The following is a presentation of TFNN Trade what you see With Larry Pezzavento Call now toll free at 1-877-927-6648 or internationally at<PHONE_NUMBER> Now Larry Pezzavento Okay, folks We are going to talk about the even any S&P first as you can see here I put up a four-hour chart going over the last six weeks We've completed the big ABCD pattern down We actually went below it by about 50 handles, which is not unusual because the market is extremely various as we all know After watching it drop the way it's been dropping over the last well since January 4th The important thing now folks and this is really really super important If we go below the low we just made down here at 3640 in the S&P We're trading above 3700 down, which is good But the ideal situation if you want to put your kids through college You want to get that Lexus if you want to do something really cool for your neighbors or something whatever your goal is Watch this level right here Because this level right here at 3880 Okay, that would be a 382 retracement of this high right here And if we can do it in the same time frame that it took here, which is about four days This is going to be what is known as the proverbial dead cat bounce And I hate to use that vernacular but by golly. That's the best way to describe it The key level is 3880 the first key level of course is 3760 That's the 382 off of the smaller swing that we watch, you know interday and stuff But I I don't know if this is what I see happening But this is what I think is happening and remember my goal or my motto is trade what you see and not what you think I'm waiting to see what we get here in these next few days We you see that we have turmoil in just about every single market that's out there Bonds have totally collapsed Okay currencies are in turmoil. Okay gold is dropping I mean even some of the commodities like corn, wheat and beans have sold off a little bit So we are in a different era and you've got to trade it just a little bit differently To me, this is probably one of the best opportunities We can have if it if it fulfills the way we think now Maybe this thing just falls down and you know starts going lower that I don't know But all I know is it if it takes three or four days up to 3880 boy That's gonna be a what we call a mouth-watering trade Now remember we're in the time zone of the worst time of the year Actually the best time of the year for finding a major bottom is September and October We've had several guests on my show Tim boss and Norm Winsky and Stan Harley and Jeff huge all really great technicians and they are looking at possible A low sometime in October and November It varies upon which the person that you we had as a guest But there's see very strongly that we have a bounce coming now to me This is what's important right now Because if we if we fail here, we're gonna see a crash folks and I I don't like to talk crash because You know what? I mean you only see one of these every generation. I was here for the last one in 87 I happened to be on Television in Los Angeles with Bill Griffith and Sue Herrera and talking about the crash as was arch Crawford We were on actually the same show with Ed Hart once talking about it that was in August of 1987 when we topped on August the 25th at harmonic conversions And that was nothing more than five planets in the sign of Gemini and that happened on October 25th The market broke down into September the 27th my guys here We are right now and we had a big solar eclipse there on September 27th And then we rallied up in a little four-day rally and this is what I think is happening now Into October the 6th and that was a another small cycle that we watch a little Mercury retrograde and Venus conjunct Uranus Nothing more than 88 day cycles all it was split up. Anyway, we hit that on that October the 6th We hit the exact 61% retracement and then down we came and of course the big brought drop occurred on October the 19th 1987 which was by by far the best buying opportunity of the 1980s That was a 61% retracement of the low from the August night high of 1982 so That's what led us to that huge move to the upside and we've had major corrections here folks You remember in 2000, you know, we dropped to 80% in 2009. We dropped about 70% but now But now oh my goodness if we drop that now That's gonna hurt a lot of people whether that's gonna happen or not I really don't know but our long-term projection now This is just a short-term projection And if we look at the longer term projection, then you'll see this is the mini longer or a mini long Now you know Okay, here's the smallest swing you see that one measures down to right here we've actually gone down to this level right here Here's where we are right now I think we get a little bit more of a bounce and then we get down to this one Then we're gonna see what happens but the longer term picture the longer term picture is the one you want to keep here I am the prize because that's even larger and if you take a look at that one We'll get this up here. So you'll be able to see the 61% retracement This is where we're going eventually and I believe we will be there by election day That's my forecast is we should be right around this level or lower Around election day so you can see that's where we are right now And that's where we think we're going and look how much we've come down so far in a very very short 10 weeks That's that's telling you something something's rotten in Denmark. Look at the you'll see here on this Look at the hold on one second folks. There's a Okay, just a second here. I gotta Take care of a little mosquito here believe it or not We have mosquitoes here in Arizona and we got that one taken care of But this was the COVID break You see and we've already exceeded the COVID break right here. See there's there was a COVID break There was this break right here. Look what happened after the COVID break. We just went straight up I mean, it was just no no holds barred and that was which I believe is probably the final top Now since I'm on a different Network now a different show today. I wanted to show one of the charts that I bring to to To show the folks because it has a BCD in it But it comes from Stansbury research Porter Stansbury and his group Phil Bonham We'll get this up here and take a look at it As you can see here, this was the 1987 crash it looks like a little blip and Folks in real life. It was a real blip, but if you live through it like I did it was not a blip There's the big ABCD pattern right here. Look at this ABCD right here. This is the one of 2009 That was March 5th boy. That was a monster low. I had been Doing the Tom will Brian show What was actually my own show from 2007 and I said on that date that there was the best buying opportunity Since 1938 and by golly. 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We're going to talk about treasury bonds and treasury notes now. This is where the real problem is folks It's not in the stock market. This is just the debt market and if you remember two and a half years ago They were two miles a year and a half ago. They were telling us about negative interest rates Well, that's not a problem anymore because interest rates on a mortgages now hit six and a quarter percent here in Tucson this week Up from a tad higher than they were just six weeks ago at three percent Now there are six and a quarter and not only that but the requirements now are much more difficult Now as you can see from this chart here in the treasury notes that we've been going making three eight two Retracements all through here the last one we made back here was ten weeks ago when we were Trading right into the Federal Reserve and everybody said oh interest rates are going to be dropping again Well, they are dropping but upside down this thing is now exceeded We're down into the area where we should have some really strong support between 1.27 and 1.618 But it's not really happening and remember folks There's so many black swan events out there that could really put this market into illiquidity and that is you know Well, you could go through them all first the situation in China rumors of president Xi being overthrown which would have to be rumors And the second thing is the real estate market over there is collapsing One third of the people that have mortgages there are on strike. They will pay the mortgages We also have a situation in Ukraine We have a situation all over Europe with the collapsing of the pound in London, I mean, there's just one thing right after another that could cause something You know really really dramatic to happen whether it will or not I'm not sure but anyway, we've done the notes now what we want to do is we also want to take a look at the T bonds now the notes are much much larger than the T bonds folks They're about six times larger because that's the vehicle that you use for credit and your credit cards and all the other Stuff that's the rate that they use but anyway, you can see the big a bcd measured here to 128 folks We hit it. We hit a handle yesterday folks of one twenty five 0.16 I believe which was Quite a bit below or the lower than the target But we should have a bounce in here and that's all we're going to get is a little bounce now three eight two Bounce on this is is worth sixteen or seventeen thousand dollars now I am not I am not picking a bottom. No, sir I'm watching it shorter term and by golly. It's doing the same thing that's been doing for Weeks and weeks and weeks and weeks. Let me get this up here to show you what it's been doing and Here we go. This happens to be a 15 minute chart over the last three days in the Treasury bonds those of you that Came on to my show here on the 20th We talked about this three eight two retracement. You can see the first three eight two retracement was right here There's your second three eight two retracement Right up in here 127 and now we're hitting down a little more whether it's going to be another bottom or not I'm not sure because this is a short-term pattern, but it's lining up the way that it should Okay. Now. Here's another one. I have to show you these because they're they're really They're life-changing folks if you learn how to use them, but take a look at this This is natural gas the wildest thing on the planet for trading this thing swings five and ten thousand dollars every day and a normal day Look at this. You have a three eight two retracement here five or six days ago You come all the way down here and look you make a perfect a B Cd to the downside and then you rally this move here was ten grand folks Last night. We had a perfect three eight two retracement. We've already dropped. Oh, you know well over $2,000 early this morning And this is when they're in the middle of winter or starting winter over there You think natural gas would be you know a chosen asset, but it's not they don't want it The news that we're getting is not matching what these charts are telling us folks. So we got to pay attention to that That's my two cents worth and I'm sticking to it Okay, now that happens to be the Treasury bonds and we did the Treasury notes now We want to go over and talk about Some of the things that are in the news constantly and have been for quite some time and that is the US Dollar index now I talked about this yesterday because it was at a very critical level and I'll show you what we're looking at here The chart up and then it will be okay if you have any questions folks It's eight seven seven nine two seven six six four eight You can see the ABCD structure on the way up the last leg.  