So We do have four members of the board here, so I'm going to call us meeting to order John said he would not be able to make it a gather So It's a regular meeting of the town of Berlin development view board. Welcome. Thank you You have four members of the board myself Bob one chair to a Nelson On the screen. We have Carla Weasel who is a vice chair we have And we have our recording secretary Carla Preston So Before we begin, let me swear in Anybody who tends to give testimony before this board tonight, please raise your hand. Thank you Square tell truth not the truth and as before this board tonight on the penalties of perjury. I do I do Thank you All right, we might as well proceed immediately and ask you to give us a Overview of the project so we understand it. I'm going to probably ask you to walk us through the map a little bit But why don't you give us an overview of what you won't propose to do here? So we proceed rapidly sure So I own this piece of property. It's just into Berlin over the Montpelier line on Northfield Street route 12 from our route 12 and It's actually two parcels of land that are connected together. There's two lots I own them both one lot one lot two of a subdivision that happened a few years back the Front lot has a it's mostly an open field It has a log cabin or a log structure in the middle of it that was originally built in the 1970s is my understanding. It's about a thousand square feet a thousand four square feet And my intent is to the reason I'm here tonight is that put an addition on that building a 36 by 40 addition More or less the south end of it That We can increase the square footage of the space and I'm a woodworker by trade I have a cabinet shop and my intent is to move my business into that those two that expanded space Matter curiosity, are you used that existing log building now? It's rented out rented out Yeah, I see very little activity there So yeah, there's a couple guys in there that use it to store mostly store stuff There's electrician that stores some things in there, and there's not a whole lot going on And you're a resident of East Montpelier resident of East Montpelier, correct. Gotta get in the move I didn't know if you were in that just the house lot to or not I don't live there No, I rent that out as well. Okay. So that's rented still old lot to go correct Questions members of the board Yeah, I have a question. I didn't catch it if you said it What is the front building that you want to expand? What's businesses in there? The both with a current existing structure and the addition will both be a woodworking shop Okay cabinet shop Okay, thank you That must be a busy trade right now I Okay If there are no other questions by board members Tom, do you have any comments you want to make? Mr. Chair, okay. Well, we have a nice narrative from you I'm sorry Okay So the Criteria are the site plan reviewer are clear starts with parking and loading And you've given us narrative, but perhaps you want to paraphrase it for us. Sure parking and loading is mostly in the In the front of the building I'm planning on a to what I proposed is two parking places on the Front the driveway side, I should guess maybe of the addition Plane room for deliveries turn around it's a pretty flat area, which is really nice snow can be pushed either direction And a gravel Gravel drive which is fitting without leading up to the house is currently back Talk about your your narrative here. You say our regulation. Yeah, yeah, sure So the regulation I think based on square footage of the two structures together would require three parking places Based on just though, I know it's my business. I know the space I need I'm proposing two two spots instead. There is plenty of room there I'm happy to add that third third spot if you guys would like it, but it is less Impermeable surface to have less parking places and Less interruption of the field that's around You are expanding the access drive a little bit to accommodate your new building correct Right for the parking on the side along the side as well. Yeah, and that's also partly for means of egress out the side That's gonna be a gravel gravel. Correct. Yeah, which is of course impervious. Yeah Of course don't know I Don't be a circle circulation parking and loading Yep. Once again, we you know my business takes probably You raise hard dress parking So just loading loading is there's adequate room to pull the trucks up alongside of the building as well as to back up a larger truck In the very maybe once a year in frequency that it may happen but access To the facility For off of route 12. Yeah. Yeah, so there's currently a road cut at route 12 Which services the? Existing log structure as well as the house that's behind it So it's one drive one road cut off of route 12 and I'm proposing to keep that exactly like it is Probably would improve the driveway some in here just to help it not get as muddy if they're going to increase any traffic on there But it's actually really nicely drained soil. It holds up pretty well with its current traffic So no no amendments to the actual road cut area itself It is a right-of-way apparently to a lot number three. Is that right? I believe that there is a right-of-way to lot three Actually, yeah, there may be a right-of-way a lot three. He goes the great western property members Western did this subdivision a couple years. Yeah, he retained I think lot he retained lot three Right, I kind of which continues with his acreage his residence Yeah, is in the structures in a city of Montpelier, right, but he wanted this this lot Yeah, but he this is his access to that. I think he also has access to his other he does. Yeah access both ways Yeah, I raise that only because the intersection with 12 is a terrible intersection I mean only because you're sort of kitty corner crossing down river. Yeah, you're very close to 1st Street Yeah, and so if you were proposing something that had a higher volume of traffic This would raise some real concerns. Okay, you would be looking for a second road cut perhaps. I would be asking you to perhaps Righted a world. Yeah. Well, it's the state of Vermont highway. I understand still They would get involved if we yeah, I understand It was a high traffic thing. Obviously you're talking about yeah one or two additional employees Yeah Questions Here we know Tom Tom, what are we classifying this use as It's a it's in a mixed use Location now Carla, right, but what is this but what are we what did you? Classify this as far as the zoning rise. I'm just curious. I think it's commercial retail Okay So it's permitted use This zone Further questions Carla No, no, that's fine. Just Go ahead I've had a chance to read everything. I'm not sure everybody else has but basically pedestrian access I'm not planning any specific stuff. There's not there's no sidewalks along route 12 at that point There's not a lot of by-school or pedestrian traffic. It's not the buildings I don't have a retail showroom or anything like that. It's gonna bring people in It's strictly it's kind of a woodworking wood shop just for the employees of myself So I'm not imagining any pedestrian or bicycle traffic Really up the drive to the structure at all Everybody Landscaping Landscaping I'm proposing the you know the in that area the other structures that are there right across the street is the U-Haul dealership and Flywheel industrial arts and kind of commercial building there that Jason Merrill owns And then Morse auto on the other corner The screening there's already screening like a natural head row Both the I'm calling at the south end of the property but heading towards the trailer park towards 1st Street There's a natural head row that screens those Residences that heads rose on your property isn't that I think it's probably pretty much right on the line But it is there's plenty of it that is it's not just one narrow bay It's actually several feet wide and then the same thing is true going toward to the north There's a residence that is several hundred feet away more than 400 feet away But there is a natural barrier and screening both of landscape on that so proposing to preserve the existing Screenings that's already there Well the under 3204 C Landscaping plans. I normally a landscaping plan is required Okay but under the 340 C the DRB can wave that requirement if the This minimal no changes existing landscaping so You really are requesting in fact since you're not provided with a landscaping plan. You're asking for a waiver. Oh, yeah Yeah, I just bring that up that 32 before sees applies Does they be objective waving that requirement? I Just kind of have a concern because you know what I I look at the property. It doesn't seem to be that screened To me and you know, maybe it's just me and I I don't know, you know, I think This is an opportune time to actually meet the regulations and screen it Well, it's actually set back fairly far from the road My view is that set back from front of the road It does have screening north and south as you grab along 12, right, but it doesn't have it along the road along the road No On the other hand, I'm not sure that I know those buildings are any more Objectible than any other building in that area. In fact, they're probably the least objectionable buildings in the area With all due respect to anybody else's own property there So I hear you I'm not sure I agree with you Well, it would have been nice to have seen a landscape plan, but Um and to have some proposed landscaping, but you know, if I'm in the minority here, I understand I'm strong on landscaping. Yes, you are We appreciate that Carla to our house are you Fine, but can I go Kim? I hate just I'm not trying to be a pain in the ass but on the application that says light industrial and I just light industrials conditionally you so I just want to make sure we do this, right? procedurally So that everything's kosher Those warrant is a mixed use I think maybe iris thought it was But it's been worn as mixed use Carla No, I mean the On the it says application is made to extend and it says like light industrial is checked which I can see why this might be considered light industrial. I guess, but I mean, I have no problem with the with what you're doing I just want to make sure that we don't mess up the process Okay, are we in the mix of your zone? We are I thought I thought I looked it up and we were on the mix here so Really doesn't matter what the application says. We're gonna mix you so And I'm not referring to the zone. I'm referring to the activity I'm not following you to to the use Because if you go to mixed use light if it's if it's in fact a light industrial activity, it's like conditional use I see what she's saying. She's saying that the the work this the Workshop is a light industrial use Potentially, I mean I can see it Very I think if the scale is larger it's definitely larger than what what The applicant is proposing that that it would would fall. This is such small scale. I don't okay I don't think we fall into light industrial Okay, I'm not like I said. I just want to make sure procedurally we don't Do anything that we might Does the applicant agree with that? I would agree that yeah, I think it's mostly my ignorance as to what you know Categorizes as which and I frankly don't know specifically what the Letter of the law difference is with a letter of the code, but I would consider it more commercial than industrial I guess I'm okay with that Yeah, I I think it