There comes a time on Broadway, a little long time, when night takes its hour to die, when neon buzzers foot pulling, die, when the spectacular starts their final circus, and the features turn a corner, so awaits. The lonely time and limbo, when the fever's layered with the imagined echoes of a scream, so walk it and feel it, the ending is something or another, and Broadway's clock spins fast. Now, walk it toward the river, and its special night sounds and smells and its curve of raining moon. Stop and consider this thing. All right, boys, put it down. It looks like this girl's been in the river more than a couple of hours, Danny. I've heard about a day, but hold that light still once more. It's not a little damp. It's like a figure. I told the light. Yeah. There's room. There's back room, man. You better hit something out there, a log, anything. Maybe. It's pretty cool. Really nice features. But hold that light still. Just try it, Michael. I'm gonna see what kind of a reaction you get. Lila Hunter. Yeah. I'm gonna fake about it. I'm gonna fake, Michael. I'm gonna Lila Hunter all right. In the river? How do you figure it? Ask you something, Danny. The whole police force is out looking for the suspicion of murder. She's in the river. How do you figure it? That's a good question, Margaret. It's gotta get answered. Yeah. Hey, you want me to wait here for technical? Sure, I'll wait. So river and the end of night with worlds of mist, and on the wind the cry deep in the steamer's globes, the muted splash of oil-flick water, the much the odors of night-ridden waterfront, and the chilled gleam of dimming reflections, and box shadows and alley shadows gathered at this moment of the edge of night, veiled in mist, summoned by the girls who have set the way apart of their dying in riverbeds. And this is as soon as past the round, at the end of night. Wait with it a while. Give it into the hands of the official handlers of the dead. Believe it. And then a caught in the squadron and headquartered sleep until daylight strikes you between the eyes. And wait with the emptiness still heavy on your back. Walk a corridor to your office. The door that opens in one other day. Accept that hot for you, Dan. No. Thanks, Dino. I rented the use of technician Gordon's bouncing burner. Renton? So he charged me a bow. When I explained it to him that it was your coffee I was keeping hot, he wanted to up the hype. I snared on him. He ought to close it tightly and snared. This great Gordon's bike down to a dime. Here, then. Partake. Hot coffee and a budget Zimmerman butter. Thanks, Dino. Uh-oh. Here. What did it do to you? It's all it's been. It's all it's been. Some other time you saw me buy 15 burgers as well. 15. Me, I've noticed it's more important to discuss Bernie in you and I. Now, what'll be afraid? Your money is in my hands, Bernie. First, an entity to see through all the hunters. What about her? Your diagnosis that she had been in the river may be her very has been confirmed by our good doctor since you. And the bull is back of her neck? In your opinion, have the good doctor could have come from the source he was intended to kill by Bernie?  All right. What else? What else isn't meant to murder she is suspected of committing. For her it's all thanks to her. She's an issue about her. For her it's she was a fugitive.  I found a note on my desk this morning where you left it, Bernie, and I have brought you the rundown. Mm-hmm. Per your request, why as well? While a hunter wanted for the murder of Marty Scott. Marty Scott suspected Cumberhunter for a recent bank robbery upstate, netting 40 grand. Then found shot to death in Lila Hunter's apartment two nights ago. His bad type? No Lila, no bank bills. You see, I also have a resume with a rundown from technical dining that I care for. Marty Scott murdered with Lila Hunter's gun. Gun found later, the man who was killing him and Ali Price came. Checked by our boys, then by ballistics. Gun was likened to Lila Hunter. Bullets and gun killed Marty. Time established at 5.36 of that. Oh, no, no. A knocking was considered. Well, they told me you were the one to see about Lila. Stan, they told me you were in charge of her death. They told me you woke her from the river. Who are you? Tommy Hannigan. Memory of a man. Memory of a poet. Why, no?  Lila was nice to me once. I drank the eggs from a glass of wine she dipped. Here, it's five hundred dollars. Take it. So why? For the burying of a child at once bonus. For the wrapping in her survival. And the stone and the blood red rose on her grave. Lila deserves more than part of the field. I buy it for her. Can I buy nice things for the dead? Oh, you get it.  What do you get, guys? Mine to give. Oh, you get it, Tommy. I, uh, left out a friend. Tommy Hamilton also bigger. I beg you to look kindly man for it to me. Oh. Kindly man. Well, Skid low, nod, smile, listen. To his money and gutter. Smiles on his ground for it. Very kindly. Tommy, who he is? Who gave the beggar five hundred dollars? Reflection of a man like Lila. Not about Lila. I want Lila to have the nice things of death. All the little luxuries of her. Another question, Tommy.  I told you. It didn't know her, did you? No. No. No. That make Brian sent you here with that money? No. I run errands from some time. This was nice. Hold them, Gino, until I talk with a kindly man. I'm like, how are you? Come in. Come in. This is Selena, a friend. Any clover there. How do you do? Nothing to mean. Selena doesn't drink either. Just one for me there. It's about Lila a hundred. I know. I'm sorry about Lila to drown like that. And it's about Marty Scott too. I don't feel anything about him. Dead, alive, tick away from the bee. I get nothing at all. Do you think it makes, dear? What did you say, Danny? Do you think Marty's death, while he's here? Yes, I do. A link between them, sure. How? I don't know that, Danny. Haven't thought about it. You want me to think about it and let you know? I'll do it for you. Your question about Marty's death, my question. You know that. Selena, dear. Yes, like that. He used to work for you. No one said a history, Danny, long time ago. No police record, but a history. Police didn't like me. Shipped me down, made pledges, what they would do to me, but I never went to jail. But, Danny... Danny, you know what I do now. I raise bills for housing projects and all about them. Just talking about Marty Scott, her one, once when the police didn't like me. Marty used to run down to the corner and get me the free papers I like to read. And now, no connection, none. But, Danny, you got the bank last week. What connection? Just let your employer and stock out some stuff, then. It's quite pleasant here. Music, chocolate, furniture, drapes. Selena, quiet talk. Don't come into my place, Danny. Make suggestions to me like that. Take me down to headquarters. Say whatever you like. Not here. But, Danny... Huh? You were doing very well. I was going to make a suggestion. The poor of us here would be nicer. Selena, do you have a call? Why, Mike? The man came in from Skid Row. He had $500. Never mind, yeah. Sorry, Danny.  You want me to deny it? Tell me about it. Huh? Before Selena, it was Lila.  That's right. I wanted to pay for Lila's funeral. I didn't want to scream about it. It appears I was in it. Before Selena, there was Lila. And for Lila, after you, there was Marty Scott. But where was Scott? Yes. I told Lila Marty was nothing. She wouldn't listen. When was the last time you spoke to Lila? Recently. The night Marty was killed. Come to think of it.  It turned out to be a Skid Row hotel. You saw her there? No. No. She told me what it was. Said she was in trouble. Said she needed money. Said she'd registered under the name of the... Some fictitious name, you know, Molly. Molly Blue, I think. No, I didn't go to her. I made a prediction to her. What would happen if she played with Marty? What had happened? I reminded her of it and hung up. The place was called Victor's, Danny. Perhaps you'll find out something there. Let me know. Yes, Selena. Yes, dear. Uh, this is a day that it is. A policeman looking for a bear lost in the pages of my hotel register. Uh-huh.  I have a pile of stacks in my room. Tomorrow goes, I could write their names myself for you. Well, that depends, Mr. This one, Molly Blue. Ah, that one, huh? Molly, huh? Ah, you wouldn't have liked her anyway. She was bitter. I looked in honor this morning and she's good in a way. That's how it is, baby, huh, Mr. You tear her name out of my book. Any ideas on the page? You throw it in my... Show me the room she had. Oh, sure. I'll show you the room where Molly Blue slept. Oh, with a weight. Myself, I couldn't tell you. Well, come on along. There seems to have still around. I haven't had time to clean. If you don't mind, how much is it? If you don't mind, how much is it? Well, I'll leave you alone with it. Because I know how it is. The state of shock, who, as an American taxpayer, are helping to provide medical care and nutrition to the underprivileged children of the world. You are doing this through UNICEF, the United Nations Children's Fund. Created by the General Assembly of the United Nations in 1946. It did such fine work in helping the children in war-devastated countries that in 1950, it was decided to shift the emphasis from emergency relief to continuing aid for the world's children, particularly in underdeveloped countries. Through its maternal and child welfare services, its mass health programs, and its child nutrition programs, it is making this world a better place to live in for millions of children. You are a part of the great work being done by this special body of the United Nations, and it costs you only six cents a year. You can't say that of loudspeakers. Glows gently down Broadway, and the languid early summer of cadence to the rhythm of glories, and the crazy songs and the torches that were already dim in the 20s. The ladies of the spectacular swayed gracefully on the mass of beaches. The time has flashed its electronic intervals, and the hawkers and the gimmick boys turn their wares, tune on Broadway, peanuts popcorn, and mannequins dressed as rides. And the room where I was, the host of the room, the quiet voices needed to the busting night, needed to paint. Danny will be all right, I'll give you my word on it. Easy for you to say.  You don't need such things to say in school. It's a whole study what you should say to the friends of friends you've built. Only understood between those doctors and students that with me you don't have to schmooze.  You don't just tell me what to do. I'll be right back. I'll go call Mrs. Tatagawa. She's waiting for all of this. It doesn't matter, you know. Danny, I'm the doctor, huh? I'm sorry. And this room, this is my province in here. I give the orders, huh?  