The following is a presentation of TFNN. Good morning, market kickoff with your host, Tommy O'Brien. Good Monday morning, everybody. I'm Tommy O'Brien, coming to you live from TFNN. Just after 9 a.m. Eastern time, as we kick off the trading week in about 24 minutes, and we have markets in positive territory, we kick off the new quarter, the new month as well, quite the month in September for negative prices. We kick things off to begin October with the S&Ps, up about 1% right now. You see the acceleration in things. We're looking a little dicey last night. Going to bed at about 11 p.m. Eastern time, you had the S&Ps down about 30 points this morning. We're up about 40 points. That's a swing of about 70, 70 points from where we were last evening. Futures accelerating higher. We got yields a little bit lower today. We got some action and currencies, as is usually the case recently. We have the NASDAQ 100. We had a 10,000 handle overnight. Pretty remarkable, folks. What's the high? 16,600 or something? 16,700, and we got a 10,000 handle, folks. We came into COVID at 97.63. So you're almost talking about the NASDAQ giving it all back in terms of where you were. That's right, 97.63, and you make it down to about 10,900 last night. We're back above 11,000 this morning on the NASDAQ 100. You get the Dow up 1.1%. Back above 29,000, 29,132. You get the Russell up almost 1.5% this morning. Crude catching a bid. We got some OPEC news this morning. They may be cutting, is the word crude. Climbing to almost $84. We spent the most the last week in the 70s for the price of crude. Interesting there. We jumped to the commodities, gold, up about $2. Gold's down to 16.22 on Wednesday. We're up at about 16.75 this morning, and we jumped to notes and bonds, and there's your action for higher price and lower yield right now. You got the tenure soaring about 23 ticks. You talk about some action, man, in the note and bond market yields, volatility. It seems normal, folks, because that's what's been going on for some time, but boy, these types of swings, when you're talking about, I mean, just the move on Wednesday was magnificent in terms of the action. You got over two full points on Wednesday. Friday, you accelerate in terms of lower price, higher yield into the close, and just like that, we're up almost a full point from where we were of Friday's close on the 10 year, the 30 years, up a full point and 18 ticks right now. At 1.2730, we jump over to the volatility index, 31.30. We ended last week at about 33. We take a look at this thing. Let's put it on a daily and just zoom in on the action on this year so far. And that seems like a pretty reasonable spike, folks. I was talking about back when the VIX was at 28, right, just comparing it to the spikes of this year. So we're not talking about COVID spikes. We're not talking about fears of the world ending through a pandemic VIX spikes, which brought us all the way, just for some context here, to 85.47, okay? But since then, you have spikes that are in the high 30s to low 40s. Sometimes you had a 28 there, thereabouts, but you zoom in on the action this year, which I think is most important, because that's when the sell-offs have been going on. 38.94, 37.79, you see the highs there, 36 and 35. We were chopping around at 28, even though this market was selling off, but what did we get? We got a high of 34.88, comparable to some of the other highs earlier in the year, not quite as high as 35.05, but when you put it on this chart, maybe that's a little bit of an exacerbated fear driving us to almost 35 in the VIX. And just like that, this morning, we opened near 31 on the volatility index. All right, let's jump around to some of the currencies. We'll kick things off with the dollar index this morning, dollar index on a daily basis. You know, yeah, we got a little bit of a pullback now. Let's put it on a five minutes to see the action so far this morning, just chopping around really where we were on Friday, right? But you take a look at this thing, that's a weekly, I meant to put it on a daily. Take a look at this thing on a daily. The trend is intact, folks. Okay, that's really what I wanted to showcase at the kickoff of this, the trend is intact. Yes, we peaked out, okay, but where'd we peek out? We peaked out at the top of this channel line that's been intact basically since the beginning of the year, basically the end of January, to be fair. I mean, that trend you could say started on January 10th about where you dip into that channel. We really started accelerating to higher prices. Essentially the beginning of February, that or thereabouts, I mean, you were at a 95 basically price point. In the beginning of February, we're sitting at 112, but keep it in mind, folks, you know, it's an art, not a science. Where exactly those trend lines fall? That would be to your discretion to some degree, right? But I'd say that's a pretty accurate trend line and you're chopped around at the top portion of it. You traded a little bit lower. So keep that in mind as you get a little bit of a pullback here, because don't forget the pullbacks that we got, even the one in July. That was quite a pullback, man. You got from 109.29 down to 104.64, almost five full points. But what'd you do after you got down there? You traded up 10. You traded up 10 full points in the dollar index from 105 to basically 115 in the span of about a month and a half, maybe even less than two months we'll call it. So we have the dollar index backing off a bit. You make it to the bottom portion of that trend line, maybe 110, 109, something like that on the dollar index. We got some news in the UK. We'll talk about that in a moment as it ties into currencies. We jump over to the Euro-US dollar right now. And again, obviously dollar pulling back, Euro getting a little bit of a pop, but pretty similar action in terms of a well intact channel line, folks. And the kicker here is that the upper portion of this channel line doesn't even get us back to parity right now. It doesn't even get us back to parity, right? Yeah, you could chop around to parity. You see how the tails have climbed above this channel line on a couple of occasions. But folks, if you to follow channels, these are pretty defined channel lines right now on a currency basis in terms of where you are. Now the pound-US dollar, that's its own animal, okay? I was talking about that potentially the pound was a little bit stronger than the yen-US dollar, but boy, that was before the breakout. That was before the tax cuts. You break out of that channel line to the downside. This tail is erroneous, okay? So disregard that. I think you got just below 104, was the real print there on the pound-US dollar on the day that we came back after the tax cuts. But nonetheless, look at what we've done, folks. All we've come, all we've done is come back to test that channel line. An ominous sign owed to our man, Bob Ross, let Bob Ross, gonna miss him. You come back and test that channel line, man. You start breaking lower. Watch out, folks, because that is a classic case of breaking out of the channel to the downside, man. You break out, you wait for the retest, that would be the sell. We'll see what happens as the UK tries to avoid a demise, but we'll see what happens in a big way. And let's jump over to that. So you have Liz Truss. She is backing off already so much for a strong start, man. They scrapped the 45% tax rate that had contributed to the market route, and yeah, a U-turn on the UK tax cuts. So this is what stemmed, this is what started the pound collapse, okay? Because you had tax cuts going on, you had tax cuts at a time of record inflation, leading to those to say, hey, you're giving tax cuts, you're flooding the economy with more money at a time of record inflation, that is a big problem. Nonetheless, we get it and we have listened is what she says. The plan announced just 10 days ago, okay, to scrap the 45% rate of income tax to become a distraction is how she put it. So you have some pound action on that. But yeah, I'd say it's a huge embarrassment in terms of just stepping in there. You come out with a big tax cut, market says, what are you doing, man? And we're gonna see how that plays out, folks. And there's the statement there. That's the chancellor of the ex-checker, I believe. Yes, it is. Yeah, and as they put it, the reversal of such a major policy just a month into their tenure will inevitably spark speculation about both trust and, is it Quartan? Quartang, that's how you pronounce it, their future. Tough to have any confidence, man, and the people leading your government as they jump in and bungle things so dramatically to kick things off of the market this morning or bouncing or bouncing a bit. Relatively near those lows still though, we're up by 1.1%, we'll be right back, folks. Vista Gold owns and operates the largest undeveloped gold project in Australia, the Mount Todd Gold Project. Vista Gold just completed their feasibility study, resulting in a 7 million-ounce gold reserve. Vista Gold has all major permits approved and has retained CIBC Capital Market Assistance in evaluating alternatives and in completing an accretive transaction. Vista Gold trades on the NYSE American and TSX under the ticker symbol VGC. Vista Gold executing a strategy to create shareholder value. Everything in the universe is governed by the Fibonacci sequence. This mathematical principle is responsible for everything from the most aesthetically pleasing artwork to patterns in the stock market. To stay on top of stock patterns you can take advantage of, sign up for the Fibonacci 24-7 newsletter at tfnn.com. When you subscribe, you'll get a weekly report from veteran day trader Larry Pezzavento on stocks you need to pay attention to and you can trust Larry's analysis. After all, he's got 45 years experience as a day trader. Larry will also provide daily charts, videos, and data on the key markets that he's tracking. Expect notifications from Larry on market movement you need to act on at any time. First-time subscribers also get a 30-day money back guarantee. If you're not satisfied, let us know and you'll get a full refund within 30 days of signing up. Subscribe to the Fibonacci 24-7 newsletter today, tfnn.com, educating investors. Steve Rhodes started his trading career as a student almost 20 years ago and the student has now become the master. 