The 303rd Bomb Squadron is ecstatic to go back out to exercise Red Flag and Nellis. This exercise is the world's preeminent large-force exercise, and so every pilot and 303rd Bomb Squadron is ready to go, ready to test their medal against the aggressors to learn to get better. So we just can't wait to get out there. Red Flag was really born from failure. The Air Force after Vietnam realized that when a pilot would go through its first 10 combat missions, the chance of survival beyond that increased tremendously. So Red Flag was created to emulate those first 10 combat missions, and thereby get us ready to go to combat. And that's really what Red Flag is about, building combat lethality. So the Air Force has an aggressor squadron that's going to do their best to mess with our plan to emulate an enemy on the ground in the air and cyber and in space and really test our ability to do what we want to do. So going up against real aggressors is why Red Flag is so unique. What I want to see at Red Flag is our young pilots push to their comfort zone, challenged. I want to see them fail, so ultimately they can succeed, so they can learn from those failures, debrief them, go back out the next day, and then ultimately win. I would just say to Team Whiteman, thank you so much. Thank you for the amazing support, for enabling our mission, and we're going to go out there to exercise Red Flag and make you proud and represent the B2, and it's because of all your wonderful support that we're able to do that, so thank you.


Buffalo ranch blue cheese skillet pee-wee potatoes let's make them first step we're going to hit them with our oil and now we're going to hit them with the cheese name what's that well just wait and last but not least dano chipotle in 15 minutes we pulled them out now we're going to add some ranch give them a shake and back in they go last we're going to hit them with the blue cheese crumbles buffalo sauce ranch dressing and top it with some chas the best potatoes i've ever had in my life


Forecasting with exponential smoothing is a book focused on a niche topic. I picked up this book because I like Rob Hyman's other papers and books. There is also another familiar name, Keith Ord, who wrote a fantastic, practical book on business forecasting. If you are interested in this book, check out my video review. Exponential smoothing was formulated without a statistical framework. It has been a successful forecasting algorithm in practice for decades. Wife-less about the lack of statistical framework in the backing. The authors expound on the utility of having a statistical framework for exponential smoothing. I think that if you are interested in writing forecasting software, teaching exponential smoothing, or getting a deeper understanding of forecasting methodology, this is the book for you. But I think there is more to this book than just being a passive observer of the unfolding of a statistical framework. I think this book is an example of how good forecasters think critically. If you pay attention, you may walk away with some thoughts on how to add statistical frameworks to other algorithms. One thing I appreciated was the recursive calculation tables. It was nice to be able to compare and contrast models with different trend and seasonality parameters and how to factor in errors that were additive or multiplicative. Then I could compare state space tables against the recursive formulas to see what the authors were bringing to the table. I like this section on MACE, which is mean absolute-scaled error. It is clear that this is an important metric for modern forecasting. Sections end with exercises. When you set exponential smoothing on a statistical framework, you get prediction distributions for free. Authors dedicate a full chapter on how these prediction distributions are generated. One topic that is sometimes glossed over is how to handle time series with multiple seasonal patterns. They offer some advice for practitioners on how to approach this problem within the scope of the exponential smoothing. I really enjoyed their section on count data. It is a common problem in firms, but rarely addressed in books and literature. One thing I really appreciated was the table they had comparing forecast performance of various models. I learned how to compare models a little better from this table alone. First, they used MACE as a metric. Second, they compared many models. Third, they reported the mean, median, and standard deviation. Fourth, they had a benchmark performance of a model they called Z. Z was simply predicting zero, always. Those performance was not good. It was nice to have a sense of what kind of error a simple assumption like that would work out to be. Part four is the section I have revisited the most. It is hard for practitioners to really know what other forecasters are doing in other companies. Most work is considered IP. That makes sense, and I also respect that as well. Because ideas are not always shared completely across firms, the applications sections and books are sometimes the best tutor you can have for real business scenarios. Thanks for watching, and we'll see you next time.


