What's going on, everyone? Sam here with Layton Sportsguards. We're up in 2022 Top Triple Threads, Baseball, Hobby, Ninebox, Case Break, Number 16, Random Team Style. Here's a look again at your random results. As always, you can find these on the website under the Results tab, as well as the link in chat. Good luck here, everybody. Let's go ahead and do it. What's going on, TikTok? Larkin for the Reds, 2199, and Onyx, Ty Cobb. That's sick. 10 out of 50. Onyx looks so clean this year at 50. O'Neill Cruz, Shrey Turner, and Shane Boz, rookie. God, Jay Ram, that's going to be numbered at 29 out of 36 out of the gate for the Guardians. And Brandon Lau, that's 31 out of 50. Game use, memorabilia, Jersey Auto for the raise. There you go, Tampa. Spots of Triple Threads for the night. Let's go, Nolan Aronado, 299 for the Cardinals. And Hank Aaron, nice one there, 2125 for the Braves. Cameron Hank, got O'Neill Cruz, rookie. Shrey Turner and Shane Boz. Jake Cousins, that's going to be numbered 28 out of 75 for the Brewers on the rookie Jersey Auto. Nice one there for the Brewers. And Nolan Aronado, 3 out of 18 for the Cardinals. Nice one there for the Cardinals. Nolan Aronado, 2 to go. 2 left for Baseball, and then as all we have left for the night is basketball. Very nice. Hoseal 2 by the 259, and Mark McGuire to 299. Beshet, maddingly, there's Aaron Judge. Not tonight, Austin. We've got Brandon Marsh, nice one there, 2 out of 27 for the Angels, Premier, rookie, Jersey, Bat, Jersey. And we've got also for the Angels, 95 out of 99 this time, is going to be Reed Deppmers on the rookie Jersey Auto. Honest Wagner to 299. And Paul Goldschmidt to 259. Got a nice one here, J-Rod rookie, Ronald Acunha, and Barry Larkin. Nice one coming up here. Going to Alex F with the Tigers. How about Miguel Cabrera, 12 out of 18. Nice, Miggy. 3,000 hits, 500 home runs, 600 doubles. Very nice. Did not realize he hit that many doubles. That's kind of wild. Dude, here's a hitting machine. Oh yeah. And Cody Bellinger, that is 9 of 9 for the Dodgers. Out for Baseball. Sold out on Baseball. JD Martinez to the Angels. There's a group break right here. Nar. This is a group break. 1 year, 10 million. It's not a terrible signing for the Angels. That's like a classic Angel signing. Such a classic Angel signing. Yeah, I would say so probably. Got Bo Jackson to 99. And Stan Musial to 259. Next up, we've got Mel Ott, Mike Piazza, Ryan Sandberg. Tiktok, if you are interested in joining a group breaks, we've got Lincoln Biop. Greg Maddox. 23 out of 36 for the Braves. And Teosca Hernandez, that is 7 out of 75 for the Blue Jays. Congrats, Toronto. Adam L. Alright, Stan. Cut a little bit long guys so we can't mag this unfortunately. But that is there. Nice, Miggy. Yes, that is definitely there. What's that? Yes, that is definitely there. White Whale coming up. Carlos Correa to 199. Here we go. And Wander, 23 out of 50. There you go. Tampa on the Onyx. White Whale. See what we got on this White Whale. We're going to do that. Lindor won Soto. Start with whoever's on the back. That's going to be a Mookie Betts. Nice one there. 17 out of 48. Game use. See what we got. White Whale is going to be Cal Ripken Jr. Boom. Going to Eric R. in the Orioles. Let's go, man. That's so cool. Let's go. White Whale, one of one. So cool, man. Game use, remember Billy on that as well. There you go, Tiktok. Take a look at that. One of one of the Iron Man. Here comes, here comes, here comes Vaughn Heyman. He got signed with the Dodgers. Vaughn Heyman coming in, everybody. Round of applause for Vaughn Heyman giving us the wrong, the wrong information. You guys, he signed with the Angels. Oh wait, nope, sorry, the other L.A.G. I love you, Vaughn. Just kidding. Was it still at least one year 10 million or was that false news too? That's got to take a nice little front and center. We'll put that right there. That'll go right there for sure. Yep, that'll be there. That'll be right there. Ernie Banks, Mr. Cobb to June 99. And Jose Ramirez to 150. I'm excited for the Bill's Fins tonight. Got Bryce Demstop, rookie for the Phillies. Contract, contract is correct. That's good. Vaughn did give us the correct terms of the contract. Nolan Aronato, that's going to be six out of 18. Nice one coming up here. Going to Robert A. with Tampa. How about a wonder Franco, 13 out of 50. Boom. There we go. Congrats to the Rays. Nice live wonder action right there. Take talk. There we go. We're having a good half case here, everybody. Only halfway through as well. Still have another pack. My bad. Yeah. Pack Sherser, 299. And Vladdy Senior to 125. 11 to go, everybody. Next break with spots. That is Contender's Optic Basketball. First break of Contender's Optic. Yes, exactly. That is fantastic. I got Josh Lowe. That is 11 out of 25 on the Onyx. Nice one there. On-card rookie at Jersey Auto. There you go, Rays. And Max Kepler. Game used, 3 out of 27. That's true, Vaughn. That's true. That's sad that that's the difference. I spelled the name correctly. Oh boy. Arson Judge. Arson Judge to the Giants. Can you imagine like being a beat recorder, so to speak, and misspelling players names? Like trying to be that quick to the punch. You just completely, yeah, I completely just fumbled that one. 15 yarder. Oh no. Yachty to 239. No, 299. I think so, yeah. That's big. Corbin Burns to 150. What's up, Mike? How you doing? How's it going, Mike? Good to see you as always. All right, base, base. Jaren Duran, rookie. We've got Ronald Acuna Jr. 18 out of 27 on base. Game used, member Belia for the Braves. Congratulations, Lantana. And Tyler Glass now, 25 out of 75 for the Rays. There you go, Rays. Everything is just gravy at this point for you. Was that Alex at the Rays? Oh, Robert. Robert. That's who it was. Ty Cobb to 75. And Jacob DeGramme to 299. George Brett, Freddie Freeman, Lubaub. There's a Matt Manning, 58 out of 75. Tigers on the on-card rookie jersey order. And Xander Bogartz, 16 out of 48 for the Red Sox. 100% you go for that. Like you kick that field ball. Yeah. No, I got Lane with me today, Mike. Lane is with me. What up, Mike? Yeah, it does count as a minus one. That's good. That helps you with anything. Yeah, big time. I knew we weren't going to win this lane in this game. Pathetic offense we put out there. Ravens are tanking for draft picks. Ty Cobb, 25, I wish. And Mariano Rivera to 299. Yes, go Cowboys, Mike. CJ Abrams rookie. That is a Cal Ripken Jr. on the stand, 318. Shohei and Raphael Devers. That's a White Whale, one of one of the Ironmen. We've got Austin Riley, October Clutch, 16 out of 36. And Louise Heel, 20 out of 199 for the Inks. We've got a redemption coming up. Clayton Kershaw to 150. And Hank Aaron to 99. So cool. I agree, three. Such an awesome card. Severe. There's a Torque rookie. Clayton Kershaw. Clayton Hervin. There's Triple Threads, autograph, Relic Card, Salvi Perez going to the Royals. There you go, Casey. Nice, Salvi. And Austin Riley. That is for the Braves right there. Yeah, six up, big Steelers fan. I know, right? At least that's one thing we agree on. True. I don't think we have any sports that we're even remotely close on. Six is a Yankees fan now, so I do like that. I know. I can't remember until the two men despise the most. The Yankees? Yeah. Fair enough. Oh, no, the Eagles. Yeah, all right, fair enough. Mike Piotta to 259. Johnny Bench to 299. Yachty. Garrett Cole, Ernie Mates. Next up, Sammy Long. That's 58 out of 75 for the Giants. That's always a very, very good possibility, six. As long as he stays healthy. And we've got Noah Cindergar, nice Thor, 30 out of 36. I mean, even with him not saying healthy, he had like an amazing... Yeah. It's kind of not fair. I know, it's hard to tell then how good he is. I think it's possible, Dario. They're hot, man. They're a tough team to beat right now. Babe Ruth to 259. No shot, Dario. And Mark McGuire to 125. Who do you have coming out of season? Yeah, I guess. I don't like saying this, but honestly, I think it's the Niners. Yeah. Hunter Green, Ruth. Defense is just so good. That's true. Defense wins championships. True. Fair enough. This one's nasty. Go into Aaron W with the Dodgers. How about a Mookie Betts? Two-color, two-color, two-color, three of nine. That's sick. Congrats again, Aaron. There you go, man. Nice Dodgers hit. Then we've got Mike Soroka, 24 out of 99. Jersey Auto for the Braves. I mean, any