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Hosted at Discord, TFNN has been educating traders for more than 20 years with live programming hosted by a variety of professional traders during market hours, Tiger's Den. Available to all tigers and tigeresses for just $1 for the year. There's no catch or added costs when you join our community of traders. Sign up today and become a part of this educational community of traders. Just visit the front page of TFNN.com. Welcome back, folks. We've got markets continuing to accelerate to higher territory right now. You're looking at S&P now at 43 points, 1.2%. NASDAQ 100, a little bit of a laggard right now. You're up by 9-tenths percent. Dow up 1.3 and the Russell approaching 1.7% at 1,700 right now. We jump back to notes and bonds as the run continues, even since we speak, right? You got the 10-year right now up. I mean, look at that pop since we came on the air. Yeah, that was 9-10. These are five-minute bars, folks. Even since I've been on the air, you got the 10-year up 9 ticks or something like that right now. And as we pull it over just to take a quick look in terms of where we are right now on yields, you're talking about a yield on the 10-year of 3.66%. 3.66%. Let me jump around. I'm gonna pull up the yields right now in terms of the lineup. Here we go. So what are we looking at? You have quite a little jump from where we were just Friday. The two-year right now, 4.1%. The 10-year right now, 3.66. We're approaching 4%, man. Even on the 10-year right now, the 30-year pushing 3.66%, a lot of talk in terms of real estate, right? With mortgage rates. Talking to my dad this weekend. He was over here hanging out with the grandson, with me. And of course, we're talking a little bit of business. Just markets, not even talking business. Because how can you not, man, with everything going on, right? With interest rates where they are. Yields where they are. I've been talking about it as well, man. If you have money, folks, that you're in a fixed income possibility in terms of whether it's retirement, something like that, yields, portion levels, you better be looking at them. And even on a checking account basis, there are gonna be some great deals with yields that we have not seen in some time, man. We're all used to getting nothing for the money in your checking account. And that is not the case right now, folks, with where we are. Short-term basis. One month, 2.75% is the one month. 30 days is all you gotta tie your money up for. So it's finally worth it, folks, to make sure that if you have cash in any capacity, make sure that it's earning that yield. Because the big banks are not gonna be giving you that yield, man. It's gonna be the banks that are competing, the online banks.  Maybe we'll do a show on it completely. Because this is something that we have not seen in some time. In the days of 0%, 0% car loans, et cetera, they are gone for right now. We'll see what happens with the economy if they need to get into a cutting cycle at any time soon. But that is not here, folks, right now at all. Okay, let's shift to housing from that conversation. Home prices now posting biggest monthly drop since 2009. Now, what's remarkable here is, biggest monthly drop since 2009. You say, oh my goodness, what is the number? What are they dropping? These must be big numbers. They fell 0.98% in August from a month earlier following a 1.05% drop in July. Now, over a two month basis, you have housing prices dropping 2% as we have inflation up 8.5% or whatever it is, okay? So in that context, that should be alarming. Housing prices should not be dropping as an asset when you have the value of a dollar decreasing as is, right, inflation is raging. The two periods mark the largest monthly declines since January of 2009, but here's the thing, folks, okay? The market had completely collapsed by that point and was beginning to rebound. There was almost no opportunity over that last period of time because the market had been cleaned out completely. Some of those prices, folks, I think we're all aware of them because it was such a nationwide pandemic of pricing, pandemic, no pun intended in terms of what's going on right now, but it was a pandemic in the financial markets because it was so pervasive and it affected almost every single community in the country. I was not a homeowner at that time. I was renting, okay? But it still impacted every single community and that you were aware of it. I was just not in that period of my life yet to be fortunate in that degree at least and was okay in a renting capacity. And what did that do? That presented opportunity to be a buyer if you weren't in that market, okay? But from 2009, you're talking about a run that was slow even in the beginning, okay? In terms of there was still ample opportunity, whether it was 2012, 13, 14, right? Some of the prices that existed back then, mind-blowing to this day and age, but they don't become as mind-blowing when you look at the mortgage rates. Now here's what you have to wrap your brain around and if you solve this one, man, there is a lot of money and I'm trying to run the levels of depth that are necessary to figure out where the market goes in the housing market. It's facing some headwinds to put it lightly, okay? Now, we have rates decreasing today. That's gonna be a big factor in the housing prices, but let's just say we're looking at a mortgage rate of about 7.5% right now and I'll have to run the numbers, I will. But a mortgage rate of about 75, 7.5% right now, okay? I was looking at what a $500,000 mortgage will cost and I'll run these to be exact. I think it was something like $4,500 or $3,500. Whatever it is, folks, you have a 7.5% mortgage, right? So you have a whole decade, if not more. I mean, who is in a mortgage right now that is not vastly benefiting from their interest rate and I'm not talking about the last, everybody but the last three months as this thing has been rising, right? You probably shouldn't have made a decision at some point over the last three, four or five years maybe where you potentially refinanced to make sure you were in an interest rate that was what, 3% to 4%, something like that would be a realistic interest rate that many people could have got over an extended period of time but even three to four and a half percent interest rate ample time to lock yourself into that degree. People like paying off their houses too. So that's gonna be the people that maybe are still out there, right? But the point being is that who is gonna sell their house, man? If you have that type of a loan locked in because what you're doing is you're closing out all that benefit you get, right? You have a 30-year mortgage rate that's locked in well below what the market is at right now. That is gonna create an entire class of homeowners that are never gonna sell because it doesn't make sense, okay? They can rent if they need to if you're gonna sell because their cost basis is so low on a monthly basis payment that to replace that is impossible in this interest rate environment. So those people are taking out of the equation. So those people are never selling, okay? Well, that takes a dramatic amount of supply out of the market. If there's a dramatic supply taken out of the market, right? What should happen? That should cost prices to stay high relative to demand. Well, the other side of that equation though and this is part of the conversation I was having my dad this weekend send who's buying a house right now at 8% mortgage rate, man with the payment that that accumulates to and that's the tough part, man because no matter what you take that out it is a real hard one to stomach with mortgage rates pushing that limit. And I'm gonna go over it in a second folks we'll do the interest rate, you know? I mean, you're talking about, I think it is I'll pull up the calculator but I think you're talking about something I think it's 4,500 bucks and I won't I won't do it right now I'll pull it up during the break but I think it's about 4,500 bucks is what you're paying for a $500,000 mortgage which would basically mean if you're putting down 20% on a $620,000 house you're still left with that type of a payment on a monthly basis and then you have to add in taxes and insurance on top of that which is gonna be a dramatic degree on top of it it's translating into rent or mortgage rates budging in one way or the other and that's the level of debt that you have to go to solve that equation but we're getting some easing today as yields coming down a bit there's your 10 year we just hit 113.03 we were at 112.29 and you're talking about a yield right now in the 10 year of about 3.66% stay tuned folks we'll be back with the opening bell of the month of the quarter October 3rd, 9.30 we'll be back in 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banner on the front page of TFNN.com Welcome back folks we got the S&P's up 37 points right now with 36, 38 the one thing I will say folks you take a look at the S&P you put it on a daily basis man all we've done is trade back into the lowest folks that we had from June yes you've gotten a little bit of a bounce man but please be careful in this market because you know we have a potential channel line of some degree almost looks like a little bit of a cone to some degree where does that cone bring you back down to that's where you are on your way down to folks about 3,200 and the dicey thing of 3,200 man where are you trading back into pre-COVID levels 3,500 where excuse me 3,400 3,397 to be exact but where did we kick off the year in 2020 3,200 where did you base a bit towards the end of 2020 about 3,200 and when you take a look at the full Feminacci number from 2174 up to 4808 where's the 618 folks about 3,200 you see how that could line up there I feel a lot more comfortable buying this market near 3,200 than I am buying it when it's just coming into the prior lows of June at a pretty accelerated pace we get non-farm payroll numbers on Friday that'll be an interesting one folks as the data is going to determine a lot and it almost feels like you're hoping and I forget what the exact phrase is right but hope is not a plan or something like that if you find yourself hoping you're probably in trouble and that has a lot to do with sports and stuff like that and training and whatnot but it seems pretty hopeful that the data is going to start lining up when for so long it seems like the data has been doing its own thing being pretty elevated for longer than many people were hoping, right so who's to say that we're like about to turn the corner, okay rates may have a say in that S&Ps, 1,200 points almost off of the highs of 4,808 earlier just this year which is remarkable pulling back almost to pre-COVID levels