Hello everybody. We have an important announcement to make. Please could you gather around, making sure to keep some distance from each other. You've probably heard about coronavirus or COVID-19. We do not yet have any cases identified here. However, it is important that we all immediately start taking measures to prevent any possible cases. Yeah, we heard about it. A lot of people are getting sick. It's all over the world. Yes, it is. Coronaviruses affect the lungs and usually cause common colds. It can give you fever, coughing, shortness of breath, a sore throat, or a runny nose. Common cold doesn't sound too serious. Well, for most people the illness is mild and some do not even feel sick. However, some may become seriously ill, such as people who are older or have chronic illness. We also don't want to overload the health services, so we need to do everything possible to prevent any cases from coming here. What if I get sick? Will I be taken care of? If you have any symptoms, you will be tested and it will be necessary to isolate you. This will be a health measure, not a disciplinary measure. We will still provide you with food, drink, and medication, access to the courtyard. We will let you know how long the isolation would last, and you will be monitored regularly by the health care team. If you have been together in a cell with someone with coronavirus, you may also need to be separated from others. This helps to stop it spreading further. How does it spread? Is there a risk of us getting it? It spreads from person to person through coughing, sneezing, or spitting near others, or on items that others then touch. Of course, that's one of our difficulties here, where we all live or work close to each other. Yeah, so what exactly is going to be done? Well, you can all do several things to reduce risks for yourselves and others. Firstly, wash your hands regularly, before and after going out of your cells, after using items belonging to others, and after coughing or sneezing.  If you do have any symptoms, you should immediately tell the health care team. I wouldn't tell anyone, I don't want to be isolated. I understand, but it's really important that you tell the health staff. If you don't, all of us could be affected. Please also avoid touching your eyes, nose, or mouth. This is more difficult than it seems, as we all do it naturally. And finally, try to keep a distance of at least one meter between each other. How are we expected to keep a distance of one meter in a place like this? If you can't keep this distance, please reduce the amount of people you interact with, for example in the courtyard. Staying with your cellmates when going to the courtyard, instead of mixing with other cells. We keep the access to the courtyard, but please help us in respecting the rules. Movements outside your cells, like going to the showers, mealtimes, or any recreational or work activities, may also be done in shifts, to reduce the amount of people you are in contact with. What else are you guys going to do? Well, we'll give you water, soap, and we'll be collecting and removing rubbish more frequently. We may also ask some of you to help to disinfect some areas, while wearing protective gear. Please contact your probation officer if you want to participate. Furthermore, as you probably know, the main risk of the virus coming in is through staff, new arrivals, or visitors. Therefore, we will be screening anyone entering and leaving the facilities for symptoms of COVID-19. We will also potentially be limiting the number of visitors. What does this mean for family visits? I heard they might be stopped. And what about my appeal? I have an appointment with my lawyer next week. When your family, your lawyer, or any other people visit you, please keep at least one meter from them. Depending on the situation, we may have to gradually reduce or stop visits altogether and move to other forms of contact, like phone or video calls or letters. If the post office works, we will support you in writing and receiving letters. We will also keep your families and lawyers informed of what is going on. What about the food and clothing my family bring every week? We are looking into a way for families to deliver parcels safely. In any case, we will make sure you get the food and clothing you need. But we have to all agree that depending on the future evolution, we may have to gradually reduce the contacts to protect the health of all people involved. Our staff has made a contingency plan. All your families have been told. Our health staff is ready, and all of us have received a training and know what to do. We can all be affected, and so we want to reassure you that we will do the necessary to protect your relatives and us in order to keep good health. I am really scared of catching the virus now. I don't want to be isolated, and I need to see my family. It is normal to feel anxious, but we all need to support each other and work together to keep everyone healthy and safe. Please remember to wash your hands, limit physical contact, and come to us if you have any symptoms. On our side, we will make sure to keep you informed of everything that is going on. We are all affected by the situation, and so we want to reassure you that we will do everything in our power to protect you, your relatives, and those who work in this facility. Thank you all for listening.


Let's jump over to our man, Teddy Kegsdad. Folks, you can check out Teddy's work every Monday. He puts out a new issue of the Tiger Forex report right under the Newsletters tab on the front page of TFNN. He puts out updates when warranted, when you subscribe, like any newsletter at TFNN. Folks, you subscribe, it's $97 for the month, okay? But you come with a 30-day money-back guarantee, so you don't like it.  Forex strategies and fundamentals, what is behind the Tiger Forex report. He breaks down the markets, he breaks down the variables that he looks at for the pairs. It's a great service, folks. It's a great webinar, check it out. And let's just jump into it. As we got quite a day, Teddy, good morning, man. Good morning, where do you wanna start? Let's start with the yen. What do you think of the yen? As I had to piece it together this morning as I woke up so the Bank of Japan stay in pat. Is that the deal? Well, they are right now, but we've been talking about this now for the past couple of months. You have a new prime minister and now you also have a new Bank of Japan chairman coming online in a couple of months. That's when they're gonna do stuff. They're gonna wait for the new guy to come in, most likely. There's no, they're in no hurry. It's not like they're in a hurry, considering how long they've been, where they have been, you know? So, I mean, overall, this is something we've talked about. I mean, even my predictions for the year was, the Japanese yen is gonna be definitely probably a very strong currency versus the dollar. So in the dollar index, like right now, today especially, you have all the currencies crushing the dollar, you know? I mean, you have new lows in the US dollar, Swiss, you have new highs in the Australian dollar, you know? US dollar, I mean, the pound especially, like that balloon underwater rally today, like going into those highs right now where it's at, that's very impressive, you know? So, and you gotta remember that the Euro, it's really just fluttering. That's the one that had been leading the charge on the dollar index for the past, especially a week. Going in today, if you look at it, it's just floating right below the highs that it hasn't been able to breach for the past few sessions, you know? So that's pretty much exhausted, I think, you know? And that shows that, you know, I told you that this is the year you're gonna see a lot of divergence and I think you're gonna start to really see that now. I mean, the yen was up very, US dollar yen was up very strong today and then all of a sudden it fell apart, you know? Because the market's buying into this reality that the Japanese are actually gonna start doing something. Negative interest rates are, those days are gonna be over, you know? So now they're not gonna be as aggressive as our Fed or other central banks around the world, but that's irrelevant. The fact that we know that they're coming off their lows, that's a big deal for the global investment community because it's stronger for the Nikai, you know, it's stronger for their bond market, you know? So you're gonna also have a lot of Japanese investment. You gotta remember to Japanese invest globally. A lot of Japanese are gonna be investing in their own markets too because they're gonna expect to see a growth for sure, you know, especially in the stock market there, you know, and also in their economy. I mean, their inflation is not nearly what we've been dealing with, but we've talked about that already for months about how, you know, where we have rapid inflation, things aren't like that everywhere in the world, especially in Japan. They actually were very isolated from the most part during 2022 and even 2021, you know? But now it's started, the global inflation is something they can't, that they're not insulated from that. And I think that's what you're seeing as far as where that inflationary growth is in Japan, you know, but as the yen gets stronger, and I think it will versus most other currency pairs as well, like I don't think it's just gonna be a US dollar yen trade. I think you can take the yen versus most currencies and over the next six months, especially after this new bank of Japan chairman comes in, I would not doubt that the market itself is gonna be betting on a stronger yen period, you know?  