The following is a presentation of TFNN. The Trader's Edge with Steve Rhodes. Toll free at 1-877-927-6648. Or internationally at<PHONE_NUMBER>. The Trader's Edge. Now, Steve Rhodes. Good afternoon, folks. Welcome to the October 21st. Today is the 21st. It's the magnificent Monday edition of today's Trader's Edge show. I'm your host, Steve. Perseverance Rhodes. It's absolutely great to be with you. Of course, I truly appreciate you being here. Look, this show is for you. This hour. This next hour. It's really all about you. And so I'm here to serve you. So feel free to give us a call at<PHONE_NUMBER>. If you can't call in, we've got you covered. I believe we've got you covered. Just let those fingers do the walking. Go ahead and send me an email. Steve at tfn.com. In the subject, if you'd be kind enough to put radio show question, that would be great. And inside our Tiger's Den, any ping will do out there. So let's go ahead and get this show started on Magical, Magnificent Monday. Forces is Tiger. Financial News Network. I'm Steve Rhodes. Welcome to the show. Right now, the Dow. All the indices are in the green, including the Spot Ballatility Index, which is unusual with the S&P up 17 points. Now, the Spot Ballatility Index is not up by much. It's up by three pennies out there. But it is something for you and I to think about, more than think about, to pay attention to it. But you've got the Dow up 32 points. It's about a little over one-tenth of a percent to the upside. A six-tenth of a percent for the S&P. That's 17 points. NASDAQ up seven-tenths. Russell up one and a quarter percent up 19 points. Summars are up nearly one and three-quarters percent out there. So a lot of movement to the upside, to the downside. Gold's up six bucks. Silver is up. A penny. Gold is up. Fifty cents. Forty-six pennies. Got natural gas down three percent or seven-and-a-half pennies out there. You got the T-bonds are off nearly one full point out here. Thirty ticks as we speak right now. So there's plenty to look at. Of course, I want to look at what you want to look at. So let's go to our first request out of this. Came in last evening at about 10 o'clock, I believe. This is coming in from Leonardo DiCaprio. Very close to it, though. And Leonardo writes, Hey, Steve, I was thinking CCI was about to break down. So let's go turn over here, CCI. Let's go take a look at it. What's going to show up here first. And we'll read the full question. But now you've got the daily, the weekly, and the monthly timeframe charge. What we know about Crown Castle Inc. Right now is prices trading above the daily profile inside the weekly and above the monthly profile. Now, those profile levels provide you with support and resistance out here. So I was thinking that CCI was about to break down when it pierced the recent, when it pierced the recent 135.23 low out there. Okay. And however the stock quickly turned around. Do you think a projected top of about 159 is valid? So 159 just simply is using the previous range out here. So let's go take a look at this and kind of get a feel for what our charts say. So in looking at profiles out here, Leonardo, the only thing that we have for resistance is 149.47. You asked about 149.47. I can't argue with your numbers. They're my numbers. They're our numbers. They're coming from our TAS market profile system out here. Now, what you'll want to watch, I'd say is, so if you take a look at the weekly timeframe chart, we'll go look at some other tools out here. But if we take a look at the weekly timeframe chart, one of the things that we should note is that the current profile is bearish in structure. Now, what I mean by that is the center line of its box, where both buyers and sellers are, where both buyers and sellers are, is right where price is trading right now, which is at about the 142.02 level, 142.04. And so if price closes below that area out here, Leonardo 142.02, chances are it won't make its way up to the top of that profile, 149.47. It's sitting right on it right now, so it's kind of a neutral signal to you and I as to which way it really wants to go out here. It really broke through, or it broke through the top of its new profile with some volume on Friday out here. Now, if we take a look at our other charts, let's go in kind of reverse order here, right? We take a look at the monthly chart. We don't see any kind of resistance. But therefore, we need to go to Steve's other page and charts out here just to see what other patterns there might be. And voila, last month, the month of October was a bar number nine of a TD setup nine count. This suggests that a potential significant top would be in place out here, at least significant enough for price to potentially pull back into the 104.22 area where it broke out on a monthly basis. Now, if that's gonna happen, Leonardo, you're gonna need to see price close below Steve's green line, 135.46. So you get a TD nine count top. Price pushes down to test support. So far, support is held. That's 135.46. So watch that area as well. I wouldn't be tough from a longer term standpoint to take an investment in it right now knowing that there's a topping pattern that's in play. But that's just the monthly. Let's go look at the weekly timeframe to see what patterns are out here. And when we go ahead and expand this, we can see that what CCI did on a weekly basis, but it made a rose momentum indicator top. I did that with the shooting star candle out here. This was the week of September the 6th out there. Price is very falling week. Nice wide-ranging bar to the downside. Cascading below Steve's green line out here. So this may just be a countertrend rally that is in play out here. And so you were saying, hey, it might fall apart. Well, there's the potential here for an A to B equal CD to the downside based upon what we're looking at right now. The reality is I have to use the same candle. That's last week, both the high and the low for the B and the C point out here. But let's not get too hung up onto this because it doesn't come into play unless price closes below 133.48 out here. But both the weekly chart and the monthly chart are suggesting caution to us. And when we take a look at the daily timeframe chart for patterns out here, I don't have a pattern that I would use, that I use that would signal to you and I that there was a bottom, well, maybe, maybe. There was a three drive to a sort of a three drive to a bottom pattern out here. Nah, we're not even going to go there because then I'm trying to force things. I don't want to force things. So I don't really see, I don't have the pattern tools that I use that help us identify tops and bottoms. Not every top and every bottom out here. It's just when they're present we pay attention to them. I don't have that for CCI to then understand why did the bottom and make that move. But at this stage here, what we're going to go with, Leonardo, is it's just a countertrend rally that doesn't mean that price can make it to the 149-47 level. I would be watching the centerline of that weekly box. That's at the 140-202. I hope that helps y'all. Thanks for taking the time to write in. And folks, I want to hear from you too. So I don't see any other requests thus far. So let's just simply go take a tour around the markets. All of Mr. Bill is asking about CCL, Carnival Cruise Lines. I think you're asking about it. So let's go ahead and put Carnival Cruise Lines up there. Just in case I misinterpreted Leonardo's I for an L. Hey, that sounds good. Now the statement was weekly A to B equals CD. Okay. So as we take a look at CCL out here. Oh, geez. Geez, Louise. It wasn't Geez, Louise, Mr. Bill's question. It's just there's so many A to B equals CD patterns out here, Mr. Bill. Which one do we choose? You know, here's one, right? If we just simply start from the top, your A point out here is the day. We're looking at a weekly chart. I'm sorry, the week of January 29th. The B point I'd use is July 2nd. And the C point looks like September 24th.  We had the 1 to 1, 1 to 1.618, 1 to 1.272. We're going to go have to check our other charts to see if there's any other kind of bottoming patterns out here for carnival cruise lines. Steve Rhodes with TFNN. We'll be right back. We'll be right back. Are you in the market for buying or selling real estate in the Bay Area, including the surrounding St. Petersburg, Tampa, and Clearwater markets? Tiger Real Estate LLC is a firm that has extensive experience in the Tampa Bay Area. 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You can still visit us at the same tfnn.com URL, but when you do, you'll see a new and improved homepage with a much simpler navigation, where it's a great way to help you find your way through the market. So, if you have any questions about the TfN website, go to tiger.com or email us at tfnn.com. And we'll see you next time. Whether you're watching Tiger TV live in high definition or just accessing your newsletter subscriptions, we even have new pricing in six months and yearly options. Check out the new TFNN.com now and experience all the upgrades. TFNN.com educating investors. Call now, toll free at 1-877-927-6648 internationally at<PHONE_NUMBER>. Welcome back, folks. So we're taking a carnival cruise lines right now and we were looking at the black background charts out here. What we do know on a daily basis, price is above resistance, potential change in trend signal out there, straight in at 4335, resistance being the top of its box. We're gonna go find another resistance area, most likely on my white background charts out here. And we know that price is trading with inside a weekly profile. This is a weekly profile that formed this week. So this would suggest that price should make its way up to about the 4540 level. The new profile on a weekly basis is equally distributed. I mean, the center is pretty close to the center of the box out there. So neither bulls nor bears have the advantage here. The monthly chart looks like a potential hammer candle I could be forming, but the month is not over. Now we were looking at the weekly chart bill, was looking at the A to B, all the many A to B equal CD patterns that are out there. But as I was sharing with Mr. Bill during the break, we can see on a weekly basis, CCL tops with a TD set up nine count out here. Does a September 21st, 2018. And last week we got the bullish reversal signal, Three River Morningstar pattern with price moving lower doing less relative energy. The roads momentum indicator, price is trading above Stevie's red line. So the weekly chart says this has the potential to make it up to 5386. That's where the weekly breakdown level is. Of course, we wanna look at the daily timeframe, but we'll first go to the monthly. Monthly, what's the signals out here on the monthly? We can see how a top with a roads momentum indicator signal. Let's see where we add wave counts to the downside. So this week, this month, I should say, happens to be wave number seven, letter number G out there. So Mr. Bill, we know that at wave number seven, that's where you can see significant changes in trend out here. And