We came in in five pips of the one point six one eight expansion And we backed off a little bit, but not very much, you know, that's the that's the whole key now I Probably get more questions about the British pound than anything because we have so many friends and relatives over in the UK that by golly it's something that you've got to Watch because they they're always asking you question about what's going to happen next with the British pound and Frankly, you know, we don't know all all we know is that it's had one heck of a run That's about, you know, all you can really say I mean, it's it's a really big one. Oh, we're gonna bring this up here to show you what this is on the long-term basis Now, this is the British pound. Now. Remember, I am just a technician A pretty good one, but I'm just a technician Here's the British pound. You can see the one three five pattern now on this day right here in April of last year Let's try to get there April of this year We were in London and we said this is where the pound should start to break and now you see what's happened We broke yesterday folks on Friday.  Yeah Monday night and then we've had a bounce We got all the way down to 103 and we bounced up to 109 now The key level here if you're trading the British pound is to pay attention to this next number. It's one one eight That's the three eight two of that whole move from April So if we get a three eight two retracement over the next few days Look at possibly going short there because that would take out last week's high by a little bit and everybody thinks Oh, everything's great. It's copacetic. Yeah, well, it's It's copacetic because it's not going to go up, you know, this this pound is headed for parody and under The baby cd on destruction folks structure is none other than 85 It was trading for 85 in 1985 when I was in Pismo Beach, California And my friend Byron Tucker was there and he was trading foreign currencies for leo mollum and leo was loading up the British pound at one at at 85 And that was when they were having a big meeting at the chase excuse me the I can't remember that hotel now Right on Central Park Anyway, that's that was one of the big, you know G7 meetings and I was before g7 and stuff, but it was a big foreign exchange group The central bankers getting together that was the bottom of the pound And from then there we rallied all the way up into this level here as you can see and now we're coming back You know down a whole lot more. 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Just visit the front page of TFNN.com Okay, folks, I have a chart up of the uso which is the etf for the Excuse me oil market and as you can see here, this is a weekly chart It's completing a beautiful abcd pattern there on the weekly So we might be right near a major bottom in the oil market We've been talking about that with the situation with natural gas and also with heating oil and A gasoline they're all looking at like it's the same same pattern now I wanted to go a little bit deeper now And the fact is we get this my good friend allen smith over in the uk who's a very large oil speculator And speculator is he's an intelligent risk speculator folks. He knows what he's doing. Okay now Let's take a look here now. This is a little bit different because This is we're going down to a much smaller time frame folks As you can see here when we're watching this we're looking at a daily a four-hour chart Okay, uh, how do I unpack? I don't know how to unpause my chart. Is it working now? I'll let me Let me try it again. Hold on just a second. Uh All right, just give me a second and get in. Okay. It's okay now Anyway, you can see the abcd patterns on here.  You ever wonder about 382 This is what I think is what we're looking at here in the stock market here the next few days And then you come down you make your bottom down in here, but look at this big bottom. We've got the big abcd down a B cd. Okay, then we got two others coming in here You got the smaller one right there and the larger one right there This tells us we're going to get a pretty good bounce In the crude oil if in in the whole complex is what it looks like maybe the energy complex You know rises the market because of uh, you know, it's been the stronger of the of a weak market You know and believe me they've been very very weak. That's for sure Okay. Now, let's get back and talk about the german dachs because our good friend tommy terrific tom hugard trades that a lot and he has been on the negative side of that for About four and a half weeks right now pressing really hard over the last You know six or seven Well, excuse me since the middle of september and you'll see why here because when you're looking at this german dachs You're seeing the same abcd pattern that we see in the E-mini s and p the dow Jones and the nasaq that's that big abcd Coming in right here and there's another you can see here There's a three drive to a bottom pattern coming in at the same time So as long as we hold this low and I think we can for a few days And that's all you're going to get is a few days and then it'll look out because they're going to come down and October is going to be a month to remember folks just like it was in 1987 Maybe it'll be a major bottom Maybe it'll be the start of something even bigger or better or worse.  I think it's about well, it's way above 30 right now So we're going to find out how this ends up, but Volatility is definitely here to stay. Okay. Now. I wanted to cover a couple of other of currencies because They they're all part of the mix So just give me a second here and I want to get the Australian dollar up by the way if you did that trade in the 382 we trade in the treasury bonds You now have about a 500 well $400 profit So I'll put that up here so you can see it So make sure you put your stop and break even on that Because that way you're in a risk-free environment and that's where you try to be Every time you trade you don't always get that chance, but this one was perfect You had a high right over here.  That's the 382 that whole number folks It also happens to be 50% of that one So tells you that the bonds have not stopped going down now The only chance they have today is if they can get above that 128 level up above here Then they'll say uh-oh Maybe this is finally getting ready to have a three or five day 10 day rally Whatever it's going to be because I don't know how long it's going to be I'm just watching to see you know what these numbers are. I told you the numbers to watch in the s&p. There's two 37 60 is the first one and the second one is 38 80 If you get a spike up to 38 80 anytime in the next few days Have your selling shoes on folks because that one's going to be The big daddy rabbit that'll be the one that's going to be really pretty cool Those of you that were on the show here on my show on friday I was talking about that right before of course I was on at one o'clock and the market closed at uh one to two so it's still Two hours to go But if you excuse me one hour to go two hours to go But anyway, look, I was saying here that you can see the 382 is all the way down But I was saying the market had a chance to rally here Into this level right here, which was the 382 of the high we made Back here when we had that fed day thing where the market was 2300 points in the dow Jones 2300 because you were six up six down and then 12 down I mean that that's how you could come up those big big numbers and then It broke and the first chance it got was right there at a 382 retracement here and then down So there's the 382 retracement. We've hit this thing four times Since monday folks. So this is uh, and this is only tuesday Well sunday night So it's it's got some major major resistance in here And if we can get above that and if we can get above that you'd be looking at 37 60 in the s and p and you'll also be looking at 3880 potentially Which is the long-term weekly pattern that we're watching here So I hope that Lines it up for you to see what we're looking at and I wanted to get back to the currencies And show you folks, you know what we're looking at on some of these because They have had a tremendous collapse. Let me get down here because we are almost here In the british pound. Let's try it again. All right. We've already made the british pound. This is the australian dollar We're going to get this up here And as you can see it's been barriers for a long time there was your 382 retracement right here And look at the 135 pattern here folks. There's one three and five just absolutely perfect The last one being 38 percent of the high that we made back here on this day in other words Down Right here is a 38 percent retracement and then by the bang by the boom We're coming down into 63 and change. We got to 64 and change Yesterday, but we still have more to go to the downside, but as you can see these patterns are completing That's why I am on the firm believe that we're probably going to get a pretty good bounce here in stocks I don't know three five ten days. I don't know what will be ten three to five days Is all you're going to get and it'll probably be a 382 off of that previous high Those were those numbers that I gave you earlier this morning 37 60 in the s&p is the the first 382 And then the larger one right behind it is 3880 So anything above 3880 This stock market might have made a major bottom in here But I certainly don't see that under any stretch of the imagination folks I really don't and I spent a lot of time with cycles and it doesn't look like That and the market action is telling you that's not what's happening either if this were a major bottom We would be up 700 points in the Dow Jones already today Because it's it'll trap those shorts in and look out your true. They'll they'll tear the Little they're little they're they're little hats off because that's a good an acronym Because that's where the real action is going to be is when those shorts start to cover and It'll be a monster, but and maybe it maybe it's a major bottom That's the question that everybody will be asking as it rallies and my answer to that is Oh We'll be right back folks eight seven seven nine two seven six six four eight You might think that if you want to be successful at trading in the stock market You're going to need a crystal ball after all it's impossible to predict the future, right? 