The following is a presentation of TFNN. The TFNN Bull Bear Trading Hour, every trading day, live at 10 a.m. Eastern. Call now, toll free at<PHONE_NUMBER> or internationally at<PHONE_NUMBER>. The TFNN Bull Bear Trading Hour. Now, Tommy and Tommy O'Brien. Welcome folks, appreciate you growling and prowling with us. We have the Dow industry is up 65, Nasdaq is up 40, S&P's up 15.5. Gold contract down 80 cents, 12 80 and ounce. We get silver up 3 cents, $14.44. Gold did reject lower price out here this morning. It's going to be interesting to see if it can catch a bid. Light Sweet Crude, flat $58.99. Now Light Sweet Crude rejected lower price out here yesterday. We had the API numbers out last night. We'll get EIA this morning. Yes, I believe so. 11 a.m. We get natural gas and oil, I believe today. Yeah, with the holiday, right? You got it. Notes and bonds. You got the 10-year note. As well, 10-year note down 10 ticks. 125, 10. 30 year down 16, 150, 208. They continued higher yesterday folks. They had the price. They had the volume. They're pulling back today with anemic volume. So they continue to want higher price, lower yield. King Dollar. King Dollar, 156, trading 98, 150. King Dollar is going after that high once again. Each and every time we get up to that high, volume dies. Each and every time that we lay back down, volume dies. The battle continues in King Dollar. Euro. The Euro is at 111 to 1 U.S. Dollar. The yen is at 109.87. And the pound is trading out here at 126 to 1 U.S. Dollar. Let's go over to our M.M. Mr. Kevin Hicks, a TD Ameritrade, Pick a Swim. As we do every Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday. And don't forget folks, you want to understand option, option strategies, futures. Great show. 11 to 12. Each and every time, every trading day. Kevin and his team, they set up the strategies. Today we're going to be taking a ride in an Uber. Uber's coming out with their numbers after the close. Oh boy, some volatility. We'll see how much they're going to lose. Yeah. And if you haven't test driven yet, folks, the Think A Swim platform, it's an outstanding platform. Come over to our website at TFNN. Hit the banner. Bring it up. They'll allow you to trade the paper money. Go trade right along with Kevin and his team. Kevin Hicks, what's going on? Good morning, Tom. Good morning, Tommy. How's everybody doing? Good. Good. It's a quick week. You know, this is like the weeks that you forget what day it is. You know what I mean? Exactly. Exactly. You know, guys, here's the feeling. And here's the twisted mind of a trader. How can a Dow, Dow, Dow 200 feel like an update? Yes. It's because midday it was down 400. And it rallied back 200 points. And Dow 200 felt up. You know, and that's the kind of the twisted mind that a trader has. You nibbled on them down 400. It was like you watched a 200-point rally. Yeah, there's no doubt, man. Last night when I was doing the second hour, that's exactly how I started. I said, well, you know, guess what? It was buying at the close. Oh, for sure. Exactly. Exactly, though. And that is the sick-quisted profession that we've chosen. And how we look at a day like start out down 400 right around noon Eastern time or 11 Chicago time, it rallied 200 points from that on. It was a pretty good afternoon for trading, actually. No, there's no doubt. And, you know, we'll see if this is just going to be a big consolidation. But you know what? If it is, folks, okay, it's not the end of the world. The trade is paradise because the spread is so large in that consolidation, you know? So, you know, the GDP came out this morning.  Right, right. I mean, hey, today's GDP number, another number. Think about this, guys. Here's another number, strong GDP, strong and expected 3.1, consumer spending 1.3, and then the two inflationary numbers missed. You know? Another strong economy with low inflation. So, here we go again with, you know, numbers that show strength in the economy, but also at the same time showing no inflation. Right.  You know, we'll find out how that goes. But when I look at, like, where we are right now, it's like, okay, hold it.  Like, I mean, in 2007, 2008, you knew that no matter what restaurant you went to, everyone was talking about refinancing, buying boats, buying something else with that. You know what I'm saying? And I just don't see something out here right now that can change in a second. You know what I mean? Right. But it can be something that, you know, you can get pullbacks, meaning, yeah, you might, you know, get slower growth, but I just don't see something just yet that can be that, you know, I don't see people over their head on debt. That's what I really don't see. No, Tom, I don't either. And think about it. Tuesday, when Redbook came out, you know, I'm sorry, Wednesday this week, Redbook came out 5.7%. The U.S. consumer, consumer spending in this number that we saw today, 1.3%. The consumer is still alive and well. The, you know, the consumer confidence numbers, all the forward-looking indicators, a lot of them still look really good. So does that say can the market sell off 3%, 4%, 5%? Absolutely it can't. So, but when I get my heart rate really high in an environment like this, no, I wouldn't, I wouldn't at all. It's going to be interesting. What I can't quite figure out is that, you know, the dollar is keep going after these highs, but yet the bond market wants higher price and, you know, that's lower interest rates.  You know, but. Well, you know, Tom, I think personally that so much of what you're seeing, the premium in the U.S. dollar, it's from Brexit. And it's from, you know, what you see with the British pound and the euro and everything may have going on there, how low those currencies are. I think that's put, got some serious premium in the U.S. dollar. So that's what I, and it's been that way for a while.  With, with Theresa May resign, they're no closer to a resolution on Brexit. Right. So even though they, now they have a hard date and they have something that looks like they've had a hard day before. So I really think that's keeping premium in the dollar and keeping it at these high levels. No, I could see that. I could see that.  You know what I mean? Like, okay, well, and then all of a sudden it's like, it's almost like everything else, the debt seal and everything else, it seems, everything seems to get kicked down the can and then it's all right. I mean, if I remember anything, remember Greece, Greece was supposed to fall apart and all of a sudden we haven't heard about it in six years. It's like, okay. Yeah, it's amazing. Politicians, not only in the United States, but in Europe too, they do love deadlines, don't they? Yeah. They love the brinksmanship of a good deadline. They gotta love it. So what are we going to be talking about today, Kevin? You know, today, you know, even though Uber's coming out with earnings, we don't think that it's one that you're going to want to trade just yet. We're watching some, the volume out of Uber, things like that. Costco's got earnings after the battle. Ulta, the beauty company, and then Gap stores. Yeah. We've got three really good ones for late in the earnings season that we're going to look at and we're going to cover those. You know, some of the, you know, Costco will be a great trader. We'll look at that real hard. No doubt. Folks, right here, 45 minutes from now, outstanding program. Kevin, you have a great day, a great weekend, safe weekend, and of course, we look forward to speaking in next Tuesday. Thanks for having me on, guys. Have a great day. Thanks, Kevin. Stay right there, folks. Tommy and I are coming right back. We have the Dow Industries up 16. Now it's like up 35. SAP's up 14. Come right back. 