Hi everyone, I'm Joe for jaspyscasebreaks.com with 2021-22 hit parade basketball. It's a dual case break so we've got a box of limited edition right here series 16 and this this is a looks like a brand new release it's series one I've never seen this before but lottery picks it we're gonna do that last so it's a dual case break and it's a random team 20 boxes total should be a lot of fun stuff in here good luck everyone thanks to everybody who picked their grab the spot straight up bought their spot straight up thanks to the people who got into took a chance on those fillers we appreciate you taking the risk there all 30 teams are in let's go let's roll it randomize names and teams five and a four nine times one two three four five six seven eight and ninth and final time after nine we got thomas with last spot mojo up top then on the bottom and then five and a four nine times the teams two three four and ninth and final time we got warriors down to sons all right thomas you got the gold state warriors steve birch hornets and miami heat jimmy with the kings jason with the bull steve with the oklomas the thunder michael with the pacers danie with the pistons chad with the clippers the kind he got my lakers david with the spurs eric with the hawks jason with houston diana with cleveland joel with the nets tarry with the nicks michael with the jazz alvaro with the nuggets john with the bucks zihau with the magic jesse with the raptors danie with the gris roim with the wizards thomas with the celtics anthony with the sixer steven with the pelicans and the trailblazers danie with the mavs jimmy with the tea wolves and ben with the phoenix sons all right let's sort by column a and we're gonna pause the video just for a little bit and we'll do a quick little trade window but remember trade at your own risk you know you don't know what's gonna what's gonna pop what could pop out of here um be right back all right welcome back ladies and gentlemen no deals were done that's all good it's all right here on on valentine's happy valentine's everybody it's over for most people but hope it all went well hope your super bowling went well now i guess we're getting focused shifting our attention to to basketball now so we'll do limited edition first all right good luck boys and girls first one out of the gate is going to be tyrese maxi recon rookie autograph for the sixers it's going to be for anthony right and we got pageus doyakovich two out of 15 for charlotte all right gets for new orlean sorry we go by city here for these older for these older sets that'll go to see them flat jopey jopey mix in a water mix in a glass of water just in between plate and auto that's killing haze that's a train whistle it's a one of one for uh detroit does not say detroit on here anyway killian haze plays a detroit he's only played for one team danie with the pistons danie all aboard the big hit express right it might i'm why am i like second guessing myself now it's at the end of the day maybe i'm getting a little loopy yeah detroit all right so there you go danie thanks for getting in and we got yannis antedicompo revolution autograph nice milwaukee that's john with the bucks nice and that's with a spot that he won too so he only paid a fraction of the price to get in all right next up is patent pritchard jersey nautograph out of select rookie jersey nautograph for the seas thomas with boston 40 out of 199 next up is theomaldon dual relic an autograph that pops 10 out of 10 is that yannis a different sometimes they have different variations or something i don't think so great card it is ruihachi mura from contenders optic basketball psa nine that's for roi and the wizards there is a validating mark 16 out of 25 callin sexton cleveland this is for you diana with the calves well they sure do michael reggie miller debontus demontus a bonus miles turner etc etc next up is james worthy big game james volcanic autograph that is to 25 that's for my leikers kind with los angeles do we save the random list yes we always record that on this very video you could even uh use the dvr function rewind back a little bit you can see the randomizer you ended up with uh the orlando magic by the way nor orlando magics thus far spoiler alert and we've got cameron johnson psa nine rookie auto for the suns that's going to be for ben for ben and the phoenix suns all right now let's see what this is all about basketball lottery picks exclusive edition series one oh yeah see the guys the guys have all sorts of names for you michael definitely exist so we're assuming these are all all lottery picks maybe i don't know how strict they are about that then this could just be just a uh just a name but i don't know we'll see all right first one's graded and it's for the sixers alan iverson rookie exclusives psa 10 from 1996 upper deck basketball wow ai the answer anthony with the answer now we're talking about practice all of her not a game all right we have we have chris bosh for toronto 195 out of 750 from 0304 spx wow a 9 5 and 10 and this is when they put the sub grades on the back right there centering a 10 corners a nine edges and surface a 9 5 it's really cool uh toronto jesse with some dino dna and that tried to trade couldn't trade mojo now the graded card and it's kevin durant psa 9 2007 tops rookie card of course kevin durant stuff goes to okc that's c birch or sonic stuff goes to okc that is nice one c so far so good it's pretty solid these are really nice pretty good names here will this trend continue let's go i hope so so we got ai chris bosh ai chris bosh we got kevin durant and we got deer a fox in the box deer and fox from 1718 panini prism basketball fast break edition nine fives all around on the sub grades for a total of nine five deer and fox for the king king's edition going to jimmy connell 107 out of 125 next one i think all these have been graded so far rookie roll call look at this joe p's gonna like this one from 1516 totally certified rookie roll call autographs mirror camo parallel 8 5 10 devin booker 16 out of 25 what happened i guess the corners were 8 and a half edges were in 8 but the centering was a 10 surface was a 9 5 phoenix sun spin great hit yeah and you you know you usually don't i don't remember like a lot of devin booker autographs but that's what his auto looks like he's got got some good penmanship all right next one good luck these have been great so far we've got luke donchich from panini donner's basketball green flood parallel near mint 8 5 we got hitting you with a half grade here on this psa slab that's for dallas that's for danie danie and dallas luke kids pretty good all right good luck well play to the whistle eric we are not done not by any means unless do you want to sell your team someone for the last four boxes prorate it all right next up is signature moves ray allen 1 out of 35 nice one for boston that's going to go to thomas and the celtics i mean there's lots of pacers they can include whether it's in here or not or it could be in a different case maybe we'll get some more all right next is joelle and bead flawless autograph four out of 15 nice one for philadelphia that's for anthony two more to go fingers crossed ladies and gentlemen thank you for getting in appreciate it thanks for digging deep yeah these boxes are really strong everyone for a day we'll try to get some more for uh some other time we've got a thick card here thick card that is nice sneaker swatch signatures carl anthony towns six out of ten piece of the sneaker big autograph this is from 1617 immaculate basketball that's jimmy with the tea wolves a wild cat has appeared all right last but not least let's see we got fingers crossed graded card i'm feeling graded i'm feeling psa slab the clippers nice 39 out of 99 die cut autograph shea gilgis alexander people like sga 2018 panini crown royale basketball graded in an eight nice one for the clip show that's going to be for chad chad getting one on the board at the very end one better than none i'm joe for jaskiescasebreaks.com thanks for watching that was a great rally around all the fillers and the straight up spots here and i think overall in a broad sense i think this case was really nice so maybe we'll dig up some more of that lottery cases and you know and some more hip parade in general i'm joe thanks for watching thanks for breaking with us and we will see you next time for the next break


Does your power supply unit need to be precisely monitored? Do you wish to raise alerts if your battery packs go over or under current voltage, power and temperature? The TSC 1641 is our new generation of digital power monitors. It enables safe monitoring thanks to its accurate integrated ADC, its extended voltage range and its flexible bus interface, the new MIPI 3C bus. Let's jump to our demo of an electrical skateboard. Here, we monitor the battery voltage and current under different speeds. We can see the alert when the current goes higher than the limit we have established. So how does it work? The TSC 1641 integrates two 16-bit channels. One is for the current measurement of a shunt resistor with a common mode voltage up to 60 volts and the other one is for the load measurement up to 60 volts. The power is computed precisely thanks to the fact that they are perfectly synchronized. And the high temperature can be measured too. The TSC 1641 uses the new MIPI 3C interface to communicate with the microcontroller to set up the internal registers for configuration, speeds, threshold for the currents, for example. For this demo, we communicate with the new STM32 H5. The MIPI 3C interface has a huge advantage in that it can be configured using only two pins, clock and data, communicates at 12.5 MHz and implements upper-layer commands known as the common command codes. Concerning your industrial application where you need to monitor the current, voltage and power to control the power budget of the entire system in fact, the TSC 1641 is meant to do that in a precise and secure way. For more information, please visit our website ST.com and read our data brief of the TSC 1641. Thank you.


