we showcase upcoming developments, talk investments, and show you how you can find yourself in the latest offering for Galencia State, and that is Palm View. As you've seen, we've decided to do something different with you guys here today. And what we've decided to do is take you along with us to show you these different developments and show you how you can find yourself, lounging in the pool, standing in front of the fountain, and enjoying some of the offerings Galencia has bring into the table today. Also, ladies and gentlemen, while we're standing outside here, you can see just how much attention to detail Galencia has brought when it comes to the security, when it comes to the electric fence, when it comes to the wrought iron gates, Galencia has spared no expense to make sure that when you do live in this development, you feel comfortable and you feel secure. So let's head on in, let's speak to some of the guys that are involved with Galencia, and let's talk a little bit more about something that might be your next home. Ladies and gentlemen, as you can see, as soon as you come through the gating, it is still boomed off, you're right next to your security guard. There's no expense that's been spared, as I've mentioned before.   Ladies and gentlemen, we are joined in by Mr. Martin, playing one of the sales executives here. We are trying to keep our social distancing and adhering to all of the safety protocols, so we've thrown a mask on each. I don't have the nice branded one, but I'm definitely gonna get myself one of those. You have to. Martin, thank you so much for taking some time out tonight. I really appreciate it. What I'd like to start off with is a question I start off with all the times whenever I've been doing the development show, and that is, tell us a bit about yourself. Tell us about Galencia, and tell us what a client can expect if they decide to go on a journey with you. Okay, so yeah, I'm Martin Cain. I've been with the company since July. I came out of aviation before this. What the people can expect with Galencia? We've been in South Africa for the past 19 years. With a new development with Farm View, clients can expect luxurious apartments, modern furnitures, spacious rooms, and then also the landscaping is very fantastic as well. Yeah.   Just how nice and peaceful and serene the area is. We've got a beautiful fountain behind us. So, Farm View, latest development. How many units are can we expect in here? In total, there's 189 units, which is 27 blocks. So we have one bed, one bath, two bed, two bath, and then three bed, two baths as well. Okay, so you've definitely covered all your bases and amenities.  I have seen the houses. You guys are definitely going to be able to see those houses as well. If I decide to purchase in here, what amenities are available for me? What amenities? Okay, so we have the clubhouse. The clubhouse comes with a kitchen and a boardroom. It comes with a key display area as well as with a swimming pool as well. And you can book that clubhouse. So if I'm having a function here, if I'm having a birthday, I'm allowed to book the clubhouse. You can book it out for the whole day and then probably get out for around about 10 or 11 o'clock. Beautiful. Now, another thing I wanted to ask you is before we look at the units, less pork price, what kind of pricing can I expect? Okay, so the unit starts at, for the one bed, one bath, starts at triple nine for just below a million. Two bed, two baths will start at 1.660 and then your three bed, two baths start at 1.850. And it was the perfect segue to run right into the units. But before we do that, I wanted to touch on location. We're in the heart of Four Ways. Talk to me about why this location and what this location is going to offer different people who are going to move in here. Okay, so what the Lensha does is we try to get the, in the heart, like you said, in the heart of Four Ways. Everything is closed by, we have Monty Casino closed by, we have Leaping Club, we have Cedar Squage. Everything is within the area so about 10 minutes away from the high res as well. So everything is, like it's a very lively neighborhood as well. So we try and keep everything within the area for 10, 10 kilometers, I guess. Well, on that note, I think it's time to take a look at the units. Two bathroom offerings. Let's take a look. So outside a really nice feature that I've found is it actually placed the geyser and the gas outside of the unit. So you never need to worry about a geyser burst. You never need to worry about a gas leak. It's placed outside the unit completely safe and there are two lockable doors, which is really nice to know. And here we are, ladies and gentlemen, unit number one. The door that I've seen that they've done something different with is they've actually put skirting around the door, which is really nice, looks really unique. And also it does look luxurious like Monty mentioned. Really sturdy door, really nice lock. Come on in. The kitchen immediately, you can see they've taken a lot of time and they've paid a lot of attention to detail. We've got some beautiful Caesar stone countertops. The water doesn't come with the house.  They're gonna make you feel like an occasion. But as I mentioned, they've got beautiful Caesar stone countertops. They've got soft closing doors. You don't need to worry about the slam when you're cooking, when you're getting ready, when you're getting your Jamie Oliver on. We've all done it. We've opened the door, a drawer and slammed the clothes. You don't need to worry about it. They have thought of that. Another thing that they've thought of and this does come standard, ladies and gentlemen. The only option that's included in the price is this right here, guess where the fridge is. Built-in fridge, right there, hidden away. So you don't need to worry about anything unsightly. Spoiling the attention to detail, they've paid you. Again, you've got a double base and really big, really easy. Nice to know. Space for an appliance. But not just one appliance, two appliances. Here is your dishwasher. Also, hidden away, you don't need to worry about it. As you carry on, four-top stove burner. And another thing that really speaks volumes about the attention to detail, they've paid, is these are your holders for your spice trays, for your serving spoons. And not only can you move them around, you can also take them right off. Take them outside to where you're gonna have a bribe that we'll be talking about in the garden area, just a bit, and then you put this down. Another thing I do want to show you is this is your extractor. It turns on immediately when you put it up and when you put it back in, it turns off. Comes with a light, there's a switch here and a switch there that controls speeds as well. That's all four-top. That's a really cool attention to detail and I must admit, I love it. Let's move on to the lounge seat. Now, the wall color is not standard, but it does showcase you just how nice and just how much time you can put into making this your home. Here we go, massive lounge, especially for these types of units. Usually when you're purchasing units into these complexes, you need to worry about the size and yeah, you don't. These are very, very spacious. You can easily fit one of your L-shaped cartridges in here. This is your wall unit. This, again, does not come standard, but it's here to give you an idea of what you can do in these units. Plane to space, as we've seen. Another feature I want to point out that my camera man's gonna turn around, is to get a look at the beautiful chandeliers there in the kitchen. Absolutely stunning. Now, plenty of space, plenty of light. There's also something I've found, specifically when I'm looking for my own homes, that there's a lot of trouble finding homes that are water floor, ground floor, with light. And there's plenty of light in here. So, a window here, here's your sliding door to go to the garden area, which I'm very keen for you to see.  