when the narcissist fails to replace you you were never exclusive to the narcissist it was never just you and them you were never alone with them there were always other people involved because they're always on the hunt for new supply but they don't always find suitable sources sometimes they get it wrong and there are ways to tell it if they have picked someone who is no good for them there were a ways to tell if they have failed to replace you the narcissist may have been high maintenance when they were with you they demanded a lot of your attention they needed a lot of your time money and efforts to keep themselves in good condition so when they fail to find a suitable replacement for you you will begin to see that they have let themselves go they become careless in their habits and appearance because they pay less attention to themselves than they used to they've allowed themselves to become unkempt and overweight so now they look untidy and unattractive they look like something that can't dragged in because their supply is what gives them the fuel to maintain themselves without supply they just seem to give up on life they don't care about anything anymore they become depressed they develop addictions to food alcohol drug shopping or gambling because they're trying to distract themselves from that unpleasant reality they don't feel comfortable with their new supply they're miserable which is why you don't even have to worry about getting revenge on the narcissist they sabotage themselves they lost the best thing that ever happened to them the person who never would have given up on them the person who was there for them through thick and thin and at all circumstances no matter how difficult you always supported and stayed with them but they left and they tried to replace you and most often they end up with someone who is already in a relationship and they're just their side chick they're just their bit on the side they're not anything special or important like they were to you they were everything to you and they gave that up to be nothing to someone else which is why they're not looking as good as they once did when you first met them they were in good shape they took good care of themselves but now they've gained weight they're miserable they're depressed and it's a part of their karma you can't treat people like garbage and then expect to get away with it but you will notice that everyone begins to turn against you suddenly their family members are starting to look really mad they will start to treat you differently because the narcissist is going through something the narcissist is suffering and they're blaming you for everything that they caused because they don't take accountability for anything they don't admit their faults so they will play the victim they will lie they will make false accusations they will tell their family members that you ruined their life they will say that you prevented them from doing other things and even though they've already done this to other people before you their family will still support their false narrative they will still enable the narcissist behavior they won't hold the narcissist accountable for their actions because they're just as toxic as the narcissist they're of like kind which is why they will eventually begin to destabilize because they're surrounded by negative toxic people and they need some positivity and like to balance out the darkness but sometimes the people they drag into their lives are just as negative and toxic as they are so when they decided to bail on you they lost all of the positivity and light that they were once embraced with and now they're entering a downward spiral of misery and self-destruction they're beginning to sabotage themselves they're depressed but they don't want you to see it they don't want you to know about it so they will stop talking to you they will block you on social media because they're ashamed of what they've become and they don't want you to see that so they will ghost you because they already know they're no good they already know that they're toxic but sometimes they will post their supply on social media in an effort to distract themselves from their intense dislike and disgust for themselves even though their new supply is not even remotely of the same quality as you but the more they try to showcase their supply to you it should only reveal to you how miserable they actually are it should tell you that they have failed to replace you thank you for watching I hope this video will resonate with you please like comment share and subscribe if you would like to donate my PayPal link is in a video description coaching inquiries you can email me at coaching at archsurvivor.co.uk thank you for watching and I'll talk to you soon


I'm here at the research symposium with my friend, Jack, talking about the metaverse. Okay, Jack. Let's break this down. I feel like this is a really hot button conversation right now. Tell us why you chose to do a deep dive on the metaverse. Yeah. I chose to research the metaverse. So I've run multiple social media accounts throughout my life with tens of thousands of followers. So I've produced content that has reached millions of people and I've used these platforms extensively. So to say the least, I'm very interested in social media platforms and in my applications to the Humanities Institute, I talked about technology's effects on time and human experience. So I referenced the American author, Rebecca Solnit and her research on temporality and how technology is really affecting the way we perceive time. So I decided that when I got into the Humanities Institute, I would write about the metaverse because of the novel nature of this topic since this announcement of meta becoming Facebook or Facebook becoming meta was released in October of 2021. Yeah. Absolutely. It's so interesting. Yeah. Can you break down some of your findings from your project for us? Sure. So my project focuses on the meta rebranding. So Facebook becoming meta platforms pioneered by Mark Zuckerberg and the platform becoming more metaverse focused. So what that means is the metaverse is essentially a or will be a virtual reality and augmented reality model of the Internet. So you're not on the Internet, you're in the Internet. It's this embodied experience. So what I do is I trace the rise of big tech companies and social media platforms to the rise of neoliberalism in America around the 1970s up to today. So I look at in the past decade, the rise of surveillance capitalism, which uses human experiences and interactions on these platforms for hidden commercial practices and what that means for for us. So I look primarily at the implications that social media platforms have on our lives. So implications like this feeling that time is running out a blurring of labor and leisure time on these platforms, a new construction of the social and the individual, and then an ideology of inevitability and ubiquity. And then I finish off talking about platform discourse and the power and importance of platforms not only in the US, but globally. Wow. I feel like it is so true when you're on social media or time is just erased. So I can totally relate to that. Yeah, most people can. Yes. Let's talk about faculty. How is faculty involved in helping you with this research? Is there one faculty member that was really instrumental in this project? Yes. Anne-Marie Ittins has been kind of mentoring me throughout this project and advising me, helping me out with fleshing out my ideas and helping me out finding sources. And I've also been kind of advised by other members within the Humanities Institute and the director who urged me to research temporality and technology, Nells Pearson. Sure. So the research symposium is a great place to talk about all of your hard work. How has the day been going so far? It's been going pretty well. I've had some people stop by, some students, professors, friends to ask me about my research and let me talk about my ideas. Sure. And what's next? What's the next stage of this wonderful project? That's a great question. I'm nearing the end of the writing portion of it. It's a pretty expansive project, so I'm thinking that in the near future I can expand on a lot of these ideas because there's a lot in here and maybe create a larger project or even a book with it. Absolutely. Jack, thank you so much. Thank you. Your hard work is so impressive. Thanks for chatting with us.


