The rise of the number of calories provided by the U.S. food supply since the 1970s is more than sufficient to explain the entire obesity epidemic. Similar spikes in calorie surplus were noted in developed countries around the world in parallel with and presumed primarily responsible for the expanding waste lines in their populations. By the year 2000, the United States was producing, after exports taken into account, 3,900 calories for every man, woman, and child, nearly twice as much as many people need. It wasn't always this way. The number of calories in the food supply actually declined over the first half of the 20th century, only starting its upward climb to unprecedented heights in the 1970s. The drop in the first half of the century was attributed to the reduction in hard manual labor. The population had decreased energy needs, so they ate decreased energy diets. They didn't need all the extra calories. But then the so-called energy balance flipping point occurred when the move less staleen phase that existed through most of the century turned into the eat more gain weight phase that plagues us to this day. So, what changed? What happened in the 1970s was a revolution in the food industry. In the 1960s, most food was prepared and cooked in the home. The average quote-unquote not working wife spent hours a day cooking and cleaning up after meals. The husband averaged nine minutes. But then a mixed blessing transformation took place. Technological advances in food preservation and packaging enabled manufacturers to mass prepare and distribute food for ready consumption. The metamorphosis has been compared to what happened a century before the industrial revolution with the mass production and supply of manufactured goods. This time there were just mass producing food. Using new preservatives, artificial flavors, and techniques such as deep freezing and vacuum packaging, food corporations could take advantage of economies of scale to mass produce, already made durable, palatable edibles that offered an enormous commercial advantage over fresh and perishable foods. Think ye of the Twinkie. And look, with enough time and effort, any ambitious cook could create a cream-filled cake, but now they're available around every corner for less than a dollar, or even delivered straight to your door for 30 cents. If every time someone wanted a Twinkie, they had to bake it themselves, they'd probably eat a lot less Twinkies. The packaged food sector is now a multi-trillion dollar industry, or consider the humble potato. We've long been a nation of potato eaters, but they were largely baked or boiled. Anyone who's made fries from scratch knows what a pain it is, right, with all the peeling, cutting, and splattering, right? But with sophisticated machinations of mechanization, French fry production became centralized, and could be shipped at negative 40 degrees any fast food deep fat fry, or a frozen food section in the country, to become America's favorite vegetable. Nearly all the increase in potato consumption in recent decades has been in the form of French fries and potato chips. Cigarette production offers a compelling parallel. Up until automated rolling machines were invented, cigarettes had to be rolled by hand. It took 50 workers to produce the same number of cigarettes a machine could make in a minute. The price plunged, and production leapt into the billions. Cigarette smoking went from relatively uncommon to almost everywhere. In the 20th century, the average per capita cigarette consumption rose from 54 a year to 4,345 cigarettes a year. By the time the 1964 Surgeon General's report, the average American went from smoking about only one cigarette a week to a half pack a day. Tobacco itself was just as addictive before and after mass marketing. What changed was cheap, easy access. French fries have always been tasty, but they went from being rare, even in restaurants, to omnipresent access around each and every corner, likely next to the gas station, where you can get your Twinkies and cigarettes. But look, the first Twinkie dates back to 1930, though. And Orita started selling frozen French fries in the 1950s. I mean, there has to be more to the story than just technological innovation, which we'll explore next.


The following is a presentation of TFNN. The Tiger Technician Hour with your host, Hazel Chapman. Call now. Call free at 1-877-927-6648. What happened on this Friday, September the 17th. I had a lot of questions come in. I was away yesterday. I had a lot of questions come in. I was trying to deal with him one at a time. I first run, I'm just going to run the indexes. Downdown, 123. Cannot get above the nine-period exponential moving average and hold. It's attempted to get there four, five times out of the last 10 sessions. Just can't hold. Down again, 125, 34,626. You can see this pattern that I call the dreaded H. Today's technical Friday. So we're going to do some of the technicals here. What is the dreaded H? It's just a real simple thing. I have three patterns that I look at all the time. Straight line up or down. Cup formation, arch formation, or a combination of one and two or one and three. Straight line down, arch formation. We call that the dreaded H because if it takes out that left side low, there's a problem. Well, we saw the dreaded H right there. Took out the left side low of 34,690. I went to 34,510. And even now we're at 34,633 below that left side low. This is an issue. It's going to be a problem. And I thought that the unbalanced volume was getting oversold. This is the only one that I really look at is oversold and overbought. And it hasn't reflected any strength at all. I thought there was a little bit of residual strength to just allow for a balance. It hasn't happened. It did happen yesterday. It hasn't happened today. So within that context, what I say to subscribers on Wednesday that I was expecting, that maybe we have kind of a doji candle, a narrow closed doji candle on Thursday and then come down on Friday. Or we just come down immediately. Well, we came down immediately and we're following that through to the downside. This is impacting. This is Friday. So this is going to be the second. If we close anywhere around here, let's see below the week, the 14 period exponential moving average. Let's see right here of 34,794. We're 140 points below that. This will be the second week that we've closed under it. We've been under it before ever since that breakout to the upside back in October. That was on October the week of the 6th of November. We haven't gone underneath the 14 period moving average for more than a day or two. And most of the time we close immediately above it. And the one time that we did look, it looked very ugly on 33,271 the week of the 18th of June. Wow. But next week we retested successfully and kaboom. It went straight up and has been up ever since. Now all of a sudden this is the second week. And this will be the first time that if there is a close below that 34,700 area, this is the second time that we've got a weekly close. And that's a sign to say I have to now really consider that the weekly chart is about to give its first cell signal. I'm not saying that yet. We've got to wait for the end of the day. The day is young. So we've got a G star, C in the Chapman wave notation. We've got a peak D potential if there is no high, new all-time high above 35,631 in the month of September. This is going to be an important month. Let me tell you. And let me go to the S&P. Why is it an important month? Because look at the S&P. Let's go backwards. Let's look. Oh, I'll come back to it. This is still A, B. In a monthly chart in the Chapman wave methodology, what we're always looking for from an identifiable low, you want to count at least four higher peaks. I alphabetize them. Peak A, next one's peak B. Higher high is a peak C. It's not a higher high close. It's just a higher high. Leg D, and it can even go E, F, and G to seven higher peaks. But it's at that fourth highest peak that other things can happen. That's where you have to do an analysis. And here we are only in leg B. There's no other way to count the monthly chart, and that's still a big positive for 2021 into 2022. And then we've got to be really careful. All right. This is a peak D in the weekly chart. This is the second week underneath the all-time high, 45, 45.85, made with the two doji candles at that peak G. This is a right arm extension in one of the techniques that I've discussed over the years. It's not like a rogue wave. Rogue wave is a single. You get a peak which is a D, E, or F, and then you start to pull back and the technical start to fail. And if you're short, you're absolutely correct technically in being short, where all of a sudden there's a news event just something happens. Oh, I had this already earlier in the week. A rogue wave, perfect rogue wave key. I'll show you exactly what I'm talking about. KEY, did I lose all that? Oh, I did all the work.  