Welcome to the Jenkins documentation office hours it's 29th of March. So today's agenda I've got she code Africa contributon Jenkins docs monthly metrics from the docs sign notes, and then the actual data from those. Any other topics you want to put on the list make that so you had mentioned that we might want to talk about review user feedback from the Jenkins.io site. And that's part of that is actually included in this contributon but let's we could do that separately as well. I don't know what the process is I don't know if somebody goes through when you see stuff and file issues for later and I mean sometimes you see things that oh I can fix that or whatever but. And that's exactly right in fact that user feedback is one was one of the key drivers for what we're doing in contributon. Okay, so let's let's they fit very nicely together they dovetail really well. All right, so the contributon reminder for their own it's it's by the way it's right on the top level front page now we put it on the jumbotron. Oh yeah. So here is here's the contributon we will take it down from the jumbotron in a few days. Okay, more info is available here. And, and what we're doing is so we use the feedback sheet that you were mentioning in in this so here is the detailed feedback sheet. This collects comments from all the way back in November of 2017 up to just today actually. We have received feedback today on and yesterday so one point of feedback each there, and we use that feedback as a way to identify a series of tasks. We're going to invite these women from she code Africa to be involved in. And those tasks are in helping us improve the pipeline steps reference, and the pipeline online help with more examples, and better description of step return values and step arguments. So the crucial thing here is that this thing will start actually on Thursday the first right so we're going to we're going to start that. Zina Boba car has stated that she will schedule in a launch session for us. Meg, it may not be at a time that works well for you. I don't know and that's okay. Zina was going to I think she was proposing to put it during our Thursday office hours time. I think it's about six in the morning my time or something. And no it's it, but it is. It's more like seven or eight in the morning so it's even less likely that you're functional. Right so it's, it's, I might try to do it. Let me see. Up to you. It's, it's a it's at the end is tough, but it might be fun to be there for the kickoff. Great. So, and now she did request. They had enough, enough funding to fund additional women to assist. And so whereas we had proposed, we had initially proposed three that we would mentor three on the task. I talked with Kristen and with others and confirmed that hey we think we can, they will, they will provide nine. Wow. So we will mentor them. Then these nine women. So, in the tasks. So it's the, the idea now, if one of the points there was if they run out of things now, let's let's talk about what that would mean running out of things because the, for me that will be absolutely interesting if they run out because let's see where is our task sheet. There's so many steps and exactly, and that's that's precisely it now where is the somewhere in this document there is a link to the pivot table here we go. This pivot table is is created from the, you have to go to the pivot table form. Okay, in this pivot table we have the list of how many people, how many items of feedback there were by page. And it's filtered so it's only showing pipeline steps. And you see that I'm scrolling. Yeah, we've got lots and lots of places where people have given feedback on pipeline steps saying, and if we look at the columns here. And that almost all of them were either listed as unhelpful or not that helpful meaning every one of these needs some improvement. There are some, it's not all that are that way but very many of them are. Hey, for instance, there are, there are the vast majority of them in the first 20 in the bottom 20 or so so the highest 20 are all on the unhelpful or not helpful to improve in every case. You know, if these nine women close all of these I think we let them take the rest of the money and have a holiday. Well, well so so Zina actually had a better suggestion than that hers was. If we resolve faster or more than expected, then they are willing to assist with terminology improvements. And the benefit there is that because many of the terminology improvements need to be done inside plugins. Those improvements would need these same skills anyway, you've got to be able to compile a plug in loaded into Jenkins, see that your change to the terminology did not did not break things, and that it's still presented to the user correctly. So we get, we get benefit. If they're faster than we expect, then we'll have them assist with the terminology improvement project as well. Back to the pivot table and those things. Do we have any way of marking those that this has been resolved or something like that so that is that table going to look different after we do all of this work. If it comes in in six months is going to see that the steps documentation is a disaster. So, the pivot table won't be updated because it's just a snapshot in time of the data and it's a snapshot of what I did was take a separate copy that's why it's declared copy of that copy and and used it because I needed to do the analysis. I don't know if these resolve know but I think we've got a system that we will need to do which is have some way that they can declare that they are working on a particular thing. And it may just be that we have them put their name here over on the right hand side and say, okay, I am, I am the person working on this one. I'm going to map to a GitHub issue right. Well, most of these probably are not actually tracking issues in GitHub we might do that's a good point we might want to do it as a Jira issue. And, and that, maybe that's even a better way to say it is Jira. Jira issue. And then owner or author or yeah so. I'm also using Jira. Yes, yes, so it uses Jira to track bugs and so the Jira issue here, one of the one of the instructions we give them is to submit a to create a Jira issue for their right where was it. Because I remember you guided me on that I like that a lot. It was issue. Here we go submit an issue to report the missing online help. It's specific. I was thinking GitHub issue when I said it so. Ah, right. So let's we should say if it's Jira issue let's make it a Jira issue. Well and that's why it's saying on the Jenkins issue tracker. Okay. So the intent is, they need to support an issue submit an issue and it will be through the Jenkins the Jenkins issue tracker. And the assumption that that the Jenkins issue tracker has is the place where this particular plugins are tracking their bugs, and for most of them, that's expected to be the case. I haven't checked every one of them, but in general plugins track their issues in in Jira rather than in GitHub issues. Okay, good. Okay. And then that I mean if I come in, if I come and look at this in a year, at least then I see the ticket. And if I'm worried about I can click on the ticket and see if it was, you know, close now or still open or whatever. Correct. Right. So the idea is, hey, we'll create a Jira issue here, link to it so. And then the owner tells us who was working on it. We can use that those two pieces of information to help us understand what's happening. Yes. Maybe what we say is developer developer slash author. Good. Okay, so, so thus far we've, we've been through that those two things there. And I assume that this is the kind of thing that we'll need to present. I think Xenobo likely I think call on me to, to describe how they're going to do this and what they're going to do how that how the contributors will do it. Actually, let's call it a participant. There we go. Okay. What happened to digest. I just lose my filter. No. Okay, good. It's just showing. All right, got it. It's in the pivot table and out. Okay. So again, that's now the, the tasks that we've got for pipeline example improvements are quite well defined. Right. Those pipeline example tasks are, all right, reasonably detailed. The, if we get to technology improvements, or to terminology improvements, we don't have a detailed breakdown there and that will require more interaction between us and them because there are some places where they simply cannot do a terminology update.  Right. So, so we're, we're not ready to do that, but text messages and strings we can, and that's where we've got to, got to be sure that they understand if we get to that, but hey, this is, this is how you do it and where you can't do it. Mm hmm. Okay, let's see anything else on the, oh, I should make a note there. So, are we do we have more people to help with mentoring I saw Angelica did anybody have an Angelica. Yes, yes, so we've got launch session on Thursday. And we've got additional volunteers, additional mentoring volunteers. So, Angelica, your own like Nanash of now neither of them have said who will be there every week, but both of them have offered to assist if there are specific questions or specific needs, and they're both active plugin developers who have maintained plugins and understand some of the challenges that go with developing a plugin. I mean, Oleg's got so much going on Angelica might be willing to just join in. Yeah, she she what she said her phrasing was she was not willing to commit, but was happy to assist. Okay. Nothing else having somebody like her just review the PRs would probably be invaluable. Exactly. And that's that's that's that is very real. Right. These, these pull requests, particularly early pull requests will probably need more more changes more corrections than than likely later pull requests and that's where we really could use her help and help from others to say, ah, this is this was good. No, you need to change this instead to be this other thing. Yes. Okay, good. Anything else on she called Africa. That looks good. Do we know how many hits that page is getting on Jenkins. Just curious if if I do not that's a fair question but I don't. I don't regularly look at I'm not sure how I would dig out the Google page, the page hits. I think the art liberal and me is just I think this is a cool project it would be nice if they got a little more. I agree. Well, and that's why that's why I was so so enamored with the idea of putting it on the, put it on the front page. Right. One more. One more way to try to persuade people come help us. Yeah. All right. So next topic was review your feedback so let's. Two different sources of user feedback so there are GitHub issues. And then there are recent comments in the sheet. And let me open up the feedback sheet box feedback details here we go. Okay so we'll embed a link to that into the that one and then for GitHub issues. We go here. And we'll take a look at this one. Okay, good. All right, so how about let's take a look at them both. Okay. Most recent bug reports, 10 days ago, and about six weeks ago on one on on an issue with a doctor based tutorial on a particular environment that works on other environments. So is that a bug in the doctors that to that Debbie and testing environment. I don't know which, because that that strange, this strange mount point does not exist message doesn't help happen on Debbie and 10 on the