That's pretty much how I dance too, namaste, or should I say, inlaq-hach alaqeen. Anyway, every culture has their own unique way of greeting one another. For example, many spiritualists are familiar with namaste, which is a Hindi word. In Sanskrit, namaste means bowing, and tei means to you. Many interpret namaste to mean the light in me honors the light in you. In Hinduism, namaste means I bow to the divine in you. Namaste everyone, namaste everyone, namaste everyone, namaste everyone, namaste, namaste everyone, namaste. Well, namaste viches. How rude! When Mayans meet each other, they have a saying called inlaq-hach alaqeen, which can be interpreted as two different meanings. I am you and you are me, which is the traditional Maya saying, and I am another you, which is a more modern interpretation. By saying inlaq-hach alaqeen, you're honoring the oneness that we all share and have in common with one another. It shows respect to those you come in contact with while recognizing the importance of being one, not only within ourselves, but with the Great Spirit. Inlaq-hach alaqeen expresses unity and oneness with all of creation, including Mother Earth. It's a very heart-centered greeting that mirrors our souls to one another and basically sends out good karma to everyone you say this to, as well as to yourself. It takes into account the bringing of others into our manifestations and collective consciousness as we realize that we have so much more in common with one another. Namaste. Inlaq-hach alaqeen. We'll be able to find on n5d.com, so be sure to check that out. Until the next time, this is Greg Prescott, sending you all infinite love and light. Namaste.


Welcome to this screencast on section 8.3 using the ratio test. This is a particularly important test for the rest of this chapter, so we're going to spend some time on it. Here's a reminder of what the ratio test says. If we have an infinite series, ak, then we calculate this limit. The thing to notice is this limit is the ratio of the subsequent term of a series divided by the current term. This is the same sort of calculation we would do to find the common ratio in a geometric series. But in this case, we take a limit as k goes to infinity. And if we get a number, r, or if we get infinity, then we can use that to determine what the series does. If r is between 0 and 1, including 0 but not including 1, then the series converges. And in fact, it converges absolutely, which is something we'll learn about in the future section. If r is bigger than 1, and that includes infinity, then the series diverges. But if we get r is exactly equal to 1, then the test is inconclusive and we have to try another test. The ratio test is useful because it treats a series as if it were geometric, and it calculates what the common ratio would be. So of course, we can use this on series that aren't geometric. But what the test does is it takes the ratio of two terms, and by taking the limit as k goes to infinity, it calculates what this ratio eventually comes out to be as the terms of the series go along. And then we can use almost exactly the same numbers as we would with a geometric series. This test is often used with exponents and factorials since they'll cancel in the fraction that we have to calculate. So let's get on to an example here. Our first example is to determine the convergence of this series. Well, this series has both an exponent and a factorial, so it's a great candidate for the ratio test. And that's probably the first one I would try. So I have my limit already set up here. In the numerator, I need the k plus 1th term. So that just means every k will turn into a k plus 1, which is not too difficult to calculate. So I have a 3 to the k plus 1 over, and for the k factorial that turns into a k plus 1 factorial, notice the parentheses. I'm taking the factorial of the whole number, k plus 1. My denominator is the kth term, so that just looks like this. We often end up using the ratio test with fractions, and so it's good to simplify those fractions quite a bit. The way I'll do it here is I'll multiply by the reciprocal of the bottom to get me just a single fraction. So I'll start out with the same numerator, and then I'm multiplying by the reciprocal of the denominator. And I can see right away that a lot's going to cancel. My 3 to the k's are going to cancel, leaving just a 3. So I'll do that step first. I'll have a 3 here, and also a k factorial left over.  All the 3's in the denominator have canceled. Now we're going to take a look at a really common maneuver with this sort of thing, which is to simplify factorials. So here's my limit one more time. I'm going to write out what the factorial actually means. So I have a 3 out front from the powers. Now I'm going to write the k factorial. That's 1 times 2 times 3 and so on, all the way up to k. And in the denominator where I have a k plus 1 factorial, well that also means 1 times 2 times 3 and so on. Up to k, and then it goes one more. It goes up to k plus 1. Putting back in the absolute values, which do matter here, as we'll see in the future, I can see that a lot of this is going to cancel. In fact, everything in the factorials will cancel, except for that k plus 1. And so I'm left with this limit. I left with a 3 in the numerator, and a k plus 1 in the denominator. And that comes out to 0. That's good, because one of the numbers I can use with the ratio test is 0, and that says that this series converges. Think of this as exactly the same sort of conclusion you'd get with the geometric series test. So in this case, I can write something sort of like this. I can say, therefore, this series converges by the ratio test, and it would be nice to add because r equals 0, or the common ratio after this limit comes out to 0. So here's our classic example of how to use a ratio test. We'll do two more examples that show slightly different circumstances. So here's our next example. Determine the convergence of this series. So notice I've changed my index to n. That's fine, my index can be anything as long as I'm careful with it. So I'm going to write out that common ratio again. Now I will point out the ratio test might not be your first choice for this series. And so you might actually want to pause and think what would be a good choice of a test for this series. All right, so I'm going to write out what the ratio test would give us because I want to demonstrate the ratio test here. And if I do this, I can combine these