Welcome to Church of the Chair where wolves run. I'm your host E and today we're taking our eye out with some fireworks. If you're new around here I need to give you a warning. In this series I will be spoiling all of Stephen King's work so if you haven't read all of his books I suggest you click away now. You've been warned. Today we're talking about Cycle of the Werewolf by Stephen King with illustrations by the legendary Bernie Riteson. So how does Cycle of the Werewolf tie into the Dark Tower series in the Stephen King universe in general? Let's get into that. But first, first, first hold up, pump them brakes. I want to show off something that I forgot I had until just now trying to pick this out of my collection because it's not showcased up on my shelf. Something that my friend Josh who has sent me loads of collector's editions and rare books especially Stephen King stuff and that's this which is Silver Bullet. I guess you'd call this the movie tie-in cover but this is much different than your normal movie tie-in cover because not only does the first part of it have Cycle of the Werewolf but you also have images from production in the middle and then best of all I feel is the script for Silver Bullet in the back which I just find amazing. This is this is one of the coolest things I have and I don't know too many people who have it and before Josh sent it to me I had no idea this even existed. So if you have a copy of it let me know down there in the comments. Now finally on to the connections. There's only really one connection in here that I found over the years and that is Cycle of the Werewolf takes place in Tarker's Mill. Tarker's Mill and Chester's Mill are known as the Twin Mills in the Stephen King universe and Chester's Mill is the location of where Under the Dome takes place and since I have already tied Under the Dome into the Stephen King universe and the Dark Tower series I think that it's pretty self-evident that it's a tie-in. Unfortunately once again in the comments of the original video I got no additional theories, no corrections, nothing other than people talking about what their first experience with Stephen King was and that's probably because I talked about my own personal experience and this being the very first book of his that I ever even flipped through but I still wouldn't go on to read my first Stephen King book until 1993 when I stole Dolores Claiborne out of my out of my parent's mailbox. But that's all the time I have for you today. Did I miss anything? Do you have any corrections of anything I said in this video or do you have theories of your own on how Cycle of the Werewolf ties into the Dark Tower series and the Stephen King universe? Let me know down there in the comments. But until next time...


Everybody forced here ripping in 2022 23 origins basketball hobby six box half case number nine picker team got AJ with the Magic Aki Celtics Alistair Clippers Alex see Hawks Alvin S. Pelicans Anthony C. Warriors Arcadia Snicks Benjamin bulls Brett W. Wizards Chen Kai Nets Chi Hao Pacers David T. Bucks Didier Hornets is Zeke has the calves and the nuggets Gavin Mavericks Hugh with the Sixers Excuse me Lursak Spurs Liz T. Wolves Matthew Jazz Philip Sons Robert R. Grizzlies Robert P. Blazers Ryan S. Thunder Sean M. Kings Steve beam heat Thomas R. Pistons Rockets Lakers Raptors Appreciated everybody. Let's get started That sure to James. It's kind of cool as well. Like Pascantino in Italy Dude, I like they need to make a Randy short print where he's just posing after that catch That's one of the coolest photos I've ever seen in my life Like there are there are certainly better baseball players in Randy Rosarana, but not when not when there's big games There's no one cooler than Randy Rosarana in the big games Originals Jalen Williams for the for the Thunder. Yeah, we've seen that autos. We pulled one last break, right? 3j couple Jordan Clarkson's sister Jordan Clarkson C. Jim McCollum. We saw Jerry West. We've seen Grant Hill Diabato rookie Clippers Donna Mitchell Cavs rookie red Dyson Daniels Pelicans. You can pull some big that autos Speaking of neon green of 49 Lamello ball Hornets 1 of 49 and Universal jazz auto Jordan Clarkson You jazz and jazz. Oh check Baji the first on card. We've seen about Baji today. Congrats to the jazz How do they have him in a Cleveland Jersey? Your play for Cleveland. They must have mocked these up a long time ago I would think it is on card so to be fair they may have made these like Because he was trying to after the draft, right? I'm sure in the summer. I guess that is technically still summer 91 What was that trade actually on a September 1st because that makes sense I mean they could mock it up because it is an on-card auto like it's I don't know they must have already had that drawn up. I don't know the timeline on this Red origins Donna Mitchell Cavs is 75 Not gonna think too hard about it already thought too hard about it Zion Scottie red Siddiq Bay for the Pistons a Jabari Smith jr. Rookie neon green to 49 there we go Rockets Nice one there debook sons in the game use Jersey card And the first we've seen of this player today as well bowls rookie auto on-card Dalen Terry But reverse Terry So I'm wondering Bradley Oh Kessler is part of the Rudy trade then I think it was No, they were both Yeah, the Mitch and set yeah, I'm so confused right now red dawn Scotty Barnes Raptors Red dawn a 75 Raptor Scotty Barnes Patrick Swayze parallel Jalen Suggs Zion Red tether hero heat and a gold Fred Van Vliet two of ten Raptors future magic question mark Spurs rookie Jersey Malachi Branham That would make sense then because that one that's what's that happened Ricky Andrew Nemhardt auto for the Pacers on card Must be the Donovan trees are a body them. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah Okay, I guess that's what that Yeah, that was it was later. So I okay, that makes sense jazz Jazz crushed their trades. I mean the Donovan Mitchell one is like a win-win. Yeah But considering you're trading Donovan Mitchell like yeah, I'm still winning. Yeah Roots are greatness Stockton Malone jazz 19 first round picks If you're right It's probably closer to that than what we're thinking Nemo Rudy go bear Palo rookie variation for the magic. That's a tough pull Only seen a variation every couple of cases. I would say Red Edwards T Wolves and an orange to 75 Jimmy Butler heat Wizards Johnny Davis rookie Jersey. Here's Johnny and Here's an elevation Palo Ben carol rookie auto to 99 34 of 99. I'm a magnet for these Congrats magic again, I think a few different people have the magic and hit some of these big card going into mag, of course AJ again, I just hit a couple I think I Many more case a different case. How many more can there be? Don Dyson Daniels Dyson Daniels dawn like the alliteration fan fan Yeah, fourth one three you three I'm guessing basis to 99 on those and then a gold Dang rookie thunder red butler heats green true green to five Deontay Murray Hawks to a five Yes, I got you on a bagel Redemption Christian Coloca rookie auto Raptors your Raptors you're gonna bring a bagel to And Cavaliers red rookie auto Isaiah Mowgli 43 of 99 we go cabs I would think go bears probably future Hall of Famer just defensive wise Not a lot of guys have done what he's done his career defensively so I Mean I wouldn't say yet, but He probably he probably gets there Don shade on sharp blazers. How does he always stacks up with like current times though?  They might be twins actually I mean Evan definitely better, but Both NBA caliber, you know the first pal of these. Yeah, that's variation. That's why I said that's pretty cool, too That'll do it. Thanks again everybody on to number 10


Hello guys, how are you doing? Welcome one more week to one of our amazing webinars. Thank you for joining us on this webinar on Facebook, because we have a lot of people joining from everywhere. I've seen the comments and crazy we have people from the US, from Europe, from Africa. Oh man, this is getting crazy. And I understand why. We have an amazing speaker today. We have his name is Camila. Before we jump into the webinar, I want guys to give you a little bit more context of what these events are about. So as many of you know, we organize weekly events. We have webinars. We also organize a lot of Slack AMAs, which stands for Ask Me Anything. So we bring amazing product managers from the best companies in the world to talk about different aspects of the product. And we also have other type of events where all the audience asks questions and our speakers answers all of them. So that's what we do with these online events. In addition to that, we also host on-site events. We have 15 physical campuses across the world. So if you guys are located nearby any of those campuses, please take our website because we bring the best product managers in the world. And we also invite you to those campuses to give talks in person. So in addition to hosting these free events, which is a great resource for all of you that are thinking of breaking into product management, we also organize courses. So if you want to take it to the next level and you are thinking of breaking into product management and getting a job as a product manager, that's what we do. That's what we've been doing for four years now. And that's what we do. We have courses. We have five courses. The main one is about product management, and then we have four other courses that are called Coding for Managers, Data Analytics for Managers, Blockchain for Managers, and Digital Marketing for Managers. So if you guys are interested in any of these courses, please go to our website, productschool.com, and then you'll see all the dates, instructors, and so on. And in addition to that, I have a huge announcement today, which is that we recently opened our online campus. This means that after four years training people on site, we have decided to take it to the next level, and now we are offering online courses. These courses are live, so it's the same experience as you were in San Francisco, for example, but from your place, whatever you are. So as I told you, if you guys want more information, please check productschool, and then we'll see all the courses that we have, all the dates, and all the instructors. So going back to today's webinar, we are pretty excited about today's speaker, his name is Kevin. He's a senior product manager at Amazon, and he has a lot of years of experience as a product manager in companies such as Flipkart, Microsoft. So I'm going to let him introduce himself and take it from there. How are you doing, Kevin? Hi, Fernando. Thank you so much for that introduction. I'm doing good. Hi, everyone. Yeah. So a little something about myself, beyond what Fernando said, I've been a consumer PM, a consumer product manager for a little over seven years now. And as was just mentioned, I've most recently, I'm a senior product manager in Amazon in the London office in Prime Video. And before that, I spent about three, three and a half years with Flipkart. So it's been a while that I've been in e-commerce, and you see shades of e-commerce across this presentation. And today we are essentially going to be talking about open web, per se. Let me just share. By the way, guys. So the format of this webinar is going to be a 20-minute presentation led by Karen. And then we'll have 10 minutes at the end for Q&A. So if you guys want to ask anything to Karen, please leave your question in the comments. And I will make sure I read those questions at the end of the webinar. All yours, Karen. Thank you. All right. Okay, great. I think everybody should be able to see the slide now. Okay, great. So let's get straight into it. Growth and engagement is a very active topic these days, right?  