team can lose to any team in the NFL. Let's be real here. And having close games, that's going to happen. Yeah. The Cowboys Eagles on Christmas Eve. Mike, I wish I was going to that game. And I wish the Cowboys hadn't choked against the Packers so that the game meant a little bit more. Yeah. So say you win. You don't take possession at first, right? No, we'd be a game back. Game back. We've got a Ruby. Francisco Lindore to 199. John Carlos Stanton to 259. Bass and Bass. Cowboys are a better offense this year than they were last year, actually. It's going to be a Jake Cronin worth 81 out of 99. It's going to be one of those triples here. Good luck, everybody. We've got Tony Gwynne, Dave Winfield, Ozzy Smith going to the Padres. Wow. Eric W. Uno de uno. One of one. Look at how cool the Tony Gwynne patches. Wow, man. That is awesome. Uno de uno. Here you go, TikTok. Take a look at that. Nice one of one right there. Some Padres legends. So cool, man. That Tony Gwynne patch is absolutely filthy. And Ozzy Smith, I have to imagine, is from when he was a Cardinal. That is pretty awesome, too. So cool, man. You got that magged up. Cut a little bit long. Sorry about that, Eric. We'll make sure that it gets the proper protection. Fernando Tatis to 150. Austin Riley to 199. Wanda Franco, rookie. Nice one here. We've got going to the Nationals. How about Steven Strasberg, 12 out of 18. One color, three color, one color. Regal Reidy. We've got the Washington. Nice one there. Ron C. And Christian Yellich, two out of 48. Last box, everybody. Yeah, what do you think is going to happen with Pollard? Is he a free agent? Did they pay him, Kazik? You don't think they're going to keep both, do you? Pollard walks. Just don't see them paying. Yeah. Redemption. Garrett Cole to 299. Caleb just hit something. Yeah, right. Salvador Perez to 125. There's Jeter. Nice one here. We've got Barry Larkin, 10 out of 27 for the Reds. Nice one here. Going to the Tigers. How about a rookie autograph card? Sapphire Parallel, Spencer Torkelson. There you go. Detroit. That's Alex. Alex having a great break, man, with the Miggy and now the Torque. Nice one there. Last box, or last pack here. Jerry Jones was definitely alive during the Civil War. I do this old. Mel Ops to 259. Roy Campanella to 299. Campy. Buster Posey. Shriver Story. Randy Johnson. Jackson Coar. That's going to be numbered 48 out of 99 for the Royals. Nice rookie on-card jersey auto there for Casey. And then to end the break, we've got Max Kepler, 5 of 9. Going to the Twins. Congrats, Minnesota. That will do it for the break here, guys. Okay, a little bit. Let's start with our Relics here. A Bova Fett out of 10. Nice. Oh, wow. Christian Yelich, Brewer's. Mookie Betts for the Dodgers. Noah Cindergarde, Angels. Austin Reilly, Braves. Austin Reilly, Braves. Xander Bogart, Red Sox. Ronald Acunha, Braves. Max Kepler for the Twins. Nolan Aronado, that's going to the Cardinals. Jose Ramirez, Guardians. We've got Max Kepler, Twins. Barry Larkin, Reds. Brandon Marsh for the Angels. Greg Maddox, Braves. Mookie Betts, Dodgers. Cody Bellinger, Dodgers. Nolan Aronado, Cardinals. One of one, Ozzie Smith, Tony Gwyn, Dave Winfield. So cool, man. So freaking cool. We've got autos coming up next. Gonna be Jackson Coar Royals. Spencer Torkelson for the Tigers. Stephen Shrossberg, Nats. Jake Cronenworth, Padres. Mike Soroka, Braves. Sammy Long, Giants. Salvi Perez, Royals. Louise Heal, Yankees. Matt Manning, Tigers. Tyler Glasnell, Reyes. Josh Lowe, Reyes. Tasker Hernandez, Blue Jays. Reed Dettmer's Angels. Jake Cousins, Brewers. Brandon Lau for the Rays. We got our Magg Cards. Dinefin to a Magg. 12 out of 18 is going to be Miguel Cabrera. Cool one there. We got a Wander Franco, 13 out of 50 on the Rookie Auto for the Rays. And then this awesome White Whale, one of one, Cal Ripken Jr. That will do it for the break. Thank you guys again for the fill. Next up, number 17.


And then, of course, we have convergence. We all know what that means in our everyday life. It used to be all these separate things are provided by separate people. And now they're all coming together, whether it's commerce, entertainment, learning, education. You can get an education on the internet now. Yesterday was a research published from a Canadian university showing that about 80% of companies don't care if you went to MIT. As long as you could do the work. They'll pay you a little bit less, yes? But they'll still hire you. In fact, now they're hiring people based on the credentials of previous programming or social reputation. I would say that it's probably still very important to get a degree from MIT if you can. But that's just research. So what comes together here is like on the web, we can get education. We can find connections. We can build a career. We can communicate. And all these industry sectors are converging. And so I think the key to the future of companies like yours is to be in that convergence and think about the neighboring areas, not your original area.


Bemidji Wells Fargo customers were notified late last week that the bank will be closing its downtown branch. A letter from the Wells Fargo district manager said the company consistently evaluates its branch network which can lead to branch closures. Some Wells Fargo customers have posted their thoughts on social media on the loss of what they call a convenient location for many of those who work and live in downtown Bemidji. Wells Fargo is encouraging its customers to use the bank location on the northwest side of the city and that the closure will not impact any of their customers' accounts. The downtown Bemidji Wells Fargo location will close Wednesday, July 11th at noon. If you enjoyed this segment of Lakeland News, please consider making a tax-deductible contribution to Lakeland PBS.


Welcome to Calculating Board Feet. Hardwood lumber is sold by the board foot. One board foot equals 144 cubic inches, or the equivalent of one piece of wood 1 inch thick by 12 inches wide by 12 inches long. Most hardwood comes in 4 quarter, 5 quarter, 6 quarter, and 8 quarter thicknesses. Board footage can be calculated by either one of the following formulas. Thickness times width times length divided by 144, or thickness times width times length divided by 12. Using the formula thickness times width times length divided by 12, the above 4 by 4 board would be 1 times 8 times 8 divided by 12, or 5.3 board feet. Likewise, if that same board was 1 and 1 quarter inches thick, or 5 quarter lumber, the equation would be 1.25 times 8 times 8 divided by 12, which equals 6.7 board feet. Now, what have you learned? Now, we'll test what you have learned with a few questions. Calculate the board feet for the following piece. The correct answer is 5 board feet. Very good. Let's try another. Calculate the board feet for this piece. The correct answer is 4.5 board feet. Board footage is usually rounded off to the nearest whole number. In the preceding example, the board contained 4.5 board feet. Most lumber dealers would count that board as having 5 board feet. Now, try this sample. Remember that the formula for measuring lengths in inches is thickness times width times length divided by 144 and that the board feet total should be rounded to the nearest whole number. So calculate the board feet for this piece. The answer rounded to the nearest whole number is 4 board feet. Now, let's review. True or false? Hardwood lumber is sold by the board foot. The answer is true. True or false? Lumber dealers typically round off board feet to the nearest 1 tenth of a foot. The answer is false. True or false? One board foot is equal to a piece of wood 1 inch thick by 12 inches wide by 12 inches long. The answer is true. Here are a few strategies for calculating board feet. Measuring individual boards can be a time consuming process. One method which can be used to speed the process is to lay boards side by side and measure the overall width. So in this example, the calculation would be 1 times 36 times 8 divided by 12 which equals 24 board feet. Another method for calculating board feet quickly and accurately is to use a special tool called the board rule. So in review, calculating board feet footage is simple with either of these two formulas. Now that you know the process, try practicing on some actual samples. This completes this learning object calculating board feet.


