The following is a presentation of TFNN. The morning markets pick off with your host, Tommy O'Brien. Good morning everybody. I'm Tommy O'Brien, coming to you live from TFNN Wednesday morning, 9.06 a.m. We got about 24 minutes to go until the start of trading. We got all the markets back in the red, quite a yo-yo week we've got going so far. Monday's action, all in the red. Yesterday we come soaring back, getting back basically all of Monday's losses, remarkable turnaround. But guess what? You wake up this morning and the market basically right back at Monday's lows. Right now in the S&P's, you're down 38 points at $42.95. But we were at a price level of $42.73. So you were down $60.00, $60.00 S&P points. And you see, zooming in on the action yesterday, there's your close. We sold off into the close. You had a high yesterday of $43.60. We closed out the action at about $43.35. So you give up 25 points into the close and then you trade down to that overnight low of $42.73. So when you back things up from the highs yesterday to the lows that we're talking about, you're talking about 85 points, almost 2% this market traded from the highs at about 3 o'clock yesterday to the lows we had at about $5.30 this morning. Over in Europe, big time negative action this morning, DAX down 1.00 and 2.30%, about 1.7%. The DAX is down right now, FTSE is down 1.2, CACAROL is down 1.5%. So all that weighing on our markets, NASDAQ 100, down 138 points, that's down 910%. And you see the action in terms of Monday, right? You accelerate lower.  You're talking about almost 400 points from highs to lows.  As we trade down to $14,000, about 420, we've bounced about 100 points from those lows, $14,515, the DAX down almost $300 at $33,900. You got the Russell off 22 points at $2,201. Bitcoin continuing to trade higher. I mean, check out Bitcoin, $53,400. No matter what the market has done this week, you've seen strength in Bitcoin. You're actually now above the highs that we had September 7th. That high was $53,000 in change. Yes, $53,125. We're trading $53,340 in the price of Bitcoin. You had pulled back to exactly the 50% retracement from the run we had in the beginning of July. Crude trading a little bit lower, just giving back some of the gains it's had recently. I mean, crude over the last six weeks or so has traded from $61 up to $79.78, putting it on the short term, the short time frame chart. This morning, 2 AM, $79.78. We almost had an 80 handle, natural gas pulling back in a big way.  It really dropped at about $6.30 this morning from $6.45. We're trading at $5.96 in natural gas. Gold's down about $2 at $17.58. We got silver, negative by $0.15 at $22.45, and we jumped to notes and bonds. Right now, we're looking at a yield of 1.52%. Overnight, you had lower price and higher yield since about 2 AM Eastern time though, you've clawed back those losses in terms of the price action. Right now, we're flattening the tenure at 1.52%. We jump over to the volatility index. 22.95 almost made it under 20 yesterday. We got to 20 and changed 20.62 was the low, I believe. Overnight, right back up to 24, you put this thing on a daily, the VIX with a sustained level of action. I talked about yesterday that it was about nine out of 12 days that we had been above the $20 price point for the VIX, talking about sustained rally. We had not seen that type of a rally in today. It's holding as well as this market continues to be volatile. I'm going to jump to the NASDAQ 100 real quick, taking a look at the cues. What's interesting here is we rolled over from the top of this channel line all the way to the bottom, that bounce you got yesterday in today's bar, not quite on this chart yet. OK, so you're going to have this bar down to about $3.54, the next bar that's going to open on the opening bell in 19 minutes from right now, but something to keep your eye on on the cues. Now, this is a daily going back a year. We'll stretch it back a little bit further to see where this thing starts. You're talking about from September of last year, the lows we had in September, the market takes off in November. You have highs to highs to highs. You got lows to lows to lows, pretty defined channel line. We're right at the bottom of that in these tech stocks right now. In the NASDAQ 100, you get the cues down $3.38 this morning, pushing about $3.54. Now I'm going to zoom in on the action. I mean, look at that bounce, folks. Remarkable. Look at that bounce, right? I've had this channel line on the cues for a while, and we literally bounce almost to the penny at $5.30, $5.45 this morning. And as you can see, the cues are up almost $2.00. So keep your eye maybe on that $3.52 price point on the cues as you get a pretty well-defined channel line there. In the cues, you're bumping up against the bottom portion of it. Pretty remarkable that you trade 25 points from the higher point to the lower point, but you're still well within that channel line that is upward and to the right for positive prices. Let's jump around to some of the fang stocks this morning before we get into some of the fundamental news. You got Amazon down a bit this morning trading at $3195. Amazon right in the middle of a long-term consolidation between about $2,900 and $3,500 right in the middle of that area. If you look where we were in terms of back in March of last year when Amazon really took off the COVID lows, if you ever get a pullback, I mean, that $3.82 is basically the bottom area of that consolidation. You're looking for a buy on Amazon, but you get it under $3,000. If you're a long-term investor, I would at least think about getting into that. The tough part about Amazon, a partial position, even one share cost you $3,000. But that's a defined channel line. We're back to prices that we've been trading at, folks, for the better part of 16 months ago in Amazon, trading at $3,221. Microsoft shares this morning down a bit as well. Of course, all these stocks are going to look a little bit different from Amazon as Amazon has struggled as some of the other tech stocks. We'll put it back on a daily, have accelerated higher. You got Microsoft within about $15, $17. If they're all-time highs, you're going to open a little bit lower this morning. Google shares going to open about $2,700 from $2,723. Now, Google had been in that channel line. You broke a below it for the first time last week. We'll see how Google reacts when you potentially challenge the channel line yet again. Well-defined channel line, all the way from November, October of last year and breaking below that channel line for the first time in a while. And we'll jump to what else we got going on. Let's jump to the numbers we get this morning in terms of ADP. 568,000 private payrolls for the month of September. The market was looking for 425. This, ahead of Friday's non-farm payrolls number, leisure and hospitality sector led creation with 226,000 hires. Most of these jobs coming from big companies, hotel chains, et cetera. Companies with 500 and more employees led job creation with 390. Okay, you only came in at 568. That means you leave only 178,000 jobs created in the private sector for companies under 500,500 employees. Private jobs, there you go, 568. Now, you get into a breakdown of some of these hires. As we said, leisure and hospitality, 226,000. Though the industry, now let's just read, because the sector's hard hit, as we all know. Establishments are struggling with labor shortages despite nearly two million job openings. We talked to Kevin Hanks after this break. He's talked about it many times. All those job openings looking to pair with the many employees that are out of work right now. They're the industry, which includes bars, restaurants, hotels and the like, has about 800,000 more workers employed than a year ago. Its unemployment rate remains at 9.1% compared to the national rate of 5.2 right now. Much of the hiring companies with 500 employees, 390,000 small businesses, which are the engine of this country, folks. Fewer than 50 workers, adding just 63,000 jobs. We'll get into a little bit more services. 466,000 new hires helped by education and health services in there as well. Stay tuned, folks. We'll be coming back. We'll be talking about man, Kevin Hanks, a fast market TD Ameritrade Network. We'll be right back. Everything in the universe is governed by the Fibonacci sequence. This mathematical principle is responsible for everything from the most aesthetically pleasing artwork to patterns in the stock market. 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So you've clawed back 30 points almost from those lows, still negative by about three quarters of a percent. Jump over to our man, Kevin Hinks. Every trading day, folks. 12 noon Eastern time, fast market. Kevin Hinks, Tom White, breaking down the day's market action, walking you through hypothetical trade setups in the option market, talking about defined risk. Kevin Hinks, good morning. Good morning, Tommy O'Brien. Yeah, futures getting a nice lift here, bouncing back from a pretty strong ADP number that came out, Tommy. Remember, you can connect the dots in this market and the choppiness that happened in September back to that September 3rd payrolls number. And so what the number that just came out, that's a pretty substantial beat. And that throws into a little question how big this number is gonna be tomorrow. And maybe you and I talked about it earlier in the week. Maybe we're setting up for a nice beat here in terms of non-farm payrolls. Remember, this number came out 568,000, right? That is more than the payrolls number is supposed to be, and this is just the private part. So the private sector of today's payrolls. So I think the 475,000 expected jobs that the consensus was for Friday, that's probably gonna drift a little higher. And maybe, Tommy, some of those 7.5 million people coming off benefits and that 10.9 million jobs. Maybe they're starting to meet up in the middle here and that's a really good thing for the US economy. Maybe the miss from last week is just, or from last month is just gonna be delayed until the next couple of months. I don't expect all those jobs to come back, but good solid beats will definitely ease some fears in this market, Tommy. Yeah, at some point, we gotta make up those jobs, Kevin, right? Whether they come now or in the future, we've had a few months of misses almost. I mean, I think the three-month average might be around 700, but like you said, the last