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Sign up today. Tfnn has launched our brand-new website. You can still visit us at the same tfnn.com URL, but when you do, you'll see a new and improved homepage with a much simpler navigation, whether you're watching Tiger TV live in high definition or just accessing your newsletter subscriptions. We even have new pricing in six months and yearly options. Check out the new tfnn.com now and experience all the upgrades. tfnn.com, educating investors. Call now toll-free at 1-877-927-6648. Internationally at<PHONE_NUMBER>. 65 Nasdaq's up 39. S&Ps are up 15. And let's take a look at some of the higher volume equities. We'll see if we get any juice in this market out here today. We have advanced micro up 30 cents. Let's see, micro on tech is up 62. Beyond meat, man. It's pretty amazing. Up at buck, that's at $98 right now. Months to move coming off that IPO. Verizon, I'm not quite sure what's going on with Verizon. I think they got it downgrade somewhere. Okay, so that's not that bad. It's down to buck 30, but that's actually coming back with some light volume. So oil, we got oil, right? We got natural gas, right? Oh, that's right. Oil is 11. Okay, natural gas. So when we get a Monday holiday, normally for some reason, we'll have to get exactly why this breaks down the way it does. But natural gas stays where it is. Right. Thursdays at 10.30, and oil moves from Wednesday, gets pushed back a day and a half hour. So oil is coming at 11 a.m. today. Closing these down. We'll pull up the natural gas, jump into this contract. So we're looking at the July natural gas, trading $257. Always a little bit unfortunate when we're not trading on the fives, because that's where these are going to set up. As I already know, you're not going to have a contract that has a down and up exposure from $257. So you're going to have to choose no matter where we are. $260 is where they line up for... Two pennies and three pennies is a lot in the natural gas market, folks. Yeah, exactly, right. So let's just see where they line up, because maybe if you're bullish or bearish buyers, you might have a trade in here that you like. So $260 to the upside, huge out-of-the-money trade, right? I mean, you're two and a half pennies about outside of the money, so that one's going to be the cheap one for $7. And then your bearish one is going to be the one that's kind of much closer to market, where you're selling it. You're selling for $28. Now, the key here is this is really a bearish trade, right? Yeah. Because you're getting into it at $257.2. I'd acclimate my brain. The market is trading $257.6. So you're selling it four ticks below the market, right? Yeah. So that's your premium that you're selling it for, that you're paying, basically, for the right to have a max loss of... call it $30 of commissions for a max profit of $170. And, you know, if you almost want, like, some insurance to the upside, if you're really looking for exposure one way or the other, you can make that bullish trade. But really, when these set up, I like to point out, you know, really, if you're a bearish trader, that would be the trade, right? Yes. You know, as opposed to... Right. And let's just see where the nudes line up. So that was $28 to the downside for $11. So let's just see where... Instead of setting up both, let's see where... See, this is interesting. Let me put... And you know what? We're ticking around as this is happening. Yeah. I'm going to pull up the $11s again to put them side by side. So the only difference here... Here's your 11 a.m. Here's your noon. Now, this is remarkable, man. They're ticking the same. Yeah. Right? What is going on? This is why you should practice on this, folks. Yeah. And why you'd always want to, like, consider your options, right? This is why we go through each one. We look at the price. We look at how they're getting priced. Look at this. I agree. My brain is trying to say, are we missing something? Is something going on? If you're not watching Tiger TV, folks, what's happening is that the bid and offer is the exact same on the $11 and the $12. So you're not paying anything for the $12. And they're the same exact price points. I don't think we've ever seen it like that. No, I agree. Where I'd almost say, wait a second, is the news coming down, right? But we checked it already. The news is coming down, as in the numbers are coming at $10.30. Again, that's always something you got to be aware of, right? Who knows? They could have been delayed. That's why you want to be used to the premium. We've pulled it up before, and we said, wait a second, there's no premium in this. And it's been something like this, like a Monday holiday. Oh, hold on. The number's not even until tomorrow. Right. But yeah, what's going on, man? What is going on? So what would we do? Well, you'd close the 11s because only a sucker would pay the same price for an 11 for a new. And now let's just see where the 230s line up. Now, these are going to have a bigger expansion in terms of you have 50 cents, all right? But realistically, they're not going to make you pay a lot more for the exposure down to 210 versus 240 because the odds that you get to move below 240 by 230 are literally close to zero. So most of this is just the two and a half hours. And even then, man, they're charging you two tenths of a penny to hold that contract for two and a half hours extra. Not bad, in my opinion, if you're bearish, man. So just pulling it out. So these would be the two you'd really want to take a look at, in my opinion, as in if you're bearish, the number's coming down the pipeline. We're 22 ticks below 260, right? We're trading at 257.8. So 22 of these dollars are basically intrinsic value. So you're really paying $5 in premium for the noon. You're paying $7 in premium for the 2.30. Not bad, man. Not bad at all.  Yep. You got to be right in terms of the direction. You got to be right in for some volatility. But nonetheless, man, that's not a lot of premium. Let's see. And that's been a little bit of a calm market lately compared to what we saw. Was it the Junes or what? Do you know? July, I believe. July, okay. I'm the G. You can check back, but I think it was July. G and maybe. There we go. And can I just, before you do it all, I just want to make sure we'll pull it up and pull it back down. Yes, July. Perfect. Okay, cool. So now these are delayed quotes here, folks. Just in case I just want to see. Yeah. And we're pretty close, though, to where we are. Oh, look at this, man. And that's where, you know, I had mentioned where we're, I mean, look at that trading range, right? From 257 to 270 over the span of how far we go back, man, to the middle of April at least. Yeah. And so some of that getting priced in, I would assume. No, totally. Yeah. So that's, this is interesting, man, because the, you know, it would look to me like 254 is game, you know?   So it's like gave it up today this morning. That's to see, you know, things sticking out like a sore thumb down there. We'll see what happens. So that bearish side doesn't look that bad, man. Pretty wild. And I think they're looking for, I just put in here, so this is where they pull up, right? You can put up your whisper number you get to choose. So you think it might be coming down maybe?  