of Sinan. It's another beautiful day of schoolboy football action in the Issa DeCosta Cup. This in the round of 32 home and away time ties. And we have in the first of this doubleheader Taki High from St. Mary versus Cedric Titus all the way from Trelawney. It's the Drexel complex here in the Garden Parish. They're led out by the team of officials. And these two teams with different traditions will try to submit their claim on rural schoolboy football dominance. It's in the Garden Parish home to many hotels and villas where individuals relax but there's no time for relaxing in this must win clash for both teams. Cedric Titus they would have cruised through qualifiers so would have Taki High and they all try to make their best mark headed to the quarterfinal round of the DeCosta Cup. It's the broadened sun in St. Anne and it's certainly shall be a very entertaining and hot match. Two teams who have never really had glory at the senior ball leveling high school. They will try to do their very best this season. The captains have a moment with the team of officials led by Doreen Affleck, assisted by Micton Allman and Junior Jack. Fourth official being Danean Torchment. Doreen Affleck guides them through the coin toss. Two number sevens. The captain, Rachan Small for Cedric Titus and Giovanni McLean the hitman for the Taki High School. 12 goals, eight assists, 20 goal contributions in total for that man. Of course, Rachan Small, four goals, four assists for them. Let's have a quick look at the lineup for Taki High in goal. Kamari Johnson, Omario Grant, Jeannoy Barrett, Troy Morgan, Donjay Goldburn, Giovanni McLean, Jaden Davis, Romario Gibbs, Deandre Jackson, Millie Campbell and Saviano Johnson. They're coached by Ricky Miller. The lineup is a 4-3-3 to Taki High. Here's the lineup for Cedric Titus High in goal. Omari Wedderburn, they have a back five of Christopher Walters, Amosoi Rose, Daniel Powell, Kamari Gordon, Millie Foster, three in the middle, Devonte Horton, Rachan Small and McCoy Barrett, their player to watch five goals, ten assists this season and up top, Ashane Ashwain rather, Minto and Etteran Eccleston. Those are the strikers there coached by St. Derek Price. I'm joined today by Lejay Williams and what a match-up we have Lejay. Yeah, I'm really looking forward to this one, always a uptick in the quality of the Costa Cup once we get to this round of 32-phase. So I'm expecting nothing less here on a good surface, a surface that will host the opening of the Jamaica Premier League. So let's look forward to some good football. The one o'clock kickoff is off and a Taki. They'll definitely try to settle in their own rhythm. Millie Campbell there on the ball, Romario Gibbs, eight goals for him this season as he passes it to Genoy Barrett, Gibbs eight goals, 20 assists. And I tell you what, that's half of the assists for the entire goals scored, 40 in the qualifying rounds for Taki High, so he's definitely an instrumental player for them. As I mentioned earlier, they have 40 goals to their credit and the majority of those goals would have come from four players. Of course, Giovanni McLean being the head of that. So it's a throw in for Taki, this in the first minute of play and Gibbs, well he was there. That's the coach of Taki High, Ricky Miller, past the unit of Cedric Titus, no St. Derek Price, the coach of Cedric Titus currently as they try to clear Cedric Titus in the blue and yellow kit found there from the captain Giovanni McLean. That's St. Derek Price, coach of Cedric Titus, would have passed student of St. Elizabeth Technical and the danger there averted quickly by the number 17 for Taki High scored Malik Campbell, the 18-year-old. Corner taken quickly for Cedric Titus, whipped into the area and almost at the end of that looked to have been Ashwin Minto, but unable to get it into a more dangerous era. They continue with the captain small, spreads it wide, man to watch. Small again the captain, trying to play a bit sensually, Taki now trying to clear, all played out for throwing now for Taki High School. Game starting at a little bit of a tentative pace. They try to come forward Taki, good defensive work that from Christopher Walters, falling off Giovanni McLean, allowing Amaru Witteburning goal to gather the ball effectively. He won't want to try that anymore, the captain under pressure all the time in the middle of the field, but perhaps a bit too aggressive from Cedric Titus. Cedric Titus as I mentioned in lining up with five defenders, so rightfully so there should be a lot of passing options between them, especially in that back area, but mistakes like that taking too long on the ball isn't serving them too well in the opening exchanges so far. That went through, looks to be the man beyond a Jackson on the end of it, he shoots! And it had to be a very good save from the goalkeeper, Kamara Johnson, to avert the danger and McLean and company, they were trying to do the mop up job for Taki High, but that too was cleared. But the first real opportunity they are going to Taki High, let's see how Cedric Titus can respond. The passing really hasn't been as crisp as certainly they need to, Jackson there on the far right of the field, Houghton to foster now on the right in flank, that's for Cedric Titus, Jackson on the ball now, Johnson, Saviana Johnson. Taki certainly looking the more comfortable of the two teams, already with the golden chance of the game so far and Cedric Titus would do really well with a bit of tightening up in both their touches and defensive actions. I say as Taki gives the ball away loosely and now here goes Cedric Titus. Indeed that's McQuade Barrett, McQuade Barrett back to the captain now small, he's trying to go from distance and perhaps he knows LeJ Williams is on commentary. Yeah it seems as if everyone is joining the sweepstakes but it was a powerful effort, here's a chance for Taki earlier, loose attempt at the control but once it got there I think that he wasn't wrong for taking on the shot, I don't think his teammates came in the box to support him quickly enough, rough collision there on the sideline. Here Cedric Titus trying to advance, the fast it really hasn't been slick from them giving it away, that opportunity fizzled out in the end because the advancing player wasn't in position, faster to the captain small, tries to bring it in the box but cleared by Barrett, they try now to reset at the back Cedric Titus and how instrumental we've seen the captain small. The number 10 for Taki, Gibbs trying to work his magic in the middle of the park, has options, uses gold burn, goes all the way back to Janoy Barrett having too much on the ball there Barrett and concedes a throw in for Cedric Titus, searching ball that well shielded by Amasoi Rose, number five for Cedric Titus as they now able to build from the back, that ball looking for Ashwin Minto, he's now on it, turns well swings it across, whistle there on the play and it's a free kick for Cedric Titus in a very dangerous area. Dangerous indeed and it's, it was kind of a body to body collision but once Cedric Titus player got there first, Deandre Jackson, he was always going to, oh my apologies, Eccleston actually from Cedric Titus got my 11s mixed up there but once he got there first he was always odds on to win that foul and that's exactly what happened and now it's going to be a dangerous set piece opportunity. Kamari Gordon left back, let's see what he can serve up. So they set up a three man wall, Kamari Gordon, does he have the range of kick in, he steps up and that's over the top, much of the dismay of the court in staff, off Cedric Titus, Kamari Johnson there in goal, unbothered by that one, Gibbs, Fataki, Davis, offside there being called against the advance in Giovanni McLean, some of the spectators he just saw on the shot at the Jacksall Sports Complex, this is a home of two teams now in the Jamaica Premier League, Mount Pleasant and Leimhaal, of course, Jamaica Premier League action continues on the home of champions tomorrow for the season opener, double header and then on Monday again, rumbling the jungle and the gardens host another double header. Cedric Titus on the offensive, play broken up, now Gibbs able to break Fataki, tries to connect with McLean, passing hasn't been as crisp as I'm sure coach Miller would want, Gibbs trying to find Davis he does, faster, giving him all sorts of problems, has to go all the way back to Janoy Barrett, does well to turn, trying to find Jackson, only found Gordon, here's faster, trying to navigate through traffic there was Devonte Houghton, Gibbs, Gibbs does well, trying to advance still is Gibbs, time to challenge that from Daniel Powell. He has strong challenge in the end and it's granted Taki their first opportunity to whip in a corner, 12 minutes in Cedric Titus have certainly grown into this one but Taki still have had the better chances or chance and they'll be looking to try and maximize on this opportunity. Taking shot, it's with Gibbs now lifts it across headed out by Cedric Titus but only to another Taki player there to be Saviano Johnson who had that block shot, here's Taki. Cedric Titus trying to break there but it's a kick to Taki, midway, the Cedric Titus half, can there be something special, I tell you what, social media craves for the spectacular, this man stands behind it, Gibbs, his shot was blocked but they still have possession, Jackson now lifts it across, McLean had a free header, really should have done better there Giovanni McLean. Yeah as a talisman that he is, he would have wanted that chance back McLean as he mentioned Dini was a free header, did well actually to break away and open the space for himself for the year once he got his head onto it, wide of the mark. Eccleston trying to advance but cut out effectively by Barrett, Jackson now for Taki, still Jackson to Davis, Gibbs now, Houghton doing well there, the high line of Taki not giving Cedric Titus the opportunity to break, so it's a throwing for Cedric Titus, Malik Foster, that diagonal ball they are unable to find the intended man, Minto now on the ball, Minto, trying to get around Colverne, here's Small, the captain, still for Cedric Titus loses possession, Jackson made that McLean, trying to find McLean now, Giovanni McLean has been getting the opportunities but the finishing has been off and there needs to be a bit more pristine shine on his finishing. And from a pass like that I can see why Romario Gibbs has 20 and 60 season lovely pass to put in McLean but here the finish just wasn't what was required but I think Cedric Titus and their back three, back five formation they really need to tighten up those spaces especially in that right hand side corridor because that's seemingly where Taki are attacking. Taki definitely should be an attacking team named after Maroon Chief from the Scottsall Maroons in St Mary, Chief Taki as the historians call him and let's see if they can spring in ambush. Cedric Titus, so the second round of the Dacosta Cup it's a series of home and away ties between the top 32 teams who would have advanced from the respective preliminary round groups and those teams were seeded based on prior years performances and the number of wins as well as whether or not they would have topped their groups or been second round or third place finishes or the best third place finishes. So both of these two teams Cedric Titus and Taki they would have been their first placed teams from their preliminary round groups and the seeding points favored them so they are 15th and 18th and of course prior years performances I mentioned earlier would have impacted that so it's a home and away tie and this is the first leg here comes Taki that's a poor challenge absolutely poor it was a driving run from Millie Campbell and Christopher Walters left him writhing in pain and rolling on the ground reckless and I wonder