We're now going to take a look at the methods that you can use to determine the convective heat transfer coefficient on two bundles. So the equation that we're going to be looking at is one that enables us to determine the average heat transfer over the entire bundle. So this is an equation that is derived from empirical data, so from experiments, and there are a couple of things to note. First of all, this equation applies when you have 20 or more tubes that are in the parallel to flow direction. If you have fewer than those, if you have fewer than 20, then you have to apply a correction factor. Another one is that it applies over a range of prantle numbers going from 0.7 up to about 500, and the last one is the Reynolds number applies over a certain range, and in a moment we'll talk about what RED max refers to, but it's from 10 up to 2 times 10 to the 6 is the range of Reynolds numbers that this correlation applies for. Okay, so looking at this equation, we have C and N, and these we can obtain from tables, and the values are going to depend upon a number of different things. One, it's going to be on the configuration, whether or not we have staggered or an aligned tube bundle, which we saw in the previous segment. It will depend upon the spacing between the tubes in either the normal to the flow direction or parallel to the flow direction, and it will also depend upon the diameter of the tubes themselves. And in the equation, we can also see we have Reynolds number based on diameter at max, and what that is referring to is Reynolds number based on diameter evaluated at the maximum velocity, and I'll be going through that in the next segment. I won't go into details about what the maximum velocity is right now, but essentially we'll come up with a method by which we can determine the maximum velocity going through our tube bundles. So with this equation, there are a couple of other things. We'll note that here the Prandtl number is being evaluated at the wall temperature, that's what the subscript W denotes. The other properties in this equation are evaluated at the average between the inlet and the outlet to the tube bundle. Okay, so with that, let's take a look at what is going on within our tube bundle, because you might be wondering if you don't know the outlet temperature for example, how are you going to evaluate the properties? So let's take a look at geometrically what is going on when there is flow coming across our tube bundle. So what we're showing here is a tube bundle that is in the align configuration, and I'm just going to say there's some arbitrary number of rows in the streamwise direction. One thing that we do know here, we'll say that we know the velocity coming in, and we will call that U infinity. The other thing we're going to say is that the temperature of the flow coming in, the inlet flow to the tube bundle, is equal to T infinity or T free stream. The wall temperature, what we're going to do is we're going to make an assumption that the wall temperature of all of the tubes is the same temperature. Now that's a bit of an approximation, however, and sometimes you may have something where you have fluid going through a phase change, such as a condensing unit. And in that case, that would be a fair approximation to say that the fluid on the inside of the tube bundle was all at the same temperature. So that's the wall temperature. Another thing that we will say, and we saw this in the previous segment, the spacing between the tubes themselves, going from centerline to centerline, will be S subscript N, denoting normal direction to the flow. And the final thing is the diameter of each of our tubes is a little D. And then what we have on the back side of the tube bundle, where the flow is emerging, it will have gone through a change in temperature, either a higher or a lower temperature. And two more things that we will denote are capital N with the subscript N, that denotes the number of tubes in a row. And capital N is the total number of tubes in the bundle. Okay. So if you recall from the previous slide, what we said is that we want to evaluate the properties at this temperature, T i plus T outer divided by two. Well, usually you're going to know the temperature coming in. But quite often you're not going to know the temperature of the fluid leaving the tube bundle. And consequently, what we need to do, we need to go through an iterative process. And so solving problems with two bundles can be a little bit on the laborious side, because you have to go through a couple of iterations. But the first place to start, if you do not know the temperature of the fluid leaving, what I would recommend is you begin by evaluating properties at the inlet temperature, if you know that. And then what you can do is you can go back to the correlation equation, assuming you know how to determine umax, which we will be doing in the next segment. You use this equation here to come up with an expression for h bar. So that will be the average convective heat transfer coefficient within our two bundle. And then I'm going to give you an equation that will enable you to estimate the fluid temperature leaving the two bundle. Okay, so using this equation here, what we can do, we know most of the information on the right. Well, it's going to depend upon the problem. But what we're after, we're after this. And so we can determine the temperature of the fluid leaving. And then what we're going to do, we're going to use a thing called the log mean temperature difference. And we will see this when we look at heat exchangers later on in the course. But for now, I'll just give you the equation and we'll work with that. So that there is the log mean temperature difference. And what we then do is we use the LMTD, log mean temperature difference. Sometimes you'll see this expressed as LMTD, depending upon the book. But then what we do is we use that to determine the total heat transfer. And so the total heat transfer, I'm going to do heat transfer per unit length, is going to be using Newton's Law of Cooling, that is the average convective heat transfer coefficient for the tube bundle, all of the tubes, times the area. Now it's going to be area divided by the length, because we're doing heat transfer per unit length. That's going to be the total number of tubes times pi times d. So the circumference, then you'd normally multiply it by the length of the tube bundle itself. But we've brought that over to the left hand side of the equation to give us heat transfer per unit length, or watts per meter. And then we will have delta Tlm for the log mean temperature difference. And so with these equations here, the first one is to estimate T0. And once we have T0 or the outlet temperature, we can evaluate the LMTD. And then we can get the heat transfer. And so with this, what we can do is we can go through an iterative procedure. And we would then be able to go through a step by step. And once you determine a T0, at this point, you could go back and you could reevaluate the properties, again at the average of Ti plus T0 divided by 2. And if you go through a couple of iterations, it should converge relatively quickly. Other thing to notice in the denominator here, I'm evaluating these properties at the free stream temperature conditions, so the inlet temperature that we have coming into our tube bundle. And that, the C essentially is just mass flux. On the bottom here, that's m dot C sub p. It's not quite m dot because I don't have the length in there. And then on the top here, that is basically Newton's law of cooling. We have the area times H. So that's H bar times A. And that just relates to the way that this approximation is formulated. But anyways, those are the equations that you can use to solve for heat transfer in a tube bundle. Another thing to note is there are different correlations. I've shown you this one here. But there are different correlations that exist. And you're free to use whatever you can find for this. The one that we're looking at here does work, but there are restrictions. And also remember that if you have fewer than 20 tubes going in the flow direction, you have to apply a correction. And you would get that from a table that would be in your heat transfer textbook.