Well, everybody, we did it. One million Bitcoin addresses with one Bitcoin or more. And to me, this is actually a very positive thing to take a look at as the market progresses. Now, right now, it's not a very interesting market. I will give you that. This week has been some pretty interesting news that's going on. But we're kind of suffer from the whole hum drums of the things that are going on the market. But this, I think, will give you a little bit of perspective. So there was a report that just came out, and this came over from looking at Bitcoin, a little alert that flashed my inbox, that right now, addresses with a balance of more than one Bitcoin is at one million addresses. Now, I have to preface it with this. Even though we have one million addresses with one Bitcoin or more, that does not mean that there are one million people with one Bitcoin. For example, I personally have multiple ledgers. I have multiple Bitcoin addresses. So just because this says there's one, I myself am responsible for four to seven of those. So take it with a grain of salt. But it is interesting how things are moving up and to the right. And if we actually zoom in here, we're going to see that just about a year ago for the addresses part. We're at 834,000, I mean, roughly 26 or so, go 4836. And as the price of Bitcoin starts to go down, you can see that people start to accumulate a little bit more. And of course, this happens as time goes on. And then of course, right now, if we're looking at just into the website is looking at Bitcoin.com, link in the description, great website. It's got everything for free, high quality charts. It actually tops out at 999,341. However, if we take a look at Glassnode, we can see that it has touched that million person mark of one Bitcoin or more. So me personally, I think this is, like I always say, a step in the right direction. Also, it's not just one Bitcoin. It's if we take a look at just wallets or addresses with more than one Bitcoin, you've got, if we just take a look at 2010 was 57,000. And we just keep going up and to the right 2023, 1 million. Now if we go into some smaller denominations, 0.1 Bitcoin, we're still going up. So people are still accumulating. And again, at 0.01, which, hey, if you got that, you're going to be way ahead of, I mean, almost a ton of the millionaires out there that haven't gotten into this game. We're sitting at 12 million. So again, things are moving in the right direction. We hear bad news. We hear about these, these things that are going on, we kind of lose perspective, one in doubt, zoom out, look at the big picture, things are going on. So I see all these things happening with Bitcoin. And there's a lot of people that are accumulating and sticking with some like, well, I wonder how people are using it for, are they using it for transactions? Is the store of value? Well, if we take a look at Bitcoin active addresses, we can see that's usually in the, in the bull markets, we can see here in 2017. As the price starts to heat up, then people start to move Bitcoin around probably because they're selling, let's just be honest.  It may have been used for exchanges or may have been used for a method of exchange. And then going up to the next bull run 2021, same thing. We saw a massive amount of people moving things around that had dropped off. And then here we go, kind of sideways action.  I thought to myself, why are, why did the addresses go so low so quickly? This isn't this week here. And I thought, well, maybe it's because of this. Binance is pulling out of Canada. I don't know if you had heard about this, but Binance is saying that because of regulatory pressures and issues, they will not be staying in Canada and completely pulled out along with other crypto exchanges. Now Kraken has stayed, but Binance being one of the largest exchanges out there in the world, said that it went out. This happened yesterday, May 12th on Friday. And they said it was because of investor limits and mandatory registrations. So I don't understand the major difference between KYC and AML in Canada and what we have in the USA, but there are issues and it all comes down to regulation. So the next question that I had was, well, why, why are these active addresses or people not transacting in Bitcoin? And it can be something as simple as this. It's expensive. It's pricey. This has been in full charts. And you can see the average transaction fee has been quite a bit. And once it starts to top out, right now, let's see, it was the average transaction fee for Bitcoin. This was on May 8th, we talked about, $31.  Now we can see the same thing over here. So sideways, dropped off a cliff. And that could just be that people are like, hey, I'm sick of using Bitcoin as transactions because it's just way too expensive. Now, this is a little bit better than Ethereum, but this is what we have. Then before we move on the next piece, I will say this, that because of Binance pulling out of Canada, it's all because of regulation. We're also seeing a lot of things that are happening in America because of Gary Gensler and the SEC and their ridiculous crackdown of crypto. But as they start to pull out these big companies, these VCs, the people that are investing in crypto, it just causes a vacuum for them to go someplace else. This is from Decrypt, the Mika, the new regulation from Europe. It spurs a surge in VC funding for EU based crypto startups. And why do they do