perhaps he's really lucky that it's only a yellow base of the nature of that challenge so Cedric Titus as a school named after a former government senator Cedric Oswald Titus so one school tacky named after a maroon chief one named after a politician but there's really no room for diplomacy in this one yeah two distinguished schools then and they try to add it to that distinction legit he's enjoying the action still being treated is Millie Campbell well he's on his feet now and it will be a free kick in a dangerous position again for tacky high coach said Derek Price barking instructions at his charges for perhaps a series of laps lapses in the defensive organization Deandre Jackson the seven gold man standing behind this free kick for tacky high school Jackson went to the trees yeah safe to say that attempt was a bit too heavy maybe a punter in another sport special teams try to reset it trying to reset his tacky giving away possession cheaply they come forward now through faster trying to find winter that control misguided giving tacky the opportunity to map up the danger player there for Cedric Titus being treated or being attended to their player to watch McCoy Barrett still in a bit of pain the medical staff taking their own time to come on over to him so that little niggle for Barrett coincides with the water break as indicated by the referee Doreen Affleck certainly the temperatures here at Draxall nothing to treat lightly yeah I was wondering if I could get a water break myself it is very steamy I'm sure these players will be very appreciative of any stoppage that they get it's very needed this is Cedric Titus players they're making sure their limbs are loose of course very critical the opportunities like this used to give further instructions from the coaches both coaches making full use of this opportunity Ricky Miller and as they have a break for the water break perhaps you should just pause quickly to download the Sportsmax app on the google player app store and Android or Apple devices and ensure that you can watch all the different sporting options available on the app and of course schoolboy football in the island of Jamaica available on Sportsmax plus on the app so downloaded right now and it's free make full use of the Sportsmax app Kamari Johnson really went high well taken by Jackson but loses possession now Cedric Titus small the captain trying to connect with Barrett Barrett goes inside firm challenge but still with Cedric Titus through Eccleston tries to whip it across now to foster that square pass cut out quickly taking the throw quickly is Cedric Titus small tries to put it in a central area but that was able to be clear easily by tacky meant to try and to go through traffic but it's offside as indicated by Micton Allman keeps trying to find McLean Walters did well to intercept that it's with Barrett now for Cedric Titus turns well find small faster really has been a chink in the armor has faster quite a few missed controls give it away possession Mali Campbell good work from hot to steer that away giving Cedric Titus possession now Walters Barrett the intended target unable to get it shot from distance well one thing for sure is that neither of these two teams are shy about shooting especially Cedric Titus I'm seeing them line them up from quite a distance yet to trouble tacky in any way however Horton doing well to hold off Campbell plays it back to Eccleston Barrett now small does well to find Gordon Horton in a dangerous area touched too many there gets it back tries the back heel to get it to Eccleston but that didn't come through he's faster now trying to find Minto instead it goes all the way to player there for tacky looks to be Jackson connected now with McLean too much on that in the end and shielded well by Amasoi Rose and a through taking quickly perhaps the most purposeful progression offer of the play for Cedric Titus just a while ago but the finishing project of course was lacking in that instance that ball handled easily by Kimara Johnson 16 year old goalkeeper for tacky still yet to be seriously tested by any Cedric Titus offense John Barrett here cut out by Walters Johnson Gibbs has drifted more to the right hand side switching roles with Jackson here's Campbell unable to keep that one in was early Campbell the 18 year old both these teams not blessed with an abundance of youthful players most of the players 18 19 year olds some 17 year olds as well Cedric Titus though they have quite a number of substitutes 16 and 15 year old players and that should all go well for them here's Eccleston he's one of the younger players and that ball whipped across unable to be brought in target by Minto that one a better chance created by Cedric Titus they've been looking to go down that right hand side as well as tacky but for the first time they put in a teasing cross and Minto again just couldn't get that one and target on two goals for him this season so far to go with five assists small here's Eccleston too faster to heart and back to Eccleston interception well almost an interception Eccleston on the left tries to bring it across Minto the intended target there that's cut out by tacky but it comes only back to faster now small trying to beat too much now but tacky able to break through Jackson able to get by Powell only just though as Barrett now pushes it forward for them Eccleston was offside Jackson he did well to bring it down but just went a bit too quickly ahead of it Horton connecting with small oh he continues to try the more extravagant passes small and gives away possession and continually the bench tell him use a simpler passes and I think by now he should have figured that out himself clearly he has a lot of self-belief could be deception Campbell Horton finding the captain small that pass good to Eccleston Kimari Johnson using his foot there when he really could have used his hands showing his own abilities as a sweeper keeper perhaps here's Gibbs joined by Powell whips it across McLean on the end of it McLean has been getting the service Lejay but he has not produced a fantastic finish as yet yeah this is now his third chance that his teammates have provided for him tried to go with a one-time finish it was Gibbs yet again the provider but McLean letting down his assist king not providing the finish off here we really wondered if one player could have 20 assists just in the preliminary rounds but by the look of his play so far in just the first half just over half an hour played we've really seen the range of passing that he provides here's Horton now for Cedric Titus still Horton lifts it across but that cut out by Barrett offside there the call but had the finishing of the entire front line for Taki Haibin more precise perhaps you'd have had just from the look of it today if we do an extrapolation perhaps 30 assists let's see if he can register one more certainly not only an assist that he does score them it goes to Romario Gibbs that's the number 10 for Taki High School so Cedric Titus trying to build up he is small who's trying to do the give and go with Minto but that was broken up they still have possession lose it though to McLean it's a throw in for Cedric Titus rose broken up by Gibbs just a bit too much on that one Amari Wedderburn throws it out quickly to Foster Horton Powell here's Taki Cedric Titus getting it getting it away Malik Foster there doing the flick over on Davis I think it's really nice that as a captain for Taki McLean needs some attention I think it's really nice that there's another look there yeah he loved that in his highlight reel his own personal highlight really hasn't been too good today but he says I'm leaving with something and then that might be it but two players down one for Cedric Titus one for Taki one of them being the captain for Taki McLean has had three can call it the three best opportunities in this game so far yet to take any I think if the score were to stay nilol at half time he'd be it feel very hard done by the rest of the Taki team to not be up by at least one or two I would say that they've been the better team over 39 minutes so far they have been able to break through the lines effectively getting very clear opportunities for scoring well they have a very popular motto they anglicized the version of it the brave may fall but never yield certain Kingston College would have been the first school to done that as they rally cry Cedric Titus through Gordon meant to lose his possession there Davis appealing for the throwing there after that ball to him from Omario Grant the youngest player on the Taki lineup 15 year old Omario Grant the number two for Taki here comes Cedric Titus Haughton tried the shot from distance but effectively blocked here they come again through small Haughton has space Haughton to Eccleston who tries to turn Eccleston and that was a crucial header from the 15 year old Omario Grant to take that off target yeah I think that effort was goalbound I was wondering if Eccleston had maybe handled in the build up to this to certainly look that way but once he got that shot off on the half volley that was definitely headed for the roof of the net and that save might be very very crucial in this time definitely they get a corner kick for their efforts taken quickly faster lifts it across Minto on the end of it and Minto it wasn't target but there was some infraction there seemed to have been a handball handleball yeah from Minto on route to him bringing it beyond the goal line he's down would have had some contact with Kamara Johnson is another angle at it still being treated as Minto brought off the field play resumes now of course that ball would have touched the hand of the attacking player and as such a handleball would have been called here's Tacky from distance quite a vision Troy Morgan there doing well to dispossess Haughton Jackson trying to navigate through Powell but Morgan again doing well now Wesley Jackson going darting down the byline but did too much on that occasion it's a goal kick for Cedric Titus you're not for the first time Jackson trying to go down a bit too easily and deceive the ref handball they're called against Terran Eccleston here's Tacky through McLean he's stripped of possession Minto trying to get on the end of this one loses possession Haughton to Eccleston Saviano Johnson doing the defensive work for Tacky High School here's small for Cedric Titus Gordon was bundled over by Jaden Davis Haughton has been so instrumental in the last 10 minutes or so faster trying to find Eccleston Eccleston still trying to get through the area but fouling Troy Morgan and company in the heart of the Tacky defense throwing at a time now in the first half Jackson did well to connect with Gibbs he knew he was offside did Gibbs junior jack there the assistant referee on that flank here's small not for the first time today lining up a shot from distance and not for the first time today it hasn't been the best effort your most kind I'm sure to the relief of the players and to so many persons that drags all there's a cloud cover now that blocks the sun that was out in all its glory earlier so a reduction in the heat let's see what Gibbs can do almost turning well there this possessed Cedric Titus faster Kim Ari Johnson always had that one under control Jackson McLean finds Jackson small did really well there Jackson was a bit slight in his approach McLean had passed unable to find Jackson Cedric Titus trying to break now Terry and Affleck blowing the whistle for the first half much to the chagrin of the Cedric Titus coaching staff they thought they were undone Dominic Foster's really headed on his way to goal but it's a goal his first half in round two action in the Dacosta Cup these two teams seeded 15th and 18th respectively Cedric Titus and Tacky high it's Neil all at the half here from Draxall in St. Anne the JPL on