Just kept going on and on Yeah, I've done that a few times now Someone on YouTube is like somebody needs to stop the Twitch stream on YouTube, which I'm like why you say that over in Twitch But also I'm like, yeah, that's someone's me. Okay. That's me. I did it Hopefully nothing was embarrassing when you didn't know this time I changed the setting on that machine so that it won't autoplay like I did the first time and it started playing weird Or Arabian children's videos They looked out to me. I don't know. There's a lot of English ones. They're pretty weird to my yeah, that's true They just get weird sometimes But you know what they must be breaking in the cash because a lot of people are doing them Dell says it will explore IPO or merger with VMware, which is the thing that we said that they were doing anyway but now Yeah, the reverse merger is just weird. So wait a minute does that mean all the machines? They'll be selling in the future will be virtual. Yes. That's exactly what it means. They just get a box That's what a reverse merger does. It turns all of your products right now the other Your next Dell machine will come in an empty box. I have an Alienware box running the Twitch stream It will become a virtual box Disappear Daimler takes on Silicon Valley with high-tech a-class Isn't the a-class the hatchback? Yes, it is the one with the cloth seating Yes, I remember when they came out and George Crowe who was a well-known Mercedes fanboy concerted a Parasy to even sell a Mercedes with cloth seats Well now they're selling a Mercedes with machine learning and voice recognition developed by Mercedes in plastic seats But you're saying George Crowe found hit the Mercedes lacking the any class he thought it was Not what Mercedes did for Mercedes stands for selling cars that that's a fan right there And never there's very few things where if a company does it I'm like you've offended my sensibility of what you are It's more of a like no, I don't like that one. I Want a car that runs? I Want a car with a short skirt and a long jacket There's one a comfortable seat and a radio Radio Muses good speakers. Okay. I got you. I thought I was suddenly had this romantic vision of you with like a transistor radio Like a warm analog FM sound You're like, no, no, I just want music Yeah, comfortable seat it's big in a car Never made any sense to me. I'm like I don't like sitting on them I Was like calm cake reference. I thought you were a pie guy Okay, I am ready. Are you ready? I'm ready.  Three two The Daily Tech news show is powered by its listeners not outside Organizations if you get value from the show consider giving a little back as little as a dollar a month keeps great tech news and Analysis coming your way commercial free find out more at Daily Tech news show dot com slash support This is the Daily Tech news for Friday, February 2nd 2018 from DTNS headquarters in Los Angeles. I'm Tom Merritt and from studio feline I'm Sarah Lane and from the beautiful west side of Cleveland, Ohio I'm Len Peralta and Len is here to illustrate We're here to help you understand and here to help us help you do all of that is Nicole Lee from Engadget. Welcome back to the show Nicole. Hello. Happy to be back. Thank you Producer Roger Chang is here as well. He is also a real human and not a simulation. Yes, and we were talking about Teowana Bibles Don't search for it until after the show Or Mexican Halloween Start with a few tech things you should Well, that was fast YouTube TV announced its app is now available for Apple TV with subscriptions Available in an in-app purchase YouTube TV arrived for Ruku yesterday Thursday Microsoft introduced a new surface laptop for $799 Friday the new model has a core n3 processor 4 gigs of RAM and 128 gigabytes of storage bargain pricing Microsoft also introduced a new variant of the 13.5 inch surface book to at a thousand one hundred ninety nine dollars That's three hundred dollars then the previous cheapest surface book to it has an Intel Core i5 eight gigabytes of RAM and a hundred twenty eight gigabytes of storage So it's about the same as that one thousand four hundred ninety nine dollar model, but that one had two hundred fifty six gigabytes So three hundred dollars less half the storage Sources tell recode that HQ trivia the trivia game show app is raising around a funding led by Peter Teal's Founders fund valuing the company north of one hundred million dollars and gives founders fund a seat on the company's board The reason I'm excited about this is the plot thickens a little bit on my 2018 predictions if you missed that show you should listen to it that Facebook would clone HQ rather than buy it considering that Teal is on Facebook's See where okay that puts it all together for me Chrome OS 64 is rolling out one new feature let you take a screenshot by pressing the power and volume down buttons together There are also updates to how it handles Android apps including the ability to enable VPN when you're using those play apps Now here are some more top stories Sarah apple earnings came in right after the show yesterday So let's talk about them now apple reported it sold 77.3 million iPhones in its last quarter down 1% year over year the revenue rose as average selling price rose to 795 dollars iPad sales rose 1% to 3.2 million wearables revenue rose 70% and watch sales rose 50 Max we're down 5% services revenue rose 18% to 8.5 million dollars China revenue rose 11% overall revenue set a record at 88.3 billion dollars at 14% on the year Yeah, so iPad sales at 13.2 million not bad for a category that a couple years ago People were saying is just gonna be gone not that that's the most important thing here the most important thing is that they made all the moneys and Even with slower iPhone sales the increased price of the iPhone 10 at $1,000 was enough to make up the difference China revenue rising 11% is significant for Apple. Obviously a very important market for them What is the wearables revenue? That's that's gaining so much Besides the series sales themselves a series to watch is is more expensive. They've got more expensive versions with the LTE in it So so there's selling a bunch of them Nicole do you have any thoughts on the whole Apple picture where you know? You this is one of those situations where some people are saying ooh not good news because of the slowing sales But the overall numbers still look good So some people are very happy and the stock market is reflecting that with some mixed results Yeah, I think the I think there are a few things that I took away from this report number one I'm also a little bit surprised by the wearables revenue rising is because I had thought that the overall Smartwatch smartwatch trend was kind of trending down and this seems to buck that quote-unquote trend Another thing that I thought was really interesting as you said It was a kind of a slower iPhone holiday sales quarter and I wonder if that's because of The fact that there were two iPhones the eight the eight plus eight slash eight plus as well as the X and I'm wondering if like having two of them was maybe Made consumers had a wait and see attitude instead of just buying one over the other I'm not sure. This is just speculation. Yeah, but I wonder about that sometimes Well, there's also the the fact that iPhone 10s were supply constricted So some people may have said well, I'm just not gonna buy one until I can get one and I don't want to work That hard to get one. So I'll just wait until after the first of the year Maybe the price will come down. Maybe I'll get one cheaper that way, too The other thing to consider is our next top story here overall smartphone sales were slow in the holiday quarter wasn't just Apple According to IDC and strategy analytics numbers IDC showed 403.5 million units shipped down From 430.7 million the year before for the year overall Smartphone volume dropped zero point one percent according to IDC strategy analytics showed