The following is a presentation of TFNN. The Traders Edge with Steve Rhodes. Toll free at 1-877-927-6648. Or internationally at<PHONE_NUMBER>. The Traders Edge. Now Steve Rhodes. Good afternoon folks, welcome to the November 6th, the wonderful Wednesday edition of today's Traders Edge. I'm your host Steve Perseverance Rhodes, who absolutely knows that each of us should always be pioneers of our future versus prisoners of our past. Hope everyone out there is having a great day. Hey, let's make sure we have an extraordinary day. Yep, an extraordinary day and the easiest way to do that is to always remember that life is happening for us. Not to us. That's right, when you and I make that one little two-by-four shift, it means we can find the gift in every set of circumstance that life is going to toss at us. Now today you and I are going to go check on the circumstance of these markets. We're going to go figure out what those bulls and bears, what those buyers and sellers are communicating. To you and I, just past one o'clock in the afternoon, I'm absolutely grateful for your presence here, but much more important than that, during the next 60 minutes I'm here to serve you. So feel free to pick up that phone. You can dial on in at<PHONE_NUMBER>. If you can't dial in, we've got you covered there too. Just send me an email. Steve at tfn.com, but please send it early. Not often, but early. And please put radio show question in the subject heading. And of course in our Tigers Denwell, any ping will do. So let's go ahead and get this show started on wonderful Wednesday. Of course, this is Tiger, Financial News Network. I'm Steve Rhodes. Welcome to LUS Show. Right now we've got all the indices in the red. You've got the Dow off 50 points, trade on a 27-442, less than two tenths of a percent to the downside, same with the S&P 500, and the X100 is off a half a percent and three quarters of a percent in the Russell 2000. They're down 38 and 12 points respectively. The Summizer off one and a quarter percent, off about 22 points. That's trading out at 17-08. Spotball of Tilted X is relatively muted. It's up 15 pennies, a little over 1%. Trading out at 13-25. Gold's up 9-50. Trading at 14-93. Silver is up two pennies. Lights we'd crude off 87 cents, leading the charge to the upside. Insulate Corp. PODD is a ticker symbol. It's up over 10% 15 bucks. Constellation Pharmaceuticals of 14 bucks or 96%. They have obviously cured something. Inospec, or maybe it's IPO today. Inospec is up 11% or 10 bucks. Humana up 10. To the downside, it's next cure. Off 24 bucks. Trading out 26% as well. Trading out at 68. GW Pharma off 23 bucks. Annie Pharmaceuticals down 17. Booking, holding 17. Riyadh Pharmaceuticals 16. A lot of Pharmaceuticals to the downside. So, let's begin with a request that came in late last night. The ticker symbol is AEP. Let's go take a look. Then we'll go to the General Markets. We're going to do this. Then Palladium. And then we'll go to the General Markets out here. So this is American Electric Power. And I don't remember the exact question. Because it came in about 9 o'clock last night. But here's what we know. With regard to profiles out here, yesterday was a close below support. That was the bottom of its daily profile. 92-32. That then takes us over to the weekly to say where's the next level of support. While in the weekly timeframe, it's a bare structured box and prices trading below 93-14. 93-14 is the center of that bare structure box. This would suggest sellers should be able to push price down to 89-63. Whether that holds a support or not, we don't know. In the monthly chart, not really helping us from the standpoint of a profile. Because that profile is priced at 75-88. It's trading at 91-81. All right. So what does all that mean out there? Well, this suggests here just looking at profiles. Anticipate to move back to 89-63. Let's go look at the daily timeframe chart using Stevie's other tools out here. See what we see. And we don't see a whole heck of a lot different than what we just looked at other than it gives us a price objective of 90-28. That is a support level on the way down. So 90-28, 89-63 is very likely where AEP is headed to. Now, from a monthly perspective, although the month is not over, it looks like we're going to have a TD set up nine count pattern out here. Last time we saw a TD set up nine count pattern, the AEP moved lower for about five months out there. So at this stage here, looks like lower price. The key is going to be 90-33. That's Stevie's green line in the monthly timeframe chart. A close below that suggests lower price should continue. Let's go out to Newark, New Jersey and speak with Adam. Adam, thanks for calling. Thanks for holding. How are you today? Good, good. The first one I'm looking for is PLT. I see it gaps back to 2009 at 19. And then the next stock I'm going to ask for is Milam Labs and Milo. So what are you trying to do? Sure, what are you trying to do with Plantronics? PLT. Makes some money, some cheese. So you're trying to buy it? Can it go back to 2009? There's a gap there at 19. Can it go to... Well, look, it can head back. I don't see the gap. I'm looking at a monthly timeframe chart, so you may be looking at it daily or what have you. But here's what we have. Let's just take a look at Plantronics. And Plantronics gap to the downside, gigantic gap to the downside today. Straight out of 2338 volume is 5.7 million shares. It's taking out swing points on a weekly basis with volume. Looks like it's taking them out on a monthly basis with volume as well. So now what we would have to really do out here is see some type of bottoming pattern before I could suggest that you get in on this thing. And I just simply don't have that when I take a look at the daily timeframe chart. Let me look at the longer, look at the monthly out here. And the only way for me to be able to really assist you is to form a TD set up nine count top out here. So that's a normal pattern. I think this has got much further to move to the downside or at least a number of days before any kind of bottoming signal or pattern. So at this stage here, I say you should stay away from Plantronics Inc. out there. What was your second? Simple? MYL. MYL. So let's see what this one looks like today. That is Mylin Pharmaceuticals. Mylin NV out here. Boy also moving lower and trading below the daily profile that formed yesterday. Now below the weekly. Let me get my other charts fired up here. And you're trying to do a little bottom fishing. And so in order to do bottom fishing, we really want to see some type of bottoming pattern or signal. Right now, Institutionals are selling for tax law. What do you think? Well, okay. But, you know, there's a lot of them dumping it. I mean, there's some damage that's being done here. If Mylin, if Mylin today closed below 1727 and that's its support level out there. So you're trading at 1722 right now. It just tells you that it wants to, technically speaking, tells you that it wants to continue to move lower out here. And, you know, where's that lower price out here? Look, if it clears the 1549 area, it gets all the way back into the 2008 lows out there. So the only way that I could give you the cost is clear. Sign would be to see some type of a bottom pattern out here. But on the team, if we're going back to 2009 and everything, because there's gaps all over and they're starting to give you, you don't see four stocks can't keep up to a stock market. You know what I mean? All these little ones are going back to 2008 or 2009. I've been doing my research. Those gaps on plant trauma, there's $9 probably next month, February, it'll be $9. No, no problem. So you're in that camp. I am so far away from that camp. We're not going back to 2000. Well, money's free right now. Any time soon. So I'm going to pay you $9 and $9. And I'm going to pay you $9 and $9, and they're going to pay you that. They're going to pay you up the dollar and the dollar's disappear. Audio baby. Okay. Hey, good to talk to you. Thanks for calling in. We're about to go to a heartbreak. Steve Rhodes with T F and N. Be right back. If you're not currently using the TAS Profile Scanner when looking at setting up your trading opportunities, then your arsenal is short a mighty weapon. 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So yesterday, one of our dinners Ruby in the Tiger's den and wanted to take a look at Palladium and we did look at it with regard to the TAS market profiles, but I didn't have the instrument in my other system out there. And so I said that I would come back to it. I don't know if she's listening today, but here if we take a look at Palladium, we can see that this is formed that roads momentum indicator topping pattern. It did it two days ago when it created that little bear sash candle pattern out here. Now, what this tells us is that the seller should be able to push price down to 16 30 out here now before price would get to 16 30. There's a support level which is the bottom of that profile at 17 12. So we've got a valid topping pattern prices already below Stevie's green line. The next role of sellers is to push price down to the next level of support that next level support is 17 12 then below that is where price is going to come out. And that was at the 16 30 area. That's what the daily time frame chart for Palladium is telling us out there. And if we look at the weekly time frame chart, it has a valid TD set up nine count that high can come on bars eight nine or the bar following nine. This was the bar following nine. Now in this case here, the responsibility of sellers is to push price down to support the first level of support that we see on a weekly basis is 17 19 that is where the price goes down to the next level of support is 15 95. That's the top of its weekly profile. And then you've got 14 47 where price had originally broken out on a weekly basis for Palladium out there. So that's what I see when I take a look at Palladium using Stevie's other tools and speaking of Stevie's other tools, we go take a look at the general