An important change in mathematics occurred in the Islamic world during the 8th century. Prior to this time, problems were solved in a number of different ways. We might describe them as guess and modify the Egyptian ah-ha method, clever guessing as in diathontist, and follow these steps as in the Mesopotamian quadratics. But there is no elements-like organization of problem-solving methods. And this leads us to the man from Qarizm. Muhammad ibn Musa al-Qarizmi wrote a book on problem-solving. We know very little about his life beyond his name, Muhammad, son of Musa, from the Qarizm. That's a region in Central Asia, just south of the Aral Sea, in what is now modern-day Uzbekistan. Like Euclid, he was not the first to organize problem-solving methods. But like Euclid, his was the influential work and replaced all previous works. Qarizmi's book was titled The Book of Completion and Restoration. Now in Arabic, completion is al-jabta, while restoration is al-mukhabala. And this is why we refer to general problem-solving as al-mukha, um, algebra. Oh, and one other word from al-Qarizmi, we get another word, the process by which a problem is solved is called an algorithm. Al-Qarizmi's algebra is organized along Euclidean lines. A problem is presented, a solution is given, the solution is then proven. The basis of the proof is geometry, so we have to interpret expressions as geometric objects. This leads to the principle of homogeneity. New geometrically, an expression like x squared plus 4x plus 5 is nonsense. X squared is, as its name suggests, a square, a two-dimensional object. If x squared is a square, then x is one side, and 4x is four of those sides. And 5, well since 5 is a number, it's a bunch of units.  These can't equal anything. To make sense of all of this, all terms have to represent the same type of object. They must be homogeneous. Now since x squared is a square, we can try to interpret all terms as two-dimensional objects. So x squared is a square with side length unknown. For x, well let's make that a rectangle with one side x and the other side 4. And 5, well we'll make that a rectangle with area 5. This leads to a new problem. While x squared plus 4x plus 5 makes sense as an expression, x squared plus 4x plus 5 equals 0 is nonsense as an equation. Because this says we have a bunch of figures, and if we put all these figures together, we get nothing. So instead, we have to consider several cases. Two aren't very interesting. x squared equals a, and x squared equals px. Now in the geometric language, x squared is a square, and a is a number, so this first case is called square equal to number. And that's like saying we know the area of the square, what's the side length. The second case, p times x, well x is a side, so this is referred to as square equal to sides. The three important cases, x squared plus px equals q, square and sides equal to number. That's like saying the square and this rectangle equal some area. x squared equals px plus q, that's square equal to sides and number. So our square is a rectangle with the same side and some other figure. x squared plus q equals px, square and number equal to sides. Or our square and some other figure are together equal to the rectangle. So Alcorizmi considers the problem, a square and ten sides is equal to 39. This is a square and sides equal to number, and as in the elements, Alcorizmi describes a procedure, then proves it geometrically. So Alcorizmi's procedure, take half the number of sides, five, square the result, 25, add to the number, 64, take the root, eight, then subtract half the number of sides, three. And our solution is this final result. Alcorizmi then proceeds to prove that this solution works. In particular, he has to show that this is going to work regardless of the actual numbers. So the task at hand is to draw a figure that represents a square and ten sides. Well, we know what a square looks like. And the side of the square is our unknown. We also want to represent ten sides. Well, that's going to be a rectangle where one side is our unknown and ten is our other side. And so this is the figure that is equal to 39. And we can view that as saying that the area of this figure is 39. And our goal at this point is to figure out what this unknown side is. And we'll do that by manipulating our figure. And that manipulation proceeds as follows. So let A be our square. Now we've added ten of its sides by adding this rectangle, which has one side the unknown and the other side of length ten. But let's split this in half so we can add ten of its sides by adding two rectangles, C and D, both with one side five. Notice that we have an incomplete square. So we'll complete our square by adding in this missing piece. And note that the missing piece is a square with a side of five. Now, since the area of the figure doesn't change if we move its pieces around, this object still has area 39. And if we add this square with a side of five, well, the area of the square is 25. And so the area of the whole figure is 64. But since it's a square, we know the side length is eight. And we know this part of the figure has length five, so the original square has side three.


Hey, be a star.  No, black star rocks. It really does. That sounds so good. Hey, you guys. My name is Alyssa Bonagura, and I'm here at the Black Star headquarters in Miltampton. And I'm from Nashville, so this is pretty cool for me to be here. But today I have been checking out the Amped One 100 watt amp in a pedal, which is so cool. The fact that I can take this around the world with me and it uses different voltage and whatever place that you're in is pretty awesome. I always worry about that when I take my pedal board and I can't plug in my pedals to a UK plug. So that's pretty cool. That's probably one of the coolest things about it. The other cool thing I love is you can create any kind of reverb that you want it to sound like. And there's also a really cool freeze function. I am all about a vibey sound. So reverb to me is really important. And the sound of reverb is really important. But I think the coolest thing about this for me is that when I play a lot of festivals and I travel around, sometimes they don't have the amp that I play normally or the sound that I want. So I can really cater what I do and put it in this and preset it so that I can show up anywhere and plug it into a DI if I need to, if I don't like it, if I don't like any of the amps over there. Or you can just plug it right in. So it's pretty amazing. And I'm really, really excited that I get to play these. What else? The different valve settings are sick. And also the fact that it's got a UK and a US sound, I know that I'm from the US, but I tend to like the UK sound a little bit better. And also it doesn't have a proper stand, so this is me. I think what makes Amped One so great is the fact that it's completely customizable. So you can take your laptop with you and plug it in and download the Blackstar software. And you can go in and completely customize the amp sound, the room sound, the mic placement sound, the reverb sound, whether it's a plate, a room, or a spring. Yeah, it's just fabulous. It's also fabulous because it's quite small. And especially because I'm a girl, I like to take things that aren't too heavy. So this is pretty cool for me because I'm already lugging around my guitar. So yeah, I just think the Amped One is pretty sick. And I'm stoked to get to play it. So now I'm going to plug this into my pedal board and we're going to get some tones with all my other effects and stuff, and check out, have a play with all the different sounds. And dude, that's sick. I think everybody should have one of these. If you play guitar, everyone should have an Amped One because it's super easy. And it's really great to be able to bring your customizable sounds with you wherever you go, especially in different environments that you play. Different clubs, different arenas, different stadiums. You can have the same sound that you get on the record. Or just when you're practicing and having a good time and you love it, you can take it with you. So I think that's the coolest thing about this. So make sure you go get an Amped One without now. Blackstar's the best. Blackstar's the best.


