Okay so hello everybody. So my presentation will be about the multi-model annotation for expressive communication. This is a joint effort of three different groups in our department. That's town, so natural language processing, then CM Tech, so the division people and GTI, that's human computer interaction of that generation. So this this work within Maria de Maestro is complementary to a Horizon 2020 project and I'll introduce briefly this project as well. Okay so here very briefly the content. So what the general purpose of this of this work is a compilation of training material for communication of embodied conversational agents. So this means that we multi-model in this sense means facial expressions, gestures and of the silencer voice. So and I'll start therefore with the embodied conversational agents basically pointing out what the shortcomings are and of the state-of-the-art in these agents and what we want to achieve here in this project. Then we'll go to the multi-model annotation for expressive communication, task goal challenges, then the corpus. We are working on the recordings so that's more or less health care domain but also basic care and other related issues. So then the the fourth item is multi-model annotation of nonverbal cues that is for the for the time being we focus on nonverbal communication and in our annotation task and even more we'll focus on effective communication. So that is we do not consider yet semantics we just we want to annotate emotions, affections. Okay so a couple of items we'll talk about then as we heard in the first invite you talk yesterday so data protection is a very important issue and especially in this as can imagine you know so that's also if we communicate with people and we will see the domains we're working in so this is a very very central topic and then final conclusions. So by the way so I'll be sharing the talk with Monica who is doing the actual work so I'll be doing the general talking and she will become more concrete. Okay now so I'll do this part one two three and then she will continue. Okay so important conversational agents so there they are all over the place now so there are agents who are taking us through the stock of a furniture store now so agents who help us to set up our TV so then give us advice how to lose weights etc etc etc no so and the social companions are very important or the aspect of social companionship is very important and in particular when we talk about conversational agents the problem with the embodied conversational agents nowadays is that there let's say monocultural and monolingual more or less so that is if it's very likely that if we have a furniture store agent it will act the same way no matter whether we are in Sweden in Spain in Morocco or Australia no so and this is certainly unsatisfactory no so because we act we interact in different ways no so culturally speaking so then they are monolingual we want to be multilingual we want to interact in different languages and okay so this is the state-over-the-art in dialect strategies usually so what the agents use that's a scripted dialect strategy so ping pong strategy you say something I say something etc no so there is no really kind of barge in and etc so the flexibility is rather restricted no and if we look at let's say social and medical care aspect so we need to be or the agent needs to be expressive no so to be let's say compassionate etc no so and this is also not yet the case so and we try to put a handle on those problems in this in the Christina project as I said so this is a horizon 2020 project and the three groups of the department are involved so what we're trying to do is to develop an agent with social competence human interaction capabilities and with for interaction with migrants so because they they are very interesting groups not to just to test how far we can get with our with our technologies no so and we focus on three different migrant groups so that's first that's the group of elderly and as we know elderly I need of a social companion no so they need to to be entertained no so to chat about the family to the weather what's going on being remembered reminder of daily routines etc no so and here in this case not just because keep in mind we are talking about multicultural aspect so we are here we focus on Turkish migrants in Germany so then the second me doing group that's illiterate people who are in need of mediation health care health care as such so health care questions but also health care system questions no how can I get an appointment with a medical doctor etc no so here we focus on North African African migrants here in Spain and the last migrant group that's untrained people caregivers from Poland who come to work in Germany so they stay for three months or so in German then go back so they don't speak usually they don't speak German and they are not really qualified to do the job no so that is here we need to let's say mediate and to to show them how to well to to learn or teach them the basic skills in in basic here okay so where the the major goals of Christina are then the development of reasoning based flexible dialogue strategies that take cultural and social differences into account equally as an emotion the emotional state of the of the people then should be multimodal so this the whole story is about multimodality so that the facial expressions gestures and voice as I said and it should be able to learn no so that is if wants to communicate or to teach something no and to tell a story so then needs to learn from the web okay here is the Christina pipeline so we have here the users so they can communicate with the agent in different in terms of facial expressions gestures voice we analyze this then we fuse all the information we process it and then we separate again the one we know what we want to say so then we separate the different modalities and then we communicate here and obviously what what we are focusing on in our Maria de Maestro project that's these parts here no so the analysis and generation of different modalities or more exactly preparing the compound training material for these components okay so now we are the multimodal annotation for expressive communication what is the task no so starting from material that is recording of semantically and culturally diverse material we want to annotate now we want to annotate synchronous asynchronous events of different modalities and what we want to get is there an improvement of the quality of multimodal annotations so far so people working on the let's say separate modalities they annotate as they think it's okay for their modality no so that is we want to unify we want to make the annotation more coherent and we think that it would be a damn good to increase the impact and obviously this this goes now so the unit increase of impact goes with the increase of the quality if we have a coherent multimodal annotation so we think that the impact of the corpora will be increased no everybody will will be using them no because they are they are better they are more coherent etc etc and so as a let's say site objective that's develop integrative research lines within our department so we already started now so well as I said we were working in over three groups are working together and I think that there are many more perspectives and many more let's say goals to be achieved working together okay so the challenges so we have a technical challenge and we have a date the management challenge so the technical challenge is well the annotation itself so this means first the definition of creation of annotation guidelines and this is a very as we know no so those who annotate it or so no that's a very tedious and time-consuming task no so to to figure out what the best annotation is and then obviously once we have the annotation guidelines to ensure that we have the annotators trimmed to the let's say to to to follow the guidelines and to achieve reasonable into annotator agreement no only then will will be able will will be able to use our annotated corpora and to the challenge the data management challenge this is accessibility in data protection no so we need to think about licensing proprietary rights treatment of sensitive data etc etc and if we think that we are recording elderly people will think that we are recording let's say caregivers etc so this is really that very delicate issue okay so the corpus we are working on so recordings no so in five different languages that is we assume that each language represents more or less a culture so that is we have German Spanish Polish Turkish Arabic to cover all the use cases I mentioned before no so so far you see the distribution of the recordings no so in German so we have most of them so then and Spanish or share then in in Polish and Turkish and Arabic no so they are still we still have very little data no so and so the recording sign progress the goal is to have 10 hours of recordings for each language for each culture and this is quite a lot of material compared to what people usually have okay so now I'll hand over to Monica to explain the details of our work thank you so well at the end of the day what we want is computers that can recognize when human talk to them and they can understand and make sense of the emotions that we convey with nonverbal behavior and on the other hand computers that are able to reproduce this kind of human like nonverbal actions right so what do we need all we need is love okay all we need is data yeah we need data and we need annotated data and as humans whoops as we when we try to make sense of what other people is saying now hopefully you are you are getting more than my language only because you're not hearing me so we use like a holistic kind of approach so we listen to what we say but we also visually get clues and meaningful clues from how we say things right so this from a computational point of view is very difficult to represent because when we're trying to deal with emotional aspects in communication probably you may understand and perceive that I am being happy because I smile but I might be nervous in fact and some other people may perceive I'm nervous but but some other people may be confused so how can we turn a subjective issue into an objective one well using all the power of mathematics and statistics and all that's things so well this is merely an example of what we do we want to minimize perception bias right so what do we use first of all we use a balance arousal scheme which is widely reported in the literature but with the discrete labels we're not saying this is happy this is sad because there is a lot of interference in those concepts as such we use a fine-grade scale and we made some tests on the scale to represent if this person is being a more or less in some way or some other emotional state so then we are working on some guidelines that the group of annotators so far is well all of them all of us are expert annotators and they are experts in different fields that means people are developing their own modules for recognizing face for recognizing gestures for recognizing voice for natural language processing so well for representing this knowledge so we've got a good interest in in in having a good quality labels right so those are the guidelines and this is the annotated annotation tool that we use that's elan and then what we do is once we annotate we compute our score which is a crumb backs alpha score that tells us how how many annotators we need in order to reach a satisfactory agreement that is you can annotate subjectively a video right but in the end the whole group needs to achieve a certain score within this framework in order to accept that video as well if it's not the case then we take actions we revise the video we add more annotators or whatever it is right once we get that we compute another using another method called the collect method which comes from medicine in fact and we are tuning in to our needs these algorithm but well so far we can get roughly it's not precise now but we're working on it we we get our consensus which is this line down oh my god sorry okay which is this line this is the consensus agreement taking into account all the different annotators and we get a confidence score for each segment which is very important right so basically that's how we do things but one of the main goals within Maria de Maes to initiative is being able to release the data that we're using raw data to the scientific community okay we're using