falls into permitted use under several categories very frankly Under in the mixed use district So, you know, you characterize it as storage you characterize it as a repair and service It all falls in the same category. So Okay, so I just wanted to raise the issue because it I just want you know, that's fine. Thank you We're on landscaping. I know it's gonna ask you to do more on landscaping. I'm okay with the landscaping whatever waiver I am too. I mean I always like to see more landscaping but This project we're still kid. I'm okay with it. Yeah, I think given the location given its Type of structure it is Now having said that we'd all probably wouldn't mind you planted a few bushes out in front to break up the landscape in front of the buildings, okay, so I'm not prepared to make that a criteria But uh, I think there would be a step in the right direction. You've heard the morning. Yep. I agree with the chair on that noted Hours of operation We run pretty standard hours of operation sometime between The earliest we're there is six in the morning, but that's very very rare Mostly it's seven till six at night something along those lines every once in a while we're there in the evening Now are you operating out of the existing structure now? Are you I'm not you're operating a different structure in the small player? I'm actually in berlin. Yeah Yeah, I'm up off right off the east. Uh, I'm sorry off of route two Just past the gmc truck dealership in where the wig goddess is the anisoresis. Yeah, I rent from steve ribollini up there It'll be a little bit of a drive to work. It's gonna be a little longer. He's moving. He's moving. Well, I'm moving I'm moving to berlin You know, there's space on the drb The Well, we could use the first on the air Setbacks you've shown that you meet the setback requirements. Anybody have questions about setbacks? No outdoor lighting outdoor lighting I Intend I know like all night long security lighting just for safe egress and access to the building It'll meet the Dark sky requirements. I brought a couple of cut sheets with me of the style of thing that I'm considering If that'd be helpful Now those are going to shut off at night. They will be shut out.  Yes. Yeah, okay And no yard lights no yard lights. I gather you're gonna have a light over the garage door Correct and one over each person door each. Okay Yeah Questions done lady Stormwater drainage storm water drainage, uh, it's the Not really changing the landscape so much. So there's a large swale Or drainage that runs right along route 12 and we're close enough to that that I think most of the storm water will run that way the driveway is also well drained currently is in above above the Land on both sides and there's also a drainage on the south side of the driveway. So I think What the existing drainage is will adequately take care of any storm water And you're not obviously disturbing a large area. We're not disturbing a large area at all Questions don't want to drainage No utilization of renewable energy resources municipal service impact I see no municipal service impact per se You have good access for emergency vehicles And you indicated it's not a flood hazard You do provide us with an elevation of the buildings Yeah You wanted to just quickly explain what you're proposing there. Yeah, so the gable of the existing log building runs I'm gonna say parallel with route 12 and my plan is to make the A Ridge of the new building run parallel with that So basically extending the existing structure, although the Edition will be higher. We taller than the existing log log building Natural wood siding on the outside metal roofing Garage door on the south end of the building for deliveries and access and then person doors on the Next to that garage door and then one on each of the long sides of the one on the long side Log structure one on the long side of the addition And what type of material is the building going to be made of it's wood framed wood frame and siding is siding's wood wood Wood paneling or uh, like a natural like boards. Yeah, tongue and groove or ship lot. Yeah, okay Nice Hope we could find a good carpenter What I got it. I got it. Ashley. I'm curious. So the log building is in good condition. It's in great shape Really? Yeah, the found the you know that soil is really well drained right through there and the um The slab that it's on is in great condition There's a smu few hairline cracks, but the slab itself's in Great shape in the log buildings that has big overhang logs. It's been there a lot. How much does that build? I want to say early to mid 70s is what I was told and um It's in great shape. Yeah, the bottom logs. There's a couple soft spots, but nothing that I'm concerned about at all Yeah, it's in great shape Any questions about the buildings No Do you have anything else you want to tell us about the project? Not in particular. I'm excited about it The um Any information you want to share No, not it. Mr. Chair. I think it's a pretty self-explanatory application Welcome to the town of berlin. Yes Questions by the board No motion to close the hearing I have a question I have always wanted to learn woodworking and I I can't find any classes around. Do you know anybody that teaches? There I do know a couple there's a couple different schools actually in vermont that teach woodworking You can take class down at yester morrow school down in the weights field area So a combination of yesterday and tomorrow and yeah, there's another one called the vermont school of woodworking Which is up in chitlinon county And both offer pretty good introductory woodworking classes. I used to teach a ton down at yester morrow I haven't taught there in years, but I did teach there for many years and um The folks up at the vermont woodworking school are really are pretty good as well And then there's a guy the shop teacher at u32 dav basis Is has always made noise about wanting to teach woodworking In the off hours in the summer. So he I bet if you yeah, they used to do it at spalding. I think but they don't do it in in berlin. They don't do it anymore Yeah Yeah, interesting. Thank you. You're welcome. Well, good. It's a good backup career for an attorney No, I just you know, I see these things My boss had a had a really it was just a piece of wood that was made into this You know bowl and it was had it was flawed, but it was just gorgeous and I'm like, how do I learn to make that kind of stuff? It was from it was from uh, what's that expensive place in quichy, um Simon pierce. So it probably cost fortune. Yeah Yeah, I have nice stuff down there I just went to portland, oregon and the hotel was um Accented with these big strips of wood. It would be hanging like the separate areas. It was gorgeous. Uh The uh high school that serves Um willis then in that area they offer night classes in all they do full turning they do All right, thank you Just don't get so involved. That's good. That's good. The important business. Yeah, really Just don't get so involved that you have to quit the board you're on Well, you know That time may be coming up Um Okay That we close the hearing. Thank you second Seconded by tour. Um, is there a discussion at motion? Hearing none all those are paid that motion. Please signify by saying aye. Aye. Aye And uh, since it's unanimous, this hearing is closed So how the process works likely this board will go in the deliberative session tonight and discuss this project. Okay, uh From from that outcome. I'll contact you. Okay, and then we'll go from there. That's great Thank you all for your time. Appreciate it. Thank you. Thank you neighbor Thank you neighbor. Thank you. Yeah Take care. Thank you. Good evening We have one other item on agenda And i'll call it right now. It's the approval of minutes of august 2nd 2022 and um I submitted comments on those minutes and and others have I can't apologize. You have some comments on that I may have but I think she submit then submitted a revised version, right? Correct. I only in the only in the findings. Yeah, she she incorporated the comments into the findings But the minutes need to still be corrected Um I can tell you what I understood from comments if you like I know that would be appreciated um Buildings is is five not three. Yeah, that was mentioned in a couple of places. Yeah, correct. Um, and then I added the uh Size of the two buildings that were on the ends there. Thank you. Um With the dimensions and then I read numbered the exhibits so they made more sense Okay. Yeah, that was my concern and then um polly I think it was your comment where I added the access to the lower units was from but the phone Yep, um, that's all I really Recall as far as the minutes go Yeah, I that's it I don't have my email to you, but I also mentioned the lights on the uh, this is under section um 3205 that the lights on the building are Motion uh, activated I do think you included that in the findings Okay They're motion activated lights Do you want that in the minutes as well? Uh, yes lights on the building are motion activated Okay so, um I'll make the motion to approve the minutes subject to those amendments I'll second Discussion Hearing none all those in favor of that motion, please say goodbye by saying aye. Aye Aye Opposed sorry. I I was muted We saw your lips moving Um, so Uh, we we wrote it. We have four eyes. Uh, we're good All right, uh Does anybody want to go into a little procession on the matter we heard before the board tonight? Yeah Pardon I guess.  It seems pretty straightforward Yeah, I I don't feel that we have to but if anybody wants to go into a little procession, please just say so We take action here outside of delivery session Pardon, will you take any action outside of delivery session? Um, you know what let's let's go into a little procession because it it facilitates our process of um, editing uh findings So, um, I'll make the motion go into a little procession second most been made seconded Uh discussion that motion Is sad thinking by going into a little procession that we can continue the new recession outside of the open hearing and and come up with uh Findings that we're all support 7 28 p.m. Yeah 7 28 p.m Do we have a motion on it? We have more on that motion. I don't know. All the things that motion please say by saying aye. Aye Aye I need to And we are in the loop session. I need to close everybody off I'll do an obsession at um 750 7 50 55 30 more and 750 750.  Okay Okay, I would intend a motion to adjourn before we determine just I was gonna wait till the We had the results of tonight's meeting there. So the next meeting of the drb two weeks now is cancelled so That is the 20th, right 14. Yeah the 20th of september that meeting is cancelled Okay That's all i have mr. Chair as well as we don't bring in in october This is i know Okay, now i'll add the motion to adjourn so It's been made by two words seconded by folly. Okay All those things that motion please signify by saying aye. Hi. Hi Hi, and you're adjourned. Thank you all very much. Thank you all Good night garland. Good night garland


