Hi. I haven't seen you in a while. Blender 2.8 is still in alpha, but we keep getting features pretty much daily. This week there's been a new template for sculpting, new workspaces for layout, and all kinds of things. But there was this one feature that was added like 10 minutes ago that is so small yet big at the same time that I wanted to show it. So unit system in Blender in 2.7, it was a bit limited. So you could choose the length and then in the length you could choose metric or imperial or none. So by default it was none, so you would see Blender units, we call it, but just like numbers, random arbitrary numbers. So if you choose metric then you will see like meters and the issue was that when it wasn't specified, if Blender will get like the magnitude that was closer, so centimeters, kilometers, or anything that it was, it would fit that number. So if you had a thousand, it would be one kilometer. So it was very confusing because then when you're transforming it, it would just change and yeah, not ideal, not anymore. Enter, no, enter awesome unit system in 2.8. The default in Blender 2.8 is no metric, so it's no longer Blender units. It's about, it's like the same number, but now at least you have something for reference. And the great thing is that now it's not just the length that it shows in metric or imperial, but it's actually like the unit system that you can choose, same options. Then you have the rotation which was available before, radians or decrease. And then you can change for the length, mass, and time, specific settings. So for the length by default is meters, just like it was before, but you can also set it for centimeters for example. Now you would see that the interface is showing always centimeters, regardless of a hundred, like here, it's supposed to be one kilometer, but here is a hundred thousand centimeters. Look at all the things you're learning now thanks to this new method, this new system. So this works also for, of course, for imperial. So if you have, if you use adaptive, it will be just like it was before. So that's the one thing. If you want to keep the same behavior as before, you can just choose adaptive or you can set it to all the fits that you want. So look at this, three thousand feet. I don't, I'm not really good at this system, but okay, metric or imperial, they were going to work the same. You can specify one unit and it will be used all over the place. So pretty neat. Even including the settings here in the edge, for example, the area will show whatever unit you have set. So very, very handy. Amazing. This feature has been asked for since like forever. It's, if you go to right click select and sort by rating, I think it's number, yeah, it's in the top 10. So yeah, now we should have a way to have it like check. It was added like around 10 minutes ago by Jack's look. He's the creator of animation notes. He's very popular Adam and is working now full time here at the Blender Animation Studio. So great news and he's porting a bunch of Blender Adams, official Blender Adams from 2.7 to 2.8, helping to bring 2.8 to the beta. And in the future, not so long from now, it's going to work on everything notes, so everything notes. So pretty exciting times ahead. Great feature. You can read if you want to see more about the discussion. There is the diff, it went for review. There is feedback from people. And you can see how the features evolve here. And also, you can see how much attention it got in right click select. So it's a pretty nice community effort and awesome. Of course, thanks to Jack's and thanks to everyone for tuning in here. And thanks, he's here, by the way, thanks to the Blender Development Fund and the Blender Cloud. So if you want to help bringing more developers on board, you can join the Blender Development Fund or the Blender Cloud if you want to get access to assets and open movies and everything, as always. So yes, there are so many features here, right? Blender 2.8 looks so different right now, as since the last video I made. I will continue making videos, but I just wanted to make this one, this quick one, because it's so awesome. All right, I hope to see you again in the next video. Ciao.


You hear crazy stories about artists on the empire that the mode threes and the doves and all that stuff and the tragic things that happened. How much do that do you ever think about the things that go on around these artists? I just feel like it's the artists. The label can't control the art. I'm an empire of six years. They don't tell me what to do. They don't tell me to say something. They they just just to mute my music. I was told by Boosie security guard he said you gotta be let in this game. Somebody got to let you in. I'm letting everybody come on in. There's money. You might get a million fans that I can't get. But check this out. ASCAP and BMI is real, right? If I did 100 features this year and they all attached their ASCAP and BMI and they all put three or four hundred dollars into my ASCAP and BMI from their royalties. How much money am I really making in a year? Yeah. Four checks a four checks a year compared to a new who ain't doing it. Exactly.  I'm getting paid for the feature. I'm also getting ASCAP and BMI of more people. That quantity adds up once you do a lot of them. You're creating generational wealth as well. Will you ever bring anybody like do you have anybody that's coming up under you that you're trying to help to understand the business? I'm working on a few artists. They ain't boot camp. Yeah. No, no, you got to keep them before I even before I even put a name out there. Makes sense. You got to pass the test with me first. You know, because I haven't pushed the artist yet and I got the power to push the artist. And will you sign him to you? Yeah. I'm you know, I'm an empire so they can just put them out. I'll put them out to empire with me and then we'll push them out. When you were the label, can you also create a label for yourself? Well, right now I'm an empire. I have winners only. Winners only is my label. Yeah. Okay. And I can sign to winners only to empire. They'll get national distribution. Okay. I can get on revances and stuff like that and stuff like no. But I'm not just going to do for anybody. I want to see you work. Let me hungry. You're crazy stories about artists on the empire that the mode threes and the doves and all that stuff and the tragic things that happen. How much do that? Do you ever think about the things that go on around these artists? I just feel like it's the artists. The label can't control the art. I'm an empire six years. They don't tell me what to do. They don't tell me to say something. They don't they just distribute my music. They don't all these other artists that came out that mode threes and the young doves, they don't control them. That's their life situations that they go through. Empires are good company. God's in him are great people. I feel like whenever I need them, they do what I need them to do.  They're not telling me, hey, go go be for boss talk radio. You have life choices in life. I believe that. I agree. The Bible states you got life choices choices. What you choose to do is your choice. You got to own up to your choices in life. That's what you what you reap what you sow. Yeah, you make the bed laying it. You ever heard all those terms like that? I've heard them man. So you can tell his grandma raised him. See, see young folks don't talk like that. Yeah, they need to be talking like that. But that's a grandma statement. Yeah. All them all them catchisms that you keep throwing out there. Yeah, them old folks statements. You know what I'm saying?  Oh, you decided to do that.  Yeah, yeah, yeah, they don't play. Grandma whoop you. For every action there is a reaction. Grandma whoop you just for getting some sugar out the top of that.  I told her I don't do that.  You think it's over? She said just go back there and think about it.  She gonna wait a little bit though. It's gonna make you think about it. My worst was wait till we get home. I'm like, can you just do it now?  That fear, that fear I'm telling you. We'll be in front of your friends when they that bad. That's right. That's right. We knew right. Man, we'll be in front of your friends when they that bad.


Run! Run! Give me my next two. Pop smoke! Would that work on a bridge? We're going to be getting one out here in a second. Probably the next like 30 minutes. That moves. There you go. Oh yeah, Lee. We have a lot of resources. Yeah. One of our officers here, he was at the sample. Pictures. You can like spin around and stuff.


