Good one for you today. We have former Dallas Cowboy and New York Giant Pro Bowl linebacker Jalen Smith on the show. What is he up to? What does he want to be up to? We'll dig in plus joining us the star of animal control. We got to get into that and crime scene kitchen, the hilarious Joel McHale and Super Seahawks fan who wants the Super Sonics back. We'll dig in. So you can dig in. It is Operation Investigation DeAndre Hopkins. What is going on? We are sick pups and dug deep like years ago deep into bites from coaches to sort of try to piece together where he might go. Let's do it. All right. Welcome to the show. Joel McHale on Love That. He loves Russell Wilson. Curious his thoughts on him in his second year with the Broncos. We'll get his thoughts on the Seahawks. Can they take the NFC West? All those questions will be answered and we'll just have fun with him because I've got some fun video to show him Allah the Soup style to see his thoughts on that. And he's got lots of fun stuff going on. And he has a hilarious like TikTok Instagram search. He's done so much fun stuff. So we'll do that. We've got Jalen Smith on the show. Can't wait to get in his head. Maybe we'll ask him a little bit about, I don't know, Coach McCarthy and we'll ask him a little bit about obviously the the East. But if you guys have questions for Jalen Smith, hit me up at up an Adam show. I went to a concert yesterday not by myself. I went to see Conan Crows obsessed with them have been obsessed with them. I've probably seen them more than any other band in my entire life. From where I was super, super young. And it was a bit of like a time capsule moment. I hadn't seen him in about 12 years, but it was at the troubadour, which has got to be my favorite place I've been since moving to Los Angeles. And I've been to some good concert venues and obviously beautiful things outside and hikes and so on. But troubadour was like, oh, I like LA right now. I'm interested in this energy. So thank you to SiriusXM for getting me hooked up to go to that. We got a lot to talk about.  And that brings us to DeAndre Hopkins because it's been a bit now. It's been a week since he was officially released. And I feel like the only news we've gotten lately is teams coming out and saying we aren't interested. We like who we have. So there's a lot flying around right now. We're going to sort it out. You and me right now and figure out who is in the race for the three time all pro. It is time for investigation and DeAndre. That's a little terrifying. I don't know how serious this is. Let's start with the unlikely suspects. Okay. First up, we got the cowboys. Here's the deal. Both Jerry and Stephen Jones came out yesterday and said Dallas is unlikely to pursue DeAndre, bringing up how happy they are to have their archer thousand year guy in Brandon Cook's. Okay. That's what they said. Next, Jaguars. All right. Now, you know, I didn't really see it as a likely destination, but still Doug Peterson figured he had to talk about it. He confirmed it. He's probably asked about it. And he said that it is not a realistic possibility for them. So scratch off the Jags and the cowboys on the list kind of all these people live. So it's whatever the bills they've considered and been considered one of the strongest contenders to land DeAndre. It makes the most sense. They got it to win the Super Bowl. And it did take Brandon Breen's comments to Pat McAfee. It took me in the direction of there's a bit of a beacon of hope. Okay. Can we see that tweet again? I didn't see it. I need to see that. DeAndre's heck of a talent. It would definitely have to fit with how we would structure the salary and all that. Never rule it out. So this has been to McAfee. Never rule it out, but it'll probably command a decent contract. Hmm. It does kind of sort of make me feel like it's not happening because the tea leaves are just the numbers. Buffalo's really tight with their cap space situation right now. So I'm going to sort of curb them a little bit. Though the doors always open. Then there's the Jets. Now we love our current group. I know we there are some stuff with Odell but other than that there's we love our group. It's very cute. Like I said. So is he. Robert Salah. So is Aaron Rodgers. So is DeAndre. It's a very like cute sexy storyline. But that's what he said about that. So they're out. How about the Lions, right? The Lions look if I'm investigating and I have my detective head on and I'm looking for teams that have this space. I'm going to Detroit. They have 24 million. They're going to be without James and Williams for a while. That you know, they might make sense. David saying that Lions coach Dan Campbell about Hopkins said I'm not going to comment on that one. But I like our receiver room. I think we got a good mix of different types of guys. So they're most likely out. But why don't you want to comment on it? Just say that you're out if you're out, right? And then there's the Browns. Okay. There were rumors swirling about him reuniting with his Texans teammate. So we've got Stefansky being asked. Andrew and his crew always looking to improve the roster. But I'll just say I really like the room, the way it is. So that says to me that gosh, we're we're striking out here people. That says to me it is probably not happening. So then you've got the Cowboys, you've got the Jets, you've got the Bills, the Browns, the Lions, the Jags, six teams. These are strong teams that were thought to be maybe not the Jags, but the rest of them like, let's make a move. These guys can swing and get Nuke and they all seem to be out of the race. So now let's take a quick look at the squads who have been very tight lipped, very quiet when talked about adding the star ride receiver. Okay. So those are the teams that sort of came out and said we're good. We're good. We're good. And then you have teams like the Giants. Davell said anytime there's anyone out there who can help the team, Joe Shine, Shane and his staff will look into it. Okay. And that's intriguing. And what's intriguing is what he didn't say. There was no, I love my receiver room. Like we heard from Dan Campbell or Kevin Stafanski. Okay. New York would have to do some serious cap gymnastics to make this work, but they seem to be at least entertaining it. Let's move on to the dolphins here. I would say this is less likely. But like I discussed yesterday with one Dalvin Cook, they do have space available and Mike McDaniel did make it clear they're going to do something with that cap room. So pairing Hopkins and Tyreek, that'd be pretty legit. That would be scary. So there's an unknown that's not totally closing the door. Then you have the Titans. They're desperate need of a number one target after trading AJ Brown last year. And Vrable was noncommittal saying that Tennessee's focus on the players they have and that, you know, he'll keep us updated. There's history that's worth considering. Remember Vrable and the DC in Houston, when Deandre is with the Texans. And when he was hired in Tennessee back in 2018, Nuke had plenty of praise for him. Quote, he's a great guy. He's not a good coach, but he's a good guy. He can relate to his players. The Titans are lucky to have him. He also goes on to say that his relationship with Vrable went beyond football, that it was personal. The Titans, I think definitely just based on this, this is a team to watch. Okay. Deandre praising Vrable, all of that. So I really think the Tennessee fit could happen. And for the last to be sort of unknown spooky teams, could it be a Ryan Paul swing for the Bears? Okay. We have not heard from polls. We have not heard from Eva Fluss about Deandre yet. But here's this to throw out there. This is what the Bears have. 32.5 million in cap space right now. By far the most in the league, they can win a bidding war against anyone. And if de hop is sold on Justin Fields, pairing that with DJ Moore in that receiver's room has to be attractive to them. Okay. He's a mover. He's a shaker. And this sort of thing can vault the Bears into the NFC North conversation. And is it worth it to be in the NFC North conversation to pay that for him if you're not going to go much further than that? Probably not. But I would be shocked if Ryan polls was not crunching numbers and weighing on a abacus thing like what white work numbers wise for them and what the value might be in bringing home this all pro. So those are the unknowns.  And that's sort of the other tier of these guys and the guys that are out the unknowns. And here's I'm just going to throw them out there because you know, I'm just going to stick all the pasta on the wall and see what sticks here. There's the unlikely suspects that would be long shots but that I like. First up, this is the team that was talked about all along. It's the Chiefs. It is unlikely even though they're interested. We know that it could have been likely because they tried to make this deal happen via trade with the Cardinals. They don't have the money though. They're the second least cap space right now. What they are really crafty at with Beach who we love on this show is moving some decimal points. They can free up a lot of money in a hurry. You can see the impact of the Mahomes deal but the biggest factor here is Chris Jones. We know they're working on an extension for him. Okay and that $28.3 million cap could go down dramatically if KC can make that work. Great photo from Chris Jones at the White House yesterday taking a nap. It was great. Nuke, of course, obviously has said yeah, signing up. I play for Mahomes. No brainer for this to work if they can make the finances work. The other team that's a long shot that I want to put on everybody's radar is the Texans. Yes, you heard right. The Houston Chronicle is reporting that there is some mutual interest and they say you can't go home. Maybe you can't. DeAndre likes the rookie CJ Stroud. This was being an insane turn of events and you know, I imagine he wants to opt for a contender. I don't know what is driving DeAndre Hopkins. I have not asked him but they look like a legitimate option and if we're in a world people where live in the PGA tour can come together under one umbrella and create a new business, you think DeAndre can't go back to the Texans? Of course he can. Next, the Patriots. Okay, let's dig into this. Bill Belichick at the podium is saying I'm not going to comment on players who aren't on this team. That's his tag line. It's what he said. If he was on real house husbands of the NFL, that's what he would say to the camera in every opening credit. But on the field during in season hard knocks, we did get some insight into Bill's true feelings detective style. Take a look. Glad we only have to play you every four years, man. I love you, man. You