released version of Devin Debbie and it only happens on the pre release, the next version. I don't know if that means it we will be broken when this next version releases in the next few months. Right. We, they will fix it before we release in the next few months I, I don't know I've, I've seen the message I recorded it that look. This is what it says and I can't explain it. And then I confirmed that it works just fine on Debbie and 10. So on the official release version of Debbie. But how does this work to the, the people who are doing the new Debbie inversion do they automatically know that this is here. They don't, and there is, but my attempts to use their bug reporting system all went down in complete flames. It's, it's a, it's more complicated than my skills were ready to do. Then that means it's really complicated because of it. Well, it was just it was, it was, they really they wanted a certain set of things that my Debian systems don't have for instance they wanted ability to send email publicly, and it's like oh I don't configure my machines to be able to send email because I don't want them to be used for spam. Right. Yeah. And so, so, but it's a good point I should. I probably ought to ask attempt to tweet it somewhere just to say hey, I couldn't figure out how to get to report a bug but there's this difference in behavior between Debbie and 10 and Debbie and 11 in the docker packaging that might be of interest. Right. So let me make a note to myself. It's a complicated world. I wanted to tweet about a Debian 10 difference Debian, a difference between Debian 10 occur and Debian 11. And it's, it's not a shock that there's a difference because docker is is in fact, a separate product right it's, it's documented how do you do it. How do you use it. And they haven't written their documentation for how to do it with Debian 11 on the docker site, the official all I'm using is a docker package that's provided by the Debian project. Right. It behaves at least somewhat differently in this case and the somewhat differently gets in our way. All right so that's that's a good action item for me let me put that. Got it. Okay. Now, other feedback. Back to taking a look at it so this pipeline syntax page has an error is is what they're asking for is, and it's a good fit for general documentation saying hey, it's saying something more. That's incorrect in certain ways. Hey, it would be better if we could correct it to be more precise. The next one down is actually a request for an entire category of documentation on the rest API and there's a project in Google Summer of Code. That is a project idea in Google Summer of Code that proposes to automate the generation of Jenkins rest API documentation. And so that's this is this is really this could be years of work to describe all of the Jenkins rest API endpoints. And those kinds of things. Now we're getting into feedback that arrived last year on for instance, our engine X reverse proxy configuration page needs this needs somebody who knows the engine X configuration set up very very well and can as an expert evaluate hey is this correct or not. Right. And that's that's not me I'm a happy user of engine X, but I am certainly not configuration expert enough to know if it's absolutely right so those are the kinds of things that. And then we've got a bunch of things from Jonathan's creation of migration steps that just need someone to work on them. So that's the that's the view from GitHub. Now the view from the. And okay so just for clarity the GitHub page comes from this Jenkins here we go so if I look at, let's say the installing Jenkins page, improve this page takes me to get up. And report a problem. Takes me to get up to report an issue. Okay, those those are those are the two sources these two links down here at the bottom of the page are the two sources of GitHub issue entries. Right, or GitHub poll requests. This link right here was this page helpful is the one that feeds into the spreadsheet. Right. So I can say yes or no. Or I can open up this form. And now it asked me for more details. And that those details get inserted into this sheet here. All right. Now, the. Ultimately we we get one or two of these, maybe three a week. So it's, it's there are not a lot of people who give them give this feedback to us, but the feedback that we've got because it's across three plus years four plus years now is helpful in guiding all right where should we where are people continuing to make comments and how can we use that. Right. Most recently, for example, this row right here 1072 and let's see if I can make this big enough to actually read. The user said hey it was modeling moderately helpful, and they asked, is there a type of here should this say something different. So I actually opened it up and looked at it. And their question was, it says now available. Not available. Yeah. And their question was should it say now available. I can tell the page is correct it says, let's make this big enough to read. Okay, so it's describing the navigation bar in blue ocean. There's the logo pipelines, administration and it says this button is not available if you do not have administrator permission. And I think that's correctly stated, right. I mean, yeah. If this said now available that that for me would be wrong. Right. Good. So, so, yes, they gave us feedback. There isn't any way for us to say, oh, we're done with this feedback we've processed it. I don't have right permission to this sheet and I actually don't want right permission. The sheet is interestingly enough Meg owned apparently by Tammy Fox. Interesting. Yeah, I'm not entirely sure how she ended up owning it. Giles implemented this didn't he, he did work for her. Okay, that's it so as as his, his transition, his ownership of a transition to her somehow. Yeah, maybe he kept owning it and then when he left the company everything just went to her. Yeah, maybe I've, I've considered asking her to give me permission to it, but, but read only has been just fine actually thus far that the feedback is not so frequent, or so, or so brutal that I don't just can't just, you know, there's there's some, there's some profanity in it and there's some times when it's a little indelicate, but, but in general it's been okay. I suspect she'd happily give up, give it up. Yeah, yeah. She's not a big fan of open source and fan or not in this case it's, this is not a page I'm sure that she interacts with at all and so right. So, but as an example, this this last feedback is one that we know is an issue. The Hello World tour this pipeline tour is is sort of it's what's clicked through the guided tour. And it's riddled with challenges because it describes things in completely imperfectly and makes assumptions that, oh you've already installed the Docker plugin. But we forgot to tell you to do that. And, and those kinds of things that that it's this one is is a is not a great experience for a first time user and we wish it were but these using the build tools tends to be a much better experience for first time users. However, they are much much more detailed right I mean they are just full of do this and do this and do this. Right. So that first pipeline tutorial might have been Giles's first project when he started and it's a it's a it's a fine project in terms of what it does and, and but it's still it has some assumptions about what did you do in this as you were getting to this point and those assumptions are not always valid. So the follow the instructions to complete the installation is there are several paths you could take while still saying you follow the instructions and only only one of those paths will actually arrive at functional a functional pipeline. Right. All right, so let's, let's back out from here. Here the for me the message inside the user feedback continues. Give more pipeline examples and pipeline docs. And I still think that is an indicator of not not realizing many users. They don't realize that the syntax generate the snippet generated exists. They think they need to read the documentation as a man page and create the code right from the man pages like that's right. That's not what you need to do. And then the other and the other thing I think I, I hate these hello world things I don't think they're valid. I like the, the skeleton we start out with in the class actually where they do a series of echo statements. That say here's where we're going to build and here's we're going to test. I think that's a much better, you know, high level intro than doing hello world, because hello world has nothing to do with what we're doing here. Yeah, good point. Right. Yeah, and that's, and that's, that's more specific to the, the tutorial, the guided tour is is. That's it poorly, poorly described or needs more details. Right. Because I have just for myself I mean I know a lot of this stuff now sort of because I've written about a lot of pieces of it and read a lot of it. And then if I go look at the Jenkins files that are being used to build our docs I have no idea what they're doing. Oh, it makes no sense to me. And that's what I need not, not detail not great details like this is the syntax of this step but why, why does this Jenkins file look like this. And some of it's going to be that it's calling shared library it's calling a shared library function here and you know that level sort of a 50,000 mile perspective but detailed. Right. So a higher level view with enough deep detail to be clear. Lots and lots and lots of links, you know, right. But I look at them and like, I don't see a lot of lines that have steps and, you know, um, there's some stuff that I've that I know about so there's there's a whole art here to these Jenkins files that is not being captured anywhere. Right. Yeah, good point. Very good. Yep. Okay. And meanwhile, well, no comment. I would say that when we're not being recorded. Okay. All right. So anything else on oops, excuse my scrolling, anything else on user feedback. No, that looks good. Okay, so next piece was monthly metrics from the doc signal. So one of the things that we'd started in the doc special interest group. Since it began, we've been using various forms of measurements as a way to see, are we healthy or not in terms of how we're processing contributions to the Jenkins project. And so that's what this is trying to do is help us see how are we doing so first thing at the end of each month. And of each month. Before doc sig meeting, our gathers metrics and publishes them. And so we have a record for the last 1218 maybe 24 months of these kinds of these kinds of measurements. Okay. And they're retained in the doc sig meeting notes. So that we haven't archived. So here's the story. And so first piece was what's our GitHub issue picture look like and this is, are we being overwhelmed by issues that are arriving. And this month we have 112 open. Last month we had 114. Okay. So we stayed current with issue reports we didn't grow significantly that's a total number open not the number of new ones filed. Correct. Right. That's right. And if we looked, let's go ahead and look at that number now that's a good question because we probably ought to add that. I think that data is available if I look at insights here let's look at issues first so closed and if we filter by. I'm not sure I know how to filter by last month. So I think there's a way that we could do that. See