elicitate individual preference of residents to our immigrants' attributes in the Dominican Republic. So what is the motivation of this? Well, in comparison to the South-North migration, South-South is less study, literature there is sparse. And we already heard about the importance of developing countries in this topic. Over 35% of the stock of immigrants are in developing countries and over the last decade we observed that immigration flows toward between these economies have increased at a higher pace than from poor to rich countries. So this trend is likely to increase in the near future and this plays a risk, a substantial risk for countries that have weaker institutional frameworks and so on. If you don't see the citations, it's because I didn't add citations. But along this process we observed that there is an increasing negative view toward immigrants, right? And what it seems to be a case is that these negative perceptions or opinions or views are as negative in developed as in developing countries. So this is kind of in contrast with what we already know about the development effects on immigration. We know that there are long-term net positive effects. So why such a view? Well, there are two working types of hypotheses. Now those that relate to economic factors and those with no economic factors. You will know these determinants. The point is that behind those factors there are characteristics of both the immigrant and the resident. For example, in the labor competition hypothesis, you know that for example, it might be the case that highly educated resident might be against highly educated competition entering the country. So these specific attributes of each one of the parties matter. So there are two broadly, there are two types of literature studying these hypotheses. One is for example, MAIDA, that was written before, study native attitudes toward immigration, not individual subjects. And they are based on fairly broad, fairly wide public opinion surveys that covers many countries including developing ones. There are another stream of literature that study attitudes toward specific immigrants. And they are based on more specialized surveys and typically use co-joined analysis or so. So I joined this last stream and the question I asked is which immigrant profile, which type of immigrant is support for admission into that country. And I think that my contributions might be that first, well, it's kind of the first. I am not aware of a previous study using this state preference approach to a developing country. And it matters because previous studies on this stream focus on developed countries. In our way, United States. And we don't know if those findings hold for our context, which are different, which are different in terms of not only institutions, coverage of social service, labor market competition, labor market composition, etc. So I suppose that an underlying question is there are studies, how do Americans weight the preference of foreigners. I will ask the same question, how do a resident native from a developing country weight the different characteristics of a foreigner. So more in a methodological, with a methodological flavor, there are some different with previous studies. In this study, I address a greater number of attributes of the immigrant. And further, I allow for heterogeneity in the preference toward those attributes. And I study which drivers, which socioeconomic characteristics of the native might influence those references. And in addition, I study two types of choice settings, one which is for choice in the other with an either option. So this is the methodology, well, the characteristics of the methodology I use to generate the data. But it's better with an example, sorry about that. This is an example of a card, a choice situation I use in the field to raise the data. Basically, choice experiments consist in presenting hypotheticals, choice situations to the respondent, in this case the resident. And they have to choose between those alternatives and say which profile they would prefer. So the first column are the column of attributes which I extract from the literature and from a focus group in the country. And the other columns are the candidate's profile. And all the columns or the profiles or the candidates at least have a different level in at least one attribute. The point here, I mean, the source of the identification here is that I randomize attributes and I randomize levels in order to identify causality in terms of what they prefer. So, well, this is a, of course, this is a discrete choice setting. And I model that using a typical, well, random utility model with some features, right? In this case, for example, the utility that a resident I obtain in a choice situation is from an immigrant J, depends on the characteristics of the immigrant X and the weight preference alpha. I allow the preference of each resident to be heterogeneous. It depends on, be only for that resident plus a typical noise. Further, I allow that weight preference to depend of W reflecting socioeconomic characteristics of the resident and beta reflect that association. Understand the decisions rules in assumptions. This derived in a mixed logic model, which I solved computationally. So, the data. The data is about 2,500 respondents in the main and the biggest city, seven cities in Dominican Republic. As I mentioned, I used two types of experiments. One fourth choice in which the respondents have to decide, have to choose which one of the candidates he would support for admission into the country. And another with an interoption in which the resident, the respondent was allowed to deny access to all of those candidates. And as you can see here, I randomize also these treatments, these types of choice experiments between the respondents. As you can see, both samples are well balanced. The only difference is for the number of admitted profiles into the country. Which in the case of fourth choice is around 33%, while is 25% in the one with interoptions. And that difference is significantly different. I think that's it all. The results. Sorry, a little messy. These are the main results. These are the alpha coefficients we saw before in the first column for each immigrant attribute. The main message here is kind of aligned with previous findings is that residents prefer almost as competing for a job. Younger people were educated with fluency in the local language, probably with some norm of cultural resemblance. For example, religion with high skill occupations. The second column, column PSD, test if those alphas are sufficiently heterogeneous among the population. For those that are specified as random parameters. And they mostly are. So preference are quite heterogeneous. The third column, beta, test for the case of education in this case if the preference of the respondent depends on their education level. And in most cases, they don't. I tried with different specifications, different characteristics of the native, etc. These are the results of a near-octane experiment. And basically the same story with some important difference. Some attributes become strongly significant. Some others become weakly. But the main point is that the feet of the model to the decisions that we observe in this experiment increase dramatically for 50% to 24%. Overall, the message is that in terms of the model is the feet of the model understanding preference of people. For understanding preference of people is important to account for their heterogeneity and for more realistic choice settings. So, okay, just for you to believe me that I didn't find anything from the respondent explaining what is their preferences. In the case of the coefficient for country of origin, the preference for country of origin, we observe that there is not a pattern. There is wide heterogeneity in the coefficients, but the distribution doesn't seem to change across income levels of the respondent. So, the other thing, yes, to see this better, I mean, the previous table was rather fast. Well, this is the marginal probability effects of each level of each attribute. Well, again, we observe the same as before. High speed professions as medical doctors, professors, and digits are very well-rewarded when taking the decision. The same as very correlated with higher levels of education. Then you observe, sorry, you don't answer. So, this one, okay, is the preference for country of origin, okay? They don't like Haitians, but they like people from developed countries as Italy, Spain, USA. The other countries are well around zero. And the other characteristics, oops, the other characteristics are mostly small in terms of the contribution. So, in contrast with previous studies, I was rather estranged about this result with regard to the country of origin, because previous ones show that this preference for some specific countries tend to disappear when you account for other characteristics of education, et cetera. So, let me jump that. So, I try to cluster the findings and try to do conditional probabilities of getting admitted to a country. And we observe here that, again, for every level of education, again, the preference for Haitians are well below that for immigrants or potential candidates from developed countries. So, this might be reflecting, of course, heterogeneity in quality of education. But in any case, it is the finding I have. So, again, the same information in another way. Who meets the cut? The same individual, which profile is preferred for admission? And to get admitted into this experiment, I have the probability of 40%. And the only ones who have a higher probability than that are immigrants for U.S. or developed countries, and regardless, other trade-offs in the other attributes. Education, skill, even language. So, again, just to show a kind of robust check, these are the plot, the kernel densities of the probability of admission for two types of choice experiments, for the two types I applied. Of course, the one with neither option is more concentrated to the left indicating lower probability of support. But also, the other lines are different specifications, regardless which random parameter I use, which determinant I use as explanatory variable. Different distribution assumptions, regardless of the noise, the error term, etc. And they are more or less tell the same story. So, to conclude, some results are aligned with previous literature. Education, occupation, country of origin, player role in admission, some others don't. For example, immigrant status is seen not to be a determinant in any case, but of course that is expected because this country has a weaker rule of law. Then, what is unexpected is that the premium or penalty for some countries persists even after different specifications or controlling for different aspects. Just to mention that these both previous findings imply a very kind of rough reality for future and current flows of immigrants. Because these characteristics doesn't match the typical immigrant. They're skilled, well-educated, and typically the domain of the local language doesn't meet the typical immigration flow that we observe. Well, the other conclusions are more in the methodological sense. Aetherogeneity matters, increased the fit of the model. Aetherogeneity, I found, doesn't seem to be explained by observable characteristics. It seems to be idiosyncratic. Finally, the choice settings also are important. I found that choice settings with needed options are more relevant. Increase the fit of the model probably is more a realistic setting and for sure is a more stringent choice situation. So that's it. Thank you.