Sportsmax and seen TV live hall versus Montego Bay United live Sunday 1 15 p.m. 12 15 and the rest of the Caribbean it continues in that double header Mount Pleasant the defending champions versus many-time champion Portmore United 3 15 p.m. 4 15 and the rest of the Caribbean and on Monday Malines United versus Vera United Monday 5 p.m. 6 in the rest of the Caribbean Arnott Gardens versus Dumper Holden Monday 7 30 p.m. 8 30 in the rest of the Caribbean the way for champions league is on the home of champions Inter FC Salzburg live Tuesday 11 45 a.m. 12 45 in the Eastern Caribbean it continues with Sevilla versus Arsenal Tuesday 2 p.m. 3 in the rest of the Caribbean Barcelona versus the Shakhtar Dines Wednesday 11 45 a.m. 12 45 in the Eastern Caribbean Paris Saint-Germain versus Milan Wednesday 2 p.m. 3 in the rest of the Caribbean that's on Sportsmax 2 second of action getting ready for this matchup tacky versus Cedric Titus and Darian Affleck sends it off Cedric Titus through Eccleston trying to open up space Eccleston gets by his man Eccleston in the area now turns unable to lift it across he does so now Barrett tried to get on the end of that one but loses possession the opposite number 11 Jackson tries to break for tacky high McLean unable to get that under his control Amasoy Rose under a bit of pressure there not calm enough played it out for throwing that's taken quickly here they come now McLean he's closed down quickly by the press of Cedric Titus they now try to break through their captain Ruchand Small over zealous on that kick it's a throwing for tacky another look at the coach there for Cedric Titus and Derek Price mentor runs into traffic perhaps he found the traffic mentor faster trying to whip it across not the best of clearances with eventually tacky do clear and they're on the go now offside yeah didn't really get a handle on that number seven on that occasion here's faster trying to whip it across Eccleston the intended target but Kimari Johnson doing just enough puts it forward now Rose will have to mark it up is McLean clean turns here's the shot you see looking to apply some pressure it's a good press Cedric Titus play out of effort Leslie where they go again constantly looking for Eccleston has looked dangerous here he is now Terran Eccleston the 16 year old Eccleston whips it across Kimari Johnson able to cut it off Minter was the intended target and I think that perhaps Eccleston may he may have to just go all by himself hasn't really been able to supply the crosses that Minter would need here's Gibbs for tacky Troy Morgan there wins the kick for tacky Campbell defensive frailt is there being demonstrated clearly by Cedric Titus communication lacking in that sequence of play Barrett trying to play it out but falls to tacky now through Gibbs still Gibbs loses possession there Johnson playing it up to Gibbs goes back into traffic does Gibbs he's trying the most isn't he let's see what comes of this one still has possession Gibbs gets the foul but I'm sure coach Miller would have loved the cross much earlier yeah so maybe some of the other tacky players but do you want to fall in then you'll be the one taking it let's see what he can serve up the five tacky players in the box Gibbs sit up played out by Sean Small the captain for Cedric Titus so the goalkeeper could have been a bit more commanding there nonetheless it's a corner kick for tacky it's in the 52nd minute of play second of action two corners of two corners of peace now Johnson on the ball for tacky plays it out throwing taken quickly by Cedric Titus Reckleston Small throws to Haughton back to Small Powell now Daniel Powell the number 20 Haughton does well to invade Troy Morgan Haughton lifts it across Reckleston headed it away and Sean Small really was the intended target he's upset coach Price perhaps a bit more reserved in his display of emotion Reckleston yet again in the center of things what maybe you'd have been better served not being the center of it on that occasion speaking of being at the center of things here's Gibbs for tacky ball over the top not the most accurate and it's Cedric Titus on the prowl yet again Morgan lift that one in that follow-up goal in tacky's favor that show in Minto the guilty party for Cedric Titus Barrett boots it up shot from distance and wasn't accurate here Cedric Titus it's a goal kick for tacky perhaps a sense of urgency lacking on both teams of course it's a two-legged tie and as a result of that they do have another game to play well done from Small finds it finds Minto he take it quickly Small Small drives it low comes back to him Small tries to cut inside but loses possession playing out now through the substitute Ellis for tacky Ellis does well with a burst of pace Christopher Walters doing well there only gives up the throw in tacky tried to take it quickly Gibbs Goldberg spreads it wide tacky looking sprightly in this sequence of play Gibbs touched too many and that's broken up if we now goes to the attention of the player down for Cedric Titus Daniel Powell Bench mean summoned both teams continue to cancel out to each other it's a good take initially there Gibbs again touched too many in that danger zone that air right outside the box the hope for creating chances zone 14 is what it's known in the analytical circles as you see Cedric Titus preparing a change here they're number 13 Denton Livingston you see in a second who he will be coming in for it's their number 20 Daniel Powell as soon as if it will be a straight swap tacky's captain Giovanni McLean also receiving a bit of instructions from his coach think both teams are using this opportunity to take a breather the temperatures aren't too high anymore but it's still a highly physical game a game where each team has been canceling each other out not too much between them half chances galore we have seen some good chances as well I think maybe tacky would be thinking a bit sad that they aren't up by a goal or two Cedric Titus have had their chances as well as one of their starters Ashwayne Minto or Ashwayne Minto is needing some assistance tacky wins it back in a dangerous area Gibbs doing well to find McLean McLean on it unable to really get it off goalkeeper Amari Wetterburn coming out in avert in all the danger that that play could have caused they have been a bit more purposeful when they have the ball in the attack in third in the second half Gibbs again trying to connect with Jackson must be said although Gibbs does take maybe a touch too many a times his vision for the final pass is looking quite outstanding so far in this game even if the pass doesn't come off at times a lot of imaginative passing on his end here they trying to lift it across but that was cut out they receive a throw in there's a shot from goalburn the follow-up from Troy Morgan only spread wide for Cedric Titus to clear Eccleston did well to beat his marker Tarran Eccleston the 16 year old Saviana Johnson doing well on the defensive end to regain possession for tacky Troy Morgan for tacky loses possession to Small here's Rashan Small the captain trying to ease that one through to Eccleston but he too loses possession it's a kick for tacky in the end yeah I think Small may have handled the ball there as he was going to ground still on the ground certainly has covered a lot of distance in this game so far starting close to the base of midfield and has ventured forward more and more especially in this second half medical staff being called over to give him some measure of assistance now tacky they have certainly produced a lot on the cricket in end it's a sport in competitions John Campbell perhaps the most outstanding of past the students West Indian cricketer John Campbell oh yeah that's what you see when you're on the sportsmax app download the sportsmax app today get it on the google play or the apple app store and see all the action in schoolboy football and so many other sporting activities brought to you by the homo champion sportsmax you have a champions league efl skybet championship all of that on the sportsmax app and of course schoolboy football is free on sportsmax plus get it on the sportsmax app and that is free and you know what I love the freeness don't we all it's a corner kick for tacky taken short Gibbs hustled off the ball but still with possession Gibbs still in possession tacky lifting it up into the area now substitute Ellis unable to really bring it on the control the varniel is the substitute Cedric Titus trying to break faster loses possession there Campbell for tacky plays it back to Morgan slick movement there releases Gibbs but his pass intercepted here's small for Cedric Titus McCoy Barrett John I barrett Gibbs Saviano Johnson now player down for Cedric Titus another Cedric play Cedric Titus player down needing some assistance it's a bruising bruising encounter only the first leg of two and this tie is very interesting it's not surprising that it's this close because this on paper it's the second closest in terms of seeding in the Dacosta Cup round of 32 Bob Cedric Titus the 50th seed tacky the 18th so it's no surprise that these two teams are canceling each other out so well replay there of the engine let's see if he can walk this one off come on Gordon five good man from left but to hear even more of what's happening on the sideline we are going now to Kimani or Sullivan the man with all the news Kimani what's up thank you Leje I have news that the force changed by Cedric Titus that's Daniel Powell it was due to a left calf strain so I can report to you that Daniel Powell has come off the park due to a left calf strain and in terms of the dugout for tacky high coach Miller is actually sitting in for their head coach who is not here due to him being an Adventist so he's missing for religious reasons but coach Miller is here in his stead that's it for me thank you so much Kimani perhaps he has the Sportsmax app doing service I'm not sure well as a Adventist myself I know there was many a time where at the time of course I had to listen to the radio step out and listen to the radio in church so your pastor really needs to pray for you dedicated from our early age what can I say I'm sure he wants to baptize you here Cedric Titus trying to dip tacky under some measure of water well they have a water break as we talk about water that's going in Montague principle of Wolmer's high school for girls and the stalwart in Issa from competitions for years the cheer person for Issa boys and girls championships of course a big part of school board football as well coach is getting maybe their last real opportunity to get some serious instructions across this game the water break which is about to end now there is price there of Cedric Titus transmitting some last minute info let's see what his players can produce let's see what tacky's players can produce it's all up for grab still and one goal really could be enough not only to win this game but the tie overall it's all it takes as I'm sure you'd have learned in Sabbath school it only takes a spark to get the fire growing soon all goes around I'd love for you to finish it you have a touch with music J let's see there can be some musical cheers here for Cedric Titus here's a corner kick lift it up over the top by the goalkeeper Kamari Johnson did come in a dangerous area and Eccleston was there it's another corner kick McCoy de Barrett on duty lift it up again Binta trying to get on the end of that one but they're behind booted up by Barrett Ali Campbell losing position there to foster small now on the ball loses it here's tacky with an opportunity that pass really won't do the job small not getting a lot of time on the ball being closed down in the middle Eccleston going all the way back substitute their dent on Livingston winning the throw in player down for tacky that looks to be Gibbs well maybe well that's