too. You too. I miss half the season. It's still gonna be the league in receiving. You're not doing my job, man. Yeah. Trying to get better, man. Okay, there's love here. Mutual respect between the two. That might work. The question is just Bill O'Brien. Is there lingering anything between the two of them? Like Nuke, Bill O'Brien, are we friends? Do we get along? Do we love each other? That's kind of the only obstacle in my mind. Your thoughts, guys. And the last, but definitely not least, sort of outlier, like long shot, but I would love to see it happen. It's a place that's just adding receivers like they're being paid to do it. It's DeCosta and those Baltimore Ravens, okay? Eric and John have yet to comment at all on DeAndre since his release. That's sort of fishy to me, right? Like, we do know Lamar Jackson asked for the team to acquire him during contract negotiations between the quarterback and the team. And John Harbaugh has made his feelings, you guys. This is good. He's made his feelings about DeAndre very clear, not just recently, but over the past decade. Let's start back in 2013, leading up to a week three meeting with a rookie Hopkins. Harbaugh revealed that the Ravens quote loved him heading into that year's draft, but they missed out on him by five picks. Remember, they picked 32th year after winning the Super Bowl, a Houston snap nuke at 27. Okay, then there was 2017. Let's fast forward to John Harbaugh calling DeAndre a star, one of the very best top receivers in the league. And then in 2019, he said, quote, I don't see one hole in his game. High praise from Harbaugh to Hop. So we know Lamar wants Hopkins. We know Harbaugh loves him. He has for a decade. Will Eric Tecosta take the swing and do it? Potentially. It'd be crazy if they did it. What a loaded team. What would they, what would that do to them with the AFC shuffle and the hierarchy? They're already pretty high up there. Does it put them at the top of the division? I, yeah. And then does it, what does it do for them in the landscape of the AFC? That would be insane if it got DeAndre. So that's a lot of evidence. That was a lot to take in. Very comprehensive. Hamilton did so much work on this. And I'll say this, after looking at all of his evidence, the discovery put in by Hamilton, I got to come to the conclusion that the Chiefs, the Texans, the Pats and Ravens, these are the top dogs I think to land DeAndre. This is, I think he's going to one of these four teams. And I think I hit like 15 teams there. If I missed any, let me know and tweet me at up and out and show. There we go. Coming up. We've got Jaylen Smith. He was with the Cowboys. He was with the Giants. Where will he go next? Jaylen Smith joining us. Oh, looking like, oh, there we go. We got a smile on him. Joe McHale, the hilarious Joe McHale, joining us as well. Very excited about our first guest, a pro bowl linebacker for the Dallas Cowboys. If we're moving on to Green Bay and most recently in New York, we helped lead the Giants to the playoffs. A situation nobody saw coming. He was super helpful and he's not just a stud athlete. This is somebody's going to give me some business advice clearly as a rising entrepreneur. Jaylen Smith, how are you? I'm doing great. How are you doing today? I'm so good. Listen, we have so much to talk about. We'll get to the NFL stuff, but you're a busy man. Like, what aren't you doing? You just announced you're opening up a restaurant, right? Called Jinnah Rahman. That's in South Bend. Of course, Notre Dame boy Alma Mater. What inspired you to get into that space? For me, I've always been in love with the Japanese culture in Asian foods and things of that nature. I never want to be remembered as just a great football player. So I've learned to understand the value of a great relationship at a young age. So, you know, really getting indoors and always just searching for more. You know, Jinnah is a wonderful, wonderful ramen spot that is the number one ramen bar in the U.S. We have 55 locations currently and we're continuing to grow. So being a part of a startup is amazing. It's a great opportunity. It's a great experience and everyone loves ramen, especially me. I'm from the state of Indiana where it gets cold. So ramen is great when it's cold. Jaylen, what is the perfect ramen order? I walk into Jinnah. What am I ordering? I am going to get the spicy chicken. So I'm a guy that I really like cayenne and peppers and jalapenos and things of that nature. So I'll get the spicy chicken. Our Brussels sprouts are amazing for an appetizer. We have vegan tacos, gluten-free for all of those people who are on the real health tip. But yeah, we should check it out. You should definitely check it out. We're all across the country in different states. So we're continuing to grow. That's amazing. Congratulations on all the success. Just to have one place is crazy and then you're franchising these places all over the place. It's very impressive. And you're like, I'm a bad finance gal. I can't balance a checkbook. I don't know anything. But you, Jaylen, you're taking over the world with financial stuff because you've got a lot of investments, a very nice portfolio. One in particular, all the philanthropy that you do, MEI, the Minority Entrepreneurship Institute, which I was reading about it this morning. It's very like Shark Tanky. You're trying to find young minority entrepreneurs and match them with investors that can make their dreams happen. It's amazing. Absolutely. For me, it's about impact investing. It's about helping close the economic and educational gap that exists in this world today. There's only one percent of venture dollars getting invested into Black and Brown in Latinx companies. So for me, it's like, how can I help close this gap? And that's kind of like my purpose beyond athletics. So with MEI, we've invested in 13 companies thus far, over $1.4 million in growing. So that's really, like I said, it's my purpose beyond athletics. I'm just trying to grow. I'm trying to be a good steward in this great world that we live. We don't know how much time we have on this earth. So I'm just thankful. But I'm also looking forward to entering my eighth season in the national football league. So I'm grinding, just finished a workout. I know I look nice right now, but I'm gonna have to make sure I'm nice and clean after this. Well, listen, let's just get right to it then because you're doing lots of workouts that your fans are noticing. I'm sure all 32 teams are noticing these workouts you're putting up on Instagram. What do you want to happen? Like where are you at in your head with your NFL career? You know, the average NFL career is about three and a half years. So I'm beating odds. For me, I've been through, I've been through so much even coming into the league had, you know, having a devastating career-threatening injury coming out of Notre Dame, my final game. And was able to bounce back and to have some success in Dallas. And it was a great experience last year going to the New York Giants. Like you said, no one thought that we would have a playoff birth and be able to have some success. So to be a part of that, you know, to join the team and have my leadership and my experience and success kind of helped a lot of the younger guys that were on the team. It was just a beautiful thing. And Coach Brian Dable, I mean, coached a year for a reason.  So just thankful to be able to learn and to produce. That's really what I'm about. You know, whatever team I go to next, you know, just allowing the guy that's going to come in is going to know his role is going to know the value that I can add from a leadership standpoint, but also from a production. You know, I can still play this game at a high level. So I'm grateful. Well, you had a great season with the Giants. You're giving all the credit in the world to Dable. I mean, there's leadership and that's great, but you did your thing out there. You had over 100 total tackles. When you're talking about your next team, could that team be back with the Giants? Absolutely. Absolutely. For me, it's like, I'm an expert in what I'm an expert in. And I rely on my agent to do his job. And for me, I've just got to stay ready, control what I can control. And that's really just what I'm about. That's what I like to focus on what I can control. So the sky's the limit for sure. Yeah. Now, the big news of the offseason, at least at the beginning of it before Lamar signed his deal was Daniel Jones getting that deal done with the Giants. Tell me, you were there at practices in games, like it was, you know, the Bullets are flying in action. What did you see from him in the locker room and on the field that makes you feel or maybe makes Giants fans feel good about him being their guy? You know, prior to Dave will coming in, I got to New York, the final month of the season. And I was in the sauna with DJ, we call him DJ, with Daniel Jones every single morning. And was just talking a lot about, you know, he asks a lot of questions just about game, about leadership, about, you know, what a success feel like in the national football league.  So we've just always been able to pick his, you know, each other's brain. And what I've learned from him is, man, he's a worker worker. He's a guy that you want in your foxhole. And he's going to go to bat for you. So that's what I love about Daniel. You know, as the season continued on, I saw his continued growth and confidence. And when he has confidence, man, he can light it up. We nicknamed him Vanilla Vic because he got to show off his feet a lot last year. So I expect that to continue, you know, headed into this season for sure. Jalen, it looks like you'd be happy to be back there. I'd actually like to see you back with the Giants, but I'm sure everything will sort itself out and you'll leave it in the hands of your agent, like you said.  You're, you know, you're getting yourself ready. You're very level. I can tell you have a real veteran presence about you.  What advice would you give some of these rookies that are coming in right now? Advice I would give is the mark of greatness is consistency.  You got to make sure you surround yourself with the right individuals and out of the locker room just to be able to grow as a man, but as a human. You know, this time goes by so fast and, you know, I've beaten so many eyes because coming out of college, a lot of people thought I would never ever play the game again. So, you know, in seeing that and understanding that it's just a matter of valuing, you know, really not taking anything for granted. That's that's what I'm about. I'm about putting in the hard work.  And that's just some of the advice I would get for the young guys coming up for sure. I love that.  