In statistics, sampling bias is a bias in which a sample is collected in such a way that some members of the intended population are less likely to be included than others. It results in a biased sample, a non-random sample of a population or non-human factors in which all individuals, for instances, were not equally likely to have been selected. If this is not accounted for, results can be erroneously attributed to the phenomenon under study rather than to the method of sampling. Medical sources sometimes refer to sampling bias as ascertainment bias. The ascertainment bias has basically the same definition, but is still sometimes classified as a separate type of bias. Sampling bias is mostly classified as a subtype of selection bias, sometimes specifically termed sample selection bias, but some classify it as a separate type of bias. A distinction, albeit not universal be accepted, of sampling bias is that it undermines the external validity of a test. The ability of its results to be generalized to the entire population while selection bias mainly addresses internal validity for differences or similarities found in the sample at hand. In this sense, errors occur in the process of gathering the sample or cohort cause sampling bias, while errors in any process thereafter cause selection bias. However, selection bias and sampling bias are often used synonymously.


Sorry about that. Welcome folks, let's take a look at this market right now. We have the Dow Industries right now trading down 375, Nasdaq is off 258, S&P is off 61, Gold Contract up $2 trading out at 19.09 an ounce. We have Silver up 25 cents, 24 dollars, 56 cents an ounce, LightSweep crude, $91.89 a barrel, notes and bonds. The 10-year note, down 66, trading 12609, the 30-year off 126 at 152.19 and King Dollar. King Dollar is up 165.6, trading 96, 190, Euro 113, yen 114.98 and a British Pound, 135 to 1 US Dollar. Excuse me folks, we get over there and we look at the spy first, we're going to see what the spy, spy, bottom line down 580, making this move to the bottom of the range, the bottom of the range, high volume high that wants to get tested is 420. We're going to hit it. You don't get this close to them when I'm hitting it folks, I expect the next couple of days you're going to hit it. We go to the NDX 100, what do we have at the NDX? We're talking about this yesterday, bottom line, didn't hit it and this is a great lesson to see how this shakes out there because yesterday we missed it by 20 cents, bottom line can't hold price. Now, it's not an ABC down, that's the great news, okay? Bottom line what you have is this, is that you're down $6.69, you're trading at 331.41, bottom line, let me just look at this for a second. So, if I take this, come on baby, get out of there, there we go. Let's put this on a weekly for a second and see where this baby wants to drift down. The key to here, this being a Wednesday folks, bottom line, we're going to be down all week, man. I see, yeah, we're going down, the queues are on the way to 324. You're at 331 right now. You already broke the top of these levels, the bottom is, this is intense, 334 to actually 297. So, we get some action on the way down here, big time too. You get volume off the high, yeah, all the above and we'll see and here's the kicker. If that number doesn't hold folks, okay, that 297, you know, you might have something at 271, but then you are like down and out in a monster way.


Hey Virgo, this is Kelly from House of Virgo doing your next 24 hours love reading This is for Virgo Sun, Moon, Rising, or Venus. Some of the messages may or may not resonate. Click what? Click. Take what fits, leave the rest. If you want to get a personal reading from me there is a link in the description box below. Also, you can follow me on my Instagram, House of Virgo. The link is also Well, I don't know if you can click on that to get there, but you can see how it's spelled. Okay, so this is going to be a love reading. It is the next 24 hours, but this energy can play out at any time. Okay, so all right. Temperance. Temperance is here, a Sagittarius energy coming into balance, coming into focus. Peace and harmony at last. Divine timing. Okay, I feel like there's a settling energy, being able to temper yourself after a difficult time period. Some of you could be bartenders or chemists, or you could be connecting with someone who is. But let's take a look here and see what else is showing up for you. It's also like self-control, moderation. I think you're just trying to maintain a sense of self-control. Okay, not wanting to be over reactive or under reactive, you're just like All right, let me just call on myself here. Okay, for others, you know, you could be connecting with the Sagittarius, but there is an energy here of someone who is coming into balance, peace, and harmony. And I feel like sometimes when I look at this card, it's like the angel is doing all the behind the scenes to bring you both together with these two cups. This is chemistry as well. You may find you have incredible chemistry with someone. Someone new, someone old, someone current, but I will pull some clarifying cards. Okay, the King of Pentacles is here. That could be somebody.  