Good morning. Welcome to CMC Markets on Friday, the 1st of September and this quick look at the week ahead beginning the 4th of September with me, Michael Houston, come off the back of a negative month for equity markets. I think the bigger question as we head into September and obviously the last months of Q3 is will the range bound nature of market price action start to change over the course of the next few weeks. And I think the next few weeks will be important or the next two to three weeks will be important in the context of potentially how the risk trade plays out. We've got central bank rate meetings two to three weeks of really important central bank rate meetings coming up starting next week with the RBA and the Bank of Canada, not expecting any changes to rate policy from either of them. Then the week after that we've got the European central bank on the 14th of September and that's followed by the week after that, the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England. And I think, you know, the month of August, we saw a negative month. We managed to close off the lows of the month, which I think was important in terms of the overall trend and the overall nature of recent market price action. I think what was particularly important in the case of the FTSE 100 was once again, we managed to hold above that 7200 level. I have argued or have made the point over the course of the past few weeks that the declining highs have been a little bit of a concern for me in that the downside momentum or the downside does appear to be prevailing, given the lackluster nature of each bounce that we've seen off that 7200 level, but we have managed to hold above it. And I think that is important. And I think as we head into September, the main focus will once again be on central bank rate decisions. Are we near to peak rate, terminal rate? I think that we are. Is the Fed done when it comes to further rate hikes? This week's economic data would appear to support the case for a September pause. Of course that could change with today's non-farm payrolls report, which is due out at 1.30 this afternoon. Based on the data that we've seen thus far this week, it does appear that US jobs growth is slowing and could well continue to do so. I think what was particularly notable this week was that the ADP report, which has been strong in the summer months, did see a sharp slow down to 177,000 from 371,000 in July. So weekly jobless claims still remain in the low 220s, 230s. No real change there. What was I think a little bit concerning was continuing claims edged up quite a bit. Continuing claims are basically calculated on a four week basis. And we did see a big drop even in job openings. But to the lowest level since March 2021. But once again, I have to remind people that they're still well above pre-pandemic levels. So that suggests to me the US labor market still remains tight even though jobs growth is slowing. So that suggests that the US economy is still doing reasonably well in spite of the revision lower earlier this week to second quarter GDP from 2.42.1%. And we are seeing a slow down. Markets are pricing. I hate this phrase a soft landing because it's just meaningless jargon. But I think what that means is that markets are still pricing the likelihood that the US will avoid a recession. I'm not convinced about that. Having said that, I don't think a recession will come if it does until the early part of next year for the US. Slightly different story. If you're talking about say, for example, Europe, where the PMIs that we've seen from France and Germany, the flash PMIs have been particularly disappointing and we'll get the latest services PMIs in the coming week for August. These numbers, the flash numbers, saw a sharp slide in service sector activity in both France and Germany during August to 46.7 and 47.3. And up until recently, these had been doing relatively well. But as we come to the end of the summer months, I think you'll find that Italy and Spain services PMIs will also see similar slowdowns in economic activity. And I think it's good to bring them into line with the weak manufacturing numbers where manufacturing has pretty much been in recession or in contraction. Shall I say, I don't want to use recession in contraction for pretty much all of this year. So certainly the services PMIs could well be the final piece of the puzzle when it comes to whether the ECB decides to pause its rate hiking cycle, even as August inflation saw an unwelcome tick higher. And I think this is the key thing at the moment. The August inflation numbers would appear to suggest that inflation is starting to tick back up. And what is particularly concerning, I think, with respect to the stickiness argument is what's been happening with oil prices over the course of the past few weeks. Since those June lows and these series of bottom through here, we've headed back to the levels that we saw at the start of the year. And that's, you know, the highs of this year are going to be a very, very key level, I think. In the context of what happens to rates next, are we going to see a further rate hike from the ECB? Are we going to see a further rate hike from the Bank of England? Are we going to see a further rate hike from the Federal Reserve? I'm still in the mindset that further rate hikes are unnecessary at this point in time. That's not to say they may not come later in the year, but I think while rates are at their current levels and the Bank of England chief economist Hugh Pill has already said that UK rate policy is restrictive and that he favours a higher for longer approach. In a speech earlier this week, he talked about a table-mounting approach to rate policy, which to me is just a high plateau. That's what we're talking here, a high plateau for UK rates. So keep them at five and a quarter percent for a much longer period of time. If we look at what yields have done this past week, US 10 year yields do appear to have peaked out just above the previous peaks that we saw earlier late last year, even in 21st of October last year. We've come back down again. And I think that for me is really about where we are when it comes to not only long-term rates, this is the US 10 year. If we look at the US 2 year, we can also see a similar pattern play out in terms of the weekly candle. There does appear to be a weekly reversal on that. If we look at, say, for example, similar pattern on UK 2 year, we can also see that rates are likely to remain higher for longer. But crucially, we have remained below the peaks that we saw back in early July. And if we look at the UK 10 year, which is there, again, the weekly chart. I don't know why I did that. Let's just change that and go weekly. We've seen a much sharper decline in the 10 year guilt than we have the 2 year, which would appear to suggest that perhaps we're also near a peak when it comes to UK rates. And the big question, I think, is rather than seeing a 25 basis point rate hike from the Bank of England, could we actually see a pause? I think the bar is higher when it comes to a pause. I think an awful lot will depend on the data that we see over the course of the next two to three weeks, predominantly UK CPI, which is also due out just before the next Bank of England rate decision. As is US CPI just out before the next US rate decision. But I think we're close to peak rates. And really it's now a question of how long rates stay