Hi everyone, Joe for Jaspy's casewrakes.com coming at you with 2020 Panini Select Football 3 box pick your team number 13 From a fresh case as well big. Thanks to everyone here for making this happen on the knife There you go slide these over Right here Slide those there and let's make stacks of three Here's a stack of three a stack of three Stack of three Right here, so we'll roll the die And we'll go one two three and four We'll go with that one If I roll a five or six, I'll just roll again Three one two three, so we're gonna do that stack right here this stack We will save for next time Maybe later tonight So we'll put X's there just so We know that they're from the same case in fact, I'll leave them on the back table here We might be able to run you'll run that back another couple times like I said the next one I think still has a Little under half the league left, so good chance that your team may still be there if you're team 14 I think the link is in the chat. Yeah, I did drop the link in the chat so go check that out grab your teams and Let's keep chasing all carship, of course with all the different layers and Levels that they have here in select football. We got a silver Denzel Mims concourse level and Our first XRC card QB4 who do you think who's gonna be QB4? So we'll randomize this to one person in the break if there's another one The name on top will get this first one and the second name will get the next one So on and so forth if you happen to have any more All right Here's a quiche on Vaughan a field level that the field level are the shorter printed ones for the Super Bowl champs Kevin with the Bucks and Patrick with the Jets gets the Denzel Mims Silver concourse and there's a base Justin Herber Nice That'll be for Matthew and the Chargers It's TJ Watt red to 149 Brian Edwards Patrick Mahomes right there and Nick Bosa To 75 field level Oh, you know what I feel like I apologize to the person who asked this question earlier Someone was asking if they thought Henry rugs would take it to the next level this season I sure hope so and him and Brian Edwards It's concourse silver who's got my raiders Kevin does You know, I would I would definitely like to see them take it to the next I think first years for wide receivers are always a little can always be a little rough I think once they're adjusted to the speed of the league All the complexities of a NFL offense and running routes and do all that sort of stuff Yeah, I do expect big things in their second year. Here's a Van Jefferson to 35 for the Rams Kevin with the Rams There's Clyde Edwards Elair field level Also for Kevin in the Chiefs. He won those spots there And that filler break There's Devin DuVernay field level silver nice and this is a nice tie-dye coming up here Devin DuVernay will go to the Ravens that'll be for Aaron and we got a tie-dye field level Jordan Love 10 out of 25 nice And that'll be Kevin who won the Packers There you go. That's pretty sharp You got Jalen Johnson silver. This is premier level and we got a JK Dobbins Relic a just kidding Dobbins for Aaron and the Purple Berks Remember because the top were shortage. We've been having to use larger top loaders So we're putting blue painters tape on there But so they don't rattle around but just be careful if you're removing the tape or whatnot Aaron Rogers silver Nice Brady Juju Smith Schuster to 199 Steelers Kevin Bucking ears also for Kevin Kevin with the Packers nice Daniel Jones will he has a good season this year Tommy Stevens green To 49 for the Saints. That'll be for Karen and Nollins Denzel mim 16 out of 25 tie-dye Jersey and autograph nice one for Patrick Davis and the Jets They go he'll have a new a new quarterback throw into him. Let's see how that goes Deandre swift JK Dobbins couple more silver cards there Joe Burrow base and look at that nice Patrick Mahomes Silver for the Chiefs Kevin with Kansas City Nice, that's a cool cool shot of him right there And the Joe Burrow is gonna go to Shawn and the bangles picked up the bangles straight up That's club level right there the other gross motto silver for the Panthers I Coppola Deandre swift lions Kevin and the JK Dobbins silver for Aaron Box two I appreciate you getting in Kevin Appreciate it that Patrick Mahomes might Might go surprisingly well in the secondary marker. Let's see what we got in the second box We got Tyler Johnson Super Bowl champ to 99 Silver the Michael P Ryan for the Jets That'll be for Patrick Kevin with the Bucks Got another van Jefferson. Yeah piece of his jersey this time So that'll be for another ram for Kevin Jerry Rice field double silver silver and black edition of Jerry Rice nice Raiders Kevin and Larry Fitzgerald Brian Edwards Rodgers we got a blue the Michael P Ryan to 175 Silver Anthony McFarland nice Jalen Hertz right here to Drew Brees just drew Drew Brees have a Broadcasting contract already Jalen Hertz for the Eagles also for Kevin Saints. That's gonna be for Karen and See BS NBC out of 199 There's Jeff Ocuda Jersey and autograph for the Lions Kevin won the Lions and that that filler Hopefully he'll do well You got a new quarterback as well as Miles Garrett chase Claypool silver for the Steelers Club level on this one Jonathan Taylor premiere level silver Behind Cam Acres is oh another XRC. This is defensive player the third defensive player taken in the draft So that'll go to spot number two in that randomizer at the end. There's another silver Deandre swift Denzel Mims to 75 Patrick got CJ Hamm silver rookie silver For Aaron got a nice Jeff Ocuda here and an AJ Dylan to 75 Autograph for Kevin and the Packers It's a nice White prism Jeff Ocuda as well that's number to 35 Is Iac Troy Aikman and Ed Reed. All right third and final box. Thanks everyone for making this happen We got more select in the store. So check it out Pick up your team straight up before they end up in some sort of filler They do it end up in a pillar grab a couple spots and that you might stumble into a team For a fraction of the price final box here and pick your team 13 good luck That AJ Dylan silver and behind another XRC card Wow This one's an autograph So that'll be to the third person down on the list We're just going in order This is the first so these other two are just just special cards for those players that get drafted This is XRC auto number five, whichever that's gonna be I don't know if that's tied to a pick or not But I'm sure Panini will keep us posted on that. That's pretty awesome. So I'll be the third name down right here. There you go Good luck, everybody. Everyone in this break has a chance There's Lawrence Taylor to 149 Joe Burrow nice and Steve Atwater to 75 Jersey and autograph for the Broncos Brennan with my rivals Denver That Joe Burrow is pretty nice to Sean in the Bengals that Joe Burrow should be to 199 12 out of 199 nice one Sean I Like the design like the way the colors look here pops Yeah, I don't know if it's the fifth player. Maybe it is the fifth player an autograph of the fifth player drafted Forgot how they did it last year Christian There's LT for Kurt and the Giants. There's a nice Jalen Hertz Right here. I think that's field level Jalen Hertz. Yeah, it's the shorter print one of all the different levels Kevin and the Eagles There's Brandon Iac also for Kevin Premier level silver Joe Namath Jared Allen Patrick Mahomes Nice 82 out of 99 some nice Mahomes cards in here to Kevin Jake from State Farm Kevin in the Bills Cole Comet piece of his jersey going to Cesar and the Bears 49 out of 60 on that one for the Bears. Here's a nice field level Michael Pittman, Jr. Silver It's very nice for the Colts Matthew Colts one that spot We've got an Austin Jackson for the Dolphins Nice silver for John and a redemption any guesses on that redemption for bragging rights There's a red Sam Darnold a silver Dak Prescott a nice tie-dye Lawrence Taylor for Kurt Love the way the tie-dye looks nine out of 25 on that one Still Jets edition of Sam Darnold going to Patrick to 149 Dak Prescott for Jesse the redemption Chase young rookie silver cam acres rookie silver club level on that one Kevin That's been both of these are for Kevin. There you go. There's chase young. I think phenoms or something like that It's the insert set No guesses on the redemption. All right. Let's just see what it is then It's Levisco Chanel, Jr. I feel like we've seen a couple of these that that's a sign your cards Levisco we rookie jumbo signatures swatches prism There you go Ryan Lynn with the Jaguars Actually, I feel like a lot of people think he's supposed to be really good maybe with with Trevor Lawrence probably throwing to him It'd be interesting Could be one to keep one to save see what happens. All right, let's see what happens here So we're going to randomize everyone's names name on top gets the first XRC that we pulled QB4 the second name down will get defensive player 3 and then the third name down gets the XRC auto 5 Weren't too many Jaguars Ryan At least we got that right at the buzzer. Exactly. All right, so let's flip back to this list right here Let's grab everyone from John down to Kevin and everybody in between. There's some new dice. There's a new list You still got a shot at all of these two Ryan. Let's roll it. Let's randomize that list Six and a five will be top three after eleven. Good luck one Two and eleven the final time after eleven first off big. Thank you to everybody for getting into this I appreciate it Let's see who's gonna get some bonuses here So it's gonna be the top three. So my apologies to to Kapola Grisle will get him next time The third name gets that auto. It's gonna be Matthew Shearer. Congrats Second name gets defensive player number three non-auto, but still an exclusive card Kevin With that one in QB4 whoever QB4 is gonna be is gonna go to Sean Maddock. There you go Congrats to you three right there. Thank you very much for getting into the action I'm Joe for jaspyscasebreaks.com. I'll see you next time for the next three bucks pick your team of select football