number in there was 250 in change in terms of numbers that we got for August payrolls. That was on September 3rd. That was a high print in the S&P futures. We come back from Labor Day weekend. We have a little bit of a tough September. Volatility persisting into October, for sure. I was listening to the program you guys were doing yesterday on Fast Market. Now, as we talked about yesterday, when you're on the program talking about maybe some of the companies, the tech stocks that have pulled back, I found it interesting. You were talking about Amazon. Now, all of these companies were surging higher. And you said, you know, well, we came up with this show idea on Monday when you had Amazon down below 3,200. It was up to 3,260 yesterday. While this morning, Kevin, it was back under 3,200, man. This market, given buyers for that dip, maybe kind of the possibility as in, it's not like we're potentially off to the races forever right now. We're gonna have some volatility in the months coming. And I just really like that segment. You guys were talking about, as you see some of these tech stocks pull back. I got an article in Bloomberg I'm gonna talk about later, just talking about valuations for the first time in these tech stocks coming back to almost where the S&P 500 is, which is remarkable when you look at kind of some of the pullbacks we've had, like Amazon back at about 3,200 this morning. Exactly, Tommy. People talking about corrections in the market. Well, look at some of these, I mean, some of these big names like Microsoft, like Amazon, like obviously Facebook, which has been in the news lately, they're significantly off their highs and over what really, right? Not necessarily lack of earnings, maybe some press, maybe some just uncertainty about the market, maybe some uncertainty about rising, it's a great book. Man, these companies make so much money. And like I said yesterday on the show, Amazon is expecting record profits for this quarter, the most ever. So, and that's coming up now, earnings per share might be lower than a year ago. The comps are gonna be difficult, but when you get expectations for more comps like that, you're really setting yourself up for a beat here. So yeah, these stocks are all worth watching, all worth trading down here, carefully of course, but nevertheless, these are good markets for looking at, you've got a VIX now over 22 and a half. So that puts more premium and options. It's a great time to be an options trader, Tommy. I think it's a great time to be a trader in general, man. For so long, we had that VIX, Kevin, stuck at me. It seems almost generations ago that we were stuck at 11 or 12 in the VIX for an extended period of time. Right now we're sitting at about 22 and change. The article I had up here, Kevin, it's interesting. So they were talking about the NYSE FANG plus index. I believe this is 10 equities of basically FANG all the big tech stocks in there. 27.6 times estimated earnings for the coming year versus 20.2 times the S&P 500. That's the narrowest premium since December of 2018. And the lowest company in there among the US members, Facebook, as you mentioned. 19 times earnings, now actually cheaper, Kevin, Facebook than the S&P 500 to kind of go to what you were saying there. Pretty remarkable, some of those statistics. So we come into Wednesday trading. We got the S&Ps down 35, Kevin. We do have some companies out there this week, but all eyes kind of point to Friday. What are you guys gonna be talking about on the program coming up today? Today's a good one because we're gonna start out in the first segment of the show talking about Netflix and the incredible run that this has had. And then we've got GM investor date today. So we're gonna look at, what fully is gonna do presentation on General Motors and the evolution of that company. And then that's gonna naturally evolve into the third segment where we talk about Tesla, Tommy. So all things autos in the second and third segment. And then in the first segment, we're gonna look at what is going on with Netflix. Netflix, man. They were talking about Netflix and the Tiger stand earlier talking about maybe killing to maybe have the opportunity to get Netflix under 600 again as this thing is off to the races to 632 this morning at 634 81. Yeah, just remarkable across the board and GM, I was reading about what they're gonna be talking about. $50 billion that cruise, robo taxis, pretty remarkable the future, Kevin. It's not a matter if, but when we're gonna be jumping in those robo taxis and GM seems like they're pretty confident that they'll be able to start ringing that cash register, whether it's next year or 2023 to the tune of $50 billion in revenue. Pretty remarkable to be starting a business, Kevin, that you don't even have any cash yet. And you're gonna put out a number that's potentially $50 billion. Sometime in the future, they're not gonna tell you when yet, Kevin. They're not gonna tell you when, but $50 billion they might be able to put out in that electric vehicle robo taxi segment. Well, Kevin, we look forward to the show. As always, man, we'll be watching at 12 o'clock today. You have a great Wednesday and we'll talk to you tomorrow, man. Thanks for having me on, Tommy. Have a great day. You too, Kevin, take care. Folks tune in every day. They get the new lineup with Kevin Hinks, Tom White, they do an outstanding program on fast market at 12 o'clock Eastern time every day on Tiger TV. They had an outstanding show yesterday, walking you through folks. And I bring up Amazon all the time. I have Amazon in my retirement account. Remarkable that you're getting this long of a consolidation of a company that is strong, as Kevin mentioned, right? And as you, I'm a bull. I have Amazon in a long-term retirement account, okay? But revenue, record revenue coming at you this quarter, folks. And guess what? We got Christmas season coming up. You think Amazon's gonna be pushing out product during Christmas season? I imagine they are. And if Amazon taught us one thing over the last 10, 15 years, as long as they're growing revenue, they will figure out a way to turn that revenue into profit because when they're investing, folks, you see it now. Just so I get orders from Sam's Club and Walmart, okay? They are so far behind the service level of Amazon in terms of the way boxes showed up. It seems like they're taped in half. Some of them are broken. The products aren't as reliable. You don't get as many updates for when things are delivered. You don't get the pitched shirt your friend door always. When Amazon spends some of that money to decrease the earnings, it shows in some of the services they provide. That's my experience. Stay tuned, folks. We'll be right back for the open. Are you having fun trading the markets but having trouble finding like-minded individuals to discuss your trading and investment ideas with? Become an Apex Predator in the trading markets and join the Tiger's Den Trading Room only at tfnn.com. The Tiger's Den is an exclusive trading room where successful traders from around the world come to exchange trades and ideas. Join the den and surround yourself with the sharpest minds in the trading world. 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The Art of Timing the Trade Charts is designed to help you when scouring markets for stocks just beginning to form the trading patterns that many investors spend days, weeks, or even months searching to find. And right now we're offering licenses available at only $79 a month. We are so confident that you're gonna love this new charting software that will even give you a 30-day unconditional money-back guarantee. Don't miss out on this incredible new piece of software. Get your copy of The Art of Timing the Trade Charts today by visiting tfnn.com. This segment is brought to you by Think or Swim. For more information, just click the Think or Swim banner on the front page of tfnn.com. Welcome back, folks. We have the S&P's negative 36 points on the open. We get the Nasdaq 100, negative 133 points. We get the Dow down 275 right now in the Russell, negative by 22 points. Bitcoin, continuing to rise. Since I came on the air, folks, your nine o'clock bar, that's a 15-minute bar in Bitcoin. How about just spiking a 55,000 and change? Remarkable acceleration in cryptos. You're now above, as I stated, where we were in September. I mean, next stop in Bitcoin is 65,520, folks. Maybe 60,000 is where you could chop around. But, man, we just traded from a price point of 41,000 on September 30th in Bitcoin. Jumping over to Ethereum. Ethereum right now up 1.5%, not quite the same acceleration. You're at 35.79. Interesting comparing these two. Ethereum, Bitcoin, you see Ethereum. Not back up to where we were September 3rd, whereas you just have Bitcoin rising above that price level. You could say closer, though, to where we were in terms of 44.06, percentage-wise, not much. But Ethereum, nonetheless, up by about 1.5% today. Okay, getting back into that article real briefly, I was talking to Kevin about, because he brought up some great points in terms of the tech stocks, and this is an interesting article in terms of valuations. When you're in growth stocks, folks, be careful of valuations, okay? Because no matter how great a company is, it may already be priced into the equity, okay? Tesla is the most expensive stock in the Fang Plus Index at 114 times earnings. No matter how great of a company that you think Tesla is, man, do they have to grow in an epic fashion to come in at a growth of 114 times. Now, you back that in Facebook. Facebook, you're only talking about 19 times earnings. Well, get Tesla's earnings go down in the future, and that ain't gonna help the growth phase of everything. Now, you get into where we are. Tech stocks premium to the S&P 500 is the narrowest since 2018. The spread is when you talk about the estimated earnings for the coming year versus 20, so 27.6 times earnings for the coming year versus 20.2. You see the spread we're at. These 10 companies are only seven times earnings above the S&P 500, the narrowest since 2018 when market slump because of the US China Trade War, Hockish Federal Reserve, and falling earnings expectations. Fast forward to 2021 and the picture looks similar with the Fed at the brink of pulling back on economic stimulus and the pace of earnings upgrades in a slow lane. It's all about earnings coming this quarter, folks. There will be economic slowdowns on revenue, especially in some companies, but what's gonna define stock prices over the next three to six months is gonna be earnings. Wage control, supply issues, supply constraints, supply disruptions across the board, and there it is, the Fang Index. 