The following is a presentation of TFNN. The TFNN Bull Bear Training Hour. Every training day, live at 10 a.m. Eastern. Call now. Call free at<PHONE_NUMBER> or internationally at<PHONE_NUMBER>. The TFNN Bull Bear Training Hour. Now, Tommy and Tommy O'Brien. Good morning, everybody. Tommy O'Brien. I'm fortunate today to be joined by our man, Basil Chapman, filling in for Tom. Basil, good morning. Good morning to you. How are you? I'm doing well, man. Happy post-4th of July. How was your fourth? It was very good. Quiet, but good. Usually we'd go to some friends on the fourth this year. We're going to be doing it on Sunday, so it's delayed, but that's good. Yeah, it's a little bit of an interesting holiday, right? You get half a day Wednesday. You get off Thursday. For us, a lot of people off Friday, but you got to come back to work on Friday because a lot of the celebrations last night, I was fortunate actually. Bloomberg played the Boston Pops with those fireworks, so I was watching those at home last night, ringing in. Yeah, and what a beautiful day. They do. They do such a great job. Absolutely. You know, some people go on the day before and get their seats in there. Right? They want those front row Esplanade seats. That's right. That's right. Got to love it. It's interesting because it was 1929 when the Boston Pops started with Arthur Fiedler. Amazing. Yeah. History is amazing, man. The world has changed a lot since 1929. 90 years, amazing. That doesn't even feel like 90 years. I was born 80, but it's 2019, amazingly enough. Back to the market, folks. We got a negative action to start things off. The Dow negative 144 points, trading 26, 8, 21. We got S&Ps negative by about 18, trading at 29, 77. Nasdaq negative by 52, turning at 8,117. Jobs number coming in this morning. Big number, 224,000. The market reacting, the potential for maybe not as high of a probability of a rate cut. You're seeing yields, 10-year jumping from about 1.98 back to 2.05. Market pulling back a bit on the probability that there might not be as high of a probability of that rate cut coming. So Basil, what's your take on the market reaction and this jobs number? Pretty interesting that it's quite a world we live in where you get great economic news and the markets always worry that that means things are too good and the rates are going to come back. It's an inverse relationship almost to how it used to be, but that is the reality we live in. So, there were a couple of things going on. What I was telling my subscribers to my opening call because we've been long since the low of June the 3rd, and I had said when I was doing my work over the weekend, in fact I did quite a lot of work from the close on Wednesday through Thursday night time just to go through a lot of charts, I did a lot of work on stuff that I don't ever get a chance to look at in depth and that was really very, I would say it was very rewarding to do that. So this is what I, the conclusion I'd come to already back on Wednesday I said I anticipate that in the next few days we're going to make some kind of a top in the market and it's a top that could be, I'll call it a short term top, but I think it could be a surprise and a lot of things could be changing and I'll explain why if I've got a moment. Go for it. So in the Dow we always look at, let me just do this real quickly here, this is patterns we always, the core patterns in the Chapman wave we try to identify a low bar, merely count E successively higher bar, every higher peak, up a case on the way up, when you get to the 4th highest peak A, B, C, D, that D is where other things can happen, it's as simple as that, the object of the Chapman wave methodologies to get you from that low point to at least a D, then it could recycle a whole bunch of things, but at D that's what you've got to be careful of, I think there are only three particular patterns in the market straight up straight down like this left side horizontal, I'm sorry, diagonal line, then there's a cup formation or a cup formation or an arch formation and then you can get a combination, so basically you're looking at straight up straight down, you got the arch or you got the cup and those could be V shaped patterns but it's the same principle, going from one point, rounding, coming back to it, testing it, rounding up to one point, coming down and then going back to test that upside action, so now let's get rid of this and see exactly what's happening here, so we've got that low bar from the right here on the third, at the low of 24,680 we start up and we go straight up and what do we get to, we get to a peak C, but within that context is a pattern that I call the Chapman Wave inside track repellent zone and you can see right here, it means that when you get into this area, there's a good chance that unless you snap right through it, this is going to be a repellent zone, if it was on the way down, it would be a propellent zone, but this is leg C in the down, but look at this, the S and P right here, you've got to a leg D, it's probably a peak D today, what do I always say, D is where you've got to be somewhat careful and look at the QQQ, it went to an E, so everything there was telling me that we are in a very important moment in terms of price and time and that I'm anticipating, I say to subscribers, let's take a little bit off our long position because I think we're getting to the area where there's going to be a lot of resistance, so at the open or if people were able to do it before the open, we got out of a little bit of our long position in the down and because of that, I'm saying that with the down, there should be somehow some way, I don't know how this works, but there should be another nominal new high in the down to a leg D, that'll be above the high of Friday, which was 26,966, my automatic Chapman wave projections of resistance and support, right here you can see 26,999, that's right, yeah, 999 is going to be a resistance and we got that peak D in the 120-minute chart and we're pulling back, so that's one area. Now, if we look at the bonds, this is also going to be very interesting because bonds, I said, let's be careful here, I think the yields are going to have a little bit of a balance and here we've gotten, we don't know yet because today is, what was the high, 157, 237, sorry, 157 and 230 seconds on the fourth and that was overnight, I guess that was last night where the market was open overseas, 157 and 230 seconds, so we are in a leg D with a strong rate candle, I suspect that the bonds are going to be pulling back a little bit right here, but look at gold and the reason why, I think this is such an important moment, look at the gold, we made a peak F and we did a double top and now we're pulling back sharply, so if you're looking at the different important areas and I was going to ask you questions, so let me just finish to say, I think this is a very important moment, I would not be surprised if the market is in the process of making some kind of a shorter term top and even if there's a normal new high in the Dow, nothing is going to go much higher than the high of Wednesday and that's where I stand, my question to you is, since your dad's deep into real estate as well as having the gold newsletter, what do you think about the rates right now? Yeah, it's, if you can figure out rates like we always say, you'll figure out the whole piece of the pie as in they seem to be driving everything and that's what's so interesting is these jobs numbers come out and the market takes things inversely as in if things are going too well, then that means that the cuts might not be coming down the line and sitting at 2%, we've had such a run, I mean you did a great job of looking at those markets, when you look at the Dow, what did we go, 2,000, 2,500 points in the Dow in the month of June alone? It was a fact, absolutely. You know, the cues I think you just had went from 170 to 195, you're talking about 25 points when it was trading at 170, what's that 15% in the month of June, let alone where rates have come from and the run that gold has had, so it's natural and you know, it's great to see it on your Chapman wave, it's natural to get these kind of pullbacks I think when you've had that type of a run, so we'll finish it up right after this break, folks, come on back in three minutes. The Taz Profile Scanner is the most revolutionary piece of trading software that you will ever try. Wouldn't you like to approach the markets with confidence? As you begin your trading day, it's likely that you'll be faced with lots of decisions. In order to make the best decision, the first thing you'll need is a strategy that will help you minimize your risks. Whether we're in a bull or bear market, a good strategy is to have the tools needed to help you scan and analyze the markets before you trade. The Taz Profile Scanner instantly scans and filters over 2,500 global financial markets such as stocks, ETFs, commodity futures, and forex. Headed by Steve Dahl, president of Taz Market Profile, the Taz Profile Scanner understands that in today's technological world, the use of top flight software applications, automated trading algorithms, and technical analysis expertise is essential to successful trading in today's market. Whether you're looking at the trade matrix, the ETF heat grid, the market breadth, the landscape charts, or the many other features of the Taz Profile Scanner, this is a piece of software that will revolutionize how you look at the markets and set up your trades. The team at Taz has even put together a 12 part video series to walk you through every aspect of the Taz Profile Scanner, which you can find directly on the Taz Order page at TFNN.com. Sign up now for only $197 a month with the risk-free 30 day trial so you have nothing to lose and everything to gain. See for yourself how you can harness the full power of the Taz Profile Scanner by visiting the front page of TFNN.com today and you'll find the Taz Profile Scanner under the services section. Remember with a 30 day money back guarantee you have nothing to lose. Don't let another day pass you by without trying out this amazing piece of software that will revolutionize how you look at the market and how you place trades. Sign up today. Many of our new listeners have heard about the Tiger's Den. The Tiger's Den is a lively community where professional traders and investors can meet, exchange ideas and information in a comfortable moderated atmosphere. Hear all of the TFNN shows plus see all of the charts as they happen live and have access to archives of all of those charts. You can test drive the Tiger's Den absolutely free for 30 days and greatly enrich your knowledge of these markets and how to make your money work for you. Details on the Tiger's Den are on the front page of TFNN.com. TFNN has launched our brand new website. You can still visit us at the same TFNN.com URL, but when you do you'll see a new and improved homepage with a much simpler navigation, whether you're watching Tiger TV live in high definition or just accessing your newsletter subscriptions. We even have new pricing in six months and yearly options. Check out the new TFNN.com now and experience all the upgrades. TFNN.com educating investors. 