Thank you. My name is Sergio. I'm going to present this paper that is about Whether it matters where you were born in terms of educational mobility So I guess a good motivation is the previous presentation where you see that as a sequence region matters a lot So in my paper is an attempt to try to get some type of causal estimate of the effect of regions on education mobility in Latin America Just to clarify the the kind of the concept of mobility them that the paper focus on So we have right to we have been talking on this conference about the concepts different concepts So we have the absolute mobility concept where it's basically the progress in absolute terms relative to parents and Relative concept where it's like where are you with respect to your peers? It hold that relate to your parents where we respect their peers in this paper I focus on the absolute mobility concept and I'm going to measure that and ask the probability of children With parents That didn't complete primary education What is the probability of them completing primary education? So that kind of moving up in terms of educational entitlement I also have in the paper some results using secondary education that might be kind of a margin That is more relevant for the current cohort But I'm going to be using senses that are kind of old So I'm going to show you that the primary education here is an important margin So just to motivate you thought to start if you compute Upward mobility by region in Latin America And you map those estimates you can see that within countries you have a lot of heterogeneity so For example, you can see in the case of Mexico in the case of Brazil You have regions where the levels of our mobility are very different to other regions So then if you take these results right as given then the question or one question that you might ask is Why and is there something in the region that causes these differences? Or it's just that people are different and they choose to live in different places and that's why you observe this I'm sorry in between the two plots Sorry, just more this is kind of level of Provinces and that's level of district level So they are this basically the same just more finer on the on the right But that is the same so it's the same data It's just that here the regions are kind of more aggregated than in there in the in the plot on the right And of course if you compute this at the level of country Then you're gonna miss all these heterogeneity within the countries and of course if you think about a level of a time and especially in Latin America where you have seen an important kind of mandatory schooling Then why if there is mandatory schooling then within countries you can see all this variation, right? So we didn't there is something Within countries happening So then as I was saying then there if there is this heterogeneity then the question is is because Absorbing or is because there is something in the region that might be peers some policies on Geographical factors that explain these differences And this tincture is important in terms of public policy It might be important because implies different policies like moving people or just focusing resources on some particular regions So What I'm going to do is I'm going to exploit differences in the timing of children moves Across provinces within countries to isolate the What is in the literature called regional? Childhood exposure effects. So it's a place effect that depends on the age in which you move So in the paper you contribute to the territory by starting this place effects in a new setting in Latin America I'm going to be replicating the approach that was Applying Africa by a lecina, which is the same approach or is based on the shettian Henry paper That uses movers in the US across commuting zones to identify these effects So sub review findings. I find evidence of childhood exposure effects as well as significant sorting So they start in of course people choose places and they move to better places And what I estimate is a convergence rate of three point five percent The barrier of exposure between ages one to eleven which implies that if you move to a place with Higher level of upward mobility you catch up like three five percent of the difference is what you get in your chances of Moving up and I also find some selection effects that are around 42 percent and are very similar to what is Is has been found in other play places where this has been done And I also document childhood exposure effects using secondary education, but I'm not going to show those results here But basically you find patterns that are very similar So let me talk about the data. So I use for this paper 21 census that I obtained from iPods international They spawn 11 countries as you can see in the years They have They I don't have the same number of censuses for all the countries and they are relatively old. So only a few countries have Sensuses that are in the 2010s and then the There are more of course sensors available in Latin America But these are the ones where you can identify through the questioners who moves like you have the region the big location And you have also how long have they be living in the current place So so I bones reports these two levels, which are the ones that were in the map Provinces that are kind of course a military unit similar to the states in the US So for example in Brazil are states and districts are kind of finer and minister the units and similar to counties tuition in the US Then there is a variable reporting the province of the previous residents and another reporting build place And the number of years living in the current place So with that you can identify or classify people between movers and non-movers so people who live in the same place where they were born non-movers and then people who Leave in a different place. They are the ones that basically immigrated within the country In terms of education there are two variables And I'm going to be using the categorical one which is Has four categories Copy a lesson primary complete primary complete secondary and computer sherry This one doesn't reflect any particular system educational system in the in the continent is more Try to follow this is harmonized in a way to try to follow this standard of six three three life six primary lower secondary three and upper secondary three years And I also created a variable containing average parents education use you the provable father Our mother identified by a poems using the relationships to the head of the household. So I'm using co-residents here Corresing samples So if you kind of do kind of first descriptive plot just to show that What I was mentioning before that in the sample given the time of the censuses if you look at the individuals in the sample age 14 to 25 You can see in this axis the education level of Or the fraction by attainment of the parents and then on this axis the likelihood of child attainment And you can see that lesson primary is a relevant margin for this particular sample population and then Also, you can see that if you take the ones that with parents that did not complete primary Then you're very likely to also not complete primary. So you have cannot have Yeah If you move in if you instead of doing that you take kind of older individuals That coincide of course less with the parents And you use You map them by secondary education you can see that The level the share of population that did not complete other parents that the no complete second that is much larger and then The chair the complete secondary of children are so is much smaller Okay, so now I'm going to go to the intuition of the empirical strategy So this consists of the following suppose we have two regions a and b and they have different levels of our mobility measure as probability of finishing primary for kids with parents that did not finish primary and Ideally which you will take right randomly assign people to do to different regions and see how they do but Of course are not feasible. So what what I do here is to estimate the level of mobility using non-movers as a prediction of the level of mobility of those who move And see where the where they how they do so then In the plot These are the two regions one region a with low-level of mobility region B with High-level of mobility and then you can map individuals or compute the average Probability to finish a primary by H and move a map in the plot and you can see if They fully converge that you're going to see that they are going to be close to to the region B Right the destination so they're moving from a to B If you become like the region of destination that you should be kind of near the red line here But if you don't converge to the region of the nation then you should be around here And if you see this pattern it means that Basically the latest you move the less you converge right and then the Selection effects can be identified in this region Because we're talking about primaries then the idea here is that if you move later in life And you didn't complete primary then probably I mean of course we know that some people still Later in life complete primary but but should be kind of a no effect there and This was originally done with income so which is Better because you could for example measure income at the age of 30 years old And then you move at the age of 32 of course that should not affect your income at earlier, right? So then as a prediction of the level of mobility of the individuals I'm going to compute The probability of finishing primary for children who did not with parents who? From children with parents who did not finish For using non-movers so that's going to be the main variable and then the variable of interest is going to be this Delta ODB which is a different the mobility of the number of the non-movers between for the cohort Be between the destination and the origin So then for somebody moving from a to be this delta is going to be the mobility of the non-movers in the region B minus region a And then the specification is just this one where the dependent variable the dummy variable where an individual completes primary The sample is composed by individuals with parents that did not complete primary and then you have some fixed effects by the age of move So fix effects by the region of origin and cohort household fixed effects if you want to compare only ceilings and The main coefficient of interest here is going to be this beta That is one beta for each age of at move That interacts with the delta ODB. So it's how the delta between the origin and destination Translates into your achievement in terms of education. So those those 20 betas are basically the ones that were in the plot, right? so That's the semi parametric approach So when you estimate that you're going to have this beta that captures the causal effect But also selection because people don't move randomly right they choose where to move So this is going to be basically the two components and the key assumption for the identification here is That the selection effects don't change With age at move so basically that people who move with kids when they were to they are Not systematically different to people who move when the kids were three for example If you buy that assumption then you can separate the effect of the causal effect from the selection effect Basically doing the abstraction in the area where there should be no causal effect because you are moving later than primary So I'm going to just show you the the main baseline results First this is an histogram of the deltas. So What is the typical difference in terms of mobility for the movers and you can see that on average people move to places Where there is more I've got mobility, but but still you have People who move to places with lower Our mobility And then this is the main plot basically Where you have the h and move and then you have the dots and just align kind of Based on relevant kind of type of ages. So if you move before the age of schooling, there is some kind of flat area Then there is this slope which means that the if you move in this by adults ages the effect kind of goes down and then The area where you can identify the selection effect which is when you move Later than the school in age relevant for primary, right? So if you move at the age of 18, then if you move to a place with higher mobility that should not affect your primary