10 companies, you got Apple, Google, Amazon. The 10 biggest out there in the tax sector combined value of 8.3 trillion, excuse me, 8.7 trillion. Among them Facebook, the cheapest at 19 times earnings. If you think Facebook is gonna just completely triumph over their problems in recent history, then you should be loading up the vote because Facebook at 19 times earnings when the S&P 500 is 20 times earnings seems like a bargain, but I would be careful and I am not buying Facebook in any way, folks. I hope they have some tough roads ahead because they deserve it with what they're doing a society to put it lightly. Tesla, priceiest at 114, 14 times. Mega cap tax, mega cap tech stocks. Say that one 10 times fast. Mega cap tech stocks may still get cheaper though as you're opening down 1%. These were numbers off of yesterday's close. So when we have the NASDAQ 100 and we shouldn't talk too quickly as all the market's catching a bid. There's your acceleration on the open. We're up to 14,552. You've clawed back more than 100 points off of the lows in the NASDAQ 100 and the S&P is surging to 4308 this morning. All right, what else we got going on? Let's jump down on the line with some of the companies that are moving. Constellation had their numbers out. Looks to be trading lower a little bit. Down by about six tenths percent. Fast market, 12 noon Eastern time. Kevin Hinks, they set up a example trade on this yesterday. Forget the specifics of it, but it's always awesome how they set these up, folks. I think Kevin had a multi-led leg trade. He had a calendar spread on the bullish side and he financed that with selling a put spread on the bearish side. If you don't know what I'm talking about, tune into the program at 12 o'clock today, folks. They walk you through it, hypothetical trades. It's a great way to learn multi-leg trades and options. It's very simple to understand. A call is the right to buy a stock. A put is the right to sell a stock, but it's pretty awesome once you get the concepts of whether it's paying for premium, selling premium, Delta, Theta, and they walk you through it all at noon Eastern time every trading day, folks. All right, let's jump around some of the equities that are moving this morning, the stocks making moves as we pull up. Here, come on, where am I? Here we are. We talked about Constellation. So the miss on this quarter, which is interesting, quarterly earnings of 238 a share, the consensus was 277, revenue beat forecast, but here's the kicker, which I think saved them from this quick sell-off that we had. Not often do you miss right now on earnings, but say that we're gonna raise our full year earnings outlook, but that's what they did. They actually increased their full year earnings outlook while missing on earnings on this quarter in the market. Never cares about what you did 30 days ago, folks, as long as you're gonna write the ship and you tell them what you're gonna do in the next 30, 60, 90, 365 days, and things seem to be well with Constellation, and you're seeing a catch a bid now in the positive this morning, all the markets catching a bid right now, which is remarkable. All right, down the line, Norwegian, this is an interesting one. Talking of the closing bell yesterday on CNBC, the company will have its full fleet in operation by April. Not that long, six months from now, they'll have their full fleet of ships out there cruising for the first time since the pandemic began. 75% of their ships are gonna be sailing by the year end, and you are actually lower, so I'm not sure what they were talking about more than that. You're down about 6.10%, maybe they would just lower them with the market this morning. Let's jump to some of the airline stocks and see how they're trading. We're putting it on a daily to see the run they've had recently. A little bit of a bounce, but today you're pulling back American down 2.4%. Check that out, Delta down 1.5% right now, United down 1.5%, Boeing down about 3.25%. I've talked about Boeing on the channel line. I pulled up that queue channel line before, Boeing right at this bottom area of that upward channel. That's an area you could look for a buy, folks. A little bit tough when you get the market, potentially with some volatility, but maybe this is a turning point as we start to see whether it's Merck's antiviral pill coming out, whether it's cruise ships saying they're gonna have 100% of their ships in business within six months. Maybe that's the turnaround that some of these travel stocks need. Boeing, they got a long way to go if you can catch a bid on Boeing. Even if you're talking about the channel line, you just trade to the top of this channel line. Boeing said some huge swings on either side. You're talking about almost $100. It's like a 40% acceleration if you just make it to the top of this channel line at about 3.15 on Boeing. And that's quite an if though on Boeing shares. Some of the other travel stocks will jump. Airbnb down about 2.10%. Airbnb has had quite a run recently from July year. 130 up to almost 180. We're back to 164. We'll finish it with Expedia shares right now down about half a percent. Jumping to Uber. We have Uber in my newsletter folks up 2.2% today. Look at that pop. Now I wonder if this has to do it. There was some story out here. Where are we on Uber? I know I got something up here. Come on. Is that one of the companies? No, I have an article up here then that they're talking about that you may be able to... No, there it is. They're gonna track your flight so a ride home is ready when you land. Not sure that's given it the boost this morning but nonetheless Uber up almost 3% as this market is catching a bid folks. Stay tuned. We're gonna be talking some Forex. We'll be talking some oil I imagine as well with Teddy Kegstad from Forex, Dash Trading, Dash Unlock. We come right back. We got the new dollar moving right back. Are you in the market for buying or selling real estate in the Bay area including the surrounding St. Petersburg, Tampa and Clearwater markets? Tiger Real Estate LLC is a firm that has extensive experience in the Tampa Bay area. Whether you're looking to sell your current property for maximum value or you're in the market for a second home or investment property, Tiger Realty has the experience across all areas of real estate in the Tampa Bay area to help buyers and sellers make the most informed decisions across all price levels. From the price you should be paying per square foot in certain up and coming areas to the type of cash flow investment properties you're capable of creating, Tiger Real Estate can help you make the best decision when it comes to all areas of the market. 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The funds are designed to be utilized only by sophisticated investors such as traders and active investors. Distributor, four-side fund services, LLC. Don't forget, you can listen to TFNN live on your mobile device 24 hours per day. Go to TFNN.com, then hit Watch Tiger TV. That's TFNN.com, then hit Watch Tiger TV. Welcome back, folks. We get the S&P's negative 21 points right now, but markets catching a bid from the overnight session and catching a bid right on that open right now. S&P's only down 21. You were down to a low, folks, of 42.73. So you're talking about 38 points. We've caught a bid from those lows in the overnight session. All right, let's jump over to our man, Teddy Kakes at Every Trading Day, folks. You can reach Teddy at forex-trading-unlock.com. We talked to Teddy about the Forex market every Wednesday at 40 past the hour. Teddy Kakes at, good morning. Good morning, Tommy. So, where do we start, man? We've had quite a run in oil this week. I'm always thinking about you as I see those crude prices climbing ever higher. We almost made it to $80 in the overnight session on Lights Tree Crude. Why don't maybe we start there so we don't rush that conversation at the end of this talk? Because, man, this market has been on fire recently, Kedi, and to your credit, you've been pumping it for $100 and seems like it's a one-way ship upward right now. What are you looking at in that crew contract? Well, I'm looking for it to follow through and I think it's gonna have a ripple effect into multiple markets. So I think it's gonna hit everything from the S&Ps to the interest rate markets to the currency markets as well, especially the currencies that are balanced off of oil, whether they're oil rich or oil poor. So I think it's definitely gonna be rocking things. And why not? Could you just jump into those countries in particular? We talk about it often, but we're always getting new listeners. When you say those countries, whether you're producers or consumers, so we got crude rocking higher.  I agree, it's just a huge influence across the board right now, which is why I ask, yeah. Sure, okay, well, here's the way I look at this scenario panning out. As oil gets above $80, we already know that there's a threshold in the economy. This is pre-pandemic. This is when the economy was much smaller than it is now also. So when oil gets above 80 and starts to maintain that, let alone get to 100 or more, we know that there's gonna be a lot of dynamics to start to change. Now, the last time oil got to 100 or above, you gotta realize we didn't have the inflation that we have right now. So that's a huge, huge deal. It's gonna make the oil rally now the amplification of its ramifications is going to be exponential compared to what it was, say back during the Bush era, back in the early 2000s, okay? So anyone that remembers that when you were paying for regular gas, you were spending $6 for a gallon of gas. So I mean, now the taxes are higher than they were before 20 years ago, 15 years ago. So I mean, like all these things are gonna hit very, very hard. And it's not just the United States. It's gonna hit places like Japan. Okay, like if you look at the US dollar yen, they started to break out to the upside with this as oil is moving back. You know, remember I told you the oil trade was off the table a couple of months ago up until a couple of weeks ago, I said as we get back into, if we get to above 80 and towards that threshold as we go towards 100, which I'm telling you, we're going to 100, you know?   