He's such a study. He's probably the best defensive player in the league right now. Return to Dallas unlikely.  I'll be living in Dallas forever. I'm here right now. But but nothing but love for those guys. But like I said, I'm locked in. I'm training. I'm focused and we got 32 teams. I need one team to believe in me and we don't go.  So I'm sure teams will believe in you.  I think that's why you have that perspective.  And now it's kind of trendy, kind of controversial, though, guys and players saying, you know, we're going to make a shift here.  What are your thoughts on that? I would say it's probably the Jalen Smith rule. Now, it wasn't really OK for, for, you know, for guys to sit out prior to my injury.  It's coming out of, coming out of Notre Dame. And then the injury happened and I ended up getting drafted like the third pick in the second round. But I'm all for a player's choice. You know, I love that they have the option to be able to make that decision on whether they would want to play in it or not. For me, being the guy that I am, I know if I had, if I could go back, I would have played again. Fiesta Bowl, Notre Dame versus Ohio State, my brother played at Ohio State. It was like eight to nine projected first round picks playing in that game. And to be able to go out the right way, being a Notre Dame captain and all of that, I would have, I would have still played in the game. So, but the fact I can't believe that. I would have. That's, that's just, that's just me as my character. That's, that's just the way I go. But I love that they have the option now to this, to decide what, you know, what's best for them, for sure. That's, that I do not think that was going to be your answer. That's incredible. It just shows a lot about your character for these 32 coaches that might be watching in these teams. Are those CEV glasses? Yes. Yes. I started my own island line called Clear Eye View. For a sec. It's all, it's all derived around a focused vision. Being able to see your vision clearly on what you want to accomplish, having a determined belief on what you want to accomplish. Understanding that there's a belief in God. You have people that believe in you and using that fuel and then earn dreams is all about how bad you want it. You know, what work are you willing to put into accomplish that goal? That's what a Clear Eye View is about. I'm wearing my blue light lenses right now, which they help you, they help relax your eyes when you're looking at screens or watching television, a movie, your laptop. I have a great team. My co-founder, Jamal Robinson, we're doing a lot of great things. So, and also on our optical side, we are going to, we are in 248 iMart Express is right now for anyone who in the optical space needs iWare lenses to, you know, to be able to see, I believe in fashion, I believe in four, affordable, but also quality. So, Clear Eye View, check us out, cvcollection.com and call me if you need. We will. We are, we are so passionate about it. We love it. Let's use your, let's use your lens, your Clear Eye View to go through a couple NFL topics here and what your thoughts are on them. I talked about Dalvin Cook yesterday. He's got three years left on his deal. He's in Minnesota. Now they're coming off a 13 and four season and they might part ways. Where should Dalvin Cook end up? Oh, Dalvin Cook. Miami? What options have you guys been talking about? I can go off of that. I think Miami's probably the best option. Miami or Minnesota? Which one, where should he go? I like Miami. They're deep. So it would, it would add depth because of the head coach knows how to utilize his players. It would be great for him to go, you know, he's a Florida State guy. So to go back home, you know, close to home, some good weather, I think he'd like that. I don't think he's like, I don't think that Midwest vibe is for Dalvin for his entire career. I'm a Midwest guy. So I have no problem with the code. But I wouldn't mind staying in either in Minnesota or Miami. Miami's just deep in the running back room. But he's a great player. He's got that. He's got that Shanahan, McDaniel has that Shanahan kind of vibe where he can use a lot of running back. So I feel like that that could work. Exactly. Thanks for trying to content. Or if he stays in Minnesota, you can open up a Jinnah ramen and you can get him that cayenne pepper stuff and keep him warm in another season. Absolutely. Jaylin, what about, what about the Andre Hopkins? Okay. I was gonna say, I was gonna say, the Andre Hopkins. Nook, I think, I think Kansas City. Me personally, just being a football fan, I think he could go there with. They don't have the money. I mean, to play with Patrick Mahomes in that red and yellow. I don't think he, you know, I mean, the Andre Hopkins has a lot of money. I think he's one. I think he wants to win. I don't think it's all about the money anymore for the, for the Andre. In my, in my opinion. I know Cassius King though. So, but I would like to see him in Kansas, in Kansas City. Would you take less to play for a contender? It depends on the contender. Absolutely. It depends on the contender. Brett Veach, Brett Veach, Kansas City. Let's make an offer. Let's get a deal done. They're certainly a contender. We would love to see that. I'm a little worried if DeAndre goes to the Chiefs. Not worried, but like the chemistry was so on point last year for that team, like is adding DeAndre going to take away from what they were able to accomplish? Like they didn't need a DeAndre, you know? I mean with Juju, with Juju Smith, he signed with the Patriots, correct? Mm-hmm. So, I mean, there's a window. My little brother is there, Scott Moore. And I know he's going to emerge to become a star. What do you mean your little brother? Scott Moore. That's, that's my, that's my brother. So we, we have the same family office, Rye Sports Advisors. They help athletes become great entrepreneurs and run their businesses. So me and Skye has got, we've gotten close. He's a Western Michigan guy.  But I think DeAndre Hopkins, wherever he goes, I mean, he's going to, he's going to be him. It just comes down to who's going to bite the bullet. I see a lot of teams and coaches saying that they're, they're good on their, their wide receiving cores and things of that nature. But we all know what, what DeAndre Hopkins can do. Who's the best defensive player in football? Ooh. Um, I think Michael Parkinson, I think Michael Parsons will be for sure. He's not yet. What does he have to do? I would say Aaron Donald is just, I know, you know, he battled some injuries and, you know, the team struggled a lot last year and everything, but Aaron Donald is, he's legit.  So, but yeah. Yeah. And they're making him, they're making him like a, yeah, they're making him an edge rush or pretty much the whole time this year, Micah, that'll be interesting. You know, you know the whole rumors about him being the closest thing to Lawrence Taylor, if anybody can, if anybody can, can be in that argument or conversation, whether it's true or not yet, you know, that's, that says something about a guy's potential. And Micah, he's not scared of anything. He's not scared of competition. He's not scared of failure. He's not scared of in anything. And that's what gives him his edge. I believe because he's going to go. Yeah. Maybe we should call Mike McCarthy and get you back on the Cowboys. You trying to give me back in NFC East. I actually want to see you join the NFC East but take on the Cowboys. I don't, I just, I just have a feeling. I just like when you, what were those games like going up against the Cowboys with the Giants? Ooh. It was monumental Thanksgiving last year. Yeah. Um, I really wanted us to win. Um, but it felt like it, honestly, it felt like a home game because, you know, I've been in, I, you know, I drafted in Dallas and played there for five and a half years and I still live in Dallas to this day. So I'm on the office, I'm on the opposing team playing in ATT stadium and all the fans are like, Jaylee, we miss you. Clear as you. Mr. Clear as you. I'm like, I'm your enemy right now. I'm, I'm really trying to go into your heads, you know, so it was a great environment. You had a good game. Family that lives out here. So you had 10 tackles. You had 10 tackles and you had 10 tackles in that game.   Man, it was, it was definitely an honor going up, uh, going up against my, my, my brothers, my, my old teammates for sure. Uh, last one for you, just because you played with both quarterbacks, you talked about Daniel Jones, similarities between Dak Prescott and Daniel Jones. Like what's the, what's the one thing that sort of strings the two of them together if there is one? I would say, I would say they're, I would say they're hunger, they're hungerness to grow. Like neither Dak or DJ like are satisfied with what they've accomplished or with how far they've come. Like, they really want to win it all. They want to be, they want their names to really be remembered. Um, you know, it's not about finances, it's about success.  And that's what I respect the most because they don't take, they don't, they don't take shortcuts. It's really well said. Jaylin, you got to come back. I know you're super busy with your, like literally your list of investments. It's like, cryotherapy, mental strength app, Zyrtu, Onyx and East, The Cycle, EOS, Worldwide, but mostly, I think the Minority Entrepreneur, Entrepreneurship Institute is so incredible. And I'm happy to give that love or if you guys ever need anything, I know it's, you know, it's for minority groups, women are included in that, of course, anything that I could do to help, let me know. Okay. Absolutely. Thank you so much. I appreciate y'all having me on the show and, um, I'll have to come back. You'll have to come back. We appreciate you. You think Michael Parsons might be the best. I think Bobby Wagner is still the best defensive player. He's back up in Seattle. Joel McHale will join us to break that down and talk about that as Jalen finds himself a new NFL home to make an impact on. Mr. McHale. Very excited about our next guest. He is the definitive Seattle Seahawks super fan. You know him from Community, Animal Control, and Crime Scene Kitchen, which has had its season to premiere last night on Fox. Please welcome the hilarious Joel McHale. Hello. Thank you, Kay. Thank you so much. Thank you, audience. Thank you, audience. Thank you. Thank you. Listen, I got to tell you, Joel, I was doing some like show prep and I was, I put into, you know, all the apps just your name to sort of see like, what does he have been up to? It is so delightful. It is so fun. Like in what, you know, you're on podcast and you've got Crime Scene Kitchen. Congratulations on that.  