at their current levels before we start to see rate cuts rate cuts have been priced out. Pretty much for this year. And it's really now just a question of when they start to occur over the course of the next 12 to 24 months. The Federal Reserve has the headline terminal rate for the end of this year around about 5.6%, which means they've got another rate hike priced in to their dot plots. But then that comes down to 4.6% at the end of next year. So over the course of the next 12 months, the Fed thinks that they probably will have to cut rates by 100 basis points from from the peak at the end of this year. We'll actually have to see how that plays out going forward. But certainly sticky inflation is not being helped by the rate, the increase that we've been seeing in oil prices. So next week we've also got China trade and China inflation. And that's the other side of the coin. When it comes to the inflation numbers here, only here in the UK in Europe and in the US, the deflation or disinflation that we've seen coming out of the Chinese economy since November last year. That I think has helped bring headline inflation down here over this side of the world. But the bigger question is whether or not it will continue to act as a drag on headline inflation going into the winter months. And I think that's the one thing that I think is significantly uncertain given the fact that we've seen inflation in August edge higher from the lows that we've seen in July. In essence, is the August spike higher or push higher in headline inflation a one off and are we going to drift back down again, or are we going to stay stuck in and around the levels that we're currently at at the moment. Certainly in terms of UK inflation we've got room to come down further quite a significant amount further I would suggest to around about four and a half 5% by the end of the year because as the energy price cap effects continue to get filtered out. You know, is there more downside in US inflation I think that's the bigger question and I don't think we're going to really know the answer to that until the data continues to evolve. As for the RBA next week we have got we're not expecting any change to the current 4.1%. I think the RBA will nervous about further tightening at a time when last employment reports saw 24,000 jobs lost. That's a little bit of a turnaround when it comes to the jobs market that's not to say that, you know, Australian unemployment isn't at a fairly low level it is. But August PMI has slipped into contraction territory the unemployment rate is at 3.7%. And obviously the last jobs report saw a minus number in front of it. And, you know, if you extrapolate that over into say for example the UK or the US. At the moment we haven't seen negative numbers in terms of jobs in either the UK or the US though we have started to see German unemployment start to etch higher. So, you know, maybe we're into the last quarter we're probably going to start seeing jobs get more jobs being lost than actually being created. Bank of Canada coming up as well let's have a quick look at the Aussie found some support around about 64. Again, that's a proxy for a little bit of the China story. China trade numbers are due out on the 7th. They're not expected to be particularly positive. We've seen negative numbers for imports and exports in July. We saw a decline of 12.4% in imports which shows that internal demand in China is collapsing. We have seen Chinese policymakers implement piecemeal measures to try and boost the economic prospects from using overseas travel restrictions, modest cuts in lending rates and a little bit of a boost to some of the property sector and what have you. But in July the economy slipped into deflation and we've got PPI and CPI on the Saturday the 9th of September. So it'll be interesting to see whether or not that continues that trend continues or whether we start to see a little bit of a trough there when it comes to the declines that we've seen in PPI and latterly CPI. Expectations are for exports to decline by 7.8% and imports to decline by 8.8%. So that will be a little bit of improvement on the July numbers, but a negative is a negative. So that would still suggest that the economy is weak. In terms of what to expect from the Bank of Canada, I know I'm chopping about quite a lot here, but there's quite a bit to get through. If we have a quick look at USD CAD, Canada still looks fairly weak. But again, we can see that there's really fairly decent resistance up in those highs around about April and May. We retested them earlier this month and we've drifted back down again. Again, it's really a question of what does the Bank of Canada do when it comes to rates hold is most likely. What sort of outlook do they paint when it comes to inflation? At the last meeting, the Bank of Canada said that inflation is unlikely to return to target until 2025. Well, that would appear to suggest that they're probably not going to be moving rates anytime soon. And I think that's going to be a common narrative, not only for the Bank of Canada, but also for pretty much every other central bank around. Obviously, apart from obviously the Bank of Japan, we're also due to make a great decision this month as well. And perhaps they could start to be a little bit more serious about the your curve control policy. Because once again, all those dolly end shorts are continuing to get squeezed. And I still can't catch a break on my view that dolly end is going down because it continues to squeeze me until I squeak. Certainly in terms of the price action, the trend continues to remain higher. We've run into resistance around about 14750. If we can get through 14750, we can hit a 150. But I'm still of the opinion that this rally is on borrowed time and that at some point over the course of the next month or two. This rally will start to unwind and we'll head back to the will head back towards 140. But I think at the moment, the way my calls have been this year on dolly end, that's probably more wishful thinking than anything else. In terms of Euro dollar, we've got a continuation of pretty much the trend that we've been in. But one thing I have managed to do is this nice little trend line here. We did break below the 200 day moving average. But what we didn't do is below this trend line from the lows back in March. So this could be quite important. What happens to Euro dollar going forward? Again, I think that will depend on whether or not the ECB can hike rates anymore than they currently have. I remain very doubtful that they can. So really, then it's just a question of where we head to next. Well, I think if the ECB pause and the Fed pause, then pretty much all bets are off and we're probably going to continue to range trade in the way that we have been. I think the bigger question is not so much about whether or not the ECB pause and when the Fed pause is, will the ECB be forced to cut rates before the Fed? Given how badly the Eurozone economy is performing and particularly the German economy where PMIs are manufacturing are below 40. So I think that will be the next discussion when it comes to rate policy. I don't think the ECB is going to be in any in any hurry to cut rates if inflation remains high. But if economic activity continues to stagnate or stagflate or whatever you want to call it, then the bigger question is how quickly will inflation come down and give room to the ECB to at