Oh, I got to remember every single minute of the day I got to click the save as long as I can click save. It doesn't matter if I save overnight because what happens is when I come back again, if I'm knocked off and in fact, I got knocked off a little earlier, Comcast was down and was right in the middle of a trade. Oh, my God. Thank goodness everything came back just in time. So A, B, uppercase. A, uppercase on the way up, lowercase on the way down notation. C, D. So here you are. You come to the D. You try to retest, you fail, make a V-shaped pattern. And then all of a sudden, you see how the technicals are fading right here. This is KEY is key core. I think it's the energy sector. And then what happens is you can't get a down arrow because the MACD didn't close. It didn't cross negative. So I usually put a plus sign. I will start off probably with a down arrow and then I'll have to change and say, no, no, no. That's a plus sign. Be ready for the next peak to maybe make a top. Well, what happened is in KEY, which is trading on the 13th of August at 20, 20.99, it pulls back all the way to 19.47. So it's a 10% correction. And then it rallies back when it only goes to 20.98, a penny lower. That's the V-shaped failure. But if you look at the technicals, the technicals are saying that there was some strength, but real weakness in the stochastic, and that says you should go down even further. Well, if you thought, okay, this is the time to short, you would have been absolutely correct except for that one news event that did what? It had a sudden spike. You remember my expression for a rogue wave? Is that you're at the beach as the sign says, high tide at noon. So 12 or five, you think, okay, tide's going down. I'm going to put either my deck chair or whatever it is. I'm walking towards the edge of the rock. I'm going to sit and relax 21-1, 21-11. I'm going to relax. And you say you'd put your dark glasses on. It's a suntan lotion on. Everything's just cool. When all of a sudden, out of the blue, it's like a splash. There's this one wave that didn't see the sign that the beach has said high tide at noon and at 1206, boom, everything's wet. But you look around, you wipe your glasses, and say, what's going on? Tide's going down. That's exactly, that's your rogue wave right there. So I thought I had this all notated and everything. I'll do it again. You see, it didn't take me long. Rogue wave. In fact, what we call it is a Chapman wave rogue wave. Why? As far as I know, I'm the only one that's ever discussed this. I've been discussing it here for 20 years at least. So what happens is, look, the MACD then continued down, sarcastic, failed. Didn't even get above 80% on that rally to the fractional V-shape high. Then it pulls back and you would have been correct in being sure what happens in this particular instance is that you are correct. But because you've used up the energy, a rogue wave often has a very sharp pullback it doesn't mean that it has to continue down. It just says, you're probably going back to where you were. This is what happens. It goes just above the previous high long enough for the short. So I better cover and the people would go out saying, why didn't I get out? It's fantastic. And that same bar crashed. In fact, I'm going to get that stuff. Are you looking for a way to consistently add winning trades to your portfolio? Tom O'Brien is here to help. Tom O'Brien has been successfully trading markets for over 30 years. A frequent contributor to TD Ameritrade Network and CNBC, Tom O'Brien founded TFNN over 20 years ago to help educate investors just like you. Tom's Daily Market Newsletter, Market Insights is published every morning when markets open to give you the competitive informational edge you need to succeed. 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At TFNN, you'll get advice and guidance from the authority and technical market analysis and it's not just dry tedious text either. TFNN airs live financial content streamed live on TFNN.com and TFNN's YouTube channel with Tiger TV, live every market day from 8.30 a.m. to 4.00 p.m. Eastern. For free, each host is an experienced trader and gives their take on the market while taking calls and questions live from the moment the market opens until the closing bell sounds Tiger TV has 8 different shows with expert hosts to help you make the right moves with your money. Watch online at TFNN.com or on TFNN's YouTube channel and become the investor you were born to be. TFNN, educating investors. So exactly what does Keycore do? So I looked it up and what does it do? It's in the financial services, the bank. It serves right here. Keycore is a bank holding company. The company is a bank-based financial services company which operates through subsidiary Keybank National. There are certain periods of time during market moves that I really like holding companies. So this is doing very nicely. Ever since it made that high in the 21 area it dropped sharply into the low 19s and now it's trading at 20.90. So it's just a very quick peak A then a peak B in the weekly chart, a leg C. Holding quite nicely. Would I buy it now? At this particular point we are just really sparse on our long positions and we do have short positions which are working at well. We had one that was just fabulous and then yesterday our low, our stop was in fact the low of the day. I tried to get it on a pullback today. The choice of subscribers was to split it up and say let's just get it right here in the morning. It's below where we originally entered and then we can add to it on a low. And then I thought, no surely with one of the stocks in the sector being so strong there's just enough energy to maybe move higher. Well, I think now we've missed it. Now it's up already 4%. Okay, if it's going to move we can get in this is still early in the game. Our question, I had NCLH. Let me just do this NCLH. A couple of things I do want to get to. So NCLH, yeah, it's a good day today. But NCLH, which is the Norwegian cruise line, is it? Yes, Norwegian cruise line. Gosh, I had this and I've had all those airline, cruises, cruise ship companies notated over the years. But as I say, when I do have a quick shutdown I sometimes I'm not able to I think this is in a range at this particular point I'm afraid to get into range bound stocks I'd rather have higher highs and higher lows because you have to wait now because you've got the resist 26.78 25.78 up 72 cents. Nice move today. Yes, it's in this kind of sector counter sector that says maybe the worst is over, maybe the best is still to come. I just be real careful if you're in it from lower down just put it in a stop that makes you comfortable. You've got to get to 26. 25, that's 26, 26.41 which is the 200 period moving average that whole area has just been I'll put this in as a straight line look. In fact, no, I won't put it in as a rectangle. And you can see that this whole area's resistance we're a source of training the 27s. That's going to be good. I think for the market and for crew and Norwegian cruise lines. Yeah, so it's interesting. I saw something out there. There's so many fascinating things that are happening in Norway. One is first certainly the dent. Is that the art gallery? The art gallery is beautiful building with a very sloppy kind of a promenade that people can just rest and relax in the sun, the limited sun that they get. But some of the architecture and certainly some of the natural sites are just incredible. I was looking at a waterfall the other day. Just fascinating anyway. So there's Norwegian cruise lines. Yes, if you're in it, that's fine. When I get in right now for 80 cents and then resistance, I don't think I would like that risk right now. I think it's just trading in a band towards the 2026 level then 24 support. So all I'm looking at is something that's really tossing around within the waves of a choppy sideways movement to use the H2O vernacular. Fang, let's see. F-A-N-G. I don't know if you mean Fang the stock. Oh, look at that big move up. This is Diamondback Energy Inc. A-B-C-D-E. Is this an F-DOG-F? I think I'm going to call this for now a DOG-F. And all I'm going to say is really a wonderful, wonderful countertrend move to the larger theme, which is in the weekly, in the monthly, saying it's just that a decimation to the downside going from the 100, about 103 area down to 65. I mean just almost cut in half. But this is a nice comeback and it's in an area that I'm going to be following much more closely over the, I followed it kind of okay, but we haven't got any positions for subscribers. So this is an area, if you're in it, yes, 83.27 up 3.16 today to 83.23. This is in that oil sector, the oil service sector. Did I type that in? I typed it on the chart. So let's just do this. OH, there it is. OH, it's a better, actually it's a better chart pattern than the OH oil service ETF. Let's look at the XOP, which is kind of a mix between oil and natural gas. Natural gas is just had a huge move up. And at a peak, I think they're all getting to some kind of resistance here. Let's look at crude oil. Oh, I haven't finished all the charts, right? Cruel or peak, they all look the same. Although this rally is way more than a 60% from the low, from the high of 76s down to the low of 61s. 17 points, 17 points. So that's about, it's about 23% or something. And now it's had a really nice move to the up. So yeah, this is an area that I think over the period of the next few weeks is going to be choppy, but probably choppy higher lows and higher highs. That's kind of where I'm looking at it now. But that's just my thinking. I'm going to have to do a lot more work over the weekend. So yeah, FANG, F-A-N-G, Diamond Bank. Yep, that's, it's acting very well right now. A couple of things I need to do as well. I don't even remember where it was. Let's go to the QQQ, QQQ. Down again today, down three. We remain short the QQQ. What we're looking at here is 382.78 on the 7th of July was the high. A few days later, we went short. And now what we're looking at is, well, we went short via the three times long, a small position there and three times long. That is three times short. You buy it long because you are three times short. This is the SPX. No, the QSQQQ. And what we're looking at here is 375. What I see in the next few days, if we're looking at this, a 372 or lower, a close below 372, that's really, that's suggesting that the daily chart is going to impact the weekly. I think the tide has turned. I've been speaking about this for a while. I believe the tide has turned in all the indices. We waited for the SMHs to make a high, which it did at peak D. And then there was that sudden move up yesterday. And now it's down four at a peak here, 276.69. I mean, yep, that was a high yesterday. And look at this leg. I'm going to call this a leg F for now in the weekly chart. Nothing else. I don't need to do anything about it. And leg E slash B monthly chart. We'll see what happens here. But I can just tell you the SMHs, when they start to trend and if they start to trade under 265, that's going to suggest, watch out. This is going to be a deeper and longer consolidation than people are thinking right now. We are so used to just the consolidations where the buy the dips mentality wins over. My assessment is we've got a little bit of a different scenario at this particular point. IWM, the Russell 2000, still very weak. But holding in this pattern a little bit like the Dow, holding not too bad, 221.50, way off the 229.89 high that was made on the second of September. The all-time high is at 234.53. So this is really way off that. What we're looking at is IWM is holding a little bit better. But if you look at the weekly chart, it's still stuck in the range. Just as we go to the breakout, go to Gold as it's approved yet. Now it's versus down 6 at 17.50. It is the one-to-one to the downside. Remember this falling exformation, whichever way we can discuss it before mixing it to the ex. Are you having fun trading the markets but having trouble finding like-minded individuals to discuss your trading and investment ideas with? Become an Apex Predator in the trading markets and join the Tiger's Den Trading Room only at TFN.com. The Tiger's Den is an exclusive trading room where successful traders from around the world come to exchange trades and ideas. 