and welcome to another episode of In The Studio. I'm Lynn Weaver. The program is brought to you by Davis Media Access and broadcasts on Davis Community Television. That's Comcast Channel 15 and AT&T U-Verse, Menu 99. We're also online at dctv.davismedia.org as well as on YouTube. Today I have a very crucial topic for our community. We're going to talk about the Yolo County Suicide Prevention and Crisis Services and joining me to discuss this very important topic are Sandra Sint. She is the clinical supervisor at the center and Ting Ting Lee. She is the crisis line program director for the center. Thank you both for coming here and thank you for the marvelous job you do at your center. Now I'm going to ask you a simple question and who are the people you are helping? Well, thank you, Lynn, for having us. And we have a variety of programs. We run 24-hour crisis lines and those include our Suicide Prevention Crisis Lines, our Ask Ting hotline where Yolo County youth can call and talk about any issues they might be having with maybe school or bullying or their families or friends. And we also have a school violence reporting line. And so that is a safe place where people can report if they think maybe something dangerous is going to happen at their school or if a parent maybe has concerns. And we also have our school program, our Choose Life School program where our credentialed teacher goes out to the secondary schools in Yolo County and she presents the Signs of Suicide Program which is essentially trying to teach them that depression is a treatable illness, that suicide is usually kind of a product of untreated depression and I think most importantly, where do you get help if you or someone you know feels this way? Who can you talk to? Who can you turn to? We also have our survivor support group and that's more formally called our friends and families of suicide loss and that's a support group for people who have lost someone to suicide. And I find it really, really helpful for people that haven't really been able to talk about this really complicated loss and they're really complex grieving. And then lastly, we have just started partnering with Yolo Community Care Continuum. They're Safe Harbor House and we do follow up calls to clients that have been discharged to kind of see how they're doing, check in with them and kind of make sure they're still doing well. When you mean they're being discharged, they're being discharged from this particular. From this particular crisis house. Crisis house. Crisis residential program for folks who need the particular support of being in a 24-hour residential program but don't quite need to be in the psychiatric hospital. It's for people who are in crisis. And where is this house located? In Woodland. In Woodland, I see. Now, the first question that comes to mind, you mentioned high school students and young people, is are these suicide prevention programs open to everybody, no matter what the age? Yeah, I think it's important to kind of highlight that our crisis lines are 24 hours a day available. Anybody who calls, we will help them and the calls of course are free of charge. Our suicide survivor support group, that's free of charge as well for people who've lost somebody to suicide. And our classroom program where we go into the junior high and high school programs that's funded partially through some of the school districts and the county as well as grants. And we will display the 24 hours crisis lines towards the end of our interview so that people can actually make a note and call if necessary. And these calls, well, before we get ahead about what type of calls you're getting, let's talk and Sandra or Ting Ting, whoever wants to respond about what is this, with this organization that you are directors of. Can you explain to me what it is? Well, suicide prevention. Is it a non-profit? It's a non-profit organization. Yeah, it's a non-profit. So it doesn't have anything to do per se with the state, right? Right, it's an independent private nonprofit. We do have a variety of county related funding private grants and donations as well. And United Way and those kinds of opportunities. And when was this created, this organization created? Do you remember? Don't have to be very specific. I wasn't there, but it was in 1966. Oh my goodness. Yeah, so we are one of the oldest, right? One of the oldest crisis lines actually in the entire country. Yes, that's very interesting, yes. And about how many people do you have there, staff, directors and others?  We have about seven part-time staff, they're all part-time. And then at any given time, we have maybe about 35 to 45 volunteers. Our crisis line is answered solely by volunteers, trained volunteers. I see, and I like the idea of them being trained because you can do more harm than good if you're not trained, yes. So Sandra, tell us about what your role consists of as a clinical supervisor. My role really is to support the crisis line volunteers and doing the good work that they do. So when our volunteers have a call that maybe they wanna just check and see if they offered the right kind of support, if there were any resources that maybe they didn't consider, or sometimes a volunteer might just like to debrief after a particular call. Yes. Our volunteers are trained and expected to really deal with any issue that a caller brings forth. And sometimes people just kinda wanna talk about it afterwards, which we really encourage our volunteers to do so that they're really in a good place to be able to listen and support people. And also learn from experience because I'm sure you're getting all the whole spectrum of callers and calls and the type of problems they have. Isn't that correct? Right. If you imagine what people go through in their lifespan, any of those issues could be presented to any given volunteer on the crisis line. So we emphasize in our training that really the important skill that the volunteers use, regardless of what the issue someone presents is that they're really presenting themselves as an empathic listener, as somebody who can be there and be supportive, helpful, can be aware of the resources if it's a real kind of emergency. Yes, yes, I was going to ask if it's critical. What do you do? How do you refer them or how do you follow up these calls? Perhaps I should ask Tintin about this or both of you, whoever. Like give me an example, a concrete example of a call, a real caller, obviously no names. And then the type of how he or she approached the caller, the line and what do you do about it? Can you do that for us? Yeah, we get a variety of different calls but an example of one where you might want to refer them is we'll get people that call that might be worried about someone in their life. So like a parent worried about their child or somebody, my friend's been posting this thing on Facebook, should I be worried? So a large part of what we do is check in with the person who's calling, see what's going on and then do what's called a lethality assessment through the person. Well, what has that person said and what have they said to you? Where are they? Do they have the means to do something to harm themselves? And then from there, we kind of help them figure out what is the next best step. So is this something where maybe they have to send out help, i.e. maybe call the police or 911 or something or is this something where they can give that person our number or something like that? Or is this something where they need a community resource? Maybe the person needs help finding therapy resources for their friend or something like that. Well, that's very interesting. One thing comes to mind is, do you have a mechanism or a way, perhaps not, but I'm asking to validate these calls that they're not spoofing or frauds or do you have anything like that? Well, really, even if somebody were to call and be sort of spoofing, we're gonna take it seriously. It's not the kind of thing where you want to really think somebody's joking. So on occasion, we've had the teenager call where you can kind of hear the friends in the background laughing. But really, it's a very small number of times that that happens. And for the most part, we're really wanting to communicate to anybody who calls that it's an important topic and we want to know more about what's going on for them. And so the occasional teen call that's not serious, sometimes also it could be a teen who's sort of prank calling because they're thinking maybe they really actually might need to call someday or have thought about calling and it's also a way to kind of test it out and call and see what are they gonna say to me and what will happen if I call. Yes, sort of like a test, as you said. Do you take the name and form number of this person? Should you have to contact him or her in an emergency? Well, I think one thing to think about is that roughly 90% of our calls aren't emergencies. We're really encouraging people to call when you're in a crisis or when you're distressed or when you need somebody to talk to and to really call us if it's an emergency but also call us before it gets to that point. So we'll sort of distinguish between emergency calls where yeah, in an emergency call, we're going to ask a person what's your name, what's your address, what's your phone number because we might need to get help to them which would be 911 kinds of resources. But in general, we also, we advertise that the crisis line is confidential and anonymous. So if we're not concerned about needing to get life and death kind of help out to somebody, we really will ask somebody for their name, mostly so that we can use it in conversation. So then we don't have to say, oh, hey, you, that we could say Lynn, tell me more about what you were saying earlier about such and such. Yes, yes, that makes perfect sense. But stress on the fact this is very confidential and hence people will be more willing to come and I mean and talk to you. Exactly. It's a difficult role to be a volunteer on a suicide prevention. So basically, how long does your training last for these volunteers? Does it depend on the volunteers or what you teach them? Do you teach them case cases or how do you teach? There's a lot of components to the training actually. It comes out to with everything over 40 hours of training. So there's, yeah. So we run usually spring and fall trainings and so they're ones