Hi, welcome back to these short lectures on 19th and 20th century philosophy. I'm Matt Brown. Today, we're going to be focusing in on mid-19th century British philosophy, particularly the work of John Stuart and Harriet Taylor Mill, and especially their famous co-authored work of liberal political philosophy on liberty. Now, John Stuart Mill was born in 1806, and Harriet Taylor Mill, originally Harriet Hardy, was born in 1807. They met in 1931 and began collaborating almost immediately. They married in 1851, two years after Harriet's first husband, John Taylor, died. From the beginning, John Mill idolized Harriet Taylor, and after her untimely death, he acknowledged significant debts to her in several of his works, most notably his Principles of Political Economy, the work we'll talk about today on liberty, an essay on the enfranchisement of women, which he actually credited to her as the primary or sole author, and a variety of other works. Let's talk a little bit about their intellectual background. So John Stuart Mill's father, James, was the product of the Scottish Enlightenment. The major figures you might be familiar with from the Scottish Enlightenment include David Hume, the empiricist, philosopher, Adam Smith, the political economist. These are major late 18th century Scottish thinkers, and that's the milieu that James Mill was trained in, and then James Mill became close ally of Jeremy Bentham. Together, Bentham and James Mill developed the theory of hedonistic utilitarianism, according to which the ethical good is identified with maximizing pleasure and minimizing pain for the greatest number. And Mill and Bentham inspired a group of intellectuals and political reformers and politicians known as the philosophical radicals. Now, John Stuart Mill received an extremely rigorous education at the hands of his father, James, mastering Greek and Latin and reading most of the classical canon by age 12, becoming an expert in math, logic, political economy and science in his mid-teens, writing his first treatises at the age of 15. He became a true Benthamite utilitarian in ethics and in politics. But in his 20s, John Stuart Mill had a kind of a mental break, became somewhat dissatisfied with the life path he was on, and he became increasingly interested in the British romantics, particularly Wordsworth and Coleridge, and the somewhat more complex, more perhaps spiritual, you might say, picture of the human condition that they afforded. And he would go on throughout the rest of his life attempting to synthesize the sort of enlightenment, empiricism and utilitarianism of his father with the insights that he found in Romanticism. Now, in his own life, Mill was well-known primarily as a politician and a reformer as well as a philosopher, but primarily for his work in theoretical philosophy. He was a naturalist and an empiricist. He was also, he did a lot to advance our understanding of inductive inference and was a sort of important thinker in the early discussions of what would become philosophy of science. He was also a political economist, political economy being the 19th century science that would eventually become economics or become known as economics. Today, he's much more known for his work in ethics, where he defends a form of utilitarianism different from his father's and Bentham's, which is sometimes called eudaimynistic utilitarianism, also for his defense of liberalism and political philosophy. And as I said, he was also a political economist and had a political career in parliament. Now Harriet Hardy, her father was Thomas Hardy, not the famous novelist, but a surgeon who ensured that she was educated. She was educated at home. She grew up in the Unitarian Church. She was involved early on in the politically radical community active at that time in the church and particularly issues of women's rights. She married John Taylor at age 18 and they had three children during their relationship. She stayed active in the church. First, she wrote a number of short pieces for the Unitarian Journal, the monthly repository. John Sir Mill also worked closely with his stepdaughter, Helen Taylor, Helen Taylor, who was obviously the daughter of Harriet and John Taylor, after Harriet died in 1858. So Harriet dies in 1858 and Mill and Helen work together on, again, topics related to feminism and liberalism. Now the influence of Harriet Taylor on Mill is most significant in his work on liberalism, on equality, social equality, on his sort of feminist themes, on the rights of women. And, you know, today we're going to talk about that major work of the mills on liberty. So on liberty is sort of John Sir Mill's statement of his liberal political philosophy, Mill and Mills, I should say, in the introduction they distinguish between two types of threats to liberty. The first is the old kind of threat of authoritarian rule of monarchs and dictators, right? But also there's a new kind of threat that he's concerned with, the threat of the tyranny of the majority, as he calls it, that you might also experience in a democracy. In the book, they consider several reasons that one might seek to restrict liberty, why a government might seek to restrict the liberty of its citizens. The first is that you might seek to restrict the liberty of others for their own benefit, right? So government might restrict one's liberty for one's own benefit. This is a paternalistic reason. Now the mills reject this reason and say, this is never an appropriate cause to restrict liberty. They also consider the possibility that we restrict one's liberty in order to ensure that they act morally, when this is known as moralism. And again, they reject that idea. It's not the case that one ought to restrict liberty only to ensure that one acts morally. Third, a government might restrict one's liberty to prevent one from harming others. This is known as the harm principle. And then fourth, one might seek to restrict liberty for utilitarian reasons to maximize happiness and minimize unhappiness. This is the principle of utility or the utility principle. Now the mills think that three is a necessary condition, but not by itself sufficient. And the fourth condition is not by itself adequate, right? So in other words, they think that in order to restrict liberty, you need to have both. On the one hand, you need to have a harm, right? The possibility of harm and you need to be preventing harm. So this means that there are no restrictions of one's actions in so far as they only affect one's self, right? Only in so far as they affect others. But even then, restrictions might do more harm than good. So something like this principle number four, the utility principle, also has to be accounted for. In other words, preventing harm is not by itself sufficient. So now it's important to note that in this essay, the mills are not talking about just any kind of rights, any kind of liberties. They have very specific set of liberties in mind, which we might call basic liberties. The first are liberties of conscience and expression, the liberty to believe what one will and to express one's belief in speech or writing, say. The liberties of action and character, the liberty to form one's own tastes and desires and to pursue them, right? And then the liberties of association, liberties of who one interacts with, what kind of groups you form. These are the kinds of liberties that they're talking about and they devote a chapter to each of these, of these basic liberties. The chapter that I gave you to read is chapter two. It's concerned with the liberties of conscience and expression, and specifically with freedom of expression. So the argument for the defense of free expression is complex. Now recall, a necessary condition on restricting liberty for the mills is the harm principle. So the first thing we have to ask is can speech or writing harm someone, right? It's important to note here that the mills deny that mere offense is a harm, right? So if I say something to you and you take offense, you don't like what you're hearing and it bothers you on an emotional level, that's not sufficient. That's not harm according to this essay, right? No matter how offended you might be by something someone says, that's not a sufficient reason to restrict their ability to say it for a government in particular. But of course, in voicing my opinion, I might convince you to believe something false, right? Or I might convince you of something true, but that might lead you to then go act in a way that's going to harm yourself or harm others. So my expression can cause harm in those kinds of ways. And that means, at least there's an entry here, right? We might be justified in restricting free expression because there is some possibility of harm. Now that possibility of harm is not enough to justify those restrictions. We have to consider not only the harms but also the benefits of speech and the harms and benefits of regulating it in order to know whether and when restrictions for freedom of expression are possible or necessary, and Mill mounts a pretty broad defense of a certain kind of freedom of expression. He does it in this way. He says, look, beliefs or opinions that one might see to express, they might be true, right? So the opinion you seek to silence or censor might be true or they might contain a portion of the truth or they might be false, right? Mill argues that if the silenced opinion might be true, you know, if the majority believes one thing and seeks to censor everything else, one of the things they censor might be the true opinion. And there are obvious reasons that the true opinion is a good thing to have access to. And similarly, it might be the case that, you know, we have several opinions, none of which contain the whole truth, but each of which contains a portion of the truth. We, you know, often that's the case, right? Mill also thinks, though, that even if the opinion you seek to express is false, that that has its own benefit in leading to deliberation and discussion, because it helps assure that the true opinion does not become a prejudice, right? If we settle on the true opinion and then we ban all other views from being expressed, you know, we may stop believing the true opinion for good reasons and just become to believe it as a dogma, right, as a prejudice. But if we have to defend the true opinion against false opinions, then it's, we believe it for the right reasons. It becomes lively in our minds because it, because we have to continue to reaffirm it for the reasons that we believed it in the first place. Also, and this is somewhat more complicated and worth the further discussion, Mill thinks that if, if we don't have to compare the true opinion to alternatives, we might lose the very meaning, you know, it might lose its meaning or significance for us entirely. We wouldn't understand, we wouldn't really even understand what we believe, we would just sort of believe it by rote, right? And that's, that's not a good situation either. Now, of course, Mill is keen to point out that we are not infallible, you know, our belief is never completely certain. So we don't know whether the opinion and question is true or false or partly true, but insofar as that sort of exhausts the possibilities, he has a defense of expressing opinions in all these possible cases, right? Although we don't really know which case we're in. Okay, so that's a very broad overview of the Mill's arguments and on liberty. Now, you know, how exactly do these arguments work? There's a lot more detail here to get into. Are these good arguments in favor of freedom of expression, freedom of speech? What are the limits, right, on Mill's view? He doesn't think that it's completely unrestrictable. So what are the possible limits of expression? What kinds of, what are the limits of the argument? What does he leave anything out, right? Is he missing something? We'll talk about all of this and more in class or on Discord or in the comments here. Let me know if you have any thoughts and I look forward to talking with you again soon.


