Hey, this is Brett with Summit Auto, and this is a 2015 GMC Sierra 3500 Double Cab Long Box Dual Rear Wheel. This is stock number 12427Z. We're here at Summit Automotive in Fond du Lac, Wisconsin. You're new and used heavy-duty truck headquarters. This 2015 GMC Sierra 3500 has the 6.6-liter Duramax diesel engine. It pumps out 397 horsepower. This truck has been fully-safetyed and inspected by our service shop, has a fresh oil and filter change. All the fluids have been checked and topped off, and this truck is 100% ready to go. Onyx Black is the color, and we shoot all of our videos. This video is in 4K, so if you have HD capabilities on your computer, tablet, smartphone, or television, turn them on right now because it is your best way to check out the quality, condition, and options of the truck before seeing it in person. If you like the video and how we do stuff here at Summit Auto in the upper right-hand part of the screen, say Subscribe button, click that, and then click the bell notifications to our YouTube channel, where we do videos of our new and used inventory each and every day here at Summit Automotive. If you click that Subscribe button, you'll get notified every time we do one of those videos. This one comes with the steel rims with the chrome wheel simulators. They're in really nice shape, and it has Michelin LT 235 ADR 17 tires, and these tires have right around half the tread left. Frame and underbody on this truck is exceptionally clean, and like I said, we're shooting this video in 4K. This is our first full 4K walk-around video that we're doing, so maybe in the comments section on our YouTube channel, let us know how you liked it, and if we should shoot all of our videos this way. Front bumper is in excellent shape. Front bumper parking sensors, factory fog lights, comes with the LED running lights, and projector lamp headlamps, and it does have the chrome-trimmed grille. The hood is in excellent shape as well. I didn't see any dents or dings on there, and the passenger side front fender is in excellent condition as well. passenger side front wheel simulator, no scuffs or scrapes or cracks on that, and as you go down this side of the truck, take note of how clean the body is, how reflective and mirror-like that paint is. And we take these HD videos, so if you are far away, or even if you're close by and just cannot make the trip down, but you're still interested in purchasing the vehicle, you can see the truck, hear the truck, and have confidence in the vehicle that you're looking at before you even get here. So when you do get here, there's absolutely no surprises. You can make a smart and informed buying decision from wherever you're at. And if this video helps you out, let your salesman know that you saw the video. It was helpful that you enjoyed it, and that Brett sent you. Back wheel simulators in nice shape, and the back tires have just about as much tread as the front tires. See just how nice and clean that frame and underbody is on this truck. And it's like that all the way underneath. Has all the remaining factory exhaust, so it hasn't been altered in any way, shape, or form. And the cab corners and lower rockers all look really good. Comes with the factory chrome step bars. And you can see that the dually tubs don't have any rock chips or anything like that. In fact, it still has a 3M clear tape on there. Dually tub itself is in great shape. I didn't see any dents or dings on that. Comes with an ARE truck cap and a Luma Rack roof rack on there. Coming around to the back of the vehicle, the rear bumper is in pretty nice shape. There are a couple little dings right there other than that. Pretty nice shape. Does have the rear bumper steps and the rear bumper parking sensors, full towing package of course. Receiver hitch four pin and seven pin wiring. The tailgate is in really nice condition as well. The look inside the bed here does have a bed mat back here. And it does have the LED bed lighting. Looks like somebody has bed-linered at home the sides and back of the bed. Tailgate shuts nice and solidly, shuts nicely. Coming around to the driver's side just as clean as that passenger's side. No major dents or dings on this dually tub. Looks really good. And for full disclosure, this back wheel simulator is in nice shape too. And down the rest of the side of the truck looks really good. No dents, no dings. Does have the telescopic tow mirrors. They have built in directional signals. They telescope out like so and fold in like that. Inside the SLT package gives you the gray leather interior. There are no rips, there are no tears on the seats. They're in really nice shape. Has the factory all-weather floor mats, auto headlamps, turned out four-wheel drive, factory brake control. You get tilt and telescopic steering wheel, power windows, power locks, power mirrors and memory driver seat. You do get the wood grain trim on the doors there. We'll hop inside, turn the ignition on, check out the miles radio and everything that this truck has to offer on the interior. See that this one has 25,204 miles, you do get the digital speedometer and compass display. Instrument cluster is very nice and clean. Comes with the heated leather-wrapped steering wheel, Bluetooth and information center controls and the right cruise controls and the left heated steering wheel, forward collision warning controls there as well. This one does have the Allison six-speed automatic transmission with the optional tap shift and it does have the GMC Intel Link radio, AMFM and Sirius XM radio capabilities and it does have the factory navigation system on here. There is your Sirius XM, you also have all your different apps that you have there. This is also where your backup camera shows up, CD player. You do get heated and cooled seats, power pedals, stability control, that's for your cargo lamps. Also how you turn on the LED bed lighting parking sensors, lane departure warning and factory exhaust brake. You do get three USB ports, two 12-volt power points and then a 110-volt, 150-watt plug-in right there. Dual gloveboxes on that side, passenger side, floor mat and seat are in excellent condition. Smells very clean inside this truck and the headliner is in very nice clean condition as well. No rips or tears. This button indicates that you have the snowplow prep package, you also have your map lights up there, on-star and SOS buttons in the rear-view mirror. We'll take a quick look at the back seats and then we'll start it up and take a quick look under the hood. So the double cab does give you the doors that open up like the normal doors but just a little bit less room back here. You get the latch child safety system for any child car seats, fixed glass window with the built-in rear defrost and the seats are in excellent condition, no rips or tears back here. They do fold up for extra storage and you get those all-weather formats back here as well. Side curtain airbags in this truck and the bottoms of the doors all look really good on here. We'll start it up and take a quick look under the hood. No check engine lights or anything like that other than I just opened the hood. I would personally like to thank you for checking out the video today and hopefully from this 4K video you've been able to verify the quality and condition of this truck inside and out. Now these are just the normal halogen headlamps on there in the LED running lights. Under the hood we have the 6.6-liter Duramax diesel with the LML engine. Engine bay is very clean, runs very smooth. Once again this truck has been fully safety and inspected by Ulrich Savershop. Heard the state of Wisconsin inspection process has a fresh oil and filter change. All the fluids have been checked and topped off and this truck is 100% ready to go. There's your emissions sticker and I would highly recommend this truck from a quality and condition standpoint and to see more pictures of this truck or one of the other 450 new and used cars, trucks, SUVs, minivans, Wranglers, halftones, three-quarter-tons, one-tons, you name it, we've got to go to that website right there. www.summitauto.com, full pictures and descriptions of every single vehicle from two locations all at summitauto.com. If you'd like to check out more HD videos you can go to youtube.com. Number two, like, subscribe and share on this video and all the videos that you see there. Click the bell notifications, you'll get updates every time we do videos here at Summit Auto. In fact, in a second you'll see a link to subscribe to our YouTube channel on the upper left. You'll see GMC 3500 truck videos like this one on the upper right. Link to this vehicle on our website on the lower left and a link to one of our latest YouTube videos on the lower right. Click those check us out and we're super excited to help you with this Ultra Clean 2015 GMC Sierra 3500 Double Cab Longbox Dually SLT in Onyx Black Clear Coat. Thanks again for checking out the video. Remember to like, subscribe and share.


