How many more excuses do you need to make before you examine yourself and say, okay, maybe I need to wake up a little bit and take a good long look at what I've been doing. Realize that the environment that this president has trafficked in can help to lead to these sorts of situations where people think that that sort of behavior, meaning the people who are doing these things, the people who are calling the cops on people falsely in Central Park, the people who are chasing people down the street in Georgia and killing them, that you may begin to think that your actions are normal. Welcome back, everyone. Before we get this rolling, I just want to make a couple things clear. First of all, I'm not attacking Black people. I don't hate any group of people based on skin color. It's not my style. It never has been. My only goal here is to debunk hysteria and outright lies coming from the media. So they're really going to try and blame Trump for the actions of one cop, as if none of this ever happened before until Trump came around, even though it happened multiple times during the Barack Obama administration. When these things happened during the Obama administration, the media incited violence and racial tensions to the point that police officers were actually being ambushed and murdered. Now they're trying to do it again with this latest example of a police officer killing an unarmed person. You'll notice that I didn't say Black man because this actually happens to people regardless of skin color, but without any of the fanfare or news coverage. Because reporting on those killings might provide a little context and show that this issue isn't 100% about race. I've always found this funny because what they're actually doing is dividing and diluting any actual resistance to this law enforcement corruption. Who knows? Maybe that's the whole point. Now I do apologize for this interruption. We'll get right back to the video, but I got to take this quick capitalism break to thank this episode's sponsor, Biotrust Ageless Multicollegin. Let me show you all one of the things that's helping me to look better and feel great. In the year 2020, it's important to keep your body healthy all the time. Collegin may be the closest thing that we ever get to a real fountain of youth, and many health experts now agree consuming collagen is as crucial as it gets to renewing and revitalizing how you look and feel. After all, collagen is the most abundant protein in your body and is essentially the glue that holds you together. In fact, after age 20, people produce about 12% less collagen in their skin each decade. For some, the decline is even greater. In short, this year by year escalating loss of collagen is a key reason people look old and explains why skin sags and wrinkles, hair gets thinner, nails lose their strength, joints become stiff, and in general, our bodies just seem to turn on us over time. So visit my page at www.healthwithdronetech.com and secure your supply of the best collagen on the market. In any case, Don Lemon isn't letting a crisis go to waste, grouping up three totally unrelated incidents while failing to mention any examples of black on white violence because I guess that just doesn't matter. That's really strange too because there's actually quite a bit more black on white murders than the other way around. Quite an accomplishment considering we're talking mostly about black men who are about 6% of the country. But we all know how CNN and Don Lemon feel about black on white racial violence. A white teenager with special needs tied up and beaten as a group of young African American shouting anti-white slurs and calling out Donald Trump.  That's what this is. It's evil. It's brutality. It's man's inhumanity to man and I don't think it's evil. I don't think it's evil. I think these are young people and I think they have bad home training. So this is absolutely sickening, but I'm going to say something that's probably not very popular. We cannot callously go about classifying things as a hate crime. The picture Lemon is trying to paint here is that America is deeply racist and dangerous for black people and this is largely due to Trump. How? Why? Notice he doesn't provide any examples for either of these questions. He just insists that it is. What has Trump done that has targeted black people or any other racial group? I'm sure lefties would point to completely made up controversies like the good people on both sides misquote and the media lied that he called immigrants animals when he was in fact talking about MS-13 gang members. Other than that, black unemployment has been lower than it's ever been, of course, before the lockdowns. I ask again, what has Trump done to these minority communities that's supposedly so evil and racist? That's the meme that's going around right now with the cops, with the black kid on the ground saying hello to the white guy in camo with the AK-47 and the mask who was protesting in Michigan. That when it's white people with guns and they're out and they're angry and their faces with cops didn't see any of that. Everybody's civil. Flag burning, spitting in police officer spaces, yelling at police officers, armed, armed with heavy weaponry. Heard of people make it a joke, but it's funny because it's tragic and sad.  Wrong.  The new Black Panther Party, Black Lives Matter, and other leftist groups regularly protest with their heavy arms, but without any of the media outrage or hand wringing. Others at CNN have been stoking the flames, like April Ryan, tweeting out that black families need to have the talk with their kids about how dangerous the world is thanks to white people.  And again, black men are 6% of the country, while white men are around 35%, meaning white people are actually very underrepresented in racial murders, while black men are overrepresented. The only thing the talk is doing is instilling racist beliefs into young minds that'll grow up hating and fearing white people and thinking that that's completely normal. At this point, I do want to remind you all that I'm not saying all this as an attack on black people or suggesting that their skin color has anything to do with it.  People like Eddie Glaude Jr., a frequent race hustling guest on MSNBC who said yesterday, you have a community that is experiencing trauma and terror simultaneously. Minnesota just hit its peak with COVID-19 yesterday in terms of the number of hospitalizations and the number of dead. But we're dealing with the devastation of this pandemic and we're seeing Ahmaud Arbery. We're seeing Breonna Taylor. We're seeing George Floyd.  Floyd, you leave me every time with no words, especially today. Let's just bow to keep having this conversation every day. Wow. First, let me say that this is no conversation.  If it was a conversation, you might have somebody else with a different perspective offering different information and data.  This is completely insane and it will only lead to divisions that will never heal in our lifetimes.  But they never talk about those incidents. Why? Well, because they don't want any negative blowback on the black community. Which begs the question, does that mean they do want negative backlash on white communities?  The media hates and demonizes peaceful anti lockdown protesters but covers for violent criminals destroying their own cities and looting their own stores. Sometimes they even deceptively edit video to protect their narrative like in this case where CNN and other media outlets edited out a Milwaukee victim sister calling for violence in white suburbs claiming that she was actually calling for peace.   We need a mark of him.    We need all of it. The kingdom come. That will be done. With his sister calling for peace. Don't bring the violence here and the ignorance here. Milwaukee police say they made multiple arrests overnight. We're still waiting on those final numbers. They use isolated incidents to advance their narrative and ignore the vast majority of incidents because it disproves their narrative. They're corrupt, race hustling crooks who will usher in the burning down of America before they reevaluate their behavior. This is the state of our country and its most important institutions. On that note, could I convince you to hit that like button, share this video and subscribe to this channel? I would ask you to hit the bell icon too, but I know that's just getting greedy. If you'd like to support this channel, you can do so on one of these platforms. You can find all the links in the description and pinned comment. Thanks for watching. Keep coming back.


