And just before we start, Joyce, I just, no, hold up on that. I would know, I wanna focus on you being here because this is a frustrating week for all of us who are trying to get ahead of something like minimum wage when we're still on the floor and have many miles to go before we're done. So I appreciate you coming in and giving us kind of a quick primer on S23. And I'm sure we'll have you back and when this information has context, have more questions on it. But I did want us to, want the committee to start thinking about this bill, even though we're on the floor thinking about a bunch of different other things, so. Welcome. Thank you. Good morning, everyone. Good morning. Good morning. I'm Joyce Van Tester from the Joint Physical Office and it's a pleasure to talk about the Minimum Wage Bill, S23. So I'm going to talk about some notes and these notes are in preparation for the fiscal note that should be forthcoming. And I welcome your questions because I know that there are lots of sometimes confusing ideas and numbers and so forth. So please feel free to ask any questions as we go along. So I'm going to start with the current minimum wage in Vermont, which is $10.78. Now that's a funny number. 78 is simply 10.50 last year indexed to inflation, okay? So according to the current law, Vermont's minimum wage starts at 10.50 and then is indexed to inflation every year. So according to the most recent consensus, economic consensus regarding inflation for coming years, you can see I've given you a little chart over on the right that shows you what we expect for inflation. So in 2018, it was 2.4 percent. In 2019, the consensus as of early January was expecting 2.5 percent. That may turn out to be a little bit high, but we'll see. And then it settles down around 2.2, 2.3 percent in coming years. Now, if there's a recession at some future date, those numbers could change, of course. So this is sort of the study as she goes if you're looking forward. So get the inflation idea in your head. It means that every year, a dollar is worth a little bit less, right? And if inflation is 2.4 percent, that means that a dollar today is worth about, what, 97.6 cents, right? So it's a little bit less. And if you wanna think about alofa bread, alofa bread might cost, what, let's say $5, okay? But if inflation continues, that price of alofa bread is going up every year because each dollar that you pay is worth a little bit less, okay? So at a 2% inflation rate, alofa bread that costs $5 this year will cost $5 and what? 10 cents? Yes, $5 and 10 cents next year, okay? So that's 2% inflation. Now, it gets to be confusing because the modeling by Tom Pevett and McRockler for the minimum wage bill is done in 2017 dollars, okay? So you have to go back two years. And for your information here, I've converted all those numbers to 2019, today's dollars, okay? But I know that yesterday Debra Wright was talking about 2018 dollars because she's done her work in 2018 dollars with the most recent data. So that gets to be confusing. In the numbers that I showed you today, I will be talking about 2019 dollars, today's dollars. But sometimes I have to think ahead. So for example, we're thinking about reaching $15 for the minimum wage in 2024, okay? So that's about five years into the future. So how do we know how many people will be affected by $15 an hour in 2024 in the distance, right? That's $15 an hour in future dollars which are gonna be worth less, okay? So if that $15 applied today, we have to subtract out all the inflation and we get down to $13.43 or something like this, okay? Then we can look at how many people are paid $13.43 and below today to know how many people, how many workers might be affected in 2024 by $15 an hour. Okay, so time out, John, can you scroll up so we can see that chart just above? Yeah, that's good. So to be clear though, when you're adjusting these numbers, as you said, we're using as still as the base. We had a big minimum wage study, pretty solid foundation in terms of what we were looking at, benefits, cliffs, other elements that now you're able to just plug in. I mean, you're using the same foundational work. Absolutely. So when we take more testimony on that foundational work, we're going to just sort of cross our eyes a little bit and not look at the numbers and then plug these numbers in. But the rest of the information in that report is still considered credible and up to date. For the most part, yes. I'm gonna give you a little bit of an update on the literature, which will, I hope, get you thinking about implications of recent minimum wage. But for the most part, yeah. I mean, you can look at the figures that were in the previous reports and look at the trends over time, the shape of the curve and all that. All that is still absolutely relevant. And so Jen, and again, just to be, just to kind of point out the complexity of what you just were talking about. So based on the current law, 1204 and 2024, is that by that chart? Yes. As the normal inflationary increase, that 1204 is in real purchasing power is the same as 1050 was last year. Yes. So in essence, a raise to $15 is a $3 raise from what would be expected at in 2024, not a four and a half dollar raise or whatever that might be portrayed as. And then that $15 becomes a benchmark of $15 in 2024. Correct. Where is this 13, and so the 1343. Okay, can I ask that we just hold off on that? Yes. Would you want to talk a little bit more about what we call current dollars and current means in each year, right? Current in 2024 is $15 an hour. Current today is, whatever it is, 1078, right? Whatever the year is, sometimes that's a confusing term. My current dollars, they're also called nominal dollars. So those are the dollars that apply in the year you're talking about. All right, so we've just talked about the fact that the difference in 2024 would be about $3, $2.96. Difference for current law. If we stick with current minimum wage law, that minimum wage would be $1,204, which is still almost a dollar higher. So that's just taking care of the inflation effect. And then I've shown you a little picture just to show you the minimum wage current law and as proposed, a nominal dollar. So you can see the blue line is the current law. And it's ramping up slowly, very slowly, right? The red line is S23, the proposed rise to $15 an hour in 2024. And you can see how that's rising a bit faster. That's just to give you perspective on current dollars, current law versus S20. Okay, now let's go to the next chart which shows you the proposed minimum wage path adjusting for inflation. Right, so again, the reason why I like to think about it adjusted for inflation is that I can impose a different world on today's workers, right? By using today's dollars, inflation-adjusted dollars. And this is exactly what they've done in the modeling effort to try to figure out how many people would be affected by the increased $15 an hour given today's workforce. Okay, all right. So you can see, I've given you more history here, but you can see current law. Let's start with current law. So 1078 in 2019. And again, you can see if we go back in time, we get down to 915 in 2015. That's in nominal dollars. If you go to $15 in 2024, we're starting, we get 1078 and getting to the $15, okay? Now I'm gonna move to the right-hand side of that table and look at inflation-adjusted dollars. So this is as if a dollar today is adjusted for inflation to get the value in future years, okay? So I've shown you exactly how the current minimum wage path works, and that is it sticks with the current basis of 1078 going forward, okay? If I were showing you this in 2018 dollars, I'd be stuck at 1050, right? So now I'm stuck at 1078 using 2019 dollars. There we are under the $15 in 2024, the far right column. And you can see that the increases that get up to $15 in 2024 get up to $13.43. So that's what I was previously talking about, okay? Are there any questions about that? It might help also to look at that little chart at the bottom, so here the blue line is current law and that's flat, that's stuck right at 1078, okay? No change in that purchasing power. But if you look at current law, that is increasing to the $13.43 in today's dollars in 2019 dollars. At what point in the current law is the magic number of 15 tamed at one year? So I once knew that answer, but I cannot tell you the answer off the top of my head. That means something that is probably around like 2007, 20 days after it jumps. What's the question I'm starting? What does it get to $15 in the current law on the inclusion rate, doesn't it? Oh, it was 2032 or something like that. Yeah, the inflation rates have changed and they've probably come down, so it's probably even further out than that. Yeah, really, it's here, it's like this. So you're looking at the S23 red line? No, I'm looking at the columns. So you want to be in the far left hand, you want to go on to your number on the far left corner, 24. So it would take, so you said 32, take an additional leap, you're seeing about three months. Probably. Well, let's see if it's gone. Yeah, it's gone to $1.50 in six years. Okay. Yeah, and I mean, obviously it goes up a little bit more each year than the index. No, that's right, I was wondering, would like for the end of, I think last year when we were talking about this, it was, it had come in at like 2032, 2033, so having on inflation, but yeah, that's... Yeah, it's an easy calculation, so I can get back to you. No, I mean, the ballpark's fine. Oh. And at 15, of course, would be the equivalent of... Well, yeah, you were going to say in the 50s. Yeah, no, no, no, I was just trying to do the math and for the end on the line, it was like, yeah, yeah, when do you hit that target? Yeah, yeah. Where was I'm trying? So ultimately $15 and by 2024 is worth 1343, that's what this is going to be. Yes. Okay. Yes. It's really different. Thank you. Okay, so if we've taken care of all those questions on numbers. Yes. Just one more. I don't know if you can make this, answer this briefly, but how are these projections, inflation projections come about? Right, so there is a consensus economic forecast completed each year, actually twice a year by Tom Cabetta and Nick Ronker together with Jeff Carr, who represents the administration side of things. So it's a legislative administration joint forecast. Yeah, okay. That's presented to the legislature in early January each year. So that's the source of our... Okay, thank you. Good. I think it's a more fundamental question. Why is the strategy to having the first couple of years less of an increase and then it escalates? If I look on your previous page, 48.915, why not just take the five years and per rate? So you would have to ask Senator Sorotkin who's the sponsor of this bill. Okay. We have had various paths over the years. This is my third year doing minimum wage, I think, plus the summer study before that. So the fourth go round, I've been on wage. We have had a number of paths. I would say that... Are you reading that correctly? Yes, you are, absolutely. So there is a thought that this is going to be an adjustment for employers, and it might be better to start off a little bit more slowly in ramping up the increase. There's also the idea that what you're looking at in difference from current lives in nominal dollars, so as you adjust your inflation, that real change will be a little bit smaller going out farther. So that will shrink the difference over time. It's also true that the numbers under the $15 path are round numbers, right? So 12, 25, 13, 10, 14, 0, 5, 15. At one point we had even Steven increases and they were funny numbers, you know, 87 cents. 