There's a similarity here. It could be Taurus or Capricorn. A very stable, somebody coming in, male or female, who shows to be very solid, practical. Maybe they have like financial investments. They're very wise with their investments. It could be someone who's quite resourceful, domesticated, quite fertile. You know, as fertile as a fertile turtle. I'm just hearing a fertile turtle. I don't know what that means. Okay, wow, nine of cups. Beautiful cards, Virgo. I feel like your last couple of readings were like went right in the bin. Now somebody's coming in here wants to indulge in you, Virgo.  You might like, it's all like coming into play here with someone. Somebody's viewing you as being like a wish come true.  Just heard that song. I'm really dating myself here, a dream boat Annie. Okay. I know some of you might be close to my age. You remember that album from the 70s by heart feeling heart, you know, that heart chakra energy that I love you. Harmony, compassion, relationships, healing. Oh yeah. It's speaking to me. Something nice coming in here and someone who's very grounded and understands you and gets you. This person comes in. They make him in and give you like a beautiful flower. There is an energy of maybe a little bullheadedness, but feet firmly planted on the ground. This person dresses nice or, you know, just has quality clothing, drives a quality vehicle, has a nice pair of shoes. No, you'll notice them by their shoes. All right, Virgo, pay attention. I know. I just see you walking down the street or being out somewhere and you're just like checking out the shoes. How's the Virgo? Kelly said, check for the shoes. When you see those real fancy, I'm not talking about, like I'm talking about some fancy shoes here, Virgo.  You'll notice them. Oh, okay. Queen of Cups, Cancer Scorpio, Pisces. This could be a friend of yours that's setting you up. Okay. Let's see what else. You may have an earth sign setting you up with a water sign or a water sign setting you up with an earth sign, but the energy male or female, there's stability here and there's also nurturing, healing, supportive energy or someone who's supportive, leader, tolerant. Okay. It could be one person. It could be earth with water in their chart or water with earth in their chart. Lovely. This person's a good listener. Okay. I'm looking at that clam and I'm just feeling like somebody, you know, you hold a shell up to your ear and you can hear the ocean, like you're listening for things. Very intuitive energy with this person. Let me see what else here. Okay. Center of the reading. Figures. Everything was going so well, Virgo. Seven of Swords.  Okay. Center of the reading. Seven of Swords. This is like a running away. Well, I don't even want to continue, but we're going to pull some clarifying cards here. Oh, they just said, no, no, no, no, no. They said, no. They're saying, Kelly, calm down and listen to the rest of the message of what we're trying to tell you. This is a getaway. This is saying a sneak away to be together. Sneaking away, sneaking away from work, sneaking away from responsibilities, going somewhere up in the mountains for some of you. Yeah. This person wants to steal your heart. Okay. I'm sorry spirit. Six of wands. Yep. Okay. Look at this. This person might be in the public eye for some, or they're well known. Victory. Okay. There's an energy here. Recognition, good news and success. This person, oh, some, maybe they want to take you on a horse. Horsepack riding, I just heard. This person might be like, is that the word? Equestrian? Are they ride horses or something? Is that the word? Equestrian? Equestrian? Are they do something in their community or in their job that they gain some recognition or they're well known for something? But I feel like this person is, you know, they want to sneak you away, take you away. They're very confident about themselves. They have a sense of self-confidence here. Okay. Let me see. This person does not give up. Okay. They will not retreat. All right. Eight of swords. Okay. Page of cups. Oh, Virgo. I just kind of feel like you want to sneak away with them, but some of you are just like, oh no, I can't.   Talk to me. Open up, Pisces and energy. You know, let's go away with me. I feel like you were like, oh, I can't. I can't. But there's communication. There's very nice communication. And this could be somebody new, somebody you're connecting with. Let's see. Oh, wow.  They look at you and they just see you are so beautiful.  Now, this is leaving energy as well. It's also Tari and energy.  But like, you've got a glow about you. And this is what they're attracted to, the beauty of your soul, the unveiling of what's deep within you.   But I feel like that's why they want to steal some of your time, Virgo, and they just want to be with you. You might just be kind of like playing this person off a little bit. Maybe you really like them, but you're kind of like, Oh, I can't have to do my hair. I'm stuck at home or have my kids or my grandchildren, or, you know, I'm stuck at work or have plans. Like you and I feel like this person is going to try even harder, because you might be sort of avoiding them. And this person doesn't care about any restrictions or any excuses. They are coming in. They're going to find ways to gain your attention. Alright, let's take a look at temperance here. Okay, yep, three and one's just waiting patiently for things to shift and change this person. They want to travel to you. They're just waiting for the right time. You know, it doesn't have to be travel. It can be, but it could also just be like, when is the right time to go the right time to move towards Virgo? Alright, let's look at the king of pentacles here. Oh, the emperor. Okay, Aries energy. So this person sits very grounded, stable, good worker, good job. But they're actually that's an aspect of their personality. They are truly the emperor, the emperor and the empress go together. And I feel like that's why this person sees similarities between the two of you.  