Good afternoon, ladies and gents. Welcome to CMC Markets on Friday the 3rd of December and this month's non-farm payrolls webinar for November. It's certainly I think in the context of where we were just before Thanksgiving. I think in the in the wake of the Omicron scare there was a perception perhaps that today's webinar and Today's payrolls number, I should say not today's webinar today's payrolls number may have lost some of the importance that perhaps we were thinking about prior to The news of Omicron basically dropping around about Thanksgiving and obviously last Friday when we saw those big falls In equity markets, there was a perception perhaps that this new variant might perhaps delay the Federal Reserve in in terms of its reaction function when it comes to tapering This asset purchase program and as a quick recap I think what we can say is that there was an expectation that having started its tapering program There's an awful lot of people me included who think that the Federal Reserve is behind the curve when it comes to managing inflation and The wider discussion about the T work transitory So given the uncertainty around the Omicron variant and the fact that we still really are a little bit in the dark About how serious it could be relative to Delta I think the noise around Omicron obscured the fact that Delta is still a very serious problem Particularly particularly in Europe and I think there was an awful lot of hysteria around Omicron Given the fact that still right now Infections for Omicron are still lagging well behind Delta and I think The bigger question is not whether or not Omicron is more infectious But whether it's more deadly and at the moment Anecdotally that does not appear to be the case So does it really affect the wider picture when it comes to the US economy and how well that's doing? But also in terms of the Federal Reserve and whether or not we're likely to see an acceleration in the tapering of its asset purchase program when it meets in December the 16th of December and I Think your own powers hawkish pivot Was a little bit of a surprise On Tuesday when he said that it was time to retire the word transitory With regard to inflation from the central bank lexicon, and I think the problem is transitory means different things to different people I mean at the end of the day you could argue that we're all transitory in terms of the fact that we're only here for a limited period So transitory could mean a lifetime. It depends on your you know, it depends on your definition of what transitory means When the Federal Reserve was talking transitory in March, there was an expectation that was probably going to be six to nine months And yet here we are Looking at the end of the year an inflation is at a 31 year high in the US That's 6.2 percent. We've got US CPI next week For November and that's likely to move up to six point seven percent with core CPI around five percent, so It's a real problem And I think the fact that a number of Fed policy makers even if you ignore Omicron completely The fact is the Federal Reserve was was concerned about Inflation even before Omicron hit the airwaves and sort of rather muddied the waters so in his change earlier this week Today's payrolls number is really important in the overall Conversation when it comes to whether or not the Fed will go from 15 billion dollars of tapering to potentially having a conversation about 30 In December December the 16th, and that's why this today's payrolls number is important to a point But I think it's going to have to be really disappointing for the Fed to deviate from potentially Doubling their tapering to 30 billion dollars a month, which will take it down from 105 Which it is now went from 120 to 105 in November from 105 to 90 billion Now that still means that they're built. They're growing the balance sheet They are still being very accommodative but in terms of pricing In terms of pricing when it comes to rate hikes Obviously, it means, you know, what are we pricing for two rate hikes in 2020 or three rate hikes in 2020? And that's the bigger conversation So let's look at the two-year yield because for me, that's the most important Chart in terms of rate hike expectations for next year because if you compare it say for example the 10 year That's the 10 year this year We are still at the lowest levels pretty much that we've been since September we're at three month lows on the 10 year The movement in terms of US yields has been in the two year. It's been at the front end So it's been two year and five year. So the yield curve is flattening. The two year is getting closer to the 10 year That has consequences it essentially means that the Fed is still looking To go fairly slowly the markets are pricing in a fairly slow pace of rate hikes and that's what's basically moving us up from here Now I can remember Three months ago. We were talking about a break above 0.2, 0.3 percent It's being bullish for the dollar in terms of the two year and that certainly proved to be the case if you look at the Dollar index. It's moved quite a bit high. You've got euro dollar below 113 The big question for me is whether today's payrolls report pushes this two year above the peaks that we saw Back just before Thanksgiving. Obviously we saw a big drop here last Friday as The market started to price out the prospect of a taper and rate hikes next year now they're pricing them back in So, you know today's payrolls number is going to be quite key in terms of what we go to here And we've certainly seen that started to get priced back in the in the last couple of days. So Average earnings numbers if they go up to five percent average hourly earnings if they go up to five percent The decent payrolls number As the unemployment rate drops back a number in the region of five to six hundred thousand again All very very positive The big question is is whether or not it started to get priced in or priced back in from where it was just before That news here about Armacron. Obviously, that's the big drop on Friday another drop on Monday Then Tuesday Wednesday Thursday and now we're back here. So We're pricing it back in the big question is is whether we start to price it even further And that I'm a little bit concerned about this week's volatility It's really thrown into sharp relief as to whether or not we can expect Significant further upside when it comes to equity markets this year more broadly me myself I think we could well have seen the highs for this year now Why do I think that we're simply speaking if we look at the s&p this year that's year to date If you're an investor and you're coming into the Christmas period and you've had a really good year Are you going to be looking to take profit? Or are you going to be looking to build up more exposure? My gut reaction would be I would look I would looking to be selling to any strength in a moment we're finding to we're finding to We're capped around about 4,600 4,620. Now, that's not to say that we can't go higher into 2022 um, January February And potentially we could drift higher, but I can't help feeling that It's a tough ask to suggest that we could Revisit the highs that we saw back at the beginning of Thanksgiving week Simply because there's so much we don't know so much. We don't know about iMacron. There's so much we don't know about whether or not Countries in Europe will impose further lockdown restrictions on the population. You've only got to look at what's happening in Germany And imposing restrictions on the unvaccinated population And potentially mandating vaccinations going forward for all of those who are unvaccinated.  It doesn't sit right. I can see the logic behind it It doesn't necessarily mean that i'm comfortable with the idea of it. So looking at this um You know, could we see further upside? Potentially a decent payrolls number is that good for risk going forward again? That's a tough one because obviously it pushes the dollar higher. It pushes yield higher And could and and could adversely infect affect The s&p Probably less probably more constructive on it simply because it's cheaper But again, I think we're constrained by the 50 day moving average here We've got the 7000 level which looks fairly solid in terms of the support levels Going forward But on the upside this 7200 level is another barrier again if if I cast your mind back a few months We really struggled to get back above 7200 um All the way through here here in here acted as support back here and here and here Now we're back below it again, and now we're struggling to get back above it. So again on the long term i'm still fairly constructive on the footsie 100 The big question is can we get back above 7400? By the end of this year and that's a tough. I think that's a tough call at the moment Again, if I hit the year-to-date option Here we've we've not done we've not done too badly on the footsie 100 So the big question is do you put all of those gains at risks in the hope that we can go higher? I think if we close below 7000 we could see a correction back lower But judging by these charts here, there does appear to be fairly decent demand With the footsie 100 below 7000 now the decks is a slightly different story That is looking increasingly vulnerable, but again We got fairly decent support around about 15 000. So again um If we do get a dip on the decks Then we're likely to find that you know fairly decent support in and around there Simply because of how the market reacted when we were when we got down there on wednesday earlier Well tuesday earlier this week. We had fairly decent support down there, but as the upside 15 500 We look at that there. We look at that there. It was support there. It was resistance there So there's a bit of a barrier around about 15 500 in terms of the dollar Particularly euro dollar if we look at this chart here We can see that there's decent resistance around about 113 80 all the way through here So that's a bit of a barrier for me. So even if we get a disappointing number and euro dollar spikes higher I'd be surprised if we get a significant move back above 113 80 I think we'll probably see another revisit of this one 12 area dollar strength I think is probably the predominant theme heading into the fed meeting on the basis the fact that the bank of england Has gone rather soft when it comes to the prospect of a rate hike in december michael saunders this morning Talking down the prospects of a hike in december. He was one of the hawks If you recall from the last bank of england meeting But and it was was one of those people who was potentially arguing Or making the case for a rate hike. He's gone soft on the idea because of omicron That's likely to weigh on the pound in the short to median term So again, if we look at that that cable chart here We really need to see a move back above 134 the price action at the moment is looking a little bit soft We saw the bottom of this channel here, which I've drawn from the highs in june Through the lows in july we rebounded off it earlier this week I think there's potential for us to drift back down there around about 130 160 why 130 160 Or here or through here That's simply on the basis that it was also the low back in december last year So we're pretty much back at the lows of december last year on the cable I would be surprised if we broke significantly below that On the basis of the fact that euro sterling if we look at where the euro is Christine Lagarde's already said it's unlikely that the ecb will raise rates next year I think the bank of england will raise rates next year. I'm not sure the ecb will so in terms of where we go to In terms of euro sterling if we look at the daily chart here I draw a line from these peaks through here Any rebounds are likely to find a bit of a barrier around about 85 40 and then 85 70 through here if I draw a line through these highs and we've