it going up one percent But either way you look at it smartphone sales flat on the year this is no longer a growing market worldwide and Apple took the top spot away from Samsung for the quarter So even with Apple slowing its sales it gained the top spot. They slowed slower than Samsung did Samsung was still the top vendor for the entire year and another notable point here Xiaomi climbed back into the top five for the year bumping out vivo I mean smartphones are good enough that they're like computers at this point I mean if yes, if you want the newest coolest whatever sure you might get a new one every year, but I'm not that person anymore Yeah, we've been talking about the commoditization of smartphones for a while on this show and how it's like every new Version isn't necessarily super compelling. It's not necessarily a phone that you have to have right So I think we expected to see this top out This may be the year where we say okay smartphones are they're now in laptop land, you know They'll go up. They'll go down as as trends come and go But just the idea of getting one isn't new for a large portions of the world Your growth markets are in India and and do a larger extent Africa, but that's about it Yeah, I wonder if the whole thing as you mentioned, you know having Used to be one laptop could last you for several years I wonder if the same thing would happen with smartphones because there's so advanced now that one smartphone could probably last you Several years as you mentioned and also as you mentioned like the growth area is in India and developing markets where a high-end $1,000 smartphone probably won't be as popular as like a really, you know affordable one Yeah, and they're talking about there was some analysts saying that it looks to them that Apple is going to stop the iPhone 10 Come out with a new version of it later this fall and replace it Which would be the first time that Apple doesn't Shift an older iPhone down in price but keep it in the inventory channel Which that I think would be an interesting move as well To say like we're just going to swap out models, you know, we may not keep Older models as our cheaper ones. They may they may be coming out with three new models every year. Who knows? YouTube CEO Susan would We're just that right posted some goals for YouTube Last night Thursday evening among the goals are improving enforcement of existing policies with a combination of machine learning and people Accountable for intent to review and harsher penalties for channels caught doing what they call something egregious That causes significant harm to our community as a whole in a separate announcement YouTube said it will start identifying Videos that come from state-funded outlets like PBS or Russia's RT. Well, man I am excited to hear that they're going to get better at not putting Diminitization things on content out of pure selfishness because it happens to DTS all time So apparently we're not alone there But you know what what did I the overall impact of this to me? Was that YouTube doesn't really have this solved but they're going to throw resources at it and keep trying to get better Yeah, I mean over the last few weeks It's like we've gotten you know quite a few statements from YouTube like hey We know things are wrong give us a chance give us a couple days Take down a you know a video here in there, but it seems like the strategy is coming together Maybe on the one hand they're they're saying trying to put a strategy together We're gonna get better at taking things down. We're also gonna get better at not taking things down that shouldn't have been taken down So we're good. We're gonna get better at all of it. We promise and we're throwing more people They got 10,000 people they say working on this now Nicole, what's your take on this? Well, I Don't know. I'm I'm in a I'm in a wait and see attitude. I just feel like if they've said this before There's a song and dance. They've done before I'm just like, all right show us just show it. Just do it Well, Roger double check me on this I don't think we've had a DTNS video monetized demonetized before it went up in a while now. Is that correct? The last show So I stand corrected the last show we had Was demonetized The takeaway is I think, you know, at least for me is YouTube huge company, you know successful You know well, you know utilized by the community and they're like, okay The machines don't actually do this well enough. We have to hire a bunch of humans, you know, until the machines are good enough Yeah, well until we're perceived at being good enough, right? So they throw machines at the problem and people are like, wait, you're false-positiving me all day long They don't throw the machines at the positive at the problem the advertisers get upset and say wait a minute our ads are showing up by these horrible videos and And and it shows the limits of machine learning right now It's machine learning is impressive when you compare it to where it used to be It's not impressive when you compare it to what humans can still do. Yeah Sony announced the cause her I will step down a CEO of Sony but remain as its chairman CFO Kenichiro Yoshida will become CEO of Sony April 1st So that's six years to the day since cause her I took over the image sensor company reported a quadrupling of operating profit in the Third quarter its highest Q3 profit yet For the first time since its launch shipments for the ps4 in the holiday quarter were down Year over year from 9.7 million in 2016 to 9 million in 2017 But the gaming division as a whole did very well. So they sold a lot of games, which is what they want to do Between that and the image sensors Sony did well the smartphone division did not do so well Sony still raised its profit forecast for the year ending March to 720 billion yen That's up from 6 30 billion yen And if they hit that mark it would be their best quarter in its 72 year history so When was the ps4? Originally shipped what year? 2013 Well, so I mean a little decline in holiday sales for a ps4 doesn't surprise me Well, that's that I think what people are looking at and saying, okay, you're flat on the air with ps4 You're you're down in a holiday quarter. That's huge being down in a holiday quarter is a big sign that we have reached the peak We we may have reached peak ps4 and like you say Sarah this Appropriate time for that to be in the cycle. I think a lot of people were wondering if ps4 pro would Extend the life of the ps4 a little longer than previous PlayStation cycles, but it doesn't seem like it will Nicole, do you do you do you follow this? Sony market much? I don't but I do want to mention a little bit about cause he rise stepping down He was transformative for a company that was down its luck and he basically Rescued it from the brink, you know He he invested heavily in the PlayStation business like he saw he sort of saw the Saw the wave, you know, and you know, they haven't done so well in a lot of their other areas Like their phone business wasn't so great and everything else But I think the fact that cars are like really double down PlayStation That would that will prove to be like the company saving grace Well, and Sony Pictures entertainment will be the other thing that will be his legacy We'll see maybe it'll turn around me I mean Everybody wants Amazon wants to own video, right? Then you know Netflix is a tech company based on video. You know, maybe Sony will be able to to Pivot that into something good Bloomberg reports that Intel will sell a majority stake in its augmented reality business It aims to offer smart glasses that connect with phones by Bluetooth later this year Taiwan's quanta computer is making the product order under contract Intel wants investors with strong sales channels or design Expertise. Yeah, that's that last part is what's really interesting about this Intel isn't looking for an investor because they want to make money off the sale What Intel