Bingo, we do global connections every Thursday at one o'clock and today we're modifying that to global historical connections Okay, with our favorite history professor at John David and of HPU and we're talking about Jay. Yes Thomas Jefferson Esquire. Pardon me president of the United States president of the United States It may look like John David and but in fact today, especially for this show until by the garb. He is Thomas Jefferson president of the United States indeed. It's very important that we understand Thomas Jefferson because that helps us understand Oh, lots of stuff that happened since and maybe even happening now indeed indeed So what was life like good day, sir You want if I quote you Thomas or would you like me to quote you mr. President mr. President or Colonel Colonel or Esquire Yes, Esquire would work as well. Yeah, you know you're very creative guy you did what was it Mount Mount Vernon there in Virginia Monticello, Monticello. Yeah, and It's um, you know, you left an enormous imprint on the beginnings of the country When when you know things like that cast a long shadow a 200 year shadow What kind of a person are you mr. President? Well indeed. I love to read. I love to drink good wine My book collection is It's one of the best in the world But also I like to run my plantation. Yeah with slaves. I was I was sir indeed slaves. Yes slaves Yes, of course slaves. Yes. Ah the issue Always the issue of slaves. I hear now you don't have slaves Not anymore. Ah Yes, probably a good move. I was in favor of it myself Although I have to admit I never did free my slaves not even in my will I thought about it But I did free a few select slaves the Hemings the Hemings were Really unusual for the the duskier race the the African race. They were so smart and competent and Skillful they made me a small fortune on my plantation Indeed and very attractive as well. Where would a slave go in say the year 1800 if you freed a slave in 1800 would he stay in Virginia? Would he go north? What would happen? Well, I should have hoped that a slave would stay on my plantation and work for wages Although I'm not sure I could have Made a profit at that the slaves gained me about four percent per annum And that four percent would have gone away if I had to pay them now. I did pay slaves a tiny bit In any event as no and again once in a while Yes, I rewarded my boys who made nails in my nail shop because it was indeed very profitable for a small time And of course my butler received a Christmas present from me every Christmas And of course Sally Hemings the beautiful Sally Hemings received all kinds of gifts from me So you were drenching gentry you were kind of like an aristocrat in those days. You were wealthy landed But not a European aristocrat. What's the difference natural natural? What's a natural aristocrat and a aristocracy of merit? gained by by hard work by intellect by Superior breeding but not European breeding a very important distinction my oh my the European aristocracy I hear it's gone completely gone. Yeah decadent decaying of Full of corruption won't last a natural aristocracy on the other hand can last forever Because it's based upon the wisdom of the ages So what's your family background as the president? Well indeed I was born into wealth. It's no secret And I was raised I was it well educated in the classics. Yes That's true as well. I was trained as a lawyer Where's your school? I went to William and Mary as a young man Of course it an excellent university. I hear that the university is still there a heart of Virginia And in fact, I founded a university myself the University of Virginia endowed them with books Sold my collection to the Library of Congress to reconstitute it in 1814 after the after the the British army destroyed it in the war of 18 so you had interests in many things You know in coming up and getting trained. It was not it was not only in the classics It was in science such as science existed at the time indeed you and dr. Franklin had something in common indeed Yes, we I was an experimenter myself I had a writing machine at my desk which would automatically give copies when I wrote one copy It would make a second copy very clever invention. I had Hydraulically opening doors at Monticello, so very interested in science interested in agronomy Interested in in the races the different races. I have very wide interest philanthropy philosophy Those my interests have been very wide indeed now did you you come up through? association with George Washington What was your connection with him? No, I did not I was I was kind of a self-made man that way I came up through the Virginia Legislature Assembly And then during the war of revolution. I was picked I was chosen to write the Declaration of Independence This made you a famous person well indeed I think the ideas were there and I think they're very important to us even today If we are a nation we should be a nation of the Declaration of Independence Well, that there was those who are your ideas I take it that you had those ideas and you were in a position where you could express them in that document indeed indeed I I had some experience with with Enlightenment philosophy and and I believed in the liberty of the individual as the the the Basic building block of the American all manner created exactly exactly. Yes, indeed in so now between the revolution and the writing of the Declaration of Independence What happened to you and how did you wind up running for president in? Right, so I was I was chosen to be minister for France in the 17 late 1780s And then I was the first Secretary of State under George Washington Although Washington Associated himself with lower characters a man named Hamilton Alexander Hamilton. You might know him Scoundrel that he was Philander or liar Indeed. Oh, he brings out the the vile in me as well. He's well known on Broadway these days So Hamilton and I disagreed we disagreed about the basic character of the American government Hamilton wanted a big government a big military a strong president He argued that the president should serve for life in the constitutional like a monarch. Yes Although his ideas were overthrown to thank goodness for that I favored the Bill of Rights. I favored limited government of weaker central