The following is a presentation of TFNN. The morning market's kickoff with your host, Tommy O'Brien. Good Tuesday morning, everybody. I'm Tommy O'Brien, coming to you live from TFNN, 9.06 a.m. Tuesday morning. We got about 24 minutes to go until the start of trading and market's negative by eight, but you were lower overnight. S&Ps will kick things off yesterday. You accelerate to a price point. The lows yesterday, 3,600 on the dot at about 1 p.m. Eastern time. You accelerate even below that area last night. You were down to 3,584. So you were down about 440 S&P points at one point at the lows, and that low folks was just about 6 a.m. Eastern time this morning. So only talking about three hours ago. Markets trading up from that point. You have the NASDAQ 100. You accelerate at 3 a.m. to 10,853. You were right back at that area at about 6 a.m. You were down to low 10,858. Since then, up almost 100 points of the NASDAQ 100. The Dow, negative by 28 points right now. You are under 29,000. We got 28,946 in the Dow crude. Pulling back a bit from the highs of yesterday. Overnight, we see a drop off at about 2.30 a.m. Eastern time. You trade from 91 to 88.50. You're back right near $90 at 89.77. Gold, tough day yesterday. Action and currencies across the board. We have gold up $2 this morning. Up about $10 from where it was at about 6 a.m. Eastern time. And we jumped to notes and bonds right now. You get the 10-year. Actually trading below where you were yesterday morning. You talk about a drop off, right? Notes and bonds just volatility continuing in extreme ways. You got the 10-year right now. Up 7 ticks. You're basically right back to where you were kind of yesterday morning, right? There's 945. Now, notes and bonds not trading in the US yesterday. How's that play out when futures, I guess, are open, though, right? In some degree, but nonetheless, you're right back to that level. We trade from 110.21. I mean, look at the moves, man. From last night, 110.22, almost a full point. You trade up on the 10-year volatility continuing and speaking of volatility. We jump over to the volatility index yesterday. 33.99, 33.16 right now. We put this thing on a daily. Just looking at this calendar year, making maybe a little bit of a double top here. The prior high from September 28th, 34.88. And we're climbing right now 33.15. You see the prior highs. And that's just this year. January, about 39. February, almost 38. May, when the market was accelerating lower, 36.64. And back at the June lows of the market, 35.05 on that volatility index. All right, let's jump around some of the headlines. Tomorrow we get Fed Minutes. Thursday, we get the CPI number. All right, as I came on the air, one headline just to touch on real briefly, the IMF cutting the global growth forecast for the next year. They talked about inflation there as well. That news just out at 9 a.m. Global growth gonna slow to 2.7% in 2023. And the quote that you may hear is the worst is yet to come. And for many people, 2023 will feel like a recession. JP Morgan, CEO, Jamie Dimon out there yesterday saying that he expects a recession next year. And let's talk some, well, let's talk some CPI. And let's talk some JP Morgan as well. We have CPI expected tomorrow, excuse me, Thursday. CPI expected Thursday, Fed Minutes tomorrow. And they're expecting some volatility, man. Now, when we got the last CPI, okay. And I'm gonna jump around here for a moment. So I think it was a 4.3% decline. Okay, let's start back at the top. They're looking for potentially 5% folks. This feels like another negative 5% day. And that's the team led by Andrew Tyler, wrote in a note yesterday, noting the S&P 500. Yeah, there it is. Drop 4.3% on September 13th when August's inflation rating came in. Reading came in hotter than expected. Now, they see potentially a 4% to 5% drop if you get a hot CPI number. Okay, the number that they're looking for, anything above the prior reading of 8.3 would be big trouble for the stock market. They're looking for the number to decline to 8.1. So the average expectation on Thursday is 8.1. The Fed Minutes are gonna matter tomorrow. But to put this thing on the chart and put what should be on your radar right now, there is September 13th, folks. We came into that price point at 41.63. Now you could make the case that we are 15% below that number, okay? That the market's pricing in, that this is gonna be a hot CPI number as his last one. There's a lot of volatility in both sides priced in. But what I've been saying before is, back on June when the market was at 36.50, we got a big reprieve here because somehow people thought that the Fed was willing to pivot or not be as strong with their convictions of hiking, all misplaced as the market's accelerated lower. And if you said to market participants in June that these are the numbers we're gonna be dealing with, these are the CPIs are gonna be persisting. This is the jobs number. We're gonna have unemployment dropping to 3.5%, right? And the only hope almost at this point is that all of the lag and all of the delay of those rate hikes, which they're mattering.  There's the lag, right? There it is. So maybe the market's priced in some of that. But boy, that was quite a reversal folks on that CPI number for the last month. And if we see anything resembling it this month, watch out. And crude is not, you know, we're, to take a look at crude, okay? We came into the month of September because this is energy prices at about $92. There's August 31st, we come in actually at 88, okay? Final day of August, we trade lower. We kick off September with crude at about $89. And you traded lower almost the whole month, right? Till September 27th. So energy prices should be beneficial in the month of September for the CPI numbers, okay? But just fast forwarding a little bit. I mean, you started off October at $80 on crude. Energy is gonna be helpful for the current CPI number we're getting right now, even though that one still may be a tough one. What happens for the October CPI print, folks? When we have energy prices going from 80 bucks to 93.64 to 89, and we're 11 days into the month rising prices yet again. It's gonna be a persistent problem. I'm not sure how we get out of the realm of even 3, 4, 5% next year. Very difficult to imagine with crude prices. I've talked about shelter many times. So we get that number on Thursday and they're looking for 8.1%. They said anything below 7.9 or above 8.3 is gonna be some big numbers. You could see a quote unquote buyer strike. Yeah, who's gonna be buying the market, right? If you get a CPI print of 8.1 and 8.3 even higher. Are you gonna step in on that day? I would not advise it. Now, unsurprisingly, this is the data point I really want to get to, which is pretty cool to start. Data on inflation are exerting a huge influence on the stock market plotting the S&P 500 performance against top 10 economic indicators such as payrolls, GDP. All the different, the 10 most valuable economic numbers that you get on a monthly basis, okay? Over the past decade, never have stocks been so negatively reactive to one economic indicator as they are now to the CPI. I would say stick with that trend until it changes, folks, okay? I would love to see some surprises where CPI is not as hot as they expected, but until I see them, probably gonna say that even at 3,600, folks, remember, we were at 3,600 in June. Things have not played out as the market had probably hoped over that time. Doesn't mean it's gonna happen on Thursday as well, but we're gonna ask our man, Kevin Hicks, when we come back, we'll talk to him coming up after the break. Stay tuned, folks. 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Back folks, we get the S&P futures down 13 points right now, trading at 36.12. Remember overnight, you have markets trading down to about 35.84, so still about 28 points above those overnight lows, market negative by about 1.3%. Let's jump over to our man, Kevin Hinks. Every trading day folks, 12 noon Eastern time, right here on Tiger TV, fast market with your host, Kevin Hinks, Tom White, the team at TD Ameritrade Network. They have some great guests, folks. Every single day, they line up three trades, hypothetical, walk you through the option trades so you can understand how you can deploy those same exact strategies that they're using in this market. Kevin Hinks, good morning. Good morning, Tommy and Brian. You know, a lot going on this morning already and we're not even to the busiest part of the week, so big news out there going around. Comments from Jamie Diamond. You've got the IMF lowering global economic growth. Again, I think it's coming out right as a few minutes go as we speak. So that's going down. You've got more China COVID problems. You've got the NFIB small business report coming out. Jamie Diamond making comments overnight. Bank of England buying more bonds. There's a lot going on for a Tuesday, Tommy. And it's not gonna stop, right, Kevin? We've got Fed Minutes tomorrow and we get a big number for CPI on Thursday, man. I was reading, speaking of Diamond, JP Morgan. I was reading on Bloomberg, they had a JP Morgan analyst just talking about, maybe it could be a 5% day on the downside.  But they made the point, Kevin, and I'll ask you, because I think it's a pretty reasonable point. I think you'd probably agree.  Because you just talked about Jamie Diamond, right? Saying, you know, next year feels rough. I was reading just before I came on the air, I think that IMF came out, revised growth across the board for all the normal reasons that we're used to. Where does the ability to, you know, become a buyer, Kevin, in the longer term, man, we're gonna get CPI. And I guess we can just wait for those numbers to align. But I was talking about even now we have crude that's gonna weigh on things potentially back to 90, $93. We were in the 78th range. Where do you see this playing out? I guess with Mr. Diamond's call next year, seems pretty reasonable. These calls must start lining up as we come into 2023. Yeah, here's what I've learned, Tommy, over a long career of trading. Looking too far out in the future is a bad idea. Because no one knows what the future is. No one, not even someone like Jamie Diamond with access to a lot of information. That's just his opinion that could easily change. And so what I would do is pay attention to this week's data and trade that data. Now you can have an overall idea of a future three and six months from now, but it better be awfully flexible and dynamic and moving because the data is moving.  