The following is a presentation of TFNN. The TFNN Bull Bear Training Hour. Every training day, live at 10 a.m. Eastern. Call now, toll free at<PHONE_NUMBER> or internationally at<PHONE_NUMBER>. The TFNN Bull Bear Training Hour. Now, Tommy and Tommy O'Brien. Good morning, everybody. I'm Tommy O'Brien. Join this morning by our man Basil Chapman filling in for Tom for the hour. Basil, good morning. Good morning to you. How are you? I'm fantastic, man. How's your morning going? Very good. Thank you. Good. Well, we have some action in the market, Basil. As usual, the market's still digesting the rate cut from yesterday. Right now, we have the Dow up about 62 points. That's about 210% S&P positive by 10 points or about 3.10%. NASDAQ leading the way up above 49 points right now or 6.10% in the positive. We're going to jump right into it, Basil. We're going to go over our man, Kevin Hinks from TD Ameritrade Thinkorswim right after the show. Folks, Bass Market, Kevin, Alex Coffey, the team at Thinkorswim TD Ameritrade Network put on a great program. And, man, they got a lot to talk about, I'm sure. Kevin Hinks, good morning. Good morning, Tommy. Good morning, Basil. Good morning to you. Yesterday was an interesting day for me because of a family obligation. I was out of the office, which gave me the opportunity to listen to Jerome Powell's statement from start to finish every single word. And I saw some really interesting things that Jerome Powell did. And here's the one that really caught my eye. He read a prepared answer to a question. Someone asked him a question that he probably anticipated was coming. And rather than talk off the cuff like he normally does, he read a prepared answer to it, which means the evolution of Jerome Powell continues. He is so now concerned about his words and what they do to this market that I thought he came through that press conference yesterday as clean as he ever has without making any major headlines or gaps or anything like that. Because of, I think he's over preparing for these questions now. And I thought that was just a little something that I caught him reading an answer that I've never seen him do before. To be hyper aware almost, right? Of how critical those words are and delicate, I think is, you know, what I think of in the market. And you're right, Kevin. I mean, I have just even the SMP. Man, you look at it, 245. Basically the low of 2980. And we're almost 40 points in the SMP above that level. And we just charged higher for the rest of the afternoon. I think he gets graded on how the market did. You know, when he cut and how he reacted and how he discussed it and the market rallied. So I think he had a winning day yesterday. I thought it was fascinating. The other thing that I noticed, he really touched on this statement, organic natural growth of the balance sheet. And I thought that was the other interesting thing about his comments yesterday because of this. If you're trying to steep in the yield curve, lower QE or the potential for more QE is kind of working against what you're trying to accomplish. And I thought that was the other fascinating. But make no mistake, it was dovish and considered dovish. But that pressure on the overall bond market will actually flatten the yield curve, not steep in it.  Again, with $75 billion for overnight repo. And the repo markets, yes. Really interesting, that whole story as things go along with the Fed. And of course it shifts to the October meeting already. We have a few things happening this morning, Kevin. I'm sure you saw Microsoft last night with $40 billion buyback and raising their dividend as well, which almost got lost in the story I heard, but raising it $0.05 to $0.51. They're up like 2.2% today charging on a powerhouse company. What do you think of Microsoft over there? You know, I think this is one of those days where that news is going to raise Microsoft. As you can see, it's up $3.40. But it's going to raise the whole chip sector. All the semis will be strong on that. And Micron's up on that news. I mean, I think you're going to see, that's what I think you're going to see. I think you're going to see some lift from all these companies. That's the way we trade now, right? We trade via sector, but I mean, that's big news out of Microsoft. So I'm trading almost $142 now. Yeah, and that NASDAQ leading it. I think NASDAQ's up about 0.6%, maybe 0.7% in the positive. Right. So what's going on? I mean, NASDAQ's up 43 points. That's kind of leading the market higher here. It looks like the E-minis are up, they were just up 10, now they're up nine and a quarter. I mean, this is a good solid strong day. And like we talked about earlier in the week here on the network, not a lot to get in the way of this market right now. It's a pretty thin week for economic data.  And the data that came out today, jobless claims, good number. So he said good number. Existing home sales just came out at 9 o'clock and beat. That's a good number. So, you know, it looks like some of the data, we can get past this meeting, start looking back at earnings and data and determine whether this market is, this economy is as healthy as we think it is. Because the data says it is, that's for sure. And the market says it is since that press conference.  We were at 78-20, and we're now sitting at 79-60, 140 NASDAQ 100 points from, you know, 230 yesterday. And if you asked, is the market up almost 2% I'd say, ah, maybe.  You know, the roller coaster Tommy and Bevel that this market has been the last 30 to 60 days, and here we find ourselves 30-17 on the E-minis. Pretty amazing, resilient market for everything that's going on, not only in our economy, but in the world, frankly.  And what I've talked to them about is, everyone's prepared for the looming economic slowdown that's coming via China and Europe. Everyone seems to be prepared about that. It has been, you know, covered to... The media is being all over it. Right? But are you prepared for... What if it doesn't happen? What if China and Europe start to recover instead of getting worse and dragging it down? What if our economy and maybe a USMCA and a China deal and things like that drag the rest of the world up? Are these, are the TD Ameritrade investors that I was talking to ready for that? Because sometimes these markets will go where you least expect them to. And they'll go where the most people can get hurt. Kevin? Just have a quick question. I don't know if legally you're allowed to speak about it, but the IAI, which is the iShares broker dealer in ETF, is doing very well. It seems to me that a lot of people must be coming into the brokerage houses and buying a lot more than before. I don't know if that's something you're seeing, but that's what it looks like. Yeah, two things, Basil. Number one, you're right. I can't talk about the brokerage industry. And number two, I can't talk about ETFs because TD Ameritrade as a broker dealer doesn't own any of those ETFs. So unfortunately, I can't comment on either one of those situations. I'm restricted by my licensing to talk about either one of those. So what are you going to be talking about on the show today then, Kevin? Today, here's what we're going to do. We kind of got a two-part show. Rightful was going to come on in our last block of the day and talk about Nike and Under Armour and compare those two. Use social data to compare those two. But in the first thing, because of all the news coming out about media companies and media stocks like that, we're going to talk about Roku, Disney, Netflix. We're going to compare those three copies. Roku, Disney, Netflix. Kevin, man, we appreciate it. Have a great show. Have a great weekend. And we'll talk down Tuesday. Thanks for having me. Thanks for having me. Thanks for using the Taz Profile Scanner. When looking at setting up your trading opportunities, then your arsenal is short a mighty weapon. The Taz Profile Scanner is a standalone piece of software that instantly filters over 2,500 global financial markets such as stocks, ETFs, commodity futures, and forex. Heated by Steve Dahl, Taz understands that in today's technological world, the use of top-flight software applications and technical analysis expertise is essential to successful trading in today's market. You also gain access to the webinar that Steve Dahl and Tom O'Brien just hosted, the best way to use the Taz Profile Scanner to profit. This webinar archive is available for all subscribers immediately upon signing up. 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So maybe we can start off with Microsoft Basil. I was interested when I heard the news yesterday. I'm a big fan of Microsoft in terms of what they have been able to get done. Seems like they're going to be around forever. 142 up a solid $3.40 today. And I was wondering what you take is on that company, Basil. It's something if I had to build a retirement account. It's something I'd feel super confident just fundamentally about a company like that. Well, there were a couple of things going on. There were stocks in the year 2000 with the Internet bubble that saw triples and quadruples. They were just spectacular stocks to the upside. And then after the crash, and that really was a crash for that particular sector, some of them got cut, I mean, 88%, 93% down. And Microsoft was one of those stocks. Well, if I show you the chart of the monthly, this is just going back to 2012. Let me just squeeze this and you'll see something quite incredible. This is one of the very best out of the ones that have, they all became new again in the last two years. And Microsoft was one of them yet. Adobe had a number of those stocks that were around. $53.97 was the high back in 2000. It dropped a little bit, dropped down to $14.87. I'm not sure whether this was split off. There was a lot, but these are the prices that I've got. Then it takes out that high in 2016. And now it's almost three times high. It's at 141.88 all-time high. And there are not that many stocks that have been as spectacular as Microsoft. There are a lot of stocks that were the olds. I mean, Akamai, there were a lot of them that had spectacular moves that are tapped in the wrong place. But Microsoft is absolutely a leader and how they transform themselves is that speaks to the ability of the company not just to change their old modus operandi but to really become and not just go with the flow. But the price itself looks as if they are leaders. So I agree with you. If you're looking at this as a long-term play, they've done something quite spectacular and they really deserve obviously to be at highs, all-time highs right now. And tremendous support. The way is held. You can see in the monthly chart is on the right. The middle chart here is the weekly. On the left is the daily. You can see that it's really walked the 14-period moving average, the black line as support just constantly for the last year and a half. And now it's turned the 137-period green line there as key support. So 137 to 136 would be major support for Microsoft. And the fact that it broke to a new high it takes it above the previous high. And I've got it now in legs C in the weekly chart and usually we're looking for at least a D. So this is a leg D in the monthly chart. So this is very good. And just from a fundamental and that's a great take, I appreciate it. I look at the same thing in terms of they just, they were going to go bankrupt because they didn't have a great product. And they had no hardware at all. And those Windows laptops I don't have one but I looked at them when I was buying one and they're pretty awesome. And they're not cheap on the same effort that they get a premium price almost up to Apple's price it seems. And I was wondering, I've looked at it as well, being very impressed. I wondered how they were selling so many but people have spoken to say they are fabulous. Yeah, I just didn't need all the bells and whistles of more of a business laptop but I could see anybody in any type of creative or even everyday life type laptop and the powerful one too. And of course then they have the recurring revenue that we do use in terms of Outlook, Outlook 365 and that I believe it's like $99 a year and so simple whether you're family or work and I don't see that going away anytime soon. Well