with and then I like to keep around 10% of my portfolio in cash in fiat so that when there's dips I can enter back in and then when I take profit I I put that money back into my cash reserves so very important guys in the stock market I do the same thing I keep my portfolio diversified I am I'm invested in you know I invest in ETFs which diversifies your portfolio for you and then I invest in you know any companies that I believe in and then after that then I have the percentage where I day trade with then I have a percentage in cash so very important guys the trend is your friend to the end I know says number nine but it's actually number eight guys this is another big thing people always look into short for some reason or just counter counter trade guys don't make life more difficult for yourself the probability is always in the end the direction the higher probability is always in the in the direction of the trend itself so trade within the trend if the trend is going up you should only be going long you should only be buying you shouldn't be trying to short the market unless you're you've been trading for years you're an expert you're profitable year over year for like the past five years then you can then you under then you have enough understanding of the market to know when to go short and to get out quick because these are scouts these aren't gonna be you know big trades long long trades other than that if you're a beginner if you're you have less than five years experience trading you should not be trading against a trend because you're just it's not gonna be go well for you so always trade with the trend always trade with the trend guys always don't make life harder for yourself always trade with the trend I'm saying I'm repeating a lot of these things on purpose so you guys could to try to get it into your head always trade with the trend number ten is actually number nine but number ten not nine discipline guys discipline is so important in trading is basically everything discipline is everything in trading if you're not discipline you're not gonna be successful and that's just the way it is it took me a few years to be able to really get disciplined with my trading plans and with my emotions and you know with what I was doing with the whole idea of trading so it's not something that happens overnight it's something that happens over time with experience with losses with trial and error so don't get upset at yourself if you're not disciplined yet don't lose hope and faith in yourself you just got to keep pushing practice proper risk management so you don't blow your account and with time you're gonna get there you know what I mean it just it's something you got to work at every single day alright and the last one number ten which is also the bonus if you fail to plan you plan to fail I know you guys have heard this a lot if you fail to plan you plan to fail say one more time if you fail to plan you plan to fail guys you owe you have to you have to you have to plan your trades before entering your trades you have to know all your targets you have to know your stop loss you have to know your risk reward ratio you have to know how much you're risking on that trade like these are all things you must know before you take a trade so you need to write this down you need to write it down don't just make it up in your head and be like okay I planned in my trade no you need this has to be written down if you're not writing down you're not planning your trade it's just it's not real unless it's written so guys if you fail to plan you plan to fail that simple that's why a lot of you ask me questions and the first thing I tell you I ask you what was your what was your trade plan you know I mean if people in my trade room ask me questions about any trades I asked them what does the plan what does the trade plan say it literally answers every question you have so and it should answer every question you have so if your trade plan does not answer every question you have you're not you're failing the plan so you're planning to fail that's just the way it is all right guys that is it for that let's jump into the question of the day remember guys we're doing this on every single video you can win a free month membership the question of the day every video will have a random question about something in the video the question will always be in a random area of the video find the question then find the answer post your answer in the comments for a chance to win a free month membership winners will be picked randomly once the video receives over 35 likes guys we need over 35 likes you know what I'm gonna I'm gonna bring it back down to 30 because we've been we've been stuck at the 30 range so I'm gonna do over 30 likes guys winner will be picked once the video receives over 30 likes all right good luck here we go question of the day what is the rule you feel like you have to work on the most and why very simple guys everyone should have a unique answer to this I'm doing this question this way on purpose I don't want anyone copying and pasting someone else's answer so tell me what it what is the rule you feel like you have to work on the most and why alright guys thank you very much man appreciate you guys tuning in I tried to make this video shorter than usual but as always a lot goes into trading and I'm trying to simplify it for you guys so thank you guys please like comment subscribe follow the whole nine you know what I mean we appreciate all the support we appreciate you guys we'll be back with another video hopefully tomorrow alrighty guys peace


