Thank you. I'm very happy and honoured to have been invited to give this lecture, now a little less than six months before Paris. And I thank you all, in particular Bo Kiellen, who has asked an insistence that I could come. And it's a pleasure just to stop from this very, very demanding process, not always rewarding process, to be here with having a more peaceful and thoughtful I'm sure interaction than one I normally do these days. I wanted to share with you some elements of how we see and based on what kind of expectation the Paris Agreement could look and why we are trying to develop a vision of a more global outcomes and the agreement itself. And that's why I wanted to explain you today. Just to come back to the idea that this process is a, as we said this morning, is a complex process because he's trying to solve and to respond to an extraordinary challenging issue, which is a product of a billion of people activities, the Second Industrial Revolution's outcomes, and in a way the core itself of the development pathway for the past century. So it's not simple and most of the time, of course, people don't understand why we are so long to create a framework to address that, but just I think it's good to remind us that it is very difficult. I have sometimes a comparison in time. When you look at the trade negotiation, it took more, it took since 1948 until 1994 that 50 years to agree on something which is far more simple than addressing the issue of climate change. Discussing about the trade liberalization, meaning to lower the barriers to trade, and even not all, but some of them only, and just to have just a reform of the border tax is something normally much easier. But it still took 50 years to have a broader agreement. So when we started this in 1992 only, and of course we are already not totally, of course, going at full speed, I must say, but still we have to understand that it is a very complex. And that's why this convention of 1992, this climate regime, has been trying to respond to a number of difficulties and failures and has proved an enormous dynamism. The lens of the process of difficulties is, in a way, hiding whatever the deep changes and the deep process of essays and errors that has characterized this regime. And it is a profoundly evolving regime over time. And when we see all the sort of the main mind stones since Kyoto in 1997 where Kyoto was all about timetables and targets, sometimes described as a totally top-down exercise, which was not really the case, but nevertheless it was portrayed like that. And when you see the different, of course, the difficulties of Kyoto to have everybody on board and the attempt in Copenhagen later, and the different aspects that were finally finalized in Kankun, in particular this notion that the developing countries could put Namas nationally appropriate measures on the table, transform and in Kankun again the prospect of having a legally binding agreement was absolutely out of the table. And then came back even in Kankun as an attempt and finally took part in Durban platform with this idea we need one. We need not only a commitment from countries on a voluntary basis, we need more than that. We need a framework. We need a more centralized framework to achieve that. And that's what, in a way, has led to Paris. So anyway we are constantly adjusting this process to try to respond to the challenges to encompass the complexity. And in a way where we are there is to try to go from a deep and narrow agreement, which was supposedly, again it's a simplification to be the Kyoto style, to a shallow and large one which is trying to of course have less of a profound commitments in particular in the legally binding form of these commitments, but have everybody on board. And so we had finally a very classical evolution of many treaties with the views that because it's climate change and because greenhouse gases are a global problem, a common pool resource problem, we have to have of course at least a base of a very large agreement, even if we can go on certain aspect in certain sector, probably sort of a more narrow and more deep one. This figure is what has been in a Q&A and David Victor paper I think in 2009 representing I think something which was very useful for me when we decided to design the strategy for the Paris Agreement. And in particular when you look at of course what is if we think that finally addressing climate change is a product of many, many actions and many, many elements, the notion that we have a regime complex more than an agreement which is only as a central mechanism that can really modify whole behaviors. I think this notion that finally the regime is complex and is constituted by different elements and you have to work on all these elements. Of course these figures of 2009 should be now different because we have many more element in there, but the interest was just to show that not only UNFCCC which is in the upper right, but as well IPCC is embedded in the regime. There are of course the action of agencies, but the action of local authorities, military development banks etc. And that even there you can find that is a club of countries who are doing and now more and more it's a club of companies or club of cities. So this notion that the regime is complex again was very useful for me to design what could be the outcome of Paris. If we don't believe in miracles which will not happen in climate change and of course I will make this available for everybody in the famous paper of Victor and QN which quite at least the figure is very useful, the paper is good but the figure is particularly useful. And if we don't believe in miracles and one text, one legal text can do everything which is not the case. There is no the evidence that the legal agreement and internal treaty will modify behaviors of billions of people. So we have to understand the result the outcome of Paris as something if we want to be serious in really to produce a shift in the expectation in the for the future. So we have to work at these different levels and the concept of Paris outcome is exactly based on that. So the rationale behind the Paris agreement is clearly building on the theory of rational expectation which is in this house would not be surprising. Swedish economists have been really active on this front and so the idea is to think about that how we can modify the expectation so to modify behaviors and these are different behaviors investors behaviors don't obey to the same incentive and and don't respond the same than I don't know developers in in urban planning or whatever. So the notion that we have to work on this and we have to work on all the elements of the climate regime having a broad conception of this regime and to try in all of these elements to make the expectation of every of these opinion leaders or actors or principles if we reduce this sort of this concept borrowed from economics all these principles have to share the same expectations that the way we think the change can happen not because a legal treaty will decide it because everybody would think that this will happen. So it is very much relying on the fact that a self-fulfilling prophecy will make the job. So how you create this of course is another story but that's behind the Paris outcome that has I try I propose to the French government and apparently they just accept that. So what is that stake in 2015 it's simple in a way it's about changing economic and political signals in favor of the low carbon economy and it's about the alignment of expectation of government local authorities businesses consumers and citizens. So on 12 of December the formula of the success of Paris could be this one expectation of change most of people 50 I don't know what the threshold should be believe that this this will happen. So of course this doesn't mean that it is simple to do and sometimes I use a metaphor it is like a sheepdog in a way it's like to push people and countries and everybody from from behind to say that's the direction you have to go to or at the same time like is a magic float that how you attract people to go in that direction but the notion but basically because we lost we don't have we never had by the way the notion of a central large emission of the signal have disappeared together with the timetable and targets in particular including a global carbon price I put that in black because I feel that in many of my colleagues in universities believe that we should go back to this this is so much cleaner simpler and more and more nice in a way if we could have one central signal and everything would align around this signal that would be so good it cannot happen once because many countries don't want that and many many many other reasons I would not deny but so as we don't have this we have to produce the signals in different areas and with and attracting different actors which don't respond again to the same incentives so that's why we describe the Paris alliance for climate action around based on this looking for converging expectation and making this signal appear in different areas of the complex climate regime that we should have a legally binding agreement by the way that the mandate France are received from the Durban platform so we have to deliver that that's what we are in a way paid for or we pay for depending on the way you see that it's quite expensive by the way I should not recommend any country to do that again we we of course we have and and for me it's separate because at the the group of what the countries are decided to put forward for this first phase for 2015 which we call the intense intended nationally determined contributions we have to have a financial signal which is both respond to the commitment of 100 billion per year in 2020 by 2020 that was promised in Cancun but moreover to look for a post 2020 vision which is how the financial system respond to the financial necessity of the transition to this local economy and we added another area which we call now the Lima Paris action agenda or solution agenda which is a capacity to capture the commitments meaning the plans and the expectation of a number of non-state actors non-parties to the agreement but will make a big difference for the agreement itself and these four elements of course is a simplification from the complex climate regime I presented to you will be in a way the outcome of Paris so four elements to simplify again what we are looking for and there are of course these four elements and they are of course a huge linkage depending on the rule we decide on the legally binding agreement the contribution would be rather different you may know that we have had in Lima a long discussion about the inclusion of adaptation of what we call in our drug on the mean of implementation meaning finance in particular and technology in the contribution of the countries whereas some countries were insisting on the mitigation aspect of this INDCs so there are of course linkages between finance and INDCs between the rules in the legally binding agreement and this contribution and of course on the capacity of government to be more optimistic about their capacity to deliver and this is very much related to the Lima Paris action agenda itself meaning the capacity of