least give an indication that they might be inclined to reverse some of the rate cuts that they've currently implemented with inflation at current levels. That's going to be a tough path to navigate, given that you've got the Bundesbank President Jürgen Nagel already arguing still arguing that more rate hikes are necessary. Despite the fact that the German economy is pretty much imploding in plain sight. Looking at Euro sterling. This once again, we can see the 50 day moving average acting as a nice little cap on any rally. I'm still I'm still minded to think that we can break below this 85 area and head back towards the lows that we saw back in 2022. You know, for me, I think it's really a question of, you know, Euro, Euro sterling, it's like two drunks at a bar, you know, which one's going to fall over first. And that for me at the moment, I think is what's currently expect is probably what is going to drive the Euro stone Euro sterling currency pair. I believe England will find it very difficult to cut rates anytime soon, which means that rates here in the UK are likely to remain higher for a lot longer than they will in the Euro area that should support the pound against the Euro. In terms of what we've got in terms of what we got companies reporting next week, it's a fairly, it's a fairly weak slate. The reason is coming to an end. We have dark trace. They've got their full year results. When dark trace reported back in July, the shares surged higher of the company reported expected to see a 31% increase in four year revenue added 396 new customers in Q4 taking total customers to 8,799. And that takes to a short selling note from quintessential capital management expressing skepticism over the validity of their financial statements to combat this dark trace employed Ernst and young to review its finances in July. The review had been completed and the financial statements were reported to accurately reflect the firm's financial position. They are finding it difficult to get back through 400p. So I think the big question here is, will dark trace upgrade its revenue forecast for the new, the new year, the next fiscal year, fiscal year 24. And will their revenue expectations and profit expectations meet the guidance that they issued back in July. We can actually put a nice little trend line here. I'll just notice this right here, right through those loads there. There's a nice little trend line there. So it might be worth seeing whether or not these shares finally catch a break and start to go higher again and break that 400p level or the November highs from last year of 415. We've also got GameStop, the meme stock craze has finally imploded and has seen AMC Entertainment GameStop and all of those meme stocks finally fall back to earth with a very loud bump. Not really expecting much great shakes from Q2 GameStop revenues, $1.14 billion. Inventories should come down. The company did post a surprise profit back in Q4, but it's slipped back into a loss in Q1 and it's likely to do the same thing in Q2. And those numbers are out on the 6th of September. So that's pretty much it for this week. Next week, obviously, it's the 8th of September, the next one of these will be the 8th of September. This will be the last one I do for about two weeks because it's going to be going off on a couple of weeks holiday, which means that I will be missing the ECB, the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England. But I will write something and I will record something to preview those meetings. So you all get my thoughts on them, but I pretty much outlined my baseline thinking around all of them. Pretty much a pause for the Fed, pause for the ECB, and I'm sort of 50-50 between a pause and a 25 basis point hike from the Bank of England. But anyway, that's it for this week. As I say, we've got the payrolls numbers later today. Obviously, I don't know what they are, but just to recap, I think if we get a fairly weak jobs report, that will cement the case for Fed pause in September. So that's it for this week. Thank you very much for listening. This is Michael Houston talking to you from CMC Markets.


It didn't take long for Turning Point UK, hailed as the nationalist right's answer to momentum, to descend into a chaotic crab barrel of mutual recriminations, parody accounts and even Hitler Apology. Needless to say, the internet and left twitter in particular was absolutely loving it. If only there was some German word perhaps to describe the pleasure one feels at another's misfortune. It was only 18 months ago that Activate, remember the hashtag retweet hashtag imploded after a mere two weeks in the public eye, after members got caught talking about gassing chabs and a charming imposter found his way onto the Navarra media sofa. And this all got me thinking, why is it that conservative youth organisations always turn out so weird. Back in the 1980s, the Federation of Conservative Students, whose former chairman include David Davis and strangely enough John Burkow, considered themselves a ballwork against socialism's pernicious influence in UK universities. If Margaret Thatcher considered herself a dry conservative, the FCS were positively desiccated. There were vocal supporters of extremist right-wing guerrillas in Nicaragua and Angola and printed the now notorious Hang Nelson Mandela posters. They ended up getting disbanded by Norman Tebe in 1987 after their interest antics saw them getting branded as the right-wing equivalent of militant. It's tempting to see Turning Point UK as just another baffling flub in a long and rich history of right-wing youth organisations taking things a bit too far. But I think there's something else going on here, because unlike the FCS, who had relatively little overlap with their Reaganite counterparts, Turning Point UK are utterly inseparable from the American alt-right. Their gatherings have been swanky transatlantic affairs featuring that now infamous Q&A in which Candace Owens appeared to defend Hitler's domestic policy. Also involved is prominent Trump donor and noted conspiracy theorist John Mappin, who so far has remained tight-lipped about the organisation's funding sources. And while Turning Point UK say that their ambitions are to energise a student movement across the UK, their advertising focus has been skewed stateside. A Facebook ad ahead of their launch wasn't seen by a single soul in Britain. Instead, all the targeted views were in Texas, Ohio and London, Borough of California. Their American cousins Turning Point US don't seem that bothered by the student engagement bit of their mission statement either. None of their paid-for adverts on Facebook are targeted at anyone under the age of 24. Instead, their core audience is aged 45 and over. The weirdness of conservative youth organisations isn't just the inevitable consequence of swimming against the current of your generation's values. All that bombastic talk of cultural Marxism and campus snowflakes isn't intended for the millennial ear anyway. They're not actually trying to be the new momentum. Their role is to rile up economically secure but culturally anxious baby boomers to normalise reactionary ideas in extreme electoral patterns. Their establishment-backed astroturfers dressing up as grass-root social movements and most of them have graduated bloody ages ago anyway. This isn't counterculture, it's classic counter-revolutionary strategy, only now with memes.