Kraft presents the great guilders sleeve. This company will also bring you Bing Crosby every Thursday night. Present each week at this time Harold Perry as the great guilders sleeve, written by John Whedon. We will hear from the great guilders sleeve in just a moment. You know these days, it's pretty difficult to get the variety of foods you used to get. That's why you should make the plentiful foods you can get as appetizing as possible. Now one easy economical way to make foods taste better is to use delicious parquet margarine at the table and for cooking too. First of all, of course, parquet margarine is a perfectly delicious spread for bread or toast or rolls. And next, parquet margarine is a tasty seasoning for potatoes and all hot vegetables. Parquet margarine makes cookies and pastries taste better too because it's a real flavor shortening, not bland and tasteless as some shortings are. Lastly, you'll find parquet adds tempting extra flavor to pan-fried foods. Yes, you can make everyday foods taste better when you use parquet. Remember too, it's a nourishing energy food that contains vitamin A. So ask your dealer tomorrow for wholesome, economical parquet, P-A-R-K-A-Y. Parquet margarine made by Kraft. Now let's get on to the great Gilder Sleeve who's been putting in a busy Saturday morning down at the water department trying to clear his desk of all the odds and ends that have piled up there. As we join him now, we find him almost down to the blotter and feeling pretty good about it. Action, yes, action. That's the keynote today, Ms. Fitch. And you have accomplished a great deal this morning, Ms. Gilder Sleeve. Yes, sir. Never put off the Lamarra what you can do today. I try not to. Procrastination is the thief of time. There's a letter here. Time and tide, wait for no man. This woman wrote in two weeks ago. For one of a nail, the shoe was lost, Ms. Fitch. And that's the thing, action. Mr. Gilder Sleeve, are you going to answer this woman's letter? What does she want? Action. Be sure. Well, let's see the letter. She says she wrote in two weeks ago and never got an answer. Oh, yes, I remember this. Take an answer. Very well. Dear Madam, in reply to your recent letter regarding a nail in your bathtub, we wish to thank you for calling this to our attention. Under a thorough investigation of the matter, we wish to report that it would have been impossible for the said eel to have gained access to your tub through the faucet. Because all our water is carefully filtered, and furthermore, standard plumbing fixtures are too small to accommodate an eel of the dimensions you described. We can only suggest that the creature either crawled up the drain, in which event your attorney should get in touch with the Department of Public Works, not us. Or possibly it was placed in your tub by an enemy. While that's out of our department, we'd suggest that a stopper kept in the tub at all times should prove an effective precaution against eels in the future, failing which we'd advise a closer check on your friends. Very truly yours, Throckmorton P. Gildersleeve, water commissioner. You got that? Yes, Mr. Gildersleeve. That ought a holder. What's next? Well, I don't know whether you want to do anything about this. Let's have it. Action, Miss Fitch. Let's clear the decks here. Very well. This is no time for bottlenecks. No. There's a notice that in every photograph of Donald Nelson, there's not a single paper on Donald Nelson's desk. That's the only way to be an executive. Do it now. Strike while the iron is hot. Come, come, come. What have you got there? A six-month reminder from your dentist. You. Well, suppose you put that in the deferred file. That's where it came from.  All right, call up the dentist and make an appointment for money. Good. Come on. Let's get on here. Time's a-wasting. Have you got the application for my B gas ration? Yes, it's right here. Oh, I must remember to get that in this afternoon. It's all filled out. All you have to do is sign it. I better check it over. Let's see here. It says occupational use of the vehicle. If vehicle is used for driving between home and fixed place of work in the principal occupation as stated in items four and six above, answer all questions in part A below. If vehicle is used in the performance of the principal occupation stated in items four and six above, oh, brother, I'll take your word for it, Miss Fitch. Oh, you also have to get the signatures of any person sharing the ride with you. Oh, well, Judge Hooker is my share of the rider, but he isn't speaking to me. He can darn well sign, though. I understand very few people are going to get the B rations. Oh, I'll get one. All right. After all, I'm a city official. I have to do a lot of official driving. I'm entitled to one if anybody is. Yes, but have you heard who's head of the ration board now? It doesn't make any difference. Who? Judge Hooker. Oh, my goodness. Hooker will find some technicality. He'll block it if he has to stage a filibuster. Maybe I better invite the old goat to Thanksgiving dinner after all. That might soften him up a little. Yes, certainly. He couldn't accept a man's hospitality and then trick him out of his B card, could he? I don't recall that the application form covers that. No, I didn't think that. Quiet. Here comes the old sour ball now. There, Judge. And does the bus leave, Gilles? The bus leaves whenever you're ready, Judge. I'm ready now. Be right with you. Can't keep a customer waiting. Can we, Miss Fitch? I'll get my hat and coat. Mr. Gilles, leave. You're not forgetting. Oh, yes. Thank you. Now you're waiting, Judge. Miss Fitch has an application blank there that requires your signature. A mere formality, you know. What's this? Just to show that I'm sharing my car with you. Oh, so you're applying for a B ration book, huh? Aren't we all? Give the judge a pen, Miss Fitch. Here. Oh, use mine. It's a self-filler. I think you'll like it. There, that's it. There you are. Thank you, Judge. Well, see you Monday, Miss Fitch. Oh, by the way, Horace, I meant to ask you before, I hope you'll give us the pleasure of dining with us as usual on Thursday. Hmm. I thought you'd forgotten all about Thanksgiving. Not at all. Thanksgiving wouldn't be Thanksgiving without you, Horace. You know that. Holy Roy, now, why I fit this? I feel like a sissy in this full outfit. This is the kind of clothes the pilgrims wore. And they were no sissies. Yeah, but they didn't have to wear them in front of a whole auditorium full of people. Stand still, will you, before I jab you with this pen. Core chip or mild standage. I don't just think fear stops, John. I told you you'd get stuck. I think you're going to look real cute when I get this down. That's just what I'm afraid of. That's what the whole school is going to think. Lee Roy, will you stand? Any waist. I'm lucky the teacher doesn't make me play for a sin. I don't see why you feel that way. John Alden is a hero. Remember, it's John Alden who gets the girl. Yeah, that's a hammer-slogging and havin'. Well, look at our little pilgrim. No, wait till I get it pinned. You know your lines yet, young man? Some of them. Well, it's about time you've been rehearsing that part for a month. I've been trying to get out of this for a month. That's no attitude to take. The Core Chip of Mild Standage is great literature. I studied it in school myself. I remember it to this very day. This is the forest, primeval, the murmuring pines in the heavens. That's Evangeline, Uncle Mort. Well, that's good, too. Let's hear you recite that speech you were having trouble with last night, Lee Roy. No, I don't want it. Let's see if you've learned it. Some other time, Uncle. No, right now. I'd like to hear it. We both would. Wouldn't we, Marjorie? We'd love to. No, we'll do it. Not if she's gonna listen. Young man, you'll recite that speech or you'll go right upstairs to your room. Okay. We're waiting. Let's see. Pretty, Mr. Sparcella. Turned out of that theater to suit a one-who-go-last-and-yet... Yet loves thee with a noble and undying passion.  Oh, I have to. Yes. You don't keep at it. You'll never learn the part. I don't learn the part. Maybe we won't have to do it. You'll do it or I'll know the reason why. Come on now, once more. Pretty, Mr. Sparcella. You're not trying. Pretty, Mr. Sparcella. You've got me doing it. Oh, Bertie, I want to talk to you.   Standish anyway. Quiet, you. Bertie, I've invited Judge Hooker to Thanksgiving dinner. So that'll mean one more. That'll mean five more. What? Yes, I hope you don't mind, Uncle Mord. I invited four of the boys from Camp Fuller. Oh, well, fine. The more, the merrier. Thanksgiving isn't Thanksgiving unless there are plenty around to enjoy the turkey. Speaking of turkey, Mr. Gilles, please. Yes, Bertie? You wouldn't want to buy a chance on one, would you? I don't suppose so. What do you mean, Bertie? Well, the ladies at my church is holding the turkey wrap. Again? All right, I'll buy a chance. How much are they? 25 cents. That's for one. One chance. There you are. There's a quarter. Everybody around here has bought one from me. All the neighbors. Well, you're doing fine. Of course. You used to buy two chances and stand to reason you'd have twice as good a chance as they have. Yeah. No getting around that, Bertie. All right, I'll take two. Mr. Gilles, leave. You're making no mistake. Turkey's awful expensive this year. Yes, I know, Bertie. 48 cents a pound at day one grocery. Oh, brother. Yeah. So if even you used to buy three chances, you'd still be ahead. Sold, Bertie. Make it three. Yes, sir. Let's see now. How many is it going to be for dinner? Well, there's Marjorie and Lee Roy and Judge Booker and Mrs. Ransom and the four soldiers. And you, Bertie, that makes nine. And you, that makes 12. Oh, yes, me. Let's go to take a big turkey. Well, maybe we should order one right away and ask them to hold it for us. Well, let's wait and see how this raffle comes out first, Marjorie.  Of course, they've sold quite a lot of chances on it, and you've only got three. Bertie, if you can guarantee I'll get the turkey, I'll take five chances. Well, I can't promise nothing, but my cousin's doing the drawing. I'll take five. Well, that'll be a dollar and a quarter. That's right. Well, here's another dollar. That's quite a lot of money. Yes, it is. A dollar and a quarter will buy a lot of things. Don't I know it? You wouldn't like to take a couple more chances just to protect your investment.  I got to get down to the ration board. Brother, look at that crowd. Pardon me. Could somebody tell me whether this is where you get B ration books? No, this is where you don't get them. Yeah, wise guy. Madam, would you mind? You can't shove in here. I'm not trying to shove in. I'm into the line. End of the line. I've been waiting here since two o'clock and you come trying to shove in. Yeah. Madam, I was merely trying to ask a civil question. I'm into the line, Bert. Just a minute. Who do you think you're pushing? Well, who do you think you're pushing? Well, who do you think you're pushing? Bye, George. If you weren't wearing glasses. Well, I'll take them off. There. You look worse. Put them back on. Shove in ahead of me. I did not. He did too when he squeezed me. Here, my good one. Well, you'll have to ask for order here, my friend. Why don't you just take your place in the line? I'm trying to find out whether this is the right line. I've come for my B ration book. Oh, you've come for it, eh? Yes. I have my application right here. Eh, you and a hundred million others. What? Young man, evidently, you don't know who I am. I happen to be Throckmorton P. Gillesleve, and I have to do a lot of driving. Where to? Well, out to the reservoir. To the reservoir. What for? See if there's anything in it. Yeah. Listen, brother, if we gave a ration book, everybody wants to drive out to the reservoir for a little necking in the moonlight. I don't do any necking in the moonlight. Oh, you like it in the dark. Yeah.  