Hello friends, in the last two sessions we have studied about various forecasting methods, what is forecasting, what are the advantages and applications of forecasting, what are the various methods of forecasting. Further to the same, we will be going to study today, what is regression analysis and how it can be used for forecasting. At the end of this session, we will be able to apply and analyze linear regression as a tool for the forecasting and if the problem of the forecasting is given, we will be able to find out with the help of linear regression, what is the forecast for the future period. The overall content will be, we will first introduce what is regression is, simple linear regression, what are the assumptions in the linear regression, how to calculate coefficient of regressions. We will have a small example, a very simple small example of linear regression and finally, what are the references we have used. Regression analysis as you know is a statistical tool for investigating the relationship between a dependent variable and one or more independent variables. This is a forecasting model in which historical data is used to establish functional relationship between variables and then used to forecast dependent variable values. We have got the variables in the production area manufacturing area like sales versus the demand. We can have production capacity and sales. We can have a very simple example of a driving also, the rash driving versus accidents. So, we are generally classifying variables into two categories. One is dependent variable and independent variable. The data of independent variable is known and then we are finding out what is the value of dependent variable depending upon the statistical analysis of the historical data which we have. We are using this method for forecasting into mainly production area. It is an important tool for modeling and analyzing the data. We fit the curve or the line to data points in such a manner that the differences between the data points from the curve or the line is minimized. We have got a data point and we have got a curve or a line. Then we try to estimate the difference between the data point and the curve is be as minimum as possible. That is why it is also called as a least square method. What are the applications of regression analysis? Applications can be into any field. It can be into engineering to solve management problems, to solve biological problems, to find out solutions for physical and chemical sciences. It has got important applications in economics as well as into social sciences. Simple linear regression. Regression can be into simple or in multiple regression analysis. We are going to study simple regression analysis today. Simple linear regression model establishes a relationship between dependent variable y and one or more independent variables x using a best fit straight line also known as regression analysis. We all know y is equal to mx plus c, a very common equation which you have been studying from the high school days. The same equation is generally the linear regression model which we are using for the forecasting model. It is generally represented as y is equal to a plus bx plus e where y is the response variable. We want to find out the value of y. x is the regression variable, b is the slope of the straight line, e is the error of the variation and a is the intercept. You know y is equal to mx plus c. Now what can you think about when the slope of the line is more or when the slope of the line is less? What is the interpretation of the slope? The interpretation of the slope you can think and then try to give the answer of this. The answer is the greater is the magnitude of the slope, the steeper is the line. That means greater is the rate of the change. Rate of change is correlated with the slope. The more is the rate of change, the steeper will be the slope of the equation. We have got some basic assumptions in the linear regression. Some of the assumptions are the dependent and independent variable show a linear relationship between the slope and the intercept. This is a very fundamental and basic assumption that it follows a linearity. Two variables are following. Linearity we are not trying to find out any other type of equations. Nonlinear relations we are not studying over here. The dependent variable is not randomized. The value of the residual is 0. The value of the residual is constant across all observations. The value of the residual is not correlated across all observations. And the residual value follow a normal distribution curve. Once we say that normal distribution curve is followed, we can apply all the theory of statistics related to normal distribution for this particular equation. How to obtain a best fit line or how to find out value and A and B? The task can be easily accomplished by least a square method. It calculates the best fit line or the observed data by minimizing the sum of the squares of the vertical deviations from each data point to the line. Because the deviations are first squared, when added there is no cancelling out between positive and negative values. That is the difference between the data point and the line. When squared we will give the minimum value that is why this method is called as least a square. We are trying to find out the differences as many as possible. Linear regression will make this particular line with the minimum possible square that is least a square method. The coefficient of A and B can be calculated by following two equations. Where B is equal to N into bracket sigma xt dt minus into bracket sigma xt multiplied by sigma dt divided by N into sigma x square t minus sigma xt bracket square. This is the value of B and the value of A can be found out with a simple equation sigma dt minus B into sigma xt upon N where D is equal to A plus Bx and N is the number of periods that are available for the which the data we know already. We will try to solve the problem with a let us take a simple example. A paper box company makes carry out pizza boxes. The operation planning department knows that pizza sales of major client are function of advertising dollars the client spends. That means it is a function of advertisement. So sale will be proportional to the advertisement the company spending an account which they can receive in advance of the expenditure. Operation planning is interested in determining the relationship between client sale and advertisement. The amount of pizza boxes the client will order in dollar volume is known to be fixed percentage of sales. What is the meaning of this? The meaning of this is that a client is there and where there is a relation between the company spends on the advertising and the sales volume. So sales are correlated with the adverting expenses. For example in the first quarter the adverting expenses have been 4 lakhs and the sales have been 1 cr. In the second quarter the adverting expenses has gone up to higher level like 10 lakhs and the sales has jumped from 1 to 4 cr. Similarly if you look at the sixth quarter the advertisement has gone to 16 lakhs the advertisement has gone to 12 lakhs and the sale has remained as 4 lakhs. So the second column is indicating the advertising spent and the last column is indicating sales of the company in cr. Now what we have to find out is we have to calculate the sales forecast for the next quarter that is 11th quarter when in the 11th quarter the company is expected to spend around 11 lakhs rupees on the advertisement. Is the problem clear to you? That the data of 10 quarter is given to you the data of all advertisement of 10 quarter is available. Similarly the data for the actual sales is also available. Now the estimate for the 11th quarter for advertisement is 11 lakhs we have to estimate the sales forecast with the help of regression analysis. So that is the problem formulation. Let us try to solve this problem. We have made an excel sheet where quarter 1 to 10 the first column second column is obtained expenses as given in the data the third column sales as given in this the fourth and fifth column are xt square and xt dt the multiplication of these two and then finally you have summed up the data and then we have taken sigma of xt dt sigma of dt sigma of bracket xt square and sigma of xt dt all the values are required for the formula. Putting all these values into formula we are getting a solution the solution is like this the value of b is equal to 10 into bracket 328 minus 96 into 30 divided by 10 into 10 60 minus 96 divided square the value of b comes out to be 0.29 similarly the value of a comes out to be 0.22 hence the ft for the period is 0.22 into 0.29 xt and the value of xt we put into 11 finally we get 3.41 cr as the forecast for the 11th quarter. So given the data we will be able to estimate and we will be able to forecast with the help of regression analysis that expected sale in the 11th quarter will be 3.41 cr. So this is a very simple method we can find out the various values based on this similarly if I put xt as 12 we will be able to forecast the value for the 12th quarter also we can try this by putting xt is equal to 15 also we will have the practice and then we can find out try to correlate regression analysis and the forecasting okay thank you