very quickly and see that I'm going to get an n over an n plus 1, and that limit comes out to 1. So this says that the ratio test is inconclusive, which just means that we don't know. Doesn't mean that we actually know any kind of conclusion. It means we'd have to go to another test. So you might remember there's lots of other options for this one. For example, we could use the integral test, or we could just remember that this is the harmonic series, and we've seen several reasons why this diverges. So we could actually say, for example, that this is a p-series, if you remember those, from the integral test, with p equals 1, so it diverges. So if you get a ratio of 1 from the ratio test, you need to find another test and use that. All right, let's take a look at one last one here. Here's another example of a series. For this one, it's reasonable to use the ratio test, but again, you should pause and see if you can think of a simpler way to deal with this series. All right, we are going to use the ratio test to demonstrate what it does. So I'm going to write out the k plus 1th term here. All the k's become k plus 1s, which does involve a lot of writing, but this isn't too difficult to do. And again, because we have a fraction like this, a lot is going to simplify, and that's a good reason to use the ratio test. So again, I'm going to multiply by the reciprocal, but before I do that, I'm going to notice that these absolute values will just kill off the negatives here. They're gone entirely, and so I'm going to remove those. It's not that they cancel, it's that the absolute values remove them. So when I write equals here, it's equal because the absolute values will get rid of negatives. All right, so in the numerator, I still have an e to the k plus 1, and the denominator, I still have a 2 to the k plus 1. Multiplying by the reciprocal, I'm going to get a 2 to the k and an e to the k. Now you can see that a whole lot of things are going to cancel here. Those e's will go, the 2's will go, and I will be left with just the limit as k goes to infinity of e over 2. And if you remember that e is a little bigger than 2, that's a number which is a little bigger than 1. So that says that this series diverges using the ratio test. So you could write that this way, therefore this series diverges by the ratio test. You might have noticed that this actually is a geometric series. So we could have used just the geometric series test and noticed that the common ratio was actually negative e over 2, and that's again outside of the range from negative 1 to 1 where the geometric series automatically converges. So this is a good example of why the ratio test really does act like a geometric series test. It treats a series just like a geometric series, and if you have a geometric series, you'll get the common ratio with absolute values on it. And if you don't have a geometric series, you'll get something related to it that shows what ratio your terms eventually get.


the injuries are, you know, part of the game. I think, uh, nobody's gonna feel sorry for us. Uh, I think it's a great opportunity when you have the depth that the Yankees have. And it's an opportunity for other players to step up. But, uh, certainly, uh, you know, teams like the White Sox and other teams, um, you know, are teams that you need to beat and you should be beating, you know, two out of three, three out of four for sure. Yeah, I was, I was talking to the Michael last week, we could talk about long term having all these players out. It could be devastating, but on a given day, do you have enough to beat the White Sox this weekend, last weekend? Did you have enough to beat Baltimore and Detroit? And they do. And yet they're losing these series.  Yeah, you know, absolutely. And again, you know, with the New York Yankees, right? And we're playing at home and nobody should be able to come to Yankee Stadium and dominate you. I mean, I think this is the first time in a hundred years that we've lost, uh, you know, three, uh, home openers, right? Second time for last time was 1982. That's the only two times down in history. They've lost the first three series. Yeah. So, Don, I mean, the Yankees, our goal is always to win a world championship.  One thing I've always said about Alex, the listeners know it, Don and Peter know it. I used to sit down with him. It would be like a master's class in baseball. So I've been saving this question to ask you this. The analytics, I buy into analytics, Alex. I'm not saying it doesn't work. It does work. But the one thing that loses me, and a guy like Paul O'Neill said this is what loses him too. I always have this argument with Aaron Boone. They don't believe in hot. If you have four hits and you're supposed to have a day off tomorrow, they're giving you a day off. Alex, you played at the highest level for 20 years. Is there hot? Should we believe in hot? If you don't believe in hot, you've never played baseball. Paul O'Neill is 100% correct.  When you're cold, it speeds up and it looks like a golf ball. That's, that's what I would figure, too. But they say, listen, if you're hot and have four hits and you're facing a pitcher the next day that we don't think you could hit, well, why should you play? But that pitcher might not be unhittable if you're feeling good and you're in his own, right? I mean, you remember Michael Jordan had those six threes in the finals many, many years ago. Uh, you remember Tiger Woods over the years. I mean, if someone doesn't, again, Michael, it's frustrating. I love analytics and there's an enormous place for it, but there's a balance and it's a blend and there's a human element. And if you don't believe in human element, then you don't believe in a Larry Bird, you don't believe in a Bernard King, you don't believe in a Tom Brady, you don't believe in a Dustin Padrea, uh, and so on and so forth. You don't believe in Apollo Neil because, look, if you look at just data or you look at just absolute raw, if you don't know who everybody is, then I'm saying you can go box A or box B and I give you the set of tools of A and I give you the set of tools of B. You'll pick A every time. Well, A happens to be Raul Mandisi and B happens to be Apollo Neil. Guess what? Analytics you lost.  Macro trends are important.  You trust the work ethic. You trust the lifestyle and then you love the passion. If you're great at analytics, but your player doesn't like baseball and he's a drunk, then it's not going to work. Right.