Let's go over to our man, Mr. Dave Mazza. Dave, folks, is the managing director head of product development at Direction Shares. Of course, at Direction Shares, there's plenty of us that trade the doubles, the triples. They have a lot more than that over at Direction Shares, but right now we are gonna be talking a few of the leavened products. Dave, how you been? I've been well, happy to be back. How are you? It's great to have you back. You know what? I'd like to start off where we were ending and we were talking about the nugget and the dust. And what my question was, right? You know what's so cool about the nugget and the dust that the gold market is so small that it seems that we have a lot of clients or we have a lot of listeners, let's put it this way, that when they have a portfolio of gold, right, that they will go into that dust if they feel like, okay, we're gonna take a hit because the gold market's so volatile, right? And switch back and forth. So my question is this, how does the inflows and outflows of your products, how do you handle those? Cause I, you know, the gold market is so volatile. I mean, I love it. But I'm trying to figure out how do you handle that when I can tell how many calls we get here sometimes that, okay, man, everyone's on one side of the ship. You know what I mean? Yeah, no, it's a great point. For the majority of our products, especially with the gold miner side, we have both sides of the trade, if you will. So three X bull and three X bear. And really the way we manage these is quite simple. And that's why we can effectively deliver that daily total return. Yes. So we use total, an instrument called the total return swap. And all that really means it may sound complicated, but we just have counter parties which are major, major investment banks that guarantee us for collateral, what is that amplified exposure? So if the, an area goes up 1% and we have three times bull, you get the positive of that. And if it's bear, you get the negative of that. So the tools, that instrument is highly fungible. And what I mean by that is it gives us great flexibility but also allows investors and traders the certainty that if you're going to use it both on the long side or to your point with dust as a hedge, you're going to get that on a daily basis. Yeah, which is really cool, man. I mean, because it's so intriguing. And it seems that when I look at that segment in general, I can understand it more just because there's only so many equities. Do you know what I'm saying? Versus when we're talking about the S&P, it's like, you know, you got to be a lot more sophisticated in the business in general, but it's pretty cool how that works. Let me ask you, when you are looking at a new product, how do you figure out like, okay, we have a product that we think is going to come out in the future. I think we might want to do an ETF on it. And then how do you go from, here's a product and then how do we get this in the marketplace? Yeah, so that's a really good point. Traditional product development for, if we were managing a firm with primarily one X ETF, so it looked to capture big bucket items, maybe I want dividend equities for income or I want a basket, which is going to give me exposure to smart beta, low volatility, these new themes that are emerging. But what we're thinking about are leveraged and inverse ETFs. It's really about giving investors the tools that they need to make particular amplified views. So a great example is the products that we launched back in line with the Gix sector changes. And then those who weren't familiar, many companies that historically were just part of IT were pulled out of there, moved into communication services with the old telecoms and really changed that sector and made it a really interesting one. And a few names moved to consumer discretionary like your Amazon and Netflix. But either way, we never had a telecom sector bull and bear fund because frankly, it's an area that didn't have a lot of volatility. Most people own telecom names and on an individual basis for income. But once that change occurred, it became a really interesting sector. So we launched two ETFs, Talk and Mute, that give investors exposure to just that area and just those companies that are now part of communication services. And that's really how we think about it is what opportunities do we see traders potentially needing or wanting in the future, both in the bull and of course on the bear side, even though we've been in a continue to be in a long-term bull market? Yeah. And when we talk volatility now, this is gonna get interesting folks, okay? Because we have, okay, October 30th. October 30th, right? We have the Fed coming on again. I know we're at 1.75 in the 10 right now, but when you look at the Fed fund futures rate, it's saying, hey, listen, man, this looks like it's an 89% percentile that we're gonna go from 1.5 to 1.7. So of course you have the triples of either the 10 plus or the 20 plus note and bond. So I mean, I suspect we're gonna get some action as we come up to that meeting on the 30th. Yeah, we've actually seen really, really interesting moves from investor inflows and outflows into, especially on the 20 plus year side. So that's TMS and TMV. And actually this year, investors have moved into the bull side there, TMF and moved out of TMV. And I actually think that we're gonna see more volume and more interest in those products heading into the meeting for two reasons. One is to your point, we know we've begun to price in a rate cut. So that's not gonna be a surprise when we get to 25 basis points. But if we listen to what the chairman said, there's supposed to be another insurance cut. And guess what? Insurance cuts back in the 95 and 98 examples, you're done at three, right? Three, there's 75 basis points each time. Okay. Well, we're gonna come on and surprise us and do 50. Right. So you can be prepared for really, I think either a dovish or hawkish move and both these tools and the bull and the bear side, you're gonna wanna look for those heading into that event. So don't just focus on what's happening on the equity side of your point. Let's look at what's happening in the treasury markets. You know what's cool, Dave, don't you think that what I've found is that so many more of us now, not even in the business, let's say we weren't in the business, that talking with friends outside, so many more people are now cognizant of the bond market and what the rate is because of like the mortgage rates, right? Yeah, normally, you know, you own treasury, let's say if you're an investor or a trader, everyone's got some bonds, maybe the damper, their volatility, if you move into retirement phase, you need the income. But what's interesting is, I had my mother asking about the yield curve the other day. Yes, right. My mother ran a deli in Massachusetts for 25 years and now works at a retirement home, but she's never heard of the yield curve, honestly. And there's nothing wrong with that. She should have never thought about it, but because there's been so much interest in it, frankly, over the summer, with this will be the most predicted recession ever, if it does come into fruition, eventually it has to. But frankly, the bond market and the Fed is moving stocks, I think, even more than we appreciate. We know it's a trade war. We know it's the headlines related to that. But at the end of the day, it's really what the ECB and what the Fed is gonna do. And the ECB is coming up soon too. So that's another potential move that we may see as this 10-year move's been pretty rapid, going all the way from inverted now up to 175. No, and what Dave's talking about, folks, it went from like an inverted to like steep, like the last three weeks, like in an incredible way. There's no doubt about it. It's amazing to me that we, well, I'll have to pay attention to the bonds because that's what's running everything. There's no doubt about that, you know? Well, listen, it's always a pleasure getting a great education off you. You have a great one. We'll find out what happens with the Fed the 30th and look forward to having you two weeks from today. Thank you, talk soon. Thanks, Dave. Have a great one. Have a safe one.


All right, let's play some full here a sound You have no idea what it's like to be a card See these horrors Do nothing You have no idea what it's like to be a card. All right. All right, so hold on. Let me make this in closer. There you go. I would probably I Know we're going back and forth on this but he's just on the edge of that eye I think it will probably be okay to bring him in just a bit more Just getting just to the eyes actually fully in there. Just kind of uncomfortable unless you would go Something like this, but again, it just feels slightly Uncomfortable there. So I would just bring him in just a bit more and it helps and then and if you want to get out of this Responsibility even more no idea while this whole shot is happening You could have like a slight slight pan over You know, I mean that could be something that could be done afterwards with the camera Now animation wise there are two things You have no idea what it's like to be a card There's something where like the mouth is it's just a bit too turn the sign off It's it's very broad in terms of when he talks in terms of How Low hello, can you go like how far down you go with the jaw? Especially when you come back up to end on the linear key it just makes it very poppy and chattery same thing here you open and It actually I never animated with this guy. This feels more like a translate than a rotate But it's still it's it's fairly broad And especially here it gets into very poppy things when you have something this wide and then closes over one frame And it's the same thing here like this. This just gets really big. This is more like Someone yelling but given his energy like you're like within like This and halfway this realm And again, you just especially something that probably you don't want to go down and hit the linear key Especially here it gets really fast and poppy like this is a one-frame pop And again, it's just maybe suppose the envelopeing, but it just looks like it's a translate versus a rotate It's kind of weird It just goes too Too far in the up and down and then the other thing is it seems very hiccupy and what the chest and the head are doing I get this Actually through here and you can track the nose if I go Onion skinning here and I know there's a rotation in the head as well. So it's not Just the body here. Oops. That was That was some lazy tracking on my end You can see here just the way This is so boring to watch That's something you have to do on your end as well Track all this and you can kind of see The speed changes and kind of the up and downs Oh that knows it just gets very messy and dirty and it's same thing here And sometimes it's more visible when you scrub for you as you test and you go fast. You can see it too But for instance here As that nose goes up you go up and up and then we hit that wall Now you play this in real time So that to me