so this is certainly a longer term, a monthly candidate for carnival cruise lines to identify the bottom. So that put together with the weekly, looks pretty good, what was the daily chart? Signaling to you and I out here. Bottoms with the TD set up nine count, does it on bar number eight out here on October the eighth? So that's a beautiful thing. It looks like what price is doing today is bar number seven. So if you're in it, you would stay in it to win it, but you wouldn't really get into it today, or I wouldn't suggest that you do, because resistance where price broke down is 4421. Or nearly I would have prior to utilizing this Tom DeMark tool out here, we would have gone and said price would move back to that gap to the downside from September 26. And I'm not saying that it won't do that. I'm just saying that you and I have a better tool to help us identify where stocks break out and break down to where resistance and support is versus just using what most everybody else is using out here. And so this just simply, it's a great tool. I suggest that you use it. Today's day seven, it could be day eight, nine or the day following nine. So it could be by Thursday when this tops out and pulls back. I don't know if it will do that. We just know the resistance is relatively close to where we're trading right now. Of course, ideally you'd like to see a close of about 4421 out there because then a breakdown area would have failed and it would say change in trend out there. But at this stage, Carnival Cruise Line has a bottoming pattern on the daily, which led to the bottoming pattern on the weekly. And you're now in wave number seven on the monthly Carnival Cruise Line that looks like you should go cruising. If you're a cruiser out there, of which I am a cruiser, just not on a boat that big. I like people. I just don't like that many people. No, I like as many people as possible. Just not how many thousands of people on one boat, same pool, all that kind of stuff out there. Not my cup of tea. I apologize for those of you that it is your cup of tea. It's just not my cup of tea. Okay, so let's go take a look. We had, Jimmy wanted to take a look at the, so many out here, James. Let's take a look at, you wanted to go take a look at S-O-X-S. We really want to look at the underlying instrument though. Don't we want to really take a look at the semiconductor index? Why don't we just do that? Is that okay with you? I'm gonna assume you're shaking your head yes and if you're not, then bad assumption on my part. But if we do go take a look at the semiconductor index, let's go see what it is that we see out here. What we can see is that we can see, we can see what, what can we see out here? You know, we've got this nice three drive to a top pattern. They're really set up this high at the 1626 level. The first time back there, Jimmy was on and was set up, a TD set up nine count back on September the 12th. So back to a prior high, price goes ahead and breaks down with a topping signal. What we don't have right now is a topping pattern. We don't have a topping signal out here. Price is above Stevie's green line, but we don't have any clear break of 1626. If the semis are gonna run higher out here, you're gonna see a close above 1626. Unlike Jimmy back here on September 12th, you know, let's just say we were looking, this was September 11th, when you and I were looking at this chart, you know, we would say, okay, very caution, be very cautious here because it looks like this is right where price could break down again because of the topping pattern and that three drive to a top pattern out there. But I don't have that just yet. So maybe it's just a swashbuckle move sideways. There's just simply no pattern out here inside the semis. There's no pattern for me to tell you that this is a top, but you're so close to an area where resistance is at out here. I certainly wouldn't suggest that you initiate along. I could get the, I can understand the shorting of it, so to speak, but no topping signal makes it more difficult for me to tell you to go ahead and fire away at that. So I hope that that helps you out. Let's go to another question. I see you've got some other symbols in there. If we've got the time, we'll absolutely go back and get to those. Let me just get to some folks that have sent in requests. HD wants to take a look at ticker symbol, E-R-I-C. So E-R-I-C, let's go see what in the heck that actually is out here. Erickson, E-R-I-C, and Erickson trade out at 9-11, above it's daily box, above it's weekly box, and trading inside it's monthly profile. Got right up to the point of control, the center of the box, the center of a bearish structured box, sort of 9-25 out here. And your question is, would you please look at Erickson for a possible long? Okay. So as we take a look at it, let's look at the daily timeframe chart. What do we know out here? Would you take along it's trade at 9-11? I don't have any kind of topping pattern and a nice wide ranging bar on Friday, would suggest that this thing wants to move higher, move higher to where? I'd say $9.71, you're at 9-11 right now. If you're asking, would you take a long position now, knowing that you're up against potential resistance out there? My answer would be no, I wouldn't do that. If this did pull back to a level of support, you could consider firing away, support on this would be 855 at Stevie's Green Line, 832 is the top of it's daily profile out there. This is the daily, oh I pulled over the weekly. What did I do? Holy snikies. Think I mixed everything up. So that was the weekly. So let me take a look at the daily out here. How did I do that? Focus, focus, domino-cus. Well let's go change this thing here correctly so that I'm looking at the right chart. So let me change the really strange, but strange is the deal. That's what it's called. Let me change that oscillator and change line to a daily timeframe from the weekly timeframe. That's gonna look a little bit nicer out here. So okay, here we go. So on a daily timeframe, two days ago, a TD nine count high out there. So the answer is no. You want an entry point out here? We can also see Stevie's red line turn green. A handful of sessions ago, we should see price in that line test each other. So that's gonna be your entry point. Now that price is gonna change. Right now today at 1.26 in the afternoon it's 855. You're trading at 9.11. So the line may move higher, price may move lower. There could be several combinations out here, but now is not the time to enter. You got a topping signal a couple of days ago. Wait for a retracement and a pullback and the best number I can give you right now is $8.55 in those whereabouts. Steve Rhodes with TFNN, we'll be right back. I'm certain you are or strive to be one of the best of the best at everything you do in life. It's the most common trait that we tigers and tigers share. If you're looking to become the best of the best when it comes to managing your money, let me teach you to do what most wealth managers tell you can't be done, which is how to time the markets. 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This segment is brought to you by Think or Swim. For more information, just click the Think or Swim banner on the front page of tfnn.com. Welcome back folks. So LB writes in, wants to take a look at natural gas, as hope your day's going well. I'm liking the setup in natural gas. So let's go take a look at it right now. What we've got here is the 30, the 120, the five hour, the 300 minute chart, and the daily chart on the very right hand side. And so what natural gas did today, LB, so when you say you like the setup, price made its way down very close to the bottom of the profile, 2.208, the actual low today, 2.213. So it's back as up against the wall as long as the bottom of that box holds, meaning that price closes above that level, then it says, okay, you could be right. It's a slightly higher low than the bar from October 11th. Of course, it's a slightly lower high from the box on October, from the high on October 16th versus that of October 4th. So we've got the cone of silence going on out here. If we take a look at natural gas on a daily basis, we take a look at Stevie's other charts out here. What we're gonna see is price is also pulled back to a level of support. This is your Gertle buy pattern. Gertle buy pattern hasn't turned into much. That Gertle buy pattern confirmed on October 3rd when it generated a bull sash candle out there. Our price for the most part has found real resistance at Stevie's red line. It had a close above it on the 15th, immediately got back below it on the 16th, a slight close above it on the 17th, as well as on Friday back below it here today. So real sideways action. So if you like the setup because you think that it's generating a real nice bottom signal, the bottom signal is the Gertle buy pattern in as long as price, really you'd have to say stays above $2.16. That's its breakout area. It has potential. But the problem is is that the more that price trades below Stevie's red line, which tells us right now that the price offsetters below zero and with price being below the red line tells us we have a falling price offsetter below zero, that's really kind of bearish. So I see why you could be or you like the setup at the same time, be aware that there's some things about the setup that you really don't like or that I don't really like out there. And that's what I'm taking a look at. If we look at, let me do this here. Let me get the weekly timeframe chart out for the November contract, just letting it load right now and see what we see.  