Look at the bullpen Chapman and I think Britain's gonna be way better than Yankee fans saw him last year He was coming back from a debilitating injury and still was very effective at times. I think he's gonna be really good. You've got Chapman, Britain, Betansis, Green, they're still in an autovino. If they get autovino It's gonna be one of the best bullpens ever assembled. Now, you might look at the Yankees They might be a little short on starting pitching. Let's say they are Without bullpen, it doesn't matter It just doesn't matter. You still have Tommy Kainley. Where does he fit in? There are a lot of pieces of tarpory who pitched well last year as a lefty out of bullpen. Where does he fit in? I think it was a great move by the Yankees and the way it was structured a lot of contracts You might see this done with the Machado and Harper deals It's a three-year deal at the end of the second year The Yankees could opt into a fourth year of the contract Now if they don't opt into a fourth year Well, the third year stays in place unless Then Britain says I'm opting out he can become a free agent after two Right. So both sides have leverage there where if he pitches well for the first two years They say let's give him that fourth year. I love the deal for the Yankees I thought it was a great deal and I actually thought that Britain would probably get a closure job somewhere And I had heard that he wanted to be a closure with the Yankees 25 games last year 1-0 2.88 21 strikeouts 25 innings 11 walks And I believe he's better than that. He's gonna be better than that. I didn't think he was awesome when he came here right away He had awesome moments. Yeah, he did. He did but overall I do agree with you He can get better now to your statement and by the way, I agree. They're a playoff team. Why wouldn't they be but the great?  Well, I think the first four pitchers in their rotation are good I think they're worried about CC after he had the heart procedure And so he's gonna understand that they don't know is he gonna be good to go on spring training He thinks that he will be but they've got some coverage, you know Louis Sesser and you know Brian Cashman When he had the conference call last week said We might not trade sunny grind so we know that CC is okay. That would be a tough tough ass What you said what you said He's in Tampa you can't do that.   I would think not I would think not maybe Brian's putting that out there There's another role putting it out there saying hey, we don't have to trade We'll keep in the rotation, but realistically I think the best thing to do is to trade and take whatever offer it is Before spring training and move on


Good day subscribers today is July 18th Tuesday, and I didn't place a trade today I'm being very cautious since the markets have been relatively slow and there hasn't been any really good setups and I wanted to talk to you about what's on my mind because The markets haven't been moving. I did express my thoughts and my ideas and I want to look at other High beta stocks that I can trade options with and I have a list here the very least watching here for for for my setup It's Apple Facebook Tesla Maybe Google which is alphabet? Netflix price line Way, you know high high high dollar stock obviously and of course fine They they're stocks that they're very liquid in in the options markets. I don't tend to actually trade the actual underlying security But options It I did notice a couple of similarities now What I want to express is the the set of that I use should hold true for any stock no matter what? You know what it is but the chances of being liquid in the options market are very limited And so I got to be careful with that that's you know if you're asking yourself well Why not just to get any stock well because of the options and the strike prices as well The strike prices on Apple for instance our dollar strike prices were on spied. It's 50 cent strike prices And I can do a dollar Some options excuse me some underlying securities have five dollar strike prices That is absolutely no good for for a day trader in my opinion anyway So also I just want to talk to you a little bit about the contest That's that's currently going on and you know, I don't know what exactly what it's what I should call it I'm just going go ahead and calling it the the contest I'm I am picking two people those two winners We're gonna pick a date that works for the both of us And we're gonna take about 30 minutes or so and I'm gonna show you everything that I know how I trade my setups the indicators and basically just let you know how I trade from start to finish and At that time you can ask me any questions. I'm not an expert.  I do have I am married I do have a three-year-old son. So again, I'm not trying to deceive anybody here I don't want you to I'm not gonna promise you the moon here But what I am gonna promise you is some one-on-one time where you can ask questions Even if you're a beginner or advanced, I'll try to answer your question as best as I can I don't know all the answers. I will never claim to know all the answers. I myself have a lot to learn guys By all means you can call me an amateur trader it doesn't matter But I wanted I want to be very clear and tell you that I don't have all the answers. I'm not a professional I don't do this for a living not yet. That's the goal. That's the intent. That's where I'm heading That's where I want to be. I want to do this for a living. I have that thrive I have that motivation to excel in the stock market guys So in the night just you know, I just think this is gonna be awesome opportunity for anybody, you know beginner It doesn't matter what your level is in the stock market. It's gonna be a good time regardless guys If I can learn from you great if you learn from me even better I again, I just thought this was really cool to get everybody to Interact and whatnot. So I hope you enjoy it. I hope you don't expect the moon here guys and I wanted to be absolutely upfront and about this guys. I hope whoever wins Likes this experience and I'll do it some other time if it's successful As successful as I hope it is I'll do it another round before you hit a hundred subscribers guys But that is my goal once I hit a hundred subscribers I'll start making some tutorial videos of how I train anyways guys. This is kind of like a sneak peek sort of speak and To two lucky winners. So good luck to everybody. I've had some great Feedback a lot of entries and it's only been one day again. I this does end on the 24th Let me check my calendar to make sure yes, the 24th, which is this coming Monday Basically a week from yesterday and I'll announce the winners on Tuesday the 25th guys So you got six more days to enter you enter by sending me an email to spy options trading at gmail.com I'll put it in the description somewhere on this video somewhere in the screen somewhere right here and With the subject line. I'm in tell me a little bit about yourself.  Are you somewhat familiar? Are you an expert? Maybe I can learn from you guys and it might be that I'm the lucky one guys But let me know a little bit about yourself. You don't need to go into depth Just a little bit about yourself that will let me know your level at what level you're at Thank you so much for watching. Hit that subscribe button down below Please if you send me an email that you want a Chance to win, please hit that subscribe button. It'll help me out tremendously guys and again. I Absolutely appreciate the support here and thank you for the birthday wishes. Greatly appreciated. I enjoy reading all your emails I Absolutely enjoy it. I get a ding on my phone and I'm there You know watching and I was at the store not too long ago about an hour or two ago And somebody had sent me an email and I stopped for what I was doing and I read it. Thank you so much guys again Hit that subscribe button down below. Thank you so much for watching


All this month get any smartphone 32-gigand under for 50% off regular price at Appalachian Wireless. Better service, bigger savings, that's today's Appalachian Wireless. While supplies last, two-year agreement required. It's time now for Mountain Music, being brought to you by the Mountain Arts Center, the main stage of the Country Music Highland. Welcome to another edition of Mountain Music. This week on Mountain Music, we meet an inspiring Floyd County man by the name of Troy Birchit. Let's head on down to Prestonsburg to the Mountain Arts Center and I'll introduce you. Let's take one more drive out beneath the stars to maybe one more walk down by the lake. Despite his obstacles, Troy has always believed in himself and his ability to play music. I was born illegally blind and so a lot of that stuff affected me in my education, schooling, things like that, but I did finally make it to college and I was lucky enough to get to meet some people. Clayton Case, Laura Fort Hall, and Timothy Cooley, they had a singing group in the college and I got to be picked for one of the big Cindy singers and that just really actually helped me to get through the schooling and graduate so it was a big thing to me to be a part of that group and I'm honored. I learned so much from those people and I respect them greatly. Let's take one more dance out on this floating night. Maybe one more kiss beneath all these lights. Troy's perseverance has paid off even more so recently as he has found himself venturing into another part of the entertainment world. I play a small part in an internet web series called Fifth Hollow and I play this guy that got blinded in a coal mine accident and I work in the police station and we filmed the whole first season and I get to do all my own stunts and fight scenes and I'm very pleased for a guy that grew up illegally blind and nobody really thought that would achieve much. To me, I believe that all things are possible. You can achieve anything if you don't take no for an answer. So we're getting ready to start filming the second season of that and I'm just honored to be a part of it and wherever it goes, I feel blessed. Can't you see me there beside you? Can't you hear me whisper? Honey, I need you. Can't you feel these arms all around you? Troy considers himself a storyteller and says he likes to write about what he feels and what he lives. The song that I just did for you is actually on the songwriters scene CD that you can pick up at the local restaurants and the mac and things like that. Well, I actually wrote it about my girlfriend and it's called Live To Love You and I'm very honored to...it's a story that me and her share. So it's kind of a personal thing but I'm honored I got to write it for her and get to do it for her. Just one more time.


