Thank you for Kibikanskapani. This is why 254 discussion Monday kicks off right now. We are talking about the political statement. In particular, we are looking into what Honourable Kalonzo Musioka said last week that he will be where the president will be. And on a local station he mentioned that he will be in the ballot camp 2022 tonight. That's our discussion. We want to see that they have what it takes. There was a meeting in Okambani, Charles, and three people in the helm that is the governor's. We heard Makwen governor Kifu de Kibwana, Charitingilov Kitui, and Motuaro of Machakos, they didn't attend that meeting. Yet Kalonzo is here saying he will be in the ballot. Is his house caught in court in order? Good evening and thank you for hosting me today again. Kalonzo, first of all, I can say as per your question, is house not in order? Bearing in mind the three governors rode on his back to be the governors. In 2013, a action, he took a road on Waipa to become the governor. And after he became the governor, he galvanized his own political space. He created his own political space. Then he came up with a slogan of mind, a little chap chap, which later turned into a political party that was registered. And the political party itself gave him a comeback in 2017, where most thought that was a shot on a leg. But no, it was like a plus to Mutua. In other word, he was sending a message to Kalonzo, with or without you, I can make it. Remember the challenges he faced Mutua himself first, the court battles with Wavinyan deity, that still he maintained and led. And remember the Mindelo chap chap itself has members of county assembly in Machakos, also outside Machakos. We go to other areas like Embu, they are members of Mindelo chap, they are MCs of Mindelo chap chap. And it also had serious contenders in the election. So this one becomes a challenge. So in other words, Mutua does not need Kalonzo, but Kalonzo needs Mutua at the moment. Secondly, let's go to Makweni. When he went in first in 2013, he had Mungano party, not with Kalonzo, he was alone. So this one he was given, he was voted in on that party. And he got it, then he did his development. Remember when the YPCS tried to fight him on development that he could not even pass in the parliament, in the assembly, I'm sorry. And even we had him say, I asked the president to dissolve Makweni county and we are ready even to go for a bio election whereby he believed is ready. Remember who was fighting him? The Waipapa people. He won in 2017, he just said, let me be with this guy and see. So he came and was with him. So Kalonzo also needs Kifota Kibwana and like the other way around. So if they choose to attend or not, it adds nothing to them. Gilu, 2012, 2013. And they come from the same place actually? Yes, now Gilu and him they come from Kitui. And these have always been in separate camps. Remember that? They have been the political figures of Kambani since. And they have always been in separate camps. Remember when Kalonzo was in Kano, Gilu was in SDP with Nyongo. When he went for that election for Presidents in 1907, Mamata. Then it came in the year 2002. He was in Nakh, with Narmaluwa and the other people. So, and Kalonzo was not in that picture by then. So Kalonzo took himself to Gilu in 2002. After the thing of, after the frustrations they got in Kano. Because they believed he'll be picked as the candidate to succeed Mui. But things went against the thoughts. And to make them now think of a way to go. So they formed Nakh National Rainbow Coalition. That was a coalition that brought President Kibwana into power. This far we can see his house is not in order. His house is not in order because these people, they don't need Kalonzo. But Kalonzo needs them for him to stabilize. That's the fact. Because one, Gilu controls the Kitui County Assembly. And you've seen the things Gilu has done in Nkambani. He has a record of health from the time he was a minister. The one who studied the thing of health facilities, even at the national level when he was the minister for health. The things of water he did it when he was the minister for irrigation. Now he has gone as a governor in Kitui. He has done the same in Kitui. And he's doing, she's doing a lot. Okay. So this is a person who has her own support. She does not need to rely on Kalonzo Pass. Because remember he ran, she ran on her own political party. She didn't rely on Waipua. She went on her political party. And because of the frustrations she had in Jubilee, the first term, she decided let me join this because I want to flex my muscles politically. I want to come back politically. Let me just join this position. And she did it. It is either you are in NASA or you are in Jubilee for it to be somewhere. And that was the fact of the day by then. All right, speaking of the man Kalonzo in 2007, he was duped. There was the orange democratic movement where they even formed a Pentagon. I think that repeated itself in 2017. But still this man Kalonzo has continued to be duped over time. As we speak, the Jubilee house, the kinder and sort of know the leader who will be. Although it is divided, but we can tell who will be the leader. But he Kalonzo says where he will support the president where he will be. So if president wakes up tomorrow and says I'm supporting Dr. Ruto in 2022, what happens of Kalonzo? Is he hoping to be the vice? I can say Kalonzo statement is a very reckless and dangerous statement from where I sit and my own observation because when you say I will be where the president will be. One, you don't know where the president will be come after 2022. Will he be at home? It was so many times. Yes, there are people pushing him to be the prime minister.  In other words, I was thinking critically. There's no way you can come from a top position to a junior position. Because being a prime minister has just been like in charge of the cabinet. Okay. But these people never retire, they give in later duties. Okay, fine. And looking at Huru himself, he has said several times, I'm tired, I want to go home. I'm tired, I want to go home. And remember the presidency he has right now, it is something that he was forced on him. That's one thing we should consider and put in mind. So to some extent, as much as he's being pushed, as much as his cronies are coming up with ideologies and other things, you know at times you can bring up, you can spark up a debate just to read the mind of the people. Or just to create animosity within the area. Or to try and understand what the other person is trying to think. And from that you see even what Kipchumba Muukomen wrote today on his Twitter handle, that if Jubilee party, with the majority in 2022, then the prime minister comes to the president if he will contest with Moshe Skurya and win. Remember that is the statement. That's how he finished the statement. So which means there is already a preplanned thing between Moshe Skurya and Uru Kenyatta to contest in one or the other, who will be the prime minister. So Kalonzo has no space. So Kalonzo has no space. Kalonzo is trying just to create himself as a sympathizer like he did in 2012. The shuttle diplomacy that he used to do, thinking that when he does the shuttle diplomacy he will be considered as the best person, bearing in mind that going and working outside the nations because it was that we need to have a way to get out of the hagg. So he was on the shuttle diplomacy so much trying to negotiate with other countries on that. Now he has also brought up another thing of shuttle diplomacy whereby he wants to go around so that he can negotiate the debt that Kenya has with China. And I heard him also mention that thing of shuttle diplomacy. Fine, it is not bad if he can negotiate. Fine, it is not bad. If he is good at that, it is good. He can do it. We will be very happy if our debt is well managed and negotiated downwards as a country. And for him, for 2022, the question is what if Uru will be at home? Will he be at home with Uru? But if I could use what he said, you think I will come from up there and fall here. My friend, I will be somewhere. Does it mean maybe even internationally this opposition is looking into? When we talk of international law. Actually before you respond to that, sometimes this year when they were in Machakos he said I will be your handsman. Yes, responsible. Now right now Uru has power. He controls, he has a say he can negotiate outside. And the privilege he enjoys as a president, sitting president to protect himself from political competition is not the same privilege he will enjoy when he is a retired president. You cannot tell me that Kibaki can negotiate something for somebody outside internationally for someone at the moment because he doesn't have any political fears that may be worrying him so much. So for him to say that talk of the deep state. Now I want to bring in the issue of the deep state. When you talk of the deep state, the question comes, does it mean that there is something he knew that his friends in Odea record and NASA deans know? Because he comes out clear very much emphasizing about the deep state, looking into his statements. Because when you look at 2007 election they were all in Odea. Then he went with Odea and then it was Odea Kenya. So he went with Odea Kenya. Then this one remained Odea. So these are some of the things that he came out to divide. And that's why at a statement he used ita pita katikatiaw. Yes, when he became the vice president. And yes, he did it. He was the vice president, Kibaki was the president and then now the prime minister. So he was one of the longest serving president in this constitution. Yes, yes. So he did so. Now when we talk of now he brings in another thing of deep state. Does it mean that he also want to bring in the scenario he did in 2007? This is something that we need to look into. And if it is so, it means then there will be a re-run. Because if he goes for the elections, if he vies in this area, then the way it will be who is his deputy. Who will be his deputy president. Now, and that's what it will mean. Now we have three serious contenders. For example, let me say Ruto. Then we have Amsalia. And then we have Wipoim, Kaloza himself. Because these are the three people of Dikila that will be in the ballot on the ballot come 2022. So these are some of the people that have some support. Now the first run up or the first person won't gana 50 plus 1. Now this is a re-run. That needs people to sit down and negotiate. And remember he has said we shall form a coalition post and past. Pre and post. Whereby we shall negotiate before the elections. And after the elections we shall negotiate. So what idea does this bring in someone's mind? Either we are going to be strong contenders in 2022 and number one won't gana 50 plus 1. Now it brings a re-run. And a re-run there has to be a negotiation. Whichever way. So when they team up he's there in the government at the end of the day. So when he talks of he be where we will be he knows what he is saying also using the deep state. I want us to touch on NASA because as we speak it's like NASA is dead. Only one man is showing interest in the opposition. And the other person is still there. That is the Ford Kenya. ENC seems to be strong. We have now wiper trying to say they will go their way. Odium began a while ago. So it's like NASA is no longer there. What will take Kalonzo to beat Ruto? Having in mind in 2017 and 2013 this NASA they were called actually they just changed their name. They were the same. But they were coming against the forces of Uhuru Ruto. And the same thing happened in 2017. That we don't know now what the president is saying. But also we have it in mind. Ruto is still there. So what happens? Will they have the enough forces to drive out Ruto? So all I can say NASA in activity it is dead. On paper it still