This is covering the spread part of the Fandall podcast network It's because of mother nature, but we've actually got ourselves a pretty fun day of baseball and tap for today We've got game five between the Guardians and the Yankees game one between the Padres and the Phillies as well We're gonna break it down with Rob Friedman pitching Ninja getting his read on both those games and talking about the NLB NLCS in general and I'll get my first look at week number seven in the NFL This is covering the spread right here on the Fandall podcast network and number fire calm My name is Jim saw this I am a senior writer and analyst for number fire calm join here once again Bye Rob Friedman check out his work over on Twitter at pitching Ninja find him on MLB Peacock Fox Nesson wherever you can swim in baseball Rob is probably there and Rob Fun day of baseball on tap. How you doing today? I am doing well. I'm well rested. There is no yeah yesterday So I'm ready my fingers are ready. I was gonna ask you like you gotta rest those up get those all set I don't know what my stats are on one day's rest, but I think they're pretty good We're talking about that so I'm gonna talk about that that Yankees Guardians games It's a pretty fun setup for that one a lot of interesting dynamics at play Like I said, we'll talk about MLNFL week seven later on we'll talk about Recap last week as well But first let's start things off with game five Guardians at Yankees Nester Cortez starting on short rest here for the for the Yankees Aaron Savalli in line to start for the Guardians sounds like Shane Bieber probably we're probably gonna see him at some point For tonight. I want to ask you about the Guardians the second but first Nester Cortez on short rest He seemed like he changed his approach a bit in that first playoff game kind of reverting back to it seemed to me at least Some of the stuff he was doing earlier on this year when he was more effective What do you see in that first star from Cortez and what do you think that translates to tonight on short rest, you know I am for one. I'm not worried about him on on short rest as much as I would be about Bieber I think you know number one It's it's an elimination game like you got to bring your best and and adrenaline overcomes a lot of stuff You know, he's not a guy that relies on Velo. He relies on craftiness And so I kind of like that. I thought the the first game a lot of elevated cutters Which is an effective pitch for him that that cutters a is a nasty pitch not a lot of Messing with timing and stuff, which is you know, who knows maybe you'll do a little bit more of that Because stuff might be a tiny bit down on a little bit less rest But I'm not expecting it to have a big impact on him. He'll be good I think the other thing too with that is you're seeing a team for the second time in a couple of days Now I worry about this a lot when I'm betting in season where it's a pitchers second consecutive start against the exact same team I worry about that Do you think that with Cortez because he can change things up so much it better positions him to handle that kind of adverse Adverse situation that would be my instinct on it, you know I again, I don't have numbers to back it up But I do know that his variable arm slots as well as his just messing with timing in general and craftiness He's less predictable So I think you have a hard time like a cutter at a lower arm slaughter a curve ball at a lower arm slaughter Even a sinker or whatever it's gonna react differently than up here and he can do that He can make multiple pitches out of one pitch. So I kind of like that I expect to see him do that a little more and be a little craftier being at home, you know having to have an environment that Encourages that I think yeah fun for sure. So let's see Yankee side of things Let's talk about the Guardian side here because I gotta admit Rob I did bet the Guardians both last night and then when it reopened today With the reopened odds and part of the reason why I felt okay with betting the Guardians was because I think Arons of Valley is better than the results showed down the stretch So I think he'll be affected when he's out there But also having Shane Bieber waiting to fire that six sick bullpen behind them I feel like we're gonna see a low-scoring game and low-scoring games Tend to be a bit more chaotic. So if I can get plus 152 on the ink on the Guardians, which I can't right now If Andal sportsbook, I think that's a good situation But I want to ask you if you're Terry Francona, how are you handling this situation where you actually do have Pretty good options no matter what you want to do at your disposal To me Savalli is one of the most underrated pitchers Especially when you look at you look at his season stats and you're like the hell that Close But if you look at the last three months He's been really good and he had a 10k game mostly on curveballs I think they might have been all curveballs that game his curveball is one of the best curveballs in the major leagues And and the stats back that up So I wouldn't be like I wouldn't sleep on him and think that you're getting the guy with these Inflated stats. He's a competitor and has really good stuff I think they would like to not pitch Bieber if they can only because you know Bieber has been outstanding this year. No doubt, you know one of the top pitchers in the league He doesn't rely on Velo this year mostly because his Velo is down because of his shoulder Struggles and I don't think they want to encourage that like I think they he to me. He is a little bit more Somebody I would protect that doesn't mean he won't get in the game and it doesn't mean he doesn't want to get in the game I know he wants to get a freaking Garrett Cole said he would pitch on on, you know, basically Yeah, and you know what he will because he's a competitor He wants to win and I think it sends a message to the team sends a message to both teams if Bieber, you know Bieber absolutely is available. Will he pitch depends on the situation I think they're gonna ride Savalli for for as long as they can Hopefully bridge him to their bullpen. You're right. That's wet rested ton of great arms there and you top it off with Arguably the best closer in baseball. I would say Diaz is the best closer But class A is at worst one B and if you can get him I mean, maybe even two innings out of him and yet Karen check and you got Stefan I mean, they're they're loaded in their bullpen and you're right.  They could win Yeah, so Valley after he came back the first time from well, I guess the second time I don't hear a lot of injuries this year the first when he came back in August his curveball usage from then on 29.7% up from 27.5% overall that game against Detroit you referenced 43.9% I'm guessing if it's a must win situation They're probably gonna let that thing cook if it's if it's working and I feel like that's why I have some faith in him personally Yeah, I mean if you haven't watched him pitch this year that dude's curveball is it's pretty and it's a hammer Like it is a it is a high spin rate hammer and I would just keep going to it Like if that's working keep going to that You don't have the luxury of of saying let's wait it out and see what's gonna happen a sec second time through You're gonna go at it with your best pitches. You're gonna see a lot of curveballs is my guess Yeah, and hopefully I can that can lead the Guardians to victory because I need that ticket to cash So we'll see what the Guardians can do in this one Let's now talk about the NLDS or NLCS because we've got I keep saying NLDS I have a problem with that too. There's all these and now blah blah blah, right? There's too many things going on today We get the Phillies at the Padres for game number one is Zach Wheeler going up against you Darvish And we've seen both these guys twice in the playoffs. What have you seen? From them in the playoffs so far. Who do you think has the edge in this matchup for game one? Yeah, I mean they're both really really good pitchers for one and I've seen them at the top of their game Darvish, you know with all his weapons, it doesn't matter how many times you see him when a dude's got 12 different pitches He can mix it up. However, he wants to he also mess with timing every once in a while, too Like he's a crafty veteran that has throws hard too. Like he's been 95 97 Wheeler obviously has has great Velo sharp stuff. I thought he's looked really good I expected to be a low-scoring game you know, this is my type of pitching matchup where you have two top-tier pitchers aces going at each other and You know against two good lineups to these are quality teams I know everybody's looking at it going boy Shocker every you know, you have the Braves and the Dodgers out of it The Mets not there look at these teams and you can see like the rise of their bullpens at the end of the year I mean you have Alvarado who's been Just freakin lights out you have hater that's come back from the dead and now is as dominant hater again You know, these teams didn't get there by luck. They're good teams. So this should be a fun series I expect today to be a pitchers duel. I'm hoping it's a pitchers duel. I mean, I picked it to be a pitchers duel today I have Wheeler I think for for five K's and Darvish for six K's wouldn't be surprised to see Darvish get a little more than that But yeah, I mean I expected to be a pitchers duel, which means it probably won't be you know, I Hope so because I like these two guys a lot Darvish and Wheeler to my favorite pitchers to watch total in this game is seven runs right now under is Minus 122 so they are expecting a pitchers duel as well, but also like I get it I think that that is the way I lean here and it is not just the starters. You mentioned the bullpens, too I have like these horrible flashbacks of the Phillies. I had their money line in like May or June They're up like nine nothing and they lost and like I keep thinking about that But when you look at the data behind their bullpen now, it seems very different Who has the edge at the back