internal revenue service IRS tax news IRS free file can help first time filers with their tax returns yeah the IRS free file is helpful but wouldn't it be nice if we could cut the sentence down to simply IRS free imagine just imagine living an IRS free life I know it's difficult kind of like a teenager trying to imagine life without tiktok but seriously excess taxes and government intrusion over time does to GDP and individual prosperity what tiktok does to our impressionable minds wow and I thought we needed to be careful of having our minds on drugs this is your brain on drugs is it just me or would the country's youth be far more prosperous if parents could like bribe the kids off a tiktok with like a beer some chewing tobacco and a joint or something I'm not I'm not recommending parents take that strategy or anything mind you I'm just saying it's it's a safe bet that it would be a step up for everyone in that case I mean honestly like we're used to thinking that computers will take over the world in the form of Arnold Schwarzenegger shaped robots but in reality they're doing it with short one minute videos of crazy people set to catchy music I mean who could who could have seen that coming I'm telling you the cell phones are skynet man put down the cell phones the cell phones are skynet oh crap the cops are at my door what are you doing no no I'm not crazy the tiktok people are the crazy ones stop hitting me with the baton dang it you're not allowed to do that in this society because I'm white ouch not not the face not the face my guitar you bastard okay okay I'll watch the next tiktok don't do it don't do it IRS tax tip 2023-12 february 1st 2023 navigating the tax return preparation process can be intimidating if you're filing for the first time IRS free file can help there's a link to the IRS free file here which is in essence a link to a page on the IRS website organizing links to third party software providers software that's trading on the market for tax preparation purposes that have an agreement that if your income is below a certain threshold and possibly other requirements are met that you want to sort out and look through on the IRS free file you might be able to get access to the software for free which is great because even people with low income which were typically easy tax returns are more complex these days do impart to changes to the law for things like refundable tax credits so even your first tax return which is usually quite difficult which is used used to be quite easy I mean I used to call my first tax returns in on a phone uh at one time I believe and now they're probably they're going to be more complex due to the complexity of the law you want to have software typically even with those and you might be able to get access to it for free with the IRS free file so this program provides free tax preparation free electronic filing and free direct deposit for eligible taxpayers the IRS free file income limit for tax year 2022 is $73,000 for families and individuals each provider sets their own eligibility requirement based on age state residency and income and offers are available in both English and Spanish so notice that not all of the providers if your income is below 73,000 in other words that's not going to be the only criteria some of the providers might have different agi criterias and some of them might have other things that they limit such as possibly credits you want to make sure they have the capacity to calculate like the earned income tax credit if you need to which is a more complicated credit and also different states maybe some of the software might not have all the state eligibility for free as well so this is just they're citing like the cap the 73,000 the highest point obviously the iris trying to look as good as possible picking the one that has kind of a highest agi limit but there are other limitations that's why you want to go on to the irs free file so you could sort which of the software might be best for your particular needs so taxpayers can use irs free file lookup tool to find the offer that is right for them to complete a tax return with irs free file taxpayers will need the following information their social security number taxpayers who don't have or aren't eligible for an ssn social security number can use the individual taxpayer identification number there's a link to that here so they need to know who you are obviously you are a number to them you are the social security number if you don't have one of those then they still want your money right so they give you some other number so so that they can they could you still need file return so they can get so get a number so they can know who you are and take your money anyways their wage and income information this information is usually on forms from their employers such as the w2 wage and tax statement and form 1099 series so the income that's what we're going to be basing our taxes on it's an income tax typically most people have a w2 statement but a lot of people are doing gig work and other stuff these days so you might have 1099s remember that even if you don't get a 1099 if you had income the iris wants part of it and you should be reporting it and so that's that so if they are being claimed as a dependent so are you being claimed as a dependent that's a question if you're the first person to if it's like the first time you're filing the tax return the question is could you still be claimed as a dependent by your parent it could be different depending on if you're going to school and whatnot college situations and if you are if you could be claimed as a dependent then which would be better for to be claimed as a dependent on the parents return or your own return sometimes people get to the point where they're going to they're going to try to file a tax return to get a refund on their own like for the first time without without separating the fact that their parents are still going to claim them that's an issue because now you're going to be claimed on two tax returns you can't do that you can only be on you know only one person gets the benefit of the individuals deductions that you might have for or tax benefits per person as either a dependent or if you're filing yourself the standard deduction for example as a as a benefit and whatnot okay so they will need to know if another taxpayer such as parent is claiming them on a separate tax return taxpayers who are being claimed by someone else as a dependent may still file their own tax return but they can't claim themselves as a dependent documentation for all tax credits and deductions so with the increased standard deduction itemized deductions may not be necessary so if it's your first time filing a tax return it's very likely that you're going to be using the standard deduction and not the itemized deduction that was kind of part of the point because that should simplify the tax code to some degree all credits and deductions are subject to irs verification and review their prior year adjusted gross income and self-select pin they need this information to validate and sign an electric tax return first time filers over the age of 16 can simply enter zero as their prior year income for signature purposes that's the secret code mind you so if you if you had a prior tax return and it wasn't processed or anything the iris doesn't know what the agi is so you have to enter zero and then you can process your return so taxpayers who have filed before should use the adjusted gross income from their prior year tax return a bank account and routing numbers filers need this information for direct deposit or any refund into a taxpayers bank account so if you want the bank the the money going directly into your account then you'll need the direct deposit otherwise they're going to have to give you the refund in the mail or something like that obviously the iris is trying to get everyone on direct deposit if you owe them money then you can choose to pay them however you choose to pay them it might not be as urgent a process to you in that case as long as you're avoiding the penalties and interest but the direct deposit and payments electronic payments are kind of the easiest thing to get verification quickly as well direct deposits the fastest and safest way for them to get their money i'm not sure if it's the safest that's debatable but certainly the fastest typically so that is a true statement and there's links to so there's links to that stuff here if you want to take a look at it the and links to the to search for the software on the free free software options possible abilities and there'll be a link to this in the description


And Bob and Jack you'll have to check out Luke Voigt's cleats tonight. He's doing a pretty cool thing wearing these military inspired cleats to honor his brother, John, who is in the army. I asked Voigt about that after batting practice. It's something I've been, you know, playing with my brother getting back a couple weeks ago and, you know, I just want to salute him and all the other military guys out there. You know, it's a grind for them over there. And I know it's tough times and, you know, luckily he got out of Kabul before all that stuff started happening.  Where's he at? He's here. He's up in Fort Drummond, New York. So he's there, posted there for a while and, you know, figure out the next step. So hopefully I haven't got to see him yet, but, you know, he wants to see Kennedy, my little baby too. So hopefully he'll be down here soon or whether that can happen or not. But I know he's pretty busy. So hopefully at episode. Does he know you'll be wearing those? Yeah. I told him so he's pretty pumped about him. So it's pretty cool and, you know, I'm really excited to wear it for him.