Yeah, thank you very much. Nice to be here. It's my second zero Python last year was just as a visitor and now this year I thought like let's tell something about the work we do at the Netherlands forensic Institute So the summary of my talk is basically this I'm going to tell you about how we at the Netherlands forensic Institute used open source Python software That's why we're here to help prevent murders in a major criminal case by training and deep learning model Language model I should say using active learning This is basically the structure of my talk. So let's just start at the top What is the Netherlands forensic Institute? Well, you might have guessed it's in the Netherlands Actually, it's in the Hague to be specific This is the building and if you were to go in to the entrance you would see people like this So the NFI the Netherlands forensic Institute is basically the crime scene investigation the CSI of the Netherlands So if you go in you would see people analyzing DNA samples Analyzing drugs bullets pistols you name it and Actually, I I'm from the digital department. So we have a big digital forensic department where we deal with hardware and software as well And a very important detail, which is different in different countries is that in the Netherlands the NFI is not part of the police So I'm not a police officer. I'm just Simple government employee and I work for the Ministry of Justice And we have the forensic Institute that is responsible for analyzing traces evaluating evidence on the request of police or public prosecutors or even lawyers at the defense in criminal cases and What we do is we use our expertise our subject matter expertise to help that and also to develop new techniques to help Ensure justice in the Netherlands So one of these new techniques you might be familiar with these buzzword data science Well, I'm a data scientist and I work in the NFI.  We investigate. We use the newest methods in machine learning and in data science Yeah For the betterment of the Netherlands So that's who I am. That's who we are So let's talk a bit about open source At the NFI and we love open source. I put some of the Of the packages we use our favorites and you can see it's basically mostly the data science stack and some specialized Things so we're very very happy with that and it works great And there's a little bit of a problem because when people like me say that like we love open source What we basically mean is we love using open source Like it's a really nice libraries. And yes, sometimes we want to do a bug and we We submit a bug report or if you're very lucky a patch But we can do better I think we're trying to do better. Maybe you've seen these stickers around. This is a campaign like an advertisement campaign Not by the government by by an organization That says like if you use public money to build something you should Publicize the code or the code. Well, I work at the government. It's not that easy Just anything you write you can open source, but we can try better, right? So and you know if I we not too long ago we made a GitHub page right now. We have 23 followers, so I hope at the end of this talk Maybe we have some more The link is here. I'll put the link up at the end of the talk as well And just to show you a few of the things we've put there If you happen to own a Tesla a Tesla is basically a computer on wheels. It has cameras. It has logs And we have a package called Tesla logs that does what you think it does it parses and analyzes logs and puts it together with With the video streams, so yeah, anyone here has a Tesla We okay, so acquire a Tesla and then you That's what we do Like sometimes we have a government expense like we need a Tesla for this case Okay, I need to go faster and then this and We also put some data here So these are some experiments that have been done by iPhones and to analyze the data that comes out of the health app And basically experiments like walking running sitting what what kind of that and data that the iPhone generator And what can you do with it? It's open source data. If you have a nice project you can use this And he's a statistician in the room No, okay. Well, this is very nice. This is a likelihood ratio library if you're into Bayesian statistics evaluation of evidence and Calculating and Calibrating models. We have a library for that. It's called like your ratio library and finally a colleague of mine. He made Confidence has nothing to do with forensics. This is a library that makes it very easy to load configuration From the almost from the environment and use it in a in a nice and structured way in in your Python programs Okay, back on topic because you came here for the murders, right? Yeah, I hope you can Appreciate that I cannot tell you everything about to the major criminal case But I can tell you the highlights. So it is about encroach at has anyone here ever heard of encroach at look Okay, quite a few people other people who don't know it is something that's called a crypto phone It's what there are many types of crypto phones and go chat is one of them. It is actually a phone and an applications According to Europol it is widely used by organized crime groups and I do mean like the serious organized crime groups that like deal in drugs and in murders It was operational from somewhere in 2016 to 2020 So most of what I'm going to tell you is at the end of their operational life in 2020 and what they sold were modified Android and blackberry devices you can buy them from anchor chat the company And you can only communicate between those anchor chat devices. They are like specialized devices to communicate in a secure and private way Which by itself is not illegal The price is a thousand euros for the phone and 1500 euros per six months of subscription like you're paying a lot for your privacy And you can imagine in broad strokes like these phones showed up around heavy crime like Suspects of murders assassination stuff like that. So In a lot of places a lot in the Netherlands but also in Spain and Germany and the UK and Very complicated long story short the court ordered that That the police could try to intercept the messages from this specific surface for a limited time because it was used so much for for criminal purposes And actually these people they sent a lot of messages that tens of millions of messages and for a period of time the police was able to Have a life tap of that like get in real time the The messages that were sent and this is where where we come in this is where the data science comes in because The court gives this rather broad permission and expect something in return like you are able to read these messages as the police Some of them will discuss Preparations of heavy crime maybe that could hurt people That's like oh yeah, if you have that you have to make sure that you can act on that to protect people's life is if possible So then they came with this question to us like which of these millions of messages discuss Yeah, we call them in Dutch Liquidation so I'm not talking about murders like crimes of passion like I'm talking premeditated people of one gang assassinating another gang these murders And the problem is and it's a bit weird to say it this way But these are very rare these messages that discuss these liquidations. That's a good thing But we need to find them and and we would like to know fast It's no use if we know that the murder is being prepared tomorrow and we know it a week from now But that doesn't help anyone So us being the data science team that came to us like can you help with this? So let's go to the data science part We have a Low base rate right like the base rate in your messages is like like the messages that talk about the preparations of murders Is very low and that's taking assumption like one in ten thousand No, I try to put on a slide like like what is that so this is Ten thousand times the word no well actually not there was one yes, but it's Why yes, so it doesn't break the pattern So I think you have to be in the front row to be able to spot it Can anyone spot it? No, I didn't think so. It it's here. You have to trust me Yes, so ten thousand this is a lot and now you just have knows But you have to imagine each of these knows is is a message talking about something in context If you have to read it you have to read it try to understand maybe the context Evaluate it and yeah, it takes a long long time to get to the Yes, and this is simply not feasible to do by hand the police is Really not afraid to put a lot of manpower on things, but this is just too much So I'm going to show you some examples and of course they have to be fictionalized They cannot show you the real examples so and they have to be in English because doing this talk in English and of course these messages were mostly in in Dutch what we're talking about and So there might be something lost in a double translation and But some examples I'm going to read the first one like bro. He went to visit him and gave that order He's going to lure him and then they will shoot him and there is nothing cryptic about this, right? This is like stating the obvious This is not unrealistic because you remember these people they were Communicating under the assumption that they were completely safe So they were talking completely in the open offer about criminal things and other examples like he has to disappear I'm done with him with with disappear your misspelled No worries dude. He's going to put that nephew to sleep. This is something that is lost in translation the nephew here, but Going to put someone to sleep basically means to kill them and Stuff you don't come up with like will torpedo the mascot These are the types of messages that you get in the task of the humans and of the mission of the data science analysis we're going to do is to Create some model that is going to make the distinction between the two like are they talking about plant murders or not? But the contact length was in this service was typically with between chat messages and email They were using PGP under the hood So it was kind of like an email service with people send short messages. So it's not your typical chat message Extensive use of slang Something we call a street language with slang criminal slang certain subcultures It's it's not your typical Wikipedia text to put it mildly which all our models are trained on and That's not spelling and grammar mistakes And one strategy what you could do like like a baseline level is like, okay Let's create a list of words that occur in these messages and just execute a search query And then you will get some of the results And the problems are quite obvious, but you will get too many false positives so sleep will occur in like Context that has nothing to do with it with murder And false negatives like I would not have thought to put the word torpedo on a list of Keywords, so that's why we are Going into the deep learning model We want to use of something that has a little bit more understanding of language that can Understand the nuances in something. So let's go forensic data science Basically, you can translate this to quite a simple data science task, right? This is a binary classification. You have a text and you want to classify yes or no this talks about a Tread to life is what we call the general category You can give it a score and what you