Salams, this is NewsClick and you're watching Leslie Xavier and myself, your playthings this afternoon, a very dreary afternoon, a drab afternoon in India's capital, New Delhi. We're talking about a week full of action on the sporting front and looking ahead to more that's happening in India in terms of sport on the field as well as off the field. First up, the biggest story of the week from many points of view was Virat Kohli stepping down as India's test cricket captain. Leslie, just before the news of Virat stepping down, you published a piece on NewsClick. Talking about, I guess, the idea of a test captain and certain bits of behavior that didn't perhaps go down too well in the days played prior to his resignation. Yeah, the incident that is in question, it sort of left as usual any incident related to anything in these days. It left the Twitter-verse, social media-verse, in splits. Plus, even the cricket world. I'm talking about ex-players, experts, everybody was unsure which stance, what is right, what is wrong, that kind of thing. But for me, the incident was a pretty clear cut one, straightforward one. So, if I can narrate the incident again, so it's a day for test testing in a critical balance South Africa facing for a victory. And the captain is judged LBW in the final session of play, and Dean Elger, and he reviews it. And in the review, it's shown that Ashwin was the baller. And in the review, it's shown that the bounce is higher, so he has been deemed not out. Onfield Empire was himself surprised, but I guess the software, Hawkeye, that uses the software, the algorithms decided that the bounce of the pitch is higher. So the ball is likely to go up.  And we're actually expressed this displeasure by going to the mic, stump mic and among many things saying that I mean expressing his anger at the broadcaster and saying that they should play fair. So basically hinting that Hawkeye is fixed. It's a very wrong thing to so because he's not, he's not an overnight skipper that way. Yes, I mean, we, when we, when we talk about this now, right, we are talking about the end of Virat Koli era in Indian cricket. He has been a stripper for that long. And so when I first saw that incident, I was just thinking, when will this guy grow up? It seems that he's stuck in his teenage years to start with. And the larger thing is that the resignation happened. But, but the discussion is not on the right things because the resignation happened soon after this incident. India lost the series in the lost the match in the lost the series. And then soon Virat Koli resigned and BCCI was silent when the incident happened. Of course, it is a diplomatic incident as well because the way I look at it when a when a test nation towards a country. It is considered that the bunch of players are considered ambassadors of the country to another country. It's a bilateral series we are talking about. And the skipper is the is the head of that. If you if I can call it. So you are expected to behave in a certain way you can't allege that the country the whole of country against us level that was in fact set by K. And I feel himself also said said some things. So the larger thing here is that we are totally known for such acts as sets so much of an example that is players also think that they can say whatever they want and they are they are unafraid because they think that they can get away with it. If it was 10 years back 15 years back this would have attracted the attention of ICC is disciplinary panel and some action would have taken but for some reason. So, progression of things happened in that direction BCC I was silent. I don't know whether behind the scenes some some discussions happened and that is what led to be a coalition recognition that's not clear yet. But if that happened, well and good because BCC is at least showing some signs that they they are keen on the discipline of the team. But the way if it has happened they should be out in the open they should also portray it as a as a chance to portray the board stands as far as player and discipline of the team and the stance of the team is concerned regarding and it is a clear matter of. Within the games it's not something outside outside outside the cricket field assets. So, the that incident for me is is is is is critical here when we look at Virat Kohli's stint as a captain, I know people would say that we are harsh in judging him for one incident. Like, we would not judge the incident for the head but right, but then circumstances are always different as well because we can't equate these two. So, that is this incident is indicative of many such instance that has happened through Virat Kohli's captaincy. And we have always been critical about his style of captaincy stances his his approach to certain things the way certain things that he has spoken, because the general feeling was that he is setting a wrong precedent for the members of the team as well and also not just that is also setting a wrong precedent for youngsters out there who are looking up to him to for as a role model. And it is very clear and there's no two ways to is that two ways to it that Virat Kohli's as a role model, as far as behavior is concerned is not exactly something that we would want youngsters to emulate. So, the piece in itself was criticizing Virat Kohli as well as the BCCI for how they're handling that situation when it happened. And it also looked at certain past incidents and certain form of players and how they reacted to similar similar situations when it happened including how Saurav Ganguly himself had reacted certain times. So, it's within the game that such disappointments happen. So, yeah, if it was within the right of the team, team management, then they could have lost their protest.  Under his leadership. So, in context, if we can take the conversation to a bit more of a forward looking place now that Kohli's time as captain has kind of come to an end. And there's a new coach as well in the form of Rahul Dravid, who's looking to build something for I guess the next 10 years or more in terms of at least the test side, let's say. Maybe there was a time it can be argued, I think many people will argue that that kind of aggression, whether it's Saurav Ganguly or Mahindra Singh Dhoni or Virat Kohli, the kind of aggression and that kind of attitude that they brought to the playing field to the cricket pitch. That shaped India's I guess progression from a country that also played cricket as one of England's former colonies and all of that to a country that has now come to dominate world cricket in many ways. But how do you see things proceeding from here on now that we have clearly this is one industry or one sector in which India's sort of control over how things work on a global scale. Cannot be argued against. When we look at aggression, that's the wrong thing again because we look at aggression and we look at fist pumping, even speaking expletives as a sign of aggression as the sign of Indian team being on the front foot all the time. They're chasing the match, they're chasing victory, etc. But that's not the case. That's not the case. Let's just be very clear on field aggression what it is. There are laws which govern any sport for that matter and there are things that you are not supposed to say.  It's not happening in cricket. Strange laws that govern the game in itself, sledging is considered part of the game. So there is a fine line, it's a very subjective thing when you judge if the player has crossed the line as far as sledging is concerned. We know the monkey gate, famous monkey gate incident in this regard. So if you look at the transformation you're talking about, the mindset of a colony playing cricket to a country who was chasing victory. Then that transformation happened in the previous generation. It started to happen around the time Saurav Ganguly was a stripper and then with the current ones slowly the transformation happened. During Virat Kulli's era when he took over, he was just imposing his personality onto the team dynamics. He as a leader was always outspoken, expressive, be it displeasure, be it victory or in the sense even the way he celebrates victory it exuded not just, I mean we can interpret it as confidence but it was not just confidence, it was also brashness, it was also back then. So that kind of a cultural behavioral impact, it slowly permeated into the team as such because as a skipper and also as a skipper who has had a long spin at the helm, he had the chance to mould the team the way he wants and pick the players that he wanted. So that building process has happened and the team is where it is now but when we measure whether that aggression that we so celebrate because that's the only point that everybody is talking about as far as Virat Kulli's legacy is concerned that he made fighters out of the team. The team was always fighters, let's not forget that India won the last ODI World Cup under another skipper. A skipper who would never betray is what is working inside him, he will never betray his emotions. That doesn't mean that there was no aggression in the team setup, there was no drive to push for that victory, there was no fighting spirit. And so when we measure Virat Kulli's victories, yeah we had a lot of overseas test victories and all but we didn't win the World Test Championship. When the stakes were high we lost that. That has been a hallmark of Virat Kulli's skipper that the team was and I personally believe that the team was so bogged down by this constant pressure from within also where the skipper is so hyper aggressive that they themselves I mean feel that push from the side that we need to... We couldn't hold it together. So probably that's why we used to, in ICC Major, ICC World Championships, we used to falter at the knockouts at semi-final stages when the knockouts were on, even the finals. So the team is, as we say, threshold a point where beyond that Virat Kulli is not the answer for the future. Because there need to be a fresh outlook now because this clearly is not winning a trophy. And being the topmost country in the world in cricket, you just can't let a skipper remain because you are having good bilateral series victories. Most of it played at home or even every victory also but when major tournaments happen the team loses. And that is also one of the reasons why I mean Virat Kulli's captaincy and its shortcomings is one of the reasons why RCB Royal Challenges Bangalore has not won an IPL trophy as well. The team on paper was one of the best teams out there, stars, great players in great form but no, they couldn't win that trophy. So there are, I mean, let's just be very clear that no skipper is perfect. So there have been weaknesses in Virat Kulli but those weaknesses were completely overlooked because of his star power. And I'm just glad that the BCCI and the current management of the team are in a way very keen to keep this aside and move on and build something else. And when the decision was announced, a lot of people have come out just like and they're talking a lot of good things about Virat Kulli which is very good when we analyse this. Stintas captain, of course, it's not been fully banned that way. They have been very, very good victories as well. But at the same time, someone like Ashwin tweeting it out saying that it would be a headache for the next skipper to emulate or take it forward what Virat Kulli has done for the team. It's also, I mean, of course Ashwin has his reasons to say that but let's also not forget that Ashwin was sidelined by Virat Kulli despite being one of the best bowlers the country had, best spin bowling option. Especially in test matches because he was also, he's also a test sensor and he was ignored for the longest time. So that makes us question Virat Kulli's idea of team building in itself. Let's not, I mean, for the present, let's not even discuss what kind of a team building he did for the future as well. That's that we can evidently see in the coming months when Ravid will be doing the tinkering now with, I guess, Rohi Sharma who is likely to take over as a skipper as well. I mean, likely to have not been sure whether that kind of a single captain thing would, BCSAI would want that. And so yeah, so looking at future, I don't think now the focus would purely be in the idea of aggression, in the idea of team philosophy as such. I think some basic things have to be ironed out also as far as team composition is concerned and as far as rebuilding because again it's a cost generation now a lot of players would retire soon, including Rohi Sharma himself. Virat Kulli again mid 30s so he has to also over the next few years he will start waning if not completely out. So that process is there so that this and aggression won't fuel that process. It needs a systematic approach and it needs approach that will that require the board and the management to draw its resources from the Renji circuit and not just IPL. Okay, so either ways from my point of view and with very limited stake in the game as far as cricket is concerned but at least from that point of view the exciting times to look forward to in terms of change and newness. The good thing about chatting to you Les is that there is complete clarity when a question is asked. There is no desiring, no equivocation at least you seem to have your thoughts clear and for me just from that the little learning is that perhaps exciting times ahead for Indian cricket as this rebuilding process takes shape and some of these newness, some change to look forward to I think. We will keep a track on what happens with India cricket of course as play things continues. Moving on to a young badminton player Lakshya Sen who has on Sunday won the India Open badminton beating the world champion in the process 20 year old Lakshya Sen. Let's see happening in New Delhi again at the time of the pandemic but I guess badminton they are probably a little bit safer in terms of contact and all of those things. What do you make of this win at the start of a new season in a sport that has become quite popular and in a sense important also for India? So I mean it's easy to say that this is the year that Indian badminton the men's game will come of age because Lakshya Sen beat the world champion who was crowned last month and he had beaten Kidamba Stigant in the final of the world championship last month. Locke in you the Singaporean player but he's also a young player he's just 20 the same age as Lakshya so he has just stormed into the global badminton scene towards the end of last year the same thing with Lakshya Sen as well. Their trajectory and their growth I mean the climb into the upper excellence of the sport that way because Lakshya won bronze at the same world championship last month so he is in the thick of action now but it also coincided with the tapering off season because in a year when the Olympics are staged the second half of the year is not exactly something that all the top players would be waiting because they would be recuperating they would be replanning they would be getting into the next Olympic cycle and they would be planning all these things. Of course they will come and play and it's not like they would be completely off the gas but the priorities are a little different the priorities become suddenly long term. Having said that Lakshya Sen's priority right now is to just keep pushing and just keep winning whatever the tournament wherever that happens and that he is doing perfectly. In that sense in the last year he missed out qualifying for the Olympics and that's not because of his fault because he was he had a couple of injury issues then he tested when he was starting to compete early last year he tested positive for covid he had to come back. He tested positive at the tournament venue and then subsequently another injury he suffered and then he just got it back after the Olympics he started competing again and he made it to finals a couple of times and he made it to the bronze player and he won a bronze medal at the world championship so it has been a remarkable journey in the second half of last year for him and a journey that is well planned out. In the sense he is a thorough system product he was assimilated into the badminton system but not the Gopishan system which has brought out so many champions in the past few years. But he is from the Padukone academy the two major schools or two major if I can call it Garanas of Indian badminton so he is based in Bangalore training base is in Bangalore and he joined the Padukone academy when he was 12. So he has had a long stream there and the guidance of Padukone as well as Vimal Kumar who is the coach and so and OGQ is involved in it. There is also the ministry in the Sai involved in ensuring that he is getting the systematic exposure that is needed for him to grow and become a player of stature. And beyond that in the past six months he has had certain major tweaks in his game. He has had influences from various foreign coaches. The next is going to get a Korean coach who would be working with him as a personal coach and abandoned the ministry's modelling to give him an entourage including a personal physio to work with him. And also last year he has had chance to train with Victor Axels and the Olympic champion as well. So this game in the last six months has transformed in the sense that there is a certain level of maturity that has come in as far as tactics are concerned in the game. He was himself a very aggressive player. He liked to finish matches fast. He was always on the front foot. He wanted to keep it flat and fast. He was some of the power and youthful speed that he had that he has. But against the world champion who also plays a similar brand of game. I go aggressive. He goes flat out to kill the game. Probably the lesson learned was from Kidambi himself when he was in the world championship final. But this time Laxia was ready for it and the tactical change was simply he was patient. And developing that kind of a patience at this stage of his career where he is just moving out of the junior ranks and trying to make a mark in the senior ranks. It just presents itself. It is promising for a bright road ahead. Just that he has to keep evolving and also I always take these kind of victories with a pinch of salt because it's the start of the season. It's also a point where not the entire world of badminton is not exactly in that peak trajectory. They are just building towards whatever they want to achieve in this year. And also whatever they want to achieve in the next three years, culminating at the Paris Olympics. So that is a kind of plan that should be in place for Laxia and knowing how Padukone works as well as how his trajectory has been from the age of 12 when he has been training under Padukone. I believe that this part would be taken care of as far as Laxia is concerned. Talent-wise, there's no doubt that he is one of the best right now in the Indian mix of talented players that we have. And it's also great to see a young player winning medals on the global front and exuding promise. We have only seen with the women's players, badminton players in the country. It's always great to see the men also join the bandwagon. Absolutely and in a year when we have both the Commonwealth and the Asian Games to at least in theory look forward to, it'll be good to see men's badminton also making some kind of impact and I'm sure that he'll be up there. We'll keep track on that also. But finally, our last bit of the day and perhaps most exciting news of the day is that this week begins the AFC Women's Asian Cup. It's happening in India. India are hosting the tournament for the first time since 1979 and participating in the tournament for the first time since 2003. Twelve countries are playing the tournament of which eight will proceed from the league stage to the knockout stage of the competition and five teams including of course the host Australia who have already qualified for the next FIFA Women's World Cup. Five teams will get to qualify for that global quadrennial tournament. Japan of course are the favorite, some would say Japan, Australia, China have been the most successful historically at this tournament but I think over the last three or four editions it's Australia and Japan that have really dominated along with a strong Korean side that have made it to the finals as many as four times without ever having won the competition. Let's see, super excited now that most of Indian football is also on a bit of a break following COVID-19 unfortunately but this is happening in a super tight bubble. I received a press release just this morning, I haven't had a chance to go through it yet but talking about the Maharashtra Government's role also in ensuring that the AFC bubble for these 12 teams is maintained as strictly and as sort of diligently as possible to make sure no one gets sick and we get a chance to see some top quality football over the next couple of weeks. That was the biggest worry in fact last week in our last episode we had spoken about that as well so now with ISL also getting affected by COVID-19 when I saw that news I was just worried about the AFC Cup because there is a lot of things at stake here beyond just the staging of a continental tournament or these countries coming in and playing for the Cup. What is at stake is for Indian football itself so not as forced but as for the future of the game for the women's game as concerned because we don't have such a setup for women in this country and them playing a continental stage and it's very evident the long gap 2003 after 2003 they are making it into the tournament as forced and imagine that back in 1979 I believe that we were finalists in the inaugural Asian Cup so in that regard probably we can call India as a footballing nation as one of the pioneers of women's football in Asia but then we fell a long way behind because of one simple reason there has not been a keen interest by the National Federation to push the women's game into the forefront or give them if not equal opportunity a level chance I mean some semblance of a level chance for them so the fact that the National League which is actually a tournament it's not a league it's not been staged since 2019 when we have had ISLs and Ileagues being staged Ileague qualifiers being staged, Santos Trophy and being staged so National Championship happened last year the women's national championship in Kerala but we have been and this is something that we may work on a story just giving it out a little in advance that there are informations that we have obtained which point at that national championship to be very shoddily organised lot of issues were there in fact and so that is in fact a clear portrayal of how the game is run in the country and so for this women who hardly get anything to play or play for and they are getting a chance to showcase their talent and their skill and their abilities on the continental stage and fingers crossed we are very hopeful that they would make a good showing they would make it to the knockouts it's a tough group for them which you can possibly elaborate what are the dynamics in that group and I believe when we discuss this there is a chance that they can I mean if not the big top two teams they can probably progress as one of the third best qualifiers from the group stages so further complication in this story is the fact that Australia by virtue of being host for the next World Cup have already qualified that also kind of changes the World Cup qualification dynamic a bit but yeah so just since you were asking about group dynamics India have in the same group China who are extremely strong they also have Chinese Taipei old rivals because you were mentioning the 1979 tournament Chinese Taipei beat India in the final of that inaugural tournament so otherwise there would have been an Asian Cup somewhere in the trophy cabinet at AFF house but and of course then there are debutants the only debutants of the tournament which is Iran the good thing I think from an India perspective is one that on the opening day of the tournament which is the 20th of January India will play Iran and I think that is a great way because no disrespect to Iran of course but they are a young team they are a new program playing in this tournament at this level for the first time so at least theoretically our best chances of a solid result and starting the tournament strong is against Iran which in a football context I mean you don't normally you wouldn't normally hear us as Indians saying that so that should be fun and if they can start well in that opening game then I think anything is possible because what we've seen of this team and they've been training and working under extremely challenging conditions like you rightly mentioned let's see no competitions really at club level or any other level so fortunately over the last few months they've gotten a chance to travel around a little bit and play some exhibition games they played in a four nation tournament in South America where they played the likes of Venezuela and Chile and Brazil of course showing some very very spirited performances and some great potential they are physically very well drilled at this point so beyond how India does at the tournament I think it's exciting for us as fans to get a chance to be watching the best in the continent play day in day out in our time zone so very few other distractions so it'll be I think for many Indian fans the first opportunity to see a Japan or a China or a Korea or an Australia play at this level and I think as exciting as it is to see India's women at that stage it's equally exciting to see some of these guys who are also World Cup winners and among the best in the world at the sport that they do coming and playing in India and performing and doing the stuff here so pretty excited about that you can of course catch for those who are interested in football catch our extensive coverage we've got Ex-India captain René Desingh who will be coming in for some of the tactical analysis of the games as they go on we have the veteran sports journalist Sharda Ogra, Weber Praganandan, my colleague will hopefully be at some point able to attend some of those games on the ground if things COVID-19 permits etc so we're planning regular coverage of that so you can join us on 420 grams for all of the coverage of the AFC Asian Cup which actually begins today with a big preview show we'll have all the details on all the teams and the biggest highlights of things to look forward to and much more so and with that I think we'll call it also a wrap on this edition of Playthings from Leslie myself and the entire NewsClick team I hope you're keeping safe, thank you very much for watching, we'll be back again next week with hopefully lots more to talk about until then, goodbye


