Hey everyone, this is Dan with another episode of my Moderna and BioNTech videos. In the last couple of days, the words started to go around that there is a new strain of COVID virus found in South Africa which is supposed to be more contagious than a Delta variant. The new strain has been named by the World Health Organization as the Omicron variant. Today, the stock price of Moderna shot up by 20% and the price of BioNTech went up by 14% on this news. Dow Jones, S&P and Nasdaq all went down by more than 2% each today. Travel stocks also dropped a lot. It's beginning to look like the start of the pandemic crash all over again. Is it time to load up on Moderna and BioNTech and sell all the other stocks? I believe the recovery of Moderna and BioNTech is justified, as I have predicted in the last few weeks. The drop in the rest of the market, however, might be overblown. I will explain why in the next few minutes. First of all, let's look at my price predictions from the last time I posted my fundamental analysis of Moderna and BioNTech, which was November 9, 2021. In that video, I predicted that Moderna would be at $270 a share and BioNTech at $300 a share by the end of January 2022. When I made the prediction, Moderna closed at $236 and BioNTech at $216. As of today, Moderna closed at $329, certainly moving in the right direction and it actually overshot my target, and BioNTech closed at $348, also overshot my target. Will I be posting new price targets? Of course I will, I will talk about that in the next few minutes. Let's look at the price movements of Moderna and BioNTech in the last few months. The candlestick chart is Moderna, the yellow line is BioNTech, the blue line here is QQQ and the purple line is SPY. As you can see during this period, Moderna went up by 87%, BioNTech went up by 70%, definitely very impressive and SPY and QQQ went up by about 17%. Definitely both Moderna and BioNTech outperformed the general market. You can see how much the stock prices of Moderna and BioNTech have been affected by developments with regard to COVID, COVID vaccine and any COVID treatments. For example, here in the beginning of October, when the news came out that Moderna developed a COVID treatment pill, Moderna and BioNTech certainly dropped a lot because of that news. And then when FDA approved BioNTech for people ages 5 to 11, we see a small pick up, but then after that the news came out that Pfizer also developed a COVID treatment pill and that's when Moderna really tanked here. BioNTech went down as well and then when the FDA approved the Moderna booster shot for people who are 18 years of age and older, we see a small pick up here in the Moderna price. And then as of today, when the news broke out about this new variant from South Africa, the prices of both Moderna and BioNTech shot up. I've been sharing some of my trades with my Twitter subscribers and I mentioned that I bought more BioNTech shares on November 5th and November 8th around this period of time and also some on November 15th when BioNTech was starting to recover. And certainly I've been seeing quite a bit of profit actually as of today, when I saw the price of both Moderna and BioNTech shooting up almost vertically, I sensed that there will be a short-term pullback and that's why I sold some of my BioNTech shares at 50% profit. At this point, I still hold some Moderna shares as well as BioNTech shares, which I'll hold for the long term because I'm bullish on the two companies. There's news about the new variant and because of this new news development, the US and European Union are restricting flights from several African countries, including South Africa and Botswana, Belgium, Israel and Hong Kong, because they also discovered people who contracted the virus, who traveled from South Africa to Belgium, Israel and Hong Kong. There's this scientist by the name of Fygo Ding, who has been tweeting in the last few days about this new variant and he's been saying that it's probably 500% more competitively infectious than the Delta variant. Although this has not been peer reviewed, this is certainly getting a lot of attention. For example, it was reported by Newsweek today, which quoted the tweet from Dr. Fygo Ding. This is the FA announcement on November 19th about the approval of the Moderna and BioNTech booster shots for people who are 18 years of age and older. I created this summary table showing the different stages of approval for the leading vaccine. If you look at the fights of BioNTech vaccine, the first two shots have been approved in the US for people five years of age and older, EU five years of age and older, booster shots approved in the US for people 18 years of age and older, EU also 18 years of age and older. Moderna, the first two shots in the US approved for people 18 years of age and older, EU 12 years and older, booster shot 18 years of age and older, and EU 18 and older. Whereas Johnson Johnson, which is a one shot vaccine, has been approved in the US for people 18 and older, EU 18 and older, and booster shot in the US 18 and older. I have not seen any approval in the EU for Johnson and Johnson booster shot yet, as for AstraZeneca, which has not been approved in the US. It's a two shot vaccine and it's been approved in the EU for people who are 18 and older, and I have not seen any news about booster shots for AstraZeneca. If you compare all these leading vaccines, the Pfizer BioNTech vaccine seems to be enjoying a little bit of advantage because the age coverage is broader for the Pfizer BioNTech vaccine than the other leading vaccines because it goes down all the way to people who are five years old, whereas the other vaccines only cover down to about 18 years of age or 12 years of age. If you like what you've seen so far, I'd like to encourage you to click the like, subscribe and notification button that will enable you to receive notification when I publish my next video. It'll also encourage me to create more videos like this in the future. Thank you very much. Let's continue. This is a CDC announcement on November 3rd, saying that people can mix and mash their booster shots. And then the news came out that this company, AcuGen, is seeking European and FDA approval for their COVID vaccine designed for people who are ages 2 to 18. And the AcuGen vaccine is supposed to be 93.4% effective. Interestingly, AcuGen is not seeking approval for adult use of the vaccine only for children. And then Novavax in the meanwhile secured approval from the Indonesian government. The Novavax vaccine is supposed to be 90% overall effective and 100% effective against severe illness. And that's pretty competitive performance figure compared to the vaccines from Moderna and BioNTech. That's why we'll be tracking Novavax very carefully in the near future. There have been quite a few COVID treatments announced. They have affected the stock prices of Moderna and BioNTech as well as we have seen in the charts that we showed a few minutes ago. For example, Pfizer's pill is supposed to be 90% effective against death or hospitalization and so far has not been approved anywhere yet, but they're actively seeking approval, of course. And we don't know the price yet. Merck, the treatment originally was announced to be 50%, but the most recent data showed that it's only 30%. So this is not any threat to Moderna and BioNTech. It's been selling for $700 per treatment as being approved only in the UK. Regeneron, their treatment is an injection, 71% effective. The treatment is about $1,250. It's being approved in the US, EU, and UK. Eli Lilly, their treatment, again, is administered by injection. It's supposed to be 87% effective. The price is about the same with Regeneron at about $1,250 per treatment and it's being approved in the US. Overall, it's nice, I believe, for humanity to have these COVID treatments, but I don't believe the treatments will be in direct competition with the Moderna vaccine or the COVID vaccine. If anything, the rich and developed nations, such as the US and the EU countries, will most likely use the COVID treatments as a second line of defense instead of using them as substitute for the COVID vaccines. In the meanwhile, Moderna has been experiencing a little headwind recently. That's why the price of Moderna dropped more than BioNTech and one of the reasons is because Moderna is supposedly causing younger males to have heart inflammation and medical terms are myocarditis and pericarditis. And because of this concern, several countries including Sweden, Denmark, Finland, Norway, France, and Germany have advised against the use of the Moderna vaccine on younger males. In the meanwhile, Moderna has been defending their positions and defending their results rigorously. They cited data showing that the Moderna vaccine is more effective than the BioNTech vaccine against COVID. In the meanwhile, they do admit that the number of cases for heart inflammation is a little bit higher, 13.3 out of 100,000 cases for Moderna versus 2.7 cases out of 100,000 for Pfizer. But 13.3 out of 100,000 is really a very low ratio, especially from what I understand heart inflammation can be treated with regular protocols. Hopefully Moderna will overcome this problem, and then we'll see Moderna's price going up a lot faster in the near future. Let's look at the most recent daily COVID cases in a few key areas. First of all, the United States. As we can see that we have the second wave, which happened around July timeframe. And then after the rollout of the booster shots, it's finally reducing. But there's a little bit of a resurgence here. So that's concerning. That means we definitely will need to have a lot more booster shots. And then if you look at Germany, which is representative of the European Union, the picture doesn't look good. The new cases are shooting up. And now they are just rolling out a booster shot. And hopefully they'll get that under control. If you look at Israel, they roll out the booster shots a couple of months ahead of United States and the rest of the world. As you can see, they have been able to control the situation a lot better. I think that will be the pattern the rest of the developed nations will follow. And that's why I don't think the whole world is collapsing. And we're not confronting the same situation like back in February of 2020 at the start of the pandemic. We are at the much better shape now than back in 2020. And that's why I don't think the market crash is justified. However, we will continue to need more COVID vaccines, including, of course, the Moderna vaccine and the BioNTech vaccine. That's why I'm bullish on the two stops for the long term. If you look at South Africa, where the new Obicron strain comes from, so far, we don't see an explosion of new cases yet. And this chart is just downloaded today. Although we see a little bit of uptake here. And I believe this new virus strain will be manageable, especially with the rapid mRNA vaccine development process. And also the rigorous travel