where you come in and then we talk about just the variety of different calls you might get, different situations you might have to respond to and how to respond to them. It's definitely, as you said, it's a lot of pressure, it's definitely, it's not for everybody but our volunteers are great. Yes, and how do you screen your volunteers? Do you have some tests for them or you're just by talking and interviewing them? We're really looking for people who have good interpersonal skills to begin with. Generally somebody who reaches out to suicide prevention wanting to volunteer is probably going to come with those kinds of skills because those are the folks who are interested in doing that kind of work. Yes, and it's not an easy topic. So people really, for the most part, kind of self-select, that people who are not good in delicate situations or in high pressure situations really aren't going to reach out and say, hey, I'm interested in volunteering at suicide prevention. Every once in a while we do talk to people who are interested in volunteering who maybe aren't really in a good place to do it right now. Maybe they lost a family member to suicide recently and that's kind of triggered their desire to help in those kinds of cases. We would really want that person to kind of take care of themselves first. Don't start to volunteer as part of your healing this soon. And we're looking for people who are also going to be able to be on the crisis line for a while because it is the kind of thing where you feel more comfortable over time and we really like volunteers who are going to be able to, of course, they need to commit to the entire training program. And to be able to commit to doing weekly shifts consistently so that they are able to hone their skills. And so that we can make sure that there's somebody there 24-7. That's really important. I was wondering, there's been a lot of talk about former servicemen that's coming from these wars. Do you get calls from them as well? You know, honestly, I don't think we've really gotten a lot of calls from vets because they tend to have, there's veterans hotlines, I think that they call. It's a very, it's somewhat, I think of a tight-knit kind of circle. More specific, yes. And I think a lot of suicide is such a stigmatized issue. And mental health issues in the military, that's also a very stigmatized kind of issue. It's very, yeah. And I think that's part of what leads to a lot of these terrible outcomes that we've seen in the media is that it's really hard if you're in the military to reach out for mental health care without being concerned that you're going to jeopardize your career. So there's a lot of nuances to dealing with veterans. And we certainly would be prepared to talk with a veteran who called because it's really the same issues. They just have a lot of career concerns around their mental health issues. But it's one of those, it's also just kind of one of the unfortunate parts of dealing with a stigmatized issue is that people don't reach out. We're not, we can't call people. And if we, well, if we hear about somebody who's suicidal, actually we do reach out to call them. But if we don't know about somebody, people sitting quietly in their homes depressed and suicidal. Of course. You know, their phone's not going to ring. They need to call us. And that's the hard thing about suicide education. It's really making them do that. And how do you advertise to, what is your outreach? Obviously you have limited budget. So how do you make yourself known to the community? I heard that you have a fundraiser come up in November, isn't that right? We do. We have one on November 30th. It's the Sunday after Thanksgiving. It's from 4 p.m. to 7 p.m. at the Davis Odd Fellows Lodge, which is in downtown Davis. But in terms of outreach, we do a variety of presentations to organizations and companies around Yolo County. You know, we have a website, Facebook. And we, you know, we hand out a lot of materials to like local mental health professionals, that kind of thing to kind of put it out there. And, you know, we now have a toll-free number and we actually just joined the National Suicide Prevention Lifeline. Oh, great. And so, do you come in? And as a matter of fact, I wanted to display these 24-hours crisis lines. And as soon as they display, so basically these are the 24-hours crisis lines. So in Davis is<PHONE_NUMBER>. And then in Woodland is<PHONE_NUMBER>. And in West Sacramento is<PHONE_NUMBER>. And we're going to display them again at the end of the interview. So people will have had time to make a note. So these are 24-hours phone numbers and they're not toll-free, but they're local numbers. Correct? They're local numbers. And when we first set up the crisis lines, that was back in the day where everybody didn't have cell phones and making your phone calls. You know, if you made a toll call, you were paying 10 cents a minute for every phone call. So it tends not to be the barrier that it used to be before. That's right. Very good point. So we've tried to have the reason we have three different lines for the community. It's just so that it has more of a community feel. But also we know that there's other parts of the county that aren't Davis, Woodland or West Sacramento, the more rural areas. And we would encourage those folks to just call whichever number they want to call. Oh, that's very interesting. So you mentioned the veterinary hospital hotline. Do you know of other organizations, I mean other hotlines in this area that, yeah? Yeah, there's centers throughout the state. Yeah, we're one of many kind of crisis lines in the state in terms of local crisis lines. Another organization runs a crisis line for victims of sexual assault and domestic violence. So they do a similar kind of operation. Our line also, as Tingting mentioned, we're going to become part of the national lifeline network. So there's an 800 number that if local individuals call that number, that call will get routed to our center. Oh, that's wonderful. Yes. And by the way, please, I encourage you to go to their website, which is yolocountysuicidepreventionandcrisis.org. I believe I said it all. I think it's suicidepreventionyolocounty.org. So all of them. Suicidepreventionyolocounty.org. Wonderful. What other services do you provide? I mean, this is obviously the most crucial one. But what else do you do? Well, yeah, so the most of our services are really anchoring on the 24-hour crisis line and then doing outreach to really encourage people to use those numbers when they are in crisis. So even so we've got the crisis line and then we have our outreach to schools program and talking about the crisis line and reaching out for help is a really important component of that. And then, of course, the survivor support group, which is held three times a year roughly for a several-week period for individuals who are coming in after having lost someone to suicide and it's a good support. That's very interesting. You alluded to that earlier. In other words, you have a support group for families and friends of victims of suicide. And that certainly must be a most helpful program. I can't imagine how dreadful it must be to lose someone to suicide. So that's a wonderful thing. So what to switch gears? I'd like to know a little more about yourselves now that you've talked about what you do. So who wants to start? Do you want to start, Sandra? Yeah. Well, I'm local to Davis. And I've been with suicide prevention now. I guess I'm going on 25 years with suicide prevention. I started in- My goodness. Yeah. That's a very long time. I started in- You must have been a baby when you joined. I was in college, actually. But yeah, so I started in 1989 as a volunteer. And then I've been employed with the agency for the most part since 1991. So I've got a long history with the organization. And it's always been a part-time job for me. So I've always kind of worked suicide prevention in the evening trainings and those kinds of things. I imagine you have a family. Yes, I do. I live locally. And I have a husband and child. Do you derive a lot of satisfaction from your work? Yeah, you know, when you work in a nonprofit, you get very connected to the issue. And so that's kind of, I think, what's kept me connected for 25 years. And so it's been a part of my son's life since he was born, coming to fundraisers and coming to meetings. And so as a- Oh, wonderful. Oh, wonderful. What about you, Ting Ting? Tell us your story. I'm also a local. I came here in eighth grade to Davis. And I went to Emerson and then Davis High and then UC Davis. And then I started volunteering while I was in college as well in 2006. And I've been with them since we've been really lucky. We have a lot of staff that are long timers. So it's a really good group. And I suppose you also try to maybe recruit in a way from UC Davis for your volunteers. I imagine that you have some. Yeah, the university is a huge resource for volunteers, for us particularly students who are in the psychology majors. They often reach out to us because they're looking for some real life experience that they can do to kind of test out if this is a field they really want to go into. And by the way, how can volunteers reach you? Is there a place on the website where they can sign up? Yeah, there's a place on the website where they can find our contact information. And they can either call for more information or they can email us, both of which are fine. Well, that sounds wonderful. Let's display the crisis lines one more time. And here they are. And again, I'm going to, Davis is<PHONE_NUMBER>. And Woodland is 530-666-778. 7778, sorry. And West Sacramento is<PHONE_NUMBER>. Well, our time is up, I'm afraid, but it was wonderful to have you here in the studio. And thank you so much for all the wonderful, important work that you do for our community. We're very grateful to you. And this is it. So. Thank you for having us. Thank you, thank you. And thank you, all of you, for watching. You can watch this, you can stream this episode again by going to dctv.davismedia.org. And also, we're on YouTube, but we also broadcast, of course, and on community television, Comcast Channel 15, and or AT&T, sorry, and AT&T U-Verse, menu 99. So, thank you very much for watching in the studio from all of us here at Davis Media Access. We say goodbye and hope you see you next time. Thank you.