Just remarkable when you take a look at it in terms of where we are. What did you think of the numbers this morning? Just because we got some retail sales, we got some producer prices, declining retail sales, producer prices dropping as well. What did you think of those tying into obviously the move in the dollar man, kind of influencing some of the action for sure? Okay, well the drop in retail sales, I think that's pretty easy to figure out.  I have to say, I think people are pretty much exhausted, not just from the inflationary environment, I think their pocket books are as well. I mean, I remember over how the holidays were, people were out, but they were really only out really on Christmas and Christmas Eve, New Year's Eve, New Year's Day. There wasn't like, I mean, the weekends would have some business at the shopping malls, but overall, people weren't really out. And like this past Monday, we had Martin Luther King Day, you would think with the kids out of school and whatever, people would be out running around doing stuff. And I have to say, I went out to office max at like 11 o'clock on Monday to go pick some stuff up. And I pull up in the parking lot and there was nobody there, the best buy next to it. I mean, there was like no cars in the parking lot. And I'm looking around like, okay, I can see it where people are sleeping in, but there was nobody and all day it was like that. There was no traffic, you know? So people aren't going out and running around like, they're not aimlessly doing that. And I think also that their spending habits are starting to change, you know?  And I think people are afraid of higher gas prices and that's coming as well, you know?  You can say that, you know, the Fed was saying inflation was transitory months ago. Now we know that they don't say that anymore. But the reality is, is the average person, I think is under a lot of strain, you know? And especially look at all the people that probably bought cars in the last year and a half too. Yeah, it's tough.  Hopefully you didn't buy a Tesla, but go ahead. Yeah, oh well, a Tesla. That price reduction, that's really what I'm talking about that price reduction, how about that one, right? I was reading a story about the poor people folks that bought it over the last couple of months. One guy was supposed to take delivery in January, Teddy, and they called him in December and said, hey, guess what? We can actually get you that car December, right around Christmas. He said, oh, fantastic. He took delivery and then they lowered the price in January when he was actually going to get the car. And they're just like out of the woodwork. Yeah, cars, everything. Let's jump to crude if we can. You talked about gas prices, man. We're above 82 bucks as I talked to you, up almost a buck, 75. And yeah, I was talking about earlier in the program, part of the number is the reason why they're coming down, or gas prices, already versus last month, we're up 21 cents versus this time last month. And it feels like we're almost even on our way even higher than that, but that's the number in terms of where we are already, almost 25 cents higher. What do you think of the price of crude? Well, I think the price of crude's going higher. We have a buy signal that was triggered yesterday after the club, with the yesterday's close. You have a reverse head and shoulders formation. So I think we have a solid base bottom. We set a low in December and I think that was the head and now we're going to start trending higher. We're hit the, you know, this last pullback, excuse me, with this higher move low. You know, if you think as far as like in a wave theory, you had your first wave that began, we have the first retracement. Now we have in wave two, the wave three is going to be the big wave and that should take us definitely back, I would say around the $90 marker even more within the probably the next few weeks. What's your take Teddy on China in general? I know there's a million impact, you know, variables that go into crude, especially, but a lot of the talk about China, what's your take of China, you know, open it back up? Cause now all the rhetoric is, you know what, they might be over the hump already and I'm surmising of course, but what's your take on how China comes into that crude price? Well, I think short-term that's definitely a demand for, I mean, for that should drive demand.  You know, shelf-holding the electric cars, yeah, that's not happening. Yeah. You know. Well, Teddy, I appreciate the conversation, the time as always, man, and I look forward to talking next Wednesday, man. You have a great week, we'll talk to you Wednesday. Too timing, take care, thank you. Okay, take care.


So let's have a look at a density plot. It's another type of geometry. Now remember what a density plot is, it takes a continuous variable on the x-axis and it creates this density estimate. So plot again, it's data-aware, so I pass the data frame, data frame, df data frame to it and on the x-axis I want age and the geometry for all age variables is the density.  Let's wait for that to render from Julia Box and there we see. So it takes this continuous variable called age and it gives us this kernel density estimate plot. So we can see the age distribution of our data set. Now I can add another dimension to this data by color. Now it uses the term color but remember it doesn't really have anything to do with color. It just states that I want to add another dimension. So I'm going to look at age again but I'm going to break it up by gender. So every gender male and female will have its own kernel density estimate. Again the geometry is density. I'm going to give it a new title and everything else we have seen before. This time I'm not passing a line width argument so it's going to be nice thin little lines which is the default. Let's have a look. There we go. So by color it found two different entities male and female and it gives us this little key. It found F and M and it added these default colors for us. Let's carry on. Let's just look at another one. This time I'm going to use category three just because remember there were some more categories. There were three different ones P, Q and R and you'll see it'll do for the age distribution. It'll do a kernel density estimate, the probability plot there of density plot I should say of all three of these categories. Let's have a look at one more and this time it's variable two by distribution in the categories. Let's have a look at that. So we can have a look and we can see this as far as variable two is concerned it has a more normal distribution. Perhaps then the age distribution that was not did not follow a normal distribution. So it helps us really to have a closer look at this data perhaps give us slightly more information than just the box plots themselves. So let's move on to histogram which is basically a density plot. Well I mean it's a bit more involved in that but we're just going to make little bins still out of continuous variable on the x-axis. So it's almost exactly the same so instead of age I'm using variable one year on the x-axis which is a continuous variable. And I'm passing the geometry to it as geom.histogram. I'm giving it a title and I'm using some theme arguments there as well. Let's have a look at that. Variable one let's have a look at what it's just distribution one seems to be quite random. Variable one's not really following a distribution pattern. But it is a continuous variable here at the bottom and it has decided on its own what the size of these little bins are. See these are how thin they are. That is a count of how many values occur between two sets of x-axis values. That's what a histogram is. But I can specify the bin count in the histogram geometry. Bin count equals and I've passed the value of 10 here which is going to take this variable instead of having these tiny little bins. We see the bins are quite a bit bigger. Quite a bit bigger once again we can see here that the data is really not normally distributed. So let's have a look at this. Let's have a look at variable two. We saw that it had a more normal distribution. Let's use 11 bin counts. Let's have a look at that and there we go. We see that normal distribution that we saw on the kernel density estimate before. Let's look at variable two but we add another dimension to it. I want two histograms and I'm going to split them up by color because I know it's two because I know there was male and female. So let's have a look at what GATFLY does there. Beautifully it will plot one on top of the other. Again I've specified a bin count this time 21 and it will plot one in front of the other so that you could see the both of them size have both histograms there together. Now a violin plot combines actually what we saw in the box in whisker plots with a density estimate. It actually just puts a density estimate on its side and duplicates it on both sides. So you get this nice little idea. Let's have a look at it. I'll show you. Remember category two, that's going to be my x-axis so this is like a box plot. And on the y we're going to take variable one and the geometry is violin. Let me show you what it looks like in case you are not familiar with a violin plot. There we are. So on the side here you can see the little kernel density estimate but it duplicates it on both sides. So you get this nice little idea of a box plot but indicating the density as well. So violin plots are quite a nice thing to do. Now let's add something else to it. I've got category three here as a color. Let's have a look at what happens now. Now this is density and that's what I wanted to show you. So if you were just to look at this P and you see the shape of that P and you can well see the shape of it as it lies there.  Next up in the next section we're going to have a look at one of my favorite type of plots, a QQ plot.