also got the 200 day moving average So euro sterling. I think salon rallies unless we get a back above this sort of area Through here. So what can we expect for payrolls going forward? um, we're expecting 550 000 For november payrolls, that's for the period up to and including the 14th of november So any hiring that has come from 14th of november to Thanksgiving won't be reflected in these numbers Will be reflected in the december numbers which come out the first friday of january So if it's a disappointing number or slightly below expectations not overly concerned about that Been looking at a number of the earnings results from from from companies like walmart and target Fedex and companies like that and they've said they're having to pay up The staff that would suggest to me that this average earnings number That is expected to come in around about 4.95 percent here If we get a move higher Then that is likely to push the Fed Towards an accelerated taper and we've heard any number of policy makers say that they need to accelerate the taper Because it gives them optionality when it comes to a potential rate rise going forward So watch the average hourly earnings year on year decent number there 550 on the headline and obviously the unemployment rate at 4.5, which is expected to come to 4.6 You've also heard me talk about the participation rate the the labor participation rate. I want to see In terms of where we look going forward Whether or not the participation rate goes up because at the moment is 2 below Where it was in february 2020 where it was 63.7 percent. There's five million americans Who still haven't returned to the workforce? How many of them Will actually Come back how many of them will have actually retired because of record high stock markets And how many of them will actually come back? So if we look in terms of the dollar yen in terms of how the market perceives The robustness of the payrolls report i'm going to basically display that just a decent report the dollar should go up um, I imagine That the knee jerk reaction on a decent number will be to Buy the dollar the big question is Whether or not it's already priced into a certain extent in terms of the fed getting more a bullish and whether whether Power's testimony earlier this week has done an awful lot of the market pricing already in anticipation of a number So the numbers are coming out now Average earnings is 4.8. So that's slightly softer Um, the payrolls report is disappointing 210 000. So very much dollar negative um Which is a little bit disappointing, but the unemployment rate has dropped to 4.2 percent from 4.6 so You know all in all again a really mixed bag Really got to struggle to find out what's going on here because that is a fairly weak number And i'm struggling to understand how it can be such a weak number while at the same time It's be Seeing such a big drop in the unemployment rate. So let's have a look Why the unemployment rate is dropped. I'm just checking the participation rate for the Labor force Participation and that's gone up to 61.8 So the headline number yet disappointing But when we look at everything else it's actually fairly decent Um, so and the revision to the previous month fairly neutral 546 so take the bones out of that the headline number Is disappointing in terms of the payrolls number the unemployment number falling back to 4.2 percent Is pretty good. It's very good in fact and a participation rate has gone up So I think while the headline number is disappointing The rest of it is actually fairly decent and that's why the dollar is starting to come back We've dipped down to 113 and now we've had a bit of a rebound As the markets digest the numbers more broadly and now you're getting a little bit of dollar weakness creeping in the euro dollars back above 113 20 And overall equity markets are giving it pretty broadly a pretty Pretty big meh when it comes to the actual numbers themselves So for me, I think while the headline number is disappointing It doesn't change the calculus when it comes to the fed's discussion With respect to A taper in december or an accelerated taper now phil you've asked me about gold I really struggle with gold. I've got to be honest with you It's really uninteresting. You've got a decent area of support all the way through 1760 through here Today's payrolls number for me does nothing when it comes to changing the outlook for a potentially stronger dollar Yes, the headline number is disappointing But everything else about that report looks fairly decent and actually what we could see in terms of the december number Is which will cover the period up to and including the 14th of december we could actually see a strong rebound Let me cast your mind back To when we last had a week number I think it was september september was supposed to be a strong number. We had a week number came in at 197 It was subsequently revised up to 314 so I think we have to be very very careful about Basically drawing too much of a conclusion from one month's number because generally what happens Is the revision higher in the subsequent you get a revision higher in a in a subsequent month So for gold decent support through 1760 we can see it through here low there low there low there Let me just draw that in for you feel and then we can see that but overall I think we're probably going to stay in a range between 1760 and 18 in 25 1830 I really can't get enthusiastic about Gold it's in a range and it's likely to remain in a range for quite some time to come I'm actually surprised It's not higher if I'm honest with you because you know when when you're talking in terms of safe havens You would have to respect all that stuff about omicron to have sent it all the way back to the highs This year and that didn't happen didn't happen at all um And that is a little bit of a surprise to me and to be quite honest I'm struggling to find out. I'm struggling to understand why but when you actually look at what gold has done this year And everything that's been thrown at it Slower and you would you would expect it to be higher and I think a lot of part of the reason for that is people are putting money in cryptos They're putting money in bitcoin. They're putting it in ether because they can generate a better return on that and to be fair Counter-intuitively It's acting as a little bit of a haven. Um, I mean personally I wouldn't I wouldn't touch bitcoin with a barge ball It's just too volatile. It's too choppy And it's not something that you'd really want to trade on a leveraged basis You know if if I'm totally honest with you. So for me, I think Gold is probably going to trade in a range between 1750 and 1800 and if it does come back down to 1720 You know, it's very much a range play. So I'm sure that's probably not what you wanted to hear but unfortunately With gold it's it's you know, a bit of an enigma has been for most part of this year. So in terms of I think steven you asked asked me about dollar mechs, didn't you? So let me just jump into that for you to get an idea of where that might go and I look at dollar mechs and I think to myself In terms of timing and looking to buy it again I'd be reluctant to buy it where it is right now Simply because it's just too far away I mean, yes, it has potential to come back down to around about 2080 and if it does Then these previous highs here are likely to act as some degree of support over the course of the next few days, but up here You could potentially See an a lot, you know, a lot more weakness in the short to medium term So in terms of buying dollar mechs on dips I probably wait for it to come back to around about 2090 2080 perhaps Um and look at it from that point of view there, but certainly not where it is here I think there's potential for a little bit more weakness looking at this chart in terms of copper being asked about copper Let's have a look at my copper chart Okay, so this is my copper chart and as we can see from here there's fairly decent support All the way through this level here around about 419 But the big the big concern I think I have here is that every time it's rebound to 450 it's come back But we have long-term support coming through here at around about for around about 410 and we've also got fairly decent support for 419 so very much a buy on the dips is copper. Let's face it. I think if the supply chain disruptions get sorted and We get a significant economic rebound as we head into 2022 then demand for demand for copper will pick up at the moment It's been trading sideways for the past six months since may when it peaked all the way back here But it's found fairly solid support pretty much since june anywhere between 400 and 410 So in terms of the overall longer-term outlook as long as we hold above this these key areas of support through here Then we should continue to make some fairly decent gains on that when it comes to Brent This is my Brent chart As we can see it's it's it is quite noisy But the one thing that I took away from what we saw yesterday Was that we do have fairly decent support coming in through these loads through here And the fact that even though we dropped below $68 and we closed all the way up here Suggests there's fairly decent support for Brent crude anywhere down towards this blue line here And for a move back towards around about 76 dollars I think the sweet spot for crude is between 65 and 75 dollars a barrel I think in terms of The overall outlook OPEC plus won't want it below 65 But they won't want it above 75 and I think that was one of the reasons why markets were so surprised That they decided to go ahead With the output increase of 400 000 in january I think it was because they were very concerned that if they did cut back In january And then this omicron scare turned out to be the storm in a teacup And we got a really strong rebound heading into 2022 that The supply shortage could lead to an element of demand destruction Particularly when you've got people talking about a hundred dollar oil or a hundred dollar oil What would that do to global demand it would kill it because people are complaining about higher energy prices higher fuel prices If that eats into consumers disposable income Then obviously it could tip the world into recession Particularly if prices do go above 86 87 dollars a barrel that for me. I think is a key tipping point on Brent crude Why did I draw that horizontal line in there? Well, it was because it was the peaks in october 2018 so a technical break above That red line there On a technical basis would trigger us a really sharp move to a hundred dollars a barrel. OPEC does not want to see that Global economy does not want to see that So we have seen six successive weekly declines in Brent You know, do we want to continue to see that sort of decline? So if OPEC can keep it in a sweet spot between 65 and 75 dollars a barrel Hopefully everybody's happy And that for me. I think is where they want to keep it And that's that would explain why we saw the extent of the rebound by them inserting optionality into The Decision to leave output exactly where it was so As I say we we will To my mind I think we could probably drift drift higher from here and head back towards around about 75 76 dollars a barrel and if I can keep Brent crude there Then that will suit them just fine. And I think it's going to be a similar sort of story Say for example, we look at WTI. It's a similar sort of story through here If I take my trend line from this