Hi, today I'll be talking about this package BNMA which is short and for Bayesian network material analysis using JAGS. My name is Michael Saw, I have been working on this project with Professor Chris Schmidt from Brown and I'm currently a PhD student in the University of Bern Switzerland. Recently, there has been many packages of Bayesian NMA in R, including GMTC, PCNet, MetaBoxNet, BNMA and Multianna. The goal of this presentation is not to compare different packages but to go over the package we have developed. BNMA implements models described in nice documents. This document provides detailed description of the Bayesian NMA model. BNMA can model normal binomial and multinomial outcomes. Required input includes outcome, study indicator, stream indicator and total number of observations or standard error based on the specified input BNMA creates JAGS code and initial values and automatically runs Bayesian NMA model. We will demonstrate this package using the smoking cessation data set. This consists of 24 studies including comparing four smoking cessation counseling programs. This is the first five studies of the smoking data set and we will briefly go over the Bayesian NMA model since our data set is binomial, we fit a binomial model and the i refers to the trial or k refers to the arm. The link function is eta i plus delta i1k, eta i are the trial specific baselines and delta i1k are the trial specific treatment effects. For a random effect we can model the delta i1k with a normal distribution with average treatment effect d and heterogeneity parameter sigma squared. NMA requires consistency equations to hold and the equal variances are commonly assumed. So this model can be fitted using BNMA package as follows. We first set up the model using a function called network.data and we specify the input response and type. Then we can run the model using a function network. Then we can summarize the result using the summary function and this is the summary we get. So the odds ratio for treatment for the group counseling is 3.01 so the model estimates a 200% increase in the odds of creating smoking for group counseling compared to no intervention. There are some pre-built summary visualization functions and this is the fourth spot. Additional details that we have included includes checking convergence. So even if the user didn't specify the initial values, we generate the dispersed initial values and then we use the Gell-Mann-Rubin diagnostics to test conversions or parameters such as the eta i, the baseline risk, the average treatment effect, d, and the heterogeneity. We check convergence every satisfy the iteration and once the samples are converged it keeps the last half of the converter sequence. If the user requires more sample size we can specify through the parameter called m.1. So that was a basic NMA model. We have extended this basic model to, for instance, have a different assumption on baseline risk. Instead of having baseline risk to be independent we can assume it to be exchangeable and so we model the baseline risk using a normal distribution with a common mean and between study variance e and sigma e squared. This extra assumption of random intercept should lead to a greater precision. However, this comes at the price of using the between study information meaning the treatment effects are no longer estimated only by the usual differences within studies but also by the differences between studies. We can fit this model by adding parameter baseline risk and setting it to equal exchangeable. This is the summary result for fitting this model. Now the common mean for the baseline risk is estimated to be minus 2.4912 which is equivalent to a baseline probability of quitting of 0.076. So another model that we have added is we can use baseline risk as a meta regression similar to how we include covariate information. So by adding this baseline risk as a meta regression we can explain possible source of heterogeneity. There are three different assumptions we can make. It's common exchangeable and independent and if the user wants to assume a common effect treatment and covariate interaction then the user can just simply add this parameter baseline and set it equal to common and they will fit this model. So this is the summary of the result and now we have a new parameter BBL which is the regressor for the baseline risk regression coefficient. So now the the interpretation for the odds ratio which is 3.17 is now the treatment effects of the group counseling for patients with baseline probability of quitting of 0.066. To summarize we quickly showed how to fit simple Bayesian NMA using smoking dataset with the BNMA package. We demonstrated how to incorporate baseline risk via a exchangeable assumption or a meta regression and the following slide is uploaded in my private website micjsco.github.io and here are the references. Thank you.


Okay, good evening. I hope you're all doing well. Thanks for joining me. There's a few things I want to cover tonight. Primarily, the energy crisis that we're facing and it is part, of course, of a cost of living crisis that we're facing. Energy bills are due to go up by around 50% in April and they're not cheap as it is. At the same time, we're going to be having other increases, tax increases. For example, I'm going to go into that in a little bit more detail. There's a couple of things I want to tell you that what we could be doing to avoid this 50% hike. And if we had a government that gave a damn about us, they would be trying to find, trying to find is not even the right way to say this. It's easy to find ways to avoid this cost of living crisis exacerbated by a massive increase in energy costs. And energy costs are essential. That's the point. It's not luxuries. This is what we need to keep our lights on and our heating on and they're essential to our quality of life and our lives, particularly where heating is involved.  If you haven't been watching Paul Borges' videos on YouTube, please do. They are fantastic. Explains this stuff with facts. Imagine that. Facts. But in a very accessible way because this is the heavy science. But he explains them in a very accessible way. I'm going to play you towards the end, one of my favorite videos of his. But I want to start with something. I am going to look at the Human Rights Act as well very briefly, which I promised last week I would do this week. But I want to start with something. I've had a message come through by Leonora number three. Hi, Leonora. Thank you for your message. It's a long message, but I want to respond to one bit of it. And Leonora says, having watched the video and listened carefully to Amory on this topic, I want to advise extreme caution about the legal side. I don't think it is wise to say the judge should have directed the jury to give a guilty verdict. Okay. Once again, thanks, Leonora. But I have to correct you on that one. I didn't say that the judge should have directed the jury to give a guilty verdict. It's that the judge should have directed the jury on the law. Now, I'll give you an example. Well, I was on a jury quite a few years ago now, and it was a domestic violence case, quite severe beating this woman had received. And their behavior, both of them, their behavior at the time of the offense was reckless at best. And when it came to, when the both sides, the prosecution and defense have presented their cases, the judge gave us a direction. And the judge made it clear to us that the morality of their behavior, their drinking, their smoking pot, whatever it might be, you have no concern. This doesn't concern you. What you are being asked, and this is the direction the jury, the judge gave us on the jury, what you are being asked is very simple. If you believe that the defendant caused the injuries to the victim's face, and we were shown photographs, and she had the shoe marks on her face, if you believe, this is what the judge said, it was very clearly, everything else, you brush aside. What you are being asked is this, if you believe he caused those injuries to her face, you must find him guilty. If you find there is reasonable doubt that he caused those injuries to her face, you find him not guilty. That is the direction of the judge. And the judge went to great pains to explain exactly what question we were as the jury being asked. He made it clear to push everything else aside. So morality, behavior, drinking excessively, smoking pot, whatever it might be, nothing to do with it. You are asked this question and this question only. On the basis of that question, we found him guilty. Now, similar thing here, that I wasn't there, so I do not know what the judge's directions were. To my mind, the judge should have directed the jury, that if you believe these four defendants pulled down that statue, they are guilty of criminal damage. If you find there is reasonable doubt that they pulled it down at all, that's not guilty. Reasonable doubt means not guilty. That's a direction. I wasn't suggesting the judge should have directed a guilty verdict. I'm saying the judge should have told them, I don't know whether he or she did or not, no idea. But that is what I was saying. The jury need to be directed as to what exactly they are being asked to decide. And that should be in accordance with the legislation. Did these people over here cause criminal damage? Do you believe they did? If you believe they did, you have to find them guilty. If you consider it reasonably doubtful that they did it, you find them not guilty. That's what I meant