Like, do you ever stop yourself and say like, what is my life? Yeah, I'm like a disease that has no, you know, treatment. It just, I just say, my mantras say yes to everything and my goal is to annoy people to the point where they have to watch something I'm on. Yeah, you can tell that I'm an extreme extrovert.  I just feel slightly guilty that I'm not in studio with you, but you guys are next to the airport and would have taken me a day and a half to get there. Yeah, that wouldn't have been fun. I appreciate you coming on the show. We'll talk some Seahawks for sure, but Crime Scene Kitchen was last night. Oh, thank you. Oh yeah, well go ahead. I want to interrupt you. I'll let you promote the show. Go ahead. Well, that's on and that's going, but then you have animal control, which has got picked up for a second season.  You have to get cows out of frat houses. I mean, I hear that they say in Hollywood, Joel, that there's two people you don't want to work with, kids and animals. What were you thinking?  So, yeah, there's a shirt on the flyer. Yeah, no, that I feel like yet never work with kids and animals. Unless the entire focus of the show is kids and animals. So, if we put them forward, then it will detract from my bad acting. Is there an animal that you refuse to work with?  Oh, there's a number of human beings I refuse to work with. Technically, our animals, I won't name them here. No, I, I'm very lucky because I don't, I love that stuff. And my, when I call home or send pictures to my wife from the set, she'll be like, wow, this really is the perfect job for you. Because like that spider thing or when I was, I held a bobcat, I couldn't get enough of it. I wanted to adopt them and bring them home and raise them as a child, as my child. So, yeah, there it is again. That, that, that was literally yeah, that, that, the real name of that tarantula is Gretchen. And she actually goes around to schools all over Vancouver, British Columbia and kids have, kids have been working with her for years. She's very, now would you do that? No, no, I'm not afraid of spiders, but on my face, I just, I don't, I don't think so. I feel like that would be a great way. My problem would be, go ahead. No, I think it would be a great way to kick the show off tomorrow morning. Yeah. Yeah, maybe. Yeah. I usually shot a tequila. We'll do it. But yeah, we could definitely try a tarantula crawling across, across my face. I think my issue in shooting the show like that would be, I'm the most impatient person. And I imagine it takes a lot of patience, honestly, to work with these animals. Oh, you mean, so you would get to set and be like, just, just make sure that kitties and the dogs are in the right place. Let's go. Go, go, go, go, go, go. Get that chinchilla out of here. He's, he's screwing around. No, I didn't move him.  Like we've, I've got, we've got lunch in two hours. Like, let's go. That's what I would be like. I'd like, yeah, it's fun to see K-Adams yelling at a spider.  Listen, I'm not, I'm not afraid of animals, Joe.  Yes. I kind of, I'm not even in my studio. Listen, I too was like, I'm not going to the airport today. So I'm hanging out on the west side and this is my, my fake studio from home. But I've got some good stuff. Listen, I got some girls behind me. Yeah, you got a little, you got a little dolly. Oh shoot. Oh gee. You know, Bill Walsh, Bill Walsh, the score takes care of itself. Yeah. The famous photo. A book by Brian Billick, who knows, I got dolly though. He got a lot of dolly. That's good. That's a big, yeah. And you ever put that on it, like right as the show starts, as the theme? Yeah. I put this on, with my tarantula and it all just really works out. It's why I got so many Emmy nominations this year. Listen, so that is in your home. That is the corner, a corner of your home studio. It's like an extra room between my garage and my actual house. So if I showed you what was on the other side of what I'm staring at right now is boxes and all sorts of, hodge podge, if you will, a potpourri of random stuff that I won't put in my house. See, that's where your audience can sit on those boxes and cheer you on. Listen, let's talk a little Seahawks. This is how I was going to talk a little. Let's talk a little Seahawks. I was going to, well listen, I was going to say, let's, you know, speaking of animals, I'm really scared of that hawk that flies around the stadium. That's what I was going to do. Now that is a transition. Yeah. Don't mess with us. We will set a hawk tree in the stadium and he will land on you. If you're, you know, if you're not cheering loudly enough, he will land on you. And see, look, the guy who he landed on, not happy. Everybody else thrilled. That's good luck. Okay, talk to me about your Seahawks. What is it like to be a Seahawks backer in 2023? How are you feeling about the team? I love those rookies. I love them. Yeah. I mean, think about last year at this time and how negative all of football was. And they're like, I don't know. Seahawks, I mean, they might win one game. Maybe they'll forget their uniforms. I don't know. I don't know how Gino is going to be. Do you think he knows where the stadium is? It was the, the sky was falling. And then all of a sudden, it was great. And it was Cinderella's story. And it really did the psychology of going into it with everybody saying how bad they thought it would be. And then, you know, it was a brilliant, wonderful season making the playoffs. Gino was brilliant, obviously, DK and Lockett really were incredible. And now we got Jackson Smith. And so that weapon right there, I mean, that's, I feel like Gino can just, Gino can just hop the ball up in the air and go take a break. And one of those guys will get it. And then, you know, we've got that new cornerback witherspoon. And he seems very exciting. And I think we might have, hey, look at that. They met, they met, they met on my side at draft. The day, the day they were drafted, it was very cool. I'm obsessed with them. I'm a big Seahawks backer this year. This is very exciting. Now, what happens next year? Are you going to go to some other team? I picked the Bengals. I picked the Bengals and they went to the Super Bowl out of nowhere. And I'm having that vibe about the Seahawks because the NFC West is kind of whatever. And you have Bobby Wagner back who I am obsessed with. So. He's a legend. And they will build statues to him. And I'm very happy he's back. We also have a new center or there's a center. I think there's a battle for center going on. And if we can, you know, it's the, it's that traditional thing to say, which is if we can protect the quarterback, we're going to be fine. And we're going to be just great.  So I am deeply excited. And I don't know, maybe this will bring back the Seattle Supersonics somehow. Tell me about that. You're trying to get them back? Yes, single-handedly. No, I know it's not, you know, there's no expansion, there's no expansion on the horizon. But everyone in Seattle is like, come on, let's somehow, let's get blood from a stone. So yeah, it's, it is, it is the thorn in the side of, I think one of the greatest sports fans city on the planet. Thank you. I'm Joel McHale. What's, what's your pitch, Joel McHale, for them? You have to, no one's going to sell their team. I mean, it doesn't happen anymore because everyone realizes how valuable an NBA team is. No one, and they know if there's even a threat to lose, Seattle is the big boogeyman sitting right there, ready to hand you like $1.5 billion. And so that's why teams, they hardly even get to a point now where they even are contemplating selling because they know that Seattle will take them. So it's a wonderful capitalist cycle that we would love to participate in. See Russell Wilson.  I liked it. I liked it, but I feel like you lost the Super Sonics and Russell Wilson. But you seem pretty happy about what's going on with your Seahawks, but I know you're close with him. You interviewed him on Kim Alive and sort of expressed that, you know, him bringing a Super Bowl to Seattle was a better and greater moment for you than the birth of your children. There was obviously a little drama on his way out of Seattle. What's your relationship with Russell Wilson? I know that you know him a little bit. We have texted a bit and he's a very, he's one of the nicer people around and it's always been great to my family. And, you know, the way he left was, it was abrupt. And, but, you know, with that much money on the line, I would put that question to so many people, but, you know, he brought us a Super Bowl and so I, they will make statues to him and then he got us there the next year. So he's, he will always be a hero to me. And, and so I think I, you know, people can, I think people should focus. Teams that have never even, you know, they've never won, they've never gone. And so, so I, you know, that that time was magical. And I think he helped create a culture with the team that, you know, is still around to this day. So, so I'm, you know, obviously I want the Seahawks to win. And last year when we beat Broncos in the first game of the season, it was quite dramatic and exciting. And I was like, well, we're good now. That's all we needed to do. But, you know, I think that, I think everyone, it's gone on this bandwagon of kind of taking a dump on him which I think is not fair. And, and I think the Broncos would be perfectly good and fine. I think they've, you know, they obviously have that new coach and he's great. So that's a lot of me talking and now Russell and I, he should take me to a steak dinner. I just think it's fine. And I agree with you. I'm a defender of Russell. So I think it's like cheap and low-hanging fruit. But he, and what I like about him the most, and I know him a little bit, it's just, he knows it's coming. He knows when he does, you know, Mr. Unlimited or the, you know, the subway commercial or whatever, let's ride or whatever. He knows it's coming. He doesn't care. He still stays true to himself and he doesn't, it doesn't bother him. You, however, as a snarky, a reverent comedian, being friends with him is very fascinating to me. I actually, I'd like to watch a conversation between you two. Oh, yeah.  Great. You're the absolute best. Go ahead. Yeah, I did get, I did get to get at the NFL Awards. Gina couldn't be there, but I gave, you know, I accepted for him the comeback player of the year. And that was a very, very exciting. And I got to bring my kid and it was, it was great. So I was just thrilled. It was, yeah. And then I got to go to the Super Bowl last year. It was, even though neither of my teams were in it, you know, it was deeply exciting. This is going to cut us off here in a minute. We appreciate you, Jill, Mikhail. Don't blame us, don't blame us, baby. Thank you, Gia. Enjoy the view of your boxes. Dance and jolly. Woo.