completion so then Here the average is low if you take all these dots until the age 11 is 3.5 percent and Then the level of selection here is the 42 percent in terms of interpretation of this is that the convergence rate is Of 3.5 percent Per year of exposure, which means that if a children move at the age of one will pick up about 35 percent of the difference between the origin and destination on average, right? Then this rate of convergence Is just a little bit smaller than the four percent Found in the u.s. For income mobility across community sons and Higer than one that has been documented in in Africa in the case of Africa with education the same metric in the case of The u.s. Is income mobility so it's very different But they all kind of the plots of the same approach capacity looks very similar. So that's very Kind of reassuring and then the selection effect is 42 percent Which means the families who move to a region where permanent residents have for example turn percentage points Higer chances of completing at least primary. They already have four point two percent More chances themselves. So that's the magnitude of the selection that people who move they were already They had already more chances of having a mobility Then I have a set of Validation results are relatively standard in this Literature that is not big, but there are several papers I'm just going to show you the house will fix effects anything I'm going to just go quickly over the other Instrumental variable approach that I have in the paper because I don't have time but here is only that and in the first In the main in the basic in the main results. I'm comparing Families who move doesn't matter who what family but then in the here I'm adding the family fix effects of the house will fix effects. So basically then the comparison is Between siblings so a family moves. They have two kids different ages. They moved to a different place So what the one of the kids is going to be exposed to the new region more than the other? so then That's the idea in the sample of household fix effects are here and writing the same regression as before but with With the same with the same sample as here because of course when you add these household fix effects Your the sample gets reduced because some families have only one child. So they are not going to be in the sample and you can see that this basically is not something about the sample and You can see here that the selection basically goes to zero Then the slope is relatively similar and you have the same shape just kind of going down Then the other things Given this shape another approach to estimate this will be to fit a parametric Right kind of kind of these lines just assuming that the the all the deltas here the same Kind of to just estimate this is slow. This is love and this is love This is what is here, but not going to do it is just to show you that if you do that dimension You're going to get kind of those deltas only and I do that because then I kind of address them the genetic Using I'm here. I'm going to ski today to just show you that I use some particular flows of periods where there is some Anomalous migration of flows so I take all the origins. I Can't know how many people are going out then I feed kind of a trend And I take the residuals around them and then I I go kind of restricting the Sample to flows or periods where more people were going out so it's They are not they are likely to be Be pushed out of the region more than they decided to move because of the educational reasons When you do that, basically you kind of stay in similar levels in terms of the slopes Then the other concern is that people and I just only decide where to move so then here. I just follow kind of the typical Chief chair approach where you instrument the the destinations Here is the first stage then there is the the It's not the first stage them I Forgot the word now, but anyway in the in these columns You have the reduced forms. Sorry. This is the reduced form and here you have the two stateless squares And the results are consistent basically when you instrument the the destinations with these predictions using previous Migration and Would you mix the two approaches same similar patterns? So so that that's it So basically what I find here for Latin America is that people who move to two places with higher mobility they kind of catch up with the To the levels of mobility of the destination Which suggests that there is something in the places? And that is not just sort in In this in this variation in in our mobility. Thank you


Tristan Thompson's dating life has made headlines over the years and not only because of his high profile relationship with Khloe Kardashian. The athlete dated Jordan Craig from 2014 until 2016. Following their split, Craig discovered she was expecting a child. The ex has welcomed their son Prince in December of 2016. But by then, the professional basketball player had already moved on with Khloe Kardashian in September of 2016, announcing in December of 2017 that Khloe was pregnant. Days before Khloe was due to give birth to their daughter, Thompson was unfaithful to her with multiple women. While Kardashian and Thompson eventually got back together following their daughter True's arrival in April 2018, the duo split a year later when it was revealed that Tristan had hooked up with her younger sister Kylie Jenner's ex-best friend, Jordan Woods. And that's just the intro. We have plenty more to get through. What's up guys and girls, my name is Karah the Vampire Slayer and welcome back to Famous Entertainment. For today, we'll be taking a break from house tours to bring back an old series titled Secret Exes.  As always, be sure to subscribe and don't forget to follow me over on Instagram. Now let's get into it. During the 2020 pandemic, Khloe and Tristan reunited and were back together isolating while co-parenting their daughter. But then in June of this year, Khloe and Tristan ended their romance once again after previously talking about plans for another baby. So it looks like your boy Tristan is back on playing both the field and the basketball court. One could say. While he does his thing, let's take a look back at the ladies he's been linked to in the past. First, there's Jordan Craig. These days, Jordan is a social media influencer and lifestyle blogger who has her own website where she promotes healthy living and style. Tristan and Jordan met in 2014 and dated for two years before welcoming their son Prince in December 2016 which happened following the pair having been broken up. As exes do, the pair ended up in a child support battle with Jordan claiming that Tristan only saw their son nine times from December 2016 to November 2018. The pair reached an agreement regarding child support with the NBA Pro agreeing to pay $40,000 to his ex-girlfriend for a month. He was also ordered to give Jordan $200,000 in retroactive child support. I'm happy she's being taken care of. $40k will buy her a lot of diapers and likely some Prada, Chanel and Louis Vuitton as well. Good for you girl. Next up we have Larsa Pippin, a lady who although many say belongs to the streets is someone I've actually done a house tour on so she does in fact have a home. Larsa Pippin revealed that she was briefly linked to Tristan before his relationship with Khloe had started. She stated on the Hollywood Raw podcast, I was kinda seeing Tristan before Khloe, before Khloe or any of the Kardashians knew he existed. I was seeing him, I had him come to LA, I brought him to a party Kim Kardashian had. I introduced him to all of them. Larsa explained that the athlete and Khloe started dating about 10 days later but made it clear that she didn't mind. I've been told she's got plenty of men on the go herself. Of course we have to talk about his main squeeze Khloe Kardashian herself. The duo sparked dating rumors in September of 2016 and announced they were expecting a daughter one year later. Khloe and Thompson continue to have an on and off romance over the years following multiple cases of infidelity on the athlete side. This became drama on keeping up with the Kardashians and of course millions of viewers and fans felt sincere sympathy for the new mom. The couple officially broke up in February 2019 but then got back together in August 2020. On the keeping up with the Kardashian reunion show, Khloe had this to say, I just have to trust, I just need to focus on today and go day by day. I can't worry too much about everything else. Unfortunately, that trust didn't last long and days after the reunion episode aired, the pair called it quits again. Before Khloe and Tristan would get back together in 2018, he was accused of cheating on Khloe while she was pregnant with their daughter with model Lanny Blair. Just days before Khloe went into labor, footage leaked online that showed Tristan kissing Lanny at a rooftop bar in New York before being photographed going to a hotel with her. A witness added, they were holding each other and it was so obvious. Everybody knew who he was. We talked about it and everybody watched the make-out several times. I mean if that's not enough, next up is Jordan Woods which was one of the biggest celebrity cheating scandals in recent years. In February of 2019, the news broke that Tristan and Jordan were seen kissing at a party.  Jordan had long been best friends with Khloe's younger sister Kylie Jenner and they still were best friends at the time the story broke. Clearly, Jordan's alleged fling with Tristan made headline news. It was first reported the pair had kissed, slept together and even engaged in a month-long relationship, which Woods eventually denied most of. Jordan did confirm, however, that she attended an after-party at Tristan's house before claiming he kissed her as she was leaving in the early morning. She later took a lie detector test to prove she didn't sleep with him and the test confirmed that was the truth. However, this did result in Tristan and Khloe having a very public breakup. Jordan had this to say during a September 2020 interview on The Now with Natalie on YouTube. It's easy to beat yourself up over things you could have done differently, but you can't hold on to what you could have or should have done. You just have to accept what actually happened and then you can let it go. I think that letting go of shame is learning how to accept what's happened. It's believed that Khloe and Jordan are on okay terms but they no longer talk and Jordan has become noticeably missing hanging with Kylie or at any recent Kardashian events. Go figure. Then we have Charisma Ramirez. Following his split from Khloe in 2019, Thompson was spotted with Charisma Ramirez several times in New York City. The pair were first spotted together in February 2019 and later had dinner together in March 2019. By the sounds of it, Charisma is a former waitress turned influencer. Finally, model Sydney Chase claims she began hooking up with Tristan at the end of 2020 and into the new year, also adding that he told her he was single, which would have been alive since he was supposed to be back with Khloe then. She clarified her comments again in a TikTok video and claims she last heard from Tristan the day after Khloe threw a party for their daughter True. Either way, that was still a little while ago, so who knows where or who he's been hanging with since. Tristan is actually a Toronto boy, which is where we filmed these, so ladies, if I see him out and about with anyone, I'll be sure to update this video. That wraps it up for this Secret Exes video, but if you want to see more of these, let me know who's dating history we should expose next. Be sure to give me a follow over on Instagram, my handle is Carre the Vampire Slayer, and subscribe to the channel if you're new. I'll catch you all in another video. Bye!


The President, Mohamed Buhari, today took the President-elect Bola Tinibu on a familiarization tour of the presidential villa in the FCT. This comes barely 24 hours after the President conferred upon Tinibu the national owner of Grand Commander of the Federal Republic and Grand Commander of the Order of the Niger and the Vice President-elect Kashim Shatema at the State House Banquet Hall. On Thursday, the Vice President, Yamil Shibajo, had taken Shatema on a tour of the Vice President-Wing of the State House. Both leaders exchanged documents ahead of the official handover of power on Monday, May 29, 2023.