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Get your copy of the Art of Timing the Trade charts today by visiting TFNN.com This segment is brought to you by Think or Swim. For more information, just click the Think or Swim banner on the front page of TFNN.com So, I both were back and looking at the e-mini. This is the December contract finding. Actually, I even had a trade on the September 1, this morning, then fortunately got out before the shutdown of my internet service by Comcast as they were fixing and repairing something. So, yeah, what I said was right here, it was at 44.36 and I said, the e-mini let me, what did I say? I said, in the Danyakums, the bounce attempt, it has to hold over 4444 for 35 minutes to bring in more buyers under 4248 sellers increase. This is a cusp moment and we're right here. We're going to see it. We had a peak C1 C2 in the one-minute chart up there at the highs of the 40 what was it? 44 was before that 44 whatever that was right there at least from 928 that was the high 44.63 73. We did have a high 44.7250 way earlier. So, this is tough. I mean the sellers are there. So, Victor Imparamus, hi, how are you? Oops You're there? I hear you. I hear you Victor. Victor, Victor, Victor. Alright, well Victor, give me a yell when you realize that you're on because you want to look at ABCL ABCL is ABCL Yeah, hi. So, ABCL is in fact or what is this? I can't read it. A, B, sellers, biologics. Okay, so this is in the biotech area, peak A, peak B, peak C, peak D, peak E. This is a, oh, let's see this red candle. There was some news relation to towards whatever in the biotech you always get this news event and you suddenly see a spike. If the spike holds it's really, if the spike doesn't hold it's not that good. And look what happened. It popped yesterday, closed at a 19.80. Today it gaps up screams to 22.63 and now it's 20.07 up 27 cents it's only up a dollar 36. Do you have a position in this? No, I got rid of it. Okay, so I'm just going to suggest to you because if you haven't called me and it was holding after that gap to the upside which was the high of the day 22.63 was both the open and the high and you called me and right now as we're speaking at 10.33 in the morning eastern time it was trading at 22.03 or 21.97 I would have said to you oh, I like that. They're accepting the news that the news is in fact impactable if that's a word towards their bottom line or towards whatever it is that they do and that would be very, I don't like this gift bag in fact for subscribers to an opening call we had exactly the same thing this morning. Oh, but you see this is what you want to see.  I don't want to mess around at all and then what happens there was it must have been some earnings or a news report and it opens at $597.06 yesterday it's trading at $560 it closed and then today it gaps it gaps up and it runs all the way to $601.99 how it missed $602 round number I don't know but that's what it did and then this is the candle Victor that you want to see look at the way of the days young explorations or not yeah but you see you're in the biotech I'm in an area that I've not ever seen the slimmer fish really stick when it comes to options exploration to the to some one of the prices just sticks at a certain level round number level I've not really seen it do that because it's just been on a tear to the upside but you want to see look right now it's up 3770 I did see it earlier on when I actually first noticed that it gapped up like this and it had it was only up 19 but it was still up 19 way above the the low of the day which is $576.00 I look always look at the round numbers so I'm just saying to you that in your case I would ABCL ABCL the the day is young if it can come back yeah towards the 21 it's a 2020 so that's a whole dollar higher if it's able to close towards the midpoint of the day I would say to you wow this stock is holding very nicely it's not I wouldn't say it's impervious to the news the cell the balances in fact I'd say that is really good action and then what I would say to you is on the next pullback towards the 20 towards the 1970 1950 level give me a call and let's look at it together because that's where I think another entry would be but if it comes back and by the end of the day it's it's really given back most of the gain in fact I would not like to see a touch yesterday's high of 19.88 because that'll say oh no this is just a news related event you see that so often in the biotechs I love when the biotech has a kind of a gap and then holds that gap for about 2-3 days and still after the gap takes out the previous high so today's high is 22.63 if in two days time now I I'll give it a little bit more I'll make it as simple as possible if there is a chance that today's low whatever it is by the end of the day it becomes the low for Monday because Monday kind of gaps up and it starts to work its way towards 21 give me a call let's look at it again because that would be good action but if it starts to pull back right now I'm going to say wait a little longer at the moment I would say the 19 somewhere between maybe between 1950 and 1920 maybe even 18.80 on any pullback I'd like to look it again because it is making higher highs and higher lows that's the indication of a trend in the daily it's done that now in the weekly as well everything about this technically is saying this is a nice chart pattern that you want to see you've got a good eye on this but I to buy it right now you can see the last time it had a gap a big gap like this was on the 7 the 1st of July gaps up opens at 22.51 that is the high the lows 20.50 closes just a few cents above that and then it just went sailing from 22 down to the low in the 14-15 area so I don't know if it's going to do that now all I can say to you is I like the chart pattern I don't like the candle of today have a little patience but keep it on your list because this is one that's in play the fact that it's making higher highs and higher lows so not just yet good eye so folks a couple of things I want to let me just do this again because I get calls all the time about gaps how do I treat the gaps so far this is perfect for TMO but it's at an all-time high that always makes me a little nervous to gap like this and all-time high with earnings report but it is only in leg C in the weekly chart and everywhere I counted I still only get a leg C thermo-efficient scientific anyone who lives in Waltham who knows the area you've on 128 you've been buying this building you've seen a change from I think it was called thermodynamics I can't remember the name the CEO from way way way back wow he did everything right just everything and then it became thermo-efficient scientific think medical equipment and it's a great company doing nice stuff 37 today I'll be back at the moment down to 137 as it was down 28 are you in the market for buying or selling real estate in the Bay area including the surrounding St. Petersburg Tampa and Clearwater markets Tiger Real Estate LLC is a firm that has extensive experience in the Tampa Bay area whether you're looking to sell your current property for maximum value or you're in the market for a second home or investment property Tiger Realty has the experience across all areas of real estate in the Tampa Bay area to help buyers and sellers make the most informed decisions across all price levels from the price you should be paying per square foot in certain up and coming areas to the type of cash flow investment properties are capable of creating Tiger Real Estate can help you make the best decision when it comes to all areas of the market before you make one of the biggest decisions of your financial future call Tiger Real Estate LLC today at<PHONE_NUMBER> or email us at tiger at tfnn.com that's<PHONE_NUMBER> call us today the technology around us is changing every day with so much happening it can seem impossible to keep up with all the information David White's investment newsletter the technology insider is designed to give you all the information you need to understand the technology that shapes today's markets and tomorrow's future David White has made his living staying on the cutting edge of technology his weekly newsletter will give you specific recommendations for value tech stocks as well as entry prices target prices and stops to set for each trade Dave delivers his weekly newsletters every Friday with updates throughout the week you can get the technology insider at tfnn.com for only $37.50 Sign up for David's newsletter the technology insider and get an inside look at 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LLC don't forget you can listen to tfnn 5 on your mobile device 24 hours per day go to tfnn.com then hit watch tiger tv that's tfnn.com then hit watch tiger tv this credit age crash failed to take the test of the 2428 level leg d in the 5 minute chart I'm gonna watch this this is tough stuff let's see okay so a couple of things I want you to do here I haven't finished all my analysis but I did ask about the XLB which is there to select material spider fund there's the dreaded age pattern but it goes all the way back to the high that was made all time high 89-21 there's the age pattern failure if you want to learn about these I have webinars you can go to any one of my webinars I'm always talking about these dreaded age and very quick peak A, peak B, peak C, peak D and then whoosh look at that pullback back in in June small little move to the outside going to a D from 80.72 takes out the low 80 points it goes to 86, 80.67 makes the lower case H that goes to a lower case M pattern that we're all about patterns over and over that's human nature this