In Pine River, the Tigers looking to stay perfect in conference play, taking on Blackduck. The Tigers pounced on the Drake's early on, Olivia Atkins connects with Riley Hershey for the layup. Tigers up 23-4. A few minutes later, Atkins picks up another dime as this one goes to Alyssa Semmler. Finishes for the and-one. Four minutes before half, Emma Templeton intercepts the pass. Finishes on the other end to give the Tigers a 30-point lead. Pine River back is now 5-0 in the conference after the win over Blackduck. If you enjoyed this segment of Lakeland News, please consider making a tax-deductible contribution to Lakeland PBS.


How different do you think it will be to last year? Well, we expect to be different in terms of our results. We've made a lot of changes to try and build something once more that can bring us success and maintain that success. We've had it for three years. We want to build a team now that for the next three years can be very successful and we plan to do that and our fans should be optimistic. They should be patient as well. There's a lot of new players that will need some time to gel to get that fluency but with what we're seeing at training so far we're excited and looking forward to the start.


Shall I start? Ooh. There's a microphone, and I can hear myself. Hi, everyone. It's very good to see everyone. It's also my first time in Austin, so that's exciting. I know it's been a long day for most of you, so I'll try to make it a little bit light-hearted while at the same time try to talk about very important things. So today, this afternoon, we're going to talk about developer experience and how developer experience can help us conquer the hearts of developers. My name is Ellen Alate. I'm a partner part four, partner. Former partnerships lead at GitHub Education. If you know of GitHub Student Developer Pack, it's a program for students. I salute partnerships for that. I'm also a full-stack open-source software engineer, especially recently I've been doing a lot of cloud-native stuff and Kubernetes, in the past I've worked with APIs and API tooling and building integrations for various things, so writing a lot of YAML but also writing a lot of JavaScript. Over the last couple of years, I've mostly been working in developer relations, so helping companies create powerful, diverse strategies, improve their developer experience, whether that be onboarding or documentation or anything else, and also launch open-source projects if always kind of stuck close to that open-source world. And over the last couple of months, I've been building holographic, also on a sticker page, which is a virtual rewards and incentives platform for developers. So we're going to go through what DevX actually is. I'm going to use DevX, short for developer experience. We'll talk about why it matters, go through some practical examples, how we can use DevX to get developers to fall in love with our products. Some KPIs, there were some interesting discussions in the past talk that I heard, how do we actually measure success of improving or not really improving developer experience, and then go through some of the challenges associated with this stuff. So let's take a trip down memory lane. I think those slides shouldn't have been in that order, but in any case, what's DevX? So it's something that's been more and more a conversation topic in the last few years or so. This is Google Transgraph from the last 10 years. So how exactly did we get here? Well, in 2006 or even 10 years ago, when we wanted to build something, build a responsive, well not just responsive, but interactive webpage, we would just look at the few tools that really were available. Maybe it's vanilla JavaScript, maybe it's jQuery, we pick that, does the job, we use that. These days, when we're making those decisions, the choice looks a little bit more like this. And all of these tools, or most of these tools really that you see on there, solve a very similar problem, right? Like JavaScript helps us build, or front-end JavaScript frameworks help us build interactive web pages in websites. So in order to stand out, it turns out that functionality, just a product or a project solving a problem is no longer enough, because there's a lot of choice. Winston Churchill famously said, democracy is the worst form of government except for all the others that have been tried. Literally any Dev tool says this tool is the best one, and yes, we've tried all the others. They all do a similar thing just in a slightly different way. And then, we don't even need to mention then Kubernetes happens, and we have a bunch of other tools built on top of Kubernetes or for Kubernetes, and that happens with virtually all developer tools. And so what begins to matter, or rather what it's no longer all about is it's not just about product market fit, not about tool solving a problem, but more of a product user fit. And in our case, it's more of a product developer fit. Developers have an increasing say in their teams and what we'll be working on, but also what tools they're going to adopt. So that's where developer experience comes in, and I like to think of it as that specifically the product user fit. The better your product user fit is, the better your developer experience is for your user. So developer experience describes how developers feel while using or working on your product. And our goal is to build products and not only solve those workflow problems at hand, but they also fit developers' lifestyle or style of work, really, and pace of work. Why does it matter? If we look at these boxes left to right, that's sort of the ideal flow, or the ideal chain. If we manage to improve our developer experience and our developer satisfaction, we feel good about using those tools because the tools get them. They're probably built by programmers for programmers. It just feels good. It's nice. You kind of get in the flow. Then that leads to organic growth. So developers evangelize good products to their teams and their peers to discuss them on the internet at conferences. Maybe they just recommend some tool in passing because they read a cool blog post about it, which then leads to higher adoption based on those positive reviews. So even more people choose the product, and that leads to quality software because the more people and projects and companies depend on software, the more feedback that company or the project gets, more contributions, that attracts talent because the project seems a bit more recognized. It's also kind of cool to work on things that you like. And ultimately that just creates this love chain from developers and by developers leading to thriving communities and an ideal world that looks something like this, where this is HDPI specifically I've used to work with them, where folks just talk about your product because it's so cool because it just gets them. So what does it look like in practice? What can we do or which areas of products or projects should we look at to implement some of it? Well the first one is SEO, and ironically in the last Stack Overflow developer survey, I think the last published one is the 2021 one, it revealed that 89.69% of developers turned to Google search first when faced with a problem, whether that be picking a specific tool to solve a problem or a specific query about a tool. That is more than Stack Overflow. I don't know whether Stack Overflow included how many of those Google queries where how do I use Next from Stack Overflow or something. And having your products be SEO optimized really does two things. One, it does help solve concrete problems, which is great because that's what we're looking for. But secondly, it also signals that there are other people using these products or using those tools. And that signal is important because it's also fellow developers essentially talking about those tools. So they must be legit. I mean, to just illustrate as an example, by SEO matters, she have hands how many people have ever looked at them documentation, or does it look something more like this? Right, so how to quit. That's a very SEO optimized tool. Secondly, given that this is an open source setting especially, we need to talk about GitHub and how the GitHub repo looks. So what we're looking for really, or what developers are looking for, is a tool that projects and that signals essentially confidence. And it also inspires confidence in developers. So when it comes to housekeeping, GitHub repo is your landing page and first impressions really matter. So making the project look that it is regularly maintained, it is regularly updated, issues are attended to, et cetera, helps create that impression and attract users and make them feel good about using your product. And at the same time, when speaking about contributors, it's useful to help your users help you. So this is something that I found that a lot of new projects face, where they get maybe their first contributors, and they're not exactly sure what they're doing. And people who are reviewing those, who requested those issues, also don't quite know what they're doing, who should be doing this, et cetera, et cetera. So utilizing GitHub to its very maximum comes in quite handy. Using templates as much as possible, whether that be issue templates or PR templates, that just creates less room for error and frustration and also acts as a guide what developers can work on and what contributors can do. Because not every contribution has to be like a full-blown feature request, right? So here's Backstage, which is a project that's backed by Spotify, which I like to use as an example. They've really got their GitHub repo figured out. So this is what their issue templates look like. So you want to do something or you want to work on something. I mean, you can go through the contributing guides, but this is also super helpful. So this kind of guides your flow. This is what the reading looks like. It's nice because it almost, the nice thing about the Backstage reading is that it describes what the product is and what workflow problems it solves and its features and has all the links to the documentation just right down below. Some tools like to include maybe their entire documentation, their entire contributing history or guides within the reading. But what we really want to do is we want to show that the tool is easy to use and to contribute to. So the reason I wanted to show this one is on the releases, basically the right-hand side, you can notice that they've filled out the sectors that need to be filled out, essentially, which is good. Because then people are like, OK, this is maintained. People are using this. I'm going to give it a try. One of the biggest things, in general, in developer experience, is the features. Ideally, we want to spend more time building cool features and helping people to use the product than have people essentially read the documentation over and over again. So first bit, standards are king. So if you're using an existing technology, don't reinvent the wheel. We have, for example, open API specification that can be used as guidance when you're building an API for your product or your tool, which is helpful because then folks who are using your API and