wants is somebody who can do the parts of selling a product to consumers that it's not good at It's really good at enterprise supply chain for chips not great at selling headsets to consumers So they want somebody who who can have a sales channel or make this thing look really nice to consumers So that they can sell the chips to that company that they're spinning out. I think this is really smart Whether they'll actually come up with a cool headphone headset or not. It's a whole other question That's that that's the brave new world of augmented reality glasses, right? Like that's that's the I mean, it's so funny that, you know, Google started several years ago with glass and then we all went Gaga over it and then we sort of pivoted from that to virtual reality as a completely separate thing But now we're sort of like coming back into the AR thing with magically even all of that, you know All of these up-and-coming AR companies. So yeah Well, and and I think rightly so because AR is a is a use case that people can can see working more than VR VR is something where you you have to stay in place and you have to Have a have a need to be immersed AR can immerse you or not and you could you can move around in the real world with it But which I think gives it a little more flexibility. I saw somebody wearing snap spectacles in Vegas the other day And I was like, oh Wow, yeah, that's happening still yeah, we were somewhere I think it was at Universal Studios in December and we saw a snap spectacles machine and it looks so lonely. I Just you know, I think novelty aside, it's you know, Nicole you mentioned Google Glass as well It's like I mean, I want the glasses that make my life better They just still aren't quite there yet and and trust me folks We know that snap is not AR and we know that Google Glass was not even AR But these are these are head-mounted computer-oriented thing and so on the spectrum of this stuff I think it fits in and and and it shows that There's lots of different takes on the thing you wear on your eyes with a computer in it We don't know which one's gonna work yet If you want to get all the tech headlines each day in about five minutes Be sure to subscribe to Daily Tech headlines available on the Amazon Echo the Google Home and the anchor app Or as a podcast at Daily Tech headlines Dot com So Nicole you wrote up for in gadget a story about these AI Well, there's now an app that lets you put someone else's head on a body and Obviously the first use case was porn it started with a Reddit user who was using open-source machine learning libraries like TensorFlow with some Google images and stock photos to make this happen and Posted some videos with famous people's heads on porn star bodies But there's now an app that does the same thing So that you don't have to have any of that technical knowledge that that original reddit user had And people are starting to sit up and take notice, right? Yeah, so this blew up in December last year and motherboard first reported on it and it was this user called a deep fakes and he was just Using a machine machine learning at the algorithm that he just open sourced it from the web Very easy to crazy to do and he did and he sourced the Celebrity photos and images from the YouTube and Google stock photos like not not exactly, you know, hidden information And he just did it with like open source libraries and an open source neural network and just ran it and he did it now To be fair like these videos are not exactly like perfect, right? There are still artifacts. There are still errors But a lot of them are close enough, you know, and you only need to see like a few seconds of it today Oh, that's Jessica about when it really wasn't right? so that was the original one in December and just like a month later literally a month later and there's already an app that somebody else made using the same kind of open source software and Anybody can just use the app and just sort of plug in these Open source library codes and just let it run honestly and using all of these Ridderly available images and video of all these celebrities online and the worrying thing really I mean, of course, it's really bad when celebrities get it But it's really bad when like everyday people like you and me are probably also in it and the the more the most recent motherboard story that was published last week had to do with People scraping Instagram fees and scraping Facebook photo albums Again using these like internet scrapers, right? They said scraped all the images and They were able to mix a facsimile of something. I guess Close to it It's really worrying not just in terms of like obviously it's bad to have fake pornography out of all people Actually in it, but also the implications it has for fake video in general Like you can you can you just imagine some foreign nation state using this kind of technology to make a fake a video of a public figure or a you know a politician maybe president Trump saying something that he didn't actually say perhaps and you know Fueling the fake news machine that way. All right, so this reminded me immediately of The story we did last summer about Adobe and Lyre bird Both having apps that allowed you to take samples of someone's voice and Create a simulation of them saying things that they didn't say There's also a research team at the University of Washington that was able to create an artificial video Using a neural network to sink the mouth in a video to words that weren't from that video So their demonstration took a radio address that President Obama had said and Sinked it to video that they created of him that looked like he was saying it even though it was a radio address We never saw him say it right that was a safe way to demonstrate it because you weren't putting words that weren't his in His mouth, but the implication was I could put anything in the in this this mouth and make them say it now marry that with Lyre bird or Adobe where you can make someone sound like they're saying anything and Suddenly you can create an entire fake video now. We have machine learning that Can take a video of someone doing something? And put another head on it and so you can marry all that together and you've got a nightmare scenario, right? But here's the thing We've lived with Photoshop of images for decades and the fears when Photoshop first got good was well now Nobody's gonna be able to ever believe a photo Because because anything can be photoshopped has that turned out to be true in your estimation Well, there was that one picture of Witherspoon with three legs, but otherwise no, it's not it's usually not an extra I never really understood that but it was a bad Photoshop, but yes, I get what you're saying I'm actually surprised Just knowing that this technology exists, right and like yeah, it's not perfect yet But I am surprised that we don't get more excuses from people who are Recorded audio saying bad things or even video being like, you know, it's like I was hacked I didn't send that eat somebody have to me. I would never have done that He this was one of those programs that put my face on someone else's body and made me say things I didn't say and we'll probably see more of that Yeah, you know I attended in an AI round table like I think a couple weeks ago and These machine learning experts from all these tech companies were there and this question was raised about you know with all these like fake porn and stuff and The answers were given were like well in this specific use case You could use artificial intelligence to also be on the defending end, right? You could have Machine sort of detect these artifacts or detect something that's wrong with this video the same way like for example You probably tell if an image was photoshopped or not, right? Right like if you write it through a program say oh, yeah This was photoshopped, you know So you could you you could run programs to detect whether a video had been messed