There's so many guidelines to follow for selecting Indigenous text. I think, however, one of the most important things is keeping it very authentic, so thinking about your authors as being Indigenous or the illustrators as being Indigenous and ensuring that the book is written with Indigenous people and not about Indigenous people. The other thing you want to make sure about is appropriating, right? How is it showing Indigenous people? Is it through a historic lens or a contemporary? So always making sure that the pictures are right for the content. Yeah, you want to make sure that it's not perpetuating stereotypes. So one is to look at the characters, what they're wearing. You want to think about dates, when was it written. You want to make sure that it's authentic, that it was written with an Indigenous person not about Indigenous people. I think teachers really need to consider their text that they're using in their classroom, looking at authorship, looking at who's writing the text, especially when you're looking at First Nations' Métis Inuit literature, trying to really make purposeful choices around authenticity. So if people are in doubt, maybe opening the jacket flaps, when an author identifies his or her home territory, settlement, Métis settlement, are they from the North? Are they from a First Nation? Are they from a Métis settlement or community across Canada? Really, most Indigenous peoples will always identify themselves and the land that they're from, where they hail from. And so that's an inherent way with one another, how we identify one another. So when we do introductions, we always say who we are, where we come from. And usually when we say where we come from, it tells us who our parents are and tells us who our grandparents are. So it's a great way to kind of research, just simply by opening up the flap of a book and checking to see that relationship. Another way of course is to check your illustrator. And of course we know that with Indigenous literature in Canada and the U.S. or Turtle Island, as we call it, we see a lot of relationship taking place between non-Indigenous authors or non-Indigenous illustrators and Indigenous authors. And that's beautiful, that's part of reconciliation. But ensuring that there's a mutually respectful relationship and that author or illustrator has those permissions to kind of navigate certain stories, so really following protocol, making sure that protocol is honoured. Other pieces that they might consider when they're selecting Indigenous texts are how old are the texts? Have they been in the library for 50 years? When were they published? Are they 20 years or older? Considering do they portray assumptions, stereotypes, bias, myth? Is it the old Hollywood kind of Cowboys and Indians theme? Do you see children in stereotypical garments and loincloths and one feather kind of like the Disney misrepresentation? So really considering are they telling the everyday story? Are they telling the everyday lived reality of going to the grocery store or riding in your minivan or making your way to hockey? So there's a time and a place for creation stories, myths, legends, absolutely when the snow falls and when certain people are gifted to share those stories. But when we're picking Indigenous literature for our classrooms as educators, as teacher practitioners, really trying to represent our children in diverse ways. Just as we see multicultural children presented in respectful ways in the classroom, we're trying to ensure that Indigenous youth have those same opportunities and with that lens all children will be able to see Indigenous children living in a positive good way. I think it's important to pick text from all around Turtle Mountain and really telling Indigenous stories, parallel Indigenous stories, universal Indigenous stories, common themes because really they have such a thread weaving through all of the stories and when children can kind of draw out those commonalities and see those parallels it's telling a very similar story throughout Turtle Island. I think if you're a teacher and you want to bring Indigenous literature into your classroom, first of all I say a huge must-see show. Here's the great news about 2017. It is now physically impossible to read everything that's ever been published in the realm of Indigenous literature. So here's where I come in.  Get in touch with me. I will put out my feelers because I read Indigenous literature all the time. I will help you find the Indigenous writer for you and your students and your classrooms. Never be afraid to actually just reach out. Every author's dream is to know that their work is being taught in classrooms. Get in touch with them. Or get in touch with me. I'll put you in touch with them. Pull me to work.


In this module we're going to explore the concept of leaders intent, the use of sand table exercises and after action reviews or AARs. Hopefully this module will help clarify the connection between command and operations. How often have you heard someone ask, does anybody really know what we're doing here? What's the big picture? The leadership development program addresses this in the leadership training curriculum by talking about the importance of understanding and communicating leaders intent. This summer, however, we talked to many of you in the field and there seems to be some confusion regarding these issues. We heard questions like, how does leaders intent play into the establishment of objective strategies and tactics? Does leaders intent change as we move up and down the chain of command? Who's responsible for leaders intent and what needs to be shared with subordinates? We were even asked how leaders intent differs from commanders intent. To help us clarify these issues, we talked to Mark Smith. Mark is a retired military senior non-commissioned officer for special operations and currently works for mission-centered solutions as an instructor for the Fireline Leadership Training Course. Let's hear his explanation of leaders intent. So concerning the confusion between commanders intent, leaders intent, what do they mean? I think, first of all, the bottom line, they're exactly the same thing. We're talking about intent and what is intent? It's providing somebody the task, purpose, and end state of what it is we're doing. And so from that perspective, if you're my boss, I can give you my intent in that same way. It's still leaders intent. I'm a leader just because you're my boss. How did we get commanders intent and leaders intent? Before we even had the words intent in the wildland fire lexicon, we were bringing ideas and things over from environments that seemed like they knew what they were doing or they were effective. And so these terms kind of came into wildland fire in different ways at the same time in multiple places. And of course, we picked the one we like and hence the confusion, the air chain on which one to use. But in reality, in the military context, there's no difference. So in the military, every leader is kind of a commander at their own level type of deal. And essentially, it is meant to reflect that you are providing not just the what to do, but the why you're doing it and how it fits into the overall big picture of the operation. The purpose of leaders intent is to, in the larger context, it's to unleash and empower a term called concentric initiative. Meaning this kind of an environment like wildland fire, like other high risk environments, is very subject to the laws of nature and unleashing of great amounts of chaos and energy and so on, which create conditions that Carl von Klauswitz called the fog of war. You know, friction, danger, uncertainty, all these types of things. And it is the accepted historical reality that in that kind of an environment, you cannot have effective centralized command and control in the traditional sense. That's impossible to get anything done because the head is going to get cut off from the body. And so it is only if those people at the ground level understand how their efforts are supposed to fit into the larger picture that they can be effective because during that time of maximum chaos is when we need them to continue to function, not stop and turn on a radio and wait an hour until they can get a hold of ops or the IC to find out what to do next. We need them to keep doing what they need to do and they need to understand what it is we want them to do. So again, if we've given them an assignment of build line from drop point one to drop point four, and the whole world has changed on them now, they can't do that. If we haven't given them the intent, they're dead in the water until they can get new instructions. If you provide the task, the purpose of the task and the end state of how we want it to look when it's done, that you will empower your subordinates to act and will be far more effective at getting the job done. Well, when you look at leaders intent as it filters down through a chain of command, and I'll give you an example from our experience in special operations, doctrinally as we went through our mission planning process, we had to articulate what we thought our leaders intent was two levels above us. So our boss and our boss's boss, we had to restate what we thought their intent was and have that validated so that we could then properly form my leaders intent to provide down to my people. Now, I would interpret that differently because obviously at the strategic level, the leaders intent when you talk about end state, it's a very big picture, talking about what is the end state of this half a million acre unit that this fires on. Now, when I'm down with a crew level or smaller, my leaders intent is only going to be concerning my chunk of ground, but I'm going to make sure that my leaders intent is based on me understanding what is supposed to happen several levels above me so that my actions as they move from directed to delegated and highly independent that what I'm always doing is in sync with what that senior leader wants. What is anyone's responsibility to understand leaders intent in wildland fire? And let's start at the newest crew member, first year crew member. What does that mean? On the most effective crews, what you'll find is that that first year firefighter understands the leaders intent of their squad leader, how that fits into what the soup wants, and ultimately what the division assignment and what the end state on the division is. Because we see all the time little modules going off, things happening. One person can get an assignment to go move cubies of water or go get saw gas. If they understand that the division assignment is that a certain amount of line has to be ready by nightfall to conduct a burnout and they're faced with a decision back in camp because they're picking up gas from logistics and they meet a roadblock and they understand, well, I know that the big plan is that this has to be there so that this line can get tied in tonight before we start the burnout, then that's going to guide their decision making. It's going to guide how much risk they might be willing to take to try to get that job done. It's going to guide how hard they push the system. It's going to guide whether they let division C get the gas versus try to make an argument for our division to get it based on the intent. All those kinds of things can guide one person's decision making that just got sent to get 10 gallons of gas. You may not get leaders intent from your leader for a wide variety of reasons.  