Hello everyone, how's it going? Welcome back to another YouTube video and in this video I want to be showcasing some of the sands holiday hack challenge for the year 2020 So this is cringle con 3. This is the third virtual conference over at santa's village over in the north pole We've been at elf University. We've been at santa's castle We've been all over the place and now we're doing something new for sands holiday hack challenge 2020 And I am super duper excited about this video series. I have completed the sands holiday hack challenge I've worked through all the objectives already, so I will be going through them in review But still hopefully exploring some fun stuff and making it a good time for us all, but I Absolutely love this exercise this activity this war game. This is one that I look forward to every single year Counter-hack the other individuals everyone involves in putting this together Ed Scott is in his team does a Phenomenal job putting together this sands holiday hack challenge, so I'm super duper looking forward to it I've been doing this since like 2015 when I first heard about the thing, but I Still need to finish up writing my report, but I hey I want to get some videos out and prepared and ready for this thing So without further ado, let's dive in All righty, I am on holiday hack challenge Dot-com and that is where you'll kind of see like the promo Hey, you know like the all the information to go ahead and get started for the holiday hack challenge for 2020 Looking at Kringle con 3 So this one is kind of themed and called Zat you Santa Claus and it's all about Kringle con 3 the 3 French hens, so I like that little pun there There is a note here the submission deadline has been extended to January 11th and that I Appreciate so it gives me a little bit of time to record and get my report done So here we are We can if we wanted to get started and if you were kind of new to this you could check out the talk over on their YouTube channel they showcase all the different talks as part of the conference as online YouTube videos and Each talk will offer a little bit of some clues and some nudges and some subtle hints and nods to what you might be Doing in a specific task or objective as part of the Sam's holiday hack challenge this year They are using a discord server Is so if you need to check in with anyone just hey a little sanity check a benchmark Can someone please tell me that I'm not crazy when you're trying some idea, etc, etc But really all we need to do here is just play the game right and Sam's holiday hack challenge offers sort of like a Little video game like structure right where you have a little avatar that can bump around and move around in the digital world And it's fun. It's it's a good time some folks.  We'll just say it's fun We can go ahead and click on this link here that'll take us to Kringle con But we are going to hop on Santa's gondola for our ride to the North Pole. Let's go ahead and do it I'll hop over to Kringle con There we go when we load here. I'll go ahead and log in And there we go. Here we are. You can see my cheesy little avatar John Hammond YouTube with the you so it's cool and I'll zoom in here So this is a little bit readable and I will also minimize my giant face in the way So Oh my god, let's move me up to the uh, we'll stay down bottom It's all cool I see our good friend Jingle Ringford here a little elf we could chat with so i'm using my arrow keys to move around You could of course click around if you're kind of new to this realm here But I tend to like to use the arrow keys But clicking on Jingle Ringford will start up a conversation with them and we can hop in the gondola to take up exit 19 and go to the castle Santa asked me to design the new badge for this year and he wanted it to look really cool like it's frosty Okay, click on your badge the snowflake in the center of your avatar to read at your objectives So we can go ahead and do that if you'd like to chat with the community You can join us on the discord server and there's a link to join their discord there We have specially appointed kringle concierge as helpers You can hit them up for help in the general channel if you'd like to if you get a minute check out ed scottis's official introduction to the conference That's that youtube video.  Hmm. Have you managed to read the gift list at the center? Um, so for those of you that might not notice or see it if I were to hop over to the top left here And I'll zoom out just so you can kind of get a glimpse of the world There is a little billboard up here. It says visit the north pole at exit 19 And it is a hyperlink you can see kind of the the notification out of the bottom that a link popped up from This little button here and that billboard we could click on so it looks like we have to potentially find out the gifts We keep chatting with jingle ringford and see what else we got here It can be hard when things are twirly. There are tools that can help It also helps to select the correct twirly area And the three ellipses kind of denotes that's the end of all the conversation You can offer and now he will replay or repeat what he was speaking of So a lot of things on pack here, right? We have our badge in the center here And if you were talking to jingle ringford for the very first time He'd go ahead and tell you and All that dialogue would pop up you'll see kind of little notifications or pop-ups down on the bottom left of your screen Well, you'll get new objectives or new hints that we could use. So if I were to click on my badge here I have all these things kind of that I could click on in the sub menu on the left The narrative looks like I have zero out of seven So this is all blurry and I haven't unlocked anything just yet But the objectives we could check out we see objective number one is to uncover santa's