You've got a storage cupboard here, for a little bit more stuff that you don't want to bring in doors, you don't want to do to your house. Let's take a look at the garden. Massive, wrap around garden. As you can see, this is not something that comes standard with every single house. So, it's very nice to see how Glenccia has optimised their usage of space to make sure that they can give the ground floor units gardens like this. Let's take a look at how far this goes. Right over here is another feature that I quite like. And that is, it's a space to put your laundry. It's not going to dirty the garden, it's not going to mess up your feng shui, you've got a little spot here, you can put your laundry, you can put some other stuff here that you'd like to store. Really nice to see their utilisation of space. And here we go, the backside of the patio leads us straight into the master bedroom. A theme of plenty of space for your kings and your queen-sized beds and a bathroom en suite. Now, the bathroom, the first thing I want to mention is really solid door, beautiful. And another thing that you've seen that pay attention to is the mirror. For everybody purchasing this as a couple, you know your wife or your girlfriend is going to love doing their makeup in a mirror like this. You've got a shower in and a walk-in shower, massive, beautiful, really nice. Some storage in the back for your laundry bin and we're going to go and take a look at our second bedroom. Here we are second bedroom, again, nice, soft-closed cabinets. Another thing I want to point out is how much thought went into the plug positionings in your bedrooms. It's something you don't think of until you need it and you can see that there's a plug point here. There's also two plug points on either side of the bed. So if you do want to put up your flash bin TV or watch some TV in bed on those rainy stormy nights you can, you've got plug points for your lamps, you don't need to worry about this. And once again, huge, high ceilings, big, big bedrooms and this is the second bedroom. So it's really nice to see that that's available. Let's take a look at the bathroom. Second bathroom comes again with a beautiful mirror that turns on. You've got a shower and you've got a ball. And what's really nice about the shower is it really is a special occasion when you can open your doors just like that. So it's really nice to see the thought that they put in there. Here we are with Loretto Jander. Loretto is also one of the sales executives for Galencia. And Loretto, I wanted to ask you, what is your favorite feature of this house? Favorite feature of Palm View is, I think it's everything. It's everything. The way they've done this development is absolutely spectacular. I think if I were to name a few, would be the signature mirrors. Yeah, because I mean makeup facials. I even like the signature mirrors. Yeah, right. The cabinets, the appliances that they have fitted into the units. That's also something very unique, not everything I look into. So those are like my main, main ones, but everything is beautiful here. And those are also quite big selling points. When customers come to you and they see this, those are the things that captures their heart and makes them want to buy it. So if I want to purchase into you, when can I move in? When is this development ready? Is it ready currently? So we have phases that are available. We do have people already living in the stage that is phase one, phase two. We are finishing phase three and four, and phase five as well. So there's five phases in most development. And ideally they will be completed by February. Completely by February. Yes, but once we're done with the phase, people are able to move in. So there's still time. If you aren't there and you're busy selling your house and you're looking for your next unit, there is still time. Contact Loretto. Loretto, the other thing I want to ask is for our viewers who are still on the wall and they're looking at this and are like, this is absolutely stunning. But I want to take a look at some other freestanding houses. You know, maybe I still want to talk about what are the pros of purchasing within the development, within the sustain, within Palm View, over just purchasing a normal house on the side of the road you're moving in there? With Palm View and probably purchasing with development, I would always say it's more for security purposes. I mean, we've seen in videos, trending of like housebreakers, it's more on the stand alone home. So I think here you actually have much more security because there's neighbors and you also have a body corporate that governs the estate. So yeah, in those, I would say that actually is one of the pros of buying within a development. I've also noticed CCTV around here. Yes, so we have CCTVs around and we have put it for our security, boundary walls, more in the security side. So there's very intense security. So no reason to even lock it or CCTV. Another thing I wanted to ask you is from an investment perspective, what makes this a good investment? Because when you're purchasing, I think a lot of people, especially the newer generation, is trying to look at houses and say, hey, this is a nice place I want to live. But what happens in 10, 15 years, something when I sell, am I going to be selling something that's going to be difficult to sell? So from an investment point of view, how is this looking? Okay, first of all, I think let me just say investing with property is one of the best investments that anyone can look into, rather than investing your money on shares or anything like that, which could obviously go up and down at any time, but with property, I mean, you are secured in putting your money in the spot. So with this development, it is in four ways and it's closer to Lensiria. Lensiria is going to be an international airport. So a lot of people are going to be moving this side. So investing here and probably in 10, 15 years time, your property, sorry, would have that all by then. Yeah, you mentioned that Lensiria airport and I think it's so crucial actually, because a lot of people might forget or not even know that with the four ways more remodeling, with Lensiria going to become an international airport, we're staying city just up the road. I think any property you purchase in four ways is going to be a good investment because everything is going to double in value. We've heard so many times, we've read people saying, this is going to be the next center. Four ways is going to be the next central business district. So really it's so nice to see that Glensiria is not only going to be able to put in a state in four ways because land is at a premium, put it at such an affordable price and make it so big. How did you guys manage to make these units so long? Okay, so in previous developments that way we did, we used to kind of make the space smaller and have more units, but with Palm View, it was a little bit of a different approach. We decided on having only 189 units in this development. So that's something very unique. And also we've given more space inside the homes, outside the homes. So people don't feel like they need to leave their homes just to get air, at least you have the air inside and outside your home.  No, it's stunning in here. Another question I wanted to ask is for first-time buyers, you've told me it's a bit of a passion of yours, you know, helping these first-time buyers achieve their dreams. What advice would you give them? If there was one piece of advice or even two, if you've got more, what advice would you give first-time buyers who are looking to purchase into property? Okay, so one of the first advice is that if you have good credit history, let's talk. We always are open for consultation. We do require $20,000 in deposit, which is refundable to whoever would have bought the home. We would take it through a process of obviously applying for a bond. We have a specific bond department that we do that for the people. So we would coach people from the beginning to the end of the process. So no need to worry for first-time buyer. I know people sometimes want to buy without getting the proper consultation. So we would take them through that, even guide them through the whole process of purchasing and even with the handle of the home. It's really nice to see the amount of effort that Galeensche puts into dealing with their clients and making sure they're comfortable throughout the process because a lot of people are scared of getting into that situation. We have now put them off into purchase and as soon as everything's signed and sealed, you don't really hear from your estate agent or your realtor. They're not really interested in taking you further or even interested in helping you achieve the dream and making sure you're comfortable in that. So it's really nice to hear the amount of effort Galeensche puts into it. Yeah, we definitely go all out. We believe in keeping good relationships. It's actually one of our taglines. Say good people with good people, good business with good business. You know, it's very nice to hear that you do that because you made some time for us today to come. You put the show house on pause so that we can do this and show that the clients can jump on to private property, what they can get into if they go down this road to Galeensche. And that leads me to my last question. Before we cut and take a greater view of this estate and that is you've got a relationship with private property. You've had it for quite some time now. How has it helped your marketing? How has it helped? I don't think we would be selling out as much as we are without private property. Honestly speaking, even with this development, as much as we are still business friends, but we're almost sold out. So that's how much private property has been helped. A lot of help to us. So yeah. All right, I love you, and I hope we continue to have you sold out. I know that you obviously now finishing up with this development. What other developments has Galeensche very planned? Okay, so we have plans to develop early next year in Medrant. We will have a beautiful, beautiful property in palm view standard, if not better in Medrant. And we also have plans to develop in Cape Town, Durban, and Pretoria. Well, there you go, ladies and gentlemen. Galeensche knows exactly what they're doing. 14 developments previously. This is now coming into their 15th and 16th, as Loretto has mentioned. Guys, let's take a look around palm view, explore with us, and we hope to see you next time on The Developer Show. Loretto, thank you so much. Thank you so much. I'm going to wait to see the other ones. All right, let me show you around then. Everyone at home, thank you, and goodbye.


