The soldier can be a wonderful thing, providing you with a warm, comforting blanket of magical memories.  And today I shed a tear about those said films on this episode of Dunston Checks Out. It's a working title. I could still watch a lot of Family Flicks, but some of them hurt me. They cut me deep, Shrek. I want to talk about them now. Number five goes to Space Jam. And Caleb agrees with me right out of the gates on Twitter, saying he doesn't care for Space Jam anymore. Everybody get up.  Space Jam was one of the first CDs I ever owned, and I stand by that purchase. The film itself is another story.  Don't you do it, Adam.  Pokemon took up a good portion of my adolescence. I wasn't that young. When it came to movies featuring animals forced to beat the living shit out of each other, this film had a lot to live up to. It ended up being overly long, dull commentary telepathically communicated by a man-made Pokemon named Mewtwo. Baby stay out. It's like home alone, but with a baby. Follow along with the toddler on his misadventures as he inadvertently takes three men to the brink of death. An afternoon with Ramsay Bolton would seem like tea time in the park compared to what these three idiots endure in the swimsuit area. In the film Blank Check, a bad guy hits a boy with his bike and writes him out a blank check. The rest is history. Outside of an awesome in-house waterslide, nothing else makes sense. Bowie millionaire Preston is in love with a woman three times his age and his best friend is a clingy limo driver. The movie's also shot with wacky camera vision to really drive it all home. My number one pick goes to Three Ninjas. I'm not even sure they bothered transferring this one to DVD, but if they did, I imagine the poll quote is, Hey, we're better than surf ninjas, which is true. I've seen Three Ninjas approximately 286 times all before the age of 12. It combines all of young Adam's favorite things. Ninja turtle-like attitude and fighting skills with a Z. A homelone-esque middle section for a good measure. There's also a choppy slow motion pickup game of basketball. You know what? I still love this movie. I think Honey I Shrunk the Kids is still good. It has Rick Moranis and some awesome effects work. One thing I am sure of, this is the definitive best and worst list you're ever going to find. I got the Mighty Ducks trilogy in the house. Emilio Estevez coaches a ragtag group of hockey players by unconventional means. This trilogy is right up there with The Lord of the Rings. If you ask anybody that's under the age of eight and hasn't seen The Lord of the Rings, this list is insanity, isn't it? What a wild ride this has become. I bundled all the Disney films here in the number three spot. A talking little mermaid, the Lion King, Aladdin, Beauty and the Beast. And sure, why not Hercules? Whether you are witnessing under the sea magic, a stampede in the gorge, a tale as old as Time, or an epic Greek saga. You've never had a friend like these films. And for some kids out there, they were his only friend. The Sandlot is a baseball coming of age story and it's timeless. It features a fantastic lineup of kid actors, funny adolescent situations, memorable dialogue, and multiple references to the Sultan of Swat, the Titan of Terror, the Colossus of Clout, the King of Crash, the great Bambino himself, Babe Ruth.  The Rings is another kids being kids adventure and it makes the top spot for me. And this one's got all the fixings. Crazy gadgets, a Cindy Lopper soundtrack, Indiana Jones inspired set pieces, plank walking, Home Alone-esque pratfalls, a sloth of a man, and the classic truffle shuffle. I'd say this film is good enough. Cindy Lopper's song reference. Let's do a bad movie pitch. Gremlins and Gremlins 2 are gross, funny, and all around pretty awesome. It's time for a sequel that no one wants. Gremlins 3 will act as a soft reboot of the franchise. Billy Pelzer will be the father in this picture, gifting the little Mogwai to his daughter. There will be very little in terms of creativity or fresh ideas, but the movie will be competent enough to score some good paid reviews and springboard another Gremlins series. Yay. Now was that civilized? No, clearly not. Fun, but in no sense civilized.  You see things in a different light from when you were younger. A steel girder to the nuts was delightfully charming as a child, but becomes rather... Who am I kidding? It's still a beautiful experience to witness as an adult. Let's hear one more time from Twitter. Hunter's fave growing up was Batman and Robin. That's not just sad. That's bad parenting. Egotistical squirrel realized something I knew all along. Jurassic Park 2 and 3 are just not good. That's the show. Thanks for watching Richie Bitch. It's a working title brought to you by Guru Hub. Now let's end how we honestly always should with the truffle shuffle. You too can be part of the conversation by joining me on Twitter or Instagram. Watch for my comment and respond with the hashtag guru hub to possibly be featured in an upcoming episode.


Hey guys, what's up? It's Andy Elliott, 1% podcast here today with Will with Lumio Brothers, one of the baddest solar companies in the world, and they're growing really, really fast. Now today, we're not just going to talk about solar, what we're going to talk about is cells.  All that any men or woman ever has asked for in their life is an opportunity. And if you're in cells, you have it. Winners speak with their heart. And you can tell when you talk to them that they care about everything that they're around, they care about everybody they're talking to, and they're consumed with winning. They don't care if they're broke. Matter of fact, winners go back to broken on E and zero every day. Me and my wife, we go back to zero every day.   So, in cells, your goal is to constantly stay stirred up, constantly keep feeding yourself new information, study new people. And by the way, if you do this, you will become great very, very fast. Hey, guys, what's going on? It's Andy. A lot of you leave comments telling me that you need help. Do me a favor and tell you the best way to get a hold of me. Shoot me a text message right now,<PHONE_NUMBER>.<PHONE_NUMBER>. I'll help you with whatever you need.  Let's get back to the video. And my first day selling cars, my first day. I had no money. It was called a laydown. You ever had a solar guy walk up, knock on the first door, and he sells the first guy?  He's like, dude, everybody's a buyer. That's what I thought. And my manager told me, he goes, hey, listen, I'm not trying to be negative, but you just made a $1,700 commission and I'm afraid that that's going to ruin you. I go, no, dude, and my veins are on fire. I freaking see my future now.  You gave me a commission. I showed up to work one day. Some people, you'll show them how to make a cell that can make them a thousand. They'll be like, oh, well, I got to make three cells a month. That's 3,000. One guy will say, I can make three cells in an hour. That's 24. I can make 75,000 a day. It's like, dude, you're not built different. Okay. You want something that most people don't want. They say they want it, but they don't want it because your actions prove it. Okay. This world, it's our library. Will, it's our library. Listen, I'm a lot older than you. I'm 43. He's 28. Here's my point. He grew up on an iPhone. I didn't grow up on one. He grew up in technology. I didn't grow up on one. In 1999, when I was 18 years old and I was selling, I had to go read a book. I had to listen to cassette tapes, right? Cassette tapes. Dude, you can go play YouTube and watch everybody in the world that you want. It's so unfair, but this new generation, they're not winning faster. They're winning slower. And they say, well, we need more information. No, you don't. You don't need more information. You need to become wise. You have every tool in the world. People, your bloodline, your bloodline that were fighting saber-tooth tigers a long time ago that outlived the dinosaurs were praying that one day their generation was going to be in this era. And when they did and they had all the tools and all the technology and all these resources, they could only imagine what their bloodline was going to do with all these resources. And you're living in it and you're letting your bloodline down. And I'm telling you, dude, I don't take it lightly. And my family was poor because everybody was asleep. But I woke up and guess what? Now, my kids are woke. Now, my teens woke. Now, I've woke up millions of people. Now, my wife's awake. Now, I'm awake. Dude, it feels good. And as I share that with you, our goal and as we share this with you is that our goal is you guys are the future. Okay? And if you can stay in this state, you can stay in this place and you will fall in love with cells. And I mean, listen, me and my wife are marriage millionaires. We fall in love with each other again and again and again and again and again. If you see me and my wife, we always fall in love with each other harder every day. Who can fall more in love? Me more, me more, me more. I love you more. I love you more. I love you more. I don't just tell her I show her. Could you do that in business? Could you do that with cells? Could you fall more in love with cells every day? Yes. Hey guys, I just want to tell you the true one percenters. You made it to the end of the video. Do me a favor. Share it with the friend that wants to go to another level. Make sure you like the video. Comment below so I know who you are. Set your notifications and then subscribe to the channel. We got daily sales training videos dropping. I'll see you soon.