You need to feel that love was left to you. That's bad, I'm sorry. Don't. And I speak nothing of shock. This is my province where there's pain and shock. You wish something of me, Manny? A drink of water? I should read to you, Manny? No. Well, please don't go out of the hotel register. And rather you expect some going over the table. The Manny Molly Dream was written by the hand of the deceased while I was in the bag I found in the room. As well as personal and technical, Manny. No money, Manny. No money from the bounty performed by Manny Scott but also deceased by the hand of my husband. The woman that the hotel manager misses looked at. My question, I want to know what... It'll keep Danny. I promise you it'll keep him. All right, I brought you something. A needle. A guarantee to bring sleep to the rest of us. Here's a sting of little Danny. That's it, Danny. Good boy, Danny. In four days in the hospital, a novel read, Jim Rummy with Nurse Popeless and Chocolate Covered Cherries in the Fallows and Homicides completed a note from Officer Robert Francis Bob Hayward, the son-loving truce. A visit from Sergeant and Mr. Tragler and beat those women down to take her bag. After reporters have brought nothing but eight chocolate-covered cherries and peaches. Examinations in bandage changes, salad there and bourbon, and nurse poplits whose fun I always had too and I knocked her down. Four days in the hospital. On the fifth morning, get up, get out of there. Back to work. Check in. Turn clothes. I'm not going to bring in Mrs. Victor for prior to a victim's unskilled role. Talk to her. I don't know what you want to talk to me about.  I've got to tell them myself. Don't take much when it rains. Hold it when the sun is enlightened. Watch out. Climb under a bed and watch out. Got a cigarette? Here, have one of mine, Mrs. Victor. I ain't going to chew on it. Sure, I'm going to like it. Who shot me, Mrs. Victor? You've been in the hospital. You don't know what I've been telling them top. No, I don't. Boy, I was as surprised as you were when you got shot. The lady up in two on two screamed down the hall. A fuse had blown. So I was on the second floor with Jesus when I heard, Blast, blast, blast! Who was the lady? I checked out then. A trench of a no baggage according to her, Mrs. Victor. You're according to me. If you can't believe me, who do you want to believe in this world? Let's talk about Lila Hunter. Who? Lila Hunter. You know who he means. The girl who registered as Molly Groves. Oh, slither. I could tell. I saw it, Peter. You understand, Mrs. Victor. You understand we're trying to solve a federal murder in your life in the middle of it? That Lila. That Molly whoever she was. A slither. I feel that she was found dead. She'd been dead for a day when she was found. Now, think about it. Did she have any visitors last memory? I couldn't say. But you must have opened the papers that she has wanted to murder, didn't you? No papers said no Molly Groves wanted for nothing. Now, let me tell you one thing right now. What do you want, do you know? That lab where Molly Scott was mixed up in. Some of the dough turned up. Holding a guy in the hall in peace since he tried to make it a deposit at the Ruxford National Bank on the 116th Street. Clashier called it, called us. She trapped me, Mrs. Victor, not again. Yep. Do you know? Squad cars waiting down here. What's your name? Repalma. Repalma. How are you, how are you hitting J? How are you doing for a living? I have a travel agency for trans-Mexico. Airplane. I am an agent. And this money was passed to the agency? She.  Who do you want me to tell now? I tell. Which is money from the bank robbery? It is money from the bank robbery.  I shall pick it up for you. You know who you sold the tickets to? I remember. I remember very good. Mrs. Jones for her and her husband make a trip to Mexico. How long ago was that? A year and a week. This is how I remember all of it. Three 100-dollar bills, one 50-dollar bills, brand new. So I remember. I remember Mrs. Jones one way to make the cover. How are her husband? Five o'clock plane, maybe. That's a Mrs. Jones make the plane? No. The Aircraft opened on the telephone. They say, how are Mrs. Jones? I spoke to them. I can adjust the price of this money, Rita. Two times a month a deposit. At the beginning and at the middle. Just one more thing, Mrs. Jones is the most very beautiful. It's bland, about five times. It's bland. And to show that they're like a little both must be done. That one, I don't remember. Okay, here you go. I am an honest man. I do not speak. Okay. I'll give you a receipt of this money then you can go. Okay. Open your cards. Oh, Mrs. What do you want? I'm in the interrogation room. We want you to talk. What do you mean? Come on, Mrs. We want you to talk to somebody. I asked you what somebody? That means Mike Dwayne. I'm leaving here. Suffer's here in ten minutes. I'm not going to miss any supper to meet no man. I ain't getting out of here. I've got to make him to bring Mrs. Victor to the interrogation room. Maybe it'll work. Maybe it won't. It will make sense. Come on, let's talk to Mike Dwayne. It's not very pleasant yet, Danny. You know my taste.  The best food. Got Mike. I'm in here, Mike. A man with taste like yours took it home. Another six years ago. Isn't it paper? All right. I'm here. Do your little act. Selena's waiting for me. Tell us again about Lila. She was before Selena. She was... Yeah? Make her not here with Mrs. Victor, Danny. Don't you worry. Got another lady for you, Mike. Name Mrs. Victor. That's a whole call. Oh, come on in, Mrs. Victor. Sit down. Don't worry about Mrs. Victor. You'll have supper later. Cold supper. That's what I'll have. What about Mike? Didn't see you 30 before? They come like that. Where do you get them? I told you they're out of whole thousand scared roads. I want to go back to my cell. A little later. No. No, I want to go back. It's a matter. Don't you like Mike? I'm not going to see him. Not with him. Not with him. Don't let him touch me. Get away from me. Dear lady, I just wanted to assure you that I... Get away from me. I'll back up, Mike. Sit down. You too, Mrs. Victor. Why are you afraid of her, Mrs. Victor? I never got over it. See him with that gun.  How did he scare you, Mrs. Victor? I ought to help you. And he got Lola Hunter in the way of that time. Oh, dear lady. Mike, Brian or whatever you call yourself, thank you. What's your idea coming into my place with a gun? What's your idea making that poor girl sign that register? What's the matter with you anyhow? You think I'm crazy? You want to look in the mirror? That's what you want to do? I told you, Mrs. Victor. See? He's going to hit me.  That's the way he said he would. He really hasn't been here. That does it, doesn't it, Mike? Mm-hmm. Says what?  You know what it does. Marty Scott took your woman. The one before Selena, Lila Hunter. You killed Marty. I did a lot. Killed Marty. The Lila's gun. Then you killed Lila. Don't turn the river. That's interesting. How do you figure all that? Like this, Marty pulled a bank job. He and Lila were taken out to Mexico. She bought tickets to both of them with a bank money. Figure this out, Danny. What you said, the first. Lila killed Marty. Just the money. Double cropped. Funny we think you got the rest of that money, Mike. Me? How? Marty didn't have it. Lila didn't have it. Somebody has to have it. The killer. How do you like that? How do you like that? Big killer, Mike. Clever. Killed a girl, paid for a funeral just to make a strike back on it. To come to you. So you could tell us where she was. In a flea bag under an assumed name like a fugitive. Like a girl who's just killed Marty Scott. And hold her gun on Mrs. Victor. Terrified her. Oh, I wasn't scared. I was just asking. Terrified her. How do you kill her unless Mrs. Victor told the story she did? Registered Lila in Skid Row then slugged her and killed her. And what kind of a story is that about Lila phoning you for help for money? She had money, bank, loot, Marty. What a bother, Mike. Nobody takes anything away from me. Marty tried it with Lila. Look what happened to both of them. Just do me a favor, Danny. Of course, Helena. Tell her not to wait. And the Blair is the temple of yearning and dance. Have a dream. Close your eyes and pretend you're holding something special. I'll bring it. The God is the ultimate mile in the world.


Obviously the sales tax stuff is typically internal. You're not usually going to be running a report on your sales tax liability detail for to give to a client on a monthly basis.  So if you that's just overwhelming detail of reports, oftentimes if you were to give that to a client, they wouldn't know what to do with it oftentimes. So then we've got the four of the accountant. Most of this by definition are kind of internal because they're for accountant usage, but some of them of course are what you give the tax preparer, which are the financial statements that they have the duplicate. So account list, the balance sheet, that's a replica. So those are both internal and external balance sheet, general ledger. That's not something you probably provide to like a client on a monthly basis. It's a long detailed list. It would be kind burdensome. They wouldn't know what to do with it, but you're the accountant might ask for that or might use it when you give them access to your account. Same with the journal report. You're probably not going to give that to a client every month, but you can use it. It could be quite useful for internal usage profit and loss. These are redundant. These are both internal and external. That's the P&L. Recent automatic transactions. That's internal typically. Recent transactions, reconciliations, typically internal. You're not usually given the bank reconciliations to the client on a monthly basis. You're just going to do them. And then recurring template, statement of cash flows, internal and external, because you might add that to your monthly reporting because that's one of the major financial statements. So then we got your transaction detail list. These are all detail lists similar to the general ledger. You're not going to give those to a client usually on a monthly basis. Maybe if you're doing your billing based on that, you might show that as evidence of how much you build them or something like that, but typically they're internal. Trial balance, balance sheet and income statement on top of each other. Internal report, quite useful like many of these are, but not something you provide to the client because the whole point is that you don't provide something to the client that has debits and credits, even though that's more efficient than the double entry accounting system represented in an accounting equation because they don't understand debits and credits, right? But that could be a quite useful report.