chart here Draw it through those lows in march Draw that through there Again, it's a similar sort of story. We got a break lower We weren't able to sustain that break a very long shadow Which suggests there's some decent demand there and we could well head back to the 200 day moving average on that So for me, I think oil remains very much By the dips OPEC does appear OPEC plus does appear to have a handle on it And any dips are likely to be Fairly well sought after so I hopefully that answers your question on that natural gas Again, that's that's bounced off the 200 day moving average So from a technical point of view That's probably going to find quite a few bids around there. You've also got the 200 day moving average Helping to support prices all the way back in april So again here fairly decent support through there But you've also got the lows back in august as well Which are likely to act as a fair fair degree of support through there with european natural gas prices Continuing to surge higher I think any downside in natural gas is likely to be constrained by what we saw all the way back there Okay, so let me just see if I've missed any other questions out I'm hoping that I've got everything that you guys wanted Um, we're heading up to 1342 I'm looking back at dolly yen Gone back to the five minutes and now we're back higher again. We're starting to wedge back up In terms of the overall outlook for dolly yen I think the bias I think remains for a little bit of resistance at 114 I think we could well drift back down towards around about 112 overall I think potentially we've seen the high end dolly yen looking looking at this chart here This cloud area should act as a fair degree of support on any dips towards the downside And also the fact that we've got these peaks all the way back through here in september They're likely to act as support as well So if we do see dolly yen start to drift lower Over the course of the next few sessions. I think it's likely to find a decent area of support around about 112 um Going back to um, I think I pretty much covered that euro swiss Um, it's made another six year low So that's likely to keep the pressure on the euro going forward We look at euro swiss here. We can see that there We go all the way back I think the euro is likely to remain weak and that's likely to constrain the upside On any euro crosses as well. So that's worth bearing in mind When looking at euro dollar, which is why I think it will continue to be capped around about 113 80 is there anything that I haven't covered ladies and gents that um You want me to to look out before I sign this off? um for 2021 And we talk again in 2022 obviously I still do my weekly videos um, I think the last one of those I will probably do will be on the 17th of december that will be the last one until January next year because I will probably I will be taking time off between the 20th of december all the way back until um The the payrolls webinar the first payrolls webinar on on the first friday in january dollar CAD A bit of a non-popular one euro dollar. Okay, let's do dollar CAD because we had the canadian payrolls report um earlier today All right, let's clean this up a bit because that's no longer relevant. We don't need that um looking a bit toppy and dollar CAD we can see look at these series of highs all the way through here around about 12850 I would suggest that um the bias for dollar CAD is likely to be um a little bit of weakness um while below 12850 Um, and I and it also ties in with my slightly more bullish um view on oil prices because ultimately if oil prices go back to 75 dollars a barrel Um, then the cash should benefit from that and the US dollar should weaken So we could well drift back down to the mid 127s In this area through here um Such a petro currency um And to strengthen the oil price the weakness in the oil price Over the course of the past six weeks has hurt the canada And the dollar is appreciated as a consequence of that. So if you think the oil price is going to strengthen Then dollar CAD is likely to drift lower um Euro Aussie we've got the rba next week. That's that's going to be a diff. That's going to be an interesting one um, so let's talk about that um Obviously we've seen quite a bit of a weakness in the Australian dollar over the course of the past few weeks um I think this one is probably going to be more of an Aussie story Thomas. Uh, let's look at the Aussie I was looking at this earlier today We've seen an awful lot of weakness in the Aussie over the course of the past few weeks But for me, what's significant Is this series of loads that we saw in september 2020 and october 2020 Now as I said, we've got the rba next week and governor low did last month he talked about Potential rate rise not happening much before 2023 Now I would dispute that um, the rbnz hiked rates last month by 25 basis points to 0.75 percent The rba is sitting at 0.1 Is that sustainable? No, it's not Now they abolished yield curve control. They got rid of yield curve control at the last meeting And he was very dovish But I do not see The lowest assertion that Australia doesn't have an inflation problem isn't in any way credible. It's not The whole world has an inflation problem now the Australian economy Was actually slightly more resilient over the third the last quarter Because we were expecting a a contraction of 2.7 percent The economy actually contracted by 1.9 percent. So that was much better than expected So the Australian economy is in much better shape than perhaps an awful lot of people give it credit for That for me should constrain the downside In Aussie dollar to around about 6990 6980 Which would suggest to me that perhaps we could Get a hawkish surprise Next week next week the rba could spring a hawkish surprise. I think the market is short Aussie dollars And that we could The rba could surprise and the surprise could outweigh any expectation that the fed is likely to be hawkish fed hawkishness Is priced into the Aussie already I would suspect now. I could be wrong here um, you know and let's face it, you know Looking at the price action I don't think I'd want to be short Aussie dollar down here if I was currently short already I'd be looking to take a little bit of my short positions out And start to pair that back a little bit I mean the downside in the Aussie based on the fact that we've got this support level around about 70 We're probably gearing up for a little bit of a short squeeze heading into the Christmas period That's just my that's just my humble opinion so Take it take that what yeah, it is in a downtrend Absolutely the trend is lower But look at this. I mean look at you know if we if we change that to a weekly chart And then spring it all out there this level here is huge 69 90 70 if we break through that You know australian dollar has declined one two three four five weeks in a row so You know on a risk reward basis If you were short Aussie now What would you do? And that's basically all you know, that's all I'm going to say on the matter on a risk reward basis If you were short Aussie now, what would you do? I'd lower my stop Because the risk reward now for being short Is starting to It's not it's not it's compelling It's not it's compelling. So the rba. I think could be it could be a significant It'll be an interesting it'll be an interesting dynamic as to how low Governor low steers market expectations about future rba interest rate expectations going forward because it can't be overly bearish on the australian economy Given the recent data that we've already seen. So how does he walk that tightrope? Anyway, okay, so that's that's that's that's the Aussie dollar anyone anyone else ladies and gents All right. Well, thanks very much for your company This year on these non-farm payrolls webinars. It's been Most enjoyable. I appreciate all of your feedback. It's really useful If you do Have any comments to make on anything that you've heard today or what have you I'd appreciate all the fit any feedback good or bad But if I don't speak to you before christmas or to speak speak to you before next year I'd just like to wish all of you Um A very christmasy very good christmas and a very pleasant new year um Thanks very much for your company and I'll speak to you all same time same place Next month and thanks for your company. It's um, it's been great. Cheers speak to you all soon


Am I live? I do not know. Am I live? I think I am. Haha Hi Dylan, how's it going? Welcome. Welcome. Welcome back to the diff walkthrough today. We're on episode 331 by the looks of it, which is crazy. I imagine that 330 episodes ago, but it was just a little noob Yeah, we are in new the core gear today, which is exciting if you haven't seen last time You should go watch that after the stream high river welcome welcome welcome. Hope you're doing well today Let's talk to Ryan. I smell a mangy alley cat and I smell a kerr I have been informed of our well situation. I take it to this table scrap is to blame I'll deal with him you however need to help us purify the corrupted wells Philius has a solution but needs protection to implement it speak to them in their lab Okie dokie, let's speak to Philius see what we can do this time. It's probably gonna fail Assistant you return most don't and we have a new mission dare.  Anyway, do outside Okey-dokey, let's go. There's so many people here. I don't know why why is everybody inside my room? I don't like it. It's terrible. Hi Rose. Welcome. How's it going today? Hope you're doing well Now as you can see assistant there are four wells three are easy enough to reach While one is surrounded by orcs, which will no doubt impede upon our innocent endeavor I can handle the easy ones, but you must use your previously demonstrated prowess to thwart those orcs and purify that single vexing well Okay, let's just destroy some orcs then might as well get straight into it Yeah Oh, man, right. Well, yeah, I hope everybody said a fantastic day so far even though it's early early stream Early stream be early. Oh my gosh. So early so early Yeah, I'll be live again later as well. I just can't go live I can't do other stuff after I've finished this because this has to be like its own thing self-contained stream because it's technically Canon and death walk through land. So I can't do anything else But yeah, but yeah, I'll be streaming later probably around 1 p.m. My turn. So that's one two three four five six seven eight I think eight. I think eight. I think that that's the number. I think it's eight. I think could be wrong around then though Your mom said hi tell her I say hi. I say hi to her. Oh, even I even wait for it.  