government more rights to the states and Individual rights. I argued for this in my law Practice I argued for this in a Declaration of Independence and then I argued against Hamilton That we should not build ourselves a tyranny Which indeed will eventually corrupt us beyond help So you were an important architect of the whole system and the Constitution you were central figure in bringing in these ideas I write it. Don't be modest now. Well, oh I wouldn't be modest sir These are my accomplishments. Although I was in France during the Constitutional Convention. I encouraged Madison and others to think very seriously about a Bill of Rights. This to my mind was the essential missing feature to the original Constitution therefore We in Virginia pushed very hard for the passage of the Bill of Rights in 1790 and it became an essential part of the Constitution and indeed apparently it it perseveres even to today. Oh It has become very important mr. President. Oh, yes indeed. So 1790 to say 1800. What did you do with yourself? Well, I was governor of Virginia for a time and I did some writing and I was a gentleman farmer. Mm-hmm. Were you popular in the public eye? Well, it depends on which public eye you're referring to of course the Federalist hated me But the Jeffersonians named after I might say the Democratic Jeffersonians Loved me and there were more of them Well, it was a very tight election. So in the election of 1800 I decided to put my name in and John Adams who had been the president of was running for reelection and It was a very close hard fought election. Adams only had had one term up to that point. That's correct And as to the accusation that I called Adams a hideous Amaprodite, I did not there was a newspaper man named James Callender Who wrote this of of Adams? I was sorry for it as to the accusation that I hired James Callender to do this Well, if it were true Then surely I would not have approved of such language But I will say that I myself was attacked this same scurrilous Journalist accused me of fathering five children with a slave Sally Hemmings Now if that were true, I should say that those slaves deserve to be freed and I did indeed Upon my death Sounded like one vicious campaign It was a very nasty campaign which ended up in the House of Representatives Oh, is that right arch enemy Hamilton? Yeah supported me and I found myself elected president Wow indeed It was quite an exciting those were the heady times because the country really hadn't come to come to terms with its new Government it was still very early in the United development of the United States was a small peripheral place in the world Yes, the European powers threatened us here and there Hamilton and and Adams favored England in the war the Napoleonic Wars I favored France Napoleon was a friend a protector of liberty a builder of civil rights and civil institutions I aimed in my presidency to strengthen the hand of the American government Therefore we bought the Louisiana Purchase We defeated the Barbary Pirates with our new Navy and I must say I thank John Adams for that Navy because it was indeed His initiative even though I opposed it at first as president. I became Shall we say more in love with central government and the powers of the presidency did you advance them and expand them? Not in that kind of way, but indeed with the the executive power of commander-in-chief I sent the fleet to the Mediterranean. I'll take credit for that Yeah, yes in those days when you send the fleet Do you have to have congressional approval or can you just do it as commander-in-chief? I did it as commander-in-chief So this you know that was a very formative period you served eight years indeed from 1800 or 1801 to 1818 1809 1809 How would you say the country changed? You know You know in terms of on the way to manifest destiny Coming together of the 13 colonies the expansion looking west. What happened? Well, the Louisiana Purchase allowed us to move west to settle west at that cheap thing I it was an inexpensive purchase. That's correct And it has served the country for centuries afterwards. I negotiated treaties with the native chiefs they called me the great father and I found it to be so and We we expanded our holdings in the southern states as well into the Louisiana Purchase But the the strengths of the nation were offset by this new conflict Which came about towards the end of my life over slavery slavery in the new territories I had bought the Louisiana Purchase with the set idea that slaves could certainly be in the southern parts of this Louisiana Purchase but never in the north but Innovators suggested now that we should have slaves in the north as well Well, and the Louisiana Purchase didn't go that far north did it it went fairly far north. Yes, it did actually covering current states of what? into into Into North Dakota and oh, yes, South Dakota. Yes all the way to Canadian border. Yes, it was it was the first great acquisition Going west sizable This was going to define that's correct where slavery would go correct and the ultimate decision was On slavery. Well, I hear that there was a war a civil war and that those who opposed slavery once said war Yeah, therefore. I think it's a good thing. It enhances our liberty to not have slaves. Yes. Yes It it makes us closer to the document that I wrote the Declaration of Independence So in that period when you were president 1801 to 1809 Were you able to advance the Bill of Rights? We are able to get people to come to your way of thinking on a popular basis. Well We mostly got rid of the alien and sedition acts which I thought violated the the bill of rights These were the acts which allowed the president to jail anyone who criticized the federal government Sedition yes, I got rid of most of them. I kept one because of the conflicts in Europe I decided that if a person from a hostile nation came and made bad intentions toward the United States Then we had we should have the right to jail them but a local person of Somebody coming from another nation from a hostile but somebody who was not alone not coming from a foreign nation Well, it could be if that person was an agent of a hostile okay in which in fact we had those were difficult times Yeah, right and these are these are interesting