It's my pleasure to introduce the next speaker who doesn't need any introduction to this group. She's a co-conspirator with me to organize this summer colloquium and it's been an absolute pleasure to work with you, Judith, to organize this. Judith is a scientist at NCAR with a joint appointment between the weather and climate division, truly an S2S bridge at NCAR. She had both worked in academia before and at an operational center, ECMWF. Her interests lie in diagnosing and representing both systematic and random model errors. She has worked across the scales from developing stochastic microphysics schemes to studying the response to an external forcing in the presence of subgroup scale variability. She's a co-chair of the working group on probability dynamics and ensemble forecasting, PDF under the World Weather Research Program. She's most known for her work in developing stochastic parameterization schemes and most proud of truly understanding the concept of noise induced drift in complex earth system prediction systems. Thanks Judith, and Judith will talk about S2S prediction and uncertainty. Thank you very much for the introduction and I have to give this back to you anytime you want the summer school organized, I will do this if Anisha is part of the team. I will turn my screen. So, I will talk about S2S predictability and uncertainty, and rather sort of giving a history of the field I thought since I have sort of the last lecture slot of the week.  So, this is sort of this schematic about full cast skill as function of lead time. And we've heard about predictability from initial conditions, teleconnection patterns. And what I wanted to point out is that sort of, and at this point, sort of that that y axis is not well defined, it says, excellent, and here it says fair, and here it says poor. But this is not a quantitative measure of skill. I think it is sort of weighted by what you're interested in. So what you're interested in on sub seasonal timescales is maybe poor and seasonal fair. And so I wanted to talk a bit more about the quantification of this. So I thought I first chair some thoughts on model era, some thoughts on predictability, and then some thoughts on the physical sources of predictability. And then each I would ask you give me a strict five minute warning, please. So on short timescales, and I'm thinking here no matter where the prediction system, where the skill comes from the initialization. The system is mostly dominated by random models. And so when we run then assemble prediction systems, we, we know that there is sensitivity to the initial conditions and so we don't run a single one but we need to have an ensemble. This is the talk that Joe gave. And what we really want to do in numerical weather prediction is we want that the threat that is the variance between the different assemble members at any given forecast lead time is the same as the RMS error of the assemble mean. And we can use this spread as the uncertainty forecast of the assemble mean. So if the assemble mean error is really large, and the spread is very large then we can look at the spread and say okay this is a very unpredictable forecast. But our sample said it would be unpredictable. Because if the spread is really small, we would expect that the error is small. If this is the case we call it a perfectly reliable as all insist ensemble systems, and assemble systems tend to be under dispersive. It has gotten a lot better but they're still under dispersive near the surface. And this is why we use stochastic commodization schemes in numerical weather prediction, because what they do is, is they widen this assemble spread, you have a reliable assemble system, if, and if you then compute the skill you have a more skillful assemble prediction system. And so this really addresses the random component of model error. So what you're really doing is that in this, in this context is you're increasing the variability by adding stochastic commoditization so this is sort of the first thing what we would expect if you include random numbers. So this slide is a comment. Sort of in response to the debate last yesterday afternoon between and here and and Magdalena. This slide also pertains to a new introduction of the Lorenz system and sensitivity to initial perturbations. So, while there are many different stochastic commoditization schemes, and some of the discussion yesterday was about, should we perturb the parameters in the bulk commoditization, because we often know that those are not well constrained. We add some sometimes called ad hoc commoditization schemes like SPPT the stochastic parameter perturbations that Anish talked about, or there's skeptics which is the schematic energy backscatter scheme which I sort of added on top to represent all the processes and all the lack of upscale error growth from the past, or should we go with something more physically representative. And, and a point I'm trying to make here, I think that these ad hoc schemes work so well, and that stochastic commoditization schemes work at all, is that where the error grows is really determined by the system, and not by the particular stochastic commoditization scheme. So, I'm showing here forecast over conus I think this is brightness temperature and I'm showing this is done with work, whether model developed here. These are different lead times it's 36 to 48 hours so this is short time weather prediction not as to us. And on the top is the impact of having stochastic parameter perturbations to the micro physics scheme. And on the bottom, we're perturbing the soil state over one particular grid box in watching Washington skate state so this is the Northwest here in this map. And what we see is that the amplitude and what we see is the difference between two assemble members with those perturbations. And so what we're seeing is that the pattern where those two trajectories spread is really very similar, there might be some differences in the amplitude. But we see for this particular case it's a particular summer initialization after 48 hours, you have you, your difference in these two trajectories is really that whether or not you have convection over the southeast of the United States. And it really didn't matter how exactly they were perturbing the system, because the error would grow in the conductively unstable regions. And so I think this is the true reason why sometimes the details of the stochastic parameterizations don't matter, because it's the flow who organizes the error growth. However, if you look more carefully we do see there's some differences especially in amplitude but we did not objectively identify the initial perturbations to be within a certain realm, it just was reasonable. So to the extent that those are different stochastic parameterization schemes or different model error schemes introduce different error growth. I also wanted to say there is skill from the mean and so here on the left side I'm showing a hypothetical forecast distribution for a particularly time doesn't matter and then the climatological distribution. So the difference, and so these have the same spread or the same variance and be thinking of this as an ensemble. And so, on the left side on the right right side is the climatological distribution and so if we look at this difference. That gives us the forecast skills so the predictive skill comes from the difference of the ensemble mean forecast to the climatological mean. There's a different source of forecast skill and it comes from the spread. So, even if the mean and the climatological mean are the same and they have different spread. There is skill in this forecast. So if you think that you have a forecast and it's five degrees C over Germany. If the climatological distribution is plus minus 10 C, then you're not sure if the presentation on the roads will freeze and you have ice and accidents or not. However, if you you can trust your forecast and you forecast says yeah it's going to be five degrees C but the forecast spread is only two degrees. You can exclude that the roads that the water on the roads will freeze and you have ice, and that is a very, very society relevant forecast. So the skill can come from the ensemble mean, but there can also be spilled skill in the spread. So, I was now talking a little bit about the shorter time scales here these months. And now I want to move sort of to systematic model errors on the long time scale. I think that if you have stochastic publicizations and here stochastic publicizations are really a way of representing unrepresented small fluctuation processes. So these S to S model are typically run at horizontal resolutions of one degree. I'm talking about things that are smaller than one degree method scale systems, high impact weather, small scale, true atmospheric variability that is not represented. And so if you have this you can really change the distribution of a system. So on the left side we have a potential well. And so, if you don't have noise there it might sort of get stuck in that left minimum. And then as you add noise, the system will have a higher variance and it can reach face space states that it couldn't reach before. So if you then look at the bottom, you see that the meat that not only the variance of these distributions are changed but also the mean. And so stochastic publicizations or neglecting raring subject scale scales can lead to an increase in your sample spread, but they also have the potential to reduce systematic model errors. The second one is very important on climatic timescales, but I also want to make the case that also on the S to S timescale. And this is really something that has not been fully explored. So Joe made this comment that fluctuation small scales can lead to a stabilization of the system and I thought I give you an example to this. This is an example for El Nino, but it's a way to understand noise induced drift. So here we are, I'm showing the new 3.4 index the spectrum of it. So we have frequencies against the power and on the left side for control control climate simulation here with CSM. It's an older version. On the right side, it's exactly the same simulation but we added a stochastic publicization. And what you can see is that it was damping these erroneously is erroneous peak in the end new band. And then to a very simple model, this is the model of a two dimensional damped harmonic oscillator forced by additive what noise, which is given here on the right side. So it only has two parameter it has your damping term, and then it has a frequency. And this is just sort of a realization to picture what's going on. And there's two things you can do you can perturb the frequency of this oscillator. So this is the equivalent of having a pendulum and then randomly changing the string. Or you can change the damping of this, and it needs to be state dependent so we could imagine that the viscosity of the environment is different in the left and the right area where the pendulum swings through maybe it swings into water or honey or it could just be warmer air. So what you then can do is you can analytically show, and I'm not showing this here that perturbing the frequency results in a decreased memory, which is equivalent to a widening of the spectrum and no change in variance, where is perturbing the damping right