، నాబ్నిన్లన నారానినినితిత్ిని నిల౿నిిన నిహేలుఏం నిచాన్లన డిన్రంటా దినిసిత్ట్మ నిఖంటారియసినితిసిలేలస్సినిదినిరికవా. ギ ят dę coon  �  שא�  verme  majesty                                                                                quickest pitching bands andthree concept arm of a Psy long time nd one where N, as a product of the primes defining ABC. אני ഏികിക്ിലുൈോടൃമു്ന്്് കികൃുകൈടുകുുുകൈൃണ്ു്്നു്്ടൃണ്ന്ൎണ്ട simplicity tonnes ragout entity. C is a projection completion of the curve of equation y and Krishna අතා වටිල්රScript�්නාgage y andória converting to x ඔන෻නා එ කෙපලනී�anladım C is 2 කරරු. We can apply the effective modelpekrieste of the management that we является accessibility, tungaSabid canhaины y c y u x 5 x y ᵉ ᵃ ᵏᵍ different using a orage podeuded yezle grund ڭ z strong chris. ఎ technically you must use the elders if you use a point of view of the table ఒరి. ఒరి d � under the table కమ drauf. ఄారి ఉరి ఆdoo. We assume I have A plus B equals C. Then we can take Y equals C over A, therefore Y squared minus Y equals C squared over S squared minus C over A equals BC over S squared. Let's call this quantity M and the equation we have to solve is S5 equals M. So we introduce the number field F equals Q fifth root of M. And we can apply the effective model condition that we proved last time. Consider the point P equals fifth root of M, Y. So it's the point in C of F. We will define the height on C, namely HM to HM of P, the same as H by of the star over one of P. So the same as the height of P of P by the projection formula again. So this is H of Y, where H is the naïve height, that is the naïve height of rational number. It simply is the log of the supremum of the absolute, so this is the supremum of log of BC log of a square. We take log of the numerator, log of the denominator and we take the supremum of it. This is the naïve height of our rational number. So what we get here is something like 2 log C. So now we have the inequality HM P. Yes, I recall, 1 for the epsilon degree M log delta F F over Q plus O of 1. This is what we have shown last time. As a consequence of congestion B, we have this form of explicit effective model congestion for the curve. Well a little worried because of this 2 here. Ah, H of Y is supremum, Y is equal to C over A. So supremum of log C log A. We have to use Y equals C over A. So we get that log C is at most, while the degree of M is 5. So 5 over 4 plus epsilon log delta F divided by the degree plus O of 1. Now we can conclude this to number, namely the degree of F over Q is 5. F was obtained by extracting the fifth thought in Q. And there is a small m r, which is the delta F is at most 5 into the fourth. F was Q square of 5 of M. So the prime rhamifying in F are 5 because it is good. And the prime dividing M. And M was BC over S squared. So we get all the prime dividing AB of C. So this is N. And the exponent is 4 because it's only 10 divided by 5. That's the response. OK. So now we get the following. We like log C. That's what I call. 5 over 4 divided by 5 multiplied by 4. So we get exactly 1 plus epsilon log N plus O of 1. And this is what we wanted to prove. That C is at most N1 plus epsilon times the constant. Is there a question? Is there a question? OK. So if you wish, we look at the proof which goes from contract AB to ABC. For ABC, we know we want prime preceptilon. And this fixes the coefficient of log delta all along. This is really the way it was done by once, I mean, aiming at one preceptilon in the last estimate. And you have to control the coefficient of log delta in the theorem before. OK. So in fact, this theorem was announced by Mochizuki. It's already a long ago, 2012, a proof of a conjecture of VITAR. So the conclusion of this theorem is known according to this conjecture of VITAR. And as you know, people have a lot of difficulties to check the paper of Mochizuki. OK. So let's give some example. So we shall look at the few dial-fontane equations. The first is the Fermat equation. Extend plus y n equals 0. So it's of course of type A plus B equals C. And what do we get? C, which is z to the n. And that's how we call to A product of P dividing x, y, z to the power 1 preceptilon. So this is less than the constant A prime times z 1 preceptilon. So on the left hand side, we have z n. And on the right hand side, we have z 1 preceptilon. And z 4 n is bounded. So the A-B-C conjecture implies that for n large enough, Fermat equation has no solution. So it's less precise than the Fermat equation. But on the other hand, it's more general because we can look at a question which looks like Fermat equation. We'll then generalize Fermat equation. Assume we have 3 non-zero integers. And we look at the equation alpha x to the n plus beta y to the n equals gamma z to the n. So this is like A plus B equals C. And from the ABC conjecture we get gamma z to the n. It's less to recall to A product of the prime dividing alpha, beta, gamma x, y, z to the power 1 preceptilon. So there are really two cases. First case, assume alpha equals beta plus gamma. Then this equation has the opposite solution. X equals 1 equals z. Second case, alpha is not equal to beta plus gamma. And then we deduce from this as we did from the Fermat equation that gamma z is bounded. We get that n is bounded. By looking at gamma z less than gamma z to the n, being less than a multiple of gamma z. There exists n0, such that if n is bigger than the n0, either gamma equals alpha plus beta, or x equals y, x, y, z is 0. One of the variables is 0. Goldfeld stated something which is even more general. Let epsilon be between 0 and 1. Let ABC be between 0 natural integers. Then the equation alpha x to the r plus beta y to the s plus gamma z to the z equals 0 has finitely many solutions. Solution being x, y, z, r, s and t. So there are finitely many values of x, r, y, s, z and t, such that this equation holds and was first x, y, z is different from 0. Second, x, y, the greatest common divisor of x and y is equal to the greatest common divisor of x and z. And y and z is 1, so they are promised by pairs. And r, r, t should be positive numbers.  So r, r, s and t cannot be too big because they are all big, then the sum is less than 1 minus epsilon. So this is the generalization of what proceeds with the power of x, y and z not being the same. The proof is obtained by essentially the same method which I was giving for Frammer. OK. Now we talk about ABC for number fields. So we start with the number field k. We add r plus db and d of k for a log of the absolute discriminant. And now we have to choose the norm at this place. So uv is the place of k. We define xv equals the absolute value of x, uv is real. The square of the absolute value of v is complex. So per dig valuation of x, uv is given by a prime. But I have to tell you how I normalize the periodic absolute value. We do it as follows. We ask that the prime p has absolute value 1 over p 1 over r where p is simply the prime corresponding to p. OK. So we have normalized the absolute value. And we can define the height and the conductor as follows. If ABC has 3 non-zero element in k, we define the height of ABC to be the product for all pcsv of the maximum of norm of v, norm of c. That's why maybe I should put double bar here. So this is the height. This is the generalization of log of discriminant. Now for the conductor we do the following. We introduce a set of prime, a set of finite prime, which is those finite prime such that the maximum of ABC is simply bigger than the minimum of ABC. I mean if maximum equals minimum, this means that the absolute values are all equal. So there is nothing like we cannot say that the prime has something to do with ABC. We get the same norm for the three numbers of ABC. So to have the prime dividing ABC, we consider this set. The set of prime ideals such that the maximum of ABC is bigger than the minimum of ABC. Once we have made the definition, the conductor is defined as a product for all primes in r. The norm of the ideal p minus 1. Okay. And what is the ABC context of our number field? Well, with this notation, we have here a b prime with a sum context of bz whole. Then for every positive epsilon, there exists a constant a of epsilon such that if a prism is equal to c, where now ABC are elements in the number field, then the log of the discriminant for log of h ABC is at most one per epsilon log of the conductor, namely n ABC. This is the log of the conductor, but we also have some dependence on the number field. So this plus 5 for epsilon over 4 log of the discriminant of k divided by r plus a of epsilon. So there are two parts on the right hand side of this equation. There is the log of the conductor, which we can expect from the case of q, but also there is control on the dependence of the inequality on the number field k. It's not more than log of the discriminant times the constant. So of course, if k equals q, when we cover the ABC congression we mention above, we cover c and b. The other remark is that the proof is similar to the case of k equals q. We just have to be careful that someone will get log of the discriminant and we have to compute the discriminant of f in terms of the discriminant of k and the discriminant of the prime dividing ABC. Now what is interesting is the following. Is that the vector congression that Moshizuki has announced is weaker than what we have written. It says the following for every epsilon positive. Exist a constant which depends on r and n epsilon such that log of h a b c is at most 1 plus epsilon log of n a b c. So this starts the same way as the right hand side over there. But then we get this plus dk over r. So instead of 4 plus epsilon over 4 we get 1 plus epsilon. So this is better. But there is the dependence of the constant as the degree. Another way to say it is that you fix the degree r and you write an inequality like here. So the dependence on r is not explicit. So maybe I stop here for 5 minutes. So I will talk about another congression which follows from the discussion we had before. Namely the congression of the discriminant. So this is the congression on the elliptic curve which was formulated by Spiro at the end of the 70s. So some are before all the other congressions. They came after Spiro congression for discriminant. So it is as follows. Let e be an elliptic curve with semi-stable reduction. And let delta e be the minimal discriminant of e. And n e is the conductor. So to define the minimal discriminant you take a Weierstrass equation of the elliptic curve and you take the smallest power of p that comes in a Weierstrass model. So the minimal discriminant is the minimum you can get by looking at the Weierstrass model. And the conductor is as usual the product of prime of delta e. So there is a following theorem. Assume congression be whole. Then for every positive epsilon there exists a constant, maybe beta epsilon positive. Such that log of the discriminant is at most 6, 6 plus epsilon log of the conductor plus this constant. So several of the conjectures are really current. And here we discussed the conjecture of discriminant but we could say that conjecture ebc is a consequence of conjecture of discriminant.  