times I would say and when we come back from this break, Mr. President Thomas Jefferson looks just like John David and of you I've never heard of the man, but he must be quite a historian. We're gonna have president Jefferson Discuss how he would feel what he would think of what's going on today. Who would be right back after this break I bet you can't wait Aloha My name is Carl Kompanya. I am the host of think tech Hawaii's movers shakers and reformers. I Hope you join us as we take a deep dive into biofuels in Hawaii over the coming weeks and the alternative fuel supply chains necessary for the local and global transition Towards transportation fuel sustainability We are going to invite in and we will have significant interviews with various stakeholders including our producers, which are our farmers and our scientists our Conversion technologies including Taraviva. We'll see in two weeks as Well as our consumers within there. We're also going to have the investor groups necessary to make sure that this Can't advance so I do hope you join us as we explore Our deep dive into biofuels in Hawaii We're back. We're alive and we're not kidding This is global historical connections With John David and who looks a lot like Thomas Jefferson today. I like your outfit President president Thomas Jefferson. Let's be thank you. Thank you. I'm sorry back full about it. It's so kind Yes, you must you must call me So at the moment, you know, you left office. Well, how long did you live after? 1809 I lived until 1826 And the same day as John Adams death interesting we died hours apart and we reconciled as friends I no longer considered him a hermaphrodite and And and we reconciled we wrote matters to one another very nice So so there you you left this long shadow on the United States What what this is a hard question for only a half an hour discussion But what effect did that shadow have as we go forward say from 1826 to 2016 yeah, so In today's world. I think we have the way I see it We have two choices. We have the Hamiltonian choice of bigger government and stronger government larger military I Hear that the United States has quite a role in the world these days Oh, yeah, the superpower is the term that I've heard I read widely all of the newspapers and So if the United States is a superpower then it's a Hamiltonian superpower and that's scurrilous figure as Endangered the Republic by exposing us to all of these Corrupting and defining and defaming influences from the outside world We should we should just focus on our own selves We have always been our best when we have been a Republic. Yes, not some sort of an Empire Yes, or if we are to be an Empire as I told my native Friends at one point in a presidential speech so long ago We are to be an Empire of Liberty not an Empire of doom or an Empire of of hegemony an Empire of Liberty Well in the Jeffersonian world and you know as carried forward I think probably you would agree that it has changed indeed. What are the duties of the citizen? What do you expect a citizen to do? What is the relationship of the citizen in the government? Whether it's a big government or a little government indeed So the citizen is so important to our Republic The the citizen farmer in my time was the key to Understanding the Jeffersonian Republic because the farmer could exercise an independence that no other person in the Republic could The farmer was neither dependent for his wages upon a wealthy Merchant or industrialist the farmer could grow his own food And so the farmer was the ultimate independent person Therefore that is what we seek in our citizens to be independent and of strong character a term that I would call Having public courage the courage of one's convictions I believe that I had a small bit of this when I was Active in politics in those days Not everybody could vote Was there something about this is during your administration indeed, but you had to be a landowner to vote Yes, I hear now that they've expanded the franchise to females. Yes. It's a good idea. True fact Ponder this maybe I should change my mind but yes, of course in our time only wealthy landowners could vote and And I think the reason for this my find sir is that Wealthy landholders had the time to reflect to think to read to study Classics to understand and therefore should be granted that hallowed right of the running of the Republic now today You have something that maybe is a mobocracy of a more dangerous sort of Republic where Everybody gets a vote some people do not read do not understand deed indeed, but To counter that we put in place what we call the electoral system I could talk about that and the electoral system was designed so that men of conscience men like myself who are well Educated and from the natural aristocracy can make that final decision So that the states can indicate their preference through the legislature and later on through the individual vote But the electors make the final decision and they make a weighty decision indeed And they must follow their conscience not any vote or any mob So it's a balance. It's a it's another a check in balance. It's supposed to be Yeah, it's supposed to be but it's supposed to be if I if I told you that the popular vote was greater than the electoral college vote For a given candidate in this election in this recent election in the night at the 20 you know Would you say this was consistent with Jeffersonian democracy or would you say that something had gone off the track? Well as a rule I do not like mobs. I do not like democracy actually as a rule But in this case it seems that the electoral system is broken Because the fine men and I guess women who were serving as electors did not vote their conscience But simply voted for whomever the candidate was who received more votes in that particular state This is an abominable situation and and really augurs the decline of our democracy Jay yes, well, you know you talked about the the the vicious campaign You know the sort of the the the street fight campaign of the year 1800 indeed We've had a few since since you died as a president And this this recent election was pretty much a street fight too in the same way or worse And I and I wonder knowing all that we know Collectively about what happened in this this current