is a presentation of T F N N. Traders edge with Steve Rhodes. At 1<PHONE_NUMBER> or internationally at<PHONE_NUMBER>. Traders edge now Steve Rhodes. Today is January 28th edition of today's Traders edge show. Of course, this is taco Tuesday. Great to be with you. Hope everybody's having a great day out there. Currently we've got the Dow up 210 points. All the indices are pointing green. We're going to go ahead and rip these markets apart. Take a look at what levels we ought to be looking at. At today's close out here. They'll be important to help us at least add to the probability of what tomorrow's action might be. But right now we've got the T F N N. Traders edge with Steve Rhodes. We've got the Dow up 210 points. Of course, I would love to hear from you. And the easiest way to do that is to give us a call at<PHONE_NUMBER>. If you can't call in, well, we've got you covered there. You can always send me an email. That would be at Steve at T F N N dot com. And inside the subject heading please put radio show question. Of course, it'd be great if you could send those messages in early. That way by the time you send it and goes to the ISP, gets to my cell phone here, I'll be able to get a question before the show and answer it. And of course, inside our Tiger's Den, well, any ping will do there. So let's go ahead and take a look at these markets out here. Of course, this is Taco Tuesday. Terrific Tuesday. January the 28th out there. I'm Steve Rhodes. This is, of course, Tiger, Financial News Network. Welcome to the show. So let's go immediately and take a look. Let's go right into our first question out here, Teriyaki Tuesday. Not too bad as well. The first one coming in from Tim. Tim writes and he says, Steve, would you want a close above the bottom of the TAS box today for the ES? Many diminished the chances of a further retracement. Was hoping to go short, but not so fast. So now when you say a further retracement, geez, I don't know, Tim, are you referring to a further retracement lower retracement hired to sell into the rally? I don't know. But let's just go take a look at you. You pose an excellent question and we can go take a look at the charts and answer the question for you. So let's go do that. Let me go here. There's a chart out here. As it turns out, I happen to share this with subscribers this morning. So I just have to find where did I put it here? It should be like right here where it should be really right here. Where is it? Where is it? I guess it's not around the PTRs. Son of a gun. Hold on. Give me one second here because I've got it. There we go. TAS profiles daily. It's got to be this one. There we go. OK, so what Tim's doing is we spent a little bit of time yesterday and we should always spend every morning understanding where support and resistance is. Can you imagine? We got the Super Bowl.  But can you imagine coaching the Super Bowl and not really understanding where your players where your supportive resistance is so to speak out? Oh, we got to take a look at the charts son of a gun. There we go. OK, this is going to be helpful to you. Thank you. Thank you, my wingman in the studio. So now we're taking a look at the ES mini. This is the daily time frame out here. And what took place yesterday was that we saw a break of support and support being so we spent a lot of time yesterday. Take a look at support. We look at our daily or weekly or monthly profiles. We also can take a look at our TD nine count breakout levels out there. We can look at Stevie's red or green line, the oscillator and change. And those are our levels of support and resistance. Now, what Tim's question is, is if the ES mini today closes above 30 to 6850 on my screen, it says 30 to 6843 folks, the ES mini cannot trade to that. It trades in quarters. All right. And don't don't ever use the ES mini as a round number object out there. It trades in quarters. You've got a 25% chance. Is that 20? Yeah, 25% chance that it's going to be a round number out there. But what I want you to 30 to 6850, if there's a close below that, then what we have is a second close below support. However, if there's a close below above that level, which Tim is asking, I think he's asking, will the ES mini trade higher? Well, take a look at some examples here. If we go back and just take a look at last time we saw close below bottom of a box was on December the third. What took place on the next session? Well, price got back inside the range, closed back inside the box. And then price went up and tested the high. It actually took out the high. So there's an example of a close below. Here's an example of a close below a new box. This is on the trading day of October the 8th. The following day, price did test and reject it, but then the day after, darn it, if price didn't just sneak back into the profile and where did it head to? Right? It couldn't bust out the lows.  However, whatever language you want to use out there and price went right back up to the top. Instead, what we should see if this is a real break, a real break of support, heading to lower prices, much more like the action that we see back here on August 1st of 2018, 2019. You get a close below the very next day. You get some follow-through. And then, of course, we saw a lower price, which lasted for a couple of days out there. And then we saw a bit of a consolidation. So Tim, the answer to your question is, goes like this. If the ES mini closes above the bottom of its profile out there, that's 326850, then that suggests a continued move higher tomorrow. Now, will resistance be 3291 or 3306? I don't know the answer to that. The other level to be watching forward, so if we take a look at the, if we took a look at Stevie's green line, we'll shoot. That is above the daily profile. I'd be at 3316. It's not that price can't get up there, but there's some other levels of resistance. So, Tim, you're asking where is it that you should go short? And I can give you basically two numbers out here. First to close above that 3268 level should take price up to 3291 to 3306. Now that's in trade in the ES mini, right? So that you can go ahead, you can set up that trade, you can trade that overnight. If you're going to try to coordinate that with an ETF, well, I guess you can do it through some of TD Ameritrade's ETFs that will trade around the clock. I'm not sure what the liquidity is in those vehicles and what your entry price would be, at least in the ES mini, you can sell right to the tick. You just simply identify that level out there. So, Tim, I hope that answers your question out there. And thanks so much for writing in. Our next question out here, and it will get to the markets, but you're kind of getting the gist out here. I think Tim just kind of nailed it, but Tom writes in, so we've got a Tim and Tom show, and Tom writes in and he says, I am in a long trade and wondering if you should go ahead and buy some more. So let's go take a look at Dusty. Dusty Rhodes, that is. And of course, that's not who it was, but, you know, I did garner that nickname kind of hard not to, right? As a kid with the last name Rhodes. So we want to go take a look at dust. So if we're just simply going to look at dust, I'm going to give you the profile levels out here. We're going to look at more than that to answer your question, Tom, but with regard to dust, what it has done today, if we're just going to use dust as our proxy in the market profiles, and what's taken place today is price ran right into resistance. That would be $6.08. So in your case, Tom, I think I get a feel, a little bit of a feel for the type of trader that you are. I'd be sitting on that trigger, potentially that trigger today. I'd be having a tight stop. I believe that's kind of the way that you trade out there and price ran into resistance. I don't know if that's the case for the GDX. We'll go take a look at that because in essence, really, that's what dust is feeding off of the GDX. And of course, the GDX is feeding off the gold. So we really need to take a look at those. And I'm sure others have questions about that. So we're going to do that when we get back from this break. We're going to take a look at the GDX for Tom. And of course, I want to hear from you. Steve wrote to the GF and in. I'll be right back. If you're not currently using the TAS Profile Scanner when looking at setting up opportunities, then your arsenal is short a mighty weapon. 