The following is a presentation of T-F-N-N. Trade what you see with Larry Pezzavento. Oh, toll free at 1-877-927-6648 or internationally at<PHONE_NUMBER>. Now, Larry Pezzavento. Okay, folks, I've been asked to talk a little bit here about the book by William Garrett, The Thrust Method of Stock Market Cycles. That book was written at the same time that Jim Hurst wrote his book about the prophet magic of stock trantext and timing in the 1972 era, both published by, was it Simon and Schuster? I believe so, and it was one of the major ones. I don't think it was Simon and Schuster. It's on my desk here. I got so many books on my desk. I probably wouldn't be able to find it. I believe it was Simon and Schuster. It was one of the big ones. All I know are those two books. The prophet magic sold for $8.95. The Thrust book cost $29.95. $29.95 back in 1972, folks, with a minimum wage was $1.75. It was a lot of money. They only sold 200 of those books, but let me go through the whole story of this. It was a rare book, and I happened to have a copy of it.  He said, do you have that book by William Garrett? I said, yes, I do. He said, I'll trade you that book for any book that I have in my library. He says, what do you have? He said, well, come over and look. Thereby, son of a gun, the brain cloud gods have got me under a thunderstorm right now. I can't think of a very famous dude during the 20s and 30s, and it was a system that Larry William wanted to have, and so I traded him a copy of that book, and he said, okay, thank you very much, and I went on my way, and that book was a technical analysis of really heavy geometry stuff. Remember, folks, this was 1983, 84, I believe, and so I hadn't really gotten into wave structure with Bryce Gilmore until 1988 when I met Bryce in Chicago. So I met Chicago and I met Bryce, and we hit it off pretty good, and he ended up coming to Pismo Beach from Chicago and spent about two months with me, and he did that every year for the next five years, and he had his WaveTrader program, and he had a bunch of stuff, but one night I was going through some old charts, and this popped up, and I looked at that, and I said, gee, that looks something that maybe Bryce would be interested in, so I took a picture of it over, and I got it put on one of those little thermal fax papers, and I faxed it over to him in the UK, excuse me, he was in Australia, and I just sent it to him, and I said, interesting, and I put a little question mark. About 1.30 in the morning, I get a call, and I'm with my main squeeze at the time, and I don't remember which one it was, there were so many of them, I forget. It was one of the ladies at the nursing home, but I can't remember which one. Anyway, I get a call, and I hear it's Bryce, and so I'm like, hey, what's up? He said, hey, where did you get this picture? And I said, it came from a book by William Garrett. He said, look, he said, I got to have this book now, and I said, well, I'll tell you what, I'll ship it to you tomorrow. He said, I got to have it now. And I said, Bryce, it's 1.30 in the morning. I said, the only place open is the university print shop, and he said, I want it now. He said, look, have I ever asked you for anything? And I said, not yet, but it looks like today's the day, so I got out of bed, I went over to the Cal Poly bookstore, a book shop, and I was at a printing department at the university, and I printed out this picture of this book, and there was 269 pages. So I had those put on. Remember, this is thermal fax time, folks. This isn't the easy fax time. And so I had him ship it to him. And then by, let me see, about 8 o'clock the next morning, I'm in the office there in Pismo Beach, and he gives me another call. He said, I got to find out about this gentleman. And I said, well, I said, he was living in Hawaii. I said, he died. He was a broker at Walston and company, and he was a good friend of Ross Perot. And I said, nobody else know much about him. I know that his wife is alive. And he said, well, let's give her a call. So I called his wife. She was living on Alamoana Boulevard in a beautiful two bedroom apartment overlooking the ocean. And I called her up and said, well, no one's ever interested in my book. And I said, well, tell me a little bit about your husband. And he said, well, he had an account with E.F. Hutton. He worked for Walston and company, and we had money from the farm that he inherited from his father. But all my husband ever did was study the markets. He had all these rare books. And I said, I said, where are these rare books? She said, well, we gave them all to the University of Hawaii. And she said, strange, you know, she said two weeks after we gave them the books, all of the books were stolen. They were taken out, never returned. I said, oh, brother, I said, I said, do you have any books from your husband's publication? She says, I have three left. She says, we only sold 200 books. And I said, oh, my goodness. And I said, look, I might have some more interest. I said, I'll call you back. So I called Bryce, told him what happened. He said, let's have her come over to California and let's talk to her. And I said, OK. So I called her back up. I said, how would you like a trip to California on us? Oh, she said, I'll have a brother in Fresno. I'd love to do that. So she came over and she spent about a day with us. And I ended up buying the rights to the book for $5,000. But anyway, I want to go through what's happening about this book because this book was one of the books that changed my life. It's so far over my head, folks, that I'm not really concerned about all these circles and the numbers. I like the FUT. You see the Fibonacci numbers here and stuff like that. But this is what makes the cycles move. This is really the book about cycles. So far, far better than the one that Jim Hurst wrote. And Jim was my customer for three years when I was at Drexel. So I know him personally. And if he were alive and looked at this book, he'd say the same thing. But this book had all the stuff that was necessary. Bryce got so excited about it that after, you know, we arranged that he was going to meet Mrs. Garrett. He came over a few days later. We all met. And he said, this chart is what I've been looking for my whole life. He says, because what it does, it takes a square. If you can see, it starts with a square and the square moves to a circle. And the circle moves to an ellipse. And he said, all of these are related. And he said, these are how you square a circle and how the prices move into these time frames. Now I want you to pay really close attention to this one right here, folks, because this is what happened in Treasury Bonds last night. We've been talking about it all week. Forget the numbers over here. Just look at the patterns, because we'll look at it a little bit later. But that's what this is really all about, is went right up to this level. And then we're going to take a look about it. So the other part of this session today, I've got lots of questions. I'm worn out of trading, so I'm not going to probably give any recommendations because I'm recommendation doubt. We had such a good day trading on Wednesday that I'm a little bit tired. We did okay. We made $1,600, which was a good day. However, let's move on here and talk about a few other things that we're going to come up at the break. I want to talk about harmonic numbers, all of these things came related to this with my help of 20 men. And then we're going to talk about the use of trailing stops. And I'll show you what I learned from the years that I worked, the two years I worked at Commodity Corporation. Maybe that'll be a little bit of an idea. And we'll take a look at some of these other things that we're paying close attention to. So let's take a little break here. We come back. We'll