Holy moly Man so much life-questing recently. Oh speaking of I have had the most vestistative idea for next month It's gonna be crazy. Absolutely crazy The dialogue called I forgot we don't have someone randomly saying you purify the well or something Team work together. We have cleansed the well as impossibly may Probably saved all of new the corgia You should report back to rotting him now. I will tell the others here. It is safe again to drink the water Okie-dokie let's go back to rotting him. Hi What's up No, this is all my death was fun any updates on story so far. There's some of the stroke It's game everything. Um, welcome. Hope you're doing well today Um story so far I've made the executive Decision will continue at the end of walleroo. So I don't want to split arc four into all of the different worlds I'll rewrite caramel completely Um, and then like combine it into a arc for I'll probably put down the caramel video Later not later, but like what when that comes out. I'll probably like private that video Because I want it to be like completely finished and have all of the points that are necessary for the story But nothing more really because it's kind of all you need Yeah, so that'll be after walleroo probably sometime next year middle of next year. I would say seems you've done acceptably wizard for a non molly bonion While you were gone I growled at our friend Timothy until he coughed up all he knew our Enemies call themselves the dogs of war even though some are cats They're but street tufts and bounders with delusions above this station. They seem to be a new gang Likely hoping to establish themselves here while our presence is minimal No doubt they are responsible for the trouble in Puerto Nuovo as well But in attacking us they've unwittingly left a clue the chocolate itself. Of course pay attention They hardly acquired it locally They must have smuggled it here aboard a sky ship talk to the harbour master about the shipping manifests See if anything is a miss Okay, I'm just gonna turn off ports just in case Cuz like to have this mostly solo Just today. Oh, no, that's not good bit. See you. Hope you get well soon. Hope you get well soon I'm waiting patiently for it. I know it'll be awesome. I have I think it will be as well But I just want the information to be like a hundred percent accurate so I'd prefer to wait until after Walleroo because Lemuria and Novus are really good, but the story is quite convoluted that I Personally need to know where the whole story is going in order to realize what is like the actual important parts of the story And what is not actually important at all like Avalon for instance, you know most of that kind of kind of redundant Whereas, you know most of Caramel Kind of redundant maybe who knows? What's all this? Someone smuggling chocolate. That's a level 10 biohazard. That is but which boat is it? Let's see where they come from Crocodopia Celestia Wizard city This has got to be it the Caramel carrier It's still dark just down there. Go give him a fall. Would you I ain't going here? No, buy it as a no, sir. Not since the last time with the zombies Okay, then let's go on to boat on to boat Don't you just love the British sometimes sometimes Waila and Styrus would probably get along well. I think so Wizard city look, it's very simple the crates have the chocolate We dump that into the wells at night the barrels go to the general They smell terrible. What's in them dead skunks? It's cold Trico Very rare delicacy at a Caramel. I hear they don't make it anymore something about a nosy Wizard Trico Trico good for the people everyone eats it and enjoys it. It's a lightfully That's that's all I remember from Caramel Yeah, right let us destroy these guys From someone who's been to Britain you love the British fair enough fair enough Caramel what a great world man.  Hopefully Unless rank 20 elite has millions of health, which is possible. It's very possible, but I doubt I doubt man They're really blading the sky. He's going for one in a million. Holy moly One in a million.  Yeah, it's so good. So good You are tough Yeah, I know you are you are kept should me. Oh, yeah, that's it used to work for him. I did Yeah, that seems right.   I'll find out either way Was never pearls when it comes to music Not really. No, there's only a few music themes that I actually just like But most of them are pretty good like the vast majority 99% of them are like really really good Honestly have some of the best game music ever in my opinion at least You see whiz is a game where I will just Explosively listen to the music like I will I can't get that. That's for another quest. It looks like a reagent Don't don't at me. It looks like Lugula ride or whatever that one's called the one that's in Mirage all the time I think I did that during test drum as well and also when I was You found a ship filled with chocolate Splendid I'll send a team to blow it up anything else of note Tricol that does give us one possible suspect for the gang's leader But no, it's inconceivable. He's the most trusted name in all of Marley bone general Benedict Brutus von Booth Yet, I can't deny his unfathomable love for that putrid Tricol and his family does hold title in caramel Dash it all we must investigate him. He's a right pain in the tail though. So I can't do anything officially Thus, I'm throwing you to the wolves. Oh, don't be so fussy. It's just metaphorical wolves Though I suppose it would literally be angry dogs at any rate to booths home with you Find clues and report back to me Okay, okay, fine clues report back sounds like a great quiz What's funny is that rates actually work for Maoriati true true True true true. I Can't think of any I don't like Yeah, I'm not a fan of most of that as ticker stuff. I feel like It doesn't really suit the theme as much as it should That's just me. I know most some people do like the as ticker music That's just one theme one like category that I really and not not like super fond of But maybe that's just because I hate the world. Who knows? Hi, Jeffrey. Welcome back. How's it going? Hope you're doing well today. I Stick it isn't great, but the floating mountains is the best at that with the floating mountains is a hundred percent the best area And all of us take a You were investigating the dogs too. I saw them making a deal with tongue on the stone of heaven Figured I should find out what it was. So I asked they attacked I found out anyway Follow me and I'll show you this guard has the key. We need pity the guard Okay, goodbye card Yeah, floating mountains honestly the best the best area and it's take a hands down Nothing can beat it. Nothing at all fight fight fight fight fight. Yep. That's all this is all this is is just fight fight fight 100% Best area and best music. I can't remember the music and the floating mountains So I'll take your word for it, but definitely the best area 100% 100% the best area Right Stormzilla lovely lovely lovely Broom-broom-broom-broom-broom-broom-broom-broom-broom-broom-broom- Musica Oh, you mama street dungeon vibes to your fare fear fair fair I don't play Pokemon Saiwan, but yeah I will not but bear it up bear it up Bare enough Athena Oh my gosh Look at her with a big stick the inner shield charging at me so sad so sad oh my gosh lightning bats what is this wizard city geez sure as wizard city holy moly they're really bringing out their best spells today that's for sure that's for sure luckily we should pierce through all of their shield I believe yeah zero percent love to see it he does have resist but that's fine whatever it's okay we can just follow up with a hit it's okay yeah we only killed one only killed one that is fine man still has 812 health is okay we will simply blade and ship of course problem so it's like the caramel mobs casting the rank one spells for no reason it's like the Polaris mobs casting rank one spells for no reason that oddly timed up with the music where it goes like kind of like crazy like I didn't know this happens in this fight I don't think I've been in this fight long enough for that to happen before that's interesting man didn't know this guy was a cheetah I mean it benefited me but that's fine that's kind of funny that's kind of funny right Gigi easy club oh you just want this key take it I hate those mighty little blighters going bit to reason square be a bootblick much more respectable this way wizard that gate use the key to open it and see what tongue are granted these renegades looks like recognize them these are the creatures that so delighted tongue on the stone of heaven I have much more to tell you but I wouldn't want to distract you from your fun now I would prefer you talk instead of me fight fight not fun talk fun yep that that's how it goes play the game for the law not with for the combat yep you gotta go have a good stream bye talk to you later have a good day hope it is very exciting very cool and exciting right Leviathan right off the back crazy holy moly imagine me having blades on the first round when I go second crazy absolutely crazy absolutely crazy bonkers impact frenzy we didn't get a scarecrow very sad very sadness right blade love to see it love to see it he's not gonna be able to use it probably actually in my he might he might be able to use it he might be able to if he uses it this round good on him no he's not using it this round tragic this is a shadow spell shadow vampire okay you spell don't know why you know it but that's fun really odd but that's okay that's okay here we go here we go scarecrow time scarecrow time grip blade frenzy absolutely toasted goodbye goodbye easy peasy tongue is training those monsters herding them into a fighting force no doubt to marshal against mooshu an army of novel creatures that meld the schools of magic now that's something anyway we still need to learn what the dogs promise tongue-on exchange for his pets the mortality probably maybe who knows find out the middle some wizard of the samurai my supposed he wish to know my master plan my terrible motives why or why did I betray Marley bone poison the wells I lie with the horse lord well here's what I have to say to that no guess we should follow I wish I could do that to all of my problems just say no and run away it would solve so many problems after traders invaders these enemies of Marley bone while trying to kill me protect the general lads stop the wizard oh my gosh sad sad I don't really want to fight the death guys death guys can live because they are obviously the best school so therefore they don't deserve to be fought ice and storm however they can die they can be defeated hundred percent they don't need to be here this box is literal pain he is yeah I remember he spams weaknesses I think it's yeah I think he's the one that's he also spams weaknesses there's so many people here that spam weaknesses anyone with that long of an M on says quite bad oh he's the invulnerability guy actually don't worry his invulnerability you ran toward the central conodists let's see we can pick up a slime trail I should have said shriekel trail that would be one funny and two bomb brand and three relate to the story fire me for writing fire me for writing also does that's an incident yeah yeah no slime no trail of any kind in fact on the way here you said you picked up this plot from sabotage in Puerto Nuovo if the other world powers thought Marley bone was up to something they may have been watching them one of the local representatives may have seen something to help us you need to report to them about the saboteurs anyway yeah no I don't want to talk to Mario de Mario of house of Mario he's annoying and I hate him and honestly wish he would die in game obviously finally you return no doubt you brought all of a Marla bone to heal a further insult a rogue gang called the dogs of war you say I suppose it is not impossible for a criminal faction to falsely implicate Marley a bone sessions at the upcoming a conference alas we have not been able to monitor their own movements we may be able to help there we have no desire to see a criminal scoundrel forces all from this world but we I spit it a thought that the penguins to a spy on everybody oh how like the villains to complain about what they wish they were doing but we had anyway you may find your dog in a cave