So they're looking for about a build of, is that 100,000 maybe billion cubic feet? Yeah. Or 100 billion cubic feet. All right, put in 145. Good. Because if you're looking for a downward move, it should be a bigger number. That's right. Bigger supply, cheaper prices, the same amount of natural gas. So we get the numbers at 1030, man. Let's jump back to the contract one more time. Yeah. So we've been drifting up a little bit actually as we've been looking at this, because we're now only about 1.6 pennies away from that 260 price point. And let's just see how these line up again. There's your 230. So now you're looking at about 25 bucks. You're looking at about 23. And let's just see if they're still lining up the identical. There's your 11. Whoops. There's your 11 a.m. Close that. There's your noon. Identical. Pretty remarkable, man. Yeah. Pretty remarkable. Someone put the wrong finger on the user computer or whatever, dude, because that is, you know, that isn't how it's supposed to work. Oh, there's a line. Yep. Yeah. So that's where you can take advantage of everything, folks. Yeah. Because we're on the side of thinking about buying that, right? Paying the premium. Right. Maybe the buyers of premium for looking for volatility. Well, somebody's on the side that's selling that premium. Right. So who's the person on the side selling the premium, saying, I'll sell you the same amount of premium for a half hour of exposure, will I do for 90 minutes of exposure? Right. Yeah. No. Pretty wild. Yeah. We'll get those numbers out. Those numbers are going to come out in four minutes. Dow right now is up 73. You get the Nasdaq up 39. S&Ps are up 16. Gold. Gold's bottom line. Rejected lower price. Silver as well. Stay right there, folks. Tommy and I are going to come right back with those gas numbers. Hi, folks. Tom O'Brien here. If you'd like to get my daily newsletter and market insights, then now is a great time to sign up for a 30-day free trial. Every morning by 9.30, I send out my morning letter to subscribers with market commentary on a variety of markets, currencies, and commodities to keep investors up-to-date on the day's trading action. 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We are so confident that you're going to love this new charting software that will even give you a 30-day unconditional money-back guarantee. Don't miss out on this incredible new piece of software. Get your copy of the Art of Timing the Trade Chart today by visiting TFNN.com. This segment is brought to you by Think or Swim. For more information, just click the Think or Swim banner on the front page of TFNN.com. That was up $72. That's all right. That's a natural gas. So natural gas, $114. Yeah. So the estimate was about a rise of $100, right? Looks like we went a little bit bigger than we maybe should have. But the rise is $114 that should see a pullback in prices jumping back to the chart. There you go. A little bit of a pullback to the tune of two, two-and-a-half pennies. This way you see, man, not bad. When you're paying half a penny, two-tenths of a penny in premium for that type of defined risk, and you get a jump of we're almost approaching now three pennies.  These are five-minute bars. We closed the bar that we were looking at at $258.11. We're now more than three pennies below that level. Yeah. So we'll see. But a little bit of action for sure. It's kind of nice in that the way that they were setting up, it was all bearish exposure because you had about two pennies of intrinsic value on those sides, and it's not stopping just yet. Let's just see out of curiosity if they're still ticking. Now, these are the 11s and noons, and they're still ticking identical, which is remarkable because you can still make that trade. Let's just say, all right, now it's bearish. Maybe you think it's really going to fall even further, right? Right. Well, you could still, you could be selling it right here, right? You're risking 60. You go out to noon. Yeah. To make 140, while you're risking 60, you make 140, the same exact trade, and you got till noon as opposed to 11. So pretty cool. We'll see where it shakes out. That was wild. Yeah. Let's say a lumber, LUMB. Let's see if I can pull up this lumber. So we got a question first time in years on the buy side of LUMB futures. Let's see if LUMBers maybe bought them here. So lumber, I guess I can bring up July first. So, well, okay. So that's 251. Let me pull up LUMB. What are you saying, 251? So I see 306 there. Yeah. I'm looking at the, I just want to see if I can get a bogus contract. If you just go to the active contract, that's going to bring you always to it. Good. Okay. So, okay. So this is the, yeah, this is the July contract. Look at that trash in yesterday. That's what they're saying. Maybe at bottom Wednesday at 286. Yeah. So what happens is that when I see something like this, folks, with that monster volume down there, to me that wants to get tested. Yeah. It's a test of 286 would be pretty good. Let me just pull this back a little bit more. So LB, let me put this on a continuous contract. Commodity. Look at that move. That's pretty good. So we went from 444, a board foot down to 286.  Look at that. Definitely. Yeah. I can definitely see what you're looking at. I mean, I'd let it test those lows again before I jump in there, but I can definitely see what you're looking at there. Another question about the metals. If you do get the goal reports, it's going to be an update. And as soon as we get off by noon, I like how this thing is set up. What you had out here today is that you got a rejection. And it's not just the rejection out here this morning. You know, what we have is that one second, a new contract, GCQ. We're on Q right now, folks. All right. Yeah. Okay. So what you have out here is that we rejected 1279 this morning. You're at 1286. And this is, looks to me like it's on the verge of basically going topside once again. And I like the setup, meaning where we are in the week also. And what you have is that you have a lot of these equities. That look to me like they want to break topside. You know, an Eco Eagle is a 41, let's say Royal Gold. Yeah, the Royal doesn't look that great. So when I ask why you say that, you just say they look like they're going to break topside. Because I'm saying why. What is, I look at some of them and I see. What has happened is that you have been going sideways for a long period of time. Like Newmont here, right? So up versus down just says, because that was my question on the last stock. I forget which one you were just looking at. Just had a long consolidation. I think that was the first one I pulled up. Yeah. And so I see that consolidation, but where do you see up versus down? So what you have is this, okay? So you had, you had pop topside on April 26th. Okay. You have volume up here. That broke the downtrend. That you know, if you take a look at this, that broke your downtrend. Then you're building cars going sideways. Your first leg down, you can see this leg down here. It's 1.4 million chairs. Well, you're going into 1.6 million chairs. You're going into two million chairs. It comes back down again. 