Good afternoon, everybody. I'm Tommy O'Brien, company alive from TFNN headquarters in St. Petersburg, Florida, 2 p.m. Eastern Time on Tuesday, two hours left to go on the trading date. We've got markets in negative territory, S&Ps right now, negative by 19 points, trading at $29.33, get the Dow off 114 points, trading $26,612, and the Nasdaq, negative by 80 points, trading at $79.25. Gold contract, up $8.00 at $14.26. We've got oil up 12 pennies, $58.01. We'll get the API number tonight, $4.30 Eastern Time, EIA inventory number tomorrow, $10.30 a.m. Eastern Time for recruit. Ten-year note, up six ticks, $128.04, 30-year, up 15 ticks, $155.28, and the dollar index, up $148 ticks, at $95.635. We'll start things off and we're going to start it off with the news of the day going on right now. So you have Fed Chairman Powell, he is making a speech, already made his speech actually, to the, he's making a speech on discussion of the economic outlook and monetary policy of the council on foreign relations in New York City. That speech taking place at one o'clock, he's taking some questions right now as we speak to fast forward to some of the remarks that he had for one o'clock. I'll scroll up. So there are some takeaways. Being very closely to the remarks he made last week's press conference, uncertainty over global growth linked to international trade disputes is causing the Fed to consider cutting interest rates. Still, Powell makes clear in two ways that a rate cut at the July 30th to 31st FOMC meeting is not a done deal. So with that in mind, the market having that in front of it, Powell is still taking questions, we'll jump over to the charts. Dow 30, currently near the session lows trading $26,628, dipped briefly below at about one o'clock, right on those remarks becoming public. Excuse me, S&P 500, much the same. We get a spike right at one o'clock when his public remarks become, when his remarks become public, the S&P sitting right back at that level 2932, NASDAQ 100, 7659, you can see the spike on all of the indices right at about one o'clock when those remarks became public. Crude oil, right above $58.501. Gold contract with some volatility on the Fed speak as well was up there at 1440. Just four hours ago, you have gold trade down $25 to 1415 back up to 1427. Gold with some volatility. That seems to be this case for sure. And the Euro US dollar as we get some currency action on Chairman Powell and also you had Fed Governor Bullard out there talking about 50 basis points being not in the cards as in, if anything, it's going to be 25 basis points. So lots to digest on the Fed speak arena. Stay tuned, folks. We're going to man Dave White coming up right now with the power trading hour should be interesting with chairman Powell out there still taking questions. Tom O'Brien live from three till five. Have a great Tuesday.