gift list It is rated one out of five red christmas trees and difficulty And there's a photo of santa's desk on that billboard with his personal gift list What gift is santa planning on getting josh right for the holidays talk to jingle ringford at the bottom of the mountain for advice So sort of like a capture the flag, right exactly like a war game or an exercise We'll just have to type in the correct answer as we go ahead and find the solution So What you need to go So we need to go take a look at that billboard here I will hop on over again to that little corner and I'll zoom out so I can click on that And Here is the image that we're working with right So it's kind of big. I'm scrolling down because this is a large image, right? Maybe it's just because I'm way zoomed in there we go Visit the north pole exit 19 and we can see the kringle con coin I see a nice little raspberry pi over here Maybe an elf on the shelf potentially over on the left a coke zero. I like that. This is the enigma. That is awesome little TARDIS And my personal gift list Looks like has twisted text Done some image manipulation to kind of distort that And we need to figure out what that really says So initially when I saw this I thought my first reaction was like, oh, I've seen sans do this before This is oftentimes in net wars and I thought this was a gimp or like a photoshop filter to whirl and pinch And you can multiply you can adjust kind of the the dial as to how much whirl you want in that whirl pool Or where you're going to end up pinching it to be the center point of that And those are the things you could potentially do, right? I spent some time Doing that in gimp and it did not really work out all that well. So Admittedly, I will hop back over to our badge and this whole thing is for learning, right? We're here to learn. We're here to grow. We're here for some education So I don't think there's any shame in taking a look at the hints So as we were talking with jingle ringford, we may very well have seen these little pop-ups and notifications down at the bottom left And it'll tell us you've unlocked a new hint. All right So one hint that we see is this image edit tool And this is telling us who this hint came from, right? The elf that we talked to and the objective what this is pertinent to for the task we're trying to work on It says there are tools out there that could help filter the distortion that is this twirl And this looks like a hyperlink. I see it's taking me to photo p.com We also have the twirl area. So we'll click on that Make sure you lasso the correct twirly area. Okay, so I'll go ahead and click on this photo p website And I'll hop over there As this page loads, there we go. Now. I'm working in photo p and it's like this online Like in your web browser image editor and that's kind of neat. That's kind of cool So it looks like all we have to do is load in the image Of the the sanas gif list that we need to un twirl and see if we can use some of the filters to Properly make that readable or legible. So let's go ahead and do that I will go download this picture I'm going to hop over to that billboard and save it. I guess I'll just throw it like on my desktop temporarily I am working in windows right now. So please and I know I know I know everyone's going to hate me But let's go ahead and open this I just clicked on the file menu there. Now. I'll select that billboard.png that I have saved in my desktop I accidentally created a shortcut. Anyway, let's open the thing There we go Okay, so now I Will try and zoom in here Can I do that? Can I just control plus on the keyboard? Oh, yeah, yeah Okay, so that works great and I can click and drag with my mouse So if I have this section here the personal gif list and I need to potentially find out what Josh right had in the list. I see ed up here with two front teeth. I see Jerry with the trip to the north pole down at the bottom, but Presumably Josh right is in this list. So we need to go ahead and Correct this. I'll use that lasso tool that they're referring to and you can see that as kind of like the lasso looking icon Or the hotkey l. So I'll try and select this section And I'm doing a really bad job of it I'll try and select this whirlpool right or the totally area And now I'll hop over to that filter menu here because if I were to use that Distort little sub menu I see twirl and I kind of clued in on that from the hint that we read right if there is a filter We could use to remove the distortion that is this twirl Let's use that Okay, and now this little Box popped up and I could adjust the angle or how this is twirled. So let me try and rotate this It looks like to the right. Oh, and I actually see Josh right somewhat legible already there, right? See if we can get that any cleaner Josh right. No, it looks like he's getting pulled, but I can read that. I think just barely. I see prox mark Do you see the same thing? Yeah, that p.r.o. x looks pretty clear and crisp And that is an a I'm feeling Prox mark that might be what we need to submit Maybe that's what Josh right wants for Christmas and that's on the gift list So that's all we needed to do for this challenge looks like I see clay wants a Darth Vader suit I see Uh, is that Todd is that Ted? I they want holiday lights. Okay, Jeremy. Maybe wants a blanket Brian, I can't tell what that says. Ellie All right, whatever. We don't need to we don't need to keep tinkering. We we know the answer that we want now So let's hop back over to our badge Within kringle con And let's go ahead and submit prox mark as our answer Click submit here And there we go. All right achievement unlocked. We uncovered the Christmas list and now we could see that item in our badge, right? We have marked this first objective as complete Excellent. We still don't have any narratives unlocked, but we could go talk to