which ones have been closed if I look at the list of closed. So here we've got closed nine days ago 14 days ago 12 days ago 10 days ago 26 days ago 26 days ago. So we've got 123456 that we've closed in the last month. Right. And therefore we must have not had more than that opened in the last month. Right. Consider adding progress. Be about these statistics watching all the COVID news. Yeah, you know, you give me better numbers, better numbers. Exactly. And that's, oh, excuse me. Didn't mean to sneeze into the microphone there. It's a very nice. No, no, I have, I have Tom sneezes or leave. Okay. Very good. No, just, just an hour out walking so fresh air. Yep. So this graph is, is gathered by the dev stats site provided for us by the Linux foundation. What they do is they look at GitHub and extract from GitHub from the Jenkins.io site. The time before commits or activities from someone other than the author of a poll request. So how long between the time someone submits a poll request and the first response from somebody else. And this is a view over the last two years. The range on the left ranging from up to three weeks at the, at the sort of three, three weeks at this at the peak to zero. Right down to no time or in this case, a hundred, a tenth of an hour. So what we see here is that we had wider variation. We've stabilized that over a period from early 2020, all the way towards the end of 2020 where now we're attending during 2021 down here in the typically our 85th, 85th percentile says that we are in the two to four hours maximum before someone gets a response to a poll request. That's great. It is. And this is this is largely thanks to Markey Jackson. I wish I could claim something other than that, but he does a great job of giving feedback very rapidly on poll requests. So what is it a request if I file a poll request or oh no. These are poor. Never mind. I was going to ask about the ones that the person who filed it. No, that would never mind. Go ahead and ask your question. I was thinking about JIRA tickets. If I file a JIRA ticket and then turn around and fix it. Is that off the picture? Oh, and it's not because it's still a PR. And somebody's still playing. Well, yeah. This does not show JIRA interactions at all. This is just looking at GitHub. That's what I just figured out. Right. Slow. I'm waking up slowly today. No, no, that's, that's great. So, so that picture for me right now says, okay, this data says that we're reasonably healthy. Right. We're prompt in our response to. In our first responses to a poll request arriving. And that big peak we've gotten January is still less than 24 hours. Right. That's correct. So this one. It was actually the peak here is. Why? Now I'm not sure I understand what I'm seeing there because as I hover over this. Over that. Oh, there we go. Okay. I just have to hover a little more carefully. The peak there is 13 hours. And so that's still less than a day. And that's 85th percentile. The, the median time is still. 10 minutes. Right. 10% or 10% of an hour. You must have had a couple of really big nasty ones come in or something. Well, or somebody took some sleep. Yeah. I'm amazed that that number is not 24 hours because. Hey, we get contributions. We can receive. Contributions 24 hours a day. And most of us don't work 24 hours a day. So either most of those contributions are coming in at a time that somebody is on. Or we've got people around the world watching and responding. Right. It's a little bit of both, right? Exactly. Yeah. I think that's the bulk of the bulk of the submissions probably come from geographies where there are people watching, right? Yeah. Correct. Right. So the bulk of the submissions are coming from time zones where we also have people watching. Yeah. So this is good. Okay. So time from PR to engagement. Now, time from PR open to merge is one that is not as good a story, but it's still a useful story. So let's. Hear what we, if we look at the live graph so we can see it full screen. The axes here. So seven day moving average. Of time from opened to merge. So that's the, that's the, the question, right? Is how long does it take for us to get to that? So that's the, that's the question, right? Is how long does it take for us to get from open to merge? And the measurement on the left is for the green line. So the axis on the left ranges from zero to six weeks. All right. And that's the 85th percentile on time to merge. And the axis on the right is the 15th percentile. On time to merge. So this is the very bottom picture here, the bottom number. So. If I look at this. Right now, 85th percentile time to merge is. Eight hours. Actually pretty good, right? Pretty decent. But if we look backwards in time, it's, there are times where it's a day. Other times where it gets. Much, much worse, like several days. Or here we see. Even, even more than that where it's, oh, let's see, this one is six days. And we have, this is an indication that we have some PRs that are, and we can look at it and see, right? We have some PRs that are languishing, that are not getting delivered to users. And then you can see the hint here. Here's the one from Zenab. That was an addition for Kubernetes that is been there since November of 2020. And that's actually one of the younger ones of these. Ancient ones. Our oldest. Is, is back here. A year before that. So, so we've got now some of these like this one that's the oldest is because it's a proposal to do something that depends on software. And so we can't merge it until the software does what this says. Right. And I've been tempted to say, hey, we'll close it until the software is ready. Others are contributions that came in from, from Hacktoberfest or UI Hackfest where we asked for changes and we haven't had the changes and none of us have been able to go in and take the time to go make the changes ourselves. Right. So yes, there are, we've got areas to work on this one in particular, scaling Jenkins on Kubernetes is a really awkward one for me. Shame on me that it's not merged yet. And we've got an agreed plan that will, that says what to do with this. Zenab agreed. And to what Oleg and Markey were proposing. So I've just got to implement it. But what that says is this one is a, highlights a place where we would like to improve. We'd like to get some of those, that old, old lurking pull requests resolved or closed. Okay. So that's open to merge. And that was not as happy a story. Then contributors for last month, we had 52 merged pull requests, one new issue and six closed. So here's the, what it feels like for the month. And that's, that's available right from the, right from the GitHub UI. So if we look at this page here under insights, you can see, okay, for a period of one month, we've at this point had 63 merged pull requests. We had one, we have one that's currently open that's been open in the last month, we have one that's currently closed and one new issue opened. So, so the story here is, is okay. I think this story. Now what the piece that we get from this, that is not as healthy is number of contributors. We've got a smaller set of contributors than we'd like. And we look across this list of contributors and we know the people, right? Right. Oleg Bartek, Daniel Beck, Pierre Bates, Kim Jacome, Kara Delamark. This one is, oh, this one is, is a new contributor. So that's a, that's a big win. And then Gareth Evans, Gavin Mogan of the, the board, Evelina Velcos of the Jenkins board, Marky Jackson, Olivia Vanine, our infrastructure officers. So you can see that these are people we know, and it would be much better if our contributors were not as widely known as, as these are. And how do we get more interest in people to contribute? Yeah, we're working that. That's a, that's a, Oleg's got some ideas that he's working there to try to help increase and improve the number of contributors. Goodie. Next piece of data that we had was open poll requests. And at, when I took this sample, there were 25. And right now there are 23. So, so we're, we're, we've stayed, we've kept things in this mid-20s range for an extended period. Right. And that's, okay, we're not losing. We're not getting more contributions than we can process, but we're not catching up either. Right. So Jonathan's contribution here, hasn't been merged yet because it needs changes. So this one hasn't been merged yet. So we've got, we've got a number of pending contributions that we need somebody to take the time to go ahead and merge. Right. Or do the changes necessary and then merge. Okay. So that, that gives us the picture of docs contribution directly. Then there's plugin documentation and plugin documentation is a process of converting from, from the old Jenkins wiki into documentation that's right inside the repository of the plugin. Right. And this is one where we conceptually might have been able to use she code Africa, Africa contributors to do it, though it's becoming increasingly increasingly more challenging because we're getting to plugins that have fewer and fewer installed users. So here's the plugin migration progress diagram. We've completed over 650 out of 1800. So roughly one third. We have just almost 30 open pull requests and had about that many merged recently. And if we look, if you watch as I scroll, looking what we're looking for is green is done. Blue is merged, but not yet released. So done, except for a release and an empty line, a line, a line that is a white background. We'll hint to us. Ah, yes, here we are. Okay. No, there are 270,000 installations of Jenkins worldwide. And we don't get to one without documentation as code until we're at the less than 10% point. Right. So it's, it's good progress, right? Gavin Mogen's work in this has been amazing. He's done really great work. I wish we could like normalize that number. Cause when you say 650 out of 1800, it doesn't sound that great. But if we could, but you know, if we could normalize it for like, you know, for hits, just take a number for all of the, all of the installs of all of the plugins. And then of the ones that are fixed, what proportion of those are hit, we have a much more impressive number, right? Right. And I've, I've used that framing. That's, that's a good point. The kind of framing I used in the past was to say. Of the top of the top in plugins where I think the number, if we count here one, two. So about 14 per page. So one, two, three, four, five, six, seven, eight, nine, 10. So of the top roughly 200 plugins. We have maybe five or 10 that aren't documentation is code. Right. So, so the story there is, is quite attractive. This, this particular presentation, this way of seeing the data has helped us motivate people to help with it. Right. So that, that covered the topics that I had. Sorry, we've, we've just about reached our hour. Meg, any other topics you wanted to go over? No, it's been wonderful. All right. We'll, we'll call a stop to it. I'm going to write the, the change log for the weekly Jenkins release that will arrive tomorrow and submit that shortly. And then kick off on Thursday for she code Africa. Exactly. And looked, looked for an invitation from Zenab for the meeting on the launch on Thursday, that what they'll do is launch with each open source project separately so that we can meet with our specific participants and share with them how they get involved. Excellent. See you then. Thanks, Meg. Thanks you. Bye-bye now.