markets out here. This is a new tool that I'm working on. I've been upgrading my machine and saw quite a lot of my software and have my programmers working steadily at getting some of these things fixed here, but you and I we spend time really wanting to do two things, right? We want to buy bottoms and we want to sell tops out there. And so what I'm doing is really trying to automate a lot of those top and bottom signal tools that we use here on the show and this this is showing you an example of one of those tools. We have a lot of these top signals out there. The market's moving lower. We'll look for those bottom signals to show up. But this is important because if you take a look at all the cash indices, not all of them, including the XAU out there, you can see all the ones that are highlighted in green would either be in counts eight or nine. Now these are as of yesterday. Ninja trader has a problem with the way that it closes the bars. So it's only showing me the count eight and the XAU out there. They all formed TD set up nine count tops. So it suggests that a top is near, but we have to do further research on that. When I say further research, we have to understand where their support levels are because that's really what any type of topping signal is going to communicate to us. But before we go do that and walk you through that process, let's go out to Martinez, California and speak with Brent. Brent thanks for calling. Thanks for holding. How are you? Do we have Brent? Getting over a little bit here. Okay. How about yourself? I am doing well. Thank you. Let's see. Do I have the right symbols to GP or is that what you want to look at Gulfport energy? Yeah, it's a stock that I actually got it out of on excuse me on Monday. Okay, I bought it around 250 and I sold it 360. My question about it is there, excuse me, is there a level of a retracement that would make sense to, you know, consider getting back in it. Okay, so one of the levels that I would consider, Brent, if this will pull back would right now it's about 304 and 304 is Stevie's green line level. So the day that you sold out perhaps was a couple of days ago, so on November 5th out there as that bar was forming, it was bringing its price oscillator up to zero. And the way that I know that is because my line changes color and it went from red to green. There's a phenomena that typically takes place when the price oscillator gets to zero and that is that price and my green line level, currently at 304 will catch up to each other. So it's somewhere between 304 and where it's trading right now because, you know, the line can continue to move up but that would be the retracement area because that would be a bullish test. When the line turns green, the price oscillator is above zero. Ideally you see a test of the oscillator and change line. That's what I refer to as Stevie's green or red line out there and a bullish test is a test and a bounce off of it which would then set up a move to higher price and probably an A to B equal CD pattern. With regard to profiles, it's 308, that would be the top of its daily profile and it's 320 which is the top of its weekly profile out there. So that's what I would see as logical places to consider taking another trade inside of Gulfport Energy. Okay. I'm trying to take a close look at the CLF. What's that CLF? Okay. CLF is the ticker symbol and so let's go take a look at it. Now in this case here are you in it? Tell me what you're doing. I don't have any position in this one. I haven't owned it for a long time. Same kind of question. Is there a level that, you know, to consider that it could get down to a support level that would be worth at least taking a look at it? Two. So there's two levels out here Brent that we can take a look at outside of the market profiles and so when we take a look at Cliff, CLF folks, we'll see that this has a confirmed TD set up nine count top. Bar eight was the high that was on November the fourth and now because it's a valid topping pattern what sellers should be able to do the first test is going to be pushed price down to 717 or very close to that level that is the oscillator and change line. Brent if you see price close below 717 then the next logical area is where price had broken out from and that would be six dollars and 82 cents but price should move back to Stevie's red line another 15 cents or so to the downside and you also have it 692 so we got 692 and 682 682 where it broke out 692 the bottom of the daily profile 713 is the bottom of the weekly profile so those would be the levels that I would be watching for inside of ticker symbol CLF. Okay very good I appreciate Steve. Hey you have a great day and again thank you very much for your help.  Okay I'm hanging in there all right take care of these. Okay you bet. Hey let's go to Ron and Denver Ron thanks for calling thanks for holding how are you. Yep I'm here perfect Ron it's Steve tell me what I can do for you. We have you. Hello. Yes yes Ron this is Steve. Oh okay yeah I bought calls on Nugget this morning NUGT. Yes I just wondered what are your thoughts on gold it's a period it'd be a reflex rally how high will it go how long will it last. Okay so let's go take a look at it we'll take a look at gold and what we're going to do here is we're going to take a look at the bottom that formed in gold on a 30 minute timeframe because that was with the roads momentum indicator bottom pattern out here it did it yesterday at around two o'clock in the afternoon how high can this go and this is a 30 minute timeframe chart out here the first thing that we should see well we're about to go to a heartbreak no a heart break out here so please hold on the line will come back in just a few minutes will continue to look at the gold contract and Nugget we should see gold pull back into about the 1490 area straight at 1492 right now but we'll be right back thank you sure I'm certain you are or strive to be one of the best of the best at everything you do in life it's the most common trade that we tigers and tigers is share if you're looking to become the best of the best when it comes to managing your money let me teach you to do what most wealth managers tell you can't be done which is how to time the markets I'm Steve Rhodes author of mastering probability and for the last two months timer digest has been tracking my newsletter signals which have earned me the ranking as their number one market timer in the nation for the S&P 500 for the last 12, 6 and 3 months timer digest also ranks me as the number one market timer for gold as well the fact is markets can be timed and I'll teach you the exact set of tools that I use that has transformed me into one of the best at what I do sign up for mastering probability today by clicking on the newsletter tab on the homepage of TFNN.com and get immediate access to all of the workshops where I take you step by step how to use an extraordinary set of tools as well as provide great market calls to sign up today the path of least resistance is David White's daily trading newsletter and if you're looking for active trading ideas then now is a perfect time for a 30 day free trial to this powerful daily trading advisory service David uses his years of trading experience to offer his subscribers his trading ideas each morning in his path of least resistance with no obligation to pay anything David has been delivering solid recommendations for his subscribers recently and if you'd like to see the type of newsletter he delivers every morning then visit the front page of TFNN and you'll find the path of least resistance under true resistance. So if you're looking for active trading ideas and if you're looking for active trading ideas then now is a perfect time to get active trading ideas and if you're looking for active trading ideas then now is a perfect time to get active trading ideas and if you're looking for active trading ideas then now is a perfect time to get active trading ideas The art of timing the trade charts allows you to scan thousands of stocks for Fibonacci formation setups, including Gartly's, ABC's, Butterflies and much more. The art of timing the trade charts is designed to help you when scouring the markets for stocks just beginning to form the trading patterns that many investors spend days, weeks or even months searching to find. And right now we're offering licenses available at only $79 a month. We are so confident that you're going to love this new charting software that will even give you a 30 day unconditional money back guarantee. Don't miss out on this incredible new piece of software. Get your copy of the art of timing the trade charts today by visiting TFNN.com. This segment is brought to you by Think or Swim. For more information, just click the Think or Swim banner on the front page of TFNN.com. Folks, we're on the line with Ron and Denver. We're actually taking a look at the gold contract.  