near our camp cave near the Polaris camp okay I can work with that oh Valencia is just jealous of Polaris 100% 100% just jealous good layer for a madman after you wizard let's do this oh my gosh okay so he cheats he has a cheat cycle starting on run one he will cast invulnerability minus 200% brace on himself so you cannot hit him and then at the end of round three okay bird monster I don't like you and you don't like me but don't be like that it's nothing personal I don't like anyone me art has been hardened by years of strife you understand okay I you were just saying and I agree I need to do some work on myself after you eat these two let's go talk it out so at the end of round three we'll cast the furnace for six rounds making him vulnerable which is quite cool at the end of round four he casts dragons fire dragon and incendiary as well as all of the other dogs that he has such as burning rampage fire dragon blast off rain and fire just all of the all of the fun spells that fire wizards should be using every single second of the day because that that's all they should do yeah so yeah interesting well to be interesting I would actually like to see one of the penguins at somebody like literally with an animation for it and everything imagine that that would be funny that would be so funny why are they doing this to me no this is gonna give me a mantle of like minus 95% oh my gosh see the 60 it's like 65 to 95 I got 65 okay not too bad not too bad could be worse but also probably gonna fizzle up late this unlucky unlucky unlucky we'll just play the game sounds good sounds good sounds good and fine right play he's got a blade of every single element of school man he's keeping me on my toes what is he gonna do who knows who knows is he gonna do a storm spell a fire spell an ice spell who knows only he knows his pips look like he's gonna do a myth spell so don't know about that one even though it's probably just a new fire spell why would you stun me this is so rude and not cool he's gonna do fight news fire spell okay it's gold interesting interesting choice there interesting choice not one that I personally would have done hi Lucas welcome I was thinking about just start playing again after I got muted which has been two years ago things have changed which made me not like it anymore sadly but I'm glad others like it what things have changed that you don't like I'm interested to know I'm really interested to know why people don't like the game anymore here's the new spell I love this bit of the spell is so good I don't understand the whole door thing like is it a reference to something the ball going through the door it just doesn't it just is a bit weird to me if it is a reference to something I'm either just dumb or it's a very obscure reference that I never get anyway it just has never made sense to me why it comes through the door like I don't understand why the door is part of the spell like it just seems weird yeah right GG actually I don't know if I could that the follicle mustache man no I didn't it's got a bit of health left that's okay though we can deal with them we can deal with them we can deal with them slightly okay here we go Keblam room reader it's a reference to a book but I forget which okay that makes sense that makes sense so in other words I'm just dumb fair enough fair enough cool right GG don't even know why I'm here you've got this covered but something about this place this adventure I just can't let it go so let's go I don't suppose how I can convince you to just leave no had to try didn't I gotta hand it to old Benedict he thinks big forming an alliance to conga movie Corgi and Mushu but it makes enemies and what does he want with these lands Mushu we don't want that's just part of the deal with Tongak but as for new the Corgi well there he thinks small pay even there he just wants revenge revenge for what who knows we will find out probably PvP I've seen there's something with new perps et cetera some stuff I know I really miss twisting though but that whole meeting thing made me lose interest maybe lose interest I had lots of good stuff yeah fair enough fair enough I'm now Kings are but you've got nothing back interesting interesting yeah Kings are usually don't usually don't do don't like lift mutes also I believe now even if you were to come back you cannot play PvP because you've been muted I'm pretty sure that's how it works they've got like people who've been muted or banned cannot actually play PvP anymore even if they've since been rescinded it just cannot I believe from memory that may have been changed but I know that was a change that was added at a time may have been rolled back but yeah which I think is a bit stupid but hey that's fine I don't I don't PvP to start with so that's where that's where I that's where I yeah Kings are was also got more strict in regards to PvP yeah I mean it's my fault the same okay yeah that makes sense but muted for 10 years while there are people saying worse things on there yeah that is true yeah I feel like there's a lot of like moderation that is you know a little bit like not on the same level like that is against the terms of service but there's also people who say even worse things trying to get around the filter there's no way left for the general to run now and generally it's those people who just spam it and don't actually ever get such a long name holy moly don't actually get like like punishment for it let's be quick what did you promise Tungak how did you know he was here oh we were introduced by the same people who supplied me my dogs of war but the deal is simple I use Tungak's monsters to drive everyone from vikogia then I turn over my forces to him to invade Mooshu which is fine by me all I want is to destroy rottingham's career here yes wizard I poisoned whales hired gangsters recruited monsters creating conflict with Porta Nuovo all to destroy rottingham's enterprise why he insulted me he called me a yipping is there more than that more than that modern imputing my honor my breeding my preferred mode of travel but so mean so what still alive I love this little dog guy he's kind of funny however he must die so yeah see how we go here he's gonna be invulnerable for a bit and then we'll we'll hit him with something we will say like this and we're gonna pass I mean they could have been for a day week a month but come on the baby man yeah I don't understand the mood I don't understand that that's like a little bit crazy like way too crazy when the PVP was normal back then it was still pain in the ass yeah yeah have have a great day Lucas thank you for stopping by catcher later maybe I don't even know what you can have a lot of means instead and so it would go over my head if someone said to me exactly exactly I feel like he's just making a mountain out honestly that that's all I'm feeling all I'm feeling he just doesn't know what he's talking about you know he just strange little guy who's just a bit angry and there's probably a lot more going on in his life if he's so upset with this one man's who said one thing that's probably not even mean to him but hey that's Marley doing for you and then we will blade then we will go for a frenzy into a scarecrow into a grim reader that's kind of what we're gonna do I feel someone could say general booth isn't more who he kind of looks like it right blam fine let's get on the civilized no don't uncivilize me haha no haha don't uncivilize me dude you wouldn't want to see me uncivilized oh jeez oh my gosh sunbird whoa hello hello hello hello hello hello hello hello this is an extender I don't even know what sunbird does anymore I don't know what sunbird does anymore no clue at all um your back just had to get your w2s w2 form your old job from your old job congrats I don't know what that means but congrats I guess um yeah uh then again running him as a jerk he is yeah he is a jerk but still like this guy's also a jerk this is pretty uncivilized you know okay I'm dying slowly not great not cool or good we will quickly hit it with a scarecrow get your paws off me no dude what you I have made a um a lapse in my judgment um I didn't read the last bit was that um the run after the cheat cycle will restart I forgot to read that bit oh no ouchie ouchie okay it's it's fine we can salvage this we can salvage this it's fine probably we'll get some health back now um slightly slightly terrible but hey that's fine we can we can come back from this it's okay it's okay it's okay okay we're back up to half health that's pretty decent yeah I get that now though I get that now okay I get that um I get that now we're just going to be taking excess damage for no reason minion is gone though yeah that's good because he does do extra dots which are just annoying and they'll get detonated theoretically so um yeah we're just going to get two balance pips real fast we'll reshuffle find some blades blah blah blah blades this one also goes away it does probably yeah yeah yeah cool okay sweet fine let's get uncivilized okay that means we hit now we hit now with a grim reader here we go uncivilize this uncivilize this this will also put a weakness on him which is fantastic two weaknesses in fact which is great um theoretically doesn't send the eight take into account weaknesses because it should actually maybe it doesn't because it's just a dead mate so don't worry maybe i'm just done we'll find out in a sec we'll find out in a sec okay fire dragon cute cute blade mean nothing weakness does not take into account I might die I am dying not great uh let's just change back to death get your paws off me no no you no you get your paws off me right i might die here i'm not gonna put up another frenzy i do also not have a frenzy now so that's kind of good um yeah we're just gonna blade and see what we can do fizzle imagine him fizzling oh no not blast off no oh we have to kill him before he insinuates next this is gonna 100% destroy me absolutely destroy me that's what after five rounds is it yeah yeah five rounds is it four rounds sorry four rounds okay okay there's a scarecrow gonna blade again I think next round he's he's back I think probably I feel like we can live I feel like we're fine fine let's get uncivilized good I wanted this I wanted this is what I wanted this is what I wanted I wanted to get uncivilized you're playing right into my hand my uncivilized hand please don't hit me okay good thank you so much thank you so much we have to get as much health as possible if this doesn't kill I'm probably going to scream bear warning right for it blade blade and die did that kill it did cool easy clap love to say it love to say it who introduced you to Tanak what do they want they were a strange group they completed each other's sentences as if they were of one mind as for once more news I can tell they want us gone this world emptied left with only nothing wizard I'll guard him tell the governor of new vikorgia to send troops to arrest everyone here okay okay we can probably do that so much xp holy moldy holy moldy crazy absolutely crazy um get your balls off my face but exactly exactly right let's leave goodbye goodbye get out of my head I won't help wizard you're still here you can't be here this world sees you it knows you it hates you I am a monk in the order of the sacred yarn I see the secret strings which bind this cosmos I hear the plucked reverberations of this world's mind wizard help wizard you heard that yes it speaks from everywhere a voice from a thousand