Hello and welcome to the session. Today I will help you with the following question. The question says, draw the front view, side view and top view of the given object. And we are given a hexagonal block for which we have to draw the front view, side view and the top view. If you look at this hexagonal block given to us, this is the front portion of this block. So our front view would be this. So we have drawn the front view. Now let's see the side view of this hexagonal block. This is the side portion of this hexagonal block and this shows the side view of this block. Now here left which is the top view of this block. So let's draw the top view now. This figure shows the top view of this block. So we are done with the session. So hope you enjoyed the session. Have a good day.


you're, you're in a corporate environment, right?  This is pathological narcissism. We've already established this is a perfectly possible chance that he or she is. What steps do you take? Are you talking about removing yourself from that situation from that environment? Or how would you deal with that narcissist? How would you deal with that person? Because narcissists impose a shared fantasy in all types of relationships. Not only intimate, not only intimate, but in friendships, in the workplace, in church, the army, you name it. Whenever the narcissist comes across someone who can serve as a source of supply, or someone who can serve as an intimate partner of some kind, the narcissist imposes a shared fantasy. And in the shared fantasy, he is God, and you're the worshipper. In the shared fantasy, he's in control, and you are coerced in the shared fantasy. So the principles are identical in all the... So the advice is the same. No contact. No contact is a set of 27 strategies that I've designed in 1995. And it's still the best advice there is. The second best advice, if you cannot go no contact, you have children with a narcissist, you can't lose your job for some reason, you can't move away from. So if the second best advice, which is not something I came up with, I regret to say, but it's a great advice, is gray rock. To gray rock means to render yourself uninteresting to the narcissist.  Or you are incapable of curiosity. You're not a wordy adversary. Not a wordy object to be owned. Narcissists don't have adversaries, they're gods. What do you mean? What adversaries? They're not adversaries, they're gods. Some contemptible, inferior people may consider themselves to be the narcissist, adversary, or enemy. But that's because they are deluded. They realize the omnipotence, omniscience, and perfection of the narcissist, they would have never considered themselves as enemies, because to be an enemy, you need to be equal. So not no, not as an enemy, but as an object to be owned. So if you are a rock, so you have to minimize your problem here, Sam, is if you're in a corporate environment, and I have worked in a few. Don't attract attention to yourself. Minimize yourself. I mean, Robert Greene talks about this in the 48 Laws of Power as well about never upstaging the master. That's essentially the is what you're talking about. If you're compelled to say, if you're forced to say, no, my first advice is to disconnect, resign, literally. Because it can end really badly. It can end really badly and can affect your future career. Narcissists, if they are mortified, narcissists can be narcissistically injured. It's when you challenge, undermine the grandiosity in some way, a self-perception or self-image. You cause them discomfort by doing this. But they can also be mortified. Modification. Narcissism. Modification is if you shame the narcissist inadvertently even in public. The narcissist is giving a presentation, and you raise your hand and say, I'm sorry, but this slide is wrong. You've shamed him in public. That's modification. You have become his mortal enemy. Well, he doesn't have enemies, but you become something to be quashed and crushed and destroyed forever and ever. Amen. Confined to the outer oblivion of deep space. He's going to pursue you. He's going to pursue you for years. He's going to pursue you in all future careers. Narcissists are exceedingly vindictive when they're exposed to modification. And this is known as the external solution of modification. It was first described by Libby. Not by me, by Libby.  He's going to be, he's going to focus on this. This is going to be his laser force. So it couldn't extremely badly. The danger is in any environment, whether it's an academic environment or in a work environment, if you want to engage and you want to ask questions and you're curious, you're always, you could put your foot on a grenade metaphorically with a narcissist very easily. Yes. And unfortunately, the incidence and prevalence of narcissists, pathological narcissists, is increasing. These are studies, studies by Twenge and Campbell, the newer generations, people under the age of 25, under the age of 30 by now. They're much more narcissistic, they're five times more narcissistic. Do you think social media is fueling narcissism? Do you think? No, I think it's the opposite. Social media caters to narcissists. Okay. I think social media is a reaction to narcissistic needs. Yeah. But I think the restructuring of society enhances or rewards narcissists. For example, people are now self-sufficient. Technology rendered them self-sufficient. Technology is also some kind of womb matrix, if you wish, because technology is all encompassing, all engulfing, all pervasive, the Internet of everything. And technology provides instant solutions and in this sense, technology is omnipotent. It's omniscient. It's what God is, it's Godlike. So, if you own technology, if you control technology, remember core idealization. If you own technology, then you're as good as technology. And if technology is Godlike, then you're Godlike. That's why everyone in this dog nowadays is an expert about everything. People argue with medical doctors and with professors and with, why? Because they have access to Wikipedia. So, that is an excellent thing, right? Sorry? A little knowledge is the dangerous thing, the classic phrase in English language, a little knowledge is a dangerous thing, because it gives the purveyor of that knowledge a feeling of power. Yes, I think there is a phenomenon that I call malignant egalitarianism. Malignant egalitarians, we're all equal. We're all equal by virtue to having, possessing access to the same resources. So, you can surf the Wikipedia, I can surf Wikipedia, we're equal. And so, people would not hesitate to argue with me about diagnosis that I invented. And they would tell me that I don't understand the diagnosis. And I better watch, listen this, he knows better or she knows better. And there's a diagnosis that I invented. And so, technology empowers people in the wrong sense and renders them more narcissistic, that's for sure. But I think technology was a reaction to the rising tide of narcissism. And we're going to see more and more and more and more narcissistic technologies, because narcissism is a vicious, vicious cycle, vicious circle. It is self generating, self assembling and self empowering. In short, the more narcissists there are, the more they structure society, so as to reward narcissism. And the more narcissism is rewarding, the more narcissists there are. It's a feedback loop. So, reinforcing feedback. Do you know in July 2016, New Scientist, which is a science magazine. New Scientist came up with a cover story, July 2016. And the cover story said, parents, teach your children to be narcissists. Yeah. Hello everyone. That's a short clip from an episode with Professor Soundback Neen, where we talk about everything to do with narcissism. If you want to watch the full episode, it should be right about here. And the subscribe button should be right about somewhere down here.  I really appreciate each and every one of you. Have a great Christmas. Happy New Year and I'll see you all in January. Thank you so much.