Over the next 100 years the world faces an amazing challenge which is to live sustainably on planet Earth with 7.3 billion people now and soon to be 8 billion and then 9. Energy and understanding how to provide the world's people with abundant and relatively inexpensive energy is to my mind the key factor that is going to make or break society's ability to deal with this challenge and so being able to figure out how to change how we extract energy from the world around us and supply it to humans to me that is the grand challenge for humanity and it's something that's so important for A&U as the National University of Australia to have as a central theme in our work going forward. Well our central scenario has energy demand growing by approximately 1 third and that reflects the growth in demand for energy services essentially outside OECD countries particularly in the countries of developing Asia. Government policies and actions have a very clear role in how those energy trends grow, the energy sources that are used to meet those energy demands and of course the link between emissions and those energy sources. The energy sector has to make a key contribution to meeting climate goals and while we've seen a lot of terrific progress in the last year perhaps more than we could have reasonably expected we are still short of where we need to be for that two-degree sea trajectory. Distributed energy resources will have a major transformational effect on the electric grid as we know it. Just in the same way that we migrated from mainframe computers to desktop to laptops all the way down to wristwatch computers the same thing will be true of distributed energy resources the way we generate electricity from renewables at our houses and our homes and our businesses the way we store electricity when we have a surplus and the way we consume electricity through energy efficiency our cell phones and even our electric vehicles. Energy update is the flagship event for the Australia National University Energy Change Institute and it brings to Australia the world energy outlook and the aim is to provide an understanding of world energy trends but also to look at the way in which that informs energy developers in Australia.


After the destruction of the Zupark 1M systems, Russia lacks counter-battery weapons. Russia is facing a growing shortage of counter-battery weapons, resulting in challenges on the battlefield. United Kingdom Defence Intelligence reported it. Russian ground forces' survivability relies on effectively detecting Ukrainian artillery and striking against it, often with its forces' own artillery. A key component of this approach is counter-battery radars, which allow commanders to rapidly locate enemy gun lines. Russia is suffering from a worsening shortage of counter-battery radars, especially its modern Zupark 1M. Only a handful of the originally deployed Zupark fleet are likely to remain operational in Ukraine, UK Intelligence said. The UK Intelligence reports indicate that in early July, there was evidence of another destroyed Zupark 1M system near the 58th Combined Arms Army's operational area. Earlier, its commander, Major General Ivan Popov, announced his dismissal, provoked by his complaint about the state of affairs in the army, in particular the lack of counter-battery weapons. The UK Defence Intelligence believes that Popov's complaints once again prove that artillery remains central to Russia's warfare. Though Ukrainian troops continue fighting for breakthroughs in Russian defensive lines, artillery gunners are playing the long game for future artillery supremacy.


Boydhi was hospitalized because of being hit by Bujji. Foe Tumalo Boydhi Thalo has been left with a scratch on her face after she had an altercation with radio producer and podcaster Bujji Bhikwe. It is reported that Boydhi and Bujji were at the courtyard hotel in Madrid last night when an argument ensued. Bujji is said to have thrown a bottle of alcohol across Boydhi's face that left her with a cut. Bujji was hospitalized. Boydhi has opened a case with the intent to do grievous bodily harm at the Madran police station. Bujji was arrested shortly afterward and spent the night in the police cells. Bujji and Boydhi have not said anything about this but tweets are shocked and are begging Boydhi not to drop the charges because they aren't vibing with what Bujji is alleged to have done to her. The South African reality television star and musician announced in September that there is a new member of her family. The Baxi hitmaker showed off her new puppy named Nala on her Instagram stories introducing the dog as her new baby. Boydhi has two other Pomeranian dogs in Asanti and Sanaa. Speaking about babies, back in June 2021, she had her mother thinking that she was pregnant after she lied to her about being pregnant. Modi Ithalo was so excited that she started crying and hugged the star. After finding out that her daughter was lying, she smacked her. I lied to my mom saying I'm pregnant and she started crying and hugging me. I felt so bad I told her I'm joking and she smacked me. At least I now know. Tweeted Boydhi. She was also a guest on Lesaizwee's popular YouTube show, Drink or Tell the Truth with Lesaizwee. During the episode, Lesaizwee asked her how she felt when her ex Casper Nyobist revealed that he cheated on her through a song. Reluctant at first, she did admit that she felt embarrassed at the time. You want to drag me back to seven years ago, great. It's been so long. Obviously, I am a human being and I didn't find out through the song, I just didn't know that he was gonna put it in a song. I was embarrassed. She said. Although she knew about this before the release of the record, she said that no one wants people to know about their business. No one wants people knowing, even though he did not mention names it's like obviously, you could pick up that it is. Bang Hurdle, They Hurt Me, Dot. She added. Poetumalo is cool with her exes because she was in love when she got into a relationship with them. Just because things didn't work out, she doesn't see the need to vilify them. Because at that point I choose you, I love you. I don't want to treat you like now you are some devil. It's like you know, I have to also take some responsibility because I was there.  When asked who was the best among all her exes, she admitted that Kaid Langa takes the cup.