is the biggest thing a lot of hard edges in terms of what the head is doing Even on the down here right there You can see how Track that part with streak here My awful track you bam this really hits this invisible wall right there Other than that like I like what you have, you know in terms of Him looking down having the tremors there in the mouth How will shake there like and like no no no over with the lean and then coming back And being in there you might even Get comfortable with something like that framing wise get go even further give this cut even more of a Punching I think this might be too much could almost do it Between these two Just really pushed out, you know, and then you get to see all your Let's go back here your eye darts Which are really They're a bit too busy like this gets really high frequency like your darts will be dart dart dart dart And this is now pop pop pop pop pop pop pop there's so much stuff going in there So I think that's a general feel Of this submission is that it's just it's cool. I like it. There's good stuff in it. It just has a layer of dirt If that's a word to use we're just things get very messy Just arc wise and spacing wise where it just feels like there are too many keys If for something that would have you know, like some curves You suddenly have too many here keys and then something in here and then something in there and It gives it that story feel That's the biggest thing to me Other than that if you look at Let's check in here eyebrows Same thing here right through there. It gets a bit busy Where's a lot of stuff going on in the middle also generally when you have a big eyebrow moves You want to pin those outer brows? And do mostly inner and mid and a little bit up and down So if that's your brow and then let's put it here like that's your brow here, right? And then the brow goes up. It's mostly like that Where you're going to have a lot in the middle Of course the inner and then like the outside like this point can go maybe to here To pin in the big give it some fleshiness, but once you start moving everything It just feels like this big chunk of geometry Moving up and down so watch out for that too It feels better here. See here you got it but it feels better. It's mostly the inner and the middle Maybe it's just an angle thing because that's the way it's modeled It helps that this is pinned here But I would still be careful. I still see a lot of right there Don't tone that down there. Watch out at the very end You just everything this has a really sharp Stopping everything and this could be because it's visually the whole head stops Which then the eyebrow maybe supposed to pose like on the same key and then the inherits that sudden stop So I would say that is that Now let me look at the other one and bring back this sound here I'm in love with your brother-in-law. You're in love with your own brother one of the army No, your sister's husband Michael Michael. No, that's your sister's brother. No, I'm my sister's brother You're in love with me me. I'm in love with Tobias my brother-in-law That's a long clip though. So my concern for this you have 16 seconds of this where That's cool in terms of mechanics, but one of the issues is that this is straight towards camera Imagine that horse would come from here and go here. So we have more of You know the backside here and you can see one more leg A bit of a tail something something and a bit, you know part of that neck And then the head there does my horse by the way Even it comes in from the side and then and then kind of rests You know, so you're you're starting like that's your ending pose, but a bit more Over because right now you go through that and it's Like there's no more change. There's something weird that's separate here in the backside in the middle But it's mostly that and then the other guy There's good stuff in terms of how wide you go In terms of this one. It's getting back here like there's good change there But what I'm looking at this what I would do is Bring this over right in the butt over there. It's a bit more three-quarters. So we get to see the nice Full mechanics because this is almost like some guy with legs With a horse costume.  So let's just do it messily like Okay More like that. No your sister's husband. I mean you could even go Even go more Michael Michael. No, that's your sister's brother. No, I'm my sister's brother. You're not with me me Then you would have to I'm in love with Tobias. You know for her ending there. Whoops. I knew that's gonna happen. This was my multiple screens here My brother, right? So for her it's mostly within that region. And if you go after him No, your sister's husband your sister's husband and then you can cut to him And he is more Michael Michael Might be tricky because how far down he goes might just be slightly adjusted But I mean if you go by thirds it might just be more like this, right? If you want to keep those my crappily drawn thirds here But if that's him Michael Michael, it would still work. See that he's still Uh, whereas my delete So that would still work framing wise. No, that's your sister's brother. No, I'm my sister Then if you go back to him, right, it would have to be More like that Now I'm my sister's brother. You're in love with me me. I'm in love with Tobias my brother-in-law So and then the other thing is it It doesn't mean that you're gonna have to cut I mean if you do this, this is a wild suggestion just because you know, you're starting to disregard or I'm throwing away half of the animation, right, but You also don't have to go back and forth whenever she is talking cut He is talking cut. There could also be a moment of Michael You know when he goes here Michael We stay on her Michael. So we just watch her listen to what that guy is saying. Anyway, just throwing that out there Because right now it seems like let's turn us the all you're off It's a lot of um talking heads and because there's nothing else going on in terms of Mechanics of a horse It's almost like this is interesting. I like it because it's fun to have you know, it's not just a human But at the same time you could also totally just do this with humans. Like what's the point of having? A horse in here, I know this is this is a silly thing because you can use any rake Why not? Why wouldn't it be two horses talking? It's always such a more interesting than because you usually see humans But the bummer is that you're using this fun rake But then we only have this in terms of body mechanics and after that it's mostly in here And I think if you're doing this and we're not seeing more Of the horse maybe turn and maybe there's something in here where the horse then rests imagine She rests her her head on this is all like bummed out like why why why am I listening to you if you're being so obtuse You know where you use the set and we can play with with the scene and she moves around and we see more with the horse mechanics If it then ends up being just talking heads, that's why I'm mentioning Well, then let's just focus on the heads then let's start cutting back and forth So you can really highlight the awesome facial animation If that makes sense. Anyway, it's I know it's a very destructive note So I'm gonna leave it at that and then you can tell me what you want to do how you want to proceed um And I think cutting would also help You know the 16 seconds of constantly one thing was imagine I mean you can take this now and just and just cut back and forth Do this play blast put that into whatever software you have and then zoom in and see how that feels when you cut back and forth Then this could be both of them Then cut to her and then cut to him and then cut to both again Anyway, like you can do a bunch of stuff and you can see how that feels and the energy is going to be higher Because you're going to see this shot go. That's cool. That's cool. Okay. Okay. We're staying with them. We're staying with them Okay, okay versus. Okay, that's cool. Okay. Okay. Oh close up. Oh another close That's funny. Oh, we're back to you know bend them both. Oh final close up in you know new acting and blah, blah, blah, blah I think that's going to keep that energy of the shot up instead of Of of staying 16 seconds with one long thing. Anyway, I'm rambling. I'm going to leave it at that Tell me what you think and we can go from there. Thanks All right, there's an email you can sign up you can start whenever you want you can submit whatever you want You get 16 submissions either way a like and subscribe would be awesome. All right. Thank you


I want to take one little segment of Tulsi talking about foreign policy and just comment on it because I think it's wacky. This is no hero of a foreign policy, certainly not my kind of foreign policy. So here we go. Tulsi Gabbard, in an interview with John Stossel, I think on Reason TV. You met with the dictator with Assad. Yes. And the liberal media gave you grief for that. I would think that they would say we should talk to everybody. Now Stossel believes that. And I'll talk a little bit in a minute about why that is so wrong. Talk than wage war. I agree. You would think that's what they would say. Chris Cuomo, you need to acknowledge that Assad is a murderous despot. Are you surprised? And then what? I think this is- I mean, Alkes Cuomo said you got to acknowledge that he's a murderous despot. Well you can acknowledge that and then decide all kinds of things, but that's reality. That's truth. That's just what it is. So did you see the way she looked when, you know, and then what? And then you should think about how do we deal with murderous despots? And it's talking to murderous despots is the best policy. And when in all of human history is talking and negotiating and compromising with murderous despots ever helped us, ever been a good idea, ever benefited the human race, ever benefited America, which you claim to represent.  That's just a fact of reality. She's a murderous, barbaric despot, totalitarian, and you represent a country that represents freedom.  What is there to be gained by the good negotiating with evil? And we're talking about not just the good, the good that has within it the mightiest military force in all of human history, the biggest economy in the world. One of the wealthiest people. What is the point of talking to a despot? Now this is the criticism I threw at Donald Trump. Right at Tulsi, she's the same.  