Yes Thank you very much Our group consists of master students public governance following in the course public strategy at today We're going to put theory into practice This means you do not focus on the interest of the students nor on the teachers We are going to focus on the interest of Tilburg University as a whole and after doing so and turns out that those two little kids are Really good strategies and just in five minutes. We'll tell you why But first we can just encourage two environments where Tilburg University lives in first the transactional fireman This is the fireman that you can influence as an institution But moreover to the university lives also in a contextual fireman this environment You cannot influence as institution so you have to adapt to this environment and you can identify several trends and we already did so Darwin already argued is not the strongest species that survives nor nor the most intelligent But the one that is most responsive to change But then the question is to change the what together with my teammates. We identified our 25 trends that will affect Tilburg University in the near by future We have looked well which trends we have the most impact and which trend trends are the highest uncertain and we ended with two trends And we don't know how the future will look like in 2025, but we can identify four scenarios based of those two trends Next week we have elections, so we do not know what the next government will do and we have elections after that But also we don't know what the role of digitalization will be in 2025 It can either be as a supplement, but it also can replace the current infrastructure And if if the first scenario can look like an American model it's highly competitive to which the fees will rise Accessibility will become a problem, but at the end can also be open University 2025 Digitalization replace the current infrastructure and but primarily government fund fund it And the idea behind scenario analysis is that if you focus on two opposite scenarios And you can survive both scenarios use strategy plan can survive both scenarios. Then you're ready good prepared for the future So now we're going to zoom in on two scenarios the MOOC market and back to basic model Firstly the MOOC market It's primarily market led Digitalization keep kept rising And how will university looks like well, it's quite empty Students follow the courses behind the desktop by the laptop And it's primarily our learning in the future And what will teaching teaching look like well Teaching will look like in like in the record studio where you record your lectures And there was all this also mean that the guys different skills from the teachers And in terms of funding well, it's primarily private funding so Private and public partnerships will occur even more And then the back to basics model It's primarily government funded in this model And the government will tighten their control in terms of more strict regulation So what does this mean in terms of strategic implications to survive both scenarios in the future? Well, it becomes clear that digitalization will play a very important role in the future But you do not know to what extent so you have to invest in digital infrastructure At least but also you have to invest in In training of the current employees of turbo universities so that they are prepared for a very digital environment And we also need to experiment with MOOCs for instance And then in terms of growth The board provided provided us with some dimensions about autonomous growth and disruptive growth But we argue why you should growth in both ways The current market share is not enough to compete against Utrecht University, Reichs Universites Groningen So we need to grow in the number of students To be prepared for a highly competitive market But also in terms of private in terms of partnerships You need to prepare yourself You already have to identify which partnerships can be used in a nearby future both private But also in public private ships to collaborate with other universities And you have to distinguish yourself You have to be you need more specialization if you want to prepare for a highly competitive market So generalization will not survive future not the back Maybe it will survive the back to basic model But it won't never will never survive on MOOC market or an american model And lastly there's some coordination needed But you also need to be aware that bottom-up initiatives Will be the future the MOOCs need to be developed by the teaching themselves So there should be room for bottom-up initiatives for bottom-up entrepreneurship But coordination is needed to become an adaptive institution And then the question remains why are those two kids really good strategists Well, they sound highly uncertain future and they prepared themselves by buying rain suits And Tobago University has to do the same It's quite a certain future and they have to prepare themselves And there are no such thing as bad scenarios but only bad preparation Thank you very much And the last team before the break Team 6


Good morning everyone. It is great to be here in San Francisco meeting with leaders and conducting the business of making Canada's economy even stronger. Canada is a Pacific economy and we're working to strengthen and deepen our cooperation with the 20 other Pacific economies here at APEC. APEC represents almost 3 billion people and over 60% of global GDP. These are economies that are dynamic, growing, and that recognize that by working together, we can build prosperity that works for people across the Pacific from north to south. There is huge potential for Canada in opening up more trade along the Pacific. It's why we launched our Indo-Pacific strategy last year and why ministers from across the government have been working with counterparts in the region to strengthen Canada's presence and forge new opportunities. We launched these initiatives to spread all the potential that this dynamic region represents for Canada, the potential to create good jobs, the potential to expand the global market for Canadian companies, the potential to tighten our relationships with partners to defend our values. Like democracy, the fight against climate change and the creation of a central economy on the well-being of all of us is our priority. But the very foundation of all this work must be built on peace and security. There's a lot of turbulence in the world right now. We continue to call out Russia's illegal and ongoing invasion of Ukraine and I raised it in all of my interactions here at APEC. I also raised Canada's concerns about the heartbreaking situation in Israel, Gaza, and the West Bank and the deep, deep impact it's having on people all around the world. For the hostages taken 40 days ago and the families that are waiting in agony for their release, for the human tragedy that is unfolding in Gaza, for the suffering of everyone enduring this ongoing violence and all of those around the world who've lost loved ones, that loss is being deeply felt. And Canada, like other APEC partners, has lost a number of our own. I also thank the leaders for deploying firefighters in Canada this summer. All over the world, we have suffered the ravages of climate change and we are helping each other. And it's in this spirit of cooperation that we discuss what we do in Canada in terms of energy and clean technology to create opportunities together. APEC is about cooperating so we can build stronger economies and grow the middle class. Canada is a founding member of APEC, and today, four out of five of our top merchandise trading partners are APEC economies. This is a growing trade relationship thanks to efforts like the CPTPP and our Indo-Pacific strategy, and also because Canada is firmly oriented towards the economy of the future. A lot of businesses and countries like what they see when they look at Canada. Canada is a strong and stable democracy with solid institutions that can resist oppression. Our economy is fed about 84% by clean electricity. We take smart strategic decisions, such as investing in a chain of supply chains in electric vehicles and batteries that will support workers for decades to come. They see a country with a strong middle class and a workforce that is inclusive where women's participation is higher than ever and is growing. And since we're in California near Silicon Valley, it also bears mentioning the businesses in other countries see all the innovation coming out of Canada, in AI, in quantum computing and across tech. I had a chance to meet with leaders from the Canadian and American tech sector and hear about all the momentum there is around Canadian businesses. And our APEC partners see it too. Malaysia just signed a cyber security deal with BlackBerry. Innovative ideas aren't just about what happens in high tech industries. It's about getting creative and applying new thinking to big problems. That's why I met with growers and grocers and innovators to talk about how we can lower the cost of food for people, including for Canadians. People at home continue to worry about the cost of feeding their families. We delivered on the grocery rebate and are calling on grocers to stabilize prices. But we know that with climate change and continued disruption from major powers like Russia, we have to think about the issue of food costs from every angle. By taking into account the logistics, by putting on foot more resilient supply chains, by strengthening trade and by finding less expensive means to cultivate nutritious food, we can help reduce the price of food in Canada. At the end of the day, it's all about making people's lives better. Canada is a destination of choice for investors around the world. Indeed, the OECD's most recent numbers shows that Canada is in the top three biggest destinations for foreign investment. Here at APEC, we're making sure that all of our Pacific partners understand the benefit of doing business in Canada. As always, I had lots of conversations both formally and informally with a huge range of my fellow leaders. This year, the theme of APEC is about innovation, inclusion and interconnection. These are concepts that Canada understands very well. We understand very well that everything is interrelated. Economic policy is climate policy, is security policy, is social policy. It all works together. Multilateral meetings like this one are crucial to making sure that we are supporting the middle class and meeting this moment on every front.


At Ellis Brigham we take product testing really seriously. It forms a crucial part of our range selection and today we're out here at the ski industries of Great Britain ski tests in Kutai, Austria. This is the last part of our range selecting, it's where we're going to decide exactly what skis and boots we stock in store. What I want to do now is pass you over to the brands so they can tell you about the key features of this ski, who it's designed for and what it's going to do. The K2 disruption SC really suits an advanced skier looking to work on their technique. Maybe not going helpful either but you want to really practice your calves. It's got some great tech features inside to give you a help with that. We have carbon dark matter dampening in the tip of the ski that works to take out the shearing forces and really quietens down the tip on the turn entry but we have this carbon backbone it's a carbon eye beam which allows the ski to have torsional grip while also giving a good amount of zing out of the turn so it's really lively and energetic.