probably other APIs already know what it's like and can integrate that easily. If you're building a new technology and there are no standards yet, create the standards. Help developers help themselves. Something that's fully customizable, especially if it's a new product, it's not necessarily a selling point. It just signals that there's going to be some work because I will need to figure out how exactly do I do if everything is fully customizable and there are not really any defaults, et cetera, et cetera. If a door sign says pull, will you keep pushing it? It's not you. It's the door that's badly designed. So it's the same with features, really. If people keep asking the same questions again, sometimes it's worth thinking, OK, but we've answered those questions. We've even written an entire section of documentation about this, but people are still asking those questions. Surely we should take a step back and think about it a little bit more. And lastly, which is very, not necessarily very... No, never mind, yes. So when it comes to errors, don't admit your errors, explain them also. Developers spend up to 10 times more time debugging than they do actually building. So if you can reduce the burden of that process, you can really, really help their life. So an example of that last bit would be all two really familiar lines to all of us, which is whenever you try to push something to a new repo, GitHub, or I don't know if it's a Git or a GitHub feature, I should really know. I want to say it's a good feature. It says, OK, well, this is the command that you probably meant to run because you're pushing it for the first time and it's your local branch, it doesn't exist there. So there's an error, but it immediately kind of tells you, is this what you meant? Is this something that you intended to do? And this is how you fix it. On-boarding, nothing feels the vibe quicker than a schedule a call for a quick demo. This is very enterprise specific, but when we're thinking about developers and we're thinking about engineers, they're self-starters, they enjoy tinkering and doing things on their own and trying things by themselves and getting that little dopamine rush when you get something working and see something on the screen. The reason why Hello World is such a powerful thing, really, when it comes to programming languages, this is Alert Hello World, which does this, really, so it makes the annoying pop-ups on your browser, which some websites abuse it. But it's perfect not because it's just a one-liner, it's perfect because you can see the result on your screen right there and then in production.  So an example of that, actually, is Keef Cross. I've worked with Keef Cross, so full disclosure there, but the, oh, it was there. Not all tools, obviously, can have a one-liner, one-liner, Hello World. But in case of a more complicated tool, if you look at the installation instructions here, it's essentially copying one, two, three, yes, three lines, and then the fourth one, when you navigate to that link, gives you an entire dashboard. So it's a very quick way to get a developer not only to test your product, but also feel good about themselves that, oh, okay, I managed to actually get something on the screen enough and running, and do it very quickly. So if you're onboarding, or rather, if your installation, or Hello World, takes a long list of prerequisites, and then super long installation instructions, it's worth spending some time there and check whether that's really the Hello World. And then lastly, I wanna talk about documentation a little bit, so something that's focused, that developer experience folks, and DevRels, I think, focus a lot, when, yeah, this is just something that people focus a lot in developers read. So there are two things really that you can mind here. One is the balance between the theoretical and practical content. So the origin and inspiration behind Rye Flour could be interesting when you're looking up a recipe, could be very interesting, but often we just wanna see the method for the recipe. We just wanna copy the code and we wanna run it. If we want someone to tell us exactly what to do, how to do it, and maybe periodically check in and see, okay, this is what the dough should look like at this stage. So practical content, or code snippets, and hands-on exercises, showing things by example, or screenshots if your product's more visual, is satisfying to work with. And then use case versus feature-based documentation, especially when documentation, I think, is written by maintainers or creators of the project, it's very tempting to just start thinking about it in the same way that the architecture, what the architecture of the project is, which isn't necessarily how people use it. So having a combination of both, or maybe at the beginning, even more use case-based documentation is a good chat since people enjoy working and learning from example. It's also a good way to, especially if it's maintainers, writing the documentation to learn more about their users without necessarily talking to their users at that point. So getting started guides, tutorials, and use case documents help developers understand how the tool fits in within their existing workflows. An example that I like to use is Twilio. So Twilio have been, I don't know if anyone's from Shilio here, but they have been excellent at documentation for a very long time, content also, but documentation is put on. And precisely because of that, can you see, oh yes, you can see my cursor, excellent. Because of that combination of this is the bit that's really important to you if you're gonna dig really deep into page open. Okay, making an HTTP request, let's say, sure. But at the same time, they have a lot of getting started guides and also just very concrete solutions to very concrete problems. One thing to keep in mind is that this is a bit difficult to maintain if your API changes, for instance, you do have to go back and rewrite a lot of those smaller, getting started guides or bigger ones also. But that's what standards are for, right? So Twilio or Vineers and APIs, it's unlikely that their API would change significantly. But that's content that's appreciated. Oh, cool. So we've seen some of the examples, what we can do, what sort of mindset we have to be in to think about what makes developers happy. How can we actually measure that? It's hard to measure it. But these are some of the suggestions that you can use. And normally to measure developer experience, they're a combination of community engagement metrics, then also more like marketing metrics, some of the bad data metrics, so numbers and clicks on things, but also very product and almost company-wide ones. So time to hello world. I've added a star there because it can also be time to pull requests or time to contribution, depending on what type of developer you're working on. That's important, right? Developers want to be able to get their first result as soon as possible or get some sort of feedback, whether they're going in the right direction or the wrong direction immediately. So to do some user testing and basically calculate how long it takes them to get from one point to another can be useful measurement. Another one is Net Promoter Score. This is more from products or from product, really. So Net Promoter Score, there really should be a trademark on there. Oh, God, this talk is going on the line. I'm sorry, NPS people, but basically once someone asks you how likely are you to recommend this product to your friends, that's the Net Promoter Score. A lot of companies ask it in a slightly different way because it's trademarked, but that's also something that can be used. The challenge with that is, I mean, to get a developer to complete a survey or any person really is a lot of trouble and so the data can be unbalanced or skewed or it will be the biggest haters or the largest supporters who complete those surveys. There would be community engagement. So there was some conversations about orbit. That's one of the tools that can be used. So, folks, what are they coming to you for? How many of them are talking about you online and prompted posting questions, participating in forums, et cetera, et cetera. And your own recognition. Internal surveys, so we're quite lucky to be working in a field where we're building tools and projects for people who literally are like us. So we have that benefit that we don't necessarily have to go and do a field study. We can just ask our folks internally and do some so-called Starbucks testing, which is just observing them using tools and noticing their frustrations. Churn rate, so drop off, essentially, which also comes more probably from product, but that's something to measure if a developer's going to enjoy using the tool, they're probably going to stick with it, maybe propose even features, do some more community engagement. And then SEO benchmarking. So with here, yeah, essentially, seeing how particular keywords relate to your product and measuring the improvement of that and the problems. So, what are the challenges of developer experience if it doesn't seem hard enough yet? Well, there really are three top problems. One is that it takes time. A lot of it is research, a lot of it is experiments. If you need to implement each of those, it takes time. It is not uncommon that developer experience teams take a good year to set up before the first results are seen, essentially. Secondly, it's unclear return on investment. So, because measuring success is a little bit of an issue, or rather, we don't necessarily know what exactly to measure, it's hard to convince your managers or convince your investors that this is something that we need a team for but this is something that we need to put resources in.  