Hello, everyone. Welcome back to another Premiere Pro tutorial. This one, I'm going to show you how to make an object inside video glow. And that's even objects that are in motion. In this case, we're going with this lady's face. And what did I start with? Let me show you what I'm talking about. Here's the original shot. Everything is kind of bleak and dull and drab and no contrast, no glow, no lighting, nothing. Then we added in some glow to her face. And then we just color corrected the background a little bit to make it a little bit more poppy. So how do you make something pop? How do you make it glow? I'm going to show you let's get going. All right, everybody, it's glow time. All right, let's get going step by step. I'm going to show you how we did it. OK, here we go. Drag and drop some footage into the timeline. And then we're just going to take about two seconds of footage. Maybe, yeah, something like that. Two and a half seconds worth of it just to show the effect. We don't need to watch me go through all the motion tracking stuff here. OK, so there we go. We've got some footage. Perfect. Next step. Go ahead and click on that footage. Hold down the Alt or Option key and push up. That makes a duplicate copy presto. Now, the next step is make sure you're selected on the second on the V2 track or the top copy. Go to the Opacity under Effect Controls, Opacity. Click on that Pen tool. We're going to now draw a mask and we're going to motion track it so that the glow was always in the right spot. Click on that and now watch this mask. It's going to be probably not what you're expecting. You notice how I'm drawing the mask inside of her face a little bit, about a half inch or so in if I was to guess. I'm basically doing this because we're going to feather it hard. And when you feather it, what we want eventually is to have the inner part glow and really, really ruddy and glowish. And then it sort of fades out and feathers out to the edges like we did there in the part that I showed you. So something like that. Again, this isn't perfect, but I just want to show you the technique. All right, the next step is we're going to go ahead and motion track it. I'm going to click on this Play button and it says Track Selected Mask Forward. I'm going to click it and there we go. You'll see here that the mask is being applied in real time and it's moving with it. Now, yeah, something like that. Okay, it dips a little bit in, but that's okay. There we go. Okay, good. So we've got that mask. Now, if that wasn't what you saw, what you need to do is you need to click on this wrench and make sure Position Scale and Rotation is selected and also that there's a check mark beside Preview. That allows you to view the mask in real time. Okay, good. Now, let's just go back to the beginning. I'm going to click on this, the top piece or the top video. I'm going to go to Window Workspaces and I'm going to go Switching from Editing and I'm going to switch over to Color. When you do that, it loads up the Lumetri Color panel over here on the right side. Now, what we want to do is we want to apply a glow to this. So that is generally a orangy or a little bit more of a ruddy tint. And I'm going to overdo it a little bit just to sell you on the effect and show you. So we've gone ahead and we've applied a orange glow to it. We're also going to increase the saturation a little bit because we're really going forward. And we're also going to increase the exposure to about 0.6. Yeah, that's a bit much. Okay, yes, maybe about 0.3. We don't want to go too far, right? Now, this isn't looking correct yet and I understand that. Wait just one more second. I'm going to go down here to Correction. And I'm also going to go ahead and sharpen it a little bit. We want to sharpen her face a little. Now, again, this does not look right and I understand that. Let's go back to Effect Controls and when we go back, click on the mask and now this is how we dial it in. Watch this. You see how the mask feather is set to 10? Now watch. We're going to go ahead and push it right to the edges. So somewhere around there, maybe even, yeah, something like that. Let's push the feather out a little bit more and then click out and now look. When I hit Spacebar, it's applied to her face and you notice because here's the original shot. It's the new shot and again, it's darker on the inside and then it gets feathered out and lightens out to the edges. And if I hit Play, it is pretty much exactly where it needs to be. Now, if you want the face to pop even a little bit more, I'm going to click on the bottom one here, the bottom track and I'm just going to go back into the Lumetri Color Basic Correction and I'm just going to drag down the color cast. I'm going to just make it a little bit cooler so that it makes the orange glow that much more, okay? So there we go. This is how you apply it and if that isn't correct or if you think the top of the head maybe needs a little bit more, for example, you can click on the path and then you can just push it up just like this and it will go out to the edges and then if needed, you can even go ahead and retract the mask so that you get the correct look. But that's all you need to know. That's how you make anything in video glow in just a few minutes. Thanks for watching. Tell more stuff coming up. Stay tuned.


Right, good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen and welcome to this last non-farm payrolls webinar of 2015 with me, Michael Huston, my colleague Colin Suzinski in Canada. Hello Colin. Hello, Michael. Good morning everyone. I'm just going to do a little bit of housekeeping, risk warning, putting up on the screen in front of you. I have to do that for compliance purposes but once we've got that out of the way we can basically get cracking and talk about certainly obviously what's coming up but also those massive events that we sat through yesterday afternoon when Mr. Draghi decided to lead the markets up the garden path with respect to what he was planning to do with respect to the QE program yesterday. I think it's quite interesting and I know Colin's got a view on this but I think it's quite interesting about what happened yesterday was the fact that the markets were just completely wrong footed by it, completely wrong footed by it and what it's done is it's created a number of very key reversals and I think that the dollop up trend that we've been in for the past two or three years is now at an end. We're at a turning point, I think we've seen the base potentially in the Euro and we could well actually start to rebound back towards 115. So the question is what's, you know, the question I think most people will ask is why do you think that and a number of reasons but obviously my approach is a technical based approach and we'll be looking at the key indices to look at some of the key levels. We're going to be starting with the S&P and actually we'll start with the UK 100 because what we saw yesterday was a significant reversal within a broader sideways formation but within an uptrend that we've been in since August. It's a nice ascending triangle here, we've got a series of peaks around about 6450 and you know at the moment I think what we've got to decide is what's going to be the catalyst for pushing the dollar even lower. Now there has been some speculation that Mr. Draghi held back on the stimulus because he perceived that the Federal Reserve was going to hike rates, hike, hike, hike, hike rates at its December meeting. I would certainly think that that's still a possibility, certainly the Fed funds have suggested that there's 76% possibility that the Fed will hike rates in December. I still don't think it's the nailed uncertainty that people think that it is. You know, it probably will happen but there's that nagging voice in the back of my head telling me that the Federal Reserve will find some way to try and not do it. They've been putting it off and putting it off all year. So are they going to be the Grinch at Christmas in the same way that Mr. Draghi has been? So my bet on non-farm payrolls is a bit of an outlier. I'm going for 85,000 simply because I think hiring has been weak, the ISMs have been weak. I think an awful lot of the job gains that we saw in October were basically brought forward from November and December in terms of hiring for retail. I could be wrong. Colin has a slightly different view because we've gone slightly more conservative. But overall I think what we're going to see today is probably not going to shift the dial that much in terms of what to expect in two weeks' time. However, if we get a very, very weak number it's certainly going to make things very, very interesting. If we get anything above 120,000, 130,000, I don't think we're going to get much of a move. I think yesterday's move wiped out an awful lot of people and I think a lot of people could well be sitting on their hands today in the event of a fairly neutral number. But let's go through the numbers and look at what the markets are expecting. Maybe I can mention some of my expectations, Michael? Yeah, absolutely. Okay, so my feeling is on the employment that I don't think Michael said far off base. I think that we're definitely going to see a retrenchment for two reasons. First of all, I think the Fed's been signaling pretty strongly that they're going to go in December. And what we saw earlier when Main Street was expecting the Fed to raise rates in September, we saw a slowdown in jobs. And historically, the time the Fed has started raising interest rates, we've had a slowdown in jobs. So we had the slowdown in September, then they didn't act. They had the bump in October, then now they've been sending the last month's signaling towards a December hike. So it wouldn't surprise me to see a slowdown in jobs. Plus, the retail seasonal hiring in the States has been soft. The only companies that really bumped up hiring was Amazon and FedEx. Everybody else was flat to a little bit lower. And generally speaking, I think that we're in the other part is I think we'll see a bit of a retrenchment. Last month, we had weak ADP and strong non-farm payrolls. On Wednesday, we had strong ADP. I think part of that was catch up. And I think we'll see the gap close with non-farm payrolls. Now I've been a little bit closer to what the street singing, I'm taking your retrenchment down to around 220 for U.S. jobs, but with all the moving pieces around the holiday season and the Fed meeting, it could go either way. I think you could have an inline number. I think you could just as easily have a number below that what Michael's calling. But I think the key is, and it's something you mentioned, you would need a really, really low number, I think, to change FedEx expectations at this point. Michael brought up 120. I think it might actually have to be a negative number to not the Fed off course. But generally speaking, I do think we'll see some fairly sizable swings around this announcement. Absolutely. So again, so let's look at the key support levels. We can see on the UK 100 where the key support level is there, it's just below 6,200 roundabout, I would say 6,120. But what I did find particularly interesting when I looked at the U.S. Russell 2000 was how we've, we are trading in this nice little triangle here or wedge pattern here. And we're very, very near the support of that uptrend line, that blue line. And that probably comes in roundabout 1,160. But it's very interesting to note that the oscillators on all the major indices are turning over, they're turning lower. So that suggests to me that the line of least resistance to stock markets is towards the downside and not to the upside. That's what we're looking at on the S&P. No problem there? No problem. Just so I wanted to mention, I had done a blog a couple of weeks ago that talked a little bit about how, what happened when, based on what the Fed did in December, at their December meeting. And interestingly enough, it was the years the Fed went hawkish in any way, whether with capering or what have you. The markets went down the first half of December and then rebounded. The years the Fed went dovish, the markets went up the first half of December and then went down. So certainly I think with, when we listen to what Michael's telling us, I definitely think we should look at this in terms of we could see some weakness certainly heading into the Fed meeting if people think they are going to raise rates here. So that's quite significant. Sorry, Michael, please continue. I think you're right on these oscillators rolling over too. Probably getting a retrenchment here, but these bigger ascending triangles look pretty interesting for the long term. What I also think is I think if we get a rally in stock markets in the event of a number that's outside expectations, then I think the rally probably will need to be sold into. I do not think that we're going to see any new highs between now and the end of the year. I think at the moment we're still within a range. And I think if you do get a rally higher, then I think it's unlikely we'll take out the highs that we've seen this week. I think it's unlikely that we'll take out the highs that we saw yesterday. Certainly the oscillators seem to be in pointing in that direction. And as I said earlier with respect to the currencies, I think the line of least resistance now for Euro-dollar is for us to move higher. We look at the DAX. The DAX does appear to be pointing to a weaker close to the week. We can certainly see that on the weekly candle here. It's very aggressively down. If we close the week that way, then again the line of least resistance is lower.  