It's a great honor to be here. It's my first time actually in Helsinki. And the topic I'm going to talk about is actually very much on China's role in global development. The world economy has changed dramatically fundamentally over the past 20 years. Since the late 1990s, there has been a transformation, a shift of power towards the rising powers. So China's economic and political influence in low-income developing countries has increased significantly in recent years. And it has already made major impacts on low-income countries through different channels. Those are perhaps the examples of the channels of influence of China on the other developing countries. So in terms of trade and also FDI, finance, development assistance, governance, migration, and also environmental impacts, so there are various channels of influence of China on the other developing countries, especially in Africa and Asia. We all know Chinese engagement in Africa perhaps right now is one of the most debatable topics and also one of the hottest topics in the world. Back to ideas, my students quite often ask me this question. When you look at Chinese outward FDI, Africa counts about less than 5% of China's total outward FDI. And Latin America is about 18% of China's total outward FDI. And then why China in Africa is such a big story and not China in Latin America? So that's what you have this to do with the global development agenda setting. So those are the interesting questions I hope we can discuss in the next 20 minutes. And also China has emerged with increased influence in global fora and international institutions. As most of you know, China has just hosted the G20 summit in Hangzhou three weeks ago. And one of the legacies of the Chinese presidency of the G20 is actually about, well, according to some scholars, this G20 summit is perhaps the most inclusive G20 summit in the history. Certainly, the Chinese government invited many developing country leaders as guests and also many consultations with the developing countries leaders, much more beyond the scope of the G20 countries. So with this increased influence in the global institutions and also its relative presence and influence in the poorest countries in Asia and Africa, the better dialogue and the mutual understanding is needed. So what other, but before I talk about China, I think it's important we have some knowledge about the background of global development. What are the main challenges of global economic governance and the global development? So the fundamental realities of today's globalizing world is definitely the growing interconnectedness in the domain of economics, but significantly also in political, social, and cultural spheres. And also with globalization, authority and power over developing policies negotiated between the various agencies, making it all more complex process to work through. Taking China in Africa as an example, it's not as simple as some people thought. It's all about oil and the natural resource. In fact, it's much more complicated than that because we are talking about more than 32 Chinese provinces and more than 54 African countries. So there are diversified actors and also the power over the developing policy and it's negotiated between the different levels. So another reality is of course the world is changing beyond the immediate consequences of the global financial crisis. The major shift is underway in power towards the developing world and the emerging economies. But for long while, the global markets and institutions could not solve the needs of people in developing countries. And the large emerging markets have responded by establishing new initiatives such as the BRICS, New Development Bank, the NDB, and also this Asia Infrastructure Development Bank and also other multilateral initiatives. Taking the AIB Bank as an example, it's not just simply an infrastructure investment bank. In fact, it's much more beyond that. To some extent, it will change the way of multilateral engagement. And also at the moment, China is promoting the use of its renminbi in a multi-currency international monetary system. So this is definitely a role in the global economic system, both for Bretton Woods institutions and the emerging countries. So how to make them work together more effectively? And there are lots of challenges, especially in terms of constraints to global growth and development, the issues of resource, the necessities, and global instability, and how this is to be managed. This is a fundamental challenge of global development. In fact, several years ago, Professor John Beddington, the former chief scientific advisor to the UK government, gave his perspective on the perfect, he called it the perfect storm of global events to describe the scarcity of the natural resource. As you can see, according to this graph, we are facing serious challenge in terms of the global resource. So what's the implication for development cooperation? Certainly global development has reached a critical turning point with the growing role of China and also other non-traditional donors. Many have asked the question, what's the future of development might look like? And whether a new post 2015 global partnership might be possible? So when we think about China, the key issues relating to China is, where does China as a growing power investor, consumer, and donor fit within the specific regional and global development regime? And what can we explain and understand by development as is understood and practiced within China? Those are all the key questions if you want to understand China's overseas investment and also its overseas activity. You need to understand what happened in China itself. So for example, in terms of the Chinese engagement in Africa, there are four key features distinguished that aid to Africa by traditional donors from Africa. First, the traditional donors very much impose policy reforms as the preconditions for its aid. While China do not impose policy conditions, but that's not completely true. In fact, China does have one condition, which is one China. This mainly was Taiwan's engagement with Africa. So one China is China's policy condition in Africa. And second, unlike traditional donors, China generally deliver aid to Africa through projects rather than general budget support. And thirdly, very importantly, the traditional donors increasingly provide more support to the social sectors. While China and also the other emerging powers like India and Brazil focus more on infrastructure and productive sectors, so which approach is better? Here, in fact, this question is quite meaningless if you do not consider the location and the development stage of the country. So very much depends on who you are and where you are. And fourth, while China linked aid to trade and also other commercial activities, traditional donors do not mix aid with commercial activities. Perhaps the only exception of OECD DAC is very much the South Korea. Its approach is quite in a way quite similar to China. So are we actually heading towards a new global economic order? We all know the Brighton Woods system, basically. To some extent, the Brighton Woods institution still reflect a US-dominated world economic order. The current system failed to deliver governance reforms. That's why the new emerging powers will continue to create their own institutions and their own frameworks of global economic governance and global governance, which could lead to fragmentation of the global economic system. So what's the way forward? Actually, my key point is there's a great deal of debate over the question of how to work with the emerging economies to include them in the existing systems of global governance and development cooperation. But in fact, we are asking the wrong question. We should really ask a different question here. The real question should be what lessons can the existing systems of global economic governance and development cooperation take from South-South cooperation in order to draw together more closely the process of North-South and South-South cooperation? So there's a need to have some common understanding of the principles of the partnership and also create a network supporting multilateral dialogue and the corporations at all levels, especially at this era of one-by-one crisis. So let me end by using traditional Chinese saying. 既不可失,失不再来 means the opportunity knocks at but once. So we must make the most of it. I think we now live in the best time of the multilateral engagement and also the global development. So we must take the opportunity and to help to shape the new global economic order. Thank you. Thank you very much.


Hello everyone and welcome to another episode of Code Emporium where we are going to play some bingo. I have 50 prizes that I want to give you, the audience. Not really, no, it's just for the sake of the video. And so I decide to do it with a game of bingo. But how do I set up this game so that I only have 50 winners? And that's how we're going to use Monte Carlo simulations to figure that out. And so in this video we're going to describe how bingo works, what are things that we need to look out for, like parameters and assumptions, and then actually code simulations out. So with bingo everybody gets a card that kind of looks like this a five cross five grid with numbers arranged from like one to 90. They're non repeating. And there'll be this teller that basically picks up random numbers, probably like some fixed number of them, like five or 10 numbers, and we'll start calling them out. And as the numbers are called out, you just need to put your markers on the numbers that you have that are being called out. And after all the numbers have been called, we're going to see if you have a five in a row or five in a column or five on a diagonal, then you win the game. If you not, then well, you're not a winner. And unfortunately, you get nothing. But when playing this game right now, there are a couple of assumptions and parameters that we need to know. And the first is how many players are playing the game, then how many calls are we actually making during the game that is during the game. There's the teller and how many numbers are they calling out. Then we have the fact or rather assumption that when you're making calls, all of these numbers are generated randomly between one through 90, just an assumption that we're making. And it seems to be a pretty safe assumption to now that we got that out of the way, let's generate some data. So first, this is how we would like generate the board. So this here is an example bingo board of a five cross five grid. This could be for like one player and I'm randomly generating calls. So these are the numbers that are called throughout the game. Now for this board, if these calls were made, this Boolean matrix would represent the like how the board would be filled up. So essentially it's saying, okay, 81 over here is true, which means that it was called out to and that is the case here. It's present here. Same with this number right here, which is 58, which was indeed called out to.  