need is a suitable language model and labeled examples to train on Well, there was 2020. So what language model did you think we used? correct It was Diffing to use and still is for many use cases. So for people who don't know bird It's a language model trained by Google that you can fine-tune to do certain tasks It comes pre-trained on language something that you could call language understanding and you can use that in your fine-tuning So for example, you would know that torpedo has something to do with like Destroying like it's a negative thing even though you've never taught it that in the context of this task So it looks like this if you create a fine-tuned bird You can put a message in there. I'm going to kill him and it's going to give you a score I don't know if everyone can read it, but it's an 98% threat to life and 2% not try to life This is this is the idea simple binary classification And you need a model to start with well You can just get from one from hooking phase models. You can get the bird space multi-lingual case Actually forgot how many languages this can do but Dutch is one of them. So that's nice to use Or you can go more specific specifically for Dutch There is a a model called bet you the bet based Dutch case that is a model specifically trained by University of Groningen to to know to be trained on on Dutch texts So the model is quite easy and if you want to you can even fine-tune this model unsupervised on your your type of data to make Get it even more understanding And so now we just need labels right we need labels So we need to find some of the messages that contain discuss the preparation of murders, which are pretty rare Which was exactly the question I started with like we need labels We need this wall of texture. We need to find the yeses And the only thing is we need you don't need to have to analyze any everything You just need to get like a sample enough to train the model, but still they're very rare So that brings me to what we did active learning loop So what is active learning? It is a loop And what you do is you start with some small labeled set You train your model your your bed model in this case to be able to predict Whether or not message discusses the threat of life or not and based on that first Sample is going to learn something, but it's going to be not very good better than random So what you do is you take the output of the mod the model you you run You train a model for a bit you run it over your whole data set They give scores to everything and you can take those scores and use this as a prioritization For labeling have humans look at the output of your model and see like this was wrong. This was correct It was wrong and generate more data So you need a start So you can start with just a keyword list Like take some of the words sleep Like I said you you can get some of the of the true labels you you want to look for and And you add it by random and if you want to bootstrap you can just assume with a low base, right? If you take something random, it's going to be a negative example You might get unlucky once but on average is good enough to start with and then you have this set you train your model You have it output and you have humans look at it and Label it. Yes. No, correct There's a problem with this strategy And that is it's very easy to train yourself into a circle of only what the model knows it will predict Give a high score give to the laborers label it will say yes And now you need you need a strategy in active learning to combat that And that's basically a strategy a sampling strategy and you can do very complex sampling strategies But it comes to do simple ones So for the next loop you can sample from your data set based on the scores, so let's highlight this one. It's like Prediction so the model thoughts that This message is a threat to life between 0.4 and 0.6. It's like I don't know is basically the translation So the model is not able to infer anything from these messages So there will be a nice message to label like tell her the truth like no This is actually discussing that to life or this is not discussing that to life Now you can do that with lower predictions higher predictions But what I think is most important in these kinds of context is You keep adding a subset of random sampling from your data set And that gives you a sample from your data set if you If your model like trains itself into a corner it it can get from from that samples It can get examples of the things is doing or wrong or wrong or right So let's look at some examples of what you have to label again a fictionalized and translated and So I have three examples here a bro. You're totally right. We will get him Is this a threat to life? Session not easy right like it could be Talking about football like that they're going to have a football match You have to imagine like people are chatting a lot on this service And even though it's only ankle chat phones talking to other ankle chat phones Yeah, there are some of these communities are actually communities and talking about other things than planning murders So this one it's hard to say which you maybe from context you can you can get it guts my AK I Mean yeah, is he going to use it tomorrow on someone or not that that's the question like this is hard This is a hard problem. And yes, his wife is going to die That could be a direct threat or someone could be sick and just it's can it can be a factual statement So many many more of these examples that make it hard Labeling is harder than you think is my message and no one ever talks about this as my experience in data science Like now you just acquire some labels and then we're going to talk about the model and find you the model and what kind of like Do you need dropout or not or the labels are very important. You need to think about that Luckily, we had some help. We had the police domain experts that were available for labeling So these people police experts also know more of the slang They know the context and they can give a much better impression of what we're talking about then me as a forensic data scientists can So this is some of the results like you so you train this model in a loop and What I highlighted here are some messages that have sleep in the In the in the content. I did modify them a bit, but you get the gist of it So you can see that like there are sentences like did they sleep over Baru and Yiza? I'm assuming this these are names Baru is the news because I really want to go to sleep like these have the keyword sleep that is used in try to live But they get a low score Presumably the mother model learn the context of this And then there are some other ones like brothers Tilo. I guess that's a person again has put Baldi I guess it's a bald person to sleep and a lot of exclamation marks So this is actually it's like someone got murdered yesterday and like they are communicating about that like Someone got murdered he has to sleep first thing They're going to hunt and we have to sleep first thing they're going to hunt tomorrow This is also talking about preparation But then the other one that's maybe the smallest one But it says go to his house fast and get that phone you keep that because people who are only sleeping are no use to me So that is actually not a threat to life. It's just yeah You know used to me, but yeah a model is never perfect and this gets a somewhat higher score. That's not perfect So it's not like 0.9, but it is Yeah, it is a model is never perfect. So what you do you've we've trained this model we apply it to All the messages you apply it live to the messages that stream in And then you give it Basically to the police and you say like okay, you can sort these messages by these scores Maybe you have some other filters if you want to and like if you're going to read like these messages investigate Maybe start here because these maybe will save someone's life Precautions about active learning Like I already said I said most of this but I keep always random sampling like any Any system that is like self learning in production always make sure there's some kind of random labeling going on that you can See it's Sees results in practice always validate your models. I guess everyone does that always This is not trivial for like lawyers like that you keep like a data set outside and you validate on that Important and like I said high scoring messages are read by humans Make sure you get feedback on mixed signals if Investigations lead to messages that were not not giving high scores by your model Make sure the feedbacks comes to you and very important like only humans decide on taking action Like you would not want like this model to give like a high priority to someone's message and like to arrest that person That's not something you do not want and do not ever want to make So the results of what happened in this case I'm going to go quickly because I'm running out of time. I want to have time for questions This was a press release by the police a couple of months after the The operation now like hundreds of suspects arrested million. There was 8,000 kilos of cocaine Seized dozens of firearm there were 19 synthetic drug labs dismantled. They were like hiding in the Netherlands and specifically on this topic and They said in the Netherlands alone more than 3000 signals that appear to be life-threatening have been processed in recent months They always intervening in a timely manner. The police have prevented dozens of violent serious violent crime Including imminent kidnappings extortion assassinations and torture And this is no joke.  So it's very nice that they were able to prevent the use of that Well, if you ask Europol two years later They give you like numbers like over six thousands arrests like like this case in general right the anchor chase in general Six thousands arrests. Yes. Almost a billion Euros in funds. Well, you can look on Europol websites to see the numbers Personal feedback that we got from the police is that without the model It would have been overwhelmed by the number of false positives and besides that the model recognizes extra threat to life Signals so that is false negatives that We were able to get that could not have been detected if we only want to use a word list. So they were quite Pleased and that is how we get another forensic Institute. You know the rest by now Thank you Thank you, Edwin. It was a great talk. We'll have a Lot of time for questions.  