Let's look at the two-year, because this two-year chart is eye-watering. This is a daily chart. We have had a key reversal day. And what we did yesterday, this was two-year yields at 0.45%. In the space of one day, we made a new high. And then we also took out the November lows in the space of a single day. That's incredible. That gives you an indication of how far bond markets were the wrong way in terms of what the ECB was going to do. Now, we're getting a little bit of a rebound today. But I think the damage has been done. And I think those yield differentials between US treasuries, two-year treasuries, and two-year German treasuries could close in the euro's favor. So if we then transpose that onto a euro-dollar chart, which I have here, it gives you this is the weekly chart. Let me just change it to the daily so you can see what I'm talking about here. So again, look at this move in euro-dollar. But also, look at the fact that we're now starting to turn positive. The big problem we've got at the moment is that we've got the 50, 100, and 200 day moving averages pretty much within about 100 points of each other, between 109.50 and 110.50. So I don't think we're probably going to take out these particular moving averages in a day. But I think as long as we hold above 108.20.40, which basically was the previous breakdown level, the previous support that we saw here, as long as we hold above here. So if we get a dollar positive number, I would expect to see that we won't break back below 108. If we hold above 108, then I think it's quite conceivable that we can push back up, retest these moving averages, which did act as support all the way along here. If we get back above here, then over the course of the next few days and weeks, we could start to come back to those 112, 113. But we need to stay above 108.20.40 previous support. That, for me, is key. If we don't do that, then we're looking to go back lower again. So it's all about levels. Always has been with me. I trade the levels, I trade what the price does, and I react to that accordingly. So euro-dollar, I think, is going to be very, very key. If we look at the dollar index, again, this is a very compelling chart. What we've got here is, again, a tweezer top. We've got an aggressive move lower. That's very bearish in terms of the overall outlook. It's a very short-term chart. But on the continuous chart, again, it's very, very similar. So if we look at that on the weekly chart, it gives us a similar sort of thing, a bearish reversal week, where we've taken out the lows of the previous three weeks. Again, that is very negative. And also, Michael, on that one, you've got the failure at the 100-round number, which is very psychologically significant. That it's peaked above and just been counted back down. Yeah. So I think the psychology of the market has changed. When I looked at the client sentiment yesterday, it was 93% short for euro-dollar. It's now 76% of the cash positions are short. That could well be right. But what I think it does do is it limits the downside of any move lower. Because the market is still structurally quite short, I think it's going to make it very difficult for the market as we head into the end of the week to go much lower than that 108 level that I was talking about earlier. Obviously, that really depends on how good the jobs number is. But when you actually look at what US yields are in relation to the German yields, I think rate rise has already been priced in. So I don't think even a good jobs number will make that much difference. A negative jobs number or a negative average earnings number could well invoke another short squeeze in euro-dollar towards 110. I agree. I think the surprises to the downside, anything strong isn't going to change expectations. So again, let's have a look at cable. Cable looks as if it's going to break higher. But again here, what we've got, we've got to hold above 150, 20, 30. We could well look to test again the 5,100 and 200 day moving average. Similar sort of story here. Let me just pull this out a little bit so that we can see it. So there's the trend line through the highs. We've managed to break above 150, 120, 30, but not with any convictions. So I'm a little bit concerned about the fact that we haven't been able to do that. But the fact that we haven't been able to dip much today and the long shadow on this candle does suggest to me that there's plenty of buying interest lower down. That's borne out again in the client sentiment, 85% short cash positions in cable at the moment. So again, I think if we do get a dip in cable, it'll probably be bought into. And that's going to limit the downside somewhat in the event of a fairly positive number. Dolly Yen, similar sort of story. We're in a 122, 124 range. We're slap bang in the middle of that at the moment. So with respect to Dolly Yen, I probably sit on my hands. It's in a part of the market that I've got absolutely no interest in. It could easily go up as it could go down. It's 122, 124. It's boring. It's uninteresting. I'm not interested in it. Could we do Dolly Kadd in the last few seconds, Michael? Dolly Kadd, yeah. We've got 30 seconds very quickly. Dolly Kadd upside. Yeah, it still looks like it's topping out and rolling over here. How oil acts around 40 bucks is still going to be significant. The last month, Kadd jobs were 44,000. The street's calling for a trenching back by 10,000. I think that's a little excessive. I think if that was expected, the bank would have been more negative. So I'm wrong. We've got 35,000 declined for Canada and what have we got for the U.S. 211? So it's pretty much in line. Revised upwards to be 298 from 271. So all in all, that's a fairly positive dollar number, which should provoke a sell-off in Eurodollar and cable. But again, as we said previously, I think the downside there could be fairly limited average earnings. It's pretty much in line with expectations. So we haven't really moved the dial. We're pretty much in line with expectations. You're going to get a bit of a dollar bid on that. It's probably going to push Eurodollar lower. It's going to push cable lower. But overall, I really don't expect it to break out of the overall ranges that we saw earlier, although we've seen that far today. And even if we do, I think 108.20 on Eurodollar will be the limit of the downside. These numbers are okay. They're positive, but they're not particularly wonderful. I mean, a nice upward revision to October from 271 to 298. But overall, not really shifted to dial. It looks like we're probably going to get a rise in interest rates of 25 basis points in December. And that really hasn't changed. It hasn't changed the dial, I think. I think pretty much we're pretty much back where we were. About 10 minutes ago, it's a pretty neutral number. Canadian jobs number is probably slightly more disappointing. Definitely more disappointing. But even on the Canada, it's not really having that much of an effect. Let's look at it. Let's see what it is. Well, here's the interesting thing on Canada. So Canada, full-time increase, 36,000, part-time decrease, 72,000. So that should offset the headline number.  So that actually is somewhat encouraging. Yeah, and we've had a slight increase in the labor force participation rate in the US. It's gone up from 62.4 to 62.5. The unemployment rate has remained unchanged. We're looking at the slightly greater details. The under-employment rate in the US, however, has gone up from 9.8 to 9.9. So the under-employment rate has increased. So I suppose you've got a fairly good non-farm's number. But on the flip side, that under-employment has gone up. So is that a function of the slight increase in the labor participation rate? Or is that just because there's more part-time jobs being added than full-time jobs? It's really hard to say. But as I say, I'm clutching at straws a little bit here to get any indication as to where we go to next. But certainly, in the context of the CAD jobs report, it's not a good Canada report. It's a positive US report. But overall, I really don't think that we're going to go too far today. The upside on dollar CAD 134, downside 133, you can probably throw a blanket over it in the same way that you throw a blanket over $122 yen, $124 yen. Let's have a look at gold, because one of the things that did surprise me yesterday when Mr. Draghi decided not to be as dovish as everyone thought he would be was how muted the reaction was in terms of the gold price. Certainly, we got a very, very muted reaction there. We got a significant amount of dollar weakness, but it wasn't really reflected in the gold price. And I think the reason for that is, once again, this US rate hike, we need to get it out of the way. And then we can get a better idea of where gold is going to next. So the big level for me is 1044. It's the 2010 lows. We're still above that. But we haven't as yet managed to get really back above this trend line here, which I'm going to draw in on the four hour chart to give you a better indication of where it is. We can see that this trend is quite clearly lower here. So until such times, as we get any clarity on where that's going to go next, I also still think that gold is just too close to $1,000. And I still think it's being drawn towards it. And I still suspect that, just like we saw the US dollar index in the last few weeks, get drawn up to 100, peaked above it, and then got pounded down, I think you could see the reverse happen in gold where it's just steadily drawn down over the next while towards that $1,000. Maybe it breaks below it, flushes out a few stops in a weekend. And that might be the clean out. Because I mean, RSI in stochastic gold looks like it should be bottoming out. And it should be getting ready to move much higher than it actually has been. And I think it's just because of that round number effect that is holding it back a bit.  Yes. OK, so let's look at crude oil. Because I think crude oil could still have a part to play with respect to what the Fed might do. It's unlikely. But I think if crude oil continues to decline, then I think we could see some questions raised about the Fed's dual mandate and the fact that they're missing their inflation target. And if you get further oil weakness dollar strength, the argument could well be made that it might be worth holding off because the last thing that you'd want to do if you're the Federal Reserve is to tighten policy and push oil even lower and reinforce that deflation, that disinflationary effect that currently is absolutely killing the manufacturing sector in the US. You look at the ISM manufacturing survey earlier this week. It hit its lowest level since June 2009. Well, in June 2009, the Fed has only just started QE1. So you've got this perverse situation at the moment whereby the manufacturing sector in the US is back at levels that we saw in 2009 when the Fed was loosening monetary policy. It's now back at those same levels and the Fed is tightening monetary policy. So it does see a rise. It'll be interesting. It'll be interesting, absolutely, because all of these manufacturing jobs are high-paid, highly skilled jobs. Yes. I always want to mention, I'm sorry, go ahead, Michael. And then I'll talk about crude oil. And they're being replaced by lower-paid service sector jobs. So the disposable income of the US economy is going down. And you mentioned in the retail sales numbers, the Black Friday retail sales were a little bit weak. And we could actually get a good early indication of how that went next week, I think it's next Thursday when we get US retail sales. The other part of which is in which you mentioned on the manufacturing is also true both the oil parts, where you've got really, really high-paying oil patch jobs have been lost this year. And a lot of those people that have lost those jobs are not going to be making the same kind of money in their next job. And because of that, I think that's what you're seeing. And one of the things you have seen play out, the high-end retailers in particular have really been getting crushed. You saw terrible numbers out of Tiffany and out of Métis and Nordstrom and Narcissus. And I think that effect is still working its way through. Just to talk about crude oil for a minute, crude oil still has the potential to be really active today. We've got an OPEC meeting underway as we speak. And the press conference is supposed to be at 3 o'clock London time, 10 a.m. New York time, and Canada time. So it's at 4 o'clock in Indiana where they're actually meeting. So the, and on that, I mean, there's been time, we've seen 4% moves up and down in crude oil this week based on speculation of is the Saudi Arabia going to start to talk to everybody about maybe trying to stabilize the market or are they going to keep the price for it? I think they're going to not do anything to production this time, but maybe they'll start to see a few conciliatory things. But it'll be interesting to see because we've had 40s, 40s been pretty heavily defended in the last two days. Every time it drops below, the Saudis suddenly start talking nice. And it gets back above and then the denials come out. So we'll see what happens there. But it seems to me as though as we get into this 35 to 40 range for crude is the level of pain threshold for a lot of the producing countries below which they start to run into real problems. And I think that's why we're seeing 30 to 40 starting to get defended. So we'll watch the crude oil very closely because that's something that'll play out over the next couple of hours. I think talk is cheap. And I think the market is getting wise to the fact that a year ago, Saudi was talking about defending $70 a barrel. And ultimately the market called that bluff. And we haven't been back above that since.  