Now, once these 20 calls are made, you have to kind of determine if this person has one or not, right? And for that, well, we just need to see if they we just need to check all the rows, which we do here, we need to check all the columns, and then we need to check both diagonals. If at least one of them has a five or like all five of them are true, then the player is one. In this case, this player only has a maximum score of three, which I think is along this diagonal right here, true, true, true, false, false. But this is an example of a player or a board which has not won the game even after 20 calls. But again, this is for a single player. And what we're going to be assuming when we're actually running a simulation is like, let's say that they're 500 players and we make the same 20 calls. And let's say that we're running 500 simulations. A simulation is essentially just a run of the entire game, like a world of possibilities what of what can happen. So this is one simulation is one world. So in one simulation, we will generate like the five cross five grid, we will hand out bingo cards to all 500 players, we are going to make a random call of 20 numbers. And then we are going to determine the winners for that. So let's say that there's like 50 people that win this one, for example, well, that's for one simulation. And we want to run this simulation, we want to run like this another 499 simulations, and then average it all out average our winning average the number of winners throughout with averages, we get a more consistent, realistic number of what you can potentially expect. And that's kind of the gist of like what we're doing entirely here, right? So in this case, I'm running 500 simulations with like 500 players and 20 and doing 20 calls. And if you actually look at how the win percentages, we're computing win percentages, by the way, we can compute number of winners, of course. But you know, if you want to increase the number of players to instead of 500, make it 1000 win percentages just become easier to deal with for this particular simulation or range of simulations, you could see how like over time, the, you know, in the beginning, it's a little, it's a little spiky, the total, you know, mean percentage of people that have won. But then after like the 250th simulation, it kind of flattens out, which means that on average, you can kind of take this to be the case that's like 1.01% or somewhere between one and 1.1% of the people win, right? And that's kind of what we see here. So win percentage after 500 simulations is 1.01%, which means like five winners since we have like 500 people playing. But I have 45 more prizes to give out and well, we can do better than this. We can probably extend the game a little bit, try to see what we can change. Now, the main parameters that we mentioned here are, what are they? They are the number of players playing and also the number of calls that we're making. Well, typically that you can't just increase the number of players. So it's not so easy just to get like 500, we can get 5,000. So instead, what we can do is we can try to increase the number of calls that are made during the game. And this could hopefully help increase the number of prizes and number of winners in the game. Let's see how sensitive it is to calls. And I have this title called sensitivity over here. So let's vary the number of calls and see how the win percentages shake out. So in this case, for every single simulation, I'm basically generating boards for all players. I'm going to generate 50 though, like 50 calls, not just 20. And then I'm only going to use like the first five, the first 10, the first 15, the first 20 and so on in order to determine the winners for each case. So for every run, we're going to have like 5, 10, 15, 20, 25 calls and for each of those, we're going to determine the number of winners or the percentage of winners. And so what we can do with that information is create a graph that looks like this, where you see if we had made 20 calls, we see that 1% of people win, which is kind of what we simulated, you know, initially. But if we had made 25 calls, you can see that that number goes from like 1% to 5%. If we make 30 calls, it's almost a 10 times increase over, you know, if we had made 20 calls. So just adding like calling more numbers throughout the game, dramatically or almost exponentially like increases the number of people who win the game. And so just increasing the number of calls is probably the best thing that we can do here. Like we can make statements like if we made 30 calls instead of 20 calls, the number of winners increased by over 8 to 9%. And so if we had made 30 calls, the number of winners would have been around 54, which is kind of around what number of prizes that I wanted to give out. So if I was playing a game of bingo and there's 500 of you actually playing, and I'm the one hosting the game, I could expect 54 people would win the game if I call out 30 numbers. And well, that actually helps a lot, right? So I would say this is the main chunk of the code pretty small, pretty simple to follow. Now, I would say as an exercise, why don't you try varying the number of players and seeing how the win percentage changes. So instead of 500 players, try to make it 1000 or try to make it 2000. And let me know what you see. It's pretty interesting what you see there too. Also vary the number of calls to see how the win percentage has changed.  The problem here of using more simulations is that, you know, it can take a really long time. So you want to try to use, try to perform as many simulations as possible, take the average of that so that it becomes as accurate as possible. But if you, but trying to do too many simulations, because it just won't finish. And so that's kind of the gist of what I have today. So in conclusion, these are, by the way, Monte Carlo simulations. It's a really nice way to make approximations through trials that is through simulations, and we can apply it to almost like any other fields. Like if you, if you think that it's easier to just run simulations and just get like different scenarios of the real world and aggregate them, Monte Carlo simulations will do the job for you. And that's all I have today. So thank you all so much for watching this quick video. Please do subscribe. Please join the discord. There is so much more that we are talking about on the discord server. So it'd be lovely if you would join as well. And we can talk more about bingo there. That's all from me and I will see you in the next video. Bye bye.


Everybody forced here up in 2023 definitive baseball hobby three box case number four pick your team's style Anthony S with the Dodgers Anton H Rockies Austin F White Sox Blake S twins Christopher S. Guardians David O. Astros Derek R. Orioles Edward P. Brewers Eric W. Reds Evan L. Tigers Gregory M. Red Sox and Mariners Howard Z. A's A's What was the name that Sam used big baby has the rays James J. With the Royals John a angels and Yankees Jorge G. Marlins Joshua B. Padres and Giants Joshua are nationals Kevin C. Cubs Christian M. Diamondbacks Matt P. Blue Jays Mike a Braves Natalie M. Rangers Nick a with the Mets Paul B. Phillies Steve H. Cardinals and Theodore with the Pirates. Good luck everybody Here we go. Exactly Jake Scottie. Don't The shoesting begins You see lots of powers, right? Yeah, you know a gold member. Yeah, I don't remember like the whole movie But I remember the movie part at the end where there's like the shoesting begins and it started like shooting guns I know I remember that I don't know I gotta rewatch it all Breaks have been full for a little while now Breaks for tomorrow Wednesday Vicki Vicki Spaja cut time will be cool.  I think it'd be just Padres or San Diego or something. Oh, well, it's awesome Yeah, you put them all together. It's gonna make that entire patch I don't think it's it's definitely it's definitely not the nameplate. It's too big to be the nameplate. I think I Think it's the Padres or San Diego or whatever. Either way sick. That's going in a mag We got rookie auto Alec Burleson out of 25 for the Cardinals Got a Joshua Ichiro Jersey auto Seattle one of 40 That's Greg with an Ichiro Jersey auto then there'd only be like 10 patches in products. I have no patch cards. That's pretty sick Nolan Gorman rookie auto number 11 It's 25 on the definitive auto collection card Cardinals the second hit in the box. That's gorgeous Framed auto Pete Alonzo Two of ten for the Mets good start for this break Nick a with the Mets Gold frame patch auto Get that one Magged Polar Pete's Love this one dual autograph Dustin Padrella Jason Veratec There we go. Padrella and tech dual auto 19 of 35 Red Sox again here Jersey card David Ortiz seven of 40 nice back-to-back for Greg with the Red Sox and a helmets relic of Jose Ramirez 14 to 50 Cleveland dummy thick card here helmet relic Jram Christopher S. Right good first box That's pretty sick Cardinals again now Jersey auto Yadir Molina the 25 Yadi Molina Cardinals doing really well here. That's Steve H the Cardinals Rookie auto Corbin Carroll 30 of 50 diamond backs They were one of the last teams taken to Christian M Carroll rookie base auto to 50. Yes Yes tough pull right there Tough pull next up Sick one to Jersey autograph