jingle ringford We can go talk to that elf and see if there's anything new that he might be able or willing to tell us So what's up jingle? How's it going? Great work with that? I'm sure you'll be able to help us with more challenges up at the castle Yep, that's it. All right. That's always gonna give me let's hop in this little tram here and let's go up to The sanis castle. Ooh a lot of stuff new narrative another objective Okay, that that all went away, uh, but I see some more elves here as I'm hopping around jewel logins Welcome to the sands. Holiday hack challenge 2020. Have a great time Be sure to join us on discord. Yep. Yep. Remember you can get hints for each of the objectives in your badge by clicking on the elves If you help elves solve their own technical terminal challenge, they'll give you some ideas about how to approach the objectives Oh, and if you see any odd objects lying around walk over them to pick them up You might even find one as you approach the castle Okay, and that's the end of the dialogue there. Um, what else we got? We got pepper min stinks Pepper min sticks. Sorry. She doesn't stink. Howdy. I've been playing with tmux lately and golly. It's useful The problem is I somehow detach from my session Do you think you could get me back to where I was admiring a beautiful bird? If you find handy There's a tmux cheat sheet you can use as a reference. Ooh another hints. Good I hope you can help and if we were to click on that unescape tmux little terminal challenge We could probably work with that. Oh, there's sanna And the three french hens Oh, this is so cool All right, shinny up a tree looks like you have cringle kiosk as a terminal challenge and investigate s3 buckets So what do you have to say? Hi? I'm shinny up a tree Check out this cool cringle con kiosk quite a cringle con Tongue twister you can get a map of the castle learn about where the elves are and get your own badge I didn't read that in time. Be careful with that last one though.  Do you think you could check and see if there is an issue? Uh, okay Maybe we can do that next but let's chat with sanna and these elves. Oh, excuse me these french hens Uh, bonjour That's nice. That's very nice sanna What's up my man? Hello and welcome to the north pole. We're super excited about this year's cringle con three french hens My elves have been working all year to upgrade the castle. It was a huge construction project and we've nearly completed it Please pardon the remaining construction dust around the castle and enjoy yourselves Okay, looks like that's all he's willing to give me. So looks like we have a few things we could do here um The unescape team ux terminal challenge is something we could go take a look at and there's also this cringle con kiosk Let's do a little sanity check and check out our badge Uh narrative looks like we have got the first narrative down now cringle con back at the castle set the stage But it's under construction like my geosities page ooh And now we have five new objectives or now we have five objectives in total We got four more after we finish the first one. So we need to investigate the s3 bucket when you unwrap the overwrap file What text string is inside the package? Talk to shinny epitree in front of the castle for hints on this challenge. Okay, so we need to Talk with shinny epitree and he's the one that's asking us to do the um Cringle kiosk challenge so we have some hints for that And we also have the one for the team ux cheat sheet with pepper minstings over there So we've got a few things we can do tackle some new challenges and objectives and keep cruising through this, but I think that's enough for this video, you know, we've been talking for a while And I hope this kind of wets your appetite and gets you interested in having fun with what the sands haul to hack challenge is all about Let's uh, let's do this in the next video But I hope you enjoyed this video and I hope you're going to enjoy and have some fun with this video series So, uh, thanks so much for watching everybody. I will close out the video now I am still playing with this new like video style and structure I hope you don't mind like the little circle webcam Or if there's there's anything good or bad with the lights or the audio like let me know I want to know i'm trying to try to make this fun and make this good and make it quality So thanks so much for watching everybody. I hope you enjoyed this video If you did, please do press that like button and leave a comment Do the subscribe hit the bell all of the youtube algorithm Things thank you so so much everybody. I love you. I'll see you in the next video. Take care


For all your energy innovation product needs make sure you check out drive energy comm that's DRI VE energy comm What's up everybody welcome back to the channel I'm evil rabbit, and we are here on Forza Motorsports 7 We are in league racing trying to increase our league level. We did manage to get into grass roots for We're just with doing some of those drift lobbies So we are here today to do a go-spec league and we are going to see how we can do in this go-spec and Hopefully we can get a good finish. We are gonna be running the Lamborghini in this race but I did believe I did get a new driver's gear from the last one and Where's my new one I know I got a new one whereas it there it is modern pilot race gear That actually looks pretty sweet. So I think we're gonna rock that modern pilot race gear for today Looks like we're gonna be doing five laps at Yoss Marina circuit Hopefully we can do Pretty good in this race hopefully we don't Wreck ourselves it is going to be a ghost race So we are gonna be be ripping it through as fast as we can not having to worry about hitting other cars Looks like we got a lot of guys running the am vantage and stuff to cars. We could rent to race this We have a choice of the Alfa Romeo the Aston Martin V8 Vantage the Ferrari 365 GTB for or the Lamborghini Mira, so I think we're gonna run the Lamborghini Mira Just well, where should we run the Ferrari? hmm I feel like We're gonna run the Ferrari Everybody's run it looks like everybody's running the Vantage though, so I don't know if they're gonna have the advantage with the advantage But we will find out so I will catch you guys when we get to grid. We do have our wheel cam already up and Let's see how we do we are running our logic G920 with 300 million RG innovation the wheel We are also rocking our sequential gearbox for today It's so weird being a ghost league because you don't have to worry about people hitting you, so This old Ferrari seems to be handling pretty well. We're Not doing too bad.  