Okay. Well, hello everybody. My name is Sandy Baird and we're here with what's happening. And this is July, I guess 27th And we're still into the coronavirus period with me today is Ian Stokes who is our wonderful technician He's able to manage all this stuff on zoom and Mark Estrin our local philosopher and Musician and many other things jack of all trades or we could call him a Renaissance man and Pete Garotano who is also a Renaissance man and he is in the first day and I'm happy to see him So because his zoom He has told me might be a bit little bit questionable We will ask him to begin with what's happening in the news and his comments. So go ahead Pete well, I am Have been very bored like people who don't have a job and So I've spent way more time than I ever thought I would on the computer Pretty much every morning from five to eight or nine hours and hours and hours kind of looking at Data and statistics, which is always kind of dangerous Because of course statistics can be Shaped any way you want them to be shaped So I was prompted by Catherine often Austin Fitz somebody whose web page I read a lot to read a book which you recommended called virus mania and It really changed my view of some things and that I should kind of look into things more closely that many previous Pandemics have not panned out the way they were necessary advertised And so I started looking at this one just to see if it had filed the pattern of many of the other the MERS and the SARS and the swine flu and the avian flu and This book goes into polio and AIDS and everything else. It's very interesting offers another possible explanation That is often overlooked in these things which would be An outside agents instead of something in the body that was initiated not from eating an animal, but maybe from toxins in the atmosphere maybe from pesticides which was blamed for polio in this book from Really really toxic drugs being ingested at which was blamed on the AIDS crisis on this alternate explanations That had seen that validity and it's very well footnoted is this is all You know written by a virologist and a doctor and one of the doctors is still practicing currently So I recommend the book to anybody who it was it's been a learning experience to me because I'm certainly not a doctor Or a virologist or an epidemiologist or any of those things but it's We all are probably aware that the medical industry and the pharmaceutical industry is not Always doing things our best interest and there's been a lot of fraud certainly in studies and and CDC and who are partially funded by these same Companies that stand to make money out there now. I want to I don't want to get People too riled up. So I don't want to I am not saying that there's nothing happening right now And I'm not an expert But there are a lot of questions and even even the stuff in the news and most of the stuff I've been reading has really been From the who the WHO I should keep calling it the who it sounds like a rock band the WHO the CDC John Hopkins universities are really good site It's just data and statistics and another one that's that's called world meter And then I've been looking, you know what pneumonia statistics and flu statistics and all the respiratory illnesses Back in history of other pandemics and things just to see You know what is going on and just it's very interesting And I'm not sure that I have a grasp on any positive Explanation other than what is what has been explained but there are a lot of questionable things and and the first one and then I'll get off Get off of this subject is that the test that's being used called the PCR test, which I've read at least a hundred articles about this test wasn't Designed to do what it's being that's used to being done. It was designed as a Research tool that is a diagnostic tool and Is being used diagnosed illness because it is rather quick compared to cell cultures which are slow and more expensive So the question of how many cases there really are in the asymmetric cases asymmetric I'm sorry asymptomatic cases Which is really what's caused the biggest panic is when we've been told that the asymptomatic cases can also be Transmit the other people are transmissible Well in previous epidemics of any kind people weren't Tested that had no symptoms. So this changes the data significantly from the other the other Diseases that have come along basically if you were sick you'd go in they test you you'd be hospitalized or sent home And that's how the cases were recorded This one's been different because tens and thousands of hundreds of thousands of people are going to be tested The only thing similar was kind of AIDS because people had been worried and they go in if they had multiple sexual sex partners And got tested and so this is the unique thing about the testing of this particular disease. Is it healthy? Apparently healthy people are going in to be tested and being told they have this genetic the viral RNA, which is what the test for and that is reported and And people then become aware or That there's there's all these cases out there and then people I guess agree to shut down to to Well, it creates a big number of cases that may necessarily not necessarily be harmful to anybody Right, and so that's the unique thing about this and as it turns out this this test does not really test for infectious Virus what it tests for is viral RNA That a little piece of matches up to what has been shown in a photograph of a of an electron microscope To be this viral RNA that can be infectious The only way to prove this infectious is still to then take that piece And and to purify and identify it And put it in a lab culture and do that but that's not being done because it takes too long So what they're doing is they kind of done a shortcut thing Using this PCR technology to say yes, it's possible That you may get this infectious disease that we've called SARS Cov2 And so that's kind of the initial big 19 right right, but it's called SARS Cov2 because the first one was called SARS Cov1 now This This then is maybe a form of SARS What is it's it's it's very similar to the one that happened in 2007 that really didn't affect you night I mean 2003 they're really didn't affect the United States a whole lot Yeah, I think it killed very few people here But it killed people in China and in the Far East, but it wasn't as big a deal It might have been 10,000 infections and a couple thousand killed but it certainly made the news and we were worried here that it would come here But it never really took hold it kind of disappeared. Yeah or anything happened Which was some people think will just happen to this but The SARS didn't just go away it the first one the first one yeah in 2003 and subsequently it was And the difference was that it was transmitted much less readily Although I think it's It's fatality right but similar but with suit it what it didn't just go away with suitable precautions It was made to disappear and and it really did totally There there are different obviously there are differences in the present disease the virus that we have It's only been around to our knowledge to scientist knowledge for six months So it's it's really remarkable how much has been learned about it in six months But there's still obviously as you point out Peter, you know a lot of unknowns So Researchers and others that they have to keep chipping away at it and you know When I said it went away. It wasn't cured. It just kind of went away, right? It's kind of a difference between right it wasn't magic, but it's just what happens is they things dilute and and like It's not as powerful and Italian doctors have already suggested that this one is also also diluted and the strains They're looking at now aren't as bad as what they were who knows it's you know The precautions that were used to suppress the transmission of the first SARS Very very similar to what have been used for this prison 19 the difficulty is that COVID-19 is a worse Presents worse challenges more difficult challenges So it's more difficult to reduce the prevalence of it to reduce the transmissibility And I mean what I'm talking about unknowns I think the biggest unknown really is the real details of how this thing gets transmitted from one person to another You know, we think we've we've isolated it and then it just sort of pops up Somewhere else it seems and you know and the tracing is not I suppose the tracing isn't in good enough Shape to be able to identify exactly the chain of of transmission to the people to the places where it apparently just pops up One comment about what he was saying I think he's he is as a layperson done this remarkable research and I think what he's trying to say is that it might not be as Prevalent well, it is prevalent. I guess but it might not be as dangerous as had been predicted But there's the second thing that I want to take issue with you a little bit and that is that There's been no other pandemic that has caused a world shutdown never in history. That's what I would guard as terribly Weird about this one. This one has collapsed the entire world economy Like my sister was saying, well, that happened in the Spanish flu. No, it didn't there were people who were quarantined in the Spanish flu There were people who churches were shut down in certain areas, but the economy wasn't collapsed Ever I don't think any nation has ever done that before I don't know. It's you know, there are we're talking about two related similar things, but there are differences But the 1918 flu sometimes called Spanish flu That I think it killed eight million people. No, so we're not we're not very young the global population was smaller at that time But it so, you know, there are clearly similarities. The economy was very different. So the Economy that's what I find so curious is that obviously the shutdown though has benefited Certain capitalist companies like big pharma like Amazon like other big internet companies Democratic Party right now, right? Not saying they're causing it, but it's Well, we won't go there I just want to know I can't in a way We can't go there because we don't have that evidence But we do see the real victims of this shutdown the real victims are small business and Ordinary people who have to work for a living Those are the real victims and also I would argue that the shutdown has damaged whatever left Whatever is left of a democracy in the first place, you know, as I've mentioned a million times Which mark will take issue with maybe is that City Hall is closed in other words the mayor is operating behind screens I don't know what he's doing Passing stuff shutting down streets. How can you even approach him? I don't even know where he is But anyway, those to me are the biggest but if you look at the economic victims the economic victims are small business and Ordinary working class and poor people largely again The real victims have been minorities of black people who are not able to work anymore And they're not able to work from home because that's not the kind of jobs. They've ever had and so I don't know Who's who why that happens? What I don't want to talk about this forever, but like I said every day I get up and I think that's something in my I'm at my mom's house in Delaware and she asked me a question today that I didn't know the answer to and I had looked up how many people died of the flu and pneumonia each year because What this virus is and I think I'm right is it's something that basically gives you a Deadly form of pneumonia that you die from. Yeah, that's what the first stars was described