not Gibbs that's it's Goldburn don't get Goldburn he's up now until they're trying to get around Saviana Johnson but that was cut out Morgan and Livingston combined into ease of the pressure for Cedric Titus giving it away was Morgan and the ball from Gibbs was really poor based on what we've seen from him really needed a more telling pass or even a shot from that angle here Cedric Titus Binta gets by one unable to get by another Saviana Johnson able to play it out here's small for Cedric Titus does well getting it across but cleared by Campbell ball played up for Ellis has faced but didn't have the touch to keep it under his control against possession but loses it Ali Campbell both of these teams scored a bucket load of goals in the group stages but not seen too much evidence of their attacking exploits so far today tacky scored 40 conceded 17 so their defense is holding up better than usual Cedric Titus in zone C scored 38 conceded nine but it's the defenses that are stepping up in this contest so far his chance to Ellis Gibbs Campbell Campbell cut out well by Rose he's Eccleston his pass we would only Campbell there is trying to connect with McLean but here they come now Cedric Titus and the referee has blown his whistle flashes that card to Donjay Goldburn for Chucky High School the evidence in that replay but this distance has a particular bit of memory to it by the evidence of what we've seen this afternoon though perhaps it will not bring the same level of glass and it did yeah the shot didn't have the ferocity required to test the goalkeeper here's tacky again doing the jump the intercepting playing it forward now it's the faster it's now with Minto it's closed down come on Johnson does enough to keep it in his control his tacky should have perhaps gone goal word even though it would have been from a tight angle the goalkeeper was out of the desired era Cedric Titus tried to break but tonight Barrett has that one covered and has company through Campbell Goldburn Johnson combining well Ellis his first touch continues to let him down has some amount of pace but the first touch more like a brick not sure if that was a an overzealous clearance from Denjen Livingston Rose faster to Barrett does the give and go his Barrett across in towards the target but that was cut out by Barrett they continue Cedric Titus small it's pretty wide now to Livingston the substitute tries to connect with Hearton but it's been that sort of afternoon yeah for both teams really Cedric Titus again they've won a corner here they come again Cedric Titus and more and more this game seems to be headed in the direction of a draw here's a tacky they have an opportunity for a shot it was blocked here's Johnson for tacky he's trying to find McLean but those missed first half opportunities may be haunted him now Campbell to Gibbs here Cedric Titus it's a corner kick for them and as we look at these two teams tacky high from Cedric Titus from Sri Lani two parishes that have not had success at the DeCosta Cup level or even in the Knuckle competition either perhaps for them the easiest way to go into the quarterfinal this matchup for either team corner kick comes in but no clear danger just yet Barrett to Hearton unable to really breach the defense certainly that won't help either yeah yet another shot from range haven't had too many guilted saves or goals haven't had any goals actually so it's going to be interesting to see you know what the Sportsmax app moment is Cedric Titus through Minto time now for the Sportsmax app moment brought you by the Sportsmax app and it's this bit of skill from Foster flicking it over there of Jayden Davis that in the first half perhaps the personal highlight of the game he had a rice smile about it brought you from the Sportsmax app down on the Sportsmax app and follow all the schoolboy forward action free on Sportsmax plus that's available on the Sportsmax app Cedric Titus trying to advance through the substitute 10-10 but that was broken up here's Johnson Saviana Johnson so yeah number 10 for tacky certainly an individual that could stake a claim for the man of the match so far Romario Gibbs his range of passing in my mind sets him aside but Lejay you are the analyst you have that eye yeah there haven't been too many standout candidates what might say but I think he has put in the hard yards and at the very least he's tried to make things happen he's created probably the best three or four chances in the game thus far Gibbs Romario Gibbs but it is subject to change because it hasn't been a game that has had an overwhelming amount of quality so if we were to see something now I guess it would be subject to change but as of right now I wouldn't be opposed to giving it to Romario Gibbs the number 10 for tacky yes to defend this free kick now Cedric Titus on the hunt here's a kick over the top Christopher Walters they are unable to get it on target so confirmation of that substitution Malik Foster who would have been a part of the Sportsmax App moment brought off and to replace him Rashad Henry the 16-year-old one of a few for Cedric Titus at that age group so they certainly should be able to do well in the under 16th competition but let's see here's tacky through Jackson they do win a corner kick here's a corner kick McLean was trying to get on the end of it but small the opposite number seven headed it out but it's still with tacky Cedric Titus they have so much time on the ball the intensity really has died down Gibbs trying to play through McLean really good defensive work that from Emma Sawyer Rose to shield the danger man from tacky here's Minter now for Cedric Titus can they be late drama small Livingston Livingston and Eccleston there on that flank Livingston loses it rather cheaply so did Giovanni Ellis throwing take it here's Gibbs man handled by small the captain for Cedric Titus it's a free kick and with around two minutes left in this one let's see what Gibbs can serve up maybe one of those creative ideas can turn fruitful for this tacky team top the top top team in zone i the Dacosta Cup the 18th seeded team trying to try and get a win out of this Dacosta Cup round of 32 first leg Gibbs might drop it's one of six minutes to be played in added time still moments by the team to break the deadlock here's Jackson switches the play trying to find Ellis but that's cut out played it by Morgan but it still is tacky Gibbs McLean Campbell across Ellis was offside you could see that one from a mile away Ellis didn't necessarily time his run well was alone at the back post but had he been found that one was never going to count a good approach played by tacky stringing those passes together for the end of the game that's your fifth outside of the game as well so they've been trying to take that back line of Cedric Titus and Cedric Titus holding firm just like how they're holding firm to their clean sheet at this very moment Ellis using his pace Morgan concedes a throw in chance it takes it you're smart for Cedric Titus spreading it out wide for Houghton brush on small Eccleston is trying to bring it under one time control but he still has it now Terra Neckleston turning finding the captain small goes the way to Houghton back to small lifts it in the box here's McLean for tacky turns well tries to release Ellis and Ellis really didn't see that early enough I think he has enough taste of chase down such a ball but he didn't see the intention of McLean and perhaps he wasn't sure if he was offside or not so the return leg of fixture for this encounter will be on Wednesday next week at this very venue and a Daraen Affleck has seen enough the stalemate continues between tacky and Cedric Titus high school both teams unable to break the deadlock and it will be broken either over normal time or by the penalty spot on Wednesday when they match up in the second leg of the tie perhaps not the most entertaining bit of football we've seen all season but it doesn't need to be entertaining these two teams one of them certainly will go on to the quarterfinal round confirmation of the scores tacky nil Cedric Titus nil the other full-time highlights tacky started the most fruitful of the two teams and early in the encounter Deondre Jackson had that shot and it was a glorious effort Amari Wettaber had to come a big in goal for Cedric Titus Giovanni McLean the danger man was lurking but unable to get ahead of to it they would continue tacky and this time the point man Giovanni McLean far wide and that would have been disappointing from a man with 12 goals to his credit from the earlier rounds here another ball lifted up to him and Giovanni McLean unable to make full use of the service from Romario Gibbs the 20th assist man they had their own ups opportunities did Cedric Titus and Terran Eccleston fired that shot and Umario Grant his head was crucial in spearing their bluffs in the second half action now Eccleston lifting this across and Kemari Johnson in goal was able to avert the danger another attempt from the corner and Johnson making wasted no time in punching that one that was another corner kick but yeah that's how the action ended there in Affleck saw enough nil all at the end of 90 minutes here's a look at the math statistics two shots and target from 15 for tacky three on target from 12 for Cedric Titus 20 falls 12 to tacky one yellow card for Cedric Titus seven offsides five to tacky six corners to Cedric Titus four to tacky two saves a piece and the line share the possession going to Cedric Titus 53 but at the end of the 90 minutes the score nil all between tacky high and Cedric Titus high in the second round fixture of the Dacosta Cup we go now to Kemari who has the sports backs man of the match Kemari O'Sullivan over to you all right thank you Dean I'm here with the sports marksman of the match Romario Gibbs of tacky high school congratulations Romario it's only nil all you didn't get to score a goal today but your performance stood out speak to me about your instructions out there well we've been have trained hard so we have to come and do what we have to do well you didn't get the win but you have another chance to beat this team do are you confident that you can beat them in the next year sure and in terms of how excited you were to put on this performance on TV well it's a great feeling because I've been working hard in training so I have to do what I have to do all right thank you Romario all the best thanks yeah that's Romario Gibbs there from tacky high I'm joined now by coach Miller from tacky as well coach Miller nothing to separate you and your alma mater today speak to me about your game yeah well nothing to separate us I'm second leg will be the decider and we definitely have to go back on the drawing board and come stronger although we get the better after game today but 0-0 they are still in it we just need to come harder and get the result not many chances for Cedric Titus today speak to me about your performance of your backline in particular well for me the backline was the man of the match for us they stood they follow instruction right throughout is just the finish and touch where we have a problem we got a numerous chances six clear chances we didn't convert one and you know goals win games not chances all right thank you coach all the best have a good one yeah I was coach Miller there we'll be hearing from coach Price now from Cedric Titus coach not a very eventful game in the end but what did you take from the performance well in terms of our players does not concentrate in that following simply instructions that they were given so therefore we also have to get back to training and try to see if we can work it out and come back in this game and take it and a few of your boys look knackered at the end many injuries going on through during the game yes and is that a concern going into the next leg it was a concern coming into this game because we would have tapped the group from earlier and we had to play at three extra games which didn't make any sense to me however in terms of injuries we have a number of individual six players who are injured right now so therefore we just have to work with it and try to see how best we can medicine our all of that thank you coach all the best thank you so that's it from the first encounter in the double header here it drops all in Sinan Jackie Neil Cedric Titus Neil is in the second round encounter in the ISSA Dacosta Cup