Okay, I'm still here. Yep, yep, we got you. So the price area where it looks like gold will bounce to is in the 1495 to 1499 level. Those would be the first places I would be looking at your 1492. So just a few bucks north of where we're at anywhere from three to $7. Now, 1499 is the top of the 60 minute profile out there. When we went to break as we're going to break, we're looking at where did the bottom come in and what pattern was generated. It was on a 30 minute timeframe chart out there. And if price is able to close above those levels of 1499 is both the top of the 60 minute profile and on a daily basis, it's my oscillator on change line value area. So that's why I say 1499 seems like the area where price would find resistance. If price is able to close above that, then I just simply resort back to my 30 minute timeframe chart, the one that identified the bottom to then answer the question, well, what will be to identify the top? And this says that price could get all the way up to 1507 and there would be just a natural retracement or bounce back up to resistance. That's where price had broken down yesterday on the 30 minute timeframe chart for gold. So that's what it looks like to me. Okay. Thank you very much. Oh, by the way, that was a brilliant call saying that gold was going to make that kind of a major drop back around 1485 that you said about a week ago. Well, I think there's many more several major drops that we'll see, but we'll just take things one step at a time. And by one step at a time, in order for those other major drops to take place, we know that gold has to close below the bottom of its daily profile. And at that level, by the way, for everybody watching is 1480 to 40. That's what the profile is at this moment out here. So right now, just a little bit of a counter turn rally, but it could certainly extend itself up to those levels that we took a look at. All right, my friend. Thank you, sir. Appreciate it very much. You bet. You bet. That was Ron and Denver. Thanks so much for calling. So before, so we were, well, I was trying to get back to what it was we were looking at before. So here again, here's a, and what this tool here is to be used for, for subscribers, for myself, others and so forth. It's really to be able to scan every single stock and instrument out there for every kind of timeframe that we want to be able to trade and look for things that are topping or bottoming out there, utilizing this pattern of also, I'm also in the process of automating the Chapman wave counts out here. And that's what this is. This still has more work to do. This is just a prototype number one out there, but I'll be able to open up any chart and automatically drop those counts as well as these TD counts, as well as the roads momentum indicator so that we can do some bottom fishing, which is really our first call. Victor from New Jersey was calling and he was trying to do some bottom fishing and bottom fishing is great, but we want to see some type of pattern associated with it. Now, when we get those topping patterns, as we just looked at, for example, inside the ES mini out there, what does that mean to us? Now, if we take a look at the ES mini, we'll just come back here. I'll open up now the chart. You can see both wave number seven. That's letter G out here. And it looks like if yesterday's high is not taken out, that'll confirm singing in the key of G. You've got the TD setup nine count, which the high could have formed today or yesterday. At this stage here, we're calling it yesterday's high. Now, with those topping signals and patterns are in place. The first move to the downside is back to Stevie's green line, the oscillator and change line. That's the first level of support. Testing 3052 and bouncing off of it will be bullish. Even with this little topping or topping signal out here, the question is, will price be able to close below that level? Because if that level of support fails, then we have to look for what other support is out there. Now, we know that the ultimate level of support inside of the ES mini is 299875. That is where price broke out. That was on October 24th. That's in essence where we had the continuation of that TD setup nine count pattern out there. But before we get there, Jay and the Den would like to know, hey, are there any new market profiles? And it just so happens that what the ES mini is trying to do out here, Jay, I don't know if Jay's even on the line, is form a new market profile. Here's our four quadrants where you've got the daily. That's in the upper left, the weekly on the upper right, the monthly on the lower left and the quarterly in the lower right. What we're focused on right now is the daily. Now, this is a new profile that's attempting to form for subscribers out there know that the profile changed at about 12 noon today. So to shift it around, just as we had anticipated, but this shift is actually a bullish shift. Not a shifty shift, but a bullish shift out there. So I want everybody to listen and listen closely. Okay. Yes, we've got topping patterns out there. And I don't know what this market profile is going to be at day's end. Right now, we have to use the information that has been provided to us. And that information is that the profile has now formed below price. That, my friends, is a bullish outcome as we speak at 1.35 in the afternoon. Let me show you what it is that I mean. Typically, when profiles form, this takes you back into the this is a, how is that? How could this be daily? And say, yeah, this is daily. Just like, oh, there we go. Okay. So I'm just taking you back to the beginning of the year. Okay. So to January, December, December of last year. And that's what we're looking at. What I want you to notice is when you see, and just start from the left, when you see price getting above these profiles, you'll see a new profile form. And typically price is within that profile. So you break above it, for example, January 30th. For several days, there's no new profile, much like what we've had here for a couple of weeks. And then a new profile forms and prices in it, such as back in February of 29th, February 7th of 2019. However, out here, here's what we can see.  This time frame is June 7th, June 7th, 2019 price close above the daily box. This is very similar to the pattern we have going on right now. Price continues to trade above that profile until a new one forms. Well, the new one doesn't form until the day of June 24th. And price on June 24th was above that new profile. And price moved down lower. Basically, to the top of that new profile that formed here. So this is going to be really critical for both bulls and bears out there. Yes, we've got these very valid topping signals. Remember, when you get a topping pattern, it doesn't mean we're going to 2008. It only means that what sellers have the right to do, the ability to do what they should be able to do is push price down to support. And that's really the other element that you and I need to be perfectionist center, be proficient at, which is being able to identify patterns that identify tops and bottoms so we can do the top fishing and the bottom fishing. Then we need to understand where levels of support are. We know it's going to be Stevie's green line or red line. We know we've got the task market profiles. And then we have the TD set up nine count breakout levels. That's all that we need and then we can manage the trade. So at this stage here, if this profile does take effect, understand this is a bullish set up as of one thirty eight in the afternoon. Now, I can't control what sellers or buyers are going to do any more than you can. But right now, the price to be watching is 30, 59, 30, 59, 50, really, to be exact out there. But here's what I also know in watching these profiles form below price. If price able to close inside it, close below 30, 59, 50, then that tells us that a key level of support has failed and we would anticipate a retracement, the next level of retracement back to 30, 26 to 30, 33. Steve Rhodes with TFN will be right back. If you're in the CD market and looking for a secure investment, the Tiger First mortgage program may work for you. The security for these first mortgages are building lots in the tax opportunity zone in St. Petersburg, Florida. 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There is GPC as we take a look at where it's trading relationship to resistance of its task market profiles. It's above the daily. It's above the weekly. It's above the monthly. That says price should continue higher. We can take a look at the A to B equal CD pattern inside of the daily time frame chart out here. Looks like I may need to redraw that. No problem. So let's go redraw the A to B equal CD pattern out here. The A point is going to start. Looks like down at the bar on August 26 out here. Let's go ahead and actually mark that bar. What's the deal here? Why won't it? What's the story? What's the scoop? Well, bummer. That's OK. I always have a backup plan. If I can't get this one to work, which I can't, we go to the backup plan. So the backup plan, I'm going to click on that there. The backup plan says let's go to Stevie's other charts. But above here, this says that price wants to move higher. Let's go take a look at the daily time frame chart using Stevie's other tools. We'll go ahead and type. So you can see when this bottoms the bottom of the roads momentum indicator bottom, it gives you that confirmation signal on August 28. That little bullish engulfing candle. Let's go draw in an A to B equal CD pattern out here. And so when we take a look at genuine parts, you're going to see that price looks like the next target upside target is the one point two seven two A to B equal CD level that would get you to one oh eight seventy four out here. See if there's anywhere we at in the wave count. Looks like just wave number three. But let's come back and take a look at it off of that bottom out there. Yeah. So wave count, we don't see anything there. You're in bar five of a TD set up nine count pattern. Last time you got to bar nine, you saw a little bit of a pullback. Here's a perfect example of why I'm trying to make sure that each of you are very cautious. I've got no problems with you being short the market with all of those topping signals, but I just want you to recognize how important Stevie's green line is here when you get these valid topping signals. Here is a perfect example. So Alaska Steve must have known that just to great segue. But here's your nine count top forms on October 24th. Actually formed on October 23rd. But because the higher high took place the following day, that still qualifies what do sellers do? They push price down to Stevie's green line until you break that with consistency. For two days in a row out here, that's just a test of support. And that's all that was going on inside of GPC. Folks, the be agnostic to the symbol that we're taking a look at out here. Assume that this chart was the ES mini. We'd be saying in essence the same things out there. Not that price can't push below these areas, but just know that this becomes your first target level to be watching and if price bounces off of it, make sure