as so the virus gives you a pneumonia You die from the moon But she said well, how many people died of pneumonia, but I looked that up Then I looked up in 2019. How many people had symptoms of pneumonia and went to the house went to the doctor 30 million 500,000 people just in 2019 were hospitalized because of pneumonia and about 150,000 died So those are 30 million people in the US that had symptoms of pneumonia We've had six million that were asymptomatic 80% of them. So we've had maybe 800,000 with symptoms of COVID whereas last year we had 30 million with pneumonia and 30 million with the flu So there were 60 million people that has something like a fever or cold went to the doctor got diagnosed with either Pneumonia or the flu and about 10% of men that up in the hospital and about another 10% of those died. I Never realized there was that many people every year that had those illnesses to that point So when I look at the grand scheme of things once again, I'm not denying that something bad is happening But to Sandy's point Those are all Infectious also, but only symptomatic infectious I think the biggest difference is here is we've said that asymptomatic people Can give the other people the disease and that hasn't been proven anywhere I looked in every study I could find and there's these weird like maybes from China in Germany If you take all the asymptomatic people out you just have bad Maybe another bad flu or virus That a fraction of the people that have gotten sick from flu have gotten sick from and about the same percentage 10% are dying I'm not denying it's out there. I think the hype has been the biggest type ever And like like Sandy said what's happened here if we had just said if you have a fever or cold Stay home. Stay away from people. Don't go out. I wear a mask I don't care, but it's the panic over the asymptomatic thing and these diagnosis from the That's the test that are causing people to worry more than they should have in the past for other diseases. So, I mean Yeah, but the mobility and mortality is one thing. I'm not pretty bad I mean the COVID-19 has become one of the major killers in the United States and in other places What is it 140,000 or so as we speak? They're all fine. I have died But the but I'd like to go back to the economic impact You know potentially something can be done about that and and Congress is attempting to do something about that They've been at it for a while and they haven't come up as we speak anyway with a Plan that can be implemented. I mean that can be passed by both houses and and signed by the president and so but there these are the measures that within the power of our government to mitigate the The the bad consequences of the economic impact so So that's something that can be done when I I think it's It's it's quite striking that the Federal government has really been very slow. It was very fast to act with the first package But it's been extremely slow to act on the second package I suspect out of us false sense of optimism that you know Don't worry without me There's another solution also in at least to get back to where we were which was already a sorry State economically there is the plan to reopen which has been jettisoned over and over and over by a report that all these cases are spiking California's back into shutdown mode Other places are considering shutting down again What the I'll just say what I think is the problem with the eco with the economic recovery that Trump did do and That the Democrats approved and that the Republicans approved it was giving free money to people I'm not that wasn't me. I don't know enough economics, although I'm going to get an economic expert to tell me about it He was basically printing money and sending it to people. I was very grateful myself to get 1200 bucks in the mail That cannot go on and the biggest mistake that they made was for young people who had shitty jobs They were giving a young person like my grandson 600 bucks a week Extra over his unemployment benefits. Do you think he wanted to come back to work? Why so well, so what we're seeing in the drafts that are appearing in what in Washington, D.C. the main items that I've been aware of that affect people per individually are The 600 Dollars increase in unemployment benefits are really in question I mean I'd be unemployed seem to be the people who are most in need of the funds But what doesn't seem to be in question is now a 1200 per person hand out We got that last time and people do need it, of course they need it It was it like a benefit for tissue your social security, of course that that I think is more or less fair But I'll just tell you the effects of this 600 bucks a week extra beyond unemployment benefits The 600 bucks a week. I think that they're right What person would want to go back and that's what to work if they're given 2400 bucks a month I wouldn't mind getting 2400 bucks a month and the free money. They're not getting that little Yeah, average person is getting almost a thousand a week in Vermont. I know I know that so that's what I'm saying It's out two things which Mark will agree with is that first of all, everybody's underpaid Nobody will go back to work because this is more money than they've ever gotten Exactly, then nobody's paying people enough money to really survive in the states two or three employees that are working in places not in restaurants that I plague off with They say that nobody even comes in to apply for jobs and they have jobs available Right of this which it's a tough question. It's a really difficult question You know, what do you do cut off everybody's lifeline for some people need it so that some of the people that Kind of can go back to work will or do you just keep it going because I don't believe people getting a thousand dollars a week are going to That I mean they're gonna go back to work if Just ask a simple question would you know and I wouldn't either but I'm not that's that's wrong if I loved my job Yeah, right like right totally bored at home the answers. Yes. Okay. I love being a lawyer. So I'm at work Right, I go to work. I like being a lawyer. So I go to work But if I was working at some meat packing plant getting 600 bucks a week To do it into a burrito at some place you're not Exactly so that's what the Republicans are saying for better or for worse Ian. I mean I I Think they're being portrayed as being really lacking in humanity and generosity But I just wanted to talk about the effects of that and they're not probably willing to do it again That as far as I can tell this new bill is not going to include that it will still continue to have unemployment benefits though Which are about three quarters of your wages, I've been on unemployment I think it's about three quarters of your wages, which is enough to I suppose you eke along However, it does mean that you know, eventually you have to go to work or lose those unemployment benefits It's it's a cruel system. I'm not denying that at least There's no way that I would want to go back to work at most jobs in this stupid economy That's the effect of it is that on the other hand I think that the recovery plan is to get people back to work and to re-open the economy And that's what Cuomo's that's what some of the of the States and mayors are doing but they're not fully I'll just give you an example But I read in the New York Post today about New York City I mean like Cuomo says well, you can open a bar, but you have to do food Okay, and then he changes it says you had not only have to do food, but substantial food What the hell does that mean so a person who wants to reopen his bar? What is he supposed to he or she's supposed to do? Substantial food, I mean they've been ham made some places, which I think small businesses Which I think should reopen are not really being allowed to It's a very difficult question because you can't open it 50% Right and survive and you can't hire the people back that we're working there and survive and pay them So, you know, you're a restaurant. They're saying you can be 50% open So what I can hire half my employees back so the other half don't get money So, you know, and they can't even get they have to get their job back. I don't know It's a very difficult question Right, but there's also a lot of other questions that are on people's minds Again mark. I thought I wanted to talk about what's called quote cancellation culture Maybe he would like to explain what he means, but I was really shocked to this morning to see that there were increasing protests slash destruction of property riots in places that protests and What has been considered to be riots in a city like Austin, Texas? I have no clue what is going on in those cities I kind of know what's happening in Portland, but why Austin? What is the demand that's being made and And what is happening in a city like Austin that is causing these really big protests? It is alleged that they're destroying property. There are no federal agents there yet I have no clue. What's really going on at all and and I don't seem to to get any Real elucidation of anything from the press. So anyway, that's what I sort of was on my mind today Anybody else have any thoughts? Yeah I think what's going on in the three or four cities that are being talked about at the moment is actually going on in Potencia or potentially in 50 or a hundred cities in this country and What's going on is The ability of the population as a whole to understand That if they take to the streets that can mean something that understanding calls forth the exact Match from the military Militarized police who are readying for This to break out Nationally not just in the cities that are being talked about Trump's position with respect to it is Very very threatening Because he says he's got 40,000 people. He's ready to bring in just from the forces he controls In the in the collective of Homeland Security all the departments that are in there and that he feels that it is his right and Duty to bring in these federal agents into situations of civic unrest and So what's going on to me is a psychic phenomenon just not I mean not just You know who's who happens to be spray painting in Portland or Seattle or you know knocking down a fence And it's a Self-fulfilling prophecy of increased violence in the country as that as the population realizes its potential strength and the control You know this civic control military control realizes its role in preventing the Resurrected the surgeons of this strength of this popular strength And I think that's in that's what's going on Portland. It is about it about to be what's going on in Seattle It's funny on an Austin and the fact that it hasn't gone on in in Burlington is You know just that we really don't have critical mass for that here But in any larger city that can bring a bunch of people out into the street Everybody has something to demand Because the general treatment and the general economic structures that that are anti-supporting the population Are are similar nationally and that's what's going on And I don't think it's a good idea to you know analyze Portland Portland Seattle Seattle, Chicago, Chicago Chicago that it's all the same thing and it will break for but I still I kind of agree with you But I still don't know okay, so you take I mean these protests began with the George Floyd death and Therefore they began as anti-police rallies and by the way Let me mention something that did happen in Vermont if you were reading Vermont Digger Did you have you been reading about there was a bunch of white people apparently