restrictions already imposed by the United States and the European countries, as well as the rest of the world. It is, I believe, a manageable situation that'll cause the sales of more vaccines or even newer vaccines later on specifically designed to counter the new variants. But I don't think it'll cause the entire world economy to crash. And that's why I believe the sell of today's overgrown. If you look at worldwide, yes, we do see another wave here that needs to be contained and controlled. And that's why the entire world will need more vaccine shots. If you look at the US market today, S&P went down by 2.27%. Dow Jones went on my 2.53%. NAS that went down by 2.23%. I believe that's overgrown because new variants can be controlled like what's being happening in Israel, including the Omicron variant, either with the existing booster shots and vaccines or with a new vaccine that will be developed by BioNTech and or Moderna. In the last video that I published, Moderna BioNTech explained why I believe the two stocks will recover. And of course, what happened today proved my points. So I don't want to go through every single bullet point, but the most important considerations are that the COVID pills are not really competition against the Moderna vaccine or the COVID vaccine. And also the rapid development process for the mRNA technology will be able to allow Moderna and BioNTech to develop any new vaccines to counter the Omicron variant as well as any other variants in the future. If you look at today's price changes for the various pharmaceutical companies involved in producing COVID vaccines or treatment, BioNTech certainly went up quite a bit, 14%. Eli Lilly, in spite of the COVID pill, went down 0.62%. Merck also went down by 3.79%. Moderna certainly went up very impressively, 20.57%. Novavax, with their vaccine being approved by Indonesia and probably assumed by other countries, went up by 8.95%, which is pretty impressive. Akogen went down 9%. That's not good for the company. Pfizer went up by 6%. Of course, Pfizer is marketing the vaccine in a joint venture with BioNTech. Regeneron went down a little bit by 0.75%. Looks like the market is favoring the vaccines and not so much the COVID treatment at this point. Let's look at the evaluation of the two companies. In my last video, I showed a detailed calculation of how I arrived at the target price of 270 for Moderna by the end of January and the target price of 300 by the end of November next year. In light of what developed in the last few days, I am going to increase the number of doses sold by Moderna from 1.1 billion doses to 1.5. With that, I arrived at the price range between $253 a share to $392 a share from 2021 to 2023. From that range, I decided to set a target of $370 a share by the end of February 2022 from Moderna. For BioNTech, in my November 9th video, I showed the calculations to arrive at $300 a share by the end of January 2022 and $400 a share by the end of November 2022. Based on what happened in the last few days, I'm adjusting my price target to $400 a share by the end of February 2022, which is about three months from now. It's still from this range, except I'm taking a more aggressive approach as far as doing my price target estimate for BioNTech. I'm comparing here the analyst's opinions from November 9th to today, November 26th. The price went up from $236 to $329. For Moderna, my target went from the short term target $270, long term target $300 to $370, which will be achieved by the end of February 2022. Yahoo Business maintained their ratings overall. TipRanks.com maintained their whole rating, same high target. Average target went down a little bit from $310 to $298. Low target is the same at $86. CN Money maintained its buy rating and also keeping the high, medium and low targets. Low is never near. Downgraded the fundamental rating a little bit from B to C, although the overall rating is still an A, which is a strong buy. For BioNTech, the price certainly went up from $226 to $348 and my target was short term $300, long term $400. Now I'm setting my target at $400 a share to be achieved by the end of February 2022, within three months. Yahoo Business maintained their whole rating. The high rating went down a little bit from $450 to $447. Average rating went down a little bit from $325 to $313. Low rating went up actually from $153 to $178. Not a lot of changes here. TipRanks.com maintained their moderate buy rating and revised their average target price down a little bit from $336 to $307 and also lowered their low target from $230 to $180. CN Money maintained their whole rating and lowered their high target from $441 to $427. Lowered the medium target from $339 to $310 and increased their low target from $151 to $174. Low is never near. Upgraded actually BioNTech from an overall B to A rating, definitely a strong buy and improved the quantitative rating from B to A. If you compare my target to the analyst's targets, my targets are pretty much between their medium or average target and high target. Let me recap my price forecast. My target price for Moderna is $370 and BioNTech at $400 by the end of February 2022, about 3 months from now. As of today, Moderna closed at $329.63 and BioNTech closed at $348, so both of them have quite a bit of room to move up. What are my strategies? As I've done in the last few months, I've been holding some Moderna and BioNTech shares for a long time because I'm bullish about the two companies and I've been swing trading the rest of the shares. As I have mentioned to my Twitter subscribers, I bought BioNTech shares on November 8th and November 15th and I sold some of the BioNTech shares today, November 26th, and realized a 50% gain. In general, I would sell when the price fails to get support from a critical support level or when it pulls back from a resistance level or when adverse news develops. And I'll buy when the price bounces up from a support level or when it breaks above a resistance level or when positive news develops. For example today, when the price pulls back from a resistance level from BioNTech, that's when I sell to lock in my profit. And I'll be mindful of the broad market as well as any news related to the two companies. I'll be updating my subscribers by way of Twitter messages. I'd like to remind you to subscribe to my Twitter account, which is DanMarketL, in addition to subscribing to my YouTube channel. For example, on November 15th, I tweeted that I bought more BioNTech shares and today I tweeted that the new variant fear might be overblown because of daily new cases in South Africa do not show a new wave of infection. And then later on today, I tweeted that my trailing stop code limit order was triggered and I sold a batch of BioNTech shares at 50% gain. So that was a pretty good day for me, fortunately. If you like what you've seen so far, I'd like to remind you again to click the like, subscribe and notification button. And as usual, I would very much appreciate your comments, questions, and suggestions. At this point, I'd like to remind you that I'm not a financial advisor. I share my stock trading strategies and analyses for educational and entertainment purposes only. If you want to buy or sell stocks, you should make your own decisions and you should definitely consult with your financial advisors before you do so. That's about wraps up my video for now. I will chat with you again in the next few days. In the meanwhile, I'd like to wish you the very best of luck with your financial investments.


a presentation of TFNN. The Tom O'Brien Show is produced every business day. Tom takes your phone calls toll-free at 1-877-927-6648 internationally at<PHONE_NUMBER>. Let's go to our man, Alan Homo-Sasa. What's going on, brother? It's, isn't it wonderful? I went ahead and invested in your Tiger Dollars. And I went ahead and got your gold report for a year and also your call letter and stuff like that. And I got over 50% return in one day, not counting everything else. But I just want to thank you. Tom's not perfect, but he tells you how to put your stops in and keep your losses small. You can take your small losses, but then all of a sudden you'll be like Dave Root and you'll hit a home run.  OK, brother, you're awesome, man. Thank you. Now, Tom O'Brien. Well, welcome, folks. This is Tom O'Brien of TFNN. We have five days a week. We go seven hours a day. We go 24 hours a day on the internet at tfnn.com. Always remember, folks, whatever you think about, you bring about whatever. You focus on growth. Hope everyone's having a great day, safe day. Let's make it a great night, folks, and a great week. Window dressings and spades. Look at it, baby. Always do your best. Practice makes the master. By doing your best over and over, you can master the art of transportation. By doing your best, the habits of misusing your word, taking things personally and making assumptions will become weaker and less frequent with time. Otherwise, let's take a look at it out here. We have the now industrials trading up 296. Nasdaq's up 261. S&P's up 53. Gold contract down $23.10, trading at 19.16 an ounce. We have silver off 27 cents, $24.92 an ounce, light sweet crude off a buck 54, $104.41 a barrel, notes and bonds. The 10-year note, up 16 ticks, trading $1.2207, 30 year up a full point, plus three ticks at $148.23, and $Kingdala. Kingdala's down 700 ticks, trading $98.391. Euro is 110, yen is out here at $122.83, and the British pound is trading at $130 to $1 US dollar. iPhone number is<PHONE_NUMBER>. Give us a call, folks. One note's going on in your world. In the world of the S&Ps, let's take a look at it. And what do you have? Well, bottom line, we have an ABC structure up in the S&P, an ABC structure up in the Nasdaq, and you talk about straight line moves, man. It's a straight line move. The ABC structure is a straight line move. Now, what you have here also, folks, is this. Now, watch this. This is how bizarre this is. On an ABC structure, A to B equals C to D. The A to B leg, okay, straight line move, most times the B to C move, folks, is a huge consolidation, drives everyone crazy, goes back and forth, back and forth. My point is, in this particular case, it wasn't a consolidation. It was a slight pullback with an acceleration up again. Okay, so now what does that mean? It means a couple of different things, and this is gonna be really intriguing watching how this shakes up. So the spy right now is 59 million chairs. Yesterday we did 58, so the spy's gonna do some real volume. We got a window dressing, you gotta remember that, okay? So this is the beginning of window dressing. This is gonna go over to Monday. So you get volume coming in. We have a price projection of 478, and right now you have 461. 