after that full acceleration we're back to almost a 50% of the entire acceleration during COVID you have the NASDAQ 100, okay NASDAQ 100 remember 9,700 was the highest pre-COVID let's take a look on a Fibonacci basis where the NASDAQ 100 is yeah you are already through the 50% the 618 on the NASDAQ 100 about 10,500 almost gave it back already as we got to a low of 10,890 okay talking a little bit of mortgage rates so to get the exact numbers I was talking about first if you just Google mortgage rates you're looking at a 30er right there man 7.534 and you talk about some moves now 7.534 I was looking at it $500,000 is about 3,500 where I got 4,500 in my head is you add in taxes and insurance depending on where you are what kind of insurance and what kind of taxes you're paying let's just say that adds $1,000 in Florida we got an insurance problem right now okay so in my head I said taxes and insurance maybe that's $1,000 right now for Floridians it is that brings you up to 4,500 that's the just now to put that in context that's a $620,000 house let's say you're an investor even or if you're just a home buyer you put down 20% you put down 120,000 on that property okay that are there about some ballparking numbers that leads you to a $500,000 mortgage so you still have 120,000 down something like that okay $500,000 mortgage 7.5% 3500 you add in taxes and insurance that's 4500 even there's gonna be expenses right let's say you're buying this to rent it out or something like that because that is part of the equation here folks that it doesn't make sense to buy a property if you can't rent it out you don't even pay for the cost of buying that property those markets are aligned usually they get out of whack but they'll come back into agreement in some capacity that brings you up to 4,500 and change meaning you got to mow the lawn right you have to do this that et cetera as a landlord to some degree now what's crazy about this is 7.5 the run has been so quick okay that's 3,500 even at 4.5 folks it's a thousand dollars cheaper 2,500 was the difference so the run from 4.5 to 7.5 has basically meant that you have to get a thousand dollars more in rent a month just to make up for the cost of buying that mortgage it's crazy when you look at it in that context and we're sitting at 7.5 and we might be going higher folks because if the market persists which it very well may a lot of talk about inflation peeking out but guess what we have oil prices rising yet again today that's not gonna help right what if the offsets that are gonna take place and some of the other factors are now gonna be hurt by the price of crude yet again as we have crude up five dollars we've been helped a lot by the price of crude when it comes to the run we've had folks it's been a four month downward trend of the price of crude right that might not be the continuing trend so what happens if we get higher prices and just look at I'm gonna take this one off now we're actually almost sitting right where we were back in the highs of October of last year but just looking at the run we just had in terms of the impact that a bounce could have you're talking about $95 is the 382 and 100 is the 50 in terms of just accelerating from this higher trend this lower trend we get a bounce there those numbers are gonna contribute energy prices are gonna start contributing to rising prices on the CPI basis again maybe not on a core basis but we have a lot of static to get through in terms of really having numbers that are showing inflation is get down and if that doesn't happen where does the Fed go we're gonna find out Friday we get non-farm payrolls that'll be a big one to kick things off and we got market pulling back a little bit as we open let's jump into some of the charts we'll jump into the S&P that's a pretty quick give back about 15 S&P points over the last 15 minutes or so you get the NASDAQ 100 only positive by about four tenths percent right now 11,081 we'll get the Dow up 241 right now but look at that sell off inching towards 29,000 right now we talked about crude gold contract this morning up about $3 at 1675 when we jumped to the notes and bonds little bit of a give back from that spike high at 113.03 we're at 112.25 still up 23 ticks though on the 10 year see how the dollar index is doing right now on the open dollar index pretty tame action see how the pound is trading right now on their news you got a spike up to 1208 and as I talked about the beginning of this program be careful folks because all you're doing is trading right back into that channel line man you may be testing that for a lower trade on the pound US dollar and Euro US dollar right now sitting at about 97.5 and just kind of in the middle of its channel line the upper portion maybe approaching parity the lower portion maybe 94 pennies right now on the Euro US dollar all right let's jump around to some of the equities we got Tesla yeah slump and lower by 7% this morning for Tesla so the news out of Tesla this morning excuse me as I jump around deliveries disappoint due to a logistic snarl 7% wiped out like that more of its EVs were in transit at the quarter end is what they were saying they handed over 343,000 vehicles to customers the market was looking for 358,000 the stock traded down yeah and they missed on that they've delivered big batches of vehicles toward the end of each quarter but guess what they missed the mark this time as production volumes continue to grow it's becoming increasingly challenging to secure vehicle transportation capacity and at a reasonable cost during these peak logistic weeks they're dealing with problems folks in terms of logistics it's a continuing trend that's gonna impact prices right in Q3 we began transitioning to a more even regional mix of vehicle builds each week which led to an increase in cars in transit at the end of the quarter yeah and they're obviously closely watched and there's their miss in terms of coming in at 344 but still decent numbers Tesla down 7% stay tuned folks we'll be right back you might think that if you want to be successful at trading in the stock market you're going to need a crystal ball after all it's impossible to predict the future right like any endeavor in life before you decide it's impossible get some advice from the experts you might find that it's not so impossible after all for daily market overviews that give you direction on the key indices selective stocks and commodities subscribe to the opening call newsletter at tfnn.com the opening call newsletter is written by Basil Chapman creator of the trading methodology known as the Chapman wave the Chapman wave up down sequence gives you an edge in identifying price turns finding the peaks and valleys and stock prices get the opening call newsletter by Basil Chapman and your inbox every day first time subscribers also get a 30 day money back guarantee if you're not satisfied let us know and you'll get a full refund within 30 days of signing up tfnn.com educating investors 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trade SPXL SPUU or SPXS directions daily S&P 500 bull and bear leveraged ETFs direction leveraged ETFs an investor should carefully consider a funds investment objective risks, charges and expenses before investing a funds prospectus and summary prospectus contain this and other information about direction shares to obtain a funds prospectus and summary prospectus call<PHONE_NUMBER> or visit directioninvestments.com a funds prospectus and summary prospectus should be read carefully before investing an investment in the funds is subject to risk including the possible loss of principal the funds are designed to be utilized only by sophisticated investors such as traders and active investors distributor for side fund services LLC this program is brought to you by Vista Gold traded on the NYSE American and TSX under the symbol VGZ welcome back folks we get the S&Ps giving it up a bit right now we're only up by 23 points we were just coming into the opening bell at a price of about 36.45 and we were just down at 36.17 so you're talking about almost 30 points that gave up a little bit of a bounce right now we'll see if that plays out NASDAQ 100 only up by 35 points right now as the NASDAQ 100 we just accelerated from 11,000 let's get the exact high 135 yeah down about 100 points pretty quickly right there gonna jump over to a little crypto right now Ms. Kardashian she will be paying about $1.3 million is the number let's get the number as we pull it up as we jump around oh come on I had it up didn't wait there we go yeah over a million dollars so she got paid 250 grand to be pumping crypto not surprising she's gonna pay 1.26 million she's worth multiple billion that's basically penny something dollar for nothing and you're telling me there hasn't been anything else she's been paid for but I do have the exact I think I did right where I just throw it up in terms of the tweet that she had up there hold on I got it here we go are you guys into crypto it's not financial advice but here's this pump and dump that I'm gonna feed you guys for getting paid a quarter million dollars and you know be careful whenever you hear anything like this folks of course she's getting paid or has some type of kit back you know she's not out there doing this out of the kindness of her heart Ethereum max a few minutes ago Ethereum max burned 400 trillion tokens 50% of their admin wallet giving back to the entire Emax community so that's sound a little spammy folks right who would listen to her well unfortunately man many I think because what does she got for followers man they're up in like the hundreds of millions right something like that let's see I'm even Googling it 318 million I think is the number pretty crazy 250,000 dollars let's listen to the dollar per person you're reaching right to that degree so that was the tweet nonetheless and she'll be paying 1.26 million dollars but buyer beware shouldn't be too surprising in the crypto land man pretty pretty crazy that you can pay her 250 grand and I'm sure they made out with it I'm sure it was worth it which is crazy to it all all right what else do I have pulled up here in terms of talking about oil let's talk a little bit of oil so OPEC they're on the verge of a quote unquote historic cut somebody was saying a million barrels potentially the considering an output cut of more than a million barrels a day there you go that's where I read it according to an OPEC source the OPEC ministers are not going home to Austria for the first time in two years to do nothing so there's