I'm just going to wait until we get confirmation of the live stream and there it is, 8 a.m. March 1st, 2020. Welcome everyone. This is Chih-chou and today we're doing a live stream and we titled it Analyzing the Data for COVID-19, the Wuhan coronavirus, open discussion and we're going to keep it chill ASMR. Now just to give everyone a little intro as to what this is about, basically the images that you see here, the top video that you see here that titled exponential growth of the Wuhan coronavirus, graphing rate of viral infections. This is a sort of a topic that came up during an ASMR math live stream that we're doing sort of a tutoring session couple hours I make myself available and the concept of exponential growth came up and what we ended up doing was just right off the bat, just whatever data we had which was basically a couple of weeks into people realizing what was going on, some data being released. We looked at some of the numbers and we thought that this was going to be sort of what it meant if it was going to be exponential growth. Our first video we put out regarding COVID-19 was that one and then we followed that up because data was becoming more and more available. We followed that up with another live stream where we analyzed the data that we had up to that point which was 17 days worth of data. What we ended up doing, I took the data into a table and we ended up graphing some of the parameters just to see what exponential growth looks like and some of the other things that was going on. We looked at that data and I ended up putting out both the full on live stream video released on BitShoot on YouTube as well as an edited version where we took out the data and just a segment where we're talking about the data and sort of took it into my video editor and added a couple of different animations or features in there so things could be highlighted better and we released that as well. So there's a shortened version where we look at the data and a long stream version where we look at the data and have an open discussion. What we're doing right now is the live stream version of this and hopefully if I get a chance I will edit out the data that we're going to take a look at and upload it by itself just the data alone, looking at the data and looking at the charts and the graphs. The discussion we're going to do later on after we look at some of this stuff. That's my quick little intro to this of what we're up to. And we're going to slowly see start people rolling in at Bardo. How are you doing? Welcome to another live stream. Today is Sunday morning, 8 a.m. my time. So I'm assuming there isn't going to be too much activity here like there was yesterday. There was a fair bit of people here yesterday. So that was fun. A lot of discussion took place regarding current events. Let us be serial. Let us be serial.  Luca, how are you doing? Hey Chico, good to be back. Good to have you back, Luca. Good to have you back. I've been looking at the data since yesterday. I was sort of compiling the stuff as we were going on a day-to-day basis. And I went through the data and once you end up graphing your data set you can see discrepancies, you can see flaws, you can see errors and stuff like this. So I went through a couple of filters and made sure that we had the accurate as accurate data as possible. And for those that are watching this video after the live stream, after it's been loaded to BitShoot, YouTube or any other platform, there'll be a link in the description of the video to these initial two videos. We put out three videos really and I'll provide a link to the timestamp as to when we're going to start looking at the table and the charts as well. It seems to have gone linear now, thankfully. Luca, the kicker is there's, we can't have faith in the data anymore. I'll show you why it looks linear to a certain degree because China is not really updating their data. If you look at the data outside of China, it's exponential. So it's not necessarily linear because the virus is going linear or the R0 is reducing or what not. How many people are being affected? It's going linear because the data is not available. Where the data that we're being provided with is flawed. And you can see that if you look at certain parts of the data. We'll go through it as soon as we give people about 10 minutes to roll in to the live stream. I know it's a little early for people on the West Coast on a Sunday morning of all times. But I thought it was a good time to start this. Lonely piggy, how are you doing? Life is good, man. Looking at data, I'm always happy looking at data. So when I started looking at data, I went off a little bit too far on this. There's a couple of three columns I took out, actually, to be able to talk about the data. Early stream teacher of sleepy waves, yeah, was hoping to be done with my workout. Workout and what do you call it? Listen to coronavirus data analysis stream. I do, for my workouts, I sometimes listen to, actually not sometimes, a lot of the times, I listen to either lectures or news briefings or new segments, independent, of course, right? Great lasagna. Good morning, Ciccio. I'm loving being a regular viewer on your streams again. Hope you're doing well. Thank you very much. And welcome back to becoming a regular viewer on our streams. Good afternoon, Olive. Hello, salutations to Europe from Canada. I'm more worried about the economic social panic effects rather than the health implications. Luca, for sure. There's huge economic wave that's coming that we've already sort of been hit with. So there's going to be different things happening. We mentioned this, by the way, Luca. We talked about this during previous live streams that this was something that was going to happen, right? Cool, Leo. How are you doing? Hola, muchachos, Nikki Hickey. How are you at work this Sunday? Got a few comics to enjoy. Image posted in the Discord channel. Nice. Hope all is well. Doing well, Nikki. And thanks for the links on the Discord for the comics. Listening to McKenna during workout. Nice. That's a great thing to listen to. And Robert Anton Walser is amazing, too. Hello, Liquid Swords. Great lasagna. Thank you very much again for the Twitch Prime sub. Three months in a row. Woo-hoo. Hi, chicha. Gina Toscala. How are you doing? Hope life is treating you well on this Sunday. Who? Can you say the name again? Eduardo. Robert Anton Walser or Terence McKenna? Ra. Robert Anton Walser. This is the name. Robert Anton Walser. And there's a... This book is actually pretty good. It's a musical about Wilhelm Reichenle. But Robert Anton Walser, if you want to listen to a long segment of Ra, and it goes by Ra R.A.W., he has a seven hour, I believe, audio interview. It's either seven or 13 hour audio interview. I always get the cosmos is 13 hours, but I guess Ra is seven hours. Seven hour audio interview with Robert Anton Walser. That is fantastic to listen to. I've listened to it. I listen to it every few years, just to remind myself of certain things. Coolio. Flu season this year is looking scarier than coronavirus, to be honest. The kicker with the flu season and the coronavirus is, we don't have the data regarding COVID-19. We really don't. The data was coming in. It's not coming in. It's flawed. You can see in the data where the anomalies are. The infection rates, we don't know. We have CV in Norway now. Yeah, it's going to... By all accounts, it's going to go everywhere. Unfortunately, it's already peaking its head in countries and regions where the health infrastructure is not there. So that was my main worry, right? If we look at the data, India still, I believe, still says three. It's been saying three infections for the last two weeks now, which nobody should believe those numbers. It's in Africa. It's now in South America. Just wait until what the wiser is. Nice, we'll do. Okay, always streaming when I can't watch. Oh, Randall, I'm so sorry. Oh, go to Discord, Randall. By the way, you're one of our main regulars. You've been here a while, Randall.  And I'll try to accommodate. I'll try to set them up during those periods. And that goes out to anyone that's here right now that you're watching. And if there's enough people posting times, maybe we'll put out a little calendar and we go with the times that most people can attend. I should be able to adjust my schedule a lot of the times. Cool, that's true. A virus in the age of misinformation is a lot more dangerous than a virus in a well-informed populace. 100%, which is why censorship is detrimental to society, right? Unlike the U.S., don't have the infrastructure either. I live in New York City and the hospitals here are just trash. Sleepy waves, if the U.S. gets hit hard, the problem is the cost of healthcare in the United States. So a lot of people that can't afford to get healthcare, to get tested, are gonna overwhelm the system, right? And the infection could possibly explode in the United States, right? Hey, Chih-chou, how are you? In Sissou, 22, doing well. Will do, cheers, awesome. Martin, I'm working, but I'm here right on, Martin. Thank you very much. You got our mod happening here. Cool, thank you. What do you define infrastructure as? Infrastructure, everything. Medical system, roads, bridges, hospitals, like everything. Infrastructure is everything. Not to mention if you're broke in the U.S. and cash coronavirus, good luck paying for the medical treatment. And the odds are you won't, because you can't afford it. Chih-chou, do you know where most your viewers are from? Do you have a statistics on that? Eduardo, I do, majority is from the United States. There's no doubt, right? But I have a lot of viewers coming in from Europe, like a lot. I have some coming in from Russia. I got, like I don't check the locations too much. I just do what I do, right? And people from everywhere are welcome to come here, right? So I'm not, you know, through YouTube, I've looked at it. I haven't looked at it through Twitch. And through YouTube, I looked at it like a long time ago, right? So that might have changed since YouTube's censorship filters have kicked in. Okay, let me take down these two. And by the way, for those of you who are entering in, these are two of the previous videos that we did on COVID-19. The top one is basically something that came up during a math livestream we're doing. We're looking at how an exponential function may look. And as soon as we had more data available, which was basically 17 days worth of data, we did another livestream on Twitch, where we did exactly what we're about to do now, but with 17 days. Right now, we're going to look at data that we have for 41 days, which has given us a better picture of what's really going on. Okay. And there's three videos that we have already done. Okay. Let me take these down so you guys can see the table that I put together. If you were here doing a previous livestream where you saw the other videos, you'll notice I've added a handful of new columns. There was three other columns I was going to include here, but the data is, I couldn't get accurate data. So if I can get my hands on accurate data, then we'll add those three columns in the next livestream that we do regarding COVID-19 coronavirus. Right. And we'll most likely do this on a monthly basis, just to see what's going on. Okay. I'm just going to read a little bit of chat. And again, we're about 15 minutes into the stream. Probably in another five minutes, we're going to start looking at the data. Okay. Just give people enough time, and anyone watching this again on Bitshoot YouTuber or any other platform, the link, the timestamp will be in the description of this video to tell you when we start looking at the data. Do you know where most of the pop-up? Do you think it's a good idea to lock down cities as they were saying that could be a plan here in the UK? Okay. In CISO, I can't say, I really can't say, because we don't know what's really going on. Right. Like the data out of China put a