You are responsible for leaders intent, not your leader. I mean, that's the perfect world, but we all know the system breaks down. There's no way you should go start an assignment without an understanding of leaders intent. And if you don't understand leaders intent, you have an obligation to go get it, to attempt to restate it. So what I'm hearing is this, that you want us to do this and this is why and this is how it should all look at the end of the day. And if you can't get that, then you have an obligation to formulate your own leaders intent to your people as best you can that minimizes the risks that gets the job done as best as you understand. Is it the criteria for refusing an assignment? It could be. It depends on the risk. That's a judgment call. That's what leaders get paid to do. So as a leader, understanding leaders intent helps me determine how to use limited time, limited resources, limited energy, limited money, all those types of things to maximum effect. I can't do everything. So if I understand leaders intent correctly, then I know that the actions of my people and my actions are going to be consistent and delivering the biggest bang for the buck for what the leaders above me want to achieve. So part of how I would begin to develop leaders intent, say as a type one IC at that level, is the land management plan, the existing documents that are out there. To some extent, the mission of my agency would help frame and formulate my leaders intent, meeting with the agency administrator, understanding the needs of the local landowners and the constituents. All these things would frame my intent that I would communicate to my staff to help develop those incident objectives and prioritize those incident objectives. So that then, at every level of the organization below me, people can take those, interpret them, and then formulate their own guidance, go through exactly the same process for their little chunk of real estate and so on and so on. So that at the lowest level, that Firefighter 2's actions are going to be consistent with my intent. To see how this information plays out on a fire line, we're going to take you through a sand table exercise or STECS. Sand table exercises give people the opportunity to practice communicating leaders intent and their decision making process without the associated risks normally involved with the actual fire operations. But before we proceed, let's go back to Mark Smith and let him talk a little bit about the effectiveness of using sand tables. Well, use of the sand table as a tool, sand tables are fantastic tools because anything that helps recreate a three-dimensional environment is an effective tool for everybody to talk about because they can see where they are, where they're going to be. We not only use them, and when I say we, I mean in the military, we not only use them for after-action reviews to talk about what happened, but we use them as planning tools to talk about what's going to happen, to mentally rehearse and visualize what the plan is and how it's supposed to unfold and where everybody's at and who's supposed to go where first. Here's the main effort, here's the supporting effort and our objectives. You can actually visualize the objectives and what they mean in a three-dimensional form ahead of time, as well as then in the after-action review everybody's standing in that circle looking at the same piece of ground visualizing that and telling each other this is where we went, this is why we went there, this is what happened at this point in time. So then you can naturally go even farther back before planning to a training tool and that's why they're so effective as training because you can literally, you know, you know on your forest what units are likely to burn more than others or maybe what's going to happen that or if it's a prescribed burn and so you can train on that same ground that you're likely to go fight fire on. Sand tables are becoming a popular training tool for the wildland fire community and a number of pre-written exercises are available in the tactical decision games library on the leadership website. The following scenario, which focuses on communicating leaders intent was taken from that library. Your facilitator will either run you through the exercise on your own sand table or you'll complete the group exercises in your student workbook while watching this scenario kind of play out with a group of fellow firefighters.


Pig posture detection has become increasingly important for the welfare and productivity of captive pigs. Traditional methods are time-consuming and expensive, while deep learning techniques offer a more efficient and accurate solution. The review discusses the development of various data collection methods and subtasks, as well as the application of deep learning models in pig posture detection. Limitations of current methods in future directions for research are also discussed. This article was offered by Zhichin, Zhixin Liu, and Haiyan Wang.


Step by step guide to legally teaching English in Japan. Japan has been a popular destination for English teachers from all over the world for decades. Year after year, thousands of teachers come to Japan attracted by the country's fascinating culture and the lucrative salaries, as well as the government-funded jet program that places qualified teachers into public schools across the country. Teaching English in Japan is an exciting adventure and offers you the opportunity to experience a unique culture like a local. However it is important to be aware of the local job market and regulations before heading off on your adventure of teaching English in Japan. Step 1, understanding the visa situation. To legally work in Japan you need to obtain a work visa. The good news is that obtaining a work visa to teach English in Japan isn't as difficult as it is in some other countries in the region. In order to obtain a work visa you need to possess a degree in any subject, be fluent in the English language and have a strong desire and willingness to pass on your language knowledge to your students. Other requirements for the work visa application for teaching English in Japan at the time of writing, bachelor's or master's degree. Sealed college or university transcript. Original national level criminal background check. Passport photos. Original contract, to be provided by your employer for visa processing at Consulate. Professional passport that is valid for at least one year. Step 2, get your TEFL certification. A TEFL certification is not a requirement to obtain a work visa for teaching English in Japan as of now. However as Japan is such a popular teaching destination, the competition is fierce. That is why it is recommended that you complete a TEFL certification course before applying for jobs. A TEFL certificate will increase your chances of landing a great position at a renowned school, and get you a higher salary than teachers without certification. It will also give you the skills and knowledge, you need to lead a classroom confidently and efficiently. If you want to live and work in Japan as an English teacher, we recommend that you start your TEFL TESOL course at least one year before your desired start date. If you choose an in-class TEFL TESOL course, you will receive your certificate within around four weeks. On the other hand an online course can take anywhere between two and six months. This depends on how much time you have, and how quickly you work through the course units. Also keep in mind that while in-class courses were much preferred in the early days of EFL teaching, online TEFL courses are now just as valued. Step 3, do your homework and research. If you want to head to Japan to teach English abroad, do as much research about the local culture and job market as you can. Usually new teachers moving to Japan start out working at public schools through the government funded JET program. Later on, once they know the local work culture and have built a network, a lot of teachers branch out to work for private language academies or work directly for companies teaching English to employees. Private language academies generally operate in the late afternoon and evenings where children and adults attend to improve their language skills in their own time. Like both public and private schools, teachers earn between $2,000 and $3,000 per month depending on location position and current exchange rate. Step 4, be patient persistent and flexible. While a lot of teachers choose Tokyo as their new home base in Japan, there are a lot of other exciting cities and towns across the nation. It's also worth noting that the cost of living in Tokyo is among the highest in the country and even the world. Other popular locations for teachers are Kyoto Osaka or even the beautiful Vacation Island of Okinawa. The convenience of Japan's bullet train and express bus systems allows you to travel between cities very easily. Step 5, apply for jobs. Once you have your TEFL certificate in hand and understand the local job market, you are ready to start your job search. All enrolled ITTT students and alumni have access to our lifetime job assistance including our job boards. We have a large network of recruiters and schools in Asia with whom you can work with to find the job offer that suits your needs. We work with a range of renowned recruiters who specialize in the Japanese market, and we would love to connect you with them. Besides our own connections and the ITTT job board, you can also search for recruiters in Japan via an online search. These types of agencies are a great place to start because they know the local job market, and can set up interviews for you with suitable schools. Are you ready for your Japan adventure?