End of the line.  Well, not guilty. He has the nerve to tell me I'm not entitled to a B ration book. Well, he may be right, guilty. You're only sharing the ride with one person. You can't throw those technicalities at me, Hooker. You're the share of my rider. You sign this application yourself. I know that, guilty. As a share of the rider, I'd be delighted to see you get your ration book. But as a ration official, I couldn't possibly pass this application. My conscience wouldn't allow it. All right, judge. As a ration official, you needn't bother to come to Thanksgiving dinner. And as a share of the rider, from now on, you can walk. You're all mine. We'll be with us again in just a few seconds. If you're troubled with a food budget that's hard to keep in line these days, just remember this. There are any number of wholesome, good-tasting, nutritious foods that can help you keep your food budget down. Now, one such food, surely, is Parquet Margarine, Kraft's Delicious Spread for Bread, because it's good-tasting, economical, and nutritious. Parquet Margarine's flavor is something pretty special. Thousands know it as the margarine that tastes so deliciously good. And just as important, Parquet Margarine is an economical source of food elements that your family needs. Yes, wholesome, nourishing Parquet Margarine is one of the best energy foods you can serve. And the year-round, every pound of Parquet contains 9,000 units of important vitamin A. Yes, it's wise to economize with Parquet Margarine. It's delicious, nutritious, and thrifty. So buy Parquet Margarine tomorrow. Just ask your food dealer for Parquet, P-A-R-K-A-Y. Parquet, the margarine that's made by Kraft. Come back to Somerville to the Great Gilder Sleeve. Apparently, he'll get no more gas than the rest of us, but what about Turkey? It's Tuesday afternoon now, only two days before Thanksgiving, and we find our hero checking last-minute details with margarine. What about those four soldiers, my dear? Are you sure they're coming? Oh, yes, I had a note this morning from their commanding officer. They'll arrive at 12 o'clock sharp in a jeep. A jeep? Oh, brother, what an appetite they'll have. I'll have to run around the house a couple of times to get myself up to concert pitch. Can't let the boys show me up at my own table. I don't think you need to worry about that, Uncle Mort. Well, I guess we're all set. Soldiers accepted, hooker canceled. Mrs. Ransom? Mrs. Ransom's coming, isn't she? You invited her, didn't you? No, I thought you'd take care of that. You're the lady of the house. But I thought you'd want to. Oh, dear, and I went over there this morning to borrow a roasting pan for the turkey and never said a word about it. What must she think? Oh, this is terrible. This is awful. I'll run over there right now. The fine thing, borrow a woman's roaster and not invite her to dinner. Oh, my goodness. Oh, Mr. Gilder Sleeve. Uh, Leela, I've come to explain. I don't know what there is to explain, I'm sure. May I come in? Well, I'm rather busy. Just for a moment. Well... Leela, of course you're coming to Thanksgiving dinner Thursday. Well, I'm hardly in the habit of going to places to which I've not been invited, Mr. Gilder Sleeve. But you are invited. You've been invited all along. There was a mix-up, that's all. I thought Marjorie had asked you and Marjorie thought I had. How do I know? How do I know you're not just inviting me for my roasting pan? The thing was further from my mind than a roasting pan. Oh, you say those things, but you don't mean them. It's the truth. You were the first one on my list, Leela. Was I Throckmorton? Sure not. Yeah, sure not. Oh, but I'm afraid I couldn't accept it this late day. You see, I've had all these other invitations. Oh. If I turned them down now, I know they'd be heartbroken, much as I'd like to have dinner with you. We're having a 20-pound turkey. I love turkey, but I'm afraid I can't.  No, don't tip me now. I'll save you the wishbone. We can make a wish on it. What would you wish, Throckmorton? I'm not supposed to tell you. That I could trust you with a wishbone. These other people. But you've got to come, Leela. Marjorie and Leeroy will be terribly disappointed if you don't. And so will I. So will Birdie. And so will the army. The army? Yes. We're having four young lieutenants to dinner, too. You'll come? We'll are. That's too good to me, Leela. She's coming with bells on. I wouldn't put it past her. No, Leeroy. Certainly not. Why? I'm supposed to bring a gun to school tomorrow. What kind of a school are they running? A reform school? Not a bus. Oh, don't mess it up. Oh, put it on, Leeroy, and show Uncle Morton how nice it looks. Not finished. Oh, no. Go ahead. You look real nice in it. I look like a sissy in it.  And cleaner, too. Put on the pilgrim suit, Leeroy. Oh, wow. Your sister worked hard on it. Won't do you any harm to put it on once. Go ahead. Okay. Well, Bertie, you think we're going to have enough turkey for all these people Thursday? I don't know, Mr. Gillslee. Let's see now. We've got four soldiers and the four of us here, and Mrs. Ransom. What about Judge Hooker? Judge Hooker is an ungrateful old goat. Ever mentioned his name in this house? Excuse me. I didn't know it was like that again. There'll be eight of us at dinner. And you know the way soldiers eat. You think we ought to figure on two turkeys? I don't know, Mr. Gillslee. I don't know what we ought to do. What's the matter, Bertie? You seem to be sort of dragging today. I don't know. I don't guess I feel so good. Out a little late last night? No, a certain old lady than usual. I just got a feeling that's all. What kind of a feeling? Like things weren't going to work out somehow. Oh, well, don't let it get you down. By the way, when are they going to raffle off that turkey I bought all those chances on? Yes. We can't wait much longer to find out about that. Thanksgiving's only two days off. I was thinking, Mr. Gillslee, how would it be if we had a nice ham instead of a turkey? Hiding something from us. Except they had that raffle last night. Oh. You came mighty close. The winning number was 61, and you had 62. But it still leaves us without a turkey. Well, solder. Oh, well, if you gamble, you have to expect those things. We better order a turkey right away, though. Yes, we can't invite all those soldiers to come 20 miles for Thanksgiving dinner and have no Thanksgiving dinner. I'll go call up the market and reserve one. That's just a trial vote. What do you mean? I called up the market, and all the turkeys is reserved. You mean they won't sell us one? Butchers says there ain't a turkey left in Somerfield. I don't know what's the matter. Last week, no pop rolls. This week, no turkey. We've got to have a turkey. We've invited all these soldiers. We've invited Mrs. Ransom. We've got to find one. Where? Don't ask me. All right, Aunt. How do you like it? Like what? The pilgrim suit. We just lost our turkey. No turkey? No turkey. How do you like that? The drugstore. Some Thanksgiving dinner. The drugstore. Maybe PB's got a turkey. Hold everything, kids. I'll be right back. I'm going to the drugstore. PB, you've got to help me out. Well, I'm always glad to do a customer service. Good. Have you got a turkey? What was that again? Have you got a turkey? A turkey? Well, now I've had people come in here and ask for some strange things. This is the first time I've ever had a request for a turkey. It is, but never mind that. Have you got one? No, Mr. Gilbert, please. Turkeys are one thing that I don't carry. I'm sorry. Have you tried to meat market? Of course I've tried to meat market. Why do you think I came in here? I wonder. Now, just a minute, PB. You serve turkey sandwiches at your soda fountain, don't you? Yes, we do serve a turkey sandwich. You can't make a turkey sandwich without a turkey, can you? No, I wouldn't say that. In other words, PB, your turkey sandwich is not a turkey sandwich. Well, turkey sandwich has become a sort of a trade expression. Although we serve it with genuine cranberry jelly on the side. But suppose you don't care for cranberry jelly. Then you just ask for the regular chicken sandwich. PB, I'm surprised at you. I don't know how you can sleep nights. I did used to have a little trouble, but I just take a cup of hot cocoa before going to bed. Now, now I find that sets me right. So does Mrs. PB. Well, this isn't finding a turkey. I got to get going. Goodbye. Goodbye, Mr. Görasleeve. Have a nice Thanksgiving. It's same to you. Don't drink too much cocoa. And don't let Mrs. PB. I've been everywhere. It's no use. The army's picked the place clean. There's not a single turkey left. Maybe I should warn those boys at camp. They'll do better if they stay there. Yes. Wait, there's just one chance left. What's that? If we can find out who won the turkey in Birdie's raffle, we might be able to buy it from them. Yes, Birdie. Yes, Mr. Görasleeve. Would you mind coming in here? Yes, sir. Birdie, do you know who won that turkey in your raffle? No, sir. Do you think you could find out? Well, sir, I might be able to. Then again, I might not. What do you mean by that? Well, if I still find out who won, you might not like it. Come clean, Birdie. What bush are you beating about now? You won the turkey? Yes. Well, why didn't you say so? Who is it? Well, you said never to mention Judge Hooker's name. Oh! That's our only chance. Uncle Moore, don't you think Judge Hooker would be willing to let you have it? After what I told him down at the ration board? No, my dear. I really gave him a piece of my mind there. I thought if you took it all back and invited him to dinner again. When he's got the turkey, he'd just laugh at me. He'd, he'd... Wait a minute. Birdie. Does Judge Hooker know yet that he's won the turkey? No, sir. I'm supposed to deliver it to him this evening. Excuse me, folks. I got to see a judge about a bird. Horace, I've come to ask your forgiveness. You've come to the wrong place, Gildersleeve. That's a cruel attitude, Judge. But I don't blame you for taking it.  You're right. A big boor. In front of a whole lot of people, too. Yeah. I could kick myself when I think of it. Yeah. We all fly off the handle sometimes. There was no excuse for it. Doing a thing like that to my old friend. Well, Gildersleeve.  