Ah, that's a good question. So I don't have this I do have to slide with I'll show you the slide of the advertisement of because there are a lot of Buzzwords here this one right? Yeah, that's a yes. It has RSA. It has PGP. Yeah, so Actually, I'm not part of the team who broke it like it's the police But what you have to consider is these are Services that builds some kind of the custom infrastructure to sell you a private service and they claim to use all of these things And do they have weaknesses? I don't know like the official story Like like in the media they said in the press release like the police hacked This service So there was somewhere a weak link and there was there were servers involved That's all I know basically so the keys were stored on the surface Honestly don't know but you can expect mistakes were made Hi, the talk was very interesting. Thank you. I have two questions So does the police use models to track other platforms and if anchor chat doesn't work anymore What is the new anchor chat for a crime organization? Okay, two questions in one does the police we basically this slide is I'm not the police. I honestly don't know You should have the police What was the second question? What is the I mean a crime organization still communicate in some ways, right? So what is the new anchor chat? How do you find out? I'm not really into that world So I don't know what all right. Thank you like what I know is this goes in fashion And every few years there is a new service But I only hear about it when they get like cracked by the police So I don't know what is currently like maybe some open source things would be nice to use if you want privacy Hi, I mean I was immediately thinking about with Europe being so open and even quite easy being able to Everyone being able to get into Europe from outside of Europe, but inside Schengen you cannot expect the Criminals to be nice and always speak just Dutch right so you have obvious bias that you're gonna remove like the Dash ganks from the scene and you make it easier for non-dutch-speaking gags in Netherlands to thrive. No this way I guess this is a very big investigation. You saw the word Europol there So yeah, we always deal with with the problem of multiple languages at the same time And yeah, it's like you have to take take precautions you have to make sure your models are Like basically you have goals and you know like every machine learning model is going to have like blind spots And you have to be aware of them and make sure like What is the what is the effect of that and what can you do with to combat that? Thank you? Very nice talk. Is your life at risk? I Hope not Criminals are quite famous for not really liking what when someone's or fears with a take cocaine That's very that's very true That's of course you take the thing into consideration before we publicly talk about what we talk about What I can say is everything I told you has been in Impressed releases Like it's public information like summarized by me for you with a little bit of data science detail so Yeah, if if I were criminal will not start with me Like I did like you can see my answers to these questions like I don't know But you're helping the police I think of the talk and One of the blind spots that I was thinking about is code switching So when criminals start to use sort of two languages bet in the same sentences is that something you came across and how did you deal with that? I Don't know about purposeful code switching which you we have the problem I called it street language or like heavy slang like there are many very interesting linguistic aspects of these messages that they different subcultures maybe different cultural backgrounds different language backgrounds and they all Mashed together and that's what makes the data science on this challenging that you cannot just take any model from That's trained on Wikipedia and expect good results. It is Yeah, but in you can imagine in case like this like many different expertise come by including some linguistics and expertise Thank you Space


With more and more customers turning into online shopping, the Australian e-commerce scene is booming right now. With close to 55 billion Australian dollars in 2023 alone, this is a huge market that you really want to tap into. So in order for us to have access to all of that money that's being thrown around in Australia, it's not enough for us to just get to the customers. It's very important for us to also have the best suppliers on Australian market. Partnering with the suitable Australian dropshippers, we're making sure that our products will always be in stock and that we can deliver them fast. And that is exactly what we're going to do in this video. We're going to solve one of the biggest problems in the drop shipping scene and that is finding a reliable supplier to work with. So before starting this video, let's talk about Australian dropshipping. First of all, what is dropshipping? Dropshipping is a business model in which you do not own stock. You do not own the products that you're selling. Your supplier owns them and they're going to send the products to your final customer. And this is how it works. First of all, a customer will place an order on your store. With the money from that order, you place the same order to your supplier at a much lower price. The supplier ships the product to your customer's house. Your profit is the product prices margin. Consequently, dropshipping suppliers from Australia will allow us to sell products to Australian customers without actually being there. So is dropshipping legal in Australia? Of course, dropshipping is 100% legal in Australia just as it is in other countries in the world. There are some tips that I want to give you though. Don't sell copyrighted brands. Don't sell dangerous products or weapons and stick to not selling age restricted products. So why should you start a dropshipping business in Australia? Because everybody's talking about the United States, everybody's talking about Canada and Europe. So why Australia? Dropshipping is now more profitable than ever. A lot of people are doing this business and there's a lot of demand for this business. And also the Australian e-commerce scene is projecting to make more than $82 billion by the end of 2027. But just as in any other business that you can imagine, there are pros and cons. So let's talk a bit about those. The first pro that I want to talk about is the minimal upfront investment. This is why dropshipping is general, is such a good and juicy business model for everybody that wants to get started because it requires such a low capital. Oftentimes it's actually zero. You don't need anything to get started in dropshipping. Second of all, low risk and high reward. There's a minimal investment that you have to do in a dropshipping business and you can make a lot of profit from that. And third of all, we have scalability. Now in Australia, there's close to 30 million people living there. That means there is a lot of room for growth. On the opposite side, let's take a country such as Bulgaria with a population of like 5 million people. You would touch the ceiling very quickly if you wanted to scale in Bulgaria. This would not happen in a country such as Australia. Now let's talk a bit about cons. The first con that I can think about when dropshipping in Australia is the fact that there is a huge competition. The barrier of entry is so low that basically everybody can become a dropshipper. So you will face a lot of competition. And second of all, for the same reason, you have a very limited ability to build a big brand. Yes, of course, you can make a lot of money dropshipping products in Australia, but it's a bit harder to build a reputable brand. Now that you have everything you need to know about Australian dropshipping, let's get the actual video started. But I'm going to give you a list of the top 20 dropshipping suppliers for the Australian market. Let's go. Number one in our list, we have catch. Now if you're looking for a very good supplier that will ship to Sydney, catch is one of the best options that you can go for. This website has been operating since 2006, and it has more than 10 million visitors every single month. One of the key features of this brand is the fact that they have a dropshipping integration with AutoDS. Second of all is a curated marketplace for all of the Australians. If you ask anybody on the street, they know about catch. They have a very large selection of products from multiple categories. They have a very good and robust local fulfillment exclusive member benefits. And one of the best things is the fact that they are delivering very, very quickly. And number two, we have Kogan. Now Kogan is on the top of the list, maybe because they are passing $1 million in sales every single day. This website shines when it comes to electronics and media. And you can find more than 10 million products on their website to sell. One of the best things about them is the fact that they are offering nationwide free shipping. Next up on our list, we have Crazy Sales. Now, as the title says, this website offers a lot of discounts. They are pretty well known for offering big discounts all the time. One of the key features of this website is the fact that they are offering support for dropshipping. They also have their own warehouses, meaning that they will offer you fast shipping. And a very nice touch about this company is the fact that they have very good customer support. At number four on our list, we have My Deal. Now, My Deal is very well known for furniture and home decorations. They have a very large product selection, meaning millions of products. They're very well known for the high quality items. They have a very user friendly website that's very easy to use. And they also have a refund guarantee policy, which is a must have on any furniture store. Next up, we have Trade Me. Trade Me is basically a marketplace in which you can find any product that you can think about. They are based in New Zealand, but they are also operating in Australia. They have very high standards that are enforced on their website, meaning that all of the products that you can find on their website are top notch high quality. They have also hundreds of thousands of products that you can pick from. They have domestic shipping for a lot of their products. And you can also have exclusive membership that will give you discounts and free shipping. Before moving to number six, I do want to let you know that all of the products that I'm going to talk about in this video can be found in a blog post below. So it's the first link in the description. Make sure to check it out. But also make sure to stay for this whole video because I'm going to drop a lot of knowledge bombs. At number six, we have Bondi Beach Tea. Now, you're probably expecting an e-commerce store, but this is