If you have any or your grandchildren or just family in general, or just the way you take care of yourself, they feel like you are their other half, but they present as the king of pentacles work, business, finances, all that seem to be the most important thing. And they may say to you that they work a lot. Okay, but the nine of cups is here. This person just wants to indulge two nines. Okay, accomplishment, transition, you know, I feel like this person, their energy, the energy coming from them is more along the lines of like persistence, like they have their boundaries, but they're willing to drop some of those boundaries so that they could have like some time with you. I don't know exactly what that means. Like, I don't know if this person's like, I feel like they'll nine is service. So the nine number nine means service. This person, it's like in service to the queen or in service to the king. That's how they view you like this person is like, I'll drop I'll drop stuff just to come and make you happy and to make us both happy because I just like, you're like, oh, wish come true for me.  Now, coming through as a queen of cups here is an energy of like, oh, here's the two of wands. Yeah, like waiting to see how you feel about them, if you would take them up on any offers to see what your emotions are, you know, because they have a they want to make a decision and they want to do it fast. And I feel like they're going to communicate but just to see how you feel about them. Or if you would like to like sneak away or just, you know, it could be going on a trip or just sneak away and not anybody knowing just like, oh, I just heard like spontaneous, impulsive, spent a little time together, go somewhere, I just heard not really let anybody know, keep that relationship or connection under wraps, not because they want to do anything negative, it's just, they just really want to be able to focus on you and not have any distractions, or maybe like play hooky from work or I don't know, school, somebody's in school. Yep, there's the eight of cups, like that's going on that journey, that kind of energy. Oh boy. It just kind of feels to me like, like withdrawal and retreat and sneak away. That's it. Okay. And the six of wands, let's see what that energy is here. Six of wands. Oh, nine of pentacles. Oh yeah, they want to turn you from a single pringle into, and like their partner, their intent to get you to notice them. Nine of pentacles. I mean, Virgo, if that isn't another one of your minor arcana cards, I don't know what is. Nine of pentacles is like, I am financially successful. I enjoy my life, my solo pleasures. I am self sufficient. I have my luxuries. I have my home, I have my car, I have my, my glass of wine. I'm like, all that in a bag of chips. I know I'm really dating myself saying this, but this person, they see you maybe as being successful in many ways. You have what they don't. I'm not exactly sure what that is. They might deem you, just maybe whatever you have, they don't have, maybe they once had it, or they don't have it anymore, but maybe it's, you've accomplished so much in your life and like they see it and they're very attracted to your success or your ability to like be self sufficient and single and independent. It's almost as if like because you don't need them, they want to bring you in. It's because you're like, I'm fine. Look at me.  Maybe you, maybe you're in a position of like, you have high status of some sort. So I don't know, are you putting this person off? You might be putting them off for some reason. Let's see here. Oh, yes. Your intention is just like, oh, I'm just going to make them wait. But you're assessing, you're kind of like giving off this vibe of like, you can't, you can't go with them or you can't connect with them. You can't be with them. But it's also with the hangman and it's picing energy. It's kind of like, just I need a little time because I need to figure out what you're about. But this person you need to know will wait. Oh, Virgo, they're going to wait for you. They will wait.  And I just feel like you're kind of like, I don't know, maybe.  Page of wands. Oh, and the two of cups on the page of cups.  Holy, what? They have a major crush on you. I don't know if this is like a recommitment or revitalization of someone from your past, but the two of cups is here. Romance, romance, romance. Okay. This is like partnership, proposal, marriage.  Some of you might be on the cusp of Virgo and Libra, or September 3rd, I just heard, or the 9th, 7th, the 6th, the 8th, um, just heard the 16th, maybe the 2nd, the 4th, the 12th. Interesting. Okay. Oh, King of Swords. That was yesterday's reading. Okay, Virgo, this is an Aquarius, Libra, Gemini, but I'm going to tell you what, for the majority of you, this person's coming in as the Emperor, so he embodies all the kings. This person is showing up, the elements and sides of this person is showing up as the King of Pentacles and the King of Swords. Intentional communicator, strategic, says exactly what's on his mind, or her mind, but is not, um, is not mouthy, is well thought out intellectual conversation. This person is going to try to impress you with their threads, or their clothing, or what the things that they have, or their work, or you know, whatever.  