If anything, 122 in the end could very easily happen by the end of the year if we see oil escalate. If it starts to really explode to the upside where we go from 80 to say 90, 95 and we do hit this $100 threshold, you realize that even if we have a 10% correction off that, that means oil will go from 100 to 90 bounce fine support and then go higher, you know? So, and that's gonna have a ripple effect in the currency markets. And then you have your supply chain issues. You know, I don't know what it is like completely globally, but I read last week, you know, you have over 500,000 container ships crowding the ports of the United States, Houston being one of them. So, the ability, even if we had cheaper oil and we could have it all flowing and whatever, the ability for oil to get to the refineries and move from one place to another and what have you is being restricted by all of these other ripple effects from these other things from the pandemic. You know? And it's gonna drive like, I think the US dollar or Canada trade, that bear is coming back. You know, I see like, I see definitely see the US dollar yen long-term trending higher. US dollar, Canada, we have a head and shoulders now that is formed on the daily basis, you know? And now we're treading looking to fall back down as oil gets stronger, the Canadian dollar will be strong versus the dollar. So, it doesn't matter anymore. We have true divergence in the currency market. So, where the US dollar is gonna be strong versus the yen, it's gonna be weak versus the Canada. And in a normal world, you'd be like, well, how does that happen? But this is not a normal world we're living in anymore, you know? And when you look at these conditions, something like commodity, a commodity such as oil where I don't care how much we're coming off the oil nipple, all the heavy machinery is used by, we need it, you know? So, I mean like, that's not changing anytime soon.  And I think the ripple effects are gonna be big, you know? So, the Euro, the Euro also, you know, member back in the spring when the Euro was up at 122, I mean, everyone was arguing, oh, we're gonna see the Euro at 135, 140. And I'm like, I don't know about that one with the oil train, you know? And now, I mean, I wasn't looking for it to necessarily, I never was very bearish the Euro, but I'm like, I don't know about being remotely bullish the Euro, you know? And now we're worried too. You see how, if you look at the dollar index, we know the major components is the Euro and the pound, okay? The Euro is making new lows, the pound isn't. It's trying to hold up because they're oil rich, you know? So, and it's going to have an impact. The US dollar Swiss is getting strong once again too, you know, because of these same dynamics. So, where you have the dollar strong against two European currencies, it has a trouble with the pound. And it's gonna have trouble with the pound going forward for the, you know? So, and I think the same thing is when you look at the Australian dollar and New Zealand dollar, you know, it's because of the restrictions and because of these other supply issues that they're not gonna be able to get rid of their stuff. I mean, look at what gold is doing, you know? And there's a move.   And these are the ripple effects, you know? We're coming on the 34 year cycle for Fibonacci for the stock market crash of 87, you know? October 17th is just a week and a half away, you know? And I think this perfect storm is here, you know? I think we are definitely in motion and we're gonna have a wild, wild ride and we're gonna see some big trends in the currencies, you know? The dollar being over there. It's pretty cool. Just a giant, I completely agree, man. And Kevin, we were talking about kicking off the program saying it's an awesome time to be a trader, man. And it seems like it spans whether you're in futures, equities, forex, commodities, my goodness, right? And I agree with the way that, listen, we have a lot of supply disruptions, man.  I think we're gonna see it all the time in these earnings coming up. And it's just so prevalent that I imagine it's gonna take a year or two at a minimum to work itself out when, just like you talk about, ships can't get into port, man. We got kids at home. I'm thinking about starting shopping right now, Teddy. And I'm not joking, folks. If you have kids out there, man. Yeah, exact, get your products now because I'm not gonna be waiting when everything is out. And today, like you said, it's not a normal situation. And so even in my own mind, you're making decisions, right, to plan for those types of disruptions. And then it's like, where do those ripple effects? That's, I was just gonna say, where do those ripple effects go, right? It's pretty cool, man. Teddy, we appreciate the conversation. As always, man, you have a great week. We'll talk to you next Wednesday. Take care. Thanks, Teddy. Take care. We'll be right back, folks. It's happening.  No way. Thanks, Teddy. We'll be right back. Sharpening your skills as an investor is like getting better at playing a musical instrument. You have to practice, sure, but you also need excellent instruction from experts. At TFNN, you'll get advice and guidance from the authority in technical market analysis. And it's not just dry, tedious text either. TFNN airs live financial content streamed live on TFNN.com and TFNN's YouTube channel with Tiger TV, live every market day from 8.30 a.m. to 4.00 p.m. Eastern. For free, each host is an experienced trader and gives their take on the market while taking calls and questions live from around the world. From the moment the market opens until the closing bell sounds, Tiger TV has eight different shows with expert hosts to help you make the right moves with your money. Watch online at TFNN.com or on TFNN's YouTube channel and become the investor you were born to be, TFNN. Educating investors. You might think that if you want to be successful at trading in the stock market, you're going to need a crystal ball. After all, it's impossible to predict the future, right? Like any endeavor in life, before you decide it's impossible, get some advice from the experts. You might find that it's not so impossible after all. For daily market overviews that give you direction on the key indices, selective stocks and commodities, subscribe to the opening call newsletter at TFNN.com. The opening call newsletter is written by Basil Chapman, creator of the trading methodology known as the Chapman Wave. The Chapman Wave up-down sequence gives you an edge in identifying price turns, finding the peaks and valleys in stock prices.  First-time subscribers also get a 30-day money-back guarantee. If you're not satisfied, let us know and you'll get a full refund within 30 days of signing up.  The Tiger First Mortgage Program may be the program for you. The best rate on a five-year CD in the country right now according to Bankrate.com is paying 1% per year or $1,000 per 100,000 invested. The Tiger First Mortgage Program pays 7% per year, paid monthly on secured, high-value, billable properties in St. Petersburg, Florida. Your investment is for four years, paying 7% per year or $7,000 per 100,000 invested. Your investment is secured by high-value real estate in St. Petersburg, Florida. Your investment can be anywhere from 100,000 to 500,000. Do you want to make 1,000 per year on 100,000 invested or 7,000 per year on a secured Tiger First Mortgage? The Tiger First Mortgage Program may be just the program for you. The Tiger First Mortgage Program pays 7% per year, paid monthly. For more information, you can call<PHONE_NUMBER>. That's<PHONE_NUMBER>. This segment is brought to you by Think or Swim. For more information, just click the Think or Swim banner on the front page of tfnn.com. Welcome back, folks. We got a little bit of volatility in both directions. Let's put it on a five-minute chart to see the action so far. It's about 5.30 a.m. in the S&Ps overnight. You rise right out of the gate from about 4295 to above 4,315. We had 20 points up and just like that, folks, in 10 minutes we got 20 points down. You're right back to where we opened. NASDAQ 100, not quite back down to that, but we've given up a decent portion of the gains we had. You get the Dow down 320, actually, below where we opened in the market right now in the Russell, down about 25 points. We're going to do a little bit of a sports update. Major League Baseball, you had the good old Red Sox getting it down versus the Yankees. Now, I do not agree with this AL-1 game playoff, a play-in wild card. Nonetheless, Red Sox beat the Yankees last night in Fenway. They will face the Tampa Bay Rays kicking things off on Thursday for the ALDS. The Red Sox come to Tampa. The Rays winning their division over the Red Sox and the Yankees, kudos to them. The Rays just continue to struggle to get people in that arena, unfortunately. But nonetheless, Red Sox get it done last night. Interesting game, some ups and downs for both teams. But just in general, it's a tough one. You play what is it, 162 games in the year, all for the volatility of one playoff game to get into the playoffs. Seems like it demeans the regular season to have one playoff game like that. Red Sox throughout Aaron Judge. I think it was in the fifth or sixth inning at home plate. A couple of my friends, New York Yankees fans, not happy at that third base coach sending that player, the third base coach for the Yankees. I think he got 21 or 22 players thrown out this year, one of the statistics, one of the higher numbers out there. Point being, he got one bad play where they maybe sent somebody on third base, and it demeans the whole season.  Baseball has got to get their act together, folks. 162 games, the regular season is almost meaningless. And then they play one game to get into the playoffs, and then they got a five-game series coming up for the ALDS. All right, what else we got? Let's just check around. Some of the fang stocks as we wrap up the session, folks. We got Amazon shares this morning, down 210. So let's take a look at Constellation. Up to 217, down to 211 with this market, volatility on Constellation. Stay tuned, folks. We got our man, Basil Chapman, coming up with the Tiger Technicians Hour, Larry Pezzavento with TradeBitUC at 11, Fast Market at 12, Steve Rhodes, Dave White, Tom O'Brien all this afternoon. Live programming all day, folks. Stay tuned. You're right back.


