The following is a presentation of TFNN. The Tiger Technician Hour with your host, Hazel Chapman. Call now. Call free at 1-877-927-6648. Good morning, everyone. On this Monday, the 26th of September. This is the early edition. This is 8.07 in the morning. It will be recorded and replayed at 10 o'clock. And I also want to wish all our Jewish friends the happy new year. And this is what happens quite often, actually, in the marketplace, is that the expression is that you sell a lot of Shoshana and you buy a Yom Kippus. That would be about 10 days' time. I'm wondering if that's the case in this situation. And one of the reasons why I'm doing that, and let me just go through all the different futures, what we're looking at here is that the down futures, let me go there, the YM right now, down quite sharply. Of the yesterday's actions, it's hard to believe that they're still down right now. It's YM is down at 29,470, down 198 points. So for subscribers to my opening call over the weekend and my weekend overview, about a 15-minute session overview, I discussed a particular candle in my listening of technical tools, plethora of technical tools. One of them is this pattern where a candle opens with just the tiniest little wick. So it opens, has a fractional high. It doesn't even have to have it, but it has a fractional high usually. It pulls back sharply and then closes halfway to two-thirds above the low of that candle. Well, we've got that. This is on the downside. Where it occurs on the upside, and this is the big thing that I've been talking about all year, is that the S&P, although it's only at a peak, being the Chapman way methodology in the monthly chart, had a Chapman Roman candle right at the top, very similar to what happened about a month after the top in 2008. Let's see if I can even slide across there. Yep, there it is. 2007, sorry, October 2007, there's Chapman Roman candle. That was the month after the October high of 2007 at 1575, so 1576.09. A little bit of a tumble down to 666.79 in March of 2009. So that's been the heads-up, one of the reasons why we've been looking at this market and saying, well, that candle is going to be absolutely imperative, especially since it's September, and it is fractionally held above the left side high of June, which is at the 638 level. It was at 2836. How many times am I going to have to write that in? I keep forgetting, huh? 3636.87, that was the June law, and we got very close on Friday. The law was 3647.47. So I'm watching this because that will start on Leg C to the downside, and as George, who called from Boston on, I think it was on Friday, discussing this monthly chart, very seldom, historically, has the S&P tumbled to a Leg C. It's usually an A or a B, and even if it takes time as it did back in 2016, the May high of 2134.72 went down to 1810 in February of 2016 and used up quite a lot of time, but it didn't go to the C. What we're looking at, therefore, this morning is that the follow-through weakness on Friday has continued. The S&P, let's go to the continuous contract. This is going to be the ES, hasn't gone to the low of Friday, but my rule of thumb with this Chapman Way red Roman candle with any of the Roman candles, whether it's at the top or whether it's at a potential bounce low, says that if it goes halfway into the wick and stays in a shorter timeframe, of course, this is now a daily chart, so I'm thinking maybe 120-minute chart, and if in fact it is right now at that level of 36.79 down 29, there's a chance that it's going to test to maybe even break the left side low, that's the low of Friday, so in the futures that could be at 36.65, and then we'll have to see where it closes. And there is a chance based on a number of techniques that I'm using that says today or tomorrow is where there's at least the first decent turnaround attempt. When I say decent, I mean that the market rallies starts to broaden out after about the second day and it'll last more than a week. It'll actually last maybe into early next week. This is tough because you've got, okay, let's go through the numbers now, so let me go through them one at a time. The YM, the Dow futures are down 207. This is now at 8.11 a.m. in the morning, eastern time. More than halfway into the lower wick, that long lower wick from Friday, so it says yep, you could test the bottom. I'm going to the continuous contract of the E-mini. The E-mini is down to 36.79.50, and that could of course test the lower Friday. The QQQ, let's go to the NQ just for the moment. There's continuous contract, 11,299 down 77 right now. The low on Friday, and this is in a Chapman Wave inside track, propellant zone could slip out for a moment, but it can't go more than a moment. So the low on Friday was 11,374.75. You've got to watch out because that could be tested. The IARTY that is the Russell 2000, I'm actually going to adjust to the IWM because it's all notated and ready. I had a Chapman Wave, a Roman candle, a red one at the bottom, had a 165 round number low, exactly 165.00. And we're going to see if that's taken out, and so far it's at 164.95 down 2.36. So let's look at gold. Gold is down 5.4. What is that? 16.50. Excuse me, still getting over that scratchy throat. So yes, so gold keeps going down. If you look at the left side low in the arch formation in the weekly chart, you're looking at, look at this, right side price-time match. It held on the week of the 22nd of July at 16.96. Bounced a little bit to the 14-period explanation, moving average, the black line, which has the pink underneath it. And that's a big negative. So it's pulled back. It's in leg D underneath the left side. So this is the dreaded H. It's already now 1, 2, 3. This is the third week. This will be the fourth week, actually. No, oh, this is the current week. That's right, the futures we're looking at. So this is the current week, 9th, 3rd. Yep, this is it. So this is the week of the 30th. So what we're looking at is, you've gone underneath it with two to three sessions. After the left side low has taken off, looking at silver. Silver is acting, the chart is a lot better than gold. It's down 19 cents at 18.71. This is Basel Chapman at 8, 14, 8 in the morning. Early edition. I'll be back in a moment. Basel Chapman. Looming inflation. We are purchasing powers eroded. There's no better place to protect your hard-earned money than in gold. This is the gold flagship asset, is the Monk Todd Gold Project in all the territory of Australia. This is Australia's largest undeveloped gold project. We're talking a world-class gold project in a tier one mining district. This is a large-scale, low-cost project with significant existing infrastructure in a politically safe and friendly mining jurisdiction. Vista Gold just completed the Monk Todd Feasibility Study, which resulted in a 7 million ounce gold reserve in a 16-year mine life. All of this combined with the approvals of all major operational, as well as environmental permits. This distinguishes Monk Todd as an attractive, diverse party, ready-development stage gold project. Vista Gold trades on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol VGZ. Are you looking for a way to consistently add winning trades to your portfolio? Tom O'Brien is here to help. Tom O'Brien has been successfully trading markets for over 30 years. A frequent contributor to TD Ameritrade Network and CNBC, Tom O'Brien founded TFNN over 20 years ago to help educate investors just like you. Tom's Daily Market Newsletter, Market Insights, is published every morning when the market's open to give you the competitive informational edge you need to succeed. These newsletters are packed full of Tom's advanced technical analysis and are geared to deliver comprehensive strategies for a successful portfolio. Get Tom O'Brien's newsletter, Market Insights, today and try all of our products and newsletters 30 days risk-free with our money-back guarantee at TFNN.com. TFNN, educating investors. You might think that if you want to be successful at trading in the stock market, you're going to need a crystal ball. After all, it's impossible to predict the future, right? Like any endeavor in life, before you decide it's impossible, get some advice from the experts. You might find that it's not so impossible after all. For daily market overviews that give you direction on the key indices, selective stocks, and commodities, subscribe to the opening call newsletter at TFNN.com. The opening call newsletter is written by Basil Chapman, creator of the trading methodology known as the Chapman Wave. The Chapman Wave up-down sequence gives you an edge in identifying price turns, finding the peaks and valleys in stock prices.  First-time subscribers also get a 30-day money-back guarantee. If you're not satisfied, let us know and you'll get a full refund within 30 days of signing up. TFNN.com. Educating investors. Toll Free at 1-877-927-6648 internationally at<PHONE_NUMBER>. Basil Chapman, this is the early edition of the Tiger Conditions Hour, and I just sent out a corrected version of my trader's corner. Hopefully that's going to be posted in a moment because one of the numbers that I put in there was not correct. I just need to double-check. Yeah, I think that's the one. That should be good. Okay, I hope so. If I can get a call just to confirm or a text to confirm that it's arrived, I'd appreciate that. Especially now that the market is down, that's what we're looking at. So, okay, let's get back to the story here. Silver has a much better chart pattern than gold. Not great, but a much better chart pattern, certainly in the daily and the weekly chart. And we're going to see if this holds quite well. Now, one of the reasons why I mentioned that is because the dollar, now I've got an alternate count. And there are moments where it's prudent to have an alternate count because the technicals are suggesting one thing. And there are certain facets that say, well, you just got to be careful. One of the reasons is the dollar is at 113.64, up 44 ticks. I've called this a leg C slash F. Now, what I've done lately is I've started doing this. I don't know if I'll stay doing this or continue. But in the Chapman Wave notation, I put my preference to say, I believe this is C, but there's a chance that it could be F and we're getting really topy. But the MACD is strong, the stochastic is 89%. But if you go to the UUP, which is the dollar bull, which is what we've been long for four years since the 23s, there's trading at 30.32 right now. This is in a leg D. I like to go to the root. The root would be the dollar itself. But I want to be ahead of the game. We haven't done anything. But I just, in terms of the notation, another reason why is if you look at the euro, EURUSD, the candle that was formed on Friday suggests that the stochastic at 9%, it might be ready for a little bit of a balance. And we're going to be watching that closely in the weekly chart. It is in a leg G slash C. There is a trend line that it's just getting into. But I'm doing that. And if you look at the USDJPY, let me just get that back on track. There it is. One of the things I said is that there's usually a confirmation where the US dollar, Japanese yen go in the same direction. They almost always do. But once in a while, one of them will lead and the other one will start to fail. And in this particular case with that huge Thursday up-down move in the USDJPY