Unrhyw y gallwch i'n meddwl am ddiwedd. Mae'r ddodol yn gweithio'r dillunio ac yn dechrau'r ddiddordeb yn ei ddiddordeb. Dîm ddodol yn ei ddodol. Ddodol yn ddodol i gafodd yn eu ddiddordeb i fynd i gyd yn gweithio'r ddiddordeb a'r edrych yn rhan ffwrdd i'r digon o'r ddiddordeb i eithaf yn eu ddiddordeb, byddwn yn ei ddiddordeb yn y rhan o'i gofod ar gyd. Dwi'n ddiddordeb i fynd i ddiddordeb i fynd i'r ddiddordeb. I'm always nice coming over here but I confess to finding the current circumstances a little bit difficult. It's hard not to be reminded of the old joke of God and Archangel Michael talking about the creation of Ireland. When God says, here's the Emerald Isle, this is going to be the most glorious spot on earth of beautiful mountains, rivers, lakes, Cymru ei wneud. Croatol, cyflewnol a'r cyfnodfynol, yn gyflym mae Michael answer yn ceisio. Gwad yw'n ceisio'n ceisio. Pwysig hwn yn ceisio, gan rhai nesaf fynd i erbyn ar adael yma'n gweithio'n cymrydいいodol. Felly byddwn i'n zeddaf i ysgrifennu sy'n gallu cymryd yn arachelio mewn ddedwar i'r adeiladau bwysig a'r cyfnoddau yn Fbridd yn y cyflym sydd ar bethauYNau i mi-ein. Onig wrth iddo ddim yn ddigon nhw'n ymddylch yn ei brofieth bwysig fel y McHenry, ond ei roi'r cyflwyno i ar royalizio bwysigio i'r bwysigio i'r Briton a'i lŷau ar y cyflwyno ac ar y Randolol y Chymru – ac yn cael ei gysylltu'r byd yn gweithio'r llacol. Efallai, rwy'n gallu pwysigio gweithio'r cyflwyno a'r un o gweithio'r blameddau sydd yn bod yn cael ei ffordd o'r cyfan ohefnol y sorg hon. We have a possible compromise on money and the transitions agreement, and then on the ECJ and Ireland where we are present on the future relationship, such as its possible to say. Now, EU officials clearly understand that those position papers were for domestic consumption. They were issued as a way of trying to unite a Cabinet which is deeply split. But what frustrates the commission is that they mix up Article 50, the transition and the future arrangement to which the British officials reply, of course they do because you can't separate the free things. Now the common theme says the commission is that they're still still trying to find ways of retaining most of the benefits while cutting out the ECJ, which is essentially what many er skeptics are still trying to achieve. The commission is particularly hostile to the two papers that look at customs and Northern Ireland. The Irish paper which proposes no borders but doesn't say how has drawn particular criticism in Brussels and raised the suspicion that the British government is basically trying to set the EU up as a scapegoat for the reimposition of border controls because they know how badly that will play in Britain and how much damage it will do to British Irish relations. They are trying to line the commission up as a scapegoat. But that's their interpretation of it. For Brussels, neither of those two papers in particular, they're not happy about any of the papers really, but those two papers in particular show any understanding that the EU side has its own needs and pressures. So, easy on the risk of smuggling on the border here, but more broadly on its own legal order and on the policing of the rules of the customs union in the single market. What frustrates them most is just the lack of understanding running through those papers of the political realities facing the EU side. So, according to one commission official that I spoke to recently, the customs paper suggests that the British don't understand that customs controls are about enforcing the EU's regulatory union that the paper ignores services and regulations entirely, which is right, it does. Option two of the customs paper, according to which there will be no border controls anywhere, basically, and that each party would police each other's customs rules, is basically seen as a joke in Brussels. It's really not taken seriously by anyone. Even officials who are typically quite sympathetic to the UK are scathing, and one couple of weeks said to me, this is mad ridiculous and magic thinking, because it relies on technology that simply doesn't exist and ignores the politics. I think the blunt truth is, and we can come back to this later, if Britain really does leave the customs union and the single market, I think we are looking at hard controls on the Irish border, unfortunately, much as I'd hate to see that happen. Moreover, any trade deal that the UK strikes, say, with the US, will be done entirely on US terms, so the US will demand that the UK signs up to its sanitary and fighter sanitary standards, et cetera, et cetera. That will mean problems for trading agricultural products across the Irish border. Britain is going to be a rule taker in any trade negotiation with a big country, such as the US. Is there divergence between the Commission and the Council on the Brexit process? The UK makes the point that rhows over money, typically addressed by heads of state, and not by the Commission liaising with the country in question. Is it possible that the Council will intervene to force a compromise on, say, money, et cetera? I think some Council officials think it will. They agree with the British that the Commission's mandate restricts its room for manoeuvre. It's basically working within a mandate designed for trade negotiations with a third party, not for negotiating exit with one of its own members. However, the Commission strongly disagrees with this analysis, arguing that there's no divergence between itself and the Member States. On the face of it, there is something to that. We might see differences coming out once we've got over the initial hump. There is broad agreement among the Member States, although money does have a tendency to bring out differences. We'll see how that proceeds. The British think they will get what they want on citizen rights. That would mean basically that the EU accepts reciprocity, i.e. that EU citizens in Britain will be subject to UK law, and that that will be less advantageous to them than the rights that British people living elsewhere in the EU will enjoy because they will be treated as EU citizens, so their rights will actually be stronger. The EU side has resisted that for obvious reasons, but the British side is fairly confident that they can get that through and that there will be no resort to the ECJ to enforce those rights in the UK. I'm sceptical. I think there is one way of reconciling it perhaps, which would be for the withdrawal treaty from the EU to include a very detailed agreement on the rights of EU citizens in the UK, and that those rights will be directly enforceable in the UK courts, but they'd be traced to that withdrawal treaty. That might be some way around it, which could meet EU fears that the British Parliament could dam it, could change its legislation over time and denude people of rights. This is a tricky one, but I think a deal is to be done, but it's not clear, it's not entirely clear. I mean, both sides see the deal that needs to be done on money and on transition, having senior figures in both the council and the commission agree with the UK that there is a way of solving this problem. I think, basically, Britain needs to sign up to a transition deal and pay perhaps 10 billion euros a year into the budget. Now, 30 billion would cover most of the unspent budgetary commitments that EU claims the UK owes it, and they would still be haggling over pension rights, contingent liabilities, et cetera, but those could be addressed by specialist committees. There's a sequencing issue here, but there is a deal to be done, although it will require the UK to put some significant money on the table. The UK thinks some of the top council people see this and would be happy for phase one of the talks to cover the transition arrangements, but they understand that they're going to have to put some money on the table. The problem is differences within the government, as we saw graphically illuminated at the weekend. This deal requires the UK government to appear at least to be speaking as one and to be acting in good faith. On money, ironically, some of the fiercest criticism of the UK is actually coming from countries that have traditionally been its closest allies, i.e. other net contributors to the EU budget, who are fearful of paying more money. So some of the biggest criticism of the position that Britain has staked out on the money is actually coming from the Netherlands and the Nordics, which only goes to highlight how isolated Britain now is within the EU that its closest allies are some of its fiercest critics. Money, of course, is not the only difficulty. If Britain does go for a transition agreement, which I think is all but certain, it will basically be a continuation of the status quo, but with no vote. It will be an off-the-shelf transition agreement, so membership of the single market ECJ free movement. Now, there is an understanding, certainly among most of the cabinet, in the UK, certainly by May and Hammond and David Davis, that that is the only transition deal that the EU is going to offer. But, of course, the Cabinet is not united on this. At the moment, I think it's a brave person that states with any confidence how that's going to pan out over the next weeks and months. I think it's quite clear that for sufficient progress to have been made come the meeting in October, the money issue will have to be, if not settled, but significant progress will have to be made over the next few weeks. The British side thinks it will be. The EU side is much more pessimistic. The Commission has, however, shifted its line on the transition. It used to be, you know, we cannot even talk about this until we know the shape of the ultimate relationship, the long-term relationship. That's gone. I think now they just want some sort of vague discussion of the future relationship. What they really want is article 50 sorted, the money on the table, and an office shelf transition agreement. They know that not probably it's highly unlikely that more than that can be agreed by March 2019. There just isn't enough time. Now, both sides would have an incentive to portray that transition deal as time limited to two to three years. The UK government, for obvious reasons, they want to claim, want to be able to claim that everything will be resolved before the next general election, which has to be held in May or June 2022. But it's impossible really to see that, how that could come about. I mean, the internal discussions that people are having, including us with the Treasury in the UK and everyone else, is that they think five years is the absolute minimum needed to establish the IT and infrastructure for customs posts in the UK. They just don't have the resources and nothing vaguely comparable has ever been attempted. The idea that it could be done in 24 months or 36 is just simply not seen as very plausible. So that really, to be honest, that alone makes talk of no deal a bit fatuous unless you're prepared to create a huge financial crisis and legal chaos, really. The EU line is that the transition has to be short to prevent the EU staying in the EU by the back door, Britain staying in the EU by the back door, having its cake and eating, et cetera. To be honest, I don't find that very credible. A transition deal that leaves Britain in a single market subjects the ECG and freedom of movement paying into the budget but having no say over anything is not the kind of deal anybody else wants. That's not attractive to anybody else. And the money would come in useful, Britain would continue. If it's five years, six years, then obviously it would continue paying into the EU budget at something comparable to the first three years, say 10 billion a year. I don't think that would be insurmountable. I think that would be acceptable to people. The EU line on dispute settlement and courts is also becoming clearer. Most, well, on the future relationship, most people on the EU side could live with a new institution modelled on the after court. The recent paper, the recent UK paper on dispute settlement is the one that's seen a bit more positively. Since it implies Britain could accept a role for the ECJ so long as it has no direct jurisdiction, this does open the way to the UK agreeing to submit disputes to something similar to the after court. So whose opinions on the interpretation of EU rules are advisory formally, but of course, they're not really advisory. In Norway's case, in theory, they could disregard it but they never do because if they were to do that, they would call into question their membership in the single market. But for British political purposes, that might be a way of fudging things and engineering one of the many face-saving exercises that would be necessary in order for the country to retreat. Okay, the future relationship between the UK and the EU. Now both sides claim that the other doesn't know what it wants to say the other's wrong. Britain talks of reducing, this