And given that all of you are here in a product school webinar, means that you actively think about it as well or at least are curious about it. And today what we are going to do is we are going to talk about, and I'm going to talk about web, especially mobile web, and how it is usually underutilized as a lever, as a very strong lever for growth and engagement, and how some structured adjustments in the way we think about and analyze and build for mobile web really unlock the power of this platform for you, for your products, for your company, if you have your own product, then that as well. Let's go on. Okay. So all of us here, no matter who we are, if we are marketing managers, product managers, vendor managers or even engineers and designers, we're all responsible for engagement and growth of our products in one way or the other. Eventually all our metrics roll up to engagement and growth and eventually we're all responsible for the success of our products to either acquiring new users or making existing ones stick around longer and engage more with our products, right? And one of the top channels or platforms for growth. One of the largest and the oldest platforms is actually the web platform. And I've just added a small infographic here to show you that even till date, web has been a growing platform and it is truly democratic, it's open and the number of web pages that are served to mobile phones has been steadily increasing and will continue increasing. And when I say open web, I mean web as in the web that you access through your browsers and on desktop or mobile. But today we're going to be specifically talking about mobile because the issues are more prominent there, right? But even though web is actually a very, very potent platform and is ever increasing, it is still perceived as a platform which has relatively poorer metrics as compared to other platforms. When I say other platforms, they could be native apps, they could be desktop apps per say even desktop web sometimes and probably emergent platforms like chatbots or voice, right? So with all this advancement that is happening in the web, there is still a huge gap in how people perceive the channel, right? And this gap is mostly due to the fact that we analyze web along with all the other platforms and there is an apples to apples comparison, right? And what we're going to do today is try and dig a little deeper into that and hopefully I leave you with enough food for thought so that you see the channel and web as a channel in a different light and are able to analyze your own platforms to build better products. Now let's see how the situation is currently manifesting. The problem that I'm referring to essentially manifests in a very standard way in most of the companies, not every company but most of the companies. So if you look at number one, you basically, there is an apples to apples comparison with other platforms.  Then you prematurely conclude that this is probably because of the in-product experience of the mobile site or the website that you have. Then we decide to conduct a few experiments to fix that experience. Maybe it's making your form simpler or customer journey shorter, but we find in the product itself internally and we lay out experiments. And what we see is that we spend time improving the experience and we continuously see that the efforts are not measuring up and not giving the results that we need. Because of this happening over a period of time, we conclude that there is probably a ceiling to how good a mobile website can be and how good mobile web can be. And companies decide to move investment from sources to other platforms and which is why you see mobile web teams has been really smaller than the other teams around. And this moves like a flywheel because of lower investment, the experience falls further and hence you basically have a negative spiral and you keep going down. However, there are some companies who have a better way and they seem to be increasing investments in the web rather than reducing it. Now, these seem to be exceptions out of the lot, but they know something that others don't. And I want to try and open that Pandora's box for you all and leave you with certain food for thought as to what these companies know, why they are doing better than others and exactly how do you harness this power? Now, to understand the factors affecting metrics, I'm going to take an example of conversion rate. I'm an e-commerce person, so I'm going to use conversion rate as an e-commerce person, so I'm going to be using conversion rate as an example. And the definition of conversion rate is if you're selling a product or a service on your website, then it's the total number of sales or purchases that happen divided by the unique visitors who have visited the site. So let's go straight into it and the... Now, the number one factor that I want to basically introduce you to is the different kinds of visitors that visit different platforms. Now, when we're analyzing, we sometimes assume that the characteristics and the segments of users who are visiting different platforms are essentially the same. But that is usually not the case. There can be several platforms like Mobile Web, Desktop Boys, as I told you before, but here I'm going to use two platforms, the Mobile Web and Native Apps, to illustrate the point because I think all of us will be familiar with these two platforms very well. Now, Mobile Web can be considered as a public place, as an open mall where anybody can work in. However, Native Apps in comparison is like a closed club with bouncers standing outside. Now, the idea or the takeaway here is that Native Apps have a filtered set of audience and they allow only a filtered set of audience to come inside. Now, this filtered set are those kinds of people who have decided to sacrifice their time, their effort, their mobile network data, their storage on their phone to try out the app. So they already have a honed intent in some way. Now, if you allow the best of the group to only come in, then it's no surprise that that group is also going to be spending a little more. That does not mean that we should not allow everybody to come in, but that's just the structural difference between the two platforms. And the key learning here which I want to leave you with for this particular factor is that it is not the experience that has made this difference. It's a structural difference. And what it does is essentially you're allowing the best of the crowd in and best of the visitors in and hence they're going to behave in the way that their spending power allows them, which is reasonably higher. So it's not the experience, but it's just that you have a variability in the kind of visitors who actually visit. The second factor is actually super interesting and we realized this early on when we were analyzing but we required a lot of UX research and talking to customers to understand this point really well. And once it was clear, it seemed obvious to us. Let me illustrate this with a quick example. Now look at the two pictures that you see on the screen. The picture on the left is essentially assumed that to be a little busier road. Let's say it's the road that you take every day to go to work and the picture on the right. It's beautiful. However, it's the road that you take to your favorite holiday spot. Now here's a question. If you had the world's best coffee shop, which of the two roads do you think you would get the most repeat customers? If you built your coffee shop in the two rows, which one would you get the most repeat customers from? And most clearly, most of the times, I think the answer would be unanimous that it's the more busier road that we hope that most repeat customers would come from. And the reason is pretty obvious, but I'll get more into it. I am choosing repeat customers as a metric because repeat customers as a metric or retention or frequency has a very unique characteristics. And the unique characteristic about repeat customers is that all your growth and engagement metrics that you see are typically much better for repeat customers. And usually that is because they've already seen your product and that is hence the definition of repeat customers. They've already seen the product. They're already educated. It's not a surprise to them. And because of the fact that they've liked it, they have come back. So let me tell you how this compares to what we're talking about right now. In your native app or in the situation of native app as a platform, if your phone home screen, if your phone that you have in your hand, your mobile device is a highway that you cross 100, 200 and in some extreme cases, 500 times a day or maybe even more, your mobile app that is installed is like the coffee shop that you continuously see over and over again. And here is where the concept of growth and engagement comes in. Now this is a positive flywheel. And if you start from number one, you will see that the more users see your product, whether wanted or unwanted, but the more users see your product, the more they get to use your product. And the more they use your product, the more habitual they get. And the more habitual they get, the better your growth and