unidentified data it's anonymized we don't know the names of the candidates but we're using sensitive data we're talking about faces and we're talking when talking about speech those cues are called biometric cues can be used to identify a person and that is considered sensitive and in the European law and now I know the whole thing in the US this is a big issue about this which I'm happy to hear in the European law there's a very restricted law and regulations on data protection so how can we manage this well within Christina participants who are being recorded sign an informed consent this informed consent informs them on what we are going to do in Christina yeah so and how we are going to use the raw data even this is something that we are currently working on we need to inform them what we do with raw data right they sign this fine so we can use it within the consortium technical partners sign another agreement the confidentiality agreement because we didn't want sensitive data right so we need to guarantee that when we download this data it is well secured all the computers have got password so on support this is very strict and this is very serious yeah but on the same at the same time within the project we do have an agreement on dissemination in the data management plan which means of course Europe is not paying for just having research on bed this very tiny little linear and not sharing it to a scientific community Europe is also paying for sharing what we get in this project with the scientific community so let's see how we deal with this problem so far and I am happy to say that this was quite recent but now in the department there's some support that is helping us deal with this issue and this CREP you can go to the web as an internal committee for the ethical review of projects right when I first collected my first data set this didn't exist and I was like but how do I do this how can I write like this informed consent I'm so it was I was kind of puzzled by all this but now there are certain procedures and certain templates that you can use and so on and so forth and then obviously all the data is revised by this ethical committee and in Christina we also have an internal ethical committee and it's a medical ethical committee by one of the medical doctors in the project to bring that so but still when thinking about releasing the data set we need to take care of all these issues licenses and conditions for data access that's the reason why I asked that question Victoria now you know so we are working on it and it's not something simple as you hopefully now understand that this after this workshop so in any case there are many questions that arise one of which is where do we put all this data work repository to be used so many questions to be answered yet so I'm very happy that there's a Maria the math initiative is going to like lead the way for us to solve these issues and probably also set the path for other people coming in and and facing these same issues or some of the groups dealing with similar issues with data protection to join efforts and say well now we've got some established procedures that we can follow and other people can also benefit from right so some conclusions so far in Christina we're dealing as Leo said with nonverbal emotional behavior we want to enlarge this and I'll say not only not the real emotional behavior but rather nonverbal and verbal communication because communication as I say is something holistic we want to enlarge this database that we are connecting in Christina not only for evaluation which was the first focus in the project but also for training right and generation purposes and again we want to develop interactive research lines and some examples I love them dealing with computational linguistics now you know where we come from right but we do think that we have a lot to say in this field so computational linguistics and visual character designing control computer vision and multimodal communication as a holistic event so there are many people to thank and I just wanted to give you a flavor of the kind of material that we annotate so I asked for collaboration in and the annotator annotator's team and we got this if it's working it's working sorry it was thank you for your attention goodbye sit wait perhaps you can tune it in by the way thank all the people these are the people in red from the UPF department different areas and those are the experts in the Christina consortium it is not really relevant so just the last question is all we need data I hope that I was able to send the message take home message that it's not all about data we need to know it's not working that's okay they don't want to appear but they I mean it's not it's not all data as I was saying and there are many things many more things that we need to be able to reproduce and share data with the scientific community and they are very important to take care about and well maybe we also need some love in between to be able to caress this team of people who is devoting a lot of time and effort for the mere reason of getting a tiny hint on how human interaction human-computer interaction is is all about right so anyway thank you for your attention


One-brainer Eagle Scout received a life-saving medal of honor over the weekend. For this week's Community Spotlight, our Sarah Winkleman shares with us about the life-saving rescue. Less than one percent of the Boy Scouts in scouting ever use their scouting skills to either save their own life or another life, and in this case, Ben has done that. On June 7th, 2017, Ben Succup was working with co-worker Dan Lamby when they noticed something wrong at a busy intersection in Maple Grove. We thought it was a person just trying to red light, but we figured out that something wasn't right, how to do what we had to do. Inside of that car was Caitlin, who was having a seizure. The EMTs had told me that if neither of them were there, I would most likely have died because my car was going through a red light when it happened and it was swerving everywhere and I would have most likely crashed into something and been severely injured. Dan crawled through the open window to stop the car while Ben stopped oncoming traffic. After that, Ben was able to start first aid and made sure she was breathing until paramedics arrived. Ben was really sweet because I was wearing a dress that day and so he took a blanket from his car and he covered me up and he lay like just waited with me and everything. And when you ask Ben about that day, he says he didn't even hesitate to jump into action to save a complete stranger. This is kind of cool that I can use my scouting ability to save someone that I've been learning but then scare at the same time because someone else is in hurt and we've got to help someone. But it's a gesture Caitlin's parents are forever grateful for. We're just so thankful. Very thankful. Very appreciative. Very blessed. And Caitlin, who was finally able to meet one of the men who saved her life. It takes a lot of strength to do what they did and I'm very grateful for that. By using his knowledge as an Eagle Scout. I'm extremely humbled and excited because I've been a leader for 48 years and this is my first one. For this week's Community Spotlight, in Brainerd, Sarah Winkelman, Lakeland News. If you enjoyed this segment of Lakeland News, please consider making a tax-deductible contribution to Lakeland PBS.


We'll give this a shot. Can you guys hear me okay? I sit back here, it's still good. The name of this talk is How HTML5 Killed My Career. Not exactly perfect, but I'll get to that in a second. How many people here have developed, is it mine? Oh, I don't have mine anymore. I feel like you guys can hear me without this, but maybe not. The acoustics in here are pretty good, so. Anybody here developed in Flash before? You get a raise of hands. Oh, quite a few. All right guys.  All right, so about equal parts on that half. We'll talk after the session. I want to find out why people hate Flash so much. I've always been curious in that. I've never really gotten a straight answer other than JavaScript is better. But hopefully we'll convince you that maybe your tool of choice doesn't matter as much as you might have thought before. So as I mentioned, talks called How HTML5 Killed My Career. A more pertinent title might be how HTML5 changed the direction of my career. It didn't necessarily kill it so much as it shifted the way I had to learn and what I had to learn to stay in business. So a better title might have been what I learned spending way too many years focusing all of my attention on Flash, leaving me unprepared when HTML5 became the new hot development tool for the interwebs, and causing me to miss out on valuable business opportunities which caused a lull in my workload and forced me to finally sit down and learn all the cool new things that I could do with HTML5. The problem with that is that title was a bit too long to submit and obnoxiously it wasn't as, I guess, cool sounding as how HTML5 killed my career and probably that spoke better to the half of the audience that hates Flash. So what this talk is and isn't about, this talk will be about Flash and about HTML5. It won't be about the great debate in which one is better. I won't be leaning to one side or the other in regards to which tool you should use or should have used in the past. It's gonna be more about looking over kind of where we came from and how Flash laid some of the foundation work for HTML5. So this is really a story about learning to appreciate your tools and value them, the ones we have at our disposal at the time. I'm figuring out how to use them as developers to our advantage. Most often this means choosing the right tool for the job but occasionally it means working with what you have available. And this is kind of how my journey with Flash began. You know, at the time it was early 2000s, there was a lot of issues with cross browser consistency. You know, a lot of workarounds to try to get things to work in IE9 and Firefox and Netscape. But Flash, you know, kind of provided a mandate to allow you to develop once and distribute that content across multiple platforms. And it worked pretty well most of the time. So let's take a look back. 2001, Flash was just kind of getting into its, I guess, more professional days. It started off earlier with some simple animations and such but in 2001 they released a new feature for ActionScript 1.0 which was a really important feature because it allowed you to start scripting within the application which then allowed you to develop software as opposed to just putting a few lines of code that might let you jump to a frame or something like that. And what I've got up here is kind of a differentiator showing the difference between Flash in ActionScript 1.0 and JavaScript at the time. Now they're both based on ECMAScript so, you know, in the beginning they both looked fairly similar. The big things you'll notice here is the difference between console.log and trace. That was really just method naming. So not a lot of differences in the early days between JavaScript and ActionScript. But over the next 10 years or so, till 2007, seven years, I guess. ActionScript 3.0 was released in 2007 and during that time between 2000 and 2007 and AS1 and AS3, a lot of changes happened in ActionScript. The language became class based. There's a lot of improvements in the structure and the functionality of the language. JavaScript roughly stayed the same and it has until very recently when we started seeing improvements to ECMAScript with ECMAScript 5 and 6 or 2015 and 2016 now. So when you look at ActionScript 3, here's another comparison between JavaScript and ActionScript 3 when AS3 was released in 2007. As you'll notice, JS didn't really change at all. It's the same prototypical language. Doesn't really have any new features. It's still written the exact same as it was seven years earlier. Flash, on the other hand, as I mentioned, fully class based ideas of public and private properties, strict data typing, compile time error checking for data types, public and private classes, inheritance. All these concepts, so it's really allowed you to start developing software, as I mentioned, in an object oriented way. So at the time, I had to go from learning to hack some code together to learning to be a software developer, which was really a big shift. So let's look at some of the features that really made Flash a winner, I guess, in the space or differentiated