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We're back. I posted the chart of the canadian dollar versus the us dollar It should be reversed. Sorry folks. It's a us dollar Versus the canadian dollar. In other words, the us dollar is very strong against the canadian dollar As you can see here. We were setting up there at the 61 retracement on the long term Weekly chart and we went through that like it didn't even exist on sunday and monday So it's exploded to the upside just like our dollar index did But that's uh, we're getting close to what I think is going to be a minor top here In the us dollar have a little bit of a correction and then more of the same because These markets are looking at things that are very very unusual with liquidity With the the 30 stop and thinking this folks. This is the problem that we're having the two-year bond Okay, is selling for 4.3 this morning and The 30-year bond is selling at 2.6 the 30 year Folks in in a hunter since 1896 that's 30 years after the civil war They've never seen that before And it's not a good thing. There's always been a recession or a depression when you see something like that That means that people are willing to to give up The unknown of 30 years to get a safer rate on the two-year Treasury note and the treasury bond that two year is is a note. It's not a bond But some people call it no a bond is uh anywhere from two year two note two years to uh, I believe 10 years Uh, no two to five is the notes and then bonds are five to 30. So but The way they structure it sometimes they it's hard to tell what they are But they put the name right on the instrument. So that's a good thing. Anyway, okay Let's move on here and talk about uh Dr. Copper because dr. Copper has been in trouble. We're going to It's a question here. I'm sorry Sorry, but with the girls I've got a little frog in my throat this morning And there we go. Here I take a little bit of drink of water Now you see here that we're very close to making this abcd pattern here In the copper in fact, I believe we made that on tuesday This is tuesday. I meant yesterday So anything below this level right here, which would be around 320 If we get below starting to get below 320 In the copper that means it's failing and that is not a very good sign This rally right here was a 382 rally of the high that we made way back here So this is a really important level here that we're looking at in copper So keep your fingers crossed. We need to get a uh, really nice abcd Rally here. Hopefully at 38 80 over the next few days But since we've got time and we've only got a few minutes left. Let's get together and see what we're looking at here as far as possible trading Environment today, so let's take a look at the uh, since we're talking about the e-mini s and p We'll get it up and we'll put a chart up and I'll show you what we're What we're looking at right here. Okay. We're in pretty good shape here All right now there's where we are hold on. I want to show you the pattern here because this is uh This is what we're looking at here. Hold on. All right. Now. Here's what's happened so far during the night folks We had a nice rally Okay, we'll get this up here. We had a nice rally what we do we pulled right down to a 382 retracement Now we're moving higher So how high we're going to go don't know all I know is this looks like an abc D to the upside So if you go from 36 43 all the way up you go 80 handles You just add 80 handles to this right here And folks it's going to get you way above 37 60 And that is a 382 of the whole thing and that tells you that the market wants to go To 38 80 now 38 80 will be 500 handle 30 210 handles off of our low If we can get that and I'll be on the air I will not be doing my show today folks because it's a travel day But I will be doing it on wednesday thursday and friday. Hopefully by friday. That's where we'll stand We'll be completing this but we shouldn't get any more than a three-day bounce So that's monday tuesday wednesday thursday thursday at the latest Possibly even friday, but usually thursday at the latest Because the market's in a bearish tone And people need to get out and they're waiting the people haven't got out are waiting for a rally to get out And that rally is not coming and that's not a bad. That's not a good sign boys and girls So you want to met you add those together? Okay, and that's going to give you your target way up here Uh substantially above 37 60 what we're going to do now is we're going to move down to a 15 minute chart And just draw that pattern in so that you'll be able to see it and hold on one second here And we just need to take this out And then we'll get ready and put this in here right here. Oh, this is going to take you right up to it boys and girls Oh dear, this is either going to be today or tomorrow.  You can't make this up Anyway, here's what it looks like under abcd structure You'll see the 382 retracement right here. That's where we are. There's where we're going 37 64 One day two days three days tuesday wednesday Tuesday or wednesday if we're right here Well, can't be tuesday because today's already tuesday, but by wednesday or thursday if you're sitting right here at 37 60 Get your selling shoes on folks take them to the dance Because they're getting ready to show what's going to be happening next. This is a very bearish market that we're in We're going to keep going lower. So look for 382 abcd patterns to Uh to get short and this would be one of them So it could even be today later in the day because you know, maybe they'll come out and say something really great Like uh, there's a new Elvis Presley movie out which is already had one of those It'll be something really really bullish and the market will Initially react to it and then it'd give it all back in a matter of a very very short time Just like we've done over the last three weeks on the way down from august the 26th Which was a major major day up into here If you have any questions eight seven seven nine two seven six six four eight Please give me a call and i'll be happy to try to answer any questions We do have a question from stanley In hong kong for heaven's sakes and he's asking How does the hong kong market compare with what's going on in the united states? Well Stanley, I just happened to keep that up here. So if you give me a second I will Bring the chart up and you'll be able to see it because it is Certainly a lot different than the one. Oh dear if I lost it I don't think so. There it is right here. Okay. Give me one second here All right. Now. This is a daily. So bear with me here. You can see we're been in a really big down move here But we've had a really nice market from the short side, which we've been expecting But here's where we are. Oh, we've got to take a break here just a second But here is the hong kong market. You'll see here. We've broken down below Below any support and you can see the abcd here. This is another abcd We just keep dropping folks. That's a sign of markets not finished puking out All the logs and I don't know what's gonna what it's going to take They're very very oversold and at any time you could get those big runs But watch that 37 60 in the s&p that's going to be the one that it's going to be the The real daddy rabbit here. Hey, we're going to take a little break 8 7 7 9 2 7 6 6 4 8 We'll be right back If you want to take advantage of this sector now is the time to subscribe to my gold report The gold report is a comprehensive look at the metal sector as well as the markets that move gold Which is the currency and bond markets new subscribers get a 30-day money back guarantee So you have nothing to lose every monday morning. I published a gold report with coverage of gold silver bonds the xa u hui gdx as well as more than 30 different mining equities To seep yourself the types of profitable trades that are recommended within the gold report Sign up now by visiting tfnn.com. Don't miss out on the next great gold trade. Sign up today Everything in the universe is governed by the Fibonacci sequence This mathematical principle is responsible for everything from the most aesthetically pleasing artwork to patterns in the stock market To stay on top of stock patterns You can take advantage of sign up for the Fibonacci 24 7 newsletter at tfnn.com When you subscribe you'll get a weekly report from veteran day trader larry pesavento on stocks You need to pay attention to and you can trust larry's analysis After all he's got 45 years experience as a day trader larry will also provide daily charts videos And data on the key markets that he's tracking expect notifications from larry on market movement You need to act on at any time first time subscribers also get a 30 day money back guarantee If you're not satisfied, let us know and you'll get a full refund within 30 days of signing up Subscribe to the Fibonacci 24 7 newsletter today tfnn.com educating investors Are you looking for a way to consistently add winning trades to your portfolio? Tom O'Brien is here to help Tom O'Brien has been successfully trading markets for over 30 years a frequent contributor to TD Ameritrade Network and CNBC Tom O'Brien founded tfnn over 20 years ago to help educate investors just like you Tom's daily market newsletter market insights is published every morning when the market's open to give you the competitive Informational edge you need to succeed These newsletters are packed full of tom's advanced technical analysis and are geared to deliver comprehensive strategies for a successful portfolio Get tom o'Brien's newsletter market insights today and try all of our products and newsletters 30 days risk-free with our money back guarantee at tfnn.com tfnn educating investors Don't forget you can listen to tfnn live on your mobile device 24 hours per day Go to tfnn.com then hit watch tiger tv That's tfnn.com then hit watch tiger tv Hey folks, I posted a chart of the treasury bonds over the last couple days I pointed out those 3a 2 retracements when we were on the air here I pointed it out. That was a 127. You're now trading at 126 20. That's 500 dollars to the downside If you did that trade make sure you put your stop at break even And then pray for the best and see what happens from that level because it's coming down very hard But right now it can reverse and if it does you don't want to be in it So put your stop there and break even then you don't have to worry about it This business of trading folks is not losing In other words the best loser wins as tom who guard says And the best loser wins when he knows he's wrong So if you've got a nice profit, which 500 is a nice profit You certainly don't want to let that go to a loss and look what it would look like now If it got back there after selling off almost a full point It means things are not nearly as Squirrely as they seem in the treasury bond market, but right now This is one of those times you say well I got a dance with the one that brought me to the dance as yogi would say And this is the one that 3a 2 the best pattern I've seen heads down over all of them. That's gargling butterfly. Well Not abcd, but boy that 3a 2 is a monster folks I mean not only that but you've got the you know the financial people on your side because You know they're seeing things and they make these rules and that makes it You know accentuate it even better.  I believe I'm setting through setting here for tommy this morning. He'll be back tomorrow And everything will be Copacetic as they say in the train So I want you to live every day in an attitude of gratitude and may god bless And try to do something nice for your neighbors folks the neighbors are very very important And if you don't have the background or the backing of your neighbors, you know, you're missing a really great thing because what it'll do Is it puts that family structure together in a way that makes it a lot easier to live? So that's it and we'll see you on the flip side Uh on my regular show tomorrow at 1 p.m. And my guest will be none other than tim boss of financial cycles weekly You might think that if you want to be successful at trading in the stock


