Hello, I am Dr. Satish Kumar Kashid, Valshan Institute of Technology, Solapur presenting a topic, reservoir planning, estimating reservoir capacity of a dam reservoir by analytical method, learning outcomes of this session. At the end of the session, the students will be able to explain the characteristics of a hydropower plant and the students will be able to estimate required storage capacity of a dam and its reservoir for a particular inflow pattern by analytical method. One simple example we will take, now just observe this is a hydropower plant and spillway. So this is a barrier in form of a dam which is constructed. This is a spillway portion of a dam or overflow portion of a dam. We observe the gates here, the tenor gates are provided here. Whenever excess water comes in the reservoir and we need to release it, we open these gates and allow this water to flow. When we want to generate hydroelectricity, we allow the water to pass through the hydro power generation stations that turbines which are provided here. So whenever the reservoir is full and inflow is more than required, then hydro power generation will be there as well as there will be spill over the spillway. But when inflow is lesser than the required outflow, in that case we will be using water which is stored in the reservoir. Let us see, this is the dam, this is the reservoir form, here there is a control gate, this is the penstock, water enters, passes to this turbine, rotates the turbine, the vertical shaft rotates this particular coil in generator, electricity is generated and sent to the grid. This is the hydro power generation. Now let me discuss some important characteristics of hydro power plant. The system efficiency of hydro power plant is quite high. The installation cost of hydro power plant is very high. The running cost of hydro power plant is very low. The hydro generators give high efficiency or wide range of load. The hydraulic turbines take a very small time for putting off and on and the major hydro power generation in India is from storage type of hydro power plants. Small question, the only statement which is incorrect in regard to hydro power is the system efficiency of hydro power plant is quite high. The installation cost of hydro power plant is very high. The running cost of hydro power plant is very low. The hydraulic turbines take a lot of time in being put off and on. Obviously answer, the incorrect statement is the hydro power turbine takes a lot of time in being put off and on. This is not true but rather this is applicable to thermal plants which take a lot of time for putting on and off. Hydro power plants can be made off and on in relatively very short durations. Let us take one problem. The water turbines at hydroelectric store plant produce 7,360 kilowatt of power under head of 30 meter with an overall plant efficiency 80 percent. The inflow in the reservoir is given in the following table. In this table, find the minimum reservoir capacity required to satisfy the uniform demand of water. The uniform demand will be decided by the water discharge required to produce this 7,360 kilowatts. And we are also asked to find out the total quantity of water wasted during the year. Assume the reservoir to be full at beginning of November and you are asked to use the analytical method. So these are the months over a year. So at start of November, we are assuming reservoir full. And then monthly inflows in million cubic meters are given in this way. Now let us calculate what is the discharge required to generate 7,360 kilowatt continuously. Let P with the power in kilowatts, let Q is the discharge in Q mech, let H is head under which the turbines work. So power in kilowatt, this is the equation is 9.81 into efficiency into discharge Q in Q mech into head H in meter. So putting this value 7,360 efficiency 80 percent and head 30 meter, we can find out Q. So to generate continuously this 7,360 kilowatt, we need 31.29 meter cube per second as a continuous discharge. So we multiplied by 30 days, 24 hours into 60 minutes and 60 seconds. This term, this bracket will give you number of seconds and this is meter cube per second. So answer is 81 million cubic meter approximately. So we need 81 million cubic meter of water in every month to generate 7,360 kilowatt continuously. Now here inflow as it is given in our question, November, December, January, February, March, April you find it is varying and outflow we are assuming constant for generating 7,360 kilowatts of energy that is why it is same. Now as reservoir is full at start of November, in month of November inflow received is 100 whereas outflow used is 81. So naturally excess of this water excess over 81 will be wasted over spillway. Again by end of November the reservoir is full. When you come to December inflow is 75 and outflow is 81 it means outflow is more. So we will have to take 6 million meter cube of water from storage. That's why it is draft used from storage is 6 and by end of December 6 million meter cube will be the depletion in reservoir. In month of January we find that inflow is 90, outflow is 81. It means 9 million meter cube excess water has come. So this excess water will be used for refill first. So 6 million meter cube will be refill. That's why the 3 million meter cube of water will be wasted over the spillway. Here we come to February inflow is 80, outflow is 81. So draft used from storage is 1, reservoir depletion is 1. So we proceed with such calculations and ultimately we come to see that maximum depletion observed is minus 21. It means whenever there is excess water you can imagine that this is reservoir full condition indicated by hazard. Then when you come here in month of January spill is 19. But in month of December we are using 6 million meter cube from storage. In March we are using 9 million meter cube from storage and maximum we are using 21 million meter cube in month of May. So over a period of time we find that the maximum depletion from reservoir observed is 21 million meter cube. So if we provide 21 million meter cube as storage then every demand over a period of time will be satisfied. So this is the analytical method and the answers are shown by using this particular graph here. If the volume of water which is discharged over a spillway is shown in this way in particular months or so. So if you come here you will find these are the values of water wasted over spillway and these are the values of reservoir depletion. When you find some of all these you will be getting water wasted over spillway and maximum reservoir depletion will be the required reservoir capacity. So last question 400 cubic of water is being released from a dam storage to meet the downstream demand through turbines of the connected hydropower plant. The effective head of water acting on turbine is 50 meter. Efficiency of hydropower plant is 0.8, electrical power generated from this plant would be. So we will have to use this formula that power is 9.81 into efficiency into Q into H it will give this answer. So these are the references used. Thank you.