St. Lucia received its first international flight on Thursday, July 9, 2020, since the border closure in March 2020. Quarantine centres have been set up in St. Lucia using various hotels to facilitate the large numbers of returning nationals and non-nationals that may arrive of concern. This has proved to be an important measure in containing COVID-19 on Ireland and failure to adhere can have serious implications for disease containment. Quarantine is necessary for persons who are well and may have been exposed to a communicable disease. It applies to people who may or may not become sick. It restricts the movement of healthy people who may develop a disease after possible exposure to an infectious agent. It requires that persons stay in a designated location for a specific period of time. Active monitoring including temperature checks and checking for respiratory symptoms is done. The main policy for passengers returning into St. Lucia outside of the Caribbean bubble is institutional quarantine. After some assessments are done, passengers may qualify for home quarantine if they meet certain conditions and their home meets the criteria. Miners, usually those less than 18, and families with young children, individuals with underlying medical conditions, disabilities or post-surgery, persons coming in from low risk areas as defined by the WHO transmission classification. According to the Quarantine Act Chapter 11.16, Act 13 of 1995 revised December 31st, 2001, the Quarantine Authority is the Chief Medical Officer. The Quarantine Authority has the power to decide and govern quarantine facilities and indicate the persons or things that are detained for observation or isolation. When any place is in use for isolation purposes, a person may not enter or leave except with the general or specific permission of the Quarantine Authority. Over the last few months, people who have been granted home quarantine have not been adhering to the protocols of home quarantine. All persons on home quarantine are required to stay indoors for 14 days. As such, further restrictions on home quarantine have been instituted with immediate effect. Anyone found in breach of home quarantine will be immediately taken to government quarantine to complete the time. Under this Act, the police officers have their duty to enforce compliance. It also states that they may arrest without a warrant any person whom he or she has reasonable cause to believe has committed any offense. The public is asked to cooperate and encourage family members and friends who have returned from overseas and are presently in quarantine to remain at home for the 14-day duration. The names of all persons in home quarantine are forwarded to the Royal Tenducia Police Force to assist with compliance. The public is advised to alert the nearest police station or the Ministry of Health and Wellness at 468-531-8 or 468-5349 with information in relation to anyone who breaches home quarantine guidelines. Together, we can reduce transmission of COVID-19 introduction into our communities.


Hi everyone, Joe for JaspysCaseBreaks.com with 21-22 Tops UA for Chams League Soccer. It's Merlin Cromes UA for Chams League Soccer. Full case, pick your team at number nine from JaspysCaseBreaks.com, all-card ship. And then there's a 17-team combo that includes these teams right here. It's a total, so 18, you'll see it, I'll show you right now, 18 teams, new toner, let's go new toner. So 18 teams are sold outright and 17 teams were in that big combo that you saw on the list right there. If you missed out on the first time, we've got another case of Merlin Cromes loaded up on JaspysCaseBreaks.com. Great time to collect soccer with the World Cup coming up. There you go. There's kind of an awkward case there. One chrome auto per box on average, ladies and gentlemen, on average. I think every box should have an auto. Good luck everybody. Now we were talking about the World Cup venues just before we started this video. I didn't realize that they were selected already. Do you believe the World Cup is going to happen in a couple months? Now for the 2026 World Cup, I didn't realize that the venues were already set. Yeah, so Diego St. New York, Dallas, Miami, LA, San Francisco, Houston, Seattle, Illinois, Boston, Seattle, Atlanta, Philly, Casey, and Boston. What were the other cities? And those are the cities in the 1000s. So there's Vancouver, Seattle on June 16th, 2022. I didn't realize this went under my radar. Host cities were announced by FIFA, separate three geographical divisions. Vancouver, Seattle, San Francisco, Los Angeles, and Guadalajara in the western division. Kansas City, Dallas, Houston, Atlanta, Monterey, New Mexico, and Mexico City in the central division and Toronto, Boston, New York, Philadelphia, Miami in the eastern division. Two in Canada, three in Mexico, and 11 in the United States. None of the stadiums used in the 1994 World Cup, the use in this tournament, by the way. And the Azteca is the only stadium being used in this tournament that was used in 1970, 1986 World Cups. But no word on what the final is going to be. All right, interesting. Yeah, I was saying before the video, there's going to be a boost in interest in soccer. And in the secondary market as well. And man, if there's going to be a boost this year, there's definitely going to be a boost in four years. Especially if you get something like these youngsters, these rookies here. And there's Joe Rodin for Tottenham. That'll be for Andrew. You know, if they're good enough, they'll most likely be on their national teams. You know, so they may be youngsters now. But if they become stars by the time the next World Cup rolls around, it'd be a good time to hold and sell. There's Marcus Rashford to 225. Man United. That's going to be for Robert. Won that team in the filler. There's Jude Bellingham. That England-Germany friendly recently was pretty fun. Mason Mount, 14 out of 50 for Chelsea. That's for Robert. All-Cards chip, of course. Jude Bellingham also goes to Robert. That refractor going to Dortmund. Not his rookie card, but I feel like he's a pretty good player. All-Cards chip. And we've got Van Dersen for Monaco, 83 out of 199. That's different, Robert. Robert Montgomery with AS Monaco. Robert Runkel is the other Robert in this one. All right, box one in the books. All right, next box. Diego saying the fam and I are actually planning on going home to Guadalajara for it. Nothing like going to a Mexican soccer stadium. That sounds cool.  I don't think we're going to see... This might be Lionel Messi's last World Cup cycle, right? And probably Cristiano Ronaldo's last World Cup. I'm sure there's some other names, some other bigger names out there too. Yeah, definitely have to save up to watch some World Cup games. Maybe, like, maybe definitely the one in LA. Should we tag along? No, I think Diego is Guadalajara. I hope. We're a Chivas family here, Diego. Jason Jaspie, should we go with Diego to Guadalajara and watch a World Cup match in four years? Diego is full-blooded Chivas. Yeah, Jaspie is a Chivas family here. All right, we got Astor Vrensek 95 out of 99. That is for Volsberg, which I think is part of that big 17-team combo. You know what? I should have put that on the list here. Sorry, hang on, stand by. Wasting ink already. And we got an autograph here. We got Zidane Iqbal for Man United. That'll be for Robert R, Robert Runkle. Vige Dua, yeah, you want to go too? We can, should we take a Jaspie trip to Guadalajara? We can stay at, I don't know, Diego seems like his family there. Maybe we can go crash at their place. I'm sure hotel prices will be insane, even for Mexico. There's Jean Pacheco for Real Sociedad, 230 out of 250. That's part of the 17-team combo. That's for Robert Runkle. There is Lionel Messi, prophecy fulfilled. Will PSG win a Champions League? That's one of their big goals. There's Ansu Fati for Barcelona. That'll be for 150. That'll be for Robert Runkle. PSG is Andrew, by the way, we'll get that Lionel Messi insert. So there's the 17-team combo right here.  