Welcome back to the AI for Good Global Summit here in Geneva, we're of course at the ITU headquarters, and I'm really pleased here now to have someone who's actually the X-Price Foundation, one of the Board of Directors members, and if I get your pronunciation of your name right, it's Anshay Ansari. I hope that was okay. It's great to have you. We've seen some of the exhibitions going on there, some of the ones who are looking for the sponsorship from you down the road. Why are you sponsoring something like this? Well for us AI for Good Summit, it's a very good place to start a conversation around AI and exponential technologies. Artificial intelligence is something that scares most people because of all the science fiction movies that we've seen how the robot turned crazy and ended up doing more damage than good. But there's a lot of great potential for solving problems through using artificial intelligence and we wanted to highlight that but also we're cognizant of all the other issues involved with AI so we wanted to bring stakeholders from different backgrounds, different countries, from academia, from private sector, from NGOs together to sit down and discuss some of these issues and find the best use of AI that will benefit humanity. Of course some of our audience may not know that you're an astronaut yourself, you went up into space on the Russian Space Center and you know what happened when Hal wasn't happy. Yes, exactly. I've watched Star Trek growing up and all the sci-fi movies and that's one of the areas you see a lot of technology sometimes turns for good and sometimes for bad. Being able to go to space has given me this really wonderful perspective of our world and how interconnected we are and how the safety and security and our lives depend on each other and working together as one unit, as the humankind living on this planet and that's why it's important for me to see these types of communication amongst different organizations and globally to be able to use these exponential technologies to do something good to solve our problems because frankly we have big problems and it impacts us all. Since last year, in terms of Enterprise's involvement here what's changed do you think, the atmosphere, what's changed on the whole debate? Well last year was the first time we were doing this so we didn't know if people would come back if this was interesting to them and what we've seen is we have a lot of new players that have come to the table they heard great things about it we are taking it from just a dialogue to action and we're challenging different groups to come up with actual projects that they will deliver on and we're trying to create a community of collaborators that will pick a problem and try to solve it so we've seen a lot of great activities we have team members that are demonstrating some of their work that they've done since last year so it's very exciting to see how it has evolved and hopefully it will continue to evolve. Do you and GOALS on sustainable development really fit with yours? Absolutely, I think the 17 SDGs frame some of our biggest challenges and that's what we're trying to do at XPRIZE to address many of those issues and a lot of our prizes doesn't focus on just one problem but it addresses many of the issues highlighted by the SDGs so definitely I think what we're doing here is focusing on the SDGs with AI makes perfect sense just tell me a little about this new avatar you're rolling out so one of our newest XPRIZES is ANA Avatar XPRIZE and what we envision with this prize is to create collaboration between different types of technologies sensing technologies, robotic technologies and AI together which allows for basically transportation of someone's consciousness as if you're physically in some other location and being able to do tasks that you would do if you were physically over there and this can have many different uses it can allow for us to be able to go to environments that are hazardous for a human being to be there but that you can make a big difference whether it's a radioactive environment or a firefighter trying to go save someone in a burning building or to use it as a teaching tool to be able to allow people who have disabilities to do things that they may not be able to do physically to allow people to go to places where humans can't go easily it can be used in space exploration of course one of my most important passions so it can be used in many different ways but most importantly there are several technological challenges that has to be solved and our prize is tuned to help bring focus to those issues and solve them through this Avatar XPRIZE that sounds fascinating hopefully we'll have you back to tell us more about that next time I hope so Miss Insari from the XPRIZE Foundation thank you very much thank you for having me


Okay, so everyone, we are going to start the last part of the, of this first day of that conference, let's lighten the talks. Each speaker has 10 minutes on time included, we will continue in the end, and that is done for today. Thanks for attending. Hope we will enjoy the next day. Okay, so let's make this quick so we can all call it a day. That's my yearly what are we doing in RPM talk. As you may have noticed, we've pushed RPM 4.13 into Fedora. Last year comes with a pretty long list of changes, so I'm only going over the most notably. One of them are file triggers. I don't know who has ever heard of file triggers. Okay, that's pretty good. They're actually already used in RPM in Fedora. The next thing that's not so much used yet is bullied and dependencies, which have just made it into RPM also. They're basically the extension of the week dependencies we pushed in there last year. There are people working on it, but it's not there yet. The third bigger new feature, which is, as far as I know, not used anywhere already is support for security IMA file attributes. That's basically support for trusted computing on the kernel level, file system level thing. So if you actually have started, have managed to boot into a trusted kernel, you can then make sure the kernel only reads file which are also trusted. So some guy or actually guy from IBM has been working on that. I don't know if anybody is actually interested to putting this into the real world, maybe IBM is. So if anyone wants to have trusted computing in Fedora, we support it now. Go for it. And in addition to these three big things, we have a huge number of smaller stuff. I've only listed the stuff that's maybe more interesting for packages or users. We've added a remote path post, remove path post fixes, which is basically a setting which allows you to cut off the names of file or files. This is useful to create sub packages which have conflicting files and the problem is as RPM has basically one tree of files which it packages into sub packages. It's not possible to have to file in multiple sub packages with different content. For example, having different config files in sub packages that are preconfigured for different use cases. And that's pretty annoying and I think Harald Hoyer and a couple of other guys have been nagging about this. So that's basically a band aid to allow this.  Then we have new checks for the encoding of the spec file something a lot of people have wanted to have for quite a while because there are still spec files out there which are not properly you'd have aid encoded. So I think it's still disabled or it just gives a warning right now. So I don't know at some point we are going to switch that to enforcing and it will basically prevent RPM build from building packages which have non-proper encodings in them. We also have enabled the prices expansion for the clubbing minor thing but you can use it in the file list for example. And we've extended RPM build with a new parameter so you can do all build steps directly from an SRPM. So R for rebuild. You already could rebuild and source RPM directly but you could only basically do a full rebuild and not build it to the older stages that support it now. We also added what requirements and all the other queries for the week dependencies which we somehow missed last year when we added week dependencies. I don't know I must have looked elsewhere. We also switched the signing over to use pin entry more or less because pin entry is that you are no longer allowed to call us with the command line parameter. So actually GPG that changed to no longer allow passing the password on the command line and so we had to switch this over. That's done now. I hope there's not too many problems with that. I know that a couple of other distributions had issues with not having the proper version of GPG and pin entry lying around. You now run from unused macros and there's a longer list of other stuff we fixed. There's a release note so if you're interested. Okay. Five minutes. So then we've continued with development. The big feature we are working on right now is getting stabilized as the new database format. Some of you might haven't seen it on the mailing list with a huge discussion. The problem is that the Berkeley DB we are using now has been bought up by Oracle and they changed the license for the new version. And there's all this politics involved and so we have to move away from that basically. Another thing that might be interesting maybe not so much for Fedora but for other people that are building packages is multi-threaded except compression. We have had some customers who had well set up continuous integration which worked well by compiling on like 64 processors. Which was quick and fast until you have to compress the RPM which is then single threaded and takes a while if the package is big enough. So we have now a solution for this and it's coming up in the next release. I think it's only compression. I think the compression is for one fast enough and on the other hand you need to read it sequentially anyway. So this might create problems with Delta RPMs actually. But I hope I have an intern that I can put on this task to check and make sure Delta RPMs will continue to work. There's all kind of tricky stuff like being able to actually reproduce the Delta's bit or recreate the package in a bit by bit compatible way. Need to hurry up a bit. So there's a new dependency generator written in Python which comes in from the Mandriva crowd. There's been some discussion. It's not 100% finalized how it's going to be but that's coming up. And there's a lot of smaller fixes so they're not going to be that much big changes but more small bug fixes and all kind of cleanup. So we have basically started to do a bug fixing Friday to get down with the number of tickets we have in Fedora and on our own bug tracker. Another interesting thing that we just added recently and backported to Fedora is we made Missing OK which used to be basically config. Missing OK so it could have config files that are you allowed to delete without getting an error with verify. So we promoted Missing OK to a full featured file attribute. The GILIPSY people are currently needing this to get their language packages done as they for some reason have files they want to merge in their language databases somehow. Details to ask some GILIPSY people. So that's what