I want to thank the staff who probably never get in any recognition, but they do all of what they make their children, and all of this is put together. And I'm going to thank the person who figured out how to do this award. Well, I'm pretty sure that my friends here, you know, will remind us that, you know, the number of people who are not at the path of retirement, is a large growing number. Health and financial security for all Americans have many issues for ARP, every since it was founded more than 50 years ago. So it's not a new issue, but too many people, especially women, and women in their 40s and older, have no next aid to supplement their social security benefits. Sadly, another thing is true. Despite of some people's impression or expectations, many seniors are not going to retire with deliberative social security earnings. Rather, most will receive $15,000 a year on less in social security. So I'm not sure about you, but when I hear statistics like these, I have to wonder if the golden years of retirement may not be as golden as we might like them to be. And this brings me to a point. I think that we, as both of a society and as individuals, must take action now if we're going to plan for the future. You've heard a little bit of my resume, and I've spent my career in the legislature trying to help the helpless, the little problems, those people who cannot afford a lobbyist. Today I think there are many women in need of financial help and guidance. And also I think there are a few things people don't know about women. You know, when it comes to women over 50, researchers tell us that their greatest fear may not be what you think it would be. It turns out that they aren't so worried about looking young or feeling good. They are worried, except if I have enough money to live on as they age. Financial institutions, it sounds anonymous, doesn't it? But it's the greatest fear of women over 50. You know, about five decades or so ago, President London Johnson spoke of the great society and called for a war on poverty. There's a lot that we can say about President Johnson, but I'm here to tell you that that program worked. Poverty rates failed. For those days, what many people thought of poverty in America entailed images of poachers and shanties and tits. And of course, much of it exists in many places today, and some might be here in Texas. But for the most part, we all know that the iconic image of the economics in security of Americans is sometimes different now. It's been replaced with the image of a working mother trying to get herself and her children ready for school. And in some cases, also trying to get out an aging parent of a family member. So folks, let's be real. For the millions of American women who live like this, their dream of having it all is sometimes different altogether. For them, it's about hanging on. It's about striving. It's tough out there. In women of this country, the women in this great state of Texas, they know this firsthand. It is no wonder that women are over 50 a word about being financially destitute. After all, far too many women, including women in these working years, survival is their daily pursuit. If you are being honest with yourself and everyone else, we make this fact clear. Sure, our great state's economy is strong, and the nation's economy is compounded nicely. But for women driving to work this morning, or the woman taking the bus home tonight, she knows that it doesn't take much to fall completely in the hole. A single incident that broke down the car of Dr. Bill and an emergency room visit, or even a single missed paycheck, these simple things put them at a mere financial risk. It put them behind today, and it makes it almost impossible for them to save for the future. And let's not forget a few things. Almost three out of four low-wage workers get no basic things that are owed. Forty percent of all households with children under the age of 18 include mothers who are either of the sole or primary source of income. And I'm sure you've heard it before. The median earning of full-time female workers are still just 77 percent on their part of the median earnings of their male counterpart doing the same job, with the same skills, with the same abilities, with the same abilities.  But the great thing is, we can do something about this. Women have enormous political power. Politicians fall all over themselves this time of trying to woo them, don't they? And here, and we have you turn on the television, or look at them at running it, corporate marketers, everywhere else you see them going after us, trying to buy into their brands. As women, we drive in at another consumer economy, and we drive healthcare decisions. So again, something still needs to change. It's time that policy makers at the nature's capital and at the state capital recognize that we must invest in women's financial future. So we're going to ask, so if you were going to ask me, I'm sure you would. How do we do that? How do we do more to invest in women's financial future? Well, I'm going to talk to you today from many of you on this solution. But I can share a few basic things about it right now. Of course, we all know that we must invest in education and our public schools. We must invest in children, childcare, and elderly care programs and facilities. There needs to be better support structure to allow the elderly to live at home longer. And there need to be policies and attitudes in place to allow those who choose to work later in life to be able to do so. There must be equal pay for equal work. And there needs to be more generous paid paternal lead. And we have to work as a group to maintain the safety net of Medicare and Social Security and to do what we can to bolster these programs for women's financial future to be truly secure. I don't think I fooled you. I'm sure I didn't. These are just a few ideas. You're going to be discussing more ideas, more solutions later. But I'm sure I believe we need a social infrastructure that allows people to care for one another. And can you just imagine the possibilities? Can you imagine the state like Texas in the future? Imagine this state as a place in which citizens recognize the providers of physical, intellectual, and emotional care of one another. The expression of care about the elderly is as important, is as indispensable to our society and our economy as anything else. Can you just imagine that? I happen to think these great things are possible. And they are possible if we begin to put more emphasis on care for one another, care for our children, and care for our elderly. So again, I want to thank you for inviting me to be here and making something more for you. And thank you for letting me join this wonderful conversation on women's financial security. Let's give a round of applause for our next session. It is now my pleasure to introduce our first session, A Conversation with Cheryl Biles. Cheryl is AARP's senior principal and council. She has more than 25 years of experience achieving social change policies that have benefited people 50 plus and their families. As senior principal and council, she probably has the effort to enlist opinion leaders in an informed dialogue about how Americans can achieve financial security. This includes strengthening social security and Medicare, promoting individual savings, supporting family caregivers, and protecting against financial fraud. Cheryl often represents AARP before external audiences, including legislative and regulatory bodies and national public affairs and news broadcasts. He is a two-time recipient of AARP's highest award, a member of the District of Columbia and Supreme Court Park. Cheryl is a graduate of the Columbia School of Law at Catholic University, where she was a member of the law review. Introducing Cheryl is Sherman Chuck. Sherman both co-anchors KHUL11 News at noon, weekdays, and reports for KHUL11 News during the week. She began her career in journalism as a streamer for newsweek and has worked at KTRK and Ain't It at KPRC in Houston. Sherman's awards include the Houston Press Club award for best series, the Texas Associated Press award for best spot news cast producer, and an Emmy for the documentary, Hong Kong Under the Dragon. Sherman speaks often to civic groups, schools, churches, and other organizations. A history graduate from Yale University, Sherman speaks Mandarin and Shanghai dialects of Chinese. She has also studied Spanish, French, and German. Two index cards are included in the folder you see. If you have questions during this period that you would like to ask Cheryl, please write it on a card and raise your hand, and the volunteers will be allowed to collect it. Please join me in welcoming Cheryl and Sherman. We're doing a few years of experts with us today, and I think you're going to get some cards here in a minute. So take advantage, you're going to be asked whatever questions you want, things that may apply to you personally or something you know and love. You don't get this opportunity very often, so don't let it slip away. You don't have to wait on hold for 30 minutes, or try to filter your way through online webpages. Right here you can ask all kinds of questions, as well as to advise you in just a few minutes. But we're going to get things started with a couple of questions. I'm sure you can tell us a little bit about women and financial matters that spot you. But why is it important now to AARP? Well, that's, you know, I'm glad you asked that. I think, let me just start by saying AARP has 37 million members nationwide. And more than half of our members are women. Obviously the rest of them are men. But financial security has always been an issue of ours. We were started in 1958 by a retired school teacher and principal. Her name was Ethel Percy Andrews, and she was in Los Angeles. And she started the organization when she went to look for a former beloved teacher of hers, and tried to look her up, and found a woman living in a chicken coop behind a house.  So she started the organization. And that really has been a mantra that has carried through to us to this day.  But we have been hearing a lot about women's special concerns, let's say, about financial insecurity. You know what, are women different? Are they worried more? Are they worried differently? And that's why we did the study, which we released today. And I think that we were shocked by some of the numbers that came up. And to give you just one of them, which I found particularly troubling, you know, one in three women in Texas between the ages of 50 and 64 has only $5,000 or less in savings for their retirement. That's not going to get you very far. I mean, that's really frightening.  But it's really, so this is something that we decided, you know, we have a lot of members. We have the ability to reach a lot of people.   