873 7618 folks. I'm Tommy O'Brien joined by Basil Chapman this morning. We got markets hanging around negative territory. Dow still down about 150 S&P is negative by about 22 7 tenths percent. Nasdaq negative by about 60 about 7 tenths percent percent as well. So Basil just finished in that conversation we were having in terms of these moves. I was just playing around with some of the Fibonacci retracements that we've had since that June 3rd run basically up into the highs we had as of Wednesday. And I got the chart up here. So you know the 38% retracement level is pretty decently below anywhere we're at. Now the Q's they made a run from about 170 up to 191 44. You know you put a Fibonacci there if you want to get to the 38% you all you got to get all the way back down to basically 183 we're trading at 189 78 looking at the gold contract. Pretty similar action. I had this down here. So we went gold. I mean pretty remarkable. We're trading at 1280 on coming into June. We've reached 1442 the 38% on that number about 1380 so much closer to that number. We almost made it down there in the beginning of this week. Right. And then we got quite a flush up to almost 1440 again for that kind of double top that you want to keep your eye on for sure. But you know it's not like it's an unhealthy pullback maybe not the best case scenario getting that double top but still above that 38% and then I just pulled up the TLT for a quick reference for the bonds and similar story. I mean huge run right TLT was sitting there at about 125 makes it all the way up to 134 the 38% on that is still more than a solid point 1381 as we sit in the 10 year at what 2.05 2.06 yeah 2.068% right now in the 10 year I have. So you know when I see that pullback that's kind of what I look to you know when we start getting back to those numbers if this really gets deep into that range then I'll have to kind of reevaluate but as of right now not kind of the end of the world you know you'd want to keep your eye on things for sure because it's interesting today being such kind of an obscure day in terms of the market action what we may see so slow in the market a lot of people even if they don't have off and they would probably take off right you know in terms of a weekend holiday July 4th you take off Friday and you get yourself almost a four and a half five day weekend so the roads were absolutely empty so yes mine was as well as Florida and I also heard that on Wednesday the the the ride down to the Cape was busy as of like 11 a.m. as in the Wednesday they they're also as well.  Yeah, so that would make sense as in everyone's away for the weekend. So to be really interesting to see how things happen on Monday when kind of people are back in action as much as much as you can be for a July Monday but back in action kind of taking heat of what this means for the rate cuts coming down the line and what it means for the market. Well two things one is if you're looking at the Philadelphia housing sector index the data has just gone to a leg D and making a peak D as we speak the technicals are good but there's a pattern I always look for is like an M shaped pattern in the MACD the moving average convergence divergence and this right side is showing the price went up much sharper than the technicals and that says yep at 318 it could pull back towards a 315, 310 area just give back some of the gains that were made but it's huge gain going from 227 in December to the most recent high a few days ago 324. I mean this is 100 points in in the housing sector index and the all-time high was 369 in January of 2018 slumped down to the 227 level quite a move kind of it's about yeah it's made it's made over 50% you know you can understand there's a bit of a breather but I did want to mention you were talking in your really excellent concise that was the 10 a.m. market update you were talking about the semis so look at the SMH's I was waiting to jump over quite a move today yeah well I what I did was as I say I had time to do a couple of things I like to do overlapping where you've got the core something that's very important then you overlap something else it kind of correlates nice in this case the SMH's that's the red pattern you can see here and the green is teledyne well I've followed teledyne for years and years decades actually that's it's now called teledyne what is it technologies and they're into semiconductors and other other tech the electronic technology area and also different gas meters and things like that but the semis is really important they made a new all-time high let me show the actual chart right here just the other day they went that yeah and I said a peak C as well that went to 279 said spectacular move from 232 just in june but the low was 190 in December so this is a spectacular move a move and this is crazy I was talking to your dad about the billing to the semiconductor industry and I showed him charts from January and February and March and the semiconductors had taken out taken off in a fantastic move to the upside they went from in fact 97 to the most recent high just on the first of July to 115 but the billing has been terrible except I don't have the latest figures but even the April showed that there was probably a minus 20 or something which is I mean that's that's really quite negative yeah so sometimes the indexes or the stocks get away from the around there's a divergence between the emotional part where people are buying sure and the technical I like to do an MRI of the patient and the x-ray yes there's well wait a minute so is this teledyne and first of all is the semiconductor telling us that the billings are starting to improve well some Samsung just came out and said things are not great I was waiting to drop that the second quarter profit likely fell 56% from a year ago was the headline yeah so look the estimators are down $1.70 today but that's a fabulous percentage move so this says to me now I've got a lot of work over the weekend to do because I'm trying to project out to say wait a minute teledyne doing this well it must be other parts of the business as well yes can't just be the semis yes it's it's getting kind of complicated in the sense that we're in unexplored territory right now we're looking at all-time highs we're looking at a lot of diversions in statistics that are coming up and the prices and some of it's good and some of it's bad so this is a period where I think you got to be a little bit cautious just to say wait a minute we're looking at the lowest yields that we've had in decades over the past four or five years and it's still at the lows and yet the housing sector you would expect that the housing sector the correlation to me would say hey wait a minute housing should be at all-time highs so they're not they've had a really good rally but they're only kind of halfway from the well-time high so trying to put the whole picture together makes it a lot more complex there's there two ways to look at it either you do a lot of homework or you just simply say you know what this is a mega bull market the rates are the lowest they've been people have nowhere else to put their money just back off go on holiday take a wool trip to a we're going higher I mean that's an easy way to you know what I'm saying yes it's been easy because that's been the reality for nine years right it's pretty amazing horrible headlines and you just keep making new highs it is pretty amazing we'll see if we can continue but I know just Wednesday we're s&p's new highs right across the board and uh and we might have rate cuts to go along with that how do we we'll see we're going to continue this conversation in three minutes folks come on back with us hi folks Tom O'Brien here if you like to get my daily newsletter market insights then now is a great time to sign up for a 30 day free trial every morning by 9 30 I send out my morning letter to subscribers with market commentary on a variety of markets currencies and commodities to keep investors up to date on the day's trading action included in market insights are specific buy and sell recommendations for stocks ETFs and even options with stops and price targets included for every trade in my newsletter if you'd like to try my newsletter risk free for 30 days then head over to the front page of TFNN and you'll find market insights under trading newsletters I use my years of trading experience to bisect and dissect the market every morning and give my subscribers the most important information they need to know for the day ahead I even issue afternoon updates my subscribers whenever warranted with important market action I'm always scouring the market for the next great trading opportunity sign up for your 30 day free trial to my daily newsletter market insights today by visiting the front page of TFNN.com well go get them folks the path of least resistance is David White's daily trading newsletter and if you're looking for active trading ideas then now is a perfect time for a 30 day free trial to this powerful daily trading advisory service David uses his years of trading experience to offer his subscribers his trading ideas each morning in his path of least resistance newsletter using a combination of equity trades along with options David keeps his subscribers up to date with all pertinent market information with intraday afternoon updates when warranted don't miss out on this great chance to get a 30 day free trial to David's daily newsletter the path of least resistance with no obligation to pay anything David has been delivering solid recommendations for his subscribers recently and if you'd like to see the type of newsletter he delivers every morning then visit the front page of TFNN and you'll find the path of least resistance under trading newsletters for all the details and to start your 30 day free trial today log on to TFNN.com now TFNN is excited about our new software charting program the art of timing the trade charts in collaboration with Tom O'Brien and using his best selling book the art of timing the trade your ultimate trading mastery system David White has programmed an outstanding piece of software that will complement any trader's methodology using this first of its kind program the art of timing the trade charts allows you to scan thousands of stocks for Fibonacci formation setups including guardleys, ABCs, butterflies and much more the art of timing the trade charts is designed to help you when scouring the markets for stocks just beginning to form the trading patterns that many investors spend days weeks or even months searching to find and right now we're offering licenses available at only seventy nine dollars a month we are so confident that you're going to love this new charting software that will even give you a 30 day unconditional money back guarantee don't miss out on this incredible new piece of software get your copy of the art of timing the trade charts today by visiting tfnn.com this segment is brought to you by think or swim for more information just click the think or swim banner on the front page of tfnn.com folks Tommy O'Brien joined by Basil Chapman this morning we got markets slipping a little bit into more negative territory down now negative one seventy seven S&P's negative twenty three Nasdaq negative by sixty five Basil I just want to dig into that actual payroll and what is in there for a moment because that of course driving a lot of the action that we're getting this morning so the headline number of course we've heard it many times two hundred and twenty four thousand jobs added in June expectation had been about one sixty five unemployment rate actually hedging a bit higher from three point six to three point seven still right next to that fifty year low wage growth three point one percent year over year pretty much in line with expectations and I just want to break down where those jobs actually came from always kind of interesting to see professional and business services led the job gains with fifty one