478's almost the high. So what the S&P's telling me, actually, because we didn't consolidate much, this will blow some minds. This is gonna, we'll see what is gonna be a blow off top, but the bottom line, my take is that it's gonna spike this top, meaning that it's gonna make another all-time high and really blow some minds. That's in the S&P. Now, and the X100's different. It's still in an ABC structure up, but it's in a much lower position when we do the A to B equals C to D. We are at 391, and I believe, let me do it this way first. That's 390 right there. Okay, so this is cool. You can see, if you're watching Tiger TV, right, you can see where I put this line coming across. That's 390, and the projection's 391. So what I expect you're gonna see is that as you see the S&P spike the high, this will try to get into the high, but you can see when you lay this out, man, this is, it's saying that the NDX100 is not going to be able to basically bust this higher level. And it's gonna stop in its tracks when it gets into ice. This is actually ice, okay? Ice is where you basically consolidate it for a bit, and when it ended up happening, and the NASDAQ NDX100, from November 3rd, going all the way over to January 5th, we were basically going back and forth. When we broke down, that was a major breakdown, okay? So it's gonna be really cool watching this and seeing how this baby shakes out. Intraday today, now this is where, if you really understand the ABC structures, and the more that you do them, the more you have confidence in the folks.  They brought the market back intraday, but guess what? That's all that is, and when you take a look at it, you're gonna see how light the volume was on these pullbacks, man. You first pulled back this morning, had some juice in it. That juice was, that was a 10-20, so watch this. A 10-20, that level came down, went into a swing point from earlier this morning. That had volume of 46 million, 46,000 contracts. Now watch this, though. Then you went higher, then you came back down and tried to get lower with 21,000 contracts. Now what we're doing is we're busting the highs. You had a high volume spike at 46-23, we're gonna blow by it. That's how this thing, more than like, is gonna run coming into the close, okay? So it's pretty wild, there's no doubt about it. Okay, so let's go over to the gold contract because they basically took this gold contract apart as the dollar was going lower. So GCJ, they pulled this baby up, and what you're gonna see is that you got 118,000 contracts, which is anemic contract volume, by the way, and the way down. We weren't having a lot of volume on the way up, but on the way down that was anemic, and I suspect what we did, we broke the B point, and this could have been an ABC down, man, okay? The dollar saved us. So you will go, you did 118,000 contracts, going into 195,000. Bottom line, not on ABC structure down, what you have, you got a rejection of lower price, you have light of volume, top side once again, and this is still an ABC structure, up with a 25 to 2600 number. So it's pretty wild, there's no doubt about that. Okay, so let's go, we had a question about looking at the diamonds, and see if that's an ABC structure. Oh, this is gonna be interesting, this is gonna be today. So, well, we'll see. The diamonds might not get the volume, but I can do this another way. If the diamonds don't have the volume, you just wanna know whether the, when we come back, what I'll do is I'll, what you can do with the Dow Industrial is I'll, this is the way you should do the Dow, actually, not doing the DIA, because the DIA, it trades, but not as liquid as it should be. We'll do the volumes, the major volumes in the Dow Industrial's, see where that swing point is. Dow Industrial's right now at 307, Nasdaq's up 265, S&P's up 53, stay right there folks, come right back. Are you looking for a way to consistently add winning trades to your portfolio? Tom O'Brien is here to help. Tom O'Brien has been successfully trading markets for over 30 years. A frequent contributor to TD Ameritrade Network and CNBC, Tom O'Brien founded TFNN over 20 years ago to help educate investors just like you. 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This powerful suite of tools leverages instant trade filtering and strategy formulation to show you emerging trades before they happen.  Level the playing field with the TAS Profile Scanner, which you can find under the services tab at TFNN.com. Sign up today. Sharpening your skills as an investor is like getting better at playing a musical instrument. You have to practice, sure, but you also need excellent instruction from experts at TFNN, you'll get advice and guidance from the authority and technical market analysis, and it's not just dry, tedious text either. TFNN airs live financial content streamed live on TFNN.com and TFNN's YouTube channel with Tiger TV, live every market day from 8.30 a.m. to 4.00 p.m. Eastern. For free, each host is an experienced trader and gives their take on the market while taking calls and questions live from around the world. From the moment the market opens until the closing bell sounds, Tiger TV has eight different shows with expert hosts to help you make the right moves with your money. Watch online at TFNN.com or on TFNN's YouTube channel and become the investor you were born to be, TFNN. Educating investors. Toll free at 1-877-927-6648 internationally at<PHONE_NUMBER>. Welcome back, folks of Dow. Dow Industries right now are up at 304 and NASDAQ is up 266, S&Ps are up 55. So inside the Dow Industries, folks, what you have is this. And I suspect it looks like we're gonna get the volume. So you're breaking the B point today inside the Dow. That's how this thing would shake up. And then what you would do is you go back to the 22nd and take a look at what the volume was in the 22nd. Now the volume on the 22nd inside the NYSE was 22nd? Yeah, 22nd, 1.1 million, 1.1 billion. So we'll see whether we can get it. It's not bad. Right now you're at 597 to 600 and that's early to be at that level. So we might get it. Inside the IWM, the small caps, bottom line, you do have an ABC structure up. It's gonna have the volume today. You're up five and a half dollars. You're breaking the B point. That's a price projection of 219 in the volume of more than 24 million. We got 21, we're gonna do it. So, you know, there are cooking, man. Let's get over to our man, Mr. Basil Chapman, as we do each and every Tuesday at 20 past the hour. And don't forget, folks, Basil has an outstanding show here every trading day, 10 to 11 Eastern standard time, also has a great newsletter, The Opening Call. Now it's very easy to get The Opening Call, folks, come over to our website at TFNN. You're gonna see it right under Featured Content.  We put the targets then up. I got it, okay, one second. You go into the newsletters, and you're gonna see The Opening Call, folks, right on your left-hand side. You just hit that button. You hit Subscribe. You can get The Opening Call for one month for $149. You get it for six months, for 6.95. It's the savings of $199 at 22%, and you get it for a year for $593, which is, you get it for a year for $11.95, which is the savings of $593 or 33%. All come with 38 Money Back Guarantee. In Basil's case, he's got about 10 to 11 great webinars out there. You wanna understand how to ride this wave, folks, and ride this market, check it out. Great newsletter.  Hi, John. How are you? I'm doing good, yourself? I'm good, considering what happened in the two weeks that we've been looking at since I got a by-signal on the Dow down to about just under $33,000, this is remarkable, and as you know, in Chapman Wave, we're always looking for a by-signal to be upgraded to a by-mode, and that implies at least four higher peaks going to a leg D, to a peak D. And here we are with a height to that of $35,372, we're a little under that right now. The last height that was made back on January the 5th at $36,952 was a peak D, so I'm always very wary when we get there. But one of the things that I think is quite fascinating is that you and I last week spoke about all the different divergences, positive and negative, and even within sectors, they're really mixed signals, and then this is a period where if you can identify the tide, I always talk about the tide, that is, if you can identify whether you're going up to high tide or you're coming down to low tide, that's really important because it allows you, when you're trading with the tide, if you are wrong, you're wrong just momentarily because the tide is going to get you back on track. So what's really important here is that, although this is a fantastic move from the 32,272 low back around about the 24th of February, in terms of the wave form going to a peak A, then a B and a C and a D, normally you would see a much bigger move in each of the legs to the upside. So what I'm very impressed, it's the monthly chart in all of these instances that's going to be really important. How to be closed Thursday at four o'clock, because you know between now and then is a lifetime in this market. So far, I like what I see, everything's moving just the way we wanted it to, but there are a lot of extraneous events that could change the trajectory. So when you were talking about, I've got here, and I haven't shown you this for a while, I've got this, there's a Chapman wave, automated support and resistance levels. And you can see here in the Dow, 35,561 is the next level of resistance. Over here on the left, you can see there were 35,900 and 35,700 and then we turn around. Even at the top, we made that top at 36,000, right there, 36,952, you had two resistance levels just above it. So how we get above in the next, not just the next few days going to the end of the month, going for about two weeks, if there's any chance of the Dow getting into the 35,800, 35,900, that is really considering what, and this is what I've been talking to you about for some time, to consider all the things, the negative things that this is including oil just record highs, a week's going to record highs, and the war that's going on, the interest rate factor, look at this, the Dow, 36,952 is the monthly chart, make a peak E, we go under the 14 period moving average, and at this very moment, which is what, 3,23 PM Eastern time on Tuesday the 29th, so far this candle looks good, but what's even more impressive, and I think you alluded to that a little earlier on, that the S&P, look, the S&P 48,18 down to 41,14, and here we are at 46,30, I don't know who could have thought of that when you were coming down and just two and a half weeks ago when things were looking so ugly that so far this month we could have this kind of a mood, so I'm not arguing, we've only got long positions, we actually have a couple of very low price stocks that I've seen besides the triple digit positions that we would have, I also want to have single digits because they can give you very nice percentage gains if you're in the right sector at the right time, so we've got one that's up about 5% today, so it's very selective, some stocks, when you look at some of the brokerage area, not all of them are participating, and I usually like to think that the market really moving sharply would have the brokerage area moving very, very well, so there are some divergences, but I like what I'm seeing, if you look at the daily chart of the Dow, the MACD is very strong, it hasn't even started to turn down yet, stochastic's flat at 97.61, that is fabulous, that's superb action, and as long as it stays flat and holds there, that's a big positive, on-bundles volume is lagging somewhat, so that either is a very big positive because you have to wait for this blue line, the on-bundles volume to go all the way to the top to get oversold, that would be a big positive, or it's just telling you to be a little careful, so at this point I'm thinking of it as just confirming that we are moving higher, so the day, the nine period is over the 14, we weigh above the 200 period moving average, there are a lot of things to like here, and under these conditions to actually have this kind of a rally for any of the bears, this must be an absolute shocker because- That's quick for sure, straight line move, man. Yeah, but not only that, in a certain way, they correct in thinking negatively, but they're not correct in saying it impacts the market negatively, because the market right now is actually shrugging off all the bad news, I think that that's usually a very good sign.  