You know, I was looking, so I have a cheat sheet here on my phone with the study you were talking about. It says that 33% of women and 34% of men and of women reportedly have no personal savings account. Isn't that something? I mean, they don't have a savings account at the back end. Right. They just have that checking account and the money goes in and the money goes out. You know, and I mean, frankly, that's the way people live these days. I mean, the fact of the matter is, even if they try to be frugal, you know, most people, families have to have two workers these days just to get by. And they, you know, have trouble keeping up with their rent, with the food costs continually going up, with medical costs going up. So it's surprising, maybe not surprising, it's dismaying. But the question becomes, how the heck do people save money? I mean, if people want to take personal responsibility for themselves and we think people do want to do that, how do we make it easier? Well, we're talking, it's just us girls here, right? So we're talking about the ladies today and, you know, we don't like to watch The Good Wife, right? But maybe that's not the accurate portrayal of sort of modern and mature women. Give us an idea of what the modern mature woman looks like today. So we kind of have a benchmark to start with. Sure. And, you know, I'd like to say, AARP has a new CEO and it's a woman for the first time in our organization. And at her natural speech, she said something that I thought was quite interesting. You know, she said, oh, everybody's now saying 50 is the new 30, 60 is the new 40. She said, I don't think so. She said, I think 50 is the new 50. I mean, people are different. You know, we know we're different than our mothers were at that age. And if we're honest with ourselves, we know that our daughters are going to be different than we are. I mean, you know, they already are different than we were as teenagers. So it's one of those things where, you know, a woman who is 50 years old, women are likely to live. If you live to 65, you're likely to live to be an average of 81, at least. Now, that's a couple of years older than men are likely to live. Which means, you know, if you have a partner, you're going to outlive them. And you're going to be alone at the end, living on your own resources. So that's one of the pictures. You know, it's women are going to live longer than men. Women, a lot of them are in the workforce. But, you know, the average caregiver is a 49-year-old woman, almost 50, right? She works full-time. She spends 20 hours a week taking care of an older relative. And she might be pushed out of the workforce because of that. Because she's very anxious it will cost her a lot of money if she has to go out of the workforce. And she doesn't really think about that ahead of time because women, you know, take care of the family. Women are the heart of the family. They've always been the emotional center. They want to take care of everyone. So they want, you know, if you're 50, you're just as likely to have an elementary school aged child and a parent on Medicare. And you're going to be taken care of to vote. So that's where women are today. They don't earn. I mean, you've heard from Representative Thompson, they don't earn as much as men. They earn about, you know, $0.78, $0.79 for every dollar that a man earns for the same job. They have far fewer resources. What we found in our study is that they have less money saved. They are much less confident about retirement. And even though everybody's not confident, but they are much less confident. And so you see this disparity where these women who are worried about doing it all are really unsure that they're going to be able to do it. That they're going to be able to make it. Then you've done a good job of addressing some of these other issues like the challenges of women, sandwich generation. What about the economic disparities among racial groups and ethnic groups? Well, that's an interesting question. The disparities in, let's start with the disparities in age, longevity. Because longevity, it makes a difference. So there are disparities between Caucasian women and African American and Hispanic, Latino women, up to about the age of 65. Once you get to 65, those disparities narrow very much, do not very much disparity. So, you know, if we all get to 65, we're going to make it to 81 or more. It's wonderful. Right. I mean, and so we shouldn't be depressed about that. That's exciting.  We have the opportunity to live really great lives for a much longer time. But economically, there are disparities. If you look, and I'll just give you one number that kind of gives a picture of it. And that is that a Caucasian woman is probably 220% more likely to have retirement assets than an African American woman, and 225% more likely than a Hispanic, Latino woman. So when you talk about ethnic diversity, you've got people who are going to be having even less. So we've got a situation where the men aren't doing so hot, the women are doing worse, and the women of color are having a really hard time. So I don't want to be depressing, because I actually think there are optimistic things here, too. Well, haven't Stavetsi sure those women?  You know, we are really living in an age where we can live, you know, many of us live with chronic conditions, conditions that would have debilitated our grandparents. And we can live pretty healthy lives, you know, and we can take those fate of lovers, and we can take, you know, we can live with high blood pressure, and we can bring it down, and we can bring our cholesterol down so we won't have a stroke. And fortunately for us, many of the medications to do that have, in the last several years, become generic medications so you can get them for a minimal cost. That's really a good thing. And there are lots of opportunities. There are more opportunities for women in the workforce than there have ever been. But there is still a glass ceiling, but it's getting better.  You know, I don't know when they're going to go away, but they're going to be less for our daughters and our granddaughters. So that's kind of the good news. Another piece of good news that's interesting, you know, it's sort of the silver lining in the cloud. You know, in 2008 we had a big recession and a lot of people lost their jobs. That wasn't the good news, that's the bad news, right? But what happened when a lot of people lost their jobs, you know, it's the old necessity as the mother of invention. People who needed an income and couldn't get a job started their own companies. And women, women over 50, are the greatest producer of new businesses, greater producer than anyone, any other specific group. So that's good news. You know, women have ingenuity and they're starting businesses. And we want to help them do that. So women are not a mother of invention? Yes, yes. I didn't think, yes, you were right. And to help prepare for some of these financial challenges tomorrow. Well, that's a good thing. One of the things, you know, obviously there are, and I think that we heard it with Representative Thompson, you know, there are some key cornerstones of these, of our retirement security, things like let's say social security. Social security is really, really important. But you don't want to live on it. You don't want to live on it. Because the average social security benefit in Texas is about $1,200 a month. And if that's all you've got to live on, you are not going to be living a very robust existence. But the fact of the matter is that a quarter of the social security recipients, the older social security recipients in Texas actually are living on their social security. Or they're counting on it for 90% or more of their income. So that's tough. It is really important for us if we get into our advocacy, if we get into standing up for our rights and talking to our federal representatives, we want to make sure that social security is there for our children. And look, I know everybody thinks, okay, it's not going to be there in the future. It's going bankrupt. Social security is not going bankrupt. What is happening is that the trust fund that enables the 100% of those benefits to be paid in about 20 years, that trust fund will be worn down to nothing if we don't do something. And when that trust fund is worn down, there will be a 25% benefit cut. So if you don't like $1,200 a month, how do you like 25% less? Now, if that's not nothing, you will still get your money. But we do have to fix it. We do have to fix it. But that's a government responsibility. And that's actually a federal government responsibility. So moving down, we can talk about what can state government do. Lots of things state government can do. A lot of people, and you saw it in our study, a lot of people do not have access to a way to save at the workplace. Now, I don't know about you, Sherman, but I don't save any money once it comes into my hot little hands in my paycheck. The only way I save money in my paycheck, if it goes away beforehand, if I have it automatically taken out and put into a 401k or some kind of savings. So for the people who don't have any access to that at work, they're missing this opportunity to really save for the future. And the younger they are, so let's think not just about us or think about our kids, think about our grandkids, they're not going to have pensions. Some of us are fortunate enough to have actually a real pension. Some of us have employer provided 401ks where the employer matches some of it. And some of us don't have anything. Well, our kids are not likely to have a lot of those things to go on. So it's going to be really important, really important for them to have some way that is easy to save their money. So in a number of states, state legislators are thinking about putting together programs where the state sets up a mechanism, kind of like those college savings accounts, where people who work for an employer who doesn't offer a 401k or something, and usually that's because they can't afford the expense of it. A lot of these are those small employers, maybe it's those women-owned businesses. They would have access to it. The state basically fronts the upfront costs. It gets paid back by the participants, so actually the taxpayers are held harmless. And the people have the access to the economy of scale of professional management and the ability to invest. And then it would also be important because that's another thing that's happening to our kids. You know, they're not going to work at the same place for 25 or 35 years. They're going to be moving from job to job, and they need to be able to take their savings with them. So that's one of the things. Another thing that can be done by state government are supports for family caregivers. You know, they said women are more often than not. They are the family caregiver and they lose money giving that care.  Oh boy, I think I'm going to be depressed. Okay, go ahead. So if a woman has to leave the workplace, and I bet everybody in this room knows someone who has had to leave the workplace because they took care of a relative and they couldn't get their job to be flexible enough, and they couldn't deal with all of the stress, so they leave their job. So what do they lose? Well, they lose the pay from the job, right? They lose any retirement benefit during that time that the employer would have provided, and they lose their social security. And that adds up on average to about $325,000 for a woman during her lifetime. Now, wouldn't that money do something to help you in your retirement? You bet it would. So finding ways, and this kind of gets into are there things the state can do to make it more likely that a woman would be able to stay in the workplace? Are there things that enlightened employers can do? I think I'm going to hear about that later. We're in a situation where we have this big baby boom generation and on the cusp of retirement. The generations coming behind are not as large, which means that a lot of skill and knowledge is going to be going out of the workplace. And the employers are starting to realize that it is actually in their interest to keep people in the workplace. We need to make sure that more of them understand that, and that it is made easy. You know, you really want, the employer basically needs to have a job done. So what is it that gets the job done, and what is it that allows the person, often a woman, to stay in the workplace? And so there are good business policies that can be pursued. There are, there are helps that the government can provide for women caregivers. You can set some standards. You can help people, you know, with training so that when someone comes out of the hospital and needs pretty advanced care, the poor person who has to take care of them has the opportunity to learn what that care is because they can't afford to hire a nurse to come in and do the wound care or change the IV. These are things that people are being asked to do now. So you can have, you can require the healthcare providers to train people. You can provide respite care for these family caregivers.  