and he was just reaching Sadie Olu Badon off Ibadon land over Saliu Akamu at the Tungi has died. The monarch who was 93 years old died in the early hours of Sunday, January 2. The monarch who ruled over 11 local government areas that make up Ibadon died less than one month after the death of son of Obomoshor Obajimo Uyeumi Sosis at the Pupui Mojah Palace of Olu Badon said that the Olu Badon died at the University College Hospital Ibadon. At the Tungi who was crowned the 41st Olu Badon on March 4, 2017 was born on August 26, 1928. He was the first of 17 children of his parents. May his soul rest in peace. Amen. And don't forget to hit the notification button so you get notified about fresh news updates.


Welcome to Tickmail Weekly Market Outlook for week commencing the 13th of July with me, Patrick Manley. FX markets head into this new week with an open mind about the economic recovery we're witnessing. The tone has been mildly positive, however, with equity, credit and commodity markets heavily bid. The strong rally in Chinese equities and the US dollar Huam level breaking seven, this has also added additional support to the risk on tone, a mood that could be supported further if Thursday's release of Chinese second quarter GDP does not disappoint. The tone would also be held by above consensus prints in the US for June industrial production and June retail sales. The week will also see the June US NFIB and CPI data. The higher frequency soft US data on retail sales and unemployment is not quite as encouraging as the headline figures suggest. With this in mind, the market will closely watch out for any guidance provided by US banks as earnings season kicks into high gear on Tuesday. Any significant higher provisioning for souring loans or lowering in guidance could stand to insert some more equity volatility into the equation. One final point to consider is that the 15th of July marks the new US federal tax deadline, having been extended from the 15th of April back in March. This may see some tightening in US dollar cash and repo markets and slightly firmer short end US dollar rates, providing what I consider to be a temporary bullish factor for the US dollar. So if we move to the charts now and we saw a turnaround in terms of the dollar into the back end of last week, if we can hold this 96-20 area, I'm now looking for a move up to the 98 zone where we've got the descending trend line resistance coming in, certainly be looking for bearish reversal patterns in this area to target and move back down to test the range support at 95-71 and in extension the 94-60s. However, if we take out Thursday's low at the 96-20, then I'd look for a retest of range support down to 95-70. The highlight of the week in terms of the Eurozone will be the EU's leader's summit starting Friday and whether it concludes with an agreement on the €750 billion recovery fund. I'd take a cautiously optimistic view on this, thinking that concessions already agreed on the joint funding of the programme should lead to an eventual deal. As always, these discussions can be noisy, expect a lot of side briefings going on which could add to volatility during the week. Less volatility should emerge from the European Central Bank meeting and press conference on Thursday where I anticipate a period of reflection is likely to continue. In terms of the data calendar, we'll see Eurozone at main industrial production and the July-German ZEW index. From a technical perspective, the euro-dollar we saw reversal on Thursday and some additional selling on Friday. Whilst we hold this 13-60 range resistance, I'm now anticipating a move down to test the equality objective at the 1-11-30. Only a close back through 1-13-70 would negate this downside-corrected move and then I'd be looking for 1-14-20 on route to an ultimate 1-15 test. Sterling, UK Chancellor Rishi Sunak's fiscal support announcement did have a one-off positive impact on Sterling with Sterling in fact reacting ahead of the event to the leaked details rather than the actual announcement. With this now fully priced in the upside for Sterling should be fairly limited from here. Don't expect any progress in the Brexit talks next week or over the summer as a whole. Meaning that positive catalysts for Sterling upside should be rather scarce. It would really probably be a euro rally rather than Sterling strength that would push the Sterling higher from here. On the data front, a headline CPI on Wednesday should stay at around half a percent and it's likely to stay around that level for the duration of the summer. The unemployment rate released on Thursday may take marginally higher but its rise has so far been limited given the furlough scheme. We look for a rise in unemployment in the coming months following already announced job cuts as more firms announce layoffs. None of these data points should have a meaningful impact on Sterling given that they're backward looking nature. From a technical perspective, Sterling has come into range resistance now at this 1-26-70 as this contains the upside. I'm now looking for a move down to test range support and equality objective at 1-21-40. However, if we did take out last week's highs at 1-26-70 then look for an immediate test of stops above 1-28. In Japan, Wednesday's Bank of Japan policy meeting will be the local highlight of the week. Don't expect any changes to their elaborate QE and yield curve control policy. Moves by the BOJ to support the corporate bond market do seem to be paying dividends. Where corporate bond issuance by Japanese companies did surge in June. There also seems little need to alter the yield curve control measures where the recent 10-30 JGB curve steepening trend has started to reverse. From a technical perspective, as the dollar yen holds below this 1-08-20 area I'm looking for a test of the equality objective down towards 1-04-50. If we do take out 1-08-10 on a closing basis then I'd look for a test of range resistance up to 1-09-80. Finally, the Aussie dollar. It's been a bit of a lag in the G10 space despite the risk on mood coming from China with good Chinese sentiment normally disproportionately benefitting the Aussie dollar and the Kiwi dollar compared to other pro-ciprocal currencies. As a severe COVID-19 wave in Australia has forced Victoria into a lockdown. As we learned in the past few months, there is a lag between the start of a lockdown and when we actually start to see cases slowing. The Aussie may continue to feel the pressure into the week ahead. From data perspective, it's going to be the Labour report, which will be closely watched. Investors are likely expecting a rebound in the employment figures to the plus 100K region. The impact on the Aussie, however, may be limited by the notion that fresh lockdown measures are already neutralising any improvements seen in June. From a technical perspective with the Australian dollar, as we hold below the 70 level, I'm looking now for an equality objective test down towards 67-30. However, if we do take out 70 on a closing basis, then we can look for 70-60 as the next upside objective ahead of range resistance at 72-80. And that concludes the weekly market outlook for week commencing the 13th of July.


