The Halls of Ivy, starring Mr. and Mrs. Ronald Coleman. Mrs. Ronald Coleman. And Benita Coleman. Inviting you to join us again on the campus of Ivy College. It's in the town of Ivy, USA. Reading make it the full man, said Francis Bacon many years ago. But it's a notorious fact that college presidents get very little time to read. Thus, it's rare and precious scene that we're permitted to view this evening as we look into the living room at number one faculty roll. There, by the hearth, enjoying the fire and basking in the warmth of each other's company, said Dr. William Tonner Hall, president of Ivy, and his wife, Victoria, reading. I knew it. I just couldn't have been anyone else. Then who? The mailman. I had him under suspicion right from the first. Of what exactly are you accusing the mailman? Of murder. And I knew it from page three. Page three. Oh, a fictional mailman. Not that swift courier of ours who conquers snow and rain and heat and gloom of night on his appointed rounds to bring us a calendar from the butcher, a testier note from the gas company, or an invitation to donate $500 to a committee for the defense of a parakeet charged with citicosis. What was the question again? I merely said, then you were not talking about our mailman. Well, maybe that's what you said, but you didn't say it merely. No, it was the mailman in the murder mystery. I just finished. He stabbed Sir Montague Milford in the butler's pantry. Right between the sherry and the biscuits, I presume. How was the book, aside from the fact that the author failed to baffle you? Terrible. I found it on a seat on an ivy bus this afternoon. Somebody smarter than I am had thrown it away. What are you reading, or were you reading, before I broke in on your research? It is called Miscellaneous Publication number 486. And is published by the Soil Conservation Service of the United States Department of Agriculture. You must have found that on a bus, too. No, no, Professor Darby of our agricultural school gave it to me. It is subtitled Teamwork to Save Soil and Increase Production. It's devoted to the conservation of water and soil. Well, that's simple enough. Just dig a well and save the water in it.  Conservation, soil and water. Why don't they ask me about these things? I can't answer that without hurting your feelings, my love. Besides, this is really a large and interesting subject. It concerns proper farming methods, such as contour ploughing, tree planting, erosion prevention, and 100 other ways to use the earth and not lose it. Professor Darby calls it farming today for tomorrow. Why did he give it to you? Oh, I indicated some interest the other day when I asked him about the legal aspects of cloud seeding. Cloud seeding? Yes, dear, artificial rainmaking. Darling, you are interested in more things. But what about the legal aspects? Well, I just asked a hypothetical question. I wanted to know what my legal rights would be if I owned a farm, raising crops which required little or no water, while a neighbouring farm needed rain and started cloud seeding. Exposing the wind with a shift and my crops were deluged and ruined. Whom could I sue? My neighbour? My government? The firm of cloud seeders? Or Jupiter pluvius? Oh, yes. Or if we started out for a picnic on a bright day and some ambitious farmers end up in airplane and made it rain, who would we blame for the soggy sandwiches and the wet cookies? Exactly. Well, who would we? Professor Darby didn't know. Oh. Miss, the old story, ask a hypothetical question and you get an equivocal answer. So I think I shall ladies pamphlet aside and go back to my real reading for the evening. The mystery? Here's a profound one. It is a paper by one of our younger faculty members in one of the psychological journals. It's just published. The mystery is why. Dibs on it after you've finished. What's the title of this masterpiece? It's called, excuse me, well, I take a deep breath, a statistical study of certain aspects of sibling rivalry among public school children and the pre-adolescent age group. I think we ought to read aloud to each other more often. Seriously, is it any good? Seriously, no. Vicky, I try to be appropriately humble in fields where I am not an expert, but this paper sounds as if... What is it, Toddy? I thought I heard someone on the porch. Oh, it's that wretched doorbell.  You know, somebody is at the door, Toddy. Here's a knocking indeed. Wake, Duncan, was I knocking? I was, though, could. I get it, Vicky. Anon, anon, I pray you'll remember the party. Won't you come in? Oh, I see, the knocking. Always a little joke, Dr. Hall. Your doorbell doesn't work. Good evening, Mr. Wellman. Macduff indeed. Duncan is in his grave. Good evening, Mrs. Hall. That's the life-spitful fever he sleeps well. Yeah, yeah, sure. I guess I have you there, Dr. Hall. Treason has done his worst. No steel, no poison, malice, anything. That's enough, Dr. Hall. That's enough. Now, let us put this persiflage aside. I have come here, Dr. Hall, on a matter of the gravest. I mean, I am disturbed by a matter which concerns you as president by me, that is, as chairman of the board. Well, if you're suggesting that it doesn't concern me, Mr. Wellman, I can go hook a round or something. Oh, not at all. Not at all. I can mean that. I know Dr. Hall likes to have you present whenever possible. Yes, I even bought an insurance policy to further the idea. It's called a marriage license. Anyway, please don't leave, Mrs. Hall. I value a woman's approach to things. Intuition, they call it. For her, intuition, nonsense. Just a pretty name for animal instinct. I know amephymism. Euphemism. He didn't mean you, he meant me. Mr. Wellman. Thank you, Mrs. Hall. As you know, I want to have here at Ivy of faculty second to none. The best, mind you. Well, I find myself in complete agreement with you, Mr. Wellman. It's a rare and enjoyable sensation. Well, enjoy it while you can. Because, Dr. Hall, the price of having the best faculty obtainable is internal vigilance. Eternal, isn't it? In this case, it's internal, Mrs. Hall. It concerns this college as an internal affair. And to further this objective, Dr. Hall, we must be ruthless, objective. We must... Look, do you know this new man in the history department, Professor Grimes? The Hugh Grimes? Yes, but he's not exactly new, Mr. Wellman. He's been with us a year and a half and a good man, too. That is a matter of opinion. And it is not my opinion. The man is no scholar. Not keeping up with the standards of our faculty. He's lazy, slacking on his job. He's letting us down, Dr. Hall. Down, down, down. Down boy. I can't understand how you got this impression, Mr. Wellman. Grimes is a brilliant man. One of our most promising historians. Well, let him keep his promises. Do you realize that Grimes has published nothing? Not a single book or article since 1947? Five years? Well, is the... Is the value of the teacher to be measured by what he offers his pupils or his publishers? May I remind you, Dr. Hall, that Grimes occupies a Hezekiah Q. Wellman chair of modern European history? Well, the reminder is unnecessary. I know it very well. And need I add that that chair was endowed by me in grateful memory of my late fraternal grandfather Hezekiah Q. Wellman? Grimes is in my chair. I mean, the one I... Yes, I know that, also. But do you know Dr. Grimes personally, Mr. Wellman? Well, I've shaken his hand, if that's what you mean. I know what he looks like. Doesn't mean anything. Anybody can look like anything. And they often do. Are you sure you have adequate grounds for your complaint? I know that he hasn't published anything since 1947. That's enough for me. Well, wouldn't it be a good idea to get acquainted with him? Yes.  Well, do any good. A lot of happy chit-chat, lardy dark personalities, everybody being charming. Nobody's going to charm me into changing my mind. Maybe Grimes can hold a teacup. But that isn't the question. Can he hold his job? Well, let's have you both here anyway. We'll all try our best not to be charming. It'll be difficult for my wife. I know, but I'm sure she'll do her best. Well, I'll just pretend I'm the new girl in the play and you're all friends of the producers. All right, I'll be here.  And every time I've gone to a coffee clutch, I've always find one kind of cookie that I could do without. It's good to see you, Dr. Grimes. Glad we were able to reach you. Do you know anything about steam fitting? Well, only the old joke about taking two pieces of steam and screwing them together. Or about boiler cleaning compounds. No, sir, my horizons are somewhat limited. Then you ought to be a college president. I was just on the telephone with the custodian of buildings. He wanted my advice on repairs to the heating system. Now, why should I know anything about that? I suppose the presidency of a college does demand a certain omniscience. Omniscience says it would tax the versatility of Leonardo, the wisdom of Solomon, the patience of... No, I mustn't be trite. I will not say a joke. Now, let's get down to business. I had a special reason for wanting to see you this morning, Dr. Grimes. Not a very pleasant one, I'm afraid. Really? I'm sorry to hear that. Do you know Mr. Wellman, Clarence Wellman, the chairman of our Board of Governors? Well, I've met him, of course. Well, Mr. Wellman is a shrew businessman, Professor. We mustn't for a minute discount either his sincerity or his intelligence. However, he is occasionally inclined to not to list some of our intangibles as assets. Your ability to communicate with and inspire your students is, to me, a real value. But, Mr. Wellman, it is not something which can be displayed in the window. It seems, Professor, that you have stubbornly and shamefully refused to publish a book in the last five years. That's the case for the prosecution. Wellman versus Grimes. Ah, I see. And to keep my name on his books, he wants to see my name on my books. Mr. Wellman has become obsessed with the idea that a top-notch scholar must be a productive scholar. Well, of course, he's right up to a point. I haven't published anything recently. However, I suppose that the college insists I could knock out a paper and send it off. Although, right now, that would sidetrack me. Oh, the college doesn't insist. I've heard nothing but favorable comments about your work here. You have the respect of colleagues and students alike. Well, that's very gratifying, Dr. Hall. I thank you. Well, as far as I'm concerned, with the job you're doing at Ivy, I wouldn't mind if you never published another word. Dr. Grimes, I think my husband is getting ready to put up a fight for you. No, not a fight, Vicki. I don't think that'll be necessary. No, I would rather bring Mr. Wellman around by persuasion. Oh, so would I. Then let's make some plans. Now the plotting starts. And are you free tonight? Could you come over here? Oh, certainly, I'd be delighted to. Good, good. Mr. Wellman has agreed to be here too.  