with a high of 145.90 and a low of 140.30, that's your boundary. And if you look at the chart, there's a difference. It says this rectangle formation in the middle here says we could stay in this for a little bit longer. And also you had a doji candle, a long-legged doji candle on Friday. I'm watching this because it's a decent close above. The high of 145.90, that was the high of Thursday, the 22nd, that will suggest that you're breaking out and you've turned this red candle, that whole body into a huge support level. If it fails to get there, you could get yourself an arch formation. So I'm watching these things very closely. Why do I make a big deal about it? It's because in the context of the currency, with the context of the dollar being such a powerful force, it's impacting the multinational US companies. It's very important to be able to monitor this. And if you put it together with gold, which could be right now as we're talking, down four at 1651, looking at the technicals, it could be forming a little bit of a base in which it could have a bounce. And one of the reasons why I'm saying this is because within the context of the overall market, the volatility index, which made a new recovery high, at 32.88 today, and you remember on Friday I was discussing, and I did a total blind show, and I was discussing, as we were talking about, that it came back from hitting this trend line, the weekly trend. Look at this, this is magnificent. Look at that. Channel wave inside track repellent zone. And since it made the high of 38.94 back in January, that was fair, Russia, Ukraine, anything you wanted you could throw in there. We've been making lower highs, not necessarily lower lows, but lower highs, and every time it's got into this repellent zone, it's been dragged underneath it. It did that back, it's done it a few times, but the last time of significance was back in June, the week of May the 4th, the week of May the 4th, or was that May the 6th? Yeah, May the 6th at 36.64, and then the next week it had a pop to the upside, went all the way to 35.48, and then got dragged down. So this is very important because this week it's gone higher. It's gone just above that trend line, and that's the same to me. All right, this is a very important moment because if for any reason Monday or Tuesday we start to see a big pullback, we start to see a big pullback, that's going to be very important because what's going to happen is that the channel will once again be repelled. That is a pullback in the VIX, so the rally in the market, this is being dragged down. So this to me is a really important moment.  That means that it could turn, reflect lower or just continue higher. This is the moment that we're waiting for, and we'll see exactly what's going to happen. Now within that context, I just wanted to check to see if everything was posted because the time is of the essence here. We've got positions that we wanted to take. I made one notational number. I thought I checked everything and I made a mistake and I had to send out a correction. So if that correction is out there, that's going to be very important. That'll be good in my newsletter. So within that context, let's just go to, we want to look at the TLT. So the TLT bonds, down to Lake E in the daily chart, GSASC in the weekly, it made an arch formation, took out the left-side low. This is just ugly stuff. Let's have a look at the US dollar upside, the bonds themselves. It was at 127 and 31 seconds down, almost a point again. I had a horrible session Friday, but it closed a little bit. It was a green candle in the end. There is so much going on, but I believe that there's every opportunity here for us to be looking at some form of a rally. Now I discuss this on Friday, in the afternoon when I did Tom's show, the Tom and Brian show. I discussed it when I did my show and the conditions are at 10. I'm going to be discussing this again, and now it is at 8 to 25 a.m. in the morning. So to be replayed, this will be at 10, 25. So this is what we'll be looking for. Not everything is as ideal as I would like it, meaning that we're in the context. Oh, look at this strong move up. Oh, wow. I hope I got everything out in time because this is very important. Here we go. Within the context of the market as it stands, the ideal I'd say on Friday is, if we close kind of ugly Friday, and we close not as ugly as I wanted it to be, and on Monday we start to head down, I'll talk about what you're looking for if there was a turnaround and a sustainability and the volatility index and all the aspects that go to some kind of thing.  Vista Gold owns and operates the largest undeveloped gold project in Australia, the Mount Todd Gold Project. 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Sign up today and become a part of this educational community of traders. Just visit the front page of tfnn.com. Everyone, we're back. Basil Chapman, Tiger Technicians, our early edition. And, okay, these are the things that I looked at over the weekend. And one of the reasons why I feel that there's a chance that some form of a low is being made either today or tomorrow, just early this week. What I mean by that is a low that is a tradeable low. A low that says, yes, you can get a balance, but it has to broaden out. There's no way that you can just get, say, a Dow balance. It needs to include the QQQs. What are the QQQs? The Dow index, 100 trading right now, 274.44. It needs them to rally, I would say, by Wednesday or Thursday, somewhere in the 286 to 288 area. That's a lot. I mean, that's asking a lot. You're looking at even the IWM, the Russell 2000 small caps trading at 165.60 right now. I need to see the gap filled. I want to get into that bar. It needs to look like a V-shaped recovery. Now, the rule of thumb is that for my rule of thumb, for a V-shaped pattern to unfold, you need very quickly for the VIX index to be pulling back. You need follow-through rallies. I would prefer that this is later in the day. I prefer that this is a rally attempt right now. It kind of fails. It looks good and then all of a sudden, kind of 11 o'clock, maybe 11.30, there's another slide to the downside and that it really only gets going later in the day. And that's where you see about 150 points, 120 or 150 point Dow rally going from about, I would say 220 in the afternoon. I prefer actually 240 later in the day, but 220 is fine. And just running strongly and all of a sudden, the shorts that are gloating because the market had been pulling back today, which they thought after the weekend should be an ugly day, suddenly turns around and in fact, we start to close, getting closer towards the 4 o'clock close today, we start to close all the gap downs that we had seen and the market is rallying. But within that context, I want to see the IAI, maybe it can be a day or so delayed, that's fine, but this is the eye she's broken dealer and security, which made a low and low on Friday, just gap down very ugly candle, turns out to be a Chapman-Roman candle as well. But that high that was made, the open and close, so the open and high of the day, which is at, so the open on Friday was at 89.10 and the high was 89.10, there wasn't even a wick. That's ugly it was. I want to see by Tuesday, maybe even Wednesday, it could take a little bit of time and it has to start moving up. I don't want to see it close below Friday's low in the IAI, which is at 86.62. What I want to see is that there's a turn around and you start to fill that gap. This will be lagging because this is now a stock, it's different to, made up of the brokerage stocks and they kind of lag when they start to pick up steam, they pick up steam very quickly. But in the meantime, I want to see them participating. I want to see for the first time that bonds, actually this is leg E, make a peak E, don't make a lower low today, although it's at 104.51. So if you just get to this as an E, oops, lower case E on the way down. Yeah. The low was 104.54. We're almost there. We probably have inch a morning taking it out. You'll see that in the bonds themselves. So that's the TLT. Let's go to the bonds. No, bonds haven't. So 127.24 right now, the low on Friday was 126.29.30 seconds. So there are a lot of things going on right now. And most importantly, what I am looking for is the persistence of the selling needs to be ameliorated by some kind of upside thrust. I would prefer if it's later in the day, actually at this particular point, you could start a move up that is very skeptical because it keeps moving up but then it makes a pullback. But overall when you're looking at say the 100, let's look at the 10 minute chart, looking at the 10 minute e-mini chart, what you want to see, let's just go through this over here. There it is. All the different numbers in there, but mostly it's gone sideways. And what you want is that the low that was made, and I think that this was a pretty important low, the low that was made at about three this morning, at Eastern time at 3,660.25, that doesn't get taken out. But the market really struggles. And then over a period of time, eventually the 10 minute chart, 3,713, the 200 period moving average gets taken out, so you're raising the base, that's the other scenario. And then slowly but surely you're making higher highs and preferably higher lows. And the market closes the day, surprising everyone, or most people, with a pretty nice gain, or maybe a 0% change, but then you have to have the futures overnight really moving up, so that by tomorrow morning you kind of gap up and start a really strong rally. Normally, I just wouldn't waste time on talking about some kind of a potential low. But the reason why it's so important at this particular stage in the market is that we've actually spent almost nine months declining. Look, every one of these, look at the Dow. We've used up a tremendous amount of time, like he has the chart, this is the 76,952 high, the week of the January the 5th. And basically when you think of all the negative aspects that are out there, look, war. Nuclear has been discussed. Crudeau skyrocketed to 120. Of course, it's much, much lower right now. I haven't even looked at Crudeau. Crudeau right now is down 60 cents. It's 78.14. So in the context, this is telling us more about the world economic situation with the Crudeau pulling back, saying there's a slowdown now. Interesting enough, someone I was in contact with last night was talking about markets. It's not his field at all, but he was undergoing some treatment and discussing different things. And then he just got around to talking about his business, which is in basically those warehouses for storage and that's one of the things that he does. He does a lot of other things as well, but he's built a lot of big, big buildings. And he said, this is the craziest thing I've ever seen over the last few years. It is frightening how much money has been made in real estate. But he said, it just can't keep going. He said, I can't believe it. I can't believe what's going on. And he said, this is unsustainable. And this is someone who's been in real estate just forever, the family has. So I'm looking at this and I'm saying, well, I'm hearing this from many sources. The gains that were made over the last year or two in some places in the country are spectacular. So I'm thinking in rotation. I'm thinking, how do we get out of this? And the only way I could see it right now is to think, well, at some point the market is going to turn around and the market might be a little bit more independent than real estate. As real estate has made some kind of a top doesn't have to crash, but could. You might think that if you want to be successful at trading in the stock market you're going to need a crystal ball. After all, it's impossible to predict the future, right? Like any endeavor in life, before you decide it's impossible get some advice from the experts. You might find that it's not so impossible after all. For daily market overviews that give you direction on the key indices, selective stocks and commodities subscribe to the opening call newsletter at tfnn.com. The opening call newsletter is written by Basil Chapman, creator of the trading methodology known as the Chapman Wave. The Chapman Wave up-down sequence gives you an edge in identifying price turns, finding the peaks and valleys in stock prices.  