Hello. Good afternoon. I'm going to present Daniel from Buenos Aires. He's going to talk about how they're using Drupal in Argentina. And it's related to three skinnotes that talks about how to use Drupal in the government. So I really look forward to seeing this use case from Latin America. Thanks very much. Okay, hi all. Thank you for coming. I'm really happy being here. I'm Daniel Abadi. I'm Buenos Aires City Electronic Government Director. First of all, tonight, this is, I love to say, this is a special message from the White House. The White House here is organizing a hackathon to try to help in Oklahoma. So all coders available should go to the Code and Launch at double three today, 7.30 p.m. and try to hop and see what's coming out there. There's also a website called It's Bitly-Drupal for OK. So you can see all the program there. So I hope you see you all tonight there. Yes, everyone's coming. So Buenos Aires. We started this journey about two years ago when we took off the office of electronic government trying to change Buenos Aires City websites. It was really hard.  It's not about buildings, it's about people. So you need to try to focus in the cities and try to abandon, you know, all government structures. Right now, what I want to talk with you guys is trying to think about why all government websites are dead, why you need to start thinking about that, use the driving experience, why you need to have architecture models in Drupal, which was our solution for that case, and talk to you about our migration experience in government and how our digital platform is set for the city. But first of all, you know, I'm from Buenos Aires, Argentina. We are really a faraway country. We are right there, down there. OK, yes, you can laugh. Anyway, so for the people that know Buenos Aires City is the capital of Argentina. We got about three million people living in our city and every day they commute about four million people. That's a lot of people. So what we are giving services, if you think about, it's 28 million people that use our schools, use our hospitals, and all our infrastructure. So that's mainly our information. When you see about our government, three years ago, our mayor took the decision to set up free offices. New media office, which is in charge of citizen engagement and community engagement inside government, trying to get, you know, community managers, tutorials and reunions and trying to standardize processes. Our open government office was in charge of collecting the data, setting standards for releasing the data and the relationship with NGOs and other development communities. And our electronic government office, we're in charge of websites, mobile apps, maps and digital strategy for the city. So we ended up, you know, looking for our first website. We got this. This is Buenos Aires City's first website, 1997. Yeah, Web App Machine. So, you know, at that time, this website wasn't so wrong. You know, we were extremely focused on the city and it was a 97-page. So, you know, we got famous people in our website that used to live in the city and some services. Somehow, in 2004, we changed to this, which, you know, the thing is, for 2004, it was really good. It was developed inside government, but it was still 2002. And when we took the office in 2011, we found this website. Not only we found this website, but we found 400 websites, all focused on governance, structures and politician egos, which is really a problem, you know, because when you think your websites, thinking about your government structure, you're missing about people. You know, you're losing that great thing, you know, users need that is, for example, just in school for your kids, getting married, you know, getting an appointment for our office.  That's where government should go, but government should, you know, people doesn't care who gave them the service inside government. They know, in our case, this service came from Buenos Aires city governments. They don't know, they don't need to know which area of the government do it. You know, it's really user-driven work experience. You know, that's what we were trying to change three years ago. And the mayor get it. And we proposed the mayor, you know, trying to focus on the citizen, and then we get in another talks, you know, because this is government that you need to talk with a lot of people to make things done. So, we talked with the secretary of media, the general secretary, the modernization minister. And after many, many, many talks, we showed them we really need to go to a user-driven experience where we can solve all these problems. So, we were having 400 websites. Why? Why we were sending all that dispersed traffic and attention of the people, making them confused. It's really hard to admin the content of 400 websites. Yes? How do we, you know, manage about 70 web teams inside the organization? Most of you, I don't know if you're part of government, but if you see an organization so complex like a government, you'll find you've got more than one development team inside the organization. They are having different strategies. So, it's really hard to get them pulled together to the same place. And then, of course, we want you to maintain our levels of services. One service city, main website, has about 23 million visits a year, which represents almost 180 million page views, which is really a lot. So, two years ago, we went to Drupalcon Chicago trying to find an answer for that. We got a lot, lot of questions. We were, you know, terrified. Like, you know, we were changing our websites and we haven't got a solution. We choose, you know, Humbla, WordPress. Even we thought about making ourselves a new framework, which was really done by that time. So, we went to Chicago and we found a great government community that, you know, it covered the thing that it helped us not to feel so alone, you know. I met Kristen over there, I'm seeing her, you know, with Drupalforgov and all that government, therapy sessions about, you know, that we are not alone and we are having the same problems. It doesn't care. It doesn't matter if you are Buenos Aires, if you are Sao Paulo, New York, Chicago, or San Francisco. It's government and sometimes, you know, bureaucracy is the same in many countries. So, we came back from Chicago having some things resolved and trying to set up a strategy of what we should do for Buenos Aires City. So, first of all, we set up some needs we need to cover and see if Drupal could match what we need. For example, we wanted a free click browsing in our websites. So, that's why we are trying to force our administration to create content just focusing on the citizen. We wanted to get all the organization inside one installation. That's why we choose organic groups using, you know, fields and core role management. Our 70 development teams, we integrated a centralized it inside our IT agency. We get our own modules and mainly we set up an architecture that let us work. Don't get me wrong. We tested all distributions being around. We tested open public. We downloaded everything. At the end, we decided that we should do it from scratch, you know. That's what's the main key at our solution. So, we came up with this. You know, this is the core for Buenos Aires City. We are using Varnish, Drupal 7 for our Buenos Aires City, main website which is www.bonosariscity.gov.ar. Our new tourism website which is running in the same single installation but has a different type of orientation. It's building multi-languages. It's being responsive. We are also using some add-ons like our own solar losing system which runs separately. We manage, you know, we are using Mancache and MySQL. We are building our own API. Our own login for the CitySend. Our G-Tunit, we are creating our own maps and we are using OpenX to administrate all the banners inside the city, inside the website that allow us to have a better perform and also track how those banners perform because something you are going to learn in government that everyone wants to be in the website. And not everyone gets clicks. It's simple math. So the way to show people if your campaign for say some way performs is to have information, to have data. So that's why we are setting OpenX which is a module for Drupal.  This is a visualization about our varnish log where you can see users hitting our website during two minutes. It's about 9,000 requests per second. And what you see is varnish moving, that is varnish moving trying to, you know, give back the information that you used to request. This is happening right now in our website and many of your installations. Sometimes, you know, we don't care or we don't take much of a deeper view on what is happening in our system. Drupal, as you know, requests a lot and demands a lot of services. Yes? Here you see, I don't know, Drupal, our solar system, our legacy website that we are still running, some applications, then you got some tries of hacking or attacking some places. It's really, it's really nice to see it. We can pull up. So, trying to get that work, we set up a core strategy for modules. We tried to get, you know, about then 80% of the cases are trying to be solved with these modules. You know, panels, views. We got our our own form module where we're not saving the forms, information inside Drupal database. We're sending it to Mongo database, which is easier and performs better. We got organic groups, social blog, workflow, which is really great, you know. That's why, you know, most will have panels and views are helping us to print and screen information really quick in a better way. And mostly, workflow and organic groups have been the solution to integrate different areas of the government with roles and publishing rights, you know, inside the content. Right now, the issue is not how your website performs or how your website looks. It's about how internal users adopt this system and they keep it, you know. That's why we set up workflow and organic groups, you know. Basically, that idea of organic groups, we took it watching OpenATRM that use organic groups from many of their content. And we tried to analyze how we took it out from OpenATRM and set it up in our website in different groups of government and different types of content. For example, necessary things in government is that if you get two different agencies running the same program, you don't need to have two different contents. That's why we use, you know, organic groups. So, until now, this was, I say, the easy part. Because, you know, it was all technical. We were close all in our office on how a website should run in Buenos Aires City after, you know, 10 years and they never changed it. And we step on this. Basically, we found that our legacy system was at 75,000 files hard-coded in HTML and no database. We used to have no content manager. And this was our main website. Then we have about 399 websites that were in the same situation. So, finally, we tried to take migration and it was like getting a card in a box.  