that? Because they gave clarity and positive clarity to be quite honest. So this one, a little bit of context, an influx of VC funding is flowing into the European crypto market over the past couple of months. Executive said, is because of the landmark crypto regulation in the EU. How much so? Well, Patrick Hansen, EU policy director at USDC says VC investment in the European crypto project is up almost 10X in one year. Let me say that again. VC investment in European crypto projects, almost 10X in one year. One year that happened, a lot of it happened because they knew there's going to be positive crypto regulation with Mika and it actually happened. So America can keep screwing around and do the things they want to do, but it'll just cause a vacuum and it'll go some other places like what is happening right there. So that to me, it's a neutral news on that one. I'm happy for Europe, but America is just slowly dying in crypto, but also one good thing here in America, two states. First of all, the great state of Texas I live in, they introduced a bill to ban CBDCs and also Ron DeSantis, who is the governor of Florida, passed his legislation to ban central bank digital currencies. And here is what I will say on this lastly. Even though they may put a regulation out that says we're going to ban CBDCs, that's great. That's fine. That's dandy. But unfortunately here in the States, doesn't only mean too much. If the state bans a CBDC, but the US government comes on and says, look, we're going to make this legal tender, we're going to put it all across the entire country, that ban will not hold water. However, there are some things they can do. They could just say, well, if you're going to want to do that and use a CBDC and allow that privacy to be exploited and everything out there in the open, we're going to let you do that. But if you want to use a CBDC here in Florida or here in Texas in another state, you're going to pay a tax. And that is a CBDC tax. And they can say, you know what, we're going to tax you 30% for every transaction that you do, or you can use cash or you can use debit or you can use crypto. And there's no taxes that you could do that. That is one thing the States can do. And it's very effective. It's the same thing the US government is trying to do right now as they tax or try to tax crypto miners. So it goes both ways. So that is positive, maybe a little bit of negative in that one. And lastly, I just wanted to follow up with this last piece. I thought it was interesting because we had a really good show, me, Ben, and guy, Coin Bureau and the Cryptiverse, and it was our NFA show. This was on Thursday, just this week. And one of the things that guy talked about, I'll link this in the description below. You can check it out. It's a pretty good one. We talked about upcoming recession. We talked about the problems that are going on in the crypto, the meme coins. But one thing that guy said that stuck with me, and I had to have him repeat it, was he said that central banks passed their own regulation from within, which allowed them to custody crypto in 2025, more specifically Bitcoin, if they really wanted to. And I said, excuse me, guy, can you say that again? He goes, yeah, we did this video February, March, and it was 2025. So I looked through guys' videos and there's a ton, so I couldn't find it, but it's true. Central banks, two and four standards on banks' exposure to crypto in 2025. The group of central bank governors and head of supervision, GHOS, endorsed a global prudential standard for banks' exposure to crypto assets. Group is decided on January 1st, 2025 is the implementation date for that standard. So they're going to allow central banks to put Bitcoin on their ledgers, on the books. And I thought to myself, and this just goes in what we were talking about here, we were talking about a recession coming in, recession usually last 10 and a half months to a year. We talked about there's a presidential election coming about. This is in November 2024. And of course, the president will come, will take office, probably a new one in January 2025. And then it all, and then when Guy talked about central banks custing Bitcoin in 2025, it just kind of hit me. I'm like, holy smokes. I go, this is really coming into play of the four year cycles. I mean, we talk about this all the time, but just as a reminder, 2012 is a halving. 2013 is an all-time high dip and a reset. We did it again. 2016 halving, all-time high dip reset. We did it again in 2020. We had a halving 2021 all-time high dip and a reset. And without further ado, we're going to have a Bitcoin halving around March or April 2024. I don't care who the president is. I don't care if there's a session. I don't care what's going on. Nuclear war doesn't matter. There's going to be a Bitcoin halving happens every four years. And it's going to happen again. And now we're playing into this narrative of 2025. Could it be the all-time high? Well, it hasn't stopped it so far, but we'll see how it all goes. Just things that just eerie how things are lining up. Maybe it does, maybe it doesn't. That's it for today. So look, do you like today's video? Give me a favor, give it a thumbs up. Cryptoage, last I'm sorry, it's not a place you need to invest into passively. You really should be up to date. So consider subscribing. That's it for today. So thanks so much for stopping by. I do appreciate you. And I'll see you on the next one.