that you most certainly tighten up those stops because that is a bullish indication. You put that along with the way that the profile has formed thus far. It's got to say it's got to make you say, hmm, something to think about. So I don't see any level that we so those that's the first projection level that I can provide to you with regard to GPC. Let's take a look at the weekly timeframe. See if there's anything else that is out here other than the prior highs in the 114 area. So I don't see anything getting in the way of that at this stage. I there is a bit of caution in that the oscillator and change line turned colors two weeks ago. So this could say that if you see the top form of an A to B equal CD as an example on a daily timeframe, expect price to pull back into whatever Stevie's oscillator and change line is on a weekly base right now that was at 99.59 on a monthly timeframe out here. I don't have any signal for you. Nothing certainly bearish out there. So it does look like it wants to continue running higher. Just stay into this, but watch the daily timeframe chart for the first bearish reversal candle that would tell you you would have a valid topping pattern. So I hope that helps you out. Let me go to the other questions that have come in by email out here. And then if there's time, we'll go take a look at AT&T. I believe that was another request from Steve in the den. Lee writes, and he says, I'm short the spy. So let's go ahead and do that here. We put it in and we've in essence covered that, Lee, because I really think it should be watching the ES mini to trade that. But, you know, you're asking what's the downside target. So the the issue is that that downside target can occur in overnight or early morning trading hours before you might be able to get rid of spy. But what we're watching for inside the ES mini is 3052. That becomes the first downside target. A close below that then says, OK, there's a second downside target. Those become the market profiles. But we'll just have to come back to those when we get there as we get there. Now in the spy itself, that value is going to be 30487. So there's your valid TD set up nine count pattern. You can see Stevie's green line at 30487. You're trading at 306 and change right now looks like 30689. That would be the area that I'd be watching. However, a lot can happen in overnight hours. You get the test of rejection of Stevie's green line and then it could be back off to the races to the upside. But you ask for the spy number that becomes the first spy number 30487. Just for blanks and giggles out here, if I put the spy up just to see if there's a new profile forming here and there's not one that shows up, but I'm using the early Doppler profile system when we were looking at what was potentially forming out here on the daily timeframe. And that's 305950 is the top of that profile. So, Lee, thanks for writing in. I hope that that helps to answer your question. We've got John in Philly on the line. Let's go out to John. John, thanks for calling. Thanks for holding. How are you? Stevo, I'm doing very well. We've got up here at the frozen tundra. It is, in fact, and to answer the question, is this bounce in the bond futures? Have any clues that tell you this is nothing but a bounce or possibly? So sure. So the way that I would answer that question would be to try to first figure out why did bonds bottom yesterday? Was there any pattern that I can find in any time frame? And then that would then help me to answer the question more fully. And the answer to that question is, yes, we saw a bottoming pattern inside the 30 year treasury on the two hour time frame that valid bottoming pattern was the TD set up nine come. That's what set up the bounce. Now what buyers are supposed to do is try to push price up to resistance. The first level of resistance was Stevie's Green Line. We saw price go ahead and close above that. It's trading above that now. The second levels were the 120 minute time frame TAS market profiles. The 120 minute profile has a bearish structure, and it's right at about the high of the day. If the high of the day gets taken out, John, then what you would anticipate is this TD set up nine count is telling you that price is going to go push all the way up into where it broke down on the 120 minute time frame. That's 159 and 20, 30 seconds out there. So I would say watch the high of the day. If you see a move above the high of the day out here, then that says it should run all the way up into that 159, 20. Is that a going to tell me that it's the the extent of a larger move out there? Wouldn't be able to make that conclusion until we see a close above 159, 20. Excellent. I appreciate that, sir. You bet. Good to hear your voice. Stay warm. That was John in the frozen tundra as he liked to refer to it. Steve Rhodes with TFN and we'll be right back. Basil Chapman has just announced a live 90 minute webinar he'll be conducting for subscribers to his daily trading newsletter, the opening call, which will be taking place Tuesday, November 19th from five till 6 30 p.m. Eastern time, titled a comprehensive review of the Chapman wave techniques and market outlook ahead for 2020. This is a great time to sign up for a 30 day free trial to the opening call while gaining access to Basil's live subscriber event taking place later this month with some stock picks up 15 to 30% this year alone. Basil will review many of the Chapman wave techniques that helped in their successful analysis as well as providing the sectors and stocks that he thinks will be of importance heading into 2020. For all the details, check out the opening call on the front page of TFN.com. If you're a trader in the market looking for exposure to gold or gold mining equities, then now is a perfect time to sign up for Tom O'Brien's gold report. The summer is over. Gold is trading back above $1,500 and the 10 year treasury is hovering at around 1.5% Tom O'Brien has been writing his weekly gold report for almost 18 years. There's no one that knows more about how the gold market trades and how gold mining equities react. New subscribers get a 30 day money back guarantee so you have nothing to lose. Every Monday morning, Tom publishes his weekly gold report with coverage of gold, silver, bonds, the XAU, HUI, GDX, the dollar, as well as more than 30 different mining equities. As of September 3rd, gold report subscribers have five active open positions with an average unrealized profit of almost 38% for each position. To see for yourself the types of profitable trades that are recommended within the gold report, sign up today by visiting TFNN.com. You know what's cool? Taking something that's good for you. Something specifically formulated to help with weight loss, better sleep, stress reduction, and the need to detox. Niko, our hunter and gatherer ancestors found all their nutritional requirements for health in their wild environment. But today our food sources no longer contain the vitamins, minerals, and nutrients our bodies need to stay healthy and strong. That's why we need Primal Edge Daily Nutrition. It includes a special blend of ionic, soil based vitamins, minerals, fatty, and amino acids in an easy to use liquid form. Primal Edge is powered by highly concentrated folic and humic acids. Nature's preferred delivery system. They've been called miracle molecules because like sunlight, air, and water, life cannot exist without them. That's right, Paige. They ensure we receive all the nutrition we need to be healthy and thrive. We take it every morning. Primal Edge, formulated and approved by Niko and Paige of Living Primal Lifestyle. Buy it today for just eighty nine dollars. Click on the Primal Edge banner on the front page of TFNN.com. This is David White. Stay tuned because coming up next is the power trading hour. Right here on TFNN. Welcome back, folks. So Alex is taking a look at Apache Corp. APA is a ticker symbol and Alex wants to know is there a price at which you could add to a long position out here. So now in Apache Corp, you're going to this one you've really got to be careful with it. Here's here's what here's what I see out here that I want to share with you. And it's really the center panel timeframe chart, the weekly timeframe chart for Apache. And what we can see here is since the high that formed out on the from a weekly basis back in October of 2018. So over a year ago, what we have not seen other than for two weeks is a close above the top of its weekly profile. And right now it's trading inside the box. That took place the week of September 23rd and the prior week, September the 16th out there, beginning September the 16th. So it's really important for your long trade in this to start seeing price close above and stay above for more than two bars out there, 2542. That is a key level of resistance. Where is it that you could buy? Let's just say that you're that you're absolutely correct that being long Apache Corp makes sense. Where is it that you could add to it? Well, if we look at our daily timeframe profiles out here, we can see prices trading above the top of the box. So old resistance at twenty two sixty three could become new support.  If I look at my other chart out here, my other daily timeframe chart, the other logical spot to add would be twenty two eighty one. Now, this is not really the way that I like to do or use the A to B equal CD tool and I'll show you what I mean. I'm going to draw the A to B equal CD pattern out here. And you can see that it yesterday completed the one one point two seventy two. I say completed because it generated a bearish and golfing candle out here. So it is a valid topping signal and they should be able to push Apache down to twenty two eighty one. Stevie's red line. Boy, folks, time just flies. I don't think I got to all the requests out there, but we'll get to those tomorrow. Thanks so much for being here. Stay tuned. Your favorite polar bear, David, whites up next. Tom O'Brien to take us home from three to four. And I'll be back with you on thirsty Thursday. And want to take.