I'm Lisa Kearney, this is Fandall TV's more ways to win. We have been waiting two hundred and seven days to kick off this new NFL season and here we're doing the dang thing hyped for week one and oh you are too we're breaking down every game this weekend including the big Monday night matchup in Seattle plus revealing our experts best bets value futures picks and who you must have on your DFS roster right now. It's week one. Let's roll. I'm boys you all know the team here holding down in our Los Angeles studio with me our sports betting expert. Give me some of that. Let's do this our sports radio host Andrew Filippone there in Pittsburgh and then of course our NFL expert our analyst Cole Wright joining us on the bird from Chicago. It's week one guys let's do this and as usual lots to get to in this hour so let's get your minds right before we get to our experts got to make sure that you're prepped to place your bets now is the time to download the Fandall Sportsbook app so you can make any bet right from your phone and as a special thank you Fandall has a special offer for week one of the NFL season you're going to get a hundred and fifty dollars in free bets when you place your first five dollar wager so new users sign up deposit at least ten dollars in your account place your first five dollar bet to get that one hundred and fifty dollars in free bets deposit wager when it is truly easy as that. All right guys let's kick this thing off with a huge NFC match up here Tom Brady back for his twenty third season leading the Bucks into Dallas to take on those cowboys. This is your Sunday night viewing pleasure guys the line for this one has moved over the past week from the Bucks giving one and a half Dave to now giving two and a half Dave who are you backing here in Dallas. I'm not backing a 45 year old man that's going to have rust coming off of retirement. I think that Tom Brady is going to throw a couple of interceptions like he did last year in week number one. This is the identical matchup that we had last season in week one where the Bucks were at home and were a nine and a half point favorite and one on the last second field goal. Brady got picked twice. Look cowboys are going to be able to flip the script on that score last year and I think win this game. Brady's been a different quarterback away from his home field for a few years now Dave and that was emblematic and the against the spread road record of the Bucks last year. They were just three and six when they left the friendly camp confines of the big sombrero there with the pirate ship in the background Brady also playing without Rob Gronkowski. His security blanket is gone and his offensive line is a unit that was decimated by injury in the preseason. So I'm going to take the cowboys with the points and I'm even going to take them on the money line to win this game out right Lisa. You are not alone. I've heard hearing a lot of people that are swinging that way. All right guys. Let's get the right take now with Cole right Cole Tom Brady flat out does come to play in week one. I mentioned this last week he's 14 and three outright and his last 17 season openers does that trend continue. Well I'm not a big fan of the way that Dave and Pony are disrespecting Tom Brady just because he's 45 years old. He's not your regular man at 45 no doubt about that. But one thing we do know is that Cowboys fans that they are a romantic and passionate group. I mean let's get things straight. They haven't played in the Super Bowl since 1995 when cross colors and Z-Cat and the Ritchies were all the rage. Now Tom Brady he's played in the last six Super Bowls and he's won three of those last six and that he's been in and he's gotten after it for the last six he's been in. So when you take a look at Tom Brady and all the things that he's been going through and Cowboys I know you're feeling good about this 2022 campaign. But I think that the 10 big Buccaneers are going to make easy work of these boys a 34 to 20 to throw all the numbers out the window doing the thing on the road. There are a ton of fun profits available for this game and one of the most popular is first touchdown score. Check out the plus money here on the screen. You guys know how much I love that plus money. I want to get your pick and hear your reason why Dave you know on these first touchdown scoring bets in most games the running backs are always going to be the favorite. But last year when these two teams played all seven touchdowns were passing touchdowns. So I'm looking for value from a wide receiver Chris Godwin who missed the last three games of the regular season and the postseason finally practiced without a brace earlier in the week. I think he's hungry to get that first touchdown. I think Brady is going to get it to him. A friend of the show by the way. Yeah. We know how much Brady has loved Mike Evans in these situations. But the value just isn't there. So I'm going to take Julio Jones. Welcome to Tampa off a bad year in Tennessee. Brady a big red zone target with all those tight ends he lost. I'm going to take a flyer on 12 to one. OK. Well Chris Godwin we know how good he was last year when it came to rack him up yards. But you know I think the value really is with Mike Evans because he was the only guy on the box last year with double digit touch sounds. And I think that he and Tom are going to tap into that familiarity that they currently have make it seven zero nice and early. I'm going Mike Evans plus seven hundred. That sounds like some pretty serious though. Writing that philosophy as well as I just drafted him last night for my fantasy team. I know no one cares about my fantasy team. So let's get to the Chiefs at Cardinals guys. This game features two of the best young quarterbacks but both Patrick Mahomes and Kyler Murray now without their top targets.  He is suspended for PEDs for the first six games. Dave and Pony getting you guys back in here. Kansas City was a three and a half point road favorite last week. That number is now five and a half. Pony what do you make of this line. Well I am a little bit concerned about the line movement that it's been such a rush to make Kansas City a bigger favorite. But this is what will give me peace of mind Dave underdogs in week one last year 12 covered. It was an NFL record. It seems to me like there's such a lack of information because so few teams are playing their starters now in the preseason that a lot of these underdogs are undervalued in week one. And I think that's happening in this game with the Cardinals at home. A home dog for a playoff team last year. Give me the Cardinals. Yeah I'm with you. You know this is a weird matchup to begin with the Cardinals and the Chiefs really only score off once every four years. And the Chiefs typically don't face an NFC opponent in week number one. It's only happened twice in the last 24 years and they didn't cover any of those spots. But they haven't covered in Arizona the last three times there. To me this is a disrespect to a team that I think is very underrated this year. Yes they don't have Deandre Hopkins but they still have Kyler Murray. He just got paid and I'm betting them and I'm going to get paid. Cole are you going to get paid. You heard the guys pick which team do you have winning and by how many points. Yeah I will get paid but it will be in a whole different way than our other two guys because when you hear Patrick Mulhome speak he says that it could be anybody this season when it comes to that wide receiver position. And it's going to be an undisplayed two elite Texas high school quarterbacks. And at the end of the day when you look at Kyler Murray he was able to put the better body of work. However that new contract and those five and a half points I don't think it's going to really even matter in this one Patrick Mulhome. He's going to spread things around. He's going to make good use of every single option at his disposal. Twenty eight to twenty I see Kansas City getting the W here. All right let's move on here to any time at touchdown score guys.  Dave you're going to start us off with a value pick for this bet. Are you going are you going rogue a little bit. What do you think. Not too crazy plus money but Kyler Murray you know early in the season when he is healthy and he is fresh he loves to scramble and he loves to smell the end zone with his legs he scored a rushing touchdown in the first three weeks of the season two seasons in a row. So I think you can count on him to have those fresh legs and get in the end zone and score. I'm going to take this new fad we have in the NFL which is reuniting college quarterback with receiver. It was so successful with Joe Burrow and Jamar Chase last year. Copycat League Hollywood Brown Kyler Murray Oklahoma teammates. They already have the chemistry and I think they connect in this game. Well you know we're going to talk about Derek Harden Devontae Adams in just a little bit but in the meantime any time touchdown score in this one this is a Kyler Murray no disrespect zone because like they pointed out the man has a knack for sniffing out that end zone and over the last two seasons 16 rushing touchdowns. So I think I plus one ninety five Kyler Oh Murray his middle name pretty much says it all cash that ticket. All right guys are also dozens of season long player prop bets available on the Fandle Sports Book app but these bets are only available until the early games kickoff on Sunday. So make sure you check out what's available right now when we're taking you to that market right now and focusing on some quarterback props and Dave you know I'm coming right back to you. Let's start with Patrick Mahomes will the Chiefs quarterback go over or under 4,500 and a half regular season passing yards. What do you think that's a number that he's only missed once. And I think it's going to hit it. A lot of people think he might not because Tyrick Hill is gone and he's gone to Miami but he still has his number one target in Travis Kelsey and they've got you know I think enough help they lost three receivers they brought into they they drafted one in the second round in Skymore I think they'll be OK. I think Mahomes last year remember he went through that slump we only had one 300 yard game in a six game span and he's still in it up with 4800 and he had a down year 4800 to me. I think he hits it pretty easily. All right my fantasy quarterback by the way I thought you asked me that good. Hey Pony you get Aaron Rogers over or under 30 and a half regular season passing touchdowns for the back to back MVP. What do you think. I think the over is a sucker bet. I think people instantly look at this and say oh my goodness the back to back MVP can't throw more than 30 touchdowns in 17 games. Do the math. I mean if the average is two passing touchdowns a game he goes over but I don't think he will. I see a changing of the guard in Green Bay offensively. They don't have the receivers. I don't believe in Alan Lazard as a number one. And I think they're going to play turnover free football and run the ball Lisa in the red zone with Dylan and Jones. I'm going under going under. OK Cole this is a quarterback prop for you but it is a rushing one over or under 900 and a half rushing yards for Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson who by the way has given this week as a deadline to get that contract done. Oh he saw everyone else out there getting paid especially