This programme contains strong language and sexual references throughout. Oh, my God. Oh, my God. Oh, my God. Nice to meet you. Oh, hi, Alex. What?  Good holiday. Happy birthday. Thank you. I'm a bit like speechless at the moment. I'm Alex. I'm 24, and I'm from Essex. I'm a carer. I really love looking after people.  I was with my ex, Alicia, for three years. I'd say we had a fantastic relationship. We was definitely in love with each other, but it ended because Alicia didn't see eye to eye with my mum. But we've had a fair bit of time apart now. I just want to find out if there's anything still there. Is it good to see him? I don't know. I just didn't actually expect it to be. I was so sure today. I thought I was going to get away with it. No, you didn't. Unfortunately.   So, do you reckon you two could rekindle? You never know, do you, really? It was proper in love with Alicia. So, are you happy? Yeah, I actually am really happy to see you. I'm glad you are. I'm happy, too. Well, I'm glad that you've arrived to make her happy, because I think she deserves it. Alicia looks quite happy about me being here, so I think I could be on to a winner here.  Alicia, you haven't found love yet in the villa. Will you seek it with someone new, or will you want to reignite an old flame? You can't have both, so either Alex or Jack must leave now. Who will you send back into the sea?   I've come here to get George back.   Listen, I'm going to get George from the man over here. He's swamming right up. I'll put his clothes on, because that's the closest I'm ever going to get to him again. Hang on a minute. Daisy, and I've had more dips than a communal swimming pool. Literally the biggest village bicycle in here. Oh, this is brutal. For me, and I think you know this. Yeah, I think I do. I love you. I'm just not in love with you. I'm really sorry that you don't feel like I've backed you, but I hope you understand that it's really hard for me. And you know you haven't backed me. You know you haven't backed me. I know that I have, Alicia. My head's gone. I haven't claimed to make you upset, Alicia. I just wanted to come in here, get to the bottom of here, and just make sure that's it. Are you telling me there's no feelings at all? Honestly, Al, I don't see you like that. I want you in my life, of course.   Don't worry about it, honestly.  You've been there for everything.  I just feel like I've hurt him, and I never wanted to do that.


Mr. President, will you veto it, really, if it still has the fairness doctrine in it? Mr. President, what are you doing to stop the killing of unarmed Palestinians by the occupation troops? Mr. President, what is the message to the markets if you and Congress can't come up with a view? Mr. President, what is your response to Seymour's comments about ethics in government? He's kept his word to Congress that it's done its job, so the President's in good shape. Do you think Congress will do its job? It's not much precedent that we're working on it. Anyone the Vice President made up to negotiate a peace treaty? Have you endorsed a treaty outside of Congress? Get your copy at me. Thank you all for coming down. I know you've been a little busy lately. I know I've met with the task force at the Bob Dylan Center to coordinate Senate Consideration Treaty, and they're looking forward to working with them. But Bob, why don't you start off and then we'll hear from the others about your views and conclusions and any of them that you may have. Mr. President, we indicated last week, I think there are a number of Republicans who obviously support the treaty, and the principle of getting the treaty signed, and they indicate the general support. Now some may have some high-level people, some may have concerns, others may have different concerns, but we're here to indicate that we want to be helpful in the ratification process. I think Dick Luger... Mr. President, it's to you. Please take a couple of seats.  PSI from the time through the present. We had the Prime Minister of Italy able to reach the PSI joint venture, and Presbyterian helps out presenting the report. All right. And then let's do that. Mr. President, you've messed your moustache up. Mr. Ambassador, welcome. Mr. President, I'm here to bring you the most wonderful wishes from my people, from my government. Well, thank you very much. Mr. President, it's a great pleasure to see you. Pleasure to see you. I'm so glad to see you. And you're not. I'll go ahead and get you. Do I sense an interest in your part in that? Oh, definitely.  I want you to know how much we admire what your country is doing in regard to the people and the exiles who need help and so forth. And we look forward to a continued relationship and working together on a number of the problems and terrorism to combat enforcement. Mr. President, I promise you that you will work in that direction with all my work and I think we really did take the torch of the Statue of Liberty and have it on the Danube and keep it in line. Well, actually... Tell me how it's all Estonia. It's easy. It's all Estonia. Is it all right, Estonia? Yes. Yes, I put in... Yes, Bill has a fine reaction there. I thought that he wouldn't be as neglected as he would if I had to have him here. Well, I told, I think Bill is doing that. Next year, Mr. President, the donor of this man who donated it might come and be the donor of Trump. Maybe there's a chance that he could see it. Because he's a very good-glorious man. So maybe it's possible. All right, I would like that. Tommy Cleston said that he's also my best friend. He basically got to my predecessor, who was also a great man. He knew already when he was... Oh, well, please, if you have a chance to give him my regards. I will certainly shall tell her that. Yes. Yes, that's wonderful. Bye, and a happy Christmas, dude. The same to you. Thank you. Merry Christmas. Merry Christmas. Goodbye. You too. President, representative of the Marshall Islands, Mr. Kendall. Mr. President, welcome. Greetings to see you. And Lisa.  Well, it's been one full year now, the relationship between our two countries that we value very highly. We're creating some, we're forcing it to be. Please give my regards to them. Would you come in now? I think if you were between us, it would be a nicer picture. Mr. President, the representative of Micronesia, Mr. Maria Lau. Welcome. Mr. President. It's a pleasure to have the representative of the Federated States of Micronesia here. Thank you, Rick. My wife, Maria Lau. Nice to see you. Nice to see you.  Okay. And then after we've exchanged papers, and then you'll come in and join us. Oh. One full year of self-government and association with us and we're proud to be in this relationship with you. Boss, that is...


Born on October 23, 1927 in Dallas, Texas, William Barron, who went by his middle name, moved with his father Conrad to Los Angeles in 1937. As a teen, Barron worked at the townhouse in LA, parking cars for hotel guests. His rise to success is of course linked to his family's prominence in the hotel industry, and following in his father's footsteps, Barron became deeply involved in the management and expansion of the Hilton Hotels Corporation. Having attended the New Mexico Military Institute, the same academy his father went to, Barron sought a waiver to join the Navy at the age of 17.


Good morning, everyone. It's always a pleasure to be back here in Niagara, especially on a perfect summer day like this. I want to thank Dr. Patterson, as well as the students and staff of Niagara College for welcoming us. I also like to thank my colleague and friend, Chris Biddle, MP, who's here with us today. We just wrapped up a tour of the facilities, and I have to say I'm really envious that this has worked for you. Who wouldn't want their daily commute to include a vineyard like this? Now, as a teacher and a prime minister, I've spent a fair amount of time in schools. I've had the chance to visit many institutions across the country, and I'm always impressed by a college's and university's innovative spirit. Students today have many more degrees, diplomas, and certificates to choose from than we did when we were students. Our post-secondary institutions were able to adapt to the realities of the new economy and adjust their curriculums to meet the demands of a world that is rapidly changing. We can't forget that not everyone is benefiting from those incredible programs, that not everyone has the opportunity to get the training they want in a field they love. Our government aims to change that. Across the country, we're making smart, targeted investments and skills training so that more Canadians can attend institutions like Niagara College and acquire the skills they need to succeed. We heard from students who had to choose between getting an education and making rent, and we also heard from parents who feared they didn't have the right skills to get a good middle-class job in the new economy. Our government wants to help Canadians to improve their quality of life and those of their families, and we know that it starts with education. Since the start of our mandate, we have taken concrete measures to lower the cost of studies, better support adults on the work market who are thinking of returning to studies and create new learning opportunities for everyone. We have started by making the Canadian program ready for students and so that secondary schools are more affordable for low-income and medium-income students. We have also doubled the number of jobs offered in the Canada Employment Program so that young Canadians can find a job, a job they need to acquire experience in the middle of work and spread for their future. And with our latest budget, we are going even further. We're making it easier for folks already in the workforce to access Canada's student grants and loans so they can continue to provide for their families while upgrading their skills. And for those who are out of work, we made changes to the Employment Insurance Program. Now, parents can go back to school without fear of losing the EI benefits they need to put food on the table. We know that by investing in skills and training, we're investing in Canadians and in their potential. We're helping students, parents, and even grandparents find and retain good, well-paying jobs in a field of their liking. Jobs that will put more money in their pockets so they can save, invest, and grow the economy.