Democrats, Republicans, struggle hard against each other in the US. While President Joe Biden and his predecessor Donald Trump are preparing for a possible rematch in 2024, a new poll finds a notable lack of enthusiasm within the parties for either man as his party's leader and a clear opening for new standard bearers. About a third of both Democrats and Republicans are unsure of who they want leading their party, according to the poll from the Associated Press NORC Center for Public Affairs Research. No single Democrat captivates significant support when asked who should be their party's leader. Instead, Democrats sprinkle their retention across more than a dozen politicians, yet they also feel more hopeful than dejected about their party. Some Republicans, meanwhile, coalesce around a couple of individuals, Trump included. But a majority remain uncommitted to him despite his grip on the party, and the Republicans have grown somewhat more pessimistic about the GOP's future. The findings reflect a deep sense of uncertainty about the future of the nation's political parties, and the challenges both face in tethering their frayed and perhaps disenchanted coalitions. For Democrats, it's another warning sign about the depth of Biden's support amid concerns about nominating someone who would be 86 at the end of a second term. Despite his status as an incumbent president who has accomplished many of the party's long-sought priorities, fewer than half of Democrats 41% identify Biden as the current leader of the party in an open-ended question. Just 12% said they want Biden in the role. By contrast, among Republicans, 22% named Florida Governor Ron DeSantis and 20% named Trump as the individual they want to lead the party.


Okay, very good morning. It's just gone through seven o'clock here on Thursday 21st of January. Hope you're doing well For any of those who didn't or haven't not yet seen it We had a really fantastic masterclass session with Hanny Redder of Pine Bridge investments yesterday He gave a fantastic kind of open Q&A about his kind of structure and approach to Kind of how he defines his macro strategy with his team So some really great insights there. So do check that out on the Amplify live portal when you have time but otherwise, let's get straight into it and talk about the markets this morning and Yeah, all-time highs right on cue of course for Biden's inauguration All three major indices Continuing that that higher close and Wall Street we had last night our performance once again in the NASDAQ was up 2.3% compared to to the Dow up just point eight and the S&P up just one point four percent Kind of two points on that. I would say one is is that stimulus? with the vaccine rollout and then all the rights kind of influential members in the right positions i.e That being Biden at the helm supported by yelling at the Treasury and power of the feds just got people feeling Pretty bullish as I was kind of saying in yesterday's briefing the idea here being it's almost like a subtle Goldilocks scenario, which is something we've a word that's banded about a lot in in recent years particularly under Under Yellen's leadership and it's this idea that you know rates aren't going to change Realistically in the US anytime soon and as we were discussing a few weeks ago. I did feel like the taper Word going around was a little bit premature and that's kind of fallen away quite quickly but if They do go big Then obviously that's a bullish factor on the fiscal side supported by And an accommodative kind of environment from the central bank being supportive of that And then the other thing is of course the second point the idea that the Senate is so wafer thin in terms of the majority that the That the Democrats have that they can't really be much in the way of probably Substantial policy change and therefore then you know things like severe regulation on antitrust on big big tech and things like that Is is a lesser likely to be so severe and so again It's like a perfect storm and and hence the reason why I think explains a lot of the moves that we were seeing yesterday With the breakout of course technically through the previous all-time highs, so overnight the Asia Pact session We kind of followed that through So stock indices Marginally higher again going to the European open and whatever the market moves like this It's not too surprising to see it at least at some point a degree of Consolidation perhaps before then we see the next kind of move So here we've had a little bit of a pullback from the initial overnight Asia Pact highs So just responding to the late Wall Street top that we saw in the futures market here looking at the S&P And just finding a bit of a flaw this morning European sessions So it's interesting to see now do we just hold and consolidate around that until the US come back in yet long term? It seems like an inevitable push now up to 3900 Whether or not we got that the the shorter term pullback And if we've already seen that entry point then to re-challenge those highs and push on up to the R1 and above or even If we pull back lower further down to say the 42 area Ultimately, I think this market is going higher from a directional bias So the other indices have followed suit in the futures note the NASDAQ find a little bit of short-term resistance around this R1 But yeah elsewhere oil markets Pretty flat bit of a recovery after as you can see here This red candlestick saw a bit of a dip on the API inventories last night So just quickly the number there was a headline build of 2.5 million Expectations were for a drawdown of 2.5 million Do note that cushion was a draw of 4.3 million gasoline There was a bill that 1.1 million so net net there wasn't any sustainable reaction to those APIs last night Despite the slight breakdown in price that we have we've recovered. We're pretty