And remember something, look what happened overnight, Tommy. Markets were lower, things were getting a little unstable and the Bank of England stepped in. Remember that when things get crazy, you're gonna see the Fed, Bank of England, stepped in to stabilize markets. So just when you think there's no one that can buy it, there will be someone to buy it. And so I'm a big believer in trading the data now, looking too far in the distance or what the economy is gonna do is a full variant.  One bite at a time. It's great advice, man. It makes me think it's great advice. And even, you know, I was looking at just even like fixed income retirement wise, right? And now this is my own personal opinion, staying current, man, not going out too close, right? Everyone's talking about shorter duration. For me personally, Kevin, it just makes me think, well, you're talking, I'm staying real close, man. So I can change things potentially because things could just move so rapidly even in that fixed income, folks, in my opinion, even where yields are where they are. Kevin, you don't know, as you just said, man, nobody knows where we're gonna go, especially when you start going out years. So great point. So we'll stay current with- Tommy, you just never know what can come. I mean, let's face it, where we are right now in the war in Ukraine with Russia, it could break significantly in either direction, frankly, you could see a severe escalation or you could see something break in Russia and a tone change there. So there are so many, I've learned that when you set your expectation, do you think you have it figured out? Careful there. Yeah, anyone that tells you they got it all figured out, folks, spikes up big time because nobody's got it all figured out. You might have an educated, reasonable opinion, right, Kevin? Anyway, I'm saying that's, it's great points, man. So we'll stay current. We'll go to Thursday, Kevin. They're looking for 8.1%, right? The last number was 8.3%. We got a VIX right now, hovering around 32. The rule is 16. If the VIX folks is 16, it's one out of three days. You're expecting a 1% move at 32. That'd be one out of three days. You're looking for about a 2% move. I bring it up, Kevin, because we have the CPI in three days and a 2% move. What's your take on the volatility as we come into Thursday with the VIX trading about 33 right now? You know, it's often that I say this, but a 32 or now 33 VIX is justified. Based on everything going on in the world and where we are in this market, this elevated level of VIX is completely justified. So yeah, that's pretty cool. I see higher VIX in my career. So a lot of traders haven't, but I have, Tommy. It's, you know, I bring up the rule of 16, Kevin, because I was going through it and I read on the front page of Bloomberg this morning, just talking about JPMorgan analysts and saying, you know, maybe we could get a huge down day like we saw on the last CPI print September 13th when we got the August numbers of four to 5%. You know, if we get a soft CPI number, maybe we'll get a rise of 2%. And I said, well, geez, you're getting 5% or you're getting 2% and the VIX is only factor into 2%, that seems like it might be a bargain deal. With that in mind, Kevin, we got some earnings going on this week as we come into the bank earnings on Friday, but everything else going on. What are you guys talking about at 12 today on fast market? So we're going to talk about consumer staples with Pepsi coming out before the open tomorrow morning. So the feature name will be PepsiCo. We're deciding whether we should go all liquids like Coke and Monster Beverage or should we go Procter and Gamble and Clorox. So we're definitely going to talk about consumer staples. Pepsi will be the focus today. It's just a matter of what, which one's the other two that we choose. We're really basing it on like folios data. If they beverage, then we'll do beverages. If they go consumer staples more broader, then we'll go the bigger names, consumer staples, but it's definitely consumer staples day that we're looking at, Tommy. And boy, it's quite a pullback across the board, man. Pepsi solid company from 181 down to 161, this one chopping around this year. And folks, you want to check this out because Kevin, you are familiar with Pepsi. For those not familiar, were you a market maker in the pit with Pepsi? Were we? I was a market maker and the specialist in PepsiCo. I traded it. Basically from 1986 to 2005, I traded PepsiCo. That is a lesson of experience that you and I, and you can't get without the time. I'm going to be watching, Kevin. Thank you so much for taking the time. As always, this morning, man, and we look forward to the program at 12 today and we'll talk to you tomorrow. Thanks for having me out, Tommy, have a great day. Always a pleasure. Folks, check it out every trading day. I've learned so much from the program. If you want to get into options, if you just want to understand options, to understand how they're priced, how the premium is priced into it, how they move, check out the program at 12, and you heard it, and I've heard Kevin talk about it many times, folks. Like I said, like you understand, that type of history, that type of experience, being in the pit, being a specialist in that one equity, you want to check out that program. I'm going to do my best to check it out at 12. And with that, folks, we got the S&Ps down about 18 right now, trading 3,607 off the lows, but trailing a bit. We got about three minutes to go until the opening bell. Stay tuned, folks. We'll be right back. With booming inflation, we are purchasing powers eroded. There's no better place to protect your harder and money-thinning gold. VISTA Gold's flagship asset is the Monk Todd Gold Project in the Northern Territory of Australia. This is Australia's largest undeveloped gold project. We are talking a world-class gold project in a tier one mining district. This is a large-scale, low-cost project with significant existing infrastructure in a politically safe and friendly mining jurisdiction. VISTA Gold just completed the Monk Todd Feasibility Study, which resulted in a 7 million-ounce gold reserve in a 16-year mine life. All of this, combined with the approvals of all major operational, as well as environmental permits. 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From the moment the market opens until the closing bell sounds, Tiger TV has eight different shows with expert hosts to help you make the right moves with your money. Watch online at TFNN.com or on TFNN's YouTube channel and become the investor you were born to be. TFNN Educating Investors. This segment is brought to you by Think or Swim. For more information, just click the Think or Swim banner on the front page of TFNN.com. Back folks, we have the S&Ps down 19 points on the open right now, 3,606. NASDAQ 100, negative by about 59.  Bitcoin, 19,055 right now, crude. Down to buck 89 from where you were yesterday putting crude back on a daily. As I was mentioning, right? We make a low basically coming right into the month of October. In terms of you come into October at the price of $80, folks, remember that because that's gonna matter, man. Once you get the October numbers, energy prices should be an easing number compared to where we were in August. Now remember you're getting September numbers for, excuse me, yes, September numbers is what we get on Thursday for CPI, okay? And we came into September at a price point of about $90. And you traded down to $76 throughout the month. So you're gonna see some easing crude prices, energy prices from the month of September already fast-forwarding to the next print. We'll see, but guess what? As Kevin Hicks said, stay current folks, stay in the near term, because if you start trying to go out, especially in this market, very difficult because the numbers are just so off where even the best analysts have been. Even somebody like Jamie Dimon, doesn't necessarily mean it's gonna happen in the second quarter of next year. Interesting to hear that already the talk of the Fed coming back in from Kevin Hicks, but that is how quickly it would be, right? As in, if things really get that bad, folks, right? You saw the Bank of England, if things really do get that bad, at least to the Fed's credit, at least, okay? We should have gotten off zero a long time ago, folks. We couldn't fight the bullet. You're not supposed to be running a 0% interest rate as you have the markets doing what they did. Basically, since when? 2000, 2008, you know, that of their abouts, that whole area. You don't wanna have that happen so that you have the ammunition to go the other way as in you have the ammunition to cut when you need it. Well, we're gonna have some ammunition to cut because we're probably gonna get rates near 4.5% at least before, given the Fed ample room to cut if they need to to bring things down. Maybe we're gonna get even higher, right? That is the possibility for sure. Okay, let's jump around and see what else we have going on. It is Prime Day. So interesting headlines, always headlines, man. Amazon, there's no such thing as bad press, right? I guess when they're out there talking about Prime Day, they're talking about a warning. Guess what? I said, oh yeah, that's right, it's Prime Day. Maybe I'll have to check out if they have anything good. Meanwhile, it's a Prime Day warning. Some discounts, maybe price hike. Study shows, pretty good, right? You call the sale, you increase the price and people say I have to buy it now so I don't miss out on the offer. And yeah, I'm not sure how I feel about this one, man. This is obviously pertinent to the times that we're in excess inventory, slow down to the economy. You're gonna see the sales going into the holiday season as they're worried about the holidays. They're gonna try and front load that, worried about the holiday season. What