We failed. And we failed big. So, we took a decision, you know, to rewrite it all. So, to rewrite all, you need to get to administration and tell them you're not going to do a soft migration taking a database and just publishing everything as it was so that we're going to now take a new strategy. We're going to rewrite all the content focused on the citizens. So, if your content doesn't include the citizens inside your words, you're not part of our site. So, as you can imagine, we had a lot of complaints about that the first time. Thankfully, the mayor was on our side. So, we need to for that time, we took something for granted. You know, in immigration, you're going to lose links. You're going to lose traffic. The things that you deploy won't be there. Don't know why, but they won't be there. And you have to learn to live with that things because if you don't learn to live with those things, your site will never be online. That's the truth. It's really hard to set up immigration and trying to move it from one day to the other. Okay, we are going to be online in two weeks. Everything will be immigrating. You're not going to lose data. You're losing data. You're losing links. You're losing Google position. That's how it works and it's good that it's working that way because it's natural. You force administration to change content that doesn't help. It confuses the citizens. So, trying to get more friends in the administration than enemies, we set up a website extremely flexible. This is one of our city homepage right now. We set up a modular website with a great, great simplicity of, you know, a newsletter, some shortcuts and free positions down there that allow us to deploy widgets being banners, agenda, requests of services, and we try to standardize that. So, if you go to an agency, the agency has the same features and we try to reuse the code we developed. And we try to force our administration to get inside these modules, trying to learn how to get the content inside here, you know, because our main goal was not to get outside, was to decentralize the content management. That's the key. Before that, we were centralizing the content manager. So, once we get the areas, you know, get their content inside and try to manage their information, for us it was much more easier to release, you know, different areas. You know, you get some power. Once you get some users, it's really hard and right now we are having a Drupal website and our legacy website is still online and we are still migrating that information. So, then what we made was create a how-to guide. This is a guide that explains every procedure in the city. It is a really, really, really simple way that is inside this Drupal and allow us to integrate it with our news, with our different content of the areas and, mainly, we force the administration to set up one, two, three, four steps. So, you need to explain government procedures at least in four steps. It's really complicated for people. It's not. So, trying to get people more simple processes and content is, it's trying, it's the weapon we choose for our website. We were looking to symbolize our content, trying to get that government bureaucracy in text that is really hard for the users. I don't know you guys but I'm really frustrated when I do not understand a government procedure. It's a really horrible user experience and that's what's about internet right now. You need to give people a great user experience because you are the government and you can make his life better for five seconds in a website or you can do it at half for them in five seconds. So, we standardize our process and our type of content releasing procedures, news and different type of contents aligned to the city, right, needs. For that also, we adapt our Twitter boost trap and create our own distribution and to set this front-end development guide to the administration trying to give it to different areas for the legacy system, for the new system, for the new websites trying to get them inside our time our time, I'll say our point of view. So, we can set a standard inside our you know, so using Twitter boost trap you find everything responsive and everything is in the same styles we like and we are not doing horrible websites as we should. So, using Twitter boost trap this is our tourism side which is built into Twitter boost trap which is already responsive, it's built in a distribution with almost five languages and right now here it's also focused on the citizen. We try to take our old tourism side and translate it to Drupal in the same installation we have our main website. We're also working on a posting site which is built in Drupal. This basically is our economic development agency that's trying to get a posting site online. So, we took Drupal plus some modules we were using in with our our sites and we deployed here but you know, all this was putting a team together. So, right now this is how our team works in Buenos Aires office. We are about 40 people we started being four it was a great ride and a difficult one because you know, when we are four people trying to maintain a website here just Buenos Aires and when you try to convince the organization that you need to get a UX device designer when you need to get a mobile listener or PHP or Python it's cheaper than spending $15 million on a website people sometimes doesn't get it but thankfully you know the city get it. So, right now we are trying to get talented people for our teams to give back to the community and to integrate inside our organization the team looks like this is another visualization of this is our Git repository so this is about two years of work so everyone using Drupal and Git every time they commit or they pull or they share some code those make those explosions so that's about you know, September 2011 and you'll see it going till May of this year and what you see is how talented people inside administration can deliver great programs great sites and great products and not always you know, being outsourcing things. We have about a city budget two parts of the budget it goes to education hub and social aid so we need to do it in-house. There's no way we're going to spend a ton of money you know, letting America have different needs at the states so that's how our team works in using Git and Drupal but you know when you think about this you know that I'm changing it, sorry you know it's not about the apps I know I'm going fast but it's not about the apps it's not about the apps in government maybe you guys have faced it, it's about changing the culture. Governments have thought the same way for the last 70 years and their employees have done the same things I'm a government employee I know what I'm talking about and we try to bring young and talented people to bring new air to the administration you know, trying to break those rules and trying to help people inside government to capacitate, you know, get capacitation, get education about coding that's why last year we started a developing module for Drupal, trying to get government employees to learn how to develop a module inside our websites which is really, really simple and of course our contractors sometimes you know, a government area an agency they call me okay now we get a contractor, we already bought a website, we're trying not to buy websites, we're trying to work with contractors and ask them modules, ask them to contribute to our distro not to buy a new entire website in the end when you think it you need to maintain those websites and sometimes contractors are not forever so what we tried to do in our organization was setting up a GovCam, trying to integrate government employees which you know is a resume of our GovCam so what you can see here is, you know, this is one day 500 employees talking about anything they do in government related with technology maps urban development whatever you want trying to see engage, it's really necessary for governments to engage between their employees and between their citizens, it's really hard to have websites that never never change the content, why why we are working with websites that you cannot change content every day we should be, you know, thinking this and getting an approach to the citizen with new tools Trouble gave us that opportunity to set a bar inside government strategy for websites and right now, you know, setting up GovCam makes us possible to explain what we are doing in government so as I said before it's not about the apps, it's about getting people engaged, getting a change of culture inside government getting closer to people government officials should be closer to people somehow my role is using the internet to be closer to people and that's what it's all about, it's not about it's not about Drupal or setting up a huge infrastructure in technology, it's not about internet gurus, it's just about people so thank you Hi Daniel, that was a very good presentation I'm from Brazil, I was not aware of GovCam, really liked it and now we're opening for questions so whoever wants to ask a question, please come to the microphone Hello, I'm from Mexico I just want to ask, why didn't you open public, the AK distribution for the front office and what are you using, if you are using something for the back office I mean which are your plans to implement digital government using al fresco, spoiler or what are your future plans for the sides? Thank you, we test open public and we we discovered the performance of the application wasn't just fine for us but it consumes a lot of resources so we decided to go on our own Drupal installation and try to use core modules and things that were standard in the industry on the second question we are using solar plus Lucene for our search try to index, PDFs and every database we have and the content manager is done with Drupal we are not using any other open source solutions Hi, I'm from Philadelphia I was just wondering what sort of testing tools you guys used for your site I assume that you would have some sort of automated testing for making sure that everything is up and running so we got several processes inside our government, we have our setup is development testing and releasing to production information security tests right now we are running Jmeter test that's the automation one where we try to scale and then we do some focus groups trying to set up a lot of analytics and metrics My name is John I'm from Nigeria we experienced the same problems that you just showed us I'm actually dreaming of the data we'll get where you are, we have lots of scattered websites all around it's exactly the same problem so I'm thinking, is there where you can put a little documentation for people in the .gov group at least we can download that and read through and then you can help us with the implementation Right now we have GitHub account which means in Spanish government of the city of Buenos Aires so we are trying to release all the code we are doing at our GitHub right now we are working we should polish our Drupal installation so you can deploy it we try to think it extremely open and focus on local governments but yes we are willing to help in anything we can Any more questions? Well perhaps I'll make one question about the .gov camp did only people from Buenos Aires attend this or did you have participation from other countries? It was an internal event we tried to get people involved and we were thinking about almost 100 people and they come about 500 which was really huge and scary Right now we are not thinking of organizing a lot of time for outside of our organization but it can always be a possibility It's a good idea I think Thank you Great job Daniel I love to see the Argentinian government people smiling that means you did a really good job Quick question on the technical architecture what role did Python play in that? We use Python for every services and external module we can use Python and Django to control extremely great all our APIs built in Python Okay So you built the APIs in Python I don't understand how Python plays with Drupal When you build a module Mariano is our lead developer he can't play it better but when you build our module for example forms you get your part and all the back end it runs in Python All the back end runs in Python For some modules Thank you How you doing? I got kind of two questions First I'm curious what drove the decision to kind of change the way you address the people Was it you responding to what the people were saying they wanted or was it a forward looking government saying this is what the future needs to be and then the second part of the question a little bit different as far as when you were planning out the project and trying to scope out the size of it and timeline how well did you do at staying within those boundaries? The first question will be it's a mix of Latin American countries I don't know how much you know about history but people many years they were kind of apart from governments when we draw our communication strategy for the major for the second term which is starting in 2011 we knew it was key for us to get closer to the people so mainly not also our only communication is focused in the cities and also our online and traditional communications focused on the citizens so it's a combination of people is not requesting it you need to be near people and the other part we tried to maintain inside our schedule using a concept which is called Lean Startup the minimal product you can release so you can move forward because what used to happen for Buenos Aires city websites had two previous failures they tried to do it all in one piece it was really hard so we took minimum by our product and tried to release things quick trying to get smarter thanks Daniel and if somebody wants to vote on this session you can do this on the DrupalCon website you can find the session and give a feedback for us thank you