Welcome back to Kids Fun Science. My name is Ken. Today's experiment is how to make Play-Doh. As always, adult supervision is required. What you need for this experiment is flour, salt, water, veggie oil, cream of tartar, food coloring, a pan, and an oven. Alright, so Happy National Play-Doh Day. It's the September 16th and we're going to start off with one cup or 225 milliliters of flour and then one cup of water, which is 250 milliliters of water, and then we're going to add our veggie oil. We need one teaspoon of the veggie oil, so which is about 4.93 milliliters. I'm trying to do the best I can on milliliters. Sorry if I'm off a little. And then we're going to add two teaspoons of cream of tartar, and so that's about 10 milliliters of cream and tartar. And so you add that in there, you get both of those in, and then we're going to be adding about, or not about, we're going to be adding a quarter cup of salt, regular house salt. And that's about 59 milliliters, and then we're going to add your favorite food coloring. So now you guys all know blue is my favorite color, and I'm going to do about five drops. So you can do as many as you want. The more you do, the darker the Play-Doh, right? So I'm doing five drops of my favorite color. And then you're going to stir it. You're going to want to stir it until there is no more lumps. You do not want any lumps in it, so it might take a little while. Stir it up and get it completely stirred, and then I'll check back after I get all the lumps out. All right, so I've got just about all the lumps out, maybe a couple left in there, but then what I'm going to do is scrape it off into a pan. So I'm using, I think it's about just a regular square pan. I don't even know the measurement on it. Just get one that, you know, that it could fit in. So we're going to put it in the stove. So I get that in there, nice and neat. No spill there, so that's always nice. And then we're going to put it in the oven. I set the oven for 350 degrees and put it on for three minutes. It ended up taking about nine minutes. So I checked every three minutes, and if it comes out like this, where we pulled out, it looks, you don't want it liquidy. This is still kind of a little bit of liquidy, and you want to let it cool before you touch it. And so I let it cool down, and then I touched it, and you can see it's still kind of sticky. So I ended up doing that a couple times. This is the third time, and that part is fine, but there's a little bit sticky. So I put it in for three more minutes, which was nine, and we're ready to go. So now I've got the Play-Doh, and now we're going to put it together and start kneading it by playing around and squeezing it to get it to that right Play-Doh consistency. So remember, it's very important. You don't want to start kneading the Play-Doh until it's cooled down. I let it cool, and now I'm going to do that. And so if anyone's been on this channel before, now you know I'm going to explain the science behind it. So when heated, starch undergoes a gelization, or a thickening process. This is due to the hydrogen bonding between the starch and the water molecules. The granulars of starch absorb the water and swell up. The starch granulars become tangled and lose all structure. So this gives the Play-Doh that unique texture that we're all used to. Most of us have used Play-Doh or have played with it, right? So Play-Doh is actually an example of a gel. A gel is a colon, which is a liquid that's suspended in a solid. So an example of gels are jelly or gel at tin. So this is pretty cool. Fun to play with. When you're done with it, you're just going to put it in a ziplock bag, something airtight, so it'll keep that texture and moist feel.  I was able to do everything I would do with real Play-Doh. The texture was great. I was able to roll it out and say, hey, you know, happy National Play-Doh Day, which is pretty cool. And do all kinds of things you would do with Play-Doh. So I was pretty impressed with the overall results, and it made me pretty happy. So I hope you enjoyed this video. Remember to click thumbs up and to share if you like it. Happy National Play-Doh Day, and thanks for watching.


a power line right of way. Is that a good place to deer hunt? Well, let's find out from Brandy Muckelwright. She's with Georgia Power and she knows all about this sort of thing. What do we need to know? There are several things that you should consider. The first is who owns the property? There may be an underlying property owner different from Georgia Power and Georgia Power just has what's called an easement to cross the property or Georgia Power may actually own the property. So you need to keep that in mind when you're looking into permission for hunting. Okay, so I have permission so now I can come and build my blind. So if you have permission from the underlying property owner, you still need to consider Georgia Power's rights of use of the right of way. So to be compatible with our right of use, you need to keep the stand in the outer 10 feet of the right of way. It should be no higher than 15 feet and it should be portable meaning that it's not permanently affixed to the ground in case we need to move it out of the way as we're in here working on our power lines. I see. What about building right under the power lines? That is not allowed for good reason. Certainly. Safety issues. We don't want deer stands right under the power lines. They should never be attached to our structures. They really need to be kept in the outer 10 feet of the right of way. Okay, so knowing the rules, the safety issues, still a good place to deer hunt, you knowing those things.