Goggles aren't a real thing. Yep, new research has found that alcohol doesn't actually alter how attractive you find a person. Participants' attractiveness to a person remain the same before and after they consume multiple drinks. What alcohol can do is give you the liquid courage to make a move on an attractive person that you might not have approached before the booze. So your vision isn't getting blurred, you're really just feeling yourself more.


Dear students, in this module, we are going to discuss postponing job hunting for education. In contemporary societies, education is often viewed as a prerequisite for economic success and social mobility. As a result, many individuals choose to postpone job hunting in order to pursue further education such as attaining graduate school or completing vocational training. Today, education is very important and it is considered a very important answer for social mobility. This is why education is given a lot of preference in the employment sector. In traditional societies, when the child was older, he would engage in some occupation or profession. His learning mechanism used to be on-spot training. But today, all these mechanisms have been changed and we see that our training starts later. Before that, through theoretical learning and education, we acquire a special degree and then job opportunities are possible. The major delay in all these processes comes on to your job hunting process. Especially as societies are developing, populations are increasing, and competition is also increasing, so we are seeing that governments also deliberately introduce some policies because of which the process of job hunting is relatively delayed. For example, let's look at Pakistan. The basic requirement for a job was graduation. Today, we see that after the master's and master's graduation, MFIL has become our basic qualification in any job hunting process. This delaying mechanism or delaying tactic ensures that the unemployed population is not increased. When more and more people are in the process of education, then the total unemployment rate is different. But the thing to look at along with this is that if the job hunting process has an impact on education, then does it have advantages for your teachers or disadvantages? Some proponents say that it has a lot of advantages. The more specialized skills and education you acquire, the more bright chances you have that you can excel in any profession. On the other hand, the critics say that the more you delay your job hunting process, the more you lose. Because the people who are in the early career or very early in the job process have more chances to excel, the people who are in the early career will start late. It's a very interesting contestation to see. Particularly when we talk about Pakistan, then higher education is often seen as a means to secure better employment opportunities and social status. However, postponing job hunting for education can have both positive and negative consequences. Because on the one hand, further education can enhance an individual's skill and knowledge, making them more competitive in the job market. While on the other hand, postponing job hunting can delay an individual's entry into the workforce, potentially leading to the loss of income and missed opportunities. Additionally, the cost of education can be a barrier for individuals who wish to postpone the job hunting for education. When we talk about postponing, then the cost of education has to be seen at the expense of that cost that we delay our job hunting process. So, from this point of view, the investment you make in your educational career, if you invest in your job or in your business, then you may gain more benefits in the future. Along with this, we see that if we have to understand all these processes, whether the job hunting process should be delayed for the sake of education or not, then we should evaluate the potential benefits and drawbacks by postponing the job hunting for education. And we can also develop the policies and interventions aimed at supporting individuals in making informed decisions about their education and career paths. So, the decision to postpone the job hunting for education is in a nutshell influenced by a variety of factors, including economic conditions, social norms, and personal aspirations. So, when we talk about the major factors that why we are postponing the jobs, the major factor in this is your existing economic conditions. If you are from an affluent family, regarding your future, if you're having enough money to support yourself, then you don't need to worry too much about it, so you can continue your education. But on the other hand, those who are the sole breadwinner of their family, it's the most important thing for them to start their career as soon as possible. Similarly, the social norms and your personal aspirations play an important role in this process, that how much aspiring you are, what your future career should be, and at what level of education can you get to access that career. So, it's a food for thought for you to see which career requires the highest degree for them, and what are the highest degrees, and what number of academic years are required in them, especially. In Pakistan, you can do a comparative analysis of the average age of the entry into the job market in western societies, and what is the average age of the entry into the job market in Pakistan. Making this comparison, you can have a better understanding of the view that how people are entering into the job market after getting education.