And at the moment, the market's getting wise to it. Look at the direction of travel here, ladies and gentlemen. We've got lower highs and we've got lower lows. And we've peaked out here in September and October around about $54 a barrel and Brent. We're retesting the lows that we saw in August for Brent. So that $42 a barrel level is very, very key. But look at every single rebound that we've had. Each high has been progressively lower. So we're at a very, very key point here. This resistance level here at 46 is key. But what I think is more important here is this could actually get led by US crew. Before you close that, look at the stochastics rolling over too, lower high, lower high. And the recent ones are failure at 50. If that 42 gets broken, it's in big trouble.  This thing would be in big trouble if that 42 fails. Maybe we'll call it WTI now. No, absolutely. Now let's look at WTI. What's interesting to note about this WTI chart is we actually haven't retested the August lows. But we have broken the lows that we saw in October and we haven't been back above them. And this is $43 a barrel. And at the moment, we have floated below $40 a barrel. We haven't been able to sustain a move below it. But again, look at the highs relative to the oscillator and you draw the highs through here. Failure at 50. Failure at 50 with the 200 day moving average. Still there, 50% and the 200 day moving average. So we could squeeze higher on US crew to around about $42, $43 a barrel. But ultimately, unless or until we break above this trend line here that I've just drawn in, then I think again, the line of least resistance is lower and $37.4 a barrel is the line in the sand for USWTI. Get below that. And then really you're looking at $35 a barrel. Why is $35 a barrel important? I'll tell you. It's basically because it was a lows that we saw in 2008 which was these lows that we saw here when we dropped from $143, $144 a barrel all the way down to $35. So that's really, really the big, big chart point the US crewed the 2008 lows. But again, you can see here, lower high, lower low. The trend is clearly down and it's gonna take something significantly, I think out of the ordinary to break us out of the malaise that we're currently seeing here as we head into the end of the year. Could the FOMC do it? It's an interesting premise. And certainly it's something that Colin and I will discuss when we preview the FOMC on the 16th of December on a webinar like this. So those of you who are interested in basically you're getting a preview of the Fed meeting on Thursday, no, Wednesday, the 16th of December, you can basically log into that, register that via our website. That could be a very interesting conversation in just under two weeks time. And I certainly think it will probably be worth having a listen to. Colin, is there anything else you wanna go through? I know you wanted to talk about the commodity currencies, didn't you? Because of the rebound that we've seen in copper prices and what have you today. Yeah, let's look at the Aussie and the Kiwi dollars as well, because we've done dollar CAD already. Yeah, we've done dollar CAD. So let's look at the Aussie and I think the Aussie is quite key. Let's look at this chart here which I've prepared earlier. Again, we're pushing against the upper boundaries of our move that's been unfolding over the course of the last few months. We've got the 200 day moving average there. We've linked these highs through here. And I think it's really all about what does the RBA do in the context of the Australian economy? Is there a likelihood that they could ease monetary policy further? How will China and the Chinese economic data that we've got coming out over the next week or so affects the Australian dollar? Because I think we've got some Chinese economic data coming out in the next couple of weeks, don't we? Yeah, that should, yeah. Retail sales, production and inflation. And trade and CPI and all of that nonsense. So yeah, definitely. So basically what we've got at the moment on the Aussie is the makings or the beginnings of an essential bearish reversal. But we haven't closed today yet. So it's not quite complete. But certainly this trend line resistance from the August highs is going to be a very, very key level along with a 200 day moving average above it. Are you done with this Colin? Can I move to the Kiwi? Absolutely. And the Kiwi is quite similar. Is the interesting one for next week? This is the Kiwi. So let's make it a daily chart. So you can see the original chart that I've got here. So we've got the October highs. Let's change that to four hours. And you can see there's actually quite a nice little chart that's unfolding there. And I'll let you tell the story on that Colin for what we've got next week. Certainly next week we have the RBNZ meeting. And one of the things that I've been feeling is that the Fed kind of has put the other central banks on notice that they're kind of getting ready to start raising rates or what I've called last call at the liquidity party. It's similar to when we saw the ECB kind of signal back in January that they were going to bring in Kiwi. And then we saw that the S&P dropped their peg and a whole bunch of other central banks did think that people have had their chances to do. If you want to get in any more easing, here's your chance before the Fed starts going the other way. So this week we saw the RBA pass, the Bank of Canada pass, the RBI pass. Europe did an ECB went not as much as people thought. Next week we've got the RBNZ and the Bank of England. So RBNZ is quite significant here because we've had a rebound in the Kiwi dollar. But at the same time there's some expectation that they could resume cutting rates again. They had cut three of the, they've taken back three of the four rate hikes of 2014. They raised four times 2015, they've cut three. So we've got room to cut one more to get back to where they had been if they wanted to do it. Overnight their commodity prices index came in and it was really negative. It was way below expectations. So they still seem some softness there. So it is possible. We look at this in light of the fact that it's uncertain as to whether the RBNZ is going to cut it back next week. And that's quite significant. And maybe you won't have any comments on the Bank of England. Yeah, we can talk about the Bank of England. I don't think that the Bank of England will do anything or even given any indication that they're going to be doing anything until they know what the Fed's going to do. And I think with respect to cable, what I was saying just before the numbers came out hasn't changed. I think there's a little significant amount of resistance at the highs of the day between 150, 140 and 150, 150. But I think the downside could well be limited to around about 150, 20, 150, 30.  It really depends on whether or not you think the ECB is done. I think leading into the meeting, there was an awful lot of speculation that the ECB was going to go all in. They didn't go all in. And it's not a surprise. You look at the economic data that's coming out of Europe. It's improving. You've got services PMIs at four and a half year highs. You've got manufacturing PMIs at 18 month highs. You've got unemployment coming down. You've got inflation higher now than it was at the beginning of this year when the QE program started. And overall, you've got resistance in Europe sterling around about 72, 40, 50. So at the moment, I think you're meeting. Can I have one thing there, Michael? Yeah, sure. On the data. The one thing also I have found really interesting over the last few months is that for the last several years, Germany was driving the bus. But in the last few months, the one thing we have seen is that a lot of this improvement is coming from the Mediterranean country. Spain and Italy, in particular, have actually been putting up some pretty decent numbers for the first time in a really long time. So that's actually, I find, encouraging as well for Europe is that the weakest lagging areas are starting to bounce back. I mean, Greece is the case unto itself, but the two biggies, Spain and Italy, actually are starting to turn around a bit, which I find we're quite encouraging too. There is, but I would argue that actually that's probably not as a result of the ECB's quantitative easing program, but because of the stimulative effect of lower oil prices. And we've seen oil prices make up a large part of the deflationary or disinflationary cycle within Europe. But I think it's also important to remember those effects will drop out in February or March next year. So the big level on euro sterling is 40.50, 72.40. 50, but support around about 71.70, 71.80. Where we go to next, I think it's hard to say, but I would be surprised if we went back above 73 cents on euro sterling. I think the likelihood is that's where the top-side level is, and we'll drift back down towards around about 71. However, why do I think that oil prices will, the deflationary effect of oil prices will drop out in February, March? Well, it's quite simple. We look at this chart here. This is a chart that I've shown you guys before. We look at when the oil price bottomed out. It's bottomed out at the end of the beginning of January, February, 2015. Then oil prices started to rally. So in March, when we get the February inflation numbers, that this decline here will have gone. It will no longer be in the inflation numbers. And as we go into March, April, May, and June, these rebound in oil prices will no longer have the negative pull-down effect on inflation and actually help underpin the inflation numbers in Europe going forward for at least six months or so before we get to here and then we start to track lower again. For me, that's an interesting chart because it suggests that maybe we will start to get flattened out. It's just a headline just come out of OPEC. OPEC has agreed to oil output policy rollover, whatever that means. In other words, no change. No change, 31.5. 31.5, so basically no cuts, no cuts. So that could well see the market. We've seen oil oil over. Five minutes has gone from 41 to 40.30. So far, WTI is holding 40 bucks. If it does bust that, then we'd be looking at moving potentially lower. OK. And then it's bounced up 40.25 to 40.50. It seems to still be holding. It looks like a lot of people were kind of expecting that. Now, I've seen mixed signals on whether they're including Indonesia or not, so I don't know. They could still knock it around a bit. Yeah, I mean that tells you the more you need to know. So we've dropped pretty much just under a dollar on that. OK, so ladies and gentlemen, that is pretty much it for this month. Just a quick reminder to say there's one more webinar this month. It's the pre-FOMC webinar with Colin on myself. And I say that's on the Wednesday. I think it's on the 16th of December. It's the 16th at 10 o'clock AME through time, 3GMT, London time. So go see the Education section on the Canadian website or the UK website. Register for that. And we can basically have a chat about what to expect from the Fed. It looks like we're going to see a rate rise. And it'll be interesting to see whether or not they actually do raise rates, or they bottle it slightly and decide to get rid of the ban and just have a fixed Fed funds rate of 0.25%. That would be something, because at the moment it trades in a ban of 0 to 0.25, they could raise rates without actually raising rates by removing the lower bound. That's something. That's definitely a possibility. Because it would get them off 0. So that's one option. Anyway, unless there's any questions, ladies and gentlemen, thank you very much for your time today. And I hope you all have a good weekend. And I'll hopefully we'll all talk to you again on Wednesday the 16th of December. Thanks, everyone. Have a great day trading.