that revenue stream I think was so clever. When they did it initially I thought, why who's it and you can get this for free and why would you be paying for Microsoft's upgrade? Well it turns out that it was a fantastic business decision and after that many companies started to treat that as a model. And the cloud ability to store your emails, be accessible everywhere for a small company like TFNN. It's great not having to you know worry about some server storage occasionally or interactivity from accessing things via your phone, via your desktop. It's all set up in one place. There's a lot of convenience and you never have to upgrade. So it's one small fee and I believe the family fee it's like $99 and it comes with three or five licenses. Really? Yeah. So there's their free but I'm a fan. Microsoft still all-time highs pretty remarkable. I was going to ask you a question here about in terms of the overall market you always give a really succinct, crisp update and your hourly updates, market updates. Is there something that's really on your focus right now that I mean the feds already had this say just looking at the market. What is concern? You know not to bring it all back to politics because the underlying numbers really matter more than anything. But I do see that we're now coming into almost October of 2019 and that can be good and bad. The president, like any president, is going to want a good deal potentially. It's going to want to win and maybe that spurs on some kind of a deal. Maybe that spurs on the need to come back to China or Mexico or something to that effort that could get some confidence going in the market and on the flip side the rudder could get very bad and maybe it just could cause more uncertainty in the market. It's potential but I think it's just going to be a factor that might not be priced into the market of the uncertainty that's going to come. I mean if this is a close election which it may be one way or the other there's going to be a lot of uncertainty coming up to that date. And I see there's some headwinds over the next year from that front. The other thing I said just in terms of politics it seems to me that Democrats because it's just a year to go maybe a month more than a year but they've got to whittle it down to at least two or three leaders and you've got to really get it down to two because there's really not much time. I agree and that's why I think Basley you're kind of right in the same point that it feels like it's further away because there's still so many Democrats that it doesn't feel like an election is so close but at some point I believe primaries maybe start in February we should get that but it's not that long and then you will have it whittle down and then the rhetoric will either improve or get better and I just am anticipating that being a little bit of uncertainty in the market one way or the other. So the market likes to climb a wall of worry we've seen even now this week it was a lot of worrying and the markets held very well but I'm fascinated because just two things if I can FXI which is the China this is the iShares China large cap ETF after everything that you've heard you would think that the ETF representing at least the very largest companies would be seeing lower prices and certainly taking out key support levels well last month we did just actually take out the low that was made back in October of 2018 but in the December low that we went to since then China's actually held quite well it doesn't rally like we have but it's holding quite well so that speaks to what you were saying just earlier on we'll finish this up right after the break that's perfect I want to we'll be right back folks Hi folks Tom O'Brien here if you'd like to get my daily newsletter of market insights then now is a great time to sign up for a 30 day free trial every morning by 9 30 I send out my 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timing the trade charts today by visiting TFNN.com this segment is brought to you by Think or Swim for more information just click the Think or Swim banner on the front page of TFNN.com Welcome back folks Tommy O'Brien with Basil Chapman this morning right now we got markets in positive territory S&P up about 11, NASDAQ up 49 Dow up 86 and Basil we just got the EIA inventory for natural gas I just want to pull up the chart for a moment and I actually don't even have the numbers yet but just to give a quick update natural gas looks like we just traded from about 259 to 256 so maybe a little bit of a bigger build in the natural gas than it was expecting but we'll check back when we get those numbers as well I've got natural gas it's got 2.5 which is a continuous contract the 14th period moving every support in the day but it just made a peak and it looks to me like it's in a little digestive phase right now had a really good move probably going to take a bit of a breather but it's certainly come way off the lows that was made right I mean everything really had a big August in terms of interest rates but natural gas as well and I mean you put it was that a yeah that monthly going back to when it was at $5 $4 that spiral yeah but look how quickly it gave it back so just to finish up what you were saying on China because I think it kind of jived with what Kevin Hinks was saying that what if are you prepared for you know if there is a trade deal if things pick back up because you know I say there's an election just to get the point across and I'm trying to make and make sure appropriately that it's not like bad things are going to happen that's going to spur the effort to have good things happen as well for it gives incentive yes well the two things one is it gives incentive for the US to make some kind of maybe a little bit of a compromise enough to say that we've got a win because you remember I like to think of Trump as the 51 percenter he likes to be able to say I won even if it's just a 1 percent win so maybe that's part of it but the other on the other hand China at this particular point has to they have to be playing the political game behind the scenes they have to be saying if we can wait this out maybe there'll be a change of change of government things they don't really know what they can do because it's a long time to keep this going for a year although we all know that China when it's spoken about China people talk about a lot of patients they have a lot of time they don't have deadlines but actually I think there are deadlines because there's a much greater middle class now and people are expecting more so I think that they don't have what they used to have as a regime they don't have that kind of leeway to say hey what we say goes I think there's more discontent in the populace that they can sense so on both sides we've got the opportunity here to have some kind of compromise we'll see but I agree because the way the chart is acting in the monthly certainly any breakdown from here would be very negative but holding even in this range means that you're not going to lower lows you're starting to form some kind of a base that says be careful because there could be some good news coming yes Basil I wanted to jump around if I could because Kevin said they were going to talk about some of the equities and I'd like to take a look at as yours as well how about Disney another company I mean they're down dramatically today and I'm not sure what that spike is initially in terms of being negative and it looks like they just fell from 137 to about 136 on the open so there's a very interesting that's going on with Disney and one of the things I've seen to subscribers I've shown the chart very often I say you know I just I don't understand the company because it's not the old Disney that we knew it wasn't that entertainment with theme parks and the Disney movies now it's a very complex company definitely and as a result you could see that the high that was made and I've got this in the chat we've been notation when you get to a D you start to look for the chance that you could turn down it doesn't mean say you have to but that's where very often you can see right here on the left side chart at 147.15 the all-time high on the 29th of July Disney made a top at that peak D and things and what I had shown subscribers is that there's a little mini what I call the Chapman Wave inside track repellent zone hit it three times one hit it twice from that previous peak D back in June and it went a little higher 147 but it took quite a hit down to the 131 level and now you can see it's kind of stuck this stuck says to me especially with what I've got an unusual peak G in the weekly chart and a potential off in the monthly it says to me there's a really good chance that Disney has had a spectacular move and that now there's a digestive phase and that we probably I'm thinking very seriously that there's what I call a hat trick top you can only get a hat trick top when the monthly chart looks like it's about to make a top you get the weekly chart must be ready but you have to start off with a shorter term which is the date well the date in the 29th made a reversal and a peak D that peak G as unusual as it you can see the middle chart shows the MACD the moving average conversions divergence very negative and the sarcastic is way down of 39% and you can see the pattern I call the H pattern to come down sharply you make a little arch and you start to roll over that's what I think we're looking at in Disney's weekly chart the monthly chart is still early because the MACD is still strong sarcastic so that 85% of 80% I like very much but that's how you go to a hat trick top that's what I was speaking about exactly a year ago when I was saying I think that the fang stocks are about to make hat trick tops which means that based on the daily weekly monthly the monthly's are finally going to sell off which means you're going to have time and price months before they come back again to all-time highs I've got a feeling Disney's in that degree and I don't know anything on the fundamentals I'm just looking at the chart and it seems to me that if Disney takes out 130 support in the next six weeks it's going to go not necessarily a lot lower but the upside is going to be very limited since we're talking about fang stocks could we jump to Netflix too because that was going to be my next question it's and you try and digest just what's happening in the market like you're going to have a wildly different company Disney's going to be streaming all their own content they're still going to have the movie release business making billions in theaters because they can't just deploy those movies right to their streaming service as Netflix does and then of course you have the parks and so forth but man they're basically going to be Netflix plus a lot more going on right they're going to have their own streaming platform completely and they're going to have the parks that it doesn't have and the rights to Mickey Mouse and so forth so you see that in the Netflix chart I think already and and Disney's more composite because you can get although you won't get some of the movies that you could get on Netflix Disney has the opportunity because there's a younger crowd and parents are looking at what they can safely show their kids in that regard they can't you have to think of them a little bit of separate companies but I'm also thinking of this as in the 1920s when you got the movies and then the movies changed very soon after that from black and white to color this is exactly and what happened was if you read about the artists the chaplain and the Marx brothers at that particular time when the movies came out those those non-talking actors kind of lost their job and the whole industry changed and all of a sudden you got this where you had huge orchestras for the movies we're in that same exact situation right now where the whole thing is broadened out they forced to have actors and new shows this is going to be very interesting it is going to be interesting and I see that Netflix chart we'll finish it up when we come back folks looking at Netflix looking at Disney and markets right now in the positive that's not going to be right back if you're in the cd market and looking for a secure investment the Tiger first mortgage program may work for you the security for these first mortgages are building lots in the tax opportunity zone in st. 