So these different conjectures are very often equivalent. They are not equivalent to conjecture b. I don't know for instance how to deduce from ebc the conjecture b on omega 2. I don't see how one could get it. But the conjectures are very much equivalent to each other. So there is a proof of this theorem in Moribayi. One will take again k0 equals q and for c one takes the modular curve x0, 23. This modular curve has genus 2 and there is a formula in the book of Aug about the genus of the modular curve. There is a map from x0, 23 to p1 the J invariant which transits in forgetting the level of the elliptic curve to get the elliptic curve of z so that the g morphism and the degree of g is simply the index of g0, l, gamma 0, 23 and then c2, z. And we have 5, 24. So if m is the inverse image of the canonical line value on p1 the degree of m by projection formula will be 24. So we do as before, namely we call h the standard height, standard logarithmic height on p1 and hm is h composed with g is the height on c. So what happens is there will be a point corresponding to e in h0, 23. That is we can choose the level structure of the curve e and get a point in h0, 23. So we have this point such that the J invariant of the elliptic curve is the image of p by J. The point p is not defined over q it is defined in a number field of the degree 24 over q and one shows that f is an armified outside n of e. So g of e is governed by some formula with some constant g2 to the cube g3 to the square I see divided by delta is the denominator of g of e. So the log of delta e is less or equal to the nullified of g of e. And the nullified of g of e is the log of absolute value of the numerator divided by the supremum of log of the numerator and log of the denominator and we already have the denominator in the log of delta e. So this is the same as the h m of p and we can apply the effective model in equality. Log delta e less or equal to h m of p and by effective model value model this is the same. It is at most one of four plus epsilon times the degree which is 24 log of delta f divided by the degree of f of q plus some constant. So the actually here it's less or equal to so I get one of four plus epsilon times log of the discriminant log of the discriminant divided by the degree is at most one plus epsilon log of the conductor plus a constant. I mean this is the discussion on f and looking at which prime in f are unified and we find that prime divided by n of e. So the log of discriminant is bounded from above by this quantity. So if we put these two things together we get log of delta e is at most one plus epsilon one four plus epsilon 24 log of n e plus beta epsilon so this is 6 6 plus epsilon log of n e plus constant. So we get the condition of the discriminant with the exact coefficient 6 plus epsilon 6 plus epsilon was the constant predicted by Spiro when he formulated when he formulated the condition. We get exactly the right coefficient 6 plus epsilon. So I'm sorry I don't have much more to say today. Next time we will discuss a beautiful consequence of the conjecture which is that there is no zero zeroes. It's a result by Stark and Gonville relating effective model with the absence of zeroes. Or more in-ease ABC conjecture for nanmophiles. So what happens is that ABC conjecture for nanmophiles beta and Moshizuki is too weak to deduce some information on zeroes. But if we put in what we get from the conjecture we actually can prove that there is no zero zeroes. So I hope we will have some increasing argument next time about that. Thank you.  So, this was why this two numbers are the same. Are there other things which were not understandable so that I prepare for next time some kind of answer?


What do you attribute your offensive success to, this afternoon? Gary, in this game today, what do you think was the difference for you on the pitch? Well, I tried to attack the pitchers that were in the area. I was looking for a pitch in the area and being able to connect it well and today I did it very well. Yeah, I just really wanted to attack the pitchers in the strike zone. I was trying to attack the pitchers and today I was able to connect there and I started doing a good job at doing that today. Were there any other adjustments you made or was it just a matter of mindset of being more aggressive? Were there any other adjustments you made or was it just a matter of mindset of being more aggressive? Well, I always kept working the whole year on how I was able to connect the pitchers that were in the area. Today I focused mentally on trying to execute those pitchers that were in the area that I couldn't execute them before. I tried to follow this step today and I continued tomorrow doing the same and every time there was a game. Well, the whole year has been a year of hard work and making adjustments especially at the plate. Like I said today, I wanted to be aggressive in those pitches in the zone and bring good results there. I just want to keep the pace going and keep it going tomorrow for sure. Thank you. Eric Bolland, you have the next question. Gary, considering how many different roles Loisica has performed in this year, how much of a blow is that for your bullpen losing him to injury? Gary, considering how many different roles Loisica has performed in this year, how difficult is it to lose him to injury? Well, it's a bit difficult to lose Loisica for a while. But we have a tremendous bullpen. I trust my teammates in the bullpen. Everything they have in the bullpen can be a tremendous job. Yeah, it's definitely tough losing him. I don't know how long he's going to be out. So it's definitely tough for us but at the same time I feel like we have a really good bullpen. I have a lot of confidence in the guys in that bullpen. I know they're going to be able to do their job.


Oh! Hi there. Welcome back to 19th and 20th century philosophy. I'm Matt Brown. Today we're going to talk about Soren Kierkegaard and Frederick Nietzsche, the proto-existentialist philosophers. Now Soren Kierkegaard was Danish. He lived in the first half of the 19th century, published most of his major works between the 1940s and the 1950s. Frederick Nietzsche was German, lived primarily in the latter half of the 19th century, and most of his published works, major works were published in the 1870s and 1880s. There are lots of similarities between these proto-existentialist thinkers. Among other things, they both wrote in a very literary style. They both used complicated forms of philosophical writing besides the sort of systematic treatise. Both were reacting negatively against the ideas of Hegel. They saw Hegel as a kind of arch-rationalist philosopher who was problematic on many grounds, and they sought, in place of Hegel's systematic rationalist philosophy, to try to find a philosophical point of view that could speak to questions of how to live an authentic human life. Both were doing philosophy that had a very psychological side to it, a very personal, almost psychoanalytic side to it, and that was focused on the questions of life and human existence. Both took Socrates as a main sort of influence, were quite interested in ancient Greek philosophy generally, but Socrates in particular. One major difference concerning Kierkegaard and Nietzsche is there's differing attitudes towards religious belief. So Soren Kierkegaard was a deeply religious thinker, Christian, a major part of his complaint about Hegel was the heretical nature of Hegel's philosophy of the absolute. Nietzsche was a anti-religious thinker, deeply antipathetic towards Christianity in particular, and this informed a lot of their writing, both of their writing significantly. Kierkegaard, as I said, was really very much a psychological thinker in addition to a philosophical thinker. In particular, he pioneered a lot of thinking very advanced for his time about the nature of certain kinds of psychological phenomena like anxiety and dread. He worried about the feeling of alienation. I think it's important to note that Kierkegaard and Nietzsche, like Marx and Mill in different ways, are dealing with aspects of the human condition that arise in the 19th century as the world becomes more urban, more industrialized and the lives that people lead become, you know, go through some radical transformations. You know, the late 18th century, of course, saw a number of political revolutions that affected this, early 19th century as well, and so they're reacting in part to some of the issues of their time. And so a sense of alienation, a sense of the world and a sense of anxiety, concerns about the relationship between the society and the individual are very keen in the minds of Kierkegaard and Nietzsche. One of the key ideas of soaring Kierkegaard's philosophy is the three stages of life, that is the aesthetic stage, the ethical stage, and the religious stage. These are the stages that Kierkegaard thought a sort of prototypical person would go through in their search for a satisfactory or authentic way of living. The aesthetic stage is one in which we seek to satisfy our desires. We seek pleasure. According to Kierkegaard, you know, the difficulty with the aesthetic phase is boredom. Eventually, various pleasures will lose their novelty and their interests for us and will come to find ourselves dissatisfied with the aesthetic life. The second stage, the ethical stage is one where we seek to live according to a system of rules of ethical or moral behavior. And this is one that Kierkegaard thinks the failures of the aesthetic life naturally lead us to, but the ethical life also for Kierkegaard ultimately fails because we have to deal with competing or conflicting moral requirements. The various ethical rules that we follow lead us to impossible choices, where there's no way to do the right thing. And this, according to Kierkegaard, leads us to a recognition of sin and the sort of inevitably sinful nature of humanity. And so also is dissatisfactory. The final stage, the religious phase stage requires a leap of faith. And the leap of faith is a matter of a personal relationship to God, right? So it's a kind of religious life led not by reason, not by a desire for the good or for pleasure, but by a personal relationship with God. So finally, the notion of the leap of faith leads us to the reading for today, which talks about the concept of truth as subjectivity.  It's all a matter of opinion, and like truth is just whatever you want to believe. Nothing like that. What Kierkegaard means here is that truth, the kind of ultimate, significant truth of our existence is a matter of a deep personal commitment to something. Obviously here, the key notion being religious commitment. So for Kierkegaard, although he has no problem with the notion of objective science per se, the sort of ultimate, meaningful notion of truth that he's working with is one where truth is about a subjective personal commitment. The contrast for truth as subjectivity is not objective science so much. The contrast is really the opinion of the crowd, right? Going with what the crowd says to get along with the crowd as opposed to believing something because it speaks to you in a deep personal way. Now with Nietzsche, it's a somewhat different story. Nietzsche too is concerned, of course, how to live an authentic life. He is also inspired by the Greeks. He is also deeply engaged with ideas from Christianity. But for Nietzsche, you might say it all went wrong when the Christians ascended to social power. What I mean by this is, according to Nietzsche, what Christianity represented was a point of view that was designed for, you know, slaves for oppressed people who, in the context of the Roman Empire, were, you know, not able to have their own sort of political or personal power. And so Christianity was a way of reconciling themselves to their fate, dealing with their resentment about the way that they lived by dreaming of a world beyond this one where they would be happy. This all went wrong, according to Nietzsche, when Christianity became sort of socially powerful because now you have a society that is teaching people what he called a slave morality.  Nietzsche also sort of conceived of an alternative perspective in which courageous, creative individuals, which he called the Gloobermensch or the Superman or the Overman, would, what are you doing? What are you doing? You are causing so much trouble today and I've got to shoot a video. Come on. Which he called the Ubermensch or Superman or Overman would come to sort of create their own values through an act of a personal choice, right, of almost artistic creation. And it was this conception that drove a lot of what he was thinking about. You may know Nietzsche from his concept of the death of God, which is a kind of commentary on the sort of vacant nature of religious belief and contemporary that is mid 19th late 19th century society. And in the Twilight of the Idols we explore some of these concepts as well as his own nature, his own exploration of the nature of truth and objectivity. Like Kierkegaard, he's very much anti-rationalist and he has a view which some have called perspectival in nature. He sees the nature of truth itself as somehow tied to human perspectives and denies the existence of a kind of God's eye view on the universe. Okay, so that's a quick introduction to some of the main ideas of Kierkegaard and Nietzsche. What brings them together as a pair? We'll obviously talk more about the segments from Nietzsche's Twilight of the Idols and the segment on truth is subjectivity from Kierkegaard later today in class or on Discord. Also, if you have any comments about what I said in the video or questions, please feel free to send me a note or leave a comment here on the video. Otherwise, I'll see you next week and I look forward to talking to you again about 19th and 20th century philosophy.