We are at the Fletcher Free Library for Ward 8 for the town meeting day in Burlington Here we have candidates Ali and Hannah posted outside and we're curious to see how voting goes So what brings you out here today? Yeah, so I'm my name is Ali. I'm a student here I'm also social worker in the community You know like we're out here fighting for like climate justice housing justice like mental health public safety racial justice all that stuff I've been down to testify at city council about a couple issues sort of in my social work capacity And yeah, I kind of just got involved to him all that way question five which removes like Stigmatizing language around sex work from our our city laws. I think that's important number five on the ballot and concerns about Decriminalizing pimping and brothel owning and sex buying in Burlington and what that means Sort of for all of Vermont for vulnerable people in Burlington And sort of the bait-and-switch that this was something that came about as an archaic and offensive language Change which we agree that the language is archaic And we also support decriminalizing those bought and sold in prostitution But holding pimps brothel owners and sex buyers accountable So hi everybody, my name is Saja Mughali and I am a writing candidate for Ward 8 for the Burlington School District First of all the first thing is in Burlington right now. There is no Burlington High School anymore The school is closed and shut down so every student in the Burlington High School has to go to the mall downtown to teach and study and That is a big problem right now because who wants to like study in a mall and so yeah Like the first thing probably We're gonna do is like support for new budget so we can reopen the school and build it and that's the most important thing of course I'm collecting petition signatures for two charter changes One is going to expand direct democracy in Burlington by expanding the right of petition to include changes to the city code of ordinance and the other is in support of creating an independent board that could Investigate and discipline police officers accused misconduct. It is your civic duty It is the way you participate in politics and do your thing and with proposition zero We're looking to expand that to make it even easier to participate. I want to make sure that as many people vote as possible I want to make sure that people are like informed about what they're voting on and more importantly or most importantly make Inform them that there is an election today. Just knowing that local politics is really important that like What happens here and who wins this race and the other local races like will dictate things like housing policy in Burlington will dictate things like parking policy will determine How our parks look and parks and recreation and and many other important issues and these are issues that affect all of us I'm just exercising my right to vote. I'm mostly concerned about city councilor For my ward, I'm gonna be voting for alley house. And why is that? I've She came to a club meeting of mine and I met her and she was very nice And I really liked how passionate she was about the issues that she cared about And I thought someone like that would be good to represent me Thank you to town meeting televisions Jordan Mitchell who is there with students from the community news service talking to some of the voters in Ward 8 Which we'll be talking about quite a bit tonight Good evening and thank you very much for joining us here on town meeting televisions annual town meeting coverage I'm Mark Johnson along with Diane Meyerhoff. We're gonna be following the results tonight of five key communities here in Chittenden County Burlington South Burlington Wanooski Essex and in Williston Burlington, of course will be our big focus There are a number of contested races there in fact the balance of power on the city council is in play There are eight of the 12 seats that are being contested today Five of those seats are are actually gonna have contests. There are three races where incumbents or There are no challengers running and there's only one person on the ballot also in Burlington There are a number of key money issues The school board is asking for a an increase in taxes. The city is as well first time in three years There are also two fairly significant Other money issues one includes a bond that will be paying if approved for items like fire trucks And also there is another proposal on the ballot that deals with what's called a tax increment financing district Diane will explain all that to you that Essence will allow the city to do some improvements down on on Main Street in South Burlington We have two incumbents that are being challenged on the city council and Also in Winooski. This is really just incredible a great example of civic participation there are seven people that are running for two open seats and in Williston the community that's really changed over the years and has undergone some real growth and one of the issues that they're going to be talking about there is whether to expand the the fire department and make it from an all volunteer into a Paid service We're gonna as I said, we're gonna begin tonight and talk about Burlington But first we're really happy to tell you that we have brought back studio be where tonight we're gonna be carrying interviews with some of the People that are the candidates as well as people that are involved in some of these very important issues We're gonna throw things over there right now and have you meet Emily Brewer Who's gonna tell us how studio B is gonna work tonight Emily? Good evening everyone and welcome to studio B Speaking with us and we hope you'll tune in later on some of the candidates as they Through the doors here. So Diane, let's start in the Queen City of Burlington What's at stake and what are the key races that you're really keeping an eye on sure So all eight Ward seats are up for reelection this town meeting day three counselors are not running again That's Chip Mason who is the Democrat in Ward 5 Jane Stromberg the progressive and Ward 8 and that's the one We're really gonna pay attention to as we heard it from exit voices and Max Tracy City Council president Ward 2 Progressive is also not running again. So we've got three open seats Police reform big issue, right? We've talked about quite a bit Rising tensions rising workloads being city council is not easy Yeah, it's been really I think many counselors have said this has been a really rough year there There's been even some cases at city council meetings where People in the audience are shouting down other people in the audience as well as as counselors themselves Yeah, yeah, and I think some of the folks have said that they're afraid for their safety Which is interesting because we're talking about personal so we're talking about public safety, right with police department and all But definitely so that's that's not some people out some have still been willing to run again All right, so anyway the the one to look at as far as I'm concerned is Ward 8 and why is Ward 8 so important? Well, it's so important because it's it's it's an open seat because Jane Stromberg is not running again and This right now the progressives have Six seats on a 12 council a 12 member council and although perhaps they can't pass everything they want They can say no to a lot of things. They don't want So it's really the balance of power, right? So so this seat is there's a progressive Alley house and Hannah King the Democrat are running in the seat both newcomers recent UVM graduates So this seat could very well flip so this could change who has really controlled the agenda moving into next year It's really in a lot of ways kind of an odd ward I mean if you look at it on the city map It's it's up in the University District, and then there's a little sliver of it that comes down on Main Street Yep, so it really is a lot of students and I think one of the real keys is that Getting students to vote and we're not talking about a presidential election year. There's somebody noted to me Bernie Sanders Isn't on the ballot. There's really not a lot of reasons. Is there for students to be participating? No, no, it's not a mayoral year either. We have that's next year You know, I assume most the students are back now, but I don't know with remote learning and all I mean, I don't really have a sense of what's going on there So it has always been a ward with very low turnout. Yeah, that's just what we've seen all along You know, it's also a new ward. Yeah, so people may not even know where do they vote? I mean, there's so they're still they're still ironing that out I think but it has been an issue and that may change in the redistricting also. Yeah, right I mean, that's very possible. You got to wonder whoever created a situation where we have an even number of people on it And a city council. Yeah, that has not been the way it has been in the past I remember covering the city council years back and it was always in an odd number. So, you know, you know Didn't we have 14? Do we have seven seven wards of two? We did for a while But before that, you know, I can always remember the New North end had three and that was sort of made things Gave it that odd number where issues could be decided one way or another I mean for example this this hiring of the police chief is one where what happened Yeah, it came out even came out even so it's a no. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah, so what are the so we talked about Ward 8? I think that's the big one to watch. I think Ward 2. I mean, sorry Ward 1 also Zariah Hightower the progressive incumbent is running again Rob Guttman Democrat running against her She was part of that progressive wave that came in only two years ago. Believe it. It's only been two years And it's gonna be really interesting to see she has changed her mind somewhat on the police department and sort of the staffing at the Police Department. I will be interesting to see if that's enough. I think people are really concerned about about public safety So I think that will be interesting. I think it is also really hard to unseat or unseat an incumbent That the benefits of being in an incumbent see our high. So it'll be interesting to see I think Rob Guttman is fairly new to elected politics. I hadn't heard his name before But there is some discussion that's possible that could flip. Yeah And what I'm hearing too is that the Democrats have really been making an effort there They see that as you know in addition to Ward 8. Yeah, that's the one where they really see a potential to maybe make a change Do you think they have a better potential in in one than eight? No, not necessarily, but I think Of the of all the other ones beside Ward 8. Yeah Ward 1 is probably the one where they can they can make it make a Challenge, but I think you're right. I would certainly say Zariah Hightower is the favorite, but There's not a lot of other places where the Democrats have an opportunity Good point. Good point. Yes. What else do you keep in your ward 5? Democrat Chip Mason 15 years in the council has relinquished his seat I I think talking a lot about what we talked about earlier the difficulties of being a city councilor the sort of tone That's out there. I think he was ready to move on. He's endorsed Ben Travers also a Democrat Challenges are Lenora Travis who's running as an independent and Farid Monosia. He's running as a Independent but he's progressive endorsed. Yeah, so controversy there Sears Lane. Yeah, right? It was a homeless encampment a Big issue there and apparently some of these folks are decided to run because of that being the encampment being removed I am so that'll be an interesting race.  He's a lawyer And he would in fact one of the points that he made is that he would be the only lawyer on the city council Which is sort of fascinating had been Chip is a lawyer as well. Okay, and he was the only okay Yep, you know and Lenora Travis has got a fascinating story of moving here to Burlington She had an apartment all set ready to go it fell through and she really found a lot of challenges finding a place to live Which as we know is a big issue here and in Burlington and and for read has got a Fascinating story has been living here 25 years and does not really strike me as being kind of a hardcore progressive And could really kind of vote vote anyway and some of these really really important issues So truly an independent truly in independent. Yeah, so we'll see what word five wants. Yeah Let's talk about word seven seven that's a new north end. Yeah, so Ali Jang independent incumbent He is being His challenges are Alexander Stith who's a Democrat who is Republican endorsed and Olivia Taylor who's independent who's progressive endorsed And I don't know if this is partly because they didn't make the caucus dates, you know That's why we have sort of people ran as independent and then they sort of found other ways to get endorsed Anyhow Ali Jang in the past has had both the progressive and the Democratic nod So it's interesting. He's running truly as an independent now without either of those endorsements, which Is interesting statement, I think from the parties anyhow He's been he's had three campaigns. He's been three terms His challengers Alexander is an engineer and Olivia Taylor is a global development consultant So we'll see what seven it's possible that could that could change again Incumbency is difficult to to overcome. Yeah, but fairly strong candidates. I think so We're gonna tell you too now about the webpage At channel 17 dot TV We would encourage you throughout the evening if you want to be following the results right along with us that that would be Your place to go Great, so we'll go to ward three. Let's talk about ward three. Joe McGee progressive incumbent. I want a special election Uh, he has not been in he's only been in since a few for a few months He is challenged by Christopher Aaron Felco. Who's a Republican? I am which is interesting because I was trying to decide if actually if a Republican has ever won in in in the old north end And I think the answer is no the question is um, is Christopher Allen felco setting up a race for mayor next year I think that's that's that's the only thing I could come up with so that's a possibility He's also the chair of the burlington gop. He is the only Republican running in burlington. Wow Yeah, that's a statement in and of itself. It is it absolutely is. Yeah, so that's word three We don't expect that seat to turn and Then there are three races unopposed right ward two Gene bergman has actually new to the council in this round progressive old old guard progressive if