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you know how you look at Disney as well on top of that so Netflix I've never quite understood Netflix why I ran up to 423 there's something I must be missing fundamentally I saw it as a take over the world Basil you didn't get the memo that's what it seemed like yeah but if you look at it very closely they were bumping to a lot of problems and even this last rally that came going into the most recent high of 385 it was interesting it made a double top a number of stocks made the same kind of doubles double top within a point of the left side high and then came down this one suggested there's a lot going on in Netflix technically that that I would not be surprised if it if it closes on any weekly basis underneath 280 okay there's a real good chance that it's going to test the low of January somewhere around the 256 live on if it has to go back to the low of December 267 but that age pattern it just looks I mean look at the way the MACD and the daily chart ran up so high the stochastic ran up and the price couldn't it just couldn't get out of its own way and even now it's down four points today at 286 it's having a problem and I appreciate you covering both the stocks the reason why I asked I just been thinking about it myself like Netflix versus Disney they're going to have a well with their streaming service Disney just kind of like you said if you have children especially let alone all the brands they have of Star Wars right that's not just children so they're going to have an adult population as well those movies will go to theaters first then they'll be I'm sure to Disney plus Netflix though they don't have those iconic brands or anything they're going to have a similar service without all that brand I really see a lot of strength in Disney when it just really has all those brands I absolutely agree I agree for a number of reasons technically on the chart that's why I agree but I think fundamentally as well as I understand it but even if you look at Apple Apple has something else and have so much cash this is if they get into the whole idea of movies and streaming in a serious way they've got the dollars to do it I think this is a great actor and a musician I just say that they're in it that was their first foray and this is one that they can't just dabble into and try to be into that I imagine that they're going to be fully in to being a content provider they will be very serious having all those platforms it'll be additive to their products and now since they've gone to the Microsoft model with you know so much leasing or getting a residual every month for all their products I this Apple chart is very good it looks like it's going to hold very well I was saying to Tom it might have even been during one of the breaks in our program just saying you know just like an Amazon that they don't even need to make money off of some of the things they do as in just to bring everybody into their ecosystem to sign up for Apple TV would be well worth it to keep them buying iPhones to keep them paying for everything in the iTunes store that they get a percentage of what they want. And I'm a fan of both I have an iPhone and I pay for Netflix right I have Amazon Prime as well which I don't use as much you get so many other value items out of Amazon Prime as well but then Basil I read an article yesterday which was really made me start to think about it is that Apple's coming into the room they're the giant in terms of how big they are I'm sure they've at least considered buying a company like Disney and I think the only thing that's potentially regulators that wouldn't allow two giants they're going to compete in the same arena but it's almost something where I and that's just another notch to Disney where I keep saying they're in the streaming business and Apple doesn't have that kind of brand for streaming Netflix doesn't have that kind of brand and Disney's going to offer it for what is it $7 a month and it's international I mean all of them international but Apple in a different way is international it's a product name it isn't just entertainment this is they encompass almost everything yeah so that'll be interesting to see how it plays out and of course where I'm in Florida you have Disneyland extraordinary down here and it's just amazing how expensive everything is folks if you want to hear they do 5k's they do 10k's all over the country right there for fun well if you go to the Disney one I think it's extraordinary how much they get away with charging on everything they do so they're going to keep the money very interesting natural gas jumping over Basil we got about 255 on that natural gas contract right now just continues the slide from about 264 that's talking 9 pennies in the last less than 3 hours and quite a run up maybe just giving itself a breather crude oil we saw a little spike maybe we could jump to crude and take a look Basil we talk about interesting symmetrical formations I thought of you this morning when I saw crude making almost a double 40 and then it kind of cascades down in a similar fashion all the way until the load around 10 am so this speaks to a number of things despite that we saw starting Sunday nights going into Monday morning and crude is just tutoring along in the 54s on Friday and the next thing you know it's up in the 62 and a half was in 63-14 area this is the continuous contract on the 16th next day it gives it all up that is the open the candle itself not from the low that was made on Friday but it makes an even lower low yesterday today trying to rally and it's not holding it's up 52 cents which is interesting because I don't know how many times you and I have been on and at the same time as we've looked at crude or maybe rallying natural gases pull back or natural gases running and crude they seem to go in opposite directions over to so it's up 52 cents but it seems to me that this is really speaking loud and clear which is one of the reasons why I think that the market got that idea that oh this is another one of those buying opportunities and because we've seen that if crude all it's still holding above the 55s is it 58 53 my my only concern here is if crude all holds 58s and very quietly starts to go to 60 and a half 61 and a half 62 and a half and then all of a sudden takes out the high that was made on Monday of 62 14 and if it I don't want to see it done in one day but if it does it very quietly that's going to say uh-oh keep your eye on crude all internationally things are not that cool right now not that cool indeed so yes this is no I just do because I agree in completely in terms of just even the amount of premium that maybe the market should price in there for a similar event to happen seems like it wouldn't make common sense to have potentially 5% of the world's oil supply shut down and it be a fairly small fairly and not and not that same day have the down down 375 points and there has to be down 40 and close at the lows and have absolute fear over the next entire week at least so coming back like this says hey we're so used to these momentary moments of climax or tension that resolve themselves so quickly maybe this is just another case in one of those they are going to get that oil 100% back online within no time so that's what the market may be taking for granted right now stay tuned folks, Bals and I are coming right back up we'll be finishing the show one more segment I'm certain you are or strive to be one of the best of the best at everything you do in life it's the most common trait that we tigers and tigers share if you're looking to become the best of the best when it comes to managing your money let me teach you to do what most wealth managers tell you can't be done which is how to time the markets I'm Steve Rhodes author of Mastering Probability and for the last 12 months Timer Digest has been tracking my newsletter signals which have earned me the ranking as their number one market timer in the nation for the S&P 500 for the last 12, 6 and 3 months Timer Digest also ranks me as the number one market timer for gold as well the fact is markets can be timed and I'll teach you the exact set of tools that I use that has transformed me into one of the best at what I do sign up for Mastering Probability today by clicking on the newsletter tab on the homepage of TFNN.com and get immediate access to workshops where I take you step by step how to use an extraordinary set of tools to provide great market calls to sign up today if you're a trader in the market looking for exposure to gold or gold mining equities then now is a perfect time to sign up for Tom O'Brien's gold report the summer is over gold is trading back above $1,500 and the 10 year treasury is hovering at around 1.5% Tom O'Brien has been writing his weekly gold report for almost 18 years there's no one that knows more about how the gold market trades and how equities react new subscribers get a 30 day money back guarantee so you have nothing to lose every Monday morning Tom publishes his weekly gold report with coverage of gold, silver bonds the XAU, HUI GDX, the dollar as well as more than 30 different mining equities as of September 3rd gold report subscribers have 5 active open positions with an average unrealized profit of almost 38% for each position to see for yourself the types of gold trades that are recommended within the gold report sign up today by visiting TFNN.com Since 1984 Basil Chapman has been using the Chapman wave methodology to advise traders of his expert market opinion while originally hand drawing charts from the late 1970s into the 1980s Basil noticed that prices under most circumstances virtually always had a certain number of legs to the upside before declining sharply later the computer software which included the standard market technical indicators enhanced the degree of accuracy in calling price turns as well as market trend calls thus was born the Chapman wave sequence using the Chapman wave methodology along with other indicators Basil Chapman advises his subscribers of his expert market opinion each market day with his opening call newsletter right now you can get a two week free trial to the opening call Basil's daily trading newsletter by visiting the TfNN.com this segment is brought to you by think or swim for more information just click the think or swim banner on the front page of TFNN.com market staying in positive territory dial up about 83 points NASDAQ up 58 S&Ps up 13 so I see you jumping around with a little bit of a little bit of a little bit of a little bit of something just further up level is a long long background to bubble down雪 13 so I see you jumping around to some of the indices basil, with the Dow up there currently What are you taking a look at, so a couple of things that I've been talking about is not exactly a week now that I've been saying, in I have a program that I had developed a long time ago. was a ton of resistance in the 26,800s to 6,900s, it went right through that. Next one is the 27,461, but the same thing occurred in the S&P. The S&P had automated all the way to 3,021, and here we are at 3,020. And what that does very often is it puts a hold, it puts a cap, and until the market or whatever we're looking at really bumps up against it sharply and tests it, it doesn't break through. But if it breaks through, that becomes very positive. So I'm going to see how the market holds right here if it's able to break out. But what I'll be talking about on my show at noon, my Tiger Technicians Hour, is the patterns that we're looking at, what is working and what is not. Why did the IWM have such a fantastic move, lead the way up, and then all of a sudden took the biggest hit on the way down? Is there something that's happening in the Russell 2000, are we rotating, are we about to go through, are we in the fact right now in the middle of a rotational process? And that's what I'm going to be talking about, what ETF sectors are working, what's not working. So it's going to be one of those where it's kind of nitty-gritty. I want to look at it and say, let's look at it purely technically, see what's happening.