engagement metrics. Any metrics that you see with respect to daily active users, the monthly active users or new users, conversion rate or average time spent or any other metric, you will see that all the metrics are higher for repeat customer traffic. Maybe after this webinar or some time later, you can go in and if you have access to your company's analytics, your product's analytics, create a segment for repeat users and see if that is true. And I would bet that mostly you would see better. For mobile web, on the other hand, there is a very key component that is missing. And that is number one. Users don't get reminded that your product or services there, users don't see it. If somebody is visiting your mobile website, then most of the times they have decided to open the browser and they have decided to punch in the URL or they have already done some exercise before. But it's a more proactive step rather than being reminded of it. And this is very critical because the takeaway here is that once you know that this fact, once you know the fact that this is not because of in product experience. It is essentially, again, due to structural differences between mobile apps and between mobile web. And once you know this fact, then you can very specifically target this fact to improve it. You can specifically target the fact that you have to improve visibility. You can implement addition to home screen, which is a great new feature that most of the web browsers have started to have. You can actually have presence on the home screen of the user, you can start counting users for that. You can have partnerships with browsers so that their own home screen has your product. You probably have to engage your marketing team there, but you can do that. You can have associates and affiliate traffic where your product keeps showing up. You can analyze where your users usually go and visit and then be there. So now that you know this, you can specifically target this rather than incorrectly, or people totally conclude that it's probably something to do with the experience within the product, which is probably not the case. Let's move on. The third factor, which I want to share with you, is basically channels. The different channels of traffic which bring visitors and users to your website or to your product, and the different intents that they have. Now in OpenWeb, you will see that, or rather not just in OpenWeb, in all channels, you would see that there are multiple traffic sources where your visitors come from. It can be direct traffic. It can be affiliate traffic. It can be search engines. It can be via social, which is Facebook, Twitter. It could be via dark social, which don't get tracked. For example, your shares via WhatsApp. They could be paid traffic like SEM ads. Now the key to understand here is that when you're talking about the web, this traffic is evenly distributed across, not really evenly, but distributed across all the channels that you see. However, when you look at native apps, this view is slightly different. You have traffic coming in from all the channels, but native apps have a unique quality, which is improving slowly day by day, but have a unique quality that they block most of the traffic from coming in. And this is again a structural issue with the world of native apps. They are a locked in experience. And you would see that although 80% of the traffic in OpenWeb is probably spread across these known channels, 80 to 90% of the traffic in native apps would be direct or via push notification, if you have implemented push notification. And the tricky thing here is that direct traffic and push notifications also actually have the highest conversion rates. They also convert better. They also have better engagement primarily because they have a large share of repeat traffic because of the reason that we discussed before. So again, it is not the experience within the product that made a difference or that detected users. It's just that you have high variability in your denominator. So if you look at the, if you remember the conversion rate formula, you have number of transactions based on the number of unique visitors. Your denominator is suddenly larger. And you have most of the conversion or most of the traffic concentrated on direct and push, which can work well. So it's basically comes down to a game of numbers. So this is the third factor. And here, now that you know the fact, you can then focus on it. You can focus on building more direct traffic on mobile web. You can focus on experiences that probably enable web push notifications, which is again a new thing, which is a very important channel. Not many websites and not many mobile websites have actually implemented it. And you still have a very good advantage to use that channel. So if you don't know these factors or you've not analyzed the traffic sources, then again, we can be infinitely conclude that might be the experience after users land in. Whereas in reality, the metric lowered even before the visitor actually had the chance to reach a product. The fourth factor that I want to share with you is experience but not quite in the way as we have spoken about it right now. And what I mean by that is that mobile web and I have been. I've been lucky to be part of several studies several researchers where we have come to understand that mobile web in mobile web people. They have a lower perception of reliability, security, overall experience and performance. And in reality, although that is not true. But in the world of consumer internet products, sorry, in the world of consumer internet products perception is reality. So we have to build towards how customers, how customers perceive you. And not to get too much into experience but just to give you an idea of why people perceive it that way. If you compare it again with native apps native apps have have an end to end experience edge to edge experience you don't see URL bars on mobile web to have a lot of how do I say a lot of frame of the browser. And as if it's a third party experience and on mobile that you see white pages I am before between page transitions. And I'm sure a lot of you have seen the famous chrome dinosaur when your mobile network is big. So all these things are all these things make a difference right and mobile web perception goes down. But the learning here is this to improve these things that are the technology has advanced sufficiently on mobile web that you can now have an experience which is exactly like like native apps. However, to make that happen you need a lot of JavaScript magic, but a side effect of Java of jumping straight into JavaScript and creating a great experience is that JavaScript also deteriorates absolutely deteriorates the performance. Of your web page, if not done intelligently right so there are there are certain ways where you can not sacrifice performance but usually companies don't focus on that. And they basically jump into creating that interactive. Small animation experience. And the takeaway is that other or the hidden learning here is that you need to build in in house JavaScript experience within your engineering and product teams. So that you know, so that you can improve the performance of your mobile web product without sacrificing without sacrificing performance. And in mind your performance is is actually a feature. I would I would suggest that whenever you are you're prioritizing features and functionalities and efforts for your product always keep performance as one of the number one features because decrease in performance will give you the largest decrease in your metrics and the reverse is also true. If you improve performance you will see a much better improve most of the times you would see a much better improvement than than a feature right and this is again a good open secret. Let's go to the fifth factor the fifth the fifth factor is is pretty interesting and this is about cookies and usually this is not this is not analyzed and it usually gets missed. But an important, important stat here is that about 30% of Internet users delete their cookies every month. And this number can usually go up by 40% in the first 12 countries or sorry, in developing countries such as India, China, Indonesia, sub Saharan Africa. These are the places where you would see a lot of cookie clearing happening and you can see that one of the top apps in the world for cookie clearing is clean master which has about 500 million. Now, the thing to understand here is that when you when users clear a cookie the next time they visit a website they're considered as as a brand new visitor. And analytics analytics softwares cannot differentiate between the previous visit and the and this one and they. And this increases the number of unique visitors and what happens is that if you remember the conversion rate formula again this inflates the number of users in conversion calculations. So, if you do a quick back and roll up you will realize that about 20% inflation in unique visitors will decrease your percentage by 18% your conversion rate by about 18% up somewhere in that ballpark and that this is a very critical factor. Now what you can do about this is that you can predict it, you can adjust your formula and get the real conversion rate not official. If you don't go there, then you again incorrectly conclude that something to the product is clearly not. The last factor that I want to leave you with is, is that not all traffic is human traffic. And this is again, this again shows up in data analytics, but we need to go a lot deeper to understand which what kind of traffic is and I'm definitely bought traffic like search engine crawlers, papers, pictures of spammers etc. But these visits again should not be part of your denominator, right, because they have 0% chance of converting and they're not real human no matter what you do you cannot, you cannot make a robot by some. And your denominator inflates again this again has the same effect. So imagine if you have a 20% bump in unique visitors, you will realize that your conversion rate drops by about 17, 18% which is actually really big. 18% growth in conversion rate takes years. There are several other factors as well like JavaScript errors and building for browsers which be personally use rather than what we think the users are using etc. But now that you know that, you know, analysis is probably the culprit and not product experience, you can now go ahead and find your own reasons for your own product