Hello and welcome to the session. In this session we discuss the following question which says, let the set B containing the elements A and B and let operation of sum and product be defined as follows. As shown in these two tables, show that the system consisting of the set B and the operations of sum and product is not a Boolean algebra. For a system consisting of the set B operations of sum and product to be a Boolean algebra, the following laws must be satisfied. First is the closure law, the commutative law, the associative law, the distributive law, then we have the inverse law, identity law. If these six laws are satisfied, then this system would be a Boolean algebra. This is the key idea that we use for this question. Let's proceed with the solution now. We have a set B which contains the elements A and B and these tables shows how the operations of sum and product are defined. Now first of all, we consider the closure law and see if this closure law is satisfied or not. Now we have A and B are the elements of the set B. Now consider A plus B, from this table, we find that A plus B is A and this also belongs to the set B. Then A into B, from the table above, we have A into B is B and this B also belongs to the set B. Therefore, as A and B belongs to the set B, A plus B also belongs to the set B and A into B also belongs to the set B. Therefore, the closure law is satisfied. Next we move on to the commutative law. Again consider A and B to be two elements of the set B. Now A plus B is equal to A. Now B plus A is equal to A. So these two are equal. That is we have A plus B is equal to B plus A. Now consider A into B. This is equal to B and B into A is also equal to B. So they are also equal. That is A into B is equal to B into A and thus we can say that the commutative law is satisfied. Next we have the associative law. For this we take the elements A and B belonging to the set B. Now consider A plus A plus B the whole. Now from this table we have A plus B is A. This is equal to A plus A and from this table again we have A plus A is B. So this is equal to B. Now we consider A plus A the whole plus B. Now we had observed A plus A is B plus B. Now from this table we have B plus B is A. So this is equal to A. Now from these two we observe that A plus A plus B the whole is not equal to A plus A the whole plus B. Now consider A into A into B the whole. This is equal to. Now from this table we have A into B is B. So this is equal to A into B. That is the place of A into B we write B. Now again A into B is B. Let's consider A into A the whole into B. So from this table we have A into A is B. So now B into B is equal to A. So these two are not equal. That is A into A into B the whole is not equal to A into A the whole into B. And therefore we can say that the associative law is not satisfied. Hence we can conclude that the system consisting of the set B and the operations of sum and product not a Boolean algebra is the session. Hope you have understood the solution of this question.


There's really no safe, like simply safe. Good morning, good morning, good morning. I'm in Washington, DC today, which is kind of fun. I also arrived around 11.30 last night. It is 6.30 in the morning. It was a last-minute trip. I got invited out to the White House, from the White House, to look at their holiday decorations, the unveiling of the holiday decor at the White House. And I was like, you know what? We're going. I'm going to be sharing it with you here on the channel. And I figured this is a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to go to the White House, and I have to document it. Now I thought it would be fun to give kind of a brief history lesson on Christmas and Christmas at the White House. So Queen Victoria and Prince Albert were actually shown in the London News in 1848 with the Christmas tree, and that's what kind of started the craze in the United States. But the first known Christmas tree brought into the White House was actually in 1889 during Benjamin Harrison's administration. In 1929, Lady Lou Henry Hoover was the first to actually decorate an official Christmas tree in the blue room, and ever since, the First Ladies have carried on the tradition. And in 1961, First Lady Jacqueline Kennedy started the tradition of picking themes for the White House Christmas decorations each year, and in 1961, she actually opted for ornaments and decorations depicting the Nutcracker Suite Ballet. And ever since, the tradition has stayed the same with the First Lady choosing the style of decor for the year. I got a suit for the occasion, and this one's perfect because look, it literally has like red and green and blue. It's like kind of Christmas-y, and then I got this shirt here. I got D'Zara super last minute right before my flight, Astrid Eye, and I got this. Come inside. Oh, that looks chic, Justin. Thank you. Outlet mall. And so I have two tie options. We have this like velvet cranberry raisin color, or this plaid, which is kind of fun because there are stripes and plaid in the outfit. I kind of look like just like corporate. Oh