is terms of the long-term relationship, talks about reducing friction at borders through negotiating many mutual recognition agreements whereby each side recognises the other side's standards. Now, as we all know, the EU side has said that won't ensure frictionless trade. These such agreements, one could see them covering the automotive sector, pharma, one of two others. There's no free trade agreement in the world that has MRAs for all goods and then it leaves side services as well so there's an awful lot of uncertainty there. And from the EU side, their argument is, look, if we give the UK MRAs on everything, we fear it will change its rules over time and gain advantage hence and it falls foul of their determination for Brexit to carry a price. Which raises the prospect that it won't just be leaving the customs union that will necessitate an EU-UK border or border controls but also leaving a single market. Leaving a single market will also necessitate those. I think the EU will insist that any FTA allows the EU to punish the UK for undercutting social tax environmental standards but of course, no-one knows quite yet how that will work. It's very difficult to know how that would work in practice. In short, I think a lengthy, given the sheer complexity of all of this, I think a lengthy transition is more likely than not. But there are other questions. Is it possible that Britain could still salvage its membership? Lots of people, not least in the UK, still hope that there could be some way out of this. The toys know that walking away with no deal is not really an incredible threat. There are a couple of head-bangers. You'll probably know some of their names. Some are like Jacob Rees-Marg who really don't care. Just any chance of getting Britain out as soon as possible is enough. He doesn't really care what the impact on the Conservative Party or his own seat or the country is. But most of them, even the really sort of quite doctrinaire ones, and David Davies and people, they know that walking away is not credible. They know that a definitive breakdown in negotiations, so long as it happened a good time before the end of the Article 15 negotiations, would lead to a huge financial crisis, almost certainly a fresh election in the UK. It's very hard in those circumstances to see how the toys wouldn't get badly, badly damaged at that election. It would be very hard to distance themselves from the economic damage having been caused. And we would have almost certainly a Labour-led government, whether that would be Labour in coalition with the Lib Dems and the SNP would depend obviously on the arithmetic. But such a government, depending on how vague Labour had been in the election campaign over Brexit, would open up the possibility of Britain applying for an extension, either of the Article 50 negotiations, or to evoking Article 50. Now, I think that EU would certainly allow it to extend. What kind of reception would Britain get if it applied to evoke? I think that it would probably happen. Obviously, the longer they leave it, the harder it's going to be, but not withstanding the huge frustration with the UK, particularly with the Conservative Party and the country's media, there isn't really much to be gained from leaving the EU for anybody. And it would be a huge propaganda queue. Let's face it for the EU if Britain turned around and did that. Clearly, they would extract their pound of flesh. The rebate would go very slowly. I don't think anyone would put Britain under any pressure to join the euro, not withstanding what Mr Yonfa said last week. But there would be concessions, but I think they would probably be allowed to evoke. Could Britain rejoin from the transition period? I think this is possible and much more likely than Britain revoking and staying in the EU because of the democratic legitimacy issue. It would be much easier to address that issue if Britain reapplied to join. I don't think this is beyond the realms of possibility. It's sometimes hard at the moment not to despair about what's happening in the UK, but the demographics of the country do point to a strongly pro-EU electorate going forward, which is easily forgotten, given what's been happening. I think Britain joining from the transition status is as likely as Britain exiting the transition into some kind of very poor FDA. I don't know what the probabilities are, but I think there is a chance that it won't happen at all, although I think that's slim. I think there's a significant chance that it will end up reapplying, and that's advantageous terms, and an equally significant chance that Britain will indeed end up leaving entirely into some kind of not particularly attractive FDA, which would have huge implications here, obviously. I mean, if I had to bet one way or the other whether Britain would be in the EU in 15 years' time, I would, if I had to bet one way or the other, I'd say yes, it will be. But only after having done an awful lot of damage to Britain and a number of others not least here.


Hello everyone welcome back to another session in dentistry and more. So we are continuing local anesthesia part 4. So this session is about classification and the concept of dissociation of local anesthetic and the most important Hansen-Hasselbach equation. Okay so let's start with the classification. So the first classification category is biological site and mode of action. So biological site of action. So in this category we have A, B, C, D. So the class A. So agents acting at receptor sites on external surface of nerve membrane. So this is acting on the external surface. So the most common example is biotoxins. So which is acting on the external surface. So the class B, okay so this is class A, class B, class C and class D. So in class B so it is the acting agents which is acting on receptor sites on internal surface of nerve membrane, internal surface. Example is lidocaine and scorpion, corpion venom, lidocaine. Lidocaine is quaternary ammonium analogues of lidocaine whereas class C. So the agents acting by receptor independent of physiochemical mechanism which is benzo okay which is the receptor independent of physiochemical mechanism and class D agents acting by combination of receptors and receptor independent mechanism. So most common examples are the lidocaine, prilocaine and mypivocaine. So here also we have one lidocaine that is nothing but quaternary ammonium analogues. So this is class A, B, C, D based on the biological site and mode of action. Next we have based on the source. So from where it is obtained that is natural, synthetic and others okay. Next based on the mode of application can be topical or injectable. Next based on the duration of action. So ultra short that is very, very lesser duration then short then medium and long. So based on the onset of action short we have intermediate long. So that's all about classification now let's see what is dissociation of local anesthetics. So local anesthetics are available as salts usually hydro chlorides for clinical use. Also the salts both water soluble and stable is dissolved in either sterile water or saline. So in this solution it exists simultaneously as unchanged molecule. So this is an unchanged molecule without any charge which is called as base and positively charged molecule which is known as cations. So this is the equation. So the relative concentration of each ionic form in the solution varies in the pH of the solution or surrounding tissues. So in the presence of high concentration of hydrogen ion that is low pH we have very high concentration of hydrogen ions. So what happens is the equilibrium shifts to left and most of the anesthetic solution exists in cationic form. So this will become there will be shifting equilibrium shifting to left okay. Whereas the hydrogen ion concentration decreases that is a higher pH when this is decreases that means high pH. The equilibrium shift towards a free base form that is more number of free base form will be available. So that is depending upon the pH. So when there is a low pH the more of cationic form will be present when there is high pH more of base form will be available. So the relative proportion of this ionic form also depends on the dissociation constant which is known as dissociation, dissociation constant that is pKa. So this pKa is nothing but measure of molecules affinity for H plus ions what is the affinity towards H plus ions is what meant by pKa. So when the pH of the solution has the same value as pKa of local anesthetics exactly half of the drug will exist as RNH plus and the other half will be in RN form okay. So this RNH will be equal to RN that is when pH of the solution pH of the solution has the same value as pKa of the local anesthetic. So this ionic form will be equal to as base form when pH is equal to pKa of that is the dissociation constant of local anesthetic. So the percentage of drug exist in either form can be determined. So in which form the drug or percentage of drug existing in the solution can be determined by an equation which is known as Handterson-Hasselbach equation okay. So this equation actually determines how much of a local anesthetic will be in a non-ionized versus ionized form based on the tissue pH and the pKa of local anesthetic. So the injectable local anesthetics are weak bases. So injectable local anesthetic weak bases though dissociation constant will be around 7.5 to 9.5. So when a local anesthetic is injected into tissues it is neutralized and part of the ionized form is converted to non-ionized. So part of the ionized form will be converted to non-ionized and this non-ionized base this is what diffused into the nerve. So this is what diffused into the nerve okay. So when we inject the local anesthetics into the tissues it is neutralized and part of the ionized form is converted to non-ionized form and the non-ionized base is what diffuses into nerve. So hence if the tissue is infected. So many cases we might face a patient has infection okay in that case why the LA is not working properly because when the tissue is infected the pH is lower the pH is very low because it is more acidic because it has infection. So according to this equation there will be less of the non-ionized form okay the presence of this non-ionized form will be very less when there is an infection. So this RN is very less to cross the nerve membrane okay. So now the less number of non-ionized form of local anesthetic tract to cross into the nerve membrane so the LA will be less effective. So that is why in acidic condition or in infection cases the LA will not work that is the reason because if the infection is there it will be more acidic the pH is very low and as per the equation there will be very less amount of non-ionized form to cross the nerve membrane. So this is what actually crossing the nerve membrane. So less number of RN for the base form to cross the membrane that will be less effective. So next part is mechanism of action of local anesthetic LA mechanism okay. So we already learned it. So LA mechanism so these are the sequence the first thing is displacement of calcium ion from the sodium channel receptor site. So we have this receptor site okay. So this is a receptor site receptor site this is sodium channel sodium channel. So what happens is the calcium ion is displaced from sodium channel receptor site. So calcium ions will be displaced from this receptor site. So the binding of local anesthetic molecule to this receptor site. So the our RN molecule will be binding here. First thing is calcium displacement then the RN molecule the local anesthetic molecule binds to the receptor site. So it blocks the sodium channel. So what it does is it blocks the sodium channel okay. So that is the ultimate aim. So once the sodium enters there will be depolarization but we want repolarization. So there will be decrease sodium conductance. So it depress the rate of electrical depolarization and there will be failure to achieve the threshold potential level because there is no sodium going inside and lack of propagated action potential and there will be conduction blockade conduction blockade. So this is what is happening okay. So from receptor site calcium will be displaced the LA molecule will be attached to this receptor site the sodium channel the conduct the conduction will be reduced the sodium channel will be blocked and there will be decrease sodium conductance decrease rate of electrical depolarization and failure to achieve threshold potential level and lack of development of propagated action potential. So that is what is happening the sodium ion channel is blocked in pain neurons okay. So that is all about this session. So we discussed the classification of local anaesthesia then about the dissociation how the LA molecule is changing from cation to base form and the famous equation and finally the mechanism how the LA molecules blocks the sodium channel. So I will come up with another topic in all surgery thank you.