going to be a cut of some historic kind that's one partner in an energy firm analyst or whatnot more than a million barrels we have somebody here you have the same gentleman talking about maybe around 500,000 nonetheless you're looking at a cut folks you're looking at a cut when oil is chopping around at a price point of about 85 bucks but there you're seeing the run right now this morning up to 84, 25 up almost five dollars from where it was last Friday and boy the geopolitical news coming out of Russia is not good at all man in terms of the rhetoric going on over there the state sponsored rhetoric going on at rallies not good at all if the markets weren't crashing and yields weren't at 7.5 percent for a 30 in mortgage and inflation wasn't at 8.5 percent right now the risks of war breaking out would be highlighted more throughout what is going on folks because this weekend seems like things have ratcheted up in the last week or so in terms of Putin's language the language in Russia so let's hope that's not the case but to a market degree boy that is some sketchy action going on if war does really break out to a real degree beyond even what's going on right now was it with anyway S&Ps up by 36 right now 36, 37 let's jump around to what else I had pulled up here what do we got going on we talked about housing yeah how about Peloton seems like a good idea in terms of they are branching out to kind of some of the mainstay plays of bike makers down to 666 this stock man up 1.3 percent which is basically nothing though for this equity they actually dropped to below where they were on Thursday and you want you want to load to be afraid of folks 666 for Peloton what if I told you man what if I told you when Peloton was kicking off 2021 that by the next calendar year the stock was gonna be at 666 man for Peloton I would stay away from the stock folks they're gonna have their fitness bikes in 5400 US tells well that's great they're already talked about they're selling the bikes at retailers okay but the only way that I see that company having any future is having the recurring revenue that comes with the subscriptions plans that they would sell that's what I never could get my mind around is why people were buying bikes that were so expensive that then required you to pay a monthly subscription pan that people are always I at least you know you want to make sure you're using the subscriptions you sign up for and to pay so much for the privilege to subscribe to a monthly recurring plan that basically allows you to use the bike that you just bought for two thousand dollars yeah but nonetheless the stock interesting trades lower and they're putting their bikes in hotels I mean they're making deals here you know they're making deals to have their bikes in more places it's a far shift from then when they were just gonna be selling bikes to everybody getting them on they're recurring revenue and so yeah we'll see how that one plays out credit swiss man I could spend a show on that one market turmoil deepens after the CEO memo backfires on friday I would say so I think it was down as much as 12% yep there it is are trading to a record low that values the firm at less than ten billion dollars so what one headline out here saying you know if some city analysts talking about if you're bold enough it might be the buy there but boy you gotta be careful when you're talking about capital structures of a bank while acknowledging the bank was at a critical moment quote unquote he pledged to send employees regular updates until the firm announces its new strategic plan on october 27th and at the same time again center on talking points to execs dealing with clients who brought up the credit default swap according to people knowledge of the matter the swaps now price and roughly 23% chance the bank defaults on its bonds within five years that's the number you want to pay attention to folks because that's the percentage where people are putting their money behind how they feel and that is a level of default within five years it is pretty drastic for a bank like credit swiss man watch out for that one all right what do we have it there let's jump around uh... some of the other stocks i talked about a credit swiss tesla robin hoods closing down some of their offices there in trouble man robin hood yeah down 1.5% that's your weekly there's a daily and you're the same price you were trading at basically in january man for robin hood crypto was their deal folks in crypto is not going to be the same as it was prior uh... when they were at their mainstay so box and they're getting a little bit of a pop-up 6.4% or some of these equities man uh... morgan sanley upgrade the cloud computing company to overweight from equal weight pointing to strong execution in favorable competitive landscape not a bad looking chart compared to a lot of other equities this year you jumped up to thirty-three but you're basically flat we kicked off the year uh... after you accelerated higher to the better part of twenty twenty one all right let's jump around some of the fact stocks as we come into the break amazon up about half percent apple the big dog up fairly by about six-tenth percent right now tesla on their tough news down about seven percent two forty six eighty folks with one more segment right back tfnn has just launched their new trading room the tigers and hosted at 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page of tfnn.com welcome back folks we get the s&p's up by 32 points chopping around a bit in both directions on the opening so far a couple of the points I wanted to make that I was looking at so JP Morgan talking about yields right they're worried about who is going to buy all the treasuries the headline they're worried about who's going to buy all the bonds they remain concerned about the lack of structural demand for treasuries so this is not just talking about you and me in fact they say all of the three main buyers of U.S. government debt commercial banks foreign governments and of course the federal reserve itself appeared to have stepped away from the market well some of the retreat is to be expected as the bank's taper its balance sheet the scale of the shift in appetite is still noteworthy they write the treasury holdings have dropped by 180 billion year-to-date as the central bank embarks on quantitative tightening meanwhile commercial banks collective holdings of treasuries have fallen 60 billion after growing more than 700 billion in 2020 and 2021 foreign governments have also stepped back with holdings have been dropped 50 billion over the past six months the point is folks yields maybe still going up okay you're seeing a little bit of a reprieve today but yeah that that is worth noting okay and Morgan Stanley Wilson he's been a bear so keep that in mind the Fed pivot pivot won't end profit pain that's an interesting one because many people looking for the spot in terms of when the Fed may pivot but if global m2 and u.s. dollars continues to fall at this pace it does not bode well for stocks in terms of that's the year-over-year percentage change versus the current pace of 750 billion dollars per month in green and the s&p 500 and yellow you see the catch up that's necessary man for the s&p so yields that's an interesting conversation man as we get a little bit of a pullback and we're just back to where we were in the beginning of friday right now in the 10 year and yeah the volatility in yields man that is indicative of a shaky market folks that's the one i keep my eye on stay tuned folks we got our man basal Chapman he's coming up next with the tiger technicians hour of course we have our man Steve Rhodes at 11 o'clock fast market at 12 our man Larry Pezzavento live at one o'clock Dave White at two when my dad Tom O'Brien live from three till four thanks so much folks i appreciate you starting your trading day off with me and stay tuned we got basal up next have a great monday everybody


Hello everybody, I hope you're all excited and ready for our Wednesday live cast. We have Lorraine here and she's going to get her reveal done and learn all the secrets we have found. And then down below me, of course, you guys know who David L. Lambert is and we're going to do the introduction and some questions for him when we get to that part of it. Now our captain, unfortunately for Lorraine's week, had some personal stuff come up so she didn't make it this week but that's okay because I have all our notes so I've got it covered. We're going to be doing great. Now to go ahead and start out before we get any further for those of you that don't know who we are and why we're here, WikiTree is a community of genealogists who work together on a single family tree. In other words, we collaborate to grow an accurate global tree that connects us all and it's free. The WikiTree challenge is our year long event and part of our year of accuracy where each week we take on a guest star, a genealogist guest star's tree and we collaborate to make it more accurate and complete than it is anywhere else. We hope that's our goal. It's to improve our accuracy on WikiTree, add more family connections and make more friends and that we've certainly done this year. So this week we worked on Lorraine McGinnis-Schultz's tree and we're going to take a look and see what we found. Now we're going to start out here on the McGinnis line. We unfortunately, this was looked at but we did not find parents for Joseph McGinnis. He was born about 1825 but there was no proof for where in Ireland. So we did find a probable migration record for him where he traveled to Canada with two adult females in 1846 and I'm not sure if you had seen that. His daughter Bridget would have been with him. She would have been quite young. The rest of the children of course born in Canada and we did find that there were nine total children born to him in Upper Canada. So hopefully this will eventually lead to more clues on where he came from but we just didn't have enough going forward with the records that we could find to prove who his parents were. Those tough ones right? Yeah, yeah definitely. Now they did make a correction on Harriet King's line and records prove that James King referenced as a direct ancestor was the wrong one. So a lot of work went into looking at the sources that were available, what the possibilities were, they've been added to the profile, the ones that are correct and it turns out his parents were William King and Margaret Claude King. So that gives you a new name to play with. Definitely. This one was interesting. I