who got together in Montpelier? I'm a protesting pro-cop pro-police and they were greeted by anti- police demonstrators Black Lives Matter, I think who were kind of trying to out shout them and there was kind of a almost a physical confrontation and if you saw photo I love the photo of those Yeah, I like the photo except it was a bit scary so you have this white guy without a mask by the way and One of the black lives matter people standing almost touching noses You were with a mask and they were and I'm so I'm not sure that Vermont is going to be immune to this No, but but all I'm saying is that at the moment and what we'll probably see is these things achieving much more depth and You know mutual destructiveness right nationally right and it'll take the form of of the particular cities and the particular chiefs of police and all of that, but that's what's happening. It's a national Economic political Crisis yeah, yeah, I mean here's a possible explanation Which is that this country has become economically polarized, you know, they're more highly and that's a high degree of inequality there's a high degree of racial tension and and Inequality of opportunity for people of different skin color there A lot of things that people people are really upset about and So they go out in the streets now. What what is the response that we're seeing the response is one of not of of Escalating it's one of Really of divisiveness and and use of force use of tear gas Use of federal agents who don't really have the right training They're trained to stop people coming over the border or apprehend them there. They're not trying train for Civil unrest so what we're seeing as a response from those people who should be but you're about this and and Hoping to actually solve the problem is they're not working. They're not going in that direction. They're inflaming the problem Okay, the reason that I wanted to make a distinction between Portland and the Austin for instance is that I Think what you're saying Ian and please correct me if I'm wrong is that because of the protest I Guess you're assuming that the protests therefore are nonviolent Because of those protests Trump is taking advantage of those protests to send in federal agents And now the protests at least in Portland are against those federal agents But your argument is is that Trump? Escalated that by sending in those protests Different question Certain that it's not those all the protests are nonviolent and I want to remind you in of the Discussion we had on Thursday with Jack Linda who has a kid out in Portland The kid says there are two types of protests daily protests which are nonviolent during the day But then something weird happens at night All different bunch comes out and the different bunch at night are the ones that at least are being accused of I Don't know truthfully you're not a smashing windows of setting fires on the courthouse steps So I'm going to ask another question. Although I want to hear what mark has to say first Who are those protesters who are doing if it's true that kind of physical disrupt disruption physical violence at least There was a protester that was killed today, did you see that in Austin? The point is that there is no my point would be there's no single cause, you know, we can't point to one thing like Even inequality I mean inequality I suppose is the overall Theme to this but people are upset about a whole bunch of different issues and and some of them And their response is different some are going to protest Peacefully about the issue that they're concerned about and some are going to protest violently So, you know, no no no single explanation. No, I'm therefore no simple answers Okay mark, what were you gonna say? Well that the picture of this national protest and For varying reasons in each place is Now has now become part of Trump's Re-election strategy that what he is going to run on and It will run on and and his 43% will love it probably Is being a law and order? President in the midst of the war and he's in a double war Except the the war he what he was running on before Was to beat the virus or to first to deny it now to you know, send send the ventilators all over the world And be the the hero of ventilators, whatever it is the it that hasn't worked out for him and what he seems to be pivoting to is to be a law and order President over the the chaos of this country and In order to do that successfully electorally successfully the chaos has to continue and The face of the federal government the face of of the Services that are controlled by Trump need to be front and center and doing their thing Electorily Democratic electoral strategy I don't see it. I mean you if they had a strategy, they wouldn't run Biden But I know what their strategy is go ahead. Just shut up and let Trump talk It's it's doing he's doing all the right stuff right now. I mean, why would you why would you intervene right now? Why would you even present yourself? Why would you even go to a debate if you were Biden? Not to debate. Yeah, you wouldn't and he won't Well, I don't know that exactly My question is if Trump comes out as having recovered the economy as having reestablished law and order in the cities He's gonna win I want to know where the hell the Democrats. Okay. This is what I think bottom line I want to know who these protesters are Who are destroying property? It seems to me those protesters if they're doing that are calling in federal agents Me is really really dangerous. Let me make a brief comment about this because I have so we all know that in in times like this, there are Peaceful protesters. There are provocateurs in some right, right because we know who benefits from this and they're just People that are opportunists. Okay, and people are stupid, too Well, and so I like to compare this to Occupy Wall Street because so the question I have is is this gonna end the same way as Occupy Wall Street? They were violent violent horrible things They did the Occupy Wall Street protesters and that was a way more peaceful movement so far than this one was There wasn't much rioting and looting and burning of buildings that I can remember during Occupy Wall Street There isn't now, you know, there's a nice little John Oliver five-minute piece that I watched just before here which he Shows Hannity talking about what sounds like Apocalypse on Fox news and net and scrolling next to Hannity are these many many Places that need putting down right because of the violence But then it turns out when you look at the list that Most of the list is graffiti here graffiti there graffiti here and graffiti there and there are some fires But by and large the this remains and probably to great frustration of Trump It remains a peaceful movement You can see it even if you read the New York Post today Let me finish what I was gonna say about this though I think the other difference is back in 08 There was an economic downturn because of the big crash So there was a lot of mad people at the time and so they organized and they were mad and they were mad at Wall Street and things Right, but the difference now is it's another economic downturn, but it's way worse than back then and so Not only do you have more unemployed people? You have more pissed off people Everything is worse than it was in a way really the conditions are worse and there's more people who have nothing to do And they have money so they're getting sent money. So you got a person that's Kind of on the edge that like geez, you know, I always I should have protested this but back in 08 They might have still had their job and they were going to work and they had to go to work right now They don't even have to go to work and they're going you know what I didn't get the protest back then I'm going to go out and do this. So I think the opportunity for a better result I'm hoping will come out of that that there's more people who sat on the sidelines that might have been involved in the previous Thing that have come out now. So what is the demand? What is it? Yeah, what are these protesters looking to do? Equality in the economy and in equal rights, right? I mean Well, and no federal forces in their cities Are happening in cities without federal forces Because in the beginning that wasn't the original thing people The original demand was to defund the police if you all recall, right? No, the original demand was concerning racism, right if we if we think of this as starting with George Floyd Right, it was an anti-racist analysis of the racism in you know among white people admitting to the racism in their communities and being Both castigated and supported by the black community And so this was the big the big issue initially and then this was met And and it right away concerned violence unnecessary violence on the part of people who carry guns in this case This is the state of the city police, Milwaukee. So it's about yeah, yeah, Minnesota Where was it? It was it was in Minnesota. Minneapolis. I'm sorry. Yeah Yeah, so anyway, I Remember In other words, they did the exact thing the protesters were protesting about yeah, and and you know Relating back to to COVID, you know It's true that we've had these kind of let's just say path pathologic Tensions before how come it hasn't how come we haven't closed down the society? Well, one thing is the Society that we have now is way way worse as you were saying and way more vulnerable Into collapse and the psychological state of the people in it is way more agitated and feverish, right? So so, you know, it's not the same question about what happened and How come we haven't closed down before we haven't closed down because if it wasn't this we're about to close down Anyway from the collapse of capitalism Extended capitalism in words, right, right, but they co-lock they collided Anyway, but but getting back to the original. I think what we're discussing was the Protest in the cities city like Austin which resulted in a death last night Okay, I think we're approaching by the way the end of our time together So again, what I think is the same thing that happened in the cities in the 60s And that is you had protests, but you had people who were taking advantage of the peaceful largely non-peaceful protest to provoke the entrance of The police and now I think federal agents into the city and this is my worry That that might work and that Trump might very well send federal agents all over the place If the police in the cities are perceived as not being able to handle it, which was definitely true in Minneapolis And therefore are we facing a situation which could be martial law and that's what go ahead Pete Well, and the other thing is and I think this pertains is also you worry that the message will be diluted Which it kind of already has, you know, like we were just talking about what was the original message the original message was Racism has never gone away. It's as bad now as it ever has been in the United States And these people have been screwed excuse my expression for a long time and it's time to straighten it out Well now what's happened the part of the dilution of the message now is and I'm not against this is this anti-police thing So it's kind of shifted and it focused on something and it's moving away And then they have the violence that things are moving in a different direction And I'm worried that it's going to lose the original focus of the thing and people We could have gone into the toppling of statues and the artwork and all this other stuff Which to me is part of the isn't that part of the cancel culture Which I