friends my name is Arpita Karwa and in this video I am going to begin with my discussion on the unit ICT that is Information in Communication Technology. This unit is one of the most important unit of UGC net paper one and we are going to deal with all the subtopics of this unit in this series where I am covering every unit of UGC net paper one on every weekend. So let's begin with our discussion on ICT. If you are somebody who has ever gone through any guidebook of UGC net paper one and flipped through the unit of ICT you must have come across all these terms like hardware, software, memory, computer, computer peripherals, network, internet and after seeing the headings you must be assuming that why is it called ICT why not just call this unit computers or at max IT because IT we all know deals with computer and its parts.  ICT stands for Information and Communication Technology. Now as you can see from the term itself it has got two components IT that is Information Technology and CT that is Communication Technology. So IT Information Technology refers to the use of technology for storing, processing, collecting data. So whenever you are using computer and you are dealing with its parts like hardware, internet all of that comes under IT. On the other hand we have CT Communication Technology which refers to the use of technology for transmitting information, broadcasting media, audio visual processing. So what we are doing the information that we have collected, processed and stored in case of IT we are now broadcasting that information, transmitting that information to the entire world with the use of Communication Technology. So in case of Communication Technology we are dealing with wire or wireless networks, we are dealing with mobile phones, video conferencing and all this stuff. So now when we combine these two definitions what we get is the definition of ICT. So ICT refers to a combination of IT and CT where you are collecting, processing, storing data and also transmitting this data or sharing this data across the globe by the use of networks, internet, telecommunication. So this is what we are going to study in this entire unit of ICT. So let us begin this unit by talking about the first important topic. What is a computer? Now you must be wondering we are not sixth grade students. Why is Arpita going to tell us the definition of a computer? We are not going to write this on the paper. It's a MCQ paper and they'll never ask the definition of a computer. They would because they have. Till now several times in UGC net paper they have given you a question framed in a way like what is the appropriate definition of a computer. They'll give you four options and then you have to select the right one. So this is the reason why it is important for you to know the exact definition of the computer so that you don't mark the wrong answer by assuming that a computer only does this much task. So you must be aware of all what a computer can do and that is the reason why I have discussed in detail what is ICT because a lot of components of ICT also fits into the definition of computer. Just like in this question that I've displayed on the screen, you will find that they have actually taken the definition of ICT, molded it to form this particular question. So let us know what is the definition of a computer. A computer is an electronic device as we all know it cannot function without electricity. It's an electronic device that accepts raw data in form of input, processes it and then show you the final output. So this is the task of a computer. Now this processing involves a set of instructions that is called program. So if in case they ask you what is a program you must know that it is a set of instructions given to a computer so that it can process the raw data. Now most of us believe that computers can either be a PC or a laptop but modern day computers can come in every kind of shape and size. You've seen those barcode scanners that Big Bazaar and other grocery stores use. Those are also a part of computers. Then we have ATM machines. We have gaming consoles like PS3, PS4. We have got smart watches, smart phones. We have smart TVs nowadays. All these come under computers because what they are doing they are actually taking input from us, processing it and then showing us the output.  So you must know what a computer is and what kind of computer systems are popular in today's society so that you get a kickstart into the unit. Now let us look at certain important characteristics of a computer because a lot of times you will find that they have asked you questions based on the characteristics. So make sure you don't skip this part. Now when it comes to characteristics of computer the first one is of course speed. Computer can process millions of information in fraction of seconds. Then we have diligence, we have versatility, we have accuracy, reliability as the characteristics of computer but the most interesting and important one is the power of remembering. A computer can store millions of files and can help us retrieve any information that we want in minutes. Another interesting thing is that computer doesn't have IQ and feeling of its own. So even though it seems like a very very intelligent device it is actually a dumbass device because it cannot work without a human being. A human has to feed instruction and only based on that instruction a computer can function. So a computer even if it seems like a very intelligent and fast device can never fully replace a human being. So if you look at the characteristics of computer you might find questions like these coming in the exam hall. In this kind of question you have to be very very sure about the characteristics because all four points seem like a characteristic but if you look at the characteristics that I just explained in the lecture you will find that I have not mentioned electronic device as a characteristic and therefore A is the wrong option. So you need to be very very clear with the characteristics to get these questions right. We discuss all of these topics and subtopics in detail in my online course. The details of the same you can get from the number displayed there. You can give us a call or whatsapp us we would be happy to help you. Apart from that you can also check out all the video courses of individual units of UGC net paper one available on my android application that is Alpata Karwa learning app. Now that we have covered what is a computer and what are its characteristics let us move on to the next topic. Let us go back to our definition of computer. When I was telling you the definition of computer I told you about two important parts. It accepts the raw information in form of input and then it presents before us the processed information in form of output. So input and output are these two components which we are going to discuss next. Input devices are devices that are used to feed information into the computer. For example we use mouse keyboard to feed information into the computer right. So these are input devices then we have output devices devices on which we actually find the processed data on which the computer actually shows us the output. So if you look at printer or monitor all these are output devices but this seems like a sixth grade question. We all have studied what are input and output devices. We all work on computer systems so we know all of that but then do they even ask questions from this topic? Yes they do but they don't ask you basic questions because they know you are smart enough to answer them. So what they are going to ask you they'll ask you some tricky ones. For example they'll ask you how many keys are there in a keyboard. They might also ask you a question what is the full form of dpi dots per unit which is a term related to printers. So make sure that you study input and output devices in detail. It's not important to just know the names of the input and output devices and these questions which are flashed on screen are questions which have come in last two years in UGC net exam. So make sure you work and find out the important details about the input and output devices. We cover all these important information like ASCI and DPI and other terms related to computers in our online course. So if you want to get animated video lectures for this unit you can go to our website arpathakarva.com find out UGC net paper two courses and go to our website courses.arpathakarva.com and find out paper one courses. Before I end this video I would also like to talk about another important sub point which you must cover in the unit UGC net paper one that is central processing unit. Now what is central processing unit? Heard of CPU that's the full form of CPU central processing unit. So if we go back to our definition of the computer you will see that we have already discussed two parts of the definition that computer takes the input and shows the output. Another process involved in a computer is the processing of the information processing of the data. This is where CPU or central processing unit comes into the scene. CPU is known as the brain of the computer this is where the processing happened. So what do you need to know here from net point of view? Here you need to know two components of CPU. CU that is control unit and ALU that is arithmetic logical unit. These are the two sections of the CPU which deals with different types of work. I would like you to comment below if you know what are the functions involved with CU and what are the functions involved with ALU. And this is a homework for you because only by googling information by getting information from different sources by understanding it you will be able to brush up on your knowledge on this particular subject. So make sure you do your research and put that in the comments below what is CU and what is ALU. So with that note I would like to take your leave it was really fun interacting with you guys again and discussing these fun topics from the unit ICT in front of you. I would be coming up with my next video very soon on this particular topic where we are going to have a detailed discussion on memory of the computer on some numeric questions that come from this particular unit how to convert binary to decimal how to convert decimal to binary. We are going to take care of all these in the next video so stay tuned subscribe to my channel and don't forget to like and share it with your friends. So that's it from my side for this lecture I'll meet you very soon in my next video lecture till the time I meet next happy learning keep loving literature and stay tuned to arpitakarva.com


Good day, fellow investors. I have discussed a little bit about shorts, but today I'm going to talk about why you shouldn't be short. So seven reasons why shorting is dangerous and why you can get burned when shorting. And then you're going to see, okay, is shorting something for me or I should better rebalance my positions, manage my risks by being in cash and stock. So balance between stocks and cash. Let's start with the first reason why you shouldn't go short. So first thing, when you are long, you have time, you have nature, you have economics, you have inflation, you have everything working for you. When you are short, you have time, you have economics, you have nature, you have dividends, you have inflation working against you. And that's the key for going short versus long. Because with short it's all about timing and only good timers can be good shorters because in the long term the market will go up, dividends get reinvested and everything growth, SAP 500 earnings grows, general companies grow, governments grow, countries grow, everything grows and the human race is in its nature is to grow. So if you are short, you're betting against the human race, you're betting against dividends, reinvestment, takeovers, whatever can happen. And that's the first reason it's unnatural to be short and from a long, long statistical view it's not profitable. That's it. So that's number one. If we take a look at the SAP 500 earnings through history they went only, only up and these are inflation adjusted I think. So up, up, up, up and up. Try to be short that. There are times where you see those earnings really decline a lot of them. So you have to have a strategy to take advantage of those dips and that's the key in shorting strategy and timing. Number two why people shouldn't be short is that when you really short a stock the risks are unlimited and the gains are limited. You can only make 100% when you short a stock. Not by buying a put option but by really selling a stock short, by borrowing a stock, selling it on the market, rebuy it and returning it you can only make 100%. However if that stock explodes on the upside you might pay five times what you got when you sold a stock which means unlimited risks, limited gains. Let me show you an example of a short squeeze. The best example of a short squeeze is the 2008 Volkswagen case. In 2008 Porsche owned 31% of the company and they wanted to take it over. They first said that they are not interested in taking it over, they're just holding it to be protected in case that Volkswagen takes over the company. Nevertheless lower section held 20% and index funds had another 6%. 