the Ryan expressed the 40 for Houston Nolan Ryan Jersey auto Houston to 40 Dennis accuracy auto to 25 for Oakland Houston's David. Oh Oakland Is a Howard Z? That's sick to a framed patch auto numbered one of 30 Kyle Tucker David. Oh Houston again after that is the finding images auto Kansas City of bow Jackson He knows he knows James Joe you always hear bow knows, but what does he know? He just knows all right That's good applause When you're sleeping when you're awake Oh, no matter good got a patch card to 15 of Justin Verlander Verlander for Houston again Houston box so far man and one of one cut signature red roughing Red roughing for the New York Yankees I don't know who that is every go cut signature making the same time of uh, I played a long time ago Here give you the low down Uh played from 24 to 40 to 47. Yeah Yeah There it is cut auto Yankees played for the red Sox the Yankees And one year with the white Sox Got played for a long time Sure the military two and 43 and 44 Pretty cool pretty cool Passed away in 1986 That's a cool one right there Last one pretty good case here Nice one Braves jumbo Jersey auto Matt Olson to 50 Jersey auto Yankees to 50 Matt Olson. Yeah, I was there for the 20s obviously so he uh Won some won quite a few world series of the Yankees rookie card auto Ezekiel Tobar to 50 Colorado They were also one of the last teams taken going to Um Anton at relic auto number to 10 is Carlton Fisk Fisk as a red sock Greg again with boston Greg's Yankees fan, but he know he knows value. He knows value RPA brewers Garrett Mitchell number to 50 Sweet one Milwaukee Edward P He's got such a nice signature Like super nice very clean and consistent on his signature Mets again great break for the Mets framed auto david right number two Uh 30 David right to 30 Oh man dual auto redemption dual auto relic of miguel cabrera and upper poo holes Nice tigers cardinals Evan L tigers Cardinals is steve h. We're gonna have to random that one in a moment here We'll give out some bad beats whoever doesn't get that one Yeah, I'm glad you do too. Greg makes you a lot cooler We'll have to random this one right at the end here. I'll give out some bad beat for that And that's because that's a pretty sick card Two of the best probably maybe the two best hitters of the 2000s Jersey card for for the jays the 40 josep barrios like how the red matches up with the put the photo there Yeah, that's that's a thin sleeve Do it again Not again and jersey ozzie albie zeta 34 atlanta. Okay. All right best of luck. I'll do uh Blue $20 bad beat credits whoever doesn't get this one group rate credit out of your account after this Tigers cardinals dual auto relic Of miggy and pools Good luck We'll go seven times Or whoever's up top gets it one two three four five six and seven the cardinals get the Card so tigers. I'm gonna add 20 bucks bad bad bad beat break credit to your account after this uh recap here Congrats cardinals All right. Nice case. Nice case All right relics uh barrios albies verlander nice number verlander patch there Ortiz autos of matt olson Carlton fisk as a red sock david right framed auto garret mitchell rpa Uh, you've got ezekiel tovar Kyle tucker on the patch auto frames Nolan ryan bow jackson Dennis eckersley yaddy armolina padroia and tech Nolan gorman alec burleson that is a Helmet of jram out of 50 red roughing cut auto for the yankees one of one red roughing cut auto yanks Corbin carol rookie auto 250 for the diamond backs Framed patch auto pita lanzo two of ten for the mets jersey auto mariners avicero out of 40 And ultra patch auto three of 12 mani machado padres That is gonna do it. Uh, thanks again, everybody moving on now to more definitive


Compare it to the end of the video today. I got incredible news earlier today. De-strawing hit me up on Instagram, and I know he's usually in Florida. He's like, hey dude, I'm in LA this weekend. Let's finally kick. I was like, yes, thank you so much. Let's do it. Kind of a chilly day here, though. I'm so pumped. We're meeting him at the field right now. All right, Luna, goodbye. I love you. Goodbye. He's gonna be a banger. He's gonna be a banger, Loda. Maybe I bring the Kenny Galladay cleats. This dude's foot has figured my head. Yeah, no, I'm not doing that. Hi, silly. No, don't bite me. Don't bite me. Don't. Don't do it. No. Hey, don't do that. Should have all the gear from last time.  I'm pumped about that. All right, let's get it. I'm not exactly sure we're gonna break the videos up. I wanna get at least two videos out of this, which would be dope, but they had the dopest idea, which was to play horse, but with kicking. I'm sure he's done it on his channel before, but I've never heard of or seen anything like that, so we're definitely gonna be doing a lot of that, so I'm really excited. Just got here.  I'll be hitting some bombs. F***. F*** it. Oh my f***, God. All right, so this is holding our camera. One of his friends was a big fan, so we sent him a snapchat and that was his response. Oh, and someone was out here practicing because they got the tackle dummies set up. Can I hurdle over this? Oh, please. I bet you I can do it on my hand, actually. Hey, dude, I think I lost my little... My little hand cap. Yeah, actually, I'm gonna have to kick like a legitimate college slash NFL kicker to the... All right, listen, I really do want to apologize.   I cannot hear anything I'm saying. Let me give you a quick synopsis of what happens in this clip. So these two kids walk up, and I assume they were subscribers until the blonde one goes, yo, are you that guy on TikTok? I'm not that guy! What do you mean I'm not that guy on TikTok? I'm not on TikTok. I have like 10 TikToks. Either way, he really wanted to follow on Instagram, which made no sense because he didn't know who I was. I told him I'd follow him if he made a kick and this was the result. So he didn't get a follow. Clout rejected.  Who? He played at, you know, destroying? Oh, wait, he's coming. Adam, destroying is coming here. Destroying is coming here. That's who I'm kicking with today. Is he coming soon? He'll be here in like 10 minutes. Just don't fanboy out. You gotta be cool about it. Subscribe to me. Subscribe to me, bro. My life is over. Without my tea, I'm kind of useless, but I bet you like right now with this much wind, we're on the 40. With all the wind, I think it is. I didn't count really. This wind is really cool. It's in the booth like. Yeah, destroying rolled up. It was a blast. Sorry, again, I literally can't use this audio because it's just. We hugged, got along great.  I then noticed that he was doing a bang energy sponsor and selling out us all that I know. Code DEE25 at checkout, you know the deal. And then we started kicking. I'm going to get really creative with this editing though. So I will be better next time. I promise. Oh, there's a horse, genius idea. You guys know the real, this is really a basketball horse. You don't know the rules. I don't know what to tell you. But with the kicking, it's awesome. All right, let's get it. Best two out of three. Best two out of three. You're going on shoot, right? Yep. Rock, paper, scissors. Rock, paper, scissors. Shoot. Y'all the best one. No, it's the best one. It's the best one. Damn it. No, that's just one. We still got one more. It all comes down to this. Rock, paper, scissors, shoot. Rock, paper, scissors, shoot. I'm so excited. I know what you're doing next. Rock, paper, scissors, shoot. Do it. My brain said paper, so you're super angry right now. He's got the wind. He's got a can. Poe in the comments. I just wanted Poe, and I'm just going to sit on that. I'm going to get no more of that. I think they're going to pull over. Good to meet you guys. Nice to meet you, dear. Put these here so we don't use them.  That's a good shot, too. That's tough. He got a finger on my kick, but hey, it's good, baby. That's the rules of horse. Until you miss, I don't get it. The last two, I feel really good, actually. I got the nerves out of my system. I was kind of like, fuck, I'm actually doing this video. I kind of shake the first one. The second one's pretty good now. I'm in rhythm right now. Depends on what you do next. I just want 60. Are you in rhythm enough for a 60 piece? I think that last one was 60. It would have been good for 60. But that's how kicking is, though. Wait, I might hit a 60 without the tee, then. That should be my TikTok. First in his house. The NFL game, you watch it before they're gearing up? It's on the form, bro. It's like golfing.  Kicking's basically an equivalent of golfing, but just with your feet. So now there's multiple hordes in the house. Not just one. It's multiple hordes. That's what we like, though. That's a good thing. I'm still hanging on. I could pull off the reverse. I don't know. Atlanta Falcons? If you pull off the reverse, I'm going to retire. I'll let you pick the last one. Oh, wait, so that I don't get out yet. Okay, I got a kid. So I actually get to pick a spot here, even though I'm technically not sure. Clear this, boy. Should I add some trickery to it?  You're going to have more than just jumping over this? Babe?  If you make me kick it lefty, it'll be so bad. It was fine. It was not a good time. It was a really good competition, bro. I don't know if I'd call it a competition. I just kept looking sweat.  It was an actual sweat.  I'll call long until the league. That's the question. Which room are we going to leave? Is that your thing, yet? These kicks are actually perfect, though. They look good. They're technically they're perfect. Say what you trying to do?  I bet, if they, I think a lot of them will catch half of the better.  And it's cold, but you get the idea.  I got you. You should do it, bro. You should do it, bro. He started it. When the quarterback throws a bad ball, no flies, oh, baby. That's video, thanks for watching, boys. We'll get you more in the future. Peace out.