04 cents and whatever. So it was, that was another consideration. Okay, thank you. Good. Now we can leave numbers behind for a little bit. I'm going to break the sign of relief, although numbers are the best part of my work. Okay, so we can think about what do minimum wage workers look like and what do the jobs that pay minimum wage look like. And there was quite a lengthy description of all of this in the summer study that was done a few years back. I'm going to give you some highlights that have been updated with more recent data. And if you're interested, that summer study is available on the web and I can provide that if you like. If you could forward that to Ron so that we can include that in our Yes, the link is on the JFO webpage and I will send that to you. Great. Thank you. If you go to the JFO website, you can search under subjects and it's under economy and then labor or something like that. Kind of trouble. Okay, so what are the characteristics of minimum wage jobs and workers? Okay, so for some of this analysis, I'm going to focus on jobs that pay right around the minimum wage. So within 90% of the minimum wage. For most of it, I'm going to focus on any job that pays the minimum wage or below. And there are some training programs for high school students, for example, that are allowed to pay significantly under the minimum wage for a set amount of time. Okay, so when you think about all the jobs that could be affected by a change in the minimum wage, we're including all those jobs. Okay, because presumably it's a proportion of the minimum wage that's paid to these high school students in training or whatever. Okay, so again, what we're using is the $1343 and $2019. To look at the jobs out there in the economy that are paying minimum wage or less. So there are about 66,440 Vermont jobs that pay below the proposed minimum wage or about 21,28%, almost 22% of all Vermont jobs. Okay, that's a lot of jobs. But remember, we're talking jobs, not people. Hold on a second. No, no, no, I'm just saying, I just said, no, we're just closing my mind. I had no idea that there was that many, many part-time jobs, part-time jobs, internships, trainees, you know, long life. Do you think we're allowed to do that anymore? It depends, it depends on the job. If you're a work study, you don't have to repay minimum wage. I believe there are many, many rules. Yeah. That brings up another question about like grad students on stipends. Same thing. Same thing. Yeah, I feel like they're hourly wages. Don't worry though. By that UVM or anybody who has student work study jobs, I mean, they can pay obviously more than the minimum wage, but they have to pay the federal minimum wage at that most level. So federal minimum wage is $7.25. Right. And so the federal training wage, which you mentioned is four and a quarter federal tip wages. We know which one doesn't apply in Vermont is 213. Our tip wage is five, well, half and whatever. What it would stand out at that first bullet point is that the $13.43, so $15 an hour in 2024 is the equivalent of $13.43 today, which is roughly the livable, the Vermont livable wage as that algorithm is determined by JFO. So a basic needs budget. So we are $15 an hour would get us merely, I guess merely is not a right word, but it would get us to what today would be our livable wage, which we use for our calculations for paid family leave bill, et cetera, so. Yes, exactly right. Okay, now among minimum wage workers at 90% of today's minimum wage, so 90% of 1078, up to the new minimum wage. So these are people who are really working jobs that are not internships, not training programs, not graduate students, nothing. So these are people at minimum wage jobs. Among those folks, average hours work per week, about 35. Okay, so on average, these people are working full weeks. Average weeks worked per year is 44, so not quite 52 or 50, if you think about, annual leave and so forth, or just vacation time off. But 44 weeks per year, so it's an existential work year. Their average wage per hour is $11.51, okay? So this is above the current minimum wage, but it means that there are lots of people in that band right up to 1343. And the average annual income from the minimum wage job is $20,000, 282. So this was in the 20th, this was in last year's. So this is an update from last year's. This is using a new American Community Survey. For Vermont specifically. For Vermont specifically. So this is important because we as a state in statute say a full-time job under the circumstance, under minimum wage circumstances, it's 40 hours a week. Yes, yes. So when I just likely throw off that minimum $15 an hour is the equivalent of 32,000, 31,8, I need to adjust that. So this is average, so remember it probably includes what, summertime work at the minimum wage for not head of hustle, we're actually gonna talk about this, how many are head of hustles. But there are many people who work minimum wage jobs who are not supporting a family, right? The people, okay, so if you go to the next bullet. 41% of the workers in the minimum wage workforce are the head of a family. So either a single parent or a company, okay? So 41%, so we're at two-fifths of the people. And of those, it turns out also 41% provide over half of the family income. So two-fifths of two-fifths is what? Four, 25th, which is about 16%, right? Okay, so 16% of minimum wage workers provide over half of the family income. So we're talking about a much smaller piece of those minimum wage workers. Could you read that statistic please? So I'm saying 16% of minimum wage workers are the head of the household and provide over half of the family income. All right, I'm getting a little 16% of the income. My experience in horse farming some things is people come in and look out the stalls for cash. And so I think that that's a pretty extensive number across the state. When you factor all this in, how do you factor in those people getting paid, whatever it would be, $10 an hour or whatever it is? Yes, so these statistics come from the American Community Survey, which is a nationwide survey conducted by the Census Bureau, the US Census Bureau. So it includes a sample of remodels, which is probably three or 5% small numbers. These statistics are actually averaged over five years because remodels is such a small state that if you looked at just one year's results, they would fluctuate a lot over time. But it's a good survey. I've actually taken a survey and probably some of you have as well. They try to get at cash payment as well as salary and so forth. Now it depends on how people report, right? If they're being honest and they report cash wages, then you'll see it. And if they don't report it, you won't see it. So yes, there is an undergrad economy and everybody knows that it exists. We hope that that's included here. So, this 41 and 41 thing is running into a wall here. So 41% of the workers in the minimum wage workforce are the head of a family. But only 41 of those provide over half of the family income. Can you describe that family? Can you describe that circumstance to me? That only so 16% of the people provide over half, but they're still the head of the family. Can you, how does that work? Sure. So think of all the people out there who are earning minimum wage. Which is 21.8% of the population. Of all the jobs, to the jobs. To the jobs. Jobs. And remember that people who work low-wage jobs tend to have more than one job. So that's, so the population's gonna, is there to be less than the 21.8%? Absolutely. Because there were people maybe like a 60%? Yeah. So, okay. Yes, so all the people out there are working minimum wage jobs. Now, some of them are high school kids. Summertime work. Some of them are college kids. Summertime work. Some of them are filling in before they start a real job, working a minimum wage job. There are lots of people in many different circumstances who are working minimum wage jobs. But what we often think about in the policy world, in terms of is the minimum wage sufficient, is if, no, scratch the F. For the people who are working a minimum wage job full-time or close to full-time to support themselves and their families, are they making enough to provide their basic needs? Okay, that's often the question. And among the people who are working within 90% of today's minimum wage up to $13.43, about two-fifths of those are the head of household. Okay, so these are people who need their income. Obviously, they need every penny of their income. And among those, some have spouses who are working other jobs that may be paying more, or they have rental income, or they have other income, right, that is supporting their household. But all of the heads of households who are earning minimum wage, two-fifths of those are providing over half of the family income. So anybody else who's working in the family is making, is just simply saying less than them. But they can be a head of household and not be making more money, not making the most money in the family. Absolutely true. The head of household, unfortunately, is still defined as the husband, if there's a husband in the family. Defined by whom? Staff's Bureau. Well, that's an important point because don't we have another factory coming up about or pull a point at saying that X number of percentage workers are women and many of these families are single-parent families, right, where the single-parent is the woman and would be the head of household, right? So, yeah. The head of household is the male. Generally speaking, it's the male. Well, by definition. That's the way they do things, unfortunately. We won't ask the one. I think you'd have to go back 50 years, right? Yeah, it's very possible. Okay, all right. Yes. Now, this is an important update. Thank you for, I mean, I'm still... So, these are Deb Brighton numbers