are they gonna do? Get ahead of your competition, man. It does make sense. Get ahead of the competition because people are only gonna have X amount of dollars to spend, especially right now with inflation rising. Get those sales early before people realize they get late in the holiday season and they potentially wanna tighten up their purses and their wallets for whatever reason it may be necessary or not. So today, they're hosting the second big sale exclusively for Prime numbers. This is a Prime early access sale. It's almost like a SNL skit, right? As in you have a sale once or twice a year. Every once, every one or two months you have a sale and somehow you just name it something different. We had Prime Day, then we have early access sale. Then what are you getting early access to? You're getting early access to the next Prime sale. But some of the deals advertised on the site may not be what they appear. So here's a cool tip, folks, when you're on there. This site, camelcamelcamel.com. I've used it forever, folks. It's a great URL. I'll enter it into the Tiger's Den so you can check it out, okay? camelcamelcamel.com. And what you do is any Amazon product you go to. Let's just go to amazon.com and we'll search for a kid's bike, all right? Oh, no, we'll just pull up anything. We'll pull up, all right, let's, no, I don't want to pull up a Peloton. They don't deserve the free press. Let's see what this hat is pushing. Okay, you got a Vineyard Vines classic whale logo cap. What do you do? You copy the URL, folks. You bring it over to camelcamelcamel. You enter that URL right in there. You search it and it's going to show you the entire price history for that cap. Now they're probably not priced. So it's been $28 has not budged since April 7th to October 11th and what are they offering today? 24 bucks. So it is a legitimate sale marked down from 28. It's never been on sale before. It's a great tool to understand the entire pricing history of a product on Amazon. So for context, even better than that, let me see if I can find a product. Cause most products are going to have a dip when it's last primed at Nordic track. Let's see if this thing has some good sales. Let's see. Now this is where you really want to pay attention. You're buying something for $551. We'll copy the URL. We'll enter it in up here. That's all you do. You search it. Yeah. So there's some history for you. So you see the dips, right? This thing has dipped down on certain days to as low as about 447. Looks like the price, 447. What are they offering for it today? 551. Oh, that's not too good of a deal. See that folks? Nordic track. You got a timing. It's 551. But look at this. There's been many instances that this thing has somehow shot down to the area of 447 for various reasons. All right, I'm not going to click there. But you get the point. It's a great tool and interesting. This is the press that Amazon's getting right now. And the research they're talking about, they track prices for nearly 15,000 products. And this is going so far back though, which is right. I would just bring up that camel, camel, camel. It was an easy segue. And yeah, not surprising, right? That all sales are not the same. Not sales at all. Camel, camel, camel. It shows you. I just look up everything that I'm doing, you know? Whether, you know, if you're buying something for 12, 13 bucks, but you're ever buying something for the Nordic track, right? You see that?   Well, guess what, man? You know, it's been 612 too. Check that out. So they're calling it list price of 649, right? This thing ain't 649. This thing is 612 all day last year into January. All right, inflation got you up to 649. This thing was priced at 612 for the better part of the year. Not sure who's paying the spikes up there, but nonetheless, you see the dips on big sales. All right, what else do we have pulled up? We talked about the rule of 16. So I was Googling it. What pops up? A nice informational URL from who? TD Ameritrade, thinkorswim. Here's the rule of 16, folks. If you have not heard it, we'll check in on the mix. Okay, we get the market down to about 55 right now. You get the volatility index, CBOE volatility index based off S&P premium for puts and calls, 33.54. And the way that you wanna understand how this is pricing and what type of moves is when the VIX is at 16, as I stated with Kevin, it's expecting a 1% move about one out of three days. When you go to 32, you double the VIX, you double the percentage move you're expecting every one out of three days. So right now we're right near about 32. It's expecting a 2% move every one out of three days. If you're at 24, 1.5% move. Now it's interesting because as I stated with Kevin, I don't think that's that bad right now. With the volatility that potentially comes down the line on CPI on Thursday, but here's the mental calisthenics you gotta go through folks, okay? If it was that easy, everybody would be doing it. All right, volatility is fairly high.  You go back to the beginning of the calendar year when we begin getting all the volatility. Haven't seen the VIX much higher than this, okay? 35, 36, 37 and 38, we made it to a high recently 34, 88 on September 28th for what it's worth. At least you understand it folks and that's when you get to make the opinion, right? Do you think the market might trade more than that? Well, you can pay for the premium then because the premium is only priced in a 2% move one out of three days and CPI is on Thursday. You think that's too much? You can be the one selling the premium if you want to or vice versa. Market sliding a bit, S&P at 3600. Stay tuned folks, we'll be right back. You might think that if you want to be successful at trading in the stock market, you're going to need a crystal ball. After all, it's impossible to predict the future, right? Like any endeavor in life, before you decide it's impossible, get some advice from the experts. 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A fund's prospectus and summary prospectus contain this and other information about direction shares. To obtain a fund's prospectus and summary prospectus call<PHONE_NUMBER> or visit directioninvestments.com. A fund's prospectus and summary prospectus should be read carefully before investing. An investment in the funds is subject to risk including the possible loss of principal. The funds are designed to be utilized only by sophisticated investors such as traders and active investors. Distributor for side fund services, LLC. This program is brought to you by Vista Gold. Traded on the NYSE American and TSX under the symbol VGZ. Welcome back, folks. We get the S&P's negative by 27, just under 3,600 night. Right now, I'm gonna take this Fibonacci off there because that's not needed anymore. Basically a full retrace of the acceleration you had higher back in this thing out again. Excuse me, pretty critical area, right? We come down on October 3rd to 3,571. You're looking at five red days. Take us from 3,800 to 3,597. We come into the CPI print on Thursday morning and hold on to your hats, man. And we got Fed minutes tomorrow as well and then we get some earnings this week as well. Other news out there? Google selects Coinbase, so Coinbase. We'll jump over to them in a moment. To take cloud payments with cryptocurrencies and we'll use its custody tool over there for Coinbase, I would be very careful in this one, folks, even though you have Coinbase up today when you get the S&P's down about 28 points, Coinbase, up $1, 152, but folks, take a look at this chart, which is why I bring it up, right? That's a three-year weekly. It goes public at 429. When does it go public, folks? April of 2021, okay? Do you remember where Bitcoin was trading at? In April of 2021? Yeah, that's when it first got to 65,000. God bless him for getting it back above that price point to 69,000 after trading down to 30,000 and then the air comes out, folks. And where does this bar we're talking about? You got to go back almost five years, folks. A five-year weekly, futures start trading in December of 2017, Bitcoin under that price point. Almost five years later, Coinbase goes public right near all-time highs in April of last year and then we put it back to Coinbase, folks. Yeah, I would be very careful even on deals like that for Coinbase profiting. Coinbase was making a lot of money, folks, in trading. The trading in crypto has just dried up dramatically. Just take a look at Robinhood for a similar chart from 85 bucks on the IPO. That's a weekly, all right? You were up there for some time, man, but yeah, you've been trading at basically 10 bucks since January of this year, 10.16 for Robinhood off the lows of 681. But both those companies are making so much money off trading. I saw something today about an NFT and non-fungible token. That one of the Paul brothers, Logan Paul, I think, bought or one of them that's into crypto and it said something and it was pretty much a clickbait article. I think I didn't click on it, but it makes sense in the times, man, that they bought an NFT for like 685,000 bucks and now it's worth $10. Yeah, NFTs are making a lot of money on those as well. So I would stay away from Coinbase even though they're making some deals. All right, we talked about earnings. American Airlines, they're out with their numbers. Jumps after raising third quarter revenue forecast. Revenue in the three months ended September 30th up 13% from the same period in 2019. So that's the interesting one, right? Compare it to 2019 in terms of where you were. We'll jump over to the airlines. They're getting a lift. American up 1% as the markets are down, but there's your volatility, man. It gives it back on the open. Ouch, let's jump over to some of the others. Delta, so much for that short-lived joy. Delta back actually now in the red after getting some positive news in the airline industry. We'll go to United, similar deal in the red by a third percent United as they drop out. Look at that. United industry down almost $2 on the open. Let's see, domestically, Southwest. They trade lower as well. Man, these airlines. JetBlue down about half a percent. We jump over to Cruises. This'll be a good segue. One argument you could make for