So, either upskilling your existing folks to work on that side of things or hiring developer experience experts. Yeah, that's it. Thank you. So, community engagement metrics, have you ever used orbit? Okay. So, it's really a combination of things. It's essentially how many and how and what type of people are participating in the same spaces that you are. So, when you have your own products community or your own, for example, open source projects community, it's a bit clearer there because you can measure how many people are starring your project, how many people are creating or liking or otherwise interacting with issues or opening pull requests. If you do happen to have, let's say a Slack workspace, maybe it's how many folks joined that, how many stay around, et cetera, et cetera. Then also, there's an element of evangelism. So, how people talk about you to others. So, to measure that, you can use, I've used something called mention.com in the past where it just tracks who and how and then what people are saying about you. So, the ideal, let's say a situation there is that if you are the owner of the Vim project, it's not you who's writing the answers for how to equip them. It's sort of people who are helping each other that's sort of like the North Star. They don't have to ever interact with you. You don't have to have like a space but the point is that there's this implicit group of people. A small group of really active community members versus a larger group that are maybe a little bit less engaged. In either work or do you try to... The things, this is just from experience really and things I've observed and yeah, the super supporters or the super fans. There's a book called, there's a book, oh god, who is it by? Maybe they're even, she's definitely here, oh no, maybe not in this room. The Business Value of Developer Relations, the author, it's at the time of my time. Yeah, there's a notion of super fans and those are essentially going to be the people who talk about you and from what the GitHub state of the Octaverse service say and from what Stack Overflow service say, it seems that developers seem to adopt tools really because others are recommending. So if someone seems or is really loud enough to evangelize your product, then that's probably the person that you should focus on. With quantity, it's a bit difficult. When you really think about it, there aren't that many individual product communities realistically as a person, how many communities can you be part of? But as a product, what you can do also and where quantity matters is contribute to a lot of the existing ones. So when it comes to cloud native or API developers or JavaScript or React or anything there, yeah, I think there was a bit of a wishy-washy answer, but generally super supporters are the way to go. The Business Value of Developer Relations, I want to say that I saw the author in the attendee list. Yes. I think it's almost like a different category. It's almost like a discussion topic. So I think events like this are more important for other DevRel folks, other developer experience folks and maintainers, et cetera. Then they probably are for developers themselves. I think that echoes and that resonates back into the communities, into the user bases. But it's more that. So the importance, I think it's super important because it is essentially skill sharing. It is experience sharing and discussion and then talking about it. Probably not so much doing cross-reference with a bit of a field study. I think that's what I would suggest. Well, when it comes to internal, how internal experience is reflective of customers or users using the product? If I answer that, is that, sorry. No, sorry, would that be a good start? Yeah, yeah. So, to assigning weights to that, I think that's something very much for each company or each project really to figure out. One thing to look at would be, are those developers who are working on that project also a consumer of that project? Like, if you think about something like, I'm gonna use GitHub, maybe that's not a great example, right? But let's, backstage specifically, I think it's also a tool that they use internally. So there are different teams, essentially, who work and develop that tool versus who consume it. So you probably would want to go to the folks who are consuming it rather than using it, if that makes sense. I think it becomes more difficult if, let's say, just trying to think of a... Are you gonna be a friend of others? No, no, no, no, no, no. But that's a really, really great question. Yeah, it's a lot easier. If you were an API testing company, an API, or you're a company that builds APIs and the developers happen to be, let's say, full-sac or front-end cleaning engineers, they're gonna be consumers of that product. So surely, that's a good benchmark there. It gets difficult when the, yeah, when, I don't know, it's a dashboard for something that's super low-level. Like, that's just gonna be a different one. Yeah, sorry. Yes, so it's sort of what, also I don't want to turn this into a pitch, but yeah, I think that can work, and it does work extremely well with guiding developers to do certain actions that they otherwise wouldn't. So if you think about, well, a good example would actually be OpenShift. I can think of one that, when you use it, it has sort of guides on screen, which bits you could click on, and then at some point, there is an interaction, or almost like a rewarding thing that says, you know, you've done this, or this is cool to check out some other spots. It comes extremely handy also in things like learn modules. I know some companies have just launched some. So essentially almost having developers are incentivizing to complete and look at maybe the documentation, or look at certain things before they go ahead and ask the question. I think it's extremely, it also works well, and from what we've seen really from things like Stack Overflow and GitHub, you feel more confident asking a question when there's like upvotes involved, right? Like that's the potential there also. I think it's both. Once for yourself, once for yourself, right? Like if we look at developer laptops, and if we look at the stickers on those laptops, they're there for two reasons. One is because you collect them, and it's like a nice thing, right? It's a stamp of, I've done this thing, and maybe I've learned this thing, or won this hackathon, or like participated somewhere. But another one is that it is a conversation starter. It's GitHub commits the green boxes. They stay there, which is nice. We don't hide them, even if they come from private repos. No, no one just hides. I think we're out of time, so I'm gonna just wrap up here.


Hi, my name is Liam Rowe currency trader and trading coach at trading 180 calm and welcome to this week's a plan demand Forex and gold fundamental and technical analysis if you're new a warm welcome to you And if you're returning an equally warm welcome to you, please don't forget to like subscribe and share it's really a free way of supporting the the channel and it really helps the YouTube algorithm and gets the quality content out to the traders that really would benefit from this type of analysis, so Getting into really the the week ahead And looking at potential fundamental catalysts and as fundamentals are really that the drivers of a medium to long-term price So just zooming into the week ahead. So all eyes are Turning on the US Employment report next week, which will probably add to signs of gradual job recovery as well as worldwide manufacturing PMI survey and an OPEC Meeting that is expected to offer guidance on the production plan. So what it is is that the the US Employment is a I guess An indication an indicator an early indicator of how the economy is doing so high employment and low unemployment you know and That should really Keep the Fed on track when it comes to potentially hiking interest rates, which I'll get into a bit later on We're talking about the dollar index Elsewhere key data to watch for Includes US foreign trade balance and construction spending UK first quarter GDP and current account updates now The UK first quarter GDP is pretty much known as three GDP numbers that come out. There's the I think the preliminary the the second Estimate and then the final so we already know this is pretty much the final GDP We pretty much know what the first quarter data was We really want to watch the market moving new news is really the preliminary News that comes out as far as the the data that comes out and what we know about the The GDP at the moment is already pretty much known So it's not really going to be a market moving event in my opinion Eurozone inflation and business morale again inflation is going to be is really the topic of Discussion and really the market focus at the moment and business morale Japan's tank and survey industrial production and retail sales and Australia foreign trade figures, so a few market moving events Going on this week so let's get into the technicals and some some deeper fundamentals and starting off as we always do on the Dow Jones dollar index and The dollar index is just a measure of dollar strength again weakness against Against other major currencies like the euro the yen the pound and the Australian dollar and some others and Pretty much from the technical analysis perspective. We came up to this supply zone last week and Let me just get my pen tool brush tool and we had you know, just a pretty much a little bit of a self But the overall path of least resistance. I guess at the moment is to the upside and I think the market really is waiting for Waiting for the Federal Reserve to to really kind of Be a bit more obviously a bit more hawkish, but waiting for the data to support the narrative So we had the surprise last week, right? Which was the hawkish tone in the FMC and now the market I guess is waiting for the data to support narrative and what is the data the data is unemployment, right so The feds Rosenberg says 2022 rate hike in play as job market heels Yeah, so the Federal Reserve might consider an interest rate hike from near zero as soon as late 2022 as labor market reaches full employment and inflation is at the Central Bank's gold Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President Eric Rosengren Said the criteria is that we have a sustainable inflation rate Which is 2% is their target or above and that we are at full employment This is the key full employment here Rosengren said in the in a broadcast interview with Yahoo Finance I do expect that it's quite possible that we will see that by the end of the year But it does depend on whether the economy progresses strongly as I'm expecting and that is the key the economy has to Support the rate hikes central banks don't want to just randomly hike rates if the economy won't can't support rate hikes And it's not just the Federal Reserve All central banks will see all central banks, but a lot of central banks are in the same Predicament when it comes to monetary policy, right? So peak central bank support Marks new phase for world recovery, right? So after the global pandemic There's a there is a global recovery And so the pandemic recovery is in a new phase as multiple central banks start or plot the withdrawal of emergency stimulus gradually shifting from peak support and Opening up divergences in international policy making that is in extremely important divergences in international policymaking because if a Central bank is hiking rates looking to hike rates and another central bank is potentially Behind the curve when it comes to hiking rates and they're looking to hold rates and the wait and see You really want to and this is not financial advice, but money will tend to flow into The central banks where the policy is ahead of the curve and they're hiking sooner rather than later So the Federal Reserve's crab walk towards the mo Towards the moment it reduces its aid has cemented the global pivot with Counterparts in the UK Canada Norway Sweden South Korea and New Zealand among those sketching out maps to to a pullback so Again just understanding that the global support all the money printing that was supporting You know furlough businesses the country, etc. Is being withdrawn which should actually have a positive effect on currencies as far as it should create demand as well as hiking rates has a the effect of of creating demand for the currency simply because Investors I guess will want to put their money into a higher yielding currency or assets over a lower yielding one, right? So what on the face of it, that's the basic premise of it There are nuances to that but