multiplier on it. Right. What they've been releasing is not accurate. Maybe it was accurate at the beginning or in the middle after a couple of weeks, but it's not accurate anymore. Right. So we really don't know what the situation is. So I really can't say what I think should be happening if we lock down cities. I think quarantine zones are legitimate if it's very, very serious. Right. If the R not value, if one person can infect instead of right now, they're assuming the R not is anywhere between two to four. Right. If the R not is 10, 15, if one person can infect 10 people, eight people, 15 people, 20 people, then you need to set up zones. Right. And you need to be very proactive in testing people and making sure that people are taken care of. And that's the kicker. Right. Right now, the kicker is this. Majority of the world does not have adequate healthcare. That includes the United States. That includes Europe. That includes Western countries that do have adequate healthcare within reason. The United States is too expensive with Canada and some other countries have adequate healthcare to deal with normal everyday events. But what happens when you get something like this where it's called a black swan event when all of a sudden the system is overloaded? Right. How do you deal with that? I have to go write a paper for school. Okay, I'll have a good stream. Bye bye. Bye, Olive. Thanks for popping by. And write on that you're staying on top of your school. Okay. No country is ready to handle an outbreak. Hospitals and medical infrastructures runs at capacity during normal times. Yeah. And Luca, I'm in Canada. I know the hospitals because I have friends, family that work at the hospital. Okay. They're in the medical system. Right now in Canada, the Canadian medical system is running at 150% capacity. It's overloaded, overloaded. Okay. Can it handle a five, 10 fold increase in capacity? No way. Speaking of that, I will be a European viewer in a year and a half. Uh-huh. Narrow down my list to Portugal, Croatia and Albania, right on Culeo. What are you up to? Those are three very different countries. Where's the data from? The data I collected from basically three different websites from the World Health Organization. I collected the data. Majority of the data is from the John Hopkins. Okay. And I've linked the stuff in Discord. I grabbed a lot of data from John Hopkins. I grabbed a lot of data. It's on the other computer, unfortunately. Okay. So there's three different websites that I grabbed the data from. And there's discrepancies between the data. I did three or four websites. Yes, I have different reasons. Good morning. Zara, good morning. How are you doing? Off topic. But what do you think this peace deal is about the Taliban in the U.S.? I think it could be legit because the United States is overextended, so they need to pull back and reinforce certain regions. What it's about, we don't know yet. They've signed peace deals before. We talked a little bit about it yesterday during the current events, Livestream, Zara. China had to rapidly build entire hospitals in a few weeks to deal with the overcrowding. Not easy to deal with because of how large their population is, for sure. Do you have comparatives that exclude China? Yes. That's the kicker, right? There's three columns. I was looking for data outside of China. Mortality rate outside of China or fatality rate outside of China and all that jazz. But the data is very patchy and it's not enough of it. So I took those three columns out, but we do have some data. If you look at one, so the first column, should we start this up? Let me catch up with the chat. What's your view on the stocks rally losing? I'll do that. It's not mainly the coronavirus. There's other effects related to stock market. The coronavirus is the trigger, is the excuse. Airlines, at least in Europe. And yeah, for sure, it's going to have a major economic effect in Sessio. We talked about this. Anyone that thought that wasn't going to have an economic effect really doesn't understand supply chain. When there's factories closing in China that are making products for a lot of tech companies and other companies outside of China, that's going to have, and what do you call it? Both with suppliers of raw materials and the final product, right? For sure. The full deadness isn't something you can calculate super accurately because we're only a couple of months in. And the data, again, is flawed. The market is factoring in the risk of the virus going global and shutting down trade routes. Luca, I disagree. I don't think it's taken that into full effect yet.  We can talk about the stock market later, but there's a lot of CEOs have resigned because they can cash out and sell their stock. There's a lot of stuff going on. Sabian F, how are you doing? F, welcome, welcome from down south in a hot climate. And F, we talked about it. Me and F had a little conversation a couple of weeks ago. We mentioned that the stock market might come down a lot in a matter of days. And it did last week. We'll see what happens in the week coming up tomorrow starting. Okay, gang, should we do a little looking at the data? So you're saying the virus is exposing other fundamental risks. Big time, big time. What were you saying about raw material suppliers? Raw material suppliers, if you're going to make anything, you're going to make a mouse, you're going to make this, you're going to make that, you need raw materials. The factories, wherever they are, they need the raw materials coming in. And different parts made from other companies that are making them, getting the raw materials. So it's just a supply chain.  With a new virus, we don't know a lot about it. My biggest question is regarding the recovered numbers. With a new virus, we don't know a lot about it. How can anyone be classified as fully recovered? And people are coming back, right? Oh, recovered. Oops, they're not. Predatory. How are you doing? No longer testing positive for the virus. Yeah. Okay, gang. I'll keep my eyes on the chat, but I'm going to keep the flow of this going where we see the data, see the charts, because it's really important when you're looking at data to see the stuff without the break so your mind can process it and put it together. Dell FX, welcome from Germany. Salutations from Canada. So gang, let's take a look at this data. And as I mentioned before, we did two videos before looking at the data. Initially, this video here, which was ASMR math livestream we had and the conversation came up about exponential growth. So what we ended up doing was taking a look at whatever data we had regarding COVID-19 coronavirus of the infection rate and we talked about what exponential growth could look like, what a doubling period was, right? And then when more data was available, we did a live stream on Twitch where we did exactly what we're about to do. We created a table and put some graphs together and we took a look at those, that data set, right? And it was just for 17 days worth of data. So we did a live stream and then I took the segment where we looked at the data and cut that out and sort of highlighted some stuff through my video editor and uploaded that as a separate video on its own, right? So we have three streams out there regarding COVID-19 coronavirus. And we are live streaming this as well. So the chat is going and I'll keep my eyes on the chat and make sure we don't get any troll action happening but I'll let people have the conversation. And I'm just going to run through the data here for you guys, right? And what we have here, what I compiled together, if you've watched the previous videos or if you plan on watching it, you'll notice that I add a few more columns in here. There's three other columns that I wanted to add but because the data is sparse, it's not reliable and we don't have enough of it, I decided not to include that data. And those three columns were related to information that I was trying to get regarding the virus, what we have outside of China, right? Because we can't really rely on the data coming out of China anymore, right? So what we have here, we got the date. So we're going, the data that I've compiled here is going from January 20th to February 29th, okay? So we're looking at 41 days worth of data, which start to give us a nice feel of what might be happening, right? The data, the noise is starting to disappear and we're sort of, we're getting the trends, we had the trends before but we can rely more on the data because there is more of it, right? The next column, the third column is the total confirmed worldwide, okay? The fourth column is confirmed in mainland China and we'll talk about this. And as soon as we look at the percent growth per day, you'll get a feel for why this data is most likely not accurate, right? Because if you look down, so we have mainland China and then we have data for the number of infected confirmed outside of China, including Hong Kong, right? So that's the fifth column in. Again, I should have put the numbers up top but there's only so much room I could play with here, right? So we have other, including Hong Kong and that column is the rate of infections outside of China, okay? And to get a feel for how that data is playing out, what I created was three more columns, right? So the first three columns of data is the number of confirmed cases. The next three columns is the percent growth per day for each of the columns, okay? And in the background, if you can hear the, our neighbors are playing their musicians. They recently moved in and they're playing mandolin. The link, the link, the link, right? So we're getting that at times. It's sort of soothing to a certain degree. So I hope you guys enjoy it if you can hear it. So one, two, three, four, five. The sixth column is the percent growth per day for the total number of confirmed, right? And if you start off from January 21st, and if you go all the way to February 13th, 14th, you'll notice that it was, you know, we started off, it was fairly noisy, things were jumping all over the place. And then it was stabilizing around 20% into the teens. And then on February 13th, it kicked up to 33%, right? The number of confirmed cases. That's because China changed their method of confirming cases and whatnot, right? So they changed their criteria and the way they were presenting the data and taking in the data, right? And then after that, what you see is the China, the infection rate in China just dropping down to basically 1% per day. This area is very important to look at, right? Because most of the cases are out of China, that's really affecting the total confirmed cases outside of China, okay? And when we look at the graphs, you'll get a feel for it, right? I just want to run you through the table right now. The reason that we know these numbers are most likely flawed or not accurate is because the percent increase per day outside of China is huge. Percent confirmed outside of China, starting as of basically when China changed the way they were reporting the numbers, collecting data, right? Went into the teens, 11%, 15%, 14%, 15%, 12%, 10%, 9%, 17%. And now we're going into the 20s, the high 20s, and into the 30%. We even actually hit 30% increase in the number of confirmed cases outside of China in a day, right? That's huge. Keep your eyes on that. This is telling us that basically unless, unless in China the virus has burnt itself out and the number of infected is completely collapsed, that could be either because China is doing a great job of containing people and they're treating everyone, which most people agree that's not the case. It could be because the virus has mutated and it's not as severe anymore and it's actually inoculating people. I don't want to correct terminology, I'm not a biologist, I'm a geophysicist, right? I just like the data. So maybe the virus has mutated, so it's not infecting anymore. The are not values completely dropped, or the most likely case, the