Come on, we're live on the air. You gotta do something, you gotta do better than this. But it's not. Okay, here we go. So let's pull over the weekly timeframe chart for natural gas. What do we got? We ain't got anything. When I say we ain't got anything, I'm referring to some type of bottom pattern out here. So you've just, look, if you're looking for an entry point into UNG or the others at this stage here, you just, I think you've gotta go back to my daily chart. Say, okay, we're near where bottom could be, should be. You've got the daily profile and go ahead and take that trade. If you see a close blow either 2.208 or you wanna give it more room to run 2.160 out there, you go ahead and keep the trade open and close below those levels. You go ahead and exit and re-look at the charts out there. So LB, hope that that is helpful to you and thanks so much for taking the time to write in. We've got Nick, Nick writes in and Nick wants to take a look at ticker symbol MDR. So let's go do that. Let's get back to our three timeframes out here. MDR, let's go see what Nick is looking for. If anything, can you please comment on MDR, the stock itself? Okay, so here's what we know right now. The price of trading, this is McDermott International. Price is trading above the top of the daily. It's trading with inside a brand new weekly profile. It says support is 193 and resistance is 341 and below the monthly timeframe. So they don't have a clear set of signals here. The question would really be from a commenting standpoint, did this thing make some type of bottom out here? And if we take a look at what this did recently, which is actually today, it's made a TD set up nine count. Remember the high can come on bars eight, nine or the bar following nine. This happens to be the bar following nine out here. And maybe this is gonna make a B line, not much of a B line, you're trading at 208 for where this broke out at 169. If it closed below 169, we'll say 160 right now. That spells trouble inside this equity. If I go look at the weekly timeframe chart, so my comments there are, watch what happens as price pulls back to support because it looks like that's what it wants to do. That is McDermott International. Price has been moving lower, doing less relative energy from a weekly standpoint, but no bullish reversal candle and price on a weekly basis. Now it continues to trade below Stevie's red line out there. So that is not a good scenario. It's trading at 207, how low can it go? I guess it could go to zero out here, not likely, but I mean, I don't know if it will or won't. I'm not saying that it will. I'm just saying this becomes pretty hard now to project where this thing is headed to further south on a monthly timeframe, no bottoming signal out here. Maybe week number four of a TD set up nine count. So I don't like, you're asking me, Nick, what I comment about MDR stock. It looks to me like this thing wants to pull back even further out here. So I don't know what they do. It doesn't matter what they do. We just kind of look at the charts out here. So thanks for writing in. I hope that helps you out with regard to that. You're looking to add. Okay, so I see this writing back in. If you're looking to add, you've done the investigative work on it. And so in this case here, your support levels are going to be 160, 167, and 189. And I have no idea which, if any are going to hold, but knowing that you've got the TD set up nine count and you want to add, we're going to say today is not the day to do that. You want to see those levels of support get tested. Those would be the areas to go ahead and add to your position. I say be careful though, based upon what we just looked at on the weekly and the monthly timeframe charts out there. So again, thanks for writing in. Hope that helps you out. Okay, so we've got all of the requests in. Yeah, we've got all the requests in. And that says we've got some time here to go take a look at. There was another request by Jimmy and the Den wanted to take a look at ticker symbol VC. Let's go look at the VC, figure out what that is. That is Vistion Corp. And Vistion Corp trading out at 83.51. Right now, just back below the top of resistance on a daily basis. That's the top of its profile at 83.71, price above the top of the weekly and just slightly above the top of the monthly. So this has some potential. Let's go look at the daily timeframe chart. What's today's candle doing? Oh, that's a bummer out here. So a price was moving higher, doing less relative energy. You got the bearish engulfing candle. You're below just slightly below Stevie's green line just slightly inside the top of its daily profile. This would say that price may be targeting 78.11, 72.51 or 60.505. Those would be the areas right now. Obviously as price moves down, maybe we get some type of bottoming signal. Is it a guarantee that price will move down? No, it's not a guarantee, but you've got the signal of a top. And so with regard to VC, Jimmy, if you're, I don't know what you're looking to do with this, I certainly would not be adding or stepping into a position today on VC. At least that's what the daily timeframe is saying. This thing wants to pull back. Let's take a look at the weekly timeframe for VC. Well, shoot, you may be in week number nine of a TD setup nine count out here. So the weekly chart, and we know that Stevie's red line turned green. This says that there's a rendezvous with price and Stevie's green line currently at 73.60. So in that range out there where it's trading now in 73.60 out here. So the weekly and the daily say trick or treat and it says it's a trick. So I would just stay put as we speak right now for ticker symbol VC, Vistion Corp. Steve Rhodes with TFNN. We'll be right back. We'll go take a look at the ESMini for Peter, the new profile in the Russell 2000 for Jay and anything else that you'd like to be right back. If you're in the CD market and looking for a secure investment, the Tiger First mortgage program may work for you. 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For the latest market information. Welcome back folks, so we're taking a look at the ATAS market profiles for the four Equity Futures contracts. I've got some daily, some weekly information out here. I think I mentioned the Russell 2000 is attempting to form a new market profile. Now the top of that box is 1545, the bottom is 1503, the center's at 1528. We're trading above the top of the box right now, 1551. So Jay, this profile may not form this began attempting to form early this morning about four o'clock, five o'clock is when it showed up on my screen out here. It's using my advanced Doppler system. You really won't know till tomorrow out here, so I can't say for sure. But here's what we do know. We got to go with the information that we do have. The reason we use that Super Doppler is it provides the great information. Right now the Russell 2000 is trading above the top of that box. If it, if it doesn't work above the top of that box, and that suggests that price wants to move higher. Now if we take a look at higher to where would be your question. If we take a look at the Russell 2000 equity futures contract, no topping signals, no bearish reversal candles on the move up. Remember, I've shared with you that prices will typically continue moving higher until we see some type of bearish reversal candle. Well on the current run off of the test of support breakout support 1465-20 for the Russell 2000 no such bearish reversal candle has formed. And this suggests that Jay, everybody else out there that what the Russell 2000 is likely doing is targeting 1586-20. It is in wave number four to the upside out there. Basil teaches that wave number four something different can happen. Not always happens out there, but 1586-20 would be my target to the upside inside the Russell 2000 out here. If we take a look at the NQ panel number two, there's a new profile that formed a couple of days ago. This used that superdoppler system and this thing actually did form prices above to bearish and structure. Prices above the center line is 79-12. It would close above 79-12 more likely than not. 79-94 and change becomes its target. So this suggests higher price out there. If I take a look at the daily chart for the NQ there was an A to B equal CD pattern that completed on Friday when it generated a bearish and golfing candle. My price never broke through support. Stevie's green line. So we got a bullish pattern and a bearish pattern out here. Go to the profiles. It is slightly leaning towards higher price out there. So we got to go with higher price at 145 in the afternoon. Expect the NQ to make a run for the top of its box out there. One of the reasons we would suggest that is because knocking on the door is the ESMini. It's not knocking on the door. It's blown through the door. The door was 29-95. That was the top of its daily profile. This is suggesting that price will make a run another 30 points to the north. That would be 30-32 approximately 300 points for the Dow. Well, that would take up to 29,000 or so. That's the top of its daily profile. Granted, you've got the weighting of Boeing that's in there that is punishing the stock, but that's okay. We don't really care. What we want to understand is where support and resistance is and where price is trading in relationship to its own summary. The ESMini above the top of the box, it wants higher price. Russell 2000, if you call this the weekend to see out here, it's above the top of its profile, it wants higher price. And if you take a look at the NQ, it's above the center line right now. That suggests it wants higher price out there. Let the Dow kind of do its thing. So that's what's going on from a profile standpoint out there. With regard to market breadth, if you were speaking, Peter, about market breadth for the New York Stock Exchange, what do we know about it? Well, market breadth from the standpoint of using advanced decline oscillators at $79.54. It's making a higher high as price is making a higher high. So this is all a copacetic. Whatever copacetic means, everything is grooving and moving and suggests even further prices to the upside inside the New York Stock Exchange. Very likely you'll get that advanced decline oscillated reading up to the plus 1.50 area before you may see a plus 1.50 failure. If from a market breadth standpoint for the New York Stock Exchange you were asking about the advanced decline line out here, well you're at a brand new all-time high today. Brand new all-time high as we speak. So that is very important, very powerful. Markets do not crash or have significant pullbacks. Let's say significant tops out there when the New York Stock Exchange advanced decline oscillator is at a new all-time high. And that's where it is as we speak right now. So market breadth is good. Now everything is not lined up. That's the problem. That's what makes these markets as choppy as they are.  