What's up everybody? It's Jason here for jaspyscasebreaks.com. We are doing Jaspys 18 box Durantula basketball mixer Which is a random teams mixer and we're also giving away Durantops PSA 10 rookie and the way this first guys is first We're gonna do the break. Everybody gets a random team In the NBA to remember no veteran common ship as well But remember of course Luca LeBron those guys would definitely still go don't worry and then um again at the end of the break We will give away the tops rookie PSA 10 Kevin Durant, which is close to 2k and probably only rising guys future All the famer right here. So here it is right here PSA 10 So give that away at the end of the break and again this mixer includes a box of 1920 flawless collegiate All the way down to 1819 status hanger. Alrighty guys. So here's a dice. Well, here's a customer name number If you bought it straight up you're in if you want these in Chronicles Fat pack 765 766 767 and 768 you are also in there. So congrats guys And again, we'll randomize those customer names at the end of the break to see who wins that Durant All right, so roll the dice. You got ourselves a two and a five seven times. Good luck two three Four seven Danny down a brunt two three four six and Wizards Dallas members All right, so seven seven seven Danny Connie of the Wizards Lonnie with the Pacers James with the Warriors Natalie with the Grizzlies Christopher with the Knicks John last one won't you got the calves Cody with the Spurs Robert with the Magic George with the Rockets Brian Frankie of the Nuggets Josh with the Nets Demetrius with the Pelicans Roy with the Celtics Brian with the Hawks young men with the 76ers Bradley with the Thunder Tim with the Hornets Christopher with the Pistons Miguel Ramirez with the Raptors Matthew with the Bucks Tyler with the Kings Jason with the Bulls Christopher with the Jazz Bradley with the Teebles Demetrius with the Clippers Chris we have the Lakers Jake with the heat awesome with the Suns Danny with the Blazers and Brian with the Dallas Mavericks And again guys this mixer does have different years in this product. So you know some of these teams may be better than others in Certain years a lot of 1920 though. So of course, that's the most recent draft class design in job 2012-13 momentum that's going back to Kyrie rookie year Damian Lillard Kauai Leonard Anthony Davis Etc. Etc.  That's Jason Tatum rookie year with Donovan Mitchell Even go all the way back to 2010-11 who I don't even know who a rookie is back then We'd have to look that up. And of course 18-19 in here as well. I will actually in the meantime I'll let you guys have a trade window for a couple minutes. I'm gonna start ribbing some boxes that boogie John wall So again, if you guys want to trade definitely do it One spot two spot three spots. Yeah, that's kind of crazy for all three of those v1, but Combo these for spot five. Yeah, I would yeah, both out of 10. Yeah, cuz I feel like the autos obviously. Yeah, the rookies All right guys, we're getting a lot of trade talks, but no one's accepting the trade Once I finish this hoop spot, so there's no confirmed trades. I'm gonna close it guys King's your trade spurs trade problem spurs quoting magic spurs anybody want Indiana magic or blazers de con son's up Magic sons King spurs hoping for that try to trade couldn't trade mojo. All right. All right. Yes Right between with the clothes guys trade with the clothes All right, good luck us Damian Lillard for Portland Portland was trying to trade couldn't trade mojo Obi top and Tyrese maxi our first auto is Emanuel quickly. Very nice. It's a good rookie right there for the Knicks Christopher on the board already Or for any hardaway seemingly Alaka It's already closed already Rico Hypnotize biggie biggie biggie. Can't you see? Jason Tatum Obi precious Devon Booker Mania quickly Troy Brown jr. For the wizards try to trade couldn't trade mojo Danny already on the board And a kpj for the Cleveland Cavaliers to 99 John last ball mojo maxi lamello Calliburn Kira All right chronicles fat packs are coming up next Brandon Clark. There is Garland Jackson Hayes Tyler hero Deandre Hunter Zeon Williamson the pelicans Meet your secret pelicans Cameron Johnson Deandre Hunter Romeo Lankford Deandre Hunter John Morant from Memphis Gwynna Natalie Brandon Clark Lebron PJ kpj Kendrick non Matisse Divel Jackson Hayes Deandre Hunter Matisse Divel kpj Zion Rui Tyler hero Jackson Hayes RJ So we're going to pennies leave and talk a little these later at the end of the break RJ Jackson Hayes Brandon Clark Matisse Divel Saiku Kendrick none Lebron James Luca Kobe white Kawai Leonard Saiku Steph Curry James Harden Kobe white Anthony Davis Jackson Hayes Yannis Kendrick none kpj Steph Curry Jared Colver Rui Kobe white Keldon Johnson Luca Donchich essentials Rui PJ Washington jr. Romeo Lankford Kendrick none Zion James Jackson Hayes Zion Williamson prestige Deandre Hunter Steph Curry Tyler hero Eric Pashall Jared Colver Saiku Dumboya McKeel Alexander Walker Jared Colver Terence Davis Jordan Poole Gasecu Pashall Anthony Davis prism updates Hopefully they can come back strong a little injured right now Tyler hero Marquis Hunter Garland John Morant Garland PJ Washington Jr John Morant Kendrick none RJ Pashall Kobe white Kendrick none Pashall Kobe white Keldon Johnson Luca Donchich Pool Kam Reddish Tyler hero Rui Jared Colver Yannis under the Compo Kendrick none Yannis Keldon Johnson Lebron John Morant Kley book PJ Washington jr Jared Colver Saiku Keldon Johnson Jordan pool Bible Colver Kobe white PJ Washington Jr All right, so this whole stack will be pansy on top of it for you guys just just we can move along at the break Just keep that over here to the side All right, let's go hoops premium. We're gonna go done with all the heavy base stuff first End off with the big stuff later. All right, pre hoops premium stock cellos Lebron base Darius Basley Jackson Hayes Kyrie Irving Got Nicholas Claxton Hollow and his cancer Terrence Davis Pasco Siakam Russell Westbrook Pascal RJ Barrack Kyle Kuzma Austin Rivers and Tyler here what we got next Kevin Porter Jr. Zion Willingson Dirk and Mark Keith Morris Taco bull bull what's on white side j. R. Smith Saiku Robert Covington DeMar DeRose and Lebron courtside blue. That's a nice one Karius Lerert as a Roby Jamal Murray and Kevin Durant green tribute But a Yannis under the Compo NBA City Hollow Colver Matisse Dival as a Roby Partizani was a green color match John Wall zero gravity All right, let's go over here Thon maker Kauai Leonard Darius Basley little laser Dort my thunder Bradley Terrence Davis RJ Barrack tribute laser taco Not sure on the rookies man, but you know, I mean James Harden is all over this You know what I mean? D-Way tribute. I've already passed quite a few James Harden tributes And again, we still have some high-end stuff as well, man. All right, let's go to that 1112 or 1110 classics This is the 2010 bucks Other rookie class Lonnie you want to look it up and let us know I think someone said John Wall of Lake Griffin We'll find out together though Robert's saying boogie and Gordon Hayward to rookies as well. So like this Blake Griffin is the rookie right here Well, the thing is that Blake Griffin didn't play in 2009. So I don't think they They still make rookies of him 2009 But you might be right Robert. I think they still made rookies of him in 0902, but we'll find out Again this older stuff like this. I mean, it's not going to really save rookie on it We're just going to have to kind of turn it around and Kind of see who the rookies were back in the day Richardson It's DeMar DeRose in a rookie. No, he was a rickie in all nine Taryn Collison was a year after Westbrook Eric Gordon Carmelo Through holiday Ellen Ellie Marcus Aldrich Steph Curry That'd be a second year Kobe Roy Hibbard a couple years in the league already DeRose Monta Ellis All right, I guess they're in a flow Oh Another LeBron Lamar Odom Chris Paul I None of the bigger rookies yet, but that's probably why they were harder to get back in the day Kevin Love Jerry was number to 250 with Gil Goodridge for the Lakers. I lost after her Joe Kim Noah There's another Blake Griffin Westbrook All right guys, nothing crazy here besides some Blake Griffin's but Even then I believe he was a rookie in oh nine on ten, but didn't play his rookie here because he was injured all year So he'd be a carry-over rookie Just some LeBron's and Kobe's here though All right. Well, this one will definitely have some stuff. I did one of these personals On jaspies.com this one Has a lot of stuff right here. This is 2012-13 hoops fat packs And again, this one should have some nice stuff. This is a huge box Again, this was the double year. So We'll have Kawai D. Lil Kyrie I mean, it's a lot of names actually I mean, honestly, you can find stuff as hard as two years ago It's actually since the pandemic in a couple years ago I think 2018 was like the last year you really couldn't find much of target So I'm sure you can definitely find all this stuff back in 2012-13. That's hard yet It was probably on clearance Yeah, but you know what I always just tell people, you know, even though Maybe you were one of the ones, you know to go in and get it retail and just enjoy ripping it and stuff like that. I mean The card prices weren't what they were now either. So, you know Kind of have to see it both ways, you know But yeah, now you can't find it anywhere at retail price, but at the same time all these cards are just way Going for way more than they would have a couple years ago Which people can't really complain about that, you know, can't complain that we can't get it for 20 bucks, but When you get an exclusive retail card that sells for x amount, you know All right guys, good luck Lebron Bradley Beale for the Wizards Moe Harkus Bradley Beale again Isaiah Thomas I think Isaiah Thomas was a rookie in this class too. He might have just been playing one year Evan Fournier Tristan Thompson, I believe he's a rookie too Dion Waders Oh, we got an autograph. Wow Quincy Miller Denver Nuggets That's cool Kobe Kyrie Terrence Ross Andre Drummond Moe Harkus Lebron Ray Allenka Jimmy Butler, I believe he's also rookie in this There you go, Jimmy Butler And Anthony Davis Very nice Not the Koskini it was Definitely grown up 10 years later That's Lebron. Oh, there's Anthony Davis. Remember that'll be going to the New Orleans pelicans. Remember New Orleans goes to New Orleans Charlotte goes to Charlotte Damian Lillard as well. Very nice. This is a good box I did not see him flop yesterday Austin Rivers John Henson No, I got it already. Where's Leonard? No, I'm just saying like that was the last one I got Clay Thompson I don't think Clay Thompson's a rookie in this one. Is he? No, I don't think so I'll kind of say it just in case I know they had the one lock out here, but Harrison Barnes Yeah, I mean flopping honestly is part of the NBA game now whether people like it or not We know that it's very a part of soccer, but I mean, honestly some refs if they don't hear you Yelling or they don't see you reacting.  