and if there are more detailed questions, I would funnel them through Deb or she could talk to you about all this. She's done some really nice work and all of this feeds into the modeling done by a talk event in the Rockler that we'll look at later for the Vermont economy. Yeah, representative Zons. So, yeah, so I'm wrapping my head around this definition as well. Like, what makes this a meaningful statistic if, in other words, it would seem to me the meaningful statistic would be what percentage were primary earners in their household? If head of household is basically just a gender marker, that stat doesn't seem to be particularly meaningful. I'm gonna check. I'm gonna check to be sure I'm not talking up my half of that expression, no. But whatever the expression is. I will check. Because when you said that someone else in the household might need more money than them, then that's why I'm confused about how they head of household. I'm just thinking primary. If I'm the head of my household, my wife would be surprised. No. No. First of all, but also from an income perspective, she's clearly always bent that primary wage earner. So, you know, that's... Again, this is where word matter and we're trying to sort this out. But I would have deferred primary wage earner as that, but it is, anyway, this is just stuff that we need to know, we'll be forward so we don't, Matt and then Tommy. I stand corrected. If the house is owned or rented jointly by a married couple, the householder maybe, either the husband or the wife. Beginning, oh, I'm way out of date. Beginning with the 1980 CPS, which is the current population survey. The Bureau of the Census discontinued the use of the terms head of household. Ooh, so I'm completely out of it. And head of family, oh, wow, this is crazy. Okay. So the minimum wage should be $32 now. I don't know. I don't know. I don't know. I don't know. Really cool. I'm just gonna eat you nuts for a fresh choice down. I don't know what you want me to eat here. It's all scalable. Oh, no. Oh dear. So that's not the worst, so it says. Dude, you just need to hold this. Okay. Okay. Well, that's that. This is good. This is good.  Oh, gosh. Oh, dear. Just with PTSD. Okay. So I should not be using head of household. I would have def knows this. So they don't use head of household anymore. They use householder. Householder. Okay. That's my name. And the householder refers to the person or one of the people in whose name the housing unit is owned or rented, or if there is no such person, any adult member excluding rumors, orders, or paying employees. So how do they, oh, if the house is owned or rented jointly by a married couple, the householder may be either the husband or the wife. The person designated as the householder is the referenced person, to whom the relationship of all other household members, if any, is recorded. So that means we don't know. Oh, yeah. Right? We don't know if they're the person we're talking for the statistical measure. Is that basically what it means? Yeah. That's whatever answers the question. Yeah. That's bad. So how does this relate to your 41% or 51%? Yeah. Yeah. Right. So that means, so I wonder if Deb defined it differently, because she's using the head of a family as a single parent of a couple. OK. So I'll have to have a conversation with you. Is that an IRS head of household? Or is that, oh, that's a survey, right? It's a census. Yeah. OK. So that's really interesting, and I have no idea. Try to remember, Tom, I think the last time we had this discussion, somebody did get the numbers of how many of these are single women. Yes, that information was in an infographic that was shared. I think it's either, and it may not be in the 189-page report, but it might be in some of the reports that came from the Boston Fed. Yeah. I don't remember what it was, but it was a significant amount. So I need to say, be careful about that Boston Fed study. It should never have been published. It was based on one year of the American Community Survey looking at specific states, all the states in New England, and you should never, ever, ever believe the American Community Survey for one year for Vermont, because it's such a small state. We received training from the Census Bureau on this, and they said, this is really bad. So I would put very wide margins around any of the results from that Boston Fed study, yeah. Representative Gommage. So I would think maybe on your tax return form, while I haven't looked at it this year, there are boxes that you check off in terms of, I'll use the term head of household. They don't use that term, but it's something similar. It's similar. I don't recall exactly, but it establishes who you are in the household, if you are the only Inherner, you know. So perhaps that is what that's not what's used. No, because the IRS has its forms that are not connected in any way to the forms filled out in that census. So that would not serve as a guide, perhaps, a good guide. Well, what this says, what the Census Bureau says is that it depends on who answers the survey, who fills out the survey. They are considered the head of household. I'm sorry, the householder. It doesn't make much sense. So what I don't know is what definition Deb used, because she had access to the raw data. So I'm going to try to phrase this question so I'm not going to, because it is a policy question. In, with Joint Fiscal Office, you deal with these kinds of reports all the time, and some of them are turned into infographics that you're just saying that this particular piece of information that was put together is that the information isn't necessarily wrong. It's just, I mean, I can go find those numbers but what you're saying, your experience or the way that when you see this particular study, you say, oh, Vermont, we need to average five in order to get a credible number. So as we move forward, we are going to see a lot of these different infographics, and we're going to see a lot of different things that have studies behind them or different groups behind them, which ones is not necessarily, I'm trying to ask, which ones do we give weight to, but which ones do we find credible at its base level? So for instance, the survey that was released two years ago that was paid, that was sponsored locally by the Commission on Women, the Vermont Commission on Women, which is a state agency, received funds to pay for a study that was done by a national group that blended numbers from across the country to come up with base numbers on the paid family leave policy, this is on the paid family leave policy, and then did some specific, Vermont numbers. How do we treat, going forward, how do we treat any particular study for credibility? Because I think we're going to be baffled by a lot of numbers that are coming at us, and this was an example of, I mean, I just learned more in the last 10 minutes about how to, on one hand, the American Community Survey is good if you read it properly, but it's bad if the numbers are used improperly, and so that's kind of the Mark Twain lies, Dan lies of statistics. So from the JFO perspective, how do you approach all these different things? How do you find that road to go on and say that this is better than this?  And if it's really wide, you want to be very careful about using a specific number. Plus or minus. We see a political poll that's plus or minus 6%, you're like, okay, so they pull 12 people. As opposed to at 4%, they could pull 500 people. Yes, now unfortunately, most of the time, policymakers don't want to be bothered with the margin of error or the confidence interval, and so what they want is your best guess. And if you give your best guess, that's one number, and it's easier to absorb and think about, but it misses that uncertainty around the number. And so I think I asked this question last year about, again, probably a different subject, but when you had the box with the numbers of the CPI, of the estimated increases in the CPI that go out in five or seven years, can I pull up off the JFO website or ask Tom Kovett or you to say, hey, what did Tom Kovett say 10 years ago when it came to, in this case, something like inflation, which you could actually go back to? Because one of the things that we do here is we say, in five years, it's going to be like, I asked this to the labor people, but in five years, it's going to be this. Well, what did we say five years ago and what does it match up today? So we have to go back and say, five years ago, Tom Kovett said that the inflation was going to be this, this, this, this, this, and this into your confidence factor. We can actually go back and say, these were the actual numbers and at least get an idea that he was dead on or they were dead on and excuse me, that the way that they use their numbers provided, at least in this case, an accurate number. So it's a good question and I can tell you when I worked at the National Budget Office, we spent a lot of time, every five years maybe, going back 10 years before to look at our projections and to try to separate out the effects of policy changes, which of course could not have been predicted at the time that we made the projection from sort of technical changes, the way that the CBI gets measured and all those sorts of things. And then just what happened, right? And there's a big report that comes out in CBO, everything, whatever that says, okay guys, we were off by this much and we can explain so much from policy changes, we can explain so much from technical changes and the rest, we just were wrong. So it can be done, it takes a lot of work, but yeah, I mean a simple thing to do would just be to look at inflation projections from five years ago versus what actually happened. We would see a difference for sure. But again, you're creating that sense of- Uncertainty. Of certainty because of the potential for policy changes, I mean I've always wondered why doesn't the CBI change the measurements of certain things, like even Dow Jones kicks people off the Dow Jones 30, so in this case you're saying policy choices that we made can affect inflation rates or estimates or what have you. Okay, no that's fine, it just, again this is, we're in budget week so we're getting a lot of numbers thrown at us and I think that's where I'm coming from with a lot of these questions. Absolutely. Is that- That's a good question. What do you trust and what can you use as credible information when you're trying to push a policy forward? Right. And if I could take one minute to go off topic just a little bit, Deb right in wanting me to be sure to talk about this. There is a study requested in S23 that would look at different measures of inflation for indexing the minimum wage going forward. And people don't always