going back to the Federal Reserve the Federal Reserve The reason why prices went higher was not because there was some technical reason It was literally because the Federal Reserve are now a bit hawkish But just be careful because the data has to support the narrative and if the data comes out this week Jobs come out this week and they disappoint then what happens is is that that 2022, right? The 2022 potential target late 2022 for a rate hike may be then delayed until 2023 and then that obviously pushes expectations for a rate hike Further into the future, which then means that less, you know investors are going to necessarily want to You know filled in need to necessarily buy dollars now and then you could see potential, you know downside So the data always has to support the narrative when it comes to buying the rumor Anyways, if you do feel that you want to get long on the dollar at the moment There is really no demand zones unless we kind of create a new higher high and then wait for a pullback and Then into this would be the new demand zone here And then we're looking for long trades. If not, you're looking for a pullback all the way down into that 90.5 area before looking at long trades if you want to get long on the dollar If you're looking for short trades, then I think any pullback into that supply zone will be a decent short trade But again looking for potential Catalysts and reasons as to why you want to get short on the dollar From a fundamental and possibly risk sentiment perspective moving on to the Dollar yen and a dollar yen last week. We did come up into this This supply zone, which was a market a previous market high Surprises were expensive here the premise about supply and demand or understanding supply and demand is understanding Why is you know if it was expensive in March? What is going to make? Why do investors determine the exchange rate to be expensive here if the US dollar we're looking to High crates for example Yeah Sooner than the Japanese yen the Bank of Japan then in fact the market has to price that in yeah, so Doesn't make sense to just go short here based on the technical pattern because there's no technical patterns That are going to work in the face of fundamentals and understanding Value and monetary policy. This is just not going to work The market think that this is a bargain right here for the dollar the prices will go higher So the path of these resistance at the moment is to the upside you can see what's been happening since really I would say mid-April to the end of April and Again, there has been a major shift in monetary policy. So For me, it's really about potential pullbacks into certain demand zones So that would be where I would look for any kind of long trades pullback into the one tens 109s and then look for potential long trades again if the data supports the narrative So that has to be you know a requirement don't just necessarily just buy or sell you have to keep You know your fingers on the pulse when it comes to understanding the fundamental analysis on what? The big money and a smart money is likely to do If risk off does come into the market meaning there's some fair uncertainty and doubt the Japanese yen does benefit From a risk-off environment and this would then look like actually quite a really decent Short trade but for now There are risk events, but I think the market is is kind of shrugging them off for now as the vaccine rollout should protect, you know Citizens from, you know new Delta variants, etc. Even though there have been, you know certain lockdowns in that But I do think that for now until it really is front-page news I do think that we are in probably more of a risk-on environment than a risk-off environment So again, power for these resistance to the to the upside for now Moving on to the dollar Swiss same thing as a dollar yen Really my bias is really to the upside. So I'm looking for long trades So if prices can make higher highs pull back into a nice demand zone, this would be demand then that's really my preference But again depends on what happens with the dollar and do what the data is saying if not Then you're looking for pullback into the 90 cent area if you are looking for short trades again The question is why do you think that the Swiss franc is undervalued? Why is it a bargain at this at this price point against the US dollar? That's the question you have to always ask yourself and for me the again the Swiss franc the Swiss National Bank are very dovish not looking to raise rates anytime soon They're pretty much the last of essential banks to want to raise rates or looking to raise rates So I think again the path of these resistance is to the upside Again moving on to Next currency pair, which is the dollar CAD the dollar CAD the CAD is actually Bank of Canada is actually ahead of the the Federal Reserve when it comes to potentially hiking rates, so The for me not necessarily a pair. I would like to trade but Just on that that idea if I was looking for any kind of direction I would be looking for short trades any pullbacks into supply for me are short trades There are easier trades you really want to trade currency pairs that are diverging or converging Meaning that one is potentially hiking rates one is cutting rates, right? or for example the base currency is cutting rates and maybe the The quote currency is hiking rates of convergence and divergence trades to to trade Pairs where both central banks are hiking or both are potentially cutting or hawkish or dovish isn't necessarily the best idea In the world you really want to look for this because this is what is going to show you where the market is trending This is price discovery. This tends to be Generally tends to be ranging market territory. So again for me not necessarily the best but There is a slight bit of divergence when it comes to the bank Canada and a Canadian economy being ahead of the US economy So my bias would be to the short side if you're looking for long trades probably look for maybe a pullback down to the 1 to 1 50 area as a to get long on the the dollar and Short the Canadian dollar, but there are definitely easier trades out there moving on to the New Zealand dollar US dollar and New Zealand dollar one of my one of my buy pairs not necessarily against the US dollar Against some other currencies like the the Japanese yen and the Swiss franc prices did come down into This demand zone last week We did get a bit of a sell-off which I was saying to the members of the private discord group was a buying Opportunity and you saw pretty much this week prices come back lots of a bank forecast really kind of focusing on long New Zealand dollar US dollar price up to I think that Maybe third quarter might be about in the 73 areas. So for me any pullbacks into a zone Into that zone now. I think is a decent buying opportunity if we can get it. There is a bit of demand right there The bond There so a bit of pullback into this demand zone and then looking for potential Long trades short trades if you feel that the The US dollar should get stronger, but again, there are easier trades to buy the US dollar against I'm not necessarily a fan of this currency pair at all moving on to the pound dollar pound dollar again, I think it's more even Steven if if looking at the the fundamentals think maybe the the pound for me is Again, I think it's a buy but just not against potentially the dollar I'm not necessarily too sure about the the dollar. I'm saying that you know, you shouldn't where we should again Not financial device, but there are much easier trades fundamentally to if you want to to buy the pound for example Would you buy it necessarily against the dollar who are also looking to high crates, right now going into some fundamentals about the the pound The Bank of England warns against tightening too soon as inflation surges So the Bank of England pushes back against speculation that a surge in UK inflation means preparing to boost interest rates saying the economy still needs Support to recover from the pandemic. So again, it's the same theme as the Federal Reserve They're all doing the same thing, but they need the Economy to recover because if you hike interest rates too soon, it could really, you know, hinder the economy if if if businesses Still struggling still requires support. So they're in a wait and see at the moment. They're in a wait and see situation You know the central bank warned against premature tightening Toughening its language on the need to maintain stimulus. So they are still supporting the economy. They're still furlough programs Going on as well the remarks Contrasted with a sharp increase in the bank's outlook for inflation Which officials now see peaking at 3% a half point higher than their forecast is six weeks ago So inflation at the moment is is running away and you would really expect it kind of to Go higher simply because of the amount of money printing that goes on But again, what this is what the central bank is is worried about is hiking rates too soon They don't want to hike rates and potentially hurt Businesses and the economic recovery. So they're in the same boat as the as the Federal Reserve waiting for, you know, certain economic signs Which potentially could mean that we could be entering into some sort of range for example this being the market high Right. So this was the market high. This was an expensive exchange rate. This may be This was you know a bargain here. So we could actually enter into a potential ranging market state So let's see what happens there Again for me buying The the pound wouldn't necessarily be the best or the pound dollar would be the best pair to trade But if you do want to get Long then looking for pullbacks into that zone there or just below Before getting long looking at any kind of short trades and buying the the dollar Then you're looking for a pullback into this only even though I don't really like this zone Too much from a supply zone perspective. Yes, it's got nice little hard out there, but Probably maybe wait for some sort of Potential stop hunt with some fundamental catalyst above the market before getting involved in that so, yeah, that's pretty much the analysis for the the pound dollar and moving on to the Euro dollar before we get into the Euro dollar just a quick reminder that the Supply and demand course Private mentoring opens on the fifth of July, which is eight days away. I've been getting lots of emails And thank you to those who are inquiring So with the fundamental Analysis and the supply and demand mentor and we pretty much put it all together We go through many different trading strategies as well as Weekly live calls as well. So we are, you know, it's not just me posting videos. You're actually talking to me We're going through, you know trades not necessarily trade calls, but we do talk about The fundamentals how it affects price this is the discord room and Also, as well, you get access to the fundamental analysis spreadsheet, which gives us Really kind of a clear view as to what to expect from currencies currency strength strength divergence and convergences and risk on and risk off sentiments. So just in case you do want to have a Sneak peek into the group it opens