Welcome to Barbell Logic Rewind. Okay, so now set up this entire sort of theory of programming where we're going, because I want you to understand why we make the changes we're gonna make. So now we're gonna actually get into what those changes will start looking like once you have this theory. By the way, the theory is the most important thing. Let me be clear. Like, you can only take what I tell you to do in the house for so long, right? And just as a side note, we get really good in America at the house and really that's the wise, right? We're just a country of house. Everybody just wants to know, like, tell me the thing, right? But you're never gonna be able to do this to sort of teach a man a fish thing. Doesn't work until you know the wise. So you'll never be able to actually program for a myriad of people, including yourself, well, until you understand the wise behind it. So let's move on to overload. I'll hit this really quick. So overload is just the amount of stress necessary to drive the adaptations needed if it's not strength that we're looking for. But this is a class on strength and force production. Remember that graph that I showed you in the very beginning that looked, you know, with the waves? How much above the baseline is needed to drive the stress adaptation? If too much, I can't recover from it. I'll overtrain or at worst case scenario, it will kill me, I'll actually die, right? If not enough stress, it's not enough to drive the adaptation. There is a small window of overload that I must be able to hit that produce, that stress that will produce the adaptation that I'm looking for, force production. Now, here's the thing. For a novice where you guys have all been and where some of you still are, but where everybody starts, the stress recovery adaptation cycle and overload is super clean and easy to understand. The stress is the Monday workout. It is. The recovery is the time between the Monday workout and the Wednesday workout. It's essentially Tuesday, right? And the adaptation we know occurred because we were able to go up in weight from Monday to Wednesday and not just from Monday to Wednesday because one day is not enough to give us good data but also from Wednesday to Friday to Monday and Monday to Wednesday. And for weeks and weeks and weeks and weeks we're able to keep going up. So you know adaptation occurred. So the amount of overload was right. Now we've fleshed this out for decades. We know essentially what we do is we go up five pounds every workout. That depends some on gender and age and stuff, right? So in the beginning, some of you guys and maybe even some of you girls can go up 10 pounds or even 15 pounds on things like the deadlift for a workout or two. And then you drive to five pounds and you run five pounds out for as long as you can. And then you usually start micro loading and you go to smaller jumps instead of making five pound jumps you go to like two and a half pound jumps which will require you to have one and a quarter pound plates almost no gyms have. Does the university gym have one and a quarter pound plates? Do you bring one and a quarter pound plates? Yeah, right?  If I'm training a lady who's 60 she can't add two and a half pounds everything will work out to her press. That's too much. She can't put one and a quarters on. I gotta make like one pound jumps. And that's fine. Nothing wrong with that, right? So that's what overload is. Okay, nice. Now, here's the question. Why does LP end? Why does linear progression end? Why can you not put weight on the bar? Why do you stop making progress? Yes. Do we get closer to potential? No. I mean, it's a good guess. But here's the question. Where, let's just guess an average.  Those of you who have ended LP, the males, let's start with the males. Where did you stop your squad at LP? Where did you kind of run out of LP if you've run out? And if not, where are you right now? Three sets of five. Where are you doing your three sets of five right now? And is it getting real hard and it's hard to put weight on every single time? Okay, you? Okay. Okay, and I don't even need to go on. Okay, we've got to start having an average.  But in general, there's the thing.  Your genetic potential is to squat. Like perfect programming for the next 10 years, right? You really will hit your absolute strength maximum, probably somewhere in your late 30s. So you guys are in your early 20s, right? So you got 15, 16, 18 years left before. So if you trained perfectly for the next 15 to 20 years, how much do you think you potentially could squat one day? I'm not even gonna say a guess. I'd say 600, 500, between 500 and 600, right? So here's the question. How close is that to your genetic potential? Probably. Like it's less than half, right? And you might not ever get there, but we're still a ways away. So it's not a bad guess. It's just, you still got a long ways to go. Why does it end? Okay, here's the deal. The day is coming for you. 260, did I always say 265, wherever you're? Well, you're not gonna be able to go. Let's say you go from 260, are you making five pound jumps or two and a half right now? So five.  The day's coming soon, when you can't go from let's say 275 to 280. You can't squat 275 for three sets of five on Monday and then 280 on Wednesday. You're gonna miss. Why? Why did you miss? So one theory is there's too much fatigue left over from Monday to actually recover by Wednesday. And that's the most standard way of thinking. And I actually don't disagree with that at all. I think that's exactly right, but I actually think there's something else. For most of us, we get to the point where what is the driver of overload in novice linear progression? Is it volume or intensity? What's the constant? Let's start there. What's the same every single workout? Sets and reps, and what is sets and reps? Volume or intensity? That's volume. Volume sets and reps. That doesn't change. Frequency, which again we talked about as a product of volume, that doesn't change. What changes? Only one thing changes. Intensity, which is what? The weight on the bar changes. That's the only thing we do to drive up stress.  In the beginning, the only thing that changes is the weight goes up until it doesn't because it can't. Which means why can't it go up? Well, here's my theory. One, remember we go back to that original map. We're not able to make a big enough jump in weight to increase the stress enough to drive the adaptation. That's number one. When you're squatting 300 pounds for three sets of five, and you can't add five pounds anymore, you're only adding two and a half, how much more stress is 300 pounds for three sets of five versus 302.5 for three sets of five? Well, it's not that much more stress, just two and a half more pounds. And that might be enough stress to drive adaptation, but at some point it won't be. You're not able to increase the stress enough to drive the adaptation, but also, you're not able to recover fast enough. Because if it is just recovery, this is what's so important. If you get to the point where you can't go from 275 for three sets of five on Monday, you hit that to 280 on Wednesday, and it's just a recovery issue because you can't recover, couldn't you just take another couple of days and recover and then come in and hit 280?  Now, wait a minute. If I'm only squatting every tenth day because it's a recovery issue and a recovery issue only, something else is going to occur when there's 10 days between my squat workouts. And that's what we call detraining. You're actually going to detrain. You're actually going to get worse by the time you recover. See, there's two things going on when we train. There's the stress which we, in the literature, is called fitness. It's called the fitness. How fit are you? Because they're not just meaning specifically for strength training. They're anything, right? And there's fatigue. There's fitness and fatigue. And they're all playing together at the same time. And at the end of LP, you obviously have accumulated fatigue, but you're not able to add more stress because it's too damn heavy at that point. You can't add more stress. So I'm not able to add enough stress to drive the adaptation, but I'm also not able to recover from the thing that I did to get better. So that's when LP stops. So that's coming for you if it hasn't hit yet. Then what do we do? I believe we do what I call minimum effective dose for short. It's actually minimum effective dose of complexity for maximum return on investment. This is key. I still want to make the smallest change I can to continue to drive the adaptation. Again, this is super easy to understand in LP. If the smallest change I can make is taking my squat from 275 for three sets of five and on Wednesday I can go to 277.5 for three sets of five, do it if it works. And when it stops working, what are you going to do? Well, at that point I have to start bringing in another variable. Up until this point, all I've done is increase intensity. Now what do I have to do? I got to start increasing volume. I have to start doing more work and I have to start giving myself enough recovery. So I have to start balancing that fitness and fatigue, the stress, how much stress will drive the adaptation and the fatigue. I have to learn a theory of the right relationship between intensity and volume. If intensity can't go up anymore, what am I gonna do? Well, I've already told you, there's only two ways to drive stress, intensity and volume. Intensity can't go up anymore. How do I keep making sure I'm getting more stress? I'll start adding volume. So now instead of doing three sets of five, what might I do? Four sets of five. Is that more volume? Yep. Is that more stress than three sets of five? Yep. And then I can go five sets of five and I go six sets of five and seven sets of five and eight sets of five and 10 sets of five, hold on. See, the same thing will eventually occur with volume as well. 10 sets of five is not going to make you stronger. It's just too much volume. I can keep increasing intensity and make the weight on the bar keep going up and I can bring the volume down a little bit in order to balance the volume and intensity relationship or I can keep driving the volume up and I can bring the intensity down just a little bit so that I keep the right relationship. But if I take that to the end of the spectrum, the end of the spectrum on the intensity side to be, I'll just go in the gym.  That's the highest possible intensity I could hit, the most weight on the bar. And that's no volume, right? It's one rep. How strong will I get doing that? Not very strong for very long. Like you might actually get better for a few workouts and then what are you gonna do? Why do you do the same thing with volume? How many of you guys have heard of German volume training? You ever heard of that before it's in like the muscle magazines and stuff? It's like a famous way to train from the 70s and 80s. It's 10 sets of 10. That's really what it is. It's crazy. 10 sets of 10. How much volume is that? How many work reps is three sets of five? 15. How many work reps is 10 sets of 10? A hundred. How heavy can you go 10 sets of 10? That's my doubt. Not very heavy. So much so that you can't get any stronger. So I can do tons of volume and very little intensity and it doesn't make me stronger. And I can do tons of intensity and not very much volume and it doesn't make me stronger. The key is to do the right amount of both. And in the beginning that's three sets of five is keep adding weight until I can't do it anymore.  