What's up, Navigation Traders? Welcome to this week's video update. Today is Friday, October 19th. Before we jump into the alerts for the week, just wanted to point out a couple new things in the members area. When you first log in, you're gonna see a couple things. One, strategy watch list. We have updated this with some new symbols. We've removed some symbols. As symbols come in and out of favor, some stocks go out of business, get bought, merged. Other liquidity events come into the markets. This will be updated from time to time. And just to let you know, we just recently updated that so you can click on the strategy watch list for an updated version there. And then secondly, we sent out an email about this, but also the earnings watch list. We are getting ready to be in the thick of earnings season. And so this is something that's going to be continually automatically updated for you to give you the upcoming earning dates of the, about 170 some stocks of the most liquid stocks that we would consider for earnings related trades. And all those strategies are taught in our earnings course called how to trade options on earnings for quick profits that you'll have here. So let's jump into the alerts for the week, starting with Monday the 15th. The first trade that we made was in the ES. So we were simply rolling this trade down. We are over 50% of max profit on this piece of the trade. So what we like to do is we like to roll those strikes closer to the current price, pick up some credit for doing so. And in this case, we just, we stayed in November and because there's decent time left, some of the trades we had already rolled out to December. So just kind of spread that risk around via the different time frames until expiration. So if we take a look at that, here is the analyze tab. You can see price is pretty close to where we rolled it from. So if we get a little bit more downside, that would benefit this. And this is our long put vertical, which we originally implemented for that short Delta in our portfolio. Gotta keep that short bias anytime you're selling premium to protect yourself from vicious downside moves, like we've seen recently. And that's benefited us greatly for having that short Delta on. Now, as far as where we stand with our short Delta to theta ratio, we always talk about, we like to be in that one to one to five to one. So for every dollar of theta, we like to have a dollar of short Delta up to a maximum of negative five Delta per one. So one to one to five to one is the kind of ratio that we like to play in. And right now we're about one to one. So we're on the lower end of that range. So if we had a massive move down, it's not gonna help us as much. But of course, if this market turns around and starts going higher, we're gonna be in a good position for that as well.  And so we're gonna continue to manage that as needed. If we do see some more upside in the market and we wanna reposition for a little bit more short Delta, we might do that. We're automatically going to get more short Delta as the price moves up due to the range bound trades that we like to trade as part of our core strategy. But we'll just see what happens. So right now we're about one to one. Now the long put vertical is also separate from our ES iron condor trade. So we've got two sets of short call verticals that were originally part of our iron condor trade. And we'll go over those in just a second here because I know we've got some trades that happened this week in that piece as well. The next trade was an opening adjusting trade in IWM. So we just added an iron condor in IWM, IV percentile nice and high at 97. And so we added that on. So we still have a short put vertical on as well from an iron condor. Let's take a look at that. And this is the iron condor we just put on. So we've got a little bit of profit in there at this point. Not enough to do anything with yet. And then if we look at just the short put vertical, which we still have on, you can see it's busted way out of range with this down move, but we're holding it to kind of help balance out our portfolio if it moves back up. Great, we'll benefit on that piece. If not, we'll probably close this as we get closer to expiration or potentially roll it to help balance our portfolio depending on where everything is at. So stay tuned for that. Next trade, rolling adjusting trade in Apple. So same kind of situation. In this case, this was our last trade that we had left in October with just four days to expiration. Those October options expired today, Friday. And so we just simply rolled down our long put vertical. Excuse me, we just rolled it out in time. So we rolled it from October to November, stayed in the exact same strike. So we're at the 232.20. And we just picked up some credit for doing so and continue to keep that as short delta in our portfolio. And Apple's been really strong until this week and we finally got some down movement to help benefit that piece, but here you can see where price is still well within our range, pretty close to where we put it on. And if we get some more downside in Apple, that'll benefit that trade. Next one was a closing adjusting trade in Ford slash CL. So we closed out one of our short strangles, booked around 40% of max profit on that piece of the trade. And at that point we were still holding our adjusted strangle which was at the 68 and a half strike for both the puts and calls. So we still had that on and we exited that later here in the week. So once we get to that alert, I will go to the platform to show what we've got there. And then next trade was a closing trade in EWZ. So we had a short strangle on here, had this on for just 13 days, booked a profit, over 40% of max profit in just 13 days. And remember I've been talking about this for a couple of weeks, but even before the market volatility that we've seen, the implied volatility in EWZ was extremely high due to the current presidential elections that are going on in Brazil. And it really pumped up the option premium which was a great opportunity to be selling premium. Fear is nearly always overstated and that was the case here. So we booked a nice profit on that one. Next trade was a closing trade in Costco. So we had an iron condor on in Costco, had that on for just 11 days and booked a 35% of max profit in just 11 days. And that's how quickly this implied volatility can contract. This was actually a post earnings iron condor that we did in Costco. So they had earnings but implied volatility stayed bid, stayed really high. So we jumped in there and sold some premium and benefited well. So good trade in Costco. Next trade was a closing trade in EWW. This was another kind of allowing the same lines, booked over 30% of max profit in just six days. And we put on a short strangle in EWW when the implied volatility got super high, contracted and booked a nice profit really quickly in EWW. Next trade was a closing trade. And so this is where we closed out of our short strangle in oil and CL. So this is one that we've had on for a few months and we just stayed mechanical. We sold some premium. It kind of moved to one end of our range. We might add a little piece to it and we continued to roll and stay mechanical and do what was needed. And so this was the close of the overall trade that we've been in for a few months. So let me go to the closing trades if you didn't see this. This was our biggest single winner that we've seen in our Alerts portfolio ever since we started posting our alerts. So we booked over $3,400 just on this one trade. You can see we started this trade back in, at the end of May. So several months in the trade but just continued to stay mechanical. And we were never really down on the trade. Implied volatility was just nice. So we kept kind of adding to it and taking it off, and as you can see, booked a really nice profit there. So great trade in oil, and I've talked about this before, but oil is one of my favorite vehicles just because you get so much credit for a fairly low buying capital requirement. So love trading oil. And so we were out of that at this point. And then the next trade was EWZ. So implied volatility staying nice and high. So we entered a new short strangle in EWZ. And so we've still got that on. If we take a look at EWZ here, you can see still pretty centered well within our range. And we'll still continue to monitor that one as needed, but nothing to do at this point. And that's in November, which at this point now has 28 days to expiration. So remember, once we get under 21 days, we'll be looking to roll or do something or close that one out. So we'll see what happens. If we get a quick contraction in implied volatility, who knows, we may book this winter if things go like they have been. And if not, we'll just continue to manage it as needed. Next trade was a closing trade in XRT. So again, another quick winner. We were only in this one for eight days, booked right around 30% of max profit in just eight days in XRT. XRT is the retail ETF. So if you take a look here, if I could type this in here, XRT, you can see implied volatility. We put it on when implied volatility spiked up to this area and then had a quick contraction and took that off for a nice winner. So we're at an XRT at this point. Next trade was an opening adjusting trade in EEM. So we already had an adjusted strangle in place. Price moved down to the very lower end of the range in our adjusted strangle. And so we hadn't adjusted that one again yet. But in this case, we just added on another centered strangle. In this case, we did it out in December with 64 days to expiration, which is just outside of our wheelhouse. We tend to stay within that 30 to 60 days. But in this case, November only had 29 days, so less than 30. In December had 64, a little bit over 60. So we opted for the further dated options, giving us a little bit more time on this one. And so if we take a look at EEM, we've still got both of these pieces in place. Here is our November one, which is an adjusted strangle, currently basically a straddle at the 42 strike. And you can see prices hanging out down here in the lower range. If we look at just the calls, you can see we've still got a tiny bit of profit left in those calls. So if price moves much lower at all, we're going to adjust that. But if it moves back up, we may book a profit if it moves up. So we'll just see what happens. I'm not ready to roll those calls down yet at this point. And then the piece from the alert that