So I'm sure it's not only Lebron that's doing it Everybody Jeremy Lamb Kobe A better dependency so Kyrie That means Bradley Beal I will go back and get it right now All right, so the year's only really stacked because of the lockout. You know what I mean? They didn't really produce anything Yeah, David. I mean, that's why that uh 2012-13 flawless cases the price it is, you know She pretty much got doubled the draft class I think he won Schumpert's also a rookie I don't think I hope did I pass the bill? I don't see the bill unless I already I'm sorry to put it to the side In the hobby, maybe yes Obviously, they're all different years, but yeah Dion Waiters Drummond for me microkid Giltruss No, 1314 it feels a lot and those of 1314 here this product price probably would be a lot more expensive But having a couple of these older classes in here already made it kind of pricey There's kawaii kawaii Leonard turns wrong Austin Rivers This card got stuck right here with Doro right John Wall Jimmy Butler Another Anthony Davis kawaii Myers Leonard microkid Giltruss Thomas Robinson Tyler Zeller All right, yes All right, yes, let's continue on guys Clearly Daunruss R.J. Barrett Jaylen Noel Yannis Defying gravity Tyler Hero D. Lil Taco Isaiah Roby Matisse Dible Fionn Du Somalijic I've got two little hangar boxes here Chronicles and status 1819 First of all, you guys seen that this design right at the end Put that green recon away Tyler Hero Braum Tyler Hero Hunter There's Garland Jamerant Was all exclusive in the hangar Lankford Tyler Hero Kyrie Update R.J. Danny Gafford And Cam Reddish Ustavich Ustavich LeBron James Kevin Love Clay Thompson D. Vincenzo Grayson Allen Rookie Aaron Holiday Vanderbilt Mort Wagner Mo Bamba Yuta All righty guys, let's move it along Let's go to Prism Blaster I've got Kobe White Rookie right here Silver Otto Porter Jr. Dustin James Rookie Kobe Bass Calvin Johnson Jaylen Noel Bradley Beale Relic Tyler Johnson We got an Ignas Brasdyke It's Silver Brandon Clark Graham Finelist All right, let's go with Mosaic T-Mall All righty guys, good luck Daddy It's Young And Talon Horton Tucker Red Wave That's nice with that Jamerant Ricky Rubio Rosonio RJ Barrett Aaron Baines Gold Tyler Hero Larry Bird Davion Jones Eric Blutzo RJ Grayson Allen Deandre Hunter Kyrie And a Gold Kevin Porter Jr. All right guys Almost there guys Almost there Let's go with a retail box of Prism Pretty pricey box now This retail prism is Here you get an autograph I've had plenty of boxes that don't give you an autograph but You do get green exclusive retail colors Silver's base Even some Pulsars We get lucky There's an RJ right there already All right, there's Jordan Bone Which leads to Jamerant Stamps a little off but not too bad Nick Laxton It's Jordan Bone Jason Tatum's Silver But a Green Myers Leonard Kobe White Rookie Saiku Dumboya Somalicic Yanis LaMarcus Aldrich Brandon Clark Silver Shagiel just Alexander second year for the Thunder RJ Emergent Silver RJ Green Don Maker And Kelly Olnick For the Heat Cameron Johnson Silver Hollow Hollow Pope Bull Bull Hunter And a Zion Instant Impact Alrighty Mosaic This is a mosaic fast break So get some disco parallels here All right, good luck guys Joel Embiid Purple Disco Sir Jabaka Zion Yandere Hunter NBA debut disco Taco Rookie Garland Rui Zion Shagiel just PJ Washington Jr And PJ Washington Jr Disco image variation Nice one for the Charlotte Hornet It's going to Tim LeBron MVB's Brandon Clark Kevin Hootier Isaiah Roby Saiku Dumboya Cameron Johnson Aaron Gordon Talonhorn Tucker Deandre Hunter Kendritch Williams Jordan Poole Rookie Jared Colver And for Los Suns Fast Break Kevin Johnson Roman Lankford Paschal Jha RJ Terrence Mann MVP Steph Curry Tyler Hero RJ Magic Johnson All right, let's go 2012-13 momentum. It's a big draft class. We were breaking some 2012 earlier Let's go right here guys. Good luck Remember the Kobe Packs will go to the Lakers Which will be Christopher We have not It is sold out, but we still need to do one more filler Eric So that'll most likely go tomorrow Jeremy Lam Justin Thompson Paul LaSalle Russell Westberg, it's number two 49 Redemption Chandler Parsons So we'll have to give that to the right customer Nando DeColo Biz MacBiambo Charlotte Bulkas Going to Charlotte Brandon Rush 209 That's Warriors And Jirad Bayless And I believe Chandler Parsons Houston Rockets or that he was a rookie with before Yeah, Chandler Parsons rookie first, they went to Dallas There you go Now it is expired, but They have it. They'll definitely give it to you Kobe Pack All right, a couple more boxes left guys. Let's go with black basketball 1920 You got PJ Washington, Jr. to 149 Out of 149 Andrew Wiggins We got a redemption Out of 25 Campbell Walker And Darius Basely 10 out of 65 And the redemption guys Rookie memorabilia autographs Card number 20 Eric Pashall For the Golden State Warriors All right, three more boxes left guys Let's go with a couple of older products 1718 and 1819 And 1920 and they went off with the flawless briefcase guys So this is Jason Tatum rookie here Donovan Mitchell Tim Duncan What's called basketball? Ideas, you've got it in your mind We're looking right down into the game Scotty Pitt Terence Ferguson Little Jersey Otto With O.K.C. Thunder And Ray Allen Relic Calcuzma Paul George Donovan Mitchell We got a DeAndre Jordan insert Aurora Russell Westbrook Glenn Rice Autograph Impressions Impressionist, Inc. And Steven Adams Thunder Impressionist, Inc. Jeremy Lam Number to 25 Omar Spellman Level one And a Kevin Knox Level three All right, last two boxes guys 1920 Containers optic And the flawless collegiate briefcase We got a cream and a dildo bar And a kawaii Leonard red ice We got Tatum James Harden Laurie Markinin And a Trevor Reeson a 145 NBA, Inc. All right guys, we have made it to the end After an hour and 30 minutes We have made it Flawless collegiates Block these cards Come on, ooh Ooh, nice patch on the top coming out Uh, Dedrick Lawson So we'll have to look at Carburet Connection Our group break checklist for the checklist here Andy, what's going on man? Now this, this one had a lot of ripping It was fun though Love that we ending off with a flawless Remember guys, this is collegiate So again, we're going to go buy a group break checklist Whatever that checklist says Yeah man, that's been some nice hits I'll do a little quick recap after Let me just look for 2019 20 flawless Come on group break Work with me here man Come on group break Why take it so long All right, so Dedrick The first card that you're going to see is Spurs 17 out of 25 Spurs with that one We have a Antoine Jamison One out of five Antoine Jamison And that'll be Wizards We got a PJ Washington, Jr. That's going to go to Charlotte PJ Washington, Jr. That's going to go to the Charlotte Hornets Kyle Guy 2 out of 15 Virginia That's going to go to the Sacramento Kings We got, ooh, one of one Look at that SCC patch Keldon Johnson for the Spurs That is a beauty right there Look at that University of Kentucky I know who'd want this All right, very nice Keldon going to the Spurs Cody with that one That was a beautiful one-on-one That is sick We got Grant Williams That's going to go to the Boston Celtics 15 20 A 15 out of 20 PJ Washington, Jr. And last but not least Tarheel Nation Kobe White 15 out of 25 Going to the Chicago Bulls Jason with that one All righty Last three hits right here guys Good luck Let's go with the left First Just letting you know that diamonds are not lap grown How about a Jaumaran 13 out of 20 diamond One off the jersey number Jaumaran going to the Memphis Grizzlies Natalie with that one Another Kobe White This time it's a little Sapphire I believe Yeah, Sapphire and autograph 15 out of 15 Another one for the Bulls And the last one here folks Good luck Should be an RPA 16 out of 20 RJ Barrett For the New York Knicks That is going to Christopher All right, nice RJ Very nice And boom guys, there you go That was a false briefcase for you guys So just a quick little recap Of the hits we got here Those will all be going to the teams Of course that they're assigned to On the back Since it is all collegiate That Callan Johnson is a beautiful hit Right there one on one There's a lot of penny-stip cards A lot of rookies and stuff But I pretty much just top loaded The main autographs and main hits So just a quick little Glance at a minute quickly Trevor Reza Some old school ones from Momentum We got fast brick signature Kevin Johnson PJ Washington Jr Little image variation Kelly Olnick Talonhorn Tucker John Morant Zion Rookie Kyrie Couple update rookies here And like I said This is a lot of stuff To penny-sleeve and top load Of course A lot of value and base And you know Inserts and whatnot So just to show you guys The amount of top loading I'm sure we're going to have to do All of these cards Right here And then I didn't even get to penny-sleeve These two stacks over here But they're also going to be penny-sleeved To be top loaded And here's a grand prize A little giveaway Just for buying into the break So one person's going to win Is Kevin Durant So good luck Switch scenes Here's the dice roller Here's the list of customer names again Remember customer name at number one Gets the Kevin Durant Good luck Let's roll It is a five and a one for six times Good luck One Two Three Four Five And sixth and final time Five and a one six times Six times Brian Frank At the top From Chronic Fat Pack 767 Congratulations, man You just won like heavens around, buddy So I appreciate it, guys Jasby's Case Breaks.com This was the 18 box Durantula fastball mixer


Hey everyone, we're trying to go for a summon session for FC Jinai. Pretty much excited with this one because this is my first summoning session. So I'm really looking forward to getting her hopefully within the next 10 pulls if possible. I don't know if it's asking too much but hopefully I can I can minimize my Z so that they could save it for the next banner to be out. So anyway without further ado, I do hope that I have luck today because I don't really want to spend more than what I have. So let's start to come on Jinai but come home so we'll try our usual skip at the door. It has brought me luck so far so first one. Hm let's see who's this no luck So it's Ivan, so next, nice, thank you I'm still on the ship, so again, not there, so I hope still I'm on the ship, yes, third time's charm I think, so not there, still on the ship, this is good, it's a good sign actually for a summon session, not there for the fourth time, so let's move on to number two, Komonginai, let's change our tactic, snap skip, okay first one it's a Gucci cape, nothing special, it's a shell, so she's going to get her her rework hopefully soon that we could use her, I actually used her when I started this game, I didn't know that she was not that good but still kept on using her, so that was it for the second pull, my third pull again, let's try the snap skip, first one, give me luck please, luck luck for today, I need luck for today okay second one, this way it is killing me, nothing for the second one, so let's now remove the fourth pull so on average, I usually get my summons halfway, let's say for example if I pit pity her for 28, usually most of my summons happen halfway so that's usually either on the 14th or less or if it's a 19 pity, I usually get my FCs around 10 or 9 so hopefully this is true for jenai, because so far no jenai, please please please so we're still on the boat, so I do hope I get very good luck, I'm not really happy