we're doing right now. What else? We've moved. We've actually not moved but we have cloned our repository to GitHub. This has worked out very well for us so we are getting a lot of contributions right now. We even have to set aside a day a week to go over all the pull requests and get them merged and reviewed. For now a lot of these contributions are outside from the Fedora world so I want to urge you to have a look and make sure that not only the other distributions are actually pushing stuff in there without anyone else noticing or caring. So that's what's happening. How many minutes do we have left? One. Then I'm done. Can you hear me? OK. Hello. I'm Honza Shilhan and now we are moving one layer up from RPM to DNF. In my talk I will cover what we have done from previous year up until now and also I will reveal some future plans for DNF. So DNF's main goal is still to maintain the compatibility with YAM. And so far we have YAM Utils almost fully compatible with DNF plugins so you can search for its counterpart via manual page YAM to DNF. We have also added dimensions about DNF in Fedora project and Fedora wikipages so almost every use case is covered in DNF's snippet code as well. For those of you who are still using YAM I have a good news for you. You can switch to DNF immediately. You can just type DNF migrate and it would transfer all your history and other metadata from YAM to DNF. The status of the packages relying on YAM there are only 13 packages. The rest of the packages were ported to DNF and in Fedora base image there is no package which requires YAM. The tool FedUp which takes care of Fedora upgrade to the next version uses now DNF backend. That means that it no longer ignores package conflicts and you could be able to boot up again. Okay let's look at the new features that happened in DNF. We introduced new mark command. Let's say you install package A which requires package B.  Then you notice that package B is also getting uninstalled. To prevent this you can type DNF mark install package B and it will stay installed until you decide to remove it explicitly. DNF has full big dependency support so you can query in DNF repo query for it. It has minus-minus such as enhancers, supplements and what enhances and so on switches. DNF also has two states how it threads big dependencies. By default it installs all recommended packages but you can turn that behavior off if you want to keep your system minimal. You just have to set to full install big depths in DNF config option in configuration file. I think I must say that DNF is more user friendly with regard to user experience. It provides you with some hints like that showing you that some packages were skipped and how to resolve some conflicts. We also for package maintainers describe the rules or actually wrote a draft how they can prefer some package to another by using big dependencies or versions provides. Okay, now let's look for the plan to do next year. DNF so far is using for C libraries while YAM was written entirely in Python. Recently we have merged DNF C library with package kit library and we are planning to move more parts from DNF to C code base. We would like to also for package maintainers describe some rules and provide them solution with examples how they can resolve some packaging problems with use of cool stuff from RPM like weed and rich dependencies. And last thing but not last thing we would like to DNF to actually provide more verbose output when you are dealing with some package conflicts and you want to know what happened inside the dependency solver. That's for the plans. Now I would like to invite you to the talk that's which has the title developers QEs of themselves. And as title says it's mainly targeted for upstream developers who has no QEs and would like to deliver stable releases of their application with minimal effort. So you are free free to go there. We will explain our continuous integration workflow, which components we have used there. It will be on Sunday at 1310. Do you have any questions? So when something breaks, I don't DNF upgrade and then let it all put like DNF. No, no, only when there's conflict and transaction cannot be resolved. Because sometimes there are no packages are chosen. Yeah, then you can switch it on in verbose mode. It will be shown. It didn't give me this information. Yeah, that's the future plan. Any other questions? It will be probably some draft. Packaging draft. You can actually use version from April 7, I think. Yeah, but there's only version I think 0.64. Any other questions? When there's one reason why people need to use YAM because it's the YAM support system. Like you mean? You'll give a specific update ID and... Excuse me, that's being covered by the work on a security plugin. So yeah, it's being worked on. Okay, any other questions? Okay, thank you for your attention. Is he in extended mode? Hello? Okay, I'm not going to talk further up from DNF, but it is a completely different thing. I'm going to talk about release engineering. Before I start my talk, I would like to show you this short clip, which always kind of makes me smile. One second, sorry. So this is something when I hear release, I kind of remember this, the crazy baby, which is kind of trained hard and she is the one to catch that. So let me move on. So why I'm a release engineer? It's... thank you. I come from the development background and I also have an experience as release and configuration manager. And I also worked in customer support. So what I realized when I handled all this role is I like solving customer problems and I would like to dive into the problem and technically see what is going wrong and also I was passionate about delivery and release processes. So that's when I kind of discovered release engineer is kind of a role which enables me to do all these things. So that's why I am here. And so what do you have in store? What is in store for you when you become a release engineer? What opportunities it opens? So from my experience, what I understand being a release engineer at Red Hat, it has given me an opportunity to develop tools which can be leveraged for the release, a faster release process. And you will get to work with a bunch of inspired people and you collaborate with teams which is going to expand your knowledge about the product or the project. So and you will get a broader idea about how the product is going to be delivered to the customer. How can I make it accessible to the customer and other parameters like quality and security of the product. So I think it opens up a lot of opportunities and it can be at your capacity you can grow to further in any capacity being a release engineer. You will work with multiple products and you will work with multiple teams and it will give you a thought about how the processes that we have, how we can leverage it across the products. So you will be thinking towards that and it's kind of a constant process. It is reaching that maturity and you will think of innovative options of having different tools. How we can make the installation easy, packaging easy and how to make the delivery process kind of really streamlined and think in different ways. So it opens up different opportunities for you. So what release engineering do? So I would like to talk about my delivery and how it looks like. So as a release engineer, broadly if I categorize your responsibilities would be build and packaging and content management and delivery into customer environments and also through test environments where the developer wants to test it or the QE wants to test it and also means that release engineer will be engaged starting from the planning phase of a product so when any product or project is initiated you will be contacted for as a person, the go-to person to understand what are the contents I'm delivering how I should be doing it and what are the different methods that are available which distribution platforms I should be looking for things like this and also ensuring if the contents are accessible to the customer how I can give them, how I can deliver it to the customer and if they see any issue what is the process they should follow and it's like being a release engineer you will be evangelizing on the software delivery processes that are used and you will be kind of a provider consultancy to the products on how they can really go forward and once they deliver the products and how will it look like in the market and how the customer will see it say for example when you distribute it as a dockery measure, ISOs or any other RPMs or anything how are we going to kind of package it and make it reachable to the customer so that's what we work with on that and another note we also developed tools we kind of keep track of what are the different products that are coming in what different methods they are using is our tool supporting those build environments test environments and the test frameworks are anything that they are following does our tool support it do we need to come up with something new and support their processes and we think in all these different ways and try to make the release as smooth as possible for them so I think that's all I had to say and if anyone is interested in release engineering and to know more about it you can contact me on this so any questions yep actually we have a choice which product we would like to work on and it's not like only one product you might be interested to work on many so it is up to you to choose it's not only RPMs or anything that you can explore other options too any other so that's it hello everyone my name is Nikolai Kondrashov I work at identity management and security group at Red Hat and I'm here to present about a project we are doing for a while now and what is going to happen and what's exciting about it I don't know is this the other way that's better so the idea is that many companies especially big companies have contractors and peripheral CISOD means with which they don't have really big trust which come in just for a while but need to access their privileged systems I have privileged access to some critical stuff also some government organizations at least in US are required by law to present recordings of user sessions for review so we are trying to build an open source system to handle that there's plenty of commercial systems one of the bigger ones is Centrify and there is plenty I just just looking on internet I found 8 products which are more or less fulfilling that role and they are pretty good most of them they have centralized servers to store the recordings to search them to play them back with various speeds and rewinding and look for comments which user entered at this point and just rewind to that point in the recording and like pretty good but on the open source side there's really nothing nothing good really not a product for that there is to do that allows to record user sessions like the privileged access into local files but there is no way to deliver to the servers like no built-in way there is no integration with user management or anything there are some tools that allow like central recording like teammate I.O. or Askinima or Show Term where you can upload your session somewhere to a