First-time subscribers also get a 30-day money-back guarantee. If you're not satisfied, let us know and you'll get a full refund within 30 days of signing up. tfnn.com Educating investors. In either direction, visit DirectionInvestments.com today. An investor should consider the investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses of the direction shares carefully before investing. The prospectus and summary prospectus contain this and other information about direction shares. To obtain a prospectus or summary prospectus please contact Direction Shares at<PHONE_NUMBER>. The prospectus or summary prospectus should be read carefully before investing. An investment in the funds is subject to risk including the possible loss of principal. 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Watch online at tfnn.com or on tfnn's YouTube channel and become the investor you were born to be. tfnn Educating Investors I'm just typing in something just for my subscribers number number one has by the m under oh now I better get the figures right okay so that's going to be under I'm wasting time I know I'm sorry I apologize tonight in fact I'm just typing in something just for my subscribers apologize tonight in fact 35 okay that's what I needed to see okay so Tommy I'm just sending this out right now I'll send it to you there we go bye there everything's taking too long unbelievable when you're in a rush you cannot be in a rush because fine 35 okay good I've got it I'm sending it off send it off save I don't know maybe it's too late but I'm trying my best correct save and I'm going to send it oh this is just a nuisance Scott how did I make such a silly mistake okay I said there I don't know if it's been sent yet but I'm going to do my best so what we're looking at here two yeah so here we go sending it off just you're having to listen to me prattling away here I'm sorry about that correct entry on and post there it goes send alright I'm sorry took that amount of time but I just needed to do that very important for subscribers to my opening call I mistyped a number and I need to correct that so okay here we go so a couple of things are very important if you look at the IYT that's the IYT is the ICES Dow Jones Transportation Average index and just sent the IA by so the IYT is trading if you look at the monthly chart that has gone about a 50% correction from the 116.61 high to the 280 sorry low of March of 2020 to the high of 280 and then what happens is it pulls back to 201 and that when you when you're looking at the transportation index it's really important I love that there's doubt theory about the transportation index and worked really well for years of decades and decades in a sense it's now very appropriate but in a very different way because you've got such a mix of transportation you've got Amazon which has created a whole field in transportation UPS has had a change and all these things going on so that you don't have say truckers that are very important but as important as the rails or as important as the airlines we've had the airlines having a tremendously difficult time this year yet truckers they keep going now you've got the price of diesel very very high so it's really important to look at it as a picture and the picture says that there's been a tremendous decline in fact what this person last night said and I thought it was so appropriate because what I've been talking about for months and months and months he said oh man he said we're in a recession and I'm saying to myself I've been talking about this for ages I've been saying if you look at the different sectors look at the transportation index from about say January of this year if you look at it they transports have been in a recession look at the SMH's I don't know why they're waiting for some official result and usually when they talk about an official result that's pretty much the end of the recession I don't know if that's going to work this time but look at the semiconductors from the double top in January at 318 we're down here at the 189 in fact 191 as we speak a pre-market testing the 189-94 low of June that's a recession I mean how else would you call month off the quarter of the quarter of weaker earnings that's what it looks like right you can just go through even the IYR and this is very unusual IYR which is the ICS Dow Jones US REITS index not quite as bad a monthly chart but not a great-looking monthly chart making this dreaded H pattern in the weekly made a lower low and look at this it's that speaks to recession so I don't know what they're waiting for an official name or a result or whatever it is but in the meantime back at the ranch what we're really looking at is titles is the title of this particular phase in the economic spectrum recession it doesn't really matter because all of these quarters in the different sectors have been weak and every consecutive quarter has been weak so let's get back to the VIX index the VIX index when you consider when you consider each one of these peaks had pretty much the same thing interest rates it was Fed, it was Russia, Ukraine oil at some point basically now we're looking at interest rates so within that context this is really quite important because if you look at the volatility index it's at a high and it's working at a rate slowly the VIX is high which hasn't broken above the 34 high was the 35.05 high of G that's when the market low was made it's pretty close and so some kind of too HUI, GDX as well as more than 30 different mining equities to see for yourself the types of profitable trades that are recommended within the gold report sign up now by visiting TFNN.com don't miss out on the next great gold trade sign up today everything in the universe is governed by the Fibonacci sequence this mathematical principle is responsible for everything from the most aesthetically pleasing artwork to patterns in the stock market of stock patterns you can take advantage of sign up for the Fibonacci 24-7 newsletter at TFNN.com when you subscribe you'll get a weekly report from veteran day trader Larry Pezzavento on stocks you need to pay attention to and you can trust Larry's analysis after all he's got 45 years experience as a day trader Larry will also provide daily charts videos and data on the key markets that he's tracking expect notifications from Larry market movement you need to act on at any time first time subscribers also get a 30 day money back guarantee if you're not satisfied let us know and you'll get a full refund within 30 days of signing up subscribe to the Fibonacci 24-7 newsletter today TFNN.com educating investors are you looking for a way to consistently add winning trades to your portfolio Tom O'Brien is here to help Tom O'Brien has been successfully trading markets for over 30 years a frequent contributor to TD Ameritrade Network and CNBC Tom O'Brien founded TFNN over 20 years ago to help educate investors just like you Tom's daily market newsletter Market Insights is published every morning when the market's open to give you the competitive informational edge you need to succeed these newsletters are packed full of Tom's advanced technical analysis and are geared to deliver comprehensive strategies for a successful portfolio Get Tom O'Brien's newsletter Market Insights today and try all of our products and newsletters 30 days risk free with our money back guarantee at TFNN.com TFNN educating investors we might miss it, I'd like to get it at the price that we put in there we'll see what happens the ideal situation is that everything's a little speeded up here if a little later on in the session we got that big pullback minus 200 something in the Dow just to have everyone throw up their hands and say I'm done, this is just ridiculous I can't stay in here and then you start to move up later in the day that's one scenario, that's the best scenario the second scenario is that the selling is just being intense for the whole week so at this particular point you could start to rally and keep rallying but most importantly what you want to see is late in the day at about between 3 and 4 o'clock that the Dow is actually holding a plus 150 or so and the general market can't just be selected, mustn't just be the Dow it must be the QQQs the index 100 training vehicle I would prefer also to see the IWM the Russell 2000 and then we can see some kind of more than a balance, a bit of a rally that takes us in for the whole week a whole week can you imagine that, mostly rallying by the end of the week on Friday at Friday afternoon end of the month I want to see a decent close on the monthly charts that's going to be from the lows that remain that is so that's the kind of scenario I'm looking at at around minus 500 points at any point today at this particular stage and don't rally at all by 2.15 maybe 3.20 this afternoon Eastern time that will be very negative so those are the scenarios I'm looking at and within that context all I can say is that we've got a great program Tommy Jr. comes up right now with the market kickoff that should be fabulous and then of course you've got my show so we'll be talking right now at 10 o'clock and once again to our juice listeners happy new year great programming here at TFN I'll be back tomorrow, have a wonderful day