results in an increased memory, which is equivalent to narrowing the spectrum and an increased variance. And so on the right side now we can see, we can think we can think of this as the unperturbed system the uncontrolled control simulation and menu 3.4, and that the stochastic permit by stations were acting as if they were perturbing the frequency of this oscillator. And that led to the reduction or the dampening stabilization of the system, leading to a spectrum that's wider and not as peaked. And if we think of this really in physical terms that that makes sense, we having these stochastic perturbations to to the wind, and to convection. So what they really do is they decouple the atmospheric from the oceanic system, and a randomization of the frequency space, and that acts as a damping and you can show this anonymity. So this is just an example how unresolved small scale atmospheric processes can impact systematic model errors. And it is one example on the stochastic community would say we have a noise induced drift, which acts as a damping and stabilizes the system. And it goes on if we have representation of. If they have stochastic permit by stations in climate models, and very often effect is similar as increasing resolution. And here is just an example. It's already 10 years old, but you can see that stochastic permit by station very often improve regime behavior and in particular blocking. It's often linked to a bias in the set 500 field, which tends to be so the zone, the flow tends to be to zonal. And as soon as the stochastic permit by station break up that zonality of the flow, the system is really able to model blocking better. And especially for blocking the effects are often very similar to increasing resolution. So now I talked about the longer time scales and systematic matter or more model error and now the s to s time scale here in the middle. I want to make the point it really is affected by both random and systematic model errors. The comment I wanted to make is yoga showed a skill scores of CSM, and she didn't compare directly to SMWF, but on the sub season as to as time scale the skill of CSM to is really similar to SMWF for, at least for to meet our temperature. And I personally think that the reason for this is that SMWF is absolutely leading when it comes to short foot to medium range forecasts because they have fantastic initializations. But on the s to s time scale, the value of the initialization, especially the atmospheric initialization is starting to get forgotten. And what plays more of a role is the systematic model errors. And if you come from a climate model, you making sure that your biases are small as possible, that you can tell a connection patterns are right, and that your variance is correct. And I think this is why we get we capture these modes of variability well in a climate model. And so although the initialization is not as perfect. Some of those reduced systematic errors are really contributing to the s to s skill. However, there's still lots of model error. So then that biases from past physics often develop in the first days to weeks so the many climate biases really can be analyzed on very short time scales. And one, one evidence for this is that s to s verification is still done on anomalies not full fields. If we would do s to s verification on full fields. So it would be a lot less and probably negative as in comparison to anomalies. And this is one of the projects in the verification tutorial is to look at how much do we gain by removing the lead time dependent bias in our models as individuals to just go with the fields, the full fields. And so point I want to make is that, while it's really important to issue s to s forecasts for society and for doing research, I think it also is a real opportunity to improve our models, because we can verify that this is on time scales where there's a lot of data, and then, and as much as errors in the representation of those processes lead to climate biases. We can really improve our models, even on climatic time scales by looking at this time scale. Some thoughts on predictability. Oh, 10 or 11 or six so I have 10 minutes or so. So this plot was made not in the context of s to s predictability but multi annual predictability by Branstad and 10. And it shows really sort of this predictability from the first and the second kind. So the red distribution is the climatological distribution under global warming. So you can see it just, let's think of it as temperature it just becomes warmer. And then this plume is showing the initial value of predictability your initializes system with lead time shown on the x axis the spread gets bigger, but as long as the spread is smaller than that of the climatology, you have skill from initial conditions. And this will obviously depend on your system here. They really have the ocean system in mind it's done for the ocean system, but conceptually the same as the case for s to s and the atmosphere. So this is also done in this context of multi annual predictability, but what you can see here, these blue lines are showing the predictability from initial conditions and so they get lost with the years, whereas the one shows the predictability of the second kind, the one coming from initial conditions. And this is purely through the knowledge if it gets warmer, I can actually predict this really well. And so you get predictability of the second time namely through knowledge of the boundary conditions. And they then made a quantification of the skill this is here this this blue, excuse me this black line where you sort of lose predictability you have sort of minimum and then you gain predictability from the second kind. And please correct me here. I think this plot has not been quantified in this form for the s to s timescale. And, and I think it would be different depending on on which regime the atmosphere is in, and it would be also different in what you, how you define your system. I think it would be very interesting to produce plots like this on the s to s timescale. And I should say what they use here is measure on the left side is relative entropy. And so this is a measure that combines information from the assemble mean, and the assemble variance, plus higher order moments so this is already a metric that is not only looking mean, but the whole distribution. I end up with some thoughts on physical sources of predictability. What I did here is, I tried to color code the sources of s to s predictability. And I have to be very clear for this troposphere. And I just color labeled predictability of the second kind and of the first kind. Obviously as we change our system, if we change it to the earth system for example, then predictability of answer would be one from initial conditions but for now on the s to s timescale I choose that particular system the troposphere, because then the strategy sphere already is a predictability of the second kind because you can think of the stratosphere forcing the atmosphere although as yoga and Amy said it is much more complex. And yesterday we heard about regimes, and I thought I wanted to share some thoughts about regimes, I think for the atmosphere, they are clearly a predictability of the first kind. Laura has shown us this plot on the left side, where they looked at forecasts where the initial state projected on let's say the NEO minus state. And they compared that to the average forecast and they got extended predictability by two to three days for states that predict on certain large scale states. And then yada has shown some skill with the CSM in predicting by weekly NEO so there is clearly intermittent skill for prediction on the s to s timescale and this is why we have this workshop and that's why we lost to Joe on Monday. So the knowledge so regimes have been studied for many, many years and there was a very nice overview of this. But typically they have been studied in the context of climate forecasts and dynamical systems. And so here's some work that I did for my PhD and it was analyzing a very long simulation from a GCM. And because we could run it out for so long, we could look at the face space tendency so this is now the face space span by the first and the fourth PC. And we saw that the system really very much had, I'm not trying to say butterfly because I'm not trying to say initial conditions but it has two special states. And one is corrected right by a zonal state and one by a block state. And this particular model is combining the P&A and the NAO because it's a first generation model. And so what the atmosphere was doing it was really circling around these states. If you removed the effect that if you ask where I'm going to be in 10 days it'll be always closer to the climate logical need. But if you look at instantaneous tendencies we saw that. So what Laura's work then really did, at least for me in the first time is to go from this climatological perspective to to an initialized perspective, and just to mimic this here. So I'm looking at daily data from the CSM, and I just looked at the states that project under the NAO at day zero these are the plus NAO those are shown in red and the minus NAO are shown in blue. And then I was following these cluster means over days over the over the sub seasonal timescale. And as you can see, they mix more and more. So if you look at the cluster mean and the location of the cluster mean you see this interesting pattern. And so you see that on average, if you ask where am I, one day later two days later three days later these cloud of initial states, you will collapse to the climatological mean which is here the 00 point. And so this this this climatological forecast is, it's not just persistent it not just gets closer and closer, but its worlds here around in some rather interesting fashion. And this is this regime predictability that Laura also showed in her face space space is based on the SMWF forecasts. Thank you so much. Yeah, I'm done. So, so, so if you then look at one dimensional projections you see this emerging of the signal on the S2S timescale. And this is related to regime predictability. And the fact that for these certain large scale patterns the atmosphere is evolving on a low dimensional manifold as opposed to as chaotic as in general. That's my summary. Think on the S2S timescale both systematic and model, systematic and sorry random model error play role. I talked a little bit about predictability of the first and second kind and it's not fully quantified in the S2S timescale. And that regimes which is a perfect example for predictability of the first kind can be detected in climatological and initialized data. And predictability related to regimes fall on the predictability of the first time and is captured by state of the art and WP models. Thank you. Great. Thanks to it. It's great. Yeah, a lot to digest and think about students any questions.


Seniors, in 2016, you made Fairfield your home, and now, this is your time. Your time to look back and time to look ahead.  It is your time to be proud of every accomplishment and those late nights in the library you encountered along the way.  We may not be together to celebrate now, but we know that your future is bright. To the class of 2020, we're here to applaud you. Always remember, you have a home in stag country.