if I go towards pity but I don't have a choice, I have to, because I have to try out the new team comp that I posted on YouTube so want to try that concept team that I uploaded last night and I think jenai is going to be a game changer at PVP, no doubt propasive packs a lot of punch, it packs a lot of if you may call it global effects effects your team, effects your opponents, so I do hope I really get her so far, no luck I'm still on the boat, okay come on come on please, not there so this is going to be my 6th call already, so let's go and try to door again Fergie please move aside, let us think about getting her positive vibes for the summoning session think positive vibes, I know I'll get her eventually but just have positive vibes so that you could project what you want and you'll be getting it, I hope so we're now at 7th pull, oh my god this is torturing me so I really don't want to get additional zest for this one, for this pull I'm actually nearing my point of summoning so hopefully I get there soon literally this is not her, not Valar I don't need her, I don't need you, I definitely don't need you of all the FCs that I have, I don't need you so I hope that's not the end of my luck, I still have more luck please, please, please oh my god I got Valar, I don't need her 8th pull, of all the FCs I had to pull, it was mahar I don't use her anymore, I used her before when I was starting out but not in a month, not in two months haven't even 6 starters so please, please, please oh my god, it's over, it's not what I want so let's move on, chain it up a bit quick snap for summon here we go, I'm getting near 10 pulls already not even a blue one at Maggy don't need her anymore so I'm going to do my 10th pull but I'm right on track in terms of my prediction I do hope so I do hope so that I'm on track next move aside move aside quickly please I'm on the boat still still on the boat, 10 pulls went that pass maybe pull 10, oh my god and I have 3 more pulls to go hopefully I'm on track please, please, please this may be it this may be it oh my god, blue, blue at least it's a blue one yes, and who is this? it's Garf, okay more for signature force of course so at least I got Garf for signature force is it? no, not this one going towards my 11th I think this is my 12th not sure, I'll check later I think I'm going to end with 13 pulls so lucky number 13 supposedly so not with this one so probably my last pull for this session still haven't got her please be there please be there please a snapshot for this one please, pretty please even the blue one since I start the game what else, please please please please, please, please actually on the boat probably this is the last one so do I have to get more says please be it yes I told you so lucky number 13 yes yes I got her I got her lucky number 13 it is lucky number 13 oh thank god I didn't have to pull another batch of this anyway well that's it guys I'm going to try to build her as soon as possible I'm happy that I got Garf well for Valar I'm not really happy with her but I'll take her FC anyway so that is it for me guys so again stay safe this is the warden and I'm out


We're back. We're live. We're here on Wednesday morning. We're so happy to be here to try to connect the dots on Donald Trump. It's Trump week. We have to have a theme song. That's Tim Apichella, Cynthia Sinclair. Good morning. Let's do Trump week. Yeah. And I asked you guys before, what does ellipsis mean, okay, in Ukrainian, Ukrainian language? I think you have to tell everybody. It means obstruction, right? Struction of justice. Struction of justice. Struction of justice. And he has mixed loyalties, this guy, Venman. What do you think about that? Mixed loyalties. They said it on Fox News a number of times. Now a lot of the Republican, you know, Congress repeated it. Yeah. Let me just quote Republican Senator Liz Cheney from Wyoming, shameful. It was shameful. Shameful is right. Absolutely.  But you know, they persist in trying to pull the rug out from under the sky, who was a purple heart and all that. Oh, all the medals you can see on his chest as he goes in. And then he had the audacity to try to attack him. How dare they? Because he is an immigrant. He came when he was, what, two years old? All immigrants are bad, you know? Two years old, he came with his family. Three. Was he three? Yeah. Okay. And in that three years, he somehow divided the loyalty when he was two. Right. Just because he's from Ukraine. Yeah. Right. Well, go ahead. What does it surprise anyone if you had John McCain thrown under the bus? Because I don't like people that get captured. Does it surprise anyone when the cons were being assaulted and their son was killed in action? Yeah.  Yeah. It's all of the Republicans that are jumping on that bandwagon that just makes them so angry. Yeah, a lot. Not all, but a lot. Yes. Too many. Too many. Yeah. Well, how was the case going? You know, the Republicans have decided they were going to attack the process, right? And they've been mercilessly attacking the process without ever getting to the content. Right. But the content, when you shake it and bake it, was pretty good for impeachment. Absolutely. The impeachment looks better all the time. Yes, it does. I'm calling this show the Noose Titan. How good is it? Well, if you can't attack the law, the law is not going to work for you, then you do attack the process. Right now, they're putting, you know, the process together, so they won't be able to attack the process much longer. So then what do you do?  Well, sooner or later, that's not going to work. So then what do you do? You just throw up your hands and wiggle them around as fast as you can, because that's all they got left. That's all they got left. That's right. What about the content for a moment? Putting aside these arguments, this is the only argument about the process, we'll get to it. But what about what we know in terms of the substantive evidence? How does it look? Who's saying what and how credible are they? Well, it looks like they've all corroborated the whistleblower, right? And that's the thing, too. The whistleblower being attacked the way he is. And even just with the Vindman deposition, all of the Republicans reportedly, anyway, all they cared about doing was trying to get the name of the whistleblower. They didn't ask them substantive questions. All they did was try to get the name of the whistleblower so that they can discredit the whistleblower and that they can out him, which makes him how to vet or her, whoever it is, at very great risk to their own life, their own futures, everything. What about the witnesses so far that we know of? I mean, in putting all this process aside for just a moment, I think it's phony the process issues. Oh, yeah, they are. What do we got in terms of evidence? Well, Lieutenant Colonel Alexander Vindman is a crucial witness because you remember when the whistleblower first came out. The first thing that Donald Trump said is, well, he has second-hand knowledge. That's the first thing. Well, in this case, Vindman is first-hand knowledge. Right. So that's critical. Number two is, he's also pointing out that the transcript that was issued by the White House isn't necessarily the actual reality of what was said on that phone call, and he's made some points about the ellipsis and the fact that there would have been a little bit more there that's not in the transcript. So where is the real transcript? Where is the real transcript? Even the summary transcript went down into a vault on a very irregular basis. I mean, is that the missing tape? It is, I think. It's 18 minutes and all that. That's the thing about it is that we've only got about six minutes worth of actual dialogue when, in reality, the whole thing lasted, what was it, 18 minutes. We should have been asking at the outset, insisting at the outset, where is the tape? Where is the full transcript? Pull it out of that. And the funny thing is when you put these ellipses in, they didn't say anything what the ellipses meant. Right. They didn't say, you know, it's just, maybe you could have assumed that it was inaudible or there was a gap in the speaking, but you would not assume that they removed things and that it was, at the end, only a summary with the substance removed. It doesn't matter how important that was or how it fits, you know, in the larger context, but what matters is they changed it. They had a better one and they gave us a worse one and we still don't have the better one. You have direct oppositional testimony between Vinland and Sondland. Sondland said there was no mention of this on the phone call. Okay, so now we have direct, we have a direct conflict. It'll be interesting to see if Sondland is brought back in to clarify and or see if he created burgery of any type. He is coming back in. Well, there you go. You'll have a chance. He is because he's saying that he has to correct some of his testimony. I'm sure that his lawyers are saying, listen, you've got five other people coming in that directly go against what you've said, so you need to switch it up and you need to come back in. Right after the Times reported that the house was considering perjury charges against him. So now he's going back in to change it. He's been deflecting the perjury charges. Okay, that'll be really important to have that testimony corrected because after that I think it's time to go.  The other interesting thing about Venman is that Venman is active duty military and he was there in the Security Council and all that national security. And undoubtedly instructed not to testify. Okay, and in he walks, you know, regardless of any instructions from Trump. And that's a message to all the others who have similar instructions who refuse to walk, including that guy, Cupperman, who filed a lawsuit the day before Friday, before the Monday, asking a judge for some kind of determination as to whether he was obligated to testify. And of course that sort of throws it into court, kicks it into court. Who knows when we're going to get an answer on that? Sooner the better and as sooner actually I think is that he's not in any privilege. He should be ordered to testify. He shouldn't testify. But what this tells us with Venman is that, yes, you can go down there and testify. I'm sure the administration is going, uh-oh, our wall is cracking. Yes. Our phalon is breaking apart. Yeah. Well, what is it? The Noose Titans. And it does. Well, they're bringing up now stuff about the Mueller report also. And I don't see why not. And if you look at it, he's going about the same kind of obstruction in this case that he did in the Mueller case. And so I hope they don't leave that out. And I hope that they make it at least one of the articles of impeachment. Yeah. Because they're worried. They're going back and forth, talking about how we want to keep it simple. We want to just keep it Ukraine. People can't understand the Mueller stuff. And I think they could if they read it. But I hope they'll bring it in and they won't leave it out. I think one thing is worth noting is that back in the, I guess it was the fifties with McCarthy, the McCarthy hearings about how many communists in the State Department, how many communists in the Department of the Army and all this. He was chasing communists, obviously, trying to make a name for himself. Right. And ultimately, and he was at war, if you will, with the State Department and at war with the Army. Does that sound familiar right now? And finally, and he had the help of Roy Cohn, who was his advisor, his lawyer, I guess. And Cohn was, by the way, very friendly with Donald Trump back in the day. Funny thing. Before Cohn died. But what I want to just mention is that McCarthy went down. He was disgraced. He was disgraced. He was rejected by both parties on both sides. Communists and not communists. Everybody, you know, he was debunked and finished.  