appreciate what's going on there but the CBI is a fixed basket of goods, right? It's defined to be, you know, a household buys this, that and the other and those things stay pretty much fixed over time except for big changes that are announced and, I don't know, okay, the basket stays fixed but there are other measures that move with people's choices of what is purchased and the personal consumption expenditure deflator, the PCE deflator is now used by many, many organizations, the Federal Reserve Board, the Congressional Budget Office, many, many, you know, economic thinkers are now using the PCE deflator rather than the CPI because it is a better measure of inflation because it moves with people's choices, okay? So, for example, think about phone service. You know, if you're still measuring the cost of a landline, you're not keeping pace with what many households are doing which is dropping the landline and using the self-couple, right? So, the PCE deflator takes that into account over time and probably creates a better measure of inflation. So, there is a study that's due in 2023 or something that would look at sidetrack. Okay. Let's go to number five. Yes, shall we move to new insights from what you're doing? Oh, you don't have much time, okay. Yeah, and again, this is, we'll have you back, I'm sure, once you're closed before the end of the year. Okay, there are some new faces on the committee. So, let me just briefly say that over the past few years, there have been some discussions about what is found in the evidence about raising their own wage, okay? So, the question is, if you raise them at their own wage, do people lose jobs? Who loses a job? Or do people lose hours of work? And who loses hours of work? And what's the bottom line? You know, what's the effect on the economy? So, just very briefly in a nutshell, about two years ago, there was a very good natural experiment, let's say, an experiment that happened in Seattle when they raised their minimum wage rather rapidly from, let's say, it was about 9.50 an hour all the way up to $15 an hour, okay? And so, economists rushed in to see what would happen. And there were two groups, one from Berkeley, UC Berkeley, one from University of Washington, Seattle. And the UC Berkeley folks said, okay, we can do this, we can use data on food service workers. So, waiters, waitresses, cook, chefs, you name it, all those folks in food service. We can look at that bunch of workers, we can see what happens to the number of jobs and to the wages paid, okay? They did their study, they've done many studies like this, they found no effect on jobs, they found some increase in wages, okay? People thought, great, this is good, this is what the economics profession has been doing for years, those are the results. Then along came the upstarts from the University of Washington. They were able to use individual data so they could follow individual people, workers, over time to know how many hours they were working and what their hourly wage was. And Washington is one of four states that collects data at that level, so hours worked and hours worked. They found a drop in the minimum wage workers, the workers who were affected by the hike in the minimum wage, not huge, but there was a drop. They also found a drop in the total wages earned by those low wage workers because of the people who lost the job, right? The people who gained in minimum wage, gained so much, but it was not enough to offset the wages lost of those who lost their jobs. Okay, so unfortunately the paper that was written by these University of Washington upstarts has not gone through peer review yet, has not completed peer review, has not been published. Okay, so it's very easy for people to say, oh, but it hasn't been published, you can't believe it. You know, okay, I don't know. I'm sort of agnostic. I do know that some of the top labor economists are really saying, should we pay more attention to this University of Washington study? Because it seems to be saying that there is some specific effect. And what I'll talk about today is sort of the next step in both of those studies. Okay. Wasn't there also a case where the authors of that study pulled back and said, yeah, okay, yeah, yeah. Okay, so that was two years ago that those papers were published. Now fast forward, recently, like in the last six months, two more papers have come out by the same sets of authors. We'll talk first about the University of Berkeley paper. So they have a slightly different way of looking at this question now. They're looking at the number of new jobs paying at or slightly above the new minimum wage compared to the missing jobs paying below it. They looked at it. I just wanna be sure. Yeah, the NME paper? Yes, absolutely. Thank you. Yes. Sorry. There too, it's the one about that you're talking about. Oh, you want the, yeah, I'm sorry. I'm sorry, thank you. Yes, the top one. All right, thanks. Yes, they're both NME papers, sorry. Okay, so they're looking at many different sites across the country where the minimum wage changed. And they're trying to think about how many new wages came in around the new minimum wage compared to how many jobs were lost around the minimum wage, okay? So they looked at many, many years, 1979 to 2016, thinking about that balance. And they found that the overall number of those low wage jobs around the minimum wage remained about the same five years after the increase in the minimum wage. So this would support the view that, yes, there's churn, right, people are changing jobs, coming, moving in and out of jobs. But about the same number of jobs existed close to the minimum wage as it moved up over time, okay? So, if you, well, okay, so I'll just leave it there. And then the final bullet says, they find some evidence of reduced employment in tradable sectors. So that means if you have something that's made in China and you're raising the minimum wage in that industry, then it's likely that jobs will be lost in that industry in the US because you can import things more cheaply from China. Okay, so that's the tradeable sector. Which could be anything in manufacturing. Exactly. And it's already happening. And we've seen it happening for many, many months. Absolutely. And it's exacerbated by tariffs, which last most years in China at least. Okay. So that's sort of the traditional, what we think about the minimum wage, right? No big loss in jobs, no big loss in wages and so forth. Okay, now we come to the upstarts. And the upstarts have released a new paper as well. And so again, the difference here is that they're able to use data on individual workers and follow them through time. And so they find that, well, okay, so this is what I said before. On net, the minimum wage increase went from $9.47 up to $13 per hour. And it raised earnings by an average of $8 to $12 per week. Now this is a little bit different from their earlier results, okay? Previously they were saying that people lost some dollars per week. Now they're finding that, in fact, if you're careful about your analysis, you find the small gain. Okay, but all of the gains accrued to workers with above median experience when the minimum wage increase started at baseline, okay? So the folks who had been working for a while were seen as being worthy of the minimum wage increase, right? They were productive enough to warrant the increase in the minimum wage, but the less experienced workers weren't producing that much. And so they saw no significant change to weekly pay, meaning they might have lost some hours, okay? So you're gonna, if you have to pay everybody more, you're gonna use more of the hours of people who are producing more and less of the hours of people who are less productive. Is that an exchange for wage compression? So wage compression usually refers to what happens to wages above the minimum wage. And here we're talking about weekly take-home pay. So it's slightly different. Yeah, I'm just thinking, again, there's people are concerned if you have experience in a minimum wage of $12, I'm making $14 an hour. If I'm making $50 an hour, shouldn't I be getting $17 an hour? But this isn't measuring that, it's measuring people at the minimum wage who are productive before they get raises. Cause raises aren't happening at that whatever, so. Okay, that's good. Yeah, yes. Yeah, I think that's like the next standard conversation. Okay, and about a quarter of the group can be attributed to experienced workers working outside of the Seattle city limits, okay? So maybe these folks at the minimum wage maintain the same number of hours at their current job, but they also went outside the city where they were paid a bit less but could get more hours of work, okay? So they increased their take-home pay, but they did so by increasing hours of work outside of where the new minimum wage was affected. We're gonna run out of time, so. Yes. But this last bullet. Yeah, that's the key, yeah. I think that's really important. So where are we at, John, if you can scroll up. So there we are. So the office associate the minimum wage ordinance with an 8% reduction in job turnover for rates, which is a good thing, right? Employers keep their employees longer. But also a significant reduction in the rate of new entries into the workforce. So by raising the minimum wage, you're making it a little bit harder for employers to take on an inexperienced worker, right? It's just a little bit harder. But because the more experienced people aren't leaving, I have a lower rate. Yes. So there are fewer workers to turn. You're opening? No, except if you're right out of high school and you have no education for your first class. Yeah, you're probably not a second thing. Right. So it just shows you. It's trying to shave a raw individual. And there were other questions with the Seattle study as well, that again, we can see what we wanna see and hear what we wanna hear from others as well. Yes. And we'll go into pieces. So the last check, the last section we did not get to talks about the modeling. Yes. And we can read that. I think we'll have a little bit of through time on the floor today, just at some point if you feel like you can fit in a few minutes to read, I think there's probably gonna be a little bit of time to do that. Sometime between now and 10 o'clock tonight. Whatever. Thank you. Thank you. You're welcome. Thank you. Are we off? Are we off? So committee, just very quickly, I just wanted to let you know so representative Azala has been out and her partner is pregnant and is having issues with his pregnancy. So it's just a question of Deanna's with ACE and her husband with ACE. So just keep them in your thoughts and I don't know anything more than that but tough times. Thank you. Yeah, thanks.