I've used PFTop in a lot of my videos. I've included it in my tool video for tools for troubleshooting PFSense. And I want to do a video specifically on it just to cover real quick a couple of the ways you build things and expand upon it a little bit of how you would build filters so you can understand what's going on. So PFTop is the active packet filter display for VSD and it is built into PFSense. They've done a nice job with the Web Interface on it, so you don't have to remember all the command line from it, but it does run as a command line utility. You can view the labels, long, queue, rule, size, state, and speed. And I have my production firewall over here as I want to show you. You can use it also for just tracking the queue when you're doing things like I am here. This is my setup for how we're routing VoIP traffic. So as we see the VoIP traffic passing back and forth, we can see how many bytes are in the queue based on what it's doing. So like I said, it's a great tool when you're troubleshooting firewall rules. And specifically related to rules, when we switch it over to the rule sets, you can then see what's being dropped and what's going through the rules. If you are doing any advanced firewall work, especially with PFSense, PFTop is just a great go-to utility for doing these things, which is why I'm covering today. So we're going to change a view back to default. And just so you know, if you ever want to see it inside a PFSense in the command line, SSH in here. This is what it looks like from here. So it sees the same thing, whether you do it from the command line or not, we're going to change seconds to delay to that. We press F for filter, host 192.683.9, which is my computer. And I can see the TCP connection I have over SSH on port 222 for this particular machine in here. So it's, like I said, whatever way you want to use it, it works much the same way. They've just set a nice job of putting it in so you don't have to run it from the command line or do it in the terminal. But either way does work. Let's get this back out of the way. Clear. First thing we'll do is show you how you build the filters. So the filter's really easy. We're going to go ahead and filter for a specific host. And you just put host<PHONE_NUMBER>. No connection to that host right now. It's a Linux Debian load, clean load. So it doesn't really do much right now. It's just kind of chilling out there. And we'll go ahead and SSH into it. So we're passing through the firewall. It's at 40.112. There's a NAT rule to get it from 3.150. And if you can read that up here, that's the firewall name, our firewall IP address, and we're SSH in. And it takes a second. Boom, now we see the TCP connection. Now, if I wanted to show everything but this host, so we've now established this is the only thing that this host is showing. But if you wanted to invert that information, we could just put an exclamation point in front. That means show me anything except that host. So when you're building the expressions and they have all the details for building expressions down here in a man page, always take the time to read the man. Use this tool a lot because once you get used to using it, it's pretty handy. But this is how you can do not and or or. So when you want to build this information, so when I want to see this host, just change that to and protocol TCP. There we go. So now we filtered it for that and protocol TCP. What about if we did for protocol UDP? Oops, I guess we'll UDP right. Search protocol UDP. All right, now there's not really any connections. But we have DNS perf loaded in here. We're going to go ahead and DNS perf is just a free little utility that's on GitHub and it does a DNS test. So it's going to do a whole lot of lookups, which of course is going to fill our screen with all the different connections on there. And if we said just show me things that aren't UDP back to putting an exclamation point in front of it, I think you can use the word not. Yeah, that works too. So not UDP or exclamation point like they show down here. So pretty straightforward to do that. Now a couple more advanced things you can do with PFTOP establish things like a entire network. So you want to see, and especially if you have multiple networks, multiple VLANs, it really doesn't matter any defined network in PF sense. It doesn't matter if it's an actual network card or a VLAN, you can say things like this. You can say net one, two, one, six, eight, dot 40, dot whoops, dot zero slash 24. So it can show me that particular net. Now this works with not just local networks. We can say what's going to this particular network block? So if you have something going to a particular external network block, that's an option to be able to do there. And this is actually the Microsoft network block. Now what I do is I have a Windows 10 machine. We're going to show how that views there. So we're going to pull this up real quick. And we're going to restart this Windows 10 machine. I purposely didn't use anything other than the console for my VM manager here, which is an orchestra. So we're going to watch what happens and the call outs it has when it starts booting up. And in fact, we'll actually use filter for this particular host, which is this. So here's all the connections getting established for that particular host. They were already established because it was running. It's going to establish a lot more of them. So instead of sort by this, we're going to start by expiration. And we have all these new connections that are coming up right now as this boots. So all right, that's booted. And we'll try that other one here, that net one. And here we are. We're able to see that it's trying to connect to this network. Now if you didn't know the 40 block right here, slash 12, <IP_ADDRESS> slash 12, that happens to be Microsoft's network. And whenever a Windows 10 machine boots up, it's one of the many networks it calls out to. Matter of fact, when we had that as a host here, so bring it back to that host. You can see how many connections this machine has decided to call out on. And that's just the nature of Windows. It does that. Now a few other things you can do when you're trying to trace out something. If you know the destination part, if you're using some custom application, you can look for, whoops, I typed in protocol, I meant to type in port or 43. And you can look for maybe things that are only doing SSH, or I'm sorry, HTTPS connections, or SSH connections on port 22. We only want to see things on the network doing that. And maybe you have too many things on there, then you would start building again on top of their support 22 and host 192 and 6840.112. So now we can say, all right, only show me any SSH connection related to that particular host. At least this is a great utility. It's not hard to use, but that's what I want to make sure is you just understood how to build the filter expressions. They give you a handy little reminder here. And as long as your problem isn't not getting online, you can click the link right here, it brings you to the man page. So you can start building your advanced tools. It doesn't do any long-term logging, it's not a logging utility, it's just a filtering utility for active connections and where they're going and what the state of that expression is, or state of that connection is. So it tells you if it's established, if it's weight and what it's actually doing. But great way to figure out where things are going and just really helpful when you're trying to figure out why there are so many connections to this IP address. I'm gonna go on a limb here before we exit that if I did a who is, no, that's Akamai. Something else Windows he says to talk to apparently reaches out to the Akamai Content Delivery Network as well, wow, it has a lot of connections. That's why you need this filter to really try to filter things out. There's a lot of connections. This is only two computers on my lab network here. If I pull it up on our main network, this is, without filtering it, you just can't look through all the connections on there. All right, hopefully this is helpful. Get playing with PFTop, it's great for learning, it's great for understanding packet states and how things are going and it's a great handy utility. I'm so happy it's built into PF Sense because it's great little Swiss Army knife to start troubleshooting things. Thanks for watching. If you enjoyed this video, go ahead and hit the thumbs up. If you wanna see more content from my channel, go ahead and hit subscribe and the bell icon and hopefully YouTube will send you a notice. If you're interested in contracting launch systems for any type of IT services work or consulting, work, go ahead and head over to launchsystems.com and fill out our contact and get in touch with us. If you would like to help the channel out in other ways, you can use our affiliate links below in the description or we have a link directly to our launch systems page where we have a list of different affiliate offers and it's very appreciated if you use any of those for signing up any of the services and many of them offer you discounts. If you wanna head over to our forums, there'll be a link in the description for our forums, wherever they may be, because we've been looking at different forum platforms but they'll always be relevantly linked right there. All right, once again, thanks. Leave some feedback and comments below on this video. If you loved it, if you hated it, I try to reply to everyone, the people who hate and the people who love them. So thank you very much and see you next time.


What's going on everyone Sam here with late sports cards are been three boxes a 2021 Bowman Chrome Baseball each dh choice for Gabriel C. It's good luck here Gabriel. Let's see what we got for you, buddy These are fun to rip right here. You never know what's gonna come out of these These things are absolutely insane to get my top prospect sheet up to So I could take a look exactly where everybody is on the in the prospect rankings You're gonna gold in a blue that's gonna be a Baron Ratcliffe a Radcliffe for the Phillies See Philadelphia See in the top 30 Don't believe he is still a very nice one So that's what's pretty cool, man We've got 13 out of 50 on the gold go into the Pirates. That is Santiago Flores Nice one there can crats on the Flores See what we got here Tiago Flores don't believe he is in the top 30 either but still a nice gold first That'll work. Yeah Pirates color match Pirates color match right on right on deck right there Let me take a look on where this guy. I know he is a One of the guys you look for Dude, he's so young. Holy cow Dude, oh, that's this is kind of nasty. How about a Reginald pressy auto? 51 out of 150 first true blue Dude, that is awesome Congrats on the pressy auto that'll work right there, man Reginald pressy auto Thinking he was on the top 100, but I guess not nice one there congrats on that There you go Gabriel. Yeah any color in this very good for sure Reginald pressy auto that is a Nasty Got a Josh Wynchowski Or Wynkowski for the Red Sox a big bold Sharpie auto That's nasty that came used Oh, that is really nasty too big Is it game used? Oh, yeah, maybe that might be a little too big Josh Wynkowski nice one We've got a Gabriel Masia For the pressy auto auto for the twins I can't play I keep like throwing myself off when I keep saying that pressy auto Gabriel Masia on the base auto that we've got a speckle 288 out of 299 Michael Goldberg for the A's Nice one there see what we've got in box number three Come on you Wynkowski Mike Wynkowski Got a good one on the I could do a good quiet laughter. That's about it my impressions. It's about where I Fizzle out on Nice, you got milk our Perez for the Mariners. He's actually I think like top seven For the Mariners nice milk our Perez. He's making it 20 to 22 as well We've got a Anthony Walters shortstop for the Mets on the first. Oh, yeah, Dean's here. He's just caught cause trouble I've never been to Disney. So it probably would be up there though. Then we've got Errol bearer 113 out of 499 on the refractor auto nice one there for the angels Believe he's top 100. Oh, maybe not. I just went there for the angels up. We'll take that for sure That'll do for your break there Gabriel. Thanks again for jumping in man. Appreciate it as always. We'll get them right out to you man