by judge's directions. These are directions that judges give to juries. Telford, 26th of February, it is not the coming weekend, following weekend. If you can come to Telford with us, we're going to do a targeted campaign for the party, advertising ourselves there. Please do come along. Get in touch with Sharon at inquiresappforbritain.uk and let her know if you want to come along and we will give you the details a bit closer to the time. This week, we're having our first Colston campaign meeting. If you want to be on that, also please, sorry, Sharon, give Sharon a shout as well. I know I have a list of volunteers, we're having our first meeting on that this week and we're not going to drag this on. We're not going to drag this on and on, but we'll just decide what we're going to do and just crack on with it. We're not going to drag this on and on. Okay, Human Rights Act, let me just address that briefly because we want to get on to the energy issue. Right, so what is happening with the Human Rights Act? So the Conservative Government has said that it may, might possibly, could do overhaul the Human Rights Act before the next general election. This is a speech by Dominic Raab and he said this was, this overhaul was quote, needed to prevent dangerous criminals abusing human rights laws and to restore some common sense to our justice system. At the left have, I got crazy about this and when the left goes crazy about something, you know someone's doing something right. However, I wouldn't, I don't believe it, I don't trust them as far as I can throw them and I wouldn't be able to throw Dominic Raab very far and I trust him even less. Look, the Tories, we cannot repeat this half a little bit. The Tories have been in governments in 2010. It's 2022. This is the Tories attempt at throwing a little bit of meat out to those who are desperate for a little bit of common sense and who know that the Human Rights Act has become a criminal's charter and that in our globalist world, where the British government is more concerned about people from Sierra Leone than it is about people from Britain, the Human Rights Act means that serious criminals from all over the world are allowed to stay here even if they present a risk to British people because as I said the government cares more about people from Africa than it does people from Britain. So that's what it's done and everyone, people can see this. So what the Tories are doing is trying to win back a little bit of actual conservative, actual conservative, unlike the Conservative Party actual conservative belief and common sense and they're trying to pretend that they understand we get it. We are actual real conservatives we promise, nothing else. The Conservative Party hasn't been conservative since, I don't know, Thatcher. They, and speaking of Thatcher, they have the biggest majority in the commons that the Tories have had since Thatcher. So if they wanted to do something about this, they would. They could. But they don't. And they won't.  There's absolutely no way this is just throwing out meat to actual conservatives and pretending. This is Tories, isn't it? Say let's say the right stuff and do nothing. Continue with the open border and the complete lack of concern for the safety of British people. Remember then, British people?  And they'll explain why. But for several reasons. I mean, it's work in practice. Left wing judges, activist judges are interpreting it to keep all ensondre in this country, regardless of what harm they do or what threat they pose. But here's the thing. Here's the problem for me with just the concept of human rights.  The problem with human rights legislation like this is that it ends the notion. And I'm not even just erodes the notion but ends the notion of citizenship of a nation state. What it means is that somebody who is, somebody sitting in, I'll use the same question, Sierra Leone, has the same rights in Britain as a British person does. Including the right to live here. I believe only citizens should have the right to live in this country. Everything else is a privilege and one that can be revoked.  You don't get to live here anymore. Only the citizens have a right to live here. Everyone else that can be removed if they misbehave. But the concept of the human rights and how it is dealt with, how it is seen, is just that. That someone from anywhere can have the same rights in Britain as a British citizen. I don't think they should. And primarily the right to live here. You should not, if you're not a British citizen, you shouldn't have the right to live here. You can live here but you'll be removed if you behave in a certain way. That's the problem for me. And when everyone from any country has a right to be in Britain, because they're, because they're human, let's not forget, terrorists are human, gangs are human. This being human doesn't make you some sort of saint. All the threats we face, we face them, okay, not all of them. But most of the threats we face, we face from humans. So the idea that humans are all harmless and is auto nonsense. And that's another thing that the human rights act presents to us. But if everyone in the world has the same rights in Britain as a British citizen, there's no point in being a British citizen. In being a British citizen. The nation state further eroded and eroded. It is an internationalist, globalist concept that further chips away at the nation state and the concept of citizenship. And that's on a sort of a, I don't know, philosophical is probably the wrong word, viewpoint. But bring it back down to earth. It's not enough for the Tories to say it could be that this thing is abused. It is abused. All the time. And what's interesting to me is that while the human rights act is used to keep people who threaten the safety of British people in this country. It hasn't done anything to protect our rights. The rights of British citizens. It's protecting the rights of one else, but not the rights of British citizens. For example, our right to freedom of speech. Where is our right to freedom of speech gone? We don't have one. The police can come to your house because you say the shocking words, adulteam and female or something. So it has done nothing to protect our rights. It has done everything to protect the rights of all and sundry around the world. They want to come here, do, behave as appallingly as they like and get to stay here. That's what the human, there's no point saying it could and this is the language you're using. It could lead to, it could, it does. All the time. And in any case, to finish on this, we know perfectly well that the Tories, if they wanted to do something about this, wanted on it by now. This is another lie, another attempt to attract conservative people and they will do nothing. Nothing at all. It's just hot air from the Tories as usual. Right, so energy prices are going to go up by around 50% in April. And like I said, these are not cheap anyway. And there's been, for years now, people have struggled with this to pay their bills. And so 50% increase by a House of Commons, by a government that neither knows nor cares about what 50 quid a month or 100 quid a month actually means to people. 100 quid a month is, I was going to say it's a bottle of wine, but it's not. It's been way more than 100 quid on a bottle of wine, these people. They have no comprehension of this whatsoever, what 100 quid a month or 50 quid a month would mean to some people. No idea whatsoever. And that's why they can be so blasé about it. Oh, they don't care. They really don't. Why would they? They're rich. They don't get it. And they don't care. It's all just numbers on a page to them. They're not struggling to get their bills paid. They don't care. So to them, it's just, but to a lot of people out here in the real world, it means a great deal. I want to just take you through a couple of articles. Now, first of all, if you go onto our website and go to our manifesto and go to the energy section, please do because it is a, there are actual solutions in there that could and would avoid this. A stable salt reactors is one. It is mentioned in there. This is, would take, would give us, if you read through, I'm not going to read through it, because it's one of the things I want to read to you. But if you read through it, it would give us another, it would give us enough energy for 400 years. It's safe and it's clean. Have a look at it.  There's an article I particularly want to cover, which I noticed this week.  That you actually want war. You want, and you know they want it. And the press wants it as well. And you can see the president of Ukraine saying, will you stop this? Stop, you're making my country panic. And he said to America, if you have evidence that Putin intends to invade on Wednesday, apparently, give it to me, I want to see it. But he's basically begging them to stop this because you're causing panic inside his country. This is disgraceful behavior. Disgraceful behavior, particularly from Biden or whoever is pulling his strings. But the same thing, you know, we get into this conflict now with Russia. Just imagine the prices of energy are going to go up and up and up even more.  