single place but it's obviously not suitable for security purposes so really there is there is nothing that is fulfilling that role in open source world and that's where we come in so we are working on exactly the stuff that the commercial solutions provide but we are doing it the open source way we are doing everything from open source components and we are open source and everything that we are doing extra and naturally we are using the stuff that we have in our identity management team so we are planning on using free APA as the central management system on the servers and on the client side we are using SSSD which is going to control session recording itself configure everything and control who is recorded how he or she is recorded etc so everyone probably knows what audit D is it's for those who doesn't know it is system that gets some messages from the kernel and records what user access and what syscalls were involved etc etc which we can use the record what commands the user executed and exactly what files were accessed and apply filters to which files we want to track etc that's good but there is really no good terminal recording solution no program that allows the record what user did on the terminal what he saw on the terminal what he typed in and what was displayed for him there is the again the script the sudo but they are not integrating well with central delivery that's why we are implementing this thing and I am the one implementing it right now so it's a tool that basically gets in in front of the user's shell records whatever passes between the shell and the user terminal and logs that in JSON to wherever we want so for example there is a user session and user trying to execute a command as sudo and below is what gets logged to syslog at the moment and as shown as the on the previous picture eventually from the log server it gets to elastic search which would allow us to search everything to visualize everything and eventually display that in Kibana and our current idea is to get a playback visualization to get a nice playback with rebinding and everything in Kibana as good as possible we have no idea if that's going to work but we are going to try it so back to that this is how it would look in Kibana just viewing the JSON so that's the same that's the same log message that we saw in the previous slide and the current plan is to get this to Fedora this year later to release it a stack preview in rel and then get more of that that's it, any questions the idea is to get T-Log to run on the special user it will be set UID and when the user logs in it becomes a different user starts logging then forks then drops back to the original user and starts the shell so it runs on the different user of course it doesn't help with root but nothing helps against root if we want to log root we will probably be using jump servers where the user will have to log into one server but he doesn't have the root privileges then he logs into the target server and the intermediate session is logged the thing is that you can stream that and with T-Log you can stream that, you can deliver these log messages as they go there's a time limit when they get logged and that can get delivered immediately to Elasticsearch and that link below has a video demo of how that happens and there is a demo how it works basically exactly how you see it on the screen what you see on the screen gets logged yeah, sure it's perfectly fine it's all preserved and it's yes, it's a problem there will be an option to not log the user input only the user output but we'll still log commands executed as part of ODD log so we can just keep input we will really I'm sorry, I'm out of time we can talk personally that looks good so it's me between you and Tobias I'll try to do that quickly this is a motivation talk and a short how-to to do what I'm trying to motivate you to and that is testing the kernel so why help testing the kernel there really really is a lot of computer hardware out there you know that every year there's a new notebook and a successor and printers get there out every new year so that's something the kernel needs to support and that gets even more complicated because hardware components can combine in a number of ways and that influences how Linux deals with it even what does make the situation even more bad is that firmware sometimes influences Linux compatibility too and the config you use in your kernel or the config that distro uses in your kernel influences it also so in the end most systems are quite unique and maybe just in the stack that you have there is something where a bug shows up then that bug will show up and annoy you and others and that will happen even more quickly if you have really unique hardware that's kind of if you're using a five or six year old graphics card nobody else uses anymore or was kind of special even back when it was new so if you don't test that those new kernels on your hardware nobody might and hardware specific bugs might only be found when they are really old so maybe like two or three months old but depending on your distribution can even be one or two years old and the problem with that is finding and fixing the root cause of those bugs gets really, really harder the older bug gets sometimes can even get nearly impossible if you have kind of six year old graphics cards and maybe there was a bug in the driver it didn't compile and the kernel developer said okay here the code didn't compile for two years it seems nobody used it anymore then they throw it out so if you switch from Ubuntu 14.04 to the next one that's coming out in April you suddenly might notice the driver that I used to use until now bringing it back is really hard and then you are annoyed and you have to live with it and find a different solution that's why you need to test it's in your own interest other risk not too many old kernels get normally installed stay installed when you're installing a new kernel so you can always go back to the old kernel and boot that instead and new kernels normally are always backwards compatible so there shouldn't be any problems with the new kernel it's a risk of data loss it's quite unlikely that's a short version unlikely on the other hand says yes of course it can happen but it doesn't happen that often so it's not something you should it's something you should keep in mind but it's not a reason to not test because otherwise nobody will test and in the end your hardware won't work anymore so how to test if you're a fedora user run fedora raw height the kernels used in fedora raw height are pretty close to what upstream is developing right now in the mainline kernel it's maybe one or two days behind mainline kernel most of the time there are a few fedora specific patches in the raw height rpms but it's compared to other distributions that are just a few so if you report the problems to the fedora developers or upstream then it's normally not a problem that you have a kernel that has extra patches in it there are a few situations but then the developers will tell you how to test it if you're not running raw height because you think it's too unstable or something like that it's a little bit unstable on the latest fedora release that works most of the time I've heard that it right now doesn't work due to some dependency there are always ways to get around it but if it works you can grab it with dnf on the command line or from Koji directly and install the rpms it's quite easy as I indicated already there are different ways I'm maintaining fedora repository where I can get vanilla kernel rpms and run them on fedora without compiling them yourself there's actually a page in the fedora wiki that explains how to use it actually the two important commands are in the screenshot already I've put them here as well but you can't find them in the wiki and if you're googling for kernel vanilla repositories for fedora then Google will get you there in case you forget to write down the URL and yes, I'm running those kernels myself on my notebook to help testing the kernel and I've never run into any bad bugs until now but I found a few bugs that I had to debug and track down and something got fixed before they were hitting you to this similar repositories like this one are available for other distributions so at least for the big ones so if you want to go down that road just search for your distribution and vanilla kernels the third way is simply doing manually that's quite easy you download and extract the latest kernel sources run these two commands that actually is a backslash whatever whatever that creates a configuration that's based on your old distribution kernel configuration and then throws everything out which seems to not be needed so all the modules that are not loaded basically and then compiles this on my thinkpad t4 420 that's like 4 years old now that takes just 12 minutes and then this kernel is ready just running install command rebooting and profit and it's there, you can boot it and check if everything works and if it doesn't you can report bugs that's the main part I guess times runs out soon, I have actually questions like for example how to get rid of those kernels again that didn't fit into this talk normally it's not a problem with RPMs you can just deinstall and the kernels that you install manually are quickly deleted from the file system it's not that hard I'm putting up up here but maybe you have questions already for the kernels I compile myself actually that's on my to-do list but I all boot those kernels once in a QMU and check if that comes up normally I only publish them if they are booting they're fine the one where and how to report bugs that depends on how specific the bug is I mean there are as I said billions of hardware out there and combinations and if it's something like audio codec on your specific machine that likely nobody else has and it's not that at the top of the to-do list there are kernel developers so you might better off getting the upstream there because the developer of the driver knows more how to fix it and what might be wrong but not all the developers use it that's also the short version I could do this talk I guess in one hour and there are still things to talk about


Hey guys, I'm Cherie Holmes and I wanted to take you through one of our jobs. There's actually a lot more upgrades that you don't always see on TV that we install kind of behind the scenes. So in this case, we put in a Bosch gas tankless water heater. It's really energy efficient and we want the best for our homeowners.


Why do we need to perform masked attention in the decoder, but we don't need masked attention in the encoder of a transformer? This is to prevent us from cheating. The goal of the attention units is to understand context and generate word vectors. In the encoder, the inputs are passed in simultaneously, so every word can look ahead and behind for understanding context. In the decoder, we are generating an output one word at a time, so we don't have access to the later words during inference time. Hence any context learned by a decoder during training time has to be done with the words that only come prior to it. So during training time, the later words need to be masked.