you if you will That's max tracy seat Ward four sarah carpenter the incumbent democrat is also Running unopposed as is caron paul the democrat in ward six we're gonna head out right now to wanooski and Gaby a feature of some of the issues that are going on out there with our exit voices I love the small town community feel here and getting to like Vote in local elections where we know that the votes have a direct impact on what happens locally So we're psyched being involved within you know Any of like city work and then any of the town work is really important and then I love how this is a very active community I love how there is a very full ballad of you know a broad amount of people to choose from so I'm really excited about the outcome and then they see you know the great work that gets done here We have to increase funding for education And uh, I like the the city council. There was a wide variety of choices for city council Very good. Very good. How did you get informed about the issues? Oh, I watched the debate on your tv Yeah, that's a good website. I watched the uh The city council debate It's important to me to vote today because I like the city wanooski because wanooski Is is he like a small city, but it's not small city for people It's a lot of people like to live over there wanooski because wanooski is important to anybody Is because wanooski is help anybody is not see this is white people. This is black. No Is he help anybody? I'm here because democracy is important Look at what's going on in the world What would Ukrainians give to have the simplicity of traveling half a mile to vote For the leadership in their country for the propositions We take it too much for granted and um Yeah, it's it's really critical. So Why would I possibly not vote today? I think that the city council of wanooski has for a long time been dominated by white folks if I'm honest And our population here in wanooski does not reflect that and so I was really excited that we had diversity of candidates Not just based on race based on opinion background All of the uh all of the brilliance that they all brought Um, I was really grateful to cctv for uh the candidate um forum being recorded so that because I couldn't be there that night so that I could Um watch later on that was really helpful in me making a decision I do say uh up to date on the school board despite not having kids I think I think a lot of folks often think if you don't have children attending schools in the school district Then maybe you're not as engaged in what's happening in our schools But I'm very excited to see this construction happening down at the school and excited to see what that finalized project will look like I think it's really important to share your opinions. Um on public issues I own a home here. I have kids in school here I can't complain about what's going on unless I share my opinions about what's going on Plus, I love voting It feels like such an important and exciting thing that we get to participate in so I love taking advantage of it Think growing up in vermont you get instilled with that town meeting day excitement from an early age and I've never lost it So I just think it's important So far I want to thank uh barry silver and emily bruer for that exit voices there from wanouski Wow, I mean the level of participation in wanouski is just really incredible It is I I really believe that wanouski is brollington 30 years ago Which is dating myself. I admit but still I mean just the excitement the level of interest the level of participation Seven candidates for two council seats. Yeah incredible. I mean some one person Dowl disotel has buzzed the city council years ago. Some other folks have are fairly new to town I mean for that many people to put their their hat in the ring. I think is really really impressive Um, so we should also say that these two seats have been held by howl colston and mike miers who are not running again Howl colston is also in the legislature as well Folks put in a lot of time and energy into wanouski and I I think it's I think it's interesting that they step back And say okay, we're ready for a new a new generation potentially To to to come into the city council. So we have a great. We have a community news service These are students from uvm who have been doing all sorts of really fantastic worker on town meeting and they are They have a discussion about all these seven candidates that we're going to hear right now Has been a truly interesting election because in pre-covid years you'd have to have A petition in order to be a candidate for city council But post-covid they kind of took away that requirement. So you would have formally have to get About 30 signatures from voters in order to be considered as a candidate and This year you don't have to do that. So we've had some very interesting candidates who didn't have that obstacle in order to petition so We have seven candidates as you mentioned vying for two seats to two-year positions And they'll be taking over for how colston our deputy mayor who See is expired to or intended to expire in march as well as michael meyers Our first candidate is aurora heard they use they them pronouns and they have a bit of political background They served on the bernie campaign in 2016 in 2020. They're really passionate about renters rights affordable housing And kind of encouraging participation for all resident voting Um and creating more accessibility for them to participate in local government. There's also daryl disartels He uses he and pronouns and he's 70 years old and a lifelong when you ski resident He was really passionate about cutting down spending He's kind of disappointed in the way that the city council is run currently. He thinks that Currently there's a lot of political views being pushed and forced on to the residents And he'd kind of like to bring a new voice to kind of just make sure when you ski Is safe and running and functioning without those political views being forced And we also have David Wallace who is also running for school board. Um, he's 53 years old and has been living in monoski since 2013 He's originally from arlington virginia He has a bachelor's degree in business from belmont abbey college in north carolina And he's really passionate about being tough on crime and making sure the police are fully funded matt crawford Is 56 he grew up in st. Albin's and he's been living in monoski since november of 2020 So yeah, he's excited to be able to implement new ways to create accessibility for all residents and To create environmental resilience and infrastructure and kind of bolster local businesses Um, we also have Irene karubu webster She's 54 years old and she's lived in monoski for about 15 years Which is originally from kenya. So she comes in with a really interesting perspective on all resident voting And the diversity within monoski's community and she speaks both english and swahili And she works with the association of africans living in vermont as a case worker So she's been able to do a lot of community outreach and cultural advocacy And she'd like to bring this to the city council as well And then we have thomas renner. He uses he and pronouns. He's 32 and moved to monoski about five years ago He is currently serving on the safe healthy connected people commission in monoski Which is kind of like a policy advising group for the city council And he's the commission secretary as well as a member And so he's excited to create open spaces in monoski like parks that People of all ages can engage in and lastly there's chad bushway who uses he and pronouns He's 49 years old and I've lived in monoski since 2004 And his whole life he's worked in the automotive industry And he is excited to keep property taxed down to make housing more affordable And he would like to look into making investments in the water and sewage system and kind of updating that 17.tv Thank you All right, we uh, want to thank the folks um to get us up to speed that was a great presentation That's those are replacements. Yeah, they really are I can see it. That's the next generation Yeah, we too, uh, want to remind you to the throughout the course of the evening to make sure you check out ch 17.tv and you can follow along the results with us Let's head back to burlington for a couple of minutes here before we wrap up We got some serious money issues on the table here. Maybe you could start with the the city tax increase proposal Yeah, so there's a tax rate. I proposed a 5.5 increase, which is four cents if you prefer it that way And this was real. This is really being sold as inflation So existing services that we have and this is sort of an inflation factor That everyone is feeling Average household will pay about 150 dollars additional per year And that's I think that's always an interesting number to use because it really helps you get a sense of what it's really going to cost A household Let me just dive in this is on top of after the reappraisal many people are also paying more anyway Especially especially residential, right? And this was an interesting case where the commercial didn't didn't go up as much as the residential did So definitely feeling this hit and they'll feel this hit again The interesting thing about this is that it's being sold as this inflationing But 1.25 million of this will be for seven new staffers at the office of rachel equity inclusion and belonging Bringing that office to 14 staffers. So that's a big chunk of this Which is why a lot of the progressive counselors have supported this tax increase, which is interesting So the last time the mayor asked for a Increase was in 2020 Which was a public safety tax the ambulance in the new north end and somebody for the housing trust fund So so that was you know two years ago But and this has to pass by a simple majority. Okay. Yep And speaking of public safety one of the bond issues that we're going to be talking about much more depth later on Deals with fire trucks. It does three new fire trucks, right? And plus a whole bunch of other things sidewalks Million dollars from memorial auditorium And some infrastructure work as well This is the item that was in the november election, which was voted down at about 40 million Now we're at about 24 million for this particular This is a general general obligation bond and it must pass by two-thirds. So that's a pretty high bar It is because it actually got a majority Last time around but not a super majority. Exactly. Exactly. Um, and this the the household impact Starts at about 36 a year and by the time it's done about 90 dollars per year an additional For the average household in burlington. Uh, again for this is a capital project general obligation bond I I was fascinated today when I um headed to the polls looking at the school tax proposal because I I think To be blunt. I think it's a little confusing what's going on The when you read the ballot it talks about a 13 percent increase But really what's going on there is that the schools have lost a number of students So the the per Cost for students has gone up just because they're fewer students though You still have to heat the buildings to the same degree whether there are 10 students or 100 students This is the declining enrollment. Yeah. Yeah, there's some 200 students less as a and who knows Why I'm sure demographics. Is this just I think I think there's some demographics. I think also there are people who Are not opting to go to the high school Who are maybe going to some of the alternative high schools in the area? Uh, we have this downtown, you know high school that some people are not turned on about You know one of the things too that I'm sure we'll get into more later in the evening is Lurking in the background here is in november We're probably going to see a pretty significant issue on the ballot talking about a new high school But really the increase for the schools this year is closer to three percent And I I'm not sure how well that's been explained to people. So I'm I'm going to be really interested to see how well that fares Uh, if people are going to understand that or or and then there was this whole idea that they're actually going to Well, there's a possibility right decreasing because of the uh, the the school Funding throughout the whole state. There's a surplus, right? So they're saying well it may go down, but then I was reading well it may But we're not guaranteed so we're in this funny spot because we just don't have all the information yet Well, a lot of it depends on what the state folks want to do how much of that they want to keep from themselves And they had on the ballot today if um if all of that money were to be put back into the schools that People in burlington could see something close to a six percent decrease But you know, we'll see whether or not right the state officials don't try to carve out a little bit of that money Right because the governor has there's 90 million the governor has proposed 45 million to go to this this sort of decrease of taxes So that's a big difference and we're still a long ways away And we haven't even gotten into the whole tax increment finance We're not going to try to do right here in this segment Because that's going to take us a few minutes to explain to you and also we want to remind you too that The polls are still open here for another hour and five minutes So if you haven't voted yet, and these are items that are of interest to you This would be the time for you to get down to the polls And we are looking forward to having you back and joining us here in And just a little over an hour and we look forward to bringing you some of the candidates some of the winners Some of the losers people that are involved in some of the issues And of course, we do want to remind you to make sure you follow along on our web page at ch 17.tv I'm mark johnson along with diane meyerhoff and Stay tuned. We'll be back in just about an hour


Hello, bonjour. Here I am. I am very, very pleased to be here in the beautiful Brooklyn Museum. You know I was very, very surprised when I arrived because I didn't expect the museum to be so beautiful, so big, so huge, so fabulous, so American. So I am super pleased to be there and to show you that exhibition. I add some special section. My new section of muse is all the girls, the models that I discover or that I love and that inspire me to make my collection. Most of them are American, so I hope you will enjoy all the exhibition. I think in that exhibition you will see a lot of... I think you have to go many, many times to come and see it because there is a lot of detail to see, a lot of things to see, so I hope you will enjoy it. Kisses and I am so happy to be here with you in Brooklyn.