thousand health care added thirty five thousand transportation and warehousing contributed another twenty four construction coming in with twenty one thousand and manufacturing despite teetering on contraction recently saw seventeen thousand jobs added and then you get uh let's see uh so that's pretty much a breakdown there so interesting those are very important areas yeah right no I I agree um one of the things we had talked to Kevin Hinks about is that you know you might see in the coming months a tick up in government jobs having to do with the census coming in 2020 that will contribute in some capacity these non-farm payroll numbers coming in at some point um I didn't see that number up there so far but we'll keep our eye on it but decent numbers man across the board in very important categories like you're talking about you know whether it's health care professional business services construction twenty one thousand always good to see construction manufacturing um numbers for the economy for sure and you know I had a question it was just sent to me isn't the market going down because the jobs report might mean no rate cut or reduced rate cut in July curious on your thoughts so um you know there are a couple of things going on the Fed is in a situation where the market is kind of taking care of a lot of things without them doing very much and at the same time the way they look at the figures the way they've announced that they're going to be looking at the figures and they have looked at the figures before means that exactly what you were talking about when you mentioned the jobs these are the particular jobs that really count because this is what leads to more growth in the sense that now um people can afford houses a little easier yes because the job security but it wasn't that over the last six months what I've noticed is that the number of how do I put this the number of switches in jobs in other words people have become comfortable enough to resign or quit their job okay move to a better paying job or a job that they want and that to me is always the criteria that's most important because when the comfortability factor increases three things are happening one is it means a certain amount of time has gone by that people say okay we've kind of tested everything I don't feel that the economy is as bad as the news media is making out I think things are quite things are quite good that's number one number two is I've got a job that I've kind of stuck with for a period of time and I don't see the growth possibilities but I didn't want to give it up because who knows if I could have gone in a better job now I feel I can get a better job I'm going to take that risk and the third thing is there is economic growth because the comfortability factor means that their people are feeling a little more secure economically therefore they can take the gamble which you couldn't be for because you could be stuck for not one month it could be six or eight months without a job yeah so I think that that to me is I think those are the criteria if I was at the Fed that's what I'd be looking at when those things change then I'd say uh-oh now the economy could be in trouble so as it stands right now I think this is the market reaction to me it's just a technical we were anticipating some kind of a pullback in any case and at the same time the timing is just right because we were very overboard in many sectors so if you are looking at it in terms of this is a perfect time for the market to take a breather it's got an excuse the Fed doesn't really have to do anything just now they have to see how things play out yes kind of the summertime they must have a full month right they really do I think it's July 31st is their next time another month right I think it's the end of the month yes I think so just give them time they don't have to rush into doing that that allows me to say that means the the the cap that I'm looking at in the market on the shorter term making the 27 000 area for the Dow kind of tough resistance to get through I personally would like a breather not only that there's an area that's working today and we happen to be long for my subscribers from opening call it's in the I shares the broker dealer and securities ETF okay we belong we've been long for a while and it's an area when I did my webinar a couple of weeks ago I mentioned if this area starts to improve it was at the time when I did it we were down to the 61-62 area I said if the IAA which is trading right now 64 68 up 25 cents when the general market's down quite sharply what I'd say is if the brokers if the brokers start to do well and the IAA can start to get to the 65s and then treat the 63s as support and they move higher than the 65s that would tell me that overall the brokers are starting to see the public get into the market to me that would be very a very important sign so this is nice I'm looking at it I'm saying hey I didn't expect that IAA is up to getting in the general markets down I like that that's a good sign to me definitely in terms of the market and that thing popping for sure I'm going to take this opportunity Basil you're talking about a lot your newsletter of course the opening call folks you can come on over Basil does a great job it almost feels like we just got over a weekend Basil right in terms of like I can't believe it's Friday I know Monday I agree and it's I joked this morning when I came in I said I can dig these one day work weeks because that's almost how it feels like you know you're off for two days you come back Friday and you're off for two days not the end of the world but folks Basil does a great job on the weekends even Saturdays he's got an update for subscribers as he's going through those charts Sundays he's got an update I check him out myself I encourage you to come over the front page of TFNN right there the opening call you'll be able to get access to all the archives and of course Basil whether he's got this morning his newsletter over the weekend and then you gain access to four of those archive webinars the one that he just did in June that he was just talking about less than a month ago talking about the tied bullish embarrassed and then he's got three more in there I believe they're all 90-minute webinars you got in there for your subscribers Basil so great time to do it you're down Cape Cod you're out in the beautiful west coast wherever you are on the weekend you can pull that up right on the website and check that out and I'll even get in there I'm in there one second there we go I'm going to show them a quick peek Basil of those archives and because I may watch one this weekend myself so there's the archive section folks you get all those archive webinars let alone you gain access to all of the newsletter Basil puts out so I encourage people check it out over the weekend it's a great time to make it happen Basil I always look forward to those charts the updates you're always putting out good content even on the weekend folks he doesn't stop digesting those markets for sure so back to the markets where we are right now we get the Dow creeping lower approaching 200 points to the negative right now we got S&Ps where are we come on load for me there we go we get the Dow it's not cooperating there we go Dow down 191 folks trading 26,774 NASDAQ now 70 points in the negative S&Ps negative 25 we'll be right back if you are in the cd market and looking for a secure investment the Tiger First mortgage program may work for you the security for these first mortgages are building lots in the tax opportunity zone in St. Petersburg, Florida the tax act of 2018 set up tax-free zones across the country where you can build and hold for 10 years and pay no tax on the profits which makes these lots valuable the investment is anywhere from $30,000 to $75,000 the interest paid is 7% yearly paid on a monthly basis according to bankrate.com the best rate for a four-year cd in the country as of February 20th is 3.1% a $50,000 investment at a normal four-year cd rate of 3.1% would give you income of $1,550 per year or $6,200 over the four-year period that same $50,000 investment in the Tiger First mortgage program would give you $3,500 per year or $14,000 over the four years what should you prefer 6,200 or 14,000 of interest on your investment if you'd like more information about the Tiger First mortgage program you can call me at<PHONE_NUMBER> that's<PHONE_NUMBER> if you haven't checked out the newsletters page of tfnn.com what are you waiting for all of the tfnn newsletters are informative up-to-date affordable and must have for every trader looking to gain a competitive informational edge in today's markets tfnn newsletters cover every aspect of the markets to offer you the very latest in market news plus new subscribers get to test drive our newsletters risk-free for 30 days from all aspects of the markets including stocks bonds metals commodities and tech there's a newsletter to fit your needs exclusively from tfnn stay informed each day you trade and get the competitive edge that will help you stay ahead of the game visit our newsletters page by going to tfnn.com and click the newsletters button near the top of the page tfnn.com educating investors biotech is booming but for how long whether you think the biotech bull has room to run or has run its course trade labu or labd directions daily s and p biotech three times bull and bear ETFs visit directioninvestments.com slash biotech today an investor should consider the investment objectives risks charges and expenses of the direction shares carefully before investing the prospectus and summary prospectus contain this and other information about direction shares to obtain a prospectus or summary prospectus please contact direction shares at<PHONE_NUMBER> the prospectus or summary prospectus should be read carefully before investing an investment in the funds is subject to risk including the possible loss of principal the funds are designed to be utilized only by sophisticated investors such as traders and active investors distributor four-side fund services LLC don't forget you can listen to tfnn live on your mobile device 24 hours per day go to tfnn.com then hit watch tiger tv that's tfnn.com then hit watch tiger tv for the latest market information back folks Tommy O'Brien joined by Basil Chapman this morning we got markets trading lower down now negative 214 we got the s and p is negative by 26 Nasdaq negative by 73 that's a solid nine tenths of a percent we're in session lows as we speak on a slow friday basil i see you checking out the vix over there let's see what's going on i like that yeah so i had a question yeah well i look at the vix show i look at the vix the vix is at 14.39 it's at 1.82 up 14 percent getting a little pop on that negative pullback yeah it is it is it's quite i mean do you realize that on a percentage basis it was down at 12.04 earlier this morning and now it's almost at the highs which is at 14.39 you start playing those percentage games on the vix man watch out no seriously right because you can get that pop and i you know i didn't even realize basil that we were that low on the vix earlier this week because we were kind of hanging around the 15 level for a while even when the market was at all time highs right so i kind of it was a quick drop yeah each of the 14s and then 13 today to hit 12 yeah and uh in my one of the bullet points on my news set on my the uh the final page that i sent out this is the the traders corner uh let's see number 12 bullet point i have the tv ix and i said that it could see a big spike by next week so we