Good morning everyone. This is Shichon. Welcome to my channel and welcome to another live stream. Today is December 30th, 2021, and we're doing a live stream on current events, news, politics, economics, personal finance, investing, random news, draconian ways, fascistic tendencies, resistance, fighters, and whatnot. And while we wait for notifications to go out on Discord and Twitch, let me give you a little intro for those of you that are going to be watching this after the live stream. Eduardo, thank you very much for the Twitch Prime sub, and good morning, brother. I hope you're doing well. You had a Merry Christmas.  Shichon, good morning. Oh, oh, how are you doing? Lark Bark, how are you doing? Hey, man. Morning, morning, morning, morning. Happy holiday. Cheryl, good morning, good morning. Awesome. Then Payuki, 311th. Hello, hello. Good morning, and good afternoon. Unused time. My favorite streamer. Awesome. Thank you very much for the love. Thank you very much for the love. MC Mike, how are you doing? Good morning. Good morning. Hey, Chichou Gang. Hope you're doing well and had a fantastic Christmas. Hey, Chichou, I finally got the drug war trading card. Drug war trading card. Apple sauce and the honey. Very nice. So you got the full package. Drug war trading cards, apple sauce and the honey from our auction. Awesome, awesome. Some people have been getting it, getting the packages. So I'm glad they're getting there. It's crazy supply chain stuff going on, right? Suspicious user. You guys just started. We just started. Plotonic pluralist. I don't know why Twitch. I think you're the same person as the last stream. Twitch keeps on saying tagging your comments as suspicious user, monitor band evader. Possible, possible. So I have no idea what that is, but I think I recognize your name from last stream. You were all good, man. Nicholas, how are you doing? Good morning. Good morning. Good morning. Gang, if you are watching this little one minute, two minute, three minute, four minute introduction on SensorTube. This is a current events live stream. We talk about life, humanity, society, what's going on in our world. And SensorTube prevents you who are watching this on SensorTube after this live stream from participating in these types of discussions. So if you want to watch this full live stream, you want to go to Pichute, Rumble, or Odyssey. The full live stream will be available on these free speech platforms and the links will be in the description of this video. Rendo, thank you very much for the tier one sub, 29 months in a row. And gang, if you want to participate in these live streams live in the chat, when it's happening and have little zombies pop up over here, I think today, Twitch is where you want to be at. And gang, for those of you that are supporting this work on Twitch, come to these live streams, participating in these discussions. Thank you very much for being here and mods. Thank you for being here and taking care of business. We would not be able to do this without your support. So thank you very much. Felix, Bristol, how are you doing? How did you chill? How's it hanging? Pretty good, pretty good. Doing pretty good. I got, I already had some breakfast and I brought some snacks, I'll show you my snacks. We made some sausages and we got some cheese and crackers. So we had this last night. They're like chicken sausages with sun-dried tomatoes in there and they're a little spicy. It's not bad and cheese. So it's all good. They're little crackers. I figured I might need a little deliciousness. Hype train, hype train, we got a hype train. Jay Powell, 79. They subscribed for two months. Jay Powell caught alive. Hello all, hello, hello. You'll have a limited, what is this, sub-gifts? I couldn't read, I missed this, missed the message that popped up. Sub-gifts were used bits to get the next level, 95, 4%. I don't know what this is. Gang, you're gonna follow this work? Thank you very much for a Twitch prize sub by the way, Jay. You can support this work on Patreon. And for those of you that are supporting this work on Patreon, gang, thank you very much for the support it is in the large part because there's support we're getting on Patreon and Twitch that we're able to do what it is that we are doing.  So you can follow the work there and get your announcements there and we will be uploading the audio of this live stream to SoundCloud.com as a podcast. And these podcasts should be available on your favorite podcasting platforms including Spotify, yeah Spotify, iTunes and Google Play. And again, if you're watching this on, censor to, the links will be in the description to the full live stream. That is where you should be consuming your content, no matter what it is, if you can find that there. Gang, let's talk about current events and I'm going to catch up with the live stream with the chat.


Okay, we're back live at Stratoconference. I'm John Furrier with SiliconANGLE.com. This is theCUBE, our flagship telecast, and Stratoconference has evolved into the intersection between the growth markets of technology and the innovation, and we're here covering it, SiliconANGLE.tv. Tons of different things this year. I'm here with my co-host. I'm Dave Vellante of Wikibon.org, and we're here with Bill Schmarzo of EMC, part of EMC's consulting services division. Bill, welcome back. Thanks. Last time I saw you, we were at the EMC CIO conference, which was kind of an interesting event, and we had you hosted a little breakout session with the CIOs, and it was an interesting discussion, wasn't it? Oh my gosh, yeah, and I think what's been exciting is how, from that event, how many things have started to just explode around us? You know, just getting the message out to the CIOs that we have contact with, and then they're starting to ask more and more questions, how do I use this stuff? Where is it more applicable? It's a good time to be in the data business. It was interesting. I felt like the audience that you were facilitating was sort of mixed, right? Some people were like jumping on board and really excited about it. Others were sort of a little scared, I think. Yeah. Do you see that broadly? Oh my gosh, yes, in fact, what I've noticed is there's at least a stratus, two segments of the marketplace out there. There's the companies out here, like in the Bay Area, you know, the Facebooks, the Yahoo, the Twitters, all those sort of folks who sort of are all in on big data, but then you go to like Omaha and St. Louis and, you know, Des Moines, Iowa and Columbus and they don't even know where and how to start yet. So it's just, it's a real separated marketplace. There's some that really get it and are in a half spot and there's some who just don't get it who are just really struggling. Bill, you know, I've been on theCUBE multiple times.  So the folks out there don't know, you are the CTO, you're involved in a lot of the top level serious tech conversations, the whiteboards, the architecture of big data for EMC corporation, but you live in, we live together in Palo Alto, we've known each other and but you've also been around the block, you've been in this business for a long time. You've seen the data warehouse, you know the business intelligence market. Dave and I were talking on the intro about the changing of the guard, how the data models in the past were protected, company owned, now they're opening up. We just heard from Marquis Smith from the nonprofit talking about, you know, new tools and the democratization of data. What's happening? How are you seeing the landscape for this data business as this new emerging, as you climb the big data mountain, new vistas, new opportunities are emerging and the whole business intelligence data warehouse market is changing. What's your view, looking at from your personal perspective and then now that you're at EMC, what's the landscape look like and what's around the corner? So John, I think that's a great question and in fact, because I come from that BI data warehouse background, a lot of my former clients and friends and contacts asked me lots of questions about, you know, hey Bill, I know you're in the big data space, you know, you've been in the BI data warehouse space, what does this mean to us? I mean, what are the things I need to do to be prepared for sort of stuff?  You've got to open them up, you've got to have flexibility and agility and the first time you come to a client in a big data discussion and start talking about an architectural lock-up based on data structures, they're going to kick you out the door. But you know, 10 years ago, that's how we competed, right? My data model is better than your data model. I'll give you my data model if you spend, you know, 10 million dollars in software for me. But you know, that world has changed and so, you know, we've got technologies out there like Hadoop, what basically are schemaless when you throw data in and so the idea that you're going to put a structure around that and lock people in is ludicrous. So tell me the state of the market right now.  Part of EMC. Exactly, but seriously, but what's the like out there?  So the questions are, do they throw it away? Do they build around it? What is the current, are they dear in the headlights? What's going on? Well, some are dear in the headlights, but they can't throw it away. Obviously, politically, there's many reasons why they just can't toss that stuff away. And so the opportunity out there is to help them figure out how do I take advantage of these new, more high velocity, more rich data sources and these predictive analytic capabilities? How do I basically transform these dashboards that are retrospective, are hindsight looking into more predictive real-time dashboards? So there's actually a big opportunity out there for people who are already in the BI space, but to basically adopt and learn some new skills, take some new approaches and to take those backward-looking BI environments and make them much more productive or predictive in real-time. So basically what you're saying is, they know that they're screwed and they have to retool and so they have to take their existing BI and make it tailorable or modular, fix it, to intersect in with Hadoop so they have to build essentially connectors and other things to embrace it and integrate it in, right? Yeah, but I wouldn't say they're screwed. I mean, the thing is that most of BI implementations, they really understand the business questions customers are trying to ask and answer. That's a great starting point. I mean, they've already got a really good feel for the business drivers, the KPIs, the data structures themselves, I mean, the data contents themselves. Maybe the structures aren't important anymore, but they understand what data is available and those are all the building blocks whether you're going to do BI or big data. So some people think that enterprise data warehousing is a do-over. I'm hearing from you, it's not necessarily a do-over, it's maybe a do-better. Yeah, yeah. I'm kind of liking that and I think that, so I recently had a conversation with a customer and observation in one does not make a trend, though we supposedly could try to make it one, that they're really smart customers. They're really smart. And what they're saying is that they're seeing in their environment that a key separation between the BI environment and the analytics environment and that they know today that for operation reasons they have to provide reports, they have to provide dashboards for compliance for regulation reasons, I mean, they just have to provide those kind