I've been given the thumbs up from the back of the room, which basically means get a move on Jeff We have to have you out of here in 45 minutes. So I'll make a start. Thank you for coming It's nice to see a turn out. You never know with these things when they're being recorded people. I'll just watch it later Watch it later and no one's here. So but thank you. It's good to see you So my name's Jeff and I'm gonna be talking to you about taking a mindful approach to product ownership Who went to Deborah Searle's keynote this morning and who went to Jia Zhang's keynote this morning So we've got a mixture of people in the room There was actually a common thread in both of those talks obviously you can't be in two places at the same time, but I'm lucky that I've managed to see both of those talks and This talk really is about The thread that was common to both of those talks which is around having a choice About how you view things and how you react to situations So I'm going to be following that thread in this talk here Now both of those talks were quite inspiring and focused very much on the positive side of things But knowing that you have a choice about how you react and a choice over your emotions Can be quite daunting Because then if you think well if I do have a choice and I fail to make a positive choice Am I failing? So what I'm going to try and do here is to talk to you about a different aspect of choosing your approach to things Understanding where your defaults might be coming from Why it might be a little bit difficult in some situations to make the choice that you want And perhaps a couple of techniques that you can Try to give yourself a better chance of doing that to be more successful This is in the product owner track mainly because The product owner job product owner role is often described as an impossible job It's probably the hardest Of the three scrum roles. There are a lot of challenges to the product owner role What I'm going to talk about here isn't relevant to just the product owner It's relevant to basically anyone because believe it or not product owners are human beings And uh, just like anybody else all human beings have some challenges They'll have some stresses some problems that they need to deal with Product owners and they have to deal with difficult stakeholders who have competing demands They have to deal with budgets and timescales. They have to deal with developers They have to they have to deal with themselves. They have to prioritize They have to deal with customers and users and getting feedback and giving feedback all sorts of things that will make a product owner's job Quite difficult Well under a lot of pressure to deliver and receive some return on the investment that they're probably safeguarding So my aim here is to help you understand What might be driving you? And once you understand what might be driving you then you can use that knowledge to Be better at mastering yourself really. This is all about self mastery as a product owner I wanted to start with a quick story. I know technically I have already started but um a quick story and I'm going to take you back in time Some of you might not have been alive in 1981, but I want to take you back to 1981 in Australia And what they call the ultramarathon Has anybody taken part in the ultramarathon? No Can't see why anybody would but back in 1981. This was from sydney to melbourne. No, I've never even been to australia But apparently that's quite a long way. It's uh 544 miles and if you type it into google maps, it says it'll take you 187 hours to walk it These people For whatever reason decided they wanted to run that To run that distance and back in 1981. There were 150 World-class athletes highly trained who'd been training for months to do this probably years All in there, you know really expensive 80s short short running kit Um ready to go primed and there was one 61 year old potato farmer Who turned up in his wellington boots? and his farming kit And his view was well, I spend a lot of time in the fields I could probably run a marathon Why not? And he looked quite odd Lining up against these athletes in there in their kit. His name was uh cliff young And you won't be surprised to know that he won this race Maybe you are surprised. I don't know the conventional wisdom at the time for running this ultramarathon Was what they called 186 So you'd run for 18 hours and you'd sleep for six and then you'd run for 18 hours and you'd sleep for six But cliff young either didn't know about that conventional wisdom or thought screw it And he did what became known as the cliff shuffle He basically just shuffled continuously for days And while all these elite athletes were resting for six hours, he just kept on going And he won and that was quite surprising. So why am I telling you this story? Well cliff didn't go with the conventional wisdom He didn't just go with well, this is how we are going to do it. This is how we've always done it either through idiocy Or naivety Or bravery Whatever it was he challenged their assumptions your that your uh his assumptions and he changed the way that these things were run So I want to say this isn't a therapy session. Okay, I don't want anyone lying down on a couch I say that because what I'm going to introduce I'm going to introduce a model to you. All right now all models are wrong I want to say that off the bat All models are wrong But some models can be useful So I'm introducing a model to you it is based in therapy and it's drawn from um Um Basically what happens to you as a kid will influence what you are like as an adult But no matter what you do if you've got kids you will screw up your kids It's just the case of how you will screw them up All right, so it's not about you leaving here thinking oh, I've been a bad parent Or I'm going to go back and be a better parent or anything like that It's not about resolving your childhood dilemmas or anything like that It's just a model that I'm going to give you that you might be able to use something from Uh, so it's not a therapy session Uh, it's called the transactional analysis drivers All right. Now there are five drivers They they come from a couple of people's work that not necessarily working together just in case you're interested I put some references at the end But they're basically from a couple of guys called uh, I can't pronounce their names tibie kala and eric burn There's a couple of book references at the end And what they found was that there are basically five Drivers that affect people from the messages that they receive as a kid A child the first one is hurry up Yeah, so be quick get on with it. Let's go. We're late. These kinds of messages that we give our kids and they Grow up with this hurry up driver. There's a please me driver Yeah, so make sure I'm happy There's the be perfect driver There's the be strong driver And there's the try hard driver I'm just briefly talk to you about these five drivers Why they're relevant to a product owner and what you might be able to do once you're more aware of them Okay, so the first one is hurry up Some symptoms of the hurry up driver. You won't be surprised to know People start talking quickly All right, if you notice yourself talking quicker and quicker, it's probably this driver kicking in you start getting nervous You start getting fidgety. You might tap your feet a little bit more You probably won't notice this until I mention it but now you're noticing it you're checking your watch Possibly that's because you've boarded this session already, but this am I late am I on time? When do I need to be at my next meeting? These kinds of things are going through our heads often unconsciously and then the idea of multitasking So if you see these symptoms in yourself or somebody else, there's a good chance. They're being driven by this hurry up driver So I'm going to ask you guys now. I'm going to take a risk And ask an audience in britain for some audience audience participation what kind of Consequences do you think this might have for someone in a product owner role if they're being driven by hurry up Stress, yeah What kind of mistakes that are relevant to a product owner Okay, yeah, so they might focus more on their schedule than the product Quality might be compromised because we want to we want to get things out really quickly anything else Less presence. Yeah, people know that you're you're rushing them.  They want to move on. Perhaps. I don't even get to finish my sentences I'm less present I can pass that stress on Debra Searle for those of you in there talked about contagious positive attitude and Right, so we can pass that on to the team. They might feel that they have to rush things They have to do more do quicker. So we might end up Releasing too early now releasing early is a good thing in an agile environment We want to be first. We want to be quick to market. We've got to beat our competitors We talk about sprints in scrum, but if we're if we're driving too quickly and this hurry up driver, then absolutely We could compromise quality Now you could say that was a nice little Input there of me talking too quickly and stumbling over my words just to make a point It was an accident We can burn ourselves out We can burn our team out. Yeah, this is very hard to sustain in the long run And we talk about sustainable pace In terms of mistakes product owners will also look at what we call surface level data So in order to make good decisions, they're never going to make perfect decisions as a product owner because they're not going to have complete information So they have to make some decisions But if they're being driven by a hurry up driver, they won't really do the the root cause analysis They won't go beneath the surface. They won't draw the appropriate conclusions They won't see the patterns in the data. They'll just make a quick decision a quick decision and move on So product owners hurry up driver not a bad thing But it can quite easily get out of control The please me driver All right, so kids that are growing up being taught you gotta be gotta be good gotta be nice gotta make people happy Gotta make people smile if you find yourself or somebody else Saying is that okay quite a lot making sure they're not upset All right, I don't want to cause any conflict those kinds of questions Then you might be doing that asking people's opinion often before you put yours forward because you want to make sure you don't upset them or compromise them Avoiding conflict not breaking rules I quite like breaking rules Um, so this one doesn't really affect me too much But if you find yourself finding it hard to say no to people that can be a symptom that you have this please me driver Why might that have consequences for a product owner? Right, so people loads of people are going to ask us for stuff. They know we're an easy win Yeah, let's go and ask Jeff. He'll say