The Power Trading Hour with your host, David White. Call now toll free at 1-877-927-6648 or internationally at<PHONE_NUMBER>. Now, David White. And welcome to another excellent edition of The Power Trading Hour. As always, we come to you at the appointed time. The following takes place between 2 p.m. and 3 p.m. So we got the market off 40 points on the S&P cash. Is that right? Let me update that just to make sure. Off 35 points on the S&P cash. And Dow 180, Nasdaq went down 125, Russell off 43. Tried to hold the market right after the open, but my guess is that we had a lot of people in China starting to sell what they could instead of what they couldn't. They were having a bad day at BlackRock for the Hang Sing. And I think we're kind of getting affected by that. Not only are they selling some equities, but even though they sold off most of the bonds, some Chinese still have U.S. bonds, and those tend to be selling them. So it's, like I said, a lot of times in down markets, it's not sell what you want to or what you should, the worst performers. But most people will sell the best because you're going to find a buyer for it. If they actually tried to sell the worst performers, all it would do is go to zero and have no buyers whatsoever. So there is a method to the madness, but instead of us being kind of small fry and selling what probably isn't working well for us, the big guys have to sell where they can, and that's generally the big stocks, and you start to see a little bit of that. During the show yesterday, we had kind of an attack on Apple. When everybody started figuring out who wrote the article and that it lacked a broad amount of context and that the writers of the article couldn't answer those context questions, like were they reducing the amount of low-end phones so that they could concentrate on the parts they did have for high-margin phones? Well, nothing but crickets. No one knows anything. I don't know what the answer is, but the article really had one person saying kind of what they were seeing from one supply company, one company that actually supplied Apple. So we're basically flat on the day. It's down maybe a quarter of a percent, which is nothing, which is about like 45%. So again, we were talking yesterday about the part in Jesse Livermore's book where you can really tell whether or not there are buyers in the market when you get these kind of things. It looks to me like there are buyers on pullbacks, not that many people wanting to buy the breakout, but certainly a lot of people wanting to buy the pullback. Chinese devaluation coming. I don't know. It's almost all self-inflicted, and that may be the problem for our earnings tonight with Tesla in that I think the Chinese government is deathly afraid that if they let everybody run around and do what they want, they'd try to overthrow the government of Z or Xi or however you want to pronounce it. So they continue to put on the draconian zero COVID regulations that pretty much have been proved the rest of it around the rest of the world as not working very well. You want to kind of limit exposure, but if you just close it all down, all you're doing is going to say that you're going to close down forever because eventually somebody's got to get it and you've got to get immunity to it. Some of the shots work well, but as we learned out getting a shot doesn't mean you don't get it. So, or spread it. So what do we do? Well, the question is just how long will China be on this path? Is it something they really think they need to do because they've got huge amounts of internal problems or is this just a political move to make sure that they have total control over the country? Not a very open or transparent country, so that's it. I'll be very interested to see what Tesla has to say since just about everything that you're doing now is dependent on having big sales in China, which reminds me of a great movie, Big Trouble in Little China. I wonder how many people remember that. Another good Kurt Russell movie, but your basic superhero, anti-hero, Claude kind of guy. Pretty standard fare, but I liked it.<PHONE_NUMBER>. Email me at path at tfnn.com and of course you can always put a message in the den. Let's do a little history and then we get back into the second segment. Getting into a lot more charts, but I don't think that there's a lot you can talk about other than the TLT and the dollar, gold sucking it, and I wanted to get to the dollar here before we did a little bit of history. 12830, so kind of hanging around the previous lows of what is this? This morning at 6.30. We're up a little bit off that, but let's go back to the, that's on the euro and the dollar. On the dollar itself, 12830. People buying dollars and hiding in it, kind of the trade for a while. We saw some sell-offs, kind of tough to tell. Anyway, let's do a little history and then we'll move on. There is history repeating.  And that is ooh. Get back to it. On this day in 1979, according to Dan Bricklin, the first real release of Visacaoque was completed in the package for shipment. Visacaoque was the first commercially available spreadsheet software and quickly became the first killer app of the personal computer market. I met him, I think, in the November users group meeting we had in town. And very interesting to meet somebody. At that time, everybody's excited. It was the dawn of computers. He was around the world spreading the good news. Of course, most of us, it was about 18, 19 at the time, didn't have any idea what a spreadsheet was. And, of course, it was something that was really left to the accounting kind of folks. And I don't think anybody, if you would have said spreadsheet 1979, if one out of 50 people knew what it was, I'd be surprised. The big thing about this is just how the idea of the killer app, that is one product, one piece of software that goes with your hardware, i.e. a computer, that makes it incredibly useful. And, of course, what you had was a bunch of MBAs coming out of colleges, and they all needed it and drove and bought an Apple, which helped save the company, and bought Visacaoque, which made them a lot of money. We'll be back in a minute. Teddy Kegstad has just announced a live webinar coming up for subscribers to his newsletter, The Tiger Forex Report. Wednesday, October 26th at 4 p.m. Eastern Time, Teddy will be hosting a live 60-minute webinar, Forex Strategies and Fundamentals, what is behind the Tiger Forex Report newsletter. In this 60-minute webinar, Teddy will be discussing a full breakdown of the markets that influence currency pairs, as well as applying those variables to individual currency pairs, how to evaluate trading scenarios for risk versus reward, as well as a live question-and-answer session. Sign up now and gain instant access to this live webinar coming up, as well as a month subscription to Teddy's Tiger Forex Report, which comes with a 30-day money-back guarantee so you have nothing to risk. Don't miss out on this live webinar event with Teddy Kegstad Wednesday, October 26th. Sign up now for the Tiger Forex Report at the front page of TFNN.com. Are you grinding in the market? But seeing little to no return?  Learn to take the path of least resistance with David White's powerful trading newsletter. David White is an accomplished trader whose deep understanding of technology and the markets allows him to consistently find and share winning trades. Support and resistance define the ranges in which stocks trade. By understanding these trading ranges, David White is able to find a path of least resistance. David White's trading newsletter, The Path of Least Resistance, is delivered daily before the markets open to make every trading day an easy win. Visit TFNN.com today and subscribe to David White's ultimate trading newsletter for $119 a month and try all of our newsletters risk-free with our 30-day money-back guarantee. Take the path of least resistance at TFNN Educating Investors. Are you looking for a way to consistently add winning trades to your portfolio? Tom O'Brien is here to help. Tom O'Brien has been successfully trading markets for over 30 years. A frequent contributor to TD Ameritrade Network and CNBC, Tom O'Brien founded TFNN over 20 years ago to help educate investors just like you. Tom's daily market newsletter, Market Insights, is published every morning when the markets open to give you the competitive informational edge you need to succeed. These newsletters are packed full of Tom's advanced technical analysis and are geared to deliver comprehensive strategies for a successful portfolio. Get Tom O'Brien's newsletter, Market Insights, today and try all of our products and newsletters 30 days risk-free with our money-back guarantee at TFNN.com TFNN Educating Investors. Always a lot of rumors around these things. Now, when we get to options why we're still probably focusing more on what options say now and that's still 375 for exploration on Friday. At least that's what the option market makers are planning on. We're really just not that weak in the market. Like I said, I think a lot will have to do with Tesla. I don't like the way it's hanging around at the lows but the history on earnings for Tesla has been everybody shorting it to the moon only to see that if it doesn't blow out to the downside it tends to eat a lot of short sellers on the upside and they've been there more than 20% on a daily basis has been shorted for the last I'm going to say three weeks got into 30% back on the 6th of October but pretty much every day above 20% so one out of five one out of four depending on the day shares are shorted doesn't mean that everybody went home short those but it did mean on the day that was at least probably one out of four shares were being shorted anything more than about five or eight is pretty high does not mean that they carried that home and that's the other side of this coin and that is that Tesla is going into this at least for the 30th which is the last reporting day from the exchanges with just a day to cover and only a 2.4% now that's in the rear view mirror again that was 19 days ago we really don't have any idea I've always wondered whether or not companies hedge funds that were short these companies knew that they didn't want to see some big print for both days to cover a percent so all you have to do is get out on the 29th and guess what it doesn't show up and you go back short right again the next Monday and you can keep out of getting those prints a lot harder to do it reading the dailies I've always worked at that as a theory but I haven't found a good way to prove it but I do digress anyway that's it I wanted to go back into some of the stocks that were actually moving the market and probably not moving the market but old faithful has been Generac and man are they going to get the the losing horn today that sounded a little bit too much anyway the big move on Generac I didn't look at the news it wasn't earnings miss I do remember that see if there's anything else out here this has been the go to stock for a while I have a feeling I'll look at it tonight but a great deal of houses are being built with these systems to begin with and the housing move may be one of the things that really has challenged Generac now but since so many of these were add-ons to being built especially in California where you might have spotty power in other places but wow 25% that is quite the haircut and it got the loser horn of the day from the prices wrong otherwise the price is right other losers of the day or win a you can kind of bet on this one with the