businesses and local authorities to engage and to demonstrate they believe that this will happen and not relatively with reasonable cost so if we just think that all this we have to think broadly but then we have to find something in common between all these elements and in a way like for every type of institutional arrangement and in particular international institutional arrangement we are in a way looking to these six points which are classical in environment governance we should find that in each of these elements you have a consistent consistency coherence and that we don't have trade-offs and contradiction between all the elements or at least diminish these trade-offs accountability if we again work on the global climate regime concept government are not the only ones who should be accountable so we have to find some way a way to create this accountability for in particular for non-governmental organization and publics we have to look for effectiveness is it's not worth working to a very complex agreement if it doesn't deliver so it has to really be useful and limited to what is useful and not just for the sake of having an agreement it has of course a huge element of reduced uncertainty which is basically the reason why many actors are doubting on their capacity to deliver climate action sustainability which is I think something that is coming on and and it's good that you don't you cannot think the transformation of societies through climate lens you have to think more broadly to what sustainability is about which is the way of development and in a way an epistemic quality meaning that you cannot just ignore science and that's a very important element because many times in this process we have had of course a strong contribution of IPCC that will be the case in every step and every step forward from this process is linked to in way in a way on another to IPCC report but then we have to look for in this particular important on this long-term goal which I will come back immediately in a minute what is consistent with scientific knowledge we just cannot ignore this and many times of course in the process we have the scientific knowledge on the side and just proceed without referring to it so that in a way the elements we are looking for in each of the component of the climate regime we are trying to put forward I just want to characterize what we think should be and somebody I think the journalist asked me earlier on what is really important for you in the Paris Agreement and I could describe that this is four elements of a five elements in the legal binding agreement we are looking for rules or commitments but we are really it is a process to build rules that are here to stay so the idea that this agreement is not for 10 years but he has to define the rules for on the longer term and that's rules are to be the binding element are to be the rules the commitments themselves is that the numbers that countries are putting forward should not probably be the embedded in the agreement but he has the rules and the commitment to implement so I think that is a very important element of the bindingness in a way this agreement has to refer to a long-term goal and to move from a timetable and targets we had in the Kyoto thinking to something that it is more a decarbonization pathways and you saw that progressively we try to adapt this language in the discussion since Konkun by the way we try to adapt this language of the low carbon economy pathways now we are just trying to look at it in a different way to try to characterize what it is about decarbonization in particular the energy system and we got in the G7 some kind of recognition that we have this long-term goal is not about an abstract figure of temperature is about doing something effectively about energy in particular so the long-term goal in the pathways notion more than the timetable and targets is of course a very important element then in this agreement we have to have some kind of revision mechanisms because that we know that the contribution is the initial contribution would not make it and we have to upgrade and update this contribution over time we have to have somehow the relation between science and the delivery of the contributions and to have a review of adequacy at least an adequacy of commitment for the next phase if we cannot for political reason produce a review on adequacy of achieved performance and then we have to have as well transparency systems that create confidence that nobody is cheating or not cheating too much so that that are really the I don't see the minimum because I don't I don't know what it will be the minimum hopefully but I think that the central the core that makes sense for the agreement in Paris and I'm certainly forgetting very important element I haven't just point on mitigation adaptation on finance or technology to try in a way the concrete expression but this should be the core of the system to last of course on the contribution side we would like to have them as many as possible and I didn't copy the good formula that I didn't got to write example of my pvp but I could come back to that later so the the idea on the contribution is really to shift from a logic of targets to a logic of pathways and in this aspect we try to accommodate the notion that and the logic of pathways countries have to think to their long-term pathways and and they have to be of course combined with multi-time frame target packages as well with operational multi-sector but these ideas that you have to think about the long-term and not only on the first period which is what what is now on the table for 2025 or 2030 that is the way I think we should in a way change the narrative and it's coming I think to come I now see countries like US or China happy to go with this pathway discussion and surprisingly enough the Chinese leaders of the negotiation can say this agreement is there to support and develop the low-carbon pathway for all the economies at world level so this notion of pathways of transition is now coming in in the process I wanted just to revise with you where we are in geopolitical terms and this is borrowed from a presentation from a EU commission on the way they stated the state of the play if I may say so of the different countries and the different group of negotiation the first element on the legal form and the firewall mean the firewall for those who are not fortunately for them in this discussion since many many years meaning there is a difference a structural difference between the commitments of developed countries and developing countries that's why we that's that we call the firewall and and in of course it's normally take its major expression in the legal form and so you see that on the legal form the one who won the lesser legally binding elements in the agreement you see that US and China and some are on this side or NMDCs I think yes yes and Arab countries in particular would like really to have a very soft agreement with mainly voluntary commitments and no more than that whereas EU less developed countries houses I like that is Latin some a group of Latin American countries Alba which is another group of a Latin American countries want a strong legally binding rules on this differentiation between developing countries and developed countries of course the weak the weak differentiation with not so much surprise comes on the US and EU sign and I like and China are really in in in the middle in between whereas NMDCs which regroup a number of developing countries middle-income developing countries mostly there are some less developing countries in the group but more sort of there that is their key points that difference between developing and develop and they want to keep the firewall intact but Africa houses in less developing countries are still very akin to this differentiation on the mitigation element you see that of course a strong participation to reduce emission comes from the developed countryside mainly EU US Singapore are on this on this element China and NMDCs of course would like to take the less possible even if China is sometimes the middle and our this and less developing countries are the middle meaning not because anybody asked to less developed countries to take any any strong commitments but because they insist probably sometime more on adaptations and on mitigation for in a way something some somehow surprising as a result on the ambition cycle China is certainly the more hostile to have a revision and of mechanism whereas the other ones are much more in favor of having a very strong regular every five years ratcheting up mechanism and on transparency and rules finally of course you see that there is a big group in the middle and and quite different of LMDCs US LDCs and OZ small island whereas the one who are for stronger rules South Africa Brazil EU and OZs are really on that side whereas China and and others are really wanting to have a lesser the more the weaker rules in terms of transparency because of the issues about sovereignty and on adaptation you see that finally there is a majority of countries now that are in favor of having a strong dimension of adaptation in the agreement Africa OZs LMDCs China are all in favor whether US and EU are more careful because they would like nevertheless to have the agreement focusing on mitigation first where loss and damages which is this not liability but the problem of solidarity with victims of impact of climate change US and EU are more doesn't want to have this strong in the agreement they would like to have a separate point for the core whereas LDCs and OZs of course these are strong points so that are the main elements and on climate finance the the group of developing countries is in majority is insisting on public finance on the level of finance whereas US and EU being in the middle whereas markets finance finance markets EU and China being the more advanced I think US doesn't have a strong position on that for evident reasons because they are not prepared to buy anything outside whereas EU is prepared and China wants markets to be there OZs and LDCs and LDCs are not very they are in the middle they are not particularly against not particularly for whereas a group of countries Alba is definitely against having market anything about markets in the agreement so we add to all this a pillar we call the solution action agenda which require of course a little bit of thinking because it's a type of one together with some other institution of the climate regime that doesn't will not be part of the agreement per se they will not be part of the MRV cycle they will not make commitments officially within the agreement but still we would like to to have this non-state non-party actors accountable effective and developing in a way a big support for the agreement itself its long-term goal and and the shift this agreement is representing so we first try to establish for to convince parties that there was there was a value of having an action agenda as a common outcome one because it facilitates implementation of the existing INDC why why this it's quite evident that many countries were concerned about the that this action agenda was a way for developed countries in particular to escape their obligation so