What's going on, everyone? Sam here with late in sports cards. We are ripping 10 box Tuesdays, 10 box select, first off the line, football mixer number 146, random team style. There's a look again at your random results. As always, you can find these on the website under the results tab, as well as the link in chat. Good luck here, guys. Let's do it. I don't think so, Skonk. Let's start with Donruss, 22 Donruss, 22 Donruss hobbies. Unless they're like previews potentially, but probably not. Nineteens like Kyler, Daniel Jones, DK, Debo, McClaren, A.J. Brown, Hollywood. Hey, pick it, rookie.  Brian Burns at Oliver. Josh Allen, Tyrion Davis Price and Eric Dickerson. Johan Dotson, rookie. Malik Willis, elite series. Sonya Michelle and Kyle Pitts, second year, red. Pressproof. Ed Reid, Eli Manning. Kailin Waddle. Josh Allen, Kailavon Chasson. Kailavon Chasson. Taekwon Thornton on the gold pressproof die cut, two of 25. Nice one there for the Pats. Oh, Zach Wilson by a mile illegal, by a mile. Pierce Rookie, Chris Godman. I don't even put those two in the same category. Jamison Williams, base and base. Yeah, 2018's Josh Allen. Yeah, Lamar Josh Allen. Rhys Hall rookie. Kyle Dugger. Marquis Sam Howell. Red Marquez Valdez Scantling. Sauce Gardener rookie. All-Pro Kings, Debo Samuel. Nice one there, too. 100. One of 100, bookend. There you go, San Fran. See if you can pull this rookie off. Fans of the game, Steph Curry. And Bo Melton. League Willis, the rookies. Traylon Burks and Joey Bosa. That is 42 of 75 die cut pressproof for the Chargers. Big Bear Bosa. Already out of half time, dude. Literally the last time I looked up, there was like two minutes to go in the third. I mean, in a second. Herve Chmar Chase and Jerry Judy. Like I, I'm always like, oh, dude, I can't wait to watch blah, blah, blah. I've watched maybe like 30 seconds of it, the entire game. Tyler Algier. Tray McBride. Pierre Strong and Randy Moss. That was like the big thing about top loading when we do like one-in-one or community one or archives or something or clear authentic where there was no top loading you had to do. You just sit back and watch the game. It was awesome. Rashad White, missing name plate. Nice one there for the Bucks. Tanahill, TJ Watt. Marquez Valdes-Scantling. It was awesome, dude. So awesome. Oh yeah, cleared like 20, 20 box case clearly. Arnold Dabakite where there's no recap either. Literally just grab the card and put it in there and you're done. It's awesome. Same with Penini one. One-in-one is the same thing. Tanahill. Odell Beckham. Kyle Pitts-Red. Should have an auto coming up in these last two attacks as well. Cobbin Austin. Purple Gregg Newsome to 34. One of 34. They just automatically get added to the queue, Ted. Yeah, they automatically get added. Yeah, I could see it from the back end. I could see your order number and all that kind of stuff. Chris Alodicon, Rated Rookie Auto for the Steelers. Nice one there. Gratz Pittsburgh. Jamison Williams. Tony Bacelli and Devonta Smith. Yeah, no problem. Let's do 2019 Contenders now, 2019 Tendies. Again, we'll have a dice roll in here. Have you done the dice roll yet? I'm assuming you have. Yeah, this one will just be top or bottom. Okay, so it's right on the paper.  Usually there is. Sometimes with 19 you only get ones that are on the same team. There's Jordan Ellis. That's going to be your first rookie ticket auto for the Bengals. Jordan Ellis. Gardener Minchee Rookie to your contenders. Ace. Sunday ticket signatures. Josh Gordon for the Patriots. Bro, I forgot he was there for a while. That's insane. 18 out of 75. Oh, man. Oh, that's awesome though. There's got to not be a ton of Josh Gordon autos out there. I know he's in last year's NT as a chief, but other than that, I really don't know. That's so funny. Oh my god. That's awesome though. Congrats to the Pats on that one. There you go, New England. Good stuff. There's Chase Winovich. Nice one there. Wynow. That is going to the Patriots again. Patriots doing well. Ray Lewis Sunday ticket. There's Trayvon Wesko. Trayvon Wesko. Go into the Jets. Nice one there. Yeah, so we'll do a dice roll for this. One, two, three, top, four, five, six, bottom. If I could find the dice. Where are the dice? All right. So one, two, three, top, four, five, six, bottom. We'll go for the rest of them. Top mo. It's going to be a two. It's going to go to the top. Going to the top. So I'll go with the Ravens and Marquis Brown. Rookie to your contenders. Devon Singletary for the bills. Yeah, attendees is awesome. I love contenders. Can't wait till the next one comes out. And Keele Harry. Nice one there for the pass on the on-card. Congrats there. Arizona State Legend and Keele Harry. Now a Bears legend. Tyler Murray, Rookie to your contenders. Bass and bass. I mean, got all our autos now. The only thing I hate that happens with tenders sometimes is like the autos will stack like one on top of the other for like in the like, Rookie to your contenders, Miles Sanders. Yeah, either in the beginning or in the back. I've noticed that with 19, you'll either get your autos like one, two, three, four, five, or it'll be all the way to the end. You'll get one, two, three, four, five. That's five packs depending on how it's packaged yet. So odd, dude. Yeah, there's one on-card per box. There's like usually like 40 guys that have on-card autos. And then the rest are all on sticker. Usually like the big names and the skill positions and the quarterbacks will all have on-cards. And then like the defenders and the lower, lower drafted guys, the undrafted free agents will all get stickers. Daniel Jones, Rookie to your contenders, Danny Dimes. I always pitch your dad off because he's not like Daniel Jones. I'll be like, this is Sean's favorite quarterback whose name is Dan. RIP to Wayne Haskins because he's a Marine L fan. So I'm always like, Sean thinks that Daniel Jones is the best quarterback ever named Dan. No, I don't. No. That'll go top. Tyler Murray, 48 or 49 with the Cardinals. Nice one there on the round numbers. Base. Like more like Danny Pennies. Yeah. Oh, big time. Let's do rookies and stars. Next 22 rookies and stars. Nas Reid, LSU legend. I saw that. I was like, all right. Sounds good, man. You go Nas, buddy. There's a Zach Wilson that is high octane, 48 out of 149 for the Jets. There's Daniel Jones to 175. Harry Bradshaw, Silver Airborne. Standing ovation, Jonathan Taylor, Brees Hall, Daxon Hill, and Trey McBride. Draft class, Brees Hall. Crystal Lave to 75 on the Thrillers Auto. Nice one there. New Orleans. Congrats on that. We got Red Drake London. We got London on the track to 99. Rookie Rush, Jameson Williams, Brian Cook, and Piantae Ingram. There's Isaiah Likley. Yeah, damaged foil, unfortunately. Two out of 25. Color match purple for the Ravens. We've got the Ravens and Empty Box and Rapper. He is likely going to be a good player. Got the Ravens social media team that uses that. There's to 49 is Traylon Burks. Anytime he does anything. Oh, that was likely a catch. Likely this. Steve Young, it's to the point where I get annoyed by it. Standing ovation, Brady. Freshdown Club, Debo. There's a Drake London rookie. Derek Stingley. No, he's good. Yeah, no, I like him a lot. He's a great tight end too. Like half the time blocking, half the time obviously going for receptions. Orange, Jamari Cooper to 175 for the Browns. Color match. Thrillers, Tom Brady to 149. Pascal, base. Damian Pierce on the cross training. That is 76 out of 249 for the Texans. Got an Alvin Kamara to 125. Silver, Thrillers is Desmond Ritter. Resaw, Kenneth Walker and Rucker. Orange, Kirk Cousins. Kirk O'Chains to 175. Orange, C.D. Lamb Crusade to 25, 12 of 25 for the Cowboys. Nice one there. T.J. Watt standing ovation. Jermaine Johnson, Damian Pierce rookie. And George Carlaptis, Furious George.  This is my favorite. Oh yeah. Everybody knows about Funkadelic now. There ain't a person in this building that is unaware of Funkadelic. Desmond Ritter, Michael Pittman Jr. There's a Derek Carr. Nice one there. That is eight of 10 for the Raiders. Very cool. Wonder what he'll be next year. What do you guys think he'll be? What are you, what are you thinking? Jets and Saints, I've heard, yeah. Desmond Ritter. Jets is a good bet. For sure. Blue, Lamar to 75. And Mystique, Alec Pierce for the Colts. Acetate. There's Hutch and Howie Long on the rookie idols. 58 of 75. Lions is Kyle C. And Raiders is the combo spot. Kevin D. So that'll be a random to those two. Russell Wilson, Jonathan Taylor. That's Skye Moore to 399. And 40 of 50, Malik Willis, King of Cards. Very cool for the Titans. Yeah, that's true. That's a good point. Bass, there's DJ Moore to 199. And to 199, Funkadelic, man! Drew Brees for the Saints. That's one there, New Orleans. Kevin D. That's sick. Mark Gastonot, 14 out of 35. Two-color Patch Auto for the Jets. Nice one there. Player worn, nice. Congrats, New York. Mohammeday. Gastonot, New York Sac Exchange. There's Carson Strong, that is 25 of 99. Red Ink Auto for the Eagles. Nice one there, Philly. League Willis, Operation Detonation. Murray to 499. And Derek Henry to 399 for the Titans, King of Cards. Derek Henry to 499. And Illusionist is Jahan Dotson for the Commanders. Instant Impact, Jersey, Tyquan Thorin, going to the Patriots. Nice one there. Congrats, Pets. You can do jerseys for the recall, so I think you can do it now, right? Okay, you have a new jersey here. All right, awesome. Justin Jefferson. Let's do Gold Standard first off the line now. 21 Golds, or 22 Gold Standard first off the line. You have one Navarroiche on these. Got Romeo Dobbs to 49. First off the line, Exclusive Green, 6 of 11 is going to be Wandaille Robinson. Nice one there. We've got Gold Rush, Derek Henry, 158 out of 299 for the Titans. That's one there, Titans. Followed by Tyrion Davis Price, that is 52 out of 399. Newly Minted for the Niners. We've got Jalen Wattemar, that is 98 out of 199 for the Bills. Running back, Auto. Followed by, that's gross. Kenneth Walker, 5 of 5 on the Canine. Nice one there. The Corey right there, coming right into it. Kenneth Walker, 5 of 5, perfect. You can make this one and the following one. That is nasty. We've got, first off the line, Exclusive going to, who's got him? John B, how about Malik Willis? Logo Patch RPA, 62 of 79 on the Novariche. That's awesome dude. That's so nasty. That's like part of the Titan Shield. That's awesome. Congrats on that there, John. We'll get that mag for you too, buddy. All right, let's do, what do we got next? Mosaic Hobby, 22 Mosaic Hobby. Kyler Murray, Mosaic. Red, Reggie Wayne for the Polts. Base, Silver, Najee Harris, Thera Masters. JK Dobbins. Silver, Harold Landry, Brady. Silver, Meta Mastery, Josh Allen. Cousins. Red, Young-Way Koo, Marj Jackson. There's a white, Aaron Donald on the montage. 