What do you mean? Jelly bean. Well, if we go take a look at the VIX index, spot VIX index, as I said, you get the ES mini up 13.75 points and you have the spot VIX index up three pennies. Stevie says, what's up with that? Really, what is up with that? Well, it's a dangerous thing out there. It's a dangerous game. It's a dangerous game when the spot volatility index continues to make higher lows as we have right now and you've got the S&P making slightly higher highs out there. That's the kind of divergence that says you've got to be looking for a top out there. That doesn't mean that it's today. Maybe the top comes when price hits those resistance areas inside those futures contracts that we looked at. Maybe it's some type of folding. Maybe it's a TD setup nine count pattern inside the ES mini with the day being day number seven. It says we might have two one to three days before that top comes into play out here. I don't know. I just know that this pattern, which you can't use as a timing tool, we use it as a great tool that says make sure to take an umbrella if you go out because you could get poured on out there. And so this pattern is the one that suggests the most caution to you and I just to pull back not some type of market crash and so forth out there. Get that out of your mind if it wasn't your mind out here. Now if Peter was asking about market breath, for example, for the S&P 500, hey we've got that too. We can take a look at market breath for 60, 240 daily and weekly. You'll see all of the dials are in bullish mode out here. They're all in the green area. So you've got bullish market breath across the board for those time frames. We take a look at the NDX 100 out here. The NDX 100 is going to show us. Did it change? Yeah, it did. Let me make sure. Yeah, and you've got bullish market breath for every single time frame as well. So those are your market breath numbers. These last ones here, courtesy of the folks over at Taz Market Profiles. Hope that helps you out, Peter and Peter. Thank you so much for joining us today. And all of the other listeners that are out there. Let's see. Do we have any other requests that are in? We're getting pretty close to having to wrap things up. So I just want to see if there was any other requests. I don't see anything else. Okay. So that's good. What else do we want to look at? Hey, where can the S&P 500 run to? Well where the S&P 500 is likely to run to? The S&P 500 is likely to run to. The S&P 500 is likely to run to. The horizontal trading ranges. Beautiful chart for the S&P 500. Is it not? Well, beautiful because if you take a look at these horizontal trading ranges, look at the highs back in 2000 and 2007, you can see where price stopped right at that monthly horizontal trading range boundary line. If I were to ask you based on that, where's your projection for the S&P 500? You're right. Since 1984, Basil Chapman has been using the Chapman wave methodology to advise traders of his expert market opinion. Well, originally hand drawing charts from the late 1970s into the 1980s, Basil noticed that prices under most circumstances virtually always had a certain number of legs to the upside before declining sharply. Later, Basil found that computer software which included the standard policy and calling price turns, as well as market trend calls. Thus was born the Chapman wave sequence. Using the Chapman wave methodology along with other indicators, Basil Chapman advises his subscribers of his expert market opinion each market day with his opening call newsletter. Right now you can get a two week free trial to the opening call, Basil's daily trading newsletter by visiting the front page of TFNN.com. Cancel at any time during that trial to find out more information about the opening call today by visiting TFNN.com. If you're a trader in the market looking for exposure to gold or gold mining equities, then now is a perfect time to sign up for Tom O'Brien's gold report. The summer is over. Gold is trading back above $1,500 and the 10 year treasury is hovering at around 1.5% Tom O'Brien has been writing his weekly gold report for almost 18 years. There's no one that hasn't signed up for gold mining equities react. New subscribers get a 30 day money back guarantee so you have nothing to lose every Monday morning. Tom publishes his weekly gold report with coverage of gold, silver, bonds, the XAU H U I G D X the dollar as well as more than 30 different mining equities as of September 3rd. Gold report subscribers have five active open positions with an average of 1.5% Tom O'Brien has been writing his weekly gold report with coverage of gold, silver, bonds, the dollar as well as more than 30 different mining equities as of September 3rd. Gold report subscribers have five active open positions with an average of 1.5% Tom O'Brien has been writing his weekly gold report with coverage of gold, silver, bonds, the dollar as well as more than 30 different mining equities as of September 3rd. Gold report subscribers have five active open positions with an average of 1.5% Tom O'Brien has been writing his weekly gold report with coverage of gold, silver, bonds, the dollar as well as more than 30 different mining equities as of September 3rd. Gold report subscribers have five active open positions with an average of 1.5% Tom O'Brien has been writing his weekly gold report with coverage of gold, silver, bonds, the dollar as well as more than 30 different mining equities as of September 3rd. Gold report subscribers have five active open positions with an average of 1.5% Tom O'Brien has been writing his weekly gold report with coverage of gold, silver, bonds, the dollar as well as more than 30 different mining equities as of September 3rd. Gold report subscribers have five active open positions with an average of 1.5% Tom O'Brien has been writing his weekly gold report with coverage of gold, silver, bonds, the dollar as well as more than 30 different mining equities as of September 3rd. Gold report subscribers have five active open positions with an average of 1.5% Tom O'Brien has been writing his weekly gold report with coverage of gold, silver, bonds, the dollar as well as more than 30 different mining equities as of September 3rd. Gold report subscribers have five active open positions with an average of 1.5% Tom O'Brien has been writing his weekly gold report with coverage of gold, silver, bonds, the dollar as well as more than 30 different mining equities as of September 3rd. Gold report subscribers have five active open positions with an average of 1.5% Tom O'Brien has been writing his weekly gold report with coverage of gold, silver, bonds, the dollar as well as more than 30 different mining equities as of September 3rd. Gold report subscribers have five active open positions with an average of 1.5% Tom O'Brien has been writing his weekly gold report with an average of 1.5% Tom O'Brien has been writing his weekly gold report with an average of 1.5% Tom O'Brien has been writing his weekly gold report with an average of 1.5% Tom O'Brien has been writing his weekly gold report with an average of 1.5% Tom O'Brien has been writing his weekly gold report with an average of 1.5% Tom O'Brien has been writing his weekly gold report with an average of 1.5% Tom O'Brien has been writing his line, the OUL, oscillator and change line and price catch up to each other. This also says that the Great British Pound may be trying to form a top. It's got an A to B equal CDT upside today's bar number eight and it's a high out here. So let's watch those currencies. They may be the next big trade out there. Countertrend rallying the Euro and the Pound may be over. Folks, thanks much for being here. Stay tuned. David Weitz up next. Tom O'Brien, three to four. I'll be back with you tomorrow at 1 o'clock.


Everybody forced here ripping 2023 certified football hobby for box number 10 random teams. Let's random right now And then we'll get right to it three and two five times names first one two three four and five James a down to drew T and five times on the teams one two three four and five Seahawks down to Eagles James a Seahawks Brett G. Colts when asked what the Broncos and Jags Jason a Panthers William H. Texans Tox see with the Bucks David O Pat's Shane our Jets Jim B. Cardinals Darrell M. Vikings Richard H. Bears drew T Titans Jim B. Dolphins Joe M. Falcons to oxy with the Cowboys Zachary K. Brown's Keith B. Bills Alexander with the Packers Danielle with the Chiefs Jason a Niners commanders James a Steelers Jonathan L. Saints Zachary K With the Bengals Chase T. Raiders Zedekiah with the Rams Corey G. Chargers Alex E. Lyons drew T Giants Powell P. Ravens and drew T with Eagles Reese's Cup sounds pretty good Man of excellent taste. All right y'all tend to go on that dual case tend to go on that dual case Open a bit. I'm gonna put a bit no ours down to four as well Results link is in chat as well They can be found anytime at Leighton Sports Cards dot com the results quick link at the bottom of the website Andrews followed by rookie Miles Murphy for the Bengals out of 99 Gold team CJ Gardner Johnson for the Lions Deontay Banks rookie goes to the Giants out of 325 Certified stars Lawrence for the Jags rookie patch card new generation Dorian Thompson Robinson Browns the 349 fields insert Wonder when we'll see an SSP wonder when we'll see one immortals of Kellen Winslow Charlie Jones rookie Bengals out of 149 on the orange color match Garrett Wilson gold team for the Jets Jersey card Ravens piece of the game Odell Beckham Jr. to 199 OBJ DK certified stars for Seattle followed by rookie Lions Demir Gibbs out of 275 I scored Lions certified stars Titans Derek Henry Jordan Addison to 99 a freshman fabric rookie Jersey Auto stud great hit for Minnesota Stud love to see it. He's a stud. He's a stud Vikings Darrell M. There we go Darrell Darrell M. Go Darrell They're gonna have to let Jefferson walk. She's like they're not gonna be any good Immortals Randy Moss for the Patriots Rookie Jaden Reed to 25 Packers nice low number color match here. Good receiver receiver box rookie receiver box Immortals to 149 dolphins Dan Marino And a Dorsey Levens out of for the Packers 7 of 10 Good evening Bay. Good boxer Green Bay as well. Jefferson Connor fans team Yeah, Justin Tucker gold team absolute stinger 349 Patrick Sertan the second Denver, but I'm surviving Now last week. No, I lost to my terrible team. Yeah Caught me the right week Immortals to Molly Anderson. I'll just play spoilers. No point in tanking in a fantasy league Rookie Jersey Auto to 399 Tyler Scott bears in the freshman fabric Miles Garrett to 199 gold team for Cleveland's Giants Auto cave-on a tippado to 50 in the certified auto certified potential auto Giants to 50 on the tippado Justin Fields on the calling cards Julia Sprint's rookie for the Colts out of 399 Gold team AJ Brown for the Eagles Lamar Jackson to 50 Ravens 13 of 50 But we got Lakers or son thinking sons thinking sons the night Rams Cooper Cup certified stars new generation rookie Jersey Broncos Marvin mims the 399 thick card coming up Beeshawn followed by dual patch Hollywood Brown and Marvin mims Number to 25 The test of time or stitches in time stitches in time Hollywood Brown and Marvin mims Random that at the end Cardinals Broncos There's a gates Immortals My home's calling cards followed by rookie for the Saints Kendra Miller to 199. We'll use PayPal Um Is like are you is it not an option or is it like not going through or something? Immortals the 249 Damarino Dolphins Seahawks the 99 Geno Smith give the option interesting I see it on this. Maybe try a different browser or like an incognito browser. Maybe Sometimes something like that sometimes triggers it like to get it to work three on the war now nine on the dual case So incognito browser, maybe like a different type. Maybe like if you're using Internet Explorer We use Chrome or use like Safari or something Sometimes that for some reason that that'll work, but I see it here on Chrome. I see the I Just clicked it into a break and it says buy with PayPal Name of the mortals rookie Jersey Chase Brown to 399 Bengals Travis Calci at a 99 calling cards for the Chiefs Calling cards DK Metcalf Seattle rookie for the Raiders Tyree Wilson to 199 Jacobs Gold team for the Raiders Vikings the 199 Dalvin Cook Works heck. Yeah, appreciate you JC. Go JC. Thank you. Thank you. Good luck tonight. What? Herbert certified stars so 349 miles Sanders Panthers Calling cards Dalvin Cook Chiefs auto Trent McDuffie to 149 on the certified potential auto I thought he's a good one. Good mid-round pick in the draft last year Sub Jennings. How we doing tonight? sauce Gardner It's a 399 Anthony Richardson colds rookie base parallel Hey, thank you for the kind words. You're the