much scratched from where we were So I think those inventories are a bit of a mute point to be honest T notes pretty uninteresting this morning a quick look at gold Well actually before sticking on the commodities with oil although those API is a little bit uninteresting worth keeping an eye I think on the on higher or bigger picture of things this trend line that comes in from the peak that we had on the 13th to the 14th and What confided the upside price action from yesterday bearing in mind? We've got the DOE's coming up later So be looking probably around a kind of price framework of operating around here and Obviously if we came back up to those levels Here would be an interesting way to look at the broader range for the crude market today It turns off commodities as said looking at gold Yeah decent decent push yesterday, of course after the initial dip and again just responding down on the bounce to an Area of technical support and then Continuation of that push up does come as the dollar continues to remain weak and that will lead us into the currency pairs The Dixie down this morning two tenths of 1% again that kind of feeds that narrative of what we've just discussed of what's chiefly supporting the Equity market as well with the idea that you know if any stimulus does come it is not going to be supported by Any further tightening of federal policy anytime soon, so we're gold On the daily continuation. This was an area. We were looking at yesterday kind of two areas here I'll put a rectangle First off, which is these ellipses here. I've got an August low some previous other points of support and resistance I thought just given the severity of the push up. This is the blue line through the 50 DMA Then I'd be looking for a little bit of resistance Which is where we're kind of sat at the moment at around 1874 in the futures Any further push up? I'd be keeping an eye around that level which would come in in today's session around 1890 type of area which would be that descending trend line going back from the peak of activity We saw when we were right up in excess of 2000 back in the summer of this year In those currency markets Cable is at some interesting levels Continues to rally irrespective of the fact that covid situation and death count is particularly harrowing at the moment in the UK hospital tools are still being Severely stressed at this point in time and there's a lot of questions about the effectiveness in the imperial college studies I've seen come out this morning of what this latest national lockdown has actually done, which is in fact very little But nonetheless, I think when it comes to interpreting that news work and update you on some other covid stuff in a moment I think you've just got to focus on what the market's moving on at the moment and unless it is quite definitive where The a new variant emergence that does render those vaccines redundant Which isn't happening at the moment and works being done to safeguard against that or then I don't really see Too much more of an impact that that could have at this point in time all things remaining equals So as much as there's bearish news out there, I think at the moment you've got prevailing dollar weakness That is supporting both major pairs, which are both up this morning Perhaps a little bit out-performance in cable You can see here cable coming up to what is in the last week's worth of price activity a fairly interesting area of resistance It's had a little push-up finding some resistance around R1 in the future. We did have almost like a false break Yeah yesterday of yesterday morning, but if you look on the daily continuation this is a big level for for sterling and And this 137 kind of 13 Does mark the high that we were trading at around sep of 2017 a support area in March 2018 So a push above here does open up the prospects of a further move higher I do think that that will happen whether that's today the coming days or weeks. I do think that we are Going to push higher here. I think that the national lockdown in the UK will get extended Which you would equate to being a negative in terms of general activity Economically in our country, but the idea being here is that so far I think the vaccine program albeit I think they'll miss their initial target for mid-feb is going better because people I guess benchmark it against comparative to Give how well it's being administered elsewhere in the UK has been relatively Good Irrespective again of some other news talking about some of these supercentres They're setting up a actually not viable in terms of location for hundreds of thousands of people around Britain again I think people love to dwell on the negative news at the moment. This mark is moving up and again It's mainly a dollar weaker story Brexit obviously is a Side issue right now. No one's talking about that and neither should they it's not really that important for markets If you're talking about the intraday environment, so so to keep an eye on I guess where we close today this week Could be quite interesting then for the following week And do we start to see then a further kick on and continuation for the time being in sterling? Euro obviously we'll talk about that more later ECB is going to be firmly in the crosshairs for what's probably going to be moving markets later on in terms of press conference with With Christine Lagarde, so let's let's tie through well Let's go through a couple of dip the headlines this morning and not focusing on the inauguration of Biden He has done a number of policy changes. Obviously. I think there's 15 executive orders. He had done yesterday. Some of those Could be quite impactful in terms of the Keystone pipeline change It's going to impact perhaps relationships with Canada short-term But also some of the related pipeline stock names in the US but away from a lot of