1.6. Still all right. This pop up here last week, we had volume. Last Thursday we had volume. Then you back down with light volume. So, you know, when I look at this, this looks to me that the, you know, you have some action here. The doll, if we go over to the doll, this has been the, you know, the dollar index, no doubt would have to, to me, it would say that, okay, you have to reject higher price again. I must be in the wrong contract here too. We'll see a DX, let me go DX, generic. Where's that DX? Spot right. DX, Q, DX, N. No. Stick with the one I'm on, I guess. The dollar, you know, bottom line still looks like it's, wants higher price, you know, so that's divergence, man, you know, that 98, 260, that's game, you know, there's no volume up there, but we've been dealing with this since last October, which is pretty wild, man. I mean, you know, we're coming into June. So, um, and what you do have is that coming into the end of this week, you know, normally what ends up happening is that on Friday, the gold market can have some problems. Um, I don't expect that. Let's just look at Silver's second. So, what, what Silver did do is that Silver saved itself. Silver, Silver got trashed on Tuesday, came back inside its range, and Silver has been the weakest, you know, metal out here. So, we'll see where this baby's going to shake out. Um, let's take a peek back at natural gas. Look at that. Yeah, so just kind of holding at those lows, $254. Would have been a nice trade on that bear side, risking 22, 25 bucks, and we're now at about almost 60 on that contract. Yeah, no doubt. Uh, we go take a look at, uh, let's go take a look at Amazon. So, Amazon, yeah, it's up $5. Amazon yesterday, folks. This is something to really keep your eye on now. This is subtle, but what we did with Amazon, because my take is that, we're going lower in the marketplace, right? So, this is the building cause to basically break this level. And if you, if you take a look at Amazon, what you're going to see is that you had some sellers out here on the 23rd, $4.4 million. You go higher with 3.2. And then yesterday, there's not a lot of movement, but you went 4.2 again. You know, that's telling me that this thing is building cause to come over here somewhere like 1736. So, we'll see where that's going to shake out. The, the saftonone, that's, we'll go Costco. C-O-S-T. Yeah, you stay right there, folks. Tom and I are going to come right back and go through, uh, DXU. Thanks, Peter. Appreciate it, man. Dow Industries, up 66, Nasdaq up 39. S&Ps up 15. You stay right there, folks. Yeah. If you are in the CD market and looking for a secure investment, the Tiger First Mortgage Program may work for you. The security for these first mortgages are building lots in the tax opportunity zone in St. Petersburg, Florida. 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You can find Jack every trading day folks at Major League Trading.com. That's Major League Trading.com. Jack Gleason, what's going on brother? What's going on guys over here? I'm actually in my office right now so I've just been trading no longer from home. I mean, I do trade from home and not now but I'm trading with a friend of mine in my office here. So back in Chicago, no longer in the Arizona desert. Weather isn't as nice here. It's raining again today but you know, I have a couple of different markets that I'm looking at. Now, oil we talked about last week had a nice big breakdown but huge. Came into a huge level that I've been waiting for. That support level had bounced off I've been like a 57-20 zone. If you look at the consolidation that we broke out of going back to February.  Whatever the term you want to use those highs going back to like February 22nd, 25th even in the beginning of March. Re-tested. So at 57-20 to 57 level, it's really, really watching here. And then, so I took, I'm actually long, some gold right now as well, which is probably, I know that's the one we always like to talk about. But nice, if you guys look at the continuous contract, now do you guys chart on think or swim usually or what do you chart on? Continuous contract and gold? Low of the 21st to that high that we put in yesterday on the 29th. That 50% or traceman here is at 1279 half on the continuous. Okay. That had a really good reaction so far today, which also kind of filled the gap from the rollover to the Q19 contract. And so that would target on a continuation up to 1295.4. So I'm just looking for a day trade up here, which I'll be hopefully filled soon. But other than that guys, this S&P one of the bigger levels I'm watching here is this halfway back short from the 50% or traceman from the high of last Friday, which is 2842 to the low, which is 2766 quarter that halfway back that divided by two numbers going to be 2804, which is actually just below 2804, whether we get up there today, possibly tomorrow, I see that it's being a really heavy resistance level moving forward. It's also the close of that first breakdown day on Tuesday. So I'm really going to be paying close attention to that, but I don't really have much support to like 2740. So unless the shorts really, really get squeezed here, I just see this market trending lower. Yeah. So this is well, letting you'll never trade a bear market before. Yeah. Well, seriously, it's pretty cool. Right. I mean, that's the bottom line. There's always these markets, you know, so. Yeah, I'm just so used to like trading on the smaller timeframe compared to like probably most traders who are part of my generation. A lot of traders that I know, like, you know, they kind of swing trading.  There's gold popping up for me. Probably because I jumped on the show. Probably. No, totally. Yeah. No, this, I like how gold we were just talking right before you get on. I like how this thing is setting up, man. You know, all's you need now is the dollar fall apart, they rejected that lower price.  I haven't looked at silver in a while, but Don't look at it. It's don't look at it. It's actually silver's holding the halfway back long from the lows of Tuesday as well. So that's going to target up at least 1449 here. I mean, that's pretty close to getting hit. I'll probably get hit today. But what I'm really looking for actually is all this oil inventory report traded all the way from 5940 down to the 57s back up in the overnight session getting up to 5960. I mean, the volatility in oil right now, that's my go-to trading market. Just had a lot of range expansion, big, big reversal candle yesterday. So I'm hoping we can continue continue higher from here. It might be crying if we don't. Well, you're going to wait to see the 11 o'clock numbers, right? Yeah, wait for, you know, one around, it was 1030. I'm like, all right, here it comes, here it comes. And I was like, what's going on? Yeah, we've done that. We've done it, exactly. Exactly.  So they were looking for a hundred. So you had gas pullback about two, three, four pennies. Yeah, gave it up a bit. Yeah, no doubt. It's like looking at it on those inventory numbers, just like that. So that's usually Thursday, 1030 Eastern time. So we'll look at maybe some volatility, but as we're just looking at it, I mean, it's been a pretty calm market for such an ugly chart. I mean, it almost looks like the VIX. If you go to the daily, the way it popped in November on that big short squeeze. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Morning. But yeah, other than that, the winter and gas still goes down. It's like, really? Yeah, so no doubt. The widowmaker, the widowmaker. That's a fact, man. There's no doubt about it. There's no doubt about it. This S&P is going to get interesting here because it looks like, you know, we just gave up like nine points. With 99. Yeah, I gave up seven points. Yeah, I gave up seven. You know, it's just if this thing can get back below the value areas for today. So value area high is, let's see, it's 2785. If we start dipping back below into 2785 later on the day, like we can't hold about that. We're going to get swooshed, you know, at least back down to low 70s. Yeah. So that'll be something to watch later today if it ends up playing out that way. But I'd like to see if we can hold about these overnight highs at 92, maybe we'll get up to like 2804. That's what I'd be looking for. And then we'll see if we can take a look at the oil, the continuous contract in oil and the S&P. You know, oil is like a head of the S&P like about the last year for about a week. So it's going to be intriguing, you know, if you take a look at that, you'll see what I'm talking about. Oil seems to, if oil is going down, S&P wants down. Oil is going up, S&P seems to want to go up. So it's, you know, it's like, okay, you know, it's pretty cool market in general. Do you know what I mean? Yeah, I can see it. I can see it definitely leading the move. I mean, you know, oil really started squeezing yesterday at noon and then S&P kind of got that late day squeeze yesterday. So, I mean, I think if we, I do think I normally don't try to correlate those markets to, but in this specific circumstance, I think, you know, just on a shorter timeframe, if oil moves down, I can see the S&P getting below that value area . But that'll, it'll be the trades I'm looking at here today. And then, you know, like I said, this gold, I really like the way this gold is reacting that happened. Totally. Well, welcome back to Chicago, brother. Hey, I'll catch you guys this week. Take care. You have a great lot of safe, what we look for is speaking next Thursday, Jack. And listen, folks, you can check out Jack every trading day with the best fees of 12 and a half. So, way back. I'm certain you are or strive to be one of the best of the best at everything you do in life. It's the most common trade that we Tigers and Tigers share. If you're looking to become the best of the best when it comes to managing your money, let me teach you to do what most wealth managers tell you can't be done, which is how to time the markets. I'm Steve Rhodes, author of the ranking as their number one market timer in the nation for the S&P 500 for the last 12, 6 and 3 months. Timer digest also ranks me as the number one market timer for gold as well. The fact is, markets can be timed and I'll teach you the exact set of tools that I use that has transformed me into one of the best at what I do. Sign up for Mastering Probability today by clicking on the newsletter and extraordinary set of tools as well as provide great market calls to. Sign up today. It's amazing to think that Tom O'Brien started his weekly gold report 17 years ago with the first issue published April 7, 2002 when gold was trading at under $300 per ounce. Gold peaked at more than $1,900 in 2011 and after spending many years consolidating at lower prices gold may be poised for its next big run. Tom O'Brien publishes every Monday morning for subscribers consisting of coverage of the XAU, HUI, GDX, the Dollar, Bonds, South African Rand as well as 25 different mining equities with specific buy-sell recommendations. As of April 1 of this year the gold report currently has 8 active positions with an average unrealized profit of almost 8% for each open trade. 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For more information just click the Think or Swim banner on the front page of tfnn.com Down seven Nasdaq is up 21 S&P's are off seven and a half they just hit that down negative territory for the Dow negative territory for the Dow watch out and folks as you come over to our website at tfnn you want to understand this Taz profile scanner a great piece of software Steve Dahl myself June 19th Yeah listening to you last night three weeks from yesterday right now remarkable so if you get in there at least get a month you get a money back guarantee for that month you're only three weeks away as you get into that um so encourage people check it out right on the front page Taz profile scanner great piece of software you can get in there $97 a month and uh it's really amazing what they do with that software too it's worth trying it I mean you know guess what don't feel bad if you're just coming in and you want the money back at the end of the month that's why it's there it's that powerful it's pretty it's really cool we think if you get a glimpse of it you won't want your money back this is the order page you get to right from the front page if you want to scroll down you can sign up right there $97 all right um if you want to check out some more information right here click here to access the educational videos that Steve Dahl has put together great set of videos man he's got a welcome message for you there and then he just kind of breaks down the dashboard the matrix top 10 scanning filtering and sorting right um Taz says it gives you basically it's pretty cool um and then the boxes the market breath yeah market breath is a big one so the market breath right now folks this is what's cool even intraday you don't have to I'm not encouraging intraday trading but the bottom line is that you're going to see how that changes intraday which is really cool dynamic you got it totally stay right there folks we got a fast market coming up next then our man Mr. Basil Chapman Steve Rhodes I'll be back this afternoon thanks thanks man you


Welcome to the session. Let us discuss the following question. The question says evaluate integral of sine 2x into sine 3x from 0 to pi by 4. Let's now begin with the solution. Let i is equal to integral of sine 2x into sine 3x from 0 to pi by 4. Now we will multiply and divide this integral by 2.  By using this formula we can write 2 sine 2x sine 3x as 0 and upper limit is pi. This is equal to 1 by 2 into integral of cos x minus cos pi pex from 0 to pi to 1 by 2 into integral of cos cos pi pex is sine pi x divided by pi lower limit is 0 and upper limit is pi by 4. The fundamental theorem 2 1 by 2 into sine 5 pi 0 substituted the upper limit and then we have substituted the lower limit. Now this is equal to 1 by 2 into sine pi by


or conjectures to meet the IO and even proven in idealized models. So in this work we provide some negative results for different inputs of pulsation and one could look at it as making progress towards settling the existence of indistinguishability of pulsation. So let us recall the result by Gargetol. So they showed that polynomially secure different inputs of pulsation for circuits does not exist if there exists a digital signature scheme and the hash function and some special purpose superscator for these two schemes, signature scheme and hash function. So then the special purpose superscator is now a lot of assumptions that was introduced by Gargetol and the question is, is it more plausible than the IO? And yes, it indeed looks more plausible and so the conclusion was that different inputs of pulsation is implausible. So what we do is we build on the results of Gargetol and achieve the following claims. First of all, it shows that sub-expansionally secure different inputs of pulsation for Turing machines does not exist if sub-expansionally secure one-way functions exist. So our first theorem actually uses IO in the proof, however, we get this assumption for free when proving the theorem assuming that sub-expansionally secure IO exists by contradiction. So now to compare our result with the result of GJW. So their implausibility result concerns circuits versus ours concerns Turing machines, which is weaker. However, their result uses the special purpose pulsation assumption versus our result uses kind of more concrete assumptions. Moreover, it was previously shown that fully homomorphic encryption along with the IO for circuits and snarks give the IO for Turing machines. So if you are willing to