We are basically battling ourself and other drivers in time So it is almost like essentially time trials Here we go Trying to stay smooth through the turns hard break through there. We go I mean, we're right there with these guys. I feel like we could stay In a pretty decent spot Move our cluster back there the same thing that guy did, but we are still okay May just slow down to that cut section because we can't really cut that track, but we are pretty much fighting for first right now But this Ferrari is definitely a lot of fun to drive may not be the fastest car, but uh Definitely is a lot of fun to drive The other break there lock up the brakes Doubt you're too early, but We're good Gotta really keep it from sliding too too much This is a battle right now going on With all these cars right here This ghost I guess makes it a lot more fun because everybody can just kind of run their own race and Don't have to worry about wrecking each other. So we're just Running our own race here Trying to get good on times. We're gonna break sooner So we don't over break it like last time There we go It's definitely a lot better and then we took first to see if we can hold it there probably hopefully we can But the Lamborghini is right there So the older cars not as fast But definitely just as fun and the ghost league a lot of fun I think that's almost perfectly not slide as much as we can out of that turn So we keep our power down Whoo that guy's definitely on point right now So we can make it up to this section locking up the brakes. That's Not good The plop of the clutch try to get the RPMs back up We are in a podium spot right now. So It seems like we have a pretty decent acceleration run. I don't want to overshoot this turn Can't feel like that's like the biggest mistake everybody makes so we're shooting that turn I Found where I can cut that turn. So That's good. This is probably the closest race I've ever been in in Forza Motorsport 7 on an online lobby in a very Very long time But I mean, we're all running pretty much simultaneous line. So if this was a normal lobby We definitely would have already wrecked and that's a Major mistake on my part right there Hopefully we can make that up in the final lap because I want to get back into a podium spot at least We're trying to keep our Rank four if not go up more in the grassroots league racing We're gonna have to work really hard to get at least one spot Those guys ever shot that running using all that course We might be able to catch third it would be It would be one of them making a mistake In order for us to catch third and us not make a mistake. Oh That might have been our opportunity if I wouldn't have pushed that one a little wide either That's what we made the mistake last time, but we are not I don't think we're gonna catch third Unless he makes a mistake here As long as we don't make a mistake to lose to lose fourth Now we're gonna take fourth in this one. So ghost league fun driving this car actually We may hop into another race here and see about running one more in this league That was actually a lot of fun So our lap times are very close. So we did not take first But we are in fourth just outside of the podium spots So we are gonna try one more race here in this league in this Ferrari because I feel like the Ferrari is definitely a Very very good car because if you're looking at the advanced You have the S and Martin you have the Lambo the alpha and the Ferrari all in the top four spots So Cars are very evenly matched. Hopefully we don't lose some points in this. I'd be very upset if we lost points But we are about to find out Crash that dummy suit got Ken block suits over there and an orange for the team Nobody else rockin the pilot gear yet though. So we did gain league points. So we are slowly on the On the crowd on the climb to get out of grassroots Where we going next to Zuka for laps? I'm okay with Zuka and four laps. So I will catch you guys as soon as we get on grid We got about a minute 30 in the interval. So we're gonna wait and we're gonna stay in the Ferrari and we're gonna hit up Zuka for laps and see how we do see if we can keep in the front battling here in the leagues Ghost League definitely a lot of fun Zuka ghost league Ferrari Let's see how we can do in this race two of our league adventure We are Together starting off pretty strong up in fifth so hopefully we can Stay strong. I did not sure how this car was gonna react to that big turn Because we are running the alternate course of Zuka. So I haven't saved myself on that turn with a little handbrake pole we are Still in fifth, but We should be oh You guys are in the dirt No, they're chance to make up some ground as the space is or lose spot to Bobcat forever heart on the brakes Try and not spin the tires as much Out of the grass stay out of the dirt as much as I can I can't actually tell you the last time I've raced this version of Zuka. I drift that out to the apron get ourselves up into fourth and Super can't continue the climb Try and get on podium. Hopefully