But we've been pals for a good many years now, haven't we? Uh, off and on. Yes, Gildersleeve, we have. Off and on. And we've always had Thanksgiving dinner together, haven't we? Yeah, I guess that's right. Well, I want you to have it with us again this year. You really mean that? Well, Horace, I've said it before, and I mean it now more than ever. If you don't come to Thanksgiving dinner, it just won't be Thanksgiving dinner. Certainly be delighted to come. Good. Don't forget now. I won't. We'll be counting on you. I'll be there. What time would you like to have me come? Oh, come early, Judge. Come about nine o'clock in the morning. Nine o'clock? Yeah. And when you come, would you mind bringing that turkey you want in the raffle, Judge? But it's been a mighty pleasant day. Oh, stick around, Judge. The evening's young yet? No, I've got to get an early start in the morning. But I don't know when I've had a finer Thanksgiving. Well, it was your turkey, Judge. I share my turkey, you share your car. That's the spirit today. And good spirit, too. It brings people together, Judge. Yes, it does, Gildy. I'm sorry we had that misunderstanding down the ration board. As a matter of fact, you're probably entitled to a B ration. You use your car for official business. Well, I don't want a B book. What? No, I've been thinking about it, Horace. The spirit of rationing is to get along with as little as you can. Instead of grabbing all you can get. You're absolutely right, Gildy. And I'm glad to hear you say it. You're a credit to the community. Well, thank you, Horace. And you may rest assured that even though I've only a humble A ration, my car will still be at your service at all times. You mean that, Gildy? I do indeed. That's fine. I've got to meet a train at Moore's Junction at six o'clock tomorrow morning. Good night, Gildy. Good night, everybody. Closed and conducted by Billy Mills. This is Ken Coffinger speaking for the Kraft Cheese Company and inviting you to tune in again next week for the further adventures of The Great Gilder Sleeves. Ladies, when you want to make good macaroni and cheese, get a package of Kraft Dinner. This wonderful product is really an answer to a housewife's prayer for an easy and quick-to-make main dish. It takes only seven minutes cooking time to fix delicious macaroni and cheese with Kraft Dinner. Put the macaroni that's in the package into boiling water and cook rapidly for seven minutes. In just that short time, you have fluffy, tender macaroni all ready for the cheese goodness. So you take the package of Kraft Grated, which comes with Kraft Dinner, and sprinkle it on the macaroni, stirring the delicious cheese flavor through and through. That's all there is to it. Your macaroni and cheese is ready to be served. And once you've prepared it this way, you'll never want to go back to the old-fashioned way of baking it. 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We're still in Ogun state that the state governor, Prince d'Aquabiodo, has held chief teams and members of the APC for the peaceful conduct of the just concluded state congress of the party in the state. Abuelo spoke after the election of 37 state officials of the party at the congress held at the MK Abuelo stadium of Belcota. Yemnisan Nosiu was re-elected as the chairman of the party. We must continue to ensure that that APC brand continues to shine. Our peace and security is what continues to earn us as the investment destination. Any act to breach that will be considered an act of sabotage against your collective will, the desire of your child. We must close with all our members no matter how successful a project is. There will always be room for improvement. And to this end, I urge all members of our party to close run so that together we can present a formidable team at the pool. Hello, hope you enjoyed the news. Please do subscribe to our YouTube channel and don't forget to hit the notification button so you get notified about fresh news updates.


Mae'r cwestiwn ymlaen i chi i ni i gyd yw yng Nghymru 2018 yn ymddiol i'r rhagor ymlaen i'r cynnwys yng Nghymru islamic, yng Nghymru islamic yng Nghymru. Felly, mae'n cael ei gwybod. Felly, mae'n cael ei gwybod, a'n cael ei gwybod a'n cael ei gwybod a'n cael ei gwybod a mae'n cael ei gwybod i'r gwybod i'r ddweud i chi gydig ar y cwestiwn. Mae'n cael ei gwybod i chi'n gwybod i'r Cyryd Ysbryd ac mae'n rhan oedd yn gwneud yn ymlaen i chi, mae'n gweithio'r wych ac mae'n gwybod i chi ddefnyddio'r panhau i chi'n gweithio'r gweithio. Mae'n gweithio'r ffarsgwr, mae'n gwybod i'r cyfrifau ac mae'r cyfrifau yn blaen, ond mae'n gweithio'r cyfrifau a'r rhai cyfrifau yn cael ei gwybod. Mae'r rhagor yn cyfrifau ar y cyfrifau cyflot.  Yn ymddangos, mae'n fydda'r gwybod hwn yn oedd yn gweithio. Yn gwybod, mae'r cyfnodd yn cael ei gwybod, a'r amser yn cael ei gwybod. Mae'r amser yn cael ei gwybod, mae'r amser yn cael ei gwybod. Felly, mae'n cymdeithasol o'r panel o'r cyfeiri'r cyfnodd. Yn y ffyrdd ymlaen, rwy'n gweithio i'r ysgrifennu Erika a Rhyd, oed yn ymddi'r ysgrifennu ymddiadau o'r cyfnodd, o'r cyfnodd yn cyfnodd yn Syrion i Iraq, yn cyfnodd i Syria. Is that still with kind of provincial encompassing or that all these conditions to extend is the still driving what might might like a prologration of civil war? I guess I can start, based on the literature that I'm familiar with so should science as in political science specifically, the factors that gave rise to the conflict are actually worsen or being exacerbated as the conflict has extended. Now we know that conditions like poverty and lack of democratic governance of course are predictors of violence but as human rights abuses and all those things have harassed and since the onset of the conflict lives more displaced a'r wynau, rydyn ni wedi dod y parodyd â unigol yn y cofnod gweithio ac yn Ynys Gweithio, yma. Mynd i syrraeth, pa yn cael y dyma, y dyma'r ond wedi grannu arnos. Mynd i'n ddiwedd gan Eirach, mae'n sobyn yn gweithio, ac mae'n ddweud o'r Deirach yn addysgu ymlaen rwynt pobl yn Llaidio Mhysg, ac mae'n ddoch yn Oesor, ac rydyn ni'n bydd rydyn ni'n ddechrau i'r llif i'r llif i sirwyr wedi'u cael ei dweud o'r tyfn i'r gwestiynau'r gweithio? O'r Rhyg, mae'n dweud y llif i'r llif i'r gwestiynau yng nghylch y byd? Mae'n fwy o'r cyflwyfiad sy'n dweud, mae'n gweithio'r cyflwyfiad yn ddweud i'r drefn y cyflwyfiad, mae'n dweud i'r drefn yn ddiwedd. Mae'r ddych yn gweld i'r drefn y cyflwyfiad yn gweithio'r llif i'r drefn ac yn dweud i'r drefn. So this is certainly the case of this context, where it is hard to imagine... ...a moment of ripeness as you say because all of the incentives are for... ...all of the actors to keep fighting for their lives, to de-mobilize either... ...any of the different actors would mean ROF, and they will report that to represent. I think it's one of those really nasty Civil Wars, but... But, as I said, if you look at data over the course of the last 150 years or so, the average civil war like this takes about nine to ten years to run its course, the more actors become involved, the harder it is to resolve the conflict, particularly when it's not clear that any side is winning outright. So 30 years? Well, I don't know. There are confidence intervals involved of course. Absolutely right. But I would say that we're not close to the end. Right. Well, that's pretty grim. So Doug, we were talking earlier on about the differences. We need to think in terms of the difference between the situation in Iraq, the situation in Syria. We tend to lump them together. What's your sort of forecast? Well, the two cases are clearly different. It's one war, at least from ISIS's perspective. The Caliphate spans these two countries, but the conditions on the two sides of the border are very, very different. On one, we have a partner that we can work with. And the Iraqi army is certainly not the American army, but for the region, it's fairly capable. Likewise, the Kurdish Peshmerga, even the PMU's or PMF, the Shia militias, are a relatively organized, self-organized force that reports to some political body that we more or less understand. None of these conditions are true on the Syrian side of the border. The only forces that we believe that we can deal with, the regime left aside, are forces that we've kind of created ex nihila, brought about. The only reason there's really a Kurdish force on the Syrian side of the border is because we created that Kurdish force. Whereas the Iraqi Peshmerga are very much pre-existing, have a long history, are organized, have commanders, and report to a political authority. So very, very different. Now, as we move into the next phase, I'm very concerned because fighting a war is, as international tasks go, relatively easy. The American army knows how to fight a war. Fighting in Mosul is a task that the American army is fairly comfortable with. Once the fighting ends, we're going to move into a transition, into a peacemaking reconstruction phase that's going to require an intense amount of local knowledge of which we're not overindowed. So is there a difference? If the Iraqi stability has been backed by an American approach and Syrian stability will be backed by a Russian approach, does that tell us anything about the future? Well, it is certainly interesting to watch the two approaches. I've often called the Russian intervention in Syria kind of the dark, bizarro cousin of the American intervention, because they look remarkably similar. In both cases, you have a great power come in, they make sure the capital isn't going to fall immediately. You then start training, you provide some special forces, you give them some air power. These two cases do look remarkably similar, although obviously we're less a fan of one than the other. Well, absolutely. Caleb Wilson, you've had to give, like many of us on this panel, actually advice to those in sort of senior positions of leadership, to the civil leadership. If you were now in that same role and you were having to advise, what would your priorities be, looking forward, forecasting for our political leaders? What sort of advice would you be looking to give now? I would like to start by saying that I think part of the problem here is making sure that you do due diligence in getting the framing of the problem as accurate as possible. I do have concerns, and these are concerns that go back to 9 June 2014, when ISIL crossed the border, violated the international boundary, basically opened up that space and turned the situation into at least a merged conflict of Iraq and Syria. Frankly, that erasure of that international boundary, I would offer and I would forecast, as we did about two and a half years ago, at the end of the day, this could prove to be one of Daesh's greatest strategic errors of erasure of that border, of that international boundary when they did it. Because what that did is it unlocked the boundary, the physical boundary, expanding the space that was increasingly permissive for US and coalition forces to actually congeal the common denominator threat that transcended both territorial sovereign states, Iraq and Syria. So it actually opened up the aperture to allow us to conduct operations which were necessary for actually grappling with an ISIL problem set that by its nature and by its physicality on the ground was already defying the traditional boundaries of how we define an area of operations, a theater of war versus a non-theater of war. If that erasure had not happened, it's interesting to think of how limited we would have been able to, how limited we would have been in terms of our opportunities to prosecute what has essentially become a US coalition supported, indirect, by with and through conditions-based campaign with SOF married with precision fires and ISR in support of indigenous ground forces on both sides of this international border. That was very permissive. So I think that's something we have to consider and that was some of the advice that we offered early on. The second piece I would say is you have to understand and get a good sense of what the fundamental source of power in generation fuel for the threat is. At the end of the day there are a lot of causes that give rise to Daesh, Al Qaeda and ISIL 2.0. But the one thing you have to start with is a disharmony of interest, a disharmony in a disgruntlement among Sunnis region-wide, principally in