Armaf Aura.  One of my more successful videos on my channel was my top 10 favorite Armaf fragrances. I'm always trying to make that list a little better for next year 2021. I don't know really what's going on with Armaf lately because Armaf used to be a fragrance house that all their fragrances cost $20, $30, $35 at least near me and then they come out with Club Dinawea Intense Man it gets hyped just through the roof and then they come out with all these new Club Dinawea's like Club Dinawea's Sillage, Club Dinawea Milestone, Club Dinawea Intense Man EDP and then you go online and the bottles are like $70, $80. I just think the quality of Armaf isn't going to go up it's going to stay the same they're really only going up in price because people are hyping them and it's like wow really unfortunate that Armaf is kind of turning from cheap fragrances almost into Chanel prices. I mean there's a lot of designers even around $50 that are nice and you're jumping all the way from like $20 to $30 up to like $80 but anyways a little bit of Armaf rant. This one was a pretty affordable fragrance I think I got this for about $20 or $21 on eBay. This fragrance has lots and lots of similarities to Invictus as a fragrance that I did not want another copy of. This isn't 100% like Invictus but it really just has that Invictus style vibe 100%. I've already had two different copies from Armaf the copies Invictus and I do like Invictus however I would much rather than copy niche fragrances than designer fragrances because I can go pick up Invictus for about $50. This one has a lot of similarities to Invictus and I was really a little turned off by that. I know another fragrance reviewer said he stopped buying Armaf's because they had too many Invictus clones and I totally see where they're coming from here because it has that Invictus vibe it does have a few nice things about it and I didn't look up the notes online but to me I just get a very Invictus style smell but there's a little bit more spiciness to it. I guess the typical Invictus style smell would be like this sweet mandarin orange and blue aqua style scent. Just a very classic likable sweeter style fragrance. This one has a little bit more spiciness and maybe 5% maybe 10% of this what reminds me of a peach style musk. That does make a smell a little bit different but overall it's generally that Invictus style vibe to me personally. The pros is that it has a very likable smell. I would say the likability is probably the highest on here because it smells similar to Invictus and it's just a very likable fragrance overall. I got to give it props for that. They did a few tweaks to the Invictus DNA. Like I said it smells a tad bit more spicy and I also smell a little bit of that peach musk in there which is a little bit different but it overall doesn't really take that much away from the original Invictus smell. I would say it's probably 85 to 95% very very similar to Invictus. The last pro of this fragrance as I would say it's very affordable very cheap $20 smells very good. I always really like how Armalve they try and sometimes they fail I'll give it that but I like how they always kind of try to come out with a new style bottle something you haven't seen before. This bottle looks pretty good I know it's all about the juice but it's a pretty decent style bottle especially for $20. A lot of fragrance houses when they're just coming in they have like all the same exact kind of bottle and they just print something else on the bottle so like all the bottles are the same. Every bottle on this is different so I got to appreciate that. The cons is not too many you could kind of already guess what they would be is that it smells like an Invictus and Invictus costs about 50 or 55 dollars so I don't really want to pay for a copy of Invictus unless it smells like really good or better than Invictus. To me this is around the same style smell and around the same longevity and projection if not a tad bit weaker than Invictus so it copies a cheaper fragrance it copies a fragrance that they've copied way too many times as it is and then also the longevity and projection I would say this is right down the middle average I would say maybe Invictus might project a little bit more than this but again these sweet aquatics they're it's very hard to get that sweet juicy aquatics smell to last even more than like two or three hours almost every fragrance type smell that has it almost can't last very long because of that sweet likable blue smell I mean even Invictus aqua Invictus aqua was notorious for being very very strong especially when it first came out but it had a little bit of roughness to give it that extra strength then when you smooth it out and get it like this it just doesn't last forever it's not really this fragrance it's fault but it was an average projection overall for the smell I'll give this between a 7.5 and to an 8 7.5 overall because it's supposed to like Invictus but then maybe up to an 8 because they did do a couple of other zesty things in there but unfortunately not enough to break it out of anything special and I would say 7.5 to an 8 feels good for me for the smell likability 8 to an 8.5 very good definitely its strongest point I think a lot of people will like this a lot of people already like Invictus it just works it is likable 8 to an 8.5 for likability and then for longevity and projection 6.5 to a 7 feels good for me this is very very right down the middle average as far as longevity and projection it did smell good I was just was really turned off when I first smelled it it smelled exactly like an Invictus I think I even put this fragrance aside for a few days because I'm like another Invictus clone I already kind of have an idea of what it's going to do it's not a bad fragrance I just wish that they wouldn't copy Invictus so much I already have an El Silo which is kind of similar to Invictus our mobs rixos man which is already similar to Invictus closer to Invictus Aqua but I don't really want to spend more than $50 on in our mauve fragrance I ended up spending $50 on Club D Nui Milestone and I really really enjoyed Club D Nui Intense Man and I really really enjoy Miliseum Imperial which is supposed to copy I definitely think it will make my top 10 our mauve list we'll just have to see exactly how good it is and I also have some Miliseum Imperial clones so I'll test it against those but anyways guys our mauves or right down the middle not really bad just disappointed that it smells like Invictus but anyways guys let me know what fragrance I should try next I don't even want to spend $50 for in our mauve to me the max I would ever want to pay is $35 that's just me but let me know what you think of the video let me know what video I should shoot next and let me know what fragrance I should review next we're on the road to 25,000 subscribers we're almost there and I couldn't do without any of you guys so hope you guys are the best I'm having a great day out here hopefully I'm having a great day at home see you on the next video peace


is a presentation of T F N N. Trading hour with your host, David White. Call now toll free at 1<PHONE_NUMBER> internationally at<PHONE_NUMBER>. Now, David White. And welcome all to another exciting edition of the Power Trading Hour with me, David White. And as always, we come to you at this time. The following takes place between 2 p.m. and 3 p.m. So what do we have? Well, we've got a light volume bounce of about 10 points. The pattern has been to sell the clothes are late in the day. Of course, today is the first day of options roll out. So we're going to have a little bit of a break. Wednesday takes us into the true direction of the market, so we may have a little bit to go. But if today's higher, I'm looking for tomorrow to be lower. Maybe we go back to Friday's low or even low, you know, that's maybe. 2760 or something. So we're going to have to set up a lower close. Basically, they think 2900 is where the market is headed. So about 86 points in the cash lower than we're trading at right now. Of course, we're up, but volume is not very good. In fact, we had about two. Excuse me. We had about 3.6 3.7 billion shares. When we started on Friday, we had about 3.6 3.7 billion shares. Now, so it certainly looks unless something dramatically changes that will have lighter volume than the last two Fridays, which is, you know, light volume can be a curse and a blessing. If the markets higher, we've made at least attempted to make a high and hold it a couple of times, but there isn't a lot of money. There's going to be some earnings. Not much after the bell tonight. Got TD America trade TD Ameritrade and Whirlpool. As the two after the after tonight tomorrow Lockheed Martin and Biogon Biogen Centine Corporation, Harley Davidson jet blue Hasbro Sherman Williams biopolaris CIT Lincoln electric holdings. Got a lot of that in the afternoon tomorrow. We go to snap visa Chipotle I robot Texas Instruments Edward Life Sciences we get into Wednesday morning and that is Boeing AT&T Caterpillar United Parcel Services, Northrop Grumman. So a lot of the biggies most of the defense stocks most of the airliner stocks that trade publicly. We got Freeport Mack Moran at 8 a.m. on Wednesday.  We're going to have a lot of individual stocks. What we're going to have is a lot of either Fed speak because they're in the quiet period. And certainly right now it looks like the president's in. I mean, probably not going to tweet a lot about the Fed is not going to do him any good. They can't respond. So probably not a lot on that farm. It's just going to be straight earnings and from Microsoft had a major reversal come Friday. You had a little bounce out here today. But that candle is not good. You had a lot of volume. It was all the way down. You got a little candle on the way up today on very light of volume. I'm still looking for this thing to come out.  But give you a little idea to sell the news and nothing new there in Steve Rhodes show earlier in the day. Steve Rhodes. He's a major في producing Crude Index and yes, that is basically the price. That that shippers pay for bulk. wheat. Corn. Anything you can fit in the ship iron.  