You do not, cannot, should not ever negotiate with evil. Let's keep going. The problem is, you know, we look back to examples like Roosevelt meeting with Stalin. Was that a good idea? Did the U.S. support of Stalin during World War II? Was that a good idea? I don't think so. I don't think so. Wouldn't it be better for the Russians and the Germans to fight it out? Who did we benefit by supporting Stalin? Who gained by us supporting Stalin? Eastern Europeans who were then enslaved under communism for 70 years? The Russians who were enslaved under Stalin's rule? Who did we benefit by talking to Stalin during World War II? Wouldn't, maybe, Germany had been even more depleted if they'd gone further into Russia? If they'd gone further fighting rather than allowing the Russians to defeat the Germans? Why not stay out of that war and let the Germans and the Russians fight it out? You don't help your enemy. The enemy of your enemy is not your friend. The enemy of your enemy is not your friend. Here's another example. Another murderous leader. You look at JFK. Oh, by the way, she admitted he was murderous. A meeting with Khrushchev. Was that a good thing? It's a meeting with Mao there. Was that a good thing? Nixon meeting with Mao, a murderous leader who was at the blood of 40 to 60 million people in his hands? Or Khrushchev? Probably sustained communism in the Soviet Union for decades, the fact that we had detente with the Soviet Union. I mean, I mean, it was horrified by the idea that an American leader would meet with a Soviet leader. And she thought it was horrific that Nixon went to China. Examples throughout our country's history of Reagan meeting with Gorbachev. Well, big difference. Gorbachev was winding down the Soviet Union. Gorbachev was winding down the totalitarian nature of that regime. But granted, I'm not sure Reagan had a meet with Gorbachev. To recognize that in the interest of peace and security, you have to be willing to meet with leaders of other countries, whether they be. Because they'll all keep their word. Because deals cut with barbaric leaders like that are always going to be followed. Because, I mean, she doesn't use the example of Chamberlain in Hitler. And a million other examples throughout history. Peace agreements with Yasser Arafat, deals with the Iranians. She loves Iranians, by the way. She thinks we should reduce all of our crippling economic sanctions on them and allow them and negotiate. Which, again, I think she's very much like Donald Trump in this attitude. He's friends, dictators, or otherwise recognizing what you just said, that the only alternative to that is war. Is it always the only alternative is a war? What about just ignoring them? Like Syria. What I said at the time was, Syria is none of our business. There's no American interest involved.  You don't have to send American troops. Just ignore them. War is not, it's not like the only two alternatives. And this is true in North Korea as well. The only two alternative is war or negotiate with barbarians. Again, more altruism, more moral relativism. More there's no objective standard for goodness. More false dichotomies, false alternatives. Wait a second, ignore, I've talked about Hong Kong. I don't say ignore Hong Kong. I don't think you send troops to Hong Kong. But you don't ignore Hong Kong. You give moral courage to those in Hong Kong fighting for freedom. But in Hong Kong, they're fighting for freedom. What were they fighting for in Syria? Nothing. One group of barbarians fighting another group of barbarians. Hong Kong is completely different. But again, even in Hong Kong, you don't send troops. And yeah, I am heartless. I don't believe in sacrificing the lives of American kids, American soldiers, for the sake of other people's freedom. I wouldn't have intervened in World War II in order to save Jews from the Holocaust. I would have only intervened in World War II if it was deemed necessary for the security of the United States of America. You don't intervene in Syria unless the lives or property of Americans is at stake. The American government is there to protect the rights of Americans, not to be the policemen of the world, not to bring security to the world, not to bring freedom to the world. In Hong Kong, a moral support, assertive statement, and telling China there will be consequences to them invading Hong Kong or killing people in Hong Kong. Consequences that can be boycotts and others that do not necessarily involve, that do not involve military force. But it's not always a war. That's not always the alternative.  Now, sometimes you have to go to war. Sometimes you need to bomb people into the dark ages. And I'm all for that. I don't believe in building democracies. I don't believe in keeping troops on the ground forever. But again, libertarians and Tulsi and Donald Trump are presenting the alternative as, we talk to dictators or we go to war. No, I mean, North Korea, you can ignore. We've already completely barricaded them. You could increase the economic sanctions. You could increase all kinds of other sanctions. You can encourage the people to rebel. You can support any kind of insurgency within the country. You can declare that. And if they threaten the United States militarily, you can crush them and turn them into dust. Nobody fights to win anymore. But that's a great tragedy. That's a great tragedy. All right. Maybe a little bit more here. And then I've got some super chat questions. Don't ask anymore. What's going on with your party? Democrats used to be the anti-war party. Unfortunately, this is something that crosses both parties. Yeah, the problem with this is, and I'm going to stop here because I think this becomes non-essential because it becomes politics. The issue is not pro-war, anti-war. The issue is, why do we go to war? When do we go to war? For what do we go to war? Do we go to war to defend American interests? What are American interests? How do you define American interests? Those are the issues that foreign policy has to deal with and those are the issues nobody, nobody, nobody, nobody is talking about. And this is why, I mean, if you really want a deep understanding of this, I recommend you read Winning the Unwinnable War. That was edited by Lon Giorno. And I have three essays in that book. And just read it, Lon Giorno. Read his books, read his articles, follow him online. He has the right conception of foreign policy, which none of these other people do. And nobody in the libertarian world has. All right. What we need today, what I call the new intellectual, would be any man or woman who is willing to think. Meaning, any man or woman who knows that man's life must be guided by reason, by the intellect, not by feelings, wishes, wins, or mystic revelations. Any man or woman who values his life and who does not want to give in to today's cult of the stare, cynicism, and impotence and does not intend to give up the world to the dark ages and to the role of the collectivist broads. Using the super chat, and I noticed yesterday when I appealed for support for the show, many of you stepped forward and actually supported the show for the first time. So I'll do it again. Maybe we'll get some more today. If you like what you're hearing, if you appreciate what I'm doing, then I appreciate your support. Those of you who don't yet support the show, please take this opportunity, go to youronbrookshow.com slash support or go to subscribestar.com, your own book show and make a kind of a monthly contribution to keep this going. I'm not sure when the next...


Gentlemen, this is not a drill. I think that we have infiltrated electronic arts with an MMG stand. For years, electronic arts has boxed me out. They have done everything to spite. But this year, this season of Madden 24 Wheel of Mud, I am literally prestige god. Limited Jamar Chase! Dude, this is out of left field. Nick Bosa, we saw Nick Bosa coming. It was playoffs. Rob Gronkowski, middle linebacker, out of left field. And now, Jamar Chase gets a limited wide receiver in a completely random promo called Weekly Wild Cards. Now, of course, if you keep up with Wheel of Mud, you'll know that Jamar Chase was one of my original three prestige players. Now, every time you make a Superbowl, you get an extra prestige player. But at the start of every season, you get three. My three were Jamar Chase, Nick Bosa, and Derwin James. Derwin James is the final player on this entire team that hasn't gotten an insane updated card. And to be honest, with this Weekly Wild Card promo, I would not be surprised at all if Derwin James also got one in the same promo. I don't know if Derwin's gonna get the limited. The fact that Jamar Chase got the limited is even crazier because the limiteds are the best in the drop, they're the highest overall. And this Jamar Chase is insane. And since Jamar Chase is a prestige player, that means I am always entitled to the best version and we'll be throwing him on the team today. Here is Jamar compared with his previous edition. The previous edition Jamar Chase most feared was an excellent card too. He was so good on this team. Obviously at this point he's outdated, but not anymore. His catch in traffic is a little bit low, but with gift wrap, that doesn't matter. 97 spectacular catch is insane and this card is bonkers. And oh my God, as you boys are watching this, today's the Superbowl, right? I don't know who's gonna win, but I am at the Superbowl as you're watching this. I'm there. So I'll be making a video, I hope you guys enjoy it. Score prediction, I actually have the Niners winning. I have been to Kansas City Chief's Hater All Playoffs and I guess it's just in my blood because I'm gonna stick to that. Now I'm gonna put Jamar Chase at wide receiver three because wow, this is one of the most insane receiver cores we've ever had in Wheel of Mud. So Jamar Chase is not as fast as Zay Flowers. He's one speed under Zay Flowers, but he's still, I mean, obviously an absurd card. And he's a lot bigger than Zay Flowers is, much less fumble prone. And then this Jamar Chase gets free matchup nightmare, better route running and catching versus linebackers. I'm putting him at the slot. So there's actually a pretty good chance he will be covered by linebackers every once in a while. So this is gonna be a really nice ability to have. No ex factors on him. We start off a very, very crucial episode with a huge upgrade. And this is such a crucial episode because our current record is four and two. So this is really the biggest game of our season because winning those four games is literally pointless if I lose right now because if I lose, this entire team gets reset. That's the scary thing. Still looking to get a little bit better depth behind Gronkowski. I do like 90 overall, Jake Ferguson, but that could be better. Definitely need help on the offensive line. Willie Rove, Fro Holt, Cam Juergens.  And then defensively gotta get Jalen Graham out of there. Hopefully get an upgrade for Durwin James. Shelby Harris, Aaron Donald are not gonna cut it.  Jalen Ramsey, Darius, Slade Devin Hester is a pretty interesting core, but very cool. All right, boys. Hope you're loving Wheel of Mod. I hope you're excited for the Super Bowl. My goal right now is to put you guys in an incredible mood before you watch the big game. Let's see if we can pull it off our very first wheel spin. I'm looking to add a center or a left tackle. Right here, right now. Hopefully I'm giving the opportunity.  Do they have a center? If they don't have a center, they'll definitely have a back up middle linebacker, a detackler, a left end. Unfortunately, they don't have a center, but they do have 90 overall, middle linebacker, DiMario Davis. I get a choice of any of the 90s here. DiMario Davis is a really solid middle linebacker. 