but hopefully this should have left you with sufficient thought. This is a quick recap of what we discussed as to what are the actions that you can take for each factors in the interest of time I'll move on. But yeah, the top take-aways is deep dive and understand the why behind the numbers before jumping to conclusion, because it can be very costly for you in the long term or costly for the product. It's it always helps to educate your leadership to educate your teams and your stakeholders on the structural differences between platforms that they also understand how to what to expect out of out of metrics from each platform. You can build in-house JavaScript expertise, you've spoken about it, adjust your metric calculation based on the insights that you've got, so that you see the real conversion rates and you can see a true apples to apples comparison rather than the big gap. And ensure that whatever you learn turns into rapid hypothesis into rapid experimentation and show continuous improvement by building these into your product because only then you will be able to build trust in your company and you can use mobile web in the way that it should be used and you can get the value that you that you really that you really can approach it out of it. Thank you so much. And I hope this leaves you with good food for thought so that you can go back to your products and analyze it well. And look for these hidden secrets to improve conversion and explain to others that one needs to be done. Thank you. That was great Karen. Thank you so much for this amazing presentation. Everybody loved it. So now we still have a few minutes for a couple of questions so I'm going to be reading some of the questions from the comments. So the first one is from Michael, and he's asking, thanks Karen question, what's your sense on mobile web versus native app as a starting point for start up with small budget. Sorry, can you repeat the last part starting with. So, what's your sense on mobile web versus native app as a starting point for a startup with small budget. Right. Well, I would, what I would suggest is it depends on the industry that you're in. And in some of the industries and most of the industries where your product might not be a daily scenario, or you don't have enough reasons for for customers to keep keep your product on, you know, on your phone and your mobile. I would suggest experimenting with mobile web first, because you're a startup you're looking for product market fit, and you wouldn't want to invest your energy in trying to promote, promote something that users would immediately uninstall. On the other hand, if you're into messaging the apps and if you're into into apps that you think that users will will benefit from keeping on your phone then go ahead and build in it. So please customize your strategy for the industry that you're in and optimize for learnings. Nice. Okay, Diane is asking, would you explain what level of user experimentation do you do in house user experiments or focus groups in house user experiments or focus groups. Okay, so the user experiments are essentially of two types, what we do it's it's quantitative and it's qualitative. And with quantitative we basically have a big experimentations and we launch MVPs or products to figure out to figure out whether a particular feature is working or not. But with respect to qualitative qualitative isn't just focus groups there are several ways there are customer service if you have a customer service department and they can be a fear they can be source of qualitative feedback. You can go and reach you can go and call customers, ask them questions you have usability studies you have and then you have focus groups as well. And in office sessions where you can call them and talk to them and look at how they actually use your user product or probably wireframes or a product. There are several, several things that you do. But it depends on the time you have it depends on the criticality of the product that you launch. Sometimes the effort is low and you can just launch and launch and see how it's doing. Sometimes effort is high and you would rather be risk early on by talking to customers before long. It depends on the stage of the product development life cycle that you are in and the criticality of the future. Unfortunately, we are running out of time. So I have one last question for you. This is the question that I always ask to all of our speakers, which is, what would be your biggest piece of advice for those who are thinking of breaking into product management and get a job as a programmer here. Right. So I would. So there are the usual suspects about about customer empathy, working backwards from the customer understanding exactly what the customers need, depending on data and analysis rather than your own opinions. But a slightly different, different shaded advice that I would give, which I usually give to pms who asked me this question or firing pms is that get into the mindset of ownership. And what that means is, is that there is no job that is probably not yours right so if there is an issue with marketing product marketing then you have to take ownership of it you have to work with stakeholders. If there are issues in product you have to take ownership ownership of it right up to testing launch analytics, you have to make sure that you're in the mindset of ownership you're the mindset of leadership to make sure that no aspect, no aspect is overlooked. And I think this is critical, because usually we start thinking in terms of functions and I'm marketing person when the person, and we don't think from holistic point of view, and I would I would really suggest getting into those shoes and being comfortable with having a lot of accountability. Great. Thank you. That's a, that's an amazing advice. Thank you so much for all your insights. They were very helpful. Everybody loves it. So thank you very much for taking the time to be with us today was great. So, yeah, before we wrap up. As you guys know we organize these events on a weekly basis so stay tuned as you can go to product school.com and see what the upcoming webinars and AMS we have for the upcoming weeks because we have great speakers. So, in addition to hosting this free event, we also organize courses, all our courses are part time. And what we do here is we train people on how to become a product manager. We have five courses. The first one is about product management percent. And then we have four other courses about coding for managers, data analytics for managers, blockchain for managers and digital marketing for managers. We have 15 campuses worldwide, and we recently opened our online campus. This means that now you can learn product management wherever you are. So if you guys want more information about the onsite events, onsite courses, online courses. We have all the information on our website product school.com. So I just invite you guys to go there and check all the stuff that we have because it's pretty hot. So thank you guys for being here one more week. I hope to see you soon. Thank you guys and take care. Bye guys. Thank you. Bye bye.


Dev Ops track, our next speaker is my good friend Masuyuki Igao. He's a senior software engineer at SUSE, and he works on OpenStack development. And he's going to be talking about CLI software again, the return to using the command line. So without further ado, let's welcome Masuyuki. So thank you for attending my sessions. So this session is also Matthew told that TUI or CLI software again. So I'm Masuyuki Igao, and this slide is on GitHub already. Yeah, slides. And yeah, let's get started. So this is my opinion. So yeah, and the agenda is here. It's not so big. And the next. So who I am, I'm an open source programmer. Mostly working on OpenStack. And I'm working for a QA, Quality Assurance, that project has some programs. I mean, Tempest or SDSR is not an OpenStack program. But yeah, I'm working for that. And I'm working at Suze or Suze, which one is better? I don't know. But yeah, and I'm a member of OpenStack, Suze OpenStack Cloud team. And I'm a Linux user. So I'm like this terminal or CLI interface. So first, I'd like to define the words, terms. So GUI is a graphical user interface. You know that. And TUI2E, I don't know, is a text-based user interface. Yeah, like this, or BIM, or Emacs, or MAT, or like that. And CLI is a command line interface. And CUI is also a character-based user interface. They are CLI and CUI are the same meaning. But sometimes it's confusing. It's confusing to me. So in this talk, I'd like to advertise. Kind of advertise, TUI or CLI applications. And there's a lot of benefits. I think this is my opinion. So there are a lot of benefits of TUI or CLI applications. So and the TUI or CLI application is not scary. But I also like GUI applications too. It depends on the situation. And I'd like to also show some example of CLI applications. So by the way, so do you like using the GUI applications instead of CLI applications? So maybe someone said CLI application is a bit difficult or scary. So some people tend to use GUI applications. So why? If so, why CLI applications through those? You don't use a CLI application. They are very useful in this situation. So I'd like to show some examples of some applications which I used, I or we used. So first is the text editors. They are BIM or Emacs or Atom or Eclipse or PyCharm. Maybe you use the other applications for text editing. I don't want to say which one is the best. So this is not good. I don't want to say that. People are using these tools. And BIM and Emacs are mostly in CLI. But they have also a GUI interface. So people are using both or some GUI or CLI. And Atom or Eclipse is a GUI application. And the mail chat has also a GUI and a CLI application, two-year applications. Matt, Alpine, WeChat, Thunderbird, like that. And the code review. So I am a core reviewer of an OpenStack project. So most of the time, I'm spending my time to review a code. So reviewing tool is very important. So I'd like to show you one demo of CLI applications and the GUI application here. So one is not so. So it's very small. But this is a GUI review applications, Garrett. So we can use this and see some code. Should we work? So it's too small. But we can review here and write a comment using it like this. And instead of like this interface, we can use Garrett. Garrett is a texture interface. So it's a bit simple, too simple. But it works well too fast. And I can put a comment