13% of the stock was short and then on October 26 2008 Porsche revealed that the company increased its stake to 43% plus it had options to increase it to 74% thus take over Volkswagen. When you sum things up 74% owned or controlled by Porsche 20% owned by lower Saxony which they would not sell on the market and 30% short makes 107% of the company. This means that those 13% of people that held stocks short they couldn't cover their position in case the stock went up. When Porsche announced that they have increased their stake in Volkswagen then shorts had to run for cover then margin scores came in and they were forced to buy at whatever price. The stock went from 200 in a day to above 900 and this is called a short squeeze. Number three when you are short a stock and the short issue is a dividend you are paying the dividend from your account to the holder of the stock so again as I said dividends work against you but in the long term dividends and inflation work for you if you are long. So again a reason not to be short or at least to do it very smartly. In a recent video about Stanley Druckenmiller I discussed how he was mostly wrong from the macro micro whatever he did in 2017 he was wrong. However he will end up positive single digits which is not good for him. However he will end up positive and that's the key so even if he bets short long he does a lot of things he makes it so that his risks are limited his timing might be wrong but therefore his risks are limited. So you really have to see okay if I'm going short am I managing my risk that's the key and then you compare it to the upside and then you don't have to do anything you don't have to go short all the time and that's what differentiates great traders and amateur traders amateur traders they think they have to trade trade trade trade trade to make money professional traders they know when to trade to take advantage of what's going on and if they are wrong they know how to limit their risks. Number five the situation financial situation in the US is getting normalized the Fed has started to hike rates but in Europe the european central bank is still buying bonds and in Japan the bank of Japan is still buying stocks so if you are short you're going against central banks plain and simple so you have to really be careful to go against people that can just print money and buy assets and inflate asset prices so dangerous to go short in such an environment. In addition to central banks also politicians have an interest in the stock market everything is about stocks higher asset prices much more confidence much more employment much more everything and that's also why Donald Trump tweeted more than 60 times about the stock market since he got elected he might not have anything to do with this but nevertheless he praises himself for having pushed stocks up from 18 500 points to 25 000 points so six trillion in dollars added and he will do whatever it takes to keep the rich richer so it's again a bet against federal banks and Donald Trump. Number six you have to put some collateral and if the people lending you the stock retreat pull their stocks back to sell them or do whatever and the broker cannot find stocks to replace then you're forced to buy in and cover your position which might be at a very higher price so you're not really in control when you are going short. Number seven it takes really a lot of knowledge a lot of time and nerves of steel you really should know what you're doing and whatever happens you should know how to react to that which takes a lot of time and that's why the amateur do-it-yourself investor shouldn't go short because you simply don't have the skills the time and the mindset to do that so very very dangerous. Now I'm looking forward to your comments if I have convinced you not to go short that's good because that's a dangerous game but this will also help you in okay where are the risks in the positions that I'm long so it's not about shorting it's also about managing risk on the long side nevertheless if you are still interested in shorting the next video will be about the mechanicals of going short or buying put options to see what better fits your portfolio because shorting is one thing but hedging might be very very important now so not going short but hedging your portfolio might be the best thing we can do now. Thank you for watching I'll see you in the next video


Well the Independent National Electoral Commission, INXS, its laws did not make it compulsory to transmit the 2023 presidential election result electronically. The electoral body made a position known while responding to a petition that was filed before the presidential election petition court in the FCT by the Action People's Party, that's the APP challenging the outcome of the 2023 presidential election. However, the APP and its petition had challenged the or Progressive Congress APC candidate, Ashiraju Bola Ahmad, to nab his victory of the 20, the February 25th elections on the grounds that the electoral empire failed to transmit the result electronically. Barainek, through one of its lawyers, Abubakar Mamoud, SAIN, insisted that the presidential elections of 2023 was free, fair, insisting that the electoral act does not require the electronic transmission of result. The electoral body also denied the allegation that its officials tampered with the result in order to favor a particular political party or its candidate, and which was, some people described that there was a situation of excess voting. But then to make sense of all of this, we have a legal practitioner who joins us, is a former NBA chairman, Dr. Paul Ebiola. Thank you so much for being part of the show. Dr. Paul Ebiola, if you can hear me, please unmute your device. Oh, okay. Thank you very much. I appreciate your invitation to your station. Yes, please. So let's share your thoughts on this one. You have had the thoughts of INEC. They're saying that the transmission of result was not mandatory. The electronic act did not mandate that result will be transmitted electronically. And so it was more like they had options. However, what do you make of it, especially when the beavers and INEC, it was really a big deal. They constantly said results will be transmitted electronically. There will be real-time checking of results. And I think that was the reason why a lot of people went out to cast their votes. But what do you make of this recent statement by the umpire? Well, okay. Before I comment, I think it is proper to say from record that when a matter is before the court, in the legal parlor, we say that that matter is for Judith. When a matter is for Judith, it means that it is still before the court for trial. And so there is hardly anything much that we can say about such a matter. But down how we stand in, we could also express our opinion as people, not challenging what is in the court or not talking about what precisely is in the court. Now, answering your question directly. Well, it is rather unfortunate to hear this from the umpire that it is not mandatory to transmit results electronically. Well, I know that the Electoral Act, precisely section 148 of that act empowers the commission, of course, to make a regulation guidelines or manuals for the purpose of giving effect to the provisions of the act. And it was on that date that the commission made the regulations and manuals, of course, that guided the 2023 election. Now, if you look at section 50 down to 55 of that regulation, there is an aspect of it that talks about electronic transmission of the result. Now, if you look at section 50 precisely, that talks about the election coalition, result coalition at the polling unit level. At that polling unit level, it is a there are several responsibilities of the coalition officer, rather before the presiding officer. And when law says Shah, Shah means, you know, mandatory, something that is mandatory. The law section 50 paragraph 50 of that regulation talks about the registration area. That is the word coalition officer. Shah, the word Shah here means that it is mandatory that that must be done. Then it leaves quite a number of functions that it must carry out, one of which which is important to work with here, one of which is that electronically transmit or transfer the results directly to the next level of coalition as prescribed by the commission. Now, the commission came out to talk to us even before the election, loud and clear, trying to talk about the integrity of the election or the expected integrity of the election or the 2020, I mean the 2023 election. And it talks about election results being transmitted electronically. So of course, they, I make a several, in fact, like you say, that was the reason why everybody felt this summer round, we're going to have a credible election. We are going to have election of votes that will be counted or that will count. And people came up to exercise the franchise because they believe that their votes will count. That is because the commission had given us the impression, the impression that of course, results were going to be transmitted electronically. Now, and that is backed up by, you know, the law, the regulation made by the commission itself. At the fully unit level, it is expected that electronically, I mean, results be transmitted electronically, then at the local government level, it is also expected that at that level, election, if you look at the, if you go down to 53, regulation 53, where at the local government level, if it talks about the responsibility of the coalition officer at that level, and several of them, it says Sha, several of them, including of course, the aspect of, it says electronically transmit or transfer the results directly to the next level. And that is the state level. We're talking about the presidential election now, and the national assembly election. So all of this, if you go down up to 50 at the various levels of coalition, that is exactly what the law says. So to say at this point that it is on mandatory that results are to be transferred, where to be transmitted electronically, it is something that is, you know, the little thing of a commission as huge as the electoral commission that was the empire of this entire, you know, election. So like I say, it is the matter itself, Judith. I can only look at it on the surface as I am looking at it because these are clear, you know, provisions of the law. And these are not things that one will, at the end of the day, of course, will take their decisions after giving their views and interpretation to the various section, but it will not be completely correct to say that it is not mandatory that the results should be transmitted electronically. When your regulation has stated to, using the word Sha, and apart from that, you have come out to tell the world that elections or other results are going to be transmitted electronically. But then again, you can also take out the fact that also in that paragraph that you have made reference to that of 50 to 55, it talks about the regulation and guidelines for the conduct of the presidential election allows the commission to use alternate means of coalition. That's simple English, like you have, you can use any other means to collate this result. So again, do you think that INEC acts contrary to the laws or would probably just have lacunas in our laws? Well, if at this point we want to agree with INEC that it decided to use the alternative means, then coming to the, to tell the world that it was going to use or transmit the results electronically, then that is the fit of the first order. It means that the commission was distributed the entire country in the first place because if you know between the alternative methods and the electronic transmission of results, you know toward that one of them will be more credible. And that was why you came to the world and you were telling the whole world that the results are going to be transmitted electronically. And people jump at it. People believe that that was going to be the most credible method of transmitting a result. So if you use the alternative means or method, and you are now coming to capitalize on that to say that because the law does not mandate you to transmit electronically, that is the fit, the first order. And I don't think it, I mean this touches on the integrity of the commission itself. You asked me. But, but do you agree that, you know, that part of the rules and regulations or the guideline for the commission allows them to use an alternative method to collate results? Well, when you talk about alternative methods, I know methods. You see, it is not in my care. It is not as if there is an alternative method. These two methods were to be used simultaneously. And that means at this level, when it is collated at the local government, sorry, the polling unit level, when results are collated, of course, they will be collated in the various forms, ECA and so on, depending on the particular election. Now, these will be done at the end of it. It is expected that the results that have been entered in this form or in these forms will be transmitted electronically to the other level, to the other level of collation. That is the whole. So, one was to complement the other. So, when you tell me that you had an alternative method of collation of results and so you can get this one completely, it is not a totally correct. They were to be complementary to each other. That is to say, at the point where you collate manually. Yes, of course, manual collation was necessary and was needed. And so, when you do the manual collation, that is the reason why the result is smart or scan. It is at that point that it is expected that that is now transmitted. What was done manually is now transmitted electronically to the other end. So, I do not see any reason why anybody would say that because there is an alternative means of doing that or mode of doing that, then that means that the electronic transmission was to be jettisoned. That is not quite correct. Don't you think that we should be paying attention to the fact that laws actually leaves a lot of ambiguity?  