Hey everybody, this is Brian and welcome to the 82nd Qt tutorial with C++ and GUI programming. We're just going to call this View2 and we're going to continue with the Q Graphics View. Put it in the usual location. Sorry about that. My throat is still really sore from being sick. I don't know what the deal is. Finished a full course of antibiotics and I'm still sick. Not sure what's going on with that but can't be good. Alright, let's find our Graphics View and throw that on there. Save that and now what we're going to do is we're going to actually create a custom object. Let's say we want to throw something on the scene but we want custom behavior. We want to throw a square on there and when we click the square it changes color but we can still move it around. Obviously to do that we need to, you guessed it, create our own item. So, without further ado, let's just jump right in here. Let's go add new. We're going to make class and let's just call this my square. Next, finish, finish. Alright, let's move this over here so we can see what we're doing. Grab the header for this and we're going to add a few includes here. We're going to include the Q Graphics item and we're going to just include Q Debug here. May or may not use it. I'm not sure yet to be honest with you. If we run into any major hurdles here we'll definitely use it. Alright now, first thing we want to do is we want to inherit. So we're going to say public because we want to inherit all the public parts of, you guessed it, Q Graphics item. Now the shapes that we put into the previous tutorial, the rectangle and the square, those actually inherit Q Graphics item. So we're actually just creating our own custom little object here. Going to say Q Rect F. Q Rect F, it's a floating rectangle. Basically you can use floating numbers. And we want Bounding Rect. It's going to be a const. If you're wondering where I'm getting all this from, it's directly out of the Q documentation. You can just look at Q Graphics item and there you go. I mean you got all the information you need. Pretty hefty description on how to make your own items but we're just going to cover the basics here. Now you need the Bounding Rect because the scene asks the object, hey what is your Bounding Rectangle? Now Bounding Rectangle is the outermost edges of the object. So even if you have some really funky weird looking object, you still have an outer rectangle or a Bounding Rect. And we're just going to grab this paint function here. And I already have all the little details filled in here. Let me grab these for my notes. I'm trying to save some time. I know these videos get kind of lengthy. I've had a few complaints that they get a little too long. So it's just going to fill in the variable names here just for the sake of argument. So now you notice how the paint gives us a pointer to a Q painter. Gives us a Q style option graphics item. Those are just options and the parent widget. Now those are important because, well, you need to be able to paint this thing. Now we are of course going to override the mouse stuff. I say the mouse stuff. We want to know when the mouse is pressed and we want to know when the mouse is released. So let's throw that back up here. Now we have to implement these. Let's just go ahead and jump in here and refactor these. I'm just going to add these in here really, really quick. And if you're wondering how I'm getting there is just you right click on the function name, go to refactor and then add definition and it just adds a code right in there. I found that little trick and I'm addicted to it. Now we need to add a little something in here so we know the state of our object. Object state usually becomes pretty important. So we're going to say pressed and we just want to know what's going on with this object here. So my square in the constructor, we're just going to say pressed equals false because, you know, we're not pressing it. Now we have our mouse events here. Now when the mouse is pressed, that's when the button is clicked. So we're going to say pressed equals true. We want to call update which forces this object to paint. You notice how you can give it a balance but we're just going to repaint the entire object. And then of course we want cue graphics. Cue graphics item and we want to just throw this right back up the food chain here. We're going to say mouse press event which is copy and paste all this in here and say false.  So now we know when the mouse is pressed and released. We need to tell it the bounding rectangles and we're not going to get too fancy with this. I just really want to focus on how to implement this. So cue rect and let's just say 0 0 100 100. And remember that's the bounding rectangle or the outermost edge of our shape. No matter what our shape looks like, it's the outermost edges. And then we have to implement paint. What we're going to do here is we're just going to get a cue rect and we'll just call it rec. And we're just going to get that out of our bounding rect function. So we're just returning the 0 0 100 100. And then we're going to make a brush so we can say cue brush. Maybe if I can spell it. And we're just going to real simple here cue blue. Now we want to do a little bit of logic here. We want to say if pressed. Now remember we get pressed based off the mouse state. So if it's pressed we're going to do one thing otherwise we're going to do another thing. Remember when the mouse is pressed we're setting pressed to true. When it's released press is going to false. So we're saying if it's pressed the mouse is being held down. We want to say brush. Silly me. Set color and let's say we want to do cute. We want red. So when that mouse is down we want it to be red. And when it's released we want it to be blue. Actually let's say green. Now we get our painter object and we're just going to say fill rect. Give it the rect object and give it the brush. Painter object here and then we'll say painter draw rect. And we'll just give it your rect object. We're just going to use the default pen for this tutorial. So real quick review of our class here. Jump back into the header file. We are inheriting the cue graphics item. And because of that it says right in the documentation you must implement bounding rect. Which returns a cue rect floating. And you must implement paint. We added custom boolean variable pressed. And we are overriding the mouse pressed event and mouse release event. Just so we know the state of that object. And then of course here's our object itself. And just very simply we're setting the balance to zero zero one hundred one hundred. We're just going to paint it red if it's pressed green if it's not. A very very simple object here. Alright now. Let's create open dialog.h here. Now in dialog.h of course we want to get a reference to, you guessed it, our object. So we'll say include. And first we've got to do cue core. Just going to kind of plow through this here. Of course as soon as I start speeding up my typing gets horrendous. Oops where did I get that. Let's do cue gooey. Sorry about that it's been kind of a long day here. Just got off the phone with a head hunter before I started making this video. It's a very hard time explaining to this young man that I do not want to leave my full-time job for some temporary position. It's just not happening. And we want of course cue graphics scene because we want to make a scene here. One of the few times in life you actually do want to make a scene. I know someone out there right now is probably snickering going Brian. Don't quit your day job. Comedy is not your strong suit. I'm going to say my square and we're just going to call this square. So now we've got our graphic scene and our square. What we need to do next is just very simply implement this. And this is pretty much review from what you've been doing. So I'm just going to kind of fly through this here. Get our cue graphics scene and UI, graphics view. Say set scene. So now we have our scene object. Now for the interesting part of this tutorial. What we need to do now is create our object and add it to the scene. So we're going to say square. Kind of botched that up a little bit didn't I? Now I know that somebody's going to write in and say Brian you're leaking memory right there. Yes, you're right. I am. I'm sorry. I'm going to do it just once for this tutorial. And we want to add item and notice how it's a cue graphics item. So any cue graphics item you make you can now just suddenly add to your scene. One thing we really didn't do yet. Let's find it. Is we didn't tell this object that it is movable. So I guess if you really really want to get fancy with this we could just say set flag and then you could set your flags right here. Item is movable. That way we can just add this to our application or sorry add it to the scene. And then we can move it around inside the application. Once this thing builds and runs. There we go. So there is our item. When we click it it turns red. Release it it turns green. And we can click and move it around the screen. And as you can imagine you can get pretty extravagant with some of these items. I mean it's totally you know whatever you want to do. Let's just say painter draw ellipse. And let's just give it the rect. So we're just going to draw an ellipse inside of our square here. Now it looks like we have two objects but it's actually all one object here. So you can get as complex as you want as long as it stays within the bounding wrecks here. Anyways I'm running out of time. This is Brian. Thank you for watching. I hope you found this tutorial educational entertaining. And keep up the feedback. I like hearing from you guys.