get to the second part of this process here, okay? And we'll be right back. Steve Rhodes started his trading career as a student almost 20 years ago and the student has now become the master. Steve won the prestigious Timer of the Year award in 2018 and barely missed that mark again in 2019, finishing it number two for the year. An amazing accomplishment. Steve Rhodes is committed to sharing his techniques and knowledge with anyone who wants to learn. And he shares his vast amount of trading knowledge every day in his Mastering Probability newsletter. Steve's award-winning newsletter, Mastering Probability, is delivered every trading day with updates throughout the afternoon. Sign up for Steve's market newsletter, Mastering Probability, and you'll receive access to seven of Steve's educational webinars absolutely free. At TFNN, all our newsletters come with a 30-day money-back guarantee, so you have absolutely nothing to worry about. Visit TFNN.com and try Mastering Probability 30 Days Risk-Free Today. TFNN Educating Investors. Are you ready to take your trading to the next level? Introducing Tom O'Brien's award-winning newsletter, Market Insights, your key to successful active trading. Tom O'Brien, renowned for his expertise in the financial markets, has designed Market Insights to be your daily guide to profitable trades. 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Currencies, commodities, and bond markets are as important as ever right now with how they're driving the volatility in equity markets across the globe, which is why it's a great time to try out Teddy Kekstat's Tiger Forex report. Teddy Kekstat breaks down the Forex markets every Monday using his 30-plus years of experience as a trading veteran of futures, forex, stocks, and options. Teddy releases his weekly Tiger Forex report every Monday morning with coverage of all the major currency pairs, including the Dollar Index, the Euro Dollar, Pound Dollar, Dollar Swiss, Dollar Yen, as well as many more, and he also has weekly coverage of the crude oil market and the 30-year T-bonds as they both influence forex markets tremendously. When you sign up for the Tiger Forex report, you also gain instant access to Teddy's 60-minute webinar archive he just hosted, forex strategies, and fundamentals what is behind the Tiger Forex report. For all the details and to start your 30-day Tiger Forex report subscription today, visit the front page of TFNN.com. TFNN Educating Investors. Toll Free at 1-877-927-6648, internationally at<PHONE_NUMBER>. Okay, folks, we're going to take a look here at this Treasury Bonds on a daily chart. You remember when I pointed you to these numbers, expanding numbers that we just looked at on that thrust method? That's basically what that was saying, is how the market thrusts and move-ups in the same ratios of 127, 127, or 1.618. But what's important for what we do is that if it comes in exactly at the 386, 61% retracement on the daily, like we've done here, the high overnight was 116.07, 05. The number is 116.07. We dropped a full handle, a little more than 1,000 bucks, which you're risking 20 ticks. You've already made your first profit objective. Now your stop would be at break-even at 10602. That's where I sent it out last night when it was trading around 10602, 1063, 1062, 1063, and stayed there for quite a while, and then it sold off a little bit. So this is what that's all about with that. The reason why that's important, folks, is because I was a floor trader.  If you were lucky to have a broker that had a phone desk at the Merc or the border trade, or you had to send by teletype. If you were dealing with Dean Witter, he had Hutton, Merrill Lynch, and stuff like that because they didn't have enough phones to go around, so they had to use teletype in order to send the orders in. That was a big difference. Now, folks, look what you've got here.  You're in the pit. You don't have to look at the other side. You don't have to worry about outtrades instantaneously.  I mean, how could you not love that? I mean, I knew I was going to be able to beat this game, but I had no idea that the internet was going to be able to make it so simple for me. Remember, back in those days, I mean, we're talking back when I was alive. I still had to call those orders in. We didn't have the internet until the late 90s. So this is the big difference. I'm really good at short-term trading because I can see where the order flow is just by looking at where the orders are coming from. I don't have to wait to see phone calls or anything like that. I can see the actual buying and selling, and that's why I only look at the bar charts. That's all I look at. That's the only thing that I really have a lot of, what do I call it, faith in. So that's why I do that. That's what I wanted to show you was that particular pattern. All I did with my relationship with Bryce was he had this program called the Wave Trader. I'm going to show you basically what the Wave Trader did. Now, this is my chart, the way that it is. Now, the Wave Trader, I'm going to get this up here. Hopefully I do it right because I haven't done this in a long time. We'll do this. Well, I'm going to have to change this. Now, watch, I'm going to show you what I'm going to do. I have to go here, and then I've got to go to Pestimental Patterns, and I've got to go down on the properties. And this is what I want to get. Now, here's what you have to watch. Let me get rid of this. Now, you see the size of the swings and stuff like this. What I'm going to do now is to get them to change so that we can see a whole lot of others. I might have to do it this way. I haven't done this in so long. I shouldn't even mess with it. No, I can't because let me see. Try it this way. Yeah, there you go. I'm going to show you.  See, 1, 6, 6, and these are out to the 100th decimal point, 1, 5, 7, 2.96, 4, 4, 6, 1, 8, all that stuff. You see, that's what that's doing when it's doing that. Well, that's a little bit too much clutter for a trader, right? So what I have to do is I have to determine which one of these I want to use. Now, as we look at this, we're coming in at a 61% retracement of this high right back here, 55% retracement of this high right here and almost 0.3 exact of this high that is way back there. So this is a big daddy rabbit here. It might not go down here, but by golly, this is what the fat lady's looking for. So let's keep in mind that that's what you want to be watching. It might get up here to 1, 6, 0, 7 again. We don't know. That's basically it. Now, what I did, as I made, in fact, is just a little while ago, looking down this on a smaller time frame, you see we came down here, we made this A, remember this is four minutes and that's what I use when I'm into day trading. And what I'm doing is I'm interested, I'm watching in these markets go like this.  