What's going on everyone Sam here with late in sports cards have been 22 and anyone football hobby 10 box break from our 8 random team style Look again at your random results as always you can find those on the websites under the results tab as well as the link in chat Good luck here everybody. Let's do it. See if you can pull some more heat like we did in the first half case here I know she'll be dope Nice one there. That's gonna be 133 out of 199 Brian Robinson jr. Going to Jeff. I'm in the commanders. That's Jeff Will Hints of red on the way right there as well Brian Robinson jr. Alabama legend Crazy story with that guy. I just can't remember that to those nuts That's nasty nine of ten Garrett Wilson Two colored RPA for the Jets the rookie of the year Jonathan B. Congrats, man. That's awesome, dude. That's so awesome nine of ten Garrett Wilson Got the texture on it so cool too Little bit of lettering there. It's up snowball nine of ten Garrett Wilson four colored precision RPA Bailey zappy that is seven of 99 going to the Patriots Edward E. Let's go Edward Congrats, man Nice zappy RPA for you Four colors on that one as well That's pretty sick congrats Edward again There you go, man Oh, it's the next one 90 of 99 Sean Mechie three color two color RPA for the Texans H town Vaughn S. Congrats Vaughn Nice one there buddy potential potential number one receiver in Houston Side of Collins and Dell. I mean no more cooks there Definitely has the potential if he comes back healthy to be that number one receiver for Stroud So definitely some excitement down in Houston for the future Grats on that That tree absolute studded Alabama. Oh, that's so sick presenting Bam Bam Cam Chancellor 25 of 35 dude, that's so cool And it has the nickname on it Bam Bam Cam. Oh dude Legion of boom O.G. Legion of boom right there Oh, that's so freaking cool, dude Loved me some cam chancellor back in the day Not the guy you wanted to meet over the middle That's awesome Bam Bam Cam Chancellor on the presenting auto Congrats Seattle Jeff M. Let's go Jeff. Congrats, man. Such an awesome design that is on card 25 of 35 again, that is Bam Bam Cam He's got one of the best Instagram handles. It's just Bam Bam Cam Next up we've got another presenting auto Christian Akoye the Nigerian nightmare 49 of 75 Mike Kay with the chiefs Dude these These uh these presenting autos are unreal. This might be a top five favorite set of mine this year with the nickname on it too My goodness. That's awesome. That's so sick Again, there you can see you can literally see the Nigerian nightmare on there. So cool, dude On to the next one. Nice one here 25 of 49 Alec Pierce Grats on that one Indianapolis going to the Colts Uh Jared P. Nice one there Jared Grats, buddy Alec Pierce Yeah, that would be cool be kind of like a notable nicknames from NT where they write their nickname. That'd be awesome it is 23 of 35 Kenny Pickett three color two color RPA going to Tyler M in the Steelers There you go Tyler congrats, buddy Hell yeah, man KP on the rpa First one of the night Big time hit right there Thank you to Matthew and Sam taking some select spots Should be under I think we're at nine to go on that now. We are under 10 spots Game needs to be turned way down got you Yeah, it was all the way it was all the way up I appreciate that ad. Yeah, it was really awesome We got to meet the guy and everything who wrote it, which is cool. Hey, let's go Tyler. You got it, man. Thank you, dude Oh, that's nasty Lone Star autographs Jason Witton two colored patch auto Player worn for the cowboys That is going to Edward E Edward two spots two hits with two different teams. Congrats, man Lone Star auto is one of the best tight ends of all time.  Congrats Edward E, good dash You're living Pittsburgh too. Let's go Tyler. Hell yeah, man. Congrats, bro Going to a great home. It sounds like last box There it is again The one man show Laurence Taylor 14 of 25 going to the Giants Nice one there NYG going to Timothy F. Let's go Tim. Congrats, buddy Thank you to Dave K for taking a select spot as well That's awesome One man show LT the original LT That is gonna do it for the break guys. Thanks again for the fill up next. We've got number nine


So, hi dear colleagues, so you know one of our topics always in this kind of area is we have to be agile so I would like to say that just about one hour ago our colleague Claudine Lim wrote to me that she's terribly ill today and unfortunately can't take part in this presentation which is a shame because we actually thought that most of us these days were a little bit bored of presentations and wouldn't it be nice to have a conversation so we'd set up a nice kind of conversational format which I'm afraid I'm going to have to break a little bit now. So basically what I'm going to do first is Claudine has sent me a video which is a six minute video which basically just introduces you to the principles for digital development and I'll say a few words about them in just a second and then after that I'll just make the link to the project I'm managing which is called a tingy I tell you a little bit about that and then I'm going to pick up the three topics which Claudine and I wanted to talk about which is how to focus on the user how to think about scale and how to think about collaboration and I think those three things are probably relevant to to any of the big projects we're working on at the moment and so I'm hoping then just saying a few things about those will be an invitation to you to make some some comments either in the chat or of course you're very welcome then to to come in and we have a small discussion. So with that that's essentially the format so let me just explain a little bit about the the context itself and maybe the best way of doing that is if I introduce myself and then I say how I got myself to the digital principles for development so my background is well firstly I've been to open Belgium for I don't know the last couple of years for sure maybe a last three years or so and the connection for me has mostly been with the colleagues who are working on open recognition. This is kind of a reflection of the things that interest me very much which is picking up on things to do with digital innovation innovation in general but thinking about how can we pick these things up and start actually using them to influence the mainstream this has been really kind of the the main thrusts of my interest. In the last years I think the first time I came to open Belgium I'm still working at a private research institute where we were looking at how to open up the labour market and how to offer further education and that's why I came in with the colleagues working on the MIRVA project which is about open recognition. Last year where I came and I very much remember it was just before the whole COVID thing began and we were all a bit concerned can we really shake people's hands and I really remember this moment where it was all a bit awkward. Again there I was talking about micro-credentials and open recognition but the context for me had changed a little bit because I was already working for a digital learning platform called Kiron. Kiron is a learning platform centred in Berlin and it's helping refugees get to higher education essentially. During my time at Kiron I also did some advice for a project which was just being developed at the time from the German cooperation and development agency GIZ which is associated with the German Ministry for International Development. The project which I'm now part of is called Atingi. It's about setting up a learning platform and we've got huge scaling ambitions. We're expecting in 2025 to be reaching 100 million people but more about that later. The point for me was I was very interested in getting to this because it seemed to me a way to actually really get to the mainstream really start changing things and also Link the two things I've been working at working on before which was how do we think of learning in many many different contexts and maybe in a more kind of open format. How did I get to the principles for digital development? The interesting thing is when you're particularly if you're building up something very new then of course you need some kind of framework to orientate yourself. You need to have a kind of an idea of that what should I really be focused on and the nine principles which have been developed in the the principles for digital development I find very good and they also kind of I think you'll find as well that they're very familiar to most of us because at least one or two or maybe all of them are actually quite commonplace at the moment but still it's important to I think focus on them and the nice thing for us and more about that as well later I think but I find it's quite an easy way to kind of speed up some processes because you can find something you agree on with many other partners you can say okay we all agree on that now let's move on ahead. This is a bit of the background but I would like to now pass over and I hope this works now to the video with Claudine speaking it's a like I say it's a six minute video so I'm sorry that it's like a a pre-recorded format but I'm sure you understand of course better this way than not having her at all so it gives a small introduction to all of the nine principles and a little bit of of their history they were actually developed in 2014 2015 so they've been around a lot and I've also found in my experience that they're not known very well so I think it's it's nice to give them an exposure so I would move on to the video and then we'll come back and have a few discussions so let me just see if I can set that up and thank you for being there Astrid if this not working then you have to give me some instructions but I think I actually just press the play button that's what it looks like to me and let's see just checking is it possible to hear that yes I I hear Claudine speaking okay good then I shall continue okay so that worked rather well including her passing back to us she is now actually the director of the principles so no longer I think it said they're senior associate I think it's I think there's a couple points there where she also mentions for example open standards is the most complicated thing not for this group I would imagine I think that's probably the easiest bit it's also not the bit that I would essentially focus on for our discussion here but if I may I just give you just one slide and just one tiny bit of information as a background to a tinky let's just see if I can actually manage to pull up that slide let me just see if it's now no it hasn't come across yet it started to upload and then it ended that probably because I was being too I did it stop again now or I was just too impatient it hasn't uploaded again let me just see here one second because I tried this just before tells me it's actually being shared now okay good then I'll tell you what then and then I think I would yes now it's now it's down oh perfect okay sorry I'm just not patient enough okay yeah I just wanted to show you one one slide so you've seen already the principles which we I think can come back to into discussion and I just wanted to show you then one quick picture of a number of things with with the tinky platform itself so I've already mentioned a little bit about our ambition of where we want to go so and and you can see already from the picture so before we started that's or when we first started we were actually called Africa cloud this is actually a project which was pretty much dreamt up by the federal minister for international development and the idea really is just there are many learning opportunities which are really going unmet or learning need to also going unmet and then a learning platform could actually help us an enabler here just as very much as Claudine said the whole process is started by doing some appraisal missions particularly in West Africa where I was involved as well I'm working with a local partner called Smart Africa excuse me that's the advantage of doing a homework office kind of then we try to understand kind of what what the actual needs were and we established in 2019 set ourselves up we are now at a stage where we've got over a million contacts with learners we have 200 000 learners registered on our platform and now we've actually which has been a huge help to us we've migrated to the Moodle learning platform the reason this is a huge help to us is because it's open source so there's many many ways we can link out to other systems and this really is all part of our growth strategy and you can see here that we really would like to get to 100 million contacts by 2025 you can see our goal there which I'd just like to mention that briefly a world in which digital learning is inclusive accessible relevant safe and secure for all of course we could have said here learning but I think especially all of us in reviewing what's been happening in the last year in many many countries including I would say Germany digital learning is often because of the technical side it often has many other kind of restrictions which should be thought about so I think it's very important here that we've emphasised digital learning so this is a bit about the background of a tingy and really then I would just like to turn over to three points which I think are probably the most interesting at least for me and also a discussion with Claudine these are the most interesting points of the principles I think all nine are very interesting and I would just like to maybe mention my perspective on these three in connection with the tingy and then I'm super happy to open up a little bit to discussion and just see what your thoughts are and of course you can also pose questions to the digital principles maybe I can answer or otherwise I