So when I first walked out the theater, there was this woman in front of me. She was like, I hated it. It was horrible. It sucked. I walked up to her and I was like, why? It was just random and all over the place. I said, it's a Spike Lee movie. What do you expect? I'm Brandon Keith Avery and this is just my opinion. So Spike Lee is back as the writer and director for Shirec. Just talking about the characters, there's a ton of people in this film that you know. Samuel Jackson, he did a great job. He does a great job in everything he does. He had a bunch of loud suits and was more of the narrator of the film and I liked his role in the film. So Samuel Jackson did a great job. Westie Snipes did a great job. Of course, Angela Bassett did a great job. Even John Cusack did a great job. Tanonha Perez did a great job too. She was last in Dear White People and I really didn't care for that movie, but she was one of the driving forces in Shirec. Her character's name was LaCistra. LaCistra's character just like, look, I am the girlfriend of one of the biggest gangsters out there. I'm going to have to start this movement. If I want all this violence to stop, I'm not going to give them any. And it spoke volumes. I mean, I really did like that. I don't care how silly you think it is.   And just on my personal taste, the natural hair that she was rocking in this film. Oh my gosh. She looked beautiful. But hey, that's just me. But I did really love her natural hair. And the film is not only title Shirec. Shirec is the name of Nick Cannon's character. And I have to be honest when I say this, I am a Nick Cannon fan, but he did absolutely horrible in this film. He was atrocious.  As soon as he popped onto the screen trying to do a thing, I was like, oh my God, stop, cut. We need to get another actor in there because he is not doing a great job at all trying to portray some thugged out gangster.  Now, what was surprising was Jennifer Hudson was in this film too. But she did a horrible job acting as well. I mean, I don't understand. I mean, she can act. She did a great job in Dream Girls. She did a great job in all the other films that she was in. I don't understand what happened. There was a few nice cameos in the movie. I don't want to ruin them for you here. You have to see it for yourself. But one gentleman in particular, I was like, whoa, man, I haven't seen you in like a decade. And the short time that he was on screen, I liked it. He made me laugh. He was very funny. Now, what I also liked about the film was the poetic nature in the dialogue. It was very different. I haven't really seen anything like that before. I don't want to call this film a musical. I'm not a real fan of musicals or stage plays. I've seen musicals before and I've gone to stage plays. And one thing in stage plays I just don't really like is how they're having dialogue and they just bust out into song. Yes, this film did have that throughout in different points, but it wasn't all over the place, all in your face.  And I really did enjoy that. Now I want to take a step back addressing Nick Cannon. Yes, his acting was absolutely horrible. It was probably one of the worst performances I've seen all year. But when I started to think about it, I wouldn't be surprised if Spike Lee told Nick Cannon, I want you to act bad on purpose because that's going to make the film much better. And you're probably saying, Brandon, what are you talking about? Why would the director want one of his main actors in the film to act bad? And that goes with the message that the film is trying to convey.  And if you think about it, there are a lot of people out there in these gangs, organized gangs or whatever you want to call it. And they just are blind lords to the streets and just follow a cause that doesn't cause anything but tyranny and death and sad and pain and crying eyes. And so what the film did, which really I liked is they had all the characters over exaggerate.   Some of the actors and actresses did a great job. Some did not with that being Nick Cannon.      And I think it worked. I mean, I've never seen the film where bad acting actually could have made the film better. And people with this mindset that they just want to go out and kill, kill, kill for no reason.  Take Wesley Snipes for an interest. His character's name was Cyclops. He's like 50, 60 years old, black as hell, walking around with an eye patch that has rare sparkly glitter on it.  And the way he acted in this role, I mean, it was great. I mean, everybody was over exaggerating. Everybody was looking ridiculous in their role trying to portray like guys look, this is how you really look out there trying to be loyal to the streets. And it's just ruining the black community and it just needs to stop. So the message is great. I really did love that. It was like, look, we need to put the guns down and stop all this violence and come together for the greater good. I really do. I appreciate that. I really do like it. I mean, they did a great job there. And about the overall message, Spike Lee did a great job at telling it to you in a funny way and in a serious way. And this film, it shoves it in your face, but at least it tastes good. It's a nice message that just goes down smoothly. And I ate it all up. I mean, I loved it. Now, this film is not perfect to say the least. There are some things that feel flat on his face, especially the bad acting from Jennifer Hudson and Nick Cannon. But overall, it was a great film that I really enjoyed and I really recommend it. If I would have to rate this film out of one out of 10, I would give it an eight out of 10. But guys, that is just my opinion. Have you seen it? Do you want to see it? Have I turned you off? Have I turned you on? Do you agree with me or do you disagree with me? Let me know in the comment section below. Let's get this conversation going and keep it flowing. If you liked this video, go ahead and give me the thumbs up. And if you didn't like this video, that's fine. Just leave me a comment in the comment section below, letting me know why. And still give me the thumbs up. Since you're watching this on YouTube, go ahead and subscribe to the YouTube channel to become one of my subscribers and get all the content that I have in the past and in the future. And if you would like a written review of this or any of the other films I've covered in the past, head over to the site. You can find it at www.justmyappian.net. And if you would like to find the official Facebook page, you can go to facebook.com slash Just My Opinion. And if you're into social media, which I'm sure you are, you can find me at Instagram and Twitter at Just My Opinion 84. So guys, thank you for tuning in. Give me that thumbs up. Leave a comment. Subscribe to the channel. Head over to the website. Find me on Instagram, Facebook, Twitter, all that good stuff. And share the video. And guys, before you go, don't forget that my name is Brandon Keith Avery. And that's just my opinion. Peace.


पच्द, आज्चद आए दखेच आस रवचाद, उसलग शम्द्से अप आगा को आध आद अनिए आद, इसबोग्रेज आव आप आज्चचाद, इस वो वे इस अच्टीभ आगा मचदा, आप आप आध आईगा अप आप आद सोन ब रब आत आप आद आप आद. ना मुम्किन, अब मुम्किन है, it was said that making a clean India was impossible but people of India are making it possible, it was said that corruption-free government in India was impossible but people of India have made it possible, it was said that it is impossible to remove corruption from the process of giving people the due but people of India are making it possible, it was said that it is impossible for the poor world to leverage the power of technology but the people of India are making it possible, it was said that removing discrimination and arbitration in policy making was impossible but people of India are making it possible. it was said that economic reforms in India were impossible but people of India are making it possible, it was said that governments cannot be pro-growth and pro-privileged at the same time but the people of India are making it possible. I have also been told that there is a perception or theory that a developing economy cannot grow at higher rate for a longer period without facing the problem of inflation. post liberalization that is after 1991 almost all governments form in our country had to face this problem what many experts call over heating of economy after a short period of growth. as a result of this we never had sustainable higher rate of growth you may recall that we had a government between 1991 and 1996 where the average growth was about 5% but the average inflation was more than 10%. the government just before us between 2009 and 2014 had an average growth of about 6.5% with an average inflation again in double digits. France well I am not a economist I am talking about the previous government. France during 2014 to 2019 the country would register average growth of 7.4% and the average inflation would be less than 4.5%. post liberalization of Indian economy this will be the highest rate of average growth and lowest rate of average inflation witness during the period of any government with this changes and reforms. transformation is happening in the way our economy has moved. the Indian economy has expanded the bouquet of its financing resources it is no more dependent on bank credit for investment needs.


placebo control. Placebos. So placebo gets a sugar pill. It doesn't have to be a sugar pill. It can be any type of, I don't know, it's hard to say. I'm going to read this. No, I don't like that either. So placebo control, we're going to do something to prevent the subject from knowing what condition they're in by giving them something, right? So Brad told me he was giving me alcohol this morning. He was told me he was giving me vodka. So I don't know if I believe him or not, but I drank a lot of it. So it's kind of a placebo control, not really, right? So he actually gave me water. So if he flavored this to make it taste a little bit like vodka, then that would be like a placebo. So okay, we're going to find out what the effect of vodka really is by giving someone something that's similar to vodka and giving them vodka, right? So in another condition. So then we can make that comparison. The idea is, is that if we give them the placebo, then we are creating the expectancy effect. If you do not give the placebo, then you're not getting the expectancy effect. And when you do the intervention, so with the vodka, you will get an expectancy effect that goes along with it. So we want to neutralize that expectancy effect by giving a placebo control. There's lots of ways you can do this. So we can talk for days or not.


