Okay, we're back. We're live. I'm Jay Fidel. This is Think Tech. And guess what? It's Thursday morning at 9 a.m. We have Mike, the word out chief scientist. We're going to talk today about the role of immunity response in COVID. Very important. We understand this. We all have to understand what's going on. That's the thing about living in the 21st century. Good morning, Mike. Good morning, Jay. Good to talk to you. Well, you looked, you looked up a little bit about immunity response and you're going to tell us about it.  So we ran some basic, developed some basic simulations, a very oversimplified, not really COVID-19 predictive, but just illustrate some of the principles of the different scenarios for how immune response might go. So the first slide, I'm going to kind of lay out the basics of what the ideal is for herd immunity. So if you go to the next slide. What you're going to see, what you're seeing is the black area is pixels that there's cells or people that are not immune or still vulnerable. The green areas, people that have gotten sick and become immune and the yellow or the people that have died. This simulation is really simple, simple rules. So you got about a 30% chance that if a cell touches a cell, it's infected. It becomes infected too. So if you touch a whole bunch of cells that are infected, you have a very high chance of becoming infected. What you see at the end of the simulation here is about 88% of the people have been infected in this cells that have been infected in the simulation. About 2% of them have died because that's the parameter I set, 2% death rate. What's interesting is the large number of voyage where there's people that have not been exposed to the virus or cells that have not been exposed to the pathogen aren't immune, but they aren't sick either. They've been protected by herd immunity. So this community being isolated, not having any external inputs of virus has achieved herd immunity. Does that mean that they were never exposed to it? Right. They have some proxies. Right. Just sheer random luck in this case. So it's not that the cells that are in the larger black regions are having a special property that protected them. They just got lucky that that group of cells was not infected. But the infection went around them and created a barrier around them so that no one virus could come in from the outside from the rest of the community. And so they lucked out. They're still vulnerable, but they're not going to, they're not sick. They're not going to get sick as long as this community stays isolated. So on the next slide, I show a what if, what if you could slow it down? What if you could actually, so in the first slide, every cell out of 30% chance of being infected, if it touched an infected cell in this slide, I've dumped that down to 25%, a much lower, a lower chance of being infected. And under these conditions, the disease doesn't reach the entire community. It fizzles out. So it still reaches like half, more than half the community, but it's fizzled out before it reached the entire community. So masking, social distancing, hand washing, all those things just shows what the effect might be.  And what you're saying is this is the end of it. That with this process you just described, it never goes further. Not unless you have some external inputs. So on the next slide, we'll show what happens if you have external inputs. This slide is the same as before, except now every 10 weeks or so, an external source comes in and provides another seed. And so you can see more than one green area growing. And so instead of being self-limiting, this is continually being reseeded with new infection. And it's going to go on for a while because what's going to happen is you'll see black voids where there's no infection yet, where people have not been infected. So the infected people, their diet become immune. Immunity is permanent in this simulation. And as you bring in people from outside who are infected occasionally, you'll start to see those voids fill in, which means that nobody is really, really safe if you have these external sources of infection. And this is what they tried in Sweden. They tried kind of isolating the old age homes and trying to get the infection to go around them. But then they had these random incidents where somebody would get in every once in a while and a lot of old people died in the nursing homes. So it's just, it's a really hard game to play. And we can let this go on a while because you'll see that all these black areas start to fill in, but that's the basic principle. The blue curve, the lower left, the big initial, first big spike is what you would get if you, from the initial infection, there's a huge spike. And then it dies down very long times without any new clusters. Then there's sporadic clusters of new infections showing up. And that's what the herd immunity has provided you with a way to control your spikes of infection after your initial big, big spike. But then you still have these sporadic reinfections from outside, but you can actually predict, you know what their size is going to be.  And they stay on the low side, right? Am I right?  Right, right. They won't jump up there on chart because most of the people in most of the cells in this pandemic simulation have acquired immunity, permanent immunity from having been sickened by the virus or they're dead. So in this case, there's about one and a half percent end up dead, but it keeps going.  And so now this doesn't account for the fact that some cells might have a higher susceptibility to death. Some cells might be low. This is really simple simulation. It's illustrate general principles. So far, Mike, it would appear that this one is closer to the reality. Yeah, it's closer to the reality. So, yeah. So the point is that you're, you can try to protect certain communities in certain subsets and you might get lucky and not be initially infected. They will then subsequently be still at risk from external sources, you know, somebody going to the mainland and bringing the virus back or some tourists coming in, something, you know, there's a random receding. And that's the way society suffered before there were vaccines.  Then there'd be somebody else coming in with a dizzy, the wave of infection and it would just continue like that. And then eventually protecting the whole community. So now the fourth slide shows what happens if. The immunity isn't permanent. So here in the case, the immunity wanes after about 20 weeks. So you see the green cells turning, turning green as they get infected. Blue is contagious. Yellow is dead. Black is susceptible. Green is immune. The immunity doesn't last. So this thing just keeps going on and on and on spreading around the community. And there's some external, you know, seedings going on here as well, just as in the previous simulation, but you end up with, you know, five to 20% immune depending on where you are in the cycle. And it just goes in waves. I mean the blue curve at the lower left shows how the new case is a huge spike. Just like, you know, the first couple of years of the normal infection where everybody gets permanently immune, then it dies down. And there's another, after a couple of years, there's another huge spike, then it dies down. And it's sort of unpredictable. Well, it's predictable in a general sense, but these spikes don't get smaller in area. They may get low. They may not at the same height, but they'll have fatter wits or. And so you'll end up in reinfecting about the same number of people. Everybody's going to be susceptible, except for the people who died. Of course, this reminds me of this series I've been watching on Amazon. About the black death, the black clay. In the sixth century in the 14th century and some extent in the 19th century here in Hawaii. And it follows the same kind of pattern. Of course they didn't have any medicine for it. It follows the same kind of pattern where it, you know, you do develop a kind of herd immunity, but it comes back every, you know, five or 10 years and other outbursts here or outbursts there. And it keeps going like for centuries, it keeps going. And I guess the, you know, that is, that is troubling in the sense that we don't know if we can achieve immunity by way of a vaccine that will last indefinitely. But we could have vaccine or no, we could have this kind of repetition going forward. Yeah, that's the problem with the lubonic plague was a bacterium for which we don't have vaccines. Very few bacteria can actually vaccinate against. So you don't acquire permanent immunity after infection with your cinephestis, you know, the plague bacterium. And so you can have this receding, you're also susceptible again. You can get plagued more than once.  And that's it. If your immunity doesn't last, and we're hoping that the T cells may provide that memory, the memory T cells might provide memory, make last immunity. But if the antibody responses indication, the immunity of the coronavirus may not last, and you'll end up being susceptible for a long time and having to continually protect the community, either through vaccines, if there's a vaccine that lasts more than six months, that's great. If it lasts forever, that's the ideal. We don't know yet how long the vaccine immunity will last. Well, when it stops lasting, it's probably graduated, right? It doesn't stop on a certain day. And then you don't have it, you know, so that perhaps the immunity is going to decline. And therefore you still have some limited resistance to the disease as it declines. But I guess if you had no vaccine, and if you had no antibodies, no immunity, whatever, A, you could get it again.  Well, my understanding from what I've read is that it can be worse because you've already gotten some damage to your lungs and possibly to your heart. So your body has been weakened by the first bout with this coronavirus. Statistically speaking, you know, some people may completely recover with no lasting effects and be just as strong, but some people will have lasting damage. And then the second time around, infection is more likely to kill them. So that's, yeah, that's the thing about this disease. You don't want to go through multiple bouts. You don't want to go through one bout at all if you can avoid it. So we might end up having to have a vaccine where every year you have to get re-vaccinated and be like the seasonal flu, you know, every year, like a seasonal coronavirus vaccine. You know, what's a little troubling if you make the comparison to the Pestis bacteria back in the plague. I mean, we don't have plague anymore because we have antibiotics, you know.  But in the day, it created an opportunistic opportunity for other antigens and other diseases. So you would have a raging plague. And then as people weakened, then you'd have another disease come on top of that. So you had a cocktail of antigens working on you. It was hard to survive that. Yeah, it's got a seasonal flu that might weaken you. And then the coronavirus comes along, takes advantage of your weakened state to infect you.  