actually a tea website. First of all, it's a very niche specific supplier because they only sell tea. They do wholesale, they do private labeling, and they also do dropshipping services. Very, very fast order of fulfillment and 30 day return policy. This is a pretty cool choice if you want to do something different and this supplier is the biggest one in Australia when it comes to tea. So why not work with them? At number seven, we have Bella Boutique. These guys are focused on jewelry. One of the top advantages of this supplier is the fact that they are offering reasonable pricing compared to the quality of their products. Second of all, they have multiple payment methods. You can use crypto. You can use Visa, Mastercard, A-Max, you can use PayPal. Number three, they have very practical branding solutions and five very accessible customer support. Let's talk a bit about medical supplies. So at number eight, we have Dear Jane Medical. With a very broad selection of medical supplies, Dear Jane Medical is one of the biggest suppliers of medical supplies in Australia. They are dropshipping supported. They have considerable profit margins, which you can expect because we're talking about medical supplies, trial periods for verified companies, and also warranty and refund policies. At number nine, we have Daring Diva. This is a very good supplier for fashion items, mostly for women, but they kind of went into a subniche targeting plus size women. One of their key features is the fact that they are offering membership perks, very wide clothing size range, very fast order dispatch, and 14 day return policy. We are in the middle of our list, so don't forget to drop a like to this video because it would greatly help us with the YouTube algorithm. Let's talk about number 10, Dash Design. Dash Design is one of the biggest and best dropshipping suppliers that you can pick in the Australian market for furniture and home decoration. Their key features is, first of all, they have a top notch product catalog. They have a lot of products. All of them are very high quality. Number two, they have a domestic showroom. Number three, they have a superb customer service. And finally, pretty original. They have a pay later arrangement. They are working with a company that allows you to pay later. At number 11, we have Elegantr, which is a pretty unique supplier for this list because they are catering to kids. They are only selling kids supplies. They have very diverse and colorful product choices, sustainable raw materials. You can register an account with them and work on a dropshipping basis. And they also have a 14 day return period. So we spoke about tea. I hope this didn't make the coffee drinkers angry. Let's talk a bit about coffee as well. Number 12, Rumble Coffee. They specialize in aromatic, specialty and locally grown coffee. They vow to offer the best quality products for their customers. One of their key features is the fact that they are offering wholesale and retail services as well. Also, they have a 30 day return policy, local farmers support and transparency and sustainability with their products. Let's mix it up, guys. We spoke about children. We spoke about furniture, coffee, tea. So what else? We haven't spoken about gardening. At number 13, we have Osdingo. That's pretty much a general e-commerce store that allows dropshipping. But they also have a home section where you can find a lot of gardening tools and a lot of people are doing dropshipping in Australia from this website. Believe it or not, they have a 4.95 trust score on review pilots. They also have membership rewards, very fast shipping times internally, and outstanding customer service. What else could you want? At number 14, I have something very special, AutoDS private warehouse and private suppliers. So if you want to sell any kind of product, if you don't want to be limited by the size or the quantity of the products, then the AutoDS is your go-to place when you want to sell to the Australian marketplace. AutoDS has strategically located warehouses all over Australia. And also, we have a network of private suppliers that we are working with. One of the best things about AutoDS is the fact that we are ensuring a very fast fulfillment process. As I told you before, Australia is very hectic and the competition is very high. By working with a company such as AutoDS, you're ensuring that you're going to be on the top of your game when it comes to shipping and fulfillment times. And also, our exclusive private supplier list will offer you products that cannot even be found on the market. Plus, other than that, if you're going to work with AutoDS, we're giving you an option to personalize all of your products, which is very, very good. You can add a personal touch to your products and also have logos and brandings on your product. And I don't know if you remember, but in the beginning of this video, I told you about the fact that it's very hard to build a brand in Australia. If you're going to work with AutoDS, that's not the case anymore because we are allowing you to push your brand and to include branding elements in all of our products. At number 15, we have the Almighty Banggood Australia. Just as we are used with Banggood USA, Banggood Australia doesn't disappoint. They provide the same level of service. They have millions of products. They have very low competitive prices. They have warehouses all over Australia. They are offering very, very fast shipping and they are also offering drop shipping perks. At number 16, we have AliExpress Australia. This comes without saying, but we all know that AliExpress has a very large product selection. All of their products are very affordable. They have a drop shipping center and they have buyer and also seller protection. Now, I do have a tip for you here. When you log into AliExpress, make sure to select ship to Australia. The reason why I'm telling you this is because not all of the sellers are shipping to Australia. So by doing this, you're going to filter the ones that are actually shipping to Australia. Next up, we have Target Australia. Now, they are very well known in the United States. They are actually a US company. They have opened up a location in Australia as well. Then they also have a website in there so you can count on their quality. First of all, they have great offers and great discounts throughout the year, very wide range of products, very, very fast domestic shipping times, pre-delivery for everything that's over $45 Australia. Of course, there is no list without Amazon. Amazon actually has a location in Australia and they also have a website, Amazon Australia. Amazon is actually one of the biggest e-commerce companies in Australia. They are offering a very big selection of products. They have a list of the best selling products. You can take a look at that and see what's best selling in Australia. They have very fast shipping times and they have a quality customer care. Now, we're pretty used with all of these nations coming to Australia and opening up businesses in there. Of course, we cannot have this list without DHgate. DHgate is one of the biggest Chinese e-commerce suppliers in the world and of course, they went to one of the biggest markets in the world, which is Australia. So number 19 on our list is DHgate Australia. Being a Chinese supplier, we're pretty used to this. They have a very wide range of products. Also, they are very affordable. They also do wholesale pricing and they offer various discounts all over the year. At number 20 on our list, we have eBay Australia. One of the key features about eBay is the fact that they have multiple warehouses all over Australia, making them very, very good at shipping very fast. They also have a very wide variety of products. And as you're probably used to, if you're from the United States, you have buyer and seller protection. And at number 21, we have a very unexpected guest. It's called Shopify. Shopify is one of the last things that you can think about when you're thinking about a list of dropshipping suppliers for Australia. But if you take a look at AutoDS right now, you can source from Shopify as well. One of the key features is the fact that they have a huge product variety. They have a best selling product area. They have a very good quality control. They have supplier reliability. And one of the best things is the fact that you can have AutoDS automation with Shopify. There are more than 100,000 e-commerce stores that are selling products on the Australian market through Shopify. Just to close this, guys, I do want to tell you that I would not recommend you to work with one single supplier. I would always go with multiple suppliers because there are a lot of things that can come up, such as one of the suppliers doesn't have a product and maybe the other one has it. One of the suppliers has pretty bad shipping times in certain areas and the other has very good shipping times. One of the suppliers can give you a much better price than the other. So this is why it's best to work with multiple suppliers because you will also have a negotiation advantage. This being said, guys, Australia is a very, very good marketplace that I definitely recommend you to dive into. And hopefully this list that I made right here is helping you pick the right suppliers for your dropshipping business. Thank you for watching, guys. Don't forget to like this video and subscribe to our channel. Until next time. Bye-bye.


The BSU men's hockey team is off to a pretty good start there, 4 and 0 for the first time since the 2005-2006 season, and the Beavers are also ranked for the first time in five years. BSU will put their undefeated record on the line on the road for the second straight weekend as they travel to face the nation's top team in defending national champ North Dakota. They know it'll be a tough test, but the Beavers are unbeaten in four of their last seven matchups with the Fighting Hawks. It's a tough place to play. It's a very difficult place to play, but it's a fun place to play. You know what you're getting with North Dakota, not only talent, but they're so well coached and they've got such a tremendous work ethic. With our speed base, we just got to get pucks behind their D work cycles, come out the other side, use low to high and we got to get in front of the goal tending. Approach is the same as any other game, no difference. It's a big ring, they'll have a big crowd, but at the end of the day it's still hockey game, so just keep it in between the glass so you can control. If you've enjoyed this segment of Lakeland News, please consider making a tax-deductible contribution to Lakeland Public Television.