got it today and uh but i didn't really want to play that uh the vix index myself because although i anticipated it should be a bad report in fact i wanted to send out something last night but i knew nobody could do anything i didn't even know if anybody would even be looking at july 4 fireworks basil no no charts that time that's right held off until the morning nobody else was right now i was doing some action too i hear you it felt like a sunday night kind of it did that it was so weird yeah but and then i look out the window and i see the fireworks and i thought hey is that is that symbolic of what's going to happen tomorrow right it might be we're early in the market hitting lows yeah yeah so but the issue here is that i have a rule of thumb and i've had this rule of thumb for a long time it used to be slightly different numbers but about 10 maybe 12 years ago i changed the numbers and the numbers would go like this for me if the volatility index is trading in the 13 or so double digits alone in other words 13 to 12 to 11 anywhere below 13 that's usually a good sign means that there's buying in the market especially if it's in the 11s yes yes what's interesting is that once it gets to the mid teens to about the 15 and a half 16 and a half area then you start to see volatility when it goes higher into the upper teens into the 18s and 19s you're pretty much going to see a triple digit down day and a strong double digit down day in the s&p not a guarantee that it'll close there but if the vix index starts to close in the high teens and then not an intraday pop it actually closes there especially two days in a row which doesn't happen very often then once you get to the high 19s and 20s you're going to anticipate very sharp setups that close not necessarily at the lows but close towards the lows of the day so i make it real simple so now we've had a bounce into the 14s still not bad but it says okay be a little careful here because it's the first indication that we've had the vix that the volatility index is being bought and on a quiet day like this you can understand that it moves quickly yes but it also means that some people are buying some insurance definitely insurance yeah and that's that's really important insurance no right on the s&p that's this yes it's up and it's up a big percentage don't ignore it and if it's closes at the high of the day or towards the high of the day anticipate that monday could be a down day yeah so we always talk about our man kevin hanks turned us on to it in terms i know it's out there but he understands this thing upside down the rule of 16 on that vix right so when the vix is sitting at 16 that basically is correlating to when you look at expected market moves and options right that's basically correlating to a 1 percent move in the s&p one out of every three days when it's at 16 so you're right i mean if that's sitting at 16 or 17 it's priced in now the s&p is trading at 2968 a 1 percent move is almost 30 points in the s&p so you're talking about 300 down points yeah right 300 down points exactly every one out of every three days um so if you're above that level that means you're looking for it you know and to put it in so if you move by one and a half times 16 so let's say you go to 24 which i know is above your high teens but that correlates to a one and a half percent move then you're talking about 450 points in the dow one out of every three days if the vix is sitting at 24 so you can see how when you get up to around just like you're saying 15 16 17 18 that's saying the market is going to be moving 1 plus one out of every three days that's almost twice a week you're seeing those types of swings so i would agree man that that is some volatility it's pricing in which is interesting that we're creeping back up to that 15 16 level as you have in the market at all time highs but even in such a great market there's some volatility priced in there's a lot of you know we're dealing with this jobs number and like you said we'll see when we come back Monday but if this holds at 14 15 16 the market's saying you know be careful we might see some volatility for sure so as i'm looking at it my impression right now is that there could be it could be boeing that suddenly has a decent update for a change because it really looks terrible but it's it's kind of oversold technically so maybe boeing or a couple of stocks that's all you need one or two stocks yeah could help the Dow just make a it doesn't have to but i'm anticipating it would be rare to make almost an all-time high without going to a leg D in the daily chart and it was hindered by boeing that's why it didn't participate right so maybe it won't do it this time but it has almost every other time and even then it doesn't matter to me because i'm looking at this and saying i don't want to put on new buys at this particular point because i think that we're getting a little choppy i'd rather wait for some decent pullback and then have a look but i must say looking at those monthly charts and doing the technical work that i did especially over the last two weeks um i like what i see looking out i still think that this is an important market i have a question i don't know if you were at a party or anything yesterday but my question whenever i i speak to people or i come on the air and it's after a holiday my question is how many people came up to you and considering wednesday was an all-time high in the s and p was did anyone mention the stock market at all fortunately not i got a refrain from from stocks uh but then just arbitrarily did somebody say oh man did i get a killing i know they didn't that's a thankfully i did not uh now that doesn't mean that that that is a market consensus right in terms of fortunately there was a pool action there was there was enough of a distraction to stay away from the market um maybe um but we'll see yeah how about yourself well no i i just nobody actually yes right i should i should say no but not true on wednesday did i play tennis on wednesday you know days i think i'll play tennis on wednesday stuff to keep track around these wednesday thursday friday holidays that's right it was tuesday and for the first time in a while two of the players actually said something about like oh what's the market doing is it up again yeah i mean that they didn't know they just had this kind of look as if what the hexganger is it up again so my impression has been that people don't want to get into some kind of a a political conversation it doesn't turn into a conversation it becomes a kind of a a conflagration yes anyone talks partly so to mention stocks is like mentioning the word trump therefore nobody talks about stocks that's my impression yes i could be wrong because they're a little bit correlated because i mean that trade war he's made it he's yeah the trade war has been hitting it so hard but he has said that i'm the stock market and i go together that's what the pressure on the fed of course with interest rates correlates it all ties in folks come on back that's and i come right back i'm certain you are or strive to be one of the best of the best at everything you do in life it's the most common trade that we tigers and tigers share if you're looking to become the best of the best when it comes to managing your money let me teach you to do what most wealth managers tell you can't be done which is how to time the markets i'm steve rhodes author of mastering probability and for the last 12 months timer digest has been tracking my newsletter signals which have earned me the ranking as their number one market timer in the nation for the s and p 500 for the last 12 six and three months timer digest also ranks me as the number one market timer for gold as well the fact is markets can be timed and i'll teach you the exact set of tools that i use that is transform me into one of the best in what i do sign up for mastering probability today by clicking on the newsletter tab on the homepage of tfn.com and get immediate access to workshops where i take you step by step how to use an extraordinary set of tools as well as provide great market calls to sign up today it's amazing to think that tom o bryan started his weekly gold report 17 years ago with the first issue published april 7th 2002 when gold was trading at under $300 per ounce gold peaked at more than $1900 in 2011 and after spending many years consolidating at lower prices gold may be poised for its next big run tom o bryan publishes his weekly gold report every monday morning for subscribers consisting of coverage of the xau hui gdx the dollar bonds south african rand as well as 25 different mining equities with specific buy sell recommendations as of april 1st of this year the gold report currently has eight active positions with an average unrealized profit of almost 8 for each open trade new subscribers get a 30 day money back guarantee so you have nothing to risk for all the details and to start your gold report subscription today visit the front page of tfn.com don't let gold's next big run pass you by sign up today since 1984 basil Chapman has been using the Chapman wave methodology to advise traders of his expert market opinion while originally hand drawing charts from the late 1970s into the 1980s basil noticed that prices under most circumstances virtually always had a certain number of legs to the upside before declining sharply later basil found that computer software which included the standard market technical indicators enhanced the degree of accuracy and calling price turns as well as market trend calls thus was born the Chapman wave sequence using the Chapman wave methodology along with other indicators basil Chapman advises his subscribers of his expert market opinion each market day with his opening call newsletter right now you can get a two week free trial to the opening call basil's daily trading newsletter by visiting the front page of tfn.com cancel it anytime during that trial and pay absolutely nothing get your two week free trial to basil's newsletter the opening call today by visiting tfnn.com this segment is brought to you by think or swim for more information just click the think or swim banner on the front page of tfnn.com folks Tommy O'Brien with Basil Chapman and Basil I just want to jump over Boeing because you make a great point on Boeing where Boeing goes the Dow can go I got up here a weekly chart going back to just 2010 I mean you can see this parabolic run that it's had and Boeing really contributed in the points to the Dow we've reached that four 446 in the beginning of March we're sitting at 352 and I was trying to find an article basil I mean the run that this has had over the last couple years and then the thing is 2000 Dow points if I remember correctly it's it's it's remarkable and it may even be more than that depending on how far you go back right because of the run that it's had I just found an article that was talking about so this article from March 5th and this is just talking about 2019 alone okay the contribution that Boeing had had leading up to almost that high around March now pretty interesting in hindsight looking at where it's gone since then the Boeing is accounted for nearly 30% of the year to date as of March 1st with that index and take a look at the contribution as of March 1st this year 812 points of the Dow Boeing it had now most of those given back of course but just like you're talking about if you get a pop in Boeing look at that contribution next biggest one Goldman Sachs at 216 I mean Boeing just dwarfing so keep that in mind anytime you're looking at the Dow folks I mean Boeing really putting a hamper on that as it's pulled back just like it really drove it through the ceiling as it traded higher always amazing and then you look at the tail end almost you know almost pointless to stare at some of these stocks considering the contribution that they put as compared with the Dow right and of course it's because of the weighting of the Dow and that's the one the only one price weighted I don't know who came up with that idea Basil it makes zero sense to me when you have stocks that are Boeing trading at 446 and then you have a company like Verizon that's you know in the 5060 and just a mammoth company themselves and they contribute one eighth of it well Basil thank you so much for filling in man I always appreciate it and we look forward to the program at noon and then you're back in the saddle at three o'clock three o'clock it's great to be with you thank you Basil have a great one stay tuned folks live programming all Friday have a great day