with right, but I think You can do that now. I think the worry is that It's a cat and mouse game, you know So if we detect it then they'll find a way to overcome it and you know back and forth back and forth I think that's kind of the concern right now But in terms of the current situation of fake video they're saying there is a way to sort of filter through it You can't you know a machine can probably figure it out if a video is fake or not Well right now you can figure out if a video is fake like let's let's let's make sure we set the expectation if people haven't seen Then themselves it's obvious that this is faked. It's good enough that you're like oh wow that almost looks like that's really That person's head But you can tell with your eyeballs whether this is done yet Yes, they'll get better and better to the point where maybe you won't be able to tell at first glance and that's when we'll get into the World we live in now with still images where you know Things are photoshopped all the time and if they're photoshopped in a way that doesn't fundamentally change the photo a lot of times Nobody notices. Nobody says anything unless Reese Withersburg does But if they are important photos The people our eyes are on this and they will say that is photoshopped Here's how you tell like it's very difficult to fake an important photo with with digital image editing Let's not even blame photoshop There's all kinds of ways to do this now and it sounds like Yes, people should be worried so that we are all paying attention and catching the things when they're faked But it's not like we won't ever be able to that will all just be living in a Philip K. Dick world where we don't know What reality is Right if you see a video of yourself saying something where you're like that's horrific I never did that. Just know that this technology But it is it is fascinating and it's another element Yeah, I mean I almost said it's another element where now we can't trust videos just like still images We have to be skeptical, but you could fake videos before it now anyway It's just you've got more tools to do it so that more people can do it Exactly well and and we had all these stories when liar bird and adobe came out with their software in the summer and Nothing happened like there have been no incidents of people and again liar bird is an app that anybody can use right? But there have been no incidents of someone passing this off in a convincing way that didn't get detected yet In fact, I don't think there have been any serious Attempts where people got caught doing it yet. I think it's not quite good enough yet. Exactly. It's just not there yet I mean that the word is yet though, you know, and I think that's why people have to be mindful of and saying Okay, it's not good yet But someday it might be and maybe we should be mindful of that. Well, and don't forget. They're also positive uses for this I mean these open source libraries exist so that people can experiment and come up with ways to do this And yes, we don't like the idea that somebody putting someone else's head on another person's, you know porn body But that isn't the only use of this, you know creating new Accessible structures using computer vision to help people with with visual problems. This can be used for that sort of thing as well Hey, thanks to everybody who participates in our subreddit You can submit stories of vote on I'm a daily tech news show reddit.com and join in the conversation at facebook.com Slash groups slash daily tech news show What's in the mailbag there Sarah got an email from Brandon who's referencing a show two days ago I think when we were talking about Spotify's new service that was in Australia only and also only on Android He said there's one missing piece from your conversation that might explain why Spotify is testing a Pandora like service in Australia specifically last year Pandora left the Australian market to focus on its Pandora wasn't huge in Australia But obviously left a hole in an opening for a similar service Well, I think that about that That makes perfect sense Brandon. Thank you for for pointing that out on the other hand, it's not a very good test If it's not in competition with anything else, it's gonna do better than it would in other markets. So But it's also less, you know, it's less of an investment, right? Because you're like, you know, we got these people that you know would probably want to use this because they don't Necessarily have the first off from the likes. Yeah, you don't have to be like a million US users headed our app In fact, I think the the because Spotify hadn't really even advertised the fact that the app was live It was something like it had been downloaded a hundred and fifty times or a very small sample of folks And Pete Wells actually in our slack on Wednesday pointed out that they do a lot of tech testing in Australia because the Australian population is mobile It's an early adopter market and has enough similarities to both the UK and the US that it makes for good a B testing Plus if the population is a little smaller and if the product sucks, then you rolled it out to a smaller population It's not as much risk Which again would tie into this idea of like well if there's no Pandora for it to compete against Then that gives it a better chance of catching on and maybe what they're looking for is not to test success But to test how it's used Yeah, that could be as well Nicole Lee, thank you so much for joining us this lovely Friday And it was very nice to see you at CES a couple of weeks ago. Tell everyone where they can keep up with everything you do Well, you can just go to engadget.com to see the stories from myself as well as all of my colleagues Excellent and follow her on Twitter at Nicole Let's check in with Len Peralta who has been illustrating this episode Len. What do you got? Uh, can you hear me? Yes, we can. Okay. Sorry. I have to do a restart I'm gonna jump back to last week where Tom your name was misspelled At some point during the show as with two Rs. Maybe two T's Which let me down the path. So if it was misspelled I was probably missing one of those exactly so Which you know, it was a very tricky subject today because I didn't want to necessarily get into the whole revenge porn thing But I did think that Tom as a public figure you are would be vulnerable to this sort of thing and That's what this drawing does. It shows that it is Tom with two M's one R Presenting the Daily Fake News show I Love it. I was like, who is that? Wow, does Tom, you know, like well exactly There's an image of you in here Sarah saying that you're getting the feeling. It's not really Tom and Roger saying hashtag There's something really I something's happening with Tom right now as a matter of fact. Yeah, no, it's it's totally me I don't know what you guys are talking about good old Tom with two M's Careful because you are vulnerable for this with this and and and this just depicts that that just be careful Who you get your news from make sure it's always from Daily Tech News show and not from Daily Fake News It's funny with with the facial hair. It almost looks like Zombie I as actor has been So, you know I go check it out folks Len Peralta store Com if you want to take a look at it see what it looks like maybe even buy a copy for yourself He's got digital prints as well as physical prints there. That's Len up there in a few minutes Len Peralta store Com a big thanks to everybody who supports this show and All the ways that we have if you didn't know we have a store Daily Tech news show comm slash store Where there are t-shirts and coffee mugs and Onesies and new tote bags. There's DTS tote bags in there as well So go check it out. Maybe you'll find something you want or like and it's a great way to support the show That's Daily Tech news show comm slash store. Yeah Next time you have a picnic use our tote bag It's perfect for that and in fact if you have a piece of merchandise from the DTS store And you want to show it off take a photo of yourself and email to us at feedback at Daily Tech news show Com or you know just say whatever you want to say it's it's email We are live Monday through Friday at 4 30 p.m. Eastern 2130 UTC at elf geek radio comm and diamond club TV and our website is Daily Tech news show comm Back on Monday with Veronica Belmont talk to you then This show is part of the frog pants network. Get more at frog pants comm Diamond club hopes you have enjoyed this problem. Ah Great show Nicole. Thank you so much. Great show Nicole. Thank you for having me And you find Friday afternoon.  