Hi, my name's Leon Rowe, currency trader and trading coach at Trading180.com and welcome to this week's supply and demand forex and gold fundamental and technical analysis. If you're new and you watch it to this channel, a warm welcome to you. And if you're returning welcome back and an equally warm welcome to you. And if you like the weekly analysis that I've provided, please don't forget to like, subscribe and share with your fellow colleagues as a free way to kind of support the channel and gets the quality content out to those that need it. And before we get into our fundamental and technical analysis, just thought I'd go over a bit of education, fundamental education as fundamentals is really what drives valuation of of anything really, not just currencies, but it's understanding what creates demand and supply right in the currency. It's not going to be technical analysis. I can tell you that banks don't just look at technical analysis. They look at the fundamentals behind what gives an asset class its value, right? That's really what fundamentals and analysis is about. But in this question, in this poll that I asked about a month ago, I said, if a central bank is hiking rates, the demand for that currency should typically increase over the medium to long term. Is that true or false? 91% of you said true and those 91% who voted true are correct.  They're your yield. And as an investor, right? You want assets to generate you high yields. And if, you know, you're holding, for example, US dollars or British pounds and the interest rate is, for example, 2%, it means that for holding that currency, you should be getting paid a 2% return. And currency trading forex trading is all about really the comparison between one currency and another. So when a current, when a central bank is hiking rates, which is the smart money, right, they control, they're trying to control the valuation of a currency when a central bank looks to hike rates, right? From, let's say, for example, you know, 0.25, potentially to 0.5%. Yeah, to 0.5. Yeah, what they're actually doing is appreciating the currency. They want the currency to get more valued, right? They want it to get a bit more expensive because what that does is it creates demand because if one country is, for example, like I said before, is, let's say, for example, there is 0%, so they're not getting any kind of interest for holding that currency. And there's another currency and country and central bank that is raising and first of all, they've got a higher interest rate. But then they're also hiking their interest rates. Why am I going to hold a currency that has, you know, that has not given me a return, right? Well, to say it's not absolute, there's obviously reasons for holding a currency that has, you know, 0% depending on the environment. But to simply explain, it creates demand, right? For that currency, because again, investors want a return. If they think that their return for holding a currency is going to go higher in the medium to long term, then that's going to create demand. Every, you know, investor is going to pile into that currency and it should, you know, typically increase over the medium to long term. And the reason why I say medium to long term is because in the short term, price action is very, can be very random, right? And this is due to things like liquidity and slippage, right? Which the banks can't trade like how we trade. They have to avoid slippage and they have to accumulate a lot more, right? And because of these things, in the short term, price action can seem very random, but in the medium to long term, you will see the direction that was intended by the banks and the investment banks, et cetera. So for those of you who've got it right, well done, pretty easy question. For those of you who didn't, I guess it's your first time to, you know, with the fundamentals and I hope that you did learn something there. Moving on to before we end to get into the fundamentals and the weekly analysis, just our approach to trading 180 is really to establish fundamental analysis and all which basically determines our direction and then apply technical analysis to supply and demand strategies to time our trade entries, establish profit targets and overall risk management. And we sit basically right in the middle here using the best of both worlds to make the best trading decisions. So moving on to this week's week ahead, tradingeconomics.com and the Federal Reserve and Reserve Bank of Australia will be releasing policy meetings, meeting minutes in the coming week while central banks in China, New Zealand and Indonesia will meet to set interest rates. So that's going to be important, especially for the New Zealand dollar. They're expected to hike rates this week, if not this or this in the coming week. But if they don't, then again, they will be the ones, probably one of the first ones to hike interest rates. So that's just giving you, they're telling you what they potentially are going to do. So what should you do? Get not financial advice, but where is the probability of the New Zealand dollar potentially going higher in the medium to long term? Again, in the short term, nobody necessarily knows, but medium to long term, you should see the New Zealand dollar go appreciate. On the economic data front, important releases to follow include US and China, retail sales and industrial production, Canada and UK inflation data. That's going to be important because inflation data will determine is one of the factors that bankers look at in order to potentially hike rates or not, right? And retail trade, Japan and Eurozone, second quarter GDP updates and Australia employment figure. So there's definitely some a lot of a market moving data and important decisions to be made about monetary policy for the central banks, depending on what happens with the data. Anyways, moving on to the US dollar DXY dollar index and the dollar index. Last week, we did come up to this, this demand zone, right? And, you know, we did actually, you know, sell off a little bit, but that's just probably maybe some sort of pullback could be profit taking, et cetera. The question really is, is understanding why should the the US dollar go higher in the medium to long term? And if they, if the Federal Reserve are continuing to look to hike rates, then you should really just look at any pullbacks as buying opportunities or just looking at demand zones. So if you're looking to go long based off of your fundamental analysis, ignore supply zones, supply zones shouldn't even come into your mind. I know traders do want to, you know, try and make money on the way up and on the way down, but good luck with that, I would say. It's it's I think it's best to just be patient and look for just buying opportunities if you understand where the path of least resistance is. Yeah. But anyways, getting into the decision as far as the the decision for the Fed to start tapering and tapering should again increase the the valuation of the currency because I explained it last week in last week's videos, I have a look there. But just I guess to summarize is that quantitative easing devalues the currency and by tapering quantitative easing, you should, you know, minimize the impact of your devaluation, right? So Delta variant won't impact Fed's taper plan. Blinder tells Gigi, right? So the Federal Reserve will likely lift its zero interest rate policy next year as the impact of the fast spreading Delta variant has not been