Greetings. I am the Emerald Mystic. I am here to speak to you people online, especially the misinformed, the misguided, and the ones that are in dire need of a guiding light in the 21st century. I am a very good friend of the wizard Ozzy Bucco, and he has informed me that something has to be said about social media groups, social media groups, and organizations. I want to start off by saying that there are many, to be fair, there are many social media groups consisting of very knowledgeable people, very qualified people. But the problem of these social media groups is not so much the topic, the hobby, the interest. The problem is the people that make up such groups, just like any other organization. It could be non-denominational churches, organized religion. It doesn't matter. It can be these groups where people meet up, where they have the same thing in common. They have the same thing in common. They are like-minded people. Some of them are just enthusiasts that hitch along for the ride. Some of them are well-read, well-informed experts. Some think they are experts. Some are delusional in their knowledge. Some are outright power freaks, control freaks, dictators, running cults, especially on Facebook. There's one such totalitarian dictatorial cult run by control freaks like Irwin Benz of the Time Warner show Keeping Country Strong. He's a retired New York City police officer. He's a lush, he has a problem with alcohol. The producer of the show has informed the Wizard Ozzy Bucco and I have verification that the man is nothing but a lush, and he's a right-wing conservative. And he runs a group called Hot Dog Nation. Yes, you heard it right, Hot Dog Nation. They actually have a tour bus that travels to all of the landmarks that have been around for the longest time. And there are landmarks specializing in hot dogs, believe it or not. But the problem with Hot Dog Nation is if you criticize anyone, even people on the food network or the food channel, if you dare to disagree with anyone, they threaten to remove you from the group. They are a dictatorship. Another one is Honest Craft Beer Reviews, which was started by John Starodomsky originally from the tiny diminutive state of Rhode Island. The ocean state, I don't know why, it should really be detached from America and floating out into the North Atlantic. But anyway, John Starodomsky now residing in Georgia has appointed a mad dictator, an insane man that has the ability to hack into people's profiles and Photoshop members of people's family, relatives of individuals that he targets. He's a hacker. He uses many aliases. His most popular alias of all, even though he has many, is Red Rooster. The Wizard Ozzy Bucho was a scent by Dr. Dave Coulter, the great Dr. Dave Coulter, a photograph of what Red Rooster really looks like because he uses a photo of a Rhode Island red chicken, a Rhode Island red chicken, a rooster, a chicken because he is a chicken. He has a federal job. He resides and he works in the state of Virginia. I believe he's connected to Homeland Security, but his supervisors would not appreciate the fact that he's using aliases to misrepresent himself online and he's hacking into people's profiles. And he is photoshopping close family members of the people he targets. I'm sure Red Rooster, you ugly, funny looking coward, I'm sure your supervisors that you work for that sign your paycheck would not appreciate what you have been doing. And I have the means to contact them.  So John Stardomsky, an ultra liberal feminist sycophant. Yes, yes. He called James P. Madonna, a good friend of the Wizard Ozzy Bucho. He called him a misogynist because he posted risque photographs on a former Facebook group that was stolen from him. And by Sash Boyle, Sash Boyle stole originally of Cleveland, Ohio, stole this group called This Group Is About Nothing. Yes, it was named after the Seinfeld episode. This group was about nothing.  The both of them reported the honorable, the man with honesty and integrity, the truth teller James P. Madonna, he was reported.  Yes, the control freak that runs Facebook. Okay, he terminated the group. He took the group away from him. And of course, Sash Boyle stole it and never, never made Mr. Madonna, the administrator of the very group he created. So these are cults. These are social media group cults that have good intentions. They most likely contain many knowledgeable people in the case of honest craft beer review, craft beer. There are knowledgeable people in the entire craft beer, fine wine, it could be whiskey, bourbon, whatever it doesn't matter. There are many fine knowledgeable people in these communities. But the problem with these communities is not the topic. It's not the subject. It is the insecure, spineless sycophant, Pollyanna weasels that make up many of these groups, like a group called that happens to go live on YouTube. Every supposedly now it's Tuesday also. Tasty tasting Tuesday, I think it's called, and then there's wild card Wednesday, and then there's thirsty Thursday. Thomas metal 75 is the name he goes by his first name is Eric. Eric is his first name.  Eric runs it. Eric is extremely knowledgeable in craft beer, but he's a stiff he has no charisma or pizzazz. He has no sense of humor whatsoever. He is so stiff. He is such a geek. He is such a nerd in craft beer that he did not like Mr. James P. Madonna's idea that he created called Fandango Friday. Fandango Friday was a concept that had charisma and pizzazz. It was a concept of a live craft beer show with no rules where people can bring any alcoholic beverage they wanted any fermented beverage. It could be wine. It could be a Scotch whiskey could be bourbon. It could be rum vodka. It could be fine wine, craft beer, anything you want. There could be music played. There could be people with musical talent.  He scoffed at the idea because all of his all of his live hangouts all of his live shows have to be stiff and rigid and serious because the man has no life.   I don't think Thomas metal 75 is a bona fide craft beer control freak. He is not necessarily snobbish because the man has potential. The young man is a rock and roll musician. He's very talented. He's part of a band. He plays a guitar. He is supposed to be free spirited as a rock musician. You would think the man would be free spirited enough to appreciate, to appreciate the idea, the concept of Fandango Friday.  Freeloader. He scoffed at the idea of Fandango Friday. He wanted rules. He wanted rigidness. He wanted to be serious. You know what this man does? When the show goes off the air, Thomas metal 75 doesn't talk about any other topic except craft beer. He continues to behave like he is still on the air. It's supposed to be a free form discussion amongst people that were panelists on the live show. They can talk about anything. They can tell jokes. They can talk about their day, their personal life if they wish. There are other hobbies and interests. They can talk about politics. But no, Thomas metal 75 continues to behave like he is still on the air. Like he's still on the air.  And he's extremely knowledgeable in craft beer. I will give Thomas metal 75 credit. He is very talented and very knowledgeable. Okay.  He must continue to be serious. That's why he's Scott that Van Dangle Friday. Okay. There are other people that are very knowledgeable. They don't joke around. I wouldn't say they have pizzazz or charisma that they are extremely knowledgeable in fine liquor, craft beer, wine. They're very well read people. They do their research. I respect them quite a bit. One of them is John or nearly of Georgia beer reviews, outstanding shows that he does. I also respect a man who does have pizzazz and charisma. And I salute him. I salute him. He's one of my all time favorites. And that's the beer whisperer Tom over hill. I love the guy. He's great. He's fantastic. The man knows showbiz. He entertains. Plus he has great knowledge in what he's talking about concerning all forms of liquor. Dr. Dave Coulter is another man who's very well read, very knowledgeable in craft beer. And he has personality. He has pizzazz and he has charisma also. That's number two. And another man who is new to the shows is a wonderful man. I felt positive vibes coming from him when I saw him on the show. It's Jeremy from the state of Arkansas, a great man. He's also in a band. He plays guitar. He plays harmonica. Very nice gentleman. A true Southern gentleman. And the last one I want to talk about. Oh, by the way, a man that was ostracized and talked down to and ridiculed Mr. I believe Gary Owens of the state of Tennessee. He was disrespected. He was disrespected by Tom Thomas metal 75 and Jean Pierre formerly of New Jersey now residing. I believe in Mobile, Alabama was thrown off because Thomas metal 75 did not like the quality of his internet connection so he was muted and removed. That was very rude.   Thomas metal 75.  But the last one that has tremendous. Knowledge pizzazz charisma and a sense of humor. He gets it. He gets Fandango Friday and he gets personalities like even though he hasn't. He stopped inviting Krampus. He never had me on the show, but he stopped inviting Krampus for his own personal reasons. I don't know maybe. Maybe he doesn't want to share the spotlight, but the man is extremely knowledgeable because he's a retired school teacher. He has pizzazz. He has charisma. He has a great deal of personality and he has a great deal of high intelligence. He's a man that does research like no one else on the internet when it comes to fermented beverages. That is Louisiana beer reviews one and only. The Ronald J. Terrio J. Terrio is the all time best right alongside. Mr. Tom over hill from, I believe it's Springfield, Missouri. The beer whisperer those two are top of the line. But the rest of us. Well, no, John and early is a very nice man. And he's another great researcher. And he does very high quality beer review shows solo. But I want to say something. I watched the last last week's Fandango Friday. I watched it.  I swear. I swear. If it was up to me and there were no witnesses, I would drown him in the Hudson River or better yet the polluted East River.  His name is Ronnie. Every, every time he appeared on the show. This Cox, this no good scumbag would constantly stare down. Mr. The honorable Mr. James P. Madonna constantly stare him down because the man has keyboard courage. He doesn't have the guts to go through the Lincoln tunnel.  