I happen to notice our finish and I thought that was really what's important to me is how we finished and the fact that, you know, we could score there with Don Trell and our defense could go out there and, you know, continue to stop them. That's what concerns me. Can you turn that off, please? That'd be great. Winning takes care of everything. That's what I learned a long time ago in athletics. Winning takes care of everything. We love our fans. They're loud. You know, I mean, we're some of our, again, I'm happy for our organization to be able to win a title. I'm happy for our fans, you know, I mean, they've been great and some of the defensive guys are even commenting like trying to make checks or communication and it's getting loud. And we practice that. You know, the defense having to do that at home game. So, you know, that's really refreshing. I mentioned the defense, held them to three points. I don't think they got in the red zone all day. What did you see from your defensive guys? We gave up some plays. I thought they swarmed. I thought there was a speed there and, you know, we anticipated what the weather was going to be like. And I thought that all the credit goes to the players, obviously. But the way that, you know, we managed the game, you know, and took advantage of their mistakes. Well, it was tough sledding there early. I mean, it was tough. You know, that's a good run defense. They pressure a lot, you know, but I felt like the plan was good, the finish was good. And we hit some runs and, you know, we were able to bust a couple there at the end. With Ryan getting two touchdown passes, obviously against his former team, how was he leading up to this game? And did you give him a game ball after this? No. And the game ball will go to the entire team. Ryan was great. Really, you know, we didn't have a whole lot of conversation about member back three years ago when you played for the Dolphins. We just, we focused on our preparation. Four down, obviously, open the doors early for you to get things going. No doubts there on any of those, I don't imagine. She made a decision. What's wrong, Paul? You didn't like the answer there? I just, you know what I mean? I'm just sorry. Like, no doubt.  You know, when you live in doubt, we don't. We like to live in being decisive and giving our players a chance to go make plays. That's what sports, that's what athletics and competition is about. And sometimes, you know, it works and sometimes it doesn't. But doubt, no. No doubt. If you don't want anybody to get hurt, how much do you hate to see Michael get hurt? Well, I mean, it's just, it's awful. We all know what we signed up for and what this game gives us and sometimes what it takes away from us.   Mike, with getting the, just on the subject of health, you don't think it's lying to target anything in the game tonight without issues? How big is that for the consistency and for the funding base? Well, I mean, I think that that's something that's, you want to have all your guys out there that are working together and, you know, bends the glue to that unit. You know, we feel confident where we are and getting guys that haven't been in there. Maybe Dylan played last week, played some today, Brew plays and, you know, everybody's ready to jump in there. Mike, with getting the division locked up, a playoff spot locked up, do you hope that maybe that gives you some kind of, what is it, sorry, some room kind of with Derrick, just in terms of hoping he can get back for you guys knowing you guys are already good at it? I think that the plan is always going to be, you know, where is he at, you know, every, each individual player, can they do their job effectively? Can they make it worse? And can they protect themselves out there?  How good is it to see him back? You know, we joked before the game, I said, you know, if he forgot how to put his shoulder pads on Rashawn, make sure you help him, buckle him up, but it's been a while and David, you know, is a passionate player and really, it's fun to see him go out there and make a place for us and get the interception there. This match I've had in one consecutive division title since 60-61, the first two years. What's it say about this group of guys that they've been able to forge me into? You know, I mean, I think when you do this, you want to do it and you want to try to create a family, you know, you want to try to create a family that has a common goal of winning and understand that, you know, every member of that family or this team is going to be different, is going to be from somewhere else and it's our job to try to bring everybody together for a common goal of winning and that's what we've always tried to do. How important is it to win on Sunday and give yourself a chance to kind of let the play out and come through national? I mean, I think that's winning takes care of everything and that's what we told them all the time and that the mentality was that we were just getting started and, you know, we'll have to prepare for a team that's been playing really well and that's already beaten us, you know, once this year. You've mentioned the importance of peeking this late in the season.  I think that there's some consistency. I thought we've, you know, we've been able to run the football. We've been able to take care of the football. You know, these last couple of games, we see how critical that is to be able to take care of the football. We got off to a much faster start and I know there was moments there in the third quarter where we kind of stalled and they kind of moved the football but I thought we responded there in the fourth quarter with really great effort. With all that you've done? We're just getting started a few times now, but before you go there, how do you think you guys even just got here considering all the different challenges that you've faced all season? You know, I think it's a resolve by the type of people that are in our building that we've tried to bring in. I've tried not to panic. When things come up, we just deal with it. We explain to them. We show them history of guys that have gone in and taken advantage of opportunities that have gone on to have, you know, great careers. I think that they have seen other players on our team go in when guys are down and we've had some guys that have helped us out that didn't have jobs. Buster Schrein was out of work. Deontay Forman was out of work and when you get that opportunity, you're not in a big hurry to give it up and that's what some of those guys have done. That will make a burst. I think it's 88 guys you guys played this year, that's a record. Seeing some of those guys in this moment, does that make it more special? Well, it's always going to be special, but I think that some of those guys that, you know, maybe a lot of people haven't heard of or maybe didn't expect to help us out at points throughout the season is very rewarding to know that we've helped those guys be in a position to go out on the field and execute and have given them the confidence and the trust to go out there and do their job.


For today's Monday Makeup Lesson, I'm going to show you how to create a classic smokey eye. It's one of those looks that looks so good on so many people and I have lots of tips and tricks to show you guys to make sure it works perfectly for you. So let's get started. The first step to a perfect smokey eye is to make sure you're priming the lids and you can use eyeshadow primer or concealer but you really want to make sure you're completely covering the lid from the lash line up to the brows to create a blank canvas. This is to disguise any discoloration that we might naturally have on our lids and also give the eyeshadow something to hold on to. So you actually want to leave your eyeshadow primer or concealer just a little sticky. This will actually grab hold of the shadow. However, I do have a little trick to make sure you also get a good blend so we'll get to that in a second. With any eye makeup look, the main areas of the eye would be the crease area and the crease area is really important in a smokey eye. If you think of what smoke is, it's that deep dark color that then fades into nothing and the crease area is where that fading into nothing happens. The crease area is basically where the lid creases into the eye shape but it stops just underneath the brow bone and of course you have the lid as well and for a smokey eye I actually divide the lid into an upper and a lower part. Now as far as eyeshadows go I've created a little smokey palette for us and you want to adapt this to work with your own skin tone. So the first shade is what I refer to as the base shade. So this is very similar to your own skin tone. It could be a little lighter. We then have our contour shade. This should be a few shades darker than your own skin tone and then you have your mid-tone and your mid-tone is probably the most important. A lot of people refer to this as the transition shade. This is somewhere in between the base and the contour. That's why I call it a mid-tone because it's a middle tone and then we have our smokey shadow. So our smokey shade is basically whatever type of smokey eye that you want to create.  So let's get started with this look taking a blending brush and our base shade. And this is my little trick to get that perfect blend. We're basically going to start at the crease of the eye and then work up underneath the brows. So you want to pack on this base shade to create a silky powdery effect but avoid the lid. We want the lid to stay a little tacky from the concealer and the primer. But we want that crease to be really powdery really easy to blend over. By applying that powder we're basically going to create an easier softer blend. Remember how I said concealer and primer gives the shadows something to hold on to? Well this powdery base will make sure we have something to blend over and that's how you get that perfect soft blend. Just make sure to avoid the lid. Don't come down too far. Keep it from the crease right up to the brows. For the next step we're going to keep with that same blending brush and I haven't cleaned it off and we're going to go in with our mid-tone. So our middle tone or our transition shade. And we're going to start over everything that we've already applied but we're going to stop under the brow bone. So the first shadow went from the crease right up underneath the brows. Avoid in the lid. And use this little diagram as a representation of what we're doing here. We're starting in this crease area and then softly blending upwards. If you're not sure where to stop and start your blend you basically want to keep it in between these two parallel points. It looks really complicated but it's basically using the edge of your eye nose and brow on one side and then creating a parallel line on the inner corner. If you blend outside the lines don't worry because you can always clean up at the end. Just use this as a guide. Then we're going to take a clean blending brush and I always keep a clean blending brush handy for every look but in particular when you're doing smoky eye go over everything that you've applied to soften out any harsh lines. No additional product needed just soften out those lines. Now we're going to move on to applying the contour and I need you guys to take a brush that's got a lot of control in it. So maybe a flat brush or a pencil brush or a brush like this which is somewhere in between it's one of my favorites and picking up a little bit of that contour shade which is one of the darker shades from this palette we're going to apply this all over the lid area. So I want you guys to keep this just to the lid bringing it up to where that mid tone starts in the crease but don't go beyond that point. Really focus on the roots of the lashes and softly blend this over and back covering the lid. Try to avoid blending this up too high because that can ruin the look. You want to keep it nice and deep and low. So what we're going to end up with is a deep dark look right at the roots of the lashes that then fades upwards fading into that mid tone into that crease and up underneath the brows.  You can bring your hand down onto the lash line or you can come at it straight on. As you can see my hand is pretty much at the level of my nose as I'm applying this. I'm applying it using the lash roots as my guide and follow the natural shape of your lash line. If you have your hand too low at this point you're going to blend that black up too far and I don't want you guys to do that. So try to keep it at around the cheek level or bring your hand over the top and press downwards onto the lash line. Either way just imagine that you're creating a liner look. Just coat right by those lashes and really pack it on there. Get in between those lashes right onto that lash line. It's really important. We have to imagine that that black is coming from somewhere so it has to start really dark at the base. Now for shaping wise I like to have it slightly thicker just in the center. It's almost like an oval shape. This will create that classic round shape that you get with a smoky eye. So it's slightly tapered on the inside and the outside and highest in the middle.  Push it right at those lashes. No smudging, no blending. Just pushing that on there. This will remove any fallout while also making sure we're really packing that pigment right at the roots of the lashes. Once you've done that you can then take your small blending brush or a pencil brush and softly and lightly smudge this out. Watch for your hand placement here. What I want you guys to remember is that if your hand is low your blend will be high. And that's good at the start because we want to bring that black from the roots of the lashes upwards to about the halfway point of the lid.  Bring that brush slightly upwards. As you start to smudge regain control over that brush and very softly sweep over and back. And this will prevent you from blending it up too high. You do not want it to surpass the lid and get into that crease area. Depending on the look that you're doing of course but particularly for a classic smoky eye. Keeping it nice and low by the lashes is the best way to get that classic look. I usually split the lid into two sections so I have a lower part and an upper part. I'm making it sound really complicated but it's actually not that complicated but if you learn these techniques it will become easier even though it sounds like I'm making it harder than it is. The next step is really important and it's to really darken in between the lashes. So apply a pencil liner on your waterline which is the upper tight line of your lid. What I like to do is just look down in a mirror and just kind of push upwards between the lashes. This will create that dark smoky look. You have to imagine where this smoky depth is coming from and it should be coming right between the lashes. So try getting that pencil right in there. Another important thing is to coat those lashes. I actually brush my lashes downwards to make sure it's really dark right at the roots. Once again to create the illusion of the depth coming from the lash line. Essentially it looks like we just have really thick lashes. If you want to go an extra step you can always apply invisible liner. If you watch my videos a lot you'll know that I've talked about this. It's basically lining very very thinly right between your lashes as close as possible and I also went ahead and applied some falsies. Once again this creates the illusion of a deep dark look right at the roots. So that's pretty much all of the work done but we've still got a lot of work to do. You have to clean up underneath the eyes because keeping it as clean and bright as possible will create that contrast with the smoky eye. So don't neglect doing this. You also want to clean up underneath the brows by taking a little bit of the base shade and a small brush and applying this on the brow bone. We have already applied this but reapplying it will actually brighten this up. And you can also pop a little bit of this shadow on the inner corner of the eye too. I like to imagine that this smoky eye is coming from my lash line and you don't have lashes right in there so try brightening it ever so slightly. Finish off with lots of mascara to balance out the top. And there you go. A classic smoky eye and you can use these techniques to create any number of different looks but I love that deep dark look starting at the roots of lashes and blending upwards. If you try out this look I would love to hear from you guys. You can also send me a picture and if you have any problems I'm always here to help so just leave a comment and I'll try and get back to you. Check out the other videos on the screen. Hit that like button if you learned something. Hit that subscribe button if you're new and I'll see you guys in the next one.