between JavaScript and HTML at the time. One of the big ones was animation. Flash was one of the first tools that really allowed artists to start sharing their work online, and animators specifically. It developed, or brought about a whole new generation of animators who were able to share their content online. And if you guys can't hear me, please just wave. So this is just an example here. This is an animation from simonscats.com, a guy named Simon Tulfield. He's done a number of these animations about his cats. I believe they're all done mostly on the timeline in Flash. And timeline animation as an IDE tool was really useful for people that were traditionally used to using pen and paper or things like Photoshop. They now had similar tools in Flash, but they could actually bring them to life and share them with people online. Later, reversions of the Flash player came with 3D animation. So now we had hardware acceleration and the ability to do some really, really insane graphics. This was a game that was released for the Adobe Max conference in 2011. It also showcased a new feature of peer-to-peer communications. So this was actually a racing game where all the Flash players would connect to all the other players of the game. So you were all connected directly peer-to-peer to exchange game data, exchange positions, et cetera. And we'll touch a little bit more on that later. But as you can see, I mean, it was some pretty impressive graphics that could be achieved using just Flash. And again, at the time, there wasn't anything even close to this available in HTML or JavaScript. Audio is another big one. The ability to stream audio content gave people a new way to share and discover music online. So sites like Pandora and Groove Shark and a number of others came out that allow you to discover new music in interesting ways. Flash and ActionScript also gave you the ability to work with audio at much lower levels. So you could actually interact with the byte data of the audio files and do things like create sound mixing boards all in Flash. So again, it's giving a new set of tools to developers to allow us to start playing with these things. Video is the same thing. And real quick, I'll touch those little hearts up at the top. We're just kind of my feelings towards the language at the time. This is when I was really starting to love Flash and sort of gaining speed with it. HTML5 will come later, as you'll see. The video, we had the ability to share our content online for video for the first time with Flash. It allowed you to stream things across multiple sites, again, interact at a low level with the video file.  So again, this brought a whole new generation of video sharing capabilities online. In sites like YouTube, we're all built around this. Components were another big thing. You know, we have HTML elements. We always have things like text inputs and buttons. And you have some of that same stuff in Flash. But then you have more rich components like the progress bar, the scroll pane, and the FLV playback component. So this video playback component here, you could literally drag and drop in Flash onto your stage. You could adjust the controls, depending on what you needed. If you wanted to play and pause or you wanted seek or mute, you could add all that stuff in and quickly skin it out to your needs and then just start using it in your application. So again, without having to do any development, I was able to add videos in line in a similar fashion to how you can do it with the video element in HTML today. Another big leap forward with Flash was the addition of the hardware APIs. Suddenly, we could access things like the microphone and the webcam. This is a little photo booth application that I saw online. But people have done some really interesting things, including JibJab, which you guys might know for their more satirical comedy animations. They've used the hardware APIs to actually allow people to become front and center part of the content that they're creating. So JibJab actually created a number of animations and then also included video and audio and then used the hardware API to let people actually include their own faces. So this is something I found on YouTube. It's the Gomez family's vacation video, I guess, but it's all put to Pharrell's happy video. So again, some really interesting stuff that people were able to do that they couldn't really do using just HTML and JavaScript. And that peer-to-peer piece I mentioned earlier, this was involved in that game for peer-to-peer communication. This is a picture of a full mesh network topology. So basically every client on the network attaches to every other client or connects to directly. It's not the best scenario, but it works pretty well for under eight or 10 clients. And this is how that game worked.  So that reduces latency, gives you the ability to share data very quickly and without having to go through a server. So there's no server architecture to set up and there's no bandwidth charges on that side either. So that's some of the features that I worked with in Flash. I spent about 10 years developing a business, Flash Dev for hire, which aptly described what I did. I worked with a bunch of interesting companies. I created a kid's game along the way called Free Guitars, worked with Qualcomm, Digitaria, company called Hansen. We created a touchscreen kiosk for doing kitchen designs for large cabinet manufacturer. I worked with, who was it? Totally lost my space. Anyways, moving along, we created all sorts of interesting applications using Flash and it was really spread all across the board. The problem is that I spent all this time really married to Flash. I didn't spend much time working with PHP or JavaScript or HTML or really anything out of ActionScript. I had enough on my plate just to learn all the new things that were coming out with Flash and so I was happy to ignore the rest of the stuff going on around me. Being married to Flash in this way was something that would kind of set me up for trouble later down the road. So as I mentioned, things were moving along smoothly and then the browser wars started. Suddenly people were ingesting content a new way. They were turning to their mobile devices, their tablets, their phones to start browsing the web and taking it with them everywhere they went. The problem with this is that Flash didn't really run that well on mobile devices. So Adobe stepped up and spent a few years really working with device manufacturers to get the Flash runtime to run on all their devices and largely they were successful. Air ran on Android and on Google, excuse me, BlackBerry devices. They also ran on Nokia, Sony Ericsson. Pretty much every device you can imagine, even Logitech desktop or set top boxes would run Flash. The one big person that would not run Flash in the company was Apple. And Apple refused wholeheartedly to have any sort of Flash content running on the iOS device. This resulted in a very public, very bitter kind of back and forth between Apple and Adobe. It was like nothing I've ever really seen before with publicly traded companies. Apple or Adobe at one point took out a full page ad in all the major newspapers during their Big Macs conference that said we love Apple. We love creativity, we love innovation, we love apps and the end of the article said what we don't love is anybody taking away your freedom to choose what you create, how you create it and what you experience on the web. So obviously this was a direct slap in the face of Apple and Apple responded in kind by taking out a article on their own website titled Thoughts on Flash. And it ended with perhaps Adobe should focus more on creating great HTML5 tools for the future and less on criticizing Apple for leaving the past behind. So at the time I didn't really understand this. Neither of these people said much about why HTML5 was so great. All we were seeing when these articles came out was some simple drawing stuff with JavaScript and the canvas element. Some very rudimentary video and audio capabilities but they were all very annoying to use.  There was all sorts of transcoding and given the option between doing all that extra work and simply using the Flash tools that already worked with MP4s alone, it was a simple choice. So they're putting all their eggs behind or they're backing behind HTML5 but they're not really telling us why this is what they're doing. And so we were a bit confused but while all this bickering is going on something kind of interesting happened. This game Machine Narrium which is a puzzle exploration game featuring robots and some really cool art took a number one spot on the iPad paid app store. So number one on iPad, this is on Apple Store. The interesting fact is that this game was actually created in Flash. It had been around on the web for quite some time as a Swift and they simply transcoded it to run from Flash Professional on an iOS device. So while all this bickering was happening Adobe had figured out a way to allow you to publish from Flash Professional directly to the Apple iOS environment. It was a pretty cool piece of tech that they built. Apple figured out what was going on after awhile and turned it off so you could no longer do it. Even though the feature existed in Adobe Flash Professional you couldn't actually run it on the iOS Store. They would just boot it before it ever got there. So that lasted for about six months and then they went the other direction and they allowed it again. So it was in their best interest because they were really just turning off a bunch of developers that could potentially create content for their store by not allowing people to publish from Flash. And this feature actually still exists today. If you wanna open up Adobe Flash now and publish for the iPad or for an Apple phone you can do that and it works pretty darn well. So again, we're thinking as Flash developers as a big community that have been backing Adobe for a very long time that things are going well. We can publish to iOS. Maybe there's hope that Flash is gonna continue to live on. And just when we thought things were going okay, this happened. Adobe made an announcement on November 9th, 2011 that they would stop development on the Flash Player for mobile and focus their efforts on creating mobile experiences using HTML5. So imagine you've been working in this tool for 10 years and suddenly the company that you've been backing you're part of the community in you run a user group for makes this announcement that they're gonna stop back in the tool that they've been fighting tooth and nail to get on all the mobile devices. Needless to say, the community was both confused. We felt kind of abandoned. There was a lot of interesting blog posts and tweets going on that day. And a lot of it came down to fear. And this is something I kind of realized later is that again, we'd been married to this tool. This is what we knew how to do. A lot of us made our livelihoods using this technology. And suddenly we're being told that they're gonna go another direction. Where does that leave us as developers? We know ActionScript, we know Flash. We know how to create some really interesting applications using it. We don't know much about JavaScript or HTML5. Most of us have some understanding of it but we don't know the deep down layers of it. And the idea of having to unlearn everything we'd learn in ActionScript to go back 10 years in time and relearn JavaScript was just kind of a painful concept. But again, there was some hope for this whole HTML5 thing, which we'd get into later. So let's fast forward to 2015. HTML5s had a long time to mature. The early days of simple canvas elements and video players are behind us, thankfully. And we've come a long way. So let's look at some of the features now that were potentially influenced by some of the things that came from Flash but that are currently available in HTML5. So first, going back to ActionScript 3 versus JavaScript. JavaScript still hasn't come that far as a language. I'm happy to hear talks at this conference even talking about the future of ECMAScript and how that's gonna change the way we program with JavaScript on the web. But I have to give a lot of credit back to the JavaScript developer community because in the last several years there's been a huge number of frameworks and libraries that have come out that allow us as developers to really develop in an easier way and in a more manageable way. So things like Ember and Backbone and Angular allow you to develop much more complex applications in a more manageable fashion. Node.js allows you to develop JavaScript applications on the server side.  