In this video, I'll tell you how you can explore lucid dreaming effectively, safely and fast. There's a lot of information out there, most of it's nonsense and you're just not going to be able to lucid dream if you follow most of the advice on YouTube. So I'll explain in this video how to learn it, how to practice it and how to really explore lucid dreaming and kind of understand how it works. So you might be new here, if not, that's fine. Basically, if you are new here, lucid dreaming is where you become aware of your dreams while you're still in them. So it means you can control them, you can do whatever you want, experience your fantasies, fly around like a superhero and really literally do anything, anything you can imagine you can do. If you don't know how to lucid dream, I will explain briefly how you can, the habits you can build that will let you start lucid dreaming. But I do have many other videos on tutorials, techniques and things like that on my channel, so make sure to subscribe and check those out. So the first way, the first kind of foundation of exploring lucid dreaming is reality checks. You need to be doing what's called reality tests, which is where you essentially just test whether you're dreaming or not. And the way you do this is you perform an action, so I'll take one as an example.  If it goes through, you're dreaming, if it doesn't, you are awake. And basically, as you're doing that reality test, you need to really ask yourself and really clearly think about it, you know, and ask yourself, am I dreaming or not? The next part of foundation number one is sleep hygiene. Sleep hygiene means how well you are sleeping, how reliably and regularly are you sleeping? Are you going to bed at the same time every night? Are you waking up at the same time? Do you feel rested, refreshed? Do you wake up at all during the night? Things like that. Okay, this practice into sleep hygiene and you really need to be having a good level of sleep hygiene. You need to be sleeping well in order to lose the dream. I mean, it's kind of obvious, but a lot of people tend to forget that. The next part, and we're still on foundation principle number one, is to be able to remember your dreams. If you can't actually remember what you're dreaming, then of course, you're never going to be able to lose a dream. Or if you do, you won't remember it, so it's kind of pointless. You need to be remembering your dreams. The best way of doing this is just to start writing something down in your dream journal. You can just write down anything, literally, just as long as you write down something, like for example, if you don't remember anything, that's fine. You can just write down no dreams were called. Okay, so the next foundational pillar. Okay, so that's the first one. And it covers reality tech, sleep hygiene and dream recall. That's like all in one. That's the foundation number one. The foundational pillar number two is based on tracking. You need to be analytical about this. I know that sounds kind of boring, but you need to be tracking what works and what doesn't work. The best way of doing this is you obviously should be keeping a dream journal, right? I hope you are.  You can automate some of this if you have a sleep device like an aura ring or a Fitbit or something. You can set up automations, but really it's not that difficult.  You need to write down what techniques you used, if any, and just some notes about the day. So when you look back on it, you can say, right, this was the day I went to the spa or the gym. Well, this was the day I did 20,000 steps instead of 10,000 steps. And that way you can look back at it, and if you did lose a dream on a certain day, you can see maybe why you lose a dream, or you can see what things might have made it easier. The step is actually quite personal. You know, it's down to you to decide what things need to go in the journal and what things are not that important. Personally, for me, I write things like, well, time I went to bed and slept. If I was lucid or not, the technique I used and any interesting or useful notes about the day, like did I do anything out of the ordinary? Did I do anything that might be considered strange or unusual? The next foundational pillar, OK, to explore your streaming is that you need to be sleeping consistently. You need to be sleeping at the same time. And I know this ties into sleep hygiene, but I want to emphasize this even more because it's really important. You need to be sleeping consistently, going to bed at roughly the same time, waking up at roughly the same time within about 15 minutes of variance and even on the weekends, even if you're doing something, even if you're social, try as much as you can to stick to it. And this is a really important tip. If you miss one of the times, right? Let's say if you miss one of the times and you actually end up going to bed later than you should do, that's fine, but you need to stick to the morning wake-up time, even if you feel tired, because then you're going to feel tired during the next day and that's going to help you fall asleep on time the following night. What a lot of people do is they'll, let's say, they miss their sleep time. They go to bed at 1 a.m. and then the next morning they feel tired so they sleep in until 9 a.m. And then because they slept in at 9 a.m. the next night, they don't feel tired until 1 a.m. again. And the cycle just keeps repeating. So you need to really keep some structure to this, like stick to it. And then when you see what actually works for you, you need to really double down on that. If you see that a specific technique always gives you a lucid dream or if you see that one type of reality check shows up in your dreams more often than other ones, you need to double down on that and do more of that because that's what actually works for you. There's a very unique thing and this is essentially like me coaching you because what a coach would do is they would basically tell you to try a bunch of different techniques and reality checks and methods and timings and things like that and track it all on a journal or keep coming back and telling them. And then the sleep coach or the lucid dreaming coach would essentially tell you or highlight to you which things worked and which things didn't and tell you to do more of those things that worked. You can do this yourself. You can almost coach yourself with this stuff. Just make a list of, you know, keep your journal, make a list of the things that made the biggest difference for you and then just do those things more often. It's quite simple when you break it down like that. I'd love for you to comment your biggest lucid dreaming hack or just share something. I'll try and reply to everybody.


My name is Andrea with Foodimentary Adventures in Food.  On our channel, you'll find simple and tasty dinners using everyday ingredients. Hey guys, so Howard is actually out of town for work for a couple of days, so I'm going to be making some easy dinners while he's gone, so let me show you what I'm having for dinner tonight.  I'm going to add some red cabbage to that because I love red cabbage in my salad. The salad kit comes with a package of wonton strips and almonds, so I'm going to have half, and then the salad dressing I'm going to have half. Now for me, I think the salad dressing is a little bit sweet, so I cut it with this, which I absolutely love, this ginger dressing, and then I'm going to chop up some green onions, and then I'm going to add some more wontons if I need them. I do have some dino nuggets in the air fryer that I'm going to chop up as soon as they're done, so I'll show you my salad once it's ready to go. Okay, so here's my finished salad, and you can see that I added in the dino nuggets. These are the nuggets that Harrison won't eat, so I have to repurpose them. But this is what I'm having for dinner tonight, and we will see you all next time. So Howard is still out of town, so I decided to make something he probably would not like, and I had this quick steak in my freezer chicken breast, and it's really thin cut, kind of like the beef, like Philly cheesesteak meat, so I'm using that, and it is 12 ounces, and then I am going to be using this black pepper chicken sauce that I've had in my pantry for a while. Howard doesn't like black pepper, so that's why I have not made it yet, but it calls for I think nine ounces of meat, and like I said, this is 12 ounces, it'll be fine. It also, this packet also calls for like one ounce of celery and one ounce of carrots, and I don't have either one, so I am going to be using these green onions instead. So let's get started. Okay, here is dinner. Harrison is playing with his toy in the background, so that's what you hear. I was going to record it, but the chicken cooked so fast I didn't even have time. I'm not a huge chicken breast fan, but this is actually pretty good I guess because it's shaved, and it cooks faster, and it's a lot more tender, but it's pretty good, has a good flavor, not super strong on the black pepper, but I like it. So this is what I'm having for dinner tonight, and I will see y'all next time. So Howard is back in town and I was looking in my pantry to see what I could cook, and I found this wing seasoning that I needed to use. It's from Walmart, so I've already marinated the wings and had them in the freezer for quite a while for several hours now, and then also I had this riceroni in the pantry as well needed to use that, so I am getting ready to pop these wings in the oven for about 45 minutes at 400 degrees. The package actually calls for two pounds of chicken wings. My wing, my bag of wings was two and a half pounds, but I still think that it should be okay. All right, so I'll be back. Okay, so here's our dinner. There is the rice, and then I had some leftover broccoli in the fridge that I needed to eat and use up, so got that, and then of course here is the chicken, has a pretty good flavor. So this is what we are having for dinner tonight, and we will see y'all next time. So we are having breakfast for dinner tonight. You can probably hear Harrison in the background. He has a toy going, but I made some wild blueberry muffins. These are from Aldi. I really like these a lot. This box makes 12, but I always make jumbo-sized muffins, so it made six, and then I have some bacon, and then I also made some scrambled eggs. I scrambled my eggs in butter, salt, and pepper, and then I added some white cheddar cheese, which you can't see, because it blended in with the eggs. But anyway, this is what we are having for dinner tonight, and we will see y'all next time. So for dinner tonight, I am making some fettuccine sauce. In my fridge, I had some leftover bucatini from a recipe that I made, I guess it was last week, and I'll make sure to link that recipe in the video in the description box. It was for a, I think it was sausage and kale bucatini, and it was really good. I just made too much pasta. So making my fettuccine sauce, I'll make sure to leave the recipe in the description box as well. But I've got a stick of unsalted butter, and I added in some garlic. Now I'm adding in two cups of heavy whipping cream, and I'm just going to let this simmer for just a few minutes. Okay, so now it's come to a slight slimmer, simmer, easy for me to say. I'm just pouring in this Parmesan cheese, and then I'm just going to add a little bit of pepper and salt. And I'm just going to stir this and let this kind of thicken up, and then I'm just going to add in my bucatini. Okay, so here's our dinner. It is nice and creamy and cheesy and so good. I am serving it with a bread stick. This is one from Kroger. It's actually Kroger brand, and it is stuffed with mozzarella cheese. So Howard and I aren't really crazy about these breadsticks. I probably wouldn't buy them again, nothing special. And as you can see, I do not have a salad on the side, did not feel like having a vegetable tonight. So all carbs. So this is what we are having for dinner tonight, and we will see y'all next time.


High value people have done a lot of work on themselves to see the world in a way that they can take advantage of it and build their dreams. The world is a difficult place to navigate without doing the work on yourself. We are conditioned and programmed to see the negative, to be fearful. And I also want to state at a philosophical level, we start out as insecure, scared, impulsive, hairless apes. And we need to work from that, right? Now, the high value people in the world, we always get these letters, where do I find high value people? How do I bring high value people into my life? Well, because they've done so much work, they're not going to put themselves in harm's way of having the work that they have done be destroyed. They are very cautious of this. They know it is difficult to build and very easy to wreck. This is why people in sports are very keen on who is hanging around and who is coaching them because they don't need the new habits that they have built to give them that one percentage point better at a shot to be destroyed. In order to bring in high value people, you have to make room for them. They are going to notice the crowd that is there and they will make that decision of whether to put themselves there or not. High value people are conscious of everything that they consume. They're intentional. They have purpose in everything that they're doing. That's the work that they are putting into life to make it so that they're excited to wake up every day. Now, like attracts like. You start from within as you change and upgrade your operating system. You stop focusing inward on getting people to like you, taking that attention, taking that acceptance and that invite. Instead, you focus it outwards by listening to people deeply, by getting them to open up and be vulnerable and acknowledging that vulnerability, by appreciating and celebrating their wins, complimenting them, talking about what about them you enjoy instead of tearing people down, being snarky, being sarcastic, or being just downright rude. Then you accept by saying, hey, come to my social sales funnel event. Come check out my music show. Hey, I got this great poker night coming up next week. I'd love for you to join. When you build outward, you send the signal to those in your life who are high value that you're worth investing their time, energy, and effort in. As Johnny said, high value people are highly motivated. They're focused on their core values and living with a purpose and improving their own lives and the lives of the world around them. Because of that, they're in tune to these subtle signals that we might be putting off around low value behaviors, around people who are combative, arguing, around people who are one upping, or begging, pleading for people to pay attention to you, being the victim. So once you start to see outside as opportunity and you focus inward, out, so you are building these values in yourself and then sharing them with the world around you, everything becomes a lot easier. You start getting favors. You start getting invites. You start getting referrals. Your network rapidly grows and people start to build a great reputation around you and what you have to offer the world.