yes, we'll get it on his backlog and we get overwhelmed It's really hard to prioritize. It's really hard to focus. We're probably multitasking compromising everything We get feature bloat Yeah, and then that compromises our hurry up driver because we've got too many features We can't release it which causes us stress And causes the team stress So we've got to deal with feedback as well Yeah, as a product owner i'm putting my product out there in an incremental stage and asking for feedback What do you think? How could this get better? What features would you like next? What do you think of the features that we've delivered so far? And if we can't really take that feedback in an impersonal way that could be quite a destroying piece of Communication I take it very personally and I may May hesitate in providing feedback to the team because I don't want to upset them And focus so much on keeping people happy that I'm not going to make the ruthless decisions necessary Or give the brutal feedback that's necessary to make this product a success Prioritization could be a problem and we could end up with a camel Does that phrase mean anything to you? No, I was told that a camel Was a horse that was designed by a committee I get into trouble because people like camels and they said camels serve a really good purpose But it's an analogy the idea that no one really wanted a camel Everybody wanted a horse, but they had their idea of what a horse was and we ended up with a camel And as a product owner if I say yes to everyone I'm going to try and please everybody and end up pleasing nobody because I haven't really focused on my actual core users needs So please me driver can end up really impacting your product owner's success and also their stress levels The third driver is called be perfect. Okay, so if we see Somebody with really really high standards again, this is a good thing Just like pleasing people is a good thing.  Well, I'm on camera So I've set the bar there. I'm not I'm not aiming for perfection. Just less than Nigel So high standards are a good thing. Okay, but these standards have to be achievable. They have to be believed to be achievable People with a be perfect driver think very logically and rationally Analysis is a good thing. We think if we analyze this problem enough, we can find the right answer So we don't really act on intuition Uh, we we don't really like working making decisions with incomplete information Uh, so if it's not a right angle, it's the wrong angle, you know, you know people like that And always put in their pictures straight making sure their pens are there and the papers That kind of like ocd. I love having fun with people like that um The right angles and this idea of control because if I let go of control It might not be right. I might not be perfect. I can't really trust anybody else Because there's only one way to do it and that's my way Yeah So what consequences could we have as a product only thinking about someone who's developing a product working with a team Building something for users. What what consequences might a be perfect driver have? We never finish. We keep going. Yeah, there's always something we could do to improve it a little bit more Detailed too much detail too much detail. The little things will override the big things. Yeah Sorry No room to learn right, but if we if we focus on perfection Then the idea of getting something wrong is quite scary But in order to learn we need to get things wrong now and again or at least not quite perfect It's that area where we're actually going to learn stuff and from an agile perspective We need to learn because we can't get something perfect straight away. We're operating in that environment where things are too complex They're changing too rapidly So this is going to be quite stressful for us if we can't manage this So good, uh, we get less innovation. We get less learning the time to market will will drop because we're trying to get the Perfect product and we end up gold plating Common problems for a prototype The fourth driver is be strong. So this is you know, you can do this Don't be brave that kind of message that we send to our kids tough it out keep going So you often hear people say, yeah, yeah, I'll do that. I'll do that. I can do that I probably don't need any help with it either. Yeah, I'm all right. I've got this you can trust me rely on me And and these people also when they see people struggling We'll we'll can't resist the temptation to jump in and and rescue them All right, uh, because we I am I am strong Jeff strong. I rescue all right this strong driver Um, and these people they they are very fact focused as well And this idea of feelings kind of gets in the way of being strong We kind of hide our emotions and feeding feelings bury them down because that is weakness They're very british Feelings are weakness So what consequences could we have? If we're a product owner being driven by a be strong driver We take on too much work Yeah, we get into analysis paralysis. We don't come up for air. We don't ask for help. So things just drag on We don't you know the data. Yeah, I'm still working on that the daily scrum four days in a row. I don't need any help It's fine. It'll be done today Sure, it will Okay, yeah things can go on anything else We don't really got a sense of team absolutely and in order to get Collaboration with our team we need to show vulnerability and we need to let it be known that vulnerability is okay We don't have to be strong all the time asking for help is a sign of strength that kind of message We want to be sending out. So we will resist feedback because that will probably Probably undermine our feeling of strength We also less open to noticing our cognitive biases because again, we don't want to show a sign of weakness We actually want reassurance that what we're thinking is the right thing So we will actually convince ourselves and reinforce that belief We don't develop rapport because people don't feel they can trust us. They don't really feel Open because they feel they have to be strong as well So other people start playing it safe We don't want to make mistakes because that the leader's behavior and a product owner is a leader Okay, product owner is a very much a leader People pay attention to the leader's behavior The leader's behavior is when the number one thing that affects the culture of a team and an organization People pay much more attention to what you do than what you say So you can say failure is acceptable You can say we want to learn you can say we want to inspect and adapt But if you don't demonstrate it in your behaviors, the behavior is what people will copy Because that's the safe thing Final one try hard All right, um, so this is and again, this is a good thing trying hard is a good thing All right, and some of the messages behind it are a good thing You know, it doesn't matter if you win or lose just try hard play the game do your best that kind of thing It's a good thing But if it overly drives us then it becomes a problem So here effort is the most important thing as long as you're trying hard. I'm not too worried about whether you're successful This sense of justice Somehow creeps in all right. We want we want things to be just we want things to be fair So we spend a lot of time writing the wrongs of what's going on in the organization because that's not fair It's about effort making sure that we're in the right place This I'm not sure whether the phrase flogging a dead horse translates outside of England Kind of yeah, so there's no point whipping a horse that's dead But we often do we know this project is not going to succeed. We know it's a dead It's you know the death march, but we keep going because that's what we do Yeah, we don't give up Uh, we often fail to meet goals, but that's okay because we're trying hard So we don't really push ourselves that that much these are kind of symptoms that we'll see We notice that I think okay, maybe we've got a try hard driver going on here So some consequences it can be quite intimidating to other people if they don't feel they have the same kind of resilience You might have been intimidated by Deborah Sells Talk I think well, I couldn't do that You know, it's all very well her standing out there saying I rode across the ocean, but I couldn't do that I'm just a normal person It's gonna be quite intimidating this try hard driver We get very attached to our views And very unlikely to let go of them. So in terms of collaboration Very fixed and again from a product owners perspective, we're looking to iterate We we want the best product owners that I know they'll argue as if they're right But they will listen as if they're wrong So they will they will be passionate about their their views their beliefs their vision The features the sprint goals all that kind of thing But they will be open to feedback from other people But if we're trying hard we want to keep going in the same direction. We don't know when to stop So we often end up with quite a lot of failed sprints Um, because we'll we'll try hard, but we won't actually make it And that leads to a loss of faith From our sponsors people who are actually funding this product unless I'm a product owner I'm paying for this out of my own pocket I've got to be answerable to somebody with the budget somebody with the check And these people if they see lots of failed sprints, they're just going to pull the plug All right, trying hards all well and good, but if you're spending my money I want to see results So there's a problem What can we do? Well, I said this is a mindful approach to product ownership I I did I was toying with the idea of just sitting on the table at the front in a buddha pose And saying we're just going to meditate for 30 minutes and see how many people actually believe me But I thought I'm video so I can't really take that gamble The idea behind this is if you can take a slightly more mindful approach What I mean by mean by a mindful approach is being more aware of what's going on as as Debra Sir and Jia Zhang was saying Notice your thoughts and you are you are free to choose your thoughts Accept that Then you can reduce your stress you can be more successful You can build better relationships with teams and you can build better products So we get better products and Because people take take notice of our actions if we can be a little bit more mindful Then other people can be a little bit more mindful and we can start role modeling this throughout our organization So listen is there's good reasons for doing it What's involved well the four a's First of all is awareness. Okay, so just notice it. Hopefully Say hopefully that might might be a bit harsh, but yeah, hopefully you'll have looked at some of those drivers and thought Yeah, that's me That's me Yeah, I can see how that must annoy people It's not about saying bad Jeff. Okay, just being