Steadycano back today with another video two shots you for tuning in if you are not subscribed go and subscribe But give me a thumbs up and do not skip those as in today's video We are going to see if yesterday was a fluke does Costco drop happen every day So we're gonna go out there again and see if we can get these dividends But we got order number one. We're here to have some fun to get a taco bell taco bell Five items 3.3 miles for 675. We'd like to pull up to pick up the prize. Let's go We are here to drop you baby I'm doing great in yourself. Fine. Thank you. Can I take your order? I have a pickle a door that's picked up for Jair Okay, please. Can you pull up? All right, thank you Hello, thank you very much. You guys have a good one. We are here to join the Chiquito Taco Bell. We're gonna put it on the scale Yeah I think we have a good one Order number two gets what we about to do wall graze four items point four miles for 10 79 We ain't stopping until we shine. Let's go We are here to drop off this wall greens to get this green none in between the same leave that the front though Drop right here Doorbell Let's go order number three. Oh drill y'all. We just pulled up to Costco to get busy Costco to order 10 items 17.5 miles for 44 54 We put up to get this though. No, we want to go but guess what baby? We actually took one of the orders off because it was going to apartment on the second floor and guess what? I know for a fact that the apartment does not have a Elevated me fall haters and they had two cases of water in the case of Pepsi and some other stuff absolutely not So we are in doing one order. So we about to get an order. I don't know how much it's gonna be We're about to get busy. Let's go. We are here in Costco to get this dough. Y'all know what's go, baby So I told you guys before we got to take one of them joints off. It is what it is These Jones one two four five Next up for Coca-Cola's with Yola Next up to spark you like to get right haters on this order to get an order baby. I got so much stuff So Big waters big Coca-Cola big How you doing, sir, I'm having liberty drop off am I supposed to drop it here or Okay The back of the photos So we just got done with that order and guess what baby that second order was definitely gonna take us up top It was gonna go pay us eight dollars and it was on the second floor. So we end up making thirty six of three We went out there got busy. Let's go Order number four. Guess how we about to get this dough deliver that if you like order place is tropical smoothie The order cost is 198 66 the estimated distance is 3.9 miles eight minutes of drive time and we will receive a minimum payment of $28 and 99 cent enough money to pay the rent. Let's go We are here at tropical smoothie to get groovy. Hello How you doing? I have an easy catering order to pick up. It's like a big order for Okay Okay, and then this is the information right there. Okay, they're receded if need be okay, thank you very much You guys have a great day Just like that. We are here to drop this order to get an order baby Guess what? We are here where the ball is the real real ball of like me and Lake Forest, baby I'm talking about this from Michael Jordan Hello, I'll have an easy catering order to drop off from tropical smoothie. All right. We'll come right this way. Okay Well, there's some nice shoes. What are those? I don't know. I don't know if somebody else asked me I don't know what these shoes were like two years But they're made with that Recycled shoes or whatever. Really? Yeah, those are nice. Thank you You can just put it on that table right there. Okay This is a new office. We just moved here. Oh, yeah, where'd you guys move from the hospital? Oh, really? You like it better here? Way more convenient and it's easier.  I'm follow you. Yeah, just follow me.  I'm out your hair order number five We back at Costco to pick up the prize Costco to order 11 items 23.3 miles for 2845 It's a great time to be alive. I know I know I know why don't you take that order? It's trans this this that this that guess what it's going towards home. We're here to get it on. Let's go They're in Costco. So we just go baby The first thing we need is some baby diapers and then we got to get some bananas and raspberries And then I may have to get a few things few other things that I'm not sure yet So I don't know if the diapers are going to be over here about a toilet paper for the haters Yes, what else I got a super janky part Oh, let's try this way first. Oh, I see the dark baby Get him right baby right here These are super big, baby Now we need some organic bananas Organic bananas, I don't know how many probably three pounds. So we're gonna get This one got that. I don't know about picking what that is all I got. So you got to excuse me I might be tweaking. I don't know comment below and let me know I'm just trying to go next. We have to get the organic raspberries which are right here Make sure they say organic on them joints Organic raspberries that right there as well. We also need this peanut butter, baby. That's skippy. Let's go Drop up order number one. We have a little bit of fun, baby. We got everything in this box You see the box, baby. We got that joint in there nicely my busy funny guy, right? Let's guess what she way cornered me with doing stuff like this because I ain't got it. I'm gonna keep a G real with you guys I ain't got it. So leave it at the front though Into doorbell. I don't know if that joint even work step back with that photos man. I might have to knock on that door Let's go to baby.  It is the end of the video. I hope you guys enjoyed the content Guess what baby? We made one eleven forty eight. We came and got to that cake, baby So it's the plan stand. We're trying to get these bands man We are going to start going to Costco more often and trying to get that drop so we can cop this money, baby I hope you guys enjoyed this video again. If you're not subscribed go ahead and subscribe But give me a thumbs up and do not skip those ads and lock it tomorrow because you can back to this bag Why we get back to this bag the twenty twenty two is still bad season We don't keep on giving a reason I see you guys on next one Be going be going be flowing you already know it is the decay and I'm on my way


Thank you Cookeby Willie for your words and your leadership. I want to begin by thanking the elders, the drummers, the singers, the community members and leaders who welcomed us today onto the territory of the Williams Lake First Nations and the Swipbook Nation. It's an opportunity to engage, to listen, to learn. I want to thank the elected officials who are here, including Todd Doherty or fellow MP. I want to thank National Chief Roseanne Archibald who's here because this is really an important moment for this community to be coming together, an important moment for me to be hearing from them. But it's also an important moment along the path of reconciliation and truth that we must walk as a country. And the leadership that Willie and this community and council have shown in incredibly difficult times is one that I'm deeply moved by and glad to be here with today. As we are gathering here today, I begin by thinking also about the First Nations Inuit and Metis leadership right now at the Vatican this week, talking about the terrible history that we are remembering and dealing with here today, but that also requires a response and an apology from the Catholic Church and the Pope. And I want to tell those strong and brave leaders in Rome today that we are with them as a government but also as a country. We started this afternoon, they started this morning with an opportunity to sit down with elders where they shared some of the pain and impacts of their times as survivors of residential schools, of the St. Joseph's Mission Residential School. Many of them have spent years not talking, not thinking about that incredibly difficult time in their life when they were students at that so-called school. But to help the community heal, to help the community get closure and understand where and what happened there to some of their fellow students, they shared. Over the past days and weeks, sometimes stories that they'd never shared before because they were too painful. The courage and the strength of those elders touches us all deeply. And it is that desire not to look back to the past but understand the past to build a better future that we are coming together today. Canada is committed to continuing funding for the Williams Lake First Nation in its continued search for truth and healing and closure. We're announcing $2.9 million today for phase two of the work they're doing. There will be more phases and more funding to come right now to focus on documenting and finding the truth, but also on supporting survivors, supporting a community that is being re-traumatized as so many are across the country by the terrible findings of 93 Reflections, knowing there are so many more out there still to be found, to be remembered, to be honored. And we will be continued partners in this difficult moment as long as it takes. I also got the opportunity to sit down with the chief and council to talk about issues of importance that one of the most important ones is ensuring that everything is done to make sure that all the information, all the records that exist out there be made fully available to this community to find the truth, to give closure, to track down and honor the memories of all those lives lost in this shared history that is such a dark one of residential schools, both for this community and communities around, but also for the whole country. As we reflect on the path of truth and reconciliation that we need to walk, we need to understand that this is not just history of this What Book Nation or of Williams Lake First Nation. It's not just the history of indigenous peoples. It's Canada's history and it is on all of us to be part of the learning, the grieving, the truth and the reconciliation that this requires. People continue to think that reconciliation is about indigenous peoples or is about indigenous peoples and the government. At the same time as those so-called residential schools were teaching indigenous children that they had no worth and no value, every other school in this country was teaching non-indigenous kids that indigenous kids had no value. This is our history as a country. On until we properly grasp it and engage with it, understand it and commit ourselves to better, then we're not living up to the kind of country we all like to think we are. We have work to do. The road to reconciliation remains long, but it must involve everyone, all Canadians have a responsibility to be present, to be committed, to be aware, to be responsible. Not just from our side to play in the past, but to be responsible for today and for the future. The impacts of residential schools that have been closed for a long time are not just in the history, they're today. They continue in intergenerational trauma, in socioeconomic outcomes, in challenges around mental health and addictions and loss of opportunity and loss of identity and loss of language that mean we have work to do now, long after the last residential school closed that we need to continue to do, to heal and to move forward. That is the commitment Canada and Canadians continue to make every day as we stand in partnership with indigenous peoples on a real path forward for us all. Thank you everyone.