So some really cool stuff going on there but again, the future is even brighter because they're finally starting to work on ECMAScript as a language or JavaScript as a language. Animation. So I mentioned that there was some simple stuff going on with Canvas and HTML5 and animation. The Canvas element and the drawing APIs and HTML have come a long way. This game here, Pirates Love Daisies is a tower defense game that was created by Grant Skinner's company. The interesting part about that is that Grant Skinner was actually an icon in the Flash development space and it was at Adobe Max 2011 when he actually gave a talk about building this game. So I'm sitting in the audience going to a Grant Skinner presentation expecting to hear all these cool things about Flash and here he is talking about that darn HTML5 thing once again. Again, I was kind of confused but in watching Grant, it was kind of clear at that point that there was something behind this. He had created this whole game that he would have normally built in Flash using HTML5 Canvas but along the way he had had to create a whole slew of libraries just to help him in building this which one of the things that came out that was a thing called EZL.js which was later developed into Create.js and that's just a suite that helps developers who are accustomed to things like animating in Flash come over and bring that same tool set over to HTML and that'll be important a little bit which we'll get to. 3D animation came later on. So WebGL JavaScript API allows you to create hardware-accelerated 3D graphics that are mobile optimized. So this is a game called Hello Run it's a runner game I guess but the point here is that the graphics are pretty amazing and they run just as well in mobile as they do on the browser on your desktop. Audio and video, we talked about this a bit earlier so this is the new audio element as it stands today allows you to simply add video or audio content to your web pages using native HTML. If you wanna add controls it's a simple attribute inclusion and it's very simple to use. Video is the same thing. Again controls are available that stuff we talked about with the components set being available in Flash to allow you to quickly create Flash video players is now available in HTML5. So again we're taking a step in the right direction. Components, you know jQuery UI and a number of other libraries and frameworks out there that let you use some very rich components like accordions and modal windows but there's some new technology coming out for web components which are even more interesting to me. And this will actually let you create your own components set in HTML so you define what the element name is and you can actually create the functionality so you can reuse it across your applications or share it with other people on the web. And this is an example of Google Map they actually ported that over to use the new web components architecture. So you can see here it's defining a Google Map element with a latitude and longitude attribute and then internally they've got additional elements for Google Map marker. So if anybody here has tried to use Google Map APIs previously there's a lot of configuration that goes on and it takes quite a bit of code to get something like this to work whereas maintaining something like this on your website would be a lot easier with simple element inclusions. Hardware access, so again I mentioned this was a huge thing in Flash and here we have it now in HTML in JavaScript. Things like get user media allow you access to the microphone and to the webcam. So as a developer in JavaScript now you can access those same APIs that we used to have in Flash and start playing around with them. And a lot of these elements came together to bring us WebRTC. Now this is kind of a new technology that's still being built up by Google and Firefox and Opera actually. And IE's kind of coming out with their own version of this so they're leading the tail end of it but they're finally coming around. Basically WebRTC allows you to establish a peer-to-peer connection across various network topologies. So it doesn't matter if the person you're talking to is behind some crazy firewall and you're on a public network at a coffee shop you should still be able to connect. And all that tech that figures out basically how to connect two browsers peer-to-peer is included in WebRTC. So things like video calling, audio calling, even web-to-phone and phone-to-web are now available as part of this stack. Screen sharing's another feature. And just to give you guys a little better idea of what people are doing with this let's take a look at a couple of the applications that people have created so far. So you may have seen some commercials a while back for Amazon Mayday service. This service basically allows you to hit a button on your Kindle and be talking live with apparently a very friendly customer support representative. It also gives them access to draw and access elements on your screen so they can help you figuring out troubleshooting issues. So this uses WebRTC. Google Hangouts used to be a plugin-based system now it uses WebRTC so they're kind of eating their own dog food there which is great. Allows for video calling, screen sharing. And I should mention this is all native in the browser. There's no plugins required, this just all runs. So as long as you have a browser that supports WebRTC which again is kind of growing as we go you can use this and your users can too. Pure CDN was a really cool idea. It's basically a simple JavaScript library that uses WebRTC to create a CDN of the users on your website. So if you have a bunch of static assets images, video files, PDFs, whatever it may be this JavaScript library basically scrubs your pages to find those files and then finds the users that are accessing your website and connects them peer-to-peer. So if one person downloads all the files and other people come to join the site they can then distribute those across a peer-to-peer connection to the other users. Thus saving you a lot of money in bandwidth. You can see here there's some numbers. I don't know how pertinent those are here but they can show you exactly how many terabytes and how many megabytes you've saved as well as the amount of money you've saved. And these guys actually got bought by Yahoo rather recently. So you might see some cool stuff coming out from that. CubeSlam was a game that Google threw together as a proof of concept. It uses audio and video as well as exchanging game data across peer-to-peer connection. So it's a simple game of POM with video as the background and then audio communications. But it exchanges all that data, the game data, the positions of the paddles on the screen, the position of the puck, everything across the WebRTC peer-to-peer connection. So again it's using one API to exchange all that game data without having to spin up a server and host some third party library to actually handle all the game data interaction. And it's also saving you a ton of money and bandwidth again there. This is Apollo. This is a game we created internally at the company I work for for doing communications with our distributed team. So it's sort of like a bigger version of a Google Hangouts with some features that we wanted. So things like group chat, single chat, video and audio calling as well as file exchange, my favorite feature. You can actually copy to the clipboard using like a screenshot and paste it into the chat window and allow them to automatically share it out with the rest of the people that are included in that group. So I mentioned Respoke, just a real quick plug here. We do simple WebRTC stuff.  So you can check us out at respoke.io. So Flash, kind of a recap. You know, why did HTML5 win over Flash and then kind of what happened to Flash over the years? The biggest thing is that HTML5 is native and it runs extremely well across all devices. So Flash's big failure was really in the ability to have it run smoothly and consistently across all the mobile devices, tablets, the phones and the desktop. They did a pretty good job. You know, I wouldn't say that Apple shut them down. It certainly didn't help. Obviously they found a workaround for it, but at the end of the day, there's a much larger community of front-end developers and JavaScript developers that can play with this technology. So having things run, you know, in HTML5 just exposes it to a larger audience of developers and it makes it more available to a larger number of people. So Flash, as I mentioned, not quite dead. Sort of rising from the grave. This animation here, what do you think I used to make this? Shout it out, anybody. Nailed it. So I actually created this in Flash. No, if I can show you guys, we're kind of running out of time here, but basically, Flash went a different direction. They learned from what was happening. You know, people wanted a different experience. HTML5 was the winner. That's what they chose to back. So they chose to actually pivot and learn from their mistakes and from what was coming up next to kind of stay relevant. So now in Flash, you can actually publish all of your HTML or your Flash content, your timeline animations, your scripted animations, all to HTML5 content. So it uses the canvas. If you remember what I was talking about, Grant Skinner earlier, creating that game with easel.js and the create.js framework, Adobe actually worked with Grant Skinner to include that create.js framework as part of their Flash publishing platform. So when you publish from Flash, it actually converts all of your action script code, your timeline inclusions, and all of your assets to be native HTML5 content. Using the canvas and using create.js as the library that then transitions all that stuff over to JavaScript and HTML. So what the end result is, is you get an HTML file and a JavaScript file, which you can then edit to your heart's content. And it's all written using that create.js platform. So if you want to go in and start playing around with it, use Flash as a simple tool to get you some basic animations or some prototyping, the end result is going to be JavaScript and HTML, which you can then edit and play with from there. So kind of to recap everything here, the big thing I want you guys to take away from this, and this is sort of a theme I've been happy to hear from a lot of talks at this conference is really never stop learning. You need to keep pushing yourself forward. Adobe did that when Flash kind of lost out to HTML5. I had to do that when my business was forced to be changed to more of an HTML5 focused business. So I just want to challenge everybody here, set aside an hour a week, just one hour, block it off on your calendar, turn off your cell phone, lock the door, whatever you got to do, and just spend that time really trying something new, whether it's a framework or doing what John suggested yesterday doing some creative coding or playing with a new piece of hardware, or even just going out and learning a new sport, whatever it is, try something new and keep learning because it's going to push you to be a better developer and just a better human being, really. So that's it for me. My contact info here, ktaiakitrespoke.io. You can catch me on Twitter at geekgonnomad and my website's under the same with a .com on the end. I'll open it up to questions. So the question was about the differences between ORTC, which IE is developing and WebRTC, which everybody else is developing. The answer is I really, really hope they're going to be similar, if not the same. Some of the proposals that IE has made have actually been folded into the WebRTC spec. So some of the stuff they're actually finding as potential issues or things they want changed are actually good suggestions. My real hope is that eventually they'll get on board in some later version of the spec. I've heard some talk that they're basically waiting until it's a little bit more finalized or standardized to implement in their browser. So my hope is that this ORTC thing is just their sort of way of getting their suggestions across and that eventually they're just going to take the full spec and implement it as is. I won't hold my breath on that one, but I'm really hoping for it. So if anybody wants to talk WebRTC, I'll be around the rest of the day. Feel free to grab me and I'd love to chat on it with you. Thanks.