Thank you, Vaz, for the introduction. So you all know the classic even-man-sure blocks of a construction, which is built on top of a public random permutation pi and uses two sub-keys, L0 and L1. From this, one can directly channelize this to a t-route construction based on t-public permutations pi1, pi2, and up to pi t, and t plus 1 sub-keys, L0, L1, and so on. So this is the key alternating cypher of KAC construction introduced by Brockman of Eddall. This lovely object has received quite a lot of attention lately. And for the case of 10 routes, you can view it as an ideal abstraction of AES. To capture the security of KAC, one typically models is by the conventional CCA security notion of block cypher. Under this notion, an adversary will be brought into a real world or an ideal world. In either world, adversary is provided with two oracles to encrypt and decrypt. In the real world, the oracles will implement the KAC block cypher and its inverse with a random secret key. In the ideal world, they implement a random permutation app and its inverse. In both worlds, the adversary will get access to the primitives pi1 to pi t. There have been quite a lot of papers dedicated in analyzing the security of KAC. This live work coordinates in a paper by Chen and Steinberger that achieves an asymptotically tight valve for KAC. At the very first glance, the problem is completely solved. But if you look more closely in that, you realize a huge concrete gap between what is proven secure and the best known attacks. And this gap is visualized here for the parameters of AES, meaning there are 10 valves, and the block length is 128. So prior works are not only quantitatively, but also qualitatively. So concern with only security with respect to a single user. But in practice, an adversary will typically attack on Mars, adaptively distributing its resources against multiple users. That adversary will be happy as long as it can compromise somebody. So to model the multi-user security, in the real world, the oracles implement many instances of the KAC block cypher. And likewise, in the ideal world, we don't implement many independent permutations, F1, F2, and so on. If you want to get multi-user security from the existing work, you have to use a higher average. But then there will be a degradation factor proportional to a number of users. For the KAC, this loss appears unnecessary, at least when there are only one or two routes. As recent work have demonstrated. So today, we will show concretely tight bounds for KAC that close the gap between best known bounds and attacks. And our results are for both single and multi-user security. And we show that, indeed, for KAC, multi-user security is quite close to single user case. Underlying our results are the new proof techniques for information theoretic security. They extend and refine existing methods, such as the edge coefficient technique of partnering. The new methods are quite general and might have potential applications beyond the scope of KAC. Specifically, here are the bounds for KAC. In a single user case, we essentially achieve the bounds correspond to the best known attacks. In a multi-user case, as expected, there's some small loss. But our result is much better than what is achieved by a hybrid argument as visualized here. So let me now introduce our proof techniques. So our main quantitative improvement compared to Chen and Steinberger is due to a channelization of the edge coefficient technique that we call the expectation method. When we combine this with a combinatorial dilemma by Chen and Steinberger, it will immediately obtain a concrete type bound for single user security of KAC. If you want to have multi-user security, we give a generic translation from single to multi-user security with strong bounds. I stress that the translation is generic. It has nothing specific to KAC. But of course, because the translation is so powerful, it has to be conditional. Otherwise, there's no hope to be the hybrid argument in all cases. To understand our techniques, we first need to review the edge coefficient technique of Parterine. This proof method aims to bow the distinguishing advantage of two randomized systems, S0 and S1. So when an adversary interacts with either system, it will make queries to receive answers. And this information will be recorded in a transcript tau. The distinguishing advantage is then bounded by the statistical distance between the distributions of the transcript that the two systems produce. Often, we only deal with state list systems, such as the block cipher. And in that case, we can rearrange the order of the queries in a transcript without affecting the probability that the system produces that kind of transcript. And it's why the edge coefficient technique is so powerful in handling adaptivity. So if you want to bow the statistical distance, you first need to classify transcripts by good versus bad ones. The next step is to bow the probability that a random transcript is bad and the maximum over all good transcripts of this formula. Once we are done with that, then the distinguishing advantage is bounded by the sum of these two numbers, S1, 1, and S1, 2. To understand, to have some intuition why this is true, so we call that the statistical distance is the sum of some product. And now if we plot some rectangles whose width are the first term in the product and the height are the second terms, then intuitively, the statistical distance is just the total area of the plotted rectangles. And in this picture, the red areas correspond to the bad transcript, and the blue areas correspond to the good ones. Given this, the edge coefficient technique tells us that you can up about the red area by this orange rectangle and the blue area by the gray one. Now let's try applying the edge coefficient technique on the KAC problem. So recall that the adversary can make two types of queries, either a construction query to the KAC block server or primitive queries to the permutations pi 1 to pi t. So these queries and the answers will be recorded in a transcript like this. For example, here, the transcript tells us that if you encrypt a string y and you get a 7xz, or if you query a string v to the inverse of pi 3 and you get a string u. And pictorially, one can represent a transcript by a graph like this. Now to determine if a transcript is good or bad, when the adversary finishes querying, we'll give it a key and extend the transcript with that key. In the real world, that key is exactly the real key for the block server. In the ideal world, the key just some random string independent of anything else. Now this extended transcript, again, can be represented by a graph. For example, here, the graph tells us that if you x-order sub-key l3 through a string v, then you'll get a string z. We say that an extended transcript is bad. If its graph contains some part that we call a chain as highlighted here. For bad transcripts, it's pretty easy to distinguish. For example, here, this transcript must come from the ideal world. Initially, the transcript tells us that if you encrypt y, you should get z. But then when you actually do the encryption process by following the chain, then we end up with a completely different cybertext, which is a contradiction. And recall that in the edge coefficient technique, you need to bound two numbers, epsilon 1 and epsilon 2. In this case, bounding epsilon 1 is quite simple, but bounding y-order number proves to be difficult. Shannon-Steinberger provides a pretty accurate estimation for the term in epsilon 2. But when you substitute that in the maximum formula, you will end up with a very poor bound. Shannon-Steinberger tried to get around that by some tricks, but as we saw earlier, the bound is only asymptotically tight. So let's pause for a moment and think. Why does the edge coefficient technique fail here? The reason is that it demands a single epsilon 2 for all good transcripts. So if just a few good transcripts misbehave, you will be screwed. To get around that in our expectation matter, we just demand that there must be some transcript dependent g of tau for every good transcript tau. With a computer expectation value of d is about, the expectation is taken over all transcripts, including bad ones. So by doing this, if just a few good transcripts mess up, then our epsilon 2 is still small. And again, the distinguishing advantage is bounded by the sum of epsilon 1 and epsilon 2. To understand some intuition why this is true, so we call that the edge coefficient technique want to bound this blue area by a big rectangle. And that can be a waste in some cases. So now instead, we'll use some custom-made shape to approximate that. If you use a good bound, then you can essentially have a very tight estimation of the blue area here. To use the expectation method on the KAC problem, recall that Chen and Steinberger already provide us with a very good estimation. And now all we need to do is to compute the expectation value of this formula. The formula is kind of complex. But fortunately, its expectation is fairly easy to compute. And we are done with the single-user security of KAC. Now let's move on to the multi-user setting. We will give a generic translation from single to multi-user security. This translation is conditional. I will call the condition point-wise proximity. Specifically, epsilon point-wise proximity means that for any good transcript, for any transcript, the gap between the probability that the ideal system produces this transcript and the probability that a real system produces it must be smaller than epsilon times the ideal probability. Point-wise proximity is a strong requirement because it immediately implies that the distinguishing advantage must be smaller than epsilon. So our result says that if you can establish point-wise proximity for single-user security, then you immediately get a similar bound for multi-user security. So I stress that this result needs some technical conditions on the function epsilon, but these conditions are mine and therefore often match. To understand why this kind of theorem is true, let's first consider a non-adaptive adversary, meaning that there are constants q1, q2, and so on, such that the adversary makes q1 construction queries on user 1 and so on. So in this setting, if we use a hybrid argument, then all we need to do is to create some intermediate system between the real system and the ideal one and then use the single user security bound to queue the gap between x consecutive