exists. Because with regards to the document that was submitted three parties need to pull out. Then that's the end of NASA. So none of the political parties has pulled out. Even the Chapchap is still there. No, Bashi Nani. No that one pulled out long time ago. But you see they see three. But these are no three. You see they say three. But it's only one that pulled out and joined the other party. So it still remains even if Wiper lives today then it's the NASA stands on paper. But on the activity no. Because everybody is championing their own interests differently. They have their own different ideologies. And Nani lacks consistency. Kalonzo lacks consistency. Because one if you are personal with the ideology then when you believe in yourself then he could not have gone for the position he was offered in with the with the Guru. He could have said no. Let me build myself. Because one this is a position that is keeping him busy but even to attend to his political matter seriously. Not even to sit down and strategize for 22 seriously. Because we are sitting down strategizing on how you can create peace in South Sudan. On how you can make South Sudan become a nation. But you don't know how long it will take. That's one thing that is very very disturbing. Look at for example on Davadi in when he failed to gana a seat in Sabati in two or two. When the Guru tried to offer him he said no. They have said that I be at home so let me be at home. Till when they say that I should come back. Then he came back in 2007. They voted him. He came back. In 2012 when he failed the election when he lost the election at the presidential candidate they tried to offer him because they were in coalition in Jubilee. They tried to offer him cabinet position but he declined and said no. I'll fold my way forward. In 2017 which he did. So for Kalonzo he lacks consistency and for him because he was a strong contender in 2007 from my position I believe Kalonzo could have maintained that so that people should know this is what I stand for. This is what I go for and this is who I am. Now he was branded watermelon because he doesn't have a clear stand. He doesn't know where he should stand. He's just somebody who can wipe this way and that way otherwise he's wiper. But as we speak about him and 2022 is not far. Do you think Kenyans have faith in this man? He was the vice president. He performed in this time. But now the time he has been out there's nothing we can point to the honourable Kalonzo has done. But now he's coming back saying I want to be the president. Do you think now at this point Kenyans have the faith considering what we have been going through for the last say 10 years? Kenyans won't take him seriously. That's one thing I can say. Kenyans won't take him seriously. And it will be hard work for him. And you see when Mdama say that I'll work to make sure that Kalonzo and Ruto are working together in 2022 and this is a personal friend. Something yes Kalonzo has said is a statement not my statement but you see this is his personal friend. This is a person who has always led negotiations even in kod it is the one who led negotiations or Nasa it is Mdama who led those negotiations. So when he speaks he knows what he's speaking and maybe it will be so and when he comes and says I'll be where the president will be. Remember one thing yes we might say the president and the deputy are not in terms but you don't know what is behind the curtain. That's the point now because there are those rumans that he will be where the president is. We have Mdama saying he will make sure the deputy president and Kalonzo are working together to mean there is some relationship between the deputy president where people believe it's not happening but there is. So that means that would be assigned to the people who support deputy president and the president they will root apart let me say that they should still have some faith that our house is somewhat in order. The house is somewhat in order I can put it that way because when you look at the support he enjoys in the central Kenya the deputy president in central Kenya is an overwhelming support overwhelming support which no one can dispute. No one can dispute and he knows how to work. If you work poorly then he doesn't have nothing to do with you look for somebody who is competent enough he puts there. For like the case of Haiti it is a gold case. He looks for somebody else who is competent enough and he'll put him there and this person will support him at the end of the day. So for Kalonzo bringing in such a statement you never know what if the president still maintains the standing head in 2012 that yangu kumi ya ruto kumi then which means Kalonzo is with the is just his statement is still right. I'll find no question as we wind up. Yes. Will Kalonzo become the deputy president because he wants to be the president the negotiations will go on table the deputy president Dr William Ruto wants to be the president do you think Kalonzo will take the seat of the deputy as we wind up? In a better position Kalonzo wants to be the deputy if we can pull the competition as the things are today and looking at the change of times and change of tunes based on the bbi and come looking at the also the statement the deputy president issued in Eldred the other time that is what amass people to die for me for president if it is just because of presidency let it be what does he mean I can go for I can go for the prime prime minister position in one or the other looking at I have the majority members from my area and from other people who support me from the other areas so I can marshal people I can marshal MPs I can control the parliament I can control the senate then I get the prime minister position then I control the cabinet so where will be Kalonzo Ruto has already done his mathematics in one or the other but it's a win win it's a win win situation for him okay and that's why he he has come out clearly saying I am supporting the bbi I'm not objecting I'm supporting it fully and you are ready to go for it all right you'll find your thoughts my final thought is that what I want to say on corruption issues based in counties let Kenyans be auditors of their own counties let us question the budgets let us question the projects and let us question the allocations that have been channeling to counties what have they done are they satisfactory to us or not because a lot of embezzements of funds is happening in the counties we just heard yesterday the governor at the senate of Bungoma crying of the same and it's a serious issue embu are crying right now so these are some of the things that we need to look into all right many things for coming and sharing your opinions in this particular discussion he has been my guest Sayla's little political analyst coming up next is Waimasha Rikidi J.T.Ska and Kendrel this will be here for you I'll be seeing you again in the new yeah many things for being part of Y254 news highlights the whole of this year that is coming to an end and I want to say thank you so much actually even tonight thank you so much Jane Mwender watching from Nakuru we appreciate your company and many others who have kept us company everyone who has contributed this year to the production of this news highlights I say a big thank you I'll be seeing you again on Monday have yourself a very good night my name is Dereva Hillary have a blessed new year


First and foremost if you are looking for some ridiculously good chocolate check this out I have been greatly enjoying a piece of day for a couple days now because that's really amazing and no I am not sponsored. I just want to share the joy with you. Hello there my beautiful internet friends. Welcome back to my channel Thanks so much for joining me here tonight I'm really excited to bring you some new information at least it was new to me on Thing that we've talked about on this channel a number of times I believe I've done three videos on it now and that's B. I. I. D. or body identity integrity disorder The reason that I'm talking about this is I guess twofold I kind of found myself learning about this world about a year and a half ago when I became an amputee myself When I started talking about this journey publicly I had a number of people who struggled with this disorder reach out to me and just want to communicate want to know what my Life was like as an amputee and as they told me what they struggled with I started looking into it and I did a Video about a year ago talking about my initial reactions because if you've never heard of B. I. D. Or you don't know what it is. It's basically in essence a disorder where someone feels like they should be disabled It's a disconnection with your body I believe it's also classified as a type of dysphoria over 50% of people who struggle with this disorder Feel like they should be amputees and generally they can point to like a specific part of their body where they feel like their Body ends and they shouldn't have an arm or they shouldn't have a leg This can also extend to things like being blind or being paralyzed.  But when I looked into it further I came to understand this is obviously not something people are choosing This is an actual mental disorder and something that's agonizing to deal with when I made my first video about B. I. D. About a year ago I had a lot of people reach out to me and thank me for talking about this in a compassionate way because it's often almost exclusively discussed with shame and blame and guilt and like ridicule and making fun of them and putting them down and I don't think that's ever a helpful idea I don't think that ever helps people who are struggling or helps people, you know in general I've talked to other friends who are amputees or who use wheelchairs And it seems to be a consensus across the board that we all hear from people who have B. I. D. Looking to us for support or answers and that's not something that I am equipped to do But I do feel equipped to spread Positive information about this and hopefully reduce the stigma some and so as my journey here on YouTube has continued I've discussed it a few more times and this article came out on CNN today talking about B. I. I. D. and I wanted to share some information in it with you because it goes into some of the scientific backing behind this disorder and I really hope that more research will be put towards this better treatment will become available because it's not Super-duper well understood right now, but when we talk about things that are emotional or difficult to understand I think it's important to bring research into the conversation to bring science into the conversation Especially when people are highly opinionated or don't believe that someone could really be struggling with something like this So we found this article on CNN health and of course I will link it down below so you can check it out for yourself But it's called understanding the rare condition that makes people want to amputate their own limbs part of it reads New science is showing how specific parts of the brain may differ in those with rare But fascinating disorder known as body integrity dysphoria or B. I. I. D. The condition is believed to be driven by a mismatch between someone's mental picture of their body image and their actual physical self One way to explain it physiologically is that in B. I. D. The part of the brain associated with body image has less functional Connectivity with other parts of the brain according to a study published Thursday in the journal current biology Those with B. I. D. have less brain connectivity in specific areas So this research study was conducted of 16 men who want to remove their healthy left legs From a support group website with people with B. I. D. and compared scans of their brains to 60 men without the condition So they were actually looking