Because James P. Madonna would bash his skull and he's staring him down and he kept making snide remarks about accountants, the personality of accountants because accountants have usually had no sense of humor, except for James P. Madonna's brother from another mother, close friend, confidante and partner, the great Jeff Zambello. He has two master's degrees in finance in the county and no one has a sense of humor like him. But he's the exception to the rule. Many of them are like Woody Allen. You know, they have no sense of humor. They stare at numbers all day. Yes. Yes, he did say that many of the craft beer shows, many of these alcoholic beverage enthusiast review shows had no pizzazz, no charisma, no sense of humor. None, none whatsoever. They're boring. They put people to sleep. This is why they do not have a big following. This is why the ratings are so low. People, when people gave compliments to James P. Madonna, as he was playing his instruments and and ringing his bells. What did Thomas Middle 75 say? He says, Oh, look at this of all people to get a compliment. It's James P. Madonna of all people. Ho, ho. And he had a sneer on his face, the look of contempt, like a musician that does not want to share the spotlight. A musician that must be on top at all times must have power. Well, you're an insecure little man. You're an insecure little man, Thomas Middle 75, to have the attitude that you have of not wanting to ever share the spotlight with anyone.  I don't know your last name, but Krampus should visit you.  You have no guts, you have no courage. By the way, the challenge is still on, according to what the wizard Ozzy Buko told me, according to how James feels about you staring him down and causing unnecessary drama on his, yes, that's right, his Fandango Friday. He created, he's the brainchild of Fandango Friday. The only, the only thing else I have to say about these insecure power freaks, control freaks that run these groups, these dictators is that you really do not have a life. You should really get lives.   Yes, whatever. It doesn't matter. Dawn breakers, Dawn Buster's, you know, crack the door and show.  You cannot be dry, serious and stiff and be all knowledge with no entertainment. You must tantalize the public, which is what people like the geek Ronnie and Thomas Metal 75, super mega geek, they don't believe in it. They don't believe in entertaining their people. Thomas Metal 75 has potential. He's a rock musician. He's a talented young man, but just like many musicians, they're insecure. They do not want to share the spotlight. This is why he used to give James P. Madonna a trouble, trouble, problems every chance he got.  He would make sarcastic remarks at James P. Madonna because he didn't want to share the spotlight. I just want to give a shout out to the great Tom Overhill, the Beer Whisperer, Dr. Dave Coulter, and the greatest, most educated man in fermented beverages on God's Green Earth, Mr. Ronald J. Tyrrio. This is The Emerald Mystic. Goodbye for now.


Welcome, traders, to the first live trade analysis session of 2022 with me, Patrick Mone. If you can hear me and you can see me welcome screaming, type of wire in the chat box, so I know we are good to go. Great stuff, okay, so before we jump into today's session, first and foremost, I want to add here to the risk disclaimer, most importantly for today's session, the views expressed by me today are solely mine, they're not indicative of or representative of those held by Tickmill UK or Tickmill Europe Limited. Before I jump into the presentation, just a bit of housekeeping in terms of any questions you might have, if you have a question regarding a chart that I review, or you'd like me to take a little bit of chart that I don't review my deck, if you can make a note of those or drop them into the Q&A, I won't answer them in real time, but at the end of the presentation, I'll go back and check back on the questions and cover them all off before we close out the presentation. So for those of you who are here for the first time, brief introduction to myself. Like I said, my name is Patrick Monely and after I graduated from King's College London, I joined the City PLC Consulting firm, left with some colleagues and went on to successfully co-found and exit a consulting startup which was focused on C-Suite Executive Search for Technology Businesses. I essentially had a front row seat to the dot-com bubble, witnessing people make and lose a fortune in the markets, sometimes quite literally overnight. So I decided to explore my curiosity for markets with some capital to play with and some time on my hands, I started day trading the S&P 500, or probably more appropriately day gambling, and after some early beginners' luck, I managed to rack up some pretty solid gains. However, as is often the case, my beginners' luck ran out and as the market phase changed, I began to average down into what would become pretty significant losing positions, giving back all my gains and ultimately taking a six-figure hit on my personal capital. To say this was a gut-wrenching and sobering experience is an understatement. I really had to stand back and figure out if it was feasible for me to make a living from the markets. So I decided to get serious about trading and sought out a mentor with an excellent trading track record. Working with my mentor for a period of 18 months to two years, it was a time during which I had not just my technical game in terms of research and developing, sensibly back and forward testing strategies that crucially suited my personality and all of which were underpinned by a rigorous risk management approach. But most importantly, during the period of mentorship, I significantly developed my mental game.  So what are the implications of that and what does that mean? Well, it means I had to stop focusing on what I could make from the markets and start focusing slowly on managing my mindset to allow me to consistently execute my trading strategy, oftentimes in the face of negative feedback from the markets in the form of losing trades. But once you become process-orientated and you have a professional trading mindset and you understand the true nature of trading being simply a numbers game in which you're playing the probabilities, you lose the emotional investment and that hellish emotional roller coaster of living and dying by the outcomes of individual trades. So I'm no longer concerned with the outcome of individual trades or even a small string of trades. My focus is on the next 100 trades because I know my focus on excellence and execution, my edge will demonstrate itself over an extended series of outcomes. My multi-strategy approach has delivered profitable annual returns since 2008. Since 2013, I've been managing investor capital through a managed account service, again, delivering annual positive returns. I'm currently responsible for managing a multimillion dollar portfolio. Since 2010, I've meant to have hundreds of private traders of all experienced levels, from complete novices to former CME floor traders in developing the technical and mental skills to read consistent returns from the markets. In addition to my fund management and mentoring and the resident market expert for Tick Mill exclusively providing market and trade analysis. I provide an in-depth daily market outlook, breaking down the fundamental and technical drivers for the day ahead. I also provide technical trade setup videos for three to five markets per day through the Tick Mill Trading View accounts. I also most recently run Tick Mill's rapidly growing E-mini strategy Facebook group where I post a daily video outlining my pre-market trade plan for the cash trading session ahead. I give my bias for the day ahead and specific action areas where I'm looking to engage the markets. These pre-market plans have delivered over 1800 points of profits since we launched the group April last year. The second strategy group I run for Tick Mill is for traders who really want to take their trading to the next level. The Tick Mill Futures Trading Telegram Group is a real time environment where on a daily basis I share in-depth insights, analysis and trades. I also live stream during the opening hour of the cash session from New York where traders can essentially look over my shoulder and watch in real time as I dissect the markets and identify asymmetric trading opportunities. These live trade sessions essentially act as a platform helping you to develop a professional consistent approach to navigating the markets and obviously the mental mind games that have to be mastered for you to make it as a professional trader. So that gives you a flavour of where it is I'm coming from. What we're going to do now is jump in to the charts. Actually what I'll do first of all there are a few links just with regards to what I was covering there. One of those is the Tick Mill Futures Facebook group. That's a free service. All you have to do is request access to the group and you can follow along with my daily trade plans. For those that are interested in learning more about the Telegram group I'll post my LinkedIn profile there and you can direct message me for further information regarding that service. Okay so let's most importantly now jump into the charts. We're going to work on the daily time frames today.  We're going to start with the S&P 500.  