end for this series? That is a super question because I agree with you 1,000% the Phillies knock has always been their bullpen. Yeah, and instead now I Arguably, it's a strength of theirs. I mean yeah moving efflin back there was useful But Sir Anthony Dominguez legit could close for a ton of teams I mean a hundred mile an hour of fastball Just nasty stuff and then Alvarado has his k-rate is through the roof And you know, it's tough like I don't know. I don't know who has the edge I would normally say the Padres Because the Padres have filth in their bullpen as well, but it's close. I mean, this is a close series I think I think it is to and that should means it should be a fun series as well I'm excited to sit back Just enjoy some baseball both with game five and with game one of the NLCS for today That is Rob Friedman check him out on Twitter at pitching ninja find his work at Fox MLB Peacock and Nessan Rob. Enjoy the baseball for today. Enjoy game five and game one Hopefully they you can rest up those fingers and be good on extended rest for today. Good luck. They're they're so ready I am ready Thank you, Rob. I'll talk to you again soon. Thank you Alrighty, that was Rob Freeman check him out on Twitter at pitching ninja once again check out his work at Fox MLB Peacock and Nessan will dive into NFL week number seven here in just one second But first don't forget to subscribe to the covering the spread podcast feed wherever you get your podcast We have a daily shows here every weekday. We have a Monday football previews We've got these Tuesday shows the first look college football on Wednesdays NFL Thursday And then a player prop show on Friday as well get all that by Describing to covering the spread wherever you get your podcast also you can find all these shows up on the Fandall YouTube page in full After the fact twisted tea and Fandall have joined forces to bring you a one-of-a-kind contest series That gives you a chance to compete for your share of thousands of dollars in psych credit Introduce a twisted tease college football picks a sports betting focused contest series That's entirely free to play the contest is simple each college football game will be assigned money lines spread at total markets With assigned points to each market All you have to do is make six selections based on those three markets and earn points for each correct selection you made If at the end of the day your score ranks among the best in the contest You'll be eligible for your share of psych credit at fandall.com Slash twisted tea picks and make your picks and remember, please drink Responsibly Let's take a look here week number seven in the NFL and as we've talked about a lot here recently I've running two separate models right now one of which is a traditional model the model use for betting That blends priors with 2022 data and then one that is just 2022 to kind of provide me a check of am I Reading things correctly, you know kind of a second check to make sure I've got the right read on games My traditional model one of these for betting has zero games showing at least two points of value for this week on the spread So it's a very efficient market there and the ones that are close The two to two points make me pretty uncomfortable from a spread perspective. So Last week and we'll talk about this in the recap. I had no spread bets the entire week I might wind up there once again instead. I'll be looking towards money lines and totals on the money line side of things I am showing at least two percentage points of value in five separate games One of them is Denver at minus 142 against the Jets I have been here at Denver plenty of times before and they bother the heck out of me Last night, I could not tell you how many times I got like anxiety looking at Denver Because I thought that I had a bet on them because I'm just so used to have being anxious for watching them And I did that was very nice to remember. Okay. You don't worry about this. This is fine That's one part of that's one part of why I'm hesitant to bet Denver at minus 142 The other one is that my 2022 only model which has no priors in it and does not view the Jets as being as trashy as Maybe the other one does it's actually showing value on the Jets at plus three. So I'm pretty torn on this I'm staying away. I think as of right now because I'm sick of rooting for Denver and sweating their games It's been not a fun experience. It is currently the biggest edge in my model for any game this week but again With the 2022 only model saying I don't know about that I in the overall sentiment that I've got around Denver I think I'm staying away if you want to go there at minus 142 my numbers say there's value But personally I have not made that bet and if I had to guess I don't think I will before Sunday either the second one showing value for me is a Seahawks at plus 250 against the Chargers There are still some sevens hanging out there from a spread perspective. So if you can get a seven I'd probably take that But I do like the money line at plus 250 as well I've got Seattle's win odds around 33% and the implied odds at plus 250 are 29% and The 33% win odds are in my traditional model the one that has a heavy prior on it and that prior Adores a chart because they were like a top five team for me preseason based on Expectations going in and they're frustrating The 2022 only model like Seattle even more and I think that's for obvious reasons the Chargers Get penalized there for how stupid they are in early downs like they are the most frustrating offense to watch of all time Like just a maddening offense based on the way they bottle up a freak isoid quarterback They refuse to let him show off those the skills so The 20 the the blended model that I like says Seattle money line the 2022 only model Says Seattle money line. So I will take the Seahawks money line at plus 250 I'm fully okay. If you want to go plus seven if you can get that as well I don't think we'll get back to seven most places shifted to six and a half at this point I don't think we'll get back to seven at any point. So I would take that now I personally I'm gonna go with the Seahawks money line plus 250 But plus seven also fully okay if you can get that at six and a half right now over at Fandle The final money line where I've got value is in the 49ers at plus 134 against the chiefs I've got their win odds at 46 percent versus 43 percent implied and my 2022 only model agrees with this one and thinking that There's value in the 49ers. I'm not betting this one right now because I want to see injury reports first The injuries on the defensive side for the 49ers are pretty big They missed a lot of guys last week Trent Williams is still out didn't play last week and Let's say I add in The Trent Williams injury if he sits again this week or add in some others I'm guessing it will shift the model to a point where The 49ers are no longer value because it's pretty thin right now above my threshold of where I'm willing to bet it If you take out some of those guys, they'll probably be either no value or slim enough value I wouldn't bet it. So I'm not taking this one the 49ers plus 134. I Will pass there. I'm also showing value on the Pittsburgh with Kenny Pittsburgh right now against Miami But that's pending Kenny picket stuff. So I'm probably not going to take that one either. They're showing value But I don't want the chance to be ruled out that secondary also had a lot of guys missing this past week didn't matter against Tom Brady for some reason, but I think it will against to a and Terry kill feel a lot all this week. So I am showing value on the 49ers and the Steelers I'm not betting it because I think once injuries are added more so those will no longer be values So holding off there So the only like spread or money line I have right now is Seattle plus 250 or plus 7 if you can get that And I'm probably gonna stand pat honestly I would need something to move pretty drastically to buy in somewhere else. So it's a pretty light weave me there There are two totals. I like this week. One is actually in that Seattle, Los Angeles game I want under 51 and a half at minus 106 both these defenses are not good. So that's concerning for sure, but I Just don't have the projected efficiency High enough in this game to justify a 51 and a half point total, which is the highest of the week I think it should probably be closer down to like 48 or so personally. I don't have a total model And I want to make that abundantly clear I'm betting this based off of projected efficiency and there are a lot more things that go into it than just that one number But Los Angeles lacks explosion on offense. That is better for unders than for overs I think Seattle could skew more towards the run this week than they have been they've actually been a pretty past-savvy team which is kind of like an FU to Russell Wilson it seems like but I Could see them being a bit more run heavy against Los Angeles than against other teams So I like under 51 and a half at minus 106 there The other I kind of like is Tennessee Indy over 42 and a half That's minus one tenant Fandle now This is a repeat divisional matchup and those tend to be lower scoring But based on research, I've done that tends to be more true when it involves a quarterback who is dependent on efficiency Matt Ryan and Ryan Tannehill in 2022 are not dependent on efficiency. They're not that great Neither these quarterbacks likely to be efficient Tennessee's defense just kind of stinks I think based on what my numbers are saying in the last week Potentially due to the Jonathan Taylor injury went super super past-savvy and they could revert back from that with if Taylor plays this week But I think they could do it again Just based on the fact that their offensive line is banged up and they might not be able to run the ball super effectively So I think the over here is the right way to go. So Three bets from me early on this week I got Seattle plus 250 or plus seven if you want to go with the spread think that's totally okay You can find that there I like that