Heisman Trophy winner, first round draft pick, unanimous NFL MVP, starting quarterback for the Baltimore Ravens, continuous record breaker, 2019 season leader in passing touchdowns, most rushing yards in the season ever by a quarterback. But Lamar Jackson being a troll, that's where I draw the line, buddy. So YouTube, team keep it clean. What's going on? We're here with another video and in this video Lamar Jackson actually admitted to trolling so many people who thought he wanted to leave and thought that he was thinking about other options and whatnot. He admitted that he was messing with them the whole time. And it's no shock and it's no surprise anything, but you know what, let's hear Lamar Jackson's explanation. I just wanted to be grounded and let the community, you know, immune to me, you know, just, that's like, okay, yeah, I can relate to him, you know, and I can be that guy, you know, when I get older stuff like that to the younger generation and younger kids and stuff like that. But it's a great organization, you know, very, very, very friendly organization and I love being here. I tweeted it before, like, you know, this, this is where I want to be at.  So let's be shooting my shots, you know, on social media, because they like doing it to me, I guess. So there you have it. Lamar Jackson has a lot of titles, but one of them is also troll. And he was talking about how, hey, the media and people, they do it with him. They see him liking something and they're like, oh man, he wants to leave, he wants to go, but he's like, he just messing with people. He just messing with them, because that's what they do to him. He's just simply returning the favor. And I know after seeing that, it put so many Ravens fans, their minds at ease. It allowed them to take a collective sigh of relief for them to know that Lamar Jackson doesn't want to go anywhere, even though he's continued to express that he doesn't want to go anywhere. He's always said that he wants to be a Raven for life. I can't understand how people have been concerned and worried and what not about this whole contract situation, because it is. I was just talking to my guy, David, about it earlier. I think it is something that people should be concerned about, because this is not just your average player. This is, and that's no offense to anybody, because these are NFL players and this is their job. These are their careers. But this is somebody who is a generational talent. This is somebody who is just so different than the norm. So any Ravens fans that have been stressing out about the contract and what not, I can understand why. I completely understand why, because the Ravens have never, especially on offense, the Ravens have never had somebody like Lamar Jackson. So I empathize and sympathize with fans who are stressing out, thinking, oh, my goodness, when would this thing get done? Will it get done? Because they don't want to lose a player like Lamar Jackson. Somebody who obviously on the football field, he does his thing. But then even off the football field, somebody who a lot of fans aren't used to, especially at the quarterback position, being able to relate to so much on a different level. You see, that's big for a lot of people and a lot of them, a lot of them realize it and a lot of them don't even realize it.  And especially when you know what he's capable of doing, you know what he's done in the past, but you know what he's capable of doing, too. So you just know that everything with the Ravens, it goes through him, obviously, everything goes through him. But you want to continue to see it go through him in the foreseeable future. So hopefully the Ravens can make this thing happen sooner rather than later. But now, I mean, not that it's changed, but it's just a waiting game now. And it's always been a waiting game with this whole contract thing. We'll see how it plays out like we talked about in yesterday's video. Even if they don't come to a contract agreement right here right now and it gets to the season and he's playing, I don't expect Lamar to be playing like all upset and whatnot. Sitting there throwing passes like, oh man, these Ravens ain't payment. No, it ain't going to be nothing like that. It's not going to be any bad blood, any beef, anything like that. It's just all contract negotiations. This is all just part of it. It's business. Like Lamar continued to say in the press yesterday, it's business. Just as much as Lamar Jackson knows it's business, Eric D'Costa, Steve Vashati, John Hall, they know it's business, too. And in negotiations, both sides are trying to fight to see if they can end up winning against the other side. Because in negotiations, somebody's got to come out losing. Not everybody can come out winning. You can't get everything that you want in the negotiation process. There's going to have to be some compromise, but it's all about who's going to be willing to compromise more. Will it be Lamar Jackson? Will it be the Baltimore Ravens? We'll see. But real quick, shout out to Chels because she was actually the one that brought that video to my attention because I had no clue about it. I didn't know about it, but she put us on. So shout out to Chels. Appreciate you. Now, speaking of Lamar Jackson in the future, we got a question from my guy, John C. He said, A, engraving, first off, love everything you do and keep up the good work. Oh, appreciate you. And secondly, I want to ask you, do you really think Lamar or any player deserves a fully guaranteed deal? Because personally, I do not think so. I love Lamar. Appreciate it. Hey, y'all heard it? Y'all heard it? You heard it? You heard it? He said, I love Lamar. Appreciate everything he has done for the Ravens, but you know what's coming after somebody says something like that. He says, but there comes a time where you start to wonder if you're laying out too much for one player. Let's just continue before you start. He said, the Ravens still have players that they will have to re-sign in the future and a 230 million guaranteed makes that difficult to do. Difficult? A little bit. Impossible? Not at all. I honestly think if Lamar doesn't win MVP and can't get the Ravens to a Super Bowl or at least the FC Championship in franchise tag and trade for a bunch of first-rounders, and we can try out one of the QBs from the Stack 2023 draft class, which are full of talent. Thanks. Oh, man. Yes. Disagree to the max right here. Because my thing is, why would you want to start over? Why would you want to start over just because you got to pay somebody some brand? You really willing to start all over? Me? I'm not. Again, Lamar Jackson is not just your average quarterback. Like, yeah, shout out to all the guys that's coming out of the draft in 2023. But you have Lamar Jackson right here, right now, and you haven't even maximized his potential. Why would you want to let him leave for a couple of draft picks? Even if you got two, three draft first-round draft, but you will want Lamar to leave for that? And it's like with the draft, we know it's a risk. Nothing is guaranteed.  He is capable of so much more than he's even done, and he's done a lot. So to, no, to franchise tag him and trade him? No, why? What? No, I can't get behind this not one bit, man. Not at all, but that's, no. As far as the guaranteed money, I wouldn't be mad at Lamar at all, asking for fully guaranteed. We don't know what he's asking for. Those apparently are the rumors that he wants more guaranteed money. And I mean, why wouldn't he? He ain't looking at the Sean Watson contract like it's the outlier. No, of course he's not. I'm sure he'd be looking at that like, hey, I want that to be my norm. But anyway, like in football, these dudes, not only can their careers change at the blink of an eye, but their lives can. Because football is obviously a very dangerous sport. It's a very violent sport. It's a very physical sport. Well, Lamar Jackson, he is asked to be QB1, obviously starting quarterback for the Baltimore Ravens, but then he's also asked to be RB1 because they run him a lot. So the fact that he has to do so much for the football team and be such a big part of what they do, why not ask for the most money? Why not ask for guaranteed money? Why not ask for all the bread that you can possibly get? Why not?  Some may do less. Some may do more. But a lot of your peers around you, they're getting paid a boatload of money. Are you going to be like, oh, no, no, I could just go to a different company and we'll see how it works out there. No, you're going to want to get paid from the company that you're at for everything that you have done and everything that you're doing. You're going to want to get your bread. So I don't fault Lamar for trying to get his. And I mean, we done started doing a couple questions. We might as well throw in a couple more before we get out of here. Next question came from my guy BB. He said, has Isaiah likely taken the tight end two position away from Nick Boyle, and should the Ravens keep Boyle or trade him? What are your thoughts? Now, I don't think he's taken anything because we haven't seen a game yet. We haven't seen a game. Now, I think they will definitely try to get him out there a lot. Now, and I could I could understand how you could think that they, that he may have taken it already based off of the preseason because he was out there, then they took him out. The Nick Boyle was out there a lot. He was out there a whole lot. But at this point, trade a Nick Boyle. No, I mean, you might as well keep him. Might as well. You got an extra offensive lineman slash tight end pass catcher. Yeah, you might as well keep him and hope that he's really just getting his feedback under him again. So you have even more depth at the position. Isaiah likely, I do expect him to be out there a lot. I do expect him to eventually play more than Nick Boyle, simply because of everything that he can do and how much of a weapon and a threat that he is on a football field as opposed to a Nick Boyle. And that's no offense to Nick Boyle, of course. But Isaiah likely is just there are two different types of tight ends. Isaiah likely, the playmaking tight end, Nick Boyle, the blocking tight end. So I think they're going to want to have that playmaking tight end out there on the field a lot more to make place. Next question came from my guy, Sebastian. He said, I just rewatched Flacco Superbowl running Joe was really gambling with the football with them throws, man. Risky throws, yet Anquan comes down with it every time.  