Hello, guys. Good afternoon. I'm about to go pick up food. A friend that I met down here. That's also new to the area, actually. She is in the process of starting her own online boutique. And she's new to the whole, like, social media thing. So she asked if I would meet up with her and just, like, kind of share some information, some of, like, my knowledge and experience doing social media and marketing and stuff like that. So, you know, I'm always happy to share whatever information I have. I know it can be very overwhelming when you're just getting started. And, like, for me, I went to school for media and communication. Like, that's what I have my degree in. And then after I graduated college, I did freelance in, like, the marketing field. And then I worked for an actual internet marketing company. And I did online, like, SEO stuff and social media account management and all that. So I know it can be very overwhelming. I even feel very overwhelmed sometimes. And I have, like, a little bit more, like, training and education in that field. So I can only imagine somebody who is just, like, going into a blind and has no prior experience, doesn't really know what they're doing or what they're getting into. You know, it's tough. So I'm always happy to help where I can. And hopefully I can just kind of, like, give her some tips, point her in the right direction. I'm super excited for her. I think it's so great whenever people start projects like that and want to, like, do their own little business, little side gig. I think it's awesome. So I'm going to pick up some food because I'm starving. I haven't eaten yet. And then I'm going to go over to her place. And yeah, I don't really know what the theme of this vlog is going to be. I don't know what I got going on this week. I just figured, let me bust out the camera and bring you along and we'll kind of see where the week takes us. So excited. I got sushi. I got a seaweed salad and a eel cucumber avocado roll and then a spicy crab and avocado roll. I am so excited. I've been craving sushi so much the last couple of weeks. Oh my God, just getting into my car to go inside the restaurant. It's so, it's 74 degrees right now.  Like it feels like summer already. And I'm like, dude, it's so February. I feel like I'm constantly getting reminded how much I love living here and how happy I am to be here. And I don't know, life is really good right now. And I know a lot of you guys have been commenting that you can just tell that I'm just like in a really good place right now and I am. And I'm glad it shows. Like everything is just so good, like work wise, social life wise, home like, like everything. I'm just so happy I could cry. And yeah, just an exciting time in my life right now. I'm just so content. Peony boy. I just got home and I am out of breath.  And just now I realized I forgot my camera in the car. So I ran back down to go get that. It's a lot of running up and down and it's really hot and too.  And it's like 80 degrees and humid.  I love it though. It feels so good and it's been like, the weather here has been so inconsistent and weird. Like we will randomly get like two or three days in a row where it's like in the high 60s to the 70s. Really beautiful. And then the temperature will drop back down again to like 50s or 40s. This is like one of the first days we've had where it's been like really humid. So it makes it feel a lot warmer than it is and it's not super breezy. Like it just, I know a lot of people hate humidity. I personally love it. I mean we'll see in the dead of summer if I still feel that way. But as of right now, I love it and it's making me so excited. So many people are out and a lot of people have their balcony doors open and they're like have people over and are playing music and stuff. And it's just like, it's just nice to like see people out and about. And you know, like just makes me feel so alive. I got baby carrots. I was at the store. I don't know what it is. I just find them like so refreshing and they are my favorite snack in the summertime. I burned to the roof of my mouth like a week and a half ago on a frozen pizza. And it like hasn't had a chance to heal because I keep eating like crunchy hard things and that just keep like rubbing on the roof of my mouth and irritating it. And now it's just so sore and it hurts so bad. The sushi was perfect. It was so good and satisfied my craving first of all but it was nice and soft so it like you know didn't irritate my mouth at all. I can't eat too many because I just made myself some tea in my boob cup. I had an iced coffee earlier and it just wasn't doing it for me so I think a warm beverage will feel nice for the roof of my mouth. I'm about to blast some music. We have the balcony door open. I'm gonna clean the kitchen and the living room and then I'm gonna save the bedroom and the bathroom for tomorrow because I ordered some new laundry detergent that's supposed to be coming tomorrow and I really need to wash my sheets but I want to wait and use the new detergent. I'll show you guys when it comes.  It's insanely expensive. I'm almost embarrassed to even be sharing this because I can't believe how much money I spent on laundry detergent but I was just seeing it all over social media and everyone's been talking like all the reviews say how this stuff smells so amazing and the scent lasts and everybody gets so many compliments on the smell of their clothes so it just intrigued me and I really wanted to try it so I will show you hopefully it does come tomorrow it says it's supposed to. That's it. Those are all the updates. Okay, I'm gonna change and clean now. Vlog to tell you about today's sponsor Magic Spoon.  This is like the grown-up version of it. 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So you can use code SAMVAY to get $5 off any order and you don't have to worry they're so confident in their product that they are backed by a 100% happiness guarantee. So if you don't like the cereal for any reason you can send it back no questions asked and get a full refund. So yeah check out the description for the link and my code and thank you so much Magic Spoon for sponsoring this portion of the vlog.  Good morning. It's Saturday. I was planning on staying home for most of the day and finishing cleaning the apartment but I got a call from one of my friends inviting me out. I was gonna meet up with her and a few people for dinner tonight but she asked if I wanted to hang out during the day too and I mean I could clean anytime you know and especially now that I'm working from home for myself which I love. I feel like it's kind of the opposite of what my social schedule used to be like. When I was working in a salon I was around people constantly during the week so then when the weekend came around I needed that alone time to like recharge and I feel like I wasn't going out I wasn't being a social because I was around people all the time at work and by the time my friends wanted to go out and do stuff I was just kind of exhausted and wanted to stay home and just like sit in silence you know but now that I get the silence during the week and I have my alone time to concentrate on my work and be by myself clean, run errands, do whatever I want my weekends are totally free and by the time the weekend comes around I'm ready to go out and socialize which is good being in a new town because I need to do that like in order for me to meet people and make friends I have to be willing to leave my apartment you know so anyway I'm gonna do like a full face of makeup later tonight probably when we go to dinner but just for the daytime I don't want to do anything crazy but I figured just to make myself look like a little bit fresh and alive I did the Tarte CC under eye corrector just applied a little bit of that under my eyes just to kind of correct the dark circles a bit but it's like light and natural enough that you can't really tell you have anything on I just applied some moisturizer now I'm gonna take the Ole Henriksen Banana Bright Face Primer I'm gonna take a pump of that and then a little bit of the Super Goop Glow Screen I had used this combo in my last vlog when I was doing my makeup and it just reminded me how much I love these products so I'm just rubbing them in my hands and putting that all over to give me that SPF sun protection but also they're both like really glowy products so it adds a nice glow to the skin and like it doesn't have any coverage necessarily but I feel like it just kinda slightly evens out your skin tone a little bit but in a natural way so that it doesn't actually look like you have on makeup now I'm just taking a little bit of blush this is the NYX Ombre Blush and I'm just barely touching my cheeks like literally this is barely making contact with my skin because this blush can be a little bit intense which I like because I love like a super blushed out look when I'm doing a full face makeup but when I'm going for like a natural no makeup kind of look I don't want it to be like obvious and look crazy so just tapping that on the cheeks a little bit on the nose and then the last thing I'm going to do is some brow gel one of the things I was going to do after I finished cleaning was tint my brows because they're like totally faded at this point completely forgot so um whatever I'll just do that tomorrow and I'll just have to fill them in a little bit more tonight when I go out but this is the Benefit Gimmie Brow Brow Gel and just run a little bit of this throw them just to like darken them up add a little bit of color and kind of tame them a bit so you can still see my skin you know like my imperfections and whatnot but