The only way they'll care, and I can promise you this, the only way they'll care is if they're threatened at the ballot box. They don't care because A, they're rich and they're not the money means nothing to them. And B, they assume, sadly, quite rightly, in many cases, that we will either go out and vote for them again or not vote at all, which is basically voting for them again. That's when they'll care. When they're threatened at the ballot box and their cushy jobs are threatened, that's when they'll care. At the moment, they don't care. So that's another thing looming on the horizon about energy, but the prices of energy going up. But there's an article from the Telegraph this week that I want to have a look at and an issue that I want to particularly have a look at. And that is fracking. It's an article in the, like I said, Telegraph. Actually, it wasn't this week. It's a couple of weeks back. No, it's not. It is this week. I'll get my dates and order. The headline is this, fracking would have saved Britain from the energy crisis. It says, the UK has plenty of gas of its own under the North Sea, and it has even more abundant reserves of shale oil and gas. It is just that we have decided not to develop it. By now, listen to this, by now Britain could be self-sufficient in energy and even exporting it at vast profits to the rest of Europe. But a series of epically bad decisions by a series of governments made that impossible. Let me talk, just take you through. Now, this was sent to me by, let me know what you think of fracking. I think it's a fairly divisive issue from what I can see, but let me know what you think of it. However, that's quite a sentence. And I'm going to actually just, just let me, just let me repeat it again. We have plenty of gas of our own under the North Sea, abundant reserves of shale oil and gas. We have decided not to develop it. We could be self-sufficient and even exporting it at vast profits, but a series of decisions by a series of governments made that impossible. Do you see the significance of what I'm saying? There are options available to governments, and if they gave a damn about us, they would investigate all of these options and find what is in the best interests of this country and its people and act in that direction. Head off in that the job of the government is to look at all options available and act in the best interests of the people. That is its job.  And that's why it doesn't do these things. So that, that's just one option. The stable salt reactors are another, please go on to our manifesto and read about that. There are options. We do not have to see a rise by 50% in our energy bills, but we don't have to. And that's before I even get on to tax increases to pay for the NHS. The top expenditure of the government of this country, by the way, welfare pensions top NHS second. Both need to be looked at. Both need to have, particularly the NHS, waste and mismanagement targeted and the money needs to be spent more wisely. And don't for a minute think that I don't want to help people. I do. I actually think people who can't work should get more help than they're getting and they would get more help than they're getting if we had an economy that worked and a welfare system that worked. We don't. We have a shambolic economy and we have a shambolic economy because we are ruled and governed by incompetence and have been for a long, long time. Let me just give, this is a document that was sent to me by someone who has, it was absolutely expert in this area. And I am, I'm going to get him on. We're going to do a special stream on this. I'll get him on to talk about, he's worked in this field for decades and we're going to have a proper discussion about it. But let me just describe a little bit about fracking and what he has sent to me. Okay, so what is it? Hydraulic fracturing known as fracking is the process of using water, sand and chemicals to relieve, to release deep deposits of oil and gas. A company is very, very nice plain simple English, which is what I mean. A company first drills a deep vertical well near the shale of deposits. It then creates horizontal branches from the main vertical shaft. Next it blasts a mixture of water, sand and chemicals at high pressure into these branches. The pressure smashes nearby rocks, enabling the oil and the gas to flow into the branches and therefore the main well. Despite all recent attention, this process is not new, it's first developed in 1947. Why are people paying attention now? Despite a brief period of interest in fracking during the energy crisis of the 1970s, up until recently it was considered to be too expensive to be of much use. However, the rise in energy prices over the last decade combined with improved technology has made the process economically viable. In fact, the technique has led to an oil and gas boom in parts of the US. According to America's energy information administration, the amount of crude oil produced in American oil fields has risen by 50% over the last six years. Around 40% of that is down to shale oil. It's had a huge impact on the US economy. So how does this affect the UK? Well, with politicians across the globe looking enviously at America's newfound oil wealth, many other nations have been investigating whether they might have previously inaccessible shale deposits to exploit, and Britain is one of the lucky ones. Last year, experts from the British Geological Survey announced that they think there could be up to 2,281 trillion cubic feet of gas in the ground underneath Lancashire. To put that into perspective, this is more than four times the size of the main American shale field. It is not the only shale-filled field in Britain either. There are several bits of belts of shale in England as well as Scotland and Fermanagh in Northern Ireland, while not all of these will prove fruitful. It is likely that given time and the right development policies, our total reserves could taunt Britain into a major player in world energy markets. Opponents have seized on the fact that in a few American cases, fracking has been linked to contamination of groundwater supplies. Monetoriously, preparatory drilling was blamed for several earthquakes in Blackpool in the spring of 2011, leading to a temporary moratorium. Campaigners also point out that the UK is far more densely populated than North Dakota, and that's true. Which in turn means that the potential disruption could be much later. Another major problem is that landowners don't own the mineral rights under their lands, so they can't benefit from it. Finally, at these objections valid, the latest evidence suggests that water supplies are safe, provided there is a sensible level of supervision, as for earthquakes, Professor Ray Davies of the University of Durham thinks that fracking causes as much seismic activity as falling off a ladder. It's also worth understanding that this isn't new, fracking has been taking place on a small scale in mainland Britain for decades. Okay, that's a very brief overview of fracking, what it is, what it's done, use of it in America, what it could do for Britain, the potential downsides of it. At the primary, primary point of this is that you've got, we have got to look at other ways of producing our energy, that's the point. And I just don't, you know, I don't believe, I genuinely don't believe that the government sits down and thinks about all its options. I really don't. It should, but it doesn't. I don't believe it for a minute. It should, and that's what a government, if I was in government, that was certainly what we would be doing. Okay, I'm just having a quick look through some of the comments on here. Do let me know what you think about fracking, a few different conversations going on here, actually. Okay, another thing I want to cover is green taxes. And a lot of this is why it's a huge part of why our energy bills are so high. So let's look at that in a little bit more detail and see the impact. What impact do these green taxes actually have on our bills? It's a good article I found from the Daily Mail and it's from January this year. So it says, as we enter the new year, the British public faces a perfect storm of cost of living pressures rising inflation and property prices. Property prices demand massively greater than supply, but don't talk about the population increase. It's got nothing to do with it, apparently. And perhaps most serious of all, rocketing energy prices. According to off-jam, households are paying an average of 1,277 for their gas and electric, a figure sure to rise sharply over the coming months. So let's get on to the green taxes. 15.3% on your gas bill, 15.3% is for environmental and social costs. So 15% of your bill on your gas bill is a green tax, basically, environmental and social costs, whatever that is. On your electricity bill, it's 25.5%. As of January this year, January just gone, 25% of your electric bill is a tax on rubbish, nonsense. A quarter. You could cut immediately, they stopped the absolute charade. They could immediately cut a quarter of that bill, but they won't. Now, where is all that going? This article goes on. This covers a bewildering and ever-growing number of green schemes, some of which are anything but green. We know this.  This is an absolute sham. I mean, part of the, one of the reasons I've read and reading about this is that the wind farms aren't generating, they're not generating energy. You don't say. Of course they're not. It's ridiculous. Let me tell you something that may shock you. You know these big massive structures? Do you know how much energy it takes to make them, first of all? It costs the fortune, takes up a great deal of energy just to make them. They still need the old-fashioned energy to back them up. And no one, no one has no, knows or plans what to do with them. In 50 years' time, what are we going to do with them all? There's no plan to get rid of them. They're not going to work forever. And no one has quite said what's going to happen when this is ridiculous, ridiculous.  