Adaptation is one of the responses to the problem of human induced climate change which is to do with how do we cope with the inevitable and unstoppable impacts of climate change that are beginning to happen already and will happen for the next 10 or 20 years even if we do reduce our emissions of greenhouse gases. So this is to do with preventing or managing floods, building embankments in the coastal areas against sea level rise, ensuring water and drought prone areas. We are seeing more and more droughts, floods and cyclones and hurricanes around the world and we have to deal with these. So adaptation to climate change is dealing with the impacts of climatic events like those. Well most of the people on planet Earth are poor living in poor countries in Africa, Asia and other developing countries and they have the least ability to deal with the impacts of climate change and they happen to also be living in some of the parts of the world which are going to be most vulnerable. And so for several billion people living on planet Earth who are going to be affected by impacts of climate change and whose own greenhouse emissions are miniscule compared to rich people, it's the most important part of the climate change problem is how are they going to deal with those impacts and for the rest of us how are we going to help them deal with those impacts. So in the fifth assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change in working group two which is on impacts vulnerability and adaptation, there are four chapters on adaptation. The first of the four is chapter 14 which I was a coordinating lead author of, it's on the impacts and opportunities of adaptation, it's about adaptation planning. The chapter after that chapter 15 looks at implementing adaptation and the chapter after that chapter 16 looks at the barriers and limits to adaptation and the fourth of the set of four chapter 17 looks at economics. So my chapter looks at how do we plan for adaptation and I said this is an issue that we're going to have to deal with whether we like it or not and we have to start thinking about it both in developed countries as well as in developing in poor countries. So the main highlights of the chapter are that countries are now realizing that they have to do adaptation planning, many of the countries have done plans and we've cited a few of them. I'll mention the one from my country Bangladesh where we have a very significant large scale Bangladesh climate change adaptation strategy in which the government of Bangladesh is putting substantial amounts of money themselves and we're also receiving funds from the global community and there are hundreds of activities taking place within government, outside government, many of them in the coastal areas which are the most prone to the impacts of climate change, salinity, intrusion at the moment, cyclones periodically, floods periodically. So a lot of disaster reduction, disaster warnings being put in place, that kind of thing is needed in many different countries. We have two major strategies to deal with the impacts of climate change. Firstly, mitigation. Mitigation is about reducing our emissions so that we prevent climatic changes from happening. Unfortunately, we haven't been able to prevent some level of climatic change. We can still prevent some very catastrophic levels of climate change in the long run. So there's a time scale associated with the impacts of mitigation. So if we do mitigation now, we won't see the benefits of it for decades to come because of the lag in the atmosphere. On the other hand, in the short term, there's nothing else we can do except adapt because the short term impacts are already locked in. So it's a combination of adaptation and mitigation, not an either or. We need to do both. Mitigation to prevent catastrophic climatic impacts in the long run, at global scale, adaptation to prevent and deal with the inevitable impacts in the shorter term, mainly in poorer countries and in poorer communities. Private sector has a huge part to play primarily in mitigation because it's to do with the investments in what kind of future energy structures are we going to have. If it's more of the same depending on fossil fuels and investing in more fossil fuels, then we are doomed. We're going to cross four and a half degrees very easily if we continue business as usual. On the other hand, if the investment community changes the direction of investments, and we're talking trillions of dollars of investment into renewable and sustainable energy pathways, then we can actually prevent the catastrophic end of the problem from occurring. There'll be some impacts of climate change, but they won't be as bad as they might be if we continue to do what we're doing. So that's the primary role of business. There are also things that business can do in the adaptation arena, primarily to do with insurance. The insurance companies now are realizing that they may be a huge loser if we don't take actions to deal with climate change. And so insurance is a very good tool to pay premiums so that we ensure any loss and damage that might occur by paying the premiums now and we can get some compensation for when the losses actually occur in the future. My center in Bangladesh runs, it's based at a university and we run a master's program in climate change and development. We also do a lot of work at grass root level on community based adaptation with vulnerable communities. And we host and organize an annual international conference. It so happens that this year's conference will be in April this year here in Nairobi and Kenya. It's a seven day long event where people come from all over the world and several hundred of them. They spend three days in groups staying with vulnerable communities and then come back to the capital and spend another four days in conference and sharing. Next year the event will be in Bangladesh. So anybody who's interested in the most vulnerable and how they are coping and adapting, because they're not sitting idle, they are actually taking actions, are most welcome to find out more about it. It's called the Community Based Adaptation Conference. The website is www.cba9.org.


I'm your host Winston Welch and delighted that you are joining us again today for this special edition of Out and About, a show where we explore a variety of topics, organizations, and events with the people who fuel them in our city, state, country, and world. As a disclaimer, any views or opinion expressed by me are strictly my own and not connected with any organization I might be affiliated with. Joining me today in the studio, I am honored to have a couple of wonderful ladies from Holly Keep Up. We have Michelle Raca, the program coordinator for the Holly Keep Up transitional family home program. And we also have Jessica Carter, the foster home developer for the same program. And there's a little, I'm curious as to what those are. And so anyway, thank you so much for coming on the show today. Absolutely, thanks for having us. So Holly Keep Up, I don't think maybe a lot of people even know what is Holly Keep Up, what's its history, and what's your mission, and what are you guys about? So Holly Keep Up is a nonprofit, statewide nonprofit in our community, long history serving the community. Our agency primarily focuses on addressing the needs of youth in our state, meeting families where they are, whether they are experiencing crisis or needing extra support. We have a huge variety of programs that address issues and are here to support youth and their families. Our, for our purposes, our program that we're here to speak with you about today is our Therapeutic Family Homes Program, Transitional Family Homes Program, which is a therapeutic foster care. And let Jessica give you a little more information about what we do. Okay, so it's a transitional family home program, but inside of that is something called therapeutic foster care. Tell us, what does that mean? What are the differences between those? So transitional family homes is just the name of our program. Therapeutic foster care is what we carry out. It's often called treatment foster care. So any child that comes into our care, into one of our homes, is gonna receive more services than a child in general licensing foster care. Okay, so these programs, whether we're calling a transitional family home or therapeutic foster care, they're both a foster care program, or they're both related to foster care? Yes, yeah. They're really, the names could be interchangeable. Okay. And so Hala Kepa does foster care work and is that the bulk of what it does, or would you say that's about half of what it does? Hala Kepa as an agency has many programs ranging from outreach to intensive in-home therapeutic services, independent living skills, we provide shelter, we provide transitional sheltering. So there's a huge array of programs that fall under the umbrella of Hala Kepa as an agency. And then our program, as we mentioned, is a transitional family home program in which we provide therapeutic foster care services to you. Okay, and you said you're an agency, are you an agency of the state? Non-profits, we're a non-profit. Okay, and I'm guessing that most of your funding comes from the state or the federal government or possibly grants. That's right. And even individuals, and you probably have fundraisers throughout the year as well. That's right. When I was reading online, it looks your organization's 50 years old this year. It's a huge milestone, obviously started because of a real need in the community for this. And a continuing need, and I'm guessing also, unfortunately, that we're seeing an increase in the need for your services rather than a decrease. Is that a correct assumption? Sure, I mean, the need is always there, unfortunately, for now. And as you know, resources are just always scarce. There could always be more services in place and different ways that the system approaches the reasons why youth end up needing services in the first place. So we really are here to work on these issues as a systemic issue, but also to close gaps for youth who've been navigating systems for a long time. So tell us about what's the difference between a therapeutic foster home and a traditional fostering system that we may or may not be familiar with? Sure, so any child coming into foster care, they're being removed from a home situation that is typically unsafe. They're facing abuse, neglect. Substance abuse may be present in the home. A variety of reasons why they're leaving. So coming in, a child may go into what's called a general licensing foster home. I know that can be confusing, but it's traditional foster care, what people think of.   