that I think the main thing now is talking about What the stimulus he's proposed what can he actually get past and how timely is it going to be and Here then was quite interesting development from last night where basically Biden's proposed 1.9 trillion pandemic relief got a skeptical response from two GOP members in the Senate Mitt Romney and Lisa Mikowsky The Senate being 50-50 split Biden would need at least 10 Republicans to speed his plan through the chamber, which seems a very unlikely prospect Alternatively the incoming Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer could use something we spoke about last week called the reconciliation process Which only requires 51 Votes but some parts of stimulus bill are likely to prove particularly difficult if not impossible to qualify under the rules That would capture that process and ultimately as well something that city we're talking about last week is that you know Just inaction in reconciliation as a process is not something you can just roll out time and time again And it might be that when you think about the Biden stimulus plan it's kind of coming in two waves so to speak There's the initial COVID relief one that we know of that's been announced And there's one to come which is the recovery plan which is more infrastructure focus Which ultimately is probably more defining for his presidency and what he'll be looking to do that will be around longer and have arguably then Domestic more longer term payoff than the initial hit of the relief trying to address the Severity of the the current pandemic status. And so does he leave it? You know, does he hold it back that process for perhaps trying to push through things more on the infrastructure side? Which is one of the cornerstones of his his overall administration's policies So yeah a couple things to think about that's not really too much new. I don't think it was too unsurprising that would be the case But something to keep an eye on nonetheless Overnight the Bank of Japan don't really need to talk about this great deal to be honest They left policy unchanged as expected. They took a slightly gloomier view of the current state of the economy They themselves as a country have been having a fairly tough time handling with COVID-19 as with much other areas in the world at the Moment the BOJ concluded that weaker gross at the end of the current fiscal year and government's seamless package announced last month Though would result in a stronger rebound in the year initiated in April so reaction in the end Not really a great deal if anything a little bit of strength Just coming in but probably in part helped by the overall risks Appetite that's been Present across asset classes with the general continuation of the equity move and the positive sentiment from yesterday So look at the dolly in future sitting around support on its S1 at the moment this morning going to COVID Germany and Britain you probably saw yesterday suffered their worst record daily death count and Three other things to be aware of though on the back of this One is that those countries particularly suffering from the new emergence of this this latest variant Definitely then I think it requires vigilance That you've got to keep an eye on these things even though perhaps and they're not having a direct market impact for now at least So this was an interesting article that came out in a telegraph last night just after about half 9 p.m And it was talking about Oxford scientists So obviously Oxford University being the ones that have been working in conjunction with and in collaboration with AstraZeneca That they're preparing a new vaccine version to combat these emerging strains So, you know strategically absolutely make sense They probably have accumulated now given the rapid outbreak of the new variant enough data to be able to try to Already put this into play. I guess the question comes more about Pulling the trigger on the actual manufacturing given the cost implications that that has So I think this that's quite a positive development Prime Minister Boris Johnson is said to be holding pretty intensive talks with the scientists at the moment It seems the most prudent thing to be doing at this point in time, which is let's just not wait for You know continue to accumulate information about whether or not the vaccine is still effective Let's just start preparing and getting things underway now You know one thing that UK arguably has been quite good at is spending a lot of money on these things comparative to some other countries and I think that has and will not just pay dividend but will your results later on down the line So, yeah, that's something to be aware of and it does come on the coattails Of course of yesterday You probably saw that bioNTech and Pfizer vaccine was found to be effective against the COVID-19 variant That was according to a laboratory based study by various different companies So that question again has the has the mutation of the virus rendered these vaccines redundant No, is what these studies would suggest and also there is some degree of preparation Happening already with some of these Oxford scientists. So Yeah, a couple things there The ECB has one of the main events obviously if this week and of today This really is not an event to expect any great deal of action on the actual Policy side of things. So as per usual the ECB is a two-part event You have the actual policy statement and therein lies any changes to policy, but that's unlikely to happen at 1245. So Very unlike December's meeting where they did unveil their latest changes the 1245 sections point You're gonna be pretty boring the press conference really is where it's at and on that note I did to put out a tweet yesterday and I was sharing it with our community I thought it's just kind of really the summer in here of what I'm