best Yeah, we're nothing with we're nothing without y'all Terry McLauren certified stars commanders to one to 49 Ricky Charlie Jones Bengals and Rico Go what up, man? Pass your bedtime son Your worst Greg at don't say that need three times For franchise foundations is Alan for the bills were he patched nice blue color match to 99 chargers Quentin Johnston That's like saying You don't want to do that you had to care what you wish for yeah Jack Ham and freshman fabric RPA Cedric Tillman Cleveland a 99. Oh We've got a PSA 10. Let's go. Yeah, that's a monster card. There he is right there. There's Herbert on the box Love hearing stuff like that My hair No, I'm not here I think he was in New York City last time I heard No, he's back in South Florida. He's back already. Yeah. Yeah. He was back See it was NYC yours Thursday. No, I was gonna say cuz he got there he Wednesday daytime was like it I'm in NYC or whatever. Yeah, I think I just got there. Maybe it was Got seven ago in that dual case She has seven to go in the dual case man ten total spots left tonight seven dual case three noir on this fabulous Friday That's Micah franchise foundations rookie for the Raiders Michael Mayer to 149 Well, Celtic said an easy win tonight That's Debo to 149 for the Niners gold team rookie to 325 Lucas Van Ness Packers That dual is gonna be fun. There's a lot of stuff and that's gonna be an ideal you see certified has a lot of numbered cards and Relics and auto so it's good stuff mortals of Marshall Falk rookie Jersey auto for the Cowboys Deuce Vaughn 349 Freshman fabric you guys dual case certified in origins has seven to go Sauce card or calling cards Yeah, Rico certified sold out a while ago this or now there's more tomorrow if you're looking for just certified George Kittle gold team for the Niners. We'll see if they can beat the magic this year Vaughn to 275 Olave Saints Is certified below flawless? Yes. I think most everything other than NT is below flawless even then It's uh, it's about nil on those I would say Certified stars is Steelers TJ Watt Jersey car new generation rookie Michael Wilson Cardinals Yeah, certified's a good bit below flawless flawless box costs over 7k six six and a half over 7k certified box costs What is it? What is it out? Yeah, certified cost 330 mortals Dante Hall that is a Seahawks rookie Devon weather spoon to 275 Well, luckily, it's like a it's a group stage thing. So even if they lose it wouldn't matter a whole lot, right? Pollard their new generation Anthony Richardson rookie Jersey Colts to 349 Yeah, it'd be cool to see Collard do well Don't happens to you. No, I was just watching that funny. No But I am putting something in my chest toward Brooks rookie to 99 Devon a chant dolphins very nice Yeah, dude, the Falcons got a fire Arthur Smith. It's so bad Like I feel good about the Patriots coaching staff compared to Arthur Smith, dude I feel great about the Patriots come here to them certified stars chief Travis Kelsey Michael Vic Otto for the Falcons to 75 speaking of that team Haha, what's up Nick? That's true. That's true. It came out Nick call of duty I think I think I might get the call of duty. I might I just want to play those maps again the maps from my from the olden days I'm good old 2009 The olden times To most people that work here. There's the olden times 25 dual relic Marquis Brown and Marvin Mims. Good luck on this random Four times three and one whoever's up top will get the card one two three and Four the Cardinals get the card Okay, so Cardinals got the dual patch here Hollywood and Marvin Mims. There's a Richardson Jersey Michael Wilson Quentin Johnston Chase Brown Marvin Mims and Odell Beckham, Jr. Dorian Thompson Robinson autos of Michael Vic Deuce Vaughn That's a Cedric Tillman Trent McDuffie cave on timido Tyler Scott Dorsey leavens and Jordan Addison Pretty solid break. Thanks everybody moving on to number 11


These are all paid actors Welcome to another vlog. I'm having a nice little self-care afternoon. I woke up this morning I worked out I came home, and I just got so much stuff done tonight Starts the Dallas book club. I'm very excited. I'm finally hosting an in-person at Dallas book club all the information I'll make social media and stuff But it's a while detectives, which is like one of my careplaces in Dallas I don't I can't believe I cannot believe okay. I made a TikTok of like things I consider perfect but Dallas cannot believe I forgot to put that one there. We're gonna talk about that later, but I'm hosting that tonight So I'm giving myself a little self-care afternoon. I just ordered Starbucks. I'm exhausted and then I also ordered Like this healthy like Chinese food. I will see how I like it I've got like an hour to just chill and relax before I need to start getting ready and Macy's gonna come over I'm gonna film a closet tour and then we're gonna go to book club. I'm very excited. So this is a nice little Self-care afternoon. I took a bath. I use all my new products I feel incredible and sometimes self-care is an afternoon shower and watching like a podcast And I'm gonna like sell outfits and stuff for the oakland, but I need to chill You know what I mean? This is the Versace robe that I got for my birthday for myself Incredible by let me tell you okay, so I got some dumplings, but these are like I think they're like impossible dumplings And then I did get actual chicken and you can get a cauliflower and stuff like sweet and sour But it's somehow like healthier for you. I don't know to be honest with you. It wasn't intentional I just wanted Chinese food and this is what popped up as the fastest delivery time Doing a little Taste test these look a little interesting. Okay. This also looks a little Interesting the consistency at least I know that they're like healthier I can tell but they're still good like I have no issue eating them, but I'm also not a picky eater But again, like how do you not like dumplings? You know what I mean? Okay, we're gonna do a little bit of a get ready with me. I have a lot of new products So let's get started. I've used this once before and I really liked it The issue is I'm so far from like the good lighting this bronzer is just like really warm anyways I really like this bronzer is I have been thinking about getting air sculpting done on my chin jawline area for a very long time It's not something that I think would even bother me if I wasn't on camera all the time But it bothers me when I see myself on camera, and it's bothered me for long enough I got a consultation like Over a year ago I think from them and then I just saw Lauren Bostic go and get it and then I was like wait I should actually like go and do that and I just think I Would be very happy if I did it I also think it's important to like be open about it like get whatever you want done But I don't know I don't like the impact that it's like leaving on a lot of people and like I get the argument of like It's your body. You can do whatever you want someone else's business. I understand that like I really do But also bothers me like when people use like filters and then they save them They repost it so like you can't see that there's a filter like I know people who even like take Like I see Pete girls even take like Instagram and feed photo That's like you obviously took out the filter it saved it and then posted it What I'm trying to say here is if you use a filter or use something I'm told like I don't care about that I think it should just say that use the filter like to save it and then post it So it looks like you're not using a filter just like feels weird to me like I don't I don't know But also I'm open for discussion Because it is your body and you can do whatever you want your account You can do whatever you want like I don't think like I Think we put too much stock in like other people for our own feelings and that makes sense But I do think it contributes to like a very unhealthy culture But then also at the same time it's like your body and like you can do whatever you want to your account You can do whatever you want But I just personally feel weird when I see people like clearly like they're using filters that are like subtle But they're like a filter like I know they're a filter and they save them and then they repost it Or they'll share it on my tech talk or Instagram, but because they saved it It's not showing that I was a filter. You know what I mean like I just don't love that But at the same time like I get the other argument So like I don't really know where I stand for myself personally. I always want to be open about it Basically, it's just like being dishonest about it But then I think of people like Chloe Kardashian or people who have been like annihilated in the media for their bodies and Attack non-stop and I totally get why they would do it. You know what I mean? I'm more so talking about like just like an influencer like that whatever But like I get the other argument and it's like they've been like bullied into that and like they've been To feel horrible about their bodies because of the media, you know what I mean? So I really don't know where I stand on it I don't like the whole like saving filters just act like you don't have a filter like I think that's just like not cool Basically what I'm saying is that like if I get anything done I will always be honest about it literally do whatever you want the great amazing love that but I just so my I don't know I think it maybe it's like I have a obviously female demographic. I'm like, I just don't want to Leave that like impression, but at the same time It's like like you're entitled to whatever you want and like you can't no one else can tell you what to do I just think like morally it doesn't sit right with me like I don't Like it and I mean like I don't mean like doing whatever you want to your body using filters Whatever I mean like being dishonest about it But again, it's like we're all in charge of like how we feel and we can't let people control how we feel So I also get that I just think for me It's not my vibe got a package from Morphea. I made an order the night because this setting spray I've never had the big one. I was I needed the travel one to figure out But this is the best setting spray you will literally ever ever ever ever ever use So I needed to order that and then I was like, you know what I need no eyeshadow brushes So today's gonna be another example of me trying a new eyeshadow Look and it looking the exact same as every other one trying my new at Nars palette that I got recently I haven't used it yet. I just thought it was really pretty. I haven't had a new eyeshadow palette in so long. I Don't have eye primer like do I need that like remember back in the day where that was like the biggest thing ever?  Thanks milk. I don't even know like what kind of look I want to do I don't even know what I'm wearing tonight. I do have like a certain look But it's like still kind of hot out right now or it's back to being hot Let's start with like a nice little crease color while these brushes feel nice. We can I gonna be a makeup artist? Yeah, I'm gonna keep this Matt I think I'm gonna do the like more reddish color on my lid.  