just pass them over to Claudine and colleagues for later the first point keeping a focus on the learner the reason I want to mention this is on the first in the first instance it seems very obvious but especially in technical projects I think this often doesn't happen the reason it doesn't happen is because we often get involved in kind of the technicalities of how things work and in fact just over this weekend in Twitter there were some complaints about various of the some of the developments of the vaccine app that is being discussed for example in Germany where tech seems to be totally dominating any of the discussions about how sensible something is the tagline was that the vaccine information was going to be saved on five different blockchains and I think there you can see this this point that if we start focusing on the tech very much then we kind of lose the user now the interesting point for us is that we as a tingy as I've just mentioned we understand ourselves a little bit differently maybe the many learning platforms because we understand ourselves very much as a kind of a backbone for learning and you may be aware that GIZ employs I think over 24,000 people across the world and of course across the world many of those are actually already doing learning offering learning or offering trainings and things like that and what we're trying to do is we're trying to persuade these people to actually get onto our learning platform so therefore they can actually scale out to actually the people they're actually offering the learning so the interesting thing for us and I think it's a challenge for us is how can you keep the the user in focus particularly the end user so the learner whilst you're trying to scale like we are and the way we're trying to do that is we're trying to introduce much stronger feedback groups so it's not the case of limiting at the starting point so we do have some focus groups but we say essentially we're open for any of these projects and we're also open for many many different types of learners but what we try and do is we're trying over time to actually learn about these learners so that's how we're trying to do that but of course then we also get this whole case of how do you scale in this kind of setting how do you scale in a the setting of international development because international development is very often focused on context it's focusing on trying to be as relevant to local communities as possible how can you scale at the same time because surely scale means actually abstracting from the specific and trying to become more general again this is a challenge we're trying to deal with the first point is of course if you actually manage to be relevant for many different contexts that's the only way you're going to scale because taking going back to this first point only if what you're doing is valuable to the individual learner will it actually grow and actually become stronger so the ways we're doing this is we're trying to find ways to work very much with co-design of curricula co-designing learning learning units but also trying to have more kind of inclusive learning experiences including also the combination of having digital learning because very often digital learning I've called it recently learning in a box it's a little bit of this thing that's kind of a close thing that's kind of ready and perfect it's not very good at talking about context but if you can combine something like that maybe as background information with webinars with the ways of exchanging and in the end if you have the goal that actually every new learner is also going to become a peer to all the other learners and and therefore a supporter then I think you can get the scale and the final point is being collaborative two points here really firstly of course we know very clearly that we're not the only people who've thought of these ideas or working on so we're actively looking for other people to collaborate with and the question is how do you actually collaborate of course you can cooperate in other words you say okay do you have learning materials that I could use as well and most of the learning materials you would find on a tingy are open educational resources and have been developed by other partners but that's not really in-depth collaboration we are working collaboratively at the moment with the World Bank on some of their work they're doing in Africa and the way you can be collaborative and that's why I think the principle so good is if you've got like a common reference framework and these principles therefore they really help us because they're there are kind of a starting point and I've already mentioned the other element of our project at tingy which is that it's a highly political project as well because it was something which was an initiative of a minister so again we also have from the other side we do have some pressure and also some ideas coming from the ministry about what we should be doing again there these principles are a nice orientation for us because it's very easy for us to say yes we're doing that because it is involved in this principle so for me one of the big successes we had last year was that we managed to persuade the ministry that it's very important for us to have a learning management system which is open source and there were certain people in the ministry who as Claudine just mentioned weren't quite so familiar with why open source makes sense but they were familiar with the principles and that kind of gave us a fast track to some of those discussions okay so there's a there's someone my points I would be very happy also if anyone would like to make any comments these principles about the challenges of them and particularly around these topic areas and maybe just to say what you're involved in at the moment and and why you've come to the session today most people are joining in listen only mode so they can't speak or turn on their camera so I suggested if you want to participate in the discussion that you do connect with the audio so we can actually talk yes maybe we can also ask bga big big telata I think we can can we not I think we can give them the right to speak can we they can't speak if they want to but you do have to connect to the audio which you do by clicking on the telephone icon okay but he is saying he or she thank you is saying they talk fast so let's start with that then so yeah so you're working in in the with the development background in the public sector and you're an open source fan and you're looking for ways to enhance the collaboration with the end user okay but this is this is so does that mean you're actually asking me or anyone else here to to think about how to to enhance the collaboration that's it that's a difficult one so I think it's a challenge I think the main point is collaboration maybe maybe we should just spend one moment thinking collaboration means that when people work then it's kind of more of the sum of the individual parts so collaboration means then you have to try and find something where it's not just kind of user input user feedback or something like that but they're actually designing with you or they're actually you know making some kind of proactive input and I think that is a challenge because you have to try and find out where does that work I think it's always good to try experiments first and and just see how that works but everyone essentially okay I think Lucas yes yeah thank you thanks Dominic for for this opportunities I would love to pick it up I pasted a link of what we are doing it's the biggest citizen driven community related with creating air quality data and we are receiving air quality data from over 14,000 stations in over 70 countries and have generated the biggest air quality data and its data set which is like over 11 billion data points so what you do sounds very interesting for us because we have a campaign that is like sensor to school so basically we want to highlight every school that wants to be part of this measurement and we want to bring this open data and this open source activity to the schools and libraries in this world so if you would perhaps like give us some tips with who we can talk how we could tap into your network with what you are doing to connect because I think we could give a good fit we have this visualization tool and perhaps like you could show us like how we could tap into your extraordinary growth I mean your numbers are really like impressive but perhaps you could show us like how we could like join your efforts and bring this data to the people thank you yeah wonderful thank you very much Lucas yes so we are actually building up a portfolio on the whole aspect of digital transformation and I you know it's a very very big field I think this is definitely one thinking about open data we're actually working on two levels because we kind of got a focus on informing policy makers and regulators so that they're actually become sensitized and aware of many of these developments on the other hand we're also actively going directly to to our learners we don't have anything yet on open data we have some things already on how to develop for example a learner a learning database for artificial intelligence we have a few things there but we do have some work here within GIZ also on open data so I can see some nice connections here so you're very welcome to contact me afterwards as well and this I think brings comes to one major point which is of most interest to to me and I think to Atinki is there are many things many new things happening at the moment and they don't tend to be picked up by traditional education and also even if they are that's only you know the youth population and only to a certain age so we're very interested in this whole kind of field of non-formal learning where people then become become aware of some of these things and we know for sure for example in Africa policymakers and people working in ministries and regulation offices are very interested in some of these things because they've kind of they're they're hearing about some of them but they don't realize what's possible and I think we don't need to say this is a situation in Africa I think in Germany it would be the same situation so yes so super happy to hear more about that thank you Dominik great we'll do so we'll contact you thanks Dominik you just mentioned the non-formal learning and I was wondering where do you see or do you see the traditional like schools universities picking this up or not in the future in the longer term do you think it will become more important or do you think it will stay on the sideline so I think also I explained a little bit of my background I think the reason I'm particularly interested in the non-formal sector is it's more kind of it's more of a reaction it's it's more of a point of okay new things are happening let's try and think of how we can create learning opportunities around them in other words it's not based on a curriculum it's based on these new developments and these new developments around the stg's around things like open data AI but also many other developments in the world and normally the non-formal is it's kind of freer to pick these up but I think we would definitely hope that many of these learning units would also be then used in the formal sector the interesting point is for us it's very important to have short learning units and also for example we're doing some things like the one course we're doing currently with the world bank which is about digital transformation in particular related to regulations we actually have said we don't want any in the first iteration of what we're doing we don't want to be using any videos we wanted to use open formats as much as possible because we actually think that we need formats which we can be changing as we learn with the learners or with the users so this is not really kind of the standard way that formal education thinks about these things and also my other point often with you know my own little kind of complaint about formal education in a way is that this is only a tiny weenie pit of our whole life if you think of your whole lifespan and especially now you know in Germany I think I heard today you know the expected lifespan is until 83 I think so if you leave even if even if you leave university at 25 look at all those other years where things should be happening and the education system hasn't been very good at picking that up and that's why I think many of us who are working in with with these platform ideas etc we're saying this is how we can actually help inform people and and just provide this kind of information and see what's and show what's available and I'm most interested in using all of this to kind of you know as a way to start people on you learning pathways and just stimulate them to think differently so we welcome other comments in the chat or you can also you're quite welcome to also take the mic maybe why you well while you consider that I just mentioned that there's a lot of information about the digital principles on the website that Claudine mentioned and I think we've either we've linked it here or oh yes we've linked it up here as well in different languages this they seem quite trivial I think but actually to really implement them they're not at all trivial I think that's why they've been still around so long so I think they are a very useful orientation but I would pass on to Gert who's just maybe I haven't said your name properly but Gert would you like to I'm here from Parmel I am a member of Wikimedia Belgium yes I have a question I saw in the individual that there was a project about sustainable development goals is this specific for your company or is there just the UNESCO project you were showing so I think with the sustainable development