The Theater Ensemble is a neurodivergent theater company that seeks to engage both artists and audience and develop social skills, empathy and self-determination. What's your job? To promote neurodiversity. What's your job? Neurodiversity means to me taking neurodivergent and neurotypical artists and working together the way my brain works is to this company more of a boon than a burden. In most of my life I have kind of felt like a visitor from out of the planet. STE's mission is to have a group of people who work both on and off spectrum and create an environment where everybody is welcome and spread that throughout the world. Hi, my name is Clay Martin and I'm the Artistic Director of Spectrum Theater Ensemble. I'm Teddy Lairo and I'm Associate Artistic Director in Charge of Community Engagement for Spectrum Theater Ensemble. My name is Daniel Perkins and I am a founding resident member of Spectrum Theater Ensemble. My name is Troy Battle. I'm the Managing Director for Spectrum Theater Ensemble. Hi, my name is Dan Boyle. I am an Artist and Administrative Associate and I sit there as the Board of Directors for Spectrum Theater Ensemble. My name is Katharine Jwadek. I have a company member with Spectrum Theater Ensemble, as well as one of their designers. My name is Adam D. Bram, Pretendious Mental Enention. My name is David Adams Murphy. I was a founding member of Spectrum Theater Ensemble. I was one of the first people Clay contacted when he still had the initial idea while working in training. I was fortunate enough to receive a grant from the Theater Communications Group and the Andrew Melvin Foundation, which partnered me with Trinity Rep at an amazing theater based in Providence, Rhode Island. For us in particular, some of the neurodivergent artists and collaborators that we work with most prevalently include on the autism spectrum, dyslexia, learning disabilities and PTSD. While I'm not on the spectrum, I am a disabled artist who has neurological disabilities. That has both created a lot of opportunities and a lot of challenges through my life. When I was diagnosed at two years old, the doctors said I wouldn't be able to read, write, have me for relationships or be able to live on my own. I was diagnosed at ninth grade in high school. I was fairly recently diagnosed with aspirin. I was diagnosed at age 11 with a pre-diagnosis at age six. So neurodiversity to me means taking neurodivergent and neurotypical artists and collaborators and bringing them together to create a neurodiverse community. The struggles that I faced as a student, fitting the academic system and structure were often seen and addressed with lowering expectations rather than accommodating and adjusting to the way I learned in order to provide the best possible outcome. So since our inception with spectrum identity, we leave with all of our projects at least in some way with what do you need and what can you provide. It actually gave me a little more insight into the people I was working with. So I would give them what I needed and I would give them what I could give them. It was kind of a trade-on-trade situation. I learned from them what they needed and want and they would learn what I needed and what I want. I collaborated with these individuals and knew that this time when starting a professional theater company that I wanted the foundation of not to be created solely by myself or by educators but by the members of the company. Instead of using the established script, we used moments to put together a cohesive sort of storyline or separate vignettes. With the identities of our members and the stories of their life. Well, we begin is when you begin a certain moment in rehearsal. It's literally the process of beginning and ending. And then when we end, we sort of end and discuss what could be clear. What was unclear. Through the process, not only develop a play about us but also the core fundamentals of our company our values and what we hope to do in the future. That stands for neurodiverse inclusive certified entertainment. I think the most important word that defines our company. Neurodiverse means that it's not only people on the autism spectrum but also people who are not on the autism spectrum or neurotypical. Processing something differently doesn't mean that you don't process it. And the way I see it, it's like a pie. Because on the top, the crust, you have the neurotypical point of view which is very good because you can learn from them. But the most important part is the filling which has to have taste and meaning and that can represent the people who have visibility that want to share their story. Without that filling, that crust is going to collapse. It is very consciously that we decided as a company that we would not be all one thing or all the other but that there is strength and potential in the collaboration of both those entities. Neurodiversity to me, it just means pretty much how it sounds. It's a diversity based on what's going on in your head. With more neurodivergent voices coming around like this is the beginning of a building stone. It's after spectrum identity, Clay gave me a note that said thanks for taking a chance on me. I'll always take a chance on you. And that meant a lot. Theater in its essence is a therapeutic.  You never actually have the power to understand solitude in life. So I figured theater helped me understand body language, tone as well as many other things because what you may say with your mouth may not reflect what you're saying with your body. And more importantly to understand people that aren't like you and find the common ground between us. We definitely have the right approach. We're going in the right direction. Be patient with everybody you come across because you really don't know who has it who doesn't. You have a place here. There's room. There's plenty of room. Anyone can be a part of our company. We are inherently and by our nature inclusive. There's no one who can not be a part of Spectrum Theater Ensemble if they have the passion, if they have the commitment and if they have the interest to join us. I don't think the theater ever changed me. I think it saved my life. And I think Spectrum Theater Ensemble has made it a life worth living. Thank you for joining us today. Please tune in tomorrow for our final day of the neurodiversity new play festival at 2pm Eastern Standard Time. These are trying times in this pandemic. There are seismic shifts in our culture and in theater. We've learned at Spectrum Theater Ensemble that growth while not always comfortable can lead to transformative experience. We want to bring you joy, thought provoking theater, continue to fight for inclusion while also bringing consistency and community to our company members and our family, our extended neurodivergent family. Please follow us on Facebook and on Instagram. If you are able, please donate either to www.stensemble.org or at our Facebook page. Thank you so much. Stay healthy. Stay compassionate and stay tuned.


Okay, very good morning Tuesday the 18th of February. Hope everyone is doing well It's just me on the briefing this morning So what my intention is is I'll cover up the or cover over the news in a bit more detail I'll give a bit of a view about what's happened overnight and how the charts look this morning And then perhaps after the briefing Alex can jump on and add a few more levels that he's looking at across different products in regards to the technicals But this is kind of the big headline that people are looking at this morning if you haven't already Caught it.  There was news out overnight Apple saying that it does not expect to meet its revenue guidance For March quarter because of work slowdowns and lower smartphone demand in regards to the virus outbreak in China is taking a bigger Toll basically on their predictions and they had originally anticipated the company which obviously a lot of weight is put on the iPhone given the Proportionate sales that that makes up for the company and given the fact that that manufactured in China. That's where the problems are lying It's temporary Temporarily constraining due to production ramping up more slowly than anticipated They said back in January Originally that the guidance was that factories were going to be reopening beginning February 10th But as we've seen with how the Chinese state have been looking to Kind of control any further outbreak of the virus by Slowly drip-feeding workers back into factories for example And so that's been has had a knock-on effect for Apple now why Apple's had such a Big reaction for just generally markets across the board You can see index dot futures down a gap down overnight If let me just have a look at the S&P here just to make it a little bit more clear So Yeah, there's the gap down You can see an incredibly tight range that was seen in yesterday's session as you would expect given a US market holiday Wasn't here in the afternoon, but I did have a glance at the P&L's and some of the new traders going live yesterday I mean obviously wasn't here to see every trade that you did But I saw quite a lot of activity which I thought was quite unusual For the fact that US markets were closed So again when we've gone over those kind of judgments of market sentiment market conditions sessions that I've done with you Just be Reactive not every day is the same and definitely when there is a US market holiday You can see from the type of range that we were trading in the S&P there very narrow and restricted and respectful of levels Given the lack of real market participation in those types of sessions here though You've got the gap down and we've had a little push in the S&P Down towards what would have been Friday is low before the bounce came and the kind of ramp into the US clothes if you like and so even with the S&P and I'll just have a look at other assets first before I give my broad kind of view about what I think about this recent move This morning, but I think there is a little bit of a danger if you're a new trader coming in this morning And it's a little bit of FOMO almost. There's been big moves overnight You've seen oil down equities down T notes gold bid and then there's quite a tendency I think to just come in this quite blinkered and quite narrow focus and just want to hit that continuous