13 out of 25, nice AD going to the rent. Aaron Donald. Sam Howe, Charlie Kolar. There's a blue, Russell Wilson, Broncos Clenchill, let's ride. 80 out of 99 for the Broncos. Silver, Malik Willis, Shrookey, debut. Matt Jones and Swagger, Najee. Jackson Howe. There's a red, David Bell going to the Browns, nice one there. Congrats, Cleveland. Mosaic, Tom Brady. Red, Kaderious Tony, nice KT. Bluechips, Trayvon and Jonathan Taylor. Bellinger, there's a blue auto, Roy Williams, nice one there. Signed it with the dollar sign, that's awesome. 72 out of 99 for the Cowboys. Gratz, Dallas. Mike Will, Silver Tua, a couple of my home's inserts on that as well. Ray Mappas, what's up, Chris? Silver, Joe Montana. And a Jonathan Taylor, Meta Mastery. Laftis, Joe Burrow, National Pride Mosaic. Purple, Quandre Diggs, 25 of 49 for the Seahawks, nice one there. Daven Cook, Silver, Marcus Allen. Two to go, Trayvon Diggs, Mosaic. Red, Chris Alodicon. The Steelers base, and in it to win it, Roger Craig. Tyler Algear, Mosaic, Rookie. Silver, Jalen Naylor, introductions picket. Swagger, Jamar Chase, Mosaic. All right, let's do 21 Chronicles now. 21 Panini Chronicles football. Tray Lance, Rookie. Silver, Jamar Chase, Flux. Mond, TN. There's an Orange. Mack Jones on the Flux, that is 20 of 75. Nice one there for the Pats. Trevor Lawrence, Rookie, and Cooper Cupp, coming Ridley to 399 for the Falcons. Kind of Gainwell, Prism Black, teach you at-well. Feeling a big auto in this box. Devonta Smith, that's not bad actually. Nice one there for the Eagles. It doesn't look like it is numbered. That's the playoff. Congrats on that. There you go, Philly. Nice Devonta. Eli Mitchell. Let me go Collins, Rashad Bateman. There's Marshall, Kellen Mond. Fields, Rookie. Michael Pittman. Michael Pittman again this time on the Jersey card. That is the 199 for the Colts. There you go, Indy. Good area stone. Santé, Samuel. There's a Fields, Grid, Iron Things. Jamar Chase and Greg Rousseau. Oh yeah, I know that. I know that. It's going to be kind of fun to watch Ridley on the Jags next year. It's going to be interesting for sure. Najee Silver. Felipe Franks, legend. Scridge, there we go. Scridge. Nico Collins, 31 of 99. Jamar Chase score update and Lamar. And last pack here, should have another auto, if all goes well. That's going to be turn of the century, Rondale Moore. Nice one there, 17 out of 49. One of that for the Cardinals. Kyle Pitts, Rookie, Eli Mitchell. Rashad Bateman, 87 out of 99 for the Ravens. Cool one there, Jamar Chase, Dynagon and Ian Book. All right, we've got 21 mosaic choice now. 21 mosaic choice. See like a big peacock or nebula. That'd be cool. We have a peacock, that's pretty solid. We've got Pat Fryer Muth, that is to 80 for the Steelers on the Rookie. Kaderia Stoney is your choice exclusive Rookie. Silver Jalen Camp, got a Davante Parker. It's going to be a Michael Carter on the Rookie Autograph. Nice one there for the Jets Michael Carter. Jets Rookie Auto. We've got T Higgins to 80. We've got Blake Martinez to 80 for the Giants and peacock is Peyton Manning. Nice, going to the Colts. Let's go, dude. That's going to Christian T. Congrats, buddy. Nice Peyton. Peyton Peacock. All right, now we've just got the two selects, one select hobby. We'll start with hobby and we'll finish with photo. So we've got hobby to the right and photo right here so that'll go last. Let's do some select. See something crazy, man. See a crazy zebra. Yep, Mowgli and Peyton. You're having a day. You're having like a week here, Christian.  Gainwell, there's a 85 out of 99. DJ Moore. Nice one there on the Jersey Auto. Going to the Panthers. Congrats on that, Carolina. Jacob Harris. Silver, Taylor Heinecke, Field Level. Devonta Smith, Premier Level Rookie. Got Blue, Najee Harris. Concourse that is 159 out of 199 for the Steelers. We've got DeAndre Hopkins, Silver Club Level, Jerome Bettis. Nice, 48 to 49. Trevor Lawrence on the Rookie Jersey. There you go, Jacksonville. Congrats on that, Jags. Take a tealaw for sure. Tealaw, Allie Veritucker, Silver, Luke Farrell. There's Jameson Williams, XRC Tideye for the Lions. Six of 25. Nice one there. Detroit. That is Kyle C. Congrats, buddy. Nice XRC coming your way. You can just throw that in the recap. Silver Stokes, LaVisca. Sorry, we got a gold here, Dylan. That's going to be JC Jackson for the Patriots. Four of 10. Nice one there. New England. Silver, Zach Wilson. Davis Mills for Rookie. Purple, Tyrell Williams. It's going to be a four of 75. Oh, this is sick. Anthony Munoz on the Super Bowl Auto. There you go, Bangles. One of the best tackles of all time. Cincinnati, Stephen W. Congrats, buddy. One of the first Super Bowl autos I've seen out of this. That's awesome. I love Anthony Munoz. He would be my favorite bangle of all time if I gunned him I had to pick one. Kyle Trask. There's Caleb Farley. Nice one there. That is 47 out of 149 for the Titans. Silver Mahomes. Mari Cooper. Lajimore. Silver, Javante Williams. Kyle Pitts. If I had to pick one, I would say Munoz would be my favorite. Micah Parsons' concourse. Trevor Lawrence concourse. Light blue Allen Robinson. That is 68 out of 99. Silver 2-2 Atwell Club level and Christian McCaffrey. There's Nick Chubbs and Sation Silver for the Browns. Silver Debo Samuel and Kirk Cousins. Scridge. Derek Gore. Tom Brady. Silver, Calvin Ridley. And a Pat Friar Muth. All right, that'll do it for a select hobby. On to the last group break box of the night. 21 select first off the line. There it is, 21 select first off the line. Let's do it. So we're looking for one first off the line, base one first off the line, RPA or audit. So good luck, everybody. In addition to all the other normal stuff too. Hits. Wow, Jamar Chase. Field level. 34 of 75. Nice one there. Bangles. Bangles again. Silver, Kaderious Tony. Paris Marshall. Love level on the KT. I see a bay. Is that a zebra? Silver, Jaylen Wong. Tony O'Geeks and Aaron Donald. Here's our first off the line. Exclusive Orange is Mac Jones. One of seven. Holy cow. There we go. New England. Connor T. Congrats, buddy. Holy moly. They are destroying the break, dude. Destroying it for sure. Unbelievable. Mac Jones. That's big time, dude. Zach Wilson, Silver. Kellan Mann. Wow, wow, wow. That's awesome, dude. Now we got our first off the line. Exclusive RPA. Jaylen Darden. Christian McCaffrey. That is Mac Jones. Two of 25. Oh my God. Dude, that's wild. Oh man. Congrats, New England, dude. Holy cow. My God, dude. Oh man. Two of 25 RPA, Mac Jones to go with the first off the line. Exclusive Base Mac Jones. Jaylen, dude, this happened last week. We had a spectra first off the line. We were only supposed to get one RPA that's like Silver Wave to 25. We got two Justin Fields RPAs in one box to 25. Layton Sports Card Script Writers. Davis Mills. There's Amon Ross St. Brown. That is 19 out of 249 for the Lions. Silver Rashaun Slater and Jamar Jefferson. There's Peyton Manning. That is 157 out of 199. What's up, Corey? What do you mean? Corey Davis, Silver, and kind of An Wang Wu. That's wild, dude. That's so wild. Silver Jaylen Waddle Phenomenons. Silver AJ Brown and Jimmy Garoppolo. It's like we got a Jersey coming up in here. Ron Dale Moore. Person once. That is Tony Pollard, 27 out of 99. Nice one there for the Cowboys. Silver kind of Gainwell and Ron Dale Moore. And Byer, 221 out of 299 on the Silver Auto. That's awesome. Grats on that. Tennessee. Peyton Turner. Three to go. Murray Rogers. Club level tri-color to 149. Silver, Concourse Mahomes. And Kyle Pitts, Premier level rookie. There's a Firestore Mac Jones, dude. You got to be kidding me. That's unbelievable. Unbelievable. That's like a super short print right there. Unreal, dude. Unreal. Crazy. Connor, you need to buy a Lotto ticket, dude. Connor T needs to buy a Lotto ticket. That's crazy. Crazy. Silver Juju and Tua. And Tre Lantz. I'll just leave that Tre Lantz on the rookie selection. Silver Frank Darby and Matt Ryan. That'll do it for the breakout. That was unbelievable. We'll do a quick random for this. Aiden Hutchinson Howey Long. All right, guys. We've got the Aiden Hutchinson Howey Long dual to 75. Going to roll the dice between the Lions and the Raiders. Roll the dice. Whatever teams on top after nine times will get the card. So good luck. We've got one, two, three, four, five, six, seven, eight, and nine. Going to the Raiders. Raiders getting that one. Raiders. All right. Let's do a recap. We've got Jameson Williams to 25 for the Lions. Tony Pollard Cowboys. Trevor Lawrence for the Jags. Michael Pittman Colts. Tyrion Davis Price. Niners. Derek Henry Titans. Ty Kwon Thornton Patriots. Damien Pierce for the Texans. Zach Wilson Jets. Debo Samuel Niners. We've got Crystal Lodacon Steelers. Trayvon Wesko for the Jets. Nikhil Harry Patriots. Forgot about that one, too. Devonta Smith for the Eagles. Chase Winovich Patriots. Jordan Ellis Bangles. Josh Gordon Patriots. Oh my God. DJ Moore Panthers. That is Kevin Byer for the Titans. Anthony Munoz for the Bangles. I was going to say, Corey, that's the best one I've ever ripped, for sure, in terms of one team. David Bell-Browns. Michael Carter Jets. Roy Williams Cowboys. Ron Dale Moore Cardinals. Chris Olave Saints. Jaylen Wademire-Bills. Carson Strong for the Eagles. Mark Gastonot Jets. Isaiah Likeley-Ravens. Derek Carr for the Raiders. We had Magd Cards. Peyton Manning on the Peacock. Nice one there. Connor. We just got a Connor subscribed. I wonder if that's Connor T. We've got Kenneth Walker. Five of Five. Nice one there for the Seahawks. Really awesome. Malik Willis, RPA. That's numbered 62 of 79. Then we... Mack Jones Firestorm for the Patriots. Mack Jones, first off the line, one of seven for the Patriots. And Mack Jones, first off the line, exclusive RPA. That's numbered two at 25. That was insane. That'll do it for the break, guys. Thanks again for the fill. Next up, we got Personals.