goals as firstly they were using in the with the digital principles it was an idea of how can you connect the challenges posed by the sustainable development goals with the opportunities maybe that digitalization can provide and of course one of those is one of my favorite principles which is Reuse First which I'm sure is for Wikimedia is like one of the foundational principles as well there have been some nice developments recently also in sustainable development there was there's an academy called the Sustainable Development Goals Academy I think STD Academy and a number of us complained about two years ago to say this is very cool but none of your materials are open open educational resources I think it was the end of last year they actually said now they are so but what what was your interest in that Gert? Well the Sustainable Development Goals is also a project of the Wikimedia Volunteer community which is rather active in a number of countries I know for example Sweden is very very active in that sense in Belgium yeah we do not for the time being we do not have specific projects but our work with heritage and museums and cultural institutions and the universities is about yes education and training people how to document and to reuse knowledge yes indeed so yeah yeah I think that's really good and for me I mean in 2015 I think I wrote a background report for UNESCO also about some of the indicators for the STGs and again they've been also super useful I think as a framework because it's really interesting you can talk as you say talk to people in the cultural sector and the people involved in civic society but you can also talk to business about the the STGs and and somehow they provide a great orientation I think for for you know where we're trying to go with many of these things okay thank you thank you very much maybe again I can mention an interesting challenge we've had which is again back to scale so one of the principles says designed for scale and it says if you are going to pilot things and make sure you're piloting but with the big picture of where you really want to get to and it's it's very interesting because again I think in the international development community we often have this idea of piloting in one community and then if it works maybe we establish something in the next community and there's certainly been a great interest from the side of our ministry to say if we start making things if certain things work in in small communities can we not just say probably the things that might make that community you know special in a certain way can be found in many other communities across the world as well so this is a really interesting thing we're going to we're trying to do I think with our platform is you know you can find similar communities which are geographically really quite just a small rather trivial example of this was a number of months ago I was talking to some colleagues in San Paolo who developed a really nice cause for women in tech and they explained the course they explained also that they were using or they were planning to use open badges as a recognition form and I said okay that sounds really amazing how many people are you offering this course for and they said well it's for a hundred people and I said you know what why is it only for a hundred people and they said yes we've been having a problem because we always have to select and that they also recognized actually why select maybe you can actually offer it for even more and then they also said well actually we've also been in contact with Mozambique because Mozambique speaking also Portuguese has said oh can we not actually use it for our own context so it's really interesting that something's being developed in San Paolo possibly then we'll move over to to be used in a much greater scale in Mozambique and maybe in other countries as well so I think it's I think this idea of being ambitious and you know trying to think of how you can scale up but still kind of stay true to the context of the problem itself I think is a challenge but it's an interesting one and I think really it's done too little and I think if we really look at many of the things that are happening around COVID at the moment and Germany is a great example with 16 states and every state trying to find their own digital solution to the same problem this kind of idea of like being collaborative is a huge challenge and I do think frameworks such as the digital principles such as the STGs can really really help us but sure we have to all work on it as well but I I think also many people here are many of the the organizations which named here also the open knowledge foundations I think those are the kind of foundations which are really working on this stuff great well thank you very much for your attention I'm sorry that Claudine wasn't here but I of course Astrid was a great support thank you very much Astrid and do look into digital principles and also into a tingy in both cases we're looking for collaborative partnerships and yes so I wish you a great rest of conference I really must say I really like the idea by the way that open Belgium has actually spread the sessions over many days instead of just saying let's pretend it was a physical one but now it's digital because I think nobody wants that anymore so thank you very much and greetings to all the colleagues at open Belgium thank you Dominic for the interesting very interesting session I will stop so I did


I'm a Chicago guy, so I'm partial to Michael Jordan anyway, even though I didn't see his prom. I didn't see him play in the 90s, so I can't even say that, you know, oh yeah, I watched this moment. It was like transcendent. So it sucked for me. I was four years old when he won the 98 championship. But what I will say is when I see the clips, when I see the tape, it's an offensive league now. The league is positioned for scores, for high numbers, for high stats. And there's no doubt, like the numbers Michael Jordan put up 36 and five, that would have been, you kind of multiply it by two. I don't think he'd average 60 a game, but definitely the rebounds, the assists. There's more rebounds to be had. There's more assists. There's probably a little bit more focus and attention to detail to being a more well-rounded player now than even before as far as statistically. So yeah, I think, would he average a triple double? I think so.


Hello and welcome to the Dave Trumbo show presented by Buffalo Wildlings. I'm Greg Royce joining with Stevenson Head Woman's volleyball coach Dave Trumbo. Coach, I was certainly excited at the end of the season for us to start with the Mac Hummeloff Championship match against Arcadia. Dropped the first set, Arcadia came out pretty fired up, but the team was able to battle back and pick up another conference championship. Well, we knew they were going to be fired up after a regular season, but thankfully we're able to win a regular season and get that home match for us. Yeah, and they were fired up and we kind of knew that was going to happen. And right at the end of that first set, we had the hockey team walk in. And the whole atmosphere in the gym changed. And all of a sudden, the men's basketball team, the men's volleyball team, some of the football players, everybody, there were so many people there, and it was such a great atmosphere. And really we came out the second set, we're down 5-1. And we're like, I'm going, oh, come on, make a play. We've got to make a play, get the crowd into it. And thankfully we were able to make some plays. And I thought we played just a phenomenal match. And it was a great match. Arcadia is a great opponent and to win 30-28 in the fourth. Right. I'm not so sure what would have happened had we dropped that one, but I guess we fought off, I don't know how many set points, but it was probably three or four. Yeah, it was definitely a back and forth set there. Like you said, you get to a fifth set and I think it can happen, especially when they have all the momentum, winning the fourth set. When you go to 15, it's pretty much a toss-up. Yep, it sure is. The momentum just changes so quickly in volleyball. You think you've got the momentum going to the fifth set and then if you get a couple of shanked passes off-server seed and all of a sudden you lose the momentum, so it changes so quickly. Right. And then like you said, just a phenomenal match. Arcadia came out and played really well. I thought they played a little bit better than they did in the regular season match. They did. But again, your team rose to the challenge and was able to, you know, with the home-court advantage and was able to, you know, secure that championship and secure the end save breath. Yeah, I thought our middles played great that night. Chelsea Ireland and Victoria Prokic both hit in the 400s. I thought that was one of the big differences. And we just were hitting in all cylinders and it was just a phenomenal match. The defense on both sides was just incredible. But we had a lot of momentum and a lot, you know, back on October 6th we were 11-11 and then we won 11 straight or 10 straight going into that match. Right. So we were playing with a lot more confidence than we were earlier in the season. Yeah, absolutely. So then obviously you earned an end save breath through the Conference of Championship A straight. Go up to Ithaca, play Hunter. You know, TV face last year, the first rally in the State Tournament. But certainly a lot different match. You know, certainly a fun match to watch. I'm sure from your perspective, probably was a little nerve-wracking, but just a great back-and-forth match, especially at this set. It was kind of like the Arcadia match. It was a revenge match for Hunter. I felt like Hunter came down last year and did not play well at all. And we had a great crowd that night in the NCAA Tournament, you know, when we were hosting. And we went up there as a fifth seed. I was very happy to be a fifth seed. We were very happy to be in. Okay, well, we got past that. Okay, well, now we want to advance. And Hunter, they also came out and played really well at the beginning. And in fact, Greg, in the third set, he took 47 swings and only had four kills. Yeah. It's like, we were not... We were down two to one. And, you know, we kind of said in the huddle that we have to make a play. We have to make them do something because we were getting so tentative in the net. They were blocking everything that we had to make something happen and things just started happening. Tell you the truth, they set a couple things through the net at Mariah who was not having a good game up to that point. Then she caught fire and I think she had five kills in that fifth set. And a lot of times it just takes... You just don't want to poke the bear.  And again, that fifth set just back and forth. I think you had set a match point. I think they had match point.  Well, we had them 14-12. And then they scored three straight. So they were up. They... Let's see, it was 14-12 and then they scored three straight which made it 15-14 and then we ended up scoring three straight. And we got an overpass on the last one. Mariah was able to put it down. It was a great win. And I really felt like, again, both teams played so well and anybody could have won. But I think last year we had two five set matches and this year we had nine. So we were kind of used to going five. Yeah. The next night you played the host Ithaca to end up advancing the final eight.  Yeah, I felt like we had a great game plan going in. We had watched a lot of tape on Ithaca and spent a lot of time the night before. And so I really thought, you know, if we could execute our game plan, it was going to be really close. And when you're up 23-23 in the first set, 21-21 in the second set, we didn't win those. And Ithaca is a very good team. You know, they won the next day, they went to the final eight. But we had them rattled. We had them rattled and unfortunately we didn't make plays at the end. But boy, looking back, now I am thrilled with the season we had. Yeah, you touched on it earlier, but to look at the season, you know, you had some kids in new roles this year. You had kids that may have played as much or played a lot more this year that you said you were 11-11 on a Cobra Six or whatever it was. And to go out, win 12 straight matches to get to the second round of the NCAA tournament to get to back to the same place you were last year, it hasn't been pretty satisfying overall as you look back. Yeah, well when I was looking at that end of the year schedule, there were four teams that had been in the NCAA tournament the year before. So it was not a soft end of season schedule. We did move the lineup around a little bit. Personnel was the same, but we did change the lineup around a little bit and then just started playing with confidence. If you do remember when we started the season, we played number 23 Christopher Newport. We were in the fifth set and we were serving for Match Point and didn't win. Right. And then the next weekend we lost another five-setter to Stockton. And then it took us a while to recover from that where we weren't used to that. So all the credit to the girls, they stuck with it. It could have been a really tough season and it turned out to really be a blessing and a great one for our program. Yeah. All right coach, well obviously congrats on a great season. And once again, thanks for all your time in the season and we'll chat in the spring for Beach. Oh yeah, it's Beach season now. We are finished on Saturday. They are out there on Monday playing Beach. So that just makes a coach feel good. So thanks Craig. Yeah, it doesn't feel like Beach season out there, but it does feel good enough. That's right. All right, for Dave Trumbo, I'm Greg Royce. This has been the Dave Trumbo Show.