that Russell Wilson money so you know he wants to punch a few tickets but Lisa he's your backup quarterback on your fantasy team right but either way nine hundred and a half yards asked me the same thing last year and we know that last season the last four games you missed that in the playoffs because of that injury bug. So when it comes in Lamar Jackson you go back two seasons prior to a thousand yards plus a thousand yards plus so this looks to be easier than breathing right here. I'm going to go Lamar Jackson. He's going to be a huge piece to that running game to complement that tandem out of the back field go over. No doubt about it. Stay healthy go over. All right. Wrapping up this with a reminder for all of you a season long player props again are only available until early game early games kick off on Sunday. So make sure to take advantage of these odds right now on the Fandall sportsbook app. And while you're making money on your bets you can also win part of a $10,000 prize pool just by answering a few questions about the games this week. Now GMC is teaming up with Fandall for free to play GMC Sierra mountain climber pick up contest. All you got to do is log on to fandall.com slash free slash contest slash GMC mountain climber before the week one early games kick off on Sunday. You got to get to it. Answer a few questions about the NFL matchups for that week. The more answers you get right the higher you move up that mountain fans who get every answer right will reach the summit and of course win a share of that $10,000 prize pool paid insight credit guys it's free so make sure you log on right now to fandall.com slash free slash contest slash GMC mountain climber to enter the free GMC Sierra mountain climber pick up contest it's going on right now. Now if you don't win this week it's all good. You can enter every week of the NFL season to win a share of that $10,000 prize pool. Have fun. Enjoy the games and good luck and oh it feels so good to kick off this season right. Fandall TV is taking you along for the ride and we are just getting started here on more ways to win coming up our betting experts reveal their best week one spread bet and we're dipping in on daily fantasy. Our DFS expert is hooking you up with his three best value plays for week one stick around. We're coming right back. Yes, this is Fandall TV and yes, you're in the right place. You're watching more ways to win and it is time to get our betting experts best spread bets for week one with a little twist in a lot of trash talk. We call this segment bet emojis and here's how it works. I'm going to ask each one of you guys for your best week one spread bet. You give us your pick make your best case of why you're backing a certain team. The other two guys will react to your pick with an appropriate emoji. So yes, the pressure is on to impress and Dave you're up first. Give me your best week one spread bet. My best bet is the Pittsburgh Steelers to cover against the Cincinnati Bengals who have no business being favored by this much against the Steelers who essentially have owned them over the years. And yeah, so the Bengals make the Super Bowl last year and the Steelers come back and they don't have Ben Rothesberger for the first time in two decades. But doing a little bit of research, Mike Tomlin as an underdog with quarterbacks other than Ben Rothesberger is awesome with guys like Mesa Rudolph, Dennis Dixon, Duck Hodges, Michael Vick, Byron Leftwoods, Charlie Batch, 13, 3 and 2 against the spread. That's 81%. So give me a pro bowler in Mitchell Trabisky. I'm covering Dave likes to Steelers getting the points.  Come on, Cole. Yeah, double poop.   You look at since many Bengals have been able to do over the last quartet of all games versus those Pittsburgh Steelers. Yeah. Come on, Dave, you're better than that. That's why I have this right here. You're better. What's Tomlin's record against the spread when he faces Joe Burrow? Do you have that stat handy? I can find it for you. I'm sure it's pretty good. They were just as an underdog pony. Probably never happened. When's he ever been a dog against Joe Burrow? They just wanted to go out hot last year. They got blown out once. We get it.  What's your best spread bet for week one? Well, you know, everybody gets infatuated with the HBO Hard Knock series. And so the Lions are overvalued here because, oh, they've got this grit. They've got this will to win. They're so competitive they play hard. I prefer talent. And the Eagles added that in the offseason with the AJ Brown trade to go along with the best rushing team in the NFL. No one was better at it than the Eagles. That's because the Jalen Hurts and his dual threat ability and the best offensive line of the league. This line is too low. Last year, it was a five touchdown game. The Eagles blew them out. And I think they'll do it again. Deja Vu, Dave. Fire it up, guys. OK. I like that. Oh, look at that. Never money. That is a big pony win right there. That's a first. That's a first.  That's some more ways to win record. Don't want money. Cole, get that money. What's your best spread bet for week one? OK, well, you know, let's be real because the Jets, when it comes to them losing ball games, they lost 12 of 17 by seven or more last season. And Lamar Jackson, we know he's trying to get paid because everyone else saw them bring truck back up to their house.  The Jets quarterback play, no doubt about it. There's no way around it, even if everybody was at full strength, 100% health, and they'd still have abysmal QB play. And you just take a look at Baltimore and the matchup game. They also have the 11th easiest schedule. So I think they're going to get things started. I'm the right foot. This is easy money right here. Baltimore over the Jets. You can punch tickets and feel good. Take all your friends out to dinner if you don't mind. Guys, Raven's giving the points. Cash. Thanks, Basemart. I'll go to the pony. Explain yourself. Well, I just don't see how the Jackson contract thing is a positive. I think it casts a kind of dark cloud on things for him. How does he handle it? Does he play hyper aggressive and put his body on the line when he doesn't have guaranteed money? Does he want to play in the pocket more and pass it? Because he thinks that's his ticket to get big money? I don't know. I just think it's so strange that he doesn't have his contract done. And I would just be worried how that affects this game. That's all. All right. Maybe he's a baseball fan and he talked to Aaron Judge. Who knows? He's got 55 and counting. All right, you guys. We'll have more on that game coming up. Go ahead and tell our guys or make your own bets. Right now on the Fandals Sports Book app and new users, remember, take advantage of this special week one offer right now. Deposit at least $10 into your account. Make a bet of at least $5. You're going to get $150 in free bets because we love you, America. It's true. That's why we're here. All right. Rolling out here on more ways to end out. Let's take a look at some more season-long player props that are on the board now at the Fandals Sports Book app. And of course, at a Fandals Sports Book near you as well. We hit quarterbacks earlier in the show. We're now going to focus on the pass catchers. And Dave, this is you. Tyreek Hill is now in Miami catching passes from Tua. We know that. He's a regular season receiving yards total, 1,000 and a half. That's low. Here's a guy, 1,200. He was almost guaranteed every single year, sometimes closer to 1,500. The only year he didn't hit this was when he was out for four weeks with that collar bone and he still got 860 yards. So is it because he doesn't have Patrick Mahomes? I did a little bit of research with Alex Smith the year before Mahomes came. He had 1,200 yards. And the season that Mahomes went down and Matt Moore came in, he got a 57-yard touchdown, that same game in the second half. And the next two games with Matt Moore, he averaged 108 yards. So the bottom line is he's freakishly fast. He catches bombs. Tua's going to have to get it down the field. But that is a low number for a guy that hits it every single time. Even with Tua, I say he gets it. Tyreek has propped up his ego as well, saying he's a pretty darn good quarterback, maybe one of the best I've played with. All right, Pony, Devante Adams has reunited with his longtime buddy and college quarterback. Derek Carr in Vegas, we alluded to this earlier in the show. Will his regular season receptions be north or south of 99 and a half? Oh, I easily love the over here. Derek Carr, if you look at him the last couple of years, when he has a receiver that he likes, he goes to that guy and he forgets about everybody else. For example, last year, Lisa, everybody loved Darren Waller going into the year and then Carr became fixated on Renfro, whose numbers went way up over 100 catches and Waller only had 50. So I think that's going to happen again. People are concerned about the other two passing targets. I think it's going to be all Adams. They traded him to get him for a reason. I think it shows up big this year. Adam said the second that they lost, he got a call from Carr and he knew the second he saw his number on his phone. He knew what that phone call was about. I'm coming. All right, Cole, Jamar Chase enters season two with a regular season touchdown total of 10 and a half over or under that number, 10 and a half. Well, Lisa, just take a look at what he's done so far. Just one season in the league and he already has 13 house calls to his credit. And remember too, his sophomore year in Baton Rouge, what he and Joe Burrow were able to do, talking about quarterbacks and wide receivers that played together in college now in the NFL. Yeah, 20 touchdowns in route to that national championship. So 10 and a half touchdowns for Jamar Chase. Yeah, he's gonna have that, but he's gonna have it week 13. Hope you feel good about that one. All right, feel good. All right, thank you, Cole. See you in a sec. So should you pick up any of those wide outs for your daily fantasy team here in week one? Head to Fandals.com to check out a bunch of DFS contests right now where you can win thousands of dollars just by starting the right players. And of course, the key is getting value at each position. So Jim Sonnis is here, senior writer and analyst for Number Fire. He's got his best value plays for week one. What's up, Jim? Basically, so yeah, it is a delight to back here talking with you once again about NFL DFS values this time for week number one. Let's start things off. So we lost Jim. We're gonna get Jim back in just a moment. We want you to get those value plays. I thank Jim for doing that. Set your lineups now at Fandals.com. Follow Jim on Twitter at Jim Sonnis. Check out his covering the spread podcast as well, wherever you get your podcast. And Jim will be back with us later in the show to reveal his week one DFS studs as well. Thank you, Jim. We're gonna get you back. All right, still more to come here on More Ways to Win. There are some huge division games this week. We're gonna tell you which side to bet and more importantly, why? Plus the regular season MVP goes to, well gotta stick around to find out our experts best value bet on the board right now. This is Fandals TV and we're coming right back. Yes, we are. We're doing the dang thing. Welcome back in. This is Fandals TV. We're gonna get you right back into our game previews and take a look at some week one division mashup starting with an NFC North battle here. You see it playing out. Aaron Rodgers Packers are in Minnesota to kick off this season. Rodgers has a new receiving core and he called them out and the Vikings have a new head coach in Kevin O'Connell here. Guys, the Packers are one and a half point road favorites.  