What will be the price of Bitcoin in 10 years from now? I can guarantee it won't go to zero because there's only 20 million Bitcoin and if it gets to a dollar I'll just buy them all. How important is price for the future of the crypto industry? When you ramp the price way, way up, it takes more money to move it around, you get more stability. What are the factors that may drive Bitcoin to one million dollars? All the smart guys in technology are all getting sucked in. The smart guys in finance are getting sucked in.  Explore the future scenarios awaiting Bitcoin and the crypto industry with Raoul Paul, Clark Moody, Claire Lovell, Avishal Gar, Zina Nader. These are the highlights of Cointelegraph Crypto Traders Live. So why don't we dive into the first question and just to sort of start with the conclusion. I mean, what are people's predictions for the price of Bitcoin in 10 years? Let us start off with Avishal. You want to kick it off for us? So I can't get price predictions. I generally don't, other than I think it will be higher than it is today and likely much higher. It's not investment advice.  Standard disclaimers apply. But, you know, the way I think about it is I think the standard analogy people use is digital gold. And if you just kind of do the back of the envelope math, gold at about $8 trillion market cap, if Bitcoin gets anywhere close to that, if it's about the same, each Bitcoin would be worth about $380,000. You know, if you kind of eliminate the roughly 15 or so percent of Bitcoin that has been lost, you know, for lost keys or Satoshi's coins, you get closer to like 450. And of course, you know, there's no reason to think that Bitcoin couldn't be bigger than gold. Like coming from a technology background, the way I always think about it is when new markets emerge, we often underestimate the size of them. So like the knock against Uber at the Series A was, well, if the entire taxi industry is worth $10 billion, how could you possibly be worth more than $10 billion? And of course, in retrospect, we realize when you put something on a mobile phone and 2 billion people can access it at the push of a button, market sizes all of a sudden become 10x bigger than you thought. And so actually, you know, several hundred thousand or million actually to the point of the panel, you start looking at it through that lens is potentially not a question. Now, when that happens or if that happens, you know, people should do their own research, but I think actually there is some math to back up that we could potentially get there. Makes a lot of sense. Let's see, Claire, do you want to give us some views just in general on where you think the sort of future price action might be many years out? Yeah. Yeah, I mean, I want to say zero just because I'm convinced no one on the panel will. But I don't actually believe that obviously, you know, I mean, I don't I don't want to make a specific prediction either. But obviously I'm long term bullish on it. I think the thing that will is very likely to happen is that there'll be less volatility. And so I think it just will be a very different environment. I do definitely agree that I think the price will be a lot higher. And I think even in the short term, the price probably will be will be a lot higher. 10 years from now, you know, I think it still has the potential to be a life changing investment, even if you got into it today. You never had bought any before today. I still think there's huge potential for people to as an investment. So, yeah, hopefully a lot more than now. Makes sense to me, Clark, would you like to offer some views? Yeah. So I recently wrote an article about the 10th anniversary of the first Mt. Gox trade, which was July 17, 2010, and Bitcoin traded at 4.95 cents per coin. A few a few weeks later, let's see, on October 8, 2010, it was a penny. It's come five, six orders of magnitude price increase so far. I mean, the other side of the coin is what's the US dollar's purchasing power at that point. When a gallon of milk is a million dollars, then we're all millionaires, but it doesn't mean anything. So I don't know, I think the bullish case for Bitcoin in terms of ever-printed, ever-devaluing fiat currencies is pretty strong. We've come a long way so far. I don't see, it's easy to say, you know, current price action. It's easy to say, oh, it'll never go 10x from where we are, but you just zoom out a little bit and we've already come a lot more than 10x. Fair enough. You can see the wheels turning in Raoul's head. Raoul, I would love to know your views on this 10 years from now. Where are we? Look, I mean, I agree with the view that, you know, you can back that up versus gold and you get reasonably large numbers. But let's look at it from a different perspective because I think we're all familiar with that. It's the adoption curve that I think is really interesting to me is understanding, having been in that institutional investment world and hedge fund world for the last 30 years, I know how they act. And the point being is at $200 billion, which is what it is now as just Bitcoin. It's not even an asset class. It's noise. But people