Hi everybody, my name is Todd Guads, I'm the president of the Columbia Council of Neighborhoods, and I'm here today to welcome you and encourage you to join us for our annual awards banquet and ceremony coming up on Wednesday, April 24th. We have two great keynote speakers, two freshmen representatives in the State House representing Richland County, one being Cameral Garvin, who represents District 77, and the other being Representative Seth Rose, who represents District 72. Both of these individuals bring messages of inspiration and hope, and we hope this will dovetail perfectly into a perfect evening where we emphasize the fact that change begins at our house. If you'd like to purchase tickets ahead of time, we do encourage it. Tickets will be available at the door, but we do encourage you to get your tickets early because seating is limited. You can go on our website at columbiascneighborhoods.com, that's the Columbia Council of Neighborhoods website. There you'll see where there's a graphic advertising it. We want you to follow those links, put in the information, and you can secure your ticket to the event online at columbiascneighborhoods.com. We also encourage you to purchase your tickets by calling us at 920-7605. That's the number for our Treasurer Fred Hornick, and he'll be happy to help you in securing your tickets. If you'd like to purchase a table, please call either Fred at 920-7605, or you can call me at 237-3396, and we'll be happy to set you up. The event will be held at the Columbia Metropolitan Convention Center, starts at 6 o'clock. Tickets for the event cost $30 per individual, or you can buy a table with eight seats for $200. So please join us for the special event coming up on Wednesday, April 24th. For more information, please visit our website at www.columbiascneighborhoods.com.


Hello, and welcome to this session. This is Professor Farhad in which we would look at an example for a regression line using a single index stock market model. It doesn't matter whether we are using a single index stock market model or some other model. You'll be able to understand the single regression line. This topic is covered on the CFA exam, as well as the CPA exam BEC section, also covered in an essentials or principles of investment course, whether graduate or undergraduate. As always, I'm going to remind you to connect with me on LinkedIn if you haven't done so. YouTube is where you would need to subscribe. I have 1,800 plus accounting, auditing, tax, finance, as well as Excel tutorial. If you like my lectures, please like them, share them, put them in playlist. If they benefit you, it means they might benefit other people and connect with me on insti.gram. On my website, farhadlectures.com, you will find additional resources to supplement this course, as well as your other accounting and finance courses, as well as your professional certifications. I strongly suggest you check out my website. So what we're going to do, we're going to look at a regression output first, answer some questions, then we're going to run our own regression output, then answer some questions. In this way, we would learn what our regression line looks like and learn a little bit more about this process. So first thing is they're asking us, what is the regression line for XYZ company? Well, we don't have the information for stock XYZ, we have the information for ABC company. So let's take a look at the output for ABC company. This is the regression output. So first, what's the regression line for ABC? We're going to run XYZ later, shortly. So when we run the regression, we're going to have this output. Remember, the regression line, if you remember from the formula is, it's going to be alpha plus beta times the risk premium plus EFI, the residual risk that's the firm risk. Now, what is alpha? Alpha is the intercept. What's the intercept here? It's positive, it's 0.34%. So the coefficient is the alpha, so it's 0.34%. So it's less than 1%, 0.34, which is 0.003. I'm just going to put it at 0.34%. Plus the market index, the beta is 0.525, times the access return, yeah, the access return or the risk premium on the market for stock, for stock ABC, for stock ABC. So basically, we can take any of these numbers, plug them here and we'll find the expected return for the expected return for ABC company. So this is the regression line for ABC. Now, what we need to do, we need to run the regression line for X, Y, Z. So we are giving the data, we are giving the access return for X, Y, Z right here. So this is going to be the Y access and we are giving the market index, which is this is going to be the independent, the X access. So what I did, I took those two column, I'm going to transfer them to an Excel sheet, I already did and I'm going to run the regression, then we're going to have an output that's similar to this one, then we're going to compare and try to answer the questions, which of these companies, ABC or X, Y, Z, will have a greater, what's called systematic risk and which one will have less systematic risk. So I'm going to go ahead and switch to Excel to run the regression. So this is the data, this is the market index data, this is the stock X, Y, Z data and I will upload this Excel sheet to my website so you can access it if you want to. So I'm going to highlight this, go to data analysis and I'm going to, if you don't have data analysis, you've got to learn how to download the data analysis tool pack, just type for had data analysis tool pack and I will show you how to do it. I don't want to show you how in this session. So I'm going to click regression and we just make sure I have the Y access or these. Yes. So here's what's going to happen. Let me go ahead or remove everything. So you see what I'm doing. Okay, let me remove this. Okay. So you have the Y access, the Y access is the stock price and I'm going to include stock X, Y, Z, the X access is the independent variable is the market. So I have the label and I'm going to do the line fit plot. That's all what I'm going to do. I'm going to click on okay and I'm going to have this output. Yes, I'm going to have this output. Now I'm going to switch back to the Excel sheet because already I'm going to copy this output, put it on the Excel sheet. I meant to say I'm going to copy the Excel sheet to the PowerPoint slides, but here's the Excel sheet. Now here's the intercept, the coefficient for this X, Y, Z, the coefficient for X, Y, Z is 0.008 or 0.83%. If we're talking about percentages or 0.0083, this is the coefficient. So this is the regression line because the question is asking us, what is the regression line for X, Y, Z, plus the beta is 0.9914. So 0.9914 times the risk premium of the stock. So this is the regression line for X, Y, Z stock. The regression line for ABC was 0.34 plus 0.52. So it's 0.34% plus 0.525 times the risk premium. So this is X, Y, Z, and this is ABC. Now we are ready to compare and answer the question and the question is, does ABC or X, Y, Z have a greater systematic risk? Greater systematic risk. Which one has a greater systematic risk? Simply put, which one has more market risk? Well, which one will move more with the market? Remember, the market index is beta. And what does that mean? Now we need to understand beta in order to answer this question. Beta means the beta for the whole market is one. So closer the one you are, the more your stock moves with the market. So notice, X, Y, Z is almost one. X, Y, Z, beta is almost one. What does that mean? It means simply put, X, Y, Z works almost, almost. I'm not gonna say one, but almost directly with the market. So when the market goes up one point, X, Y, Z goes up 0.99. When the market goes down one point, it goes down 0.99. Let's say one, okay? Just to illustrate the point. So I would say X, Y, Z has a more systematic risk, greater systematic risk. ABC company, ABC company, their beta is 0.52, 50%. What does that mean? It means ABC company, when the market moves one point, they move half a point. When the market moves up or down, they'll move half a point. So they have less systematic risk. They have less market risk. So this is how we were able to answer the questions, whether we have greater systematic risk or less systematic risk. We measure this by the market index or beta. So this is beta and this is alpha. Alpha is the Y intercept, beta is the market index. Now, the third question is, what proportion of the variance of X, Y, Z is firm specific? Now, how do we find whether something is firm specific or how do we find the variance of a stock to find, what proportion of the variance of the stock is firm specific? How do we find this? We find this by examining the R square, R square. So let's first examine the R square for ABC company. So, whoops, the R square for ABC company, the R square for ABC company is 0.25. What does it mean? It's 0.25. If it's 0.25, it means approximately 0.75. 0.75 is firm specific. 0.75 is firm specific. So that's for ABC company. Yeah, that's for ABC company. And kind of for me, it makes sense because ABC company is not affected by the market. Notice the market is only 0.52. They only move half a point when the market moves. So it must be, if that's the case, then what really moves ABC stock is firm specific. Let's take a look at X, Y, Z. X, Y, Z with R square, okay. X, Y, Z, R square is 0.844. Well, it means the firm specific factor is only 0.55, around 15%, because if this is 85, what's left is this is 15%. Well, this kind of, this makes sense to me, but it doesn't have to, but it makes sense because X, Y, Z, we said it moves with the market. It means the firm specific is not that high. It's not that high, okay? It's not that high. So to answer the question is, what proportion of the variance of X, Y, Z is firm specific, only 15% is firm specific, only 15%. Why? Because look, the remainder is, they work with the market almost 100%. Now, also it's very important to see what the line looks like for X, Y, Z company. This is what the line would look like for ABC company. This is like the middle line, because I asked Excel to provide this for me. And notice the return for X, Y, Z lies around. And some of them, they're even like right on the line, like this point is on the line, this point is almost on the line, this point on the line. So they work directly with the market. Now, if we plot, I should have, but I did not, if we draw a plot for ABC, ABC it would look something like this. The points will be a little bit far away from the center, from the center because they are not closer to the center because the firm is, the firm risk is more, is firm specific, not based on the market. So hopefully by answering these questions and working this example, you'll have a better idea how this work, how the regression line, you wanna make sure you're comfortable by reading the formula. And I did have, I did explain the stock market index model, if that helps go back and view that recording as well. In the next session, I'm gonna start to introduce the idea of CAPM, the capital asset pricing model. Always I'm gonna ask you to like this recording if you like it, share it. And if you're still listening, I appreciate it.  And don't forget to visit my website for additional resources for this course as well as your accounting and finance courses. Good luck, study hard and stay safe.