And, of course, what has happened is that there's been a change for a global change actually to reduce the amount of sulfur in the fuels that tow this stuff around. They've allowed to have 3.5% sulfur in the fuel oil, and that's going to half a percent. But apparently only about 5% of the ships have been set up to do it. The question is whether or not they're just going to wait everybody out and say, up yours, we're not going to spend all this money, and you guys can all starve if you don't like it. But I don't know if, you know, when you actually look at what's going on, this is the organization that's part of the UN that basically said you got to do this by 2020. Don't know if they didn't give them enough time, or the owners just think that if they don't do anything, that when everybody starts starving and wheat and corn and iron didn't come, and the world economies collapse, that the people at the UN will just cry uncle and it'll all be over. But like I said, I think it's, I've read three articles. I've been trying to find out who actually had ships that already comply, but it seems to be a job that either I didn't do well, or maybe it's just not known, but certainly no one's talking about which ships are and which ships aren't. Many people thought that the big move was because there was a huge amount of demand for new bulk shipping stuff, but the reality is no. It's just those folks are starting to charge more and more for ships that can go to certain countries and tie up without the UN throwing a net over the boat. I don't see a lot in that. I talked to a couple of people that are big into the commodities business. They all understand it and they all say the same thing. There is no play. So I don't think you can directly play the Baltic dry index. I haven't seen ETF for it. If anybody finds one, give me call at<PHONE_NUMBER>, but yes, quite a move. If you don't know what it is, or you don't have a chart, if you email me at path of tfnn.com, I'll be glad to send you a link to a website that does have that chart so you can take a look at it. Path of tfnn.com,<PHONE_NUMBER>. If you're not currently using the TAS Profile Scanner when looking at setting up your trading opportunities, then your arsenal is short a mighty weapon. The TAS Profile Scanner is a standalone piece of software that instantly filters over 2,500 global financial markets such as stocks, ETFs, commodity futures, and forex. Heated by Steve Dahl, TAS understands that in today's technological world, the use of top flight software applications and technical analysis expertise is essential to successful trading in today's market. You also gain access to the webinar that Steve Dahl and Tom O'Brien just hosted, the best way to use the TAS Profile Scanner to profit. This webinar archive is available for all subscribers immediately upon signing up. All new subscriptions also come with a 30-day money-back guarantee so you have nothing to risk. Start your subscription by visiting the front page of tfnn.com today and you'll find the TAS Profile Scanner under the Services tab. Sign up today. Are you in the market for buying or selling real estate in the Bay Area, including the surrounding St. Petersburg, Tampa, and Clearwater markets? Tiger Real Estate LLC is a firm that has extensive experience in the Tampa Bay Area. Whether you're looking to sell your current property for maximum value or you're in the market for a second home or investment property, Tiger Realty has the experience across all areas of real estate in the Tampa Bay Area to help buyers and sellers make the most informed decisions across all price levels. From the price you should be paying per square foot in certain up-and-coming areas to the type of cash flow investment properties are capable of creating, Tiger Real Estate can help you make the best decision when it comes to all areas of the market. Before you make one of the biggest decisions of your financial future, call Tiger Real Estate LLC today at<PHONE_NUMBER> or email us at tiger at tfnn.com. That's<PHONE_NUMBER>. Call us today. Many of our new listeners have heard about the Tiger's Den. 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Call now toll free at 1-877-927-6648 internationally at<PHONE_NUMBER>. And a little bit more discussion during the break and Tiger's Den about this issue with the ships and that is you can either use cleaner, more expensive oil that only has a half a percent of sulfur or you can buy what is the equivalent of a giant catalytic converter to put on these giant ships. But there isn't enough of the clean oil and there aren't enough companies that build these scrubbers and there isn't enough time to put them on the ships. So who knows what happens on January 1st of 2020. But if you believe everybody it's all about the it's all about the ships that can go into certain ports and those that can't because some places have already said you can't come into our port if you don't have the half percent or equivalent of sulfur coming out. And of course that's to go after you know acid rain all that kind of stuff. But the question is whether or not and how long people are willing to wait to get this turned over and whether or not you actually start seeing people board ships and find them or revoke their insurance or all the other things that can happen. Generally I like to see things like this that have happened before. So you know how they play out because there's generally a way in these businesses where things don't quite work the way that you think they are. I've looked at this problem since I started seeing these articles back at the 1st of May and I don't see a clear signal in any way that that's got to happen to OK what else do we have. Let's do a little history. We'll move on to some charts today got a colors lined up all week. I think got one today at 2 30 got one today or got one at Thursday. A lot of people calling in this week. The following takes place between 2 p.m. and 3 p.m. Oh that is it. We wanted to do history is nothing but history repeating it on this day in 1934. In Chicago's biography theater nor notorious criminal John Dillinger Americans public enemy number one is killed in a hill of bullets fired by federal agents in a fiery bank robbing career that lasted just over a year. Dillinger and his associates robbed 11 banks for more than three hundred thousand dollars broke jail and narrowly escaped capture multiple times killing seven police officers and three federal agents over that one year span on today in 1934 course. What else can you say. Let's go to some charts started looking at charts earlier in the day. Again we've already had a lot of signals and many of these and the question is what are we going to get out of them. As we talked about it for a while this Abel Marie Abel Marie Al B's assemble on it. The company that basically sells lithium and mines lithium gap down on 5 8 which was made the 8th for those in and Luke's Florida and we are back into that gap now it did come down with that almost four million shares Friday went into it with 1.4 million shares today we've got about a million shares it did spike it kind of reverse out here. One of the interesting stories with everything pushing Tesla was the amount of batteries that everybody was going to need a lot of new products new cars coming out and being introduced over the next few weeks and into September for the 2020 model year on cars at least in the United States and a lot of these are getting test driven and we're starting to see videos of them and reviews from track and driver and that kind of stuff.  Anyway what we have in this of course the big lithium companies and you look at the movement that we had in Tesla back off the lows you're up to 262 today which is really back into a lot of this resistance that came in on the way down. Now the story on this one of course is that China is going to be buying all these cars now that the US is not and of course there's a lot of rumors that Tesla has been shipping as many cars as they could possibly build. Quality has suffered and the question is as we get new electric cars from other manufacturers in fact there's man what have I seen so far? Seeing the BMW very nice car seeing the Audi very nice car seeing the many from BMW also a fairly interesting car. The question is how much is too much and what it's going to do when these cars start getting pushed the EPA is going to make you sell a certain amount of electric cars so that you can sell cars that people want to actually buy that burn gas like that Corvette. Anyway the the push out here is on that but right now I don't know if you can believe all the stories you hear about deliveries I'm not seeing a whole bunch of new ones on the street but certainly the question is how many will these folks be able to sell in China. Of course the absolutely outrageous amount of pollution in China many people estimate that of the pollution in the world 90% of it comes from China right now so us actually doing anything or all the other countries that like to do a lot of hangling and ringing probably not going to change a great deal of what happens unless China gets on the stick. Now they're doing a lot more nuclear and I think they've got four new nuclear plants before the end of this year the big problem they have is everything they all the electric power generation is coal so it's not really going to change anything in fact it may make it worse when Tesla electric cars other than they're just not you know you're putting out coal based pollution or gasoline based pollution one or the other in putting a Tesla on the road in China the reality you know that is always where the rubber hits the road squirrel powered. Yeah gotta have some squirrel stew made by granny remember she was always having squirrel stew. Anyway Tesla is kind of back up into this resistance area we covered it after being short for about $340 down into the 230 area in the tech insider because I mean it just looked like the weakest thing in the world not surprised that you got a fairly big bounce because of course it's got back up to somewhere around 40% short interest and even the worst country in the world can have a huge bounce when almost half of all the shares are shorted we will be back and I think we got a caller getting ready in the wings and we'll wrap up the next segment with that one. Path of least resistance is David White's daily trading newsletter and if you're looking for active trading ideas then now's a perfect time for a 30 day free trial to this powerful daily trading advisory service. David uses his years of trading experience to offer his subscribers his trading ideas each morning in his path of least resistance newsletter. Using a combination of equity trades along with options David keeps his subscribers up to date with all pertinent market information with intraday afternoon updates when warranted. Don't miss out on this great chance to get a 30 day free trial to David's daily newsletter the path of least resistance with no obligation to pay anything. David has been delivering solid recommendations for his subscribers recently and if you'd like to see the type of newsletter he delivers every morning then visit the front page of TFNN and you'll find the path of least resistance under trading newsletters for all the details and to start your 30 day free trial today log on to TFNN.com now. Hi folks Tom O'Brien here if you'd like to get my daily newsletter market insights now is a great time to sign up for a 30 day free trial every morning by 9 30 I send out my morning letter to subscribers with market commentary on a variety of markets currencies and commodities to keep investors up to date on the day's trading action included in market insights are specific buy and sell recommendations for stocks ETFs and even options which stops and price targets included for every trade in my newsletter if you'd like to try my newsletter risk free for 30 days then head over to the front page of TFNN and you'll find market insights under trading newsletters. 