is what we're looking at the pattern is a fractal of human nature it's a fractal of a smaller time frame that looks exactly the same at any time frame and there it is and finally makes the low in about the 78 area and rallies sharply in a big arch formation pulls back from that peak B little dogy candle now I want you to show you something normally what I would do is I would use this one penny difference to say hey there's a chance that this is a peak phantom, chapaway phantom peak B this becomes new peak B this becomes right here on the 11th of this XLB on the 11th of August at 86.58 leg B at 86.60 leg B at 86.63 leg B but that's official leg B, unofficial it's a C, a peak C1 and then a little bit below it you get your C2 with fading technicals you get the dreaded H pattern and now we down to $1.77 at 81.27 and in the weekly chart see what I mean in the weekly chart you go to the weekly chart low and behold we've got the dreaded H pattern here in the weekly chart you got a little mini one that could unfold in the monthly I am very I have to say I'm kind of cautious we are we've raised cash we got out of a lot of positions got a couple of core positions one of us made an all-time high today one is a little bit under the all-time high but at the same time I make mistakes so we had beautiful entry on one of the one of the leading sectors yesterday and I made the stop I didn't I should never have done that I made it just a little tighter than I had initially said I would make it and if that was the exact low and then took us out and boom I didn't get I could we had opportunities get back in today quite nicely I didn't take it and now this very sector is up almost four and a half percent the position that we would have had that happens but we've also got spectacular gains so I have to say in the pot in the in the smorgasbord of positions what can I do you just do your best so the Excel be very careful now I didn't finish I did the IWM I wanted to show you let me go back again so gold is now down six and a half silver is down at SI it's a continuous contract SI there's your dreaded H pattern there's the falling exclamation what is that in the chapter wave methodology it's this pattern here where instead of going up with a chamber a falling expert a pattern I've just reversed it upside down look here it is here it is on the upside where you're going to higher highs and you suddenly stop come down make lower lows and much lower lower highs and much lower lows find support break the break the downtrend line and you can get a one-to-one to the upside well if you look at it the other way around this upside down I just took the same chart and look even the lettering is upside down it comes down starts to make higher highs and much higher lows and much higher highs stores and all of a sudden for the chapter wave dreaded H formation at a peak A or B that's where you can get the deepest decline but when you go all the way to a peak APB C and D you can pull back but it's that usually it holds the left side low if it doesn't that's serious stuff because you've got well lo and behold yet I've been discussing this for weeks you've got the upside down let me make this blue so you can already see it blue there it is little thicker and there it is you've got yourself an upside down falling axe and you've got more than one-to-one to the downside you're holding the left side low what is the left side on silver this is the continuous contract I wonder if the SLV have a finished note there yep like that so I made a phantom peak to get you to a D and you've gone way below the left side low so this is dreaded H unsuccessful because it didn't hold this is not good and now you've got you remember I drew this the other day the chapter wave parallel expansion one-to-one look the same angle when it started to extend but it went to the same price the price that I'm looking at in silver is 20.67 that's the SLV in silver trust that's the level that's holding this at 20.81 right now it's almost there but the on balance volume is getting a little bit over sold you could have a bit of a balance so that's that look at high grade copper high grade copper is pulling back today it's down 0.02 at 4.2 0.60 it went to a peak C turn around this is also I'm getting a little cautious here everything this is I was saying wood and copper nicely that's the ice shares of the timber and forestry ETF global we're holding let's see where that is yep peak D pullback the chapter wave methodology how many hundreds not hundreds how many thousands of thousands how many tens of thousands of times in the almost 20 years that I've been here have you seen at peak D with serious things there's your peak D in the weekly chart of wood the ice shares at 98.98 making a cup formation and then it fails now that that cup is going to turn into an arches with markets about all the time either you guys straight up or straight down or you're making couple or arch formations so I'm any point we should get a balance in the market but so far they aren't holding and that's really the big issue so with that said I wanted to go to I haven't finished TLT TLT is there it is down today down a dollar and they usually when the market is soft like you get money flowing from equities pulling back into the safety of bonds we're not getting there spoke to a person yesterday one of the top bond people in the country and he says he doesn't see the tenure breaking out to highs at this point he says I don't know how the Fed will allow it anyway at this particular point you've got yields rallying some so let's look at the TNX see if he's right he's not always right TNX is breaking there's that pattern we were just looking at it what was the chart that I was asked about wasn't fang it was the other one so I'll have to go back to see oh we've got Robin Michigan Rob how are you sorry I didn't see you I'm well thank you and I apparently if I'm on the road from this I'll have to go back and listen to it but I was one of the VIX closed it earlier in the week in light of the F&P getting closer they're moving average I'm looking to go short again but like I said the F&P warriors were probably due for a balance and was intrigued by where the IWM is right now so let me do a couple of things number one is when our thinking are you able to hold on yeah sure absolutely okay so when our thinking says one thing and the chart says another objectivity is the most important thing we're all thinking that there should be a balance the market doesn't know what we're thinking the market's coming down but the IWM is holding better so I'll talk about as soon as we return wrong with Robin Michigan looking at the IWM the Russell 23 sharpening your skills as an investor is like getting better at playing a musical instrument you have to practice sure but you also need excellent instruction from experts at TFNN you'll get advice and guidance from the authority and technical market analysis and it's not just dry tedious text either TFNN airs live financial content streamed live on TFNN.com and TFNN's youtube channel with Tiger TV live every market day from 8.30am to 4pm eastern for free each host is an experienced trader and gives their take on the market while taking calls and questions live from around the world from the moment the market opens until the closing bell sounds Tiger TV has 8 different shows with expert hosts to help you make the right moves with your money watch online at TFNN.com or on TFNN's youtube channel and become the investor you were born to be TFNN and rise and fall like the tides subscribe to Basil Chapman's newsletter the opening call and you too can ride away Basil Chapman is an authority in technical analysis his Chapman Wave trading system has been helping traders identify trends and capitalize on momentum in the markets since 1984 TFNN invites you to test Basil's 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mortgage program may be just the program for you the target first mortgage program pays 7% per year paid monthly for more information you can call<PHONE_NUMBER> that's<PHONE_NUMBER> i'll text you by think or swim for more information just click the think or swim banner on the front page of TFNN.com Hey folks we are back just for this last segment I was going to spend some time on this because I had a question about chappanwave and the Fed this is from 1929 the weekly chart I can do this on the day this made that pd right there in 1928 pulls back it is spectacular and moved from pique at 886 to all time high I don't know, Fed Schmitt. This is what the Chapman Wave tries to do all the time. Now, let's try to do the same thing. We're going to go back to rock. So we're looking at the IWM. So it's failed to cross for four, five, six, seven, for eight days. It's not being able to cross and hold above the nine and 14 period moving averages. This is not a good sign.  How would you short it? Yeah, I would probably go with leverage, yes. So the only way I could do it right now, because it's had a pretty steep decline from 229 down to the 219 level, you could start just a small position, but that isn't your real position. That's just a teaser to say, well, let's see what happens. So you think about the potential as well with the Russell as well? So what I wanted to say is that if it's able to close above 223, it's a 22170, it's 60 right now, that'll be the first time in a while that is closed above the nine and 14 period moving averages. And that would allow it maybe another couple of days to do that. But if it doesn't do that, in fact, by either the end of the day or all of a sudden on Monday is trading at 220 or lower, then you kind of missed a good opportunity. So I'm going to suggest it's a three times short. Don't get carried away. If you make money, that's fantastic. But to lose money, it's so quick that it can just turn on you. So just start a small position in the TZA. TZA is trading right now at, there it is, TZA is trading at 30.26, and it's made a peak peak. Just a start a position. You can even add to it if it starts to push higher, but don't get too carried on. Jimmie Rossin, sorry, I'm going to thank you for calling Jimmie Rossin. OK, have a good weekend. And so please also knock down. Be very careful. I'll do that tomorrow. Have a great week down the road. Stay tuned for a great program in coming.