Good morning everybody. Today is December 12, 2018, Wednesday. We're looking for signals in the market. Let's take a look at Forex Factory. See what we got. Ten, thirty eastern time. We have crude oil inventories. Funny they have it down as low impact news. Usually that's high impact but it looks like spotty is in a good position here to get a good signal to the upside guys. I know we're up pretty big. We're up pretty big. Three dollars and thirty four cents on the day. It's huge. Huge, huge. Getting the signal here on Netflix. I don't really like it. It's the first five minute candle. Two seventy calls that expire in two days. They are expensive. I can't even trade them even if I wanted to. Five sixty is where you could have gone in. Look at that spread. Five oh five. Five thirty by five seventy. Just wild. Looks like the markets are waiting for that report to come out. Look at those EMAs on spy. Completely flat. Boy, Netflix. Those calls are up to close to eight bucks. Nine bucks. Let me check here. Eight bucks. I think they got up there to closer to nine. I like the cues better. I like the cues better. Where they currently are. I'm liking the cues here. Still going to be a bit till it actually sets up but it's looking nice right now. Looking really really good. Yeah the one sixty six fifties look promising. Okay we got a signal on spy as well. Let's see more of this candle on the cues. Getting a signal here on both spy and the cues. Alrighty I think I got two calls. One sixty six fifty calls that expire in two days for the cues. I don't know if you guys heard that. I got oh wow look at that. Putting in our direction here. Sold one at one eighty eight. Got out. I got out. I barely made any money guys. I really did. I bought at one eighty three sold at one eighty eight and sold the other one at one eighty two. So I lost a dollar on on that other one. So check out the orders here. Bought at one eighty three. Bought two of them at one eighty three. Sold one at one eighty eight. And then sold the other one at one eighty two. Made four dollars. Gosh I think I broke even after after commission fees. And there's that push there. There is that push. One ninety but one ninety three. Look at that. That is the push that we were hoping for when we were in it.  And let's take a quick overview of today's action here. I got signals on both spy and the cues. I like the cues a little bit better today because I was able to purchase two contracts and it worked out well. I didn't make any money after after commission fees. I'm sure I broke even. We're going to call this a win basically. I would say a wash but it's a win in my book because I didn't lose any money. Sure I bought at one eighty three sold one at one eighty five excuse me one eighty eight and sold the other one for a small loss of one eighty two. But that's OK. That's a winner in my book. Clearly the winner today was Netflix on this amazing signal here. You could double your money and then some two days. So it's OK guys. Let's look for another trade tomorrow. Well thank you everybody for tuning in. If you have not yet done it subscribe to the channel. Hit that subscribe button. Like and share my videos. I would greatly appreciate it. And if you haven't checked out yesterday's podcast great information. Lindsay Duff from responsible day trading. She was amazing guys. Great information. Real day trader guys. Real day trader. See you guys again next time. You guys have a wonderful day.


So in this video, I'm going to show you three different product research methods. I'm also going to give you five great product ideas, product ideas that are getting traction for this Q4. So if you haven't found a product yet for Q4 or you don't know how to find one, then you will by watching this video. If you want to skip all that and just go straight to a pre-vetted list of products, 127 of them to be specific, then you can do so. So you can get yourself a copy of this. It's an instant download, 100% free, 127 products ideas vetted personally by myself using the strategies I'm going to show you in this video. So if that sounds good to you, head to the top link in the video description down below and go grab yourself a copy of this sooner rather than later. Now is the perfect time to get involved in drop shipping. So make sure you grab a copy of that. That being said then, let's jump straight into the video. So the first product research strategy I want to show you is Drop a Spy. I've been using Drop a Spy for a long, long time now. And by the way, the only methods I'm going to show you or the only things I talk about in my videos are things I actually use and pay for myself. So Drop a Spy, I am subscribed, I do have a premium plan because it's a brilliant tool and it just cuts the product research time down to a matter of seconds, literally seconds rather than minutes, hours, weeks, so on. It's worth pointing out as well, I will do a specific video on picking a product, what goes into a product that has the most potential as possible. But in short, you are looking for number one, it has to be trending and number two, never seen before. So the five products I'm going to show you on later on in this video, they're going to require some work when it comes to the supply. At least some of them will. I'm really, really trying to push now on my channel because I am a hands down a big believer of the fact that if you want to be successful at this, you have to get away from the bulk of other people who are also doing this. You have to separate yourself apart from them. If you're not familiar, check out a company called Funny Fuzzy. They are absolutely awesome. They can capture that strategy and that essence to a tee. They sell trending products, but versions of trending products that nobody else has seen and that is, honestly, that is the golden recipe to a product that can go to six, seven figures and beyond. Okay, so how does Drops Buy work? Very straightforward, you have a series of filters which you can select. Drops Buy will take these filters. It will go into Facebook and it will find posts that match these filters. So obviously, I'm going to stick to English because I don't speak any of the languages. I'm going to go for all ages. I'm going to go for Shopify and WooCommerce because obviously they're stores. They will be stores selling products, selling physical products, so I should be able to sell those same ones. I'm going to go for Shop Now Buy Now and Get Offer because these will be ads, posts that are selling something. And then what I also do is I add likes, shares and comments. I typically start at a minimum of 250 comments. Shares are important as well because it shows how well a certain item resonates with an audience, so does likes. What shares also do is help boost a post for free. Every time somebody shares it, average amount of friends on Facebook, I think is in and around sort of 170 nowadays. So every time somebody shares it, that's potentially an extra 170-yard people that may see it. And they are. If you advertise on a social media platform, again, that kind of goes into that recipe I was talking about earlier, is that if you have a product or a creative that is entertaining that people want to share, then that can only contribute and help as well towards its level of success. So here are the default criteria that I set. As we can see, Drop Spies fired back lots of different products for us to choose from. As you can see, not all of them are going to be relevant. However, scrolling through, there's definitely some that are going to point out more than others like these hoodies, which should be relatively simple to get a hold of. The other thing I'm looking for as well is this date here, the last scene date. If this is within the last couple of weeks, then you know for a fact this product is working right now. Moving on to the second product research strategy, which is very, very similar, by the way. It's called Minia or Miner, whatever you want to call it. It works on the same premise. So you can select CTA platforms, like shares, comments, and that sort of thing. It is worth checking both of them out because sometimes you do get different results dependent on which one you're looking at. What you can also do in this one, which you can do by Drop Spies as well, actually, which I forgot to mention, is at the top you can put keywords in.  