The following is a presentation of TFNN the Tiger Technician Hour with your host Basil Chapman call now toll-free at 1-877-927-6648 Another one Basil Chapman Friday and this is the end of the week middle of the month June the 17th and an extremely oversold condition is unfolding in many areas many stocks that doesn't guarantee that the market has to notice it in fact remember the market like you like a coin being spun heads of tails the coin doesn't know so what we're looking at here is that if you look at the technical side of the picture the weekly and monthly this middle chart is is the weekly this one the right is the monthly these are really poor looking charts and what it suggests is that we could start looking at some positions with a chance that they could be moving higher over a series of weeks they might not have formed the base their base yet but it's an opportunity what I said to subscribers is the first opportunity I'm looking at where I think we can start putting on some positions and using some of that really the huge amount of cash that we built up as a resource but even then in a market like this have we resolved anything in the oil situation well if you look at oil it's down sharply again today down 3.3 at 112.01 in the continuous contract if you look at the SEO which is the inversion the the short side of oil it's done very nicely having gone from about 18 to 20.43 right now but has it have we solved that resolved or solve anything in the whole oil area in terms of the distribution in terms of production that's still sitting there as really an issue a geopolitical issue in the sense that it affects so many countries so that's that's not really resolved if we're looking at yields yes it's been a lovely turnaround from the low yesterday I wear the TLT went to a hundred and seven was an 83 and just check the low was 108.12 that's right 108.12 and trading right now three points more than three points high at 111.73 nice action wait a minute nice action what are we talking about three weeks ago it was up in the 120 area 120 to 108 just in the most recent time 155 from December in six months from December down to 108 this is not a stock this is not an IPO this is not one of your stacks this is not one of your positions in the in the highly leveraged tech area this this is the treasury bond ETF the 20 year I share 155 down to 108 that that I mean that is ready serious all right so within that context that's not resolved at all if you're looking at the higher yields TNX.x look what happened here look at that spiral to the upside made it peak T it is pulling back now and it's almost at the high that was made at peak F in the Chapman wave on the 9th of May all right so let's go through these different different aspects have been talking about how could you really resolve anything of this particular point for an intermediate term trade the volatility index is an issue the VIX VIX.x it's trading down a dollar and a quarter at 3169 it did not make new recovery highs in the last few days even with the terrible action in the market the high of the 6th of the 13th of June was that exact thing of June was that Monday well 13th of June was a high of 30 31.37 sorry high of 35.05 I should type that in 3505 and here we are a whole week later with much lower prices in stocks and it's at 31.68 having not taken that out so in a sense that's a good sign but the fact that we're in the 30s still that means there's a lot of buying of some kind of it's called it security some kind of insurance so and if you look at the weekly chart you remember I drew this in as a resistance Chapman wave inside track repellent zone and that's been working since the 38.94 high back in January the 28th the week of the 28th Fed Russia Ukraine everything going on and yet we haven't taken that out so I'm looking at this and I'm saying okay for subscribers to my opening call this is where we can start stepping in just a little bit more to say what what evidence is there to say that we are extremely oversold and will that evidence be will that permeate the market by having a rally even if there's a lower load to come and then maybe Tuesday Wednesday of next week we start a turnaround that says okay now we can look at three to four maybe even five weeks of upside move it's going to take a lot to do that but there are signs there are number of signs a number of signs are saying that in the in the H pattern now let me go through separately in the H pattern the S&P took out the left side low of 38 10 back in May it made a low yesterday of 36 39.77 it's up only 21 points of 36 88 now but this is the area with the stochastic at 9% under 10% 9% the on balance volume making a W formation the stochastic nine period moving average that's the nine that is how do I explain that the faster moving average of the stochastic is just trying its best to turn over the above the green the green is above the red that's important the MACD is horrible the expansion of the vertical lines that's the histogram 0% line it's still expanding today maybe it's just a little bit less but it needs a lot of work to turn positive the nine period over the 14 no it's under well under the 14 and that means to to break above you would have to see the S&P somewhere filling in one of those gaps trying to get to the 38 98 30 38 yeah 38 98 to the 39 20 area over the next week or two without taking out 36 I'd say 36 32 would be really key support so this is the start of something to get those V shape turnarounds that we'd love to see for those of us who've been in the business a long time that VIX would have to be so disappointed in the market action that it screams into doesn't have to go above 36 54 on a closing basis but it should pierce it in today at least to say hey this is horrible action I'm desperate I'm throwing everything out with the baby with the bath and water but in fact we're not doing that so this is now a process and all I can say is that as a process we can step up to the plate but we don't we still have to have stops of widen the stops a little bit at this particular point but that's the way it is so I wanted to show that I wanted to show the QQQ within the context of the automation we took out the left side low we had three sessions to break in close sharp here about the left side low of 28.21 note sitting we went down to 269 28 so the process says now you've got to get a wise signal in the back to turn around IWF will support each other and I think up back there's a lot switch to discuss health chapter and take questions out at the time of booming inflation we are purchasing powers eroded there's no better place to protect the harder and money-thinning gold this the golds flagship asset is the monk cod gold project in the northern territory of Australia this is Australia's largest unveloped gold project we are talking a world-class gold project in a tier one mining district this is a large-scale low-cost project with significant existing infrastructure in a politically safe and friendly mining jurisdiction this the gold just completed the Mount Todd feasibility study which resulted in a seven million ounce gold reserve in a 16-year mine life all of this combined with the approvals of all major operational as well as environmental permits this this thing which is Mount Todd is an attractive devious party ready development stage gold project this the gold trades on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol VGZ are you looking for a way to consistently add winning trades to your portfolio Tom O'Brien is here to help Tom O'Brien has been successfully trading markets for over 30 years a frequent contributor to TD Ameritrade Network and CNBC Tom O'Brien founded TFNN over 20 years ago to help educate investors just like you Tom's Daily Market newsletter Market Insights is published every morning when the market's open to give you the competitive informational edge you need to succeed these newsletters are packed full of Tom's advanced technical analysis and are geared to deliver comprehensive strategies for a successful portfolio get Tom O'Brien's newsletter market insights today and try all of our products and newsletters 30 days risk-free with our money back guarantee at TFNN.com TFNN Educating Investors everything in the universe is governed by the Fibonacci sequence this mathematical principle is responsible for everything from the most aesthetically pleasing artwork to patterns in the stock market to stay on top of stock patterns you can take advantage of sign up for the Fibonacci 24-7 newsletter at TFNN.com when you subscribe you'll get a weekly report from veteran day trader Larry Pezzavento on stocks you need to pay attention to and you can trust Larry's analysis after all he's got 45 years experience as a day trader Larry will also provide daily charts videos and data on the key markets that he's tracking expect notifications from Larry on market movement you need to act on at any time first time subscribers also get a 30 day money back guarantee if you're not satisfied let us know and you'll get a full refund within 30 days of signing up subscribe to the Fibonacci 24-7 newsletter today TFNN.com Educating Investors toll free at 1-877-927-6648 internationally at<PHONE_NUMBER> Are those your back just as we were about to go to show some of the stocks I had a question could I just show my work on the the chaplain wave methodology on the one minute esu 22 yeah there it is there's a left side right side price time match from the low that was made at about 9 30 this morning at 30 671 screams up to a high of peak D remember the chaplain wave we're always looking for the fourth highest peak peak D and then other things can happen well D was the turning point at 956 at 37 11 75 and a pullback and it went almost to in the same time as the left side right side price time match remember I always say what's these arch formations or inverted V shape formations or cup formations it's so often that the price just has its move to the upside and then very commonly reverses and has to move back again to the other side for left side right side price time match and you don't have to have a crash it just comes down but very often going to the upside it works its way and then sort of stalls at the top coming down it has an acceleration to the downside like the last two three bars is a one-minute chart or like crash mode going from 3690 down to 3672 and here we are so we've got about another two three minutes to see if it's going to test the low that was made at 9 30 which is 3671 okay let's get back to our story here oh and I did want to talk about just the moving averages look at this the 200 period moving average once it broke down in the in the e-mini this is the September once it broke down in the at 150 yesterday in the afternoon at the 3789 level that 200 period moving was useless didn't even need it but as you get closer and closer and closer look at that the orange line because it became a repellent a magnet and then a repellent zone at some point today we'll see does it become a magnet again a 3708 and then move above it one to one to the upside we'll see it's options expiration futures observation big a big session today we'll see what happens let me go back yet to what I was discussing I wanted to go through a couple of things I'll do this on the way so don't forget I was asked about the fxi I've looked at it all week and I said yes the fxi's had a really nice move it made a peak in the chaplain wave about six seven sessions ago it's pulling back it's a 32.10 this is the China large cap ETF if it's able at any point next week to get close to 34 35 then the 35 35 200 period exponential moving average will become a magnet up until then it's kind of a repellent zone and you can see in the weekly chart we've just gone from the h pattern that I always talk about the lowercase h that can go to a lowercase m and there it is there's your second art formation it had a successful test of the left side low and it's holding very nicely right on in fact sitting right on the weekly 