We'll learn things. All right, next box. I know this is a Champions League product, but it's hard not to talk about the Mundial when there's been so many, when we've been on an international break. A lot of Friendly is happening over the weekend. I think for almost, for most countries, I think this will be the last of their last tune-up games before they go back to their respective club teams and play all those matches and then a couple months. World Cup. Thanksgiving Day, around Thanksgiving. Thanksgiving for us, not for most of the world. Thanksgiving will be when the first game will be. No, maybe a little bit. I don't know. When does Thanksgiving fall this year? It falls on the 24th, Thursday of 24th. So match one, I think, is November 20th. So that's Sunday. So the week of Thanksgiving. So by the end of Thanksgiving, by the end of Thanksgiving, we may have most of the group stages done, actually, which is kind of crazy to think about. Because the group stages wrap. No, the group stages go, at least group A. Group stages might be done because they're starting first. But the last group stage, group H, their last match is the latest one, December 2nd. Saturday, Friday, December 2nd. There's Astor Wranczek again for Wulsberg. That's a 75. Wulsberg, I think, something like that. It's more like a V, right? Ws are more like Vs in German. That's going to be part of the 17 team combo. There's Zidane Ikval, rookie refractor for Man United. And it's going to be for Robert. And more for Robert Runkel, Paul Pogba, 14 out of 99. There's Lahtan Ibrahimovic. And there's Joshua Kimmich, 97 out of 199. I think got a bit of a knock in this match, but I'm sure the England-Germany friendly, he should be fine. And there's Brendan Rodgers. No, not the Rockies baseball player, Brendan Rodgers. Rockies infielder, I think, Brendan Rodgers. This is Boss Brendan Rodgers for Leicester City, 40 out of 99. The coach, the boss, LFAA. That's going to go to Kevin who got Leicester in the filler. They've been struggling a little bit. They've got to get their act together. All right, and then Diego, and yeah, I see it too. The knockout stage has started on the third and the final is on December 18th. All right, should we get thoughts from people? Group A is the host, Cutter, Ecuador, Senegal, and the Netherlands. Who advances out of that group? Top two in each group advance. Cutter, Ecuador, Senegal, and the Netherlands. I could see Senegal. I think Netherlands probably wins that group, right? Senegal second maybe? I want to say Senegal won the Africa Cup of Nations in January earlier this year with Sadio Mane. Both Kevin's are saying, Kevin M, Kevin C are saying Netherlands and Senegal. All right, looks like we're on the same page. All right, Spagoose says Cutter will cheat their way to advancing. Yeah, never count out a host nation, right, and the Netherlands. It's true. Yeah, South Africa made that run. Even Russia had a decent run when they hosted it, which is why I think we'll make a decent run in four years. Now, speaking of which, Group B, England, Iran, United States, Wales. Yeah, Spagoose is like, I just hope it's good. That's all I really want. That's got to be England, United States, right? Oh, Wales and England says Diego. The last friendly we had earlier today didn't look very good. I'm hoping England and the USA, although I feel like we'll get knocked out pretty quickly, depending on how the bracket lands up. But I think in four years is really what we're waiting for. Home soil should be pretty good. We'll have years to talk about this, but I'm pretty sure that the North American World Cup is when they're expanding it to like 72 teams. Next box, we'll talk about the next group. Is it expanding to 72 for the World Cup here in North America? 192 out of 275, Malo Gusto. It's a rookie card for Lyon. That's going to go to the Combo team, Robert Ronkelton. And we've got Joe Rodon for Tottenham. It's going to go to Andrew. Oh, group A and B play each other. Winner of A1 versus B2 is what I would imagine. There's Matias Tell to 150 for Stade René. That's going to go to Anthony Lu. What was it? Who was saying earlier? Was that Vigé, I think, was saying that Vigé opened a random box of some top chrome chains, like it ended up with a Lukaku Super Fractor, which is pretty cool. It was Gavi, rookie refractor for Barcelona. Robert Ronkelton with Barça. 40-18 total in 2026. There's Benjamin Sesco, Salzburg to 275. I don't know. Sometimes there's some sort of soft early group action. I can't imagine adding teams. Although, yeah, Norway should make it. We'll see. They better make it if it expands to that many teams. Let's move on to group C. Argentina, Saudi Arabia, Mexico, Poland. Who advances? That's a tough group from Mexico. I think it's got to be Argentina, Poland, right? Yeah, Kevin Spagoo saying Argentina, Poland. Most likely in that order. Argentina should top that group. Although, I don't know, it could go either way. Lewandowski's on that Polish team. They're pretty good. Group D, France, Australia, Denmark, Tunisia. That's got to be France, Denmark, I would say, in that order, I think. I mean, France is one of the favorites. Yeah, France, Denmark is what we're thinking. We've got Alfonso Davies for Bayern Munich to 199. That'll be for Robert Runkel. And the autograph is for Napoli. Khalidou Koulibali for Napoli. That goes to the 17-team combo picked up by Robert Runkel. And we got Ray N. Scherke for Lyon. 32 out of 50 also for the combo. There's Maxence Cacorette for also for Olympique Lyon. 218 out of 225. Part of the combo group. Dodger's at Padres on the background. Tied it to the bottom of the eighth. All right, little hydration. Sixth box, about halfway through this break. Probably have about another 35 or so minutes to go. I think we're right on schedule. Is anything else going to be full after this? That quick hit mixer should go. That last filler is down to eight spots. We got time to do it. That'll most likely be our last break of the night. I don't think the other baseball spots haven't moved at all. So I guess everyone's in a football mood. If you want to get that locked in, let's make it happen. All right, next group. Group E, Spain, Costa Rica, Germany, Japan. That's Spain, Germany, right? Maybe Germany, probably Germany first, Germany, Spain. I'm not sure if I really see Costa Rica or Japan surprising anybody. Well, I guess there's always a surprise. Spagoo is saying Spain, Japan. I feel like there's always a big club somewhere that stumbles and messes up. It never gets out of the group. And I guess Spagoo is going to say it's going to be Germany. Diego is saying Germany, Japan. No, it's a good gut feeling. Because like I said, I feel like there's always, can't always go chalk. You know, there was a year that, I mean, there was Italy missed a World Cup. You know, so like strange things can happen. All right, what about group F? Belgium, Canada, Morocco, Croatia. Belgium, Canada, Morocco, Croatia. That's a tough one. Croatia is always a tough team. Canada has looked really good in CONCACAF qualifying. I'll be that's against CONCACAF teams, but everyone's thinking Belgium, Croatia. I wonder if the Canadians can make a little noise here. Maybe Croatia starts to look old. There's a rookie refractor, Carmoquo Dembele for Celtic. That's part of the combo. Robert Runkle. Ooh, nice Lionel Messi, Mojo refractor for Paris Saint-Germain. PSG. Andrew. 45 out of 99. And some more color here. It's color autograph. Connor Bradley for Liverpool. Liverpool, Liverpool, Liverpool, Liverpool. That goes to Rick Thomas, 19 out of 25. Nice, nice rookie auto. And we've got Giannis Hagi to 250. That's for Rangers. It should be for the combo, right? And there's Rangers right there, the Scottish club. They have the famous rivalry with Celtic. The old firm could get real violent at times. There's Robert Lewandowski for Bayern Munich. Still Bayern Munich edition here to 50. That'll be for Robert Runkle. Smosala and Luca Modric. All right, halfway through this full case break. Ryan Hormberg, what's going on? Group G, Brazil, Serbia, Switzerland, Cameroon. I feel like Brazil's the obvious Group G winner, but is the Group G runner up? Is that as obvious? Between Serbia, Switzerland and Cameroon, Spago says Spago, Spago. I like Spago. Brian H says Switzerland. Kevin C says Cameroon. Brazil, Cameroon. Brian V says Switzerland is decent. I could see the Swiss surprising. Maybe moving on to the group stages. All right, next box, good luck. Cole Palmer from Man City, rookie refractor. We've been seeing a lot of this kid right here. Astor Vranczek to 75, rookie blue. And Nuno Mendez for PSG, for Andrew. Felix Safeya Gayan, rookie refractor. And then we got some green right here for Barcelona. Ebde Ezel Zuli, Ezel Zuli to 99. Barcelona, that'll be for Robert Runkle. But we haven't even got to Group H yet, Brian. I don't want to hear those thoughts first. There's Timo Verne to 199 for Chelsea. Robert Runkle has Chelsea. All right, the last group that we haven't gotten to, Group H. Portugal, Ghana, Uruguay, and South Korea. It's a tough group for South Korea, I think. They've got a couple good individual players, but I'm not sure if they really come together as a team. Portugal, Ghana's pretty good, aren't they? It's got to be Portugal Uruguay, right? Yeah, that's what Diego, Kevin, Brian V, they look like Portugal Uruguay. Kevin M thinking South Korea, Portugal. If Hyunmin Son goes nuts, starts banging in goals, that's a possibility. Dave Barrow saying Portugal, all the way. And that'll bring us to the round of 16. Quarter-final, semi-finals on December 13th and 14th and the final on the 18th of December. A crazy winter world cup, although it'll probably still look like summer in Cutter. All right, so as of September 26th, as of yesterday, here are your odds according to vegasinsider.com. I think the odds are provided by Caesars, MGM. So your World Cup winner odds, Brazil plus 450, France plus 600, England plus 700, Argentina plus 700, that's about seven to one. Spain plus 800, eight to one, Germany, 10 to one, Portugal 12 to one, Netherlands plus 1200, 12 to one, Belgium plus 1400, and jumps a little bit from to Denmark plus 2800, jumps again to Croatia plus 5,000. So we're really looking at your favorites, Brazil, France, England, Argentina, Spain. And even Spain are slightly long shots. I think in England to win it all, seven to one, Kevin M, Diego, Argentina or England, both seven to one teams. Jude Bellingham's going to blow up during the World Cup. Does that increase his transfer value? There's Timothy Wei for Lille, that's for Jacob. And the autograph is for Lester, this Hamza Chaudry. That's for Kevin, Kevin C and Lester, two Lester autographs for the team you won in that random.  