campaign what your thoughts are about You know the future of our democracy The sanctity of our Constitution and the Bill of Rights Indeed I it is my sincere hope That Liberty prevails in within this Republic in this this great Republic that I helped to create Indeed, I hope that Liberty prevails the enemies of Liberty seem to have grown in their strength their ability to manipulate the masses and To appoint themselves through this to high positions This to me is most dangerous to the Republic and Therefore, I think that we should look back at the Constitution and look back at the protections of the Constitution and treat those protections in the Bill of Rights as Sacred as a sacred part of our commitment our covenant to the nation Let's assume that we're in trouble on this and we need to fix it in some way and you you and others You know created this Incredible document never seen before in the world that is self self-fixing It's a self-correcting document the Constitution the Constitution It's flexible and it allows for people to make changes as necessary This part of it with the changing history around us this part of I didn't really approve of but The ability to amend it could be to corrupt it and distrust of course But I hear that they freed the slaves to the Constitution They gave women the right to vote through the Constitution So it's an innovative Constitution which concerns me in a way But as long as we understand the protections therein and apparently the 14th amendment is a very good amendment Which protects the rights of individuals? This I fully support Since so here's the here's the thought though Assuming that things have gone off the track or things are jeopardized in some way under this precious and incredibly important document Historically and for the country What what would you say? Mr. President? What what steps should be taken in order to repair it to? conform it to to go back to those basic principles that are you know in the declaration of independence and And underlie the Constitution. How do we do that now? What's your advice? Mr. President? Are you suggesting that we are in the influence of a tyranny? Let's put that out as a possibility if that were the case then of course a tyrannical leader must be removed and We have provision for that in the Constitution through the Articles of Impeachment But tyrannies are very dangerous and they will destroy the Republic if not taken care of completely And they need not come just from a civilian leader. They can come from a military. That's too powerful Religion that's too powerful a bank. That's too powerful In the Declaration of Independence I wrote not just about Liberty, but I condemned the Bank of England I condemned the Monarch of England and I condemned the Church of England all of those were tyrannous tyrannous in our time and again the Corrupting influence of money could again be upon us in this Republic and destroy us I here tell that the new the new president-elect has appointed billionaire upon billionaire to his cabinet This to me could represent a corruption What do they say? Bigots Bullies and billionaires can we afford to have them in our cabinet? It sounds dangerous to me Yeah, it sounds like the beginning of a tyranny, but but we these these officers mostly serve at the approval of the Congress The Congress should be able to say no Well, we depend on the Congress to do the right thing And you know there's a question in recent years as to whether it does do the right thing for the right reasons So again that that may need fixing. Okay, and then we have a Supreme Court where the Congress Will not approve newly Appointed members of the Supreme Court appointed by the president Is that what you had intended that the Congress would simply refuse to consider? Any candidate to the Supreme Court? Well, this has happened many times in our history or so I have read that the Supreme Court has not been at full capacity The Congress is one of the the areas of government the three divisions of government the Supreme Court the Congress and the executive branch And so we designed the the system so that these branches would have a check upon one another If the Congress does not have a check then the Supreme Court must exercise that checking power The our system will last as long as those checks are in place Yes, but if if if Congress no longer represents a check upon the power of the executive branch Then that is indeed great of great concern. Yes, oh gee whiz Sounds like you wouldn't be entirely happy with what's going on these days And if I tell you that the that this expanded electorate with all these people voting many more You know groups of people many more people Voting are only voting in small percentages, you know forty percent, maybe or depending on where you are in the country What about that this goes back to the question of whether the citizen has an obligation to support the government by Voting paying taxes whatever else what can we do mr. President your advice, please In fact, can you turn to camera one and give the people your advice about performing their obligations as citizens under Jeffersonian democracy indeed we must have courage in this time This is the most important thing is that we exercise public courage in favor of the Republic not in favor of our own interests Not in favor of some petty project Not in favor of some lover or some some person who's beneath you We must exercise independence and public courage in this time For the government for the common good for the nation Indeed institution has written for the declaration and the rights of you of human beings Thank You mr. President. I must say in closing that you look so much like John David and it's really I must meet this It's awesome. Yeah, he sounds like a very great individual. He is indeed Thank You mr. President indeed Aloha all the best