And it feels like those who are policy formulators or those who make these laws or those who are on the other side of the divide take advantage of all of these lacunas and then they begin to exploit the system. So, should again we be blaming INEC or should we be looking at the fact that the laws were not very specific as to whether we say it is compulsory that elections or result has to be collated via the beavers. That is what the empire said. Now, let me, I'll let you know that there is no law, no law in the entire world that is totally complete. That means that there is no time, even under the advanced countries, the developed democracies, you cannot expect that a particular document containing the laws of that land will explain everything or provide for everything. Completely everything. No. Look, some of these things are left for interpretation and that is why the costs are there.  Then you can imagine the size of the law of the constitution that we have or the size of the electoral act that we are going to have. So, a lot of other things are left for interpretation. So, you cannot actually say that they are deliberate, they are deliberate because if you want to be specific on all items, then of course we will not be able to. So, I think that the law has been sufficient provision unless somebody wants to be mischievous to say that this law is, I mean, there is a lacuna and so you capitalize on that lacuna. No. I think this is mischievous. It will simply be mischievous. Dr. Paul Ebiola, are we not saying that the fact that we constantly allow everything for interpretation by the court, is that not where we are today? Because we over time think that we don't have to include every detail. I mean, we are people that we have to be very specific. It's like saying, Messy, I want to see you and then I wake up to say, well, I didn't show up. So, you asked me, why didn't you show up? And I said, well, you are not specific as to when you want me to see me. There was no detail. So, the point again is, is it not that we, I mean, there's no time for all of that. We just have to move away. But my concern here is where we are today as a people and as a nation, is it because we have allowed everything to interpretation? And usually the interpretation hasn't yielded any positive result. We understand that you can't add all of the details, but is it not rather important that we are very detailed, knowing the kind of people that we are, the kind of society that's peculiar to us, that we're very detailed about everything? So, on the one hand, the empire tells us that we're going to have an elections where result will be transmitted by the beavers. The beavers were really the selling point for the 2023 elections. And then, you know, it fell short of its expectation with all of the conviction, with all of the promises in the trials that we had. Then you're also having the empire saying it was not mandatory that we transmit the result with the beavers because the guidelines and the laws actually gives us, you know, an alternative. And so we decided to use our discretion. Dr. Paula Biala, we will have this conversation some other time and thank you so much for being part of the show. I know you want to say something, but just less than a minute. Yes, maybe my last, this will certainly amount to what we say, what we call approbation and approbation on the part of the commission. Because if you have come out to claim that you are going to be an election that will be almost impeccable, then at this point, you're coming out to put up, you know, this kind of defense. Then it is approbation and approbation. Well, if so, it's okay. It will be tested in the court. The courts, I mean, yes, all of these matters are before the court. And at the end of the day, we're hearing various interpretations that will be given. Thank you so much. Thank you very much. Yes, please. Dr. Paula Biala is a former NBA chairman. Cross River State is also a legal practitioner and an academic director. We do appreciate your time. And that's the size of our conversation this morning on the show. We take a break to join the newsroom at nine o'clock. For the news brief, please stay with us. Now, if you missed out on any part of the conversation from seven o'clock up until now, we ask that you follow us on Facebook, Twitter, Instagram, and do subscribe to our YouTube channel to be part of the show. We're at Plus TV Africa and Plus TV Africa Lifestyle. My name is Messier Bukbo. Have a great morning.


Hi everyone, welcome back to Apple Zantiares. So today is kind of a crazy day and you're probably seeing these videos way out of order and I apologize for that. But today is the first day that my house is on the market to be sold and a lot of things have led up to today. Hopefully I have filled all of you in in my previous video. But today is kind of like a benchmark day for me because it marks the first day that I am officially selling my home or our home. So my kind of like living situation is gonna be kind of changing a lot because it's just me in the house right now and I'm selling it so every day before I go to work I have to kind of like make sure that the house is like in mint condition because there could be a walkthrough or a showing basically any time of day. So I'm kind of gonna take you guys through like my plan in this video and just show you guys a couple of things that I'm like doing or practicing to help myself manage making sure my house is in mint condition every single day before I leave work. Just little things that I'm doing that are different that are gonna help me manage this because with my ADHD and like the amount of things I'm trying to tackle right now my brain is kind of everywhere and so to help myself stay in a focused mindset on my house I have to do certain things a little bit differently than normal. So I'm gonna show you guys what that means. Okay so for example this is one of my linen closets in my hallway. Now normally I would put my backpacks kind of right here on this little landing place where I always just kind of throw my stuff but because I want to make sure that this area stays organized and clean I am trying to get in the habit of hanging up my backpacks here. So like this is my work bag and then I have my gym bag here as well. So I'm trying to like be conscious about hanging up my stuff in there. I can leave my purse because I'm gonna take that with me in just a few minutes when I go run errands but I'm gonna try to do my best to remember to hang up my backpack here right when I walk in the door so that I don't have it just like out and this is good practice anyway this is something that I should be doing anyways but I just don't. So that is one thing I've been trying to do to help myself stay on top of things. This is not usually here but Cash is out with my parents he'll be back to grab that and then another thing is trying to keep the sink clear of anything. So if I hand wash something like let's say I have a dish that can go in the dishwasher what I'm gonna do is immediately put it in there rinse it put it in there no questions asked.  So seeing as it's like my first day of the house being up for sale I'm gonna kind of like as I come up with ideas of things I need to do to keep myself organized I'm gonna continue to add this video and update you guys on the whole process because it's gonna be a lot like my whole house is like staged so like everything is in like the perfect place and I have to be very cognizant of where it is otherwise I could get myself really unorganized so without being said I'll update you on the next idea when I have one. So another trick that I thought I would try to help me keep the house like perfectly ready for showing is by covering up half the counter with a towel I'll get ready right here in front of this towel if I need to sink I'll use that one but I'll get ready right here in front of this towel that way any like makeup or hair drops onto this towel rather than on the countertop and then that way before I leave I just kind of fold the towel up put it away in the closet and then the countertop is perfectly clean so we're gonna try that out today see if it works. Cheers! All right you guys so it is March 9th. Let me check my watch, what time is it? Yes. Okay so it's March 9th and I honestly don't remember the last time I checked in with you guys but there have been some new developments I do not understand what's going on with my hair there's like we're not even about that. I apologize for the weird noise in the background my air fryer is running right now I'm cooking bacon for my breakfast I'm gonna be making a bacon cheese wrap with like those Ezekiel wraps anyway so I wanted to do a quick check-in with you guys because there have been some new developments in this whole process of us moving up to Prescott. Sorry this lighting is gonna be terrible but it's quiet in here so Monday okay so a little bit of background my mom has a friend a long-time lifelong friend she was in our Bible study growing up she was in our church she came to all of my plays and she I never really knew what she did for a living like I just kind of you know existed knowing her and a few years ago I found out that she was the principal at one of the schools up in the Prescott area so naturally you know with me and Scott moving up there my mom had mentioned to her that I would be looking for a job and if she were to have any openings to let her know and of course she was like yes of course have her send me her resume I don't know if I have any positions yet but I just might in a few weeks so send me her resume and then if anything were to open up I can contact her well she did contact me and this was on Monday so this was the fifth and she asked me if I wanted to interview the position she was interviewing for is a sixth grade math and science and it just so happens that this is the school that I went to when I was living in the Prescott area as a child the school used to service all middle school so when I was there it was 6 7th and 8th graders but now the school is for 5th and 6th graders it is a steam based 5th and 6th grade like pre middle school I don't know what you would even call it but it's 5th and 6th graders only so I interviewed and one of the lovely people in the interview was actually a co-worker of mine from a few years back and it was just really nice to see two friendly faces in the interview so of course we went through the interview everything went really great I asked tons of questions because I always do it's so important to do that and all of their questions were all of my questions were answered like in a wonderful way so a few hours later she calls me and offers me the position but she says I don't know if it's for sure going to be 6th grade it might end up being 5th grade I'm not positive but everything is supposed to be finalized this Friday with her staff so she said let's I said well why don't I wait until Friday when you can let me know if it's