at brain scans here from a physiological perspective to see what's actually happening there Those with B. I. D. have less brain connectivity in specific areas We show clear associations between a mental state and changes in brain structure and a functionality said Peter Brugger a Professor of neurology and neuropsychology at the University of Zurich Those with B. I. D. had noticeably different neural architecture in the paracentral lab you'll I'm sure I'm saying that wrong Please ridicule me kindly the part of the brain that controls how we feel and interpret feedback from lower limbs The area had reduced connectivity to other areas of the brain So what that's saying I really mirrors what people talk about when they say that they feel like this body part Doesn't belong to them or it shouldn't be there There's literally less Connection lighting up in the brain to that part of their body the right superior parietal Laviol an area used to construct one's total body image also had reduced connectivity and a reduced density of gray matter Indicating less neuron activity the feeling that a limb belongs to us relies on the extent to which the sensory motor and sorry mortar I can't say that word the sensory motor limb area is functionally connected to all other brain regions Said the study's main author having enough gray matter in the right parietal region of the brain is necessary to create a healthy Perception of the body in space something else that this article points out is that this disorder is very rare It's not something that commonly occurs. There are about 200 cases that are cited in medical literature Of course, there are more people who are dealing with this, but it's not a very common thing to experience Those with B. I. D. commonly stay silent and outside of people who join online forms Self-identifying as sufferers it's been difficult for researchers to get a read on how many people may have the condition these researchers hope to find non-surgical ways to treat those with B. I. D. such as Transcranial magnetic stimulation or deep brain stimulation with implanted electrodes This kind of treatment has shown some mild success in people dealing with depression at the Mayo Clinic So there could be some potential there basically what this treatment does is activate parts of the brain that don't have as much Activity as was referenced earlier in this study I think that this is really important to discuss in these communities and also When you see social media videos going viral of people who are choosing to be paralyzed or choosing to live as someone With an amputation because on the surface. Yeah, that does seem incredibly insensitive That seems like it's making little of disability like like you're choosing it because you could be perfectly fine But the reality is that mental conditions mental disorders are just as serious and real as physical ones Oftentimes we treat mental conditions as secondary to physical I have a lot of experience with this because I had diagnosed depression anxiety in PTSD and It is not taken nearly as seriously as things that people can physically see in the last video that I did talking about B. I. D. I invited people to share their opinions respectfully in the comment section and a lot of people did say that they felt offended if they were disabled themselves a lot of other people said that they recognized that it was a mental illness and That that can't really be controlled those who do feel like it's diminishing actual suffering or actual disability I would really encourage you to read through this whole article to take a look at some of the studies behind it And maybe gain a little bit of a deeper understanding the stories that I've heard from people suffering with this condition are truly heartbreaking Most of them want to stay completely anonymous They're usually linked accounts that don't have anything else behind them because the verbal abuse that they have suffered for dealing with this condition is Significant some of the big reasons why as the article mentions Not a lot of people talk about it not a lot of people bring it up And if you can't talk about something it's really difficult to find to help I think this is a really heartbreaking condition as most conditions are I really hope that they are able to find effective treatment for this if you are someone who is dealing with these kinds of feelings or Has b.i.i.d as someone who deals with a disability as someone who is amputee I just want to say that I don't judge you from conversations. I've had maybe you don't hear that enough I am so sorry for what you are suffering with for what you are going through that has to be incredibly confusing on so many different levels and I just wanted to remind you that not everyone thinks Little of you none of us get to choose our mental illnesses or our struggles Sometimes these things just happen and it can be really difficult to deal with and it's important to find help in safe places I hope that you have someone in your life that you can talk to about this I hope that you're able to find communities online or in person that can support you as you find your way through this I'm gonna link down below the other videos that I have done dealing with this topic If you're interested in it check them out and of course the original article is also linked down below I'm honestly really glad that more research is being done on this because I think the more knowledge we have Hopefully the less judgment and ignorance we will carry around on different issues So I'm really glad that CNN released this article I'm really glad that there are researchers who are looking into this and trying to understand what's happening in the brain And why that's disconnected from the body and like I said, I really hope that continues And I hope that effective safe treatment methods are found really soon I would love to hear what you think about this in the comment section down below It does does hearing research and studies change your mind at all if you are someone who's sort of on the fence about this or who has Felt that it was offensive if someone's struggling with that. Have you ever heard about this condition before? I would love to hear your thoughts down below I read all comments though I do not have a chance to respond to all of them and I really appreciate your words Thank you to my patrons who make this possible who support my channel and support me in so many different ways Thank you for being a member of my community Everyone's names is listed at the end of every video who is a patron of mine There are some other tiers and perks involved in joining my patreon community So if you want to check that out I'll put the link up on the screen if you feel like it Thanks so much for spending a few minutes every day here with me today You could be anywhere in the world doing anything and you chose to watch this video with me and hang out And I really appreciate that I love you guys. I'm thinking about you and I will see you in the next video


Data augmentation algorithm is the most commonly used technique for doing the actual imputations in a multiple imputation analysis. You don't need to understand the technical details of this algorithm or the basic statistics on which it's based on, but understanding the basic principle of what the algorithm does and why we use this algorithm is useful because sometimes the algorithm does not converge and then you need to make decisions on what to do about the non-convergence and to make informed decisions you have to know the basics. Let's take a look at what problems the data augmentation algorithm solves. This is the example data set that I use when teaching regression analysis. It's occupations from sensors of Canada. We have a few variables education income women and prestige and we can see that we are missing data on in prestige variable. How would we impute the values of prestige? Well the simplest approach would be to just run a regression analysis of prestige on those variables, those cases that have it on other variables and then use that regression model to predict the values for those cases that don't have prestige. So it's simple enough, but unfortunately most real-world data sets are not this simple. In reality the missingness is really constrained to one variable, but we may have a pattern like this. So we have missingness all over the place and we have more than one variable that are missing. Now we have two questions that this kind of issue raises or this situation raises. One is if we don't have data for the predictors of prestige, so we simply cannot run a regression analysis. So how do we estimate an imputation model if we don't have data to start with? And then another question is how do we calculate the predictions when we don't have data on works for example education? And these kind of questions data imputation algorithms must answer. We have also another issue in how we do imputation. And if we take a look at the stochastic regression imputation from Enders example, what we do here is that we run first the regression model on the all available data, then we use that model to calculate predictions. So this works well when you have missing data on just one of the variables, then you can easily predict that variable using all the others. No that's simple, but there is a small problem here and the problem is that the standard errors from any such imputative data would be biased and the reason is that the imputation process here assumes that this regression line is the population regression line. But it's not actually the population regression line, rather it's an estimate of the regression line and we use that estimate to do the imputations. So when we do imputation and we want to calculate the standard errors for the imputed data sets or the analysis based on the imputed data sets, we should somehow take the uncertainty of this or imprecision of this estimated imputation model into account. In multiple imputation we do that and we do it by using a different imputation model or different set of parameters for the imputation model for different imputed data sets. So in fact is we don't use the same regression line for every imputed data set, but for example if we have 10 different imputed data sets, we use 10 different regression lines. How do we then come up with those 10 different regression lines or come up with a regression line in the first place if we have missing data in more than one of the variables, this is something that the data augmentation algorithm provides us. So the data augmentation basically solves this chicken and egg problem that to do imputation we need to have a regression model. To calculate a regression model we need to have data, which we don't have before impute. In practice this is an iterative algorithm, so we do many many many imputations and we have two steps. We have the imputation step. So we start by with some covariance matrix and mean vector for the data. These are estimates. They typically come from an application of the EM algorithm for missing data. So we have an initial estimate of a covariance matrix, initial estimate of a mean vector. We use that covariance matrix and that mean vector to calculate the imputation model or set of imputation models for every missing data pattern that we have. So let's say that we have three predictors, three variables and we have a pattern where just one is missing and we have a pattern where the first two are missing. We in practice we would impute the first variable twice. We would first impute the first variable using the pattern where we have data for the second and third variable and then we would impute those cases that belong to the second pattern where there is missing values on the first and second variable using the third variable. So we would use the same covariance matrix to calculate