additionally assume fully homomorphic encryption and snarks, then we can lift our results from negative results for Turing machines to circuits. Then one question one could ask is, well, sub-expansion assumptions are they reasonable? Are they reasonable? And we believe that yes, when problems are hard, they appear to be sub-expansionally hard. So now let us recall the construction that was used by Gargato to show their implausibility result and then we will extend it to show our construction. So they construct the generator using a digital signature scheme, a special purpose to obfuscator in the hash function to generate outputs to circuits and auxiliary information. In order to show that the IO is implausible, they show that whatever obfuscator used to obfuscate these two circuits, there exists a distinguisher that can distinguish obfuscation of C0 from obfuscation of C1. They also argue that it is hard to find an input X on which these two circuits are different. So how did they define these things in the following way? Circuit C0 always returns zero. Circuit C1 returns one if and only if it takes the same input and valid message signature pair for verification key that is embedded in the circuits. Circuit C2 takes some obfuscated program as same inputs. This obfuscated program is C tilde. It hashes it to get the message. It uses an embedded secret key to produce a signature for this message and it adds this obfuscated circuit C tilde on this valid message signature pair. So you can see that if you feed an obfuscation of C0 into C2, then it always returns zero whereas if you feed an obfuscation of C1, it always returns one. And so trivially, you can build a distinguisher that tells the part obfuscation of C0 from obfuscation of C1. Now, to argue that it is hard to find an input on which the two circuits are different, Gargoth all assumed that there exists an obfuscator that hides the obfuscated circuit C2 sufficiently good. What does it mean to be sufficiently good? Intuitively, it means that an adversary should not be able to extract the secret key from this circuit or just it should not be helpful to forge any signatures in order to distinguish between circuits C0 and C1. Moreover, we only want to obfuscate this single circuit C2 for any specific digital signature scheme and hash function of your choice. So in all, it seems that special purpose obfuscation is more plausible than different inputs obfuscation. So now, towards our attack, so we do the following changes. Instead of using special purpose obfuscation, we use indistinguishability obfuscation to produce the auxiliary inputs. Furthermore, our generator produces Turing machines instead of circuits. Program M1 accepts only the messages of a specific length k, where k is a fixed polynomial, which is a parameter of our scheme. And Turing machine T2, no longer uses hash function, it merrily produces a signature on the actual Turing machine and tilde that is being taken as inputs. So similar to GGHW, in our case, it is still trivial to distinguish obfuscation of M0 from obfuscation of M1. However, now, the challenging part is proving that it is hard to find an input in which these Turing machines are different. So we do this using a hybrid argument as follows. Our hybrid argument, it trades through every single message of length k, and for each of these messages, it argues that polynomial time adversary is unlikely to produce or forge valid signature for this message. So hybrid game 0 is the original game where the adversary can produce any message signature in order to distinguish M0 from M1. Hybrid game 2 is a power k. It is impossible to win this game because it requires the message of length k to be elixic graphically larger than k1s. And now, every next hybrid game, after 0, it simply increases the counter of what message is acceptable for which the adversary can forge a signature. Now, what we do is we show that the polynomial time adversary can win any subsequent to hybrid games with probability difference less than sub-expansionally small. And we show that, in fact, there is a way to choose the parameters such that the number of games from 0 to the power k probability still remains sub-expansionally small. So now, in fact, each of the transitions, each of the exponential number transitions in this hybrid game consists of three transitions itself, meaning there are two more games in between. For these games, I need to introduce consistent, punchable signature schemes which we define and build, and then I will return back and show how these transitions happen. So we define consistent, punchable signature schemes, which are signature schemes with the following two properties. First of all, they should be puncturable, meaning that you can take a secret key, a secret signing key, puncture it to some message, and produce a punctured secret key such that it is possible to use the punctured key to sign every message except for the star. Second property that we need is this signature scheme should be consistent, meaning that whenever you sign a message using the original signing key or the punctured signing key, so unless this message is the punctured message, the produced signatures should be the same. Now, security level, security requires selective puncturable unfurgeability. That means that we consider the following game. A polynomial time under 3a chooses a challenge message mstar, and it receives a back verification key and a secret key that is punctured at mstar. It is an ask to forge a valid signature for mstar. So this under construction essentially mimics the idea of PPFs, and we get it by obfuscating PPFs, and in fact the construction is the same as the high water signatures. So now how do we do these three transitions in between every two hybrid games? So we'll use a technique which again mimics the PPF plus IU technique by the high waters where the first transition will be by security. If IU, the second transition, digital signature scheme, the third transition again IO. So how we do this is, so habit game zero uses an auxiliary formation that is in the position of M2, whereas when switching to game zero A, we replace circuit M2 by circuit M3. Circuit M3 is functionally equivalent to circuit M2, except that it's secret key punctured, and this punctured input is processed separately in the second line, and so we can use security if IO. Next, going from game zero A to game zero B, we merely change the reading condition of the security game, meaning in this case it would require rather than message being any message, it would require it to be at least all zeros and one at the end. So now security of digital signature scheme is sufficient here because in both games, the secret key is punctured at message all zeros. So if an adversary can win one of these games, this probability significantly different than another, then it would be able to break the security of digital signature scheme. Finally, we simply revert back auxiliary information from prosecution of M3 to prosecution of M2. So finally, so regarding, so in order to construct such generator, we have to choose a number of parameters and a lot of technical details are emitted from this talk, and in particular, a big challenge avoiding circular dependencies between these parameters. So most of the extensions one can attempt leads to introducing the circular dependencies and some examples of limitations that we have, because of this is that first, our results only apply to the most general case when you want to obfuscate Turing machines with unbounded input, whereas if you a