on that very fast, right? Japanese. Yeah, like this. So you can see that the speed is very fast instead compared to the GUI. So actually, there is a trick in this. But yeah, mostly faster than GUI, right? Yes. And I will go back to the OK. So the other thing is presentation. Most people are using the in-place PowerPoint or Apple keynotes. But we can use the text interface, too, like TeF format or Presentee. Presentee is this, too. So you can use this if you want, right? And the block, too, is there. And the other tool is also automation. So there is automation tools, Ansible, Chef, or Puppet. And GUI tool is for Jenkins. But imagine that if Ansible has only GUI, so if we want to use Ansible as automation, too, we need to use a selenium or web scraping. It's maybe horrible or nightmare. So it should have CLI or API interface. And the virtualization, this also has CLI or web API, too. So this is also mostly has CLI. But GUI, GUI, is also useful in some cases. So there are some pros and cons for GUI, right? So first, it's very easy to start to use. Like, for example, Scratch, do you know that? Scratch is kind of a programming tool. Also, this is very easy to use that. I have two kids, actually. They are 10 years old and 80 years old. But they can really use Scratch easily. So this is really good to start point. And GUI is good for showing the graph or pictures on the dashboard. But sometimes, it's very slow and complicated. So there are some library dependency. Or GUI is sometimes complicated and really bad for automation. So we need to explain about a quick here and a here and a here and a drug down and a drop. It's very complicated to explain the manipulation in the manual. Oops. OK. I'm sorry. So, oh, I don't know why. I'll try that again, OK? OK. Here, next. I'm sorry. So the GUI and the CLI plus cons is here. So first one is, I think, it's fast. So it really depends on the situation. But I'm mostly fast with the narrow bandwidth or poor computers. It doesn't require the resources like CPU or memory, basically. And mouse is not required. But sometimes, we can use it in serial applications. So if we don't need the mouse, we can keep the arm position. And we don't need to switch the mouse and the keyboard. So it's really fast for us, right? And next is simple. It should be simple. But sometimes, it's complicated for serial applications. But there are some bad points. It's difficult to use to start. There is a learning curve. And so it's a bit difficult to show the graph or images. Oh, yeah, like this. Sometimes. I think the one line is too long. So sometimes errors happened in this presentation. It's a bug. I will fix that. OK. Here. So in this slide, I will talk about how to make it, how to make the serial applications. So there are some useful library and the commands. So I have a Python background. So these first two libraries are Python library. I actually don't know the C or Java or something other languages library. But here, tier two library is very useful to make serial applications. So first one is you are with. I don't know how to pronounce that. But this is for console user interface library for Python. Like this presentee or garity command uses your URWID this library. And the second one is a cliff. Cliff is for framework for building command line programs which is used by a lot of Python commands, especially in OpenStack command. This is also useful to make command line interface. And the third one is a figlet. It's making a large letter of ordinary text. You already saw this output in the first slide. And the last one is a JPEG image to ASCII. So I actually wanted to show the examples, but it doesn't work actually for my environment for now. But there are some issues to use this. I need to do like these instructions. So here is conclusion of this talk. So I'd like to say that serialized or TUE application is not scary. It's not scary, but there is a learning curve. And these upper should be fast and simple and easy to use. And the CLI applications are very useful for automation for developers or like that. So maybe you already use that in many situations. But there are some issues for CLI applications, CUI applications. Graph or images might be better on the GUI applications as a dashboard or like that. And making it. So last part is I wanted to say that most things. Is making a CLI application is also fun, right? And it's really good first point, starting point. So not only just using it. If you have a, if you find a bug or some issues, you should push feedback to a community or like developers. Yeah, that should be good for like this application or our communities. And of course your skills should be increased or improved. Yes, that's it. So that's all from me. Thanks. So we have time for about one question if anyone has any. Otherwise, we can move on to the next speaker, which is also Masayuki. So if anyone has a question, I'll just run the mic over. OK. Well then I'll wait for him to get his next slide set up.


The following is a presentation of TFNN, the Tiger Technician Hour. With your host, Hazel Chapman, call now. Call free at 1-877-927-6648. Hazel Chapman here on this Tuesday the 19th of September. Down to 145-34479. Let me just go back to this. Oh, I haven't got it. Let me just put it in right now. This has been a very busy morning. I had a Zoom meeting up until just before my show. So now I'm trying to catch up to everything. Let's go to right there. So you remember, I made a big deal for months. Weeks and weeks and weeks. Now it's going on for months. About the indicator of last resort. That is the 914 moving average. So crossover that is. So within that context, what have we got? Right as we are looking at the charts at this particular moment, I'm looking at, oh, come on, what's going on?   Maybe it'll hear me. There it is. So what we're looking at here is, this is the Dow. We waited and waited and waited for the green to go pink, meaning negative on the 914 crossover. We use this peak right here on August the 1st, using a different indicator in the Chapman wave. This is the conglomerate, the overall umbrella that I use as a Chapman wave methodology. We used a particular indicator to get us that exact high on August the 1st to go short the Dow. But we had to wait and wait and wait to confirm that there was a cell signal to a cell mode by this pink 9-period moving indicator. And what happened was just for one day there was this big pop-up the other day and I said, I think that's temporary. We're staying short. And look what happened. It went pink yesterday and today it's pink again. So within that context, look what we've got for the first time and the day is young. I mean, not even an hour intersession, 37 minutes or something like that. And what have we got? We've got a pink 9-period moving average in the S&P. That means that I'll switch between each one. So this is the white background. He has the white background with the daily weekly monthly charts. And look at this, S&P arching over. Went pink, day's young. It could change back to green again. But in the meantime, that weekly chart is so important. Look at this. The vertical line from this mid-July high at about 40, what is it, 46,000? I should have put that in. I was at 46,000 and two or something crazy like that. 46,000 and 7.07. When we went to the recovery high at 45.07 on the 27th of July. Look, here's the weekly chart. Look how weak the MACD was. Look at the stochastic. The on-balance volume, even though it was positive, was way under the previous one. But the determination of this 9-period moving average in the weekly chart still hasn't got even close to being negative. So as I've said before, it's going to be, you've got your little rudder. You've got your little speedboat that makes the quick turns. Then you've got your bay cruise ship that goes around the bay that makes turns but not that quickly. And then you've got your super tanker. That's the monthly chart. So this just says it's taking a while for this intermediate term, the weekly chart, to cross negative. I don't even know if it will. But in the meantime, we have to use the dating. The dating says down 21 at 44.32, the deeper it goes down today and the day is young. We can still have a pretty decent balance. We're going to be watching the distance, the aperture between the 9 and the 14-period moving average in the dating chart. Look at this. Oops, I didn't want to go there. That's the intraday. Look at this. Yeah. You've got the S&P just turning pink. You've got the QQQ just turning pink as we speak, down three at 367.67. So that just says you've got an arch formation occurring right here in the dating chart. This is a dating chart. This is the QQQ. The gray line is the intraday action of the QQQs. 9 is the 9-period exponential moving average, 40-period moving average. And it just crossed negative. Day is young, but so far it's rolling over. And you can see it right here in the day. But look at the weekly. Look at this. The dating chart just making a rather large H to M pattern. And you've got a potential. I'm going to draw these in now because I like to be ahead of the game. And that just says there's a chance that you're going to get a lowercase h. But if you take too much time, you're going to hold steady here and you're going to have a successful test of the left side low. In this case, that's the low of, that's not 4335. That is the low of 4335 with 31 in the QQQ, I'm still looking at the S&P. In the S&P. Look at the QQQ. Same thing. The 9-period moving average in the weekly chart is still great. Just turn pink in the dating chart. Look, you've got repelled. And whichever way inside, track repellent. So look at the estimators, which were short. And some people, if they were lucky, didn't get stopped out of the new position we put on yesterday. The aggressive position three times short. We got stopped out for a very tiny loss. I should have widened the stop. But I thought it's either going to work immediately or it's not going to work. So we've had tremendous success with this. But today, not so because the stop was just a tad too tight and we got stopped out. But we're still short. There are semiconductors from two points under the 161.17 all-time high. And it's now at 145. And here you've got your arch formation. This is telling us how important this inside track right there, inside track support level is. We're sitting right on it at this particular time. It tells us that for the first time, the 14p moving average is actually moving down a little bit together with the nine. But that doesn't mean to say it's going to cross negative. But the low that we're looking at is 143.35. And you're 145.83 right now. Monkey chart is fantastic. 