think some of it's a little overboard people just get all excited You know and they go up and rip a statue down to some guy who is actually a civil rights So the leader or so, you know, I mean there's just I said a lot of opportunities out there and that's always kind of dangerous that they they see a Chance and I worry that the message gets diluted at the refocus here Well, I worry what Trump's next steps are going to be if the violence against property, especially federal property Continues I really really I guess believe we were on the verge of A total lack of democracy and the election isn't going to be able to fix it at all But anyway, I think So The troops the feds not troops, but the feds. Let's call them Homeland security Unlabeled Unmarked car Nappers That those people are operating Way beyond the limits of the federal buildings that they're supposed to protect they're going out into the community And so they then represent a federal internal police force Right, right Couldn't agree with you more. I'm just asking to be to think about what the consequences very well Might be I'll tell you one thing maybe and then any any last comments is that the mayor of chicago last night Did everybody see her on her press conference? Her name is uh, lori. I think lightfoot Yes, a black woman who said we are not going to allow the federal agents into chicago And we will take every measure To prevent them from coming into chicago. I really wonder what unearthed she meant about that Is there going to be over? What is she going to do if they do? What can't she do? This is the very next crux Defying this situation Right, I agree. Anybody else have anything? Where are you in and all this and Well, really just that What troubles me mostly is that there's a lack of leadership You know ideally when the country faces multiple problems economic disease Uh protests in the streets People who who we've elected to represent us would come out and say Okay, let's sit down. Tell me what What we can do about this And instead what we're seeing is people in leadership roles digging in their heels and And saying this is what i'm going to do And i'm not going to listen to anybody else. I think we see that from from trump We see that from his attorney general william bar and uh the whole Unfortunately, we see it from the opposition In the democratic party, but they're not saying that in e and that sounds passive They're saying okay, and we're going to make it worse. Right exactly Are they gonna say we're gonna make it work the way we think it should work Is somebody telling trump to do this did somebody tell obama to quell occupy wall street or is it his I mean who's who's calling the shots here? I know that's a great question to end on So look at before we leave. I would like to say to you and to whatever audience we have That we'll be back in in a week from friday, which I don't know is is that the first week of august? at uh, well, we'll record this at 130 a week from this friday so that we don't have to do a million emails together And that I hope to be back on cctv also So thank you all for and especially thanks to ian for putting this all together. Okay, so ian and you're going to record this, right? Oh, absolutely All right, great and mark. Bye. See you later. Thank you. Thanks a lot, nanny. You're in the dark by the way You need more light Of course, I always do


It's Detective Superintendent Michael Nyland, N-I-L-A-N-D, regional crime coordinator for the Metropolitan South region. About 1 a.m. this morning police were called to a block of units in Hanson Road. They were met by members of the family there and entry was gained into a unit there. Did the family call police or what do you know about the circumstances surrounding that? Yeah, look what we can tell is that family did call police and police attended at that address. The fellow who's deceased, what injuries does he have or did he have and what do you believe caused him? Look what I can tell is there's extensive trauma to the body and all tops will probably be done tomorrow. What did the apartment look like inside of things being damaged or being sort of thrown around that sort of thing? We've got our scenes of crime police there at the moment and the matter is under investigation. How did police gain entry into the unit? Entry was forced into the unit. So the door was locked? Entry was forced into the unit. Was this address known to police? At this time all I can say is there was extensive trauma to the body. Was this address known to police? Was this somewhere police have regularly attended? Victim was 46 years of age. He's 47 tomorrow. He was known to police. What's happening there? What are police doing there? Investigations are continuing. Our scenes of crime police and scientific police are on site and investigations will continue over the next couple of days. What I can say is that the investigation is continuing. Are you seeking public assistance at all for anything? We are seeking public assistance. We ask that if anyone has any knowledge in relation to this crime if they could contact crime stoppers or our major incident room. When was the last time you were seen alive? At this time we know that our victim was alive on Friday and we are conducting investigations as to the last time he was seen alive. We are conducting doorknocks in the area and we ask that anyone that has any information if they could come forward. I guess the public needs to know more details. Have you formally released the name? Can you tell us when he was last seen alive? There's been no formal release of the name and investigations are continuing. What did the scene look like? One of the most horrific you've seen. Look, what I can say is that forensic police will be there for a number of days. Is it possible that he has been dead since Friday? Look, what I can say is that the forensic police are at the scene and they're conducting a thorough examination of the scene. Quite a terrible thing for a family to find, to realise what's just happened and then have police for family. It's absolutely terrible for the family. Were there any suspects? We are speaking to a number of witnesses and we will continue to do that during today and tomorrow. Is there anyone in particular that you are searching for, Mick, that you would like public assistance with? At this stage we are speaking to a number of witnesses and we're not seeking anyone in particular at the moment. Have you spoken with anyone who might have lived in the unit? We've spoken to a number of persons and investigations are continuing. We are confident that we will resolve this matter. There's some threats made this morning by family members. Are police taking any action there? I'm unaware of any threats at the moment and police are conducting investigation into the entire matter. Was there any sign of any forced entry into the unit? Obviously I had to force the door, but was there any sign of forced entry into any windows or other doors? What I can tell you is that we're doing a forensic examination of that unit. And there's been no weapon found? It's unknown if there was any weapon involved. This is the early stages of the investigation and we will be able to make further comment as we progress during the investigation. Was the victim himself? Was he a public man? Did he go out and about? Was he a social man or was he quite reclusive? That is unknown and it's the early stages of the investigation and there's not much more I really want to say at the moment. How are your officers holding up? Officers are holding up well. Thank you.


Get over to our mammoth to Steve Rhodes as we do each and every Monday at 20 past the hour and don't forget folks, Steve has an outstanding show here every trading day, one to two Eastern standard time, also a great newsletter and mastering probability. Now it's very easy to get Steve's newsletter folks from over that website at TFNN. You go into newsletters and you're going to see master in probability right on your right hand side. You can get master in probability for one month for $149. You get it for six months or 6.95 which is the savings of $199 or 22% and you get it for one year for $11.95 which is the savings of $593 or 33%. Now they all come with a 30 day money back guarantee folks. So you can come over, get the newsletter, they'll have a great newsletter for a month. If it doesn't work for you on the 28th day just cancel the newsletter. Sometimes they work for folks, sometimes they don't. That being said, when you get the newsletter, Steve has a huge amount of archives on there explaining how he looks at the market so you're going to get an education that's phenomenal okay and then you have the choice about keeping the letter or not keeping the letter. Steve Rhodes what's going on? Well I heard you talking about Tesla and I just pulled up the charts, I haven't looked at the stock for a while and actually Tom two weeks ago it confirmed a weekly A to B equal CD to the downside. That gives us a one to one price projection of $107. So the monthly, I don't know that we have enough days left in the month out here. So the monthly swing point had $1.9 billion and right now we're at about $1.3 and a half or so. So I don't know if there's enough trading days, it does about a million, 100 million shares a day. I just don't think it's going to be enough to get there. But still yeah this thing is below all profile levels daily, weekly, monthly, a confirmed weekly A to B equal CD to the downside. So you know it's at $168 right now if it does get to that $107 level or lower like you were taking a look at, I think maybe you were looking at some volume or a swing point or what have you. Yeah, I was looking at the last time I had volume on the way up isn't it amazing when you think about it though like it's like it's so wild folks okay that you know unfortunately the shareholders are asleep at the switch man. Yeah and that's where it unfortunately because you know it looks like and I mean that's still a significant way down percentage wise when we're trading right now, right? I know, unreal, seriously man. Absolutely. So last time last week when we were together we were talking about whether or not the we were trying to answer the question have we begun a new bull market and my answer was no and the reason that my answer was no was because we take a look at this chart the S&P the Nasdaq 100 and the Russell 2000 they continue to trade within their descending price channels out there. So we can see over on the lower left out here it's only the Dow that is broken through that price channel the Dow's break of that price channel is confirming for me that global capital is flowing back to the big cap stocks out there and as we take a look at the Dow here so this is a really cool chart because this allows us to take a look at the Dow priced in the other major currencies so the left hand side is the Dow price in dollars next to that is the Dow in euros then the Dow priced in yen and Dow in pounds now this is a quarterly timeframe here and we can see that the Dow priced in those three currencies is made new all-time highs well after the Dow priced in US dollars is made its high out there so it is not a bear market at all if you're trading the Dow and you're over in Europe whether in the UK or just the rest of Europe in euros or whether you're in Japan right now trading the Dow and that's really important to understand and it's this global flow of capital that will eventually take the Dow priced in dollars to a new all-time high but he here is eventually doesn't mean that it happens