gonna be 5th or 6th grade and I'll give you my answer on Friday so it's Thursday and that means that tomorrow I could potentially have a job and the school this school is the feeder school to where cash would end up going when he's in fifth grade and sixth grade and it's very close to the lot that we're trying to purchase it's also my mom's house where we're gonna be staying for the next year ish is also zoned for that school so it's kind of like a blessing but I'll be completely honest with you guys and I told her in the interview that 6th grade math scares me I failed it twice as a child and it sort of traumatized me I would be teaching 6th grade math and 6th grade science so the 6th grade science is like no problem oh 6th grade science is like super close to 4th grade science it's all just like an elevated version so in that aspect I'm really excited to teach science again they they they don't have a 6th grade mystery science program however they do have a 6th grade generation genius program and one of my dear dear friends that's with me at my current school has already promised to send me anything and everything that she can to help me out with the transition because she is like a master at 6th grade science and she's actually moving into a different position next year so she won't be using much of her like 6th grade science stuff she's actually gonna be moving into a STEM position that's fabulous for her sorry guys cutting my own head off here trying to wrap up my bacon so that I can get going so anyways tomorrow is Friday I had been communicating with the principal at the school that I worked at with Jennifer prior to moving back down here and we've been trying to kind of find a way for me to get back to that school but as of right now she hasn't had any like openings that I would be interested in she did say that there might be a 6th grade ELA opening but I don't know I I almost would rather teach math than ELA just because you know with ELA there's you know reading barriers and and grading writing and honestly if it was up to me I would prefer to teach math because math is typically like a here's four ways to do it you know pick a strategy that works best for you and call when we call it a day you know and there's so much more fun like games to play in math and I don't know I just would prefer personally I would just prefer to teach math over ELA so anyways it's not looking like our old my old school with Jennifer is gonna be able to offer me a position in time so I think I'm probably going to end up accepting the position to teach either 5th grade math and science or 6th grade math and science which is a huge leap for me I've never taught anything above 4th grade I like 6th graders like all of my past kids that are now in 6th grade that come and visit me I just adore them like socially they're like so lost because they're in this like huge middle school with all these older kids but I'm hoping that the 6th graders that are at a 5th and 6th grade school aren't going to be as mature as the 6th graders down here I'm just gonna go with it and you know what like this is all a new adventure and I have to accept that it's a new adventure and I have to you know welcome new into my life so it is Thursday tomorrow I have to give my answer a lot can happen between now and tomorrow but I think that I've sort of made peace with everything and I would like to start learning about 6th grade math again so today I'm actually gonna go down to my 6th grade math teacher at my current school and just observe for like 15 minutes just to see like how she like and it's it's using Eureka math I've taught using Eureka math before basically everything is scripted for you there's ways to like make it more engaging and fun and things like that but like basically everything is scripted like it's pretty impossible to fail unless I don't understand a concept in which case they assured me there are math coaches that can help me out if there's a topic or like some sort of content that is confusing to me so anyway I figure I'm 32 years old I'm a college graduate if I can't learn 6th grade math at this point in my life then we've got a major problem that we need to solve so anyways that is the latest update um yeah cash is excited he's like oh I'm gonna get to ride the bus to school because he'd be able to ride the bus to his school so he wouldn't be stuck coming in early with me or staying late with me he'd be able to ride the bus home both to our new lot hopefully fingers crossed we get it and or my mom's house so either way he'll be able to ride the bus he could even ride the bus to my sister's house if he needed to so with that being said I feel like I feel like I need to go with it and just accept change and embrace it and then get started like I can spend all summer focusing on how to teach 6th grade math and develop a curriculum for 6th grade science and they said they have certain like they have resources and tools and they're looking at curriculums but they really just want teachers to do what's best for kids teach the standard by any means necessary use the curriculums we bought but if you need to mix it up a bit you know then that's okay so yeah that's the latest and greatest wish me luck I'll check in and let you guys know if I accepted it or if something came from left field from the other school but I'll keep you guys in the loop so I have another update for you guys a couple of updates actually so the first one is I have officially accepted a position at one of the elementary schools in the Prescott area and it was gonna be the school where Jennifer and I taught together but some things took place nothing negative just other opportunities presented themselves and I had to be an adult and make a decision and I did so I will not be working with Jennifer I will be working in a different district but we'll still be like 15 minutes away like living 15 minutes away from each other so we're gonna plan on seeing each other as often as possible and like doing planning together and like back to school stuff and all those things so I am excited to be back with Jen but I did accept a position in the Prescott area at an elementary school and I'll be teaching German police, Fourth Aid Science and Social Studies at this point you probably have already seen my announcement video and so this isn't news to you but it was a very long process and maybe someday I'll make a video like a story time like telling you guys how it all went down the decision to take this position because I think it would be a very interesting story if you guys hear. Also in the development yesterday was Easter and the Saturday prior we actually got an offer on our home the offer was a lot lower than our asking price and they wanted us to cover closing costs at first we countered with something else I don't want to even get into it because it's a lot of like unnecessary information but bottom line we countered back and we ended up just taking their offer because our house has been listed for over a month now and we're kind of in that like limbo area where it's like okay if we don't accept an offer like we really don't know what we could be getting further down the line so we really just wanted to like accept what we could get and move on so we are gonna be making a little bit less than we imagined we're actually gonna net like around 20 grand less than we thought we would but we are still gonna net enough to do what we need to do with that money so it'll all be okay it's just a little bit less than we thought it was gonna be so that is what it is we're just gonna move on accept the offer and now we don't have to pay a mortgage for a home we're not living in anymore because May 25th rolls around we move out the house is sitting there for sale so we decided we're just gonna go ahead and take the offer and they've accepted they've accepted that we've accepted so now we're in escrow which means that our move out date will be May 18th so I lose someone lost a point in specials so we will be moving out of the house the week before school is out which means I will probably move in with my neighbors for the last week of school and then that final week will move everything out of my classroom so we'll probably end up having like two you hauls will move the house in one and then I'll just rent another one for my classroom and move that up that's final day so I'm very very excited it seemed like it was never gonna happen but this is like one of the last pieces to our puzzle the very last thing that we need to do is get our owner builder loan approved and make the final purchase on our lot so what this means this like home sale if everything goes through and all that then we will be in a short escrow for our lot and the the property will be ours by the end of May so it's really exciting I'm praying that we get this construction loan because if we don't then we are royally in trouble I don't see why we wouldn't get it though because we both like have our official jobs and like we've shown that we are capable and everything like that so it should all be okay but I'm excited I'm really excited I'm so happy there's so many other things I want to share with you guys but it's all very personal so if you're interested in hearing more personal story time we are gonna be beginning to update our family YouTube channel within the next couple of weeks I don't know when you're seeing this it's probably gonna be like the end of April that you're seeing all these videos but if you're interested in following along with our like housebuilding journey and our move journey and all that stuff go ahead and click my family channel link in the description below and we will do our very best to continue posting there because it is kind of nice for us to keep all these memories and such so anyway that is the latest and greatest when I have any more updates I'll let you guys know if not thank you guys so much for watching and I will see you in the next video bye guys


The teacher-training component under the Profritero Digital Education Pilot Programme in St. Lucia has been expanded beyond the initial 12 schools to equip as many educators at the primary school level as possible while working through pandemic conditions. The program is an initiative of the Spain-based Profritero Foundation and is being facilitated in St. Lucia and for other countries of the English-speaking Caribbean by the Organization of American States, OAS. Twelve schools were initially part of the pilot receiving technological equipment and educational content in addition to the teacher-training offered to all primary school teachers. Curriculum Specialists for Technology Integration in the Department of Education, Innovation and Gender Relations, German Anthony, says the training has been a great help since the return to in-class instruction. You find that the teachers can be a little more comfortable with using the equipment that was provided in the Profritero, and even if the schools do not have that specific equipment, the fact that the content can be integrated with other equipment means that the training is not lost. The content itself can be accessed online, it can be downloaded, but you don't need to have specifically the tablets donated by Profritero to be able to use the resources and that's the key thing. The Profritero equipment provides an intranet experience in a classroom. A laptop for the teacher comes with an access point that can be used to transmit learning content to tablets for students. Anthony says a teacher who has completed the training but does not have the equipment can still access the Profritero education content online. Representative of the OAS in St. Lucia, Lili Ching Soto says the pilot project was timely in bridging gaps for digital education in St. Lucia just when the pandemic began affecting the education sector. We received the equipment at the Ministry of Education of St. Lucia, coming straight from Spain, February 2020, March 2020, schools were closed. So it was so timely to have this project being rolled out right at the same time as the COVID pandemic was happening that it showed us the power of transformation, the need for transformation and it was absolutely key in moving forward together with the Ministry of Education of St. Lucia into trying to reduce the gap for digital education and also for children to have access to education because COVID was so disruptful and this initiative was part of the initiatives that the Ministry of Education was able to take on in order to be able to access those children and these children have access to this education that they were missing especially for the first months. Profritero Digital Education Program pilot will continue for our 2021 and is hoped to be fully expanded to other primary schools in 2022.