I start. Thank you. First and foremost, I'd like to thank the organizers for giving me an opportunity to speak at this platform. So as the title suggests, I'm going to talk about epsilon multiplicity and some density functions associated to it. So in part it'll be a continuation of the previous talk. So let's define what is epsilon multiplicity. So this notion, it came up in the works of Kleiman Ulrich and Validashi. So what it does is it gives a generalization of the usual Hilbert Samuel multiplicity. So the setup is as follows. You take any local ring r, take an ideal in there, right? And you look at r more i power n. That didn't be a finite length. So you apply this local homology thing to make it finite length, right? And then you can talk about its length. And then you divide by n power d, multiply by this normalizing factor, d factorial, and then you take the Limb-Soup. So the first question is why is it a Limb-Soup? Is because in general we do not know if it exists as a limit or not. So in particular if i is m primary, this process of taking H naught, it doesn't do anything, right? So it recovers the usual Hilbert-Samuel multiplicity, right? So now let's see some quick properties of this multiplicity. So the first thing is a non-vanishing result. So it says that the epsilon multiplicity is positive if and only if i has maximal analytic spread. So that is the cruel dimension of the fiber cone of i that is equal to the dimension of the ring. So for the most of our talk, we're going to implicitly assume the ideal i has maximal analytic spread because otherwise the epsilon multiplicity is zero. The next property, it's basically one of the motivations for defining this multiplicity. So it gives generalization of Ries' criteria for detecting integral dependence of ideals. So Ries' theorem says that for a suitably nice ring R, if you have two ideals in primary, one contained inside the other, their integral closures are the same if and only if their Hilbert-Samuel multiplicities coincide. So this basically gives a generalization of that statement through this new invariant. Now, if you recall the definition of epsilon multiplicity, it's defined in terms of limso because in general we do not know if it exists at the limit or not. So natural question to ask is when does it exist as a limit? So there is this theorem by Kudkowski which says that if you take R to be an analytically un-ramified ring, meaning the completion has got known importance, it's reduced, then the epsilon of i is going to exist as a limit. This example sort of presents the obstruction in working with this multiplicity. So in general, the length function which is associated to the epsilon multiplicity didn't have any polynomial behavior. It's partly due to the fact that the saturated Ries' algebra that didn't be Noetherian. That's part of the reason why this happens. In fact, there is an example by Kudkowski, Taiha, Srinivasan and Theodrescu. So they produce an example of an ideal i in a four-dimensional regular local ring whose epsilon multiplicity is irrational. In fact, if you accept Nagata's conjecture, then at least conjecturally, you can produce an example of an ideal in a three-dimensional regular local ring where you get an irrational epsilon multiplicity. So the question is what about dimension two? So we will answer the question in up to a few slides. So now, this brings us to the first part of our talk. So we're going to understand epsilon multiplicity through the lens of density functions. So this was already done by Professor Trivedi in her study of Hilbert-Kuhn's multiplicities. We're going to employ a similar approach to study this epsilon multiplicity. So what exactly do we mean by this density function? So this is part of an ongoing work with Sudeshna and Professor Trivedi. So the setup is as follows. You take the field K to be some perfect field, characteristic P, and R is something like a homogeneous coordinate ring of some projective variety, right? And then you also need this mild technical condition that is you need the depth at the relevant ideal to be at least two, because you sort of want to translate this problem to geometry and you need this condition to do that. And then you take any graded ideal and then you define this kind of function, right? So what this is doing is, maybe I'll use the board, you look at this bi-graded algebra, right? This is a bi-graded algebra and you're sort of looking at the diagonal components of this bi-graded algebra with slope approximately X, right? And then you want to take the limits. The first thing to show is that the limit actually exists. So basically we translate this problem to computing the growth of global sections of some appropriate line bundle and then we show that the relevant limit exists. So in translating this problem to algebraic geometry, we do not need anything on the field, but when we try to make those estimates, we really use that the field is characteristic P. So then we further show that this function that we have defined G of X, this is actually a continuous function. So you're allowed to integrate over some finite interval. And what do you get is if you integrate from zero to some finite integer C, you get precisely this limit, right? So this comes from the, basically appeal to some theorems from analysis which allow you to interchange the limits and the integration, okay? So that's the first part. The second part was already discussed in the previous talk by Hudeshna. So I mean, she probably discussed a more general theorem but this is what we need. So if you, so here we're looking at the density function for just the attic filtration, sparse of ideas. So here the field is absolutely general and the heart of the proof is the vector partitions, right? And here also, but here we could say something more. I mean, it's not just any continuous function, it's actually a piecewise polynomial function, right? Now with this setup, we are ready to define this density function for epsilon multiplicity, right? So basically we want to be in the setup where the previous two theorems work which is why we all these hypothesis in the beginning. Now you define this epsilon of X in the following manner. The point is it will be a continuous, almost piecewise continuous function. Point is it's compactly supported. The compact support comes from a theorem of Swanson. So we have that this ideal and this ideal, right? The quotient is a finite length. So this means that eventually all the graded components are same, right? But what Swanson's theorem is telling us is that you can find a linear bound after which the quality happens. So basically says that this is true for all m greater than equal to some c times n. And that c in Swanson's theorem would be the interval of the compact support, zero to c. And of course if you integrate this density function, this is what you would expect, the epsilon multiplicity. So this is the main result of our joint project. But we suspect that we can make this theorem characteristic free, meaning k could be any field, I mean not necessarily characteristic p. And we could deal with a finer subsequence, not just powers of p, but rather, I mean, i power n, all integers n. But we have made some progress in the case of polynomial rings, but we do not have the general picture at hand right now, okay? So I'm gonna skip this. Okay, so what about integral closures and density functions? Now let's be in the setup where we know that the epsilon density function exists. Then we show that if you have containment of two graded ideals, right? So it's that they have the same integral closure, then the density functions are actually same for all values of x. But we do not quite have a converse to this statement. Just have one direction, okay? Now, this brings us to the next part of our talk. So this is an ongoing work with Saipriya Shudesh and Professor Verma. So basically the objective is to study epsilon multiplicity in dimension two. So this is the statement we have. So it sort of lies at the overlap of the two work that we're doing. So again, but notice the difference. We are not in characteristic p, we are in characteristic zero. So r is basically a homogeneous coordinate ring of some projective curve. But here we're assuming Cohen-McAulay, I mean not normal. So it can have some singularities. We show that the density function, I mean you can define it in an analogous way, right? We show it's actually a piecewise polynomial. So this is where the dimension two actually helps, right? So it's a piecewise polynomial. If you integrate, you get the epsilon multiplicity and it's in fact a rational number. So why is it rational? It's linked to the fact that if you take the volume of a line bundle on a projective surface, that's a rational number, right? So Zariski's theorem, it's linked to that. Basically you can represent epsilon multiplicity as volume of some appropriate line bundle minus a term which is an integer. So this is what we have. Now what about an explicit computation? Okay, but even in this very specific setup, I mean we can have non-noetherian saturated Ries Algebra. So this goes back to an old example of Ries. So this was probably one of the first instances where he gave an example of a non-noetherian symbolic Ries Algebra. So you take this, this has come up in previous talks before. So it's basically an elliptic curve, right? So you take a point which is a non-torsion point in the class group, so that's going to have a non-noetherian saturated Ries Algebra. And motivated by this example, we wanted to give a computation. So you sort of look at these pharma curves, right? And then you take these kind of ideals. So basically these are what's called the fact points, the ideals defining fact points, right? And for such things, we have an explicit formula for this epsilon multiplicity. So this is what we have. So the connection is, I mean, I mean these p i's sort of correspond to points, right? So you can look at this divisor, a i p i on Roger Farr, and then this ideal sheaf which is associated to i, this is nothing but o x of minus t. So that's the association and we take off from there. Yeah, so basically we apply some Riemann rock to get there and yeah, there is something there. You get it, and yeah. Okay, so I mean in whatever computations that we have done in the examples of irrational epsilon multiplicity, the density function is always turning out to be a piecewise polynomial. So the points where the polynomial changes, that could be an irrational point, but at least it's a piecewise polynomial in that interval. So so far we do not have any example where the density function fails to be a piecewise polynomial. In dimension two, we have proven that, but again, I mean, there is a slight catch. We do not know what happens in characteristic p. I mean, we do not have an analog of this theorem in characteristic p. We only know it's a piecewise continuous function, but I mean, what's the nature of the continuous function? We don't know. The good place to stop.