In the meantime, I have a Machiavellian suggestion. You a Machiavellian? Oh, he'd be a bourge here for the sake of Ivy College. Well, Clarence Wellman also happens to be interested in history, particularly his own. He has spent a great deal of time and effort clambering about among the branches of his family tree. He doesn't know that if you climb high enough in your family tree, you'll probably find yourself out on a limb. He has, like, a man who spent $10,000 in family research and then $20,000 to have it suppressed. How far back did Mr. Wellman get? Well, I don't know exactly, but it seems the most illustrious of his ancestors was a certain Cetobias Wellman, born somewhere around 1665 and knighted during the reign of George I. No, it was probably a dull afternoon and George was looking for excitement. Into each reign some life must fall, I always thought. Cetobias Wellman, that sounds familiar. It does. A few years ago, Mr. Wellman deposited a copy of his genealogy in the college library. Oh, I'm sure the librarian could help you find it. Now, if you were to familiarize yourself. You need go no further, Dr. Hall. I have some free time before my next class. Now, let it work. Mischiefs, thou art afoot.  What's he done to deserve such a combination against him? We's only guilty, my darling, of what Paul Valerie calls the folly of mistaking a paradox for a discovery, a metaphor for a proof, a torrent of verbiage for a spring of capital truths, and oneself for an oracle. The Voice of America is bringing you this representation of the Halls of Ivy starring Mr. and Mrs. Ronald Coleman. To return to the Halls of Ivy, it's the evening of the same day. In the Halls' living room are Dr. and Mrs. Hall and young Professor Grimes. All is business about publication. If a professor is a good professor, isn't that enough? Why is he expected to keep writing books? It's supposed to establish prestige in his field of work, Mrs. Hall. The authority of the printed work. It's an ever-recurring problem, Victoria. Quite a familiar one to those of us in the teaching professions, but not to the laity. That was no laity, that was your wife. Why, you've cultivated the virtue of tolerance, Dr. Hall. Do you get much of this? Oh, yes, yes, a great deal. Although my wife's theatrical references are usually more classical than that one. It just didn't seem to be the right spot for Shakespeare. But tell me, Dr. Grimes, you said this morning that it would... Oh, no, that must be Mr. Wellman now. We must try not to greet him so frivolously tonight. Last night we put on an impromptu scene from Macbeth. Oh, not one of the murders, I hope. No, but sometimes I'm solely tempted. Tomorrow and tomorrow and tomorrow creeps in this petty pace from day to day to the last syllable of recorded time. Good evening, Dr. Hall. And all our yesterdays have lighted pools the way to dusty death. Good evening to you, Mr. Wellman. Had your doorbell fixed. Good evening, Mrs. Hall. Yeah, a case of assault and battery. We found a battery on the bell, saved an assault on the door. Good evening, Mr. Wellman. Ah, you know Dr. Grimes, Dr. Grimes, Mr. Wellman. How do you do, sir? Yes, I've met this young man. How do you do? Now, please sit down, both of you. And I've invited you here tonight because I believe you should know each other better. I was sure, Mr. Wellman... Yes, yes, Dr. Hall, I know all that preamble, but Dr. Grimes, how much do you know about English history? He teaches it, Mr. Wellman. Yes, and I've done a good deal of research in it. Have you ever heard of Sir Tobias Wellman? Sir Tobias Wellman? Yes, I have. You have? How did you happen? I mean, hardly anybody ever... You're sure you mean Sir Tobias Wellman? Yes, I do. He was born, as I remember, in November 1665. November 17th? I can't see. You're knowing that. Don't meet many people these days who take an interest in real historical figures. Is it quite a... How do you know about it, Professor? Oh, now, how can you say that? Victoria's history is Professor Grimes' specialty. It's no more surprising than to find Mr. Wellman, a former soup manufacturer, knowing how much actual gumbo goes into chicken gumbo. Very silly. We don't put gumbo into chicken gumbo. Gumbo means soup. It's like saying, how much mark do you put into marked turtles? Oh, how much malaga in the tawny. Certainly. Malaga tawny is an East Indian soup. Word means pepper water, as the main ingredient is... But I don't want to talk about soup. I want to talk about Sir Tobias Wellman. Well, as I recall, he learned the trade of carriage maker. He did. He did indeed. That's all right. Dr. Hall, this is the first historian I ever met. And finally went into business for himself. And he's the forebearer of yours, I take his service. The first of the Wellman line, Sir Tobias. I believe he eventually became carriage maker to the king. Exactly. He was carriage maker to King George I. He invented a new method of slinging the body of the carriage with lever loops, you know. Still known in trade circles as the Wellman sling. Far more comfortable for the passengers. Yes, yes. It was in recognition of this contribution to the royal comfort that Tobias Wellman was knighted. Exactly. Dr. Hall, why haven't I talked to this young man before? The opportunity has existed. Incidentally, Mr. Wellman, I went to the library today and read that copy of your genealogy. You did? Well, it's been there long enough. I mean, I'm glad somebody was finally interested enough to read it. Why were you interested in it, Professor? Excuse me while I get some butter. Butter? Butter? I just want to see if it'll melt in my husband's mouth. Not before. Really, now, there's such an experiment at this time. No, no, no. Go ahead, Professor. Well, a few years ago, I was doing some research on the social history of the Restoration period. I don't know why they call these high points of history periods. History flows. Its interludes might be called historical commas, perhaps, or of the most semicolons, but I'm sorry, go on, Professor. Yes, go on! Well, I was digging around its old pamphlets, diaries, and letters, and so on. And this morning, the name of Sir Tobias Wellman struck a chord in my memory. And so I spent most of this afternoon checking over my old notes. I'm sure this will interest you, Mr. Wellman. This is better than a who-done-it, but get to the part where gorgeous George hit Tobias Wellman with a sword. Now, there is reason to believe, sir, that the young Wainwright named Wellman, who married Polly Boggs, was not actually the father of Sir Tobias Wellman. What do you mean, not actually the father? I mean, well, then who? Polly Boggs was the daughter of an innkeeper near London. One stormy night in March 1665, this information is from an old letter. There was an unexpected guest, a royal guest, King Charles II. Who wrote this, Daphne du Maurier? I can see the cover on the jacket. Now, it appears that young Polly Boggs, who at this time was about 18, caught the roving eye of the king. You all know the reputation of Charles II? Well, there appears to have been a romantic interlude. In any case, Mr. Wellman, a certain amount of conjecture is involved here. But it seems very probable that the father of Sir Tobias Wellman was none other than King Charles II himself. No. Really? Well, I... You think... My goodness, that would just... Really? Mr. Wellman, you may very well have flowing in your veins the blood of royalty, the blood of the stewardess. Well, but Wellman did marry her, didn't he? Of course, that was a very long time. Well, royalty? The blood of the stewardess. I can hardly believe it. For a soup manufacturer, Mr. Wellman, you turned out to be quite a broth of a boy. Again, let me say, Mr. Wellman, we cannot be absolutely sure. But it could be true. It must be. It would explain so many things about me. Well, the stewardess lost his head, didn't she? Oh, Gloria. Dr. Hall, my judgment was too hasty. A young man, you are the kind of faculty member we like to have at Ivy. That's gratifying. Anybody who does such conscientious research, well, when your contract comes up for renewal, in spite of what Dr. Hall may advise, I want you to know who I am behind you. In spite of what I... Yes, now I must go. It's been a pleasure to talk to you, Professor Graves. Good evening, Mrs. Hall. This has been very interesting. The blood of the stewardess. Imagine me, an economic royalist. Yeah, keep Clarence the first. Good night, subjects. Good night. Imagine, as you see. Professor, I hope that wasn't all together a hoax. Oh, it wasn't a hoax at all, sir. There is a certain amount of conjecture, as I pointed out, but the probabilities are certainly in favor of it. Well, it's amazing. Bonnet, Prince Clarence. Let his wrinkles little killed. He went out in quite a glow of noble happiness, didn't he? Yeah, I always rather suspect that he came from royal stock. He explains why I've so often wanted to crown him. Oh, no, no, that is... That's Lé's Majesty, my darling. I shall expect you as a former British subject. One subject I never wish to change. I shall expect you to treat his Majesty, Mr. Wellman, with a little more of the respect due, the regal line. And as for me, I shall get myself some silk knee-bridges from board meetings. All very well for you, Dr. Hall. You're of ambassadorial status. But what about me? I've just researched myself back into the peasantry. Ha-ha-ha! It wasn't a wonderful to watch Mr. Wellman's face when he suddenly realized who he might be. I'll bet he goes home and beats his soup kettles into a suit of armor. I hope he can make the feeling last. Oh, he will. According to one of his brother rulers, Richard II, not all the water in the rough rude sea can wash the balm from an anointed king. Wellman's form.