game to go under 51 and a half at minus 106 And I like the Titans Colts over 42 and a half at minus 110 And I think those will probably wind up being the full run out for me Barring player props later on this week barring some total movement and stuff like that I think that those three are probably likely my only three for this week So we'll talk more about week number seven on Thursday and our previous show and we'll break down College football as well for tomorrow, but first let's go back to last week and recap We had in last week's show on the college side of things We had Ben Stevens a sports grid on to preview week seven find Ben on the morning after on sports grid check him out on Twitter at Ben Scott Stevens He and Ed went head to head over Syracuse versus NC State and I mean both guys got something here Ed got the line movement And Ben got the win Ed had plus three and a half on NC State Ben laid the three and a half with Syracuse and this one closed the three So line did move in Ed's favor to get to three But Ben got the win NC State made it a four point game Pretty late in that game But Syracuse scored to go 17 to six and they held on and there to get the win 24 to 9 the final score there So Syracuse Getting a big win there now facing Clemson. We'll talk about that kingdom Sure tomorrow on the college football side of things and that did get the cover for Ben Ben also talked about checking out rushing props for mom mom ebery Moe Ibrahim And chase brown and Minnesota Illinois game Ibrahim 127 yards on just 15 carries in a loss and then brown had 180 so Nice little week for ben across the board there. He's a Syracuse alum So got to enjoy that gets to enjoy this week's game as well So check out Ben on Twitter at Ben Scott Stevens will talk to Ed about week number eight on tomorrow's show On the NFL side. I had a decent little week I finished three and two despite having five moneyline underdogs as my recorded picks of the show And I wasn't like seeking out Moneyline or underdog money lines because I don't want to seek out anything. I just want to go where the value is But that's just where the value was last week happened to be on a lot of dogs Those are the cheese at plus 130 commanders plus 104 seahawks plus 120 cowboys plus 190 Woof and the Patriots at plus 130 the past one we talked about Tuesday I said I was holding off until we got a better read on mac jones and He didn't mind a plane but as I dug in I realized that Bailey's api is actually playing pretty well Might not matter too much. I got that one a plus 130 It had gone to plus 122 at one point earlier in the week and I got a plus 130 after it sagged back a bit Believe it closed around 122 or so Got that one They did beat the Patriots the commanders and seahawks were the two ones we talked about on Tuesday so Those two from the Tuesday show wound up going Two and two there, but both those are plus one money commander Plus money the commanders over 104. We talked about them closed at minus 112 Seahawks, I think closed 122 So actually lengthened a bit after we discussed them no movement there But both those teams did win to get me the the profit there on Tuesday Cheesing Cowboys didn't the Cowboys one moved against me pretty badly So likely a bad read on my part bad results bad read not the best combination, but definitely does happen The chiefs won they had a shot to win that game late. I don't feel bad about that one. Honestly, it hung out I mentioned it plus 130. I think it was around 124 122 somewhere around closed. So The Cowboys one is bad, but I had a good week overall I'll definitely take it and feel good about the process and the results from week number six Tom Vecchio at DFS underscore Tom was on with me on Thursday and on Monday night talk about that Tom on Thursday had the Bengals at minus one and one and a half hit that one against the Saints He had the Vikings minus three and a half against the Dolphins hit that one as well The one missy at Thursday was the Jags money line at plus 112. They did get up early But couldn't hold things off just a rough couple of weeks here for the Jags and Interesting to see what they do this week against the Giants So two and one on Thursday for Tom and then last night Tom had two bets One was Justin Herbert over 35 and a half passing attempts at minus 108 And Mike Williams for any time touchdown at plus 125 Herbert had 57 attempts He almost doubled up his ball not quite that's an exaggeration But like he went pretty well over his passing attempt props that would hit pretty easily Mike Williams didn't do a whole lot great covers there from Patrick Sartan the second so One and one last night and three and two overall for Tom a good week for him checking out on twitter at DFS underscore Tom Any reminder we did talk about NBA opening night For tonight's two games on yesterday's show if you want to check out that portion of the show There is a timestamp forward in the episode description over on the covering the spread podcast feed and up on number fire.com Finally, we had JJ Zachary Snon To talk about props check out JJ on twitter at late round qb and check him out his work at late round dot com And the late round fantasy football podcast hit his touchdown prop last week That was Ramon Roy Stevenson at plus 105 at dk That was bad not a good number. Um, he should have been much shorter than that. So a good hit by JJ there Stevenson not only scored but also just went nuts in general. So good week there for him Zachary Yeah, that's a good Zachar. It's JJ had Zachar. It's over 48 and a half receiving yards Missed on James Robinson under 48 and a half Caleb Huntley under 26 and a half Robinson's role got worse. So I think the process there was good Huntley his role got better So a tough beat there as the Falcons kind of changed out their approach and had Huntley Featured a lot early on in that game In situations to monitor JJ talked about the declining roles of Leonard Fornette and Daven Cook And both those guys so the snap rates go up a lot in week six up a delve Still just 83 yards from scrimmage. So not super effect. The vikings didn't have the ball at all I guess that's the bigger part of it. So they never had the ball. So Cook could do a whole lot Lenny did very well But the cook one depends on what number you got him at The other one that we talked about was Devin singletary and tight scripts where JJ was saying, you know, the bills are in tight games They use singletary more keep them on the field more end No touchdown for singletary because that's not allowed in the bill's offense never allowed to score But uh singletary 85 yards rushing 22 receiving Likely hit on that one. So as always, uh, we're talking about these Situations to monitor before the numbers are actually up. So it depends on what number you got But I think the overall sentiment of buying into Devin singletary I think that probably worked out depends on the number with valve Lenny one did not work out But do we get the earths and the remandre ones from JJ? So overall, I think a pretty solid week for the show not like a banner week by any means but decent week across the board Profitable week for me both with NFL and NASCAR. So feeling pretty good as we had to week seven Unfortunately, not a lot of spots to take advantage. But either way, uh, still feeling pretty good about week number seven That is all that we have here for today on covering the spread as mentioned several times We'll have our college football preview up probably tomorrow afternoon Sometime I would guess with me and ed fang breaking down his read on week number eight talking about that big Syracuse Clemson game and much more. We'll have our NFL week seven preview The full preview coming up on thursday and the prop preview coming up on friday to get all those as they are live Make sure you are subscribed to covering the spread wherever you get your podcast And if you like what you hear leave us a rating interview as well Big thank you to rob freedman check him out on twitter at pitching ninja and check out all of his work there on mlb fox Peacock and nessen. Thank you to rob as always. I am on twitter at gymsonus j i m S a n n e s you can also follow the fan dual podcast network at fan dual podcast big Thank you to everyone for tuning in for today. I hope that your week six went well for you We'll talk to you once again tomorrow talk about some college football This has been covering the spread right here on the fan dual podcast network You


Yksi kertaa, että lopulta-regrason analysointi on yksityisen lopulta, on marginaalipeliksen. Tämä on hyvin käytännössä teknikin, koska se on kertaa. Ennen kuin yksityisen lopulta, miten kaikki eri lopulta-regrason analysointi on yksi kertaa, on vain yksi kertaa. Yksi kertaa on, että tämä kertaa jää teille yksityisen lopulta, In the case of logistic recursion analysis, you will directly see what is the effect of each independent variable on the predicted probability to do plotting within some data. And I will use the Hosmer and Levenson data, so this is from a widely cited recursion analysis book, and the data are about babies born to different kinds of mothers. The dependent variable is whether the baby was born as low birth weight defined as less than two and a half kilos, and we are looking at the weight of the mother at last menstrual period, the race of the mother and whether the mother smoked her impregnancy as our interesting independent variables. We are first going to fit a linear probability model and logistic recursion model to this data. And I'm using this data here. We have the linear probability model here and we have the logistic recursion model here. And the dependent variable was the low birth weight and we can see from the linear probability model it's easy to interpret. We get the predicted probability of having a low birth weight baby increases for its 0.22 higher for black women than for white women. That is the reference category. It is 15% higher for smokers than for non smokers. So we can directly interpret the effects.  