We hope you agree Can't think of what I'd rather do Then figure out my black magic nightmare There's always a black magic nightmare.  Well, it's Hard to explain but Roger, what should we call this show? Don't put mouth on my words Someone else's head on a porn body Daily Tech news show Another one I saw this believe ones that know Smartphone manufacturers fail at planned obsolescence That's overstating it Also, they don't do planned obsolescence. Don't put don't put mouth on my words Tom. Don't put mouth in my words You put your peanut butter in the chocolate Chocolate remember that commercial. Oh, yeah, don't put words in my rendered mouth. That's another spin on that Hmm Come on, what do we got? What do we got?   That's my second favorite Yeah, I that one could in fact confuse Right.  Why are they doing an entire show about fake news? great My print so No, that's fine. It's fine in your print. I love it in the print Love it with a yes, I did draw myself in the bottom of the This is probably obvious to a lot of you But I found a really good use for you know who our favorite echo device lady Which is I say How do you say I'm tired in French and then she says here's how you say I'm tired in French And then she's got a real nice French accent and then she says I'm tired in front Well, I was worried that that would happen And there you go, that's not even a very good accent Tom Well, I thought it was cool. Yeah, that is cool. I hadn't actually thought to do that What is your what is your Twitter account? Oh, it's just Nicole You know how I remember that I always remember that I never forget Nicole's Twitter account It's just Nicole like just Veronica. Yeah, yes, like Veronica. Yes Nicole was the first person I followed on Twitter ever No, and you would Nicole having been on Twitter as long as you have do you find it to be a blessing or a curse to have so many people? probably Misdirect other Nicole tweets to you. Yes, that is that used to be an issue But recently Twitter added a little Option in their settings where you could select only to have people only to be notified when people Who follow you? Show up in your notifications and that has saved me By having from having like a hundred and thousands of like the random a at Nicole were just not me at all Oh, those people talking about Nicole Richie. Oh, yeah, or whoever, you know, I don't know Nicole I used to I used to get it. I get it a lot less I used to get because it's that Jolly Roger people would because they went to a bar or something called that Jolly Roger They got just a great time playing darts and shooting but like no That's in my place or for shootball. Well, so even gotten it because there are other Sarah Lane's Yeah, I am I use tweetbots, so I don't you know I can filter out stuff very differently than the actual Twitter experience, but yes ballerina's porn stars You know, I'm in good company. I have never gotten a fake ace detect Hmm, and what about Tom Merritt are there other Tom Merritt's what are the other Tom Merritt's? Yeah, but I don't I don't really pay attention. I have the Tom Merritt account on Twitter Yeah, I don't really pay attention. Yeah, the the other Len Peralta on Twitter and social media YouTube is is a woman Who is a party planner? What one of the other Tom Merritt's is Scientists from Houston who lives or did live last I knew in Oxford. I actually got to meet him at a UK meetup That's cool The one time that my note mentions blew up actually was when a an actress in a Brazilian soap opera by the name of Nicole I guess died in the soap opera. I guess She just she died and my mentions basically non-stop Just in in in Portuguese. I'm guessing just a foreign language I didn't understand and this was like a full flood of it. I said what is the heck is going on? And I just I learned that you say that because I have a friend some of you might know her Helena Dagmar her Twitter handles Helena and She in Brazil there was some like actress or whatever in some soap opera that like something happened that was like, you know a really big deal and She like rocketed from like 5000 followers to like 500,000 oh my god, because everyone just thought that that's who it was. Yeah Still it was Brazil and it was not So weird the character died right not not the actress Right Well, but I think people were adding her because the actress's name is Helena. Oh Gotcha. I don't know it was it was it was This person is probably not gonna tweet if they're dead The character something I don't even know if someone died I'm gonna start following that person Remember it's not the following. It's the at-reply. It's the mention. Gotcha. You don't even follow.  I'm still here guys. Exactly. Nicole's like Yeah, you know When comic book artist Len wine died at the end of last year, I got I didn't have a crazy Twitter thing, but I did have some private messages sent to me like are you okay? I saw Len all these people knew him. I thought you would Know it's not me. It's not me You know when Tom Hanks was rumored to be dead. I got nothing like that I When did Tom Hanks have a room where he was dead? Oh, you didn't hear it. There was a There was a big twig it was one of the early like Twitter memes were like Tom Hanks died. No, he didn't I remember when Mr. Bean everybody thought mr. Bean died. Mm-hmm. Yeah, sure the character Good question Rowan Atkinson that was someone it was someone I could sit her in black outer, but you know RIP RIP Rowan Atkinson someone had a tweet and it exploded after that with the person the hashtag what they meant to do with a hashtag was really inspiring person so they Yeah, I don't know that's either like a trolling move It's like my mom who thought lol was lots of love for yeah, right, right? It could it could I think it go either way it would just depend you'd have to see the person Mom's get wrong but like who told them that they just they all assume that you know you you love the one another. Yeah, I Love the internet, you know, it's the internet's a beautiful place It's funny I am I saw Jonathan Colton this past week. Oh cool He came to town and he was talking about the internet and here's someone who was born out of the internet, right?  It didn't used to be that bad. I think Jonathan always had a healthy Skepticism about how good it was for any of us, but but it used to be much better. Yeah, no You know and I say that but then I'm not sure I believe that I think it's just there are so many more people on it The percentage is probably the same as it's always been but when it was you know a few thousand people on use net The impact is as much well I think what it is is is what is your overall feeling after using the internet do you feel better?   