I mean by eyeshadow. I obviously I'm an eyeliner So this eye with the eyeliner looks a lot better than this eye How do I like smudge that out? Oh, here's another one Okay, I don't know how to fix that but this eye is more like messed up also I'm on to my next product which is a cosys Like eyebrow product. I normally just put clear gel on but I'm gonna try something new next. I just have another I have a refill of the clear brow gel. I love this stuff next. I'm gonna use the tower 28 lip liner now Again, I will be trying at the glint stafani lipstick that I got that I like really I tried in the car I should I know I was like really unimpressed But we'll see it just felt very dry Okay, this is like darker than I had Planned on going because she just got a whirl with the punches here This dibs up gloss is so good for me doing my makeup. I feel like it looks pretty good. Next is mascara I actually got mascara on my eye But I feel like this doesn't look too bad again for me doing it myself The final trick is to set with this morphe spray It makes your makeup look so much better and the mist is so satisfying. All right. Just want to give you guys some better lighting like I'm trying to give you like makeup videos. I feel like I did a good job All right guys, that was clearly meant to be because the air sculpt people Just messaged me or actually didn't know I can't talk today It was clearly meant to be the air sculpt people just called me and we scheduled My appointment for the 21st. So I'm putting my deposit down tomorrow It does scare me because I've never it's I mean I guess it is plastic surgery But I've never done anything like that. Like I've gotten Botox and gotten my lips done But it like kind of scares me And I don't know like I'm excited and it's something I've wanted done for so long and like I have the time like I have 48 hours to just like wear the thing and stay home Wednesday, Thursday, I guess Friday. I guess I wouldn't be out on Friday I also like want to have time where I'm just like laying around watching movies and stuff And that will be the perfect time. So I'm obviously gonna vlog the experience But I guess I'm getting plastic surgery. It's really crazy. Also, this doesn't mean that any of you guys need to get it This doesn't mean that like I don't love myself or anything like that. It's just something that I Like that bothers me And I'm on camera all the time. Again, if I wasn't on camera all the time Wouldn't bother me literally at all, but like it is my literal livelihood So I figured why not I'm gonna call my mom because hopefully she can go with me I don't know. But anyways, I'm excited. I hope you guys are excited for me as well Here's my outfit Mace is about to be here and I'm ready to go and I guess I'm getting plastic surgery All right, you just asked me I walk in I said did you get your makeup done? It's so crazy that you asked me yes by this really cool girl named Kenzie I was just trying to have my new products. You know what it is I'm convinced though that makes it look like I got my makeup done is this setting. Oh, okay Leslie either see for Christmas. It's amazing. It is the best ones. I this is like like 15 And it's really good. Yeah, this is okay. Is this new? No, that's old news. Okay. I love this stuff Love this. Okay, like this is so unorganized because I don't have the right You need makeup. Yeah I use the Nars Foundation though and that's what my makeup artist uses Finding Macy a new sweater because apparently she doesn't like it even though the pink one's cute. I don't like anything that I wore to work Yeah, oh, yeah, that one's cute and it's like a perfect like oh, it's a good fit, you know The pink thing is my outfit for years. You so don't mind that Yeah, she was just gonna strip so that my views could go up Thanks. What you do for me is I'll never be able to thank you enough Um, there's one of my thoughts. You can hand me the skirt though. Really? Yeah, I wouldn't do it actually Um, you know when your hair is like perfectly curled then you just yeah Okay, so this is my new outfit because I changed because I don't like my original outfit Oritzia blazer. This is the oversized blazer everyone keeps asking and I just I thought I was called the oversized blazer. Is it not? I thought it was Maybe I'm wrong. I don't know one thing from there He's literally the best blazer ever. I wear it all the time skims top. I think abracampi jeans chocolate brown uggs and then I'm gonna wear my Obviously Um, I'm wearing this blue free people sweater that's kensies and my zara boot cut white leg Boot cut jeans and your shoes and my shoes are dr. Scholl's Yeah, your grandma probably owns a pair from there too. They're actually really cute. No, they're really cute Towards your own shoes there. Okay. I'm only a hater because It's just kind of embarrassing. No, I actually really like them and they're lace. Okay. These are dirty, but they're cute They're like they're like the perfect white lace to shoe Um, the sweater that macy's wearing is that free people sweater. I told you guys about like a longer two ago That's the best sweater ever. That's just like better sizing. That's the one that I should have gotten for the white one It's the best sweater ever My therapist just texted me. Okay. We got here like 10 minutes early. Do you think that we should like go in early? So we like ask because like what if I You know, I get like anxiety About like just like so No, like I like no, I have to like wait in the car. Me too. That's why I'm here early. I got to practice like Hi, hey, we're here for a book club Okay, now do it like a little bit more chill. Okay Hey, we're here for book club. Who's oh kenzie. Elizabeth. She's doing a book club.  That's what you say Okay, I'll pretend to be the worker you go. Okay. Okay. Oh my god. Now. I'm getting like way more nervous Hi, hey, who are you? How are you? Welcome. What are you here for? I'm hosting a book club today. Okay.  So I'm thinking that's gonna go great I just got the book club question because she was like, oh, I don't think that many people are coming I'm like that's so special because Like think about how many people will probably want to like come to do an event and meet people or Yeah, talk with others.  Yeah, it's like a fun little thing and then over time if we keep doing it I'm sure it will grow. I don't know should I do monthly or bi-monthly? Months a month. Okay Wait, is bi-monthly every other month or twice a month every other oh that Okay, you're saying twice a month. I'm like babe. No, okay. I know babe. We're doing the only thing is that my february is really booked But we'll see. Um, yeah, maybe like first week of february. When is your birthday february 16th? I was thinking about doing it february 16th So cute I came outside and macy had put everyone in a circle around her And Kenzie didn't know people were gonna come so I got it in my head. I was like, yeah people aren't coming people came. This is a squad Oh, are they here? Um, I don't know. Okay, but macy said she didn't think anyone was gonna come so this is my club Her first uh tequila is for some more tea. No, it's good. It's good. This is a squad. I'm very impressed Okay, so many people are coming So we ran out of seats. It's like really so many people came We haven't even started yet everyone's at the bar, but there's like literally it's our first meeting We like already don't have space and it's a very large outdoor space So macy has somehow appointed herself as like host of the book club She doesn't even wrote the book and she hostess of the book club She's really upset that I made her move back to tables We didn't have enough room there was literally no other option and she's been fighting me on everything I'm the social coordinator.  I don't remember it. Yeah, so literally the worst thing I've been doing. Oh, this is so cute smile These are all paid actors So cute Thanks for coming guys. This is so fun Guys guys we just got back from macy's meet and greet Guys it was so good because I like came back from Being inside and I walk out and she has assembled everyone into a circle basically around her Okay, I think that's a very natural like teacher personality like no If there's a group I'm gonna want to talk to them and put them in like no, you were great You're talking I really you were talking to everyone. You did a great job I was so fun But I wanted to put everyone in a big circle because I also didn't know how many people were gonna come Because kenzie was like, oh, I don't know if anyone's gonna come so in my mind I'm literally like, oh, it's not gonna be that funny How many people do you think were there on Like 50 I would say 50. It was really fun. Yeah, it was like really really fun and we were chatting we were giggling Um, but yeah, we ended up not seeing a big group when we sat at like all the tables outside Well, also to be fair there's people in the back when we got there So I didn't want to like take their tables, but they slowly drifted off when they saw us talking a lot But it was so fun. It was like really really fun And it was it wasn't like a structured event with like it was just like come hang out It's like chill. It's not like too much and it's really easy to like Make friends and whatever I feel like no, I mean so many like yeah, no macy literally Thought it was her meet and greet. I made a chit-chat. I was like my first time in meet and greet My friend literally texted me. She's like, is this real? I thought it was about my meet and greet. You remind me so much of jason jenner. Oh my god. I want to compliment She watches these vlogs. Hi jc You were the little Oh That's crazy earlier today. I was watching jacy's video and she was watching my video. Is she doing vlogmas? Isn't that crazy? No, but I was watching her video And she was watching my video and then actually I was texting her. I haven't watched her latest one You got to keep up Well, we'll know she's watching this one because yeah, I know Comment if there's no comment guys jacy's over the video. She's never watching again. She doesn't care It's gonna be rough. So anyways, we're heading home Bye Oh to our chick-fly that I ordered three hours ago It's a soup. It's gonna be bad. We'll see. No, it'll be fine. Okay, we're gonna let you go Kenzie was super nice and ordered me chick-fly to eat on my way back from work Literally an hour early too and it still came too late and I had an hour and a half to arrive. Yeah It's crazy. Okay. Sorry. I'm just queuing up my vlogmas for the night Okay guys So I ordered macy dinner Because she was coming from work today and she wanted a diet lemonade from chick-fly. I've never had a diet lemonade before I always get lemonade. Yeah, they're obviously it's gonna be better when it's like I used to like well Yeah, it has sat here for like three hours It's really good Oh, it's really good. It's like a little bit less like tangy Isn't it good? No, it's really good.  