89 speed, 93 excel. Good coverages, 6-2. He probably gets a lurk artist, but I highly doubt he gets it for free. So we won't be running lurk artists on him, but he'll be a good sub-in for Jalen Graham right now who's obviously should not be on this team. All right, first wheel spin. It's a solid sub-in, but it's nothing super impactful. I'm really hoping that we could actually pick up maybe a left tackle, maybe a center here. Dude, I am just stacking the zero chill players and I absolutely can get somebody. So zero chill jackpot. We can get any player from the zero chill promo. Now keep in mind edit sheet this season with Dre Archer. I was never supposed to get Dre Archer. Dre Archer is a ghost of mutt. He is not zero chill. So I am gonna play by the rules on this one since I already fell with a bag on Dre Archer. So for example, there's a 93 overall Ryan Kelly, but he's a ghost of mutt. He's not zero chill. So I can't get him. Honestly, I think I have to get Trent Williams. We momentarily had this Trent Williams on last season and I almost prestige him. I was really close to prestigeing big Trent. And honestly, this is a great pickup since they made the Super Bowl. And you guys are about to watch the Niners in the Super Bowl. So I'm gonna go Trent Williams here. He's just done. So now we got 94 Trent Williams on the left side, 94 John running on the right side. Excellent tackles. All right, huge pickup there, getting 94 overall Trent Williams. Now we go to our third and final wheel spin where maybe he'll. All right, so any legend, but it's gotta be on the team. I've never gotten this wheel spin. Maybe we get something we can use here. I don't know, it's gonna depend on the team. We can get any, no way I'd get 49ers again. Yo, they're speaking to us, man. I think Wheel of Mutt knows that the Niners are taking this puppy home. All right, 49ers legends. There's a 93 Vernon Davis.  And then there's John Monti.  Ironic, I felt like the 49ers would have had a lot more options than this, but not a lot for the 49ers. And not super helpful to this team. Oh, there's also a 92 limited Jerry Rice, but he's not gonna move the needle on this team either. I think we're taking Vernon Davis. I'm not gonna complain about this. This is a super fast tied at 94 speed. Not a good run blocker, but he's gonna be a lot better than Jake Ferguson. Damn, this team is looking great. We're a 92 overall and we are four and two, so it's win or go home. We're doing one of two things today, boys. We're either booking a flight to Cancun or we're booking a flight to Vegas. That doesn't even really make sense since we're going to the playoffs.  You know exactly what I mean. Tynes, Ward, Randy, Moss, Herb, Adderley, dude. Those Super Bowl pass players are so nasty. So Heinz Ward has unstoppable deep in elite. Huge hit right there, second and seven. We start out seeing RPO. Damn, these Super Bowl cards are interesting. So he's gonna have deep in elite the whole game and then Josh Dobbs has immune to defensive pressure. These are weird. Another run play, Jalen Carter just barely misses. Definitely forced him inside a little earlier than he wanted to though. He's gonna wanna throw short here. We could have a huge stop to start this game. Let's get it right now. There's the whip route, it's not open. Big post, no. Dude, so Jesse Bates actually has the KO to knock that out but the computer Jesse Bates went for the interception and I couldn't knock it out with Hester.   I'm not worried, I really am not worried yet. Oh my God, dude, I've got like 30 straight episodes without forgetting the challenge reel. I just forgot it.  I literally would have lost it already.  Score 31 plus points in today's game. Let's see what he's got here on defense. Marcus Peters, Darius Slay, Ray Lewis, inside stuff. Definitely, I don't know, I actually made the exact correct decision. That's exactly what I showed you. He does not see the whip route. I think he's shaded inside because that was so easy. Here we go, first and 10. Great drive. Let's keep it up. There's Jamar Chase. Ooh, oh Jesus. That's sure what he's going for here, third and 12. There's Dree Archer.  I had not easy for them to make that throw.   See, because even if I get intercepted though, it's at least, it's still better field position to get intercepted there. So I definitely played that wrong. Yes. Oh, I have to hit that. I have to make that tackle. I get the ball back with the avalanche. It's been a while since I've seen someone who really sticks to the run game. Doesn't need to here. Makes a nice pass. He's three for three. So it is a pass. Check's down low. Damn, he fought.  He's probably going to keep his knee close. Wow. Fourth and inches, he whiffed the pass. We got bodies up here. Fourth and inches. Oh my God, we stuffed him.   What a scary spot to be in. First and 10, huge.   Let's go. That's disgusting. Let's go. I can't believe I didn't see a tush push, dude. I mean, he knows what I'm doing, but we're doing anyway. Hell yeah. Great blocks, gentlemen. Second and six. Ray Lewis is subbed in at my third string tight end. I'm going to go tree archer, beauty. Dude, fucking, I love you tree archer. I don't know about my challenge though, 31 plus points. I'm not looking like that guy right now. There's Kronk. Just over his head. Oh, he knew I was joking. Still got stiff arm. Let's go. Stim on the goal line. Mounted a 99 yard drive and we score our touchdown with 14 seconds on the clock. This half isn't over. If we can keep this tied up, this will be great, because we get the ball after this. Why am I getting sliced? I'm just getting dotted by the rope. Ah, two corner outs. That's fine. Stepped out of bounds, but I don't know how I didn't pick that. Doesn't matter too much. If I got the pick though, I'd get momentum.  Oh my God, bro. This is actually, I can't believe I'm in a game with you. Let's bring this out. We haven't used this yet at all. RPO zone alert bubble. Whoa, whoa, whoa. That's supposed to be the, why did it not let me pass that? Please let me throw it.  Oh my God, it's so late. It was like a year late. Did they nerf RPOs?  What was that? Oh my God, zone?  And I was back in man coverage and he'll probably shade the outside there. If we just get some time, CD-Lam is gonna clear underneath. Oh my God, tree archer. No, don't joke, don't joke. Yup, yup, yup. He played the joke. He tried to sit on the joke.  I'm in your walls. Oh my God.  He was beating me seven to zero and he was about to score again. Go Matt. Oh! You're so close. But he's not gonna throw it. What are you gonna throw? Silver? Why am I calling him silver? 85 overall, Aaron Donald gets home. Gotta get off this. Get home, Justin Bay! No way, Hester. Partner's art I've ever gotten to. This is a wild game. All right, that's our go. Tree archer. Yes. Tree archer. Dude is an absolute savage. Oh, great block. Get inside. And he's got the stiff arm animation. If this is zone, we hit Jamar Chase. If it's man, we hit the whip route. Whip route. Wait. Save flowers. He's free. Have my children. Certain inches. Do I go tushy-pushy? I don't know if you can stop tush-push with this formation he's in. Oh my God. What a block. From Froholt. He's shot the Froholt. My 82 center. Just chopped his ankles.  What a savage.  Oh, cut this up. Middle, middle, middle. Go! Oh! Oh! I gotta stop joking before I fall in the hole.  I want to see him stop I-form-slot hat backblast before I switch out of it. I might, dude, I need a sub-gronkana fullback. Let's play this smart here. I-form-slot. Fred Taylor is not going to be our lead blocker and neither should Vernon Davis. Let's take Gronk out for Vernon Davis so we can still throw. We'll put Gronk in an I-form-slot and then let's switch up our audibles. So now that I have my audible set, I can audible the stretch and he thinks I'm going up the middle. Oh! I think Dave Flowers could be a touchdown but I don't know if I want to risk that. What a swat!  That was a monster play from 52. Dre Archer was butt-naked on the check-down. Zane. I don't know how CJ Stroud didn't get perfect accuracy there. Oh, I really had that. I free-formed inside, he had the step on it. It would have been a tough catch either way but I'm really shocked that he didn't even animate for that ball. He used a ton of clock and got the two-position lead, that's really good. He wants a corner-out randomized. Oh no. He's got it, he's got it, he's got it. Slate! Sheep out zone KO! No, he's got the post. Oh, RPO over to Heinz Ward, good juke. I can't burn the time out but that is not right. He's going corner-out, corner-out, corner-out. Oh, good defense. Good defense, DeMario. Taken a 60, dies out of bounds. I don't, does the clock stop here? I use her Jalen Ramsey on randomized. That was very scary. It worked out. Now he disguised the blitz. He thinks it's the blitz, it's not. Yup, yup, yup. He doesn't know what to do! Oh! More than 18, this is the ball game. We stop him here. You bitch-made boy. Take her to go, bitch-made boy. If I get the field goal, this is over. Dude, I literally said I got to stop Duke when Juri Archer, he's going to fumble. There he goes. There he goes, cuts it up the middle, come on! Same hit and that's a user hit. You got to get me the fumble. His CPU Ray Lewis forced that. I got Avalanche again for that, though, goodness. He didn't even get the down. Yeah, he did. That should have been a fumble.  Did he run this? Is he trying to shoot the clock? Scoring no time? Second and 11, that was a bad play. This time we're sitting on it. I'm going right back to I-form slot but this time I'll carry your conservative, not making the same mistake twice. Little Neil, no timeouts left, insane.  He's griefing me is what he's doing.  He wants you to quit, so he wins. He does, he's not going to let it get to the end screen.  Oh yes, yes, yes, nevermind. He's being cool, he's being cool. Thank you, Jacob. No challenge wheel, no dice on the 31 plus, but an insanely clutch defensive game takes us to the playoffs.  Look at the stats on this game. CJ Stroud, excellent game. He missed the one throw to Z-Flowers which we had iced it earlier, but it's not a big deal because we iced it anyway with the second throw to Z-Flowers. Pastor Knot was okay, started out hot, but he threw one incredibly crucial interception. And I think Dre Archer was the MVP. Ah, can I say that then we fumbled? He fumbled, but Dre Archer was insane through the air. He's making tough catches and the chess match of not juking was insane there to get that touchdown. Dre Archer six for 132 and a touchdown, 90 rack yards. And then Z-Flowers, super big catch. And Jamar Chase in his debut, he had one single whip route for 13 yards. I'm sorry, I couldn't get him the ball more, but that dude is playing really good defense. All right, boys, absolutely massive, massive monumental W. We move to the playoffs. I hope you guys enjoyed this wheel of mud. I knew it'd be a banger. It's not the day of the Super Bowl. And of course, enjoy the Super Bowl. Have a great day gentlemen, I love you boys. See you guys in the next stop soon. Peace.