Media governance refers to all processes of governing our media landscape, informal, internal, the organization, or external, that try to govern, in other words, to rule, regulate, facilitate, monitor, and influence media behavior. The forces that govern our media landscape differ from time to time and place to place, but if you look at it from a great distance, we could say that there are at least three spheres usually influencing media behavior. Firstly, there is the media sphere itself, consisting of all those people that play a role in the sending of messages in society. They have their own reasons for sending messages, of course. Perhaps they want to make money or convince the world that their standpoint is the right one. Perhaps they want to show the world what they can make or help others by educating, informing, or entertaining them. These people might be individual senders. For example, if someone writes a blog post or stands on top of a soapbox to hold a speech. Or they can be a group of people that collectively make and distribute messages. These could be media organizations like a television channel or a newspaper, for example. Secondly, there are often all kinds of rules and demands in place set by rulers and their government. Today, these are often formalized in rules and legislation. But history shows enough examples of laws that are vague at best. Rulers would just stop by with a big sword or a gun or whatever to make their demands clear. Finally, there are all kinds of societal expectations and demands. This is a complex dynamic of all kinds of subgroups in society, like audiences, interest groups, investors, competitors, partner organizations, and many more. All these different factions mostly have informal means of influencing media behavior. They have commercial power to support the medium, or the other way around, the power to boycott, of course. They can protest, petition, file a complaint, or try to intimidate the senders. But in a positive way, they can also praise, give out prizes and awards, clamor for public recognition of a medium, etc. Some scholars argue that there is also a fourth technological sphere of influence. This sphere is important because technology can make governance easier or disrupt it entirely. The technological means of today create opportunities for monitoring that never existed before. But they also create possibilities for a free flow of information from individuals to enormous amounts of people and little to no time. We can easily imagine that the introduction of new technologies throughout the ages, like the printing press, the radio, television, or the computer, have created a stress on the governance system of that time. Each new technology required the three other spheres to change and find a new balance, reinventing norms, and setting up new guidelines and new rules of conduct. Today, we see this with the rapid innovation of mobile technology and online services. It will not take you a lot of time to find reactions of politicians or pressure groups that demand some sort of change in our current system of rules and regulation because of changing technologies.


In the before time, games only came on cartridges, either purchased from the local toys or us or rented from the video store. While the industry as a whole produced a good number of titles per year, perhaps even as many as it does today, few contained nearly as much content as today's typical game. Super Mario Bros. 3, for example, while an epic length by the standards of the NES era contains significantly less art and sound content than many of today's cheap downloadable titles. If Super Mario and other old games took longer to complete, that was usually due to their difficulty. You got replayability out of ghosts and goblins because you had to replay the first three levels 20 times before you ever reached the fourth. One of the more depressing experiences of my life was using an emulator to revisit some games of my youth. With snapshot saving, I breezed through in less than an hour several games which I remember taking whole weekends to complete. Games that felt like real accomplishments to finish as a kid now seemed paper thin. Revisiting the PC games I played in the 90s and early 2000s, I'm struck by a different problem. PC games never forced the player to start over from the beginning upon failure, but their depth relative to the console games of the day often came at the cost of a running time that felt prolonged by clunky interfaces and filler content. Even a polished and well-honed game like Diablo gets much of its running time from players dealing with its clutter of junk items. Sure, Diablo players may genuinely enjoy min-maxing their gear, but the game burdens the player with a lot of clearly undesirable junk to sift through. Diablo also wasn't always great at differentiating between say dungeon level 4 and dungeon level 5, or this random maze of corridors and that other random maze of corridors, and so the experience of the game often felt too samey over much of its running time. It was in this period in the late 90s that gamers began to frequently judge games by their total playtime. Anything less than a 20-hour single-player experience was viewed with great skepticism or even derided as a jib. Even the original Half-Life's sub-15-hour playtime was met with many grumbles. It was also in this period that gamers began to harp a lot on replayability. It wasn't enough that story campaigns should last at least 20 hours, they should also be good for multiple playthroughs. Underlying these sentiments I think were two desires. First, a desire for more immersive experiences, experiences driven by immersion gameplay. And second, gamers simply desired more value, or bang per buck. Immersion and emergent gameplay are topics unto themselves which I'll address in a later video. Briefly here I'll just say that, of course they're good things, if elusive, and worthy justifications for making games longer. When it comes to game value however, I feel the equation has radically changed in the last decade. Partly this is just personal, not that I'm older, I have more demands on my time, but things have changed in the market too. First, players have many more home media options vying for their attention. Second, the industry produces significantly more long, high-quality games. Third, many individual games, especially multiplayer games, can sap countless hours. And fourth, games now frequently get steeply discounted within a year of release, at least on PC. In my case, I'm currently sitting on a long to-do list of AAA games acquired months ago in Steam sales, but every time I think of starting something new, it's easier for me to just play another game of Dota rather than launch another 15 plus hour commitment. It's the ultimate first world problem, my Steam queue is competing with my Netflix queue. Now of course, great games are still pretty rare, so it's natural for players to want the best games to last a long time, lest the next great game be a long time coming. But in a world with numerous cheap downloadable good to very good games, shorter games do the courtesy of letting me get around to playing other games. Moreover, and here's the really important point, the game's quality often hinges on being shorter rather than longer. The obvious examples here are Portal and Brave. As puzzle platformers, these games have only so many tricks to deploy over their 5 hour running times, and so were their gameplay dragged out over more puzzles, the same mechanics that seem engaging in small samples might easily wear thin when presented in too many permutations. In Portal, for example, shielding yourself from turrets with a cube remains fun from the 4 or 5 times the game requires you to do so, but would likely get tiresome at the game required you to use the same trick dozens more times. Which brings me back to filler gameplay. What constitutes filler isn't necessarily something that's never fun the first time, but possibly something that's prolonged past its welcome. Perhaps the most important core competency in game design is a sense of judgment, a sense of not just is this fun, but also a sense of fun for how long. It's the lack of this judgment which I feel still tarnishes many recent games, especially longer ones. In earlier videos I complained about things like loot management in Mortal Lands 2, junk collection in Bioshock Infinite, and buying shops in Assassin's Creed, because the otherwise good to great experiences provided by those games partly get obscured by the amount of shit work they impose on the player. Getting rid of this shit work would make those games shorter and much better for it. One more virtue of shorter running times is that they often better fit a game's story. Not all stories endure long tillings, so better that the end of gameplay coincide with the story's natural conclusion. Very commonly though, games stretch movie style plots over TV season length run times. Not that games necessarily should have the same ratio of story to running time as either TV or movies. Gameplay does naturally pat out the time between story beats and even in games with perfect melding of story and game mechanics, gameplay is just a naturally slower paced medium in which to tell stories. Still, many games, especially those that are modeled after action movies, drag out their stories with transparently artificial plot obstacles, often in the form of literal obstacles. Does the hero need to get to that power station? Well, the bridge is going to collapse just as the hero shows up, so that we can add a whole level where he must detour through the sewers. The other common trick is to simply put too many enemies between the hero and the next objective. I just finished Max Payne 3, which does this in spades. The result was that not only did I get a bit bored with the combat, the ridiculous body count I was racking up increasingly undercut the story's plausibility and tone. By the 4 hour mark I was well ready for the game to end, but it dragged on for another 4 hours. Now, of course, a 4 hour game would be a tough sell for a AAA full price title. The reason we don't get a Max Payne 3 that sensibly compacts its story into a more movie-like running time is mostly economics. Not only do gamers expect at least 8 hour campaigns for their $60, making a 4 hour AAA story campaign doesn't really cost that much less than an 8 hour campaign. Sure, building twice as many environments is non-trivial, but all the work put into programming, design and building core art assets, like character models, generally carries across the whole game. This is in fact thinking behind much DLC, because making a few more environments and assets for an existing game is generally cheaper than making a whole new game. Game makers see DLC as an opportunity for higher profit margins. Gamers often complain that they don't get the same bang per buck out of DLC which they expect out of full products, but that's largely the point. Gamers always want more game for less money, but game makers generally want to sell less game for more