that significant on the economy. Alan Blinder, a former Fed vice chair, told Japanese wire services, Gigi press. So that's, you know, that's quite important. Again, it is his opinion, but he is also the the ex Fed vice chair. So he knows pretty much what he's talking about. And so so really, truly, you should understand that if that's the view, right? Again, nobody knows 100 percent. It's just a probabilistic game. But if that is the is the view, right, that that the variant isn't necessarily going to impact or it may do. But the chances are it's unlikely to, depending on obviously the impact of it or the spread of it. But you should really look to continue to potentially buy the dollar. Again, not financial advice, even though in the backdrop, we do have some risk events, and this was on the 12th. Things was Friday. So China's port shut down raises fears of closures worldwide. So isn't that a headline risk off? Meaning that there's a lot of fear, uncertainty and doubt in the world. And in fact, the dollar can still can still benefit and does benefit from is a risk off currency, right? So meaning that it can benefit in times of risk off and on, right? So it's where is there are other currencies that generally don't do well in a risk off environment. So basically, the story is a COVID outbreak that has partially shut down one of the world's busiest container ports is heightening concerns that a rapid spread of the Delta variant will lead to a repeat of last year's shipping nightmare. So if this does start to come true, then we could see a bit of a sell off in commodity currencies like the Australian dollar, the New Zealand dollar, the Canadian dollar, for example. No one really knows how the US dollar will react. But against the commodity currencies, you probably will see the dollar start to start to strengthen against currencies like the yen, which we'll get into in a sec. You know, it may start to sell off, but the dollar index basically is just used as a again, an overall snapshot of the dollar strength against various other currencies like the euro, the yen, the pound. And so you're just looking at this is comprehensive prices come down into this demand zone, and they start to be some positive price action. And you think that that's really a great place to look to buy. Then look for the same kind of confluence on other currency pairs. If you're looking to buy the dollar, the same thing, if you're looking to sell the dollar, waiting for basically pullbacks into an area of supply, which would probably be here now. And that ninety two point eight eight level before looking at getting short to use a bearish price action there and look for, you know, sell dollar trades on any of the dollar crosses. Moving on to the dollar yen. In the dollar yen again, we've seen a bit of a sell off on the Friday. And again, I think this could be simply because of the story of the of China's busiest port shutting down, right? But with risk off, right, risk off with fear, uncertainty and doubt, the Japanese yen is considered a safe haven currency and money will flow into that currency. But I tell the traders in my private mentoring room is that depending on the risk sentiment and what the event actually is, the risk risk off sentiment drives prices to where we would want to be a buyer. Right. Because let's say, for example, the in the next couple of days, they get a grip on the delta, the variant outbreak. Yeah. So they, you know, they quarantine and and price still still coming down, right? And then they start to say, OK, we're going to reopen the ports. Now the dollar looks like an absolute bargain against the Japanese yen at these prices because the reopening of the ports will mean more risk on. Yeah, we mean more risk on and in a risk on environment, you do not want to be buying the Japanese yen. You want to buy the higher yielding currency, right? So that's pretty much how it works. A risk off can drive prices to where we want to be buyers and then look for buying opportunities when risk comes back on. So for now, that's really the plan. And let's see on Monday, whether, you know, the market is kind of scared out and really kind of getting into into risk off mode and how how the impact of really the China's port shut down will have on the market and how long it may last for. Again, nobody knows for sure. But let's just keep our finger on the pulse dollar Swiss. Again, similar thing I think is happening across the board where you're getting a bit of a sell-off on the Friday, right? So that's supply. So again, if you are thinking to yourself, well, I want to try and take advantage of risk off and you're looking for pullbacks into that zone there. You're looking for risk on trade. I think the nearest demand zone is going to be all the way down to this 90s area. But also as well, you have to think to yourself, if if prices do make higher highs, then that becomes a nice demand zone. And then that could be a really nice buying opportunity. But let's let's see at the moment, not really much to kind of say about this. Pretty similar to the dollar yen moving on to the dollar CAD. Dollar CAD, two kind of strong currencies going out. And again, I said last week that when you have two strong currencies that are potentially looking to hike rates, you'll generally get a ranging market. And so this is pretty much what's happened. Price is kind of caught between this high, this demand zone and this supply zone. So I think for me, it's not really again, a pair that I'm interested in. If I'm getting long or short, it would have to be really up into this zone here, this 127, 128 to get short. Or if I'm getting long, probably prefer the bottom end of this, this demand zone, if not down into that zone, but it's not really a pair. I'm looking to trade as the CAD for me. They want an interest in hiking cycle. There is obviously an opportunity, depending on risk of sentiment, because in the risk of environment, the CAD shouldn't do well against the dollar. So in fact, what you should see is is more upside, is more as more upside on this currency pair if risk off comes into play. New Zealand dollar, US dollar. Again, surprisingly, that we have a bullish day, but with dollar potentially setting off and also as well, the rumor that there is an interest rate hike coming this week on the New Zealand dollar. We we potentially should have prices go higher, but this could be capped due to the risk of sentiment. But for me, any pullbacks on that New Zealand dollar, I think is great, a great buying opportunity, not necessarily against the dollar per se. But I just think that the US dollar, so the New Zealand dollar is really the one to buy for the foreseeable future. And this is really due to them being really the first to start looking to hike interest rates and being on that cycle. Because once they won the interest rate hiking cycle, it can last for a number of years, so they're ahead of the curve, they're ahead of pretty much all, you know, banks that we and currencies that we trade. So so yeah, let's see what happens here. A bit of no man's land when you think about where we are, if you're looking to buy and we're in that range between the high and that low, then and you're looking to buy the the sorry, the New Zealand dollar, then we're in a bit of an expensive area. Any pullbacks again down into these nine zero point six nine areas would be really nice for a potential buy. And again, if you do want to get short, probably look for a short around this area here