don't know if you've seen, yeah I've seen this story. Have you seen this one? Oh yes, there's many articles about that. We'll tell everybody that didn't get to work on your tree and this was about her great grandfather Stephen Edward Peer, now he had an altercation with a neighbor over the outside water source in his house and it was a water pump that was owned by the landlord, right? Yes, yes. And they got an argument about it, the neighbor's son came out to try and help his father with the fight and Lorraine's grandfather was hit upside the head. Now they said it actually fractured its skull so at first when I heard oh he died a few years later I thought well maybe complications but I guess not. He came bounced back from that and unfortunately, yeah unfortunately didn't survive the case of TB tuberculosis that he got a few years later so but sometimes it's you know if they don't do anything bad at all they may not be out there where you can find them so we like finding those stories. Yeah, yeah he was in the hospital for a long time. Was he? Now we didn't research the volupline and not intentionally this week we were supposed to be staying away from that so we did but I just wanted to point out to some that there were some ancestors however that were already present on wiki tree. Now Ava Hendricks Vroomen was on your primary tree and a lot of the ancestors on that line were on your tree but we have her as the daughter of Hendrik Vroomen and I'm going to say this wrong. Genetgen Vuters there are already eight additional direct ancestors past her now this work was done by the new Netherlands project and you'll want to look at those profiles because they've done some really yeah they've done some really incredible work on them and some of those profiles date back to 2011. I'll take a look. Stuff to add to your notes. Yeah. Now here was somebody we did find. I love that picture of that church it's just so beautiful. Parents for John Fuller your fourth great-grandfather and they were found to be Josiah Fuller and Sarah Honey Fuller. Now he was born in 1729 in Kent. He married Sarah in Maidstone in 1746. His occupation on the in the poll books was listed as a farmer. So there are now six new ancestors past John. Oh wow I'm really excited about that one because that's my mother's maiden name so that's kind of important. Oh great yeah that's real important. And I know how it is you know when you're into genealogy at all you wind up helping everybody else and it's so hard to get back to all your own branches I have branches that haven't been worked in so long. Yes absolutely. Now this one was just kind of fun. This was also on Mary Ann Casple's line we had a few things on that line. John Casple born before 1780 won prizes for growing pears and potatoes from the local horticulture society in 1847. He lived to the age of 75 dying in Ramsgate, Kent, England. I just thought it was cute and you know there were articles and stuff on him getting the best the best six pears and the best wrapped potatoes and yeah and you know what I had to look up what a kidney potato was I was like what's a kidney potato I know there's a lot of kinds but I guess it's a rich buttery flavor and a great texture so that's what they say. John Casple was a shipwright who married twice and fathered at least 15 children so those were some of your your Casple people. Yeah that's great that's really good it's gonna be so much fun to look at this later. Yes you'll want to slate lots of time for that these guys these guys have done awesome. Here we have on that same line we have Captain John Moses now he was born before 1676 so he's back there a ways he's your eighth great-grandfather and he has a family crest and a memorial slab in the church in St. Lawrence in Thana in Kent on a slab covered by the seats shows this coat of arms of course and they give the description for that and it says here lies ye body of Elizabeth wife of Captain John Moses who died June 28 1735 in ye 54th year of age and likewise here under lies ye body of Captain John Moses who died September the 22nd 1733 he was only 36 years it says and then it listed their children but I did find somebody that had some pictures of some of the actual crests in the memorial slabs when the team member was telling me about this that had done all the research on this line but unfortunately he didn't have the one for John Moses so I was hoping he did maybe I can get him to go back out there and get it or something he's got some beautiful photographs and just really really amazing photographs and the stained glass windows and stuff in that church are amazing I miss my chance to go to Ramsgate a few years ago oh no so is that gonna be slated as a future trip now not now with my physical issues but that's okay I'll do it vicariously through other people yes that's what you do get other people interested and just tell them now go look here while you're there and take pictures go take pictures you had a number of people that were living in Ramsgate I'm skate yes yes so we had also on this same line now this was fun parents were proven for and bird doused that was your fifth great grandmother she was born in 1764 to Steven Bird and Mary Bolsford she was the youngest of their six children so she was kind of born a little bit later you know in the the parents life there are now 24 new to you ancestors on that line yeah so you're gonna have fun looking through that and those parish records incidentally were in fairly good shape I mean I was it's always a nice surprise to get in there and find out you know they're not water damaged or the pages haven't crinkled away half of them or you know these were just really really great records to read so I think you know once you start looking over this line you're gonna find that you can extend that quite a bit more now I'm gonna be busy you're gonna be very busy here we have a connection made on the Elizabeth Allard line now this resulted in documented parents for Elizabeth Monday Drury her father was Norton Monday the son of Thomas Monday Norton married a Jane Cook in 1676 in Y and it looks like they were there in that area for several generations in that same parish they had two known children Norton died in 1726 being about 70 years old good more goodies to look at yeah you know and one of the nice things too is the most of these guys are so great about leaving notes so you know you may get on the profiles and you'll see a bunch of extra research notes and they'll tell you where they look and they didn't find anything or why they decided certain documents were relevant as opposed to other ones so those things too can help you with your your research on this there just wonderful yeah that's great here we had on Sarah Steads line the parents for your fourth great-grandmother Mary Ansel Elvery now I know we had several people on this line for more than a few days so trying to straighten it all out and it wasn't wasn't necessarily your stuff but we found some of the stuff that had already been entered on wiki tree wasn't quite where it should have been so there was a lot of time you know cleaning up and making sure we improve that quality sure Henry and Sarah married in 1770 in sandwich can and they had at least four children and those records whoops as you can see there those records were really nice too they were really really legible now here was something else that we do sometimes we like to do space pages and when you play on wiki tree for a little bit you'll find that you know not only do we love that white space on the profiles where we can write out everything and add pictures but there's also what we call space pages and it's just a big empty page page so we can go in and we can do like a full whale transcription so that it's not you know cluttering up a profile we can pick a location or an occupation or something and expand on it so one of our teams member went ahead and pulled together some information about Ramsgate and then start they started linking your ancestors that are there on that page so you can go to it and say oh and this one was there and that one was there it was pretty cool and they say William Henry Williams your third great-grandfather spent most of his life as a fisherman there but worked as a woodcutter later that's kind of an interesting change it's a change yes several famous people lived in Ramsgate including Vincent van Gogh in 1876 so it's pretty it pretty amazing place it's beautiful no Eileen was telling me about the kidney potatoes they're also known as Jersey Royals cool they probably have more I've seen them I just have never seen them called kidney potatoes no I haven't either now we're gonna go ahead and talk about our collaboration just a little bit here collaboration is the key during the challenge and that's what wiki tree is all about one of the ways we collaborate is we use a spreadsheet as you see on the left when you get 25 we get 45 sometimes it waivers you know participants working on one set of branches it's really easy to step on somebody else's work and accidentally make them lose data so we use the spreadsheet like that and we list which ancestor we're working on and we take that ancestors name when we're ready to go for dinner break or done for the day another way we use our collaboration is in the g2g that's our genealogists to genealogists forum where we go out and we take your post and we can put brick walls we found which is the main thing we put there some people don't like to use the chat rooms so they'll go ahead and put their interesting finds or their questions there they it helps us quite a bit and Lorraine you'll get a link to all of this stuff more than because I know you're gonna have a lot to try and remember what it is you want to look at and not look at but I will send you the links for this and then the third way that we collaborate during the week is discord and this is our biggest one this is so important this is our live chat that goes on during the week and as we're a global site I mean people are chatting in the rooms around the clock there's always somebody up working on the tree which is great so you know we can go in here and we can ask for translation help we have people that do nothing but look up obituaries or you know we have somebody that he just loves to do the will transcriptions and so he does those for us sometimes we just cheer each other on and you know see what everybody's doing whichever way we do it this is our discourse been big for us this year and while it's not about the points they do help us stay motivated and it kind