carnival is that it's shopping around at the lower portion of the trend line that it's been in. And that trend line folks goes back. Let's back it up. Yeah, to basically the highs this thing was in where it was at 25 to 30 bucks about a year and a half ago. June of last year, you've been trading lower, bouncing around near the lows. Would not be buying this thing for the long-term, but if you are looking for a little bit of a trade potentially, and Norwegian, had an upturn channel breaks out of it, Norwegian, a little bit closer to the top of the portion of its channel line versus carnival. Now that's a good segue into one ship that is not on the carnival fleet of vehicles, I believe. And that is the Ritz Carlton Super Yacht. So check this out. A first look, this thing is three years delayed, but it's coming live now. And yeah, it would make sense that you have some elite yachts. Why not, right? They have plenty of elite hotels. It's gonna set sail for the first time this month. Who's the biggest investor? Oak tree capital, all right? Big Wall Street money, of course, or something like this. It was stalled construction, the pandemic, exacerbated supply chains, et cetera. It holds 298 passengers and it's gonna cruise from Barcelona to Nice on October 15th. Later this week, they can watch your kids. Read down here for 45 bucks. There you go. Supervised Ritz Kids Program in its own playroom, 45 bucks for a three-hour session. You want a non-surgical facelift? No problem, they'll take care of that for $395. Can't make this stuff up, folks. But nonetheless, interesting, as premier yachting takes place. And I wonder what the cost would be, right? Not gonna be cheap. That would be my, yeah, they don't have the price in here. Of course they don't. But nonetheless, it comes. All right, what else do we have pulled up here? Yeah, talking about J.P. Morgan back to this article real quick. This was the part of the article I was talking about to kick off the program. If you weren't listening, I was talking about the CPI. J.P. Morgan's talking about big volatility coming down the line on Thursday. Could even be a negative 5% day if things are hot on the inflation trend. If we get a low number, okay, you could see the S&P potentially rise one to two is what they talk about. But the data point that I like they're looking at is against the top 10 economic indicators. Okay, you're talking about GDP, you're talking about payroll, CPI, one of them of course, retail sales, right? Jobless claims, CPI year over year. Look at the decline we're talking about folks. That's correlation of economic surprises versus consensus and S&P returns for the top 10 economic indicators. And that's over a 10 year period. And CPI by far the economic surprise to the downside bigger than any other of the 10 economic indicators. And I would not buck that trend until the data proves it. Kevin made some great points saying, what do you do, man? What do you do? How do you look forward? You look forward and you stay current because if you can just figure out what's happening in the next two or three months folks, boy, you will be so far ahead of the game and that one is as difficult as ever right now. All right, let's jump around to some of the fang stocks as this market just continues to melt. Amazon on their early access pride and day sale down 2.3% to kick things off. Microsoft shares down 1.4%. You look at Microsoft, man. We're coming back to the 618 of the entire move higher from COVID 132 up to 350. You're back to almost 215 from Microsoft. Google, they're under the 50% as well. You're down a little bit today for Google at 98.54. We jump over to Tesla. Not sure what that Fibonacci number is. We'll take that one off but Tesla down to 222 bucks. And yeah, my dad was talking about this yesterday. Basically lost what 90 bucks in the period of a few weeks, right? Yeah, from 90, yeah, even let's go back 20 days. Yeah, there it was. From September 21st, three weeks, this thing loses 30%. I don't know how he gets away with it, folks. Any other CEO playing games with Twitter and taking the attention up that you have on that level, I don't think that they would deal with that one. It's a tough one. All right, jumping around. S&P right now, negative by 27. And we do, we got to call it. We got to call on Michael from Orman Beach. Michael, good morning. Thanks for hanging on the line. What can I do for you, man? Tommy, I've heard you and your dad talk about a number of times the, is it US Treasury Direct.org where they have the I-Bond, that's 12 months. Could you possibly give us the correct contact information for them? Sure, we'll pull it up. We'll pull it up after the great folks and we'll take a look at it. So you're talking about I-Bonds, I think it's 9.62% folks. That rate guaranteed through this month, TreasuryDirect.gov is what it is, Michael. We'll talk about it right when we get back.  I'll pull it up. You should check this out as well. We'll be right back. There's no catch or added costs when you join our community of traders. In the Tigers Den, you can look over the shoulders of Tom O'Brien and the other TFNN hosts while they analyze charts during their live Tiger TV programs and join an interactive trading community with hundreds of members exchanging ideas, interact with other Tigers and Tigresses as they share trading ideas, news analysis and discuss the market action all trading day, even at night and on the weekends. The Tigers Den and Discord is accessible on mobile or tablets as well. So it's always at your reach. To sign up today and become a part of this educational community of traders, just visit the front page of TFNN.com. You might think that if you want to be successful at trading in the stock market, you're going to need a crystal ball. After all, it's impossible to predict the future, right? Like any endeavor in life, before you decide it's impossible, get some advice from the experts. You might find that it's not so impossible after all. For daily market overviews that give you direction on the key indices, selective stocks and commodities, subscribe to the opening call newsletter at TFNN.com. The opening call newsletter is written by Basil Chapman, creator of the trading methodology known as the Chapman Wave. The Chapman Wave up-down sequence gives you an edge in identifying price turns, finding the peaks and valleys in stock prices.  First-time subscribers also get a 30-day money-back guarantee. If you're not satisfied, let us know and you'll get a full refund within 30 days of signing up. TFNN.com, educating investors. Everything in the universe is governed by the Fibonacci sequence. This mathematical principle is responsible for everything from the most aesthetically pleasing artwork to patterns in the stock market. To stay on top of stock patterns you can take advantage of, sign up for the Fibonacci 24-7 newsletter at TFNN.com. When you subscribe, you'll get a weekly report from veteran day trader Larry Pezzavento on stocks you need to pay attention to and you can trust Larry's analysis. After all, he's got 45 years experience as a day trader. Larry will also provide daily charts, videos and data on the key markets that he's tracking. Expect notifications from Larry on market movement you need to act on at any time. First time subscribers also get a 30-day money-back guarantee. If you're not satisfied, let us know and you'll get a full refund within 30 days of signing up. Subscribe to the Fibonacci 24-7 newsletter today. TFNN.com, educating investors. This segment is brought to you by Think or Swim. For more information, just click the Think or Swim banner on the front page of TFNN.com. Welcome back, folks. We've got the S&P's down 31 points. That's almost nine-tenths percent of the red right now, trading at 35.94 and NASDAQ 100. You're up 1.1 percent. The Dow off one-quarter percent right now at 29,178. We're talking to Michael from Orman Beach and he had a great question, folks, about series I bonds. So Michael, the website to kick things off most importantly is treasurydirect.gov. Now you can just search for these. They're series I like inflation, okay? I bonds, folks. And I'm just at the website right now, treasurydirect.gov. If you scroll down, it's right on their homepage, okay, series I savings bonds. You jump over to this. Now to understand it, this rate is locked in for six months when you purchase those I bonds, okay? They reset the rate on November 1st. So you have, and they do it twice a year, okay? So you have until October 31st, folks, if you want to purchase these, you can purchase up to $10,000 per person, per calendar year, okay? So you could do one for you, one for your wife if you wanted to, up to 10,000, whatever it is, people in the house, children as well, I believe. And then a new calendar year, you can send another. You need to hold them for at least a year, okay? There's no penalty after five years, but the only penalty if you take them out after a year. So let's say, Michael, you buy them right now, you take them out after a year. You give back three months of interest, okay? So you give back about a quarter of the year's interest. Well, at almost 10% right now, folks, 9.62. Not even a bad deal.  So it's a great deal. I bring it up, and I'm sure you've heard about it, Michael, this month, because they do reset that rate. It's based off some form of the CPI, folks. The inflation part of it on changes in the non-seasonally adjusted consumer price index for all urban consumers is how that's done, but it's locked in for six months as a fixed rate, and you get that rate for six months. So even if you buy it sometime this month, you get that rate for six months, and then they compound it. And I'm not sure for each minor child. It might be $10,000 though, Johnny, so check it out, man. There are ways to do that. And these have always been around, folks, but these numbers have never been this high. And you can keep it in there for 30 years, if you want to, as that rate gets reset. Michael, thanks so much for calling, man. You have a great one. Folks, thanks so much for tuning in. Stay tuned. We got our man Basil Chapman. We got volatility, S&Ps down 33, Basil's up next, folks. Stay tuned. Have a great Tuesday.