high prices of diesel remember why some of these things are gas powered most of those are the older ones the newer ones to tend to come I'm told about 75 or 80% of them with diesel engines in them and that's still I think I didn't look at the diesel price but I think it's still around 5 bucks around here or 5.50 I know that I've seen Princess 6 and 6.50 in other states not surely what it is in California now but pretty huge this hasn't blown out the lows but it's hard to believe that over time high fuel prices won't hit anything that flies floats or drives like a giant semi-truck you've got enough volume it's not as bad as one would think but certainly the price pressure is there in Winnebago also in the Nutty Like a Fruit Fly division of Waco earnings is intuitive surgical seems to always be the one that has a huge move one way or the other many times it went sideways this one seems to be one that does tend to pop very good the Tesla battery packs I'll forget them they're not selling well they're selling a handful of them but that's in the worst part it may be the most expensive add-on you can have to your house much cheaper to buy the add-on from Generac than it is from a Tesla battery pack especially if you run it off propane so not a big fan of those Tesla battery packs unless you live on somewhere like Hawaii it's incredibly expensive to get fuel or maybe somewhere out in the middle of the desert where you actually have solar cells that can work 365 most people don't know but solar cells get 90% of the power in six and a half hours of the day so out of 24 you got six and a half hours to really catch 90% of all the power and guess what if the cloud comes by or a lot of other stuff so you gotta have pretty sunny climates down here in Florida I'm not a big fan of them either mostly because we get clouds of cloudy weather you wouldn't believe it down here in Florida but we do so again it'd be tough if that happened and you were depending on those solar cells a lot easier to know that the propane is tanked up for your Generac but again maybe one day that changes but it's very tough you gotta have solar cells that track the sun to get the maximum output you gotta keep them clean a lot of maintenance on that and I think a lot of people forget and just putting them on the roof of your house ends up meaning that you're gonna probably cut that six and a half hours a day depending on which way your house is aimed to maybe three and a half or four hours so again very tough to do I'm not a big fan of solar cells being done on a mass scale by a big company that can hire people to sit there and maintain them and wash them and repair them and make sure that the sun trackers follow them all day when those motors are busted they can fix them right then much harder when everybody has to go and repair them on individual houses we'll be back in a minute if you want to take advantage of this sector now is the time to subscribe to my Gold Report the Gold Report is a comprehensive look at the metal sector as well as the markets that move gold which is the currency and bond markets new subscribers get a 30 day money back guarantee so you have nothing to lose every Monday morning I publish the Gold Report with coverage of gold, silver, bonds DXAU, HUI, GDX as well as more than 30 different mining equities to see for yourself the types of profitable trades that are recommended within the Gold Report sign up now by visiting tfnn.com don't miss out on the next great gold trade sign up today live every market day from 8.30am to 4pm eastern for free each host is an experienced trader and gives their take on the market while taking calls and questions live from around the world from the moment the market opens until the closing bell sounds Tiger TV has 8 different shows with expert hosts to help you make the right moves with your money watch online at tfnn.com or on tfnn's youtube channel and become the investor you were born to be tfnn educating investors tfnn is excited about our new software charting program the art of timing the trade charts in collaboration with Tom O'Brien and using his best selling book the art of timing the trade your ultimate trading mastery system David White has programmed an outstanding piece of software that will complement any trader's methodology using this first of its kind program the art of timing the trade charts allows you to scan thousands of stocks for new setups including Gartley's ABC's Butterflies and much more the art of timing the trade charts is designed to help you when scouring the markets for stocks just beginning to form the trading patterns that many investors spend days, weeks or even months searching to find and right now we're offering licenses available at only $79 a month we are so confident that you're going to love this new charting software that will even give you a 30 day unconditional money back guarantee don't miss out on this incredible new piece of software get your copy of the art of timing the trade charts today by visiting tfnn.com this segment is brought to you by Think or Swim for more information just click the Think or Swim banner on the front page of tfnn.com and yeah Generac, G-N-R-C is the symbol for you home gamers out there<PHONE_NUMBER> okay so let's go on to some other ones Netflix very interesting the commentary it sounded a great deal of like God thank God we're going to be able to get out of this from CNBC and the other pundits and shills on this I didn't have any problem thinking that they could get two more million people for the fall the question is can they hold on to those by next spring when everybody starts going outside but for what they have yeah is it nice that they're not reporting less subscribers but two million instead of one million again a lot of times all you really want to see is that they don't fail in bear markets to see a lot of shorts getting horribly squeezed 279.30 for a high today it's just a little over 270 now you've got some fairly decent volume this is where I would be a seller if you bought it and that is anytime let's see if I can go back and do this here make sure I've got it right here to two anytime well you may have a little bit more anytime I buy after a huge gap down it may fill all of the gap but more than likely what you're going to get is a reversal about halfway through the gap and that would be about 300 bucks so could you continue to see a miserable cycle of people shorting and then being squeezed back out you can and probably with the incredible cheering section you could get enough people to get it to 300 but this is where I'm starting to look especially in a bear market if you go back and fill half the gap you should be feeling fairly happy and taking your money and run to see do you have a white paper on solar for a typical residential home 2500-3500 I don't have one myself I have a neighbor considering it I think the high cost over the long run would not be familiar with the solar scam any thoughts appreciated yeah the only way this works is if you make your neighbors pay for it i.e. the government and of course they think that if we just keep salting the gold mine long enough someone is going to come along and buy it and then everybody is just going to believe it there are some physics that come into solar panels that just can't be bypassed and that is at their best I mean these are the ones that go to Mars and stuff like that solar cell efficiency is about 31% you're not going to get any more than that so what they do is actually put multiple solar cells together that collect more of the spectrum of light but again that's why the solar panels on those things rolling around on Mars cost about 400 times more than a regular solar cell that goes on somebody's house here in the world on the planet earth so do they work yes in certain conditions like I said where you always got sun, Hawaii Arizona where you don't have long term where you're socked in with weather and that means more than about 3 days pretty rare in the desert you get clouds and about 10 minutes of rain every day at noon and then you're done occasionally you'll get some kind of big wind storm but that's about it but yeah no matter what they're saying you've got two options and the only one is getting your neighbors to pay through taxes that makes it worth it some areas that would be it you know I first moved down here in 97 the most interesting thing I thought was how many of these roofs still had those solar water heaters on them from the 80s and of course they had when it came time for new roofs around 2000 and everybody was putting them on around here nobody was putting them back on my guess is we're going to have the same thing you're going to get to whatever the time is the new houses that have been built in the last 10 years they have them on it get replaced my guess is they're probably not going to be throwing those on you'd be much better off that you'd be much better off if we could actually have an inexpensive way of storing it we talked about the whole battery pack it's horribly inefficient and probably the best article on this was in the Economist I want to say two, three years ago where they actually showed what you're really doing is buying a big power generation station that its cost does not go down because it's sitting idle that you have to have when the sun doesn't shine or the wind doesn't blow and that would be it down here in Florida we're working on the Royal Wee people are working on tides and you know what if you put them in different areas of Florida you could probably get pretty close to 24 hours of power on tides to me that sounds a lot smarter until you get to the point where anytime you touch water things go miserably awry hurricanes all kinds of other stuff theoretically we're going to put these on the bed of the ocean and out maybe a mile so we don't they're not so problematic that may be a much better option than putting solar panels on roofs in Florida is to have something where we're maybe putting these tidal turbines down in the Gulf Stream that runs all the time now sometimes it kind of moves around a bit but I think you could probably find a center portion out there where it works but some just work on waves and generally you got some waves not always the huge ones but I think that eventually at least in some areas on the coastal areas may be a much better option over time it's just going to take a little while to get it 2-2 anyway hopefully that helps you out Hector but there's reasons why everybody isn't buying solar roofs and that is that really you're just really getting subsidized by the government they don't make any sense and you still have to buy pay for a giant coal or a natural gas power supply in a central location that everybody uses because you're going to have 10 days in a row without sun there aren't enough if you spent twice the price of your home you couldn't buy enough batteries<PHONE_NUMBER> at TFNN you'll get advice and guidance from the authority and technical market analysis and it's not just dry tedious text either TFNN airs live financial content streamed live on TFNN.com and TFNN's youtube channel with Tiger TV live every market day from 8.30am to 4pm eastern for free each host is an experienced trader and gives their take on the market while taking calls live from around the world from the moment the market opens until the closing bell sounds Tiger TV has 8 different shows with expert hosts to help you make the right moves with your money watch online at TFNN.com or on TFNN's youtube channel and become the investor you were