of reports. But there's also this analytic environment that provides an opportunity for them to provide more predictive real-time stuff and they want to separate those environments and they're seeing things like Hadoop, for example, as being this place where all the data gets dumped into and then it gets scrounged off and parsed and pushed into the data warehouse environment for this compliance and regulatory reporting and then it gets segmented off into the analytics environment for the more predictive real-time sort of analysis. So it's allowing them to do better. Like they're not throwing away the data warehouse, they're definitely not throwing away their BI tools but it's a way to take the stuff that sits underneath that and make it more useful, more rich and more actionable. Let's talk a little bit about the objectives of the traditional objectives of the enterprise data warehouse was the single version of the truth. And I think it feels like we're further away from that than we've ever been now, especially with all this, you know, the Hadoop and unstructured data coming in. Are the objectives now of big data different? I don't think so. You still think it's a single version of the truth. I think if, you know, if Bill Schmarzo walks into US Bank and the clerk there should know as much as possible about Bill Schmarzo, right? Should know all the accounts he's got, all the credit card he has, should know about what his family holds and you want to augment that with, you know, what are his interests, socially? He's a baseball fan. He should connect to these sort of people here. So what are things, how do I take that single version of truth in my CRM system, for example, that I've spent millions and millions of dollars to build out and how do I augment that? And so I don't see in many places where companies who are dealing with customers, that's still the gold for them and so I don't see that becoming a throwaway. And do you feel like the use cases may be somewhat different in terms of maybe not so much an emphasis on reporting? That'll stay, but it's more on, okay, how do we actually sell this person something? Amen, it's all about actionability. It's all about how do I take what I know about this person and their cohorts, for example. So I make sure that I prescribe the right products, the right services that make the most sense to them to get them to buy more. You'll have a couple of questions. One question I have is how is big data changing some of the key verticals that you guys sell into and how is big data changing the EMC vertical as a business? So two pronged question there. One, out in the customer base, good financial, health care and et cetera, et cetera. We're seeing all kinds of conversations here at Strata and all in the SiliconANGLE communities all about health care from politics to journalism. Data is changing everything. So in the verticals, what specifically is data, is data a one size fits all, it's the same change everywhere, is it changed by vertical? It's definitely a change by vertical, but it definitely is impacting each of the different verticals. Let's give me an example, health care, for example. So I'm working with a health care provider and the challenge they have isn't necessarily the advanced analytics. Their first issue is how do I take advantage of all these disparate data sources? How do I virtualize data that's both inside of my organization and outside of my organization? So their first challenge is really about how do I get this full view of my patients and the kind of treatments I give to those patients? How do I understand more about their lifestyles, their DNA, their entity and things like this so that I can make sure I prescribe the right medications and lifestyle changes that are the most effective to them? So that industry is very much focused on data. I mean, they can't even do analysis today because they're stuck in the data area. However, there are companies like obviously the online retailers, for example, who are way ahead in the data game and they've been bringing data in already, they've got a good handle on how to bring in social data and so they're already in the point now where they're trying to figure out how do I drive business insights? How do I cross sell, upsell? How do I target more effectively? How do I identify market trends and get products in those market trends more quickly? So basically, if I can deconstruct what you just said is retail is interested in big data because there's a direct sales impact where healthcare, ah yes, HIPAA, it's like IT, old IT. I mean, most healthcare have a ton of IT spend but they're not refreshing a lot. I mean, they're refreshing just for the sake of growing their business. Is that true? Is that the case? Or is it more of now everyone's top line driven? Well, I think healthcare and a couple of the people I talked to in that space, our firm believer, they're between 60 to 70% of the money they spend in healthcare is wasted. So there's a huge operational efficiency as they think are out there. Challenge number one. That's worse than IT. Yeah, it is. There's a lot of over-treatment or under-treatment, mistreatment, fraud, all kinds of things that go on in that space and it all relates back to the starting point to being able to bring this data together. How do I know, for example, that there is a collection of doctors down in Florida who are artificially charging me a bunch of different, for a bunch of services, never rendered? If that data is buried in eight different systems, it's hard to spot that. If I ran it together, that stuff surfaces right away. And so, I guess my point is there are some industries that are really wrestling with some data issues today and some industries have already kind of solved that or have gotten a good handle on that and are now really trying to go to the next level as far as the analytics aspect. Yeah, it's kind of like when you get to it. It's a fireman when he gets to the house.  And which room do you start? You start with the one with the most flames. You know, what is your view on the current customer landscape that you guys work with and you consult with? What room is on fire? What's, you know, you start with, you got to take care of that first and you get to the other rooms later. First of all, get everyone out of the house, right? Yeah. Get all the things out of the room. No, but seriously, you know, what is the one area first that you go to and you say, okay, we got to knock this out if I'm dealing with a customer who's in the B2C space, right? Who's dealing with individual consumers like us. The first, the low hanging fruit for them is integration of social media data into the current customer insight app operations, right? They've already spent a lot of money in their CRM systems and looking at creating this ECRM sort of concept. They're looking to bring in all the social media data in so they can target better. They understand their interests better. They can, they can start building social graphs with their customers. And so in the B2C space, the thing that I see first and foremost is integration of social media data to have better customer insights. On the other side is companies that are really concerned about operational efficiencies. This is where the healthcare companies would fall in. This is where, you know, utilities fall in. Anybody who's got a network of devices, whether they're ATMs or kiosks or servers or wind turbines or such, they're trying to figure out how to drive operational effectiveness across their network. So whether it be predictive maintenance, being able to figure out forecasting capacity and things like that. So there's kind of two, I'm seeing two distinct markets today. Again, the B2C space is really understanding more about their customers. The operational space is, how do I leverage this machine-generated data to really operationalize and make more effective my operations. All right, well my final question then, Dave, you can take it away, but this is more of a philosophical one. So how, from the Bill Schmarzo perspective, how is big data changing the world? Oh, man, John. Or how will it change the world? Is it changing the world and how will it change the world? How will our world be different and what does it enable, what kind of change are we going to see? You know, it could go a couple of ways, right? It could go evil, right, where people know more about you and everything you thought was private about your life is now public domain and available, and there's that big brother aspect of it. I actually don't think that's a likely opportunity. I think what's going to happen is that we're going to see a renaissance in the sense that companies are going to know more about us and give to us that which is relevant, and we'll see things like personalized pricing and personalized products and personalized service. We'll get a point where the vision of this one-to-one marketing, right, personalization and things becomes a reality, not just in marketing, but across all kinds of different things. Well, I know you work for EMC and one of their quote pillars is trust, but seriously, I mean, I'm seeing identity and trust as a thread going forward, and will society be better, nicer and cleaner with the transparency around it? I mean, you're talking about essentially connecting at a level, knowing someone's interests. You said go evil, but also could go in a positive way. Oh, I think it's going to go positive more than evil because I think evil has a way of being punished, right? There might be a little bit of evil genius going on, and that is squashed by good genius. Oh, by the way, I just got a tweet from Aleister Kroll, who's the event MC and organizer in head honcho here at Strada. He says, Schmarzo was excellent at Jumpstart, which is the program he just did for the MBA school, data MBA. He could be the dean of a data MBA school. Oh, man. I like that. I like it. You got some props on Twitter from Aleister? Yeah. Yeah, it's from Aleister, and he's got some serious bread, you know? You know, that cost me 40 bucks, so I hope that came out well. That was expensive. That's Drake. He's smooth, Alice, and we appreciate it. Now, John, Bill's going to be back here with us on Thursday. You're going to kick off the morning with us on Thursday. We're going to talk about techniques for a big data analytics. We're going to go deeper in here, so I don't want to steal your thunder there, but it's going to get a little preview. Yeah, we're going to go into the Jumpstart things that you, the top case, a little drill down into use cases. That's more of a practical view of it. Here's just more, just shooting the breeze about tech. Yeah, I'm just walking by, and you guys drag me in here and trying to abuse me. We take care of CUBE alumni. See, you know, you're right. It's like the Stanley Cup, the names engraved at, you know, CUBE year three. I'm honored. I'm honored. Well, thanks for coming by.


You must elevate the authority of God's word above your opinion, above your experiences. Yes, even above your experiences. You've heard it said that if your experience doesn't align with the word, you've got to change what you believe about the word. I wouldn't do that so quickly. I would say it's best to base your experiences and how you view those experiences through the lens of the word. Otherwise, it's not the word you trust, it's yourself.