tomorrow or the next day and we take a look at the weekly Rosemont Dominicator bottom patterns we took a look at this last weekend and this is one of the archives and one of the great tools that is included in a newsletter subscription out there so if you're interested in learning this pattern and you should want to learn this pattern because it works on all time frames all instruments these are the cash a Dow cash a indices charts out there generating weekly Rosemont Dominicator bottoms is real good signal of a potential bottom that is out there so which was the reason why we're entertaining have we become a new bull market now this table here Tom this looks at the performance of the instruments that we've got out here okay for all of 22 and then since our last bottom which was October 13th inside the market and so if we take a look if we kind of go from the right to the left the second row second column I should say from the right shows the rate of change over the one year over the last year during the last year not 12 months but since January 1st first first trading day of the year and here I've got the Sophie if you don't you know the charts didn't make sense to you and math makes sense to you can see that the Dow priced in euros for the year is up 3% or around 3% nearly 15% priced in yen 6.5% priced in pounds out there and off 7% in US dollars we take look at the performance of the S&P the Nasdaq and the Russell during the year you can see the Dow has held up much much better again another sign indication that global capital is flowing into the large cap stocks out there and it's the reason why we really want to pay attention to try to identify when that next bottom comes in and when global flow of capital is really coming into all the US instruments we can see here the US dollar index your king out there has performed very well up 13% for the year and I'm in your boat at the Dow is trading up into some resistance levels and if it takes it out it says we're headed higher so I my inclination is that that's what the dollar is going to do we can see gold here off about 5% of course lights we crude the big winner out there up 31% for the year so this table looks at that performance and the Dow has held up much better than the S&P the Nasdaq and the Russell so in summary understanding how instruments are trading in the major currencies is going to be critical from this time forward because a real bull market this is again is the Dow down to the bottom right here is one where the instrument is rising in all major currencies out there and when it comes to the US dollar you talked about that both gold and the Dow pretty much have an inverse relationship so the bottom portion of this chart is our correlation tool this is looking at in the left side gold versus the dollar on the right side the Dow versus the dollar when the bars are below zero and this is set for a five day average when the bars are below zero tells us we have a directional correlation on average during a five year five day period of time so I anticipate that when the global flow capital is really in full steam mode and we sort of saw this time coming off of that October 13 bottom out here we saw both gold and the US equity markets move higher and so that's what I expect we will see take place this time around when that global flow of capital is here in the US so it's already here is it in full force I don't think it's in full force because when it is we'll see gold and the US markets move higher and that means that the correlation bars that are at the bottom of the screen they'll all be above zero versus those below zero out there so what I want to do is you know as I never really tell folks what's included with the newsletter as you said I can't you an amount of of training education that is out there each afternoon folks I send out a end of day report that end of day report is take a look at the index ETFs along with each of the sectors inside the S&P 500 so part of the newsletter is to teach someone how to read the charts what the tools are that I have on the charts this is providing us with market profile information that's providing us with support and resistance levels here are the other set of charts are the other sectors inside the S&P 500 these charts show exactly what the indices are doing so I provide weekly daily monthly yearly charts for folks to take a look at and also included are these different tables so this happens to be a table that is just for the Dow 30 stocks if you wanted to know what the current what I think the current market outlook is for each it listed out there right there so Dow chemical is in a breakout bullish mode for its daily timeframe it's consolidating on a monthly and weekly chart and the monthly chart says the bull move is over out there so you get all this great information to help you understand where support resistances and exactly where we're at with regard to the patterns and folks so you just saw this right and if you're in the car remember talk have because it's a phenomenal newsletter there's a phenomenal amount of information out there and you'll learn it it's real simple get over there right now Steve you have a great one safe one look forward speaking tomorrow you too thank you


What comes to nursing school explain in this third video about how to prioritize NCLEX and exam questions based on the ABC method. So airway breathing and circulation should always be your three number one priorities. If you determine on a question that there is no problem with the airway or the patient's breathing, so we have checked that off the list, then we move on to circulation. That's always our number three, our third priority. And terms that you might see on the exam question that hint towards some problem with the patient's circulation are muffled heart sounds such as in a pericardial effusion, any abnormal blood pressure or heart rate. And particularly think about if the patient's blood pressure is low with an elevated heart rate, most likely they are dehydrated and that certainly can have bad effects on the patient's health and their overall status. Now other things to consider are absent or diminished pulses because not only should we think about the central circulation and a problem with the heart, but also with the peripheral circulation where there could be a broken extremity, for example, some sort of an injury and all of a sudden the blood flow to that extremity has been diminished or is gone, so the pulses would hint us towards that. And then certainly any kind of skin changes, so that would be that the patient's skin is pale, cool, diaphoretic, shifting the circulation away from the not important organ, the skin in this case, to the internal organs. That also tells us that there is a problem with the patient's circulation. And then of course any EKG changes, any new rhythm, any new complaints of chest pain, shortness of breath could certainly be a circulatory problem that we need to address. So hopefully these terms will help you narrow it down a little bit. Remember to always start with airway breathing and then if you don't find a problem there in the question given, then move on to circulation to determine what is going on with the patient and answer the question correctly in terms of the priority needs of this particular patient. Please check out the other videos where I go into terms for airway breathing and I'll see you soon right here on Nursing School Explained. Thanks for watching.


I would like to particularly acknowledge the support and the interest of the government, particularly the Taoiseach and the Minister for Foreign Affairs and Trade, Charlie Flanagan that we just heard from, and the role that the British Irish Chamber of Commerce is also playing in the debate, and as the minister said, we all have a role to play and we should care about this because it is something that's going to fundamentally affect our lives if the vote goes the wrong way. And as Brendan very eloquently put it, we have a lot to lose as a country, a huge amount to lose, and all of us should care about that. The focus of this particular panel is on the implications for UK business of a vote by Britain to leave the European Union. The panel that follows will focus on the implications for Irish business. So it's my pleasure to welcome the panel. They have together extensive combined experience in financial services and banking, retail, manufacturing, real estate with significant exposure to the British economy. So I'll start with the gentleman to my left, Patrick O'Sullivan. Patrick is Chairman of Old Mutual since January 2010. Old Mutual operates primarily in the long-term savings and investment market. From 2007 to 2009 Patrick was Vice-Chairman of Zurich Financial Services, where he had specific responsibility for its international businesses including South Africa. Prior to that he was CFO of the ZFS Group and CEO of Eagle Star Insurance. He's held many positions in institutions such as Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, Financial Guarantee, and also previously Chairman of the UK Shareholder Executive and Deputy Governor of our own Bank of Ireland. In addition to Old Mutual he serves as Chairman of Equity Syndicate Management, which is part of the Lloyd's Syndicate. To Patrick's left we have Richard Pym, the Non-Execut Chairman of AIB who took up the role in December 2014. Richard is a chartered accountant with extensive experience in financial services, having held a number of senior roles including Group Chief Executive Officer of Alliance and Leicester in the UK. Richard is also Chairman of UK Asset Resolution Limited, which is the entity which manages on behalf of the UK government the runoff of the government-owned closed mortgage books of Bradford and Bingley in the UK. Richard also previously held the chairmanship of the Co-operative Bank in the UK, Bradford Group, Haldford's and as a former Non-Execut director of the British Land Company, Old Mutual itself and Selfridges. Finally on my left, far left, I have Owen Brennan. Owen is a graduate of UCD Agricultural Science and later graduated with a Masters in 1992. In 1997, 15 years ago, Owen led a team to acquire a business called Devanish, which is a leader in developing and offering nutritional solutions to the challenges faced by livestock producers and owners of companion and leisure animals. Owen has seen an overseen a rapid expansion of his business in those years. Devanish is now the largest independently owned manufacturer of premix, creep and specialty feed products in the UK. That group has six manufacturing sites across the UK Ireland and US, so significant exposure to the UK and is well placed to give us an opinion from the point of view of the manufacturing impact on manufacturers. The format for this morning's session is I'm going to ask each of the panellists to make some brief remarks on their thoughts on the situation that is before us. Then I will conduct a Q&A with the panellists and towards the end I will open it to the floor. If any questions will take questions at the end. So I will ask without further ado Patrick to lead off with some remarks. Thank you. Thank you very. Good morning ladies and gentlemen. Great pleasure to be back in Dublin. I said to Richard just before I started, I'll act as a proxy for him, a nourishment in the UK and he can act as a proxy for me, an Englishman in Ireland. So we'll carry on on that basis and what I try to give you is a sense of how it's viewed from where we sit in London today. As Brendan said earlier, Brexit is a real possibility. In fact