there is of course a lot of tension there if we count or if we consider action from local authorities from financial institution from businesses this is not the way to escape from formal obligation of governments so that's why we insisted on showing that this is a way to facilitate the implementation potentially to increase over time the ambition of future INDCs because it will lower the cost of technologies just because take the very simple example of the green procurement policies of many cities at world level now that are putting in place these great markets this of course increase the technology supply and demand and supply and of course lower the cost of technology that will lower the cost of capital and will of course generate higher political pressure meaning it's more facilitative from the government action at domestic level the second element was to send strong signals that the transition to a low carbon economy is feasible profitable inevitable in a way that the self-fulfilling prophecy argument is in the underway and in a nutshell shaping expectation of all these actors and that will of course contribute in a in a very high way to this to this element who are the actors we are trying to mobilize and to try to make a template of all to record and to register all this all this action the subnational authorities which have been very very active the more active certainly since well before before Copenhagen the businesses which are now coming in much more forcefully but not for example avoiding totally greenwashing far from it investors and in particular that they really is a new one they're in the banks the institutional investors the credit rating agencies the insurance companies are coming now and and now I would say the multilateral development banks largely because we asked them to come forward and and they are coming forward in particular by october they will come with their plan to increase climate finance there was a launch in september as you know in new york based on a long-term action of many actors on some companies and some local authorities to develop multi-stakeholder initiatives international public private partnership and NGO which really has been quite active in pushing or supporting some of this in particular to try to make accountable this engagement of non-state actors and to review and you see now these days they for some moments they lack a lot of quality of scientific quality but a number of reports you see to try to evaluate what is a real contribution of these actors so the NGOs are already playing a third-party role that I think is a good thing for the future with of course the condition that there is really a rigor in the analysis and the evaluation so there is a political rationale to encourage national state to do more that's what's sort of modifying the political economy that of course behind this is the main rationale to do that and and the substantive rationale is to catalyze concrete action on the ground which I think will give many there is a learning process out there and of course this has to be developed so and I can take example I don't have so much time but we then develop a template for business to really to explain that and and that of course are the key messages we wanted to have out of this action agenda that it is not the site show which still was a case probably in New York we want to create a virtual circle of increased ambition with these are the financial with other philanthropies have a strong will to play to support leaders of different initiative and the road to Paris is not so much important but the road from Paris of course is even more important and we need to be well prepared now of course the question will be how we inscribe this commitment in the when I go back to the climate regime figure I had in the beginning and I will end there how we inscribe this in the agreement do we make a formal relation between all these elements and the agreement and it is very important how we for example capture what the MD MD bees thank you what the MD bees would do can we have a registry where the local authority or the region of the businesses will put their commitments should we have a body that revise these commitments can we ask them to sign up the agreement to the object the general objective of these agreements can we have a I take the example for example the aviation issue we still we try to regulate it you know to try to put a carbon price on the emission we fail on the EU level but they take then a voluntary commitment of halving by 50 percent their emission by 2050 meaning what where do we put these commitments who is controlling it and do we ask the aviation company to sign up to the agreement should we ask the companies to display a long-term pathway of emission reduction to have their low carbon economy pathways should we create club of countries that can for example try to discuss between them over carbon price or to develop technologies together or to develop deep decarbonization pathways that's something that on the base on the minimum which will be the agreement will try to produce or to foster this club of front runners just to try to see that over time we can do much more than we believe nowadays and technology of course a key element of this but not only that just projecting every type of actor has to project itself in its own capacity to what is the future and what a low carbon future represent for him in terms of the change in the activity in the business model in the way to behave etc etc that's the type of thinking of course I know we cannot develop all this by Paris but we could at least create the framework where these behavior thinking scenario backcasting activities could take place in the future and news and that would be my final word and sorry to have been so long that these 15 these five years between the 2015 and 2020 between the entry and to force of the agreement would be should be taken as a fantastic opportunity to accelerate action and to put all this in place so ideally we will have this big picture in Paris ideally we'll have the main rules ideally we'll have this framework to have these new actors and this global vision to be inscribed in Paris and of course develop all the concrete elements afterwards thank you


On April 7th, Ecuador's National Court of Justice sentenced former President Rafael Correa to 8 years in prison on bribery and corruption charges. Correa has also been barred from electoral politics for 25 years. The court convicted Correa, former Vice President Jorge Glass and 18 other former ministers and government officials on charges of accepting approximately 8 billion US dollars in bribe from private companies in exchange for public contracts between 2012 and 2016. President Correa rejected the charges and denounced a sentence as a form of political persecution intended to prevent him and his allies from running in the presidential election schedule for next year. He said in a tweet, this was what they were looking for, manipulating justice to achieve what they could never get at the polls. So what is this case? The Bribes 2012-2016 case, formally known as the Arroz Verde or Green Rice Case, originated in April 2019 after two digital news portals published a report on corruption cases in Ecuador. The news reports alleges that Pamela Martinez, Correa's former advisor, had received an email with a document that supposedly had information on illegal contributions from various national and international companies. These include the Brazilian Odebrecht and Engineering Giant and were received by Correa's party, the Alliance Space Movement, AP. In August 2019, Attorney General Diana Salazar accused Correa of leading the corruption scheme and using the funds to finance the electoral campaigns and other political events of the AP. In a tweet, the former president said that justice was taken by political power and described the case as absolutely grotesque because the existence of the Bribes has not been verified much less his participation. He also mentioned the piling up of dead bodies of the victims of COVID-19 in the city of Guayaquil and criticized the government's priorities in the time of this health emergency. We have dead bodies on the streets, but they hold a hearing to disqualify me for the next election he tweeted. Who is Rafael Correa? Correa, who was Ecuador's president from 2007 to 2017, has strong popular support in the country. His rule was characterized by large-scale social welfare programs and public infrastructure projects. During his term, Ecuador experienced an economic boom and poverty and inequality declined significantly across the country. Correa, in his decade of government, reduced poverty in Ecuador by 21%. He completely restructured the country's taxation system. The collective money was distributed to impoverished families through social policies. Rafael Correa, along with other progressive Latin American leaders, played a pivotal role in the creation of CELAC, ALBA, UNASUR, and other organizations. The current Ecuadorian president, Lenin Moreno, who was Correa's vice president from 2007 to 13, promised to continue his legacy in the 2017 presidential election. However, after winning, Moreno drastically shifted his political stance, distancing himself from Correa's left-wing policies and pushing forward neoliberal policies domestically and aligning Ecuador's foreign policy with U.S. interests. In December 2018, a fresh wave of protests began in Ecuador. Thousands mobilized across the country against Moreno's package of neoliberal and austerity measures and the US$4.2 billion loan from the International Monetary Fund. Social movements and organizations have condemned Moreno for his subservient attitude to the United States and for serving its imperialist interests in the region. Former president Correa has been a constant victim of political persecution under Moreno's presidency. In July 2018, the court ordered a preventive detention of Correa, accusing him of being complicit in the failed kidnapping of right-wing opposition leader Fernando Balda. In August 2019, preventive detention was once again ordered against him in his corruption case. Several political leaders from across Latin America have condemned the judicial decision motivated by the right-wing and imperialist politics of Moreno and have expressed his solidarity with the progressive leader. Former Bolivian president Evo Morales expressed his solidarity.  The Ecuadorian people know how much you have done for them and the great homeland. Until victory always, tweeting Morales. Cuban Foreign Minister Bruno Rodriguez also extended his support. Venezuelan president Nicolás Maduro, Colombian opposition leader Gustavo Petro, former Honduran president Manuel Zelaya, former secretary general of UNASUR Ernesto Sampere, former Paraguayan president Fernando Nugo, and former Argentine foreign minister Jorge Tariana, among others, also denounced a court's verdict. Correa, who is currently residing in Brussels with his family, has two opportunities to appeal the conviction.