enrollment starts July the 5th and You can access the group for less than a pound a day anyway, it's getting back to the Technicals we've got the Euro dollar and Euro dollar Did bounce off of this demand zone right here So we've got a bit of demand coming in limit of the move potentially again If the Federal Reserve are looking to cut rates and the data supports the narrative You should see prices continue to go to the downside the ECB at the moment are A bit behind the curve so ECB's Schnabel Warns governments not to end crisis to support early so pretty much echo in the same sentiment really as the Bank of England as well as the the Federal Reserve to a certain degree but more I think they're more lagging when it comes to Them wanting to potentially high crates a European Central Bank executive board member Isabel Schnabel pledged that she and her colleagues will do everything needed to sustain the economic recovery and warned Governments not to undermine that by tightening fiscal policy to soon. So again, you don't want to choke off the economy Potentially by hiking interest rates or removing the the help and the what she's talking about fiscal policy It's probably more to do with you know furlough schemes You really want to support the economy even though inflation is rising You know the they really don't want to end it just now they want to see the data support the narrative and then they will start to look to potentially see if the economy can support a Hike in rates. So at the moment, I think the path at least resistance is to the downside Again, not necessarily a currency pair that I'm really interested in But if I was then the dollar the US dollar would be the the currency pair that I would look to trade and it would be You know more to the short side. So let's see what happens here positive sentiment around to the the US dollar and the Fed kind of neutral around around euro So again partly resistance to the to the downside So ultimately what you're looking for is for prices to make lower lows a pullback into supply and then That would be supplied there and then a short trade there Or if prices do manage to get back to the one to one area Then you're looking for any kind of short trades around there If there is a more of a hawkish shift towards Europe, then I think you're probably looking at any kind of long trades Either at this demand zone around here or down at the 117 area Moving on to the euro yen euro yen last week I was saying I did want to be long on this didn't manage to catch the catch the low But although the although Europe are, you know, probably maybe lagging behind the curve a little bit I do think that they're in a better place than the Japanese yen. So for me Ultimately, I want to get long on this currency pair. There is demand here as well I'll delete Probably this one make the chart bit cleaner. So there is definitely demand in and around this zone This one started from the one through one Area and when you have such a large zone, one of the things that you can do is break it down with support and resistance Because right, it's not one or the other you use what you really want to do is use both As confidence the reason why is because we understand that other traders use support and resistance, right? So not only do we have demand? So for example price was a bargain in and around this area, but for more precision We understand that there's going to be at certain support levels, right? This being resistance. It's being support There's going to be technical traders getting involved in and around this area here just buying technical levels Right. That's what traders tend to do not understanding which way they should be trading from a fundamental perspective So it adds to the supply and demand equation if we understand fundamentally that we should be buying here and then Technical analysis traders look for certain zones as well And they start to place orders to the upside the question becomes Why is there going to be more supply in this area than demand? Yeah, or why is there like to be more demand in this area than supply again? Nobody knows exactly where the market is going to turn, but it's all about probably, you know being the probabilities of one thing happening over Another so one of the one of the techniques we do use out of probably about five or six Confluences is also the addition of support and resistance with supply and demand zone and a little secret in fact Supply and sorry support and resistance, right a past supply and demand zones, right? I've got videos on my YouTube channel if you have a search for it Support and resistance are past supply and demand zones that have been projected into the future it's just the way that it's been traded by supply and demand and Support and resistance looks different, but they're actually the same In fact, I'll just see if I can find the the video in fact I'll put it I'll try and put it in the in the link in the description box and you can have a look at the At that that video anyways moving on actually not yet Japanese yen risk off you're looking for any kind of short trades back up into this zone here before looking at any kind of short trades If not, you're looking for lower highs and lower lows to be made before Prices pulled back. So what I mean by that is if we Get rid of all this Not all of that you just go back, right? So if we do get lower low lower high or lower lows, right? You're looking for a pulled back that would create supply and then you're looking for a Cell trade in and around this area here But again, you're looking for more risk off sentiment to come into the market moving on to the Australian dollar US dollar and Price did actually again accurately bounce off of this demand zone right here Again, I'm not a fan of this currency pair simply because you've got two Currency pairs that are you know looking to potentially hike rates soon I think the Australian dollar probably just a bit more ahead of the dollar So if my bias if it didn't have a bias it would be to the upside So any kind of pullbacks to that demand zone for me is a buying opportunity Selling opportunity up into this Supply zone right here before looking at any kind of sell trades or if prices do make again lower lows You're looking for a pullback into that zone before looking at getting short Moving on to the Aussie Yen Aussie yen Again a nice sign mark this out last week again support and resistance This basically illustrates the point right so your support resistance has been that wide demand zone and then look what happens Prices bounced off of that support zone And went to the upside right for me. I'm interested in this pair Longest pair because they are pretty much diametrically opposed commodity currencies like the Australian dollar do wedding a risk on Environment yeah, and the Japanese yen will tend not tend to do well in a risk on environment So for me commodity currencies over safe haven currencies and the risk on environment all days So long trades it is I've been saying that for a while. This was a bit of a Quite a large liquidity hunt But we've seen prices bounce if you get pretty much back down into this zone around here for me That is another, you know entry for a Continued long trade as long as risk remains on if you do want to get short in and around these areas I probably say the 8550 the highs of this area would be the the best area to look for any kind of a short trade within this wide area of Of supply as you have bit of resistance resistance resistance in and around these areas there and Finally looking at gold and gold is really like the dollar this week. I think is waiting for a bit of a catalyst The dollar they've really didn't move in either the gold I think continued a potential continued gold sell-off Which then this is really driven by again the hawkish Federal Reserve will be dependent upon Inflation for example if you do think that inflation is going to get out of hand and It's not transitory as the Federal Reserve say meaning that it's a temporary inflation Then I think then you probably want to continue to get long on gold but if you if you you know if you if you sorry if you if you don't believe the Federal Reserve and it's temporary inflation if you do believe that the inflation is temporary and the US dollar will want to Will control inflation put a little in inflation by hiking interest rates then the effect really is for weaker and lower gold prices Because money will flow into a higher yielding asset like the US dollar And if they look into high rates from for example 0.25 to potentially 0.5 percent Yeah, and gold doesn't pay an interest And also we're in a risk-on Environment then Unfortunately the dollar pretty much wins and especially like I said if inflation starts to come back towards the 2% target average inflation as well So we could just be seeing this range where prices have been contained between this range here this high here and This low here so you can see where the actual range is Contained between this nineteen nineteen twenty area potentially and The sixteen and prices may remain within this range for a little while But let's see what happens again keep an eye on inflation also keep an eye on the US Jobs and the US recovery. Anyways guys, that's it for this week. I hope you guys have a great trading week and Take care speak soon


This study investigates the electrical conductance and thermal power of a quantum dot-tunnel couple to external leads using an extension of the Anderson impurity model that accounts for assisted hopping processes and occupancy dependence of tunneling amplitudes. The Schriefer-Wolf transformation and scaling arguments are used to provide analytical understanding, while numerical calculations using the numerical renormalization group method are used for corroboration. The assisted hopping modifies the coupling to the two particle state, which shifts the condo exchange coupling constant and exponentially reduces or enhances the condo temperature, breaks particle hole symmetry, and strongly affects thermal power. Gate voltage and temperature dependence of transport properties are discussed in various regimes, with a peculiar discontinuous behavior found near a specific value of the assisted hopping parameter that results in a very high C-beck coefficient. The study shows that the thermal power is a highly sensitive probe of assisted hopping and condo correlations.


So, you just wish there was an easy way to find all the best prompts, not a problem. You do not have to learn everything by yourself. The fastest way is to learn from other people.  Then use that to generate your own images in that exact same style. And the coolest part is, once you click an image, if you like it, you can click here to explore, and it will show you a bunch of other similar images that you might like even more.  If you like angels, look up angels. If you like knights, look up knights. And if you have a favorite artist, for example Yuji Shinkawa, the guy who drew all of Metal Gear, just look him up, find an awesome image, click the prompt, and adjust and plug it into stable diffusion. Press go, and you're done. All that helps in, as always, will be of a fantastic day, and I'll see you around.