So you just have to adjust the levels for the spread. So with respect to the S&P here we make any more time highs into the start of the year. You'll remember for those who were involved or were involved in these sessions at the back end of last year I had long positions running from this last pullback and took out a good chunk of profits on those and essentially covered those positions or got taken out on trailing stops into the beginning of this week. And then we started to notice that there's some pretty significant divergence developing here. And so we were starting to lean towards the short side in terms of the groups that I run and the signals I provide. We had short setups in the S&P 500 or the E-minis. We also had similar and as that we'll talk about that in a minute. But with respect to these E-minis I think we are potentially going to complete the first leg to the downside. And just for this product to learn I'm going to open up the hourly chart and show you exactly what it is I'm talking about. This is a five-wave sequence developing here and I'm looking for prices to test into the 4640 area to complete that initial five-wave sequence. From there what I'd be anticipating is that we get momentum divergence develop here. So what I'd anticipate is that the psych indicator here rolling into resistance we get the psych indicator pulling back down as price makes a new low into that support zone. But what we'll be watching for is for the momentum study here to fail to make new lows and to set up a divergent move and then that will allow for prices to correct versus this swing here and ideally we'll get a move back into this 4750, 4747 area and then from there what I'll be watching for is bearish reversal patterns again to get back in on the short side to play for another leg of corrective action to the downside. So that's pretty specific levels to pay attention to. Got daily and weekly projected range support just below that psychological 4650 area. So just as the market gets really bearish here on this decline I think we have the potential for a snapback before then getting the next leg to the downside. So pay attention to those levels if this current overlay continues to map as I anticipate it will do. So back to the daily charts. So that's the S&P 500. I'm ultimately looking for prices to take out potentially take out trend line support here through the 4615 and then get a test back down into 4530s. It's going to be a pivotal level. We've got projected monthly range support 4497 and then from there we might get a more protracted corrective phase but certainly we're looking weak here as we open up the year. So the NASDAQ, this is a position I'm running at the moment and again gave this trade in the telegram group live yesterday. I identified a pattern here that I play pretty regularly. We got this double top and we got an outside rejection candle the day before yesterday and then we have since extended to the downside and running about 250 points of profit in this. I'm looking for a test of the trend line support here and the monthly projected range support down 15420. From there we could see a bit of a pop but ultimately I'm looking for us to test into 1449 here is the key level I'm looking for on this position trade. So we'll see how that plays out. I want to pay close attention to how price responds at the trend line but if we think about the test on this trend line we're looking at multiple, multiple tests now and for those that have worked with me for a while you'll know that after the third test of the trend line I'm pretty much looking for it to give way. So this trend line looks to be weakening to my mind and we should erode it in time and get a nice drift to the downside. Chill out here that I don't often talk about but it's relevant given what we're seeing in terms of liquidity drying up from the Fed. This is the ARC Innovation Fund run by renowned hedge fund manager Kathy Wood. It has been rolling over pretty heavily. I talked about this a couple of times last year where we start to see weakness develop. I'm looking now for this to actually test down into the 70 handle now from there if we get this move then we could see a decent pot there back up into the $100 figure and then we'll see how price responds there but certainly we want to pay attention to how we trade at the 70 handle. We're currently trading $86 in that fund and the reason why I'm pulling this up to you guys is it's got a similar momentum play as to the NASDAQ. Obviously the NASDAQ is a little bit more broad weighted and we have some idiosyncratic members of the ARC Fund but essentially this move that we've seen or the move that we saw in this ARC Innovation Fund was predominantly driven by Fed liquidity and as that started to dry up we're starting to see weakness develop and that's a similar story to the NASDAQ. The NASDAQ is far more yield sensitive so if we are going to see yields take a pop in terms of the US and don't get me wrong I'm certainly not loading the boat here in terms of playing one side or the other I'm very much trading the market I'm not looking to take on lifelong positions here or get married to positions I can see very easily a path where the current view on inflation and the fact that the Fed got it wrong with it being transitory and that we're going into hyperinflation phase could actually reverse pretty quickly based upon just the pandemic moving from pandemic to endemic as such then what's the growth scenario the growth picture etc so it's important not to get sucked into a narrative remember we're three days into the trading year here and suddenly everyone is on one side of the boat and historically when that happens what we tend to see especially if you think about last year came into the year and the narrative being pushed the beginning of the year was we were going into an epic phase of dollar weakness and lo and behold that didn't play out at all and we actually saw the dollar making decent bid last year and so this year we're coming in and traders are heavily positioned now for this dollar move to extend and if you look at positioning data we're sitting up around those 2018 highs the last time the Fed thought they were going to make a move in terms of rates and we didn't really see that transpire and so just a word of caution in terms of especially as we're in these first few weeks of the year there's a common effect called the January effect whereby we can often see some pretty pivotal highs and lows posted in January so just keep a flexible mindset it's my advice and don't get married to any market narratives being pushed in these early parts of the year so yeah the ARK Innovation Fund now it's that kind of link and I'd like to pay attention to that dynamic Dow Jones looking at potential broadening top scenario here got a test yesterday Dow ironically strongest out of the the industries at the moment obviously it's a little bit more value orientated as opposed to growth obviously growth was you know booming during the Fed liquidity and now when you have people moving to safety you get you tend to see the Dow go a little bit better but well ultimately if these equity markets are rolling over we'll tend to down with it might just be a bit of a slower grind for the Dow this time round the DAX looking at potential double top here yeah what we'll pay attention to this scenario is what is what's the momentum saying the momentum is telling us that this is this is starting to struggle here the DAX well all I'm waiting for here will be the momentum to to flip bearish and I think we have a move down in the DAX to get back into 14,364 and then from there we might try and stabilize and get another push to the upside obviously that scenario will be wrong when I close back through 16,400 and then we'll start to pay attention to can we get up into the trend line resistance and how does price respond there the DAX this is another position I'm running at the moment shared in the telegram group had a couple of entries I was looking for a few more I didn't want to see the DAX down into this real sweet spot here at the 15 handle didn't get that but I got fills in terms of 18 and 17 so I've got a 17,50 break even position running at the moment and we'll see now what this fix is going to do obviously the VIX people refer to it as a fear gauge when we see weakness in terms of equity markets we see strength in the VIX or we see strength in the equity markets we tend to see the VIX trading lower and what you the old adage for traders is by protection when you can not when you have to so every time and I've highlighted this trade a bunch of times every time we get down into this this demand zone here in terms of VIX it's always been a fairly decent trade to play to start acquiring low exposure in the VIX and it looks to be working again and so we'll see how that one plays out now let's move into the all important tenure notes here these are obviously driving a lot of the market action at the moment so what we have what I've been tracking here is a big quality objective so versus the highs that we saw here we have this swing structure here into the 135-60 so I'm looking for 125-19s to ultimately trade before we see a meaningful correction so let me move now into this S3 zone we can see a part back into these prior lows here 129-20s but ultimately we want to see this this 125-19 test and then from there we may see a pretty decent bounce in terms of the the notes so obviously the notes trade price so as the price declines the yield increases so if we look at the yield here we're trying to make a breakout in terms of the yield of trend line resistance coming in just about 2.2% in terms of in terms of the 10-year yield if we zoom out here I'll show you what I've been tracking so what I'm anticipating is that we're kind of in this we've broken out here and I'm looking for yields to extend to make new highs but 127 extension there before we saw a pullback so we're going to 127 extension here at 216 trend line 220s and to be honest with you you know if that move plays out let's say into the March meeting whereby you know that yesterday the pricing for the March futures contract moved to an 80% chance we would see a rate move at that meeting again when the market gets loaded up in one direction more often than not there's a meaningful shakeout and so any any test of 2% or just above 2% could well be the high that we see for the year in terms of yields is a possibility equally we could fail here on the test back through that once 1.78 and we could be back down here testing the trend line before trying to make another run so again just don't get married to this view it's very popular moments the narrative that's been pushed by by a lot of deaths that you know we're going to see a yield explosion could we could well see that but we want the price to really start to to track in this type of scenario to to encourage that view to my mind dollar index obviously a beneficiary of any any move in yields or it should be as as the dollar is considered to to drive drive returns there what I'm looking for ultimately in the dollar is I'm looking for one more high and I'm going to be looking to fade that high I'm looking for a move into the 98 handle here that's a 61.8% retracement of the entire decline prior to this this move to the upside certainly from there I'll be watching for bearish reversal patterns do something on the short side at least looking for a move back into 95.50 if we take out this trend line then look out below because this correction could be over in terms of the dollar but if we hold that then again we want to think about the next leg to the upside in terms of the dollar index but for now that's going to be the