It's the start of COVID-19 virus. Yeah. And there's a hypothesis that some other coronaviruses that cause common colds might provide cross immunity, but their cross immunity is probably going to be no more long lasting than to this COVID-19 itself. So you can't really rely on giving everybody the common cold to protect you. Even if that hypothesis proves out that the common cold can provide some common cross immunity. There's so many unknowns yet, that need to be really tested thoroughly. But that's the thing that really bothers me. If I can take a short digression here. Unknowns, this is 21st century. We've been to the moon. We have solved the most incredible problems. We have come out on information technology you wouldn't believe. And yet these fundamental things affecting life and death of the species, we don't know. We don't know how it works. We spent more videos and around these things have been around forever. I mean, it's like viruses live within us for the last two, 300,000 years in the development of the species. And they're going to be with us for a long time. And it's almost like we really can't do anything about it. Ultimately. Well, no, we wiped out smallpox. And we're wiping out polio. If we can get the Taliban to let the vaccinators into Pakistan and Afghanistan. Surround the verge of wiping out certain viral diseases. And we just about wiped out Guinea worm, which isn't a virus, but it's a disease that caused a lot of misery in the world. As long as there's been humans around on most.  What we're seeing though now is, you know, people saying, oh, I don't want to get back. So I don't trust the vaccines. Well, the vaccine will save your life polio. Do you know anybody who's caught polio lately? I know. And when I was a kid, you know, the vaccine came out right before I was born. My parents must have been living in terror until I could actually get that vaccine. And now I don't have to worry about polio. Don't worry about smallpox and how to get my flu vaccine every year. I don't have to worry about the flu so much. The vaccine isn't perfect. There's, but the thing is that, okay, this virus, which we haven't seen much of is now flowering. And hopefully we can beat it or subdue it. But I'll tell you now, I'm 100% guaranteed that when this one's done, there'll be another one. There will be another one. Yeah. And so what we, what we have to do is invest more in the predictions of where the viruses are going to be the research because Corona viruses, they were just dismissed as, Oh, that's just the common cold. They're not going to worry about them. And this one comes along. So now there's research funding, but we were ignoring it for a long time. We were putting money into the wall street casino instead of into our public health. And we really need, you know, governments to step up and allocate resources appropriately for the common good. We need governments to actually be sponsors of clinical trials for medicines. So we don't have to rely on companies to do it. Because companies only do this a big profit motive, which is understandable. But, you know, for a vaccine, you want to be cheap, widely available and such and give doses to everyone without anybody not being able to afford it. Because if anyone is at risk, everyone's at risk with this disease. So what we need is a new paradigm for how we conduct medical research because we are scientists can do it. It is brilliant people in the United States, Europe, China, India. We can solve these problems, but we have to make it a priority for our societies to solve these problems and really put the right funding behind it and better public education. People really need to be getting vaccinated. There's no excuse for a measles outbreak in the United States of America in 21st century. No excuse. I mean, yeah, measles should have been a thing of the past in the first world. Because nobody can vaccinate against it and save lives. Well, you're being kind to say that it's a question of public education. I rather think you make a, you make a law. And I think ultimately they'll have to be laws like this. You see, if you want to take a chance on this, you can't do it in public. You have to do it in jail. And then we don't. Yeah. Anyway, yeah. But I say so that matter of public education. Because we live in a democracy. And the voters have to vote in the politicians who will make the laws. And so if the politicians. Won't make the laws. Or they vote in politicians who are hostile to making laws promoting public health. And we still have a problem and it's still a problem of education. We've got to educate the voters. That, you know, this, this is science. This is real. And we need to protect ourselves as a nation, as a world from these threats. I mean, if it was space aliens coming down with ray guns, yeah, we'd be mobilizing the military and developing new weapons. This is an invisible pathogen that, you know, it was, and it still wants to kill us just like the space aliens, the ray guns would want to do.  So maybe, you know, we can find out about immunity and now the body has natural defenses and processes to deal with its antigens that it has not met. Or maybe it's met in another form. Yeah. Maybe we'll learn something here in this thing, experience with COVID that we can apply against the next pandemic and some other antigen. Are we doing that? Or is the focus on just dealing with COVID, which would be very narrow minded, I think in these times. Well, there are coming up whole new approaches to creating vaccines and that approaches that don't rely on just looking at the surface proteins, the virus that look at targeting the entire virus. So it's inside the virus capsule as well. So there's whole new approaches to this, developing, which would then have applications to other diseases in the future. The more tools in our arsenal for developing vaccines, the better. But you say it's a global experience and you have to save everybody to save anybody. And it's like we were talking in another show yesterday about global economics. The way to get to improve the global economy is trade. It's exchanging goods and services among nations and putting the borders down, not bringing them up. That's the way to have a global economy that befits everyone. Sounds to me like science must put the barriers down. Science must, you named a number of countries that are working on this, but there are barriers to that, especially right now in this administration. I mean, if you're going to make the Chinese close their consulate in Houston and otherwise put barriers between us and the Chinese, it does stand in the way of joint research, which could be very valuable. So to me, it's like trades. You have to collaborate on an international basis in order to achieve a meaningful vaccine. Yeah, it's like we shut down the research group that was actually looking at bats in China and trying to understand how these viruses involved in bats because there were Chinese researchers involved. The wrong way to go in my opinion, we should be doing everything we can as a species to save ourselves from these viruses, understand these viruses, to make sure, because if everybody in the world isn't safe, like the simulation showed, if you think you have herd immunity in your group, but there's still people vulnerable, if you're trading, if there's any visitors, if there's any external source, anywhere, it could be you had to go visit your sick auntie in Kansas and now you come back and you spread the virus. Nobody's safe. Nobody's safe if everybody isn't safe. And to think that we can be isolated from each other is not realistic. I mean, even in the age of sale, sailing ships, it wasn't realistic. It took maybe longer, but just met there was more time for immunity to wane between exposures. Tell me if this is relevant, Mike. You know, in my earlier days, I was fascinated with the notion of bacterial colonies. And what I understood from people who studied more science than I did is that a bacterial colony has a life cycle. It starts out knitting itself together. You can hardly see it, but it getting stronger under the hood. And then one day it sort of pops up, goes into the logarithmic phase and, you know, huge growth in the number of bacteria. And then it hits a plateau and it fiddles around in the plateau for a while. And one day it drops down the other side into the death phase. And what I understood was every bacterial colony goes through that process. It's physics. It's a rule of the natural world around us. And there's only one exception to the death phase. And that's when you introduce bacteria from another colony. And that reinvigorates the bacteria in the first colony. And this seems to me a parallel here.  It ultimately will, I don't want to use Trump's word disappear, but it ultimately will expire. And the way that you're in a given location and the way that it can reinvigorate itself is with the introduction of other viruses, other antigens that reinvigorated. Am I right? Is there a reasonable parallel here? Well, like one simulation showed, even if you don't have a different virus, if your immunity wanes, you can go through the long periods where you don't have that much virus in your community. And then it ramps up. And in the simulations, the same virus, same people, same cells that could be infected, same citizens, if you will. But it just goes through these waves and cycles. So you think you beat it and now it's back. Now with this virus, it will evolve and it will evolve faster than humans will. It takes us many generations. You mean mutate. Right. It will mutate. Most mutations might make it less virulent, but it will some of them might make it more virulent. We don't know yet how that will go. We know that if it kills 90% of its victims, it will be self-limiting. If it kills 2%, there's no reason for it to be self-limiting. What if it starts killing 3%? What if it just starts being more contagious? What if it becomes as contagious as a measles? So right now coronavirus, on average, if you leave it alone, two or three people get infected by every person who has the disease. For the measles, it's seven. It's about seven people. The measles are so contagious. If a person with a measles has the disease, leaves the room and you walk in 15 minutes later, you can catch it. Doesn't that happen with coronavirus too? That's not clear. If you can do it that way, if it's that long or the droplets have to be a little larger. There's some evidence that masks are effective because they block the larger virus droplets and limit the dose of virus you're inhaling. And it seems that in this case, a high dose may make the poison that a high dose infecting you overwhelms your body's defenses quicker than they can mobilize.  That was just in the research news in the last couple of days. So measles seems to be, doesn't take much at all to infect you. It looks like coronavirus takes a little bit more. But what if it becomes as dangerous, as infective as measles? Then we've got a whole nother problem. But the delivery system is still in the droplets of the aerosol. That is by air, by breathing. And so what I was going to say is it's okay to buy more masks than you think you need. It's a good investment for the future, even if we come up with therapeutics that are impressive. And vaccines that last at least for a little while, I think our species is going to need masks for a longer while. Yeah, because it's going to be years before we can distribute a vaccine to everybody in the world. Even if the vaccine was available next week, they proved it works, safe, et cetera. It'll be years before they can get it to everybody in the world. And so we're going to be dealing with this for years. So if I asked you on a given, given what we know about the immunity system, given the research, given the focus on research, you know, we haven't, as you said, we haven't focused on it. Maybe we should have been focusing more on it. We've been focusing on other areas of science and technology, but not this one. But all of that considered, would you say that on behalf of the species that we should be optimistic, very optimistic, not so optimistic? On behalf of the species, we should be optimistic. I mean, on behalf of any particular individual, that's another matter. We'll solve these problems. I mean, if the United States closes its borders and says, we're not going to accept any vaccines from other people, the Brits will do it, or the Europeans will do it, or the Chinese will do it, or the Indians will do it. Somebody is going to crack this problem. And the species will be fine in the long run. I mean, yes, we might be dealing with this virus for years, but it's not going to wipe us out. Well, even plague didn't wipe us out. I mean, so plague wipes out half the people in Europe in the 13th, 14th century. And then the Europeans go on to take over the world anyway.  