You know, May 40 here, it's a tea break for the cricket, South Africa versus Australia. And I'm so grateful for an insight I got from Mark Shapiro, one of his talks a few weeks ago. I was talking about a rabbi who never had children and how this rabbi was always, you know, craving excitement and new vistas. And Mark Shapiro made the point, those of us who have children, we're not usually looking for excitement, but people who don't have children, they are frequently looking for excitement. And I thought that, yeah, that nails it. That's the nub of it. I remember a bloke that used to do a podcast with James DeGiorgio. He says, this is more than two decades ago. And he would make the point, you know, 40, you're always looking to create drama and excitement. And I just want to pay the bills. So James DeGiorgio had two kids, so he just wanted to pay the bills, take care of his responsibilities as a man. And I don't have kids. I'm not married. And so just paying the bills doesn't have the same importance to me. I'm not trying to look after a bunch of other people and build something for the family. I was doing those things that I find interesting and exciting. So I notice that, like, the seeking excitement, that is really common among people who don't have kids, whether it's seeking a PhD or seeking to produce, you know, top quality live streams like this one or producing a book or pursuing, you know, mountain climbing or windsurfing.  While for people who do have kids, right, they're just looking to pay the bills, save up some money, help the kids, maybe help the kids buy a home, help the kids look after their kids, so become grandparents, plan vacations, holidays, get-togethers, religious celebrations, social occasions, you know, around getting together with family, with extended family. And I'm just always looking for adventures. And I noticed that, like, many other single people like me were out there looking for adventures, we're out there looking for sensations, we're out there looking for personal growth, we're looking to take up new hobbies, develop new skills. Just before I did this live stream, I was listening and practicing, you know, Roger loves voice exercises. Mum, mum, mum, mum, mum, mum, mum. No, no, no, no, no, no, no. Gug, gug, gug, gug, gug, gug. I was learning to move from chest voice into middle voice and even up into head voice and so doing the old voice exercises and then prior to that, I was just writing in my journal, I was writing about what I was grateful for, what had surprised me on this trip, what I still want to accomplish. I'm just past the halfway point in my trip to Australia. Then I'm thinking about the books that I want to read, the videos I want to make, the topics I want to discuss on this live stream, what are my goals in the next few weeks. And I just noticed with people who have kids, like their lives are more stable and set, that they pretty much have a path ahead of them. You do good in your job, you take care of your family. Look forward and Aaron, Larry are the most inspirational bachelors on the tube. Thanks, mate. I appreciate that. But it just really answers things for me. Yeah, family is the answer. Like when you have family, you don't have to get out there seeking excitement. Good on you, Jim Bowden. And those of us, I noticed who are bachelors. We're thinking about going to Oxford University to get a PhD or thinking about going back to uni to get a masters or taking up a cooking class. Or we're always looking to work on some new hobbies, some new interests, but something that gives you a bit of a thrill. Now, with my married friends, with kids, they get a thrill out of planning a garden, planning tomatoes, harvesting cucumbers, harvesting corn from their garden, just doing solid work at school. Yep. After New Year, I'll be back in Sydney by January 9th. We'll catch up. So if you're able to get all the excitement you need from your kids and then from your job and growing corn, growing tomatoes, that seems like a really healthy thing in life. I get excitement from making a good video or from having a discussion with you blogs here on YouTube or learning some new insight from the chat or getting a referral to a new book that I haven't read or going on some new hike. So when I was in Sydney taking the Manly to Spitbridge walk, I wasn't content just taking that regular walk. I had to go down to the beach and like clamor over rocks and dudge the ocean waves and go up this level of the rocks and then they turn steep and I'm clamoring up and my shoes are falling off and I feel like the tide's coming in and I know people get stuck out there so they're seeking a bit of excitement. I couldn't just stick to the trail. And the other thing I noticed with people with families is they tend to be much less selfish. They tend to be naturally much more oriented towards taking other people into consideration. So I have not spent a great deal of my life taking other people's needs and concerns and priorities into tremendous consideration.  They will start doing things for their wife. They will call their kids. They will, they're volunteering in the community. They have a commitment to help out a family down the street.  Right? I was just planning to get stuck into washing the dishes for everyone. But married people with kids, they're making the food, they're setting the table, they're serving the dinner, they're cleaning up afterwards, they're washing the dishes.  Is this a Justin Murphy response video? I'm not sure who Justin Murphy is, but I'm really impressed by people who take other people into consideration. Like, I'm really impressed by people who live their lives just taking other people's needs and wants and feelings into much greater consideration than I do.  I try to channel my selfishness in a socially productive manner. So people with families, all right, they're going to be much more restrictive in what they say on YouTube. Everything they say and do is going to affect a whole bunch of other people. So their overton window is considerably diminished, generally speaking, compared to what, you know, a bachelor bloke can say. So, yeah, I have no doubt that God can use someone who has the selfish tendencies of a 40, right? There's plenty of space for bachelors and other people who don't have families to contribute. Yeah, they're mowing lawns, they're taking care of others, and some, I assume, bad people. But yeah, when I get around families, I just, I'm just often impressed by how much care and concern and consideration they show for others. Like, is it okay if I do this? I was thinking of going here. Like my days stretch in front of me, like pretty much wide open.  I don't really have any obligations to anyone. I'll send a text message, right? I'm going to be here. Or I know you need help with this. So, you know, can I pop in at such and such a time? But overwhelmingly, my days are free for me to make of them what I want. And I didn't have to compromise. I didn't have to pull my punches. You know, I love having all that time to, to devote to the ideas that are important to me, to things that I want to explore, to videos I want to make.  They had to cancel the Melbourne Derby between two of the top soccer clubs in Melbourne, because fans flooded the field and they assaulted the goalie from the other team and they assaulted the referee. And so the goalie had to leave the field with like blood streaming down his face. So not a particularly good look for, for Australia's a league of soccer, which is probably about the 40th most competitive soccer league in the world. But I severely doubt those fans who ran onto the pitch and injured the opposing goalie, I doubt that they were married with kids. I'd like to think that someone who's like married with kids would have more care and concern about how they operated.  So, yeah, those of us without families, I just noticed we're much more dramatic, we're much more frequently self-centered. And that's not necessarily a bad thing, right? Being self-centered can free up lots of time and emotional energy and space and create a commitment to doing something important, which will be a blessing to other people. So certainly being a bachelor and not having a family doesn't mean your life is doomed or your life is any less worthy or there aren't, you know, a million things that you can't contribute. Like, I don't walk around with a feeling of, oh, I didn't have a family. I just think about the things that I do have. And I welcome the opportunities that I have or the spare time that I have to make these first class videos like this. Bye bye.


Hi Longmont, I'm Lauren. And I'm Jeremiah. We're residents of Longmont and like so many of you, we're sitting at home trying to think of how we can give back to our community in this time of need. We want to thank our local hospital staff and support our small business community at the same time. That's why we're raising money to purchase meals from independently owned restaurants in Longmont to deliver to the staff of both Longspeak Hospital and Longmont United. So if you're like us and looking for a way to say thank you to our local health care workers on the front lines fighting this pandemic and want to support the small businesses of Longmont, join us in donating. It's an easy way for each one of us to express our gratitude and show the world that our Longmont community sticks together in challenging times. Let's go Longmont!


So now brings us to the final presentation, the formal presentation today and the art of decision making. Really important, we all make decisions every day, but sometimes the worst decision we can make is not to make a decision. I would suggest, but I'd like to welcome Cam Nicholson to the stage from Nikon Rural Services to present on the art of decision making or the skills of decision making. Welcome. What I'm going to talk about doesn't involve 3G or 4G networks, doesn't involve batteries or solar panels, doesn't involve any of that sort of tech sort of stuff. So if you like it might be considered low tech, but it might actually be the bit of tech that you need to take home because it'll actually make a difference to your business. I got interested in decision making about 10 years ago. I've been consulting about 35 years now and about 10 years ago I just got fascinated why there were always some farmers I dealt with that seemed to make good decisions at the right time and kept doing it over and over again. And I wanted to understand why, what was the difference between them and others. And so that's what's led me down this path of decision making. My background is really in agronomy, but I was just interested in why people made different decisions than others. I want to start by posing you a simple question. When were you taught to make a good decision in the same way that you were taught to read and write and do arithmetic? Do you remember going to school and being taught how to do maths? Yep, good. But it's pretty few and far between. And if you think of the years that you've spent learning how to read, learning how to write, doing all that sort of stuff. And you think how often have I actually been taught how to make a good decision and how to work through a process of a good decision. Most people would say I know much less about that than I do about the others. I've underlined good decision because what I want to differentiate between a good decision and a right decision. We all want to make right decisions and we want to make them all the time. The bottom line is, and particularly in farming, that sometimes