I'm going to be talking about South America but what I'm going to be also advocating for is the need to look at regional free movement of people beyond the European Union and in that regard I'm very interested in talking with those of you who work with ECOWAS in particular. I attended yesterday a couple of presentations on ECOWAS which were really interesting because what I find quite frustrating is that when you have comparisons of different regional models, whenever the EU is part of that comparison, the EU always stands at the top of whatever they are comparing as an ideal model and then everything seems to have to converge into an EU model in order to be successful and I think that is not very useful because obviously each particular region will have its own narratives, idiosyncrasies and characteristics and therefore we need to take into consideration that when we're discussing about free movement of people. Free movement of people is of course central not only in South America, I don't know if you know that 120 countries are involved in the world in some sort of free movement of people arrangement with different levels of course of development and with different characteristics but this is an ongoing trend which is very important and really vital in understanding it better. I'm working on South America and actually finishing a book on the legal construction of the national and the foreigner in South America for the last 200 years so migration and citizenship laws in the region for 200 years. Cambridge is going to publish that book and send in the manuscript next week so hopefully by May you will have it and I can if you if you're interested let me know and I can put you in the list of people I'll let know when when this is out right and why is South America you may wonder right why why is South America an interesting region and whenever I present South America anywhere in the world and this is the first time obviously I'm presenting this in Africa I always begin with this sentence which is as you can see quite a striking one right there are human right to migration human right to migration where have you heard that before never in your life possibly right so the human right to migration and the recognition of migrants the subjects of law must be at the center of the state's migration policies we claim that conditional respect of the human rights of migrants and we reject a number of things among others any attempt to criminalize irregular migration and I always ask my audience who wrote this sentence and I can tell you was not the European Commission it was not Donald Trump's administration who wrote this sentence who do you think wrote this sentence a very liberal scholar an NGO sorry our marks well it was actually this is a sentence coming from the Buenos Aires Declaration which is a declaration from 2013 and is signed by all 12 countries in South America and and it's actually part of a larger discourse that is happening in South America since the turn of the century and that has led to South America possibly being the most the region with the most open discourse on migration if you like and this is as you can see it has three key principles that is there are now is slowly being also translated into laws we have new laws in all the countries in South America since the turn of the century is set for Colombia or Colombia is a new law but it's not a great example is set for Paraguay and Chile but in Paraguay and Chile we also have new law proposals to amend their migration laws and as you can see there are three emerging principles if you like non-criminalization of irregular migration and the right to migrate as a fundamental right and then this idea of open borders at regional level first a son people claim that constructing a South American citizenship will be a first step towards a universal citizenship and this rhetoric is having an impact not only in national laws but also in regional laws and the most important agreement that we have a regional level is the Mercosur residence agreement and I'm going to explain in a second how it works and the challenges that it has right and this is obviously leading to South America and South American policy makers but also scholars to make two claims about what is going on in the last more or less 15 years in the region the first claim is that what is happening in South America is innovative is innovative in the sense of being new right it's a new approach to regulate migration right and the second claim is that what is happening in South America is exceptional it's exceptional in the sense of being better than the approach that the US or Europe take on regulating migration and it's part if you like of a moral avant-garde approach to regulating mobility and migration right so what I do in my book is to take those two claims and to problematize them so in order to problematize the first claim this claim of innovation I need to go back into history and I need to start seeing how South American countries through their nationality immigration laws how they legally constructed the figure of the foreigner because obviously when you have a new estate you have to decide what is my territory how do I govern myself and then you have to decide who is a national who is a foreigner and obviously nationals or foreigners are not beings found in the nature right these are beings that are legally constructed through political decisions so I go into history 200 years of analysis of history to assess the first claim and then in order to assess the second claim the second part of my book is about what is going on right now in South America and to see whether these free emerging principles non-criminalization right to migrate and open borders whether they are really translating into laws in a way that is different and in that regard innovative from what is happening in other regions around the world right or exceptional sorry so if you look at this map which I like better this is a map by a Japanese architect but it gives you a better measure of the size of the continents and of course being a map by a Japanese Japan is at the center of the map right and if you look at this map you can see that a huge region which is South America in the early 19th century obtained independence from basically Spain the largest part or nine countries emerged from what was Spain before and one country Brazil emerged from the Portuguese colonial Empire right and apart from tiny pockets in the north right which are now Suriname Guyana French Guyana the rest of the continent became independent in a period in a very short period only 16 years from 1810 until 1826 so I'm gonna tell you very very briefly before I move into free movement today what happening what happened in the 19th century and in the 19th century all these countries opened their borders to migrants and this was not only a rhetorical device it was this was actually a legal element so in all their constitutions they had all of these countries an article saying any foreigner from any nation has the right to come here so imagine open borders and shrine at a constitutional level so that was quite unique you will think nowadays how any foreigner of any nation has the right to come here has a right to establish here as equal civil rights with nationals and if that foreigner would like to can naturalize very quickly after arriving so usually two or three years or even sometimes less than that you could naturalize very quickly so of course if you think about that and if you read the laws you will think well this is was this was extremely an open approach to migration well that is a little bit far let's not far from the truth but we what we need to understand is which migrants South Americans were trying to attract and the migrants that were trying to attract were white European settlers and this was not a humanistic project if you like but this was a project which had three very clear components the first one was a racial project there were mixed race populations afro descendants indigenous and descendants of Europeans and the idea by the elites was to whiten the populations right so they wanted to attract more European settlers to whiten populations which were mixed the second element was that this was a population a population project so they wanted to populate territories that were presented as empty to the exclusion of indigenous communities who were residing in those territories nonetheless so of course we don't have westerns as we do in you know American or US movies right but you could do the same thing in South America you could have southerners because there was the expansion of the frontier towards the south in places like Chile or Brazil or Argentina and annihilating in that process and local populations right and the third element it was that this was a civilization project so the idea was that Europeans will bring civilization by bringing industries arts and sciences and actually you have this close in all the constitutions also in the different countries saying if you want to naturalize you need to be a European who is bringing either industry science or arts right if you go then to the 20th century what you find is that well in the beginning of the 19th century very few Europeans arrived so this was pretty much and a failed project right but by the end of the 19th century South America became the second region in the world that attracted more migrants only after the US so it was not Australia it was not Canada it was not South Africa it was South America Argentina attracted between 1880 and 1930 6.4 million migrants Brazil more than 4 million a tiny place such as Uruguay 700,000 right so this is something that is usually not considered when we discuss migration but South America was really the second region in the world only after the US in attracting migrants I insist many more than Australia Canada or other usual destinations in our in our thoughts right so what happened when they started receiving a lot of migrants was that they started constructing exclusions against certain categories of foreigners so these very open clauses of the 19th century let get gave way to clauses excluding by race by ethnicity by political ideology so there was at the beginning of the century the 20th century a lot of laws and saying that it was possible to expel those who were considered as anarchists and of course anarchists were those who defended social rights and then after the 1929 crisis you have many exclusions against those who are considered to be poor you have for example the banning of the entry of those coming in the third-class ticket in a ship right and then with the military dictatorships in the 60s and the 70s this reaches its climates right so possibly many of you are aware that in South America most countries in South America 8 out of the 10 that I analyze I don't analyze Surina and Guiana because they have a completely different colonial history in the 60s and in the 70s they have terrible military dictatorships where horrible crimes against a human rights were committed and forced disappearances torture etc right and it was at that point that the figure of the foreigner was considered to be a potential threat to national security so you find at that moment that the legislation on migration is extremely restrictive and I'm telling you this story because it's very important to understand that the century loan of exclusions against foreigners is not something that you can change that quickly even when you change the law even when you change the law you need to change practices that have accepted for a pretty much a century that when dealing with foreigners you were dealing with an individual who somehow had less rights and who somehow you could discriminate against so that is why I think it's very important to understand how regions reach particular discussions on free movement to understand how we can analyze those free movement regions better what happened in the 1980s very quickly when these countries came back to democracy you're going to summarize by saying two very important things the first thing is that when these countries came back to democracy in the 1980s they realized that there were not immigration countries any longer there were no immigrants coming into South America any longer the last immigrants the last important groups of immigrants that arrived to South America were after the Second World War mostly to Argentina and to Venezuela okay after the 60s no migrant from outside the region came to South America a few Asians but not really important groups right so these countries not only were not immigrant countries any longer but they were emigrant countries they have become emigrant countries through the periods of the military dictatorships and then in the 1980s in what is known as the lost decades or a decade of economic disaster in South America and then more importantly at the turn of the century with what we call the migratory stampede so thousands of South Americans with economic crisis at the turn of the century live in their countries and going mostly to Europe in particular to Spain and to the US right so these countries have become emigration countries and the second thing that is quite important that resonates to some of the debates some people were presenting yesterday and on Africa is that with the return to democracy this country said well now we are democratic states but we want everybody to know about it and the best way for everybody to know about it in the world is by ratifying every single human rights