So I sold it up here at 02, I covered it at 02. Now it's rallying back, so all I'm going to be doing now is I'm going to be selling at the 3, 8, 2 of the way back and you'll see where that came in right at the good old price. I sold it back at 14 and I put my stop here above 28. So no matter what happens, I'm going to make $500 today, even if I do get stopped. But if we end up getting up here today one more time to 07 because that's the actual key number. Believe me, these numbers are pretty accurate, so pay attention. You can see 06, 07 is the number, Ohio's been high. We might get to 07. Now if we close above 07, then maybe it's not going to work. But when you're micromanaging and you're trying to keep your loss of small, you put your order on when you see the pattern, you go down to your smaller timeframes and that's what you really want to be doing. So that's it. I made 32 ticks on the way back, I'm giving eight of them back. I'm only giving a third of them back. That's not bad trading, at least in my opinion. So let's remind ourselves of that. Now since we talk here quite a bit about, I think that's the things I wanted to cover about the Garrett book. That was the most important thing that someone asked me about. That book I have it on a PDF file. If you make a donation, I'll be happy to give it to you. It's for sale on the internet for about $120 hard copy. There's only a few of them that you can get. But if you want it on a PDF file, I have that. And if you make a donation to the charity that we use here in Tucson, The Gospel Mission, I'd be more than happy to. I'd give it to you free, but it's not, it's a book that shouldn't be free because it's got so much good information. If you like technical analysis, if you don't, if you don't like technical analysis, for God's sake, don't buy the book. There's no stories in there. It's all about patterns, ratios, and numbers. He was heavy into Egyptian stuff. So that's what it's all about. So I'm not making a sales pitch for anything, but it was a very good book. Over this cowboy's head, but anything after Dick Tracy in the return of Mr. X, it's a little tough for me. So let's keep that in mind as we look at some of these things. Now let's get over for a second here. And we have another question that someone asked us about. And that is the harmonic numbers. We've got a break coming up here pretty soon. I tried to get 20 men today to come on the show, but he's on a bike ride. He's 79 years old, and he's riding his bicycle to San Francisco from San Luis Obispo. 240 miles. They're doing it in three days. And everybody there is over 70. And I said, how many think he'll die on the way? And he didn't say anything. So he was not too excited. He was not too happy to hear about that. But anyway, that's what we're paying attention to here today. As we look at, so let's double check to see where we are with time. We've got about 54 seconds left till we get into the next section, which I'm going to have some people have asked me questions about the harmonic numbers that I talk about all the time. And then also when we have something going on with the hello operator, what's the other one we want to be talking about the harmonic number? Oh, how to use the volatility stop or trailing stops, the way to use trailing stops. I don't use trailing stops because, you know, that's just my way of looking at things. Okay, let's take a break here. We'll be right back.<PHONE_NUMBER>. The Gold Report. As a precious metal, gold is still king. It continues to hold the most effective safe haven and hedging properties across the global major trading hubs of the London OTC market, the US futures market, and the Shanghai Gold Exchange. The Gold Report. Tom O'Brien publishes his weekly Gold Report every Monday morning for subscribers, consisting of coverage of the XAU, HUI, GDX, the Dollar, Bonds, the South African Rand, as well as 25 different mining equities with specific buy-sell recommendations. The Gold Report. New subscribers get a 30-day money-back guarantee so you have nothing to risk. 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Introducing Tom O'Brien's award-winning newsletter Market Insights, your key to successful active trading. Tom O'Brien, renowned for his expertise in the financial markets, has designed Market Insights to be your daily guide to profitable trades. Tom publishes his daily Market Insights newsletter every market day before the market open, along with updates when warranted. Stay ahead of the game with Tom's real-time analysis and trade recommendations delivered straight to your inbox.  Ready to join the ranks of successful traders? Head over to TFNN.com and subscribe to Market Insights today. Don't miss out on this opportunity to supercharge your trading results. Market Insights comes with a 30-day money-back guarantee for all new subscribers, so you have nothing to risk. Don't miss out on this opportunity to revolutionize your trading game. Head over to TFNN.com right now to join the thousands of traders who have already experienced the power of Tom O'Brien's award-winning newsletter Market Insights firsthand. TFNN. Educating investors. Biotech is booming, but for how long? Whether you think the Biotech bull has room to run or has run its course, trade LABU or LABD. Directions daily S&P Biotech three times bull and bear ETFs. Visit DirectionInvestments.com slash Biotech today. An investor should consider the investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses of the Direction Chairs carefully before investing. The Prospectus and Summary Prospectus contain this and other information about Direction Chairs. To obtain a Prospectus or Summary Prospectus, please contact Direction Chairs at<PHONE_NUMBER>. The Prospectus or Summary Prospectus should be read carefully before investing. An investment in the funds is subject to risk, including the possible loss of principal. The funds are designed to be utilized only by sophisticated investors such as traders and active investors. Distributor, Foresight Fund Services, LLC. Hey folks, we're talking about the Volatility Stop Index for trailing stops, and I'm just going to put it up here. There it is right here for Tesla. You'll see it gets you long here. You get whipsawed right here. You're long again. You get out. You stay short. This is one heck of a system, folks. I mean, it looks really pretty good, doesn't it? I mean, just by eyeballing it, look, it gets you short right there on the close. It gets you long there on the close. You're still long. And it's based on a multiplier of 1.618. Now, I will bet a nickel to a donut. Let's do one other one just for the heck of it. Let's pick up one that's been really, really wacky. Well, they're all wacky lately, but let's take a look at T. Which one is Target? TGT is Target, I believe, right? T. Target. Yeah, it's been, oh my goodness. Look at this one here.  See, this is still with all the things that's at the 3-8-2 right now. But let's just put in, get rid of this. And we will delete all of that. And we're going to put in the volatile... Delete it all. Hold on. Delete all is what I want. This is what I want. And we'll just put in the volatility stop. Now, you can see here that it hugs pretty good. But look at this. This is pretty nicely. Now, this is based on... Here, it gets you long here. Look, right there, right before this thing takes off. See, it goes once above the line. What you're supposed to do, this wouldn't have got you long because you had to close above the line. That would have been marginal because the high on the day was 112 and it closed at 111. So that probably, you wouldn't have got in on that. But the rest of it is pretty good. But you can see here, it bounces around a little bit. Now, I don't know anything about it, but please, I'm going to try to help you here. And I don't know if it's going to work or not, but we're going to come up here and go type in volatility stop. Vol... Oh, better learn how to spell it. Vol, T-I-L, volatility stop. Okay, and we're going to hit that indicator. Here it is. We'll get it up here like this. Now, this is all... Okay, hopefully we're going to be able to find it here because I know you're going to have lots of questions. Here, volatility stop indicator session. So, okay. Anyway, just Google it and they'll give you all the stuff. The thing is, don't tell anybody that you're using 1.618 because that's the key. If you change the volatility stop parameter, if you come up here like this, I've never been in this doing so long. I'm going to get into trouble doing this, I'm sure. You see how it's 1.6 right here? All right, now you can change it. Now, watch how it changes on the board here when I change it to 2. You see how it's changing? As you see it change like that. What we've done is we've just