What's up, everyone? It's your girl, Kenzie here from Leighton Sports Guards. I'm ripping four personal boxes here for Nathaniel A. You've got four of the 21-22 Top's Finest Bundesliga Soccer Hobbies. All right, Nathaniel, thanks so much for your order. Let's see what we can get you. I've got to boom this leader. I have eight and one third and eights. Ouch. Here we go.  Silver or, sorry, refractor rookie David Rom. Haffenheim. Got refractor rookie of Jamie Luling. Purple wave of Paulino for Leverkusen. That is 186 of 250. Rookie Binks. Got black of Indo for Stugart. That is 99 of 199. Black auto here of Ricardo Pepe for Osberg. On the black wave, 69 of 150. Got yellow wave rookie of Robert Gumney for Osberg. 167 of 350. That was a nice pass, Andrews. Refractor rookie of Timothy Tillman. Was it Incomplete or was it Inception? No, Inception. Oh, geez. Oh, geez. Refractor of Dahood. We've got purple rookie Paul Wanner for Bayern Munich. Green wave of Landro Barrio for FC Mainz. 24 of 99. Plus second box here. We've got refractor die cut Manuel Norr for Bayern Munich. Rookie refractor Linehart. Blue of Becker Union of Berlin. That is 77 of 150. Refractor Asano. We've got Takuma Asano for Bochum on the yellow. 180 of 350. Got everyone about a 20 minute queue after these boxes. Not very long. Refractor Otto Christopher Lentz for Frankfurt. Nice refractor Otto. Pink wave of Max Kruse for Wolfsburg. 281 of 300. Envoy. Strikers refractor Erling Hollands. Refractor Anderson. That coming up. Keynes refractor. We've got a gold refractor of Geicoitz for Osberg. 47 out of 50. Nice gold refractor there. Die cut. The fact box one. Black wave rookie Sydney Rabiger. A nice one there for you Nathaniel. 122 out of 199 on the Rabiger. And yellow wave of Diaby for Leverkusen. 57 of 350. Very nice first box. On the box too. All right here we go. Nathaniel box number two. We've got Black Otto Manuel Preidl for Armenia. 42 of 250. Got purple wave of Marcus Thurman. Boachemond 60 of 250. St. Zeus. Nick Chubb. What? Nick Chubb. Refractor Die Cut of Geicoitz. Osberg refractor Schlager. Refractor Mongala. Pink wave Marco Ruse for Dortmund. 277 of 300. Rookie refractor Anton Stock. We've got Black of Haribucci for Union Berlin. 161 of 199. Refractor of Boateng. We've got yellow wave Manuel Raymond for Boachem. 300 of 350. Simon Zoller. Boachem. Kloss. Many box number two. Bellingham base. Refractor of Jan Sommer. Boreshemar. Refractor Thomas Mueller. Warner. Refractor of Nehaus. Pink wave Rookie. Max Christensen for Garfuth. Rufuth 164 of 300. Gummy. Got Black wave Otto of Eamon Barcock for Frankfurt. That is 142 out of 150 on the Otto there. We've got purple Skahiri for Colin. Got Stryker's refractor Patrick Suitsch. Nehaus refractor. Good blue wave of Klostermann for Leipzig. 138 of 150. Refractor Max Kruss. Got yellow Schumpf for Armenia. 79 of 350. Lindstrom. Pink Jamal Moussiala of Vyramunic. 188 out of 300. Base. Right. Box three. We've got refractor Kevin Trapp. A Indo Stuttgart. Caliguri refractor. Purple Christopher Lentz for Frankfurt. Blue Rookie of Meijer for Osberg. That is 146 of 150. Black wave Otto of Manuel Preto for Armenia. 62 out of 150. Yellow Rookie wave of Mavropano Stuttgart. 310 out of 350. Meijer Hoffmann. One of our Stryker's Rookie Refractor of Ognianui. Schick. Shade. Refractor of Danny Olmo. Pink wave of a Niter. Niter Lechner for Osberg. 277 of 300. Here. Got purple wave of Vox for Haffenheim. Second mini box of Vox three for another auto. Die cut refractor of Oliver Baumann. Robert Gumney refractor. Osberg. Refractor of Bumgarner. Pink wave of Eckstein for Club Freiberg. Out of 300 on that one. Blue auto here for Armenia and Manuel Preto. That is 8 out of 65 on that blue. A little color match there on the jersey. Purple wave of Iago. Osberg. Knopf on the Finest Young Talents Refractor. Chandler Refractor. Blackwave Rookie of Darty. Berlin refractor Griffo. Yellow Rookie. Kevin Shade for Club Freiberg. 154 of 350. Rom and Last Packet. Young for Club Freiberg. 100 out of 300. And Eckstein Vox. Box number four here for Anethaniel. Good luck. 20, 30 minute queue after these boxes. Not too long at all. You can find what we've got available for you. LeanSportsCards.com under the Personals tab. Refractor die cut somer for Borosimann. Eckstein refractor. Got refractor of Nehaas Pink. Rookie of Francic. 65 out of 300. Almost. Purple Rookie Auto Timo Hubers for FC Cologne. 53 out of 99. Nice Rookie Auto there. And Purple Jeremiah St. Cheust for FC Mainz. 94 out of 250. Strikers Refractor. Patrick Schuch. Lucas and Mecha Refractor. Blackwave of Evan and Dicka for Frankfurt. 191 of 199. Max Kruse Refractor. Angelino for Leipzig. 23 out of 350 on the yellow. Pack of mini box. One Pink Rookie of Timothy Tillman for Geir Futh. All right. Last mini box here for Anethaniel.  Baku and Reberger Rookie Base. Robin Nosche for Berlin. 45 out of 199. Sosa Rookie Refractor. Yellow of Mbuba for Stugart. 197 out of 350. It's for a Bayern Munich of 15. Wow. Beautiful card. We will mag this one for you. Pink Dani Olmo 114 out of 300. One of the guys you are looking for in this. Got Rookie Refractor of Mellon for Borussia Dort. Pridol Refractor. We've got Green Jude Bellingham. 30 out of 99. Thanks Green Bellingham. It's a very nice mini box here. Wow. Got Blue Wave Rookie of Kruger for Romania. Yellow Wave Jude Bellingham. Beautiful color match on that. 306 out of 350 and Zentner. Wow. What a way to end that four boxer for you. Congrats again on that, Anethaniel. Thanks so much for hopping in as always. We'll get this right out to you.


This is Stink Tech, Hawaii. Community matters here. Okay. It's age with grace. Aging with grace. Without borders. Without, well, no, but that's the name of the show. This is Colin Hiroshita. He's helping me do this. He's a gerontology consultant. And he's been a gerontology consultant for as long as I know him, which is actually quite some time. Right. That's right. That's right. So it's age with grace, aging with grace, but the name of the show today we're going to talk about is age without borders because that's a virtual summit we're going to talk about with Colin. That's right. Welcome to the show, Colin. Thank you very much. I always appreciate it. You know, a chance to talk to you. It's an important subject and I always like talking to you. So first, let's identify this virtual summit, age without borders. What is that? And who does it serve? How does it work? Well, the age without borders initiative was developed about over a year ago and it has had one conference thus far, but it's a virtual summit. What this means is that the organization put together for this particular one conference that will be at the end of this month. About 60 international speakers from around the world, 17 countries, each of whom are given about a half an hour to talk about their specific skills and knowledge. And so it's like going to a conference, but it's free and it's much cheaper than going to a conference which will set you back about $2,000 and the travel and the time involved. So this is a great opportunity to learn both for professionals as well as for unpaid family members skills and insights so that they can do their job better. So how is it broken down? I want to learn something. I go on the website which is www.AWBCaregiving.com. Correct. How do I find stuff out on that website? Good question. Well, AWB stands for Age Without Borders so it's www.AWBCaregiving.com and when you go to that website, you will be able to identify a particular link which will say you can click here and have free access to this, all of these 60 speakers during the week from January 22 to the 26 at no cost. And they could be anywhere. You can be anywhere in the world, right, in the world, right. Now if you want to retain some of these great presentations, then there's a cost associated, but for that week, it's free. Very cool. So it's like you're live, almost, you're there, you're there for the week. Yeah. If you want to come back, that may cost you something, but being there for the week doesn't cost anything. Absolutely.   So you've got to set some time aside for yourself to do this. So some examples then of what the speakers are speaking about? My goodness, there's such a wide array. There's some people that are talking about broad issues. Some of them are dealing with technology and how technology can help because today, we have so many people that need help and we have fewer and fewer health care workers. And when... Especially gerontology health. Gerontology health. It scares. Absolutely.  And so there's some technologies that are available. And then there's some personal stories about people who have gone through the process and some of the lessons that they have learned. There's others that have shared very specific skills, tools that are available. So there's a whole variety of things. One of the things about this particular virtual summit is that in addition to the 60 individuals who are speaking, and that includes myself, by the way. I hope so. Yeah. Yeah. There's also something called a care package of various kinds of tools and other kinds of resources. Even some music and poetry and other sorts of useful tools that one can use and retain. So that's also free during that particular week as well. So this is a whole primer on everything you need to know. Absolutely. When does it start? Is it online now? When is it happening? It starts from January 20th, which is at the end of the month. Oh, yeah. A few days away. Yeah. Just a few days away. And so it'll be a great opportunity for people to have access to this and it's available worldwide. Okay. And it's going to repeat. It's not just the one time only, yeah? During that week, each show will be available for about 48 hours because, of course, the world is a big place. And so your market is the world. And the market is the world. You're speaking to everyone in the world. Everyone in the world, yes. And so day one will be shown for 48 hours, day two will be shown. So there's going to be a certain amount of an overlap, but that'll start from January 20th. But will you do this again? Will you have another online conference along these lines say the year, six months, whatever? That's a possibility. That will be something that will be too determined. They had one last year that I also participated in and we focused specifically on this term called active aging, targeting the boomer population and the pre-retirees to remain well, to live long, you know, until their last breath, you know. Yeah. I love the idea. So give us a definition of active aging and give us the years on boomers. What generation? How do you define that generation? That's a tough question. But we're, you know, we're looking at people from, let's say, let's say about 50 to about 75 and maybe 80 that are pre-retirees or thinking about retiring, some of that are early retirees and are still very active. But oftentimes people that certainly want to live long and they want to live well, but oftentimes are not really clear with regards to how to do that. And so when we look at pre-retirement seminars, oftentimes it's about your, you know, Medicare and your social security benefit. And others will talk about how important, you know, remaining physically active is. But active aging is more than just your health or your finances. There are 11 facets that are involved, you know. We have to watch our physical fitness and our social fitness, our medical fitness, our nutritional fitness, you know, our financial fitness. And we have to also watch our purpose, you know, in terms of trying to clarify what it is that we want to do with the rest of our life. Who are you now that you are retired and without a job title? Yeah, this is a life and death decision. Absolutely. If you get older like that, you're facing, you know, the grim reaper.  