How you betting it? You know, I know one of Pony's pet peeves is I always talk offense and I never talk about defense but for the Minnesota Vikings, the return of the Neil Hunter, 2018, 14 and a half sacks. 2019, 14 and a half sacks. Didn't play 2020, only played seven games last year. Pro football doc Pony says that he is back and gonna be very healthy and back to his old ways. So big number 99, it makes a big difference and Lisa put it out. Kevin O'Connell coming in to the Vikings bringing that high-flying offense that he had in Los Angeles. Stafford and Cup is now cousins and Jefferson. Watch these two guys have career years. I think Minnesota goes a long way and it starts by beating their rivals, the Packers here in week one. Aaron Rodgers, the last few years is three and O without Devonte Adams. He was an MVP before him. He was a Super Bowl winner before Adams showed up. So I don't like the narrative that Adams really made Rodgers or turned him into an MVP. That's hogwash. I think we see that in this game. Another one of my favorite trends to bet on week one is fading rookie head coaches. Guys that are calling game management decisions for the first time in big situations. And I think that helps Green Bay, LaFour's record is almost impeccable against the NFC North. And with this small line, I think Green Bay covers. All right guys, let's move quickly to the AFC West. Your Raiders are at the Chargers. We talked about Devonte Adams earlier in the show. Big things expected for him as Vegas looks to get back to football, right? But new head coach Josh McDaniels. Now as for the Chargers, Justin Herbert getting a lot of MVP chatter after finishing top three in yards and touchdowns last season. I for one, Dave and Cole are very excited to get to see Herbert now back in action. Chargers are three and a half point home favorites. Dave, what do you like here? This is a very surprising line to me. When I made my lines, I thought the Chargers would be the biggest favorite of the week against the Raiders. I mean, I know Cole likes the Raiders a lot more than I do this year, but I think the Chargers are a touchdown better. I thought this line would be right about seven and it's closer to a field goal. Look, the Raiders obviously have a lot of toys on offense that Josh McDaniels is going to be able to play with. But defensively, I don't see how they're going to be able to stop the Chargers offense. And from a penalty standpoint, the Raiders had more penalty yards than any other team in the league last year. They can't afford to make mistakes against this Chargers team. Cole, I think this line is way off. Well, defense, penalties, throw those out the window. It doesn't really matter because how can you not be all in on that Las Vegas Quartet, Adams, Renpro, Jacobs, Waller, yards from scrimmage a season ago, just a shade under 4,500 and 31 combined touchdowns. So Derek Carr has to just look around and say, who do I want to go to the end zone with?  And I know disrespect Dave to you or Pony when it comes to the bolts. I know you like them a lot. But Brandon Staley, last time the two teams locked horns, he let the numbers get the better of them. So Raiders in a close shave here, they're going to score a bunch of points, but not so much week one, 23 to 20, they get the W. All right, now let's get to the AFC North here. The Steelers taken on the Bengals in Cincinnati. Pittsburgh announced this week, Miss Trebisky will be their week one starter after signing as a free agent this off season. Kenny Pickett sits there as backup. Meanwhile, Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow has his boy, Jamar Chase, ready to roll after breaking the rookie record last year with 1,455 receiving yards. Guys, the Steelers getting six and a half on the road. Pony, you're the sports radio voice in Pittsburgh. I mentioned Kenny Pickett because of you. I know how high you are on him, but you got Mitch. What do you make of this line with that quarterback? I think they're throwing Trebisky out there to be the sacrificial lamb in this game on the road against the AFC champs. The Bengals overhauled their offensive line. They've got four new starters. They needed it after Burrow got hit 50 times last year. The Steelers spend fewer dollars on the offensive line than any team in the league. I don't think that's a good formula when you've got a new quarterback and a new system on the road against the AFC champs. No way, no how. I'm taking the Bengals to win big. Well, I'm with you on this one, Pony, because it's apparent that little brother has clearly grown up. Now just three wins versus the Steelers in the 2010s. I'm taking a look at what they've been able to do over the last fours I made mentioned earlier in the show. Three and one versus Pittsburgh. And we know what they did last season. They outscored them 65 to 20. And I think it's going to be just a classic blueprint when it comes to what we've seen in the most recent years versus Cincinnati, Joe Burrow, Alina and on Jamar Chase playing like they're back in LSU still. And Joe Mixon, he's going to destroy the Steelers just like he did a season ago. 255 yards from the Rush Bengals. I think they're going to roll in this one 30 to 17. Pony, you and I on the same page. I like your headset. All right guys, more game previews coming up. But right now, let's take a look at the odds for regular season MVP. The most prestigious award has gone to a quarterback for the past nine years. So you can see all the favorites right there on your screen at that position, guys. I want each of you to give me your best value MVP pick. Tell me why this stat is taken at home, Dave. I'm all in on Justin Herbert this year and I'm all in on the charges. I think he is going to have the most yards in the league with right around 5,300. And I think he's going to take his team to win the toughest division in football in the AFC West. So combine those two things. And if those two things happen, he's a slam dunk to win the MVP. Dave, I wish I could give you the money emoji sign because I do like that pick. I think you did a good job there describing it too. But I'm going to go Joe Burrow. The odds are better at 12-1 instead of 9-1. He's got all those weapons. And they're still underrated. There's Super Bowl odds. They're middle of the pack. So he'll get the benefit of the doubt of carrying a team if they can win the AFC North and get back into the playoff. So I really like that an ascending player, Joe Burrow, in year three. Well, you know, I said earlier, this was a no disrespect zone for Kyler Murray. It's also a no Derek hard disrespect zone because at plus 2,500 of air riders, you want an MVP at 37 and Tom Brady can snag one at 40. Why can't Derek Carr put up crazy numbers with the guys that we just talked about at 31 years old? DC, when it comes to numbers, it is a numbers game. He's going to put up a whole bunch of them. So I think Derek Carr, the king of the sleeveless hood and sweatshirt, he's going to bring home that honor, man. Great stuff by you guys. Coming up, we're making it rain. Are you ready? Oh yeah. These guys have a hundred virtual dollars to bet on week one games. See where their money's going plus. It's one of the most popular preseason bets. Who will win the Super Bowl? Our betting experts reveal their best value plays and pick a season champ. We're coming right back. Welcome back to more ways to win here on Fandall TV. He's Dave. I'm Lisa. You're the best for being with us today.  Giddy up guys. You know the drill. I'm going to give you the line. You give me your pick in 15 seconds or less. Dave, you've got Baltimore at the Jets. Joe Flacco starting at quarterback for New York. Zach Wilson still recovering from that right knee injury. New York getting seven and a half. It's a lot given that hook and being over a touchdown, but this is quarterback total mismatch. Yeah, it looks like Zach Wilson will be back till probably week number four. Joe Flacco has not won a game in the NFL since 2019. Harboss five and one against the spread in week one the last six years. Baltimore is going to come to play. They'll cover. Tony Colt start on the road in Houston. Indy a seven and a half point favorite. And this line has come down. Look, the Colts have had some nightmarish first games, including losing to Jacksonville a couple of years ago. And then the Jaguars lost the rest of their games. And plus this is a new quarterback. I'm down on Houston for the year, but I think they can keep this within a touchdown. So I'm going to go Texans. That's a popular sentiment. Cole, you are in Chicago, where the Trey Lance era kicks off for the 49ers. The Bears are getting six and a half at home. Well, you know what? As much as I would love to roll with the Chicago Bears, I just don't really see this one coming to fruition. There's new turf added in Bermuda grass in Chicago. It's looking to be a fast track, but I think it's going to really benefit San Francisco and this one. Niners, they come into town and they escape with the W 21 to 14, Lisa. Dave Giants in Tennessee, taking on those Titans, New York getting five and a half. I think the Giants keep this one close. Stack the box against Henry. They really don't have any receivers that are going to scare anybody. And the coaching change up in New York, I think it's a good thing with Brian Dable and Mike Kaft coming in. The guys that really molded Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes. Danny Dimes will benefit from that. I like the Giants. Pony Phillies in Detroit, Eagles giving three and a half. You really like this line, yes? Yeah, I'm all over Philadelphia. I think they're a sleeper to win the NFC. I think it's all on Jalen Hertz, but this will not be a stiff test. In Detroit, they started the last team to win a game last year. Seven consecutive losses. They still jared got that quarterback. So Dan Campbell, he's entertaining on TV, but this game won't be. And the Monday night game, Broncos quarterback Russell Wilson returning to Seattle to take on his former team. Cole Broncos are six and a half point favorites in this one. At least I give you 265 million reasons why the Denver Broncos should go out and win this one. And I'll take 20 million reasons away because Russell Wilson and all that bread.  And well, the Broncos, they haven't had a 4,000-yard plus passer since 2014 and Peyton Manning not walking through that door. I think the Broncos, they really spoiled the 12 because it was all about Russell Wilson up there in Seattle. 24-17 new counter. That homecoming will be something to watch for sure. The reception there in Seattle. All right, let's go from quick picks to a confidence competition here between Dave and Pony, focused on just these week one games here. So let's go over the rules. Each of you have 100 virtual dollars. You have to use it to bet. One spread, one money line, one total. Minimum bet is $20, no $1 bob stuff. The bigger the bet, the more confident you are. And we'll keep track of this over the season to see how well you guys do. All right, you know how much I love accountability, time, Pony. I'll get to you, Dave.  