aware of it. That's the first thing that you can do, right? Once you're aware of it, just accept it. It's normal. All right, it doesn't mean you're bad You can't no matter what you do you're going to screw your kids at no matter how good your parents were They're going to screw you up. You're going to be left with some baggage. All right This this is just your baggage accept it. Everyone else has their baggage So what? There's also benefits to it. So accept that Take the positives of your be perfect driver Then once you've got some awareness and you're feeling okay with yourself You've stopped beating yourself up about it. Then just take some small action Just do something All right, and then maybe adjust based on the reaction you get the response you get So what does that mean in practice? Well as an example question What do I think will happen if? And put in your particular driver here what what do I think will happen if this presentation? Isn't perfect. So before before you guys came in I was thinking right. I haven't done this presentation before You know, what am I actually worried about? If it's not perfect Do I think people are going to walk out? Do I think people are going to throw fruit at me? Do I think I'll never get a job in my life again? What what's actually going on if I can name it then I can then I can analyze whether it's actually likely All right, how likely is it that people will walk out or throw fruit at me or never? I'll never get a job in my life again. Maybe it is likely But if it is and I've named it then I can start taking some action to reduce the likelihood of that happening But there's also a good chance that I analyze it. I think you know what? It's unlikely People don't expect perfection. And also you guys don't know what I was supposed to say So if I forget something then what the hell you don't know that I'm the only one who knows what's in my slide deck So I can assess whether it's likely and then if there is anything I can do Maybe just to reduce that chance by 10% Then I'm in a better place than I was So what could I do? I could rehearse Something I could do. All right. I could give myself some some prompt cards or I had I had a wonderful avi person Go out and get me a long cable so I could have my laptop here in case I forgot something. It's there You guys didn't know that until I told you But it gave me a little bit of extra security So is there anything I can do to reduce that by 10%? And then if it does happen if the worst happens if my fear becomes a reality What could I do? To rescue that situation. How could I respond? Okay, so if you do start leaving if you do start walking out How could I how could I respond to that or if I do stumble if I do make a mistake? What could I do? I could maybe make a joke out of it That makes it a little bit easier for me to not be perfect and then finally If it does happen How might that be a positive? So let's say this presentation isn't perfect Just hypothetically All right, how might that be a positive for me? I'll learn something. I might learn that I never want to give presentations again Maybe what else? What silver lining could possibly happen from this presentation not being perfect? Something else not to do it. Yes, you could all take away if nothing else. I'm never going to present like Jeff And I've changed the world, right? I put a dent. I put a ding in the universe Good. Thanks for that anything else Sorry I can get feedback. Okay, so if this is my job and I have to do another presentation on friday Hypothetically, then I might that one might go better Yeah, if I'm open to it. So there are some positives to it. I might actually think well, do you know what? It didn't the world didn't end It didn't go that badly. It wasn't perfect, but it wasn't that bad and I can apply that knowledge To something else in my life. It doesn't just have to be about my speaking I may have this perfect driver of something else and okay, maybe that just reduces my stress a little Maybe that's a good thing. Maybe that will help me in somewhere other area So that's the kind of thought process that we can go through there And so going up going away from this. What can you do? Well? Have a go at trying something different Okay, so ask yourself that question What do I think is going to happen if I'm not perfect? What do I think is going to happen if I'm not On time if I'm a little bit late I don't have to hurry up so much and then keep track Just at the end of the day. How many times did I take my time instead of rushing? One two three that's three more than yesterday And you can start changing your definition of yourself from I'm somebody who hates being late to I'm somebody who can tolerate that When it's not too problematic or whatever your definition is more helpful How many times did I ask for help today? One two three keep track and you start reminding yourself. This is evidence That you are not the person you defined yourself as a month ago A more helpful definition. How many times did I say no? I said there's some references here. So there are a few books Um, and they they could be helpful to you. Obviously, I'm putting my own in there as well Um And I have thankfully managed to leave some time for questions I didn't know how much time I was going to have but it looks like I've got 15 minutes. It's a bit of a gamble But I have got a microphone So does anybody want to be on camera? This is your moment Anybody got any questions they would like to ask or discussions they would like to talk about anything at all around this area Yes Thank you Could you please explore a little bit the relationship between those drivers and the Cycle this improvement cycle that you mentioned in the end The this one. Yeah, this you have the cycle on the one hand and then you have those drivers And I'm still sort of struggling of how to get those two aspects together. Okay, cool So the idea behind this cycle is that we can look at Whatever driver I think is not working particularly helpfully for me. So if it's my my hurry up driver I think okay, this is now. I'm aware of it. I'm looking at it thinking that's causing me some issues All right, either I'm highly stressed my decisions. I'm rushing Qualities being compromised or the team are really struggling to to meet their deadlines in the sprint or whatever What can I do about that? I want to redefine my value driver so that it's working more helpfully for me and this is my thought process For how I go about just slightly adjusting that So what would happen if I did take my time? I know people want this they want me to reply to this email or write this report or make this decision By end of play today. What would happen if I didn't? What would happen if I took myself a little bit more time? What's going on in my head? What assumptions am I making? Do I really think they're going to sack me if I don't do this? Do I really think that the project will fail if I don't make this decision on time? I believe this decision needs a little bit more thought therefore I'm going to make myself take a little bit more time. So listing out the assumptions What do I think is going to happen if this and there may be four or five? Work out which ones of those are likely are actual going to happen because I don't know a few like me but while they're in my head I tend to catastrophize That's a good word. All right. I tend to blow think these problems they inflate In my head they just sort of bounce around and I'm not naming them But as soon as I label them as soon as I write them down or verbalize them Possibly to somebody else This is what I'm worried about really you're worried about that Really is that likely to happen? Do you really think that's going to happen? Okay, maybe not maybe there's a 50% chance of it happening I can list them out some of them I can get rid of because I know they're actually not worth worrying about anymore Some of them they are worth worrying about and those ones I'm going to try and reduce just by a little bit I don't want to set myself. I get get rid of this problem, but I can reduce it And then I'm in a little bit more control Some of the things might not be within my control And accepting that Deborah Sirlegan said control the controllables. She can't control the waves. All right, but she can control her responses to them So if it does happen, how can I respond? What will be the most helpful response for me? And maybe maybe just maybe There is a positive that I can take from my fear becoming reality And I can use that to redefine how much that driver controls me But making the unconscious conscious I'm in control of my thoughts rather than my thoughts being in control of me Does that make sense? Thank you for the question Yes, let's pass let's pass the microphone. Let's see how quickly we can get it back. Keep your hand up So we know where we're going You can shout Mentos. Come on Mentos Is this an idea that you uh used with a real product or no? Yeah Yeah Yeah, I mean it's it's not for everyone, right? It's a little bit touchy-feely. We're talking about the feeling They've got to trust me to be open with these things But equally it's something that they can they can do on their own if they think it's valuable to them This is a process that you can take away. You don't need a coach for this. You can kind of coach yourself on this But one of the prompts was potentially from somebody else Yeah, and Deborah was saying she had some strategies in place. She had her playlist. That was her self coaching playlist When she knew things were getting on top of her she would put on her her memories playlist or her no playlist But equally she relied on external prompts. So she got some text messages from people She got text messages from her sister to just Remind her to get back into that state of mind And that's where I can play a part with some of the product owners that I coach If that's something that they find would find valuable Thanks. Thanks Mentos. Yes, just just down the line. Maybe maybe a similar question But where you notice these traits in others, what advice would you give to help them to come to recognize and address those? It's an interesting one. So I it's not about necessarily me Helping them do anything it's it's helping them become become aware of it if if it's a value to them If it's problematic to them and it's probably more a case of Analyzing what's going on for them if things are working perfectly, why would they need to worry about this? Yeah, so it's analyzing something that perhaps hasn't gone particularly perfectly for them What might be going on about that and without being too cliche, you know Michael Jackson The only thing you can really change is what's in the mirror, right? You can maybe affect your Environment and your surroundings and things but the best the thing you have most control over is yourself So if they want to change something if they want to make