know that it is serious. They know the players involved. They understand how much work is going on in this and they understand that it has to run their radar screens. Now, if Bitcoin goes up 100%, which you could do over the next two months, you know, it's kind of well within the realms of normal volatility. Well, it's something a $400 billion asset class, then a $500 billion asset class, and then it matters. And then everybody is essentially short the upside. And we've seen this before is they all have to pile in. Now, if you have an understanding of the issues that are embedded within the pension system globally, the pension system is dramatically underfunded. We've now essentially just lost bonds as an asset class, because as they trend towards zero or negative rates, forget the negative rates, red hair and every screaming, oh my God, it's not that. It's that they don't work in a portfolio. There's no offsetting ability. So people are looking at gold, but gold is not so liquid. It's a bit more complicated. It will fit in with portfolios, but Bitcoin has that thing. So everybody's eyeing it. The endowments are there. So that's coming. So you've got to think of it that everybody's short the upside. So if it rises, it rises and more people adopt it and it gets bigger. And then obviously as we go over the next 10 years, we're, I don't think we fully get to the 21 million Bitcoin, but what happens is is we stabilize in price because the stock to flow has changed dramatically at this point. So you end up with a stability. And I think this is where it's all going. In the end, whatever that price is, it becomes the global benchmark collateral for a new digital system. So could that be a million dollars? Could it be $10 million? Could it be $500,000? Sure. But the point being is we will unlikely think of it in the terms we think about it today. If you think about the digital currencies are coming for central banks now, we know the world is about to change dramatically. We know this is everything we're all working on is a dramatic change. So it will be a different, a different way. But I have a feeling that there's a good probability that it's the independent collateral for the new system. I couldn't agree with you more. And especially here in the States with the OCC just approving federally chartered banks to custody crypto. I think that portends a lot to come in kind of in a lot of similar veins to what you just said. That's also a great segue to the next question, which is kind of people are inherently interested in the price, but why is the price so important? Rowley, you sort of talk about it. So maybe you can sort of start us off and then if anybody else has any thoughts, I mean, what is it about? The price is the manifestation of Metcalfe's law essentially. So what it's showing us is the adoption and the value of the adoption. So as it's becoming adopted, whether it's by the network effects of money transfer, which I don't think is what Bitcoin's core application is. But as a store of wealth, it's clearly going on. I mean, you know, the proliferation of exchanges, the number of people involved, the rapid growth. So I think the price is a reflection of that. I've always called it a call option in the future of the financial system. It's another way of thinking of it because it because if Bitcoin goes up, well, the whole ecosystem from blockchain to Ethereum to Kedano to whatever all grows out from this. And so if those things are going to succeed, Bitcoin will succeed. And therefore the Bitcoin price is a call option for the whole lot. In tech parlance, I think it's, you know, we talk about metrics and goals. And I think you have to be careful not to conflate the metric with the goal. And the price is one of the metrics that we should look at. But really the goal is adoption. And the goal is that there are new and better ways of building these systems. So much of the legacy financial system was built and architected from a computer science and software perspective in like the 70s and the 80s. And just the state of the art of technology has evolved so much in the last 40 to 50 years. But the inertia and sort of lock in and the network effects keep us locked into these legacy systems. And so, you know, to me, when we start seeing these large numbers on price, what it hopefully signifies actually is that there's real adoption, that there's real value being created underneath it. And that's actually ultimately the goal. And the price is just a metric to pay attention to as a proxy. I think often you see a lot of people come into the retail space because they see the price move and they get excited. And then after they realize what an amazing technology this is and all the potential for the future applications. And so I think that when the price is high, it kind of, oh, there's a long tail of adoption that comes from that. And that's why it's so important now. But I don't think that will always be the case. I think that price also, you get the liquidity volume corresponding to the price. So at 10X, the same quantity of Bitcoin on the order book is 10 times as liquid, right? It takes 10 times as much money to move the market. So that's kind of this, Claire said earlier, the stability aspect. When you ramp the price way, way up, it takes more money to move it around, you get more stability. And all of that makes a lot of