born to be TFNN educating investors the technology around us is changing every day with so much happening it can seem impossible to keep up with all the information David White's investment newsletter the technology insider is designed to give you all the information you need to understand the technology that shapes today's markets and tomorrow's future David White has made his living staying on the cutting edge of technology his weekly newsletter will give you specific recommendations for value tech stocks as well as entry prices target prices and stops to set for each trade Dave delivers his weekly newsletters every Friday with updates throughout the week the technology insider at TFNN.com for only $37.50 Sign up for David's newsletter the technology insider and get an inside look at 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If you trade China A shares now may be time to take a closer look trade CHAU or CHAD Directions Daily CSI 300 China A share bull and bear ETFs China A shares in either direction Visit Direction Investments.com today an investor should consider the investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses of the direction shares carefully before investing the prospectus and summary prospectus contain this and other information about direction shares to obtain a prospectus or summary prospectus please contact Direction Shares at<PHONE_NUMBER> the prospectus or summary prospectus should be read carefully before investing an investment in the funds is subject to risk including the possible loss of principal the funds are designed to be utilized only by sophisticated investors such as traders and active investors Distributor Four Side Fund Services LLC This program is brought to you by Vista Gold traded on the NYSE American and TSX under the symbol VGZ and as we get back to what's going on I had a question about how options tell us stuff and that is not always but most of the time you'll get enough people on the each side of the market and this goes back to a thing called the wisdom of crowds about 1902 I think a man named I want to say William Galton certainly it's Galton and he was on a nice fall day was going to a farm show and they were giving away a bowl if you could guess its weight so everybody put their guess in and somebody wanted whoever was closest but he was pretty interested in how close everybody was so he flipped the guy a buck or two to get all the other losing guesses in it took it home and found out that the average of all the guesses although some were way off to the upside way down to the downside when he actually put them all together the guesses from everybody was better than any one guest that was out there that is in statistic classes yet today is taught by putting a bunch of marbles in a one gallon glass jar and asking people how to what the number is and you'll be within 5% if you get about 25 people to guess you'll be plus or minus 5% 95% of the time so you're going to have a confidence level about that with just 25 people so there is a wisdom of the crowds it doesn't always work notoriously options are way off or quad witching that's because you can't just look at that in a vacuum where you truly can but you always have somewhere between 4 and 6 times the options you have on the monthly options expiration opposed to the weekly but there's still some but generally they're like IBM not IBM Apple, Microsoft some of the bigger stocks Apple's probably the one that comes closest on an ongoing basis and you can actually see it especially for Apple it's kind of interesting because Buffett who has a lot of shares of Apple makes probably more money rigging the option market with his company for Apple and selling options against it then probably he makes or made ever buying the stock back in the early 2000s his partner called it sewage he called it weapons of mass destruction and after a while he figured out just how much money there actually is made in options and he may have I think he does still have he did for a while maybe two years ago I remember had the biggest options house of anybody in the United States so from it's total trash to I'm the biggest option writer in the country is not very much different than he told everybody never to buy an airline he bought a couple of them uh yeah thank you Mr. Buffett as I always say listening to some of the big men of Wall Street is like hiring you're soon to be ex-wife's boyfriend lawyer to handle your divorce probably not a real smart idea I remember on Buffett I think it was in 2000 he was massively pumping Coca-Cola at the time and I thought well that's interesting I didn't buy it about two or three weeks later he'd sold a bunch of them and they came out with a big announcement about problems and I kind of knew that a lot of these guys have a lot of money but it's not enough it's never enough and they're more than willing to do one thing or say one thing and do another but probably the options thing is probably the most egregious along with the airline thing of doing that for eight get this down here uh uh if you're in some places like California where they massively um uh support it with other people's money i.e. taxes it does tend to work but uh you've gotta be in those you've gotta be in those places again is it making any money no you're just taking money for somebody else maybe that money would be better use on people that are poor in my opinion uh but hey I couldn't virtue signal then uh<PHONE_NUMBER> okay uh other stocks of interest we got to uh Tesla let's check in on earnings right now I mean on volume 7.6 billion shares so again we're not gonna have a monster day uh let's see here we got uh okay so we got Tesla we got IBM uh I did have uh IBM uh got out of it I was hoping that it would be somewhere in the neighborhood um I think we bought it at 118 in the tech insider I wanted to uh 125, 128, 130 I thought it could get back up to this gap uh and it didn't so we're out of it before earnings uh as I like to say sell when you cannot when you have to uh so we'll see what this does uh I think they're probably just gonna come out flat and then maybe we'll get in depending on the reaction we'll get back in it but uh if you don't have to be in it and I don't think anybody's saying this goes to 140 tomorrow uh maybe it goes up and down three or four bucks uh is the risk reward really there you know it would be if I was at 130 today uh so that would be it<PHONE_NUMBER> email me at path at tfnn.com of course we've got other stocks uh also coming out after the bell uh and that will be Alcoa um probably give you a little bit of idea how fcx uh may uh do in the next few days uh I don't see a whole lot out here it could be an abc on the way up I do like the very light volume in the next four days let's take a look at fcx uh that's kind of hanging about the same way in which it could be an abc on the way up uh it could just be consolidating to go retest the lows uh of course uh as I said it seems a lot more to do with finding now uh than what's happening here in the united states also after the bell tonight Las Vegas sands lvs uh to to and you're kind of at the lows here uh not a lot of juice just kind of going sideways uh bouncing a little off the lows um you know they did have a nice run up to this 4346 mostly on them reopening mcow and then it came right back down as uh they weren't uh totally open it's like uh princess bride mostly dead but not totally dead we'll be back in a minute this to gold owns and operates the largest undeveloped gold project in australia the mount Todd gold project this to gold just completed their feasibility study resulting in a 7 million ounce gold reserve this to gold has all major permits approved and has retained c i b c capital market assistance in evaluating alternatives and in completing an accreted transaction this to gold trades on the n y s e american and t s x under the ticker symbol v g c this to gold executing a strategy to create shareholder value you might think that if you want to be successful at trading in the stock market you're going to need a crystal ball after all it's impossible to predict the future right like any endeavor in life before you decide it's impossible get some advice from the experts you might find that it's not so impossible after all for daily market overviews that give you direction on the key indices selective stocks and commodities subscribe to the opening call newsletter at tfnn.com the opening call newsletter is written by basal Chapman creator of the trading methodology known as the Chapman wave the Chapman wave up down sequence gives you an edge in identifying price turns finding the peaks and valleys and stock prices get the opening call newsletter by basal Chapman in your inbox every day first time subscribers also 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of signing up subscribe to the Fibonacci 24 7 newsletter today tfnn.com educating investors tfnn has been educating traders for more than 20 years with live programming hosted by a variety of professional traders during market hours the tiger stand available to all tigers and tiger's for just $1 for the year there's no catch or added costs when you join our community of traders sign up today and become a part of this educational community of traders just visit the front page of tfnn.com also a special guest on CNBC Tom will bisect and dissect the markets the Tom O'Brien show next on tfnn as we come back get ready to wrap up the day I'm say probably gonna get a lot of color from two things tomorrow that is whether or not China continues at least the Hang Sing continues to have a ripple effect and another big day down because I think that's pretty much weighing on the market I don't think we're getting lambasted too badly but certainly that to a lesser extent maybe some of those gambling stocks may have a little bit of movement you know the rest not bad when you have to actually look about what we had you know if you discount Generac which is not generally a market moving one and Winnebago which I think everybody could have seen coming 100 miles down the down the street I don't know how far you can actually see a Winnebago but probably pretty far anyway as we look at that most of the earnings have been either flat or up a bit there have been a few outliers like Generac and Winnebago but so bad so far so we'll see I think we're going to get a much better commentary not really too interested in what Tesla has to say about their particular business but what they think of what business is going to be like in China if there is one company that's going to live and die on China sales it's over the next year it's certainly going to be Tesla and of course much much higher interest rates for people buying Teslas over there now than just six months ago they've got a lot of problems they're trying to wiggle out of in the housing sector in China so I don't know if I'm so interested in Tesla and its movements as what they have to say about what they think the future of business is in China as it will affect us here so when you can not when you have to and we'll see you here tomorrow building wealth trading in the stock market seems impossible