I'm a New Yorker. I'm a New Yorker. I'm a New Yorker. I'm a New Yorker. And I'll give it to you straight. A city's taken some hits in the past two years. We've been knocked down. But we are getting back up. You can see it in every community. In each corner of the five boroughs. The hope. The heart. The hustle of the city. That won't be kept down. That can't be kept down. A better city isn't just about doing something new. It's about doing something right. It's not about showmanship. It's about showing up. It's about securing nearly 22,000 units of affordable housing. Reopening New York City tourism for 56 million visitors. Creating 100,000 summer jobs for young people. Taking over 6,800 guns of the streets. Adding safety improvements to 1,200 street intersections. Producing 2,500 safe haven stabilization beds for New Yorkers experiencing homelessness. Putting 435 million back in the pockets of 800,000 New Yorkers with an expanded earned income tax credit. Delivering billions of dollars for repairs with the NYCHA Trust. Growing out gifted and talented program by 1,100 seats. And establishing a universal dyslexia screening program in our schools. It's about getting stuff done. For the greatest city in the world. And hey, New York City. We're just getting started.


This film is about the distribution of non-food items. Following a humanitarian crisis, people have been displaced. You work for an organisation providing emergency assistance. For first phase response, you are planning an NFI distribution. The distribution team should include women and people from different groups. The team composition should not put anyone at risk. Consult with the affected populations to identify their needs and work out the best time and location for the distribution. Don't ask questions about difficult experiences when there is nothing you can do to help. Be careful not to give people false expectations or make people more at risk. Make sure you talk to everyone you need to, including the local authorities. Choose distribution locations that are safe for everybody. A poor site might lead to increased exposure to sexual violence or possible confrontation with the host population. Once there is a plan, keep everyone informed. Use distributions to conduct training and share important messages. Have clear criteria for deciding who should be prioritised at the time of the distribution. Identify people who will need help with transport and with building shelters. Ensure that you and the other team members know what to do if they come across persons who have experienced gender-based violence and what services they can be referred to. Your team should be familiar with their agency's code of conduct. Sexual exploitation or abuse of beneficiaries is strictly prohibited. To ensure that people can bring specific needs to your attention, set up a complaints area. Conduct post-distribution monitoring to check that the distribution has met the needs including those of vulnerable groups. Remember, for a successful distribution, represent affected populations in the distribution team. Ask affected populations and local authorities what their needs are. Communicate with everybody. Identify vulnerable groups and specific needs of individuals to ensure safety, dignity and access to NFIs for all. Know how and where to safely refer survivors of gender-based violence including sexual exploitation or abuse by humanitarian staff. Of course, non-food item distribution alone will seldom meet all emergency shelter needs. What else can you do to provide support to people? Please visit GBVGuidelines.org and ShelterCluster.org for more information.


So one of the things that has made my life easier over the years as a desktop linux user is get and services like get lab and github because that's what I use to back up all of my dot files all of my config files That's what I use to back up all of my suckless builds things like my build of the surf browser and d-menu and things like that I just push all that stuff to my get lab and it's there. I never have to worry about losing it You know, I never have to worry about what if the hard drive fills in this computer, you know What if some catastrophe happens? I don't have a local backup. It doesn't matter It's all on my get lab and it makes distro hopping so much easier Those of you that distro hop a lot now I don't distro hop much these days But those of you that distro hop every few days if you are not using get to store all of your config files You have no idea how much of a headache you are causing yourself by not using something like get and get lab So today I wanted to show you my Usage as far as get and get lab, you know, I have some pretty basic needs But I do have several Repositories over on get lab and I will show you how to get started and I think you guys will find that it's Much easier to get into get than some people make it out to be I think a lot of people put learning get off for a long time because they think well It seems complicated when you watch people do it It's all command line stuff and you know some of the commands may not make sense to a new user You don't really know what's going on and it can seem scary, but it's really not I promise you after watching this video you guys can have your own get lab Repository setup and you can start backing up your dot files today So the first thing you probably want to do is just go ahead and sign up over at get lab So if you don't have an account over at get lab sign up once you have an account Such as my account here. You see personal projects. These are all the repositories that I have created Well, these are 10 repositories that I've created I've got a few more than that if I go to Projects and go to your projects it will actually list out all the repositories I have over on get lab now when you sign up after you've got your account What you want to do is you want to create a new project basically? This is a new repository and this repository. I'm going to call it test Yeah, we'll just call it test and the project slug which is the url So your url, of course will be get lab comm slash whatever username you created slash and then the project slug test It's fine. You need to create a project description. I'm gonna say this is a test for my video All right, and then what is the visibility level? Do we want it to be a private repository? Meaning nobody can see it But me do we want it to be public so everybody can access it unless you have a real need for it to be private? Most people probably are creating public repositories. Typically you want to create a private repository if you're You shouldn't be doing this anyway because it's a moral but if you were creating proprietary software closed source software You didn't want to share with the public or maybe you had some sensitive information But most people that are working on open source projects, of course are doing everything out in the open in public repositories Now you can also tick on this box as well initialize the repository with a read me So any repository you create if you ever create a read me It needs to be read me all caps dot md for a markdown file or read me all caps dot org for an org file And if you want it to go ahead and just create one for you You can take that box on and later you can go back and edit that read me and then let's create that project And that is it and then it immediately takes us to the test repository I just created there is a read me file, but there's nothing in it It's just the title and the description and we can actually edit this repository if we want now Let me pull up a terminal So let's open up a terminal to run some get commands Let's start learning the basics of running get at the command line The first thing we want to do is we created that new test repository over on get lab We need to clone it to our local machine And what you could do is go to the clone tab here and get the URL Just copy that URL then go back to your terminal and then type the command get Clone and then the URL of the repository we want to clone and in my case It's that test repository and then it clones it meaning that Wherever we were in the directory structure. I was in my home directory. There should be a test Directory there now because that is what we just did we clone that directory I can CD into test and when I do a LS you see it's still just an empty directory It has that read me dot markdown still there, but nothing else We haven't added anything else to this repository We could edit that read me dot markdown so I could do a vim Read me dot markdown or nano or emacs or if you wanted to you could open up in a graphical text editor like g editor Kate whatever you want to do I could add another line such as this is another and if I can type line of text and Then let me write that and quit and then now that we've modified that read me dot markdown We need to push it back to our get lab right We've changed it so we need to push it to that remote repository over on get lab So to add something what you need to run the command get add and then the name of file Yeah, add read me dot markdown in this case Now what you could do if there were several things in this repository several files and you modified Half a dozen of them or however many instead of having to add each one by file name You could do I get add space dash you meaning get add all the files that have been modified or updated And that's what I'm gonna do. So I did get add dash you and then if I run get status It's gonna give me the status of this repository and it's gonna say that I have one modified file Meaning that's one file that needs to be pushed to get lab, right? Even though I added it. It's in a staging area. It's really not on get lab yet. It's really not moved anywhere It's just something that we could do something with at this point So to take this to the next step what I need to do is I need to commit it. So I need to get commit dash M for message and then write a message, you know, what you modified in this file That needs to be something rather short but descriptive for people if other people are using your repository other people are pushing to it It helps them know exactly what kind of changes you made to that document. So get commit dash M I'm gonna put added another line All right Then hit enter and it says one file changed three insertions one deletion So it's just telling you a little bit about how you modified the file since the last push and then you actually need to push The file to your repository. So I'm gonna do a git push And it's gonna ask me my username over on git lab So DWT one is my username. Of course, you're