But that doesn't really tell us anything about the increase in probability because the odds is a proportional effect. We have to know it's a relative effect. We have to know what is the original odds that is being increased by 3.5. Plotting is very useful to understand what does these effects look like. So when we compare the effects of raising smoke, we can't really, these are not really comparable. So it's difficult to say whether 3.5 increase in odds is a larger effect than a 22% increase in probability because they are expressed in different scale. And we are usually interested in the original scale of the variable. Also we can't from this model directly say what is the expected difference between black smokers and white non smokers. The whites are the base category here. So black mothers is 0.22 and smokers is 0.16. So it's about 40% difference between black smokers and white non smokers. Easy to see from this model. Here we say that the black mother has 3.5 times greater odds and smokers have 2.5 times greater odds. So we multiply these together and it's about 8 or 9 something like that times higher odds for black smokers than white smokers. But that's difficult to interpret. So how we can do that is we can apply the marginal prediction plots. The status margin command or R's effects command will do that for you quite easily. This is from Stata. So this is the linear predictions. And we can see from the linear model that the effect of birth weight here is the same for all kinds of mothers. So we have 3 races here and the effect of birth weight at the last menstruation is the same for all mothers. So the mothers only differ with respect to the base level. So what's the intercept because we estimate the effect of a race. For the logistic recursion model we can see that it's the same base differences here. But the shape of these curves is different. So this curves are flatness more thin. Flatness here more and these are a lot steeper curves. So when we have a mother that doesn't weight much so these are pounds then for all races the likelihood of having a low weight baby is large. And we can see that for all races the likelihood gets smaller. But also the likelihood of probability actually converges here.  And which one of these fits the data better is partly an empirical question. So one way to understand which of these plots works better is to plot the data over these plots and to see which two sets of lines explains the data better. So we can see here that the linear probability model predicts a negative probability for some heavy white mothers. And this model always predicts between 0 and 1 so this is statistically more appealing. But if we don't have any mothers here so if all white mothers are quite light then the fact that we predict implosible values when we go beyond our data is not really a problem. So this is that which one of these is better. You can justify it based on theory but you can also check empirically which one of these fits the data better. The logistic recursion analysis is typically used by default because it's a safer choice to apply but this linear probability model can be used as well as long as you don't do negative predictions or predictions that exceed one for any of the cases in your sample.


So, I'm Lee Sorriola. I'm the Vice President for Advancement at Raja Williams University, and I want to welcome everyone here this morning. This is really one of my favorite events of the entire year, and it's great to be doing it out here. We ordinarily are inside in the great room, and so this year I thought for sure we'd be out here in the pouring rain just because we were deciding to bring it outside, but it's a beautiful day, so thank you for spending your Saturday morning here with us. I do want to remind people to silence their cell phones, and I don't even know if I did that to mine, so whoever's sitting next to my phone if it goes off, just turn it off. Thank you very much. I want to welcome Interim President Workman, our very special guest, Maya Farish. Welcome, Maya. All of the deans, the faculty and staff who are here, and especially the children, the very small children of our honorees who are accompanying me here on the stage today. I'm honored to be presenting to you this morning to mark this special occasion. So, for the alumni in the room who don't know this and some of the newly graduated, I always like to start this event off by reminding everyone that there was a 10-year period of time when we did not have this ceremony, we did not have Alumni Weekend, and we were not recognizing alumni for their achievements and contributions, so a few years ago we changed that, and today marks the eighth year that we've done this since the hiatus, which was over 10 years long. So, establishing tradition is very hard, and when you stop something you've done for a long time, it's like cutting down a redwood tree, it takes a long time to come back, so we're quite determined not to allow this to ever lapse again, so I want the alums in the room to hear that so that you remember how important this is. I always look at administrators as people that are passing through, and alumni are really our common denominator that help to define the institution, so please continue to remember why it's important to celebrate the remarkable alums, alumni, and alumni of the Roger Williams community. The alums who are being recognized today are the absolute best representation of the value of a Roger Williams education. They've led lives of reputation and significance across a very broad range of disciplines, and they truly embody our core values and our core purpose of strengthening society through engaged problem solving in the communities that we serve. This is their choice, this is something that's very important to them and defines really who they are in the world. These alums are our ambassadors, and they've brought great honor to Roger Williams University, and today's our day to salute them. It's not a coincidence that the revival of the alumni awards came to campus at the same time that President Farrish took the helm of Roger Williams in 2011, and sadly he's not with us today, and this will be our first, this marks our first award ceremony without him, but we will never forget him, and he would be very proud to see that these awards are continuing in his absence. It's so wonderful that Maya's able to be here because this is a very meaningful moment for the university. I miss my friend standing next to me as he's done for so many years. He really helped to be a voice for higher education and what higher education ought to be doing in our country and in the world, and he cared very deeply about creating an army of believers in his vision for the future of RWU, so we thank him for that. I want to introduce my colleague, Andy Workman. Andy has taken the helm on an interim basis at the university over this past year. He's done a wonderful job of leading Roger Williams, of continuing Don's vision, and of creating a healing presence on the campus over the past year, so thank you, Andy, and I'll ask you to come up. Thanks, Lisa, and it's great to see everyone here. It's always great for alums to come back to the campus. There's a special relationship, I think, between students who have graduated and their campus. It's not the same kind of relationship one has with virtually any other institution in our lives. Universities are special. Universities have long, long lives, and those lives are really played out in the lives of their alumni when it's great to come back and touch base every now and then. Lisa said a number of things about Don Farrish. I think it's important for us to think a little bit about that in the context of institutions like Roger Williams. Administrators are temporary, and unfortunately, Don passed away last July 5th and didn't get to spend the last, but it would have been his last year here. But what Don did was what the best presidents do. It was to take what is best in the institution, distill it, and do it better. And he really was transformative for Roger Williams. It's great that Maya is here. She had a big part in that. Don was not a president who just stayed in his office in his house and talked to donors. He was someone who was intimately involved in the institution in every way. And students for the last seven years when he was here knew him intimately. He was a ubiquitous president. He had sporting events, academic events, and awards. Don and Maya had students over to their house many, many, many times during each of the years they were here. So they really, really knew who Roger Williams students were. And they did, and Don did his best to provide the best possible education that students could have. And I think when we talk about distilling what was best about this institution, it was really that engaged in experiential learning. Something that was really here at the origins of what became Roger Williams University in 1919. This is, we're starting on our centenary. It's kind of a faux centenary because we weren't really incorporated as Roger Williams University. But 100 years ago, students came at night and did experiential learning, learned how to be better at their jobs. That's continued for the last hundred years in Providence for the last 50 years. This campus is now 50 years old. Here in Bristol we've carried on that tradition. And Don has put the institution in a place that is more widely respected, certainly attracts students in a different way than it has in the past. And he was able, though he wasn't able to physically do it, was able to really hand the baton over to a new generation. I've been pleased, as Lisa said, to be president for the last year. That's what we had to do was really do a lot of grieving for Don, but we also had to continue the institution. We had to move forward with his vision and what was most important about the institution. And we've done a good job of that. We're in a stronger position financially than we've been in the past. We've had, or having one of the largest incoming classes ever for the next fall. We've developed programs that I think will help to characterize the university for the future. One of the most important things that we've done is something that was really started and fostered by Don, which is a building of a new experiential learning building for the engineering, the School of Engineering, Computing and Construction Management. You can see it's a big blue monster now because it's covered in blue right in the center of campus. But I think it's very fitting that the, and most of you may not know this, that the atrium of that building will be named for Don Farage. So even though he has passed, even though he was not able to be with us for the last year, his presence will be here forever as long as that building stands. And students can go in that building, see his name, and understand the contribution that he's made to the institution.  