chapter 14 of life and death this is a LibriVox recording all LibriVox recordings are in the public domain for more information or to volunteer please visit LibriVox.org life and death by Catherine Booth chapter 14 how to consecrate how is it that so many people go to meetings and hear about this consecration and faith and then fail in carrying it out in their lives what is the hindrance it seems to me that this is largely because they do not receive what God has revealed as to what the life of his real followers ought to be they fritter away the teachings of the Bible and of the Holy Spirit on this question I believe that the Spirit of God does show people how they ought to live how they ought to labor how they ought to sacrifice and suffer for the salvation of men but instead of obeying his teaching and becoming co-workers with God they say oh that is too high for me it will cost me too much it will be too much trouble it involves too much sacrifice I cannot do it I cannot receive that way of putting it so they read books or go to see those who are supposed to be leading Christians in order to get a second opinion after God has given them his opinion they try and find excuses for themselves they know sufficiently well what is God's will concerning them but they try to find an easier way I am told that I have a practical mind and I am glad I have I hope I shall keep it to the end I believe that any other kind of mind will be found to have been a snare when we get before the throne of God because Jesus Christ is going to be intensely practical in that day he is not going to say in as much as he thought it or in as much as he felt it or in as much as he intended it or in as much as he promised it but he is going to say in as much as he did it I want to be among the doers and I want you to be among the doers now dear friends are you prepared to receive this life of absolute practical bearing of the shame and the losses the suffering and crucifixion involved in following the Christ are you willing to be cast out by fathers and mothers brothers and sisters fathers-in-law and mothers-in-law aunts and cousins from circles and society and to be boycotted by those around about you in order that you may thus follow Christ in the regeneration of the spirit are you prepared to accept it do we all accept it have you accepted God's version of the life of a saint or are you seeking all round for excuses to make it a little easier if the latter then that fly in the pot will make all your ointment to stink that flaw in the foundation will topple over any edifice of your resolutions and determinations your promises or prayers or faith and you will be no better for these meetings but worse what we have to come to is to accept God's will for our lives but in many cases people won't do this they won't accept the hardship which following Jesus Christ involves they like ease and comfort but to follow Jesus Christ in the way he lays down involves a great deal of hard work it involves the continual use of all our faculties not allowing any of them to lie by trust not using any of them either mental or physical merely for our own gratification we are his servants we are his children we are his husband men and he will demand the increase of all the faculties he has given us now do we accept this are we willing to go and work hard for God are we willing to use our brains making them think and plan and scheme for God instead of for our own selfish interests are we willing to use our time our influence our money for the promotion of his interests if you are you will make a mark on London and England in that one particular alone are we willing to use our families for this end oh how guilty thousands of Christian parents will stand before God as to the purpose they have towards their families the training they have given and the use they have made of their children it is not the first purpose of their hearts to train their children for God their great purpose is educating them after the elements and fashion of this world they make it manifest by devoting six or seven hours a day to having them trained in earthly learning as being the primary consideration while they leave the impression on the minds of the children that the things that belong to the kingdom of God are only secondary do you accept God's plan for yourself for your family for your business and for your money now this is the point it is all contained in that you must accept God's plan you must choose it and say yes Lord I will have this one ambition motive and desire to live for thee alone you must not only say it but act it out I affirm before you tonight the salvation army was its endless ramifications its permanent results and its influence upon the populations of the earth is the result of the acceptance of this principle by two single individuals and their determination to act them out in their own lives and to so train and inspire their children that they also should act them out if God can bring so much out of a couple of people embracing those principles and acting them out without their knowing how he was going to do it what could he not do with thousands of such people if they would only put themselves in his hands what could he not do with you about you say the circumstances are so different we are such different individuals how do you know it is not the quality of the instrument you place in the hands of God which determines its usefulness it is the full surrender you make of it it is not the quality of the agent but it is God's having the full disposal the undisputed sway in using him sometimes it pleases God to do more with a weak instruments than he does with the strong ones will you let him have you what God wants is for you to put yourself thus practically into his hands now we want this meeting to have this result we want you to believe with that faith which produces action do you accept this plan are you willing to follow the teaching the Holy Spirit are you willing to take that Harry or that Mary of yours and begin tomorrow a new plan of education a new system of training and to train those children only for God and his kingdom that is the test oh I covered the children for God this generation is at the best a poor mongrel affair I want a generation trained from their babyhood for God and inspired from their cradle was one ambition that they are to live and suffer and die if need be for his glory and to have no other business but the extension of his kingdom in the world you can make your children that if you will I'm certain of it I am as confident of it as that I stand here you can make such children if you will if you are co-working with God if you won't make your children hypocrites by teaching them sentiments which you never intend them to carry out if you let their practice keep pace with what you teach you will make some such and God will use them as saviours of the world but you must do your part will you begin tomorrow will you begin with your business tomorrow how many of you businessmen I wonder have some matters that you count little things that rise up in your consciences to condemn you perhaps it is not an unlawful business but is there anything unlawful in your mode of doing it is there something about which your conscience is constantly saying you know that is not square that is not right you know you would not like Jesus Christ to investigate that some thing which you would excuse by saying but I must live I could not compete with that shop over the way or was the under manufacturer over the water if I did not allow this I must do it where is the must that is one of the devil's musts Jesus Christ did not say you must he said you must not he said you must obey him and keep a conscience void of offense and be able to look straight up into the face of your heavenly father and know that your ways please him do you accept this with its consequences never mind about competing with anybody God does not keep you in the world to compete with all the rogues and vagabonds in it but to represent the world him who was pure and spotless undefiled and separate from sinners and to assert and extend his kingdom in the earth no man ever helped his kingdom by a single dishonest action or by anything that would not bear his smile do you accept that will you go and begin tomorrow morning by putting out of your mode of doing business those things for which your conscience condemns you will you say never mind whether I save or lose money whether I prosper or fail I'm going to be a Jesus Christ man in my business and trust him to look after the consequences do you accept that you who work for God do you accept God's choice for your service oh what stories I have revealed to me in letters from backsliders and others who are hid away in holes and corners the world over who have lost the favor and presence of God in their own souls and all power to serve him and how do you think they lost it by refusing to obey God's call or some particular kind of work they were willing to do anything else but not that particular thing to which he called them they were willing to shoulder any other cross but not that particular one and so they got wrong and have been wrong ever since they are wondering about as poor backsliders because they would not do that work to which God called them now some of you have a call in your heart to some special worker field do you accept it if not your faith will be but faith without works which will be dead face and obedience must go together will you go away believing and resolving the very first opportunity to obey this is what God wants then you may believe as much as you like then you can just put your hand out to God and have what you want he won't give his spirit by limit unto you then he won't hold you back from any of the glorious enterprises to which your soul gushes out but he will say be it unto thee according to their faith and what you now would deem impossible what you now would look upon as vain and romantic shall be accomplished by you will you say I accept that plan for myself my time my influence my money my children my home and my future I accept it if so you can take hold of his hand you will be in perfect harmony and make lame every promise made to the saints you have then a victorious faith a faith that dares to presume on the promises of God a faith that dares to step out when there appears to be no possibility of God performing his word to you the faith that dares to stand on the naked promise and say now Lord I'm right with you I have given up all and I claim all I open my mouth it is empty you will fill it I take this step I do not know where I'm going anymore than Abraham did but you know now I trust you to lead me forth does your heart say that if so you may claim the blessing now end of chapter 14 chapter 15 of life and death this is a LibriVox recording all LibriVox recordings are in the public domain for more information or to volunteer please visit LibriVox.org recording by Larry Wilson life and death by Catherine Booth what is the Salvation Army nothing short