Does use of alternative medicine, in addition to conventional therapies, predict prolonged survival from cancer? I mean, even if alternative therapies themselves were useless, one might predict users would live longer, because they tend to have more hope, a greater will to live, nearly three times as likely to believe their cancer was curable, even if it wasn't. But death rates were actually higher in alternative medicine users. All of them up years later, and 79% of the alternative medicine users had died, compared to 65% of non-users. Now, if the alternative medicine users started out sicker, that could certainly explain it, and they did tend to be, though the difference didn't reach statistical significance. Bottom line, the association between the use of alternative medicine and shortened survival is not necessarily causing effect, but it's possible some of the alternative modalities may have indeed been harmful. Thanks to the internet, there's been a resurgence of older complementary and alternative cancer treatments, such as leotril, which is a compound derived from amygdalin, a natural cyanide-containing substance concentrated in apricot kernels, the seeds inside the pits. It was branded as a vitamin to skirt regulations, vitamin B17, but it's not a vitamin, and the lack of leotril's effectiveness against cancer and the risk of side effects from cyanide poisoning led to its being banned decades ago. However, no surprise, you can still buy it on the internet. Along with the apricot kernels themselves, why not just give them a try, though, because of cyanide intoxication? Here's a typical case report. A woman ate some apricot seeds. She got it at a health food store, so hey, they've got to be healthy, right? Twenty minutes later, she was having trouble breathing before she slipped into a coma.  Therefore, the continuing sale of apricot kernels as health food is troubling. And you never know what you're getting. Here this person was consuming a quarter of a teaspoon of ground apricot kernels daily and had just switched brands the day before she ended up in the ICU. Thankfully, she survived. Others are not so lucky, like this 17-year-old who was dead within a day, as severe cyanide poisoning can result in coma, convulsions, and cardiovascular collapse. That's why calling it a vitamin is so insidious. That 32-year-old woman arrives at an emergency room in a coma. Was she on anything? No, she just took some vitamin supplements. Thankfully, a relative showed up with them. Oh, B-17. They gave her a cyanide antidote and she survived. But had that relative not showed up or been delayed in traffic or something, the case could have proved fatal. So cancer patients should be informed about the high risk of developing serious adverse effects due to cyanide poisoning after laetrile or amygdalin, natural compound, and apricot seeds. Especially at risk may be those taking mega doses of vitamin C, or those not getting enough vitamin B12. C, the body has two major ways to detoxify cyanide. It can attach it to B12 to form the supplement form cyanicobalamin, which can then be harmlessly peed out. Or it can use the amino acid cysteine, which is also used to metabolize vitamin C. If you take too much vitamin C, levels can drop, and you can end up more vulnerable to cyanide toxicity. But hey, conventional cancer treatments such as chemo can be toxic, too. It's all about benefits versus risks. Yeah, amygdalin can block the growth of certain cancer cells in a petri dish, though it doesn't appear to have any anti-cancer effects against laboratory animal tumors. But you don't know what happens in people until you put it to the test and do a clinical trial of amygdalin in the treatment of human cancer, which we'll cover next.


She is a writer, a painter, a book and video artist whose work is known for its stylistic rawness and emotional honesty And she was recently awarded the Tornazal Award from the Hedlund Center for the Arts. So please welcome Kate White It was kind of like the midlife crisis time of life but it wasn't the kind of midlife crisis where you've achieved your goals and You know, you've done the things you thought you wanted to do and then you wonder well, what's it all about? What does it all mean? It wasn't that kind of midlife crisis It was the kind of midlife crisis where I still hadn't really done anything Because I'd been busy wondering what does it all mean? So That's context for this and it's it's all graphic. It's all You know drawings with some text from my sketchbook. So what I'm gonna read to you actually is the about the authors There's one in each book. So I'm gonna read you ten about the authors Okay with some images Volume one always a little in love Image from the book. This will be our template for the rest of my presentation and about the author Kate White grew up in the woods Isolated from other children and culture She had mystical experiences with plants and animals Snipping scissors troubled her because she imagined that she was injuring microbes in the air White once accidentally stepped on a salamander that was under the plastic tarp covering the wood pile She discovered it with a white cartilage like material jutting out of the side of its head But it was still alive. She could tell by the light in its eye She put it in a box with some pedals off of a camellia bush the next day. It was gone She went through a phase where she was into Jesus after this and wrote this song Once I went to Bethlehem town and there I saw the new born king Then he went to heaven. I wish I could go with him There wasn't a chorus Volume two after that. It's only fun and winning about the author Kate White graduated from a small town high school in 1989 as valedictorian She gave a plagiarized speech about education and democracy Throughout her adolescence white sneaked out to snort crank with a 30 year old married redneck man They did it in the cab of his GMC Jimmy He smelled like sawdust and chainsaw smoke because he was a logger and he had still toe boots He said her speech was boring, which it was During the speech in the entire day and night of her graduation. She had a urinary tract infection UTI Which made her feel like she had to pee constantly which you would know if you've ever had one Some doctors called UTIs the honeymoon disease Because you get them from having frequent sexual intercourse White has never been married Volume three dream of the white bandit picture about the author Kate White went back to a coke dealers motel room alone with him one morning after being up all night smoking coke The madness of loony tunes played on the television set He fell asleep as he was trying to molest her which allowed for her get away She graduated college and read the dharma bums It was then that she decided to live in a van Shortly after white came to the end of a large rock of crystal meth She had been nursing for a year and moved to a cabin in the woods to try to write During the following eight odd years white would be troubled by many things There were some decent times with boyfriends who took care of her She also returned to chewing Copenhagen which facilitated her ability to focus White made little visible progress by societal standards Volume four the meat question About the author Kate White had a fantasy about a pair of light blue corduroy pants that would make her feel confident and complete and able to achieve her goals In 2002 she found these pants at Ross and moved to San Francisco She was unable to eat and maintain the fit of these pants, so she stopped eating Then she started eating again and ate a lot of fattening food starting with a ham and cheese croissant She never wore the pants again At this point white became very ill with unlived potential She prescribed herself Adderall and other things to try to get control of her time as it passed by her When she was a hundred and four pounds for two weeks. She said well, at least I have that Then she ate some food and that went away to volume 5 new sicknesses About the author White felt Kate White felt embarrassed ugly and fat around everyone until she met a very fat black and handsome man on the streets They enjoyed scrapping finding and selling scrap metal Staying up all night in small rooms with wall-to-wall carpeting and learning each other's language She lived with him until his drug use and her neediness became incompatible At this point she placed his mattress box spring and many inches screen TV into the front yard She was not careful in the way she handled these objects She also placed in the yard A wood box that said potatoes and onions made for storing those items at this point in time the police drove by slowly The man ran away and left his mattress and took the box because it had belonged to his mother who passed volume 6 fashion or confusion about the author Kate White went walking by herself into the mountains for six weeks to escape her unhealthy lifestyle a Fit young blonde French boy named Dorian crossed her path He had the complexion of the white person and a benetton ad He was going north she was going south They made out but did not have sex Dorian went to Oakland a month later to finish what he started White could not relate and made him sleep on a thermo rest in the other room The next day she asked him to go to a hostel The next day after that she moved the homeless drug addict She had tried to she had tried to escape from in the French boy Dorian said he didn't understand her volume 567 Slave to the image master of the real It is very contrasty Usually you can see that the hair is pink About the author minutes indicate whites 36 hour vision quest the panic set in To create order she made some goals for herself to run around her eight foot circle 50 times clockwise and 50 times counterclockwise and do 100 sit-ups She quickly failed to reach her goals At this point white felt dead inside for 30 hours more The great spirit seemed unavailable or missing so she cut herself with a stick to get a reaction nothing Then she said loudly just kill me or let me live nothing When the vision quest was over white wondered what all the drama was about volume 8 diagnosis About the author After being alone for two weeks Kate white fell in love with the mechanic who'd been smoking crack in a van in front Of her house for a very long time He rose to the occasion by having a spiritual transformation and losing all interest in Crack cocaine the most highly addictive form of the drug cocaine They went to the country for the weekend She asked him many times to listen to the dreams. She had the night before Particularly the one about seven dead babies He didn't pay attention because he didn't care about metaphors White felt extreme abandonment and invisibility Meanwhile the mechanic was connecting deeply with his soul in the presence of nature He tried to get her to try it volume 9 breakthrough painting About the author Kate white decided to be a painter and painted some pictures of cheerleaders At this time white experienced for the first time a person inside named white first named Kate She admired everything in life at this point such as trash at the dump grass and sky colors and mechanical things Then white tried to use painting to get ahead in the world and at this point she lost her touch She continued painting, but it wasn't the same But what else could she do at that point except try to get back to that one point? volume 10 life in general About the author for her 40th birthday white went into the woods to spend a few nights alone After it was too late to turn back. She saw that she forgot her sleeping bag The mylar emergency hypothermia blanket kept her alive and awake all through the night because they are very crinkly sounding She got an Oreo McFlurry on the way home to bury her feelings Whatever they were Even though half of the point of the camping trip was to stop eating for a minute and get some control over her destiny The other half of the point was to find herself before it was too late That's it Thank you, and please don't worry about me Things have gotten better


There are some people who may be more vulnerable than others, sometimes because of their other illnesses or their age, or perhaps because of their access to healthcare. Inclusion of all vulnerable populations is very, very important. Not only because it's a moral imperative, but also because actually it's in our own public health interest to include all migrants, regardless of their legal status, into healthcare access within this outbreak and beyond. Sometimes it's important to provide people with a little bit of extra because they need it. This principle of equity also applies to the environment or to access to healthcare. It's important to provide the right healthcare for everybody in the right circumstances. This is also our obligation in the Sustainable Development Goals. Health for all, that's ever more important right now.