So, given that, so the speed, by me, given that I'm reminded of these baskets of stock you can buy, or you used to be able to buy on the stock exchange where you say, you're interested in energy. Okay. Here's a basket of stocks of energy. And, you know, whether this company makes it or that company makes it. You believe that energy is the big thing by the basket. It seems to me that we don't really know yet what company is going to come up with, you know, a vaccine. It's not clear. And one company was quoted yesterday to say when the government asked them, are they going to give this away? No, no, we're looking for profit. We want to get a return on our cap. We put a lot of money in, in addition to what the government put in. And so you say to yourself, well, I don't, but I don't know which one. So maybe there's a basket, a basket of COVID stocks, everybody working on it, put all those stocks in one basket, invest in the basket. That wouldn't be a bad idea. I'm, I'm almost certain there's an ETF for COVID-19 research and development vaccines. And you got five exchange credit fund. It provides huge fees.  But you went, yeah, it's very hard to predict who the winner is going to be. So you want to put your eggs in, you know, and you have more than one egg in that basket. You might buy the Pfizer, you might buy AstraZeneca, you might buy, you know, I don't know the names of the ones in India, if even the Chinese ones are even on the stock exchange. So yeah, you can buy a healthcare, I know you can buy a healthcare ETF. You might be able to buy a COVID ETF now. And if I were in that business, it would be really smart for me to put together such an ETF and be offering it for sale. Very interesting. It demonstrates your essential optimism, Mike. Right, right. No, I, yeah, the species will survive.  There may be even countries that go into decline because they are ignoring this thing.  You know, but we didn't know any of the details. We didn't know who was working on it. We didn't know the mechanisms. We didn't know about the T cell thing you mentioned before. We didn't know about the interaction with the, you know, the immune system. But now we hear about it. And now we can drill down. Now there are articles, not only in scientific journals, but in the mainstream media about what companies are working on what and what their timeframes are. I don't know if I believe what the government says about this, but I mean, I take a lot of these articles. And after a while, it gives you an idea about what's happening out there in science. And so that means Mike that we have to continue following this because my, my guess is there'll be more coming out about it every day. Right. Well, we're going to hit, you know, another million people in the United States sick with it, have been sick with this thing in two weeks, two weeks after that, another million people. And we're on track to hit six million people by first week of September. In the United States alone. And it's out of control. So yes, we're going to be dealing with it for a while. And it does worry me that people might be scared away from the election in November because they don't want to risk being in a crowd and getting the virus. We'll have to deal with that as a democracy as a society, figure out how to work around that. Because we really, really need a vibrant healthy democracy.  The way things set up, it's not only we need the democracy because it's a better or more humane way to govern ourselves. But, but it's clear to me that we need a democracy because that helps us make better decisions about public health. Yes. And it's therefore becomes life and death. That's why for the moment we really needed democracy. Yeah. It is life and death, you know, the Chinese or not democracy, the real democracy, they have elections, but they're, you know, only the party, one party allowed. And they were in denial for a long time. They denied the severity. They weren't listening to the people. They weren't allowing healthy debate.  But it took them a while and then the thing got out of control. And you see that happening in all kinds of countries in the world where the leadership doesn't want to have healthy debate. You can see it in Brazil, sought in Russia and other Russians.  And then by no means got the population to have that level of caseload. I mean, they're like half the US population, if that. So we're, we see where democracy is have healthy debate. Like, you know, European Union, they've done an amazing job. Yeah. With the controlling this thing and coming to a consensus and how to control this thing. European Union, maybe the safest place to live right now. Well, people say that I really, except for Hawaii, we're very good in Hawaii because we have an ocean protecting us. We've got a governor that's listening to enough science to say, look, quarantine the visitors until we have a vaccine. Yeah. And then everybody needs to wear a mask. Right now you have to wear a mask. You're going to go to the gym, which makes perfect sense. You're breathing heavy. You're sweaty. You know, there's not much circulation in most gyms, you know. So you've got to actually take those extra precautions. So we have a government here that listens, governor here that listens to enough science that we are very, very safe in Hawaii. We'll see what happens when the tourists come back in full force. Yeah. And we have a, we have a vantage point where we can look out to places, perhaps less fortunate than we are about how this is going. And we can see, we can read those scientific journals. We can, we can read the mainstream media. We can get a handle on the numbers from here. And I think, you know, to me, the big challenge is that people here should not be complacent. You know, if we're suffering too, maybe we will, we have to know we have to be aware. We have to raise the level of awareness. So that's why you and I have to meet from time to time here of a couple of weeks and check in on what's going on because I can tell you one thing. It's going to change. It is going to change. Yeah. I'm optimistic. Although I realize that I could die. Stay healthy. Stay healthy. Take care. Thank you. Thank you so much. Thank you, Joey. Aloha. Aloha.


Hey guys, what is up? Welcome to my channel. So really quick intro I already have a video doing swatches of my Charlotte Tilbury lipstick collection that I did a few months ago I did it on my nudes. I'm so sorry it took so long for me to do the rest of my lipsticks But over time my collection has kind of grown So I have everything from here, which is really ranging from pinks to reds And I have a couple of browns in here as well. I love Charlotte Tilbury lipsticks They are $34. I think they have the best formula. The way I have this video organized is by the Collection that each lipsticks come from. There's the kissing line, which is my favorite the matte revolution and the hot lips line So that's how I kind of divided them. Anyways, I hope you guys find this video helpful And let me know down below what your favorite Charlotte Tilbury lipstick is just a reminder I do have another Charlotte Tilbury lipstick swatches video on my channel So I will link that down below in the cards and be sure to check that out because though I am swatching these 10 I still have I think around 10 more so check that video out as well. Anyways, I hope you guys enjoy this video. Yeah The kissing line is my favorite, but her other two lines are great as well If you are interested in seeing more nude shades swatch, be sure to check out my other swatching video I'm gonna leave it at that. Thank you guys for watching so much Remember to subscribe to my channel and like this video and I will see you guys in the next video. Bye


Three online interview tips that help you win your dream job offer. Last month, our alumnus from MSC Marketing 2014, Mia, visited the Employability and Career Expo 2024 and shared the top tips for success in online job interviews. Besides the standard rules, it's vital that we first eliminate all the distractions, switching our phones on silent, closing windows and doors, and telling our flatmates or family members not to make noises or interrupt the interviews are all essential to give us the best environment for a successful online interview. Secondly, prepare three small talk questions. Since online interviews restrain our gestures and body language, it's critical to ask our interviewers a few questions and facilitate conversations that can review our personalities and live some powerful first impressions. Last but not least, get comfortable with the uncomfortable. Having a partner who can practice online interviews and give us feedback would be ideal, as we can understand our strengths and weaknesses better. Also, we should practice structuring our answer in star format, which means situation, task, action, result, making it easier for interviewers to grab our ideas.


The economics of the nuclear power industry really are changing, and what I hear industry and government analysts asking is, are the plants even profitable enough to stay open? In the past, the answer would have been a resounding yes. The cost of operating these plants is so much lower than operating coal or natural gas-fired plants that they could earn tremendous profits. At least that was true in the past. What's changed since the mid-2000s is the natural gas boom. Natural gas prices are much lower than they were in the past, and this is driving wholesale electricity prices down. So nuclear plants are not earning the profits that they used to earn. In recent research, my co-author, Lucas Davis and I, look at the closure of just one plant, the Santa Noffrey Nuclear Generating Station in Southern California. And what we find is that the closure of this plant had significant implications for the entire state, because it had been so integral to the California market. The plant closed in 2012 because of safety concerns, and we find that the cost of generating electricity in 2012 increased by $350 million, because the costs of operating a natural gas-fired plant are so much higher. In addition to those $350 million, there was an important environmental implication. The nuclear plant had not emitted carbon, the natural gas-fired plants that substituted dew, and carbon emissions were 9 million tons higher than they otherwise would have been. That's the equivalent of 2 million additional cars on the road. It's going to be really important to think going forward about whether other nuclear plants might close, and if they close, we just don't know what the implications will be for electricity prices, and also for carbon emissions. We also don't know what the safety implications are of plants not being as financially viable as they have been historically.