of a thorough going belief in the truth set forth in the foregoing addresses could explain the history of this remarkable organization the great successes it has attained or the bitter animosity with which it is regarded by so many in July 1865 William Booth deeply impressed with the awful indifference prevailing amongst the masses in the east of London determined to devote himself to some special effort for their salvation he believed that there had been an atonement made sufficient for every sinner and that by true repentance and faith in the Lord Jesus Christ the very worst might enter upon a new life he did not think that there was the slightest hope of permanently improving the condition of any of the prodigals whom he saw abounding around him other than by leading them to see the cause of all their misery in their neglect of God and so persuading them to turn to him with full purpose of heart trusting in the same holy ghost who had for many years been blessing his labors as a minister he went out into the streets and was very soon able to rejoice over many rescued from their evil ways and ready to serve God with all their might having laid a good foundation by requiring not merely an ascent of the mind to the statement of certain truth but a thorough submission of heart to abandon and separate from all evil and to serve the new master with all diligence he soon had around him a number of earnest laborers willing to devote their leisure hours their strength and any money they could spare from their scanty earnings to the service of the truth these were plain men and women and they spoke out plainly and fearlessly to all with whom they came in contact not only in the open air and indoor meetings but in their workshops at home and wherever they could meet with their fellows and the consequence was that the little band steadily grew and spread from point to point until it had at the end of 1883 528 cores or stations and 245 field outposts with 103 cores abroad amongst the tens of thousands now marching in the rank of the salvation army are multitudes of the most wonderful trophies of saving grace men and women who having run into sin with all possible greediness and having forgotten God altogether were attracted by some of the peculiar outward appearances of the army to its meetings and there aroused a deep concern about their souls and led to cry for deliverance to the only savior the extreme diligence shown in impressing the truth on the attention of the people at all the meetings of the army has often led to an accusation of attempting to substitute excitement for a deep heart work but surely our sewing is best judged by the reaping and something more than excitement is necessary to produce a force of men and women who deny themselves all personal comfort and ease and separating themselves from all their old friends come out in all weathers night after night to do their utmost for the rescue of others whom they see to be perishing around them it is indeed with an intense constant realization of the great spiritual truths to which these addresses refer that causes such earnest action on the part of almost all those who are engaged in the work of the army brought time after time face to face with thousands who are they believe halting within sight of the open gate of mercy and also within a step of the wrath to come our officers and soldiers press the people at every meeting to yield themselves without further delay to the savior so that it is no fiction to use the phrase theology of the battlefield with regard to our services each meeting is a real fight with the powers of darkness and thank God the fight generally becomes a victory it is quite true that the vast majority of the men and women who have daily opportunity to speak at our meetings are ignorant of the language of scripture and indeed of all religious phrase theology to a very great extent but they are thoroughly pervaded with these great truths which as we have shown are so all important and speaking not in the set phrase theology of any school but as the spirit gives them utterance in the natural language of everyday life they so warn and touch the common people that thousands of them are week after week led to the savior's feet the reality of the work thus done has been super abundantly attested in seasons of trial it must be a true and not a false faith which can enable rough men who have been accustomed to drink and swear and fight and delicate women to go through storms of abuse and even to endure all sorts of violence without retaliation amongst the more than one thousand five hundred officers who have given up their lives to the work there are very few have not at one time or another known what it is to enjoy true peace amidst the most stormy scenes of opposition out of doors there is no doubt that a great deal of animosity aroused against the army has been caused by its constant plain speaking as to judgment as well as mercy but we prefer any sort of war of this kind no matter what it may cost us before the false peace which is to be got by compromise with the world or by allowing the guilty to perish unwarned the use of the army of brass bands flags uniforms startling announcements and a number of other peculiar means of attracting the people are all attributable to the knowledge that the multitudes are perishing and that all ordinary means have utterly failed to arouse them to a sense of their danger it is notorious thank God that in every part of the world to which it has gone the army has succeeded in assembling together crowds of the most ignorant and rough and Lee kind thus proving that the means made use of have been admirably fitted for the accomplishment of the purpose in view do you wish to know more of the army see it for yourself read its publications and if you desire special information it will always be cheerfully given if you apply to headquarters end of chapter 15 end of life and death by Catherine Booth


Today, in advanced economies, how to develop networks is of great interest to many, both in business management as they try to develop new business models and products built on connecting people and goods, and also very important for research economists and policymakers in order to try and understand how networks affect economic growth within post-industrial economies that are increasingly fueled by the networking of information and knowledge activities. Whereas much economic growth in the industrial age was driven by economics of scale that reduce the marginal cost in producing goods. In a networked economy, growth is driven more by the network effect. This is a very different model and it requires us to understand the dynamics of networks. That is how they develop, which can be quite counter-intuitive. The study of how networks form, grow and eventually disintegrate is a relatively new area of research, but it is of course critical to understanding how to foster the development of some types of networks and reduce the development of others. For example, researchers have studied innovation as a process of diffusion across a network. Research like this helps us to better understand how innovative clusters like Silicon Valley can be fostered in other locations. Or inversely, law enforcement agencies have studied the dynamics of terrorist networks in order to better understand how to disintegrate them, thus we're interested in both network growth and decay. As we've previously noted, most real-world networks are not random. During their formation, they were subject to certain environmental and resource constraints that shaped their formation as they developed in a particular non-random fashion. Added to this, most economic networks are user-generated. They've been formed out of local nodes choosing to make connections. Thus both the local rules under which agents are making these connections and the environmental constraints they're under are both defining factors in the network's formation. So if this is for example a trade network, we need to know what are the physical constraints and the sociopolitical constraints that are inhibiting the formation of the network and inversely, what are the set of rules under which agents are choosing to make connections. So this can be modelled in game theoretical terms. The growth of a network may be non-linear, meaning there will likely be sub-linear growth up to a certain tipping point and then positive feedback will kick in to give a super-linear exponential growth. In this way, something like the internet can lay relatively dormant for a long time and then take off rapidly. An important thing to recognise in the growth of a network is the fact that whereas the number of nodes in the network may grow in a linear fashion, as in 1, 2, 3 etc. The number of edges can grow in a super-linear fashion. With one node, we can have zero links. With two nodes, we can have one link. With three, we can have three links. With four nodes, we can now have six links. With five, we can have ten. With six nodes, we can have fifteen possible links. So whereas the number of edges started off lower than the number of nodes, it will likely sooner or later catch up with it and then outgrow it rapidly. In this example, the number of edges caught up with the number of nodes very quickly because we were talking about the maximum possible number of links, but typically in reality not every node will be fully connected and thus it may often take a lot longer for it to catch up. But once it does, we will start to move from a component-based regime to a relational regime and the connections will add significant value to the system. We will get a positive feedback loop and the system may then grow exponentially. This is called the network effect. For example, the network effect can be seen in stock markets and derivatives exchanges. Liquidity is a major determinant of transaction costs in the sale or purchase of securities. As the number of buyers and sellers on an exchange increases, liquidity increases and transaction costs decrease. This then attracts a large number of buyers and sellers to the exchange. Thus we get a positive feedback loop that is behind the network effect. So we'll go over each stage in this network development process to try and understand it a bit better. In the initial phase to the network's formation, due to the limited number of nodes and connections in the network, the value of joining that network may in fact be negative because of the opportunity cost. Joining this network may well exclude you from joining another, more mature network