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Now it's up to 12 S&P 32. We're going to go back out to the question which is what Tom wants to take a look at dust. We took a brief peek at dust but now I pulled up the GDX and the GDX is going to give us better information dust as a triple inverse of the GDX. And so you know his profile levels I always consider those to be somewhat suspect out here. I'd rather rely upon the one to one which is the GDX and Tom is asking hey it's now the time to add. So you're going to see here we're going to get two different messages right on dust we saw that price was running right in resistance at the top of its daily profile and that was saying okay if you can't bust it out we don't know what resistance is held. Now in the case of GDX what we can see is price is actually trading below support or what if it's support levels that being the bottom of its daily profile 2848. So Tom I would say you know you're looking to add to it you know one day's close below the bottom market profile while Stevie always likes at least a two bar close so you know do you add now I don't know let's go take a good Goldilocks see what it's doing now in the case of Gold what we know is we know we've got a nice wave number seven top out here that's letter G we also know that yesterday in that move higher it was beginning to form erosment and indicator signal out here now the problem is it's not really a problem we don't have a bearish reversal candle and so I don't have a secondary topping signal but what we also see is that price inside the Gold contract is testing Stevie's green line that's 1570 to 10 out there if price closes below that level then Tom I would say okay I could see where you would consider adding to your dust position however you probably see exactly what I see too what is that look at this little and this is where it gets a little bit more tricky I would say look at all of the higher lows that the Gold contract has made out here Tom now granted today it looks like we're going to have a close below the low of yesterday so that could be a factor that suggests lower lows out here but I can't see you getting carried away just yet on this trade here I just I you know yes look the Golds move higher to a certain extent for the most part it's really been geopolitical at this stage but you know I Tom I mean here I just posed the question do you do you trust that everything you're reading in the media with regard and we can we know yesterday's reaction and then Friday's reaction to the to the issues over in China so now do you believe that the information that we are receiving from China is is all out there totally transparent it's in fact it's in fact it's aggressive they're giving they're making it even worse than it is just to you know try to if you believe that then okay maybe but what if they're not and things are actually worse than they are and we've seen how the markets or we believe we've seen how the markets have responded that and that is including gold and so in geopolitical senses it's really hard to be short gold yeah I can have a bearish outlook but other than if you're trading out there so I hope that helps you out I know we went beyond dust but really we didn't because we really needed to consider all of those things out there so hope that helps you out now let's go take a look at just the general markets out here for the next couple of minutes take a look at things to look at let's go look at the let's go look at the actual cash indices out here let's spend a little time there now I did the things that we were looking at was the beginning it was a spot volatility index now right now it's lowered by 11.25% if you look at the bottom panel of my screen out there you're going to see two yellow lines 1 at 10% plus 10% 1 at minus 10% out there now what those mean and you're looking because it's a line chart it's really just looking at closes the blue arrows and green arrows on my chart are referencing the blue arrows the green arrows are when there's a 1 day rate of change below minus 10% or minus 10% or less out there and right now that is what we have now if you take a look at green arrows out here what they typically indicate I just simply call them initiation move signals out here and that would suggest not a down day tomorrow not that you can't have that but not a significant down day tomorrow and the likelihood and the very high price doesn't work all the time no they still don't have that tool that works all the time but it works enough it's not a coin toss this tool is not a coin toss it puts the odds in your favor out here so if there is a 1 day rate of change today below minus 10% it's suggesting that we're going to see we're not going to see some kibosh to the downside tomorrow more likely than not we're going to see some kibosh to the downside out there and then I put that together here with the S&P 500 specifically many people don't really access the S&P 500 but you do have access certainly or should to the S&P 500 and its number is 32 60 66 that was the TD 9 count breakout level the price did close below if the S&P closed below 32 60.66 that's suggesting that we're going to see price head down to lower levels and the next lower level inside the cash to see is 31 26 but right now prices above the breakout level again in other words this was a potentially the buy that if we take a look at the S&P cash different than the S&P S&P it would suggest to you that in that area is where the countertrend rally if this is just a countertrend rally would end a close above that and we're back to the new all-time highs well we won't be right back to him but it would suggest that in fact that would be the likely scenario now the other level to watch and this is important because we have mixed signals out here mixed signals from the 789.10 and in essence price has tested and rejected that level so the Dow the Dow is still in a bearish operation it would need to close today above 28 789.10 can the Dow take things lower yes the bigger and more important aspect of the Dow Charter what we're looking at here and if there is a close below 28 789.10 what is signaling to you and I think is not flowing into the Dow and that's always a bad thing for the markets because we lose one of our big liquidity options for it you see the Dow is really the even though maybe you don't own the Dow a lot of international and big big funds most certainly do and international money they take a look at the Dow as the trophy horse so to speak so watch the markets lower all the time is always a lack of liquidity so you're looking for those types of things so inside the NDX100 you've got Apple I believe coming out with earnings after the bell to today the NDX100 just got the topping pattern wave number 7 that's letter G out here but no breaks of any kind of support inside the NDX100 none zero nada zippo you know if you can't bust support we'll be right back I'm certain you are or strive to be one of the best of the best at everything you do in life it's the most common trade that we Tigers and Tigers share if you're looking to become the best of the best when it comes to managing your money let me teach you to do what most wealth managers tell you can't be done which is how to time the markets I'm Steve Rhodes author of Mastering Probability and for the last 12 months Timer Digest also ranks me as the number one market timer for gold as well the fact is markets can be timed and I'll teach you the exact set of tools that I use that has transformed me into one of the best in what I do sign up for Mastering Probability today by clicking on the newsletter tab on the homepage of tfn.com and get immediate access to workshops where I take you step by step how to use an extraordinary set of tools as well as a great market calls to sign up today if you're a trader in the 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timing the trade your ultimate trading mastery system David White has programmed an outstanding piece of software that will complement any traders methodology using this first of its kind program the art of timing the trade charts allows you to scan thousands of stocks and much more the art of timing the trade charts is designed to help you when scouring the markets for stocks just beginning to form the trading patterns that many investors spend days, weeks or even months searching to find and right now we're offering licenses available at only $79 a month we are so confident that you're going to love this new charting software that will even give you a 30 day unconditional money back guarantee don't miss out on this incredible new piece of software that you're going to find at www.tfnn.com this segment is brought to you by think or swim for more information just click the think or swim banner on the front page of tfnn.com welcome back dowes up to 18 S&P is up 32 we're going to go out to Philadelphia and speak with John John thanks for calling thanks for holding how are you doing today Steve I'm doing my pleasure as always and we're going to discuss heating oil why don't you tell the folks what we're going to look at how we can help you Steve you know my hypothesis since early October which has been the idea that crude oil under 50 for very long was unsustainable frankly on account of the fact that US oil production is very high cost and if it remains below that price for too long we'll just see low price curing low price with US oil producers in places like the Permian or the Bakken going on business and pulling back production anyway so that's a hypothesis we've had this severe drop in the price of oil and its products of course the past two weeks on the concerns over slackening global demand particularly with this virus problem so oil has cascaded lower and it hasn't quite hit the lows of October August June interestingly as I was doing my chart work the past week I noticed that heating oil you know one of the two major products out of a cut of a barrel of oil came down and actually broke the October and I already got all the way back to the December 2018 low and as you saw I took a speculation just as a short-term trader picking or speculating the possibility of a double low bottom forming and frankly the only reason I'm going after heating oil is just because of that and the potential double low possibility and frankly that's just to try to get me back into getting confident about an oil excuse me a bottom in crude in the CL contract anyway so that's the background I'm wondering in doing your chart work and using all your tools is there any set of parameters you can share with us that we can use or rely upon and looking at the things short-term or looking at things short-term over the next one five ten days as clues of a bottom in heating oil and I transfer that into crude oil itself OK so excellent thank you for stating the question so well and so easily and so folks one of the charts that John is taking a look at is the weekly timeframe this is the March contract is it the March contract John that's active for heating oil that is yes so we're taking a look at the March contract here and one of the first things so John is talking about a double bottom basically he's really referring to a retest of a prior swing point as he mentioned it it was the swing point low from December the week that began December 24th 2018 and what you can see is so far this week that level has been tested that was a buck 70 1.7018 to be specific and price so far today we do know the prices below the weekly profile we also know the prices below the daily profiles out here the 240 minute price has just gotten above so John's asking here that he's short term signals to suggest that his entry into a long position in this is starting to begin to see some type of change in trend signal or resistance levels that would fail and so the first one that you would be looking for just kind of stepping down a little bit from weekly daily then go to the top of that box and so any close on a four hour base I believe that would be two o'clock so in less than 30 minutes here if you see heating oil close above the top of that level which is 1.7114 that is suggestive of a of a change in trend because in fact if we pull backwards just I'm out of curious I don't know what we will see what we won't see but we're just looking to see how often the 240 minute profile on the move down there was a really small profile back in here in the January 14 time frame so small that you kind of have to my opinion have to discount it a tad out here but really this is the first this could be the first time and if you had follow-through that would so you'd be getting a good signal John on the four hour time frame with regard to profiles in the 60 minute I think you use a 60 minute chart short term to help confirm it's out here let's in fact pull over a different 60 minute chart now let's pull over my white background chart it's got some of the rogement and indicator signals our TD counts things a wave counts things of that sort and so on a 60 minute basis John price was pushing lower doing less relative energy you got a piercing candle let me get a crosshair out here will be able to maybe see it a little bit easier just simply move sideways sort of retested that really did retest that level out there again then you had another bullish reversal candle on the one hour time frame chart suggesting that at least buyers were trying to support that low that you were looking at out here and now what's going on is we've seen over the past couple of hours we've seen price break above a key resistance level where it had last broken down on a pullback that we're seeing in this one hour period here between one and two p.m. prices as busted above that is now pulling back and if it can stay above that an old resistance level potentially old resistance level will become new supportive price closing below that it doesn't mean that we haven't seen a bottom price could easily pull back and test my oscillator and changel and that's about a buck 68 so the 60 minute is giving you that bottom signal time frame chart John we looked at that with price trading above the top of it's a profile out there this I've got as a rosement of indicator bottom as well and then I've got wave number seven letter G so I see the bottoming patterns on the short-term time frame chart on a daily time frame chart I don't have anything out here to identify a bottom but you also mentioned oil so let me pull that over here real quickly and then we'll have about a minute to respond to any of your questions oil light sweet crude is very likely targeting its breakout area 51.76 this is a level that is held it's a T.D. setup breakout area 51.76 been tested three times three or four times here over the past many months going back to June and that should be a pretty good question whether price will get all the way down there or not it's right near a support level so that's what I see in trying to put all that together did that help you? yeah immensely thank you I'll just as I stack up all the info you've mentioned the heating oil four hour charts potentially moving above the top of a TAS profile of your oscillator excuse me oscillator on change line love that stuff so you answered all my questions I want to continue bottom picking sounds great hey John excellent thanks so much for calling in and to have a great day folks we got you bet you bet Dow is trading up by 205 S&P 31 we'll be right back if you are in the CD market the security for these first mortgages are building lots in the tax opportunity zone in St. Petersburg, Florida the tax act of 2018 set up tax free zones across the country where you can build and hold for 10 years and pay no tax on the profits which makes these lots valuable the investment is anywhere from 30,000 to 75,000 the 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hit watch Tiger TV that's the latest to market information welcome back folks that was up to 16 S&P 20 32 points right now let's go to our next question that came in this one coming in from Craig Craig says hey Steve any good potential resistance point on this bounce in Lightsweed Crude for a good short down to the 51 area so if we just simply pull this daily chart back out here and I'll go take a look at profiles with you the best area would be a test of Stevie's red line which presently is printed out at 56 71 if price bounces up to that level it won't be 56 70 won't be 56 71 but I would have to use my oscillator and change line right now on this chart is the only chart that would provide us with a you know a good a good potential resistance point I don't know if you there's a a large consolidation that's going on here in Lightsweed Crude Craig and you can see the top it's really well identified it was where the TD set up nine count breakdown level took place and that's at 6306 there's been two moves up to that area both have been rejected now granted there was a slight close for one day above that level but then the follower two days later taken price down to support and support 51 76 has price actually gotten down there no no look if it doesn't get down there because the other two like there's been in essence the first time down here was back in the August time frame right so just look at the chart here August 7 the next time that price came back and even though close below it the very next day it's right above really think about the opening day is not curtains it's got to prove itself to you and I otherwise it's just a one hit wonder and you're not going to get paid off on one hit wonders out there it just doesn't happen and so in this case here okay with light sweet crude look at the very next time that price came down here October 3 October 3 it was a slightly higher low but it's still test that level here's the third test out here on the even higher low out here maybe this time price is not going to get back to that low and you've got another higher low really suggesting Craig that yes I mail prices below Stevie's red line out here but it really suggests that you're down towards the bottom of the consolidation until it proves itself to us otherwise but right now it's true it's that that's the bottom that's you're so near support and I just don't know that the reward risk is in it but I'd say odds favor more if you can't bust them down it'll try to bust them up and that could be another run up to the 63 level out there so that's what I see right now when I take a look at the chart for light sweet crude Hector writes in Hector and the fuel injectors Hector loves taco Tuesday that we got to go to we got to go grab some tacos maybe a corona possibly a shot of tequila but I don't think so then you could one tequila two tequila floor you know that song out there so maybe we don't want to do that but what Hector wants to look at is SQ and snap if we have enough time so let's go do this here let's pull up SQ and snap let me pull over still working on the automated the overall automated tools but really getting pretty close out here but let's just punch in SQ and your question can you back up the truck which is the better play SQ or or snap now here's the daily timeframe the daily timeframe we see a road diminicator bottom that was really your time to step in out here what do we have today price and I don't have any kind of topping signal looks like maybe A to B CD patterns to the upside that's what where I don't have a bottom pattern per se but we can't see is that the last low was a higher low too so maybe this is just simply trading in between the fifty five sixty area you know up to about eighty eighty five something like that I don't see you know I don't see any I don't say thing bearish about the weekly timeframe chart for the moment which suggests higher price the monthly is not going to give me a whole lot your other question was snap the answer to that would be should like to see a bottom look at snap here on the monthly timeframe but TD set up nine count road's momentum indicator top so on a monthly timeframe that's a positive outcome however the weekly is saying price is moving higher doing less relative energy you've gotten into wave number seven that was that was last week out here so that suggests we've got the bearish and golfing candle yesterday neither of these are backup your truck candidates the backup your truck candidate the easier backup your truck Hector I'd love you to learn that these patterns out here like you got wave number seven a road's momentum indicator bottom back in snap on a daily basis back in the October timeframe I'd rather you see those signals to do that backup your truck just the odds a let's go grab a good meal out there I like I like this shrimp in steak but it's got to be good steak if it's not good steak it's not worth eating out there so no other questions that we have folks if you're inside the Tigers Den and you've got something that you'd like me to go take a look at please let me know otherwise I'll just simply peruse around the charts out here see what it is let's go take a look at where are we trading where are the markets trading in relationship to the 2019 highs out here now in the very left hand columns out here you're going to see the equity futures contract you're going to see the ES the NQ and the Dow out here and if we take a look at all three of those are trading above their 2019 high it's bullish still more important yesterday when all those levels but they just simply haven't held now it's different if we take a look at the New York Stock Exchange Russell 2000 and the semi-conductors however it's just the New York Stock Exchange and the Russell they're trading below their 2019 high the semis are not take a look at the S&P cash different than the ES many out here but the S&P cash never closed below the 2019 high the Dow did but it's back above it the Nasdaq composite never did as well now gold is above that again just going back to Tom's question you know should he pile on more inside of the dust trade the trade above last year's high out there it's not bearish yeah we've got topping signals yes yes yes but it's not like it's overly bearish you know where I would say yeah back up the truck as Hector was asking as an example silver well below that 2019 high as our treasury bonds out there so okay so that's interesting yes it's interesting to me it's helpful to me if this market really bearish or if it does get really bearish you're going to see price first trading below last year's highs out there we take a look at the New York stock exchange well we know that yesterday you and I talked about this we were discussing this chart as we were looking at the roads with the mitigator signals on the short-term timeframes we knew about the spot volatility index of a bouncer bottom out there and then we said hey that New York stock exchange advanced decline oscillator it was down below minus one fifty yesterday and we know that's an oversold reading so this could be a counter trend rally or it could be just simply a knee-jerk reaction yesterday and the day before Steve Rhodes with TFN will be right now since 1984 Basel Chapman has been using the Chapman wave expert market opinion while originally hand drawing charts from the late 1970s into the 1980s Basel noticed that prices under most circumstances virtually always had a certain number of legs to the upside before declining sharply later Basel found that computer software which included the standard market technical indicators enhance the degree of accuracy and calling price turns as well as market trend calls thus was born the Chapman wave sequence where Basel Chapman advises his subscribers of his expert market opinion each market day with his opening call newsletter right now you can get a two week free trial to the opening call Basel's daily trading newsletter by visiting the front page of TFN.com cancel it any time during that trial and pay absolutely nothing get your two week free trial to Basel's newsletter the opening call today I'm going to describe my gold report the gold report took profits in four of its equities in the gold portfolio in the first week of January for a combined profit of 99.2% with two positions left in the portfolio that have a profit of 67.5% as of January 7th the gold report is a comprehensive look at the metal sector as well as the markets that move gold which is the currency and bond markets new subscribers the XAU HUI JDX as well as more than 30 different mining equities to see for yourself the types of profitable trades that are recommended within the gold report sign up now by visiting TFN.com don't miss out on the next great gold trade sign up today you know what's cool taking something that's good for you something specifically formulated to help with weight loss better sleep stress reduction and the need to detox for health in their wild environment but today our food sources no longer contain the vitamins minerals and nutrients our bodies need to stay healthy and strong that's why we need primal edge daily nutrition it includes a special blend of ionic soil based vitamins minerals fatty and amino acids in an easy to use liquid form primal edge is powered by highly concentrated folic and humic acids nature's preferred page they ensure we receive all the nutrition we need to be healthy and thrive we take it every morning primal edge formulated and approved by nico and page of living a primal lifestyle buy it today for just $89 click on the primal edge banner on the front page of TFN.com this is David White stay tuned because coming up next is the power trading hour out there at David White he's coming up next Tom O'Brien after that so I believe Apple is out with earnings is it today folks I believe that it is and so let's go see if there's some kind of tell inside of Apple from taking look at the charts can you or I surmise how the market thanks David tonight at 4.30 how the market might react so here if we take a look at the longer term picture the weekly price is well above well above any kind of support levels support levels resistance levels those being the top of their profiles the daily we do have a profile that form maybe half a dozen days ago or so and we can see that yesterday's move lower right into support never a break of support right to where the buy the dipsters would be and they were at 305.16 and that held now those buy the dipsters have been able to push price the resistance be the top of the profile that number is 317.57 so the real question for you or I if this just a counter is this is there any kind of topping pattern that's out there and if so then maybe this could just be a counter trend rally possibility so let's go take a look at the daily time frame chart and see what we see out here we see really two topping patterns right well I say right do you say I don't know what do you mean right well if we do from the low on December the third out there what you'll see is the actual high that came in was on wave number 7 wave number 7 we know how the markets like to sing in the key of G when we see those well it tells us of a potential change in trend or at least a potential top well we got the potential top oh the second pattern the roads meant the indicator signal that was confirmed yesterday with the gap to the downside but remember whenever we get there really trying to understand is do they have the ability to bust through support and the answer that you and I have is no they were not able to do that so get to your conclusion Steve oh in the next 10 seconds I don't have a conclusion we can call this a counter trend rally up into the top of that box out there the topping signal still in play what I play some kind of put your call turnings the answer would be no it's kind of take care folks we'll see you tomorrow


What's up guys? Welcome back. Mine is Shreds here on Thumbs Up Run where we're talking about buying tickets, selling tickets and making sure that you have all the fun with your tickets. Just the other day I mentioned on Ticket Tip Thursday that NFL policy had recently changed on how they're selling tickets through Ticketmaster. There were a few new terms and conditions they had to agree to prior to actually going ahead and making that purchase. So today we're talking all about those changes. So what did I do? I read through the entire policy and I highlighted three main areas which would be relevant to you guys. One, the cancelled and postponement policy, how that's changed and how that affects any refunds that you may be getting. Two, any health and safety guidelines that are related specifically to COVID-19 and the NFL. And three, just anything general that doesn't quite fit in those first two buckets. Let's get started. Alright, first off. Number one, let's talk about cancelled events because obviously this is the number one risk if an event is going to go on may change in the future. Oh dear. Oh dear. Scary. Technical difficulties dealt with. Let's continue. Alright, so number one, the first thing I want to talk about cancelled events, cancelled tickets, what's going to happen with your tickets when an event is cancelled. So basically in the terms it says, should there be an event that is cancelled, it will be up to the event promoter to actually go ahead and make that determination. And once that determination is made, you will then be eligible to get a refund. So if in the NFL an event actually gets cancelled, that game is no longer taking place, they've cancelled it, it's done for, it's never going to happen. You will then be entitled to a refund and will follow the standard refund policy. So that would imply getting an actual refund in terms of cash dollars that you will be eligible to get once that event has been officially cancelled. Nothing too exciting there. But where it gets more interesting is the next part. If there's any event where seating capacity needs to change, whether it needs to be reduced or limited to no fans at all or a limited number of fans. Or if there's any kind of re-jigging to where people will actually be sitting, Ticketmaster has the ability to simply cancel your seats, cancel your ticket purchase and just issue you a refund at their own discretion. You do not have a choice in the matter. If there's any kind of re-jigging done to the seating capacity, Ticketmaster and its sole discretion can go ahead and actually cancel your seats. This is irrelevant of whether you want to keep your seat or not, whether the event is still going on or not. It doesn't matter to actually go ahead and cancel your seats. Generally, this clause is really more geared towards a situation of when the event could go from, you know, 10,000 people to 5,000 people. Ticketmaster has the ability to go ahead and cancel any tickets either related to that change or in general to the event itself. So just keep that in mind. Make sure if you hear anything about seating capacity changing, anything like that, be very, very careful. Pay attention. Make sure you go ahead and take all your tickets. Make sure they're still active, valid, ready to go for when you go to that event. And like I said, if the event ends up being limited to a very minor number of fans or no fans at all, Ticketmaster again will have the option to just go ahead and send you that refund, cancel your tickets. Now, what about rescheduled and postponed events? So recently NFL had to move a lot of games due to the Tennessee Titans outbreaks. Basically a lot of teams are being affected by this at this point and it's likely to continue going into the season. So events are likely going to be moved around, postponed, rescheduled, that kind of thing. So very important, pay attention. If an event ends up being postponed and or rescheduled, the event promoter has the option they are not forced to. They have the option to go ahead and issue refunds for those tickets. So again, if an event is postponed or rescheduled, this is an option that may be given to you but may also not be given to you. So just pay attention there. And again, if the event is rescheduled, is postponed, is put to another date and you aren't able to use that seat and they have not issued you a refund or not giving you the option to refund, you unfortunately are stuck with those tickets unless you end up selling them. You can't just assume you'll be able to get a refund if the event has been postponed or rescheduled. It's very important. I'm going to repeat this again. If an event is postponed or rescheduled, you are potentially given the option for refund but it is not a guarantee. Now, should the event eventually move from the postponed stage, the rescheduled stage to the canceled stage, then the refunds will start flowing in nice and dandy, nothing too special there. But if it stays in the postponed or rescheduled brackets, refunds not guaranteed. Now we're going to move into the more exciting stuff, health and safety. Specifically, it's a lot of things are related to COVID-19, you know, directly and so they have introduced a few clauses here which you are stating that you will abide by and agree to prior to and at the event itself. And specifically, you're agreeing to the NFL Fan Promise. If you do not abide by the NFL Fan Promise or you choose to ignore any of the things that are in there, you can and likely will be kicked out of that event, not be allowed to enter the event, and you will not be eligible for a refund for those tickets by not abiding by these rules. Therefore, very important you make sure you do understand what these are and that you are going to agree to them throughout the entire event. This includes even when you're in the parking garage getting into the event itself at the main gate while you're at the event and then also while you're leaving. NFL Fan Health Promise is very simple. Basically, you agree that you're going to stay at home if in the last 14 days you or anyone in your party has been exposed to COVID-19. But in the last 48 hours, if you have any symptoms, they actually list out all the different symptoms there. You can go ahead, take a look on your screen. Very specific, very, very specific. Sometimes you may not believe that, oh, I just have this little sniffle. It's not a big deal, but it actually says here. If they catch you sniffling, they're going to kick you out. So be careful. No sniffles. No, no, no, no. In the last 14 days, if you've been coming anywhere where there's been a quarantine advisory related to that state, province, territory, country, any of those things, if you've been anywhere or in contact with anyone who has been in one of these quarantine advisory areas, you are also agreeing that you're going to stay at home. You're coming from one county going into another county and that first county has an advisory and the second one does not. You're traveling between the two of these places. Unfortunately, you are actually agreeing that you will not attend because of these advisories. So keep that in mind. And the second point of the NFL fan health promise is about ticket pod integrity. Now, if you don't know what ticket pod is, you can go ahead, click up over here. Click up in the corner. I have a video which I just put out on Ticket Tip Thursday talking all about ticket pods. So very, very informative. You can get all the information there.  Therefore, if one or some of you are not able to attend that event and you decide you want to sell the extra tickets, you can't just sell the extra ones. You have to sell the entire pod together. You can either use all of them or none of them. There's no way for you to actually go ahead and break up this pod. Make sure you maintain pod integrity at all times. And the last thing, number three, the general things that you basically agree that you're not going to be suing either Ticketmaster, any of the related people related to the event going on or any other fans, you, yourself, others who are going to be sitting near you, around you, just anyone in the building. You're accepting the risks that you are undertaking related to attending that event due to COVID-19. And this relates to any kind of interactions, whether it's ticket vendors, people you're spying food from, whether it's Ticketmaster somehow. It doesn't matter that you're basically saying, I understand that there are risks involved with attending this event due to this pandemic. And I am still going to attend that event and give up a lot of my rights. Just keep that in mind, okay? If you have any questions, go ahead and write to them. You can either write them a letter or you can send a little email and they'll get back to you, I'm sure, at some point or other option. Go ahead and leave a comment below with your questions. I'll read them. I'll answer them. I'll do it with a smile. That kind of covers everything related to ticket policies related to NFL ticket purchases. Again, you are agreeing to all these terms and more within this policy by going ahead and buying these tickets on Ticketmaster. If the NFL team you're buying your tickets from uses a different ticketing platform, it's very likely they'll have very similar terms as well. So make sure you go ahead, take a little peek in there. Make sure it all dies. You're agreeing with everything. It's all good. Otherwise, go ahead, buy those tickets, have a ton of fun. And remember, be safe. That's all I got for today. Hope you guys enjoyed this video. If you did, definitely remember to hit the like button down below. Also, be sure to subscribe if you haven't already because lots of great content coming up every single week in. See you guys next time.


Is the Instagram worthy book Witch by Lisa Lister actually worth it? Thanks. Welcome back to Esoteric Moment. It's a book review day and we are going to chat about that book. I'm sure you've seen on Instagram, which is Witch by Lisa Lister. This is a beautiful book, has one of those nice silky silicone kind of black covers and silver embossed lettering for the cover. There are, let me see if I can show you something. The chapter pages are really like bold and then there are these like quote pages and there are just very fun things about the physical book that makes it easy to put on Instagram or your social media and I have definitely seen it there lots of places. But we are not all about aesthetic, we also want content. So when I picked up this book, I was very skeptical. I really thought that this would only be about fitting that trendy witch aesthetic and would have little to no content that was actually worth reading. I was pleasantly surprised by this book. Well, it is not something that advanced witchcraft practitioners or druids are really going to find appealing or worth their time. I do think it has an excellent place as a beginner book or a book that kind of reaches a new audience. It's easy to feel that the only books that are worthy of our attention are the ones that appeal to us and this book doesn't necessarily appeal to me. I'm not a witch, I'm a druid and I'm not young enough that the casual tone of the author is really comfortable for me to read. I'm not troubled by the slang and abbreviations as much as some reviewers have been, but I can definitely tell that this is meant for that 16 year old, that 22 year old who is trying to find a way to embrace their feminine power. I think that is very valuable for our community. I remember certain books and authors that really inspired me to kind of understand feminism in a new way. I grew up in a rural area, being called a feminist was a huge insult. And while I definitely adhered to those beliefs and ideas about feminism, I was one of the people who would not call myself a feminist until I got to college and until I was exposed to some of these authors. I think this book is kind of the new wave of reaching people and showing them what feminism, what witchcraft, what embracing your inner power can really do for your life. And I applaud the book for reaching those people and kind of pushing that lens. Witchcraft is obviously meant for more than just the female identified, it is more than just tower for those with vaginas, it's a lot of things to a lot of different people. But we can't forget that there is this incredible rich history of witchcraft being really empowering for women and feminism.  And I think this book is a good entryway for people who are in the aesthetic world to kind of understand that there's more to witchcraft and paganism. Let's talk about the contents of the actual chapters. We have some kind of like talk about history roots, a lot of talk about the author stories, her family connection to Gypsies and different goddesses that she works with. She talks a lot about like reclaiming our power and feminism. She talks about kind of nature. She calls it the great mama or like mama Gaia and that is hard for me to read. But again, it's like a new audience. And I think it will appeal to a lot of people who are interested in witchcraft or just starting out and looking for something a little more edgy. So I think that's good. And then of course she talks about magic and there's some correspondence charts. There's some basic spells, anything that you expect in a beginner book, less Cunningham focused, you know, where you get like all the dirty to do lists and tool collection and how to like that more beginner type in your sitting down at coffee with a friend who's like really into this brand new trend and wants to tell you all about it. It's more a book geared like that. I can happily say that I would not recommend to this book to anyone who is already well on their path. But I happily endorse this book for those of you who are new to witchcraft, those of you who are interested in some of the ways feminism impacts paganism and witchcraft. I think it is a particular style for a particular time in history. I don't know how well this book will hold up historically or in our community forever. But I'm happy that it's here for our community now. And I really think it will bring more wisdom and knowledge to people who are attracted to the trend of witchcraft. So I think it's worth a read if you're curious about that. In the comments below, I would love to hear what you think about the witch aesthetic, the trend on social media for witchy things. It is something that I haven't directly addressed here on this channel, mostly because it's been well covered by many really smart people on YouTube and social media. So I'm not as inclined to add my voice to that conversation. But I am curious what you think and this book definitely comes out of that. So let me know in the comments. This week's sapling shout out goes out to Rebecca Finn. She wrote a comment on my magic and spellcraft of jewelry saying why hadn't she found my channel before. So welcome new sapling. Thanks for joining us here in this grove online. If you want to be a sapling shout out in a future video, definitely talk to me in the comments or on Instagram or even on my blog, esotericmoment.com. I love to have conversations with you guys. Thanks for watching and as always, may you find peace in the sacred grove.


Hi, everyone. Nice to finally meet you in person. Now I'm a little nervous, but I'm really happy to be here and to talk a little bit about, for monitoring topsobility, left shift your SLOs with chaos today. I'm Michael. I'm a senior developer at GitHub. On the internet, you can find me as dnsmichie, which is dnsmichie. It's the lovely form of Michael in German. And I figured later on, it doesn't really work in English. But please connect if you want to. And now let's dive into and start with an SRE tail. Let's build some Lego as well. A while ago, or like 10 years ago, we had certain things like black box monitoring, state changes, measuring SLA reporting over time. At a certain point, metrics have been added, trending. Service level objectives have been defined. And we moved into certain things like white box monitoring. And one of the things which inspired me in my past life as an open source monitoring maintainer myself, the Prometheus metrics endpoint was added to Docker. And it made it much more easy and convenient to look inside the application. From there, we defined service level agreements, objectives, indicators. There was much to learn and much to move on. Like saying, hey, I want to have an availability of 99.5%. The objective is much higher. And we also need to define an indicator and the error budgets, actually, which we want to look at and see whether the SLO is actually violated. And there are many terms to also consider and figure out, like the golden signals, which help you immediately identify specific things which are going wrong. For example, in your Kubernetes cluster or in your environment, something like latency, traffic, errors, and saturation. At a certain point, you needed to instrument the code, like making a code change to really export the metrics you wanted to see. The term, or side reliability engineering, SRE was invented. And maybe it solved everything, maybe not. But in the end, it was really a nice way to move forward and go into the metrics direction. As a developer on the other side, something goes wrong. You make a mistake. There is a bug. And one of the stories I want to tell today is we had a monitoring system with a central server satellite, a REST API, a JSON RPC. And it was not that fast. And we thought, well, let's just add more threads to it. Problem was then the CPU was locked. And maybe we should do something else. The application was written in C++. We looked at Go at the time. And thought, well, let's use GoRoutines. And we found a library which implements GoRoutines in C++. It was stackless, putting the function point on the heap. And then there was stack unwinding with continuation. And it was pretty complex. But we were confident that this would solve our problems. Well, in reality, works on my machine doesn't mean that it's like working in a large-scale environment. And there was a crash happening, but only with 1,000 API clients. There was memory corruption. Sometimes it was exhausted, so maybe a leak or something like that. And it behaved differently on operating systems, like on Windows. There were stackouts, which caused the crash. And when there was a security scanner running, it was a different crash. And this was super hard to debug. And to be honest, it burned me out in 2019. And I thought, well, oops, maybe we could do something else about this. Or how would this have been looked if I would have known about metrics and SLOs before? So defining that the heap memory should meet the ops requirements. We are defining the service level indicator as the memory usage level, for example. And the SLO shouldn't be increasing by 10% or another arbitrary number, meaning to say, whenever I'm doing a change in my software and it reaches a merge request, CI CD deploys that. I can measure that and get immediate feedback and never hits production. Or with continuous delivery deploying in production, but immediately doing a rollback when detected. And on the other side, I was like, maybe the API clients and the connections could have used something like chaos engineering or fussing or something else to really figure out if the problem is being hit. Now, another thing is like thinking about switching rows into ops. And my nickname is DNS Mickey. And I'm saying it's always DNS. It's probably true. I was working at the University of Vienna back then. And there was a rollout with the .ed domain with DNS sec. We had a signing hardware. We had a state machine of steps. On a Friday afternoon, the script was changed. It was deployed to production. The signing stopped. No DNS updates. So whenever you register the .ed domain, nothing happened. Monitoring was in place, which meant we did monitor things. We had the serial and the offset defined. The first alarm came, I think, on Saturday at 3 AM in the morning via email. So I wasn't reading that. But at 4 AM, there was a flood of SMS messages, text messages. From all the name servers involved, I think there were 25 at the time. Every minute, 25 SMS is not fun. And after the fifth or whatever alarm, it wasn't really fun logging into terminal and trying to figure out what is going wrong. We later learned that the change was persisted in Git. It was rolled into production. But back at the time, we didn't really have CI-CD or quality gates or something else. So the idea was to say, maybe as a retrospective now, thinking of having a staging environment, having everything rolled with GitOps or infrastructure as code persisted in Git, and verified that the changes are being tested and that no other things are going wrong. DSLi, for example, could be the zone serial age. DSLO is a certain way of saying, hey, the zone should be not much older than one hour. And I thought of, well, chaos engineering, maybe intercepting DNS traffic, denying zone updates, doing specific things, which just do things which software doesn't expect, and maybe make the improvements in that direction. Another story, switching gears from dev to ops to dev ops, like we are used to using containers. And one of the things which happened in, I think it was in September 2020 when Docker announced for Docker Hub the rate limits. And we didn't know what is happening. Is my CI-CD pipeline not working? Because I cannot pull the containers. What about cloud native deployments rolling out your application in Kubernetes? The left-hand side of the first container works, and the second doesn't, what is going on? And similar to, like, when it's based on an IP address, what happens to organizations using an app or bigger cloud providers and whatnot? So, well, we had a certain known state. We saw that there was an API with response headers with limits, simulating a pool, got a header response, passed something. And back then, we also wrote a premises export out of being able to monitor that quickly. This was solvable. The unknown state was like, well, maybe there was something in the logs. Maybe there was something else which tells me too many requests, but I need to, like, dig deep down into a CI-CD pipeline interface or specific anywhere else. And the problem which could have occurred is, like, the application or the shop is presenting a specific price, but to only a third of your customers. And they say, well, it's awesome. It's on sale. But actually, those who are seeing the new price, they think, well, it's too expensive. And the other ones are saying, oh, it's actually cheap. And I'm buying. And then you really need to grant the price. And actually, it was just because you couldn't pull the container in your production environment, because the rate limit was hit. Now, thinking of this, one could say, well, we are defining the limit as a service level indicator. And the objective should be the pull counts remaining. Should be 10 or maybe, like, in a bigger environment, 100 or 1,000 or something like that. And when the SLO is failing, we shouldn't even start a deployment. Because when you're looking at CI-CD deployments as a developer and saying, yeah, nothing happens. And I don't know what to do. This shouldn't be needed. And it can be quite frustrating if nothing works. Now, the idea is to define service level objectives. And the thing is, OK, what is that? And where do I start? Like, SNS3, DevOps, DevOps. And we're going into monitoring. We can go into metrics. We are defining keys and tags. We have values. But what's next? And one of the things is to get started more easily. I found Prometheus and PromKill pretty good, which allows you to really collect the metrics. You can query the metrics. You can combine logical operators with them. And it's, I would say, a rather easy language to learn. And it's a way to define your service level objectives and verify they are not violated. The other thing to understand is, what are your metric sources? So like, typically, or classically, infrastructure monitoring with memory CPU, you might have a Prometheus exporter on the node or on the pod, on the cluster. For services, specific other Prometheus exporters, when you have a custom application or your application, you might be needed to instrument the code. Now, defining the SLO with PromKill can be done in a way of, for example, using alert rules, which are also then triggering alerts. And it also allows you to define the errors, basically, which are allowed in the error budget. So when there's a specific point of, like, I'm pinging a service or I'm using a probe exporter to verify that something is reachable over time, I really want to ensure that it is 99.9%. And when the SLO is violated, I want to get an alert and the possibility to kind of figure it out via an API or something else. In order to add that more easily, I've played around with certain things over the years and found that, like, build a small application, build a Docker container or just a container image, UCICD container registry, use the Prometheus operator and Kube Prometheus to monitor the application inside the Kubernetes cluster, where the service monitors customer resource definition is super helpful. And then you can get going, inspect the metrics with Prometheus and in the future with Open Telemetry, for example. Now, my talk is also about left-shifting SLOs. So service level objectives and observability shouldn't be just at the end of the DevOps lifecycle, but we really want to see the value as developer or when I'm writing code. How can I benefit from service level objectives similar to, for example, shifting security left? And one of the ideas was, OK, we're using SLOs. We do have Prometheus. We are calculating the alerts. We have the promcales, which can also be written in the Open SLO format. So this is a new specification, which was defined, I think, or started last year in May and now reached version.zero last week or something. And using that knowledge, we can deploy it into CICD or using environments, doing metrics monitoring. And one of the ideas was to have a certain quality gate, which means something or you're monitoring the SLOs with Prometheus and let captain as an application verify whether the SLO is violated or not. And if it's violated, it blocks the deployment and it never reaches production. Captain itself works as a quality gate, but also like as a it is more than a quality gate, actually. You can do more with ensuring a specific state is there. I would say it's basically an observability platform for continuous delivery as well. It has a UI where you can test certain things, certain workflows. And I would really encourage you to try it out and see whether a quality gate in your CICD pipeline makes sense to measure the SLOs. The thing which came around was I have the quality gate now and we know how to use SLOs with Prometheus. But the problem is how could I simulate a production incident? Like fail the database, fail the connection, fail DNS, see what is going on. And so I learned about chaos engineering, like not adding it only to the production environment, but also deploying a staging environment or testing environment from a merchant quest, letting it run for some minutes, generate some chaos, and we'll come to that in a bit, and then see how the application is behaving. Is it crashing? Is there some certain deadlock or something else? And if I really wanted to dive into monitoring and collecting metrics, I can also trigger alerts. I can integrate it into merchant quests. I can use alerts and incident management, and so on. So now it's left shifting with chaos. And again, where do I start? And on the right-hand side, it's German chaos. Founded on the internet, pretty funny. I'm not from Germany. I'm from Austria. Sorry about that. The thing is, I started with Cloud Network, and then we have a cluster with Kubernetes where we can deploy workloads and deployments and so on. We can use a chaos framework, which defines experiments, and it might be having instrumentation SDKs where I can write my own chaos, my own rules, what should be happening. And I found these terms to keep in mind really helpful to really keep going and diving deep into the tools, into the frameworks, which are also CNCF projects. One of them is Litmus Chaos, which I think I found last year, and we also had the folks in our Everyone Can Contribute Cafe meetup a while ago. The idea is, to fail your infrastructure and cluster, you want to see how the application is behaving, like I just said, and verify the service level objective, if it's really matching, and from there defining the actions and improvements. It provides a nice UI. The Getting Started guide is awesome. So it's really like five minutes, and then you can get started. And there is the Chaos Hub with experiments, workflows, the community is amazing, like helping each other and adding more things. One doesn't need to invent by yourself, which is a good thing in Chaos Engineering. And I think it's like, I really like the UI. So this is one of the tools to try out. The other one I found at CNCF was Chaos Mesh. I don't know which one is older or younger, but it's kind of, it provides the same functionality like LITMOS, can run chaos experiments, you can also run it just once or schedule it. So like if you say, hey, I want to introduce chaos in my cluster just for 30 seconds, and then every five minutes, which is a different error pattern to just failing once because the application might survive that, and just come back. And then I was thinking about DNS might always be the problem and I heard from a friend, it's super interesting when you're turning off DNS in a Java environment, for example, and see what happens. I was like, okay, maybe we should try that as well. From the UI, Chaos Mesh provides also some sort of previewing and scheduling strategies and whatnot. So I would really encourage you to also try it out. I think it also takes like a couple of minutes to install it using a help chart and then starting up the interface and keep going. When I'm thinking, or when I thought about like, okay, all the stories I've been telling in previously, how does this match with chaos engineering? And like for an SRE story, it could be CPU overload, it could be HTTP requests being blocked, something similar to the golden signals for my nightmare as a developer with the many API clients. It could just be something which is not closing a TLS connection correctly or just intercepting DNS or something else for ops, like okay, again, something around DNS or it doesn't resolve or it resolves to some funny IP addresses or it just provides a PV6 and then see how it behaves. Yeah, and for like the DevOps story, maybe having a registry or container registry proxy which does some sort of limiting and rate limiting in there and just seeing how this actually behaves and then defining the actions you wanna do. When you want to dive deeper into this, like your own chaos, there are experiments SDKs out there and I think Litmus has go in Python if I'm not mistaken. You can integrate that into CI CD. There is a lot of tutorials and documentation out there. And I think Azure is using chaos measures as well. The thing is there was some limits with chaos or chaos engineering because it consumes more resources. It might harm different teams and different workflows so it might have some impact on the system as well. So don't try to enable chaos everywhere and then see everything break. I think this kind of needs some planning and some maintenance and also awareness that this is now being deployed in the systems. And the other thing is to keep in mind, it doesn't solve all the reliability issues but it can help bring another perspective in order to really see what is going on and potentially fix that in the future. Now the thing is I thought about my own story with the failing connections and DNS failing and things like that and the memory leak. And so I hacked a quick demo for which uses a C++ code. It gets deployed to Kubernetes. Kube promises does all the monitoring and chaos mesh invokes some chaos and there's potential to use SLOs and alerts and so on. And the image on the right-hand side, I generated that with a small tool. Yeah, so in this case, what I'm trying now as a short demo, I have created or written a short application. Let me see. The application is actually, it's a short C++ code. You don't need to understand everything which is going on in here. The idea is to create a buffer, do some DNS resolving and then error out. When it's successful, it does something and then it deletes the buffer. So at this specific point, there is a condition missing to delete the memory all the time. So the error is intentionally, of course, for this demo now, but it kind of reminded me where I was at. The thing I've prepared already is this application is built in GitLab CI CD as a Docker image and the manifests have been deployed into Kubernetes already. And I should be navigating over here. And I do have certain parts in here and I'm hoping the Wi-Fi, does the Wi-Fi work or does it not? Probably not. Oh, yeah, just a slight delay. So the idea is to do DNS resolving for different domains and I was just using o11y.love, cncfio and gitlab.com. Now, when we're inspecting the cncf ping and it works, hopefully, yes. So we are getting some results back and everything is just fine. And hopefully my terminal doesn't die. The thing I wanna do now is inject some or create some chaos in the cluster. And in order to do that, we have chaos mesh and a scheduled workflow in there. And again, this is, can we, I think we cannot edit it, but the main idea is to create a DNS chaos as a chaos type and then define the schedule and the domains which I wanna track or which I want to fail o11y with an S2X and so on. But basically I really wanna fail DNS. Now, on the other side, I wanna keep track of the memory and this is currently looking good. So it's not consuming that much memory for the containers, but when we introduce chaos into the containers, we should be seeing the memory going up and this is the problem with live demos. Hopefully it works. Can click on now, yes, I wanna do that. Oh, hmm, oh, it doesn't like it. Okay, then let's do something else. Let's pause this and archive the schedule, create a new schedule and the cool thing is you can just upload the YAML file and submit it. Now it's being pre-filled and it also runs continuously and let's see, I submit that and it's now running. Okay, probably should fix the duration of 60 seconds. So I'm impatient, I'm pressing reload. The other thing I wanna verify, okay, currently it's still resolving. No events found. That's the memory change over here. So in theory, if the experiment is starting, it should be looking like this. So at a certain point, the chaos experiment kicks in. The DNS, the configuration is set to fail and not random, so you could also like say, hey, random responses to it and then the bug is hitting and I'm seeing the memory going up and to be honest, I didn't have time to add more to this demo now, but it shows that you can really detect like a program mistake which just happens over time only when DNS is failing, otherwise it just works. Yeah, and I'm just quickly checking if the live demo doesn't work, something happened. Oh, yeah, actually nothing is working right now with DNS, at least for the domains and maybe the Wi-Fi is more stable today, at least I hope that. Maybe, okay, potentially it's not working, but I will continue, we just pretend it worked. You can try, so the slides are available on sked.com and everything which is linked in the slides, now you can try it later on and the repository which is at the bottom, everything is documented in there, so this is a public GitLab repository with a readme and all the description which I did, just for this short demo to show that chaos engineer with DNS works. Now, when I want to move from chaos engineering also looking more into like monitoring to observability, which is like the second thing, we just talked a lot about metrics and how you measure them and you're defining SLOs, but looking into observability it's much more than that, you might be having logs and events, there is like distributed tracing, continuous profiling, error tracking, RAM agents, real-time user agents, real-time user monitoring agents, yeah, and certain shift from monolith to microservices and this is quite a lot to learn as a developer and really to understand it's like take a step back, breathe and maybe start looking into metrics and tracing in the beginning. Traces itself are a little like different to logs, it's a span with a start and end time, it allows you to define metadata and more context and you can do app code instrumentation. For the specification, probably you've attended OpenTelemetry talks this week already, it's really like coming up, for me the most important things I learned on the journey with OpenTelemetry is you need to bring your own backend, so whether it being for traces, Yega, Elasticsearch, Clickhouse and so on, you can build your own distribution, like I think AWS announced the metrics, AWS Hotel Distribution SGA, today or yesterday, I think Michael Hausenblas tweeted about it and it allows you to also use auto instrumentation for specific languages and SDK so you don't need to go deep into the application code. I think the Java SDK provides that. Another idea is to dive into more into auto instrumentation and observability and look into EVPF, which I personally find super interesting and it would be also interesting whether we could dive into using it as a source for SLOs but also using it as a source for combining all the different data we are collecting and signals and events and really moving forward with that. I can talk 10 hours about this so this is the call to action to navigate to evpf.io for example and check it out and yeah, with that shifting left or left shift, the thing or what I want you to remember is see the value and observability so it's also providing an application insight for everyone who's not the developer or the author of the code, which allows you to also find problems fast so it's like the problem inside the code or is it something else and also use boring solutions like start with the minimal viable change in that regard like metrics is promissious tracing with open telemetry and then continue adding more observability data which you might already have in your environment. The other thing is like when observability is there for everyone you need to teach your teams you need to do onboarding probably right documentation how it's being done, how app instrumentation works defining the service level objectives and the alerts in CI CD thinking about merge requests with staging environments going deeper into alert channels, incident management and so on and from a cloud native perspective it's great to just have like the benefit of the deployments you can do auto scaling you can learn from all the CNCF projects now starting to adopt for example open telemetry and like getting the best practices directly and getting inspired so I kept looking into how open telemetry is now in Kubernetes, in promissious and everywhere else and potentially we will be seeing much, much more in the future and we can all learn together from the amazing open source community and shifting left with chaos to conclude with that try out the chaos workflows like the built-in ones the custom experiments, verify the SLOs think of quality gates, think of reliability and then iterate and innovate my own personal wish list with regards to observability chaos and so on maybe we have some machine learning in the future which allows us to correlate events and auto generate these SLOs potentially vendors are already working on that chaos out of the box so we don't need to like add it on top of it but really have it like on a platform or something like that and should be accessible to everyone not just the developer who gets everything and then birds out from that but really it should be team effort and yeah open telemetry being adopted more widely and I started something for myself with CI CD observability with regards to adding open telemetry into GitLab different story, I will be talking at CDCon in two weeks I think about this topic yeah and just to recap do app instrumentation with metrics with places consider learning crumb curl and SLOs evaluate quality gates with captain and Prometheus do the shift left try chaos engineering and benefit from observability everywhere yeah and if you wanna learn more about observability I've started a small learning platform O11, why don't laugh it really needs like everyone to contribute but yeah I really wanna like encourage everyone to learn and I'm also here for you if you have questions around app instrumentation I'm really I'm overwhelmed I was overwhelmed myself but I really want to encourage everyone we can learn together and in the open and ensure that our systems are running and that observability is fun yeah thanks for your attention