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get your copy of the art of timing the trade charts today by visiting TFNN.com this segment is brought to you by think or swim for more information just click the think or swim banner on the front page of TFNN.com and I think it was last week that John from Philadelphia a caller to TFN occasionally said that he had been trading some of the bitcoin futures and I wanted to get at least a little idea about what his impressions are of trading it before but I think we've got him on the line right now how you doing today John David I'm very well thanks for taking the call on yes indeed I'd like to talk bitcoin cryptocurrencies and actually cryptographic keys to distributed ledger technology instruments yes David I will first tell you I I'm indebted to you for what you did back in the fourth quarter of 2013 where you did a series of shows where you gave tutorials explaining what in fact bitcoin was at the time and I had put just a frankly a trivial amount of money near Christmas of that year going through that brand new brokerage called Coinbase which was launched I think in that year and then scaled out of that in 2017 and you know it was worth my time but didn't have enough to make any sizable dome but that's just a bit of history um after bitcoin surged this year from that three oh 3,500 level up to 19,000 June 26 I think was the day of the peak I was I was curious and looking at the futures contract which I had never traded just to be clear and that changed for me when I saw a setup Monday July 15th just a week ago where it looked like there was the potential for a a b equal cd decline pattern possibly completing so I took a stab on Monday the 15th and then again it was either Wednesday yeah it was Wednesday and had two trades uh both profitable uh but once again nothing to uh write home about and uh so that was my first experience I just share that with you what's the margin right now I'm sorry what's the margin on those and that is a very good question uh right now the the July bitcoin futures contract trading at 10,200 there that contract is five bitcoin large so you're talking five times 10 grand or a notional value of $50,000 uh per contract and here's the thing David there's no leverage allowed in that to speak of the uh uh the initial margin through the uh the uh the broker that I prefer to use the uh the margin is 30 grand uh to trade the $50,000 uh contract so it's about 60 percent of of what you have exactly yeah exactly so uh you can't whatever it to speak of back to and now going back to the point is this an instrument that I conclude is uh tradable and for me my uh and of course I was not paying attention to this much back in January February when it was below four when it would have paid to do so that said when we get up to these levels you know five digits given that this uh this instrument can move five percent literally within 10 minutes it did so in fact last week on Thursday uh for me I conclude you know given the the very high margin given the abruptness of the moves there is just frankly at these price levels no way to trade this with risk control parameters that I that I use and I've developed over the years what I just shared I share that with you and your listeners for what it's worth what's uh what's uh the mission on the trading is it like everything else or was it more expensive no it's uh you know through a uh discount broker uh it's you know it's inconsequential so that's not the issue okay I didn't know you know if they were charging more to get into that so now other than the fact that at the moment this thing is way too volatile uh to trade and the margin really means that you're putting up all your money you might as well trade the actual underlying and buy bitcoins and sell bitcoins right exactly yes and and for uh furthermore at these price levels that's right uh yet uh going through a brokerage such as Coinbase and I believe David Coinbase is uh run by a former TD Ameritrade executives who's got experience in running a brokerage with all the regulatory compliance work but um so so that for example is a broker out there who offers the service of of uh of trading uh physical well physical physical Bitcoin like and that is a uh that is a non sequitur I uh I understand but have you tried actually shorting it I have not shorted the futures nor I've ever shorted the Bitcoin itself no yeah I've got that's the one part that I keep looking at and I can't find any good information on what they do allow and what they don't allow for shorting on things like Coinbase but right again I haven't even I want to be motivated with with just that little uh description of what I've discovered sharing with you and your listeners I wanted to pose a question to you just about uh cryptographic keys um I'll share this here's my working hypothesis my hypothesis is Bitcoin was an invention by people who won't reveal themselves uh to prototype um distributed ledger technology safeguarded by digital keys that is my working hypothesis and then of course we've had the uh the invention and rollout of other things like ethereum and litecoin ripple as well but as this process has evolved of course we all have read that the likes of JP Morgan bank have created their own uh DLT system with its cryptographic keys which they call a version of stablecoin and various central banks around the globe uh uh discuss their uh work in that area and my question is David has the state of the arts in this cryptographic technology advanced such that ethereum ripple bitcoin litecoin just will have no place uh other than speculative trading vehicles in you know a digital monetary system you have any thoughts on that we'll have to answer that question on the other side of this break be back in thank you during the cd market and looking for a secure investment the tiger first mortgage program may work for you the security for these first mortgages are building lots in the tax opportunity zone in st 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discussions about this or always wondered what bitcoin really was it is a idea of having money that is virtual but that there is a way of having the books open to everybody that trades it so they know how many different coins or dollars but they call it coins and bitcoin and where it goes and of course we've got a kind of a different issue here in that you can use blockchain for different purposes other than trading cash a lot of people have been thinking about how to tell everybody at the at the property office who owns what parcel of land and there's been a lot of thoughts on you know doing this now the problem with the original bitcoin is that you have to have the bitcoin database since day one which was problematic and that database just gets larger and larger and unwieldy and of course the idea was that you could use this like a credit card and just buy things well it's gone and it's been a long time since you could get a transaction handled in a second but now it takes much longer so people are looking to fix a lot of the flaws in the original bitcoin system microsoft and oracle are both working on databases that have elements of being able to share the ledgers for who owns what in a traditional database and the idea on that is that you could just update the transactions on the database instead of trying to have to eat the entire thing every time you want to update the ledger and again those features in a traditional database are probably the way I think things are going to end up for the end the long term there's a few things where a blockchain makes a lot of sense there's also a thing called a merkle tree which makes a little bit more sense but these are all just ways of having a secret number that proves that you bought something or that you sold something or that someone owes you something but I don't know if there's a lot out there to to say that anything is dramatically changed other than facebook saying that they're going to come out with their own system unclear whether it's based on oracle or microsoft or their own internal issues but you know what the problem is that you always have to rely on something that could go away it's not only trust it's trust with something that can easily go away like a thumb drive or a cd or anything else and that continues to be one of the biggest problems is that you can just flip on a light and everything could be gone you've got no real proof other than the electronic proof that you had and be very careful in any of these systems in the fact that most of these or let me put it most of these I'm going to say three fours of the coin based things have ended up being a scam to one level or another and you know if you I guess the people at facebook think that if you if they were behind it that you could trust that it would be a real thing but again I don't think anybody in government is going to let them anywhere near it so it continues to be an issue the number one purpose for bitcoin was sending money to people that you didn't want to be able to have them trace your cash uh drug dealers now that that has become not much of a real use case anymore since the government can actually find anybody that used or did a transaction those days are gone it has become kind of a trading vehicle companies like what is it I'll think of the symbol here but it was uh you know they uh under oh overstock.com that's what I was thinking about they made kind of a claim that you know they were going to be the first big company to accept bitcoin and for some reason that was going to be a big deal we found out that that was untrue and sometimes you just have great technology that never finds the real killer application a killer application in bitcoin was avoiding the IRS and the feds for selling illegal things and doing illegal things now the use case has changed mostly to dist an issue of trading and yeah you know the biggest thing I can say is that when we look at the price of bitcoin these days is over eight thousand dollars suddenly we're starting to see signs from AMD and others that bitcoin mining is back especially where electricity is incredibly cheap the bitcoin miners are like in the nor region countries where a kilowatt hour is like half a cent or a cent or two compared to the five to ten cents that we see here in the United States those guys are back at it because above