different regressions for imputation depending on what predictor variables we have available. So this is the imputation step, the I step. After we are done with the I step, we move on to the P step, the P is called the reverse to posterior and in the P step we have one imputed data set to start with. Then we calculate a covariance matrix and a mean vector from that data set and that's our estimate. However, we also need to take into account the estimation error and this goes a bit into the Bayesian statistics side but in practice we take a mean vector and a covariance matrix that is close to the one that we have. So we basically have an estimate of the covariance matrix and then we take one that is close by and the closeness is basically determined by the sample size. So if our sample size is small then our covariance matrix that we take from the posterior distribution can be different from the estimate. If the sample size is very large then the posterior covariance matrix is going to be very similar to the estimated one. And this allows us to take estimation error into account. So we take an estimate of the covariance matrix and then we use that to randomly draw another covariance matrix that takes the estimation error into account. And that covariance matrix then feeds into the next I step. So we start calculating the regressions for imputations in using the covariance matrix. In practice this produces a chain of imputations. So we have an imputation chain, we start with the I step, the P step, I step, P step, I step and P step. And the imputations from the I step serve as data for the second P step. The covariance matrix from the P step serves as input for the next I step. And this causes a situation that the I and P steps are not independent but they depend on the previous I and P steps. So there will be autocorrelation in the imputed data. In practice what this might mean that if you impute a high value for a set of high values for one variable, then the mean for that variable will be very high in the next covariance matrix or mean vector. And then that will also cause the second imputation or the next round of imputations to impute a high mean for that variable. And this autocorrelation is something that is unavoidable and it's also undesirable. To do away with the autocorrelation what we do is that we allow the imputation algorithm to run many, many iterations before we take another data set. So this is in the step 5 and our step 6. We might have a chain of 1000 imputated data sets. And we store only every 100 of those data sets. And because there are 99 data sets between those data sets that we actually use, then we can be pretty sure that any autocorrelation has dampened out so that the data set number one and data set number 101 would be independent. So that's the idea. Unfortunately, there are scenarios where this idea does not work. And this relates to the convergence. Because the IMP steps depend on each other, there is sometimes these long-running dependencies. And if there are long-running dependencies, if there are trends, for example, this is 2000 cycles of imputing job performance mean, we can see that there are trends that go up and down, there is a dependency over time, and this means that there is no convergence. So convergence occurs when all these trends cease to exist. And how we can get convergence or how we can do diagnostics for convergence is that we can do plotting. There are, of course, statistical techniques as well, but plotting allows you to understand the issue more easily. So we can simply plot the means and covariances of every variable over time or over the imputation and check if there are patterns in that visual presentation. We cannot beyond, besides plotting the actual imputations or actual means of the imputations, we can calculate the autocorrelation over time and do this kind of autocorrelation plot. So this is a plot of autocorrelations to function of time. In a convergent model, autocorrelation will be high for, let's say, a few, 10, maybe 20 imputations, but then it should go to approximately zero for, let's say, if you have 100 datasets between two datasets, then those two datasets should probably not be correlated. So if this lag of autocorrelations to function of lag does not go to zero for a parameter, then it means that that parameter has not converged. So we have these graphical techniques and then we have some diagnostic statistics that I will not go into in this video. How do we deal with these non-convergences? Well, there are a couple of reasons, things that we need to understand about non-convergences. It often occurs if you have variables that are highly correlated. If we have highly correlated variables, then that causes the rigorous and poor efficiency to go up for some of the variables in the prediction model and that may cause this kind of situation. To deal with that issue, we have two options. If we have a large number of auxiliary variables in the model, we might consider dropping some of those. Another thing that we could apply is called RIDS prior distribution. The idea of RIDS prior distribution relates to basin statistics again, but conceptually, it would mean that instead of having a covariance matrix of the data to serve as an input for the next I step, we would calculate the covariance matrix from the data after we add a few random observations to the data. This basically makes all covariances to be a bit smaller, and when covariance is a bit smaller, then imputation algorithm converges more easily. These are two techniques, less auxiliary variables or apply RIDS prior, and there are also others, but these are the most common things. In practice, it is important to check that the imputations have converged. Where you actually encounter these convergence problems, that's another matter, but it's important to report that you did not.


How to make a fire-breathing dragon. This is my fire-breathing dragon. I named him Flame. Let me show you how to make one so you can play too. The first step into making a fire-breathing dragon is to get an empty toilet paper roll. After you've gotten that, you get some construction paper and you rock it around like this. Any color you want. And then you get a little tape and tape it. Add the flames.  Here's a tip.  You can use anything you want, including ribbons, other types of streamers. Put them in any way you want. You can put some in the bottom, put some on the top. You can change the color. You can cut some paper out. You can really do anything you want with this dragon. I'm gonna put different colors of streamers in and make it look cool. After this, you can decorate it any way you want. Here are some I made earlier. You can add glitter or any kind of decoration. Then you can add a face. I'm gonna put some pom poms that are blue and green. I'm gonna put some googly eyes on them. Remember, you can do anything you want with this. You can attach them with glue, which is probably better for the pom poms. Sometimes it's easier to put the glue on the toilet paper roll than putting the glue on the pom poms. You need to add two little things for his nose. You can use beads, coffee beans, smaller pom poms or buttons or whatever you want. And I'm gonna put some glue on the bead first. Wait for the glue to dry. And that's how you make your fire-brazing dragon. I want your jewels. You can have the rest.


My name is Dave Frans and I'm one of the soil specialists here at NDSU, specializing more in soil fertility than Dr. Wick is, whose soil health. So I visited with Naeem the other day and I think what I'd like to reinforce is why we've separated out that Langdon area as a special consideration when we do our nitrogen recommendations for wheat, sunflowers, corn, anything really. So my first summer here, which has been 26 years now this year, I was riding around with a soil survey person, Mike Sweeney, who's passed away now for a number of years, but I was noticing once I got into Langdon that you go past a field and a large part of the flax was laying flat, the barley was laying flat, the wheat was laying flat. Anything small grain you saw, it wasn't a whole field of course, but there was a large part of all the fields and I hadn't seen that in my tour up to that point. So it stuck with me. In 2010 we gathered data, and I gathered data from all over the state for the past decade or two and some recent data from up in that area. The numbers told me that the nitrogen rate we needed in order to grow a wheat crop up there was substantially different than it was in the rest of eastern North Dakota. So I carved it out. I carved out an area that's kind of e-shaped from Devil's Lake, northwest, and then northeast. It includes the Langdon area, so I just called the Langdon area. And without really knowing anything else but the numbers, I just assumed that the reason that was is that the organic matter tends to be a little bit more up there because it's just a cooler climate, shorter season, and it's a cooler climate too, so it's not like Texas where the organic matter just burns up, literally. So I just thought it was like that. And so when we came out with the recommendations, I was out in Bismarck and I was given a talk on the new recommendations, and I was talking about the Langdon area as part of it. And afterwards, a friend of mine, a colleague, Mike Holmer, who's retired now from NRCS, but just a really stellar soil survey person in the state of North Dakota, he came up to me and he was just giddy. He said that area that you described, we always knew that there was something different about that, but we really didn't have any data to substantiate it. So he gave me the links to a couple of peer reviewed papers, and one was from a North Dakota scientist, a soil survey person that described almost like I drew it, a V-shaped area up in northeast North Dakota that he called the Shaley area. And it is true, when we were up there poking holes with Mike years and years ago of every probe that we put into the ground, there's these little pieces of flat rock, flat gray rock, and farmers that farm that area, you know what I'm talking about, because you've seen it too during your tillage, and if you're taking soil samples, you know it's there. So that was part of it, is that that's the Shaley area, there's Shale close to the surface and it's mixed in with the soil, but then the kicker was that a USDA scientist from Mandan got an idea about 30, 40 years ago and took that shale out of that soil, them soil samples and did a nitrogen mineralization study on them. And it turns out there's a high amount of mineralizable ammonium in that shale, which means that that shale releases nitrogen slowly over time. So it's really not the climate that's different, why we have that credit up there, that different recommendation scheme, it's because the soil itself is a slow release fertilizer. And so the nitrogen recommendations, I have them nailed down for the wheat certainly because that's where we had the most data from that area is that it used to be a real big wheat country before SCAB, and so we had quite a bit of data and the data told me that I had to do that, but that's the reason is that it has high amounts of mineralizable ammonia in it. So I would think if I was growing any crop up there that needed nitrogen, I'd back the rate off by 30 pounds at least. If it's not in the recommendations for sure, I mean if it's not written down that you should do this, I'd still just lop 30 pounds off the top just to make sure you weren't putting too much. If nothing else, it's a cost. And we also know that too much nitrogen for sunflowers, for example, increases amount of disease you might have, and it's certainly would increase the lodging and lower the oil content, the canola, too much nitrogen is just not good. So if you're in the Langdon area, back it off.