Do you have a team that assist you with these calculations? Do you have an advisory board? Or do you seek the help of other professionals, maybe other farmers in the sector? I have a mentor by the name of Christopher Milamo. He's been there, he's been there in the game. He owns a farm, a state farm as well. Good evening everybody. Welcome to the Private Property Farming Podcast. My name is Marlene Walker, your host. Once again every Tuesdays and Thursdays right here on the Private Property Channel. Thank you so much for watching us here on YouTube and feel free to subscribe to our channel and obviously comment with every single guest that we have onto the show. Get to ask some questions and maybe learn a little bit more about the industry. I mean this podcast is here for you at the end of the day to just give you a bit of insight into the agriculture industry. We have access to some farmers who are making great strides in the industry and today's another exciting episode because we have a young farmer on the show. He's been here before and this time round we're just going to touch base with his business and what he's been doing since he was last time on the show and get to understand a lot of challenges that he's been faced with post COVID and as you know we've had very, very heavy rains in the third and fourth quarter of last year and maybe the first quarter as well of this year and just to understand how did he bounce back from any challenges that he might have been affected by climate change and what can we learn from his strategies on the farm. So if you have any questions for our guest today please feel free to comment, ask questions and we'd be happy to respond to you accordingly. So today our guest is Tavo de Tachue. He's the Founder and Executive Chairman of Nasi Dita Farming, Wildlife and Projects. Tavo thank you for coming on to the show once again. How are you doing? Now we are Salton Valley and thank you to all of you for having me here this evening. Fantastic. Just a reminder you are based in the Northwest and you are a livestock farmer, is that correct? Yes, yes, I'm a livestock farmer. Fantastic. So you know a lot of farmers are complained in late November, December and early January this year of the heavy rains. Were you affected by any chance by heavy rains and how did you manage to get your business growing during those times? I remember last year when we had heavy rains we experienced what are you called food to rot in a kettle and had a bit of heart sickness which is caused by your ticks because normally when we experience heavy rainfalls there tend to be a lot of ticks in livestock. So that's one of the challenges that I had. How I encountered it with regards to the food to rot in my small stock, I had to move them from another cow to a much drier cow because when the cows are wet the cows tend to become too wet and that leads to what you call food to rot and you can treat it by any antibiotic. No matter my farm I use reverine, L.A. and I also use termizing and I use both grease what you call the grease which controls ticks in livestock instead of using your water-based dubs because when it rains heavily it just washes off and you lose a lot of money in the operation. Tell me, this is going to be a general question but how do farmers bounce back with these unexpected expenses and more so maybe you could answer that question bringing your strategy as well. Normally when, especially because I'm farming now in 40 kilos from Botswana border it's called the Kalari area so you need to make sure that in terms of your finances you have to keep less of your productive animals because when I moved through the farm the guy was supplying wool with 300 oxen so I tried to use more or less the same strategy that I was using you always told me that you need to prepare for the next drought that is why I always have money on the side just to make sure that I don't fall behind I don't lose a lot of livestock because when I moved through the farm I had to sell my productive animals because I had nothing to sell by then and I had to pay a lot of expenses in terms of the innovations I had to construct cows and everything so you have to have that extra money on the side that money that you just keep an extra bank account savings account that you don't touch so I think that money is saving a lot understood and like you said you've had the food disease you've had to migrate your cattle to another farm so maybe list these few expenses just in case any other farmers are listening and are struggling with this you're fortunate to have another area that you can access for your cattle but what are some of the expenses that one could look at do they have to pay for extra feed increased antibiotics like you mentioned the farm that you moved your cattle to do you have to play rent and how is the rent per hectare the land size or per cattle that is on that land just maybe break down a few costs that a farmer could be experiencing should they be hit with such heavy rains like you had experienced in the previous months when I moved to a farm it's a state farm which is 30 years from the development of co-development and land reform but when I moved there I paid the rent on an annual basis so I'm going to pay once a year and it's quite expensive because I pay about 1% of the farms there and that farm is about 9.4 million so I need to pay 1% of that and increases by 6% every year so when I moved to that farm remember I moved from a smaller farm to a bigger farm so I had to make sure that I get more employees especially when I increased my numbers because at least I could expand my cattle numbers to 200 so I had to get extra employees I paid much more from the smaller farm from that part I moved from Conferred to Ottawa farm which is 2150 it's another department of co-development I think someone is calling him yeah are you getting a call is that why it's stopping just hang on yeah are you able to put your phone on do not disturb oh yeah is that fine now then go back to the 2500 farm paying it off 1% etc the farm in Ottawa manages 2450 hectares it's another 30 years from department of co-development and land reform with an option to buy after 5 years so with this range you pay it on an annual basis it's 1% of the farm to be able so the farm is 9.4 million which means it will be paying 94000 for this year and increases by 6% every year so I need to make sure I have money now actually to pay up the rent yeah how do you come up with calculating all these costs and identifying all these risks do you have a team that assist you with these calculations do you have an advisory board or do you seek the help of other professionals maybe other farmers in the sector I have a mentor he has been in the game he owned a farm and he was lucky enough to purchase another farm under a loan from Apsa so this guy will assist me to always be ready for this annual increase 6% every year and that's where I get most of the advice from and also from Obagi Mbanda he is one of the chair of accountants from Apsa so he is actually the one who is about to assist me now to purchase that farm we actually have to pay it to buy the farm after 5 years but like I said it's a plan that we are trying to set up okay so you are looking at buying this brand new farm and then what's going to happen to your current existing farm you mean the farm in Ottawa or the smaller farm that I had before yes I believe it's the smaller farm that you had before where your cattle were staying at before you migrated them onto a new farm because of the heavy rain falls this year we had the production state and I had a future with one of the players who we were selling with at Habsburg from 5 years I made about 25K so my plan now is to expand my small stock my goats on that small farm that's where I will be doing the goat operation and the sheep operation and that small farm will pay up the rent of Ottawa farm and then what I make from my cattle will now buy Ottawa farm from the 200 cattle that I had what I make from the 200 after we need I will pay all the expenses of the farm and also pay Habsburg yeah and tell me are you planning to diversify your cattle farm acquisition so right now you're a first and foremost cattle farmer but are you looking to diversify into maybe going into field crops like maize, sorghum, sugar beans, lucerne just to also justify the costs of running your cattle business yeah I'm looking at diversifying to Osage farming as being one of the people who was you know because I met a young gent in Brits who was doing Osage so I spoke to him and told him I would like to do a join bench with him because I saw that Osages tend to be quite hardy especially because I'm based in the Kalari area I can't plant you know I cannot plant unless I do under irrigation and you know doing under irrigation also will increase the electricity bills because I'm under a three-faced S-crumble which becomes quite expensive so I pay a lot of money for S-crumble so that is why I tend to I'm looking at investing in Osage because they are quite easy to grow it's not like your private chickens those are like babies they die and everything with Osage because they are quite hardy quite adaptable to any area I will be investing in Osage I think later this year and yeah in terms of my expenses you know I have expenses I pay on the farm obviously will be your feeds, moist fishing in summer and in winter I need to buy my protein leeks I need to buy my phosphate leeks in summer also my employees I need to pay salaries for both my community and my temporary employees especially when you do your what you call animal processing I need to get extra guys to assist on the farm also when I do fencing I need to get extra guys and also I need to pay you know for for vaccines you know your vaccines because I moved to a bigger farm I had to buy in bulk I don't normally buy two boxes of three boxes now I normally buy a big bundle I don't buy in 500 miles now I buy