Okay, we get started. It's my pleasure to welcome our next plenary speaker, Lucas Harris. Lucas is the deputy division leader of the weather and climate dynamics division at NOAA GFDL. Lucas and I actually met for the first time I think back at one of the ASP summer schools about a decade ago or so. It's a nice coming around. Especially for the students attending the ASP colloquium, you will know each other for a long time. It's a pleasure, Lucas. Thanks again for accepting and inviting. Oh, thank you so much, Anish. Thank you, Judith also. Thank you for inviting me to this wonderful colloquium. I've been lucky enough to attend some of the talks in my schedule and yeah, the talks have been fantastic and I hope to measure up to some of that pretty high levels, pretty high standard that's already been set. So anyway, I like to talk about our S2S prediction efforts at GFDL in particular two things I want to emphasize are the idea of seamlessness going all the way from climate scale down to relatively short term weather prediction and using models that are developed from both ends to help close the S2S predictability gap. What I want to discuss is the value of a seamless system for going to sort of two ends of the of the prediction realm. One is the coupled climate prediction and you coupled to a dynamic or mixed layer ocean, something that GFDL has been doing for over 50 years now, or going down to the convective scales of a few kilometers in which convection is explicitly represented. So I want to start out with the third generation of S2S modeling or modeling in general at GFDL and when I introduce the third generation, I don't mean that I've skipped the first or second generation. The first generation was the legendary models developed by people like Suki Minabi and Kiko Miyakota that gave rise to coupled climate modeling to medium range weather forecasting and so on. The second generation was the Steve Klein era of a CMIP type modeling led by the CM2.1 model later, CM2.5, CM3, high ramming floor. And the way that GFDL got into S2S prediction was that we took these excellent climate models been developed at GFDL, CM2.1, CM2.5, which were the best and by a hair the second best in CM2.3 and five respectively. So I wanted to start pushing them into the S2S range. And the way that we did that is you first started with emphasizing the role of tropical convection and tropical cyclones in these models. And to do that, two things were done. One is to increase the resolutions of these models, both in the atmosphere and in the coupled system. And the other was to introduce a new convection scheme, the UW GFDL double plume convection that does an excellent job simulating tropical convection, tropical variability and hurricanes. So two models were developed to this purpose in that generation. And one is a high ram, which is a one being a 25 kilometer non hydrostatic atmosphere climate model in which you specify the SSTs. But the way we do that is we specify the SST climatology, which evolves with time plus frozen SST anomalies that are held static with time. And that actually had a lot of prediction potential. You can get a lot of the value of seasonal prediction, especially for, especially in the tropics, and in the summertime when we have we have a peak hurricane season in the north Atlantic, without needing to couple to a dynamic ocean. We also explored some new capabilities within using high ram I mentioned the non hydrostatic dynamics and then beyond that we were able to leverage the powerful variable resolution capabilities are nesting and stretching capabilities to go to even higher resolutions within the other approach that I want to mention is a floor double plume. This is a variant of the of the floor model, which is a 50 kilometer atmosphere one 100 kilometer ocean and two atmosphere plus mom five ocean. This did a fantastic job of predicting hurricanes, especially intense hurricanes would increase 25 kilometer atmosphere resolution. And I'm going to talk about some S2S results from these two models to start out with. One thing I do want to mention is that all the models I'm going to discuss all the gfdl models to use the same dynamical core fv3 very unified around one atmosphere dynamical core. And all the couple models I'm going to discuss use the modular ocean model mom either five or six, and the fms couple which has a lot of a lot of neat features which are unfortunately beyond the scope of my talk. This essentially is the first steps towards having a seamless prediction system all the way from short term weather prediction all the way up to millennial timescale climate simulation. So here's a couple of examples isn't with the eight kilometer high ram this is the with a nested grid in the eight kilometer eight kilometer nested grid over the north Atlantic. And we are able to get some pretty interesting results from our climate simulations of S2S monthly predictions. As you can see here on the left. This is a plot of observed radii of maximum winds from tropical cyclones kind of a measure of where the size of the maximum winds and in a hurricane. And you can see that the distribution that we have in the eight kilometer nest matches the observations very well perhaps maybe a little bit too small compared to the observed hurricanes. What's more interesting is that we are able to take a look at the climatology of rapid intensification, which is something that's been very hard for a lot of models to simulate. And indeed we were able to capture the right climatology of rapid intensification events where you have maximum wind speed increasing by more than 15 meters per second over 24 hours. And it's not possible in a course resolution model at a 25 kilometer model. So this shows some of the really neat advantage of going to increasingly high resolution. Now you can talk about well what can you do with that higher resolution. And so this is higher at eight kilometer nest in higher and this is a two way nest with the global domain. And we were able to find that you can putting in that two kilometer nest, or excuse me that eight kilometer nest here on the right, was able to predict monthly accumulated cyclone energy measure how strong your hurricanes are, and major hurricane accumulated energy with the correlation that matches that what we what was considered what is considered good for most models prediction of just seasonal hurricane count in the in a base. So this kind of gives us a clue about what we can do with increasingly high resolution with variable resolution with some of the new modeling capabilities are in the next generation of models. Now we can shift gears a bit we can take a look at a couple climate prediction system floor DP here. And one of the things we want to take a look at is a week five temperature predictions. So we can predict a normally four and five. This is a S to S time scales, and take a look to see how this couple kind of model does and indeed we were able to get skillful predictions shown here in the dots of temperature anomalies during the winter time in weeks three, four and in some places out to week five. Furthermore, we are able to find that a lot of the prediction skill from this came from reconstruct came from the our skill at predicting three modes in particular, the mode of variability associated with and so one with the North one's with the site Eurasian Merdeo dipole mode. So that's, that's where a lot of the skill for these are temperature anomalies is coming from it's being able to predict these large scale modes that we've heard heard a lot about during this colloquium. One thing you don't see here quite yet is the MJO which turned out to at least in this model didn't have a whole lot of impact on predicting these temperature anomalies but does have use and other domains as I'll show a little bit later on. We can start thinking about how we can predict the MJO and its impacts as well. And the question remain one of the big questions is what does it take to get a good MJO forecast so in C met five a lot of models did very poorly with MJO predictions these are models are developed in the late 20 in the late 2000s. And indeed, the GFL suite of models was one of those CM 2.5 and CM three models didn't do very well for MJOs. But over time, we continue to develop our models and in and for which is the, which in this case I'm showing a prototype of what became the C met six the current generation GFL climate model. We found that if you just specify SSTs you do not indeed good a good MJO. But when you couple to a mom six ocean even here at 100 kilometers, you get a, you get an actual propagating MJO. It's not as strong as that we see in observations but you do indeed get a useful and jail simulation they can use for climates for climate studies and in particular changes under climate change. So, and it's really ocean coupling that makes a difference as long as you have an atmosphere model that has good enough, especially things like a convective parameterizations to support that. Now, from, again, you can go talk about, well, we can predict the MJO so what what's the value of that. And one interesting thing about the MJO that we follow a lot in the summertime is that the active phase the MJO, there's a certain set of phases of the MJO, under which hurricanes and tropical cyclones are more common in the Arctic than during this inactive phase of the MJO. And observations see this pretty clearly we average over a large number of seasons, but no model had been able to pick this up the best my knowledge until we used high Ram 25 kilometer high Ram. And we ran a large number of years and indeed we were able to reproduce this MJO tropical cyclone link. And this could be a very important thing towards getting good sub seasonal predictions of the MJO, and of its impacts. That was that was then this is now so we can proceed into our fourth or current generation of S to S predictions. And I'm going to discuss two models for doing this to our two prediction models the spear and shield prediction models that we've developed in the recent years at GFDL. So spear is a part of our GFDL seamless modeling speed spear is itself it's a seamless system for seasonal decadal prediction. GFDL is the NOAA research or system model as said in the most recent implementation plan and is being used as the UFS is decadal to Centennial application. You'll extend the unified forecast system that the National Weather Service is developing with OAR as community partners into the climate realm. And spear comes in a couple of different flavors. One is the spear medium which has a 50 kilometer aim for atmosphere with the new convection scheme and some other cool new stuff in it. This is a model that's run to a 100 kilometer mom six ocean the current generation of modular ocean model. And this is a very efficient model yet we'll we'll show that it has very strong prediction capabilities. This model is running real time it's submitted to the national to the North American multi model ensemble that's run at the climate prediction center. There's also a 50 kilometer spear large ensemble it's very useful for climate variability studies. So we can go through our website to learn about all this. We also see that it has very good variability and a very good mean climate state which means it gives us an idea that