instrument that comes to your table so this is this sounds like a joke but this is not a joke South America has the best ratification record in the whole war of human rights instruments including the migrant workers convention so these two things led to a reconfiguration if you like of debates on migration so in the early 2000 this country's realize that first of all they had a lot of emigrants in the US and in Europe some of them were in an undocumented situation but also they realized that the lethal immigration that they had in South America was mostly regional okay so more than 65 percent of the migration that happens in South America is regional migration so that is why in 2002 they decided to adopt a piece of legislation at regional level which is called the Mercosur residents agreement which basically allows South American migrants who are residing in a different member state to regularize so this was not an agreement which had this objective the construction of an internal markets such as it is the case in the European Union remember the European Union we have free movement of people because that is part of the construction of an internal market where we have free movement of goods establishment services and capital right now was not the leading force in creating this residence agreement the leading force was to regularize migrants who were already residing in the different countries in South America but who were in any regular situation and that is why we have this Mercosur residents agreement this Mercosur residents agreement was adopted in 2002 and it came into force in 2009 and now it is applicable in all countries in South America except for Venezuela Suriname and Guyana this Mercosur residents agreement has of course meant that a lot of people have access to rights by means of having regular residents permit in South America but it also has a number of challenges and I wanted to raise those challenges to see if any of those resonate with the challenges that you might have here for example in ECOWAS with free movement of people with the protocol etc and the different agreements on free movement of people the first challenge that the Mercosur residents agreement has is that there is no right of entry so if you want to move to another country you need to prove that you are a tourist basically and if the border guards think that you don't fulfill the conditions to be considered as a tourist you're not going to enter the other country and that is quite contradictory because once you enter into the other country you have the right to reside but you don't have the right to move why don't you have the right to move because as I said the idea behind this agreement was to regularize migrants who were already there it was not to establish for example an internal market where you have free movement right so this is a key problem right and this leads to border guards having a lot of power in deciding who can enter who can cross the border and and this is a central concern for this particular agreement the other problem with this agreement is that in the beginning you will get a two-year temporary residence permit and in order to get that two-year temporary residence permit you just need to prove that you have a clean criminal record and that you are a national from one of the countries in South America which are implementing the agreement right after two years you need to prove also that you have sufficient resources to maintain yourself if you don't prove if you prove that you have sufficient resources you will get permanent residence but if you don't prove that you have sufficient resources you will fall back into irregularity and national law will apply to you again so this is a key concern because as you can imagine there is a large informal labor sector in South America which could also perhaps resonate with perhaps challenges here in Africa so according to ILO more than 47% of the labor market is informal in sectors outside agriculture so the idea of course of not asking a job contract to obtain a temporary residence permit was that right because if you ask a job contract a lot of people won't be able to obtain a temporary residence permit but the problem is that after two years you need to prove sufficient resources to maintain yourself some countries accept that you prove it by declaring you know that you are working informally and that you have enough resources from your informal labor other countries don't upset that so then you may fall back into irregularity and well the agreement gives you a number of rights right to work family reunification civil rights among others but let me mention a couple of other challenges just to conclude and another challenge is that in South America we have not only the Mercosur residence agreement but we also have other agreements coming from other regional organizations in particular from the Andean community so one problem that we have now in South America is the incongruity between the different instruments another problem obviously that was mentioned here yesterday when it came to echo us is the issue of implementation right there are countries which are implementing disagreements with more speed than others right the issue of adjudication that was not mentioned yesterday and I meant to ask that question what is the role of national courts right are national courts taking this agreement seriously because in principle in South America national courts could use this agreement as an international law agreement basically there is no direct effect or there is no there is no well direct effect to go in front of a court to claim the rights coming from the agreement but many national constitutional assistance in South America have said that international law once it has been ratified is superior to national law so what is the role of national courts that is an interesting question that I think will also be plausible to discuss for the case of echo us here are national courts looking at these agreements are they using then in deciding individual cases before courts right and then this idea of who is included in South America there are some debates about including not only South American nationals but also in expanding the scope of disagreements to also include permanent residents who reside in South America in the case of the European Union when European Union citizenship was adopted in 1992 there were many ideas floated around saying that EU citizens should be not only nationals of EU member states but it's will also be those who were permanently residing in a member state in Europe without having the nationality so a Ghanaian residing in Germany for a number of years having obtained permanent residents in Germany but having not naturalized in Germany so those individuals will also be EU citizens that was not taken into account so EU citizens are only those who are nationals of one member state of the European Union so these kind of debates are also happening now in South America trying to expand the scope of these free movement regimes not only for nationals of the different member states but also for those who are permanent residents that has not happened but again it's something I wanted to raise to see if it resonates with some debates here well my final point or my two final points are that I think is very important to start a dialogue between regions that are discussing free movement issues a movement of people and but without involving necessarily the European Union because I think the challenges that regions outside Europe might be facing on free movement are completely different from the challenges we may have in Europe and therefore that comparison with Europe is not always useful in my view that is why I'm quite sad that the colleague from the who was going to discuss the post-soviet space is not here right because I this kind of free movement agreements are also happening between Russia and a number of former and well new countries were part of former Soviet Union right and the second thing that I would like to mention as a conclusion is that it's very important also to understand the narratives and the history behind free movement regions or behind migration and mobility in the different regions and that is why I think it's very important to go back into understanding history and where the different agreements are coming from that should help also in making better policy recommendations and also help in constructing narratives which have a longer term view if you like right so with that I'll conclude and I look forward to your comments or questions critics thank you very much


Hi everyone, in this video I went to cover how to enroll a touchscreen keypad into the Pro A7 Plus panel. The Wi-Fi touchscreen keypad comes packaged with the keypad, a battery, and a power supply. The keypad can be mounted on a wall with the optional wall mount kit or used on a stand. For the purpose of this video we will use the integrated stand. To begin installation, turn the keypad over. Flip up the desk stand to expose the battery cover. Remove the battery cover and insert the battery. Please note the orientation of the four pins inside the battery bay and the four contacts on the battery. After inserting the battery, you can replace the battery cover. We can connect the power supply and power up the keypad. After the keypad goes through its boot sequence, you will be asked to connect it to a Wi-Fi network. This will be the same network that your Pro A7 Plus panel is connected to. Using the Wi-Fi network selection, the keypad will scan for available networks in the area and you can select the desired network then type in the password. If you are connecting to a hidden network, you can use Add Network manually and type in both the SSID and password. After all entries are completed, tap Connect. After connecting to the local Wi-Fi network, the keypad will search for the panel's IP address. After acquiring the panel's IP address, confirm enrollment by entering the installer code or master user code on the touchscreen keypad. You can now arm and disarm the system from the touchscreen keypad. Congratulations! You have successfully paired a wireless touchscreen keypad to the Pro A7 Plus. That's all for this video. Thanks for watching. Make sure to subscribe to our YouTube page and click the Show More tab underneath the video where you can view valuable links pertaining to this product, similar how-to videos and our low-cost no-contract alarm monitoring services.


The GitLab operator allows you to install and run an instance of GitLab in a vanilla Kubernetes or OpenShift cluster. Kubernetes operators increase the reliability and availability of your applications by automating day-to-operations such as upgrading components, management of data integrity, application reconfiguration, automatic recovery from a failure, and auto-scaling. In this short video, we show you how to install and run the GitLab operator to create a GitLab instance on an OpenShift container platform cluster, which we have already pre-installed. Inspecting the running pods of the OpenShift cluster, we see that Prometheus is already being used as a metric server, which is a prerequisite for the installation of the GitLab operator. Also, we verify that the GitLab system namespace does not yet exist. Another prerequisite is CertManager, which automates the management and issuance of TLS certificates. Let's use the OpenShift operator hub to install and instantiate an instance of CertManager. We first verify that one is not running. Then we head to the operator hub and install the CertManager operator and create an instance of CertManager by using its newly installed operator. In preparation of the GitLab operator installation, we create the namespace GitLab system, under which all of the GitLab resources will be. To install the GitLab operator, we define two environment variables. One is to set the version of the GitLab operator we want to use, and the other one is to set the platform for which we are targeting the operator. In this case, it is OpenShift. We then apply the GitLab operator custom resource definition, or CRD, to the cluster, which creates the operator. As we watch the pods in the GitLab system namespace, we see the creation of two pods for the GitLab controller manager. To create an instance of GitLab, we create a custom resource file called mygitlab.yaml to provide information, such as domain name and CertManager issuer email, for the GitLab operator to use during the creation of the GitLab instance. We then apply the custom resource to the cluster. This action will kick-start the creation of all the pods needed for the instantiation of a GitLab instance on the cluster. Once the GitLab instance is up and running, we obtain its external IP address from the NGINX Ingress Controller installed by the GitLab operator. We use this IP address to create DNS A records to map the DNS names of three of the GitLab instance subsystems to it. At this moment, we can point our browser to our newly created GitLab instance on OpenShift, and log in as root, whose initial password is a secret stored under the GitLab system namespace. That's it! We have shown you how to install and run the GitLab operator to create a GitLab instance on an OpenShift container platform cluster. Kubernetes operators increase the reliability and availability of your applications by automating day two operations such as upgrading components, management of data integrity, application reconfiguration, automatic recovery from a failure, and auto-scaling.