in one liters so that is why this is actually what has been happening on the farm you know trying to to expand the operation you have to buy in bulk and obviously need to be prepared so normally what I do what I do I normally buy my phosphate leeks your summer leeks in winter because they tend to be cheaper by then and my winter leeks are by then in summer because they will be cheaper also yeah so you've adopted a good model you know to mitigate against risks high prices and I like the fact that you know you speak to your bank you've got a mentor as well which I think is some things that people tend to forget when they come into the industry they tend to do a lot of things alone they own farms you know some of them you know don't really interact and participate much in the sector but it's great to have people to leverage again especially from an advisory point of view when it comes to challenges that you experience and also growth because growth also does bring new challenges and I like the fact that you definitely got your head in terms of the right mind space to you know negotiate on prices know when to buy etc you're a young person in the industry and you know there's this whole movement of young people having to adopt technology move at the times etc are you using any forms of technology in your farm and if so what are they what I actually use is you know I check the weather forecast and I take pictures you know this I tend to play around with apps there's apps available on on Google Apps I mean on Google Play where I download these apps just for you know for record keeping purposes you know but also it's interesting in doing microchipping of cattle as well installing CCTV cameras because I was at Nampu this week and I met up with Desperon Fidelity who will be coming to install these CCTV cameras on the farm that's one of the few technologies that I'll be using on the farm and maybe later maybe later I'll be flying through you know just to check up the work as I'm really working on the farm you know just from my phone absolutely that's another opportunity tell me do you experience high livestock theft in your farm especially or in your area for my area there's actually no livestock because I'm surrounded by you know you buy my wife farmers you know they already have these cameras and everything so we also have group chats if we if the suspicion the bark is passing by that are very suspicious you know we approach these people and ask them what is the reason but so far we have never had livestock theft but when I was still at the constable farm my employees were the ones who stole from me so there's actually there's people inside the job it's not really from far to from my livestock yeah and that's unfortunate it's not a nice thing to have people within your organization you know taking away from the business but tell us Table for any livestock farmers that are listening watching this podcast and with your experience what are some of the advices that you could give somebody when starting out livestock farming so maybe list and explain some of the crucial things one could consider looking into when it comes to livestock farming yes what I normally tell people is I always tell people like go big or go home you know I mean it's quite extensive people they think you know farming is it's a playground it's a serious business you know farming will humble you so I always tell people that more especially when you start rather go for quality than quantity because I've seen my fellow black farmers I don't know if it's dangerous or if it's people that are trying to test what is when you buy buy your good size buy a good brand and when you start I mean there's farmers black farmers who farm with over 200 cattle of no quality and there's another farmer farming with your best pedigree animals maybe 50 but he does more than the other farmer so that's where quality comes in and also I don't like telling people to just start small rather take fighters of saving up that money and then starting then starting with first year with little money because when you do that you'll be running a hobby but you can be buying five goats and say you want to start, rather go for 20 at least you'll see the profits but if you start with five animals then it's going to take you very long yeah it's going to take you very long to grow and then with your experience I mean you've mentioned certain things that you've seen with certain farmers who maybe aren't so aggressive or just don't want to grow big or grow home as you put it when they start out farming but in hindsight of that what are some of the things that you've seen in the industry from farmers that farmers have taken for granted especially when it comes to livestock farming maybe those that have come to you for advice that you have mentored where are farmers cutting corners at this stage and maybe list those things so that we know tomorrow when we go into livestock farming we know that is not to be taken for granted and you have to do it right the first time so maybe just what are some of the important aspects of livestock farming that some farmers tend to overlook and maybe not take the advice of an experienced livestock farmer like yourself I mean like I said you have to get a mentor there's one thing for sure you need to do your trading always tell people that farming is like a car you need to get your driver's license before getting on the road so obviously you'll do your learners, you'll do your license and then you can start driving so with farming as well you need to get your qualifications so just general things available at ARC or wherever that's what people take for granted I think farming is just I don't know I don't know how to put it but I've seen a lot of people now and they're quite strident it's those people that they have approached me and they felt that I don't need this guy I don't need a mentorship, this guy is maybe criticizing me or whatever but you know these concerted criticism I need to tell people if you're playing always tell people that you need to wake up when you're sleeping you wake up at 4 you wake up at 4 that 4 o'clock then you start your job much earlier than if you start at 8 o'clock then we can be at 8 o'clock I think trading and getting the right mentors will take you far absolutely thank you so much Tavo for your time we really appreciate your advice especially around livestock farming and I wish you all the best with the acquisition of your new farm let us know how it goes as well and hopefully we can have you on the podcast maybe in 12 months from now and you can explain to us how have you experienced life on the farm especially on the new farm are you growing, how many cattle have you grown with by then don't be a stranger on the podcast for being a friend of the podcast and just coming back and also just giving us some words of wisdom and how we can also mitigate against certain risks that we experience in the farming sector thank you Tavo thank you very much it's a pleasure that was Tavo from Nasi Dita farming wildlife and projects he's faced all the way in the northwest and he was able to give us some gems around how he was able to keep his business afloat keep his livestock firstly safe and alive and protected against a disease that was you know affecting his operations purely because of heavy rainfalls and this is climate change at the end of the day farmers are severely exposed to climate change and if you're a farmer and are entrepreneur in this space you really have to be on top of on top of things from an operational perspective seek advice from very experienced professionals to help you grow your business to help you mitigate against the risks and challenges that pose a threat to your business this is climate change at its best you can never be comfortable in a farm you always have to have resources firstly available to ensure that you are able to purchase new things that require you to grow and protect your business more so work with other farmers in the Narendra area if you need to move your livestock from one camp to another camp do so all at the end for saving your business I mean there are people that rely on your business to stay afloat because you employ them at the end of the day and these are some of the the ways in which Thabo has kept his business afloat in the past couple of months and congratulations to him for looking to go into buying a new farm and I hope he does succeed in that because we need young farmers to grow at the end of the day so thank you so much for watching at home keep those comments and questions coming through subscribe to our YouTube channel Private Property and then you can follow the farming podcast playlist and constantly like like like because the more engagement we get is the more feedback we get from the more engagement we get from you is the more feedback that we start to pick up and see you know what type of content you like to hear from the farming podcast so yeah thank you so much for watching and supporting the farming podcast and we'll see you next time on a new episode interviewing another farmer or maybe industry professional take care


A powerful winds have whipped up big waves along the shores of Lake Superior, flooding a business district and causing power outages. The National Weather Service says a Canadian freighter measured a wind gust of 86 miles per hour near Castle Danger north of Duluth Wednesday afternoon. Hurricane force wind begins at 74 miles per hour. The gale force winds are creating waves as high as 14 to 18 feet. The Canal Park Business District in Duluth near the lake was flooded. The high wind knocked out service for about 4,700 Minnesota power customers in the Duluth area Wednesday morning. A lake shore flooding warning was in effect until 4pm today for Duluth and Superior as well as Ashland in Wisconsin. If you enjoyed this segment of Lakeland News, please consider making a tax-deductible contribution to Lakeland PBS.