They're experiencing kind of challenges with their behavior and challenges, which is processing what's going on. So many of our kids in care are older. We're looking at more adolescents. We do accept any child from three to 17 into our program, but typically we're looking at children from 10 to 17. The adolescent years. Right, one other important qualification is that sometimes when we think of foster care, we think of homes that are perhaps temporarily taking a youth or a child into their home with plans for permanency or a path to permanency in relocating this youth. For our program, our primary goal is to always reunite with the family whenever possible. So the function of our program is really to take in youth who are struggling for whatever reason, often they're stepping down from a higher level of care, meaning they've received community-based residential treatment for whatever factors that they're experiencing, whether it be psychiatric or substance abuse, whatever that may be. And then we connect them with one of our families who are trained in the therapeutic foster home piece for three months, six months, nine month intervals, sometimes longer. But again, our goal is to take this time to stabilize the youth and to do whatever steps need to be taken with the family in family therapy or intensive treatments that we can provide and then reunite hopefully with stability and resources in place. So would a typical scenario be something like, I don't know, maybe the father got arrested, the mom's got a drug problem, the kid's kind of gotten lost in the shuffle. There you go. And so, and they're thinking, who's here to take care of me? Yes. And then maybe grandma, uncle, neighbor calls the state, calls the social services 3-1-1, is that United Way or maybe, or they just know about you guys directly and they can reach out to you? Generally our referrals are, they're processed through the Department of Health through what's called Family Guided Centers. So referrals would originally go through this Family Guided Center, sometimes from the school, sometimes from the community-based treatment that they're receiving. There's a number of ways that referrals can get to them. From there, they're assigned a case coordinator and that case coordinator starts putting into action referrals that they think would best meet the needs of this youth. And from there, we would receive a referral if therapeutic foster home would be a good idea. Okay, and then the goal is three, six, nine months until parents can get stabilized. And then how often do the kids, I mean, obviously if you're coming from a house with a lot of trauma and issues, it would be probably almost normal for those kids to have their own issues as well. That's the majority of the population, would you say, that the kids that you're working with?  It's just challenging situations. So a lot of our families were looking at, you know, lack of resources, a lot of stress, and there's some poor decision-making in there, but it affects the child in that environment. So what we're hoping to do, and the other thing I wanted to mention that makes therapeutic foster care different, is that when a child comes into our care, they do receive treatment. And what treatment is, is usually therapy, and then can be some additional supplemental resources as well when they come into our program. So that not only supports the child, definitely, but also our resource caregivers, and then also the bio family. Once they've adjusted to the home, typically month, two months, they start to do family sessions, usually. With their bio family? With their bio family. It might be bio family, it might be adoptive family. It just depends on what the child, the situation of the child. To be completely honest, not all of our children have homes to go to. That's right. So we might be looking at other permanency options for them to go into as well. I see, you mean the family's just not there to go back? You're right. Okay, and then, which is, yeah, hard. You guys are right on the front lines of helping people to recover from difficult situations. So I applaud you for that work that you do. It's, you know, you gotta have hearts of gold and probably a little bit of steel at the same time to deal with everything that you gotta deal with coming down the pike, but when you got beautiful people like you in charge of this, then the world's just, you know, it gives me hope for the future that we've got this. And the fact has been going on for 50 years. You guys are carrying on a legacy, improving on that legacy. Obviously, you have huge staff that you rely on and volunteers as well. So if someone were interested in becoming a foster parent or maybe specifically a therapeutic foster home, does it need to be a married couple with kids? Does it could it be a single person? Are there, what kind of qualifications would that person have to go through and even, yeah. No, so you can be married, you can be single, you can be co-habitating with a partner. It doesn't, there's no limitations on that per se. We do ask that you be 25 or older. And it just matters on the licensing side. So there's no limitation there. Okay, people just go undergo a normal background check and everything to become a foster parent. There's a number of clearances that you have to walk through and then different types of paperwork that we go through when you apply. So what the process would look like to become a foster parent, I don't know if you were gonna ask that or not. Yeah, yeah. Is you would first apply. So you would contact us or you can go on our website. And what is your website? www.hallykeepa.org H-A-L-E-K-I-P-A Exactly, yes, exactly. You can apply on there or you can contact me or Michelle and you can apply with us directly. We'll email you or mail you even an application if you're interested. And then from there, we go through a couple steps of screening but also paperwork. And then after that, what is required of all of our families is at least 33 hours of what we call pre-service training. So a lot of people are questioning like I don't know if I have the skills, I don't know if I have enough knowledge to be able to do this. We teach you all of that. We teach you about different diagnoses, behaviors, how to work with children that are in these situations, traumatic experiences. All of our training is based in trauma-informed care. And so we try to arm all of our parents as best we can with the training. And then we do, at the end we do a home study. And then hopefully if everything goes well, we become licensed with that. And if I may, one of our values as an agency is if you were to become a resource caregiver with our program, we wouldn't just push you through all this paperwork and training, place a child in your home and see you later. We take a very active and continued role in making sure that resource caregivers have ongoing training and support that we are extremely accessible. The therapist that is assigned to a youth in this program is assigned 24 hours a day. So should there be an incident that takes place after hours, that therapist is on call and available to respond. So it's a huge value of ours that our families know and that the youth in our care know that we're here every step of the way and that we stay involved. And what's the most important quality for foster parent or foster home to have, what you say? Patience. With any parent, patience is so important. I was gonna go, I probably love, but patience would be... Patience over love sometimes. I'm sure both in abundant quality because if you're interested in helping out, obviously you've gotta have that and other strengths. And I think every youth out there that receives the services just as unique from one human being to another. And there are all kinds of families that do things all kinds of ways and there's youth that will be a good fit and families that'll be a good fit if we look in the right directions. And I think some of the most important features of resource caregivers are availability to stability, routine, approaching people, meeting youth where they are at. And affirming the people that these youth are becoming and really fostering and developing what is unique and great about them and celebrating that, working towards helping them develop the most independence with their, using their own natural resource. Is it sort of like into being a Hunai auntie or uncle? I mean, I can imagine that's a good analogy here because you're not the bio parent but you're like a parent and stepping in in that role of guidance and support and love. And you have a pool of kids that need homes and you also have a pool of foster parents. And then do you kind of go through individually and say, I think Sally would be good here and kind of match folks up? That's right. And do you try and keep the kids in the same, like if they're from Eva, keep them in Eva or does that factor into things all the time? Or do you sometimes want to take them out of that, of Eva, go to Kaimuki or something? Either all of those combinations exist. Unfortunately, we don't have a huge array of resource caregivers in diverse geographic areas at the moment. We'd love to develop that further. So it really, it's about placement and then working on securing the environment and meeting their needs within the environment in which they're placed. But there's many combinations in which we would always try to consider those factors. OK. Yes, ma'am? So one thing that's really helpful too for anybody who might be thinking of becoming a resource caregiver, we always do matching meetings with our youth. And therapeutic care that's mandatory, that you will meet the child before they're placed in your home. And that's on behalf of the child and the family. We want to make sure that the child feels comfortable, especially because of the experiences they may have been through. But also the same with the family.  You'll have a chance to meet them. We'll have a chance to talk story and just get to know one another. And then we'll go from there if we want to move forward with placement. Placement, a lot of thought goes into that before placing a child into your home. So geographic location is extremely important, where they go to school, maybe any extracurricular activities that they might be involved in, the makeup of the resource caregivers home. So if it is a single parent, if it is a family, but they have young children, if it's a family, but they have older children, if they don't have any children at all, it can all depend on. So we think about all of those things when we're placing a child. A lot of thought goes into that.  