priori bound the maximum input of Turing machines, you obfuscate by some fixed polynomial, then our results no longer apply. And second, Belarito introduced proposed to require that the auxiliary information that is returned by the generator, its size should be smaller than the size of each of the programs. So again, our construction can, so our result does not apply to this case, and this is in contrast to GGHW who managed to find the workaround for this by assuming a slightly stronger version of special purpose obfuscation. Yeah, thank you. Questions? So in your counter example, you generate a secret key for signing and to generate the two circuits M0 and M1, okay, and then you don't give this secret key to be able to find X such that M0 of X is equal to, is different from M1 of X, but you give this secret key to be able to distinguish obfuscated M0 and the obfuscated M1. So would it be more fair to give the same information to try to find X and to try to distinguish the two obfuscated circuits? Sir, you understand the last thing you said? So to distinguish the obfuscated M0 and the obfuscated M1, you need a secret key, but you don't give the secret key to be able to find X such that M0 of X is different from M1 of X. So you do know the secret key itself, but you need to make sure that, so technically, if oxygen information is empty, then finding an input to which these two circuits are different amounts to essentially existential forgery. So we would get it easily by existential forgery of digital signature scheme. So what we want from obfuscation is that it kind of sufficient, it hides secret key sufficiently good in some sense. So it doesn't necessarily mean that the adversary wants the secret key itself, but it should not be able to produce the signatures. Can you give some intuition on why removing the hash function was crucial for using IO? So you mean the hash function is the one which was used in GGHW and not in our construction. So this... So one reason is to avoid circular dependencies. So in our case, we use stirring machines, so it's not as crucial. One more reason that was present in GGHW is that you do not want to produce... You do not want to see multiple messages that produce the same signature. So you want some kind of unpredictability, because if many messages map to the same signature, it might be possible to use the circuit C2, even if it's perfectly obfuscated to leak the signature bit by bit, if you have the same signature many times. So like one Turing machine, it was the first bit of the signature, another the second, and if the signature is the same, then it would leak. But the main reason is essentially that after switching to Turing machines, we just don't need kind of this hash function, because we avoid circular dependencies in other ways. Does your result apply to public in the IO? No, it does not apply to public in the IO, because in public in the IO, you would require... All the randomness used to produce the information to be public, but in our case, we actually care that the secret key is embedded in C2 remains secret. Okay, let's thank both speakers in the session.


I wanted to go through the story of the tragedy of Fatma Zahara, but just one specific part of that story, one that breaks all of our hearts. And before I read into it, I want to bring you a man, Ali ibn Abitari, who sits there and ponders what had happened, what would have happened if the Prophet had not told Ali be patient, and he was not handcuffed by his patients, and he could stand there and take revenge on the people who hurt our Lady Fatma Zahara. He stands there and he says, if only, if only I were not handcuffed by the Prophet's words, if only, if only patients did not become my biggest enemy, if only I was battling Marhab with the Prophet watching me, if only I were not in chains with my burning house taunting me, if only revelation descended like it once did to my house, if only evillation were not so burdensome and weighty, if only not so many trials came with being named Ali, I faced ten thousand at Hunayn, but I wish I wouldn't face today, if only Allah wanted me to be the Ali of Badr only, where I'd tear the battle in two, killing half of them easily, if only the house of Allah had kept me within its axis, no axis would break it open before my mother it gave way, but here we are, Muhammad is gone and Islam had begun, I cradle Islam like a child in its infancy, the Prophet's anger is fueled and I see his grave shaking and I become the shattering door of Muhammad's shaking city, if only my great Lord revealed the second Surat al-Tawbah and told me kill them, wherever you find them the men of idolatry, I'd become a lion again in battle only without Ahmed meaning it would be war, but without Allah's mercy, if only my Dhulfiqar came alive and said Bismillah and the same way men feast, I would feast on my enemy, the enemy in me, I'd defeat as I feast on their flesh defending Zahra and oneness of Allah and belief in Allah, the same thing really, I'd become a dragon and Arabia would be in awe and take back my kingdom for the orphan, the poor and needy, I'd become a lion defending its women and its pride, except its women with the planets of the sky, I'd leave my house to the sound of those who I've killed, cheering my name, I'd leave my house to the sound of those who I've killed, cheering my name, I'd unsheath my sword and hear Allah himself cry, I'd come back bathed in their blood with not a cut on my body and that's the only time anything negus would ever touch me, if only men were good and loved Allah and loved beauty and wanted goodness for this world and not tragedy after tragedy, if only men did not want to see orphans cry and widows lonely, I did not want the caliphate but I did want to kill poverty, I do not want power but I want to see all men fed, I do not want a throne, I want a mountain of bread I can give away, I am the justice of Allah manifested on this earth, it's because of me that the planets rotate and worship divinity, I am the secret of this world and its secrets, they sleep in my chest, Jibrail descends and has meetings with me daily, what overflows in me, sprinkles within other men if only men understood and did not throw their heaven away, if only my house was not set alight with Zahra behind the door, if only my house was not set alight with Zahra behind the door, if only she did not push the door, if only he did not push the door and break the rib of my lady, if only she did not cry out and instead she cried out, if only Mohsen did not need to ask for what sin was I guilty, if only my children did not have to watch their mother in pain, if only they did not have to see her cheek slap so tragically, if only they did not know what it feels like to be orphaned, if only they did not grow and a house so dark and lonely but I can't keep saying if only and I can't keep thinking what if, I can't keep saying if only and I can't keep thinking what if men shouldn't dwell on things that might have happened in different ways, knowing Allah is watching is the only way I can march on, if I can lift the door of Haibar then I can get through this surely so I uncradle myself and I get up from the corner, I uncradle myself and I get up from the corner, I was there because I had felt my wife's rib and washing her body, I was there because I had felt my wife's rib and washing her body, I wipe my tears and I carry on with a broken heart feeling just like broken bone and I wait for Fatima to be avenged by my grandson the Mehdi and I wait for Fatima to be avenged by my grandson the Mehdi.