trend But the majority of the move I'd say probably has already happened for this morning And when the US come in I think that's when it's going to be Potentially then the next phase of the move and it's not our place to Speculate whether we think well This is the entry point now for the low to get long again or whether to get short for the secondary phase of Continuation of the move. I think just plan accordingly just be patient and wait and let's see how the market unfolds and then look to act Accordingly here though I mean even if we did if we were looking at the day as a whole and we did come further down I still think that you know given the fact that you know, just put it into a little bit of context for a second The S&P is was trading at record highs. So a little bit off the top I don't think is that big a deal to be quite frank and it doesn't really change the Apple situation What I feel generally and if we did come down and let's say The next kind of levels here to be looking out for would be around this kind of area Then on the intro they daily pivots you've got the S2 and then you've got the next level of the lows here Which bring in that low point we had back on last Thursday. So if we did go lower down, I still think there's decent areas underlying strong support and this equity market Irrespective of the bump down that we've had Overnight the other asset classes generally what we're seeing then WTI crude following suit with the general kind of risk off That we've observed in the overnight session. You can see that in the short-term price action the S1 Providing a level to watch you can see we just broken through then what was Friday's bounce pretty similar mimicking the equity move that we had late on The evening on Friday and then the retest that we had in the overnight session the eventual break and you've seen came Back up to test around that level and it's had a bit of a another push down now looking at the The technicals here just responding to some of the previous lows that we've seen in the overnight session going back from Thursday to Friday Last week and you know on the much longer time frame Again, I'd say we've kind of now Got our new range for oil for the moment, which is basically around If we just stick with that same chart we've had marked up for a while It's this kind of activity between 52 76 and then now the low Seen around 50 58 which would bring in those summer 2019 lows that will be quite key for the range I think in the near term over the coming session or sessions If you want to look at it that way Currency markets very quiet not really moving the dollar index is basically flat So currency pairs really not as interesting As some of the the size of the movement seen in the other asset classes I was just having a look at gold obviously has broken a little higher We've got above the high print that was seen in The overnight Asia-Pacific session that with the trendline break with what I was just looking at here of the last week's price activity so a brief flirt and test of the R1 But we've managed to just come back down with settling around that same technical point of significance So again any continuation of further run up in gold Well, you'd want to be seeing a continuation of the risk off move and at the moment That's not really happening if anything Right now as we speak the market Just reversing some of those overnight moves albeit I'm just seeing starting to see now a little bit of currency movement as cable just ticks down a little not forgetting We've got the first of the batch of UK data coming out today So yeah, Apple was the kind of catalyst if you like but the longevity of that moves There's a couple of points. I just want to stress one is this is kind of corporate strategy one oh one Apple getting any type of negative news out there as soon as possible It's kind of a way of just dampening the effect then when actually released their physical numbers come the end of the quarter in March so it's quite a prudent way of Mitigating any kind of build-up and subsequent lesser shock in their share price So this is quite quite typical The fact that the company can kind of blame it on external circumstances. I think would be quite actually warmly received So I don't really anticipate even if there is some intraday reaction too much in the way of a sustained impact on Apple shares If anything, I think they've kind of cleared the slate now and they've eradicated what would have been quite a big Negative for the stock so again when they open it would be quite interesting as a point of reference Apple is about 11.6 percent index rating of the Nasdaq Seven and a half percent index weighting of the Dow and just shy of five percent of the S&P 500 Remember those top companies when we talk about Amazon alphabet Apple Facebook, they literally comprise of About 20 odd percent of the entire S&P 500 So when you do get a kind of revenue warning like this from Apple This is the type of shock that you see in markets in the short term Okay, the other equity news story you've probably seen this morning is HSBC Just having a look HSBC shares opening down about four percent this morning So it probably added to a little bit of the tailwind overnight not only with Apple reaction, but the subsequent Supply chain of Apple was all down overnight in terms of some of those Asian names HSBC shares lower They've also opened lower in London this morning The summary here is they're going to slash about 35,000 of its workforce over a period of a few years They're going to take a seven point three billion dollar charge and They're targeting cost reductions of four and a half billion at its underperforming units in the US and in Europe So yeah quite a severe shake-up and kind of a refocus of the firm to kind of cut off Underperforming parts and look to focus on Asia, which is kind of real the core to their business in that respect So that also probably getting a bit of attention this morning Just before I move on I can talk about the RBA minutes I mean the reaction now that we're seeing in equities is the exact point that I was kind of referring to You can see now the DAX very strong bounce We've just seen to the upside back up reverting pretty much the entire drop that we've seen when Europe came in US equity index futures following suit. So this is what I mean about You know when you're a new trader I understand it can be quite compelling you read all these negative headlines You see the reaction in Asia in the futures overnight when you feel like wow I just want to hit it and you feel like well I wish I was in at 5 a.m. In the morning But this is where it can be quite devastating Because you can get caught short quite badly and you get squeezed out of your position So you know again, it's about you know being quite considered and being realistic and rational about the opportunity at the time When then you're in the marketplace So as I said this Apple thing, I don't really see it being too much of an obstacle The other thing of course that people are looking at is the corona virus There's been an additional 1868 cases overnight 98 deaths, but 1700 people or patients have been discharged so Yeah, as much as that's still something to be monitored. I don't think that those numbers are really that Surprising to be quite frank either Moving on then let's have a look at the RBA. You've probably seen that Aussie has dropped overnight So people obviously still monitoring the performance of the Asian indices of which Local markets and Hangsang and Shanghai composite were a little bit lower reversing some of the upside than yesterday But the Aussie weaker because we had the RBA minutes come out overnight Now to keep things in a summary form The Australian Central Bank minute showed that the members in their discussions Reviewed the case for further interest rate cut remember it was there was some prospects that potentially they could have gone for it They didn't but it was under discussion and that in itself alone Was enough to kind of give the queue to the doves to bump the Aussie a little lower overnight They expect the corona virus outbreak to subtract from growth in exports over the first half of this year They acknowledged though. There's difficult to assess potential indirect effects on activity at this point They maintain their easing bias Riterating its expectation rates will likely stay low for an a quote extended period But the bank retained a broadly upbeat view of the economy's prospects and so Yeah, all in all a slight dovish Reaction seen in the in the Aussie overnight But if markets start to stabilize perhaps then that provides a bit of a flaw In regards to if calmness kind of returns and is restored in respect to the outbreak of the virus In other headlines, so this was the RBA Just wanted a quick word on the trade Negotiations between the US and China quite interesting things obviously Happening at the moment. This is kind of taking overalls a subject matter a bit of a backseat Just given the emphasis on the containment of the virus But China said yesterday that it would accept applications for new tariff exemptions of nearly 700 products imported from the US including key cultural energy products such as pork beef soybeans liquefied natural gas and crude oil now So that was quite interesting obviously China Looking to almost offer the olive branch the Exemptions of the third and most substantial set to be granted to date by China since the start of the trade dispute It's one of those things now where China really doesn't have much else of a choice Although they can and they will ramp up their fiscal intervention if you like and monetary support in the market They also do not want a additional layer of pressure from the tariff man On top of already that the impact that the virus is going to have on their economy So they're looking to kind of ease back Make exemptions ramp up then the key imports from America, which is agriculture and energy products Hoping then that that appeases the Americans then to keep things relatively passive on that front However, quite the opposite if you're looking from a Trump yesterday He was talking about the US considering a new wave of China tech restrictions looking at possible bans on GE jet engine exports the US quite afraid of basically the Chinese receiving