sense. And so I've got sort of a kind of a corollary question to all this is, you know, how important are price predictions in the crypto space generally, and I guess maybe for Bitcoin in particular. I mean, I think we've all sort of talked here about how price can be a proxy for adoption price can be a proxy for a lot of other things. So I guess in that context is our price predictions per se important for people or is that is that sort of beside the point. Maybe we can start off with Raoul and then maybe Claire would have some thoughts. Look, I think it is important. And it's important for the simple fact to go back to what we were talking about before is these kind of larger price predictions and the structure of price movements in the past are basically showing people not how much money I can make from it. We're all in markets and we all want to make money. But it's also the magnitude of the opportunity how big the adoption is, as we talked about, you know what it means because, as Claire said, is when you get your head around.  And then you realize you've only just started your journey and everything you thought you knew is wrong. Right, everybody goes through that. And that is, and the price future target, you know, I think Plan B's work is incredibly useful, regardless of who's right or wrong, but it gives you an understanding of the magnitude. And that is what keeps VCs in business, because it brings entrepreneurs to build businesses around it, all of that. We all said, well, the price is going to be stayed about $10,000 for the next 20 years. You know, we would change in what the kind of stuff we did. Personally, I honestly don't put any stock in price predictions. Again, like I don't think it's going to be zero, you know, I think it's going to be higher. So I guess that's a prediction of some kind. But, you know, you know, there's no day to day, month to month, year to year price predictions that I think really have been turned out to be super accurate over time. It's very hard for people to predict, you know, so many conditions are changing. Plus, we're in a, you know, once in a century point in history and several different aspects right now that can I think can greatly affect where the price growth goes. So, you know, for me, it's about fundamentals. Do I believe that this technology, whether it's Bitcoin or something else has, you know, the power to change the world? Is this an amazing technology? And that's why, you know, I got into Ethereum when it first came out because I thought, okay, this is introducing something really new that's really important. Bitcoin cash, you know, at the time of the fork, I didn't really believe in it for the same in that same way because how is this really different from Bitcoin and to me, you know, at that time it really wasn't. So I think people, you know, I'm kind of more like a Warren Buffett, you know, values fundamentals type investor, I think would be my style and I think a lot of people in retail feel that way as well. You know, these aren't professional traders and neither am I, obviously. So that's kind of where I'm coming from with it. Makes a lot of sense. I'm wondering as a VC in this space. I mean, I hear sort of two different things from Raul and Claire about, yeah, you know, there is some value of the predictions and then well, maybe, you know, for other types of lenses, it's not as germane or relevant. How do you think about this and maybe some of the entrepreneurs that come to you in the space, how does that, how does this all play out for you? So a couple of thoughts on that, but I would like to own a riff on something Claire just said, which is it probably isn't going to zero. I can guarantee it won't go to zero because there's only 20 million Bitcoin and if it gets to a dollar, I'll just buy them all. So I hear you heard it here first folks, Bitcoin will never go below a dollar. Bitcoin will never go below a dollar, I guarantee you. So it can't get to zero. Okay, so to your question. How do I think about it? You know, our core thesis at Electric is this is software eating money and kind of the breakthrough here, which, you know, it took me honestly probably about two years to get my head around is that for the first time ever, the bits inside your computer are money. And it's a very important difference from the bits in the computer represent money, which is how it is in the legacy system right there's some database and there's your bank account and it says you have a certain amount of money and then you can go to the bank and get some US dollars. But the bits in the computer being money is a pretty fundamental shift because what that means is that you secure that money through a private key which is another set of bits but for the first time ever computers can own money they can take custody of money and value and they can do value exchange and so that opens up this whole new universe of people being able to transact with machines or machines being able to transact with machines. And anytime we've seen that happen anytime we've seen the digitization of something that used to be Adams and it turns into bits. The market explosion and the way that people deal with that, you know, you tend to get trillion dollars sorts of disruptions, right just think about like, you know, literally any communications technology or any sort of, you know, digitization that happened and kind of the unlocking of value to happen so our core thesis really is around programmable money like what could you do once you can program money. And if you think about it, a lot of the world is basically, here's a pile of money. And here are some rules around who has access to that money and under what conditions that money can move around. And on some future time horizon, I want you to do XYZ things with this money. Today we codify that and what we call legal code, and we just think all of that gets codified in computer code instead, like literally it's called code right and, and that's strictly if you think about it the one thing computers are better than humans at is deterministically executing instructions on some future time horizon.   