I'm sorry, but we are. Let's have a look at where these 25% is going. Renewables obligation. This article said, this was the original underhand scheme which forced consumers to subsidize renewable energy at a cost of 6.3 billion a year, paid by both domestic consumers and business users of electricity. Energy suppliers are obliged to buy a certain number of renewable obligation certificates for every megawatt hour of electricity they sell to consumers. The scheme introduced in 2002 was closed to new generation plants in 2017, but consumers are still paying to fund contracts issued in the past. Generators were awarded 20-year contracts, meaning that consumers will still be paying for the scheme until 2037. You just look, just the words, renewable obligation certificates. How bureaucratic is that? Unbelievable. Going on, I'm actually going to, I put a link to this, it's very long, but it's very, very good. And it's very interesting. We're running out of time, so I'm going to put a link into the comments for you to have a read of it. But just one more, climate change levy. This is a straightforward tax on the burning of fossil fuels, paid by owners of gas and coal-fired power stations and other industrial users. So paid for by the owners of gas and coal-fired power stations, who are going to pass the cost of that on to guess who? There's also one more, a green gas levy, as if gas-fired power stations, which still provided 35% of our electricity in 2020, were not taxed highly enough. The government has just dreamed up another levy designed to subsidize the development of biogas, a fuel derived from vegetable matter, which can be fed into the gas grid. This theme begins in the spring. It's just, you've got to read this, read this article, it's actually excellent. And it's genuinely mind blowing. But a quarter, a quarter of your electricity bill pays for this rubbish.  I've just posted also the manifesto. Okay, let me get to a few questions. I do want to show you this video, which I know you're really going to enjoy. It starts off with Greta, Saint Greta. Right. Oh, here's a good question. Do you think Mayor Kant wants a lovely Imam as the new Met Commissioner? Quite possibly actually. It's quite something when Cresedidic's not PCNF. I'm going to have a look at that. We'll have, we'll visit the Cresedidic issue next week in a bit more detail. There's never enough time, is there? I'm sure, I'm sure you're being tongue-in-cheek about the Imam part, but maybe you're not. Maybe things are that bad. What it's interesting, there seems to be a little bit of two in it. There's a bit of a rail break in there, isn't there, between all the parties in London. I don't know, political parties, but the elite, the top of the heap in London. I will, I'm going to have a look at that Cresedidic issue next week in a bit more detail. Did you see the video of 16-odd just beating up a homeless man in Toronto? Our society has imploded on the 70 years of Conservative Labour rule. We have a UK knife and let's ever get to the third world now. You know, third world, a lot of people use the expression import the third world, become the third world. And I know it's a little bit controversial and some people might say it's, I don't know, let me be clear about a couple of things. The world is full of difference. It's got different cultures, different values, different peoples. And why movement around the world is not new? And it's not wholly and entirely negative or wrong thing. It's just that when you take people from one society, which has developed completely differently to another society, and you pick them up by the hundreds of thousands, pick them out of this part of the world and put them into this part of the world, and they're completely, completely different, completely different sets of values, completely different behaviour, you're going to get conflict and clashes. And people are going to bring their behaviours with them. They're going to bring their values with them. And if they come from violent societies where violence is a lot more normal than it is or used to be for us, violence is going to come. And I can remember watching a documentary about violence and gang violence in London, and yes gangs exist, criminal gangs, organised crime, it exists. But I remember seeing a gangster himself saying things have gotten so much more violent because people are coming in from mostly African countries. And the violence has been cracked up. So you've got like machete violence, for example.  But reality is reality. And we are not all the same in every respect. We have things, as human beings, we have things in common. But we are also vastly different because we've developed completely differently. And when you import vast numbers of people from completely different cultures, you're going to import, if violence is normal in a certain culture or certainly more normal than it is to us, you're going to import that violence as well. That's just how it is. So yes, 70 years of, or longer, of rule by these two parties has made us less safe, less civilised, less united, less proud, or less proud of completely, it's almost a criminal offence now to be proud of British culture or British values and to identify with them, to defend them. It's created a fractured country, which doesn't even know who it is anymore. A frightened native population, frightened to speak its mind, frightened to defend itself, taught, actively taught, to hate itself. That's what it's created. And yes, we are significantly less safe and less civilised than we were. Okay. Paul asked me, how much would you give the pensioners for their energy? It's not really, I wouldn't give, it's not about, look, if I was in government, but energy wouldn't be this price. That's the point. They wouldn't need extra money for energy because they'd be able to afford it. They'd have a decent pension and they'd be able to afford it because energy wouldn't be this expensive. It's not enough, it's not good enough and I don't like it when governments do this. They'll cause a massive crisis and then say, here's a couple of hundred quid. It's still not enough to cover the bills, but they caused the bills to be this high in the first place. If I was in government, they wouldn't be that high. That's the point because I would prioritise making affordable energy for the people here and that our elderly people will have a decent pension to live on. Do you see FGM in the UK as an abhorrent practice and as serious as rape gangs? It's not as common as rape gangs. It is an absolutely abhorrent, disgusting, rotten, cruel, barbaric, seventh century, uncivilised, misogynistic. Child abuse is putting it mildly and it should be punished. I would say with enormous prison sentences, but actually most of the people practicing it here wouldn't be British citizens. So we've got no money rights here. So if you practice FGM and you live in this country, we should revoke your ability. You don't have a right to live here, but your ability to live here should be revoked. I think people who practice FGM should be aborted and never allowed onto British soil again. And that is actually the worst possible punishment for them. Secondly, we should use our common sense and understand that if you take Somalia for example, Somalia has an FGM rate of around 98%. So what do you think is going to happen if you have massive immigration from Somalia? You're going to have FGM. Two and two is four. Immigration from Somalia brings FGM. So stop it. You don't want FGM in your society. Don't have immigration from Somalia. Common sense. Right, there's a couple of questions here which are essentially the same. What do we do to break the two-party state and apart from donating? What are we going to actually do? We are a political party and like I said at the beginning of this, the only thing that politicians actually care about is being threatened at the ballot box. So what we actually have to do and I know I'm not being flippant or dismissive, we need to do several things. We need to protest. We need to make our voices heard. Several disobedience even. But our job as a political party is to go out and campaign and try to win seats. Initially, a job we have to do is inform people about our existence, inform people about these simple answers to this country's problems and they are simple answers. Only the very profound but often in life the most profound things are simple. What we need is to drive home and it takes everything, it's effort, it's uphill, it's a long, it's a journey. But you have to be on that journey and you have to stay on that journey and you have to know why you're doing it and concentrate and focus on why you're doing it. We're doing it for the people of this country. We're doing it for this country. I do this for this country and when you have that kind of inspiration, motivation is not the right word but what inspires us to do this? I'm doing it for Britain. I love this country, I love its people. So I've decided that my effort, my life's energy will be spent on the political campaign side of fighting for this country. There are many ways of fighting for this country. This is one of them. We have to get up and go out and inform people that we are here, that they don't have to do, they don't have to put up with incompetent governments. They can shake things up and vote for new people and I know it's frightening our people are