things don't work out the right way. But the important part of it is you've got to make a decision, then you roll the dice and then you see the consequence of it. So in my mind, while we want right decisions and we see those in hindsight, it's actually what we've got to do is concentrate on making a good decision. The best decision that we possibly can before we roll the dice and hopefully we've got the odds in our favour. Now, this is what I've learnt around decision making. I'm going to run through just four quick points, four bits of theory, I suppose, before I'm going to show you an example. First of all, complex decisions are influenced by three things that I've learnt. What I call the head, heart and gut. You've heard an enormous amount today related to the head about facts, bits of information, bits of stuff that are going to come in that you can look up to supposedly help you make a better decision. But I also heard today, and I'm not sure how many people picked up on it, there were other things that are actually going to influence that decision. And I heard a beautiful one when Andy said, oh, from a head point of view, I'm looking at the pros and it says I need the water such and such, but then I can't remember the farm manager's name there. He said 40 years experience, he might think something a bit different. Why would he think a bit different? Because his gut or his past experience that we've got down here is also going to influence that decision. So it's not just the tech, it's the tech and something else. And also in a lot of decisions that we make, the heart has an influence. And by the heart, I'm talking about your preferences, your values, your beliefs, the things that you reckon are important. When I was reflecting on the comments about being able to have all these senses in troughs and in tanks and things like that, so you don't have to do the drive around as often. And I did one of these in Queensland, exactly the same thing and the fantastic advantage of not having to do the ball run once a week. And a farmer came up to me afterwards and he said, you know what, there are two things I really enjoy in doing the ball run.  And I can relate that to my past experience. So I relate it back to my gut of what I know. And the other one is I'm a mad birdo. And I just love doing the ball run and watching the birds. So the decision, you know, look how wonderful this tech is. Yeah, it's useful, but just think of it in the context of other things that we've got to take into account as well. And also important in that, I'll only just flash it up there. The pointer doesn't seem to work. It's this idea of temperament. Your personality will make a big difference about how strongly the head, the heart and the gut influences the decisions that you're going to make. Okay, so different people because of their temperament will do things differently. Second thing I want to talk about is understanding risk and how important risk is in the decisions that you make.  What happens if this breaks? What happens if such and such happens? Risk is just this underlying thing that's going to influence some of these what I call more complex type decisions. Okay, risk by definition is likelihood by consequence. That's a definition if you looked it up on or you Googled it. How often does it happen and if it happens, what's the consequence? What's the impact of it if it does occur? And importantly, what I've learned around risk and all the risk management stuff that I've done is that you think differently about a decision as the risk or the odds change. There will be a certain point where you'd say, yep, I'll have a go at that, but all if it's this risky, no, I won't. So it's what I call a tipping point. There's a point where you say, yes, I'll jump that way or yes, I'll jump that way. And I want to explore this a little bit further with you. But before I do, the final point there is risk is personal and it's mainly informed by your gut. It's mainly informed by your past experience. I've been doing quite a bit around risk analysis and I can't believe how little, if you like, head risk analysis we do and how much of our analysis is based on our gut feel and our past experience that's informed it and our intuition, our feeling that, oh gee, I reckon that's a bit risky or I did that 10 years ago. I've heard a lovely one about what happens, you know, 10 years or 20 years ago when it was really wet. How do you reckon that country is going to perform when you've ripped it a meter deep, when it gets really wet? That's gut talking to you, okay? And it's personal and it's based on, risk is based on your informed by your gut and your past experience that you've had. So let's just test this out a bit. Let me give you a quiz and you're going to have to join in on this one.  It doesn't matter what operation that is. Your farm profit last year was $200,000. So imagine the profit you made last year was $200,000. And next year you're going to make a choice or you're going to make a decision to either keep the same operating and get a certain farm profit of $200,000 or you're going to make a different decision. And if you change it, you change your operation where you've got a 50% chance of making $400,000 and you've got a 50% chance of making nothing. Okay? So you've got two choices. Okay? Choose the same operation which is choice A and get $200,000 or change the operation 50% chance of $400,000, 0%. Which one do you choose? Who chooses A? Which hand up? God, about 80% of the room. I do some lecturing at Marcus Oldham, the Farm Management College. I put this up with the students. About 80% of them go for B. You know?  And what are their parents? Parents put their hand up with 80%. Why? What's that? Oh, okay. So there's a lot of things that underlie that very simple statement about what choice you might make. Because if you looked at that simply on the surface, in the long run, they'll work out exactly the same. We know because of the circumstances that maybe for us, if in the first year we get a zero, and the year after that we get another zero, we're really in strife. But someone else that may have a lot of financial backing behind them, a year or two of zeros, having that punt, doesn't matter. We can still cope with it. So that's what I'm saying, risk is personal. Okay? Let's just move on a little bit further. For those that chose A, which is most people in the room, what if we change the enterprise mix, but there was a 60% chance of getting $400,000 and a 40% chance of getting nothing? Who'd change their decision of those that had chosen B? One, two, possibly three? What about a 70% chance of $400,000, 30% chance of zero? Yeah, a few more. Oh, okay, majority do. Those rusted on, 90% chance of getting $400,000. All right, so we get a few moves. Lesson out of that. People jump at different times. The tipping point is different for different people. And that will be based on your experience and based on a whole lot of other stuff that you take into account. Do I have to educate the kids? Do I have to do this? What debt have I got? All of those other things are going to influence where your tipping point is. But the bottom line is there is a tipping point. There is a point from where you say no to a point where you're saying yes. Okay? Third point in the theory. Commonly, when we're making what I'd call complex decisions, there are many things that you've got to weigh up. It'd be really lovely if there's only ever one or two things you've got to think about. But if you've got a complex decision, there's usually lots of things that you've got to weigh up. Okay? Ideally, we should be making these decisions on balance. You know, what's on the pros side of the equation and what's on the cons side of the equation. And hopefully, if the pros outweigh the cons in your mind, then that's a good decision to make. Okay? But importantly, we know, even though we could list a whole lot of critical things that we should think about, they're not always of equal importance. We will know in our mind that some things, some of those critical things, are more important than others. And therefore, if you like, the weighting of them or the importance of them changes. They're all useful to put down, and they all should be in your considerations, but not everyone is necessarily of equal importance. Okay? With that bit of theory, how do you bring all that together to actually make a good decision? And this is a bit that I've worked on probably over the last five or six years. I'm going to take you through a process that includes the head, heart, and gut, because hopefully I've established that is important. You just think it's all about the brain and all about just technology and it's all just about numbers and calculations. You're kidding yourself. You're kidding yourself. But let's make sure, and I used to do that. When I started off in consultancy, I'd just do great numbers for people and here's the evidence that you should change your landing time. Okay? Guess what? Come back a month later. I'm not changing my landing time. Why? Because there's a whole lot of other issues associated with that that they know about that I don't know about. Okay? So how do we bring those influences together? How do we incorporate the risk bit that was established as pretty important and that it's personal and that people will jump at different times? And how do we weigh up multiple things that might be of equal importance? And I'm going to chuck a fourth one in here. Which is what I call balanced timeliness against time to think. Has anybody heard of a fellow by the name of Daniel Canemann? Yeah, Sally has. A couple of people have. Okay. Daniel Canemann is a professor of Princeton UD in the US. He won a Nobel Prize for his stuff around thinking and decision-making. And if I summarise that book, it's not a holiday read. That one I can tell you, but if you want to summarise what that book says, it basically says we make decisions too quickly. And if we just slow down our thinking a bit and spend a little bit more time on it, we would make much better decisions. Just because we make decisions all the time doesn't mean we're any good at making them. So his premise is that just slow down a bit. So how can I combine those four bits and pieces together? I want to show you a process I first learnt from this farmer. It's Barry Mudge. He's a farmer north of Port Germain in South Australia. A very clever person. Farms near the Goitoline. People know what the Goitoline is. Farms near the Goitoline. Farms about 6,000 hectares from memory. One of his biggest decisions is how much crop does he sow each year? Marginal rainfall. He can grow a good crop 110 mill of rain. But he has a big decision every year how much of that crop do I actually sow? Just because you've got 6,000 hectares doesn't mean every year so 6,000 hectares. He's been very good and he showed me a process that I've sort of developed a little bit further and it's called a decision matrix. And there are eight steps associated with it. I'm going to rip you through one of these really quickly because I know where the time sits. I would have loved to have done one on a bit of technology but it was a little bit hard to put together so I'm going to show you one that I've used or that we use at home. We've got a farm at home. We're just out of Geelong. I've down about 200 cows. I've got about 1,000 used as well. This is one of the decision matrices that we use every year and have for the last six years. And it's a decision matrix around... It's a decision around do we reduce stock