What is going on everybody? It's Toss here. Welcome back to another video. So in this video, we're going to be doing an overall market update, taking a look at the Dow Jones, the S&P 500, and the Nasdaq. We're also going to be doing a trading update talking about what I did today in the markets, as well as some stocks and ETFs that I'm watching and looking to trade right now in the month of October in 2019. And as you guys read in the title, there is one stock in specific here that I personally think has breakout potential if it gets above this specific level. So keep an eye for that stock here in a couple of minutes. Stay tuned if you do want to see what that stock is. And if you enjoy this video, guys, at any moment in time, feel free to go down below, hit that like button, and consider subscribing if you do want to see further content about the stock market, investing, and trading. And last thing, before we get into it, there are two links down below the Discord group chat and the Facebook group, if you do want to be further connected with the StrafSmart community, my personal community that has over a thousand people in it in terms of the two platforms combined. So let's get into it, guys, starting off here with the SPX, the S&P 500 index that ended up closing the day today, up $8.26 here, up 0.28%. And the overall trend that we're seeing right now on the 4-hour chart, as you can see based on these trend lines, is this wedge. We're making lower highs at the same time as we're making higher lows, right? We're making higher lows based off of these points here, $27.30, $28.40, you know, $2900, those are all higher lows, but at the same time, we're making those lower highs. The all-time high is the first one at around $30.27 here on the S&P, then at around $30.15. And now at around $3,008, as we did end up hitting that point today, and then slowly starting to fall from there, as you can see on the intraday chart, that really solidified this level as the start of the next lower high that I am seeing. And again, we're in this wedge, and it seems like the S&P has been struggling to maintain this $3,000 level, although we've been seeing many little pushes here over the past couple of days. And technically, we see an uptrend here on the SPX on this 5-day-5-minute of higher highs and higher lows, right? Despite the fact that we are struggling to hold $3,000. And why am I saying that? It's because here you guys can see on the 11th, we got a double top at around $3,000, $29.95 roughly, right? The following day we dumped, the day after that, we got above $3,000 briefly, but we failed to maintain it as we dumped again the next day, right? We were trending down below $29.90 actually. And then today, we had a brief pop above $3,000. We tried holding it briefly here, but ultimately we failed all the way down to about $29.92. We fell down to around $29.92 rather, and really just ended up closing the day right as you see here at around $29.97. So overall, the S&P, the markets in general, they've been trucking along over these past couple of days, but I feel like they've been struggling at these levels. And that's mostly in my opinion because it's earning season. I think the overall market wants to see what a lot of these big name companies are going to report, what their guidance is going to look like, because that's a huge gauge in terms of how the overall economy is going and obviously how the individual, especially the large individual stocks and companies are doing on their own. So I think if we get some good news about some large companies, that overall news will probably end up pushing the S&P up higher here and the overall markets. So some levels to watch out for, $29.50 on the downside, on the upside, obviously it's that all-time high at around $30.25. And of course, we'll play it by ear until we do end up going to the upside here or the downside in terms of looking at other levels of support. But let's say hypothetically we break $29.50, we may be going down $28.80, $28.50 and of course, the lowest support here that I can see based on this chart is at around $27.30. So those are some levels to watch on the S&P. The Dow Jones industrial average didn't do as well as the S&P today, only up 24 points, up not even .1% today. And you can see the same wedge pattern on the 4-hour chart here, we're struggling at a lower high at around $27,000 right now, that's a lower high from the previous at around $27.200. The support that I'm looking at on the Dow right now, if we do end up getting rejected by this resistance of the wedge, is going to be around $26.6. So watch that level, maybe we end up holding that if we do end up selling off. On the flip side, if we break out, let's say we get some good earnings, I know Boeing's reporting earnings here soon, I don't know if their earnings will be good, to be honest, there's probably won't be good due to their whole plane situation and I'm sure a lot of you guys know about that at this point. But nonetheless, if some Dow companies do well, that can definitely shoot the Dow up in a major way, up to that all-time high at around $27.300, it's just something worth just watching out for right, all of these earnings reports. And if we go into the one day, one minute, we can see we popped up $27.1 today, sold all the way down to $26.9. And if we go back to this 20-day chart, you can see we've kind of been struggling around this $27K level, although we did close above it today, which is good. We failed multiple times to really make that push that run up to the all-time high at around $27.300. And again, if these earnings are good, this can definitely be the catalyst that does end up moving us up here to those all-time highs on the Dow. So the NASDAQ guys did not end up closing up $5. I think it was up like $30 in terms of Yahoo Finance. This is the future, so that is why it's looking a bit funky here after hours. But nonetheless, the NASDAQ did end up closing green as well. I think it did better than the Dow. I think it might have done better than the S&P as well. But that doesn't really matter. All you have to know is that it did end up closing green today. And overall, unlike the S&P and the Dow, the NASDAQ's actually out of this wedge. You guys can see I have it drawn out here. We actually