There's Giovanni Reyna to 225 for Brucia Dortmund, that'll be for Robert Runkel. And I feel like you kind of have to go in the, you can't go Denmark 28 to one, that's a little too much. But I feel like if you want to be spicy, you got to go maybe around the 10 to one to 14, 15 to one teams. That's Germany, 10 to one plus 1,000. Portugal plus 1,200, Netherlands plus 1,200, Belgium plus 1,400. I mean, I kind of do like Portugal at plus 1,200. That doesn't sound too crazy. Portugal lifting the Jules Ramay. Remember when that trophy was stolen? It's about who likes France at plus 600. It's 27 out of 50 Giovanni Reyna for Brucia Dortmund. And that's Victor Ossimen, 17 out of 150 for Napoli. Ryan, they also have Diago Jota who's on Liverpool. They also have another young Sturgeau Fielish. So they've got like a crew of some young players surrounding Cristiano Ronaldo. Maybe Argentina, 701, that's, or a seven to one that is plus 700. It's hard to go some of the longer teams, right? Denmark 28 to one, Croatia 50 to one, Uruguay 50 to one, Senegal 66 to one. Can't go too high like that. But I mean, it most likely is going to be Brazil, France, England, Argentina, somewhere around there. If you want to get a little spicy, Germany, Portugal, Netherlands, Belgium could be interesting choices. Dave Vero said, hey, we won the Euro. Fewer is back. That's right. Portugal is not in the group of deaths this year. Better chance to make it. Diego is asking, yeah, there's always that one team that makes a run like Croatia. It's always that surprise team. Diego is asking World Cup goalscores, top goalscores, Harry Kane 7 to one, Mbappe 9 to one, Karim Benzema 12 to one, Cristiano Ronaldo 16 to one, Lionel Messi 16 to one, Neymar 20 to one, Memphis the tie 20 to one, Lukaku 20 to one, Diago Jota 33 to one, Jesus 33 to one, Venetius 33 to one. This one's a little more difficult. I feel like there's a lot of Brazilians kind of in the top like 15. I feel like they'll cannibalize each other's goals, right? That's not kind of outright. Now, Harry Kane might make sense if you think that England is going to go deep into the into the group stages. There's Jan Oblak to 275. And your autograph is Ian Acho for Leicester City. Another one for Kevin and Leicester. 65 and a 99. I want to say that there's always like some random striker for a team that doesn't even make it out of the group.  So he'll end up with like nine goals or something crazy like that in the group stages. Or maybe group stages in one like knockout stage. And their team will lose like four to three. And they'll get knocked out in the round of 16. But then he ends up winning the Golden Boot. There's Pats and Dhaka 55 out of 99 Leicester City. It's another one for the Foxes, Leicester City. I think England will play very hard here. Very hard defenses, David Barros. His name are right there and messy. Yeah, I mean England was just penalty shootouts away from winning the Euros. So I think the expectations for them are pretty high. There's Lukaku just 275. Oh, have I even said in all the breaks that I've done, have we seen any train whistles at all? Maybe one like an out of five? I definitely have not. I don't think I've seen a Super Factor. I feel like I would have remembered that. Even with my poor memory. No, not at all, right? Yeah, that's what I thought. Yeah, Poland's in. Poland as a national team usually are pretty strong. According to the same website Vegasinsider.com, we were talking about group stages earlier just for your information. Group A favorites are Netherlands minus 250 and Senegal plus 450. In group B England are the heavy favorites to win the group minus 300. USA plus 550, Wales plus 600. Group C Argentina the favorites to win the group minus 250. Poland right behind them plus 450. Mexico a little bit closer than I thought plus 500. Group D France minus 250, Denmark plus 300. Then it jumps to Australia 10 to 1 and Tunisia 14 to 1. Group E Spain minus 120, Germany plus 120 and then it jumps to Japan 10 to 1 and Costa Rica 33 to 1. Group F Belgium is minus 188, Croatia plus 250. Then Morocco 10 to 1 and Canada's 12 to 1. Mr. Ida was saying they're young but they're good but young. Maybe that experience factor. But they're behind Morocco? Maybe I'm just underrating the Moroccan team. Group G Brazil's minus 225, Switzerland is plus 450. Serbia's a little bit behind them plus 550. Group H Portugal's minus 163, Uruguay is plus 200. Two to one and then it jumps to Ghana and South Korea both 12 to 1. Nice return. All right there's Yosef Sanasic four out of 99 for Baron Munchen. Goes to Robert Ronkel. The rookie fracter Angel Gomez for Lille. That's for Jacob. And nice Ansu Fati autograph for Barcelona. Robert Ronkel with Barça. Won him in the filler 55 out of 99. That is not how old is he? I mean he's only he's 19. He turns 20 at the end of October. He'll be 20 by the time the World Cup starts. But if Spain does well it'll be one of the one of the reasons why for sure. There he is again refractor. Yeah oh yeah it's on the back of the card. Wait no it doesn't say it's on the back of this card. He may not make the team is that right? I feel like that'd be a little bit of a surprise. 002 out of 225. Rain Gravenberge. It's for Ajax. He didn't get a call up during the break interesting. Is he fit? Or maybe he's already going to be on the team so they want to look at it. Look at other people? That's interesting though. 8 out of 15. Pretty low number here. There's Nicolo Barella for Inter Milan. Is that part of the that's part of the 17 team combo. You would think they would just take them. I guess I guess they do have a lot of a lot of scores huh. But wouldn't you almost take them just for if only for the experience. Just to give him just to give him the taste of the World Cup. But I guess I mean if he's only 20. Kevin saying he's not a regular Barca just yet. Just due to all those injuries. Kid has been through a lot of young age. Oh yeah we haven't seen that yet right. Is that that thick card right down here? Yeah that's it. Should I do it here or should I do it after this box? Should we save it till the very end? Yeah Diego says milk it. Save it till the end. Spago says save it till the end. Well I'll save it till the end if there's no other objections. There's Diogo Jota to 250. It's only one more box. There's John Pacheco for Real Sociedad. Rookie Refractor. Diogo Jota for Liverpool. Rick T to 250. We've got Sonny Perkins. Western United to 150. Jacob with the Hammers. And there's your Renaissance. Mason Mount. Did he score a goal against Germany? That's a that's a case hit. That's a one per case. And that is for Chelsea. Robert Ronkel. Oh this box had the Renaissance and the match ball autograph. He did. Did have a goal nice. Sergio Ramos 66 out of 275. What a throw. Dodgers down a run. Top of the ninth in San Diego. Got runners on first and third. Max Monti up to bat. Two outs. One in one to count. Wild pitch from Josh Hader. Trey Turner comes home to score. Tied. Last box. One autograph in here. And then the match ball autograph. Those are one per case as well. One average I would guess. We got Miguel Gutierrez for Real Madrid. That's going to go to Robert Ronkel. Rookie Refractor. It's Cocoa for Atletico Madrid to 225. That's for Brian. Heyman. And we got for Man United Anthony Alanga. Under 23 stars. Rookie autograph for Man United. Robert. 74 out of 99. Nicola Barela for Inter. 107 out of 150. There's Leslie Yu for Rene. There's Angola Conte. 120 out of 199 for Chelsea. Rookie Refractor for Man United. Charlie Savage. And good luck everybody. We have Letaro Martinez for Inter Milan. And that is part of the 17 team combo. Going to Robert Ronkel. Bought that straight up. This might be a little more comfortable in a slider box actually. And these are really nice. There you go Robert. Quick little autograph recap. And the Renaissance insert. And some other lower numbered cards. Thanks for watching. Thanks for breaking with us. We got another case loaded up in the store right now. Check it out on jaspyscasebreaks.com. And I'll be happy to break some more soccer with you and chat some more soccer. Once UEFA Champion League starts ramping back up again we'll have some more Champions League stuff to talk about during a Champions League break. Thanks for watching everybody. I'll see you next time for the next one. Bye bye.