it should be good at predicting the MGO. So we decided to take the system, and we started to apply it towards S to S predictions. And we're we've done a number of 45 we are so the person leading us about change on. He's done 45 day forecast every five days or 20 year time period, we're focusing on the winter time period from the winter seasons here. We're using the atmosphere and SST to merit to we're using only a 10 member ensemble here, which is relatively small but we do already see very good results from that. And here's an example of those good results. This is the MGO prediction skill here. And again this is November through April forecast every five days over 20 years and we calculate skill the usual ways in the RMM index and we take a look at the anomaly correlation coefficient here. And what we find is that the skill is actually quite good. If you especially we take a look at the full ensemble the full ensemble gets you 18 days of good predictability ACC above point seven and 30 days of useful predictability ACC of point five. And indeed we find that actually this is improved for fast propagating events that there's some opportunistic forecast you can make in which the MGO predictions from this ensemble get even better. And one of the first things I want to point out is that the ensemble does get you extra predictability over the over the individual ensemble members if you just want to ran one on one member a deterministic forecast you'd only get 23 days of forecast skill. The second thing is want to say is that 30 days again is better than all the models that have been previously investigated except for the European Center however the European Center is only a couple of days better. So, so you're, I don't, I don't mean to spares the European Center or any of the other models which are all fantastic frankly and the ability for climate models to improve their, their MGO prediction skill without needing to do weird things like super parameterization or three kilometer resolution everywhere. I think it's one of the great success stories of climate science over the last decade and one of the real. What one of the real things that the climate modeling community can be very proud of both here in the United States and worldwide. What I do see is that the amplitude of this, the amplitude of the MGO does decrease faster than reserved. We have some reason to believe from our later this later simulations I show you this, this is perhaps maybe a resolution issue or still at 50 kilometer resolution. The other thing you can see is that the spread here the spread is still not as high as the root mean square error which still, which indicates that we're still maybe under dispersive in this ensemble. And the MGO itself is a wonderful thing to predict what can you do with it is what really counts. You can compare the teleconnections for all the different flavors of the MGO here. A couple of different flavor flavors of types of NGOs have been identified, and they all have different predictabilities. So in particular, we find that some of these modes are more predictable than others. And that the fast MGO it's already the MGO itself is more predictable and the teleconnections which are particularly important. I live right here in New Jersey. And this is indeed we're a good, we're a lot of a lot of people in the United States to live that that this is one of the most valuable ones to predict and indeed we are able to do a good job predicting this and his teleconnections. And I think the name is true for the jumping MGO here, which has more prediction skill both on the east coast and the west coast of the United States, as well as these ecologically sensitive areas in the Gulf of Alaska. The standing and slow MGOs are a bit more difficult to predict their teleconnections. A big reason for that is just the fact that those MGOs particularly the standing MGO, it has been shown to be more difficult to predict spear. And a very good sign is very good progress and we can actually capture not just the, not just the MGO itself but what it's significance is for those of us living here in North America and, and elsewhere as well. The other modeling system I want to discuss is shield which stands for the system for high resolution prediction on earth to local domains. This is more of a weather model that we've developed that grew out of the energy GPS project that we're working on with the weather service and again the broader community. So we'll hear from more information about shield as configurations including real time forecasts and links to our papers that we've written on shield shield is designed as a unified system for whether to sub seasonal prediction that heavily utilize the non hydrostatic dynamics and the variable resolution capabilities within FD three. And the way that I like to say is that this is a UFS implementation that is one code one executable one workflow you can do all these different applications from the same code base. And this is a container and submitted a paper to Geo geoscientific model development that describes this container. The configuration I'm going to talk about right now is a called a shield, which uses a 25 kilometer atmosphere with weather model physics. I want to particularly point out the mixed layer ocean, which is a much simpler ocean than the fully dynamic ocean so it's, it's very cheap it's a few lines of code, essentially. This is not just climatology plus those frozen anomalies again. And we'll actually find that just having a mixed layer ocean itself can be very, very powerful thing. And so two results from in particular want to point out from a shield, I want to point out the diurnal cycle of surface precipitation in a shield. And in particular focusing on the warm season diurnal cycle here, we can probably against our 13 kilometer shield which is our flagship shield configuration we use for medium range forecast that models kind of like GFS. And what we find is that this 25 kilometer shield gets the gets the phase of precipitation both over tropical land and northern hemisphere land and specifically over the United States, it gets that phase just about right. And this is actually a superior diurnal cycle to all the other senior five models. And you can see that its amplitude is it's a little bit low, especially over here in the United States where a lot of that warm season, a lot of that warm season effect comes from comes from convective mesoscale convective systems that are hard to resolve. That is rectified by going to 13 kilometer resolution, in which we fully pick up the right phase and amplitude of the managerial isolation. And one other thing. I don't mean to belabor the point, but there's two things about this one is that we believe that the, the weather model physics weather models are evaluated on partially on their six hour prediction precipitation prediction skill if you mess up your diurnal cycle, you're going to mess up your forecast. And that also the good diurnal cycle we found can prove our MJO prediction and our intern has actually done some interesting work on that Stella Heflin off no intern has done some interesting work on that this summer. One of the big things we find is that by simply having a mixed layer ocean, instead of specified SSDs we extend our MJO prediction skill by eight days. And this is a pretty major result in this case this is a very simple change but it results in much better prediction of the Madden Julian oscillation. Okay, and now I want to discuss a bit about a convective scale S2S and exciting new possibility here at GFDL that we're using with our with our shield configurations. One is to use, one is to put a nested grid over the Madden over the area of the Madden Julian oscillation over the maritime continent. This is actually suggested by Tim Palmer to me at European Center workshop a couple of years ago. He said that if I wanted to improve precipitate, if I wanted to improve S2S prediction over the United States, instead of putting a nest over the United States and put over the maritime continent, improve the MJO, and as you're going to see, we can't presumably improve his teleconnections as well. And so when we did that we took a 16 kilometer global domain, put in a four kilometer nest, and we found that we actually during the dynamo period for cases that began in phases three and four which is where, just before it enters the maritime continent where these models had the biggest trouble, simulating the MJO. We find that in this very difficult case putting in that nested grid extends useful predictability out to 39 days, which is a pretty neat result in this case. And this is all done by relatively efficient configuration here you can get 40 days and eight hours on 4000 cores using a relatively old supercomputer. We did find that there are some challenges of phases six and seven. Once they get into the Western Pacific, both the global domain and the nested domain has some trouble propagating the MJO correctly through there. We have actually a solution for this problem. So we're going to be continuing to develop this model. Another cool, another cool thing we can do is put a nested grid over the over the continental United States and look at precipitation systems, particularly severe weather. This is a five kilometer nest put over the continental United States. This is a, what we call a sea shield for continental United States. Again, this is a very efficient model. And we find that the dino cycle of phase and amplitude in the for these warm season forecast these springtime forecast is just right. The amplitude and phase are correct of precipitation of these models every day. We find there's a dry bias that is developing later weeks. Once again, we do have a solution for this we've improved our model and in this past year to improve some of our surface biases we've seen some pretty nice improvements from that in our short range are five day severe storms forecast that three kilometer resolution. We have found that by predicting severe storms by looking at their proxies in terms of rotating updrafts. So at five kilometers you can resolve rotating updraft and see shield and also in other FD3 based models we've found by looking at the anomalies in that updraft helicity that severe storms signature we find that there are there is skill at predicting severe weather outbreaks on on a sub seasonal timescales out to week four, especially in parts of the nation, especially say up here in the northern plains, where severe weather isn't as common this time of year and it's not in predicting predicting anomalies and severe weather activity is most valuable and predicting severe weather in the southeast United States and the southern plains.  