we don't finish another fourth I mean even if we did and still get some credit for it That wide luckily we are on ghost otherwise. I would have just gotten killed apparently We could take that a lot wider and and run that but I didn't want to run the apron That much, but apparently we can a little grass cut. Oh that guy just died He must have corrected the wrong way On that turn Stay out of the grass. There we go This car is so much fun to drive. It's kind of skatey, but it is definitely fun And I mean we're right there with third place and the top guys. So If one of them make a big mistake We will have the position and there's a guy in ten to just Creeping and luckily it's ghost. You can't crash anybody. So there we go. I Guess the ghost race do make online lobbies a little bit more fun because you don't have to worry about people crashing into you and Ruining your race, but then again it is all about driver skill at that point and Line so it does test driver skill in line So we looks like we're gonna be in a pretty tight battle here for third See if we can run that outside apron like That other guy did and see if we can't maybe Gain some ground here Did not work for me like it did him. Although. I was getting sideways. So we are in a dead Sprint on this right now. Oh Tiger Fox is Going to fight me for the spot this entire race Thank you. I'll have to turn a little bit faster than I did. Oh, we tagged the wall, but I made a mistake, too That was my chance If I wouldn't have made that mistake, I would have had an advantage over him I was waiting for him to make a mistake and he did But unfortunately, I made a mistake right after that So now we are into Once again the final lap in fourth Here it's a Zuka and we're gonna be trying to fight to get that third spot to try and get that podium spot We're actually gonna break this correctly Stay on track. There we go. I Do not think unless he makes a big mistake We will be able to get him I'm definitely gonna try my hardest here So if you guys do late race league racing, let me know down in the comment section down below what your league ranking is Do you guys have fun? What's your favorite league races to do? I'm actually enjoying these older car Speck races the ghost spec race and there's my big lock up Every time trying to push a little bit too hard and cause myself an issue He made a mistake. I Don't think I'll be able to capitalize on that mistake though It's gonna be come down to the final turn. I don't know if I'll be able to outmaneuver him In this section Nope, I drifted way too much there. I got on power before him but he's definitely Got a little bit more power and just behind him in the fourth That was a great race with that guy. So if you guys like to see you want to see more league racing or Any tip of racing here on fours and more sort of seven Let me know in the comment section below I know you guys can follow me on Facebook, Twitch, Twitter and Instagram all of which are found in the description box below We literally finished really close So until the next time guys, I like thank you guys for watching. I'm evil rabbit. I'm out


New year new opportunities. What's up guys and first of all happy new year to everyone. I have got some great news for you guys. We are finally coming out of the bear market this year. Okay, okay. I know that might be a stretch for some of you but stay with me because in today's video we're talking about my Bitcoin and overall cryptocurrency outlook for 2023. And if you're like me and you're tired of your portfolio looking like it's been put by a truck, trust me, I feel you. Then you will want to stick around for this one. We'll be breaking down past historical trends. If there's any more potential bankruptcies left for 2023 and the macroeconomic events that we might see this year in the market. By the end of this video you'll have a much better idea of what to expect from the markets in 2023. And as a special new year's treat I've got a little something extra for you guys at the end of this video. So sit back, grab a cup of coffee or maybe a stronger beverage and let's get right into this video. What's up guys? I am Jay and welcome back to Bitcoin Daily. Remember this content is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Always do your own research before risking any of your own money. And as a disclaimer I am invested in Bitcoin since 2016. So if you guys are new here don't forget to smash that like button and subscribe to the channel. So 2022 ended up being the second worst year for Bitcoin in its short history. We ended the year down 64.24% the only time that we had a worse year than what we had in 2022 was of course in 2018 when we ended the year down 73.39%. So although it probably looked and felt like the worst year in crypto ever because of so much that was going on and because of the sentiment in the market and because it was so recently it actually wasn't the worst year that we've had. And if we compare it to previous bull markets to bear markets right all time highs to the bottom of the bear market assuming that the bottom of the Bitcoin price is in already which I do personally believe that it probably is in. You'll see that we dropped to the third worst bear market because the first actual bear market was the worst one for us when Bitcoin went down 86.9% then the 2018 bear market we dropped from its all-time high down to the bottom it was 84.12% and then currently in this bear market we've dropped from our all-time high to the current bottom which is about 15,479 that puts us down about 77.57%. So we're pretty much in line with the other two bear markets. Let's say that we did drop lower to let's say 84% just to kind of get an idea of where that would be that puts us around that 10 to 11,000 dollar mark and at let's say 86% that would again keep us around at 9 to 10,000 