What's up? How are you guys today? I've spoken in the past about various surgeries I've had double jaw surgery Lasik eye surgery and I'm all for it if The problem can't be fixed in a natural way the procedure that drives me crazy the most is the BBL Brazilian BudLift which has absolutely Exploded in popularity over these past few years They basically transfer fat from your stomach lower back and put it in your butt I mean it seems like kind of crude and like silly and We'll get into those specific negatives of the procedure, but why can't you just go to the gym? girls can get a natural muscular, but that looks amazing and And actually knew this girl that worked out seriously like heavy squats every week in the gym Her butt was so big. It made me question my sexual Because I felt like I should be into it more.  I Mean, there's a lot of more to that story, but so yeah, there's definitely some textural differences between this procedure and someone that has a natural butt and this isn't some easy peasy in and out thing it's incredibly invasive if you watch videos of this you probably would never get it and You actually can't sit down for eight weeks after surgery The fat cells and all that other tissue went under so much stress during the surgery That just sitting on them can kill them leave indentations the body is recovering from all the trauma Think about it.  You know that tissue damage It's just not possible for it to look natural short-term and definitely not good long-term And I took this quote off of Google a Survey taken from almost 700 surgeons worldwide Showed that 3% of the surgeons had a patient pass away after the procedure the British Association of Aesthetic Plastic Surgeons Explained that BBLs hold the highest mortality rate with one in 3,000 patients Passing away after receiving the surgery and on average, you know If the BBL surgeon is doing a reasonable amount of surgeries that means every two or three years Someone passes away, which is I mean insane so one in three thousand is considered a very high mortality rate for a surgery and The growing popularity seems to be from influencers Instagram models celebrities I'm not so certain. This is a natural trend, you know I think many surgical associations are paying these influencers a lot of money to talk about what they got done and Where they got done? It's you know, really superficial and It seems like a lot of these celebrities and people haven't really worked for many things that hard in their life So going to the gym consistently and eating well, you know They just want to suffer for like a few weeks and have the big but it's a little ridiculous And if you do the math, you know, depending on the popularity of the doctor We're talking millions of dollars to dozens of millions of dollars in annual revenue from BBL procedures, but what really takes the cake is it's not permanent.  So and then I found a quote that I thought was a little funny on this surgeon's website Unfortunately in most cases the exercises woman complete do not target the gluteus maximus gluteus medius and gluteus minimus Thus while exercise shouldn't be incorporated into your everyday routine and pelvic raises squats and lunges can help enhance your figure Only a BBL will deliver dramatic results.  So You know go to the gym put in a lot of work and You know most people nowadays Are used to the instant rewards with social media all that type of stuff. They see what other people have so Sometimes guys are more inclined to go into the gym and work out But even then they still look at like steroids and performance enhancing drugs as like the quick solution to their dream body You know, I mean guys, it's really just a few years in the gym and eating healthy, but that is easier said than done Because the modern conventional wisdom is not correct So we did a workout routine that we came out with a few years ago high volume hypertrophy or it's called maximum volume hypertrophy so you need to do a lot more volume than most routines are and The quality of the diet is very important Like you'll see young girls with cellulite now and their fat tissue just looks kind of weird and unattractive That's because of like the seed oils and oxidative stress and all the crap they're eating in their diet So eating quality organic animal protein is very important quality organic grains. Just making sure the diet is really correct On its own can kind of fix your body and fat distribution without even really having to exercise that much So you have to definitely consider What type of diet and exercise you're doing because if you're just on a stand-in American diet with protein powder and you go to the gym and Work out, you know, your body is not going to look good, you know regardless of what you're doing It's going to take a very long time for any results So thank you guys for joining me. Hopefully you've enjoyed this topic if you guys do want to support me you can check out frank-to-found.com for all of my Interesting businesses where you can get quality animal protein on Frankie's syringe meat tons of unique products on Frankie's syringe foods Guys, we're coming out with new stuff every week So be sure to check out the websites read a little bit about the product see what you can learn But outside of that as always, please drop a like on the video leave a comment down below Subscribe so that YouTube can unsubscribe you next week and be sure to check that notification bill So they don't notify you of my videos. Thanks again for joining. I'll see you guys soon


Okay, good morning, everyone. Alright, good morning to our students online as well. Let's begin this time with a word of prayer and we'll get into our teaching. Father, we thank you so much for yet another beautiful day that you have blessed us with. Thank you for your grace. Thank you for the ability to learn and to grow in the things of God. And I pray God that even as we study and learn, we pray Holy Spirit that He will speak and minister to each of our hearts. In Jesus' name we pray. Amen. Amen. Alright, so last class we completed up to chapter 83. Now we pick up from chapter 84. Sorry, 82 is where we completed. So we start from 83, right? Is that right? Okay, so chapter 83 called to His purpose.  Just keep praying the whole day, keep worshipping the whole day. No, God has called us for a purpose. Each one of us have an earthly purpose. Yes or no, right? On earth, God has placed us because we have a purpose. And even as we continue to live our life, the Lord Jesus and through His Holy Spirit enables us to fulfill the purpose that God has for our life, right? There's two important things that we must understand when we say the word purpose. One is a heavenly purpose. One is an earthly purpose. What is a heavenly purpose? A heavenly purpose is basically that we become more like Jesus. We are attitude, our lives are glorified Jesus. Heavenly purpose. And then there's the earthly purpose. Somebody can be called as a businessman, a worship leader, pastor or just working professional. That's your earthly purpose, right? Now let's look at called for His purpose. Romans chapter 8, 28 and 30, 28 through 30. And we know that all things work together for good to those who love God, to those who are called according to His purpose. How many of you like this? I really enjoy this verse, right? And we know all things work together for good for those who love the Lord and are called according to His purpose. So in life, you know, this verse is really a powerful verse that we can declare. Why? Because not everything we want in life will happen the way we want it, right? There will be ups and downs. Everything will not be smooth in life. Then if everything is smooth in life, that's not how life is, right? There will be ups and downs. But in that ups and downs, in those difficult times, in those seasons of pain and suffering, we can go to this verse. We know that all things work together for good for those who love the Lord. I may not understand why this is good. God, I'm going through this trouble, this period of challenge and difficulty. I don't understand why I have to go through it. I've been a good person. I've been praying. I've been reading the Word. I've been doing everything right. But why should I go through this challenge? Why should I go through all this trouble? What wrong did I do? How many of you have felt that? Others have never felt that? Very good. Everything is happening good in your life. That's good. But I've felt it many times, right? Why is it that we should go through this? It's a verse. God says He works all things together for good for those who love Him and who are called according to His purpose. God has called us. He has a purpose for us. And through every season, He's faithful, right? Look at verse 29. For whom He foreknew, He also predestined to be conformed to the image of His Son that He might be the firstborn among many brethren. Moreover, whom He predestined, these He also called. Whom He called, these He also justified. And whom He justified, He also glorified. Look at that. Whom He predestined, He also called them. Whom He has called, He has justified. What is justified? You should know this by now. Just as if we have not... One more time. What is justified? Okay. I trust you. Just as if we are not sinned. Those who have called, He has called, He has justified. Those who have He has justified, He has glorified. Right? 1 Corinthians chapter 1 verse 26 through 29. For you see your calling, brethren, that not many wise according to the flesh, not many mighty, not many noble are called. But we looked at this last class as well. But God has chosen the foolish things of the world to put to shame the wise. And God has chosen the weak things of the world to put to shame the things which are mighty. God has chosen the foolish to put to shame the wise. And God has chosen the weak to put to shame the mighty or the mighty people in this world. And the base things of this world and the things which are despised, God has chosen. So basically Paul is saying, when God chooses us, He appoints us, He calls us for a purpose. And when you are invited and appointed by God, it's not that you are perfect. It's not that I am perfect. It's not that I am the strongest. It's not that, you know, we have the wisdom. He has chosen the weak. He has chosen those who are, you know, unwise to show what the wisdom of God is to the people. Right? So what does it teach us? If God is calling us for something, we don't, you know, studying, learning God's word, improving ourselves, very important. Yes or no? Right? We have to learn. We have to study. We have to learn, spend time in God's word.  Prepared one sermon, went there, tried to preach. I was fully prepared. I prayed, God, you will do some great wonders here. After this, after preparing and I went there to preach, what was a 30-minute sermon or 40-minute sermon? I finished in 10 minutes. 10 minutes is over. So I said, what to do now? People are sitting. And it was such an embarrassing thing. 