And the other thing is in Chapman Way methodology, we're always looking for leg D in a buy signal to buy mode, and this is still a leg B, a Pp in the S and P, and that says we should somehow go about 48, 18, 62, and that would be a very big positive for the monthly chart, that will start leg C, and it should still be a D. Right, baby, right, I love it. Guys, thank you so much, look forward to show tomorrow. Thanks, man. Stay right there, folks, we'll come right back. Are you having fun trading the markets, but having trouble finding like-minded individuals to discuss your trading and investment ideas with? Become an Apex predator in the trading markets and join the Tiger's Den Trading Room, only at tfnn.com. 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Using this first-of-its-kind program, The Art of Timing the Trade Charts allows you to scan thousands of stocks for Fibonacci formation setups, including Gartley's, ABC's, Butterflies, and much more. The Art of Timing the Trade Charts is designed to help you when scouring the markets for stocks just beginning to form the trading patterns that many investors spend days, weeks, or even months searching to find. And right now, we're offering licenses available at only $79 a month. We are so confident that you're gonna love this new charting software that will even give you a 30-day unconditional money-back guarantee. Don't miss out on this incredible new piece of software. Get your copy of The Art of Timing the Trade Charts today by visiting tfnn.com. This segment is brought to you by Think or Swim. For more information, just click the Think or Swim banner on the front page of tfnn.com. Welcome back, folks, Dow. Dow Industries right now trading up $319. You get the NASDAQ up $279, S&Ps are up $57. You get game out here, folks, in a big way. Now, folks, as you come over to tfnn, you are gonna see right on the front page, okay, under featured content, the Tiger's Den Trading Room. This is really cool what we'll put together here, okay? What we have is this, okay?  We used to do it through HotCom. Bottom line, we were the one of the first ones out there with this years ago, right? Bottom line, we think we get a much better deal now. We have a room. It's only a dollar a year, okay? A dollar a year, bottom line, great community of tigers and tigeresses. Lot of great ideas out here. Lot of great charts, it's very easy to use, okay? We'd love you to check it out. So come to the front page of tfnn, hit the button. You'll really enjoy yourself. But not only that, the bottom line is that the markets are hot enough, folks, okay? This Tiger's Den generates ideas on a continual basis. You decide ones you like, you don't like, but the bottom line is that you have a lot of bright tigers and tigers in there doing the work. We're all in there. It's a cool deal. What's really cool about it is this, so check this out. Before, you just have to be on your computer, right? Now, guess what? Everything's on your phone, your computer, your tablet. Doesn't matter what it is, check it out. You'll have a blast. And more than like, you're gonna make money. Well, your probability, let's put it this way. I'd say your probability goes higher because of the amount of traders that we actually have in there. You can decide what ideas you want or don't want, but I suspect that you're gonna basically do better, have more sustainability and more consistency. So let's get over here.  Let's go take a look at deer. So deer, deer, here, we pulled this up the other day. Deer is in a monster ABC structure on the way up. Now, deer's getting taken apart today, down 20 bucks. Okay, so we, let me see which one I had here on this. This is a weekly or monthly, I think it's a monthly ABC up. It's a monthly, it'd be great. Yeah, it is a monthly, okay, cool. Okay, so the way to look at this, your B point on this is, okay, so your B point is that like 392 to 400. Now, that sounds like, okay, which one are you gonna pick? Well, it really doesn't matter, folks, okay? The most conservative way to pick this is that you say it's 392, there's two little spikes there, that's what's going on. So right now we're trading at 412. So if you're not in this, okay, the way to deal with this, this may turn into a complex ABC, we'll see. You let it get down to that level. That's how I trade this right now. You're down 20 bucks. What brought this thing down? Let's see what's happening here. Okay, so you got, invest a business daily name stock as a sell. Okay, there you go, that's enough to push it down. I'm not quite sure what that is, but bottom line, that's all right, that's good actually, okay? Now we'd have, you have volume today though, so I wouldn't bang on it today. Bottom line, you get tomorrow, you get somewhere down in this 399 area, yeah, and you have a contraction of volume, I'd be all over it. That's the way that you want to trade this baby out. Let's see, then we're going to look at Devron, DVN, or that, I mean, if you're going to get Devron and buy it right now, it's down 10 cents, you got high volume highs out here at 63. And is this the way I trade Devron right now is that you're already rejected lower price. And what you're looking for, I'd put the stock right under today, which is pretty cool, 57, 66, put it under there, you're looking for this to break highs, that's what you're looking at Devron. If we get over, let's go take a look at the oil patch because what ends up happening all, there's no doubt that when we were just looking at the aspect of Devron, it's the oil patch. Okay, so right now, you were down at $1.29, you have 367,000 contract traded, and you know, oil can go, this is a little consolidation. Oil can come down and test. Is that what it did today? One, that's 100. Yeah, that's what it did, interesting. Okay, but it tested with too much volume. I would just, you wouldn't necessarily have to wait on Devron. I think oil can pull back to $92.20 and basically not say a thing, meaning that it's still gonna go to a higher price. That's how that baby is set up right now. So, you know, the way that I would be looking at this market right now, this is something that you should wrap your head around, and this is what I've been talking about. These ABC structures inside the S&P and the NASDAQ folks are the best trades out there. That's the reality. There's very few times in the marketplace that you actually get a shot at the size of these and the deviance of these. And you know, I can understand, so my point is this, if you're going long stock, you should be looking basically just at the cues of the diamonds, because they still get more juice into them, and I put the stop under wherever they're trading right now, because what ends up happening is that the A to B is a straight line move, C to D is a straight line move. This is going to be a straight line move going all the way up, man. You know, this morning, what we had out here when you see this, right, let me bring this up, because this is applicable when you're bisecting and dissecting markets. Now, and this is something folks, you know, I just brought up the discord room. I was, I'm in that room all the time. I was in there this morning, okay? I'm always in there.  This market could be up two to 3% today, okay? This is at 7 o'clock this morning. Now, where I was getting that is right here. If you're watching Tiger TV right now, the correlations, okay, between the world are still there, and what we had out here is that last night, you know, the Asian markets, they were a little mixture, the CSI down, but the rest of them were up about 1%. In Europe, the bottom line in Europe, man, they were up two to 3% across the board. The footsie was only up eight tenths of 1%. Other than that, though, the bottom line is that they were moving beyond belief. And what ended up happening is that our markets weren't up that much. That is a great setup in order to basically get in trades because that first expansion, meaning in between the European markets and our markets, most of the time, that's where it goes. This is a one world market. Now, what's gonna be cool tonight is this. Now, I don't have the volumes yet, but let me show you something. Watch this. So when you put up the DAX, the DAX in Germany, this is taking a big point out today. I'll have the volume, but I don't have it right now. The bottom line is that if this is an ABC structure up also, then what you have is your probability gets much higher. That, guess what? That our ABC structures in the United States are gonna go to the highs. And you try to put as many pieces together as you can so that your probability of your trades are gonna be in the green versus the red. And this is definitely a trader's market right now. There's no doubt. I mean, it's a fast market. It's a cool market. It bounces. It hits the fib numbers. It does all the above. Dow Industries right now, up to 337. You get the magic up to 80 S&Ps up 58. Stay right there, folks. I'm right back. Are you in the market for buying or selling real estate in the Bay Area, including the surrounding St. Petersburg, Tampa, and Clearwater markets? Tiger Real Estate LLC is a firm that has extensive experience in the Tampa Bay Area. 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Visit directioninvestments.com slash biotech today. An investor should consider the investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses of the direction shares carefully before investing. The prospectus and summary prospectus contain this and other information about direction shares. To obtain a prospectus or summary prospectus, please contact direction shares at<PHONE_NUMBER>. The prospectus or summary prospectus should be read carefully before investing. An investment in the funds is subject to risk, including the possible loss of principal. The funds are designed to be utilized only by sophisticated investors such as traders and active investors. Distributor, Four Side Fund Services, LLC. Free at 1-877-927-6648. Internationally, at<PHONE_NUMBER>. Tom O'Brien. Welcome back, folks, or dows. Now it's up 317, now it's up 274. S&Ps are up 56. Let's go to our man, Robert in Kansas. Robert, what's going on, brother? Hey, Tom, thanks for taking my call. Sure, thanks for calling, man.  