14 period exponential moving average I like the action so far and what I'd say is yes it is acting well but my biggest concern was we have enough trouble with with stocks in the United States we are going over to China you've got to know what your your limits are you got to know what your what what tensions can evolve and what the market could reflect very quickly negative action and even positive action so just know that and that's fine quab was the next one I was asked about quab which is this is the um a crane shares csi china internet etf had a fabulous move I haven't notated it but it always choose the obvious lowest low bar count each successively peak here it is peak a right there peak b right there next highest peak is peak c right there and I went to a d and these were other things can happen here we are choppy choppy choppy for the last week in a range between about 20 28 70 and 34 and we're at 30.86 right now digesting the gains it did make a higher high than left side low so the next left side high of uh early April so that says that's this is peak a the week oh peak a in the weekly chart right there I believe that's a b let me just check that out so that means the high was something happening I should know about uh yes so that's a little higher I believe this is a c I'll have to come back to it for some reason market uh it's not letting me do something here I'm gonna call it b for now I'll come back and check it yeah so this is starting to move up it had an Eiffel tower moved from back in 2019 screams up to 104 comes all the way back down in the shortest time frame that's what we call the Eiffel tower looks like an uppercase a straight up straight down the next question I had was would I look at the gdx let's do that now because I want you to go to gold one of the things that I always look at in the Chapman wave methodology is how quickly and how short in in in a length is the move from a low or from a high to at least a peak to your trusty in this particular instance look at the work that the gdx did it went from right here it went from a low that was made back on the 12th of May at 29 66 it goes peak a peak b peak c1 peak c2 and then it goes under the 14 period moving average and the nine period exponential moving average and pox 2d and then pulls back and then I didn't do this I thought I had I think I did it in gold in the in this in the pattern that I talk about since this is technical Friday look if I go from there to that trough and I go to the right so that'll become green at the moment it's red but all pink new and I put that in I changed that to pink because it was going up look how short it look at look at the effort it took to go to a peak d normally look what you get huge moves up to a d this is the tiniest little thing and cramped it makes the art formation takes out the left side low of the 12th of May which is 29 66 it goes down to 20 uh let's see 29 34 and now it's struggling so the gdx is telling me you've got to be a little bit careful here in the sense that the move to the upside while it's it's really impressive that under the conditions that uh gold is is holding well while the dollar has moved up so fantastic you went to 105.01 pulls back in the dollar index it goes to 105 is that correct 105 yes 01 and now we're looking at the 15th of june so over a month later it goes to 105.79 uh 105.79 and what happens is look this is the dollar index the technicals here aren't anywhere close to as good as they were before but there are still quite good uh this high right here look look the magd was strong stochastic was strong on balance volume was strong uh no sorry no on balance volume because it's an index but look what happened here the magd is good stochastic was good but now it's under 80 and the nine is still way above so the dollar is showing really good technical strength and the weekly chart is still showing absolutely fabulous strength i've got it as a t-slash c and the weekly chart and there's a leg c and the monthly chart it should still go at some point higher to a leg d so i'm coming back to golden environment the gold right now is down six and eight of these people put about uh dow is down uh 58 if you want to take advantage of this sector now is the time to subscribe to my gold report the gold report is a comprehensive look at the metal sector as well as the markets that move gold which is the currency and bond markets new subscribers get a 30-day money back guarantee so you have nothing to lose every monday morning i publish the gold report with coverage of gold silver bonds the xu hui gdx as well as more than 30 different mining equities to see for yourself the types of profitable trades that are recommended within the gold report sign up now by visiting tfnn.com don't miss out on the next 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guarantee don't miss out on this incredible new piece of software get your copy of the art of timing the trade charts today by visiting tfnn.com this segment is brought to you by think or swim for more information just click the think or swim banner on the front page of tfnn.com over one basal chart and we're looking at the gdx i'm just making a couple of changes here to the technicals uh as as i would deem appropriate having moved like this since the last time i did that cancel there we are yeah so what i am looking at here is we are in with this particular candle that we're looking at chapter with roman candle from this week in the weekly chart all right i might have to get to my clicky mouse let's just do this there we go there okay so what we're looking at is very quickly in the gold contract this is a continuous gold contract we went from low to the 16th of may in 1791 with peak app peak c for a while then a peak d look at the 200 period moving here which took that resistance it goes up to a leg e and that was on uh june 13th at 1882.5 pulls back sharply didn't take out the left side low so in a sense that so far a successful h pattern but look at the effort that it took just to get to a leg e and it's not even close to breaking the really important high that was made on a pop-up the 5th of may of uh that's 1916 so i would say that when when and if the gold contract starts to trade you can't just pop up and do what it did before then fail if it can hold above 1900 that'll be the first sign and that'll almost certainly say to me there's a chance now that the dollar could start a bigger digestive phase i mean when you think 105 79 to yesterday's low of 103.42 a little over two points it's just nothing because the technicals are still suggesting money is flowing into into the dollar e u r usd look at this um that had a nice spike yesterday and what i said was yes it's a spike but unless it could continue high into the 1.65 area 1.065 area it's at 1.046 right now it's not good look how it's pulled back again this is the euro dollar currency pair look at the yen uh usd jpy look at this currency pair look at that it made a peak see i said i there's no other way i can count it as a p oh this is what i was talking about there was a chance that this chap we've instant restarted peak d i've seen this happen so many times over the last year and a half where even though you had a full peak a peak f and even a g and then a very sharp time-wise pullback a time not a price move but a lengthy time of a pullback and then a brand new this is like the stochastics under 10 percent under sorry 20 90 turns around nine-period moving average moves back over the 14 period in the u.s. dollar japanese yen currency pair everything here was extremely bullish even the pullback didn't even affect the line at all and that just says that the euro the yen still has a lot of strength left and it should go to a leg d above 135 i think was 59 let me just check what was the high 135 yep 15 59 and it should break above that to a leg d and then maybe next week we start we start to see the dollar and the yen pullback some so i'm i don't want to mess around looking at stuff that i haven't i don't really have a a good sense of of the reversal action other than to say until the yen starts to trade at 130.50 or lower so far the action to the upside seems to be the trajectory still seems to be to the upside aha now what i want to do is a question came in could i look at oh i h oh i didn't finish the gdx sorry just to say the gdx it's not bad and when you think that the dollar has gone to multiple your highs this is still very good action this tells me that gold i always look at gold as a currency of fear it is the geopolitical gold icon that huge investors i'm doing about countries i'm doing about banks i'm doing about the very very wealthy that's where that's where money drifts historically and yes there's been other things you've had alternatives like a bitcoin etc we got out of a completely out of our bitcoin we had huge gains done i'm not there yet i think there will be a trade in bitcoin but i just don't see it at this particular moment the 20 thousand 365 so the geopolitical scene says still says to favor gold and i think that's remember i spoke a long time ago i said i like to keep i used to call them four that's oily sorry bondy for bonds vixy for the vixx index dolly for the dollar and bondy vixy or is another one why am i forgetting that one bondy vixy orally and i'll get to in a moment but in the meantime i added oil for oily and i've said let's keep them all separate because if you can keep them separate you can think independently about each one they used to be very well tied together when the volatility of market goes when the market stocks were going down you would see money flow into bonds as a safety factor we haven't seen that i mean just look at this the tlt high of 179 back in march of 2020 that was the market low then the market had this huge rally but look at this since the since november december january when our market has been saving to the downside so have bond and look at the tnx tnx dot x look at that it's it made new highs yes it's a leg c just like the dollar is a leg c in the monthly chart and i think it will go to a d my target is that orange line which is at way back there oh um wow 50 what the high in the tl this is the 10-year treasury bond no sorry this is a 10-year yield uh in the high was 53 16 gets smoothed out but 53 16 and rear 32.7 and i don't know if it's going there what i can say is that i mean i'm in leg c in the monthly chart and there should be a d that's what i'm going to say there should be higher yields to come all right with that said i have a couple other questions can i look at the ibb so ibb made a dreaded h pattern i went to peak a peak b peak c and there's your d and then it pulled back also a very small move to the upside i do not like small moves to the upside to a d because especially if it's underneath the previous major high because it always fail not always but most of the time it'll fail and retest a significant low well the dreaded h low was tested and now it's at 108.80 i think it's getting ready for the chance of a move to the upside there's an alternate count that's a c and a d now a second by a cell mode in the weekly chart c and there's your d oh look at this now you remember i drew this in a long time ago i do this incredible art formation that was a load back in march i think it was a 2020 hey what happened did i just lose it you know i i change mice and the next thing i know uh let's see font uh no no i don't want that i want to click this yes so let me see status line compending trading app i went to the right where does it say general uh right axis there it is well i don't know how that must there it is right axis back again so look at this the load that was made back in so the load was made march 2020 and then it makes a hundred seventy four high in february and then it comes back to a low in may of 2021 that was my midpoint and what have we done we moved to the uh we've proved we've got two weeks to go to tackle the best side mode 15 are you in the market for buying or selling real estate in the bay area