If there's one architect who needs no introduction in the city or any other, it's Charles Carrere Thank you very much Gosh ten minutes to cover the future of Bombay, I think only Mel Brooks could do that, but let's give it a try I think the first thing that strikes me is that the first characteristic the fundamental characteristic of us Certainly in India is our inability to act on our own predictions Can I have the first slide? this is where Bombay was in In the year 1940 it was just two million people right through the 30s 20s It was about a million or so to the small town in 64 and this is when the the municipality published their plan and The population was four million and there were three of us Shiresh Patel who I hope is in the audience Are you serious anybody? He's here and Praveena Mehta and myself and he looked at this And we found that they were predicting at four million. We knew we would grow to next one, please We'd go to eight million No, the thing is at four million. We already had squatters. This is 1964 more than four two years ago It was so clear that this structure which though which had been invented in a way by the British because of the port town Could sustain a population of one million very pleasantly and a million and a half and maybe even two But at that stage you're going to you began to get the have nuts and you got the deprivation Etc and they were 10% of the population So we thought that you really have to Create new job centers You have to have a poly-centered growth because one city of four million or eight million sounds eight million sounds frightening But if it's actually four cities of two million each then that's what the Bay Area of San Francisco is for instance So this is what actually happened. We're in in 1964. We we said we should restructure That's what we call new Bombay, which I'll try and show you since Ricky asked us to explain What were the dreams for Bombay? No at you at you at four million? We've got ten percent At four million we've got ten percent who are squatters by the time you reach eight million Because though the government acted on our ideas, they didn't act really on the real heart of the ideas, which I'll show you Can I have the next one please? You can see as the eight million people and you notice that the squatters have grown from four point four million That's four lakhs to forty lakhs That's our inability to act on our own prediction if we knew they were going to be eight million Surely we would rearrange the scenery in some way Okay, then at in eighty five we knew we would reach sixteen million where we are today now We still have we reached sixteen million on target just like the trains and the squatters have now grown to sixty percent So each time you see that the real delivery system isn't the former sector of pucker housing It's the squatters It's the illegal sectors So next me How did we deal with this this was the original city limits right up to World War two those were suburbs out there Bandra was the only one really by 1950 it had been pushed there by the Modak Maya plan next 57 and then 64 that was the one which triggered off our thing and of course after that we've gone further north There's a there's a linear system which makes most of the jobs are still the office jobs Definitely at this end of the city and so you get land values which are next Which grow as you reach this end of the city What we were trying to do was open up new centers So that the whole thing becomes one urban system around the water But also reaches the hintle end of the state to try and take the energy of Bombay out there Now the way we were trying to do it is through public transport. I think that's a fundamental thing which has not been given enough What you call it weightage in our plans even in Delhi or any other place actually the British created Bombay through public transport, which we will see So I what I'll show you now. Yeah, you are this would be the way though and you'd have water water transport too But also trains next This is a short film just excerpts from a film I made at the time. Yeah, let's start it. Yeah, go ahead This is one done at the time a polemic film which Tells us what's happening to the city This is a shorted VT station in 1967 or so It said that from up there their numbers down here their people only just It's incredible. It's much worse today What's nice are these three people? You know, it's wonderful. It's like what moving through water people is really one long breakwater Protecting the harbor from the open sea in the south the jobs in the north the people's homes Result every day a massive flow of traffic southward in the morning Northward in the evening Further result Escalating land prices highest at the southern end of the city as the land prices climb the buildings grow taller And they grow taller they cost more Almost half a million people in Bombay are government employed Every job moved will help Bombay as well as the new office center across the harbor Each government job triggers off five other jobs forming the basis for new Bombay We'll bring the waterfront back to Bombay Plazas like the gateway along the eastern shore of the island will change the north-south structure into an east-west one and Looking eastward the energy of new Bombay will stimulate development in the mainland Opening up new growth across the state water will once again become the focal point of the whole system providing communication between the various centers and In the middle of it all the island of elephant an umbilical cord that takes one back a thousand years A multi-centred city around the harbor each new center opening up more space for the people of this city Yeah, here we are So now let's have a look at Bombay the way it was as you know it there was never a plan for Bombay The only I would say there was a DNA a kind of genetic coding was the two railway lines One was the Western Railway the old BB and CI which took people the troops up to the Khyber Pass and the other was the Central Railway which they took the business people to Calcutta That was the whole the point of the railways had nothing to do with the average person But what they did every time you put down a station people lived around the station So what do we learn from that we learned that on the scale of growth? We're talking about public transport is a lead sector if you put it in at the end Like in Delhi it's very good system. They put in it cost them about 10,000 crores aligned 10 to 20,000 20,000 crores is five billion dollars only Delhi can afford it at least India can afford that once but in this case Not only does it act efficiently and you must realize that Bombay with all our problems is a much much better city For everybody young people teenagers old people because it's a mobile city because the growth came from the transport lines It followed transport Now when you do this you're not only and when we are talking of going from four to eight and eight to sixteen and now Sixteen to twenty five surely we should respond and say how are we going to bring this growth around the interesting thing Is that could we go back to that when they when the when the growth? Proceeds the development not only is it more efficient, but you make money out of that railway line You don't have to spend 20,000 crores mr. Pustige I know you're not going to but that's what they've done the British actually used private investment These were private people Who made money out of it? I think it's wonderful what they're doing in London where they're using the public transport to open up land Because even if this railway line is subsidized it becomes an indirect subsidy on housing Don't you see what you're doing by selling a ten rupee pass or a fifty rupee pass you're enabling people to live Down the road. Otherwise, they'd all be crowded at this end. These are fundamental lessons. We should learn the next I'll just show you a glimpse of this. This was when we were working on the sorry Yeah on the Pirell land. It's just over. It's not take long This just shows you the way the the transport goes and it goes right through You know, you know Bombay the middle part portion is and then and see the way people live along these stations And the most important area is dadar because it's the tie as you know That's where the central and the western railways Actually meet the one interchange and that's a generated Enormacy because all urban growth has got to do with nodal points of generation and then Pirell and and Elphinstons could also be joined. They're very close together And that'll make then you have the crossroads which exist and we thought you bring in fast buses Reserve track buses and at every intersection you then get a growth point So no one was against developing the land We just felt that the public sector that the public transport should be the lead sector Which then opens up the land and gives it real meaning because then you know what you can locate. Yeah, let's go on These roads all the upper two ones are a I hate to rush you but yeah, it's the last slide I just finished that and and this goes across to next one, please This goes across to could we just go through these swaths this last one You know, this is the the VT station. This is church gate This is The Nariman point in the gateway That's the Suri bridge, which we just saw all those roads would take you across to the rest of the state Another way of opening up land for instance They talk about building a bridge for cars one possibilities an underground tunnel only for trains So you don't deliver any cars into Bombay But these trains coming here can tie you into the VT station church gate and Nariman point And then from Mandua on Let's go on next one They could continue on surface and open up all that land and they could join the Konkan railway So you'd get a tremendous spine of growth and most of the migration to the city comes from within the state comes from Ratnagiri So this is just these are the kind of let's go on to the next one. This is what has been that's what happens I mentioned San Francisco you all know Frisco. Yeah, I finished and the next one I'd show you it's Holland right and then and that's it I just wanted to tell you that if you're going to do something it has to take into account public transport. Thanks


Hi everybody it's Simon from Mixed Up Craft. Thank you for watching my tutorial today.  It sounded a bit better than circle fold and I couldn't really find another word really to use. So I've used my circle cutting system to come up with this one and I'm really pleased. So it is 6 by 6 in size and it sits there inside the envelope but when you open it up these pieces are like this so it stands like so and you have that view and it looks really cool. You can also have it further out so it can be like that so people can see this you could decorate these side pieces here. I've used a decoupage little topper here which I've made and I'll go through all of that with you and then on the inside here so that's how it would be and then you open up the little kind of gate fold and you've got your happy birthday, loads of room there to write your sentiment and message and so on and you've got more panels here to put more stuff on if you want so it's quite nice you could put more memories on their photos if you wanted to but yeah I really like this one so I was just playing around seeing what I could come up with and this is what's evolved. So like I said it stands up nicely and it fits in an envelope. Mine is bulky I guess because I've got that decoupage on and I've stuck it on this plastic little bow there as well but I guess if you do go a bit flatter then you could post this in you know the postbox without it getting damaged. I would probably end up putting that in a little protective kind of bubble bag as well but yeah really really nice this one so turn that one back out again. Okay this is what I'm going to be using today so the papers and the decoupage is the Dovecraft sweet moments which I've used a few times. I've used it in my scrapbook layout as well and these are the papers it's an 8x8 pack they're really um they're very girly and um yeah there's it's just very pink although this isn't there that's them there's a bit different as well but you can see what I mean it's just really really very subtle colors and just really fun I do like this one and then that's the decoupage with all the different layouts there and they make great toppers so that's the one I've used or I'm going to be using today which I'll show you and the macaroon is that one there and that's the last one now because I made gift tags with the other ones so again all the links will be shared on my blog okay so I've got the larger hoop from the three rings that you get with the X-cut cutting system which I use a lot in my tutorials again I'll share the loops I'll share the links but I know now that it's going I think it's starting to appear in the sale in places so I wonder whether X-cut has stopped making it now but again I will look into that and I'm also going to be using the other X-cuts and this is the cutting circle but a compass will be fine and dinner plates and all that kind of stuff will work as well so I'll talk you through all that so don't worry if you don't have these pieces that's the cutting blade for that circle there okay so let me just move these bits for a minute okay so with the main car base you've got you want a piece of 11 by six and a half along the 11 inch side you're going to score at two and three quarters and eight and a quarter okay then actually keep your scoreboard out for the minute and this is just really a guide to keep you in the area that you need to be which would make sense in a minute but all you want to do is pop a ruler at six inches I'm lining it up with the six inch kind of track there at the bottom so I know it's nice and straight plus with the Tim Holtz ruler you just need to make sure your lines there are straight and then actually not going to