Hey, I have kind of a general market question, just kind of a bigger picture just to get the lay of the land and get your thoughts on it. So if we go back two or three weeks ago, kind of the thinking was is, hey, we should get a bounce and then it's gonna go revisit the lows and maybe lower and hey, I was all on board. That made sense to me. That's, I mean, that's what the charts were looking like, but now I'm kind of following that category of people that you said, well, this is blowing your mind. Well, it is, it's gone up much higher than I thought. Do you think that that's what we're, what you were talking about two or three weeks is off the table now and it's not gonna go back and revisit the lows and maybe break lower? Do you think now we're kind of in a, kind of a consolidation between the highs and lows or can you, can you take a picture? Yeah, that's a great question and I'm glad, I am so glad that you called and explained exactly what I did say because that's exactly what I said. And when I was saying that, it was blowing minds, but I felt like once it got going, I felt like, oh man, hey, we're gonna go. And so when the ABC structure came in, it's like, okay, we're gonna go too. But my take is that, no, this is a market that's in trouble, man.  There's gotta be people going in right now that saying, I can't believe this, okay? And then we're gonna see this thing. The first leg down after this can just, you know, I don't expect it will go lower than we went. But this would be the consolidation that's set up and it's a great consolidation. It's a monster consolidation, do you know what I'm saying? Yeah, so this is kind of what you were, two or three weeks ago, you were talking about that. And I don't know if it's a bear market or what. So I don't want to put labels on it, but let's just say it may trend down. You said it'll give you maybe two or three or give you a couple of few opportunities to get out and this may be that. Right, that's correct. Right. I'm in the camp that approximately seven or eight months from now we're gonna be in a good-sized recession. That's where I'm at. And I know- I think there's a lot of people who probably agree with you on that. I don't know, you know, there's a lot of people that don't. I mean, anecdotally, I'm talking to all, I build the friends and all this and I'm probably the only one that's bearish. I've just been doing this long enough, man, that if anyone thinks that you can go up on interest rates for, let's say four, four and a half percent, which I think is gonna happen. Inflation is raging so bad that you can't go up a quarter percent and quarter percent. That was not gonna do anything.  So if they- If I agree, they're gonna have to start probably doing 50 basis point increases and it's not, it doesn't, I mean, it would be the exception that they're able to orchestrate a soft landing without throwing us into a recession. I mean, that would be magic. Yeah. And then, now listen to this, now I'm gonna give you something that's even, that's a little bit deviant, okay? So, economy's in general, right? And the Fed in general, right? You know, they'll stretch it, stretch it, stretch it as long as they can, right? And then, when you can't stretch it any further, there's a train of thought, man, that's saying, okay, hold it, we gotta rewind this whole thing. And if that's where the question is that we gotta rewind it, they just might lay into a recession even though we know what they're saying, you know, we're gonna do it again, we're gonna do it again, we gotta do it on the side of that odd dollars don't get destroyed and then it starts over again, man.  Just naturally let it attrition, kind of waterfall off before they start selling it. No, no, no, they would not sell it.  They've said they're gonna let it fall off. So that's gonna fall off, but my take is that between the, you know, still picture, there was plenty of money that was put into the economy, right? More than we've ever seen for a long period of time. That money's starting to dwindle, okay? That money has been swapping hands, you know, going through the economy, bottom line. And I suspect in another seven or eight months, you know, when interest rates go higher, there's not gonna be as many people that, you know, can buy as many things which slows things down. And, you know, we'll see, you know, I can be totally wrong, man, but that's what I'm positioning for. Let's put it that way, you know? Okay, and then you're thinking, you call it window dressing, it's kind of another name, maybe fun buying as well. That's correct, yes. That will kind of, will that close out by the end of this week, early next week? Early next week. Yeah. Okay. And I think when we look at the markets, you know, the markets, you know, so deep and it's unbelievable. So, I suspect the S&P will probably blow its top, you know, get over the highs that NASDAQ won't get there.  Well, if we do, that's gonna be all about inflated prices. That even though that you have a higher number, you are not gonna be able to buy as much.  Inflation is 7.8%. What if it goes up to 12.5%? Well, these stock prices will go up because it's just a higher number. It doesn't mean that we can buy more, you know? I had a sort of twist in them. The counter would be they wouldn't, if it caused a recession, then it would pull, let the air out of the party. My take, and I remember the first time I ever heard this, you know how they say the Fed takes away the punch bowl? I really never knew what that really meant when I was 26, 27. And then, guess what? I did because they took the punch bowl away and I'm saying, what happened to him, man? It's true, you know, they take away the punch bowl. Everything that depends on larger monies, folks, okay? Depends on your signature. So if your signature doesn't get as much money in the marketplace, guess what? You can't be as productive. You're not gonna push as much through the marketplace. And then what you have, that's one side. The other side is that folks that have been too extended, okay, that's the whole thing when the tide starts going out who has a bathing suit on and who's naked, okay? And that's all real, man, you know? So it's gonna be a wild one, man. Hey, well, you have a great one. Thank you for taking my call. I have a great one, man. I have a safe one. And listen, folks, it's a tough call. That's the bottom, well, let's put it this way. The way that I look at this is that if I'm wrong, it doesn't matter because you always have to protect yourself and protect everything you have. And if it goes up higher, so what? Okay? If I'm right, the bottom line is that what ends up happening is that you have more opportunities that come.  Because the bottom line is that you can teach everyone what you can teach them. Going through the cycles and then understanding the fundamentals, whole different ball game, folks.  Come right back. Sharpening your skills as an investor is like getting better at playing a musical instrument. You have to practice, sure, but you also need excellent instruction from experts. At TFNN, you'll get advice and guidance from the authority and technical market analysis, and it's not just dry, tedious text either. TFNN airs live financial content streamed live on TFNN.com and TFNN's YouTube channel with Tiger TV, live every market day from 8.30 a.m. to 4.00 p.m. Eastern for free. Each host is an experienced trader and gives their take on the market while taking calls and questions live from around the world. 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The Tiger First mortgage program may be just the program for you. The Tiger First mortgage program pays 7% per year, paid monthly. For more information, you can call<PHONE_NUMBER>. That's<PHONE_NUMBER>. Don't forget, you can listen to TFNN live on your mobile device 24 hours per day. Go to TFNN.com and hit watch Tiger TV. That's TFNN.com and hit watch Tiger TV. Welcome back, folks. So, Dow is up 278, Nasdaq's up 234, S&P's are up 49. Couple great questions, let me answer them. One of them was the aspect, okay, so, you know, number one, we're going to highs, that's what I'm thinking, and then why do I think we're going back down? Because what we have here, folks, is this. Watch this, we bring this spy up, you have high-volume highs. High-volume lows, rather, with volume. See them? Low-volume high, low, high-volume lows. And when you get high-volume, so, what happens is this, they love to be tested. And where the confirmation will come, is how we hit this high. That's how the confirmation's going to come in. That is what would tell me what is going on, meaning, am I right in the context of where this whole baby's going? So, it's going to be intriguing, though. There's no doubt about it, man, you know. I don't think we're in an environment, though, that you want to be paying $50 and $60 to $1 of earnings, you know, but it's going to be intriguing, just in general. If we go take a look at the 10-year for a second here, what you're going to see, let me see. I'm going to put this up in generic, because to me, it looks like that we're going lower in a huge way, and this is the bounce, so you can take a look. If we put this, I'm going to put this on, I just put it on a monthly, so you're going to see the break number one, it was a monster break, okay? You know, and this is telling me that we're going to break the 117, you're at 122. If we break the 117, bottom line, we're going to be back to 104, and 104 was that 2007, you know, so this is going to get really intriguing watching how this whole thing shakes out. And I remember, you know, the bottom line, when Greenspan, you know, you know, it was before he brought Rage down because of 98 him and Ruben, the bottom line, they brought Rage down in the middle of the day, it's well, three o'clock in the afternoon, 315 to be exact, they brought him down to half a point, but prior to that, Greenspan went up on Rage's Aquata Point, like eight times in a row, like you just knew that every time, but guess what? Bang, that squeezed the market too, and then that really squeezed the market. Oh, you remember, folks, the back and Cloya hide out the boat, couldn't run you over, and thank God, there's always another trade. Health happens in prosperity, have a great night, have a safe night, come back and visit Tommy tomorrow morning, kicks us off, folks, nine o'clock, don't forget about Discord, come to our trading room, be in our community, man, it's an awesome community, man. Have a great one, folks.