Iraq at the time, but certainly in Syria and frankly across the Great Levant. In that really being the fuel, Sunni disenfranchisement and a lack of trust in terms of Shia dominant governance in the region. If and until those conditions are not rectified, which bring me to the political settlement in the conditions that you can bring forth with military power as well as other forms of power, until you get to that point where you are setting conditions for a true move forward for political settlement to remove those root source fuels. We can find ourselves winning all of the battles and engagements along the way. We can see ourselves on the doorstep of winning the retaking of Mosul, or assisting in the retaking of Mosul and on the precipice of doing the same in Al Raca in Syria. But that could prove to be a catastrophic success because we may find ourselves like we were in 0203 without a lack of a phase four stabilisation reconstruction plan. Kevin, you're taking us from what we hear in the headlines about military issues to the one of politics and governance. That brings me nicely into the ambassador. We all agree that war must return to politics and there is an issue of governance which arises in Syria very different from the situation in Iraq. But would you be able to contrast for us how you see, again, looking ahead, the governance of Iraq and what your observations might be about your neighbour in Syria in terms of the way that is going to be governed in the future and how that might help us to see a way through this conflict? I think what you have in two situations as Doc talked about, but one organic entity which is able to adapt to the situation. The issues of sectarianism is one layer. The same problem in Libya, others, which is not a sectarian problem. You have issues of international tourism, jazz and cellophism. So I think you need to look at it in a more nuanced aspect of it. There are clearly issues to do with governance, which is to do with understanding services, providing services, and so on. And this is a regional problem as well in the Arab Spring countries. You could see that. You also have high population growth, which is another phenomenon in the region. You have an underlying, quite few complicated, messy issues you need to address. My concern about all of this is you need to, what I call, manage complexity rather than simplify it. And that requires substantial amount of knowledge, time, away from the guns and the bombs and everything else to be able to have that. Plus the politics we talked about, which is not an easy task. My concern as well is that you're looking at these issues, which are all layers, and you're trying to say, let's get this, initiate things, everything, sort of that. It's not like that. It requires a substantial amount of meticulous approach in better services, education, healthcare and so on. And to me that's where the clock is ticking and how much are we being able to address that, how much are we being focused on it. The world element is the easy part, I would say. The peace element dealing and getting the right foundation for sustainability of the peace is what we need to work on. And here I think World Bank and other international organisations need to look at this as a totally different paradigm shift in a war effort. It's non-state actor as well. So you've got a lot of elements you need to worry about. Governance is an important breathing space for the politics to help for people to see the future. The two situations here in Iraq are totally different in the governance sense as well. Because in Iraq you have already a government where you have some kind of local problems. In Syria you have complexity where even international partners are not clear what their roles are. So I think to me it needs to be looked at differently from the solution, but it's only one organic entity, which is ISIS, able to adapt differently. Is it too simplistic to say that war is about and strategy is about accumulation of power and peacemaking is about distribution of power. One of the accusations against Iraq has been some of the problems we've seen have arisen, the accusation is, because there was inadequate sharing of power, of distribution of power. Do you buy that or is that something? Our is an important element which is and people are clocking themselves in sectarians and other isms, nationalisms and all kinds of things. I agree with, I give you that. But I think it's a bit more fundamental than that. It's a bit of long-term approach in sustainable politics. So let me give you an example. You need to create an environment in the region where dialogue can really take place. At this moment, no platform for dialogue, no international platform for dialogue. Even sponsorships in the Syrian situation, my perspective is US Russia need to agree that in the region, the local. Having this diagonal view of trying to solve it out, I'm afraid the situation. And to me, I still don't see a solution for Syria. I still don't see a strategy for Syria. I think that's been... Let me give you an example for that. Let me give you a very quick example. Would you be surprised with one Syria or three Syria? Once you answer that question or two Syria, then you can have something to talk about. Yes, indeed. One of the things that sometimes comes up in the panels of specialists is that quite often there are questions that come from the media, there are headlines that we get to talk about and then there are things that the specialists say, I wish this was asked, or this is the issue that I think is the burning issue that never gets talked about. Erica, could you just kick us off and say, what do you think is that sort of burning issue that we never get around to discussing? Okay, so I think all wars end eventually. We can argue about when we know that they have ended, but all wars will come to an end. And for me, the United States has repeatedly shown in this context that it is not willing to sort of muster an overwhelming political or military approach to finding a solution to the Syrian conflict. And so, for me, the question that nobody then asks is, well, is there anything we can actually be doing in the meantime to manage the suffering that's been produced by this conflict? And so I wonder about any types of resources that can be coordinated or developed on the part of international actors. And then I also wonder about who's in a position to deliver them and implement this type of approach. So I've long been thinking about, you know, not just the crises produced by population flows and forced migration and the refugee crises, but also just about what is happening on the ground in these countries and who is actually mobilizing effective civilian support. Who are the sort of non-state actors that are engaged in this work? Is there a role for private sector? Are there creative ways to try to alleviate some of the suffering while the war ends? Which it will. So, Rhiann, I was thinking about to you and this question of, you know, is that too optimistic to think of these frameworks we can create. I mean, your research shows just how rapid this explosion of violence took place. That gives some idea of the scale and does that tell us about the resilience of this conflict that we're not going to see and end anytime soon? Well, there are a lot of questions there. I don't necessarily know that how quickly the conflict and the severity of the conflict escalated is predictive of how long it's going to last. Some conflicts are quick and intense burn and others draw out over a very long period of time. But a related question to, I think, get back to what you asked Erika and while she was responding, one of the things I thought about was that the media and to some extent policymakers are often really fixated on this idea of, you know, are we winning or losing? How do we know when a group is being pushed back and is an increase in violence indicative of growing strength or growing weakness? I don't actually have an answer for that question specifically, but what I will say is that we know that often when violent non-state actors like Daesh, for example, or the other factions in Syria face substantial setbacks, there's an increase in violence at least against soft targets like civilians. Not to say that they weren't using that violence before, but groups often switch strategies from a conventional to a non-conventional or from hard targets to soft targets when their strategic position is weakening and one of my concerns is there's often not enough thought put into if weakening is suggestive of the group failing, that's a good thing, but how do we protect the civilians that are likely to suffer the backlash from those losses on the ground? The question that should be asked is, I think, when the tide turns against the group, that's not all good, right? There are ramifications from that. There's collateral damage that oftentimes is underappreciated and doesn't receive a lot of forethought at least in the military strategy planning stages. The pursuit of victory always comes at a cost. Now, we have about, I think we have 10 minutes, almost 10 minutes, so if there are any questions, so if you could, I'm sure there will be about sooner on, yes sir, you were the first person if the microphone could go to you. Just say who you are and if you want a specific address question to someone, please tell us. Sure, Rob Levinson from Bloomberg Government. I guess for whoever is willing to entertain the question, the President is going through a strategy, we're all talking about what we should do. If you had to describe a desirable end state for the situation in Syria and Iraq from the US, what would the US like the end state to be that's actually realistic and achievable within, you know, again, whatever your estimate of a reasonable investment of time and resources and troops on the ground might be? What's the end state look like at the end of the day that if you were advising the President that this is where we're going and now I'm going to give you a path to get there, what is that where we're going look like? Can I get, Doug, and I, could you answer that question? Sure. Sure. Thank you. Simple. Simple. Again, I think the questions are very different on each side of the border. I mean, what's different about these two states is in one, the United States has very real national interest and the other, it simply does not. It has only humanitarian interest. So I think our interest in those two states is very, very different. In Iraq, I think we're very vested in something very functional, in something that can be an ally, and I think we're on a path to going there. My concern is that as we move from war to peace that the number of Americans who understand how to do war on Iraq is myriad. The number who understand Iraq well enough to make peace, the number who've seen Iraq other than from the military or embassy bubble who've gone through passport control in Baghdad or Najaf is actually fairly minuscule and I'm very concerned about really having the granular level of knowledge to help with the peace. On the Syria side of the border, I think we just want the fighting to stop and I think we're fairly agnostic as to what the aftermath looks like. On Syria 3, again, as a human being, I'm deeply concerned about the Syrian people. As an American military analyst, how that ends up looking, I'm fairly agnostic. Can we get a vision for the future? I'm going to take a slightly different angle than Doug. We're probably going to end up in the same place, though. I