So if we put toy in there, what it's going to do is fire back all the results, which have the word toy in. So it's going to point you straight in that direction of the sort of stuff you're looking for. Where the advantage or what Minia has Drop Spies doesn't. If I draw your attention to the left-hand side, we can look at Pinterest ads and we can look at TikTok ads. TikTok ads work exactly the same. So you put in how many comments you're looking for, what kind of store it's redirecting people to, the countries, plays, that sort of thing. So you can go straight to the things that have traction, you can go straight to the comments section and see what people are saying about it. And if you have a follow-up of this channel, you'll know that I love to see posts that have comments from people saying, yes, I bought this product and I love it. That's nondisputable, stone cold evidence. People are buying a product. And if you see that, then there's no arguments. And if it's working for one business, there's absolutely no reason why it wouldn't work for yours. Saving the best until last time. This is one of the newest ones that I'm newest to. It's the only, only, only product research method that I am an affiliate of. If you wanna sign up and check this out, highly recommend you do, you can get a trial for one single dollar, then you can cancel, you can do all the research you need to do for a dollar. The reason I love exploding topics so much is not only just because it's good for job shipping, by the way, like it keeps you up to date with what's going on in the world outside of e-commerce. However, staying true to the channel then, you can go straight to trending products. We're looking for things that are spiking and popularity in the last six months, obviously, because we want things that are coming into trend for Q4. We can filter by what we're looking for, so we can go straight to e-commerce. We can go straight to pets, for instance. One thing you will notice is that, again, not all the products are gonna be relevant, but this is good because like I mentioned earlier on in the video, we wanna try and separate ourselves from 99% of dropshippers and sell a product that isn't readily available on AliExpress or a similar platform, because if people haven't seen our product before, but we know there's a strong demand for it, then it can only result in massive, massive potential.  That's another one that was sold by Funny Fuzzy, really, really cool product. Weighted stuffed animals, dog hats. All these are easy, relatively straightforward when it comes to sourcing. So if you do wanna stick to that traditional method, then this is still relevant for you. However, I would personally advise staying away from it. Where Exploding Topics also comes, Where Exploding Topics also gives its true value is, so you click on one of these things. It's gonna give you the average monthly sales. It's gonna give you the TikTok views. In fact, let's find a better product.  So it gives you search volumes by month, how many people are looking for it. If it can find it, it'll give you the amount of TikTok views as well. So if you see something ridiculous in there like 10 billion, then you know it's pretty saturated on that platform.  So you can see just what platforms a product is popular on. So when you discover a product that's super, super popular, for instance, I showed, in fact, to go down to the dashboard because I'm tracking it at the moment. A few heated slippers. So ignore the minus 61% and that's because we're not quite at the peak of this. Spike, yeah, as we can see, the peak is in December time. Winter time, it's fairly straightforward, common sense. Heated slippers are gonna be popular when the weather's cold. But what we can see here, look, is super, super popular products. People 100% want and are looking for this thing. But at the moment, it's relatively unheard of on TikTok, on YouTube, on Instagram, on Twitter, or X, or Facebook. It's super popular on Pinterest, but not so popular on these other platforms. So that would beg the question. There's obviously a gap in the market there to be one of the first people then to advertise this product on one of those platforms. So they're the three product research methods that I use. I was gonna say daily basis, but that's probably a lie. It's more so on a weekly basis. So let's jump into the products ideas I wanna show you. So all of these are vetted, like they're all pretty well established. They have a significant amount of comments and engagements. I have checked the comments as well to make sure that one people are buying these products. And number two is also relevant. It's working right now as well. So yes, some of these are 20 odd weeks, as you can see. But just to prove it, if we go to newest, we can see from a couple of days ago.  So this will be the comments other people find interesting and they're usually the people who have said they've ordered this thing and then kind of left a review of their experience. So what we're looking for is a couple of things intent, I'm not gonna spend too much on this because I do every single week as product ideas, like this where I go into a bit more detail, show you a supplier, Shopify stores, everything. But here we go straight away. So Kathy, at least Matt's a wonderful wife too and we'll be getting another soon. So nobody can argue, hopefully nobody can argue watching this video that this person has bought this product and therefore there must be somewhat of a market for it. That combined with the level of engagements, comments, shares and what other people are saying in terms of intent. And I think it's pretty safe to say people are buying this thing. So that's product number one. I think it's super relevant not just because of Q4 but because it's cold as well or not just because of Christmas I should have said but because it's cold and it's wet, it protects your floors. It's a great place for kids to play when they open all their toys on Christmas time that sort of thing. Moving on to product number two. This is a brilliant, brilliant toy. Anxiety and dogs go to Google Trends and search dog anxiety. It is increasing, has been increasing for many, many years now. Products like this help with dogs anxiety. I'd be surprised. So mental stimulation reduces boredom, destructive behavior. It's the sort of thing as you can see keeps your dog occupied for a long time. Perfect for if you go out or if you're cooking Christmas dinner and you need to get your dog out of the kitchen for an hour or so so you can get on with what you need to do. Just a brilliant, brilliant product in my opinion. And again, this is backed up by what people are saying about it. 3.9,000 comments, 2.8,000 shares and 12,000 reactions. Then we have this product here. So this one is actually branded as you can see if you look at the logo and then the logo on the set. The reason I wanted to feature this one what's also weird about this perhaps somebody watching this will know why but I can only look at the oldest comments and not the newest one. That's the first