Okay, so hello everyone. We have a special guest. Yes, most of you probably know him, but I would love to introduce him. So here we go. Sam Vaknin, Professor Sam Vaknin is the author of the pioneering work on Narcissist Abuse, Malignan Self-Love, Narcissism Revisited. He's a visiting professor of psychology, Southern Federal University of Russia, and a professor of finance and psychology in CS Center for International Advanced and Professional Studies. Hello, Professor. Thank you. Thank you for having me. Actually, when the war started in Ukraine, I left my position in Russia. Oh, I didn't know that. I'm a professor in Russia. I'm a professor only in the West, in the CS Consortium of University. Okay, I understand. So thank you for that then. And yeah, so today I would love to speak with you about one, I think, my favorite topic in developmental psychology. I just love this one. It's about separation and individuation. I know that you've got many of these kind of videos on your YouTube channel, but I would love to make this one for Polish community. They ask in about you and especially about conversation with you. So, so yeah, I prepared some questions. And yeah, the first question maybe that I have for you. It's about symbiosis. What does it even mean that Erich Fromm was writing about that, talking about that? What does that mean in the practice for us? Why it's so, so important? And what is going on with us when we are like, you know, loses the integrity that we are merged with another person self? What is it about? What is it all about this and why? So I think one of the crucial thing, yeah, for us. The biotic phase is a phase of development postulated by several psychologists, for example, Stern and others. And they describe a situation where there is a merger between the infant, between the baby and the mother in the sense that the baby cannot tell apart the mother, but baby doesn't regard the mother as a separate entity. The baby considers the mother an extension of himself or considers himself as an extension of the mother, one organism. Now symbiosis is mediated visually according to the prevailing the orthodox view. It's mediated visually.  Initially, the mother caters to all the needs of the baby. Baby wants to eat, mother is there in one way or another. Baby is sheltered, baby is fed, swaddled, diapers, you know, mommy is there for all the needs of the baby. And the baby doesn't satisfy a single one of its needs. In other words, the baby is totally helpless. It is easy to understand why the baby regards mother as an extension, because mother fulfills all the needs of the baby 100%. But gradually mother starts to frustrate the baby. The baby wants to eat, mother is not available. She leaves the room. The baby doesn't want mommy to leave the room, but she leaves the room. The baby cries, mother doesn't pay attention to the baby, et cetera, et cetera.  And the baby exits the symbiotic phase. However, the symbiotic phase is crucial in developing the sense of security or safety, what Mary Ainsworth called the safe base. So the symbiotic phase is very important in giving the baby the foundation to trust the world and to attach to people securely and to feel loved, to feel lovable. So it's a super crucial phase. Now, the symbiotic phase has been disputed since then by many scholars and they think there's no such phase and so on. So there's a lot of argument, but this is generally the symbiotic phase ends with another phase known as separation individuation. So ask me the right question. I would love to try to ask this question. Yes. Maler was writing about these sub phases, about process of separation and individuation, and we've got four phases that she mentioned about. And yeah, my question about that is how does these phases affect us and why they are so important for a child and for us as adults later. So yeah, and why it's really difficult, especially when we failed to not going through these phases. And I think this is important. Yes. Margaret Maler was the first to describe separation individuation. She worked with children. She observed children, actually, as opposed to as distinct or as opposed to many current theoreticians who never worked with children in their lives. They write books about child psychology. She actually worked with children. She, there was a period that she worked in a kindergarten. She really knew children very well. Similar to Melanie Klein. Melanie Klein also spent most of her career working with children. And by the way, Melanie Klein didn't have a single degree in psychology. One of the main psychologists of the 20th century. Winnicott. Winnicott was a pediatrician and so on. And so separation individuation started with Maler, but continue to be developed for many decades. Actually, one of the important scholars of separation individuation is Severino. Severino wrote several works on the topic, and so on and so forth. Now, separation individuation, I will not go into all the details right now. But separation individuation essentially means the ability of the infant to explore the world safely without fear of punishment or repercussions without fear of bad consequences or outcomes. The child regards the mother as a safe base. The mother believes that he can go out, explore the world, which is separation, and then come back to the mother, come back to the mother in order to recharge the battery of safety. And then so exploring the world involves grandiosity. I will come to it a bit later. And so the mother encourages the child's grandiosity in effect by telling the child, yeah, you're big enough to take on the world.   The good mother pushes the child away. The good mother frustrates the child. That's the good enough mother, according to Donald Winnicott. And so this is the separation. As the child continues to separate and explore the world and much later, the child comes across other people. They're known as objects in psychology, for some reason. So the child comes across objects, other people and develop what we call develop what we call object relations. As the child continues to explore the world and other people, the child begins to realize that he is separate from mother in the true sense. So he becomes an individual, divided, divided from mommy. It's a bit of a traumatic process. It's very terrifying to go into the world. When you turn your back on mommy and you go out to the street, you can't be sure that she's still there. You need to have something called object constancy. You need to believe that mother is there, even if you don't see mother, even if there's no visual cue of mother. It takes a lot of courage, a lot of grandiosity, a lot of trust, a lot of love. It's a very fraught process. And so it's not surprising that this process often goes awry, goes badly. And in many, many people, the separation is not completed. If the mother is insecure, if the mother is narcissistic, if the mother is depressed, absent, unable to love, unable to attach, rejecting, etc., etc. The child will not be able to separate. He will be terrified to lose mommy. And then when the child doesn't separate, he never becomes an individual. Clinically, this kind of child remains stuck at around two years old and never ever grows up emotionally. He can grow up cognitively. He can grow up as far as tasks, you know, skills, skills acquisition. He can grow up to function socially perfectly, but emotionally deep inside, he remains two years old, never separated from mommy, never separated from mother. And we will come to it a bit later, if you wish. Let's generally speak. Yes, of course, I would love to, because it's, I think, really, especially the object constancy, it's so important. Like, for example, borderline doesn't have it, right? So like the ability to keep the image of others, like when they're not in the room, for example, right? Cool, right? So I think, yeah, it's really, it's really important. And even what you mentioned about, like what you also speaking in your videos, like that mother, like narcissistic or absent or sick, mental or in other way. Yes, it's absolutely important. And yeah, like with your permission. Yes, because everyone, when you say separation, individuation, people talk about malice or others, but actually separation individuation is a crucial part of many, many, many psychological theories. And so I would like to read to you something about Ericsson and something about something about cohort. Oh, okay. I'm not a friend of cohort, but we'll come to it in a minute. Let's start with Ericsson. Yes, please. In 1950, Ericsson extended the theory of reality, what he called reality relationships, relationships reality. And at the time, Ericsson delineated a sequence of phases of ego development. And I want to focus on one of these phases, which is actually separation individuation, but he doesn't use this term. He uses some other term. Okay. Yes, please. Ericsson, so I'm reading from, from the Freudian cyclopedia. Ericsson identified the task of the second phase in ego development as resolving tensions concerning autonomy, shame and doubt. To develop autonomy, said Ericsson, the child must feel that the trust in the self and in the world established previously will not be jeopardized by the wish to make choices. In other words, the child must feel safe to explore the world. The child must feel that he will not be punished. Yes. The nature of the relationship, this is Ericsson, the nature of the relationship between adult and child during this phase will influence the balance achieved between the child's cooperation and willfulness and between self expression and self suppression. Ericsson described this process as follows, and I'm quoting from Ericsson. From a sense of self control without loss of self esteem comes a lasting sense of autonomy and pride. From a sense of muscular impotence, a loss of self control and parental over control comes a lasting sense of doubt and shame. So he described the situation where the parents don't let the child go. They are over controlling.  