I'm ashamed to say that either, because he's a cool guy. I'm going to welcome to the stage your friend and mine, Tim, the right hand man. Give it up for him right here. Thank you. What a nice introduction. I don't know about the star of that. There were some good people in that. How is everybody today? It's a good crowd, good looking group. The women of Orlando are in trouble, I think. Save some for me. I'm a good writer. I've got a blog called righthandmanifesto.blogspot.com. Show hands, who's ever read any of my articles on there? OK, good. I'm a much better writer than I'm a speaker, so I'd rather just kind of give you a talk. Not the most gifted, but I'll try to add some of my humor and experience. A little about myself, contrary to the popular opinion that I was raised by wolves or nuns, depending on which woman you ask, more than just like an Irish boy that can hold my drink in a conversation. I'm a father, son, brother, friend, former husband, mentor, sometimes a lover. And I'm just like your average guy. I've had some success in business. Now I define my life by the kind of things I enjoy to do. It's not so much about when you meet somebody, they always say, hey, what do you do? And you're kind of judged by your vocation or what you've chosen to do with your life. I think of more things. I describe myself, I play the guitar. I sound worse than Bob Dylan. I sing off key, but I still expect to be treated like a rock star. I like to cook. It's a great skill to have. It's fun. I've got three daughters.  It's really cool. And I've got a lot of great friends and great family in town. Someone was asking earlier. It was out in the lobby talking. Unfortunate in the American culture, generally when you reach adulthood, you go to college and you kind of move off and you move away from your family. I'm very fortunate. All my family lives here in Orlando. My kids, my parents, my brothers. So it's really a nice twist. American culture seems to be more pulled apart than it seems in the past 30 or 40 years. So that's a little bit about myself. On the interview for the community tapes, I explained a little bit how I got in the community. I joined the local lair a few years ago. Met some great guys. I see a couple guys in it, hear from it. Three of my best friends now I met through the community. So I owe a lot to it. I kind of backed away from it in the past couple years. Because I think there's a progression that people go into. They get in the community. They get involved because they need a new paradigm in dealing with women. And so I found that, got excited about it, did some crazy things. And I think you got to push yourself to the edge of your comfort zone and do some things. I never wore a feather boa or a stuffed animal around my neck.  And seeing some good results from that. But I thought, what am I going to? I talked last year. You guys can go online and look at the speech. A couple of guys told me that they had seen the video from last year and enjoyed that.  Because I was trying to throw all my experience of what I do, my own style in dealing with women into one speech. And it ran over. And Anthony was very gracious. He gave me more time. But this year I thought, when we were doing the community tapes, he asked me the question, what are you going to talk about? And I thought, well, everybody. There's guys better at pickup that are coming to share with you their style of doing it. And my experience really comes from, I'm not a great pickup artist. I'm not lacking by any means in that area. I always have a lot of options in my life when it comes to women. But the other part of the background, why I chose to talk about it, is that I'll be 45 this year. So I'm a little older than most people in the room. And when Anthony asked my question, what you talk about, I said, well, since he's kind of turned in the whole 21 convention to be more of a success-type seminar for young men, what's the best thing I could share? A good buddy of mine always have these conversations. And we're sharing things about mistakes we've made in the past 10 years. And he said, wouldn't be great if you get your hands on a book that was all the things my dad never told me. Our dads had experience in growing up with their father and what they shared with them. Maybe some of them had limited experience with different things in life. Some of them have one part of expertise, but some of them missed it in this area. Some of them got young. Some of them, some of our dads, maybe married a couple times. So I thought that the best thing I could share with you is the top 10 mistakes that a man can make in his 20s.


Okay. Okay, so we're recording now. So welcome to what the F is going on in Latin America. Code pinks weekly YouTube program of hot news out of Latin America and the Caribbean. We broadcast every Wednesday on code pink YouTube normally for 30pm Pacific 730pm Eastern. Today, we are speaking with you live from Kiko Ecuador. And I am joined by code pinks Leonardo flores Leonardo and I are both Latin America campaign coordinators for code pink and we are currently in Kiko. Having served as international election observers on Sunday, April 11, which was the second round of presidential election second and final round of the presidential elections here in Ecuador. It was a runoff between the neoliberal candidate Guillermo lasso and the citizens revolution candidate on the base arouse results were massive 52.51% arouse 47.49%. So welcome Leo, let's talk a little bit about what happened on Sunday. Thanks, Terry. It's good to be here. Yeah, I mean, I think as a code pink delegation electoral observer observation delegation. We didn't witness any sort of regularities and nothing major of course, I would say that the vote itself on Sunday and the vote count on on Sunday, April 11 was fair, you know, there was no fraud involved at all on that day. The problem, of course, comes before the vote in the months leading up to up to the, you know, first round and then in between the first and second rounds. There were many things that were that were indicative of an unable uneven playing field between the various candidates. And I think that really is the determining factor in the loss for under the house of the progressive onus party. Otherwise, I think he might have been able to win. So onus is a is a new party or basically a coalition of parties. It was running as an inheritor of Korea Eastmo or Raphael president Raphael Korea's citizens revolution project for development of the people of Ecuador versus the capitalists of Ecuador. And I totally agree with you there was a lot the elections on Sunday were very clean it was a very normal peaceful election process. And of course there's all the intangible things all the campaign issues all the law fair issues that observers are not witness to on the actual day of election so all those factors that run up to the day of election all those factors that comprise who candidates can and cannot be and what their campaign looks like. In the house, he was denied the use of Korea's image. During the campaign, Korea himself was denied running as a rouses vice president, and Korea's party, Alianza payees no longer exists. So onus was created. So there were for our for our viewers. For our audience. There's a lot of background that led up to the results and then I think in one way I think you would agree with this in one way it's amazing what a rouse was able to accomplish since last fall 47% with all those strikes against them. And yet, let's so let's talk a little bit about, I mean, I think to understand the was to understand the results we actually have to go back four years to 2017 when again, he was the candidate. And the candidate for Correismo this movement behind former president Rafael Correa, who was in power for 10 years 2007 to 2017 he brought economic growth to Ecuador, political stability, prior to Correa. He had had had seven presidents in 10 years and an economy that was so battered that you saw massive amounts of migration outside of Ecuador. So moreno is kind of seen as the inheritor of this movement Correismo but as soon as he wins those elections.  What and what happened was that moreno basically adopted all of the policies and programs that were put forward by his opponent in those same elections. So he starts this kind of neoliberal push and not push for austerity, and he begins destroying the institutions that have been created during the during the during the Correa years. And, you know, the first thing that one of the first whistleblowers of everything was the vice president or the glass he blows the whistle he says look, the president is now on the side of the bankers he's completely betrayed the people's movement. And for his for doing this for taking this stance. Jorge glass is one of the first people to face political persecution in this country under the moreno government, and he's still in jail today he's one of the most important political prisoners in Latin America only we don't hear much about him. And then the campaign against Jorge glasses then it becomes expanded to and they start going after other leaders of Correismo including Rafael Correa himself, who has something like 30 cases, pending against them. I mean, some of them are totally absurd and one of them he's accused of psychic corruption or excuse me psychic influence influence to make it to make other people corrupt. And so that's kind of the lead up to these elections, where you had this betrayal of the citizens revolution as the Correismo is also called by Lenin Moreno, who adopts all of gay and molasses policies and then in October 2019 that people couldn't take it anymore there was a massive uprising in Ecuador. That was brutally repressed by Lenin Moreno 11 people died in Guillermo Lasso, you know, cheered this on and when the main kind of the spark that lit the flame was an elimination of fuel subsidies stemming from a deal with the IMF that kind of harkens back to the days of the Washington consensus with in post austerity and deregulation, and really an eroding of labor rights. And so, yeah, as you said, you know, Correismo tried to recover from this they put forward this really young candidate, who's 36 years old but he's also a brilliant economist he had already been director of the central bank. He was one of the people kind of responsible for that, the way that Ecuador had managed to weather the storm of the collapse and oil prices in 2015 because 50% of Ecuador's revenue comes from oil. So, as you said, the actual original party alliance at base was no longer there they tried to create a new party but were refused by the CNE, then they finally kind of got this small party to adopt and the rest of the house as the as the state. And the kind of lawfare and the campaign, you know, ugliness didn't stop there there was so much fake news going against under set out. He was accused of wanting to D dollarize it. Ecuador Ecuador has been using the US dollar for about 20 years it was the only thing that stabilized the economy, and at house understands this and he kind of supports this he, you know they're pros and cons but it has stabilized the economy. There was also this crazy allegation that under said I was as financed by left wing gorillas in Colombia. This was disproved by an ornithologist because they use this video that was very obviously taped in southern Ecuador where this bird lives that doesn't live in Colombia and an ornithologist picked it out of the video, the sounds and kind of destroyed that narrative but I think the damage was done, especially because there were so you know the media here in the corporate and it was completely on the side of the banker. It was one of the richest people in the country, and I didn't really have a fair shot going into these elections. Now, let's talk a little bit about who raised the house is because you and I went to a rally third last Thursday evening which was Thursday was the last legal day to campaign. And we went to basically a closing rally for the Rouse campaign and talk to a lot of people there. One of the one of the gentlemen I spoke with older, my age older. One of the key enticements for voting for a Rouse for him was the fact that the candidate was 36 years old. That was and an economist both of those things was. So the youth, the representing a new generation new face, new approach to things was very appealing to a lot of people. And yet this older neoliberal banker who has run now three, four times and finally one is going to be the new president of Ecuador. Yeah, and I think, as observers we talked to a lot of voters after they they voted and to kind of hear out what, you know, what how they felt about these elections. Well, nobody has confidence in in Ecuador's electoral system.  