things better for themselves Then you can help by being that mirror if that's what they want, but I wouldn't go around saying I think you're You've got this going on here. I think you should change that Yeah, that's not that's not I don't have the right to do that Yes, can we get the microphone back over here as well? Sorry, you want to shout? Yeah, I can so Ten percent. Yeah Or why not five or why not 30? Yeah I would I would say I picked 10 percent because of my culture I would say 10 percent is a small amount. It's manageable. It's a round number people are attracted to round numbers But I would take 1 percent Yeah, it's about it's just any kind of forward momentum Generally the people that I work with 10 percent seems achievable Yeah Without being too daunting Any other questions? Yes Do you want the microphone or do you want to shout? Have the mic In the title of your presentation you talk you had the word mindfulness I was just curious to know whether you practice mindfulness yourself. Yeah, and if so, would you like to share Sure, so mindfulness is a big thing in our household at the moment so I got I got 16 year old daughter. Oh, she's nearly 16 16 next a couple weeks time and I got 12 year old son and I I think I'm a I'm a decent coach But I can't coach my family Okay, I coach my son's cricket team and everyone on the team will listen to me but my son. All right So I've given up trying to coach them But what I can do is I can give them some tools and so Um, and I can share my experiences and so, you know when things are overwhelming for me Then I've got this little app called headspace. Some of you probably come across. I'm not I'm not advertising I don't get any money from it. There are other apps available Um, but that's the that's the one we currently use in our household And so my son's struggling at the moment. He's got some uh injuries that he's He can't play sport. It's getting him down. He's not able to sleep at night And he's getting stressed and things and so he won't listen to me, but he'll listen to the app Saying exactly the same thing so every night before he goes to bed He just puts his headphones on and he listens to this You know get more in control know where the pain is coming from be more aware of it Then you can start to manage it that kind of thing Um, and so mine from this working out where things are coming from working out where your thoughts are coming from Where your thoughts are directed and which ones of those are helpful or not as with anything It's a practice thing. It takes patience. It takes repetition Um, and it also takes a little bit of well, certainly for me a little bit of bravery because that was a bit touchy-feely for me to begin with Um Now i'm abitting it in front in front of a camera, which a bit weird But Thanks for the question Okay, I've got a few minutes left. Yes Uh, so I think the is that pink salmon salmon colored jumper Thank you So it's the idea of the drivers that everybody fits to one single driver Or can I have a mixture of you can have as many as you want me? For what it's worth i'm messed up. So You know i i i'm impatient I have a hurry up driver I've been taught these messages be strong. Don't ask for help that kind of thing Which is why i'm an independent and i'm not part of a company. Nigel will tell you jeff's alone wolf He doesn't ask for help. So i've got a mixture of these kinds of things as well Yeah, so you can be as messed up as you like And then pick whichever one is working for you the most Leave that one and focus on the one that's causing you the most problems at the moment Make some progress in that and what you'll probably find is once you start getting more in control of one of them That knowledge that awareness that mastery will help you in all of them Yeah Um, but by the time you get to that one you've forgotten what you've done over there So it's a constant process right it's it's it's life Thank you for the question and blue shirt I just have a question jeff. I'm really interested in as a coach It was it was a little bit flippant. I can I can coach my kids, but only when they want to be coached All right, so they know what I do But equally I think it's a cut without getting too deep into the whole sort of Psycho analysis thing kids want to prove themselves to their parents, right? They don't want to Ask for help. They want to they want to show off. They want to show what they can do So asking for help for your parents is it's kind of their last resort if you like I can when they want to be But usually I have an agenda as a parent So I can't be completely neutral Even if I want to be neutral my kids don't see me as neutral They see me as a parent who wants them to go to bed on time who wants them to do their homework you know these kinds of things but If they if they get to a point where they think okay, they might be able to help me then they will ask for that They know what coaching is now Yeah, one of my favorite quotes is from from a ester derby some of you will know ester And she said as a coach coaching has to be voluntary. Okay, you can't go around inflicting your help on people And and as much and that's that's one of the most difficult things as a parent, isn't it? Right, you see your kids you want to help them. I don't want to tell them what to do. I want I want Self-actualization. I want them to own there be more own. Yeah, that kind of thing But I'm not I'm the wrong person for that. Yeah, I'm almost the last person but sometimes Sometimes thank you for the question There was another hand around here somewhere My presentation one Yeah, I mean I'm a patience thing. So I'm I'm getting a little bit more actually somebody Somebody asked me a while ago so I've been teacher as part of my job is I teach scrum and Somebody asked me a while ago. You've been doing this for like 14 years now. What's different? What's different in your approach to when you started? And my answer was I care less And you know exactly right I got for everybody else you You care less well, I'm not coming to one of your training courses And so I was asked what do I mean by that and I said well at the start I took it upon myself To make sure that they left with every piece of knowledge And that they were going to go out and change their worlds them day one All right, and if anybody had a feedback mark of less than five out of five That I obviously hadn't done my job Now I know I can't control that I'm a little bit more aware of that's my thought process And I've set myself more realistic targets for those things. It's up to them to care Okay, my job is just to give them potential that they could use So that's that was what what would happen if they didn't leave And how could that be a good thing? Well, they might actually find out that scrum is not for them And that's success as well, right So that's that's I didn't even realize I was kind of doing that that was just sort of emerged over time But if I'd have been more conscious about that I could have saved myself a few years of stress Thank you Okay, we've got probably got time for one more question Yes I've lost the mic. Where's the mic all the way back? Just because you're at the front I mean you're speaking this way and they're that way so Have you ever experienced a culture where that mindset doesn't fit? Have I experienced a culture where what to the mindfulness? Yeah, but the approach Um, when you say culture do you mean organizational or national or okay organizational? No um Because I found that no organization. No, no, no organization Has such a coherent culture That the whole of the organization wouldn't be open to it But equally I've never known an organization with such a coherent culture that all of the organization would Be open to it and like I said, I wasn't It it took me a while to come around to the fact that this could be useful for me because I had this be strong driver And this was a form of help And as people have to be in the right place for it They have to feel safe to do it But there will be somewhere in the organization Some one some department some some island of safety Where they will get some value from this and then it becomes a case of They've changed What are they doing? Curiosity people are nosy Yeah, they want to know and this this this started the same kind of thing with with regards to scrum when I was at British telecom We had such a big company that as a company you'd say no, they're resistant to it But there were some pockets and when those some pockets had some success other people were curious And so we started So what are you doing? What was this was this rugby thing? Um, she used to be working. I want so can I have some rugby? And and it started to ripple out and it's a it's a case of patience really and again not inflicting your help putting it out If they want it, they'll pull it if they don't they won't Yeah Thank you for the question Okay, I need to wrap up I took a gamble on on getting you involved and I really appreciate you joining in asking some questions as we're going Thank you for that I've enjoyed it And I hope you carry on getting more value from from the gathering It's a great place. There's loads of great sessions coming on. So enjoy the rest of your day and tomorrow. Thank you


on everyone Sam here with late in sports guards we are doing 2022 community national treasures collegiate football hobby four box casebreak number 16 random division style here's a look again at your guys's divisions let's take a look and you can always find these on the website under the results tab as well as the Lincoln chat let's do it guys this is so sick hope Jerry Rice comes true for the manners absolutely Sam it's probably you can probably find a pretty decent comp on eBay I couldn't tell you off the top my head though empty someone said the checklist is all football huh interesting I know John I saw you were in you're in number seven I'm excited dude one of them I think it's eight someone bought like bought all three spots Thomas Jay so it's basically a personal box one well if it's something like this where you can't get we don't sell it for personals I kind of get it if you want to buy every spot yeah we don't have it for personals that's why damn arena 14 out of 99 going to the dolphins the AFC East we've got AFC West that is Isaiah Spiller 25 out of 25 nice one there congrats AFC West we've got to go into the NFC North that's Devontae Wyatt 91 out of 99 this could be really sick who's got this team go NFC North NFC West Benjamin L 9 out of 10 we got a booklet of Kenneth Walker the bull patch baby that is disgusting congrats Benjamin with the NFC West that's so sick dude that's awesome congrats on that one man that's so sick um you know how to do booklets right yeah um for this one just don't seal it up yet I'll take a picture of it after we've got NFC North Belish Jones Jr. that is sorry 19 out of 75 two-colored patch auto on the