numbers carried through spring and summer. Okay, now it's a common one that we have each year. So in putting together what I call this decision matrix, the first thing we've got to be clear about what's the decision we're trying to make and I think that was emphasized a number of times with some of the technology. Be really clear what you want that technology to do because if you can understand it and understand the decision you're trying to get that technology to help you with makes the job a lot easier. Okay, so that's a decision we've had that we have each year. Whoops. The second one which I've got as optional is you can define when that decision is made. Every year, my wife and I, mid-September pull out this decision matrix and we go through it. If it's a dry year, if it's a good year, we don't care. We go through it every year and it's a discipline of going through it every year and doing this that helps refine the decisions that we make. So in our case, it's mid-September when we pull that out. The third step in this eight-step process is to talk about or list what are the major considerations or what I call the critical factors that should influence that decision. So just sing out. What do you reckon might be something that we would consider of whether we need to reduce stock numbers going into late spring and summer in mid-September? Early mid-spring. What do you reckon is something we might consider? Dry matter. Okay, so how much for you it might have on offer? Okay, tick. What else might? Okay, seasonal forecast. Okay, someone else have a go. What else? Stocking. Well, tell us a bit more. Stocking rate, was it? Yes, stocking rate. Okay, how many animals are actually running? Yep. Okay, so I reckon if you spent five minutes with that decision, you'd come up with a list of what I'd call the critical factors, the things we need to think about. Okay? In our list, this is them. What's our current feed supply? Which is suggested. What's the seasonal forecast going forward? How much stored soil moisture have we got? So even if the seasonal forecast might look pretty average, if we've grown a lot of feed and we've got a full profile, we'll feel far more comfortable than if we haven't got a full profile and haven't grown much feed. Irrespective of what the seasonal forecast is telling us. Okay, so we're trying to balance up these different critical factors. Weight and condition of the stock. What are prices, both current and future? Things around our ability to supplementary feed or our desire to supplementary feed. So they're the ones that we've put in. Now you might look at that go, I wouldn't include that one. I'd include another one. That's fine. This is not about being the right answer for you. This is about a process that you use to create these decision matrices. So they're our critical factors. The fourth step that you go through then is to take each of those critical factors in turn and try and find that tipping point. Where is it where we think differently about our decision in relation to that critical decision? So if I take the first one, and I'll come back to that hint there. If we take current feed supply, what would be in our mind the greatest description or the best description that we could have that would support that we don't reduce stock? We wouldn't reduce stock numbers in our mind if our whole farm pasture cover is 2.5 tonnes in mid-September. We can define that. We can think about that and we can define that quite easily. The hint that I've got up there is you describe the most favourable and the least favourable. So in our mind, the least favourable one for current feed supply is if in mid-September we were below 1500 kilos. If we were below 1500 kilos mid-September, we would think differently about do we reduce stock numbers than if we had 2.5 thousand feet across the whole farm, kilos' feet across the whole farm. And then obviously, because we've got what I call these two bookends, you've got one in between, which is between 1500 that should be, sorry, 2.5 thousand, not 2,000. That one there should be 1,500 to 2.5 thousand. So we've got three points around that critical factor that we've got. And we just go through each of those reasonably quickly. And we end up with something like that. Now I'm happy to share these and I'll show you right at the end where you can get copies of that. I've done about 50 of these. Done everything from buying land, selling land, financing stock, leasing land, spraying paddocks. I did one last week on do we reduce our nitrogen inputs in our cropping system because you read as 1,200 bucks a ton. You can create them for anything. Just be clear on what the decision is. And so in our mind, this is what we've come up with. So you'll see things like stored soil moisture, close to field capacity, typical or below for that time of year. So it can be pretty easy descriptions. They don't have to be fancy numbers. Seasonal forecast, I'm just saying it's a DSL7 or better season of forecast. Don't have to know exactly how many millimetres, just as at high end or low end. That'll do me in splitting up those sort of decisions. I won't go through all of that, but I can give you a blink to where you can find this example. Once we've got that, we assign values to it. Remember, I made that comment about some of those critical factors might be more important than others. So how do we weight them? So we assign values. And the hint that I start off with is I just put another column down here on the right. Just down there. And I put all of my least favourable descriptions as zeros. That makes it really easy to put together. Less than 1,500 gets a zero. Dry, below typical for this time of year, gets a zero. What have we got here? Seasonal forecast. DSL3 or below gets a zero. So all of the worst ones, you just bang zeros in. Thanks for 10 seconds to do. Then you assign the values for the highest ones relative to each other. So in this case here, I've said that our current feed supply, because this is what we know we've got, is three times more important in our considerations than the current price of livestock. Now you might argue with that and go, no, I reckon they're the same. That's fine. You change them, the weightings so that they're the same. The important thing is that you're putting these weightings on the various critical factors that you think and the relative importance of them. And I'll come back to how we can adjust these a bit later on. Then once we've done that, we can rip through pretty quickly and add values in between. And the values in between aren't necessarily always halfway in between. You'll see that one there. It's not a six, it's a zero. It's a six, four and zero. So again, putting that bit of a relative weighting on each of them as you go through. And if we get all of those maximum values, so if we've got six plus four plus four plus six plus two, it'll add up to 27. So the maximum score if all I could get is 27. All right, next step is to say if the decision is do we need to reduce stock numbers carried through spring and summer, the method that I go through is to read all the best descriptions and then all the worst ones. So I'm going to jump back a little bit. Hopefully this makes me go backwards. Yeah. So what do I mean by that? I would say just think in your mind and I'll read them out to you. What if the current feed supplier was two and a half tonnes? The seasonal forecast is a desolved seven or better. So they're basically saying seasonally it's going to be wet. I've got stored soil moisture already. My stock are ahead of target. The current price is below average, but in the future it's going to be higher. And I could easily supplementary feed if things went wrong. What decision would you make? Would you sell stock? Yeah. Would you reduce numbers? No, you wouldn't. Pretty buddy obvious, isn't it? Okay. And then you do the exact opposite. You say if I read all the worst ones, less than 1,500 kilos of feed, below average, you know, soil moisture is down, livestock prices are currently high, but in the future they're going to be worse. What would you do? You'd probably offload something. Those two descriptions that you've just given, so I'm going to jump to this now. So our decisions is no retain all stock, but consider buying more stock, offering adjustment, pasture manipulation, or photo conservation. So in September we are now planning for what we're going to do the next two or three months. The other one is yes, offload some stock as soon as possible and reassess again in December if we need to offload the next slot. The next slot, I'll give you an example where we've used this. Okay? And then one if it fits in between, we just say no, we're sticking, sitting along the right, we just keep ticking along the way we have. Okay? Next step is then when in these decision descriptions, you add up the maximum value, which is 27, and we put some numbers associated with that. And in this case here, we've said if it's more than 20, so if when we went through all of those critical factors and we gave them different scores, if it was more than 20, then we'd make this decision. If it was between 14 and 20, it would make that decision. If it was less than 14, it would make that decision. Question comes up, how do you get to these values? These values about how much risk you want to take on. If you're very risk averse, you might say, I would sell stock. I'd offload some stock if that score was say less than 18 or less. In other words, it weren't as many things stacking up in my favour. Therefore, I'll sell them. And I'm sorry I'm going through this really, really quickly. The last step is in scenario testing. And in scenario testing, I use historic examples where you can find them. And I reckon in something like this, we've had 30 years of selling, skeers, selling stock. We've got some idea what combinations work and what combinations don't work. So we run through it. And so in this case here in 2021, last year, this is the way the whole thing scored. 22 out of 27 when we went through it. So this is last year. We retained all stock, which is exactly what we did. And we actually did quite a lot of fodder conservation. And we did pasture manipulation as well. So we sprayed top some paddocks. Okay, to clean up some weeds. And what the beauty about this was, is by making that decision in mid-September, I could get my grazing right. I could get even seed head emergence. I got a fantastic spray-topping job done as well. I didn't work out my spray-topping job the last week in October. I've got a lot of feed here. I might spray-top that paddock because I'd have uneven seed head emergence. I picked the paddocks. I set everything up six weeks beforehand. Okay. Contrast this one to 2018. That's how we looked in 2018. We got in the 11. Came down to less than 14. Offload some stock as soon as possible.  