I mean, we were in a heavily lasso area. They said I'm going to vote for lasso but I think they're going to steal the elections from us. And, and, you know, yeah, and voters also talked about they were going to vote for lasso because he represented change. And that was really striking to me because lasso has basically been the shadow president for the past four years. So the lasso campaign managed to make it seem like moreno was actually a continuation of Correa, and that house would be a continuation of moreno and moreno was widely wildly unpopular he has somewhere between four to 7% approval ratings. So that was a kind of a really big deal that that the lasso campaign was able to distance itself from moreno and actually push house and kind of wedding to moreno. And that's really a result that as I was mentioning earlier of this, the work the media had done the corporate media. And social media as well really I mean in the days, you know, just prior to the election. So, and lasso talking points for trending here in Ecuador and there was very little to suggest that out, you know, he even had a major media social media presence.  And so I think lasso was able to capitalize quite a bit on that, and that house, you know, unfortunately their campaign didn't have an answer. Let's, let's talk about two things. What, what did you and I hear, we attended a lot of auxiliary meetings we were we attended a lot of formal CNE meetings, basically for training and, you know, what's unique to Ecuador things we needed to on on election day, but we also attended quite a few auxiliary meetings. Pre election day and post election day. What do you think are the most important things the arouse campaign, learn from this but not the, not just the arouse campaign, but the movement the citizens revolution, the whole philosophy that was brought to the arouse campaign. Yeah, I mean, I think the primary reason at us lost is what we've already discussed how the level playing field was uneven. But one of the other big factors was this kind of schism between Conai the confederation of indigenous nationalities of Ecuador, and the citizens they'd been at odds for years and really there was kind of bad blood. I mean, the head of Conai had said he would never even sit down to speak with Rafael Correa, but he was open to speak to under a set house and he actually endorsed under a set house just about a week before the election. Unfortunately, it was too little too late and so you have this big block of voters, many of whom are on the left because you know this this indigenous confederation isn't fully left but it's kind of a big tent of various organizations. And but many of them do belong to the left. And it has this this Conai also has a political wing called Pachacutik. And Pachacutik the candidate came in third in place in the runoff elections that were held earlier this year. He's a guy who talks a big game about eco socialism and women's rights, but he's very much in the Limeo liberal camp. He supported Lasso in 2017. He supports this deal with the IMF. That's really going to cripple harm Ecuador's economy over the next decade, perhaps. So, because of this schism you had a lot of voters vote null or blank. So an Ecuador voting is compulsory obligatory, but so voters who don't like any of the candidates either leave their vote blank or they spoil their ballot which is called the null vote. In the first round of the election out of 13 million voters 1.3 million voted either null or blank. In the second round that number grew to 1.9 million. So you had a 6000 vote increase in the invalid votes, when the difference between lasso and a house in the second round was 400,000 votes so that also played a very key role in this. And, you know, I think going forward at the challenge for the left in Ecuador is going to, you know, find a is having finding a way for Conai and the citizens revolution to work together but not only that I think the citizens revolution has to do a lot of work in terms of building its social base in terms of, you know, training, you know, leaks local leaders to become national leaders and local leaders to be able to organize more efficiently. I think there was a lack of emphasis on that. And in some ways we can understand it because Correísmo prior to Sunday, April 11 had won 14 elections in a row. So, you know, they were pretty confident that what they were doing was working but unfortunately, you know, everything has changed in the past four years in terms of the social relations in Ecuador because of this austerity and of course the pandemic. We can't talk about these elections without mentioning the pandemic where Ecuador has been one of the worst performers in the world. You know, we walk around the city here and it's really so quiet. It's very, very quiet. I mean, it's very clear that there's an economic crisis and the pandemic on top of that and then people are just, you know, they don't know what to do. It's very lots of challenges that Ecuador faces right now. There's two things I want to just interject for the audience just technical things about the elections that are unique and kind of a curiosity from those of us from the States. You mentioned that voting is compulsory. So by law, people do have to vote and elections are held on Sunday so that people can come come form to the law. So you can start voting as a 16 year old 1617 until your 18th birthday you can participate in the elections it's optional, but once you are legally 18, you are a full adult under the law and you are required to vote. So there is a large participation of Ecuadorans living in the diaspora, they vote, they are also allowed to hold a seat in the National Assembly, so that so they can not just vote, but they can participate in the government, So those are two really unique things to Ecuador that I found really compelling and very encouraging to get young people to start voting at 16 I thought that was a really fascinating way to start pulling people into the to the process. And I do think it's great that that migrants have us are going to have a say in their National Assembly. Another curious thing is that they split the voting into kind of men and women so you go into a polling center, and then the polling tables themselves are either reserved for men or women, and there's kind of a they know each split up into different and we asked several people why and the main reason seems to be that this way women can feel more comfortable voting because, you know that way you prevent men from, you know, being kind of aggressive or harassing them in line and kind of intimidating them into voting for a certain candidate. So, for us it was kind of unique but but I think the people that Ecuador really support that. So, let's, why don't we wrap up with talking about what Sunday's election results could possibly mean for the region. And then also in one of our auxiliary meetings with the Council General, Venezuela we kind of had a debrief yesterday, and the we talked about the Asia Pacific Rim, and as being of what the results of Sunday's elections, how they will affect the Asia Pacific Rim and I still, you know, foolishly sitting principally having lived in California look, you know west across specific and think well the Asia Pacific Rim is China, Japan, you know, but of course the Asia Pacific Rim is California and Chile also, and we have elections. So, let's talk a little bit about the potential regional repercussions of Sunday's results. Yeah, I mean, it would be the America Pacific Rim in this case. Exactly. Yeah, that's correct. So, yeah, I mean, I'm interested as it made it clear that if he were to win he was going to reinstitute Ecuador into UNASUR, the Union of South American Nations and into CELAC, the Community of Latin American Caribbean States which are two multilateral organizations that are really served aimed to serve as a counterweight to the OAS, the Organization of American States. The OAS can only really be understood as a tool of the State Department as a way for the US to get its way in all of the hemisphere. And so the CELAC was created specifically to counter that and UNASUR was created to serve as kind of the starting point for greater South American integration. It was kind of the idea was for South America to become almost like the EU, slightly differently organized of course. And then when Moreno came into power he withdraws Ecuador from UNASUR. Unfortunately, the headquarters of UNASUR is in Ecuador. So the organization took a big hit. And what we heard from an expert here was that if UNASUR had still been, you know, going strong when the pandemic hit, it would have saved thousands of lives throughout South America because the governments would have been able to coordinate health policies together. And the governments would have been able to form a block to buy vaccines together, which would have been very important. Here in Ecuador, they're just starting the vaccines. There's actually several scandals about vaccines right now. So unfortunately, this decline in UNASUR has actually caused deaths. And Lasso is not going to return to UNASUR. In fact, Lasso is going to continue this policy of attempted regime change in Venezuela. One of the first people to congratulate him was the so-called Interim President of Venezuela, Juan Guadal, and Lasso kind of responded and invited him to his inauguration. And in terms of the Pacific, I think, you know, this is kind of a plan by the United States to have this kind of a free trade area all along the Pacific coast. And so Ecuador is now firmly in the camp that will very likely sign this free trade agreement. Of course, Colombia, and then next year, or this year, rather, we have upcoming elections in Peru and Chile. And so those are going to be very key in geopolitically to see what happens. I think if, you know, some of the sail, the wind was taken out of the sails of the kind of resurgence of the pink tide. The pink tide refers to this period in the early 2000s, when you had progressive government after progressive government take power throughout Latin America, then it kind of died away in the 2010s in part because of U.S. pressure and coups, of course. And with the Bolivian elections last year, we thought we would see a resurgence of the pink tide. Ecuador, the loss here now kind of, you know, makes that a little harder to achieve, but of course we have Lula in Brazil, most likely being the candidate next year, and other left-wing candidates in many other countries. So a lot, a lot's going to be at stake in the next elections here in South America. Well, we've got a lot of work to do. In helping lift these voices and people looking to change and doing something more socially constructive with their economies and their governments. On the Pacific Rim, we also have Nicaragua presidential elections in November. So Nicaragua, Chile, Brazil. Who else in November? Honduras. So a lot, a lot, we could be looking at a really quite different and exciting region by the end of this year. Yeah, yeah. So I'm going to let you go and people can see the sun is starting to set here in Quito. I just kind of wanted all of you to see we actually are here. The mountains are particularly beautiful. Also, to remind all of you that this is what the F is going on in Latin America. We broadcast every Wednesday, 430 p.m. Pacific 730 p.m. Eastern on code pink YouTube and also be sure to catch code pink radio every Thursday morning 11 a.m. Eastern 8 a.m. Pacific on WBAI New York City and WPFW Washington D.C. Both Pacifica radio stations. So thank you again, Leo. It's been a pleasure to be working here on the ground with Keto and Keto with you for the past week. Likewise, Terry, thanks so much. Okay, thank you. Bye everyone.