And it'll take many years to happen we think it's a 20 to 30 year time horizon. But you know when you start adding up those numbers that's at least as big as the internet if not bigger in terms of like the net impact that it has on site because it turns out a lot of the world is just here's a pile of money with some rules around the money. And for the first time ever we have infrastructure that is a perfect fit to solve those kinds of problems. That's actually a perfect segue to the next question which is you know what are the factors that will drive us toward a million dollars per Bitcoin. If we assume that's true and I think it's looking more and more true is as every day goes on that banks are realizing that digital currencies digital assets are a thing that they need to be embracing. You know, what other factors are basically what does that do to the price of Bitcoin. So maybe we can start with Clark who's been in the space for a while having seen a lot of sort of developments. What do you think all this does and what other factors will contribute to Bitcoin going to a million. So the value of any of any money is determined by the aggregate reserve demand that each individual has. So it just involves more and more people deciding I want to hold a positive balance of this thing. And so what what precipitates that you know mindset change. There are other places on earth that switch to dollars after their currencies collapsed. And that happens pretty quick, you know, money's a huge network effect. And if, if you're looking around and more and more people each day are using a different money. You may tell your employer hey I need to get paid in this other thing that people are using and so I think it's, you know, the process while it happens could be. It's one of those exponential processes where once once you start turning the corner on an S curve then it happens so much faster than you think you think it would have, and I think it could have.  It's kind of the short answer. I was kind of curious kind of like Raul was saying earlier about you know why doesn't happen quicker. Why haven't people yet realized that there's this sort of sound money element and you know a lot of the critiques that people could have of the fiat system. Maybe you're dressed, you can't have 100 volatility sound money. The concept is sound money the reality is the opposite. You don't tell your grandmother who's 90 years old you need to stick it in Bitcoin it's sound money. That's madness. So what we're trying to build is a system that is a future sound money. We believe it has inherent value more than it has now because of this particularly key attribute, but it clearly is not sound money now, because it goes up and down 90% in every cycle so it's kind of, it's kind of a weird old world. So we decide whether we actually believe that Bitcoin will be the money of the system, or the classroom of the system, or a side show within the system. None of us know any of these answers yet.  I think it becomes a personal reserve like gold has remained a personal reserve for anybody for, for as long as the fit currency systems been operation you can always use gold and step out of it. I want to come back around to that in terms of you know what you know so we're talking sort of about the bull case and then the bear case would be, maybe if something were to replace Bitcoin, but before we sort of dive into that. Claire, or Avishal, if you have any other thoughts on what factors might sort of drive Bitcoin, you know, sort of up into the right from here. Yeah, I mean, I think I agree with Clark, for the most part, you know, mainstream use cases and adoption right now for the average retail investor or not even investor, you know, average retail person right I don't understand how do I use this how do I get into it. It's still just way too complicated for people. And so, when it's as easy as using a credit card, you know, I think we're well on our way, but we're not there yet and there's a lot of people trying to figure that out, you know, Bitcoin may not be the one that gets us there because of all of the issues with the technology being too slow to really scale in that way. But, and I don't know which one it will be or if it would be something else, you know, I think having it as a collateral is an interesting idea, but I, you know, I firmly believe that money will go digital just like everything else. I just, I don't know which one it will be though. Be curious to know Michelle, what do you think about that in terms of, I guess what would be some signs that there are other assets coming up to sort of challenge