looked at it. Well, I haven't done anything for so long. We've kept it at 1.618. That seems to be the best of any of the ones that we looked at. So, that's the end of that story and I'm sticking to it. Basically, if you look at this without... Let's get rid of this since we're talking about that. We'll delete all. This is a bearish pattern here in Tesla. No matter any way you look at it, there's your ABCD pattern right here. I'll just draw it in. We'll draw it in from the high. There's your ABCD right here. There's X up here. That's a 50% retracement and you can see here we've got lower tops in here. Just pretty much spot on, lower tops. Setting right at the 50% just two days ago. We're doing nothing right now. This is a bearish pattern, folks, in Tesla. There's no question about it. If we look at it on the volatility, you're long from right down here. It's got to go below 220 before it's bearish. Right now, I'm not going to be using this volatility thing very much because I don't use it, but some of you are looking for a system. Take a look at it. It might have some good things in there for you. That's the last one. Now I want to share something from our good man, the Wolf Trader. Hold on a second. I've got to get to Skype a minute. There's what I want to show you. This is his... What do you call it? Start thing. It's optimized planetary speed index. Folks, I really believe in this planetary speed index. It's got a really big, really good spot in here. The day is the 19th, which is Sunday. So this should be Friday. Should be the day Friday or Sunday. We should start to go down. This thing has a better than 75 or 80%. Look at some of these hits on these things, folks, that tell you that the market's moving. I mean, some of these have been really spot on. Now we had a full moon here on the 13th, which was six, five, four days ago, and nothing happened. So, you know, this didn't have anything to do with this, but this is going to be interesting to see what happens. We're right over something really big. We know what your risk factor is, so pay attention. You don't want to be getting too long up in this area just because of some of these things that we're looking at. I've told you pretty much where you are with some of the things that we're looking at. Okay, the last one that someone asked me about, hold on one second. Wow, how do I cover all this? Okay, let's go to a half-hour chart. That's where this stuff all started, okay? There is the half-hour chart for the Treasury bonds, and the person asked about harmonic numbers, okay? Now, I'm just going to give you a bird's-eye view of what it is because, believe me, this has got a lot of work and millions of, well, not millions, oh, easy, millions of iterations in it. And so many hours that you don't even want to think about.  Well, that's what harmonic number is. Let me just show you. We did this on a MIPS computer at Pismo Beach. We wore two of those machines out. MIPS means million of integers per second, okay? Now, that is most probably a harmonic number. The reason why is you'll see that it is an AB equals CD, correct? Now, if you see this once, you're going to see it more than once down the road because these things bounce around. Look at this one here. See that move right there? Almost perfect. You go back and look at some others, and all what it does is, is the market moves, it starts to vibrate, and it doesn't buy. You know that thing I just sent you with William Hearst? That's, that's not Hearst. William Garrett. Sorry, Mr. Garrett. He died quite, he died in 1960, so it was a long, long time ago. Excuse me, 1970. Anyway, that's what, 1974 he died. Not 70, not 70, it's 1974, but that's what harmonic numbers are. You want to go back and look at them and see them repeat over and over again. See, because you don't see it here, but it'll come back and it'll repeat itself again and again, and you see it repeats itself. So what you want to do is you mark that over here like this from 11420 down to 11226. You'll see that that's a point and a half, correct? All right, you cut that in half, cut that move in half, and you'll just see, put this up. The MIPS computer did this for us. You see, this is, this is what that MIPS means, millions of integers per second. And all it did was it took all of these swings because they're all interrelated and it found where they were. Bang, bang, bang. Shouldn't be giving this stuff away for free. Bang, bang, bang. What it's really good for, folks, is this little puppy right here. This is what it's really super good for.  You say, hmm, that's an interesting one. It happens all the time. You know why? That's your maximum risk control. You go over here, you put it in right there. That's not the run I want to do. Hold on a second.  It's been a rough week. Well, not rough. It's just been fun. Okay. All right. There it tells you that the maximum risk that you take in bonds at any one time is one point. 1206, 1203. That's one point in bonds. 32 handles, folks. 32 pips. We'll be right back.<PHONE_NUMBER>. Believe me, now it's time. Capital corn. If you're looking for potential trading setups in the stock market, then Rocket Equities & Options Report is a newsletter you should try. Tommy O'Brien delivers options and equity trades when the markets present them, using a combination of fundamentals and technicals. Sign up for Rocket Equities & Options Report today with a 30-day money-back guarantee so you have nothing to risk. For all the details and to start your subscription today, visit the front page of TFNN.com. TFN, educating investors. You might think that if you want to be successful at trading in the stock market, you're going to need a crystal ball. After all, it's impossible to predict the future, right? 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There's no catch or added costs when you join our community of traders. Sign up today and become a part of this educational community of traders. Just visit the front page of TFNN.com. Folks, we have a guest caller. Michael, how are you doing? I'm here. How are you doing today, my friend? Larry, thanks for taking my call. I know next week's setup. We've got Invitey's earnings being released Tuesday at 4 p.m. Would you stay short the N2s? That's a long time, but I will say, I've got the daily chart up here for NASDAQ. It's very interesting. We have not taken out yesterday's high as of yet in the NASDAQ. We've matched it. We're close to it right now, but we've matched it. If you look at this on a really short-term basis, we'll go down to a 13-minute chart. All we've been able to do, there's where the high was. We've matched the high from yesterday, and all we're looking at so far is a very, very shallow retracement. It hasn't even made a 61% retracement yet. That's what we're paying to you. See the high? We matched the high from yesterday. That's a really important sign. Now, if we get above that, we'll just get to this level where it'll complete an ABCD, but I agree with you. If I had to put a gun to my head and it's easy, the bullets bounce off, but I would say, let's take a quick look at the NVIDIA since you're kind enough to call in. I don't look at charts very often, but we've got just a short period of time here. NVIDIA starts with us get to hourly chart. Should be as bullish as all get out, and it is. You can see here they're expecting a bullish thing. We've come down, and we've already retraced back yesterday's high. We came in to exactly 78% level today. We haven't taken it out yet, so that's a negative. So I'll tell you what though, Mike, I wouldn't put 10 cents on any of these programs for going into a report. It is worthy, everybody. Hey, thanks for joining us. We're out of time. Make God bless. On Monday, folks, make God bless. Live every day in an attitude of gratitude and make God bless.