pairs. This is pretty standard, but we need to be a bit careful in accounting the adversary's resources. For example, consider the systems S1 and S1. Now all we need to care is just the construction queries on the first user. It's why there are only q1 construction queries instead of q, but the construction queries on the other users won't vanish that easily. Internally, they will make some calls to the primitives. And so you have to account for that primitive queries. So the hybrid arguments give us the sum of some epsilon, but what we want is a completely different formula for the desired bound to be bigger than the sum of these epsilon. Then we need the epsilon functions to satisfy some super-editivity requirement. And that's the technical restriction that I mentioned previously. Now the hybrid argument that you just seen only works for a non-adaptive adversary. For an adaptive adversary, there won't be a priori constant, q1, q2, and so on. To resolve that, if we look at an individual transcript, it will provide us with some transcript dependent numbers, q1 tau, q2 tau, and so on. So intuitively, at the high level, all we need to do is to repeat the previous hybrid arguments, but at the transcript level, so that we can exploit these numbers, q1 tau, and so on. But in order for that to work, you need some sort of single user security bound at the transcript level. But that is exactly the point-wise proximity requirement summing up. So today we presented two proof techniques for the KAC problem, namely the expectation method and the genetic translation. The former is very powerful in getting completely tight bounds. And it has applications beyond the scope of KAC. For example, in our paper, we also can see the X or cascade construction, which is a generalization of desks. But there might be other applications. For the genetic translation, I think it's kept elegant, but it needs the point-wise proximity condition. Not all constructions meet these requirements. For example, five-store network. So that would be interesting to extend our results for those unfitting cases. And that's it. Thank you. Thank you very much.


Hi, I'm Mitch Mitchell. So I want to start off with a little story back in the mid 80s We had the movie ET that came out now. I got to tell you the truth. I Thought at the time that it was a kid's movie and I was in my mid 20s So I had no intention of going to see it and I didn't go to see it But I kept hearing all these great things about it. Oh people were just lauding this as the best movie ever and at a certain point I Came on TV. So I watched it I think it was HBO because back then, you know, that's what would happen a movie would be out for a while Then it would show up on HBO.  What are people seeing that I'm missing so I put it out of my mind and then maybe four or five years Later it came on TV again and for whatever reason I guess maybe I decided to punish myself I sat down and watched it again, and I absolutely loved it. I was thrilled. I said wow, this was really a great movie What was wrong with me the first time and I think that there's two things that happen every once in a while One everyone else build something up in your mind so much that there's no way your experience can live up to that I mean, I know there's a lot of marketers who say that it's best if you hear from your friends How much you enjoyed something because then you're due to like it. No Just in the truth, but there also is part two which is sometimes you're not ready for something There's a book called illusions and my friend Kelvin Is one of these guys who he buys a bunch of these copies of this paperback book called illusion And he gives it to people every once in a while This is illusions by Richard Bach in case you're thinking about go going to read it. I hope you do by the way the first time He gave it to me. I Hesitated then I read it meant nothing to me. I I could have cared less a few years later I was going through some different mind changes on stuff And I decided to read it again and the second time I got it and it meant something to me And I appreciated it because I wasn't ready for it the first time. I wasn't into quote-unquote self-help I wasn't into things like the secret or what the bleep I wasn't into motivational stuff at that time my mindset wasn't there and It was sometime, you know Some period around the time when my dad was sick and then my dad passed away So I just wasn't ready for the book at that time but later on I was open and Because I was open. I actually enjoyed it a lot So we have to be cautious sometimes when we hear what other people are saying This is one of the reasons why if it's a movie that I know I want to see Most of the time I want to see it on opening day or at least I want to see it within the first few days Before I've seen any reviews about it whatsoever so that no one else's experience will mess with my own experience Other movies, you know, that's just how that is so I started with that because There is something that I have been wanting since Thanksgiving It just couldn't get it and it was driving me nuts and driving me nuts and I just couldn't get it and so I Now have it and I'm going to share it with you And I hope you can see this. This is the patty labelle sweet potato pie Are you kidding? These things ran out because a couple of people online did reviews of this pie and said it was the best pie It was better than their mother sweet potato pie. Well, I'm gonna tell you what my mother made a great sweet potato pie and it's been God at least a decade or more. It's been more than a decade since my mother has made pie So I'm going to have this sweet potato pie and so many people built this thing up to be absolutely Fantastic and I'm hoping since I've been waiting to get it for three months that it doesn't Ruin my experience now right now what's ruining my experience is trying to figure out how to open it Because I got to get it back in this box one of the things is I just bought it today and Supposedly it's best if I eat the entire thing in two days and that woman I'm married to has already told me don't even think about trying to eat the whole thing in two days so let's see so there it is and I can't really smell it Probably because it's easier to smell sweet potato pie when it's still warm and I'm just eating it straight So I haven't not I haven't warmed it up. I haven't put it in the refrigerator.  I've heard nothing but wonderful things about Pamela Belle and how she Baked stuff in her recipes. So We're gonna find out this is gonna have to go a long way to be better than my mother's but you know what if it's good That's okay. And you know what as much as I've clamored for this pie This was what 299 at Walmart. Are you kidding just 299? So, you know If this is good, I might head back On a better weather day because right now we're kind of having a winter storm It's snowing.  You can't there it is. There's my piece of pie Let's go.  It's good That is really good. I don't know that it's better than my mother's But then again, I'm going off an old memory and I always love mom's sweet potato pie, but this is really good Oh my goodness This is right on point and you know people try to compare sweet potato pie with pumpkin pie Uh-uh. No, not even close.  Wow Okay, this lived up to the hype this really did and now for those of you who've never had sweet potato pie It's creamier. It's sweeter. It's smoother and It's dense.  I'm glad to find out that it is lived up to the hype Finally something lived up to the hype Anyway, let me know your thoughts. Do people sometimes ruin things for you or do you count on your friends? Telling you how things are or do you read reviews of things telling you how it is and let that encourage you to say Okay, I need to go see this and when you do do you enjoy it? Let me know. I'm Mitch Mitchell y'all take care I'm gonna eat the rest of this pie Enjoy. Bye


The number one play in this game is Damien Williams and I think he is my favorite play on the entire slate regardless of position because He's just better than his role here. His salary indicates. He has $6,900 for Saturday through Sunday And when he has been healthy the chiefs have been fully committed to Damien Williams He played a 53% snap rate in week 16 70% week 17 when they were trying to get that first round by and did and if you look at just the games where he has had a 50% snap rate which is seven games He's ours 12.9 carries in 4.6 targets per game. That's those aren't huge numbers. That is not Dalvin Cook That is not Derek Henry, but when it's tied to Patrick Mahomes There's a lot of juice in those carries and in those targets and especially the way the chiefs use their running backs in the passing game Each target matters a little bit more. So I think that Damien is a Lock for me in as many liners which I can get him I will have lines where I do not have him because things can get weird, but I Want to be Really much. I know he'll be popular this week, but I want to actively be overweight on Damien Williams What are your thoughts on him? Yeah, so I said Dalvin Cook was my favorite running back play on the slate It is between he and Williams I'm I would just side with cook primarily because he can get 30 opportunities Williams doesn't really have that now I know the offensive expectations change the efficiency of those But Williams and cook are gonna be stalwarts in my line-ups. I'm gonna be I'm gonna try to be overweight on both of them Williams should be very popular at that salary in this offense, but I think it's justified He is the only running back that they've used like a number one all season. So I Really don't have any anything bad to say about Damien Williams yeah, sometimes chalk is chalk for a reason and Especially a running back when that is the case you should be willing to swallow that chalk My research has shown that for the past couple of years chalk running backs are far more likely to hit baseline value than any other position So I think when it makes sense you do it it makes sense here JJ Watts back Which does lower the matchup, but I honestly could not care less about matchups when it comes to a guy with this good of a role