eight grand they can make money and I think that's the only thing that's truly changed anytime in the in the recent past anyway we'll get back here we're up seven on the S&P cash no juice all day long again some earnings tonight a lot more tomorrow and I think that's going to put the pale on it as I've looked at options in fact why don't we go ahead and show those I will bring it up do I have time yeah a minute we'll look at what option market makers are thinking as of Friday see did I get it no that would it maybe it's here see if I can find it here we have time you still got a minute I don't know I didn't want to do that yeah come on see if I can get it done then there we go and still have a little time here left we'll zoom on it right now when we look at options as I said the option market makers are pretty sure that we're probably headed a little bit lower this is a fairly decent pattern for this time in options expiration the options expiration cycle but there's continued to look at lower prices right now we're down about 291 on the spies and that sets up well about 70 points lower for the bias right now we'll see after earnings but they're a little concerned that a few people are going to miss and or people will take a chance to sell the news and we will look at that when we come back I'm certain you are or strive to be one of the best of the best at everything you do in life it's the most common trait that we tigers and tigers share if you're looking to become the best of the best when it comes to managing your money let me teach you to do what most wealth managers tell you can't be done which is how to time the markets I'm Steve Rhodes author of mastering probability and for the last 12 months timer digest has been tracking my newsletter signals which have earned me the ranking as their number one market timer in the nation for the s&p 500 for the last 12 6 and 3 months timer digest also ranks me as the number one market timer for gold as well the fact is markets can be timed and I'll teach you the exact set of tools that I use that has transformed me into one of the best at what I do sign up for mastering probability today by clicking on the newsletter tab on the homepage of tfn.com and get immediate access to workshops where I take you step by step how to use an extraordinary set of tools as well as provide great market calls to sign up today David White's newsletter the technology insider is focused like a laser on finding the next big things in technology if you had invested only $10,000 in Microsoft in 1986 you'd have been a millionaire by 2000 disruptive technology like Microsoft's is the key to these massive long-term profits and the tech insider is the vehicle from tfn and to capitalize on these opportunities this is the go-to newsletter that identifies monitors and profits on mostly little known cutting-edge companies with great long-term prospects David's experience is as an inventor of Emmy-winning animation products for TV and Hollywood that propelled a company public match that with 14 years as a full-time trader and he's uniquely qualified to guide you through the light speed world of ever-evolving high tech if you're ready to ride the next big technology bull market for less than $40 per month log on to tfn and dot com and get your two-week free trial to the technology insider get in on the ground floor of the next big thing today since 1984 Basil Chapman has been using the Chapman Wave methodology to advise traders of his expert market opinion while originally hand drawing charts from the late 1970s into the 1980s Basil noticed that prices under most circumstances virtually always had a certain number of legs to the upside before declining sharply later Basil found that computer software which included the standard market technical indicators enhanced the degree of accuracy and calling price turns as well as market trend calls thus was born the Chapman Wave sequence using the Chapman Wave methodology along with other indicators Basil Chapman advises his subscribers of his expert market opinion each market day with his opening call newsletter right now you can get a two-week free trial to the opening call Basil's daily trading newsletter by visiting the front page of tfn and dot com cancel at any time during that trial and pay absolutely nothing get your two-week free trial to Basil's newsletter the opening call today by visiting tfn and dot com catch Tom O'Brien professional trader and educator founder of tfn and also a special guest on CNBC Tom will bisect and dissect the markets the Tom O'Brien show next on tfn and as we get ready to wrap up yes facebook did break through the 54 million share high on April 25th with about 15 16 million shares it's not quite closed back below that one 9848 but if it does it did on well it was right at that level on Friday if it does it in a couple of days here you can see the right shoulder and a lot of these things getting ready to come back I suspect we're going to get some news and facebook looks to me like not in the next couple of days but over the coming weeks that this 180 to 185 range is where support is and it may be some news about that we see about this security and privacy I I'm thinking that there's another shoe to drop after the five billion dollar fine to do what else do I want to see beyond me a lot of people have talked about that I don't hear a lot about it in the last couple of days did find it kind of interesting that it's up here testing the previous 24 million share high with about 9 million shares today by nd our bees got a like a billion and a half dollars over the weekend they're going to go up against beyond me and say we've got the meat but a billion and a half doesn't seem like much compared to beyond meat's valuation and you know we've got a lot of these stocks coming out this week we'll see a lot of after action reports but I think by the time we get to Boeing on Wednesday and Wednesday morning I think that's where we're going to find the meat to go back to one of those commercials from the 80 where's the beef I think it's in Wednesday mornings earnings announcements in the meantime so when you can not when you have to we'll see you here tomorrow same bad channel same at bad time and of course hang on for more earnings after the night


Thank you. I guess it's obvious that the Roundbarrel Mound or Barrel Hüggigrat or Mojilla or Tumul is probably the most common type of archaeological object covering Europe, where Timutudar will identify the Atlantic, Nordic, Central, Mediterranean and Eastern European Barrels regions. The results I would like to share with you are connected with my country of the region, Republic of Moldova, which is part of the last one, Eastern European Zone. This study I started together with our national agency for archaeology of Moldova and the main task was the monitoring of the Barrel Mounds of Moldova of the region for further protection. Then I expanded the area of research to have more relevant picture and now the area of study is limited to the territory of so-called historical Bessarabia or Northwest Pontic region and is located between Danube, Brut and Nista rivers. It consists of western part of Republic of Moldova and Odessa region of Ukraine. It is known that the earliest Barrels appear first of all in the zones of close interaction of various cultural communities, so the northwestern Black Sea region is no exception. And being the most western periphery of Pontic-Caspian steppe, northwest coast of Black Sea surrounded by Capitan mountains, Danube river and Black Sea. And this led to the fact that the cultural landscape since early per history was influenced by three main factors. The first one, southeastern European or the Balkans, East European steppe factor and Central European forest steppe or even forest region. Therefore, the area of interest could be treated during the various periods like frontier or contact zone or the territory where the cultures meet, clash and grapple with each other, often in the context of highly asymmetrical relations of power. And all this led to the fact that this territory has become an archaeological condyke or the land of the Barrels. According to my calculations, using various satellite images like Astrodem and Google Earth and others, almost 11,000 of Barrel mountains are located on this territory of Nista-Brut, with about 6,300 on the territory of Republic of Moldova and about 4,400 on the territory of Ukraine. And there are about 2.5 Barrels per 100 square kilometers between Nista-Brut, while the average density of Barrel mountains from Moldova is much lower than the percentage and density of the Ukrainian part. The concentration of Barrels also differs in various regions of Ukraine and Moldova. The maximum density was recorded in southern part, it's obvious because it's steppe, and regions of Moldova and Ukraine. The minimum density is documented in the central part, it's also obvious for us because it's forest zone and is associated with forest zone of so-called Kodri of Moldova. And it's clearly seen that the Barrel mountains generally follow a linear pattern and are stretched in lines up to 20 or even 30 kilometers long and are closely related to the relief located on the ridges, watersheds, high plateaus along the rivers. Of course, it is impossible to understand how the territory surrounding Barrel mountains or Barrel grounds is arranged without explaining the role of the Barrels in the ancient landscape. And on the one hand, the Barrel Mount or the Barrel itself could be considered as a social and cultural marker, indicating the presence of cultural communities and the boundaries of these communities. And on the other hand, the reuse of mountains, the expansion of these Barrel lines in following periods by other cultural communities gave the Barrel centers an active mnemonic role in the landscape. The linear nature of the patterns along which the Barrels were constructed doesn't exclude the probable connection with the ancient roads marking probably the roots of migrations or season migrations. And for the study of the plenography of Barrel centers, a sort of cities of debt may also reveal some urban patterns for the communities which did not create long-term settlements. And most of Barrel mountains excavated in the research area are up to 100 meters diameter with an average size of 36 meter. And more than three quarters of all excavated Barrels were constructed once. 13% have the second construction level, 6% have the third, 3% the fourth. A small number of Barrels have five construction levels and there is one exceptional case with seven construction levels. And on average the number of Barrels in one mound is about seven in two-thirds of the excavated mounds. In two-thirds of excavated mounds is the number of documented graves is about 10. There are at least 10 Barrels without any