Well, I already told you, my best bet is the Pittsburgh Steelers. So I'm going to put the most money on them. That is $60 of my $100 bankroll to say that Mike Tomlin knows how to cover as an underdog and get the job done with those six and a half points. That may lose the game, but I think they'll keep it close enough. So $60 on them. As far as my money line bet, I said it earlier that I thought that that Chargers line was way off. So I'm taking the Chargers. A lot of people use the money line bet to play an underdog. I'm going to use it to actually bet a favorite on the money line because I think it's just free money. And then my total, I'm going to take one of the lower numbers of the week. Saints versus the Falcons to go over the 42 and a half. James Winston put up five touchdowns in week one last year. He's going to air it out against a bad defense. So give me the over in that one. 20 bucks. Dave, I'll pick up where you left off. My $60 spread wager is on New Orleans to cover on the road against the Falcons. Now that we've got the green light from Michael Thomas and Elvin Camara, the Saints offense has all the ingredients they need to score points in this game against one of the most putrid defenses in the NFL. So it's a smaller than a touchdown spread. Give me New Orleans. Next up, 20 bucks. I am taking an underdog, but a small one, Cleveland at Carolina. I'm not convinced Baker Mayfield in this game is going to get it done. I think there's going to be a lot of hero ball. I think he's going to be out for blood. And I think that's going to lead to sloppiness, careless plays and turnovers. So Cleveland gets it done that way. And then lastly, the under in Tampa Bay and Dallas. This game last year was a shootout. 60 points got scored. That total is low for a reason. Both teams are having offensive line issues. I'm going to take the under. All right, some interesting strategies there. We're going to see which one is the best after week one. And we're going to keep this thing rolling all season long. We got to put a bet on the bets. I feel like, right, Dave? Yeah. Right? I like to bet. At the very end, Pony will take everybody to dinner. We'll bring our spouses. It'll be amazing. All right. Coming up, we've ripped through some of the biggest matchups here in week one. But we have four games left on this slate. We're breaking down and betting them all. Plus never too early to talk Super Bowl. Our guys are bringing you their value picks after this. It's week one. You're watching Fandall TV. Back up the truck. We're here to give you more ways to win four games left for us to break down. So let's bet them. And we're doing it right now. Dave and Pony, you guys are first. We've got New Orleans in Atlanta. The Saints are giving five and a half points. Dave, who do you like? Well, if you caught it earlier this week on Fandall TV, Sean Payton talked with Kay Adams and up and out of him and said he thinks that the Saints are going to win the division. And if that's the case, they need to make a big statement here in this divisional matchup against the Falcons in week one. I think they do that. I think they win very handily. I'm going to say 38-13. Wow. OK, Dave. Yeah, I'm going to take New Orleans, too. Just flabbergasted by that score. Look, the Falcons, I think, they really want to play Desmond Ritter. And I believe that Marriota is just a stopgap there. Sooner rather than later, we see the Cincinnati quarterback. And I think you will hear chance for Ritter in this game, because New Orleans is up big, like Dave said. All right, guys, Panthers have a new quarterback. He's facing his old team. The Fighting Baker Mayfields are a one and a half point home favorite with the Browns in town. Tony, it's a good one for you. Take it. Well, I just think the Browns are going to be able to run the ball in this game. Nick Chubb, they did not trade Kareem Hunt. So even though they've got Jacobi Bresset, who's 14 and 23 all time as the starting quarterback, I see them running the ball and playing mistake-free football. No ego on offense, Dave. Now the Baker Mayfields playing for the other side in this one. Well, Nick Chubb's going to be good, Tony. But when you take a look at that Cleveland defense, you're at Clowney Ward, Delpit, Williams. So you're going to have fun with that. But the problem for Cleveland fans is that Baker Mayfield, he will have fun because a healthy little sweet Christian McCaffrey. Well, that's going to be all the combination they need. I think this is going to be a revenge dish, best served Carolina style, 21 to 20. Panthers go on and get the win. The fabulous Baker boys feeling good about the W. All right, Cole Hang-Tye bringing Dave back in here. The Patriots are at the Dolphins. New England has lost four of five outright in Miami. Patriots are getting three and a half, Cole. Well, you know what? I can't really feel good about myself if I were to go out there and pick the Miami Dolphins over the New England Patriots in week one because when you take a look at week one, the Patriots, and never mind the fact that on the road they're 12 and 11 in week ones. Just take a look at the fact that Bill Belichick, 26 and 18 all-time versus Miami and most of those 18 losses, they were meaningless. So I go to New England Patriots in this one, 27, 20, Lisa. You know, Bill Belichick has a winning record on the road against the spread, against all teams in the NFL except seven. The Dolphins are one of them, struggles for whatever reason, probably because they're a big favorite in most of those spots and here they are finally an underdog by three and a half. But I think the Dolphins match up very well against his Patriots team. I'm gonna say that they cover. Come on, Tua. All right, Pony, hop back in here. We're going to Jacksonville at Washington. Jags getting two and a half. Dave coming right back to you. Let's see, Carson Wentz, the last time that he played against Jacksonville. It was last year, week 18. The Colts just needed to win. They're getting the playoffs. They're a 15 point favorite and he throws for 185 yards. He's not very good against Jacksonville. And if anybody knows Carson Wentz, it's his former coach and Doug Peterson who's taking over the Jags. I think this is gonna be a terrible spot for Wentz to make his Washington debut. I don't think he's gonna win. I think Jacksonville pulls off the upset. This is my dark horse bull. I think both of these teams actually find their way into the playoffs this year. And so I'm gonna take Washington, I know I'm gonna take Washington at home. They've got the schedule to do it. Wentz was brutal at the end of the year. But his overall number is not that bad. A big upgrade over Heineke. I know you love Heineke, Dave.  I'm gonna take Washington to cover. Dave, you might need to ride his dark horse off into the wherever, by himself. Even to get one of those two teams to make the playoffs would be massive odds. For both, that ice cold exact on those playoff teams. Astronomical, but he's calling a shot. All right, well we're pouring more gas on this fire. Super bold value picks coming up. Two of our experts actually agree. No way. See which team they're backing that's coming up next right here on Fandall TV. Welcome back in everybody. You're watching Fandall TV and this is more ways to win. Hey, we lost Jim Sonnis, our DFS expert and senior expert and analyst and writer for Number Fire. He is going to, we didn't get to his top value plays earlier in the show, but Dave, we wanted to share with our viewers. His top three value plays, this is just for week one. This is the value, so you're not going crazy, but you're gonna get what you need out of these guys. What do you think about his guys? I wanted to know who they were. I think Marcus Vowd is gambling obviously to have Patrick Mahomes sort of in the football is a good thing. And Squall Barkley, you know, just wasn't quite ready to make those cuts and make those moves that are so explosive last year. But I think he's all healed up this year. Could have a big year with the new offense that the new coaches bring in. All right, I like the list. I like the list, but you know what? Now we can like dump that bucket of money, right? Fandall offers a bunch of DFS contests where you can win thousands of dollars just by starting the right player. So right now we're bringing you the ringers, well worth their high price tag. Jim Sonnis is back with the goods here. Who's on your can't miss list in week one, Jim. Thanks Lisa. Yeah, as much as I enjoy talking values, the studs in week number one are awesome on Fandall for this week. That starts at the top with Travis Kelsey at tight end. $8,000 again, getting exposure to this cheese versus Cardinals game. And Kelsey, sure the snap rate may be down this year, but with Tyrone Kill gone, Kelsey's probably gonna get as many targets as he can handle in this offense. Great salary and $8,000 exposure to a fun game. I want Travis Kelsey in week one. Number two is Justin Jefferson. $8,100 in a game that also has potential shootout ability here. Jefferson moving into a more past centric offense under Kevin O'Connell. Jefferson last year in games with Adam Thielen had 40% of the Vikings deep targets and 28% in the red zone. Getting that here on a more past heavy offense, hard to say no to that. My top stud though, week one, has to be Christian McCaffrey at $9,500. McCaffrey is healthy and that's all that matters here because in the five games last year that McCaffrey played at least 40% of the snaps. He averaged 142 yards from scrimmage per game in that time. He had 47% of the red zone chances and now gets potentially a better quarterback in Baker, making also a Mayfield revenge game on tap for this week's McCaffrey. A lot of boxes checked there. This guy I want to shovel into my lineups as often as I possibly can. Those are three really fun names to kick things off in week number one, at least as hopefully the stud section is good the rest of the year as it is for this week. I love it. I love it. And Jim will be back with us every single week here on more ways to win. My man, set your lineups now. Fandle.com and follow Jim on Twitter at Jimsonus. And another reminder to check out his daily covering the spread podcast wherever you get your podcasts. And now what you've all been waiting for. It is time to bet the Super Bowl and now is the time to get that value. The Bills, Bucks, Chiefs are the three favorites here, Dave.  