The Benwick State House of Assembly has confirmed 17 commission anomalies sent by Reverend Father Dr. Ayesen Alia to the Committee for Security and Confirmation. The Speaker of the Benwick State House of Assembly, Aundona Dajo, while carrying out the process puts the question for the confirmation of the commissioners one after the other across to members seeking their consent before hitting the gavel. The Speaker of the Benwick State House of Assembly, Aundona Dajo also appreciated members for taking out their time from their recess to come back and carry out their important assignment to move the state forward.


Hello students, let's work out the following problem. It says prove that the plane x plus 2 y minus z is equal to 4. Intersects the sphere, x square plus y square plus z square minus x plus z minus 2 is equal to 0 in a circle of radius unity and find the center of the circle. So let's now move on to the solution. We are given that the plane intersects the sphere and we have to prove that the circle which is obtained by intersecting the sphere by the plane has radius unity and we also have to find the center of the circle. That is, we have to find the coordinates of the point A and we have to find the length of AP and we have to prove that AP is 1 unit. So let's now move on to the solution. The given sphere is x square plus y square plus z square minus x plus z minus 2 is equal to 0. Now, the general equation of the sphere is x square plus y square plus z square plus 2 fx plus 2 gy plus 2 hz plus dz equal to 0 and the center of this sphere is minus f minus g minus h and the radius is given by this formula under the root x square plus g square plus x square minus d. So you need to remember this formula and the general form of the equation of the sphere. Now, from this center of the sphere is 1 by 2 0 since the coefficient of y here is 0 and minus 1 by 2 and the radius is given by under the root 1 by 2 square plus 0 square plus minus 1 by 2 square minus of minus 2 is plus 2. So, this is equal to 1 by 4 plus 1 by 4 plus 2. So, this is equal to taking a LCM we have and simplifying we have 10 upon 4 which is equal to under the root 5 by 2. So, this is the radius of the sphere. Now, we have to find the center of the circle. Now, the plane is x plus 2y minus z minus 4 is equal to 0. Now, the direction ratios of the plane, direction ratios of the normal to the plane are 1 2 minus 1 the coefficient of x, y and z here. Now, the center of the circle is the foot of perpendicular from the center of the sphere to the plane right.  As we know that the equation of the line passing through the point a b c and having direction ratios as l m n is given by x minus a upon l y minus b upon m z minus c upon n. And here the line OA passes through the center O and it has direction ratios as 1 2 minus 1. So, this is the equation of the line OA let it be equal to lambda. So, now we have x is equal to lambda plus 1 by 2 y is equal to 2 lambda z is equal to minus lambda minus 1 by 2 that means any point on the line is of the form lambda plus 1 by 2 2 lambda minus lambda minus 1 by 2. Now, since the point a which is the center of the circle lies on the plane it will satisfy the equation of the plane that means this point will satisfy the equation of the plane as center lambda plus 1 by 2 2 lambda minus lambda minus 1 by 2 lies on the plane it will satisfy the equation of the plane. So, we have equation of plane is x plus 2 y now x is lambda plus 1 by 2 2 y y is 2 lambda minus z z is minus lambda minus 1 by 2 and this can be written as minus of lambda plus 1 by 2. So, this becomes and this is equal to 0. So, we have lambda plus 1 by 2 plus 4 lambda plus lambda plus 1 by 2 is equal to 0. So, we have lambda plus 4 lambda plus lambda is 6 lambda 1 by 2 plus 1 by 2 is 1 and this is equal to 0, but in equation of equation of plane was x plus 2 y minus z minus 4 is equal to 0. So, here we have minus 4. So, this implies 6 lambda minus 3 is equal to 0 and this implies lambda is equal to 1 by 2. So, the coordinates of the point a lambda plus 1 by 2 and lambda is 1 by 2. So, this is 1 by 2 plus 1 by 2 2 lambda and minus lambda minus 1 by 2. So, the center a is 1 1 minus 1. Now, we have to prove that the radius of the circle is 1 unit. So, we will prove that radius of this circle is 1 unit by using the Pythagoras theorem. Now, here the radius of the sphere is root 5 by 2 and now we need to know the distance between o and a that is the perpendicular distance from the center to the plane. So, let p 1 be the perpendicular distance from o to the plane. Now, the perpendicular distance from the point x 1 y 1 z 1 to the plane a x plus b y plus c z plus d is equal to 0 is given by the formula mod of a x 1 plus b y 1 plus c z 1 plus d upon under the root a square plus b square plus c square. So, now, the plane is x plus 2 y minus z minus 4 is equal to 0 and the center is center of the sphere is 1 by 2 0 minus 1 by 2. So, p 1 is given by the formula mod of a x 1 that is 1 into 1 by 2 plus b here b is 2 y 1 which is 0 plus c z 1. Now, here c is minus 1 z 1 is minus 1 by 2 here d is minus 1 by 2. So, this is minus 4 upon a square b square under the root a square plus b square plus c square. Here a is 1, v is 2, c is minus 1 and this is equal to mod of minus 3 by under the root 6 which is equal to 3 by under the root 6. Assume that p 1 is the perpendicular distance from the center o to the plane this. So, p 1 is the distance of o and a. So, this is o a. Now, we have to prove that a p is 1 unit. So, here we will use Pythagoras theorem. a p is under the root of o p square minus o a square. Now, o p is the radius of the sphere which is root 5 by 2 minus o a square which is 3 by root 6 square. So, this is equal to under the root 5 by 2 minus 9 by 6. So, this is again equal to under the root 5 by 2 minus 3 by 2. So, this is equal to under the root 2 by 2 which is equal to root 1 which is equal to 1. Hence, proved 1 unit and the center of the circle is 1 1 minus 1. So, this completes the question and the session. Bye for now. Take care. Have a good day.