data coming out of China is not accurate, right? We'll find out soon enough. The next column, after the 3% growth, total China and outside of China, we have the total number of confirmed deaths, okay? And then we have the total number recovered. The next three columns are the fatality rate, right? And one thing that we're seeing right now, if you look at this column, the fatality rate, basically the percent of people that are dying, people were coding 2%, right? And it's sitting at, from January 31st, all the way to basically, again, February, where China changed the way they were reporting numbers, mid-February, it was sitting around 2%, 2.5%, right? But because China's numbers are most likely not accurate, the number of infected is not rising the way it should, because of exponential growth. And because the number of deaths outside of China is growing, we're seeing the mortality rate kick up to 3.5% now, okay? Relative to the total number of confirmed if we're going by the official numbers. So again, this mortality rate might be real if we believe that the number affected are being reported are accurate, or the mortality rate is kicking up, because there's people dying outside of China, but we're not seeing the number infected rise because the data coming out of China is not accurate. So that's kicking up the percent, the mortality rate, right? You can take it either way, okay? And the last two columns is the percent total recovered, which is from the confirmed cases, how many, what percent have recovered, which we're sitting in around 40, early 40%, okay? So that's the table. I just wanted to run you through that. And what we're seeing in the last column, and when we see the graphs, you'll get a feel for how these look, the visual of it, right? And the last column is death versus recovered as a percentage. So initially, the number of recovered wasn't very many because people, it was taking people a month to recover from this thing, right? And people were dying. So there was actually more deaths than recovered. But this last column is showing positive signs because what we're seeing is the number of recovered is increasing, and so the number of relative death to recovered is decreasing, right? Which is a good thing, which is a good thing, okay? And I know there's conversation going on. I don't, I wasn't keeping my eyes on the chat. Spider-Man, how are you doing? I'll come back to the chat after we go through the charts because I do want to have this segment, I have this segment, a really great table, thanks, there's three more columns I wanted to add but couldn't do it, right? But what I want to do is make sure we're able to cut this little segment out of the live stream and upload it independently, right? So let's take a look at the graphs, okay? So the first graph we're going to look at is the total confirmed cases, right? So this is the graph of the total confirmed cases, okay? And I'm titling these graphs basically analyzing the coronavirus COVID-19 data from January 20th to February 29th, okay, 2020. And that basically encompasses 41 days worth of data, right? Now if you take a look at this, on February 13th, 14th, which is basically day, if we bring out the table again, let me bring out the table again. So we'll go by the second column. The x-axis is our second column, it's the number of days that we're looking at the data, right? And if you look at day 25, that's when China changed the way they were reporting the numbers and collecting the data, right? So on day 25, the day before, there were 1% growth per day, which everybody agreed couldn't have been the case, right? And then on day 25, it's 33%. That's what we're seeing here with the big kick-up. Because a lot of new cases were confirmed, right? The jump was, I believe, like 15,000 new cases. We can take a look at the table to figure out what the number was. If you look at 25, it went from 45,000 confirmed cases for total to 60,000, or basically 45,000 to 60,000 inside China. So 15,000 new cases were added. That's why we're seeing this big jump happening at day 25, right? Now, if you look at this graph, initially you see it's fairly flat in the first few days and then it's starting to go exponential, exponential. And then we see the graph sort of taper off, start flattening out. That's mostly because the data was not being collected in an accurate way coming out of China because it was mainly Chinese infections that were running the data, right? And then all of a sudden we get 15,000 new cases. And if you continue to look at the data, it looks flat, looks flat, looks flat. And towards the end, in the 39, 40, and 41, we're starting to see a pickup again, right? We're starting to see that pickup again. Keep that in mind, okay? Here's the number of confirmed inside China. So this is total confirmed, right? This is the number of confirmed in mainland China, right? Again, we see the same thing going exponential, flattens out in a 15,000 pop up, right? And then starts going up and it's flattening out, right? Flat. So this is linear towards the end in day 40, 41. And I'm going to bring up the total again. You're seeing a little kick up for the total confirmed in day 40, 41, right? Here's why we're seeing the kick up because the total confirmed includes the number of cases outside of China, right? So total confirmed, mainland China, outside of China. We're going full-on exponential with the number of confirmed cases outside of China. And this going exponential in the last three, four days of the number of confirmed cases outside of China is giving the kick that we're seeing in the total confirmed cases, okay? That's the kick that we're seeing up there, okay? Now, if this thing's growing at the rate that we're seeing in the table outside of China, which is basically anywhere between 20 to 30% per day, that's been the case for the last week or so. If we bring up the table, let me bring up the table here. If you bring up the table and if you look at which column? One, two, three, four, five, six, seven, eight. If you look at the eighth column, which is percent growth per day other, meaning outside of China, in the last from day 33 to day 41, right? From basically February 21st, 22nd to February 29th, right? Growth per day outside of China is anywhere between 17 to 30% per day. That's a lot. That's a lot. And that's what we're seeing here. Serious kick up, okay? This is the main reason I mentioned a few times that most likely the data coming out of China is not accurate. I don't think any scientists, anyone looking at the data would say other than they found a cure, they got some kind of vaccine that they're giving millions of tens of millions of people or the virus has mutated and it's not affecting anyone and everyone miraculously is getting better, right? Well, not getting better because the number of recovered is still following a normal trend, right? Still going exponential growth, right? But there isn't huge pop-ups, right? So keep this in mind. The best data right now that we can start analyzing is the numbers coming out of countries outside of China, okay? The next table or next graph we're going to look at is the growth per day total, okay? So the growth per day globally, because it's influenced heavily with China, has dropped down to one or 2% per day, right? If we look at the table again, let me bring up the table. So this is the one, two, three, four, five, the sixth column. So we're about to look at the sixth, seven, and eighth columns, right? And if you look at the sixth and seventh column from basically February 15th, day 27 to February 29th, day 41, we're sitting anywhere from 3% to 0% growth in China per day, which isn't very accurate. However, towards the end, we're seeing a little kick up again in the total percent growth per day, because outside of China is growing 20%, 25% per day, right? So all of a sudden, the growth per day for the total number of confirmed is going kicked up to 3% on day 41, right? Which is what we're seeing here towards the end, right? So this is the growth per day based on the official numbers globally, right? Here's the growth per day in China. Even in China, we're seeing a little kick up, right? And here's the growth per day outside of China and it's kicking up, right? Initially, you know, there's a lot of noise. We had 50, 30 kicking up to 80% per day. So it did the noise, flattened out. Now we're seeing the infections kick up. And this trend doesn't look good, okay? If you take the data from day 25, right? And day 25 based on our table, and I'm going to provide these tables and graphs on our Patreon page and on our Subscribe Star page. And I'll post these tables and graphs on our Discord and I'm only allowed to do it for Twitter and some of the other sharing platforms. So I might load these up. Actually, I'll just load them up on Patreon. That way I can just load up the stuff on one location, right? But if you look at the table here, okay? From day 25 is when China changed the way that we're presenting the data, collecting the data, right? Confirming the data. If you cut out the data above that, right? Take out the initial three, four weeks of data collection that we've had, right? And start looking at the data from day 25, 24. If you do just a regression analysis on this, this thing's going like this. So the infection rate hopefully stabilizes around 20% and starts coming down. But the odds are the growth per day outside of China is gonna, from the trend line, if you do just an analysis on it, it might even go higher than 20 to 30% per day for and next little while, possibly. Hopefully it flattens out and drops, but all indications are that it won't. All indications are that the numbers are actually being downplayed. I thought this graph was important as well. So right now, the two main columns and the two main graphs that are showing us a more reasonable, more accurate, something that we can rely on better than what the numbers are coming out of China have been this graph as well as the, not that one, this one. Right? The number of confirmed cases outside of China and the percent growth outside of China. Both of these graphs indicate that we're just at the beginning stages of this thing. The number is increasing outside of China exponentially as we're seeing here, right? Especially if the growth rate is also increasing per day. This is per day, by the way. 20% increase per day, 30% more reported per day, 17% more reported per day. You do a little interest rate, takes an interest rate equation that you, everybody uses in economics trying to figure out how much money they're going to owe in a year if they pay a certain percent. If you run those numbers with a 20% per day exponential growth, wow, wow, wow, right? Now these are the percent growth per day, right? Here is the total deaths, the absolute numbers, what we have right now. Global, right? Now one thing I wanted to do in the table I also wanted to include was the number of deaths outside of China. But the data is not accurate, right? I created three tables to be able to crunch those numbers as well. I looked at them, I checked all my sources and things were reporting different. Some were missing it. And I was like, okay, I can't include this data. Maybe we'll include the data in next months. Update of COVID-19 data that most likely we're going to analyze. Most likely we're going to revisit this once a month, okay? And just continuously grow this data and link it up with the work we're doing in ASMR mathematics and what we're going to create in regards to statistics, right? A module on statistics. And by the way, I'm not trying to treat this as only a mathematical concept, right? There's a lot of people being hurt right now. But the data is the data. When you're doing science, you really have to approach this stuff. Just analyzing the data, putting personal feelings aside, right? Which is one of the powers of mathematics because that gives you a clearer picture of what's going on. You're not in panic mode. You're not going by rumors.  