gonna have a different username. It's gonna ask for my password So let me open up my password manager here and get my password And I will show you guys how to avoid using these passwords here in just a second All right, and that's it. We just pushed that to git lab now all I need to do Let's go back to the browser and let's just make sure our push worked and there is test We have two lines of text now You could have a million documents in this repository this test repository or any repository But by default the document it always shows is the read me file So if you have a read me dot md or a read me dot org in a repository That is always the document that it shows as a preview in your repository Another very important file that you probably should include in every repository is a license file And that is license all caps and if I wanted to I could do add license Just click it in git lab. You could of course Create it yourself on your local machine just open up your text editor and write a license and then push it But it's so much easier on git lab itself because you just hit the add license button and tell it What license do you want to license this under is there templates? Yeah So if I wanted to license a license it under Apache or MIT or the GPL or whatever I'll just choose GPL there. We've got a copy of the GPL and then all I need to do is scroll down now We could add a commit message. There's a default commit message here add license. That's good enough I don't know why you would need to do anything more than that then commit changes And that basically does everything that we would have done in a terminal It just does it on git lab now most of the time you're not going to want to be doing this kind of stuff on the git lab Website it makes sense for the license because it's so straightforward But most things you're going to do on your local machine and then after you do them on your local machine change whatever files You're changing you're going to open up a terminal. You're going to do a git add name a file Get commit dash M then the message and then a git push to push it to your git lab Let me go back to the main page of this test repository here And now you see we have two files in this repository We have the readme.md and we have the license I'm going to go back to the terminal and what I'm going to do is I'm going to open up a new document in vm I'll create a new document. We're all called this doc One dot md. We'll make it a markdown file and I'll just start typing something. So this is some gibberish Exclamation point. That's good enough for now. Let's write and quit by doing LS You see now we have doc one and we have the read me There's also the license file on the remote repository. We may eventually want to pull that down Matter of fact, let's go ahead just to make our repositories completely synced. So they have the same stuff Let's do a git pull. So if I do git pull instead of git push So when you do a push you or anything that you have in the staging area anything you've committed Goes to the git lab repository when you do a git pull anything on the git lab repository That is different from what you have locally gets pulled to your machine. I hope that makes sense. So let's do a git pull And let's do an LS and now you see now I have the license on my local machine, but now doc zero one is on the local machine But it is not on the remote machine yet So let's do a git add and I could do dash you for any file that's been updated, but that's not going to work here I'll try it but Get status There's nothing here because get add dash you is just for files that we've pushed to get lab before That get lab knows about and that have been updated. We've never done anything with doc zero one here So this time we actually do need to do git add and then the name of the fall Hit enter and now when I run a git status See new fall doc zero one dot MD and then we need to commit it So git commit dash M and then the name of your message adding doc O one dot MD will be my message and then finally you need to do a git push Again, it's going to ask for your username and it's going to ask for your password All right, and we have pushed doc zero one if I go back to the browser to the get lab test repository and Refresh you see that fall is now actually there we could review it now Imagine we've had this test repository going for a while and we have stored hundreds maybe thousands of documents in it config files and For whatever reason I lose my computer or I have to do an extreme distro hop and I didn't have any backups So let me clear the screen. What I'm going to do is I'm going to do a RM dash RF very dangerous command on The test repository I'm not in the root directory. Let me CD back into root and then do RM dash RF test And when I do an LS there is no test repository. I just blew that repository away. It's gone Well, did I lose all my documents? I lose the doc zero one dot MD and the read me dot MD and then the license file No, because they're all they're all still on git lab and remember all you need to do is go get the clone URL So do do the get clone again. So grab that URL and go back and do get clone The URL cloning into test now when you do an LS Test is there if I wanted to and CD into test just to verify do it LS and there you have it We didn't lose anything now. You can go much deeper with yet There's a lot of advanced stuff you can do with get especially once you get into Development projects you you start doing things as a collaborative effort with other people Maybe working on open source software because then you have to worry about creating other branches other than just the main Branch or the master branch, you know, you're probably going to have Development branches and you got to worry about merging everything together and you know You got to take your commit message is a little more seriously than what I was doing here You know, there's a lot to get but for most desktop Linux users that just want to back up their dot files The commands I've already shown you are pretty much the ones you're going to use all the time There's really not any others you're going to use get add You know to add something to a staging area get commit and then the name of the message And then you're going to do get push to push it to your get lab or get pull to pull it from your get lab if they're out of sync or you're going to do get clone name of URL if you need to clone a repository some other commands You'll occasionally use I don't use these very often, but if you wanted to view the log You could do get log and as the name implies this is just a log of what's been going on with this repository Who's been committing what you see all the the latest commits Which there's just the four or five that I've made since starting this video Exactly the files that I was adding or removing or whatever it was I was doing and then you have the Basically the hash for each commit though the number some other common get commands include get branch If you needed to create branches, I don't ever do that because again I'm just working by myself on my own stuff. You could do the get fetch and Get merge and things like that. You those are often going and grabbing something from a remote repository and Making them work with the local repository. I actually found a great diagram and when I was getting ready to do do this video because visually it's hard to kind of Visualize what exactly get does I think that's why so many people have a problem with get but I found this great web page Then actually has a visualization of actually what goes on when you run the various get commands. So imagine you have four Working areas basically of get you have the working directory, which is that directory that you have that local repository on So so my test directory that we've been playing in that's the working directory When I run a get add it takes it to the next area, which is a staging area when I run get commit It takes it to the next area, which is the local repository or the head and then finally when I do get push it takes it to the remote repository or the master and then if you want to go the other way get fetch takes something from the remote repository the master and brings it to the local repository the head get merge would take it even further from the Local repository all the way back to the working directory or when we do get pull It just takes something from the remote master repository all the way back to the working directory. So I Really glad I found this little Graphic here. This is actually pretty neat. I think that when you see it, I really think it helps beginners to get able to understand what's going on because just having somebody open up a terminal and typing these commands You really can't figure it out. It really is hard to grasp Even when I was trying to figure out all the get commands, you know Some of this stuff can be kind of hard to wrap your mind around one good thing with get lab is they have Fantastic documentation so they have like the get lab basic guides And it tells you all you need to know about how to work with the get lab website How to use get you know, there's your standard command line get commands It'll tell you how to get SSH keys set up so you can use SSH keys for your get lab And what this does for those of you that are not familiar with SSH keys These are keys that when you remote into another machine You don't have to enter a password, right because those machines are trusted You know those machines know each other and with get lab if you're constantly Pushing and pulling and doing get clones and things like that You don't want to have to be entering username and password all the time if you have these SSH keys set up What it does is when I run a get push in my test repository It's gonna know who I am because I have the SSH key on my machine here my local machine I also have the SSH key on my get lab account. So these machines know each other I don't have to verify that I'm me Let me run through the basics of setting up the SSH keys for those of you that have never done it You need to run the following command SSH dash key gen We want to generate a new SSH key space dash t space RSA. So this is the type of key We're creating RSA. This is the encryption space dash B for bit size the number of bits that are gonna be Part of this key 2048 is the minimum Most people recommend and it's the minimum that get lab recommends by default if you don't do the dash B flag It defaults to 1024 but for security purposes, you know to make it a stronger key You really should do at least 2048 and then give it the dash C flag and Then typically some kind of description typically an email So I would do something like Derek at distrotube.com and I would hit enter I don't want to create a new key though because I've already got one by CD back into my home directory and I CD Into dot SSH. You have a hidden folder in your home directory called dot SSH if I run it LS You see I have ID underscore RSA. That's the file It creates when you run that command by open that file, which I won't do because it contains the key The key is in that file copy that key And what you need to do is go back to your get lab page and go to the top right and go down to settings And let me Uncollapse the sidebar here. You have SSH keys Click on that and then you have this window here with this box Paste the key that you get from that file that ID underscore RSA Dot pub paste the contents of that file into this and then this button here add key is going to turn red Click add key and you've added the key now once you've added the key now