But I did want to say a couple of things. As some of you know, I will be coming alum of Roger Williams this year. I'm moving on to a different position at Widener University come the end of June. But it's been a great seven years here. It's been, we've made, Mary Beth and I have made wonderful friends. We've gotten to know the students. And we've gotten to know what's really special about Roger Williams. And one of the most special things is the alumni. The alumni have a great relationship with this institution. When I talk to alumni, they really feel the value it's been for changing their lives. And you being here, I think, is great in renewing that connection. And as Lisa said, this is an awards event. And we have Tim LaBelle. And where's Tim? Oh, hi Tim. Sorry. My field of vision doesn't seem that way. George Bolden and she was sitting at my table and I didn't know her. Rebecca McWilliams, who are all going to be honored today. And honoring our alums who have done special things that have made incredible contributions, we honor all of our alums. I just want to say one more thing in closing. Roger Williams is, as I said, 100 years old in its kind of institutional form. It's 50 years old on this campus. It's been on this campus for 50 years. But there's a transition that's happening now that happens in institutions about this age. And it's a transition in the leadership of the institution from a board of committed individuals who helped, had the initial vision and helped to start it, to leadership by alumni. And so Tim Baxter is the new chair of the board. He's a graduate of 1983. He has been told quite recently the president of Samsung USA. And he's about to start some other very, very interesting adventures. But that leadership of him on the board, of other board members like Todd Reckler and Tim Yeaton, all about the same generation are going to take Roger Williams into the future. And one of the ways they're going to do that is with their new president. And that's Giannis Mialis. He'll start in August. I spent a lot of time with him. He's an excellent choice of president. He's, watch out because he's a great fundraiser. And he's, I think, really going to help the institution move to the next level. And he's going to do it with your help with the help of the alumni. So thank you very much. It's been a great seven years. It's been great to get to know you. And as I've told a number of you, we're keeping our house in Bristol. We will not be strangers here. So I hope to see you in the future. Thanks. And my most important task is to introduce Chip Craig, who is our next speaker, the head of the Alumni Association who will help fill you in on some of the other things that are going on. So Chip. Thank you, Andy. I appreciate that. And good luck to you in the future. Welcome everyone. So I have the honor of introducing the Young Alumni Achievement Award winner, Timothy LaBelle from the class of 2015. Let me first by starting to tell you about the award itself. The Young Alumni Achievement Award recognizes a recent graduate for significant short-term accomplishments who in their first 10 years since graduation have made outstanding contributions to their chosen profession and rendered distinguished service to the public welfare, thus honoring Roger Williams University and the Alumni Association. So this year's award goes to Timothy. Tim? Okay.  All right. Class of 2015 alumnus making a tremendous impact in the Massachusetts education community. Tim recently joined the Holt International Business School in Cambridge as the academic program coordinator building out new operational processes while supporting students and faculty. After graduating from Roger Williams, Tim continued to, continued on to Merrimack College where he earned his master's degree in higher education and social policy. While Tim was, while Tim was at Merrimack, he served as the School of Education graduate fellow while also serving as the college first graduate student body president. After completion of his degree, he started in the new teacher support specialist position at Merrimack to develop a donor funded initiative geared towards new teacher support and retention. Tim worked tirelessly to develop, launch and grow the initiative named the Merrimack Institute for the Teacher Support or they refer to it as MINTS. So I'm going to say MINTS a lot from this point forward. So just giving you a heads up. Into a resource hub for new teachers entering the field that officers, monthly professional workshops, mentoring support resources within the online MINTS community and deeper daylong symposiums that all serve to effectively support new teachers, retain them through the process, the transition process and begin to build up a collaborative. In November, MINTS has served over 200 unique educators, attracted the national teacher of the year as a keynote speaker. This is a long run on sentence. So hang on, there's a little bit more to this one. And has begun to closely partner with local school districts to infuse the MINTS professional development into local school systems. The program attracted the attention of the Massachusetts Secretary of Education, Jim Pizer, who commented during the visit to Merrimack College that he was intrigued and delighted to see how the MINTS program had taken shape for Massachusetts educators with Tim at the helm. It should be no surprise to you that Tim was an active member of the campus community here at Roger Williams. He was involved with Student Senate, serving as student body president his senior year, mentored incoming students and also studied abroad in Guatemala. The fellow alumna, Lindsay Prue, who served with Tim as a student leader during their time at RWU, knew from their first year at Roger Williams that Tim would make a tremendous impact on the community. Lindsay has said of Tim, he has always had a cheerful disposition, a true willingness to create positive change in all he does. Tim is proving to be a change maker in higher education and current and future students are lucky to have the opportunity to learn from someone as honest, hardworking and committed to creating a better tomorrow as he is. Echoing his experience at Roger Williams, Tim continues to dedicate time to the service, support and advocacy of students, educators and colleagues. Tim's early success in his career is just the beginning and let me be the first to reassure you his future is bright and the education system in this country will be improved for the good due to his hard work. Tim is joined today by his girlfriend Tori Landry and parents Thomas and Diane LaBelle as well as some of his RWU family and friends. The alumni association is proud to present the 2019 Young Alumni Achievement Award to Timothy LaBelle Class of 2015. Congratulations Tim. Promise I'll be brief as possible but thank you all so, so much for coming. This is still a little surreal to be receiving the award so I wanted to thank the Roger Williams Alumni Association and Chip for that amazing biography. I forgot some details about myself until then so it has been a wild ride over the past couple years. I have been so, so, so fortunate and felt so lucky to experience everything that I've been able to. I credit Roger Williams with a lot of the opportunities that I've been able to have over the past couple years. I always like to tell the story that when I was here I was a heartbeat away from being Senora LaBelle and teaching high school Spanish. I woke up one day and kind of realized that I give teachers all the credit but I would love to be more in the back end helping support them and really help make some positive changes in the world of education so it's been, it was my honor to work at Merrimack the past couple years and really helping launch the Institute for New Teachers support that is still thriving since I have left and begun a new chapter in my career at the whole international business school which really feels almost like a startup college so it's exciting to really get in on the ground floor help build out a lot of processes for them and at the same time being able to support faculty, students and getting to really do what I love. As of recently I learned that three months in and I am transitioning already to help the school launch a new international online executive MBA program so your guess is as good as mine is how to do that but I'm very, very grateful for the opportunity to be able to do that. I just wanted to say a quick thank you to my mom for all of the support she has provided over the years to my girlfriend Tori who I would not be saying without you so love you very much, thank you so much and to some of my guests Carol I can't imagine what my time at Roger Williams would have been like without you you have provided an unbelievable amount of guidance and support and just a really great role model for me years later I can still text you about advice and when students are driving us up the wall even though I was that student to you years ago so it's I'm so, so glad that we've been able to stay as close as we have to Mrs. Farish I thank you so, so much for being here you and the late great Dr. Farish provided an unbelievable sense of community for me while I was here I really loved getting to know both of you