You're looking at the data and analyzing that data and trying to get a picture of what's going on. You're not relying on secondary sources to provide you that information, right? So right now what we're seeing with the total number of deaths with this graph was that it was going exponential and flattened out, right? Again, keep in mind this is total number of deaths. We don't know what the numbers really are coming out of China. This other graph is a total number confirmed recovered, right? Confirmed cases that have recovered, which is fantastic. This is growing exponentially. It's looking a little linear, but again, the numbers that we're getting are not 100% accurate coming out of mainland China and possibly some other countries as well. I don't think the numbers coming out of India are accurate. There's absolutely no way, right? Three confirmed cases for the last two weeks in India while Canada has gone from four to 20. United States has gone from like three or four to, I forget what it was now, I looked at it before it was into, I think it's broke 100, right? There was one nursing home, I believe, that old age home that's everybody's infected. Like they're quarantining the whole region, right? The whole complex. So take this with a grain of salt as well, right? The number of recovered is going to remember there's a delay factor as well. It takes people a long time to recover. So if the number of infected is growing exponentially, right? And it is outside of China, the confirmed cases anyway, then this number will most likely might have a little lag with it, but it should go exponential if the fatality rate is accurate, as they say, which is 2%. We're getting around 3.5% right now, and I'll show you the graph on that, right? So this is the total confirmed recovered cases. This is the fatality rate, right? Now, it was sitting around 2%. It was bouncing off 2%, and then what you're seeing here, again on day 24, 25, is when China changed the way their methodology of reporting the numbers, collecting the numbers, testing people, right? That's why we see the click down, right? The mortality, the fatality rate was kicking up, and then all of a sudden, the number of infected kicked up, right, 15,000. So the number of deaths didn't kick up on that level. So all of a sudden, we see a little drop at the 24-day mark, where it drops back down to around 2.5%, and then slowly what we're seeing is kicking up to around 3.5%, right? Take this with a grain of salt. If the number of infected is more, then the fatality rate is going to drop, which is a good thing, right? The number of infected being more is not a good thing, but the fatality rate dropping is a good thing, right? So it's here and there, both positive and negative effects here. If the fatality rate is kicking up to 3.5%, there we're getting to more problematic areas. Not that 2% is not problematic, right? This is the percent recovered from the number of confirmed, right? We're sitting above 40% now, right? 45% of people who were tested and confirmed to have COVID-19 have recovered, which is fantastic. And again, you see discrepancy in the data, flaw in the data, because on day 23, 24, 25, 24 to 25, because the number of confirmed cases kicked up by 15,000 in mainland China, the percent recovered dropped, which shouldn't really be the case, if the data is not flawed, if something hasn't changed in the methodology, which we know it has, China came out and confirmed it, right? So if you're doing a scientific analysis on this, you have to sort of smooth this out, okay? Run filters through this thing. So percent recovered is not bad, 40 plus percent, right? And this graph here is the number of deaths versus recovered, and the number of deaths was a lot higher. It was 140% higher than the percent recovered, number recovered initially. If we look at this table, go back to our table. This is the last column that we're talking about. So the death toll was 259 on January 31st, and the number recovered was 187 from the confirmed cases. So the number of deaths was a lot higher than the number of recovered, which was frightening to some people, but we needed more data, right? And when you start looking at the data, the number of recovered obviously is going to be more than the number of fatalities, right? If the fatality rate is only sitting at 2% to 3%. So slowly what we're seeing is the ratio of death versus recovered is decreasing, which is a great sign, right? Which is a good sign. Now this is all the graphs that I had. I just wanted to run through that. So what I want to do is I want to put the table back up so everyone can see the data, okay? And again, consider this the third sort of official video that we're doing regarding COVID-19. The first one was this one we had here, where it sort of came up during a math livestream where conversation came up regarding exponential growth. So we took like seven days worth of data extrapolated to the doubling period to see what the growth was. And we did a follow-up live stream in a week or two weeks where we had 17 days worth of data and we did exactly then what we just did now is looked at the tables, looked at the graphs and try to figure out what was going on, okay? Let me kick these down and put up the table. I'm going to go back to the chat and we're going to talk about the data, talk about what people think, okay? And if I do end up cutting this little segment now where we looked at the data with the graphs, you can follow the conversation in the next video which will be loaded up, which is the full-on live stream. Okay, aside from that, hello chat. How are you doing? How has the conversation been? If there's anything you're seeing in the data which you think should be, you know, any discrepancies or any other columns that you guys think we should be adding to this table to do further analysis, either comment here or preferably post the stuff in our science folder in the heavy subjects. So maybe we can just add more columns and put some more graphs together to see what things it looked like for our next month's update of the data, okay? They already have. When CV first started, they tried to cover it up. Yeah, Zarya. And that was very problematic. For two months, China was trying to cover it up. If they had tackled it head on in that initial first two months, we probably would not have not be seeing this thing growing in such a huge way globally. Tank, how are you doing? Do we know two things? If the virus has ran its course in China or is still gathering speed and what percent of the whole population has been infected. I don't think the virus has run its course, right? Because if the virus came out in China, right, and if it's mutated and run its course inside China, then it should have already, the mutated version, should have already come out of China and be running its course. But we're seeing exponential growth outside of China, outside of China, right? So I don't think it's run its course inside China. As for the whole population, well, population of China is 1.2 to 1.5 billion, right? And the number of confirmed, you've got to add a multiplier to the number of confirmed coming out of China. Even if you add a multiplier to it, it's still a very small percentage of the number confirmed anyway. My personal guess, okay, if we're going to throw, because if you're running anything, let's assume you're running a corporation, you're running a business, you're running a government, you have to assume the data is flawed, okay? And you have to assume, prepare for the possibility of the worst-case scenario. And the worst-case scenario, China, I would say, at least an order of magnitude higher, okay? So take that with a grain of salt, of course, that's just my worst-case scenario, maybe even more, okay? I think it's in the table. Yeah, if there's anything positive to take from COVID-19 outbreak, it hopefully will make a lot of governments reevaluate the disease control procedures you have. And Kulio, one of the things that's come up is, remember, the United States has a lot of farm school companies, right? And the United States has put severe sanctions on a lot of different countries, right? Those severe sanctions are problematic for those countries regarding healthcare, because they can't get their hands on a lot of things they need, right? So this virus has hit Iran, which is under severe sanctions. If it hits Venezuela, which is under severe sanctions, right? And they don't have the medical materials, right? Masks, sanitizers, gloves, tine and all, right? Oxygen, right? Antibiotics, right? All these things, I don't know, actually, antibiotics is not working with us from where I stand, but oxygen, if people get pneumonia, they need the drug. If they can't get that, and they can't contain the virus, viruses don't understand borders, right? Really, viruses, what borders, right? So if something breaks out in the country, which is under severe economic pressure, and they can't contain the situation, that is going to expand to neighboring countries. And those neighboring countries, so forth, so forth, right? So this whole thing punishing people just out of political spite is not good for humanity. We need open trade, right? Apologies, I'll check back later. I'm only on my phone, so I can't read the table. Yeah, I'm sorry, Tink. I tried to make the table in the way where we could present the data a little bit bigger, but there's a lot of data to be had. I have to figure out how we're going to end up presenting the data for next month, because we're going to have 30 days more data. We might actually start filtering and taking out, doing an average over the last five days, right? So this is, by the way, for someone who loves data, I don't like what's happening, but this is a data set. If you approach it with non-emotional perspective and a data set, you can do a lot with. So we'll figure out how we're going to approach it for next month's update, okay? What do you mean when you say it's mutated? It can mutate, right? Like, from what I understand, SARS mutated itself into a more benign form, right? Inoculating people that were infected or hadn't been infected before. So less people were getting the symptoms, right? I would like to see the Iran data. The Iran data, I don't think that's accurate either. M-E, ikrobus, mikrobus, how are you doing? When a virus mutates, it can get better or worse. Yeah, it could get worse too as well, by the way. Yeah, I'm looking at more of the positive, but it could go a lot worse, right? Because it affects how the virus replicates itself. It could respond differently to medicine which governments have spent months developing because it has evolved by then, yeah. Hi, all. Osaka Matt, I'm curious if the case of the plague Black Death in China back in November has any relations. I didn't hear about the Black Death in China. How fitting if the next plague comes around, kills the world because of bureaucracy in the medical field. Kulio, the infection rate is spreading because of bureaucracy, right? It's because of global travel for sure, but because there are shortages of supplies in certain countries, right? Not good. Ridiculous, really. I saw a story, I saw a story about how the North Korea is dealing with the virus. They're just straightened up killing any, yeah, I haven't seen the story. I don't know. What is the recovered total column represent? The total number of recovered relative to the total number confirmed, right? So keep in mind, the total number recovered is lagged. So as soon as they confirm someone, people could be out anywhere from two to four to six weeks, right? So there's a lag in the total confirmed relative to total recovered. Can we just impose tariffs on the virus? Yeah, I wish they followed economic political biases, right? Effective, but horrific. Percent of infected that have recovered. Chicho, do we have access to demographics? I didn't look at the demographics. Sorry, not yet, right? There's a lot of