broke out, and now we're looking to test the next resistance, which is at around $79.50 to around $79.90. I guess you can even say $8,000. This is the next strong level of resistance that I'm seeing. And if we do break that, I think that's going to be a 50-point gap fill up to that all-time high that we are seeing here at around $8,050. So you can see that if we do break that, I think it could easily fill up 50 points to that all-time high. And overall, we are at a resistance right now. So it's interesting to see what we're going to do here. Are we going to pull down? If we do, we may be going back down to $7,800, $7,850, which is a strong level of support right now on the Dow, rather than NASDAQ, because it was an old resistance back a couple of months ago towards the end of April, towards the beginning of May in 2019. So those are some levels. It's looking a bit more bullish, levels to watch, rather, but it's looking a bit more bullish than the S&P and the Dow, which is a pretty good thing here. We saw Netflix stock run up like crazy, speaking of tech stocks in general here, guys. This one was up like insane yesterday. It was up like up to 315 points after hours. Now you can see it dump back down to 293. We'll take a look at this one more in depth here in another video maybe, or maybe even later in this video. So overall, S&P, Dow, NASDAQ, slightly green today, markets in my opinion, they're kind of calming down here for earnings. They want to see what's going to happen again with the large companies, guidance, profits, revenues, EPS, all of these different metrics. That's what the market's waiting for in my opinion. So let me know down below, what do you guys think about the market, stock market in general, earnings, what stocks are you watching individually? I'd love to know what you guys have to say about that. So let's talk about what I did today in terms of my trading. I ended up trading UWT very quickly and let me tell you why. UWT is an inverse ETF and its inverse is DWT, right? And these two, they trade obviously based on what I pulled up on the screen right here, which is crude oil, also known as slash cl. That's the ticker symbol, that's how you can find it if you're using thinkorswim or whatever other charting software you're using. And overall, I see the strong support on crude oil and I'm sure you guys can see it as well here at around 52 bucks. We can see we doubled or maybe even triple bottomed a couple of months ago, back in the beginning of June, we ran up all the way to 60 bucks. We sold off all the way back down to that same level of support that we triple bottomed at June, but this was in August. We held that level beautifully and we ran all the way back up to 56, right? Then we got that Saudi Arabia news, ran up to 62 bucks, then we sold off all the way back down here just about two weeks ago to that same 52 dollar level. We double bottomed, we ran up to 55 bucks roughly. Now we pull down again and what I was watching and what I talked about in the Discord chat and I also send a watch list on Facebook and Discord, which is why it's important for you guys to join those communities. What I said in the watch list was watch for the break of crude oil up to that 54-55 dollar level because we know how strong of a support 52 is. We saw how it was holding and consolidating there over the past couple of days. As you guys can see, all I was waiting for and again, I said this in the watch list was I want to see the break upwards up to that 54 level. That's going to be very bullish and what did we get today, guys? We got exactly that. It wasn't in the morning. It took a bit of patience here today, but I ended up catching it and we ended up getting that move that we needed to see in the middle of the day right around noon Eastern Standard Time. Obviously, I didn't catch it at noon, but once I started to see it running up, it was about an hour, hour and a half later, I was like, okay, crude oil is really making a run here. Might as well take a little position because I didn't really trade up to this point. I was thinking to myself, might as well take a position in UWT, set a tight stop. We're at a good point in crude oil where I think the reward outweighs the risk. So why not? Why not put some money in it, put a tight stop? And that's what I ended up doing, guys. At around 130, we can see how aggressively this was moving up and you're probably saying to yourself, you should have got in at 960. Well, at this point, guys, you really can't time everything perfectly. At this point, I didn't know that we were going to run up, but once we got the confirmation on crude oil, it was about 30 minutes after that, I was thinking, okay, now I have to plan my entry, and I ended up getting into crude oil, or not crude oil, UWT, which again goes up when crude oil goes up. I got in at around 985, I believe, once we started to peak above this resistance here. And that was risky, I'll be honest, guys, which is why I set a tight stop, but I just wanted to ride it out. I saw potential in it. And again, I've been calling it out over the past two days on the watch list.  And then I ended up putting some money in and then I ended up getting a nice return on that. I think it was close to 2%, guys, ended up selling as we started to peak into the 10s here, I think like 10.05. And yeah, that's pretty much it. I see a lot of potential here in crude oil and UWT and honestly DWT at the same time, because let's say we do fill up to 54.50, which I think is very possible at this point. We get rejected there and start to push down. We may be going back down to 52, which in that case DWT, which goes up whenever crude oil is going up, would be a very good option in my opinion. So guys, just watch it, right? Last time we were in this predicament. Take a look at this time period back in June. I think yeah, this was June, really the whole month of June pretty much, the first 20 days. This is literally history repeating itself in a way. We were in this little horizontal channel from 54.50 down to about 52 bucks. Then all of a sudden, we got up to 54 and then we broke out all the way to 60, right? So watch that. Watch this 54.50 level. If we start to see a breakout from here, this can offer some massive, massive gains in UWT as this crude oil itself