So it's five people yeah, there is exactly five more than last year So welcome to my talk again about federal station. It was a guy now. My name is Siri Eshmann if you don't know me Yeah, no, can you hear me? Oh, yeah So I've been federal ambassador for the last seven years and I've been Pretty much leading This project that puts the federal workstation users guide even though I'm not really a dog specialist Basically The history of that is that it was originally written in check by Lukash Kotek one of the community members in the Czech Republic three years ago We at that time were discontinuing the the DVDs which were like a typical Hand out to or give away to people at at conferences It's a there's sort of incentive that would make them look into federal once they get home but yeah, nowadays no one really has DVD drive and And USB flash drives are still too expensive to to give away in larger quantities So we came up with something like this It was first as a pilot released in September 2015 in Czech so first we wanted to try how it's gonna work in the like a smaller Czech community And then if it really has positive feedback, then we would translate it into English Which we did in the end the English then became the the new origin Last year in March we moved to Pazure from from github We changed bending to Fedora workstation originally it was Jen generic book like about Fedora even though the content was basically about Fedora workstation But Matthew Miller wanted us to to bend it as Fedora workstation book The first English release was in July 2017 and then we produced the books these books in September 2017 So the goal as I as I mentioned is a giveaway And it should help people learn about Fedora workstation install it and started using it. So basically the The scope is from knowing nothing about Fedora Through where to get it how to install it how to start using it how to get familiar with with the OS so the book is written quite in a generic way So it doesn't have to be updated any every every release it's teaches the the user The person or potential user about the values of Fedora how it Get installed how? Where to find applications, etc. So how we how it actually works. It's it's still not part of Fedora dogs for various reasons I I'm hoping that it it gets adopted In some way, but I haven't really had time to Talk about that with the Fedora dogs people So as I said, it's hosted on Peugeot. We've got right now. We've got two benches So master that's the that's where we work on the the next version And then once we are happy with the next version, which we Ideally we'd like to release one version a year At least for the origin then we bench it to a stable Bench called by that year. So you've got right now 2017 once 2018 is finished and we will create 2018 The sources are in in ASCII dog Scapes that we have there like simple scripts generate a dog book HTML PDF the PDF is just the for the preview purposes and then we have one volunteer in in Beno office a lot into Tech and latex and he then he spends a few days on that and produces Our paint quality PDF as you can look at it the the types that thing is is pretty nice in done in latex that's I think the the most Painful part of the process because that can't really be Automated to to generate early nice results And that person says he can do it for English and check because he knows that the typesetting goes etc But he can't really do it for every or any other Language so basically even if people Produce like the the digital Versions in their language Translate it and there still needs to be someone who does the The manual typesetting in latex produces the print quality PDF and then finds like a printer where you can When you can print it so basically that's the reason why we have only produced the check and English version Even though right now we've got missing. I think translation to Spanish actually the Venezuelan that's you okay great. Thanks for translations, but I Would I would like to hear if there if there is any way how to do to small steam line this process I even offer that we have a we have a good Relationship with one printing agency actually the owner is a big fan big Linux fan and user and he even gives us Like a pretty good price like to pay to print this book. It's about 50 50 dollar cents, which I think is pretty fine because for example the DVD was like 35 40 dollar cents While if you want to produce for example usb flash disk that's like at least two three four dollars and None of them are very very reliable. So basically those are I'm not sure if you can see it Yeah, but you can find it on Peugeot. It's in the the ambassadors Garou for project and the project is called Fedora handbook We haven't really integrated with any With any translation system I'm originally I was not very open to that for one reason that usually those those systems are more designed for translating software and they usually break the the text into strings or paragraphs and So that the translators don't really usually see the whole text and only see parts of it And once they translate it by paragraphs that usually the result is not that good. So originally I was I was quite against that and I the way I wanted the translators to work on it is basically just For the depot create Folder or the directory that is named after the code of their language Copied the English content there and made basic translate the the content of ASCII files if if any like if Someone comes up and says like let's let's for example integrated with with Zanata and Utterly against that anymore If it stems line and streamlines the process and makes it easier for people because as I said like this way like it was Basically proof that it doesn't fly very well getting just one one translation and that's That's basically all from What I wanted to say and the reason why I Proposed this talk is more about getting feedback and maybe talking about how to how to do it better because as I said it's basically I as a project leader of this came out of necessity that it came from ambassadors project, but none of the original people in that are Dogs people so maybe we are doing something fairly wrong that or stuff that can be improved Either in the process or how it's how it's produced or even the content itself That's another thing. I'd like to for example here a feedback from you if there is anything you really really miss It's the goal or scope of it. It shouldn't really be like a complete User guide to Fedora, but it really it should really cover the the journey from hearing About Fedora for the first time and installing it and getting familiar with that. So it shouldn't be really like a complete Guide where to set things etc. Basically just you know to get the user to the point where he's sort of familiar with with the system Also, we want to make it Too large. Let's say I think right now. It's about 33 pages so it could be a bit longer, but then it If it gets over for example 50 pages, then it gets also more expensive to print So when I think So it's on page or and if you look for for example Fedora Dash handbook it should get At first I was very excited to have a handbook because it's really useful for for newcomers to have a guy that teach them how to go through the system, but You know, I was working in the translation, but I stopped it because the English translation wasn't ready So it's ready now to start working against translations the other thing I want to ask is I Know Sanita is a great project to translation, but I think it's not the best way to apply here because There is no way that Sanita will produce an ASCII dog as output So you will be able to translate every paragraph, but you are going to receive an HTML file. I think Not not an ASCII dog file. So you are not be able to test the PDF printing from the Sanita that's a way I understand maybe I'm wrong, but because I have a project in Sanita But I want to the the HTML file and it works for me. So No, the question is the English translation is ready to be translated to another languages Because when the time I get stop the Spanish translation was because of that because it's not ready to start the English version So I like I like to have the English version done for this year in a month or two So once once we are fine or okay with the English version We will just make that the bench again. I know that I Haven't even pushed the changes I made into Into the repository yet. So basically I was waiting for this for this meeting like people look at and I threw the book like Just for the new may you want to take a look for the new camera? Okay, it is online


Alright shout out to one of my subscribers fresh busy prints who suggested that I make a video on the most useless stem degrees So he basically said do stem degrees that are useless because there are some degrees that have the title of stem But lack the job prospects very smart man. He's absolutely right. I 100% agree with him There's so many degrees popping up that sound like they might be stem degrees, but in reality They don't have very good job prospects. They're pretty much useless There's also a lot of degrees that used to be worth it at one point But at this point they just aren't and I care about you guys even though I don't care about myself right now So I decided to make this video so without further ado We're gonna go over 10 of the most useless stem majors number 10 on the list is going to be construction engineering technology now this is gonna rank 377 out of 835 possible degrees that are listed on pay scale now I always like to start off these lists with a few that are technically okay, like they're not bad 377 at 835. That's not horrible, but they're really overrated and by that I mean they sound a lot better than they actually are this is a perfect example They threw a few buzzwords together in order to create a degree that sounds like it's really good But in reality it only rakes slightly above average when you compare it to all other degrees And if you compare it to technology or STEM degrees, it's actually pretty low just because they throw engineering or Technology or science or some buzzword like that into the title doesn't necessarily mean that it's going to get you a job Universities are doing this all the time now and a lot of people don't really Investigate and research their degree and so they end up getting a degree that they think is a good choice But in reality it's not but to be honest most of the videos and articles out there are pretty boring So I don't know why you're watching me right now Just kidding if you're researching and watching this stuff you're way ahead of the curve You're gonna be making a much better decision than you would have if you didn't the next degree on the list is another one where it Sounds like it's a really good one the perception of everyone in society Everyone thinks is a good one, but in reality it's just not number nine on the list is going to be biology and this one ranks 420 out of 835 possible degrees now There's 47 different biology related majors. There's a ton of them out there This is one of the most popular degrees out there and over 64,000 people graduate with this one every single year in the US now I've talked about this one my other videos and in my opinion, it's pretty over saturated I've had several friends that majored in this one They weren't able to find jobs in biology after graduating with a four-year degree one of my friends got a biology degree Thinking she was gonna become a medical doctor after she graduated that ended up not working out Unfortunately and she was stuck with that four-year biology degree She couldn't find a job and so she ended up going back and eventually she is getting her doctorate I've been in contact with her throughout this whole process and you know, she was not happy with her four-year biology degree She was extremely surprised at the lack of job prospects. It was just a huge pain I don't want to put words in her mouth But she's basically told me before that if she could go back and do it again She would not have chosen biology number eight on the list is going to be printing Technology now this one ranks five hundred and eight out of eight hundred and thirty five possible degrees And I think this one would be considered a technology degree This is a degree that you would get if you want to work as the assistant to the original manager at Dunder Mifflin But no, let's think about this one. What kind of job prospects are you gonna get with a printing technology degree?  