159.42 was the high of November. And the semiconductors make it all-time high. We did two points. It goes to one. That's the two points. 161.17 was the high in July. Isn't that amazing? I mean, talk about, I love this technique. Look at this. Carvana. We had one of our dentists was saying, CVNA was looking at this and asked me about it. And I said, no, I think it's still going to make a leg D. Well, it did make that leg D. And now look at this. 57.19 was the high in July. And it pulls back to the 35. And then it runs 22. It goes all the way to 56.84 sessions ago. Unbelievable. Look at this beautiful cup formation with a price tie match, makes a double top with no new high. And now it's pulling back. So these exact double tops and double bottoms, we're going to be looking at in the TLT. 92.23 was the low two, three weeks ago. 91.83 was it? 91.85 was the low in October of last year, the low of the market actually. And now look at this. We're arching over and tipping over. Is it going to hold you or is it going to break down is the question? Double bottom. Let's look at the IWM. Has already been pink for a little while now for two days. No, no, what I was saying for two days. I mean, even two weeks ago, when it looked like it was across green and didn't get deep like the lower, not a good action. It's out for 52 cents. The 181.85 Gazel Chapman Tiger was out. That was down 117. You're being right. If you're looking for potential trading setups in the stock market, then Rocket Equities and Options Report is a newsletter you should try. Romeo Bryant delivers options and equity trades when the markets present them using a combination of fundamentals and technicals. Sign up for Rocket Equities and Options Report today with a 30-day money-back guarantee so you have nothing to risk. For all the details and to start your subscription today, visit the front page of TFNN.com. TFNN Educating Investors. You might think that if you want to be successful at trading in the stock market, you're going to need a crystal ball. 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Available to all tigers and tigeresses for just $1 for the year. There's no catch or added costs when you join our community of traders. Sign up today and become a part of this educational community of traders, just visit the front page of TFNN.com. Toll Free at 1-877-927-6648 Internationally at<PHONE_NUMBER> Hi folks, so let me just get this organized so I can be better around. Okay, so we're looking at the IWM coming all the way back, retesting, almost retesting the left side low, sitting on the 200-period moving average, and the weekly charts is really basically a rectangle that's gone into an H to an M to an H pattern. So talking about the H to an M pattern, quite a few questions came in and even to a person I was speaking to, some people that I was speaking to who had one of those really big investment companies around the world. Just a short while ago, we were talking about different things and we were talking about the bonds that the Fed is going to ease up now and that we could be getting into a low in yields. And I said, well, so far, every indication has said that there are key levels to watch. So I'll tell you the levels that I was looking at. In the dreaded H pattern, when you take time, if you don't fail at the first or second peak, peak A or peak B like this went to peak A and then a peak B and here's your dreaded H pattern. I'll show it to you in a moment where it looks like for those of you new to my work. Gosh, got to get that sneezing, I guess. So when I'm doing chart formations, basically what I'm looking at is, all right, yeah, I'm looking at three kind of core patterns. This is besides the rectangle patterns and all the others, just directional moves. And essentially what we look at is straight line moves. Now, why is that not moving? Uh-oh, am I stuck? Don't tell me. Did I do something wrong? Oh no, I added an extra chart. But let's just see, this works, right? Yes. Oh, okay, I've got the wrong thing on. Let's just put that there. Why did it disappear? Why did it disappear? Let me go back to this. Oh, there it is. Okay, good. That's what I wanted. I wanted to show you the pattern called straight line up, straight line down. That's a straight line, straight line, straight line, straight line up. So you can have little bumps. But basically it's going from one point to the other very quickly. But you also get cup formations. That could be a V or an inverted V or an arch. So you've got one, two, and one, three. You've got straight line down, arch formation called the dreaded H. Because why? If it takes out the left side, it usually goes to peak A or B. And then takes out the left side low. It can be very, very sharp pullback. If it goes to a peak C or a D, three or four higher peaks, it means you've used up a lot of both upside and downside energy. And sometimes you start to stall quite nicely. You might take it out, but you kind of treat the left side low as really a good cushion. Not always, but a lot more often than this dreaded H pattern. So this is the TLT and the daily chart. Let me just expand this for a moment and take you to stretched out version. Right there. Look how many dreaded H. There's a large one.  Small that goes to a large D. And the D says you could hold just underneath the left side low, which it does. But then it makes another arch and a peak B fails and it goes smash. Peak B and it goes smash. Peak C and it's stalling, stalling, stalling. So there's a chance that 92.23 to 91.85 or 83, was it, on the left side from October of last year, that could become quite a good cushion. It's a beautiful thing when you look at this left side, right side price, time-match and it went just a little longer to almost the level. But now what I'm looking at is what are the ingredients that would tell us that the yields are going to go higher. Now, because a lot of people are asking this question, one particularly right now in the den. Hi, Basel, please review TLT. Yesterday a nice engulfing candle. Today an inside day so far, despite the weakness, the risk can rise from here. Might we have a successful dreaded H, aka an H of hope? I like that, that a bottom is in. You know, A bottom is not the bottom. So yes, A bottom is exactly what I'm talking about. You say there could be a deflection loss. Now this is because I know what you're talking about when you say a bottom, you're meaning a bottom in yields. Therefore there could be a decent rally in the market. But then you need the dollar. You do need the dollar at least to show some more serious weakness than just three days of a slight breather. You need the dollar to be down at not 105.01 right now, down 8 ticks having made a new recovery high on the 14th of September. This is a daily chart. 14th of September at 105.44. Let me just type that in. 105.44. You also need to see that the, and I would put gold in this category because if the dollar is going to be pulling back then gold should rally sharply and it's really struggling. It's unchanged in 1953. It looks to me like that 200-period moving average. It's just such strong resistance right now that you break above it. You'd have to see the dollar literally plunge two points, two and a half points and gold has to get close to 2019, 1992, 1998, somewhere in that area very quickly. You have to see the TBT which is underneath the previous half, 36.44. With the MACD, look, the MACD is just, it's okay, it's positive but just okay. But look at that stochastic at 91%. I never fight that flat stochastic.  Look at the price of the, whatever you're following. Look how it follows this. Look how it follows the MACD so well. So in this particular instance I'm looking at this and saying it has to be news that just absolutely changes direction and I can't tell you how many times I've waited and waited and waited for the Fed to make the decision to get a huge market turn. It works out differently. It isn't the Fed that makes the big market turn. They make intra-weak fluctuations, serious ones, but very seldom. Once I remember buying the DXD for subscribers that's the two times short the Dow after the Fed speak and I put out a note at about 230 that day and it worked out well but most of the time I could have done the same trade the next day or had no trade at all. So what I'm saying is what you need to see is not a break to the upside to start a strong lot G slash C but a huge leg C in the daily chart of the TBT that is the short side of the TLT because they're both getting close to in this case resistance and the other case support and if you're looking at the weekly chart I don't see anything yet in this weekly chart look the MACD is strong very strong for the MACD to go negative you're going to have to see us smash to the 3183.18 level it's a 35.86 right now and the price is way over the nine yep it's struggling on the left side to get above that but everything here is good actually at 80% if it goes down to 77% then I can see a pullback so I would prefer not to like put all your chips on the table other than to say yeah we're at a point now just look USDJPY this is the currency pair between the yen and the dollar USDJPY look at this it's starting to stall it did make that USDJPY and it's flattening out so and the MACD is still good oops the MACD MACD has gone negative the stochastic is still at 90% so there's still internal spent here so it has to be a process or an incredible smashing reversal to the downside in this case with the yen currencies commodities and bond markets are as important as ever right now with how they're driving the volatility in equity markets across the globe it's a great time to try out Teddy Kegstad's Tiger Forex report Teddy Kegstad breaks down the forex markets every Monday using his 30 plus years of experience as a trading veteran of futures forex stocks and options Teddy releases his weekly Tiger Forex report every Monday morning with coverage of all the major currency pairs including the dollar index, the euro dollar pound dollar, dollar Swiss dollar yen as well as many more and he also has weekly coverage of the crude oil market and the 30 year t-bonds influence forex markets tremendously when you sign up for the Tiger Forex report you also gain instant access to Teddy's 60 minute webinar archive he just hosted