The following is a presentation of TFNN The Trader's Edge with Steve Rhodes, toll-free at 1-877-927-6648 or internationally at<PHONE_NUMBER> The Trader's Edge Now, Steve Rhodes Good afternoon from TFNN, excuse me, welcome to the August 9th, the fantastic Friday edition of today's Trader's Edge Show. I'm your host, Steve. Perseverance Rhodes, who absolutely knows that each of us should always be pioneers of our future versus prisoners of our past. Hope everyone out there is having a great day. Hey, let's make sure we have an extraordinary day, an extraordinary weekend, an extraordinary life. The easiest way to do that, it's just to always remember that life is happening for us, not to us. That's right, when you and I make that one little two by four shift, it means we can find the gift in every set of circumstances that life is going to toss at us. Now, today you and I, we're going to go check on the circumstance of these markets. We're going to go figure out what the bulls and the bears, what those buyers and sellers are communicating to you and I just passed one o'clock in the afternoon. I want you to know that I'm absolutely grateful for your presence here, but way more important than that. During this next hour, I'm here to serve you. So feel free to pick up that phone. You can dial in right now,<PHONE_NUMBER>. If you can't dial in, we've got you covered. Let those fingers do the walking. Rifle off a quick email, Steve at TFNN.com. Inside the subject heading, please put radio show question to any of our Tigers then, well, any ping we'll do. So let's go ahead and get this show started on fantastic Friday. Of course, this is Tiger, financial news network. I'm Steve Rhodes. Welcome to less show right now. The Dow off one, two, three, 123 points to the downside. 26-253 is the print. The S&P off 23, the Nasdaq 185, that's a little over 1%, Russell down a little over 1%, 18 points as well. Spotball utility index up 9% to buck 50, traded 1841. Gold is flat basically off the buck. Silver is flat. Light's recruit is not flat. It's up two bucker runes. Lead in the charge, the upside, Nevereaux Corp. That's about 11 bucks or 17%. Pay low city holdings up 8% or 8 bucks. Shopify up 10 bucks, 3%. To the downside, lead in the charge, dollar wise, 28 bucks, Amazon. DXC technology off 16, Google up 15. Nectar therapeutics down about 10 bucks, but that's 32% to the downside. So let's go to our first question that came in. This came in from Craig. He wanted to take a look at the intermediate time period for Alcoa. Ticker symbol there is AA. And so if we take a look at Alcoa out here, just simply in taking a look at where price is trading and relationships, so it's daily, weekly, monthly and quarterly task market profiles, prices trading below all of them. So that's not a good scene. Now, Craig is looking for an intermediate term timeframe. If I didn't say that, if I did, well, then I'm just repeating myself, but at this stage here, so intermediate for my thinking, you know, more along the time, more along the lines of weekly, monthly, but we're going to take a look at all the timeframes out here. So, okay, we'll take a look at this price and below support. What's that mean? Jelly bean. Well, we got to go really take a look at Stevie's other charts out here because we want to take a look at patterns that help us to identify bottoms. So if we go take a look at Alcoa out here, here's one of the things we know on a daily chart. We can see that when it topped out here most recently, let me get my cursor out here. That's from the trading session of July 18th. It makes that beautiful singing the key of G Stevie Wonder part of the basil Chapman wave out there. When you get to that letter G or wave number seven out there, you got to be on the lookout. It's a signal why it works. Man, I don't know. I just know that it does and we pay attention to it. So it makes that top that way. Then it starts heading lower and what it was doing about a week ago or so started moving lower with less energy. Then Stevie's system automatically builds those lines in there says, okay, we've got to be paying attention. Now what Alcoa has done out here, Craig, it is trying to form a bottom. How do we know that? Well, two of the last five trading sessions have been hammer candles. The first hammer candle on August the 5th. That's a bullish reversal signal out there. Now price was below its Taz market profiles. An aggressive trader would have tried to take a position on a daily basis right then and there. Stevie would have said, you know, this could just simply bounce up to Stevie's red line. It did neither because the next day it tested the bottom of that hammer candle. Okay, so didn't get any follow through. Then what happens on the trading session of August 7th, another hammer candle forms. Then the next day that was yesterday. That move created another bullish reversal signal out here. So what we know on a daily basis, if you're out here fishing, Craig, I understand why you're fishing out, which you'd really like to see here. Prices, as we said, trading back below the daily profile. Not really a good scene out here. Of course, you were talking about intermediate term timeframe on a daily basis. You really want to see this close above 20 79 to suggest that a change in trend or at least a move up to 25 24 would be an outcome, a likely outcome. If we take a look at the weekly timeframe, well, here's what we also know. We know that prices moving lower, doing less relative energy out there. And since the intermediate term timeframe is a timeframe that you're really most interested in, I'm going to suggest you wait for a bullish reversal signal. Now that wouldn't come or the earliest that would come to be, let's say next Friday out there. But you're looking at intermediate term now here gives a potential first resistance level on the way up is 28 92. Let's go take a look at the monthly timeframe chart just for the heck of it. And see if we see anything out here. And we don't see anything only a wave count number four to the downside. Forming that high with that roads momentum indicator top out there. So pay attention to the weekly and the daily daily is telling you, it's trying to form a bottom now make the weekly prove itself to you, Craig, before you go ahead and fire away. So thanks for writing in. Hey, folks, I want to hear from you too. But let's go to the markets. Let's try to do the markets that I see we've got to take a look at what questions about the S&P and the dollar and so forth. So we'll take a look at those items, but let's start with the market. See what they've done here. Now, as you may know, if you've been listening to the show, we've certainly been paying attention to some of the intraday timeframe charts out there. One of those is the two hour timeframe chart. Now the reason is we talked about that wave number seven. That was letter G and L Coa. How that identified a top out here. Well, the two hour chart identified the bottom the low so far. The low of the week was with wave number seven. That's letter G at the bottom of my screen. Now what took place yesterday? What took place yesterday was the market coming into the close formed a beautiful Gertley cell pattern, which was not confirmed until the equity futures contract opened back up at the open because there was a little there was this little gap to the downside. It wasn't really little, but there was a gap to the downside. So you have then plus price had made it right up to resistance. We had been talking about the 29, 33, 50 level. Yeah, price got just above it right at four o'clock. And but but the reality is, hey, you've got a Gertley cell pattern. Now what price is not done is pulled back to its level of support its level of support being 28, 31, 50. We are in this part, by the way, does not complete until 2pm. But it appears what is going on here is it's trying to form a TD set up nine count pattern. Now, if it does, you wouldn't get a confirmation of that till 4pm. So not anything that you can trade off of. And there's no guarantee that this is the pattern that will form out here. It's just what is present at the moment. So where is it that the ES mini maybe is headed to? If it's not going to bottom with that TD set up nine count for that, we just take a look at any Gertley pattern. So all Gertley patterns, we're going to go into the break here. So I'm going to have to finish this up when we come back. But all Gertley patterns have an A to B equal CD. You can see the 1 to 1 price projection here at the 29 37 level. We use that as a guideline. We know it's formed. We know it completed because it had that various reversal signal. Now we take a look at Fibonacci retracement. So it has not even made the point 382 retracement. We'll be right back. If you're not currently using the Taz profile scanner when looking at setting up your trading opportunities, then your arsenal is short a mighty weapon. The Taz profile scanner is a standalone piece of software that instantly filters over 2500 global financial markets such as stocks, ETFs, commodity futures and forex headed by Steve Dahl. Taz understands that in today's technological world, the use of top flight software applications and technical analysis expertise is essential to successful trading in today's market. You also gain access to the webinar that Steve Dahl and Tom O'Brien just hosted the best way to use the Taz profile scanner to profit. This webinar archive is available for all subscribers immediately upon signing up. All new subscriptions also come with a 30 day money back guarantee so you have nothing to risk. Start your subscription by visiting the front page of TFNN.com today and you'll find the Taz profile scanner under the services tab. Sign up today. Are you in the market for buying or selling real estate in the Bay Area, including the surrounding St. Petersburg Tampa and Clearwater markets? Tiger Real Estate LLC is a firm that has extensive experience in the Tampa Bay Area. Whether you're looking to sell your current property for maximum value or you're in the market for a second home or investment property, Tiger Realty has the experience across all areas of real estate in the Tampa Bay Area to help buyers and sellers make the most informed decisions across all price levels. From the price you should be paying per square foot in certain up and coming areas to the type of cash flow investment properties are capable of creating, Tiger Real Estate can help you make the best decision when it comes to all areas of the market. Before you make one of the biggest decisions of your financial future, call Tiger Real Estate LLC today at<PHONE_NUMBER> or email us at tiger at TFNN.com. That's<PHONE_NUMBER>. Call us today. Many of our new listeners have heard about the Tiger's Den. The Tiger's Den is a lively community where professional traders and investors can meet, exchange ideas and information in a comfortable, moderated atmosphere. Hear all of the TFNN shows, plus see all of the charts as they happen live and have access to archives of all of those charts. You can test drive the Tiger's Den absolutely free for 30 days and