The Power Trading Hour with your host, David White. Call now toll free at 1-877-927-6648 or internationally at<PHONE_NUMBER>. Now, David White. And welcome all to another excellent edition of The Power Trading Hour. As always, we come at the appointed time together. The following takes place between 2 p.m. and 3 p.m. So, what do we have here today? Well, a whole lot of nothing. A bag full of empty as everybody's trying to figure out what's going on. I've talked to a couple of the people that I know that trade on in and around Chicago's a big CBOE and other trading floors. Anyway, I've got a couple of people that have never really steered me wrong. It's not always exactly the truth.  But they're all saying that everybody's afraid to do something because they think that if the market starts dipping that the Fed and the Treasury and everybody else has kind of told everybody that, you know, if you move it up, we'll probably not do anything. If you move it down, we'll do something. So, you know, it kind of reminds me of the gunslinger who was always shooting at the feet of the hapless drunk telling them to dance. I wonder how many times that actually happened. I bet probably none. Anyway, the whole thing of that is they're kind of shooting around at the feet of the market and they don't want it to go up and they don't want it to go down. So the question is, are they trying to kill volatility today and the next couple of days as the BOEs, you better get out of here by sundown, except the sundown was three days from yesterday. Anyway, don't you love my western bad cowboy analogies today? Anyway, get out of town by sundown because it's going to be a bad day at Black Rock, although probably they've already hedged themselves out. But yeah, it's one of those days where you just want to scratch your heads. Other things going on in the market are already in progress. Black Bart Market could be that. Yeah, I mean, there could be some other stuff. Again, we're going delta neutral today on options. Normally, you have a huge amount of volatility. I'm wondering if that wasn't really taken care of yesterday that maybe many in the industry already knew it and that's why we got the wide swings yesterday, that we part of the unwashed masses weren't privy to. Then we get into really earnings tomorrow and numbers. I think we've got economic numbers tomorrow and Friday. Maybe this is just the storm calm before the storm, but I think we've got a lot of cross currents and it's not easy to pick which ones out there. I did go all flat yesterday in the daily newsletter. It's hard to really figure out if there's a real from looking at options and then looking. The thing that really bugged me yesterday, the reason I went all cash, is that the VIX puts went to nothing. I think they were on the low like one out of five VIX buys and an option was a put, like 20, 24%, something. It was very, very light.  That part told me that the risk was much higher. Options continue to be rather bullish into the 21st. It doesn't mean that you go up today on those. It just means that kind of like Otis, by midnight he's going to find his way into the drunk tank at Mayberry RFD. In the meantime, though, he can wander all over the town and maybe through a few bars, but at midnight you know where he's going to be. That's kind of the way that options work after they hedge them on a day like that or today. Of course, we talked about earnings and that is a lot of the banks Thursday and Friday. Tomorrow we're going to get some of them before the bell, and then Friday some of them before the bell. I think we're going to start seeing at least these guys in the conference calls giving us some kinds of heads up at least what's happening in their business and why it probably won't help us today with the individual trade. It will probably help us across the next week as more and more earnings do come out. As Jesse Livermore used to say, no prognosis, no profit. And right now I don't have a real good prognosis. I don't have a real good feel for a risk reward other than I couldn't find. I could find a lot of reasons to be thinking that market goes up from here, just not today. And we could also see good reason that the market gaps down, washes everybody out and then takes back up higher. So I have no real iron in the fire on this right now. I'll have to look for some other tortured metaphors to finish up. But I'm not real bearish. Nothing's changed on that other than the fact that I dislike the risk reward, not what the rest of the market's saying. And I just very much dislike not having any or a lot of people incredibly bearish at lows because generally they will wash everybody out and then the market turns back higher once everybody decides it's time to short. But yeah, very light short-cell put numbers yesterday in the VIX stocks. And if you're new to the show, we talk a lot about the VIX. I think it's probably one of the most dis, or what would you say it, misunderstood vehicles in all of the market. It is just the premiums in the out of the money puts and calls for the S&P 500. And most people get very confused at it. Then they start looking at it and start getting into it. And then they find out that it's not only that, but it's a rolling average or oscillator between two time frames. And that's being 24 days and 36 days. So you get a little bit of kind of a oral beat. If you've ever been in a car, not a car, a boat with two engines or a plane with multiple engines, and you've heard that until they get both engines at the same speed, that's kind of what you get in it. Now I think a lot of people are confused and don't really understand that the oscillator does do that between the 24 and 36 days. So the whole idea is that's supposed to forecast over time, not all the time, be right, the average of what options should sell for to cover the risk of higher and lower blowouts in the market. If you haven't ever gotten it, email me at path at tfnn.com. I'll send you the white paper on the VIX from the CBOE. And it's well worth a read. The most misunderstood part of the market in my opinion. We'll be back. This is Australia's largest undeveloped gold project. We are talking a world-class gold project in a tier one mining district. This is a large-scale, low-cost project with significant existing infrastructure and a politically safe and friendly mining jurisdiction. Vista Gold just completed the Mount Todd feasibility study, which resulted in a 7 million ounce gold reserve in a 16-year mine life. All of this combined with the approvals of all major operational, as well as environmental permits. This distinguishes Mount Todd as an attractive, devious pot, ready development stage gold project. Vista Gold trades on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol VGZ. David White is an accomplished trader whose deep understanding of technology and the markets allows him to consistently find and share winning trades. Support and resistance define the ranges at which stocks trade. By understanding these trading ranges, David White is able to find a path of least resistance. David White's trading newsletter, The Path of Least Resistance, is delivered daily before the markets open to make every trading day an easy win. Visit tfnn.com today and subscribe to David White's ultimate trading newsletter for $119 a month and try all of our newsletters risk-free with our 30-day money-back guarantee. Take the path of least resistance at TFNN, Educating Investors. Are you looking for a way to consistently add winning trades to your portfolio? Tom O'Brien is here to help. Tom O'Brien has been successfully trading markets for over 30 years. A frequent contributor to TD Ameritrade Network and CNBC, Tom O'Brien founded TFNN over 20 years ago to help educate investors just like you. Tom's Daily Market Newsletter, Market Insights, is published every morning when the markets open to give you the competitive informational edge you need to succeed. These newsletters are packed full of Tom's advanced technical analysis and are geared to deliver comprehensive strategies for a successful portfolio. Get Tom O'Brien's newsletter, Market Insights today and try all of our products and newsletters 30 days risk-free with our money-back guarantee at TFNN.com. TFNN, Educating Investors. That's 1-877-927-6648 internationally at<PHONE_NUMBER>. As we return, and not much going up, we're just kind of vacillating very light volume right now. $35.95 on the S&P cash. So, yeah, it's not an easy call here. I'm generally one if you're in doubt, keep out. Like I said, on a daily basis or more of a trading basis, I've stood back. I've got one longer term position that I got into correctly. And so I'm sitting on my hands on that. But we got a lot of stuff going on in the market. Microsoft had its dog and pony with new products today. Didn't seem to do much of anything. New products look very cool, especially on the desktop. It looks like Microsoft's outdoing Apple on high-end trick equipment. For that, they also have a brand new crop of laptops. They've been doing very well. They share pretty much all the technology that they have with their partners who want to make PCs. But a lot of people just don't think it's worth putting a huge amount of money in R&D. So Microsoft does it and then shares it with its partners. But for the most part, you've got a big six-month advantage in buying Microsoft's laptops right now over the competition because they do tend to come along slower. Not always better or worse. So there is some reason to buy some of those other laptops out there. But their new desktop thing looked very, very good and very expensive. It depends on whether or not you're buying the shares or you're buying the desktop that they have. But it's kind of like if you figured Apple was going to make a desktop. This is what it looks like and all the features in it. So they're really directly going after that market that Apple has kind of ignored for a while. It's still ignoring. And if you want a workstation for your office where you're doing CAD-CAM work or graphics work, actually Microsoft pretty much has the best off-the-floor products that you can buy now. Again, Apple down a very light volume. We talked about this over the last couple of days. Not much going on out here, all quiet on the western front. 