that already has lots of network value. For example, if you choose to adopt a Linux operating system, you will be limiting your capacity to inter-operate with over 1 billion users of Windows. Thus, in terms of opportunity cost, you are actually having to pay to be part of this burgeoning Linux network. And the same would be true for a social network, digital currency and any other type of network that has not reached a critical mass. These early adopters are typically special interest users, or we might call geeks, that particularly care about this service and are prepared to pay the opportunity cost. Thus, it is these early enthusiasts that really matter, because with them your network may be able to reach the critical mass, without them you will not, and reaching this critical mass beyond which the network effect will take hold is the key factor in the early formation of the network. A key parameter here is how much of the value of using this system is in the components versus the connections. So if there is value inherent to the product without connecting it, such as would be the case for a washing machine, then early adoption is not very difficult. But other things are very much dependent upon their connections, such as the telephone, where it would be very difficult to get the original users because there is no value in the system without the existence of others to connect to. The role of expectations is very important here, as if people don't expect the network to grow, they will not join, and it will not reach critical mass. If their expectations are positive, then it may well reach this critical mass. One thing to note here is that within the industrial model of economics of scale, it's all about the mean average person. Because people weren't connected, there was no value in the network, there was only value in the individual. In order to scale, you had to focus on the mass of individuals, that is to say the normal average person. The geeks and outliers were of no interest. We produced products, services and advertisements for the average people in the middle of the distribution. Everyone on the fringes just had to try and fit in. It was the dog that wagged the tail. When we switch from the industrial model of economics of scale with isolated consumers to the post-industrial model of the network effect with connected users, this changes as it is now the geeks and outliers that matter. Because of the thresholds and feedback loops, they're the ones driving the process of change. Thus, in networked economic systems, it's the tail that wags the dog. Behind this is the power law distribution that we've met many times already, which is common to all kinds of complex systems, because of nonlinear feedback that is able to amplify some small phenomena on the fringes and turn it into a macro mainstream phenomena. If enough nodes join the network, then we may reach the critical mass and get a tipping point. The tipping point is the critical point in the system's development as it defines where positive feedback will gain traction, leading to rapid and irreversible state change. The term critical mass is said to have originated in the field of epidemiology, where the spreading of an infectious disease reaches a point beyond any local ability to control it from spreading more widely. It is, in many ways, analogous to a phase transition. Marketers use the term to denote a threshold that once reached will result in additional sales. At the point of critical mass, the value obtained from the good or service is greater than or equal to the price paid for it. Beyond this, it becomes much more attractive for people to join, as the value is continuously going up, as each new user joining creates a higher surplus value for the next prospective user. With this positive feedback loop, we can get the bandwagon effect, where agents couple to the network without any intrinsic evaluation for or knowledge of the actual phenomena, but simply join to gain the benefit of the network effect in the way that someone might adopt a certain ideology or fashion without knowledge of it simply to be socially accepted. The bandwagon effect can lead to overcapacity, as the increasing number of users generally can't continue indefinitely. After a certain point, many networks become either congested or saturated, stopping future uptake. Congestion occurs due to overuse. As an example, we might think about telephone network, while the number of users is below the congestion point, each additional user adds additional value to every other customer. However, at some point, the addition of an extra user exceeds the capacity of the existing system. At this point, each additional user decreases the value obtained by every other user. If this is the case, then the next critical point is where the value obtained goes back down to where it approximates the price again. The network will cease to grow at this point, and the system must be enlarged to enable future growth. This is the case for centralized systems, but may not be the case for distributed networks. New peer-to-peer network models, such as Bitcoin, may always defy congestion. True, peer-to-peer networks are designed to distribute out the network's load amongst their users. This theoretically allows peer-to-peer networks to scale somewhat indefinitely, at least until market saturation. But there's also a flip side to the network effect and network development, which is crowding out and lock-in effects. Due to the importance of interoperability within networked economies, there is a strong attractor towards everything converging onto the same network, the same set of standards or protocols resulting in lock-in. Network effects are notorious for causing lock-in, with the most cited examples being Microsoft products and the QWERTY keyboard. Going back to our previous example, where the network effect created liquid markets, it is also apparent in the difficulty that startup exchanges have in dislodging a dominant exchange. For example, the Chicago Board of Trade has retained overwhelming dominance of trading in US Treasury bond futures, despite the startup of UX-US trading of identical futures contracts. Mitigating these negative externalities means maintaining an open vendor-neutral network within which new standards and protocols can be incorporated. The success of the internet is in many ways in its openness, net neutrality and the fact that no one owns it. The rules under which a network was created and developed will play a large role in how something was spread across it and ultimately how robust it is to failure. The first thing to note with respect to network diffusion and robustness is that connectivity can both add and subtract to the system's robustness. It works both ways. Connectivity is important for integrating the system and it is this integration that gives the system its overall robustness. But connectivity is also a potential pathway for disaster spreading. For example, in a recent paper entitled Systemic Risk and Stability in Financial Networks, one of their authors summarized their findings as such, quote, We show that financial contagion exhibits a form of phase transition as interbank connections increase. As long as the magnitude and the number of negative shocks affecting financial institutions are sufficiently small, more complete interbank claims enhance the stability of the system. However, beyond a certain point, such interconnections start to serve as a mechanism for propagation of shocks and lead to a more fragile financial system. Failure propagation within these complex economic networks might be financial, as in this example, or it might be in a logistic and supply network. Either way, there are a few key parameters that will greatly affect this process of spreading. Firstly, how contagious is the phenomenon that is spreading? An important consideration here is whether this is being powered by some negative feedback loop as is typically the case within financial markets where loss of confidence begets more loss of confidence. Secondly, how resistant are the nodes in the network to this phenomenon that's spreading? So for a financial institution facing a mass of defaults, this resistance might represent how much capital they are holding. Thirdly, we need to consider the topology to the network. Is it centralized or decentralized? Centralized networks are more susceptible to certain kinds of attack. This is one of the great benefits of distributed ledger technology. It reduces the current cybersecurity vulnerabilities of having large amounts of financial data within centralized repositories. Lastly, we need to also take into account whether this failure is being spread strategically or at random, as different network topologies exhibit different vulnerability characteristics depending on how random the failure is. We've only just begun to touch upon the subject of financial or economic network resilience, but we'll be talking about robustness in a future lecture, so we'll move on for now. We'll just note that the study of network diffusion and robustness has become a hot topic of research since the previous financial crisis, as it became clear that it was the network of connections between assets and liabilities on different balance sheets that caused the breakdown of the whole system, and there's a strong correlation between deregulation of cross-border capital flows and financial instability. It has thus been recognized by many that trying to understand this opaque and dense set of connections is important to identifying the system's future robustness and failure tolerance. In summary then, we've been talking about network dynamics that looks at how networks are formed and develop over their life cycle. We firstly noted that the formation of economic markets and institutions that are networked is very different in nature to our traditional industrial age model that is focused on economics of scale, the mass production of products that is focused on the average mean user in the market. In contrary, we talked about how connections can grow at an exponential rate, giving rise to a nonlinear pattern of development that requires a certain threshold to be overcome before the positive feedback loop of the network effect takes hold from where the system can grow very rapidly. We talked about how this can lead to negative externalities of crowding out and a lock-in effect due to convergence. Finally, we touched upon the subject of failure propagation and looked at some of the factors involved in analyzing a network's resilience.