This is covering the spread part of the Fandall podcast network We can only hope that the rest of week 14 exceeds expectations by as much as Thursday night football did with it going like 25% over the total in that game 39 total points scored for Steelers and Patriots so the bar has been set high for week 14 We're gonna break down the rest of my prop betting perspective today with Tom Vecchio picking his brain on prayer player props at Fandall sports book Getting his favorites there then we'll wrap things up by talking to Austin cast about match week 15 in the EPL This is covering the spread right here on the Fandall podcast network and Fandall research My name is Jim Sonnis I am a managing editor of digital media for Fandall research joined here as mentioned by Tom Vecchio Check him out on Twitter at Tom underscore Vecchio one You can find his work here on Fandall research and of course on covering the spread with prime time Tom as well Tom Pleasure to have you on here for today. How you doing? I'm doing good. Thanks for having me back. Yeah, I would say a better game than a lot of people expected last night for Pat Steelers Decent amount of points scored. I think this week for the Sunday slate I think is probably one of the most difficult or the most difficult week I've seen from a player prop perspective, but I'm ready to go Hey difficult waters call for top-level experts So if we can't have JJ we got to get Tom in here to break it all down for us We're gonna do that here throughout the show for today And as mentioned we'll talk to Austin Cass later on about the EPL But first a reminder to make sure you're subscribed to covering the spread wherever you get your podcasts on that podcast Me tomorrow morning, you will find Tom's breakdown of Eagles versus Cowboys from a prop betting perspective You can find that right here on the covering the spread podcast be tomorrow morning and Over on Fandall TV plus to get Fandall TV plus go to fandall comm slash watch and log into their Fandall account You can watch up and Adams run it back You can watch covering the spread the heat check NFL shows and the daily ISO all in the same place on Fandall TV plus also on Amazon Fire Apple TV and Roku devices Now Tom, let's begin things here by talking about things more of a top-down perspective because We talked about this at Ed on yesterday's show But there are a lot of gains with low totals for this week and as we saw last night not all low total games Stooped to that level necessarily, but it does impact things for betting props So when you look at gains of low totals, how are you altering things from a process perspective for props specifically? I mean, that's that's one of the main things You know starting off like which game environments are going to enable X Y and Z when it comes to players production I and I think specifically this week a lot of the low totals They're also dictated a little bit by weather, which I think is a massive thing and I always have said on on various podcasts I'm not a meteorologist. I will always look for help in those certain areas. I follow Kevin Roth You know, he's been providing weather advice for many years in the DFS embedding industry So I look to him and I think the low total is have to be a starting point And when I said this is one of the tougher weeks, you know, if we look at the Texans Jets game for example CJ Stroud has been amazing Right and and there's not enough we could say about how good he has been and there's weather necking It's also a very difficult matchup in terms of the passing So I I think that's what we're dealing with this week is we have a lot of low totals And we have a lot of great players in really tough matchups or we have low totals with okay matchups But players that aren't consistent So the low totals obviously aren't very encouraging, but there are a few areas I think that we can go where the low totals actually makes sense in terms of targeting unders on certain props Right, and I think that part of it is asking why the total is low Like is it low because of weather like you said with the the Texans Jets game? Wind speeds right now for that game are at nine miles per hour But there's also rain in the forecast kind of the same thing with the Baltimore LA game I think that one is kind of overreacted to weather. It's gonna rain Wind speeds there 13 miles per hour, but I do still like the over at 40 and a half So it's kind of asking, you know Not only is the total low, but also why is it low? Is it bad quarterback play? Is it pace? Is it weather? Whatever it may be and I think that that does dictate a lot of stuff when it comes to deciding how to handle things there And unfortunately Tom for you this week. There are a lot of different answers for why the totals are low Right and it's like you said, it's not just one thing We can't just and I and this something I always say is like we want to incorporate as much as possible And then figure out what actually matters. Is it injuries? Is it weather? Is it starting quarterbacks? Is it potential pace play like whatever it is? And like we can add everything and then we can subtract what we don't need so some games It's clearly not whether some games It's clearly the bad quarterback play and then you just have to I guess parse through that and decide what's actually important All right So let's do that now Tom talk about some situations that may be in flux right now looking across the league a lot of situations that are kind of up in the air whether be to roll changes injuries, whatever it may be and we can look to those Situations and trying to find value in props. So any fluid situations you're digging into in week number 14 Tom for once those props are eventually posted Fandall sportsbook. Yeah, there's there's one that's posted and that's with the Kansas City Chiefs and I say with Checo has not been practicing this week. I think it's a Obviously a pretty bad indication for their potential running game Personally, I don't think CEH is a good running back that's just me and If Pacheco is a not good to go or be not fully healthy I think this just means more Patrick Mahomes and that and that I very clear again this and this is also like under my Assumption or my opinion that CEH is not a good runner So they're just gonna have to turn to the passing game time and time again So it's not like we're looking. Okay x receive x running back is out there for we go to y running back It's like no the running back is out. We're not fully healthy. That just means we're going to more of the passing key So Mahomes over 261 and a half Would be the spot that I would go based on what I think could be a potential shootout I also think the bill's defense has been clearly Overrated this year. They have not been as good as they have been in years past So I want to focus on Pacheco and that just means more Mahomes eventually Yeah, and we saw you seen this a lot with teams before I think the big example for me was the Texans when Damon Pierce got hurt initially They leaned heavily into the past that first game in part because the match was tough on the ground I think I don't recall what team they're facing that first week But they faced the Bengals next week and they were willing to run then but like the first game out the gates They just went very past heavy I think that was the Buccaneers game where Stroud had like five touchdowns like they were willing to throw because there was no Pierce you could see the same thing here and I think we've seen some slightly improved chemistry between Mahomes and Rishi Rice that could boost their confidence and passing and also wins beats here pretty reasonable seven miles per hour So I think that makes a lot of sense in terms of getting to Mahomes over to 61 and a half which is minus 114 right now if into a sportsbook Right and obviously not every situation is the same we we obviously should note Yes, like you said the