Hello everyone. I'm Emily Anderson with Back Here Again for another year with the Bridging Program. We are having a day in the studio to get used to what the studio is like. So people have been sitting here being filmed. People have been filming with cameras and we've gotten a tour of the facility. Because students will be coming back when they are in their small groups next week. The five awesome heroes will be making a show and then in probably February another group will and then in May another group will. So we're kicking it off today with an interview which we often do and I am beginning this interview session and our guest today is Sephakor Komabu Pomiye. And she we are here today because well I met Sephakor when she put out an email. She was encouraging people to be in a book group for Judy Heumann's Made for Students Rolling Warrior. And that is an amazing biography of the late great disability activist Judy Heumann. So we first met. Sephakor encouraged the students, the bridging students two years ago to read the entire book. We read it again last year and now Sephakor has her own book. I'm able. And so today we're going to ask her some questions about this amazing book. Sephakor would you like to say anything to just describe the book right off? Thank you so much Emily. It's nice to see you again and to also talk about what we normally do. Yes I'm able is a life changing book that I have written about myself. Memoir as we say it. It's all about the journey that everybody with disability can connect to or every family with disability can connect to. So it is my story but at the same time I always say that it's our story. It's a story of changing lives because I wrote it with the fact that there is hope. So I expect everybody to connect to this book not only people with disabilities but everybody across the globe be it a teacher in the classroom, doctor in the health sector, a policymaker, a community member, a church leader, a mosque leader, everybody who has something to do with people with disabilities. And in other words everybody has something to do with people with disabilities. And in a way that I always say it simply because disability is part of humanity you want to connect to this book and see how real or how connected you can be as a human being because whether you like it or not you are part of this group. I always tell my students that disability is a pivot that we are revolving around. Talking about class, race, socioeconomic status, anything, all the things that you can think about that maybe separate us age or whatever, disability is in all that. So to me I'm able is telling you that whether you have a disability or not you are able. So it's our story of reality from home to workplace, transportation, hospital, everywhere in our life journey. Thank you. Wow, beautiful. And I have been really enjoying reading this book. It is a journey and the story is so interesting. So I keep returning to it and I'm excited for the students to be reading it and probably future interviews will go more specifically into the story. The students have, last year they were interviewed and they interviewed David Fry who is a disability activist and advocate and he has been working with the students this year on inspiring them to tell their story. And I wanted to put that out as a question for you. So I think the students who have started writing their stories would love to hear your response to this. Why is it important for people with disabilities to tell their story? Thank you for that question. Writing our story means a lot to the society, in other words to the communities that we belong to. It is very significant to write your story. Our stories are individual but they are also communal. As much as we write stories it's healing first to the person who is writing the story. Every single thing that I talk about in this book, it's a journey that I went through with tears. But today I'm healed. It gives me the fact that I wrote this. It gives me fulfillment. So as much as my target audience is everybody, young or old, I want them to be assured that you can be fulfilled. You can feel that contentment. You can feel that self confidence, that self discipline, that happiness that you can never find in any bottle. So writing your own story is one empowering for you as a person. Secondly, it's change perceptions about people around you. People meet me on the way and when they see this book they are like, oh are you the one? Then I'm like yeah immediately I will tell you a scenario that a woman met me or saw me at in front of Walmart and she was bringing out money. I was waiting for my ride and he was bringing out money for her purse to give to me because the perception about me when she saw me in the wheelchair is I'm poor, I need money, I'm waiting for alms right? And I know immediately I'm like hi mom and she's like I'm so sorry can I just give you this? I'm like oh would you like to buy my book? This is a book and she was so you could see traumatized. It's like whoa and so you wrote this I say yeah and when she wrote the read behind and she saw that oh you are electro at the university and da da da I'm like yeah that is how we change perceptions about ourselves and people know the value we have in the community so it changes perception in the community. When you write your own stories it changes policies. Policies are looked at with a second lens. In this book I have addressed so many policy issues that I address with tactical styles so that anybody who reads this I had somebody telling me that I am solving the problems in my room. Yes so as a policymaker she read this and she's thinking twice how she can solve the problem in her room before she goes to the Palaeumet house. That is another level. I can also say that when you write your personal stories it also changes the history of your family. Yes the history of your family totally. What history are we changing? We are changing the family the history of negative stories around disabilities.  So I will say shortly that it's a manual of change that anybody can connect to. Whether you have physical disability or invisible disability which is hidden that nobody can see. Yeah wow thank you for that answer. Thank you. There are three students who would like to each ask you a question are you open to that? Why not? Okay. So to get them we'll have to snap our fingers. So Sephichord so as you know I met you two years ago when actually also when peer mentors began at bridging for the very first time the first time when I started as a peer mentor back then as well. Also when we started reading Rowling Warrior. So my question for you is what was it like growing up when the world wasn't so accessible and before for the disability rights all these disability rights laws were passed worldwide? Thank you Thomas. So I will say before and even after because still the world is not accessible to us. Yeah so I will say that it has been a very big deal or had not to crack but I cannot show you because we have some fighters like the Rowling Warrior that we treated in class to the human people like yeah activists like that people like that have fought for us and as you know we have the 504 today through ADA and I will connect solely to Ghana my mother land that it wasn't easy for us also to have the Disability Act as we call it that is Act 715 in Ghana. Looking up to Judy Human and other people from far away as leaders we had that's what fates or hope that we can also do it by what advocating. So as much as I teach you the self advocacy when you are well equipped with that it leads you to fight systems advocacy and that is what we do that is what we are still doing and that is why this book is still even here because we are changing the narratives around disability through the what the fights that we go through every single day it's not possible in the human mind but the more we put our efforts in it by following the what the rules on the ground knowing what we are advocating for knowing data knowing people that we can connect to our target audience who make the change with us forming allies knowing that people are there looking up to us to make that change as much as you know not everybody can do advocacy so that is why you and I even as we will still find some places not accessible not only the physical structures but accessibility is a huge issue across the globe that we are fighting for every single day and that is the interest piece that I will say that even after the activists have established some policies for us you and I are still going to fight seriously to make so many changes today to leave a legacy for the future so the journey has just started with us which i'm able everybody can be able to make the change thank you excellent really really great great spot for court though i was amazed that was absolutely amazing now let's now let's work on the on the next person to the person as i snap about least what let's welcome chrytica okay hi suffocating hi critica when when did you get the idea to writing your book thank you critica when did i get the idea to write my book that has been a long journey but i started very early the idea actually came long time most of the time when i tell my story to people they don't believe it when i tell people that my daddy ran away from me especially my students who are struggling going through the same pain and i'm trying to comfort them that hey you can survive you can still be yourself and add value to yourself your dignity is important you can live an independent life at times they don't get it they don't understand they don't see how possible that can be so it's been a journey long long time that i've been thinking about it i need to put my story down because people need to connect to the reality because i tell the story with names who are some of them are alive that they can ask questions for authentication right or to make it through and another thing that happened was when covid struck when covid struck i was so much lonely not doing anything and that was a bigger opportunity for me to write because the ideas have been there long time i had written some points down so many times that like for instance the the chapter about grieving was when i lost my daughter but when i am talking to people today that this is how i went through it because people still see smiles on my face they don't believe that i went through those hardships right so i have some of the points listed down long time ago but when covid struck i just put things together i was so much and to reach that that was the time that i needed to write it so during covid time it became my joyous moment because i was very much active doing something beneficial to myself while the whole world is in turmoil you know but that time was the time that when i woke up i went to my desk after eating i would just start writing and it was just coming because it's about me it's an experience i went through myself and it's something that i have some points down already and it's something that i wanted to do to make a change so that was when the idea came from long time just like how you are starting now yes just like how you are starting to write your stories now it is coming bit by bit and one day we will have a book from critical and i can't wait to read your story i can't wait to read it so that is how long it has taken but it will come um to an end one day thank you for that question stop hi super core hi how are you good my question is for you is what is your favorite book for you what is your favorite part of your book hmm that's a good question hi i'm able the favorite chapter the very part of my book will be chapter four all that all the chapters are very dear to my heart they all carry some weight but i will say chapter four is where i can connect to with you because chapter four the mirror is where my mom actually built me up to become who i am today what i'm giving you in terms of self advocacy my mom did that for me in my bedroom and the mirror talks about our culture piece of it that when you are called at dawn like 5 36 there about and you are called by your parents when they come to your bedroom and