Hello everybody, welcome back to another Adobe Photoshop CC 2021 tutorial. In this one, I'm going to show you how to increase the resolution of an image. We're going to go from a low resolution image like this one here, and we're going to convert it into a high resolution image. And we're going to use Super Resolution, which is new to Adobe Photoshop CC 2021. In particular, it's found in Camera Raw. Now, before we start, you're going to notice here that I've got a low resolution 640 by 800 pixel image, and I want to make this into high res. So the first step is you want to go to Photoshop if you're on a Mac, if you're on a PC, go to File, and you want to go to Preferences. Under Preferences, you want to go down to File Handling. That's the one. Under File Handling, you're going to see a few options, but the one we want is Camera Raw Preferences. Left click on Camera Raw Preferences, and then go down to File Handling again. What you want to do for at least this, but some people want to do it permanently, is you want to make sure that JPEG and HEIC, you want to have it so that automatically all JPEGs are opened with Adobe Photoshop 2021. Click on OK. Click on OK once you've got that selected. Now, find the image you want to increase the resolution of. I've got one here. I'm going to put the same image in as a new image, and it's going to go to Camera Raw. It's going to give me all of the standard stuff you'll see in Camera Raw. You'll see here that it's 640 by 800 pixels, which is what we have. That's normal, but here it is. What you want to do is you want to right click on the image, and this isn't intuitive, but right click on it, and when you right click on it at the bottom, you're going to see Enhance. Now left click on Enhance, and here we go. This is where we use Super Resolution, and it takes a lot of CPU and GPU power. So what you want to do is make sure that this is selected, and when you do that, you can move around and look at the enhancements. If you just hold left click on the image here, but I'm going to left click on Enhance, and when you do that, it's going to do a little calculation, and then you're going to see a second picture pop up. Left click on this image, you're going to now see it's 1280 by 1600. It's two megs of pixels. It has doubled in resolution, and it's four times the size. Left click on Open, and now we have a 1280 by 1600 Super Resolution image. That's all there is to it, guys. This is how you increase the resolution of any image in Photoshop. Thanks for watching. Be back soon.


Good, decent, wholesome girls do not read about sex. Goodness, why would we? Everybody knows that men have sex because they love it and women women have sex because they want love and men do not love those women. The freaks. These women cannot be trusted and are certainly not marriage material. Honey, here is a little tip. You're supposed to kiss one frog to turn him into a prince.  Unless you want warts, that is. And that is what I and the rest of the world see whenever a woman walks around with some how-to-slut-you-all in one of those awful Cosmo magazines. We see warts, oozing warts. Self-respecting women learn about sex from a man. A man will show you what feels good for you based on what other women in the past have liked. Yes, sure, I've heard that 90% of women have faked orgasms, so what? Uh-huh, I know that the penis-driven, Freudian concept of what sex is is why two-thirds of women don't achieve regular orgasm. Ah, yes, I do understand that quality sex education on pleasure and anatomy could be crucial as today's youth come of age in a porn-saturated society, but come on! I'm talking about reading sex books. It's gross, like what's next? Pleasuring yourself? People, let's be civil for a second. I have not had an orgasm in over 22 years, and I am just bi- I am absolutely god.   I'd rather be pure for the perfect guy. Wait, who are we kidding? That makes no sense. Smart girls, read about sex.


Hello and welcome to the first intro video of this galaxy training session. My name is Jonathan Tro and I'm a curator at the sequence read archive, which is part of NCBI, which is itself part of the National Library of Medicine here in the United States. And today I'll be telling you about some new data formats that we have available in the cloud from SRA, as well as some accompanying metadata that can help you search and filter that to find what you're actually interested in. Specifically for SARS-CoV-2 runs in SRA. The learning objectives for this intro video are to gain an understanding of which data and metadata types are available for SARS-CoV-2 runs in the cloud to get a basic knowledge of what the SRA aligned read format is. It's our new format and what you can do with it. What kinds of data formats can you get out of it. And then to give you a working knowledge of SRA metadata that is available on the cloud, the ways you can access it, and some popular use cases, you know, why would you actually want to access it. So one reasonable place to start here is why have SRA data in the cloud at all. One answer to that is the SRA archive, the public part of it. It's now well over 18 databases of sequence data that's available for free download and analysis by anyone, which is great. But it's a lot of data that can be hard to search, which is not so great. I want to say things like I wish he was easier to find SRA data based on the organismal contents of the reads, or I just wish he was easier to search SRA based on the submitted project and sample data like doing that an entree can be tough sometimes. Or I wish I could get a sense of what could be a symbol that have an SRA data set before downloading it and putting that effort in. But there was some kind of shortcut towards a simply embarrassing calling. And so the data we've made available is kind of a direct response to these, these wishes and requests. So which brings me to what data is in scope for this training. This is public SRA data that contains SARS-CoV-2 sequence. We do have searchable metadata for all of SRA that's available and we have documentation about that but I'm not talking about that today. I'm specifically talking about SARS-CoV-2 data. But even more specifically, this is data generated on the Illumina platform only. We do plan to do this analysis for long read data in the future. So stay tuned for that. This begs the question, how do we determine which runs contain SARS-CoV-2 data? The short answer is that we run the SRA taxonomy analysis tool on it. I'm not going to go into a lot of in depth explanation as to how that works, except to say that it uses a camer based approach to organismal content analysis. And we're running it on all of our incoming data to get an idea of what kinds of sequences and what organisms and clades that data is from. If you want to know the more specifics about how this works, we've got a link to a preprint here that gives a more in depth explanation. We have some more explanation on our website as well. And also the link to this preprint is there. And if you want to see that, we have a link to it in the references portion of the written tutorial. So I've mentioned now the SRA line read format. What is that? So I told you that all incoming SRA runs are scanned for coronavirus content, scanned for all types of content. But in particular, if we find any runs that have at least 100 hits to coronavirus and they're from the Illumina platform and have at least have average read length of 75 base pairs, then that is selected for further analysis. And we then make contigs out of those using guided assembly against the SARS-CoV-2 RefSeq record. And this creates faster contigs which you can access. In addition, if contigs are successfully created, the reads are mapped back to those contigs, and you can access these raw reads themselves and fast day or fast queue format, or you can dump them out as aligned to the contigs and SAM format. One thing I will note is that dumping in SAM format doesn't work right now in Galaxy. We hope to have that working in a future update. But if you're running the toolkit locally on your own system, you can dump SAM out of these objects. And once that's complete, taxonomy is assessed via two methods. First, the contigs are assessed again using the stat detection tool. And those results are made available for search in our metadata tables. And then second, the contigs are checked via mega blast against the nucleotide blast database. And the results of that blast analysis is also made searchable and available in our metadata tables. And I'll be talking more about that here in a little bit. Finally, variants are called and then annotated with figure three. This result in VCF files, which you can also download and we're going to show you how to do that. I'm not talking about the specifics of how these VCF files are made, but if you want to know that we've got the specific pipeline. And the parameters that are used on our website, you can find that through a link in the references section again of the written portion of the tutorial. So the Orion aligned read format is really a set of Corona V-ray contigs that have been constructed from SRA data when they're organized by run accession. These are compatible with the SRA toolkit, they're compressed data objects that can be operated on by all the normal SRA tools. They allow you to access the reads themselves in fast queue or fast day format, the contigs and just fast day format if you just want the contigs or you can have the reads aligned with the contigs in SAM format, sort of whichever options work best for your personal use case. In addition, these have a smaller size than standard SRA format. This is both because we're using compression to reference and these align quite well, but in addition to that they have no quality scores. The original submitted quality scores have been removed. So this makes them very small, quick to work with, quick to dump. However, if you dump fast queue, you still get standard four line fast queue format, but at each quality position you have a placeholder quality. If you need access to the original quality, those haven't been lost, those can still be accessed from the normal SRA data using the SRA toolkit. So you can always dump fast queue with the original quality scores using sort of standard toolkit on the original run. So we've got the contigs and the reads, those are the aligned read objects. We also have available metadata that surrounds these objects. I'm going to give you a brief overview of that here. So there's user submitted metadata. So this is the biological sample and sequencing a library information that was supplied at the time of sequence submission. We've got contig metadata, which is stats about the context. This is coverage taxonomy ID, the contig length, that sort of thing. And we've got the taxonomic content analysis of the analysis of those contigs. Let's let you do things like search for records based on camera hits to your taxonomy level of interest. We've got the blast results for those contigs. I mentioned that they were blasted. So you can search these results for by hit accession by hit length percent identity bit score, that kind of thing. So