Courage is, as I said, no friend of mine. I disagree with about 90% of Courage's one. And that's on a good day. On a bad day, I disagree with everything. But on a good day, I think he made a major contribution to describing the process of interaction between mother and child on the way to separation individuation. And what happens is separation individuation fades. He never used the term separation individuation. Everyone invents his own language. So do I, by the way, if we have time during this or maybe the next session, I will describe my new work on separation individuation. But still, you can immediately see it's separation individuation. So I'm going to, I'm going to read to you. I'm going to come and to the viewers. Some things that courted read. Okay. Yes. A self, said code, comes into being during the early months after birth. I strongly disagree, but I'm still quoting. Certain environmental inputs impinge on inherent structures resulting in the formation of a self. Certain experiences evoke a sense of self. Experiences that are needed to establish and to maintain a cohesive self experience. They're called self object experiences. So code identified six experiences that you need to have as a child in order to develop a self. If you don't have these experiences, something really bad happens. I'm going to read to you the six experiences and then I'm going to read to you what code says happens if you don't have these experiences. So these are the six experiences. They are called essential self object experiences. The first one is mirroring mirroring experiences, recognize and affirm the subject, the baby is highly valued, perhaps even admire. The second one is idealizing. Idealizing experiences says code are needed to link or merge the subject with an admired calm, wise, beautiful, and strong other who possesses these valued characteristic to the subject lacks. The third one is the bathing needs to idealize the mother, and then he can merge with the mother and take on her qualities, the idealized qualities, not the real ones. The third experience is what he calls twin sheep or alter ego. These experiences enhance the subject self by demonstrating that it is all right to be like another person. These are adversarial self object experiences. They allow the subject to be antagonistic without evoking injurious responses. They are needed to open a path for healthy self assertion, negativism and anger in the service of strengthening the self. It says you need to have some bad experiences, conflict experiences, because when you experience conflict as a baby, you learn to manage anger, and you learn not to be afraid to fight with other people. This means you need to have a healthy self, for example, to put boundaries. And then he continues to say, you remember, we are talking about the six types of experience that create the self, and this is code work. Vitalizing self object experiences consist of effective attunements by the caregiving other. They are an essential ingredient for the emergence of a cohesive self. So the other person, the mother, must be very emotionally attuned to the baby and react appropriately. And the last experience are the efficacy self object experiences that authenticate the self by enabling the self to decisively affect and alter some aspect of another person. So what happens if these six experiences are disrupted? If you don't have these experiences, the mother doesn't mirror you. She makes you feel unsafe when you try to be yourself. She doesn't allow you to express negative opinions or to criticize her or to be angry at her. She is, she doesn't allow you to be to be self efficacious.  What happens when the mother does all these things to you? She denies you some of these six types of experiences so you don't have a self.  And yes, I'm talking about mother all the time because it's the mother, not the father. I've been asked these questions numerous times. The father has no role or no important role in the formative years. The father comes much later. The father teaches the child how to act socially. He socializes the child. The father teach the child skills. Yes, it's very important skill acquisition. All this is true, but that's after the child is fully formed. The mother who forms the child. And so what happens if the mother is wrong, according to code? He says, in this case, there are disorders of the self. Disorders of the self come result from faulty, deficient or absent self-object experiences. The normally needed appropriate self-objects, milieu, may become traumatically distressful during the time before the first emergence of a self.  Usually a deformed self is severely damaged as in psychosis and borderline personalities. Injury, endured during the time between the first emergence of the self and the final consolidation of a cohesive self is usually not as disabling. It results in a fragile self, perhaps with a narcissistic personality or a behavior disorder. And finally, unfulfilled cells are manifested mostly as disorders of later life, often around the crisis with much anxiety and depression when a person is confronted with life itself and with having deviated from a life plan that was laid down. So what code says is you need six types of experience that the mother provides you with in order to form a self. And then if these experiences are missing, the mother is not good enough, you will have a deformed self, which is a serious problem, or you will have a fragile self, or you will have an unfulfilled self. So he's describing actually separation individuation, just using many other terms, which are his language. I am developing now a new theory of separation individuation so we can discuss it a bit later. Could you share your point of view, your theory with us then. I think it's a good idea if you mentioned already about that I would love to hear and I think our viewers also. Thank you. So, what is what is separation individuation. I think separation individuation is about is a conflict between I am not. I am not a separation. I am not mommy. Yes, so I'm not. And then I am. I am not. I am separation individuation becoming me. I make a distinction between three phases of separation individuation. The current thinking is that there's one. I think there are three. The three separation individuation phases in my work are the infantile phase, which is the commonly known phase described by Mahler, Sepevino, or who topics on numerous others and a Freud. So this is the known separation individuation phase. Adding to others, the separation individuation phase in adolescence and the separation individuation phase when you go out into the social world, when you develop object relations full object relations in a social context. So three separation individuation. Each of these stages, separating and individuating as a baby separating individuating is an adolescent and separating individuating as a social creature is a social being. Each of them can be disrupted.  If you have strict parents, parents who don't allow you to become you, then you are disrupted as an adolescent. You can separate individuate as an adolescent. And as a social being, you are not allowed to separate. You're not allowed to be autonomous and independent. Because institutions, for example, countries, states, don't allow you that. They insist that you conform.   Whenever you try to act totally independently and autonomously in today's modern world, institutions will punish you. So there is an obstacle to social separation individuation. Now, each separation individuation phase leads to another self state. So I disagree with cohort and previous to that, I disagree with you and I disagree with Freud, that there is a single self. I don't think there's a single self. There was a psychologist, Philip Bromber, and Philip Bromber proposed that we don't have a unitary self. We don't have a single self, but we have self states. We have many states of self, of selfhood, and I agree with Bromber. I think my new work on separation individuation explains how we end up having several self states because each separation creates another self state. For example, the infantile separation, the separation during infancy as a baby leads to the autonomous self state. The autonomous self state can be either grandiose. I'm a baby, but I'm taking on the world. I'm exploring the world on my own. I'm Columbus, you know, I'm 18 months and I'm Columbus. So that's grandiose. Or the autonomous self state can be insecure or fearful. If there is a dead mother, the baby will feel unsafe. He will not go out into the world. So his autonomous self state will be insecure. So we can end, we end up with two self states related to the infantile phase of separation individuation, the grandiose autonomous self state, or the insecure fearful self state. Similarly, in adolescence, we develop another self state. The peer self state, the self state that is created and influenced by peers, by people of the same age group. The peer self state, again, you can have two types. You can have the defiant peer self state. It's the self state that tells mother and father to mind their own business. I'm grown up.  I'm going to have it my way, my way on the highway. This is typical adolescent behavior. Typical adolescent behavior indicates a defiant peer self state. The other option, if the parents don't allow the adolescent to have his or her own life. Parents are disciplinarian, strict, insecure, narcissistic, psychopathic, overbearing, domineering, punitive, punishing. This kind of parents, the adolescent cannot separate from the parent. So he develops a conforming peer self state. Again, the second phase of separation individuation. The person's face creates a new self state, the peer self state that can be defiant in your face. I'm my own person or conforming in a way, if you wish, submissive. Similarly, the last separation individuation is from society. We enter society, but we still want to feel like individuals. We don't want to feel like a statistic. We don't want to feel like a number. So when we enter society and begin to interact with other people, even in an intimate relationship, we're putting boundaries. We're saying, I stop here and you start. You stop and I start boundaries is a form of separation individuation. So the social phase of separation individuation creates a third self state, self state number three, the social self state. And again, we can have two types. The healthy social self state is collaborative, works with other people. The unhealthy, the pathological social self state is avoidant. Let me summarize this because it's a bit, it's a lot. There are three phases of separation individuation in infancy later in adolescence, later when you go out into society and begin to have relationships interpersonal relationships in the workplace intimate other. In each of these phases, there could be a disruption. There could be a problem. And then the self state created by the separation individuation phase can be healthy or pathological. In the first infantile separation individuation phase, we create the autonomous self state. If it is healthy, it is grandiose. We call it healthy narcissism. If it is pathological, the autonomous self state will be insecure or fearful. It will have an insecure attachment. Similarly, in the second phase of separation individuation, the adolescent phase, we create a self state, the peer self state. It can be healthy, defiant, or it can be unhealthy, pathological, conforming, submissive. Lastly, when we go out into society, we try to put boundaries. Even in romantic intimate relationships, we try to put boundaries. Boundaries is a form of separation individuation. If we succeed, we have a healthy social self state collaborative. If we fail, we have a pathological social self state and that is avoidant. So disrupted self states lead to mental illness. An unhealthy, autonomous self state leads to borderline, narcissistic, paranoid problems, covert problems. An unhealthy pathological peer self state leads to antisocial behavior, schizoid, avoidant, codependent, or people pleasing. And the disrupted or pathological social self state leads to a social behavior or exaggerated, ostentatious, pro-social behavior, communal behavior. That in a nutshell is my new work on separation individuation. What actually I'm saying is these phases are not limited to childhood. Many of these phases are lifelong. And we react with separation individuation to every new environment. Adolescence is a new environment. Going out into the social world is a new environment. Having an intimate relationship is a new environment. Each of these challenges to render us children regress us to childhood. These are new challenges. We are like these babies who are just discovering the world. So we again separate individuate and again something can go wrong. And if something can go wrong, we end up with mental illness or dysfunction. Thank you for that. I'm smiling because you mentioned about this self state that we spoke already in our last video about self states and I cannot agree more even because my second question that you already answered, I guess, was to ask you about secondary separation and individualization phase, because I do agree with you that it's not only in when we are infant. It's like it will be impossible because I do agree.  