call you and say wake up let's talk that is the point that is in the mirror that was how my mom built myself advocacy from the bedroom that's why i always tell you people that it starts from home especially when you have that as something strong that you can go out with it so the mirror shared the part of how my mom calls and gives me the mirror gives me the mirror to look into at dawn and she still tells me even though i haven't washed my face or cleaned up right she tells me to look at yourself in the mirror you are my beautiful doctor by then i wasn't a doctor right you are so beautiful my mom tells me that i'm the most beautiful child in the world yes by then i wasn't even walking i was so crawling when i got a polio right she would tell me every good thing that a child should hear every day in the morning before you go out to the garbage before you go out to the community that people will throw garbage on you so the mirror builds me from my bedroom because she assured me she tells me you will do this you will do that you i mean great things you will do that and that and when i wake up every single day that is what rings in my mind knowing very well that i can't i don't know how i will achieve those things but i was assured by my mom knowing very well that my dad was nowhere to be found he ran away but i still believe in my mom my mom believes in me so self advocacy is very powerful that is why i wish every parent whether um they are both together or not should really have a way of giving that gift to the child from the beginning because when you have that too from home it's very much empowering so nobody can tell me that i can tell me that i am not beautiful right yeah nobody can tell me that i always believe that i'm the most beautiful girl because my mom told me from my bedroom i know that i am very intelligent even though i don't know certain things but my mom made me aware she actually psyched me to just believe in myself to know that despite the fact that my legs are paralyzed i can still be productive and live an independent life with dignity one day so i would say that is the chapter which really um talks to me most especially connecting to what i teach you or what i work with you on to build you that is the chapter that i will comment to thank you for that question it's a good question you like him yeah thank you


Welcome to Daily Debrief, your primer on international news brought to you by People's Dispatch. Today we're talking about Ukraine-Russia tensions, US President Biden bringing back Trump-era policies on refugees and Israel bearing a report on violence on Palestinians. We begin with Ukraine and Russia. Tension seems to be mounting in the region with even some talk of war. Ukraine and its western allies are accusing Russia of amassing troops near the borders while the latter has accused NATO of deploying its military infrastructure near the border. Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov warned of a return of the nightmare scenario of a military confrontation. Lavrov and his US counterpart Antony Blinken met on the sidelines of the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe summit in Stockholm. We have with us news clicks editor Prabir Purkayashta to discuss more on this issue. Prabir, if you could tell us what has deepened the crisis in this region between Russia and the NATO countries over Ukraine? What has led to the sudden deepening of the crisis? See, as you remember, Ukraine had what is called the Maidan upsurge as the Western media claims it to be, and the Western countries have termed it as, by which a duly elected president of Ukraine was overthrown and a new configuration, shall we say, much more conducive to NATO and its allies came into being. After that, there was also an attack on Russian language, which was one of the major languages in Ukraine. It was recognized as an official language, and also on the Russian ethnic population speaking Russian. The Russian was spoken by a much larger number of people than those who were ethnically identified as Russians or thought themselves as Russians. And as you know, Ukraine was a part of Russia for the Soviet Union. So it was not that it was a separate country for a very long time. So this attack is what led, finally, to separatist movements in the Donbass region. They wanted to be separate from Ukraine to protect, as far they are concerned, their ethnic identity and their language. And of course, after the Crimea being taken over by Russia at one point, that also proved to be a major flashpoint between Ukraine and Russia. And you know, the autonomous movement or the movement for separation from Ukraine in the Donbass region, at one point led to what is called the Minsk two accords, in which France and Germany guaranteed that Donbass would have some autonomy. Ukraine accepted that, and that was the basis of the Minsk Accords, which is what Russia keeps on referring to. But that autonomy was never granted. And it's also true that Ukraine, we have seen successive right-wing forces grow over there. Some of them openly fascist. They have Nazi symbols. And therefore, there has been a talk about reincorporating Donbass into Ukraine and possibility of Ukrainian forces marching into Donbass. Now this is the red line for Russia, because Russia believes that, okay, Ukraine is going over to NATO and to European Union. That's what they are trying to seek membership of. For them, Ukraine joining the NATO is a red line because it's a border state. And with the kind of military tensions between Donbass region and the rest of Ukraine or the government in Ukraine, there is possibilities of war-like scenario. And if war does take place, they would not like Ukraine to be a part of NATO, and it becomes a part of a larger war with NATO. Russia will guarantee Donbass autonomy. That I think is taken for granted. And it is something which the Russian people will also not agree to give up, because Donbass autonomy means that there is an ethnic identity, Russian enclave, which is willing to have some relations with Russia. More importantly, it preserves its identity. Now given that scenario, and of course the importance of Crimea as a base for the semester pool, the only warm water port that Russia has, this is strategically something which Russia thinks is very, very important. The threat of Minsk Accords not being accepted, the threat of Ukraine marching into Donbass with NATO support, and also NATO auxiliaries and also NATO arms, possibly setting up, possibly setting up missile batteries, etc., right in Russian borders, which is what taking back Donbass would mean for Russia. This is something which Russia has said is a red line, and this is something they will not accept. If you look at what Putin has said, he has said very clearly that you are moving missile batteries five minutes, which can hit our strategic targets. So if you do that, then we will have to respond. Of course, he said we respond through hypersonic missiles and other things. But said this is something which is not acceptable to Russia, and you have to recognize what is a no-no from our standpoint. And this is where the Americans have made an open threat that if Russia does not accept that Ukraine has the right over Donbass, it has the right to move batteries where it wants, tacitly saying it has the right to take back Donbass region. If that is there, then the threat they have held out, if Russia does not agree with this, then what I will call the nuclear financial option of throwing them out of the basically the swift transactional system, which really runs the transactions in the world, which we have discussed earlier as well. So the swift system, the financial sanctions they have been talking of, they haven't spelt it out. But the way they have framed it, that this will hurt Russia far more than it is willing to be able to bear, and so on, this seems to be threatening that will throw you out of the swift transaction system by which all transactions with the commercial banks anywhere in the world will become much more difficult for Russian banks and Russian financial institutions as well as companies. And I think that's where it is at the moment. So I would say that we are at a flash point, that we haven't seen for a very long time, between nuclear powers with certain forces in Germany, for example, talking about nuclear first strike, if there is a kinetic strike that Soviet Union, sorry, not Soviet, a kinetic strike if Russia enters Ukraine or attacks Ukraine. So I think we are poised for really very serious threats of possibly going towards war. And if such a war takes place, the possibility of a flash point and a nuclear exchange is not out of the bounds because wars are not predictable. The first world war that took place was not intended by both parties, but nevertheless it ended up in a world war. So I think these are calculations which cannot be calibrated the way they seem to want to do. And I think that's where the big mistake is that we need to talk about peace and how to bring back the Minsk Accords in the center of the discussions with the Union in Ukraine. This region is clearly on a very critical flash point. We'll keep an eye on it. Thank you, Prabir, for talking to us. Our next story is from the United States, where Joe Biden administration has revived a Trump-era policy called Remain in Mexico to deal with refugees. This forces those who seek asylum in the United States to remain in Mexico while their applications are being heard. To know more about why this is a controversial move, we have with us Prashant. Prashant, why is there this widespread condemnation to remain in Mexico policy? Right, so of course the first obvious answer is that it's a Trump-era policy. But the reason it was so condemned even while Trump had implemented it was basically the fact that how refugees were treated in the United States. So we need to understand the larger dynamic. We have thousands of people coming over, trying to come over to the United States every year. We'll get into some of the reasons and causes later. But the fact is that they really go through a lot of struggle and suffering. And when they finally reach the US borders, the applications are being processed. The Trump-era policy basically said that all these people have to go back and remain in very difficult conditions in Mexico till their applications are processed. Now, during that time, one of the key problems was that it would take months for this processing to take place. And during this time, these refugees who had come with very little money, no resources, who were basically on the road, who were basically on the streets all the time. They were prey to all kinds of incidents, gangs, there were instances of sexual abuse, rape, murder. So their lives were extremely vulnerable at this point of time because they were basically just being herded and placed in a region in Mexico, pending the processing of their applications. So Joe Biden basically ran a campaign during his election campaign, saying that he would withdraw this policy. He called it very inhumane. Incidentally, the day he assumed office, he withdrew this policy, right? But then what happens is that a judge, a Trump-era, a Trump-appointee judge basically overturns the Joe Biden administration decision. And therefore, the remaining Mexico policy comes back into force. Now, the key element there was that this policy would come back only if Mexico agreed. And Mexico has agreed with a series of preconditions, one being that there is some more clarity in terms of how quickly these applications are processed. Secondly, the fact that there has to be a more clearer financial package to address issues in Mexico and some of the other countries from where these refugees hail from. So those are positive signs. But what we're going to see is that nonetheless, thousands of people being sent back in difficult conditions, so much uncertainty, so much risk to their lives, so much risk to their livelihoods or lack of better word. And this is why it's been so strongly condemned, because the Democrat administration came to power with the promise for more humane policy, right? And