as a fresh area of supply. Pound dollar, it's a pound dollar. A few weeks ago, we did bounce off of this supply zone, really nice. And let's just pull this down. I think, yeah, we've got that area there. Again, two really kind of strong currencies going at it when it comes to currency appreciation, looking at the the pound this week. So UK growth surges, but can it last? So the spread of a delta variant has put the brakes on the recovery after a strong second quarter, while we're not expecting a return to significantly negative growth. The rise in COVID-19 suggests it may be still another couple of quarters before the economy has returned to its pre virus level. And this is from ING. So there was some really good data coming out or that came out for the for the pound. But let's see what happens. I mean, I'm probably a bit more bullish on the pound now. Again, not necessarily against the US dollar, but if you do get maybe a pullback into these areas here, say this one three seven area, that's actually a decent area to look for any kind of long trades, if you think that the dollar should want to get stronger than any pullbacks into that zone would be a decent short trade for the for the US in buying the US dollar. But again, if you're looking at strength and divergences, meaning buying one currency that's strong, one currency that's weak, which is what you should be doing, there really is for me no real divergence on this currency pair. Meaning that I'm not really looking to get involved in that.  And again, I honestly think that from a divergence perspective, the divergence is with the euro dollar. So, for example, tapering talk with the US dollar. And the in Europe are really kind of lagging behind when it comes to monetary policy. So ECB's wide men warns inflation may pick up faster than expected. So European Central Bank governing council member Jens Weidman warned that inflation in the euro area could pick up faster than expected and urged not to drag out the institution's pandemic bond buying program. The problem is, though, is that there's still really kind of below their 2 percent target. So the ECB expectation to average at one point nine in twenty twenty one, mainly reflecting temporary factors before falling to one point five or one point four in twenty twenty two twenty twenty three. So while underlying price pressures should strengthen the economy as the economy recovers, the current outlook forces inflation well below the ECB goals, ECB's goal of two percent. Meaning that regardless of what this guy is, Mr. Weidman is saying, if you're not really central banks aren't necessarily above their two percent target, then what is the the incentive to high crates? Right. They just they're just reaching their goal. So with that being said, the euro, the ECB are lagging behind, whereas the US are really kind of talking about tapering and potentially hiking interest rates. Right. So any pullbacks, any pullback into supply zones will be really kind of nice selling opportunities or buying for the US dollar, although there is obviously an opportunity to get long on buying the euro in the short term. But really, I think the power for these resistance is still to the downside. And if that level doesn't work out, then that would actually still be a decent zone, a decent short trade from this one nineteen to six area would be probably the best. You should probably from there. Yes, so from the three one area would be the better zone to look for any kind of short trades moving on to the euro yen, euro yen, not really interested in this. Again, from a risk off perspective, you should expect the Japanese yen to strengthen and continue going to the downside, especially against the euro. But I think if the euro does in September, October, does start to act a bit more hawkish, then that's going to be a really nice buy around this one, two, eight, fifty area. But as a currency pair trading perspective, I'm not really too interested in this currency at the moment. There is a nice little supply zone there or supply zone there. So just look for any kind of sell trades. But sell trades would come into understanding that you want to sell this currency pair, get short in a risk off environment. Aussie dollar, Aussie dollar. Again, being in this range, really tight range, prices really kind of remained between this, probably maybe moved to about a hundred pips or so, something like that within this hundred pipped range. Yeah, 110 pipped range for quite a while. Matter of fact, since really kind of July the 22nd and we're literally August 13th, so really kind of low summer volatility trading. If you do want to get long, I think the Australian dollar is lagging behind slightly there. They've got an outbreak of the Delta variant and the major cities going into lockdown. So if that continues, you should really expect prices to go lower. So any pullbacks into any kind of supply zones and you've got you've got a decent supply zone right here as well. That would be a decent sell trade if prices come up to really kind of up the highs of that area and looking for short trades. And remember that the US dollar can benefit from a risk off environment. If not, then you're looking at this area here as for short trades. But I think once the Australian economy gets going, then I think this area actually can be a really nice buy because I do think that the Australian dollar in a risk on environment should kind of outperform with higher commodity prices. Moving on to the Aussie yen, Aussie yen, again, we've had a bit of a sell off. See the analysis from last week. Understanding that we got support there, bit of support there as prices went to the upside, then came down in resistance. And then I was saying last week that if you are looking for any kind of sell trades, then that would be the zone and you can see pretty much what happened there again and risk off has aided that. So risk off sentiment. You should really want to look to buy the Japanese yen in the short term if you're looking to take advantage of risk off. And so, yeah, we've seen that trade kind of work out. Again, for me, though, I'm more of a risk on person. So prices, if prices do come down to this 80 area or just below that area for me and risk on comes back into play, then I think that's going to be a brilliant buy for the Australian dollar. So for the year, I think now I think I'm I'll be interested in that. But I've got to see the data support, the narrative meaning that I want to see the Australian dollar start to really, you know, jobs, employment, GDP, really start to be on the up and up before I start to look to buy the Australian dollar. And finally, gold, gold had a massive rally, I think, on the quite early in the week on August the night. So again, it pinged right off of this demand zone demand here, demand here. And then we literally have come off that move the good couple of hundred dollars from in regards to gold. So that and that should not be there. We do have the I'm going to keep the demand zone there. And we're pretty much in between a high and a low, right? Meaning that if this is an expensive area for gold and that's a bargain area for gold, so it's higher would be expensive. This low would be known as, I guess, a bargain area. We know that to be a bargain because what did price do when it came down there? It literally bounced off as a whole load of buyers around here. In between that is fair value. So if you're looking to buy gold, you're really looking for some sort