instead of using HTTPS to do your cloning and pushing and pulling and all of that you can use SSH To do all of that and you will not be asked for a password So I've gotten back into the test directory and what I'm going to do here I haven't added anything or committed anything, but if I ran a get push just to show you guys It's going to default to asking about my username for HTTPS colon slash slash get lab comm is using the standard web address Let's make it use SSH instead and how you do that is whatever get command your with push pull clone whatever get push and then do get at Get lab comm colon Wt one slash test dot get and that forces it to use SSH and You see it didn't ask me for a password or anything and it tells me everything is up to date There was nothing to do anyway because I hadn't committed anything new But had I done it with just a this is the standard HTTPS way It was still going to force me to use a password You know enter a username and password and then tell me everything is up to date So that was just verifying that my SSH keys are in fact working So I think that's really where I want to stop with this basic get and get lab tutorial today One thing I do want to mention is my dot files repository, which has you know all of my configs for my tiling window managers and various other programs This is not a standard get repository. This is what is called a get bear repository Meaning my home directory is not really a Repository, I mean technically it is because I push all of this stuff from my home directory on my local machine And it goes to this dot files repository over on get lab But you can't really make your home directory a get repository If you're going to have Subdirectories in your home directory also get repositories because there's gonna be some conflicts You will occasionally run get commands in those subdirectories and it'll be confused It's like well, which repository are you running this command on are you running it in the home directory? That's a get repository or you running it in the sub directory, which is also a get repository So to get around that problem What most people do is they'll will set up a bear repository and if I go back to the terminal here Let me show you guys what's going on there. Let me CD into my home directory So my home directory, you know, I could do a get add and a get push and all that but My home directory technically is not a get repository if I CD into this directory the dot files directory This is actually a get repository, but when you set up a bear repository a bear repository means this This get repository this dot files repository stays empty. We're not actually working in this directory It's technically the get repository, but all the commands I run are going to be on a Different working tree and in my case the working tree is actually the home directory I know that's kind of complicated I did a video on how to use get bear repositories for backing up your dot files Oh a couple of years ago. It's not the greatest explanation in that video But the reason you do that is so you don't have conflicts if you want to use basically your home directory as a get Repository then the way you need to do that is with the get bear repository So I think all of you guys really need to start using get to back up your config files your dot files It makes sense. There's no reason everybody shouldn't be doing this now. I need to think a few special people I need to think Michael Gabe Nate Corbinian Mitchell entropy UK John Devin Fran Arch 55 30 Chris Chuck DJ Donnie Dylan George Lewis I'm report Robert Sean Tobias and Willie. They are the producers of this episode They're my highest tiered patrons over on patreon and without these guys You wouldn't know how to back up your dot files using get and get lab You wouldn't know about it The show is also brought to you by each and every one of these ladies and gentlemen all these names You see on the screen right now. These are all my supporters over on patreon because this show is Sponsored by you guys the community if you'd like to support my work check out distro tube over on patreon. Peace


Unethical human experimentation can conjure up the images of horror and pain inflicted by Unit 731 or Dachau or Auschwitz during the Second World War. But although Germany and Japan were the most well known for their inhumane experimentation during the early to mid 20th century, they were most certainly not the only perpetrators of suffering in the name of scientific discovery. Other experiments on humans have taken a much more subtle route than that of the Axis powers, running in democratic western countries, preying on the poor, racial minorities and or prisoners. The experiment orchestrators would draw in potential subjects by offering free medical help and or financial incentives. Such an experiment between the 1930s and 1970s would cross the line well into an unethical study. And although not as blatantly gruesome as a vivisection on a subject, would actively hide the diagnosis of a debilitating disease and withhold treatment from its victims all to find out how a person would succumb to said illness. The experiment orchestrators would draw in potential subjects by offering free medical help and or financial incentives. Not only that, but the disease in this study, syphilis, which not only can be deadly, is also easily transmissible from sexual contact with an infected person, even being able to be passed on from mother to unborn child. Today we are looking at a truly dark page in infectious disease study, the Tuskegee syphilis experiment. As such I'm going to rate it here 9 on my ethical scale, although it didn't have as many victims, this is most certainly up there with the lobotomy. It is 1932, an enrolment has begun on a new study. The participants are all African American males from impoverished backgrounds. They have been convinced to become participants by the promise of free lunches, transportation and medical care. The initial groundwork for this enrolment came from an earlier study funded by the Julius Rosenwald Fund and conducted by the US Public Health Service during 1928. It took place over 6 counties in Alabama USA and highlighted hotspots of syphilis infections in Macon County in the town of Tuskegee. The aim of the Rosenwald study was to find a population perfect for an attempt of mass treatment for the debilitating disease, and the largely African American inhabitants of Tuskegee seemed like the ideal test bed. It was estimated that around 36% of the 27,000 residents in Macon County were infected with syphilis. Giving the area a syphilis prevalence among the greatest in the United States. The funding for mass treatment would never come, as it was widely thought at the time that syphilis affected different races in different ways and could often remain dormant in African Americans. Most bizarrely it was also thought that at the time African Americans would not even want to seek treatment even if offered. Needless to say these assumptions were wrong, this distorted view was influenced by the racial segregation laws of the time which made African Americans essentially second class citizens in the southern states. Mass treatment was also not considered due to a lack of funding, as by 1929, Post-Wall Street Crash, money was not available, especially for a largely impoverished African American population. With no state matching funding, the Rosenwall Fund also withdrew its money for the treatment program. The report into the findings of the 1928 investigation was written by Public Health Service Officer Dr. Talefero Clark, but with no government funding, the project found itself at a dead end. With no funding to treat the ill, Dr. Clark found that the results provided an unusual opportunity for observation of the disease. By 1932, Clark thought that the results of the Rosenwall study merited a revisit and he began preparing to find test subjects for a long-term observation into the progression of syphilis in African American males. The new study would be considered by the Public Health Service as a classic study in nature rather than an experiment. So either way you looked at it, the participants would be observed and actively not treated for the disease. The key for the experiment to work was that the subjects would not know that they are infected and thus not seek treatment, as this would affect the results. The justification for this again was in the racist theory of that the African Americans wouldn't seek medical help anyway, so misdiagnosing wouldn't make any difference to the participants. Dr. Clark sent a Raymond H. Vondler to Tuskegee to act as the on-site director. The plan was to find syphilic males between the ages of 25 and 60 and was to initially last for around 6 months. Initially low, Vondler found it hard going trying to find test subjects. Amongst the men, screened only 20% had been infected and an even lower number still who had not sought out any kind of treatment. Those who had not received treatment were initially unwilling to volunteer for the study, but Vondler discovered that if free medical care was offered then the subjects would be more than willing for participation. As part of Vondler's plan to win the trust of the local community, employed Tuskegee Institute nurse Eunice Rivers. Tuskegee would become a vital point of contact for the US public health service and the local population. This ironically went against the original thinking that African American males would not seek out treatment. Kind of scuppering the justification for the study. But that didn't get in the way for the US public health service. Unaware that it was an experiment, many of the participants thought it was a mass treatment program linked to the earlier Rosenwald study of 1928. This misunderstanding was not corrected, helping Dr. Vondler gain the trust of many subjects. In total around 4,000 men were lured in to be screened for tertiary syphilis, resulting in 399 positive test subjects being convinced to take part in the study. 