What's going on you guys? Please excuse the outfit. I understand. I put this set up. I look like a Bond villain But I'm going to talk about something important today And that's this is an article that I saw recently. I'm gonna Bring it up so I can read it to you It says why young adults, especially men are having sex less Okay Now this is something that I've seen come up again and again And I kind of knew this even before I read the article and it's a big motivation for my channel even exists Because I sense this is happening. Okay young adults are having less sex than their predecessors talking to the 2000s Even up to the 2010 we're having less and less sex and this study was done before The coronavirus pandemic and all that stuff happened So this is before all of this was happening before probably gotten way worse since okay So what are the main reasons that this is happening? Okay? And by the way you guys for those of you who didn't get access to my approaching system when it was on offer last week I'm gonna be opening up sales Again for it just for three days. So if you want to get on these three days Please click the link below and get signed up. I look forward to seeing you there This is gonna help you out obviously with that problem. Okay, so Young adults are having less sex than they did before. I knew this This is pretty common and with people who say that the hook-up culture is really really predominant Everyone's hooked up with everybody. It's not really that true People talk about hooking up a lot more than they actually do it And if you notice the frequency of sex is a lot less So maybe you'll have sex with one person and then you just won't see them again or talk to them again After but so that happens as well too. Okay, so why is this happening now? The article goes into listen number of different reasons may be changing attitudes. They talk about economic factors Those also play a role for sure But it doesn't really give any useful advice. Okay, it just says well men are making less attitudes are changing No useful advice I could find in any of these articles is actually helping people and especially men out Okay, and this is why I got into what I do. I want guys to have more I want people I want more people to have more sex. Okay, people usually have sex when they're happy People usually have sex when there's good stuff going on when they have good energy when they feel motivated Those things happen. Yes, people can have sex for bad reasons too But they don't usually have it consistently over a long period of time. Okay now, how do you get more of this? Well, I'll tell you a big big thing that this article does not mention or really talk about is how men are brought up in Today's day and age they're not brought up to be men anymore They're not brought up to be sexually desirable, you know women There's twice as many men that are virgins than are women virgins in this day and age twice as many that number I think is an underestimate. Okay Because there's just a certain segment of the male population that women are not sleeping with they don't find them Desirable and they don't find them desirable for a lot of reasons that you have when you look at the way men are brought up become Painfully obvious to you. I mean look at the way like look at how school is look out like a guy's childhood is You raise your hand to go to the bathroom. You're asking permission for pretty much everything You're taking tests hoping that somebody is gonna give something to you You develop needy permission-seeking behaviors all throughout your childhood in life These are the same behaviors that prevent a woman from being attracted to you How on earth do these men expect to be prepared to actually be desirable to a woman if they're doing this their whole life? This is a big reason why I started my channel in the first place and why I'm so passionate about what I do I don't know if you can tell by the way that I'm talking right now But yes, this is something that I really really care about because I feel like the way the world is and society is It is not built there to help men It's why I have a job in the first place is because I teach these skills and I teach guys how to do it How many guys When they walk outside if they see a girl that they find attractive that they like that they would love to talk to Would actually have the balls to go up and talk to that woman that number is so frickin low And I know that number was higher back in the 80s I know it was higher back in the 90s in the 2000s We have more guys who are sitting there complaining about their introversion complaining about all of these reasons Why they're not getting girls but none of them are actually stepping up and actually doing it and it's sad That's why I have the the things that I have that's why I have my coaching programs is to help guys do this So if your guy was watching this and you feel maybe personally attacked by this sort of stuff I'm just I'm just giving you the facts and you know I get kind of motivated and emotional about it because I was myself a person like this I was somebody who I would put in that category of a person who was undesirable for most women out there and as a result I wasn't getting sex I wasn't getting into relationships. I wasn't dating people. Okay, it was a frustrating experience for me But once I learned to stop those permission-seeking behaviors stop being needy Stop actually waiting for somebody else to take charge of my own life and take charge myself That's when things really started to take around Sorry just started to turn around So when I did see that girl I liked at a Starbucks or in a grocery store or just around wherever I wasn't scared to go say hi. I wasn't afraid of I don't know some Movements that are happening right now. It's like there's no problem with saying hi and being friendly And if somebody doesn't want to talk to you just leave them alone. It's very very simple So in the approaching system, I talk all about this and that's why I came out with a program that I thought was You know something that if you're a guy who knows nothing You can come into this program go through it and actually learn how to start conversations with people in your everyday life Okay, anywhere wherever it is to be able to do this and that's why I'm so motivated to talk about this Store of stuff because I was one of those guys in the past. Okay, so what you can start doing is start looking at your life Where are you? Where are you exhibiting these permission-seeking behaviors? Where are you being needy?  Yeah, you don't use you. You're usually raised Mostly by women. Okay You need to start exercising yourself as a man and a man goes after what he wants He doesn't wait for permission. He doesn't wait. Hey, is it okay? Is it okay if I do this? Can I can I do this now is is it okay? Thank you teacher.  He goes for it All right So I know you've taught to behave in a certain way, but there are ways that you can get over and it starts with you It starts by making a decision to actually learn this sort of stuff, you know And if you guys are interested to actually learn how to walk up and talk to the woman that you want to talk to Take charge of your own life then yes, please take advantage of the deal that I'm offering with the approaching system The practical approaching system is the best thing that I think any guy who's looking for a low price point and be able to learn This stuff can do it. So yeah, click the link in below and you know, that's that's That's kind of a part of the reason why I posted this videos as I'm opening up sales again for it But I also really wanted to talk about this and you know, this is something that I think is a really important aspect of life So anyway, I appreciate you guys sticking in I appreciate you guys watching and I'm gonna be coming out with more content like this in the future to address the Specific issue which really has been the issue that I've been addressing this whole time on this channel. Thanks a lot you guys Good luck out there


This video is in partnership with Edmund Cug and I'm going to tell you more about them and their products in just a little bit. Moving to US is a big transition mentally, physically and emotionally and you really need to plan and prepare for this. This video is going to help you do just that. You're going to share real student experiences and I'm particularly going to focus on the on-campus jobs and the internships. So keep on watching. Oh my god! So that's how I did not get an internship which is not a good feeling. It's a lot to go through in a small time. Hi guys! My name is Shachi and I'm a travel and visa coach. On this channel, you will find lots of useful videos on the US visa process. So make sure to check it out.  This video is going to cover five tips which is going to make your transition to US simple and hassle free. So let's get started. So the first tip I have for you is plan early and learn essential skills. So the one thing that I've observed through my experience of working with students is that students who start early have a much better and a much smoother transition to the US. So starting early allows you to apply to more universities. It allows you to have more admits and also increases your chances of getting a visa slot because more slots are usually available at the start of the intake.  All of which you have to do by yourself when you're in the US. And if you plan well, you can arrive in US two to three weeks before the start of your classes so that you have enough time to get adjusted to your new surroundings and to settle down. Speaking of planning, let me tell you a little bit more about today's partner, Edmit Card and their amazing product, Pentorex. Now, Pentorex is a one-stop shop for all the necessities that you're going to require when you're in the US. So Edmit Card can help you with literally everything.  