And that's very much the way Jesus's presence was in instructions. Always very helpful, often offering correction, but not kind of as ever like a scolding. It was more of like, you may want to consider this. Almost like, I'll make the suggestions and you make the decisions. I'm not going to decide for you. I'm not going to try to intervene for you in your wake-up experience. But I will try to convince you of the value of following one voice and making decisions with the Holy Spirit. So that was a favorite prayer. Holy Spirit, decide for God for me. There's such a surrender when we give decisions over to the Holy Spirit and to Jesus. Our only other alternative is to make decisions from our past learning. And we seem to, as human beings, try and try again to go back to that default setting. Well, from all my past experiences, I have been topped with, this feels like the best way. So we're, humans are weighing the pros and cons and trying to really feel out, does this feel safe? Does this feel secure? Is this prudent? Is this wise? When all the while we have an intuitive voice within us that is extremely wise, always prudent, and it's, you could say it's always right because it's coming from right-mindedness. It's coming from inspiration. It's coming from joy. It's coming from peace. It's coming from love. And it knows our greatest interest. And you may even think of that voice or the Holy Spirit as like a higher self that always knows your greater interest in any seeming conceivable situation or circumstance. It's always there. It's always offering. And basically Jesus tells us that the Holy Spirit is as loud as your willingness to listen. So Jesus isn't coming in with megaphones and speakers blasting. He's not sending in the Holy Spirit on a search and destroy mission to try to root out the ego. It's very soft. It's very gentle. And yet we have to be willing to hear it before we can hear it.


My name is Rafael Silva. I'm co-founder and developer at Ludwig. We started Ludwig next, please. We started Ludwig. Actually, it was like a coursework. We were for developers trying to make the difference. And basically, we had a passion developing end music. So we created this new experience. And why we do it? Basically, music is something that transforms us. It has power to change our emotions and to modulate it. So we realize that some people don't have that at all. And with that in mind, we started looking for new ways of experience music. And with that, we created a new experience that we combined colors and vibrations so people can really understand what they are experiencing instead of just giving random vibrations and random colors. So we started creating a new experience so people can start to interact in a different way. And our goal in the future is actually teach deaf people music. So we started late 2013. And we started researching about how could be possible for deaf people to understand music, to know what music really is. And we took some time researching and starting to make it possible. And when we realized that could be made, we started testing. Ludwig is like a result of another app that was just made for testing concepts and understanding what we were doing. So we started testing if the person could tell the difference between two vibrations, if the person could link a vibration with a color, and if a person could really understand that there's been a difference of vibrations and what a song is if the vibration does not annoy the person. So we started trying that out. And in this test, we met a guy that made us realize that we were in the right way. He's deaf and he comes from a musician family. So imagine that. You have all your parties, all your moments in family. And in his family, it was all about music and everyone like playing, everyone like dancing and stuff like that. But he was always out of that. So we always have music. We always have everything all the time. And sometimes we don't even realize that music is so good for our lives because we haven't stayed like a single moment out of it. So with that in mind, we really are struggling to create this digital method and a way of including everyone into the music because we really believe that music has a transformation power and it can actually transform it to us. Because actually, we don't know what that can result. Imagine we have the sign language. We have to learn to talk to deaf people. But music, by itself, it's a universal language. You don't need a translator to get that. You just listen to it. You just experience it. But imagine if a deaf person can create, make something unique, a song, and everyone here in this room can listen to it and see and understand what they were feeling. And we can translate this kind of work. We are going to break a barrier of communication. And that's our goal. Next slide, next slide. So basically, we are linking together vibrations and colors. So the brain of a person that doesn't hear, it's awesome. They are totally sensitive to the visual field and the tactile field. So it's impressive how they can learn and they can relate the vibrations and colors and actually start to understand that. Next slide. Our team is small. We are in four people. But we are working really hard to bring it to reality. And next slide. We really appreciate the time. And we really want to be here another time with a deaf person that could really tell by herself or himself like how it is to experience music in that way, the different way we are not used to. But showing that it can actually transform lives and change how we are used to. Thank you.


Deshmukh Sachin, I am working as assistant professor in Valachan Stop Technology Civil Engineering department. Today we are going to learn about analytical method used for calculation of metacentric height. There are two methods actually that is one is experimental method and another is analytical method. Experimental method we used in the laboratory. If you have done the experiment you know it very well, we have taken a ship model which is floating and we are going to add the weights in that and with the inclination, with the inclination why I am telling you because this particular total methods are depending on the tilting you can say angle. So you have added the weight in that and then you have calculated the metacenter and metacentric height. What is going to happen in analytical method that we are going to see over? So at the end of this topic you will be able to calculate the metacentric height by using analytical method. Just concentrate on this, concentrate on this particular figure this is a you can say it is a floating body, it is a floating body, the uppermost part, uppermost point it is M which is a metacenter, G is a center of gravity, G is a center of gravity and B is a center of buoyancy, center of buoyancy. See these are acting in a straight line, they are acting in a straight line. This particular figure already you have studied but again I am repeating this to know the exact locations exact you can say point of applications of these points, then some tilting is given then some tilting is given or we can say the body is sure the you can say angle of count changed you can say so that this particular line is here only it is not going to change but this particular point it is shifted over here, it is shifted over here and when you are going to draw a straight line through this point and where it cuts to this original line this point is called your metacenter, this point is called as a metacenter. So metacentric height it is defined as the distance between the center of gravity of the floating body and its metacenter, a larger metacentric height implies greater initial stability against overturning that is the most important thing and we are going to study with taking some examples, there are three stability conditions that you are knowing or equilibrium condition that you are knowing that is a you can say stable, unstable and neutral. So we will see the two conditions we will find out through the problems. So one of the problem just concentrate on this wooden block in the form of rectangular prism floats with its sharpest or you can say shortest axis vertical the block is 40 centimeter long 20 centimeter wide and 15 centimeter deep the dimensions are given and the depth of immersion is 12 centimeter this is very important depth of immersion is very important. So calculate the position of metacenter and we have to comment on the stability. So concentrate will just go through these all the dimensions and then first step we have to calculate the weight of the body, weight of the body is weight of displaced volume of water okay that is 93.98 you will get then you can calculate the OB that is height of center of buoyancy above the base of the block you have to see this okay OB what is OM what is OG all these things okay. So OB that you have to calculate so that will be 6 centimeter because it is 12 centimeter dipped in water 12 divided by 2 it is 6 OG that you have to take the total height 15 centimeter is the height so 15 divided by 2 it is 7.5 centimeter and then you can calculate if M is the metacenter it is BM is equal to I upon VI is the moment of inertia it is bdq by 12 so that you can calculate it is it comes to be 1.278 BM is equal to 2.278 centimeter and MG MG is most important that is metacentric height BM minus BG so it is 2.778 minus 7.5 minus 6.0 it is 1.278 so it is a positive so G you can say it is stable equilibrium it is stable equilibrium then you can say you can go for the second second one second problem see the figure a solid cylinder 2 meter in diameter 2 meter high is floating in water with its axis vertical if the specific gravity of the material of cylinder is 0.65 so that it is floating calculate its metacentric height and also its equilibrium condition okay again concentrate on the figure same case that diameter of cylinder you have to calculate height which is given specific gravity is 0.65 depth of cylinder in water that is specific gravity multiplied by height you will get 1.3 meter distance of center of buoyancy B from O which is 1.3 divided by 2 that is 0.65 meter so center of distance of center of gravity from O it is 2 divided by 2 it is 1 meter BG is equal to OG minus OB from the figure we will get 0.35 bm is moment of inertia