It is about the Womelin project, it's a control software that's used in Caravans and it is presented and developed by RFGuy with others and he also supported the radio batch on the last camp event and he founded the Womelin project and he is giving us an overview of what he learned on the software development on this project and what specific difficulties have been working with different hardware and different Caravans. Yeah, a warm welcome to all watching the stream and our replacement Easter Egg event that didn't take place because of reasons. I'm still doing my talk today. Yeah, software development at the example of the Womelin project, Womelin, it's a shortcut for Caravans in Germany. It was like, it has happened much as happened then. And I've learned a lot also by discussion with many people and there have been many changes to the hardware and the software concept. I'm going to outline the project shortly. So just to give an overview why we are doing this, what does the Caravan industry, the kind of Caravan manufacturers do, what components can use, what hardware you can use for Caravans, what possibilities do exist. I'm going to present some actual Caravan hardware which has really developed since the last year, first prototypes have arrived. There's also a display unit which has been working yesterday for the first time and then there's the software concept which I developed with a colleague of me, Johan Franze, he's named. And we want to say how we imagine such a heterogeneous platform as the Caravan because each Caravan is different, each Caravan looks different, each Caravan has different hardware components, there's different expectations by the user, different needs to fulfill. Yeah, someone's talking in the mumbled right now, I don't know how to mute it, I hope it doesn't happen too often. Yeah, so far why we're doing this? Yeah, let's move to the slides again. There's no open solution yet, there's like some open source projects where some people are using an Arduino on Raspberry Pi or some other ESP to write some software to control the Caravan hardware, some devices use the same interfaces, but they can't talk it to each other directly. That's because the name von Berlin is very common, the LINN bus, LINN communication standard, it's like a CE and TI bus and it's used in the Caravans, but they can't talk to each other directly. There's no direct public standard, there's battery sensors that are coming from the automotive sector and they can't talk to other hardware, so it's a heterogeneous field. Yeah, there's no complete solution yet. Yeah, that's because why it's necessary. I know some Caravan dealers, which I have good contacts to and their customers want some kind of solution for that problem. The Caravan industry is able to build good Caravans, but they aren't good at building software or UX or something, they are not giving that much love. So, let's start. At the beginning of this year, I have been to the CMT in Stuttgart and that's how Caravans look like today. What you can always see is there's like a heater unit, it's like controlling the heating, different manufacturers, Toma and Alder and Toma, the manufacturer recommends or requires this unit, even if we could control it in other ways, it is required. Then there's like some other control units, a manufacturer control unit, here's a control unit for the energy, power supply. Yeah, but it's like not very nice looking, no standard, it's like looking a bit ugly. Yeah, some manufacturers do analog displays, like analog clocks, in again like control unit for the Toma and heater and right next to it, Toma and yeah, they even them can't interconnect their devices, that's for gas control unit. So, even they can merge all control units into one, even if it's the same manufacturer, and then there's like a manufacturer, caravan manufacturer control, maybe for some water pump, maybe like four steps of LEDs, the capacity of the board battery or the water tank, but there's not much more you can do with those manufacturer control units. More examples, sometimes there's just a few buttons with LEDs right next to it, maybe some kind of a clock. Yeah, and the clock probably needs to be reset as soon as the power is lost, and yeah, not much besides a few buttons, not good feedbacks, I can't see, a good battery capacity just like, yeah, if I'm like without power supply and I yeah, need to have a good knowledge of how much power do I have even, yeah, as long as how long can I use my heater because that's not working well, 12 volts of power supply, some more examples of Toma and Toma bedding control units. And yeah, there's a few buttons for the, yeah, water tank or the lights in the blower, there's like a user control unit, there's like, yeah, power block, it's like the charger, and some electronics to, to control the battery and some fuses and so on and I can use the control unit to check my battery level, and there's a main control switch, which, yeah, powers on off the entire thing. The last picture, the, yeah, it's like a very good example, the top upper left, there's like the water heater, below that there's the battery monitor, how for my battery capacity is, then there's like the trauma heater control, or maybe for the gas supply, and there's for the power supply, yeah, for the power supply control unit, and another control unit, smaller display unit, and it's like a battery sensor, they have a different, again, one different battery control unit, my battery sensors, yeah, that is able to tell me the capacity, the sensors are quite well, they can do a lot of things like start and stop electronics, and so on, it learns the battery capacity, and yeah, that's as cheap as 15 bucks, so as long as you have a plumbium battery, it doesn't work for lithium batteries as well, which are quite common in the caravan industry right now, and quite useful because there's, yeah, advantages against the plumbium battery, and that's like the main control unit, that's like a caravan that's more expensive than 100,000 euros, so even in very expensive caravans, there's still many different control units and not a single one, and yeah, you need to make a boot process, it takes like 20 seconds after booting it up until it works, and then again, you can display clock and battery status, and yeah, there's a comment of my colleague, as I sent them those pictures, he says, unimaginable, 1919 has called, they want the control units back, I know why you make this project, yeah, and that's one of the reasons, initially I wanted to control my old caravan, now I've switched to a new one, and it was a good example to develop something that just works and that fixes all those problems and wants, in the caravan industry, there's like, yeah, a collection that has had the idea to init something, some development, they created those CI bus, we're defining an interface to interconnect all our devices, and of course, we are putting that below an NDE, because like linbus control commands are very, very secret, and you definitely can't read them on the bus, so yeah, it's available since 2015, single control unit that's able to control everything, yeah, those pictures I've shown, they've been taken in February, yeah, there's a control unit that's able to control the Tuma heater, but Tuma still says you still have to have a separate control unit for the heater, and the control of the caravan manufacturer is having a separate control unit to control the heater, and the heating control unit says the commands to the heater, so it's like, two step project, and the control unit just says, yeah, I want my water at 60 degrees and my, in a temperature at 19 degrees, the heater is working autonomously, the control unit is just telling the commands to the heater, but the heater has its own temperature sensor, so it's regulating itself, it's just like about transmitting the commands, and yeah, you need to pay an annual fee to get to this premium, and it's about 4000 euros a year, and you have to sign some NDE AEs, which is also nice, and you're not allowed to publish those communication information, and yeah, you still can interconnect each device. The different parts are still from different manufacturers, they have different different parts, different some so different manufacturers have different protocols, it's not really compatible etc, so this makes it less interesting to use components from different manufacturers, so you have different controls, which you can, yeah, I'm sorry, what is possible to be controlled at all? What is interesting? An important topic is the power management in such a caravan, it's everything is done with the low power controllers, there are many controllers on, so many parts can be turned off to be as energy efficient as possible, so this is very important when being on a location without a power source, so you only have your battery, then it's enough for instance to wake up a control all five minutes or so, to only wake it up all five minutes, and let's say in case we have a problem with moisture in the caravan, and then we could wake up the gsm module and send a message, but of course I need certain existing components because we want to do 100% everything's DIY, as I already said there are for instance intelligent battery sensors, it's available for not that much money, usually it doesn't always do, it's not really communicative unfortunately, so I had to reverse engineer it, and in the meantime I have also a specification, but I cannot, unfortunately I cannot publish it just like that, and yeah there are different sensors, they learn, they have their own power management, so they don't drain the battery, they are, and over the lean bus I can check the battery capacity, charging, discarding, charge, things like itching of batteries etc, and yeah that's quite a cool thing when using lead acid batteries, because