I just added was this another strangle. You can see it's dead centered. Not much profit or loss at all. Still very centered from right where we put it on. So we'll continue to watch that as well. Next trade was an opening trade in Ford slash 6B. So I noted here that 6B was just recently added to the navigation trading watch list. And this is the British pound futures. So we used options on that futures contract and sold some premium here. And I noted that the IV percentile is currently at 86, and we used the corresponding ETF, which is FXB. So if we take a look at FXB, that's because the implied volatility indicator isn't very accurate on some of these futures contracts. So you've got to use the corresponding ETF to get an accurate reading. And in this case it was nice and high. So we put on that short strangle in Ford slash 6B. And you can see we've got a little bit of profit here up about 87 bucks, but not enough to take off yet. We're looking for between 30% and 50% of that max profit before we close that one out. Next trade was a rolling adjusting trade in Ford slash ES. So this is one of our short call verticals. It was originally part of our iron condor trade, kind of same situation as the long put vertical where we're up over 50% of max profit. So that profit line started to really flatten out on us. So we wanted to roll those strikes closer. And in this case we rolled this out from November to December and then adjusted our strikes down to pick up a nice credit here. So if we take a look at ES again, we already looked at the long put vertical here. So let's reset these so I can check on the correct boxes and then we'll take a look. So we'll uncheck that and then we will take a look at this one here. And so you can see price has moved down some since then. So we're up several hundred dollars on that piece. And then here is the other one. So very similar trades, both of them out in December and this one is pretty close to where we put it on. So just again holding those for that short delta, that short bias in our portfolio. And we'll continue to manage those as needed. Next trade and the last trade was we got back into oil. So applied volatility stayed nice and high. IV percentile was at 62 and IV rank was at 70. And we were using USO, the corresponding ETF, to look at that. Now usually IV percentile most of the time is higher than the IV rank. So in this case I noted what the IV rank was as well. Sometimes you get in periods where the IV rank, based on the calculation of that implied volatility indicator, they just have a little bit different calculation. That's why we use both. Because we want to see if either one is over 50, that to us that represents good opportunity to enter trade. So let's take a look at USO. And you can see it's at 66 on the percentile now, 73 on the rank. So great time to be selling premium. So we entered a new short strangle in oil. And you can see it's right where we put it on. Applied volatility has actually gone up a little bit since we put it on. So you can see we're slightly down on the trade but dead centered in the middle of our range. So those are all the alerts. Let's take a look at some of the other positions. I mentioned these ones, gold. Gold we have this short strangle on here. And it seems like gold has been hanging out in the upper end of its range for quite a while now. So we're down on the trade but still well within our range. No need to adjust yet. We are in the December options which still have 39 days to expiration so a lot could happen in the next 39 days. So if price continues higher then we'll just roll our puts up, collect some more credit and continue to manage that as needed. Obviously if price moves down back into the center of our range, we'll have the opportunity to book a profit. And that would probably happen next week. If price moved down we'd have a chance to book this one next week but we'll see what happens. Natty gas has been a little bit of a wild ride for us but we've got two pieces to this trade on. One is this adjusted strangle where you can see prices hanging out up here. So could use a little bit of downside movement to benefit that piece. And then we've got this other unadjusted strangle where price is pretty centered here and just waiting for some implied volatility contraction to benefit that. If we take a look at the implied volatility we'll use UNG which is the corresponding ETF. You can see this implied volatility has been grinding higher and it's higher than when we put it on so we haven't gotten a lot of that theta decay for just being in the trade for the period of time we have but eventually this will contract and assuming price stays in a decent range for us hopefully we get out of this one nicely. Next trade, wheat. We've been in this one for quite some time continuing to manage. I was actually looking for a closing. We had a little over $300 at one point according to looking at this. I tried to get filled, we weren't getting filled and it's come down a little bit since then but we'll continue to manage this. The other thing we will, if it moves a little bit lower potentially we might add another centered iron condor around that to collect more credit and extend duration on that trade. Apple, I already mentioned that we've got the long put vertical so looking for some downside to benefit that. DIA, we've got two short call verticals one in November, one in December. This is our November position and so just looking for some more downside to benefit that piece and then also the one that's out in December where we've got a profit there as well but could use a little bit more downside to do anything on that. Again, these were part of an iron condor we're just holding on to and continuing to roll an extend duration to keep that short delta in our overall portfolio. EEM, I already mentioned that one. EWZ, I mentioned FXI. We've got two butterfly spreads on in FXI. This is the call butterfly and you can see price had moved down slightly outside of the range here and we added a, hold that one for now. Both of these are in November so we added a put butterfly and you can see this one's pretty centered. We're up some money on this one. Not enough to take off yet. We like to get about 20 to 25% profit on this and we've got $720 in this so $140, $150 is what we're looking for before we would book a profit in that one. IWM, we've got the short put vertical already went over that one so could use some upside on that and we've got the other full iron condor as well. Kind of a similar story with IYR. We've got this short put vertical because price had come down through our breakeven and so we took off the untested side and so we're just looking for a little bit of upside movement in IYR to benefit that piece and then we've also got another full iron condor on here where you can see we're pretty centered. We've got some profit in that and we haven't taken off yet. QQQ, we've got two sets of short call verticals and just waiting for this one in fact is over 50% of max profit but I just wanted to give it until next week instead of doing some more. We did a lot of rolling the last couple of weeks so just trying to spread that out. Still got plenty of profit in there if we do continue down but we will look to potentially roll this out to December which strikes closer to price, collect another credit and continue to play that game and keep it for short delta and then same thing with this one here we don't have quite as much profit here but just holding on to this for that short delta and if it continues too much lower we'll do the same thing with rolling and continuing to extend duration on that one. Restoration hardware one that we don't trade very often but it's set up nicely for what we're trying to do and this was simply the point where we're under that one to one short delta to theta ratio and so we wanted to add some more short delta on and in this case RH it came up and it had this big move down and then bounced up because they announced a stock buyback and we're looking for the stock to roll back over it went up a little bit higher after we put that on but it's starting to look like it's rolling over now so we'll continue to see what happens but again we just put that on for some additional short delta SMH this one we've got a short strangle on here that has been adjusted price is moving down here out of our range but remember we don't really pay attention to the breakevens after we've made an adjustment the way we like to look at this is if we just look at the untested side you can see we've still got a little bit of profit left in that one but if price moves much lower here we'll roll those calls down collect some more credit and then potentially roll out to December if we need to extend duration on this one TLT the bonds we need a little bit of up movement in TLT and we could book a profit there if not we may look to add to this one and add on another centered iron condor probably out in December if we were looking to add that next week and VXX we had our short call vertical that we added after implied volatility spiked up now implied volatility has gone higher since we put this on so that's why price has moved out of our range if we get another explosion in implied volatility we would probably add to this but at this point we're just waiting to see if implied volatility continues to contract and if it does price will move back into our range so we'll just see what happens and then XLK short bias position here we've got a decent amount of profit here we're just holding on to this and we'll either roll or close this one out depending on what happens there so that's all the alerts and those are all the positions hope that was helpful everybody have a great weekend and look forward to another great week of trading next week talk to you soon


The appearance of a galaxy can depend strongly on the color of the light with which it is viewed. This galaxy, when seen in visible light, exhibits tightly wound spiral arms that give it a pinwheel shape similar to that of many other spirals. However, when the galaxy is viewed in ultraviolet light, its shape is startlingly different. Ultraviolet light has a shorter wavelength than ordinary visible light and is emitted from stars that are much hotter than the sun. At ultraviolet wavelengths, which are rendered as blue in his Hubble image, we see a spectacular, nearly circular, bright ring surrounding its nucleus. The ring marks the presence of many recently formed, hot stars.