You're very similar to like Gemini, where you can be very quick-witted and fast on your feet when you talk. So they're coming, they're going to, they're going to show those two sides, the earth side and the air side. Okay, um, let's get, what cards do I, I do next? Let's get the angel wisdom. Okay, so like I said, this could be, um, it's emperor and empress energy. So this could be someone from your past. It could also be somebody new. I guess you're just going to have to wait and see.  I'm just going to put that right out there, because I don't have any reunion cards here. Okay, so for most of you, somebody new is coming in here, trying to get your attention, trying to get you to go out with them. Um, we'll see how the story unfolds later, but just be, just be aware. Let's see. Okay, you have the three of pentacles. Do what you love, recognition for the highest quality of your work, especially creative endeavors being paid well for your craft, working well with others and an excellent reputation. That's you, Virgo. Be proud of that. The emperor logic and organization will increase your success, take charge of the situation, accept a leadership role, structure and discipline. That's how this person sees you, but you have an emperor here. There is no doubt for some of you, it is totally an Aries, who is like wowed by you. Okay, um, let's see what else here. And if the Aries is your past person, you take it as it resonates. It could be a new one coming in. Let's see what else. Oh, queen of pentacles. See, it's just, what am I going to say? Generous, that's you. Generous, practical, gracious, materialistic, the ability to make anything more beautiful, a love of family and home. Be practical about how you proceed, Virgo. I feel like you're going to do that. A love of art and beauty, a sensible approach. This person is just completely like, I feel, head over heels for you. They're really going to try, really, really try to get your attention. Well, I just saw, there's a kitty cat here. I haven't seen the kitty cat. I'm picking up some Leo energy as well. Um, I never saw a cat on there before. It's so cute. Okay, seven of pentacles, seeds well planted, efforts or investments that will be revealed in the future. The need for patience, a time for resting and planning for the future, unnecessary worry. Don't let yourself get in a worry state, Virgo. Okay. Oh, the dreamer, a new start. Trust yourself, push your fears aside and take a leap of faith. Yeah, you're not ready to do that just yet, but this person is. They're going to take a leap of faith to come toward you and they're really going to try to make something happen. Okay. Now, for those of you who feel this is resonating for a past person, let's get a couple of cards to see what they might want to see to you or what this past person is feeling. I understand you better now. Okay. I was careless with you. I wish you would come back. Okay. I want to trust you. You might have a hard time with trust. I know I made a mistake. Okay. I fear that you will reject me. They're doing it anyway. They do have the fear though.  I'm sorry. Wow. All right. For those of you as a past person, just so you know, you don't have to take this person back. Okay. This person, I lied to you. I think they're sorry that they lied. I'm sorry I lied to you. I want to trust you. I know I made a mistake, but I fear that you will reject me. I understand you better, but I was careless with you and I wish you would come back. I forgive you. I've been struggling. Okay, Virgo, you might have been like not really seeing that or they feel maybe you were seeing that they were struggling, but you just couldn't. Maybe they weren't accepting any help, but they feel like maybe you weren't offering enough help and please don't think that you need to go back and do that. I'm just picking up their energy towards you. I pretend that I don't care. That's why, because Virgo, you were trying to help this past person. You were trying to be there for them and connect with them and try to be understanding through their struggle and they pretended that they didn't care or that they needed your help and maybe left and they do forgive you for leaving and I feel like they realized here that they were careless. They should have fought for you. Okay, they might be a little bit arrogant. They're waiting for an apology. This is comical. Please leave me a funny joke. Capsion, I'm waiting for an apology. What would you say to this person if they were the one who was in the wrong? Please comment below. Okay, I'm not really sure. For some of you, this might ring true. Maybe you said something.  You might have had a moment.  Okay, I feel like there was an argument with the past person or something happened and it just like, yeah, this person doesn't want to feel like that.  All right, Virgo, I'm leaving it here. I hope that you enjoyed your reading. Check back in tomorrow. There'll be another daily upload and these readings are always interesting for you Virgos. That's why I'm doing this channel because who else to better understand a Virgo but a Virgo. So I wish you all the best. I'll see you tomorrow. Love you. Bye.