including the surrounding st petersburg tampa and clearwater markets tiger real estate llc is a firm that has extensive experience in the tampa bay area whether you're looking to sell your current property for maximum value or you're in the market for a second home or investment property tiger realty has the experience across all areas of real estate in the tampa bay area to help buyers and sellers make the most informed decisions across all price levels from the price you should be paying per square foot in certain up and coming areas to the type of cash flow investment properties are capable of creating tiger real estate can help you make the best decision when it comes to all areas of the market before you 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by vista gold traded on the nyse american and tsx under the symbol vgz i'm going to go back so i just wanted to show this i can't remember if i actually looked at it with the ice shares global timber and forestry ETF kilometers in the last two weeks below the support level it's down at 74 38 down 80 80 cents and the the Philadelphia housing index is down five at 332.75 that's that's not good action at all and you've got the yields yeah they're pulling back a little bit today but look at this 3.472 on the on the 30 year and the the blue the cyan went above i mean then this is this is not usually a good sign so let's close out of that and go to some of the questions we were looking at the ibb and what i want you to just show you in the ibb was oh look at this this is that peak d in the one minute chart ran up to the 3710 we made an automation same time same price value comes down and takes it out in two bars shorter that was the left side low of the took out in 30 3667 at 1021 and now we're trying to form some kind of a base but if you look at the 10 minute chart look at that 200 period moving average resistance and that was a great peak a because that peak c1 c2 was not pierced so that's a failure pattern took it out and did a one to one to the downside is really important the whole three 3650 3640 area in the e-mini it's going to be absolutely imperative to watch this is a day where options and futures exploration occurs anything can happen can they be excuse me can let me have something to drink here can they be a reversal later today rather than acceleration down remember there were two scenarios the scenario that i think would be the best scenario would be to have a lousy close today and then bad news over the weekend and then a whopper of a pullback on tuesday and then we can try to make a v-shape recovery that says this time we've got a really decent low but as i said before you've still got the problem with crude oil you've still got the problem with higher rates you've got inflation all over the show so i can only call it a temporary but i'm beginning to look at some areas that are just now starting to show a little bit of a little bit of signs that they're not taking out the left side low a number of stocks and one or two ETFs have not taken out that left side low from may in the arch formation and i consider that to be a good sign we'll see what happens the market doesn't hear me it's just doing its own thing and as i said this beautiful arch formation going over a three-year two-year period this is what we're looking at and so far the ibb the rust this is the i shares of the nasdaq biotech area ETF it needs to get it's 109 over the next three weeks it needs to start trading the 120s that's a long way to go though look at quickly pull back from the 119 area so that's the ibb the next question i had was the amazon yep look at amazon hasn't taken yes an example that i'm using it has not taken out the doji low that was made on the 24th of may of 101.26 even though i've been very negative amazon for quite a while actually the fact that it's held that is a little bit of a sign of positivness but the fact that the arch formation never produced a very sharp rebound but just a minor one says oh you've got to be careful because just a hop skip and a jump to take out that or it wouldn't want it to be a hop skipping and a dive to take out the low 101.26 that was made on the 24th a couple of questions i had i said i'd look at something today and that was we were looking oh did i write it down oh yes triple m we're looking at triple m yesterday oh another bad day down almost two at 129 round number this particular point the low so far today is 128.90 this is the age pattern in a very unsuccessful way and what i said is if they're 120 i think i said 126 if the 126 this area goes then it's going to be very difficult for triple m 3m company at trading at mmm trading at 182 128.92 not to get close to the low that was made in march of 2020 114 and since that period it's been up at the 210 area i mean what a move it's going to not yet cut in half but that's a big move the other one i said i'd look at was oh spx you had a call to ask about it and i said just in terms of money management if you just if you're getting just a little bit nervous stay in the position but you can take a little bit off just you know if you want and you can just plan to put it back this i've got this as a leg see it's actually extended today this is the s and p pro shares ultra ultra ultra what is it exactly called these things have such fancy names ultra pro uh s and p 500 short so it's very well it's in a leg d in the weekly chart so this is the place that you could have been in and how hell just held and not worried about any of the balances or anything anything to do with the upside other than the upside of the short position because the market was going down to be very well right now 23.01 another question came in could I look at um oh what was oh oh that's right high grade copper high grade copper oh taking out the left side low at 4.00 hey this is not good news at all excuse me this is a peak d in the arch formation taking out the left side low in a much quicker time frame this is now a leg c in the weekly chart 5.06 was the high backing something like march of 2020 of this year and here we are at 4.00 so copper continues contract still only a peak c in the monthly chart but wow we can do a you know i don't like the fact that wood this is the ice shares global and timber forestry gf and copper which had held so well up until three weeks ago are now really acting very poorly next thing we're going to look at is going to look at telephone uh one wants to look at telephone um you know i i i think you just said look at telephone but not not um do any um whether you're short or long so made a peak c1 c2 that's like a double top in the chaplain wave back in late may early june in the in the 21 was it 21 53 area on the 26th of may training now at 19 under the 200 period exponential moving areas i think of these um the the area of you know telephone atnt as a dividend company yes it's okay but i'm i'm looking at these dividend companies in the telecommunications area and say you know at some point there's going to be a lot of switch over switch of the market keeps coming down people are going to say i don't want to pay these high bills i want to find alternatives to the Comcast which was one of my favorites going into 2022 then turned around very sharply just over 60 announcement captain almost in half it's a 38 made a pd a very quick abcd to the upside and then pulls back sharply this is now an alternate count this is now gdb this is this is next c to the downside in the weekly chart i'm a little i'd be very cautious and oh oh of course i had a lot of calls yesterday and i had questions and i didn't get to so i said that i think that this is going to be a continuous notation in the chat wave and that is probably more like an f than a b at 182.40 on the 8th of june with a little dojo candle in cvx chevron well he's down to this company 182 to 147 look at that general out of that that's the other reason why i didn't get it because rather than the general part you see the wealth so it's pulled back i'll be back sharpening your skills as an investor is like getting better at playing a musical instrument you have to practice sure but you also need excellent instruction from experts at tfnn you'll get advice and guidance from the authority and technical market analysis and it's not just dry tedious text either tfnn airs live financial content streamed live on tfnn.com and tfnn's youtube channel with tiger tv live every market day from 8 30 a.m to 4 p.m eastern for free each host is an experienced trader and gives their take on the market while taking calls and questions live from around the world from the moment the market opens until the closing bell sounds tiger tv has eight different 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subscribers also get a 30 day money back guarantee if you're not satisfied let us know and you'll get a full refund within 30 days of signing up tfnn.com educating investors everything in the universe is governed by the fibonacci sequence this mathematical principle is responsible for everything from the most aesthetically pleasing artwork to patterns in the stock market to stay on top of stock patterns you can take advantage of sign up for the fibonacci 24 seven newsletter at tfnn.com when you subscribe you'll get a weekly report from veteran day trader larry pesavento on stocks you need to pay attention to and you can trust larry's analysis after all he's got 45 years experience as a day trader larry will also provide daily charts videos and data on the key markets that he's tracking expect notifications from larry on market movement you need to act on at any time first time subscribers also get a 30 day money back guarantee if you're not satisfied let us know and you'll get a full refund within 30 days of signing up subscribe to the fibonacci 24 seven newsletter today tfnn.com educating investors hi folks we're back and we're looking at the Dow down to 2.35 to 2.25 the SQ down to 22 and we're looking at Exxon look Exxon made that top in the 105 area now it's at 86 look how quickly it's gone to the downs look at how long how many bars it took to the upside whoops look to the downside so this is just telling me that in the area of the energy let's say look at xle xle duffy wants to know yep there's your pgf doji candle at the high of a 90 1993 that yeah 93 31 on the 8th of june and look at this from from from from 93 area to 70 20 points whoops just like that so there are many signs that i'm looking at that are not your traditional signs for a low that should be made and it could be coming in fairly soon but it's really the individual stocks that i'm looking at and i think that that's really the area that that to me is most important so with that said we're about to wrap up you're going to have a long weekend i hope you enjoy the weekend and you got great programming coming up you've got Larry Pesavento coming up and next you've got uh think of swim you've got that's fast money you've got uh Steve Rhodes and Steve recorded his shows this morning at eight so to be replayed at his one o'clock time two o'clock you've got uh Dave White should be a wonderful show and Dave of course is today's options exploration we're going to hear what Dave is going to say later in the day today it should be fascinating and of course Tom O'Brien is correctly considered that this market is highly vulnerable and he's been looking at the downside correctly so have a wonderful weekend and check out my opening call my daily newsletter i'm just about to wrap it up and let me just do a real quick thing here i want to say that the VIX index will be your clue because it is options exploration anything can happen so the VIX trading at 32.86 there was starts to go into the 34th late today as the market remains very weak that could start to see consideration down today and make it happen because they're so some kind of a stoner because the VIX starting at the start of the split by the 3170 you won't know if the VIX starts to look sharply and it goes up to the top i'm excited have a wonderful day see you