Can't be pushed around and I love it. But more seems to have his Tori and Jacobi and Bateman and DeMarcus. I don't get Tori and Jacobi from Bateman and DeMarcus Robinson. Maybe Tori Smith from DeMarcus Robinson. But Jacobi or Tori Smith as Bateman. I don't get that at all. Bateman is more of a, I think he has definitely had the potential to be better receivers than those guys. Those guys are big play guys, deep threat guys. And Bateman can be a deep threat guy, but he's more well rounded as far as being a route runner than those guys are. He's more polished, I guess. But he said Lamar seems to have his Tori and Jacobi and Bateman and DeMarcus. You think likely can be the Anquan to Lamar. I've heard quite a bit of people compare likely to Anquan Bolden.  And if he can be that, that would be great because that would give Lamar somebody else that he could trust. Somebody else he could throw it up to and they come down with it. They go up and get it. That third down receiver will slash tight end, whatever. And just somebody who's just reliable. If likely can be that, then we're likely to have a lot of success. Next question came from the guy Ethan. He said, this is the Wednesday before the game. And am I the only one whose heart strings feel a little pulled, seeing Flacco start against us? I'm only 20 and this man was the first quarterback I was blessed to actually watch. Anyway, Lamar finna do his thing. Ravens flock all day, have a good day sir. See, Ethan, the emotions were kicking in for Ethan. But then he quickly realized, he said, wait a minute. Flacco's the enemy now. So I ain't riding with Flacco no more as Lamar all day. This question came from my guy DeSean. He said, I'm watching the Ravens Wired episode three and it features the Marcus Robinson. He talks about how he got here. His words were, what made me come here was the call from Eric DeCosta. He gave me a call and I said, I'm leaving the Raiders for the moment. And I was checking a couple of other teams, but he was the first to call, which sounds like the Raiders wanting him back on the practice squad. He goes on to say, I went to Arizona to meet him and we had a long talk Thursday and Friday before the Cardinals game. He also said, once I came here for a visit, everyone made me feel like this could be home and I didn't want to leave. He also mentions about meeting Lamar and a couple other guys whose name he didn't mention apparently wanted him in this offense. Could we finally see what is in the vault this year? I don't know what this means to anyone else, but to me it says a lot, because we heard about a lot of guys not wanting to come and play in this type of offense, but it seems like the Marcus is invested in his team and he wants to be here. Sorry for the long message. Please don't apologize for that. I mean, of course he'll want to be here. He got fired from his last job and the Ravens hired him. They cut the check. Like, of course he's going to want to be here. But no, it's cool though. I didn't even know. I didn't realize that his, his, did we say his uncle or his cousin was Marcus Robinson? I never knew that. Because I just figured, okay, Robinson is such a common last name. It's such a common last name. I ain't putting too, like if there was somebody like that came on our team name, like Suggs or something like that, or even Reed. Reed is a lot more common than Suggs, but if somebody last name Reed, well, Reed wouldn't really stick out because we had David Reed and I never thought him and Airee were cousins. But if we had somebody like named Suggs or somebody like Rowe, like Samoy Rowe, McAllister maybe, but y'all see what I'm, somebody named Flacco. If we had somebody named Flacco, like I think Tom Flacco tried out for the Ravens, didn't he? No, I think he was on a different team in the pre-season something, some years back. But anyway, you see what I'm saying? If it was like a more like irregular last name, then it would have caught my eye. But with it being Robinson, I ain't even think twice about it. But then they were like, oh no, that's his cousin or his uncle. So I was like, okay, let's go then. But nah, man, yeah, hopefully that vault can be, they could go into that vault, they could empty it out this season because they have options, they have different guys that can do different things, but it's up to them to maximize the talent that's on that team. Next question came from my guy Christian. He said, what's going on in Raven? I've been watching you since your lunch break car videos. I appreciate it. But this is my first time submitting a question. Congratulations on being able to do this full time. Hey, thank you.  I have a little one in Sheath of Daddy's Girl. Oh, hey, shout out to you and your little girl, man. I just wanted to get your opinion on the recent Dept chart release. I don't know if you've already covered it. No, I haven't. He said, this stood out to me. What do you think? Devon Duvenay being wide receiver two over the markets, Robinson. I think that would change. I, as far as the Dept charts, I don't get like too caught up in them because you have different formations, you have different plays and stuff. You've got different packages and whatnot. So a Dept chart is essentially, oh yeah, these are who the starters are, what not. But everything depends on SNAP. I don't see Devon Duvenay as their wide receiver two. I just don't. I see it as Bateman and Robinson. With Pro Shae in the slot, him being that sort of quote unquote wide receiver three, whatever. But I don't see Devon Duvenay as their wide receiver two. He obviously is the, wow. Is him and Pro Shae the longest tenant Ravens receivers right now? They are. They are.  So yeah, a lot of youth, a lot of inexperience too, but as far as for people who are the longest Ravens at the wide receiver position, but I don't really think too much of it. I think it'll be the markets Robinson out there. Even if it's not right away, then I think it'll be like early on eventually. He also said JK Dobbins is listed as RB1 and King and Drake are RB4 behind justice. Yeah, no, I don't take nothing. And I don't take, like, not that I don't take it into account, but I just, I don't think anything about it because they, to sign a veteran, and with JK Dobbins, we know it's still hurt. Like Lamar let it out of the bag yesterday. It's like, hey, JK Dobbins, hopefully he'll be out there the next couple of weeks.  Thanks for letting us know. But yeah, they didn't, I don't think they signed King and Drake to be running back for. I would just sign a veteran to be RB4. Like think about, so I don't take none to that. And it says likely is the third string tight end. He said he's my favorite rookie. He might be Ravens favorite rookie too. But again, even with that, you know likely he's going to be out there. You know he's going to be out there. I'm assuming tight end two would be Nick Boyle. But you know, you know, likely it's going to be out there. And then it said Kyle Hamilton is back up free safety, but I thought he was a strong safety. I think Kyle Hamilton is just a safety.  Like he's the first round pick and he's a defensive player. No, he's going to be out there on that field. So I honestly wouldn't even worry about the depth chart like that. And now we got two more questions that came from our team keeping clean patrons. And special shout out to all the team keeping clean patrons. Appreciate y'all. If anybody would like to become a patron, you can. If you don't want to, you know, you can't. It's fine. Either way is fine. So the two newest patrons are John B and Guy C. Appreciate that. Appreciate y'all. Thank you. And Guy, he had a question. He said engraving just want to bring some positive advice, man. You have worked so hard to do what you do.  Thank you for the integrity, positivity, entertainment, and joy you bring to my day. I don't have a question, but just wanted to say, let's go Raven's flock. It's a blessing being able to watch our team put hard work, talent and teamwork on the field for one another and our entertainment. Couldn't ask for a better community to enjoy this franchise with. Big trust and God bless fan. Wow. Hey, I appreciate this, man. Thank you. Thank you for that positive message. Thank you for becoming a patron. Thank you for showing support. Thank you for, excuse me, rocking with team keeping clean, man. We appreciate it. We appreciate you. We appreciate the positive message because it's something that we all need to hear. Everybody be going through different type of stuff. Everybody got their own issues. They try their struggles and whatnot. So hearing stuff like this is much appreciated. So thank you. And the last question on what has turned into an episode of question from subs came from Hottie, another team keeping clean patron. So we appreciate you. Say good morning, engraving the team keeping clean. We've got a few more days left until the season starts. Well, till Raven season starts. Yeah. But anyway, he said, I wanted to ask, what are you most excited to see this season? Me personally, I'm excited to see how our defense will look this year. New defensive coordinator, fully healed secondary, two new stud safeties and more than Bengals ain't getting 500 yards this year. Oh yeah. Maybe they just get like 498 or so. No, but let me finish. He said, peace and blessings to you and team keeping clean. Appreciate it, Hottie. What I'm most excited to see is really just a healthy Ravens team because we haven't seen it in a while. A healthy Ravens team, at least healthy, the majority healthy because we know injuries are going to happen. Not everybody going to be suited up all the time and whatnot, but a majority healthy Ravens team. But as if I had to pick one, it'll be the offense. Just to see how they do, what they're consistent in, what they struggle in, what they succeed in, just really everything. Just to see them bounce back from adversity, to see if they can dominate, just to see the whole package and just see them if they can really maximize all of their guys. This feels like a dream. You two team keeping clean. You see my boy, he like automated. Automated. Wooded. Right in Raven. Right in Raven. Shot out in Raven.