greatly enrich your knowledge of these markets and how to make your money work for you. Details on the Tiger's Den are on the front page of TFNN.com. TFNN has launched our brand new website. You can still visit us at the same TFNN.com URL, but when you do you'll see a new and improved homepage with a much simpler navigation, whether you're watching Tiger TV live in high definition or just accessing your newsletter subscriptions. We even have new pricing in six months and yearly options. Check out the new TFNN.com now and experience all the latest updates TFNN.com educating investors. Call now toll free at 1-877-927-6648 internationally at<PHONE_NUMBER>. Welcome back folks. Oh, one last thing for Craig out there on Alcoa. This is a chart here monthly time frame chart for Alcoa going back to 1997. And it's got its horizontal trading ranges on here, both the monthly and the weekly. And another reason for Craig or anybody to be taken a look at Alcoa to confirm the bottoming patterns that we looked at out there is the fact that prices sitting right in 1941, 1934 has had the largest number of closes or opens on a monthly time frame going back to 1997. There have been 20 right within a few pennies of that level in 2129 on the weekly time frame. If price breaks through this area, there's no bullish reversal signal that Craig is looking for. Then price could get all the way back down to the lows in 2009 and that 991 level out there. So back to the Gartley pattern. So when you have a Gartley cell, we've got an absolute Gartley cell. There's really five different outcomes. The first four are the ones that are on our screen, the ones that we pay attention to. So the first outcome of this pattern would be a .382 retracement, which is 2877. Price has not gotten there. If price doesn't get there and these highs are taking out, and so far our interpretation of this Gartley cells, this is a very strong bullish market out here. That's the only message. The normal retracement of this pattern, and I'm not saying it's not going to happen. I'm just saying we're going to take a look at the chart right now. And at 119, this pattern went into effect last night at 601 p.m. When we had that gap, it really was at six. Of course, it was really by eight o'clock because it's two hour time frame chart and that gap. No, because the gap, yeah, because the gap was open for that two hour time frame out here. So and to not make a .382 retracement, look, if you're short and you're going on the weekend, you got to see price below 2877.  So those are the outcomes out here. If I take a look at the TAS market profiles for the two hour time frame, just simply so we can get a feel for what they are doing out here, whereas price, price is right now sitting in between the, well, it has bounced all the way up to the center line of the box. That's 2923, fairly equally distributed box out there. So I won't say there's a benefit to buyers or sellers, just that there's buyers and sellers hovering at 2923, uncertain as to what to do. So that's what's going on from a short term standpoint. Koda had asked about the megaphone pattern on the S&P 500. Are you referring to my megaphone? But no, you're not. But let's just take a look at the S&P 500 the following way out here. Here's what we know about the ES mini, because that's really, and I'll switch over to the S&P, but Koda, I'm going to be able to provide you the better information by taking a look at the equity futures contract out there. So here's what we know at this stage of the game. First of all, if we take a look at the retracement off of the bottom, it basically stopped at about the 0.618 retracement level as well, 2932. So it's a normal countertrend rally move out here is to get up to the 0.618 level and it's since sold off. But of course you and I just really focused on that two hour chart. We're not seeing much of a failure at this stage of the game, not as of 1.21. Okay, so we know that. We also know that the TAS market profiles formed a brand new one. It formed above price. Let's get rid of the Fibonacci retracement out here. Let's take a look at our new profiles code and see how they formed above the top of price. So the general meaning there is this is a bearish pattern, but it also means that price could or should bounce up to 2977 before we see that's where the countertrend rally should fail at this stage of the game out here. So 2977, if we put those retracements back up there, that gets us to the 0.786 retracement. That is a third outcome of any type of a Gertle buy pattern. Now we don't have a Gertle buy pattern here on the daily chart. The reason that we don't have a Gertle buy pattern on a daily time frame chart, we take a look at the ES mini, is because we did not get a bullish reversal candle out here. So at this stage, then Kota, it's possible price doesn't make it to 2977. It's possible that 2948, Stevie's Green Line, is the end of the road of that countertrend rally out there. But between 2948 and 2977 is what I would be looking at. I don't know if that makes sense to you from Stevie's megaphone aspect, but at this stage here, when we put this together and we combined that, remember yesterday we spent some time on the New York Stock Exchange and we definitely spent time on the spot volatility index. We want to become aficionados of that. If we take a look at the New York Stock Exchange, what we don't like, what bulls would not like out here, is the fact that the advanced decline oscillator turned down at this descending trend line that's been in place since July the third out there. So it's still below zero. And when the advanced decline oscillator is below zero, Kota, there is only one way that Stevie will communicate to you what it is communicating to us. And that is that sellers are in control. So sellers are in control of the New York Stock Exchange. We can then go take a look at what the spot volatility index is doing. It is above the 50-day expansion moving average. That's 1551. We're trading at 1788. That is also a bad scene out here. So with regard to what we take a look at going on in the ES mini out there, the New York Stock Exchange, where price is trading on the spot volatility index, where Stevie's green line is at on the daily time frame chart, this is still a countertrend rally. What we're trying to figure out is where does that rally end out here in today, a light trading volume day. I don't know what the proper interpretation of that is. We just know that there's been less than a .382 retracement of a effective Gertley sell pattern that is out there. So I hope that helps you out with regard to that. Now you also wanted to take a look at the US dollar index out here. So to do that, let's take a look at where the US dollar index is trading in relationship to its TAS market profiles. Let's at least begin there. And so here's what we know. We know that the price is trading below and I'm going to focus on the daily time frame. That's right panel. Well, it's going to be the full panel right now. So here's what we know. We know that the US dollar index topped out here, by the way, on August the 1st. Now when it topped using the daily time frame chart, it generated that TD set up nine count pattern. It was bar number eight. Remember, it's bars eight, nine, or the bar following nine out here. So it effectively generated a nice topping signal wave counts. Where were we? We were in only wave number five. That's OK. Remember, there's a handful of patterns, four or five, that are going to be effective at helping us to identify tops and bottoms out there. And that's really, that's really the skill set that you and I want to be able to master. And what we also know, Kota, is that when, when price does make a top, that our first expectation should not be that it's the end of the run, just that price is going to go down and test support. Now for support, you and I use really two different things out here. We use our task market profiles, as you can see, and as we looked at prices trading slightly below the bottom of the profile. So that is directionally bearish out here. So sellers in essence are in control, but price had pushed down right to its prior breakout level 96. And that's the real key area, 96.985. That was tested, that was rejected on August 6th. I remember we were looking at that. We were saying, look at how the U.S. Dollar index has held support. But what it hasn't done is it needs to get above Stevie's green line. That's 97.58. If it does that, then a continued run higher, at least to 97.81, and the top of its profile 98.40 would be the call out there. But that's not the call. It's trading in between, it's kind of like in a, it's between support and resistance. Resistance either the bottom of the box or Stevie's green line, either of those, but above support, which is the breakout level out here for the U.S. Dollar index on a daily time frame chart. This is Steve Rhodes with TFNN. Hope you're right there. The path of least resistance is David White's daily trading newsletter. And if you're looking for active trading ideas, then now is a perfect time for a 30 day free trial to this powerful daily trading advisory service. David uses his years of trading experience to offer his subscribers his trading ideas each morning in his path of least resistance newsletter. Using a combination of equity trades along with options, David keeps his subscribers up to date with all pertinent market information with intraday afternoon updates when warranted. Don't miss out on this great chance to get a 30 day free trial to David's daily newsletter, the path of least resistance with no obligation to pay anything. David has been delivering solid recommendations for his subscribers recently and if you'd like to see the type of newsletter he delivers every morning, then visit the front page of TFNN and you'll find the path of least resistance under trading newsletters. For all the details, and to start your 30 day free trial today, log on to TFNN.com now. TFNN is excited about our new software charting program The Art of Timing the Trade Charts. 