Barrels. Apparently if they were built in Roman period in so called Samatian period and probably for other ritual purposes. More than 30 Barrels in one Barrel were recorded on the Lowered Nester, it's also steppe region. But the biggest number comes from the southern part of Moldova, but the biggest number comes from Ukraine. So an exceptional example was recorded on the Lowered Nester of Ukrainian part. It's 163 graves fixed in one Barrel, you see it's number 14, it's Mologe Barrel ground, Barrel number two. The practice of erecting Barrels in our region in the north-west Pontic area appeared probably not later than in 3900s. In 3800 BC or even earlier in 5th millennium BC. Later the Barrel became an important part of the funeral practice of the various communities. Bronze Age, Iron Age, Roman period, Middle Ages and even in modern period of 18th, 19th century AD. And by the way some of the Barrels are still in use in Moldova because you could see some examples of the first one is monument of the Soviet soldiers. The second one is the music festival around probably the biggest Barrel in Moldova. And the third is a modern cemetery, modern Moldavian cemetery in modern Moldavian village, which lies on the Barrel. Yeah, it's about contemporary use of Barrels. Anyway, we have data on about 400 Barrels excavated on the right-bank territory of Moldova and about 400 Barrels for the territory of Ukraine. So the total number is about 780 of the Barrels. So if we compare to my previous calculations that's less than 7% of excavated Barrels. And according to my data, 2% of Barrel mounts are associated with the initial Neolithic period. Almost a half belong to early Bronze Age and about 10% to the late Bronze Age. The Iron Age including the Perseven and Sermetian periods is less than 3%. Later the number of funeral compensates increases in Roman time. It's about 7% in Middle Ages, about 11%. But it should be noted that at least 10% or 290 graves due to the absence of grave boots or some characteristic signs remain unidentified both culturally and chronologically. And most of the Barrel mounts, about 40%, belong to so-called Yamna or pit grave culture of early Bronze Age. But Yamna leads not only in the absolute number of the graves, but also in its chronological density. Besides the demography, the explanation of this phenomenon probably lies also in the fact that the Barrel was the only Barrel tradition for the Yamna culture. And the proportion of Barrels of other cultures doesn't exceed 10%. The late medieval nomads take the second place with 12%. The third with 8% goes to Middle Bronze Age, followed by Sermetians with 7%, and Catacombs culture of early Bronze Age with also 7%. And the statistics regarding to the primary Barrel slightly differs. And at least two cases are known when the Barrels were constructed into a natural feature, like natural hill, the feature of natural region. And at least 20 cases that the primary Barrel was impossible to identify. But the number of Barrels constructed in the inolithic period is bigger. The proportion of the primary Barrels of the early Bronze Age is also higher compared to the secondary Barrels. It's about 60% more than half. But in the middle, Bronze and late Bronze Age is lower. So the percentage of the primary Barrels for the Iron Age is about 7. Roman time is also 7 and is higher in comparison with secondary Graves. And the bulk of Barrels was erected by the Barrels of Yamna culture. So it's about 56% forward by a wide margin. The Sermetians with 8% and Sivians about 5%. And other communities like Late Bronze Age or Middle Bronze Age doesn't exceed 3%. Thus, we could allocate two main periods of the construction of the Barrel Mountains. The early Bronze Age and the so-called Sivian-Sarmatian period. Anyway, it should be noted that the Barrel activity of the Sivians and Sarmatians is noticeably lower compared to the early Bronze Age. Well, the preliminary data on the moundscape of the territory between Danube, Root and Nister rivers show the exceptional unevenness of the Barrel distribution, chronological, cultural and, of course, spatial one. The next steps of this research are to exemplify how the funeral landscape of the Nord-West Pontic area was organized to reveal the patterns in the construction of the Barrels and using them later by other communities. Or, in other words, how the prehistoric and proto-historic communities shaped the natural landscape according to the ideological beliefs and how the very idea of tumulus was changing during the existence of this cultural practice. Thank you.


Welcome back to learning analytics course. So, in the last video you have performed a diagnostic analytics such as why a student did not pass the exam or why the student was not able to answer certain questions. You collected the data such as students performance also the attendance. Now I want you to think how will you predict the students performance in the future events. For example, you found a correlation that students attendance and performance are side correlation. Can you predict what will happen in future? Please pass this video, write down your answers after writing it down, resume the video to continue. So, what is predictor analytics? So, it is predicting what will happen next. So, which course will have a less number of registrations. This can be predictions because based on the last future historical data, we can predict what will happen in next year. Which students will not complete the course based on the students attendance or students other interaction behavior, you can predict whether the student can complete the course or not and this again using the model which you created using the historical data. What will be the performance of the student in the next question? So, you can go much finer level like if he is interacting with the intelligent learning environment or technology enhanced learning environment. What will be the students next set of actions? Will the student able to answer the next question correctly? All those final level analysis we can do. So, prediction is done based on data from past events. In the sense, if you are teaching a class in this year, you cannot predict, create a model using current data. Instead, you have to use the data from last 4-5 years car data. Like as I mentioned, you have last 5 years data. From that last historical data, you might be creating the model. Apply that model in this year. That is what it says that you have to create the model based on past events. Also in some cases, we will use the present data also because that will help to improve the algorithm to predict it better. It is most popular in educational data mining. It is called learner modeling. We try to model the learner and also it is popular in learning analytics. There are lot of tools available for teachers and other stakeholders to perform the predictive analytics. However, we need to understand what algorithm to apply and what data will suitable for it. And you have to understand how to interpret the results when the algorithm gives. So, we will talk about Naive Bayes decision tree in this class and the tools like Orange and Wakeup to use these algorithms on education data. So, in short, prior to analytics is extracts information from data sets in order to detain pattern and predict the future events. It uses both past and present data and offer prediction for the future. So, present data actually is an input variable to the model and those model predicts what will happen in the future given the present data. So, let us move on to the last activity of this work. Now that you are able to predict whether the learner will continue your course or drop it, assume that what measure will you take to ensure your learners are motivated enough to continue your course and out. For example, assume that you have created a correlation between attendance and performance and you know that learner correlation is high with attendance. Using that information you can predict whether the learner will drop the course or whether the learner will fail in the exams. If you have that prediction, what measures will you take in order to motivate the students and continue doing the course. Please pause this video, write down your answers. After writing it down, resume this video to continue. Prescript analytics is if you say that I want scaffold to students give hints of feedbacks to help students to achieve the learning goal that can be one of the prescript analytics. Or you can use a personalized or intelligent learning environments where based on the students interaction and performance, the system gives a feedbacks and hints and adapts the content. Or you can predict the learner's current state and provide feedback and help them achieve the learning goal. So, you can have special classes and you can talk to them what is the problem. It is not that a student will fail or student will drop out. You want to understand why also why the student will not able to complete the course. If you know why the reasons then you will be able to provide a proper informed feedback or adaptive content. So, the prescript analytics is a process of analyzing the data and providing instant recommendation to how to optimize the learner's learning process. For example, an instructor can use a prescript analytics to discover that most of the learners needed a prerequisite course before joining a newly launched advanced course. So, based on the previous experience or based on the teaching experience, you can so say that for the newly launched advanced course given the learners entry exam, you might need a prerequisite course. So, the teacher might conduct a test before learner taking the course. Based on the student's performance, a teacher can decide whether the learner needs a prerequisite or not. So, that is based on the teaching experience or the predictive model you are created. I want to inform you that we saw the four types of analytics in last couple of videos. So, if we talk about prescriptive, it subsumes predictive, diagnostic and descriptive analytics. Which means if I doing a predictive analytics, I should be doing the descriptive and diagnostic analytics also. It is not that I can pick and do only the predictive analytics, I can pick only do the prescript analytics. So, you can start always with the descriptive analytics, then do the diagnostic analytics, then go for the predictive analytics. In this course, we will cover the three types of analytics like descriptive, diagnostic and predictive. Prescript analytics is beyond the scope of this course because prescript analytics is designing a intelligent tutoring systems. So, in this video, we described what is predictive analytics and what is prescriptive analytics and you might have had some idea on that. We will in detail discuss about these two type of analytics in our course. Thank you.