That's depressing. I Don't even think about it like that. Yeah So it's it's like it could be the same percentage But you know a few years ago. It was like all this one guy said a thing now It's like a hundred guys horrible thing, but it's still not I Have a theory about that and I think it's because it's text and it's not Verbal because text is just sits there on a screen. You just staring at it Yeah staring at it staring at it. You can go back and see it and there's no time Well, there's no time but more importantly, there's no discourse, right? There's no conversation and so what you do is you concentrate on what was said Well, there is there is conversation, but it's not live So that to your point you concentrate on what was said because you're waiting until you respond you're letting it mold It just ends like that and that Respond, I mean, that's the problem is that then you respond with an angry thing that gets misinterpreted and then they Escalates, but I think even there's that passive idea of the internet where you're just reading things and you're reading it and you're taking these things in I see like Someone was yelling at you. It would be like, okay, that's antagonistic They might gently say something to you that you don't want to hear but you know, there's that approach Text is just like you're just like whatever mood you're in you're gonna take it how you take it, right? If I if Sarah says that and I go shut up Then yeah, whatever that's like right, but if I go shut up And I like scream it well, you have that's what you have to put a gift along with that text. Yeah Or like an emoji or something just have a shirt. That's that slash s for sarcasm. You just point to it. Oh, yeah There you go. Oh, yeah, the old sark mark.  Everybody keep an eye out For mailbag the show from DTMS labs coming shortly. We hope yeah, we want you to watch Interact and you know tell us what you like and don't like Wasn't internet weird at all. Yeah, you had a couple of weird hiccups because you guys did too. Okay. Okay. I used a different solution that We'll go ahead and stop the live stream though. Thanks everybody. All right


Regration splines are sometimes used for modeling non-linear relationships. In this video I will take a look at what regression splines are and how a spline regression is estimated. The first time a person normally sees a spline it's in exploratory data analysis in a curve like this. So here we have a data set from Stata, we have a car's weight and the miles per gallon that the car receives and we are feeding some kind of curve here that is supposed to describe the data. This here is a spline curve. To understand what that curve actually tells us and how it is calculated we need to take a look at how these splines are defined. So the idea of a spline is that this is not actually a regression line or any other function that we can draw based on a regression model rather we are feeding different regression models to different parts of the data. Let's take a look at how Haastian co-authors explain splines. They have this example of a spline regression with two knots. So the knot is a part or a value on the x-axis after which we switch to a different regression model. So here in the first panel here we have two knots and we're simply estimating a line that has a different mean or different intercept for each of these part of the data. And in the second part we are estimating a different regression line for each part of the data. So this is basically running three separate regressions on the same data, splitting the data into three sub-samples and this is simply calculating means for three parts of the data. And these knots are estimated from the data but how exactly that is done we'll get to that in a moment. Typically when we have a spline we want the spline to be continuous. So we restrict one of these lines to start where the other one ends. So for example here we have a negative slope, negative slope but not as negative and then a positive slope and that feeds a curve that is non-linear. So this is the most commonly used scenario. We are basically here estimating four different parameters. So we have the intercept which shows where this first spline crosses the y-axis, then we have the first slope, then we have the difference between the first slope and the second slope and the difference between the second slope and the third slope which gives us the line. So we need four parameters to show how that line goes. Linear spline is simple to understand and simple to interpret but quite commonly the splines that we see which are used for data exploration purposes they are so called cubic splines. So instead of fitting a linear regression model we fit a regression model that has x, x-square and x to the third power or x-cube and then we estimate our betas for each of those three terms and we allow each term to have a different value for different parts of the data. And we can adjust the spline to have a different decrease of continuity. So here in the first case this is discontinuous so we're just estimating a separate different regression model with our third degree polynomial of x for each part of the data. Then in the continuous one we are estimating two parameters less which means that we constrain these intercepts for the second part to be whatever is the point here where the first part ends and then we can add even more constraints to the model estimate less and less and that gives us smoother and smoother plots. So how exactly we calculate these plots? Let's take a look at how splines work using the prestige dataset. So this is a dataset that I use in several examples. We have occupations here, the observations. We have the average year of education of the occupation and then income of the occupation in Canadian dollars in 1970s. And we can see that when we fit a spline the best fitting spline shows that the increase in education in income is rather gradual until about 14.45 years and then it starts to increase rapidly. So education pays off and colleges education even more so. So how is this kind of line with one not estimated? Let's take a look at the data. So this is there are the first 12 observations and if we know the not that it's 14.45 we can calculate a new variable called education star. This name of the variable does not have any significance. It is just something that I decided to use. So the star is not the convention here. So we have education and then we have education star which tells us how many years of education this particular observation has more than the not. So if there are occupations as less education than the not value then education star is zero. For example the first observation is 13.11 years of education. It's not more than 14.45 so the value is zero and then this observation here has education which exceeds 14.45.  So in fact what we are doing here is that we are estimating how much the slope will be different or what is there are these beta two estimates the difference of the slope and the interpretation is that how much excess or how much more this additional years of education beyond the not point pay and in practice these models are estimated by first specifying the regression model and then specifying the position of the not as addition a parameter and then that is a iter of the optimized to find the best feeding line. Spline regression can be understood also as an interaction model. So we can understand this as an interaction where we have education plus education times c and c here again this is my own convention is a binary variable that indicates whether there are x value for that observation is above or below the not value if it's below then it receives zero if it's above then it receives one and then we set the beta three there are coefficients for the not we constrain to be that kind of equation which basically defines that these lines will meet at the not point. In practice these models are estimated using something called non-linear least squares the idea of non-linear least squares is that we find the spline including the regression coefficients and the not value that minimizes the sum of squares residuals it is called non-linear least squares because there is no closed form solution so we cannot simply apply linear algebra and arriving to the estimates rather the computer will actually calculate the sum of squares residuals trying different values for the regression coefficients and the not or or not if we are more and it will iteratively find that there are the values that maximize minimize the sum of squares residuals.