It's a reverse of a difficult situation. And I can see the stress on him. And my fear in that kind of situation is what happens if he gets so stressed that he, or that he just says, I'm done, I can't do this anymore. You know what happens? Then the person goes into a facility and if they go into a facility, there will be costs to the government and the taxpayer. So it's like pay a little bit more now or pay a whole lot more later. So there are things we can do that are smart investments that give help to people. And then there's information. Information, knowledge of power, ladies. Knowledge is power. We are promoting this survey as a wake-up call.  We don't want to scare them into, you know, to freeze.  I can save some money. Can I find a way? You know, a lot of people actually who have these 401ks available to them don't put the maximum in. Now, maybe they can't afford to put it in right away, but maybe they've never thought about putting in something and then increasing it every year. So if you increase it, like maybe you get a raise, don't take that raise home. Put that money away. Because that's the only way to take advantage, you know. In 2008, a lot of people in the Virgin Retirement lost a lot of money because they had a retirement fund for the stock market. And suddenly their money, you know, the joke was the 401k became the 201k, became the, oh, 20k.  But for a lot of people, they lost half their money. And then, because they were on the cusp of retirement, they took it out because they had to put it in a secure savings. Those people haven't been able to take advantage of the fact that the market has come back and exceeded it. So what you really want to do is educate people who have perhaps a 17 to 20 year time frame. Put the money away and don't look at it and let it, you know, put it in an index fund and let it increase for you because it's the only way. You know, you can't time the market, they all say. You need to put it away and have it taken out of your paycheck if at all you can. The discipline. Yes. It's called, you know, they say pay yourself first. Right. So, as I said, most of us don't have discipline. So we really need a way to do it through the workplace. We need our employers to offer and to be able to offer, not to their detriment, but to their advantage, a way for us to have money just simply with health in our election from our paychecks. And we'll get some questions here. But if, I mean, all of these are wonderful ideas, but not dependent on you. You're going to have to wait for the federal or the state government or you may need a business to do some of these things. We ourselves, on our very own, what could we do? We could fight the bullet and have the discipline to take over. I think the first thing is we need to, you know, many of us never think about retirement until it's staring us in the face. And then we say, you know, so what we can do? ARP has a number of tools on our website, which are just automatic things where you, with a click of the mouse, you can put in, you know, how much money do I want to need to retire? What do I have to do to get there?  The computer program will tell you how much money. It's going to save you. Yeah. So you're going to have to work till X. Well, what if you don't want to work till X? Well, then you've got to adjust some of those others. You've either got to save more or spend less.  You know, you can defer it a little, and I'm not trying to be flip, but it really is the information will help you. You can figure out what your retirement health care costs might be. We have a program for that. You can figure out when to take Social Security. Now, people don't understand often that, you know, the Social Security full retirement age has been going up, and it's now 66, and it's going to go up ultimately to 67 if it has not changed. But you can still claim it at 62. Everybody can claim it at 62. And unfortunately, there are some people who don't really feel they have a choice. You know, they work in a job where they can't work past 62.  You know, they might be in retail. They might be doing labor. They might be in TV. Okay. I'm talking about, okay, voluntary choices. But maybe involuntary.  I don't want to go into how long it takes an older person to get a job once they've lost a job, but it's twice as long as a younger person. So the fact is that, you know, people can take it at 62, but when you look at the numbers, and it's really important to look at the numbers, for every year under the full retirement age that you choose to take it, you will lose 8% in benefits. 8%. Now, you flip it the other way and say, for every year I can hold out and either work longer or live on other income. Before I choose to take it, I will gain 8%. And you can do that 8% gain. Even past full retirement age, you can do it up to age 70 if you have a way to either hold out from claiming or if you have a way to work that long, and you don't have to. So there are, you know, it's like, it's not an infinite number of choices, but there are things people can do, but you can't really make a decision to do anything if you don't know what the situation is. Does it sound like a very handy tool? Very handy tool. Do we have some questions here? I share them. All right. I really do feel like it's a view. How firm is AARP support for Social Security as is privatized Social Security? AARP because our members, remember we are only as strong as our members. And so our all volunteer board of directors makes decisions and tells us, the people on staff, you know, what we will support. And they do it based on studies of experts, what they understand, people over 50, and... Are we not working here? Oh my gosh. Can you hear me? Yeah. I'm sorry about that. And they make a decision based on those factors and they listen to our members. And it is a very strong AARP position in opposition to privatization. We would not want to privatize Social Security because the volatility of the market is not something that you can do with a benefit that you've paid into that is, frankly, it has to be the cornerstone. It's not intended to be all your retirement but if you don't have that, remember, we've got those people who are actually reliant on it and if they didn't have that they would be in poverty and frankly, you know, someone else would be paying for them. So we would not be in favor of privatization. That is not to say that we don't recognize that Social Security needs to be strengthened and that there are different ways to strengthen it and we have actually put together for those who are interested some options booklets on the different ways in which you could change Social Security and of course, you know, for people who like to do numbers, you're either increasing the amount of money that goes into the program or you're reducing the amount of benefits but there are a lot of different permutations of those too and we have put them out there for people to understand but we are not ever going to support privatization although we do want and we want our members in the public to weigh in on how we should strengthen it for the future because we think that 25% cut that would come in 2033 is not acceptable. There are a couple of other questions here that you've been answering throughout this, but this one looks to me. How Social Security money-affected if the person is receiving a disability payment? I'm not a Social Security expert that I could answer that question so what I would do is ask that that person give their card to our representative, one of our representatives here and we will get the actual answer and I'm sorry that I can't answer that but I don't want to give you the wrong answer. This first also asks for those of us in their 60s how to figure out how much we need to retire that sounds like that Albin, if you have a web page, can help us out. Yes, go on ARP.org Retirement security, you type in the intuitive words and it will come up with more resources then you'll know what to do with it. The others you can plug in. This is an interesting one and I don't know whether this is something you might want to point out but what I would draw on my ex-husband's Social Security, my divorce was final two weeks short of 10 years. No my goodness. Your challenge you made here. Not me. I think that's another one that we're going to have to find the answer for you. Alright, whoever has this question go ahead and send it to the AARP so that they can get you an answer on that. And I suspect you know lots of people who have not been able to answer the variations. Absolutely, absolutely. Since medical needs caused so much of American financial security oh, if you can answer this you can run for president. Single payer medical care in the US without a revolution. England did it, why not us? Because you know what, you may believe that most Americans feel very, very proud to not be another country. And so therefore, any solution that we're going to come up with in order to sell it to the public and get public support and I'll tell you when you don't have public support it makes life really tough. It's going to have to be told as an American solution. Whether we ever get to a point of having a single payer or a single administer of health care I can't tell you. I've been working in this field for 30 years. I started when I was in second grade. And our progress comes when it comes in increments. That's the best I can do on that one. Will AARP do other events like this when in Houston? You know what, our Texas state office is very interested in doing more events like this both in Houston and in other parts of Texas we actually have offices in Austin and in San Antonio ahead. So I sure hope so. Okay, here's that. This is our finale question here. Is it too late to start saving? It's never too late. It's never too late. You know, you really, you don't know how long you're going to work. So let's think about that person who's in the worst situation, alright? Let's think about a person who's about to become 66 and they want to retire. And they haven't, you know, this is the person who has less than $5,000 and they're going to be getting $1,200 a month on Social Security.  Did you already pay off your house? If you did, maybe you can do it.  So it is important to save and you may need to work a number of more years if you can, maybe in a different job, maybe start your own job. You know, we have a whole website on something we call Real Possibilities. And it's the idea that people, many people work at one income producing job their whole life. At least they have so far. But they've always had a dream to do something else. And this is, is there a way to do my something else? My what's next, we call it? Will my what's next pay me? Can I find a way to earn money doing it? So it's not too late to save, but you may need to do more than just save. Thank you so much. Mr. Guy has given us kind of a stroke, a little break here for about 15 minutes that y'all stretch your legs and walk around a bit because it was a friend and we'll be back around six o'clock with a panel of experts and we'll be hearing more from them. And I also get the chance to ask them some questions. Thank you, Sherman. And thank you, Cheryl. Really very thought-provoking discussion there. So thank you.