data to process, right? And because the data is not accurate, some people are reporting this number, some people are returning this number, and there's a lag in the data from one website to another website. There was a couple of places where I had to go in there and when I graphed the data, I was seeing clicks or it was going negative based on the percentage. So I had to go into the data and figure out which one was giving the negative and then go to another website and confirm the numbers. So putting this table together took me a little bit of time to do. I'm limited on time, right? The demographics, I haven't looked at yet. No one's really providing great data. Like everyone's taking a little bit of here and they're presenting the main general ones and the WHO data, the way they're presenting it is, man, could you make anything more difficult, right? And less transparent, like they're not... I don't want to dig into it too much because I haven't gone past the initial, oh man, why is it like this? That's ridiculous, right? So I would love to see a table like this open source where the age group categories are in columns and the percent relative to the fatality rate for the different age groups taking place, right? I would love to see that, right? Can you explain who is benefiting from this epidemic? You were talking about stock markets, corporations, CEOs. I wouldn't say benefiting. There are corporations that are going to benefit from this. There's no doubt, right? Pharmaceutical industry is going to benefit from this. Anyone that comes out with a vaccine is going to benefit from this. The companies that are selling masks are going to benefit from this. Toilet paper companies are going to benefit from this. Sanitizer companies are going to benefit from this because they're going to be selling more of their product. They're going to go into full-blown production mode, right? As long as the supply chain is available for them to get the product to market, they're going to benefit. They're going to see a huge kick up in revenue, right? And then when, if, when this thing plays out and goes down, then you're going to see a drop in their revenue because everybody's got stocked up and five bottles of sanitizers in their house, which is not the best thing to do, right? Only 40% have recovered, but only 7% have died. What about the other 51% there? There's a lag in recovery. This virus is taking people out for a number of weeks, right?  From what I understand, this virus is hitting internal organs, right? So there's going to be some long term for some people, long term health effects if they end up being sick for four, six, eight weeks, right? So the other 51%, they haven't recovered yet. But the data can't possibly be correct, considering the virus broke out in Wuhan, a city with 11 million population, and then the spread within China before it was discovered. How relevant is the data accurately today? Coming out of China, not very. I'm not, from February, if we take a look at this, right? See that blip on February 13th when they reported 33 numbers and then the numbers drop, percent growth per day just drops almost a zero in China? Well, that tells us that that data is not accurate. Especially if you look at the next column over where you're seeing the percent growth per day outside of China is 17 to 30% per day, right? So something's wrong here. Something seriously is wrong here. If we're, just imagine, if we're getting 20%, 20% growth per day inside China, what the number of infected confirmed cases should really be? And keep in mind, this is just the number of confirmed cases. This isn't the number infected, right? But that said, it is important for us to look at the data and do a comparison, which is why we did this, right? If you compare the graph, take a look at this. If you compare the graph, now I gotta, I wish I'd labeled them more accurately.  I'm gonna bring up, I believe it's this one. This is the percent growth per day total, right? The next one is percent growth per day in China, which is basically sitting at 0%. And then you look at the percent growth per day outside of China, which is 20 to 30% growth per day outside of China. Well, that tells you something, really. And then you relate this to this graph. This is the exponential growth of the number infected per day outside China. These two graphs reveal a lot about what's going on with the virus. So it's still very important to analyze whatever data you get your hands on, right? Very, very important. These two tables are extremely important, or these two graphs are extremely important. So in any data set, keep this in mind as well, in any data set, when you're compiling data and doing some calculations, you have multiple columns that you're gonna look at data. The worst thing you can do is just focus on one column and say, this column is it, which is what a lot of corporate propaganda's mainstream media does, right? They present you one data, right? Oh, this, this. They don't dig down. You have to dig down and look at specifics, right? And once you start looking at different columns, different data sets, you can pull out some of the ones that you can follow a mathematical model, follow a trend line that doesn't have breaks in the data, discrepancy in the data. So the ones that flow, right? You get a feel for it once you start analyzing the stuff. Then you start getting a more accurate picture of what's going on in the world. That's why mathematics is ridiculously important, right? Very, very important. Okay, Chichou, explain it better. Morning, Chichou. Bird, how are you doing? How's life? I'm just curious. Why do you think Indonesia has been largely exempt from the corona? I don't know. I don't know. Are they even reporting it? I don't know. His recovery numbers only as of that date. You should add in influence A and influence B numbers over the same period range. What do you mean influence collective? What do you mean influence A and influence B? Oh, influenza. I should read your next one. Influenza A, influenza B. I would have to have access to get those numbers, right? Really, it took me a fair bit of time to put this table together. For me, I like analyzing data. So it was pretty important for me to get as accurate data as possible. And if you see any flaws in this table, please let me know. I will post these pictures up today in our Patreon page. Most likely Patreon and Subscribestar, all of them. And I'll announce it on Gap, Mines, LO, KV, and Twitter as well. Linking people up to the Patreon page most likely, right? And I'll post these on our Discord page as well. Should I stockpile food? No, not stockpile food, but get some of the essentials. Make sure you have some supplies, right? Stockpiling to me means getting a warehouse. No, right? But have rice, have beans, have peanut butter, have toilet paper. You should be getting yourself a bottle of Tylenol, right? Or something similar that reduces fever, right? Because if this thing becomes a yearly event, right? And it has the possibility of becoming a yearly event, right? Let's assume the numbers kick up, die down, right? And the next year, they come up again, right? It could be just like the normal flu. This is just a new normal, right? But one thing that happens with this fever kicks up. You need to control fever, right? So fever is kicking up. There's multiple ways to control fever. You can put ice rags, cold rags on your forehead, on your feet, on your extremities, cool yourself down. Another way you can do it is a great remedy that has been used for millennia for human beings, right? Take vinegar and water, right? For centuries, really. This is old school remedy. We used to, we still do it in our family. Take vinegar and water and put vinegar in water. And with a rag, right? Cold water, preferably rag.  And that cools them down, right? So aside from that, Tylenol or other things that bring down fever are a good idea to have a bottle in your house, right? So you should have Tylenol. You should have toilet paper. Get yourself some vitamin C. If you live in an area that you need to go out on a daily or weekly basis to get water, get some extra water, right? Do some prep. No harm in it. And these are non-perishables. So you're not buying food in your fridge that's going to spoil in a week.  Demographics will be very important as to who is succumbing and who is recovering, age range. Yeah, the age, the elderly are being hit hard, right? And the mortality, fatality rate is highest in the elderly. Where is your location to Germany? M3 is making serious bang from this. Yeah, M3. Yeah, there's going to be companies that are going to make good money off this, right? Oof, there's a lot of chat here, gang. I'm going to scroll down a little bit. If there's anything that was directed towards me, please let me know or towards the table or the data, right? I still don't understand how it has to do with the stock market crash. Sleepy waves. If, for example, there's companies that... Let's assume you're a company that makes 10,000 units in China. And that's what you sell. That's how you make money. The Chinese factory closes down. You can't make your 10,000 units. You can't sell anything. Your revenue, your quarterly revenue drops, right? You're not bringing any money in. Your numbers are going to look horrendous. Your stock plummets, right? Just imagine as an individual, let's assume as a person, you were making products in China and selling them yourself, right? You can't get those products. You can't sell that inventory that you do not have. You can't pay your rent. You're out in the streets, right? That's why it's extremely important to decentralize our lives, right? It is extremely important to have local supply of food, right? There's a lot of places in the world right now that don't have access to local food. Everything is shipped in. Everything, right? The farming industry is decimated. Where they were supposed to grow food, they've built high rises, destroyed the top soil, very, very important. This is one of the best reasons, defenses of decentralization, right? It's called security. Okay, my dude, I'm actually so seriously interested in this information. Dalton Beck, how are you doing? Right now, because I drank, or corona. Well, I hope you're enjoying yourself, brother. Beck, yeah, personally, I don't have a mask. Mask is, have you compared the epidemic curves of SARS and COVID-19? Yeah, I've looked at it, collective. SARS wasn't growing as fast as COVID-19, not on this scale, right? And COVID-19, it's our not value, I believe was less. Okay, fatality rate was less. SARS, I wasn't too worried about. If people, if you watched the first time the discussion of COVID-19 coronavirus came out, I mentioned that this is different than SARS, because I looked at SARS back then, and I realized it wasn't a big deal, right? Just, I looked at some of the numbers like 20 years ago when it came out. I've done this for a while, just looking at numbers, right? I like this, right? Because it allows me to understand how things are going to fold out economically, politically, right? It's just self-preservation. We have to know this stuff as citizens of the world, right? So I looked at SARS way back then, and I realized it wasn't as big of a deal, as media was making it out to be. COVID-19, I looked at the numbers, I went, okay, this needs further analysis, right? That's why I've been compiling this data since, basically, when we first did our first math with this video, right? It just came up using it as exponential growth, because I was looking at the numbers, right? Someone said, oh, what is, I think the conversation was, oh, what is exponential growth? It was rate of interest. So I went, well, I knew the numbers for the first 10, seven days, or something like this. So I just said, oh, this is what exponential growth could be, right? And I followed the numbers, and we did a follow-up with the next live stream, or the previous live stream we did to this regarding