That's exactly. And we will continue this conversation. We're going to take a little break here. But as you can see, this is a really important organization. Incredible people that help run this and manage these programs. I have the distinct honor and privilege of having Michelle Raqqa and Jessica Carter of Holly Keepa, which is House of Welcome. House of Friendliness. I'm sorry. That's OK. House of Friendliness. OK. House of Friendliness. And you, of course, exemplify that. We will be back in just a minute. This is Winston Welton out and about the Think Tech Live Streaming Network series. And we'll be back in just a minute. Hi, guys. I'm your host, Lillian Cumick, from Lillian's Vegan World. I come to you live every second Friday from 3 PM. And this is the show where I talk about the plant-based lifestyle and veganism. So we go through recipes, some upcoming events, information about health regarding your health, and just some ideas on how you can have a better lifestyle, eat healthier, and have fun at the same time. So do join me. I look forward to seeing you. And aloha. Aloha. My name is Mark Shklav. I am the host of Think Tech Hawaii's Law Across the Sea program. My program airs every other Monday at 1 o'clock on Think Tech Hawaii. Most of my programs deal with my own life and law experience. Recently, I interviewed Alex Gempel, who I have known for over 30 years, about his voyage across the sea as a lawyer from Tokyo to Hawaii. Those are the type of stories that I like to bring and like to talk about. Human stories about law and life. Aloha. Aloha, we're back. We're live. I'm Winston Alton. This is out and about on the Think Tech Livestreaming Network series. I am talking with the lovely duo of Michelle Raqqa and Jessica Carter, who work in the therapeutic foster care program of Hale Kippa Transitional Family Home Program. There's a ton of programs at Hale Kippa, and I will mention them in a second. But anyway, thank you so much again for coming to the show and telling us about this wonderful organization you've got. As I was looking online, you have these programs. You have community-based outreach and advocacy, emergency shelter services, you mentioned, an advocate program, attendant care program, independent living, intensive in-home program. I think you mentioned a couple of those. Intensive independent living skills, school attendance support services, school success program, step-up housing, transitional family home programs, wraparound services, youth outreach. You've got a ton of stuff going on there. How many people do you have working with you? Oh, gosh, I wouldn't even know offhand, but many, many across all of these programs. And many of these programs are offered statewide. So we're quite a large organization.  OK, so you've got a presence on every island. OK. And then this is all, I'm sorry, we were talking right before the break about how huge these problems can be. And also, but there's solutions to them. You're part of the solution. Foster families are part of the solution. Do you have a shortage right now of foster homes and folks willing to take kids in? Always, always. Always. Yeah. And I would say, right now in Hawaii, there's probably about 1,400 children in foster care across the state. However, for therapeutic foster care, there's not a specific number that we have. But at any time, there's between 20 to 30 children on what's almost like a wait list. They're just waiting to be placed in a home. And the challenge with therapeutic foster homes is the fact that we do take that time and attention. So we want to find a really good, specific home for the child. And so that's why sometimes it can be more of a challenge and why we need more families. The other thing is, if I can't mention too, what we're looking for is we're looking for families that are open to serving full time, meaning having a youth in their home from anywhere to three to nine months, just like their own child. They'll take them to school. They'll take them to sports practice or whatever. We're also looking for families to serve as respite, meaning if you're not quite sure if this is something you may want to do, you can think about respite, which is providing time of respite for the families. So if they need a weekend alone or if they need to go to the mainland for an emergency or whatever circumstance it might be, they're going on vacation, we need families that are willing to take children for one night, up to two weeks, three weeks even. So we need really short term. The other option that we have are what are called kamala homes, and those are emergency homes. So kind of the same thing as respite, but a little bit different. And those are, again, anywhere from a few nights to up to 30 days where we need a home. So those are the three types of families that we're looking for, and we're in need of all of those families. Longer term commitment, respite care, and emergency care. And again, the therapeutic foster home differs from regular foster care in that these kids have been through maybe more difficulties, more difficult degree of trauma or issues where they need to be taken out. Can children self-refer to your program, or do you see that? I haven't come across that, have you? No. Typically, the referral would need to come through the Department of Health, but I imagine if there was a youth out there that was really wanting to get on our radar, they could perhaps speak to someone at their school or in their community about reaching out to a family guidance center. So if you're a concerned, auntie, uncle, neighbor, family friend, what would you recommend for saying that this kid really doesn't belong in this environment, because it's not safe, it's not healthy? Where should they start out? I would say calling Child Welfare Services. Child Welfare Services. Or even the crisis line, which I shouldn't know off the top of my head, but I don't. You can call the crisis number, and that's a statewide number. But also, Child Welfare Services is where I would be again. If you were an adult and concerned about a child. That's what I might think of, CPS. Yes, exactly. Or Child Protective Services. But here it's called Child Welfare Services. It's called Child Welfare Services. And that's a division of the Department of Health? That's a division of the Department of Human Services. But just generally speaking and anecdotally speaking, if you are an adult in the community concerned about a minor, that is the first number to call. And so over the course of a year, how many kids would come in and out of a program? It really depends on how many resource caregivers we have available and the length of stay that youth are experiencing in our program. It's a little easier to share with you that we almost never meet the needs of all the youth that referrals have come through. So there's always people who are waiting for a bed to open up in a home. And sometimes some kids end up waiting longer than others for the reasons that Jessica had shared because of our, because we're so careful to place appropriately. The last thing we want is to put someone in a home and theirs a blowout the next day or immediately. So we really do take time to think about all the dynamics of that household, the cultural values, the other youth that are placed there, or whether they have biological children in the home, and what those dynamics would look like. So it's almost like doing a puzzle every time and it's unique every time. Or maybe even pets, if they have pets. Oh yeah, exactly. And somebody has allergies. Or a negative. I can imagine that. And so you get families that certify, they go through the 33 hours. Does that certification last a year or a couple of years or? Exactly. Well, the training lasts indefinitely, really. But you do have to reapply and get recertified every year. You don't have to go through the 33 hours of training. But what we do require is 20 additional hours of training. Each year. So each year, every year, annually. Really good thing, obviously. Because the more you can know about anything, the better off you can be at helping with it. Jessica offers ongoing training monthly. And she really works hard to assess relevant and valuable topics for an opportunity for what the foster homes are experiencing to share with us and that we provide training based on their feedback. She's also really committed to flexibility. So if somebody out there is hearing, oh gosh, when would I ever have 33 hours in a row to commit to training? Jessica works really hard to work with families who are interested to say, wow, we can get x amount of this training done in the evenings based on your work schedule, weekends, whatever it may be. And I imagine this is really gratifying. Or I mean, obviously, for the kids, this is an enormous benefit that you hear about years later, people coming back and saying that program saved my life and allowed me to see different appropriate adult behaviors role modeled for me and many other things just taking them out of a situation. What did the family say? What did the foster parents say that participated in this? I do want to say that we have some of the most amazing resource caregivers in our program. I know that they've been a huge inspiration to me, just watching how much they care for the youth, how much patience they have, but really how they go above and beyond for all the children in their homes. The thing that I hear the most is just that they really value making a difference in their lives and knowing that they could have a positive relationship with this child and giving them a safe, stable home, especially because a lot of our youth are adolescents. They're getting ready to go into adulthood. And so that's so important for them to know that they're kind of helping them launch into adulthood in a really stable and healthy way. Do you find that the kids and the foster parents maintain contact even years later after? Often they do. And we have resource caregivers that have provided their service with our agency for over a decade or more. So the families that we do have also had a positive experience. And we've been able to retain them for a long time because of the rewards that they experience and the personal fulfillment in participating with this program. Some of them have shared that they got a youth in their home that was just at such high risk of so many challenges they were facing. And just a few months later to see them graduate and they've succeeded in sports and they've found access to different activities that they've enjoyed and maintained is really life changing for them as well. It's just amazingly gratifying work for you all. I know just to see the success stories that you see on a daily basis, the difficulties that you're able to help folks overcome, and then seeing other good people open up their homes and their hearts to these kids that need it. And obviously, you're providing support for them as well. I have a lot of other questions that I want to ask about this program. I hope if you will come back another time so that we can talk and talk some more specifics about special focuses like maybe even LGBT youth and how that might work in or some of your other incredible programs that you got here. Because so many, we just can't cover it all today. That's right. Thank you so much for coming today. Thank you for having us. You guys are truly an inspiration for me and what you do. As you see it is always another wonderful episode about and about. And when you have such wonderful guests talking about these wonderful programs, it makes my job a great pleasure and easy. So for today, we have to say goodbye, a hui hou, but I would like to thank our broadcast engineer, Robert McLean, our floor manager, Hailey Ikeda, and Mark Ito, our intern, our executive producer, Steve Vidal, who put it all together. I will see you here every other Monday on Out and About for another edition of the show, where you will hopefully be as inspired as I am. See you later, a hui hou.