you can find calls are also available and searchable as well as that bigger three annotation information. There's also peptide information. So the details of annotated peptides, including the sequence, if that's the way you want to go. And there's more than one way to access this metadata. So it's available in the cloud. And it's was specifically originally designed for querying using cloud services. You can do this using Google's BigQuery or Amazon's Athena. That's one way. This allows you to analyze the SRA metadata directly using standard SQL syntax, and allow searches that just aren't possible in entree and are quite fast. The one advantage of this method is that there's no need to manually transform the data for querying. It's already that's already been done. So you can be up and running in just a few minutes. And that has built in support for complex data fields. A few of the fields on these metadata tables are essentially nested arrays, which don't have a clean analog in a TSV format or a standard SQL database. And so you can't easily query these in Galaxy, but there's built in support for that so you can un-nest these and query them with standard syntax if you're working in the cloud. One downside is that you do pay for the data that's scanned, although some free options exist. So BigQuery, for instance, gives you some free data every month that you can use to run queries. And Amazon's Athena, they have some credit systems for research and education that you can get some free time as well. So that's one way you can access it natively in the cloud. However, the underlying metadata files are available for download at no cost. So this is an anonymous download. And there's no egress charges. The data is in JSON format. And so you can download that and transform it according to your preferences, however you like. And that's what we're going to show you in this training coming up. You can import these directly to Galaxy and query them there. Some popular use cases. What are some types of things you can do with this metadata? You can do quite a bit, but for instance, you can find SARS-CoV-2 contigs with specific coverage and length characteristics. We're going to show that in one of our examples. You can filter SARS-CoV-2 contigs based on the geographic location where the sample was collected. You can filter these via blast hits for contigs from a specific geographic location. So if you care about one location in particular, you can look at what type of blast hits the samples from that location get. And it's how does change over time, for instance. So if you wanted to filter for all variations called from samples collected in the United States or somewhere else, after a certain date or between certain dates, or you wanted to compare different time points over time, you can do that. In addition, you can also filter for specific mutations. So I want to filter for all runs with this specific E4K mutation. You can do that too. So you can kind of mix and match these options to get a variety of filtering and search abilities that you just don't have an entree. And so in summary, I'm going to just briefly reiterate the types of data that are available in the cloud right now. We have this COVID focused SRA data set that's available both in Google and in Amazon. In the tutorial, we're going to do some downloading from Google and some from Amazon, but the data set is available in both places. We have the searchable metadata with the different tables I talked about. We have the SRA aligned read files themselves. So these are the files that have contigs and reads aligned to those contigs. There's the VCF files, which are the variant calls based on those contigs. We have the full SRA runs. This is what we would call like normal or regular SRA data, and this has the full submitted quality scores. And then we also have the original format submitted files for these. So this is the fast queue or the BAM file that was actually sent to us when we transformed our format. You can download those original files too if you want to. One thing that I'll note about these contigs is that they're not intended to be the final word in assembly or even the most optimal for all samples since that's not really possible. It's more based around the idea that the first major step of using SRA data is finding the data that you are interested in since it's a big heap of data. And so that's the metadata is designed to help you do that. And the second major step is often assembling it. So we're doing that step for you, not because this assembly will definitely be best for your analysis, but to give you a sense of what's in there and what can be extracted out of it beforehand because it can be pretty costly to both in terms of time and resources to do these assemblies. So we're trying to make it a little bit easier to figure out what is of interest in these runs to you so you can decide before doing your own work or your own better assembly that's more specific to your analysis, what's in these runs. And the benefits of that you just have access to this large volume of COVID-19 raw sequence data and there's no throttling and no cost to you. All of this data that I'm talking about here is available on the cloud. These are free open buckets that can be worked on in the cloud. Of course, if you have data sets there you could combine them and work on them in the cloud can download them to local storage at no cost to you as well. And importantly, you can also import them into Galaxy for use in your existing workflows and that's what we're going to show you in the upcoming tutorial video. So please stick around.


Welcome again to the CMT markets weekly charting analysis webinar with myself Jasper Lawler. We have the risk warning on the screen. Let's quickly get through that and then we'll move on with the webinar itself. Okay. So I'm going to start the webinar off with just a quick summary of some of the economic events that are happening this week. What I did want to also kind of touch on is just, you know, we call this the weekly charting analysis webinar, so obviously a heavy emphasis on the charts and I'm charted in technical analysis and so I come at the economic calendar with a bit of a kind of technical analysis bent. Now there are different ways of trading the news. My particular interpretation on how to best use the news is just that, you know, I studied economics, but I'm not an economist by profession. I suspect most of you listening to the webinar are not economists by profession. And to be quite honest, even if you were, economists mostly get these forecasts for these economic numbers wrong. So it's very difficult to know what the direction of the number is going to be and be able to use that forecast of the economic number to correctly predict the resulting currency move. I mean it's not unusual at all for a number to be positive and the currency to react badly. Now I know that sounds a bit complicated and you sort of might think, well, why even look at the economic numbers? My take on it is that, you know, we're looking at the charts and we're looking at some of the key levels and patterns within the chart, the key trends as we see them. And it's these economic news events that are triggering whether a certain level holds or whether a certain level breaks. So they are important. We need to be aware of when they're happening to get a better idea of when some of these price breaks and price holds may take place. And so, you know, we can look at the forecasts and, you know, we can see what the results of these news releases are and, you know, and help us determine whether our initial trade idea is likely to be right or wrong based on what happens afterwards. Our trade ideas, you know, as we look at them in these webinars are still typically, you know, based on a chart, but, you know, when you're looking at these economic news, you're aware of when they are just to help make that actual breakout happen as I said. So with that in mind, not a busting lot happening today, a bit of a focus on Fed speakers. So we had Janet Yellen speaking last week and we had a couple of doves speaking today. Evan's being the most notable one, William's being another in terms of Fed speakers. Tomorrow, I would say probably the primary determining driver of the US dollar would be the consumer confidence. It's proven a bit of a difficult indicator in terms of predicting retail sales, arguably quite useless, but nonetheless, the market does react from it. The US is a consumption based economy, so it's important to look at that. We're expecting a fairly substantial drop. The last print was 101.5, now we're looking at 96.2, so that would be dollar negative. The number in itself, we're going to look at the charts in a bit to decide how negative the reaction is likely to be given the current situation in these different pairs. Not a lot going on in Europe. Probably the most important being the German preliminary consumer price index. So we've got Carney speaking as well on Tuesday, so that'd be important for the pound, perhaps for the FTSE, for the UK 100. And then we have German retail sales on Wednesday, expecting a bit of a slide there. German unemployment, pretty consistently good. German unemployment, the data not probably going to be a massive drive of the Europe. And then on Wednesday later on, we have the final GDP number for the UK. It's expected to remain the same at 0.7% in Q2. And then probably one of the more important prints on the day will be the Eurozone CPI data, which is expected to drop down to zero year over year. Core to remain flat at 0.9%. That's to be expected, the overall price has plummeted in the last couple of months. We've got Yellen speaking again on Wednesday. We've got the ADP data. ADP is obviously the first precursor to the non-farm payrolls. And keep in mind, of course, that we've got our special non-farm payrolls webinar hosted by Michael Houston. So if you are trading in and around the event, may as well log into the webinar and get a bit of extra insight there from Michael and also from Colin, I believe. Then certainly want to watch out for in the early hours of Thursday is the Chinese manufacturing PMI. China has been a primary concern recently. And these PMI prints have been increasingly negative. This one is the official data is expected to remain flat. The one done by Kiteson is expected to rise slightly to 47.2 from 47.0, but still in contraction territory. And on Thursday, we've got UK PMI. We've got US manufacturing along with most Eurozone countries later on the ISM manufacturing PMI from the US. That one's expected to slip back. The kind of general story here is that, you know, I was initially talking about the oil prices being a boon to consumers. You're seeing a bit of a lagged effect there. And the more the more primary effect is that it's hitting the oil sector and that part of the manufacturing base in the US. So that's why we're seeing manufacturing surveys starting to come off a bit. And some of the other manufacturing data from US after the dollar negative. But it's all largely going to be a buildup to the NFP result. Obviously, the Fed remained on hold in September. So we're looking at this NFP data to get a better gauge on whether they're likely to lift off in any of the forthcoming months. As you probably know, October and November not too likely. It's the December meeting where they have a press conference that would be the likely timing date. Given that Janet Yellen recently said that most FOMC members are still looking at a 2015 rate hike. So end of the year, like I said. So what December is the end of the year? So, you know, that could happen. But it depends on data. I would honestly say that probably doesn't largely depend on this NFP data. But every little bit counts. And, you know, we'll likely see some dollar moves flying around.  