like we'll talk about later, the refugee crisis is not, and we've talked about this before as well, the refugee crisis is not about some greedy people coming from some place into the land of glory and plenty, which is the United States. It is a direct result of the US policies across the world. So people who understand this, people who see it in that sense, figure this out, during Trump's period, at least 70,000 people were pushed back into Mexico from the United States under this policy. So it was a brutally effective policy for lack of better word. There's another policy for this is called Title 42, which again, the Biden administration has, it keeps implementing, which means that COVID-19 can be cited as a reason to push refugees out of the country again. So we have this whole setup where refugees' lives are massively under threat, they're being treated almost as subhumans in some ways. And while Mexico has, say, tried to bring about some guarantees, it's not probably going to make the situation better for them. In fact, Prashant, you've mentioned it over and over. The role US has played with the refugee crisis that has deepened globally, it can be seen across, if you could tell us more about that. Right, so let's look at the Latin American context. And I think a good example would be, for instance, Honduras. We've been talking about the Honduras a lot in this show, and it's a very important reason because in Honduras in 2009, there was a coup which was basically completely sponsored by the United States. The democratically elected president, Manuel Zelaya, was overthrown. And from then on, from 2009 onwards, until recently, 2021 right now, Zyomara Castro, Zelaya's partner as well as the candidate of the Libre Party has become the new president. But over the past 12 years, Honduras has seen a drastic decline in every single parameter of society, whether it be employment, whether it be food, whether it be livelihood, whatever be the situation, there's been a massive decline as far as every social indicator as far as Honduras is concerned. There's been large-scale violence, corruption from the highest level, from the president onwards to each and every level of the government. What all this has caused is massive despair in a country like Honduras forcing thousands to migrate, right? So how can the United States, for instance, not accept responsibility for this? And this is not only Honduras, this is so many countries in the region where basically US-based, US-backed politicians, US-backed rulers have established governments that do not listen to the aspirations of the people, that do not meet the basic needs of the people, and people who are suffering are forced to migrate. That's really the genesis of the issue. So I think a lot of the discussion around refugees, and I can discuss this before, our refugees around migration completely ignores the fact that the United States, its Western allies are responsible. Whether it be through direct war, say in cases like Syria or Afghanistan, or whether it be in cases of coups and supporting dictators, for instance, who implement these kind of policies. These policies are responsible for the migration crisis in the first place. So really the question is that, how does the United States address this? One, by not supporting dictators, you would think that's an obvious thing, but no, it's not. Secondly, of course, by the fact that the kind of policies that US-backed or US-supported international institutions run, whether it be the IMF, the World Bank, the kind of loans they give, the conditionalities they put. The austerity policies many of these governments undertake due to the pressure by international institution. Basically, bankrupts these countries, basically destroys all social welfare programs, leading to this kind of mass misery and therefore migration. So I think, especially in the Americas, when we understand migration, we need to see it in this context, that over the years, we've seen migrant caravans, they're called migrant caravans because there are thousands of people, many of them setting out from Honduras. And there's a very clearly defined path almost. They go as more and more people gather, they reach Mexico. Each step, they face depression, they face depression in Mexico as well. And finally, they reach the borders of the United States, where they are treated like I said, like almost subhumans. So this is a much larger crisis. People who expected that the Biden administration would do a better job are clearly disappointed. So I think there is a much greater need for challenging the Democratic Party and the Biden administration, many of these issues. Thank you Prashant. We'll come back to you for our next story as well. And finally, we go to West Asia, where a news report shows, Israel did not properly investigate its atrocities against Palestinians. The report prepared by Palestine Center for Human Rights and the Israeli group, Bethlehem, talks about repression of Palestinians during the Great March of Return that began in 2018. Now Prashant, we're coming back to you. If you could tell us a little bit more about what's there in this report. Right. So the PCHR and Bethlehem report talks about Israeli investigations into Israeli military abuses that took place during the Great March of Return. Of course, now that itself is a big red flag, but we'll come to that. So the key issue is that in March 2018, what the Great March of Return began in Gaza. And now the Great March of Return involved people from Gaza marching to the border, it's not a border, it's more of a fence, boundary fence with Israel that is located every Friday. After the prayers, there would be this massive protests taking place at two outside border. And every Friday, there was continuous repression by the Israelis, right? So these were largely peaceful protests. There was, of course, some stone throwing, some incendiary balloons. But obviously, people did not come with, the protesters did not come with guns and rockets or anything. That's all. But these protests were nonetheless treated in a very horrific manner. The numbers, I think, say that around 223 Palestinians were killed during these protests, which started, like I said, in 2018 March. And they continued in various forms till the end of 2019. And most of these killings actually took place in the first half of 2018, if I'm not mistaken. And at that point of time, every week, you would hear horrific stories of Palestinian protesters being shot, Palestinian children, for instance, being shot. I think 46 of those killed were under the age of 18. Right? And it was clear for any person reading the news, any person watching the visuals at that point of time, it was clear from the beginning that there was a very clear, deliberate attempt to shoot at the protesters by Israeli soldiers, including snipers, right? So that is what is under investigation, the fact that Israeli soldiers used live fire on Palestinian protesters. That is what the Israeli set out to investigate. Now the key question here is why did they set out to investigate it? One major factor is that they were afraid that if they did not, at least for namesake conducted investigation, the International Criminal Court would intervene and have an international probe. So they wanted to sort of forestall it. So that is one of the reasons. But what the Israeli investigations did was basically reduce the mandate of the probe so much and bring in all sorts of factors that basically no one ended up guilty. There was this, almost there was large scale exoneration that took place. First of all, despite the fact that 8,000 people were injured, including many who were forced to amputate their arms and legs because of the shooting, none of those were investigated. Only the deaths were. And even these deaths, some of them were reviewed, some of them were under review, some of them were dismissed for various reasons. And I think there was one case of punishment in which an Israeli soldier got one month's worth of community service or something of that sort. So that actually shows the extent of the seriousness or lack of seriousness with which this investigation was conducted. And that is what basically this report chronicles, despite the fact that in open air, this is not darkness, this was not a hidden operation. This happened in public view, in open, at the border. Despite the fact that all these shootings were taken place, there has been no large scale accountability of the Israeli institutions. Those who were named as guilty, those who were even investigated were junior level soldiers. So it was as if it was just junior level soldiers who were firing without any permission or whatever. As opposed to the fact that this was clearly a systematic and systemic decision that was made from certain highest levels of authority. So I think basically it's a very short report. It's very important, I think that all of us read it because it shows the nature of Israeli impunity, which we talk about often on this show. But the key element here is that despite so many people dying and despite the namesake investigation taking place, very few people have actually been found guilty and there has been no justice. Prashant, what were some of the demands that were there at that time? Right, so I think two very important things. One was what's called the right to return. And the right to return basically says that those Palestinians who were displaced from their homes in 1948 when Israel was founded, the UN has declared that they and their descendants have a right to return to their homelands. Now this of course sounds great on paper, but Israel and its allies in the United States, other allies for instance, have always dismissed the idea. So that's one of the key demands. The other very important demand was the fact that the blockade of Gaza, which had been going on until 2007 after Hamas won the election, that should be withdrawn because that blockade has basically destroyed Gaza in every sense of the term. It has turned Gaza into what is called the world's largest open air prison. This is the UN saying it, not us. For instance, whether it be water, whether it be education, whether it be health, all this infrastructure has completely collapsed. And it is not only Israel which is imposing this blockade, but also Egypt. So it's important to remember that. And this blockade unfortunately is nonetheless continued. We saw that the crimes against the people of Gaza only escalated in 2021. In May we saw this massive bombing of Gaza in which again over 200 people were killed. And again there was a large scale destruction of infrastructure. We see that the blockade continues every time. Israel sees any action by Palestinians as even slightly something they do not like, they tighten the blockades, even the small entry points that are there. So those entry points which are very strongly policed sometimes are shut down. Egypt also cooperates with that. And all this happens despite the fact that in principle all the countries of the world are committed to a two state solution. They do believe that Palestinians should have a separate state. Nonetheless, the fact remains that the people of Gaza are living under a very bitter and brutal siege. The thing with the great march of return was that it put these issues front and center. And it showed that this was not only one political, it is not just Hamas for instance mobilizing its supporters. This is a coalition of groups across Gaza. And this put these issues front and center in a way that it could not be ignored because every week these protests were continuously taking place. And it was an act of very powerful resistance. It was an act of mobilization. And it also showed I think the people of, people across the world and also the Palestinians themselves that despite all these atrocities and cruelties imposed by Israel, the Palestinian spirit of defiance and resistance was still very much intact. Well Prashant, thank you. We at People's Dispatch keep following stories in this region quite closely. This is all that we have from us today to come back to People's Dispatch and keep following Daily Debrief.