such a controller does all the charging discharging stuff, unfortunately this doesn't work with lithium batteries which are getting more, yeah, getting more common here in Germany, they're getting cheaper as well, so there is also the open boat project which started on the boating sector, and I ordered just one from China, it costs about 600 euro instead of 3000 from a German vendor, there are other manufacturers like Watanik, this one opens his own communication protocols, and you also have a small website which explains their communication protocols and presents some open sourcing, open source protocols, there's a controller which can work with lithium batteries, it can measure the voltage of the battery, and the protocol is open, this is also possible to have things with Bluetooth or the VE direct bus, and the most important thing is the VE direct bus for our Womaline project, it has RS2T2 and TTL level and power source, we can directly use it, we already have all bus converters etc, we have all in one plug which is quite a nice thing, so we can plug in our own hardware, another bus which we use is the VE bus, it's based on RS485 but with some voodoo because they also sync inverters, you can for instance do them, connect them in parallel, this protocol is not entirely open but there exists a USB interface which can translate the signals from this bus to USB, so you can also control the power block and the inverter using this, which is quite nice, so this is a power inverter, it's a thing which always uses some energy when it's turned on, so it's quite interesting to turn it off when it's not actually in use, so my micro one is also sometimes used as a UPS or as a charger for my mobile devices and I can for instance limit my power consumption, for instance if I want to operate my air conditioning and I only have an electrical connection which gives six amperes, I can further turn on the inverter to have some more power when using the IC, there are more manufacturers of high quality equipment, it's Voltonic and Putner, they sell it together with a solar one-in-one packets, they also have an interface based on RS485 and some they are not officially documented and other people also began reverse engineering but it's not really openly available, it might be in the future to have some common specification, so they are currently also switching to LinBus, so it's possible to, yeah but the problem is then they are bound by the NDA which says that the manufacturer cannot even open his own commands that they use themselves, then we have the heating and IC part in the caravan, there the market leader is Truma, they manufacture air conditionings that you can build into your caravan, they manufacture water heaters, they all use the same interface and they call it TI bus which has to be reverse engineered, the control unit is a box which can be built into, they also offer Bluetooth and GSM models which basically sends commands to the control part, control unit only but also this device can, it basically only says turn on the heater or turn it off, interestingly it's using Bluetooth locally, so if you send something via remote via SMS then it internally will be translated into Bluetooth and then another manufacturer that's offering such devices is Dometic, they have like a fridge control which for future to control, that's talking to LinBus or the climate devices, they are also LinBus accessible but at least it's like displayed in the owner's manual but yeah we need to wait until someone buys such a device and can have a look into it, there's sensors in each caravan, yeah there's like some temperature sensors because yeah those one wire temperature sensors are cheap and then there's sensors for the tank, the blue things are those plug sensors, they can display several different heights, sometimes it's with ultrasonic, sometimes there's white sensors for gas bottles, or there's a capacitive sensor that's emitting a voltage and then you can request the measurements with an ADC and you can get a much more precise measurement, yeah you can maybe you maybe want to measure the door so if the caravan is moving so you can send some messages, there's much LED lightning in the caravan which is more standard today, there's like only 12-volt voltage in the caravan and I want to integrate the lights, yeah that I can like turn on the lights in the front, another button to switch on and off the lights just by one wire button, yeah there's multiple different switches or with PVM functions or dimming you can like lower the lights, which I already displayed at the last time, there are some examples what other people developed and there are many different projects which are not bad, it's also always great project but often yeah it's just a few a couple of functions very limited to usability and pretty specialized just working with yeah certain hardware and certain problems that people want to solve by that, yeah we also thought about that it's a very early state, the early concept of the graphical user interface, we want to think about that a lot and yeah if what people want to contribute we can talk to each other, we thought of making some widgets so we can add some buttons and yeah program like a function for this button like switching something on and off or display the state of power supply, do I need to do power saving mode or maybe the display can stay on so that's the way it should be displayed, I as a customer can think of several different displays, widgets that displays several things in my caravan or which allow me to control several things so that's the rough concept how is this supposed to work then there's current hardware which has changed since the last year, there's four times lint bus four times is 485 and four times is 232 then there's a can bus for talking to the caravan or control functions like radio controlling the windows then there's eight analog in and outputs for temperature sensors or buttons the advantages that you can also put a power supply by this one via lighting lines yeah eight analog inputs for yeah there's a digital ios as well then there's the shittier on which like a seabass add-on then there's a compass and a gyro sensor someone there's some people who want to watch television in the caravan and you want to know in which direction the satellite is when you're going to the caravan place and then there's a Bosch environment sensor which is also known from the cardio which is like humidity air pressure and then there's a bluetooth model and an esp 8266 12f module for wi-fi and then there's a west bay pi plug so you can which is also switchable so if you want to realize some remote control by mobile and there's an 8e gsm module which is also used at the west bay pi module and it can also be switched off separately then there's a four bystable release and eight relays eight relay driver and then there's the control bus which is like a can bus which which is driven over uart so all components that control the system are interconnected and yeah the display is connected to that the west bay pi is connected to that the esp module and yeah you can use that to display or transmit our signals which i want to come to later and also control something and every device that's connected to the bus um listens to all commands and gets everything um the first part of times adjust the wife before congress and during buildup we also yeah i started soldering them it's like a lot of work um now i'm like buying and ordering them already soldered because it's like much work yeah then there's a smaller sensor but because the compass needs to be horizontally leveled yeah some debug interface that's able to be accessed by uart or can so you can access it by your laptop easily um then we had a second prototype where we did some bug fixing that i'm going to order at the end of this month and the final board um will be announced the order will be announced like at the end of may so where people can join and we will sell this for like the material price and there's several people who are already interested so we're going to announce that as soon as possible um in the one van form and the vulnerable form and the telegram account and the github wiki so we're going to announce it as soon as it's ready um all production data is public the software is uh completely open and the hardware as long as this is commercial of course as well that's a picture of the 36 c3 where we started soldering the components to the sport you can see the pie plug at the left side and the plug for the modem there's a sd card slot and several plugs for plugging in the periphery and the hardware devices and some proprietary plugs to directly connect the two mahiting or something and yeah also some power supply for the display units the display unit is also ready already we have uh yeah i started using the display yesterday for the first time of course we did the connectors wrong and didn't read the data sheet right so yeah so we've been able to display something on the display for the first time it's an stm32l for our nine graphic unit display um you can also plug in octo spi flash and ram under that but there's 64 k of ram and several yeah voltage controls that adapt to the board voltage it's a 24 bit rgbtft display connector and an itc controller for the touch controller um we can yeah we can recommend to the new heaven then you haven't display um but you could also plug in different displays um yeah nearly all rgbtft displays can be driven by this and yeah if you want to use the touch you could also need to buy with the touch controller that's how it looks like the display from the back it's directly screwed and um there's a plug for the touchscreen and right there is the content of the plug for the rgbt and the control voltage they also just use the oras 495 cable to connect it and you can also daisy chain to other to to other car ones etc and maybe you would also like to to turn off the light or etc and orio would like to have real-time clocks there's a real-time clock on it and the controller can still still be in the minimum power mode and the real-time clock continues as as it should without doing doing a match all the boards have a usb connector where you can where you can uh switch the stm into master edge mode and using a usb cable without even a debugger you can connect uh computer to it this was yesterday evening at picture from yesterday evening you see our logo on the screen which we also have on the kit and we hardcoded the picture into it to to test it it works very well we make progress and till always usually is at the moment doing the former of the big board and yeah we progress very well so the next topic will be our software development these are the slides from mirro i will explain how how we do the software development to be as modular as as needed to configure your your vehicle to configure your components etc without having too much in-depth knowledge so from the user's point of view we