For more videos on people's struggles, please subscribe to our YouTube channel. So to take some of the points you're talking about, like you mentioned, there's a two-thirds majority in the federal parliament, six out of the seven provinces, again there's an absolute majority, and even the local provincial bodies. At the same time, like you said, there's the issue of the notion of development that the global financial institutions present in terms of aid and other concepts like that. So keeping all these things in mind, what do you see as the core principles of development in the context of bringing socialism to Nepal in a very concrete sense. For instance, in a field like education or health, how do you see the process that is happening now and how do you see it going forward? That is the main issue of debate today in our party and society. What we're feeling is that our party had to initiate a great debate on what we should do at this historical juncture. But that is not so much discussed and debated as it was necessary. The three things regarding our tactical goal of development are needed to be discussed and synthesized. One is, what is the moral of development for us? Second is, how do you achieve that development? Third is, where do you go with that development? These are the three main issues that we have to be very clear. We are discussing, but discussion and debate are not much focused and emphasized. That's the matter of what we do. For us, what we think is that six components should be there in our new model of development. As I talk to you that we have a new model of democracy. On the side by side, we have to have a new model of development too. So that new model of development should incorporate at least six major points. One is, of course, growth, but inclusive economic growth. Second is social justice. Third is character of socialism orientation, socialism-oriented development. Fourth is, you have to use all the scientific techniques, technologies that have been developed, but that should be human-focused, working-class-focused. Fifth is, it must be environment-friendly. The sixth is, it must be sustainable. So these are the major characteristics, specific features of our new model of development that we are talking of. So as far as constitution is concerned, it has already defined, it has already incorporated the provision that education, health, employment, shelter and food sovereignty are the fundamental rights of the citizen of Nepal. So we have already enacted the laws according to the provisional of the constitution to implement these fundamental rights. So our development should incorporate these things. So without giving shelter, food, education, health and employment, our development will not be the development as was expected and is expecting from the Nepalese people are expecting today. So this is what we are thinking. So western model of development that is just economic growth, which will widen the gap between rich and poor and which will widen the gap between urban center and the rural society, which will widen the gap between mental worker and the physical labor. So that is not what we have to follow. So we have to be very clear that is what we are discussing. But what I personally feel is that our discourse is not sufficient. We have to have a vigorous discussion on it because if we fail to follow, to persuade the new model of development policy, then in the name of development we will go to the same, in the result, we will go to the same western model of development, which is not the pave the way for socialism. And with respect to China, of course, there is, especially in the last one, one and a half years, there has been a both countries have also gone closer more discussions. So considering also China's say trajectory in its attempts to build socialism, how does the how does the party here see that project and the relations between Nepal and China in that context also? So we do have good relations with our northern neighbor China. Fortunately, we do not have any outstanding issues with China. China has always respected our national sovereignty and it has not entered into our internal affairs. That is a very good approach China is pursuing. And also in bilateral cooperation also China is trying to do what they can do. But what we should do in this geopolitical scenario, we are very serious on it. There is great opportunity, big opportunity for the country like Nepal that we are in between China and India, both developing economies in the world. We can take the opportunity from the development that has been going on in both the countries, particularly in China. But in general, generally speaking, India is also going up in its economic parameters. But this is our great opportunity so that we can take the opportunity. And also because of the geopolitical position, international forces are also giving attention to our country and that can be also useful or utilized in Nepal's interest. But at the same time, it is not easy to handle this geopolitical situation. It is not easy. See if you missed, it can be very tragic, very harmful to us. So our challenge and responsibility to handle this very skillfully on the side of our national interest, of course not going against the interest of our any neighbor or the genuine international friends and communities. And one question quickly coming back to the party that you were talking about in terms of the risk of ideological degeneration you were saying. And this is of course a common issue in the left across the world, especially in today's context. So as maybe as the single largest Communist Party in South Asia right now, what is the party's approach to education and training of the left to actually resist some of these tendencies? What do you see as a way ahead? You see, we have just completed our unification process. And it's very tragic that it took one year to unify our district committees, provincial committees, and mass and class organizations. So that is why even the work division of our Central Committee member has not been already completed. We are still going to complete it. Let's hope that it will be completed very soon. So these issues of party school, party training, classes, are not well planned. But this should be on the top agenda what we feel. So after we complete this unification process, organized unification process, after we make our political report public, after we give the responsibilities and assignment to our Central Committee members and our cadres, we will make the plans for the party building side by side with functioning of the government. So in that process, ideological cultural movement should be the priority agenda for party. So from this perspective, party school and training classes must be one of the top priority of the party. Let's hope that after a few days when you complete this unification process, we will go to discuss into that.


The current system has to go through a collapse unless you believe that infinite growth is possible on a finite planet. The system is growth dependent. So there's going to be a collapse in one form or another. It could be more gentle or it could be more severe. What has to happen though is to change, I mean a couple of things. One would be to change the agreements, the story by which money is created. Today it, I mean I'm not going to go through the whole story but essentially it's created at the central bank level through the purchase of interest-bearing securities on the market creating new money and then on the next level lending by commercial banks and other institutions that make money available for businesses and people to use. All of it, each of those steps generates or is accompanied by debt. When money is created an equivalent amount of debt is created that bears interest so more money is owed than has been created. That has to change. So there are other ways to create money. I mean the government could just print it. People think that that's what happens now but no. It's lent into existence. Governments borrow it into existence. But they could just make it. They could just print it or money could be created with negative interest reversing all of the pernicious effects of usury. So I'm not going to go into the details now but there are other ways to create money. The other really important thing that I've become over the years since I've written about it I've become more and more enthusiastic about is a universal basic income which basically is a living wage paid to everybody regardless of their contribution to society. But essentially it says everybody has a share in the wealth that we've inherited both from nature and from culture. I should not have a greater right to the benefits of Thomas Edison's inventions than you should have. This was in the past. This is our cultural inheritance. So everybody then should have essentially a basic income that's enough to survive on. So then we no longer live in a context of scarcity and you no longer have to base your life choices on survival. So it would unleash a tremendous flood of creativity. Like what would you do with your life if you didn't have to survive? It would also transform the economy because today you can operate a business understanding that there are people who will do degrading labor because they have to survive. So there's no design incentive to create jobs that are meaningful. That would change.  And I mean I could talk a lot about universal basic income. I mean many people will object well if people aren't made to be productive and to work then they won't.  But is that true? Like is that really who you are? It comes down to a question of human nature. I think that the human nature that we see in our current society isn't real human nature. It's the response to artificial scarcity. But that who we are by nature we are beings of the gift because we are so gifted ourselves. On some level we understand that we didn't earn the earth. We didn't earn the sun. It wasn't through our hard efforts that we invented the ability of seeds to grow. We didn't invent water. We are so richly gifted that our default state is gratitude.  That was all a gift. And because we're so richly gifted, we feel gratitude and we desire to give in turn. We desire to give it forward. Everybody is like that. If you take away all the pressures, you take away all the programming, when you see this even in wealthy people who they have, they've gotten everything that they thought they wanted. They're making a million dollars a year. But if they're not doing something that's meaningful to them, beautiful to them, they're going to feel, I mean maybe you've had this experience, feeling like I'm not living my life. I'm living the life I'm paid to live. But what about my life? So this is a different dimension of human nature that we need to invoke. We need to implement. We need to create conditions for that part of human nature to blossom.


Hello and welcome to the session. In this session we discussed the following question which says factorize the following 18 aq bq minus 27 a square bq plus 36 aq b square and a x plus by whole square plus b x minus a y whole square. Before moving on to the solution let's recall the identity a plus b whole square is equal to a square plus 2ab plus b square and a minus b whole square is equal to a square minus 2ab plus b square. This is the key idea to be used in this question. Let's move on to the solution. The first expression given to us is 18 aq bq minus 27 a square bq plus 36 aq b square. From this expression we take out 9 a square b square common from all the three terms. So here we have 2ab minus 3b plus 4a. So the given expression is factorized as 9 a square b square into 2ab minus 3b plus 4a. Now the second expression given to us is ax plus by whole square plus bx minus a y whole square. Now we will open both these brackets using the identities given in the key idea. So for the first package we have ax plus by whole square. Now we will be using this identity a plus b whole square. So we get ax whole square plus 2ax into by plus by whole square plus now for the expression bx minus a y whole square we will use this identity that is a minus b whole square. So we have bx whole square minus 2 into bx into a y plus a y whole square. So this is further equal to a square x square plus 2abxy plus b square y square plus b square x square minus 2abxy plus a square y square. Now this further is equal to a square x square plus 2abxy plus b square y square plus b square x square minus 2abxy plus a square y square. Now 2abxy and minus 2abxy gets cancelled from the expressions a square x square and b square x square we take x square common and we left with a square plus b square. Now from these two expressions b square y square plus a square y square we take plus y square common and inside we have b square plus a square. Now we take a square plus b square common and then we are left with x square plus y square.  So final answer is for the first expression we have 9a square b square into 2ab minus 3b plus 4a and for the second expression we have a square plus b square into x square plus y square. So this completes this session. Hope you have understood the solution for this question.


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