ill also be potentially housing and multifamily housing similar to this. So I don't see a large development like it's necessarily sticking out and being atypical. And so I think that going along with your use of the space, I'm troubled a little bit with the circulation and also with the outdoor space and amenities that are provided to all of these units. I did have the question about the entrance, ingress if this is what we have to work with with the entrance on Hoenn, that's what we have to work with. But I'd want to just look as creatively as possible at outdoor spaces and outdoor amenities that you can do. If you're encouraging families to be here, there's a great point brought up about a lack of any play space or any child space here. There's going to be families. There's one bedrooms, but there's also multi, the four or three bedrooms and the four bedrooms. There will be families here and with that are kids. So we need to have places where you don't have to walk necessarily many, many blocks, a place where something can happen there. And so I know that yeah, it's a constraint of the same. But mainly my comments are, I encourage you to think creatively about how you can bring interest and amenity to what you're already providing here. And I know with the team that you have, you've got some great creative minds. And so I do look forward to what you bring back to us. And thank you for bringing us a really thorough concept review package. And I do thank you. As I've been talking, you've been rolling through your explanations of your design choices. And it really did a good job in explaining your design thinking. So continue. And I look forward to seeing this when it comes back. Thanks very much. Thanks, Adam. So we'll go to John for his comments. Thank you, Drew. I'm generally supportive of the project. And I endorse the comments of my colleagues. And one of the things that for multifamily residential, one of the goals is to develop multiple family housing that encourages residents to take pride and a sense of ownership in their neighborhood. I'm not sure at this point that the design does that. And so I'm encouraging you to be creative in terms of how you're looking at the exterior, the issues with respect to the trash collection, those kinds of issues I think are problematic and something that you need to pay a little bit of attention to. I also, the public comment regarding their children here, but yet we don't see any play areas, that sort of thing. And so I would encourage you to do where you can incorporate that into your design. There are positive aspects to what you've done. And I don't want to discount those. But I am concerned that to me, as I said before, it just looks too industrial. And I don't know that that would be something that residents would take pride in and a sense of ownership. So the other thing I wanted, and perhaps I should have asked this before, but is there going to be a manager in this complex or how's that all going to work? And I'm sorry, I should have asked that before, but I forgot. No, I'd say it's all good, John. So if someone from the applicant team could mention, is there a onsite manager? Or yeah, I'll respond that there will be an onsite manager out yet. Yeah, our intention is to have an onsite manager of the property. Okay, thank you. Those could put my comments. Thanks, John. Appreciate you. So I guess I have a different take on this maybe, or maybe the same. I would agree with everything that's been made. But and I agree that Charles Rennie McIntosh is a modernist architecture master and all the art that he did and arts and crafts stuff that he did. But I would actually, I would say that the Hill House is like not his best work. And it's perhaps not the best building typology to use. And also I would say the thing that the applicant didn't convey perhaps is the Hill House actually has like some curved elements on other sides of it. And it's not just rectilinear. So there's a curved bay window on one side. And there's a, I think there's a kind of a unique element on another side of the Hill House there by and it's in Scotland because he was the Scottish master of arts and crafts. But don't get me wrong. I love McIntosh, but I don't think it's necessarily the right inspiration for California when we have say Irving Gill or James Osborne Craig or Mary McLaughlin Craig for all that they did in White Stucco in San Diego in Santa Barbara. And I mean, if that's the type of flavor that you're going for with White Stucco, which can be absolutely stunning and beautiful from a sense of Spanish, you know, kind of a Spanish Renaissance Spanish business style revival. I mean, when I initially saw this, I thought, oh, well, that could be an interesting take on how the elevations are handled and how the, you know, the materials are applied because they started to see some of the components of that coming together. I think some of the balconies with the what appears to be wood kind of on the interior of the muse start to evoke that sense of type of architecture. And so when I saw the gables and then the discussion of the Hill House, it I kind of got smacked across the face like, wait, what? We're taking two different architectural tiles and kind of smoosh them together. And so I really, I think you guys would be better served to eliminate every single gable roof on this project. Go flat roof, bring everything down with scale, because I think what we're hearing from the public is that this building's too big. And so what's happening is you have these gables and they're huge and they're creating additional height to the building that you don't necessarily need. So I think, you know, looking at some Irving Gill's work in particular, with some of the beautiful stucco that he did, a lot of flat roofs, a lot of parapets. And that's why I ask questions about HVAC equipment, because I think the design as it stands right now, you're going to run into a brick wall with how to heat and cool all these units in such because there's so many of them. I think there's a constructability issue with how to heat and cool them. And I think going with flat roof solves a couple of problems. It solves a public comment problem that everybody thinks these buildings are too big, which they very well may be. So if you can bring the scale down, that certainly helps. But then it also solves a functional problem with where you put all your HVAC equipment. Sorry, my children are babbling in the background. So to that end about the architectural style, I have a real issue with the metal laser cut panels. And don't get me wrong, I love laser cut panels that we're using them on some projects we use. We've used Moz metal, we've used Bach modern, we've used Paris au lait. They're really cool, functional, awesome material, but they do not fit in this aesthetic. And so I think a different solution to the security component is needs to be addressed. And you could do a panel of some type, but I think it needs to fit within the architectural style that you're trying to achieve.  But then it's also got this Scottish modernism kind of stuck on the ends. And it's not cohesive to me in terms of how this might work. And so I think you just need to abandon the gable scenario. And I think that will solve a lot of the issues that we're hearing from the public. Let me see here. So I have a big issue with the Muse. I think it's going to be bathed in shade and darkness all the time. So I'm wondering how to fix that. And is it to reduce the size of building D that allows more light in there? I mean, you're going to get morning light and you're going to get after evening light. And that's about it.  So I don't think anything's going to grow in there. And I think so that to Sheila's plan, I think we really need to see a shadow study to see what's going on. But I don't think it's going to work. So I think you guys really need to re-evaluate that and how that operates. I love the idea. I love how the buildings do interact with one another, but I'm not sure it's the right orientation to make that happen. It would be better for the north-south, right? Because then it's going to be lit all the time, except for in the morning and in the evening. And so it would benefit, you know, the shade trees would benefit in there. You know, the dry creek bed would change how shadows are hitting it. You know, the frost would change throughout the, you know, what there's due in the morning and how that's in the dry creek bed. That would change as it warms up and cools and whatnot. So I just don't know about that. I'm really, really, really concerned about the egress kind of this parcel, the fact that there's only one point at the egress. And it's so close to holling, too. I mean, it's like right on the right-hand turn lane. Basically, when the right-hand turn lane starts to happen on holling, the bike lane kind of ends and merges up. I mean, this egress is like right there. And so I'm really, I have significant concerns about that working functionally from a traffic perspective, given the amount of units that are in here. I don't know about the lack of parking. I know there's a lot of great research about parking right now in terms of different unit sizes and different unit types and locations close to transit. I don't think we have that same scenario here. I know we just saw a bunch of projects that were right next to the smart station that are next to bus stations that are kind of connected that way. I don't think this project is connected in a similar way. And so I think the residents that are around the parcel are probably roughly very concerned because this is a parcel that is not easily accessible via transit, at least as I would think. And I may be missing a bus station here or two. I don't know. But I think that's going to be a potential problem. I mean, I am certainly sympathetic to the fact that you need to make 50 units work to make it kind of pencil out. But I would seriously consider looking into this a little bit deeper and to see if that's really the density that makes the most sense given what we know about, given what we know about access to transit and how access to transit does in fact reduce parking capacity because people are utilizing different things like biking, buses, you know, those sorts of things. Yeah. But that's the only bus stop, right? There's one bus stop. It's not like it's a transit-oriented district where there is no parking. And people are looking to move there because they don't want a car. I mean, this is, I think, something entirely different from that perspective. I'm super concerned about the planting question about the survivability of plantings and kind of eight feet. I know Adam didn't really speak to it too much, but I have concerns. I think some relief, I think, from adjacent parcels is probably what's needed. And so that planting strip maybe needs to get bigger to accommodate that relief, to let this be not a professional building, let this, because it's surrounded by professional buildings, right? It's not surrounded by residential. And so it doesn't have a very great, it doesn't have a very good buffer between the alternate uses around it. So