of gives us a way to keep track of where we are with our progress now they get points two different ways for the first brick wall ancestor we find on any given line they get ten points for the nuclear family so that would be siblings or children they get one point each which those can really add up though depending on how big the families are you know how many kids they have and at the end of the week we look at the total score so the person with the top score is our MVP our most valuable player we also like to acknowledge the you know top five completely this week now we had a hundred and ninety bounty points so there were other people that were responsible for some of those but these were our top people overall now number one was Maddie Hardman with an incredible almost 1000 edits and you'll see how much of a difference that made in a minute way to go Maddie that was just amazing and you know the other thing I noticed here you wouldn't notice but I did is that I see several of our captains that hit that list this week so way to go guys now we had top scores and our Maddie was Donna Bowman and she'll be a captain in an upcoming week Joan Whitaker heads our England project she's a captain and Browning she was pulled in as our big guns this week to help with some of those England profiles and she's just been an amazing help and then Janet Wilde also with the England project is also a captain so that's just unusual we usually don't have that many captains at the top and now we're gonna go ahead and take a look at the score she which I did not bring up okay and I guess we'll leave it up there so you guys can see it I'm gonna zoom in just a little bit now these are the things we look at so total points are any points that you got period for adding those ancestors and doing what you're doing and there was a total of 611 points this week which was a really good score now created ancestors those would be those direct ancestors only so 106 direct ancestors added now I know you had some of those on your primary tree already but some you didn't and all put together 106 direct now the nuclear family that we were talking about 315 people so 315 profiles just for that in one week I tell you these guys just blow me away every week with what they do for brick walls they found 19 brick wall ancestors 19 so they have 190 points there pretty crazy huh I got you a lot of them were on my English lines because I haven't done much on them yet so this is really cool it'll be exciting it'll be exciting you'll love it and then the next thing we have is profiles edited now this is our unique profiles edited every time we go in and you know say we change the date we outsource we correct something may not give us points otherwise but that's considered an edit people went in 845 different times and did something to a profile within a week and that's on top of their research and then this is our biggest number the final one and this is going to be total edits now this still doesn't take into account people that do stuff like the space pages I told you about people that are just looking up obituaries and stuff like that that they aren't getting points for there's a lot of other things that go on but for the people that did get a point for every time they did something or you know an edit point three thousand three hundred and thirty three edits during one week just for your ancestors so I think that's you know pretty impressive of our people it shows their their commitment and their their motivation definitely so how do you feel about our discoveries are you is it what you thought it would be it's more than I thought it would be and yeah I'm really excited about it to take a look I did have one question like I looked at some of the English ones just because I was so curious and most of it just looks so great that you know sources and showing where they found this and why they didn't think it was the person I thought it was or why they found a new person and that was really cool I can hardly wait to get into that I did have one though where it is incorrect and it's a very common incorrect person in my tree very common to make that mistake and I have all the proof that there were two people by the same name and whoever edited it and changed it thought it was my woman but it isn't so my question is when this is all over said and done do I just change that back with my sources that prove that I have the right one you can either do it or you can give me or your captain the information and we'll do it I mean we are here for accuracy so yeah definitely do a shout out if something's not right we want it to be right as soon as I saw it I was like I should have known that would happen because all the family trees online think she was this person who died in 1890 but she isn't so I'm not surprised but I just want to know how to fix it so okay phone yeah but other than that I mean it looked so exciting to me I was like oh this is really cool I you know one guy had somebody I think it was a guy had or maybe it was this Joan lighting because I know it's her name a lot and they said well we found the will for this man that she thinks is her ancestor 38 and he doesn't mention those kids so we're pretty sure it's this person and I thought you know what I think they're right I think they're right so I need more time well I'll tell you what if we could have just kept going on your your tree we always have this at the end of the week we just want to kept going but the week goes long for you guys it flies for us it just goes by so fast it's crazy well it's gonna be really fun and I'm really glad you guys asked me to be part of this I'm gonna show you just some of the differences and what we did now this is my of course my fancy fan chart and if any of you don't use a fan chart each one of these rings represents a generation so this is not ninth generation the text in there is what already had on her tree so every one of those yellow spots is where there was an available brick wall ancestor there was not an ancestor on that line and that's what we focus on you know of course we focus on accuracy getting out to him but then we just dig in and do the you know research really hard to find that and to show you what we really started with this is all we had on Winky Tree when we started this was it and that was because there was another member that's not part of the challenge and she went in and had added some of those branches on your maternal side or else it would have been quite a bit quite a bit smaller yes yeah yeah and so now here's the final this is what's on Winky Tree now and so it's obviously not you know the 510 ancestors that you could have it's not filled all the way in but you've got some really good sections that reach way out there to ninth or more generation and so you know hopefully that gives you once again good kicking off places to be able to add to it you may already have information on some of these in your own personal files quite a bit fuller yeah no it's great it's really great very impressive anybody else have questions for Lorraine for we swap over to Dave they're just saying congratulations to Maddie so that's okay now we'll go ahead and and David Allen Lambert once again with ancestors from Canada England Ireland and the United States his captain's going to be Christine Daniels she is excited and rearing to go and let me tell you a lot of our participants are too we always have that overhang where we have some that don't quite want to leave the last guest and they go ahead and keep working on that ancestor they're stuck on and then the rest of them that are just like ready and excited to start with a new week so you know it makes it a lot of fun now David has been on the staff of any HGS which of course is a New England genealogical society historical society since 1993 so that's a long time he is their chief genealogist he's an internationally recognized speaker on topics of genealogy and history he's published many articles he's published a guide to Massachusetts cemeteries he's an elected fellow of the Massachusetts Historical Society in Boston and is a life member of the New Hampshire Society of Cincinnati and I'm sure there's other things that aren't on that list that you've done but I just hope they don't put them all in my obituary someday because they'll have an extra length you know when you start doing it for a long time ago it you start to join things a lot so it's it's been really fun I'll tell you I was just really reveling in all the wonderful discoveries you made and I must say that I'm it's just like genealogical holiday coming in September with all of your researchers and the wiki triers I'm really excited about this very much so yeah we are too and you know it is like that to us because we get to give this gift and to us that's what it is you know we want to give you this gift of hopefully information that you didn't have already you know and it's just so much fun and you know we get to do it every single week and we've been doing it all year long and it's just amazing well you know the thing about working at any HGS for you know 28 years now it's like I spend my whole day helping other people do their own family tree and you know after you're working eight hours nine hours on genealogy sometimes you don't want to go home and work on your own so I would do it when I went to Salt Lake City or a particular place like say I went to London to the archives there so I would pick it up in dribs and drabs so I must say that I probably did more of my own genealogy before I worked at any HGS and the 28 years since I've worked there so I'm really excited to see what everyone uncovers yeah Dana's out at the audience too what an incredible gift she says I can't wait because she'll be next up after you now we did already have some people that are piping up in that in that discord chat room that Melanie was talking to you about and Lizzie Griffith she's one of our our experts and amazing in her projects on McEatry she says David's fourth great-grandfather James Lee who's not on McEatry yet was actually neighbors with my fourth great-grandfather James Bickerton and a little village in Cheshire in 1841 how cool is that Moe neighbor that's amazing yeah that would have been Brevardton comes Smithwick in Cheshire my grandfather was born in Nantwich England came over as about 10 years old to Canada my mother was born in Canada so on one line I'm a first born American on the other side my mother's mother's side we've been here as early as 1629 haven't found that Mayflower line yet but who