Are you gonna design new printers? Like what exactly are you gonna do? Are you going to sell printers to people sell paper to people like they do at Dunder Mifflin? Like what kind of jobs would this degree qualify you for the only one I could think of is maybe you could design new printers But honestly, there's not that many printer companies out there. The technology has improved tremendously It's probably not going to improve that much more in the next 10 20 30 years and because of that They're not gonna need that many people who design printers and the few that they do have are probably just engineers They got hired on by the company and eventually specialized in printing technology And then when you try to apply for other jobs after finding out that you can't get a job and that's specific industry They're gonna think that your degree is a little bit too specific And so that's a huge problem that I see with technology degrees as a lot of them are too specific Now you probably thought that I wasn't going to include any engineering degrees on this list, huh? I mean engineering degrees are the best right? No way many of them make it on here wrong Number seven on the list is going to be audio engineering and this one ranks 615 out of 835 possible choices This one's a huge trap and I've talked about before how colleges will slap fancy buzzwords on the degrees in order to make Them seem better than they actually are audio engineering is a perfect example of this It's technically an engineering degree and almost all of the other engineering degrees are in the top 200 at least on this list and to put this in perspective the second worst Engineering degree is going to be product design engineering and that ranks 382 out of 835 So even when something has the word engineering in it you have to be careful and do your research now I think audio engineering is pretty popular partially because people think that it'll help them get into the music industry Many of them end up working as sound technicians for different media companies And they make a lot less than what they would have if they got pretty much any other engineering degree Looks like BLS has broadcasting and sound engineering technicians making around $45,000 a year but speaking of the music industry There are many schools out there that offer useless degrees that will sound like they'll help you break into this industry The next one on the list is going to be number six music technology now This one's actually worse than audio engineering it ranks 625 on the list But many people pursue this one for very similar reasons now if you want to break into the music industry You got to get creative with it getting a college degree is not going to help you 99.9% of the time in many cases it will actually set you back because that's four years of your life that you could have been trying to break Into the industry networking etc building your skills not only that it's also going to be around $40,000 in debt on average so probably won't help you but even more than that it will end up hurting you number five on the list is going to be Mathematics teaching and specifically we're going to be talking about secondary and middle school mathematics teacher education Which ranks 634 out of 835 possible degrees now? Unfortunately getting an education degree in general is usually not going to be the best choice just because of the fact that they Don't pay teachers that well and an education degree is already specific enough You know if you're getting that degree you probably want to become a teacher You don't need to get any more specific than that if you do that You might end up pigeonholing yourself and making yourself unhierable if you end up not becoming a teacher Or if you end up becoming a teacher, but maybe you want to do something else There's no reason to specialize any further But you see this all the time the bottom of this list the worst degrees are littered with different Education specialist degrees now the most ridiculous one I found had to be this one Not only is it training you how to be a math teacher, but a secondary and middle school math teacher Like how specific can we get middle schoolers might be some of the most annoying people on the planet? I know because I used to be one of them and most of them hate math Why would anybody go into this to try to teach people that don't want to learn anything about math math? It's it's just I don't know why anyone would want to go back to middle school in the first place This is a rough degree number four on the list is going to be animal science. This one ranks 680 out of 835 and I can see why so many people like it You know animals are awesome. Everybody loves animals now science is definitely the weakest when you're talking about STEM You know science technology engineering and mathematics out of those four science is definitely going to be the weakest one Now I've mentioned this before but one thing schools are doing all the time is they'll throw the word science or engineering or technology Or anything like that in front of something that people are really interested in so in this case. It's animal science people love animals Oh, I want to learn about animal science not because there's a lot of jobs out there that involve animal science But because of the fact that people are gonna see that and they're gonna want to study it what they don't tell you is after you graduate It's pretty much useless in the real world except for a very small percentage of the time You see the word science and you think for sure you're gonna be able to get a job with that, right? Not so fast and the next one on the list is in the same category next one is going to be mortuary science Now this one is gonna be for people who want to be a mortician open up a morgue or a funeral home something along those lines This is a legitimate career. Some people make really good money from it It's something that values and benefits society as well So what these schools do sometimes is they'll slap science or business or technology or something along those lines Next to that word in order to make it seem like they're going to teach you how to become a mortician This one isn't great when it comes to the stats though And that's just a fact 744 out of 835 that's not good at all And the reason for that is because you don't need to go to college in order to become a mortician Most morticians have associates degrees and even there their associates degrees have nothing to do with mortuary science And you honestly don't even need to get an associates degree in many cases You would be much better off just going and working for a mortician for four years Some type of apprenticeship sort of thing and just learning the business under them four years later I can almost guarantee you you would have learned so much more that would have helped you actually open up your own business Then if you went to college and on top of that you'd be making money and you wouldn't be accruing debt Number two on the list is going to be library and information science. This one ranks 760 out of 835 possible degrees now This is one similar to teachers where you can get the degree, but unfortunately, it's not going to pay very well You can become a librarian after you get this degree. I think librarians are awesome. I love what they do I think reading is great But unfortunately when it comes to the statistics from a personal finance perspective This one just is not a good choice at all number one on the list is going to be Exercise science and I put this as number one because a lot of people think that this is probably a pretty decent degree After all it is a very popular one over 16,000 people in the United States graduating with this degree every single year I decided to put this one as number one because it is got to be by far out of all the STEM degrees the most Overrated not only are the stats horrible, but it's also extremely overrated a lot of people go into this thinking that they're Going to become a personal trainer afterwards But the problem with that is most personal trainers don't have to get a college degree In fact, most of them just have a high school degree The truth is when people are hiring personal trainers 99% of the time they're not going to care about you reading all these different studies or any of that sort of thing You're gonna start talking about that stuff and their brain is gonna go into la la land They're just not gonna be listening to what you're saying They want someone who's good at motivating them who gets them to their goals who's fun and who doesn't break the bank This might be one of the most overrated degrees out there because so many people are passionate about fitness and they want to make it their career And so they end up getting this degree and it usually is not going to help you get to your goal Smash the like button hit the subscribe button ring the notification bell comment down below any thoughts comments criticisms Etc and don't forget to check out my other videos right here. I made them just for you


What's up everyone takedown here welcome back to another video today I'm gonna be showing you guys how to make homemade pizza. We actually love making these more than even ordering out So this here you can since it's pizza you can put pretty much anything on it, but what we like to use is Pita's we buy this in bulk from Costco, which is really cheap So our crust is Pita's you can use tortillas. You can use homemade crusts You can buy the big pizzas if you want the big pizza kits, but this is what we like to use So we take three of them put it on the largest baking sheet that will fit in our oven We put parchment paper underneath you're also gonna need pepperoni or any toppings that you want So we go with pepperoni here this pack here You get two packs at Walmart for ten dollars. So this one pack will probably last us for two pizza nights So about six of these pizzas You're gonna need a whole brick of mozzarella cheese shredded up and of course your favorite pizza sauce So this is what we're gonna go with here now since it is pizza You can put pretty much any toppings you want on it If you have leftover grilled chicken if you have leftover ground beef cooked up If you have any Assortment of vegetables you want you can put them on your pizza you can make it however you want But today we're gonna go with the classic pepperoni pizza So once you have the crust laid out on your tray the next step is to take your pizza sauce and put it on the crust So I just put it on here I put a large amount and then we're just gonna go and spread it around and it's any need extra We will go and put a little bit more on the ones that need it But I do like to put a thick amount of sauce on our pizzas Once you have your pizza sauce on the next step is to take your cheese And coat the pizzas with the shredded mozzarella cheese You can use other cheese as well, but mozzarella shreds the best and it's gonna melt the best onto your pizzas So you're gonna go ahead and put all of your cheese on your pizzas Once you have your cheese on your pizzas the next step is to put the remainder of your toppings So if you have veggies or other meats, you go ahead and put that on next We like to put our pepperoni on next put it on top it makes the pepperoni nice and crisp Now once you have your pepperonis on your pizza or all the toppings that you are putting on your pizza Then the last step is to finally cook your masterpiece You're gonna put it in the preheated oven that's set to 400 degrees And you're gonna cook it for 10 minutes until the cheese is nice and crispy and the bacon is fully crispy as well