10 minutes. I prepared the sermon for 30 minutes, but when I went there, 10 minutes. Then I understood, hey, I have to practice it. I have to practice preaching it. What I'm going to say, when I'm going to say, when I'm going to use the examples, what to explain, what not to explain, how to explain, so many things involved. Right? So prayer is important. That is the main foundation. But if you want to become a preacher or a speaker or teacher or even a worship leader, you have to practice. The practical has to be there. You say, I want to become a pastor and do nothing the whole week. It's not going to work. You have to practice. So God calls the week. We may not be qualified. We may not be people who have many degrees. If you have many degrees, that's good. But if you don't have, it's okay because God does not qualify those only who are high in knowledge. He qualifies the week. He chooses the week and he qualifies them to shame the wise. You get what I'm saying, right? If God is calling you for something, don't look at what you are right now. Look at what you can be. Get it? Are you with me? Right? Don't look at what you are right now. Look at what God can make you. But if God is called you, there's a bigger responsibility. I can't say, okay, now I'm like this, but look at five years down the line. I'll be a prophet in the ministry. That's good. But for that, what do you have to do? What do you have to do? If you have to become a preacher, a great evangelist or a great pastor, what must you do? Practice. Okay. What else? First, practice is not first. This is the first thing you should do. You must spend time in God's presence. You must spend time being in His presence. Only then you can do this. Right? So God invites us to enter into His purposes. We are called with a sense of purpose. Right? Chapter 84, justified in a site. We've already talked about this. Go to chapter 85. We are glorified together with Jesus. Now, what is the word glorified together with Jesus? What is the word glorified means? The word glorified means to fill with His presence. Lord, let your glory fall. We sing that song, no? Or the glory of the Lord that it rise upon us.  That's what glory is. Right? So Romans 8, 20, he says, yeah, again the same verse. But let's go to verse 29. Whom He foreknew, He also predestined to be conformed to His image, to the image of His Son. Verse 30. Moreover, Whom He justified, these He also called, Whom He called, He justified. Whom He justified, He has glorified. That means He has poured out His presence upon us. He has changed us. What does glorified mean? It is a sense of worth, right? A sense of being worthy. Now, let me ask you this question. Are we worthy? Are we worthy? No pastor. Very good. How many of you feel you are worthy? Are we worthy? Yes or no? No? We're not worthy. How come we come to God's presence in so much of boldness? Because of what Jesus did on the cross. But when Jesus looks at us, He looks at us as worthy. But are we worthy? Without Jesus, are we worthy? And not only did Jesus give us a sense of worthiness.  That's why the parable of the lost son is so powerful. It's an example of what Jesus did for us. Everyone knows the parable of the lost son, right? Two brothers, one says, give me my money, goes away. Spends it all in sinful living. Next thing he knows, he's with the pigs. Then he comes back home. What is the father doing? Standing with the belt, come. I have a place ready for you now. What does Jesus do? What does the father do? He counts him worthy. He says, okay, come here. You are staying with the pigs. You're smelling. Go have bath three times. Go give an offering and then come back. Does he say? Does he say? He goes and hugs him. He says, hey, you are my son. Change your clothes. Put a robe. The word in the Old Testament, robe means kingship. Honor. Put a ring. Ring means authority. Remember Daniel, the signet ring. Authority. Sandals. It means inheritance. He made him worthy. Was he worthy? I was just thinking if it happens to an earthly father, what will the earthly father do? He has two choices. A very good father will say, okay, come. But for you, nothing left. You've taken your share. Don't ask me anything more. You can stay in the house. Now, a father who's very upset will say, don't even come near the door. You go somewhere else. They may be your own blood, but still, you know, there's almost... What does this father do? Counts him worthy. Does the son ever feel worthy? Maybe in the story, the son is feeling, oh, no, no, I don't all this. I just thought I'll come and sit quietly, ask for forgiveness and sit at home. Father said, no. You're my son. We have to celebrate. No, no, don't tell everyone that I've come back.  You were once dead. Now you're alive. So I have to celebrate. I want people to know that you are dead and now you're alive. You see that sense of worthiness? Right? That's what Jesus did for us. He made us worthy when we were not worthy at all. Right? Then we are the beloved of the Father, meaning we are deeply loved. We are His family. We have a rich inheritance. We share with Christ and we represent His kingdom. When there will come a time and when the rapture happens, right? When the Lord Jesus will come. That time, we will be physically also glorified. Right? Our bodies will change. We'll get a glorified body. The same body which Jesus had. That means what? When Jesus came after He resurrected from the dead, did they recognize Jesus? Yes or no? When Jesus resurrected from the dead, He came to meet the disciples. Did the disciples say, oh, this is a watchman? What did they say? It's Jesus. They could recognize Jesus. They saw the glorified body. What did He do? He sat and ate breakfast. Fish. He ate in front of them. Then He said, come and touch.  I'm not a ghost. So you and I will get this glorified body. But right now, on earth, as we are living, God fills us with His glory. Right? And all of these aspects are there with us. Okay. Chapter 86. We are the beloved of the Father. Ephesians one fold. Now, this is again very familiar, very powerful verse. Just as He chose us in Him before the foundation of the world that we should be holy and without blame before Him in love. Just as He chose us in Him. Now, there is two. He and Him. Right? Just as who chose us? God, the Father chose us. The first He is God.  Can you believe that? When the Lord Jesus, when God, before He created this world, He chose us to be in His kingdom. And He predestined. He said, okay, this is what this person, this is the plan that I have. Right? This is the plan I have for this person. Right? Now, for example, you want to build a house. You call the architect. The architect comes and he look at the place and he'll say, how many bedroom houses do you want? Oh, I want a duplex with four bedrooms and two hall rooms and there should be three car parking. Okay. So the architect knows what to do. So what does he do? He designs the house and he takes time. He designs. Okay. Where can I put the bedroom? Where can I put the parking? The parking should always be in front. Most of the house. Imagine the parking is somewhere on the side. You have to go around the house two times. So he makes a blueprint. This is bedroom one, bedroom two, open kitchen. This is bedroom three, bedroom four. This is open area. He makes the blueprint. He gives it to the owner. Now it is the owner's choice whether he wants to follow it or not. That's the best plan for the architect. The owner can say, no, I don't want this plan. I want a different plan. I want four bedrooms down on top. I only want to play cricket. So I want the empty space on top. That's your wish. But to make the best use of this place. This is the plan. Best plan. This is the blueprint. But the owner has the choice and he can do whatever he wants to do. If he follows it, it may be good. The house will be good. If he doesn't follow it. It's his wish. He's doing what he wants to do. Now you are the owner of your body right now. Meaning you are the owner of the decisions you make. Is God coming and shaking you every morning and say, do this. God won't do that. You have the choice for your own decisions. Right. So there's a blueprint. Just as God chose us in him before the foundation of the world. So God decided, okay, Joseph.  For the online students.  Before God said everything. Let there be earth, all of that. This is the purpose I have for Joseph. When he's 15 years old, he'll come to know the Lord. I'm just sharing right. When he's 20, he will join Bible college. When he is 25, he will start his ministry. And then when he's 28, this is what will happen. This is the blueprint I have. The choice is Joseph's. He says, I don't want ministry. I want to work. God will say, okay, go. But still God is faithful. God won't say, okay, go do what you want. I will not protect you. No. But since God has chosen, he has a plan before the foundation of the world. When we follow God, when we begin to pray and God ministers to us, he leads us. What are we doing? We're following the blueprint. Ah, so this is how I should do. This is what I should do. When the construction of the house is happening, will they build the restroom first? What will they do first? First foundation. Or will they do the car parking first? No. It's all the basics. First, they'll do the foundation. Or even before that, they'll do the borewell. They'll finish all the work, digging work. Then when the wall is coming up, okay, some shape is coming for the house. And finally you reach, the walls are reached 10 feet high. Oh, very nice. Now you know, okay, this is room 1, room 2, room 3. But it's not completed. But you know it. Joseph knows God has called him to be a pastor. Where? There's no church. There's no pastor. Why? Because the digging is happening. The blueprint is there. But it has to get fulfilled. It'll take time. Right? God is working. We have to work along with God. Okay, everyone with me? Okay. So we are the beloved of his father. He has chosen us. We receive his love and rest in his love. Look at this next verse, next word here, sentence. God is too good to do you wrong. He is too wise to make a mistake. And he is too strong to let you down. Isn't that powerful? God is too good to do you wrong. Now many times we do wrong and we blame God. God, you said no. God is saying, I didn't say anything. You did it. All through the Old Testament, if we see, it is not God. God didn't say anything.  Very simple. He ate. What did he say? The woman you gave me.  No, God told Abraham, I will make you the father of many nations. I'll give you a son. But in between what happened? Ishmael. Did I tell you? No. Three, God told Moses, Moses, I'll make you the leader. Bring you out of Egypt. You will lead the people. Moses went and killed the Egyptian. Did God tell him? No. Whose mistake is that? His mistake. Then you look at Joseph.  You will be the leader. Did I ask you to go and show the court to anyone? They ask you to go and explain all your visions to everyone. So sometimes we make mistakes and we blame it on God. Of course, we all make mistakes. But we don't blame it on God. Make mistakes. Overcomes those mistakes. God is bigger. God is too wise to make mistakes. God does not make mistakes. We make the mistake. And sometimes we blame God. Anywhere in the Old Testament, did God make a mistake? Anywhere in the New Testament, did God make a mistake? There is no mistake. God doesn't make mistakes. He's perfect. You know the song we sing, no? You're a good father, good, good father. He is perfect in all of his ways. He's perfect. There are mistakes. It's only from RM. Or maybe we have not put faith in him. We have not trusted him completely. Says here, he's too good to do you wrong. He's too wise to make mistakes. And he's too strong to let you down. He will not let you down. When we feel weak, when we feel like giving up, he's too strong. All we need to do is look to him. He'll give us the strength. He's an unchanging heavenly father and an unfailing heavenly father. A bountiful and generous father, a merciful father. Imagine, we have all of this in our heavenly father. He can go to him, a redeeming father, an accepting father, a father of abundant grace, an empowering father and an infinite father. We have all of this. All of this is our father. So imagine, if we have to go to him, he's not looking at how long you and I are praying and how long we're... He's not going to look at it that way. You know, for many years, I was in that mindset. If I pray, God will love me more. God will anoint me more. They're already anointed. When I pray, I'm not doing God a favour. I'm not saying, God, see, now I prayed one night, you should anoint me. No. God is already anointed us. When we pray, it is good for us, not good for God.  