This is covering the spread part of the Fandall podcast network The goal of today's show is to have a little bit of something for everyone between Baseball NFL and some NASCAR at the end, which is probably just for me We've got to feel the dreams game for tonight in baseball cubs versus Reds being played in diaries of Iowa That was fun last year. We'll talk about that my model says about that game and more I'm gonna break down my favorite NFL week one bets here We have not had that on the show yet because we've been in a daily format for just a couple of days now And a chance to look at those week one lines regular season lines We talked about preseason stuff with Joe Straussky on yesterday's show He wants some thoughts on that check that one out, but then we'll wrap up with some NASCAR bets for Richmond I am High on a couple drivers in the cup series and the high on two drivers in the truck series as well We'll talk about what my numbers like if you don't want to hear NASCAR I'll shove it at the end so no worries there welcome on into covering the spread That's right here on the fan dual podcast network and number fire calm My name is Jim Sonnis I am a senior writer and analyst for number fired com for what should be a pretty fun show For today we'll start things off with the field of dreams game in just one second But first a reminder to make sure you subscribe to covering the spread I mentioned we had Joe Straussky on to break down NFL week number one again We are here regular season or a preseason week number one We're here every weekday Breaking down some bets that our numbers like trying to get you more betting content and info to help you fill out some good bed Slips as always giddy each of these podcasts by subscribing to the covering the spread podcast each tomorrow JJ Zacharyson will be on to break down his favorite player props season-long player props We'll talk to him about that building up projections and much more JJ's had a lot of success when we've had him on here the past couple of years as Well NFL week one odds are out now and now's the time to try Fandall sportsbook if you haven't already Get in on the action early this season help you get started new Fandall sportsbook customers Can get a no sweat first bet up to one a thousand dollars Think your favorite team is making the playoffs. Who is your dark horse to win the Russian title? JJ can answer that tomorrow Odds for that and more are available on the Fandall sportsbook app Just sign up place your first bet and Fandall will give you up to one thousand dollars back and freebats if you don't win There is no better place to get ready for the football season than on Fandall sportsbook America's number one sportsbook an official sports betting partner of the NFL must be 21 plus and president select states First online real money wager only refund issued is non withdrawal with freebats that expire 14 days after a seat Restrictions apply so you terms at sportsbook.fandall.com gambling problem call 1-800 gambler or visit fandall.com slash RG in Arizona 1-800 next step or Texan acceptify 3-3-4-2 in Connecticut 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org slash chat in Louisiana 1-777-770 stop in New York 1-777-8 hope and wire text open Y In Tennessee call the red line at 1-888-9779 in Wyoming 1-805-224-700 or in West, Virginia 1-800 gambler dot net let's talk about this field of dreams game coming tonight between the Cubs and the Red Second-ever game they've done out in Dyersville, Iowa. I grew up in Minnesota It's not an hour north of the Iowa border and went to Dyersville They have like this like huge like die cast car store in Dyersville, so I love that place That was a lot of fun and then got to see field of dreams too It's actually pretty fun better than it you may think just for a baseball field in a cornfield This one Cubs versus Reds and remember last year. It was a home run Derby It was the White Sox versus the Yankees Final score there was nine eight and I believe there were eight total home runs hit. It was absurd the way things went So obviously it was an offensive slash Homer friendly environment It was 82 degrees there tonight's temperature 76 degrees with 70% humidity So it's a little bit worse than it was last year terms of offense It's not a super deep park. So I think that's probably why we saw the home runs last year It's probably fair to expect a pretty Offensive friendly environment to get the total for this game is at nine right now with minus 106 on the over I took over eight and a half last night I wasn't banging the table for it like it wasn't they oh, yeah, I got to get this one in it was okay I was fine with it now that it's nine I'm probably okay standing Pat where it's currently at but there is a case of the over here if you think that the Dingerfest we saw last year translates to this year as well The one that my numbers do like for this game is the Cubs money line because money line minus 102 The Reds are minus 116 my model has the Cubs at 53 percent to win this game I'm treating home field is pretty much neutral for tonight because the Reds do get the bottom of the night And that does matter for sure But the Cubs a bit less travel coming from Chicago to Iowa. So I'm treating home field is Effectively nothing. I've got the Cubs win odds at 53 percent versus 50.5 percent implied That's a big enough edge for me to bet and I don't mind doing so because Drew Smiley is Flyball pitcher could be a concern with all the home runs we saw last year, but he's done a much better job recently I was suppressing hard contact this Cubs offense not bad against lefties that may help a tiny bit here, too So if I'm looking for one bet in this game My favorite one would be the Cubs money line at minus 102 over at fangirls sportsbook I'm doing the strikeout department is being pretty efficient here Drew Smiley is at four and a half with minus 146 in the over Nick Lidolo six and a half with minus 1552 on the over I have Lidolo projected for seven flat strikeouts But his over odds there are not close to 60% so can't get towards the over there I smiley at 4.08 so his under odds are 59% and that means there's value with under four and a half being plus 116 so I could bet Smiley under four and a half, but I Haven't yet, and I don't think I will It's based on a small sample because he hasn't pitched a lot this year as miss a lot as he came back where he changes approach Longer term Smiley has been more of a strikeout guy than he has been recently So although I'm showing value here. It's a pass from me personally on the smiley under and I can't get to Lidolo Over six and a half either Fandal as of right now as of this recording on Thursday morning does not have just plain home run odds They have to hit two plus home runs. They've got home run money line Parley. I'm not seeing anything there personally But if they do go up later one guy check into his say a Suzuki He is five to one at Caesars plus four seventy five at draft Kings I don't think you'll get him plus six hundred elsewhere But like let's say you open to Fandal five to one I'm probably gonna give that a lot of consideration. I've been thinking about it five to one At Caesars with Fandal not open yet. So shop around. I'm not expecting It to get longer than five to one But even a five to one I think it's pretty fair a lot of fly balls against lefties again a dinger-friendly environment Lidolo does let up fly balls. So of the guys here Suzuki is my favorite Patrick wisdom also a big fly ball guy versus lefties But he strikes out a lot and with the number of strikeouts Lidolo gets I think that is actually a big consideration So say a Suzuki is the guy I would look to there I think overall though again the best bet I like for tonight is the Cubs money line and minus one or two I think that's the best one here And then Suzuki at five to one to go deep the second one I consider depending if you can get that one wherever your available books are but overall should be a fun game for Tonight with the Field of Dreams game out in Iowa. Okay. Let's talk NFL week one regular season because We're about to get preseason games Which means we're probably gonna start to see some lines shift not just based on injuries, but also because Some teams will play well or some players will play well during the preseason that could shift their odds for week one So I think this week is probably your final time to get if you want to buy low on a team before Numbers move even more. This is the second inflection point coming up here So I'd like to get in on the Couple week one bets I talked with Joe Strausky about preseason again If you want to find that search that on the covering the spread podcast feed But for week one regular season, I have two spreads showing up as being pretty good for week one Those are the Giants plus six and a half and the Texans plus eight and those lines are a fan duel You can't get the Texans plus eight and a half in some other spots Let's start here the Giants facing the Titans This is more about the Titans than it is about the Giants They lost AJ Brown the offseason Traylon Burks not getting a ton of run with the first team offense training camp And there's no Julio Jones, which means it's Ryan Tannehill with a group of non-elite pass catchers Tannehill has been fine with AJ Brown But is he a guy who can support an offense that doesn't have good past catches around him So that doesn't seem great and plus the Giants are volatile, but in a good way I would say they got a new coaching staff. They've had improvements along the offensive line via the draft. I don't mind buying into them here. So The Giants plus six and a half I think it's actually a pretty good bet and the best number you can't get is a fan duel So I do like that one. I like the Giants here. I'm going to bet that versus the Titans in week number one The Texans may be a tougher sell. I'm a bit more skeptical. I did bet it So I'm willing to do it But you know took me more time to talk myself into this one than the Giants one They're facing the Colts here and that's why my hesitation is present because I don't know if my model is properly valuing this Colts offense I've got them projected to rank 11th in offensive efficiency this year, which is pretty high But with the way people talk about Matt Ryan and you know dismiss Carson Wentz It's possible that I'm too low because it's possible that Wentz Made the supporting cast in Indy look worse than it actually was because I don't think that supporting cast is like Phenomenal right now. It's like good. It's fine, but it's not the mostly past catchers Not the best offensive line anymore. They've got some good guys still but like it's not a lead top to bottom So I'm skeptical of the supporting cast and Ryan look kind of cooked at times last year like he wasn't bad He's still super super smart. That's valuable, but like wasn't Chucking it deep as well as he used to in the past It sounds like Shaquille Leonard used to be Darius Leonard, but Shaquille Leonard now He's probably gonna miss week one the Texans on the other hand of a lot of continuity on offense They've got pet Hamilton. He was I believe quarterbacks coached last year. He's back as the OC