Everybody the angry cannot come into you from Nova Scotia, Canada the angry cannot go on YouTube. You are watching TJV Chuck or Josh vlogs Good morning everybody from Canora, Ontario about a 53-foot step deck here behind me We'll be putting some lumber on it. I'm gonna put a tarp over the lumber We're gonna head down to I'm guessing Minnesota. I actually don't even know where it's going yet They just told me to be here in the morning Voila Here I am What are your other two wishes? What I can tell you though is that it's gonna be a good day Look at this the Sun is shining It's definitely fall time now The mornings are getting pretty cool even this last night. I had to turn my bunk heater on in the truck got a little bit cold The leaves are starting to change color.  I love fall. I just I can't help but think that Winter comes right after fall. I don't mean to ruin your day. Okay. I promise you it's gonna be a good day anyway. I usually like Late spring early summer the best right when all the crops are starting to grow when everything just turned green and is like fully Lush and green all the flowers are blooming Everybody's all excited for the whole summer ahead yet and fall after that and winter is so far away It's not even a thought in anyone's head That's why that's my favorite season I'm not sure if you've noticed but on my channel on the main page you go to the playlist section or even on my main page Just scroll down. I Have created a bunch of new playlists now. There's still the one playlist called TJP from the beginning. It's all of my vlogs from all of time since I started counting I mean, there's two years in there where I wasn't counting it But we'll deal with that another day from the beginning of my trucking life episode one All the way up until this episode, which is I think is 26 20 2620 they're all in one playlist you can watch them all in order if you want to or if you'd rather watch it by year I started keeping track in the beginning of 2014. I have videos going all the way back to 2011 I'm just sorting through them right now because I don't mind posting my cringy first content. I Just want to see how cringy they are for I got to re-wash them and be they We'll see 2014 is when we officially started this series So 2014 was season one. So when I'm filling this we're in the year of our Lord 2022, which is season nine My trucking life on trucker Josh logs And you can go and watch them season if you want to like what did I do in 2015? What was I doing in 2017? They're all in the playlist on my main page there if you want to check them out That helps let me know Maybe it doesn't matter, but I thought it'd be nice to organize that all even if it's just for my own sake But I really think it'll make it easier for people to follow along that way. I Put a little bit effort into it Let's go get our load our load this week looks very similar to those last week, right? Pretty much the same thing It is different underneath there, but it looks the same, right? Oh, it's not waste any time. Let's get going Brainerd, Minnesota They unload until 10 p.m. So we will be unloaded tonight yet Minnesota 6 I like that the place that I deliver to in Brainerd is open till 10 p.m. I'm gonna get there around 7 30 or so tonight maybe 8 o'clock And at least I know they'll still unload me right? I don't have a reload I was really hoping to be able to point my nose in one direction or another and maybe get to my next shipper tonight But nothing came through the line So they know I'm out here, and they'll probably contact me first thing in the morning with directions Just if they are gonna send me back up to Canora, which is possible I mean, I could have gotten all the way back there tonight yet I would have had the hours to do that or at least pretty close to it But maybe they're waiting on something down here. You know, maybe they got something really good really high-paying Lined up. There's waiting on confirmation or something You never know coffee for free. It makes your day when that happens In Canada if you're in the Timmy's lineup and the person in front of you pays for your pays for your coffee Makes your week makes your month makes you feel like a million bucks And you're supposed to pay it forward and do it for someone behind you, right? Whether on that day or another day But today every now and then I end up at a truck stop or a gas station I just have a coffee and I bring my coffee up to the counter and they look at me and they Either just give me a nod and say you're good. Have a good day Or they ask me if I want anything else or if I have gas outside And I'm not just a coffee and they just say have a good day And they give me a free coffee. Thank you to all the wonderful Wonderful gas station and truck stop cashiers that do that You have no idea how much that can lift up a driver a long day of driving and It's a simple free coffee. Just Makes you feel great.  Oh No, lucky. I'm in a big truck, but Can't just turn around that quickly I hope he stays off the road Let's go back there and see if I can find out who owns them Wag my finger at them. Keep your dog off the highway Give me a heart attack one of my biggest pet peeves Actually, I have a lot of pet peeves. You guys have been watching me long enough.  Yeah, it's another one.  You live in the area Keep an eye out for my truck if you're ever passing by there I apparently I come down here quite a bit. This seems to be like a new new routine for this For this time for the time being we'll see how long I don't mind it actually I'm I kind of like it Nice little loop a little chiller chillier out at night. Hey a little chiller Had to break out the hoodie twice already The leaves are starting to change color. I think I just showed that to you like in today or yesterday today's video, right? Huh We made it to Brainerd and we got unloaded so we have an empty trailer behind us and We got no direction for tomorrow yet And if I'm going back to canora, I mean they're they're weighing a few different options. That's why I'm not going anywhere I'm just I just want to pillager, Minnesota down the road and There's my Casey's truck stop there.  That's my favorite spot to stop in that area We'll see what happens tomorrow. They send us back to canora. They send us back to canora It would be a good run to do like back and forth because you can get from here Back to canora and then back down here in one day or from canora down here And then back to canora and then load the next day, right? So technically you could do one load per day We'll see. We'll probably be on this for a little while. Maybe tomorrow I'm guessing I'm probably going back to canora and you know in the coming weeks. We'll see what they have for us I'm tired though. It's been a long day. I Rushed through the unloading. That's why I didn't fail many of it I Got unloaded got my tarps off got my straps off as fast as I could Got unloaded and got back to the truck stop here is I just I just want to relax A long day Felt like a long day. It wasn't actually that long of a day when it felt like a long day So thanks for hanging out and thanks for hanging out every day. Don't forget down Below in the description is links to all my social media everywhere. You can find me on the internet Also, if you want to go through my vlogs from the beginning of when I started keeping track I started making videos in 2011 But this series called my trucking life I Started in 2014 or a little before that but I've arranged them all into playlists by year or seasons now So I've started in 2014 as season one everything before that will be like pre TJV or pre my trucking life I'm gonna organize that all yet, but I've gotten these blogs all organized now for you So we're in season nine right now 2022 so 2023 will be season 10 So if you want to go back to season one and watch it year by year how I've changed I grew a bit more facial hair I got married we moved a couple of times Lots happened in these last nine seasons So I've made that all I've organized that all there for you. Let me know what you think go check it out Hopefully it'll help. There's still the main playlist there. That's everything from start to finish if you want one whole playlist but Try to make things a little easier to find because I have like 3000 videos on the internet and I want to make sure that you can find what you're looking for if you're looking for some old TJV you can find some old stuff in my playlist if you want to see like what was Josh doing in 2017 Well, there's a playlist for that now. I believe that'll be 14 15 16 season 4 of Trucker Josh. It's a in the playlist on my main page where my main page scroll down bunch of playlists And I think there's a link you click playlist Yeah, let me know you think of that and I'll see what I can do with the older older vlogs some of it's pretty cringy And I'm not afraid of releasing some cringy old content to you I just want to go through it all because I haven't watched it in about 11 years So life is very different now than it was then I'll slowly go through it all and I'll be releasing those old videos one at a time and Maybe sharing it out on my social media when I do that'll be on Facebook. That's my main platform that I use the most I also share onto Twitter Instagram I don't use snapchat. I don't like that app. I don't use it at all, but I have one Tick tock. I I have a tick tock. I'm uh, I'm a Dabble you'll find me there links and everything are down below the description of every single one of my videos If you want to reach out to me, don't message me on Facebook messenger I don't check those messages you gotta if you want to reach me about something You got to email me at trucker Josh vlogs at gmail.com The best way to get a hold of me because I don't check all my messages because I literally get about 500 messages a day through all My platforms, I don't check my messages on Instagram. I don't check my messages on Facebook I don't use Twitter much so I don't get many messages there But if you tweet me, I'll be able to see that but if it's a direct message I may not see that so if you want a direct message me my email is the the best place to get a hold of me And that's where you can send your intros to you see those intros the beginning of all my videos Hey, my name is this and I'm from here. You're watching trucker Josh vlogs You don't have to say exactly that you can make it personal You can shout out your own YouTube channel if you've got a business or something Take a second to shout out your business. Tell us what you're all about Show us something you're proud of that you made Make it make it about you. Okay, that make it like 30 seconds or less or a little more It doesn't matter if it was a little over just don't make it like five minutes a five minute intro is a little bit much Maybe even one minute might keep it under a minute But yeah, tell a little bit about you you can send those to my email address Trucker Josh vlogs at gmail.com link is down below in the description Send me your intros if you if you sent me one before you can send me more I don't I don't mind posting more than one if you want to keep making them I'll keep posting them in front of my videos I love including you in my video and in my content like that I think that's pretty awesome, and then you also get to see yourself on the screen It's pretty cool. We can work together that way and I can get to know you a little bit like you know me Even if it is just a little bit Take care everybody. I look forward to your intros and I'll talk to you later