What do you think? It seems like my team is getting a little bit chalkier. Day by day, a lot of people are jumping on the Chargers. Like myself, I think that Justin Herbert is going to lead them all the way. It was the Rams who represented SoFi last year. I think the Chargers are the best team this year that are playing in SoFi Stadium. And I think they'll beat the Vikings in the Super Bowl. Give me the Chargers over the Vikings. I picked the Chargers to win it last year. The AFC to get to the Super Bowl. I was wrong, but I'm not backing off either, Dave. I love them. They check every box for me. Great quarterback, weapons, offensive line will be improved. They've invested there. Defense has Mack and Jackson now to go with Derwin James. And they play a third place schedule, which is key. The Chiefs' first eight games are against teams that all went 500 or better last year. That's going to help the Chargers get a home field throughout the playoffs. I'm going to need you guys to stop with all this Los Angeles Chargers talk, because you're going way over the top here in David, Minnesota, versus the Chargers in the Super Bowl. Come on, what are we doing here? Let's just go how it needs to be said. Tampa Bay taking on those Las Vegas Raiders in Las Vegas. They're looking to obviously roll out the red carpet with Josh McDaniels, Devonte Adams, and Derek Carr. They're looking to be on the same page, the same attitude in Vegas says they made the move from Oakland a year ago, just win, baby. But can the defense keep pace? That's going to be the biggest question. But will it really matter? We know that Oakland, all they're going to do, excuse me, Las Vegas, all they're going to do is absolutely vote-raise teams. So they haven't won the division or the conference in 20 years. This is what we call a renaissance in the desert. I'm going with the Raiders. That's tons of plus money. I know, Cole, you were thinking what I was thinking. West Coast, Best Coast, all this West Coast love. Look at that, bold picks by our guys. Now is the time to get great odds on your Super Bowl bets. Taylor, guys, or hey, make your own picks. You can do it right now on the Fandall Sportsbook app. And as we know, because it's a huge celebration today, football is back and Fandall is celebrating by giving you a huge giveaway. You can enter to win a football jersey of your choice. All you have to do to find out how is follow Fandall Sportsbook or Fandall Casino on Twitter or Instagram. Giveaways happen right now until Tuesday, so make sure you follow Fandall Sportsbook or Fandall Casino for your chance to win. And that is how it is done. What a show, guys. We hit spreads, futures, player props to get you ready for week one. And it is finally here. Check out all the bets we talked about and more right now on the Fandall Sportsbook app. And it gets better because we're coming back here every week, 10 a.m. Eastern, 7 Pacific. Fandall TV bringing you the best content in the business. Speaking of, keep it right here. I've been Adams with Kay and special guests. Coming in hot next.


upload earlier today I'm hopeful that'll continue work the only difficulty has been our internet phones at the school have been going on and off all day so that means there's something along here with the network so if not I'll try at home I hope to have this up by seven at the latest I hope I hope if all goes well a math teacher who's even dirtier than me yes there are out there believe it or not he put this t-shirt together for his kids he called it Hollywood meets mathematics they had movie titles number one was radians of a lost Ark number two was permutations of a dangerous mind three was dude where's my conic or was return of the radii five was American pie six was that's fifty first dates in base three for those who know your bases seven was Seinfeld eight was finding numeral anybody know what number nine is movie that came out a couple years ago called the thin red line which is the line what the line Y equals X of course which is what the inverse flips around which you'll start remembering when you start reviewing for your final exam what's that one what Lorentz ET very good when you simplify that you'll find that ET I'm quite impressed out of nowhere I'm impressed my friend what's this one the TV show that was on might have been I think it was still on when you were young kids it had two famous twins had two twins on it that have now made their own little children's huh that is the combinatorics for a full house from 13 suits choose one from three of those four of those cards choose three so this is from Brad Epps students in Kamloops number nine is the thin red line and number 11 is full house anyways there's your humor now back to real life let's do some math all right basic rules of thumb I would give you read the questions very very very carefully I'm gonna tell you right now there are questions card questions where I say not just red card not just black card but red face card or black face card or red ace or black ace and for some reason I find kids just missed that last word they see the word red or they see the word black this was Eric Bings only mistake when he was taking math 12 was a great 11 student on this test he read a question wrong he just saw the first word and didn't see the two words describing the cards and was mortified to find that he'd read the question wrong so read the questions carefully okay second hint I would give you is ask yourself how many events are there if there's more than two probably you don't want to do a tree probably you want to do some kind of a bucket well that's a lie Savannah three right at three I'm willing to draw a tree still if there's more than three I'm not drawing a tree if it's two dice what will you do what will your strategy be I heard it back there take chart right if it's too dice you draw a chart certainly if there's eight or nine or 10 or 12 events it's either a bucket or it's a binom PDF and you have to identify by asking yourself do the odds change every time then it's a bucket like cards or you know what if the odd never changes from attempt to attempt then it's a binomial probability distribution and you need to know how to use the binom PDF as well as the longer version of it okay gonna tell you on your multiple choice a couple of questions because I'm trying to also think about if any of this showed up on the non calculator section of the provincial what would they ask I've given you a couple of questions where I'm not actually asking for the number I'm giving you the mathematical expression to pick from on the multiple choice so I'll say which of the following I'm making this up which of the following could be used to calculate the probability of getting two hearts in a row and rather than actually do the number I've done the the fractions or the chooses or whatever okay so make sure you can handle that make sure you can move from calculator approach to oh here's just the simplified factorial approach which one do I want to go with to recognize both all right so first off I'll begin by saying from the probability review are there any you want me to go over there are some nasties on here I did steal some of these from the Alberta Provincial exam so this first group I stole from August 2003 but you will notice a little further on basically in the final third these are from the Alberta exam where it stops having little headings I think that's the Alberta Provincial I think number 19 is the last one that's actually from a BC Provincial the rest are from the Alberta exam and I've already said for Commodore Torch probably they go a little further than we do I'm good with that on the review because the whole goal is you should find the test much easier than the review assignment right so questions you would like me to go over also please remember that I did put my solution key online so if you're stuck I did try and really show my steps on these which ones would you like me to do yeah 1515 okay good question I like this one not because I like this one I like this one I like just because this really lets me cover a big chunk of what we spent the first four lessons of probability on okay how many cards okay tree this one's a bit tricky though because what's the first event the probably the first card is a what and the second card is a that second probability depends because in this case some face cards are also queens okay so here's what I think I'm gonna do with my tree my notation is going to be I'll use the letter F for face card I'll use the letter Q for Queen Kayla here's how I break this up queen on the first draw even though they didn't mention it face card but not a queen on the face first draw neither face card nor queen on the first draw the problem with this one is I have to take into account that a queen is also a face card but if I got a queen on the first draw that does satisfy the first event but that totally changes the odds of the second event because I'm holding a queen already so I think I'm gonna break it up like that by the way what are the odds of getting a queen on your first draw out of four out of 52 so this I expect all you be able to handle how many face cards are there in the deck there's 12 how many of them are queens for so how many non queen face cards are there out of yep no no 8 out of 52 still see the 12 face cards here okay how many others you know what I'm not even gonna bother filling this in because it tells me that it wants the first card to be a face card I'm gonna leave this branch blank it's gonna be a waste of my time now yeah on a written I would never do that on a written I would fill in the entire tree multiple choices I don't get any marks for the tree if you're not using one of the branches and you're pretty confident leave that branch empty now let's keep going queen on the second not queen on the second queen on the second not queen on the second down this branch here we picked a queen by the way I guess hopefully by now you've clued in remember at the beginning I said trees were very very useful this is a fairly nasty question but I'm gonna get it to fall apart with a tree I'm pretty sure how many queens are left in the deck three out of 51 I know this one here 47 I don't care or 48 out of 51 I still don't care here we didn't get a queen we got a face card though like a jack let's say how many queens are left in the deck out of now here's my argument both of these branches satisfy the condition both of those branches have a face card as the first draw queen or other it's still face card and the queen on the second it's one or the other what does or mean and multiply down at a cross this answer is going to be you might have got a queen first queen second or a non queen face card first queen second I have no idea what the answer is but that's that's what it'll be I would consider that a reasonably to me that's a B plus level question although I think once I started going I saw most you guys oh I see just separate because there's some overlap separate the two cases is that right I hope I don't know what the answer is but oh what is the answer hey okay nice little question and I like that just that really combined lesson one two three and I think four okay nasty your question would be given that you have a queen what's the probability that the first card was not a queen but a face card you could do be both over the given one so I that's what why for the conditional probability questions I really just in my mind always say to myself if they use the word given or suppose or if and they're talking they're telling me which branch I am down here and want me to work my backwards it's always both over the given one that mathematically works for me way better than that creepy formula that I always have to run better for anyways next 22 zero okay this is from the Alberta exam and I don't like this question but I still talked about it parts of this I like but as an entire question okay so let me copy it I've debated actually taking it off this review except I did this review on a Mac computer so I only have a PDF file of this on my tablet so I can't edit it and it would mean retyping the whole thing and as much as I like you guys you aren't worth that so that'd be about 40 hours of work no thank you ready says two students performed a simulation that recorded flipping three coins and they did 10 trials so this is the actual trial first of all