time I've ever seen that. So 3.75 comments, 1.4,000 shares, 6.8,000 reactions. It's basically like a magnetic miniature screwdriver set. Super cool, super handy to be honest for anybody to just kind of keep around the house. The sort of thing that people would buy their husband and this is also backed up in the comments section. So again, ignore the dates. Well, kind of don't ignore the dates actually. So I want three sets of Christmas, please. It's Christmas coming up now. If people want it for Christmas last year, they're probably gonna want it for Christmas this year. People's buying behaviors, consumers behaviors don't really change that much. So as I was saying, roof, I bought one for my husband and he loves it. Have one, brilliant. Got one for my hubby last year. I got two of these, one for the house and one for the trike just because I'm finally tall for me. So as you can see, it's like the perfect, I have this and I love it. It's another cool stocking stuff that I was just about to say. It's like the perfect kind of stocking filler for a person to get their partner at Christmas time. Definitely, definitely, definitely think you're onto a winner with this product. Then we have these looks. So these are basically insulated leggings but they look like tights. I'm not an expert in this field by any stretch of imagination but to me that's what they look like and again, people seem to really like them. They look really, really popular. We can see from the comments that they're very recent as well, so two and a 1,000, 2,000 shares, 24,000 reactions. Let's go for newest so you can see. So 29 minutes, 50 minutes, five days, one hour. So quite a few comments all within the last hour. So again, that just kind of goes to show. People are buying these things. It's pretty self-explanatory, it's common sense. It's winter time, it's cold. People want to go out and still look good. People want to go out and still wear leggings or still wear tights when they're doing whatever they're doing and these products but this product allows people to do that. It's a no-brainer, a brilliant, brilliant product. This will also sell well into Q1 as well. This is not just a Christmas product, this is a cold product. And in the UK it's gonna be cold now probably for the next six months. So you've got yourself a winning product here for at least the next six months. Moving on to the fifth and final product. If you've stuck this far, I really do appreciate it. Make sure you go and grab yourself a copy of this 127 trending products ideas. If you liked the products I've shown you today then you will definitely like this list so make sure you go grab a copy of that. So this is basically a custom printed, designed, engraved, whatever you want to call it, key chain. It's in the pet niche. It's just the perfect, perfect products because pet stuff sells really well on Facebook. Things that spark some sort of emotional reaction as we can see here on camera always sell well on Facebook. It combines two of the most kind of powerful marketing, not strategies but elements. That's a better word to use, elements when it comes to selling things on a social media platform. So 7,000 reactions, 400 comments, 1,000 shares. This is an Italian company. Sort of be worth looking at if there's anyone doing it in the U.K., in the U.S. Cause if there's not then there's a massive opportunity for this. If a pet product works in Italy, it will work in the U.K. or work in Canada or work in Australia. And of course it will work in the U.S. So definitely, definitely something to consider. The only thing with this will be of course being able to find a supplier but who knows you may live near to somebody who will be able to do this for you. And so with that being said then guys, that's the video for today. If you stuck this far, I really do appreciate it. If there's anything I can help you guys with, just leave a comment down below.  Let's have an awesome, awesome Q4. And like I said, if there's anything I can do to help you do that besides getting a copy of this, of course, 127 product ideas, then make sure you let me know. Thanks guys and I'll see you in the next one.


And to other parts of Africa, now Tunisia's judiciary has ordered the release of opposition leader Nabil Karoui six months after his arrest on financial corruption and tax evasion charges. Karoui has been on hunger strikes since June the 5th to protest his prolonged incarceration. The court appears to have considered that Karoui, who is 57, a leader of the Kaleeb Torrance Party, a member of the government coalition, had spent more time in pre-trial detention than the maximum allowed by law. Now founder of Tunisia's main private channel, Nesmar TV, which is partly owned by Silvio Belisconi, Karoui has been persecuted since 2017 in the case of money laundering and tax fraud. Arrested in 2019, he had then spent more than a month in prison in the middle of the election campaign, which had led to fears of crackdown. After his release, he was arrested again last December. Karoui, whose campaign for the presidential election was focused on anti-Islamism and the fight against poverty, was largely defeated by Qaiz Said and academic and new tier politics against the backdrop of rejection of the elites in power since the 2011 revolution.


This is Alex again, and it occurred to me that I've been using this funny little tool that you might be interested in This is a scribe You can buy these at your local hardware store for I don't know. It's was maybe eight dollars maybe less The interesting thing about this particular one is it has a let's see if we can make very dirty hands Give you a close-up of the tip which is replaceable, but that little tip is carbide so They do make these I think with like fancy diamond Pens but kind of goes together like a Mechanical pencil now. Why would you want such a thing? Well? when you're working with The type of metal that we make picks and tensors and stuff out of spring steel You're working with a steel that is very hard So for example here is my trusty craftsman screwdriver, and this is a tensor It's made out of a a leaf spring of some kind and you can see At best I am able to Rub some of the oxidation off of that. This is made out of a piece of Spring steel or blue steel Shim stock and you can't you can't even make a mark all it does is rub the rough all it does is barely rub the rust off So let's see if we get a better. Oh, there we go In the shiny light, but you can see no mark. So when you're working these things and you want to maybe make a mark To trace an outline of something For when you're going to go mill it See we can get that in the sunlight a little better. There we go Look at the pretty sunlight You need something that can actually cut the steel I'm not going to do it on that because I like that pick I'm going to do it on this piece of metal because I don't really care about it so much But let's say I wanted to cut a little, you know Short hook on here or something I can come in with this scribe And Scribe a line Okay, it's very sharp and very fine Okay, and if you can see that and that's actually That's actually etching the metal you can feel it And if you don't if it doesn't etch enough you can go over it again I think this may be a little bit dull so I need to Sharpen it on a diamond stone that will dull a little bit, but you can see that you can see how shiny the Cut is in there. So that's definitely making a mark that will stay even after you get it dirty And you know Sharpie will run off and stuff like that So pretty handy also makes a good pointer in your videos and you're pointing at stuff And then it has on the other end of it a rare earth magnet which is pretty strong and It's