COVID-19, right? This is different than SARS. I'm going to scroll down, guys. Busy freeman. Have you heard of the difference between Asian and Caucasian lungs, and that the virus may be worse for Asia? I've heard that the virus might be hitting a certain ethnicity harder than other ethnicities. We'll find out based on the data, right? If we look at the numbers, where is the table? Here, let me bring up the, if you look at this, well, it looks like the number of cases outside of China are growing exponentially. Now, the question is, based on this graph, right? This is outside of China. So ideally, we would have to take this and break it out into different regions in the world. So for example, just imagine if we took this graph and split that up into the number of cases in Asia, the number of cases in Africa, the number of cases in South America, the number of cases in Europe, the number of cases in North America, right? And Europe, Eastern Europe and Middle East. So splinter this off, because that's one thing you can do with the data as long as you have it, right? I don't have access to that data, right? If I did, that's exactly what I would be doing, and I can guarantee you there are people inside WHO and other centralized institutions and specifically country-related people. I'm pretty sure the Chinese government is looking into this data. I'm pretty sure everybody in the higher up, in the centralized powers are looking into this data. The more odds are they're just not making it available to us or easily available to us, right? All of this data should be open source for the whole world to look at, right? In raw formats, we can run our own analysis on it. But if you break this off and you see the same trend in every country, then the virus is not hitting different ethnicities differently, right? If you see this graph for Asian countries and you see linear for European countries, then you could analyze that stuff accordingly, right? Interpret that, hypothesize that it might be affecting a certain ethnicity harsher than others, right? It's interesting though. Let me pop up the table back up again. Okay, I've scrolled all the way down, gang. I've scrolled all the way down. That way I can stay up with the chat. There was a lot that I missed. I feel like who really dropped the ball on this waiting to declare a pandemic. Have you guys heard about the bonds? The derivatives that were people $500 million were invested in? Betting that a pandemic was not going to break out so they could get anywhere between 7% to 11% interest on their investments. And if there was a pandemic breaking out, if WHO, World Health Organization, came out and announced the pandemic, then the bonds wouldn't be paid out. Neither the interest or the original bonds. So there is a Wall Street in the play here as well, right? They're making derivatives out of pandemics. With the World Bank. Unbelievable, unbelievable, right? So there might be a reason why WHO didn't announce a pandemic because of the bond market. Crazy, right? Crazy. They declare a pandemic yet? I don't think so. I don't think they've declared it yet. I think if they declare it by March, all those bondholders are screwed. They don't get their 7%, 11%, or their original money. So what is your summary and prediction based on this data, Sleepy Waves? Okay, let me scroll down again. Can you please link us to read more about the bond market? Okay, the bond market, oh man. I'll link it up. I linked it on Discord, Sleepy Waves. If you go to our Discord page, I've linked it up in Discord page. Okay, that bond thing was crazy. Really, that bond thing was crazy. Oh really, where at? I'm in Oramaria, I guess not. Should have gone just in case it gets too bad. If I was in the United States, I would be armed, right? Not because of this, but in general. If I have the right to bear arms, I will bear arms. And so I don't know. It's up to you. It depends where you live and how comfortable you feel, right? But not because of this. This isn't a zombie apocalypse. Okay, seriously, this isn't a zombie apocalypse. This is a virus that's out loose in the world. It's economic turmoil, health, political, possibly, possibly related to economic wars going on, right? Why do so many people in power value money over lives? It's disgusting. Cool, yeah, I agree with you. Is this a conspiracy channel? Slayer, looking at data? This is a mathematics channel, right? We look at data all up, and a comic book channel, and a food channel, right? And a gaming channel. Well, I haven't played in games, but I have a gaming collection I gotta show you guys. Far from it, furthest thing from it. I heard a conspiracy theory. The Chinese viola, oh, that's market and good. Test animals to me. Busy freeman? The kicker is, if you go, if you look at the hypotheses that it came out of the lab in China that was eight miles or 15 miles away and stuff like this, you have to also include all the other conspiracies, all the other theories. I don't want to say conspiracies, because people give conspiracies a bad name. Conspiracies, not a bad name, but let's call it theories as to how this virus came to be, right? Some people say, oh, it's a bioweapon. No, some people say no, it's not a bioweapon because the kill ratio is not high. Well, if you consider a kill ratio, maybe it's not a bioweapon used on the front lines of what do you call it? Just military warfare. Maybe it's a bioweapon that's only supposed to take people out of the game in terms of economics, right? So you wouldn't make the fatality rate too high. You just make it, the sickness lasts a long time. So you collapse different countries based on if you're waging economic warfare. If it's a bioweapon, maybe it was a bioweapon created in the Western world in the United States and Canada and China was trying to get a hold of it so they could create a vaccine to protect themselves. There are so many different theories, right? There are so many different theories. Once you go down that rabbit hole, you have to make sure you also think about the other theories as well, right? You can't attach yourself to one theory. The only thing you can attach yourself to is the data, right? What we're seeing right now, this is the best way to go about this. Okay, I'll check it out on Discord. It's in the science folder, I believe. And I also believe post-it in the economics folder, Sleepy Waves. If you can't find it, let me know. I'll dig it up for you. There's a couple of articles, actually. For the bond market, there has to be 20,000 infected and so many dead before the bond kicks in and people lose their money. Yeah. And I believe that's by March. We're January, February. January, February, March, end of March. We're there, right? Or middle of March. I forget what the date was. The Discord should be valid. If you do this, check this out. Discord. That link should take you there. Okay, I'm going to scroll down again because there's a lot of chat going on. So again, if there's anything directed towards me, please let me know. I'll read it up. Any thoughts on the docs being arrested for whistle-blowing China as bad? Yeah, that was crazy, right? And one of the ones already passed away. A financial advisor in the news said gold is still safe, but I personally wouldn't put my money in gold right now. Gold took a major tumble with the stock market at the beginning of this week, right? I believe gold dropped like $50. It went from $1,640 down to like $1,580 or something. I haven't looked at it for the last three or four days. And you can't eat gold, right? You can't, you know, if you have a fever, you can't put gold on your forehead. Can weather conditions be added to analyze where easier, harder to spread? For example, not spread so fast in hot climates. That would be amazing. That would be amazing, Dada. Bakula, Dada. That would be fantastic. I'd love to see that data as well, right? If only I had unlimited time and resources, right? I go ballistic on this. We have always had guns. It's the second amendment. It's in our DNA. What's the most stable currency right now? I would say still the US dollar. I'm talking about the entire world, not just the US. I used to be very anti-gun, but as I grew up and experienced things where the police most certainly did not have my back or helped me when I needed it, I have started to change my mind. It's a very nuanced issue in my opinion. A bird, I agree with you. I went through a period where I was anti-gun, no longer. People say they need gun control, right? They really don't mean gun control. They just mean they want to put guns in the hands of centralized institutions. That to me is not a good thing, okay? Swiss francs, they came an island dollar according to Google. Really? Swiss franc is about liquidity. There was a period in 2008 where the Swiss franc went through the roof. People were like, it fear drove people to the Swiss franc. Swiss franc was, and then it collapsed, right? Relative to where it was, that is. Is the dollar more stable than gold? More stable. I don't know what that means. More stable for how long of a period. Fiat currencies over a hundred years? No, the dollar? No, right? You have to invest. Gold will go up, the fiat currency will go down. However, you also have to think about liquidity. If you're going to take all your disposable income by gold, that's a foolish thing to do. You need disposable income for emergency cases, to buy food, to buy whatever you want to buy to take care of family. So it's got to be partitioned. All sectors are going down, even crypto, even crypto. Hey, I just tuned in. This virus really, really scares me. Is this the end of the world? No. Will travel end? And I won't see my family for a long while. Travel may become more difficult, and you have to really think about why do you need to travel. And if you want to see your family, you could always live stream with them, or talk live with them. I know hugs are much different, and eating dinner with them is much different, but sometimes you need to make sacrifices. You're like a very relaxed man. Thanks. Dark passenger. Agreed. Gun control equals government has guns, and you don't. Do you trust the government to do anything, right? Centralized institutions, no. Time to learn how to barter. Time to learn how to barter. Very important. Time to grow food. Spring is coming. Grow food. This is, hopefully, we see a major boom in companies that are providing seeds, except for Monsanto and Bear, providing organic seeds, or just seeds, or organic farms, and local farms, and we see a huge boom in local food production, right? In industries that are focused on local food production. That would be amazing. The saint at the end of the world, oh, me, no. You can't travel to North Italy at the moment, from my country, at least. Yeah. I figured crypto would go up, because it is decentralized. Never underestimate humanity's ability to panic. Coolio, it's not about crypto being decentralized or not. A lot of crypto is in the hands of a very few people. It's still very centralized in terms of control, right? Even though the form of trade exchanging, transferring money from one location is decentralized. The second thing is, if things turn the way they are, if they continue in the direction, cash is king, right? A lot of places will not take crypto, right? Individuals might, but if you need to go buy toilet paper, you can't use your crypto to buy toilet paper, right? You can sell your crypto to convert to cash, to put in a bank, take out cash, and then go buy your toilet paper. But crypto is useless if you need survival, you need to pay the rent, right? It did it first. I thought the same, but then even Bitcoin started dropping shrugs. Thanks for the mention. This is my first ever stream. I'm glad, I hope you're liking it. Dark passenger. Bitcoin is down 1.6% today alone, 14% this week. Ouch. We'll see what happens this coming week, right? But according to these numbers, this graph right here, this graph right here, and growth, percent