Hello, good afternoon, thank you very much for the invitation. So we've seen a really like context specific, country specific studies, but here we will zoom out and focus on the whole Africa. So this is a joint work with Luisito Bertinelli and Rana Comapay from the University of Luxembourg. And I need to acknowledge the support from the World Bank and UNHCR under the programme of Preventing Conflict and Promoting Social Cohesion in Fourth Displacement Context. So the question we are asking is simply to know how do refugees affect conflict through one particular channel which is changing ethnic diversity. And our contribution is twofold. First of all, there is a large literature on the relationship between ethnic diversity and economic development in general, but in particular related to conflict. And certainly the seminal papers, both from a theoretical point of view and empirical point of view are the papers from Esteban and Ray encoders. And basically what they say is that you need to distinguish ethnic fractionalisation from ethnic polarisation. So to make it short, ethnic fractionalisation is the probability that two individuals would belong to two different groups. So the index will be maximised when you have a lot of groups to the extreme theoretically when you have one group per person. Polarisation is different. It captures antagonism between groups. And it will be maximised when you have two distant groups of similar size. So there are really two different measures. And what Esteban and Ray are saying is that basically polarisation should increase conflict while fractionalisation should matter less because it increases coordination costs. So far the evidence has been mainly using cross-country analysis. We see two limits in that. One is that this type of index, they move very slowly over time. So you lack a bit of time variation. And also it's more difficult to control for unobserved characteristics. So in this paper what we are going to do is exploiting time-varying diversity indices at the sub-national level induced by refugees inflows. So the second contribution is that we contribute to the recent literature that has assessed the impact of forced migration on hosting societies. So this literature has looked at a lot of incomes and we can discuss that. But regarding conflict, Christopher mentioned a bit this literature. My reading of the most recent evidence by Yang Yang Zhu and Shaver is basically that there is no direct impact of refugees on conflict. And there is a more recent paper showing a very short-lived impact. What our paper is showing is that it does not contradict at all these findings. It's just saying that in the particular case where it changes ethnic composition, refugees may actually exacerbate conflicts when it increases polarization and reduce conflict when it increases fractionalisation. So what we are doing, it's easier to explain you the construction of the dataset. It's a bit complex, but let me give you the intuition. So we are using available data from the Afrobarometer for 23 countries. So we have all the clusters, if you want the villages of the Afrobarometer, then we create buffer around each cluster. And we count to some extent either the conflict incidents or the conflict intensity. And basically from the Afrobarometer, we can compute the diversity indices of fractionalisation and polarization. Okay, so so far there is no refugees. Then basically we introduce a dataset on refugee camps in Africa from 2005 to 2016. So we have the exact location of the refugee camps, but what is interesting for this paper, we have also the composition of these camps. Age composition, country of origin, and combined with the ethnic power relation, we can approximate for the ethnic composition within camp. So now we are going to recompute the diversity indices, fractionalisation index, polarization index, including the changes in ethnic composition induced by annual flows of refugees at the camp level. Okay, I grab that. Okay, so from there, you should more or less see what we want to do. So we follow the game theory contest model between groups by Esteban and Ray, right? And we are going to try to explain whether the incidents or the intensity of conflict, right, in one particular cluster, J, in your T, is influenced by the refugee corrected ethnicity indices, so fractionalisation index, polarization index, controlling for the presence of refugees. We are going to control for unobserved characteristics using cluster fixed effect and your fixed effect and controlling for climatic anomalies, right? So this is a simple or less estimation. Of course, one concern we may have, right, is that refugees self-select location according to ethnic characteristics. So I'm going to argue that that's really the most important is the selection with respect to ethnic composition. And a priori, it's quite difficult to know actually how it's going to affect ethnic polarization or ethnic fractionalisation. There is no clear conjecture on that. So what we are going to do is we are going to apply a gravity model estimated with PPML, where we are going to predict what the number of people, right, from one particular ethnic groups moving from one location to another in one particular moment in time, and we will recompute the diversity indices and use that as an instrumental variable, right? Okay. So the main results, as you can see in the first two columns, we are using the standard fractionalisation and polarization index, right? There is no significant result which suggests, you know, that there is very little variation there. In column three and four, we introduced this corrected diversity indices, right? And as expected, we do find a positive impact from polarization, right? And a negative impact from fractionalisation, controlling or not for the presence of refugees, controlling or not for climatic anomalies, right? So just to give you a sense of the magnitude of the results, right? A one-star deviation increase in polarization will increase the risk of conflict by 5 percentage points, which is about 10% at the mean, right? And interestingly, it's quite similar to what you have found in the literature regarding the size of the effect from natural resources, from prices, from external shocks like climatic shocks, right? So it's quite sizeable as an effect. And we do not find any significant correlation, I insist correlation, for the presence of refugees, okay? So we do quite a lot of robustness checks. So first of all, we look at different type of conflict. What our result seems to suggest is that it's mainly driven by violent conflict, right? But it's also valid for intensity, but we have to say it's more robust for polarization rather than fractionalisation.  You know, there is a lot of work in matching ethnic groups. So we do some alternative way to match them. We also change the buffer around each cluster from 40 to 120 kilometres. There are some new things that are not included in the paper, sorry, Arzu. So for example, we control for conflicts below over using the distance to the border times the time fixed effect. Something which is, I think, interesting is that so far we did not, we assume that all groups are different, right? So now what we have done now, and we are changing the old paper, is we introduce intergroup distances, right? So using linguistic, linguistic distance, right, between groups. And we can also show that the results are pretty similar if we aggregate the data at the regional level, rather than working at the cluster level. So I'm not going to enter too much into details, but for the instrumental variables, we do find similar results, right, when you instrument. The coefficient for polarization is actually higher, suggesting that the ALS estimate is underestimating the effect. And so I'm running to my conclusion. Oh, okay, so I'm even faster than... Okay, but so I think what I want to insist on is one thing, right? Our results should not be misunderstood in the sense that refugees per se do not exacerbate conflict, right? We do not contradict what has been found, for example, by Yang, Yang, Zhu and Shaver. But we show that in the particular case where ethnic polarization increases, the risk of conflict exacerbates, and the opposite for fractionalization. I did not take the time to show you that, but we also confirm this result using individual data from the Afrobarometer, right, using physical assault or interpersonal violence as a dependent variable. And so we are still working on that, but it's quite interesting to see that it's not related to other outcomes like ethnic attachment, generalized trust, trust in neighbors, or institutional trust, which tend to suggest that we are more in the Esteban and Ray framework than in other type of framework. And maybe from a policy point of view, it's quite interesting to observe that this heterogeneous... This is partly true when you desegregate between unemployed and employed people. So unemployed people are partly likely to participate, to report physical assault, right, when you use individual data. So policy conclusion, to be honest, that's not the paper with the strongest policy conclusion, right, compared to others. But I think there are quite a lot of specific intervention that, for example, the World Bank tries to promote to and social cohesion between the host and the refugees, which is welcome, but certainly there might be a need to target this type of intervention to highly polarize hosting areas. And maybe there is a need to map systematically or collect data on ethnic diversity among the refugees and the host to follow, actually to be much more context specific than what I give you today. Thank you very much.