The consensus forecast on an economist now is 202,000. So back above 200,000. You know, I think that, you know, if it came in a long consensus, that would probably be dollar positive. Obviously, anything above consensus you'd assume that would be positive for the dollar. Okay. Got that all out of the way. Let's have a look at some of the charts here. So I think we're going to start just with in the UK. I've got some of the, you can see it's a sea of red today. One of the most noticeable insane examples is Glencore. That was down as much as 27% just today. So my condolences to any of you who hold any Glencore stock. I hope you, you know, if you follow along these charting webinars, you would have known to cut your losses a long time ago in Glencore. But nonetheless, the whole mining sector getting pretty smashed. It's down to the Anglo-American down 7%. All of these mining names in trouble. Shell cannot dry in a drilling project. So BP and Shell down pretty heavily. So the put see as a result is down. The UK 100 down wasn't in the cash market down over 1%. You know, as we trade it in our different opening times, that's around, you know, just under 1%. So, you know, these global indices are all looking fairly similar. What you'll see is that the, I would say the order of weakness is that the Germany 30 looks the weakest. The UK 100 looks the sort of in the middle. And the US 30 probably the strongest. And I'm just basing that on the recent trading range. Now, I've just drawn this level in here based on this, you know, this little retracement peak, which is seen better on the four hour chart as a possible area of resistance. Because I'm still sort of seeing this break of this low, which as I mentioned hasn't actually broken in the US 30. This break here is generally negative for the UK 100. And I would be expecting the market to roll over before this line and before this peak. Obviously, back in and above this peak, you know, this has proved to be a false break. And then we've got another break to deal with on the upside. So that's possible. You know, this could turn into something akin to a double bottom. It actually would be a pretty much a double bottom in the Germany 30 was in a second. But just based on the longer term trend, you know, it's not the greatest trading conditions at the moment. It's pretty choppy. But you know, I'm looking at this. I'm defaulting to assuming that this big drop is now consolidating before another big drop. That's the way I'm looking at it. A break of these highs tells me I'm wrong and I'll be looking the other way. Skipping across to the Germany 30, as I mentioned, looks very similar. But, you know, we actually dropped right down to that low. August 24th low is the one that we're dealing with in most of the equity markets. All these moves have been pretty correlated, as we've mentioned before, because of the sort of global concerns about what's happening in China, et cetera. So it counts pretty nicely off this low. Back here a couple of times. It hasn't come right down to this December low. It certainly could push down there again and get a little rebound off that. But I suspect now, after these couple of balances, if we were to push back below these 9,300 area, that would be looking pretty negative for the Germany 30. It was difficult to kind of forecast what, you know, to see patterns before they happen. But the way I'm looking at this at the moment is there's a drop, you know, a pullback and, you know, kind of the beginnings of a rising trend line through here. And that got broken. We're back down at the lows. So this could be a double bottom. But at the moment I'm looking at the fact that we got oversold and we're coming back off the oversold area for people looking to to fell back into the drop again, and assuming that we're going to drop back down through these lows. Wouldn't necessarily want to be going short just yet because we have had a bit of a reaction off the low and we are pretty down far from that peak that we had earlier on the 9th of September. So a bit of a week following through from this pattern so far. I could get another couple of jabs down here and we'll get a better picture as to whether we're actually able to form a base. One thing I've mentioned here in the chart forum is we've not actually gotten to an oversold position yet. So I don't necessarily construe that as a positive. I'm looking at it as the idea that maybe not enough people will be encouraged to buy in because it's not oversold yet. So that could mean there's more downside to go. Looking across to the US 30, there's the same range, same sort of false break up near the top and the resulting drop. But we have recovered off the base of the range. This was Thursday's move in and around the comments from Janet Yellen. But if you didn't catch those, after failing to lift rates at the last meeting, Yellen then came out saying that they are still looking for a rate like this year. That was the crux of it. So that's been kind of supportive because maybe the Fed are not so scared about global growth. So we're holding this 16,000 level on the US 30 at the moment. But I think you've just got to, even if you're trading short term, you've got to just keep in mind the fact that we're really between these 16,000 as the daily support. With I would argue probably the more significant level being the 16,700 level with these peaks and this being the false break. So break down below 16,000, and naturally you'd assume we're heading back down towards firstly the 15,000 to 17,000 kind of area, but ideally back down to this level in the 15,000, 3,000, 40,000 hot vicinity. And again, similar to the DAX, we had a kind of rising trend line and a break stuttering around at the previous level but then assuming a continuation of the trend. Over to the commodities now. Gold was faring a bit better, it was holding up early on but it's getting a bit of a beat down now. Largely because of some dollar strength but also because you could see that the mining companies and the metals space in general is getting pretty beaten down with silver down with 3%, copper down pretty heavily. And some of the others that are not so liquid like iron ore so down. So this is the way I'm viewing gold, kind of pulled the chart out a little bit here. This is the daily chart. This is our downsloping trend line which it looks like we've got a break from and we still could have the following day we just have a little bit of a pullback closed above the line as I have it. I basically, I know that we've had this line since and I know we've got this line here which we could kind of draw through these things and I think that's playing part of it. It's all part of the same zone.  Today's action is quite negative for me. Today points to me towards a false breakout of the rising trend line and so we basically, you know, kind of in a nice uptrend where you get a push higher, a pullback, a push higher, a pullback to the previous peak and a push higher again which really corresponded quite nicely is what happened initially. It's what happened on Friday and then you wanted to see a move back up to the 200 day moving average but that hasn't happened. We've fallen off quite a lot. Next obvious support is the previous low but I'm sort of suspecting we're dropping back down to this rising trend line again and, yeah, feasibly lower. You know, at the end of the day we're below the 200 day moving average and the weekly trend is basically sort of sideways. We've put in a higher low which is a positive and so, you know, while above that there's still scope for an uptrend developing and a base put into gold but I suspect we're probably dropping back down towards the back down towards the 1-100 mark again I suspect. Just purely off base of today's action. Again, we could hold this low but that'd be worth watching around this low depending on your trading style whether you're looking for some sort of short-term oversold indicators or a daily pattern confirmation on the candlestick.  You know, maybe you buy right out of the support if that's your trading style. To me that's a significant one. If we can hold that, you know, we still want this little short-term uptrend intact and we could push back for another breakthrough that defining trend line. Over to Silver. But again, I think what's happening today is quite a negative one for Silver. We had seen some signs of bullish divergence with higher lows being put in on the RSI while the Silver price was chopping around in this range but, you know, the fact that we just really haven't managed to sustain above 15 and dropping quite substantially below it today down to sort of one-week lows suggests to me that, you know, we've got a sort of failure swing here in the RSI matching the price. Looks to me like, you know, we could still hold the rising trend line but I'm sort of seeing a sign to look like maybe we're going to break it now and that would suggest to me that we're pushing into perhaps down to 14 again and perhaps lower another six-year lows in Silver. Again, always just keep in mind where we are. The low, the 200-day moving average commodities are pretty weak so, you know, just by default your short trades are going to have better odds than your longs. Unlucky if you time it in a stronger correction your short trades, obviously those are going to go wrong but, you know, you can just generally see looking at this chart, even though it's a bit sloppy below that 200-day moving average there's better scope. There's more red bars than green bars to put it in a really simple way. We're still pretty bearish on Silver. Just taking a look at Brent this time around. They're both down similar amounts today both in a pretty similar position. What we've got here was a decent break of a declining trend line. That could have been the trigger for a move back up to the highs again you know, like a kind of pennant type break that could have been we could have been right back up there with the same kind of velocity that we saw that initial move. That hasn't happened. We fall into a sideways range and to me, that probably suggests more weakness than strength that we may get another push down to the lows again and try and base out from there perhaps because, I mean, this is a strong move and I'll be surprised if we just immediately drop through that. I mean, again, it's a bear market rally so the bear market rallies are just they are strong by nature as I'm just on short covering but to me the fact that we haven't been able to kind of push