slow to change but that's what we have to do. That is what we have to do and for example we'll be doing it in Telford Saturday week. I'll be doing it in Hartlepool and many others who will stand for election across the country in May, that's what they're doing. They're doing what they have to do, they're doing what they can do. This bit, our bit and you must never let go of what inspires you to do it. What inspires us to do it is this country and I love it and it's as simple as that. Okay I'm going to finish with a video like which is that you are really going to enjoy this I think and if you haven't watched Paul Rogers' videos do. They are really, really, very, very good and last mention of two things, Telford on the 26th, give Sharon a shout, inquire is that for britain.uk, do you want to come along and what was the other thing? Oh yeah, our Edward Colston campaign haven't heard back from Save Our Statues unfortunately, well there you go. It's this Wednesday night so if you want to come along to it's a zoom call but like I said we're not going to drag this out, we're not going to drag, we're going to crack on with this. So we're going to make decisions on the night and we're going to get on with it. That's what we're going to do. So if you want to be in on that meeting Wednesday night give Sharon a shout again inquire is that for britain.uk and I will make sure you're on that zoom call on Wednesday night. Right okay thank you as always everyone, thank you for tuning in. I will be when am I, where am I, where am I, where am I? We'll be back on Rumble. I've started the Hartlepool campaign that's another meeting that I have this week to put on my ducks in a row for the Hartlepool campaign so instead of live streams on that from now on I will be updating and the videos is being, the website is being updated, are various different plans and bits and bobs but the Rumble thing I will Rumble on with. I might change the topic of it a little bit because I think COVID and climate change are very similar so but anyway the Rumble at 8 o'clock on Wednesdays will continue. I'm signing a new series of policy videos this week. I want you to please share them if you can. I'm going to, of course you can so please do, I'm going to, what else am I going to do? Yes we're going to talk about the energy crisis in a bit more detail. I'm going to get Clive who has worked in this for years and years and years to explain our options in nice and plain English. I haven't looked out for that. My Hartlepool campaign has essentially started. If you are wishing to stand as a candidate please get all your bits and bobs with Mike Speak when sorted out and we'll get out there and we will let the world know a footstep at a time because that's what we're doing. That's what we're going to do for the country we love. That's what we're doing. That's what inspires us. Okay you're going to like this. I'll see you back here live next week. Take care and thank you for sharing. You all come to us young people for hope.  You have stolen my dreams and my childhood with your empty words and yet I'm one of the lucky ones. People are suffering. People are dying. Entire ecosystems are collapsing. We are in the beginning of a mass extinction and all you can talk about is money and fairytales of eternal economic growth. So on what basis does Greta give all these predictions? Give all this alarm? You know there must be incredible evidence for her to have the power to address the world, the United Nations and many governments. Children being let off school to listen to her. So what is the underlying science behind these incredible predictions Greta? Mr. Chairman, Ms. Thunberg, thank you for your involvement here today. I commend you for your willingness to testify and get involved with public policy. In the past when you're talking about climate change you have said, quote, I want you to panic. I want you to feel the fear I feel every day. What particular study or scientific report did you read that made you come to this conclusion? Thank you for your question. First of all let me just clear that those are metaphors. In speeches you often use metaphors. Of course I don't mean literally that I want people to panic. So there was no scientific study that made me come to that conclusion. So we now live in a world where without any scientific foundation whatsoever a young girl unfortunately has some mental problems is allowed to not just speak to the UN and be applauded for it but to actually travel the world giving this message of fear to children and have no scientific basis whatsoever for doing so. We the people thank you. In a way we haven't made much progress because back in the 17th century when we had the witch trials we had children like a nine-year-old girl who accused people of being witches and those people were executed. To me it's the same thing without any foundation in truth or science.  The only difference now is instead of nine it's 16-year-olds so supposed to be made about seven years progress. In Wales and the UK they have actually declared a climate emergency. I suppose that seems okay on the basis of all the big film stars saying there is one but you can be sure it is not the science. Extinction Rebellion is of course no better still not based on science. Here are some clips of the Andrew Neal interview with them. Weather related disasters there seem to be a lot of them around at the moment and people die from them but on the latest figures I've seen a hundred years ago weather related disasters killed half a million people a year. Today it's 20,000 a year still 20,000 too many but it's a reduction of 95,000. It doesn't lead to the 95% the reduction of 95% it does not lead to a death of billions.  I think there's a danger of scaring people simply because we're not taking it seriously enough and people are feeling really you know desperate that we're heard on this and unfortunately you know alarmist language works which is why we're discussing it right now. But does it work? It could.  It's not necessary. Crying because they don't think they'll ever see adulthood and yet there is no scientific basis for the claims that your organization is making. The young people that I've spoken to aren't crying because they think they're going to die in a few years it's because they don't see their children as having a future they don't want to have children and they're worrying about you know coastal regions going underwater. What regions going underwater? Well let's take Al Dore's prediction because New York should be underwater by now but it isn't and he wasn't the only one predicting that. You know the Maldives going underwater are the countries and island nations going underwater. Yes much was made of the Maldives going underwater but actually a NASA survey from satellites showed that the Pacific islands are all getting bigger as are the ones in the Indian ocean including the Maldives and to be more specific as per this report the Maldives as long with other islands have grown by some eight percent over the last six decades. The mass displacement that's happening the weather extremes which may may be on a downward trajectory but climate scientists are telling us that they will be on the increase. So she accepts that these events are on a downward trend not an increasing trend are what we're being told they will increase. Actually there is no justification for that at all. In fairness to that lady she did after that interview leave extinction rebellion and started to promote nuclear power as the solution. For the last 50 years we have been bombarded with predictions like the ice caps melting and they haven't like New York going underwater and it hasn't like the Maldives disappearing and they haven't. Why are we listening to these people they are wrong time and time again and you'll always find one great thing they'll predict the future no matter how many false predictions they made in the past we're supposed to ignore that. Recently a producer tried to arrange a debate between myself and two world famous professors both of whom had written books on climate change and in that sense we're on the alarmist side of the argument. I was very happy to take both of them on on the stage but unfortunately one of them insisted on controlling the meeting as well and they also made it clear they can't allow any discussion that would cast doubt on the science. This made the whole exercise pointless but nevertheless when challenged on the alarmism this emergency question the answer was that they thought the emergency was somewhere between 300 and 1000 years away and yet both these figures are worldwide famous professors. The only reason they're not releasing their names is because I consider even though it wasn't mentioned that our Zoom talks were confidential. The talk revolved around me having a discussion with them against their views on climate change me on one side and the two professors on the other and to do this on a major venue in London. The talks broke down because not only was it two against one which I could quite accept but because they also wanted to be the arbitrator the controller of the discussion with one of them controlling it and I thought you know wrong. The main concern was I couldn't be allowed to put anything up that challenged what their version of climate change was which made the whole point of the discussion meaningless. We now live in a world where this subject cannot be openly discussed.  Science demands free speech demands critical examination because without it it is not science.