Hey everybody, I'm Lance Quakey. Today we are discussing programming, periodization writing workouts. And what I wanna talk about today is the difference between what we say doing straight sets where I pick one exercise, I do all of my sets of that exercise, then I move to the next exercise and I do all of my sets of that exercise and then I move to the next exercise and I do all of my sets of that exercise. Versus, that was a long comma, straight sets versus alternating exercises. So maybe I pair a squat and a pull-up and I do a set of squats and then I do a set of pull-ups and then I do a set of squats and then I do a set of pull-ups and then I do a set of squats and then I do a set of pull-ups. Okay, so why would I complicate things like that? Why wouldn't I just set one exercise up and do all of that and then put it away later and move on? Well, I'm glad you asked YouTube. Alternating exercises back and forth and back and forth between two different exercises is very good from a time efficiency standpoint. So if you're just looking for general fitness or you're looking for just a whole body exercise, maybe you're new to training and you need a lot of practice with a lot of different movements, then alternating exercises works really well. I pretty much put all of my first-time programs, first-time clients on that sort of plan. So they go in the squat and sometimes it's not really that challenging yet because they can't do the squat very well and very safely and I don't wanna load them up while they're not doing it well.  And then the same story happens. So maybe they do their push-ups and they arch their back a lot when they do their push-ups and they can't reach their arms really long at the top while they're doing them. Well, I'm gonna give you those cues and I'm gonna say, hey, I want you to fix this, but I know that their major muscles are probably not getting super tired from doing that.  And then I can get four sets done in like 10 minutes if I'm really hauling, okay? Yeah, it's just, it's really efficient, especially for a newbie. The other example is, if I only wanna work out three days a week, I'm probably not gonna split, I have exceptions, but I'm probably gonna choose a whole body workout for each workout day. Maybe I'll write three days of workouts and each one will be a whole body. It'll train the legs and arms. It'll train the lower and upper body each day. And in doing that, I just, I get a lot, again, I get a lot more done if I alternate between the exercises. I can do a squat and an upper body push. And then I can do a deadlift and an upper body pull. And then I can do, sometimes I just write two and I alternate between those for three days a week. That way you do day one twice in a week. It's really efficient, it works really well. Especially from a program writing perspective. Or what I can do is I can say, okay, so my exercises that I'm most concerned with getting better. We talked about exercise order a few days back. Maybe my top three here are squats and I'm gonna put that first on my day one. And then deadlifts, I'm gonna put that first on day two. And then pull-ups because I've never done a pull-up and it would be really cool to do a pull-up. And that's day three. That's a really good way to organize everything. That's a really good way to structure my exercise. But I don't need to just wait and do only that exercise. I can alternate between the two. Now, okay, we've talked about alternating exercises. Why would I do straight sets? Where I take one exercise and I do all my sets before I move on to the next thing. If your primary goal is just hypertrophy or strength-based stuff like pure strength or pure hypertrophy, then I might structure it that way. And the biggest asterisk is on hypertrophy. Let's consider strength first. So, you know, if I'm training for powerlifting, I would want at least three lifts a week, probably four, but at least three. And one day would be a squat, one day would be a bench and one day would be a deadlift. And I'm gonna primarily put all my focus into that primary exercise. That's why it's my primary exercise, right? So, I'm gonna do all my squats and then I get into the assistant stuff, right? The assistant stuff is not required for me to squat. It is assisting my squat and helping me in my training. So, I wanna make sure I'm freshest when I do my primary exercise and then I'll throw in a little bit more fatigue with my assistance exercises. Now, I mentioned there was an asterisk for hypertrophy gains. And that's because if I have more time, if I'm willing to come to the gym, like four or five or six days a week, then I don't really need to pair things together. And in that case, I can do my straight sets. I can have a nice long hour workout and do four different exercises and just sit there for three minutes between each set to allow full muscular recovery. There's a plane outside. That's a really good way to do it. And a lot of bodybuilders have a lot of success doing it that way.  You probably don't have time to lift for an hour, 15, six days a week. And so in those cases, I think you get a lot more out of alternating back and forth between two primary exercises. So hopefully that shed some light on why you would pick programming straight sets across versus alternating two different exercises.


Hi, my name's Leon Rowe, Currency Trader and Trading Coach at Trading180.com and welcome to this week's Forrest and Gold Fundamental and Technical Supply and Demand Analysis. Getting into the week ahead, so the 6th of August and the main economic data release will be the latest US CPI report for July. The last two CPI reports provided clear evidence of a slowdown both in headline and core inflation pressures in Q2. It was helped to encourage speculation that the Fed is close to ending their rate hike cycle. Another softer core inflation this week would help to reinforce expectations that the Fed has delivered their last hike in July. So that's going to be very important. The release of the latest labor cash earnings report from Japan will also attract market attention in the week ahead after making yield curve control policy settings more flexible at their last policy meeting. The Bank of Japan were still emphasised that they are not confident that inflation can be sustained at their 2% target in the coming years. As a result, the Bank of Japan is signalling that it is not yet ready to tighten policy by raising interest rates at the minute. The Bank of Japan would like to see more evidence of stronger wage growth in Japan to give them more confidence that higher inflation can be sustained. So definitely another key piece of data to watch this week. And finally the release of the UK GDP report for its Q2. Second quarter is expected to confirm that the UK economy expanded modestly through the first half of this year. While growth remains weak the UK economy has performed better than feared late last year when it was widely expected to have already fallen into recession at the start of the year. So the resilience of the UK economy to the cost of living crisis is placing more pressure on the Bank of England to keep raising rates to dampen the risk of more persistent inflation in the UK. And that report is an excerpt from MUFG. So before we get into the technicals and some other fundamental analysis for those traders who are in the Discord mentoring group just a quick reminder that I have in the Trading Videos channel. You have several videos that have been recorded this week. You have the weekly technical analysis that goes into a lot more depth with regards to setups etc. This week on way more pairs. Also as well the group call that we did on Wednesday and some other analysis and trading advice. And so let's get into the the technicals for this week. And so on the dollar index was just a measure of dollar strength. We've had the dollar rally over the past couple of weeks this week. Also convinced a lot of traders that the dollar was not as weak as first as the consensus has been over the past few months. I think probably from the beginning of the year really I think a lot of traders and a lot of analysts have expected the dollar to really kind of fall off a cliff edge. And although yes we have seen prices move to the downside it hasn't been a one-way trend to the downside as the dollar has been holding up better than expected. And the Fed was seeing waiting for more US economic data after mixed-job reports. So Friday the US adds 187,000 jobs that was non-farm payrolls, trading economists estimates of I think it was 200,000 unemployment though. So jobs came down but unemployment rate drops to 3.5% while wage gains heat up. And that's important because unemployment and wage gains really are what the Fed are looking for in terms of inflation. So unemployment needs to go higher for inflation to kind of come down as well as wage inflation as well. Average wages need to need to come down. So with regards to inflation the Fed are still probably on the fence with regards to whether they go into hold or hike. So the labor participation rate is unchanged at 62.6% and the Fed seem waiting for more data after mixed payroll report. Now according to the CME Fed Watch tool it looks like the market is still pricing in the chance of a no change. So this 87% chance of a no change and 13% at the moment of a hike but that could change this week with CPI data coming out. And again if CPI data comes out pretty much the same as the last reading or higher then it would indicate to the Fed that inflation is more stickier than expected and you are likely to see that leading to obviously a Fed rate hike which would then support the dollar actually to the upside. So again CPI is definitely going to be a major catalyst for whether you want to be a buyer of the dollar going into the next month or two. Now Fed's Bowman signals more rate hikes may be needed so she's quite hawkish in terms of inflation and there are several horts and several dubs. Some board members may feel that the Fed has done enough and some may think that they haven't done enough. So again for the dollar this week at least everything is going to really hinge on CPI. So moving on to the dollar yen and I'm actually bullish on the yen and this week we did have prices kind of move between well way past this supply zone. Now we've got prices kind of reacting but from this 14350 level a bit of a no man's land in terms of supply and demand but there's definitely some supply here now depending on again what happens this week we could see prices move to the upside or more to the downside but for me looking at this if you're looking at the year zones you're looking at even a move up to the 145 and even the 146's could be a decent sell right there or you're looking at potential for some buyers somewhere around here but again I think maybe some of these zones may not hold or this demand may not hold if the dollar if if inflation comes out really weak in fact I think that probably may be headed towards the 133's 132's. Now if you've been watching my channel for the last couple of weeks you've probably noticed that I said several times that I'm building my short position on the long position on the yen in terms of buying the yen in Schroder shorts Japan bonds and PIMCO likes yen in Bank of Japan game plans the UBS global wealth says bullish yen positions is a fantastic trade the markets are under appreciating the Bank of Japan's decision blue-edged says and I'm in agreement the top money managers are doubling down on convictions the Bank of Japan is well on the road to exiting the world's boldest experiment with ultra lucid monetary policy and that's really what your curve control is no matter what the Bank of Japan you know putting out in terms of their statements saying it's not the first step towards normalization of their policy in fact I believe that it is and obviously I'm in good company so for me you know I'm just looking at positioning myself on the yen and beyond this video many of the guys know that this week has been a really good week in terms of you know shorting the Australian dollar yen that we shorted the New Zealand yen and I'm still in a in a CAD sorry no a Swiss yen trade short as well so the yen has been working out really well this week now again for me medium to long term I'm bullish on that yen so any pullbacks I'm just looking at buying opportunities so if you do want to get involved in any kind of short buying the yen trade then or trade idea then I think this area up at these 144s 145s is going to be the first area you want to look towards getting short if you're looking to buy the dollar I think the nearest demand zone is going to be around the 140s if you're buying it against the yen that is you don't necessarily have to buy the dollar by the dollar against the yen could be any other currency but those are really the options for the week dollar Swiss in this I was in this trade broke even and still in this trade it's pretty much a break-even trade now can't lose on this and the really kind of deciding as to whether I should continue holding this and it's this will also depend upon what happens this week with regards to the CPI data so pullbacks could be buying opportunities in anticipation so CPI this week we can see in fact it's going to be on things the Thursday yes inflation for the dollar core