cheese passing offense has been a little bit up and down this year not as consistent But this is a matchup where yeah, they're gonna have to spread the ball around a lot and it's gonna be a little bit of Kelsey It's not gonna be as much as we've seen potentially in years past But if Rice can step up a little bit Watson, you know has some up and down weeks But at least they're targeting him the ball a little bit downfield like get these players involved if they're gonna be ineffective on the ground Okay, so a fun game there any other situations you're zeroing in on Tom Yeah, it would be with Austin Eckler with the chargers and you know I'm shifter tweeted out the story the other day about you know, the quotes about you're gonna have a competition for carries at running back For the chargers a their offense hasn't been good, you know B Eckler outside of week one like he has not looked amazing. He's been very ineffective on the ground So I actually grabbed some props yesterday right after shifter tweeted that and I got Eckler under 52 and a half Rushing yards that number has changed really across the industry no matter we look I took under on his receiving props I took under on his combined Rushing plus receiving. I also took an alt under on I believe got under 40 rushing yards for him. So Listen, I understand Kelly hasn't been the most effective Even when he's on the field and he's absolutely his snaps are very limited his touches very limited But Eckler even when he's been on the field for the majority snaps. He still hasn't been great, right? So if they're gonna be taking even just a few touches away from him in the passing and rushing game Everything is pointing towards the under and listen. Yes. I understand the match up versus the Broncos is what it is But I'm still not buying into Eckler being like exploding for another hundred-yard game She hasn't had since week one, right last week I think the fact that Eckler's role decreased kind of got masked by the fact that he out carried Kelly 14 to 6 But Eckler snap rate in that game is 57 percent. That was his lowest since week seven Which was the second game back off of that ankle injury. So It was a legitimate role reduction already last week and now they're saying, you know, maybe they get Isaiah Spiller more involved I wouldn't be shocked by that because Kelly has struggled and like I Think it'd be similar to me to like a Chase Brown situation where Chase Brown and Monday for the Bengals got some worker Noidowns as a runner. They didn't trust him to the pass block didn't trust her on rounds But like they trusted him to one. So I would say like I Would really doubt we ever see an Isaiah Spiller rush attempt prop Like I don't think a book would post that but like you get a miracle and like you can get some action on Spiller Maybe even any time touchdown is kind of tough for me to talk myself into just because like I don't know if they'd trust him in that Situation but like I think he could be used similar to Brown in that they could mix him in because you're right Kelly's been bad But like it's very clear what they've been doing hasn't been working So might as well try Spiller and kind of see what happens, right? And listen, I don't know what's gonna happen with the coaching staff for next year. I don't think it's I think we know Yeah, it's probably not gonna be in the same thoughts, but yeah, why not get him involved and and frankly like Eckler even when he's out there even when he's breaking off some runs like he doesn't look like himself He doesn't that's what he looks his worst when he breaks off right He doesn't look explosive. He doesn't look like he has that that sharp cutting quick cutting So I think it's all about like Eckler unders this week. Yeah, I'm on board with that as well What and I think that effectiveness wise especially that's where we're looking at the unders for sure Okay, any yardage props you're digging right now over at Fandall Sportsbook, Tom So I'm starting off with one that you said I Guess it's the Bravins and it's Lamar under and you said that the it was maybe a too much for an overreaction, but It's underpassing Okay, you know from what I'm seeing with Roth and the wind speeds we'd have to double check this But he has posted that it we could be seeing winds around 15 with gusts over 20 That's what I'm seeing it whatever you looked at. I think he said 13 13 is like the sustained. Yeah, okay, so I'm factoring that in there's gonna be some rain. How much rain obviously is yet to be fully determined, but If there's gonna be an issue with passing the ball We already look at the Ravens and they come in with a 48.75 past play percent It's the lowest in the league and the Mars only been over this number in I've been under this number I should say under 197 half and under three of his last five So to see them rush the ball at a very high rate would not be surprising if we have a little bit of extra wind If there's rain Lamar is also dealing with an illness on the practice report Which is not Mars being system is the worst, right, which is I'm gonna say is actually pretty common for him So I'm adding all these things up and saying okay There's going to be some amount of wind some amount of rain for a team that does not pass the ball at a super high rate Or I'm not even saying it didn't pass at a league average rate through the lowest in the so in to me It leans towards Lamar under That's where I would be initially yelling I think the passing yard aspect makes sense taken under I was more talking about the game total at four and a half Like I have the wind in my model and it knows it's 13 miles per hour and like, you know Roth is the actual meteorologist. I'm using weather underground to like, you know find out what the wind speed will be but like When you put in 13 mile per hour winds I get a total around 44 for this game and it gets me a win on a key number of 41 So like I don't think it's necessarily contradictory for you to like be under on the passing yardage Me to like be over on the game total just because this total is pretty low where it sits right now And that number for LeVar is not outlandishly Low either so I think that both of those could work in constitute that doesn't make a ton of sense intuitively, right So another one I have for that same game would actually be Kyron Williams over 16 and a half rushing attempts And if I'm under the same assumption that the wind's going to play a factor Again, this doesn't again. Lea said doesn't necessarily correlate with the total scoring It's just more about what the game flow i'm expecting And I think they're going to feed him the attempts and I understand the the ravens. They're they're solid against the run They're also, you know I'm not going to say a team i'm worried about but I also think McVeigh is just going to run the ball time and time again Because that's what he does with Kyron Williams out there So over 16 and a half rushing attempts is a spot that would go because ultimately I don't care about the efficiency in terms of racking up yards against what i'm going to say is a relatively solid rush defense But him pushing that just because they have to and they may not be able to pass the ball deep Because of the external weather factors I think is a spot that he can get to Even if he only has like 60 yards or 50 yards on or whatever it is Right Kyron again over 16 and a half rushing yards minus 114 right now at Fandle Sportsbook. I also think that Gus Edwards, Keaton Mitchell the way that they mesh together is pretty interesting because before the bi-week We did see Keaton Mitchell inch up Nine carries for him there Gus Edwards at eight and that's right where their props are at right now with Mitchell being Lowered eight and a half And Edwards at nine and a half they're juiced the same you know the the right direction So you're paying a tax to bet on Mitchell's role expanding But did at least catch my attention to see those numbers down there towards the bottom of the screen Any other yardage props tom or do you want to transition over to touchdown props soon touchdown prop? Okay, what you see in there as far as value this week I like Jameer Gibbs for a touchdown at plus 150 and the Bears are obviously super solid against the rush this year, but they're actually terrible against running backs in the passing game They've allowed a 713 receiving arts and running backs That's the most in the league and they've allowed five passing touchdowns to running backs That's time for the second most in the league. So we have the Lions who have a solid and plight team total their favorites on the road Yes, we obviously have to deal with this split with Montgomery there and Montgomery still sees the majority of Of the snaps and he's gonna be the red zone rushing