and just the role models that you really were able to provide to me is such inspiration I continue to keep both of you as I move forward in my heart and mind so thank you all so much again for coming this morning and thank you again for allowing me to receive the award thank you and now it's my distinct pleasure to introduce the next speaker who is Amy Lambert vice president for equity and inclusion thank you Chip good morning I am delighted to be here as Chip said I'm Amé Lambert I'm vice president for equity and inclusion I am the chief diversity officer I've had lobster and champagne so I'll try to do this justice I am truly honored to present the award I am presenting the alumni service award and this award recognizes a graduate for outstanding service to Roger Williams University through their voluntary contributions that go above and beyond the normal coil of duty George and old and senior is a US Navy veteran and 74 alumnus of Roger Williams college he began his career as a senior research engineer at Kaiser aluminum and chemical and later joined eastern utilities associates as a standards engineer before retiring in 2000 he continued work part-time as a consultant for national grid following his retirement and saved for retirement for 13 years I will let you read more about the rest of Mr. Boulding's esteemed career for yourself in the program so that I can focus on the amazing service he's been involved with throughout his life in the community Mr. Boulding has devoted time to providing opportunities to underserved children over the last 50 years in 1970 he established the first Boy Scout troop in South Providence at the urgent of his late son George Jr as he began calling around to find a troop for George he discovered there were none in the area his phone calls landed him with a gentleman by the name of Jack Suarez at the local headquarters who incidentally happened to be the only person of color in the Narragansett council leadership after meeting with Jack George and good friend Ed Collier became scout masters for the South Providence troop it was clear to George that given the income disparity of the vast majority of the residents in the area they needed monetary assistance in order for the troop to fully compete on the larger stage so George presented a proposal to industrial national bank and after some persuading which if you know him is no surprise they agreed to help troop 42 with necessary uniform and equipment purchases in the course of 12 years the troop enjoyed a trip to the National Jamboree in Pennsylvania and produced two Eagle Scouts for life and a number of star and grades their first Eagle Scout in 1975 was allegedly the first black Eagle Scout in Rhode Island during George's time at Kaiser he was involved in the National Alliance of Business a nationwide volunteer organization that came into being in the late 1960's which featured a host of large corporations who were banded together under the auspices of President Lyndon Johnson in a concerted effort to end widespread poverty which as you know disproportionately impacts people of color by promoting the foundational pieces essential to advancement namely education and job skills the youth motivation task force was a primary initiative designed to address the education component of the plan and Mr. Bowden became aware of and interested in this effort and encouraged his leaders at Kaiser to support his involvement George became the Rhode Island development and implementation leader for the task force working in cooperation with local schools in the Providence Public School District the program they developed enabled successful professionals to share their stories with school children with an emphasis on the academic pathways to the profession professionals of color were encouraged to participate as discussion leaders in order to role model success for children of color over the years a large number of people with various skills and professions engineers, lawyers judges, police officers, doctors electricians, air traffic controllers and their organizations participated in this effort Mr. Bowden has been of great service to Roger Williams University for over a decade he has been instrumental in diversity equity and inclusion efforts on campus an example close to his heart is the patrolman Gregory W. Bowden Memorial Scholarship established at Roger Williams University in 2007 in loving memory of his son patrolman Gregory W. Bowden Class of 1998 and master's class of 2005 the scholarships objective is to award academic scholarships to qualified underrepresented students desiring to attend Roger Williams University School of Justice Studies in preparation for a career in law enforcement criminal justice and related fields every year Mr. Bowden organizes a golf tournament that raises tens of thousands of dollars which he invests in the scholarship endowment and to date seven students have benefited from his generosity Mr. Bowden has also engaged with the outreach efforts of the RWU School of Law participating in the Urban Debate League and the Diversity Symposium dinner and he's involved with our efforts to create an outreach program similar to the National Alliance Business Program he was involved with and led all those years ago always the connector Mr. Bowden has developed strong relationships with fellow RWU alumni and one in particular since he's well wishes Franklin Bailey Class of 1976 had this to say George, congratulations on being recognized at RWU for your contributions to helping students who look like us and are underrepresented to succeed you've raised a significant amount of scholarship dollars which will help a number of students now and in the future here with us today is recent graduate Melissa Mota who is a recipient of the Bowden Scholarship Melissa shared these thoughts you can say that correctly Mr. Bowden, throughout our journey together you have exemplified selflessness in ways unimaginable always placing the needs of others above your own and I cannot even begin to count the ways in which you have helped me in my personal and professional development you an inspiration and a true treasure I cannot find the perfect words to thank you but I hope that one day I can make a difference in the lives of others in the same ways that you have thank you for your guidance in closing, I couldn't agree more with these individuals and I have my own quote in the program Mr. Bowden has made an everlasting impact here at Roger Williams University George is joined today by his wife Nancy and good friends Frank and Ellen Longo and it is with great honor that the Alumni Association is proud to present the 2019 Alumni Service Award to Mr. George George Bowden Sr Class of 1922 Do any of you know the guy that he just introduced? Wow Thank you very much for this honor and you will soon find out why I have this piece of paper unlike that young man I have something called Advancing Age that works against me first of all I'm very, very thankful for being recognized for what I did over the years but first let me just start with I'm not too good with this just a little bit over 82 years ago I was born to a family of shia croppers in South Carolina now many of you would not know what a shia cropper was or is and it still is but look it up it wasn't a nice life in some circles it was called legal slavery by some but I was blessed to have two parents who although they lacked a formal education they insisted on their children getting some whether they good education so they were all over us all the time about studying doing homework learning that sort of thing all the time at 12 and a half years old I lost my mother almost exactly a year later I lost my father and just kind of an aside I had not been too far away from that shia cropper's farm in those 13 and a half years but overnight virtually I went from very very rural South Carolina to Brooklyn, New York and I hear people talking nowadays about culture shock that's really the definition of culture shock so my life changed very fast very very much unexpected and so I was met with a lot of challenges that was on this odyssey so to speak for several years but I retained my parents insistence on education somehow I retained that and over the years I was able to achieve some of education but I very quickly learned that just getting my education was not going to be quite enough I understood the system the system of social inequity injustice existed to the nth degree during those years and the way of really attaining something personally was to be sure that others who were in your situation also achieved in the 1950s 60s and 70s that period of time was defined by large scale systematic unrelenting challenges to that system by every means possible you all may have heard about and the Edmund Pettus Prage and all of that sort of thing that happened but I chose not to do sit-ins in protest per se I chose to do something that I felt that I could do that is encourage and assist other young people of color to strive to achieve a sense of equality a foothold in this American society so that's kind of what I did I spoke about my involvement with scouting for example scouting was kind of a thing that was kind of thrust on me in twofold first my son wanted to be a scout and there was a scout troop nearby and secondly one of the things growing up in South Carolina in that period I could not be a boy scout so that was kind of a near and dear thing to my heart so I spent a good bit of time trying to improve my personal success through education jobs etc but at the same time I knew the value of reaching back and trying to bring some other people along who were a lot like me and had similar or even worse experiences growing up my big thing was I had two great parents I didn't totally appreciate them five, six, seven years old etc but as I grew older and a little bit more aware I really think they were absolutely the greatest people that ever lived and they lacked a formal education I think that a lot has been accomplished with respect to social inequities etc in this country in