inflation so that's going to be the the data right so we could see in fact if the dollar does weaken into the news event and then the news event comes out positive and that's going to be a really nice buying opportunity so maybe position yourself to potentially get long if you believe that you know the data will support your trade if not then obviously you're looking at trying to look for short trades in and around this area there's nothing really in terms of any kind of supply zones any strong supply at the moment so you'd have to really wait for prices to kind of make more of a supply zone there push further down then pull back up to that area there before looking at getting short so I'm not looking to really buy the Swiss Frank at all and yeah we'll see what happens with that currency pair dollar CAD and again last week talking about the the options and prices are pretty much move further up the Canadian daughter actually didn't have great news on Friday I think there I think it was employment end up coming out not not fantastic so again employment being linked to to inflation if employment goes down and unemployment goes up then inflation should want to rise and so it basically means that the Bank of Canada are less likely to want to high crates if the economy is cooling down so with that being said my bias is more on the short side for that Canadian dollar now so any pullbacks into for example something like a demand zone around here if you want to trade this currency pair and buy the dollar against the Canadian dollar I think that's decent technically I'm not personally looking at trading this until maybe after CPI the US CPI US CPI shows that they are likely to continue to hike and inflation is sticky then I think this is going to be a decent pair to look to get involved in on any types of pullbacks but those are really your options for now either you know to the long long side or to the short side in and around those zones now the New Zealand dollar US dollar was saying that my bias was was more short we have come back down to this area of demand where again I think it's going to be determined you know the price to the upside will be determined by what the US dollar does not necessarily what happens with the New Zealand dollar as a result of the US dollar potentially holding rates you could see prices you know move to the upside so it's not you know New Zealand strength is more dollar weakness and so yeah that's really the play that you're looking at if prices come down even more you're betting against the dollar then any moves to the downside pre-news can position yourself and then you know hope that price or the fundamentals do support your trade idea to the upside if you are looking at getting long on the dollar on any kind of pullbacks I think for me the 0.624 to 0.627 to the high of that supply zone I think is going to be decent for a short trade that area technically I do like it but again be more driven by what happens fundamentally the pound dollar right so the pound dollar this week the pound and the Bank of England did actually high crates less than what the mark with you know the market was it was with a market was kind of on the fence whether they were going to hike 25 basis points or 50 basis points they ended up pretty much hiking 25 basis points and and so the you know market took that as being a bit you know positive because the statement that the Bank of England made was was slightly more hawkish they kind of stick into their plan of hiking rates but the markets think that the pounds glory days are over as bets on ever higher rates fade and all central banks really are coming to an end of their hiking cycle you know if you look around apart from really Japan Japan are kind of you know actually looking to hike rates or you know may look to hike rates and so you know every cycle comes to an end and Sterling is second best performing currency in G10 this year in that Western BNP now see Bank of England delivering just one more rate hike and some I mean you know there are some analysts I believe that it's probably maybe two or three hikes and so you know it's not necessarily a consensus trade for now because inflation is still high but the pounds unexpected value this year may have finally run out of steam with the Bank of England moves close to wrapping up its tightening cycle analysts investors at firms including BNP Paribas and that West markets and State Street forecast officials will deliver just one more interest rate hike compared to the market expectation for two more and so they're all bearish on the pound so has the pound had its day I think the pound at the moment is still a buy and especially if for example the the US dollar you know getting inflation comes out this week and and they don't and the inflation is is low right or comes in lower than expected then you'll likely to see prices at least move to the upside now will we see a move past maybe the 130s 135s etc maybe maybe not depending on how how aggressive the Bank of England is with their rate hikes but if they do hike only one more time then you're probably looking at again the highs of one three ones might be where now we see this start to range or auction from and so with that I think the because the Bank of England is still hawkish and is a higher chance of the Bank of England hiking for me the bank the pound is still likely to be a buy at least in the short term anyway and so any pullbacks into you know these demand zones are buying opportunities I think again it you know is clouded a little bit by what may happen this week if the inflation does come out sticky for the US then you're likely to see possibly you know the pound start to sell maybe down to the 125s around here before then maybe stabilizing or finding some support in and around that area because you have two central banks that are actually high if you have two central banks that are hiking yeah hiking rates then you know the market is likely to you know find at least some support rather than continue trending to the downside so let's see what happens anyway but my bias is still to buy the pound at least in the short term so one second yeah so with that being said the other pound for me is is is more of a buy than the dollar until the dollar has its data release this week the euro so the euro we did get a little bit of support around this one nine just above the that demand zone again the data was kind of mixed in terms of US data so this wasn't necessarily driven by a strong euro in fact the euro were less hawkish so Christine Lagarde says what the ECB could hike again even after a pause Lagarde tells the Figaro so September meeting could see rate increase or a whole she says so you know whereas in in weeks and months gone by it was pretty much you know we're going to hike hike hike now it's like okay we're coming to the end and we may or may not hike right so that sounds a bit more dovish second quarter GDP data so far are quite encouraging so yeah let's see what happens with with that I do think that the euro will again probably be more supported by dollar weakness rather than euro strength because although she says that the second quarter GDP data so far is quite encouraging I haven't really seen it and you can see here German export still stuck in stagnation Germany being the the economic engine I guess for Europe and Germans Germany's economy hasn't been doing too well to support you know the euro zone so yes she's probably talking up the the euro at the moment but I think overall I think the economy is is kind of flatlining a little bit but let's see there could be obviously you know a bit of a pullback this week into a demand zone but then if you see prices or see the data come out and support or I say not necessarily support but goes against inflation goes to the downside causing the Fed to hold rates then I think you could see prices move to the upside or even continue moving to the upside from from where we are right now but again the opposite could happen if prices start to move higher and then inflation comes out supporting another Fed hike then that's going to be a really nice area to look for some short trade so again really driven by the macros this week Euro yen again we've found this this high and the prices did pull back to the highs as seen as an expensive area expensive area and so with the yen looking to potentially hike next year or end their negative interest rates which is a massive deal I think there's not really much upside left especially even if the the European central bank do look to hike in September I do think that the upside is going to be limited and I think it's probably going to be more downside as you get one all central banks pretty much look to hold rates and the Bank of Japan is using monetary policy to actually appreciate their currency so I think the upside is capped so if you do want to get short in here thinking that you want to get ahead of the curve then this decent area to look for short trades or bit more of a pullback if you can get one and if you do want to be a buyer of the Euro I think the discount is going to be around a 153s 152s even down to the 150s so that's where your options are Euro pound I'm starting to get interested in this in terms of just looking at this I'm gonna watch this perspective I think if the Bank of England continue to be aggressive and high crates then you should see more downside so any pull backs into these levels here I think a decent shorting opportunities especially if the the ECB look to hold rates if they continue to be a bit more dovish so any pull backs into these supply zones I think are going to be really really nice for a short trade as long as again the data supports the narrative and any pull backs into the what a 0.85 cent area could be a decent buying opportunity but I would rather at the moment look towards buying the pound over the Euro and we have the Australian dollar US dollar Australian dollar didn't have some didn't have good news this week was it last week I can't remember now but either way the data didn't support really any Australian buying so in fact well as I can see on the price chart that was it it was the interest rate decision that came out on the 1st of August managed to get in you know short and this has been a really nice trade so far and yeah against expectations of a rate hike and so that's pretty much been been the story for the Australian dollar and so the market had to price out a rate hike it was expecting the rate hike and obviously they didn't deliver but could this be the low of the of the range of the auction possibly if the US dollar again inflation comes in and it comes in lower than expected then I think in fact the downside will be captain you could see in fact some upside on the Australian dollar US dollar based off of US dollar weakness rather than Australian strengthening fact in all this area here is actually massive supply then those some traders would look at that and go well what the hell you know why would you draw massive zone of supply and it's really based off of just on lower highs and lower lows principles right lower highs lower lows lower highs lower lows right drawing supply from the lower low and lower high so you could even draw supply from any supply from each area here yeah which would basically encompass all of that three separate supplies and all you can just draw them as one so I prefer to draw them as one and how you kind of break that down then is look towards other methods of technical analysis like for example horizontal support and resistance within that whole area of supply yeah that's really what you know one of the things that you're doing I can't necessarily say everything that you should do but so this is one of the areas so you're ignoring in between then you just looking at areas of support resistance within that within those areas of supply because not necessarily get into it too much but understanding that this was an absolute bargain area yeah in fact let me use this right so this was a bargain area for the US dollar so much so so much so they broke to new lows yeah so this is the first zone that you must look towards if prices ever get up here to say where will this be a bargain again nobody knows nobody knows but we objectively know that it was back on the 31st of July an absolute bargain for the dollar because if it wasn't then prices wouldn't have gone down right and so we know that that lower high right there the first area that you want to look for short trades and so that's where we you know we have to draw that supply zone that's the second area that lower high that's the third and that's the fourth again nobody knows which one it's going to reverse one reverse from if at all but we enhance the probabilities if we're looking for a short trade you know on the fundamental side of things and so that's the reason why we kind of draw it as a bigger zone then we look towards this area here in terms of support and resistance and looking back we know that historically the banks and institutions have been trading and have traded this zone right and we know that because you can see rejections here rejections here rejections there there there and there so we know historically that institutions are buying and doing business and selling around those areas so within that area of the recent