back, you know, whatever it might be But Gibbs at plus 150 combined with the matchup in the receiving game combined with their team total I think does present a good bit of value this week This is another game where we've actually in the weather improved throughout the week Wind speeds initially in Chicago were I think 18 miles per hour and they've now decreased The projection is 11 miles per hour. So that's better for like an overall scoring environment I've got this total of 44.8 personally. So a bit above where it's at at 43 and a half So that's a conducive as well. And we talked about that past catching Inefficiency for the the Bears defense on our DFS show yesterday too. So like, you know aligned in that regard And Gibbs does have a pretty good red zone role still in the game since Montgomery came back He has 30.4 of the team's red zone carries or targets So he's still involved in close even if Montgomery does take a 32 share himself So I really think that's a pretty fun way to go at this Gibbs plus 150 I'm not opposed to that at all personally either Right and the weather like you said is improved. I wasn't expecting Like I'm not expecting golf. I know he struggles on the road a little bit and I want to get into a golf debate with you, but It's very wise Right. I like to me when I'm looking at the weather, okay, okay They may not be pushing into super far downfield We know that Gibbs is going to be there for these check downs So that's where this path opens up and the Bears are already not stopping Running backs beginning to begin with in the passing game the quick check downs for Gibbs will be there Hopefully he breaks off a tackle and finds his way into the end zone. Yeah golf outdoor games do make me uncomfy So, um, like as a golf truther, uh, my my dear son I want to protect him at all costs and they do make me very uncomfy So there is that for sure anything else time before we close up shop for today Uh, no, I got I'm big on my homes. That's probably one of my that's trending up is one of my favorites if Pacheco is out. They're not going to run the ball A they're not going to run it at a high volume with c asian b He's not going to be effective if they do so. Well, I do need I do need pacheco to play for dynasty so slight request like we can still get my homes there But hopefully via pacheco as opposed to pacheco sitting, you know, we can both be happy at the same time I think That is tom vechio. Make sure you check him out on twitter at tom underscore vechio one find him right back here again On saturday morning prime time tom breaking down to the cowboys versus the eagles tom. I'm looking forward to that Uh, pleasure to have you on once again for today and have a fantastic weekend. Thanks for having me Alrighty, we're gonna talk some soccer with austin cast here in just one second to get you ready for e pl match week Number 15 but first score early this nfl season with fan duel america's number one sports book right now new customers Get 150 dollars in bonus bets with any winning five dollar moneyline bet That's 150 bucks if your team wins if you've been thinking about joining fan duel There is no better time to get in on the action. The app is so easy to use There is a wide range of betting options including spreads player props totals and more so visit fan duel and kick off the nfl season Fan duel official partner of the nfl must be 21 plus at president select states Fan duel is offering online sports wagering in kansas under an agreement with kansas star casino llc first online real mini wager only Five dollar pregame moneyline wager required ten dollar first deposit required Bonus issued is now a drop of bonus bets that expire seven days after a seat See terms at sportsbook dot fan duel dot com gambling problem call 1800 gambler or visit fan duel dot com slash rg in colorado iowa michigan new jersey ohio pennsylvania illinois kentucky tennessee and virginia Call 1800 next step or text next step to five three three four two in arizona one eight eight seven eight nine seven seven seven seven or visit ccpg dot org slash jack netiquette 1809 with it in indiana 1805 222 4700 to visit ks gambling health dot com at kansas 18077 770 stop in louisiana visit md gambling health at organ maryland 1800 gambler dot net in west virginia 1805 222 4700 wyoming hope is here visit gambling helpline ma.org or call you hundred three two seven 50 50 for 24 seven support in massachusetts or call 1807 70 open y or text open y in new york Next up. Let's talk some soccer and austin Again, you're setting the bar too high for yourself. This is austin cast you can find him on twitter at austin cast find his work over at Fandal research austin we have you.  How you doing today? Yeah, hey, I'm doing a while high region. I am great. I appreciate the insights from last week It was a lot of fun Let's see if we can run it back once again for this week now We're gonna talk about the matches across this weekend in a second first I want to talk to you more holistically and I think I've picked your brain on this before But when we're talking about this before we're talking about like non epl matches but this week there were a lot of midweek epl matches and You know, I think that rest matters a lot Because soccer is a very difficult sport to play So I wanted to ask you do we need to make any adjustments? when we have matches during the week or Are these players so used to playing matches midweek across the various leagues they play in that They're used to this sort short of a turnaround I think fixture congestion is definitely a factor The playing field is a little more level this week because all the premier league teams played midweek Sometimes it's just teams who are on European competitions So there would be a situation where a team's had a week off while their opponent had just played three days ago Which obviously is an advantage um I also think travel something to consider. I think that I know that's a factor for you with Other sports and it's not as big of a factor with soccer because of how the domestic leagues work compared to how we do it Here, I guess ours are domestic leagues as well. Just a lot bigger country bigger Yeah So yeah, sometimes with teams playing so many matches in a short amount of time managers will opt to rotate their squads Give players a little more rest than usual during this month. Um, this is definitely the biggest Busiest stretch december for the premier league with the holiday season. They're like festive calendar. They play a lot of games here these next few weeks typically osmakers react very quickly to Unexpected team news or they have knowledge of it before everybody else does But the biggest impact for me is with betting player props with scrawl rotation being more prevalent I like to wait until I see the starting lineup before I place the prop Uh, not every sports because of same rules But for the most part if you place a prop today on one of saturday's matches and the player isn't starting The the prop will Be live if that player gets any sort of game time at all. So maybe five to ten minutes If he doesn't play at all and doesn't get on the field then it's usually voided But yeah, you just don't want to be stuck in a situation where you need someone to score and they play five minutes And I think that with a lot of these markets at least based on what I've seen It seems like they operate under the assumption these guys will start or most of them if they're like an assumed starter So like you're not going to be getting Significantly worse odds if you wait like yes, there could be a situation where Sharp bettors are on that person beforehand and they move the market But it sounds like to you that trade off of potentially getting a slightly worse number is worth it in order to ensure You're not using a guy who could be a a late match sub and not play a ton of minutes Yep, absolutely. You nailed it. I think you mentioned ma pay Earlier, he's a perfect example of that doesn't always start But they add him priced as if he was going to start in a striker role So there really wasn't much advantage there Okay, so let's transition now and talk about some games here across saturday and sunday full 10 games Across the two days for the epl anything stand out to you and the traditional markets to kick things off So I want exposure to main chester city for their match at luten town, which is sunday at 9 a.m I think the best way to to bet that match is to take luten to go under 0.5 goals, which was priced at minus 130 Um Yeah, you'll find if you keep scrolling down there. They're the home team. So I know it gets tricky There's a lot of markets. Yeah so Man City are in a funk right now They've gone without a win four straight league matches and they just got handled by aston villa on wednesday in a way You just rarely see this city side lose With villa sustaining attacks, especially in the second half Villa amassed 2.3 expected goals to city 0.6 According to fb or f6 expected goals model You really that just doesn't happen to cities they they lose games for sure sometimes but It's usually teams hitting them on the counter Or let's city make a mistake at the back or something. This was just villa doing to city what city do to everybody else So given the results liver pearl and arsenal have been getting city Really need to write the ship as soon as possible. And I think we see an angry city side take out some frustration luten town on sunday luten just put up a fight against arsenal midweek Losing four to three But that scoreline flattered luten quite a bit as they lost the xg battle 2.2 to 0.5 They really struggle in attack. They haven't totaled at least 1.0 expected goal in any of their last six matches despite getting shut out only once in that span So they're due for negative regression in the goal department. They're getting city what I think is a really bad time and When putt barrio sides desperate to make a statement And rodry who's sitting who is city's uh holding midfielder And they've lost four the last four matches that he hasn't played.  