When you put that up, I'ma come back to Chicago and I'ma teach these kids how to build a podcast. That's my give back to the hood. And I'm a big dog in the game. You got a big dog coming to teach them how to do podcasts. That's what I've always been saying. That's what I said, like, I got the resources to do that. I'ma have Big Walo come back and show them the whole game how to do it.  Anybody. I got NBA homies.  I got everybody that made it to the league out of Chicago.    I'm just saying, in front of me, I'm talking about home. I mean, you got a million in it. I ain't talking about you dealing here or now. I'm talking about it in here and from home.   That's what it's about.  They need to touch it and feel it. They gotta touch it. They gotta be tangible.


This is stock number 10523A. We are here at Summit Automotive in Fond du Lac, Wisconsin. Your new and used car headquarters. Today we're checking out this super clean 2013 Ford Fusion SE. This car has the 2.5 liter four cylinder motor. It has been fully safetyed and inspected by our service shop. Has a fresh oil and filter change. All the fluids have been checked and topped off. It has four brand new tires and it is 100% ready to go. Oxford white is the color and we shoot all of our videos in 1080p 60 frames per second so if you have HD capabilities on your computer tablet or smartphone device turn them on right now because it is definitely your best way to ensure the quality and condition of the vehicle before seeing it in person. If you want to check out all the photos on this car in the upper right hand part of your screen is a link right to our website. Click that and check us out there. It comes with the factory alloy rims and it does have brand new Kelly Edge 23550R17 tires. You can still see the little wear knob on there. We put these tires on in our safety inspection. Front fender is in nice shape. It does come with the projector lamp headlamps and for the age and miles on this car the front bumper is in pretty nice condition. I didn't see any major cracks or scuffs on there. Chrome trimmed grille. Passengers side front fender is in nice shape as well and that passenger side rim no major scuffs or scrapes on there. As you go down this side of the car you can see just how clean the body is how reflective and mirror like that paint is. I didn't see any dents or dings down this side of the car. We take these HD videos so if you are far away or even if you're close by and just cannot make the trip down on the fence if you should come or not you can watch the video have a really good idea of the overall condition of the vehicle so you can make a smart decision to make the trip here or to put money down on the car and make a years. That's why we offer the Summit Auto Fastpass option on our website as well in the upper right hand part of the screen a link right to our website where you can apply for financing get pre-approved see a payment quote even appraise a trade all from the comfort of your own home. Back brakes look really new too we might have did those in our inspection as well has the LED brake lights there the back bumper is in really nice shape backup parking sensors and that tailgate or I'm sorry that deck lid is nice on the trunk here it is locked so we'll have to pop that trunk and take a look in a second here but I didn't see any major cracks or scuffs on that rear bumper does have the capitalist fuel fill which is a really nice feature and this back rim is in pretty nice shape as well down the rest of the side of the car very clean you do get heated mirrors with built-in directional signals you get a driver's side and passenger side blind spot mirror it does have the driver's side door code entry we do have the code for that so don't worry about that inside the sc package gives you the tan cloth interior there are no rips or tears on the seats power driver's seat we do have factory floor mats throughout auto headlamps power windows power locks and power mirrors as long as we're up here well take a look at the trunk trunk area is very clean lots of room back there I believe those seats fold down as well and it does come with a spare tire it does have a backup camera too and as we hop inside the car here now for the miles on this car you'll see why I say it's in great shape 164,727 miles I tell you what though it runs and drives great and brand new tires and everything's really nice on it steering wheel is in nice shape as well you got bluetooth and information center controls on the right cruise controls and more information center controls on the left this one does have the tech slash my forward touch radio get am fm and serious xm radio capabilities this is also where your backup camera shows up cd player dual climate control sync so you can connect it to your bluetooth cell phone and the automatic transmission passenger side floor mat and seat are in nice shape as well no rips or tears on that you do get side current airbags and that headliner is in great condition too map lights up there windshield looks like it's in great condition too yeah we'll take a quick look at the back seats and then check out under the hood back seats are just as nice as the front seats no rips or tears back here do you get the latch child safety system and these seats do fold down for extra storage there's a little latch right there you can see they go down pretty flat which is nice if you've got a whole bunch of extra things and the carpeting back here is in nice condition i didn't see any rips or tears on that you also get the child safety locks on the back doors and we'll take a quick look under the hood i would personally like to thank you for checking out the video today and hopefully from this hd video you'll be able to tell just how clean this car is all the way around inside note under the hood we have the 2.5 liter 4 cylinder motor engine base very clean runs very smooth this car has been fully safety and inspected by our service shop has a fresh oil and filter change all the fluid tab and checked and topped off has four brand new tires i'm pretty sure it has brand new brakes all the way around as well and to see more pictures of this car one of our other 450 new and used cars trucks suv's minivans wranglers half-tons your cotertons one-tons you name it we got it go to our website www.summitauto.com full pictures and descriptions of every single vehicle from two locations all at summitauto.com and if you'd like to check out more hd videos you can go to youtube.com slash summit auto remember to like subscribe and share on this video and all the videos that you see there in fact in a second you will see links to subscribe to our youtube channel on your left a link to more for fusion cars like this one on your right if you have not been to our website on the bottom linked to this vehicle on our website click those check us out and we really look forward to helping with this super clean 2013 forward fusion se with the tech slash my forward touch radio package thanks again


So early on in our lecture series we learned about two different ways of defining the six trigonometric ratios. One way is to define them using a point of some kind. So we have the x-axis, the y-axis, and in which case then we take some point which terminates in the plane. If we take the ray that emanates from the origin passing through this terminal point, then this forms an angle, of course. And we can define the six trigonometric ratios with respect to this point. That is, you're going to use the x and y coordinates of that point. Let r be the distance this point is from the origin. And so you can define the six trigonometric ratios using the numbers x, y, and r. Well, of course, if this point is in the first quadrant, then naturally a right triangle can be connected to this angle. And so the sine, cosine, tangent, etc. of this angle, whether you take this right triangle perspective, it'll be the same trigonometry that you get. As opposed to this terminal point perspective. But the right triangle approach has what seems like an obstacle here, right? The angle sum of a triangle can never exceed 180 degrees. And if there's a right angle, that means 90 degrees is what we're accounted for, this angle theta right here must be acute. You can't get something obtuse. You can't get something that terminates in the second quadrant or anywhere else, mind you, right? But this idea of an initial point also works there as well. So it feels like the right triangle approach to trigonometry is limited. But it turns out that's actually not the case with the use of reference angles. We actually could extend right triangle trigonometry to any quadrant we want. What if, for example, our angle actually terminates in the second quadrant? And so the angle is itself an obtuse angle, right? There's no triangle that could have a right angle and obtuse angle. So it feels like right triangle trigonometry is not going to work here. Nope, it actually does. What if we consider the reference angle, which theta hat, which we talked about previously, using theta hat, we can produce a right triangle whose angle in question is the reference angle of theta and up to a sine difference that is up to a plus or minus. The sine, cosine, all the trigonometric ratios will be the same in this situation. Because after all, if you have this point, x, y, and then the distance here is r, well, if the x-coordinate gives us this point, then the length of this side, the adjacent side is going to be absolute value of y. The other side, the opposite side, its length is going to be absolute value of y. And then the distance r is always positive in this situation here. So if you do the trigonometry of this triangle, you're going to get that sine of theta hat is equal to the absolute value of y over r, which this is equal to the absolute value of sine of theta. And that's because sine is equal to the absolute value of y over r. Like, you know, sine is just y over r, so we're just taking the absolute value there. Similarly, if you were to do cosine of theta, right, you're going to end up with the absolute value of x over r there, which is the same thing as the absolute value of cosine of theta, given that cosine is x over r. If we take its absolute value, those things are going to be the same thing.  