probably that was the best treatise I've seen on what happens after it all goes pear shaped. But the poll of polls as of yesterday, as of last night had it 50-50, which is some indication of the uncertainty. I know we're five weeks away and so on, but nonetheless 50-50 is very worrying. Secondly, when you look at the bookies, the bookies of course are at 70% for remaining in, 30%, but they both got it wrong at the election only a year ago. So who do you trust and which ones, who do we go with? So in that context, what are the facts that are being promulgated to the average British or even United Kingdom voter today? And surprisingly by the way that Northern Ireland looks like the Unionists would like to leave, but I can't understand that at all given the support for agriculture up there. However, if you look at it, people are trying to hang it around a number of facts. The Single European Act would you rather be a member of a market that and have prospects for jobs in a 50 million person market or a 500 million person market, the biggest market in the world in terms of numbers of people. If you listen to Caroline McCall, who's the CEO of EasyJet, airfares across Europe have been reduced by anything from 40% to 180% ever since the freedom of the skies was granted to her and to Michael O'Leary. In our area in financial services, the what's called and known as MIFID regulations markets in financial investments directive means that if you're buying a product in Dublin or London or Slough or Birmingham, you have the same information as if you are living in Munich in Frankfurt or wherever buying that product. So we all know that we're buying into what can be trusted as well regulated products for investment savings, life insurance and so on. Just recently you'll have noticed that the roaming charges on mobile phones have dropped from 19 cents to 5 cents, a huge drop. So now you can travel across Europe and not be worried about huge bills when you get back home. For lots of those of us who have to work 70 hours a week, the next one is not so popular, but the working time directive made sure that in 1998 workers were being treated equally so there's no unfair or uneven playing field across Europe in terms of competition from the point of view of productivity and so on. However, none of this really, really resonates with the population. The average man or woman on the street of Britain today doesn't really understand the arguments. The cost to leave, for example, the Treasury, which is the Richard and I know very well for working for them, the Treasury is one of the smartest groups, a bunch of people outside the Bank of England in the country. So they announced that you're going to be £4,500 worse off by 2030 if we leave. But what they then admit two weeks later on the Today program, which is the morning news program on Radio 4, is that actually it's not worse off, you'll be less well off by 4,500, whatever it is, if we pull out of the EU. You'll still do better, but you won't do as well. The Dutch ambassador to the European Court, I was about to say, maybe it is when people view it and that's part of the problem as a bureaucracy and untouchable. The Dutch ambassador to the European Parliament said at a city UK meeting three months ago that the real danger here is, and the minister I think referred to it in fact, and he referenced Ireland as well because the Dutch, the Irish, the Swiss are great at referendums. He said, be careful because people don't vote for the issue. They vote for what concerns them at the time. And this morning, as I left the UK this morning, the headlines are full of Cameron lied on his ability to control immigration of Europeans into the UK. The usual press kind of reaction, but unfortunately the garbage press seems to be winning the arguments. And then if you look at behind the polls, and here is the real danger, and I spoke on Tuesday morning to the individual running the Remain campaign, two thirds of people of my generation want to come out. That's inexplicable. How can you think the post war generation of Britain can't see the benefits of the peace and the dividends that have been paid and having a quiet Europe for the last 70 years? Two thirds of over 60s want to come out. Now on the other hand, two thirds of young people under the age of 35 want to remain in. But where will 300,000 of those be on the first, on the day of vote at Glastonbury? They won't be voting. So his view is that if we have a low turnout, and this has already been referenced, we will lose. The Remain campaign will lose. Because it's people like me who have the time to vote, and the willingness to vote. If it's over 60%, we'll win. So your guess is as good as mine. Well, Patrick, thank you very much for those remarks. Owen, it might turn to you as the executive chairman of a Northern Ireland manufacturing business with significant international exposure particularly to Britain. Maybe give us your thoughts on Brexit. Good morning everybody. And just to start by saying that I commend Barry and his team and the IEA for hosting this event. I think it's important. Listening to Brendan Halligan present and Brendan has a team behind him led by Tom Arnold. You can see, I hope, why I think it's important. And why I commend the people concerned for cutting this out here. I am very concerned about this, which is another reason that I'm here. And I suppose 35 days is better than 3 days to go to be having this conversation. Just a little about ourselves. We're an agri-technology company working in the animal feed and food industry. We're headquartered in Belfast, as mentioned. We also have our largest manufacturing point in Belfast. Four others in England, two in the US, a distribution centre in Mexico, and a sales office in the UAE. We focus on innovation in our business. To put that into perspective, we spent 30 million pounds in our last financial year on innovation projects. So it's a big subject for us. Our business has grown substantially, as Barry mentioned. When we got involved in 97, we had a turnover of 5 million pounds. 95% of those sales were in Northern Ireland. 23 people employed. Today we sell 170 million. We employ over 500 people. We have 24 nationalities represented on our staff and we sell into 25 countries. And also just to mention that while sales into Northern Ireland now represent 10% of our total, that's over three and a half times the figure we inherited in 97. So it remains a very important market for us. We were fortunate as a company recently to win the Queen's Award for Export Achievement, of which we're very proud. On another note, but something of which we're equally proud, is our development of a new feed mill and model farm in a place called Haimau in Uganda, in partnership with the Irish Government. And our focus there is on helping local farmers to turn from subsistence to commercial, in other words to help them to help themselves. And I commend the Irish Government for their interest and support of projects of this nature. The ideal of helping people to help themselves through business. The implications for business if the UK were to leave the EU I believe would be significant, adverse and would include in my opinion a reduction in market access. And I believe that would be both within the EU and in the wider global market. Secondly, it would increase business and economic uncertainty, and therefore risk and one of the fundamental tasks of people in businesses to manage risk. It's not something we welcome. Thirdly, we believe it would reduce feed and food sector income. And fourthly and possibly more importantly bring on for scene and unintended negative consequences. What do I mean? By way of two practical examples I thought I would just mention the recent Scottish referendum and something that's quite important in my sector of food, the recent ending of the EU milk quarter regime. Who first saw the collapse in oil prices, agricultural prices when Scotland was campaigning for independence? If that campaign had succeeded how would Scotland stand today? Who first saw when milk quotas ended after 30 years what is now described as the perfect storm in milk markets globally which is as we speak having really serious and again adverse consequences? I believe a UK exit from the EU would put both of those issues into a very small place. It is obviously a much, much bigger issue. So what might the consequences that are not yet contemplated and I believe there are a lot of consequences not yet contemplated which would ensue? Fundamental change at this level even if it's well founded and I don't believe a UK exit from the EU would be well founded is inherently unpredictable and therefore very risky. In conclusion could I give you a small example from my business experience which illustrates for me the nub of what I see before us. In 1986 I first did business in the US buying at the time some machinery. One of my potential suppliers at an early stage in our conversation pointed out that he had not come to talk about what his machinery could not do but rather what it could do. 30 years later I continued to think that man was right to take that approach. What really matters is what people and things can do. Who here can remember being told at an early stage in Brian O'Driscoll's career that he couldn't kick how ludicrous an assessment was that? It seems to me that those who wish the UK to leave the EU are intelligent and telling us what the EU can't do. I am much more interested in what it can do. As someone who has spent many years developing business I believe the EU can do, has done and will continue to do a great deal of hugely positive things. Examples would include enormous improvements in market access, hugely increased availability and much reduced cost of air travel and telecommunications, practical things that make an enormous difference and the harmonisation of regulations across markets. These have all been of huge benefit to business and to all people in the UK and Europe generally. Finally, I have concentrated on my remarks on business implications given that I am just a simple businessman makes this perhaps unsurprising. It wasn't however a business point that has made the greatest impression on me in this debate to date. It was to be reminded that the driving idea and ideal in the foundation of the Union was peace. Europe having endured two disastrous wars in a little over 30 years. As someone who travels the world frequently and has seen the catastrophic impact that lack of peace will bring, I continue to think this founding idea and ideal is as important in the 21st century as it ever was in the 20th. And perhaps more so. Thank you for your attention and I would be pleased to take any questions that you may have at the end of our session. Thank you very much. I think it's interesting that you focus on the benefits which I think many of us in the room would agree with and would support. I guess I will discuss it in the Q&A as to how do you convey to the British electorate the messages that the benefits bring and it is proving a difficulty. We will come on to that. Our final speaker is Richard Pym. Richard has had huge experience in the UK financial services industry as I mentioned earlier, but he has also had the added benefit of being chairman of one of our pillar banks, AIB, for the last two years. So has had unique insights to the operation of the UK market and the economy and the Irish market. So I think Richard will talk about something similar to Brendan and then the appalling prospect that awaits us if this happens in June. So I will hand