money. Unfortunately, this dynamic seems to make developers very reluctant to cut or expedite content that just isn't very good. If, say, 6 months from release, a game's designers realize that their 10 hour campaign would be better axed down the 4 hours, the sensible thing to do, for the sake of quality at least, would be to make those cuts and simply sell the game at a lower price. But of course, the game was budgeted to sell at full price and 4 hour games can't be sold for $60, at least not without getting that press. Hence, we end up with a lot of games that might have been much better if they're not so great stuff were simply cut. So, while I'm hardly the first person to argue the merits of smaller shorter games in recent years, I think it's an argument worth repeating, as those merits evidently don't hold as much sway in the industry as they should. I'll end by mentioning three games that exemplify the virtues of small and short, three games which you quite likely missed. The first is a game from 2011 called Cap-Sized, a 2D side scrolling platform shooter in which you play a marooned astronaut who shoots grapples and jetpacks through 12 story missions on a hostile alien world. The atmospherics, music, and alien designs are all great, but the best part of the game is its action and exploration, which combines movement, shooting, and physics in a way that's challenging but very rewarding. The second game is Botanikula, which was released last year, but doesn't seem to have garnered the same attention as Ammonaut's previous adventure game Machinarian, which is a shame as I think Botanikula is even better. It's a dark children's picture book with a simple but surprisingly effective story, adorable yet gross character designs, and may be the very best game soundtrack since Monkey Island.  To give you an idea of the tone, here's my favorite scene where, in a side passage of a cave, our heroes watch a puppet show depicting their own adventure, complete with a happy ending. In contrast to traditional adventures, Botanikula is not really about solving puzzles. Instead, the player mostly pokes around the world, clicking on objects to see their amusing reactions, and by the time you've clicked on everything, the solution to progress is usually obvious, allowing you to quickly move on to the next location. The only two times I got stuck were when I encountered an unfortunate bug, and when I failed to notice an object to click on. Challenging it's not, but to its benefit, and I think its shallow interactions are actually very necessary. By making the player responsible for advancing the plot, Botanikula can tell a story that's mostly about hanging around in its world, something that wouldn't work in other mediums. Botanikula is appropriately short, less than three hours long, but if its story were told as a cartoon, it would barely run 20 minutes, which just wouldn't be enough time for the viewer to take in the world, nor enough time to give the story the same weight. Lastly, Flyin, I assume that's how it's pronounced, is a puzzle platformer released at the end of 2012 which tragically few people seem to have noticed. In the game you swap between four bird bug creatures, each with a unique special ability. Blue bird bug sings to flip switches, green bird bug crawls along walls, orange bird bug shoots through the air, and the black bird bug can transform into an invulnerable ball. On top of these abilities, with any character, you can use left trigger to alternate between two versions of reality and hold right trigger to glide. Many of the platforming challenges require tricky combinations of gliding, reality swapping, double jumping, and the four special abilities. So, unlike most puzzle platformers of recent years, Flyin puts greater emphasis on platforming rather than the puzzles, demanding non-trivial dexterity on the player's part. Like Super Meat Boy, death can come very quickly, but the game puts you back in position to try again immediately. The game's challenge of execution never gets as maddenly unforgiving as the last several levels of Super Meat Boy, but it does certainly expect you to climb a real mastery curve. Once you complete the game, the earlier levels that originally gave you trouble should seem much easier because the game will have actually taught you how to play it well. What makes Flyin great is its synthesis of appealing art and music, responsive controls, clever but simple mechanics, and inventive levels. Most impressively, the levels start out good and only get more interesting as the game goes on, particularly the side levels, all of which feature one-off puzzle mechanics. For example, in one side level, you navigate a maze with invisible walls, and in another side level, you dodge and climb fallen blocks in a very particular pattern. In truth though, Flyin is really not all that short. The main series of levels took me a good seven hours, and the side levels took another five. However, the game is very natural to play in short sessions because there's virtually no story to speak of, and the gameplay is divided into many short levels. I played it over a few weeks without ever feeling anxious for it to end. Speaking of which...


The following is a presentation of TFNN. The Power Trading Hour with your host, David White. Call now, toll free at 1-877-927-6648 or internationally at<PHONE_NUMBER>. Now, David White. And welcome all to another excellent edition of the Power Trading Hour. As we start the show off today, S&P has been kind of unchanged here, did go lower, did try to go higher too. Options is something I wrote about in the newsletter this morning. They're kind of showing that there's probably a fairly big berm at 4,400 on the S&P cash. And we tried that today. And didn't do much. We'll wait for the volume to come in today, but right now actually fairly good about just a hair under eight billion shares on the CBOE consolidated tape. So not a weekday, not a W-E-A-K day. But that's kind of it. Dow, is that right? Let me update it just to make sure. Dow up 97, Nasdaq off 124. So in Steve Rhodes parlance, Mr. Max, Mr. Mix bag himself. And the Russell's off about a percent, which is about 20 points. We get out to the oil market bouncing around 110. On it, gold's up 13 bucks at 1936, silver's up six cents at 25, 25. The Bitcoin 42, 283, it's down 1,400 points. Kind of languishing out here. Probably the most important thing that I watch out here today is the TLT. We had the Fed testimony, and we also had one of the Fed presidents out talking and she threw a bunch of cold water on them not raising rates and that kind of sunk the market early after and been up a little bit. But not talking 50 point rate coming in on the 16th, but it didn't sound very dovish basically saying that Russia would become a is a much bigger deal on inflation and they would have to fight it with all the tools that they have that kind of meant that maybe expect one or two more rate hikes this year than previously planned. And the market's kind of trying to ignore that now. We'll see what's happening. Options, as I said, pretty much show 4,400 kind of a big berm. We need some very good news to get through that. But that's kind of it on that. We've got Tim Ord here in the next segment.  So we'll look at how he looks at price and volume on those. We have one from an individual and we'll be looking at that. If you have any tickers, email them to me now. And I'll try to get to him. Maybe he can get them up and running during the breaks. But that'll be it anyway. We'll check in with him for everything else that he sees in a general overlook. But that's kind of it. Let's go ahead to a little bit of history. On this day in 2004, Michael Dell, founder and CEO of Dell Computers, announces that he will step down from his role, his famous role, not a dinner role, while maintaining his position as chairman of the board. Dell president and COO Kevin Rollins will assume his role. On January 31st, 2007, about a year after Dell fell behind Apple and market cap, Rollins will resign. And Dell will resume his role as CEO due to the poor performance of the company. He would take the company private again, clean up what he could, and certainly put whatever he could underneath the sweep, whatever he could under the rug to bring it public again. Pretty much is when he left in 2004, it was all about cashing in much like other big titans like Bill Gates did. And going ahead and starting a second chapter in their life, he never really got to do that. Of course, it's public yet again, but then not many people talking about it. Again, he's just trying to make sure everything goes well as he sells more shares all the time. You can give us a call, including Tim Ord in the next segment at<PHONE_NUMBER>. You can give us an email at pat at tfnn.com and that leaves us a couple of minutes here to look at.  I was asked about two stocks. I was not sure about what the other one is, but I was saying the one I didn't like was OKTA. This one did gap down today. Volume's fairly good. Looks like it's going to go back and retest 151, excuse me, 152. 151, which is February 24th low, so there's not much there. Come on, what are you doing? Why is that not doing it? Eh, do not know why. Because it locked up as well. Oh, that's why, because I copied it. I pressed the wrong button. So we should be able to just do this. There we go and get back to it. Did a question on MOS from Mimi and Mimi didn't say, maybe she'll email me, say whether she kept her energy stocks or not. That MOS company, of course this is a Russia trade as they cut off a lot of nitrogen stuff potash, that kind of stuff for fertilizer. This thing's been kind of going up for 44 bucks to 56. I wish I would have thought of it, but I didn't think about it, but it started moving well. Looks fine, nothing really here, really to report no real big sign of a reversal yet. Most people don't know that Florida is absolutely large in the nitrogen and the potash business. If you go about 100 miles southeast from here all the way down through Seabring and almost over to, I think it's almost over to the other side of the coast. There's just a ton of it. One of my race partners, wives worked in this business and they were always either importing it or exporting it or moving it around or trading it, but apparently all this stuff does get moved around quite a bit. She does not do that any longer, but I remember she was big in the company. We'll be back after this. Steady as she goes. I don't see anything changing. Are you grinding in the market but seeing little to no return?  