I come out Even when I'm standing there, it's like macy's just going from table to table sitting down. Hey guys, like it's like it was so funny Yeah, I know actually yeah, I forgot about that part. She's just a liar, but It's actually nice though because I'm Like we know I could really okay like when you're both like really outgoing people It's really nice sometimes when like You have another friend that's outgoing that will like carry their weight because then it makes me less outgoing because then I'm like I don't have to like carry Yeah, I don't have to like you know No, my meet and greet was really good. It was really good to meet some fellow readers It was really good to you know kind of just you know I did meet a lot of friends. I followed everyone back We're gonna have like a separate club That can see the anti-conceals with book club. Yeah, good um By the way guys Um, if y'all are in Dallas, it's open to anyone who wants to join I think the best way to I'll post it on my stories for the best way to do it Is probably to join my Geneva chat and join go into the Dallas book club room And that everyone will be there and all the information will be there and oh, you know what? They have a calendar feature you can like put on your calendar. Oh my god genius Well anyways, I think this is a good ball. I was 17. I was making jokes about like sorry But I did a take talk at her event saying that it was my meet and greet But when I was 17, I would go to like in and out after football games and I would take videos I was like everyone's here for my meet and greet. I need a new joke. You were like manifesting. I'm just waiting for my meet and greet Yeah, I'll have to be like camping out for days. I'm like, do you remember me? It's literally what's gonna happen like Macy Okay, my camera's gonna die, but love you guys so much. Hope you guys enjoyed and I'll see you and tomorrow's block


iews and our analysis that we've undertaken as a company. There's Tim Worcester, respondent. We all come as no surprise to you to learn that we represent both short haul, long haul, domestic carriers, so I'm not going to get into a discussion around the bandings or the Virgin Group. As we've said, we want to see the 50 per cent reduction across both bands, and I think I might leave it there before we get into 12-of-sale. Willie Coffey. As an earshore MSP, I'm really interested in the potential beneficial effect to the policy in some of the press week. I was fortunate to be at a meeting in Dublin the day before the Irish Government abolished the rare passenger tax, and Michael Leary was at the same meeting, who immediately the day after announced a series of investments, major investments in Dublin and so on and so forth. Gordon Eudes said, quite rightly, that the winning agenda is for Scotland and tourism, so I'm interested as a west of Scotland MSP in what the potential regional benefits will be for some of the press week. Is there any evidence that points us towards that, say elsewhere in Europe, that regional airports in particular countries and jurisdictions do get a spin-off benefit from policies like this? I think that the straightforward answers every airport that sees a reduction in tax is going to improve their chances of growth. That's probably the best way I can put it. That probably doesn't help me giving you my view and press week's proper possibility of achieving that, but it is a massive drag. I mean, what I would say is that we are generously provided for why good airports in the centre of Scotland are actually very well provided for in the Highlands and Islands as well. The opportunity to harness that asset base and the enthusiasm and capability of the management teams around Scotland is there, if we just take the handcuffs off. There was some of the displacement that occurred when the convener came from press week to Glasgow. We were in here with the Dublin flights from press week, and that, in my view, if we were to have this measure in, Aliri promised himself that if this measure were to come in, that he could double the passenger numbers at press week from a million to about two and a half million, he made that quite clear commitment on record. If that kind of policy were to happen for an airport like press week, that would, in my view, surely have a huge and beneficial impact on the natured economy. I think that there is some fairly clear evidence in Ireland following the abolition of the APD equivalent that the regional airports do benefit. It hasn't just doubling as grown by 40 per cent over the last three years in terms of traffic levels there, but I think that it's also very clear that there are additional links now into Cork, Shannon, Kerry and a wide range of points. At the same time as that, Derry, which is subject to UK air passenger duty, is losing its sole remaining air service to London and the Government is having to step in to do that because it is still subject to the APD. The model of what has happened in Ireland and the impact on the immediate periphery around that is something that I think would be a good benchmark for the scrutiny into the likely effects of the Scottish proposals. The Northern Ireland and Belfast international only retained its United New York service because it abolished the APD for it, so that was the difference between keeping that route from being cancelled. I just wanted to go back to the issue of potentially encouraging air travel within the UK at the expense of rail travel. I looked at an example yesterday of travelling in a couple of weeks' time from Edinburgh to London, and you could get a Ryanair flight from Edinburgh to Stanstead. Even including travel from Edinburgh City Centre to Edinburgh and including a train journey from Stanstead Airport to London City Centre, it came in at £63. On the same days, there was a Virgin train from Edinburgh that cost £115 return. I appreciate Virgin East Coast to special offers and £20 returns on sales, etc., but any time I have looked at travelling options between Edinburgh and London or Glasgow and London, it seems more frequently that it is cheaper to get a flight than it is to take the train. Why is rail travel so expensive between Scotland and the rest of the UK? Is that not something that needs to be looked at in general with respect to our position on the APD? If we want to increase rail travel, we have to make it more affordable for people to go from Glasgow to London or Edinburgh to London by train? I think that we would say that it is absolutely important that rail travel is affordable between Scotland and London, and that is absolutely what we have been seeking to achieve over the past two years since we have been operating the east coast route. Last year, we expanded our services, so between Edinburgh and London, there is now a half-hourly service. You do not get a half-hourly service to Stanstead with Ryanair, and the half-hourly service enabled us to offer many more than 1,000 cheaper tickets on the route each week. We are absolutely addressing the affordability point, and it is clearly important to our market. We are offering a different proposition and seeking to offer a different proposition to airlines. We are trying to take people between city centres to cut out the journey to and from airports, and the experience that people have these days is getting through airport security, for example. Our focus is on providing a high-quality frequent service where, on board, people can work with free wi-fi and entertainment systems on board between Scotland and London. We are attracting people through the customer experience as well as price. I fully agree with you that price is absolutely important. I do not really want to get into the debate between rail and air on whether or not who is giving the best deals, because that is not really about the bill. I think that you are probably going somewhere with us, Neil, in terms of the end of that. It was just to explore the reasons why rail travel is currently more expensive than air travel on a lot of occasions. Before you start, I really need to make sure, because times are marching on a bit, but I need to get the public finances issue and what James wants to raise on the agenda before. We haven't touched on climate change yet, either. I know that climate change is still to come into the rough. I assumed that you were going to pick up on some of that just now as well. I can deal with that now, if you'd like. I was just going to follow up on one issue from Mr Horn's written submission. It is just about understanding clearly the implications of what you are saying. You said that, as a business, you have no objection to increased international aviation coming to Scotland, but you are concerned about the environmental impacts of a modal shift away from rail within domestic flights. I think that we are half on the same page. I am concerned about the environmental impacts of both. Is your analysis of the modal shift that you are predicting predicated on the Scottish Government only reducing the equivalent tax on domestic aviation? If the UK Government responded in kind by having a similar tax cut south of the border on domestic aviation in the other direction, would that increase the modal shift that you are projecting? We will confirm that to you separately if I am wrong, but my understanding is that our analysis is purely regarding changes that the Scottish Government would take. Going back to an earlier point about our analysis, the reduction of 33 per cent is the impact we have assessed based on an abolition of ADT on Edinburgh to London rather than the 50 per cent reduction. However, we have not assumed anything in relation to how the UK Government may respond— It would be reasonable to assume that if the UK Government was to respond by implementing the same kind of cut on APD, on domestic travel from their angle, from their perspective, it would have a similar impact on the attractiveness of rail in general for those long domestic connections and on, for example, the value of the franchise that was put out to tender again. It would clearly have a further impact and that would need to be assessed. Do you want me to touch on the climate change? Before I explain that point, I know that David Horne had real issues in terms of time. David, are you okay now? I think that midday was your original position. You need to be away by. I am happy to stay. That is what I am saying. Okay, you are happy to stay. James, I was going to bring you in. Are you content if we just get on now to climate change? I am okay, so I am managing this properly. Thank you. On climate change. The most recent commitment that I could see from the aviation industry is from a number of years ago, 2009, to commit to international negotiations to halving CO2 emissions. I am assuming that that means overall climate change impact, but it says that CO2 emissions by 2050. Can the aviation industry representatives tell me whether that is still the commitment of the industry and whether that approach to a new tax is compatible with achieving that goal in terms of Scottish aviation? Yes, so aviation has signed up to global targets from 2020 carbon neutral growth, and by 2050 a 50 per cent reduction in CO2 