Okay, hi everybody and welcome to my YouTube channel.  Let me introduce myself. My name is Boine Schultz, and I've been living in New York now for like 30 years or something. I don't know. I've been living in New York a long time, man. And so like, hey, what can I say? What do you want from me, man?  I'm not gonna tell you that. Oh, wait, no, sorry, I started this. So no, my therapist keeps saying to me, I gotta watch my mouth sometimes. I get a little bit carried away. So I thought I'd introduce you guys, say hi to you guys. Welcome to my YouTube channel and let you know what I'm gonna be doing over the next few months.  And so if you ain't never seen nothing that I've done before, then maybe you should just like tune in every so often and see if there's anything that you like.   No, sorry, I got a bit carried away. I gotta rain that in a little bit, because otherwise it's gonna cost me money. And I still haven't paid off the cops from the last time. But you don't need to know about that. So over the course of the next few months, I'm gonna be doing some poems, I might do some songs, and I might do some video game reviews. So just tune in. That's me, Boiney Schultz. Okay, so what are we gonna do tonight? Well, you might not know this, right? But tonight is Boine's night. You know what Boine's night is? It's all about this guy. This guy here. Who's this guy? This is Robert Boine's. He's a poet, or he was a poet. I don't think he's alive no more. I think he was from Queens, or Scotland, or New Zealand, or something like that. He had a weird voice, man. He couldn't talk English proper. But he wrote these poems. And so every year, to celebrate his birthday or something, people read our poems written by this man, Robbie Boine's. Okay, so I love poems. I don't really know this guy too well, but I found one of his poems, and I'm gonna read it out to you. Okay, so this is the poem. It's called Little Timmy. Okay, so Little Timmy went to school, and mastered one to nine. He thought the other kids were cool, and every class divine. He painted shapes in red and blue, and drew in coiffes and bins. And by the time the day was true, he made a hundred friends. I'm pals with Pete, and Mike, and Max. He told his par with pride. But Timmy's folks were anti-vax.  Yeah, yeah, how you like that, huh?   Well, I ain't doing that no more. I ain't doing that. I'm sick and tired of people. People taking me for a ride. They come up to me, and they tell me they love me, and they want my bank details. And then when I give them my bank details, they take the money. They take the money, and they go away, and I'm not standing for it no more. And I... What? What?  What? Poems? What you talking about, man? No. Oh. Oh, yeah. I was reading out a poem. Oh. Oh, I'm sorry about that, guys. I'm sorry about that. I thought you were my ex-wife.  I got a bit carried away. I'm gonna have to sort that out for next time. So anyway, my name's Boini Schultz, and I hope you enjoyed my poem, and I hope you want to subscribe and click like.  Okay, so I'm gonna go and I'm gonna shut this thing off, and then I'm gonna watch a Martin Scorsese flick, and maybe I'll see you later. And I'm gonna do a video game review soon, and maybe I'll try and calm down a little bit. I'll try and calm down. Okay, so thanks for listening, guys. Send in your poems if you want me to read out your poems. I'm Boini Schultz. Good night.


Hello everyone, it's great to see so many people on our purely mathematical and cryptographical talk, so I try to Rule out as many formulas as possible, but so many of them are left here So this talk is of course intentionally Scientific to show up that we are doing something serious But there will be also like important numbers will be on the very last slides that like this slide before last So like number of constraints and this sort of stuff will be in the very end So if you are just coming just for that you can wait So this is a joint work of the company Simon waltz with every name and ABDK consulting and Also our colleagues from my universities of Bristol and Gratz are now Lorenzo, Christian, Sebastian and Marcus So this kind of work that was conducted a bit independently and then later merged and Still it's kind of work in progress. So we even haven't invented the proper name for the hash function so Okay, so You probably remember what the hash function is what property should have the good hash function should process arbitrary large input Well up to some extent, but pretty like that gigabytes should handle it should be collision resistant meaning that it should be difficult to Find x and y difference so that the hash of them are identical Well as long as hash function Converts arbitrary large inputs to fix size outputs collisions are unavoidable, but there must be difficult to find Pre-image resistant means that given why it must be difficult to find X so that hfx is why? Well hash functions in a theorem. I may think it has funds everywhere. Of course, mainly shot three so shot three or ketchup the hash function designed by Belgian Belgian team in Lead by a young diamond in about ten years ago. So shot three is built It's used to build a Patricia tree to construct the rest out of the public key and so on and so forth So if it's not like the best like in terms of opting not the fastest hash function in the world But it still can handle up to like 500 Bates per meg bytes per second Well to understand why we need a different hash function. I'll go a bit to the introduction how hash functions are used in Snarks, so this is some sort of repetition a bit of the previous stark talk. Well in Bitcoin we signed because usually I start have to start with Bitcoin unfortunately because They have zero knowledge proofs apply usually to a transaction output You take so based systems So we sign a transaction with some output and the hash function of transaction is included in the block and after some point we spent the output by by Signing the transaction and the output With the the private key that was in the hash and the crucial point here is that The hash of the transaction is referred in clear text When you want to introduce zero knowledge payment system This is concealed the hash of is concealed to break up the link between the original transaction to send and the transaction to spend So when the transaction is send It's not only included in the block but also added to especially crafted merkle 3t And when you want to spend it you prove that there is you know a transaction H which is in the merkle 3t that it has special structure and you know the private key that is That corresponds to the public key that is is in this transaction and here the transaction age is referred to in zero knowledge and The most computation expensive part in all protocols is to prove that the hash is part of the merkle tree So all the others Parts of the proof are rather fast. They all maybe even with previous in the original z-cash They can be managed within one second, but when you have like 29 or 32 layers in the merkle tree this becomes difficult to to prove because the Performance of zero knowledge proving protocols they scale linearly or even super linearly with the the number of invocations of the hash function and It turns out turned out very quickly that traditional hash function like regular hash function I'm not quite suited for snarks or starks or bulletproofs because there's circuits. They are optimized for Intel or AMD processors for modern architecture, but they are not optimized for For the environment where starks or snarks operate in these environments are big fields so The fields are either prime fields meaning that All now all kind of our state is a vector of integers model some prime number in this prime number is 256 bit or 384 bit depends how afraid you are of recent disk and logarithm complex estimates this for snarks and bulletproofs and For starks, they are most helpful Filled most Better best field to operate with us and stent is a binary field, but not that big So it's like to the 32 to the 64. That's like the easiest to construct read Solomon Proofs so We can say we can simplify and say that in snarks A trusted party just kind of applies a secret input to the circuit and We can say that like all intermediate states are hashed not to be true But still and all of them are published as a proven key and then bulletproofs starks this Secret input is not needed. So the proven key is just the circuit itself and for each proof they Took under to present a proof to create a proof You have to kind of match your execution your computation with the proven key So with the circuit or with the circuit on secret input So you have to like combine the two traces and That's why the bigger the circuit is that longer it takes to construct a proof and It depends on the circuit size It also depends on like if it's our algebraic trace like in snarks like a starts then and depends on the width of the On the size of the state you operate with on the degree if you permit arbitrary degree So different Parameters are invoked and the foremost might not be very simple, but there there's still some metric to to optimize And we know this metrics approximately for snarks. We know such metrics for bulletproofs and not such metrics for Starks So the question is the question that should have been Put when snarks and starks were designed So kind of weak cryptographic community bit missed this question This requirement that we there is a need in hash functions that operate in big prime fields or big binary fields That are best in certain metrics like circuit size or degree size products like in starks And they are of course secure because the first two are easy to construct. It's difficult to create a secure one and Fortunately our cryptographic and cryptanalytic experience allows us to create really fast hash functions because we know certain constructions that are reasonably that certainly fast and that we have Analyze them with cryptanalysis for years for decades And we know like the methods that could work the methods that usually do not work And we can quickly make a hash function that is secure and that Satisfies these requirements So one