What's going on guys welcome back to the channel critical overload here since I'm about Jurassic World Dominion in this video here again today Jurassic World 3 Chris Pratt did recently have an interview or he was a guest on the today's show I believe where he made some comments about the film and Was going into a talk about how this is the end of the franchise how this will be the final movie How it's like a combination of all the things that we've gotten over the past Five movies now this six won't be the thing that's gonna close out the series I've already talked about in previous videos how they made it clear that this is supposed to just be the end of the Jurassic era not intended to be the end of the franchise But of course things could change as it pertains to how a performance of the box office But going into Chris Pratt, he stated that 30 years into making this is the six Jurassic film and it's the end of the franchise and then he was also asked by the person He was being interviewed by or if he was on the panel with is this is it really the end? So, you know that question is it really and I'll just give my answer first I don't think it's the end I think what's going to happen is they're gonna take a very extensive break to figure out what they want to do Post-Jurassic era and then go into a more Concrete plan that way they're not just looking to make another movie instantly without a clear plan in mind They want to take an approach like how they took with this trilogy, but he continued on I really do think is the end Yeah, you got the legacy cast back Sam Neil or Dern Jeff Goldblum plus the cast of Jurassic World all our storylines converging in a way That is very much a finale So again, we know this is going to be treated like a finale type of thing But what has come out already previously is is pertaining to the fact that it's supposed to be the end of the Series as we know it and I've made it clear now if this actually is the end of the series No more movies at all. I'm fine with that But what I think they're going to do is stop calling these movies Jurassic Park or Jurassic World They're not going to call it Jurassic anything. It's supposed to be the end of the Jurassic era I think there's going to be an extensive break in between this movie and whatever they do in the future It'll be longer than what we've had in between Domain and Kingdom it'll be longer than what we have between World and Fallen Kingdom. It'll be probably eight years. Maybe another decade Maybe less than that because I know a lot of you wouldn't want to wait that long But I think it's definitely something that needs to be longer than the weight We've had in between dominion and kingdom if you want to kind of send home The fact that you're not just trying to keep making countless movies left and right I think they're just going to go away You won't hear anything about Jurassic Park other than of course people just acknowledging the the the impact it had and the Anniversary of certain movies you might see Chris Pratt and all these other people that are involved with the series Come out in interviews and talk about how grateful they are with their time spent with it And then many years after this one and the iteration of Jurassic Park as we knew it that'll be done It'll be respected, but we're going to bridge into a new path a film that's still a part of the same universe It's not going to be titled Jurassic anything. It's going to be something related to dinosaurs and we'll be exploring a mapped out Post-Jurassic era universe where humans and dinosaurs are co-existent It'll be very much so planet of the apes or something like that. I think that's the approach that they are going to take I don't think that the series as a whole will be done again if it is done I'll be fine with that. We have six movies six movies I'm assuming are gonna be fun for the most part all five of them are very fun to watch They're all very entertaining again the one that really I think is the most boring is the lost world That's not to say that the lost world is a worse movie than Jurassic Park 3 I can go over Reasons in a different video as to why the lost world is still better than Jurassic Park 3 But I still have more fun watching Jurassic Park 3 for other reasons pertaining to some of the things that involve with the characters that are there And finding some enjoyment in the stupidity of certain things that happen in that movie because Jurassic Park 3 Is a low point for the series, but this franchise as a whole after Jurassic World Dominion I don't think it's done. I hear what Chris Pratt is saying. I just don't think that of course it's going to be Over it'll be over for the franchise as we know it I think that we will live up to what has already been expressed to us from everyone else Or from other people involved with this film and with this franchise That have made it clear that this is supposed to be the end of the Jurassic era That's also what the marketing has kind of been amping up that this is the end of the Jurassic era He's come out and said it's supposed to be the end of the franchise He and I think it's important to remember that he said he thinks it's the end of the franchise Well, it's one thing to think Have you been told that by someone? Because from what other people Involved have stated this is supposed to be the end of the Jurassic era meaning that anything after this Won't be titled Jurassic this or Jurassic that It'll just be titled something related to dinosaurs most likely It'll be in the same universe and even still if you would like to have the same impact. I think like a strong impact Where you have a movie people see is about dinosaurs, but they're not too sure if it's Jurassic park or not I think you'd have to be gone for a substantial amount of time That's why I think being gone for at least close to another decade would be beneficial If they can accomplish it in a way that is shorter than a decade I'll be surprised to see that but Like a now something but even then of course if universal is the one behind it. They're gonna know it's Jurassic park I just think that there should be a thing a scheme done Where universal announces a new dinosaur type movie, but they initially kind of Kind of hide the fact that it's actually a Jurassic park movie They hide the fact that this is just the seventh entry in that universe They try to make it seem like you're doing something completely fresh something new Nothing to do with Jurassic park and then bam you get your confirmation that this actually is a Jurassic park movie When you go out of your way to watch it in the theater now, of course This would also rely heavily on you not having too many things associated with those films in this movie So that require I guess a new creative team a completely new cast No appearances by anyone that we've already seen in this series Unless they would be surprised cameos But I think that would just be a cool way to kind of mark