have our car one which has certain components for instance solar power and solar power controller battery controller etc which does certain measurements it can do you can do things like switching switching your your fridge from gas back to battery if you have too much electrical power on the other hand we have the things we have to part on what do i want to do i want to be able to control the entire thing using my tablet using my smartphone or using the touch display so i want to have a gooey concept which works somehow and we have the gap in between which how do i communicate with my components to make it cheap flexible energy efficient etc if you think about it only the display costs about 300 euro and if you need more boxes it's again about 300 euros and so and if we take our price will probably be much lower we will our project is aiming to be at about 300 euros it's this is much cheaper than commercially available solutions from the technical technical point of view we uh yeah we again have our components which we want to talk to we have different protocols they speak the canvas some speak kan some speak aras 232 some speak bluetooth etc for instance yeah our battery sensor using bluetooth and it's quite common and there's also a gas sensor which uses bluetooth and we also yeah we have these protocols on the other end we have our control possibilities so how can i control them now from a technical point of view so now we have our from the hardware point of view we have our main unit which gives us physical interfaces and also gives us the possibilities to make to get all our software in it so and yeah how can we implement the software as efficient and by reusing as much code as possible and our solution to this problem or to this challenge is so the main problem is the really heterogeneous situation that each current is completely different if also if you have one model line by one manufacturer there are quite a lot of uh of different kinds you have premium you have uh low budget they change all two years so to summarize each each control has to be individual and yeah of course everybody is also doing adding their own hardened software like more charger chargers alarms entertainment systems there's you almost everything so our solution is a generated software we offer the offer people a tool where they can use xml files to configure their components and and part we will probably also offer a docker container which can then build the individual firmware for your car one we cannot build everything fixed into the firmware this would be much too big firmware but we can offer a tool which builds the firmware for you so we have an hour and we have our hardware we call them units they speak a certain protocol on the maybe the linbas and we know this protocol then i need to define this once and what the user user in the end wants to do is to know what is the current battery voltage or the current capacity we so we we convert our value from the bus to a so-called signal a signal is like a standardized thing of variable that we use inside our project and this signal on the other end it activates the unit which is needed to to make a query for instance our signal is named battery sick and it can be defined like you see on the left side and on the right side we have the unit the hardware the protocol is defined in this xml file it's battery lin and the signal of course has to be the same name like we saw in the left side and on the in the firmware we also have to define on which port on the main board this thing is physically connected and this definition is written into the port thing maybe we need more information like a board rate etc and in the units i need to also need to program the commands which the need to be sent by the linbas but this is this is all defined in the unit we do find a command that have to be sent at the command which are expected to be received by the by the actual unit in our example of the battery yeah that was the example for the battery these two xml files will be put into the code generator which will then produce the custom firmware for our board we also did the same for the display unit it looks quite similar because this display unit is talking to all these signals or using all these signals so there we have the same definition of what do we want to do i want to create signals or read signals for instance this battery voltage i can also do this inside the display for instance in a widget of the display and yeah we can also of course do the same thing same principle for the display itself when this kind of yeah these things can be can depend on different other system signals for instance are we connected to a fixed power source or are we running our battery or whatever yeah i can switch on and off things things as i as i want that yeah i can request the state of battery voltage regularly and generate a signal by that and send that to the manual and that answers replies to that so that's how i define my widget in principle we're going to use little vgl which is like an open source embedded ui library there's like a proper tool to prescribe the ui concept because everyone has already hassled with ui concept and we want to get a working and good ui concept so we are always open for new ideas um to say that it's working well and we need to think about that who is using some kind of control units like that that's not just nerds like us um who are also comfortable with you within your terminal or something like that but it also has to be usable by everyone by this small tight up to like uh some elderly people everyone has probably gotten annoyed by some ui concepts that are so bad designed we have a couple of ideas and we want to put lots of effort into that because that's really a thing to us yeah that's already at this starting point right now so we're going to present some URLs um here's some URLs about the limbus and the hella ibs sensor um there's some URLs for the Arduino interface and uh a repository where they're doing reverse engineering on the vortonic and then there's the open boat project um yeah in the boat community there's a big open source project because yeah they bought uh an exhibition at the boat exhibition just off and they had a six square meters um yeah center at the boat exhibition just off and yeah it's a canvas driven mxma device and it's partially reverse engineered some manufacturers uh aren't using uncompliant to the standards really but it's also what we're looking into it as i already said the goal is to which uh order in end of may we're going to tell you some costs until then maybe one or two prototypes are we probably going to order maybe because like the plugs have been wrong and there have been smaller changes but yeah just stay in contact and ask us and yeah people are already waiting for it it's an open source project and everyone is doing that voluntarily so in the current situation that yeah something isn't uh getting done as fast as it possible um yeah i think i'm in time right now let's come to a conclusion the project is hosted on github um at maxcc there's also a wiki there and for conversation there's like a telegram group and um the links to the form are stored in the github wiki there's uh in several caravan caravan forms uh threats regarding this project yeah and i think i'm done so far i need to switch on my audio again so the hallowed can talk to me and that means i'm ready for questions ah okay and i'm getting i think there's some technical difficulties and we're starting my stream getting no audio anymore yeah i think they have some problems there ah okay now the hallowed is full screen and works again yeah thanks a lot for this talk let's get to the q and a session somebody asked where can i order the board how much will it cost um you already told us it will be just the material cost but can you give him estimate on how much you need to invest to support the project or to join the project yeah two seconds are over the display is around 300 euros at mauser we are looking for so a cheaper source of china or something maybe we can take up a placement the display controller i'm guessing it's about yeah it's also always china chinese stuff about 30 to 40 euros the big controller but i hope yeah it's something about 150 euros would be great completely with components yeah so it's like together with the display yeah about 250 euros that would be the goal we are aiming and we try to reach that my you can order it through the forum or to the telegram group we're announcing it as soon as we're ready links are also located in the github wiki or in the telegram group yeah thanks then there's a question like sensor data like solar power something are they stored in some kind of log yeah of course there's an sd card slot so you can just plug in a full-size sd card there and the controller on the board has an sd card interface and of course we want to look those data and you could also read out those by the pie or something but of course logging is planned and there's a question are they going to be two different boards of course there's two boards for one i'm going to show it that's the display board from the back that's the smaller one it's like the touch display in this case is a seven inch display which is put into the put into the caravan for control you can just also use the pie if you do not want to have touches play and that's the big board that's wild the large that's the main unit you need and at the side yeah the debug interface so you can plug it into your computer and the sensor board that is going to be separately so you can mount it horizontally yeah and i'm going to close this by yeah more of a comment by the feedback and the question that i have as well many of those sensors are already used for home automation yeah maybe nothing like gas for the white sensors but if you're like building a new home you also might want to put a bus system right through the home and would it be possible to use this system to do some kind of home automation or customize it of course they would be possible what would be really interesting is yeah that's many of those yeah solar systems can be controlled by that instantaneously and the home metric wire is is 485 system it's it's open so you can use it for that and i can also mount those touch displays at multiple locations in the home why not it's a good idea and we are open for ideas and just talk to us yeah thanks so one big project again for the for the drawl thanks for to our fcribe for this very interesting and nerdy talk yeah thanks for me as well and have fun at the dialogue


Did you know that there are two secret forms of Tauros hidden in Pokemon Scarlet and Valet?  You can identify this Tauros by a tied tail and the red horns when you start the fight. If you eat food that enhances water encounters in Pokemon Valet, you'll bump into a water fighting Tauros. You'll be able to distinguish them by the horns and the blue in their coat. Subscribe and ask someone.