the first approach was MIMC about three years ago and the the idea of MIMC was pretty simple So in the core of the MIMC, there's a permutation So originally it appears as a cipher, but if you want hash function decide the key can be random number It's okay here. So The idea is very simple. So you have You add some constant Then you and you operate in a big field by default some Prime field and then you raise your result of the power of three in this field. So you square and then multiply again Then you add the constant then you then you put to the power raise to the power of three then add constant to the power three and so on and Each time the degree. So if you express actually it's easy to show that typical Cryptonetic attacks like the financial linear cut analysis don't work here because of algebraic structure and because the state is very wide but algebraic attacks work and the thing is we have to make our the degree of the polynomial that Corresponds to this to the output of the function You have to make that the polynomial is of high degree to prevent various sorts of attacks And the degree increases like degree multiplies by three each time and the maximum possible degree is Actually to the end when n is the width of the state and we have to execute like a Bit less than n steps to achieve maximum degree Well, actually actually a bit more but this is like the order so that you understand like if you if you if your permutation is I know 250 bits wide then you need Kind of at least 100 something steps to achieve maximum degree Okay, so there were also Peddersen hash Proposals, but we can directly go to our contributions because the others are not Exactly, so they're in different paradigm constructed and kind of not so interesting for us So our contributions consist of two parts. So the first part as more generic So it's about it's about Merkel trees and it turns out that we can do we can handle Merkel tree substantially better than before Recall well, this is like three layer Merkel trees Merkel tree that handles eight messages well suppose for simplicity that the hash function it takes like two We consider a compression function that compresses with their issue two to one and Every message is of the size of the hash function output and then in this case you need n layers to hash to the end messages Okay, and the thing is the very nice thing is you can do better because you can When you have form when you have two layers you can process more than four messages you can take fifth one and then jet carefully we absorb in several hash function outputs in three and Well, you have to and Using that you can for every like two layers you can Process not four messages, but five messages and that's give you well not so big But something like 20% in 15 20% increase In performance you should give and this works for every hash function and collision is pretty much resistance a bit decreases, but Collision resistance remains at the same point so generalized bird effect also doesn't seem to work and This construction works for any hash function Even more efficiently if we have a hash function that takes that can consume our bit very large input Well with the regular hash function. We already have that like we can we can feed Very big input to show free, but it will be yes a sort of Sequential invocation and here suppose that our hash function is tailored to where Large input size so the in the output size is small But what are the input size is big and we use this large width to achieve? Cryptographic security the thing is we can then decrease the number of layers of course So if for example you process the ratio is 4 to 1 that you need to twice fewer layers and What do we need? How can we do that? So what's the most optimal way of operation and It turns out that if we want to process some very wide input with a hash function Then a very secure and Construction is the framework. It's a cold sponge mode of operation and it's based on permutations Very wide permutation means permutation. I mean that It's transformation is an invertible transformation that applies to very wide block Here the blue the permutation is of width like 768 bits or more thousand bits two thousand bits four thousand bits we know how such permutations can be constructed and The idea how they operate is very simple So message is sort not onto the entire state but all the state But some so called capacity bits capacity is twice the security level here If you security level is 128 bit that capacity should be 256 and the message is sort so Sort then you call a permutation sort you called permutation sort called permutation then messages Consumed and then you output this with the same rate as you consume messages And of course permutation should be like ideal permutation the sense that It should this to some extent in the central from a random permutation. Well, it's a constant function But you should more or less understand what this means Okay, so the question is how to construct the permutation so that it will be start snark or stark friendly Okay, and the goal is to Come up with with the design that will be both stark and snark friendly to some extent because the difference We know that in snarks we optimize We work in the prime field in stark we optimize on We work in binary fields, but apart from that our permutation can be built very similarly the first attempt What if we modify my emcee and replace the power of three with an inversion and this is of course a very tempting step and It's not It's not actually Trivial so when the MMC wasn't was invented the authors tried this Approach and it doesn't work. That's work. Why because it's actually very interesting exercise that you can demonstrate that if that no matter how many rounds you have if you're doing just the constant addition between the inversions that The resultant function will be a rational function of the input of degree one The thing is you can Interpret your state as a fraction of like a little linear one linear offer another x plus b over six plus d And of course when you invert then the nominator and denominator that just swaps and when you add the constant the nominator changes, but the degree doesn't change and Unfortunately to the state will be a rational function of degree one and collisions are easy because they're like Simple linear equations or even quadratacons, but they can be solved easily so And there isn't design Jarvis. They decided to put some are additional linear transformations after the inversion But it's yet not unclear for me if this is secure enough, but they Haven't managed to break it yet The solution that is still obvious to me because I would like to work with white permutation because I would like to Leverage the permutation with to Get my more efficient circuit for a tree Not for one hash function for a tree Because that's the bottleneck and the idea that Why wouldn't we use multiple s boxes and to use a very wide permutation then our function will be very similar to what we already have for example in AES or other designs and Well, let's call it for example inversion hash and In this inversion hash it operates as follows. So It's you see like there are rounds and in this rounds We alternate non-linear transformations which are denoted by s. So each s is an inversion in some field It's not actually important for the design which field it is Because many attacks they apply Similarly, so of course you substitute as a parameter the field size and in some cases the binary For binary field some attacks work just a bit differently, but not tremendously differently So generally if your function is if this construction is secure for binary field, it will be like almost secure with the Prime field unless your primes or binary field is very small But the construction is like this. So each s is an inversion in the field and each a is a fine Isn't a fine transformation in this field. That's basically a linear combination of inputs invertible one it's and Another very nice idea is that for the middle of this construction. We do not need Full as box layer because the degree so the algebraic functions the algebraic attacks we work with they They can be kind of mitigated. They can be controlled even when with one as box in the middle or two but with one is fine and The parameters of this design are of course the width of an s box And I say that this is box can be prime field inversion for snarks Or this can be binary field inversion for starks and each by you can take whatever binary field you want So if you realize that if you think now that to to to binary field is good for Stark you can use it if later you realize that for like read Solomon performance you need 128 bit you can choose a bit different function if they will work fine and the analysis Analysis remains valid to most extent. So of course we conducted like mainly my colleagues conducted a number of different sorts of attacks on this design because we already know this design from like 20 years old just this s boxes were smaller and Apparently algebraic attacks become the most effective here but when you are 6 ourselves for example to 128 bit security you don't need many rounds here So we are talking about like six to eight rounds for outer rounds with full s boxes full box layers And I know five ten fifteen middle rounds So the total number of s boxes is not terribly big But it's interesting to optimize it. It's interesting to try to expand our permutation to see how big it should be to Give us the best circuits for trees and For stark setting what we have so In our inversion hash here the in the left column, there's width and We can calculate the formula pretty much the same formula the telebenza son is used has used for Approximating stark proof of performance and The result in performance Predictable performance is on the right most column and it's logarithm of time formula. So this should be read that if you shot a 56 For a tree of two to 32 elements then and you need 128 bit collision resistance then Your that proven time should be about two to the 33 of something If you spederson hash, then it should be like two to the 22 So you see like almost a thousand times