And hopefully Barg will go down. Every high school talked about McCarthyism. Yeah, they did. I don't know a history book in the United States back in the 60s and 70s that didn't talk about McCarthyism. A lesson to be learned. Yeah. Apparently he hadn't been printing that in the 80s and 90s. Well, history repeats itself. Yes, it does. Only worse. Much worse this time. That's deja vu all over again. That's what it is. I just want to say one thing. It's interesting because Donald Trump did take to Twitter about Venman. Colonel Venman. And this one is a particular funny quote because it might be true. He said, was this the same call that I was? Can't be possible. Please ask him to read the transcript of the call. Witch hunt. Well, maybe it was a different phone call. Maybe it's the real one. And Donald Trump, is this going off the transcript that has been contrived? Right. I think you're probably right. Because he believes his own lies.  He has to. Which is why he's compelling. That's why he's so good at it. It's why he's compelling. That's why people get sucked in is because he's very good at lying. Okay, so one of the things that the press was saying right after this kind of thing was coming up, these witnesses were coming up. And it was clear that Trump had acquitted pro quo. And Trump was trying to get this head of state to help him out and return for the release of funds that Congress had already appropriated, which are critical to Ukraine. So the press said many times, we haven't seen a strategy from the White House. The White House doesn't seem to have any strategy. And indeed Trump was off on this tangent, that tangent. And he was scattered all over the place. Okay, so now it's about two weeks later. Do we see a strategy? What is the strategy? And is the strategy effective? And do the people in the red states, the base, do you think they accept the strategy? What is the strategy, Tim? It's the strategy of lying and going, oh, that wasn't good enough. I now need to go back and fix it. Another quote about Vindman. Trump said, I never heard of him. Well, don't you think before he made definitive statements about the transcript that he would have figured out who else was on the phone call? I mean, wouldn't anyone just say, well, gosh darn it, who else was on the call? Well, apparently he doesn't do that. So now that Vindman is telling it like it is on what transpired on the phone call, Trump's now going back going, I never heard of him. He's a never-trumper. So there is no strategy. Well, I actually think there is. And I think it's a manipulative set people up kind of strategy. So it seems like it's chaos and he doesn't really have any kind of plan. But you see so much projection. He's always accusing other people of the things that he is doing. So you can really kind of gauge what he's doing by what he's accusing other people of. And so in that sense, in the same sense that a narcissist will set up his significant other to be controlled, that's kind of, I see very many similarities between the way my first husband was and the way Trump is. I'm serious. That abuse, no, no, but I'm talking about the abusive, narcissistic, control-free kind of way of thinking. Yes, I think it is. Is it working in the South? Is it working with the base? It is. Is it working in the red states? Of course it's working. It is. I was down there and absolutely it's working. Yes, it's working. Working well. Watch Fox News for a few minutes and you will see it. So how is this going to affect his electability? If we stop right now, how does it affect his electability? Well, I don't think that matters because he's going to cheat. And that's what I always say. It doesn't matter how many people vote for him or don't vote for him because he's going to cheat. Is he tarnished? Is he blemished? He was tarnished the day he came down the escalator two years ago. Yeah, he was already tarnished. He was already tarnished. Let's talk about it. There's an accepted amount of tarnish. Let's talk about Nancy. I mean, he really had been able to hold on to the Republicans in Congress, although certainly there are cracks with, for example, Cheney. That was certainly a debauchery. But what about, you know, what about the Nancy Pelosi's move on establishing this resolution that will be voted on tomorrow, Thursday? How good is that? How smart is that? How does that address the problems, the defense, if you will, that Trump and his friends have raised? Will it work? Well, you remove the check mark. You remove their basis of protest. And maybe it's something that she didn't have to do by statute, but she's doing it. And then you're going to follow down the cookbook recipe for what's involved with the steps of impeachment. And this one didn't have to happen, but it's going to happen. Well, I think she's smart to do it because they've got a little bit of a base of information already under wraps, basically, that can now be released to the public throughout this, through this resolution. And it also sets some rules and it keeps it in the house. And I think that's really important because, you know, the minute it gets to the Senate, it's going to die, you know, in Mitch McConnell or, I should say, Moscow, Mitch's, you know, great wasteland of bills. And that's what will happen with this also. So they need to get as much information out to the public as they possibly can before it goes up to the Senate. What's interesting is they don't have to do this, as Tim said. They don't have to do this. They don't have to. This is way beyond, it hasn't happened before. The fact is they could have the whole thing in secret if they want. Right. And then, you know, present it later. But they have been attacked for a secret proceeding. And those 24 Republicans showed up, some of whom were actually on the committee. Yeah, I could have been inside. No, I know. Disceptive. It's ridiculous. So she says, well, okay, what's good enough for the goose? You want openness? I'm not obligated to give you openness. The Congress doesn't have any duty to give you openness. It's not provided in the law. Or in the precedent, what we're going to give you openness? Bon appetit. You know, you can have what you wanted and see if you like it that way. All right. Well, so I had lunch with a good friend of mine yesterday. And I told him, I thought it was really smart for her to do this. Because it's, you know, what's good enough for the goose and the gander and all that. And this is the way you respond to these incessant attacks of secrecy. And he said, don't be so optimistic about this, Jay. This was lunch yesterday, 24 hours ago. And he said, what's going to happen is the Republicans are going to attack the resolution. They're going to say the resolution is unfair. Even though the resolution answers and gives them what they were asking for before. And damn, he was right, wasn't he? As soon as it hit the deck, they were attacking the resolution. Well, the rules within the resolution is the thing. Because they want to be able to question the witnesses themselves. But one of the rules now has been put in there, that they will be questioned by staffers.  Yeah, there will be some kind of continuity to the questioning that goes on. On its face, it's fair. Oh, way more fair. What the Republicans have been saying for the past 24 hours is, it's not enough. It's not soon enough. It's not enough. And you should have given us this kind of transparency from day one. The obligation to do that. Right. You get to the counterpoint. You stick to your points. It's not been done before. We're doing something that you've asked for. So be happy. No, just kidding. Well, no, but you've got to stay to your talking points. Right. Yeah. Moving out to the larger context on this, though. As Cynthia said, it's not likely that the Senate will have a trial. Yes, but it won't be a mock trial. It's not going to be a mock trial. It'll be phony. Right. And they won't convict. And we'll have to try to figure out, as we go following on Trump week, what that all means to the electorate and the country and the way the country looks. You know, the optics of it are the ultimate effect of it. But what's interesting about Nancy's maneuver, and think about this, she's opening it up just the way they want for a public spectacular. We are now going to have a trial. The Constitution says the trial is in the Senate. Nancy is shifting it to the House. We're going to have a spectacular trial. There's going to be 80 million people watching every day, maybe 100 million people. And we're going to see this whole thing play out. And if he is convicted, which I think he will be in the House, that's going to lay a big, a big shadow on the Senate. So the House convicts, essentially. I mean, it's, you know, by virtue of this procedure where the witnesses and the examination, Trump will not testify. I know he will have the opportunity. He won't testify. Now we get to the Senate. And for reasons they cannot articulate, they acquit him. Well, wait a minute. Didn't the House just have a trial and convict him? You know, most people don't know the distinction between the impeachment inquiry in the House and the trial in the Senate. And they're going to say, how come it is that the Senate doesn't agree with the House after the House had this big differential? Well, it's all about putting somebody on record. That's why I think they're actually going to have the formality of a vote on the process. Because after this, after the vote, it goes to the committee, the judicial committee. Then they take their votes. And if it's affirmative, then from there it goes to the floor of the House. But let's get, you know, Nancy's no slouch. Let's get the Republicans in the House of Representatives on record with their vote. Because that will tie right into the vote record of the Senate. Yeah, they should be worried. The Republicans should be worried about what the country feels, including the base. How they perceive all of this. And when all the evidence comes out and, you know, they have these open hearings, transparency, cross-examination, what have you, argument, debate, remember? That's part of the resolution. Oh boy. So, but I want to talk about another aspect of Trump's defense, if you will. First thing he does is over the weekend he makes an announcement that something big going to happen 24 hours from now. I think he announced it on Sunday morning, was it? Yeah, Sunday morning. Whole country is on tenterhooks.  