of pullback before looking at getting long. If you're looking to short gold, potentially with a hawkish federal reserve, you could see prices come up this week and then look for, you know, a potential sell off. And again, just looking at gold. On the 12th, it said gold heads for its second weekly loss as traders assess the dollar. I think I think this is a bit maybe out of sync on the 12th, but it says gold is heading for its second straight weekly loss as the dollar advances concerns Simmer that the federal reserve could soon support, reduce support for the US economy. So the dollar advanced on Thursday, rising inflation pressures and strengthening job market. A strong dollar diminishes demand for bullion as an alternative asset. So this actually this this price actually could actually be due to more risk off sentiment coming into the market. Gold is a safe haven. So even though the dollar could be strengthening, you could because of risk off, you could obviously see money going into gold again. So maybe this is being driven by more risk off sentiment rather than dollar weakness. But either way, you look at it. If you're looking to potentially sell gold, meaning you're buying the dollar, this is a way of doing it. If you don't want to necessarily buy the dollar, you want to sell gold looking for, you know, really a play back up to this supplies and before getting short, if you're looking to sell the dollar and buy gold, then you're looking for really kind of pullbacks into a zone. I probably say this 1703 area again before looking at any kind of long trades. Anyways, guys, that's it for this week. Hope you enjoyed it and found it useful. Please don't forget to like, subscribe and share and I'll speak to you guys soon. Have a great trading week.


Good afternoon, Pastor David. Hey John. Welcome everybody to unfiltered a random moment with Pastor David Thank you for tuning in. We know on Tuesdays that we discuss current events and on on Thursdays We talked more about your previous message or something that pertains to biblical principles But today pastor wanted your feedback on something I heard from John MacArthur I came across a video that John was speaking about the importance of voting and he mentioned something along the lines that a true Christian Cannot vote Democratic Wow, and he was if he was talking about how this particular party is and supportive of abortions and many of the different things and And he was saying that Christians if they're true Christians, and they have this Moral agent within them that it would be difficult for them to vote Democratic and so I wanted your feedback an opinion on something a Statement made such as that's pretty strong statement Now isn't it, you know because we all know that Just because somebody has an R after their name Republican that that doesn't make them righteous Just because it's an R doesn't mean they're righteous, right?  That's a big question I did hear that I did hear that statement and And let me begin by saying I highly regard John MacArthur as a very astute theologian Very principled man and in many ways, I'd say John a hero of the faith and Courageous and and he does He does present to us an unvarnished gospel because of those qualifications and as many years of faithfully proclaiming the gospel faithfully Defending the things of faith and as I've said to you before Were I in an argument with somebody? Theologically it would be nice to have him in my pocket So I could pull him out and say John can you answer that right? I mean, I do highly regard him We as Calvary Chapel ministries, you know, we do have differences with his theology in some areas But 99% of the things that that John teaches are things that we agree with, you know And and I for many years have have used his commentaries and listen to To to what he's had to say because my training my background Theologically in colleges pretty much the same as his as a matter of fact It was the same as his and therefore there are many points of agreement that I would have with him and again I highly respect him as a a not just a master, but a doctor of theology, right? So with all of that said to try and answer the question I think that what he's saying when he explains it when he says that The platform of the Democrat Party Stands for things that the Bible says are sinful. He's right when he says that the Democratic Party pushes the LBGTQ agenda and as Christians That's a that's an agenda. We cannot support. He's right when he speaks concerning Abortion and the fact that the Democratic Party even though it has a Catholic President And the Catholic Church officially is pro-life and yet this Catholic president is is pro-abortion Well, I think John's right if you truly are a Bible-believing Christian then you're supposed to vote your conscience as the as a platforms of that particular Governer governing body As closely as it may align with your own morals and so I personally Will not Will not vote for a Democrat. I will not I will not because the whole body of their of their platform is What I preach against every time I proclaim the gospel How could I violate? Scripture By doing such a thing as voting for that platform because that's what you're voting for and it amazes me how that The Republican Party will present themselves as being the moral party When in fact, they're no more moral than any Democrat in many ways because power has corrupted them and their desire to retain their office has motivated them and every every You know say they're holding office for four years or whatever every every three years They do what they want and then the fourth year suddenly they become You know, they're they're campaigning. So I I frankly I don't trust Every politician they have to prove themselves to me now what would happen if a Democrat was actually saying things that I agree with What if much of what he said like mansion? You know from what is at West Virginia? Much of what he has to say it would be things that perhaps I agree with what I vote for him and the answer is no Why not? because he still represents a party that Is anti God in many ways? I mean they even went so far as to strike God out of some of the things that they say they're in Congress and also You know, I can't vote for them. So I I believe that That John's comments are comments that I agree with though the way he would say those things And he doesn't mind an argument with anybody the way he would say that I have a tendency of Toning down some of that rhetoric and just trying to speak concerning the its subject matter at hand and so no I I cannot will not have not voted for a Democrat now. I Also believe that many as a matter of fact, I know because there have been polls demonstrating this that many Bible-believing Christians Refuse to vote and I think that that is violation of your conscience I think that you really ought to Express your morals through your vote. That's what you do and There are millions of Christians that did not vote in the last election there were millions of Christians who didn't vote in the recall effort of Newsome and they say it's a waste of my time. No, it's not. It's it's a way of Of in a concrete way expressing your moral beliefs Do you or do you not want this person? Running this state and instead of saying he doesn't line up with what I believe look what he's done Look what's happening to California?  