from the campus of MIT in Cambridge, Massachusetts. It's theCUBE, covering the MIT Chief Data Officer and the Information Quality Symposium. Now, here are your hosts, Stu Miniman and Paul Gillan. Welcome back, this is theCUBE, SiliconANGLE, Wikibon's traveling live streaming video platform. We go around the country to conferences all over the country, all over the world in fact, and bring you live interviews with the people who are making those conferences work. Thought leaders like Bill Winkler who joins us now, Chief Technology Officer Global IDs. Bill's giving a session later today on data quality and customer experience. And Bill, thanks for joining us. Thanks for having me. I was interested by that topic, data quality and customer experience. What does data quality have to do with customer experience? Can you make that real for us? What does it have to do with it? So if you think of what's happening today that many organizations are trying to reshape their customer experience, they're digitizing it, they're moving it to mobile devices. In the past, if you were calling a customer service rep for data quality issues that the service rep was dealing with, they could have buffered that, but now it's front and center in the screen. So as an example, you went to a website and ordered a t-shirt, and what was delivered was something different than what you had. It's indicative of some sort of data quality problem or system problem. And so there's a relationship we believe between the customer experience and the defects and the data that are driving those interactions. And you talk about metrics, data quality metrics, and really knowing where those misfires are. What kind of metrics are you talking about? So it could be a variety of things, but if you use an example from Telecom, my background, service orders drive everything. The customer orders equipment, they order network and small defects in the order. Missing pieces of information, wrong addresses, will cause automated processes to fail, which invariably will cause rework. Some of that will result in inferior customer experience. So Bill, we talk to most people when they're talking about data. It's either about using data to create new revenue streams or leveraging data to help save money. Talk to us about how global IDs is helping customers with either making or saving money with data. Making or saving money. A lot of people have a surprising amount of duplicate data that as, and they don't actually, a lot of firms don't actually realize the extent to which they have it. So what our firm does is, our software does is scan, we use automation, and that we discover what the data means through automation, but also where you have duplication. So we can tell that it's the same content or roughly the same content. We can also tell you where it originated from. Through profiling, we can say, this data set appears to be originating from this system and then it flows an hour later to here, two hours later here. So there's tremendous amount of money that's tied up in, say, sand storage. So if you can cut your sand storage, you move data to a lower cost like NFS as an example, you can reduce savings. We can show you where I have dormant databases so you can retire them or at least build strategies to reduce costs. I've heard estimates that in some companies as much as 85% of corporate data is in Excel spreadsheets. And sitting on desktops, not even on a corporate sand, what do you do about that problem? How do you get data out of the hands of the people who cling to it and into some sort of shared space where it can actually be managed for quality? It's a good question. I think that varies depending on the industry. I think it varies based on what they're doing. We do see a lot of Excel spreadsheets and we can profile those as well. I don't have a good answer for that question. But you can profile, I mean, how do you do that? Everything that Excel of different forms of documents that can be converted into tabular form, we can bring it in and we can make sense of it. So if you were extracting data from relational database into Excel, the same data elements are gonna flow through. You may have different labels on the columns, but our software doesn't care. It's actually looking at data values, patterns, relationships among different columns to say, this is the same stuff. This is where this Excel spreadsheet likely came from. What about the value of the data itself? Not all data is created equal. How do you kind of separate the high quality data versus low quality, help customers work through that? That's a great question. So some of it is taking advantage of that duplication. So the most valuable data in our experience is data that is duplicated because that's what people want. And so it's seeing the same stuff over and over again in multiple databases where the software can correlate and say, ah, this must be important. I don't know necessarily what it means, but I see the same patterns over and over again. Second part of your question was around quality. So consistency is an issue. So as things get duplicated from place to place, they may, there may be processes to keep it synchronized, but occasionally there'll be operational errors or different things that cause things to get out of sync. So we can also measure, knowing where data originated, we can measure how close this replica is to the original one. We can find things that are places where you should invest perhaps some money to clean it up. But it's through this domain profiling that we can find from an organization that might have 70 million columns of data. It distills down to something that's probably in the order of about 15,000 data elements that are common across those, of which maybe 500 are ones that would be core to the business. That seems to be pretty common. Is there a technology solution to this data getting out of hand? I mean, blockchain or something that can stamp this as the one true, legitimate version of the truth? I wish, I don't have an answer to that either. Well then talk about where your customers are looking for data quality. I mean, IBM's CU Suite study last year found the customer experience was the number one priority of business executives in not just North America, but in Europe and elsewhere in the world. Where are they spending now on data quality? Where are they investing now in data quality as a driver of better customer experience? So I will tell you that what we're proposing is more of an experiment to try to answer those questions. That Thomas Redman has said many times, he's written a book on it, Data Driven, where he's talked about that the same techniques that we use for manufacturing to control quality, Six Sigma control charts apply to data as well. And so what we're proposing is that we work with customers that have, can identify a customer service problem that relates to data. And use those same techniques to be able to not only demonstrate the cost of the errors, but also to be able to, once we correct it, demonstrate the savings that you get once you do it. We think that if we can get a few key projects like that, that story, that example can build on itself. Our customer satisfaction is notoriously difficult to measure accurately. Before we began reporting, we were talking briefly about the Net Promoter Score, which is kind of considered a kind of gold standard by many people of customer satisfaction. You said that even that score can be manipulated.  So that's evidence that the system is in place. There's evidence that there's emphasis in that company on improving customer service, but it's backfiring. The other thing that you see with Net Promoter Score is it's sort of a lagging indicator that you can't ask people over and over again, how was your experience, how was your experience. So the thought process is that there's some correlation, we believe, between data defects, the data that is feeding your experience and your experience. If we can measure that, then maybe we have a surrogate measurement that we can use to gauge customer experience. So Bill, your company's been here for a couple of years and last year we interviewed your CEO here on theCUBE. I'm curious, can you give us kind of, as you look from year to year, how are we progressing? Are companies getting better at sorting out metadata and managing their data? Are we making progress on CDO development? There are places that are very encouraging. There are other aspects where it's unclear how systems become simpler, that you would think that systems have gotten as complex as they possibly can, but you merge two companies that have enormously complex systems and there's no way to unravel it in a reasonable length of time. So if you go out 50 years, how can you envision the way this gets, it's unclear to me how it gets sorted out. But there is a lot of interest in data. I see a lot of, with machine learning, emphasis on being able to pull data in to do very innovative things. With that comes privacy concerns. So we see a lot of concern around where is my sensitive data stored. So it's a very exciting area, but there's a lot of work left to be done. And you just got to do it. So, Bill Winkler, we're out of time. Thank you very much for joining us here. Thanks for having me. Best of luck with your continuing efforts to simplify data complexity of your clients' companies. Thank you. This is theCUBE. We will be back shortly with more guests from the MIT Chief Data Officer Information Quality Symposium in Gamers Mass.


Welcome to Access to Trader, the number one community for those who are committed to taking control of their trading in order to achieve success, profitability, and longevity. Thank you for joining us. Here's Dan Shapiro to help you find your edge, master your process, and own your future. Hey guys, giving everybody welcome to another edition of the access to trader com nightly wrap up show. Hope everybody had a good day. Very, very aggressive action. We'll talk about the individual pivots in a few minutes. You kind of saw brewing. Okay. Yesterday we saw a tremendous disconnect. The Dow was up at 1.6 700 points on the soft opening. I believe this is a June 15 date that all again non essential businesses were going to start to open up their doors and kind of salvage of what they lost over the last couple of months. So you started seeing really, really big macro moves yesterday and airlines continuation and airlines and casinos in cruise ships, right? Anything Disney anything to do with leisure restaurants anything to do with opening up their doors and kind of, you know, letting in right letting in letting in the money. I think I think it's the best way of saying it but the one thing that caught our eye yesterday and we talked about this last night and yesterday was some really good value. Everything was to the downside. All the value yesterday was to the downside and we continued to see this and again it all started so innocently. If you guys remember it all started with Netflix, right? Couple of days ago, the first high flyer, one of the prime prime candidates of the whole stay at home movement that really benefited, right? And you started seeing kind of a buyer strike somewhere around this area here into the upper Bollinger man and it all started very innocently once it lost the five day moving average. Again, going back to all these videos guys, if you've never, especially if you're new traders, if you're if you're still very, very early into your whole journey of trading, start with the five day. Just trust me on this. If you if you never listen to anything that I ever say ever again, as far as technical analysis goes, start with the five day moving average.   Again, it's again, it's another conversation for another day, but it started so innocently with Netflix. It lost the five day moving average at four fifth and you can start seeing every single day weakness, weakness, more weakness, no matter what the market was doing. Again, buyers were tapping out. They were tired. There was an energy strike in Netflix. And then you started seeing the same thing with Amazon, right? Huge run and again, another major benefit or of the whole stay in movement. Again, Amazon is Amazon, no matter what happens in the world, if Corona didn't exist, if anything, if the world if measles 2.0 comes into Amazon will still be Amazon. So the idea that Amazon was also kind of a major recipient of business. Okay, you can make that case. So you started seeing the same thing with Amazon. And again, here is the five day moving average and again, same thing with Netflix. It slowly but surely started building under and again, nobody noticed it, right? Nobody noticed it. It was all good.  