But yeah, I do do agree with you. And yeah, Peter Bloss was writing about secondary separation and individuation phase. And that was my question, actually, as a new, as, you know, he was writing about new development opportunity to, to, you know, isolate isolate and shape. Yeah, self states. So my question was what are the goals here but you already mentioned like about peers about separation to parental objects. What I writing down also was regression in the service of the ego, or try out, try out morning. So that was my also question but you already. Yeah, spoke about that in your, in your theory. So, so yeah, it's a therapeutic opportunity. We have five more minutes left by the way, just to. Oh, okay. If you have additional questions, I would rather answer your questions if you have any other questions you would like. Yeah, I actually do, but maybe I will give you the chance to what question you would like to answer because I have the two or three. Please, I will just, yeah, answer them. So yeah, what are the features of the family system that they can be really disturbance for for our developmental in separation and individuation phase. What are the difficulties for women and men especially about the body when we are faced, especially the secondary separation and individuation phase. And another question, the last one, but not least one. What advice of course for parents and for adults you can give because I think, yeah, it's really good to know how the good parent good enough parent and good enough parent parent food should look like, I think so, so choose please. Yeah, I try to combine all three. Okay. Each time we are confronted with a new environment. All our childhood mechanisms are triggered childhood defenses like splitting, but also childhood processes like separation individuation. Each time we confront a new environment, there is a risk of disruption and consequently of mental dysfunction or mental illness even, but each time we face a new environment. There's also an opportunity to fix what had gone wrong before. So challenging ourselves to exit the comfort zone and to find ourselves or place houses in new environments is a chance to separate individuate properly. Is a chance to fix what had gone wrong, for example, in the first infantile separation individuation. So there's a therapeutic opportunity. Actually, what a good therapist does. He provides exactly this. He provides an environment which allows for a reenactment or replay of processes that have gone wrong before. In the hope that under controlled circumstances in a containing environment, therapists can somehow get it right, where for example parental figures got it wrong. I have a video about good enough mothering, which, which I encourage your viewers to watch if they're interested in this question. But I will, I will summarize, I will, I will relate to one feature which is counterintuitive and very shocking to many, many mothers. As I said before, in this, in this conversation and in other videos.  The good enough mother does not idolize the child. She does not pamper the child. She doesn't spoil the child. She doesn't isolate the child from reality. She pushes the child into the world, knowing full well that the child is going to be hurt. He's going to suffer. He's going to experience losses, knowing that there will be damage. But these are the engines of growth. The mother who frustrates her child makes the child realize that he must survive without her.  The mother who shows the child that she is not all good, but there are, she has bad aspects, shortcomings, failings. Is a mother who allows the child to integrate, integrate his view of other people so that he can have healthy, long-term, realistic relationships with other people. In other words, it's a mother who poses splitting. I think we just ran out of time and I ran out of things to say. It's a good, perfect match. Okay, so Professor, thank you so much for that. Yes, thank you so much and talk to you soon. Thank you for having me. Thank you. Bye.


All right. Good afternoon, everybody. My name is Hussain Kazal and I'm here with Remy Vishary. We're from Nuage Networks and we're part of the technical integration of our partners within Nuage Networks. So today we'll be talking about the topic is one small step for SDN, one huge leap for Dev app community, and that's basically we're going to talk about what Nuage does, give you a little bit overview for the people who are not familiar with Nuage and then one of the challenges we faced when we were building our ecosystem and how we were able to overcome it using OpenStack and Nuage and we're basically launching a new service using that product. So for the people that don't know we're Nuage Networks, we are based in Silicon Valley. We're a little over three years. Anokei Aventure focused on leveraging our expertise in networking and bringing that to cloud environments. To sum it up, we basically connect anything, any workload, anywhere over any infrastructure. It's a completely software-based virtual solution that spans multiple data centers, and we've been a member of the OpenStack community for a while now. Architecturally the product is three tiers. At the management layer we have the virtualized service directory, which is basically our policy manager. It has a northbound API interface and basically manages the entire overlay network. In the second tier, it's a controller, which is based on Alcatelus and Nokia's service router where we virtualize the control plane and that enables us to scale. So as you're at the number of hosts that you have in this are increases, you basically add more controllers and they peer. The advantage here is actually you can peer with another PE router and that provides you the multi-data center capability. On the data path, we have the VRS, virtualized router and switch, which is OVS based with modifications in the user space to allow us to provide distributed routing. The advantage there is that we said we connect any workloads, so containers, virtual machines, bare metal servers through a gateway or by installing our VRS on the bare metal itself, the VRS-B. And then the gateway is we have a soft gateway that will provide VLAN to VXLAN connectivity, which is our overlay solution or basically using a physical gateway where you plug in whether it's ours or a partner such as Arista, HP, Dell, Dell Cumulus. And when we look at least our focus area is building a technology partner program around the product. As a networking product we basically have multiple touch points with the partner solutions from management and orchestration such as service orchestrators, cloud management systems such as OpenStack, CloudStack.  So looking at all of those things we and you know, we start with a small number obviously of partners and then we over the years we were adding those partners and the thing that enabled us to do that is that there's nothing really custom about our integration with the partners. Everything we do from a networking perspective is API driven, so all of the integrations are standard. So when we work with an appliance such as a load balancer, we're using LBAS, what a V1 and V2 and what we do with one partner, we do with everybody. So that enables our customers to kind of build the best of breed solutions. As you can see from the footprint, it's very difficult to, with four people, to be able to do all of these partnerships and most of them are technical integrations where you need the partner to kind of deploy your platform, learn how to use it and then develop code to communicate with it, whether it's to provision or pull information out. So to formalize our kind of partnership program, we're launching a sort of a technology alliance program. We call it the Nuage VIP program and that basically helps us to build a three-tier model where depending on the level of engagement that the partner wants from us in terms of strategic preferred or access, the more engagement that they want to do, it's obviously a strategic level and then if they want to self-serve, it's the access tier and that's around mostly development, but also includes support sales and marketing for the higher tiers. If anybody wants to, if you have a product or you're a developer that wants to build something on top, launching the program, you can go to our website or email us to kind of join it. We'll provide you with a guide and all the benefits that you get. One of the tools that will enable you as a partner to build an integration with Nuage, we're calling it the Nuage Networks Experience, which is basically a service that we're launching this week. And as mentioned, you know, we consider the platform very dynamic, very flexible, very scalable, and you know, all of the cool features that we have are great. We open sourced our VSPK, which is an SDK a year ago, it's a wrap around our API, so there's documentation on the links I have. You can go and basically download it and then you'll be able to use it to develop an integration. The challenge there was in order for you to take advantage of it, you actually have to have a Nuage instance installed on-prem, so you have to record resources, install it, and that was a challenge that we're overcoming today with Nuage X. So what Nuage X is basically targeting developers, customers, and partners to enable them to really leverage that VSPK and do an integration without having to install anything on-prem, right? And the main use cases are testing curiosity, if you just want to figure out what Nuage is about. If you're a partner that wants to build an integration with Nuage to kind of insert your service or to pull information, basically all of those, if you're a customer that wants to test our next release, test your APIs against a future release, this is kind of another use case for this platform. And the way it works is basically we are hosting in our data center a bunch of servers and then we'll allow you to log in, deploy our management and control planes, and then connect any host that you own, whether it's in a public cloud, in a private data center, on some of our partners, you basically, as long as it has IP connectivity to our public instance, you'll be able to connect all of your workloads to that control management plan and be able to spin up containers, virtual machines, and then test whatever you want, develop whatever you want.  