score just going to with a pencil just do a pencil mark if you don't have a scoreboard all right like that just from the bottom up just mark six inches at both ends and just join it up so we'll be cutting along a lot of this line in a minute okay so get rid of your scoreboard and then what you're going to do is with this one here which is a six inch diameter that's the circle size that it will cut so you just want to get a plate or a compass if you're using a compass you want to set it to three inches okay so just get your point and your pencil mark it at three find the center point of your this square for example and then you will just swoop around and then you'll be cutting partially cutting some of that for those of you with this or if you've got a dinner plate you'll do the same you want to pop it in the middle of this square where the pencil line is in fact I just burnish those score lines because that will help you see better in the tutorial so you want to make sure that you get your plate that's as close to six inches and your compass everything it needs to be within this part so below the pencil line so it's a six by five and a half inch square here I'm going to get my circle bring it in it's going to slightly pop over the top there you want it to just come up slightly from the bottom you don't want it to you do want to cut a little slither away just so that the the circle doesn't really touch the bottom of your card of your table can't even speak properly anyway now the sides of your six inch circle will go over the score line and that is what you want you just need to make sure that it's even so I've got an even side we go a little bit more that side and even that side so it's going to go over those sides you want it to just come up from the bottom here and it will probably just tip over which it is the pencil mark there now if you're drawing around anything this is when you just go around it with your pencil but if you've got a cutting system like me then what you're going to do is you're going to cut so from you're going to cut inside this squared area you're not going to do any cutting on your three uh your two and three quarter um kind of little panels here these side bits do not go into this section so let me just cut here to make sense of it so I'm just going to cut make sure you've got a cutting mat underneath so I'm just cutting from the left to the right as close to the score line as I can get because the rest of it we're going to cut and then again at the bottom like so so now if I just bring this up you can see it's just gone over the pencil which is fine it's come down to the bottom there now you can see I've got quite close to the score line but just not that close and that's fine because now what we're going to be doing is some cutting so grab your scissors and we'll do the bottom here where it's already kind of come apart if yours is still attached it's fine just cut it but you basically just want to come up and just continue around to that score line again do not cut past it you want to just stay and then very neatly because this is all going to be exposed just cut up there like so and do the same so again now don't worry if you're a little bit kind of crooked with your cutting here because we're going to be then cutting another exact same size in the same green card in my case and we're going to stick it over the top so don't worry if this is a little obviously these side bits need to be good but don't worry if this circle may be a little bit rough because we are going to cover it all but then if you're cutting that circle as well then you really need to be nice and neat so again just going to trim this is the fiddliest bit it's not hard it's just a little bit fiddly and again just come around there and then I'm just going to come down I'm removing the score lines again just to make that all nice that's what everyone's going to see and again that one out and then you just want to cut along these pencil marks so I thought it was best to cut it to six and a half than six and a quarter or something just in case you do go higher than you've got obviously the room so now when you fold your card you can now burn your sides that's what you will have so this is your five and a half by six and there's your gatefold back okay so now what you want to do is with your compass still at three set of three inches is do cut another circle with the same card or whatever you're deciding to use if you're using this cut another whole circle so you'll have one like this so I've already popped my adhesive on it open it up okay and make sure that your adhesive doesn't go because you want to remember these bits it's going to stay overhanging so you don't want any glue sticking out the other side there so where I've popped my tape I've got no adhesive right up against the sides here so it won't overhang all right so I'm going to pop it down flat make sure that's all lined up and then just and you want to make sure that you get it perfectly over the top okay and then again just stand it up make sure it's all there and now we've got that really fun disc fold card I think it's great now it's all down to decoration it is an easy card I guess that's just the fiddly bit as such so I've got all of these panels here now the white mats are let me grab my ruler so the white mats are two and a half by five and three quarters you'll need four of them and then you'll need four of the layer that's on top which is five and a half by two and a quarter okay now what I'm going to do because I've gone and cut this disc now this disc here measures um if I do it along that straight green line there because it's kind of running through the middle five and a half so set your ruler to two and three quarters and you will then have a five and a half inch disc or a plate anything really because when I stick this on so basically this is going to go on here I just wanted that nice green border okay see that ring I've got around there now when this closes when the people see it I wanted to have this same pattern so when I flip it over this one is going to go inside here so that when I close the card you see there and that's like so it all matches just on this top bit here but it doesn't matter if you don't have the same because if I just pop something else in there as long as it's maybe from the same paper pack but look even that it does all work okay so you need four of each of those sizes and then you want to go and get them all stuck down so I'll do the ring that other piece in a minute let's do these stick to this so these two are going here and this is why also you don't want to stick this piece down here because that these will go underneath they need to be able to sit underneath like so so make sure you do not glue over these two edges it needs to be able to have that effect that's the whole point of the card okay so I'm going to stick down these two on here and those two on the back okay so that's that all stuck down so you can see now it looks really nice closed on that back with the gatefold and then you can see it's starting to come through now on that bit and then it all sits nicely this also reinforces it because if you imagine I've got my strong card stock anyway then I've got two white mats on each side of that one piece and then two layers of card stock as well so that's a really strong little kind of you know the panels there so it will really hold your card up nicely okay so going back to this one here which I said was five and a half so you need to set your compass at two and three quarters to get that same size as me and then I'm going to have it try and have it so that it looks like it's kind of continued on from the back piece there it's going to go in like so you can see now it comes together but I want to have the same one for inside as well so I'm going to do that one with you you can see here because this one you have to cut the sides there straight see so that again it doesn't so on the back you want it to cut you want to cut it so it doesn't interfere with the score line whereas on the front you don't you want it to overhang so I'm choosing this one here and I already have this set as if it was a compass so this will be from this middle here it'll be two and three quarters okay but you will have your compass and you'll just go around obviously do that so I'm going to bring this one in here I like to try and make sure I get I don't waste too much of my paper that's okay and then you just move it around and the reason I brought this one as I mentioned when I used it in other tutorials obviously give yourself room I'll put all that in the way there is because the cutting system is brilliant and I still use it as you can see but it only gives you those two sizes then two on the other circle and two on the other so you've only got six sizes whereas this I can move this dial to as many sizes as I like so that's where I liked it so there you go now I've got that so this one's going to go on the front like so flip it over and then continuing on this one a bit of that one actually is going to go inside like so now it literally just overhangs a little bit so I think I did end up doing these slightly smaller than that one to kind of eliminate it but what I would say all you need to do do you know it's literally just on the score line so maybe just go in a little bit further problem is you don't want a huge it looked a bit odd I didn't want a huge great big border of green so all I'm going to do from my pencil and ruler make sure you've got a nice border with it and then I'm just going to line it up with the score line come out a little bit in fact I'm going to come out I'm going to come out this far here so I'm actually cutting the side of my circle out just over one eighth of an inch so I'm just thinking just to kind of give that even green amount you'll see what I'm talking about I'm mumbling to myself right now but I'm thinking whilst filming I won't cut this bit out because I think it's good for you to see there we go so if I just bring that up you see the pencil mark that I've done there so I've come in about a quarter quarter of an inch yeah just over just under but I what I want to do so if I cut this now do that one as well obviously if you're not using a directional paper like myself it would probably be a bit easier I've had to make sure that all lines up but now when I put that back in I've just tried to make it look like I've got that even green showing down here as well okay so play around you can see you saw what I did there it's pretty straightforward um but it just it's doing those little things it again it just I always keep saying this word finish but it will finish your card and make it look that more professional that they see that you've you know you've taken the time to do that so yeah so I would say whatever you've got your gap being here you just want to try and continue that around even though it's a straight flat kind of side so I'm going to get both of these now stuck down okay so that's all stuck down I ended up going um vertical with these ones instead of horizontal I just thought they looked good going opposite to the ones at the back there so that's the front again it's really strong now it stands up really nicely and then the back with the gatefold opens up to really nice inside so it's now just up to you with your decoration so you want to do another circle drop down again and do another white circle and stamp happy birthday which I'm going to do in a minute so I would suggest again you can if you're using the cutting system just bring in the other two sizes I would just use the next size down the medium and just go around the outside of that one although maybe I wouldn't on this just because I think that I'm going to lose loads of that print but then it depends how big you want your area to write your message and stamp and so on so it's entirely up to you but if you do use this one I probably will actually this is the four and a half one and again if you're going to have your compass set I would say what's that one there then we're looking at two inches so you'd have a four inch diameter circle that's about yeah that was four and a half isn't it so again two and a quarter or two you see what I can do so it's very easy to just kind of do then all the late the extras yourself I have got my decoupage piece here which I love I just think that's so cute got all that and I've just layered it all up if you're not familiar with decoupage decoupage just means layers so you've got decoupage with using tissue paper and you layer up all the tissue paper or neuter paper and you cover all kinds of things that's one form of decoupage the other form is this and you just layer up all these beautiful images so that is going to go right in the middle and then I have got all these little bits that also come in that little decoupage pack they're all kind of bits from other ones you always get extras but I want to put something like yum for maybe coming down there and I want to have so sweet maybe up here something like that so I just want to recreate this kind of scene and I'm going to bring in maybe the same color as well and I'm going to get that hot glued down so there you have it guys two really nice disc fold cards I'm super super pleased with how these have turned out I'm not I'm going to leave that as it is because they are still drawing but again if I just bring that up there and I like that you can have it open more like that I think that's a really really good look as well like so I think it looks I think it looks awesome and I've already got more ideas how to evolve this into another style as well so yeah my mind is buzzing right now so I hope I've inspired you hope you give it a go remember to share it on my facebook page I love seeing all the comments and the messages that you send me and I do reply to them at all so until next time if you've enjoyed today please give me a thumbs up and subscribe to my channel to see more thanks for watching bye