you over to Richard. Thank you, Barry. I am used when I have just asked to make some comments on Brexit to being the most miserable person in the room. Brendan, you get that prize. I mean, any prospect of getting new trade agreements within two years is fanciful. If you think that the Greenland treaties a few years ago, they took three years. Greenland has a population of just over 50,000 people. I think there were major concerns on the few million of fish who also had rights and the whole thing, but the thought that United Kingdom could renegotiate all its agreement for the European Union within two years period is absolutely fanciful. The other major barrier to negotiating these trade agreements is, of course, United Kingdom does not employ anyone who has ever negotiated a trade agreement because we have not negotiated a trade agreement for the best part of half a century. So, whilst British civil servants are extremely, as Patrick referred to, extremely bright, flexible, put a shift in, they are not going to be able to agree new trade agreements because they will be up against in the EU, some of the most experienced trade negotiators in the world. I mean, they have been negotiating with the US for the last decade, so they have been well trained and our guys will be on their induction programme dealing with the most aggressive trade negotiators in the world. So, the position of negotiating those agreements is extremely serious. And you start with the Brexit campaign who, if Britain leaves, will be in charge of these negotiations. And I heard one of these guys on the radio the other day. He talked about this new agreement that Britain would have with the EU, which would be fair to the EU but advantageous to the UK. That was the way he was going into these negotiations at the point that Britain has stopped paying its net 10 billion euro contribution when, of course, goodwill would just be flowing to the UK, won't it not? So, let me just put this into sort of two vague parts. We just have to start with the financial markets effect. And Brendan alluded to this. What happens on Friday, June the 24th? Well, if Britain leaves, it will be an absolutely ghastly day because Britain will have determined to worsen its trade with its major trading partner without having any offsetting benefit. Look at the economic fundamentals of the UK. There is a large government spending deficit way outside in the eurozone acceptable level. The United Kingdom hasn't shaved its deficit to the same extent as Ireland has. There's a huge trade deficit. The quarter one results that came out a couple of weeks ago, £13 billion of trade deficit in the first quarter. Now, there has been a partially offsetting surplus on services, the service sector, but of course that's about to be decimated by exclusion from the single market. So the markets will judge all of that extremely harshly. Now, the Bank of England has got its contingency plans to deal with the immediate effect in terms of the repo market and stuff like that. So the ATMs will continue to function. They'll be filled. They'll be liquidity in the banking system. The economy will function. But the external balances are the problem. That is where sterling will fall against the euro on our AIB website where we have a Brexit microsite. We talk about a messy Brexit scenario at 90 pence to the euro. There's a stock-broken firm just around the corner where their economist thinks parity with the euro. So obviously the effect on Irish exporters at that point is extremely painful. But in those immediate after effects, it could be the footsie is more stable because a lot of the footsie hundred index is actually dollar income, euro income. So it could be the footsie. People could say the footsie is holding up well. It's only because on the conversion into sterling there's an arbitrage of the worst. So this will be an absolutely ghastly day on the markets. So what will be the effect on the... Let's look first at the financial services industry. Now HM Treasury, the British Finance Ministry, produced some analysis a week ago, two weeks ago, that 33% of UK financial services exports go to the EU and that directly involves 100,000 jobs. That will be lost outside the single market. So 100,000 jobs is the estimate of loss in the financial services sector alone outside the single market. And then with the indirect job losses that go with that, that will be a quarter of a million. That's mainly focused in London. That will have a serious knock-on effect in all sorts of areas, but obviously most directly and immediately into the housing market. But I think there's a much wider perspective in that the European Union will not permit its main financial centre to be outside the European Union. Why would you allow your financial centre to be outside your control? Now the EU will create barriers to the city of London. It has always been envied particularly by the citizens of Paris and this is really their chance to put a knife in and to kill the city of London. And they will do it with glee. Now the Brexit campaign envisages London becoming a main offshore financial services centre like Singapore and Hong Kong, but it will not employ the type of jobs it employs now. The London financial areas that will thrive outside the EU and these are the guys who are backing Brexit are those who will benefit from lighter regulations. So that's the hedge funds and the traders. They're coming out in favour of Brexit. But of course they might not be able to find any counterparties in the market. Now if you look at the European Union at the moment the majority of large scale financial transactions are written under English law and that has been extremely good for employment for the large London law firms. So I really don't think that the European Union is going to permit its financial institutions to write their main financial contracts under the law of this sort of renegade offshore country. This pirate nation that's outside the European Union would you as the regulator allow that country's laws to be the arbiter of your financial system. I think that's highly unlikely. Who will write securitisations under English law other than British banks? My family will be one of the major impacts that very large London sector commercial law practices that will really be hit and I think they'll immediately slow their graduate recruitment. Because Ireland might be a long term beneficiary of that but obviously there's a short term pain before some possible medium term gain. But then there's the wider implication we're asked to talk about British business that's just beyond financial services. That British manufacturers will now be trading into the European Union having to comply with regulations that they've had no opportunity to influence. And effectively the European Union regulations will dominate British manufacturing because that's where all the goods go. So all this European regulation that the British public resent will still be applied in the United Kingdom. They just won't have any opportunity to influence it. So it is absolutely the worst of all worlds. And with less than 10% of EU trade being with the UK and then around 45% of British trade, external trade being with the EU then itself evidently the negotiating position is extremely weak. I think this takes us back to thoughts of Ireland prior to 1973 where when I hear tales of ministers going to London for whatever would fall off the table and we know that small countries negotiating with big countries in trade agreements don't tend to do very well. So in the absence of any trade agreement of course the WTO tariffs will apply. And something that Brendan didn't comment on but was an issue in the British referendum in 1975. Remember Britain joined in 1973 and then had a referendum to leave in 1975. Really enthusiastic right at the beginning. And in that campaign as I read up about it it was that when would the British payments the EU stop after referendum and it was immediate so I think after a referendum to leave there will be immediate political pressure for Britain to stop its payments it's 10 billion euro into the European coffers and at that event of course Britain's just excluded because walks away and WTO tariffs apply. Now as the minister referred to we have over 1 billion euros of trade between the two countries each week and there will be a big reduction or big dislocation to that trade anyway and position in Northern Ireland will be complex. Patrick referred to in Northern Ireland the agricultural sector.  There I hear the chairman of UKIP campaigning in the west of England where I come from he was on TV station in Plymouth talking about the 6 billion euros that Britain trade puts into the EU agricultural fund but only gets 3 billion out and therefore we could double agricultural subsidies. That is the proposition to farmers. You will get double the money you get at the moment with Britain outside the European Union and that's why Northern Ireland farmers might vote if they believe that. By the way this 10 billion has been spent 2 or 3 times over in various promises hospital schools, universities, everything you wouldn't believe it and of course the common travel area becomes extremely difficult and can't go back to the form it was before. Now let's just then continue that theme if Britain is in the world trade having to comply with WTO tariffs to the European Union there's an immediate impact on British retailers trading with Ireland in that when you distribute from a British warehouse to all these British retailers in Ireland then the cages come off the trucks and are put straight on the shelves. With Britain outside then of course British retailers can comply with EU tariffs and will therefore have to identify by country of origin every single item that is in those cages. There will not be free trade where a cage can be loaded in Telford and shipped to some of the Dublin stores and you'll have that every item by country of origin and that is going to dramatically change the economics for British retailers of trading in Ireland and potentially change the landscape of Irish retail parks and high streets because it will become less economic for British retailers to trade. And then of course there's the overall effect of investment in business when the terms of trade are uncertain. The domestic economy slowed in the first quarter and that was undoubtedly the effects of Brexit. Now Britain has to be seen to lose when it leaves the EU. An EU diplomat put it if you're not at the table you're on the menu. I leave it there Barry.


The issue of the housing market in Berlin is that few large corporations own a very big share of the market. This gives them a lot of power and leads to problems such as dubious service charges, census modernization, no heating in winter, a general lack of affordable housing and rising rents. And while all of this affects marginalized groups very severely, it even has an impact on middle-class families or pensioners who can afford to live here less and less. Deutsche Wohnen-Quent-Eignen initiated a referendum one year ago on whether to expropriate the large profit-oriented housing corporations and socialize their housing stock so that it would belong to all of the billionaires. We won over an incredible 59.1%. And now it's time to put pressure onto the implementation of the referendum because the real estate lobby has very strong ties to politics and while politicians debate and discuss laws and block the implementation, the rents are still rising and people are being driven out of their neighborhoods.