knows maybe we'll do that yeah she she was surfing in your tree and she found a census that she already had saved on her tree and she's like oh wait I got a look at this profile that's that's the extra points right there by association right the fan approach I know right I got something better for you see people are going can we do interesting stuff before his week even starts we we have a participant Robin Baker she has and I saw this she really does have it at 30 year old letter from you to her aunt Ellen about a shared ancestor Timothy Ingalls you had been looking over the family microfilm and wrote to her because he was a mystery so now have you found out more about him well I can tell you that Timothy Ingalls is actually the ancestor of Laura Ingalls Wilder he was born in 1720 and there was some confusion between him being of one branch and another they kind of move around a little bit on the early genealogy so yeah I think I found it back to Edmund Ingalls who's the immigrant into Lynn Massachusetts but nice to meet another cousin yeah she says it turns out her great great grandmother was Laura Ingalls Wilder's aunt that's so small world right very very small world especially with the Bickerton's and Browerton comes method which is about the size of a postage stamp so that's amazing and then we always look at the relationships at the start of the week we like to do that I one of our little cold toys on the tree of course and we love our widgets and our apps and people spoil us there we have fun stuff is the relationship tool so we can quickly just look in a snap at how are related so you and I are ninth cousins three times removed and then yeah see cousins and we look at that at the start of the week and then we look at the end because of course the more people you add to the tree the more cousins you get on there the more likely you are to make a connection even closer so you know we look and then we follow that during the week and that's kind of our own little checkpoint and say am I closer nope still ninth cousins doesn't mean we're doing anything wrong but you know what I mean it it it's it's exciting when we're doing that and all of a sudden you jump a couple of steps you know exactly so that's great oh here yeah here's Chris that you know oh hi Chris David is connected to me via the Pillsbury line I will have to confirm this and send him some biscuits hi cousin they are just all so excited about it I'm tickled tickled tank I mean it's really exciting like I say you know when you're doing it for so many other people over the years and not really spending a lot of time on your own this is like the best gift ever so I'm really excited this is like waiting before the holidays and what you know what am I gonna open up and find so I'm really excited for next week okay and now we'll go ahead and we'll do your actual questions since we kind of did everything out of order here but it's just been so much fun looking at it and so what got you interested in genealogy I was playing hooky from school I don't know if I'd say playing hooky but I was home from school seven years old my grandmother my maternal grandmother Lillian live with us and my uncle was returning a published genealogy book and he as he was taking his coat off he handed this book to me and within it like something was sticking out it was a metal tin type photograph now at that point in time I had never seen a metal photograph and I turned to my grandmother because she was the older person in the room I said Nana what's this he goes oh that's my father well we had only lost a goldfish at that point in time I was very lucky and I said well can I meet him well he was born in 1848 a little hard for me to meet him in 1976 and she showed me where they were in the genealogy book and she said this is my father and mother and these are my oldest two siblings I said well Nana why aren't you in it because I wasn't born yet he kind of stopped right there and so by the way there's a story in here that's not in the genealogy and so what's that because my father was on a whaling ship and I said what because we had just learned a child-friendly version of Moby Dick by Melville you know where the the whaler and the whale became friends and I was like so no pun intended I was hooked and I've been stuck doing this genealogy now for 40 gosh 45 years so before the internet before DNA was a part of it so that's how I got started yeah back when we were all going to the courthouses and looking at microfilm and you can just hop on the internet and look at 10 sites I wish now who is your favorite ancestor if you had to pick one well I mean I always like to say mom and dad but in case of ancestors like ones that I never knew I would say Henry poor he was born 200 years and eight days exactly before May on June the 20th 1769 and he was the son of a revolutionary war soldier so he would have known when his dad marched off the Lexington and conquered and with the idea of you're always discovering something new I found out that I've been lecturing on the war of 1812 now for well over a decade and it turns out he was a 44 year old artificer in the war of 1812 was in the battle of Plattsburg and I've been doing military genealogy for years so I always say oh yeah you never know when you're gonna find something new that was Thanksgiving last year for me he traveled to Canada he was married a couple of times he was a cabinet maker he had a very interesting life and I think if I got the chance to meet anybody Henry would probably be the one now do you have any interesting stories to share things that you've found out about those those ancestors well I mean with genealogy I think every little tidbit beyond that dash on the gravestone is a great story what family history is all about I think finding that I had a couple of oil lines was fun I have Thomas Bradbury and our personal role we go back to Edward the first and have some earlier lines from there I think finding like the stories that connect people like for instance my own wife's family lived on the same street as my family during the 1850s probably about the distance of about three houses so did they know each other that was fun finding connections in my DNA with my cousin Jim Lambert who lives in Brooklyn New York we share a hundred out of a hundred eleven DNA marker why DNA markers and his family and I have mismatches about 500 years but he's the only closest relative I have I mean the male line of my family is pretty daughtered out if you will so finding those connections may it be DNA or looking at old documents I mean there's just been so many of them but finding the muster and I'm not the muster all the diary of Henry Porter's father Jonathan poor walking about the British regulates firing upon him and then being at the same archives and so would you like to see the oversized documents I said what are those they were his actual certificates for his blanking on it right now I cannot believe I'm blanking on he was promoted his promotion documents signed by his officers so I have all of those wow so that was amazing so it became more than just a name on a gravestone physical documents associated with the person it's great stuff okay and when did you first discover a wiki tree probably at roots tech the first time you folks were there I know a batch of the people on your team over the years and you know I just get sucked right into want to know what it was all about so I would say as long as you've been going to roots tech I've been why watching what you're doing and of course you had my partner in crime with extreme genes Scott Fisher yes or and Scott was singing your praises and the next thing I know I'm talking to you and I was invited to be on and I was tickled thinking now that we're right about the cusp of learning about my own discoveries next week I'm really really happy and excited great now what are your current what do you consider your toughest brick walls well as I said to you at the get-go Mindi I know a lot of times your wiki tree is looking at great grandparents my biggest brick wall is my own paternal grandfather James Albert George Lambert born on the island of St. Pierre McLeon his father's actually Irish from Nova Scotia it was a merchant and his mother was from Newfoundland James married my grandmother New Brunswick they immigrated to Boston had a batch of kids including my dad and then he became a bootlegger and in and out of jail I had a very colorful life in fact my tree that I put on ancestry has every factoid on him but in 1953 he disappears and I know that there's not a hundred and thirty four year old grandfather roaming around so he's my biggest brick wall does my own grandfather well I can tell the participants I'm not going to let you edit that profile anyways but what you can do because I know there's somebody anxious to work on this now probably several of you is that gives a great thing to start a space page over go ahead and put your notes on what you think happened what you found that way we can review it at the end of at the end of the week now what do you hope to see of participating I think you've kind of already answered this in the challenge well you know I think with genealogy it's like I love to make discoveries for people so getting these discoveries presented to me by many genealogists from all across you know the globe I mean like I say I have grandparents born in four different countries technically is really a gift that I can't repay and other than I'm gonna help you folks out and I think I'm gonna have to learn about all of the fine things you do and volunteer because one of my colleagues I understand is involved yes Melanie are you volunteering are you starting that space page she goes yeah that's a great idea she's been wonderful I know her week hasn't come up yet either so but she's been been participating and she's just been a joy to have in the group I know extremely helpful I know she's been a joy to have on the staff at the New England Historic Genealogical Society in Boston since she came aboard and really really delighted to be have her as a colleague okay do we have any other questions I know they're gonna want to know can they use pictures you have some amazing pictures on your primary dream anything you'd like we like to glam up the profiles if we can so you know just make them so they're personable yeah now I'm really excited about it like I said I've tried to add you know as many documents and I you know well reviewed some of my lens because just like anything on online it's like you try to put in as much as you