It's all good. Buy the dip, buy the dip, buy the dip. And then it started snowballing, right? It started snowballing with ZM. It started snowballing with BYND, right? BYND, Apple, we talked about this yesterday, right? Little by little, the video we started talking about in the video is again, one day away, one day away. And if you didn't pay attention to what the market was screaming at you yesterday, okay? And again, if you're trading, if you're in airlines and if you're in hotels and everything and you didn't even know this was going on, this is not your thing. That's fine. Then this conversation has nothing to do with you. But if you do trade these high flying technology names, high beta names, the biggest average shoe range recipients in the whole market, right? If you trade these stocks and you completely avoided the signs, not just yesterday, okay? Yesterday I think was an extreme sign. I mean, the loudest I've seen these beta names scream at us, okay? At full tilt, like literally scream at us telling us, hey, there's something wrong, there's something wrong. We're underneath the first area of support. If we get confirmed, we're going to go lower. And yesterday was some really good value. And we talked about this in last night's video. Yesterday was the first time, I can honestly say, and I said this on the video last night, that I was 100% sell buys. I don't think I've ever said that, probably doing any of these updates, but I was 100% sell buys. And you could see there was no participation in any rally. A lot of these names are closing at the lows. They kept on getting rejected into supply over and over and over again. And I said to myself, the only thing that can really derail a lot of value going to today if we gap down. So when we gapped up this morning and we were up 350 points, and again, the Dow is doing a phenomenal job. Again, it doesn't really take a lot for these Dow components to put up a 3, 4, 500 point move. Again, there's only 30 of them, so it really doesn't take a lot. It's more water cooler talk than anything else. So when everything gapped up today and we were up 350 points, that was the cleanest way of capturing confirmation for today's session. You saw Amazon gap up 12. And I said to myself, okay, that's perfect. Again, it wasn't like a 30, 40 point gap up. It was 12, right? You saw Netflix gap up like a dollar. BYND gapped up like a dollar. There was nothing. There was absolutely no juice with a 350 point rally gap up.  The easiest way to get absolutely destroyed in any market is to anticipate something happening. Again, you're guessing. You're gambling. You're forecasting. These are incredibly bad no-nos that if you do that more often than not, you're going to blow out your account. So I said patiently, look, we're going to wait for these areas to patiently confirm. I'm literally 100% sell bias tape. The only one that I liked on the upside was Boeing, just because of all the call buying. I never got there. And I said, well, it's just a matter of time. If these things confirm, they're going to get hit. Now, again, nobody in their right mind was thinking we were going to have candles like we saw today. I thought the normal thing, maybe $10, $12 on Amazon, maybe $3, $4 on Netflix. Right? Because again, you're trading based on technical analysis. You're trading based on stocks going from supply to supply in the upside and demand to demand to the outside. So again, you cannot step up to that and try to hit a five-run home run. I've discussed this in nausea so many times. Again, five-run home runs don't exist unless you're trading the stock market. And today was one of the most aggressive sell-offs I could remember in a very, very long time. And this is a perfect example of how having familiarity with the stocks that you want to trade every single day. So again, we weren't watching a million different stocks. It's the same names over and over again. If you've been watching this broadcast, it's literally the same pivots, whether they're long, short. Again, this is our specialty. Again, not because the PS60 theory is restricted to beta. You can literally trade pivots on anything, $2 stocks, $20 stocks, whatever you want. This is just my drug of choice because again, these guys are giving us the greatest average true range. And when these confirm and they confirm aggressively, unbelievable things happen. And if you look at the cues today, just to kind of see exactly what happened, if you look at the cues today and see exactly what happened at the open. So we gapped up, gapped up, hit supply perfectly. And for the next three and a half hours, the first three and a half hours of the day, just absolute destruction.  A lot of these names did flash crash. They literally did. And the only one that I left off, I think I literally put almost every single one of them on the Twitter feed. But it didn't make a difference. You weren't looking for another one. The one that you were in, that was the one. So Tesla today, Amazon, Tesla, Nvidia, Netflix, they were just going one by one by one. And again, when you see the mirror image of this and exactly what happened to the beta names, it turned out to be again, one of the more aggressive sessions, especially the first two, three candles, that I thought, hell, I thought there was a shot the way they were going down. I thought there was a shot that the NASDAQ 100 could go down 300 points, let alone 150. And the most amazing part what happened next, and this is where you really have to take your hat off to the bulls. There was a tremendous V-shape recovery. And now it's setting up for tomorrow. Again, you don't need to be creative, guys. Every stock is literally putting in a hammer. We'll get to the technical side of it. But let's talk about the pivots here. This is the only one that didn't trigger here. Boeing 149, 75, 150. I still like this for tomorrow. So let's go. Let's start it. So 2404, Amazon, if it builds below. I thought the first move to get to 2390, right? 2404, if it builds below, could go to 2390. Yeah, it didn't quite stop at 2390. So here was 2390, right? So here was 2390 here. And it kind of forgot that there was support and it went all the way down to 2330, just absolute destruction. NVIDIA, 345 if it builds below can flush more. Again, nobody was thinking 12, 20, 30. Nobody was thinking this, okay? 3, $4, right? From support to support, okay? So NVIDIA takes out 345, okay? This is 345, takes out 345. The first candle goes to 328 and then confirms later and goes to 319. Bonkers, absolute bonkers. I caught Tesla pretty well here. 810 support. I said there was a shot it gets down to 396. My lowest cover was 801, okay? So I was okay with that. So I got shorted at 810, added more at 809 and it just imploded. It absolutely imploded. And then there was another candle, right? There was another candle at 396 that I said, hey, if it starts building 396 it gets to 387 and went down to 785. Just to give you an example how incredibly aggressive today was. They overshot support, like it wasn't even there. That's the most aggressive part. On Netflix, again, you can see the notes here. 409, 50, 409 if it builds below can flush to 404, 405. Again, 404, 405 is a phenomenal trade. It's a beautiful trade. There's nothing wrong with this trade until you realize that, again, it went through 405 like it wasn't even there. So here's 405, it went down to 397. Again, it overshot support by $7, just absolute bananas. And then they just, again, they were just literally going one by one. Now, again, look at the notes here. 379, 50, 379 if it builds below can go to 376, any close. Again, we weren't saying anything below 76. Any close below 76 is super bearish. NOW, I mean, just destroyed.  So here is the 379, 50. It stopped the 376, basically gave any dip by the FU, right? And went all the way down to 352, just destruction. Absolute destruction. Apple literally, they were going one by one by one, 316, 50, 316 and a quarter if it builds below can flush. Again, here's Apple, here's the 316, right? Here's the 316, 50, 316, 50, 316, 50, 316, 50. Stock went down to 313. Again, one of the most, one of the more tamer of the moves. But again, $3 candle on Apple is phenomenal. Again, one by one, square. If it builds below 80, it can flush. Look at square, here was 80, right? Here was 80 right here, square went down to 76.  One after another, MDB, if it builds below 214, if it builds below can flush, right? Here's MDB, here's 214, right? Here's the 214, MDB went down to 196.  And then we were watching Tesla to the upside that never confirmed. And again, you could just see the notes, just destroyed, smacked. I ran out of hyperboles.  I mean, which one do you want? 405 coming, if you got a 405, you know, 397 coming, right? Take on the way down, had a shot to 96. I mean, Beta got destroyed, perfect game plan. And then I joked around, this is literally an hour into the close. I joked around, I go, what do you guys want to do for the rest of the day?  And then the waiter is taking away the plate.  I mean, what do you want to do for the rest of the plate? The rest of the day. And the most amazing part, again, destroyed, you know, the stocks got destroyed. Destroyed BY&D for all you guys who came in short yesterday from the 134 confirmation that Beyond got destroyed. So we were sitting there, we were sitting there. And the most amazing part, and this is again kind of where we want to lead into tomorrow, you saw this big aggressive V-shape recovery. But again, it didn't just stop out of nowhere. And this is kind of when you're doing your research tonight, you'll really see stocks mirror exactly the NASDAQ 100, the Qs. They held the rising 20-day support and put this aggressive hammer. Again, for all you guys who are just starting to trade, again, hammer is the most basic reference point for bullish action to come. Hammer is bullish, inverted hammer is bearish. So all we're waiting for tomorrow is for confirmation of prices, above prices for today's level above the 16-minute channel. I think the perfect world for tomorrow, if we can get a light open. Because remember, the Dow Jones had a big run here. You had a two-day run of 1,000 points. So if the Dow can be weak tomorrow, it would be really good. It has nothing to do, we don't care about the Dow. But if we can get 100, 200-point kind of washout in the Dow in the morning, and maybe get a little bit of weakness in the beta names, in a perfect world, what they would happen is for these stocks to kind of trap early, late shorts, right, trap late shorts, go red to green later, take out 10 a.m. highs, and then confirm and rally for the rest of the day. Because if you look at these charts, they're all going to mirror the NASDAQ 100. If you look in the video, right, you've got Monster Hammer, you've got Netflix, which I really like for tomorrow, Monster Hammer, when you look at Apple, right, Monster Hammer and Reclaim the 5-day Moving Average, Amazon, same thing, Monster Hammer, Reclaimed Oil Support. So again, you don't need to be very, very creative for tomorrow. Again, we have a very, very specific plan every single day. I know a lot of you guys did incredibly well today. And guess what? It's over, okay? It's over. It's okay to be happy, but again, it's very, very important to be completely stable and mentally sharp for tomorrow because the market is not going to give you a mullion because you had a good day yesterday or a good day today. It's all about the new day. And again, every single day is as only as good as the, you know, it's day-starting picture. Again, kind of a baseball terminology. But tomorrow, again, I am bullish. I'm bullish for tomorrow. I was 100% bearish or at least sell side for today. I'm pretty, pretty bullish for tomorrow. Again, look at the stocks, the high flyers that got killed, the put in the hammers. It'll take you, it'll literally take you 10 minutes. If you trade bait, it'll take you 10 minutes to run through, you know, 10, 15 stocks. My advice for tomorrow, take the three, four names that you want to trade. You can't trade everything, okay? Take the three, four names that you want to trade. If you're an options trader, understand where measured potential is for tomorrow and line up your ducks in a row. And hopefully tomorrow, we'll get some great value. And hopefully tomorrow, everything will play out like we think it will. So guys, have a great day, great job today. And God's willing, I'll see you all tomorrow. Take care. Congratulations for putting in the time to take control of your trading. You're one step closer to owning your future and achieving the success you desire. Want daily trade ideas directly from Dan? Straight off his personal watch list? Unlock our free PS60 vault where you'll get nightly updates on pivot opportunities we're watching for the next day's session. Click the link in the description to get started today.