We contacted them in mid-September and said, we're going to have to move these steers on earlier. And so they booked us in for that time. And they went in late October when usually they go in December. So they went off a bit lighter, but they went off six weeks earlier. Mid-late October, everybody else has gone, jeez, I'm running out of feed. I better book these and move these stock on. Feedlot said, sorry, we're full. Where am I going to sell my stock? Put them on the market. Went on the market. Right, started coming down. Because it was an oversupply. Well, they had good decisions, but I thought they were good decisions. Did it take the stress out of our farming? Absolutely. Absolutely. Now, in 2021, you would have looked at it. We had feed coming out our ears, Il Nino, all of that sort of stuff. Why would you bother with something like that? Because it helps us refine these matrices. It gives us that peace of mind. It gives us that confidence. And it gives us the discipline and we keep doing this. We've got four or five of these throughout the year. Okay? And we use them every year. We use one on the 30th of May to know whether we've got to grow more feed over winter. It just comes out every year. Now, if we've had an early break, it's a no-brainer, but we still go through it. And it's really helpful in those iffy years. Well, I don't know if I should put more nitrogen on the other. Nitrogen's $1,200 a ton. I use gibberellic acid. Do we sell a few stock? What do we do? Okay? It helps you with those sort of decisions. All right. Now, this is my last slide. The decision matrix. Now, I talked about Daniel Kahneman and slowing down your thinking. Do one of these. It slows down your thinking. It is exactly what he says you should do. That took us about 45 minutes to put together. Okay? That is enough time to do that. We'd probably saved 30 or 40 grand on those hundreds of years we pushed off by getting him in early. Is an hour's work 45 minutes worth, you know, that money? Absolutely it is. Absolutely it is. Okay? Second one. It makes it transparent so other people can follow it. And so instead of trying to do it yourself, you can have other people contribute to it. Oh, have you thought about this factor? You know, why do you think that's more important than that one? I remember doing it. We'd start teaching this now at Marcus Holden. I do some lecturing at the Farm Management College in Geelong. And we've started teaching this as one of the subjects we now teach students. Because coming back to that first one, when we were taught to make a good decision, they weren't teaching a miss. So they're full bottle on this when they come out the other end. One kid went home, and he came back in second semester, and he sent me an email, and then this was during the time he was away, and came back again and said, I did one of these with my folks. And it was the first time in my life I understood why the hell they make the decisions they do. Because half of these were hidden. Didn't know what I was doing. They just did it.  Well, we just do it, because Dad knows some stuff, from past experience. Things he'd learned. So it makes it transparent and other people can see it. I have clients now that if they've got a big decision to make, they do a decision matrix and send it to me before they even want to have a conversation. Because they're so good at it. And they value what it brings to them. And the last one, and this is an important one to tie in what all of today's been about, is it narrows down what information you need and what skills you need. I've heard today an enormous amount of stuff about what technology can do and what data it can bring in. If that data doesn't inform this, then why the hell do we want it? It's just noise. And we've been equally guilty, as I reckon a number of people will have been, seen a bit of technology, subscribed to it, bought it. And then at the end of the day, what the hell is this actually adding to the key decisions we need to make? If you do this first, then you know what you need to chase. So what do I need to chase here? At the moment I do that with a ruler and we've got 48 paddocks on our farm. It's a big job. What Sally was talking about, what we're going to cover in mid-September, is going to be a great bit of tech to us. Okay? Really, really useful for this. You know, Storbs or moisture. I know why we have a moisture probe. We have a moisture probe so we can answer this. That's why we have a probe. Not because of fun. Oh, isn't that curious? No, it's because it helps inform a good decision. That's why we do it. Okay? That's why we worry. That's why we like weighing animals and condition scoring animals. Because how do I know whether I give it a 6 or 4 or 0? I don't unless I do that sort of stuff. Unless I've learnt that skill of condition scoring. How do I know what to do? So I think this should drive what we do rather than the other way around. And quite often we get bombarded with technology and new things that can happen. But how do they inform the decision? I think though they can go hand in hand because everybody will have a different matrix. And therefore the bit of technology that you need might be different to what I want. So it's not dismissing that any of it is worthless. It's just you've got to find the right niche for the working. Now, that's the end of it. Two resources I'll just point you to. One is a thing called Decision Wizard that we put up. So if you're really worried about those 8 steps that I ripped through really quickly it takes you through those 8 steps in a disciplined way. So you've got to answer one before you can move on to the next one. It's free. Just type in Decision Wizard in Google and it will come up. It's on the Southern Farming Systems website. But just type in Decision Wizard and it just takes you through the process. There's a login on it. I've logged in there in my name. You can put Decision Matrices in there. Create them yourself only you can see them unless you want to share them with the public but you can go into that and you can change them over time as you tick along. And the second one we did a video my wife and I did a video on Building a Decision Matrix which takes you through that example. It's about 10-12 minutes. One of us is really good in it. One of us is pretty average. I'll let you make the decision on who's good and who's not. But that's a useful way of just hearing the same steps and how we actually work through and use that type of a process. So if you want a bit of a refresher to do it, there are two resources that I think you might find useful.


Day 29, A Stereo's Polyp, suggested by Dixit Dominus and seconded by 23 People. True story, I ordered this less than five minutes after I first saw it being recommended, so I'm glad it won. It's impossible for me to talk about A Stereo's Polyp without addressing what happened in McMinn County, Tennessee last week when the local school board banned the teaching of Arch Beagleman's seminal work, Mouse, in classrooms.  The result isn't. The easiest way for these Trump types to ensure that their children grow up to be good little fascist soldiers is to ensure that they don't know what fascism leads to. Those who ignore history are doomed to repeat it blah blah blah. So edit the history a little or a lot at a time so that we all grow up thinking sure slavery was bad but it wasn't that bad right that that way when we're faced with the truth when our broken worldview is confronted by the cruelty of reality we reject it outright. That can't be true. If it was we would definitely have learned about it in school. Unfortunately as one of the characters in A Stereo's Polyp puts it, the government has a vested interest in keeping people ignorant, drawing a line from the push for improved education that followed Sputnik's launch ahead of a US satellite to the galvanization of youth against the Vietnam War a decade later. And is that true? I could find out. Makes sense. It's certainly the case that educated people are more likely to question authority if they don't become key players in it. A Stereo's Polyp follows its titular character beginning on his 50th birthday as a bolt of lightning strikes his Manhattan apartment and all of his mysterious possessions go up in smoke. Save his wallet and three sentimental items grabbed before fleeing. A lighter, a watch, and a Swiss army knife. Instead of waiting around to file insurance claims and all that he gets onto a bus and takes it as far as the cash in his pocket will go. At the end of the line he asks for a job and a room from the head of a local auto body shop who agrees to both. We will go back and forth between this present specific moments from his past mostly relating to his failed marriage and then more abstract moments out of time. The narrator of our story there is Ignacio Polyp, a person who does not exist. A Stereo's identical twin who died in the womb, but who A Stereo's has always imagined was there in some other reality where whatever had taken his brother took him instead. He puts cameras in every room of his house thinking of the footage as a virtual doppelganger, the brother he didn't have. That's the sort of guy he is, deeply intellectual and incredibly self-absorbed. He's an award-winning architect whose work has never once been built. It's all theory, but celebrated just the same.  In the 1980s he worked as an illustrator primarily with Marvel, but also a couple of gigs with DC, including one of the few superhero graphic novels that I actually own, Batman Year 1. In the 90s he went in a different direction, making more independent projects beginning with a series called Rubber Blanket, which only saw three issues over three years. What would have been the fourth issue eventually became this graphic novel 16 years later. And in it he really commits to the medium, the sequential art of it all, rarely using a traditional grid panel structure and instead messing with the negative space of a page or drawing without borders in the midst of other panels. He uses different fonts to represent different characters and emotions, sometimes placing two totally different thoughts next to each other that are connected but still able to be clearly distinguished. Although it's not hugely colorful, its use of color is deliberate and meaningful, and the palette or even the entire art style will shift to enhance the emotion of a moment. Mazzucalli clearly has a keen understanding of how this form of storytelling is unique, and each page has been deeply considered to maximize its impact. Hell, even the design of this jacket is an example of that.  And to that point my only real hang-up is with Osterios himself. The book is inspired by the Odyssey and there are other allusions to Greek myth and most of the men in those myths are awful because most men in most stories are kind of awful, but as much as the book makes clear that it doesn't hold his actions in high regard, he's still the protagonist, and I've always had trouble getting past central characters who I simply don't like. Yet I would still recommend Osterios Pulip to literally everyone, because while it's less societally important than something like Mouse or Joe Sacco's Palestine, it too exemplifies what makes comics such a vital medium. This is a work that could only exist in this form, one that breaks a lot of assumptions that people have about how a comic should look and function. But I think it is able to keep from feeling too pretentious, because it's not doing that for its own sake, it's not unique because being unique is cool, but because Motsikelli had a specific vision for this story and executing it necessitated throwing aside conventions that he had long followed. It is a sincere work written by a man who sincerely loves his medium, and the medium's better for it. 8.5 out of 10. Thank you so much for watching. Thank you particularly to my patrons, my mom, Hamrein Marco, Kat Saracota, Benjamin Schiff, Anthony Cole, Elliott Fowler, Greg Lucina, Kojo, Phil Bates, Willow, I Am The Sword, Riley Zimmerman, Claire Bear, Taylor Lindy's, Andrew Madison Design, and the folks who'd rather be read than said. If you liked this video, that's great. If not, oh well. If you want to see more, tomorrow is the last video of this whole thing.