looking at and that's the press conference What is she gonna say on four key points? I think in focus that not just me But I'm sure all market participants would want to look at and the ones of which I think would create the greater sensitivity and potential market movement. So this is extensions of lockdowns emphasis on on Germany and the Netherlands who have particularly stringent lockdowns even more so in the spring at the moment and Just given the size of their economies and their overall impact then on the the eurozone the pace of rat vaccination rollout Again, some countries have been Faster than others namely France being quite slow the developments in the new variant. Does she have anything to say about these things also? You know things have changed the Georgia Senate seats switch the blue wave These were all new things that we haven't really had her challenged on this yet So I'm quite interested to see whether or not that influences their thinking going forward And then recent political instability, of course in Italy talked yesterday about this not yield but spread control I'm sure she'll be questioned about that as well So these are my this is my checklist of main things I'll be looking out for to monitor that could create potential interests for markets later in the press conference I'll be a 130 of course There is as per usual and I have shared this in the the Amplifier life discord room already the crib sheet It's always worth having this crib sheet. It's incredibly useful when there is policy change given that It's kind of categorized in the four key components of the fine the ECB's policy But as I said this time round, we're not expecting any change here So it's kind of a lesser important on this particular In the context of this meeting specifically Quick look at the calendar then for the rest of the day Overnight we did have some Aussie jobs data. In fact Again, not not a massive deal on the back of that unemployment six point six percent against expected six point seven So no real major reaction to that It's pretty quiet in the UK European morning then until we get into the ECB 1245 the press at 130 that's going to be alongside the weekly jobless claims to remember last week We had a print of 965,000. This was in fact then the highest number since around mid-August which was when we were coming off the back end of the the Sun Belt outbreak of COVID which required more More onerous restrictions which obviously saw jobless accelerate and here we are again Because you know away from the vaccine situation the reality on Main Street is that a lot of industries are still being impacted very much so irrespective of some of the glimmers of hopes with Record rates starting to decelerate slightly in the likes of California and other places in America So this number top end of the range actually is for in excess of a million up at one point one million I guess the main thing that I would say with jobless as much as a breach over one million is symbolic It's a multi-month high. I think you've got to take it into context with there's new stimulus afoot and The reality is is that you know the Fed particularly people like Janet Yellen You know with the Biden stimulus are going to be very conscious of trying to get unemployment back into the As much as possible and be supportive of that. So I think people are would Although the jobless rate can act as a catalyst if near some key technical levels I think people will be happy to take a step back and think of the broader picture that look for the time being we can live Through some of these elevated jobless numbers Without it create creating too much negativity would be my kind of view on it Other than that. Yeah, it's it's it's pretty quiet I mean unless you're a fixed income trader the supply coming out of France and Spain and the UK as well as a Tenure tips auction and the US later, but that's pretty much your your day So I'm gonna leave it at that let you guys get on any questions at all Feel free to leave a comment if you are watching this on YouTube and you've made it through to the end well done But any questions, let me know and please do like and subscribe to the channel and be much appreciated All right. Have a good day. Take care


What's up, everybody? Jayce here for Jaspyscasebrakes.com. Happy new release day, guys. It is 2020, 21, Panini Prism Draft Picks Basketball Hobby Edition, two box break random pack number one. So again, new release, guys. Again, from the new draft class from 2021 and Prism Edition, which is always a fan favorite, of course. So this is a random pack break. So you're guaranteed a pack and guaranteed a hit, I believe. I believe there should be one auto per pack. I want to say. Usually that's what it is. But we'll find out soon right now. So this is 10 spots, guys. First, we will number all the packs, numbers one through ten in the two boxes. Then we will randomize all ten customer names and numbers one through ten.  So yeah, so look for five autographs on average per box. So I think it's one per pack. So this is going to be coming from a sealed fresh case, guys. So let's quickly open it up. We'll just quickly as well just generate like two numbers or something and then from here on out, we'll just randomly grab boxes as we go. As you can see, they have Anthony Edwards and Lamella Ball. Some of the top prospects in here. So there should be 12 boxes total. One, two, three, four, five, six, seven, eight. Let's pretend these are numbered 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16. Actually, sorry, it's 16 boxes. Cool. So let's generate two numbers really quick, guys. Generate two numbers possible that we can use here. One through 16. Let's generate the first number. It is ten. So one, two, three, four, five, six, seven, eight, nine, ten. Let's go one more. Six. One, two, three, four, five, six. Coolio. Let's