there's, I think there's a connectivity issue in how this relates to the adjacent parcels that needs to be thought out a little bit more. And it's one sec. I got children. One second. This is what happens when you have elementary school aged children that are getting ready for bed. So I apologize. Adam knows, I think, he's got an elementary age kid. And I guess my last comment to, or second to last comment, penultimate comment. There's a lack of foresighted architecture to all of these buildings. And I think Sheila was starting to allude to that. So for example, building A is the east elevation is a very engaging elevation, right? It's got pushes. It's got poles. It's got different materials. It's got balconies. It's got open balconies. It's got metal. It's got stucco. It's got garage doors. I mean, there's a lot going on there, but it's very ordered and organized and very clear kind of what's happening. It's a very complete elevation. But then we go and we look at the west elevation of that same exact building, and it is completely flat, right? There's no relief to it whatsoever. And so my question about the depth of the wall really has to do with kind of if you're using a material like cement plaster, that you're actually allowing for depth of the cavity of the overall width of the wall, right? So to meet energy code right now, if you're using stucco or efis, it doesn't matter. If you're using a two by six wood stud, you've got to put continuous insulation on the outside of it. So not only are we talking about insulation in the cavity, but we're talking about continuous insulation on the outside, perhaps two to three inches, and then probably an inch of stucco on top of that. So what does that get you? That gets you depth. So what that allows you to do is you could take your windows and push them all the way back. So to create some relief and shadow on those elevations just within the plane of your exterior wall, which I think will help some of the flatter elevations start to become more intriguing and interesting. And so that's what I mean by four-sided architecture in that. We have very flat elevations kind of on three sides of the building and we have a really engaging elevation on one side. And I think that's the case for building A, building B, building C, and building D may be the one exception, because there is a little bit of relief. But if you look here, and yeah, that Monet's got this up. I mean, the outsides of the project are very flat. And like, hey, don't come into my project. There's nothing here. Don't come into my project.  And it's not very engaging or very And so then I think I lost my comment here. I'm sorry. I've lost it. I'm sorry. And so then I would say, I guess my last comment would be don't let the parking be the struggle or don't let the unit count be the struggle that impacts how the architecture is being reflected. I know Warren very well. I know Paul at your office very well. Paul can take a look at this and maybe make some changes. And I know Ingrid and Ingrid, you and John are talented as well. I think you guys can take a look at this and find ways to add some interest to it, to reduce kind of the scale and the feeling of how big it is. Because I think that is an issue. And oh, I remember the last thing. The Sheila mentioned it. It's actually supposed to be a faux chimney, I think. And I don't think it really has a place, right? Because it's just because it's out of scale, right? If it would make more sense if the building was much more, much shorter, it would feel like a perhaps a faux chimney, but instead it just kind of feels like an arm sticking up a little bit. So I think there's some good bones here, but I think you guys need to really go back to the table and really bring the scale down and take away some of the verticality and start introducing some horizontality to start making it feel more pedestrian friendly, particularly on the three elevations of the sides of the buildings that aren't engaged at the moment to the scale. I think the interior of the muse is very engaged to the pedestrian scale and also the vehicular scale. But I think then the exterior is not engaged to that at all. So I apologize if perhaps my comments are feeling a little harsh, but I think there's there's some nice things here that you could just really amp up and take to the next level that would fix some of the hiccups, I think that that are occurring with the public comments. So you not only have a beautiful project at the end of the day, but a project that also pencils and that the community can also potentially take some pride in as well. Because I think we all can agree housing is important. Let's build some housing, but let's do it in a thoughtful way that engages with the surrounding buildings. And that's exactly what the design guidelines say. And so right now I think it's a we're at that kind of tipping point where it's not exactly engaging with what's around it in a way that makes sense. And I think I'd be really interested to see what the traffic study kind of reveals to us about this kind of one entrance exit situation because I've driven on Hoenn, my kid's dentist is on Hoenn. I do not like driving over there. It's a little bit scary in terms of how fast people drive on that street to connect to Highway 12. I've got a friend who lives over here and he barrels down Hoenn all the time, like a maniac. So that's a significant concern of mine knowing that particular street. So I think that's it for my comments. Does anybody have any additional comments based on anything you've heard from the rest of the board? Gila? Just one thing to note. I noticed when Planner Shake Hall, I brought up the location map. It showed a bus stop I think south of Summerhaze. There is a covered bus shelter on Summerfield right outside the SAY. And I think Warwick has or Sutter has some connection to that too. And I'm guessing SAY may have had to put that in, but that does exist. That's good to know.  I mean, particularly if you're going to start reducing parking is important. So that's why when I saw this, I went, oh, there's one bus stop within, you know, a quarter of a mile, whatever it is. That was particularly concerning for me, because, you know, people aren't going to walk more than a quarter mile, half mile to go to the bus. And really, it's probably a quarter mile. So, Adam? Drew, yeah, I just, I wanted to thank you for your comments. And I thought it was very clear-eyed and constructive. And I think that the applicant team could do very well to heed them very well. So thank you for your comments, Drew. Thanks. John, anything else? No, I think you've covered it. All right, thanks. But, yeah, I'm excited to see this come back, hopefully with some great changes. And maybe we've, I don't know, by getting rid of some of the extra fluff, it ends up being a little bit cheaper, which would be great, right? So at this time, typically what we do is we turn it back over to the applicant. If they've got any questions about the comments that they heard, if something was just kind of like, hey, you crazy designer view board, what are you guys thinking? So do you guys have any comments or questions of us about, you know, kind of the way we saw everything in the comments that we made? Matt, would you like to speak? Matt? Matt wanted to check if the owner wanted to speak. Yeah, Matt is showing that he is unmuted, but we are not hearing his audio. Oh, okay. No, I do not have any comments. Thank you. Thank you to the board for taking the time. I know it's been a lengthy meeting. And, Ingrid, thanks for you and your team for your presentation and all the great documents that you provided. I think we've, I forgot to mention that there was a lot there to take in. So I appreciate that. And it looks like Matt's raising his hand again now. So maybe we'll get his comments. How about now? Okay, sorry, the air pod's done. I wanted to thank all the board members for your time and also the neighbors for their comments as well. Definitely, as I said earlier, we're in the early stages. This is the second inning of a nine inning game. So we're hopefully there's baseball to come back to. But we're looking forward to getting together and kind of seeing what we can do, giving you guys his comments. If I'm, I just want to answer one thing. I believe there are three bus stops within a quarter mile radius is what I've been instructed. But I know we've seen two. So there's at least two. I believe there's three. But it might be half a mile. Ingrid might be able to correct me on that. Yes, there are three. Okay. So we definitely factored in transit as part of this. One of the things that we I don't think has been mentioned at all. We are currently exploring the capability of implementing a car share service through and we've talked to various companies, most recent of which is get around that way would further reduce the demand for actual cars in the property. And to where the residents can open an app, check out a car for an hour to go to the grocery store and come back or however long they wanted it. So it's something we're currently exploring. It's kind of a give and take as far as do we do that or to lose parking spots. But we're definitely we're definitely factoring in everyone's comments. We will reevaluate and definitely bring back to you guys. Hopefully in the near future. Thanks. We appreciate you guys. So at this time, we'll move on in our agenda. I guess, but before I before we move on, the one thing that I'll note. So for all the public comments we received tonight, thank you so much. They'll all be entered into the record. And please, when you see a notice for the next meeting for this project, please, you know, send emails come to the meeting. At that time, maybe we'll be in person in the council chambers at that time. Wouldn't that be great? So, but please continue to comment and provide your insight to your neighborhood. I know, again, I want to reiterate our board does take public comment quite seriously. And we tend to implement public comment into the conditions we add to projects. So as a general rule. So with that, we will end item 8.1. And before we go to adjournment, I do want to mention something. So myself and vice chair, Birch, oh my gosh. So Michael Burtz and I, we both have a planned absence at the next design review board meeting, which will be on March 17. So the longest standing member of the design reward with us not present, Mr. Adam Sharon, will be chairing that meeting in our stead. So I have all the faith in the world and Adam, he's been on the board for, I guess, three years now, three and a half years, something like that. So I think he's more than capable of chairing the meeting. And so I don't know if I need to officially appoint him or anything, Amy. But that was perfect. Just what you said. Okay. Awesome. So any final parting thoughts, Amy, are we ready for adjournment? I think we're ready to adjourn. Thank you. Awesome. So let us adjourn at 8.01. Have a great evening, have a great weekend, and we'll see everybody in a couple of weeks. Well, I won't, but everybody, see you in a couple of weeks. Goodnight, everyone. Goodnight. Thank you.