We must have a paradigm shift. Here's what the world does with programs. Okay, I did the starting strength, novice linear progression program. Eventually it stopped working. What am I gonna do? I'm gonna do a new program. What's the new program I'm gonna do? Well, there's, I don't know. Do you guys know what Texas Method is? Have you heard of that yet? Okay, but there's an intermediate program when you can't add weight to the bar anymore on novice linear progression, you're no longer a novice. It's not about how strong you are. You got me? It's that you can't add weight anymore to the bar. Now, there are some people who will end their novice linear progression way too early because they won't get enough rest. They'll drink too much alcohol. They'll have too much stress in their life outside of training. And they prematurely end their novice LP. But everybody at some point can't add weight to the bar. And when you can't add weight to the bar every single workout, you're not a novice anymore. You're something else. And when you can't add weight anymore, you have to do something else. Well, what the world has done up until what we're discussing right now, this is actually really kind of cutting edge stuff. Not that we're inventing something. It's just a new way of looking at it. They would say, well, that stopped working. So let's just do the new program. Let's do Texas Method or Heavy Light Medium or 531 or whatever program I pull out Muscle and Fitness Magazine or whatever. Wrong. It's the wrong way to look at it. The way to look at it is, how do I make a minimum effective dose change to the thing I've been doing that has just stopped working to keep making progress? And what you might do is, you might add a set to Monday's squat workout instead of doing three sets of five, you might do four sets of five. But you know what else you might do? At the same time, you might take a set away from Friday and go from three sets of five on Friday to two sets of five on Friday and make the weight go up so that the intensity is higher on Friday and the volume is higher on Monday. Ooh, I just saw you guys all got chills on your neck when I said it. That's so simple, right? And then might I do the same thing when that stops working again? They'd go to five sets of five on Monday and go to one set of five on Friday and make the intensity keep going up. And when you get to five sets of five on Monday, on squats and one set of five on Friday and we usually do a lighter day on Wednesday, three sets of five is like reduced so it's not too much stress. Now you're doing a program that we call the Texas Method. You can write that down, look it up. That's super easy to find the Texas Method, just Google it, Texas Method. So instead of getting to the end of linear progression and going, oh, crap, I can't do this anymore, I'll just go to the Texas Method. Well, going from three sets of five on Monday to five sets of five on Monday overnight is a lot more stress. It's hard to recover from.  If anybody can, maybe you guys can. It just makes more sense and gives me better data and I'm sitting in a STEM building, right? That's what this building is. So data actually matters that why wouldn't I just make the smallest change possible? Here's the deal. Why would I want to do 10 sets of five if four sets of five gets me the return I want? Do less work for more ROI until it stops working and then do a little more work, a little more stress, right? Makes sense? Now, in order to know that it works, how do I know it works? So up to this point, we're still talking theory. It's gonna stop working, so now I'm gonna make a minimum effective dose change with complexity to make sure it works. How do I know it works? Well, I have two types of metrics I can use. I have quantitative metrics and I have qualitative metrics. Quantitative gives me hard numbers. It doesn't matter what it feels like. You know the best hard number? The PR. Now, don't get this confused. When I say the PR, I don't just mean a one rep max like you did yesterday. You guys should all have a three sets of five PR, right? I've never done this much. I've never done 270 pounds for three sets of five. That'd be a PR for me. Okay, we made progress. Especially if the next time you do three sets of five, you're able to go up and then go up again. Maybe a five set of five. Maybe a five rep max, maybe a three rep max. The simplest and most gratifying measure of performance increase is the PR forever, forever. It's the best thing we have, the best metric we have that tells us that we're making progress. Are you consistently making PRs? Three sets of five PRs, five sets of five PRs, five rep max, three rep max, one rep max, five singles across. That's why you have the notebook and you keep your meticulous records in your notebook, which I assume they all do, right? You keep those records so that you know, okay, the last time I did five sets of five, which might've been two weeks ago. It might've been three weeks ago, but the last time I did five sets of five, I did this much weight and this time I was able to go up. Or I was able to do 365 for four sets of five, and this time I did 365 for five sets of five. That's quantifiable progress, right? So those metrics are really important. Now there's a secondary group of quantifiable metrics we can use as well that are not as important as PRs. They're not as good as PRs, but they're still valuable. I don't wanna throw them out. Those would be things like actual weight on the bar. Did the actual weight on the bar go up? Actual volume, did the actual volume go up? Tonnage, you know what tonnage is? Tonnage is a calculation, it's real simple. Anybody know? What's tonnage? Weight, times reps, times sets. We just calculate the work stuff, right? Not the warmups. The warmups are just warmups. So if I did 300 pounds for three sets of five, I'd take 300 times three times five, equals this number, that's tonnage. Now, tonnage is not a be all end all, but it's a very important metric. Why is it not a be all end all? Because 10 sets of 10 in German volume training is a giant tonnage amount that doesn't get you stronger. Intensity can actually mean two things. When I say intensity, I'm talking about how heavy, but I can literally could mean magnitude, like literally how much weight is on the bar, literally. Or I could mean relative intensity, which means what percentage of your one rep max is it? So you deadlifted 365. So if you're gonna deadlift 300 pounds, you take 300 divided by 365, you get a percentage number, and you say, okay, I'm working at, whatever that is, 88%. Well, the next time you work at 89% or 90%, that's a quantitative metric that says that you're making progress. Not the be all end all, PRs are better, but it works. Calculated one rep max, not the be all end all. Is it quantitative? Yes, you know how to calculate one rep max? You can look it up on Google, it's all the same, right? It's weight times 1.033 times reps. Is that right? I did that right? Yeah, I think that's right. Anyway, look it up, Google, calculated one rep max.  Is your one rep max 315? No, your calculated max is 315. It's not the same thing. Somebody asks you how much to your squat? You don't get to say 315.  But it is a place that we can derive data. There is the primary quantitative metric we use, which is the PR, and there's the secondary quantitative metrics we use. I've had some other ones.  And when they actually move the bar and they squatter the deadlift, it measures meters per second. You can put into the box. Here's how much weight is on the bar. So there's 365 pounds on the bar. It moved this fast. It calculates force, right? Those things are 1,000 bucks, so you probably don't have them, but it's still a quantitative metric. So let's mention it. And a lot of times when I give this talk to strength coaches who are at division one universities, they have an unlimited budget. They're like, that's called a Tendo unit, that thing I just told you about. You know, 1,000 bucks, 2,000 bucks. Oh yeah, we got 40 of them. Now, qualitative metric, qualitative metrics, this is huge. Qualitative metrics are subjective. It's based on perception of the way you feel and it's often self-reported. It basically says, how hard was it? How hard was it? How did this make you feel? So if I said, hey, if you did a deadlift set of 365 for a set of three, you did it for three reps. And I said, how many reps could you have done it for? You said, I don't know, probably five. That's qualitative. How do you know? How do you know you could have done it for five? You don't. You're just guessing. Now that doesn't mean it's worthless. The longer you train, the longer you train, the more tight you'll get on some of that qualitative metric. But we cannot hold qualitative metrics on the same level as quantitative metrics. And then here's the deal. When we use qualitative metrics as a communication tool, as a descriptor for something, which is really just saying this, this might be a better way of saying it. Like, hey, how hard was it? It was really, really hard. Or it was hard. Or I don't know. It was moderate or it was easy. Those are all qualitative. Now the longer you train, the more tight you'll get with that with description. Here's the problem. Many, many, many coaches program using qualitative metrics. They say, what you're gonna do is you're gonna work up to a set of five in the squats with the weight you could have done for eight. That's it. Go. And you're like, I don't know what I could do for eight. I'm just gonna guess. And I'm gonna do it for five, right? Can you see how there's like way too much fuzz there? Why that could be a problem? But if it's a description, if it's just like, okay, you did it, you completed the work sets. I was there watching you in person or for us on online coaching. I videoed myself with my cell phone so I could see your bar speed and see how hard it looked like to me. And you say, yeah, it was this hard. I had two reps left in the tank. I had three reps left in the tank. It was as hard. I couldn't have performed another rep. It's fine for a communication tool back and forth. But it's not the same thing as a PR. You don't get to say, oh, I squatted 365 and last time I squatted 365, I had two reps in the tank and this time I had three reps in the tank. So I'm more strong. No, it's too much perception. Bad data doesn't work, right? So what we're gonna do is that since we're going to increase force, since force production is what we wanna do, since that's what strength is. Strength is force production. We're gonna make minimum effective dose changes. One change at a time, one change at a time. So we get good data. LP stops working, add a set to Monday. See if it keeps working. If it doesn't, that variable didn't work. If it does, you're fine till it stops working. Take a set away from Friday. Go up, do it again. Make Wednesday a light day. You're having a hard time recovering. Monday, Wednesday, Friday, go Monday three sets of five. Wednesday three sets of five at 80% of what you did Monday and Friday five pounds more than you did Monday. So now you're going heavy twice a week instead of three times a week but you added that recovery in. I needed a little more recovery. I still needed a little bit of work because there's no work between Monday and Friday. It might make me detrain. I might actually get worse at squats. I still need some stress. I just don't want enough stress to like bonk me that I can't recover from. Make one change. What most people do is they finish one program like novice linear progression where all that happens is you go up and wait a little bit and then they change to a totally different program and they change the volume, the frequency, the intensity, like how heavy it is, the exercise selection. They bring in a bunch of new exercises and then here's the problem. Even if that new program works, what worked? What variable was the thing that made it work? You don't know cause you just changed five variables. Don't change five variables. Like while all of this is theory, right? The scientific method says, okay, I'm gonna use logic and reason and my experience to derive to come up with a hypothesis and then I'm gonna start testing that hypothesis. And when I test it, I'm gonna have a control and I'm gonna change a variable and I'm gonna see how it works. If you change five variables, how do you know what variable worked? So if it didn't work, you don't know what didn't work. And if it did work, you don't know what did work. Change one thing at a time and then keep making progress. There's no reason to train like a World Strongest Man competitor. No reason to like read a magazine or like get online and like, I'm gonna see what the guy who's World Strongest Man is doing and do what he's doing when you just finish novice linear progression. That's an easy one for you guys to understand, right? Like nobody's in the World Strongest Man. Why would you train that way? That guy's an advanced, advanced, advanced athlete. But what people will do is they'll go, well, here's a program for kind of intermediates or 531 which is a famous program that actually a buddy of ours wrote and it's actually a perfectly good program but it's a perfectly good program only at the right time. I have to work my way into it one step at a time by changing one variable at a time. Okay, last thing. When I get to someone who's at the end of novice linear progression where a lot of you are about to get into that spot. I choose to keep driving intensity up. I keep making the weight on the bar go up which means because I can't do it three sets of five I have to start making the volume go down. There's a relationships inverse like this. Volume has to start coming down in order for intensity to keep going up. If you're doing 270 for three sets of five and you get into the weight room and you do 275 and you can't hit it for three sets of five, especially if you try it again, get good sleep, get good food, miss it again, what you might do is go to 275 for three sets of three which is less volume but more intensity. And then I might go to 280 for three sets of three and then 285 for three sets of three and then 290 for three sets of three and then I can't hit it for three sets of three anymore. And then I might go to two sets of three or I might go to 290 for one set of three and 275 for two sets of three and do a couple of back off sets. Change one thing. There's lots of things you could change. Just change one. Now here's the question. If I use those quantifiable secondary metrics if I calculate tonnage, if I calculate one rep max, if I calculate total work and I go from three sets of five at 275 to three sets of three at 280, all of those calculations will show me is doing less.  