strongly out of that break of the defining trend line and just stuck in a horizontal range suggests probably we're going to break the bottom of the range and head down to the lows again and again got the support of the downtrend low to a moving average. Over to the currency market worth mentioning at this stage I've only just seen the note that can't see a chart. Was that just at the start that you were saying that when I was jabbering about economic numbers? I assume it is. I think this screen is being shared. I hope it is. Yeah, I'm assuming everyone can see the charts I'm putting up. Okay, good stuff. Switching over to currency as I mentioned. Let's go to the euro. To me at the moment the weekly chart just says more than the euro. The daily chart is a real chop fest but the weekly chart as I see this is a triangle pattern and I'm not so inclined to connect these two peaks. Firstly, it's only two peaks and you could maybe connect as low unless you tried that but to me it looks like a couple of false breaks higher from the triangle pattern. There's no real statistical edge from that. False breakouts just mean there wasn't the willingness at that time. It's not to say that we automatically can roll over the other way. It just means we go back into the range but which way we get the next break. It's really anyone's guess and so this is again down to risk management and your trading technique. This is the pattern to me that you're watching. It's just a matter of waiting for that break and trading the initial move out of it. That wouldn't have served you too well with these two or waiting for a higher close for the day or the week and trading that break out or just buying and selling in the top of the triangle. We're getting towards the end of the triangle pattern now. It's almost not a triangle anymore because we're just past two thirds of the way through. This is only so long and this pattern is going to hold out. I suspect we probably could get a move back down to the kind of what would become a horizontal range support in the sort of 108-20 kind of vicinity. Worth noting on the if we got down to the daily chart the one thing I did think was quite sort of instructive is that we have been holding that 50 level pretty well for a while, 50 level that sort of indicates typically what you deal with in an uptrend. That acted to support what we're talking about here, maybe three times I suppose and then we broke through it and now it looks like we've bounced off and we're rolling away from it. So we've got a bullish candle on Friday but that RSI would suggest that we're actually dipping down into the sort of 40 vicinity which could suggest a break about 111 level which would take us quite nicely down to 110 which would match almost this low here and the rising trend line. So a little cluster of support there which could work out but I think kind of a little bit more downside to apps from here but again it's a choppy chart. The best trade will be when we finally break out and get some defined trend and because this hasn't been going a long time what I would advocate is not quickly taking your profit because the move out of this pattern could carry quite far. Now we're getting into the end of the webinar here so what I was starting to say before I think was that if you had any extra charts you wanted me to have a look at then just send me a quick note now. Cable is interesting. So we're basically at the bottom of this trading range so this is a possible long trade, possible British opportunity where we currently sit but we have had a break through the bottom of the range it hasn't sustained but Friday was still down on the day so not a particularly strong reversal and again we're in that situation where we're not actually oversold yet on the daily chart so only so many buyers going to be coming in here and I think arguably what the stronger pattern is this trend line kind of hit four times, five times is it and then broke, came back, touched, rolled over with pretty significant dust though and I suspect that maybe we could at least drop it down to this previous low here and then maybe back down to the 150 round number which is psychologically important but also was a cluster of resistance back here in March so not a great time to go short obviously because we're right at the bottom of the range scope for going short if there's a bit of a bounce to me especially towards the 200 day moving average but who knows from here because we are in, you know, it's a pretty obvious trading range isn't it so there are going to be people buying in I just don't know how far that can carry us given the downside momentum or we've been down one, two, three, four, five, six, seven, eight days in a row today closed as it is so that's a bit rough for the pound over to Dolly Yen brilliant trading if you're a range trader at the moment you know, if you're just known to buy and sell at the top of this range how many times could you have done that? Eight, ten, nice range trading looks very similar to the equity markets you'll notice you know, there is a good correlation between the Dow and Dolly Yen and so yeah, it's holding this range at the moment and so buying to the bottom of the top of the range well you can and look for the direction of the breakout but it's choppy and obviously everyone's paying attention to this not to miss the Yen but equities Yen has been kind of dictating the direction of equities a little bit but I suspect they'll both eventually go the same way one way to, if you are just trading one of these if you're trading just the U.S. there to, if you're trading just Dolly Yen sometimes it can be useful to see if the other one's doing the same thing it just gives the move a bit, the breakout a bit more validity if both are acting the same way a little request here for Euro pounds yeah, so I know much more to say on this I suspect that the equities were in bearish mode and that this bearish drop off is going to get followed through but it's not to say we could still get that continuation of this move after a push higher in the example of Dolly Yen we could get up to $123 again which is that previous low which was holding a price of that before the huge drop down so we could get a push up to there before rolling over and continuing this so just pick your stronger levels for where you want to take the trade base and where you think things are heading I tend to think things are still looking fairly bearish for equities in Dolly Yen Euro pounds and yeah definitely in the last few minutes of the webinar here we've all got a little request for Aussie Dollar Two a lot of discussions are false breaks today I guess that's a part of trading but here you can see this range in Euro pounds which is brilliant it's a difficult art form in trading is being multi-disciplined I don't necessarily advocate it because your mind will just get confused if you're trying to play breakouts and you're trading off the top and bottom of the ranges sometimes you just don't know which one to go for so it's a good skill if you can trade both if you've been going for breakouts now recently has been a rubbish trading commission so if you're range trading great if you can do both well done I tend to look for the trends I look at these ranges as opportunities for the next trend but accept that there probably is going to be a couple of losses during these range trading conditions but if you are a trend trader these range conditions that you're paying to keep just make sure you're there for the breakout when it does take place that's probably worth pulling out for a long-term perspective on this we're obviously hugging that 200-day moving average so this is really do-you-don't-you territory we're also in the top of this trading range it sort of looks like the Euro in general across a few different markets has put in a bit of a base the Fed didn't move the Bank of England are waiting for the Fed to lift rates they haven't lifted rates yet inflation is almost nothing in the UK there's no real justification for raising rates except this idea of looking through the drop in oil prices but eventually the central bankers they all want to keep interest rates low and they've got their excuse at the moment with oil prices causing low inflation so I think that's getting reflected here in the fact that the Bank of England probably still isn't going to raise rates anytime soon so maybe the pound is losing some of its luster and the Euro's basing against the pound possibly basing against the dollar as well so that being the case this could well be a bull flag and looking for an upside breakout we can't be sure of that looks to me more like a continuation than a top I think we've just got time here for the Aussie dollar this has been, talking about ranges and trends this has been the one to be trading for the trend this has been great trading and you can see on my side I've put in the I'm going to catch myself out here I've actually put in the 50 FNA just in order to capture the overbought get a better idea of the overbought conditions within what is actually a faster trend when it's more choppy range conditions it's just kind of confusing for me to have that many moving averages on the screen moving average to me is helping you when there's a trend when there's not a trend you don't need it I think there could of course be a base in the Aussie being formed I think we're at a pretty long-term level aren't we if I even put out what is it a weekly chart no it's not enough we're kind of in around of course yes the 0.70 round number so there's certainly scope for the Aussie debate here but we have pretty much broken this well okay that's as far as we can but yeah that's a massive long-term rising trendline we've broken below it still got plenty of room to go potentially in terms of monthly oversold we are in oversold territory and we've already had one little false break out of the oversold so we've conform a little double bottom in RSI push back above this rising trendline back off the 0.70 level I think we're looking better for a substantial move back up to maybe even 0.8 just look how many support factors are lining up here but in short term we are down we are still down I'm looking at a tweezer top here at the trendline false break at that peak the benefit of hindsight is looking back at Australia's a lovely trade I'm not going to put up the chat for him to see if I've been pointed it before it happens but yeah for me short term still in the bound trend and so you know certainly in the bounces here in Aussie dollar but aware of the fact that we're at this a couple of potentially pretty significant support levels so if we start to see a push back above this peak again this sort of zone that we formed here and that 50 day moving average first signs that that support level could be starting to hold and we could be on to a big long trade big break out the other way so that's the end of the webinar here we've went a fair bit over time so sorry to those who already had to skip out get back from your lunch break but I hope that was useful good luck trading with us this week and we'll see you again next week thank you just for all the signing out