That's also true for tangent, cotangent, secant, and cosecant as well. And this is not just true for the second quadrant. This will be true for the third quadrant, the fourth quadrant. If your angle is larger than 360, less than zero degrees, it doesn't matter. We can use reference angles to compute trigonometric ratios of that right triangle. So therefore, right triangle trigonometry extends to any angle measure whatsoever as long as we use reference angles. And so what we've now just basically proven is the so-called reference angle theorem, which tells us that a trigonometric function of an angle has the same absolute value as the trigonometric function of the reference angle. Because that is, they might differ by plus or minus one as a sine, right? And so we always get, we always get this idea right here. Sine of the reference angle will equal the absolute value of sine of theta. They could equal if they're both positive, because the sine and cosine of the reference angle will always be positive, but they could also be off by negative sine depends on the quadrant. So as long as we can keep track of the quadrant, then we can use reference angles to compute various trigonometric ratios. So let's keep track of things for us here. Like I mentioned before with this picture, R is always going to be positive because it's the distance between the origin and a point. That's always a positive number. The X coordinate could be positive or negative. The Y coordinate could be positive or negative. And so in general, if you're in the first quadrant, X is positive, Y is positive. In the second quadrant, you get that X is negative, Y is positive. In the third quadrant, you get that X and Y are both negative. And in the fourth quadrant, you're going to get that X is positive and Y is negative. Now, since sine is just going to be the Y over R, R is always positive, the sine of sine, right? Be careful of that. S-I-G-N of S-I-N-E will always be the same as the Y coordinate. And likewise, the sine of cosine will always be the same as the X coordinate. So if we keep track of the quadrant, then we can keep track of the sine of our trigonometric function. So for example, in the first quadrant and second quadrant, sine will be positive because it's above the X-axis. In the third and fourth quadrant, sine will always be negative because it's below the X-axis. A cosine on the hand is positive in the first quadrant and in the fourth quadrant because that's the right of the Y-axis. And cosine is negative in the second and third quadrant because it's to the left of the Y-axis. The other four trigonometric ratios, we can keep track of sines based upon their ratios. Tangent is sine over cosine. So if you take a positive divided by a positive, you get a positive. If you take a positive divided by a negative, you get a negative. If you take a negative over a negative, it's a double negative. You'll get positive. If you take a negative divided by a positive, you're going to get negative. And be aware that the reciprocal of tangent is cotangent, so it's going to have the exact same sines. So tangent and cotangent will be positive and negative at the same spots. Likewise, as cosecant is the reciprocal of sine, it'll have the same sines there. And secant is the reciprocal of cosine, so they'll have the same thing as there. Because you're just flipping the fraction upside down and it doesn't change its sine whatsoever. So let me show you how you can compute trigonometric ratios using reference angles. So let's find the exact value of sine of 240 degrees. You'll notice that 240 degrees, if we think about that one, it's larger than 180 degrees, but smaller than 270 degrees. So this lives in the third quadrant. So to find the reference angle, so this is our angle theta right here, to find the reference angle in the third quadrant, we're going to take our angle theta and subtract from it 180 degrees. So we take 240 degrees minus 180 degrees. This is going to give us 60 degrees. Now, this is one of the angles we're supposed to remember. So sine of 240 degrees, this is going to equal sine of its reference angle, 60 degrees, plus or minus, right? It's one or the other. Now, if you're in the third quadrant, sine is negative. So sine of 240 degrees is equal to negative sine of 60 degrees. And sine of 60 degrees, as we've learned earlier, this is one we should have memorized, sine of 60 degrees is the square root of 3 over 2. So we see that sine of 240 degrees is negative root 3 over 2. And this is a calculation we're able to do without a calculator because it involves an angle which references one of our special angles. Let's do another example. Let's find the exact value of tangent of 315 degrees. Well, if theta is equal to 350 degrees, notice it's not quite 360, but it is larger than 270 degrees. So this is something that lives in the fourth quadrant. If you're in the fourth quadrant, the reference angle is how much closer can you get to be 360 degrees? So theta hat, the reference angle will be 360 degrees minus theta. So if you take 360 and you subtract from it 315, you end up with 45 degrees as our reference angle, like so. And so the other thing also pay attention to here is if we're looking for tangent here of 315 degrees, this is going to equal tangent of 45 degrees, again, plus or minus. Which quadrant are we in? We're in the fourth quadrant. So in the fourth quadrant, you get that cosine is positive, sine is negative. So the quotient tangent, which is sine over cosine, the net will be a negative actually. And so we get that tangent 315 degrees is negative tangent of 45 degrees. Well, how do you do that? Well, tangent to 45 degrees is sine of 45 degrees over cosine of 45 degrees. So we get negative sine of 45 over cosine of 45. Well, sine of 45 degrees is root 2 over 2. Cosine of 45 degrees is also root 2 over 2. And so you get the same quantity divided by itself. This simplifies just to be negative 1. So we see that tangent of 315 degrees is going to be negative 1. Consider cosecant of 300 degrees. The first thing to do is to compute the reference angle. If theta is equal to 300 degrees, again, 300 is larger than 270, but smaller than 360. This will again be in the fourth quadrant. So the reference angle is computed by taking 360 minus 300. So our reference angle is going to be 60 degrees right here. All right. The next thing to consider is then the sine. So cosecant of 300 degrees. This is going to equal cosecant of 60 degrees plus or minus. Which one is it? Positive or negative? Well, which quadrant are we in? We're in the fourth quadrant. So again, in the fourth quadrant, cosine is positive. Sine is negative. So since sine is negative cosecant, which is just one over sine, will likewise be negative in this quadrant. So let's then mark that up. So we get that cosecant of 300 degrees is negative cosecant of 60 degrees. Well, cosecant is just going to be 1 over sine of 60 degrees. And sine of 60 degrees is, of course, square root of 3 over 2. So if we take the reciprocal of this, we end up with negative 2 over the square root of 3, which then is cosecant of 300 degrees. Now, if you are insistent on rationalizing the numerator, excuse me, the denominator, you can do that. It's really not necessary. But if you times the top and bottom by the square root of 3, like so, you could also write the answer as negative 2 square root of 3 over 3. That is also correct. But I think negative 2 over square root of 3 is also, definitely also correct. The two numbers are equivalent to each other. And there's probably no need to rationalize the denominator. But if you feel compelled to do so, satisfy your compulsion and do it right now. Let's do one last example before we end lecture 6 right here. Let's compute cosine of 495 degrees. Well, notice that 495 degrees is larger than 360 degrees. So let's compute something coterminal to it. If I subtract 360 from 495 degrees, we're going to actually end up with 135 degrees. So cosine of 495 degrees is just cosine of 135 degrees. So you can always replace an angle with something coterminal to that. And you'll have the exact same trigonometric ratio there. So let's think about the reference angle now, because still 135 degrees is not the first quadrant. If theta equals 495, well, again, that's equivalent to 135. So we're good with that. That's in the second quadrant, like I mentioned. It's bigger than 90 degrees, but less than 180 degrees. So the reference angle, if you're in the second quadrant, think about that. Your angle's terminating over here. Your reference angle will be that angle right there. So how much more do we need to get to 180? So you're going to take 180 minus theta. And so we take 180 degrees minus 135 degrees. And that gives us 45 degrees, our reference angle. So continuing on here, we get that cosine of 495 degrees. This is equal to cosine of 135 degrees, which is equal to plus or minus cosine of 45 degrees. Again, pay attention to the quadrant. If you're in the second quadrant, we get that cosine is negative, sine is positive. So we actually need to get that. We're going to get that cosine is negative on this one, like I said. So we're going to get negative cosine of 45 degrees. Cosine of 45 degrees is root 2 over 2. And therefore cosine of 495 degrees is negative root 2 over 2. And we were able to do this without the use of any calculator whatsoever because we use reference angles, quadrants. And in these cases, everything turned out to be one of the special angles, 0, 30, 45, 60, or 90 degrees. And so in those settings, which are very common in a trigonometric course, we can do these calculations without a calculator whatsoever. That brings us to the end of lecture six. Thanks for watching, everyone. I hope you learned something. If you did, please give this video or any of the videos you're watching a like, click the like button there to see more videos like this in the future. Subscribe. And if you have any questions at any time when you're watching these videos, feel free to post them in the comments below and I'll be glad to answer them as soon as I can. Have a good day, everyone. Bye.