I earnestly pray for the assistance of the Holy Ghost for you and for me as we rejoice and worship together in this session of General Conference. In April of 1976, Elder Boyd K. Packer spoke specifically to the youth of the Church in General Conference. In his classic message entitled Spiritual Crocodiles, he described how during an assignment in Africa he observed well-camouflaged crocodiles preying on unsuspecting victims. He then likened the crocodiles to Satan, who praised on unwary youth by camouflaging the deadly nature of sin. I was 23 years old when Elder Packer gave that talk, and Susan and I were anticipating the birth of our first child in just a few days. We were impressed with the content of his message about avoiding sin and the masterful way he used the ordinary behavior of animals to teach an important lesson. Susan and I also have traveled to Africa on many assignments, and we have had opportunities to see the magnificent animals that live on that continent. Remembering the impact of Elder Packer's talk in our lives, we have tried to observe and learn lessons from the behavior of African wildlife. I want to describe the characteristics and tactics of two cheetahs. Susan and I watched hunting their prey and relate some of the things we observed to the daily living of the gospel of Jesus Christ. Cheetahs are the fastest land animals on earth and reach running speeds as high as 75 miles an hour. These beautiful animals can accelerate from a standstill position to running as fast as 68 miles per hour in less than three seconds. Cheetahs are predators that sneak up on their prey and sprint to short distance to chase and attack. Susan and I spent almost two hours watching two cheetahs stalking a large group of topies, Africa's most common and widespread antelopes. The tall, dry grass of the African savanna was golden brown and almost totally obscured the predators as they pursued a group of topies. The cheetahs were separated from each other by approximately 100 yards, but worked in tandem. While one cheetah sat upright in the grass and did not move, the other cheetah crouched low to the ground and slowly crept closer to the unsuspecting topies. Then the cheetah that had been sitting upright disappeared in the grass at exactly the same moment that the other cheetah sat upright. This alternating pattern of one cheetah crouching low and creeping forward while the other cheetah sat upright in the grass continued for a long time. The stealthy subtlety of the strategy was intended to distract and to steve the topies and thereby divert their attention away from the approaching danger. Patiently and steadily, the two cheetahs worked as a team to secure their next meal. Positioned between the large group of topies and the approaching cheetahs were several older and stronger topies standing as sentinels on termite mounds. The enhanced view of the grasslands from the small hills enabled these guardian topies to watch for signs of danger. Then, suddenly, as the cheetahs appeared to be within striking distance, the entire group of topies turned and ran away. I do not know if or how the sentinel topies communicated with the larger group, but somehow a warning was given and all the topies moved to a place of safety. And what did the cheetahs do next? Without any delay, the two cheetahs resumed their alternating pattern of one cheetah crouching low and creeping forward while the other cheetah sat upright in the grass. The pattern of pursuit continued. They did not stop. They did not rest or take a break. They were relentless in following their strategy of distraction and diversion. Susan and I watched the cheetahs disappear in the distance, always moving closer and closer to the group of topies. That night, Susan and I had a memorable conversation about what we had observed and learned. We also discussed this experience with our children and grandchildren, and identified many valuable lessons. I now will describe just three of those lessons. Lesson number one, beware of evil's beguiling disguises. To me, cheetahs are sleek, alluring, and captivating creatures. A cheetah's yellowish tan to grayish white coat with black spots acts as a beautiful disguise that makes these animals almost invisible as they stalk their prey in the African grasslands. In a similar way, spiritually dangerous ideas and actions frequently can appear to be attractive, desirable, or pleasurable. Thus, in our contemporary world, each of us needs to be aware of beguiling bad that pretends to be good. As Isaiah warned, woe unto them that call evil good and good evil, that put darkness for light and light for darkness, that put bitter for sweet and sweet for bitter. In a paradoxical period when violating the sanctity of human life is heralded as a right and chaos is described as liberty. How blessed we are to live in this latter-day dispensation when restored gospel light can shine brightly in our lives and help us to discern the adversary's dark deceptions and distractions. For they that are wise and have received the truth and have taken the Holy Spirit for their guide and have not been deceived. Verily I say unto you, they shall not be hewn down and cast into the fire, but shall abide the day. Lesson number two, stay awake and be alert. For a topi, a brief moment of carelessness or inattentiveness could invite a swift attack from a cheetah. Likewise, spiritual complacency and casualness make us vulnerable to the advances of the adversary. Spiritual thoughtlessness invites great danger into our lives. Nephi described how in the latter days Satan would attempt to pacify and lull the children of God into a false sense of carnal security, that they will say, all is well in Zion, yea, Zion prospereth all is well.  Constant vigilance is required to counteract complacency and casualness. To be vigilant is the state or action of keeping careful watch for possible danger or difficulties. And keeping watch denotes the act of staying awake to guard and protect. Spiritually speaking, we need to stay awake and be alert to the promptings of the Holy Ghost and to the signals that come from the Lord's watchman on the towers. Yea, and I also exhort you that ye be watchful unto prayer continually, that ye may not be led away by the temptations of the devil, for behold, he rewardeth you no good thing. Focusing our lives in and on the Savior and his gospel enables us to overcome the tendency of the natural man to be spiritually snoozy and lazy. As we are blessed with eyes to see and ears to hear, the Holy Ghost can increase our capacity to look and listen when we may not typically think we need to look or listen or when we may not think anything can be seen or heard. Watch, therefore, that ye may be ready. Lesson number three, understand the intent of the enemy. Achita is a predator that naturally prays on other animals.  Satan is the enemy of righteousness and of those who seek to do the will of God. All day, every day, his only intent and sole purpose are to make the sons and daughters of God miserable like unto himself. The Father's plan of happiness is designed to provide direction for his children, to help them experience enduring joy and to bring them safely home to him with resurrected, exalted bodies. The devil labors to make the sons and daughters of God confused and unhappy and to hinder their eternal progression. The adversary works relentlessly to attack the elements of the Father's plan he hates the most. Satan does not have a body and his eternal progress has been halted. Just as water flowing in a riverbed is stopped by a dam, so the adversary's eternal progress is thwarted because he does not have a physical body. Because of his rebellion, Lucifer has denied himself all of the mortal blessings and experiences made possible through a tabernacle of flesh and bones. One of the potent scriptural meanings of the word damned is illustrated in his inability to continue progressing and becoming like our Heavenly Father. Because a physical body is so central to the Father's plan of happiness and our spiritual development, Lucifer seeks to frustrate our progression by tempting us to use our bodies improperly. President Russell M. Nelson has taught that spiritual safety ultimately lies in, quote, never taking the first enticing step toward going where you should not go and doing what you should not do. As human beings, we all have physical appetites necessary for our survival. These appetites are absolutely essential for the perpetuation of life. So what does the adversary do? He attacks us through our appetites. He tempts us to eat things we should not eat, to drink things we should not drink, and to love as we should not love, close quote. One of the ultimate ironies of eternity is that the adversary who is miserable precisely because he has no physical body invites and entices us to share in his misery through the improper use of our bodies. The very tool he does not have and cannot use is thus the primary target of his attempts to lure us to physical and spiritual destruction. Understanding the intent of an enemy is vital to effective preparation for possible attacks. Precisely because Captain Morone I knew the intention of the Lamanites, he was prepared to meet them at the time of their coming and was victorious. And that same principle and promise applies to each of us. If ye are prepared, ye shall not fear, and that ye might escape the power of the enemy. Just as important lessons can be learned by observing the behavior of cheetahs and topes, so each of us should look for the lessons and warnings found in the simple events of everyday life. As we seek for a mind and heart open to receive heavenly direction by the power of the Holy Ghost, then some of the greatest instructions that we can receive and many of the most powerful warnings that can safeguard us will originate in our own ordinary experiences. Powerful parables are contained in both the scriptures and in our daily lives. I have highlighted only three of the many lessons that can be identified in this adventure Susan and I had in Africa. I invite and encourage you to reflect on this episode with the cheetahs and the topes and identify additional lessons for you and your family. Please remember always that your home is the true center of gospel learning and living. As you respond in faith to this invitation, inspired thoughts will come to your mind. Spiritual feelings will swell in your heart and you will recognize actions that should be undertaken or continued so that you can take upon you the whole armor of God that ye may be able to withstand the evil day having done all that ye may be able to stand. I promise that the blessings of effective preparation and spiritual protection will flow into your life as you are watchful unto prayer vigilantly and continually. I testify that pressing forward on the covenant path provides spiritual safety and invites enduring joy into our lives, and I witness that the risen and living Savior will sustain and strengthen us in times both good and bad. Of these truths I testify in the sacred name of the Lord Jesus Christ, amen.