divided by volume it is a circular pi d raised to 4 by 64 you will get moment of inertia is 0.75 volume you will get 4.084 meter cube so bm you will get 0.192 meters metacentric height is equal to bm minus BG it is 0.192 minus 0.35 now it comes to be minus okay it comes to be minus negative sign means that is the metacentric height is below okay and the previous example we have seen the it is a positive so the metacentric height is above so okay it is a unstable equilibrium when it is minus it is unstable equilibrium okay there are three conditions stable unstable and neutral keep in your mind there are some review questions very interesting a floating body is in stable condition when when the metacenter is below its center of gravity metacenter is above center of gravity metacenter height is 0 okay and center of gravity below the center of buoyancy see when such questions will be there that rapid questions will be there you must know what is the center of buoyancy what is a metacenter what is a metacentric height what are the different stable conditions all these things you must know very well how the buoyant force is acting how the gravitational force is acting how the behavior of the you can say tilting is given to the particular body how the body is going to tilt okay so everything that you have to visualize yourself visualize yourself the when the axis is when the tilting is given the buoyant the center of buoyancy shifted okay but the center of gravity will be there in that same the previous axis but the shifted the shifted buoyant the center of buoyancy then you have to find out the vertical line from that and which it cuts which it cuts to that particular previous axis that is a metacenter and then you have to find out gm that is a metacentric height okay so all these things you have to keep in your mind then related with that the archimedes principle also archimedes principle what is the archimedes principle that also you have to you must know it very well because if that we already studied in the school days when a where a pot is taken which is full of water a body is dipped in that the water comes out water comes out from that particular utensil or you can say whatever the pot is taken so the weight of the weight of the water collected the volume of the water collected is equal to weight of that body is a simple archimedes principle is given to you and based on that all the theory is depending that is buoyancy floatation everything okay so wherever the questions that have been asked you must know the previous theory behind this and the second question is very interesting and ice cube it's a very common normal thing that is an ice cube is floating in a glass of water as the cube melts the water level what happens to the water level as it remains same it falls rises definitely you are going to visualize it definitely okay so you you just do yourself at home also and the answers are a floating body is in a stable condition when the metacentric high meta center is above the center of gravity okay and an ice cube is floating in a glass of water as the cube melts the water level falls okay the water level falls okay these are some references you can use Bodhisattva you can use Bansal you can use Roy you can use Gupta and you can use Shrutri many many books are available and very different different examples are there so that you can solve many examples related with stable condition unstable condition you will come to know how the analytical method is useful okay if you find any difficulties again you can contact me thank you


Call all hands, speak to quarters. It's coward battery. One broadside into it, please, Captain Bush. Point is on target. Link stops ready. Aye, aye, sir, ready. At C.S. Foresters, Indomitable Man of the Sea, Horatio Hornblower. Now, as I climb the quarter deck to report to Captain Bellew, blue is that I've ever seen. The sky also. And where water and sky met, lay the heathen city of Oran. It's minarets and towers, not laid beyond description. Oh, Mr. Hornblower, eager to get ashore, sir? The squadrons in need of supplies. Mr. Tappling here, as you know, is a civilian. A member of the diplomatic corps, side duty of the fleet. Yes, sir. He's arranged with the Bay of Oran to purchase cattle and graves. You will be in charge of the longboat that takes him ashore, Mr. Hornblower. Aye, sir. Tappling, you make every effort you understand. I do. Very well, Captain. We're blockading all of Europe. Nothing but enemies on the entire continent. Unless we manage supplies here, we'll be forced to lift the blockade and sail clear back to England. Well, as always, Gibraltar, sir. What goes, Gibraltar? Now that Spain's joined flants against us, Gibraltar, too, is hard put for supplies. We must have these. Oh, I'll do my best, Captain. But as you know, the Muslims are very tricky fellows. You've 7,000 gold Guinness. Don't pay over toughens of it until the cattle and grain are already loaded in the lighters. By then, you can... Mr. Hornblower. Sir, have your attention been wandering? Oh, I'm sorry, sir. This is a sight of Iran, sir. There was... There's white buildings over there. It looks... It looks so... so clean. Clean? Wait till you lay alongside the dock, Mr. Hornblower. Clean, eh? Try to secure onto that firing. Aye! Mr. Tappling, that man over there standing on the dock. Is he waiting for us, do you think? Big black man in a blue robe. Yes. Yes, that's him, Dürer. Representative of his master, the ruler of Iran. He's very... very picturesque. Picturesque, Hornblower? Yes, everything about this place, it looks... What's wrong, Hornblower? You stopped in mid-flight. Oh, smell! Oh, the breeze shifted suddenly. I got a whiff. Oh. Mr. Tappling, it smells... smells unclean. Like a... like a pest-hole. Mr. Dürer, allow me to present Mr. Hornblower over his Britannic Majesty's navy. Yes, yes. You have brought with you the gold in the boat, right below us. Good, good. I will take the gold and bring you the supplies. Oh, no, thank you. First the supplies, then the gold. Oh, he's nonsense. You do not trust the Bay of Iran? I appeal to you, Mr. Hornblower. Hornblower. I'm sorry, Mr. Dürer, but I must agree with Mr. Tappling. There was lighters beside the dock. They're... they're for supplies. Yes, for the cattle and the grain.  It is already. This is not all yet here, Mr. Dürer. Once it's here, on board the lighters will transport to our supply ship the Carolina. Well, I agree with Mr. Tappling. Oh, well, something troubles you, Dürer. Forgive me, Effendi. I am not well at this heat, or perhaps it's worry about what the Bay will do to you if we take the gold and depart. Oh, never, never. Please, to wait. I will return with the supplies long before nightfall. Please, wait. Look at that, Hornblower. Yes, I saw it. Oh, big one. All rats are digging, or an... But did you notice how it's tumbled, entering that drain pipe as if it were drunk? Out beyond the harbor, the indepatecable stood down the furled sail where the cattle line beside her. Ooh, unpleasant, but we drew small comfort from it. It is. In long robes came and went. One of them seemed almost as badly off as the rat. Hey, Tappling. Isn't that Dürer coming back? Oh, let me see. Yes, it is. With a string of loaded donkeys and a herd of cattle and men carrying grain sacks. Scrawny cattle. Yeah, we're lucky to get even these. All right, Mr. Dürer. Load them on the light-os and we'll hand over the gold. Lively now. And look, there's three of them fainted already, Tappling. So long as they finish the loading, Hornblower. Look, they just lie there and they all act as if they were drunk. You know, it's pretty curious. It's the sun. Here's Dürer now. Capitol, Mr. Dürer, everything's just about on board. Oh, Hornblower, if you'll have that gold handed out, Tappling. Hey, wait a minute. What? Mr. Dürer, Dürer, what is it? What's the matter? I am most ill-bored. Oh, no, gladious, that is. He swine on the stiff clothes, wise to the wise. I soared. I feel burning up. Oh, the sun. No, my head. My... Oh, neither were the others. Nor that first Muslim who keeled over. Nor was it the sun, by heavens, and that rat, Hornblower. That rat that had difficulty in finding the drain pipe. Yes, do you think it's... It's the plague, the Black Death. I saw it in Smyrna in 1994. Special to the next dock, the Karstinosa, rowing out to sea. The whole town is in a panic. Look at them running everywhere. There's no sense of leaving the gold sitting here on dark side. Matthews, Hunter, pass it back on board the longboat. But, sir, I confound you, that is an order. What do we do now? We've already picked up the plague. Desolation the next morning, and the squadron left us behind. Signal gun from the Indefatigable Tatling. Oh, saying fair well, eh? Getting a salute is an acting lieutenant. I hope I can prove worthy of it now. We'll be prepared to set sail and leave the Gulf of Oran. And before we did, one of the Moorish craft called Zebex came rowing out from the harbor. Strange gibberish was called at us. You have been fighting the Hunter, Hunter, when you get the head of him. Well, that's what they're saying, Tatling. Can you make it out? Well, something about their money, I think. Their money? All the 7,000 guineas. Well, at least they're not frightened enough of the plague to forget that, are they? Well, they're frightened enough to stay well clear. Well, the money's theirs. There's no doubt about that. Well, how do we get it to them unless we close in? Well, eh, tell them we'll seal it up in a couple of run-punctions and float it down to them. I'm just as anxious to stay clear of them as they are of us. Matthews, sir. Oh, and Matthews, have the crew stand by to hoist sail. We belong three weeks ahead of us. Board the caravan. We've got 20 men to handle her. We had our hands full. We'll have no other problems as well.  