bargain so there's you know the two little tidbits that you can use when looking at you know when you have a situation where you have a wide area of supply you can look for horizontal diagonal diagonal meaning you know some trend lines and some others as well anyways not really a pair that I'm interested in in trading and less I think the dollar does pull back and then we get some good news for the dollar and the Fed continued to start hiking then I will continue to look for short trades on that and then finally we have gold and gold selling off a bit due to some dollar strength of course you know we've had is no surprise that you've seen you know go go to the downside when we go back to the dollar index you can see prices move to the upside so again it's going to be turning points this week probably may look to stop scaling into buying positions if you're debating against the US dollar but if not then you know you're looking at probably pullbacks into supply for a potential trade right so you're looking at that area there and looking at short trades that's providing you're trying to look to go long on the on the US dollar now central banks gold demand falls again on Turkey's massive sales so net purchases by the institutions fall 64% to 103 tons and massive sales by central bank of Turkey drove the decline so so yeah not great for you know central banks buying gold at the moment it says here continuation of that buying is now key for the outlook of gold this year apart from Turkey the second quarter saw large purchases by the People's Bank of China the Bank of the Monetary Authority of Singapore and National Bank of Poland so it's not you know all doom and gloom there are central banks who are buying right and the World Gold Council expects central bank demand this year to be roughly half of that of the record 2022 that's still with equal more than 500 tons of purchases according to the support and here it says is a quote I don't think we will see a repeat of Turkey's central banks selling off gold to provide liquidity to commercial banks a John Reed chief market strategist at the WGC by implication we would expect to see a better third quarter number so maybe it's just Turkey that had to provide a bit of liquidity by selling gold and obviously as well you know some dollar strength recently so let's see what happens but any buying opportunities I think technically down until the 1900 area is going to be quite nice just below that as well I think it's going to be decent or down to these 1820s so that all depends on whether you're going to see either gold dollar strength or dollar weakness as well so again by proxy you can kind of go long or short the dollar by buying or selling gold so that's it for this week hope you will have a great trading week and take care all the best so calculating news data deviation to trade the unexpected now conventional news trading is not an edge and what I mean by conventional news trading is if you're buying when there's positive news and selling when there's negative news that is not an edge and that's that's what I would call conventional news trading in case you don't know trading is a zero sum game forex trading is definitely a zero sum game for someone to win someone else has to lose and if the news comes out positive and everybody's buying you know maybe 20 years ago that may have worked and that's how traders made their money but in today's markets that is just not a trading edge and I'm going to show you how to have a trading edge by calculating news data deviation alright and again just a reminder not to trade every news data release or high impact news data release what we want to do is gauge sentiment right and potential forecast from big publications and also obviously establish the theme around what the market is potentially focused on so when you're doing a Google search right there is a news tab so when you first log on to Google you pretty start off with all do a search on England Bank of England interest rate hike right and it normally starts off from all what you want to do is go to the news tab and then if you go to tools and then you can have it basically come up with all of the the news regarding obviously the search and the tools you can sort by all the news recent the most within the past hour 24 hours etc right and sought by relevance but the point in this exercise is to gauge a little bit of sentiment as to what is happening now doing an interest a search on whether the Bank of England are going to hike interest rates you can see the headlines right so the headlines would be something like Bank of England policy makers split on rate hike you've got Bank of England expected this is by spy city a.m. Bank of England expected to keep path clear for May rate raise and then you've got Bank of England holds holds rates but split votes set the stage for May and it sounds looks like it's a interest rate hike and again bank votes it hints at interest rate rise right so you're getting some some headlines from big publications like the Guardian Telegraph C.E.A.M. CNBC BBC news right that there is a potential interest rate hike on the way right we're in March to one of the two and they're talking about May so with that being said we've established that they could potentially be a interest rate hike now what we want to do is really establish deviation now we're not going to do deviation on an interest rate hike but what we are going to calculate is just news deviation on a potentially any news event and you can use this on any news event but again if you want to increase your chances of a really good trade and for the news to really react when you're trading the news you want to establish a theme this is just for as an example of why you should be of how to really search you know sentiment and theme and themes on using Google so let's get into how to calculate deviation to trade the unexpected so before we get into calculating deviation first of all we need to understand what is deviation so deviation as described the definition is the amount by which a single measurement differs from a fixed value such as the mean right so the mean or the average right now if you don't understand that the best way to kind of describe it is to really just visualize it right so the amount by which a single measurement differs from a fixed value such as the mean so if we go to the trading economics website we have the non-farm pay rolls and this is done under forecast right and this average would be considered the mean right this this line this dotted line right now the deviation would be even though the description says a single measurement what we're looking for is a two measurements a high and a low right so the the deviation really is just the deviation from the mean so how high and how low right away from the mean right is what we would describe as deviation right so it's kind of like Bollinger bands if you know what Bollinger bands are where you have you can calculate one standard deviation two standard deviations etc right but what we need to calculate first is is we need to find an average and then what we're going to do is define the deviation high and the deviation low right and this basically will allow us to really trade news events where what we're trying to do really is we're trying to get to trade the news when it comes out and the news data that has the most impacts that are close to the deviation we are and especially if it goes past deviation the higher the impact or the more the impact it should have as far as the news right on the market right because if we're if we're forecasting right and this is the average and then prices let's say for example non-farm payrolls comes out and it's around the average even though it might be slightly positive or slightly negative it's still around the average what we're looking for is for really price to be to when it you know to in order to trade the news and to have a really you know for the market to really kind of be made potentially wrong-footed is for there to be a forecast of the news right and it might stay within the average but then the actual date of release comes out and it's either way above the deviation or way below us our standard average right and that gives us a great trading opportunity and it's not just non-farm payrolls this method can be used for pretty much any news events so first of all what we need to do is just calculate the average so the average figure we're trying to calculate is really the average difference between the forecasted data past forecasted data and actual data right and from there once we can calculate the average difference between forecasted data and actual data we can then calculate our deviation high and our deviation low so let's get into calculating the the average difference between the forecasted data and the actual data so first we need to go to our forecasted number and for this example we're still going to continue on with the example of the non-farm employment change and our forecasted number is a hundred and ninety K now we can use a news aggregate aggregate site and use aggregate site sorry it's useful as long as it has accurate data forex factory is the one I'm using for this example right so the next thing we want to do is go to detail if you're using forex factory and if you click on the folder it will give you the history I've obviously unpacked this already I've pressed in it already but if you do click on the for example the one above average hourly earnings you can click on this it will give you the history right but I've already done it for the non-farm employment change now the third thing we need to do is to calculate the difference between the actual data results and the past forecasted data for each month for the past you know nine to twelve months right and a negative or positive figure is not relevant so what I mean by that is and I've done this already on the left-hand side is we're trying to calculate a difference between for each month for the past nine months the difference between the actual in March and the forecasted in March and the difference between the actual and the forecasted was 108k the difference between 200k and 181k was 19k in February and so on and so forth right so just the difference between the actual and the forecasted so you do that for I did that for nine months and then what we do is we're going to add together each of these obtained of these obtained figures and divide the total number to get the average difference figure right so we're adding all of these numbers for the past nine months and then we're going to divide it by the number of months and then we get our 51k so that's the average difference figure right between what has been forecasted and what is actually come out now by calculating that this allows us to create our deviation high and low right because what the forecasts are telling us is what the economists how how wrong or right as an average the the economists are regarding and the data crunches are around you know when they actually forecast and when they're actually forecasting the news right so at an extreme end right they will be 51k either wrong either to the upside or to the downside and that's how we get our deviations so our 51k right so let's go back sorry so go back to the current forecasted news event which is 190k and add the average difference figure of 51k to the current forecasted data to get the deviation high and then subtract the average difference figure from the current forecasted news released to get the deviation low so again this is what we've just done if we look at it visually so we've got our news release of 190k we've calculated 51k to be the average difference figure over the past nine months right so this is where economists tend to be right or wrong or the deviation between the numbers and what is forecasted and what is actually the data that's actually come out right so at the extreme end if we add 51k we get 241 and that's our deviation high and a low end we've got 139k right and that's our deviation low now this is what we're basically looking for is for the news to come out and be somewhere around the deviation high or the deviation low now the closer to the high or the low or if it goes beyond the specific goes beyond the high and the low what we're anticipating really is is that is the market to react right is the really the market to to have more of an impact the closer it is and further beyond it goes the deviation high or low because what is being factored in if I get my tool again right if we get our high our low and this is our average what is being factored in is the previous number and this is if we have let's say for example the chart this is supposed to be negative and prices have been trending down this is a by the rumors are the fact potentially or the market is factoring in and pricing in this 190k right or an average of their abouts right they have actually maybe 10k 20k you know plus or minus now obviously our deviation over the past 9 to 12 months or 9 months in this case is 51k right so if the figures that are released are anywhere close to this number or even especially beyond this is what we really want to see is if it's beyond that number of is beyond the higher the low deviation that should have an much bigger increase in the movement right because these economists that do the forecast and these data crunches that do the forecast are have been you know basically wrong not only wrong-footed but you know severely wrong-footed right from the average so this is what we're we're doing and this is how really you should look to trade every news event and this is one of the reasons why when the data release comes out positive let's say for example that came out you know 195 right yes on forex factory you will see you know a green you know figure or red figure right and then people kind of automatically come out and say they press buy or they press sell yeah and what happens is is the market is you know is already factored in the fact that you know maybe 5k isn't outside of you know the normal right no number these numbers aren't perfect but we know that if it's outside of even close to 51k for example in this example then we know that we potentially have a higher chance or the impact of that number is more of the extreme end right and there should be some market movement right so this gets you into a trade but it also keeps you potentially keeps you out of trades as well if you have any questions just email me at info at trading180.com