dollar mark. So again we're in line with all the other bear markets but we're actually not as bad as all the other bear markets but we're right there right and that's also why I do think that the bottom is probably in and if it isn't I don't see and I know a lot of people saying that Bitcoin's price could potentially go below 10,000 dollars I can't see that happening because we would have to have pretty much the worst bear market the worst pullback of all time in order to get there which would be a 86 to 87% pull down right and that would still put us between 9 to 10,000 dollars at that point and for that to happen we basically need more bankruptcies and you know things of that nature in order to tank the price so much further down and we'll come back to that we're going to be talking about bankruptcies but first let's clear the chart here and let's take a look just at the yearly chart right so each candle here represents 12 months and what I always like to do is look for patterns so we're not going to count this red candle here this was 2011 the market was still just getting started right we're not even gonna count we're not gonna count any of these three years here we're gonna start here in 2014 and what you're going to notice is that we have a ready year right a down year then we have one two three green candles and then boom another down year another red year then one two three green candles and last year 2022 another red year so if this same exact pattern that we've had for the last one two three four five six seven eight nine years if it goes on to 10 years of the same pattern then what this pattern is going to be showing us is that we're gonna have a green year and when I say green year I don't mean that bitcoin's going to explode like we've seen here right over a thousand percent over five thousand percent this year here it was pretty much just bitcoin consolidating right it's a consolidation period there so you'll see that it ended the year up 34 percent but you'll also notice that it had a wick to the bottom and at one point bitcoin was down 52 percent throughout that year right and then as as it continued the next year did even better 124 percent and then boom 2017 over a thousand over 1300 percent return in that year of course that was a raging bull market right and then we ran right into this next bear market in 2018 I'm sure a lot of people remember but then look at 2019 we were green 94 percent 2020 up 300 percent 2021 up 59 percent and then of course last year down 64 percent so this pattern here kind of points to a pretty boring um consolidation filled 2023 right this is what I call the year to basically load up your bags and then it's the next two years which bitcoin's price really begins to move and the crazy thing about this pattern and then if we move forward and look into this year and next year it falls in line with a lot of macroeconomic events not only does it fall in line with a macroeconomic event but it falls in line with the bitcoin halving you can see right now on the clock there's one year and 78 days left before the bitcoin halving the next one and this of course has always played a huge role in the price of bitcoin now we're going to talk more about the macroeconomic events and the bitcoin halving cycle and how this has affected this exact pattern that we're looking at here but first I want to take a few steps back I don't want to go full bullish mode yet right and I want to talk about bankruptcies so as you guys know last year it all basically started with terraform labs aka terra luna they had they created a cryptocurrency algorithmically pegged to the us dollar but in may it basically lost its peg from the us dollar and not only did a plummet luna but it plummeted the entire cryptocurrency industry and this of course set off a chain reaction where we saw lenders like voyage digital and celsius network fall and file for bankruptcy and we also saw hedge fund three arrows capital also fall then of course the most recent one is ftx where they basically lost billions of dollars of their customer funds because they were using it to do other stuff with it right and then that has caused other companies now the domino effects just continues on and it has affected companies like block fi which has had to file for bankruptcy and then now the question becomes okay well are all those bad actors all those companies is it over or are there any more big companies that could continue to act as a catalyst for the crypto market to fall further and that of course brings us to this current developing story here where genesis is owed 1.675 billion dollars and 900 million of those dollars basically belong to gemini and genesis is owned by if you don't know who genesis is by dcg digital currency group if you don't know who that is i'm sure you guys have heard of grayscale investments or gbtc this is all owned by the same company basically the same person right barry silver and basically dcg borrowed or owes 1.675 billion dollars to genesis which they also own right then we recently had an open letter from uh cameron winkelvoss who is who owns uh gemini i'm sure you guys are familiar with the winkelvoss twins the originators of facebook and they kind of had a twitter battle here where uh cameron wrote an open letter asking barry silbert basically to pay them their 900 million dollars barry silbert then kind of tweet it back and then uh they just kind of went back and forth right this all ended with genesis telling clients that it needs more time on financial woes before it can start repaying or letting customers and clients take out withdrawal of their funds so the issue is that this is how these all these other companies began right they paused all withdrawals for their clients and eventually files for bankruptcy i'm afraid that this could happen here again and if