4 reasons why Vietnam is the perfect place for teaching English abroad. Vietnam is one of the fastest growing countries in the top of Southeast Asia. The country has a warm tropical climate, great food, reliable infrastructure, abundant nature, and beautiful beaches, and is a place that attracts a large number of tourists from all over the world. So what opportunities does this country have to attract people who want to live and work here permanently? Here are some reasons to help you decide whether or not to teach English in Vietnam. Vietnam has a vibrant history. First of all I would like to introduce Vietnamese history, which started from about 3,000 to 4,000 years ago. Vietnam has been inhabited since the Paleolithic period. By around 1200 BC, the development of paddy rice cultivation and bronze casting techniques in the Ma and Red River areas, led to the development of Dong Son culture featuring bronze drums. The first Vietnamese ethnic groups in the southern region of Ling Nam, including a large area south of the Trong Gang River in China today, to the Red River Delta and the Ma River in northern Vietnam. In addition to the long history of Vietnam, there are famous UNESCO recognized places as natural wonders such as Ha Long Bay, Hoi An Ancient Town, Phan Nha, K-Bang National Park, Ancient Monuments Complex Hue, the list goes on and on and on. Vietnam is a country with thousands of years of history. Like many other countries in the world, Vietnam has a culture of its own identity. It is these features that make up the essence, shape, and identity of the people of Vietnam, and Vietnam is a country with 54 ethnic groups, so Vietnam is considered a multicultural nation as well as many festivals bearing the ethnic identity and tradition. Traditional festivals are a historical and cultural phenomenon that has been present in Vietnam for a long time, and plays a significant role in social life. Vietnamese food is incredible. Besides the long-standing culture, Vietnamese cuisine is an indispensable thing when talking about this country. Vietnam's territory is divided into three distinct regions, north, central, and south. It is the characteristics of geography, culture, ethnicity, and climate that define the specific characteristics of each region's cuisine. Every region has a typical taste that contributes to enrich and diversify Vietnamese cuisine. This is an eating culture that uses a lot of vegetables, boiled, fried, made pickles, eaten raw. Many broths are especially sour, while the number of animal-based dishes is often less. The most commonly used meats are pork, beef, chicken, swan, duck, shrimp, fish, crabs, mussels, clams, and oysters. The natural landscape of Vietnam is unmatched. Vietnam is home to an extensive collection of historical and cultural attractions, Vietnam is undoubtedly one of the most fascinating countries in Southeast Asia. Nature enthusiasts can also find plenty of sightseeing opportunities throughout their holiday, ranging from pristine beaches, untouched islets to towering mountains, and tropical forests housing thousands of rare wildlife species. There's even a Sahara-like desert landscape where you can enjoy thrilling activities, such as sandboarding and quad biking. Vietnam offers incredible opportunities to foreign teachers. Vietnam also creates many opportunities for foreign teachers who want to teach English in this country. Such as high salaries, salaries for English teachers in Vietnam are resoundingly higher than in any country in Southeast Asia. Whether you are an experienced ESL teacher or brand new to the industry, expect to earn between $18 to $25 US an hour. While having a TEFL certificate and a university degree is encouraged, and will help your chances of finding a high-paying job teaching English in Vietnam, especially entirely possible to secure a livable wage without them, it's rapidly developing economy ensures plenty of employment opportunities for teachers of all experience levels. Grow in the low cost of living, relatively high wages, and the abundant travel opportunities that living in Vietnam presents to you, and it's hard to argue against Vietnam being the premier destination for teaching English abroad. Are you ready to teach English in Vietnam?


Hey Denver, this is what I'm about to do to you all the game. Get ready. Honestly, that probably is what I'm about to do all game. Welcome, ladies and gentlemen, to my first ever NBA 2K pack and play. I'm gonna be going up against my editor Denver. If you don't know, he has a channel. He's awesome. I love the guy.  I'm so used to mud draft. It sounds weird for me to say that. Also, 2K doesn't actually even have their own draft mode. So we'll be using 2K MT Central. To draft the squad, whatever I get, I'll put it in here. And then I'll go one-on-one versus Denver and he's doing the exact same thing. Doing this off my phone because I'm ratchet. Why am I on private mode, you ask? You already know why I'm on private mode. Let's not pretend like we don't know. What's good, boys? I'm at work right now for Frito Lay.  Well, for one, I'll tell you that I definitely wouldn't fake it because my draft sucked. I think my best player was Galaxy Oble Steve Nash.  I'm sorry. My wiener's small, that makes me feel any better. I'm totally messed up the draft. However, I got Galaxy Oble Steve Nash as starting point guard. Shit. Galaxy Oble Paul Pierce. Also a bummy Galaxy Oble. I have Pink Diamond DeMarcus Cousins. I have Pink Diamond Nicola Yolkich. Gordon Hayward and a Diamond T-Mac. So if you think I fake that draft, then you're just a conspiracy theorist because I don't know what to say to you. Denver, I love you. I'm sorry. Goodbye, friends. I'm going to go back to work. And that Galaxy Oble Steve Nash is pretty cheap. Look at that, bro. $14,000 in entity. I just got a very minor snipe on Galaxy Oble Steve Nash. All right, my bench players, none of them are going to get any time other than the Yolkich that I got in one of the sub packs. So, um, I'll fill the lineup in and you guys can check it out right now. All right, boys, this is our completed squad, Steve Nash, T-Mac, Paul Pierce, Yolkich, Marcus Cousins, and then Gordon Hayward, Kareem, JR, Jason Kidd, and Dennis Rodman will be coming off the bench. Denver, you're going to get your cheeks clapped. I hope you understand that. I'm playing Borderlands 2 while I wait. Borderlands 3 is about to come out, so I'm getting pretty hyped. Oh, also Denver, if you beat me, I'm paying you $1.50 per hour, just like Ellen, you would. So, I hope you lose. Denver, your field, you can include some of this if you want. Three days later. I'll admit on your screen, right? Yay! That's scatty. My draft was bizarre, but I mean, I don't really, I think it'll be good enough. Damn, you got the Michael Jordan. That's crispy. Come on. Let's go, Ricky.  Wait, Jordan! All you said! I forgot in six minutes, too. That's too long. Yeah, that is pretty long, dude. All right, let's go, dude. No, that's awful. Let's go. Let's go, dude. No! This game doesn't feel like it is. That last game that we played, you guys didn't know me and Denver played a game before, and we had a little difficulty issue, but... Let me screen. Ah, whatever. The game sounded so loud on what? Your headphones? This dude's a cow, but we like blasted it off. And this is probably my second game on Xbox. It's a little tough, but, you know, we'll get used to it. It's all the exact same controls. Dude, I can't believe it. I gotta give it to Mike. Give it to Mike. That's pretty good. That's pretty good. I almost looked at beat him by 20. I expected you to beat me by exactly 25, let's go. From 75 to 100. An athletic white guy. He looks like Durga. He looks like a guy who wants to be like Durga. Kind of looks like you, Loki. Okay. You're getting bullied. You're getting bullied right now. I'm not losing you. Bro, if you beat me, I'm paying you $1.50 per hour. I hope you understand that. I'm gonna cry today. I'm gonna cry today. Butter! No, no. That's all. That's all. No, no, this is a steal. This is a steal.   You really did call it, actually. Let's go, baby. Let's go. I'm not supposed to be double-teaming. One more. Let's go. Guys, if you guys don't know, before I was starting this, I was to the gym and I'm saying do a lot of activities. Bro, this dude was playing Borderlands the whole time. Wasting my time. Me. Keep some of this in there. Okay. Steve Nash. Green.  Yeah, I did that. Oh, but I did get the ball back. Okay. I don't know Rick Smith's house. Let's go.  That's so bummed. Bang bang. They disrespected you. Jason Kidd, you got to strap this butter. Butter. Butter. Let's go. Disrespect Jason Kidd like that. I really can't believe it. Jason Kidd's going to clamp you down. Yo, you always hit it.  Oh God, I'm jumping. This is all bad. This is very bad. Why can you pause in the middle of the ball? It doesn't even make sense. Can I ask you the thought process of you jumping multiple times there? I kept figuring that you were just going to shoot it eventually, but you just never... Can I get the thought process on that brick? Are you getting worried? Come on. It feels like you're getting worried. No. I just got to win by a lot of points, you know? I don't know if that's going to happen. I'll literally get flamed if I don't. Yo, you are shooting terrible shots. How is that a terrible shot? You're shooting deep-ass threes. I got a cheese. I got a cheese. This guy doesn't know about the cheese. That won. That won. Yeah, ball don't lie.  Ball don't lie. Oh my God. I'm sorry, good sir. I did not get big. Oh, damn.  Come on. Come on. Dude, what do you have against the Marge's cousins? That's just like his nickname.  Come on. I don't think I've ever heard that. Let's go. On the way. I won. Oh my God. Oh my God. Oh my God.  That wasn't that good. I'll leave Jason's kid wide open. Jason's kid's going to pull you. Let's go. He was built in the post. He was born in the post. Like, I can't stand some of the shots you shoot. Like, oh God. That's the best shot. Why would I take a contested ugly S3 when I could do it? Oh, you're telling me that's a better shot? Come on. Come on. That was bad. Like, when I actually record it, I think it's so fun. All right. Hey, word. Let's go.  Who wants it? Pull up. Pull up. I'll leave you open. Dude, the health defense came.  You're talking to one of the goats. You're such a guy. It's a close one. It's anyone's game, really. I'm just keeping it close, you know, for your confidence. Being a nice guy. Okay. I hope for your sake that that is the case. Hey, remember I said 100 points. Remember that.  It will not happen. You really don't think so? Yes. Let's go. Let's go. That's plan.  You're talking to Princess. Tell princess it's 65 to 67. Hey Princess. Amber is losing. He's getting so mad. Literally because he's white. On his head. It's pulling away. It's pulling away from you. It's pulling away from you. It's not. Actually Okay, let me Oh, wait, sorry. I had to pause real quick That's all I don't want to blow him out because that would be boring. Okay, so we're gonna keep this close Uh, you know, that's not true.  If you want to be good at 2k 20 You gotta have some respect for yourself That's the pick and roll it's easy he doesn't know about you know what i'm saying You say that I'll take another dose. Okay. Okay, Debra. It kind of looks like you're gonna lose Okay, really looks like you're gonna lose He's not happy. Oh, dude. This is the pick and roll.  You just played literal straight off Ah, let's go. I don't know what he's talking about. Well, let's go. Come on. Let's go Who's on him? Who's on him? Let's go. That's a green No, Gilbert arenas Oh, get that ball. Let's go Thank you very much. All right. I'll reset that I don't have a lot of time. Let's go. Is that a shooting find? Yes Yo, kid. Yo, kid. You just got hit two more.  He does not have a good free throw though Oh No, we bricked it. Let's go. Let's go. Come on. Come on. Come on All the way I want I want This is too small Let's go Like boogie, what are you doing? What are you doing? Get out somebody get out. Uh-huh. Come on. Put the clothes out. Yes. What boogie? No, no, we got to come on. Yo, kid. Quick. Do it quick. Do it. Good spin. Quick. I would have stood. You know now son I'll allow your timer to continue. It's going to take a massive choke just here. No, no, no Oh my god. No, let's go. Let's go. Let's go. Let's go. Let's go. Relax bike so hard Yo, kid.  All right. Yo, kid. How is that not a steal? I need one. Yo, kid. Oh, this is the bonus He has to hit this one. Fuck. Come on. Yo, kid. Come on. Yo, kid. Oh 82 87 dead second class on the bright side Denver, you will not be getting paid a dollar 50 hour bro Yeah, I don't know how you beat me by 25 last time Bro, no, no, no the culture Nash. Come on. This one's for the college. I don't know his release, but he's got 98 Miss one please for the culture. Let's go.   I can't I actually can't lose to you, bro. It'd be like that sometimes It really do you had 43 with Yeah, bro. So am I nine team at jordan.  I like guys, you know like guys, okay. You have seen me play against comp players, bro Okay I'm a competitive player if you stop stop Stop Ladies and gentlemen, I'm a god clearly. I love you at all Obviously you guys got to check out denver. Uh, he edits most probably I would say like exactly half or a little bit more than half of All the videos you see so if you ever watch a video and you laugh really hard because of like an editor or something It was definitely him. So uh, if you like my stuff, you definitely like his stuff because he makes my stuff Either way, he'll be linked in the description. This was a super fun game I'm glad we did this and I'll see you guys in the next episode. Peace out