Bitcoin and what would sort of make it less appealing to be you know the asset that sort of, you know, kind of drives a conversation from here, if any. Yeah, I mean there's still, when we think about risks in some sense, I think the question you're asking is like what are the, what are the systemic risks here and I think there are technology risks, I think there are market risks and I think there are regulatory risks. You know, technology risk for example is perhaps the CPU based group of work approach just doesn't continue to scale for some reason. You know, maybe we fit to mission returns on ASICS or power or you know whatever there could be edge cases here. And, you know, I think there are ways to mitigate that people are experimenting with proof of state systems. There are things like proof of space time, which is still a form of proof of work that uses hard drives instead of CPU and people are bringing that research to market companies like Chia or projects like Chia and Space Mesh. So there's an entire category there and you know the second category around market risk I think is really does it turn out that the path to success and effect the go to market strategy is one of digital gold or it actually does something like Ethereum which allows you to have decentralized finance or generate yield in a zero interest rate world turn out to be the killer go to market. And then you know on the regulatory I think there's some some significant open questions and actually Bitcoin has a pretty significant advantage here right it's only Bitcoin and Ethereum have really sort of gotten the regulatory thumbs up as being not a security at the very least and so you know some some degree of okay from at least us regulators though other other countries are less or more okay with it. And so when you look at those risks you know the way we think about it is how do you mitigate across those risks and so there are ways to mitigate across those by investing in other other approaches. But you know when you when we look at kind of our investments it's still far and away you still have our largest position it's still Bitcoin just you know even on a risk adjusted basis. That's that's where that it just has such a lead in so many ways it's it's hard to imagine something in the short term replacing it. But again if you take a 15 or 20 year time horizon and you believe we're in the very early days of this. You know 15 to 20 years of compounding from something starting from a very small base to compete with Bitcoin is still there's a long runway here. And it's also worth mentioning perhaps that it's not necessarily winter take all right if you look at even the existing fiat system there's a winner takes most dynamic. And so it is not necessarily the case that if Bitcoin wins everything else must fail and or you look at some of that social networking which is a highly liquid network backed business and Facebook of course one big but if you were in the seed round of LinkedIn and you ended up with a $25 billion company still did quite well and so you know as investors we sort of risk mitigate but we also take into mind that we don't think there's going to be a power law here there are more than one way to win. Speaking of the regulatory sort of side of things just briefly here and also to Raul's point about how just massive of an opportunity and how big of a sea change we're all getting to live and work through, which is just phenomenal and amazing. I'm kind of reminded of sort of the separation of church and state. And I wonder if the separation of state and money is a thing that governments will allow quite frankly, or is it something that will have to be sort of forcefully resolved for lack of a better word. I think it exists already right, you know rich people buy art and cars and they're outside the state and you know we can all buy gold and that's outside the state. So to have Bitcoin or whatever any digital currency outside the state is fine. But if you want to live in a state, you'll end up somehow having to transact with the state. And that means taxes. And that's okay too. Unless you live in the Cayman Islands where I live. The established church served an important function as well in partnership with the state. So the church, or the local witch doctor or whoever is the chosen, you know, appointed by the state to be the one way. And they in turn, preach that obedience to the king, or the chief or whatever is godliness, or maybe the chief is God himself, you know, so that disobedience is now heresy and you can be thrown into the volcano or whatever it is. So I think that that role has been replaced by the intelligentsia, the economists at the Fed, the blue, blue ribbon panels, they serve the same function as putting a scientific spin on what the state wants to do. You know, like the Keynesian economics, right? Oh, print. It's the solution to every problem. Oh, that sounds great to us too. Right. So it's kind of this. We fund academia, you rubber stamp all of the things we want to do with a scientific stamp. And that's replaced kind of the role of the church in, you know, compliance with the king or whatever is. I was just going to say before, you know, I think kind of riffing on what we were talking about the previous question as well like there is a global reserve currency though, right, and it's the US dollar. So yes, we have