what's the probability of getting three heads on a single trial so let's see I was sorry part a there is no a that appeared there a what's the experimental probability of getting three heads on a single trial did I get three heads there no no one to the experimental probability is apparently two out of ten I don't think that's the correct answer now if you did this a hundred times you get a much more accurate experiment of probability although nothing would prevent you from getting three heads in a row 100 times is that likely no is it impossible no but if you did a thousand times you'd be even more accurate with your actual versus the theoretical although again nothing would prevent you from okay as I'm looking at this they're talking about flipping a coin heads or tails do the odds ever change I think this is a binomial fact I think on any one of these trials I think it would be binom PDF and I'll fill in this stuff I'll do the choose one here it would be from three flips because you're flipping it coin three times on each trial choose how many heads do you want three what's the odds of getting heads one half how many heads do you want three what's the odds of getting tails one half how many tails do you want zero in fact you know what I don't need to go all fancy because what's three choose three one what's a half to the zero I think I could use binom PDF but I'm pretty sure I can get to just by going point five to the third power point five times point five times point five someone do that point one two five now if I did use binom PDF I would go three flips the odds of success is one half or point five how many successes how many heads three and I'm pretty sure that would also give you point one two five by the way Savannah what's two tenths as a decimal two tenths as a decimal point two so they got a weight they got way too high a percentage the actual theoretical percentages point one two five okay C now C says by the way here was the other reason that I kind of included this is a binomial probability distribution because what does it say in part B or part C use the what okay binom PDF okay now the question is changing just a tiny bit this is the odds of getting three heads on one trial okay how many trials do they want me to do here so it's going to be 10 comma now the odds of success on an entire trial is not one half that was the odds of success flipping one coin what are the odds of getting three heads on one trial what's the odds of success that's what's going to go here and they want exactly two three heads the other reason I don't like this question is it's very easy to get mixed up with numbers because you have the odds of success of a single heads and a single trial I to be honest I might have called this trial ABCD instead of calling it trial one through 10 I don't know anyways that should be the answer I don't know what the answer is but that should be it or 10 choose to point one two five to the two one minus point one two five point eight seven five to the eight and choose to point one two five two point eight seven five to the eight okay those are both get you there although this is a written question this won't be a written question you'll see on your test and remind you before I let you guys go I'll give you a hint as to what kind of questions are great questions any others pretty sure yep yep 19 be I probably have to do a in order to do be just be guessing okay let me copy it and let me also say I love this question I love this question I love this question and what I mean by that I'm gonna tell you right now on your written there's gonna be a question that involves two jars of marbles or something I may also instead of right now picking each jar oh no they did roll a die as well I kind of like that or they can have you pick each jar 5050 but here they rolled a die I have to set up a tree and walk through part a before I can give you a good answer for part B and then I'll answer your question for part B because you're wondering about how you know which is the given right given what so it's going to be given white no Eric Bing didn't find that mistake are you serious I made a mistake I'm mortified if I did I got a and white I got given that it's white given that it's white is that what it says online I think it should be I think I'm right okay let's walk through the whole thing okay before I get to their tree so we have two events pick a jar pick a marble okay the other way that I can do this is instead of having you pick a jar pick two marbles from one jar jar one jar two red white red white to pick a jar it's not 5050 instead it looks like it's going to be two out of six and four out of six because we're rolling it die yeah okay with where I got that Sam how many red balls are there in jar a how many red marbles out of and seven out of 12 in jar B 8 out of and so part a find the probability that a white is selected part a is going to be that branch or that branch it's going to be 2 6 times 7 12 2 over 6 times 7 over 12 plus 4 over 6 times 4 over 12 6 times 12 is 72 I think it's going to be 14 plus 16 is it 30 over 72 I think that's what you get is that right and then divide by 6 5 out of 12 is that what I said the answer was in my answer key yes I did now let's go through yours got it okay let's continue B so Kayla whenever I see the term given or suppose or if I always ask myself if what suppose what given what given that it's white find the probability that it came from jar a and what I've told you is that's going to be both all right a and w just like the restaurant all divided by the given one W okay now the given one W we've already done right here because didn't we figure out the probability that it's white that won't always be the case in fact I think on your test for one of the questions I didn't walk you through part a I just went straight to part B as your question there was no part a part B I simply said blah blah blah blah given that and I launched right into conditional and I'm assuming that you're going to figure out oh I better it's both over the given one calculator mistake Kayla okay a and w a what did I say jar 1 and jar 2 I should have said jar a and jar B that's silly a and w that's going to be 2 out of 6 times 7 out of 12 and I get 14 out of 72 divided by 5 out of 12 how do I divide by fractions with multiply or you can go straight to your calculator you want to be careful if you're going to your calculator you can't go 14 divided by 72 divided by 5 divided by 12 it doesn't know that that's one fraction you've got to use brackets you're not going to get the right answer you need to go 14 over 72 in brackets divided by bracket 5 over 12 that's how it knows you're going one fraction divided by another fraction and then if you hit math enter enter you find the answer is 7 over 15 you're totally going to see something like that on your chest something along those lines next 22 who has 22 so right sir the you're looking my answer key at all or no I'll walk you through it on there so here's what I said this is by the way from the alberto one this is probably a little trickier than we feel comfortable asking you here's what I said here's the total number of ways to mix up the letters in the word Canada six letters divided by 3a 6 factorial over 3 factorial I said the total number of permutations is 120 and that's permutations with no repetitions because I divided by 3 factorial how many of those will spell Canada one it's one out of 120 I didn't go too fancy there and I kind of think outside of the box my usual methods didn't really work but I said I can if I can count it I can figure it out let's fall back on day one when we define probability the total number of successes divided by the total number of outcomes that okay you make it there next 30 the mice I'm not going to copy the picture because that's not going to fit on my screen so we're looking at number 30 who asked there 30 Kayla you did I'm looking at the answers that they gave me the zero the one in the two fractions or decimals looking at the answers that they gave me the zero the one in the two these ones here fractions or decimals I'm already kind of wondering if this is some kind of weird by no PDF type thing because it's the four decimal places it's kind of looking like some of the answers that I wrote let's find out okay so we have yellow mice are genetic mutants and they're breeding produces offspring that may not survive of the offspring that do survive one-third are great so zero out of four are great if this was a binomial probability distribution it would go like this binom PDF from four mouse what's the probability with a gray mouse comma how many mice do we want to be gray in this first one here see if that works out to point one nine seven five let's find out four comma one-third comma zero ah it does you know what this is a binomial probability distribution function now how did I figure that out how many mouse mice grandpa four not a tree okay so I eliminated that then I said so this is either a bucket or a binomial do the odds change I don't think so I don't think whether or not the previous mouse was gray as any effect over whether or not the next one breeds gray or not so I said you know I think the odds don't change and I said if nothing else I'll at least try it because it takes five seconds to type into my calculus now my guess is confirmed and I suspect this question this was on the Alberta exam was considered a little too tough and so to make it easier they said hey why don't we give them a couple of the answers and that way they can kind of check to see if they've guessed right okay now let's keep going three out of four this would be binom pdf of four comma one-third comma three point zero nine eight eight and four out of four is going to be binom pdf four comma one-third comma four could have just gone second function enter mr. Duke the point zero one two three point zero one two three four five six seven eight I'm guessing I'm assuming there's a nine over here in the calculator around in eight up to a nine kind of an odd probability but I think that's the answer to hope okay you see I put all that together I kind of tied together a lot of little hints in the question and you know what else I didn't do I didn't let the wordiness of this question overwhelm me I'm gonna be able to do this oh they gave me some answers let's see if I can get the same numbers as them somehow using the skills that I have next 34 okay 34 I do like I think this is fair game this would be an Alberta question that I'm totally good with how many power plants grant total 11 tree no no so this is either bucket or binomial let's see says the probability that any one will not be functioning is point one and exactly three this is the wording of a binomial question I'm pretty sure and I think the probability of success is point one probability of failure is point one let me copy this puppy how many power plants that's one right it's not a tree process of elimination so if it's not a tree it's either bucket like using combinatorics or binomes so the real trigger then is you ask do the odds change here or not if the odds never change from step to step it's binome PDF if the odds change like in a card question oh I picked a queen and now there's only three left in the deck I picked another can only two left in the deck that's a bucket choose this is gonna be binome PDF 11 comma point one comma three or eleven choose three point