Why would I keep making the intensity go up and the volume go down? What are we trying to do ultimately here? Just trying to get strong. And strength is force production. And so a 290 pound squat requires more force production than a 275 pound squat even if it takes less volume to get there. That won't work that long. I'm only gonna reduce the volume and increase the intensity for maybe four weeks with my clients. That's a practical sort of thing that I do. And here's another thing that occurs. I actually think voluntary hardship occurs. There is a refining power in this. You guys realize that like, I know nothing about any of your backgrounds, right? I have no idea. Some of you guys come from like broken homes or probably terrible backgrounds. Some of you get bougie or born with a silver spoon up your hind end, right? Or whatever, right? So I don't know. Here's what I know. You don't get to choose the card you're dealt when you're born but there's an entire university out here who will not go in that weight room and put a heavy barbell on their back and squat. And for those of you guys who have already seen this, when you do that, it starts to refine you not just physically but it refines you mentally, emotionally. It gives you a self-confidence you didn't know you had. Not an arrogance, not a douchebagginess. We're not doing this to be bodybuilders, right? We're not doing this to take pictures of our butts and post it on Instagram. That's not the deal, right? We're doing this. Do you do that? No. We're doing this to get strong. And when we get strong, we choose voluntary hardship. We choose hardship. We choose to do something voluntarily that's hard. And that refines us. And by the way, strength is not the only thing that will do that. There are other things that do that. But there are lots of people who their whole life will go that will never do anything hard and will never be refined by it. And that's a problem. That's why I get them heavy. That's why I make them go heavy because it will refine them in the process. And then I'll start letting them go a little bit lighter and we'll start doing more volume. Okay, let's wrap this up. These are the steps that I make, the actual practical, like, okay, I've been waiting for this whole like, what do you actually do? This is not the only way to skin the cat. This is just what I do. So I start with novice LP, just like you guys have been doing, making five pound jumps every workout. When I can't make five pound jumps every workout, I'll make two and a half pound jumps every workout. I don't know that I would make less than two and a half pound jumps every workout with college kids.  And you have to make smaller jumps and two and a half pounds. There's nothing wrong with that, right? With a 60 year old lady, I got to make one pound jumps. I have an 82 year old lady, she's freaking awesome, right? She came to me, I started deadlifting with her, I had to go to her house. I made her deadlift a little bitty kettlebell. She's a pipe organ player at her Methodist church. And I stacked up Methodist himnals up until they were like at her knees.   She's a widow, her husband died like seven years ago. She was a real nice house. All of her kids live in the Pacific Northwest. She has nobody. She couldn't get off the toilet. She really struggled to get off the toilet. She couldn't get in and out of her car. Her brain was fine. She was like fine, tells great stories, super, super sharp, right? Now she deadlifts 145 for sets of five. She's 82. It's changed her life, guys. This stuff matters. You know what matters. You saw what it's been doing to the kids that you're working with. They're not all kids. They're grownups, right? You've got a group of handicapped people who have been given better life skills and confidence that are able to communicate in a way that they weren't able to do because of this thing. It's not because of strengths. I mean, it is, but it's because of voluntary hardship because they did something hard that refined them. That's why we do this stuff, right? So add weight for as long as I can. When I can't add weight anymore, I can't go up like micro-loadings two and a half pounds. I might go to a Wednesday light day to give myself a little more recovery. Then I might move from the volume down and make the weight keep going up from three sets of five to three sets of three for a few weeks to a three rep max. So maybe like five singles across. Then I'll start bringing intensity down and volume back up until I get up to like four sets of five, five sets of five on Monday and one set of five on Friday. I do that for a while. And then when that doesn't work anymore, I get to what Marie is on right now, which is what's called a four day split. So now she doesn't train three days a week. She trains four days a week, but she squats and dead lifts twice on like Monday, Thursday. And she does bench press and press and upper body accessories like chin ups and stuff like that on like Tuesday and Friday or Tuesday and Saturday, four days. And I drive stress up that way. And then eventually I'll bring in some supplemental lifts to start attacking some more weaknesses and we'll go from there. But all one thing at a time. And what most people do is they'll go from number one to number 12 overnight. There's no reason to do that. It doesn't give you good data. This is long-term stuff, long-term. I want this thing to last for 10 years. So we got to be smart about this thing, right? Different for everybody. That's why it has to be minimum effective dose change. It's why you can't take a template program that worked for one person and say it's gonna work for the other person. Here's what we know. You know what works for everybody? Linear progression works for everybody. Everybody. Some people it works better for than others. Better responders, better athletes are obviously gonna do better at it than someone who is much less athletic. Doesn't matter. Works for everybody. When it stops working, make one change and keep progressing. When that stops working, make one change and keep progressing. And that works for everybody forever. Now what change you make in what order might change based on your demographic? I might keep you at fives longer than I keep the girls at fives. But I'm still just gonna make one change. And then I get good data. And the more data we have, the more we actually learn about this thing. By the way, there isn't any data. All the data on this stuff, have you guys studied this all? All the data that you guys got on this stuff, I mean, you're collecting data. All right, so let me give the caveat. All the data in the published literature that's not being put out essentially by Nick Rikulia is bulls***, right? Like they're doing data on strength and hypertrophy with a one-legged leg extension. We just did the Morton at all article. Right, yeah, right. Exactly. Yeah, gotta be hard. Like duh, right? You read it, you're like, I just read an article that said, scientists are going to, there's a big group of scientists, I need to find the article to tell you too, that they've gone back and looked at studies over the past just 10 years. And I like the past 60. And in the past 10 years, when they go back and reproduce the studies, 60% are wrong. Data matters. Like that's what your entire background is. But it's gotta be good data. You don't get to take bad data, get your confirmation by us and say, this is what works, right? That's bad data. Okay. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you. Chertsey. Thank you guys.


Hey, let's go what's going on? Sorry a little bit wait Yeah, but I'm here. That's all right. We got out here one second one second Tim We got ma'am's to Tim or as we do every Tuesday and Thursday folks and you can get hold of Tim every trading day at odd hyphen Oracle comm that's odd hyphen oracle calm and you know what Tim? You know, it's a funny about that. I was listening to you Tommy and Jacob And I always say odd dash oracle and I heard Jacob saying hyphen. I saw that's what it's supposed to be hyphen Well Appreciate the call out. Absolutely kidding me Yeah, where were you? Where were you Tuesday? I just couldn't make it. Yeah. All right. I just couldn't make it. Okay, whatever. Yeah, so But actually I sent you over some charts. We can take a look at him. I got him. That's the way this one's out with number one Yeah, actually flip the chart four and five, which is on the SMP. No problem four and five here We gotta get four right here. Yeah, yeah four Because I think this is kind of an important area. I did get long last Thursday. Yep, and the top window is the 10-day average of the trend. Yes, and the chart goes back. It was like about a year or so and I just shaded the areas in pink when that 10-day trend got above 1.2 and Over the last week or so, you know, we're in that shit. Well, we only hit 1.19, you know This is not a perfect science. It's not like math one plus one is two Yeah, but one point I had a couple of different days there or 10-day periods Where that ratio did hit 1.19 and I shaded that in pink and we're in that vicinity right now and Usually you're supposed to see panic Panics happen when the trends above 1.2 or near 1.2 and higher and usually when you get to a support area That's where the panic should occur at if actually that area is going to be support. Yes So So we got down to I said in previous on your show I thought the market had playing pretty good support around that 120 area and that area is going to be support That's when the the 10-day trend should get up around 1.2 or higher and sure enough It is not saying the you know came a goal a little bit lower maybe But yeah, we're in the vicinity right now that It's a good place for the bottom to form because there's a trend line across there It's pretty much the previous highs basically the highs of late or Looks like about August in 2022 That just stayed there for a second. Yeah. Well in Tim Do you also remember, you know when you were first saying where you thought the spy was going you thought it was going to 420 then it looked like it was gonna hold at that for you know 30 32 Yeah, but it hit the 420 just stay right there folks Tim and I come right back Welcome back folks Tim. We're talking about I do appreciate a growl on a problem with us We have the Dow Industries right now Up eight nasa that gets down to S&Ps off to okay Tim. So we're looking at this S&P the trend right now Right the S&P trend and actually yeah, we were talking on the show There's around that 430 435 on the S&P's and I listed Just on a daily chart all the ticks and trend readings on those days in that in that range it was like 430 to 445 or something. I remember exactly what the number was but the 10-day trend never got up to one near 1.2 And so and finally it did and it and as we broke through Below that 430 area. That's when the panic really started to occur and that's when you know Basically a 10-day trend, you know, that's two weeks of pretty much selling because that's you know two weeks is 10 days No, I'm with it and what I meant a bit of leaving on the sell button Yeah, no, there's no doubt and what I meant, you know, because you remember at the beginning of this down draft You were looking for 420 and then in the market was stalling, you know, and it is like okay, man I mean we've all done the same thing.  