Learn to take the path of least resistance with David White's powerful trading newsletter. David White is an accomplished trader whose deep understanding of technology and the markets allows him to consistently find and share winning trades. Support and resistance define the ranges in which stocks trade. By understanding these trading ranges David White is able to find the path of least resistance. David White's trading newsletter The Path of Least Resistance is delivered daily before the markets open to make every trading day an easy win. Visit tfnn.com today and subscribe to David White's ultimate trading newsletter for $119 a month and try all of our newsletters risk-free with our 30-day money-back guarantee. Take the path of least resistance at TFNN Educating Investors. What's separating you from the most successful men and women on Wall Street? That's right, information. Having all the information gives us the perspective we need to place the right trades at the right time. The TAS Profile Scanner is the premier market-profile-based scanner. Powered by its acclaimed TAS proprietary algorithms this feature-rich scanner instantly filters over 2,500-plus global financial markets such as stocks, ETFs, commodities, futures and forex. This powerful suite of tools leverages instant trade filtering and strategy formulation to show you emerging trades before they happen.  Level the playing field with the TAS Profile Scanner which you can find under the services tab at TFNN.com. Sign up today. At TFNN, you'll get advice and guidance from the authority and technical market analysis and it's not just dry, tedious text either. TFNN airs live financial content streamed live on TFNN.com and TFNN's YouTube channel with Tiger TV. Live every market day from 8.30 a.m. to 4.00 p.m. Eastern. For free, each host is an experienced trader and gives their take on the market while taking calls and questions live from around the world. From the moment the market opens until the closing bell sounds, Tiger TV has eight different shows with expert hosts to help you make the right moves with your money. Watch online at TFNN.com or on TFNN's YouTube channel and become the investor you were born to be. TFNN, educating investors. Tim Ord. Tim Ord has been a market timer and with a newsletter for over 30 years. Been trading, I guess, you said since the early 80s? Is that right? Actually, I was a stockbroker in 77. That's pretty much when I started trade. We can. I was a stockbroker for several years and got out of that business and started the newsletter. Back in the 70s and even early 80s, Teclon Alps was kind of a witchcraft. It was all fundamentals back then. The witchcraft was not the preferred method of market picking or stock picking. Now it's the other way around. Pretty much everything is technical and fundamentals is kind of a checklist after you've done the technical fill. Anyhow, you want to look at some of these charts? Yeah, we'll go ahead. Let's start with the Russian chart, RSX. Yeah, okay. This chart goes what? 2007, whatever. Actually, I went in and put an order in to buy Russian index. The last low was 2009. So I was going to just buy some shares, put a limit at $686. The only reason why I'm doing that is the top is RSI there. Every time the RSI... This is a monthly chart. So when the RSI gets this low, it's really low. And all the news is out. I mean, Russia's invading the old news. So it's nothing really new to assume.  Actually, it worked on Gold II back in 2000. I think that low was something like a 1984 low in Gold or something. And if you did that, you would have picked the bottom. Oh, this is kind of the same thing here. So, most likely, we're just going to probably test the 2009 low. And with the RSI, already below 30, you're pretty much done to the downside. So the bad news is out. So, you know, can the war drag on? You know, maybe. But probably on a bigger timeframe, I would say testing that 2009 low was a buy. And actually, I tried to buy it. Went to Meritrade, put that order in. And they wouldn't let me put the order in without sanctions on Russia. So, at least Meritrade wouldn't do it. I don't know if any other brokerage firms would do it, but I don't think nationwide you can actually buy that Russian index at ETF. That's interesting. Yeah. I don't know what other brokerage firms are saying, but they said, no, you can't do it. You can't buy or sell Russian stocks, at least through Meritrade. They're halted even in Russia. How are they? Yeah. They don't trade there either. But that is interesting. Maybe if that does change, then you might have found your low for a long time. Yeah. You know, buy on news, sell on fact, or the other way around. You know, the fact is war. So, I guess once you start trading, the damage has already been done. He went from eyeballing, it was about 30. You want to print this chart, it was 7. So, and Russian economy is going to keep going. It's not like it's going to go to zero. But anyhow, on the bigger time frame, I think it's a buy. So, that's my opinion. If you start trading or touches that low of 2009, I think that's probably about the lowest you're going to get. So, what else do you want to go to? I sent you over several charts. Yep. The next one is Zotis, ZTS. Yeah, I said, this is all from my list from last Friday, right? Yeah, this is from you. I just, I took about four of them and they're all kind of examples of the same thing I want to kind of talk about. But in this you know, this is a daily chart. ZTS is a symbol. Anyhow, you had a pretty good sell-off and finally, you kind of had a climate glow back in, looks like about January, I don't know, 26 or so.  Well, you take the low, the lowest low and you take the volume of the biggest day going into that low and you compare them, then you do that and you make a retest of the previous price low and you did that on, I don't have the date there, February 24th, 25th and you couldn't, you know, you went actually below that low so that's a new low then you closed above it and that's a buy signal. So Mark can't hold below the previous low, which in this case is that low in February 24th, I'd say that's the date. If you can't hold below the previous low, it will attempt to take out the previous high. So this predictor stock has a price target around 205 back in, you know, kind of early February there. So on a certain basis, this is a buy signal. What happens when you get to 205? Kind of depends on how high that volume is when you're testing that high. If it's higher volume, you'll probably eat right through and go up to another higher high and if it's on a lower volume, that high will find resistance and what you got then is a trading range and you got basically 185 as support just create a trading range. So it depends, I'm pretty sure you'll get 205 depends what the volume is at that 205 range compared to the previous high. So right now it's on a buy signal so it should work higher up to 205. So go ahead. We can go on to another one unless you've got questions on this one. Now we just got a minute left here in this segment so I'll see if we can't go on it. What do you think about the general market with about a minute left to go? I got a buy signal on the 23rd next day it gapped down and came back so right now I'm still on a bullish buy signal from the close of February 23rd you know the next gap open was down but it came back so we tested the previous low January 24th and we compare the volume it's a lower low same thing we're doing right here right now but we tested the previous low on the higher volume and the same thing happens if you can't take out the previous low and higher volume or reverse and take out the previous high. Well the previous high on this case at least I'm looking at the SPY is up around that 460 range which is basically the 1st of February, mid-February so that's my target up there for right now. 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things and gold and the major indexes and you can always find him at or dash oracle.com what's going ahead i got a twitter account too i just thought i might put that out there and i think twitter is owned by the devil okay we'll move on i'm just kidding i'm just kidding you can you can tell us what your twitter handle is it's at oracle i think i don't know how to look at my handle but if you just google my name it'll come that twitter account will show up i post on there quite a bit some charts i like whatever you know stuff i do in my newsletter sometimes it's pretty good posted on that twitter account so anyhow this is another way to follow me but actually if you want to go to there's inflation deflation ratio i don't know if you see it i just centered over to you i think i was looking at my email so i'll have to check that yeah it's on that the charts i sent over this morning and you know this is PRII then PRDI now didn't get it i've got ADT RSX WGO and WTS i didn't send that over you can send it during the break we can still get to it in the next segment alright i'll send it over i thought i did but okay we did we did Russia which one you want to do next when we go to ADP ADP alright ADP ADP actually that was a selling climax and i got a little point there a selling climax when volume jumps around 50% or more compared to the previous volume and that's kind of exhaust move to the downside so when volume gradually increases the market goes down that's usually not a good sign but if everybody heads through the exit at the same time you get this exhaustive move and that's when volume just jumps up and and everybody's talking about how bad the stock is or whatever and that takes all the energy out of the market on a short term basis so when everybody is to sell but at the same time there's usually very little downside once that selling climax happens and that's what happened here so yeah the selling climax looks like about January 25th, 26th whatever that date is and the market made a lower low a couple of days later so you use the volume as a selling climax flow you use the price low as the lowest low so anyhow the market rallies up if you notice it rallies back and it goes back and test the gap of the selling climax I got a red line I can't see really the gap there but there is a gap now the market went into that gap and tested that gap on lighter volume which is resistance so the market can't get through the gap and I'll try going down and it goes it goes through the least resistance area so it can't get through the gap it'll go back down to the previous low well the previous low is at January low when we test that low it looks like about February 25th whatever and it tests that low price low and on much lighter volume because you compare the volume to the selling climax volume so it can't get through that low so where it's going to go I was going to go back to the previous high well the previous high is back to the gap area again now the more time the minimum upside target is around 210 the more time you test a support or resistance level or a gap level is considered resistance the more chances it's going to go through so this time that gap may not hold as resistance so I'm thinking I don't know what the volume is going to be there but if the volume is lower than that first gap test but if the people are greater they'll probably move on and pass it and probably go higher so you got a big base here a decent base anyhow it's about a month long and maybe an attempt to take out the previous low can do it so I'm thinking it's probably going to get through that gap and go up higher how much higher it's hard to say but it's got enough cause there to probably rallying