formula it's a main formula we're gonna say control shift down for ran data one enter 49 let's add some decimals to get a little bit more precise home tab number group decimalize in it and then let's do the same thing this time let's just copy it over if I just copy it over like so double click on it to double check it and it is picking up the correct data there so that looks good let's do the standard deviation from the sample standard deviation for the sstd ev dot s sample tab selecting the data control shift down for ran one data and enter decimalizing home tab number group decimalize copying it to the right so we do the same thing for ran data set number two so there it is double click double check and it's done what what it needs to do all right note we could look at this and say what if I made a histogram of this data sets to see if they look similar so I could say control shift down and then control backspace insert and let's go to the charts and let's make a histogram of this histogram for ran data set number one looks like this randomly generated buckets this is going to be for ran one so it made our buckets and it listed the numbers that are how many times we had a number between 1 and 18 1835 3552 and if we were to approximate this with some kind of curve or formula it's going to approximate a straight line because this is going to go towards a uniform distribution because we chose randomly generated numbers so let's let's do it as opposed to a bell shape distribution right it's more of like it's going to go towards as we have more data it's going to tend towards a uniform distribution or straight line let's go to the the ran to and do the same thing selecting all this data can and I had control backspace and then insert chart histogram boom next one and this is going to be ran to so it looks very similar see so see you'd say okay look this one looks like it's going to be a uniform kind of distribution too it's got kind of a little bit unusual look here that you know it's tapered off a lot on the 97 to 113 which is interesting but it should still be because we use we use randomly generated numbers the more numbers that we produce it would tend towards a straight line so they look kind of similar like that but still you would think they might not have a correlation because there's there there's or at least not a high correlation because there's nothing really tying these two together other than the randomly generated from 1 to 100 so let's let's say okay let's make this one a little bit larger let's make this cell a little larger and I'll make this one smaller so it fits in there fits in the spot there put everything in its place it needs to go where it needs to go and then I can choose these two control shift down and control backspace and do a scatter plot between them insert charts let's do a scatter plot boom looks like that so now we're scattering these I'm gonna delete the top one and this is the random numbers and so now I'm gonna say let's hit the plus button up top and label them so I'm gonna put the axis labels and by default if I go to the first let's go to the x-axis first I usually think about that first the x-axis is the one on the left so this is the random one data the y-axis is the one on the right so this is equal to the random two data so there's our there's our correlation and you could see if I was to try to draw a regression line between them or in here we could say plus button trend line and you could see it's it's got a low negative correlation to it so I can say if I add my formula there's the formula for the line and then I can say let's make sure I'm back on the trend line I'm gonna say plus trend line options I'm bucket I like to make my line solid and orange solid orange line that's solid man that's solid so there we have it so you can see it's has a low you know negative correlation for the two that have been randomly generated between one and a hundred now you could also say well what if I wanted to put because we might not know of course what's we don't we don't know what the causal factor would be which should be on the x and which should be on the y because really they're not related other than picking random numbers between one and a hundred so if I select these two and control back and I want to put ran two on the x-axis I can go to the insert I can go into the charts scatter plot scatter there's a scattered plot out there and to do something we're gonna say plus button let's do the axis titles this time I want the x-axis to be ran two and I want the y-axis to be the ran one which is backwards because by default excel will always plot the one on the left on the x so how can I switch the two if I don't want to rearrange the actual columns we can go into the chart design the data we can go into our ran data and edit it and then this is the x values I'm gonna delete these and say that delete that and this was ran one we want to be ran to info yo and then okay and then this one I'm gonna delete that and say this needs to be the data for the ran one so we switched the x's and the y's hopefully if I did that properly and so I'm gonna say okay and okay and so now we've got our scatter plot which looks very similar still negative negative well that's the wrong one negatively correlates put that right backward goes and then it's still gonna be negatively correlated so if I add the trend line trend line


Hello and welcome back to The Craft Box. My name is Brenton. Today, we're in episode 192 of the Wizard101 Death Walkthrough. Last time, if you haven't checked it out already, we saved the, um, apparently, yes. It's been a while, so, yes. Today, we are in Tyrion Gorge. We hopefully will be going into Fort Rakius as well today, which would be fantastic. Um, but we are starting by talking to Diviam, who is, um, over here somewhere. Apparently. Up here, maybe? Yep, up here. Hi. Here we go. Oh, more. Where is he? He's there. Hello. Nice to see you. Can't hide from me. Milano's Tower. This was one of our first great losses to the Umbra Queen in the old times. We need to drive out the Umbra Legion's forces from the Milano's Tower. Okay, short and sweet dialogue. I like that a lot. Um, my deck is messed up. Okay, let's just head on in. Um, I think there's a mob fight beforehand, but I need to sell out my deck. So, we'll do that when we're in there. I think there's a mob fight to start with. There usually is, because who knows, we'll see. Security has been lax and teary and gorge of late. Burrows and their friends mucking about. Ghost dogs said to slay all who trespass here.  Okay, let us do this then. Um, yes. Uh, I'll have to fix my deck at the end of this battle, probably, because it is a mess. Um, balance, not too hard. Shouldn't take too long. Should be fine, hopefully. No. Didn't do much, that's good. Just waste all your pips. Good lid, g-g-g-g-g-g-g-g. Okay, there we go. And that is basically their pips wasted. Um, we're going to enchant you. We will also enchant you. I don't think I have Shriken, but that's fine. We'll go without it. Um, they shouldn't shield, hopefully. That would be bad if they do. Um, yeah. I don't actually know who we're fighting in here. I don't think it is... Ghost dog? I don't think so, because I thought he was later, but maybe it is. I don't know. Okay, it isn't. That's good. Okay, yeah, that's fine. Yeah, here's... I thought Ghost Dog was like, at the end of the world, and he is. So, yes. Okay, let's... Dear knight, for one. And we fizzle. Congratulations. We are great at fizzling. Yay. Okay, not too much damage there, which is good. And what is this? Not fortify. Good. Conviction's fine, don't really care. Not gonna stun, and I know I'm probably not gonna crit anyway. So, yeah, we gotta shut up it, but we don't need it. So, let's go. We have a nice wee deonite here, and it's natural habitat. We may walk through two blades, and it's gonna do about... Okay, 2699. That's decent. That's decent. I'll take that one. I'm impressed with that. 839, even better. Yeah, fantastic. Okay. Easy-peasy. Oh, who may have hit me in between's eyes? But, the Death's Head Sorcerer, Actius Nighthawk will stop you! A Death's Head Sorcerer? They often carry lunar crystals. You could use them to create the illusion we need. Okay. I'm just gonna quickly fix my deck. I'll be back in half a sec. Okay, I'm back. Hopefully my deck is kind of good. We should be fine. Um... Okay. We'll let us do this. So, we've got a life and a storm. Storm has not too much health, so we should be fine with that one. I literally got nothing. I am upset. Also, not full health. So, that's also bad. Didn't realise that one. Okay. Cool. Okay. Also, cool. Sure. Okay. Just not getting anything. That's fine. Um... Hmm. Katelyn or Storm Dragon off the bat. Not too shabby. Just gonna do a lot. Yep, 1000. Okay. That's fine. Um, let's see. What can we do? Not much. So, that's the truth there. Well, I mean, might as well. We're probably gonna fizzle. We can fizzle. We did fizzle. Okay. That's fine. We probably did already. Um, yeah, this hasn't gone particularly well. Just gonna put that out there. Why are we bad? Why are we bad? Why are we bad? I am so bad. He is so OP. Okay. That didn't do too much. Half health already. Yay. That's fun, isn't it? Oh my gosh. Seriously, can we like get something useful? Like, half useful, please? Um, I'm gonna just cut you. We're going to draw. See what we get. Fairy. Well, we're just gonna use that anyway. Because why not? We need health, apparently. So, we use that. We have enough pips for days. So, this is not gonna go well. I can already guarantee you right now this is not gonna go well. And I'm gonna have to flee and come back. This draw was absolutely hideous. Hideous. There's one word to describe it. Hideous. Um, okay. We're gonna put you there. Finally, we're getting some good stuff, even though it's not like... Okay, I'm gonna approve of that one now, actually. We'll blade. And then we will start hopefully trapping a bit. We've got a faint up, which is good. Got two feints up in fact. That's fantastic. Do that. I'll try an avenging because I found that avenging is quite good. Then we're gonna start using it a bit more. I don't like how it doesn't give any health, but we'll try. We'll try, that's for sure. So, we'll enchant avenging. We will... I'm really scared he's gonna do something huge because he's got two, four, six, eight pips, which is not cool. Hopefully the life can hit and take off some of these traps because, nope, okay, I'm dead otherwise. Okay, yeah, please can you take off some of the traps? Sky Screamer, that would be fantastic. Much appreciate that one. We got a shad, which is good, even though we don't need to use it yet, but got two blades. Please help me. Don't fizzle, thank you. Okay, that's good. There's the two bigger ones off, or the 40 and the 20 and the 25 as well, so that's always good. Just got the two storm traps, which won't do too much. I'm pretty sure he's gonna either sirens or storm out, so yeah, that's a slight worry. I don't have any shields at all, so that's fun. In fact, I'm gonna heal just because we can, in case we die, which I don't want to do, so we're gonna try and come back from the major badness that was the draw. So, yeah. See, probably either storm out or sirens. I'm pleased it's not sirens and just storm out, even though storm out does do more. Um, sirens would have removed my blades, so I'm happy about that one, and that was a calculated risk I was willing to take. We will do spirit blade, therefore we also can't lose blades unless we blade again, but at the moment we can't lose blades because it only removes two unless he infebles, which I just saw that he can do, which is not cool. Don't you dare. Thank you. I always hate how bosses have infeble, like, it's just so rude, and they also do it at like the best times, like when you're just about to hit, so. It's annoying. It's very annoying. Um, luckily you can't do that. This round we can blade again and then probably pass and we'll be good, because we need to save perps for what we're gonna do, which is a menging, but we've got one, two, three, four blades I think it is, so that's always good. It's a decent number of them. Um, hello. 