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Don't miss out on this incredible new piece of software Get your copy of The Art of Timing the Trade Charts today by visiting tfnn.com This segment is brought to you by Think or Swim. For more information, just click the Think or Swim banner on the front page of tfnn.com. Welcome back, folks. So one of our dinners, Peter in the den, wanted to take a look at gold priced in the other major currencies. Actually, we have the US dollar. That's the left hand panel. Panel number two from the left is gold priced in euros. Next to that is gold in yen. And next to that is gold in Great British Pounds. And his question was, he was curious as to whether they were trading at all-time highs in those currencies. And the answer is, in terms of euros and in terms of pounds, the answer is yes. They are trading at all-time highs. In terms of yen, it's made a slightly higher high. Euros is getting up towards that level. That level would be right around 1,391 euros for an ounce of gold out here. But you can see that in terms of US dollars, well away from its all-time high out there. Now, the cool thing is, longer term, what's the message here for gold? The message is, this is not how tops form for gold in gold priced in dollars out here. So you can just clearly see traders around the globe doing what they can to get into US-oriented assets or out of their currencies and certainly stock up here. So that's what's going on, Peter, when we take a look at gold priced in those currencies and always happy to assist there. But markets do not, they will all top at approximately the same time. And in the case of US dollars, you can see we're way away from that level out there. So longer term, that doesn't mean we don't have a pullback or things along those lines. But so hopefully that helps you out. Let me get rid of this chart here. I don't really need that taken up but time and space save that page. No. Okay, so there was another question that had come in earlier in the day and it was if I could re-review, re-review the fact that lower interest rates, which is what you hear the folks on the boob tube talking about, do not result in higher prices in the stock market. So it's just a matter of just taking a look at the facts out here. So here are the facts. I went ahead and just put this together. It's really pretty quick out here when we take a look at this. And it's just really about determining myth versus fact. And the myth that would be out there that people are pushing is that if interest rates rise, the stock market will go down. Or it would have to be vice versa. If interest rates decline, the stock market will go up. Well, you and I have a set of tools where we can determine whether there's any legitimacy to this. Is this a myth or a fact? Well, here is our correlation tool. And I snapped this probably around 11 o'clock this morning or so. The top of this chart is the 30-year treasury bond rate. And the bottom of the chart is the S&P 500 or the next level. And the very bottom is the correlation tool. Now, correlation tool, I have this set to the smallest correlating time period that I could use, which is a five-day period. And the correlation tool, what this does is it looks at that average over the last five days. And if there's a directional correlation, meaning interest rates go up and the S&P goes up, then the bar will be above zero. Now, here we're taking, you can see the majority of these bars are above zero. If the fact was, the fact was that if interest rates rise and the stock market was going to go down, all these bars would be below zero.  This tells you so far a myth. Now, let's not stop with the 30-year rate. Let's go take a look at the 10-year T-note out here. So again, the top portion is the 10-year rate. The next portion, the S&P 500. And after that, the correlation. As you can see out here, there's no inverse correlation. It's mostly correlated. If the interest rates are rising, the stock market is rising out there. We don't have to stop there. We can just simply look at the five-year T-note rate. And we take a look at this. We have the same outcome. So we've looked at three different interest rate vehicles out here. And they all communicate the same thing. And that same thing is what the big picture tells us. So here's the 13-week T-bill out here. Now, the 13-week T-bill against that of the five-time period out here, it looks to me like it's 50, 50, 60, 40, something like that. But much more clear when we take a look at the five-year rate, the 10-year rate, the 30-year rate out there. And when we take a look at long-term out here, go back for the last quarter of a century. Go back to 1992 to 1995 when we had interest rates rising. This is using the 13-week T-bill. This is the top portion of the chart. The bottom of the chart is the S&P 500. And, yes, you can say that when Trump comes on the air and wants to bash the Federal Reserve, all Powell has to do is just show him this set of charts out there. He doesn't have to talk. He can just say, you know what, let me give you a set of charts so that everybody understands what interest rates do to the stock market. Here, October 1998 to October 2000. Take a look, the S&P rose by 30%. We don't have to stop there. We go to 2003 to 2007. Interest rates are rising. The stock market, the S&P rose by 44%. And we can, of course, take a look at since September of 2015, in essence through February of 2019 out there. And what did we see? The S&P rising by, I guess, 45. Maybe I don't know if I have my, yeah, 45%. Yeah, 44% last time, 45% this time. It's really equivocal.  It was all before Steve shared with you the actual facts out here. So there you go. So it's not unusual that Powell reduced rates. And on top of that and the market started moving lower out there. And people are asking for more rate reductions out there. I just want to, yeah, well, you saw me do that. Just hit myself upside the head with a two by four.   Can you believe, you know, these guys are paid pretty well in the media. Can you believe that nobody, and they've got technical traders on there. I wonder where their heads at because I haven't heard anybody come out and just share the actual facts out there and the actual reality. But why that is, I don't know. Okay, enough of that. Let's go to our next question that came in. This coming in from Brent in Martinez, California. Brent wants to take a look at oil and natural gas. So let's take a look at both those for him. Let's start with the natural gas contract out here. Let me, oh geez, that didn't work. Give me a second here to punch that in properly. Natural gas, September. And let's also go take a look at our profiles out here for natural gas. U19, there we go. And so here's when I take a look at the natural gas set of charts out here. If we just simply take a look at the daily weekly profiles, Brent, we can see prices trading below both of them. So now it's really, so sellers in essence are the ones that are in control would be that meaning. And 2.183 is the bottom of that daily timeframe box out here. And I don't have any new profile or anything that is forming. Okay, so we know that. Yeah, price has been kind of trading, chopping around sideways. In essence, that's what our five-hour and our two-hour chart is showing us out here. If we look to the daily timeframe, is there any kind of a bottoming signal out here? And I just don't have one. If we do the wave counts out here, and we're gonna have to finish this up at the break, only in wave number five to the downside. Let's come back. Let's take a look at the weekly. Let's try to wrap our head around natural gas, light sweet crude. And of course, I want to hear from you.<PHONE_NUMBER>. Hope you're right. The investment is anywhere from $30,000 to $75,000. The interest paid is 7% yearly paid on a monthly basis. According to bankrate.com, the best rate for a four-year CD in the country as of February 20th is 3.1%. A $50,000 investment at a normal four-year CD rate of 3.1% would give you income of $1,550 per year, or $6,200 over the four-year period. That same $50,000 investment in the Tiger First Mortgage Program would give you $3,500 per year, or $14,000 over the four years. What should you prefer? $6,200 or $14,000 of interest on your investment. If you'd like more information about the Tiger First Mortgage Program, you can call me at<PHONE_NUMBER>. That's<PHONE_NUMBER>. If you haven't checked out the newsletters page of TFNN.com, what are you waiting for? All of the TFNN newsletters are informative, up-to-date, affordable, and a must-have for every trader looking to gain a competitive informational edge in today's markets. TFNN newsletters cover every aspect of the markets to offer you the very latest in market news. Plus, new subscribers get to test drive our newsletters risk-free for 30 days. From all aspects of the markets, including stocks, bonds, metals, commodities and tech, there's a newsletter to fit your needs exclusively from TFNN. Stay informed each day you trade and get the competitive edge that will help you stay ahead of the game. Visit our newsletters page by going to TFNN.com and click the newsletters button near the top of the page. TFNN.com Educating Investors Biotech is booming, but for how long? Whether you think the Biotech Bull has room to run or has run its course, trade LABU or LABD, Directions Daily S&P Biotech three times, bull and bear ETFs. Visit Direction Investments.com slash Biotech today. An investor should consider the investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses of the Direction Shares carefully before investing. The Prospectus and Summary Prospectus contain this and other information about Direction Shares. To obtain a Prospectus or Summary Prospectus, please contact Direction Shares at<PHONE_NUMBER>. The Prospectus or Summary Prospectus should be read carefully before investing. An investment in the funds is subject to risk including the possible loss of principal. The funds are designed to be utilized only by sophisticated investors such as traders and active investors. Distributor, Four Side Fund Services, LLC. Welcome back, folks. So let's take a look at the natural gas. We began looking at the daily timeframe chart here. And what we don't have is any kind of bottom signal that you and I like to look for. I don't have an A to B equals CD to the downside that I could really paint in here. We're in wave number five. That's letter E. And so let's go to a longer-term timeframe long-term. Let's go to the weekly. Let's look at the weekly and the monthly. First, let me do the monthly. And the monthly says this. The monthly shows that this month should be the eighth bar of a TD set up nine count. Now, what you like about that is the last time the natural gas bottomed, it was with bar number eight. Now, that happened to be back in March of 2016. So maybe this is a repeat performance here. Of course, we won't know if this pattern is going to complete and generate itself until the end of September out there. But at least at this stage, it's forming a similar type of a bottom to a significant bottom back in 2016, so a reason to be looking. So then that says, all right, so we know the daily doesn't really have the bottoming signal we want. But what's the weekly chart show us out here at the intermediate-term timeframe? Well, what it shows us is that it topped with a TD set up nine count. So that's the high out here. If we do our wave count from that, we can see that this week is extended into wave number six. Wave number seven, the earliest it could happen would be two weeks from now, two weeks from now. So I would prefer to wait to see seventh wave move. That would be letter G form inside natural gas. And if that's what's really going on, this choppiness area out here, maybe here to stay for a while. At least a couple of weeks out here for natural gas. So I just don't see the bottom. We can see Stevie's red line or we can see the top of the weekly profile has acted as resistance. So that's helpful to us. But now let's just say Brent maybe is interested or somebody else is interested in a shorter term trade out here with regard to natural gas. We can see on the 