What's up guys welcome to today's video today we are gonna focus back to basic so we're gonna be cutting an a-line Bob This is not a highly requested Bob. I get that but today I felt like just getting back to basics and really working on Structure so whether you're in beauty score in the break room It doesn't matter this haircut is packed with tips and tricks for you guys to use right away in the salon Hope you enjoy the video. Let's get started Welcome to the video guys today what we're gonna focus on is something that is a little bit more of an exercise for me It's gonna be a full haircut. It's gonna be a graduation Triangular shape so it's gonna go forward kind of like an a-line Bob The reason I'm gonna do this. It's a symmetrical cut Very foundational. This is not a highly requested haircut in the salon currently but the reason I like doing it is because it really focuses on balance and working on shape and Really your finger angle everything. So I'm doing this more as an exercise I really just wanted to cut a Bob today. So we're gonna go through and cut it So sectioning is simple all the way down the center all the way down center back And then I sectioned from the occipital bone over to behind the ear And then I start right in the nape and I take diagonal forward partings Really following the jawline and that's the goal here Now as an exercise and or if you're a student in hair school or you're somebody that just is trying to better their hair cutting skills It's really important to focus on three different things. The first one is your elevation second one is your Angle finger angle and then the third one is your partings So focus on how are you parting the hair and is your finger angle parallel to that parting because that's what I'm going For in this cut. I want the the flow of the weight to kind of move with the jawline And that's gonna make the end result of this cut Really nice. So also, I want you to notice that I don't worry so much about the hairline I've talked about this in multiple videos, but People get so worried that their haircut right away isn't looking like that really hard strong line that they see on the internet or in old Haircutting books and all that you don't have to worry about the the hairline right away So think about the angle that you're trying to achieve and then make sure that your finger angle reflects that So continuing through the the right side now. This is the thing that changes So my fingers were pointing up in the beginning of the left side now my fingers are pointing down This is how I like to cut a graduation. This is how I learned it It's more comfortable for me. Some people like to keep their fingers pointing up the whole time Or we'll scoop the hair more. I like pushing the new hair into the guideline So I've seen it successful both ways But for me it works the best to really just focus in and comb the hair consistently every time my finger angle It's easy to keep But the combing of the hair is what makes hair cutting so difficult for me What really separates a good hair cutter and a great hair cutter is how well they comb and section So because the better you comb the better you section the hair the cleaner your work The more consistent your work is going to be so now you notice that I've moved about two inches up on the head I'm not going too extreme I like to go whatever is about half my finger But I'm also looking at the head shape so you notice that I put the comb on the head And I work and I figure out how that head shape is moving because that's really going to play a big role or key role in How my graduation looks and feels so notice that 90 degrees is now shifting up if you look at 90 degrees out from the head All the way around the head. You're gonna notice that the nape It's it's more down and then obviously as you work up past the occipital bone 90 degrees is more out And then when you get to the top of the head obviously 90 degrees is pretty much straight up. So Understand that 90 degrees is going to give you a seamless layer anything from that and above you won't see a wait line, right? So anything below 90 degrees you will get a wait line. So as I'm going through and cutting this graduation I obviously want a wait line, but I don't want that wait line to be too heavy So that's what's really going to separate your haircuts from everybody else's when you learn in beauty school 45 degrees is a Bob That's not necessarily the truth. I mean it is a Bob It's a graduation But it's not necessarily exactly the angle that you want to take because somebody that has a high density of hair a lot of hair They're gonna have a super thick Bob if you cut it at 45 degrees That maybe that where the weight's not sitting the most flattering on their head shape and then somebody was really fine hair It might not it might not kind of build up the shape that you're looking for so You really got to understand the density you got to understand the head shape and then how your finger is angled So again, I switch now. I'm pointing down, but you could see that build up of weight So where I want you to really focus in right now is How my finger angle is kind of curving into the jawline and then you see exactly where that weight starts to sit So where the tip of my finger is where that build up of graduation starts? And then it gets heavier and heavier as it gets to the inside of my finger Because of the head shape, right? So as the head shape is curving up my angle is getting more extreme It's getting lower. It's a lower elevation. So you end up with a heavier shape So now I move up the head shape again The reason I take this section by section is I really want to hone in on where that 90 degree point is So obviously as I move up the head shape the 90 degree point shifts So I look at where the top part of that section is and where the tip of my finger is how I'm holding that section What degree is that at? It doesn't I'm not like trying to be that specific But the ones that I understand are 90 degrees 45 degrees and zero degrees because those are easy to find Based on the head shape. So find your 90 degree point Understand that everything above that is going to be layering and everything below that is going to be graduation It's just Really goes into how much graduation do you want how much layering do you want now the one thing? I haven't really talked about in this cut yet is that I'm bringing everything straight back So it's going back to the previous and then that's pushing the weight forward. So I'm kind of like the way I look at a Traveling guide is that you're you're grabbing on to the weight and you're traveling across the head And then you're going to drop it off at some point, right? It's because no matter what wherever you cut hair at some point It's going to drop off weight so a traveling guide keeps the weight even But it's almost like you're carrying it with you and then you pass it off So when we go to really throw it to the front and then we'll start over directing everything back at a stationary point Which will push that weight forward. So just understand that I'm moving across the head Keeping everything straight back to the previous section Because I want a nice balanced shape in the back and then when I wanted to go triangular That's what I'm going to go into a stationery guide, which will happen in the next section So here's one thing where people will make an adjustment I'm not going to say it's right or wrong, but I like to have a little bit of disconnection at this point So you'll see that my line Because the hair goes away, right? So the hair around behind the ears where that hole happens because you don't have hair underneath there So when I pull that section out, I actually have hair It almost makes it look like I want to change my finger angle and start scooping under the head I don't want to do that. I want to continue my line straight down That'll give me a disconnection. You can see that balance there It'll give me a disconnection of weight, but I can always cut into that disconnection later So right there where I'm kind of ironing the hair That's where that disconnection is. So I'm using my Palmatra Pro Tools iron Love this iron. It's so smooth on the hair I use a flat iron almost every guest to smooth them out for the cut and now I'm working on that nape area So as I go in You can see and notice I'm wearing a microphone This is actually a live class That if you want to watch it and hear me talk about it while I'm cutting it in a different way in a long form way Go to fseondemand.com and you can see the full class if you're on FSE on demand Just check out our live classes and you can see it So I'm going through and I'm just using the tip of the scissor This is the mattebeck scissor v1. Do have that for sale. It's a limited edition scissor I only have like I think 20 pairs left. So if you're looking to get one It's a five inch scissor. It's great for precision cutting. It also works really great on dry cutting and it's made by Mizetani So I'm working through the nape area Creating that line just using the tip of the scissor notice the graduation and that disconnection That's everything that we've built so far. The other thing I want you to notice is that I I blew it dry and I haven't blown dry the rest of the haircut, right? So the reason I do that is I want to make sure my shape is looking the way I want it before I can Continue on to the rest of the cut a lot of people will do the entire cut then blow it dry then notice that it's too heavy and then Then you know, I don't know what they do some some people don't do anything Some people have to go back and wet it and recut it depends on Your laziness meter, I guess you could say so just I Like to go through blow dry the back really make sure my balance shape is how I want it Then I continue through the front and I connect it all together So notice everything is just kind of diagonal forward parting still bringing everything over to me I'm still working on that center parting.  So diagonal forward Mimicking what I want my finger angle to be kind of how I'm working with that jaw line So that's how I know I'm going to get a balanced So now I'm going to work through with a flat wrapping technique for the blow dry. I'm using the ergo paddle brush just working my way through and Then go back in with the palmatule Pro Tools iron Just to smooth things out and then I'm going to do some dry cutting to connect everything together Notice my iron work. I take the pretty much the same type of partings And then I work that iron with the head shape. So a Lot of people just kind of flat iron the hair out It's what I've seen when teaching classes people just kind of work that iron straight down You want to bevel it slightly you don't want to curl it, but you want to bevel it with the head shape Now I go in dry cutting technique. I like to take out a little bit of weight You guys know I love the tease cutting technique If you haven't seen it look it up on my channel on YouTube or on FSE on demand just type in tease cutting technique and you'll see some videos on it It takes out some weight creates some texture Slight layering but nothing too to stacked or anything like that So I go through and just remove that weight add the texture lighten the shape up And then you notice that I went through with the tip of the scissor and just refined my line to create that a line Look so right there doing it again following the jawline. I Overdirect everything elevate everything to get the weight where I want it, right? but then the the hairline is where I want to go through and Change that up There we go finishing up the haircut You can see nice shape like I said, this is a classic shape So you could alter it you can make it a little bit longer make it a little more modern But this is my take on a nice classic a line Bob Hope you guys like the video. Let me know in the comments if you have any questions. Thanks for watching All right guys and like always if you made it this far, let me know in the comments I'd love to hear that and make sure you subscribe to the channel I got new videos coming out almost every single day and if you guys are looking for some new tools Go check out free salon education comm go to our online store You can pick up the scissors combs clips everything you see me use in these videos you can purchase Right on our store. So thank you guys so much for watching. I will see you guys on the next video Thanks