the last 50 years unfortunately there's still a lot left to be done and at 82 years one month and one day I can't quit yet so I intend to continue to do whatever I can to encourage young people from the inner cities or however you want to call them disadvantaged succeed in life and become self-sufficient and move the society a little bit further along than where it is today unfortunately in the last several years it's almost like revisiting the 1950s for a lot of young people and that we have to do something about thank you very much I really appreciate some of your thoughts and your kindness and the love that I received here over the last several years from the Raj Williams people thank you very much congratulations sir it is my pleasure to welcome the amazing the tireless, the awesome Lisa Rio so I again want to congratulate the awardees George that was wonderful and well said and again I hope that people understand that everyone in this room becomes the collective memory of this place and that your past isn't what it used to be because you're part of a family you're part of a community of collective values of Raj Williams and so thank you for that Tim thank you for your words and we're just incredibly proud of this family and of this community and it's now my great pleasure to introduce the distinguished alumna of the year award which is Rebecca McLean you've seen her offspring on the stage that they're like the little canaries in the coal mine before she even gets up here to say how great she is so the distinguished alumna of the year award recognizes a graduate for significant long term success in personal and professional achievements outstanding contributions to their profession and someone who's rendered distinguished service to the public welfare thus honoring Raj Williams University and the Alumni Association and this year's award goes to Rebecca McWilliam's Esquire Class of 2004 she's a graduate of the architecture program and Dean White just walked in a little while ago there he is in the food line and and she has led the charge in distinguished service in serving the public throughout New England a glimpse into her extraordinary career looks a little bit like this she's the owner of Independent Design and McWilliam's Law a lecturer at Boston Architectural College a newly elected New Hampshire State Representative a mother and a farmer and you might wonder about the farmer part but we will talk about that Rebecca began her career as institutional and commercial architect in the greater Boston area before launching her own technology consulting practice focused on BIM implementation and risk management while also attending Suffolk Law School in the evening upon receiving her BARD mission she worked in a Boston law firm practicing insurance defense for design professionals and today she's a practicing attorney and architect making an even greater impact in her community serving on the New Hampshire State Legislature where her in her first year alone she's introduced five bills and none of this should be a surprise if we look back at her time at Roger Williams and during that time she was on a team of students promoting early wind development in Rhode Island and creating a presentation on the health impacts of wind power Professor Kachiri Pavlidis who's also here today remembers her drive well and says she has an emotional resonance that made her presentation very effective her presentation was then to Governor Kachiri and he decided to make this a state initiative for Rhode Island and for Roger Williams and she helped to leverage $158,000 in funding by the Rhode Island Renewable Energy Fund to conduct surveys in Bristol, Portsmouth and Block Island and I'm so glad that one of your mentors can be here today Professor Pavlidis so during her time at Roger Williams Rebecca met her husband James who is also here James was in his final year as an architecture student and Rebecca was a freshman he tells the story of seeing a girl who was standing out in the hallway and she was like dressed to the nines and he couldn't figure out why because he's like well there's no presentations today so why is she all dressed up and so he walked over and started talking to her and they became friends and have remained so for seven years before they started to date I hope you're still friends after now you're married but the irony of all of this he asked her like hey you know why were you so dressed up and she said that she had run out of clean clothes so and he did say that she should run out of clean clothes more often I'm sure the farm helps that a lot and they are now happily married and you've seen the results of that marriage which are Rebecca and George who now I don't see but they could be popping up on the stage again any minute so we're very happy that they're here with us I say is this the first time I've met them I've only heard about them so they're super cute James says of his wife there is no job too big or too complicated for Rebecca she is one of the few people willing to work hard to get what she wants after setting a goal she does not stray from it speaking of hard work I'd like to take us back to her agricultural endeavors and she and James own a farm in Concord New Hampshire it's a 130 acre farm called Lewis Farm and they sell produce and compost to all of central New Hampshire and some of you may know that I have an interest in food and agriculture and I really admire the perseverance and commitment they've made for what I like to call land to mouth sustainability and and a way in which it improves the both the food economy and the environment and the quality of our lives agriculture is a very tough business and mother nature is very much in charge and so you have to really be persistent in order to thrive in unpredictable circumstances so I want to encourage you to keep up the great work because every seed that you plant will flourish and it's very similar to the example that you've led here where you have cleared a path Rebecca for others to follow James refers to all that Rebecca does on the farm as her evening gig I would argue that she appears to be doing incredible work on a 25 8 basis so congratulations for that a common theme through Rebecca's life is evident in the remarks from others about her passion for service Roger Williams namesake said that the greatest crime is not developing your potential when you do what you do best you're helping not only yourself but the world and the Roger Williams community is thrilled to have Rebecca in our orbit representing the university with her incredible contributions to Rhode Island to her own community and beyond she's truly making a change and using her time and talent to empower others and leave a positive mark in our community for the common good of all of us in closing I'd like to share what Dean White said about Rebecca one of his top students and I quote the remarkable drive and vision for herself that Rebecca always showed when she was an architecture student at Roger Williams has propelled her to great things in architecture law and now government and service to the great state of New Hampshire she envisions how she can serve more and more people and does whatever it takes to do so and I obviously am in violent agreement with that statement I want to wish Rebecca who is joined today by her husband and her children the continued success in her career and life journey and I'm very honored to present the 2019 distinguished alumna of the year award to Rebecca congratulations thank you so much Lisa I feel like I'm surrounded by friends when I come back to Bristol Rhode Island so for those of you who I haven't met yet I look forward to meeting you after this ceremony for those of you who've influenced my career and my life and coming back is like getting a big hug from you thank you for the support that you've provided to me so that I can stand up here I'm here because of you I'm here because of the support that I received I'm standing on the shoulders of giants and the people who contributed in so many small and large ways to get me where I am right now I would not have been able to achieve the things I have in the 15 years since I graduated Roger Williams without all of you so sincerely thank you all and thank you to Roger Williams this is such an honor to be here today I just want to take you back to a couple of anecdotes when I was a student you heard the story about running out of clean clothes I try not to run out of clean clothes because now I have two different dressers I have the farm dresser and I have the business state house work dresser and the two can't mix one of them is all ripped and dirty and the other one doesn't want to get that way so I have a lot more clothes now than I did when I was a student when I was a student here I was first as a freshman I lived in Cedar Hall and I was an architecture student which meant I really spent a lot of time in studio if I slept I slept under my desk sometimes I came back to Cedar Hall to maybe do some laundry and my core at Cedar Hall was Carol Siketty who's here today and let me say she's one of the people who helped me get up here today because she instilled a lot of confidence in me that I did not have myself as a freshman at Cedar Hall so thank you Carol for the support you gave behind the scenes you may not even know how much that helped I met my husband James in 2001 at a summer studio and I want to say that Roger Williams School of Architecture summer studios were one of the best things in my life for the four years that I took summer studios and that's really unique there aren't a lot of schools that offer a program over the summer that you can take a studio course and spend some time studying beyond your normal studies oh I've got a kid coming come on kid so thank you to Steve White for putting up with some of my antics in the summer studios it was a little wild and we had a good time and there was a lot of bonding between the students and certainly I met my future husband in 2001 at a summer studio so there's some benefit to that program and I hope