We'll have to do something about them cattle, sir. The men will have to do double duty, Matthews. I want every man to stand the second watch. And it'll be employed in mucking out. Mucking out? Cleaning the cattle stalls, Matthews. Have you ever been a farmer? Cleaning out the stalls. What is it, Father? Don't tell me the men are complaining of their rations. We're giving every one of you fresh meat. We slaughter a bullock a day. Oh, no, sir, it ain't that. That fresh meat is welcome. Well, there ain't hardly one of us ever tasted a steak before. No, sir, it's this Greek. She's leaking very bad, sir. She's leaking very bad. We'll man the pumps. Pumps night and day. No, Matthews. No sign of plague, is there? There's no sign of plague for that. We're 15 days out of Oran already. No sign of plague, yes. We may escape it entirely. There's something else we can't escape, sir. We've run out of water. What, sir? Aye, sir, clean out. Yes, but there was plenty. Captain Tullew had the cattle iron well stocked before the squadron left us. He forgot about them cattle, sir. They drinks water, too. Gallons of it. The quarantine period is three weeks, Matthews. We've got to hang on out here for another six days. Somewhere. Can't be done, sir. Not without fresh water. Sir, they started a sale around the far point. What? They think it's a Spanish Coastal Gold Lugger. Coast Guard, eh? Matthews. Sir? How many hands do you think that lugger carries? How many, sir? A word. I should judge 25. Yes, sir. I will have the outside 30, and we have 20. Sir, you ain't thinking nothing. I am. I am. Listen. She carries four, eight pounders. So long as she doesn't stand off and use them, we may have a chance. Sir? Aye, sir. I want you to choose two men and show yourselves up here at the helm with me. Aye, aye, sir. I want everybody else to stay out of sight behind the railing. Hand out pistols and cutleresses to all hands, Matthews. Aye, sir. Mr. Tappley may also serve, so see that he's armed. I want every man ready to jump. And if a man shows himself before I give the order, you will shoot him, Matthews, with your own hand. Aye, aye, sir. We're showing no colors. Our plans legal under the laws of war. The weight of the lugger comes alongside the men. Order.  No, let's hope they don't, Matthews. Their job is to apprehend smugglers. Let them take us for smugglers and we have a chance. A good chance. But even now how excited I was, how my knees trembled and to what pains I went to conceal it. And I remember being grateful for those cattle. All that voyage they've grated on my nerves with their mournful bellowing. But now I welcomed it. Who would expect a ship laden with cattle to be prepared to fight? A warning shot, sir? Yes. How far back? I'm going to heap two, aren't I? You men, main tops or braces? They don't suspect nothing, sir. They're laughing. About the cattle I expect. Some board is about to wireless, sir. Arm yourself, sir. You've got a pistol. I'm certain that my voice cracked when I gave the command for my crew to follow me. I ran across the deck and with a gulp flung myself down upon the Spaniard's deck. And the men came pouring down. Things have much in all my life. Taking a prize. And we were fortunate, Mr. Tatling. Why, I've never... Hornblower, I think, forgot why. There hasn't been a sign of the plague since we set out. Quarantine period will soon be over. Can't we head for Gibraltar with safety? I'm certain of it, Mr. Tatling. Lieutenant Hornblower, safely in with supplies for the fleet and a prize to boot. Expected praise, I got little of it. I reported to Captain Ballew. Lodded and dismissed me. And the only comment I received came from the chief commissary of the squadron when I presented to him my accounting of the supplies. Mr. Hornblower, do me to tell me that you allowed your crew to eat fresh beef, a bullocker day for your men, that was once an extravagance, Mr. Hornblower. I'm surprised at you. Yes, sir.


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A wife center husband this picture in the message said come home early I've got a surprise for you, so he raised home almost crashing the car thinking he was about to get lucky only to find That she just adopted a black cat That's a cat not panties you dirty dirty dirties Squirrel squirrel Today we're acting to a little interview ex we've seen a Different part of this interview it's the one with a bunch of people from South Industries Hindi Industries Renvier's there alias VJ is there. Yeah, this is VJ Sarapathy and Renvier talk about super deluxe obviously VJ was the transgender In that and did a phenomenal job. Yep. My favorite part of the film He once again Rick is dumb, but you have already read that was my favorite part of the film Yeah, because I love that.  Oh, he's so fun No, I've already reacted to a few I've heard of this interview talks about His perform performance in super deluxe and Ranveer shares his thoughts about the film as well. Cool. So I Found it. I found it. You've seen clips of yes, I think all these people were not lucked by chance Well, some of them were No, they were no they weren't in fact none of them were No, no, they're all too young. Yeah. Well, probably not I guess well, my knowledge is not too young He wasn't in it if he wasn't was something we missed was The one who wasn't in it and could have been it should have been who sorry Taj. That's true. Come on. Where was safe? I like on here we go Yeah, but when he was nervous that I liked so much and the way it was that I was so awesome and I like to hear and I was telling my Wine once in my kid asked me why you didn't Bones a female That's he was so well, and I I decided that I don't want to miss this I don't know how I'm going to do this, but I don't know Mrs. So I told my victim actually so you don't need to pay me any money then I just want to do this So on the first day I seen it talk about I think 50 60 takes So then finally I realized that a female inside me Then I got I never wanted to copy from anybody. It's just I want to feel inside me Good if it touches me that I never go on was the monitor You don't see them. I don't I don't so I just have to feel inside If it touches me, then I feel it's okay So I don't mind and I don't believe in a concept of doing it won't take a truth It takes a number of this that doesn't matter. So because I don't want to take it. Yeah You'll know. Yeah I don't make So He seems like a very genuine guy.  Please yeah, and then I watched it last good tea is a phenomenon That kid was awesome Whoever hasn't seen it must watch it for the chemistry between you and the child that kid was great Yeah He's very good He never see okay, you always ask for one more. So you're one day that the kid was There is one scene that he's fighting with other kids. No, that's it by himself a directive, okay? So the two kids are acting and he says action cut one more. He's not That video why did it end like that from a nice quiet conversation? Okay, it's in fun house. It's clearly not the original channel Yeah, I don't know what that was.  Yeah, like he seems to and loved what he said actually That the fact that it took him 50 or 60 takes to actually Start Feeling this character. Yeah, sometimes it takes that long to to and sometimes it takes a long It's sometimes you don't get it, but they you literally have to do your job Yeah, I think people talked about that people actors who are well established actors like I didn't get it till multiple days into the shoot. Yeah, and sometimes sometimes Struggling in the midst of it. Yeah, there's a there's a story that he won't care because he's told this publicly but Howard fine Brad Pitt was doing interview with a vampire. Mm-hmm and was struggling He was in New Orleans and he couldn't find he did struggle early in his career What he was what he was dealing with and so he had he asked Howard to come to New Orleans and work with him and Help him to find because that very thing and what what what he said what VJ said It is Evidence that he is an actor and what he said was not just the number of takes is kind of immaterial The only thing that matters with the number of takes is how long you're going what it costs the production as far as the artist He's concerned you just do it till you get it Yeah, sometimes you get it in the first take and it's like that was it and every and you know Sometimes yeah, sometimes it's seven eight nine and and you're asking for another take because you're like I don't know why it's not there. Something's not clicking and but when he said there came a point where he finally found the woman inside of him That is all you need to hear him say to know that that guy's an actor because that's exactly What a good well-trained actor is going to do they're not going to be looking for something external to find some kind of a gimmick to Make you think they're a woman. They're gonna look at the part of themselves That is feminine the part of themselves that what would it be like if I were this person? Yeah, and and find that and a lot that's why acting training is so important for a lot of actors is because and I've done this in acting Training and classes I've taught is you need to understand the difference between walls and boundaries and what those are for you as an actor because a Boundary is a healthy place for yourself where you know That's a role. I'm probably not gonna take because I'm not gonna go into that place That's fine a wall is where you absolutely should be tapping into that thing And you should be portraying that character and the only reason you're not doing it It's because you have a fear or you have some kind of a hang up I remember doing an acting workshop. It was with Nathan Oh, and the very first thing I was waiting to see what kind of buttons were gonna be pushed because because my Acting coach was great. First thing she got him to do was cuss like a sailor And he he as you know He was really struggling He was struggling that was for him and he had to come to terms with is that really a wall for me? Where I feel like I'm restricted to myself or is that a personal boundary for me and clearly? He knows the difference between the two and is that's evident in his performance. Yeah He works inside out which you should of his and you know, I love that movie Yeah, I thought and I love that kid in it as well that kid was extremely shown you have to even admit that My favorite part of the film and the only thing I really liked about the film was VJ and the relationship with the kid everything most everything else. I didn't really like and don't watch porn.  Yeah, that's how I ended that review That's right. Yeah, don't watch porn. Please you went on a wrecked about it. Yes, I did that was That film is great. Don't listen to Rick.