Hi, I'm Jasper from the ST TouchDFX team. In this video I'm going to show you one of the new features of the TouchDFX 4.19 release, the improved text management system. For this I have opened a new application in the 4.19 designer. Let me add a background color and a text area. The text area has an associated property where you can change the text directly, like this. But the underlying structure of the text is to be found in the text tab over here. Here is where you manage your text, make sure that it has the right typography and that all the translations are done correctly. This is in no way different than from previous versions of TouchDFX. What is different is that in the old version of TouchDFX this was one long list of texts to be translated and managed. Now it is grouped and you can add groups. You can rearrange your texts to be included in a group. You can sort them, you can name them and do a lot of things. You can search your groups for texts or strings that you want to search for. These can be included both in the ID or in one of the translations. How you want to name your group if you want to use group at all is up to you. Here I can show you, I can add a new group, I can rename it to whatever I want and I can start adding texts here. The texts you add are resources as known from previous versions of TouchDFX. So resources is a text where you have an ID and thus you can reference these in a number of text areas on your canvas screen over here. If I have more texts I can rearrange them so that they have the order that I want to use. And if I change the texts in one of them and search I'll see the one called or include hello. The bottom one here you see says the ID is auto-generated. So this is actually the text that I associated with this text area here. So the ID says auto-generated, the text was hello. So that's why I found that one when I searched. This notion of auto-generated is the thing we in previous version call single use texts. So single use text is a text that is only used by one text area and it is managed by the text area. So if I delete this text or this text area that text and that translation will be deleted as well. Whereas if the text area has pointed at a resource, so one of the other texts I made here, then the resource would not be deleted because it could be referenced by other text areas. So those are managed by you as a programmer. So those you need to make sure you clean up if you have someone, something that you do not need to be in your application or you do not use anymore. So auto-generated text IDs are for convenient and for text areas that you want to have control over the associated text. If you want to promote this, if you realize that oh I need to keep this, I want to have this as a permanent resource. I want it maybe to be referenced from other text area. You can simply go here and instead of it stating it is auto-generated, you can write a text here and it will be changed to that. So now as we saw before, this is now called my resource instead. So you can notice that if I add some more text areas, a couple of those, then I will have some new auto-generated in the unsorted group here that is a fixed group where things added in this way will come. If you, so I promoted this and I might want to say okay, so now this belongs to my group so I can move it there, so I can remove it from the unsorted bucket. But how you sort this and how you manage this is of course completely up to you. New languages are here just as you are used to, can have them, you can copy values and so on. A new thing here is that you have control over the columns you see, so you can actually hide the column or you can even go here and say which one you want to see. Navigation has also been improved in this sheet here, so you can use arrow keys and you can have two and then you can manipulate the text. And you have a right-click menu where you can do various things so you can copy a resource and so on. The typography tab here has also changed quite a bit, so now you have your list like this and you can configure your typography with these fields here. One big change for the typography is to be found in these default settings and the plus tab here, so I can have special override settings for various languages. So I should might know in the previous version you specify a typography that this row should use, so the font, the pixels and so on. Here you have the opportunity to override the settings for that typography. So for example in the case if you had Chinese as one of the languages where you did not have the Chinese characters in that font or for some reason you want for that column to use a different font then you could override it as a special thing up here. That's gone now, but what you can do instead is that in the typography list here you could say for, well it's not Chinese but let's say it is for this language here, I want not to use the default thing here, I have a different font that I want to use, I want a different size and a different BPP, special characters and so on is also applied for them. So instead of you have to make this correction for all the Chinese text that uses that typography where you typically want to override it for each time you use that typography. Now you can state it one place in the typography tab here and have the effect everywhere. So that should ease the process quite a lot. You still have one override possibility here as I showed so this is the alignment for this text. It can be overwritten so that for Chinese or Arabic it is right aligned for example instead of left. Coming back to the usage of text areas and text in this property pane over here, if I want to not use an auto-generated ID so I want to use one of my resources I can search for it here and now this is also much more intuitive I have my groups I know where to look for my texts if not I can search here this one will search on the ID so if I have an idea on what my I have called my my resource then it's easy to find here and change. So that sums up some of the changes that have we have done to the text management system in touch with everything else the underlying structure so the XML file where we save all the texts have changed a little bit but is overall the same the conversion tool from XML to Excel sheets that you can use if you're sending your text to translators are the same and when you update to 4.19 the update step will be done automatically there can be a few changes especially if you have used this feature of overriding typographies with size or BPP or funds for your for a specific entry for a language then the conversion step will create a typography that has a setting that matches and if you have done very complex things as having different overrides settings for the same typography it will create multiple typographies to match this but this will be very rare and it should work just out of the box. So hope this has encouraged you to use the the text management system in touch the effects even more and hope you like it it is based on a lot of feedback from users and partners and so on so we hope that we have improved the overall quality of this for you and for other users of touch the effects. So thank you for watching this video I hope you enjoyed the changes we made see you bye bye


Howdy guys, this is IndiePixel here and in this Houdini tutorial I am going to walk through the process of creating a tiling brick. So here you can see I have this mesh right here and it's actually utilizing some of the newer features inside of Houdini 16. So I really wanted to cover some of those things and we're also going to go through baking this guy out. So you can see here I actually have that brick material baked out and tiled there. If I come down here you can also see that the brick mesh is also tiling which is awesome. So what I wanted to do is just kind of walk through the graph here and talk about how it's constructed. So let's go through and select the grid here first and I'm going to show my properties up here. So I started with the grid here and I divided it in the rows. That way I ended up with a bunch of primitives here because I want to loop through each one of these rows here and add bricks to it. And I just centered it up on the grid. Now you don't necessarily have to do that. You could leave this anywhere you want. It could be flat too. It could be laying down on the grid as well. So not necessary there. But the rows are. So then I just reversed it so it was pointing forward and see. Again not necessary but I like to have all my stuff pointing and see like that. Alright so then from there what I did is created a for each subnetwork. That way I could loop through all the primitives. So I just did each primitive point here. So I just did that and you'll notice what that does is it slices each row up into the bricks in a random width basically. And it also offsets each of those guys. So let's go dive in here and take a look at this. Alright so it's not a huge or anything which is awesome. Alright so the first thing is I created a horizontal size. And basically that is storing. So we have here we have attribute create. Alright so I first create an attribute that stores the loop iteration. Alright and creates a random value for that. Okay so. And this is already hooked up as a HDA so we're going to jump out. So that's why I have some of these properties already hooked up. But we can still look at this. So basically the way that this works is we do a fit and then I do a random value of the current iteration that we're on. So the stamp for value is giving me the current iteration that we are on inside of this for each loop. Okay. And then basically I put that. Let's actually go into the expression editor so alt E. So we can look at it without having to keep clicking on it