put these over here to the side, you guys, because I see them on the upper camera. Excuse me. There you go. Here are the two boxes. All right. Now let's quickly open up the boxes and I'll number these. So from this box, it'll be numbers one through five, two, four, four of these boxes here. Sweet. All right, there you go. Now, let's switch scenes. Boom. Here's the dice roller. Here's the ten customer names. Here's the ten numbers, one through ten. Let's roll the dice and we got ourselves a five and a one six times. Good luck. One, two, three, four, five, six, six times. Michael Patrick, we've got the last three and last spot. Samojos right there at the top. Now let's go six times here on the numbers one, two, three, four, five, six, two down to four. So Michael Patrick with two, Matthew, S with eight, Michael Patrick with seven, Matt L with three, D-Porty have nine and five, Matt L with ten, Michael Patrick with six, Tion with one, Michael Patrick with four. So let's actually alphabetize them by customer names and that's how we'll start off the list. And I don't think anybody's gonna want to trade pack numbers, right? So stick with what you got to make it easier for us and the shipping team. We'll already pretty much just have this sorted out for you guys. Cool, yo. And let's print out this sheet as well. All right, I wonder if it seems so quiet. Turn on some background music or background TV. All right, so D-Porter, good luck, man. We're gonna go with nine and five for you. Here's five and nine. Let's put these back over here. Nine and five. Pane Pritcher, Pearl Duck right there, hopefully soon. And you got a Silver Anthony Edwards. I don't think that's gonna play itself pretty decent, right? It's right on the box. And Aaron Nessmith, Arne Smith, I guess. Jayden Wiseman, that's a red to $2.99. Kellyan Hayes, next one. You got a Jayden McDaniels, Crusade Silver. You have a Redemption. You have Nico Manion, Cole Anthony to $1.99. All right, let's see who this Redemption is. They didn't want to sign their autos. Prospect, autographs red, card number 87, Dwayne Sutton. Let me top out all these for you, man. Is the Mellow Redemption, huh? Sorry, I think the Mellow was like the hardest auto to pull in contenders last week or two weeks ago. So maybe he wasn't signed. All right, D Porter, there you go, man. Up next is Matt L. You have packed three and packed 10. Three, 10. Got a Silver, Ashton Haggins, and Christian Doolittle. A little hyper auto. Not number. Got an Anthony Edwards, though, number 37 out of $2.99. You have Ramsey, RJ Hampton, Nico Manion, and the next one. RJ Hampton, Cole Anthony, Silver, and you got O'Meer, autographs out of Georgetown. Marcus Howard, Trey Jones. All right, there you go. All right, thank you, Matt. Next one is Matthew S. Pack eight. RJ Hampton. We got a Silver, RJ Hampton, and Chills, Yoli, Trey Jones, and a Purple, Tyrese Maxie, $2.75. All right, there you go, brother. Next one, Michael Patrick, you got, let's see, you got the last four. Two, seven, six, and four. So two, seven, six, and four. And then Tion, you got to pack one right over here. All right, good luck, man. We got a Silver, Ashton Haggins, and a Kira Lois Jr. Otto, Tyrese Maxie, Isaac Acoro. All right, next one, pack six. Odoka, and at a $75, Braxton Key. That's a nice little blue cracked ice. We got a Pulsar to $49, Ramsey. Some snake skins, that'd be cool. Isaiah Stewart. I still haven't yet to see, like, a Lamelle or nothing. Like, I don't even get opponent contenders. James Weisman-Ruggie. Vernon Carr, Kerry Jr., and out of 10, Ramsey. Gold. There you go, that's not bad. I mean, I don't know how good this guy is. But he's $6,4190 out of Texas Tech. It's a gold out of 10. Killian Hayes. You got Jalen Smith. All right, and your last pack, man. Two. Obi-Tabin and Jordan Bowden. You got Weisman-Color and other stuff, but no autographs now. Jordan Bowden, Robert Woodard Jr., the second, Theo Maladon. We did get a gold, though. I have a 10. That's nice. All right, let me quickly top this for you, buddy, and then we'll go with Theo. So yeah, guys, we have more of this. As you can see, there's 16 boxes in the case, so that would be 12. There's 16 boxes, guys, so we can do it easily. Eight of these breaks, probably. And we will have some of these available for personals as well. So if you want to buy a whole box, round them pack. You can buy a whole box, probably, on jaskies.com, and I'm sure they'll have pick-your-packs as well there. Good color autos, too, as well. All right, thank you, Michael. And the last one here, Teddy's on bogey. Today's technically my day off, but I usually come in on new release days to break early here for a couple hours, depending if it's super busy or just a couple hours ahead of time before jogging. All right, pack one for you, buddy. Good luck. James Wiseman-Roogey. We've got Patrick Williams. And at a 1-4-9, Isaac Acoro. Little blue. Nice color match there with the Auburn colors. We've got Precious, Red to 2.99, and Killian Hayes. Just for breakfast, that's right, bogey. Although I'd never eat breakfast. Just breakfast with Jason. Although nothing was really sold out at the moment, so that's why I got here at, I got at 11 instead of like 10, 9 o'clock. It's a super, super big release day. I mean, sometimes I'm here up to like 6 in the morning. It just depends on how busy we're going to be, but there wasn't nothing too close to selling out, so I figured a couple hours before jogging, it would be perfect. Get the day started. A couple hours, really. I did not have a banana bread today. I didn't have anything, actually. All right, there you go, Tion. Appreciate it, buddy. And there you go, guys. That was person draft picks, hobby, two box break round and pack number one. So number two should be up soon. Appreciate it, guys. Jaspy's Case Breaks.com.