It's not like we're doing, okay, God, see, you told me, pray, I pray. Then God can say, for whose good you prayed? I don't need anything. You prayed for your good. Yes or no? I prayed for my good. I sing songs, pray and worship him for my good. Not for God. God has thousands and millions of angels praying and singing for him the whole time. He doesn't need us. But when we worship him, when we praise him, he's delighted in that. He delights in the praises of his people. When we pray, he says, you seek and you will find me. You knock, the door will open because I delight in what you're doing. Yet, it's for our good. Are you getting what I'm saying? Right? So never feel, oh man, I got up 5 a.m., I have to pray. Oh God, I'm very tired. What to do? If that's the attitude, change. You better go back to sleep. I may sound a little harsh, but it's the truth. Because we're coming to God's presence. It is a loving father and he's all of this. He's accepting. He's loving. He's infinite. And so when we come to him, it's not a favor that we are doing. He loves us. He is accepting us. So it should be a joyful thing for his presence. Yes or no? Yes? Okay. We are family chapter 87. We belong to the family of faith. We are his sons and daughters. We love and relate to one another in spite of our differences. Now, if you look at it in the natural, how many of you have brothers and sisters? Most of us. Right? You don't have any brother and sister? No brother, no sister. What did he say? Sorry? One brother. Alright. So brothers and sisters in a home, how many of you have fought with your brothers and sisters? Some of you haven't fought at all with your brothers and sisters. Now, I say I have two brothers. They have fought and I watched them fight. Because I was the youngest so they never hit me. And I watched them. One thing, you know what? As brothers, three of us right now, we are all in different countries but we are very close to each other. Very close to each other. Even now. Very close to each other. Right? Even though we have grown up now, why? Because we have learned to be there for each other no matter what. We are always there with each other. And sometimes my parents say what only you will talk like small children? Because we do these WhatsApp call, video calls and all. We speak for one and half hours, two hours. Well, even parents, what do you all talk so much? Brothers, we have so many things to talk about. Because there is love that is so strong to each other. Right? Yes or no? If you are having a family get together, you talk with your family you can go on talking and talking and talking and then you don't need lunch time also you will not feel hungry, no problem. You can talk and talk and talk, it can become evening and then you want some tea. Then even if there is no dinner, no problem you can continue talking. Why? Because you love one another, you relate to one another. You know these family get together? Keep talking. One point, one story will pick up the others will take the same story. Why? Because you can relate to one another. That's what it is. When you go to the father if you love the father you have so much to talk about. Yes or no? If there is no relationship we can't talk. Okay Jesus, thank you for the fridge and thank you for washing machines thank you for giving me good health and thank you for Bible. What will happen? Jesus say okay, welcome but if you have a relationship with the father you come to him and you can just talk to him. It can go one hour, it can go two hours it can go three hours why? It's a relationship. You just build it. You can just talk and talk and talk to him. The problem is in Christianity what we have done no, we have forgotten that he is our father and we always think of yes there is a place and a time we have to close the door pray and just be there but remember that we can talk to him anytime just keep talking to him and there are times I just talk to him say God this week, new week, new month God please help me this is what I need this is the things to get done in church these are the work that I have to complete I need your strength I need your wisdom, just talking I know God you are with me there are mistakes that I make but I know that you will help me help me to learn from those mistakes if there are times when I have got upset forgive me there are times I have said some things which have hurt people forgive me help me to be more wise help me to talk the right way that's all I do now I know that I am not perfect but these are things that help I just keep talking God this I have to lead worship so help me give me the wisdom make your presence touch people's lives just talking to him out of the abundance of the heart the mouth speaks amen so make it a habit make it a habit what you have inside will come out my teacher used to say G-I-G-O the subject is called Gigo even say Gigo G-I-G-O garbage in garbage out correct if garbage goes in, the garbage will come out if God's word goes in what will come out God's word will come out yes so keep doing that understand that you are part of God's family and you can just talk to him right then chapter 88, everyone with me okay as let's read Romans 8 16 and 17, the spirit himself bears witness with our spirit that we are children of God and if children then as as of God and joint as with Christ if indeed we suffer with him that we also may be glorified together again we talk about the witness right, the spirit himself bears witness with our spirit his spirit bears witness with our spirit that we are children of God and we are heirs how many of you know what the meaning of heirs is I've explained this once right heirs means there's one rich person and he has one son right so he's a heir to the fortune that means after this father dies everything will go to the son the son may be tenth fail doesn't matter right so this businessman would have studied all his life struggled and started the business you know put all his money and put all his time went through loss went through difficult times and after 30 years of business now his business is successful who went through all the problems the father now the son has gone to school he's been a naughty boy in the school not studying not doing anything he has done his tenth standard he has failed tenth standard right and now suddenly the father dies what happens he's the heir to the business he may be tenth fail but whatever belongs to the father belongs to him now that is called heir right understood everyone now what are we here we are heirs to an inheritance as an heir of god you have inheritance that means we shall we partakers of the inheritance God gives his people we are in Christ and thus we partake in his glory everything that God has given to his son he's giving to each one of us because we are heirs next verse says you know we are joint heirs meaning we are sharing with Christ joint heir co heirs it means we are part of that inheritance right so whatever Jesus is as a son you and I are also have the same inheritance we walk as Christ walk we all we walk in all that Christ walked as a son of God and wherever he whatever he did Jesus walked in victory over sin you and I can walk in victory Jesus walked in mastery over Satan and his demons you and I can walk in mastery our life on earth here is the same as how Jesus was how Jesus walked in authority you and I can walk in that same authority why because we are co heirs with Christ imagine Jesus said to those demons what did he say get out all that we have to say is name and get out in Jesus name has to go why because we are the same we are like co heirs Jesus and us just as Jesus walked we are walking and we may not be there in that level spiritually or we may not be there in that anointing yet or in that level of spirituality but God is calling us to that yes like God is calling us to that level and it's possible it is possible now when you look at what's happening around the world there are some great miracles that are happening 20 years or 10 years 15 years down the line previously dead man coming back to life was a great thing now it's happening in churches it's happening people are being raised from the dead people have leprosy are being healed people who have cancers are being healed Jesus did all of that people who are possessed by demons for years are being delivered how because of the name of Jesus why is it when demons see you and me they are fearful why is it we are not looking so scary why do demons why are demons afraid when they look at us very good because they see Jesus Christ in us it's like Jesus is walking can the demon say anything against Jesus it's like Jesus is walking now you may think hey but I've seen in front of I've stood in front of many demon possessed people they have not got scared they have not got scared and they have not been delivered so it doesn't mean that you are not walking as Jesus is walking it's just that we need to grow we need to build us we need the anointing of the Holy Spirit to walk in that that measure of faith that we need the anointing so it involves us you know when Jesus was in his earthly ministry did Jesus say I'm the son of God I don't need to pray did he need to pray yes or no do you think he needed to pray yes if what if he didn't pray what would have happened you should think about all this now if he didn't pray he was only the son of God he came in he knew ok one day I'll be crucified but if he didn't pray what would have happened were the demons possessed people be healed will the people who are sick lepers and all be healed no would they be healed or no he's the son of God he's a messiah so if Jesus didn't pray would he have walked on water would he have healed the blind if he didn't pray why did he pray he prayed because he two things one depending on his heavenly father even though he could have done all of that he was depending on the heavenly father saying father I depend on you I want to be obedient to you two second reason he prayed was to set the example for you and me if we didn't pray if Jesus didn't pray we wouldn't have prayed hey Jesus went about healing everyone we also would have tried it but Jesus prayed before that so it's very important to understand that when Jesus did something on earth there's a reason he did it you and I can follow that be just like Jesus okay chapter 90 talks about ambassadors we represent his kingdom so wherever we go we are ambassadors we represent his kingdom you know every nation has one ambassador so there's a globally there's united nations right there's this whole gathering where one leader from each country comes and they represent the nation so one person is sent from India to go to this country and represent India now this person can if he doesn't know how to speak English for example what will they think all the Indians don't know how to speak English if this person doesn't have good manners of good etiquette right while eating food he's dropping everywhere what will they think all the Indians are doing the same thing of this Indian is during the meeting he's falling asleep what will they think all Indians are like this why because he's the ambassador but if he goes in with well dressed speaks fluently appropriately very well mannered what will they say oh it's coming from India so the Indians have grown they're so