it just like does a little something it makes me look a little bit more like fresh unless like I just crawled out of bed you know I'm going to blow dry my hair really quick and then I'll show you what I'm going to be wearing here's what I'm wearing let me bump up this brightness I have a big loose oversized t-shirt from Urban Outfitters my absolute favorite America no Abercrombie Abercrombie mom jeans new combat boots that I just got in the last vlog from H&M and this Shackit the brand is called Joey I don't know I found it at TJ Maxx super sunny out today but it's kind of breezy and I think the highs only supposed to be like 60 so just bringing this in case my vlog is from Target and I just have my plain Ray-Ban sunglasses that is the daytime look I'm not going to vlog while I'm out but I will show you guys when I get back when I change for my dinner look I'll show you my outfit for that just ran home and changed really quick I made a mess it was one of those moments where I was kind of rushing and I had an idea in my mind of what I might want to wear but I wasn't totally sure so here's what we got leather jacket from H&M this dress underneath I've had for a really long time I honestly couldn't even tell you where it's from and you can't tell it looks kind of black on camera but it's a really dark green and then my combat boots that I was wearing earlier so yeah we're going to hang out in pregame then go to dinner then go out so it should be a fun night I did some more makeup it was kind of like my go to neutral kind of look so yeah I'm excited feel cute I'm excited to have a fun night I will see you tomorrow good morning it's actually Monday now I ended up having a really fun weekend and then yesterday I was planning on cleaning but my friend and I recorded an episode for our podcast and I ended up going and hanging out with the same friends that I was out with on Saturday so I never ended up getting around to washing my laundry but my fancy expensive detergent arrived and I haven't taken it out of the box yet some of you guys I'm sure have seen this already because supposedly it's like been blowing up on tiktok I saw it in a couple of blogs on YouTube and when I was reading the reviews everyone was like oh my god this is the best smelling detergent ever it makes all of my clothes smell so good and the scent lasts and every time I'm out and about people are always complimenting me on how I smell and I'm all about scents I love perfume and all that so I was just very intrigued the glamorous wash in the diva scent from Tyler candle company it was expensive it says shake gently let's shake it up and smell it and see if it's actually as amazing as everybody says and this is not going to be like my regular detergent I'm not going to be spending this kind of money on a regular basis for a laundry detergent but I just really really was curious to try it I need to actually use it on my clothes and see how it smells on the clothing but I don't know this is not what I was expecting I honestly all I smell is mangoes like if you were to go to the grocery store and just hold up a mango and smell the skin of it that's the best way I could describe what I'm smelling right now okay well we're going to try it out and see how it goes and you know everybody's been raving about this so much maybe I'm going to save you a shit ton of money if it ends up not really being worth the hype I ordered it directly from the brand's website though because I know they do sell it on Amazon but I saw some reviews that were saying like oh this isn't the real thing this is watered down so I wanted to make sure that I was getting like the real product so my blanket better be smelling good as fuck okay it's a little while later I'm about to take a load of clothes out of the dryer do a sniff test it's the moment of truth it definitely smells like very fragrant but I don't know that I love the smell honestly like it almost kind of gives me an old lady vibe but now that it's like actually on the clothes and I'm not just smelling it straight out of the bottle it almost has like a little bit of a smoky smell too like a smoky woodsy but it also I don't know like it just kind of reminds me of like church with a little bit of old lady but I don't know I mean we'll see let everything air out a little bit maybe I'll like the smell better like after you know it's been lingering a little bit and I'm curious to see like does the smell actually truly last in the clothes I can't say that I hate it but is it worth the price absolutely not and I know some people are like yeah bitch of course it's not it's fucking laundry detergent I just was very curious to try it okay and I don't understand the hype I really really don't like everybody was talking about how good this stuff smelled and how it was like oh my god game changer at the park oh my god you're gonna go play you're gonna go see your friends oh my god are you excited okay good morning it's Wednesday right yes I didn't vlog at all yesterday because I was literally just working all day long like there was nothing interesting to vlog I was just on the couch on my laptop pretty much from the time I woke up until like 8 or 9pm I'm one of those people that I cannot just like working hours for myself that's why I really love being able to do what I do and just like working for myself and being on my own schedule because there are some days where I don't want to work at all some days where I only feel like doing work for like an hour or two and then there's other days where I get so deep in what I'm doing that hours will go by and I'm just still sitting in the same spot but I honestly do prefer the days where I just sit there for like 10 hours straight and just get a whole bunch of stuff done so that way I have more days where I can just chill and not have to worry about work or go out if I want you know I do still have a few things I need to get done this week and actually this week we decided to do a bonus episode for our podcast which if you didn't know I have a podcast with my best friend Julia it's just like a weekly girl chat kind of thing we talked about a whole bunch of different stuff a lot of like dating and relationship sex type stuff but we normally just post an episode every Thursday and this week we decided we had a little extra time so we posted a bonus episode that went up yesterday but now we still have to post our regular Thursday episode tomorrow and I haven't edited that yet so hopefully though I feel like when we recorded the episode like there's been some we're just starting I mean this is we only have three episodes up so far but definitely the first two I feel like it was new for us so we didn't flow as well so it required me to edit more because there were just more periods of time where like there was a long pause or we were kind of like stumbling on our words and didn't really know what to say but this one that's going up tomorrow I remember as we were recording it I was thinking like oh this is gonna be super easy to edit because I don't really have to cut much out like I can just leave pretty much the entire thing as is though I think it's the longest episode we've recorded so far it's like an hour and a half long so I have to sit through that full hour and a half listening to the whole thing back so yeah I'm gonna either work on that tonight or tomorrow morning or maybe split it up but it is just so nice out today and especially because I didn't go out at all yesterday I was literally just working non-stop I want to give myself a little bit of a break and I want to be able to go out and enjoy the weather I mean a big reason why I moved down here and left Pennsylvania was so I could have nicer warmer weather be by the beach so it's super warm and humid and nice outside perfect beach day so I'm not gonna waste it I'm gonna go enjoy myself and also I feel like I've been very sedentary I haven't worked out the last few days and it just always makes me feel like so gross and blah so I feel like I just need to get my body moving get a little sweat so going on a nice long walk on the beach with my dog getting my vitamin D getting to enjoy the warm weather taking Benny on a walk getting my own exercise enjoying the beach doing lots of things for my mental health we're killing multiple birds with one stone so I am all SPFed up I'm gonna go get dressed so excited let's go here's the beach fit airy shorts airy crop top actually now that I think about it Amazon pillow slides which actually I love these so much and I've been wearing them to death so I just ordered a black pair this morning we went to the dog park the other night as you saw and I still haven't given him a bath because I was planning on going to the beach at some point this week so he's already all dirty and gross and we'll probably be getting a bath when we get back right your dreaded word alright let's go a different beach than where we usually go this one's only like a couple minutes further but there's like literally no one here there's a lot of people like back by the pier but where we're walking right now literally no one so it's nice I feel like the sand here is softer than the beach we normally go to though because we've been here like maybe 5 minutes and already I'm like whoo tired like cats are feeling it but it's good it's gonna be a good workout this is so nice day it's like humid and warm but that breeze I feel so good beach house is so beautiful believe that I seriously live here do you love it here do you love it here so we were walking on the beach and it was really funny because I wasn't originally planning to go to the beach I was gonna just go to the one that we