mouse you know who it is and you know that because of you it died do you think friendship can survive death itself you must warn the others here you're a hero they'll listen this world is a trap and they must leave before it snaps shut for sure for sure string caster if that even who it actually is we're about to level up which is pretty cool pretty cool which hand which finger this finger this finger this finger here right let us head back to rotting him here we go rotting him what now what now rotting him did you get into a row with my patrols what the devil is the matter with you oh you look like you've been threatened by a ghost boulder dash trap world my eye this rock has everything we could ever want hydrants kibble squishy things upon which to chew now what a booth did you find him why did he betray us what the devil is carnitus oh the central rock I thought we were calling it new region square at any rate I'll send troops to pick up that yipping papillon the saboteurs are caught their efforts undone a conflict with puerto new ovo was averted a new vikorgia grows by the day you were adequate I'm sure you have business elsewhere now traveling busy body that you are shu shu okay back to carnitus he said the line yep he said the line the dog soldiers arrested booth now for tongue arc okay okay to the stone of heaven oh my gosh I still want this level give me this level mooboo I want my xp I want to be level 154 everything's on fire now great that's even more different than I was expecting yeah what is that crazy horse done to this place and how did he do it so fast those cannons somehow they're firing at Katmandu through what breaches in space coward fend off these mustache creatures while I find the way to that second level okay okay that's the fend of some the fend of the fend of some mustache boys mustache boyos um right I send some should be fine should be fine here we go let's see what this is like I don't think this fight's gonna be too bad shouldn't be too terrible should be fine hopefully we will play and then hit with scarecrow should die should die theoretically we didn't get a scarecrow even better do we take a risk with a ship of course 4215 with one blade we'll see we'll see what happens we'll see what happens we may not kill but hey we'll see we will see they do have resistance as well we pierce through most of it though this will be interesting to see if we can actually kill very interesting to see what blade is this 35 also 45 blade okay even better um this is the bobbin the bobbin nope did not kill sad oh no devastating we needed another blade no no tragic absolutely tragic oh well they're just gonna rain day and night me that's fine I guess that's fine I guess if they have to address the camera angle that really doesn't capture any of the action but that's fine that's fine it's no angel oh my gosh who uses this spell jays jays jays jays jays jays okay cool lovely um us and scarecrow here we go no run stand ah ha ha man yeah this fight is not going as expected all planned unlucky unlucky unlucky oh my gosh oof big oof the largest of oofs is actually quite that was an interesting lag spike that was a very interesting lag spike jays that's because someone is here that's why robot man's is here oh my gosh there's a robot man's running around what does that lag holy moly weird weird weird weird weird okay okay and finally the dead only took a few extra rounds next time we know that we need to hit with scarecrow as soon as we can instead of shipper force because shipper force is not ideal not ideal at all good to know though we want more love to see it love to see it okay scarecrow lovely uh we're frenzy we're frenzy we will look frenzy and then hit next they will die it will be great it'll be cool and good cool and good kablam oh new death spell uh ice spell sorry it's a pretty cool spell i just don't think it really suits ice though like i don't know there's a couple of spells than these new spells i think all of the new spells look really really cool and i don't have like problems with any of them i just feel like like the ice one and the myth one it's just slightly like out of the school identity you know just just a little bit too much wizard i am here guys did you know that he is here he is here oh my gosh no no we're fleeing sorry i'm sorry but no i'm sorry but no we're not fighting another one of those not happening not today not happening today just not in the mood for it not in the mood for that i knew he was here oh my gosh how could you know he's here he's only just told us he has only just told us he is here quest arrow please quest arrow please please point me the right direction would be preferable not making that mistake twice find me help me hey what are you doing we can't help cat man do unless we stop those tannins i think i found a way up i don't know what we'll find in this passage but it's going in the right direction and i will be fighting by your side the whole time maybe i'm old maybe i'm past my prime maybe i got beat once by a horse with a metal nose but right now above all else i'm ticked and that'll do okay right we're going to end up here today next time whatever that is we will climb up the passage climb up the passage and make it to the top of the stone of heaven which is exciting um so yeah thank you for watching hope you enjoyed smash like subscribe um i'll be live again later around one pin my time um so what time is it now basically 10 11 12 like three hours from now three hours from now so yeah thank you for watching and as always remember to craft outside the box


okay so how do you feel? I'm getting nervous this is your first tattoo? yes and I'm just getting nervous like I want to look at the image again and I think it's weird that you have to prepare your face because normally when you do you're going somewhere like you don't know that you're going to be in pain like pain always happens sudden right but now I just I don't know how to prepare for pain I also was like it's going to be here I was like okay so this is the last time I can actually look at my arm and there's nothing there so it feels I feel the gravity of the permanence like once we go and come back out won't be the same person again like literally physically I know every day we have that as a person but now it's physically visible so the pain aspects I don't know how to prepare for it and the permanence the gravity of the the permanent aspect is a bit making me a bit nervous like what if I don't like it or what if maybe I'll do it and then after one thing I'm like I can't do this and then they're small or not even half like one stripe you have to explain that for the rest of your life that you chickened out of the tattoo all that's going to my hands so I'm a bit nervous it's your first and it's also a tattoo a couple's tattoo oh yeah okay that's we're just talking about that so that's two levels of permanence yeah yeah well the thing is I mean we do it because we want to celebrate or honor like one year of marriage and of course marriage is forever but it's not written on your body but now we're gonna write it on our body so it's like a different level of commitment like literally I'm wearing it well that's actually not true because you have a ring of course but then you can take off okay so this is you can never take off which is also a level of permanence yes which is exciting but also scary but that's the least one I'm worried about I'm more worried about the pain and not being able to go through with it and whether I'll like it like what if I don't like it but I think I like because we thought about it for a long time this has not happened on a win this happened through a lot of processes okay so we're gonna get ready in a bit and the appointment is at 12 and we'll do an after of how we feel about it all right when it comes to the expression of romantic love getting tattoos usually comes off as one of the least favorite acts to perform I mean there were even warnings on the wall however this is for us and we're happy with it whichever way you choose to honor something or someone it's entirely up to you and this will always be a part of our journey together if you haven't seen my previous video on the process of getting a tattoo I'll leave a link in the description box below as well as on the screen in the next couple of minutes I'll be showing you the process as it happens till finish so enjoy it's all fine and then but for me this is like my let me see I mean it's like my Sith tattoo so I'm okay with the aftercare and everything but I'm going to ask Elaine what she also thinks about the whole process and how she has to take care of it after I finish talking but in terms of the symbol of having this tattoo this matching tattoo something we've talked about or something we discovered together and decided we wanted to take it up after one year of marriage and so this is something we decided to do just in case you're wondering how permanent this is and we've thought about it we decided and we want to do it because the symbol means a lot to us than you know doing something like this with your spouse so that's why we did this and I'm happy with how it came out I'm happy with my tattoo and I'm looking forward to more yeah it was painful yes it was like somebody was drilling burning and cutting inside my skin but I managed to look at one point and just focus on it and he goes back and forth with the ink so it's not constantly on your skin so when he's getting the ink you can actually take a breath and kind of you know relax and then when he starts again you know okay he's starting again next set so you just have to breathe through it honestly so my yoga practices came in very handy um which was funny I couldn't I didn't really felt like talking when I was talking a lot to me when it was when I was sitting down I was just like I don't want to talk I just want to like breathe and just let it see happening and first I didn't look at it how I was doing it but then later I was like okay I can look so it was I say it was fine and it feels like it was it's been there forever like when it's when I was looking it was like oh you know it's it makes sense it it's supposed to be there so the so the first thing that came off was like joy after the after he was done so that was a good feeling and I didn't expect it I was like you know he maybe cannot like it and then you're screwed but for me luckily I liked it and I also liked it that Kwami has the same thing and that it means for us we're honoring our one year of marriage and that is something we want to do it did felt a bit cheesy that we have the same tattoo but we we talked about that a lot and this is what we wanted so I liked it yeah after care you just have to put some some special cream and try not to scratch it it will prick a little bit but I think it's doable and yeah you just tell people about it or people see it um I already have my boss say say goodbye to corporate because I had the tattoo but I think it's very subtle and it's not so much out there like it's not like a tattoo on my face or my neck or anywhere too big so I don't think that's really true but uh yeah I like it and I already have three ideas for a new tattoo so that's not gonna come soon but I want this one to heal first before I go into the next one to fully understand the process good okay


It acts as a conduit of conscious intent between people, societies, and entire civilizations. We are all energy, bounded by frequency.