it a future movie That's not titled Jurassic this or Jurassic world that Jurassic park that They could explore that in a way where people are drawn to go check the movie out to see if it's just a Jurassic park movie Then have their answer confirmed when they sit down and watch it in theaters Or of course you could have leaks go on where you have a spider-man no way home scenario And it's pretty much confirmed before everyone watches it But then people just still go out and watch to see how great it all comes out to be The other thing I was going to disclose in this video for those of you who are looking forward to like some of the first reactions to the movie The first reactions to the movie are not going to be available online or anywhere social media reactions or reviews won't be available So june 9th not june 9th june 8th at 12 p.m. Pacific time, which will be 3 p.m. Easter time depending on what time zone you're in So you're not going to see any reactions. I know I saw someone from collider who's seen the movie They're not going to share anything until june 8th I just want to share that with you guys for any of you guys wondering when you can see first reactions But let me know what you guys think about chris perhaps words down in the comment section below If you haven't already of course, make sure you subscribe Turn on post notification never miss a video in the description I'll link some social media accounts on facebook, twitter and instagram You can message me there of course to them as any movies news or reviews I'm going to cover in the future with all that in mind guys. I will see you in the next video


Hey coach welcome back to our channel if you are brand new here make sure and hit that subscribe button below This way you can stay updated with all the newest videos We have coming out on Mondays Wednesdays and Fridays And if you're a serious coach, and you need some help click on this button here If you want to take your business to the next level, that's gonna be great resource for you to check out after you get done Watching this video now in today's video. It's very simple if you are someone who is shy You don't like to network. You don't like to market yourself I'm gonna share really my story about how it was for me And then we're gonna focus in on some actionable steps that you can take This way you can start to become a better marketer and you can network more with Parents and those who have influence over kids in your community, and I know back in 2002. Let's see here 2009 That was a year. I just graduated college. I did not feel confident and comfortable Speaking to parents Marketing my program Networking with others and I very quickly realized you know what if I don't overcome this obstacle Well, I'm not gonna be in business and I'm not gonna be able to do the thing that I love doing which is coaching kids Very early on I realized that and I knew that in order for me to get good at that I had to get outside my comfort zone and know that alright parents have to know who I am They have to know like and trust me before they buy for me And the way that I do that is I have to get in front of them constantly over and over and over again But again for someone who is shy like me that was really difficult at the beginning stages And I'm gonna show you exactly how I did it and how you can do this very simple This way you have confidence doing it and you can get more eyeballs on your program step one is We need to think about the kids that you want to train Where are they coming from and I mean like what part of town are they in what organizations they play with? Who has influence over these kids? Obviously, it's their parents But if we think on a deeper level It's going to be whoever is the at the top of these organizations And I'm just gonna use the YMCA for example very easy Easy example the YMCA has a soccer league and the soccer league has is consisted of kids and parents I'm gonna go first to whoever's running that soccer league and say hey I'd like to run a free camp for the YMCA. I'd love to help out these kids Not gonna charge anything. I want to do this for free yada yada yada All right now I go to the person at the top that person at the top has influence over Everyone at the bottom, which is the parents and the kids and I know the person at the top is gonna have the emails phone numbers Everything that I possibly need from the YMCA person at the top has it and what I can do at that point is just focus on a one-on-one relationship between me and The guy or the girl at the top and at that point when I establish that bond when they understand how much I want to Help they're going to want to promote me without me having to do it because I focus on The person who has the greatest influence over the kids and the parents That's the only person I care about at that point when I go put on that free camp Well now I can meet all of these parents who want to meet me rather than me going out to try to meet them and feel uncomfortable I know that's very difficult to do still for me at this present moment. That's still hard to do so again I'm gonna go to the very top and look to network and give that Organization something and in return they are feeding me clients at that point if I do that over and over and over again With every single type of organization that has kids that I can potentially train Then there's never going to be a shortage of clients no matter how shy I am And that is something I know you can do and this would be a great goal to set in 2019 I feel like it's very easy But just go on Google and type in youth sports organizations your city and Go through every single one of those most cities have multiple sports organizations or club teams or rec teams Whatever it is you want to specialize them At that point you go set up a Google doc and it's gonna you're just gonna find all the ones that you see online and One by one go put on your Google doc and look to connect with every single one of those presidents or directors of training of all those organizations and I know if you did that once a month Every single month you could have a free camp and ultimately by the end of the year You can get in front of hundreds of kids By just connecting with one person at a time because at that point They have all the influence over all the parents and kids that you would ever want to train Okay, again, just go to Google have that set up look to make the relationships and I know to me that's If we if we really broke this down talking to 12 People of influence is not difficult to do over the course of a year That just requires you picking up the phone calling them or going into their office Speaking them to directly about what it is that you can help them with and again This is not about asking them for clients This is about going and showing them and giving them a giving hand showing them exactly how you can help them Otherwise, they're never gonna want to do a free camp or clinic with you