And the process is very simple, you go to nuagex.io, you log in, you basically select from a list of available labs, depending on the use case, and then once you deploy it will actually, depending on the environment that you're using, if you're a CentOS shop, you went to, we will auto generate a script that will automatically install our VRS on your hypervisor connected to your lab. And then the next thing is basically you just run containers or spin up VMs and they'll be controlled using our control and management plane. And all this, the key thing here is how quickly you are. So the aim is like less than five minutes, you're logged in, deployed the lab and are able to connect your host and spin up VMs and containers. The website is nuagex.io and then it'll be launching, Friday you'll have basically the website to create an account and then get credentials. And Remy is gonna, to the interesting part, which is the actual demo and he'll talk about how we built it while the demo is set up, sorry. Thanks for saying. So for those of you who are not there at the beginning of the session, my name is Remy Vichori, I'm an intact marketing expert at Nuage Networks. I'm mainly focusing on technical integration with partners, but today, as Susan mentioned, we'll not talk about integrating the partners. What we'll do is actually a real cool live demo about leveraging the Nuage platform by deploying like thousands of containers in a matter of minutes using a Nuage Networks experience platform and some Bermittal servers deployed on packet.net. Actually we requested like some Bermittal server from packet.net which is like a public cloud provider for Bermittal assets and we deployed a lab on our premise to be able to run this demo. So let's jump into the actual architecture. So what we did beforehand is we deployed VSC and VSD using Nuage Networks experience and we have requested 25 server from packet.net across two different data centers. One is hosted in Newark, New Jersey and the other one in Sunnyvale, California. So actually we'll deploy thousands of containers, so maybe 10,000 across completely two different data centers. And as Nuage Networks, we love challenges. We'll not do 10,000 on 25, but we'll actually do 25,000 and we'll try to keep it before the end of the timer. So it's actually demo time, but just before jumping into the deploying the containers, I will just like do a quick walkthrough about the Nuage Explorer. So basically when you'll have an account and register, we'll activate your account and you'll be able to go to the screen and actually use your login and password to access the dashboard. Obviously in this dashboard, we already have a lab already deployed because that's the lab that we'll be using for the live demo. But the steps to deploy a new lab will be really simple. We want you to be able really to deploy new HBSP in a minute. So what is by doing just like clicking on the plus button on the bottom right corner, you just fill up a name for example, OpenStack Barcelona, and select actually a date where the lab will expire. And you'll click on it and it will start, normally it will start, oh, I reached my quota actually. So there is a quota one-on-one. So I reached my quota, so I can deploy it. But if I don't know that I can't, I will show you. It will start deploying in a matter of minutes. The lab will be ready and you'll be able to see the same thing of that. So the lab will be started and you'll be able to access the environment. So what will happen there is you'll have the credential to access your dedicated instance of VSD. And by clicking on Access VSD, it will open a new tab and start like getting the VSD architect page. Let's jump to this one. So, yeah, it's getting there. All right, so I'm looking to this VSD instance that is deployed only for you. And I see that I have actually zero containers, but we have deployed some subnets beforehand because obviously we need a topology before launching all these containers. So now let's switch to the most interesting part and the CLI commands. So I separate the screen in two parts. On the left side, we'll have a counter and a timer that will increase as soon as we deploy more and more containers. And on the right side, I will just launch a script that will connect to the 25-horse and deploy the containers. So as you can see, the containers are starting to be deployed. And what you see currently is the number of Docker containers really running on the VSP platform. So what happens is we don't take the counter from the Docker host, but we take them directly from our management plane. So that means that when the container appears there, it means that the IP address gets already allocated and all the security policies are already distributed across the 25 hosts. So as it will take like maybe, I don't know, five or six minutes if we can't get there, I will just talk briefly about how we use OpenStack and why we use it to build this Nuagex platform.  And we started to build some service on it based on OpenStack Juno and the Nuage network VSP. And some weeks after releasing it, like internally, we saw that it was a great idea to share it with our customer, not customer, but employee to be able to leverage that and deploy the demand in front of customers. One year later, we have almost deployed, I think, 14,000 VMs on this platform. So and we have like a really, really good demand, maybe around 300 users or something like that internally. So this was nuts, and there is no joke there. It was really cold nuts. And now it's Nuagex. So what we did is we took the nuts folder and split it in multiple microservices to be able to quickly add new features. We had like so many features for the Nuagex, like organization, documentation, templates. There is a bunch of new things that are coming with the Nuagex release. And we have taken the past to upgrade also to OpenStack Liberty to leverage new functionalities that are available in it. For example, it's Stack Snapshot because you'll see some of our employees want to snapshot their stack and be able to restore it before going to a customer demo. So one of the challenges was to, we were deploying the assignments, but we had to link those environments to a rental platform which is running like Docker containers, actually, or our management plane is done in containers. So every service that you saw in the previous slide is deployed as one or multiple containers. And what happened when you click on deploy? Actually, it deploys a new lab on OpenStack. And also it deployed a new container on the rental platform to actually monitor the lab. So what was the challenge there is we needed to put that container in the same network as the VSC and VSD. So by using the Nuage network VSP and Delay, we were able to seamlessly connect both the Docker containers and the VM together. So now let's see if time's good for us. Let's switch back to the contours. So actually, we're already at 12,000 containers. So maybe I talk too fast. Yeah, you can go back to the last slide and just scroll all the way down. This one? Yeah, just this one. And then just talk about multi-tenancy maybe. Actually, what we did also there is we tried to leverage our VSP platform really and use all the features that are available. And one which was really interesting there is as a end user, you'll be able to access those VSD and VS instance. But we didn't want, for example, one customer or one end user to be able to jump from this host to the other one. And we used for that like Nuage Network's micro segmentation to tell that anything that is going from AMP to any other environments will be blocked. And we only allow environments to get out of the network or come in on a special port. So by doing that, we are securing well our environments and we are sure that nobody can come in on a lab, mess up the lab and jump onto other things. So we are sure that we are not propagating like malware or things between different environments. So it's almost one minute before the end of the talk. You can go to the last one and then we can go back to the demo. Yeah. Okay. So just to conclude this talk and then we'll jump back to the demo screen to see where it goes. Nuage Network is really an open platform because we have open REST API. All the REST API documentation is available on GitHub, the API specs, the latest API specs are also available. We have released a couple of SDK in Python, Go Java, and we are soon to release like a new SDK not for our REST API but for actually managing the data plane. As you said mentioned, we just launched the Nuage Network VIP program so it lets our partner to have a compelling solution together. And by Friday you'll be able to access the Nuagex.io website and click on the registration and we'll start to activate accounts maybe every week as beta users. And let's see, if you have any question or want something like to bring back to your family, just came by Boost C32 and we're really happy to answer any question. Sure. Let's come back here. So here we go. So we had deployed 20,000 containers in actually six minutes and 23 seconds. So that was really cool. Thank God, I think the coolest thing about that is I think maybe other vendors can do the same thing but what is really powerful is we have pushed not only IP addresses but also we have pushed policies across the old cluster. So what we'll do next is we'll just get all the IP addresses and all the names of all the containers, so the 20,000 containers and we'll start selecting randomly some containers just to learn something between the endpoints. So what happened is the container 10, 15, 55, 90 as a source will ping like container 0, 1, 2, and 3 and you can see that actually the ping are working. And the container can be deployed like in New Jersey or Sunnyvale, we actually don't care. For us it's actually the same network. Thanks for our attention. Thank you. Thank you.