Welcome back folks. This is Jacob Shupe with you today for the dollar right now. We are trading right below the 104 level We're at 103 99 flux went between 99 and 98 Folks, let's shift gears here a little bit. I'm gonna bring you over here. We have the orde hyphen oracle calm This is Tim orde. He has been coming on with Tom for a while now He just had a webinar earlier this month. It was Fantastic folks if you if you didn't see that we have all of our archives webinar We have all of our webinars archives. We also archive the webinars But come over check out the front pages tfnn.com. That's there as well It was a fantastic webinar and a lot of people enjoyed it Tim ord. Are you with us? Yeah, I'm right here. How you doing? Good Since some charts over do we have a time to go over them? We do we absolutely do I'm on chart one right now. We have the equity put call ratio Yeah, this this is a I did this today and and so this is actually yesterday's clothes But the bottom one does the 21 day average So that's a whole month of average of equity put call ratio readings and you get above 0.75 yesterday's closer 0.77 So that was a whole month of equity put call ratio readings. They just leaned on the puts for the last month and So that's bullies and then one above that is a five-day And anything about 0.8 is 0.92 is bullish So, you know in the markets been screaming here for the last week couple of weeks when it's virtually straight up here And everybody's still leaning on the put side and you and that's that's a good old going forward Normally when they start getting on the call side, you know in danger it can happen, but we're not we're not seeing that here so People for some reason and this is real money trading. This is not like well if I had to be in the market Say I'd be bullish or bearish. These are people actually playing the market and they're leaning on the bearish side. So Seminite wise this is extremely bullish. So We can go to chart two real quick perfect This is kind of an indicator I showed my webinar the top window is the SPY to VIX ratio and In the middle window or the second one down from the top is VIX and what's really strange today is the markets up You know over 2% as we're talking here and normally as the market goes up And the VIX makes a new low which it is that's usually a bullish sign and so The ratio on the top there it's the only reason why I put it over the SPX VIX over the SPY rather Because it goes in the same direction as the SP the SP's are going up This ratio is going up if it does then everything is Copacetic, I guess you might say everything is aligning but according to the VIX right now Making lower lows or this ratio as to why VIX making higher highs with the SP's making higher There's no different negative divergence on a short-term basis.  They call it and I don't see it I think in general I thought this week might kind of be a sideways week because we had such a great week last week But I'm sure turn bases here. I'm not seeing anything Dangerous So how high is high, I don't know but go to chart Four okay, we're gonna skip three if you got four there and In my webinars always talk about panic To get a bottom you have to have panic you got no panic. They have no bottom and so And what's what's really interesting here? We go to the far right corner the bottom window is that? 10-day average of the trend and yes, they close at one point one nine anything around one point two and higher Shows panic in the market in other words, there's more Go on stocks High-volume on stocks are going down. That's usually a You would think would be a very sign But it's actually bullish and that's what we have here Even though the markets concentrate up all those tan areas are times when the trend that was hitting 1.2 or higher and they all come near lows That's how I picked out that low over in the 2000 we didn't 2022 and 2023 you had a lot of that panic in that 365 to 390 on the SPY's I suggest we're gonna break out to the upside we did we had some panic back in early October put in a minor low and we didn't really have panic at the October 27th low, which is really ironic, but since the markets gone up now we do have panic so Semite-wise there's everybody's leaning bearish Panic-wise everybody's still panicking here for it. So I'm thinking we could be breaking out in a big way to the upside and so What could that lead to let's go to chart 5 yeah Okay, now. This is a big time frame. This is the monthly SPX and What I'm thinking here is developing is a head and shoulders bottom where the head was October of 2022 low left shoulder was early 2022 and we've been screwing around Since July until October here In my opinion we're probably making a head and show or the right shoulder of a head and shoulders bottom It pretty much did what it's supposed to do We've got the neckline around 4,600 Which is noted on the chart there with that dotted line and Now to get through that neckline. You need what to call it. It's a sign of strength In other words, that's usually big volume and big price movement and that may be developing here as we're putting on because I Semit-wise I'm not seeing anything really Barish we do have panic in the market. Can we just bust through the 4,600? What we do with the science drink that usually confirms once you have a science drink through the neckline and that really confirms the head and shoulders bottom and I got a Scenario there if this is a head and shoulders bottom gives an upside target around 5,700 right on the estimate SPY's well, that's about 26% higher than where we are and I don't know why everybody's leaving berries here, but The stuff I'm looking at even on a short term and even on the bigger time frame so far Lean bullish, you know that may change in the coming weeks, but even on a short term basis here I'm not seeing any danger. So And next year is election year right and that's easy. That's easy enough here. So we may see another 20th, you know, we're we're not gonna have to be at this year So I think we'll reach 20% this year barge return and we need me reach another 20% next year So it looks good to me. Absolutely. Yeah, and I put these charts in the den as well for anyone who wants to look I mean, this is these are all really really insightful charts. No kidding Yeah, so it's it's just got an interesting time, you know, it You know, we got bullish back on September 27th, which is basically the day of the low and the market just doesn't it's really good You know, when the market doesn't lend anybody in It usually goes a lot further than what people would anticipate But the VIX the ticks matter of fact as we're talking here the mark step 2% and we got at one point Looks like about 1.2 on the trend so You know to me that's gonna put the the 10-day trend somewhere on 1.2 2 So that's quite a bit of energy to push that market higher. Definitely in Tim Listen, we have a we have a short segment after this, but stay with us I want to go through. I think it was chart 2 or chart 3 that we didn't go over. So Folks, we'll be right back with Tim Ord. That is Tim Ord of the Ord hyphen oracle dot com sit tight We'll be right back Welcome back voices Jacob shoot filling in for Tom O'Brien. We're with Tim Ord of the Ord oracle Tim. Are you with us still? Yep, I'm right here. Awesome. We're looking at chart 3. I think that's the one we jumped over All right. Yeah, a chart 3 It's kind of I didn't know we had enough time to get to it But anyhow the bottom window is the VIX and this chart goes back It's like a couple of years and normally when the VIX is below 17 We're coming in when I made this chart. I made a chart today is 1409 a lot of times when the VIX is below 17 the market is in the trending mode And so I shaded that all that area when it's below 17 and and so You know going into that 2022 hype most of that time the VIX was below 17 and that rally I started in and I don't know May June of last or this year I got below 17 kind of stayed there and now we're back below it again So it's a good chance We could be in the trending market You can kind of see that hidden shillers pattern there right if you look over to the early 2022 You see I drew a blue line and a red dotted line there So, you know, this would make you know the right shillers about equal to the left shillers and all this other stuff So it looks pretty good. We're actually having a sign of strength Right before we're hitting the neckline neckline against around 4,600 or 4,600 on the SPX but I wanted to point out yesterday on the SP will SPX we're testing the previous high of October and Now we jumped above it. I wanted to point out if you look at the VVIX to VIX ratio It was making higher highs when we were testing the previous highs on the SP And that would suggest that we're going to break through the previous highs of what we had in mid-October And sure enough we did we broke out today So that's why I wanted to point out there fantastic Tim. Thank you so much for joining us again It'll be on Thursday always great having you on Thank you folks. That was Tim order the order oracle again That is odd hyphen oracle calm go check them out folks. Thank you so much for joining me today We'll see if Thomas back tomorrow again Larry's webinar tomorrow at 8 a.m. To noon Eastern time sign up for it Folks have a great rest of your day


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