I think we're at the early stage of algorithmic regulation and kind of reining in the freehand that tech companies have had over the past decade or so. I think what we need to have is an inventory of AI systems as they're used in government. Is your police department using facial surveillance? Is your court system using criminal sentencing algorithms? Is your social service department determining your access to healthcare or food assistance using an algorithm? You need to figure out where those systems are so we can begin to know where do we ask for more transparency. When we're using taxpayer dollars to purchase an algorithm, then that's going to make decisions for millions of people. For example, Michigan purchased the Midas algorithm, which was over $40 million and it was designed to send out unemployment checks to people who recently lost their job. They accused thousands, 40,000 people of fraud. Many people went bankrupt. The algorithm was wrong. When you're purchasing these expensive systems, there needs to be a risk assessment done around who could be impacted negatively by this. This obviously wasn't tested enough in Michigan. Specifically in the finance industry, banks are allowed to collect data on mortgage, loan, race, and ethnicity. I think we need to expand that so that they are allowed to collect that data on personal loans, car loans, small business loans, that type of transparency and allowing regulators, academia, folks like that to study those decisions that they've made and essentially hold those companies accountable for the results of their systems is necessary.


The lawyers need to clap every now and again as well. And my guest will be Malcolm Johnson, Deputy Secretary General of the ITU. So please greet Malcolm. And Malcolm has an illustrious career over many years in the ICT sector and at the ITU without going into all of his background, just to also mention that he has served in his current capacity for the past two years and before that was the Director of ITU's Telecommunication Standardization Bureau, where he spearheaded activities in particular in cybersecurity, climate change and accessibility. And of equal interest to this audience increased the participation and involvement of developing countries and the academia and standard setting, which is part of the mission of PTC in terms of developing countries in the Asia PAC region and kind of bringing academia and research and business together. Malcolm, thank you for joining us today. Appreciate it very much. The art topic today is talking about the business case for sustainable development and of course in particular the role of ICT in achieving those goals. The ITU has many functions including as we know spectrum allocation and standard setting. But in terms of the sustainable development goals, if you can kind of educate all of us here today as to what those are and how the ICT sector can relate and support those goals. OK, thank you very much. Tara, good morning everybody. Thank you for coming along. I'd like to thank PTC for inviting me here. I did have the pleasure of joining PTC four years ago, so it's very nice to be back and to see how much the participation has grown in that time. So yes, I'm going to talk to you about the UN's sustainable development agenda. This was adopted in September 2015 by the UN General Assembly. So that means it's been adopted by all the heads of state of the UN member states. So it has the highest level of political endorsement. And this was established to replace the millennium development goals, which finished in 2015. The sustainable development goals, SDGs, they applied to all countries, whereas the millennium development goals were only for the developing countries. So this is an important difference. And they're very ambitious goals, which are intended to be met by 2030. So just to give you an example of what they cover, they state that we should end poverty and hunger by 2030. Everyone should have the provision of quality education by then, and also issues such as health care and many other issues. So they're very, very ambitious. And if you look at these goals and the targets related to them, there aren't any countries at the moment that meet them. So even the developed countries are going to have to do a lot of work to meet these goals. And countries will be providing information every year on how successful they are in moving towards the achievement of these goals. And that will be done each July. So if you look at the targets, it's quite clear that they're all going to need to rely heavily on information and communication technology. Just to give you an example, one of the targets is to have the number of deaths and injuries on roads. So clearly, ICT is going to be used there for traffic management, for anti-collision radar on cars, for autonomous vehicles, self-drive vehicles to be able to achieve that net goal, and then substantially increasing water usage efficiency is another critical goal because there's a lot of critical shortage of water in many countries. So there again, you're going to need the technology for RFIs for identifying water leaks so that people can quickly get to them to repair the leaks, but also for measuring and making the irrigation more efficient. Many irrigation schemes over water. So we can use the technology to make sure that it's the optimum amount. And that's been estimated to save about 70% of water to use for irrigation.  And here, ICTs would be vital there for reducing greenhouse gas emissions, especially in the sectors which are causing a lot of pollution, energy generation, buildings, transport. A study that's been conducted recently showed that through the use of ICTs in all these polluting sectors, you can reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 20% by 2030. So there's going to be a lot of use of ICTs in that area. And the challenge that we have, of course, is that we need people to be able to have access to this technology. And as we know from the statistics, that there's less than half of the world's population is currently connected. So this is going to be one of the issues. And a lot of effort is going to have to be made to improve the connection number of people online over the next few years. And this particular relates to the rural areas, which is a less connectivity to poor people. Women, women, it's estimated there's 250 million less women and men connected. And of course, there's a lot of illiteracy. So this is a big challenge that we're going to have to address. And the good news is that the mobile broadband rollout is the fastest growing technology that human history has ever known. Already, we have 2.2 billion smartphones in use. But that, of course, means that there's still a lot of people unconnected, 3.9 billion people unconnected. And in fact, in the Pacific region, two out of every three people in the world that are unconnected or in the Pacific region. So this needs a lot to be done. And when you look at the least developed countries, there's a very high percentage of unconnected. Around 85% of people living in the 48 least developed countries are unconnected. And so there are many huge challenges that are going to be addressed. And we really need to have the technology rollout there to be able to address this, especially the broadband. We need to have the connections between the hospitals and the clinics. People in remote areas can benefit from e-health. We need to have the universities connected to the schools and the school children of all ages. And of course, we've got to get the governments to connect to the people to make them aware of the benefits of this technology. And a study that was done recently in partnership with ITU as trying to emphasize the need for the industry to get involved and has done an estimate of the benefit to the industry, the business case for being involved in this, and came out with a detailed study carried out by Accenture, which shows that if you look at all the various aspects I've mentioned and the potential for the business areas in satisfying the sustainable development goals, by 2030 it should increase the turnover for the ICT sector of $2.1 trillion a year by 2030. So that's a 60% increase for the sector. So there's a tremendous business opportunity that we really need to get industry aware of. So you just made the business case, which is very nice. Can you talk a little bit about the role of the ITU in helping to be a catalyst and to push toward achieving those sustainable development goals? You've explained the business case beautifully. What is the role of the ITU in realizing those goals? Yes, well, of course, as you probably know, the ITU is the lead UN agency for ICTs. So we have a big advocacy role, more or less, saying what I've said to get industry involved. And of course, the core activity of the ITU is a spectrum and standard. So as I mentioned, it's going to rely a lot on people having connectivity, and especially the