Hey Psych2Goers, welcome back to another video. Depression is a serious mental health condition that can affect the people we least expect. With concealed depression, you may manage your symptoms in ways that keep your condition hidden from others. Often, you may adopt coping strategies that may not strike others as unusual. Still, the burden to carry this mental illness without support can make the experience even more isolating. Before we begin, we would like to mention that this video is created for educational purposes only and is not intended to substitute a professional diagnosis. With that said, here are six signs of concealed depression. 1. You may appear to be the happiest person in the room. Do you sometimes appear happy or upbeat, even if you feel otherwise? These attempts could turn into stable personas or behaviors that even your friends and family will believe in. The misconception that people with depression are always gloomy can create disbelief when you open up about having depression. Sometimes it may feel like it's easier to adopt a happy persona than to share your true feelings. 2. You may be a perfectionist. According to psychologist Dr. Margaret Rutherford, perfectionism over responsibility and not allowing anyone to see the real you are three basic traits of perfectly hidden depression. Your depression may be masked by your impressive accomplishments and the ability to balance all your tasks and ambitions with a smile on your face. Not only can these people be perfectionists, but they may also be highly self-critical since they find personal value from external accomplishments or responsibilities. 3. You seek ways to numb, avoid, or escape pain. We all feel the need to escape the stress of our lives sometimes. Inactive forms of coping like exercise is a good way to de-stress. However, some may turn to more risk-taking behaviors like drinking and gambling. While people who indulge in escapism or avoidance may not necessarily be depressed, some excessive forms of coping strategies that are out of character such as increased substance abuse or self-harm can be a cause for concern. 4. You may struggle with other health concerns. Do you suffer from other health problems? People with other chronic health conditions may face pain and symptoms that can lead to mood changes and depression. A study by Biomedical Center found that depression is often overlooked and normalized in people aged 65 and older who have chronic physical illnesses such as diabetes, coronary disease, and Parkinson's disease. Your physical health is prioritized over your emotional health, and so your depression can remain buried or confused with other conditions. 5. You express your pain through art and music. Creativity can be a healthy channel to release despair. It's no secret that some of the world's greatest artists suffered from mental illnesses. Many artists, musicians, and writers have expressed their pain in creative and even genius ways and gone on to inspire many others. Still, these expressions of suffering are real and should be addressed. 6. You might give subtle cries for help. Are you consistently absent from work or school? Do you always overburden yourself with work? While suffering from concealed depression, you might not announce your distress outright. You may express your pain in ways that may cause others to investigate further. Cries for help can surface in the form of self-deprecating comments or a lack of concern for your physical or mental health. Do you think you may have concealed depression or know someone who does? Let us know in the comments below. If you do, you're definitely not alone. Don't be afraid to seek help and talk to someone you trust about your situation. The references and studies used in this video are added in the description below. If you found this video helpful, be sure to like, subscribe, and share this video with those who might benefit from it.


This is covering the spread part of the Fandall podcast network The UEFA Champions League final is coming up on Saturday between Man City and Inter We're gonna break down that match for today Let you know where you can find value in the betting markets over at Fandall Sportsbook by talking to Austin cast getting his read on that Game then we'll talk some baseball later on for tonight This is covering the spread right here on the Fandall podcast network and number fire calm My name is Jim Sonis. I am a senior writer and analyst for number fire Joined here as mentioned by Austin Cass You can check them out on Twitter at Austin Cass and find his work over at number fire comm and Austin EPL season is wrapped up the UCL about to be wrapped up So what are you gonna do with soccer in kind of like a downtime until the women's World Cup picks up? Yeah, I think thankfully you've got the women's World Cup But yeah, this is gonna be the first break for men's soccer really in a couple years with COVID and the schedule being jammed up and then the World Cup and Yeah, it's it's gonna be a sad summer at the Cass household Absolutely. Well, hopefully we can get a World Cup championship in there to kind of fill that void Pick up the excitement once again But the final one of the men's side coming up this Saturday between Man City and Inter We'll break down that full game with Austin get his read on his favorite bets at Fandall Sportsbook Then I'll talk some baseball later on in the show for Wednesday night But first a reminder to make sure you're subscribed to the covering the spread podcast see because on yesterday's show We broke down game number three in the NBA Finals between the heat and the nuggets by talking to Brandon Ghadullah also talked to him about the RBC Canadian Open breaking down his thoughts on this week's field and Sierra bets over at Fandall Sportsbook so Both those options still live you can bet them still over at Fandall Sportsbook Check out that show by subscribing to covering the spread wherever you get your podcast and also check us out Over on the Fandall YouTube page coming up later on this week.  