Pentorex program takes care of all of this and I know that a lot of you go through the hassle of doing each and every one of this by yourself, especially in the last minute. But Edmit Card is here to simplify all of this for you. So the link for this is in the description box below. Do check it out. You just need to click on the link, register yourself and the Edmit Card team is going to reach you and help you set up all of this. Particularly, do check out their credit card because it has a lot of amazing benefits. And if you use their services, you also stand a chance to win cash packs and rewards up to 500 USD. So highly recommend checking them out. The link for this is in the description box below. The second tip I have for you is apply for on-campus jobs even before you reach US. So on-campus jobs is a great way to support yourself financially and take that little bit of burden of your sponsor. A good on-campus job can in fact pretty much cover your living expenses in the US. And you need not wait till you arrive in US to apply for on-campus jobs. So every university has a hotel where they list all the on-campus jobs available and as soon as you get your visa and your travel plans are confirmed, you should log into this portal and start applying for these jobs. So on-campus jobs are a variety of on-campus jobs. It could be TA, RA role. It could be working in the dining hall in the cafeteria. It could be working as a student guide or a tutor or really specific roles like helping the university with their social media platforms. So there are plenty of such on-campus jobs available and you should start early because it takes some bit of time, some bit of tries to finally land an on-campus job. And a bonus step for you here is don't restrict yourself just to the university portal. Every department also has its own on-campus jobs and many of them are actually not listed on this portal. So again, once your travel plans are confirmed, do reach out to your department. You could draft a simple email which introduces yourself, lists your key skills, the areas in which you could contribute and send it out to as many professors as possible within your department, letting them know that once you arrive on campus, you are ready to take up any on-campus job. I'll be very honest here, when I landed I had absolutely no job and for around a year I was struggling. I got my first job as a lab assistant in the summer and that's like I arrived in August but I got my first job in summer. So it took a lot of time, my, of course, pulling some strings, refloals to work a lot to make good contacts and keep, make sure you're in the eyes of the professors. For my lab assistant job, I definitely tried for maybe a month or so and that's when I landed the job. Whereas for the gym, as soon as I had my first job, I had an assistant so I was able to get in the gym but I would suggest make a lot of contacts. Use your contacts. So when you say make contacts, what does that mean? Make sure you have good rappos with your professors, seniors, make sure you show them like you are a potential student who is willing to work and you have to go talk to managers. You'll have to pull your strings and yeah, that's about it. And how do you manage two jobs studying? The thing is that one of my job does require me in person. I have to put in my ass but the other job with where I'm working as a lab assistant, I can work from home. So it's quite flexible but at the end of the day, you need to have time management. That's all I can say. Routine, huh? Yeah, it's a routine. Like cut down on those parties, don't go. You have to sleep in, use your weekends to just sleep in, take your time and yeah, that's all. So this way if you start early, you wouldn't have to wait for one or two semesters to land this job. As soon as you arrive in campus, within a month or so, you could start your on-campus job and like I said, it's a great way to support yourself financially and also build up your resume. The third tip I have for you is, prepare to apply for internships and CPT. So internship or a CPT is something which is on every student's mind when they come to the US and it's one of the highlights of your program and it's a great way to boost your resume, get work experience and get some practical learning. However, applying to an internship or a CPT is a lot of effort. On an average, a student would apply to about 100 plus companies before landing one internship offer. So before you reach US, you need to come prepared for this and there are simple ways in which you can do that. The first thing is to have your resume in place. So make sure that your resume is properly formatted, it's professionally worded and also make two to three versions of your resume so that you're able to apply to a variety of internships. The second thing you can do is to reach out to your professors. So your professors are going to help you a lot in applying to internships in reaching out to companies and going through the entire process. So before you reach US, make sure that you introduce yourself to them, drop them an email, schedule a one-on-one if possible and let them know what are your key skills, what are the areas that you will be interested in working. With all of this in place, once you reach campus, within one or two months, you can start the internship process and start applying. So the number one reason why most students don't land an internship is because once you reach campus, they're so consumed by the assignments, the deadlines, the coursework and everything else that is going on that applying to internships, applying to CPT takes a backseat. Start applying as much as possible. You need to make sure that your resume is up to the mark. You can reach out to a lot of professors. They're going to help you out in your resume making and something like that. Then you can go on LinkedIn and Henshake. Indeed, there's a couple more websites you can go on. There's one called Veup. It's very, very good, you know. Thanks. So I got my internship to Henshake by the way. So I did my, so there are two things called CPT and OPT. CPT is basically for internship and OPT is for full-time jobs. So I started applying when I came here in US after like in October something like that. October November, I started applying and I got my first interview call in November. Oh, great. And then I never heard from them because I don't know why what happened. I messed up my interview. So basically immediately applied as soon as it was? Yeah, so I came to Stevens in August 21 and then I started applying from October. And that's what my professor told me, you know, to start applying. I know you don't have any experience because I was a fresher. I came out of college and I came directly to US. So I was a fresher. I had no experience. I just had a couple of internship experiences and stuff like that. So I started applying from November, October November and then I got my first interview call in November. I did my interview. I reached out to them like after two months. They didn't say anything to me. I was a bit disappointed, but then, you know, my seniors told me that, you know, you need to keep applying. Yeah, don't do so. So don't let this happen to you. Do as much preparation as possible beforehand so that once you're here, along with everything else, you're also able to manage applying to companies. The fourth tip I have for you is start creating your own network and support system. So every university in US has student clubs and organizations and these could be academic. It could be cultural. It could be sports related and you definitely should be part of at least some of these organizations and clubs. So once you have your visa in place, do your research as to what clubs and organizations are there in the university. Reach out to them and join them. Life in US can get lonely at times. It's really important that you create your own network and your own support system. Find your mentors, your peer group and all of this can start by joining these clubs and organizations. Particularly for Indian students, most universities do have Indian student groups. So reach out to them, join them and this could be a way in which you celebrate common festivals, enjoy common food and also find people from your background. So I've heard this from a lot of students that it can get lonely in the city sometimes. So how have you created your own community and your own support system here? So again, on my second semester, I joined the student governing board. I joined the fraternity. I joined student life club as a worker. So I started gaining friends. I started talking to people. I also joined our school's East Force team and I have a great family of five with them that we meet nearly every day. So my advice would be talk to people. Don't be shy because I measure everybody feels lonely at one point and if you start talking, you will start gaining friends. You will have a more and a better support group that can help you through your moments when you come to a big city like New York. And all of this can help you adjust to life in US better and make you a little less homesick. So the fifth tip I have for you is do your research about the local area. So once your travel plans are confirmed, do your research and find out as much information as possible about the area that you're going to be living in. US is a very diverse country and every state is different. There is different climate, different food options, different laws and regulations, also different public transport options. So you really have to understand all of these things with respect to your area and your city. So do your research and this will help you in adjusting better to the life in US and also reduce any culture shocks. So how old are you? I'm 19. So 19 in New York, the English girls studying in one of the top institutions. So how does it feel? It's a lot to go through. It's a lot to go through in a small time. So yeah, the first thing you should do is get an Airbnb. You never know. If you don't have family over here, get an Airbnb and do look out for apartments or anything. And most probably I would prefer you for the first semester or first year or maybe if you have the funds and you should go totally go for it. Take the dorms. People think that it's too much money and the start that's basically the amount of living in everywhere else in New York. It's high. You have to pay for it anyways. So just get in the dorms. If you can. So yeah, please learn how to cook. If you're coming here because I have a friend who doesn't know how to cook. He's spending money every month eating out and please learn how to cook. Getting groceries is very easy. It's going to be very cheap when you get in bulk. You can cook a lot of food. It's called meal prepping. Look it up on YouTube. Make a lot of food. Just put it in the refrigerator. It'll stay good for a week. You're done for your week. Additional tip I have for you here is also be aware of the safety protocols in your area. So there might be certain areas you need to avoid or certain time zones that you need to avoid and you should have information about all of this because once you're in the US you're going to be on your own and taking care of your safety is your responsibility. So I really hope that these five tips help in making your US journey simple and hassle-free. If you have any more questions feel free to leave them in the comment section below. You can also DM me on Instagram my Instagram handle is at chatty.man If you're looking for a video on what to pack to the US we have that also. So do check out this video which will give you an entire packing checklist particularly for students. Also if you're looking help in your visa journey then you can reach out to us. So we can help you get your FN visa. We have one-to-one sessions mock sessions and full-fledged programs like the seven-day program which takes care of all your visa requirements. So the link for this in the description box below do check it out and we have more videos coming up so stay subscribed. I'll see you in the next one. Signing off for now. Bye.