Item number SCP-308 Object Class Safe Special Containment Procedures SCP-308 is stored in a sterile containment module with restricted access. Personnel entering the room must observe level 1 isolation protocol and will be remotely observed by security personnel for the duration of their visit. No organic material may be placed in SCP-308 without level 4 authorization. SCP-308 will remain open unless involved in active experimentation. Description SCP-308 is an ornate funerary casing of Aztec origin, dated roughly 500 years old, with dimensions 1.8 meters by 0.9 meters by 1.2 meters. It was found at the Archaeological Excavation, among similar, though mundane, artifacts in a temple complex. SCP-308 is covered in Nahuatl pictographs, consistent with ceremonial practices of its time, though unusual in the care and expense devoted to them. Under normal conditions, the artifact is inert, but it exerts an animating effect on organisms when they are placed inside it. The effect was first observed in the original inhabitant of the coffin, data expunged. The poor condition of the individual has been attributed to its 500 year incarceration in the casing, without nourishment or stimulation. Healthy, injured, or even deceased subjects are transformed by the artifact. Regardless of the condition of an organism prior to placement in the coffin, with one exception, the creature will exhibit certain traits upon removal. Superficially, subjects remain unchanged, retaining injuries and conditions sustained prior to exposure. Despite the nature and seriousness of such trauma, however, subjects appear alive and responsive to the extent the injuries allow. For example, a subject exposed to a fatal dose of cyanide, in excess of 100 times the fatal dosage, conversed normally, respired, and displayed vital signs such as heartbeat and brain activity. The subject also presented classical symptoms of acute poisoning, including shortness of breath, drowsiness, headache, and cyanotic skin, but did not succumb even after a period of many days. Another subject was pierced in several major arteries and exsanguinated before exposure to SCP-308. A subsequent examination revealed a heartbeat, but no discernible blood pressure, and the subject was conversant, though conscious of great pain in the injured areas. Subjects in this altered state will neither succumb to any injury, again, one exception, no matter how severe, nor heal any wound, no matter how minor. In addition, they display a dependence on the artifact similar to addiction, insisting on regular exposure and becoming erratic and violent when this is withheld. Subjects experience pain normally, and many who have suffered extensive damage will rapidly deteriorate psychologically. Progressive conditions, such as cancer and infections, continue to advance in subjects exposed to SCP-308, though instead of dying, they suffer from ever-escalating symptoms. The only thing that a subject requires to be affected by SCP-308 is the presence of a heart. Subjects with a wounded or diseased heart are animated, as are portions of organisms or tissues connected to a heart. Individuals with their hearts removed, or body portions without a heart, are unaffected by exposure to the artifact. Even an isolated heart, placed in the container, will resume beating at a normal rhythm. Subjects exposed to SCP-308 remain alive and essentially unkillable, until their heart is destroyed, whereupon they succumb and decay normally. Because of the nature of SCP-308 and the apparent psychological effects it exerts on subjects, all exposed individuals must be isolated, and terminated, at the conclusion of testing. Overuse of SCP-308 to debrief deceased personnel permitted by Level 4 authorization only. Experimental log, 308A, excerpts, subject, Canis lupus familiaris, condition, healthy, summary of results, subject apparently normal, showed typical pain reaction, but survived repeated laceration, evisceration, exsanguination, burns over 90% of body surface, multiple gunshots, electrocution, and lobotomy. Subject terminated by blunt impact trauma destroying the heart. Subject D-4395, condition, stage 4 small lung cell carcinoma, summary of results, Subject continued to worsen post-exposure. Regular breathing ceased three days after exposure, due to extensive tumor growth, but subject retained consciousness. Tumor infiltrated renal system, leading to external growths approximately 13 cm in diameter in the area by 14 days. Secondary tumors occlude vision, and infiltrate the brain by 19 days. Around the final ceasing of biological function at 52 days, metastatic tumors were evident over 70% of the body's surface area, and had infiltrated every organ system, including the heart, which was the cause of subject's death. Subject D-34892, condition, head and heart surgically removed from the rest of the body, keeping attached vasculature intact. Summary of results, subject revived and apparently conscious, though apparently in too much pain to communicate meaningfully. Applied painkillers had no visible effect. Research ongoing, subject, agent, condition, terminated in the line of duty, recovering SCP, summary of results, animated for debriefing, subject requested and was granted two weeks to prepare a post-action report before termination. After nine days, subject's nightly request for access to SCP-308 was denied. The following morning, subject escaped containment by murdering a technician, and proceeded to SCP-308's containment area, where she was terminated by guards on station with a bullet to the heart. Subject D-34877, condition, expired from myocardial infarction. Summary of results, subject was recovered from the artifact, inert, with massive trauma to the chest, through which the heart had been expelled or ripped. The heart was beating regularly, but the subject's body showed no signs of life. Subject's medical background indicated that he had received a heart transplant three years prior. Lesson complete. If you missed the previous orientation, go watch SCP-307, Carnivorous Ivy, right now. Or for the complete course, watch this playlist.


This is stock number 205CA. We are here at Summit Automotive in Fond du Lac, Wisconsin, your new and used car headquarters. Today we are checking out this super clean 2012 Buick La Crosse convenience hybrid. This vehicle has the 2.4 liter four cylinder motor which pumps out 182 horsepower and has a 15 horsepower electric hybrid assist motor. Mocha Steel Metallic is the color we shoot all of our videos in 1080p, 60 frames per second so if you have HD capabilities on your computer, tablet, or smartphone device turn them on right now because it is like you are right here looking at the vehicle with me and definitely your best way to evaluate the quality and condition of the vehicle before actually seeing it in person so you can make a smart buying decision from the comfort of your own home. If you want to check out more photos in the upper right hand part of the screen is a link right to our website, click that. Has Michelin Energy tires on here and they have about half the tread left on them, factory painted alloy rims and these are 23560R17 tires. Headlight lenses are extremely nice and clean and clear, chrome trimmed grille. I didn't see any dents, I didn't see any dings on the hood. Really nice and clean. Passengers side front fenders in excellent shape and the rest of that front bumper is in really nice condition. Passengers side rim, no scuffs or scrapes on that and as you go down this side of the vehicle you can see just how clean the body is, how reflective and mirror like that paint is. We take these HD videos so if you are far away or even if you are close buying just cannot make the trip down you can still see the car, hear the car and have confidence in the vehicle that you are looking at before you even get here. You can even go to our website in the upper right hand part of your screen, the summit fast pass option where you can apply for financing, get a payment quote and even appraise a trade if you have one, all right on our website so that when you get here you are all set to go or you can even get the vehicle shipped to you. Four wheel disc brakes, back rim is an absolutely perfect condition and those back tires have just as much tread as the front tires, maybe even just a little bit more. Looks like it has the LED tail lamps, the rear bumper is in really nice shape, I didn't see any dents, stings or cracks on that. The deck lid is in great shape, it does have a spoiler, it has a little clicker on the trunk so you can get to the trunk without having to go inside the vehicle or with the key fob and it does have the tire inflator kit back here as well. That is where your battery, I'm guessing your hybrid battery is, trunk shuts nice and solidly and down this side of the car just as clean as that passenger side. For full disclosure this back rim is in nice shape as well. Whole car for being a 2012 is just really, really well taken care of and that's what we try to convey in the videos just how clean these vehicles are because we do take pride in our reconditioning process to making these vehicles nice and their overall condition from how we get them in, which is pretty much how this one came in, it's just like this. The convenience package gives you the power driver seat with lumbar, factory floor mats, auto headlamps, power windows, power locks and power mirrors and as we hop inside the vehicle here you can see that this one has 26,434 miles, you get a digital spinometer and the instrument cluster is very nice and clean. Leather wrap steering wheel, Bluetooth and audio controls on the right, cruise controls on the left, no scuffs or scrapes on that steering wheel, you get an AM, FM and CD player as well as serious XM radio capabilities, all your climate control and radio controls are right there, you get the nice wood grain trim, everything is super clean in this car, the dash is in excellent shape, this vehicle has never been smoked in, passenger side seat and floor mat are in great shape as well and the headliner honestly looks like new. Got your home link buttons for your garage door security systems and lighting systems and you do get map lights up there, on-star capabilities in that rear view mirror. We'll take a quick look at the back seats and then we will check out under the hood. Back seats are just as clean as the front seats, no rips or tears back here, it does have the latch child safety system for all your child car seats, factory floor mats back here rear air vents and these seats do fold down for extra storage, kind of a pass through if you need it, they shut nice and tight and we'll take a quick look under the hood. I would personally like to thank you for checking out the video today and hopefully from this HD video you will have been able to tell just how clean this car is all the way around inside and out so that you can make a smart buying decision under the hood, we have the 2.4 liter 4 cylinder motor with the hybrid assist, 182 horsepower, engine maze very clean runs very smooth, this car has been fully safe and inspected by our service shop has a fresh oil and filter change all the fluids have been checked and topped off, the vehicle has been gone through mechanically 100% and is 100% ready to go. To see more pictures of this car, one of our other 450 new and used cars, trucks, SUVs, minivans, wranglers, halftons, recorder tons, one tons, you name it we got it go to our website www.summitauto.com full pictures and descriptions of every single vehicle from two locations all at www.summitauto.com and if you'd like to check out more HD videos you can go to www.youtube.com slash www.summitauto.com remember to like subscribe and share on this video and all the videos that you see there in fact in a second you will see a link to subscribe to our YouTube channel and your lefty links more used inventory videos like this one on your right if you have not been to our website on the bottom link to this vehicle on our website click those check us out and we really look forward to help you with this super clean 2012 Buick La Crosse convenience hybrid thanks again