An action aid Nigeria has called for immediate action to address their realities confronting the nation and this follows a recently released human development report which paints a harrowing picture of global regression in human development with Nigeria as one of those at the epicenter of this crisis. Action aid Nigeria country director Andrew Mehmedu who released the findings noted that according to the report both Libya and South Africa boasts relatively high HDI rankings indicating significant achievement in human development. Libya's wealth predominantly derived from its substantial oil reserves has contributed to its high HDI ranking while South Africa's diversified economy and robust infrastructure have propelled its development despite Nigeria's vast natural resources and higher GDP compared to Libya and South Africa its HDI remains comparatively low. Hello hope you enjoyed the news please do subscribe to our youtube channel and don't forget to hit the notification button so you get notified about fresh news updates


Their one purpose, the sole reason for their existence, is to knock enemy planes out of the sky. They are P-38s, and they rank with the fastest and best fighters in the air today. Now the fact that this is a two-engine airplane does not mean that it's a difficult airplane to fly. On the other hand, the two engines do give it a wide range of performance and extra margins of safety. Some hangar experts insist that it is impossible to bail out of the 38 because of the twin booms and rudders, and because of the horizontal stabilizer span. The truth is that it is no easier or harder to bail out of the 38 than out of any single-seater fighter. Bailouts can be made either one by turning the plane on its back and dropping out, or two by getting out the left window and sliding down the wing. Now don't stand on the wing to jump. The span of the horizontal stabilizer just doesn't affect the bailout. At high speeds, the airflow carries any object straight back and under the empanage, which is actually higher than the wing. Therefore, the only portion of the empanage which is critical is that portion directly aft of the bailout area. Thus it doesn't matter whether the empanage has a 20-foot span or a 100-foot span. The critical area is still the same. Furthermore, on the 38, there's no vertical stabilizer which can get in the way. Actually, however, the object isn't a bailout of your ship. To make the other fellow bail out of his. In the 38, you have a weapon which will help you do just that. It's a fighting man's airplane. Huh? Forget it. Its high-speed performance is well-known. Low-speed is equally spectacular from the point of view of performance. Presented here with is a new type of airplane. A primary trainer escort. Under absolute control at 90 miles an hour indicated. Now, watch its acceleration. Most important of all, maximum performance makes it possible for a 38 pilot to dictate when and at what altitude he shall combat. But to achieve that maximum performance, it is first necessary to understand normal and emergency operations. What we're about to see won't give us any laughs or thrill. But in the thick of battle when the going is tough, might mean the difference between victory or defeat, life or death. Among other things, we'll see what to do for normal routine precautions. For single-engine flight, landing and single-engine failure on takeoff. How to handle one or both propellers in operative or so-called running wire. We will check on use of landing gear and flap emergency extension system. All of these will be seen for the purpose of achieving the true objective of the airplane. Maximum performance in combat. And the men best qualified to demonstrate these operations for the men who know the 38 best. Men who have flown them the most. Production pilot. Charlie Brannon. Tom Kennedy. Jimmy Mattern. Avery Black. The pilot who's flown more 38's than any other man is going to take it up from here. He's the chief engineering test pilot, Milo Berger. We're not going to try to teach you how to fly. You've all had good training in other ships. We're simply going to show you how we handle a 38. Hoping to increase your knowledge and skill. And in that way, add to the effectiveness of the ship and to your own safety. There are certain routine precautions which apply to every condition on every flight. So let's take a look at those right off the bat. Before takeoff, the hatch must always be securely latched. Both sliding windows must also be closed all the way. With the windows closed, the air flow is normal. But, if the windows are carelessly left open, the air flow is disturbed and causes the wake to hit the tail. On airplanes equipped with external tanks, it is essential to be able to drop the tanks immediately, in case of engine failure on takeoff. Therefore, before starting, the drop tank switch is placed in the safe position and the drop tank selectors are placed on. So, that in an emergency, we can lose the tanks by simply punching the drop tank release button. When the full fuel load is carried, takeoffs are always on the front tanks. Normally, we use no flaps. Later, we will check on conditions where flaps are used. But, at all times, maximum allowable manifold pressure is used. Once in position at the head of the line and after run-up mag check, propellers are checked in the automatic position. By trying the governors, we make certain that they're really governing. Booster pumps are switched on in order to ensure adequate fuel pressure in the event of engine fuel pump failure. Brakes are held while both rattles are advanced to get the maximum allowable manifold pressure. In this case, 40 inches. The object is to get those turbos turning, so as to obtain takeoff power at the start of the takeoff run. Furthermore, by holding the brakes as long as possible, we allow the propellers to reach the governing limit of 3,000 rpm at the start of the run. In that way, if they're going to run wild, they'll do it while there's still time to stop the ship. Now, without flaps and using 40 inches of manifold pressure, the 38 starts the takeoff run. Because of the tricycle gear, however, there is no tendency on the part of the airplane to fly itself. Therefore, at about 70 miles an hour, we start to ease back on the stick. At 90 to 100 indicated, after a run of 15 to 1800 feet, we pulled back to break ground. At this point, in spite of the lack of a feeling of lightness, the airplane responds immediately and easily. Gear is up as soon as the ship is committed to flight. By the time the gear retracts, indicated airspeed will be at least 150. Well above single-engine operation speed of 120. If the boom doors do not close immediately, nosing the plane abruptly down a couple of times usually will close the doors. No flaps are used for normal takeoff because without them, we get the single-engine flying speed faster. But if this tower, for instance, were an obstacle 1700 feet from the head of the runway, a zero-flap takeoff would catch it right amid ships. With 50% flaps under exactly the same conditions, the airplane easily clears the tower. Airspeed will be at least 140 indicated by the time the gear retracts, which is enough speed to retract the flaps without loss of altitude. Although flaps reduce takeoff run about 500 feet, they only provide a takeoff goose. Because the rate of climb and speed at zero flaps quickly exceed the initial advantage with flaps. As soon as the airplane is in its climb, power is reduced to 37 inches of manifold pressure and 2600 rpm. At this time, if high altitude flight is not contemplated, booster pumps can be turned off. There's very little difference in the rate of climb at indicated speeds of 140 to 180 because what is gained by the angle increase is lost in speed. Peak flight characteristics of the 38 are excellent. For example, the stall, which we're about to see, is so slight as to be almost imperceptible to the camera. The power stall will occur at about 70 miles an hour. Loss of altitude will be about 50 feet. The counter-rotating propellers eliminate torque, no tendency of either wing to dip or fall away. Watch closely. There's the stall. Characteristics are just as good in the power-off stall with gear and flaps retracted or extended. Accelerated stalls, accompanied by normal buffeting, occur on any airplane when the angle of attack is increased to the point that the airflow over the wing becomes turbulent. This can happen in sharp turns, pull-outs, or other severe maneuvers. The 38 is designed to take the buffeting of the stall and has no tendency to slip off on either wing at any altitude. If you want to get out of an accelerated stall, permit the airflow to re-establish normal lift by easing up on the stick. For the sake of greater maneuverability, there's a maneuvering stop on the flap control. With flaps in this position, turns are shortened and similar maneuvers perform with great efficiency. Low-speed banks at low levels, however, even with the flaps pulled down are non-habit-forming. There's just not going to be enough time to recover lost altitude before the ground catches up with you. And in practicing maneuvers, there are two things that are darn important. First, where inverted flight is concerned, the engines are not designed for inverted flight of more than 10 seconds. Oil pressure will drop in even less time and the bearings are apt to be damaged. Furthermore, prolonged inverted flight is in itself unnecessary. Secondly, in any maneuver which requires a downward recovery, the pilot must have plenty of air under him, at least 10,000 feet. Due to the 38's acceleration in the dive, the ground comes up all flea-fast, the slappy in the face. There's a dive limit chart in the cockpit. Be sure to check it. Landings are not complicated, but in night landings, pilots new to the 38's sometimes get a surprise when lowering the landing light. This is due to the fact that the light disturbs the airflow to the aileron. This nibbling feels a bit strange at first, but actually has no unfavorable effect as far as flying is concerned. For the landing itself, the fellers are set for 2600 rpm with about 23 inches of manifold pressure, and to ensure adequate fuel pressure, on go the booster pumps. Gear is extended at 175 miles an hour indicated, flaps at 150. At this time, the tow brake should be pumped to ensure adequate pressure upon landing. Now let's retract the gear again to show that even if the normal extension system fails, there is still no reason to start getting ideas about a belly landing. Two conditions are usually the cause of hydraulic system failure. Either the engine hydraulic pump has gone out, or there's a break in the hydraulic lines. If the engine pump goes out, fluid will still be in the lines and the auxiliary hand pump can be used to extend both the gear and flaps. No other action except pumping is required, and it will take about five minutes to pump the gear down and lock. If, after two or three minutes of pumping, there is no feeling of pressure against the pump, it indicates that there is fluid failure. In this case, the emergency system is still on tap. The emergency extension system is used in the following sequence. First, landing gear control lever is placed down. Next, the bypass valve is closed by turning it clockwise. Now the hand pump selector valve handle is placed down, and the pump is operated to force the doors open with the wheels. Pumping is continued until all three wheels are fully extended and locked. Knowsing the ship abruptly up will help force the wheels out. While pumping, the selector valve handle should be checked down to make sure it hasn't moved out of position. Flaps can also be extended by the hand pump. To do this, the flap control handle is placed down. Then the selector valve handle is set to up, and the pump operated until the flaps are extended the desired amount. If for any reason the flaps will not extend, the airplane lands well enough without them. In a zero-flap landing, however, allow