this did happen it's going to affect so many companies because if we look up digital currency group other than genesis it also has grayscale investments and hq investments i'm not sure what that one is but they have estimated around 50 billion dollars in assets under management so not only will this affect genesis and grayscale investments dcg right one of the biggest crypto companies that there is right now but it will also affect gemini and gemini is another huge crypto company that has around 30 billion dollars in assets under management as well so basically genesis owes gemini a billion dollars um and if there's a bankruptcy they're gonna lose those billion dollars which are customer funds this is the only way that i see bitcoin setting a new bottom if they were to default on their loans or they were to file for bankruptcy or anything like that that would be a major catalyst because that could also affect gemini and if they were to file for bankruptcy or anything like that yeah then we we would definitely be seeing a new bottom for crypto and potentially seeing bitcoin go below ten thousand dollars at that point because who knows what else that would affect so you can see why this is a huge storyline in 2023 and it is something that we most definitely have to keep an eye on so now let's dive into the 2023 macro economic events that we need to keep our eyes on there's basically four main things that we're watching this year war covid inflation and interest rates as we saw last year war is not good for any it's not good for the countries going to war it's not good for the people that live in those countries or in the surrounding countries it's not good for that country's economy and it's not good for the overall world economy either simply put war negatively affects the entire world the war in ukraine definitely impacted the overall world economy and sent prices way down for basically everything and there was just so much more going on which is part of the reason that we're that the world is basically in this recession currently right and this comes on the back of covid where we just had a global pandemic people were sick people died people were out of work people had no money so the governments were just printing more and more money which of course affected the world and the inflation right now i know many of us have probably forgotten that covid exists still but rumor has it that it's still currently waging in china right now and the thing is that the government in china has stopped releasing covid case numbers so we don't know how bad it is right now out there and then finally the last two things of course is inflation and this was directly impacted by the global pandemic governments began printing a bunch of money trying to stimulate the economy and of course inflation started to go up i know in the us we hit a peak of around nine percent nine point something but in other parts of the world it is way way worse and then um what the us is currently doing and what they were doing last year in 2022 to battle and fight against inflation was of course raising interest rates now there is some good news with inflation um it has been steadily and consistently going down over the last few months we've dropped from that nine point something down to around seven point one percent last month was there a reported we will be awaiting the report which is supposed to come out this month i believe on the 10 so by the time you guys see this video that report will probably be out already so it's actually coming out on the 12th so next thursday as you can see the previous report was at seven point one percent and the forecast for this next report is six point nine percent so they're expecting another point two percent drop off there so inflation directly affects interest rates and what the fed does the fed's goal is to get inflation rates down to two percent by the end of 2023 in order to do that they're continuing to raise interest rates but the good news is that last month they raised only a half percent instead of the point seven five percent that they did them the time before that so that is good news there is a slowdown in the rate there is a slowdown in the rate hikes but i do fully expect them to continue these rate hikes probably at least a few more times to start off this year that's basically what they've been saying but i'm also expecting throughout the year for them to eventually stop raising them and maybe towards the end of the year if inflation is getting close to its goal they can start decreasing the interest rates and that's going to fall in line with basically the next bull market right so let's just say that by the end of the year stopped altogether raising interest rates inflation is down to three getting close to two percent and they start talking about decreasing interest rates in the beginning of 2024 or maybe even as early as the end of 2023 now we will start to see the market start heading back up especially the riskier assets which is what cryptocurrency is considered then remember in 2024 we have the bitcoin halving event happening the date set right now is march 25th 2024 this date is going to be changing all the time it's not an exact date but let's just say march of 2024 now let's take a look of what bitcoin's price has done on the year of the bitcoin halving and the year after it and let's even take a look of the year before the bitcoin halving right so the first bitcoin halving event was in 2012 this was the first time ever in 2012 you can see we had a green year 189% but the next year so post halving is when we really saw bitcoin's price move then we had the bear market in 2014 15 and we had our next halving in 2016 now if you notice pre halving the year before the halving the price started to pick up a little bit the year of the halving the price went up 