faster, but of course Unfortunately in the real in the real world the before the performance increase from shot 56 is not that big because Shrattifice circuit is very sparse But still If we use our inversion hash, we can if we use like default width of 1000 bits We can still be like four times faster should be four times faster than Pedersen hash If we If we use And interestingly if we increase the width then we can do better and for 1500 bits and 200 2000 bits we can get best results. So 1536 is the best we can get it's like 60% faster than the smaller one so our current proposal is to use this with How many like not not very big number of rounds like eight Outer rounds and not that big number of internal rounds and the tree will be twice smaller For snarks, we can estimate the number of constraints, which is also interesting So suppose that we use 255 bit as boxes if you want to use snarks on elliptic curves with 255 bit primes if you want 3300 84 bit primes, then you should kind of yeah substitute them and it will be somewhat similar and so we can calculate the number of constraints and We can compare with Pedersen hash, which is like 40,000 constraints for the entire trees and if I Count it correctly and for this sort of hash for the entire tree if we use if we use six as boxes in parallel and You for 127 bit collision resistance, then we should have only 666 constraints well, maybe indeed for a fair comparison. We should use bigger prime But I think the order the order will be the same. So I think this is quite promising and Well, of course we advocate some additions to a VM or whatever will be used to Support natively support the operations in the field basically for verifiers because verifiers in starks and bulletproofs they need some parts of the circuit and some some field operations should be supported and Optional, I don't know if the entire permutation should be as a pre-compiled contract Maybe it's not necessary, but we will see they'll depending on whether some Checks against the entire permutation are Performed should be performed in the contract and if so then indeed a pre-compiled contract would help so This is just the beginning. It's just beginning That's kind of the hash function that we cryptographers can design within a short time period But I think there can be designed better better ones can be found. So we can try other start family fields we can Work better with algebraic attacks. For example, the grubbner-basis attacks are sort of and the finder explored and because And as far as they claim to be the best in the settings, it would be very interesting to apply existing grubbner-basis labor libraries to Attacks and see if they indeed kind of perform as we expect and It would be also cool to have some to fix some metrics and have some kind of competition That's like everyone can suggest a hash function that optimizes the number of constraints somewhere and which stands security attacks up to my note to the 128 Maybe design some merkle tree oriented hashing. There already exists tree based hashing, but maybe there can be something more optimal and Also, for example, maybe 120 bit security is not needed that much. Maybe if the hash function if the Proof should be like secure for only short period of time Then maybe a lower security level Would be nice for example 64 bit security level. I know maybe 56 bit security level That's like this then we have we can have much if again more compact designs and maybe with faster proofs and since fast certifications Thank you very much We have time for maybe one question so I'm sure you've heard about the New designs coming out for the Starks with Jarvis and Friday, although they're confined to the binary field How would you describe the relationship between your work and that? How what how would you describe the relationship between your work and that? How do you see them? I've just seen them two days ago and basically their idea is in the MIMC with only one registered to insert a fine layer and That's not yet clear for me if this indeed withstands algebraic Attacks because I have some doubts, but I haven't found an actual attack So maybe maybe it's indeed secure, but I would be very careful I think that the parts of use are needed Another round of applause, please


The number one trick all Narcissists use This is the Narcissist primary objective It is the most important thing for them When they are dealing with you and they will go above and beyond to achieve this It is a cunning scheme which is intended to deceive you. It's intended to outwit you By creating an illusion By creating a deceptive appearance or impression By planting a false idea or belief and This trick is designed to keep you under their influence and control It's designed to give them power over you By stripping away power that is rightfully yours But to do this They have to get you to hand over your power to them They have to make you believe that you are not deserving of your power They have to make you believe that you are not worthy and they do that by creating self-doubt By making you lack confidence in yourself and your abilities This is the number one trick all Narcissists use They have to do it It's the only way that they can keep you as their source of supply Because otherwise You would realize that they're not bringing anything to the table They're not doing anything for you So to balance it out and to make you think that it's a fair exchange They have to make you think that you're not doing much for them They have to make you doubt yourself and they do this by targeting yourself worth and self-esteem Minimizing your accomplishments Minimizing the value of anything you're doing for them and Comparing you to other people This is how they lock you under their control This is how they keep you as their personal workhorse Well, you're not expecting anything a return from them because you're led to believe that you're not doing enough You're led to believe that you need to do more for them before you can expect anything in return They make you believe that there's something wrong with you There's something wrong with what you're doing and they do that By never revealing their appreciation by never showing you their gratitude Even if they secretly admire your efforts, they cannot let you see it Because then they would be letting you preside over them They would be giving you the authority Which wouldn't be of any use to them because they're weak They're not really about anything So the game is to make you doubt yourself So that you don't come to the conclusion that they ain't about shit But now that you have this information There is a way out of the maze And that is through recognizing your worth Recognizing all of the work that you've put in Recognizing everything that you have accomplished If you look back and evaluate everything that you have done You will see that you have done a lot more for them than they have done for you You're more of an asset to them Than they are to you They need you more than you need them, but they can't let you know that Because then that would put them at a disadvantage It would make you look at them and then you would realize that they're not doing anything for you So why would you keep them around?  They've distorted your beliefs about yourself They've made you less confident Narcissists want to be around powerful and successful people. They admire people like that But they don't want you to use that same power on them Because then you could tear them to smithereens So instead they have to domesticate you they have to tame you to their liking Where they don't ever have to praise or compliment you While still receiving all of the benefits and conveniences That you have to offer Thank you for watching. I hope this video resonates with you Please like comment share and subscribe if you would like to donate My PayPal link is in the video description Coaching inquiries You can email me at coaching.arxivver at the crew UK Thank you for watching and I'll talk to you soon


What's up everyone? It's your girl Kenzie here from Layton Sports Cards, and I'm repping a couple personal order personal boxes here for Mike D We've got a 2022 tri-star hidden treasure autograph basketball jersey as well as a 2022 tops tier one baseball hobby All right. Good luck Mike. Thanks again for hopping back in We're gonna start with the tier one here Good luck. We've got 104 of 399 Derek Lee patch Derek Lee for the Florida Marlins We've got rookie auto for the cartinels 193 of 299 lars new bar nice new farther and Silver ink four of ten tier one talent Tony Perez for the Reds Love the silver ink against the blackboard are there four of ten on that one Tony Perez Perez for the Reds All right, sure Z time Here we go Mike. Let's see what we've got Hey, Walt Frazier. Wow that one's one of the ones on the front of the box. I believe Yep, he's on there right here. Maybe not the same Same Jersey, but that's sick. Can we pull one of these for you already? Walt Frazier that's inscribed Hall of Fame 1982 Really cool there. You got your tri-star sticker With your matching tri-star paper. All right, congrats again on that Mike. Thanks for hopping back in and support Is really appreciated. Thank you


Hi everyone, Joe for jaspyscasebreaks.com coming at you with a Cardinals Broncos Redskins Seahawks number block randomizer, that's how it works. They're also a bit of a hitless promo here too, if you don't get a hit then we'll randomize those hitless names, top name gets $50 a break credit, there you go. Good luck to these folks, thanks to the numbers, let's roll it, let's randomize it. Two and a three, five times for each list. And fifth and final time, there you go, Ray down to Ryan. And good luck with the numbers too, two and a three, five times, two. And fifth and final time, seven down to six. Alright, Ray, seven, Josh, one, Andrew, five and zero, so same drill, zero gets you those redemptions for those teams down there, John with three, Sanyin with eight, Duane with two, Mark with four, Michael with nine, and Ryan with six. Order these by number. Alright, there you go, Joe for jaspeyscasebreaks.com, coming up in a separate video, the break itself.