growth per day outside of China, tells me this thing's got legs to grow. Welcome to the family, Spider-Man. Nice. Christ, I forgot about toilet paper. Martin, get toilet paper. That's one thing I can honestly tell you. I win, God. And by the way, don't forget floss and toothpaste. Okay. Toilet paper, floss, toothpaste. Very important. Yeah, I don't. And if you can't get your hands on toilet paper, I believe Spider-Man said toilet paper was run out in his area. Just paper towels, just cut them in squares, like these types of things, right? Like these things, right? Just cut it in squares, right? Here. And then split it up, right? Probably don't want to cut them this small. But beggars can't be choosers, right? Look at this. One, those half a sheet. Look at all this, right? If you can't get your hands on it, this is the next best thing. Okay. Yeah, sleepies, paper towels are rough on the butt. But to be honest, beggars can't be choosers. If you got to take care of business, you got to take care of business. You can make toothpaste. Salt and baking soda? Martin, stay at home, stream profit. Yeah, I don't have a lot of money in stock, but I lost like 50, $60 in a week. Yeah, number. In fact, I'm going to boom the next week. I think so. Outside of China, I think we're going to see that column, the percent growth per day. If it continues at 20 to 30%, we're going to see the numbers kick into the tens of thousands in the next week to two weeks outside of China. Just heard word that my local Costco sold a three-month worth of toilet paper. Sold out of three months worth of toilet paper? Perps is going stale. I fully expect the virus to go global. In fact, I was wondering why it took so long. Yeah, I think it's taken so long is because people thought it was just maybe the flu and they weren't checking. But the numbers coming out of Korea, out of China, out of Iran are pretty serious. Baking soda can be a toothpaste substitute. Cool. So get baking soda as well. I'm making a lot of money. I put money in AP. They make masks. And I played to go down UAL, United Airlines, the Carrival Cruises. Yeah, I saw that. I was watching the Carrival Cruises stock, by the way. There will be less flying and going on the Circus. Yeah. Why hasn't any coronavirus patients been granted internet access? Is quarantine just sitting in a room with nothing?  I got hit with the flu in early January, right? I barely had the energy to do live streams and do videos and stuff, as you call. Buy double-plated TP, tear it in half and wash it after use to make it go for the oh, 10, 10, no, that's serious business. I haven't gotten there yet, but thanks for the advice. I saw a TV interview with a lady with coronavirus from the cruise ship in Japan, but she got quarantined before she showed symptoms and didn't have any insights. Okay, I'm going to scroll down again, gang. Buy stocks and TP. Time to take out the paper towels. I'm nervous about this virus now. Dark passenger, being aware is a good thing. Panicking is not, right? We got like 15 cases here or so. Growth is near exponential. Yeah, it is exponential. Growth outside of China, according to the numbers we're getting, that's exponential. That's serious, okay? The doubling period on this is just a couple of days. So expect, I haven't done the calculations for it. Maybe we do on the next ASMR math livestream. Maybe we'll take some of this data and figure out what the doubling period is. By that time, we'll have more data as well. Do you have data for mortality rate of old people? No, I don't slayer. It took me long enough to dig this data together, man. Really? I was just going at it yesterday, and I've been compiling the data as every day. I updated this table on a daily basis, but once I graphed it, I realized there's discrepancies in the data. It was the graphs were showing backtracks where it shouldn't be, right? So I had to go to multiple sources to be able to get the data, and all of these numbers are approximates. Some of them are numbers reported from here, some of them are numbers reported from there. So take all of these numbers as approximates. There's one quarantined person in the state of Utah. The only thing more people should be worried about is the general public reaction to this virus. Agreed, Kulio? If there is how panicky people are getting two months in, it is a little unsettling. And wait until the mainstream media starts pushing the panic. Don't panic. Is the recovered percentage included? Serious case recovery? No, I didn't. I looked at that data, but to be able to graph it, I needed a daily count, right? And the daily counts are very difficult to get. If you guys know anywhere where you can get all that information on a daily basis instead of just the totals, because I wasn't updating those things, right? And I don't trust the numbers yet, right? If you know where the tables are, post them in our Discord page in the science folder. Mortality rate is going up. One of the reasons, Vendogen, one of the reasons this mortality rate, fatality rate, which is this table here. Let me take this down. Let me take this down. Let me take this down. I believe it's this one. Nope. It's this one. Nope. This one. Yeah. The reason this is going up, the fatality rate is going up, right? It's because most likely the numbers coming out of China are not accurate, right? Most likely they're not. They're reporting zero to 1% growth per day while outside of China is 20% or more per day, right? So they're not accurate. So the number of confirmed cases is not increasing as it should, but the people are dying outside of China. So it's kicking up the percentages. That's my guess. Okay. That's my guess. And that's the table that we're seeing, the third last one, the fatality rate. Okay. Check out this YouTube. Check out his YouTube. He's got videos on everything from math to comic books to ASMR and a lot of other stuff. Yeah. Fear equals ratings. What exactly does the virus do? It's for the elderly, they're getting hit with pneumonia, right? It's hitting internal organs to a degree. So some people are going to see long-term effects on this. One case here in Montreal, last I checked. I'm not too worried, but some of my coworkers are already going mad with fear and anxiety. Yeah. Lonely piggies in Canada. I'm in Canada as well. There is a little bit of panic in Vancouver, right? Sanitizers are sold out in a lot of places. One of my relatives told me that and stuff. But Canada is not growing at a rate that is growing in Korea and Iran and stuff like this. Not yet anyway. And we hope it doesn't, right? So there is no need to panic, right? I live in the Bay Area and there is a case of person getting the virus by community spread. Yeah. The community spread is actually more than just one case. They don't have anything linked up to anyone from China or visiting China or anyone that's seen someone that's visited China. So it's community spread. People are losing their minds. I wonder if I will find my local supermarket empty tomorrow. Yeah. Cool. Thanks. Yeah. There seems to be several US cases that have unknown origins. Yeah. Do we have details on the traditional Chinese medicine recovery methods? I haven't looked into it. Does China seem to have better recovery and management of identified cases compared to other countries? I doubt it. I doubt it. Considering how fast it was spattering in China and the measures they took to quarantine like over 100 million people or a region of 100 million people, right? Initially, quarantine a city of 11 million. I don't think they're dealing with it from a medical side. I think they're dealing with it from a containment side. Remember the most important thing is to wash your hands before you touch your face. Yeah. I am glad to come here, Spider-Man. Dark passenger. I'm glad you're glad that you came here. I heard commentary that it will be worse in Italy because people are more physical than that in is touching, hugging, kissing as greetings, etc. Possibly. Right now, we're seeing the cases in Korea skyrocket, right? But in Korea and in Japan, there's a lot of very little, I don't know, very little, but way less shaking hands and touching. So it's spreading there. But yeah, in places where they kiss a lot on the cheeks and stuff, possibly. That wasn't stored today. Water was very low. Like for me, we live in a place where water you get from the tap. You just run through a filter. If you live in a place where you can't drink the water from the tap, you should get yourself some water. Why would you buy a bottle? Just get a filter. Some places, sleepy waves, a filter just doesn't do it. The water is really contaminated. I have a bread of filter. Yeah, me too. I read online this week that there was a confirmed case on a plane from Montreal to Vancouver. Sorry, Chichot. Oh, that's okay. Lonely piggy. Vancouver has got the most amount of cases, I believe. Vancouver or Toronto in Canada. And Vancouver is going to get hit hard. Harder than what it is right now. It's a hub for travel in and out of China, in and out of Asia. So I expect Vancouver to get hit hard, right? And I mentioned this during the first the ASMR math stream we did. During the first video that I said, keep your eyes on Vancouver. I'm pretty sure I said it in this. Keep your eyes on Vancouver, right? And at that time, I don't think Vancouver had any cases. Guys, move to Sweden. Nation of introverts. Every morning in Tokyo, where'd it go? Every morning in Tokyo, I got to cram up inside trains. Oh yeah, that's... Don't like that water. Even filtered. I have a distiller. That's all of Scandinavia. American water infrastructure is on a third world level. Yeah, Dante. Horrendous, horrendous. I'm pretty sure Canada is maybe like five, 10 years behind that. Actually, some places is pretty bad in Canada as well. Are you on other platforms, sir? Dark passenger? Yeah. I'm on BitShoot. I don't know if BitShoot. Oops, that's caps. Did that BitShoot thing come on? Yeah, it did. And if you're following me on YouTube, you should follow me on BitShoot as well. Because YouTube is already throttling us. They're not recommending us. They're... We've gotten some red flags on YouTube to a certain degree. Not...  So they approved it. So I would say, you know, if you want to follow me, all the content is going to be loaded on BitShoot. Most likely, more content is going to be loaded on BitShoot than on YouTube. So if you want to follow everything, you know, subscribe to YouTube, subscribe to BitShoot as well. That way, if anything happens, we get kicked off of YouTube. We'll still be on BitShoot. But in Europe, the tap water is often better than bottled water. In Vancouver too. Get a distiller and distill your water from the tap. You'll be surprised and the gunk you see in the bottom of the distiller. You can't distiller. Hopefully that still keeps the water... You don't want to drink pure H2O because that takes minerals out of your system. So you got to have... Make sure the water is not working in a way where it's taking minerals out of your system.  