137.68, the October 3rd low with 125 million shares. Today you've got 46 million shares. So you certainly aren't testing these lows on higher volume. And see, I got all quiet on the western front. I've almost got all my movie genre metaphors in for the day, but we'll see. I've got to add them up during the break. Okay, questions about what's going on with a few things. Is September 29th the short-term top for the dollar? Let's do this. Okay, let's go to Forex. Let's pick up the dollar. Okay. I'm not exactly sure. Well, I know at least from what I've been told and these people have been reliable in the past. There is a lot of people, a lot of stuff going on in the background. And that part of the background is trying to make sure that the volatility dies as we wait for the BOE to go through. So I'm not exactly sure. We'll have to see and it's not going to be something I know today. The question is whether or not we're going to see the market just kind of go sideways and burn off whatever you believe either oversold or overbought depending on how bearish you are in this market. Everything, if I just step back, if I'm not talking about the next day or two, everything at least on a medium term tells me that we've probably got some kind of low in here that takes us through to Christmas with maybe some kind of rally. And then the next big leg would move on. So there's kind of that. Look at the futures. What do we have here? Crude's down a little bit. Not exactly sure what's going on with that other than we had a bunch of oil come on the market. Rather suddenly, this is the doubling up before the election season from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve. My belief is that day after the elections this is probably going to get shut off and then we're probably going to see the real big move in crude after that. Of course, the president of these United States has threatened the head of the kingdom. Is it the kingdom of Saudi? Yeah, it's the kingdom anyway from the Saudis. Kind of come out here and we're going to fight. Kind of some fighting words. I'm not exactly sure what he thinks he's going to get by threatening the ruler who doesn't have to run for election ever. Certainly, I think at least you could say that our traditional allies are probably getting more distant, at least in the Middle East, both Israel and the Saudis, at least in the last 20 years. Saudis have kind of been maybe longer, 30 years, been kind of on our side since a lot of the dust-ups out there in the sandbox as the military likes to call it. So not exactly sure what's going on there. Like I said, I think we talked about it two weeks ago that the SBR was being doubled up from one million barrels a day to two million barrels a day and apparently that is starting to flood through the market. But pretty much that is thought to be turned off or will run out whichever happens first, but probably somewhere around the election and then we'll be looking at much higher prices. And I think the Saudis can look forward to that also. So they're probably non-plus. I don't get to use that word enough. Non-plus in the market about that.<PHONE_NUMBER>. Okay. Let's see. Question on Micron, which even coming out with bad news and the SMH is doing horrible, even coming out with bad news on earnings is holding up fairly well. You don't have a lot of volume today. Just looking through some emails here. We'll be back in a minute. Anyway, Micron, let's go and look at the SMHs when we come back. Very interesting to see this. I always look at this one as the ball bearings of the semiconductor market because everywhere you go, you got to have memory no matter what you're doing these days. We'll be back in a minute. Let's have a look at the metal sector as well as the markets that move gold, which is the currency and bond markets. New subscribers get a 30-day money back guarantee, so you have nothing to lose. 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From the moment the market opens until the closing bell sounds, Tiger TV has eight different shows with expert hosts to help you make the right moves with your money. Watch online at tfnn.com or on tfnn's YouTube channel and become the investor you were born to be, tfnn. Educating investors. tfnn is excited about our new software charting program, The Art of Timing the Trade Charts. In collaboration with Tom O'Brien and using his best-selling book, The Art of Timing the Trade, your ultimate trading mastery system, David White has programmed an outstanding piece of software that will complement any trader's methodology. Using this first-of-its-kind program, The Art of Timing the Trade Charts allows you to scan thousands of stocks for Fibonacci formation setups, including guardleafs, ABCs, butterflies, and much more. The Art of Timing the Trade Charts is designed to help you when scouring the markets for stocks just beginning to form the trading patterns that many investors spend days, weeks, or even months searching to find. And right now we're offering licenses available at only $79 a month. We are so confident that you're going to love this new charting software that will even give you a 30-day unconditional money-back guarantee. Don't miss out on this incredible new piece of software. Get your copy of The Art of Timing the Trade Charts today by visiting tfnn.com. This segment is brought to you by Think or Swim. For more information, just click the Think or Swim banner on the front page of tfnn.com. As he said, we're looking at the SMH. It's really interesting to see Micron hold up so well and everybody going after the SMH is out here. You've got a doji out here, so I think we're probably looking at one or two things. Of course, Yogi Berra was famous for saying when you come to a fork in the road to take it, well, dojis, if we get this light volume doji, tend to be either the bottom or the halfway down move. Maybe we get that determination the next day or two. We start heading down lower, then you can make a good prediction of what? That's about $30 move. Is that right? $30 move in the SMHs. Do we bounce back up to maybe $195-ish where that gap down happened? Or do we subtract $30 from $174 and look at $144 as the next move down in the SMHs? Again, I don't see why everybody is so bearish other than getting invaded. Maybe I haven't heard the news, but maybe there's more evidence that China is going to decide to bigfoot it into Taiwan. I'm not sure. Micron, maybe, why it's holding up better has very low exposure to being in there. I wonder if you won't see non-Taiwanese companies and non-China companies both do better if anything like that happens. Maybe they don't have to go all the way. Maybe they just continue to kind of sabre rattle or something like that. But interesting, we are proverbially in the Yogi-Bara phrase at the fork for the SMHs if we get this doji by the end of the day. Sometimes you get two dojis, but generally that is either bottom or the halfway move down. So probably tomorrow we'll have a much better read on that. Questions on the TLT from Jack? Thanks, Jack, for being a new listener. Come on. As we said, this got pushed down on the day when the bond market was actually closed. You had a doji yesterday. Now you're getting a little bit of a push back up. The question is, this one gets a lot of doji, so I'm going to discount it as much as I would on something like the SMHs. But certainly, you got a little move, no volume out here. I've been thinking this thing is going to bounce to 104, 105-ish, maybe as high as 106, and then make its next move down. I haven't seen any reason for all the wheels just to fall off the wagon. Again, the business of the Fed is to slow down big markets. I know Janet Yellen was out yesterday saying, everything is orderly. Well, it doesn't really matter if you're starving.   Whether you go broke today or in five days, would that really matter to you? It doesn't really matter to me.  But to them, it's all about slowing everything down. And the idea is to keep it from breaking and then totally kind of spinning out of control, which is really what they're worried about. So could we see a Fed? I think we start in the, at least let me put it this way. I think I start to see a lot of people betting that something's going to happen, that the Fed will step in. The problem I have with that is in the past, the Fed has not stepped in until everything proverbially has hit that spinning fan that blows air. And of course we all know it hits the fan. But generally they like to watch people roast for a few days before they stamp.  There's another good metaphor. So I'm kind of like somebody just said in the den, no position is a position. So we'll continue to take a look about what's going on in the broader markets. Okay, let's take a look at the usual suspects, NVDA. Of course, NVDA is shipping their new flagship product. You got two Jojis back to back on NVDA today. Today is going to be significantly lighter volume. So is this the halfway move down? Or is this going to bounce back up to maybe 128-ish where this thing gapped down on the 7th? That was on 67 million shares. So hard to tell. Again, I'll probably react. I'm not going to do a lot of forecasting. It really, I mean, options have held up fairly well. Most of the option market makers think this market's going to turn around in the next seven days. Just doesn't have to be today. Let me put it that way. Okay, so we looked at NVDA, just two Jojis there. Let's take a look at AMD. All these companies right now are having their big shipping forays and products coming to market. Older products, probably the best time to buy a last generation PC or last generation video card. There's lots of deals. My guess is that you're probably going to get the best price in about another two weeks after everything starts to ship. Wouldn't quite call it a doji and AMD, but certainly very narrow ranges here for the next three days or for the last three days. Let me put it that way. Let's take a look at some of the streamers. I've been fairly bearish on these. Yesterday, you had a lot of volume down. You did break the previous low in Netflix. You did so on the low of September 6th that had seven and a half million shares, 214.69. You got to 1264 on higher volume. So you're probably going to come back and retest that low yesterday. You got a little bit of a reversal today on 10 million shares. So not a lot of volume so far. The energy is about same on the way up as on the way down. Let's look at one or the other more pure plays on streaming in Disney. Come on, Mr. Volume. There we go. Okay. So Disney looks a little bit better. You had a little lighter volume off the top of 126.48. That was the August 16th. You're really testing this $90.23 low. In this market, I would want to see $90.23 pierced. Go below it and then close back above it. Maybe it'll be a day. Maybe it'll be two days. Maybe it'll be the same day. Certainly don't have any volume as you've gotten down into that candle today. You only have 3.7 million shares into 12. So like I said, a lot of these look like they're going to get a bounce on volume. The question is just how long do we wait for the second BOE shoe to drop before everybody figures it out? Question from Jack on IBB, which we'll get to here. Otis? We'll be back in a minute. Live on TFNN.com and TFNN's YouTube channel with Tiger TV. Live every market day from 8.30 a.m. to 4.00 p.m. Eastern for free. Each host is an experienced trader and gives their take on the market while taking calls and questions live from around the world. 