They just Won in trouble last year, which means they won the premier league a domestic cup and the champions league Extremely rare and unbelievable achievements and maybe they've taken their foot off the gas a little bit Uh, they've lost what I thought I just think their squad depth in general isn't as good this year as it's been in previous years and they Just play a more defensive style than what they've used to early Holland is an amazing player probably the best tracker in the world I think even last year, which was his first year on the team They took a step back from the previous year just by most expected goal metrics in attack And I think he maybe has made them more efficient but It's made them a little more boring and then then what they used to be just to watch from a neutral perspective so I think it's just a few factors. They're probably a little complacent maybe and As you mentioned they're even money to win the league now and I think that's gotten to a point where If you just follow the rule of any time city or like Even money to win the league just that heavy on them. You'd have done pretty well because This sort of thing happened last year. Yeah, and they ended up riding the ship and winning the league As you called on this show again Bring it back to austin setting expectations too high. So let's let's bring it back to that. Yeah, and like It's it is interesting to see this happen, but also like we're Talking like the scholars this guy is falling for a team that's still 50 odds to to win the whole thing So they'll probably ride the ship eventually especially as things get healthier for them any other traditional market bets You're eyeing for saturday and sunday austin So yeah, the the other one I like is also on sunday. It's in the tottenham newcastle match I'm taking spurs to win at plus 110 So this is this is a really big match for both teams That these two and astin villa as of right now are the teams battling for fourth place, which is Possibly the last champions league spot. There's a chance fifth place also gets in but i'm not going to get into all that right now Uh To be honest tottenham's expected goal numbers aren't all that good this year And they just lost at home yesterday the west hand But this is mostly a bet on spurs high energy Pressing style being able to overwhelm a newcastle side that's been decimated by injuries and is running on fumes Due to qualifying for the champions league this year newcastle have had some added fixtures on their schedule That coupled with a long injury list is starting to take a pretty big toll on eddie house side Their lack of depth has gotten to the point where they've played in four matches in the in an 11 day span And they used the same starting line up in every match Every team yesterday all seemed to catch up to them They conceded three times in the second half and the 3-0 loss And every team deserved every bit of the three goals as they recorded 3.6 expected goals So I think tottenham's pressing style Is really tough to play against for for everybody Even when teams are fully fit and rested and I think That newcastle Might get overwhelmed a bit On sat on sunday. Sorry against tottenham. So I like tottenham to win Tottenham's money line is plus 110 right now fandals sportsbook. I was on twitter yesterday and patty power Tweeted out a meme. It's a it's a uk meme that I didn't understand But it was like a young fresh-looking man saying Newcastle at home And then it was like him kind of disheveled and it said newcastle on the road Do you agree with the patty power which is a phenomenal twitter account by the way Do you agree with their assessment that newcastle just shrivels up when they're on the road? I don't know if I'd say that by results. This definitely happened and you're right patty power is like truly a twitter account, but um Yeah, I I think it's more The injuries they things have been really bad Like just just crazy bad for them And then in the past week Nick Pope their goalie dislocated shoulder. He's out up to four months. I think and then Yesterday's game jamala cells who's a backup center back who's been playing He kind of limped off with an injury as well They really just have no depth and it's the worst time of the year for them to run into that And they've got a huge champions league game on either tuesday or wednesday They've got a chance to get out of their group. So That would be a massive achievement for them So there might even be a chance that they feel a weakened lineup on sunday I doubt it with how big this game is for the top four, but I just think they're running on fumes. They're trying to get to january When they can make some transfers and add some depth to the team Just trying to keep their head above water until then and they're slowly sinking Well, newcastle's been good to us this year. So it's it's sad to to turn on them now, but Tottenham plus 110 is where awesome is turning there. What about player props? What are you seeing across this weekend there, Austin? My favorite player prop is in saturday's bernley brighton game I like kairu metoma to score or assist, which I believe is minus 110 Metoma is the danger man for brighton. He's a really fun entertaining player to watch He's got three goals and four assists over 11 league starts He's actually in a bit of a goal scoring grout right now But this is a great spot for him to snap out of it and despite The goal scoring drought. He's still been very good Once you pop the hood and look at some of his Expected goals and expected assist metrics. He's been credited with 22 Shot creating actions over his last last six starts in all competitions per fb rep He was excellent midweek against rentford logging four shot creating actions and two goal creating actions and round to an assist I think he can thrive against a bernley side that's below average defensively This match is minus 173 to go over two and a half goals. So it should be Fairly open game. So I like him to score or assist on saturday Yeah metoma now minus 105 to score or assist a slightly better price there on metoma than previously, which is uh good news for us So minus 105 on metoma in the brighton versus bernley match That is austin cast once again, you can find him on twitter at austin cast find his work over at fandor research as well Austin a delight to have you on the show I will not hold you to keeping up the undefeated streak here Do not worry about that, but I appreciate you having uh coming on as always and have a fantastic weekend Thank you. Jim you too appreciate it. Alrighty find austin cast on twitter at austin cast And that is all that we have here for today on the show want to thank tom vechio once again For swinging by find tom on twitter at tom underscore vechio one I am on twitter at jim sonnis. You can find me on threads at jim dot sonnis and you can find fandor research on twitter At fandor research reminder tom is back with you once again tomorrow breaking down Cowboys and eagles on the covering the spread podcast feed and on fandor tv Plus our breakdown in full of nfl week 14 with dr Ed fang is up on the covering the spread podcast feed the fandor youtube page and fandor tv plus as well Want to thank you all for tuning in throughout this week. Have a fantastic weekend. Good luck to you with your bets We'll talk to you once again on monday to get you ready for a two game slate on monday night football This has been covering the spread right here on the fan dual podcast network