Past catchers are the same day. This mills is back for the full off season. I Prefer the Giants plus six and a half between these two bets, but the Texans plus eight I don't mind it again. You can get it eight and a half. So please do so but I think that if we're looking at week one Those are the two numbers that stand out most to me. I'm not sure if the Texans one will move I think it's more likely that the Giants one moves because we could see the Colts come out of the preseason look good That would probably increase some enthusiasm there. So I think the ones I'm more likely to lock in It's the Giants or have I've locked in both these but like the one I think it's a bigger priority to bet would be the Giants, but overall, I Think it's good to bet both these my number show value I believe in my number so I will have those for week number one We'll talk more about week number one as we get closer to break down some Some other stuff may pop up try and talk myself into a couple more money lines But we'll see how things shake out in the coming weeks and again We'll talk about more NFL with JJ Zacharyson on tomorrow's show. Okay Let's talk about some NASCAR Richmond again If you don't want to listen to NASCAR totally get it feel free to dip out We'll talk to you tomorrow talk about some player props, but we have NASCAR Richmond and as mentioned I'm gonna talk about this each week until NFL starts I'll be sure to dump it at the back end of the podcast so you can dip out if you want, but I like NASCAR It's my best sport for betting. So why would I not discuss it on a betting focused podcast this week? The Cup series and the truck series are Richmond in cup. I'm on the Ford's in trucks. I am on the vets I think that is a Path I am okay with for sure in the Cup series the guys my numbers like most are Joey Logano and Kevin Harvick I like Lugano's outright and top 10 odds. He's 15 to 1 to win a faddle minus 135 to finish top 10 I want both those Lugano ranks third in aggregate average running position on the short flat tracks this year four-way sample He ranks third behind just Chase Elliott and William Byron That does not include the wins that Lugano got a gateway in Darlington But gateway is flat similar to Richmond Darlington features massive tire fall off like Richmond So I have both those races in my model. It helps Lugano some but His track history is also good He's had a top five average running position in five of the past eight Richmond races and that spans four different rules packages, so 2018 was one 2019 was one 2020 and 2021 were one of them this year as well Lugano does have two career wins here. I like him a lot and I bet him in both markets I think that he is a a great value bet for this week. My model tends to be far too high on Lugano, but I've been talking to Nick Giffin Roto doc on Twitter. His model also viewed Lugano as being Better than market. I think he had him as fair value of plus 1732 if I recall correctly So not 15 to 1 but I do like my model if you average with 2 out I think you would still show value there too So Lugano my favorite bet for this week Harvick is 16 to 1 not as big of a values Lugano But he nearly won this race back in the spring. He was awesome in Phoenix He had a fifth place average running position in New Hampshire Harvick has run well on this track type all year long I've got Harvick at 8.2 percent to win this race. His implied odds are 5.9 percent, which is a pretty big gap And usually that'd be the biggest gap But I actually have a bigger gap on Lugano for this week because again that model's too high in him But hey, whatever Harvick's top 10 odds of Fandall are minus 170. I have him Literally almost dead even it's like 62.9 percent versus 62.7 or something But like he's dead even there if you can find Harvick at minus 150 or shorter I would or a longer I should say I would take that Minus 150 be 60 percent implied odds at 63 ish percent. I would take that so if you can get it minus 150 I would take it but if it's just minus 170 I'd probably pass and just go with the outright on Harvick there I would also check available books to see if they're offering manufacturer props I have forwarded 33.3 percent to win if you read my betting guide Yesterday on number fire, you'll note that number is now higher But that's because Kurt Busch withdrew that bump forward up even a bit more. That's probably too high 33.3 percent, but At Caesar's you can bet them a plus 430 to win. That's a lot of margin for error So if you have that even a short of three to one I would take that the forwards have not been good recently outside of Harvick's win in Michigan, but at this track type and Similar track types. They have been very good So I do like the forwards overall to outperform our expectations and they get the best way for me to phrase that As of the truck series, it's similar to what I had for IRP We didn't have them on this podcast obviously, but did talk about it on Twitter It's a lot of the the older guys now Ben Rhodes not old these 24 25 But he's a veteran for the truck series. I would say the champion last year I like Rhodes and Grant Enfinger both 12 to 1 to win this race that those odds of fangirl sports But I actually bet both in the 10 to 1 earlier in the week before fangirl was open. So Oops my bad, but Makes me feel better about 12 to 1 for sure if you're betting it now Enfinger one IRP I was on him at 20 to 1 there. It's a very similar track to Richmond It's a short flat track with heavy tire fall off and Richmond checks all those boxes too Enfinger did win here back in 2020 My model doesn't care about that because it happened in a different team So that's actually like effectively nullified from my model. It knows that he has good track history But does downgrade that due to the different equipment Rhodes is the bigger value between the two guys for me He has struggled recently even at IRP which is concerning to me given how similar these tracks are But he was a threat to win here in 2020 and 2021 He tends to run well at phoenix. There's another short flat track Rhodes a good dirt racer and I actually do care about that because the dirt tracks in NASCAR Tend to run very similar to a track with heavy tire fall off because it won't just slick So I actually do care about good dirt racing For this race I have roads at 11.8 to win. Enfinger is 10.2 percent Both those are above their implied marks of 7.7 percent. That's a pretty big gap again So I'm pretty far off market on Harvick Logano roads and Enfinger, which is always scary But there's a lot of room for error my model to be off and still be above market on those guys I am also showing some value in steward freason He is 7.8 percent from me versus 6.3 percent implied But not as high as Rhodes and Enfinger freason another good road or a good dirt racer Doesn't have the same history at this track as those two guys do and I do care about track history a bit more richman than other places So that's why despite showing value. I'm not there, but I will take Enfinger and Rhodes both at 12 to 1 at Fandals sportsbook. So again richman's or NASCAR my best sport my favorite sport to bet on as well So we'll we'll talk about that probably each thursday at least until NFL gets rolling, but Do you want to at least get that out there on the shows when we can? That is all that we have here for today on covering the spread so a fun night for tonight between field of dreams some NFL pre-season games and Getting into more mlb tomorrow and talking about the NFL JJ Zachary's and to get that podcast of JJ or to check out What joe Strausky said about NFL pre-season games search for covering the spread wherever you get your podcast hit subscribe And if you like what you hear leave us a rating and review as well If you've got any questions for me, I am on twitter at jim sonnis j i m s a n n e s You can also follow the fan dual podcast network at fan dual podcasts big Thank you to everyone for tuning in for today. Good luck to you with your field of dream beds Enjoy the game We'll talk to you once again tomorrow to talk about some season long player props with JJ Zachary's This has been covering the spread right here on the fan dual podcast network


It's July and it's getting hot, just like the deals at Appalachian Wireless. All month get the Samsung Galaxy S8 for just a penny with a two-year agreement. But don't wait because the deal ends soon. Better service, bigger savings. That's today's Appalachian Wireless. A Pike County grand jury has indicted three people in an alleged murder in Pikeville earlier this month. According to court documents, 22-year-old Michigan resident Antoine Wilson is charged in a five-count indictment in the July 2 murder of Amari Hall, who had been staying at a residence at Sunny Lane in Pikeville. Also indicted were 22-year-old Cully Maxwell of Detroit and a subject identified in the indictment as John Doe. Pike Commonwealth's attorney Rick Bartley said Hall was shot to death and two other people were shot and injured in the incident. The three men came down from Detroit early that morning, sat around and talked to these people for a few minutes because they were all known to each other. And we're not exactly sure why, but the three people that were indicted jerked out guns and began shooting. A safe was in the home that had been opened, but it was closed by the time the police got there. But there was evidence that there was money and drugs in the safe. Bartley said the incident is likely drug related. We think that part of the motive here was the three people came down from Michigan to steal drugs and money. Now there was a relationship between all these people, beforehand. So we sort of think that what went on was there was a disagreement about the money or the drugs and the three people from Michigan came down to straighten out that disagreement by killing the people in the house. All three of those indicted are charged with murder, two counts of first degree assault and first degree robbery. Coley Maxwell is also charged with being a convicted felon in possession of a handgun. Antoine Wilson is in custody in Michigan and will be extradited back to Pike County. Arrest warrants have been issued for Coley Maxwell. Bartley said police are working to identify John Doe named in the indictment. In Pikeville, Chris Anderson, EKB News.


And if you're looking for a cheap and super fresh Christmas tree this holiday season, you might want to give the Chippewa National Forest a look. The Chippewa National Forest is selling Christmas tree permits now through December 22nd for five dollars. The trees can be cut down anywhere on the national forest land except for recreation areas, trail and administrative sites as well. Now once the tree is cut attach the permit to the branch before transporting. The Chippewa National Forest is home to numerous species of fir, spruce and pine trees. Permits can be purchased at the supervisor's office in Cast Lake or at the rangers district's and blocked up Deer River and Walker on weekdays from 7 30 in the morning until 4 30 in the afternoon. If you've enjoyed this segment of Lakeland news please consider making a tax deductible contribution to Lakeland public television.