forex strategies and fundamentals what is behind the Tiger Forex report for all the details and to start your 30 day Tiger Forex report subscription today visit the front page of TFNN.com TFNN Educating Investors Steve Rhodes started his trading career as a student almost 20 years ago and the student has now become the master Steve won the prestigious Timer of the Year award in 2018 and barely missed that mark again in 2019 finishing it number 2 for the year an amazing accomplishment Steve Rhodes is committed to sharing his techniques and knowledge with anyone who wants to learn and he shares his vast amount of trading knowledge every day in his mastering probability newsletter Steve's award winning newsletter mastering probability is delivered every trading day with updates throughout the afternoon sign up for Steve's market newsletter mastering probability and you'll receive access to 7 of Steve's educational webinars absolutely free at TFNN all our newsletters 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TFNN Educating Investors Don't forget you can listen to TFNN live on your mobile device 24 hours per day go to TFNN.com then hit watch Tiger TV that's TFNN.com then hit watch Tiger TV The answer is that yes I can see a little optimistic kind of turnaround about but the key trend using my 9 period moving average 914s says that a lot has to happen to change those to go back to positive after all this time so let me just do a couple things I wanted to show you I can do that now yes so wait in the den I never hit my CL stop is that a CL meaning Colgate palm olive stop in 92 I'm not sure well oh you know I used to have these all notated anyway I'll do them again so look all your defensive stocks are not doing well look at this Colgate palm olive PG you can just go on on look at this week not as weak as some of the others but yeah weak look at GIS this is the the XLP this is a select there we go look this is the right way wait it was just to wait about four months ago General Mills was trading in the 90s it's at 66 it's 30% decline XLP look here it is the uh there we go S&P select consumer staples spider fund look making dreaded H's lowercase lows I mean just keeps doing that the big test is coming here in another couple of days will it hold the 70 is a 69 or 70 in this low right here it's at 70.85 it's trading at 71.12 it's almost there and that goes back to March in a big alteration at a peak D peak D in the D in the weekly peak E in the monthly that's why I'm saying this is a little bit more serious in the sense that what you would expect that the S&P select consumer staples would be doing well but look at my DBA this is a subscriber DBA this is DBA good cultural fund you remember we were talking about these double tops how about 22.38 you peak D in the Chapman wave peak D in the Chapman wave means that the objective of buy signal to buy mode is to get you to at least a D in the Chapman wave and then other things can happen wow 22 38 down to 21.04 back to where 22.38 three days ago look perfect well it's not perfect it wasn't the exact low but to the measurement that I had beautiful left side right side price time match with the bar symmetry this is the plum line moved it to the right but look at this it's holding and it hasn't made leg F in the weekly chart because it's stored right there but this is the agricultural fund and this is what I mean about a bifurcated market look in the DBA agricultural fund you have wheat well wheat look at the 200 period moving average resistance right there in the 760 what is it 587 right now plummets look at this soybean a dreaded H pattern right here fails into PEC monthly charts still very good weekly chart already starting to fail but the 9 hasn't crossed negative yet look at corn corn is at a low right now and yet the DBA agricultural fund because it has the mix of sugar almost at a new high sugar is at 20 oh sweet tooth America 27.61 up 26 leg D and I asked about this the other day yeah so the DBA is working because of this one thing sugar so strong because the others are pretty weak alright so I wanted to look at question came in about Microsoft Microsoft is about to make a dreaded H pattern ops I didn't put that in correctly there let me just get rid of that edit needs a plus sign over the D right there doji canal pulling back so Microsoft doesn't look horrible but it really is struggling let's put it that way and look at me all time high three months ago mmm did I say all time high yeah that is an all time high in Microsoft way all time high oh wow is that a my oh yeah all time high so 349 was the high in November of 20,000 and 21 and lo and behold it goes to 368 wasn't 366.78 in July 360 x did I say 7.8 I can't even remember now yeah and there it is a 325 so it's starting to fail Apple type there look at this Apple where is it now it's down 47 cents at 177.51 there's your dreaded H perfect at 198.39 high in July the rallies fails at peak A and it goes A minus because it plummets and gaps down then there's a big peak A to B and it fails and it's failing right now 171.96 was the low in August and here is at 177.48 with the week 9 period moving average below the 14 so the answer to the question is yeah I can see bounces but I don't see the big move as if to say this is the low and now we're going to screw to the upside not yet I think we just we need a little more time and certainly a little more price in some aspects so this is Apple I've got all that in I should take it away that's from it before it split way back there 233.7 47 was the high in October of 2018 2018 but that's before the split so that would have been right here was at the high was at the low must have been the low about peak D right there this is your peak here right here so today's price is 58.37 and that was back in 2018 so isn't this interesting it made a new all-time high three months ago Apple and now it's pulling back 182 at 94 was the high in January of 2022 and 198 0.29 in July look at this double topping and pulling back so that's why I'm saying you've got to be careful here that's all so now I want you to just show you this so the estimators it's really important that a question about about the estimation where do I think it's going to well is I can't tell you where it's going to because I haven't yet I'm real close to a cell signal in the weekly chart and I'm it might turn out that the cell signal gets upgraded immediately to a cell mode if it goes by Friday any day that it closes under 143 that's going to impact look it's going to impact the weekly chart of the jam web inside track propellant zone because that'll become a repellant zone make these weeks the casings very weak at 42% on balance funds week 9 period moving average is declined but it hasn't crossed negative it'll take 136 before 137 before the weekly chart of the SMH turns down so when we shorted right there two days after the doji candle have 161.17 on the 31st of July because sharply pulled back to 143 for 143 was a low of 142.98 way back here in June so it tested it and had a really strong balance APB peak C peak C says yeah maybe there's enough support in the one low 140 to actually have a bit of a balance you can see that everything is close to having good news give a balance we'll have to see if it does that there's a chance of saying doesn't look too good today I'll be back does down 100 200 gold report as a precious metal gold is still king it continues to hold the most effective safe haven and hedging properties across the global major trading hubs the London OTC market the US futures market and the Shanghai gold exchange the gold report Tom O'Brien publishes his weekly gold report every Monday morning for subscribers consisting of coverage of the XAU HUI GDX the dollar bonds the South African rand as well as 25 different mining equities with specific buy sell recommendations the gold report new subscribers get a 30 day money back guarantee so you have nothing to risk subscribe to Tom O'Brien's gold report newsletter now at TFNN.com market insights newsletter every market day before the market open along with updates when warranted stay ahead of the game with Tom's real-time analysis and trade recommendations delivered straight to your inbox whether you're a seasoned trader or just starting out market insights provides the edge you need to navigate the markets with confidence ready to join the ranks of successful traders head over to TFNN.com and subscribe to market insights today don't miss out on this opportunity to supercharge your trading results market insights comes with a 30 day money back guarantee so you have nothing to risk don't miss out on this opportunity to revolutionize your trading game head over to TFNN.com right now to join the thousands of traders who have already experienced the power of Tom O'Brien's award winning newsletter market insights firsthand TFNN educating investors biotech is booming but for how long whether you think the biotech bull has room to run or has run its course trade LABU or LABD daily S&P biotech 3 times bull and bear ETFs visit directioninvestments.com slash biotech today an investor should consider the investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses of the direction shares carefully before investing the prospectus and summary prospectus contain this and other information about direction shares to obtain a prospectus or summary prospectus please contact direction shares at<PHONE_NUMBER> the prospectus or summary prospectus should be read carefully before investing an investment in the funds is subject to risk including the possible loss of principle the funds are designed to be utilized only by sophisticated investors such as traders and active investors distributor four side fund services LLC this program is brought to you by Vista Gold traded on the NYSE American and TSX under the symbol VGZ yeah so this is a 10 minute chart of the many look at that arching over I took out key support and it's almost at a one to one to the downsides getting ready for just at least another bounce attempt whoo this is ugly action down 30 right now let's get back to this so the questions came in so um high grade copper high grade copper not acting all that well making the lowercase H actually it's more like an arch formation right now I wanted a question came in about uh heating oil H.O. is that pulling back well it did pull back now it's having a nice session a green session and the night period moving average is still very strong I wouldn't fight this and you