Hey guys, it's MJ the students actually and in this video I want to talk about the actuarial discord group that I've created. So for those of you who don't know discord It's kind of like WhatsApp, but it's much bigger and you can have some channels Let's actually just jump straight into it and you can see what I'm talking about I use discord. I mean for various crypto currencies and there's also one now on the football world cup You can see there's a whole bunch of people or over there that have subscribed to it And then they have all these channels where you can discuss the match and and do various things So I thought this would be quite cool for us actuaries So what I've done is I've created an Actuarial discord group and what we have is a bunch of channels on which you guys can have discussions around So for those of you who are new to actuarial science or wanting to get started in this amazing subject There are various channels that you can interact with there's the what subject should I study at school? What university should I choose? With actuarial science is actually right for me or not various educational resources to get you kick-started and also the various actuarial organizations and There's a lot of discussion that you can have on each one of these things And that's why I thought it's best to have separate channels as well as a general chat for for anything else Then we do get a little bit more specific. I've created a channel for each of the various core exams I've also got one on general exam technique We've also got a channel on each of the specialist exams As well as a discussion area on which one should you choose? I know a lot of actuaries have Various questions around this and we can help each other So we've also got specialist exams the fellowship exams And then for those of us who have past studying they are careers with what various job opportunities career advice continuous professional development and work-based skills and then finally we also have some fun projects Where you guys can suggest YouTube videos that I should make we can talk about crypto currencies textbooks that I can write Just your suggestions banter Investment opportunities There's a whole bunch of stuff that we can talk to around here Now the general idea for this discord group is not so that I can answer every single question on my own But the idea is that we can tap into this community and that we can help one another Look, we are actuaries. We are a very special and rare breed So I'm not expecting us to have as many people and say some of these other channels have But I reckon if we get around 100 150 people on this we can actually develop quite a nice community We can help each other out. We can use it as a big group study with the various subjects And of course if we have spare time, which very few of us do but we can look at you know making our own crypto currency or just having discussions around that and Talk about various products that are in the market or investment opportunities And we can share links and and do all that type of stuff So it is your idea is to build a community to move maybe a little bit of the discussions off of the YouTube comment section and Just flesh them out more in this this app called discord. So discord is easy to use There is I can invite you guys. So let me set this link to never expire So I'm gonna copy this gosh that almost looks like it says random Which is a very random thing on its own But it's also a core concept of actual science is understanding what randomness is anyway I'm gonna share this in the discussion link So we're gonna click copy and we're gonna paste that and you guys are free to join look Please be patient with this group. Like I said, it's only when we have around 150 people that I think it's gonna start Being meaningful. So if you like the first five people here and nothing's happening Don't despair. Hopefully with time it will go. Yeah, the users will go up and feel free to invite all your friends and Joe, I look forward to having discussions with you guys over exams Job opportunities and some fun projects that we can do in the future Anyway, I'll see you guys on discord and as always. Thanks for watching. Cheers


17 NATO allies and partners came together to plan and execute one of the largest northern European exercises in the Baltic Sea. This year's operation took historic steps, when U.S. Marines, transported by the joint Finnish and Swedish Newland Brigade, arrived at Sindelen, Finland. It's a win-win situation, NATO, U.S. troops, and Finland, Sweden, all exercising together. This is the second time in Baltic history when you have amphibious troops and landing force in this exercise. Corporal Chase Grenier, with the U.S. Marines 38 India Company, out of Camp Lejeune, describes his experience in Finland. They're very welcoming, very respectful people, and they've led us land in Finland on their own Finnish U-boats, and that was a cool experience to ride on those boats for the first time and see the technological advances that they've made in warfare. They seem just as disciplined as we can be, and they seem like they're ready to get into a real-world situation and be capable of handling anything that comes their way. U.S. Marines will continue to train alongside NATO allies and partners for the duration of Baltops 2016 throughout northern Europe. Reporting from Hanko, Finland, I'm Petty Officer Rebecca Sunderland.


Listener Martin shares, we've been talking about unlocking our Macs with our Apple Watches and some Macs like John, you were saying last week that yours doesn't always work. Some people have Macs where that's just not possible. Well, Martin says, I have been using a tool that lives in the menu bar called Blue Unlock, B-L-E-U-N-L-O-C-K. That allows various Bluetooth devices to do what the Apple Watch does and it's available on GitHub. And it will allow you to unlock your Mac with all kinds of things, including your iPhone. So I actually might, I might, I think I used this years ago or something like it. And then I got an Apple Watch and it was like, but fine. But nowadays that I'm wearing my Apple Watch less and less frequently, I might want this on the Mac in the office because I always have my phone with me.


Dave, we're at the EMC record breaking launch event, 41 new products, big data, big theme. They left no stone unturned, moving data, fast data, backing up data, you know, the data domain, VMAX, VNE, they got it all. Well, the reality is, this is where a lot of legacy products here, right, the symmetric stuff, the ingenuity is great, all through software, the VNX bringing together two legacy platforms, VNXE brand new, blank sheet of paper. What EMC did is they brought in Isilon into the equation to create that metaphor of big data. That's new because EMC just bought Isilon, so it's really, we're seeing the confluence of traditional enterprise data and big data and cloud. EMC's really upping their game in terms of marketing, the positioning, I mean they got a whole portfolio, entry level, mid-range, high-end, across the board on big data products, back up, I mean the competition's got to be feeling the heat. Well, these guys are so good at marketing. They were good before Jeremy Burton came here and this was a lot of in-your-face stuff but a lot of fun, they had a blast with it, the whole record-breaking theme, it's gonna piss off a lot of the competition. I mean the heat's pretty strong, yeah, EMC's coming out swinging. Well, you know, the VNXE is very interesting to me because that's a low-end product. You saw they had the price points under $10,000, going after Tel, going after NetApp, going after IBM, going after HP, what do you think NetApp's gonna do?  Absolutely. We're here at the New York City Equitable Office, big client of EMC in the theater, record-breaking announcement, that's the theme we're gonna hear from EMC probably the whole year, record-breaking, so let's see what they do. Well, you know, I say in technology there's always the leapfrog game, right? Anybody can always say, hey, we're the fastest, we're the best. The brilliance of this announcement, in my opinion, was the marketing of it, the positioning of it, how they packaged it all, the big deal they made out of it beforehand, everybody's talking about it, you know, a lot of people in the competition don't like it, a lot of the blogosphere is down on it. Hey, if people are talking about it, that's good press. They did a good job on the presentation, a lot of sizzle, but they brought some stake out here, they brought to show the products, Pat Gelsinger and Joe Tucci really knocking it out of the park. Well, I was talking to a few customers in the audience, there's definitely a great reception for these products, even though it's a lot of what I called legacy products now packaged together in an easier-to-use format. EMC customers love it because they don't want to switch, they like EMC, they're happy with EMC, so as long as EMC keeps moving that bar, they're going to keep those customers as long as they do a good job with them on the service side, and we know they do. Yeah, and NetApp's going to be out there, oh, we have leadership and, you know, try to argue the speeds and feeds on the merits of the appoint technologies, but EMC really knocks it out of the park on the packaging. They really simplified their software, their product portfolio. I mean, what's your angle on that? Well, my angle is that the NetApp's a whole different ballgame, right? They're much more of a pure-play storage company, they're growing faster than any company in the industry, so they can keep doing their thing for a while. You know, at some point, they probably hit a wall. EMC's a portfolio company, and the key to EMC, as we've said all along, is VMware. And they drop it in the new acquisitions, the Isilon fits beautifully, they got Green Plum for the data analytics, I mean, they got the whole package. Well, we did a little bit of research at the end of the year, and basically EMC's core value, in other words, the value when you strip out VMware, their ownership, 80% ownership of VMware, EMC's core value actually dropped last year, which is kind of absurd when you think about it.  So they got to get the street to believe that that is a growth plan, and I think it is. Personally, I think EMC is undervalued as a stock right now. And Joe Tucci actually just, you know, at the analyst meeting yesterday, split it right down the middle and said, you know, we're basically investing the same amount in R&D as we are in the acquisition. So they're hedging, they got R&D going on, but to go speed, they go acquisitions. Well, you got to have a combination of both R&D is good, but it's risky. Acquisitions are, especially when you're acquiring a proven company like Data Domain or Isilon, those acquisitions aren't that risky, they're expensive, but you know what, that's a better use of cash in my opinion than buying back shares. I'm thinking this is going to be a big data year for everybody, and I think the big thing that's going to come out of this year is, what is the definition of big data? Joe Tucci kind of simplifies it a little bit, but it's really complex. I think we're going to see a lot of definition of big data. What is big data? They bring up the notion of smart data. So what's your angle on that for the year, you think, for big data? Well, it's not just about storage, right? You've got to have the applications on top of it, right? You've got to have the ability to, yes, store it and yes, process it, but also analyze it and then act on it. So we've got to have to see a lot more visualization technologies. And there are a lot of companies out there. We saw some at Hadoop World. So it's a big ecosystem that it's emerging. It's not just about storage. We're here in New York City with this big data, big announcements, record breaking everything, it's a year of big data. We'll be covering it like a blanket at siliconangle.com and wikibond.org. We're a place where all the content is out there. It's smart data. We got it. We're free. We have a good time. It's good to be here with you, John, and thanks everybody for watching.