I am a Californian Didn't move into California because I like the beaches or the weather Born and raised here. My wife is the sixth or seventh generation Californian. We are Californians and To see what what the Democrat government has done to my my state that I live in the amount of taxes the amount of Prices for gasoline the fact that a trillion plus gallons of of rainwater are poured into the ocean and drying up our our agricultural Centers here because of a fish or a snail. It's amazing and people are actually Voting these people in the definition of insanity is to repeat the same behavior expecting a different result Every every election Californians are voting in people who are destroying this beautiful state a state I grew up in the state I love very much a state that I never wanted to leave but look at the people Exit is seen from California. And yeah, I think that we have to really think these things through and Would I vote for a government that does that? Absolutely not. I believe every Christian should vote their conscience and Look and see what the Democrat Party actually represents everything that I teach against when I teach the Bible everything, you know, I Don't get it. And so I Think that John has a point and and I would not argue with that. I agree with him in that I don't say it the way that he says it because John has more Gravitas than I do he is is much more well-versed in those things he fought he fought Against the closure of churches in was willing to take California to court for it. He's a hero to the churches today He's a hero and in a highly regard him I simply would not say things in the exact manner he does But I respect him because he doesn't pull any punches and he tells the truth. And so do I agree with him? Yeah, I wouldn't go so far as to you make that a litmus test of your beliefs in Christ But I would certainly say that's a litmus test to your understanding of Scripture Right and so there may be some all this we're talking about voting and I can already here see some of the comments that may be posted Yeah, whatever But we as Christians we have a responsibility To vote absolutely and to vote our conscious and to vote biblically, but you know what John? I'm no hero. I'm certainly no war hero But I did serve this this nation in the military and I know that my sacrifice and the sacrifice of millions of others Guaranteed the right for people to vote And for them to not vote is to is to dishonor the memory of those who actually died To give them the privilege of doing that and if they don't understand that perhaps it's time that they think it think it through Well pastor, thank you so much for that wanted to get your feedback on that Yeah, we watched the video and he was John was pretty strong. He's straight But it was but I think something that that as Christians we need to to hear and so pastor Thank you so much for your time church family tomorrow evening, which is Wednesday. We have the coutinas coming Yeah, they're gonna lead us in worship and actually just gonna take over the whole Wednesday night Yep service and so great invite your friends and family. We're gonna have a great time And if you've never heard the coutinas you have to come out. I love those guys. They're amazing Angelic for sure their voices. Yeah, so come on out and join us and then we have our Sunday morning services at 8 30 and 10 45 We look forward to having you come out as pastor. David's taking us through the book of Mark And so thank you guys for tuning in God bless you and pastor David. Thank you so much Of course, and will you guys have a nice afternoon?


Hey, I'm good, I'm good. It will be an all-life interview today, so... All right, my name is Della. Can you sing a song, right? Queen Della. Queen Della? I'll take it, I'll take it. You're taking it, of course. I'm the queen, all right. There you go. All right, now, Della, you've been part of this amazing show, so first maybe. Tell us about the preparation, the journey, and maybe you'll perform it without song. Oh, my God. South East Seoul have been my boys from a long time. I've seen them from the beginning, and to see this happen, like, right before my eyes, because you knew where they always had the vision. And to see that before my eyes, this actually happening, is has been crazy. It was really emotional. We reminisce a lot of moments, like, everybody has a song that takes them somewhere. Everybody has a song that, when you hear, you're like, this is where I was when I heard this song, and that's kind of emotional connection to the music is what the show was today. It was a whole spiritual experience, and I'm just super blessed to have been part of it. It was more than 13 years ago when we did that song on my papa, and for me to be able to be with them here from that time and hear where they are has been a blessing. I'm truly grateful, yeah. Maybe a musical lesson you've learned from South East Seoul? Musical lesson is dedication, constant practice, constant repetition. Just keep doing it and doing it and doing it. Like, growth will be exponential. Like, keep at it, just be dedicated. That's it, I think. That's what I've learned from them. Yeah, never give up. Just if you know where you're going, go there. Yeah. Now, I believe South East Seoul maybe changed the Kenyan music industry in one way or another. Maybe you in a position to tell me maybe what has it helped maybe the Kenyan music industry in terms of now artists learning from South East Seoul at a discipline, as a band, as a group? You said it yourself, the discipline. Taking the artistry seriously and thinking of it as a business and as an empire to grow, you know, is what they've taught us. Like, for a long time, people didn't take positions seriously like you can't go anywhere, but we can see what's possible. Like, there's so much talent in Kenya. And if we have the right support, if you have the right team, the people who have the same vision as you, around you, you can achieve it. So I think it's time people supported each other and believe that music is also a career to be taken seriously. It can take you very far. Let me just ask you, what is your favorite song? My what? South Seoul's favorite song. Oh, let me see. Oh my gosh, there's so many. I think it has to be Surayako. But this is just something like, I feel like that flipped a switch with that song. And with, let me just say that, Surayako. Yeah. You performing there, you saw it for yourself, the energy, the vibe, South Seoul family, the fans were singing South Seoul song word by word. What is going through your mind? Oh my God, it was crazy. The energy of the crowd was crazy. Like, I mean, these people love South Seoul. And the music, it's just people relate to it. That's why, as I said before, so the people have grown up with this music, some of them, it's been 20 years. So, and it's intergenerational, you know? So, it's, I think I lost my train of thought there, sorry. How about the fans, maybe? Oh, I just want to thank the fans who have been there from the beginning. And people who also, we have younger generations also discovering this music right now. So, I would not thank them for coming out. Like, they really showed that a Kenyan artist can put up a show and Kenyans will come through.  So, this is proof. And so, I want to thank the fans for proving that fact. Thank you so much. Thank you for being with us and for especially South Seoul. You're the reason that we're here today. All right, thank you so much for your time. Thank you. We hope to see you soon. Yes, you will. We're working on new stuff, so keep an eye out. All right. Thank you.