Russia prepares to test a nuclear missile in the Arctic, satellite imagery and aviation data suggest that Russia may be preparing to test an experimental nuclear-powered cruise missile according to the New York Times. It is noted that movements of aircraft and vehicles at and near a base in Russia's remote Arctic region are consistent with preparations that were made for tests of the missile known as the Burevestnik or SSC-X-9 Skyfall in 2017 and 2018. According to the New York Times, US surveillance planes have also been tracked in the area over the last two weeks and aviation alerts have warned pilots to avoid nearby planes. Russia previously conducted 13 known tests between 2017 and 2019, all of which were unsuccessful according to a report from the Nuclear Threat Initiative, a non-profit group focused on arms control and mishaps can be deadly. A missile launched in 2019 crashed and eventually exploded during a recovery attempt, killing seven people according to US officials. It is exotic, it is dangerous and its testing and development phase, Darryl G. Kimball, Executive Director of the Arms Control Association said, whether the Burevestnik has been tested again since 2019 isn't clear, but even with a successful launch, the missile would still be years away from operational deployment, Kimball added. According to the Nuclear Threat Initiative report, the missile is a second strike, strategic range weapon intended to be launched after a wave of nuclear strikes have devastated targets in Russia. The missile could carry a conventional warhead but, in practice, would likely carry a nuclear payload, albeit a smaller one, than most other nuclear capable weapons. If used in wartime, the missile could have the potential to destroy large urban areas and military targets, experts say.


What's up, everybody? Ricky Caruth here. Okay. So here's the number I want you to think about right now. 26,703. Now, why am I telling you to think about that number? Is that how much money I make per day? Is that where I think the Dow Jones is going to end up at the end of the year? Or am I just telling you to think of a weird number for no reason at all? Actually, none of those are correct. 26,703 is actually where the Dow was on March 3rd, 2020. It went up 1,293 points that day. And it just happened to be the day that I sold half of my positions in the stock market. That's right. I sold half of my entire stock portfolio on March 3rd. And it wasn't too long after that before the Dow hit into the 18,000 range.  That was the first year I made a million dollars as a real estate agent. And it was the first time I really had some extra cash to invest. Up to that point, I had just invested into real estate. And up to the point that I sold half of my positions, I had invested 900,000 exactly. And those positions were worth over 1.2 million. So I was hitting somewhere around 10 to 15% return a year. And then miraculously, I sold half my positions on March 3rd, just before everything went crazy. And they even sold Apple about two weeks before that at $319 per share. I sold 350 shares that day. So at this point, you might want to ask me, hey Ricky, what tipped you off about the market sell-off that made you sell half of your stock portfolio at the beginning of March? Secondly, you might ask me what I did with all that money. And thirdly, Ricky, did you reinvest in the stock market after it went down? So what I'm going to do is I'm going to make another video to answer those specific three questions. What tipped me off? What went through my head that made me sell half of my stocks? What did I do with the money and have I bought back in? So if you're new to my channel, right now might be a great time to smash that subscribe button and be on the lookout for that video coming soon. For now, I want to get into the stock market moving forward in 2020. Before I get into that, I have a couple of things. One, I started a second YouTube channel strictly for real estate coaching. So if you're a real estate agent, I'm going to put a link in the description. Go over there, subscribe, smash that bell. I've already posted several videos there and more to come. And I'd also appreciate it if you would do a little something with the like button on this video and to tell you exactly what I want you to do with that like button. I'm going to bring my good friend Graham Steffen in.  It's Graham here. And we'll start this off with the current market update as soon as you shatter that like button. I don't recommend actually breaking anything, but you do want to just punch it lightly enough until it turns blue. Okay, before we get into where the market's heading, let's talk about where the market has been. Okay, we started out the year somewhere on the Dow at about 28,800. Okay, it got almost up to 30,000. And then it dropped 11,000 points down to about 18,500. And right now, currently we're about 24,000 give or take. So the market has hit the bottom so far of around 18,500 and we're up about 30% from that bottom. Now the big question on everybody's mind is, is why are we up 30% from the recent bottom? What is going on in the news? What is going on with companies? What is happening that's causing the start market to literally skyrocket? So we have record setting unemployment. We have GDP shrinking. We have nearly four million homeowners that are no longer paying their mortgages. Oil prices hit negative. Consumers spending plunged 7.5% in March. Google. Google is cutting their marketing budgets. Jeff Bezos tells shareholders to take a seat and the Fed's balance sheet is hitting a new record of 6.7 trillion. And companies are acquiring more debt than we've ever seen in our lifetime. Even the Oracle of Omaha, Warren Buffett is taking it easy right now. He is hoarding cash. He sold all of his stakes he had in all the airlines and the cash he has on hand has reached over $130 billion. He's put a significantly low amount of money to work than he normally puts to work and in his words he just doesn't see anything attractive out there in terms of valuations. Now there is some positive news out there as well and that's why the start market has went up. I don't know if this news should have pushed the market that much but we have had some developments in terms of medicine against the virus and on top of that I think a lot of people were sitting on a lot of cash waiting on a moment to shove it all into the market and when they saw the market go down 11,000 points they said here's our chance. So as they push that cash into the market it's going to naturally make the market increase. What I think is so crazy right now is that the economy isn't even open back up yet. The stock market has rose over 30% without the economy even opening up yet. Now at this point there's several states that have partially opened up but my point is is that we don't even know what the damage is going to be on the economy from this and Warren Buffett even said it himself. There's a lot of uncertainty out there. We don't know how this is going to shake out. Now one thing that I love that he said and just listening to him talk makes you relax a little bit and realize that things are going to be okay but he said quote never bet against America. Short term things can get a little rocky but long term we're going to be just fine. I think you also may have a problem with FOMO out there people fearing that they might miss out and so they're just jumping in oh the stock market went up 5% I got to get in now this might be my last chance but I'm in a situation where I'm sitting back looking at the valuations and the upcoming earnings reports for the second quarter and I'm thinking that the stock market has the very best case scenario priced in and I think that's just unrealistic. I don't think there's any way that it can just go right back to normal. Unemployment's always been a really big data point when you're looking at a possible recession or current recession and it really looks like we're going to be over 10% unemployment for an extremely long time and you got to think back in the 2008 crash unemployment was only over 10% for just a few months just a few months we're looking at a lot longer unemployment rate over 10% right now. So before we go any further I want you to know that I'm extremely bullish on the market in general especially long term this is not a negative video or a doom and gloom video but I do think we're going to have a rough ride for the rest of the year and maybe for the next couple of years. Now let's go back to the 2008 to 2009 financial crisis you'll see that as time went on the market dipped and then we had a little false rally and it makes you feel good it makes you feel like everything's great we're getting back to normal and then all of a sudden boom there's another big drop and then it starts to gradually come back up a little bit it rises it rises it rises makes you feel all warm and fuzzy and then bam another big drop then it kind of starts to come back a little bit and then boom a huge drop and then there were a couple more rallies and drops before it eventually hit the bottom so that could potentially be what we're in the middle of right now not saying that it is just saying that it could potentially be and when you look at the market rising 30% and then on the other hand you look at companies that aren't even reopened yet and we don't even know what those earning reports are going to be for the second quarter that raises a lot of suspicion let's go back to the great depression okay 1929 you see the same exact thing the market went down for a while there was a nice little rally and then boom crash nice little rally boom so it's not uncommon for the market to behave like this in a market cycle and you got to realize too we've been on the longest bull run in history something was going to bring the market down it wasn't the economy this time the economy was doing great but there was going to be something and coronavirus just happened to be that something that took it out so again i'm not predicting it i just want to give you the facts and the facts are that the stock market is not lining up with the future earnings of companies right now and i think once the economy opens up and we begin to see how that business comes back and how much of that business comes back and what those earning reports are going to be for a second quarter third quarter and even fourth quarter is going to tell a tremendous story about the rebound of the economy i think we're going to be in for a rude awakening for some of these valuations i'm seeing out there right now so the truth is going to come out when we start seeing those second quarter earnings reports and i gotta be honest with you guys i am super excited let me a comment let me know what you think about the stock market moving forward and be on the lookout for my next video let's go break the leaves from the money


I'm Joe McNeill, I'm from Newbury in England and I'm a second year PhD student in the School of Physical Sciences at the Open University and I'm in the Planetary Environments Research Group. So my research looks at Martian geomorphology, that's the physical shape of surface features on Mars, as well as Martian stratigraphy and that's the relationship between layers of rock and geologic time. And I use high resolution satellite imagery to understand how these features and these rock layers came about. Specifically I'm looking at locations in the Rosalind Franklin ExoMars rover landing site, which will be visited in 2022 to investigate Mars' geology and the astrobiology and look for signs of past life. I found that a massive layer of rock once covered the ExoMars rover landing site and that layer of rock has been almost completely eroded. And this is really interesting because that layer is likely to have protected the material beneath it for a really long time and this means we could make exciting astrobiological discoveries there. Asking are we alone is just about one of the most fundamental questions we can ask as humans and it's really exciting to be studying a region of Mars that has an active mission going to it that could help to answer that question. Being a postgraduate researcher at the OU is fantastic. Everyone in my research group has a very varied number of projects and wide ranges of expertise. So we have people looking at the geology of icy moons as well as mapping planet Mercury. And it's this diversity that allows us to discuss things and look at problems from different angles to try and solve these really fundamental questions.