And finally I want to briefly discuss our global cloud resolving model called the X shield NASA and JFL we call three base GCM since we've contributed to both phases of diamond we finally get we finally get excellent tropical cyclones and penetrative convection and these models. There's a very fast global cloud resolving model of the fastest non hydrostatic global cloud resolving model and diamond phase one 20 days per day with 14,000 cores. And one question I keep coming into is what exactly is a good purpose for these global cloud resolving models beyond them being a nice tech demo and a preview what what medium range forecasting is going to look like in the future. And we can use it to study how convection resolve convection interacts with large scales. And this is kind of unique problem because in predict traditional global models, we parameterize convection those these tuning parameters so you can always tune them to get a good result. It's a little bit harder to do when you're specifically simulating convection and you get this updraft that is forming itself. So here's an example of updraft within within X shield here is a to delta X updraft cross section through it. And you see example here of transporting a trouble planetary boundary boundary layer air into the free troposphere and the tropics which is then and trained into the higher latitudes through the Hadley cell. So I'm running out of time so unfortunately I have to skip this and and also unfortunately our, our community grid tools effort GT for Pi to pour FB three and the and the UFS GFS physics into into this grid into this new new sort of atomic language to be able to compile it in terms of a large number of computing platforms such as GPUs, and then whatever comes next after GPU is or even the new versions of GPUs that seem to be introduced every week. And finally, a few thoughts about S to S prediction. We talked a lot about how there's a bit of a gap between weather simulated weather between weather forecasting climate modeling that S to S fits into unifying models something that's being done a lot here within NASA and Noah, within Noah here and also by partners at NASA. That can fill in the S to S gap but it's a hard scientific problem and it's not just engineering problem which is stick your models together like Legos. And to really take advantage of this unification. I think a broader view of the earth system is really necessary given how everything tends to get knitted together on these longer time scales. You're not just blending together all these different systems. You're also talking about how the variability interacts with one another and how short term simulation skill how prediction is short what things we typically predict on very short ranges. What happens to them on longer time scales and I think that the kind of reductionist approach is studying each individual phenomenon in isolation, or a particular component or even developing a particular component isolation and stitching together isn't really going to work. And that kind of brings me to the next point is that, yeah, you really need to, you really need to take this very holistic idea, and you really need people who are going to think about how to blend everything together pieces in a modeling system must work together. And to wrap up I know I'm running short on time. This is an excellent aspirational goal to try to unify all of our modeling systems and across all these different systems here. We may never get to a truly unified seamless system maybe not. I think I think it is possible but it's yeah it's not assured at this point, but I really think we do need to try at least that sort of grand unification and at the very least trying to do that will get us better models. And that's the real value as whole activity can we make better for weather forecast can we make better climate simulations. And with that, I'll stop there. Thank you so much everybody. Thanks a lot because I was really comprehensive talking. Yeah, thanks again for introducing us to so many different systems. Yeah, thank you so much. Any questions for Lucas. I don't see one on chat yet look as I had one question. Maybe it's more of a philosophical question based on this slide you put up, and also the results you showed with the cloud resolving or convective scale, permitting results you showed from the maritime continent example of improving the NGO prediction scale right. As we go into like the seamless prediction and like the unified system modeling framework. Do you think our development would be more targeted towards like user defined needs like for instance if we want to improve the NGO and NGOs teleconnection, we need to either improve the resolution in the specifics and get that right, but then that goes at the cost of resolving other things like submissive scale in the ocean or other processes in the earth system right so where should the cost versus benefit of resolving or eliminating processes in the full earth system be should it be defined by user needs or should it be defined by specific processes in the earth system. That's a fantastic question and I don't think there is a single good answer to that. But I think that maybe the best solution to that is having a diversity of models and diversity of modeling centers that are working on new ideas and modeling. I like to give up so I mentioned this in a talk with a lot of European guests a few weeks ago and I got a got an interesting reaction. You take a look at the weather at the climate modeling community here in the United States and there's people who be moaned there's too many climate models, there's people say there's eight global, there's eight global models climate models I think that's actually a wonderful thing and if you take a look US climate modeling is the best in the world. Like every, like every CMAP session it's it's NCAR it's GFBL and you know how on top. You see the models being developed by NASA by the Navy by DOE that they're all producing all this wonderful science these wonderful predictions and these wonderful analysis and wonderful tools that are of societal impact. And I really think that it will have to be to some extent it's going to have to be user defined problems but at the same time we need to develop those individual processes as well. And having this diversity of models here in the United States. That is really our great strength it's really diversity that drives the field forward. In fact you can compare that against what's what's happened here to regional regional weather models in the United States where everybody's forced into one solution. And yeah, that feels kind of stagnated over the last two decades. Thanks Lucas. Chidong you have a question. And then Judith up to Chidong would you like to unmute and ask you know that. Yeah. Yes, can I hear me. Yeah. Yeah, thank you Lucas for the presentation I just wonder. Well, there's a lot of a push to the global cloud resolving model. And I know there's some at some time, there are also attended to have the adaptive cloud cloud resolving great global model. Can you comment on the pros and cons of the two approaches. So by adaptive do you mean like a grid that dynamically refines and be refined itself during a simulation or. Yeah, in time and space. Yes. Okay, so that's actually that is again another interesting question. One thing about adaptive mesh refinement which has been very popular in the computational fluid dynamics community. It's been difficult to get a lot of these approaches to work in the atmosphere because, and my understanding is that the big problem is what exactly are what what's your refinement criteria. I think that worldwide there won't be just one refinement criteria, or refinement criteria that works for topical cyclones say probably won't work for heavy rainfall in the latitudes. I mean, there are some approaches that do work quite well, especially the moving nests that are that were in fact invented here at GFBL that's used in hwarf and some of the hurricane models. Overall these are the variable resolution approaches I think they're very nice ways to get started towards going down to very high resolution at relatively low computational cost. But they do add complexity to your modeling system. And on top of that, a lot of, we do run into some problems where we have this issue about how do you communicate from your high resolution, high resolution region out to your global domain. And that's not necessarily guaranteed, especially if you have, if you have a parameterizations that are fixed around certain parts, certain resolutions and scale awareness does help a bit but it's not a panacea for all these problems. So, but however I have to just say that I really do like the idea of variable resolution and indeed the people who are working on adaptive adaptive grid refinement I really like the fact that people are still working on that because it could be a very powerful tool in the coming years. So, thank you. Thank you for that excellent question. Thanks. Thanks. Thanks, Lucas, Judith. Thanks for your talk. I would be so you showed that the mdo spread was under dispersive and I was wondering if you comment a little bit on the model error schemes you are planning to use in this different model configurations. Okay, thank you for that question. So, and so in spirit to us we're using the SPPT scheme that was implemented in the GFS. And we did find that that did help improve the skill of the mjo by a decent amount. So it did take some work to get that to give the best results but we did see that did help improve the ensemble spread a bit and the prediction skill. What we actually found is that it helped improve our hurricane intensity as well which is a little bit a little bit counterintuitive. Yeah, yeah, I don't recall the details exactly that but we did find that it was it did did help improve our simulation tropical cyclones, which is, again, kind of a counterintuitive thing. I want to look into other approaches. The PSL cellular automaton of of perturbing the parameters within us within the convection scheme particularly some of these things that we don't have a good understanding out so perturbing the tendencies. It's a little bit of an ad hoc thing because we, it kind of breaks energy conservation some extent, you actually do have a good understanding of how the atmosphere is heated even if the processes leading that are poorly understood, whereas at the same time things like the entrainment rates and a deep convicted plume or the, the mass flux, those things are poorly understood. Those are really the things that you do want to perturb and the cellular automaton approach being pioneered there at PSL. I think it's a fantastic idea and want to be able to introduce that within shield and sphere. Okay, so thank you so much. That's a fantastic question. Thanks for that. Thanks, Lucas. So, yeah, we do have some more time rich Neil and due to technical difficulties is unable to join us so you can take one more last question for you look as if that's okay and then we move to the student presentation. Andy, would you like to unmute and share. Yeah, really interesting exciting work thanks great presentation to and I like hearing you discuss this seamless system concept you know it's been sort of bandied about for a long time but it seems like having some more pragmatic comments on how it might actually be so it's really possible in that regard is, is I think really nice to see but actually that wasn't my question I just want to come on that but I'm wondering you had you mentioned the thought the ensembles were kind of small, you know resolves signal noise and could see the benefit in the ensemble mean over individual members. How far could you push with larger ensembles like what would be feasible and what do you think the potential benefits would be of, of increasing ensemble sizes. That's a good question. So there's two points that one about the the seamless system I have to I have to admit that I use seamless and three different senses in my talk. And from all the way from weather and climate seamless this in a single modeling system seamlessness between different slightly different modeling systems that are in the same framework and so on. So I have to apologize for doing what is kind of a dodge in that sense and seamless is kind of an undefined concept in my opinion. But you raise an excellent point about about using larger ensembles. And we found that we can get a good result with 10 ensemble members. There's nothing stopping us from using more ensembles so like for the spear large ensemble. There's a 30, there's a 30 member ensemble there, it's been released to the public. And those are multi decadal simulations in that case. The, the exact ensemble size I know that there's a lot of work that could be done to say what the ideal size for a simulation is whether it be the data simulation or whether it's for actually producing the prediction ensemble. Actually, I think that maybe having a bigger ensemble could be a useful thing when you have extra computing time. But at the same time, I mean if you had like a million ensembles of 50 kilometer model you can still not simulate severe thunderstorms. So there will always be value going to increasingly high resolution to resolve new phenomenon, or trying new approaches in your model, the variable resolutions one trying different physics out which is what we've been doing here at GFPL with the weather and climate model physics. That's another possibility. Like I said, I think a diversity approaches is important. I mean like what goes on at UKMO and at European Center they've done fantastic jobs developing ensembles. There's been really great work going on here in the United States. So, there, I really think that I don't think there's a once again there's a well defined answer to that I think both approaches do need to be followed and I think you do think we have a big enough community to do that. Oh, thanks. Great. Thank you. Thanks, Andy. Thanks again, Lucas. Great talk and a great discussion as well. Wonderful. Thank you everybody. Thanks. Thanks for inviting me. Thanks.