We'll talk some more hockey talk some more basketball and of course Strikeout props with pitching ninja back with us on Friday and also the Belmont stakes We'll have Christina Blacker on again on Friday as well all right here in the covering the spread podcast feet But for right now awesome Let's turn our focus to this UEFA champions league final between a man city and enter and right now looking at the markets We got man city minus 220 on the money line That is for 90 minutes plus stoppage time a man city was able to wrap up the EPL and now trying to go for the double crown But the market pretty high on man city in this game So do you believe the gap between man city and enter is as big as the markets imply here? No, I don't and it's actually cities actually going for a trouble because they won the FA cup last weekend. Oh, yeah So I do think city are the best team in the world I think they kind of have been for the past few seasons and that's backed up by their expected goal differential per 90 minutes of Plus 1.23 which is tops among Europe's big five leagues per every reps expect a goal model They're awesome. I've been super impressed with them the second half of the season They've shown an ability to win in different ways. They don't always have to play a beautiful Soccer to win which that hasn't always been the case for them But I think enter are pretty good, too. They're actually differential per 90 is Plus 0.83 which is seventh across Europe Europe's big five leagues and serious generally viewed That's a slightly worse league than the Premier League But both of the leagues have three teams in the top 13 of XG differential across Europe's big five leagues So I think Syria might be just a little undervalued overall Interfinished Syria with an XG differential that was nearly as good as Napoli's and If this was Napoli in the final, I don't think the gap I don't think the odds would be what they are here and Over two matches with Barcelona in the group stage of the Champions League Internache to win in the tie and Barça finished the season with the second best XG differential costs Europe's big five leagues So enters shown that they can play with the big boys and Yeah, I don't think the gaps quite as big as what the odds are showing So right now the tie market is plus 360 again for 90 minutes plus stoppage time The inter money line is plus 550 in that span So if you think that the gap between man sitting enter is smaller than the markets imply What to you is the best route for exploiting that in the traditional markets? So I am interested in taking entered to tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time but I also like the Correct score market. I think that's what I'm gonna do and that's my preference because it allows me to Bet on city to win which I think is what's gonna happen But also maybe take advantage of enter being undervalued So the shortest odds lie with city to win 1-0 and 2-0 Those are both price at plus 600, but I like taking city to win 2-1 or the match to tie 1-1 Which are plus 700 and plus 800 respectively This match is pretty much a free hit for enter no one's really given them much of a chance As I mentioned earlier, this is a chance for city to get a historic treble only that's only been in once By one other English team. It's kind of a coronation for them. It feels like the stars have really aligned just considering What finals typically look like it's a somewhat easy matchup for them at least that's what the narrative is It's a chance for their manager Pep Guardiola to finally win the Champions League post Barcelona Which to get that monkey off his back So really this it seems like all the stars are lined up for Man City, which means enter can be super free. They're not really supposed to be here There's no way they thought this would be where they were would be before the end of the season So you're talking about the fact that you could be off in this market I think that's important to acknowledge but I think the one thing that this does by taking kind of a longer shot on the 1-1 tie at 8-1 or the 2-1 win at 7-1 You're kind of allowing yourself more upside should that be right? So you're taking a bigger risk which implies more volatility and volatility in your case is not a bad thing So I do like that approach and I think that what I was going to ask you initially is going to go to the double-chance market and check Out inter and draw a plus 165, but I think that you kind of answered my question for me I was gonna ask, you know any thought for you towards taking inter and draw a plus 165 instead of these But I think that by talking about the fact that you could be way off You're getting a better price on those numbers to compensate for that possibility I think that you know you kind of answer my question by saying that you wanted to take that route So was that the thought process for you and giving yourself more upside to account for the fact that you may be off here? Yeah, for sure. I feel like I'm You know sort of swinging for the fence a little bit Yeah, I'm gonna swing for the fence then I'd like to get a payout that Reflects that I'm swinging for the fence instead of just blooping a single over the shortstop's head So, I mean, there's nothing wrong with you know more than doubling your money out plus 165 obviously But yeah, I want to I want to swing for the fence and and see if I can nail it on the 1 1 or 2 1 Okay So the 1 1 market again 8 to 1 and the 2 to 1 win for Man City is 7 to 1 now What about player props anything stand out to you for those in this match? So a lot of these are priced as if enter is not going to score so this kind of correlates with The whole theme I've been talking about all along. I like both Laotaro Martinez and Nicolo Barea to score or assist Martinez is plus 240 to score assist His this recommendations a little bit contingent on Romelu Lukaku not starting if Lukaku starts He'll probably be on penalties if Lukaku doesn't start Martinez will be on penalties And I'd like Martinez to be on penalties when I place this bet He tally 27 goals plus assist in 28 27 serious starts No other enter expected starter have more than six goals So he's their clear focal point and I don't think Lukaku will start So I like that one and then also Barea is plus 430 He's a real key creative piece for them He finished Serie A with 12 goals plus assists and 31 starts scored two goals over his past four Champions League matches with nine shot creating actions in that span If enter are chasing the game late and get some extended possession against City I think he's someone who is capable of making magic happen and creating a chance for them out of nothing So I like both of those guys To score or assist And the kilo Barea as you mentioned plus 430 to score or assist and the Martinez one was plus 240 Are you holding off the Martinez one until you get the official lineup to account for the Lukaku possibility there? Yeah, I'm