can see look I drew this in yesterday the heating oil monthly chart it's got this inside track repellent zone wow if it climbs into the at 3.37 this is a continuous contract if it starts to climb into the 3.60 whoo that's going to be a sign to say we're going to tackle that resistance level again that's so heating oil is and this is you know we're starting to see heating oil to become a reality as people start to the weather starting to get a little cold here in the northeast the question came in about um I did this oh it was oh syntax one of the ones that I've been watching for decades as a key ingredient in telling us about uh let's see is that yep that's it this is an F slash C right here in the daily chart F slash C uh the weekly chart this is an F it's getting a little tight in terms of um a notation F is where you're going to be a little bit careful but that's all because it's doji candle so far it's a leg E in the monthly chart wow this is an all-time high so if if syntax overalls uniforms rentals is an all-time high what's it telling us is the feds going to do I I have to tell you I I think the feds kind of stuck I don't think they must change any other action so they must if they can do whatever they want obviously I'm just saying from the chart pattern that I'm looking at I don't think I see anything yet that says to them that they're chartered the one that they've claimed that they're following should change uh because look even the homebuilder so this is syntax wait a minute let's go to builders BLDR builder this is builders first source ink building materials um manufacturers everything for the uh not everything but a chunk for the housing and the for the building area peak C doji candle last month quite a steep pullback from the 156.84 level down to 129 this is saying yep there is a bit of a bit of a problem here Home Depot same sort of thing look at that plunge in Home Depot and told brothers but told brothers if you're looking at the the um look yes told brothers turned around today so now it's down to $10 but that monthly chart is still a really strong leg E looks like it almost looks like the uh syntax chart made an all time high it wasn't an all time high uh told brothers back in no it isn't an all time high gosh look at that all time high in 2005 uh June was 53.73 and here it is 20% high at 76 huh interesting huh not all of them have done that so the HGX index that's the HGX housing for the Delphi housing index uh is down today but only a little bit and the monthly chart has made this dreaded H pattern now I have an alternate count that I'm keeping active here that's an E as an F slash A and G B goes to a C uh oh oh from here so this is the one that says A B C D so there's a way of counting this because in the chapter methodology it shouldn't fail seriously at a peak C so I said I must have missed something so this is the alternate count that says everything about it at this particular point says there's a good chance that's a peak D so we're watching this because the moment any time the next three weeks if the HGX Philadelphia housing sector index which has a Chapman wave overlapping wave at peak C should go to a D at some point but if it starts to break down and go to the it's at 29 if it starts to go to 505 between 505 and 495 that's where you'll start to see the green 9P removing average turn peak hasn't yet so next question came in so um Disney in YouTube the question is uh thoughts of Disney leaps so leaps are like options I'm not sure you can even call them expiring options I think they just go there they are uh very small price of whatever the instrument is that you're looking at so I would avoid looking at leaps right now but remind me in about two weeks time as we get to the end of September beginning of October that's when I think you can look at leaps if you're if you like with Disney I would I'd wait I'd say 67 points does make a difference in leaps if you're going out to January or February of next year if you're going out even longer than that then I you know a couple of points doesn't make a difference but I would wait because I don't think Disney's quite finished this down roof remember we were looking at the uh the what did I say it was with the rising highs uh in the monthly chart well this is exactly the same thing but it's upside down there's a lower lows uh what was it wasn't some test it was what did I get when I look at just a little while ago oh my uh wasn't some test well it doesn't matter whatever it was going up like that um now we're looking at the same pattern but on the downside so I'd I'd wait for it to get into this inside check in the monthly chart so that's Disney next question was about all the gdx left behind a gap uh from 11 422 I don't have opinion of gdx's building course to close that gap do you have any thoughts of support to support this idea who now let's see where the gap is gdx oh wait there was another question down let me just get to that yeah I'll do that in a moment so the gdx are you talking about this gap here is this a gap down a gap up 11 4 11 4 2022 I didn't even see it oh 2022 2022 2022 let's just open this out and we'll go there alright okay so here we go 20 22 here we go right there oh you're talking about that gap right there but that wasn't was it before yeah that's it so you're talking about this gap right here you know I can't do things like that remind me when it said that was that was around about 22 and it's trading at 2950 right now there are so many other levels of support I'd have to look at first once those goes absolutely but first of all let's just look at this it's gone green line speed moving average the gdx gold mines down 27 cents at 2948 it's really holding very well at this particular point I would just say this low right here the doji candle of the 7th of 2023 not 2022 at 2816 that's your first you take that out and then all of a sudden you're looking at a lowercase h that looks like a lowercase m I've already drawn it in then you're going to say okay now it's a fullback shop so no right now I'm just saying gdx is holding pretty gone well silver silver is also holding pretty well but it doesn't look good under the 20 period moving and take one step at a time doesn't give you say something like you might think that if you want to be successful at trading in the stock market you're going to need a crystal ball after all it's impossible to predict the future right like any endeavor in life before you decide it's impossible get some advice from the experts you might find that it's not so impossible after all for daily market overviews that give you direction on the key indices selective stocks and commodities subscribe to the opening call newsletter at tfnn.com the opening call newsletter is written by Basil Chapman creator of the trading methodology known as the Chapman wave the Chapman wave up down sequence gives you an edge in identifying price turns finding the peaks and valleys in stock prices get the opening call newsletter by Basil Chapman and your inbox every day first time subscribers also get a 30 day money back guarantee if you're not satisfied let us know and you'll get a full refund within 30 days of signing up tfnn.com educating investors tfnn has just launched their new trading room the tiger's end hosted at discord tfnn has been educating traders for more than 20 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we're looking here some questions um okay as you speak about tlt monthly liquid relation to hfnn as well okay yeah so we've just got to watch those support levels so amazon right now um so amazon this is very interesting in the in the last segment we've got here amazon made a peak d there we were waiting for that peak d it made that peak d and now it's starting to pull back but it hasn't got it down I have to wait for the day to see if this is a sell signal everything so far says I should call it a sell signal but I'll put a plus sign just because I have to wait it's a daddy chart wait for the end of the day and the weekly chart you made your peak in I was like a drop drop bucket pattern that H2 was talking about drop bucket pattern is where you make the cup formation and then it fails and basically it's like a backhoe that has this big bucket grabs all the soil puts it and drops it there's a drop bucket all right so we're watching that for the TLT IWM doesn't look very good at all LAC it was a question LAC lack LAC is lithium something other what is lithium oh so amazon so right here this is a peak d another d in the chat way methodology right there peak d putting back from the 200 period moving average down a dollar seven I wanted to just finish up that amazon um weekly chart still looks fantastic so the RTH which is the retail index which does have amazon 20% made it peak F yes your peak A peak B peak C and now it's turning down peak E in the daily in the weekly you be careful XRT is the one that doesn't the amazon is equal weighted this looks way worse this is retail look there's your dreaded H in the monthly chart I have to tell you just got to be really careful here don't agree we had a screamer today that was short of thought would work we bought it way below yesterday's high and yet it's still pulled back really quickly thank goodness we had a tight stop we're done we're out and I think you got to be very careful even our UEC we've taken tons of money off nice nice games starting to pull back and nothing technically in this particular in this uranium


This is stock number 9182, a 2016 Chevy Silverado 1500 crew cab, six foot, six and a half foot box. This truck has the 5.3 liter V8 motor. From this HD video, you'll be able to tell that this truck is extremely clean all the way around. It has a projector lamp, headlamps, LED running lamps. Front grille is in absolutely perfect condition. So is the front valance and bumper. LED fog lamps. Has Goodyear Wrangler 265-65R18 tires on it, factory alloy rims. And you can see that these tires look like they have probably about 70% of the tread left. You can see any dents or dings on the front fender. And yes, we do shoot these videos in HD, so if you have HD capabilities, turn them on. Shoot everything in 1080p, so that you can get the most accurate representation of the truck without even being here. So you can make a smart buying decision before you even get here. Down this side, the truck is very clean. Doors are in excellent shape. The box is in really nice shape as well. 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