Hello people, I'm Ginny Meddrol, the fourth generation witch. Happy Sowing! It is the witch's Halloween, it's arrived at last and I couldn't be more excited. However, I'm not actually here to talk about that today, I just wanted to let you know that there is an article on me in The Sun Online and you can read that article clicking on the link in the description below. Have a look at it, it's very exciting. If you're bored for a couple of minutes it really will make your day just that little bit more special. It was written for me by The Great Male Fallowfields, who's wonderful journalist, that's Mel, you're a star but I can't really stay and talk about this today because it's Halloween and for the first time I think ever, we're not quite sure, we can't remember, my coven is all meeting tonight and so I've got a bit of preparation to do before that happens and then ooh I'm so excited, can't wait. Let me know what you get up to this Halloween and I hope you have a really happy one and have a look at my article to see if you suffered from any of the same abuse that I got when I came out as a witch.


Still in the news, the International Organization for Migration, IOM, is raising awareness about the dangers of human trafficking. It is doing so in collaboration with the National Agency for the Prohibition of Trafficking in Persons through a campaign called Project BOSS. The campaign involves walking across major roads in the state as the senior project assistant of the IOM, Aikbezi Uyime, explains. This bus is a one-stop shop for awareness raising. So the essence of this bus is to go to communities with one message, no to human trafficking, no to irregular migration. We have done this launch in Abuja, turned around, is a transitory bus movement. We've also done it in Lagos, and now it is a town of Edo state. From Edo, we are going to move to Delta. So this bus will go to the nooks and crannies of communities in the state passing this message. And it's an avenue for, if you want to report a case of a trafficker, when the bus comes, you can feel free, you meet them, multiple officials will be on the bus, and we are here to support them. Public enlightenment to create awareness, because if people are enlightened, if we talk to them and they know the risks, they will not engage in those trips, okay? And it is at the heart of our director general, Senator Bashir Mohammed, that we should spread, we should get to the grassroots. He believes in grassroots sensitization. He believes that everybody should know the ills and dangers of traveling irregularly, the ills and dangers associated with human trafficking. And about fresh news updates.


Ladies and gentlemen, the Lifetime Achievement Award and the award goes to Mr. Sanjeev Vikchandani, the Founder and Executive Vice Chairman, InfoEdge India. I think he is online. I think no words can tell and the most deserving award was Mr. Sanjeev Vikchandani because he's probably been the Godfather of how he's helped in India for the start-ups to be built and the kind of work that he has done is really amazing. He's here with us and very congratulations to you Sanjeev Sir for this wonderful award. It's truly well deserved. I would love to thank you. Thank you so much. Thank you so much to Entrepreneur Magazine. Thank you so much Ritu. And I would like to thank you so much and to all jury members. I dedicate this award to all my colleagues, my former colleagues, my co-founders without whom we would not be here. So you know I may get awards and the truth is this is an award for everybody who's made it happen, the whole company, all shareholders, all investors, our customers, everybody. Thank you so much. Thank you very much Mr. Vikchandani. Just to ask you what is now post the pandemic, how is the start-up world looking different from your eyes than what it was prior to that? Look, there are no start-ups are still there. They're trying and they're emerging. And yes some are damaged and yes some will shut. But I think people who can adapt, people who can get customers, people who can be proven, people who can somehow raise money, they will all survive and they'll be stronger for it. So from the time I became an entrepreneur in 1990 to now this is the fifth or sixth recession of lowdown. And start-ups are focused and frugal and customer-centric come out of crisis. Sure. And we are now going in the digital age completely. You started it and now it's a journey that is now going to see a great big fulfillment going ahead. So what is your message to all the businesses in this country in terms of staying strong and being resilient? We are great believers in being customer-centric. So by all means raise investor money. But just understand that the customer's money is better than the investor's money. Because if you're getting the customer's money, it means you have a viable business. And if you're getting the customer's money, you will get the investor's money. Because investors love to invest behind businesses that are getting customer money. But if you're the investor money, first it does not necessarily mean that you will get customer money. So focus on the customer more than the investor. The investor will come. Sure. Thank you very much Mr. Spikachandani and truly deserving of the Lifetime Achievement Award for the Year 2020 Entrepreneur Awards. Thank you very much. Thank you so much. Thank you.


It should be obvious from the outset that a discussion about the identity of the servant of Isaiah 53 is only a question because the prophet Isaiah doesn't explicitly identify who the servant is. So for example, if you go to Isaiah 41, Isaiah actually does identify who the servant is. When you go to Isaiah 42, there are clear indicators who the servant is. When you go to Isaiah 49, it seems very clear who the servant is, but yet when it comes to Isaiah 53, starting from 52-13, it's not that clear and seemingly the prophet could have saved forests of paper if he would have just added one word when it comes to the identity of the servant. And the question I want to discuss tonight is why did he leave it out? Why did the prophet leave out who the servant really is? Starting from chapter 40 in Isaiah, Isaiah starts to comfort the Jewish people on behalf of God. Isaiah 40 opens with a call to console God's people and where he says, speak to the heart of Jerusalem and call out to her, for her time of exile is fulfilled and her iniquity has been forgiven, for she has received from the hand of the Lord double for all of her sins. And the prophet goes on to tell us that the glory of God will be revealed and all flesh together will see that the mouth of the Lord has spoken. Continues in verse 9, ascends upon a high mountain, O herald of Zion, raise your voice with strength, O herald of Jerusalem, raise it, fear not, proclaim to the cities of Judah, behold your God. And so what this is telling us is that in a future messianic age the Jewish people together with the rest of the world will witness how God is revealed to all and how the truth of the Torah will be revealed to all and how everybody will come and ultimately recognize the light of the Torah and they will see the vindication of God's servants who were ridiculed throughout the ages and yet remained steadfast committed to God. And so who are those servants? Who are these servants that God promises exaltation to at the end of time when God will be exalted? What we find from Isaiah chapter 40 and on is a consistent message that ultimately God's might will prevail and all other powers will be proven empty and that the hope of those who have trusted in the Lord will ultimately be vindicated. And this is ultimately a comforting reassurance to people who have been in exile for way too long. You see what ultimately is the hope of every committed servant of God is that God's will should ultimately be done here on earth. It's that ultimately all that we've been working for should really bear fruit. They tell a story about a guy who was in prison for about 30 years and they had put on him this noose or whatever it was, this string that he would have around his body and he'd have to walk around this millstone and it was hard work, hard labor, but he was doing this for 30 years while he was in prison and throughout the 30 years he never complained. This is, you know, you do the crime, you got to do the time and, you know, he put on this heavy thing because he felt he was doing something and the story goes that after 30 years when he was let out they took him downstairs to the basement and they showed him that this big millstone that he'd been turning and turning at the bottom there's this little, this little gadget or whatever that was just spinning around doing absolutely nothing and the story goes the man fainted on the spot had a heart attack and he died because ultimately nobody wants to feel that they're investing their time, their effort, their energy, sacrificing one sacrifice after the other just to feel that they're going to fail and what we find throughout the scriptures is that many of God's servants, sometimes the prophets felt that they had failed in their mission, they tried so hard to spread the message of God and yet they felt it wasn't landing, it wasn't making the effect that they wanted and so therefore all those hundreds of thousands if not millions of people who throughout their lives had given themselves to God and to God's ultimate purpose are feeling that this exile is so long it might never finish, we might never get there and Isaiah comes and promises them and assures them that in the future there will be a vindication, God will ultimately be revealed the whole world will be filled with the knowledge of God like the waters cover the sea and you know who's going to take part in that joy and in that jubilation and in that exaltation, all the servants of God, all those throughout the history who have committed themselves to God and so perhaps this is why Isaiah 53 never mentions who the servant is, why? It's very simple because you want to know who the servant is, the servant is Israel, the servant is the Messiah because he also commits himself to make God's will done on earth to make sure that God consciousness is spread throughout the world, it also refers to the prophet Jeremiah, it also refers to the prophet Isaiah, it refers to every single servant and that's why when we look at Isaiah 53 and we see the exaltation of the servant and how ultimately he will be vindicated for holding true to the message of God and to his trust in God we will understand why it was left blank, why it didn't associate itself only with one individual because it applies to every servant of God.