mobile broadband. Most people now connect to the internet through smartphones. So I said 2.2 billion smartphones in use currently. So there's more and more demand for faster downloading of more and more data, which puts a lot of pressure on the spectrum. So this has been an issue for many of the ITU World Radio Conferences in recent years is to find that additional spectrum. And of course, we've heard about 5G this morning, which will require considerably more spectrum for mobile. And of course, there's very little spectrum that's not used. So if you're providing more spectrum for mobile, then you're having to take it from somebody else. So this is a very difficult issue when it comes to the World Radio Conferences. And it's very important that we agree these spectrum on a global basis. It's only if it's agreed globally can you be sure of the fact that the phones are going to be used when you move from different countries, different regions of the world. But also, if it's a global allocation, then you're going to benefit from the economies of scale that will result. So it's very, very important that we agree this spectrum at these conferences on a worldwide basis for global allocations. And of course, the standards that work to them also have to be agreed globally if you otherwise you won't get the interoperability, which is essential. So that's a core function of the ITU, the spectrum work, and the technical standards to go with it. But of course, we also do a lot of work on encouraging countries to adopt an environment which will encourage innovation and encourage investment in the infrastructure and the rollout of the technology in countries, especially in the developing countries. As you mentioned, we have a majority of developing countries. Of course, other members of the ITU. And we're pleased to have seen a lot more of these countries participating in our work in recent years, even on the standards' work. And that means that they're better able to select the technology that suits them best, also make sure that their own specific requirements are included in these standards, and that they're better able to implement the standards when they go home. And thinking about one of the major areas where ICTs can solve a problem is in millions of people who are unbanked. And they have their cell phones, but they still don't have access to financial systems, to banking systems. And I think that's one of the challenges is to pull together, as you say, the private sector, certainly, but also the regulators in different both in the ICT sector, but also in other regulatory paradigms, such as the financial systems. What do you see there in terms of how to bridge all of those kind of regulators pulling them together in a common objective? Yeah. Well, we've been doing quite a lot of work on financial inclusion. And this again relates to the Sustainable Development Goals, because Sustainable Development Goal number one is no poverty. And that means that we've got to include everyone in the digital economy. There are over 2 billion people currently without any bank account. So it's very difficult for these people to be able to get involved and participate in the development of the economy. What we've found is that of these 2 billion people without bank accounts, it's estimated that 1.6 billion of them have mobile phones. So mobile banking has a big potential. But there are various systems around for mobile banking, but there's no interoperability between them. So we established a focus group a couple of years back to look at this issue. It was led by the Billy Melinda Gates Foundation. They put a lot of money into helping to involve everyone in this work. So we had the central banks, we had the World Bank. We had a lot of the digital financial service providers. And also some consumer protection organizations all to look at how we can develop standards for digital financial inclusion, in particular mobile banking using mobile phones. So this work has recently come up with a number of recommendations, which will be forwarded to some of the study groups. But we also have a collaboration which will be starting in the first meeting, will be in April with ITU, the World Bank, a number of other organizations open to anyone to participate, mostly the digital financial service providers and the central banks to develop the standards necessary. With the objective of getting at least 1.5 billion more people into the digital economy by 2030. It's an ambitious goal. And I'm going to open up for questions in just a moment. It's a little hard to see, so if you make yourself known, if you have a question, I will do my best to acknowledge you. The PTC global organization focused on the Asia Pacific region, large region. The Asia Pacific region has made many strides in innovation, mobile communications, as you say. However, many millions in the Asia PAC region still are offline. And so what do you see as the biggest challenges to getting ICT adoption and getting the next billion users online and having access? Well, the Asia Pacific region is the biggest region. In ITU, we divide the world up into six regions. Asia Pacific region is by far the biggest, but it's also the most diverse region as well. And if you look at the ITU statistics for ICT development, the leading seven economies in this region are in the upper quartile for that. But at the same time, there's a large percentage of people still unconnected. 45% of the population, I believe, so about 2 billion people unconnected. So there's clearly a big challenge, and it's mostly infrastructure, of course, especially the challenges of getting the Pacific Islands connected. But I was very pleased to hear about the PETA workshop on yesterday, Sunday. That cable is now running out to some of these islands and a lot of new initiatives with low-earth orbiting satellites and such like for improving connectivity. But it's not just an issue of connectivity because there are statistics to show that even when people have this connectivity, they're not connecting. And so there's a need to increase consumer awareness of the benefits of connecting. This is something that perhaps is not being addressed sufficiently. We pull a lot of emphasis on providing the infrastructure. But there's clearly statistics show that even when the infrastructure is there, people are not using it. So people need to be educated as to the benefits of connecting. But also there has to be real benefits to them to connect. And this is another issue that clearly needs to be addressed because there's a lot of content which is not relevant to people living in some of these regions. And also, of course, there's often a language issue. So we need to put more emphasis on developing relevant content and in the local language as well to encourage more people to come online. I think that's something that could be addressed more. And I think that should encourage more people to come online. Get the whole technical literacy education piece to make sure that folks know how to use the technology. Then, of course, the language, particularly in the HVAC region, so many different dialects. And to really be able to achieve that is a challenge. Are there questions? I'm sorry, it's hard for me to see. Yes, over here. Is there anybody in the room? Sorry. Shout it out. And I'll repeat it if anybody can't hear. Well, and just before you go, you were telling me, Malcolm, that I think you were asked to figure out what happened with the Russian hacking in the US. So if you could comment on that. If you have a solution, that'd be much appreciated. Thank you, Tara. I made a mistake of telling Tara that a few weeks ago, I was invited to Carnegie Mellon and Pittsburgh conference on cybersecurity. And I was asked to do a 30-minute keynote followed by 15-minute questions. And the press were there. So the first question I got is, what is the ITU going to do about Russia hacking the US presidential election? I'm going to put onto your question and wash yours. I won't repeat the answer. But no, this is a very important point. Because we want to get people online. We want to persuade people to go online. And they're not going to go online if they don't feel secure and they don't trust the technology they're using. So this is a particular issue. And clearly, we're in turbulent times at the moment, which is a good reason, which is congratulate PTC for choosing the title of the theme for this week, changing reality. It was a very, very important, appropriate title. But this has been an issue for the ITU for quite some time. Because back in 2005, the World Summit on Information Society recognized this as an issue. And it gave ITU the lead responsibility for ensuring that there is trust and security in the use of ICTs. It's so the World Summit on Information Society adopted some action lines. So it's actually Action Line C5. So it's something that we've addressed in ITU for quite some years from a policy point of view, but also from a technical point of view. We have a study group on security developing standards. But there are many organizations, of course, that are working on cyber security. And the important thing I always say is that we need to collaborate and cooperate with all the various organizations that are all trying to address this issue and pool the resources and work together. So this is what we did by we formed a partnership together with 15 other organizations, both governmental but also private sector and organizations specifically dealing with cyber security to develop a model that countries can adopt for their national cyber security strategies. Also providing information on how to establish computer incident response teams. We do a lot of work on policies for ensuring the protection of children online. Do a lot of work on that. And generally encouraging everyone to work together to address this critical role. And it's clearly becoming a bigger and bigger issue. In ITU now, this was dealt with only by our sector members, industry members, and the governments represented by ministries of communication. But now we find that this issue is more and more being dealt with by ministries for foreign affairs.  