my gosh. Finished outfit of the day for the White House, and honestly, we're kind of a little late, so let's go. And rewinding just a little bit back to when I left my house in Los Angeles, I turned on my Simply Safe Home Security System to just make sure that my home and all of my belongings stayed safe while I was in Washington, D.C. and I've raved many times about how much I love my Simply Safe Home Security System because it really is such an easy system to set up. It shipped directly to your doorstep in a box. And not to mention the design of this home security system is really sleek and modern. I just love how it fits in pairs with any style of home decor. This is a base station here and it just sets up so easily to the app. And genuinely, you can have it set up in 45 minutes to an hour, especially during the busy holiday season. I know we don't have a ton of time, so setting this up is quick and easy, but it will give you peace of mind, especially during this busy gifting season with getting so many packages, traveling, being out of your home and visiting family for Christmas, and they have absolutely every single sensor and monitor for all your different doors, all your windows and entries, including HD cameras, both indoor and outdoor. And with their 24-7 live guard protection, only from Simply Safe, professional home monitoring agents will actually be able to speak to intruders in your home, helping to stop crime in real time. And unlike normal home security systems, Simply Safe never locks you into a long-term contract or charges any hidden fees.  They're offering you up to 50% off your Simply Safe home security system when you sign up for fast-protect monitoring. You are greeted by this really big tree that's sticking out the top of the building and going underneath the White House, which is so stunning. And I love this. They actually mentioned that the concept of this was kind of to be child-esque and being underneath the Christmas tree and what the experience of that would kind of be like. And as you got inside, it looked like this. There were so many bright colors, all the candy elements. It was really fun. We're going to tour the White House right now. This year's theme is the magic wonder and joy at the holidays. Look how stunning this tree is. So beautiful. And they said that this tree crafted out of wood, all the different elements. So beautiful. I just love the colors. Very me.  This is so beautiful. They're playing music at the end. This is so magical, you guys. This room, this is a grand ballroom. The rooms was just such a surreal feeling being in such a grand space. And honestly, I was staring at all of the artwork and wallpaper and curtains and mantles. I was looking at every little detail of these rooms because I was trying to take in everything. I wish I could have filmed more honestly, but we were here for just an hour. So I tried to capture just as much as I was possibly able to and give you all, of course, some inspiration for the holidays and take you along on such a unique and cool experience.  It was, I mean, it was beyond, I don't know if it's wallpaper or paint, but it was so bold, so bright, but it still had this kind of like subdued, like moody feeling to it. Loved it. All the art on the wall, these oil paintings. Oh my gosh, Christmas decor. I loved all of it. Now this room here, I really love the carpet in here. And then look at this oil painting of Abraham Lincoln above the fireplace. Are you kidding me? And Christmas Queen. And DIY King. So I'm just saying it's like a combination made in heaven. And we've been having such a good time. I know. And Rebecca and I have messaged before and we've never met in person. So it's so nice. We walked, I walked in this morning and she was standing right there through the window and I was like, wait, what? And yes. And you guys, you have to check out Rebecca's Christmas videos. If you need Christmas inspiration, her channel is like so good. She does like the best Christmas decor. And you do like multiple different styles always change it up, right? Every year it's different. Yeah. That's what I love. I love watching your Christmas videos because they're like really good, you guys. You have to go to check them out. I'm super proud of him. I feel like he's like my son. And I'm the OG on YouTube and he's that I've been watching you for a long time, like definitely since when I started my YouTube channel for sure. And how long has that been? Loan Fox? No, I've only had the Loan Fox channel for like four, four and a half, five. But I've been on YouTube for like 10. So you were checking out the competition. Yes. I was looking for competition. Right? All right. So fun to be here. And that was my experience visiting the White House and seeing the unveiling of the holiday decor, which was such a cool and unique experience. I just truly cannot believe that was not a spam email still. This is a little look at the front of the White House, what we were able to capture. And again, thank you so much for watching today's video and I will catch you in my next one.