has about a 10% profit margin from 54 up to 60. You have to think UWT is a 3X ETF, so it probably has around 30% margin if crude oil does end up filling that gap that we just talked about. So that is honestly what I did today and kind of strategy and a plan of what I'm looking for for these next couple of weeks in terms of crude oil, UWT and DWT. So that is the first, honestly, ETF pair or ETN pair rather than I'm watching here over these next couple of weeks. The stock that's looking to break out that you guys saw in the title is this one right here that I'm about to type in. Let me show you guys this one, ABV. ABBV. This one is setting up interesting right now. It can either blow up in my face and not go according to plan or this can be a very good winner if it's coupled with a strong earnings. As you guys can see here, earnings coming up on the 1st of November. Think about this guys. We may, this is the interesting thing about ABV right now. We may or may not pull down before earnings, which honestly could even open up more profit, right? Or we may not do that. We may end up breaking out before earnings, which is kind of what I want to happen, right? And this point right here is the breakout point. And you guys can see on the 4-hour chart, take a look at why, right? This is a clear level of resistance right now at 76.50, but it was once a level of support back in these months, really in the beginning of 2019. You guys can see, even if we go to the one year one day chart, excuse me, you guys can see how strong of a support this is. And we can even zoom it back months before that. You know, heading back to almost a year now, literally almost a year now, 77, 76, this level we held it once, twice, three times, four times, five times, six times. And ultimately, we dumped aggressively. I think this is where we got that, or no, I don't think this is where we got that merger. Either way, I don't know what time period that was, but ABV did merger, have a merger with Allergen, right? A huge merger. The stock didn't like it. It fell. I don't know if it was here or if it was before, but either way, the stock's been down trending, right? And once we saw that massive dump, that 76 level became a massive level of resistance, right? So now we're looking to test it again. And if we break out, guys, if we really look at how much money we can make profit potential here in terms of percentages, you know, up to 81.50, that is a level that it can definitely fill to, right? That's a resistance level. Honestly, one of the next resistance levels that I'm looking at that's a major one, I guess you can say 80 bucks as well right here. But even up to 80 bucks, guys, that's a nice 4%. If you're looking to swing trade ABV, you know, maybe if you wait after the earnings, but there's no guarantee you'll be able to get a good price after the earnings if they do very well after earnings. But let's say it's before earnings for the sake of the video, you know, let's just actually take earnings out of the picture, right? If you want to swing trade this, you know, you can make 4% from where it is right now, right? Based on where it is right now, 4%. If we go up to 81.50, which is the next resistance, that's a nice 6% to 7%. So ABV, it's definitely not one of these high fliers that has like 20%, 30% in store like maybe UWT, but you have to realize this is a lot safer than a UWT in terms of swing trading it in my personal opinion. And it's worth watching here, guys, trust me, this can either be a breakout, or it could end up selling off to earnings, which that could end up being good too, because if we sell off to earnings, maybe we get to $70.72, maybe we hit that 180 SMA again, couple that with a good earnings report, positive growth, whatever it may be, this could be an entry point where we can ride it back up to 76, because at that point 76 will still be a resistance that might be 6%. And if it breaks that level, we go to 81, which is why this could be a very good entry because look at how much potential you can make if that plays out. That's around a 12% to 13% if we get to 81 from a hypothetical $72 entry point if we do end up pulling back. That's if we do end up pulling back, right? But ABV, I'm liking it now, guys. It's looking really good in my book. It's worth watching, because it does have some breakout potential here. It surely, surely does. So another stock is Johnson & Johnson. This is one that's setting up pretty good right now. I almost blew the, I was about to say blew the trigger. I almost pulled the trigger on this one as a swing today, but I figured, let me sleep on it. Let me see what it does tomorrow, because like I mentioned in my video, I think it was yesterday. I think I also talked about this, maybe in the previous video as well, is this level 135, guys, this is a strong level of support now, especially since we're breaking, we did break into the 137s. That's very, very bullish. Now it seems like we're pulling down. So the fact that I didn't, or the reason why I didn't pull the trigger today is because I want to see a day of consolidation. And quite frankly, I want to see what it ends up doing tomorrow. Tomorrow, if we end up holding this, let's say we end up popping back up, that might be a good entry point because we confirmed the consolidation, the support. Now we're starting to pop, but I'm scared. And the risk involved with why I didn't end up getting in today is because let's say tomorrow we end up opening up, gapping down under the support. That's not going to be too bullish in my eyes. And honestly, that's just a risk in my opinion and why I didn't end up getting in today. But I still think there is a lot of potential here if we consolidate and start to pop up. And to see how much potential, guys, there's about 3% if we enter, really at the point it is right now at about 135, 136, and we exit at around 140. And again, this is not one of those high flyers, penny stocks, where you can make hundreds of percent. This is of more swing, strategic, safe swing, not a swing, it's more of a safe, strategic swing trade that honestly you can't blow your account with. Because the worst thing that can happen, guys, and I'm talking absolute worst here in my opinion, is that Johnson & Johnson goes to 130 overnight. And at that