Welcome. Aloha. Thanks so much for joining us on Think Tech Hawaii, rule of law and the new abnormal. And today we have two exceptional women leaders to talk to us about women leadership, what it brings, why it's needed, especially in these times. We have Professor Neil Randall, Professor Emerita from the University of Dayton School of Law, and also with a historical background in a prior career in nursing. Amazing combination and Tina Patterson, mediator, arbitrator, business consultant and advisor. And also a person of many diverse experiences and awarenesses. Professor Tina, if someone were to ask you whether you believe that we need to see more women in leadership now and why. What thoughts might come to mind for you. Well, I, I, I would have a conflicted answer, as you can imagine. I think that we need more women in leadership in order to make sure that issues that are important to the communities that those women come from are on the table and address. However, I think that we have to remember that women leadership doesn't change the system. They are a part of the system. And so whatever they do, whether they're black progressives, they're going to do it within the context of the system itself. And if like me, you believe that the system is the fundamental problem, then advocating for more leadership without constantly reminding people that they can't change the system. And they can just kind of ease the pain that women in in systemic leadership can ease the pain. So that would be my response. Fantastic and it raises the question. Tina, do you have any sense as to whether women may be better in dealing with that tension that conflict that balance. And the male leaders, at least those we've had. I do think that women leaders, one their perspective because as what Professor Randall indicated, many women are juggling multiple demands competing demands and sometimes those comedic competing demands can be both hit on both a personal and a professional level. And as we see oftentimes in the media, there's no distinction made between the two. So I do think that women are both inherently in many ways able to do to both juggle, but also know when this is this is really personal. This is coming to the forefront in my professional life, but I'm making the choice to either not let that be my focus. I think there's also this idea of emotional intelligence, as well as intellectual intelligence. I'm not saying that men aren't both, but we see with women there's also this seems to be for many women, not all women. It's a part of the who they are in terms of engaging and negotiating and interacting with others and trying to be problem solvers instead of I'm going to take this hard tactic line and and not not consider the other. Now having said that and we see this in studies. Women are oftentimes less inclined to take that that lead role and some of it is as Professor Randall mentioned. It's systemic.  You need to, you know, you can be at the table but you really shouldn't say anything and if somebody else takes credit, you know, just chin up take one for the team. While it, yes, I think there, there are aspects that are better. There's still the systemic, the unconscious bias the micro aggressions, and sometimes it's not micro it's just out and out presentation and and how someone is presented. One of the things you asked about was preparing for today's session. I thought about Fran Drescher and what she's going through as the president of SAG. I read an article written by the Washington Post I had to say it was highly disappointing. It focused on the fact that she had played in a sitcom over two decades ago as a nanny. That is not who she is today. And that story missed the fact that she brought that story to that station or to that channel and said you know here's a story they bought into it, knowing that she was going to highlight these aspects. But the article tended to focus on that versus here's an impact to our economy. If these people are on strike and how many other organizations will recognize the striking group and not engage in their work because they're now aligned with an alliance with. No, and that's a great insight because, as you indicate she brought them an opportunity to understand a really, really important imbalance tension conflict between workers and the people who hold power over workers over their lives and over the lives of lots of people, not just factories, but hairdressers, custodians, landscapers, everybody involved in the industry. It's a huge number and range and diversity of people. Instead of that, they scaled back and they focused on one small aspect, a stereotypical and actually fictional aspect of this person's life when they were offered the opportunity to say look how much truth there is here that you can help people understand. And they completely miss that. I got to think that almost has to have been a male reporter who did that. I can't imagine another woman doing that to her. I can imagine that. I can imagine a lot of it I don't I think that I think that there's the proof that we'd like to talk about women in roles of leadership which I think we need and women in more women in this in in lines of promotion whatever our jobs in doing, which is absolutely important. But my view is this that it may be which is the cat, you know chasing the tail which come first, but oftentimes women, they know how their bread is buttered. And so they are going to take some of the same positions and do some of the same things that that men in those positions to I have not experienced women in position of a power who do things against the system. They might be nicer. They may have more emotional intelligence. They may go about it in a way that makes me feel better. In fact, I have a student visit a student that hadn't seen for a long time was in Orlando and called me up to visit them. And we were sort of talking about this because she had requests under two different Dean. One was a man Dean and one was a woman Dean, and she was angry at the man Dean because of the way he had done something. But then when I but when I pointed out that the woman did the same thing that she didn't get a different result from the woman. She just got a woman he treated her nice. She got a person treated her nicer and made her feel her and I'm not saying that's important, not important. I'm just saying that if you're looking for results, and that women don't often give different results in situations like this, then men. You know, you make a very good point. Washington folks. I'm sorry, I hated that disappoint you check with the Washington Post article that I'm referring to is written by a woman. Sorry. So maybe for every Rachel Maddow there's a Maria Bartiroma or for every Nancy Pelosi there's a Marjorie Taylor green or Lauren that's a scary talk. Yeah. But then when you even when you look at Rachel Maddow, Rachel Maddow has consistently worked within the STEM system. If you look at how she tailored her. She doesn't go far to the left. She doesn't. She's real. I love Rachel Maddow when she first got on and I was really excited. But then I began to see the pattern of how these left, but she's not far away. And she's not advocating for changes in the system that would undermine the system she's advocating for a better functioning system and and and and I'm not saying that's not needed. And I think that's what we can expect from women. I've been to tell you the truth, but because I ragged on so bad I must admit how surprised I have been by judge Brown. I'm surprised because she's come up with some. She's been aggressive in her questioning, which in the context of law, that's essential silence. If you, especially if you don't have, you can change how not to vote, but how people think about things by the questions you ask. And she's been aggressive in her questioning. She's been questioned question and her, her response, writing dissents, which is, is kind of unheard of the number of dissents she actually write from a young judge. And she's come up with some novel theories. I think the whole concept of original progressiveness, which is a concept she doesn't articulate it that way but that's what she's arguing that the Constitution and the amendments were progressive. And we, and if you want to adopt the original language, then you have to adopt a progressive view of the world. I, and she did that she's done that with the equal protection, which I think she's exactly right. So I've been a real surprise, a real surprise. So, again, she's working within the system, but she's doing a good job. So that's a great example. Are there other women who are examples of the kind of leaders that can actually bring about change and how people see and think about things that may impact the system and its evolution. So, for example, last week, thinking about the NATO public forum, I was very much impressed with the Prime Minister, Estonia, small nation, but she is an active player, and what is happening in NATO, and what is happening in that region. And she, I know she didn't do it singlehandedly, she has others working with her, but to make Estonia a place where this, the tactical games and tactical work could be done. And for her to hold this conversation was one both impressive, but also shifted the conversation from just having the military representatives present and having really this male dominated conversation. She knows what she's talking about, but she also recognizes she's not a force of one. On a slightly different note, another person who got my attention and I would think of in terms of leadership. Christine, and I'm going to, I may mispronounce her last name but it's Mahwanda. I'm going to correspond it with that she'll well it. She is African descent, but she was the moderate. And in