one to the third point nine to the eight eleven comma point one comma three D is that a hand up Caitlin are you hitting Regan go ahead this one was tough 33 was yucky 33 is yucky enough Priya I'm just gonna go to my answer key so here's what I said child has two quarters two dimes and three nickels he's picking two coins I probably could have done this with a tree but I had a tough time wrapping my brain around it I said well look if I have two dimes two quarters and three nickels and the question wants me is asking what's the probability of the two coins that I select well the total value at least above 35 cents I thought about it I looked at all the coins that I had and I said you know what there's only two ways I can break 35 the two ways that I can break 35 are two quarters or I can tie it quarter and a dime any other combination of coins is less than 35 cents think about it for a while but try it you'll just find nothing else works so I said you know what I think this question really is wanting me to find the probability of two quarters or what is or me at quarter and a dime so then I said I can do this as a bucket from two quarters to choose two from two dimes choose none from three nickels choose none that's that one or from two quarters choose one from two dimes choose one from two nickels choose none all of these are over seven choose to double check plus plus seven plus plus two plus plus plus seven plus plus two having said that I think you could have done it as a now as a tree quarter on the first not quarter on the first sorry quarter on the first dime on the first nickel on the first and then quarter down nickel quarter down nickel you'd have three times three to nine branches at the bottom it's doable and then simply put a check mark under whichever ones are above 35 cents that would also get you there so Steph is asking will there be a question I guarantee there'll be an at least or an at most question okay so instead of this which is a bit confusingly worded I would have no problem for example saying if you're picking two picking four cards what's the probability you get at least three jacks which would mean three or four I will in just a second okay so yes for absolutely at least or at most or more than or less than kind of questions fewer than 35 yeah 35 I like I think so so Pat here's the answer to your question you know okay read the question to yourself I'm pretty sure I said to yourself how many boxes are we looking at one how many candies in the box how many tree okay so this is either binom or choose says the probability of the black candy is produced is point one two does this seem to suggest that the odds change at all I think this is a binomial probability distribution function because I can't think of a way where it'd be like like I think it's just whether the machine puts that candy in there or not okay Laura what's the case that we have here what do they want us to find the probability that it contains what no no no no no no no no no no no did I go on a ranch earlier about being careful to read the questions very very carefully at least five that's a hugely important what does at least five mean what are the cases give you a hint five at least okay you ready if we can't do the vocabulary or not give you all do the math five or or or or or although it to 60 clearly they don't want me to do that I think they want me to use the complement and the CDF function here's what I would do probability of five or more that's one minus the probability of four or less it's going to be one minus the binome C because we're doing the cumulative we want an or less cumulative distribution function of sixty candies point one two chance of getting a black candy for or less because we're using cumulative one minus when I'm CDF of sixty comma point one two comma the odds of getting more than five pretty good 86 percent the nearest hundred sorry point eight six one eighty six point one percent let's see bright well point one two if the odds of five candies making sixty boxes and the odds are about ten percent each time so on average I expect out of sixty boxes there to be around six here we got five yeah you know what I'm okay with that answer looks about right to me give or take next come on Mr. Duke wake up number thirty thirty three twenty three two three okay hockey arena this one okay so hockey arena is has seating that's divided to sections led it from a to z inclusive and a a to xx inclusive so each section consists of 20 rows with 16 seats in each row at a sold-out hockey game it's announced that a prize will be given to person setting in section j day what's the odds that you win a prize here's what I said there are 26 rows times 16 seats there are a total of 320 seats in section double J the odds of you winning is one in 320 if they're giving one prize away and I'm in that section I would look around who all is around me and I got one chance out of that many again that's a bit of a strange new word in one next okay then a few hints here's you're gonna see on your written section in no particular order a Venn diagram question how do you recognize the Venn diagram question often percentages only two outcomes categories fill in the middle or fill in the middle which is both and the overlap or put an x there and work your way out to solve for x guarantee one of those guarantee a bucket card question so instead of just two cards which you can tree your way to five or seven or something like that please read careful it's gonna be at least one at most or at least kind of question list the cases because only a couple of them and do many of the atom up if it's a bunch like 10 you can probably complement your way by going one minus the other num the other option the other outcome conditional probability it's either gonna be bag of marvels factory defective question factory a and factory b 30 percent are made of factory a 70 percent of made of factory b 60 percent of factory bs are defective 40 percent of factory a's what's the probability given that it's defective that it came from factory a or factory b disease question the life saver one the test was 98 percent accurate but as it turned out the person only had a 65 percent chance of having the disease at a better than one three chance of not having it we're way better off than 1% or the other one I've seen has been a conditional condition conditional binom pdm Caitlyn the probability that Caitlyn plays with her hair in any one minute is 80% given that she's played with her hair six times in the last 10 minutes what's the probability that she's played with her hair eight times in the last 10 minutes given that she played with her hair it's at least six times in the last 10 minutes what's probably she played with her hair eight times you didn't like that one for me I did make that up 100% okay binom pdf and binom cdf also make sure you know the choose notation as well what's the choose notation and choose x p to the x q to the one minus x but with numbers there make sure you know on your calculator it's binom pdf of n comma p comma x at the syntax you know how to use that stuff the written is pretty short the written only has five questions most of this test is multiple choice I don't really multiple choice questions mr. 14 so 14 multiple choice other things you need to know terminology there are two key terms that we've used mutually exclusive and independent what does mutually exclusive mean ah that's it that's the best non-math definition no overlap Pat what it also means is this the probability of a and b is what you know two items are mutually exclusive what's probability of a and b occurring at the same time over complicating it if there's no overlap what's the probability of a and b occurring at the same time nothing can't happen because no overlap it's saying in your Venn diagram the very very middle part has nothing in it what about independent well that meant the odds don't change what I really said is a built-in handy-dandy check is if you're doing a tree a not a be not be be not be if they are independent this number and this number will match because what it's saying is hey the odds of whether a occurred didn't change the odds of what it be occurred they're independent of each other third term that we used a complement what's the complement I mean says that's when I say nice thing no Lorentz for talking with the mathematical term what's the complement if the probability of a occurring equals lowercase letter p the complement is the symbol is probability of not a and it's one minus the probability of a occurring Stephanie if the odds of you failing math 12 was point six what would be odds of passing math 12 point four complement and remember sometimes it's easier to solve for the complement and go one minus get the actual answer that you are looking for at least one question on your test where complement will work way better you can brute force your way to that least direct most question you can brute force your way to it and add them all up step by step by step looking at all the cases or you can just clue and you know what I'll do the opposite to track from one where is left must be what I'm looking for hopefully remember the whole concept of the tree or means add and means multiplying otherwise I think it's a pretty straightforward test no big surprises anything else that I've forgotten that someone was wondering about I don't know yet what your final schedule is going to be I'm still battling as soon as I know I'll email you guys a schedule I hope to have it for you for Thursday I hope


Steve's in tie against Newman tonight on senior night. I'm Christian Taylor with head coach Tori M off. So coach, a few things went your way tonight. Some things did not. How would you characterize this one? As a loss, we gave up the lead with a couple of minutes left.  And we weren't able to finish in overtime, but we shouldn't have even gotten to the point where we were fighting for a win in overtime. And we worked hard and showed up mentally and emotionally, but nothing, not everything, was connecting. We just kind of let that last one in and didn't secure the win. So you do have a game in hand over Newman going down the stretch. You aren't home anymore, but four winnable games for you. How do you get this team connected and pushing towards the postseason? You know, we considered this weekend winnable games as well. So they're really going to have to check in individually and as a unit. And reflect on what they're doing to make sure that they're ready for each weekend and we're ready to secure each win. Because as the season dwindles down, each one gets more and more and more important. So let me just read off the seniors tonight. Jordan Porello, Allison Barlow, Carly McGee, Rachel Gruit, Annie Smith Hammond. What do these players mean to you and really overall this entire program? I'm so grateful for the five of them. They have made the transition for me as a new head coach so seamless. I mean, it's easy to reject a new head coach that is coming in and making changes and doing all things different. And they embraced me. And we kind of together created the culture that we've aimed for this season. And I'm really sad to lose them. Coach, thank you very much. Good luck the rest of the way. Hopefully we see you again in the postseason. But for now, good luck the rest of the way. Thank you. Head coach, Tori M off. I'm Christian Taylor on GomezStangSports.com.