Hello again and I'm happy to be here and to present our Moodle version or Moodle modifications for the Firefighter Association. We are a university, we have a cooperation with some local Firefighter Association and they start to support local Firefighter organizations in the state of Europe, in Germany and they train their members with some online courses and with some quizzes for how to do certain things, how to communicate with certain persons and so on. But they also teach children or smaller Firefighter organizations things about fire safety and to support these small organizations they give some applications to them to organize some events, to give some trainings and so on.  And in the end they decide if this small fire department for children gets some support or even if not. And in the corona time they try to reuse this pre-existing Moodle for their own things, for other things and call us how to modify this Moodle so they can give these applications or manage these applications by their Moodle because many of the people they have don't want to learn new platforms, new things and so on. And therefore they give us some requirements as they want a digital application submission, more or less automatic reviews and some communication with the applicant and sending their approvals to them and billing some submissions and so on and so on and so on. So they all the work process and more or less this is similar to what we have if we have a question for a student filling out some formulas and give some answers to some question of the teacher and in the end give a grade, more or less. So we take or produce a Moodle course and modify it in a slightly way so that they form application form to be used by the firefighters and because they know Moodle though the introduction to this application and the way how to use it and so on was not so much. For technical details the course is or we use one quiz for one applicant for one application and put in some questions to fill in the information of the organization or the person who want some support and to get some custom buildings like the firefighters need we modify the language to the or yes we use the language model for getting some custom buildings and we will later we modify the overview plugin to get some review functionality which is a normal overview plugin doesn't have at the moment. So this is one key and this is one example of such an application and as you see the person can give some some information about the title getting some unique ideas auto-generated get some other information or put in some other information they need and that's it. And for doing all these things we only use short answers or the short answer type from the normal Moodle and sometimes some multiple choice questions. And for grouping all these things we use the description and modify them by some CSS and maybe some kind of HTML. And for instance in this way we have a title put in some text and some in fields and mainly modify the questions by modifying the HTML which is part of the question. And in the last question or the last element of the applicant we put in all our JavaScript code so we can access all the fields and modify what we need for filling out the application. And we do some kind of data input checkings if they are correct, if they are plausible in some ways and so on and so on and also to generate some unique ideas like this one to identify each application over the time. And also some with only fields only for information of the applicant. Yes. And this is a part that the applicant can do and put in all this information and after this the reviewer gets these modified overview plug-in where he can give some some calculations and the upper part in the lower part see all the applications and can give some gradings let's say if he accept this application or give some other values to them or whatever or get in contact with the original other of the applicant. And again now after this he can also give some we trigger some some auto generated application form approval form I mean given with the information of the applicant to move by email to the applicant to get certificate or some kind of approval they have that some kind of money will be given to them. The problem with this all of this is that like typical things in this way it evolves over the time in the first moment they say oh we need a little application with some forms and they're one nothing big but after some days they say no oh we need some more states we need some other things and so on and over the time you get such a more or less big graph and the first time it was only a part in the beginning and yeah so we have to add and add and add more and more functionalities to the system and get it in a more complex way and after all we do the same or similar to the billing because they need to give all the bills to the association and then the association say okay we accept this and this and this and that or not and gives you some money and with this we create a second form in a similar way also have you modified quiz to get all these billing information from the applicant to be processed also in a more or less automatic way similar and modified overview plugin and in the end they get the final approval that they get this kind of money and then they get their money by bank transfer. Okay thanks you for attending and yes now I'm open for questions. I don't want to monopolize the questions but I'm just curious you said you built a lot of this using the quiz module. I wondered why you chose that rather than say something like the questionnaire module which to my mind would be a more natural fit for something taking free form answers like that or was it just not something you considered. In the first moment we get only the information okay we need a little kind of form to put some information in and that's why the most easy way was to produce a quiz to get the information from them and after some time we get more information about what we need this and we need this and so on and so on and so on. And so it evolves over the time let's say and that's why we use this quiz and this structure in this way.


All right, sorry about that y'all. Oh, was it here? That's so weird. We are back. Sorry about that. OBS froze, dangnabbit. OBS froze. Gonna give it a minute, let everyone get back in here. Sorry about that y'all. Does that every now and then. Yeah, right?  Alright, Pete is here. We're gonna go ahead and get started. Sorry about that again, it did freeze.