for float and higher stalling speed. With booster pumps on, the gear down and flaps in 50% position, the approach is made at 120 miles an hour indicated. Speed is reduced to 110, and when the approach is in the bag, the flaps are extended fold down. Then, at 110, flare out and come in over the fence at 100 to 105 miles an hour, but never faster than 110. Contact never has to be made at over 100 miles an hour. The 38 lands in the same attitude as ships with conventional gear. On the two main wheels, the nose wheel will settle of its own accord. Don't be tricycle gear conscious. Just be flying level somewhere near the ground. Be flying, not falling. And then the less the pilot does, the better. For slowing down, brakes are applied on and off rather than with a constant pressure. There is only one way possible to make landing the 38 difficult. Try to bring it in on a nose wheel. Nose wheel landings are expensive ways of messing up the landscape. Everybody feels a little sorry for pilots just starting to fly single-seat fighters. Because an instruction version is now available as a two-place airplane. The boys call it the piggyback. Now a new pilot can ride in back of the instructor and have any procedure cleared up for him in flight. This is how it works. A couple of weeks ago, a new 38 Army pilot visited the field. Wrap your legs up, Bill, and make yourself at home. This being a passenger is a good deal. I feel like a colonel already. The last guy I thought he was a general. All kidding aside, Milo, I hope you don't think me a dope if I ask a lot of fool questions. Better way of finding something out? Well, no, but... Well, then ask away. Well, I did have a couple of question marks about the propellers running wild. Not that I don't understand perfectly, but, you know, it just isn't quite clear. Well, there's nothing serious about propellers running wild. It usually simply means that they're caught in full high RPM. And as a result, the engines are over speeding. This can happen due to a shortened electrical system, or the switches being left in manual instead of automatic. Or maybe the circuit breaker switches are out of the start. But no matter what causes propeller over revving, retarding the throttles will bring them under control and still leave enough power to at least circle the field and land. Propellers will run wild if, through carelessness, the propeller switches are left in manual instead of being checked in automatic. In this case, RPMs will be reduced by simply throwing the switches where they belong, in automatic. On light versions of the 38, warning lights go on when there's a short from the circuit. If a short occurs, the circuit breakers overheat and jump up. When they do, push the circuit breakers down. They'll have to be held down for about 15 seconds. Otherwise, the heat will just make them jump right back. I gotcha. If we don't let them cool off, we'll pop right back up again. Can we simulate this in flight? When we get in the air, you'll see that holding the circuit breakers down for 15 seconds has disadvantages. But now we're ready for the takeoff check. Propellers in automatic, governing check, booster pumps on, tow brakes held, throttle's advanced to get maximum allowable manifold pressure. From 3,000 to 3,500 RPM. Cheving down the circuit breakers will help control the propellers. But the 15 seconds that they have to be held down is a long time in flying to have one hand committed to a single action. Therefore, it's better to retard the throttles and bring the RPM's down to 3,000 while still maintaining sufficient power to establish level flight before pushing the circuit breakers down. Now, with flight established, the circuit breakers can be held down. And if they stay down, as much power as is desired can be put on, and the propellers will be governing properly. If one engine were damaged by overreving, the propeller would be feathered right away, and single engine flight would be necessary. But, correct single engine flight procedure must be followed. There are only three main steps. The first step will be to set the dead engine mixture control to idle cutoff so as to reduce fire hazard by stopping the flow of fuel at once. Furthermore, if by mistake we try to kill the engine that's operating, the complete loss of power warns us while there's still time to recover. So, if the right engine were to quit, the three main steps would be, first, right mixture control to idle cutoff, second, right feathering switch to full feather, and third, right throttle back to closed. That's all there is to getting set for single engine flight. If the flight is going to be for any duration though, there are five more simple operations which are mainly precautionary and intended to reduce drag. Turn the right booster pump off, rim the rudder tab, close the right tank selector valve, close the right press tone shutter, and close the right oil cooler flap. Now, that's one of the handy features of the 38. If one engine fails, there's still a mighty fine single engine ship under us. There's no difference in flight technique with either engine. But for demonstration, we like to fly on the left engine and keep the generator going rather than use the right engine and run on the battery. What we've just checked over have been the emergency procedures for single engine failure. But for practicing single engine operation and maneuvers, slightly different procedures are followed so that if necessary, the simulated dead engine can be brought back into operation quickly. In the first place, the awfully sure that the live engine is on the tank with the most fuel. Then, and only then, start the procedure for single engine practice flight. Now, turn the right booster pump off. Then by retarding the right throttle, single engine failure and the resultant yaw will be simulated. Recover from yaw with opposite rudder and throw the right mixture control to idle cutoff and feather up. After the engine has stopped, trim the rudder tab and fair the right prestone shutter and ride oil cooler flap. After the engine has stopped and the ship has trimmed, the control should be set in position for immediate unfeathering just in case something should happen to the engine we're flying on and we have to use the engine being simulated as dead. So, as soon as the propeller is feathered, set the feathering switch in the normal position. Then, raise the guard on the manual propeller switch to the dead engine and set it to the fixed position and move the governor control to low RPM. Now, with the feathering switch in normal position, the manual propeller switch to the dead engine in fixed pitch position and the right governor control in low RPM, we can continue single engine practice flight safely. Unfeathering to resume normal two engine flight takes only four steps. Manual propeller switch is held to increase RPM until 800 is reached and then throw the switch to the automatic position. Right mixture control is set to water rich. Check to make sure that there is sufficient oil and fuel pressure. Open the throttle slowly and as the pressed tone temperature rises, continue advancing it slowly. At 25 inches of manifold pressure, RPM's are also increased until power and propellers on both engines are synchronized. In unfeathering, we have to advance the throttle slowly because the dead engine has cooled off and sudden application of power would be after result from serious backfiring. But no matter if the single engine flight is due to necessity or for the sake of practice, the procedures for flight and landing will be the same. For single engine cruising, satisfactory power is 31 inches of mercury and 2,300 RPM. For single engine climb, 37 inches of mercury and 2,600 RPM are satisfactory. Use of more power is unnecessary and depends on the weight conditions of the plane. At an altitude of 20,000 feet, the 38 on one 1150 horsepower engine can hit 205 miles an hour indicated airspeed. Figuring pressure and outside air temperature, the true speed is actually about 282 miles an hour. Loss of range in flying on one engine is about 20%. In cases of prolonged single engine flight, fuel will have to be drawn from the tanks of the dead engine. Now, Bill, you reach over to do this. First, turn the selector to the tank which is to supply fuel. Then set the cross-speed valve switch to cross-speed position and turn the other selector off. The single engine maneuvers we're about to go through are to show the flexibility of the ship and are recommended only for combat emergency. A single engine aileron roll is simple enough. But the engine design, as we know, doesn't allow inverted flight of more than 10 seconds due to the loss of oil pressure. The single engine stall characteristics are at least the equal of most single engine planes. The power stall occurs at 90 miles indicated and the recovery is the same as with two engines. Now, here's the stall. There's a big change in directional trim with change in speed comparable to the torque effect in single engine airplanes. This is more pronounced in the slow speed range. At high speed, the trim approaches the normal for a twin-engine operation. And now, while we're heading back for a landing, there's one important thing to keep in mind. Never count on a two-engine plane maintaining altitude on one engine with both the gear and flaps pulled out. The landing approach is made at 2,600 rpm with 20 inches of manifold pressure. At about 160, gear is let down. Tab control will be set at zero because there's very little torque with low power. At 135 miles an hour, flaps are extended 50%. Power and speed are decreased in the approach pattern, but 120 is maintained throughout the approach. Once full flaps are extended, the landing must be made. There is no choice in the matter. So only extend flaps 100% when you see it's in the bag. Retard the throttle and come in over the fence at 110. Then flare out, making contact at between 95 and 100 miles an hour. Knowing how easy that baby flies on one engine, I'd never have bothered. Well, it's not easy, and it's not hard. Just know how it works. Some idea what I mean. It's quite an approach on single engine. It's definitely bad. It's after results in undershooting the field. The high approach can be made by diving down and leveling off short of the field. But the recommended approach has been found to be the easiest as well as the safest. It's okay to use some parts. You actually contact the ground. What engines quit? He still got another engine. He made it, but boy, come here. I want to show you something. I think that's Tony Levere. Tony, simulate single engine failure on takeoff. Okay, my law. The engine is at 120. Power is reduced and hard left rudder to check yaw. Power increased. Drop tank release button punch to drop the tank. Right mixed to control off. Full feather right of color. Right throttle off. The other procedures are carried out while level flight is maintained until 140 miles an hour. And now he climbs to a safe altitude. Remember, Bill, this is your first crack at it, so take it easy. Nose wheel straight. Drop tank switch at safe. Selectors on. Switching from front to right booster pump off and set the cut throttle. Right throttle off. Hard left rudder to check yaw. Mix your control to idle cutoff. Right propeller feathered up. Right engine is dead. Closing right pressed on shutter and right oil cooler flap. How's about setting the controls for unfeathering? Uh-oh. Feathering switch in normal position. Manual propeller switch in fixed position. Right governor control in low RPM. All set and smooth as silk. Nice going. Now circle for landing. 2600 RPM with 20 inches. Tap control set at zero. Gear down at 160. 50% flat. It's in the bag. 48 is a weapon. Does not have to take a back seat to any plane in the world. It's a man's airplane and versatile. But remember that it is an airplane and don't lose respect for it. Learn to take advantage of its strong features. Both of safety and attack. The skies belong to you.