201 males were also enrolled as a control group who had not contracted the illness. To not raise suspicion of the infected participants, the control group was also administered useless medications and if any later contracted syphilis they would be transferred to the study group or just secretly dropped. All involved were told that they had bad blood, a local colloquialism for a multitude of conditions and common ailments. Eventually subjects were found and in order to be entered into the study a comprehensive examination had to take place, culminating in a spinal tap biopsy to find if any of the subjects had neurosyphilis. This was dressed up as a form of treatment for the subject's bad blood. The reason for the spinal puncture being last was twofold. One was to have the subject leaving feeling like they had received a treatment and two is that neurosyphilis can be one of the final stages of the illness. Once infected persons were found the intention was to not tell them of their condition and instead only offer placebo or other useless treatments for the symptoms caused by the syphilis. This allowed the doctors to concede that the participants were ill, all without actually making them aware of their real diagnosis. In 1933 and with contradicted assumptions on whether African Americans would seek out treatment the study was allowed to continue past its initial six months. The participants were given a small dose of mercury as a way to make them feel like they had received some kind of treatment. Clark and Vondela now looking at the long term wanted to see what would happen over a 5-10 year period but this would eventually last for over 40 years. But this came with a problem. You see the only need for the subjects was for a few blood tests every few years but ultimately it would be their bodies post death that would provide the most scientific value. The issue being how do you convince someone to donate their body after death to you if you are the one that is meant to be treating them. To offer an incentive for continued participation and eventual access to their body a $50 stipend was offered for their burial costs and yearly cash payments of $25 were made for any man who stayed in the study. And this continued participation was when Nurse Eunice came to be very handy. Because she was made the middleman she kept in regular contact with the participants and administered fake treatment tonics as well as arranged for transport to the Tuskegee Institute when too ill to travel. At the time, syphilis was incurable but as the 1930s drew to a close the study would take a darker turn from withholding information and effective symptom treatment to actively withholding cure. But before this I think we need to have a quick look at the disease itself and what it does to the human body. Syphilis is a sexually transmitted infection caused by the bacterium, trepanina, pallidum and subspecies pallidum. Its origin is largely unknown but its first written records of an outbreak of syphilis in Europe occurred in 1494 or 1495 in Naples Italy. The disease presents itself in four stages. Between two and six weeks after exposure, bisexual contact with an infected person a lesion is formed called a chancra. Syphilis occurs on a person's genitals but can appear on any part of the body that has come into contact with another chancra. After a few weeks if left untreated the chancra will disappear on its own and this is known as the primary stage. The next secondary stage comes along around four to six weeks after the first signs of symptoms and this part of the progression of the disease shows itself in many different ways. The most commonly manifests itself in rashes on any part of the body and other symptoms include fever, sore throat, malaise, weight loss, hair loss and headache. These acute symptoms usually resolve after three to six weeks leading to the next stage. Latent syphilis develops after secondary syphilis and it is itself divided into early latent and late latent stages. This stage develops two years after exposure, the infected person can then after a number of years develop into the fourth and final period of the disease and that is tertiary stage. The final stage can occur between three and fifteen years post initial exposure and can manifest itself in one of several ways. Gometus syphilis which is benign tumours that can appear on the body which can lead to physical disfigurement, cardiovascular syphilis which can cause heart problems, neuro syphilis which is an infection involving the central nervous system and can result in dementia, mania, psychosis, depression and even brain damage and finally meningovascular syphilis which involves inflammation of the small and medium arteries of the central nervous system. Roughly 30% of people who have contracted syphilis reach the tertiary stage. This part of the disease progression is largely not infectious to other people. The things in the 1940s would change dramatically for sufferers and like nearly everything 20th century links into the Second World War. In 1942 Alexandra Fleming successfully treated Harry Lambert's streptococcal meningitis originally thought to be a fatal condition with a new drug called penicillin. The potential use of the fungus for medicinal purposes was known as early as the late 19th century but growing enough for the fungus to actually be useful was one of its biggest hurdles. Before Fleming's use of pure penicillin Australian scientist Howard Flory later Baron Flory and a team of researchers at Oxford University had treated a policeman for an infection on his face in 1940. Sadly though the participant died when stocks of the fungus ran out. This would lead to Flory to travel to the USA to seek out a mass production which in the early 1940s was backed by the US government and by June 1942 just enough penicillin was available to treat 10 patients. With USA now involved in the Second World War the usefulness of a drug that could kill many different infections was clearly an obviously useful thing and one of these infections that were easily wiped out by the new wonder drug was the age old blight on humanity syphilis. Over 2.3 million doses were ordered for the D-Day landings in 1944. But how does this tie back into Tuskegee you might ask? Well with the country in a state of war from 1941 the US needed soldiers and as such the draft was implemented as the country's pre-war professional career military wasn't big enough to fight in the Pacific, Atlantic, Asia, Africa and Europe. Now many of these test subjects for the Tuskegee study by 1941 were well within the age range for military service and with the introduction of the draft in 1940 the study was at risk of losing some of its participants. But again you might think what is the problem? Well part of enlistment is a full medical including testing for STDs as well as the other side effect of being in the army of risking getting killed in a war. As such United States Public Health Service convinced Macron County of the scientific importance of the experiment and thus declined conscription of men who were enrolled in the study. In total some 256 of the men had their draft blocked by the Tuskegee study, not before some of them being diagnosed by the army until to get treatment which again was duty blocked locally by the study. Post-war the US government now wanted to stamp out the disease with the large availability of penicillin which was a standard treatment from 1947. Many of the men had now sought out treatment outside of the study, however an estimated 7% of the men received what would be considered an adequate dose. To keep the deception going in 1959 certificates were issued to the participants congratulating them for 25 years of service in the Tuskegee Medical Research Study. Many kept this certificate as a source of pride in taking part in a government project but even as late as 25 years post-study beginning they were kept ignorant of the true reason of their participation. The 1950s rolled into the 1960s and Nurse Eunice continued visiting the men, medicating them with use as tonics. In 1969 a CDC panel met to discuss the continuation of the study and although one doctor pushed for the ceasing and actually treating the men the experiment was allowed to continue, collecting samples from the living and autopsying the dead. But the end was on the horizon, but not from the powers at B but instead by whistleblower Peter Buxton, an epidemiologist and public health employee. He was hired in 1965 to interview STD sufferers and as part of his duties he discovered the Tuskegee study. Disgusted by this in 1966 he made an official protest to his superiors only to be instantly shut down. Again he opposed the study in 1968 and again he was shut down. With no options left in 1972 Buxton leaked the information to June Heller. This led to publication first appearing in the Washington Star. The public outrage forced the public health service to form an ad hoc advisory panel comprising nine members, via whom were African American. The panel focused on two main issues, penicillin therapy and informed consent, both of which were not present in the study and very rightly they concluded the Tuskegee syphilis experiment was ethically unjustified. Buxton's study was officially ended in 1973, however only 74 of the original participants had survived the experiment. Of the original 399 test subjects, 28 had died of syphilis, 100 died of related complications and 40 of their wives had been infected, with 19 of their children born with congenital syphilis. Needless to say this was a disgusting result and this is only an estimate as many other infections could have been spread within the community. 13 peer reviewed publications were made during the study with Nurse Eunice Rivers co-authoring many. The nurse had worked with the subjects all throughout the 40 year lifespan of the experiment, leaving her to be the longest serving member of the clinicians involved. The study failed not only on ethical grounds but also scientific ones. Participants were treated with mercury rubs, injections and bismuth, however minimally effective these treatments may have been, this completely contradicted the purpose of the experiment to track completely untreated syphilis. This led to the results completely being unreliable and essentially a complete waste of time, money and most importantly quality of life, resulting ultimately in life itself. On July 23rd 1973, Fred Gray, a civil rights lawyer filed a $1.8 billion class action lawsuit in the US District Court for the Middle District of Alabama. The lawsuit alleged multiple violations of participants constitutional rights. Unsurprisingly, this never went to trial and resulted in an out of court settlement for $10 million, netting many of the victims from between under $20,000 and over $40,000 each, free medical care for themselves and any affected family members as well as new regulations to be set out to prevent further abusive studies but nowhere near what should have been given. The racial part of the study is unavoidable and the race and social economic backgrounds of the participants were preyed upon for their continuation in the experiment. Much of the language in correspondences between the clinicians is pretty hard to read due to the way they talk about the human beings that they were actively refusing treatment for. Because of the study, trust in medical studies have been erased, especially in the African American community and many parts of the United States, which has a knock on effect in a critical underrepresentation of African American men in studies, for example, in understanding the pathology of prostate cancer, sickle cell anemia, as well as many other diseases. In an attempt to try and mend the bridge for clinical studies with different racial backgrounds, President Clinton in 1997 called survivors and descendants to the White House for a formal apology for the United States role in the study, but the legacy casts a very long shadow over clinical trials, one that will take a long time to erase, even 90 years after its beginning. The study leaves a bitter taste in the mouth as it resulted in unnecessary suffering due to the manipulation of its subjects and this is why it has a nine on my scale. But more importantly, where would you rate this study? Thank you for watching, I'm not going to lie, this one made me very sad. If you want to read more about the study, there is a great book called Tuskegee Truths rethinking the Tuskegee syphilis experiment, it's well worth a read and this video really is only a scratch of the surface for the dumpster fire that was this experiment. This is a plenty of good production, all videos on the channel are created by the Commons attribution share alike licensed, many of the videos are produced by me John in the currently average southeastern corner of London UK, help channel grow by liking commenting and subscribing, check out my Twitter for all sorts of photos and odds and sods as well as hints on future videos, I've got Patreon and YouTube membership as well so if you fancy checking them out and helping out the channel financially, you can go there. And all that's left to say is thank you for watching.