Good morning traders. Welcome to the traders lab. I'm your host Tom B. Thanks for stopping by Can I please get a audio and screen check in YouTube and the book map discord trader lab chat? Thanks everybody. Thanks for letting me know. All right. Good morning This is the trader lab stream And this is about integrating book map order flow tools with auction market theory Using a tool called the volume profile to see inside the intraday Developing time frame it is a top down in other words higher time frame integration down into Micro structure for potential triggers and the goal of the streams to help traders understand how to get aligned with the market how to integrate potential setups or structure trades Into a process and then to derive a statistical edge or vetting trades that give you an edge the thing about trading and it's important since I know we have new visitors to the stream is That trading is not a prediction-based business in spite of what our Psychology is looking for to predict to create certainty. That's prediction in the reality of trading and again I'm only giving a personal opinion from my experience is that we can't predict anything And that's because of the various players or other Participants in the market and how they might Impact it that isn't only the other players if you will or participants It's also economic events or somebody just tripping over the court at the CMA So the thing about this is If we're in an environment that is random and please grab a pen and paper If you can accept randomness it relieves you from the need to be right it relieves you from the need to predict and it allows you Psychologically to be open to whatever might happen because you have no control over anything in this business other than yourself and the The thing or the model I believe Is gaming gaming theory or how casinos operate if you can place yourself on the dealer side of The table and interact with the gamblers over time You have the opportunity to extract dollars from the gamblers However, what is the reality of casinos? They deal cards with in a game that is structured and vetted that means they know they have an edge They don't know about the cards coming out of the deck. They don't know how the gamblers will play the cards So it's all random just like our environment except our Games if we want to use this as a model our structured trades or setups So in the trader lab, I will be sharing structured trades based on 60 PDFs that you can download and reverse engineer and the goal at a trader lab Is to help you understand how the market works why it does what it does and how you might get an alignment and then The community in the trader lab in the bookmap discord chat is about building a business side of trading out in other words Vetting structured trades. Where do you have a statistical edge just like the casinos only play games with a statistical edge if you can reframe and maybe Adjust your thinking and they change how you interact or even perceive the business And that is the goal here and like everything past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results General disclosure all book map limited materials information and presentations are for educational purposes only and should not be considered specific investment advice or recommendations risk disclosure trading futures equities and digital currencies Involve substantial risk of loss and it's not suitable for all investors past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results And please remember this is not a trade calling room This is for educational purposes only and the purpose of this stream is to help you understand market mechanics How it works and how you might integrate it into a trade plant the other part of this process is The tip of the spear which is book map. How do you use an order flow pool to interact with the market? So if you want to think about how this might work, let's think of Russian dolls I always you know and what is a Russian doll? Well, they're one inside the other inside the other and most traders use time to define those Segments and I think of them as fractals in other words the clock and I make a point of talking about this because Most of us when we start out in trading use the term and think in time, you know a five minute bar 15 minute bar Whatever 30 60 now daily our th bar. Yes Anything else and I'm only giving personal opinions. It's not about the clock. It's about the behavior. How long Do does it take and this not time-based? How long does it take for the participant interaction and any specific fractal or as you think of them time frames? To create a change Can we detect those changes? If we use an order flow tool and we can see the micro structure think the Russian doll the little doll Where the change happens in a micro structure? Can we glean? Insight from that behavior and can we break that down into a? Process that may help give us an edge for potentially triggers But we need to operate inside higher as you think of them time frames and to me That matrushka doll or a Russian doll The big one down into the little one so it's top down bottom up I hope that makes sense now. I'm going to try to move quickly now grab a pen and a piece of paper and remember This stream is going to review Structured trades that are available to everyone in the book map discord trade lab chat It's up to you There's nothing mechanical in trading by the way and if you thought an indicator would solve the issue I'm going to suggest that's the tail of the dog You really need to understand how the market works so you can deploy an indicator that is an alignment Potentially with the current condition of the market Most retail traders think that the solution or the business is about the right indicators the right mix the right time frames I'm going to suggest it might not be that now if it is for you. That's great Congratulations, but if you keep waking up With what I call trade or groundhog day, which is tuning tweaking adjusting adding removing You are using random inputs in a random environment and I can suggest to you the casinos use Anchored inputs in a random environment. Why are the casinos able to extract dollars from the gamblers? Because the gamblers also are in a random environment, but they are in we're using random inputs old saying in computer world Garbage in garbage out Anyway, I hope that might resonate with you and I'm not here to change your beliefs But I will tell you I believe the same thing in my Development as a trader and I don't do those things anymore now like I say if it works for you. It's really wonderful Congratulations, and please come to trader lab because trader labs a group of traders looking to leverage their collective experience So we all get better not to mention additional free education. That's available to all of you in the bookmap discord community So that invitation is open and by the way, I have to mention I am streaming from Costa Rica and Things can kind of get a little strange here monkey jumps off a vine onto something they bump the power goes out I will lose my connection if you're in the bookmap discord trader lab I will reconnect as soon as everything resets it could take a couple of minutes if you are in YouTube I will attempt to come back in It may take a few minutes for the stream to reconnect and if it doesn't there is a link in the bottom of YouTube That you can click it'll bring you over to the bookmap discord chat If you join the chat, you do not have to be a bookmap subscriber now However, never and you book map will never Solicit you so you have that option and this stream is available to everyone who's in the bookmap discord trade a lab chat for a Refuge and that's something if you find value in this stream You might want to take advantage of now I'm not going to go over statistics Those are available to download and you have to bet them for yourself But you will see targeting that I'm going to be discussing they're all based on statistical probabilities And you know what a statistic is at the best maybe grab your pen and paper Let's get going and if you have questions, please post them in the chat And please please keep your questions related to the content of the stream and in the discord chat Please keep your post Kind of minimize them at the moment if you will To the stream if there's questions, otherwise I can't see them. They roll off the screen So let's see if we can get rolling here as they say now. I'm going to show you higher time frame And I like to do this, but I'm going to only do it briefly. This is investor RT Let me show you let me explain what you're looking at these are caught. This is our th daily Handles still think of the term bars because when I started trading we didn't have candles It was it called the bar chart any of you guys ever heard of those going back to the stone age. Don't forget I started in 1980 Little did I know what I was getting into? So this these are two days, okay? This here and when days overlap, it's indicating two-sided trade So basically you have your sellers up here your bars up here and there's your candle the next day We had our sellers and if and I always go back to this We were looking for it to take out this low Why their sell stops under the low of the day and it would make sense that we might take this out Then what happens after that? We either come back in or keep going right anyway We just miss taking it out and then the market reversed and at the end of the day are closed up on the high That is warning will Robinson if you're short It's gonna be potentially painful and then we get this we come down our target On the downside was this this is called the low volume node. I'm gonna spend a moment here So you understand what this is these are called volume profiles all they are are volume and price And what's important to someone who thinks in price and volume is to think about shopping Uh, very simple, isn't it? And I know as traders we think complexity is where the answer lies I'm gonna suggest it's exactly the opposite It's simplicity and most retail traders think it's the complexity that compresses out the risk And creates more certainty in other words more indicators more type phrase all you know logical, right? Our wiring is to believe things and our our beliefs are generated from our Primordial primordial swamp, you know the words that fight and flight And we believe that if we can Squeeze out risk we create more quote certainty Which is another word for predictability at the top of the stream. I mentioned there is nothing certain You cannot predict anything you can all that you have here is maybe and that's because we're in a random environment So maybe And here's how the auction works Acons auction is a consolidation in reality And because what the market is trying to figure out is what's too high And what's too low and what's a fair price? I volume is retail and in the store when you go to store you buy retail But if the price goes too high you may not buy it you'll say i'm not paying that And then if the sellers want to sell the product they might put it on sale Well, this is out here on sale the market rotates down and i'm just showing this rotation to understand And this is based on the volume of these two days. I put these days together now if I just look at this Without this here. What am I looking at? Selling candle a buying candle, but now I've got the volume. I'm looking at what happened inside Participant behavior. I'm not paying that And down here was the outside edge. Oh, it's on sale And we come back here. Okay, so too low Retail too high and you know in the store The price can go on sale and if you think this price retail price Is a fair price You won't pay it up here at the time, but when they put it on sale, you'll go gee It's worth this I'm gonna put you never throw a couple in the cart when you're shopping. Okay So they're great now. So this was too low for these two days. Now, let's go to the next day We open whatever we do we do? Where do we come? Now you're gonna go, huh, that's what I did when I first started studying this back in the mid 1980s. It was, huh 48 89 That was the sale price in this Distribution What's the low of the day? Now, there's no precision in trading. So don't look for precision. You'll have a problem The low of that day is 48 89 now. Let's accept that's a Coincidence, but isn't that a good coincidence? What do you guys think? Good coincidence. So if I know this is too low And I don't know when it comes down here, by the way, is it gonna go here? Is it gonna fall out the bottom? You know this part no prediction. Remember it's maybe or random When I see this Then the participants who were active in here still think this is a heck of a deal You've got your trading shopping cart. You're shopping for s&p's and this is back on sale Every go to the store. Gee. It's on sale again. Throw four in the cart. That's what this is Too low off we go now Now let's go back This is a low volume note. What is this? Whoop a low volume node right there That means that the volume dried up down there So the seller statement, you know, it was down there. It was like a sale that was on for today only You know what I'm saying? So the market left it now. This is the same thing up here Except it's in a higher time frame. This is this is taking this represents all the volume since january 3rd 2020 that's called that your higher time frame I'm going over this because I want you to see how you put pieces together and I normally don't do this but I'm doing it because If you're thinking fractals or a top down bottom up approach I am going down in time frame And I'm working inside higher time frames and you'll see how I go down now to microstructure But I got to point these things out to you. This was the target. This is the same concept of this This is too low and then the higher time frame. This was too high. Okay Where do we come too low? Target Day is done. This is the target coming up and I shared this in the stream now. What do we do? Do Yesterday Let's look This is our retail price in this distribution. Let's look at where it was Now there's no precision 48 95 What's the low of the day yesterday? 48 96 and three quarter Believe me horseshoes and hand grenades when it comes to this Okay too low there Didn't quite touch it not my problem and not my job to look for precision Write this down Random now what and yesterday was a surprise. Wasn't it was for me? You know to see it come up here and go and cross the range. What does that tell me bullish? Uh-oh, but now what do I do? I combine these two days. Why? Buyers and sellers Buyers and sellers overlap same as the same concept now. Let's look at this one Let's look here's what it says now. I don't know what anything, you know, it's just maybe too low So I know that's too low, which I don't know until at hindsight, you know brilliant, right? But I know it's an area to observe. Okay Um, I know this was retail if this is on sale and this is retail Then I know if I come back inside I can test here and now I know I can test Here and there Get over here. Okay, so you understand all that So now I throw a profile over these two days and why am I doing that? I'm doing it because I want to see what happened between the volume and because the participant volume is quote my indicator I have no indicators. My indication is the behavior of the participants. But what do I know? I know this was too high and I know This high has uh by stops above it, right? So what do I know? I know that And I'm going to go into something else here. This orange line is retail between these two days In this consolidation this orange line is where the highest volume is now. What's important to understand here is you see this here This is our outside edge. So In this console, I'm taking you back here. I want to show it to you too high too low too high Too low rotation, right retail highest volume If I leave it and I start a new Rotation or consolidation it's saying at the moment and this is this will change Too low Now I start this rotation. This is the outside edge where I left this volume It's too low. Now this is the retail price. I'm sequentially moving higher But I also know I don't know so when I come out here I'm just checking The dividing line or low volume node between these two distributions hope that makes sense So I come down I check it and I don't know could have come here I don't know these are but these are levels on the price map. So too low now. I'm doing the same thing up here But I know yesterday We crossed over on aggressive buying I know there stops above here And I know this is a key location that I already tested. So I'm looking in this and I'm going well, okay What is going to go on so often what happens is you'll get selling early Because of profit taking and then what happens do we come Down here. Where do we come? This is now retail. So if this is the retail price, I mean this though is an important location The market depending where it opens has a tendency to come here And it could do anything. So let's not forget it can do anything So now I'm going to take you to book map. Anyway, I hope you got something out of this guys This is what happens in the trader lab Before our th opened all these levels are put on the price map and please remember if If I drop out I will do my best to reconnect. I'm on a tin can in the string I'm streaming from Costa Rica and it's a hot day here today going to be in the 90s and I'm Trying to keep myself together here before it gets really hot. So now let's go look at the price map Now this is all before it opens and you're probably going really. Yeah, really So let's go back and look. Let's look at a couple of things. Oh, one oops. Hold on Got to bring something back. I forgot to show you one thing Okay The these are called this the bright yellow line is called naked volume point of control now. Remember I mentioned fractals or russian dolls in the consolidations This orange line is high volume It's called the micro composite volume point of control.  So what a v poc is Let me show you Then then we'll be caught up and we'll move so because you'll see where all these levels are coming from This day, I think it was this day. No this day here 4915 quarter Is our that's yesterday is our naked volume point of control in the words the highest volume for the day And we're only looking at one day now was right there So that's retail In the two-day volume This is the micro composite volume point of control It is taking the volume from both the days and putting them together. That was the high volume Okay This was the high volume of 4913 and this is from way back. I couldn't really tell you how far back a long time ago And now we have 4927 if you remember that was our target from yesterday and I think we missed it by two ticks So today the target's 4927 And and there's more potentially Take these guys out and then clueless. So 4931 in the squeeze ataria now now we're ready Now but there's more and this is all before Our th open. Is this too much? Let's look We have statistics Let's go take a look at them and then we have that naked volume point of control 4915 considered that retail from yesterday So that was our accepted price high volume We have our overnight Eth volume point of control retail from the eth. So that's acceptance In other words, this thing is right here. So that's saying the volume happened here. The volume happened here Yesterday and then eth the most recent auction micro composite volume point of control All of this is a high volume area, which means acceptance yesterday The outside edge of volume was up around this is called the value area high and then down below we have the value area low Here's another statistic for you. These are targets overnight volume point of control overnight mid These are our targets Coming down and it could do anything and then coming back the other way We have value area high. Let me show you just going to show you 27 Which was our target for yesterday. Isn't that a coincidence and you're gonna go, uh, I don't know Just like me overnight high or eth high target target And the swing high now, you know where all these numbers came from I'm not going to be spending time on this in the future But I've had so many requests for this and that's why I'm taking my time Sometimes this, you know, I mean remember There's nothing in trading. It's just random, you know But if you can understand where all this comes from Then you might get an idea of the price map So I'm hoping you get something out of this. I will not be doing this in the future If you guys want to see this again or something like it, uh, you need to review the stream It'll be there. Okay. So now let's go take a look at the book map Now, let's take these concepts of high volume and low volume And let's now take the russian doll and we went from the big doll and we've been going down in time frames Now we're going to go into the micro structure in alignment with the higher time frame This is how you use a high tier tool like book map. So let's go take a look and what i'm going to share now are called structured trades Uh, now what a structured trade is i've shared 60 pdf's of the trades i've developed over You know 40 almost 44 years of trading and i'm not saying they're good better and different I'm saying is their ideas and they're things you can take And reverse engineer and you have to take these ideas and make them your own We're all different. We all trade different time frames if you will or different And i think of fractals of course, but call it a time frame some of you guys want to hang out go for the 10 and 15 point rotation Other guys other traders are into this. Oh, I want three points Now i'm not i am not going to share my opinion of that unless you ask me My suggestion is that you find out where you have a statistical edge because just like the casinos The only way they can derive an edge is to know which games to play And they only play those games that give them an edge You may find that if you're trading for three points and risking two points for three And most of us early on in our careers think and it might be true for you again But not for me that I can get a higher win rate with a shorter Uh target that's logical, isn't it but has anybody thought about the risk? To get the higher probability win The need to win may be based on psychology Versus the edge which is based in metrics and i'm going to suggest you think about this So let's look And let's keep the post uh to the stream if i there's questions that would be helpful. Thank you All right rth open here it is Okay, and we're looking for overnight volume point of control naked volume point of control and statistics overnight mid These are high probabilities out here Is a uh eth low volume area. We have liquidity sitting there There's a possibility we might get there and then we have our targets up on top So what do we know we know yesterday? We had a reversal. Okay So let's go take a look Now i'm looking at this i'm going to tell you how i think not that anybody should think like this because that might get you in big trouble but i'm going uh I'm always in a state of maybe And I use another term to describe it which might seem a little excessive at the terms called clueless clueless Means i'm going to translate the term clueless. I don't know Because if I think I know I've just cut off all possibilities and my mind is going to filter What's coming in those inputs because my brain is gauged to being right and that means I want to see what supports quote my Uh prediction I've learned I can't predict anything Uh other than it's random and that I know so that's what I predict So i'm in the state of cluelessness So the way I deal with that is I have a narrative. In other words, I narrate the market if this then that If not then what? If the market does such and such behavior and it came from when I designed trading systems So it was conditional statements with branch logic I took that idea after spending many many many years programming writing systems because I used to trade across Numerous asset classes when I was managing dollars. I wanted to be systemized. I couldn't stand doing it, you know all the work Uh manually, you know, so it just took too much time. So I said, oh, let's build a system Yeah And that's where I also learned about curve fitting So anyway, that's how you learn right so Here's our rth open. Let's watch now. By the way, let me get some of this off-screen This is a correlation tracker for uh nasdaq Uh, I do look at this. I don't trade off it But if I'm looking at along and I see this doing the alcapoccal cliff dive, uh, it might give me something to think about But it is not You know, it's just something there. I don't need it to trade But it's a nice thing to have book back gives you so many options of you know pools you can use and uh You know check out the thing I like to do is I like to keep things simple Because the more inputs I have just like most retail traders have tons of inputs to create certainty for me it creates conflict And the casinos don't have multiple inputs. They only play seven cards at blackjack They shuffled the deck. They cut the deck. They deal the cards. What's You know next time same thing Hmm They're not changing the game. So I don't change in the game, but I do Narrate the game so I can recognize change and then that might set up a trade for me. So let's watch So here we go market opens chop chop right here. I'm saying two-sided trade This yellow line is called the developing volume point of control. Remember high volume This is developing in the rth time frame So this is going to move with the volume and let's assume trading is really you didn't know this You're a shopper. So you're in the shopping. You're in the supermarket. So the shopping process is what's a fair price What's too low? What's too high now? I know That this was retail yesterday and this is retail in the eth I know statistically and past performance not indicative future results Which I won't give you the statistics that are available in the trader lab for download These have high probability and so does this that's what I know I don't know anything else. I don't know how I don't know if I don't know when I don't know anything So since I know I don't know I have to just be flexible. So let's watch So this is two-sided trade So the market just opened and what might we get a couple of things I see the liquidity in the book. That's one thing This is how order flow might help you now. It doesn't give me a trade. It tells me conditions So I'm looking for either a short To come down here. So this is the range or Open and the buying continues from yesterday and then I have my upside target. So let's just see what happens I see the buyer take control. Okay Watch So right here, I see the buyer and I come up to the liquidity now Let's look now. I'm going to show you structured trades and by the way All trades, what do they do? You win some you lose some and what do they say the rest get played out or rained out Here's my core structure This is my core volume. Now. I don't know I'm clueless. Remember I see a buyer I pull back here. I have no clue because I can go here first volume buyer I haven't cleared this so this can be a problem Is that too high now? It's retail, but what happens if the shoppers go? I'm not going to pay that Then we can reject it But I'm above here This might be too low Micro structure This might be too low. I don't know. So I'm in the I don't know buyer Pull back. So right here is support in my brain And notice what it's aligned with Micro composite High volume structure for the last two days the highest volume in the last two days was here now It's not a coincidence to me that we have all this volume here This is retail. Remember in the store where the high volume is is where there's acceptance But what we don't know is are we going to accept it? Are we going to return and check it? Which one or none and what happens when we check in the area? There's no precision, you know, it would be nice if it was and make it a lot easier So I see my buyer. I have not cleared this So right now it's a suspect. It could do this Or it could do that and I know you always go. Well, that's brilliant You don't need to listen to me to figure out it might go up or down, but it's where it does it So when I see this buyer Now things have changed I know now this might be too low because I tested it My buyer came in okay And now I'm looking towards upside targets potentially. So let's we'll look at the behavior This is now my retail price. This is the mid in the VWAP. Let's see what it does V epoch migration. What does this say? This says right here Is it now? Here's this is a trader lab Structure trade you got two of them here If this is too low And we tested the higher time frame now. This is not easy in the sense of You have to understand to read the market now I don't use indicators and I understand we all love to have something do a green light red light crossover I get it. Trust me. Have been there done that what I have found is Where can I operate in real time? And now I don't know anything here except look to the right and look at my location It's a level. I don't know what'll happen at the level, but I know what happened here We've checked the price and at the moment it's too low. That's all I know now And there's my buyer. So that says okay long I pull back to mid and v-wap This is too low right here. See the volume chop chop chop is a consolidation break high Too low think of the concept. Let's come back and check it You can't buy it here anymore, but we don't know until we see this. What else do we know? You can't buy it here anymore And remember this is right now Look at the alignment. Is everybody tracking. Do you see the alignment? Are you guys tracking? How about we doing in youtube? Are you getting something out of this now? So here is a potential long if it's in your trade plan If not the next potential structured trade is here. This is called v-pock migration now. I'm going to label I label these and I call them variable high volume nodes. I didn't know what the column. I made a name And I can't begin to tell you the pushback I got from other traders when I was trying to share these ideas So too low V-pock migration. I'm going to label this one. What is a v-pock volume point of control? Remember, what is it? It is retail if price and volume are moving together. Remember You can't buy it here right now This is the new retail price and the volume is what's moving this line.  You can't buy it here now. It's reasonable to think we might go higher until we find a price That's too high. Okay. So this is a structured trade in the trader lab. So where was it too low? Let's come back It's too low here Where's retail traders going to put their stops? Under here So let's look if you get long here your stop might want to be under here And then your goal is to scale and get risk neutral. Let's see what it does. I oh, oh look at that magic so now And this is how one way to do this Is if you take this structured trade and you can download those 60 pdf so you can see these things This micro structure with this is a trigger in the trader lab. Let me show it to you Let's look So this isn't long, but if it's not vetted and it's not your thing This is a structured trade in the trader lab. Let me show the micro. This is how bookmap can really help you right here so right here This is volume Chop chop shoppers, but they're in the convenience store.  It's like come on This moves up This is an obstacle. These are sellers, right? We pop into them now This is the liquidity marker this little thing. This is the heat map This is showing me the order sitting in the limit order book. Those are sellers now what you don't know Is it real? Are they going to pull? Here's the other part are the buyers going to take these guys on and absorb the selling and push through Or are the sellers going to overwhelm the buyers? This is part of the joy. You choose to be a trader. You're in the Maybe mode because that's the best you got is maybe so right here volume And this is a long here. Let me show you the trigger now watch This is a suspect chop chop consolidation V pock migration structure trade in the trader lab break high liquidity obstacle they pull or are absorbed We pull back and check this Developing volume point of control high volume and we're checking the micro structure. This is support Why? We auctioned it It was too. Now, you don't know, you know, it could be too high and we do the aquapoco cliff dive But we went the other way these guys pulled now we pull back here This is a long your stop subject to you vetting could be under here Or it's under here or under here.  It's right there. So let's look So you'd have a long if you're in the trader lab and that was your trade, you know, who knows, right? So let's watch This is your target At the moment for the long And that's a scale or you now in the trader lab I talk about a two-lot configuration and you have to vet all these ideas for yourself the goal And this is just one way to do this. You'll find what works for you because you have to vet everything The goal is if you put a trade on and take risk With a minimum two-lot configuration, you have choices What might be a good way to start out in the business? And I'm just going to say it's a maybe and I don't know the answer for you How about if your stop is under here And you can get your trade on here You're like me. You don't get in here because you're like a deer in the headlights. You click the plunger and you're in over here Let's be real. So your stop from entry Down here where it fails That's your risk on your two-lot The first contract is to buy the stop on the runner So the distance from entry call it here To failure down here, which is not a big deal. That would be your scale on the first contract Okay, and don't forget this is a potential obstacle here So you get risk neutral ahead of there and then you manage the trade subject to a vetted process I'm spending time. I just want you to know this is kind of one way to do this right who knows now We're in four minutes. That's our first trade. So it's either there or Here, okay Everybody tracking so far and I apologize for taking the time. I want to show you how this might work now. There's more Let me know if you're getting something out of this. Let's watch So I'm at a location Now I'm clueless right and we're in going on five minutes We get vpok migration. What I want to see happen here Is that right here? I don't want this under this I want this to continue higher. So let's watch So right here the teeth chatter. It's like, uh, what's going on?  Or it's just gonna pull Uh, so you don't know so we operate always in randomness, right? So let's watch this Right here. I see a seller and what do I know? I mean, it might be just a rotation and off we go Right, this is part of the joy Seller high volume is here Come back and check it This sets up a uh, maybe situation like maybe We're kind of going to and i'm right here is my level remember so i'm going If this then that if not then what if I can't push off of that high volume level That then we might counter rotate. That's what I know. I don't know what it's gonna do So we come down This is a concern to me They pull and i'm going well, this is good because now Maybe I'll get this maybe the liquidity will come up in the order book and that's like pressure I always think of this like a hand or the tide So, okay, so now I come under here. I'm thinking I got to get above here to keep going I come above it now. I'm going much better a little bit of relief V poc migration Volume and price are moving together. This is good news and here's what has to happen I need to push this way For us to continue Let me let me get this off one other thing off here I'm going to remove the liquidity marker because I want to show you how I read it now And again, this this is just one way to kind of you know, where is it? There And there's so many more tools and book map that I'm not I'm not discussing here because I don't have the time or I would So I'm just trying to give you the broad strokes. There's more so right here Too high, which I don't know right here above here looking good lewis V poc migration looking good lewis and I wanted to hold this The variable high volume node This is my support and it needs to clear this To continue watch the transition This is a trader lab structured short Is everybody tracking? I'm taking my time and I apologize if you're falling asleep at the wheel but if you can't see Why or how? You can navigate the language of the market. You're going to You're just going to be looking at indicators. But where does your indicator tell you? Uh, does it get you short there? There does it get you short there? Does it get you short there? Did it get you short there? Where does it get you short now? What do you do with this? How about now? So if you're in the trader lab and again, nobody knows what did we know high volume What does the market tend to like to do? Let's go check the price and all fractals and timeframes Do I know what's going to happen? Nope So I don't think about it. I think about levels and what has happened and why they exist And then I use order flow to try to detect potential change the order flow right here didn't tell me anything When I saw this I know right here Watch this iceberg was selling They're staying in the book. I see this iceberg is selling And right here there's nothing more in the book. I'm thinking well, maybe they're done That's why I'm thinking well, maybe maybe we're going to continue I come back here this shifts up for me. This is good news for the long Okay, so everything is okay And but now let's look at change. There's other ways to see this with order flow too So this is here This comes into the book. So this came in over here. This came in this came in but it's not really anything It's just algorithmic. This is dark This is dark Now I'm getting into something else. This is the v poc migration.  Let's go look at this. Let's think about it No indicators because this is my indicator my indication is the shoppers which are the traders and the participants I don't need a lagging indicator to tell me what's happening here. I don't know what will happen here That doesn't change but right here. I know what's going on so too low too low Looking good. Lewis. Let's do this and we do this. Uh-oh Retail too high Break this is support watch Test it bang my head on the price. I'm not paying that. I'm leaving the store. Are you kidding? I like shopping here bang my head on the price. I'm not paying that so Support resistance Break below.  I got to show you. Whoops 8 30. Yeah, I think I got it right. Let me make sure I had not missing a level here Yeah, this is the rth open so yeah, here it is. I'm sorry so Oh Gotta get back all this here So we break from here. This is your short this here Now, what do we know the market's long? What else do we know stops? What else do we know? targets Right top of the stream So you get your short here you'd scale Into the stops at vwap in mid or here pullback watch Now i'm taking you into More advanced concepts, but it's fractal. So you're gonna see the same thing For example This i'm trading in the developing time frame. So that's a short. That's a short. You'll be on your short You're having a lovely day. You're scaled notice where it comes notice where it comes Notice where it comes high volume So I don't know there's high volume here too so scale scale target, huh What a coincidence you're saying pull back. Where's my resistance here? Let's watch now. I don't know You know clueless. I don't need to know because I know I can't know Volume now this is advanced. So this is nothing for you to do, but let's watch it Watch it. Just look at the structure break pullback crack break pullback fractal Not this is advanced trader lab. So this is not something you would you know Do but i'm just sharing it with you. So you can you'll start seeing the behaviors now I have targets high probability targets here here which have not been checked And this overnight mid High probability past performance not indicative future results. You got to vet everything right guys target here Now let's watch too high What's going on over here? Oh Beepock migration Too high. Let's see what it does. Huh, what a surprise Down here overnight mid So this is a target coming down overnight volume point of control. Okay The which so you would get this target here Pull back here is a structure trade in the trader lab and then you're going for the next target down, which is this There that's a short sequence. Are you guys with me? Did you get something out of this? I know it takes time But this is kind of how you might Read the language of the market I think the when I kind of started trading this way and I think it was in 2000 ish You know, I kind of started developing and thinking like this, you know, and believe me It was a long time and a painful one too. I'll I'll say that because you know, you get ideas You can spend as you guys know you can spend a lot of time doing something and then throw it away I call it trader groundhog day The other part of it is you can believe you're on the right track and keep tuning and tweaking adding and removing And then you get when to wake up in the same place. That's trader groundhog day And the problem For me, I'm always talking about me and I don't think I'm really different than you guys. I've just been doing it longer Was I believed For years. I was doing the right thing when in fact my process was defective Uh and the problem is that if you're using a random input in a random environment, you're going to have a chaotic output So gamblers walk out with cash from the casinos, you know So They win that's why they come back to the table. The casinos don't play the game that way They have a different process. They have anchored inputs. They're not changing tuning tweaking. They don't have to So what I figured out And the light bulb took a while to kind of fire up was that I was doing it wrong Because I'm in a gaming business not in a prediction business But my beliefs were not aligned with the business I was in so I was trying to fit this business into a box in other words Everything is the same but the market is dynamic and it changes. It goes from directional To rotational different plans for different conditions. That's what we do in the trader lab Retail traders typically just try to fit the market into a box And they don't understand then that when something works one day and it doesn't work the next day now all trades fail We all take stops. It's not the point But does it make more sense that you only interact and take risk when you are actually playing with a statistical edge Or is it just make it up as you go? Let's do a little of this a little that and let's see what happens. That's called gambling and to me Uh, I think if you're gonna gamble or sit at a slot machine Go to casino get the entertainment cocktails and a coupon to the buffet because that's you have a better shot at enjoying yourself But not having a business using that approach in my opinion. So let's look too high too high Come back too high. Remember we're all going for this now Anything can happen. So what can happen? Let's look let's look down the uh, yellow brick road We have liquidity here. This is an outside edge from the eth. This is possible So for me since i'm clueless Remember I said clueless at the top of the stream. I am clueless. So I Can't predict anything. I just trade targets that have a statistical edge and you can vet these for yourself They're available in a trader lab and past performance on any of this is not indicative future results You have to find what you can groove with so now we come down Right here Too high shift low This is resistance shift low Resistance shift up warning will robinson moment. This is support. This is now resistance Now I've got an outside edge right here is important. There's potential change. Let's see what happens See watch Now I don't know. I don't think I know anything. I don't know What I know is this was my target And if it kept going I'm perfectly all right with that because in the trader lab I have structured trades. I can get back into the thing. So that's okay. And if I don't have a trade, that's okay, too I'm not here to gamble or to chase the market or do what the amateurs do I'm here to wait for the trades to have a statistical edge And if I don't get another trade for the day, I've got nothing left to do but let's look at it Now remember statistic Hindsight is wonderful. I don't know Anything it could just keep going What else do I know? This was too high. I'm going to label it. Let's just get the labeling current Pretty current anyway So as the market's moving down, I'm just tracking this stuff and I'm going okay Markets too high markets too high We're not paying that we're not paying that retail price is being lowered And why by the way, why does the price go down in the market? Do you ever think about that to find a buyer? Where are we going to find the buyers? That's what we don't know. Okay, and there's no way to know But what do I know about this retail in the eth? High volume retail in yesterday's rth high volume So it's an area of targeting an overnight mid an area of targeting and this is primary And in the intermediate time frame high volume. This is the area To cover and maybe for a reversal, I don't know. So I don't know Not my job. I can't know. So I don't know I see a buyer and I go that's interesting. Where's the stops and where was it too high last time here? So mid and v-wap I can anticipate retail trader behavior selling here This is too high Right now. I'm above this it might be too low. I don't know This shifts up Right here is a potential short right here. Okay, but I have a problem this And this So there's conflict if you took this short You'd get to here Don't forget. We hit a target. So this is where Experience and luck comes in if you took this short. Remember. What was too low? This See this chop chop micro structure buyer pullback test. That's a trigger now. I have no clue Here that you're going to get the buyer here What I know is This was too low And the buyers came for it. So my volume my outside is here I have no clue. So, you know clue lists Now I have a structure trade in the trade a lot. Look where it comes. Look to the right Look to the right There now this is Fractal I'm not recommending anything to anybody ever I'm showing you the language of the market. Can you speak market? It's like learning a foreign language and you know to be able to interpret anything in real time takes what's called unconscious Competence now many of us are just unconscious But to develop competence it takes a lot of screen time replays and intentional, you know intentional practice circles arrows diagrams And and by the way, all of those are available to you in the book map discord trade a live chat There's 60 PDFs of these behaviors plus a library of webinars if you find this interesting So you can kind of look at them and think about it Now, I don't know but this is what was too low. This is a structure trade in the trader lab You'd be entering here. You got a scale here. Now. Here's the deal with this Do you have enough range from entry to obstacle to get a scale? Yes. No, that's your risk reward in a structured trade plan If you don't have the range from your entry to your obstacle the trade is not qualified If you have the skill to operate with this You can take this trade But you have to get risk neutral here. Remember I talk about a two-lot minimum configuration, right? This is why because if the trade fails If the trades are going to work, it's going to take this volume out. Remember shoppers. This was too low Oh, that's on sale buyer If I know the buyer was here and this was too low and remember how it tends to work in the shopping They come back and check Well, that's too high Retail, let's come back and check it. Uh still too high and you got mid and v-wap. What do we know about mid and v-wap? stops Hybrid that's why I don't like this trade. But if I'm just being mechanical and unconscious This now is too high. That's why it's a short and that's why this is your scale I just want to explain the rationale. So why would you get risk? Now you're risk neutral and your stops here Okay, and you would scale a little ahead of this thing. You never know. It might not get there Why would might it come under here sell stops are going to be under here retail trader behavior If I have this swing, I know there's sell stops here market never has to get there That's life in the fast lane. I know this was too low right there. There's my test of this micro structure Here's my stops these longs retail traders are going to put their stops here If I rotate off I have the potential to get these guys out and then I have this So that's why scale. So if you can't operate in this range to get risk neutral, uh, Oslo Vista no trade. Oh now what back here, where's the stops above here take them out That's that right Let's watch Now subject to your plan Well, I'm just going to go with the the broad structure. I'm not going to get Into more minutiae with you. We have more structured trades coming up. So next trade Now this happens. This is called the IB 60 and I'm skipping things because I want to move along For you guys and I've been really kind of being very meticulous here because I like to kind of Dive in dive out from micro Into more macro to kind of help you see pieces because it's an integration. Remember fractals Matrushka dolls Russian dolls I'm trading inside higher time frames. That's why I was pointing out things to you. So now What do we have? yesterday's high We have 27 these are targets up on top and we have the eth high and what else what else What else this high Which is from Couple days ago, right? So now I'm going for all the the targets about but how do I get long you're saying I know I understand well now Everybody who's short is about to get rolled. So Let's look Now coming down These levels Let me go back here On the sequence coming down too high too high Right Is there an old saying Support becomes resistance and resistance can become support. So I look at I look at these in that fashion Watch so Here When I break above and I pull back What was too high? This this This was too high V pock migration. This is retail now. I don't know right here. Are we going down? Are we going up? We go up Now This is too low And I also know now This is too low because I tested it all. Okay, so I know too low too low too low But I don't know until This I mean I do know but let's talk about for this conversation Uh too low and there's my v pock migration. This sets up along here If it's in your trade plan against This Against that Are you guys tracking now if it's not in your plan? You're hanging out.   I haven't heard anything out of youtube in a while. I think everybody passed out I get worried about youtube. Give me your address. We'll send the medics over with the oxygen now This is the long If you're in the trader lab and you've vetted this and it's part of your plan, but let's say it's not What do we do now? well Where's the high? Let's go back I'm talking about this here What's here if we have a selling leg? What's up here? Buy stops Where might I want to trade into? The stops Where's my targets up here? So now We got the sellers. Okay fine and we got all the fuel Above these swings is my energy or my fuel to take me up and I have no clue what will happen except I've already done my downside targets And I've done this fine too low. So what's left? yesterday's high This was our target yesterday, right? And if we clear that ETH high And if we clear that this Actually Where's the stops here? That's the trade. So now it's You take your long subject to your plan You know Here That's your long or now i'm going to point out the trade if you didn't get this one This is all trader lab. So let's look now. I see this stuff in the book and of course I get nauseous because liquidity You know Can be a problem, right? These are sellers now. I see this thicken up Let's watch the behavior now. I'm looking for A trade that's called and it happens called the ib continuation trade. It's right here actually And it happens at 9 30 and i'm in the central time zone. So first hour rth. Let's look The and there's a high probability and i'm not going to give you statistics I'm going to say over 90 probability and past performance not indicative future results. There's Over an 80 probability this 70 probability that past performance not indicative future results All these statistics are available to you in the trader lab. You got a vet them So when i'm trading not only am I watching the behavior of the participants I'm also looking which way the barge is headed and do we have Statistical probabilities that give me an edge all these pieces are put together And it's still random doesn't matter So let's look at the continuation trade 9 30 central. We have the first hours high It is called the initial balance high We know there's over 90 probability Past performance again not indicative future results that we're going to take out either the first hour high or low Given that we've rejected the low and hit our targets on the downside I don't know about you. I'm leaning here and I know if I can get out here I've got this I've got the stops over yesterday's high And I have the stops over the outside edge that we made several days ago. Those are my targets. Why? I stops fuel Is everybody with me? Let's watch Naked volume point of control I be high. So here we have the I be break high probability The I be high set at 9 30 Stops a yesterday's high and this is all targeting with more up above now. I have a choice The choice is if I pull back to get long. Let's look at my volume It's here. This is the I be This is an outside edge of a distribution. There's my micro high volume structure So now I'm going to look for a long. Let's look Let's see there Right There is a structure trade in the trader lab. So let's look at it.  So enchilada shows up And a lot of other things But it's not mexican. So you guys know costa rica is its own thing at central america. So it's uh, it's not mexican it's Spanish naturally They speak spanish here, but it's different So here's your micro high volume structure You can see it there Here's your I be you can see it there Remember our shopping experience retail You can see it there So retail there retail here High volume there High volume there If this is retail and it goes on sale Oh, it's on sale and this is the fair price Then the buyers might Might go hey, it's a deal and let's throw a few extra of these s&p's in the cart Retail And this is a target ethi. So we have a high probability here and And then we go back for This so that's our target. So let's watch. So this is your long against here Long now, let's say you're sitting here like a deer in the headlights, which is fine. We're all doing We're all going uh what now, but I know this is too low Because I have my buyer I now counter rotate And right here is my location For my long for the continuation trade. I be continuation. There's my buyer. I pull back So if I see this I can be getting long here and my stop can be under here Or if I'm daring I'm getting long in here or here or here and my stop's under here It's all a matter of here. I like to stay under high volume. It would be under here You guys with me. So it would be Here Under here under this okay, and then I'm going for this but more important I'm really close to that high and I know the market sold off from that high a couple days ago. So what's above what's above me buy stops So let's just look at the sequence This is the next target right here And you could scale or exit ahead of it or do whatever you want to do or you're managing a runner Because who knows where the high of anything is but I trade the targets. So we get in there. We get our stops. Let's look Liquidity in the book. You got some icebergs. Who knows right? Wouldn't you like to know? I wish I knew I don't know anything though So what do I see here? Let's look Seller see the change in behavior And there's a lot of urgency here. That's delta. Okay. See the change in the volume Okay And we know the market's long So when the market gets long the potential is to counter rotate at least are you guys with me? So right here, I beat this is you're out of the long Now, how do you get short? If you wanted to well, you got to have a structured trade for it. Let's see watch so this flew us This jumps in the book. We want to see what the behavior is V poc migration. Does this look familiar? I'm going to label it Variable high volume note because I don't know where it's going. I don't want to forget that this happened So what do I want to see if it's going higher and you've seen this before all through the stream today I wanted to come out and I wanted to push off. What does it do? We break down. I pull back. I got to clear this to go higher because possibly this is too high so in the microstructure Maybe too high. There's my seller volume. There's my seller Here's my volume past Seller and and right now I'm it's a suspect Right. I can't sell the high of the day or by the low of the day still working on it Almost 44 years. I'm still working on it and I tell you the truth. I've stopped working on it But right here This says retail But the thing about retail is what happens if it's a retail price, but the shoppers think it's too expensive That's where the kicker if you will is I break below I pull back Now I got to clear this if I can't clear this then we're gonna Come down. Let's see what it does Hmm What a coincidence Too high Too short. Where's the stops here? Let's watch So the stops are under here And here's the following you can assume the following possibilities Retail trader behavior And we have a couple trades in the trader lab. I want to tell you about them. This is a short Down to here the possibility is then to come to the mid into v-wap Take those guys out and keep going or and here's the or or There's another trade in the trader lab called the v-wap the v-park trade So you got to kind of think about it like what are the possibilities? So potential short to here or potential long back to here. Let's see what happens because I don't I haven't seen this on See Look at the behavior So what do we have too high potential long to here So depending your preference and this is subject to vetting It's either a short to there or an exit subject to your plan Or a short to there or a long to there And I'm saying or because these are structured trades. It's up to you. You could trade either side. It doesn't matter So let's look at the behavior v-park migration watch minutia micro So, what do we know? Too high Let me come back here Too high Too low back here. Is it going through or is it going to fall down? Uh, wish I knew don't know All right part of the joy. I see my seller Too high watch. What do I do now? I return I check it. Is it really? Too high Yes Short now here you might not be able to activate but what you know is this was too high so long here Uh, I see my seller That's rejected. It's too high. What does the market tend to do check? It's like you going back to your favorite store I'm not paying that. Yeah, but I like to shop over here. No, I'm not paying that. They're still overpriced You leave I think Where are we? I don't even know where we are. Oh We took out the first hour slow. This is called the neutral day Whoops, there you go. So and then the stops are under here And you would be short or you'd be out of the trade but once you these guys all get in trouble then You're coming out here and you're potentially going here and here. None of these are trade recommendations I didn't know where we were with this thing, but you kind of get the idea any questions This is trader lab and these are structured trades. What you do with them is up to you Any questions trader lab? Or in youtube. Hope you're getting something out of this. Um I'm just showing you structured trades and how to read and narrate um The thing I find in trading is it's just waiting for your trade You know, if you don't have a trade, you don't have a trade. It doesn't matter You know, if you're feeling like I gotta I gotta i'm missing it. That's called fomo. You should get familiar with that by the way If we had the i b continuation trade from above Might we have the same structured trade from below? Let's go take a look He says Let's look So if we fall out And we do the same thing from the other side now, here's the possibilities remember I said this was an outside edge in the eth Right there. We also can't do anything. You know, I mean this is trading. Okay, so let's go take a look this Here now remember these were our targets coming down for the longs Well now These where if we're under this It sets up a short and the short Is going to be in here Or over here, but that's different different setup But let's just talk about this and these are not trade recommendations If I get a rotation up I'm going to be looking in here Or a potential short opportunity and it's not a recommendation We have to get through this to go lower. We have this We have this we have this so we have targeting below So we're going to look and see if we get a rotation.  It's how you manage them That's what trade plan is about Not like, oh, it's going to go to zero and I don't want to miss it, you know There's always another bus coming by but emotionally are we're irrational When we're being triggered emotionally by all this stuff, you know So let's watch So now we have this came into the book that's pressure and we have this liquidity resting down here So this is new and it's pushing into it. So there might not be a short But we have to wait So nothing to do Let me go over here and take a look at this. Here's what's interesting about this coming down this time These were targets remember to go long Support becomes resistance, right Right here to come down And we're seeing our selling and we know their sell stops under the low Volume break Pull back Here's the volume so Volume break Test this is this is advanced. So you guys wouldn't be doing this This is a short, but let's assume you're not on this So the next one is going to be potentially a test here For continuation this this way, okay? So let's watch and see if we get the rotation. There's our rotation And I am out of time pretty much. This is not a trade recommendation We want to watch the volume here And this is a potential structure trading fair let notice how this stayed in the book this pulled So this was a press into here potentially So these guys can execute and now we want to see stops are sitting In this area. So the key to this and this is not a trade recommendation Remember, these are structured trades is to look for a triggering structure. You have volume sitting here Let me show it to you This is what you would be leaning against or potential short And guys, this is not I don't call trades and everybody takes stops There's no nobody's immune and this is a potential short. So let's watch it I'll try to hang in here for a few minutes and I want in the meantime I want to mention that if you're getting any value from this or you find this interesting There's a link in the bottom at youtube that you can click it'll take you over to the book map discord trade a lab chat There's 60 PDFs of structured trades like these that you can download and reverse engineer and vet and see if you can determine an Extract a statistical edge the business of trading is the way casinos operate. It's random They casinos only play games that are structured. They're not they're not making it up. They're not changing the games If a gambler walks out with a suitcase of cash instead of playing blackjack with seven cards They don't throw 10 out there because they they feel bad. They just play the game the same way Let's use the casinos which operate in a random environment like we do the cards coming out of deca random Gamers play the cards randomly and who knows what do we know casinos make money What else do we know? They're in the same kind of random environment. We are what else do we know? They don't make it up. They don't impulse in they don't change the game They only play games that have statistical vetted edge and they have confidence in playing those games Because over time they extract the dollars from the gamblers what they don't know the casinos which hand Anything except if they have the discipline which most of us don't have the only trade or play if you will Games or structure trade that have an edge that over time if they do the job manage their emotions and I can tell you the dealer doesn't get emotional Uh, they're going to extract the dollars from the gamblers. That's why they're building bigger casinos That's why they can afford to give you the cocktails um the ticket to the buffet and Comp your room fly you in give you the limo Give you the bottle of champagne and take us to a dell and still build larger casinos and make a profit Can you learn from that in my opinion? That's the business. We're in not the indicator business Not the curve fitting business not the trader groundhog business The problem we have is traders is we're in a random environment. So we have Winds just like the gamblers do they win and the gamblers think maybe a little this a little of that and they'll do better And maybe yes, maybe no, but the casinos aren't playing it that way Why wouldn't the casino use that process that the gamblers use because it doesn't work for them Maybe as traders we should kind of emulate a winning process And that is the casinos and of course past performance is not indicative of future results, but Do you think you might be able to create an edge? By emulating a successful process and remember the outcome of the next interaction or any trade is random We don't know what's going to happen here We don't know anything. That's what I do know. That's the only thing that's certain is we know we don't know Please give a thumb up if you're in youtube Uh, it's important. So, uh, the stream can continue and that the trader lab continues Otherwise trader lab may not be here. So it's important that you guys show support Attend the streams and if you're in the bookmap discard trader lab chat, remember this stream is available exclusively to you To download and to reverse engineer all the structure traits There's a link in the bottom of youtube if you want download 60 pdf substructure traits and a library of webinars Sum up the four and a half hours long Excuse me of real-time narration So you could see this as a place in real time I don't have that kind of time available to me anymore, but I think you get the idea Please give a thumb up click the link in the bottom of youtube if you'd like to visit trader lab Trader lab is a group of like-minded traders looking to leverage their collective experience our senior trader has about 54 years experience I've been doing this going on 44 years, which is basically not a badge of honor, but a badge of pain This is how you learn and maybe all of us coming together can leverage that experience and we can all get better That's what the trader lab is about. 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We're going to leverage our experience The trader lab is a serious community of traders if you You're not interested in romper room But it's a serious approach in a serious community visit the trader lab and this remember the current trade Is a structured trade. It's not a trade recommendation And it is a short from here and it's narrow rated live And remember this is never a trade calling room. It never will be it's for educational purposes only. Thanks again guys Thanks for visiting the trader lab and I look forward to seeing you guys again here Real soon Thumb up please and youtube on the way out. It's really helpful


Just a quick question about how you feel about drilling in the Arctic Refuge. Totally opposed to it. Completely totally opposed to it. And I think I'm the only one, maybe not the only one, the only one running who's been up in the Arctic Circle. I've been, remember the great oil spill that occurred, and I watched when I went up there and I went up in a helicopter up in the North Slope and saw what was going on and saw what was happening as the glaciers began to melt and how the caribou and everything, I mean there's a lot going on up there. And it's a real gigantic problem. And by the way, no more drilling on federal lands, period, period, period, period. But the Arctic Circle is a disaster to do that, a big disaster in my view. That's what Joe Biden said about drilling in the Arctic on the campaign trail. He was unequivocal in his condemnation saying he was completely and totally opposed to it. But as presidents, here's what he now thinks about drilling in the Arctic as Kenny Stantel of Common Dreams explains, U.S. President Joe Biden on Monday greenlighted a massive oil drilling project on federal land in Alaska eliciting outrage from climate advocates who say the administration's accompanying restrictions on oil and gas leasing in the region cannot make up for the destruction set to be unleashed by the approved Willow Project. Progressives sought for months to dissuade Biden from approving Kanako Phillips' $8 billion Willow Project noting that it could enable the production of more than 600 million barrels of crude oil over 30 years. If all of that oil is burned, roughly 280 million metric tons of heat-trapping carbon dioxide emissions will be spewed into the atmosphere at a time when United Nations Secretary General Antonio Gutierrez warns that the planet is reaching a point of no return. So let's be very clear here. This is a direct betrayal of his campaign promise. And environmental groups were justifiably pissed off because of this 180. The People vs. Fossil Fields condemned the news on Twitter saying, POTUS has the power to reject all new fossil fuel projects that would ensure the survival of our communities and planet. Instead, he is choosing to disregard frontline communities and expand fossil fuel infrastructure that will drive us further into climate chaos. Hashtag stop Willow. The Sunrise Movement tweeted out today, President Biden is set to approve the Willow Project, the single largest oil extraction project ever proposed on federal lands. If he does, he will be abandoning millions of young people in favor of the fossil fuel industry. POTUS, it's not too late to stand with us. And last but certainly not least, climate justice lines tweeted out the phone number to the Biden administration. It's<PHONE_NUMBER>. And you can also call the Interior Department<PHONE_NUMBER> and let them know that you oppose this and you can also politely encourage them to not go ahead with the Willow Project. Now, the Biden administration was anticipating major blowback for lying, but he proposed a bit of a pseudo-compromise to, I guess, make us feel better about him accelerating the demise of our entire planet for private profits.  In what The New York Times described as a bid to temper criticism over the Willow decision and, as one administration official put it, to form a firewall to limit future fossil fuel development in the region, Biden announced restrictions on offshore oil lease sales in the Arctic Ocean and across Alaska's North Slope, while the U.S. Department of Interior said it would issue new rules to block oil and gas leasing in more than 13 million of the 23 million acres that formed the National Petroleum Reserve, Alaska, where the Willow Project is located. But given the overwhelming scientific evidence and warnings from even the relatively conservative International Energy Agency that new fossil fuel projects are incompatible with averting the worst consequences of the planetary emergency, climate justice campaigners rejected the president's attempt to soften the blow of his Willow approval by announcing new protections for areas surrounding the extraction site. Quote, it's insulting that Biden thinks this will change our minds about the Willow Project. Kristen Monsell, the senior attorney at the Center for Biological Diversity, said in a statement. Quote, Biden approved Willow knowing full well that it'll cause massive and irreversible destruction, which is appalling, said Monsell. People in wildlife will suffer and extracting and burning more fossil fuel will warm the climate even faster. Biden has no excuse for letting this project go forward in any form. New Arctic drilling makes no sense and will fight hard to keep Kanoko Phillips from breaking ground. And I wholeheartedly agree with Monsell here.  It means nothing. Now, the rationale by the administration is that this was inevitable, since legally they don't believe that they have the authority to deny the drilling permits to Kanoko Phillips. So a court is going to grant them access to destroy our planet for private profit anyway, so why stand in the way? In other words, they're basically arguing that they're not liars per se, they're just cowards who refuse to fight. Wow, so compelling. Thank you, Mr. President. I understand your reasoning now. Now, it's not just that the Willow Project is going to lead to more greenhouse gas emissions, but as candidate Biden alluded to at the start of this video, it really is a disaster to drill in this region. He was right then and he's wrong now. The Department of Interior's environmental assessment raised substantial concerns about the threat that drilling poses in this region, not just to the planet, but to freshwater, as well as animals like whales, caribou and migratory birds. But this one company's profits is apparently more important than the planet and all of the wildlife that they'll be disrupting, so we have to let them drill in the region, drill it into oblivion. That's fine. So the next time that the Democratic Party lambasts young people for not turning out for Democrats in elections, remind them of stories like this. When I was finally old enough to vote, I excitedly cast my first vote for Barack Obama back in 2008, but I learned the hard way that politicians will literally say anything to get elected. Not only did Obama not end the wars, but he bragged about ramping up fossil fuel extractions, despite knowing the danger that anthropogenic climate change poses to our entire species. And now, unfortunately, many Zoomers who voted for Biden probably for the first time are experiencing the same disappointment that I felt when I was younger. We're locked into this system for the foreseeable future, and no administration is going to get us out of it. So that's where we're at, essentially. It feels like we're trapped. We know that continued fossil fuel extraction poses a danger to drinking water, wildlife and the totality of life on Earth. But our government has collectively decided for us that short-term profits for private companies are more important than the long-term habitability of the entire planet. And despite living in a democracy, it seems as if we have almost no say in the matter. So it's a bit of a doomer note, but we'll leave that there. There's really nothing left to say. Biden has broken another campaign promise, but anyone who's been paying attention shouldn't be surprised by this at all.


My husband friend zoned me, and we have been married for five months now. We did more before we got married. Now he has stopped wanting to be with me in bed.  So you've been married for five months? Wow, that's a really short marriage for him to all of a sudden stop wanting. So I mean, it depends on what's going on, right? There could be a lot of different things going on here, and what's going on is very important in how you end up dealing with it. So if there's something that's really stressing him out, right? So a lot of times guys will lose interest in sex if they get really stressed out. And it could be something that's going on at work. Is there something that's stressing him out? It could be that he's lost his interest in you, but there'd be a lot of other things going on there other than not wanting to be in bed with you. There'd be a lot of other kinds of things where he's distancing himself and getting away from you as much as possible. And you need to figure out whether it's that or whether it's some kind of anxiety stress thing because dealing with those two things is very, very different. And absolutely you should have a relationship where you're connecting physically and intimately in a great way, and you should have a husband who's totally in love with you and wants to be with you. And so it's important to get to whatever the root issue is so that you can make sure that you're getting into a situation where you're really cared for by your husband.


At long last, we are finally back to turning left exclusively for this weekend in NASCAR DFS as the NASCAR Cup Series going to Michigan for the Fire Keepers Casino 400. That is this weekend, the first oval race in about a month since before the Olympics. So it's been a hot second, which means we have to go back to our basics with ovals and try to decide how to play things for DFS. The good thing is that the starting order for this week aligns perfectly with our optimal strategy for this week so we can get set and dive on in and let you know who we feel best about for DFS. Welcome on into the Heat Check Fantasy podcast powered by NumberFire. That's right here on the FanDual Podcast Network and NumberFire.com. My name is Jim Sonnis. I am a senior writer and analyst for NumberFire.com. Here to break down Sunday's Fire Keepers Casino 400. It's at 3 p.m. Eastern on Sunday and the lineup has already been set. The starting order has been set. So as we go along for today, you can feel free to fill out lineups and get those entered before Sunday's race. So plenty of time to do so for right now. Before we dive in, a quick reminder to make sure you are subscribed to the NumberFire Daily Fantasy podcast feed wherever you get your podcast. Because this weekend we have MLB for Friday. We have USC for this weekend, the Austin Swain. I've got NASCAR right now and plenty more to come next week as well. NFL just around the corner. So make sure you search for the NumberFire Daily Fantasy podcast feed wherever you get your podcast. Hit subscribe. And while you're there, if you like what you hear, leave us a rating and review as well. Hey sports fans, Fandals offering an exclusive promotion for new sportsbook users. Join Fandals Sportsbook today and get your first or make your first bet. If you lose, we'll give you a refund up to $1,000 in psych credit within 72 hours. Your first bet after depositing will qualify. If you have multiple selections on one bet slip, it will be the first selection you made. Head over to Fandals Sportsbook today and place your first bet. Must be 21 plus and present Colorado, Iowa, Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia or West Virginia. New users only. Max bonus $1,000 psych credit. See full terms at sportsbook.fandals.com. Gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER and call our Wada, 1-800-522-4700. In Iowa, 100 bets off. In Indiana, 1-800-9 with it. For Conference of Michigan, 1-800-270-7117. In Tennessee, call the red line at 1-800-889-979. Or in West Virginia, visit 1-800-GAMBLER.net. Let's take a look at the track breakdown here for the Fire Keepers Casino 400. Again, we are back on an oval for the first time in about a month. And there are just 200 laps in this race, which is shorter than a lot of other oval races, but it's still more than double what we've had the past two weeks at Watkins Glen and then at Indy. So it's going to be a very different construction the past two weeks. And despite the fact that it's not as long as a lot of oval races, we do still need at least one lap leader in each lineup. That is because this is a track where you see a lot of drivers dominate the race.  They have had four races at this track since switching to the 550 horsepower package. And the intention of the package was to keep the pack closer, try to generate some pack racing and stuff like that. And we've seen that at times for sure. But we've still seen one driver lead at least half the laps in three of the four races in Michigan. In one of those races, Joey Logano started in the pole, blocked all day long, led 163 laps and won that race. He did not have the fastest car that day, but he was still able to keep that car out front, lead laps and win that day. And we can very well see someone get the 10 bonus points for laps led. That's 100 laps led. That's half the race. I think the odds that happening are very high this weekend. And as a result of that, you do want a lap leader in each lineup. Luckily for us, it's not too hard to determine who that guy will be. Kyle Larson is starting on the pole this weekend. He is the most likely winner in my simulations for good reason. He could absolutely mop up during this race. So obviously with Larson being on the pole, there is no place differential upside. But it doesn't matter because he's still fully viable here. There are more than enough laps to justify it. The next three most likely winners are Kyle Busch, Chase Elliott and Denny Hamlin. They're also all starting inside the top 10. So what I would do is get one of those drivers up front who you think can win this race, someone you think can dominate, lead a bunch of laps and plug that driver into each lineup. Get one of those guys in each lineup to make sure you have the potential dominator on your roster. Your second guy, your second stud, that's where you can get some place differential. But you've got some leeway here. You could go with the second guy up front, try to get two lap leaders, but you can also get some place differential for your second stud. In last year's double header, the second race, Kevin Harvick started 20th because he won the first race. He's still led more than half the laps and won the race. So if you're fast, you can make up ground here. Passing the leader is tough. Making passes in general is fine if you're fast enough to do so. And we have some guys starting deeper in the field who could realistically win this race. We've got William Byron and Brad Keselowski. They're starting right in the middle of the field. They rank fifth and sixth in my winsims, respectively. You can easily pair those guys with Larson, get the lap's lead potential from Larson, the place differential upside from those guys, and feel good about your lineup. Those place differential guys are very viable for this week, but they're also more the exception than the norm. We're likely going to have to be okay using some value plays starting closer to the front because the most part, outside of the Byron, Keselowski's and Leganos, most of the good drivers here are starting towards the front of the pack. Of the top 20 drivers in my model for this race, only three drivers are starting outside the top 20. None of them are starting lower than 28th. So we do have some place differential guys, like Christopher Bell's back there further, Austin Dillon's back there, but it's a very different outlook than we've had recently with the road courses. We're going to have more of a front-centric approach than we've had the past couple of weeks. Let's turn for both the studs and for the value plays because we do want to get a lap leader up front and then for the value plays more so out of necessity than how you want to play things in general, we're going to be forced to go towards guys at the front just because we need speed. And that's kind of the overall takeaway here, is you need to make sure your drivers have speed. It doesn't matter where they start, they got to be fast because Michigan is the fastest track on the schedule. If you don't have speed, you're not going to finish well. If you don't finish well, you're not going to score well for DFS. I think the best way to judge speed this week is just by looking at all the races in the 550 horsepower package in a blender, basically. We've got eight races in this package on non-drapping tracks thus far. Those races are two in Pocono. That's likely our closest parallel because it's two and a half miles. Michigan is two miles. A lot of speed required in Pocono, too. All the others in the sample are one and a half miles. Plus, there's low tire wear at Pocono, which is similar to Michigan. After that, I would look at the tracks with the lower tire wear that were the one half mile track. So that's Charlotte and that's Las Vegas. After that, I put the one half mile tracks with more tire wear in one bucket. That is the two Atlanta races, Kansas and Homestead. So I do want to blend them all together, get a picture of raw speed because that matters a lot. In Michigan, we do want to find the fastest drivers, but I would put extra emphasis on Pocono, followed by Charlotte and Vegas, and then the rest in there as well. So to recap our strategy for the Sunday race in Michigan, get a lap leader at the front who you think can dominate the race. And again, the starting order does set up well for that with the four most likely winners, all starting inside the top nine spots. Feel free to have your second studs start further back. We've got options there with Byron, Kezalowski, and Legano. But don't feel forced to use one of those three guys. There are enough laps here to justify having two guys towards the front. Denny Hamlin starting ninth is a fully fine second stud. So feel free to refer the back of your second stud, but you don't need to necessarily. I will probably have to feel okay using some value play starting closer to the front. It's not the most comfortable feeling, but I do think it'll be necessary for this week. Just get fast cars regardless of where those cars are starting and lean on Pocono to judge who will be those fast cars this week. Then Charlotte, then Vegas, but just in general overall, you want raw speed in the 550 horsepower package. That's the best signal we will get for this race. If you do all that, you should have a good start here on identifying fast cars, identifying who can make up ground, identifying who can finish well after starting towards the front, and who can score well for DFS. And because it's starting order to set, we can go through the tier by tier breakdown and let you know my favorite drivers for Sunday's race. Let's do that right now. Starting off with the Elite tier, that is Kyle Larson at $14,500 on Fandula through Chase Elliott at $12,500. And Larson is the top guy here by a decent chunk. He leads my model in projected average driving position by more than a full position.  Like, that is outrageous how much better Larson is than everyone else in my model. And he gets their thanks to both his current form, which you know of, but also his track history, because Larson won here three times when he was a Chip Ganassi racing. That was when he was in, I would say mid-tier equipment. Now, he has the fastest car in NASCAR. He's starting the pole. He has 20% win odds in my simulations. And personally, I'd go above that as well.  So I think that Larson is the top guy in this field by a margin, no question. Kyle Larson number one for sure. Among the other guys in this tier, give me Kyle Busch for sure in second. He has been tremendous in the 550 horsepower package so far this year. Larson and Busch in eight races has six podium finishes. That includes five in a row. He has won twice. He won one Pocono race and he was second in the other. He and Larson are the class of the field in this package right now. So I'm going to treat them as such. And you know, I think there will be times where I go with the two Kiles, stacking Kiles in the same lineup, Larson and Busch. There are some value plays I do like. So that's fine, but I'm also okay dipping down for that second person who is going with Larson by himself or Busch by himself and then going more balanced than there. So this tier to me is ranked Larson one, Busch two, chase Elliott three and then Martin Truex Jr. Number four. The second tier on Fandall is Kevin Harvick at $12,000 through Alex Bowman at $10,000. And this is where the place differential options are that I alluded to before. We'll talk with them first and then talk about why I like Denny Hamlin at 11.5. The guys starting further back are William Byron and Brad Keselowski and Joey Logano. And in that exact order, Byron one, Keselowski two, Logano three. Byron has a win on a 550 track already this year. That was back in Homestead. He had a podium finish back in Pocono. He ranks fifth in win odds in my simulations as mentioned and will start 18th. We love that for DFS and I think that Byron is a play for cash games, potentially the play for cash games for this week. Keselowski ranked second. He has the edge over Logano for sure in this package. He also like Byron at a podium finish in Pocono. He had really strong runs in Vegas in Kansas and Vegas is a low tire wear track, low tire fall off track. So that's impactful there. Keselowski $10,300 starting back in 20th. So I think that Keselowski number two. Logano just hasn't had as much upside as those two guys. He's starting 19th, $10,500. So I'm kind of obligated to consider him, but Logano hasn't had upside in this package. So to me, those guys ranked Byron and Keselowski one two and it's here by their own. And then Logano is a tear back among the place differential guys. I do want to get some Hamlin closer to the front though. He has not won yet this year, but he's had speed in this package. He has three fourth place finishes. He's been pretty strong at this track specifically in the past. He's starting in ninth. So a little bit of place differential juice with Hamlin as well. Not as much as with Byron and Keselowski, but there is still some there as well. And I don't want to gloss over him. So I'm going to rank this tier Byron one, Keselowski two, Hamlin three, above Logano. So even though Logano is starting deeper, I like Hamlin's win potential more. So Byron, Keselowski, Hamlin, Logano, Harvick and then Bowman. Harvick has tremendous history at this track. He's won three races here, but his form in this package is what I care more about. And it's too underwhelming for me to rank him above the other. So I'm okay being underweight on Harvick for this week under the assumption people will go there as a result of the track history. The mid-range is Ryan Blaney at $9,500 through Ross Chastain at $8,000. And Christopher Bell is starting deeper in the pack. I think he's fine. And that's intentionally phrased that way. He hasn't been a stout in the 550 horsepower package this year. He has only two top 10 finishes in eight races. And part of that is due to variance because he's had a couple of races where he's had a good average running position but didn't finish well. And that's why my model likes him because it operates more based on the peripherals than the finishes. So that's why it does you Bell pretty favorably. And I do like him. I just don't love him. So I think Bell is a good cash gameplay. But for tournaments, I am willing to pivot. I think that a good pivot off of Bell for tournaments is Tyler Redick. He's starting back in 14.  But I love his finishing upside. Redick has five top 10s in eight races in this package. He was 11th and another. He has second place finish in Homestead. We saw Redick have an eighth place average running position in Charlotte, which is a low wear track as well. So I think that it's realistic to expect Tyler Redick to contend for a top five finish here this week. And if you get that at $8,500, it doesn't matter where he starts. And I keep starting like 30, starting 14. So I think that if I had a single entry tournament lineup, I would go Redick over Bell for this weekend. That might be contrarian. I hope it is. But I think that that is the way to play things for this week. Bell for cash games. And then going with Redick for tournaments. I'm also likely to be underweight on Ross Chastain. Starting back in 20 seconds, he has not been very good in this package. Just underwhelming, I would say, across the board. So I'll rank this tier Bell one straight up. Then Redick. The Redick again, higher for single entry tournaments. Kurt Busch three, Ryan Laney four, and then Ross Chastain, number five. The value tier is Austin Dillon at $7,500 or Chris Buscher at $5,700. And Austin Dillon is another guy who could be a cash game consideration. Probably pretty close to a lock, I would say for me in cash games. He's starting 26, that's $7,500. And he should have good speed here because Dillon had good runs in Charlotte, Kansas and Pocono. Two of those are low wear tracks. He's also shown speed on this track type in the past. RCR tends to have good speed on the really big tracks. And Dillon is a good source of finishing potential and some place differential at a low salary at $7,500. So Austin Dillon to me, cash game consideration in a very good tournament play as well. For tournaments, I'm also pretty interested in Bubba Wallace. He's starting 15th at $6,500. And we've seen him improve a lot at the $5,50 tracks recently. He had a top 15-hour journey position in Charlotte, both Pocono races and Atlanta. He had some good speed in Michigan last year as also run well in Indianapolis on the Oval, which is more similar to Michigan than a lot of other tracks. So I think he knows how to run these tracks pretty well. Should have good speed via 23-11 racing. So I am not opposed to Bubba Wallace but would rank him a good chunk behind Dillon. This tier to me is Dillon 1, Wallace 2. Daniel Suarez 3, starting back in 30th, hasn't had the best speed in this package, but starting 30th, super low salary at $6,000. So I'll still get there, but the performance is a bit more concerning. And then Eric Almerola at number four this year for me. The punting tier is Chase Briscoe at $5,500 on down. There are some interesting guys here and one who I think is my favorite is Michael McDowell. He is $4,000 and starting 25th. We saw McDowell have good runs in both the Pocono races. And he's had a top 20 finish in all but one race in this package so far this year. So yeah, the upside is limited but he's $4,000 starting 25th.  So I'm going to rank McDowell number one. Ryan Price is second simply because he's starting so deep in the pack. I'm not super optimistic about him but he did a good finish in the second Pocono race. Chase Briscoe's after that. Cole Custer, at least worth looking at but if I don't get there in my player pool for this week, it's not going to break my heart. So to me, it's really more about Michael McDowell and the punting tier. Maybe some priests, maybe some Briscoe, maybe some Custer but not trying to be over exposed to anyone down here due to the kept finishing upside. Let's finish up here at the Winpix for this Michigan race. One guy in the the sour range above $10,000. One guy below for the guy above. I cannot go against my simulations. They have Kyle Larson number one. I think that they're potentially underrating him a bit. So I'll go Kyle Larson with my Winpix in the top tier guys. The highest win odds for a guy below $10,000 is something I didn't discuss too much during the tier by tier breakdown but that's Ryan Blaney. Didn't discuss him that much because he's starting third. So you kind of need to win or finish top five to pay off for DFS but I mean he does have 3.9% win odds in my simulations 14.4% podium odds. That's not nothing. Had a really good run in the first Michigan race last year. Got wrecked with Kezalowski in the second race. So I, you know I think you could win probably not going to be very high on him for DFS but from just doing Winpix here below $10,000 Ryan Blaney would be my pick. So the picks to win for this week one stud and one below Larson and Blaney for Michigan. That is all that we have here for today on the heat check fantasy podcast as we send you off now to what should be a fun weekend between UFC, MLB and hopefully some sweats for PGA as well. Once again, make sure you are subscribed to the number fire daily fantasy podcast wherever you get your podcast. While you're there make sure you leave us a rating and review as well. If you have questions for me I am on Twitter at Jim Sonnis J-I-M-S-A-N-N-E-S I won't be around too much this weekend I'm out in Denver for the FanDuel World Fantasy Baseball Championship and then the FanDuel FanFest at the Broncos Stadium. So busy this week with FanDuel stuff but should have time to fill up some lineups later on so hit me up on Twitter if you have questions I'll try to get them at some point throughout this weekend also make sure you follow the FanDuel Podcast Network at FanDuel Podcast big thank you everyone for tuning in for today good luck to you with your ML or with your NASCAR DFS lineups we'll talk to you once again next week this has been the Heat Check Fantasy Podcast powered by number fire