there. Alright so then I just that creates a random offset range in X and in Y for me. In X. Okay so let's close that. And then I have the X offset right here. And basically this is getting the size in X and dividing it by the number of bricks. Alright and I'm going to use this to allow me to cut each of those bricks. Okay so let me come down here into another for loop. Okay. And I'm going to create a random width. Now this particular value over here is actually giving me a different width. Okay so in that for loop because what I want to try to do is slice this guy up. This whole primitive depending on how many bricks I want. Okay so I'm using the iteration from the metadata here inside of this loop. Okay. And I'm getting that vert loop data and the iteration value from that. Okay. And just doing another fit and just doing a random range. Okay. And then I feed that into this all those values all those attributes I created. I feed that into this knife right here. Take a look. It's kind of a big one. And really what this expression is doing is it's just making sure that we don't actually go to the we don't end up slicing too far over so I'm trying to fit the slices within this width right here but also utilizing all those random values that I created. Alright. So then finally we just use that value inside of that knife and we get the slices. Okay. Boom. And then I just move it over a little bit. And that is the final offset in X. Like so. Alright. So then with that all set up it's pretty simple at this point. We can just go through each of these primitives here now and that's what I do in this loop. So let's go through each of these primitives here. Let me turn off the primitive numbers. And that goes and creates all the bricks for us. Alright. So if we were to jump in here it's pretty simple. I just get the current primitive that we're on. Do a transform. Now this transform is doing some randomization as well. So I'm translating it back and forth in Z. And then I'm rotating it in Z.  Alright. And I just centered up the pivot here. Then I extrude the brick out. Alright. Make sure to include the back. And then I polybelled it. Added some normals and then remeshed it. And remeshing is awesome because it does actually break it up and make it look kind of like a roughed up brick. Alright. So then from that we get all over bricks. And it's tiled already. I mean you can verify that by creating a copy and transform node. Alright. Awesome. So then I just center it up so that way when I go to do the baking, I can utilize the same grid over here so you can see that I have my low res grid. And if I didn't center that up, I'd still be right over here. Looks like it actually still kind of work. Let's go back. I know it wouldn't so. That's why I center it back up so that way we get a perfect tile. Make sure it's centered in Z. Which you don't necessarily have to do. I just kind of made it nice and clean that way. So then I come down here and I do a little bit of colorizing over here. Okay. So first what I want to do is just measure and I go and get the curvature. Now you can also use the game development curvature. There's the game dev calculate curvature. And I've noticed that this also has some problems in here. If I go and connect up the attribute blur here like this, then it seems to work. So then once that is up and running, I just auto calculate and then colorize visualizes color. And that starts to give me what I want. But in this case, I'm not going to use it right now. I did my own curvature. So basically I used a measure node and set it to curvature. And then I just did my own attribute blur like so. I just took in that attribute curvature because when we put a measure node down it adds the curvature attribute. So we can take a look at that in the geometry spreadsheet. So it adds the curvature attribute to all the points. And then I use an attribute blur to blur it out so it blurs out that value. Okay. And then I just colorize it and that gives me my curvature value for the bricks. Pretty cool. So then over here we have a connectivity going on. And all I'm doing is just checking to see if one brick is attached to another brick. This way I can actually randomize the colors on each brick. So I just use the connectivity node and put the brick attribute on it. And then I did a partition using that brick attribute as the rule. And then you just colorize it random. So I just say random from attribute on a color node and use that brick attribute. Okay. And that gives it random colors. And then we have the point bop here. And inside of this point bop I'm just adding the random colors and then colorizing the curvature. So if we dive into this guy, let's actually maximize this here. So all I'm doing is taking the current color. All right. And that's that curvature value. Let's come it in. I'm multiplying it. Let's see here. Oops. Keep doing that. All right. So when we go and we multiply those two guys together. If I say I'm taking the color, the randomized color, then I multiply those two and really you don't have to. It's just a, I found, I was just messing around with different effects. So I just took the X and the Y colors and multiplied them together. And then they did a fit. This just allows you to adjust some of those colors. I actually need to visualize that here. This allows you just to kind of have a levels adjustment in a way. All right. Pretty cool. So then this is the curvature right here. I'm just pulling that curvature value in using a import point node. And then I'm doing a fit. So again, I have those levels adjustments there. This allows you to really clamp it up so you can get whatever kind of effect you want. And really I just use the color mix and that allows me then to colorize it. And you can say I just exposed one of the values there and these, these two values right here. And this allows me then to tweak it from out here. And that is basically how I did that. I know kind of went through that a little bit fast, but I'll make this available on the site. All right. So then I just add some normals and I merged it all together with the grout. So let's cover the grout over here. All right. So what I'm doing is pulling in the grid that I've divided up here to transform. So it's sitting a little more forward. I did a remesh and that just so I had more points to work with. And then I did a point bop and inside of this point bop, I'm just giving it a noise just to make it kind of bumpy. All right. So I just did a turbulent noise and a displacement pretty standard stuff. But then what I did is I did an intersection analysis. Now this is a really cool node. It allows you to see and it gives you points where two services interact, intersect basically. So now I have a bunch of points where all those bricks are intersecting that grid. Super cool. Wish I would have had this years ago. Then I do a VDB from particles. And one thing to note on this is I had to make the point radius scale really small. And the voxel size is relatively small. And then I convert that to a polygon mesh. And you'll notice that you can use the ISO value to kind of squish it down also to get what you want. And then I just run that through another point bop, which also takes a curl noise and a turbulent noise. All right. So you can just hook those up and start playing with the values. And that really just gave it more of that brick grout looking type of effect. All right. So then I use a normal. And that's just to give it some normals. And then I colorized it, which I didn't do anything fancy for that. And then just merge those back together. And that gave me the perfect grout. Super awesome. I actually had some bump to it. Everything so worked out really well.  Now you don't have to do this, but I was just messing around with different techniques. So that's why those two guys are there. Basically you can verify the tiling of this one centerpiece here by using another copy and transform. Boom. There we go. There's some color issues. It's neat work on that, but you can always fix that in Substance Designer or Photoshop, wherever. At least the meat of the model is there.  So that is the actual texture right there. It's not a fancy texture. It's more or less about the technique of building this graph. So that's basically what I wanted to show. So to do the high res and low res bake, all I did was took that initial grid that I created. I created some UVs for it, so I switch over to the UV Editor. Just transform. I just meet it up a little bit. It's weird. And then just put in a null node. That way I can access the low. And I created another null node for the high. And so if we go to our render in context here, I just have a games baker. You're not familiar with that in the game development tool set. There's the game baker right there. So you just hit that and it automatically throws this down for you. And all I did then is in this case just output the base color and normal map. All the others worked just fine too. But all you need to do, it's really simple to use. Set your resolution, set the path where you want the images to be saved out. And then just select the low and the high from these guys. So I just hit the little node selector deal. All right. And then just go in and find that low null node. And same for the high. Easy peasy. And when you're ready, just hit render. And it will bake it out for you. All right. So hopefully that's useful. Like I said, I'll make this available up on the website so everyone can see. Or you can use it or just dissect it. It's pretty easy to do. But it's fun to mess around with figuring out how to use, who do you need to create these tiling textures. I mean, you can even use this as a tiling model if you want. Obviously I'd have to close off the sides here. But pretty good. All right. Thanks so much, guys.