pounds, we have euros, we have dollars, but you know, if I go to most countries that US dollar is going to have a lot of power, you know, Bitcoin or whatever it is might be that same thing and I think about the idea of separation of church and state. Similarly, I also think that there may not be as many governments as there are, you know, long term we may not have, you know, 270 countries we may have 20 or, you know, 100 who knows right but I think there can be some consolidation as well, especially for countries that aren't able to financially support themselves. So, I think in those scenarios, this cryptocurrency, you know, may become that reserve currency for a lot of these states, in which case the state actually has a vested interest in allowing that to go forward just like in a lot of states that have trouble with their money, volatility and so on, right, they are happy to have US dollars in the system or they're not happy you know they risk a lot of disruption if they don't go along with it. I think there's some potential for that as well, but I do want to hear the rant so. Okay, I'm going to do that actually I mean I think the points around reserve currency are spot on and you know you look at the numbers it's you know the US dollar is something like 65% of global reserves and the euro is 15 to 20%. And so you do kind of have a very interesting power law, even with with global currencies, you know the yen and Canadian dollar and so on. But you know I think kind of what that touches on even is is kind of the game theory of this all. And so put on your you know I think there are there are a couple of different actors here there's the US government. There's the Chinese government. There is there the European governments EU. And then there's this sort of decentralized crypto universe Bitcoin included. And you know I think the interesting game theory here if you're the Chinese government is you have your digital R&B initiative happening. And you are potentially cut off from doing a lot of what you want to do because of the US dollar system. And so you have an incentive to try to push your digital R&B system. And if your R&B system works great you win you win big and so they're going to invest in it they're going to push through Belt and Road and it's really smart. I mean they're to their credit the Chinese government is phenomenal at investing in technology and embracing it and using it. Well the next best alternative is likely not to continue to exist in a US dominated system. The next best alternative might actually be to support the decentralized ecosystem and allow that to flourish such that it actually serves as a counterbalance to the US system in some form and continue to sort of diminish that percentage of country reserves. The US dollar used to be 75% of country reserves and so it's losing share. And so can you get something in there that is another 10% of country reserves and gets the US dollar to 50. And so the Chinese government actually has a very strong incentive in my opinion to support the Bitcoin ecosystem. And the way they'll do it is they will likely support the infrastructure behind it without letting their citizens own too much of it because they care about civil unrest. So they don't want their citizens to own a ton of Bitcoin but they're very happy to have ASICs designed there and have miners there because that allows them to continue to support this ecosystem. Okay so if you take that and you play that one step forward you say okay well then what does that mean for the US government? And I actually think what that means for the US government is obviously they have to try to invest in some sort of digital dollar as a counterbalance to digital RMB and to support the existence of this US dollar based system. But they also have to acknowledge I mean you look at something like healthcare.gov it's not like the US government executed well on that. And so they don't have a great track record of building high quality software and shipping it on time and making it usable. And so what is your next best alternative? Is your next best alternative to let the digital RMB system win? No probably not. Your next best alternative actually is to embrace the decentralized crypto system because so many of those VCs are already here in Silicon Valley. So many of those companies the biggest companies in the world are already in the US. And so actually what you really want to do is embrace the crypto system and allow the US dollar to be the fiat on ramp and off ramp into that system so that you can continue to use the tools that you have to do AML and KYC and so on. So actually I think if you play this out you know the separation of church and state I actually think there's a natural equilibrium where governments by virtue of having to compete against each other. Actually all end up having to support a decentralized system because it's like the second best alternative to the existing system or the alternative of the other government winning. So I'm actually pretty bullish I don't think it ends up being a total separation of church and state but I think you actually end up in a system that like the crypto ecosystem ends up coexisting with the existing fiat system because the governments kind of have to support it because of the game theory of it all. Kind of last question for me here is kind of if you could each sort