So it's a very big issue. But we can only address it, I believe, through all the various organizations cooperating together. But the main need is, and the advantage of ITU, is the fact that we have this big private sector membership. We have over 700 companies of members of ITU. So all the work on the technical standard is done by our industry members. And so that's the benefit that ITU has in participating in this activity. Thank you. We have gone over by a couple of minutes. So I'm being asked to wrap it up. But you will be here, I think, for the remainder of the conference, if folks would like to engage Malcolm in further conversation. But I hope you'll join me now in thanking him for coming and spending time with us today. Thank you so much. Thank you very much.


We don't mean to interrupt your Saturday night for whatever you got going on But we had to talk about this because it looks like Derrick Henry to the Baltimore Ravens is no more And this does not come as surprising news This doesn't even really come as breaking news because you know, I told y'all yesterday that I just with Everything that we kept hearing about it and oh the Ravens are the most interested team in Derrick Henry Oh the Ravens are expected to be the team that trades for Derrick Henry I just felt like it would not happen now There is still a possibility that it happens because we ain't hit the trade deadline yet And you know deadline spark action But let's read this report that came from Adam Schefter and several other sources to it says the Tennessee Titans informed Derrick Henry this week that they don't plan to trade him despite receiving inquiries about the Pro Bowl running back per sources so Have you ever Thought about going somewhere maybe going on a trip or something and you're like I got my clothes Got my shoes got you need a bathing suit swimming trunks. Whatever. This is what we're gonna do when we get there This the itinerary that you got everything set and then you get sick Well, and then car breaks down then you ain't realize you ain't got no money So my point was it was saying all that is that even though you can set something up You can have it all figured out on what not Plans can still change and the Tennessee Titans have said that they don't plan to trade Derrick Henry But while they say that that doesn't mean that they won't trade Derrick Henry But as far as him being a Baltimore Raven when it came out the other day that the Ravens were Expected to be the team that trades for Derrick Henry.  We can fall in love with the possibility We can fall in love with the prospect of this player as a Baltimore Raven How would they fit in especially when it comes to the trades and whatnot trades and free agents? Oh, you know, that's us all day But with Derrick Henry know a lot of people fell in love with the idea and there ain't nothing wrong with that Hey, you do your thing if you fell in love with I got no problem with that I ain't one of those people that's like, oh, there's not even a real possibility No, I ain't here to kill nobody's vibe at all because I hate when people do that but um Now the Baltimore Raven fans we have opportunities to fall in love with somebody else another prospect I mean, but again, like I said still still it is still a chance that he does get traded to the Ravens But again, I just don't think it's gonna have So I think you'll be best to look at other options now With Derek Henry specifically not even with the Baltimore Ravens But with the Titans telling Derek Henry that that could mean a couple different things that could mean like one We don't plan on trading you or it could also be business talk because you know teams will talk through the media They'll talk to these reports and they'll talk to these sources and whatnot that could be teams telling that could be the Tennessee Titan telling teams Hey, if you want us to really even consider what you're offering for Derek Henry, you need to step it up We don't heard from a lot of teams already We didn't heard from several teams and they offered x y and z But if you're gonna if you want us to even think about entertaining what you want for Derek Or what you want to give us for Derek Henry then you need to bring it much harder than you have been So that could be a possibility as well So just something to think about as we draw ever closer to Tuesday's deadline when it comes to the NFL trade market


Okay, first things first, Metal Warriors is not a sequel to Cybernator. On the surface, Metal Warriors looks and sounds an awful lot like Cybernator, which I reviewed a few weeks ago. It's certainly similar, since it's about humans operating battle-functional mechrobots and all, but Metal Warriors and Cybernator are not related. Yes, they are both published by Konami in the United States, but they both had two different developers, Cybernator was NCS and Metal Warriors was LucasArts. I certainly wouldn't blame you for thinking Metal Warriors was a sequel, however, because the game looks and plays like Cybernator on steroids. The combat elements are very similar. You fly around, you get different weapons, you get a shield, but three distinct things about Metal Warriors stick out. One is the fact that you can command five different robots. They even expanded this element to its own two-player fighting option, which is pretty frickin' nice and a lot of fun. The second distinction is a rather ingenious life bar mechanic.  But the game still gives you a chance to find health at the very last second. I think that's a very cool idea that was implemented very well. The third difference is that you can actually get out of your mobile suit and wander around yourself, which is pretty cool. Another difference from Cybernator is the way the story is told. Most of the story-heavy chunks of the game are brought to you in some quality-looking cutscenes before and after each level, with some good pixel art here. The game still does interrupt your gameplay to run some dialogue, just like Cybernator annoyingly does, but at least Metal Warriors doesn't do it in the middle of combat, and it waits for a little bit of a lull in the action. Now, where I'd give Cybernator the advantage here is in the overall gameplay graphics and the sound. While Metal Warriors has really nice-looking cutscenes, I give a very slight edge to Cybernator and how the projectiles, explosions, and backgrounds look, and Cybernator wins in a runaway with the overall sound, too. I just don't like how the weapons sound in Metal Warriors. It just sounds puny. What is this, a pea shooter? But that's a nitpicking. Metal Warriors is frickin' great. Now you could be thinking, hey, sweet, this game looks pretty cool, I'm gonna pick it up on eBay. And to that I say, good freaking luck. Metal Warriors goes for an average, an average of $135. Yes, that's right, sadly this game has fallen victim to the retro pricing bubble, where perfectly okay games like this, and Harvest Moon, and Wild Guns, are all going for completely insane prices.  If I had a choice between paying my electric bill, my phone bill, and my internet combined over a game cartridge, yeah, I'm just gonna go ahead and do that. Sorry, I'm just bitter about these prices. Anyway, Metal Warriors is a damned awesome game. There's some innovative ideas for Super Nintendo anyway. There's a multiplayer fighting option. There's mech robots, and a bunch of cool looking robots to choose from. There's huge levels to fly around in and stuff. This game kicks ass, plain and simple. But it's just too frickin' expensive to buy on a cartridge, especially when Cybernator is right there and it's that much cheaper. So yeah, while I can't condone spending it and seeing an amount of money on it, Metal Warriors is still a hell of a game.