As the COVID-19 pandemic hit, seafarers found themselves under a front line of global operations which saw them working on certain difficult conditions. As the world marks the day of the seafarer, the Nigerian maritime administration and safety agency, NIMASA, gathered seamen to celebrate, but some of them had complaints, as Ongozi called HAC reports. 25th June is a day set aside to celebrate seafarers around the world. Nigeria is joining the world to celebrate and appreciate seafarers for their handbook, with the theme, Fair Future for Seafarers. Bashu Yusuf Jamal, the director general of NIMASA, shares his welcome address. The last year's event took place during the peak of the pandemic, and the seafarers decided to sacrifice their life and well-being. While everybody was at home, we were asked to remain at home. These brave ladies and gentlemen, they continued to move around the world to ensure the issue of medicine and other essentials didn't suffer. Good rule messages are set in appreciation of the seafarers who work in extremely hazardous conditions. Seafarers, I congratulate you once again and wish you a happy seafarers day. You are greatly appreciated and it has always strived very hard to do our best to ensure that you can all grow individually, collectively, and as a nation. They are able to cater for their well-being and that of their families, especially because most of them are out of their families. So let them know that we recognize the contributions they make to the economy and we're not going to let them down. A panel set up to discuss the challenges and future of seafaring gets down to business. Oil and gas that we all use are also moved by the same seafarers. The gas that you use in cooking. When you stay at home, you use your generators, you use your power, you use the gas that you use in cooking are all moved by seafarers. How do we attract seafarers and create a fair future for them? First of all, we must let them follow the pay. The pay has to be good. And in Swan, ship owners have a situation of Nigeria, even though we have limited, we have our limitations, we do the best to try to pay them well, pay them on time. The celebration turns rowdy as Maritime Workers Union of Nigeria calls on NIMASA to take responsibility as seafarers are suffering. The seafarers are not happy. We should be frank with you sir. Fine, NIMASA is doing their best. I saw the minister greeting seafarers, the general minister greeting seafarers. Talk is cheap. Things later come down and the director general of NIMASA congratulates seafarers and encourages them to continue the hard work they put in.


So this past week. We've had a interesting debate between AW and WWE no surprise if you guys know what I'm talking about the segment between MJF CM Punk compared to Edge and The Miz now obviously there's some striking comparisons between both of these segments for one Obviously CM Punk called MJF a less famous version of Miz CM Punk is also getting back into the swing of things wrestling wise So, you know, he hasn't been in wrestling for many years and now that he's back to get into the swing of things and Kind of the same thing that MJF mentioned in his promo like CM Punk never called his name out as one of the people he wanted to potentially wrestle The same thing happened here with Edge and Miz calling out Edge saying you didn't even mention my name as one of the people You wanted wanted to wrestle and the similarities you you can't miss them if you see one promo it would be like You're seeing the same promo in a sense of Who's the face? Who's the heel? Why does the heel have the problem with the face? It makes sense. It does make sense. Um, I've seen some people Mentioned I talked about it in one of my videos earlier this week the reaction to it I've seen some people mention. Oh, this is a poor attempt at copying a W and I can't understand people's Judgment of that if you really look at it, it does look like they kind of copied the formula just a bit and It didn't come off as I guess you can say genuine not to say that the promo wasn't good Edge and mix miss segment was actually enjoyable, you know towards the end You know, I started really getting into the promo segment But it didn't have the same impact as MJF and CM Punk's promo granted that happened first But at the same time you got to also understand That it's a different company in a sense of how they let their their wrestlers deliver promos You can tell between MJF and CM Punk the way they structured that promo segment They just let those guys have at it As long as you don't go overboard have at it Of course with WWE, I think they let they give edge bullet points But I think he mostly comes up with the stuff himself as it sounds organic and real and with the Miz I'm sure they do the same thing. It sounds or you know for the Miz He's fantastic on the microphone. So, you know, it kind of you know, it it worked in a sense But it still felt a little Structured if that makes any sense y'all like AW that segment seemed more just like a freestyle even though I'm sure they you know went over things that we're gonna say, but it just came off more like a freestyle and The one in WWE came off a little bit more structured. That's usually how they promos are because they have people Pretty much, you know in the back writers wanting you to say verbatim certain things and you know I think that's a detriment to WWE's overall product But for me personally if I had to choose which one I like Better which segment that I enjoyed more. I'm gonna have to give it to MJFC and punk that segment Made me want to check out that match even more than I already did That segment sold me on their potential future matches this segment between the Miz and Edge Me honest with y'all. I don't think many people too much cared for a Miz and Edge match And I think people know that like no one's really just saying oh, I can't wait for the Miz and Edge to have a match No People were at least talking about MJF CM Punk when CM Punk got there. Oh, I can't wait for them a few that's gonna be they're gonna be amazing on the mic I can't wait to see that for you. They were talking about that. No one was talking about Edge and Miz like that And this is where it comes off like WWE definitely try to try to really One up AEW there cuz if you really think about it, you really want to think about it No one really just in their mind was thinking Edge and the Miz would be a nice little Potential few I think more people were kind of oh, I think I have a package. I'm leaving this in the video That's the gate colony. So that means I probably have a package on the way But I think it's more and more more people were kind of interested in seeing Edge versus AJ Styles edge versus Biggie edge versus Kevin Owens like some different faces, you know, like these I think these are opponents that you know A lot of us fans would be wanting to see and Edge also mentioned. I don't think no one thought of the Miz I think this whole segment came apart because AEW segment was just so fantastic in a name dropped the Miz. So it kind of made sense Not to say that the WWE segment wasn't enjoyable. It was it just for me personally It is it didn't it did not Captivate me as much like with MJF CM Punk they could have talked for another 20 minutes and I would have been glued with edge and In the Miz I can listen to edge all day the Miz it was it, you know, it was cool You know, but I it was one of those things where it's like I don't think I would have cared too too much more after and you know, I had another five ten minutes I don't know if I would have still been as interested and it also Sucks because the crowd really wasn't into it like they should have been granted the Miz and I'm not the Miz MJF and the CM Punk promo the crowd was hot They were super into that segment this segment with edge They weren't as into it as you would thought they would have been and maybe it can have been the area They was in cuz you know, not every town is a wrestling town like that So maybe if this was if this segment happened somewhere else and maybe in our Boston in a Philly or whatever I think maybe the crowd reaction would have been a whole lot better because a lot of the hardcore wrestling fans They watch AEW so they would have known but that can also be a problem because then if the crowd's not feeling the promo They can just start chanting AEW and kind of destroy the whole thing.   They know the lane. They're trying to Stay in and they're staying true to that and I like the fact that WWE in their management They know they pay attention They know what's really hot right now and right now that promo segment is the talk of the town for the wrestling world So they won't they went this route with the promo segment with between Edge and The Miz it it makes sense and if it's gonna create good television out of it. I'm okay with it I'm just being honest with you I'm okay with good television being created because you see the competition Creating something good too. That's competition. That's what you need. That's what helped them win the Monday night Wars against WCW they had to switch up their product and they had to compete because they were losing now Of course, WWE is still gonna keep bringing in the views because they're a big company But at the end of the day They'll lose views if they don't try to keep freshening up the content keep bringing what we want to see good Storylines good wrestling they'll lose more people than they'll gain because there's a target demographic that they want to get an AEW will continue to grow that target demographic because they're giving the fans ultimately kind of what they want So we will see what happens in upcoming weeks. This is gonna happen at the end of the day But it's all said and done you have a new company at in AEW and WWE established juggernaut The comparisons are gonna happen.  There's nothing wrong with that You could be a fan of either one doesn't matter This is when you start attacking people because they're a fan of a certain product that you're not a fan of that's when it Kind of gets a little bit Necessary so comment down below. Let me know Which segment did you guys enjoy more? Did you enjoy the CM Punk? MJF Segment or did you enjoy the edge in the mid-segment more? Which one did you enjoy or did you enjoy them equally the same or did you not care for both of them? Let me know. I really want to get your opinions on that and let's please keep the AEW WWE stuff to a minimum when it comes to like Trying to talk down to somebody because they like a different company Please not let's not do that in the comment section. It's not that serious, man You can be a fan of both doesn't matter You can not be a fan of one and choose run over the other doesn't matter man It's all about making sure you enjoy yourself if we get good wrestling out of it I appreciate all the love and support wrote to Sandy Kay. Appreciate y'all kicking with me. See y'all on the next one. Peace