Receipt if you like of the engines and then reverse engineering them to then steal the intellectual property of There's engines and then Huawei also always in the spotlight and some talk about Huawei steps being mulled as well Decisions are expected towards the end of the month at cabinet level meeting on China. So Yeah, one one to be watched definitely if if the US do start becoming a little bit more assertive and aggressive again on China I I personally don't see that being the case because of the situation China finds themselves in I think Trump's gonna get kind of what he wants, which is this one I mean if China do start making more exemptions. Well, it's kind of a win-win for Trump He just makes a couple of noises, but doesn't actually follow through about more restrictions and being tough on China But at the same time China does everything it can to live up to its phase one trade deal and goes a step further by making The third and most substantial set of exemptions granted since the trade war began So again, it's another win for Trump with the underlying domestic economy starting to perform a little bit in terms of recent economic data So again a lower risk for markets more generally Quick look at the calendar. What have we got for today? Well for this morning UK jobs data kicks off that sequence. Remember, you got the jobs data from the UK today You then get the CPI Wednesday, you've got retail sales then Thursday industrial manufacturing production end of the week So quite a busy week. Keep an eye on cable It is trading a little underperforming this morning down about 56 pips Testing is s2 already this morning as I said Alex can come on after me After briefing and talk over some technicals a bit more for those interested European European data, you've got the German ZEW figures I wouldn't be looking at that to be the silver bullet if you like for dictation of European asset class movement for the day, but certainly something to just monitor and then going into the US session There's not really a great deal of major US economic data We've got the New York Fed manufacturing number at 130 But I would say the bigger emphasis is going to be on the US Interpretation is some of the latest news that's happened overnight with Apple and with the Developments with the virus, but as I said, I still feel fairly Confident that the market will swallow the Apple news relatively comfortable comfortably But even if we did bump lower, I still think that then the in terms of equities will find some strong support lower down speaker-wise ECB's Panetta He's speaking at 145 Fed's cash carry the most dovish member on the FMC is speaking at 7 p.m This evening you do have a shat auction coming out of Germany for any Fixed income traders and then from pre-market US earnings today one to look out for is Walmart I'll give you the full rundown ahead of the release and the times But it's going to be a few hours time. They are respective 2.7 percent of the Dow So one of the bigger components Alright gonna leave it at that Let you guys get cracking And I wish you a good day ahead. I'll be in the chat room All morning, so any help that I can provide just let me know and I'll let Alex come on in about 20 minutes time or so and you can cover off some of the charts and setups for the day. Thanks very much guys


Hello everyone, welcome back to another session in Dentistry and more. Today we have a small topic in microbiology that is types of hypersensitivity. So hypersensitivity which refers to undesirable reaction which is produced by the normal immune system which includes allergies and auto-immunity. So auto-immunity is nothing but the our own antibodies is fail to recognize the antigen that is antigen is something which comes from outside. It fails to recognize the antigen and it acting against our own cells which are the cells which these antibodies are supposed to protect. So those are the auto-immunity reactions and these reactions may be damaging uncomfortable or maybe occasionally it could be very fatal. Now let's see the types and the details of hypersensitivity. So hypersensitivity we have four classification. Type one is immediate type or anaphylactic or atopic. Type two is antibody dependent. Type three is immune complex. Type four is self-mediated or delayed type of hypersensitivity. Now we will begin with the type one. So type one hypersensitivity is also known as immediate or anaphylactic hypersensitivity. So the reaction may involve skin, attic area and eczema. So conjunctivitis can be seen in eyes, rhinitis, rhinorrhea in nasopharynx and it can also lead to bronchopulmonary tissues that like asthma reactions and gastroentritis in gastrointestinal tract. So these are the immediate reaction. So all are immediate outcome of this antigen attack and this hypersensitivity. So the reaction may cause a range of symptoms from minor inconvenience to death. So maybe the reaction usually takes 15 to 30 minutes from the time of exposure to the antigen and it can have delayed onset of 10 to 12 hours. So this is our cell. So the foreign particle is known as antigen and we have antibody inside. So this is supposed to be protective against the antigen. And we have our own cell, normal cell. So sometimes the antibody act against our own cell that is known as autoimmune reaction. These antibodies are supposed to protect ourselves but sometimes it fails to recognize the antigen and our own cell and it act against our own cell that is known as autoimmune reactions. Anyway, so the immediate type is usually mediated by IgE antibody to those specific antigens. So the primary cellular component in this hypersensitivity is the mast cell and basophil and the reaction is amplified or modified by platelets, neutrophils and esophils. So mast cells, they get stimulated and relays his stamens. So that is type 1 reaction. So in type 1 the example is atopic reactions which is type of localized NFL axis. In these patients there will be higher levels of IgE antibodies. Now let us move on to type 2 hypersensitivity which is also known as cytotoxic hypersensitivity and may affect a variety of organs and tissues. So the antigens are normally endogenous although exogenous chemicals which can attach to cell membrane and also lead to type 2 hypersensitivity. Endogenous means within the cell not coming from outside. So the most common one is drug induced hemolytic anemia, granulocyte and thrombocytopenia and also penciline allergy also belong to type 2 reaction. So the reaction time is minute to hours and is primarily mediated by the antibodies IgG and IgM and also the complement system. So phagocytes may also play a role in type 2 reaction. So these lesions contains antibody, complement and neutrophils in general. So the hemolytic thrombocytopenia we know when there is RH positive baby born to a RH negative mother for first time. So there will be antibody acting against the baby. So that is coming under type 2 hypersensitivity reaction. Now let us move on to the type 3 which is antigen antibody immune complexes which is IgG mediated and there will be large amount of antigen and antibodies form complexes in blood. So if it is not eliminated which can be deposited in capillaries or joints and trigger inflammation. So the reaction may be general such as serum sickness or may be or may be involve individual organs including skin such as systemic lupus erythematosus or arthus reaction, kidney such as lupus nephritis or aspergillosis in lungs and rheumatoid arthritis in joints. So that is particularly for one organ and if it is very general that will be serum sickness. The rest all are affecting one particular organ and the reaction may be pathogenic mechanism of disease caused by many microorganisms. So it takes 3 to 10 hours after the exposure to antigen and it is mediated by soluble immune complexes. So they are mostly IgG class although IgM also be involved. So the antigen may be exogenous such as bacterial viral or parasitic infections or it could be endogenous. And the type 4 is delayed type which the reaction involves by the sensitized T cells. There is no antibody involved and the sensitized T cells and there is release of lymphokines as mediators and amplifiers. So they are mediated by cells rather than antibodies that is a peculiarity of type 4. So mostly the contact dermatitis transplant rejection granuloma all are belong to type 4 category. So that response usually comes after 48 to 72 hours. So there will be continued macrophage activation which can cause chronic inflammation which results in tissue lesions, scarring and also granular formation. So that is about the 4 types of hypersensitivity. So let's summarize the points of all 4 categories. So first let's see about the antibody which is involved. So type 1 IgE, type 2 IgG and IgM, type 3 also IgG and also IgM is there but on very little amount. So IgG and IgM but very little amount. As type 4 is basically T cell mediated and there is no antibody involved. And type of antigen in type 1 it is exogenous, type 2 is cell surface, type 3 soluble antigen and type 4 is tissues and organs. The response time for type 1 it is 15 to 30 minutes, type 2 minutes to hours, type 3 it could be 3 to 10 hours. Type 4 is very delayed that is after 2 to 3 days that is 48 to 72 hours. So most common appearances are the type 1 is wheel and flare that is wheel and flare, type 2 is lysis and necrosis, lysis and necrosis in type 2. In type 3 erythema, erythema and necrosis, erythema, erythema and necrosis whereas type 4 which is erythema and inturation. Inturation we can see in tuberculin test we expect a result after 48 hours. If inturation is present we confirm it as tuberculin positive or tuberculosis. So that is about the appearance and now the histological part. So type 1 we have basophils and isnow fill, type 2 we have antibody and complement. This is macrophages and complement neutrophils, type 4 we have lymphokines, monocytes, lymphocytes. So the cell involved that is the antibody or the T cell. So 1, 2, 3 are basically antibody involved whereas type 4 is T cell. And the examples for all 4, the type 1 is allergic asthma, heffy, type 2 is erythroblastosis, fetalis and thrombocytopenia, penicillin, allergy. Type 3 is systemic lupus, erythematos, serum sickness, atlas reaction. Type 4 is tuberculin test, granuloma.