And then Steve Rhodes what's going on? Just trying to figure out how we got to December so quickly I know and I love a way to see this folks. The first slide he has is freaking awesome, man I mean, I love this slide man It's so true and it's unbelievable that we're in December. There's no doubt I mean in it and folks come on come to Florida. It's beautiful right now It's 82 degrees out outside. It's probably like 85 or 87 where you are. Yeah, you know We've got a little bit of overcast weather today But I think once this clears out, then I think we're good for the next you know like 10 days or so I know this is right October November December January just the just great much and it had to be wonderful down in Al Marana. I think you guys had great weather, right? It was beautiful. It was absolutely every day. So let's look at the slide. That's right This is the first slide now. Look at that thing man Hey, have you ever done that? Have you ever gone out to you know done any climbing and gone out to the edge? Of a cliff and look, you know I'm actually up so in Boston. They had the quarries when we were kids We would jump off the quarries. Okay, the biggest one I ever did probably only like 60 70 feet But there was one of a hundred feet. I never did it, but people do it. Yeah, no, yeah, we would as kids That's who we used to do. Yeah Yeah, I have looked over the edge several times You know, you're like you look down there like whoo, you know make sure you make sure you don't lose your balance That's a fact man So last week it was the markets that we're looking out over the edge and they decided not to jump and by edge I'm referring to the weekly TAS market profiles and it's these green horizontal lines that represent support Those are the bottom of the weekly profile. So profile folks will have a top Which is where sellers reside a bottom which is where buyers are at in the center Which is where buyers and sellers believe there's fair value in between that range out here But here we're just trying to understand Did support hold out there and this has been the buy the dip area since the March 2020 bottom So the ES mini which is in the upper right hand corner Yes, this shows that when price closes below its profile That's that red arrow right out here that that has led to a change in trend But as we take a look at the charts from last week both for the ES mini the Russell 2000 The Dow got really close to the bottom of that profile They decided not to jump over the edge and again We just go back to last year when price did back in February of 2020 when price did close below the bottom profile That suggested a change in trend which moved to lower price and when support when I take a look at support being hit For any time frame Tom, but in this case here, we take a look at a weekly time frame I then like to look for bottom signals on the next shorter time frame So I go from weekly to daily if I was doing a daily I'd be looking at different intraday time frame charts out there. I use a 65-minute chart a 130-minute chart the reason I use those Levels or those numbers are because they are equally divisible into the six and a half hour trading day And I like my candlesticks. I'm looking at to be equal in a time out here But when we go to a weekly chart We then go to the daily to see if there's some kind of a bottom pattern here inside the s&p 500 We were looking at the ES mini the s&p 500 actually formed a Gertley buy pattern and it did it last week It did it on Wednesday. I believe and it did it when it generated this bullish piercing candle And and which which is what we can see here So for me, that's a completed a to b equal CD pattern and the question is where should price a head to well It should head to this little this little green line out there, which is at 46 38 for the s&p 500 That's what I refer to as the oscillator and change line if price able to close above that that suggests a further rally But that's where a counter trend move for the s&p 500 would would go to now that number of 46 38 It's going to change over the over the days as price moves up or down But you can use that as a basic arrange out there and if you listen to the trader's edge show each day You'll see those you'll see those number the Russell 2000 was also testing that weekly test market profile supports again We go and on a weekly basis. We go to the daily time frame chart That's what we're looking at and it completed what I referred to as a TD 9 count and a TD 9 count helps us to identify tops or bottoms in this case here this was the bottom it was confirmed and And this is another pattern that I teach the subscribers you mentioned if you subscribe to the newsletter There's a number of archive workshops and it will teach you about this pattern This is really a great pattern to learn and understand so in this case here We're looking at the Russell 2000 the cash industry it too should bounce up to its oscillator and change line Which when I generated this chart earlier than today Tom was about 22 54 Like the Russell 2000 the Dow also formed a TD 9 count bottom last Wednesday And that's what we're looking at here now the Dow Just look at the futures contract So it should be trading above the 35 169 level as we speak and a close above this So this is where a countertrend rally for the Dow should stop So if it closed back below 35 169 today or thereabouts that would have me a bit concerned If it can close above this level that is telling us that it wants to target the 35 952 area and that is using this TD 9 count system and that identifies for us where price broke down So we've got three of the four that have bottoms and that leaves the NDX 100 is the final index that needs to form a bottom pattern I took this snapshot probably about ten minutes ago and again what I'm looking for here folks Is I've got an a to b equal CD to the downside pattern you can those are by those blue diagonal lines out there But for me in order for the pattern to complete it completes when the cavalry arrives and the cavalry would be Would be defined as seeing some type of bullish reversal candle a bullish engulfing candle a piercing candle a hammer Three River Morning Star. There's a couple others that we would look at so not until that forms will We get all four indices in alignment with each other Price is holding support a level of sport That's the breakout level and again this is the TD 9 count pattern It helps us identify breakout levels and break down levels So price has pulled back to the breakout area and that can be the sign of a bottom Tom But because there's an a to b equal CD to the downside my preference is to wait for that bullish reversal candle The NASDAQ composite on the other hand the larger, you know, the NASDAQ 100 has got 108 Instruments may be inside that the NASDAQ composite at some like 3,500 instruments it completed a TD 9 count So it's telling us that the general Instruments inside the NASDAQ should suggest a rally the NASDAQ composite may be targeting 15 623 So we began our review look at the weekly profiles for upside price targets We can also look to the daily timeframe now These are the equity futures contracts and this will be important for those folks that do track the equity future contract The ES should target the 46 49 level 46 49 is the bottom of its daily profile I'm the center of its bearish structured daily profile in the center of its bearish structured weekly profile So that's going to be a real key level of resistance the end queue should target 16 134 now Don't if we get a bullish reversal candle. That's the real level look 16 134 Tom is the real key level This is a bullish structured profile and when price breaks through that countertrend rallies Typically end at that center level 16 134 that'll be the raker breakpoint as to whether this is just a countertrend rally or not So markets looked over the edge.  You gotta love a two-way market, man Listen folks, it's very easy to get Steve's newsletter come over to our website at TFN You can see right under featured content to hit that button and you are off to the racist So if you have a great one safe one great update look forward to show tomorrow. Thanks, Tom Thanks, man. Have a great one. Stay right there folks. So come right back All right tigers and tigers is that's the end of the video if you learn something or are interested in more fundamental topics to Better hone your investing skills. 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