well mannered they're so culturally sensitive and wonderful one person representing the entire 1.3 billion people in India now you are ambassadors of Christ so when people look at you you're representing who they're not representing your hometown you're representing God's kingdom you're representing Jesus so that's what ambassadors is then chapter 91 awaiting future glory revealing of the sons of God Romans 8 18 through 21 we'll read that for I consider that the sufferings present time are not worthy to be compared with the glory which will be revealed in us for the earnest expectation of the creation eagerly waits for the revealing of the sons of God for the creation was subjected to futility not willingly but because of him who subjected it in hope because the creation itself also will be delivered from the bondage of corruption into the glorious liberty of the children of God so basically here Paul is talking about the future glory that you and I will have this present time as believers and as people who are walking on this earth we will go through troubles we will go through persecutions challenges but Paul is saying here all these challenges everything that I see is nothing compared to the glory that I will see in heaven with my heavenly Father so this trouble challenges that I see is very small one day I will be with God and I will see him in all his glory and I will see him face to face I will be transformed and this trouble what I am facing Paul is saying this trouble this you know they are hitting me they are putting me into prison because the future is bright in the future God has a big plan for me in heaven God has big things for me so Paul is encouraging himself let's read 1 John 3 1 to 3 and we close this is a wonderful verse very very powerful verse behold what manner of love the Father has bestowed unto us that we are called the children of God therefore yet the world does not know us because it does not know him don't be surprised if the world does not appreciate us and know us because it did not know him beloved now we are the children of God and it has not yet been revealed what we shall be but we know that when he is revealed we shall be like him for we shall see him as he is and everyone who has this hope in him purifies himself just as he is pure what a powerful verse future glory but we know that when he is revealed meaning when Jesus is revealed we shall be like him and we will see him like he is this is the greatest hope that you and I can have as believers the greatest hope no matter what happens in life if I fail if I go through difficulties if I lose a loved one if I lose my family members very painful very hurtful time but the hope is one day we will see Jesus face to face that is the greatest hope you can have as believers all that we are doing all that we are reading all that we are praying and worshiping one day we will see him in all his glory in all his majesty we will see him face to face that is the joy so even as we live life every day we live with that assurance right now just because we are going to see him one day doesn't mean we don't do anything here we work, we do ministry we have to do but the hope is one day I will see the Lord Jesus that is our final destination and so we should be encouraged amen so we will stop here and then we will pick up from Friday in our next class chapter 92 onwards alright thank you everyone thank you those who are online God bless you


This video explains the phenomena of statistical and methodological myths and urban legends. So what are these statistical myths and how do they emerge and what's the outcome for research practice? Let's start by asking the question how should I or how do I choose which analysis techniques or which methods to apply. One reasonably sounding strategy is to take a look at the journals where you want to publish and see what other people are using in those journals, but turns out that that is the source of methodological myths and urban legends. These are beliefs that are widely held but are not correct and can lead to suboptimal decisions and even incorrect results. So how do these myths emerge? Typically the way we get new methods into applied disciplines is that somebody introduces an idea in a research methods journal such as psychometrica or econometrica. Then somebody in the applied discipline reads the article in the research methods journal, uses the technique, perhaps slightly misunderstands the technique and then sites the methods journal that they got the technique there. So what will happen then when a next person in that journal wants to apply the same technique? Do they go to the methods journal, try to understand the equations and proofs and simulation results? Or do they just look at the justification that this empirical paper gave for the technique and explanation of how and why it works? They will go to the empirical paper instead of looking at their methods paper. Chances are that there is another callous citation to the idea and the idea becomes more misunderstood. So this is similar to the broken telephone game that many people have played as kids. If you have ten kids in the row, the first tells a message to the second one who repeats the third one who repeats the fourth one. And then by the time the message reaches the tenth kid it is something completely different than the original message was. So these long chains of citations from one empirical paper to another instead of looking at the original source cause confusion and misunderstanding. So what's more problematic then is that when we have these two articles here that cite the misunderstood idea then people in this discipline think that they have their own body of knowledge about the technique and all the other people who want to publish or most of them who want to publish in this journal cite these two papers as evidence for this is how the technique is supposed to work. Then the more careless the careless citation and the more misunderstood idea becomes institutionalized in the research practice so that no one even questions it. Once we have ten papers that apply a technique incorrectly or repeat a claim that is not true then everyone think that that claim is true because it has been repeated many times. What will happen next is that this more misunderstood idea will be institutionalized to the discipline through the review process and doctoral student teaching. When you take an introductory research methods class quite often those classes will tell you that these are the techniques that we apply in our field and then they show you how to apply those techniques using a statistical software. Instead of explaining that this is what the methods lead to says about this technique and that leads to the current application or past application of the technique instead of the proven properties of the technique or method driving its future use in the discipline. Then if you have a person who wants to do the technique right that person runs into problems because of review process. So you have a person who wants to do the technique, the idea correctly cites the methods literature and then subbies to this journal the reviewers will say that no this is how the technique is applied and the exciting five different of these articles. So it actually becomes that the discipline starts to enforce the incorrect application of the technique and this is very difficult to break. There are a number of articles and books about this topic. One of the leading authors is Bob van der Berg and he has these special issues in organizational research methods as well as edited books. One good idea if you want to understand your techniques that you apply well is to use the term methodological myth and then the name of your technique in Google Scholar because this is actually widely used term to explain these misunderstandings. So not only you need to understand how your techniques are applied and how and why they work it's useful to understand whether the common misunderstandings or misconceptions about the technique and these articles about methodological myths and urban legends are useful in that regard. They are typically written in a way that is fairly readable for applied research instead of being like original hardcore research methods articles that explain algorithms and provide proofs and equations. These are fairly easy to read and they are also fairly fun to read at least for myself. So I recommend these techniques. Let's take a look at a couple of examples of methodological myths and then we will take a discuss how you can avoid spreading these myths in your own work and when you really work by others. So this is an article that I reviewed recently. And the article was not accepted as it is but instead we invited a revision and asked the authors to completely redo the analysis. So let's see what's going on here and the authors had an endogenetic problem and this was a nice article that it actually noted that there is an endogenetic problem and tried to do something about it and they decided to apply two states least squares. So in the first stage regression analysis they regressed the endogenous explanatory variable x on the instrument and then in the second stage regression analysis they took the residual from the first stage regression analysis and used that in place of x as a predictor of the final dependent variable. So what's the problem? The problem is that this is not how two states least squares work. So you don't take the residual from the first stage regression analysis instead you take the fitted value. What's, where do these researchers come up with the idea that this is how two states least squares is supposed to be done. They cite two articles that were published the previous year in the same journal. That's fairly common. You cite articles that use the same technique that you have applied before and it happens that these two-sided articles quoted here actually explain the two states least squares procedure incorrectly. So what would have happened if that article would have been published as such? Then there would have been three recent articles that explained two states least squares and the person who doesn't understand the technique, if they want to know more about it, they read first article then they look at the explanation of the second article that looks the same if they're still not sure if that is how two states least squares work, they will look at the third article that says the same. And all this is a misunderstanding perhaps by one of two researchers that is just repeated in the literature. Instead of looking at original sources or good methods books, people cut corners and they look at the guidance provided by the journal that they taught. So that's one example and to avoid this would be a good idea to justify your choices based on methods literature instead of previous empirical applications. This is an example of where analysis results were clearly incorrect because the technique was misapplied. The second one is less severe but this is perhaps the most widely spread methodological myth. The myth is that coefficient alpha must be more than 0.7 to be acceptable and that nonnally in 1978 in the book Psychometric Theory has stated so. This is an example of this myth in action. So we have a 0.7 cut off being cited without a page number. Without a page number citation is a good indication that perhaps the reader has not actually read the book but has is citing it out of the habit of doing so in a particular discipline. So this is not true, nonnally says nothing of the sort.  