key area to watch this 98.40s in terms of the dollar as we head into the early part of this year gold the never ending triangle trade here in terms of gold I'm watching for any move down into monthly projected range support 17.53 is level to pay attention to 17.50 bullish reversal patterns there and I think this could turn that to be a bear trap and looking for an extension back through the trend line resistance and up into the 1900 area and and beyond to 1950 obviously we take out the trend line on a closing basis all bets are off and I think we'll be back down taking a look at 16.80 pretty quickly in terms of gold silver now silver has a nice nice potential wedge pattern developing here and I'm going to be watching how we trade if we're going to test here into the 20 dollar handle and I think that could be an opportunity to play for a correction in terms of silver or maybe quite a meaningful low in place there for silver so watching that 20 dollar level and the wedge scenario to potentially play out crude oil testing some key levels here if we can if we hold below 80 I can easily see another leg to the downside in terms of crude back into the 55 it's high volume node for the that entire advance off the pandemic lows there so let's see this this area is going to be pivotal if we fail here watch for bearish reversal patterns I think that's an opportunity for for another leg to the downside before we try and make a meaningful correction in terms of crude again common narrative at the moment is this commodity super cycle which was really the story of last year but I just heard this morning Jeff Curry the the golden guy back on the line talking about that more often than not when you get these big investment banks pushing that type of narrative it's because they're either looking to release inventory or acquire inventory so when they're talking about this commodity super cycle I'm just wondering they've got too much inventory on their books and they're looking to offload some exposure so that's uh something to pay attention to bitcoin and a uh a rough old time of things I'm looking for a test of 40,600 this is the major ascending trendline support that'd be the third test watch for bullish reversal patterns there we'd get through this trend line back through 48,000 then we could see an attempt to the upside here if we let go through the trend line on a closing basis stand the side because we will be back trading below 30,000 in quite a clip to my mind anyway so as approaching some key levels here in in the bitcoin ethereum I think it's got more work to do at the moment on the downside you can see we are trading into the 61.878.6 extension from this swing high here so likely some consolidation there but ultimately I think we test 2900 which is the equality objective versus the swing structure from 41.88 then we'll see what we can do from there maybe we've got to take a look at trendline support down to 23.36 before we're going to see any meaningful stabilization there but there's certainly at this stage for these cryptos a bit of the well quite a lot of profit is coming out of the market and I shared in the telegram group this morning we're not seeing institutional money flow that or the institutional money flow that was anticipated certainly isn't isn't in play at the moment now that can change obviously quickly and if you do get that institutional flows coming in then this this can turn around pretty quickly but at the moment we're not seeing that in the flow data and so there's certainly no rush to be jumping in in terms of the crypto space at the moment Dolly yeah let's look at some of these FX majors so Dolly yeah is is testing the 127 extension of the last leg to the downside natural area of think for for a pause but ultimately what I'm looking for with this Dolly yeah now is if we can get this type of scenario so we have our one two there's our three four and a fifth wave extension up into the equality objective versus the swing low here 10867s and that will kind of tie in with you know the Dolly yeah tends to have a correlation with yields so that push up in yields I mean I think from there we could see a more meaningful pull back in terms of the Dolly yeah but for now was we was to be hold above the the 11550 I think we've got more room to run on the upside in terms of Dolly yeah dollar CAD this one's got a bit of work to do before it gets interesting for me but certainly if we get back down into this yearly pivot 125 I think we've got a shot moonshot there at 132 which is the equality objective versus this swing structure here and the 12290s low so keeping an eye on that nothing to do with immediately Euro dollar tracking this wedge now so similar to the the dollar index I'm looking for one more wash out here in terms of the Euro dollar similar similarly obviously the dollar index I'm looking for one more high this 78.6% retracement is the key level to watch 110 just above 110 if we see buyers stepping in on any flush here I think we could have a meaningful low in place in terms of the dollar you'll know I shared that weekly chart which shows similarities between the 0102 phase of the Euro dollar and what we're looking at at the moment this 78.6% 78.6% area is going to be key we've got a weekly trend line coming in there as well if we take that out on a closing basis certainly on a weekly closing basis that could that could be a sign of something quite significant but for now this is going to be the focus and if we can if we can find support there I think we could be in for for a new phase in terms of the Euro dollar Euro sterling looking for it to test the descending trend line third test here so if we can get a test below or just above 83 watch for bullish reversal patterns there I think we're going to wash out move to the upside take out some of the shorts here back into 87.40 which is the major descending trend line resistance this one I'm paying close attention to it could be a decent swing trade there similarly with sterling looking for sterling to get into the trend line resistance here 135.20s no sorry 136.20s got the yearly pivot there as well weekly range resistance watch for bearish reversal patterns there we've still got an open target versus the 138.38 high an equality ejected down to 130 and we've got the high volume load there so if we if we can get in there then maybe that's the area where sterling can put in a more meaningful move obviously if we close through trend line resistance then we want to start to think about pullbacks and extensions to the upside sterling Ozzy one of my favorite setups is the quality objectives that complete into double or triple tops and we've got one here versus this swing low 183.86s so we have a potential five wave sequence here that could complete into a double top 191.69s and we watch for divergence here as an opportunity to do something on the short side and I'd be thinking about the yearly pivot here back down into 184 and the ascending trend line support third test and then from there maybe we mount something more serious on the upside but pay certainly want to pay close attention to this potential double top sterling Yen similar scenario here I've got a five wave sequence just take out these prior highs into the ascending trend line resistance just at 160s what's bearish reversal bands there I think we get back down into the apex of this consolidation zone back into 154 would be what I've been watching for sterling Kiwi this is one that I was tracking let's see where we close today if I'm going to close back below the trend line then maybe we're done here for now if we don't and we take out the trend line and we get up into let's say the 202 60s and you pull back to the trend line we'll be buying opportunities for an extension higher this was good trade from last year the inverse seven shoulders and running about running there 400 plus pips of profit there the Aussie ultimately I'm looking for the Aussie to test this quality objective versus the swing high here at the 75 60 area gives us 66 60s and so if you think about that dollar CAD these got these pairs off and trade inversely that that would have that 132 tests with a dollar CAD so let's see we're in an area here where we could we could be looking at double correction so we do this get back into that trend line and then get that move or we take out let's just draw this in we take out this trend line the S3 the weekly projected range sport coming in 71 30s got momentum rolling over bearish here if we do that then it could be that the move is already starting but my senses we're probably we're probably looking at a double correction there for now in the Aussie Aussie yen nothing for me to do there at the moment let's just look the Kiwi Kiwi similar scenario to the Aussie we've got a 65 55 target on the Kiwi versus the swing high here at 72 23 now if we take out the 66 90s then I think we're heading there pretty much in a straight line will be the scenario but whilst we hold support here 67 40s again potential we do a double before then rolling over to ultimately get that test before we make a more sustained correction so that's a whistle stop tool so to speak of what it is I'm looking at as we head into the opening few weeks here of the new trading year a close attention to these equities I think there are some great opportunities there and some of these metals also have opportunities and then those those FX majors that I've just highlighted certainly keep an eye on that euro sterling I think that could be really decent opportunity in the coming sessions like that setup and the euro sterling Aussie quality objective into a double top love that as long as we get some nice momentum divergence so are there any questions or would anyone like me to take a look at the chart I haven't covered just type the name into the chat box or the Q&A box equally if you don't have a question and end in the chat box is just as useful as as I know we're on the same page and and we can wrap this up thanks Ben the links I've posted there one other link I'll post actually that this will allow you to to keep up to speed with the trades in between these weekly sessions you can subscribe sorry not subscribe you can follow the tickmail trading view trade ideas account there and you'll get updates on a daily basis of the trades that I'm tracking and and taking okay guys I'm going to wrap this session up here as always traders plan the trade trade the plan most importantly manage your risk until next week thanks very much