For more videos on people's struggles, please subscribe to our YouTube channel. On January 11, US President Joe Biden spoke on voting rights, an issue that many have been asking him to take up in the country. The past few years have seen a spate of laws introduced by Republican-controlled state administrations to restrict the ability of people to vote. Biden's speech criticized these measures and called for legislation to ensure that the right to vote is protected. Many have, however, said that this may be too little and too late. What are these laws that seek to restrict voting? Why have they been passed? Eugene Purir of breakthrough news explains. Voter suppression is happening all over the United States. Dozens of states, over 30 states, have introduced varying types of bills designed to restrict the right of individuals to vote and they run the gamut from changes to make it more difficult to register to vote, changes that make it more difficult in order to vote in terms of what identification you have to show to make it more likely you'll be turned away, changes that make it much easier, I should say, to invalidate mail-in ballots based on technicalities, things like you needed two envelopes, and in the second envelope, you needed to write a certain set of words that you didn't write, all sorts of little things that could easily trip people up and make it easier to invalidate ballots. Also restrictions on when people can vote, which is quite significant, both early voting, the days of voting, the times of voting, and also in many states, what can happen regarding people who are waiting in line in a number of states, because of a lot of things, lines can be two, three hours to vote, and so in some states, they've made it illegal to bring water or food to any individual in the line. So they really run the gamut in terms of the actual policies themselves, but they all come from one basic reality which speaks to the politics of what's happening, which is to make it more difficult for people overall to vote, and specifically taking aim at various provisions that are heavily used by working-class individuals, especially from oppressed communities. For instance, in Houston, Texas, they use very effectively a 24-hour drive-up voting procedure because of COVID-19, and it's difficult for people because they're working. Different pieces like that, that has now been explicitly banned by the Texas legislature, there doesn't seem to be any reason why there was no fraud connected to it, but the one thing that's clear is it was primarily used by working-class Houstonians. And so ultimately what we're seeing here is the Republican Party, which is pushing all of these various bills, and really is the sole backer, there's a handful of Democrats here and there, but it's primarily Republicans at the state and the federal level, recognize that their policies are by and large minority policies. They are a minority party, and they deeply fear that changes both in the demographics of the electorate because the Republicans are so racist, they're afraid that the country becoming less white will hurt them, but then also from a policy perspective, because the country has become much more progressive, that as time goes on over the next several election cycles, Republicans in all areas up and down the ballot are more likely to lose elections because of those two factors. So rather than change their policies, rather than try to appeal to the people, rather than become less racist, what we are seeing is they're doing their absolute utmost to prevent as many people in the targeted populations, those they feel will vote against them, demographically or ideologically, to make it difficult for them to vote. And so that's really the politics behind voter suppression, and it is a widespread effort. It's really been going for quite some time, really for the past 10 or 15 years, it's become a major theme amongst Republicans, but in the past two or three years, there has been a hyper acceleration in the number of bills that have been introduced in the number of states and all of them on totally spurious grounds, really just to make it possible for the minoritarian hyper capitalist policies of the Republicans to be able to have more time in power by restricting the voters to the maximum degree possible to people who are friendly to those policies. The current round of voting restrictions are part of a long tradition of attempts to curtail the franchise in the United States. While apologists for the country like to claim that the US is the oldest democracy in the world, much of this democratic history has been riddled with bids to keep key sections of the population out of the ballot box. Many of these are rooted in racism. What has been the history of the United States when it comes to universal franchise and what have been the struggles of the people to ensure they get the right to vote? You know, it really is a commentary on how anti-democratic the United States is, that here we are, that the historic changes that were brought by the civil rights movement, many of them are at risk. I mean, it's important to recognize that the United States has only really had universal suffrage since 1965, since the Voting Rights Act of 1965, which of course was the product of the civil rights movement. Prior to that, black people were essentially completely and totally barred from participation in huge parts of the country, not the entire country, but huge parts of the country. And really, when you look at the history of the United States, it's a history of how few people were allowed to vote at the establishment and how really sort of toot the nail through a lot of struggle, through a lot of bloodshed. You know, the franchise was expanded bit by bit, piece by piece, place by place. But the foundation of the United States, and in fact, the rhetoric of the Founding Fathers was specifically centered on the idea that they did not want the majority of people to vote. And it's very notable. I mean, they were openly writing about this at the time, that the Founding Fathers specifically wanted to have property qualifications and felt that only those who owned property really should be able to vote. Obviously, they wanted to have gender qualifications. And of course, women were not able to vote until the 20th century in the United States, one of the countries that was waiting the latest for women to have the right to vote. Also, of course, there were racial restrictions at the time of the Constitution. There was the three-fifths compromise. So slaves weren't even counted as whole humans in the context of the census, which determines the districts for the House of Representatives. But on top of that, of course, many, many Black people, not just in the South, but all over the country, were not allowed to vote. That continued well into the Civil War. And then, of course, the Civil War brought the right to vote for Black men. And Reconstruction came in in the South, and there was a brief flowering of some form of universal suffrage. Although, of course, I have to remember here that women were not able to vote at the time, but of the most suffrage that had ever existed in the history of the country. And then that was crushed when Reconstruction was rolled back as part of a drive by the richest, most elite sections of the United States of America to get a tighter stranglehold on politics and to consolidate the monopoly capital behemoths and the rule that they needed to push forward their gilded age that was coming out of the Civil War. Then, of course, you have the long period of Jim Crow, which is established in the 1890s, which again takes us back to 1965. Then again, you have a many people have called it the Second Reconstruction period where there's a flowering of some level of civil liberties, of universal suffrage, of greater democratic rights, even going into social and economic issues that there were more social services being granted than ever before. And that was seen as part of the democratic struggle. But then we saw, it's really starting in the 1980s, but in a big way, in the last, let's say, decade and a half, the rollback of those gains from the Civil Rights Movement in a similar sort of era, where you have this minoritarian political agenda coming from a significant section of elites, and universal suffrage and elite interests are deeply at odds. So that's really what's at the heart of the contradiction of American, quote unquote, democracy, is that what we've seen from the very beginning in 1787 to now in 2022 is that universal suffrage and the right to vote really only becomes an issue of salience when huge masses of people are fighting for it. But in periods outside of that, we've seen over and over again, elite agendas that are minoritarian from a population point of view, minoritarian from a public opinion point of view are deeply at odds with universal suffrage and political parties tied to those agendas do everything possible to limit the rights of people to vote. So there is a democracy of a source in the United States, but it's really a dollar democracy and everything is centered around making sure that the right to vote, that popular democracy, that grassroots democracy, that universal suffrage does not infringe to any major degree on the rights of capital. The Democrats solution to the spate of voting restriction laws has been two bills that are before Congress right now, the Freedom to Vote Act and the John Lewis Voting Rights Advancement Act. However, the chances of either of them being passed are slim due to Republican opposition and the refusal by a few Democrats in the Senate to support these proposals. Eugene explains these pieces of legislation and their chances of getting passed. Both these bills are relatively wide ranging as it concerns all of their provisions, but the For the People Act and the John Lewis Voting Rights Act, which is basically a watered down version of the For the People Act, pretty much have two sort of general philosophies behind them. The For the People Act, which is considered to be more comprehensive, just in a more direct way, brings a number of election procedures and processes, which are almost all governed at the state and local level in the United States now, brings more of them under federal jurisdiction or at least under federal mandates around what can and cannot be done in terms of election laws and would essentially ban the vast majority of voter suppression activities that are taking place in the United States in an affirmative sense. The John Lewis Voting Rights Act doesn't necessarily ban anything per se, but it does increase the level of federal oversight, something that's called federal pre-clearance, which was a part of the 1965 Voting Rights Act, where certain jurisdictions, either because of past malfeasance and or the demographic mix of where they are now, to make certain election changes, most of them being the ones around the types of voter suppression efforts that we already see, that to make those types of changes, they would have to appeal to the Justice Department to make sure that it was considered consistent with the 14th and the 15th amendments of the Constitution, which are essentially what govern the right to vote and what govern universal suffrage in the United States. So it's a less affirmative support of you cannot do this and elections must be run this way, and it's less of if you want to do this, you have to ask the federal government first. And historically, the reason pre-clearance was relatively effective in the period from 1965 to 2005 was the fact that the prejudices that were behind many of these things were struck down by the Justice Department, but it certainly leaves a lot of scope there in the John Lewis Voting Rights Act for a Justice Department to do nothing. But nevertheless, it would at least create the groundwork to do more to challenge these forms of laws. But what we can see with both laws, whether it's the For the People Act or the John Lewis Voting Rights Act, they have almost no chance to pass Congress. They certainly cannot pass Congress without the repeal of the filibuster rule, which requires 60 votes. The Democrats, of course, only have the 50 votes plus the tie breaking of the Vice President Kamala Harris. So this is the political crux of the whole thing now, is whether or not Democrats will be willing to amend the filibuster in order to push voting rights. President Joe Biden is saying that he's open to that, but it seems in many ways, because you need a certain amount of votes to actually end the filibuster, that they might not be able to get a majority of Democrats to even agree to this because of the Joe Mansions and others who are out there who are obstructionist. But it does seem like there's now more momentum behind the issue of amending the filibuster for one of these acts to pass, but it's very unclear what's going to be possible. And I think there are many, including some who boycotted President Biden's speech in Georgia who don't feel, and I'm talking about voting rights activists here, who don't feel that the Democrats are willing to put the political capital on the table to make this filibuster change happen. So I would say most people are thinking there is very little chance that either these bills will pass or the filibuster will be amended, but the sort of heat and light around it is continuing to grow. It's a major flashpoint issue for the black population, and this is an election year. And so looking to try to pander to different voting groups is certainly something politicians are always looking to do. So I think it's very up in the air, but I would say the odds on chances are not good for these bills to pass. And I believe it's very likely we will go into the fall voting season here in the United States with a number of new restrictions on tens of millions of voters around the country. And finally, in the face of political gridlock, grassroots movements and progressive political organizations have been adopting a number of strategies to counter the impact of these laws. Many have focused on taking steps to ensure greater turnout. What are the various approaches taken by organizations in light of the attack on voting rights? You know, voting rights activists on the ground are doing a number of things to try to to counter these attempts. And the first thing I think most people are doing is trying to double down on voter education, recognizing in many of these places that may be difficult legislatively to stop any of this from happening, explaining to people what are the restrictions? What IDs do you need? When can you vote? Where can you vote? So essentially having to build out a even larger infrastructure in order to not just turn out voters, but to make sure people know and have the information they need to actually vote is a big part of that because I think many people are just assuming that there is a very good chance at the state level and in Congress, not that much is going to happen. And in many of these jurisdictions, the conservative forces control things. Secondarily, we have seen, you know, some entities and institutions wage lawsuits around particular elements of certain voting rights laws and certain voting rights practices, whether we're talking about the purging of voter rolls, which is very frequent in the United States, whether we're talking about voter ID and so on and so forth. So there are attempts on the legal front. And then of course, there are continued attempts at protesting at lobbying at mass civil disobedience. There's been a number of mass civil disobedience in Washington DC, the nation's capital out in Congress over the past three months, hundreds of people have been arrested, I think actually 100 and some 120 maybe on one day actually late in the year there in 2021. So we've seen a ramp up of those sorts of actions and activities as well to try to put pressure on legislative authorities to pull back from many of these, many of the most terrible of these bills.