What the book actually says has been written about in many different places and you can also check the book itself. The recommendations for reliability values is that the value should depend on the context. So if you have a very early stage research, you have a new scale that no one is using before then perhaps 0.7 is a good cut off. But if you have more mature research, more mature area and you are more interested in getting the magnitudes of the effect right instead of just checking whether the effect exists or not then you could perhaps need something like 0.9. So nonnally clearly explains that context matters but people read this as that 0.7 is the ultimate cut off and in every scenario if you have in any scenario that applies to all scenarios that's not what nonnally says but that's what the myth is 0.7 is always enough. It is not always enough and nonnally does not recommend one cut off for every scenario. A more reasonable strategy for comparing reliability statistics is to look at what other people in your discipline what kind of results they have gotten using the same scale what kind of reliability statistics. And then compare is your reliability better or worse than the previous applications of the scale. That is probably a lot more relevant reliability standard than a psychometrics book written more than 40 years ago. Let's take a look at third example and this is a big one again and this is about partial least squares. I have written some papers about this topic. The idea of a partial least squares analysis is that we apply a recursion analysis but instead of applying doing our scale scores as sums of items we take a weighted sum before doing the recursion analysis. So the partial least squares analysis is essentially an indicator weighting system for creating composite variables or weighted sums to be used in recursion analysis. There are many myths around this technique and I will focus one of them and the particle myth that I'm focusing on that the way that the partial least square algorithm weights the indicators increases reliability. This is stated in for example this editor in MIS quarterly which is the leading information systems journal and also an FT 50 journal. So optimization of the weights by the partial least squares algorithm aims to reduce measurement error, so improve reliability. The problem with this claim is that there is reasons to believe that it cannot be true and there is no evidence for it being true. If we take a look at how we form indicators when we construct scale scores for recursion analysis the typical way is that we take a sum and there's a known problem that when we take a sum of the indicators then we will underestimate the relationship between the variables that those indicators represent. So here you can see we did a simulation study for a paper and we varied the true correlation between the things that we measure and then we simulated different data sets and these estimates from recursion analysis using weighted sums of scale items are systematically too low so they are underestimating the true relationship. It is true regardless of whether we take an equal weight sum or just take a sum or mean of the items or whether we use weights that are optimized to maximize reliability. This is something that you can't do but in simulated scenarios you can. So even if we have an ideal set of weights that maximize reliability in a simulated scenario where everything is under our control there is no noticeable advantage in reliability over weighting indicators more based on their reliability compared to using equal weights, weighting each indicator the same. Just looking at the claim that on weighting more reliable indicators more than unreliable indicators sounds reasonable but it doesn't actually improve reliability and there is no evidence for it to do so. So how can people start to believe that the partial least squares weights particularly would improve reliability in a meaningful way? Let's take a look at evidence that has been supported to this belief. There are book chapters and articles mostly published outside the mainstream research methods journals that claim that there is evidence for this phenomenon. For example, Chin's 1999 book chapter cited here tells that in their simulation study the partial least squares weights after applying those weights the regression results were more accurate than using equal weights that we normally do. Okay, so people claim there's evidence for this so what does the evidence actually say? Let's take a look at what the partial least squares weights actually do. The weights, how they work, is that they create a bias away from zero and if you don't consider technique fully like we do in a rigorous research method study but you, for example, simulate the correlation values between 0.2 and 0.5, for example, then you can fool yourself into thinking that these scale scores from the partial least squares algorithm are more reliable because it's actually this bias away from zero happens to be cancelling the bias due to measurement error in this particle scenario. So that is not evidence for reliability, it's just evidence that in some scenarios one source of bias can cancel another source of bias. Of course, as a routine research practice relying on one bias to cancel another one is a really bad idea. Additionally, the objective of your analysis is to check whether the existing effect or whether an effect is non-zero, then a technique that is biased away from zero so that it hardly ever indicates that your effect is close to zero is probably the worst possible thing that you can do in terms of indicator weight. Of course, why people like to use this technique is that it provides you support for the existence of results even if the results are so that there is actually no effect because normally we want to demonstrate that our hypothesis are actually not refuted by the data. So what can we do about these problems, the statistical methodological myths and urban legends? Beyond there are articles about these phenomena specifically editors are trying to do something. For example, in this editor in the journal of operations management guide and ketokivi, they are using specifically partial least courses. An example state that you should always have a basic understanding what your analysis technique does. Unfortunately, many research methods courses focus on how a technique has been applied in the past and then how you apply it using SPSs or some other software instead of explaining what are the basic principles that the technique is based on. You don't have to be a statistician but you have to understand the basics what is the principle that allows the technique to work. Then another recommendation they give is that you should never provide justification in the form that expert X has recommended that technique Y should be used in a particular scenario. No, the methodological choices should be justified based on methodological evidence. For example, if you want to justify using technique X, then you can say that, well, method X, technique X has been proven to be the idea technique in this particle scenario. By proving we mean that there exists, somebody has written a mathematical proof that for example recursion analysis is unbiased in certain conditions. Then you don't necessarily have to cite the proof itself but if a good textbook says that something has been proven, then you can cite that textbook as an example. Then another way of justifying your choices is to point out that simulation evidence, which is another way of supporting methodological claims, points out that technique X works well in conditions that are close to your conditions. Never use the justification that expert X recommends method Y. Experts, if they really are experts, they will always provide you the justification for the recommendation. Explain the justification instead of saying that someone says so. It's also worth thinking who is an, if you cite expert, who is an expert. If you want to say something about recursion analysis, should you cite an econometrics professor that has built their career on studying recursion analysis and related techniques, or perhaps a marketing professor who has built their career in applying that technique in marketing scenarios. So which one is a more better source to cite. Then never apply empirical precedent as justification. As demonstrated by the two states list, for example, that someone has done something in a past article in the journal where you publish, does not mean that that is the correct thing to do and it's not evidence for the thing being correct. Site good books, cite articles in applied research methods journals such as organizational research methods, but the fact that somebody has used something before it's not evidence for that technique to be useful. It probably correlates for that technique to be useful, but it's not direct evidence. Finally, always read what you cite. So when you cite a book about recursion analysis, then you should read that book, or at least a part that you cite. And if you cite, provide a page number. It's much more difficult to do careless citations with a specific page number than to do careless citations just to a book and then relying that I hope that somewhere in the book it says so. One of my favorite things to complain about as a reviewer is citations to econometrics books such as Green's 2012 book, which is more than 1,000 pages. People make a claim, or the authors make a claim about their methods and then they cite Green's book without the page number. When I see that in my response letter, I tell the authors that you need to add a page number in the Green's book because you can't possibly expect me to read the full 1,200 or so page book to check their claims. Typically, in a revised version, the citation is removed. That's indirect evidence that authors never actually read the book in the first place. If they had read it, they could have provided the page number.


The US Marines with Marine Light Attack Helicopter Squadron 367, Marine Aircraft Group 39. Third Marine Aircraft Wing, Escort MV-22 Ospreys, with UH-1Y Venom and AH-1Z Viper Helicopters, for aerial assault support. During a simulated embassy reinforcement in support of Exercise Steel Knight 23.2, at Marine Corps Base Camp Pendleton, November 29, 2023. Steel Knight is a three-phase exercise, designed to train first Marine Expeditionary Force in the planning, deployment and command and control of a joint force against a peer or near-peer adversary combat force, and enhance existing live fire and maneuver capabilities of the Marine Air Ground Task Force.


So Mika, what do you take out of that one? I mean, you know, every opening you got to get something positive out of it and for me today I got to command my pitches better especially when I'm attacking up in the zone so I definitely want to work on that and keep being aggressive, you know, but definitely work on commanding better some pitches. You mentioned the command, not particularly sharp in certain instances, that just part of the process of getting you back? Of course, it's just a small thing, you know, I just have to focus on it and execute my pitches. There's nothing very bad that I can see, and I'll keep focusing on the next one. You definitely want to, like you said, commanding part of the process, but you understand where the fault is, you know, and you know where the work is ahead and you definitely want to be better there commanding those pitches and you want to look forward to the next start, you know.