60, well, that's light sweet crude. Sorry, let's just take a look at this chart here for natural gas. What do we know? Brent, the 60 minute timeframe chart seems to be providing you and I with the best support level signal out here. So from a trading standpoint, the last time that we got a TD set up nine count to the upside is where we have our support. And that's at 2.073. We can see that even earlier this morning that level was tested and in essence it held. There was a slight close just below that, but it didn't stay below that. That was a nine o'clock. It didn't stay below 2.073 for very long and it's rallied off of that. We can also see that this resistance level at 2.16 out here, that's a pretty key area of resistance. Price has not been able to get above that, but if you were playing it interday to the upside or maybe the next time price comes down to 2.07 and holds out there, then you're watching 216 as a key level that price would. So that's really the range that I see out here when I look at the different charts for natural gas. Price trading between at the bottom around 2.07 and a resistance around 2.16 out there. So that's what I see now. You would ask about LightSuite Crude as well. And then LightSuite Crude and you would identify, identified in your email that the daily charts were better. And you're right. You're absolutely right. Now, if we take a look at LightSuite Crude, here's what we know. We know that it topped out here with a rose momentum indicator top. It does that on April 23rd. And if we start doing our wave count, well, it gets to wave number six back on the week of the Daily Chart. We're like on June 5th, 2019 out here. And then it makes up four waves the upside and then we're in wave number three of the downside or if we just extend from the top out here from April 23rd, that'll take us to wave number seven, singing the key of G. And since then, and that completed an A to B equals CD pattern. However, no bullish reversal candle. So it becomes really hard to say the A to B equals CD pattern has taken hold. The price is trading above Stevie's green line, 5440. It's actually red. But if price can close above 5440, Brent, what we ought to see is a move. Let's get back to LightSuite Crude and take a look at its profiles out here. What we ought to see LightSuite Crude is top out at a brand new daily profile that is attempting to form right now. And the top of that daily is 5633. And the bottom of the weekly is 5228. That's the key area of resistance. Closing above that would most certainly be bullish out there and say that that wave number seven or letter G was the real deal for LightSuite Crude. If I take a look at the weekly timeframe for LightSuite Crude and we try to find some type of bottom, all that we can find is support. And support, oh wait a minute, is this is the, that's the wrong contract. I got told on a second here, we got to change this. We got to change this up. Geez, little wheeze out here. Okay. Hey, Stevo, it does help if you're going to analyze something to make sure you're analyzing the right thing. Okay, so here, here's what we know about LightSuite Crude from a weekly standpoint. Support is 50.05. Now price has been down to that level or near that level three different times. The most recent this week didn't get down there. Now you may have a bullish hammer candle right at support out here, but price on a weekly basis, not above Stevie's red line, 56.38. But if it can close above that on a weekly, we gave you the numbers on the daily. Again that run to the 59.59-ish area would really be its message out there. So that's what I see in taking a look at LightSuite Crude. If I go over to the short-term timeframe for LightSuite Crude and really what you look for here is you look for resistance levels to fail. Those are the green horizontal lines on my screen out here. So what we can see is the first one failed. That was at 52.76. The second one, I don't have it spread all the way across, but you can see it visually, 53.56. That says that where price is headed to on a 30-minute timeframe, the next resistance level being 55.14. Now the caution as we speak right now on a 30-minute timeframe chart at 148 is the fact that this is now the bar following bar nine of a TD setup nine count. And we know that the bar following bar nine, if that's a higher high than bars eight or nine, that this can be a topping signal. So at 1.49 in the afternoon, you don't want to chase this and instead you want to try to buy the first pullback, the ideal pullback on a 30-minute basis if you're convinced that the weekly and the daily timeframe charts are signaling a possible buy a bullish bottom, that wave number G and so forth. Then right now it would be 52.96. That would be the level of some type of pullback to that area of support from a 30-minute timeframe for LightSuite crude. So Brent, thanks for writing in. I hope that helps answer your question with regard to both natural gas and LightSuite crude. Lee B writes in, he says, Hey, Steve, hey, Lee, can you look at glue? G-L-U-U out here, we can. So let's go take a look at, oh, well, let's put it in here. I don't know how long glue has been trading. I'm just looking at their profiles out here, but let's go to the three different time frames. So the question that Lee has is, you're looking to buy in for a long-term hold out here. So here's what we know about glue, which is glue mobile. Well below, got snookered last week and that snookering took price down to the center of its quarterly profile, $4.29 cents out there, bullish in structure. So a bullish level held. If it doesn't hold, if price continues to move lower, $3.36 would be the next move to the downside. But what we want to see out here as we come back from this break, folks, is did glue G-L double U? Did it form some type of bottoming signal on the daily timeframe when it had a gap to the downside with big volume? I don't know. Let's go find out. Steve wrote the TFNN, we'll be right back. Since 1984, Basil Chapman has been using the Chapman Wave methodology to advise traders of his expert market opinion. While originally hand-drawing charts from the late 1970s into the 1980s, Basil noticed that prices under most circumstances virtually always had a certain number of likes to the upside before declining sharply. Later, Basil found that computer software, which included the standard market technical indicators, enhanced the degree of accuracy in calling price turns as well as market trend calls. Thus was born the Chapman Wave sequence. Using the Chapman Wave methodology, along with other indicators, Basil Chapman advises his subscribers of his expert market opinion each market day with his opening call newsletter. Right now, you can get a two-week free trial to the opening call, Basil's daily trading newsletter, by visiting the front page of TFNN.com. Cancel at any time during that trial and pay absolutely nothing. Get your two-week free trial to Basil's newsletter, the opening call today by visiting TFNN.com. HUI, GDX, The Dollar, Bonds, South African Rand, as well as 25 different mining equities with specific buy-sell recommendations. As of April 1st of this year, the Gold Report currently has eight active positions with an average unrealized profit of almost 8% for each open trade. New subscribers get a 30-day money-back guarantee so you have nothing to risk. For all the details and to start your Gold Report subscription today, visit the front page of TFNN.com.  Sign up today. You know what's cool? Taking something that's good for you. Something specifically formulated to help with weight loss, better sleep, stress reduction, and the need to detox. Niko, our hunter and gatherer ancestors found all their nutritional requirements for health in their wild environment. But today, our food sources no longer contain the vitamins, minerals, and nutrients our bodies need to stay healthy and strong. That's why we need primal-edge daily nutrition. It includes a special blend of ionic, oil-based vitamins, minerals, fatty, and amino acids in an easy-to-use liquid form. Primal-edge is powered by highly concentrated folic and humic acids. Nature's preferred delivery system. They've been called miracle molecules because, like sunlight, air and water, life not exists without them. That's right, Paige. They ensure we receive all the nutrition we need to be healthy and thrive. We take it every morning. Primal-edge, formulated and approved by Niko and Paige of Living at Primal Lifestyle. Buy it today for just $89. Click on the Primal-edge banner on the front page of TFNN.com. This is David White.  Welcome back, folks. So we're taking a look at ticker symbol G-L-U-U out here. Lee's looking at a long-term type of hold out here. So here's what we know, Lee, as we take a look at the monthly timeframe chart. We know that it topped with wave number seven. That's letter G. It's why you and I always pay attention to that, since it's backed off. But what price is not done. So when you top with a pattern, we always look for price to move back to support. So you're thinking long-term, price is below the bottom of its bullish structured monthly profile out there. We know that the breakout level for G-L-U-U took place at $358 on a monthly timeframe chart. So $358 has to be the number that you should be thinking about. That's at least what the monthly says. Let's go take a look at the weekly out here, see what we see. So on a weekly timeframe chart, we do wave counts to the downside, get to wave number four out here. This has $366 as a breakout area. So again, this is also suggesting lower price. We don't see a bottom. This did have a short-term bottom on a weekly base with a TD set up nine count. Lasted for two, four weeks out there. And then last week, just got the kibosh kicked out of it. And on a daily timeframe chart, it is true that price was pushing lower, is pushing lower, with less relative energy. And you did get a hammer candle a couple days ago. But if this was going to form the bottom, you would see price close over $578. That's the top of its daily profile out there. If that happens, man, then you're going to be dealing with this entire gap out here. But at this stage of the game, you're looking for a long-term hold. Stevie says the charts say, long-term, you need to just be patient and wait to see if price will pull back to that weekly or daily breakout level. Well, folks, it's been a great week. It's been a wild week to say the least. But I think we have a bunch more wild weeks ahead. I don't want to thank you very much for being here. Thank everybody for setting in requests of questions or the guys and gals inside the Tiger's Den and the callers that we have out there. It always makes it easier for me, the show, run smoother mostly because I'm giving you the information that you're asking for. And all we're doing is just reading the chart patterns. We don't care who's tweeting what, who's saying what. What are buyers and sellers saying? What patterns are they making? Hey, I'll tell you a pattern you should make. Just go have a great weekend. And we'll see you again Monday afternoon. Take care, folks.