Here we go But because it is intriguing that number is intriguing because you know it comes back to the breakout area too, right? I mean, that's that's where it went. Yeah. Yeah, but we're just basically testing a trend line So yeah, I'm thinking this is pretty good, but now let's look at another chart. So There's more okay more indicators here chart number five, okay The actually The bottom window is what they call it is egg is wag. Marty's wag. Oh died. Yes. He was a brilliant I don't know a trader or whatever. Yes I don't know how much you made me me a lot of money in the market and he came up with this breath His wag breath thrust indicator and I kind of put it on it It's it's a anyhow, I simplified it a little bit it's pretty close to exactly what his rules are but What it is in general is the NYSE advancing issues divided by NYSE total issues and you take a 10-day Yeah, 10-day I think it's a 10-day. I can't quite read it. It's a 10-day average that ratio when it falls below Uh 40 point four oh yes point four and rallies at point six That's what you call a His wag breath thrust. Okay, and that's what that's coming off of a low So you really plunge down. Yeah, and it is but and within then within 10 days It has to get above point six, right? So it has to happen in 10-day period Has to go below point four to point six and ten days And the blue lines show the times or blue arrow show the times that has happened. So we're Um, we're point four right now But over the last couple of days a couple of days ago. I think it got down to point three six So we did hit below point four oh What I'm hoping for on this next rally Within 10 days of hitting below point four. We hit above point six Yes, if we do that, that'll be a uh as a wagon breath thrust Now those type of things that come at uh major market bottoms Sometimes you get two or three sometimes you just get one At that last low, you know from may of of 2022 may of 2020 Or 20, you know 2000 May of 2022 to may of 2023 that happened twice and I got it noted there So that's the reason why it's kind of bullish in me that term that break thrust Happened twice in that region. So I'm hoping it happens now. It depends on this next rally and with tim Go ahead, you know with tim saying here folks. Okay. This is so cool You know, he does a lot with ratios and as he's explaining this You know tim you can see we both know when you come off bottoms as as tim is just talking about Off big bottoms, you just people can't believe that you can come off them with such strength And when that happens, you normally do see Two or three monster moves. So this is really cool, man. I'm I'm I like these ratios. You're doing tim I mean, it's they're really cool, man. I mean Because it I think it smooths things out. Do you know what I mean? It takes they take longer to basically come off That would make sense, right? But the bottom line is that that's that's what you want. I mean, right?  Yeah, exactly another chart. I got another send my chart Just kind of show where the public is. I didn't send that to you But okay, maybe we'll cover it next week, but anyhow, this is what I'm kind of looking for depends on this next rally Will we get a breath?  That's hard to say from a video You're doing a good job if we get one then I'm thinking we're looking for Even though we may consolidate again, you know, to me that would be we're going to bust through those old highs we had back in uh, what late 2021 or early 2022 I can't quite see where it is But I think we'll bust through those highs and possibly hit higher But also one another thing. So we got the bottom window Again is the The ratio of advancing issues divided by total issues take a 10 day average of it gets below minus 40 And also when the rsi, which is the second window down from the top Yeah gets below 30 when that combination happens and those Marked with the red lines there. You're usually looking at some at least on a short term basis At least a short term balance So we're setting out a low just because the markets too extended to the downside And plus you know in chart four we got a lot of panic on that decline.  Don't know, uh, but we're we're in the region of some sort of worthwhile low here And uh, and the jobs the jobs number, you know comes out tomorrow at 8 30 in the morning So, you know the unemployment number came out today and that was light man I mean, you know people getting on you know, well it was heavy actually Um, you know, but that jobs number is going to be important because the ad t number eight ap Yeah, anyway, whatever number that was uh come out yesterday That was also soft But you never can really depend on that for the actual jobs number because if this jobs number comes in soft This market's going to go because that'll be saying that the fed is basically done You know, and then we'll see okay where the industry structure goes. You know what I'm saying? So That's going to be intriguing. Yeah Well, I'm thinking so I could be already baked into the cake here Um, you know because we've got a quite a few ingredients of a bottom. You got panic Uh, you got this, you know breath His white breath starting, you know, but selling out to the top kind of go lower, maybe But usually it's where it's soft special in the rsi's, you know hit below 30 So I'm thinking You know that that numbers, you know smart money probably already knows what that is So I'm thinking but you know if that could really produce a decent rally though And that is like, um breath stress hit 60 You know, I'm bullish until year end because I think you'll have some minor consolidations But in general, I think this market will work right higher all the way into december And that's what's so cool about it hitting 60 so I can see what you're talking about for sure I mean because then then and what happens technically on that folks is that the first rally coming off the lows The people at a shot won't cover it. Then you get another rally Yeah, it's like then a lot of people cover then you get the next rally that everyone has to cover. Yeah, so Yeah, tim and I are going to be coming right back folks.  Uh tim always told me we do appreciate you growling and prowling with us And don't forget folks. Uh, tim's got a great newsletter. You can reach tim at odd hyphen oracle.com That's odd hyphen oracle.com. We have the dial right now down two nasdaq's off three s and p's off four And uh, it looks like everyone's waiting for this job is number tomorrow morning. So Okay, so we would like to go tim All right, let's go to one. Okay one. Yep. I got you. All right so we have this chart goes back to, uh 2012 okay, and it's a bottom window indicator, which is a gdx Uh up down volume A percent with a 50 day average And and the circled red stuff there is when that indicator got below minus 20 Yes, and if you go and if you go up to the the top window, which is gdx When that thing hit that bottom indicator hit minus 20 the market actually went Most times went fly sideways if not down a little bit Last time this happened was in, um, august of 2022 Went down probably looks like about three four months before the rally actually started And the minus 20 hit back on, um, I think it was June june 13th of 2003 this thing hit minus 20 So now that's higher than where the price is now But if you look at the previous time it happened the market kind of skidded down for another few months Before the rally actually began. So when this indicator hits below minus 20 I usually say the decline's over either flips sideways to modestly down. That's exactly what's happening. So, um So now Okay, let's flip to uh, so anyhow add June 13th. He had four months you come up with october We've gone sideways for about almost four months. Yeah, we have no I can see that Yeah, I put the charge to okay Um, this is kind of a blown up chart the blue areas are when this indicator is above, uh Uh, I think it was minus or zero, but this is above zero And when it's just non-color when the indicator is below zero. Okay, but anyhow, if you look at The last time this happened it it was uh, july or august of 2022 you flip sideways for six months Then of uh last year that june 13th time frame the market went aside four months And we got a signal here Uh, june 13 uh june 13 23. So we're basically gone sideways for four months And the indicator has dropped down below a low level Similar to what happened in 2022. That's if you go back to the bottom of the chart that in here I just circled in red. Yes something similar Um, so I'm thinking we're doing okay. I mean the market's supposed to be doing Previously was down in the past. So I flipped a chart tree. Okay Now Now there's a little bit different indicator still the gdx up down volume, but it's an 18 day average And the next one above it is the 18 day average of advanced decline indicators And what I want to point out here is the positive diversions what happened You can take these positive versions all the way back to 2012 the same thing happens every time The s or the gdx makes lower lows and both those indicators make higher lows And I pointed those out with red arrows. Yes, so Uh, they really get this rally going You need to close above Minus 10 on both those indicators and stay above minus 10 last two rallies It didn't it didn't hold came back down one more time But this when you know the previous On page one of this indicator, you know the market flipped sideways for you know four or five Sometimes six months. So we're in a four month timeframe right now So we're due for this indicators both these indicators to get above minus 10 and actually stay above minus 10 Uh, I put my newsletter Last week that I did by auctions last thursday Okay, a little bit higher than where we are right now But the odds still say i'm probably price wise a pretty good price wise About out december's december. Okay, so So I got plenty of time I think even though this market wiggle is a little bit lower over the next week or two Time-wise we're pretty good. We're pretty close for These two indicators to get above zero minus 10 rather and stay above minus 10 So we'll have to wait and see if i'm right or not. We'll be talking about if i'm wrong or right I guess we you know, we need tim we need some kind of like a drink that gives us all patience Yeah, that's right. Actually when I was younger, I didn't have patience for all this crap, you know Oh, listen, man, I remember saying to you on the air in like 96, man Like yes, you're coming off saying this i'm saying what because my time frame then was like tens of seconds and Like you're saying a month and a half. This is a month and a half man. What are you talking about? I mean, I I have patience now.  I mean, it's like what yeah But that's when the big money's made. That's what the big money's made I'm a little bit early on these trades and and sometimes You know, I never probably will be cured of that because right But yeah, but sometimes I've nailed the lows here within a day or two. Mostly that's been luck But a lot of times I got as long as I got the bigger trend Right, that's right. I'll be okay. That's right. And particularly because what happens folks these gold stocks gets so low And I know plenty of your own gold stocks I'm handy because you can get a double in about a heartbeat you can get a double like in 10 days You know when you know, I'm not talking about stock that's 50 But these stocks that you know five or 10 bucks They go in about 10 to 12 days and then they'll they'll go even further But that's how fast they come off the bottom because the the market's so small.  That's right. You know, that's right. And at some point They're going to leave everybody behind there. You know, I was going to go everybody's going to sell And the market was going to keep going. Yeah, we had 20 that's going to happen again Yeah happened in 2000 happened in 2000 Well, 2010 it was it was basically a top one straight down But that was a trending market and so we're due for another trending market Yeah at some point, you know, right and because garbage moves over time have led to impulse ways You know, you you've got to figure out which which way that impulse way is going to go. Yes. So Um, I'm thinking this one's kind of lining up to the upside. Well, at last, I don't know, you know, but We're due for a big breakout, you know, it No, I got hanging at all time highs here and The the equity market or the gold gdx market, you know, this is just kind of been garbage It's just been setting low and not doing very well and and you get short term bounces that laugh You know, maybe a month or two at most and it comes right back down again So, I don't know we'll have to wait and see remember the good old days You know You gotta, you know, you bought these 25 sip, you know gold stock that went to teens and 20. I know man. Yeah so Yeah, that was between, you know, that a garbage stock it turned into a garbage stock but court of lane I remember I bought that at 30 cents. I think I sold us 20 bucks Uh 15 bucks and then of course, I had bg o and we had bg o right, right, and uh I sold it and uh the teen now I could 10 or 11 or something like that. Yeah, which is the same I don't know Well, listen tim, it's always a pleasure, man. You have a great weekend a safe weekend We look forward to speaking to you on tuesday All right, thanks man. Stay right there folks come right back