120 we nearly did as well, which is not good. Being nearly dead is bad. Oh, hello. That did quite a bit. Um, okay. Can we, like, get some good stuff going? That'd be great. Cheers. What are we going here? Can we have, like, a sprite we'd do? I know I said I'm gonna save perps, but in the next round we will. I just need a bit of health, because we are slowly dying. 600 and 966 in fact, not 699, no. More health. That should take us up to a thousand, which is decent, decent sort of health level that I prefer to be at. Um, we obviously need 10 perps for a menging. Nice, we got a blade, which is good. We'll put that up. Hopefully next round we can hit with a menging, hopefully. If my math is correct, unless he infeebles. She didn't, so that's worth nice. Um, tempus though, that shouldn't do too much, even though he does have a blade, but it was only 4 perps, so yeah, not much at all. We'll probably be nearly at a thousand again afterwards, but we'll avenging this should kill, um, hopefully, and if it doesn't then we're bad. So, yeah, but this should be fine. This should be fine. One, two, three, four, five blades, two feints, he's so toast. He's gone, bye. Bye. Yep, he's dead, definitely dead. Very, very dead. I don't know why I didn't use this before. Like, it's just such a decent spell. Um, you can't kill me, can you? Nope, good. Um, that would be really bad if she did, but she didn't, or it didn't.  Because who knows? Who knows? If we want her dead, we'll have a go. And bye. 4,000, fantastic. There we go. Well, luckily, I refilled my potions before the start of the episode, which is always good. Tap into the power of the lunar crystals. They emit a soft glow that gets stronger and brighter. You summon up the shadow self that Sophia Darkside taught you, and project it through the lunar crystals. It rises up as a challenge to those in Fort Rockius, and even from here, you think you can hear an answering roar. Gosh, that was quite huge.  Um, okay. I think we got some cheats coming up soon. Cheating bosses, which is not good. Yep, we do. So, I'm just gonna quickly look at those. But, um, full health again. Thanks to the, oh gosh, that's not very good. Thanks to the potions. We will talk to Divim again. Divim, Divim. I think they heard you. The gates to Fort Rockius are open. Move up to cover, then wait for the troops to boil out. Once they've gone by, hurry inside the fort before they discover your roos. Okay, well, let us head on over to cover, because cover's good. Quickly, inside now! Um, I need a chest to Sol's. There's also a black lotus here, so gonna get that one as well. Thanks. Um, okay, this time let us quickly head on through to Fort Rockius. I am impressed. We're nearly at the end of Chrysalis Part 1, which is fantastic. Um, yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Look at this. Where are we? I've never been here before.  Also goes down to Crescent Beach. That's nice. Um, nice wee sandy sort of thing, I suppose is what it's trying to be, sand, sure. I never expected to see inside the grim walls of this heinous place. Zaltana said to look for the Mantis Hunters' Arizinia, but in the meantime, be on your guard. Enemies abound. Let us battle through these gloom dances and make it through those doors. They look important. Okay, I'll be back once I've defeated a couple of these guys. Okay, I am back. We should be definitely killing these guys now. Yes, we are. Thank you. And that should hopefully be that done. Fingers crossed. Yep, there we go. Um, need to locate the Miss Hall, which is over here, question mark over here. Okay, hello. Um, so yeah, I'm gonna be back in just a sec once I am inside here. Okay, I am back. We're heading in now. Hopefully, I can do this. Um, did you hear the dinner bell? No, that's because you're too early. Unless you want to become part of the mess, try this soon. Um, so essentially, oh yeah, we do want to equip this one. Um, wrong button. Uh, what we have to do is we have to hit every single round. So it's basically like what happened with, uh, um, the thing that does the other people who do this sort of thing. Baloch, that's who I meant. Um, so yeah, Baloch has his cheaters well and basically we have to hit every single round. Otherwise, he casts a Zeripip Tempest at the start of the next round, which essentially does a lot of damage. Um, so yeah, let us quickly just go with that. Um, so yeah, I highly recommend just packing in, going with, definitely going with someone else, otherwise you are probably going to die. So, um, I mean, just one other person's not too bad. Um, yeah, also means that faint isn't really an option, which is slightly annoying, but it's fine. Um, so yeah, he casts a Zeripip Tempest, which will use the amount of pips he has.  But, um, yeah, so that's the thing that happens and is good. So yeah, he also does, oh gosh, lol, that isn't good. Oh no. Um, also he says, um, if it was a cast, a damage over time spell, he would cast a Zerip to the wizard at the end of the round following the first damage tip. So yeah, don't do damage over times either. Yeah, we get it. You're, you're good, Lee. This is only going to do 20, so eight times two and 16 and 16 plus resist, which is quite high because we have, um, I have 50 resist at the moment because of Diven who is joining us in battle for a bit. Um, we are going to do this one because why not?  Might as well do as much damage as possible while I can. So yeah, we have extra 20 resist and 50 damage, so that's good. It's good, good, good. Um, yeah, guaranteed to hit that one, which is good. Four. Good job. Um, he has 80% resistive fire. So yeah, if you're fire, um, pack, um, what's it called? Prisms. Yeah. He has a booster storm and ice, but an unknown amount according to the wiki. Um, there's a nice wee shad. Um, we're going to do this. I fizzle way too much. I need to get a bit of accuracy, but that will come with better gear, which I don't have at the moment. At the moment, I just don't have that. Can we crit? Nope. Okay, that's fine. 7-8-2 is pretty decent for a ghoul. That's 300 health, so that's fine. I'm not going to complain about that one. I think we have like 100% power pips, so we don't need to worry too much about failing. Um, we don't fail often. Um, we're just getting really hurt. Quite hurts much. Wow. We'll do this one. And hopefully she can find what she's going to do, because I am slowly dying, which is not good. Not that good. Um, so yeah, kind of essentially just bell optic when I accept the chrysalis. So, kind of very unoriginal, I'd say. Very unoriginal. But, you know, that's... what can you do about that one, you know? Um, hmm, okay. Let's do this one. Yes, very nice. Maybe I should have pecked... No, we can't do it tonight, because of the whole thing about dots. Good job, Brent. Good job. Good job there. That did a lot. I'm impressed. That does a lot. Still in a lot. How many blades does she have, too? Okay. Plus another blade for the bubble, which is not good, because it does damage to me, which is not good, because I don't want to take damage too much. But she obviously just wants to see me die, so that's not good. Um, I'm really hoping she's gonna hit soon, because I don't have too much left. Um, cards wise. Okay, Fizzle Unlucky. We should probably use up some of these before she gets to trap him. Crazy. Traptastic. Okay, another blade. Thank you. Okay. And what can we do now? We can do another one of these. Why not? How many blades does she have? A couple. Okay, she's also got a tip on which is good. So, she's got an extra, um, 50% damage. And 20% resist. So, that's always good. Always handy. I don't know how you would do this on your own, to be honest, because, yeah, you have to hit every single round. Otherwise, you get the tempest every single round. So, have zero clue how you would do this on your own. Completely besides me. Who knows? Some people are just good and can do that. I mean, an ice could probably pull it off if they rock in like a lot of resist, but, um, I don't think I would be able to not hit me for once. Can you like hit the other person? That'd be great, because I don't really want to die, because I do all low-key want to like live. And I don't low-key have heals, because I have to hit every round. So, yeah, we also have that blade. That's cool. But unfortunately, we have to hit so. Oh well. Oh well. Um, oh, she's taking off the ice shield. Just as well she hit. Jeez. Jeez. Lucky there. That was a bit lucky. 171, that did a lot. I'm impressed with that one. Okay. Oh gosh, meet your water spell. Okay, that didn't do too much. I'm slowly living, which is good. We're going to do you again, another ghoul. I've only fizzled twice, so I'm impressed with that one. Especially considering I'm hitting you every single round. Usually it's far worse. Can you hit soon? That'd be great. One, two, three, four blades. I don't think you need any more hun. You can just hit, just put up a Prisman hit.  Oh, literally, just using so many ghouls just to don't actually know if I have a faint. Hopefully I put two in last time. I didn't redo two seas, so we'll see. We'll see. I also don't want to destroy everything. Like, discard everything, because I don't think that would be too good idea. Too good of an idea. Um, what's this? I'll just cut you and you and draw twice. See what we get? We got a faint. Okay. Hopefully she hits. If she doesn't, I'm going to be annoyed. Gosh, hello. Okay, we didn't hit this round. He doesn't have too many pips. Hopefully he uses some of them up. Also bad because I can't hit next either, so that's annoying. At least he used up all of his pips, which isn't good. So it's not going to do too much. Try to change as soon as possible, but it just didn't work. Time ran out. Time ran too short. 46, okay. That's good. And 57. Back in more resistance than her, which is good. We can enchant this. Um, I can't hit, so I have to pass, because I don't have another faint. Okay. I'm just going to have to deal with a two pip tempest, which is 80. So it'll do, yeah, 80 for me. Um, it'll do. Uh, usually 106 there. My math is correct. So 80 is fine. I can live with 80. 