normally go to but then I was like in the mood to just keep driving and I was like you know let's try something a little bit different so I went to the next one over and a few minutes into being there we're just walking along and the sky is like walking the opposite direction and of course Benny is like trying to run over to go see his dog and the guy is like oh you know they can say hello alright and then I don't know he started talking to me and he was super nice and cute and then he asked for my number and asked me if I wanted to go to dinner sometime this week and I don't know I don't know how I feel but I just thought that it was like really funny like one of those straight out of a movie kind of situations love my best life guys but I just hopped in the tub really quick to rinse off my feet because they were covered in sand I didn't realize that the little thing for the shower was like slightly pulled up and all of a sudden water just started coming out of like the shower head right onto me as I was like holding my phone like watching a video trying to just rinse off my feet and now I am soaked high it's the next day it is currently almost 3.30 and I feel like I mean I got stuff done because I was working this whole entire time but it's just I don't know it's a weird day like I woke up took Benny out made some coffee and then I was like okay I need to edit the podcast because it has to go up today so let me get that out of the way really quick and then I can like start my day and do everything else that I wanted to do and now it's 3.30 and I'm like I'm just starting my day the episode this week was the body image episode and it was so long like our longest episode so far it's an almost 2 hour long episode anyway I really I'm just in the mood to do my makeup so random I have nowhere to go I'm not planning on leaving the apartment but I just kind of feel like putting some makeup on and taking Instagram pictures here's the before here's the after and before anybody asks about the lip color or eyeshadow I've literally just mixed a bunch of crap together just trying to go for like a peachy nudie kind of look and then I just put my hair in like a little ponytail kind of fluffed it out a bit and these hoops are from XIXI hello it is currently Sunday night I just finished editing this vlog that you're watching I'm reading up until this point obviously and I realized I just kind of stopped vlogging and never concluded anything or filmed an outro this vlog was kind of all over the place it kind of feels like just random clips from random days so I'm sorry about that I feel like my life has just been all over the place the past month or so there's been a lot going on in my personal life as far as socializing and going on dates and just trying to meet people and just get familiar with my new town and it's been a little bit difficult because when I'm hanging out with new people I'm not going to bring a camera with me and put it in their face and be vlogging things that we're doing so I haven't been doing the best job vlogging and youtube work related things and social life stuff so I'm trying to get used to things and adjust and be better about it so I apologize I feel I don't know I mean I'm hoping that you guys are still enjoying the vlogs anyway but I just have been feeling hard on myself because I feel like I haven't been doing my best at them I haven't been like as consistent and I promise I will try to be a little bit better I'm excited to start fresh tomorrow is a Monday so new week fresh start I'm going to start a new vlog actually tonight and there's a lot of stuff that I want to get done this week so it should be a good one so stay tuned thank you guys so much for watching don't forget to check the description for my link and discount code to magic spoon and I'll see you really soon in my next video bye


Hey guys, welcome back to come again. I'm Shannon and today on This week's pop review. I'm gonna be reviewing the pop heroes number 67 the phantom vinyl figure This is the original not a repaint Not a special edition. This is the original phantom the purple suits so stay tuned All right guys, welcome back as I said today, I'm gonna be reviewing the pop heroes 67 the phantom vinyl figure and once again, this is the original. This is the main phantom you got the purple outfit with the Violet and black trunks Not a repaint not a special edition. This is the original As you can see here, you got him peeking up from the bottom On the back you got the phantom You got the bad mark and the good mark the phantom the logo icon collectibles Then there he is on the side now, let's go ahead and open the box up and take a look inside Hmm Okay, so first things first the clamshell does not snap together some of them do some of them don't but here he is the phantom and I was a little surprised in this figure. I really like the phantom. I've been a big fan ever since Phantom 2040 if you guys remember that TV that cartoon back in the day on Fox kids and Of course the Billy zane movie but You got quite a bit of paint bleeding here on The widow's peak of the hood or of the cowl got some paint bleeding there on the mask Kind of a sloppy paint job on the head You got some scuff marks there and unlike some of the other pops He does have kind of a very Squishy style head I Think he's probably one of the earlier pops Very generic head mold I Kind of disappointed in it because a lot of the others I've seen are I Have are a little bit harder plastic. This is you can tell it's hollow Hold it up to the microphone Other than that not bad You got his skull belt You got the violet and black striped trunks You got his guns on his belt which As mentioned in sci-fi is the phantom miniseries The phantom never shoots to kill the phantom only shoots in to disarm so and here you have Some nice detail on his rings you got the good mark on his left hand Which is the ring he gives to his allies that shows that they're protected by By the phantom see if I can get a closer look in on that It's for connecting peas into the shape of a cross and On his left hand the hand he uses or on his right hand. I'm sorry the hand. He uses to punch with The hand he uses to mark his victims the bad ring the skull ring This is the ring That he Brands his victims with Nice detail did a pretty good job the paint is Does kind of bleed off onto the rings If I can get this to lock on to it So yeah, the paint does bleed off, but very nice sculptures. They got the details perfectly Which is pretty Unusual for toys or collectibles because it's very hard to sculpt such little details With green lantern figures They just kind of do a green a plain green ring. They don't ever carve out the actual lantern in it But as you can see It's carbs. It's sculpted perfectly See, I don't know how well you guys can see that There we go there very nice the skull the skull on his belt straight purple on the back with the violet and Black stripes black boots white eyes and black mask Very nice figure This was one of my grails this I've I've been wanting the Phantom Since before I started collecting pops I ordered him off of Amazon Very nice. I'm gonna get the other four Phantom Other three or four Phantoms you've got the The red paint job Phantom. You've got the blue paint job Phantom and you've got the Newspaper strip Phantom the black and white And I'm not sure I don't I Don't know if they've made others or not could be wrong But yeah, I want to get them all I really wish Funko Pop would create the shadow as a pop vinyl. I think that'd be really cool Maybe even the green hornet and Cato Let's see they've got flash Gordon they need to do mandrake the magician Maybe the black bat Zorro spider Get all those dynamite characters in there all the old pulp heroes in there I think that'd be really cool. It'd be nice to have them all displayed side-by-side I Think maybe one of my next pops. I order will be possibly flash Gordon from the King from the Kings features Created by Lee Falk Just like the phantom just like mandrake the magician which For mandrake the magician All they would really need to do is Take a tusk tuxedo mask figure Remove the rose From his hand and remove the mask give him a mustache and that would pretty much be mandrake the magician Maybe a little slightly different paint, but yeah, I mean that would that would be mandrake the magician For the shadow the shadow might be a little bit more difficult to do You would really have to Custom make it Because he's got the hat he's got the cloak the the coat the cape the The scarf around his face And you'd have to do the nose perfectly because that's one of his iconic features To show the silhouette the nose always sticks out So I can understand why they haven't done him yet They probably haven't figured out how to turn him into a Funko pop But still they need to work on that. I really want to see the shadow as a pop final So there you have it guys this week's pop review once again I'm Shannon. We release pop reviews every Tuesdays at 5 a.m. Central Standard Time So you have all day to watch them and they're already added to a playlist so you can go back and watch all of our pop reviews I Film multiple reviews at one time Previously, I just reviewed the Lightning pop vinyl from Big Trouble in Little China This review will probably be Published July, maybe August that's how far ahead I am on reviews every time I get new pops I do a review I Record I film it I upload it and Schedule it for publication and it gets published on one of the pre-selected Tuesdays So I think right now I'm up to about August So yeah Like I said guys, this was the pop heroes the phantom number 67 vinyl figure Take care