good for picking up parts that you may have dropped, but it's also great for testing You know your various things that are laying around or parts of your lock to see if they're made out of steel So for example on this Multi-lock which we looked at last week. I was talking about Hardened steel pins in here. I never proved to you that they're hard and steel, but you can see the body of the lock is Not ferrous probably brass or something, but if I hold the magnet up to that pin there You can see that it sticks. So that's a steel pin and that's a steel pin So when I'm taking things apart I sometimes like to see what they made out of steel and what they didn't and That's kind of neat, but the scribe very useful Makes a very sharp line if you put a ruler down or straight edge you can just get right in there and make a perfectly straight line and if it gets dull you just take a little diamond stone and Just gently brush it and it'll get it back to sharp and again. This is probably not the best one on the market, but it does the job and I Know maybe eight dollars at the local hardware store. So I would pick one up if you do any metal working cool thing to have Anyway, just another Lock smithing general metal working related tip for you This is Alex have fun and stay legal. Bye. Bye


It's day one. I've said that about a thousand times in the last few months. Day one, day one, there's day one, there's day one, there's, and I've also been saying that it's always day one. So yeah, it's day one. Let's start the episode. So it being the third of February, 2020, a Monday, it's day one for me today because I meant to be at school. I meant to be teaching. I meant to be a full-time employee at a high school, teaching the kids mathematics, teaching the kids value. But instead I chose to do it from home, not teach mathematics, but give the kids value and anybody else that's listening for now. And what I did today was manage to just completely declutter everything from my computer and also from yesterday because I did a wedding and my room. Let's have a look at the next version of Sev's office. All right, excuse the mess, but it is actually the best it's ever looked so far. I've got the light up there to illuminate my face. You may not hear me, so let's just turn up the volume. If you want a tutorial on how I did that, let me know. Anyway, so we've got the setting really. So we've got my laptop sitting on a desk razor thing and it's sitting on another desk razor thing. All the way to the max. I've also got this metal rig here sitting on a second monitor. I've also got the Blue Yeti mic that I've just purchased a few more things for, which will be coming in the next few days. I've also got a eye-can monitor. You can barely see it because it's black, but it's for the camera when I'm doing the selfies and I can look at myself like, yeah, I look good. But yeah, I've got my box, my full box there. So all the camera gear sits on there. I've got one camera. Obviously there's a spot for my other camera, which I'm using here. And then my lenses and stuff. And then, yeah, apologize for the darkness. Let's turn this slide on and see if it makes a difference. Got some inspirational stuff there. This is my couch for all my podcasts and TikTok stuff. My calendar that needs to be, let's be honest, a little bit more full. And I've got my kind of Sev cabinet. I'm gonna call it all my stuff in there. It's my university degree. Cool flex bro. And some guitars, rug, some extra space. Something that I tried before that didn't work. I need a fix in a second. And yeah, that's the whole tour. But wait, there's more. So what we're gonna do next is we're going to also upgrade this gym area here. And what I mean by upgrade is I mean, change it. So I'm gonna grab all of this stuff here and sell it. Get rid of it. Personal training is done in the household. I'm gonna move it to a gym space that I'm gonna work with a few friends there. So all the stuff here is going to go in the next week.  And this is all gonna turn into a studio next to my office. So that's gonna be the creative space. I'm gonna see what happens and what I can do with that. And that's gonna be good. All right. Okay, so obviously the studio isn't maybe the best studio you've ever seen from a YouTuber. It's weird calling myself a YouTuber as well, by the way. And it's not the last version of it. This is probably version two now, officially version two of my studio. And what I've really done is just tidy it up, to be honest. So version two slash version 1.2, tidy up version. But yeah, you're gonna see the real version next week. That all done up and not done up, but progressively changing. And yeah, more to come with that. So things to think about for February. So last month, I've been talking about it a lot on my podcast, which is the Life of Sev podcast. I'm gonna change the name again, because it can't make up on my mind. From my TikTok Creators podcast back to the Life of Sev, because this is more about me. And now I'm going to maybe infuse the TikTok Creators as a part of my show, because it is the Life of Sev, and I'm a TikTok creator. I've got a few followers, and I have other TikTok Creators on my show. So yeah, I think I might go back and change it. And then also maybe make it Gary V. Esk in a little different podcast, sorry, social media logos. Anyway, so January, it's been a rough ride. It's also been a very successful ride so far. It's been probably the best January I've had in terms of my, as a business person, as a career person. So the wedding stuff is going well, and I'm enjoying it, which is important. So the next bit though, I'm gonna be honest right now and say that I'm not at my full capacity yet. And whether or not I'm gonna be at my full capacity ever, well, it just goes back to the first thing I've said about this very specific episode, it's day one. So if it's forever day one, I don't think I'll ever be at my maximum capacity. It's always an improvement. There's no such thing as perfection, only improvement. So what have you improved, or what can you improve on? There's always something, nobody's perfect. Anyway, that's January sorted. And now let's have a look at February. So February, I've got a couple of weddings booked. So they're going good, and I am trying to make payback with myself and with school still in the mix and for me to grab relief whenever I can, whenever I want to. I don't think I want to, but probably more I can. Like, hey, I'm available these days with my school. That would be, that's a really cool thing to have. It's like a little safety net in a way, but I don't want it to be, I want it to be like, okay, I've got a free day, I can go teach. I'm gonna do something different today. So that's what I'm gonna be thinking about doing. Whether or not that happens in February, I'm not sure, most likely not. However, there are cases where it's, who knows what can happen, it's unpredictable. But yeah, the rest of February is all about making sure that I improve on last month, first and foremost, and also just being real with myself and not making, not pretty much giving myself too much work or expectations of work so that if I do fail, I'm not too down on myself. It's like, okay, I'm gonna try this today, I'm gonna move up to this today. And that's really the evaluation I've made in January. Next up, also, with the TikTok thing, I'm not really making as many videos as I used to. And I'm saying like, I'm not making five to nine to 10 videos a day anymore. I'm going down to about two or three a day, mainly because I'm gonna do other things as well. However, that kick may come back, because some days I just feel super creative and bang out like 10 videos. So I'm gonna disperse them a little