Okay, so it's rather small but anyway. So I will talk to you, thank you for your, sorry, okay. So thank you for your attendance and staying so late today. Of course you will be there tomorrow so there's no problem. I will talk to you about GenVit which is a software we developed at the University of Liège and I'm a biologist, I'm Jean-Yen and Laurent is engineer and we developed this because we need to know how our animal behave in their cage and we can't stay there during the whole day and night. So obviously we were not the first one to think about something to measure the activity of animals and the first one, first device that comes in mind is the running wheel so you have a wheel over there and your mice or of your rat is just there running. The problem is that what are you doing when your mouse or rat is outside the running wheel? You can put the rat over there for 24 hours a day and the second problem is that you measure only the motor activity and not the general activity. If the rat is just moving the head you can't see it. You can't, you can't see it but you can't measure it. A thing quite nice that were published when we thought about our solution in an open access publication was using a radar and with a complicated device and but everything was free so that's a good point but do you really want such a complicated hardware? A third method is just video tracking so you put the rat in the cage and you follow him. That's a good idea to follow the rats but usually it's costly because there is no free implementation and the second point it's impractical because the software, what the software does is it takes the animal, it takes the center of gravity only and then it puts some red points all over the animal so that well your animal is there, you know but what it measures is only the center of gravity. So again it's motor activity and not general activity. So a final solution is markers like people do in virtual reality systems but really rats don't like these things. They just chew them and it's over. So what we want is the quantification of, oops sorry, the quantification, oops, again, okay the keyboard is better. No it's blocked. I can't go. So the goal is to develop general monitoring system, okay it's there, without any marker and using commercially available CCTV and modular free software. Why commercially available CCTV because you know we are in a university and we don't have extensive research budgets. So roughly the principle we use is the frame difference analysis and if you take a, I will try it once, okay, if you take a wrap at one time and you take a picture of it and then at the second time you take another picture of the rat and here it's every one 25th of seconds. You can compare the two images and you compute the number of pixels that are different here in green. So the setup is the following, you have your rat, you have a camera, you have a computer that analyze the images and then you have two displays, one with the animals and if well at the first row you can see that more clearly than if I move my fingers you have some green pixels showing and after that you can analyze the output with general graph like you want. So here are two pictures of our system implemented in a real laboratory. So the main thing for a biologist is that the rats are well, their wellness and here it's okay because well they are alone in their cage but at least they have their friends around. So for a rat which is a social animal it's very important. So if people want details here they are. You can use with our system any camera. Here you need infrared if you want to use 24 hours of recording because when it's dark or night you need to have something on the screen and for example we use a camera from China which costs 60 euro on eBay and the travel costs are included. You can use any video for Linux enabled frame grabber. Well we use a frame grabber because we have a camera but here on the laptop you have a webcam so you don't need any frame grabber at least if the webcam is supported but by video for Linux it would work. My webcam is not infrared so it will not work during the night. We use an ATI rage 120 now it costs let's say five euros and you can use any computer in Linux running Linux. We use a P2 that cost we checked this afternoon 25 euro on eBay and on the hard so everything it's 100 euro. On the software side you use GNU Linux we use a rather old version of Red Hat version 7.3. Of course the video for Linux API we have no other dependencies and we have an output in ASCII so you can throw your data anywhere even in a file if you want and then you can visualize your data with GDClab Python Imaging Library. I know name your favorite software. So of course on the scientific basis we did a theoretical validation and we demonstrate that our system is precise sensitive reproducible with rodents with we compare it with an ATI watch which is the system for human in measuring their activity and it's stable over time so if you want later on we can go into details about that and if you want to check everything it's published in an open access journal on the web. And finally let's see what's happening with the rats. So the rats has a different circadian rhythm than ours and the rats are merely quiet. I won't say asleep during the day during the light phase of the 24 hours and more active and very active during the dark phase so during our night and so during the day when usually people are around in the lab during their experiments the rat is not moving so this picture can be taken by anything. Your webcam, my webcam, anything. But what is interesting is that during the night the rat is moving and here you can see all the green pixels around the rats showing that here it didn't move anything with the legs so the running wheel would not have kept or detected these movements just ahead with the ears over here and the tail and a little bit over here. So that's why it's for me very interesting. So after that you take the output and you plot them with what we call actigram so it's the amount of movement versus the time and here each block is one day so one two three four five et cetera and the block the dark block above are the nights or dark phase and the day or light phase and everything start at midnight. So as you can see the rat is more active during the dark phase than the light phase and this rat was quite interesting because all the time around I don't know 10, 11 he just jumped out and did something and then everything else. So it's interesting because all these were collected automatically so no intervention the rat is just there food is available water is available and no human intervention so after that we can say okay this rat was complying with the treatment or not compliant or did well or did not well depending on your experiments. So in conclusion you can say that genvit is sensitive reproducible stable over time more accurate than an acti watch and we proved it with rodents so if you have some pets and all you can test them and we can come and we will publish another paper with them. So the one interesting thing is that it's non-invasive and one last thing I just discovered quite a few minutes before the talk is that it's very light the archive is only 52 kilobytes so it can be set up nearly everywhere. So what is more important for us is that it uses commodity hardware and it's free as it's in free beer and it's free as it's free as in free speech. So I want to thank a lot of people in my lab but I will I want also to thank you for your attention and if you want here the URL to get the archive the paper but more importantly if you type genvit in Google you will find them so thank you very much. Any question? As such the system cannot detect behavior so I mean in the output you can't see at one point sleep or something like that but we developed this system because we used a regular sleep system for a rat EEG electron sphalogram and it was very difficult for us to do it in an automated way and we don't have any a lot of space on our hard disk so it was impossible for us to store 24 hours of sleep or not sleep but we don't know so we store everything so with this system you can say below a certain threshold okay maybe the rat is asleep or not but just record the sleep in case and then after that review the sleep and so as you can see the rat is not not not moving all the time so he's quite moving very often so it reduces also the amount of electrons program that the scientist has to review but your question is very interesting because it's one of the next step we want to do is that to categorize a certain pattern of what is what moved if the rat only moved ahead it can means it's only drinking eating or maybe just nodding so it also means it's not sleeping it's not moving so we can categorize certain behavior and that's what we are kind of working on yes yes and breathing and more importantly everything depends on the quality of your camera so here the camera was very good because we inherited from a very successful lab but we use some camera with a lot of noise even if there is nothing in front of the camera so there in the setup process you have to define a certain threshold below I don't know 20 pixel in the image I don't want to see anything so after that above 20 pixel yes okay let me show me the data and let's see but you have the raw data so if you don't know what your camera how your camera will behave or suddenly your camera goes wrong you can say okay let's see the data you have to your data and at one point you say no this is not good you have too many too much noise at one point then you can reduce at one point so you can act before the recording and after no problem yeah so that's a good point that the question was can we use multiple camera from different angles for example to see all the movements and if you remember all the images are taken from the largest side of the cage because more of the movement are done in that plane I can say but it could be interesting to have two cameras and since well the system is not using much of the processor it couldn't be difficult to put a second camera for the processing and have the two logs at the same time and compare them or merge them into a summary yes thank you for your talk I'd like to give you some welcome to please don't feed into your rats otherwise thank you thank you so I'd like to say so I just feel so I always like to end with an open source talk that's a bit different but believe it or not three talks ago I actually saw a mice crawling out of the ceiling running here in front and going back and I wish I could have taken a picture if only I've had your system I would have it okay so thank you for coming to the lightning talks can I just shortly ask if you would take any trash that's around you throw it there that will save us some work and we'll see you tomorrow thank you very much