99 for her. She's still full health, so she shouldn't worry at all. Hopefully. I mean, I've gotten down a lot. Like, I'm surprised. I am honestly surprised. I am going to pass, because why not? Um, I've got a lot of hitting, so yeah. Uh, here we go. Hopefully this can kill. That would be great. Four blades, prism, convert. Okay, he's dead. Goodbye. Goodbye. Nice. Fantastic. Okay. I can't take the heat. If you want to go deeper into the fort, use that lever to throw open the gate. What a vile creature. Throw the lever and let's go through the gate. Okay, let us hit the lever. And I might add her, because she seems cool. How much resistance was she packing? She's got 80 damage. A bit more damage than me. Hopefully she accepts that. It'd be fun. Yes, she did. Fantastic. Okay, so next. Who do we have next? Um, this episode might be slightly longer, but who cares, we can do slightly longer. So far, so good. That chamber down the corridor is our goal, I bet. Push through those black bolts and make your way inside. I'll guard your back. Okay, so I'll be back once I've defeated two of these. Okay, I am back. What is this leg? Hello. Um, just killed. She did nothing, but that's fine. I wanted to hit for once. I mean, I've been hitting for a bit, but we wanted to hit more. Let us fix this deck up a bit. We have to hit on in here, which is Coolio. Um, I'm just going to quickly fix up my deck. Quip. Uh, what do we want to do? We probably need... Okay. Um, quickly going to just check my deck. Um, I did one of those, one of those, one of those. Um, what else am I missing? Two of these, two of those, and TC's. Okay. Actually, I might put in some extra faints. It's probably a good idea. Um, okay, this will probably be the last two bosses that we do for this episode. Um, just because it's getting on the Ted long side, but we should be good. Um, Ice and Myth. A dynamic duo, if I don't say so myself. Um, hopefully we can do this not too hard. This one's probably more easy to solo, but they do have a lot of health, so be careful. Um, they can also stun, both of them, I believe, can stun. Um, yeah, they can both stun. One, the Myth has Medusa, obviously, and Basilisk, and the other one has Frost Giant, so yeah, this is going to hurt a lot as well. Yep, that did a lot. Ouch. Um, so yeah, see, there's Basilisk. Haha, I'm just making sure I wasn't lying, but no, it does Basilisk, which is quite bad. Nice way to stun them over time, so that's going to be fun for her. Luckily it wasn't Medusa. Um, as that's two rounds, so that's always good. Let's see what we get this time. We have Gantt, another faint, so we'll do that on him. You're stun time, good. Um, so yeah, I may not hurt, we'll see. I might be just faint peasant, but that's fine. Oh, nice, we feel there. Nice, we sprite. That's pretty cool. Um, so yeah, 3-3-3-5 health. Okay, that's not weird at all. Interesting number there. Also the Ice can do a Volcanic Shield, which is Storm and Fire, so be careful of that one. Hopefully she doesn't get caught in that one either. We'll do a Blade, why not? That should be good. Blade Numero, um, she is doing another Blade as well, which is good. So that's two Blades, which is good. Hopefully she can hit, and then I'll follow up with a hit. Hopefully, but you know, these guys are putting a lot. This is slightly annoying. Also, I don't think either of these are stunnable. No, they're not. There's neither stunnable nor beguileable, so be careful of that one. Um, we're gonna do that just because it's probably more better, right? I have a faint, so we will faint him probably. I mean, they have both this, actually no, he has more health. Yeah, but Ice has more health, but I mean, basically the same amount of health. So whatever floats your boat really. Um, yeah. Okay, and what do we got? We got a nice wee faint here, which is good. What else do we get? We get another faint? Nope, we got a Blade. We will go for this faint, they don't have many pips, so we'll use this faint now. Hopefully they use a low ranking spell that will do goodly. I just realised I didn't put any Shryken. I should remember to put Shadow Spells in, something that I always forget to do because I'm not used to it. Oh, there's that shield that I was talking about. I'll probably hit that one just because that's quite a shield. Quite a shield indeed. We don't need two reshuffles. We're going to Deathblade, we don't need two anymore faints, I don't believe, so I don't think we need to draw from side anymore. I mean, I could always use Funlon health, I could always use Cthulhu, but I don't think I'm going to do that one. I don't think I'll be using that. Don't want to waste it too badly. But we'll see. This is going to do a bit. I'll be wasting 900, 700. Okay, it's bad. It's bad, it's bad, it's confirmed it's bad. Okay, that's 500, that's fine. She's still alive, which is good. I'm just taking all the damages here. We will enchant this Blade here. We'll do this one, Blade number three. Do we have Divim? I don't know. I can't remember if we have Divim, because if we do, my damage is up a lot, and if we don't, then my damage is not a lot. If we do, then my damage is like 120 or something, but if not, it's only 70. Yeah, we do. So my damage is 120 at the moment. So what I'll do is Blade, and then I'll hopefully save for an Avenging Fossil. It should be good, because she's apparently not pulling any cards that she needs. She's passed so much. Meanwhile, I've done something every single round. She was also stunned for a round, so I'll give her that one, but still. And we'll see the one that's nearly dying as well, so hello. I could also it's Timding. Timding. I'll give it that. It's Timding. But do I get it? I don't know. Well, I get it. Who knows? I mean, who doesn't have a TC thing? I mean, I'm not going to waste. I'm just going to pass. I don't want to waste my perps, because I want to Avenging. I want to Avenging. I want to do Avenging. Hopefully I can do it before her. And if she is going to try and do something cheeky, I don't want to like Blade, and then she hits, because she's going to waste all the feints on the shield. Okay, I'll Blade, and next round I'll hit. Sounds good. I think I did an Enchanted one last time. Pretty sure. Yeah, hopefully I did. I knew I had one enchant left, and it wasn't there, so I'm assuming I did it last time. Fingers crossed. Don't know if I did, but we'll see. Okay, I'm going to hit with Avenging now. Hopefully that should kill. Question mark? I mean, it usually does a lot, so we should be fine. Should be good. We'll see how much this does. I might fizzle anyway. Okay, this should probably kill. And if not, it will definitely do a lot of damage. Like a lot, a lot of damage. Like super much damage. Here we go. Okay, bye. Here we go. I was really keen to see how much she over time did with all this, but that's fine. I mean, we're a good team. We did that quite well. Yeah, cool. You want to go deeper into Fort Racius? Use the lever to open the gate. Okay. Oh, use the lever to open the gate. That's actually a... Why didn't you get that nicely? Please, boys, can you free us? Hmm. I don't think we're going to use that one. It doesn't look the best. Okay, free B prisoner one, two, and three. Can we do this one then, maybe? Nope. Okay. Can we do this one now, maybe? Thank you. I was afraid you would leave us to our fate. We could never do that. Be free and buzz back to the apiary. You will find it a changed place. Thank you, can mouse, can spell binder. Okay, let us pull this lever, and I think we're going to end off the episode there. What other horrors will this place throw at us? Let's find out. Okay, so we'll go talk to Divum and get some XP from him, and then we will finish off there. Um, we did quite a lot, and it's probably a very long episode, so sorry about that one. But, um, oh well, it's fine. Now, what do we have here? We need to find a way to get to those stairs. Let's ask these devil's flowers with our blades. Okay, um, so anyway, there's the chrysanthemum. That's cool. Thank you for watching. Next time, we will continue onwards, so thank you for watching. Remember to like and subscribe, and if you haven't subscribed, press the little bell, so you know exactly when I post another video. And remember, craft outside the box.


What's up, good people and welcome back to SPM Buzz. My name is Shiko Gitao, still right here at the launch of season 2 of NAS to talk. We have Oga Obina, Oga Adito. Oga Adito, the chairman is in the building. What's good baby? What are you having? What are you drinking? What are you eating? Niko salama. Niko salama. A touch of blue. Kulian that? Ya. But listen ma, I didn't touch of blue. Sadly, I didn't see the touch of blue. I was called by butita. Niaje bro, you're coming through for like, oh, Saturday? Okay, if I'll not have any other gig, I'll pull up. That was a conversation. I can have been under seven, we are premiering at eight. I can have been under seven, we are premiering at eight. I have a blue tuxedo. Time, butita. You see yo. But I'm not here. And, strangely enough, blue is my favorite color. Imagine. And I had all the tuxedos, I was like, no ya blue ni meva sana. Va ingine. Juhis java for a while, then I will see. But it's good to look different.  Right? Season 2 of NAS to talk. That's what's up. Please tell me one thing you notice or rather land like you appreciated most about season 1. Okay, when Butita came up with idea for NAS to talk, he brought together a number of different celebrities which I loved and I always love until now. I always hope and wish for a day that all of us can just collaborate. Because I'm in your video, I make it better. In my video you make it better. But this thing of, I can't go to Nani's video because of this, because of that, in a two limit. Season 1 had a couple of people, man. I was there, me when Kasipul pulled up in the video, I was like, okay, okay, that's interesting. Probably your favorite character from season 1. Yeah, Kasipul, yeah, yeah. But also, her Nani's wife, YY's wife, her of course, Umuamia Kosangi. The whole thing is just beautiful. But apart from the incorporation of extra celebrities, it made it beautiful. We are Nikulizetu Oga. Of course you have seen you a lot of times with Eddie Butita. You remember the first time you guys met? Yeah, I think so. At Carnivo, when I used to go for Churchill's show and Butita was there, trying to get opportunities to also perform. Sometimes you'd get on stage, sometimes you'd note. I think that was the first time that I met Butita. OJW himself, of course, watuengiwa, and I'm just saying that from writing scripts and things like that. But apart from that, probably no piyongesema, one thing you know about Eddie Butita. That is an amazing writer. It's an amazing creative. One thing you guys done about Eddie Butita, before I started Kula Kula Show, I looked for him. We sat down, I told him what I wanted to do. And then we came up with the whole concept. And then he shot. Actually the first season of Kula Kula Show, I think Butita and SPM media group shot it for me. And then also what you don't know, Wakapoteza Footage Zote. We shot the whole day, the whole night. Wakapoteza Footage Zote. Sjikido. Sjina Naniwa Lifanyanini. They tried to recover kunot. Then Butita offered to reshoot them. And then now at his expense. Then I was like, but bro, I can't talk to this guest to come back again. So Butita had to talk to all the guests and bebeleza them to be on the show. Then we reshot. People don't know. But that time we are trying to experiment a lot of things that are going wrong from the audio, the video, the nini. We want a balanced balance. But season 1, like 5, 6, 7 episodes at Kwanzaa, Zili Potiazote, we had to reshoot them. And then some guests that we had, we didn't have them again. Because they were like, now I'm busy, now I'm busy. Yes, because I remember even we had Milichebi on the first first episodes. We've never been able to reshoot with that again. Not even on Obina Show Live. She's always busy. The husband busy traveling. I'm just like Butita, see? See what you caused me, man. But here you are going to have a problem. No, no, no, no. The reason is this. Butita is real. He accepts the mistake and then you come up with a solution. He's pragmatic. Like myself. I'm like, okay, there's a problem. Like myself, when he told me, he was like, bro, akunan jia pwane, tako mbiai, wachat nukua bibiliko, futeji me kwa cora plates, nini, nini, nini.  