Absolutely. And what good can you provide? You know, how can you remain useful? Ah, that's a very interesting question, because if you remain useful, by definition you remain connected. If you remain connected, you know, your life is better, your sense of awareness is better.  Using your brain.  Absolutely. Absolutely. Yeah. Yeah. So this is all part of what we call active aging, you know. It's a very, it's a very, what's the, give us a little bio of yourself. I know you were in KCC for a long time. Yes. Doing aging issues. Right. Right. And then you've been involved in the conversion, if you will, of St. Francis in Liliha into an aging facility. Talk about it. Well, yes. So I am still a consultant with St. Francis, which was once a hospital, that now has decided that they wanted to convert the entire facility into a Kupuna village, you know, an elder care village that dedicates itself to elder care services from institutional care to community-based care to active aging exercise and wellness type of programs as well. I want to say institutionally, you mean people live there? Nursing homes. Yeah. Okay. And then St. Francis is also in the process of setting up an assisted living facility that people that are frail but still independent. So it's going to create an entire array of different types of services there. And there's this dedication towards elder care. My job there is to focus around training, around family caregiver training as well as the active aging. Professional staff training. Not so much for unpaid caregivers. Unpaid caregivers. Yes. That's right. Oh, that's wonderful. That gives you a connection, doesn't it? That's right. They're growing numbers of older adults, which means that they're growing numbers of family members that are caring for moms and dads and aunties and uncles as well, you know. And this becomes a major challenge because these are also people that are working. And so to the extent that you need to do this type of work, it pulls people away from their jobs and it can have an effect on productivity as well. So these are concerns that we all have to be concerned with, yeah. Yeah. I mean, it's really interesting because what it suggests is that you don't just sit there like in the old days and the zone on the TV. You want to have a quality of life, you have to do some things. I remember my stepmother lived in New Jersey and they had an elder facility in the neighborhood and they would go into Manhattan, they would go on these trips, everybody would get on the bus, they would do very exciting, interesting things together and together was the magic word. Right, right, right. You know, if you do it together, you're not isolated, worried, somebody will take care of you. Yes, yes, yes.  Right, right, right. We want to keep people in, you know, isolation is very corrosive, you know. Someone once said to me that being isolated is almost like smoking a pack of cigarettes a day, you know, in terms of the, it's negative effect on your health, you know. So we've got to stay connected. If your loved ones pass away, you've got to reconnect. You've got to reconnect. Yeah, yeah. It's very important. You need an institution to do that, it's hard to do it yourself. Right, right, right. You need to meet new people and actually engage with them. So let's take a short break, Cullen, Cullen Hayashita. Cullen is a gerontology consultant having worked at KCC in a teaching role and also consulting with St. Francis, which is, what am I going to say, evolving into a full service elder care facility. That's right. We're talking today about Aged Without Borders, which is a virtual summit. And when we come back, I'd like to talk about, you know, how it is in Hawaii, you know, what's the situation right now and how are we going to, you know, make it better for all of us, including you and me, when we get into that special zone, we'll be right back. Okay. This is Think Tech Hawaii, raising public awareness. I'm Ethan Allen, host of a likable science on Think Tech Hawaii. Every Friday afternoon at 2 p.m., I hope you'll join me for a likable science, where we'll dig into the science, dig into the meat of science, dig into the joy and delight of science. We'll discover why science is indeed fun, why science is interesting, why people should care about science and care about the research that's being done out there. It's all great. It's all entertaining. It's all educational. So I hope you'll join me for a likable science. What work is it? Yeah. Okay. We're back. We're live with Colin Hayashita. He is a gerontology consultant. That means old age consultant. He's been, he's been a gerontology consultant since he was a young man. What brought you into it anyway? Why did you get so committed to this whole area? Well, that's a long story. Well, I... Some do it with family. It has to do with family. Well, you know, we were living in Cleveland and I was a professor there teaching 18th century, 19th century Japanese Chinese society. Can you believe that? And then a river caught on fire. My daughter got all sorts of health related problems. And so we decided, you know, this is not working out. So let's come back to Hawaii. McKinney decided to pick me up without any background in the field. And they said, we'll train you. We'll train you. This was back in 1978 and they provided me with a lot of support. You found it. You liked it a lot. Yes. Yes. So that was the beginning, back in 1978, when, you know, gerontology really was not of much interest to much people, many people around. But then over 10 years I was able to acquire some knowledge base and, you know, over time we... I was involved with many people on this, but got involved with creating about 50 different initiatives in Hawaii having to do with elder care. All directed towards finding, you know, more cost effective home and community based type services. Yeah. Yeah. So the discussion of those initiatives will help us understand what the problems are. Right. So first let's talk about the problems. I mean, I remember years ago, my wife and I was courting her. We went to Kauai where she was from and we found that down in a kind of ditch under between Kaloa and the road there was a whole string of these plantation looking houses with steel roofs and, you know, green walls and that's where the elder population lived. And everybody would come down and give them soup all the time. And they were part of larger family, the community in Kaloa, I was so impressed with that. Everybody cared. I don't think it works that way anymore. People don't do that for other people. You know, if you get old you have to find some system that will accept you. So is it easy? Is it hard now? Yes. You know, I think your point is well taken that there's a certain amount of loss of community, you know, people helping people, which was so much a part of that, you know, plantation life, that we need to somehow find ways of reconstructing to a certain extent. You know, we take condominiums, for example. We've got so many people living in a very small confine and yet people don't know each other and don't want to know each other and there's no community. But I think there are opportunities there in trying to create community. And this is important because you know why we've got, I don't know, thousands of these condos and many of them were built in, let's say, in the 1960s by 40-year-olds who are today, you know, in their 80s. And so we found certain condos that are like 40 percent, 50 percent over 65, right? So these are like aging in place communities in a sense. And we've got to find ways of recreating this people helping people type environment, you know. And there are possibilities. City and county of Honolulu through Mayor Caldwell and the ARP have worked on something called the age-friendly city initiative. And this is from the WHO. And HMSA has worked from the other angle and they've worked with the, what was it called, the National Geographic Magazine. They've created this program called the Blue Zone. And what had happened was the National Geographic Community went to various parts of the world and they found certain areas where people are living, where there's a lot of centenarians there. And they tried to identify some of the secrets for a long life. And they brought this together in nine principles called the Blue Zone. And so HMSA now is trying to work with certain communities in Hawaii to recreate some of those types of principles and build communities. So these are all good things. We've got a lot of work to do in this area. Yeah.  Yes. But HMSA wants people to be in communities so they're healthier. Right.  Not institutionalized. They don't get, it's like the Deakin's Chariot. Do you remember the story of the Deakin's Chariot? The Deakin built a Chariot that would last a hundred years. Everything on it was going to last a hundred years and it lasted a hundred years. And on his hundredth birthday, everything fell off and it was completely collapsed. And maybe that's the way to go. That's right. You make that Chariot last as long as you can and at a certain point, you know it's going to be, the wheels are going to come off, but at least it's a short, it's a short moment at the end. That's right. That's right. Well, that's related to that book that I made reference to by Roger Landry, you know, Live Long, Die Short. We want to be able to live a long life in good health until our natural life span and a short death. We don't want a long death, you know, in an institutional facility. There's not that much quality related to that, right? So what work has to be done and what work are you doing in these initiatives you mentioned earlier? Well, on the caregiving side, I'm part of a local organization, a nonprofit called Hawaii Family Caregiver Initiative, a program consortium. And we have been trying to advocate for things having to do with caregivers. For example, at the legislature a couple years ago, ARP had started an initiative called the CARE Act where they wanted to try to promote hospitals, encourage the hospitals to provide instructions to family caregivers before they're discharged into the community. Great idea. Great idea. And that passed a couple years ago. So that's in place right now. How do you incentivize that? How do you make that happen? You know, there's no penalty associated with not doing it. What is happening is that hospitals are just putting together some instructional sheets that they're providing the families with. So it's more through encouragement rather than through, you know, a hammer, so to speak. Yeah. And it's the same thing as the HMSA thing. They're motivated to do that because they'll, you know, then everybody's healthier. Right. Right. Right. And the other thing, one of the other things that we've been assisting with was the need to look at family caregivers who are working, and there's so many of them around, right? And so a couple years ago, a bill passed the legislature to provide some financial assistance to these family, working family caregivers. And right now it's being implemented, but the amount of money is small. So during this coming legislative session, there's a bill that's going to be introduced to expand that by maybe by six-fold. Yeah.  You know, I think the big question is to demonstrate to them that the bill curve is going out. Yep. And there are more people. And there, you know, there's a greater need because on the one hand, you need to help the Kupuna, and on the other hand, you have to help the young family whose lives are being thrown out of the kilter because they need to help their own. Right. Right. And then at the same time, you know, it seems to me that this is a community here, and from a political point of view, the Kupuna community, who, Kupuna community, K, K, okay?  