gonna wait just just in case because to me He's a lot less enticing if Lukaku plays and he doesn't get the penalties One of the risks with that is if Lukaku Does not wind up in the lineup. We could see the Martinez number shorten how How short are you willing to go if we assume this market does shorten with Lukaku out of the starting lineup? Would plus 200 be too short for you to score or assist on Martinez or where's kind of the breaking point for you? I would say the plus 210 plus Okay, 220 range probably for me, but Lukaku I Think he's a long shot to start and I think that's pretty much priced as if he is not starting in plus Okay, for the book. There's no real punishment for them to put it here in case he does start, you know, so right Yeah, so I I would say that I'd go as low as like plus 220. I think Okay So check out the Martinez to score or assist market depending on if Lukaku does or does not go plus 210 plus 220 We're Austin's looking for that one Nicola Berea to score or assist it plus 430 and then again the the correct score markets tie 1-1 at 8 to 1 and man city 2 to 1 at 7 to 1 giving yourself a lot upside here Austin which I like that's some fun for your final men's match for quite some time that is Austin cast make sure you check Him out on Twitter at Austin cast find his work over at number fire calm Austin It has been a pleasure to talk to you throughout this soccer season looking forward to talking to you once again Next year or as other stuff pops up along the way. Good luck on Saturday. Enjoy the match. We'll talk to you again soon Sounds good. Thanks for having on. I've appreciate it. I've enjoyed it too Absolutely. All right, again check out Austin on Twitter at Austin cast and looking forward to some more soccer discussion coming up Next fall once things resume Hopefully getting someone talk on to talk the women's World Cup as well We'll dive into some baseball here in just a bit But first is almost time to crowd a new NBA champion and Fando wants you to be part of the excitement because right now New customers getting no sweat first bet up to two thousand five hundred dollars That is two thousand five hundred dollars back in bonus bets if your first bet doesn't win There's no better place to bet all the finals action than America's number one sportsbook fan duel Official sports betting partner of the NBA must be 21 plus and president select states first online a real money Wager only ten dollar deposit required refund issued is not with trouble bonus bets that expire in 14 days Restrictions apply see full terms at fandal.com slash sportsbook Fandal is offering online sports wagering in Kansas under an agreement with Kansas Star Casino LLC gambling problem Call 1 800 gambler or visit fandal.com slash RG in Arizona Call 1 800 next step or text next step to 5 3 3 4 2 in Connecticut 1 8 8 8 7 8 9 7 7 7 7 Or visit ccpg.org slash chat in Indiana 1 800 9 with it in Wyoming in Kansas 105 2 2 4700 or in Kansas KS gambling health comm Louisiana is 1 8 7 7 7 7 7 0 stop in Massachusetts gambling helpline MA org work all 800 3 2 7 50 50 for 24 7 support in Maryland MD gambling health org in New York 1 8 7 7 8 open wire text open Y and in West Virginia Go to 1 800 gambler net Let's dig into some major league baseball for today and outlined a couple money lines and a couple strikeout props that my numbers are Liking for today's game. Let's start things off here with the Red Sox and the Guardians My numbers are showing value in the Red Sox to win this game money line for them plus 1 16 over at Fandal sportsbook and I'm pretty far off market here as I actually do with the Red Sox Favored to win this game and again the money line is plus 1 16 and that could mean that I'm off That's always a possibility and you know, you always want to account for the possibility of your model is just not correct There's margin of errors and stuff like that But I also understand why the model is here the starting pitching matchup definitely does favor the Guardian because Tanner Bybee has looked fantastic Especially recently he's been great his entire career in the minors now in the majors But especially the past six or so starts. He's been outstanding. So I get it but Boston's offense is much better than the Guardians and I Kind of feel like that's going a bit overlooked here Red Sox active roster as a 103 WRC plus against righties The Guardians are at 80. So really bad offense for them this year Cutter Crawford starting for the Red Sox I wouldn't expect him to be a full go here probably around 60 or so pitches before he gives way to that bullpen That's fine for me Crawford has pitched. Well, whether it's been in long relief or as a starter earlier on this year So I've got faith in him. I've got faith in this Red Sox offense. I do not have faith in the Guardians offense So plus 1 16 to me a very good number to get the Red Sox money line for tonight I will take that so the first bet the Red Sox money line at plus 1 16 Second that I like for tonight is actually one in what was the thriller of last night That was the Dodgers and the Reds and right now the Reds money line is plus 142 and I like it I'm gonna take it because I understand if you want to skeptical of Brandon Williamson who will start here for the Reds because Did not have the best numbers in triple a start in the majors I think has been a bit worse than the results let on so his ERA is 4.29 his skill interactive ERA his expected ERA both much worse than that and I'm not super high on him personally But also not super high on Noah Cinder guard on the opposing side Cinder guard has struggled all year long and he's been tinkering as most pitchers do trying to correct that He's been using if you were curve balls his past six starts and you know, we can look into those starts That's his most relevant sample and see if it's improved, but his skill interactive ERA has actually gotten worse It's 4.98 in that stretch So the adjustments Cinder guard has made have not paid on off as of yet. That's one aspect The second aspect is when runners get on base. They are running with reckless abandon against Cinder guard He has led up 16 stolen bases this year The Dodgers have a team as a team have led up more stolen bases than any team in baseball And the Reds are a team that is