Everybody forced here rip in a box of 21 22 Don Russ optic basketball fast break for Tracy C Tracy appreciate the order. Good luck Bones Highland rated rookie base disco Rashaun Holmes Evan Mobley rated rookie base Disco the rookies Evan Mobley Jason Preston Davion Mitchell rated rookie Disco Kristaps Forzingis Robinson Earl they are on sharp hollow Dennis Schroeder and a blue disco jammer ant nice job 24 a 50 Josh Christopher Rated Rookie Disco Trayman It's screenplayed Debo every time Franz Wagner rated rookie those like a 30-yard catch and run Wise can purple disco Lamello sweet color match 92 of 95 on the purple Lamello Greg Brown third John and Kaminga rated rookie a Disco Christian Wood there was a ding on that Greg Brown, so I'll send an empty box and wrapper With this one Tracy Emias Keita James Book Knight rated rookie 75 years Moses Moody and a disco elite dominators Kawhi Leonard Quentin Grimes Kade Cunningham base rated rookie Lighted up Curry disco Carmelo Anthony. I had a Sunmu rated rookie a Fast break signatures on Yaga Okangwu Second-year Okangwu auto and a red disco Cole Anthony on the back nice Cole 13 of 85 and that will do it appreciate it Tracy. We'll get the cards right out to you


I had to keep the introduction a bit lower intensity there because the princess is sleeping and I didn't want to wake her up. So anyway this video, this recipe if you will is a follow up video to the one I made about fats and carbohydrates and this is for anyone who goes along the path of eating more fats and less carbohydrates.  I use this recipe every once in a while if I know I don't intend to eat for a few hours if I will want to have a good amount of energy for an activity but not a high intensity activity. So first and foremost we know what caffeine does it gives us some mental clarity and it gives us some extra energy for a few hours and fats the same thing and if you are accustomed, if you have accustomed your body to run more efficiently on fats because you eat more fats this will be even better. So basically what it does, this recipe I'm about to show you is that it gives you some energy and when that energy from the fats is expended you will continue to burn your body fat. Now keep in mind if you want to lose weight the magic formula is calories in versus calories out. So you can't magically manipulate your body to burn fat in any secret way it's just a matter of doing it as pleasantly as possible and in my humble view as I said in my carbohydrates video I eat a lot of carbohydrates because I want to fuel my athletic performance in whatever sports it might be primarily the temple of iron but for anyone who does lower intensity activities or for someone who doesn't train that much or for me personally if I'm not doing something high intensity this is a recipe I am going with. So enough rambling let me show you the ingredients. First and foremost of course coffee. I won't tell you which brand it is ultimately it would have been my own brand but I'm not quite there yet but one day it's something to strive towards and then I will make damn sure to visit the farmers who are making the actual coffee see that they are being treated fairly by everyone that they have good conditions to work in and that the coffee beans are good and solid but anyway main ingredients coffee. Then we have three different ingredients and you can choose two of them if you want and you can take a tablespoon of the two of your choice. So first and foremost we have some coconut oil looks like that and you can take one tablespoon throw it in there gives it a good taste as well so that's one ingredient. The second ingredient is some good old unsalted Swedish butter. Tablespoon of that as well. The third option is basically the same as regular butter so we have ghee and no I'm not sponsored by Kumarkatta although I am a fan of their marketing and their logo just for the sake of transparency there but you can choose either of these two sources of fat throw in one tablespoon of each into a mixer and now you might say to me ombre are you mad for eating for drinking this much fat and I would say no it depends on what else you're eating. Some people might argue that it's dangerous with cholesterol and everything like that it might be true if you are sedentary but if you're active if you live an active lifestyle it's absolutely nothing dangerous to eat a lot of fat. It's an anti-fat myth so to speak but that being said as well if you are having this for breakfast in addition to carbohydrates it's not a good idea it's not a good idea to combine carbohydrates and fats especially this much fat. So whenever I take this it's if I'm going out to do something explore a cave or drive a few hours to hold an MMA seminar like I did a few days back I kept my energy levels throughout the day perfectly fine I didn't have to worry about eating or anything like that so that is the point with it so I'm going to make it now show how it looks and say some final words so be right back. The elixir of the gods is ready. Usually I would drink this in a cup but I want to show you the beauty and majesty of it. So I chose the good old Swedish butter and the coconut oil that's my standard variation if you choose the ghee I don't know how to pronounce it but we can say ghee it gives a bit less sweet taste and a bit more nutty taste so that can be nice every once in a while as well but this is how it looks right now and as I said drink this if you are not eating any other breakfast and if you are primarily eating fats or if you intend to not eat carbohydrates for a good few hours because again try to not combine fats and carbohydrates so often especially if you want to lose some fat or lose some weight and again if you are going to be without food for quite some time you need a good solid drink to keep you going for a long time so I will drink this now edit some videos do some work so yeah hopefully you can try this out and get back to me in a common video or on instagram or wherever and tell me how you like it and also lastly if you like Gains Kitchen videos if you want to see more Gains Kitchen videos smash the like button then I know that they are appreciated also do follow me on telegram I am the most active there now and yeah if you're in sweden if you are a fellow swede do check out jordanennutrition.se for some supplements so yeah have a glorious rest of your day XXO


Hi everyone, Sean with jaspyscasebreaks.com here doing 2019-2020 Prism Blaster 1 Box Random Team number 31, where we're giving away a spot in Eminence basketball, a $3,700 spot in Eminence basketball. We have the next filler in the store now, and only two spots straight up. It's a big ask, but it's a random hit break.  So, two spots straight up, one more filler, and we can do an Eminence case tonight. So, let's do it. 30 spots, everyone gets a random team on a 1 box break, 19-20 Prism Blaster, Novak Common Ship. At the end of the break, we'll take all 30 names, top spot wins a spot in the Eminence break. So, here is our customer list from Gretchen Tiernan with Last Spot Mojo back up to Gretchen Tiernan, and the teams from the Atlanta Hawks down to the Washington Wizards. This first dice roll in Randomizer is just for the break itself, which we can still get some really nice stuff out of. We'll do a separate dice roll in Randomizer at the end of the break to give away the spot in Eminence. Six and three, nine times. Good luck. Ninth and final time from Brian Frank down to Brian Frank. And you can see nine times there, nine times there, and now nine times on the teams. Ninth and final time from the Gris down to the Pistons. So, you can see nine times on the Randomizer, back to nine times on the dice. We're not going to read through every single one of these, no trade window either, since it is a filler break, but we'll go through some of the highlights so that everybody can see who they have. Obviously, Brian Frank with the Grizzlies, chances at John Morant there. Danny Connell, Lakers, LeBron. He's pretty good. Gretchen Tiernan, Luca Donicic, Rui Hachimura for Robert Runkel, PJ Washington Jr., Daniel Gutenplan. Cameron Johnson, Danny Connell, whole bunch of slew of rookies for Shawn Matic and the Celtics. Pelicans, Zion. Gretchen. Spurs, Keldon Johnson, Matt Hagen, Bulls, Kobe White, Shawn Matic, Knicks, RJ Barrett, Brian Frank, Kam Reddish, Gon Hawks, Heat, Tyler Hero, Daniel Graham, Segu Jamboya, Brian Frank, Pistons. There you go. So, pretty much lots of good names. So, let's print. So, here's our blaster. Oh, that's weird. Kind of paused between the transition. Let me move this up a little bit. We're balanced. There you go. Just like everything in the world, perfectly balanced. Gretchen Tiernan, last spot mojo with the Raptors. Remember guys, only one more prism blaster in the store right now if we can sell out those other two spots straight up and we can do an eminence. One hit, so you're guaranteed a hit in the break. Will you be the next person that we hit a $100,000 card for? Maybe. The purple wave, I think, is the blaster exclusive in this. They sell for a lot to hold up with the right name on it. Uh-oh. I have to take pictures of the inventory room for a minute. Goga Patadze for the Pacers, Daniel Graham, DeAndre Hunter for the Hawks, William Tiernan. Jared Culver, Rookie Relic for the Timberwolves, Danny Connell. Michael Kibb Gilchrist, Charlotte Hornets, Daniel Gutinplum, Eric Pascall for the Warriors, Brandon Hall, Andre Igadala for the Grizzlies, Brian Franck, and Wilson Chandler, Purple Wave for the Nets, Gretchen Tiernan, Jalen Hands for the Nets, Gretchen Tiernan, and John Morant, Emergent for the Grizzlies. Brian Franck. There you go. So we got one jaw in there. So back to the randomizer. Original list again from Gretchen, down to Gretchen. New dice roll, five out of three, eight times. Good luck. Eighth and final time, okay. So eight times on the randomizer, eight times on the dice. So from spots two down to 30, thank you guys very much for getting in on this and hopefully I can do better for you next time. The last filler hopefully, if we can sell those two spots straight up, four eminence is in the store now. Special congratulations to Matt Hagen. You just got yourself a $3,700 spot in an eminence random hit break. Guaranteed a hit from eminence. Eight times on the randomizer, Matt Hagen on top, eight times on the dice. And there you go. That was 2019-2020 Prison Blaster One Box Random Team number 31 from jaspyscasebreaks.com. I'm Sean, jaspyscasebreaks.com. Thanks for hanging out. See you next time.