Oh, they? Okay. All right. Okay. But can we analyze that for a minute? Is that, that arguably helps him? It shows you, yes, he's doing business here. He's doing what presidents should do. But I think, you know, I think it's clear that it's part of his defense. It just happened to happen now. Right. And so he's using it. But there's a lot of things that are phony baloney about. Yes. What he did and how he presented it. Go ahead. Oh yeah. Well, you just said it yourself. This should have helped him. Immensely.  Because now he's put so many lies into this and hyperbole into the story. It is true. But did he have to do that? Of course not. But is that Donald Trump? Of course it is. Yeah. If he would have just been factual and just stated the facts and got off the podium, this would have led to a very, very popular away for him. But it didn't. And he lied. And all of a sudden, didn't he? He boxed it up. He lied saying it was all Americans that did it. And it wasn't. I mean, the inside man was through the Kurds. And so he barely gave the Kurds credit. And the first time he didn't, he got some backlash about it. So he came back out and said something about them. But it was all about, you know, look what I did. I did this. He didn't do it. He didn't really have anything to do with it. Except to say, okay, go ahead and do it. He's already in place. It is already in place. It was the army. And in fact, if anything, he messed it up. He messed it up. Yes, if anything. He messed it up by getting out of Syria that quick. Yes. He became much more dangerous. Much more dangerous. He became way more dangerous for everybody involved. Yeah. And yeah. So I'd like to add one other thing. The Kurds, you know, have been our friends. Yes. The information and the assistance we got from the Kurds in the killing of al-Baghdadi was after Trump had turned his back on them. Right. And they still did it. So, you know, you really have a mixed bag there. One is, are they so much our friends that even after we dump on them, turn our backs on them, they're still willing to help because they were there. They were there. Is that something or what? Is that something or what? I don't think it's that they're friends. I think they just were committed and so they followed through when we didn't. They love America. Those Kurds love America and what America stood for and stands for. They do. Still? Yes. I mean, I've seen pictures of them getting, you know, having rotten fruit thrown out of them. Well, yeah, but you have to understand the context behind that. Right. There's a lot of people getting down with Kurds and some of the PPK during dinner and you'd see they love this country and they love for everything it stands for, freedom and, you know, the American and not electing dictators and presidents. There's a lot of Christians involved in that culture too. That's not just, you know, Muslims, there's a, or Islam, there's a lot of there's a lot of Christians. You talk about loyalty. So one possibility, one quirk of this dilemma is that even after he turned his back on them, they still helped us. Yeah, right.  I mean, it's a very serious matter but they don't take him seriously and they love for the country, their alignment with the U.S. is strong, so strong that they know he's a short-term. The other possibility and maybe both possibilities took place is that Trump paid him off because that's what he does. So you guys, we need your help. How about a million bills to each of you? I'm making this up but it just strikes me as a logical possibility to get them back in because he knew how important it was to go on this mission and he knew how dangerous it was and how much we needed them especially because he'd blown the timeline by his maneuver the week before.  And of course, as you mentioned, using words like what did he say? He was he was afraid, he was whimpering, whimpering, screaming, crying the whole time, yeah. We got him like a dog. We got him like a dog. We got him like a dog. Something like that. The Department of Defense said we have no information about that with you. We're really saying who all the world is that Trump made it up. What he talked about. Yeah.  There's not a lot of whimpering, nibbling, whining going on.  That's all there is to it. I still wonder if he did. I mean, they said they found DNA. Because you don't believe anything Trump says. That's right. Yeah. Okay. What else we got here in the waiting moments? Katie Hill going down representative from California has been accused. Well, first, her ex-husband leaked some pornographic photos of her. And so they let them out to the public. And then if they found out that she was having an affair or a relationship with one of her staffers, so she was told she needed to step down. The interesting part about all this just came out today. George Papadopoulos is campaigning for her seat. Well, he said that this seat was going to be open days before the pornographic photos came out before the information about the staffer came out before any of the information about her leaving or needing to leave came out. George Papadopoulos is tweeting about it. So what does this suggest? And now he's well, it suggests that somehow there was some sort of something behind all of it and somebody knew about it. And he's a Republican. Hmm. So, and he's got a big mouth. So I think he knew and he tweeted when he shouldn't have. Was she attacking Trump? Yo, yes. She's very much against it. So this is Trump's many ways. I've kind of heard in the legislature. Do you have rid of anybody that he can in the Democrats so the Republicans can take back the house? Even pornographic pictures. Even pornographic pictures. Yes, absolutely. And that's what it says to me. How low we have gone, how low we are slung now. I mean, it's still a possibility that he will win this election. There's still a possibility. Yes. It was a great possibility. Is he a cheat? So what is, what is the, okay, that's a statement I was going to ask. What's he going to do now? He's got more witnesses coming. Nancy is inexorable. She, and what's his name? Chef. Chef. They're going to do a real yeoman's job on conducting the rest of this investigation. They might even do it in a timely way, you know, to beat the holidays. And we're going to have a real, we're going to have a real shindig here against Trump. What is Trump going to do? Remember the 25th Amendment. And remember the fact that he's a narcissist. And remember the fact that, you know, he's got very strange psychiatric problems. What is he going to do now? What can we expect next week? You can expect Donald Trump going in for medical care because he's going to have a lot of blisters on his thumbs tweeting all his rage as this stuff comes more out.  I think he's going to be more dangerous because always when you get a narcissist back in the corner like that, they become more dangerous. So every day that everything mounts and the news tightens, every day that that news tightens, he becomes more dangerous. He may say something he'll regret because he doesn't have his attorneys with him all the time. And you know, the attorneys have very little influence over what he says and what he tweets. So that's a good point that when he gets back to the corner, he starts saying all sorts of outrageous things. And some of them have a kernel of truth to it. And you don't know what those kernels are until he utters them out. But look for something that he said that he didn't mean to say. Yeah. Well, I think going forward, we can expect more of the same. But I think we should never forget that he's got one hand over here trying to set the agenda in the press and among the people. Trying to be, you know, the first 20, 30 articles in every newspaper in the country, the world. Trying to be on the news for, you know, six, eight, 10 hours a night. He's he's our entertainment already. It's not just me at home watching all the news. I think all of America is at home watching all the news. He's, you know, commanding the agenda in a funny way. That's an important part about what Nancy did. She is now in charge of at least part of the agenda. But what I want to say and I think we should continue to watch is while all this goes on, all these shenanigans lying in the deception and the bizarre conduct and the outrageous moves and the attacks on government itself on the State Department, on the Army, on everybody else, he's got the other hand behind his back that he doesn't tell us about. And the press has to work very hard to find out about. And he's dismantling so much of the apparatus that has existed to protect us, protect the country, do the right thing. That is still happening. And I think we always have to watch that with him. And it's going to be very hard to correct it later. In the 60 minutes interview Biden made, he said something really profound and we should leave it here. He said, he said, if Trump is thrown out of office now or at the election in 2020, there'll be a tremendous amount of damage that we have to fix. But we can fix it. If he succeeds to another term, very questionable or whether we can fix it, he will have, for all practical purposes, changed the country in a bad way forever. And we won't have an easy opportunity to fix it. And I think you have to agree with that. I do agree. That was very wise, regardless of his position as a candidate. True. I agree. Thank you, Tim. Thank you, Tim. Thank you, Cynthia. Thank you. Nice to be back. Happy to be back with you guys. We have these discussions. All right. See you next week. Yeah. Read the paper.


Welcome to All Hands Update. I'm Petty Officer Tony Rosa with your headlines from around the fleet. The Navy will be issuing flame-resistant coveralls to shipboard sailors early next year in response to concerns about the flame resistance of shipboard uniforms. The new flame-resistant variant, or FRV coverall, will combine the existing blue utility coverall design with the flame-resistant fabric of the repair locker coverall. Meanwhile, in Washington, the Department of Defense and other government agencies signed a statement of intent August 15 reaffirming their commitment to the redesigned Transition Assistance Program, or TAP. The redesigned TAP provides training to build skills and enable transitioning service members to meet career readiness standards established by the Department of Defense. You can read more about these stories at Navy.mil. From All Hands Update, thanks for watching.


The Argo program has been implemented and sustained for nearly two decades, providing continuous observations of ocean temperature and salinity versus pressure, from the sea surface to 2,000 meters deep. This was achieved through the use of cost-efficient and robust technologies of autonomous profiling floats. Recent advances in platform and sensor technologies have opened up new possibilities for extending Argos reach into deeper waters, and adding biogeochemical sensors for improved understanding of oceanic cycles of carbon, nutrients, and ecosystems. Additionally, the addition of experimental sensors could provide valuable information regarding the spatial and temporal patterns of ocean mixing. Overall, the goal is to create a fully global, top-to-bottom, dynamically complete, and multidisciplinary Argo program that will integrate seamlessly with satellite and other, in situ elements of the global ocean observing system. This article was authored by Dean Romick, Matthew H. Alford, Irve Claustre, and others. We are article.tv, links in the description below.