First question is from Lake Josson. When is it more advantageous to use a supinated grip over a pronated grip for tricep exercises? It's obviously riskier when doing exercises like skull crushers, but does it hit the tries at a different angle? No, it doesn't. You know, I remember when I thought that it did something. Because it feels different. It does. So I would do press downs, and now would change the handles, right? So I'd go press down with the straight bar, the rope, and then it'd have a supinated grip, and I'd be like, oh, I feel it in different areas. And then you learn anatomy and biomechanics, and you realize that the triceps really has nothing to do with the wrists rotating. It has nothing to do with supinating or pronating the hands unlike the biceps. But then people would say things, and I would say something like back then, but I feel it differently. Well, the reason why you feel it differently is supinating or pronating your hands tends to change your elbow position a little bit. So if I supinate my hands, I'm more likely to squeeze my elbows in at my sides rather than allowing them to flare out a little bit, and elbow position makes a difference with triceps. So that's what you would basically want to pay attention to. You think it's that? Do you think it's the elbow positioning that makes it feel different? I've actually never thought of that. You're driving it in more when you supinate? I mean, that makes sense.  You're right. It actually feels awkward to let the elbows flare out. It feels more comfortable to keep them more turned in. That's why it feels different. Right, and when you do a tricep pushdown, one of the most common things when you're in an overhand grip or pronated, you see people flare their elbows. So maybe you're right. I'd never even thought of that. That's why it felt so different. I just thought because you're holding onto it and actually just the tense of you gripping it. Because when you're on top of it, like on a pushdown, you don't even have to grip the bar. Like you could completely relax your palms and push down. I was thinking the tension might be another factor, right? Yeah, because then you can squeeze a bit harder and more intensely sometimes when you're in a supinated grip just because now we're like squeezing versus just pushing is a different type of stimulus. But again, I think the elbow position is definitely, you know, that's gonna be the meat of it all. Well, that was one of the bet. We did a video, maybe I'll have Rachel's been going through our old library of YouTube videos and she's been posting like things that we did a long time ago. We did a video that it was all about buys and tries and it was all about elbow position. It was a long time ago that we did. So maybe she'll post that up on the main IG. But that was the biggest, you know, trying to get better about saying game changer. We say it all the time. It just fits so well. It changed the game. It just fits so well there though. You know what I'm saying? Because it was a game changer for me when this came together. Like I too would do, you know, on tricep day I would go over to the cable machine because I felt it the most on cables more than anything else. And I would do a regular tricep pushdown, a supinated pushdown, I'd do the rope and that would be like tricep day. And I got more gains on my buys and tries when I learned the importance of manipulating my elbow positioning. And then I started to look at every workout and go, oh, okay, I'm gonna do an exercise with my elbows by my side. My elbows out in front of me and then my elbows above my head. And then whether I did cables, dumbbells, all that stuff didn't matter as much as long as I manipulated the elbow positioning. Oh my God, my arms blew up after that. Absolutely, yeah. It's the things you wanna focus on exactly what Adam said, right?  All three of those stretch and work the triceps a little differently, especially if you look at the attachments. But there is a little bit of a difference in changing the wrist position. Now it's not really, it doesn't really have anything to do with the triceps. However, your recruitment patterns, you can get better at practicing a movement with different position. Now I can't think off the top of my head what the value would be at getting good at a supinated grip press down. But let's just say you were in some kind of weird sport that required you to grip something in a supinated grip and use your tricep. In that particular case, then it would make sense. So when it comes to sports or movement or patterns, then you're not necessarily looking at your body like a bodybuilder would, right? This is a bodybuilder question. Does it hit the triceps differently? But if you're talking about a movement, as a movement, if you're playing, if you're doing a sport and even though the hand position might not affect the targeted muscle, it may be a good idea to train with that hand position because that's the one you're using so much. That's Michael Hearn makes the case for this. He does a lot of like weird, odd, like angled exercises that are very similar, like as far as getting the gains on your tricep or your bicep, like him doing this exercise versus this other one that he would show, it's like, I'm looking at that going like, neither one of those are gonna make that but give a difference. But the case that he makes is that it's, I wanna be strong in all positions. So, and I can get behind that, you know what I'm saying?  So having your elbows flared, laying in a weird position with your out in a different way. I feel too with those, you know, those added grip. Fat grip. Fat grip, thank you. Yeah, it's just the same. It's, you know, just getting strong with a different grip is valuable, but it's not like- Right, that's not everything to go. The game changer, the panty dropper, whatever you wanna call it, right? I don't know if we're gonna change that. Do we say that? I don't know if I can say that. Do we do panty dropper instead? I tell you what, when I changed elbow position, it was a panty dropper. Right, it kind of works. Hey, I'm with you over here. That doesn't work, I don't think. Wow, man.