I don't want a third K, but that community could be, maybe to some extent already is, a powerful political force, and the legislature cannot ignore them yet. Oh, absolutely. Older adults, they vote in great numbers and in high percentages. And the legislators, they know that. They know it. But you know, it's not just the Kupunas that we're caring for. It's the families. They're the ones that are immediately affected. And more and more, we're finding that the legislators are making reference to their family members. So they are beginning to get it, you know. Yeah. Well, anything else? Anything else cooking, or should we cook anything you're planning in the future? Well, we're beginning to, you know, the focus, much of my work has been around dealing with frailty.  And what I've done recently is I begin to pivot towards looking at older adults as an asset to the community, that we should not simply, you know, give people a gold watch and say, you know, you're out to the pastors, but recognize that older people have skills, they've got assets, they've got knowledge, they've got experience, and they've got a lot of time on their hands. So we've got to find a way of somehow making certain that they remain useful and contributing to the community, because that's going to make them well and perhaps even have a moderating effect in terms of the need for long-term care. So that's something that we want to work on. Now part of this is that the boomers now and the older adults that are around right now probably have pensions, and we're going to see pensions go away. So a lot of the boomers that are coming up, the older adults in the near future and the ones that were working in the private sector, do not have pensions. They've got 401Ks that will not last that long. And so we have to find ways of making it possible for older adults to continue working. Some, they need to work because they're shorting cash. You know, longevity is a great thing. It's a blessing. But if you run out of cash, it's a curse. So we've got to find ways in which we can somehow make certain that we can provide people with a clearinghouse to help them find opportunities to continue to work. Employment agency. Employment agency. And some of them do not have to work, but they want to do something, be useful. And so that is also an important part of what we need to incorporate in this clearinghouse. Yeah, but I mean, what you were talking about, it does raise the dark side. And the dark side is that Donald Trump and his friends will cut all kinds of social benefits to Medicare and Medicaid and Social Security, for that matter. I think Paul Ryan is looking at cutting it all. Yeah. I mean, I hope we can throw them all out of office. But in the meantime, if we don't, for any reason, and they stay around, seems clear to me that they're going to cut these benefits. It was a two-step transaction, where the first thing you give a tax break to the corporations, the second step almost immediately is, oh, we don't have enough money now. We have to cut benefits. It's like one followed the other, and it had to be an intentional plan. So if that happens in Hawaii anyway, then you have more people in a situation where there's Social Security, whatever is left of it, and Medicare and Medicaid doesn't really cover their expenses and there are more of them because the boomers go out on the age curve, what happens to us? The state government, what happens to us? Who's going to take care of them? That's right. This is a huge, big problem. It's a huge problem. Yeah. What do we do? Well, we have to realize that we are the ones that we've been waiting for. There's nobody else, and there's some of us who have been in the field, and we just need to recognize that we've got an obligation to pass on that knowledge and bring together a network to create the change, the positive change, because we have an obligation to the next generation. We're the ones that we've been waiting for. Yeah. And the next generation would like to see us independent. Absolutely. The next generation does not want to see us become dependent. No. And for that matter, they don't want to be dependent either. No. So we really have to make this a working body of the population. And if we can remain independent for as long as possible, until our last breath, it's a gift to the next generation. It is. Right? But I'd like to pose a problem to you that right now the unemployment rate in the state of Hawaii is 2 percent. Correct. We're less, you know, it's very fortunate, I suppose. But if, you know, the kupuna are looking for jobs, what happens? Well, this is, you know, many of these companies are not paying too much attention to the fact that our kupuna are there, you know. And we don't necessarily make it that easy for them to navigate this whole process of job finding. And some of them may need certain skills, some coaching, need to do some resume writing, or they, you know, and there's a whole variety of different sorts of things that we can do to assist them to make that transition. So we've got to look at this population, particularly at this time when we're so short on labor, as a huge resource, a huge resource. And they come to work on time, you know, they don't have girlfriend and boyfriend. Old fashioned work ethic. Right, they don't have boyfriend and girlfriend problems like that. Not usually. Not usually. Anyway. Well, you know, part of this is that that generation has to see itself as in this model, as the working model, work until you really, really can't. And you know, it's not just that we tell them that, that's a good idea from all kinds of points of view, but also that they, you know, integrate that into their thinking and that they're ready to come to work. Ready to, you know, do the job, whatever it is, please their employer and achieve things. Yeah. Right. It's a great thing for them, but we have to tell them and make them understand that. You know, a lot of times, employers think, well, you know, we're talking about an older person who may have some health problems and this is going to create a lot of problems on my, on my, you know, my overhead, but you know, it is possible to look at the older adults as people with Medicare and, and it is possible to make arrangements for a population like this to, to, to perhaps waive, you know, some benefits in, in exchange for work. And so there, there, there are things that we've got to look at collectively and, you know, and negotiate to see whether or not it's still. It's a beautiful idea. So how do you implement it?  How do you implement this and make it happen? I need to create a kitchen cabinet. I'm looking for people who understand the importance of this, this, this cohort as a huge asset to our community. And then perhaps, you know, start with small projects that are very implementable and can lead to success. We may need to create some, some excitement in the community by bringing some national and international leaders to talk about this and, you know, create more of a buzz. One of the things that is also possible, I guess, in creating this awareness is looking at, look at our senior fairs today. It's all focused around, you know, this is a great nursing home or a great assisted living facility or great home healthcare agency.  We don't have a companion active aging type summit or a festival that celebrates age as an asset and look at older adults looking for opportunities, paid or unpaid. Now Japan has been doing this for about four or five years now. I'm bringing a group of about ten of us in March to Japan to look at what they're doing and we want to, we want to bring that back to Hawaii. So it's a variety of things, but we've got to keep moving forward. So how does this relate to the notion of aging in place? Those people in the condominiums you were talking about from the 60s who was still there and who liked their condominiums and were happy in the condominiums. Are you talking to them? Do you want, you suggest that they stay there and do active aging from their condo or should they consider going to, you know, a senior facility, an institutional senior facility? Well, everyone, you know, will have to make some decisions on their own, of course. Oftentimes aging in place seems like something that is what we want because we want to remain where we are. At some point in your life, you might find that it may be, you know, let's say if it's not a condo, it's a single family house and you've got a big house which may be 2,000 square feet and you don't need all that space and then it collects a lot of clutter and it becomes more trouble than it's worth. You know, we need to look at ourselves and make some decisions about downsizing, you know? So those are questions that we need to learn about. We've got to educate ourselves about what's available in the community and what probably is best. We may need to do some things as far as housing is concerned for ourselves, but we can still go on and continue to be useful. Yeah, but one thing is clear and it's not only Trump and his Republican friends who want to cut benefits. It's medicine, it's our social fabric, it's state economics. All these things are in play, all these things are changing, and so are attitudes around the kupuna. So you're in the middle of that, you're doing very important work.  We're both getting old together so we can understand this better every day. Okay, you watch my back, I'll watch yours. How's that? Thank you, Colin. I appreciate it. Thanks so much for coming down. You're welcome. Thank you.


TFNN, headline, news update. Hi everyone, Basel Chapman here. I'm the host of the Tiger Technicians Hour coming up straight after this Tiger Financial News Network, noontime update and the market is saying that the Dow's down 60 points at $20,820, had another one of those sessions where there was an immediate attempt at a rally. It ran all the way to $24,054 and now it's quite a bit lower and it's making this pattern that I was talking about for the last couple of days. You've got a rising, narrowing, wedge formation. You went under it very often, you make a little cup formation whether you break above the left side high, in this case $24,660, or you take out the most recent low that would be three days ago, $23,602 is really important. You go underneath $23,550 and you're now in a short-term sell signal at least, probably a sell mode in the daily chart. That's not good. And if you go above, that's really positive. Look at the S&P. The S&P at this moment is also down, it's not as down sharply, it's on the $195 at $28,66. It too has made that same pattern, this rising wedge formation hit the 200-period exponential moving average exactly at $29,54, the most recent high, it's really at $28,60. Any time today, if it goes under $28,58, that's going to be a negative, the QQQNDX, that has strength, it's made a new recovery high, that's high is at $220.78. That's really important. It has a recycle that we'll know by the end of the day. But most importantly, the manganese is still good. Secastics still pretty good at 76% if it breaks under 214 in the next two days, that's going to be very negative. So far, this is a good sign that the IWM is down $0.73 at $125.91, really lagging. Now, this is going to be interesting because gold is down quite sharply, it's down $20 at $16.91. And look, the dollar is running quite nicely at $100.11 and it's stuck in the rain, making a lowercase H, they go to the lowercase M and it's making yet another, I call this the worm formation, I'll talk about it in my show coming up, and crude oil, which hit, I remember I said between 27 and 29, I think that's going to be kind of top information. I don't know if that is the case, but it's down $1.33 at $23.23 and wait until we speak about bonds in the next section, a gap down towards the low underneath the rectangle formation support level, I'll be back and we'll talk about it in a few minutes, hope to see you then. And don't forget my newsletters, the opening call, daily newsletters, I'll see you then.