Hello and welcome to NewsClick. We are going to discuss the recent letter written by senior ex-civil servant, those who have retired on the election commission to the president complaining about shall we say or criticizing the election commission's behavior. We have with us Sunder Burra who has been an ex-civil servant and who is a signatory to this petition to the president. What has been the major contention that you have had with the election commission which has forced you normally civil servants do not come out like this. Also against serving civil servants who are in this election commission. What has made you come out in this form against the existing election commission? I do not seem to recall any such instances in the past. You know I think a little bit of background in the middle of 2017 a group of us got together worried about what was happening in the country and in June we wrote a general letter asking that all constitutional authorities should you know go according to constitutional values and norms. Election commission has come under the scanner of your group. You have criticized it for what I can see on nine counts where you felt the election commission has been amiss. So what are the major issues on which you think the election commission has behaved if not in an openly partisan way at least complicit in what the ruling party is doing and not calling it out as it is necessary under its powers. Yeah but just before I answer that I must say that we also had earlier a very productive engagement with the election commission when the former chief election commissioner Mr. O.P. Rawat was there and we had a very positive response on some matter but then we found that their responses over a period of time became rather distant or they they didn't really want to engage with us. And the other thing I must tell you is that many of us have actually run elections ourselves as civil servants you know when you are assistant collector or you know collector and so on some have been chief electoral officers of states. So when when we speak it is also with some experience of these this kind of event but what we felt is that you know today the country is so driven is so divided by what is happening this attempt to pit one community against another one caste against another this religion against so we felt that it is all the more important at this kind of time when you are having elections where where the the language used the sentiments expressed are so filled with hate it's very important that the election commission at this time be impartial neutral and fair so that it serves the purposes of Indian democracy and in fact our recent experience of election commission barring some exceptions has been rather good and when we think of the people who really made a huge mark like Mr. Sation and Mr. Lingdo and so on we want to judge what is happening by the standards laid down by predecessors and by what is expected in the constitution of India we find that the election commission today is is failing on all these counts and seems to be openly partisan if not I mean seems to be complicit in what is going on if they are not taking strong action because let us not forget that even though the model code of conduct is not a legally enforceable statement it is something prepared by political parties themselves in the 1960s and even though the powers under that may only be warnings and notices and cautioning also censure which is the final thing these in the past have had a great impact upon salutary impact salutary impact upon the behavior of political parties and personages but we find even within this model the the moral authority of the model code of conduct is not being utilized the the what shall I say the egregious you know violation of norms by using the army by referring to it as Modiji Kisena the the chief minister the honorable chief minister of Uttar Pradesh does that a union minister Nakvi he does that and then it is it is justified by saying maybe it was a slip of the tongue you know my minister asked for votes in the name of Balakot and Fulwama and that is after having been asked about been told that this is not kosher so there is a reason disregard for constitutional norms and then if you look at the model code of conduct this issue of creating enmity between communities this is expressly but there you know there's a statement the model code of conduct is borrowed the constitution it's bought under the constitution it's bought under the it is an offense under the Indian penal code it is an offense under the representation of people's act it's a corrupt practice so you know why yeah so why is the election commission not taking action under these different sections so you have a constitutional authority like the governor of Rajasthan saying that he is a party worker I mean what can what can we say to that except that it is so wrong you know and normally at some previous time if things had been better I mean when things were better somebody like that would have resigned you know but the president has only sent it on we have no you know we have no proof that some action has actually been taken some mild review can so on you know is one thing but when these things are so shocking to find the election commission silent or so weak need as we have said this is what disturbed us at a particularly critical juncture in our history and in our politics to come back to the question of power this is a very important question because one possible line of defense which sometimes people take is to say that it is a model code of conduct without the force of law article 324 of the constitution which deals with the superintendent's control and direction of elections in India and vests the election commission with great powers and there are supreme court judgments to that effect as well in fact the initiation utilized it in order to enlarge the scope of the election commission and made it much more powerful as a body than it was before and that was recognized by the judiciary as well yeah that was it had the sanction of the courts as well so one of the things that it talks about is uh some of the judgments say where there is no policy where there is a void in law then the election commission can use its penalty power under section 324 now recently we were also involved as you know in that issue of digital platforms and safeguarding democracy even there uh there is a strong feeling that section 320 article 324 of the constitution can be used and certainly you know what is happening now this issue of electronic media here let's forget about digital media just now but coming back to this petition in fact there's a section 39 a of the representation of people's act which also talks about allocating equal air time and there it talks about electronic media it's a very wide ranging thing even if you argue that section article 324 cannot be used section 39 a of the representation of people's act could be used to see that no unfair advantage accrues like for example the starting a tv channel uh calling it a special program of the platform in the sky not not a tv channel after it was pointed out that it doesn't have a license then this nomenclature changed but also the announcement of the biopic full page advertisements apparently of the biopic part of the prime minister at a time when such advertisements cannot be given because we already are entering 48 hour silent zone all these are again what you call egregious violations and they continue to happen in fact dr. Khoreshi our colleague who has been recently also speaking about the same uh subjects he made two points uh one is that apart from this level playing field equal time and so on uh he said that if it is in fact political propaganda which it is then all expenditure incurred on whatever propaganda should be added to the candidates election expenditure you know so that was one point the second point was that if at all such a program is planned it requires the prior approval of the election commission of india as to content because it is uh you know the it is the election season so they are not utilizing uh what their duty bound by the law by the powers given to them they're not utilizing those uh powers and that is what has disturbed us because uh we also feel that uh there is a real worry about the idea of india the future of india what is going to happen after this election it's all the more important to bring these things to the public for last question do you think the election commission the way it is set up the way its commissioners are chosen that needs a change because it's really by the government unlike a lot of the other constitutional bodies which have a little more representative character in terms of who selects the people yeah in fact uh that point has been repeatedly made that whereas for other authorities like uh the judges like the cvc like the cic there are colegiums uh to uh appoint them that is not the case uh for the election commission the chief election commissioner and the other two are uh selected by the government now there's another catch here that even though the chief election commissioner has got constitutional protection the two election commissioners do not uh and they could be removed by executive i don't know exactly what the procedure is but they don't have constitutional protection you see i think what is happening today is an instance of a more general trend which is the subversion of such statutory uh constitutional and other institutions uh which actually are part of the checks and balances in the constitution one of the ministers in the present government said that they should not be subject to the tyranny of unelected bodies now that includes the supreme court that includes basically no check no check now umbedkar i was recently reading he what he said was at the time of writing the constitution he said you know however good a constitution you might have if you have bad people then it's not going to be very useful however bad a constitution you might have if you have good people you know things would be quite different so this is uh our concern our uh worry that uh the very basic structure of our democracy is uh deeply impacted by this kind of behavior of a of an institution which has so much power and could use it wisely and so is responsible for the next government because that's what we elect therefore the long electoral process and its sanctity has really a very important role in our democracy thank you Sunder for being with us we hope to have you more on these discussions now we know about your group and we hope that you will continue to be active on all these issues this is all the time we have for news click to keep watching this and our other shows