emissions based on 2005 levels. So I can give you that assurance. That is still the commitment. That is a voluntary commitment from the industry, so I can give you that assurance. Thank you. That is very key. Can you explain to me how the increase in aviation levels that you are aiming to see as a result of the Scottish Government's policy in this area is compatible with halving emissions from aviation by 2050? The industry working through sustainable aviation has predicted that if you look at demand forecasts, that will go up by around about 50 per cent up to 2050. We can comply with our climate change commitments and still meet that additional increase in passenger numbers through a variety of mechanisms. The increase in Scottish flights will be relatively small compared to the increase that we are going to see in terms of the UK and globally, but through a variety of mechanisms we can see an increase in passenger numbers while reducing our emissions and hitting our global target. There should not be any objection to locking in that requirement for ministers to achieve that impact on aviation emissions when they set the rates and bands of the tax. It is not something that I have given great thought to. All I can say is that as a global industry, the other commitments that we have made for a number of years and we are absolutely on target to hit them, and by 2050 we would like to see a reduction by 50 per cent on 2005 levels. We are now seeing, as a result of the measures that we are taking, we are now starting to see emissions come down. The primary method through which those emissions will be achieved is the adoption of new technology, and in particular improved engine technology within the industry that will bring the fuel burn down. The other point, particularly in respect of our business within the Highlands and Islands, is that operating with a lower cost base will allow us to increase the number of passengers. That will probably be initially done through operation of larger aircraft, which per passenger carried will still generate the growth, but will have a lower emission per passenger through economies of scale by operating larger aircraft. I do think that there is no contradiction between reducing or abolishing ADT and continuing to see reductions in emissions, because the industry, hugely cut-throats place to operate, will continue to adopt new technology all the way through that because it has to remain competitive. The one thing that we cannot guarantee with any certainty is around the price of aviation fuel, so airlines will always make every effort to try to minimise their level of aviation fuel burn and run their business as efficiently as possible, which is consistent with minimising the emissions that we generate by burning that same fuel. Without wanting to get into a technical discussion about the achievability of this, which would take a very long time, and we might not end up agreeing by the end of it anyway, the confidence that you are suggesting exists not just on increasing efficiency but on halving emissions compared with that target. Overall, emissions are not just efficiency. The confidence that you are saying that you have in that surely would leave us with no problem at all in placing a legal requirement on ministers to achieve that impact when they set the rates and bans of those tax? First of all, there is a level of global impact around the whole question, but the other question is, if you do not achieve that, what mechanism are you going to use to recover the ADT that has not been collected from customers over the period of that time? I am struggling to see how what you are proposing, while I understand the rationale behind it, could actually be put into practice. Over the course of 10 or 15 years, passengers have been charged either no ADT or a reduced level of ADT. At the end of that time, the industry has not met its target. How could you realistically go to each and every customer retrospectively with a setting the captain's hat around for a whip round to collect the tax that you have not collected? I cannot understand how the concept of driving that would work. What I have suggested is that a requirement on ministers to ensure that the rates and bans of tax that they propose are compatible with that objective, that the industry seems confident that it is on track to achieve. I want to say that those are global targets. Obviously, aviation is an international industry, so we cannot look at those targets in a Scotland-specific way. The Committee on Climate Change has been quite clear that action to tackle emissions needs to be taken globally or regionally. Looking at it purely from a Scottish perspective, I do not think that it is quite a blunt instrument. It probably means by everyone rather than by someone else. Gordon Drew has been quite eager to get in as well, Patrick. It is just the observation that, while that is utterly crucial for us, we should get carried away about what impact it is going to have on the global aviation industry. This is a market share play. EasyJet has got fleet orders. Riding has got fleet orders. They are not going to order more aircraft because Scotland has reduced HBD. What we are going to do is take the same aircraft away from other European countries. This is a market share play simply by getting down towards the levels of tax that others charge, which is largely nothing. Effectively, we are not going to have any net impact on emissions as a result of this. There will be of course some marginal additional travel, but, fundamentally, this is a market share play. One of the other benefits of doing direct services, which is what we are going to get out of that, is that we avoid the very inefficient hubbing through other airports. Clarif, are you saying that there will be no net emissions impact from the Scottish Government's policy on halving and then abolishing APD? I am saying that, in global terms, it will be extremely small. I think that the climate committee said that it was 0.1 per cent impact of doing this. I think that that was an abolition called the put on it as well, so utterly manageable, because the vast majority of what happens as a result of this is that you take aircraft that we are going to be assigned to Spain, Italy or Germany, and you assign them to Scotland. There is no net impact on what that aircraft emits. As we have yet to hear the environmental impact assessment from the Government, it seems that everybody is unclear whether it is small or non-existent, but let's wait and see. Our members have invested in... Patrick is just making a statement. He wasn't asking a question. If we just stop making statements back and forward, we are not going to get anywhere, so forgive me. Let's get on to the public finances issues now, and James, please. In the interests of time, convener, I will try to boil this down to one question. We heard in the previous session discussion about the potential impact on public finances. Obviously, the objective of this is a 50 per cent reduction in ADT by the end of 2021. The financial memorandum shows that OBR forecasts for APD revenue, if there were no change, would for the Scottish element of that would be £378 million in 2020-21. Therefore, a 50 per cent reduction could mean up to a reduction in nearly £200 million in the Scottish budget. In those circumstances, the budget then becomes about choices in terms of the priorities that people have to make. Do you think that it's right, therefore, if there was a reducing budget, given everything else that's going on, that a council would not be able to pay a care worker employed in a care home a living wage, whereas a couple on a joint income of £60,000 would be able to enjoy a reduction in their airline tickets? The strongest answer that I can give to that is to refer to the point that I was making about the economic effects in Ireland, where this has been done, it has been proven. That is an economy with a strong tourism base, exactly the same as Scotland. There will be economic evidence to draw on, rather than just being a leap of faith into the deep end of the swimming pool before those decisions are taken. I would strongly encourage benchmarking to be done in terms of the wider economic impact that that has had in Ireland from doing exactly the same thing as it has been proposed here. I think that that will take the guesswork, the uncertainty, out of the whole equation, particularly in respect to the committee of ministers taking this ultimate decision. I would just echo that. As I said earlier, it would be really helpful to get one baseline to model that people can trust from independent resources. I think that the evidence that, if you look at it within the whole UK, that both the economic growth is unchallangibly positive and the revenue to the state, if we call it that for the moment, with the combination of Scottish and UK, is positive as well. I am not even going to step into the equation about how you then reconcile that between Scotland and the UK Governments. However, to me, as a UK and Scottish resident, that is wooden dollars. I know that that is not the reality in terms of the way that the Government has run in Scotland. However, this is one of the best investments that you are ever going to see. This is not a tax cut and a giveaway, this is a huge investment. If you listen to the tourism industry, you are entirely neutral in aviation per se. They are saying that if you wanted to hit the 2020 tourism target, one of the biggest economic engines that Scotland has got in front of it, the most important single thing that you could do is follow through on the stated policy of having APD. Even if that means that care workers with care homes are not able to pay the living wage? It does mean that. What I am calling for is someone to have a look at the data and see where the implications are. Within the UK, it is undoubtedly going to be a renewable generative. I would hope that you are very close to that, even at the Scottish dimension, but I am not a tax expert and I cannot do the modelling for the civil service for them. I think that the economic benefit, even if there is a lag in that overall benefit for Scotland, the economic wider thing of having more people employment, better standards of living and everything else that goes with that says that this is one of the best investments that is facing it. A policy question for the minister to ask and then understand what James has come from. In the interests of transparency for all of us on both sides of this argument, that is the Scottish Government investing not a huge amount of money in an economic study, I think would be very, very beneficial. I think that we have come probably to the end of that particular evidence session, so I thank very much to the individuals who have come along today to give us evidence as part of our consideration of the Air Departure Tax Bill. I guess I will be paying a lot more attention to the comparisons between Chad and Scotland in the future and in a lot more areas. I will now close this public part of the meeting. We are moving to private.