The Cavalcade of America, presented by DuPont, maker of better things for better living through chemistry. Month of April in 1789, the hearts of four million people rejoicing with the swing.  Four million Americans preparing for their first national holiday, and every mile of the way along the Great Post Road from Mount Vernon to New York, the new citizens of a new nation winding garlands of flowers on bridges and mouth posts, toasting the future and eagerly, joyfully waiting to cheer General George Washington when his coach rolls by on its way to New York and his inauguration as their first president. Spring at Mount Vernon, but there's no joy in the tired soldier's heart. No eagerness in General Washington's step as he walks towards his inaugural coach and the beginning of a long journey. Everything ready, Sam? Yes, sir, General. Whoa, there, Betsy. Whoa. You get in, Mr. Thompson. Thank you, General. Colonel Humphrey, is your mind riding backward? Mind on it all, sir. Goodbye, Colonel. Goodbye, Mr. Thompson. Goodbye, Mr. Washington. My dear, you will take care. It's such a long journey. Oh, I've traveled the road to New York many times. It's only the end of the journey which worries me. General. Yes, my dear. Could you smile for me just once before you leave? You've not smiled since Mr. Thompson brought the news of your election. My dear. Oh, thank you. That makes me feel better. Is it so very dreadful to become the first president of these United States, my dear? I have been poor company these past weeks, but my mind has been many months and years ahead. I know. And it's so hard for you to leave home again. Yes, Mount Vernon is beautiful in the spring. Well, my dear, we're too old for sentimental partings, but my heart stays here with you. Godspeed you, General. Goodbye, gentlemen. Goodbye, Mrs. Washington. All right, get along, Sam. Godspeed you and guide you. Keep your gate code around you. Goodbye. Goodbye. Goodbye. Goodbye. Goodbye. Good day for me, gentlemen. I can't bear to look back. Certainly, General. Goodbye. Goodbye. Well, General, this is the beginning of great days for you. Yet, Mr. Thompson, I feel almost like a culprit going to his execution. Oh, execution, sir. When a whole nation awaits you. There will be only a short time, General, before you'll be back in Mount Vernon. Perhaps, General Humphries. Who can tell? I waited these many years to settle down and raise my crops in peace, but there's still another arduous task to be done. Who can tell how long I'll be gone in this time? As when I rode up to Philadelphia for the Continental Congress, I was so sure I could return home in time for spring planting. It is well none of us knew in 75 how long a journey we were beginning. I kept on hoping for a speedy solution until the next summer. And we all suddenly realized how long a road we must travel. Remember, Colonel Humphries, that document we received from the Continental Congress on the 9th of July? Yes, General. When I read that paper, I knew many springs would pass before I should see Mount Vernon again. Remember, we were in camped in New York in the heat of summer, waiting and wondering what our next move might be. And the commander of the Second Connecticut Rangers wishes me to tell you he must have 60 more muskets, 100 new flints... Your pardon, sir. A message from the Congress. Thank you, Captain.  Yes, we can state to that. It is the way of Congress to deal in words as we deal in arms, Humphries. Let us keep to our own tasks and see what they would have us do. Well, what have they thought up this time? Captain. Yes, sir? Order the men musted in on parade at once. Yes, sir. What is it? Sound assembly. Money, sir? No, Humphries. Not money. Well, is it flints, sir? No, not flints. Then what is it, sir? Your face, I... Listen, lad, these are words you shall not forget. When in the course of human events, it becomes necessary for one people to dissolve the political bonds which have connected them with another, and to assume among the powers of the earth the separate and equal station to which the laws... Yes, those were great words. The first time we heard them. They still burned with a brighter flame than any flint could start. Life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness. Yes, Thompson, when we heard those words, we knew we were beginning a long journey. General! General! Yes, Billy? There's a whole mile of people coming down the road. They're approaching Alexandria, sir. They'll head down the coach window. They'll all want to see you. Little enough to be looked at, Thompson, but if they wish it, my all means let them see me. My all means let them see him. Let Alexandria see him in Georgetown and Hyattville. Let them look their fill. After all, it's the first time anybody's ever seen an American on his way to become president. Let Riverdale see him in Elkridge, and then Baltimore, and more cheers and banquets, and toast after toast to the wisdom and courage of a worn man trying to pretend smiles for old friends and new countrymen. And then farewell to Baltimore and a troop of gentlemen on horseback riding along in a gray spring dawn, escorting the inaugural coach as it lurches and splashes through the mud of Maryland. Mr. Thompson, these excellent gentlemen should not be escorting us so far. Oh, they feel honored, sir. They've come from several states to salute you. Are you all right, sir? Are you hurt, General? Only a bruiser, too. Are you gentlemen? Is you all right, Mr. General, sir?  Open the door, Sam. Let them see me. Don't disturb yourself, sir. I was most honored to be able to serve you. He'll just remain seated, General. We ain't just have that wheel back in no time. Hey, you'll catch hold, eh? One moment, sir. We Marylanders can tend to this without any help from our side. There ain't no strength in you, sir. They would wrap up the axle. We would enjoy their serenades more comfortably. