There's a reason why Xtrades is currently the fastest growing application on the market for sharing financial ideas. With over $2.5 million paid in the last two years to contributors, users are flocking to see what trades the top traders on the leaderboard are sharing in real time. If you're looking to grow your reputation as a trader on the internet or discuss your trading ideas with other reputable investors, click the link below and get connected with a trading mentor today, completely free of charge. All right. What's up everybody? This is Alex from Xtrades back to you with another weekly trade ideas list. I hope everybody had a wonderful holiday and also had a good trading week last week. It was relatively quiet in the stock market. I would say Monday was probably the best day. The market did break out a little bit, including Spy and QQQ. Both had about a 1% day or more and the rest of the week is kind of slow and choppy just due to holidays and, you know, the volume kind of dies down once you get closer to Thanksgiving. It's just how it is. So hopefully this week, the volume will come back, a little bit more activity will pick up. Markets are a little bit overextended on the index then, but there are some discounts still in the market that maybe look good to the long side, but as well, it's starting to get cheap to hedge. If you want to pick up some puts, the VIX is hitting 52-week lows, hitting lows we haven't seen in years. So the cost of hedge is just so cheap right now because nobody is buying puts. So if you buy time on them, it could be a good trade for a potential pullback coming up relatively soon. But we'll have to see. Usually December is pretty bullish. So, and then we're kind of closing out the month relatively bullish as well, I'm guessing, just due to seasonality and also low volatility. But before we get into the setup, let's go ahead and get into the economic calendar real quick. All right, Monday, November 27th, we do have new home sales. It's at 10 a.m. Tuesday, most important is going to be the consumer confidence, pay attention to that at 10 a.m.  That's always a hit or miss if it's going to move less or not. It just depends on how hawkish or dovish they sound. And then Wednesday, GDP and also another Fed speaker and the Fed-based book at 2 p.m. Just pay attention to the GDP at 8.30. Thursday, the most important day of the week, we do the PCE index. This is the Fed's preferred inflation gauge. They prefer this over the CPI as well as we have personal spending, personal income and our usual initial job is claims coming in that same day. Other thing we do have is pending home sales at 10 a.m. That's always a fun one. And also Chicago business barometer, which is also a PMI reading. So most importantly, it's going to be the PCE and then obviously personal spending and personal income gives a look into how inflation is going and how the fight against inflation is going for the Fed. So pay attention to that on Thursday. It's going to be the most important day of the week. And then Friday, some more Fed speakers. Most importantly, it's going to be the ISM manufacturing. This is always a pretty big one and it hits 30 minutes after the open. So you will see that mid-session volatility potentially depending on how extreme the reading is for the ISM manufacturing. And then Fed Chair Jerome Powell is also speaking, but I doubt it's going to be anything special. He's going to be at Spellman College. I think it's just some fireside chat probably with probably some employees from the college or somebody. I'm not exactly sure. And I highly doubt he's going to comment much on monetary policy or really anything that's going to make the markets go up or down much. So pay attention to it just in case because you never know with Jerome Powell, but also at the same time, don't expect too much just because it's not a real FOMC meeting. And it's really not anything special. And I highly doubt he's going to really say anything new that we don't already know. So that's for the economic calendar. Most important day is going to be Thursday as well as Friday for the ISM manufacturing with the potential for Jerome Powell being important, but I highly doubt that. Also, I think the GDP could move us a little bit as well and then consumer confidence on Tuesday. So those are going to be your most important data sets of the week. And for seasonality, this is going to be the last 21 years worth of data for November. You can see we're coming up into it's going to be the 27th tomorrow. So we're right here on the historical scale. You can see the month does kind of close out a little bit bullish. It was supposed to kind of stall out here for pre-election years, which we are in a pre-election year, but markets still did pretty good. We didn't really see too much of a stall out in November at all. We had one pullback basically the whole month. And otherwise, we've been very, very bullish, but we are kind of starting to get to that inflection point in the market. I definitely don't want to just go long up here. I'm waiting for a pullback to buy.  Otherwise, I'm kind of looking for individual tickers and I'm still going to swing calls and those kinds of tickers that are maybe a little bit oversold, they're starting to hit their bottoms, which there's a lot of oversold names and lots of discounts still in the market. All right, not to the setup. So let's try to go over them relatively quick. We do have JWN. Here's is my first one. You can see it closed up almost 6% on the day, which you might want to be careful with. Obviously chasing after a stock that's already moved almost 6% can be a hit or miss, but you know, maybe look for a pullback, but as well as we want to see that move over 15-18, which is this level right here. You just see a one day close over that. If we do get that one day close, there's pretty much free space for two resistance at 16.53. If we add the moving averages here, you can see we're starting to close over the 50 EMA, the one day 50 EMA for the first time in a couple months. So this is probably the last time we were closing over the 50 EMA right here in August. And you can see we broke it here on the 15th. And then we did get a close over it right here. And then it kind of stalled out at the 15-18 mark as you see, which is this level right here. And now we're starting to get back over the 50 again, as well as we're still trending over your 9 and 21 EMA combo, which is a good sign for a short-term uptrend. So we're starting to get over those moving averages, which is really good. I think overall it could have some room up to the one day 200 EMA at least. If you are trending under that and you buy under that, that is always a good price target to go with because it can't act as resistance as well as it's kind of what everybody's looking for for a long-term trend. Everybody pays attention to the 200 EMA or the 200 SMA as well. So that's a good price target overall. Maybe with the holidays coming up, this and other retail names could be a good sympathy. I probably mentioned retail names a couple weeks ago before, you know, they kind of rallied just because a lot of them were at their bottom. And I mentioned it could be a good holiday type play for seasonality. And a lot of them have been doing pretty good. So hopefully y'all caught some of that. If you watched my videos a couple weeks ago, there was just so many oversold retail names. And it looks like JWN here is still at a pretty good valuation, I would say, in terms of where everything else is. Markets, you know, indexes, very overbought. But you can see it's got this trend line support, test one, two, three, four, bounced off four. And then you got the flat top resistance as well. This is almost like a pressure cooking type, you know, pattern that it could break out to the upside. I just need that close over 15-18. So JWN looking at calls, obviously I maybe buy time on it just because it's already up 6% from Friday. And if you buy time on your contracts, drawdown risk is not as bad. So that's where JWN looking at calls, maybe buy time on them. And another retail name we're looking at here. This is going to be Walmart. So this is a longer term trend line, I would say. This is all the way from June 2022. You got test one, two, three. Let me have my cursor real quick, make it a little bit easier to highlight stuff. So you got test one, two, three, you probably even draw it like this as well. You drew it like this. It would be test one, two, three, four as well. But you know, if you want to go with this one as well, that's good too. I feel like this one is the best because you're counting the low of this and you're counting the low of this point as well. And it looks like it reacted pretty good off of it. Just based off this one day, I'm sorry, this one week bar came all the way down to 154s and still held it up. So we go down to the one day, held up our trend line pretty good. We do have a really big gap here from earnings. Go ahead and add that as well, that way we have it on our chart. So this is a gap, really big one. Close down 8% this day, the day after earnings. So very big move down and pretty much just straight into that longer term 2022 trend line from the June lows. So another thing I do like about this as well, you have your one day 200 EMA. So this green and red dotted area, it's your one day 200 EMA. Really strong support back from October. Bounced off it pretty hard. Try to bounce off it right here. Went briefly under it, but now we close back over on Friday. We've got WMT closing up almost 1% while the markets basically close flat. It's a pretty good sign of somewhat of relative strength as well as we close back over the one day 200 EMA. That's another sign that I like. So just looking for it to head back up to the one day nine EMA maybe as a first price target and then you want to use the 21 EMA next as your second price target. Obviously we'll need to get over the gap resistance. It's going to be right here at 159.45. So if we can get over that area as well, they'll be looking pretty clean to start entering that gap as well as maybe bring some confidence to the market that this gap is going to start trying to fill. Obviously you want to see like a one day close inside of it and start seeing some momentum closing inside of it. That gives it more confidence to start filling up the area. So that's for WMT looking at calls, obviously risk off or SL whatever you want to do. It's going to be either under the trend line as any more conservative price target starts closing under this with a one day bar. Or if you want to wait for a one week bar close under it for higher time frame analysis, you could do that as well. Stop out if it breaks that line. If you want to be a little bit more aggressive, give us some more room 151.65 this low right here from October 6th. That's a good kind of stop loss as well. If it breaks under that, there's a good chance it's going to flush to this next structure at 145. So that's for WMT looking at calls and you've got two different types of risk you can go with here either conservatively breaks under the trend line stop out or a little bit more aggressive 151.65 with a price target of 159.45 and or your one day moving averages, which is probably going to be like 158. Obviously this is going to change by the day. So 158 21 EMA is going to be probably like 160. But I would go with the nine EMA and your gap resistance for the first price target and onto some short plays or some bearish side plays. This is actually Roku. This has a really big rally based drop supply zone. As you can see here, this bar up 31%. This bar up 7%. So this is a huge rally that led to a big sell imbalance. It came back up again, tested it right here. This is your one base candle that pretty much created your zone and it rejected very hard right there as well as it's kind of stalling out right here. Obviously we don't have a reversal bar like this or even really a reversal bar like this really anything showing you that it's going to reject hard, which is why you might want to wait for this to get some type of one day rejection bar and then you can maybe look at some puts. But I do like this supply zone as a potential area to fall at least see a short term pullback. Obviously max low I could see maybe 90 22 this one day demand is going to be a 90 14 on the dot. So that's a max low I could see if it does pull back here as well as you might want to wait for that one day bar or some type of higher time frame confirmation showing you a rejection and it could go low. So Roku I'm looking at puts on this, but I do want to see a little bit more from it. Obviously if it starts breaking over 95 84 plus probably 99 flat or 98 50s that kind of started breaking out and you want to be careful with that. But otherwise it's still staying under the supply. This is a major resistance. I want to see some type of short term pullback on this. And obviously I think the indexes need to pull back as well. So this is really just a play. If we start getting some volatility, maybe the data comes in like crap, maybe people are just start taking profits a little bit. This will be on the back burner. That way we can, you know, switch our bias and start looking for some downside. I already do have some supply puts. I think just some at the money 455 puts for was that I think is 1215 or the December monthly contracts, whatever that expiration is. I'll have one of those just pay like 500 bucks for it. Nothing crazy. Just a starter position. So I am starting to look at some puts in this market just because of the overextension. I do want to see some type of little pullback that I can, you know, maybe buy and, you know, trade that seasonality in December to the upside, but I want to see a pullback first before, you know, I'm longing stuff up here. You know, if Roku pulled into this 90 14, I would gladly buy the dip down here at this little rally based rally demand zone. It's a rally based rally pretty nice zone. So I'd buy Roku right there, but I want to add at the discount areas. I don't want to trade the breakouts. Unfortunately. So that's for Roku, big supply, big resistance, need to see some type of one day bar, some type of rejection candle, maybe a little bit more confirmation.  So the supply zone is reacting prices reacting to it, just need to see a little bit more on the one day, you know, to see some type of actual reversal. So that's for Roku, be a little patient, maybe look for a little bit more from it before making a decision. And last but not least, we do have another put trade here. So this is at a major 71 43 resistance. This is shop shopify. And we actually kind of dig it somewhat of a decent candle. You can see it's a I mean a closed red.  So no big reversal signal or anything by any means. This is actually just an inside bar. So what it will need to do is take out the lows of Friday to start going lower. So we just want to mark the low of Friday, it's going to be at 70 23, not too far below. So I'll need to get under the lows of that bar. Just going to be about right here. If you can get under that, obviously you have a week low here at 69 15, you got a week low here at 68 16, another week low 67 73 and almost a triple bottom type structure right here as 68 80s. I'm sorry 66 80s. So if it does start closing under that, you will need to consider the short term levels because these short term levels have been a factor in what's been holding up Shopify. So shop will be more of a short term play. Obviously, these levels don't look as pretty on the one day because they're so jumbled together, which is why you want to go down to the shorter term time frames and you can see there's so much cleaner. You got wick low, wick low, wick low, three wick lows, almost four, one, two, three, four strong structure right here. So if this structure broke, that'd be pretty good. And then there's also this big gap down here. Obviously, I wouldn't be aiming that low with volatility this low. I highly doubt it would get down there in a week. Like I almost 100% doubted, but it's a stock market. You never know. So that's for shop. Looking at puts, risk off is simple. Stop loss is above 71, 43. Or if you want to just do like 72 maybe. If you're doing like a swing trade or like a further out type of put swing, 72 flats probably good as well. If it starts closing over 72 is a good chance it'll try to break out, but those short term levels that I showed you are short term price targets. As well as you could probably just use the one day moving averages. So I could get rid of all these drawings here. You could just use the one day nine EMA. So if it pulled into 67 or something, obviously this is going to change by the day. So it's going to change after each one day bar. If it starts pulling into the one day 90 EMA, that's a good spot to take profit. As you can see right here, pulled into the one day 90 EMAs, the general area at least, this is a higher low to back test to a move higher. So if it did the same thing here, pulled into a higher low for a back test that could try to go higher, which is why you want to take profit at the one day moving averages. You're basically capitalizing on the fact that we're so overextended over the moving averages that once it pulls back in, you want to take profit of that area because there's a good chance it could hold as a higher low. So keep it simple. And then like I said, this 71 43 is a big resistance. This is also a big one day level at 67 60. You get the low right here. So that's all you're doing for one day levels, just marking big inflection points like this. You got a nice little base right here. And then we got the gap. So just wanted to re add these so you could see that's pretty much technical analysis, just marking, you know, extreme points, places where prices turn very aggressively. And then I showed you the short term levels earlier, just keep it simple. Mark the week lows, you got one here, one here, got a structure low right here, which we already kind of marked at 67 60. And then you got triple bottom structure right here as well. So mark those for short term price targets. But overall, I would look for the one day nine EMA eventually to hit and take profit there. So that's for shop, looking at puts be patient risk off over 72 and onto the spy for the indexes. So last week, we were focused on the supply zone. I mentioned it needed to break over that in order to get to 453 67 and 453 67 was my max, that's my max price target, I could see with a potential to fill this gap. And I wasn't 100% confident that this gap would fill, but we literally broke out broke over 453 67 and basically filled the whole gap all on one day. So we did in one day. So it's by just pretty much breaking all expectations and really any form of reality. So just been going crazy. But you could see how clean this was.  This area right here is your peak at 453 60s. And once it got over the supply zone high, it was just a straight shot. And you got this one huge one day bar right here on Monday. So that's all we were looking for last week. And then for bears, obviously, we needed some type of one day bar or reversal candle and we didn't get that. So Monday instantly invalidated the bears, as you can see it closed. I mean, I guess you could have maybe traded puts the next day at 453 67. If we look at Tuesday here, it kind of went back under 453 67. But either way, went back over and we even broke out of it here. So and I filled the rest of the gap as well. And then this is when it got choppy. So now that we filled that gap, and also close over 453 67, it's kind of like what is next, right? I mean, we have a little bit more room up to 459 44. As you can see, this is that max resistance or max peak that we have all the way from July 23. So that is the max like I see it if it really didn't want to go higher, although I really feel like it might stall out here, or, you know, it's going to get that much needed pullback. Just due to the fact that VIX is hitting 52 week lows, it's kind of like a sign of capitulation for bears, maybe as well as the cost of hedge is just so cheap right now. Why wouldn't people want to pick up puts here? Even if it doesn't pay out, it's still good to protect your portfolio.  So like I said, the max I have for upside just 459 44. I really don't think we're going to get up that high this week. But who knows with PC, if it comes in soft enough, we could get up there. I really feel like we need a little pullback down to the one day nine EMA at least. That's probably going to take you down to 450 at minimum. And also we would need to get under 453 67, kind of like what we saw on Tuesday, but there was no follow through on that. So even though it closed under it, we were still able to gap over that on Wednesday, even though it kind of slow back off and just chop the rest of the day. But we really need to get back under that for the bear is obviously 453 67 is a really big level. And we would need some type of one day bar, something like convincing, because even though we closed under it right here, this was just an inside bar. So this is just a consolidation bar that led to the gap up. This is kind of, this is a pretty good candle to add that for long. So if it's already bullish and you get an inside bar like this, this is a pretty good setup to start going higher. It's just consolidation. And that's all the market does in uptrends like this, just makes crazy consolidations. You got one right here, small pullback rip. You got another consolidation right here, three days rip.  And now it, it's either going to stall out here or consolidate is my guess. I don't think it's really going to go too much higher. I mean, we could get one more big impulse up to 459 44, but that's as high as I could see it. I definitely don't want to long into this, which is why I went ahead and grabbed the 1455 put for December 1215. And if we do get a little pullback to a higher low, I will be willing to add that and try to catch the Santa Claus rally for December. Even if it's just one or two days, I feel like there will be a snapback if it pulls back, it's going to pull into a higher low people are going to add and it'll have one more impulse move to close out the year. So that's for spy. Be really careful here. If you want to grab a put, maybe wait for it to get under 453 67. I got one on Friday, but I only grabbed one as well as I had some data from the last four years that showed the Mondays after Thanksgiving week tended to be a little bit more weak the last four years. But either way, like I showed you, seasonality is very bullish right now 27th to the 28th. They could argue there's a small stall out right here, but it's still, it's still going up into the end of the month, basically on all fronts here. And then pre-election years, it kind of does stall out here for, what is that the Russell 1K, the S&P 500 pre-election, it kind of does stall out there. And then the Dow Jones pre-election for the Black Dots that kind of stalls out as well. It looks like Russell 2K does really good, the Russell 2000 just small midcaps and as well as the Nasdaq. It doesn't really stall out till the 29th, it looks like based on history. But as for this buy, be really careful, wait for it to get under 453.67 for an actual reversal. Or, you know, I definitely wouldn't want to long up here. Like I said, you might have a little more room up to 459.44. That's about it. And for the QQQ, last week, we were just focused on, I think 388. Bulls needed to take it over that to see some more upside. It was as simple as that. 388 was this peak right here. It was able to do that on Monday. And you can see briefly got over it, pulled back from it. And then once we got back over it with this impulse candle is basically just a straight shot up on Monday. So this is a pretty good breakout play over 388. A lot of people waited for it to get over 388. Once it got over 388 with conviction, that's when you started seeing these big impulse moves, big breakout move to the upside.  Tech actually had a pretty weak day, went back under 388. And then it closed back over it right here on Tuesday.  So pretty crazy week, very in between levels. This week, it's basically the same thing. You need to see it staying over 388. 388 is your base. If it can make some type of base here, we can keep seeing impulse moves higher. Obviously, if this holds, that's showing it's not a strength. We're staying over the previous 52 week high. And you could assume markets are still doing pretty well. If it starts flying back under that simple as that, you could see some weakness. And then overall, it really does need to get under 385 or this 384.88, which is this peak right here. It'll need to get under that to start filling this gap down right here. So I wouldn't be confident in a gap filled down until it starts getting under that 385. And I showed you that's this peak right here. So that's all you're focused on basically 388, which is this area from over here. It was also the breakout point for Monday. Yeah, 385 or 384.88, this right here. And you got another peak right here at 3883, which is also mid-gap. So if it gets under 385, that's going to take you to this peak right here, which is mid-gap. And I'll need to get under 380 as well to fill the entire gap. So that's basically your levels just using recent peaks. We are kind of in a new territory here. It's the first time we've been this high in a couple years. Overall, the peak is right here from 2021. It's at 408.71, as well as just a kind of small peak right here at 404.58. But this area could fill up eventually, although I do think we might need a little breather before just blasting through this and going straight up, just based off what I'm seeing here. I mean, we are up from this low in October, up almost 15% just in one month here. So it might need a little breather, higher low, somewhere where big money institutions can add, and then they'll try to make the impulse move higher up until the end of the year. But we do need that pullback, I think, some type of weakness that we can add into before chasing this. Obviously, you can keep scalping off 388. If it pulls into 388, that is a back test off this, and it could bounce off that. So that's a good back test level to go off if you're day trading. For swing trading, you just need to see continued strength off 388, and a guaranteed hold over 388, which means you want to see one day closes over 388. And that's a really good sign that you can keep trying to march higher. If you want to keep it simple, just use the one day moving averages. Obviously, if it keeps riding this, you know, bulls are looking good. Starts breaking under the nine. The nine then takes you down to the 21. It's as simple as that. That's kind of what we're doing right now. We're just riding the nine and 21. Kind of pulled into it right here. Obviously, we didn't get it touched on the dot, but it was able to kind of get back to the area because it did need a rebalance. That's kind of what I'm expecting the market to do here. Just a short-term pullback into the one day moving averages, make a higher low, and then, you know, it can go a little bit higher. We are at some crazy levels here. It's definitely not my favorite spot to long at. I like to add at the moving averages, or some type of support or resistance that's going to be, you know, of 388 on the dot for a day trade, maybe 385 as well. That's a pretty good area to add, or the one day nine EMA for longs. So that's for QQQ. Just be careful. 388 in focus. Same thing as last week. Make sure it's staying over that, and you can see continued upside. If it starts falling under that, look for 385. If it falls under 385, look for 380. All right. On to the VIX. So last week, we were focused on this close on Friday. I mentioned a close under 1410. That was a pretty bullish close for the market. So you can see Friday here, our close is at 1381. So a close under the 2021 low. And I mentioned last week does pretty bullish for the market. And the next level you want to look for was the 1273 lows. It's just your triple bottom support or your next volatility extreme point. And we did exactly that. So VIX fell pretty good. Obviously Monday was really like the only good day to get a big move in the stock market on supply and QQQ. Cause after that is when it kind of got choppy, but that Friday signal did give a really good signal for Monday to be a green day. And I hope you can see that fact that it was able to close under that 2021 low is just indicating basically weakness in volatility and strength in the markets. And then also did was just use this triple bottom support or low to come up with a price target or an area that it would likely try to grind down towards. And it did that plus more. So it's now under 1273 close that 1245, which is crazy because the market didn't even do anything really on Friday. You can see we only got this one little candle towards the close and then the VIX, which is dumping heavily at the close. So there's a big disconnect between price and volatility just this whole day. Cause price really went nowhere. As you can see, volatility just straight dumped all day on Friday on the half day. So that could be a sign of just capitulation for the bears. People are not buying puts. There's just a lack of demand for hedging. It's also a pretty bullish signal in terms of if you want to see the market go up, the VIX closing this low and closing under, you know, the triple bottom support as well as closing under 52 week lows, you see 1245 is the new 52 week low. So the next level that I do have below, I had to go all the way back to 2019 to 2020. I said 1142. So that's the max low I could see overall. If it wants to keep falling here and keep grinding down, although I feel like this could be just a fake move under the 1273. And we could see a spike back over the 1273. And I'll try to head back to 1410. That's your speculation. And I will need to see some type of move back over 1273 plus a one day close back over 1273 in order for that to come into fruition. So that's just my speculation that the fact that it did close under this finally, that could be a sign of capitulation and maybe it'll try to bounce back up. And now that hedging is at 52 week lows, the cost of hedge is at 52 week lows. That's a good sign that maybe people try to bid this back up and it'll try to get back over 1273. The closes over that on the one day volatility would just have a little short term spike, nothing crazy. And we'll see that a little pullback in the market. But that's basically just what I'm expecting. Just speculation, I have no idea. And to make a better idea, you do need to wait for that confirmation. That's going to be that move over 1273 plus a one day close. And then you can assume that maybe volatility would try to bounce back up just short term, nothing crazy. Kind of just want to take it one day, one level of time, your next level 1410. If it does start getting back over 1273 and spiking, that's just the max high you could look for. And then obviously there's more levels above that, but just take it one one level at a time. And that's it. And like I showed you, the 2019 to 2020 lows all the way down to 1142. God, I really hope volatility doesn't go down to 1142. That's all I'm saying. The ATR will be so dry. You won't even be able to day trade indexes like that anymore. It's going to feel very slow. People are going to wish volatility came back. If it goes that low, that's just ridiculous. So I'm hoping that volatility will come back. We do need a little rebalance, get the VIX back up just a little bit. And then, you know, they'll probably try to pound it back down again after that. But that's the video guys. Hope you guys enjoy it. Make sure you like comment and subscribe to our extra YouTube channel this week, two longs on retail, two shorts on high growth, high beta names, pretty much. So it is kind of mixed because, you know, the markets, the indexes, there's just a bunch of things at resistance right now or near it. And that just crazy, crazy level. So that's why I have a mix this week. I'm kind of looking at calls and stuff more at a discount. You can see WMT kind of sold off the past couple of weeks. And JWN has kind of been near a bottom as well. But then Roku and shop are kind of near, you know, local tops. Roku's that big supply shops at big resistance. So that's the reasoning for that. And it kind of gives you options this week. If we do see, you know, spotting QQQ pullback, we will have those shorts to work with. But otherwise, you know, JWN and Walmart's always kind of like a slow mover. So if the market does pullback for some reason, WMT, you know, won't get smashed as bad compared to, you know, other high volatility names or compared to tech. I feel like WMT is kind of like a safer long, I guess, while markets just at these crazy levels. If it did want to pull back, I feel like WMT wouldn't be affected as bad. And that's why it made the list for this week. That's really it guys. I'm gonna go ahead and get this chopped up and sent out. I love you guys and I'm out.


In this video, we will present the solution to question number eight from the practice midterm exam for math 2270. We're asked to solve the matrix equation A minus AX all raised to the inverse is equal to X inverse plus B. Now, while we're solving this equation, we may assume that all the matrices are in by in and we also may assume that every matrix in play is non-singular even if that is a ridiculous assumption. That is, we can take inverses without any concern here while we should be concerned about multiplication commuting because matrix multiplication general does not commute. Another thing to also worry about here is that a common mistake is that the inverse does not distribute across a sum. We don't have a property that does that. This would be like saying like, if you have one over two minus three, this is not the same thing as one half minus one third. This would be the matrix analog of doing such a thing. So what I actually wanna do is I wanna start off by taking the inverse of both sides. I'm gonna take the inverse of the left and I'm gonna take the inverse of the right. What's good for the goose is good for the gander. You have to make sure you do it to both sides. Now, if you take the inverse of the inverse, that's just the original function. So the left-hand side turns into A minus AX. We're trying to solve for X right here. On the right-hand side, we're gonna have X inverse B inverse. So while we cannot distribute inverses or powers in general across the sum or difference, that's not the case for products. If you take the inverse of a product, we can do something with that. This turns into B inverse X. We'll be inverse inverse, but the double inverse is the matrix again. So notice how things got twisted around. This is a consequence of the shoe sock principle. So we wanna solve this matrix equation for X. So I would then add AX to both sides. Add AX to both sides. This then gives us that A is equal to, we'll take AX plus B inverse X. I can then factor out the X on the right-hand side. So we're gonna get A plus B inverse times X is equal to A. And then basically to solve for A here, we're gonna multiply both sides on the left by A plus B inverse inverse. So this would then give us that X equals, make sure you stay on the left here, A plus B inverse inverse times A. And so this gives you one solution you could come up with. Now I want you to be aware that if you solve this equation in a slightly different manner, you might actually get what looks like a different answer. Again, there's a lot of possibilities on what the solution could look like. Again, this is one of them. An alternative you could do is this is also equal to say the identity plus B A inverse times B A like so. So this is just a, like I said, there might be more than one way. So if you're trying to work this one on your own and you didn't get something that matched up with what you see on the screen right here, that doesn't necessarily mean you did something wrong. You just might wanna double check that these matrices are in fact equivalent or the matrix you got was in fact equivalent to that.


is Jeff Stockler. I have a joint appointment with the University of Minnesota and North Dakota State University as the weeds science extension specialist for sugar beets. Roundup ready crops are grown on the majority of U.S. crop acreage. The exclusive use of glyphosate to control weeds in roundup ready crops allows for the selection of resistant weeds. Glyphosate resistant weeds continue to increase in Minnesota, North Dakota, and the United States. Common ragweed, giant ragweed, and waterhemp have been confirmed glyphosate resistant in Minnesota in multiple counties. In North Dakota, common ragweed has also been confirmed glyphosate resistant in multiple counties. Six other weed species have been confirmed glyphosate resistant across the United States. One reason glyphosate resistance continues to increase is the lack of early detection. Growers in the agricultural industry blame other factors for the presence of late season weeds in fields instead of suspecting the presence of glyphosate resistant plants. Glyphosate resistance is very different compared to previous cases of herbicide resistance. The initial surviving plants with resistance to ALS or ACCA inhibiting herbicides demonstrate minimal injury from ALS or ACCA inhibiting herbicides. However, with glyphosate, nearly every surviving plant shows some amount of injury with each application and factors such as glyphosate rate and timing and environmental conditions influence the response. I want to demonstrate to you when you need to be concerned about glyphosate resistance, the pattern within a field and the response of multiple and individual plants. Here we are in a field of Roundup Ready soybeans late in the growing season. In addition to the soybeans are some common ragweed plants. Two applications of glyphosate have been applied to this field and there should not be any weeds present. Therefore, we suspect these common ragweed plants as being resistant to glyphosate. Glyphosate resistance will begin with just a single plant within a field. If gone unchecked, the number of those plants over the years will continue to increase especially if only glyphosate is applied. So you need to look in areas of the field that may be the most stressful and or have the highest weed population because that is normally where the greatest genetic diversity is and allows for the resistant plants to be present and when we apply the glyphosate we select for those plants. Capturing that early when there's just a few plants, maybe only six plants within the field is very very critical. If not caught early enough, you will have to spend more money to control the problem in future years and potentially if it gets to a really high density which we also have in this field, you may have yield loss which will be a loss of profit. Once you have identified plants surviving glyphosate in a field, the next most important thing to understand is the response of individual plants within that field. So go to an area of the field where you have some surviving plants and look closely down at the soil and you should be able to see dead plants as indicated by this plant right here. Hopefully you're catching this early enough that most of the plants in the field are actually dead. This is very important to understand and look for because if you have dead plants and other species are dead also, you know that the glyphosate did work. Near the dead plants you should be able to locate plants that appear normal in growth but are stunted compared to an untreated plant. These normal appearing plants are injured because glyphosate almost always produces some level of activity in plants even though they are resistant. In addition to observing dead and normal appearing plants, a continuum of responses from nearly dead as indicated by this plant with just a single area of growth to decreasing levels of activity should be visible. This response is very similar when identifying resistance to growth regulator and PPO inhibiting herbicides. The greater the injury, the more likely the level of resistance is low. Understanding and observing this continuum of responses is critical to determining if glyphosate resistance is present in a field. One other response that's possible is a plant such as this one where the glyphosate has killed the main meristem of the plant and all the nodes below that, the axillary nodes begin to recover and grow and produce branches that appear normal. This is likely to be a lower level of resistance because of that main meristem being killed compared to a plant such as this one in which the main meristem has continued to grow normally. Here is a normal looking common ragweed leaf. Notice how wide the area is between the leaf margins on the lobes but when we go to a plant that is injured from glyphosate and trying to survive, notice how that distance between the leaf margin on the lobe is quite narrow and then you might have colors of yellow and white intermingled with this and that is showing that the glyphosate is still present in the plant and having activity. We have discussed what to look for across the field and individual plant responses. It is important to understand that glyphosate resistance is different compared to previous types of herbicide resistance. When you observe dead plants next to plants that appear normal but are stunted and observe a continuum of injured responses between dead and near normal, glyphosate resistance is likely present in the population. This is especially true if observed in just a single species in a field. If glyphosate resistance is suspected, the best way to confirm resistance is to collect weed seeds, grow plants from the seeds in the greenhouse and spray them with glyphosate. Identifying glyphosate resistance when a few plants are present in a field should maximize future profit. Changing weed management practices rapidly by utilizing all possible management strategies should ensure effective weed control for the future. And I thank you for watching this video.


So since today is the 10th birthday of Git, it is actually today. I'll tell you why I think it is today later But so since it's been 10 years of Git, we thought we'll start with a very brief history of Git It's actually only 10 years, not much has happened, no wars, not a lot of conflict So it's gonna be quite short. I'm Sahil. I work at AutonS as a web developer. You can find me on Github and Twitter Note the underscore because if you don't you'll find somebody completely different So Git was made by some guy named Linus. I don't know some of you might have heard of him He made this little piece of software called the Linus Gun Turns out it's pretty big and what happened was that in 2002 they started using this Version control system called Bitkeeper for it and three years later Some open-source developer decided to reverse engineer it and the creator of Bitkeeper wasn't happy So he told the Linus people they can't use it anymore and Linus said well, you know We don't have anything else that's good enough for our needs. So let me make one myself and on 8th April 2005 We have the first commit of Git and You can see it on Github actually The reason why it's 8th April is because we are in GMT plus 8 So this one is pretty interesting actually it's only 11 files Thousand lines and he can already commit Git using it to talk about it In the read yeah very meta So in the read me he talks like about what it is explains how The object database and cool things that Bob will tell us about work It's pretty long actually. I think half the thousand lines might just be the read me Yeah, and then he announced it on the Linux Mailing list they're talking about some other version control system called monotone and then Linus is like, you know, I have something really nasty, but also very fast take a look at it And if you can do something with it, you get a gold star So this was on I think 7th April. Yeah, that's when he first announced it and oh, yeah in the Read me you can actually see He calls it the stupid content tracker and This is a screenshot of the manual page for git today and that's still the same It's still the stupid content track This is interesting how long did it take it took him about a day to get the first version of it ready which let him commit get using it to talk about it and Yeah, it's pretty cool Although he said that the key put a lot of thought into it before he started recording part of it So like getting the data and what features it needed to have and all those things which is pretty interesting because It's nice to see that Like, you know, you should maybe think a lot about your about your software before you start coding and then the coding might not even take much time So in April he announced git in July this guy junior Havana. He was Google now He took over the project. He was like a very major contributor to the project in the intervening months So Linus, you know, he likes control, but he thought let me give it over to this guy for us December git 1.0 was released and it's actually a they call it a minor release because didn't do anything some Fixes and some commands and things they had already been using it for the Linux for the past six months so it was pretty stable and Yeah, in March 2014, which is last year git 2 was released Some breaking changes that So why git this is Typical That's what it means in British English and unpleasant or contemptible person and apparently that's what Linus thinks of himself, too so That that's one thing he had to say about it The other three He gave like these other explanations of why it's called git. They're in the readme file that I showed you It's a random three letter combination.  That's that's the kind of model. They were already following and strong safeguards against corruption and then this very interesting other design goal, which is take CVS, which was like a really popular Version control system at that time and do everything the opposite of how He didn't like that at all. It was totally Centralized not distributed branching to centuries. So yeah And I think he said about it was that he really designed it coming from the point of view of a file system person and Turns out that file system developers think about complex things like this, which might explain why git is so easy that's basically most of what I have It's gained in a lot of popularity that's 2005 when it started 2015 and Atlassian actually has this nice blog post showing an entire timeline. I didn't want to rip it off So you can just see it on the website talk about when git was released git hub Pull requests a lot of stuff all the way to today. Oh They have this nice graph about get meet-ups around the world Can't really see it, but I think there's a little flag that should be here Thank you


Elsewhere in Zemfura State, the government says it has recovered over 40 official vehicles from Belo Matawale, the immediate past governor. In a statement issued on Friday by the governor's spokesperson Suleiman Idris, the vehicles were recovered after a raid of Matawale's residences in Goosal and Maradenlacal government area his hometown. Idris said before the raid, the state government had asked Matawale and his deputy to return all government assets in the care within five working days. He added that the unknown adherence to the directive made the police seek a set warrant to raid the properties on Friday morning.


Hi everyone, this is Earth Day. I am partnering up with Atlas Roofing and 3M Scotch Guard to show you an innovative new product. Follow along to learn more.


As far as the focus, because our feasibility had to do more with the business side of growing elderberry. I'm Chris Patton. I'm the Managing Director of the Elderberry Cooperative in Minnesota, and I've been farming for 40, 50 years association, and he has grown raspberries, strawberries, currants of all different kinds, and he has exported them all over the world. So I was very lucky to find him about five years ago when I decided that I couldn't be a farmer. I had to market elderberry or there'd be no other elderberry farmers because if you can't sell your product, it's not going to yield what you need in order to justify it commercially. And so I also, at this time, I'm responsible for selling elderberry 400 now, and I need about 4,000 in order to make any money. So because I'm the wholesaler, we pay the farmers better than we pay me. And that's kind of where we are right now. With the elderberry, it is growing very fast. And since I, I guess in the last five years I've probably talked to about 60,000 people about elderberry because I do spend a lot of time in the stores talking to hundreds of people going by, as well as the state fair and some other things like that where you can reach some high numbers. And what I have found is that there's many people who don't know what an elderberry is. So I'm starting with some pictures because I think that's a good idea. In fact, I guess it was Friday, Friday night, well I have some words before pictures, but I mean, I was talking to this one man, he didn't know what it was. And then his wife sort of piped up, oh yeah, they were all along the edge of the farm, I killed them all. I didn't know they were worth anything. So that's a perfect reason as to why I'm here to talk about elderberry. Between those thousands of people I've talked to, I've heard a lot of stories from folks who would say, oh yeah, my grandmother or my mother used to make me go out and pick this stuff. And we all come back with these purple fingers, but she'd make this great jam or pies or different things like that or some would combine it with choked cherry and some would do it with apples. I mean, you wouldn't believe all the stories I've heard, the old elderberry stories. So I wanted to start out here because the plant is very flexible. Now there's an awful lot we don't know about the elderberry. What we do know as far as commercial production is largely thanks to the University of Missouri. We've had a few folks from Missouri here this morning because they got curious about, well, you know, maybe there's a crop in this and it seems to grow well, it's wild. They did a number of studies. They've identified a few varieties and issued a few varieties that have a few beneficial characteristics for commercial use, a little ripen more easily, a little bit bigger barrier things. But I have a sort of always in talking to farmers and we've got about three to four dozen growers of different states of commitment that our cooperative works with and they include Iowa growers, Wisconsin growers, as well as Minnesota growers. And you can use it. The nice thing about elderberry is that it doesn't need to be a primary crop. There are a few people that think of it as a primary crop, but in the most sense it is going to be like a third crop or an additional crop. And that sort of harkens back to the traditional use of elderberry as something that was growing around the edge of the field that the people would harvest for their own benefit. And so this is where it naturally comes about around the habitat. You know, they thrive best in full sun or partial shade. They will tolerate black walnut. There's a number of interesting characteristics about that. Long streams, flood plains, openings in the wooded canopy, disturbed sites along road sides, railroad tracks and things like that. In fact, so many consumers have been used to being able to collect it wild that when the state starts spraying more intensively, they run out of their source of elderberry, which has helped as far as developing the market. We were surprised at how many people would come, consumers would buy elderberry straight off our farm. And of course, we get a little bit better price that way when you sell direct to the customer. Now I do want to say before I get any further, everything here is already online, so you don't have to take extensive notes. If you search Minnesota Elderberry, our cooperative website comes up first. And I have all of our past grants, presentations, how to find it in the wild, some recipes, you know how to grow it, I've got the three pages, three different sections on the health benefits, notes from the first international symposium and everything else is online. And I do that because when I talk to consumers and tell them some of the things that you don't have, you know, a lot of time to give them footnotes and all the details, and I can't remember all the technical stuff, I'm not a microbiologist, but I can tell them the general story and if they want more, it's all online. And they can research it to the heart's content, and so that keeps everybody happy. So this is, so it is flexible. And I want to get back to this as I get to the end because there is some very exciting developments taking place at the University of Minnesota, having to do with their erosion control, the riparian buffers and some of the other stuff there where I think we are going to start seeing a lot more work on Elderberry in the academic world. And I'm very happy about that. I am, we already have a commitment from Agroforestry. We are going to develop an extension service program for Elderberry through the University of Minnesota. It can, Elderberry can be used in marginal land. The plant is tough. It is hard to kill, but it's like any other plant or crop. If you have better soil, better conditions, you're going to get a better yield. So in some academic areas, they have estimated yield up to 12,000 pounds an acre. We typically tell people 4,000 to plan on. We are seeing many farms that get consistently 6,000 pounds or slightly more. But they will go in secondary soils. They have a wide spreading root system. That root system needs the micro-rising. It needs that forest or kind of litter and compost and things like that. And until you get that established, the plants don't do as well. And they struggle a little bit getting started in clay. But what I found with our own experience in Scandia where we're growing, and our first Elderberry went into the worst soil, wasn't planned to be used for anything. It got run over by volunteers with trucks, didn't get watered and everything. The stuff's still there. And we'll get some pictures. Yes, I know. Okay, so this is, you get an idea here, the flower. This is what the berries look like. Out those are tiny berries. I can get about three on my little fingernail, usually. And those are the larger ones. This is now Paul. For 40 years, he's been there and he doesn't spray. It's all natural. He's built up his humus. I mean, you drop stuff in the soil and it grows. You may not see this the first year if you try to do Elderberry. As my son and I, we were planning it. This is how it starts out here in the field. There's a couple pictures of it in the wild. That's from along Minnehaha Creek in Minneapolis. It's there. And it's the easiest time to identify wild Elderberry in your area is during the June time when these flowers are out there. And some folks at the University of Missouri have counted 69 native pollinators on Elderberry. They do not need honeybees. I have seen some, but usually honeybees will choose something else. This is that neglected soil. It wasn't planned. Our first planning, this is Paul here. You can see it's right next to the trees. And that was then compared. He had done some others here with his Johns. These were the Missouri, Bob Gordon and Wildwood. And this he did with plastic. We don't recommend that. I'm not going to give you an awful lot on the horticultural thing because they like to sucker. And the plastic, they can't get through there. And so it's better to use a heavy compost or something that's going to degrade. This is Terry Durham. Not for him, I wouldn't be standing here today. I heard him at Moses in La Crosse in 2010. When I was looking to buy some 60 acres, I was planning to farm. And I needed a way to pay for it. And I thought Elderberry might do that. But when I went down to the workshop and I asked him, OK, Terry, I put in 20 acres of Elderberry. And I go all this stuff. You're going to be able to buy it all, right? And he hesitated just a little moment. And so I realized we needed more marketing effort. And I had to shift my own planning for my own life because I'm not independently wealthy. And I was going to have to make that farm actually pay. So anyway, so Terry is there. And then this is Terry and I and Madeline Monchalogo. She is the lady who founded Sambucal as a researcher in Israel and was a person responsible for creating the market and doing some of the initial research on Elderberry's antiviral characteristics. And her products are all over. She's retired now, does archaeology. And the old city of Jerusalem south of there and the city of David. I was digging there in the 70s.  I started in archaeology. And now I'm doing elderberry. She started in elderberry and is now doing archaeology. So that was a very nice discussion. We had that in Hebrew. And then we were talking to the Egyptian guy in Arabic at the International Symposium. So it's just a little side color. This gives you a little bit of idea of what you can be faced with when it comes harvest time. This is a lot of berries coming through. And on this particular one here, you can see this is planted at the same time, but different soils. This is the soil that wasn't intended to have crops. This is the one that had been prepared for crops. You can see that elderberry has a huge, huge variation in how quickly it can grow. I got to watch it. Those speakers can bite back. And here again is Paul and with some of his Johns. Now this is not unusual. And elderberry will grow anywhere from six to 12 feet tall in one year on a primal cane. Now in the wild, they get kind of gangly. I've seen them 14, 16 feet tall and they're sort of broken. They got these long branches going down all over the place. What we have found is that with a primal cane, elderberry, the berries tend to be a little bit bigger. Primal cane being that started from nothing at the beginning of spring. And then whatever grows that first year. And that's basically what you take cuttings from as well is whatever grows in that year. The berries are a little larger and they tend to ripen a little more evenly, which is crucial. In the wild, elderberry likes to have uneven ripening because this is a beneficial for survival, but it's not helpful for our labor management. So we want that. And I'll tell you, I was having to actually bend the plants down to harvest. It is hand harvested. And this gives you a couple shots of Paul's Field. This is just natural grass that came up. This is, these pictures are from one year after we put the ground in that picture with my son in the planter, the water wheel. And so this is kind of how I was looking up that first year. And this last picture is from earlier this year. It's about May. I can see some flowers are starting to come out. And this white clover just came in by itself. Now, the one problem we had is we lost some labor. I primarily show up for things like cuttings and harvest and stuff. And we had some other folks. And the plants grew too fast and started to bend over. So it became really like a jungle this year for the harvest. And towards the end of the year, we couldn't get the lawnmower through there. And that affects things like SWD. We don't spray on the farm. We have more of those little flies at the bottom two feet. And if we see a lot of flies and everything, then we just don't take that. We just cut it. And we don't have enough labor to clean up. We just drop it. For elderberry production, the flies are not such a big problem if we're making juice with it because they have a yeast on it that actually helps with the flavor. But you do get less juice. And the key is, the way we do this is that when we harvest, we de-stem and sanitize and freeze the berries the same day. And the freezing stops any of the growth. And then we use a cold press, bladder press. So, you know, all the skins and seeds and whatever's else there doesn't get into the juice. So we do get a good clean product and it's not as critical for that as it would be for someone doing a u-pick berry. I mean, when you take home raspberries and you see the little worms in there, it takes a different kind of stomach than the typical consumer with an urban background. So, this is another picture of ripening elderberry from this year. And now, I need to get out of here. Oh, thank you. I wanna get to the marketing side. And again, this is all online. I wanna go through it. But one of the advantages that elderberry has is its health benefits and the fact that it has a high amount of antioxidants about three times what a raspberry or a blueberry has more than cranberry. Aronia has slightly more. They're very similar in their profiles. They have these dark anthocyanins, flavanols, quercetin and rootin, which are anti-inflammatories. And overall, the elderberry has been treasured for hundreds and hundreds of years for medicinal or health benefits, both in Europe and in Native American cultures. And it is the sweetest of the super fruits. It has a bricks of about eight to 10, about half of what a grape has.  It's not really a bitter berry, not like a tart cherry or aronia or cranberry or Golgi or any of those others. And so that makes it a really good mixer. It's a berry, street berry flavor. And in this country, we process it different and then they do in Europe and I'll get into that. So basically, this is where we're looking at the commercial opportunities. Is it feasible? We wanted to know if it was feasible to grow and produce elderberry in Minnesota based on what they were doing in Missouri was it possible up here? And so we did have cooperative development services that are study.  I mean, I am still getting questions from my wife. Are we ever gonna make money with this? And I said, well, I'm still growing the business right now. And then so this is my company and I market Terry's products outside of Missouri. And then of course I had his information and his experience. And so the basic questions that I get a lot from farmers is okay, will I be able to sell my crop? How many acres? I mean, there's a lot of farmers that are interested in growing elderberry. Maybe I'm too late on this. Do we need more? And what role does the cooperative play? And then is there enough money involved to support a network of state-grower cooperatives? In other words, an ocean spray of elderberry, so to speak.  The plant will live 20, 30 years, they think. I mean, I have a 60-page paper online and you can download PDF, it's all free. That's the most advanced horticultural studies on elderberry to date. So the idea is if this is a long-term commitment, is there going to be a long-term market? Is there a future to elderberry as an industry? So I was attracted to this and felt pretty confident because elderberry is huge business in Europe. It's bigger than blueberries are here. It's huge. And so in over 95% of the elderberry consumed in this country is imported. So this is called opportunity. You know, just even if we can't compete evenly, we can take 20 or 30% of that market, right? And I think we can do a lot better. So this is the co-op development services. It's very hard. The information on elderberry is limited because it is not a major crop. But they estimated about 30,000 acres of cultivated elderberry in Europe. Over 107,000 tons harvested. And 95% of the production is in those countries. And the price is pretty low. Now part of the reason is that in Europe, they harvest the berries and freeze them on the sign. That is on the stem and they don't wash or anything. Then they process them like they would grapes. And so they're doing concentrates, which are heated up to three days, extracts, freeze-ride powders, things of that sort. And elderflowers are a huge business in Europe as well. Now we haven't really done very much with flowers in this country. I did sell flowers to a distillery in St. Paul, 11 Wells. They made a liqueur from it this year. We processed the flowers with beard combs by hand. We've got to come up with a better way to do that so that we can do higher volumes. So in 2015, we estimated maybe 600 acres in production in the United States. And concentrated in the Midwest. And basically, I did a comparison and tried to see if we could get some kind of approximation of what size of market and how many acres could we support of elderberry production in the United States. And it's pretty fair to use Europe in comparing with the U.S. as far as population and state of economy and things like that. So that's what I did. And so how large is our potential market? And I just, since we don't have a huge number of products, I used the leading one that exists, which is Terry's River Hills Harvest elderberry juice. And that's basically something that is recommended for people to consume a tablespoon a day. We're not talking about guzzle and this stuff. Okay. And so I said, okay, so if we use this one product substitute for, you know, there's going to be a lot of different products using elderberry. I mean, I've got breweries that want to make beer with it. I've got wineries that want to do wine with it. I've got a, we're shipping a couple hundred pounds to a specialty jelly and jam lady up in Duluth who's going to do some stuff. So, but you use one to sort of do a market projection to try to get a reasonable size. And so, and I'm saying we don't need it one percent or less. I remind myself as people go by and when I'm standing in high V and they don't want to try my elderberry juice or jelly, although when I turn my back, the jelly disappears very quickly. So, but anyway, for this and then there's about, actually there's 22, but I just round it down because 20 servings, then we get the number of cases and you go look at the numbers. And I came up with this magic figure of 22,500 acres. And that's basically what I need to get in production so I can retire. My father retired at 89. So I still have a few years to go. But you know, we here in this country, the key is that we de-stem and sanitize the berries before we freeze them. So typically what I do is what most American growers do, we harvest the berries until lunch, have a nice lunch and then we de-stem and sanitize in the afternoon and we freeze them that night. At the end of the night, they're all frozen and we freeze them in four-gallon food-grade buckets that's 25 pounds. Sanitation is done in a water solution with a little bit of bleach or peroxide, one of the different peroxides substitutes. And what's nice is that the unripe berries tend to float. We skim those off. They're sold as seconds more for winery or mass production and we have the higher quality goes to consumer. So anyway, so this is a kind of other estimation, intermediate timeframe, 10 to 20 years for this to develop. In other words, I'm not trying to go from 600 acres to 20,000 in three years. We want to do it right. We want to be sure the quality's there, the market's there and their stability. So now I just got a grant approved last fall to work with Frontier Co-op. They import 80,000 pounds of dried elderberries from Bulgaria every year. And they have an interest in replacing at least some of that with Midwest grown elderberries. The problem is that certified organic European elderberries means wild collected by a part-time, semi-employed people who go out when the elderberries ripe in Bulgaria and pick it. Certified organic farming in this country is going to be by folks like you who put out a lot of time and money into creating a certified organic field and harvest. And so can we come up with a way that this was going to make financial sense? We expect we can get some premium on price, just as we heard about ginger previously and turmeric, but we don't know how much at this point. And Frontier's not the only one. There's a buyer in Colorado who wanted to buy one to two thousand pounds a month for me. So we're not in place yet. This fall I got about two dozen emails from Asian buyers, from Korea, Japan, China, wanting to buy elderberries. I'm not getting into export right now, but they're looking into things like these concentrated powders because it's a nutraceutical import, as well as a food grade dye. They used to do all of the stamping of the meat with elderberries in this country, and they use it in other countries as well.  In other words, I'm a great believer in Murphy. If you plan for him, he may not show up. If you don't plan for him, he does show up for sure. And so you need to have things with multiple options. And always, in working with the growers, we emphasize, start slow. Take a huge risk, see if you want to do this. And also encourage them always to look for local markets because we get four to five dollars a pound selling frozen elderberries directly to the consumer. Whereas a winery is going to want two to three. And that's kind of the way it is. And if you're selling directly and it's just the reality of the food business, there's a lot of distribution channels out there. One of the challenges I had is that when I went to co-op partners, they were too busy at the time, they weren't interested in my product. Some people did want it, others didn't. It's a co-op, they all had to agree. And so it didn't happen. So I found a distributor, a family-owned business, and the people that do business with them were happy, which happened to be the food co-ops. But Luns, Firely's, Kowalski's weren't so happy. And Hivee has their own system. They'll do some direct to the store, but it's a hassle. It's very hard on those managers to try to keep track of individual farms. So distribution and redundancy is important. And so I have a handful of small distributors. I've got one in Madison, one in the Twin Cities. I've got a mail order business out of Milwaukee. I have Lomar distributing now for Hivee, but it took me a year to get there. So I'm with KHE distributors. It's a national company. So I just hired a broker with 10 salespeople in the Southwest, California through Colorado. I sent them samples, half of them broke because of the freezing weather. And the post office didn't have heated trucks. But I'm already in 17 new stores. Okay, from this. So the potential is there. The business is there. It can grow. The advantage of grower cooperatives outside of, say, this larger market is, I think it helps to coordinate the research, also helps to support local food businesses more, and can provide options for growers from whom elderberry is not their primary crop. You don't have to worry about marketing it. The cooperative will do that and aggregate your purchase with others so that when we're dealing with a bigger, like, say, if General Mills ever wanted to put elderberry colors in the kicks, you have to have quite a bit on hand to do that. You're not going to be able to support that off of one farm. So that's one of the functions that a cooperative can do. I also recently have been meeting with four or five different departments at the University of Minnesota, and they are really looking at doing a lot more work with elderberry now and research both in the riparian buffers, getting back into the germ plasm. I mean, the genetic, the size of the elderberry genome is about five times that of the human genome. It's five times bigger. But from that, there should be ways to help all of these different things to find natural breeding methods. We can have elderberry that is stronger in the cane for use as windbreaks. We can have those more extensive or rapid root systems for erosion control. There might be a difference as far as some that have better flowers or characteristics that are there. I don't know how I'm doing for time and I'm very happy to take questions. Okay, so the question is with primal canes providing slightly bigger and more fruit and more even ripening, and then maybe less total pounds per plant, just as a note. But it is much easier to harvest. Why don't we cut everything back? Well, in the beginning in Minnesota, we weren't sure their length of harvest year would facilitate that. In fact, we had people growing and saying, I cut it back. It didn't come up. Well, and then my first thought was, well, maybe the roots need to get more established before you do that. Two or three years, and it is a perennial after all. It suckers. And basically, whenever we use cuttings to do it, and whenever the suckers are starting to send up shoots, I always cut off the original cutting right away and put the energy into the new roots. But not all varieties like that, elderberry are determinant and indeterminate like tomatoes. From our own experience, Johns does not like to be trimmed or pruned heavily. Bob Gordon, Wildwood, Adams do great. This year, the growing season was so long that we stuck some cuttings in, in Paul's wonderful soil. And we're too busy to do anything with it, and we harvested berries off of that this year. Buties. The point, it was a long comment, but it was basically the fact that as a perennial, it lends itself to permaculture, planting, agroforestry, and there are many different strategies in there where elderberry can play a role, and multi-tiered and under-tiered, yes. And that's one of the beauties of the plant.


Thanks for checking this video out. Your mountaintop news video is coming up in just a minute.  Why is it your ad here? Call me. Pikeville Pride and the Big Sandy chapter of Kentuckians for the Commonwealth will be hosting the Bigger than Row Women's Rally on Sunday, January 22nd. There's power in numbers and a lot of people don't seem to realize that. So even though this is a rural community, there are a lot of people who feel this way and are very passionate about it. And it's just getting these people together to share their experiences. The rally is a way to encourage women to harness their political power. There are currently three guest speakers slated to attend. Even though we had the ballot initiative that was on the midterm election that was defeated, which dealt with reproductive rots, the theme this year is bigger than row. So it's really just getting women together and letting them know that they can harness their political power and there's a movement still. The rally will take place on Sunday, January 22nd at 2pm at the old courthouse in downtown Pikeville. For more information, you can visit the Pikeville Pride Facebook page. For Mountaintop News, I'm Kelsey Deem.


Well, hello and welcome to the vlog. It is evening time. It's like 5, 20 something. I don't know. My uncle is here. He is downstairs and changing the oil in my car because I have needed an oil change since February. It's the whole thing, guys. I haven't really driven much since February, but he was in the area today and I had sent him a text over the weekend and just like, hey, next time you're in the area if you want, because he is a mechanic by trade and he's been a little slower, I think, right now, but I was like, hey, if you're in the area, I need an oil change. So let me know if you want me to write you a check and come over. Anyway, he is in the garage currently doing that. This will be nice to have that done. I did have several oil changes scheduled, but that was the like two weeks where I had the flu really bad and I just kept having to postpone and postpone and postpone and then the whole coronavirus took over and I was like, I'm just not coming. So anyways, yeah, I ended up working out fine because he's downstairs and he'll get it done. He'll get the job done for me just fine. So I am good. Doyle is down there, living his best little baby life and I have a Zoom call later on today. I don't think I'm gonna show you that. It's kind of like a work thing, but I do have a call at six o'clock and so that's gonna be fairly soon here. So yeah, I think I'm gonna go downstairs and like figure out something for eating, I think. I don't know. Hold on, I'll be right back. Okay, now I'm going downstairs. Had to do something real quick, you know? So anyways, let's go downstairs. Let's see what my uncle's up to. Oh, just heard the garage door or not the garage door, my car door. How's it going out here? All done. Nice, good timing. Well, it's already set. Okay, that was super quick. He is all done. So that's awesome and I need to hop on my call in just a little bit here. Doyle is doing weird stuff. So I'm gonna take him outside again even though like we were legit just outside. Maybe less than an hour ago and he still hasn't drank anything. Anyway, he's got like the bladder the size of a walnut, I swear. That one right here, that guy. Anyway, so yeah, I'm gonna go do that and I will just check in when things get more interesting and I'll probably eat after my call because now there's not really enough time. So anyway, I'll see you guys in a few. So while I wait for my little call here, I figured I would show you guys a little haul that I got today. I placed an order on Etsy from Lulu's Daisies and Co. This is fast becoming one of my favorite shops. I really, really like her script as well as her little icons. They're just like singing to my little heart and she does have like neutral ones as well as colorful ones. So this is a little freebie that I got. I did not order this one. So this kind of shows what her neutral stuff looks like. So it's just like a black and white scale and then I've got these. I already took one of these out for today as the video chat. I've got this one says social distancing. We've got to clean out the pantry. Could have used this last weekend, but which is totally fine. I'm still going to be cleaning out the pantry and reorganizing and all of that stuff. And then I've got conference call, which I should have used today, but I use something different. This says sanitize everything. And then, oh my goodness, I can't do this one handed. This says disinfect the house, social distance. And this is like a little phone with little messaging bubbles. We have a video chat with like little hearts. Stay home, virtual meeting, order groceries, and then these, I always get five of them. Okay, so I got five.  And so I want five of the same color and they're not all the same color. It's not like this row is the same color. You know what I mean? Like they're all a little bit different. So every time I order these, I always get five. I think I've ordered like one set of five already, and this was another one. So I just thought, well, I'm placing an order. I might as well. So this is all the stuff I got from Lulu's daisies and co. And then I will link their Etsy shop down below. So I actually found this shop just by doing a little bit of Etsy digging and love, love their script. Like her script is so nice. I just love it. And I like how it has like little icons next to the script. So like you can just literally plop it in to your planner and you don't really have to do anything. And it's like you did something decorative and you did something functional. And I don't know, to me, I just sings to my little heart, you know, I just love it. But anyway, I'm gonna get a little bit of work done while I am waiting for my call to start and then I will talk to you guys a little bit. Bye. All right, so I'm done with my call and I am currently watching Erin Condren and my pal Nina. They're just, they're chatting, they're chatting. But anyway, yeah, so that is what's going on here. I'm going to take my phone and go downstairs, have a little bit of something to eat. And during the call, I was like, oh, they're like, hey, how are you doing? Because we like, there was a big call, like we all did a big check-in. And they're like, how are you doing? I'm like, I'm good. I'm single. Like, because not everyone knew me well. So anyways, I was like, yeah, I did a little check-in. And I'm like, yeah, I live alone and all this stuff. I said, but I have a dog. And I went like this with my phone. I'm like, and he wasn't there. And I'm like, well, I had a dog. He's probably downstairs eating because it's dinner time. But he's back. He's back. But anyway, I'm going to watch the rest of this and eat a little bit of something. And then I'll check in with you guys when things get more interesting. Bye. All right, so it is time for good night. I wanted to actually bring you guys in the bathroom and show you my new shelf that I got. So let me turn you around. All right, so this is the shelf that I got that worked. And if you guys remember the other one I got, I bought two at the same time, did not come with these adhesive things that you need to install the damn shelf. So I got this one and it actually comes with like adhesive glue. And the way that you can take it off later on, if you'd like, is you just take like a hairdryer on the heated setting and it'll pop right off. So anyway, you can see like a little extra glue right here. You have to kind of put it on here. And it came with these like strips, these like tape strips that are still on there. So you have to leave it on for 48 hours before you put any weight on it. Like you can still shower, but you have to wait to put any weight on there. So it's been about 48 hours. So we should be good. But I'm going to leave it overnight. And then I will put some weight on it tomorrow when I take a shower or after I take a shower or whatever. Again, still bottles of stuff everywhere, but that's okay. That's the bathroom update for the moment here. I'll go back so you can see it. And then the reason I did it like the spacing is that, hold on, my bottles then will all fit. You know what I mean? Like that's what I want. I want them all to fit. And then smaller things are going to go like shorter things. I guess they're going to go in the bottom one because this, well, I guess it could fit. I don't know.  I'd rather it be open. So you can just kind of push down on the pump. That's the whole odd deer.  So yeah, that is the current shower update. I really like the way that this worked out.  Like they're always too small. They're not long enough or I don't know. I just don't like them. So yeah, and they always like clank. I feel like, I don't know. And then this is like a, I don't know, just like a fiberglass, whatever, surround, just some whatever builder's grade thing that they put in when they built this house, which is fine. But I don't know. I just never liked it. And I think this stuff is going to be so much, so much better. So anyway, just wanted to give you guys a little update on that. So I'm going to take this off, put it back where it belongs. And um, yeah, so that's the shower update. I feel like you guys are getting like a ton of like home updates because that's all I've been doing lately. So oh well. But I'm gonna take my Tums, which is the up and up brand, up and up, yeah, up and up brand Tums because your girl's cheap and they work just fine.  Doyle is doing something. I don't know where he is. Oh, there he is. Oh, he's got two bones on the floor tonight.  Anyways. But um, yeah, this is gonna be it for today. I hope you guys had a wonderful day. Thanks so much for hanging out with me. Feel free to thumbs up, subscribe, do all those things those YouTubers tell you to do. And I'll be back tomorrow with some more thrilling content. Doyle and I will see you then. Bye guys.


You will see there's names that you could do very, very well. For example, Tesla. All you need is Tesla. Tesla confirms this $15, $20 worth of options. Welcome to Access a Trader, the number one community for those who are committed to taking control of their trading in order to achieve success, profitability, and longevity. Thank you for joining us. Here's Dan Shapiro to help you find your edge, master your process, and own your future. Hey guys, happy Monday everybody. Welcome to another edition of the Access a Trader.com nightly wrap up show. Hope everybody is doing okay. So quite a rally today. Over the weekend, big, well, big stimulus, stimulant came in, came out. Question was, how is the market going to respond? Futures open up. Sunday night, futures cash market opened up. Futures are up about 200 points or so. And the question was, what was going to happen next? If you look at all the data for the last several weeks, you know, well, you know, information is all out there for everybody to kind of understand. You had the whole weekend to kind of digest of what your game plan was going to be like coming Monday. And initially, of course, I was still sell bias going into the weekend, especially after Friday's really exceptional day, a lot of very aggressive polls. But once you have stimulant on the table and you have concrete news that, hey, the government is coming out. They're going to help everybody out. The money is on the table. Now the question was, how is the market going to respond? How is the market going to kind of embrace the news that a lot of people are going to get helped out? And the most amazing part was the same game plan that I had on Thursday going to Friday's session was exactly the same game plan I had, you know, from Friday's session coming in today. I wanted to see the bulls prove me wrong. And the one thing that I keep on reiterating over and over again. And I said this numerous times over the weekend. As long as you know your levels, right? You know where the sell bias is going to come in when more sellers are going to come in. And if you know where the more buyers are going to come in, that's when you're safe. When you are stuck and painted into your bias, nothing could ever happens.  You're hoping a night's going to come, a shining arm isn't coming and help you out, it doesn't work that way. And what we saw today was a perfect case of two things happen. Number one, the market really embraced the stimulus news. That was one, number two, we talked about on the video, the futures markets dictated higher prices this morning. And they started confirming the two levels we talked about on the weekend video, that 319 level. It was the double cross between the five day moving average and the 50 day, which was very, very important. We highlighted the bottom of this channel here over the weekend as well. 311 to the downside, 319 to the upside. So there wasn't any surprise. There shouldn't have been, especially if you did your homework over this weekend and did a macro, just a macro back test of the Russell, the S&P, the Q's and the S&P 500. You were prepared for today's trading session. Maybe if you came in with an inventory, a whole different story, but the point is, like for me, for example, I come in flat, majority of the times, it's very, very easy for me to switch bias only when technicals turn around. And the one thing that I will say about today's session is very, very impressive. Number one, I kinda wanna show you guys, this is from this morning, okay? These are the levels we put on.  And we kind of played the market out on that point of view. What I didn't like about today's session and when you go through your homework today, you'll kinda see it. With a 600-point rally in the Dow and a 300, almost 400-point rally in the NASDAQ, the NDX, you would've thought there was gonna be a lot of big value today. And the one thing that we did to see, although there was some things, and again, I traded some of the video to the downside that confirmed, I traded a couple of smaller cap names, but if you look at today's action, this was one big dead cap balance, okay? It was literally a dead cap balance, reclaiming the 50-day moving average on the Qs. And if you look at a lot of stocks, they were really in middle of the channel so much of the day. And if you kinda look at where we are right now, you'll see why, right? And this is kinda exactly where we came back from the last several times it rallied and got rejected. If you can see here, it rallied here and then got rejected, rallied here, got rejected, and it rallied back to this level. So on the surface, when you look at today's closing, you turn around and say, wow, this is great, right? The bulls reclaimed, the 50-day moving average, all is good in the world, right? Death to the bears, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, right? Unfortunately, when you look at charts tonight, you're gonna see a little bit different picture. You're gonna see a lot of names that are still stuck in channels. Although there's some names that look really good for tomorrow, like a lamb research is very, very close to really busting out. Even Tesla, okay? I don't think Tesla's out of the woods by no stretch of the imagination, but had a pretty good run today. It reclaimed the five-day moving average, and if it starts confirming taste price action, maybe we could get a move tomorrow of a 735, 740. Is it gonna be a move back to the all-time highs? No, but you have to have baby steps when you're trading micro channels in a very, very big macro market. And we did see today some 750 weekly, some 810 weeklies. So there's definitely buyers, and obviously the stock closed at the highs. After the close, NEO came out with earnings. Nothing great, nothing even close to what you would expect. Wider than expected loss. Tesla's actually holding up here fairly well after the close, pretty much to the closing price. Is this gonna take effect into Tesla and Tesla tomorrow? Probably not. So I do like Tesla tomorrow. The only way I would obviously start buying this thing if it starts confirming this channel here, and if it does and it starts stretching, you can get a move to 735. So you have the lamb researchers tomorrow. You have the Tesla's for tomorrow, even Netflix. And again, maybe Netflix is maybe a day or two away, but at least you can see the channel developing here. But again, when you look at a lot of other names and you expect, well, tomorrow, if they confirm they're gonna go, not necessarily. If you look at Facebook, it's going right into supply.  When you look at Apple as well, right? You have this move here. And again, yeah, maybe a smaller move coming up. Can it confirm and trade right back to supply? It could, but you're not getting that big potential, macro potential move that we're looking for on reversal. I think the best case scenario for the bulls tomorrow, and we wanna talk from the bullish case, the best case scenario for the bulls is number one, they have a digestion day. And sometimes distribution, don't confuse distribution from digestion. Distribution is what we saw two weeks ago that the bulls and the bears are fighting over control. You know, digestion day is, you know, we just really engulfed the last two days of selling. So if we can not give up those gains, not give up these really, really aggressive gains that we saw tomorrow, maybe you won't have this majestic follow through tomorrow, but maybe if you, you know, if we are really diligent about every individual setup, despite the indexes resting, and again, tomorrow will be a perfect, perfect res day. If they could just do their job tomorrow and just reclaim 325 on a close, you're not gonna probably see it in a really aggressive measure potential type of day, but baby steps, because then we have to start working from 25 to 28 for the stocks to really stretch and really get loose. The NASDAQ 100, the QQQ is gonna have to really reclaim 328 and then you have this really, really big measured potential trade on the table. Until that happens, will it shock me if we gap up tomorrow and get stuffed into supply? No, it shouldn't shock anybody because supply is right over here. It's looking at us right in the face. So tomorrow, be a little more diligent. It's gonna be very stock specific. A lot of you guys are gonna run into a lot of names that you're gonna start moving up in the morning. They look really good. And then you're gonna say this, well, what happened? Why did the stock fail? Yeah, I mean, they're trade, a lot of them are gonna trade into supply. So be very, very careful of the names that you do choose for tomorrow. So today, it wasn't one of these great, magnificent days. Again, if you are keeping score of your own performance based on the indexes, you're gonna be very, very disappointed because I know a lot of people, especially new traders, they see the market of four, five, six, 700 points. They lose their mind. They start chasing prices into really, really bad levels and they don't realize that the scoreboard is really creating tremendous amount of FOMO and when they look at their performance for the day, they're gonna turn around and say, wow, why the hell did I not make money today? The market was up 700 points. Why did my stocks fail? Again, technical analysis, stock's going into supply and there's a difference between you buying a channel. For example, like, not to beat a dead horse, but when you look, for example, like at LRCX, at least you can see here, right? It starts confirming this channel here. You have 15, 20 points of upside versus like a square, right? Just versus like a square, for example. If it starts confirming this channel here, maybe you have a dollar and a half, $2. So not every single stock is going to be created. The same tomorrow, not every single channel is going to be meant for expansion tomorrow. I think if you do your diligence today and really get ready for tomorrow's trading day, you will see there's names that you could do very, very well. For example, Tesla, all you need is Tesla. Tesla confirms this $15, $20 worth of upside tomorrow. Obviously that is my focal point. If it doesn't confirm and starts trading back into the channel, well, yes, we're probably going to be looking at a very, very quote unquote choppy day because again, we had such a huge run today. There's a lot of channels that are still very, very condensed, right? They're still very aggressively tight and those channels need to be confirmed. Maybe that happens tomorrow. Maybe it happens two days from now, but the last thing you want to do going into tomorrow's session is gung-ho blazing saying, bears never learn. Let's buy everything at any price. That's when you get really caught.  How come my stock fail? I'm telling you, it's going to fail because most of these stocks are very, very close into supply and they're going to mirror the QQQ. So be very, very, be very aware of these levels here. This whole level here needs to confirm and the QQs really have to close baby steps over 25 just to get going. So be very wary of choosing your stocks to trade for tomorrow's session. Like I said, today's session just wasn't one of those gang bust sessions. There wasn't 600 pivots that everything went nuts but the ones that did go did okay. The one thing guys, I apologize for all you guys who are on the Twitter feed, our first pivot of the day, I forgot to put on the pivot feed, it was NVIDIA, okay? It was NVIDIA, NVIDIA was very, very weak this morning. I was waiting for a flush on a lot of things. So here's the NVIDIA pivot again, I apologize for all you guys. I did not put it into the Twitter feed but here's my first trade of the day here. It started breaking down below this 540 level. Really fast movement to the 542s before obviously recovering. It wasn't supposed to be one of these stocks that completely collapsed because the market was up 5,600 points but the point is a little bit of cash flow is fine. There's nothing absolutely wrong with that as well. Again, here's the levels for all you guys who traded the ETFs on the macro side, really, really nice move off the 319, 320 level on the Qs, OCGI never got the 12, Netflix obviously never got down to the 535 level for a flush, IBM never got to the 118 level for a flush, CRM nice little move down for all you guys who did take it, not a big move down but the ones that were weak continued to stay weak. So here's the 316 breakdown, only one down a dollar into the lower linear regression line. So nice little move there but nothing again, nothing really big because the market is very, very strong. Tesla initially I was watching to the downside today obviously got nowhere close to the downside, reverse course now I'm watching it back to the upside. And again, this was my message, not only on the weekend video but this morning as well I'm morning strategy on the Twitter feed, stay patient this morning, I'm gonna give it every opportunity for the bulls to kinda give up, we'll re-evaluate after the first two candles of the day. It's not a race, I'll start putting these pivots as we go along and the market definitely reverse. Remember, you don't need to be right. Okay, you don't need to be right, you don't need to be popular, you have to be fiscally responsible and embrace what the market is telling you and not what you think is going to happen. If I sat there every single day anticipating trades, you get murdered, you get absolutely destroyed and it's the fastest way to completely exit yourself prematurely out of this business very, very quickly. So Boeing was definitely the biggest move of the day, 221 needs to build, here was Boeing, right? So here is that 221 candle, it took out 221, excuse me, it took out this 221 candle and went all the way up to 227. Here's a 60 minute view, right? It took out this whole 221 level and went all the way to 227, congratulations for you guys who caught that as well. Airbnb obviously got nowhere near the 92 level, Facebook got nowhere near the 254 level to the downside, Boeing again, take on the way up. And there was a small trade here, nothing big, AMC has been rejected several times on the 920 supply needs to reclaim. Ironically $15 call buyers came in, God knows why. Again, not a big move on AMC, ran up about 30 cents, here's the 920 level, nice move into supply again, nothing to even talk about there. Luminant ever got to 13 and as again, as I joked around, I go, listen, take along the way up, I go, this isn't Apple, this is AMC, so that's it, I mean, that's it. So I think a lot of times when you get a reversal day, people start getting really, really, very happy feet, right? Very happy feet, very ego driven, ha ha, bears never learn, and then they realize that bears do learn, and that's the whole point, when you are trading a market, whether it's good, bad, or indifferent, there is viable, there's a viable degree of a goal line for both bulls and bears. And if you are one way biased and if you believe that it's only one way to make money, you can be very, very saddened to find out when the tide does turn, whether you're a bull or a bear, you better find a way to put stakes in the freezer, because you're gonna be very, very disappointed if you are only one way biased. Guys, have a great day everybody, let's see what happens tomorrow, right? Let's see what happens, I got some shorts that I like, I have some longs that I like. Again, I'm not expecting a huge, huge deal, but again, you never know what this glorious market could give you. All right everybody, God bless, happy Monday and I'll see you guys tomorrow.