of provide just either your or your company's perspective on the industry overall. If you've got sort of a long term vision for BTC and crypto and the blockchain and sort of how that all plays together. So just sort of a big picture of these either for yourselves personally or for your companies or both. So Claire maybe want to get a start of there. Sure. Yeah so I mean obviously both myself and Gemini are long term bullish here. I think you know short term I expect to see a lot of professional trading still dominating. You know like we were talking about before I think the retail audience you know they're coming but they're not there and the numbers that you know I would like to see but trading is just one small aspect of what I think you know. Will be part of this ecosystem. So one thing that like happened to be really successful at Gemini is we launched a digital art platform which was NFTs we call it Nifty Gateway. You know back in March so at the timing we thought would be horrible but it ended up being amazing because everyone was suddenly not able to go view any art in person and they've you know broken some records for the price of their Nifty sold. It's just you know been very successful and just a very short amount of time and I think all of these amazing use cases we probably haven't even thought of you know this panel represents several people who've spent you know basically their entire careers on this and we haven't figured it out you know it's such early days, which I think probably you feel. So, you know I think trading is going to dominate the conversation and the industry today and then I think the next applications of money right will have decentralized banking decentralized finance you know earning interest staking all these things. But I think long term there's going to be a lot of applications outside of just money and payments, and I don't know what those are, but I think those will easily be you know million trillion dollar industries, you know, couple decades from now. It's a lot of sense. Clark you want to share some thoughts in terms of sort of a big picture here too. I would say that from my experience I would say that this is a retail led phenomenon so far so kind of the other side of the coin and we haven't really seen like real institutional interest you know sovereign wealth funds, gigantic pension funds, things like that. So just throw you know throw that in there. The other thing is you know we're getting a lot of a lot of this legitimacy stuff, you know the custody rules and things like that. Making it easier to deal with this and you know legal for large, large players to hold on to it. So that that's a big ball that takes a long time to get rolling, but I think that it's, you know, it's tipped over the precipice of the mountain. You're here, let it, here's to it continuing to roll. In the meantime, I roll any kind of big picture thoughts for us. Yeah, my involvement in this space came from understanding what happened in 2008, but really from being on the ground in Europe in 2012 when we almost lost the banking system. But when that goes through your head, that hero was living in Spain, and we're about to lose the banks and eventually the ECB had to force Spain to borrow money over a weekend to save the banking system is going to collapse the next on the Monday. And realizing that the whole thing was a mess, the collateral at the heart of the system was rehypothecated when it claimed it wasn't so in the middle of the DTCC and Euroclear and all of these things that most people don't know anything about. I got stuck into all of them, and it's a mess. It's a mess on who owns what it's a mess in leverage, it's a mess at every level. And at that point I realized that we need something different so I was trying to set up a bank at the time. Back in maybe 2013, which was trying to be the world's safest bank that had no leverage that had that you know if you if you deposit capital it's held in US government bonds and a bunch of stuff like this. And it just was complicated trying to buy a bank in various countries I've tried Singapore we tried in Europe we tried all over place really hard. Anyway, a friend of mine introduced me to Bitcoin obviously we'd seen the headlines and stuff like that so around the 2012 period. And then I realized that this was coming now what is interesting about this space. So here's me I come in from this angle, people come in from different angles but what is incredibly interesting never have I seen a black hole like this.  Everybody's being sucked into a space which is like a super black hole of talent of, I've not seen anything of this magnitude before. In terms of the sheer number of people and the size of the outcomes, because you know, when you started in the internet we didn't know the outcomes. But we know how big money is right money is one of the oldest things on earth. And we know the size of it. And as Claire says it's not just about money. Everything is going to be tokenized and literally everything, the whole digitalization digitalization of assets, none of us can get our heads around. Maybe, you know, maybe an 11 year old today who who operates online has a better idea than we do of what digitalization and the value of digital assets is, but everything is about to change and it's a it's a platform change of money and value. And that's extraordinary.