bit more, spread out throughout the day from now on as well, because I just wanna experiment with some things. Also the YouTube stuff, well here we go, I'm recording it and I'm really aiming to make a few more videos this week. I'm keeping myself accountable and it's really important for the kids as well. So bang out a year nine, year 10, 11 and 12. Great video for surviving a high school guide on my YouTube channel that's sort of kicking off. And then also going into the Adelwoods University, a few people that have requested it. Also I'm going to go back to my old footage that I promised that I would put up and actually put it up, so more TikTok content for that and a few other ideas with a few friends that I'm really super excited to do. And yeah, that's really it. That's my monologue for today's episode. It's really more of a vlog in-house. I haven't gone anywhere. I'm not really too fancy with my vlogs yet. Creative side of me is on TikTok and Instagram with my photography, my vlogs, I'm more my roar. This is what I am. This is uncut, unscripted. I don't have anything around me or written in here. And you know, sometimes I may jumble up my words and cut it a little bit, but I don't really have time to read through it or listen through it. See, I made a mistake. That's still being a show. But yeah, I don't have time and just go through it. But I do want to get better at communicating and pretty much giving you the dot points. I don't want to keep rambling on. I want you to be like, oh, this is interesting. I'm going to keep watching it and see what I say. Yeah, that's it. That is it. If you want to hear more from me, I'll obviously go check out my TikTok, I livestream as many times as I can per week. I will bring that up as well. You can ask me any questions on Instagram, at surfspics and on TikTok, oh, sorry, Snapchat, at surfspics. And yeah, go help out my channels, go have a look, check it out, whatever you want. And yeah, have a good day. And until then, I'll leave you with this one note. And that is shouting out to all of the students, all of the people that are going into school, that are learning, or that have anything that they're stuck on. It's 2020, you should Google it.  That's it. That's all I want you to do. Hashtag, no excuses. Until then, have a good day. It's always day one. Oh, I apologize. And as always, good thanks.


The signature characteristics of many personality disorders can be quite unpleasant, such as the case of narcissistic personality disorder. Interacting with an MPD sufferer can be confusing, frustrating, and even hurtful. The MPD individual will often overlook or ignore many of these traits that make them unlikable. Here are nine signs which may be a result of narcissism. 1. Instead of listening, they're wrapped up in their own opinion. Ever felt looked down upon or ignored, even though that person was in no position to do so? You might have encountered a sign of narcissism. Their perception leads them to believe what you have to say isn't important, so they blanket out. Rather than actively listening and integrating in discussions, they treat all conversations as a platform to present their ideas only, which they think are the only ideas worth listening to. 2. They tend to cheat in relationships. Narcissists feel they're treasures that are too good for anyone. Bring this attitude into a relationship and you have lightning waiting to strike. Cheating is often a way for narcissists to build their ego. Another Catarina Valentini at Psychology Today says that narcissists are incapable of forming any kind of normal relationship and will wreak havoc in partners' lives. Betraying someone and leaving them in great grief gives a narcissist a rush of power. 3. They constantly need to be admired. If you've seen a narcissist, maybe you've seen that they almost swagger, oozing conceit and arrogance with every breath. They may look like they possess tremendous confidence, but it's not enough. They need constant admiration. The delusion of always being entitled to admiration is why people around them often find themselves emotionally drained. To them, there's no greater rush than being put on a pedestal and worshipped by their fans and followers. 4. They do not take any criticism well. Have you ever commented on something someone said and they lashed out at you? Maybe the reaction was more hostile than expected. They think they're superior to others around them and believe themselves to be infallible. They react poorly, maybe yelling, throwing a tantrum, or with another unreasonable response when they perceive what you've said might be criticism. 5. They exploit others without guilt or shame. Narcissism and empathy don't go hand in hand. Narcissists are unwilling to see the world from the perspective of others. As a result, they're able to exploit others without any feeling of remorse. They can manipulate people to fulfill their own needs without regard for the consequences that their actions may have on others. 6. They belittle others. The narcissist thinks they're the best and brightest so seeing proof that dictates otherwise like someone who is more talented than they are at a particular activity is a rude shock. The response is to make sure that the person is below them where the narcissist feels most others belong. They try to be dismissive about the other person to show that they don't really even care about them and if that doesn't work, they resort to personal attacks. They belittle and intimidate the other person in order to assert the superiority over them. 7. They see themselves as more attractive than they really are. Despite the fact that everyone should feel attractive, there's a fine line between a healthy self-image and being delusional. This line is often crossed by narcissists who believe that they are exceptionally attractive regardless of having any imperfections. The narcissist uses this perceived superior attractiveness to justify to themselves why they're too good for everyone. 8. They gaslight those who are dear to them. Have you ever noticed feeling that you can't remember anything correctly around a specific person?  That's due to gaslighting. A tactic narcissists use in order to manipulate and gain power and control over those around them. Gaslighting is frightening because it's insidious. The manipulation is lengthy and gradual, so the victim doesn't notice it happening, like when you grow taller. The end result of the long-term gradual manipulation is the devastation of the victim. It can reduce the most healthy, confident person down to being a shaking, paranoid shell. The victim no longer believes they know what's real, so they adopt the reality of the abuser, giving the narcissist full control. 9. They put SOME people on pedestals. Our last sign seems oddly contradictory to the other signs, but it is very logical and here's why. Narcissists believe that they have to have perfection in everything, including people they associate with. A narcissist will often cozy up to someone higher in status, believing that the perfection will somewhat rub onto them. For example, that suck-up-in class who always gets the lecturer's full attention, or the brown-noser at work who barely does any work but gets promotions? Do you, or does anyone you know, show these signs of narcissism? Tell us which sign or signs you find most helpful and why in the comments below. Don't forget to share this video with someone who might benefit from it. Click on the subscribe button for more videos on psychology and mental health. As always, thank you for watching.


It's making me play in different ways. You know what I mean?  Default rock. But this, there's so much in it that, like, even in the pedals, they sound great.