If Kieran Dahl can settle down and get his head right, because I think that's the only thing about Kieran Dahl, it's his head. It's about focus, having that focus on football and people might go, what's that got to do with it? Look at plays like Paul Pogba. When Paul Pogba is focused and it's about the footy and it's about doing what you need to do. You're going to win a World Cup. And it's not, these games are footy where he thinks he's going to be great and he's not great. That comes down to just pure focus, concentration, doing the work, doing the research, doing the training, going through the drills, knowing what your job is. Now I think that's what Kieran Dahl has to do to settle into this squad if he wants to be part of this squad. The manager's got to look at him and go, right, I can trust you to play 90 minutes if I need to and or 15 minutes of adventure if I need to. I think that's why he didn't stick around last year because they looked at him and probably gone, you flow through games, you don't offer enough, you offer moments but you've got to offer more than that because we can't afford to carry it. So he's one for me that in the next couple of weeks, especially while Guilfy Sigartons is not here, could definitely lay on the arc of that where ever they'll go, well we don't need to buy X-Rines, you can do that job. He's one, he definitely is one because he's got the talent. I listened to his interview in Australia last year, the career, but one bit just like made me laugh just out of the start of it because he went, I don't like running. And I just thought, yeah, there you go, there's your problem. He wants the balls there, but I kind of understand what he means, he's a ball player, he doesn't like the other stuff, he's like, but I had to, I had to learn and that's what he's got to do. We went and watched him two years ago, well 18 months ago and less than that, when Ronald Cooman, coming towards the end of Cooman's first season, manager was there, the first team coach was there and he just strolled around the pit and you're thinking, you've got a chance here to go, give me a shot, give me a shot at this, you're looking and going into the new season, that was his opportunity, if they went away to Holland scored a few goals and then straight away you're like still wandering around, you've got to go and be busy and get yourself in and I think he's probably done that more of for us because he will have had to if he can't, but he finished the season not only getting to football because the new manager come in and he meant to do what he wants and looked at him and just went, you can't contribute what I need to this team, but don't get me wrong, there was a time during the season, like the Arsenal game where he did very well, he had to score goals, didn't he? I think he'll be one with a manager who'll come in and look at him and go, you need to show me what you can do. Ability wise, he's got it, whether he fought like on the scale and the vision, so all it is now is it's can you transfer that ability, can you package that up and put that into knowing where to run and to getting about the pitch? I'll tell you the difference, the difference is look at Kieran Dahl, right, if Kieran Dahl wants to look at anyone, look at your mate, look at Tom Davies, right, he splits opinion, let's get it right about Tommy splits opinion, right, but look at his energy levels, look at the work that he puts in, again with Tom it's not always focused in the right areas, I think that's something that experience brings you that, sometimes there's a lot of energy wasted by Tom in the wrong areas, doing the wrong things, not playing footy in the street at midnight. No, not at night, skateboarding, all right, but on the pitch, but if Kieran Dahl had that work ethic, then Kieran Dahl's game would go up a couple of levels to the point where he'd be the one knocking on the door to get in the team, he'd be the one who, when people go, I mean I still see people going, you're a championship playing, you're like, mate, you, what, you don't, if you think Tom Davies is it, yeah, yeah, exactly, you know, Tom Davies is, he makes mistakes, he makes stupid mistakes, he makes the kind of mistakes, kids make, go and watch any good player, watch them when they were younger, they're not, you know, I've seen a couple in my lifetime who you've looked at and gone, wow, Wayne Nooney was one, Wayne Nooney was like a man in a kid's body, knew how to play the game, knew where to take the ball in the last closing minute, I've said it before, when he told Kevin Campbell to run in the corner with a 35-year-old Kevin Campbell when he was 16, he knew that, right, other kids at Flamboyant and they'll do other things and give stuff up, right, people watch Sam Davies and go, oh, he can't do this, look at the things he can do, stop looking at what he can't do, it's look at the things he can do, he's a kid, he hasn't played, I don't think he's played 100 Premier League games, yeah, he's played about 60, probably nowhere near 100, probably played like 50 Premier League, but he's still played 50 Premier League, no, what I'm saying is he's 19, no, no, but it's quite at the same time, I'm saying he's played 50 Premier League games, you know what I mean, this is 19, you don't play 50 Premier League games, you know, people have to turn around and say he's a championship player, nonsense, but that's what, that's what Seamus Coleman, classic example, like Seamus Coleman came in at Ben Feaker and played left back, right, I watched him that night and was like, yeah, because I did loads of things and I was like, oh, he's fabulous, I watched him that night and was like, that granted he was up against Deemere here and go players, he had a mate, then he got in and he was energy, but he was hitting miss and it was like, I don't know, he's gonna be good enough, people got mad, he bows well better, he bits well better, and Gary, Phil Neville is better and get it and all that. Seamus has, he's been a captain now, been fantastic for everything because he got in and settled down, and that's what it's about, isn't he? I mean, that's, that's what Dahl should be looking at, he should be looking at why aren't I knocking on the door, what he got that I haven't got, and it's just waiting, it's the hunger, it's knowing what to do and when to do and always being busy in Premier League games. So, Keir and Dahl is someone that I think the opportunity is there and I think that's an area of the park where, as I said, it's not somewhere we will be going, where we need someone absolute. I mean...


What's going on guys gals we're ripping a case four of the new 2022 tops pristine baseball best of luck everybody got benjamin v arizona bill r cleveland and detroit charlie twins chris s dodgers colin b kc craig d blue jays daniel g texas dany c angels d e white socks edgar gnats henry phil's jason h cubs john g podries joshua s cardinals kevin s orials red socks yankies lennie n seattle michael m reds michael b pirates michael r rockies robert a houston roit m milwaukee russell f a's steve g tampa timothy m giants tony k marlins william w braves metz best of luck ladies and gents appreciate y'all coming out it's good to be seen man it's good to be seen this is a very clumsy product it feels like in terms of config and layout what not it's also really dirty giving off a ton of dust and whatnot we need a lint roller in here badly you see the packaging really weird yeah i want to try something on this first box see how you guys feel about it i'm gonna take these my hands are gonna be killing me by the end of the day i've had no practice at all this is the first product i've ripped in a while i'm gonna long while there we go phase first refractor second in case third darvish insert a rosa reina scherzer peralta freddy freeman inserts day windfield rally rookie sheets rookie and a rod crew voila refractors siri rookie refractor got a gold joe adell angels number 50 soda fractor purple Gibson for the fillies rogers refractor fran lorrea's refractor salvador prez refractor joe morgan refractor bobechette refractor tim anderson refractor yoni hernandez yoni hernandez and a jersey auto of erinola number two ninety nine for the fight and fills go fillies they're all top load and then are in case cards got a golden door for the Mets nice gold pretty card i like the color in this number to 50 my man Pedro for boston not numbered autograph pirates cabrion haze here you go pittsburgh on card auto not numbered autograph rookie filly luke williams fillies that one's number to 50 got a blue salvador pares for kansas city salvi that is to 75 and is that a black pulsar fran mil reyes for cleveland that is one of one my first box back just saying guys i still got it first box back one one that's how we roll grats cleveland there you go reyes one-on-one box two my first box back just like that look kaleb's here he's already jealous he's like geez man how do i do that how do i do that i don't even know what to do you'll get it one day kaleb you'll get it one day how many one-on-ones in lane pull in the last few cases zero yep that's how we do things that's how we roll buddy yeah uh no this is break number four correct is he yeah this is break four we're way behind uh refractors goes inside this is the trick to getting through the facts faster there we go i think so we're about to find out Aaron judge delacruz the young caru zander eskibar zander poppy kepler there's a trout that's cool reggie smoltz nolyn ryan peralta soto gray there's a harper bueller Chapman clementi brantley frank thomas schmitty gibson marty wheeler bias johnson freetman nut numbered otani de gallin mccormick gonzalez ramirez strawsburg freetal tj freetal all right refractors we got rata rue raffy devours refractor with the all-star jersey on cedric mullins that's uh orials purple yachty cardinals purple is to 99 joey gallo refractor for texas all-star purple hendrix white socks s to 99 shane bas refractor rookie tampa and an orange javi bias as a met there you go met's on the orange that is to 25 marcus semian refractor lorenzo cane matt manning rookie refractor in a jersey auto for milwaukee josh hater on-card autograph jersey milwaukee burrers there you go on case stuff we've got orials popular demand auto insert boom boom mancini there you go baltimore nice clean ink on that we got rookie refractor auto giants sammy long long sam fran there you go and we got a blue real mudo for philly that one's number to 75 we got a gold liam hendrix that's a all-star what was he white socks right what was he yep white socks there it is number to 50 a go white socks is any from like new zealand or australia blake snell for the padres not numbered and an orange freddy peralta that is milwaukee number to 25 another one for milwaukee box three yep we'll be at the national doing breaks selling singles buying singles as well so we're gonna sell some cards at the national make sure you come by our booth lane will be there purchasing and selling singles and we'll be doing breaks live from the national also we'll be doing some cool promos for late in gaming as well unfortunately fortunately but unfortunately my wife and myself will not be there this year for the first time in a decade we'll be missing the national our first born is due in the next few weeks here so hopefully rocko was uh born during that during that national there he's due august 1st so it could be during that