this verified space, we very rarely see, I'm going to say, African and black women. The fact that she's probably under the age of 45 also was a significant factor. She held her own. She kept the attention of the panel, but she also kept the attention of the audience. And because of her age, she was able to balance the online participation with those who are in the room. I see her as a rising star. I don't know what form I'll see her in again but I was very much impressed because it's easy enough in those spaces for her to either be overlooked or treat it in such a way that she's considered not to bring value to the table and she definitely hit the nail on the head in both regards. Those are great examples. And one of the things I especially love about those especially the Estonian Prime Minister is she brought home in ways no one else did or could that she was speaking, not just for herself in Estonia, but for all of the small central European country who are next, if we don't stand up to Putin and his very World War two like very Nazi criminal invasion of a sovereign country. I'm impressed I don't want to keep on this, but I also want to talk about the president of the Native American Bar Association that when we talk about sovereignty. And this is something in the US that we still struggle with, whether we're talking about nations, First Nations on the West Coast East Coast or in the Midwest. And one acknowledging the sovereignty but also recognizing that those who serve in the legal capacity, what rule of law really means we can't, it can't be a roll of dice well today we're going to follow this law know there are 33 federally recognized nations. They have a right, and we, we determine when it's comfortable which which right we want to acknowledge. I applaud her because she is bringing to the forefront things such as we need portable water. Oh, diabetes is on the rise. It's because we have food deserts. Oh, you can't. People can't get in contact with one another. It's because we don't have the telecommunications necessary for us to have basic conversations with the person in the next community. We're from the refusal of the United States to really recognize their obligation under the treaties that that that if the United States, the United States has never taking their treaty obligation. Very seriously. And, and because of that, they suffer from that and I agree with you. Her advocacy for the sovereign nations is in has been exceptional. I apologize. I don't remember her name right now, but she's me neither. That's just that she's she's doing an outstanding job and bringing the awareness I know at the American Bar Association annual conference, one of the awardees of the Thurgood Marshall Award is from one of the first nations. And I hope this isn't just, oh, we're going to do this for 2023. This needs to be an ongoing conversation because we see parallels when we talk about what's happening in terms of sovereignty with our first nations, in terms of sovereignty for the United States and other countries abroad, and it's not a, it's not a singular effort, it's not a singular activity, the geopolitical instability that we see abroad is reflected here and vice versa. Absolutely right. And that points to another example, maybe another good one of why we need women leadership and what that can bring is Deb Haaland as the Secretary of the Interior. Absolutely. Not only the first indigenous American to hold that position, but she's the first one to actually focus it on trying to understand and live up to obligations that are not just conceptual, like, yeah, the US and the DOJ said, we protect your water rights, but we're not going to convert that into anything specific that actually gives you real water. It's just a conceptual obligation. But one of the things we need to be careful, and we can't put women in for women's sake. Correct.    It says to people who don't know any better or who aren't willing to think any further that if a woman will do it, then it must be okay. And so I'm going to do it too. It pushes, it gives permission for other people in authority to walk on in a way that the in a more overt way that they might not do it. So I, I am not for women in leadership just to have them. I think that we have to always look at the politics we're promoting.  And, and, and we have to do that. I think. Well, and I think it's exactly what Tina was alluding to, which is, if you look at the resources that are available in black women leadership in indigenous women leadership, there are more than enough. Truly outstanding individuals and resources. That's exactly correct. Outstanding. I concur with that. How do we open those doors. What part of what I did, we have to not be afraid of mentoring room and people below us. We have we, I think sometimes, and this may have changed, but sometimes there is a truism. There's only one that sometimes the system only once one woman, one white woman, one black woman, and we become fearful that we won't be the one. There may be justification for that sphere. Because, who often, when there's more than one sooner or later they find a reason to get rid of the extra one. And the older one may be fearful that they'll be the ones that they got gotten rid of. So we have to, we have to, we have to work on overcoming that fear and mentor people all the way down the line all the way. You know, from, from elementary school all the way up through the pipeline term that I hate. But, but we have to mentor people and get make sure that we get people. Even though there's justified fear of what those people may or may not do because, you know, people lie when they're interviewing for jobs, so you never know for sure whether you are getting what you think you're getting when you get when you but you got to, you've got to take that risk you've got to do the best you can. In promoting people up through the pipeline and but promoting people up through the pipeline. Like, this is my kids and I are going to read my 13 year olds and I are going to read. Howard's then people history they're going to be taking history in the eighth grade Florida history and I wanted to be sure that they didn't walk away with an idea that it was accurate history. So, we've got to mentor the young people we got to educate our own children our own daughters, we have to make sure that they have the political history and skills necessary to get promoted up so that when they get into the pipeline they can become a force for good instead of a force for maintaining system. And that reminds us that for this to happen the mentoring the cultivation in the development of these truly well qualified and appropriately gifted leaders, we need the groups we need the coalitions we need the teams. Where are those now that you see in our last couple of minutes here. I see them in the social organizations that we belong to I see them in churches I see them business owners. I agree with everything that Professor Randall said but I would also add knowing the difference between a mentor and a sponsor to sometimes get into these spaces. We need sponsors for younger people understanding that a sponsor is not a mentor and a mentor is not a sponsor a sponsor is going to use their social capital. They are going to make those those introductions, they are going to use their influence so that you can have a seat at the table. They may be the person who actually defends your being invited to have a seat at the table and nurturing those relationships, but also saying to you know in these groups in these spaces, it doesn't happen overnight and I can't emphasize that and it doesn't happen overnight. You have to nurture that relationship. So they're there, but it does take and it's not going to be a matter of Chuck, you know, I think you should be a sponsor. Observe, watch, what are you seeing what are you meeting where are you, where are you spending your time and energy and I realized we have one minute left so I'll leave the floor. Okay. That's okay we're going to run over, but, and you're right, and those sponsors those champions may also very well include allies. Yes. And those absolutely those parts of the coalition have to be productive. We're just around though you were going to add we're in our last minute so I just kind of read but unless you're very top of the pyramid. Everyone is working to try to get improved. The sponsor is being sponsored. But it is not a. Okay, I've gotten this. I'm a president in a in of a of a university. And so now I can just sponsor all these people below me know you are being sponsored by someone who helped you navigate into that position. And so we have to remember that as well. No, and that's critical those teams those groups those coalitions have to be effective parts of the system.  Oh my gosh. To be young gifted and black. That's where it's at. Yes, I concur with you, or as we used to say when I was a kid right on. And so yeah, it is some, it's a journey. It's a journey. And for those of you that want to take the course. Be encouraged. Be encouraged. There are a lot of people who will say no. Don't listen to them.  We will push you forward. We will also pull your coat tails and tell you going down the right path. You need to course correct. Yeah, it's awesome. And maybe that's a good place to wrap up is to help everyone understand and remember. Choose to be part. Of those movements, those groups, those coalition. Choose. Learning. And your own richness of experience, as well as. What you can help make possible for those who can help bring about the kind of change. That's going to help that movement grow. Professor Randall, Tina, thanks so much for your time. Thanks all of you for joining us on think tech Hawaii. A couple of weeks we'll be back. Weekend all take care and all.