that that continues today in 2004 I took a transformative class that Lisa mentioned earlier in the introduction, social aspects of architecture led by Professor Lifteri Pavlidis that was an amazing course and I think some students who aren't even architects would appreciate being able to go in and study a potential project which was what we did with WIND or an existing building which is what a lot of the students are doing now to determine how humans interact with the environment the good the bad what could be done differently for the next project and learn from it, it's sort of an iterative process of design where even after a building is built it's not really done and so I credit my mentor, Lifteri Pavlidis with helping me come out of my shell to speak in public on some of the things that I struggled with for a long time as a young adult specifically I'll try not to give the drama that I gave during the presentation but the gist of it is we were doing educational presentations on WIND technology why wind turbines are a good idea and for some people they would say I don't want a wind turbine in my backyard those are ugly they look like skyscrapers I want to live in a residential neighborhood and so we would try to talk about how well they're kind of skyscrapers they're cleaning the air creating any carbon and so I would talk about how well you know here's a map of the coast of New England and there are these red spots along some areas that have some very high air pollution days usually around New York City Long Island and then right along the coast of Connecticut and so I spoiler alert I grew up along the coast of Connecticut and so I would point right on Long Island Sound with the big red spot and say right there that's where I grew up that has all of these air quality alert days and I have asthma and so for me that was personal worrying about air quality and what that does to human health and what we can do as architects, design professionals Roger Williams grads to make a difference in people's health and in the future of our country and so doing a lot of early wind research and being involved in getting the first wind turbine installed modern wind turbine installed in Portsmouth at Portsmouth Abbey was really the first step in a journey for me to start getting involved with renewable energy I served as the solar coach for the Solarize Quincy program for about a year in 2015 it was a big deal we got solar installed on over a hundred different roof tops and that really was sort of the precursor to people making solar normal in that city in Massachusetts and certainly as as a state representative now here in New Hampshire I serve on the Science, Technology and Energy Committee and so one of the most important things that I feel that I can do is to normalize renewables and to make sure that we are actually incentivizing that as part of public policy I'm going to give George back here you go alright so um at the state house this year I introduced a brand new building code for the state of New Hampshire you should know that over 50% of carbon emissions in the United States are caused by buildings so our big emissions are not from cars like some people think they're actually from heating and cooling our buildings here in the United States and who can solve that problem who else can solve that problem elected officials and policy makers and so I'm really thrilled to be able to stand here and say you know what I'm both I can wear both hats and I can solve that problem because I really understand what's going on so with the new building code that is set to be signed by the governor in the next couple of weeks we're really going to be pushing in New Hampshire to force increased insulation as a mandatory minimum within the building code so that's the difference for all new buildings that are built in New Hampshire so I'm really proud of that because I think that that's a technical and kind of unsexy solution but gosh we have a big problem and we do have concerns here today with climate change I'm seeing it at the farm and a climate crisis increased temperatures and huge flood incidents across the country it's not just a coincidence this is really happening so I'm grateful that I can have a chance with policy and also changing what's normal I hope that we can do it fast enough and I hope that I can call on some of you to call on your networks and your friends to change behavior and it's going to take changed behavior like building more renewable buildings it's going to take changing your behavior about using less plastic and large corporations for those of you who have networks or if you are a CEO or I know we have members on our board it does matter the things that we do for the next 10 to 15 years on the climate change front so I feel that as a state representative I'm able to make a small impact and gosh I hope I can make a bigger impact in the next couple of years but it's because of all of you here today so I want to thank you again, Roger Williams for having my back and for everyone who supported me in big and small ways because this is the future and we have a lot more work to do to really make a difference when it comes to climate change so thank you very much for this recognition I really appreciate it Thank you very much, Rebecca and I'll tell you you had me at hello what about you it was good huh you should be very very proud don't worry we have that on tape for the future before I forget I also want to recognize Carol Batalo Carol has been long serving and Carol and her team actually vet all of the nominees for the alumni awards and she just does a great job believe me we have an embarrassment of riches and it's not easy to choose just three people every year so thank you Carol and with that I would like to invite Nebal to come up so Nebal is our president elect of the Alumni Association and we will welcome her so I'm here to present the class leadership award so some background on it the class leadership award recognizes the members of a class for extraordinary leadership organization and support of Roger Williams University it is presented annually to honor an outstanding reunion class that encourages exceptional participation and meaningful engagement with the life of the university this year's award goes to the class of 2014 celebrating their fifth year reunion this class continued the tradition of the five year reunion at alumni weekend bringing back members of their class to celebrate on campus earlier this year a committee of 15 members of the class of 2014 met to weigh in on their five year reunion plan in June 2019 their hard work and dedication drew in 61 members of their class not only where they committed to gathering for their reunion they were also committed to having a larger philanthropic impact on the university to date the class of 2014 has collectively donated $7,177 and 13 cents every cent counts with gifts still coming in until June 30th before I go on my plug and for all of our alumni in the room especially I think all of our honorees demonstrated how a Roger Williams experience can change the world they've all taken on the responsibility of taking their education and doing something amazing for others and we can only do that if all alumni invest in the Roger Williams education so that more of us can go out there and change the world so you have until June 30th so if you haven't made your gift yet please do that's my little plug okay continue thank you to the committee especially Lily who's here to accept and the rest of the class of 2014 for their hard work and dedication we are so appreciative we look forward to having this class continue to break records and set the gold standard for other reunion years the alumni association is pleased to present the 2019 class leadership award to the class of 2014 accepting on their behalf is committee member Lily congratulations I'm actually going to invite Andy back up so that we can present the university with a check thank you I'm going to welcome Lisa back up for closing remarks thanks I want to thank everyone for taking time to be here I hope that these the words of the awardees today stay with you throughout the rest of the weekend and carry you through to 2020 when I hope that you'll all return as Andy said we're going to be celebrating the 50th anniversary of the Bristol campus this year and you'll be able to meet President Mialas in the coming year and again I just want to say thank you and congratulations again to all the awardees thank you


Thank you for your service on this selection board. I know that some of you have had significant experience on selection boards in the past, and for others this may be your first board. Either way, this will be the most important duty that you will perform for a Navy in the near term. You are selecting our Navy's future leadership. This is a fundamental and vital responsibility to our service. As a representative of the Secretary of the Navy, each of you must maintain the integrity and independence of this selection board, and ensure careful consideration of all eligible personnel. Being on this board means you have the experience and judgment to select the right individuals. And judgment is key here, and your task is choosing the best and fully qualified. Review each record carefully, as if it were your own. Give every individual a fair and equitable opportunity to be selected. I ask that you immediately advise the President if you perceive a breach of information from the Board's spaces or any unauthorized communication to the Board during its deliberation. If you have a potential conflict of interest, now is the time to inform the Board President or Sponsor. While serving on this board, your only focus must remain on selection board matters. This board is your primary duty until adjournment of the proceedings. If you are unsure about any policy or procedure, ask your Board President or Board Sponsor. Thank you again for your service on this board. I promise this will be a rewarding experience and an important opportunity for you to shape the future of our Navy.