booklet scared me dude what where you guys what oh it's so awesome oh yeah 100% we've got oh my god 36 out dude look at this next one 36 out of 99 going to the AFC North oh wow that is Tyler Boyd holy cow guys this is disgusting AFC South Justin H 2 out of 2 Malik Willis boom let's go that is so nasty oh my god dude that is huge what a card Justin congrats buddy oh my god let's go I'll go straight to a mag and how about some gravy Derek Stingley Jr. 34 out of 49 also going to the AFC South dude that was nasty let's go Malik Willis the Nike swoosh oh yeah they're impossible to get open there's so much worse than the ones we used to have there's such a downgrade dang right Travis fire only coming out NT collegiate oh heck yeah we've got right on top is a printing plate trailer hands heck yeah NFC West Benjamin L congrats man that's nasty dude we've got 96 out of 99 that's Trayvon Walker going to the AFC South you got a cue right now or no sure you guys want gaming personals head over to late in gaming with Caleb Trayvon Walker we've got 57 out of 75 NFC North that is Deandre Swift us next one's nasty that's so sick NFC North Jonathan S there you go Sarver god that is 79 out of 99 going to the NFC North how about a Clay Mathews he had his longest tenure with the Packers obviously so that is where he will be going that's disgusting we've got AFC South again this time it is a Trevor Lawrence 63 out of 75 very nice T-law oh fanatics I can't wait I'm so excited um so we got NFC East NFC South and AFC West yeah this will be a random to these three divisions at the end we've got Zeke Elliott Michael Thomas Joey Bosa on the Buckeyes triple Zeke is NFC East Thomas NFC South and Joey Bosa AFC West so this will be a random to those three divisions at the end nasty one there oh this is sick Mike D 91 out of 99 going to the NFC South baby that's nasty congrats on that one that is Drake London was he not there in 2019 transfer there I forget and we've got um this might be I think this is gonna be a random to everybody at the end because I think he's still in college yep this will be a random to these three or to everybody at the end it's Phil Jerkovic 64 out of 75 on the treasured moments as he's still at Boston College random tall empty um I think this one is gonna random this oh yeah yeah you're good and then I'll just take that one back to it's only played there last year really um the Jerkovic because it's he's still in college so it'll be a random to everybody kind of walk it really only play there last year it's kind of wild actually I'll use that wake forest I don't know maybe it's like an anniversary thing who knows man tomorrow silver is broken see if we fix that thanks a lot of snow there Paul empty see a bunch of booklets in this one it looks like or now just to maybe we got Bo Jackson seven out of ten on the gold that's going to the AFC West nice bow bow nose followed by two out of 99 that is Bailey zappy going to the AFC East nice one there the hill toppers patch rats on that AFC East we've got going to the AFC West that is Trey McBride 19 out of 49 as he is a Cardinal nice one there Trey McBride we've got 30 or 34 out of 49 that is Ken our Kyren Williams Kyren Williams is on the Ram so that's NFC West that was Kyle Hamilton for a second oh this is pretty cool seven out of ten going to the NFC North that is Dalvin cook that's sick yeah yeah yeah it is player worn on that one too sweet and we've got NFC West again that is gonna be trail ants those next one's gonna be nasty there you go NFC West oh Mike Mike D NFC South how about a Matt Corral booklet 4 out of 5 with the Rebels logo the EB from Rebels dude that's nasty congrats Mike let's go 4 out of 5 very nice same one on this one and then we've got Garrett Wilson 6 out of 25 going to the AFC East Scott C yeah I do like her out sig I agree Paul very nice all right last box guys let's make it why don't we make it the best box yeah that'd be kind of wild I had to do a full case of playbook with those ones that sounds terrible that was a miserable hour I literally had like a whole stack of them just like already open and like slightly on top of each other just like taking up the entire area over there yeah but with this it's so random you don't know how many booklets there's gonna be sometimes there's eight sometimes there's three you know right so it's so like unpredictable got another one of these another trail ants going to the Niners NFC West no sorry guys I just got paranoid that I threw a card away for no reason yeah nothing we're good we're good AFC South that is Alec Pierce 25 out of 39 going to the Colts that is AFC South we've got AFC East again Scott see this is nasty James Cook that is 4 out of 5 man that's awesome take that for sure very cool on the James Cook we've got 50 out of 99 that is going to the NFC East Jalen Tolbert on the silhouette nice Jalen Tolbert we've got this should be a random would be my guess because AFC East AFC North yeah this will be a random to these three divisions we've got Najee Harris Damien Harris and Josh Jacobs 3 out of 5 that is AFC East AFC North and AFC West got another random to do this is kind of nasty though we've got Drake London and Amon Ra St. Brown 2 out of 25 AFC South and I don't know NFC South and NFC North on the Amon Ra on the Drake London very cool still we've got a another Matt Corral booklet this time it is 3 out of 75 going to Mike with the NFC South grads Mike and then very nice way to end it AFC North how about George Pickens 50 out of 99 on the RPA heck of a hit right there congrats alright guys give me one second we're gonna do a random for these four we've got Drake London and Amon Ra dual we've got the triple Alabama the triple Ohio State and then we've got Filder Kovac so let me open up another random window here let's do the Buckeye's triple that is NFC East NFC South AFC West Alabama triple AFC East NFC North AFC West Trojan's dual it's gonna be NFC South and we've got the random to all is gonna be the Dracovec alright guys let me take you over the random screen here got four randoms to do first up it's gonna be this Ohio State Buckeye's triple between Ezekiel Elliott Michael Thomas and Joey Bosa so let me roll the dice this dice roll will go for every single one four and we're gonna go six times on each that is this one one two three four five and six that's gonna go to the NFC East NFC East with Zeke we got six times on the Alabama triple that is gonna be Damien Harris Najee Harris and Josh Jacobs two three four up that'll do it guys bottom 18 five and six that's going to the AFC East with what Damien Harris right yep got you Damien Harris we got the Trojans dual which is Drake London and Amon Ross St. Brown gonna go six times on that two three four five and six going to the NFC South with Mike and we got the Fildjer Kovec treasured moments auto he is still in college so random to everybody two three four five and six that's AFC South we'll be getting that you're Kovec AFC South all right guys do a quick recap on that now pretty firebreak I have to say actually we've got dual going to the NFC South that's going to the AFC East and the NFC East got Trey Lance NFC West Dalvin Cook NFC North Trevor Lawrence AFC South printing plate Trey Lance one-of-one going to the NFC South NFC South NFC West Isaiah Spillard AFC West we had booklets Vilish Jones going to the NFC North we had Bailey Zappi AFC East and Matt Corral going to the NFC South yeah yeah yeah we had pretty cool ones here that is Kenneth Walker 9 out of 10 with a jumbo bullpatch NFC West and then we had NFC South that's Matt Corral with part of the EB from Rebels Ole Miss and we had our Autos Fildjer Kovec that went to the AFC South we had George Pickens AFC North Jalen Tolbert NFC East James Cook AFC East or NFC East I'm Tolbert AFC East and the cook Alec Pierce AFC South Garrett Wilson AFC East Kyren Williams NFC West Trey McBride NFC West Drake London NFC South Clay Matthews NFC North Deandre Swift NFC North Trayvon Walker AFC South Derek Stingley Jr. AFC South Tyler Board AFC North Devonte Wyatt NFC North then we had hit of the almost probably at the night maybe how about a Malik Willis two of two Nike swoosh rookie silhouette signatures RPA going to AFC South that'll do it for the break guys thanks again next up we got I'm Matt Collegiate


Hi, I'm Owen Honey and you're watching Ready to Renovate with Builders and Private Property. We're renovating this apartment and it's looking fantastic, but we want to show you how you can modernize the look of the home by just changing the colors of the wall, putting a feature wall here and there and maybe adding some wallpaper. Let's take a look. The walls in our homes are backdrops to our lives as they not only define spaces but also allow us to play with the elements of creativity to bring them to life. The property came with rough plastered walls. We smoothed it out using RhinoLite. We also painted the property with the colors in the lookbook. It looks much more stylish, slick and modern. You can use color and features to create inviting living spaces. We've used Durham's I4Color Graton Granite in the lounge, dining room, passage and entrance hall. Using the same light color throughout opens up the small apartment creates a seamless flow from one room to the other. Using one paint color throughout the house can be much more cost-effective. This will also enable you to add a feature wall at the end there. And every renovation is likely to present some challenges or snags. Hi Amanda, Johnny, how's it going? Hi John, how are you? Good, good thanks. I just have a query on the wallpaper. I just want to find out should it be installed vertically or horizontally. If I look at the diagram that you see, it seems that it needs to go from left to right. I just want to make sure that is the case. The wood wallpaper in the lounge, that's great. Horizontally, perfect. We've got a bit of an issue this side but we'll resolve it. Thank you ma'am. Oh fabulous, thank you. The first time I walked into this apartment, the first thing I said that had to go were these walls. They had to be smoothed out to give it a more sleek and contemporary look. And I'm glad we did it. It also is very important if you want to put wallpaper up, otherwise you can't. The walls are not smooth. And then I chose a very calming grey, a light grey throughout the house to give it a more cohesive look. And I do like that outcome. There you can see it. And that's just one of the reasons why you need a professional. Well finding a professional contract is easy with the Get It Done app where you'll find a list of better contractors to get your renovation done. All the ready to renovate with Boulders and Private Property episodes are on the Boulders and Private Property websites and popular online channels on screen now. And you can invite your friends and family to get in on your renovation with Boulders GIF Registry app.