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Got a nice trading range. High volume highs. Probably going to retest 903. My guess is that like 1980, 81, 2000, 2001, when the party's over and you start seeing interest rates like you really like in the late 70s, you didn't really get the move in gold until everything kind of went along for a while. And as soon as any pause came along, everybody started going after gold hook line and sinker. I think the same thing is going to happen. If I was looking to go long gold or silver anywhere in here, if the Fed blinks, that's what I would be over.  Everybody's ignoring gold. But it seems like it gets ignored until kind of the end of the hiking and you start actually bringing the interest rates down or stopping them rise. That's generally where you start in the long, long term. See the big moves that we've had during my lifetime. Maybe there's something more to some of the other ones. But if we're looking for that 10-year run that you got from 2001 to 2009 or 1980 to 1987, I think it was, those all kind of came on the back end.  And really when things started to turn around and go back up is when gold really started to move. So, yeah, one thing to consider. Okay. What else do we have here? Got some more emails. Okay. What do we have here? Okay. My thoughts. All I have is my thoughts. Oh, there it is. RIG. Any chance that this does well? Well, you certainly bounced off the lows. The problem you had with this is you got the same volume at the low for RIG. The July 15th low had 35 million shares. The September 23rd low had 25 million shares. You know, the question is, are we going to have a change in policy in the United States? Probably not. We're seeing the first steps of change in the UK. My guess after everybody freezes to death, maybe after a million people die for an energy policy that didn't make a lot of sense, maybe everybody's going to be more on the ball of saying, well, you know, this is where we're going with all this renewable stuff. But, you know, that's not going to be five years. It's probably going to take 30. So why don't we have something that makes a little bit more sense? And we need some energy now. I know that's tough in some places, but I have a feeling that all it's going to take is a lot of bodies. Generally, whether it's an aviation or you have a crash and you've got, they call it tombstone mentality in the aviation business. That is, get enough tombstones, something actually changes. Certainly in Europe and probably just the cost here in the United States that we're going to see, we'll probably have enough tombstone to probably, I think, at least modify somewhat the energy policy for fossil fuels here in the United States. So is there, John says, he's in at 508 since last year. I don't know what your plan was. I don't think they're going out of business. Long term, probably okay. Short term, you know, I'm not one to ride one down, but man, could do okay. But you know, I would wait and see, since you've held it this long, I'd wait and see after the elections.  I know that's going to, it sounds kind of tough now, but we're things have happened. And like I said, get enough tombstones, things can change.<PHONE_NUMBER>, we're looking at the 3D printer business. Now, this is a business that should be doing better than it is right now. I think the next big wave in 3D printer is coming with the drop in prices of printers that just aren't glorified hot glue guns, which is kind of what we have now. The prices are rapidly dropping on metal-centered printers. These take basically metal filings and a laser and some glue and heat these things up solidly enough. To take out and put in your easy bake oven. And then you run the temperature up to a thousand degrees and they kind of all kind of bake in the part. But are they as strong as one that's CNC'd or cast or forged now? But are they good enough for a finished part for a lot of things? The answer is yes. I think that transition to metal is getting ready to do some stuff. And both SSYS, DDD, kind of the leaders in this space have done something. You only have about 581,000 shares today compared to 1.7 million shares back on September 23rd. You haven't quite gone down and tested low yet. You got 810 today. What was the low of the day? 925. I mean, you're pretty close. Yesterday the low was 794. I mean, you're into that candle and you had no volume really to speak of yesterday. 1.2 compared to the 1.7. You got even lighter volume out here. So if the market started moving up, the problem that these light dollar or low dollar stocks have though is the same problem that we have with CCJ. They took a gap down on buying Westinghouse and probably a good medium and long term decision for them. In the short term, the market doesn't want you spending any money on anything. They don't want you to be in trouble in a year from now thinking that you've got to go out and borrow some money. But I think Kamiko is doing a very good job now of consolidating the uranium and nuclear power production part of the business. Just a lot of people are worried that everything's going to hell on a handbasque. Are you going to have money next year?  And I think it's probably a good long term buy. I'm not going to buy it today. But when the dust settles, I think probably they're going to be a much better company long term. We'll be back in a minute. Vista Gold owns and operates the largest undeveloped gold project in Australia, the Mount Todd Gold Project. Vista Gold just completed their feasibility study, resulting in a 7 million ounce gold reserve. Vista Gold has all major permits approved and has retained CIBC Capital Market Assistance in evaluating alternatives and in completing an accreted transaction. Vista Gold trades on the NYSE American and TSX under the ticker symbol VGZ. Vista Gold executing a strategy to create shareholder value. You might think that if you want to be successful at trading in the stock market, you're going to need a crystal ball. After all, it's impossible to predict the future, right? Like any endeavor in life, before you decide it's impossible, get some advice from the experts. You might find that it's not so impossible after all. For daily market overviews that give you direction on the key indices, selective stocks and commodities, subscribe to the opening call newsletter at TFNN.com. The opening call newsletter is written by Basil Chapman, creator of the trading methodology known as the Chapman Wave. 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Maybe we're just slowly chewing through these lows and going to wake up and it's going to jump the breakthrough ice, as Wycoff used to say. I just don't see a lot of evidence that generally you get more volume at the lows when you're chewing through it. Does this mean we're setting up some kind of rally that maybe the feds out there telling people they're saying one thing but getting ready to do another? Hard to say, but like I said, we've got a lot of dodges out there today. Probably the halfway move down or a time for the rally to start moving here in the next day or so. So we'll have more economic news tomorrow. We've got earnings. My guess is we're not going to get a lot of people wanting to get out past the tips of their ski before the close today. And that sets us up for probably maybe a good Friday afternoon of either a nice bounce or the end of the world sell-off. Both of those have nice and probably equal, for me, equal probability of outcome sitting here now. So there isn't a good risk reward one way or the other. But we'll see. Anyway, as usual, almost always better being out and wishing you were in than being in and wishing you were out. So when you can, not when you have to. We'll see you here tomorrow.


I mean, I've come into contact with police corruption quite a lot of times, but perhaps the most significant event I'll tell you about, if you like. Of course. Again, I'll take you back to Nottingham, where I met Cammie. Cammie introduced me to one of the gangsters who was in the team of Collin Gunn. About four and a half months into the operation. The day after that, two of my backup team went off sick. So I got two new people to come onto the team. I met the first one, Chuckie's hand had no problem with him. The second one, Chuckie's hand and the hairs just went up on the back of my neck. When you've been on the streets day after day, feeling at risk, your senses are quite fine tuned. You're really sensitive to body language and this guy was just wrong. So I spoke to the boss and said, look, boss, I can't have this guy knowing what I'm doing. So he excluded them both, so they didn't ask any questions and they never found out what the job is about. Twelve months later, Collin Gunn is brought down. Brilliant work by Nottinghamshire Constabulary. And it was found that that carp that I had taken exception to, a guy called Charlie Fletcher, was an employee of Collin Gunn. He'd been paid to join the police and he was paid £2,000 a month on top of his police wages for information and bonus bonuses for good information. By the time I'd met him, he'd been in the police for seven years, seven years. You can look him up, the newspaper stories of his conviction as online, Charlie Fletcher. Now I have to make something really clear. That kind of corruption can only be paid for by the money from the illicit drug supply. There's two reasons for that, one, there's more money in the illicit drug supply than anything else. Two, the way we police drugs creates monopolies. See, police are really good at catching drug dealers. Brilliant at it. They'll catch them day after day. They'll catch twice as many if you give them twice as much resources they will do, but they never shrink the market. The market never reduces, ever. You arrest the drug dealer. You just create an opportunity for another one or two more. So by policing drugs and arresting people, you thin out the competition for the most successful gangsters. And in fact, the best gangsters use police informants to get rid of the competition. The police do the business for them. Is there a lot of high profile gangsters who are snitches? I believe there's a lot of informants out there who don't go to prison because they're also working with the police. Do you see that a lot? A lot of high profile names giving the police information to keep them off their back, but also jail the competition around them. That's exactly how it works. And in fact, there's a chapter in drug wars where we interviewed a guy called Frank Matthews, who was a high profile informant handler in the Met, and he realized the extent of police corruption. And he started reporting on it, whistleblowing. He'd put so many gangsters in prison. He'd chased organized crime, all of his career, only at the point when he started grassing up fellow police officers, did he realize his life was in threat. He thought he was going to get murdered. And in fact, he had to be snatched. He had to be taken away and put into witness protection to protect him from corrupt police.