point, you lose 2-3% on your position, that's not that bad at the end of the day. If you're in one of these penny stocks that you hold overnight and you wake up and it's gapping down 40%, that's a lot worse than the 2% gap down on Johnson & Johnson, right, guys? So, you know, I'm watching this one, I'm watching Procter & Gamble, although Procter & Gamble is really just suffering right now. It's not doing much here. I want to see what it does at 116. Hopefully it does maybe consolidate and start to push back up heading into earnings. Let's see, right? This is a stock that I talked about in the previous couple of videos. I played this one before after their earnings because they dipped before their earnings last earnings period. And I got in after their earnings when they were still in that dip and I swing traded them. They ended up recovering and I made a pretty good amount of money on them. So, now I'm looking to do the same. Earnings, again, is coming up here in less than a week. So, I'm interested. Are they going to report good earnings? If they do, we're still at a discounted price. We're still at a dip here. This could be a good entry for at least a 6-7%. And based on how they've performed after earnings in the past, recovering, this is easy money at the end of the day, right? If they do end up recovering. We put money in here. We can make 6-7%, probably in about a month or two as this fiddles out and starts to continue the uptrend, right? So, PG, Johnson & Johnson, crude oil, of course, natural gas and U-Gas, guys. We got the report today. U-Gas ended up doing pretty good later on in the day. And let me show you guys. One day, one minute, we can see report dumped at favored D-Gas initially. Well, that's what the traders show here based on the price action, right? And then all of a sudden, we start to push up here on U-Gas. And honestly, guys, the report from the research that I did, there wasn't as many injections as recent history. And that's actually not that good for D-Gas because when there's high supply, right, where there's high supply, that is pretty good for, what's it called, guys? I'm blanking out right now. When there's high supply, that's pretty good for D-Gas, right? That's pretty good for D-Gas as supplies there. But then as demand starts to come in, right? As the heat starts to come in, that ends up going well for U-Gas. So, the fact that there wasn't as much production, there wasn't as much injections. Now, we're starting to see some cold weather. This shift can start to be, really, it's starting to maybe go to U-Gas here. Like I mentioned about a week and a half ago, that a week ago, I said, hey, maybe in two weeks, U-Gas might end up being the play. And we're starting to see some good moves here in terms of U-Gas. And natural gas is looking pretty good right now, holding this 230 level. And again, we're in 230 to 240. That's the range, right? If we end up dumping below 230, D-Gas might be in play. But right now, I'm thinking if we break 238, go to 240 and especially break that, U-Gas is going to be in play because, again, natural gas, it goes up. That's when U-Gas goes up. So, just keep an eye on those levels, guys. And you can see at the end of the day, the report based on what U-Gas did today, it ended up favoring U-Gas, right? It was up 55 cents, up 4.09% at the end of the day. And yeah, that's pretty good. So, I'll catch you all in the next video. I'll wrap it up here. If you guys did enjoy it, feel free to go down below, hit that like button, consider subscribing, and let me know down below in the comments what are your thoughts on U-Gas, natural gas, what are your thoughts on the markets in general, stocks, individual stocks, earnings. I'd love to know what you guys have to think about that. And don't forget to join our Discord group chat and our Facebook group and follow me on Instagram and Twitter. All of those links are down below. So, I'll catch you all in the next video. Thanks again for watching. Peace out.


It's that time of year to write a strong nomination for that deserving student in your life. What are the three tips for writing it? Stay tuned. My name is Karen DeVaren. I'm a project specialist at OTAN, ready to take you through those three tips. Here's the outcome for this little video is that you'll be able to write a strong nomination because of these three tips and you'll see the honorees below, picture below from 2023. Three tips.  Number two, compare stories with the rubric and three elaborate, elaborate, elaborate with anecdotes about your adult learner. Tip one, just read a few student stories on the CAESS webpage. What do you notice? What do you know about the writer when they draw the person in? What information would you tell the writer about? Hey, I didn't get enough information about the person's journey or of the ones you read, which ones stand out for you? Number two, compare stories to the rubric. Our scores always grade each nomination with the rubric and so they don't know your student and you wanna make sure that they do know it, know that person through your words that you write. So compare those stories with the rubric and you'll have a heads up. Tip, that same tip is sometimes a lot of nominations will say something like example one here. Like many adult learners, she has overcome a lot to come to our adult school. Yay, that's it, right? Because what did they overcome? Scores have no idea. So if you can go back to example two where the example shows that that student overcame a lot of life circumstances, they weren't able to go to school, they weren't able to read to their children so the person made stories up, this is showing that that person overcame a ton of obstacles. And last but not least, elaborate with details about the nominee. Make sure that you show the reader, those three scores, enough information about your nominee like in this example where the person learned quickly but struggled to be understood by her classmates and by English speakers in the community and her place of work, causing both English and determination that tells us so much about this person. Just to recap, read honorary stories, compare stories with the rubric and elaborate with anecdotes about the adult learner. Looking forward to seeing your nomination soon. Take good care.