124% and again the year after the halving price shot up over 1300% so after the halving 1300% post halving again over 5400% year of the halving green year of the halving green and pre halving before the halving event happened it was green that year as well now fast forward to the next halving 2020 you can see 2020 over 300% the year after the halving up 59% pre halving also green of 94% so this is all starting to show a pattern right you can see historically that pre halving the year of the halving and post halving are usually the three green years that we have in a row then that year in the middle is always a red one and then again pre halving halving post halving red pre halving so what i'm thinking pre halving is gonna be like probably like these two years here where it's not going to be anything crazy a lot of consolidation will end up in the green then the year of the halving 2024 not only because of the bitcoin halving because of inflation going down decreasing interest rates that's all kind of telling us that 2024 and 2025 is going to be the next bull run for us so this year is just basically the price bottoming out then the next two years bull run then we're gonna have 2026 a red candle and this is of course if it sticks to the same similar pattern that we've been seeing these last 10 years so when trying to figure out what where i think bitcoin's price is gonna go by the end of this year trying to be conservative i would give a number of around between 28 to 30 thousand dollars probably and i would expect that to happen probably closer to the end of the year not anytime soon so it'd be maybe like october november december type of thing where we kind of got through 2025 thousand and got to 2030 and just kind of was there to start off 2024 not saying that it won't go higher bitcoin you can't predict bitcoin right but i'm trying to give with everything all the information that we have right now on the 6th of january 2023 that is my best conservative prediction right now i do think we have a green year of course this could all change with dcg if they were to go bankrupt with genesis if gem and i if other companies were to go bankrupt this could all change but as of right now the state of it right now that's kind of where i'm thinking um we could end up by the end of this year going into 2024 to then really see a rally up in 2024 and 2025 to new all-time highs hundred thousand dollars and possibly beyond that at that point so that means that 2023 is a year to accumulate load up your bags build up your long-term positions in projects that you really believe in using dollar cost averaging i've done a few videos on what i'm currently accumulating and i will be doing more of these videos um in this month because this does change and get updated depending on what happens every time something big happens right um all these things can change but i personally am consistently putting money into the market investing every single week on red days i know it could feel weird and unnatural to go against the grain with the current sentiment in the air and in the markets right now but i'm telling you guys this is a time to build your long-term wealth you buy when there's fear and blood in the market you don't buy when bitcoin is at all-time highs this is how i've built my portfolio over the years by buying the fear and selling the greed i hope you guys have enjoyed this video if you have make sure to drop a like drop a comment and don't forget to subscribe to the channel as i promised you guys in the beginning of video i had a special treat for you guys for this new year so i'm gonna be giving 25% off for lifetime in my discord group so all you gotta do is go right down here where it says join our VIP exclusive mentorship group click that link once you get to this page right on the bottom here where it says have a coupon make sure to hit that and you're gonna enter bitcoin 2023 and hit apply to get that discount and that will be for as long as you have this membership i will be running this promo throughout this first month in january of 2023 now why would you want to be in this discord group well i provide things like this outlook for 2023 i posted this to them over a week ago as you guys can see here i broke the entire thing down i also share the exact trades that i'm taking in the market as you guys can see here the first day of the new year we entered in ethereum long trade here at $1,200 we risked 1% on each of these entries here with my exact stop loss and exactly where to take profit and how much profit to take at each point fast forward two days later and we hit our first two areas to take profit you guys can see here this was the first this candle right here that's when we gave the trade signal and this is currently where we are right now easy win guys i also give you guys my personal time and attention mentorship i teach you guys how to trade the right way and if you guys have been checking out my trading bot videos here where i am testing i'm creating these scripts to be able to test all these different trading strategies if you guys like any of these trade strategies i will be giving them to you you will have access to them for free in my mentorship group now the last thing i want to tell you guys remember guys keep your crypto safe ftx has gone down block 5 has gone down voyager celsius all these companies that were supposedly very very trustworthy have gone down people have the loss of their crypto do not keep your crypto in centralized platforms do not let third parties have access to your crypto i did a video on exactly how to do this right here guys you guys can check this video out i'm going to throw it on the screen right now so just go ahead and click that to make sure that in 2023 none of you guys lose your crypto i'll see you guys on the next one as always peace and love