We must raise the minimum wage. He's right. We must. Actually, minimum wage laws aren't as benevolent as you might think. Ugh, let me guess.  Not only does a minimum wage in general reduce employment, it can be argued that it was actually initially developed to do so. In fact, early 20th century socialist thought leader Sidney Webb wrote an article entitled, The Economic Theory of a Legal Minimum Wage, in which he described married women, the disabled, and other quote, invalids, unquote, as parasites who were taking work from able-bodied men. See, it was understood by many early on that minimum wage laws were there to price the less fit out of the marketplace. As a result, minimum wage laws were adopted early on by white racists to push ethnic minorities and immigrants out of the job. A Harvard professor of that era referred approvingly to Australia's minimum wage law as a means to protect the white Australian standard of living from the invidious competition of the colored racists, particularly the Chinese. Yep, and in the U.S., before federal minimum wage laws were instituted, black unemployment was actually slightly lower than white unemployment. But unfortunately, that trend reversed. Because whenever the price of a good or service is artificially increased, people buy or use less of that thing. This is why some places increase taxes on things like cigarettes and gasoline, because they want fewer people to buy them. Because if raising the price of gasoline means fewer people buy gas, and raising the price of cigarettes means fewer people buy cigarettes, then raising the price of labor means we've solved poverty in your neoliberal bigot for disagreeing with such a policy. I get what he's saying. Minimum wage laws don't always help the way we think they should. When you raise the cost of labor, fewer people will buy it, and low-skilled laborers never get the opportunity to improve their skills and living circumstances because no one will hire them. Nonsense! How else are we supposed to help the poor survive when it's so hard to make ends meet? Well, you could stop taking 20% of their income through taxation. Besides that, big businesses make so much money, and they can't even pay their workers. Why not just force them to hire people? Well, because most businesses in this country are small businesses, and no, they can't afford minimum wage increases. And if you shut them down because of that, they never grow to the point where they can afford to pay anyone a full-time salary. I mean, you should understand this.  How much do you pay your workers? Oh, they're unpaid interns.


Hey guys I bring you another amazing XP farm for both Couture XP and Weapon Mastery XP so let's go. How's it going people my name is DPJ and if you enjoyed the video leaving a like really helps out and if you like what you see and want to see more be sure to subscribe. So I have posted a couple of farms where you kite enemies, gather them up and then just destroy them for tons of XP and while today I bring you the best I have seen so far for players at around that level 45. If you are under a level 45 come here in a group you will earn a ton of XP, I mean you will still earn XP here if you are above a level 45 and it's absolutely incredible for that Weapon Mastery XP when you are above a level 45 but in terms of Couture XP once you do hit a level 45 and do this the XP does start to dip slightly. So this spot is north of the wrestler shore and actually just behind the last XP kite farming spot I posted except here there's many more enemies that you can kite together so from this point you see me on the map right here round the enemies up as I do on screen now follow this exact route to attract maximum adds I would suggest you come here in ATM like I said if you can't manage this solo as there are many many adds here and to do this by yourself even above a level 45 would be pretty hard but do this in a team and for sure you will earn yourself stupid amounts of XP between 600 to 1000 per run more if you have XP boosts in this area so it's basically a bounty a run which can do more or less every single minute it's that crazy so yeah guys enjoy this amazing farm while you can as I do believe that these kinds of farms these kiting farms where you just gather enemies up eventually will be patched out of the game as we've recently seen with a poor farm unfortunately but yes I hope this video helps you out people if it does leaving a like really helps me out if you're new around here once a more new world be sure to subscribe and if you never want to miss a video I upload can turn notifications on by hitting that bell button but guys thanks as always for stopping by and hopefully I will see you on that next one


Russians turned nuclear plant into military base in Ukraine, world is close to nuclear catastrophe. We are dangerously close to a nuclear accident. This statement was made by International Atomic Energy Agency Director General Raphael Grossi at a meeting of the UN Security Council speaking about the recent shelling of the Zaporizia nuclear power plant. According to Grossi, on April the 7th the plant was hit by direct attacks the first time since November 2022. One of the strikes hit the protective dome of Zaporizia nuclear power plant reactor 6 and two more hit objects near the buildings where the reactors are located, injuring at least one person. According to Grossi, the damage to the dome was external but such an attack sets a very dangerous precedent for a successful strike on the reactor's protective shell. Zaporizia nuclear power plant has been under occupation for more than two years. The Russians are staging explosions at the plant and intimidating workers. Ukraine has become the only country in the world to have a nuclear power plant seized by another country. Russia in violation of all international conventions has done so twice. The Chernobyl nuclear power plant was liberated and the Zaporizia nuclear power plant near Ernohoda is still under Russian control. The few employees who remained in Ernohoda were forced to sign contracts. Some of them decided to stay to ensure the safety of the plant which means the safety of the whole world. Due to the actions of the Russian troops the plant has experienced eight complete and one partial blackout since the beginning of the full scale war. The deployment of military equipment at the repair sites was recorded at five of the six power units. Russian military personnel are deployed at each power unit in special buildings and the laboratory and amenity buildings of the Zaporizia nuclear power plant. It has long been obvious that from the first day of the Russian occupation the Russian troops turned the nuclear power plant into a military base. Israel will soon respond to Iran's attack. The danger of a large scale war is increasing. Israel may soon take actions in response to Iran's strike on Israeli military objects. The Wall Street Journal reports citing sources. It is noted that the drone and missile attack launched by Iran on Saturday is the first time Iran has directly attacked Israel from Iranian territory. Israel has conducted hundreds of airstrikes against Iranian targets and its militia allies throughout the Middle East a campaign that Israel rarely acknowledges but has long been an open secret. The airstrike in Syria that prompted the Iranian attack on Israel however hit what Iran said was a diplomatic building and akin to striking Iranian territory. The attack is seen as a potentially rewriting the rules of engagement in Iran and Israel's long-running shadow war. The newspaper does not specify the exact date of response to the attack while its sources say the United States won't join any such offensive by Israel. Washington insists that Israel should not take any action which could lead to further escalation. The New York Times said that officials made no statements after the session of the military cabinet of ministers of Israel on April the 14th. However, an official familiar with the course of discussions confirmed that Israel will undoubtedly respond to Iran's attack. The New York Times reported earlier citing sources that Israel's response will be coordinated with allies though not specifying which allies are meant. Israel reacted angrily to the unprecedented strikes while praising its military response. Defense Minister Joav Galant said the attack was thwarted in a way that is unparalleled but added we must be prepared for every scenario. Israel and Iran are long-standing rivals and have been engaged in a shadow war for years. Israel's war on Hamas waged since the militant group attacked Israel on October the 7th has heightened those tensions. Iranian-backed forces in Iraq and Syria have launched attacks aimed at US military positions in those countries and Iran's leadership has warned that attacks by its allies won't stop until Israel's war in Gaza ends. But fears of a spiralling regional war spiked further in early April when Iran accused Israel of bombing its diplomatic complex in Syria.