Hello, beautiful people. I wanted to take some time today to talk about a subject that You know, I think it's very important to talk about But I also usually hesitate to talk about it in daily conversation because there's a lot of stigma and a lot of judgment That generally come along with it. But you know what? It's important to talk about so let's dive in and chat. I Have been on prescription narcotics, which are like Vicodin, Percocet, things like that since I was 20 When I tell people that there is generally a look of concern and shock and horror and it's generally met with questions about being an addict or Do I abuse it or things like that and if it comes from like a good friend who's concerned about me Please ask. It comes from random strangers Seems a little out of place, but I understand the concern because there is such a problem with drug use and abuse specifically in America and I believe the rest of the world and especially when it comes to opioids and Prescription drugs with that being said, I just wanted to share with you kind of my experience of being on narcotics for the past seven years of my life I want to start off by saying that there is a difference between addiction and dependence. I have been dependent on Drugs on opioids. That's when your body will go into Withdrawal when you're when your body is actually dependent on substance and it will have a bad reaction if you take that substance away Addiction is different.  That's also just from Genetic luck. I get chronic migraines, which means I generally get them more than half of the month I get them a lot of days after that horseback riding accident I started trying everything that I could to deal with the pain. I went to chiropractors many times physical therapists many times I tried acupuncture. I've tried the essential oils. I've tried you name it I probably have given it a shot at least once if not many times over But after seeing many many doctors by the time I was 18 I was referred to a pain management doctor pain management doctors are essentially specialists for pain and Pain doesn't always have a cause. Generally it does. Sometimes it's hard to find. A couple years ago I actually went to the Mayo Clinic because of the Migraines like the constant migraines I was having the constant pain and they essentially told me that it was bad genetics and the Kyari malformation and My neck was messed up and it didn't really have a fix. It kind of is what it is And so I have been trying to find a way to get up with medications Ever since I got on them when I was 20 I got on two narcotics previous to that They put me on things like tramadol, which isn't narcotic. It's a heavier painkiller. You can't get it like over the counter It just wasn't super effective for me. And by the time I hit 20 I wasn't really able to Function like I was in so much pain all the time I couldn't do much of anything and so they started giving me heavier medication that allowed me to be able to Function like make it through days to want to stay alive and It's been a good tool With that being said, it's also a terrible tool. I hate being on Narcotics, I've always hated being on narcotics. They slowly kind of kill your body They do not do good things to it, especially long term They are not meant to be a long-term solution They make it really difficult to control pain when it gets out of control like after surgeries and stuff like that It's always been hard for doctors to control pain for me like in the hospital and stuff like that because my body is so accustomed to having narcotics in my bloodstream that I need a much higher level of them when things are bad To actually work So one of the reasons I had this amputation Was to take care of one of the sources of my pain and maybe Get my body in better alignment because I was always limping so bad It kind of like threw my body off all the time And I thought you know what maybe this will help my like neck and spine stay better in line and I can be more active Which always helped so I am always searching for ways to get off of medication I Have been Ridiculously lucky and I really mean that in that I have never struggled with addiction I've had a really good support system and really good doctors I'll get drug tested regularly which I'm super on board with and grateful for because I really don't think anyone has ever above Addiction no one ever plans for that like no one ever wants that no one's ever like hey, this sounds like a great idea I think I'm gonna start abusing medication it just happens and so I've been able to put checks and balances in place between the excellent Doctors that I have when it comes to pain management and also family and friends like checking in on me and Ask any questions like hey, how's how's everything going with you know? Your medications are you still taking in the way that you should because I've asked people to ask me those questions and so because of that that is Honestly stopped me a few times from taking too much medication when things were really just crappy in life And I wanted to erase pain and you know what like this is a great way to do that Except that it's not a great way except it leads to very very destructive thing So I am very very blessed and grateful that that has not been an issue in my life And I really hope fingers crossed and all intentions set in this direction that as I recover from this surgery I will continue to be able to get off of medication I've been on a different medication post surgery that was a little bit stronger But I've come up with almost all of it and I've not gone on the medication I was on before surgery and things are okay So I'm trying to take things slow and I'm really hoping that maybe I won't have to go back on medications Perhaps that's naive, but I could hope and At least to work in that direction I think that chronic pain can be really difficult for a lot of people to grasp because there is a context for it because it's not normal to hurt every second of every day in marrying degrees and Most people that I've interacted with which isn't many but most people I know that are in chronic pain do a good job of Faking it for brief periods of time. So like I can be super happy, you know and I can go out and be social and still really hurt and It's not that I'm faking being happy It's just that you learn to like suppress the pain and do your best to like function anyways but it takes a lot of energy to do that and so I do not go out and do nearly as many things as other people. I end up canceling plans I don't say often but often because it's too much because the pain is too much someday because I just like can't manage it so living in chronic pain is Is an odd existence because you try very very hard to be normal to like be a normal person and like be put together and not burden people with being Sad or upset or gloomy all the time because pain kind of makes you feel that way But it's hard Not to feel that way sometimes and so I think it's a process I've tried to figure out What life looks like for you and what life has looked like for me as someone who has lived in chronic pain for years Has been a combination of drugs which help it do not like taking but they help they help me Be able to work. They help me be able to be a Human and a friend and a wife and a daughter and and everything and not want to just die all the time Which isn't great Combined with things like exercise is super helpful. I found that that really helps it gets blood moving It helps prevent migraines for me. It like loosens up my neck And now that my ankle is gone, which hurt to exercise I think it'll be really good and I'm hoping that it will prevent even more pain So fingers crossed for that and I have high hopes for that I've definitely combined that with like getting emotional support and help because there's definitely like an emotional Component to living in chronic pain as well. So that's a little bit about drugs and chronic pain and Narcotics so I would welcome any questions that you guys have. I am happy to talk about this I think it's a an odd topic because like I said, we don't usually talk about this unless we're talking about like drug abuse or Odine from opioids or narcotics. So if you have any questions at all, I would love to answer them And I would love to chat with you guys in the comment section I hope this video finds you on a lovely day in your life and I look forward to seeing you in the next video I'll talk to you soon. Bye guys


Hi, I'm Charles and this is my first week as a postdoc with Gavin Stewart-Seven and Synthesis Lab where we'll be undertaking a network meta-analysis for a Cochrane study. Now, network meta-analysis tools are very much in development and there is no one place that I can go to to find all the tools and functions that I need to produce a network meta-analysis according to Cochrane's protocols. Seeing as I'm going to figure this out, I thought I might as well do it in an open science way. Now, I'm not trying to make something definitive. Instead, I propose a computational waste station somewhere in between an individual trying to figure it out and a definitive computational protocol that someone can follow. This is a meeting place for other people who are practicing network meta-analysis, other people doing Cochrane and maybe Campbell, other protocols somewhere where we can aggregate tool chains and resources for performing network meta-analysis and are according to different protocols. So, to this end, I'm not trying, I don't propose a package or a manuscript but instead a collection of research items. So, a site with reproducible tool chains, an open source code repository and various contribution pathways for people with different levels of computational interest and a discussion form. Why do this? Well, there's no one place that I can go to. There's no gaps in the tool chain for performing a network meta-analysis. I've started off with multi-NMA, which we heard about yesterday. And as far as I know, there's no way to produce a contribution matrix which is required by Cochrane's reporting protocols for network meta-analysis from multi-NMA. However, there are other packages that do produce the contribution matrix, but I suspect they will not talk so easily to each other. I doubt I can just take the model that's been produced by multi-NMA and feed it into a function from a different package. They'll have different underlying data structures. So, to this end, tool chains and vignettes where we string together multiple tools to produce an analysis according to the protocol seems useful, especially for myself, to get feedback from the community and help. Not only that, but where there are, yes, we want to follow Cochrane's protocol, but say, for example, sensitivity analysis, well, what's recommended in the Handbook or in Bornstein is a leave one out analysis. Now, this means we take our meta-analysis and we remove one study, run it again and see whether there was the recommendation is the same. But, of course, this begs the question, well, what if we left a different study out? Or what if we left two studies out? So, this is where sharing our computational tool chains may be of use. Here I wrote a little script to take the network I presented in the first slide, which is five treatments from seven studies for Parkinson's disease from the multi-nma package. And I took all subsets of studies, size three and greater, and ran a network meta-analysis on it, produced the recommended rankings for the treatments, and summarized them here in this visualization where each bar plot is grouped into the number of studies. This is, I think, a fairly interpretable way of summarizing a sensitivity analysis, but it has a major limitation. With seven studies, this produced 99 different subset meta-analysis to run through and took several minutes to run on my computer. So, clearly, this will become computationally intractable as the number of studies increases. The next step for dealing with multiple, much larger sets of meta-analysis studies would be a threshold analysis. But this is far more challenging to implement, and not everyone may do it. So, this tool chain may be of use to someone who's dealing with a meta-analysis of a small number of studies that want a readily interpretable sensitivity analysis that's a little bit more robust than the one-out. So, how might others contribute to the gaps or the extensions for the tool chains for reporting network meta-analysis according to different protocols? Well, if we consider the research group that I've joined, we have a principal investigator who's a psychologist. I imagine she's not at all interested in interacting with GitHub at all. So, in that case, I provide a website with an email address where she can simply send through an email if she has ideas about how to make the visualizations more informative. Then we've got a lead statistician, Gav, who's supervising me. Now, he's very busy and has many projects and may not have time to contribute code, but he may well have the time to make notes in the public discussion forum by the GitHub issues. And I can aggregate them as the maintainer. I can take emails and convert them into issues for discussion amongst the community. For my computational collaborators, say, for example, Matt Granger is interested in network meta-analysis in ecology. So, let's say he wants to develop a vignette for network meta-analysis in ecological protocols. This is a workflow that comes from the use this package that I very warmly encourage you to try and practice and learn with me. And the idea is to provide a small set of functions that will enable Matt to do just that, produce a vignette and contribute it to the package without a great deal of fiddling about with GitHub. This talk is reproducible. There's also a manuscript associated and there's reproducible source for that manuscript. Thank you very much for listening and do get in touch if you have any questions or comments or suggestions. Thanks.