in the 230s there's a resistance up around 235 that could be an upside target for that one so market actually looks pretty good probably speaking here but it depends how the volume is going forward from here I've been along the S&P since January 23rd and if it keeps this market going higher we need volume to push it higher and so the key is how the volume test these previous highs on these stocks if the volume is not there then you probably got a huge trading range kind of like same with the last we looked at if we can't get through 210 on this ADP thing then probably we're going to go back down to the previous low again which is high volume it was about 193 area so and just probably stop there hold there and probably try to go up again so I'm thinking the market is actually going to move higher here but since how this week's volume goes if we go into Friday and volume is really lackluster chances are I'll go back to neutral again but the volume is halfway decent today and tomorrow I'll probably hold my position over the weekend so volume is kind of real key here so we can move on if you want okay we got about one minute for the break here so just make sure and let me get back what you see how about Winnebago WGO the thrill of the open road with incredibly high gas prices yeah that's right kind of the same thing here selling climax happen it looks like about January 20th as far as volume goes made a lower low the next day came back down tested that low in the end of February there is so much lighter volume can get through that low probably going to go back to the previous high of February it looks like about the first week in February up around 70 range so what happens there depends on volume if you got good volume going into that high the higher volume mid-February high is probably going to be resistance if you got higher volume testing that high then we're probably going to go back to the previous high of early January looks like about 78-79 so so I'm thinking at least we're going to go to 70 here there's a good chance maybe get to 79 okay if you got a chance to send me that chart you're talking about during the last segment I sent you another symbol email so we can do that we'll be back in a minute with 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to tfnn.com then hit Watch Tiger TV that's tfnn.com and we are back with him and I got you inflation chart here so you can go ahead and talk about that and I got you inflation chart here so you can go ahead and talk about that All right. This is a really a big time frame. It's a monthly chart and the chart goes back to 2013 and They showed it's inflation deflation ratio and Ping No Praying he's been around for years. I forgot his first name Now he created this part part in Praying the guy's name PR. I ng yeah Martin Frank Yeah, Martin Pring. He created this chart inflation deflation Actually created the two Indicators and I combined him made a ratio out of it and And so it works pretty well Judging the inflation deflation as a ratio and you can see and and big down mark is this that's the ratio falls and If you notice we pretty much been going sideways basically since 2016 and I got a monthly Bollinger ban on it if you're above the Bollinger ban It's usually a bullish sign if you're below its bearish and I But the Bollinger bands and also it we've been kind of squeezing the Bollinger ban here, which is That's the bottom indicator when it's low. It means that Bollinger bands are kind of pinching when it's high They're all spread apart and back in it looks like about December of 2021 they start coming together and Suggesting a big move is coming when the Bollinger band to get tight What that you know price what that means is price Is very narrow and that suggests at some point we're going to start Price is going to start spreading apart that could be an uptrend or a downtrend in this case I thought it'd be an uptrend and because I had other indicators seen Eventually these gold markets are going to start to rally and that's what's happening here and This over the last couple of weeks Since it's the monthly chart We did get above the mid Bollinger ban on the monthly timeframe putting this Deflation inflation deflation ratio in an uptrend and we also closed Above a trend line connecting the highs going back to 2016. We just closed above That I think was last week on that trend line So we definitely got a breakout to the upside and the top window is the RSI of this ratio and anything above 50 Suggests the market is an uptrend and we're like 59 right now. So there's a lot of evidence that We're busting up to the upside and that's basically we started Really kind of busting up. We you know, we had a in 2020 we started to get above the trend line filled a bit below it came back above it But it's been in a narrow range since 2016. So we're probably going to start it doing an impulse type wave That vote may look similar to the decline that started back in 2014 and 2016 that was a downtrend I think something opposite of that may happen here and This whole thing may just be start to rock it up the rocket might be the wrong word But trending up so and this flation the way I'm expecting here this inflation deflation ratio Should continue higher in the coming weeks if not months So it's more of a longer term. The only reason why I say that is has such a huge base This basis is what six years long, you know, I really didn't have inflation deflation ratio Really hadn't done anything for six years. Just pretty much moved sideways so That builds a big base for an impulse wave and I think the impulse wave will be up So I'm thinking if racial probably least go back to the 2014 highs Which is point seven, you know, it could go higher Hard to say but we're in the early stages of this ratio going higher So there's a lot of stuff saying we're in an uptrend here. So that's just beginning Is there now that Yes, inflation deflation ratio goes up. Most likely you know, gold stocks and gold will go up with it That's why I'm implying here. So kind of in the first inning, right? Yeah, we're in the first inning, you know, and really like I said before it, you know, we really haven't done anything since 2016 It's just base that went up went down went up But really didn't move much and when you get that Bollinger band pinching on a monthly timeframe, you know something a little longer term is starting to Come to a rotation here So, you know, it looks good for you know, the next couple of years but that way Just because it's such a big timeframe by facing No, yeah, that's the reason why I wanted to show you this chart is just another angle of How the market you can go to view the the bull market Got a question from somebody in our trading room here. He says, you know what this actually tracks No, okay, I think Pring if you go to Pring's website or you Google him He'll tell you what it is I'll do that at the break Lastly, we've got one last stock to take a look at here and that is task TASK There we go, right All right tasks ahead of selling climax looks like about you know eyeball here January 20th volume, you know jumped like 300% 400% from so that was exhaust move to the downside Made a little bit lower low couldn't get through that low because energy right dissipated to the downside So you can't really go down so it's going to try to go up Well, the first resistance is the gap area well that gap Had huge volume because that was selling climax low and so it can't get through the gap Point you know point there is a gap retest so can't get to the gap They'll go down to the next support level which is basically a selling climax low again Well can't get through that Tested that low Much lighter volume so now we're back up to the gap area again Well, you notice we're not backing away from the gap and also we're starting to test that gap or the last high which is where That high basically in February 10th We're starting to test that on a higher volume if you look at the volume over the last couple three days here The volume really kicked up and so my my thoughts That volume is going to be higher on the test of that mid-February high and this is a Second time we're testing that gap again the more time to test the gap the more resistance the less resistance it has So I'm thinking we're going to move higher here and probably Look to the next resistance area, which is based that consolidation back in January early January You know up around that 50 range so Pass to me, you know, it's 34 now, but It looks good probably going to go higher here So and the next resistance against the 50 I guess probably we're going to come close to that somewhere in that, you know 45 50 range and what happens there? Let's see what the volume looks like but if you notice volume is picking up and that's what this You know rally knees needs volume to pick up and because salvation is unique long to be lighter Well, I want to thank looks pretty good. I wanted to thank you being on once again Tim or to the org dash oracle calm. I'll see you in a couple more weeks All right. 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That's<PHONE_NUMBER> catch Tom O'Brien professional trader and educator founder of TFNN also a special guest on CNBC Tom will bisect and dissect the markets the Tom O'Brien show next on TFNN We're down about 20 points on the S&P cash again got a few things going on now Tuesday We've got Apple With its dog and pony so you may see next week a little bounce if they can get anything going But 4400 from options and all my chart work as I said yesterday Look kind of like a wall and we're starting to see more of that in options as we set up for options expiration generally Quad-witching months like this are not as good, but you get a general indication or general range Which I had in the newsletter this morning So you do see that but off 20 on the S&P dows down 58 Nasdaq's off 197 if you are interested in that Chart for Martin Pring that Tim was talking about if you email me. I'll send you a link To the web page that explains it and tells you where it's at and you can see along a Live version of it if you're interested in any of the charts that Tim talked about today I've got them all you just email me at path at tfnn.com and I'll send you a zip with all of them in it So we can get that done Anyway, as we start looking the volume actually Like I said, not bad 8.8 billion shares as we get ready for the last hour of the trading day But probably not enough in the 15 or 16 billion that you're looking for a Giant sign of strength in this market to go blow through 44 50 So at the moment probably at trading range Again, we're getting into the options expiration cycle mid-wit next week And you've got a little bit in technology you go with Apple on Tuesday. They always tend to push that it is Position but I'm kind of thinking that maybe you go sideways in technology and maybe you go much slower in the S&P Not a lot of shorts out there in the market right now So any kind of surprise could be big to the downside So when you can not when you have people see you tomorrow same back panel same that