make your discoveries but sometimes we have those notebooks are like oh yeah I get around to it so I'm sure you'll make some discoveries that I haven't even tried and like I say the biggest part of my tree that I haven't spent a lot of time on is the Atlantic Canadian side I mean I've done a fair amount but getting those across the pond to Europe has obviously been difficult like my Lambert succumbed over in 1793 from Ireland there's my own grandfather from England I mean and I've tried to push back as I far as I can I mean it's easier to find my new England English ancestors in the 1600s origins than it is to find her right English ancestor in the middle of the 18th century and push him into the 1600s or her into the 1600s so I'm looking forward to what you can find and since I already have a Bickerton neighbor there I think I'm really a good winning chance and then of course your other wiki tree or whose aunt I wrote to 30 years ago I'd have to see a copy of that letter I want to see what I actually wrote but I know obviously Timothy Ingalls but that's great amazing the thing somebody saved my letter after 30 years well it must have been in the family research stuff it's in good shape it's in good shape I know you have nice writing by the way well the idea was I've been a lot of bad penmanship over the past 45 years and I don't want someone to pick it up and see what is he writing right so I tend to print more than I do handwrite but I think I'm okay it's legible I hope yeah well we'll have to get a copy of that to you that that's got to be fun to look at something that was written that long ago yeah so once again we just have a lot of a lot of cousins and hopefully future cousins here that are really excited about looking into your tree and you know I know they're anxious to go and over probably talking already in the discord letter well I'm really grateful and in advance thank you and on behalf of my own family and my cousins that always are lurking over my shoulder what you find now they're gonna be equally excited so you're not just helping out one person in this immediate family you're helping out dozens upon dozens of cousins that have been helping for years so thank you well we certainly hope so I want to thank you David Lorraine both of you for letting us play in your branches and for coming on to the live cast thank you for all the guests out there that are watching this you know if you weren't out there viewing us we wouldn't be making the live cast so and then the participants I just have to give a good hats off to them because they just amaze me every single week with what they find and what they can do it's incredible so go ahead and check us out at wikitree.com you can like and subscribe to receive alerts for our channel here and I guess we will say goodnight we will be back next Wednesday


This is about 10 pounds. I like to rock and roll with that to make sure I haven't trapped any air in the bottom. And then I'm just going to center it, a bit of that schmutz. Okay, I'm going to coat it up a little bit, and then push it down, and then turn it into a bowl. I'm going to make a shallow bowl, so I'm going to give it a wide base. When I talked about bowls in a link below, I made some tall ones and some shallow ones. When you're done watching this, you can check them out.  I said before, I was accused of cheating, but since it's my studio, it's my way. It does make it easier to center, you get rid of some of that stuff, and notice that I'm really connected. My elbows are into my ribs, I'm hanging on to my left arm, and I'm just going to pull my middle finger to the palm of my left hand. When you're opening a piece this big, the clay has its own speed it likes to go. So just, you can feel it, and just go the speed you want it to go. I'm not going full tilt on the wheel. I'm always keeping it moist and slidey, and both hands are going to push up. And I have my big sponge, and I'm going way down to the bottom. I'm pulling across, and now my left hand's still at the bottom, but my right hand is moving up. They're quite far apart at this point, and as I get closer to the top, my pressures decrease, and they get closer together. So let's give it another pull. First of all, I want to go in and tidy up that bottom a bit, I've got enough water down there to swim. I'm going to grab it again, I'm going to do another pull, keeping that bottom in check. And give it another pull. Notice how as soon as I can join my hands together, they buddy up. Now I've left quite a bit of thickness up here, it's not going to open this up to a big bowl. And if it starts out thin the time you stretch it open, it'll be too thin. So this is my rib. If you want information on measurements on how to make this rib, there's a link to a short below. And I'm just going to go in, again I'm connected at a 45 degree angle, and we're going to go down and open this. As I get near the bottom, I pull that toe toward me. As I said, you've got to watch when you get down at the bottom that you don't take your walls past the base.  I like a nice join in the bowl where the wall joins the bottom, it has to be a nice perfect profile. That's why I call it the perfect profile rib.  It's a compacting pull. What happens when you're throwing a bowl with the rib? The particles are forced to kind of splay open and you pull it, it just kind of tucks them all back in together. So I'm just, I gave it a pull, make sure it's moist. Now let's see how big we can make this bowl before it falls down. I have a short in the links below where I did one past the point and it fell over, but I'm not going to kill this one, but we are going to see just how far we can go. This is why you want to start off with a nice thick rim, because you've got room for expansion. Notice I'm hanging on tightly, that's pretty big, we can go more. I'm not going fast, let's do another one, I'm going to tidy that, give that one a pull. Where's my little sponge, can't see beyond the bowl. I'm starting to get past the base and this clay is fairly soft, so I'm thinking I could be close to done. Can you see the inside I don't like, I've got a thing there, air bubble, but I can fix that in post, I mean literally fix it later. I'm going to tidy up this bottom, I've mentioned a few times in throwing bowls that I like to throw opposite and move that into that blend, there you can see how I get rid of that messy bottom. I do like a nice join from the bottom of the bowl to the wall. So I'm going to get all the messy bottoms and all of that spinning done and then I can do my last thing with the rib when I don't have to spin it anymore. Right now it's got enough, it can do one more. Then I'm going to use it and I'm going to go down and tidy up that bottom a bit more with the rib. That's where the perfect profile rib comes in and it joins up. Nice, I'll tidy that up, see where we are. You can see with that rib, you can just keep going. So how big are we now? Well we're starting to dance a little bit, I think I'm going to quit. Okay so let's measure that guy, I happen to have a yard stick. This guy is 18 inches, he'll be 16 by the time he's done probably. Anyway so there we are throwing a large open bowl with the rib, they're kind of fun. I'll cut that off, it'll be a day or three before I can trim that. Like I said it's starting to get rhythm, some of my favorite people have rhythm. I'll cut it off and he's done. So I've got it level, the needle touches all the way around that way and it's centered, it touches all the way around that way. I just center by making a scratch and pushing into the scratch, it takes a second. Anyway so I'm going to trim this and I've centered here, not centered there, when I'm finished cutting it will be centered and it's just a matter of cutting it away. I like to always give it a foot to sit on, it gives it kind of a lift, a presence on the table, trim that and it's not perfectly centered, there are a few of us off. I'm just going to undercut that a little bit and I'm pumping for sound, I don't know if you can hear that, so this is sounds different than this where it's thicker. The higher the pitch the thinner the play, I always say if you're tapping for sound then your clay moves, you're a little too thin. Okay so I've got that undercut, I'm going to put a foot in here, I've said before when I'm trimming I like the bottom to look just as tidy as the top, I think the top should be finished top and bottom, especially if you're making a bowl this big, you want it to have presence on the wheel, you want it just to look nice. Still got quite a bit of clay there, anyway so there's trimmed, I'm going to sponge it though because I don't like it when you can see where the trimming ends and the throwing starts, so I'm just going to take a dab and sponge around the whole thing. As I said you want it to be tidy, this also not only hides where the trimming started and ended but also brings all those little particles to the surface and it seals your pipe, it just makes it look nicer and be more sealed. Okay so I'm going to put it back on the board it was on, I'm going to wet the bottom side of this back, so I'm going to put it back on the wheel and I'm going to wet the top side of this back and I'm going to put on a little bit of paper, I like to put paper between the two sides of the frame and the board, sometimes it can stick to the board and then you have to cut it off and you've got it all trimmed and tidy, that's not a good idea. So if you put a bit of paper on there, wet paper, the bowl will stick to the wet paper and the paper won't stick to the board and you'll never get it stuck, so now I have to turn this other way over, what it's going to do is put it on the wheel, like I said before like keep my pins at 9 and 3 o'clock underneath there is a hole for 9 and 3 o'clock and just gently and it'll come off. Okay well that's kind of like centered, it's not perfectly centered, it doesn't have to be perfectly centered and this bowl is not perfectly centered, anyway very few of us are perfect. I like it sort of close to center so I can sponge it up and make the edge tidy where it sat on the bat. So that's it, we're trimmed, we're tidy and we're not completely on center. If you like watching me make this bowl wonky or not wonky, you can please hit the like button. If you want to see more videos by me, it's the best way to support me in my channel, please subscribe and if you have anything to say about me, my wonky bowls or anything else, any comments in the comment section below, just let me know. Anyway, thanks ever so much for watching.