very willing to run Especially now that Ellie De La Cruz is up with the big league the big league team so I think the Dodgers should be favored here because Williamson is not a guy of a lot of faith in their ISO against lefties is otherworldly so they should be favored but The Reds implied win odds are 41% There are going to be a lot of runs in this game. The total is 11 for a reason this game was chaotic last night I think the Reds offense a bit underrated. I think they could do some damage with their legs against Cinder guard for tonight I think they're a value relative to the market So as always account for the fact this this bet based on what the market is saying has is 41 percent odds of cashing But I think that the odds the Reds actually win or higher than that. So to me The Reds money line plus 142 the Red Sox money line plus 116 the two money lines I like for tonight as far as strikeout props want to start things off with one that is primarily based on pitch count Actually, the other one is too. Let's start things off here by talking about James and Tyone His strikeout prop right now at Fandall sportsbook under four and a half is minus one oh six There's been some action towards the over so that has shifted here I Despite that it's never fun to bet against the market, but I do think the under is the way to go here It's minus one of six right now This has moved against me from where I took it earlier on this morning But do still think there is value in the under and primarily the reason I want the under here is pitch count because Tyone Hasn't gone longer than 80 pitches since he came off the IEL and that's a six-start sample now So pretty large sample they have not been letting go deep in games now part of that's because of effectiveness And that could be fluky, but also even the games. He's been good. He hasn't been going super deep The era for Tyone 8.61 angels roughly average in this strikeout department So I've got Tyone projected for a 3.7 strikeouts tonight He's had strikeout totals on the road in three starts in the sample with three one and one So it is concerning the market has moved against me here as it has there has been some action on the over for Tyone But I do still think the under is the right way to go So I'll take Jameson Tyone under four and a half strikeouts minus one of six I think in order to talk myself into an over here I would need to get assurance that the pitch count for Tyone will increase and I've not seen anything to make me believe That will happen. So I'll take Tyone under four and a strikeouts minus one of six I would note that again, there is money going against that bet But you know, there are reasons I feel differently personally The second one is gonna be an over that is where Chris Bassett gonna check out where his number is right now Over four and that strikeouts is minus one thirty eight a fan. Well, this one has been going the direction I thought it would I do still think there's value in the over but As always make sure you shop around find one number you can get because at least as of earlier on this morning You could get Bassett over four and a half at minus one twenty So check around there even at minus one thirty anything it is a good enough bet to take The reason I like Bassett and would be okay taking it even at minus one thirty eight Despite that being closer to the tipping point is that Bassett will go deep in games He often gets over 100 pitches. He rarely is under 94 and Bassett is a guy I was betting against earlier on this year taking unders considering sacking against him in daily fantasy But seems like he has corrected course He said seven starts if you were curveballs and his strikeout rate in that time is twenty four point two percent That's allowed and hit the over on this number in four out of five in six out of seven starts in this span Despite having four to seven starts on the road He's at home here and facing the Astros not a high strikeout matchup by any means But also not as low of a strikeout matchup as it has been in years past If you look at the starts that Bassett has made a home in this stretch his strikeout totals at home are seven eight and seven so well above that mark and that's been against I believe the Mariners Yankees and I believe the Braves with a third team in there. So three pretty tough teams So the Astros I think with their current health are tough as well But Bassett is shown he can rise that test I'd be willing to check out alternate markets here in Bassett just to kind of see maybe we want to go for a higher upside One a six plus strikeouts plus 154. That's semi enticing too. So Check out the over four and a half if you can get the minus 120. I would probably take that but Minus 138 I'm still wanting to take it. I would consider Six plus strikeouts the plus 154 because I haven't projected at six. So, you know or six point something I believe for tonight. I'd at least consider it But to me, I'm gonna officially go with over four and a half check around if you get minus 120 even at minus 138 is still fine, but overall Bassett and Tyone the two strikeout props Bassett over four and a half at minus 138 Tyone under four and a half strikeouts minus 106 from the two money lines the Reds plus 142 in the Red Sox plus 116 that is all that we have here for today on Covering the spread back with you once again tomorrow talking to an NBA and some NHL And then on Friday double dip we'll be talking some MLB With pitching Ninja Rob Friedman and then talking the Belmont stakes later on so three more shows still to come For this week again, if you want some thoughts on NBA finals game three check out yesterday's show with Brandon Gidella talking about that and the RBC Canadian open Thank you once again to Austin cast or swinging by breaking down his thoughts on the UCL final team Man City and Inter Check out Austin on Twitter at Austin cast and check out his work over at number fire.com I am on Twitter at Jim Sonnis J I am s a and an ES you can also follow the fan dual podcast network at fan dual podcasts want to thank you all for Tuning in for today. Good luck to you with your bets. We'll talk to you once again tomorrow Enjoy game three of the finals for tonight. This has been covering the spread right here on the fan dual podcast network