Hey, Gicho. Hello, Felix. How are you doing? How's life? Good Discord, BitShoot. And I'm on Minds, Gap, Twitter, Hello, and the VK as well. Okay. And Patreon, of course. I don't know if our... We got our thing for Patreon. Patreon. Do we have Patreon popping up? And we got our Patreon. And Subscribe Star as well. Okay. I'm just going to scroll down again, gang. If an infected was sandwiched in a 10,000 person event, how many attending the event could be infected directly? Directly? Well, there are not value for this thing is more than two. Right? Some people say two to four. Could be more. Right? So if the person and they're sweating, I don't know. Here's how YouTube works. They demonetize your videos. Everyone watches your video. Then they reinstate your monetization after your views have happened. They've been... They were taking out somewhere videos that were... We put out like five years. I had to dispute them, like from years ago. Right? Japan is already considering canceling the Olympics. If this thing grows, continues to grow, they should cancel the Olympics, Kulio. Right? By the way, Japan, Iran, Korea, and I believe a couple of other countries have already closed all their schools. Right? Six degrees of separation. Yeah. I'm with Martin. Six degrees of separation. I've been to shows. People are sweating. There's a lot of people take their shirts off. If they've been hit, a lot of people are going to be infected. Read the bonds article. I don't get it. So people who invest in the world's bank bonds are getting 11% back. And now that CV is on the brink of meeting their threshold, does it mean they have to give their entire bond over to the World Health Organization? That's exactly it, sleepy waves. I believe the 11%, they have to give up all their funds. The 7%, they just weren't going to be paid. The 7%, I believe. Basically, consider the casino. They wouldn't put their money on a long shot, right? That they were going to lose a big 11% return right on. They rolled a dice. The bonds market, the derivatives market is just casino. It's a gamble, right? Japan should push the Olympics back. I'm with Lonely Piggy. Based on the numbers, the Olympics should not happen. Yes, with a distiller, you have to add magnesium, potassium, and other minerals back into the water because after distillation, it is pure. Yeah. Yeah. So you got to be careful. 6 times 6 times 6. 6 times 6 is 36. 36 times 6. What's 36 times 6, gang? We can do a little math there. 36 times 6. 36 times. I'm not a calculator, so I use that. 216 people. Tokyo summers are super hot anyway, so a delay would definitely help. Chucho, it's a small amount compared to what China has spent. Yeah, it is, but for people. And by the way, these people that come up with these derivatives, they do the mathematics, put their stuff up, packaged it up nicely, right? They're salespeople, right? And then they sell $500 million. I think it was $500 million worth of derivatives on coronavirus, or not coronavirus. Well, coronavirus was actually named there, but on pandemic, right? And on $500 million worth of derivatives that they sold, let's say they get anywhere between 1% to 3% or half a percent, let's say 1% commission, right? They get $5 million commission from doing a little math package, packaging this up, creating some charts, making a graph, selling it to people. $500 million, they get a $5 million kickback. I am not a vengeful person, but people who are trying to profit off the suffering of others are the only ones who deserve to get coronavirus. So you're saying who has a monetary incentive to create pandemics? Busy Freeman? It's crazy.  And the whole excuse for these bonds was, oh, the money would be available if they needed it really fast, but the money will not be available if they needed it really fast. It's just derivatives. It's Wall Street. Things associated with Wall Street are detrimental to humanity. I just did the math on six degrees, and my pub, everyone infected in an hour. Martin, I can see you now, wearing a mask and gloves and a whole oxygen tank, giving out drinks to people, right? I'm pretty sure maybe you get a lot of people coming in, going, look at this bloke here. As a population develops immunity, does the spread slow down? Hopefully. Like what happened with SARS? Hopefully, hopefully. Do we have more details on potential source and whether it still might not be controlled? Well, we don't know. That, we can't trust what's coming out to a certain degree, right? That's just four people transferred as well. Wow. They've changed what they think the source is about three to four times now. They just are confident it came from Meat Market in Wuhan. Where does the 11% interest come from though? When you invest in a pandemic bond like that, from the people who made these derivatives, not the made distributors, but the people who are taking on this bet. So for example, me and you are going to make a bet, right? By the way, I have dates here, right? Me and you are going to make a bet. I'm going to bet that I'm going to, wow, someone, let's say you and someone else on chat are going to make a bet, right?  The other person is going to say, no, he hasn't eaten any. He's not going to eat all of them, finish all of them this stream, right? And because we're into two hours of the stream, the odds of me eating all these things is not very much, right? So that person says, you know what? I'll give you five to one odds that he's not going to eat all five, right? You say you take that bet. So you put a $10 online, right?   And he puts $100 online saying I'm going to eat all these, right? Who wins? Who pays? Who collects the money? It's the opposite side of the trade, right? Now for me, if I'm Wall Street, on the side I have chat going, right? And the guy is my hookup, is linked up to me. And he said, Chicho, he took the bet, right? And I eat all five of these within the next minute. And he put up a hundred. He keeps his hundred. He takes your 10. And for me that I cut a deal with him, he pays me five and he keeps five. You end up losing, right? Or the other way around. Crazy realization. Can they ban all potential identified, identified continuing sources of this corona in all countries? We don't know where it's from. Can you ban bats if it's from bats? I work in a home for retirees. Whole buildings essentially are locked down from cases of flu. Need to wear masks, gloves, change each, change each whenever you go to another level of the building. I can't imagine how more intense it would be if COVID versus flu, yeah? We only have one hour, guys. We only have one hour? He did, man. We've been at this two hours now. Good morning to you. Good morning. I think I have my gas mask from my army. I have one too for geophysics because I've gone to areas doing geophysics where you need to wear a mask, right, with the two filters you put on there. They are saying this could be worse than the Ebola and Zika. Ebola wasn't, it was contained, right? Ties dispenser by the door.  I hope not. I wash these. There's always someone on the other side. Will be a winner and a loser, yep. Ah, Captain America. I love dates too. That's how the market works. Mmm, coolio. Great, great advice. Make liqueur with dates. Maybe we'll give it a shot. Actually, we will give it a shot. Why would you risk $100 to win 10? There's lots of bets like that. Government's bad because they're odds. Government's bad bats. Batman cries in his cave.  I'm hungover from last night. Oh no, two billionaires can buy each other's trades and bid up the price of anything. And as people take the bait and jump in the reap the rewards. Busy freemen? This is exactly what happens on Wall Street. Right? It's illegal, but trying to catch them doing it doesn't happen. And the big boys get away with it. And the banks do this as well. So is there a software program that computationally simulates viral infection diffusion throughout the world? Not that I've seen. Not open source anyway. Lots of conversation. By the way, for those, I know this has been popping up. For those that have followed, for those that have subbed, thank you very much for the follows in the sub. I know I didn't mention this earlier, but I appreciate it. And thank you for being here. And thank you for the conversations. I've scrolled down to the bottom again. COVID-19 is a great wake-up call for people. Imagine it would have a fatality rate of 50%. As long as the incubation period wasn't two weeks to a month. Right? I don't get hangovers. What sucks is that I do Brazilian jiu-jitsu and choose to stop going to, going this month. I'm basically trading sweat with other people. Yeah, sorry, I wouldn't go either. Okay. I've stopped going to the gym because of it. Okay. I used medical herbs last night. Good. Is this pandemic bond associated with Wall Street? Your guess is as good as mine, Sleepy Waves. You're in New York. It's called Plague Inc. Anyone play the board game pandemic? I haven't. No. Not as fun now to play. No, I wouldn't be. China banned the Plague Inc game this month. Did they? Wait, is this real? Oh, it is. Another net user. Up time. We've been at this for two hours. Sleepy Waves. Can we call it a pandemic yet? It is. It is. What are the criteria? Actually, I read the criteria. Because the bond thing, the derivatives that were created, I read the criteria for a pandemic. It fits the pandemic, right? I will stock up some water, beans, rice, vitamins, Tylenol, and toilet paper tomorrow. Good idea to have a supply for a little bit. The criteria is judged by the market. Chicho, can we do a monopoly strategy stream? Hannah, I have one plan to do. But man, I'm so behind everything. And I need to, just because of what's going on on YouTube, I've had to spend a lot of time decentralizing and all this jazz, right? So the powers that be are slowing down our production, right? The censorship. The way I've had to deal with things and certain other things have come into play that I need to do before those things. So we will do it at some point. Let's try it for three hours. Oh, I wish I could right now. I can't do three hours right now. Yeah, flat. Two weeks of supply should be fine. Oh, the criteria. Toilet paper, I get longer. Oh, the criteria. Oh, the criteria and is the bond requirements. Wow. It's crazy. That bond thing was crazy. 24 hour voucher stream, that's the dream. Spider-Man, I hope it never happens. But if anything happens to Julian Assange, we will do a multi-hour stream for multiple days. Still laugh.  That's so many thoughts at the same time, as you can tell, right? I got my critique and I'm so ready for anything that comes. Any advice for getting into understanding mass statistics? You just have to start playing with the data. Find something that you're interested in. Follow the data. If you're interested in COVID-19, follow the data. Look at the graphs. You start getting a feel for the data. Once you start getting a feel for the data, start looking at the mathematics. Once you start to get a feel for the visual of what's happening, then look at the equations. That's the best way to learn math. One day, it could be an Android wearable collected medical pulse data with sensors into a giant Google AI cloud to perhaps manage it better and send associated alerts. What percents would you give this virus to have a real impact in the US? What percent? How much of an impact it will have in the US? 100%. It's going to have an impact in the US. It's having an impact in global economics. It's going to have an impact on US economics, Canadian economics, every economics in every country. We call it a stream. We're going to call it a stream. Stay informed, folks, and please wash your hands. Kulia said, thanks for doing my pleasure.  Yeah. Great advice, gang. Thank you for the conversations, everyone. I'm not sure what streams we're going to do next weekend. I will announce them later on this week. We might end up, if things play out in a certain way, I may end up doing a stream earlier, but expect the next stream announcement to come probably by Wednesday or Thursday, most likely next weekend and into next week. There's a few things we've got lined up that I want to get done. As soon as we do, I edit some videos and stuff. We'll get that stuff done. Okay. Thank you, Martin, for taking care of business. Thank you, Spiderman, for taking care of business. Thank you, Chat, for the great conversations, the great advice. And thank you for the follows and the subs, everyone. And you can follow us on Bichute and YouTube. If you want to see these videos after the live streams and other videos that I do put out, in 10 years, when we are living in the Mad Max world, I will remember these streams. Me, too. The playing going to end up in the back. Okay, gang. I'm scrolling down. Have a fantastic, fantastic rest of your Sunday, gang. Okay. See you on the next streams. My pleasure, busy freeman. Thanks, Martin. Thanks, Spiderman. Peace, everyone.