Hey beauties, I'm Bianca Renee and you are watching Bianca Renee today and today is foundation Friday. Okay, actually It's not a foundation. It's a CC cream But this CC cream is extra special because it actually Matches my skin tone. I have reviewed one other CC cream before on my channel, which was by it cosmetics But even in that CC cream, I'm pretty sure like I'm deep which is their darkest color Which is pretty crazy. So I'm really really happy to say that I've finally found another CCC brand CCC that's too many C's a CC cream that goes beyond my skin tone, which is by Thrive cosmetics cosmetics meaning CAUSE Because there's a cause behind this company the owner Carissa lost her friend to cancer at the young age of 24 and ever since then she Really wanted to create a company that was based off of empowering women So not only does she have a great collection of products for every product that you buy One is donated to another woman so that she can thrive According to the website, they deliver their products and services to women experiencing cancer homelessness or domestic violence by giving the hospitals Organizations and events around the world if you're watching this video the day uploaded it It's currently October which is breast cancer awareness month Well, this is now my second video about a product that is giving back to women dealing with cancer or just any type of hardship And not only do I love the meaning behind this company? I love The shade range of their CC cream They sent me six of their darkest shades and their lightest shade That they sent me is actually my skin color. So that was odd Having CC creams that were too dark for me like that literally is not a thing. There's 18 shades in total I have this little pamphlet here and although there are only 18 shades I did a very good job at breaking up the types of colors. So they have three fair shades three still light shades three medium beige shades three brown shades three rich shades and three Deep shades so obviously there could be more colors But for a starting lineup, I think they did a really good job at being one of the first CC creams to have darker Options like period. I know shade range is still a very heated topic But I do want everyone to realize that not every brand is going to be able to make 40 shades Not everybody has fenty money like Rihanna just to create every color in the world So I do think it's good to keep note of Smaller brands that are just starting that are just gonna have an initial launch and today I'm gonna swatch all six of the darker shades that were sent to me this video is not sponsored But I do love the shade range and I just love the message behind it. So I'm reviewing it anyways So the buildable blur CC cream has a broad spectrum SPF of 35 So that's good that has SPF, but it is $38. I do think that's a little steep especially because I can't even tell you a Drugstore CC cream that has darker shades. So I think we literally only have This one so because it's our only option Guess we're gonna have to be cool with the price. This is one fluid ounce It does have a pump which is easy to dispense so without further ado Let me show you exactly how I applied this CC cream to my face. All right Let's get started.  Okay, it's little pro hair tip for you But I do have six colors of the buildable blur CC creams I'm gonna actually swatch them all for you today because I have them might as well Starting off with the darkest shade in the collection as of now, which is deep espresso I'm just gonna pump one pump on here. Oh That is rich. So let's just do it on my arm So there's deep espresso. It's supposed to have a warm undertone. Next is deep cocoa with a neutral undertone Cocoa has a neutral undertone rich cocoa has a neutral undertone rich has a warm undertone And last but not least is rich tan and rich tan has a cool undertone So here are these six darkest shades in the thrive cosmetics collection out of a total of 18 colors Could they create more shades? Maybe between going from this to this instead of these types of jumps? Yes, of course But for this first initial launch, I am just pleased that there's finally a CC cream in my shade Okay, so let's start applying. I'm also gonna be using the thrive cosmetics Beauty Blender They sent me apparently this is supposed to Absorb less makeup while serving up a streak-free finish We're gonna see about that It's also latex free fragrance free cruelty free and vegan. I'm gonna grab my color rich tan The lightest one that they sent me. I'm gonna apply it right on top. Let's do one Good pump Let's see how this looks Look at that perfect match so with this one pump, I prefer a little bit more Coverage, so I'm gonna already do another pump or two And I'm gonna kind of spread it this time Wow That is surprisingly a very very good match. Let's check out the coverage. I do have some dark spots on my neck So let's try to cover those up Not bad Not bad CC cream. I'm liking it. Okay, so then I'm gonna stop here at this point I'm not very mad. I am getting a little bit of a sheen already But it's more like a healthy glow and I like an oily shine just yet But this is not claiming to have a matte finish It's supposed to have a natural finish supposed to be buildable So now I'm gonna go ahead and finish the rest of my face And I'm back so all I really did was add some concealer some mascara and some brows But I also wanted to show you that thrive cosmetics has a translucent matte soft focus HD setting powder So I'm gonna just keep everything in the family and set with this powder as well while using the thrive cosmetics filtered effects All over face brush. It's a really thick super fluffy brush It really was white, but I already used it so it's why it's already a little bit brown But let's go ahead and use the powder and it has this little top and then it has a little like Net in front of the powder tap it on top to give it any excess and Let's just set the whole face Okay, so here is the side of my face with the setting powder and here is the CC cream all on its own It does look a lot better on this side. I believe a lot more matte. Let me set this side of my face So here's my face now that is fully set with the thrive cosmetics filtered effects soft focus HD setting powder The setting powder is $35. It's supposed to give that same blur effect technology It has hyaluronic acid in it vitamin C green tea and this brush is $49 that is a Very pricey brush, but a lot of brushes are up there This brush is vegan and cruelty free. It is very very soft, but yeah, it's $49 Now I'm gonna go ahead and add my final little touches to my face And now I feel like myself again. So here's the completed look. I kept it pretty natural I didn't do any liner no lashes when I wear a CC cream is probably because I'm just about to run out the house I don't want a super full glam face. It's supposed to be a really chill Casual type day and I did forget to put on a primer. So we're gonna see how this foundation CC cream does Without a primer and with just the setting powder all together. I think my skin looks very smooth now I do think that the powder does help with the whole blurring effect making my skin look very smooth Not showing too many of my pores or imperfections. Now. It's not claiming to be long lasting It's not claiming to last up to 24 hours or anything crazy But I'm still gonna wear it for a couple hours and come back and show you how well it does on my oily skin So take a good look because I'll be back in a couple hours And then back it is now 11 o'clock p.m. And I realized I don't think I told you guys what time it was when I started But it was three o'clock. I got a really late start So the fact that even lasted till 11 o'clock is much later than I anticipated But here I am that means I've had the CC cream on for a total of eight hours But I made a huge Huge mistake. I had the dumb idea to watch this is us Therefore I cried Probably all my CC cream Don't watch this is us when you need to film a CC cream review I mean everybody cries during this is us. I'm convinced that if you don't cry during this is us You just don't have a soul Facts so I apologize for my tears this accidentally became a waterproof test even though it's not claiming to be we just kind of threw That test in there, but I don't see any tear marks down my face. Well, that's a good sign I am not oily at all and If anything, I just think that it needed a little bit more coverage It kind of wore off after a while, but I did wear it for eight hours and cried so That's a really hard test to pass but for the sake of it I'm gonna grab my oil absorbing sheets, and I'm gonna blot, but I don't really see any oil To even pick up, but we'll do it Not much of a difference. Here's the oil Not too bad. I do think I need to try the CC cream again and give it another fair try So make sure you follow me on Instagram at Miz beyond for any so I could show you in real time on a day That I'm not crying since I'm not really concerned about the oiliness. I think if anything, it's just more of the coverage I don't have as much coverage on my cheek anymore. You could see these scars on my neck again. So Coverage-wise it's not going to last eight hours, but I would not Expect a CC cream to last that long. I would get something that's claiming to be long-lasting So I'm not gonna fault it for not being mad or not lasting a long time because it's not claiming to do so Overall, I will continue to wear this on a easy just going out day where I don't want to do a full face of makeup I do wish it was a little bit cheaper. I am satisfied with their shade range as of now I hoping that they expand just like any other brand that has less than 40 shades But I will make sure to put all the information forthright cosmetics below in the description box If you've tried this, please leave me a comment Let me know how well it worked for you and your skin And if you enjoy my foundation Fridays, go ahead and give me a thumbs up and subscribe I post two new videos every week once on Friday and once on Sunday, so I hope to see you guys next time Thanks for watching Bianca Renee today