think we're on the precipice. On the one hand, I agree with Doug. We have two different scenarios here. We have two different states, we have two different condition states. I think in Iraq, arguably, I think, certainly militarily, we could be at the beginning of the end of the major combat operation piece of this long campaign and going into the peace. The big question there is, particularly as things turn at Mosul and the big question of after Mosul, this is what concerns me, because if we have not set appropriate imbalance conditions on the other side of the fictive border at this point, on the other side of the merge conflict, what is compromised still in, I would call, a four wars in one, compound war in Syria, just a civil war. It's an insurgency against Assad, and until that's settled by the local population, then and only then, I think, do you really get to the full fight for who governs next and how, and that, I would say, would be the civil war that we're only at the beginning of, not to mention the humanitarian weaponization of migrants and that contagion war in and of itself, and then, of course, our international fight against ISIL, al-Qaeda and similar violent extremist organizations. Until that is brought to a commensurate, relatively balanced, stable condition state, I think we've got to compromise of the conditions that Iraq needs to seal the peace beyond the battles and in the engagements. And so this is a concern I have. So I would say when faced with an intractable problem, John Monet said this, enlarge the context. And so I think you find existential threats, not just to the U.S., but to, for lack of a better term, the Westphalian community in the merged conflict of Iraq and Syria in terms of what that combined set means for, frankly, solvency and legitimacy of the Western liberal idea itself that it can actually solve big problems together in American leadership in particular. And secondly, I think that in large context lets you understand that failing to contain, at least from a U.S. perspective, the politics by other means that are going on across this merged conflict space is a direct threat to the breaking of nations of the EU. It's a direct threat to the southern flank of NATO. And again, we're right back to the real existential problem of what I might call, provocatively, a growing globalizing insurgency against the Western liberal order. Thanks very much, Ken. All right. I'm going to show you another question. Yes, sir.  Thank you. This is Hassan Abbas, Professor at National Defence University and a fellow at New America. My question is for Erika about the situation in Iraq and your work on the importance of nonviolent movements. And I was thinking two major developments in Iraq in the last few years where one was this Urbain where hundreds of thousands of people go in a peaceful protest. It's a religious connotation. But similarly, what happened in Baghdad, pushing back against the judicial officers, yes, there were some thugs involved in that, but overall that was peaceful. Somehow, neither in the academia nor in the policy avenues, these peaceful movements in Iraq have been given any preference. So any thoughts on that and a related question to Ambassador, if I may, is about the future of Hashtar Shabi. After the November 26th new law, are Hashtar Shabi forces becoming a more cohesive force or not? Right. For me, I'll see you to be brief because we're short of time. Sure. Thanks, Hassan. So, nonviolent movements get underreported all the time. And as somebody who collects data on this, it's maddening and makes my job very difficult. But my best guess for why this takes place is that things don't blow up and so we're not watching. And I appreciate the question because in fact, if we look at what is happening in the world, how people are mobilizing to push for change in their environments, it actually turns out that we live in the most contentious time recorded in the last 117 years at least in terms of people mobilizing in mass movements to produce change in their environments. There are more nonviolent mass movements in the world ongoing right now than in any other decade that we've seen since 1900. But that's not the story we hear if we turn on the nightly news. And so what I would just briefly say about the four things that tend to make these movements noticed is they often win when they get very big, when they get very cross cutting in terms of who's involved in the movements, when they are able to elicit defections or loyalty shifts among the opponent elites, when they are able to withstand repression and sort of absorb major moments of state violence and turn them around to their advantage. And then when they shift methods so they're not just protesting and rallying, but they're also striking, they're engaging in different types of stay-at-home demonstrations of creative nonviolent action, which was the case in Iraq and Baghdad. And in relation to Hashidwch's PMEU, the Popularization Forces, I think it came up because of the situation. The army wasn't able to control. That army is now becoming strengthened, getting more momentum and development and other aspects of it. The self-control you could see in areas that have liberated that's praised as well. So the more you strengthen the army, the less you need an army. So that's one aspect. The other aspect of it is politically, there's a lot of engagement to de-politicise these entities and focus on that. There is a need for the Najaf Grandatollahs to get fatwas to remove that. There are what you might call strong plan put together as how do you make this entity only a security entity rather than a political entity which threaten the security of it. There's a lot of work there. There are other entities, such as Christians, Sunnis and others. So it's not just here, my point is. And there's a lot of work going on. Nobody yet knows exactly how to go about it, but there is an overall plan and everybody is saying terrorism is enough. We had that and we need to move into political solutions. Which is a good sign. Thank you very much indeed. Well, we are coming to the end. Believe it or not already. So in about 30 minutes, we have solved the crises of both Iraq and Syria. If anyone is looking for a job in government, here we are. What I can say is just for I thank our panellists. You will all know, of course, it's the 366th anniversary of the publication of Leviathan by Thomas Hobbes. Hobbesian world is the one we fear. The anarchic world. And it's worth reflecting on the panels that we've had so far today and indeed our panel today that civil wars don't always end very well. Often in dictatorship and retribution, if my own country isn't to go by, with its Hobbesian world. Political experimentation with violence extremism and civil unrest. Another option is military rule. There's the Sri Lanka model, which I won't articulate any further. You know what I'm talking about. Or indeed there's regional war escalation. And I think whether Iraq at least, we are through I think the worst. And it's very encouraging to hear you being broadly optimistic about the future of Iraq. An uncertain peace, but a peace immersion, nevertheless Syria far less certain and far more uncomfortable. Ladies and gentlemen, would you join me in applauding these wonderful speakers? Thank you.


What's the word, y'all? Three games slating the association. Let me give you the clip nose verge before we dive into all three of these. The Atlanta Hawks get eliminated in five, man. Wow, were you surprised? You shouldn't have been because the Atlanta Hawks have played like an eight seed the entire season. So you shouldn't have thought that they were going to be able to take out the one seed. But even with that said, they are definitely bogus for losing this game specifically because no Jimmy Butler and no Kyle Lowry and Trey Young had like the worst playoff series that you can imagine. Again, we're going to dive deeper into this. So they bogus out to Deondra Hunter for even making this a game. But even though Deondra Hunter made it a game, this wasn't a game. The Miami Heat had this convincingly for 99.9% of it, all right? So shout out to the Heat. This is the best version of Victor Lodipo since all the injuries and that could be scary for the Eastern Conference. We will dive deep into the Atlanta Hawks and the Miami Heat advance to the next round in a second. Game number two, and I guess this is my own personal order, the Phoenix Suns win a must win at home where Chris Paul has a huge bounce back game from game number four. We put up like four to six points. McKell Bridges plays almost every second of this game and puts up 30, the real MVP over there. Hope Brandon Ingram is okay. He like jammed his finger or something on his shooting hand and that's not the greatest, but I hope he is okay. And lastly, the Memphis Grizzlies steal one from the Minnesota Timbers and they were down by like 10 with like six, seven, eight minutes left at home. They steal one to give them a three to lead. And now the Suns and the Grizzlies only need one more win to advance to the second round. That's the clip notes version. Let's get into the deep dive. I'm gonna start off with this Minnesota Memphis game. I've never seen a series and I've been watching basketball for a long time. Maybe not as long as some of the people watch this video, but a long time. I've never had a series that was equally fun and frustrating. That's what this series has been. Let me explain. Actually, I don't need to explain to you why it's fun. You've been watching this series. You get a Jameran poster, a Jameran game winner. We get play after play after play where it seems like very good coaching. Chris Finch calls timeout. Jaws is a beautiful play. Jaws is a beautiful play to get Anthony Edward to open corner shot. South Georgia McLaughlin throwing that pass and boom, a three point shot. Great shot. Carnegie Towns had a huge bounce back game. I had a lot of people criticized and we put up a third and even tonight he had a really good game. A Jamer has been doing this thing. Desmond Bain is having breakout performances. This has been undoubtedly a fun series because it's been so back and forth. But it's been frustrating because you can see the age of this team every second possession. If you did not know, these are two of the four youngest teams of all of basketball. One of their average age is 24.9 and one is 24 exactly. I don't know which one is which but there are two of the four youngest teams in the NBA.  Last game, game number four. The Memphis Gris are down by four points and on the call Richard Jefferson are telling them or telling the Minnesota Timbers don't even play defense. It's three seconds left in the game. The only thing to make this a game is if you foul a three point shooter and he hits the shot. Desmond Bain shoots a three that's five feet behind the line and at the average is contestant. Why even put yourself in a predicament to almost foul? He didn't foul. Luckily, bone head play. Bone head play number two is actually, it's not even a singular play. This man, Jarrett has been the second most frustrating player for me, this whole playoffs. Number one is Trey Yon because Trey Yon, come on bro, you're an NBA player.  