I told him, bro, I'm so angry right now. I can't talk. Let's talk later. We hung up the call. Tukuarelaq. So later, I think I called her. He called me and I was like, what are you going to do? Then he told me, nizaipikatena? No, ya dei uweyubwel. Nizaipikatena? Nyka mbe utiipikatena aje, siyizion Georgia na wa settena, wa Rudy. Because the first first episodes I was actually paying the guests. Ya. Ya, because the idea is to get to pay the guests, even on Ogobinna TV. This other episode is Obinna Show Live.  Then come up on a transport problem I can come through. That is from taxi to fee well to whatever. Because I appreciate your time as well. But atina payment that you are paying you to come to the show. But also there are some guests who pay to come to the show. Yes. We have a red card for Obinna TV. There are people who pay to come. There are people who are too scandalous you can't avoid them coming. And then there are people who are also too boring. Someone is like, call me how to come to the show. I'm like, come and do what. I think my story is interesting. Miki Kujamuna. I've done a couple of them. Go look at the views. 2000 views, 4000 views, 5000 views, many many months later. So if I look at the 4 or 5 cameras I use, audio, location, logistics. It's a loss because I'm paying everybody. So sometimes tell someone unless you pay for the interview then it makes sense. I'm like, oh, but you know. No, taking Kiddogo out of the whole thing, season 2 of Anastot and probably your relationship with Eddie Butita. I have a question. Ok, Ulyssama, you're not chasing after Amber. Kiddogo tu elewi, what's happening? No, I saw the comments when I told men there's a post that I was done in Nairobi Gossip Club. Yes, how long should you pursue? My understanding in our operatives is this.  I'll tell you.  I think we can do something.  I move. I'll not bother you. And I'll ask, by the way, there's some ladies have asked. Do you want me to stop? Like here, here. Because I will not text you to the high, tomorrow high. They will say, wow, wow, na kwa ambulance kwa diemiako. Like, hey. What do you think maybe, because I think Kenyan ladies ni wale wa kote, kote kubembe leza. I think it takes long. See, utakaviaslana. If you are mature enough as a woman, you should know what you want. If you want me, come and give me. If you can't come, I'll come.  If you don't want, say no. No means no. That's my understanding. So I told men that way. One umakujabu. Batu kwa ba una simpi ambare, una kibiza ambare. Niko like, no. Sieja kibiza ambare. I said she's my crush. She's beautiful. I like her. I like everything about her. Even now she texts here of the husband. I'm like, that would be the ideal type of woman I would want as my wife. Okay? But I've not pursued her. I've never, even as somebody, I've never told her, you know, I'm thinking, no, no, no. But now the videos, the videos, people judge from the videos. It's okay. Your understanding is not my responsibility. I always say your ignorance is not my responsibility. I'm standing with you now. We smile, we laugh. Someone takes this video and says, look at them being smiling with this chick. Obina wants this chick also. That's up to you. I didn't say I want her. She didn't say she wants me. But you understood it that way. So you would advise men No, you can ask twice because it depends. The first time it can depend on the approach or where you got her or the mood she is in. The second time, if she says no, bro, that's what she means. Then also, it depends on the know she gives you. Madam Makonele know her feefu. That is not a no. So later I'll ask you very clearly. Niaje, let's do kofi. Let's do dina. Of course, I do dina kwaomba. I do any kofi kwaomba. Oh no, I'm not interested, you know. Sawa. And actually personally, I really appreciate women were straight forward. Nobina, I'm dating. Nobina, me and you cannot. Nobina, you're not my type. No, my style, whatever. Thank you. You can live with me for a while. Like, oh, you've said I was. I'm not Chuki, are you? No. I meet you. What's up? What's going on? You good? Nice to see you then. But I will not pesta you. Baka sauna kwa ni kamasa na kwa naging. There's some women. We know them. They are our friends. I guy. Obina me ingi ya guy. Aki iki kimutu. Kina ni senior guy. I don't want to be that guy. Me want to when I pull up. Oh Obina, what's up? Are you? You used to catch ya me. Yes, I did. You said no. We move. I hope your boyfriend is better than me. All right. Now, as we wind up one word to butita. Good stuff, bro. Keep doing it.   Keep doing it. We'll have more like you. Nacha them. And let's make the industry great. Thank you so much for your time. Thank you for having me. All right.


Cadets of the United States Military Academy assemble for their first graduation of World War II. Solemn and impressive is the ceremony as the youngsters receive their commissions. Today, as second lieutenants, they are ordered immediately to their regiments. For the first time in all the 140-year tradition of West Point, cadets go directly into the air corps, more than half the class electing to try for their wings. Its maximum wartime strength increased The corps has representation from every state in the Union, from the territories, and from Central and South America. Gone is the light-hearted carefree spirit of peacetime graduation. Addressing this final assembly of their cadet days, the United States Chief of Staff, General George Marshall, forecasts the role American troops are destined to play abroad. We have our men all through the Pacific in Burma and in China, recently, they struck a Tokyo. They have witted in Greenland, in an Iceland. They are landing in Ireland and in England. And they will land in France. No regimental parade. Those who remain behind pass in review before the class of 1942, marching in perfect formation row upon row. The cream of America's young manhood, dedicated to honor and protect those things for which America stands, freedom and democracy. The famous Yankee flying tigers in China. For many months, their bullets held open the Burma Road, beating a deadly tattoo upon the planes of Japan's Air Force. Former Army, Navy, Marine officers, transport pilots, they're the last of the world's soldiers of fortune. Today, they're a part of America's flying forces fighting the Battle of China. Volunteering before the United States entered the war, these amazing young men have astounded the world with their deeds of heroism and daring. Their leader, 50-year-old General Claire Cheneau, for five years advisor to the Chinese Air Force. His knowledge of Japanese aerial tactics he passed along to his American volunteers. Taking off from airfields literally paved by hand, the tiger's score for their first 90 days of fighting, 470 Jap planes, for 15 of the volunteers. 50 grinning tiger shark planes wired together with spare parts from 50 more were all they had to start with. Fighting in teams of two, they concentrate their firepower. One reason for their amazing success against seemingly impossible odds. General Cheneau mapping the aerial raids, the Japs fear above United States cruiser, Houston. Lost in the battle of Java, her fighting spirit still lives in the hearts of her countrymen. The city of Houston, Texas, for which the Gallant Vessel was named, recruits 1,000 volunteers to replace the men who went down battling an overwhelmingly superior Japanese force. Today, this is the spirit that is typical of all America, a scene that is being reenacted in every town, every city, every hamlet, legions, their battle cry, remember the Houston, and behind this 1,000, another 1,000, and thousands more to come. Here is America's answer. Mexico City stages a giant demonstration for war. Thousands of citizens march to the capital central plaza to urge action against the Axis. From his balcony, President Avila Camacho views this mighty demonstration of the will of the people. All parties unite as Mexico protests against Axis sinkings of unarmed Mexican ships. Flags of the United Nations wave in the square as survivors of the first torpedo vessel salute their dead comrades. And of action, Mexico's President Camacho takes his place on the rostrum before the Chamber of Deputies. He asks for a declaration of war. As radio carries his voice to the far corners of the Republic, the House of Deputies and the Senate vote unanimously for active participation in the conflict. Mexico, leader of Central America, new ally in the cause of the United Nations. These are British tanks destined for the battlefront in Russia. Light and medium armored destroyers by the train load going to reinforce the fighting Soviet army in that death struggle of men and machines on the eastern front. Outward bound, they're convoyed by warships heading for the Arctic Circle. Over 2,000 miles of dangerous waters traversing the icy route that leads to Russia. Off the bleak northern tip of Norway as the Arctic night falls, look out spot Nazi bombers sneaking in to attack. Bomb bombs and the aircraft guns blaze into action. Battle Russia in a steady stream of iron ships and iron men. News cameramen follow the fast-growing US Army Air Corps somewhere in Australia. Powerful flying fortresses going into action as American pilots and bombardiers take off to blast Japanese concentrations pointed at the island continent. Leading the raiding party is Brigadier General Ralph Royce, Chief of US Air Operations in the South Pacific. Inside, the crew relaxes as the squadron approaches its objective. But the controls is General George H. Brett, Commander of all United Nations Air Forces in the South Pacific. Winging their way over the island strongholds have materially checked the Japanese schedule for invasion. Today in their able hands lies the strategy for Australia's aerial defense. Tomorrow, the offensive, taking the salute from his stand in front of the White House. Grimm determined fighting men. Men prepared and equipped to win a modern war. Paratroops, tank corps, all the sleek and polished machinery of 20th century warfare. Reminding the nation telling the world that America is on the march. All races, all cult, taking their place on this national day of rededication. Slow to be aroused, America's vast reservoir of manpower goes into action. Advanced guard of an army soon to number more than 5,66 years of independence, the United States has never lost a war. Today, America's citizens again take up their arms. A united nation on the march that civilization may endure.


Welcome back to my channel, guys. It's your girl CocoStyle. And on this channel, we talk about beauty, fashion, lifestyle, and styling. So I'm just gonna chat with you guys while I take out my groceries. About? This is kinda, I guess, vlog style. I don't know if it's like vlog style, but so I go grocery shopping today, guys. And you guys know that the food and everything is going up, like people, their rent has gone up like tremendously. And the food is actually going up too. And, you know, I've noticed that the last, the past couple of weeks, that certain things have gone up. But today, I don't know I was taking a back today by some of the stuff, some of the prices that I was seeing. And I'm gonna make this video really, really short. So these are some mushrooms. You guys know I get mushrooms all the time for the fellow. And, you know, I was taking a back by it.  I guess what I'm saying is that, I say this all the time, no one cares, right? No one cares. The people don't care, like your job doesn't care. I do know that this is other mushrooms. This is my, what is this? Hen of the wood. I don't know if you guys can see that. Hen of the wood. These were like $5. But I think they used to be $2.99. It was either $4 or $5, but I knew it was $2.99 before.  And what I will say is this, I try not to worry about it because, you know, I just always say that you're always gonna have more than enough, right?  Let me not say tons of kids. Tons of kids to me is too. People with kids, you know, even one child, like that's a lot to feed and make sure that they always have food and stuff. So what I am noticing that I am, I am alkaline, I'm a 95% alkaline. But I'm noticing that plant-based people who eat fresh food don't typically have this issue. I did see some things go up, but it wasn't that bad. However, if you are a person that eats a lot of packaged food, processed foods and things like that, you're gonna end up spending lots and lots of money. So this is probably a good time to change your eating habits. I know that a lot of us grew up on macaroni and cheese or, you know, or whatever, things that are just not the best for us. So this is a good opportunity to start diving into other things to eat, right? And I'm not saying cold turkey, everything, but try, instead of buying beans in the can, buy fresh beans and just soak them instead of buying white rice. I don't eat brown rice, but you can go for brown rice, but I always recommend you guys doing wild rice or quinoa. That way it's a lot healthier. This is some dandelion, guys. Dandelion is amazing. I buy fresh dandelion, and I buy the actual herb too.  Stop replacing some of the things that are that are just high in price. Some organic strawberries. They smell really good today. So, you know, like I said, those are some of the things that I've noticed, and I just kind of fail for people who are struggling right now. Rent is going up, groceries are going up. Some people just don't have it, and you know, that's what I say, like the only thing I can possibly do is tell a person, like, if you really switch from eating packaged food, you'll save so much money. You will, because the prices are so high, and then, here's what I get a little slick at the mark, guys. What they'll do is they'll say, let's use watermelon for an example. Some blueberry organic. I'm gonna say watermelon. The Chipperie with watermelon. They will have seedless watermelon priced higher than watermelon with the seeds. That's insane.  We don't want to eat that, right? But it's the trickery, because I think most people who don't know how to kind of get towards a healthy eating regimen in their head, they're like, hey, I don't have to spit out the seeds, right? Not realizing that, it's just not the best for you, right? I have some zucchini, and it's in the bag, it's just organic.  Like I won't do regular. If I do like a room, let's do a room of tomatoes, which I'm technically not supposed to. If I did, it has to be organic. And I'm gonna tell you what, I saw a huge difference of one that was organic and one that wasn't. The inside looked completely different. So after that, I was just like, okay, no. I got lots of ginger, guys. You guys know ginger for me is like the go-to for everything. I don't care how nasty it is, guys.   I made, put like a snippet in here from this little video, and then I'll let you guys see all that, but listen. It's out here, it's serious out here in these streets, okay? I had some burrow bananas, which lately they've been turning yellow pretty bad. I have to go to like two different markets, guys. Some burrow bananas, you guys know.  And then you can eat them like a, what's the other thing? A sweet plantain.  Here are some baby bananas, original banana. So yeah, guys, so the prices are going up. It's getting out of control, and what do we do? We have to kind of roll with it, right? So like I said, I think the best option for anyone with kids and stuff is try to get away from pre-packaged things. It'll save you lots of money. It will, like I'm just gonna say it will. I used to spend so much money on groceries before, and it's not that I ate a lot of pre-packaged things, it's just like the average American diet, right? You just end up just spending so much money. And it's really a waste when you can get fresh things from your local farmers market and kind of be done with that, right? So that is the first part of this video. This is some almonds, not almonds, good about almonds. Walnuts. Walnuts, and I don't know if you guys are like me, I've been pretty blessed where my mark, my farmer's market has not had like a shortage. The only thing that I did see that was kind of out for like a little second was like plantains, plants and chips, and walnuts at one point. But everything else was there, like all the fresh stuff was there. So, you know, that's the other thing guys, like I said. The way everything is going right now, we can't afford to like keep eating the way, you know, a lot of folks eat, some scallions, and just kind of like just being smart.  I have my seeded, seeded grapes, okay? I know these are hard to come by. But yeah, so that's the, I think I'm supposed to jump on here to quickly talk. So the other thing was, oh my God, I went to the vitamin shop, and I'm not sure if you guys follow plies or anything like that. Plies are the video the other day about, I'm about to get a diet. Plies are the video the other day about Zara not having bags anymore. The vitamin shop is the same way. So they are pushing towards a no bag thing guys, so I would recommend you guys just getting some recycled bags so you're not in there just carrying your stuff. So my phone died, of course. But like I was saying, I guess the food prices are going up. And like I said, the vitamin shop, you can now purchase a bag to carry out your stuff. So I guess they're all kind of getting on it. Like I said, plies are the video about Zara. He kept saying Zara, Zara's doing it. They haven't done it in Atlanta. Some honey crisp apples. Listen, honey crisp apples guys, let me tell you something. And I know these are not, I don't know. I don't know apples, I don't know. But do you make it some apple juice? It's like heaven. Heaven, heaven, heaven. And then I got some organic features. So both of those are organic. And what else did I get? I got some, so they have fresh bread at my farmers market. And this is Bavarian rye. I love this. Now, it doesn't have yeast or anything in it. So, but it's still pretty soft. They have, you have to freeze it right away. It's all you need to get like a loaf like this. So yummy. And then here are the couple of cheeses that I get. This is a cheat for me. The back, I can't, I sometimes I need to cheat. And this is not even that bad. That's like sesame seeds, ooh, some blue chips. And those plants and bellies tell me about. I've been kind of laying low on them because they are fried, but I just feel like a taste for some.  And I make raw kale salad guys. I don't know, maybe I'll make that tonight. I don't know.  So, but yes, the prices are going up guys in, like I said. So those of you who have children, some avocados, those of you who have children, it's serious out there. Like, it's serious. And then, okay, because I didn't want to really talk about it because it's really sad, but the shooting at the school guys, you know, I don't have children. I'm not a teacher. My sister's a teacher and she has a kid. You know, I have friends with children. And, you know, my heart breaks so much for these parents. It's like, I wish I understood what goes through a person's head when they do something so devilish, right? People try to say, oh, they got mental health issues. Man, listen, I'm seeing people with mental health issues. Okay, these people are just pure evil. I don't care what anybody says. I guess the kids said he was being bullied or whatever. But in my head, I'm like, if you would be in bullied at the school, wouldn't the kids that bullied you be your age? Okay. But, you know, it's just really sad. My heart goes out to these kids. These kids need counseling, but the little girl will survive. It's a lot, it's a lot. And I'm just frankly sick and tired of it. Like I'm so sick and tired of it. I try not to consume myself with it, but just to see those little poor baby faces, you know, no longer be here from a weapon that should be banned. Like, that's not something that a civilian should have. I don't know, I'm just, I don't know. I don't want this to be like a sad video or anything, but I did want to kind of touch on it really quick. This is braised seed oil you and some olive oil you. I love this, this olive oil you. And then I also get some sesame seed oil you. Look at all my junk here. But yeah, this is just me blabbering on guys.  And some sesame seed oil, and this is kind of pricey, but I actually like the way it cooks my food. And then I get some more quinoa. But how do you guys feel about the prices of the food? And if you are a renter, how do you feel about the prices going up? I'm hearing that some people, their rent went up like 800 plus. Like that's insane. And then are you guys getting raises to go along with these rent hikes, right? You know, I did work at a company in New York where they match your salary with the economy. I don't know how many companies actually do that. And you know, if that's a thing still. But I say all that to say, pay attention to the food guys, the prices are going up. If you can, try to eat more fresh things.  And cook more guys. Cooking more will save you money. And then splurge on like the weekend, right?  But I would say cook the majority of the time and splurge on the weekend guys. So that is it. I just wanted to chat with you guys about those prices of the food, the no bags, and the stores. And you know, trying to eat a little bit better so you aren't spending as much money as you normally spend. So if you like videos like this, please comment below. And if you stay to the end of this video, please comment, Coco, we see you. And I will see you guys in the next one. Bye guys.