one shaper one thousand here and I got we're gonna do another one of these this one is it Jia Zhang that's what this one I'm nail here anyway so let's open this up artificially spicy chicken flavor ramen so let's check this thing out okay so we've got our stir-fried ramen this one is Korean black bean sauce so this should be well okay right there okay excuse me so we went to a restaurant yesterday and it was Vietnamese and it was pretty good wouldn't yeah it was really good so cooking instructions as always put the noodles and flakes into the 20 ounces which is 600 milliliters of boiling water and cook for five minutes got the water ready over there please remove the water remain eight tablespoons of water they just want you to keep eight tablespoons of water in there you don't really have to measure that but I do for the video purposes just like I just got a comment today on way back when I was doing the the meals on wheels review yeah somebody commented well put spices on it well that's the thing if I do that then I'll have people one and if I don't like it or like it they'll say well it's cuz you spiced it up it makes a big difference it does so I don't do that when I'm doing these reviews I do it exactly the way you're supposed to so whoever wrote that and whatever you know and put liquid sauce into noodles stir fry for 30 seconds stir well and serve so we're gonna go ahead and I'm gonna get the water boiling something a little different what nope it's square so we've got some I got some parts coming in tomorrow should be the fuel pump for the Corvette and what Saturday tomorrow Saturday I should have the the headset for the Toyota for the Tacoma I got to pull the head because I broke that spark plug off which I knew was gonna happen I was just hoping it didn't but you know I did all I could I spent you know 45 minutes trying to get it out of there going back and forth it just finally you know you got a snap it's either gonna come or snap it is low on compression on one cylinder and that is the cylinder that is long compression I didn't run a compression test because I couldn't get the plug out to run one on that cylinder but that's the only cylinder that wasn't firing so I you know I'm thinking long compression I don't think it's rings because or well it could be a compression ring I don't think it's a burn piston because there's no blow by in a crank case and I don't think it's a burnt intake valve because it's not popping through the intake however that the exhaust valve can be burnt it is making a little buh buh buh buh noise out the exhaust but if that's the case I got the set that has the valves in it too so that should be a fun video but it's not gonna happen this weekend apparently according to our weather it's supposed to rain all weekend so we're not sure what we're gonna do was gonna do something today but it just started raining and it looked bad all day so so there's our there's our flakes that's got a lot more than some of them and this is our sauce so let's go ahead I just just a quick update for you guys that's all I know this is a food review but that's okay here we go this is our sauce so let's go ahead let's get this into some boiling water and boil it for five minutes then we'll stir fry that's the part I love because I love using my wok love that walk thanks guys so let's get into this okay time to put these in for five minutes you want them longer broke up okay she likes them long we'll put them on okay she the noodles we're not going to break up okay they set a timer for five minutes boom boom there we go all right now next shot you'll see is we're going to be stir frying these noodles oh I gotta put the flakes in too you got to put the flakes in with it now they want you to so my damn phone Jesus alright guys I'll be back with you okay guys so let's go ahead and pour this in we're gonna get this in here smells yummy I've liked them all so far just like some more than others oops we're good at the bathroom yeah now let's stir fry that that was eight tablespoons which I can't remember is about an eighth of a cup I think or something like that stir fry and I messed up and turned the heat down stir fry this for 30 seconds but let's go ahead and get the heat up it has chunks of stuff in this one see the chunks there's no chunks in this where's that a serving suggestion Korean black bean sauce yeah but does that say serving suggestion on it there's a little honks of stuff in here but not that big all right actually been longer than 30 seconds but I had to heat down okay so we're gonna put this in a bowl monkey's got her favorite little spoon down there and we're gonna give us a shot okay guys so this is what we ended up with we don't have the colors the greens and all that we have one color and we don't have the chunks so well so what we're gonna do is we're gonna stir this up oh I kind of already did but I better get a get a fork if not I'm gonna mess a bunch of things up like me in the counter and then monkey show me your nails okay let's get you back up here sorry about the rain but this storm I gotta get a fork show them what you use for the first timers marlin and Brian so graciously send us these things so are you ready monk I get yours cuz it takes her forever oh another thing the points are finally going bad in the in the wild pump so I gotta go out every once in a while no flipping get them to work so we have water but I've already got that ordered I got new gauge ordered so I'm upgrading on the I'm upgrading on the on the pressure switch so they're long one from my I'm just gonna roll it 30 to 50 to 40 to 60 all right I'm bringing along with me on that that's an easy easy little project there well you never let me break them in half I don't care really don't matter man you guys here long short okay I'm running out of room on my car so sorry thank you don't really nice flavor really spicy I'm gonna tell me how many minutes hang on a second guys okay sorry about that I was just complaining every time because when we first started before I even did the intro I just flipped the camera open as soon as you flip it open and kicks on or phone went off I was complaining I can't film nowhere I go outside I got motorcycles cars trucks airplanes I come in here phones are going off then what happened I get a phone call maybe once a month yeah he doesn't get him it was just a reminder of my doctor's appointment on Monday and of course you know I just you guys saw just always something and then we start this and I get a memory card blinking at three minutes left we try and now storming out I don't know if you can hear it yeah I have the window it's actually supper time right now well yeah supper time it's a 540 but it's darker than what it should be it's raining and thundering wasn't supposed to do that until this weekend right so anyway I'm gonna give it another shot are you yeah this is not super super spicy no if you don't like spice it will be really spicy to you but if you do like spices this is really mild maybe mild to medium it's smooth it does have a good flavor yeah it does I think I think we'll get down to the last one I got what third or four more in there I think when I get to the last one we're gonna have a little fun with it yeah we're gonna put some meat cubes or something in it and we'll dress it up and see what we come up without it something like this but it's very good you can taste the chicken and the beans you can taste everything in it's very good this is very good what do you rate it I really like this one more than I thought it would I'm gonna go two thumbs up and I'm gonna give this a four now I'm just gonna give it a four that's what I was gonna give it a four a four and two thumbs up yeah at first I was gonna give it a three but no after eating it again no I like it it's very good no that's out of five guys for those of you that haven't seen yet when just go from one of five five being the best this is not a problem to eat it's very good yeah my watch gave me a video okay so yes I like it very good yeah I could eat this with no promise don't have to drink in between because you know I don't like spicy no don't get me wrong there is a spike spicy I do like it it's more spicy than hot yeah but there is some heat there but it's mostly spicy you can feel it I can still feel it but it's not unbearable no no I'm not running to the top and Brian throw caution to the wind buddy get the two ax okay okay guys we're gonna get off here and we're gonna finish this and then we'll catch you guys on the next one yeah okay yeah oh come on so for now bye y'all have a good day say bird see I can't film say birds meant the man legend golf as a car goes by I'm gone for now we'll see you guys in the next one y'all stay safe and finish it off y'all see ya


Do you realize that music opens the soul? You don't mean that literally that you open your soul to something coming in. I'm saying that you present that influence to your soul. These are opportunities of susceptibility to deception and attack. And so when someone is playing music, they are now putting you in a state where you're more likely to be receptive to certain thoughts and certain suggestions. So when you listen, for example, to a song about violence or a song about lust, you're listening maybe you safe to the beat. Maybe you say to just the sound of the music. But now your soul is being opened and you're more vulnerable. And so then the words that are sung along with that music track are more influential than they would have been without it. Well, no wonder many of us are walking around with anger, entourment and lust and confusion.  That's where they begin to wreak some havoc.