that week while everybody's at the national so very excited i see a red yeah very excited man cannot wait yeah sarah is also an august birthday so we'll have a whole house full of august babies so that every year they're both going to be celebrating their birthday at the national or close to in any way this year's national is a little bit early one on one second please can you text that to my wife not benny lou gary that's cool nelly confordo nolan salvi beaver insert muncie aeronado dj crawford larkin donaldson but a faberth insert that's actually pretty cool although i've seen that image a bunch of times each road turner hendrix cronenworth mcmon enrique yachty not numbered pullhulls crannick crannick rosario kurtis terry moncada burns riso goldy von marsh rookie there's a wander rookie nice there you go tampa solar castellanos mookie not not numbered myse yule mcgill longo jon carlo glaver and the clemeni insert on the back refractor pile moose tacos for the reds it is not numbered and the jersey auto on card yankees or all this Chapman there you go yanks nice don't see much uh Chapman ink out there that's pretty cool pick this up that would be great mini machado assuming it's as a padre yeah padres gary carter refractor metz xander refractor boston purple salvedor for kansas city that is 1099 paul the young purple ozzy the wizard cardinals 1099 or hey solar joe musgrove he made an all-star team larry walker and is that a red i think it is for the giants four of only five chris brian has been hitting homers just came back for the rockies been hitting bombs red chris brian as a giant the five i just rhymed yes we do tony mac yes we do open right now 11 to 6 every day all right we got a gold the 50 baltimore cedric mullins they go orials nice gold got a castellanos as a sentinati red which is weird let me go reds again tyler mcgill rookie refractor metz there you go metz got a blue nolyn ryan as an angel to 75 we got rookie auto metz again tyler mcgill there you go metz on card tiny auto and white socks pulsar autograph to 99 eloy himenez there you go white socks hopefully he comes back and healthy and starts playing well here soon yeah i just wish the packaging on this was a little less labor intensive but i do like the product it's got a good look i'm always a fan of i'm always a sucker for chrome color anything chrome serial numbered color i'm always a big fan of it's like opening a nesting doll of baseball cards like in one of those nesting tables or whatever it was like four tables inside of a table they're all it just keeps getting actually it'd been funny if they did it with like minis and like each time you open another pack the cards got smaller that would have been funny say hey schwarber as a red sock beaver marquez jar walsh trample bias manny that guy semian hendrix matsui korea insert lindore winker glad jr teoscar o'neill cruise rookie there you go pirates that kid has been fun to watch jackie a rosarina akunya insert not numbered verlander seth beer marquez george brett hanager soto india yelp freeman karstin kelly mullins adamez chipper akunya insert not numbered posie tomi produgo tautis snider jd and there's an otani insert that's pretty cool pristine borders refractors got a rookie refractor of new bar cardinals purple freddy freeman as a brave number 99 korea seager refractor as a dodger and the jersey otter going to the white socks again tim anderson on card all star there jersey otter white socks congrats refractor oriel's mount castle and we've got gold tigers of candelario detroit with the gold that's number 250 got the rocket refractor balston brandon low brandon lough brandon lough sorry tampa trade turner refractor dodgers purple kilibrew twins that one's to 99 and corbin burns and a brujan rookie tampa refractor and our pile of slabs we got an orange vlad junior toronto congrats on the orange that one is number to 25 we got a beautiful number to 15 pink arid judge yanks that's pretty cool number to 15 blue contraris for the cubs number to 75 another all-star him and his brother are uh all stars william and wilson alan trammel detroit that's an orange auto Cincinnati old school tony perez there you go reds cool hit number to 25 and auto mets polar bear petal anzo will he three p in the derby there you go mets congrats next up halfway through it took me 27 minutes that's nuts we're gonna have to change the scheduling around a lot let's try this box one pack at a time see if it goes faster i don't know i don't know if it will or not got a gilbert refractor rookie arizona come on camera purple jd for boston that's to 99 kepler tony guin mancini matthewson uraeus pedro matt manning the base gold auto rookie kent city jackson koar you go kent the city that's number to 50 so it's one pack i don't know i don't know which is faster it seems like maybe one pack at a time is still faster got a jonathan india in case refractor Cincinnati we pulled his logo man out of definitive like a week ago refractor rookie hoy park pittsburgh and a gold pool hole says a dodger to 50 nice gold pool holes steady eddy marcona bogsy as a tampa otani all star chris bryant zanino insert of mora vera yeah i think that i think it might be faster to go pack at a time i don't know refractor of the wizard got the hawk as an expo goes in nationals first box back first box of months i got a one-on-one yeah i guess i picked good cases the grom ernie bank's trevor story babe ruth conor wong out kayline lance lin refractor in case yanks glaber your yankees all right i'm just gonna show this because it's freaking sick six of 25 nationals one soto auto orange boom grats that's sick it what a beauty that's priority joey wendell refractor jersey otter giants brandon crawford it's a 99 there you go san fran giants don't work he's got a cool auto joey del pete lanzo thompson barlow edger conolario that's a gold number to 50 pirates cabrion he's on the gold nice one there pittsburgh and open it upside down right guard sport stick upside down upside down refractor gary cole yankees tim anderson white socks real mudo kirby merafield freeman yellich yachty insert of tateese got a gold one is for the blue jays number to 50 marcus semian makes the all-star team immediately goes to the rangers gold to 50 if you just send an email about it hammer you're already worried about it and it's been a while since you emailed maybe send us another one just to make sure but if you just emailed us we'll be we'll be on it buddy refractor ripkin jr jd boston now we got one more after this 617 uh ryu glad jr jordan ozzie cabrion wheeler insert sammi sosa slammin sammi and a blue tateese jr to 75 padres nice tateese so which was faster guys back in the time was actually faster it allows you to get stuff out of the way a little quicker there's less shuffling christy matthewson because of the giants little old school i love it they're the same baseball uniforms i used to wear got a rosario refractor kirloff refractor lindor johnny bench jeter furgy vado olsen insert jose braves seth beer rookie refractor arizona great name every time he plays every night is beer night stargell and a purple rizzo he's has a yankee there not a flattering picture for a number of the 99 yankees rogers castro sexto sammi chisel is that a rookie no aeronola wang soto moving on to 25 cleveland orange Ahmed rosario guardians congrats on the orange get a burger and a beer night jake burger shame they don't play for the same team ronnie dollson refractor and we got orange that's nice that's the part i didn't miss at all there we go where is the chat room on this side all right you got a dollson refractor and the orange is gary carter for the mezz number to 25 the kid there you go mezz nice orange got one more case and then chronicles guys we are behind schedule snell darvish jaren diran colton welker walkins reynolds hammer and hank insert jesse winker refractor and jersey auto on car dodgers walker bueller nice hit dodgers beauty jd siri dikeman kutch gallon machado akunya insert filly's auto jt realmuto here you go fills on car auto there arizona rookie auto refractor looks like tyler gilbert another hit d backs brian dilla cruise refractor rookie marlins and a glass now refractor for tampa joe ryan joe mower mariano teosker griffin jacks brian reynolds a bell tray we got a blue mitch hannigar seattle there you go number to 75 we've got elvis andrews for the a's and a gold gym tome filly to 50 courtesis boy cousins marty yazz pettit clement barrios and kershaw sorry seven what is it an e-box case this stuff takes a long time to write a dallas garcia refractor texas jersey auto go into the twins number to 15 joe mower very nice hit minnesota that's cool awesome hit devers gil mookie rhino akunya pudge ichiro on card rookie refractor auto going to seattle cow rally mariners again here you go seattle got a redemption this one it is going to the pirates rookie auto o'neill cruise that's a boom for pittsburgh congrats pirates on that big hit jackson koar refractor chris brian refractor bolson hank erin walsh albie's veerling frank thomas blad jr we have a beautiful to 25 lou garig orange for the yanks what a beauty awesome lou garig pulmalter refractor nathan yavaldi refractor boston machado semmian anderson burns glass now delacruz miggy kyle muller refractor rookie purple long go giants that's number the 99 got a lou bob lads senior garicol hawk wizard kid padro blue mcgill rookie to 75 mets nice one there that's doing work you got a starling marty refractor oakland a's marty is an a todd helton and gold mora vera yankies again to 50 yanks getting nice color muskroof whoree winker seager window and a wander rookie insert for tampa very nice nice sweet wander there blad senior all right we got bruhon eloy salvi real mudo morgan yohani white park and a trainman senior refractor for bottom art last box in the case if you sit next to me you're gonna end up with a lap full of trash that's fine i go i go left with trash in this case i'm gonna help you open the past as you're going through it yeah i don't know if that's gonna help much rosario molider newt bar blackman rogers beshet and a darvish and we got refractor mitch hanager and a otani refractor angels not numbered gold mike zanino number to 50 tampa bay got a refractor of max kepler for the twins wong gone refractor texas and a gold rookie jake burger white socks to 50 nice andris mullins gallo wong gone stargill and a beaver ken griffy junior refractor seattle adallas garcia moose tacos turner muller fran mill tim garcia mike piazza got a whit merafield pulsar going to kansas city quit merafield we got pulsar rookie auto to 99 seattle again another cow rally grats mariners got a gt real mudo to 15 milwaukee christian yulich that's a beauty another brewer's hit that's a sweet card i like the patch version griffy tautis hendrix castellanos keerloff arming killer brew and then a rosa reina not numbered tampa bay rookie refractor auto vedal brujan there you go tbay nice one tamper hendrix charlie blackman here is koar walker garcia helton dolson and jaren diran ricky insert last pack of the case case number five is next got a blue jose abray you to 75 white socks so it might help you to open the packs from the back poppy refractor and to 99 one soto gnats nationals did well in this case ricky santo mount castle yovaldi boz ripkin debbers that does it for case four thanks everybody we get that uploaded roll on the next break here in a minute