We gonna talk about that but like that's number one frustrating player to watch in this playoff run so far. Jarrett is number two. We talked about last time bro was averaging 23 minutes per game. Today, he played 17 and a half minutes. All defensive Jarrett probably. I mean, a balance right now. But he was all defensive on my list and you ain't no use for your team on the bench. I mean, the three extra claps you're giving sure but you are no use to your team on the bench and bro cannot stop fouling. Was the last foul he got number six questionable? Sure, but the entire, ooh, y'all know I hate talking about officiating but the entire officiating for this game was trash. So I mean like, he has to be better. Even if they get out of this round if you want to have any chance of doing anything in the next round against the Warriors or any chance of doing anything against anybody else you have to stop fouling. And we've seen this amongst like good big man defenders when they're young. We saw this with Robert Williams like last year and the year before that. A lot of people saw the two main things about Robert Williams games. They say, hey, he can not stay healthy and he cannot stay on the floor and this season he got a lot better on the second half. He still struggled with injuries here and there but he got better with not fouling and now he's an all defensive player. Jaron is still an all defensive player in my eyes even when he's fouling but in the playoff series playing 17 minutes is unacceptable. He played the same amount of minutes as Cal Anderson. Supposed to be the second best player, you know? Bonehand. We talked about Anthony Edwards hitting the huge shot that the biggest shot of his career until this point, right? We talked about him taking that big shot and hitting that big shot. And then on the other possession on the other side defensively he gambles for the steal that leads to a ja-marant layup for games. Bonehead play after Bonehead play but it's still fun and I'm still enjoying it. Now I don't want to talk about these type of things. If you've been watching this channel for a long time you know that there's one portion of the game of basketball that I absolutely hate talking about and I know it's a big portion because everybody talks about it. Everybody on Twitter and Reddit like, oh if it wasn't for this one part of the game my team would have won and that's the officiating. So you know, if I am talking about officiating things went kind of south and listen, I'm not saying but I'm saying that fourth quarter officiating was God awful. I'll leave it at that. Fourth quarter officiating? It's God awful. Ja-maran was having a terrible game until the fourth quarter. Got some whistles. He definitely got some whistles but he also had to hit the big shots. He had to hit the three that he hadn't hit all series long. He had to hit the shots. They had to get the stops and they did those things. So they won the rebound in battle. They killed the Timberwolves on the glass on the offensive glass and that led to second chance points and all of those things matter man. All of those things matter even with the questionable officiating. Now they go back to Minnesota for a game six and I think it's a coin flip on who gonna win that. Obviously Minnesota has the advantage because I'm guessing there's gonna be somebody protesting the game there. So that's a plus three to everybody's morale and abilities to shoot the ball. But other than that, I think it's a toss up man. I think both of these teams have played each other well. It's just different on any given night. The Atlanta Hawks got eliminated in five. Again, like I said, not a surprise that they got eliminated in five. I didn't see enough of this team for me to even think that they had a chance to maybe pull off an upset. Like people believe that there was a chance that the Brooklyn Nets could pull off an upset. I don't think anybody is picking the Atlanta Hawks to beat the Miami Heat.   But even then, this team did not look nothing like that. John Collins was dreadful and he's still fighting this injury. I guess I commend him for playing but I guess, I mean, not really. You didn't contribute positively for the entire team. Trey Young got absolutely clamped up the entire series. I got the stats and they aren't pretty. Trey Young ended the series with 30 tone turnovers and 22 made field goals. He was seven for 38 from three and he had 30 assists. He was being hunted on defense and was held to single digits, two times of five game series. Dreadful and well, well, well, a lot of people are not enjoying this run, which makes sense, man. This was extremely bad. Again, even though we didn't expect them to win the series, we didn't expect an all NBA player to put up the numbers that he did where two of these games, Kevin Knox outscored him and like nine total minutes of basketball. And as much as we can talk about the downfall of the Atlanta Hawks, I'm gonna take the time to talk about the greatness that is the Miami Heat. Like I said, how Laurie got injured in the last game. He didn't play, or two games ago and he didn't play this one. And it was basically a late scratch with Jimmy Butler. I mean, I guess he got some time to like get healthy for the next series, whatever. But two players that are super important, the point guard and the literal star player who had been killing the entire series are out of this. This is a time for the Atlanta Hawks to be able to steal the game, but they couldn't because Victor Oladipo who had been sitting on ice for 97% of the season came in today and look about as close to the all-star version of himself as I've ever seen. And I am not exaggerating. I don't know if we're gonna get this version of Victor Oladipo for the rest of their playoff run, but tonight he looked like he was back in Indy. And if we're getting like 70, 80% of that, that could be extremely. And I mean, extremely dangerous for whoever they see in the second round. And if they get out of that, whoever they see in the conference find was because Vio was him today. And Bam, who I talked about earlier in the season of not being aggressive and just looking like he didn't wanna, not that he didn't wanna hoop because he was still very good defensively, but he didn't wanna play the offense side of the ball with no Jimmy, no Cal Lauri. Hey, who was the next guy? Who's our next all-star Cal the player? It's Bam. And he gave you a good offensive performance on top of the great defense and with a 20-point game, 11 rebounds including some offensive and force is great performance from him. But my MVP over all of this was PJ Tucker because for at least four of these five games, PJ Tucker had Trey Young and Alcatraz. Now I know it's a team effort to guard a guy like Trey Young, but the main focus of defense was PJ Tucker. And I know he not a dude that's gonna score more than at the most nine points, but that defense on Trey Young was a legendary. They gave him fits. It's things that he said himself in his post game interview. Things that he ain't seen since he was in high school. They did that. Sposker, PJ, Gabe Vincent got a lot of minutes on Trey Young. They neutralized an all NBA player who basically just let the league in total points and total it says had him have more turnovers than field goals made insanity. And what's next for the Atlanta Hawks is up in the air in my personal opinion, man. Because if I were them, I'd be calling every team to figure out the values of anybody not named DeAndre Hunter and Trey Young. John Collins, even though he's a good player. Again, he was stinky in the series, but I do believe a lot of that had to do with him coming back from his injury. Him and Trey Young having jailed completely. I know they went on that run and his defense was good during that run, but overall they haven't jailed completely.  Clint Capella has lost a step on both sides of the floor. Kevin Herter has hit a miss, but I will still pick up the phone and ask around. Bogdanovich, I think he's got one more year in his contract. I picked up the phone and asked around. If this team doesn't look dramatically different next season, I'd be disappointed. And Travis Slank, who's done a solid job, but to this point, I'd be disappointed if he didn't make some decent amount of moves. And I've been seeing a lot of people talk about a center. Atlanta fans, you might not like to hit this because the idea about this player has gone very, very self in the last two seasons. Talk about not Clint Capella. Rudy Gilbera is a center for Trey Young. I'm not saying it's the right move. I'm not saying it's the wrong move, but those are the type of things you should be thinking about. That's all. And lastly, let's talk about this Phoenix Suns game. Unfortunately, I only got to watch the fourth quarter. And in that fourth quarter, I saw a lot of great defense from McHale Bridges. I saw a lot of great offense from McHale Bridges. I saw him cutting back door. I saw him hitting shots. If you remember the last time I talked about series, I said that there's no way that McHale Bridges, Jay Crowder, Cameron Johnson, and Landry Shaman continue to shoot like 7% from three together. And though Jay Crowder still was one for five, McHale went four for four. Cameron Payne in this 11 minutes ended up with two threes and bro fouled out. He was all over the place hacking. But he gave y'all his best performance at a playoff so far, and that's a good sign. Landry Shaman even hit a three. I knew that the shooting was gonna come around eventually, and it was enough for them to get this win. Like I said, Chris Paul came out a little bit more of a winch. He did get caught again with a second violation because Jose Alvarado is still super exciting and a nuisance out there. But one thing I'm super concerned about for the Pelican's sake is Brandon Ingram, because of course, like I said, he hurt his finger in this one, and hopefully it's just a jam and it's okay in a couple of days, but I know a jam finger on the shooting hand can be tough, can be super tough. CJ, last two performances, not the greatest, and they need him to be great if they wanna win this series, that's all. But yeah, man, one more game for Memphis and one more game for Phoenix, but anything is still possible. They still have to go into the Positine's territory to make a win, unless we're going to game seven. I wanna see at least one game seven in the first round. Is that too much to ask for? At least one game seven with the stakes are at an all-time high. There's nothing better than a game seven in the NBA. You feel me? I guess a game seven or a elimination game anywhere, whether it be college, whether it be in the NFL, one game eliminations, or in the wildcard game, in the MLB, one game elimination is peak sports, peak fandom, and I need those.


The study found that 14.7% of the healthcare workers at Ayatollah Rahani Hospital Babel had latent tuberculosis. The majority of those infected, 71.7%, were female, and the average age was 32.7 years old. Additionally, the incidence of latent tuberculosis was higher among technicians, 8.8%, and nurses, 6.6%, compared to other occupations such as services, 2.5%, or administration, 0%. Furthermore, 17 out of the 18 individuals who tested positive for latent tuberculosis had a history of exposure to a patient with active tuberculosis. Based on these findings, it can be concluded that the incidence of latent tuberculosis in this hospital is relatively high, and that the most important risk factor is long-term work experience. Therefore, healthcare personnel training and infection control programs should be implemented to reduce the risk of transmission. This article was authored by Mazame Bayani, Mohammad Reza Hazenjani Raushan, Abdulgayum Hadji Lidoji, and others. We are article.tv, links in the description below.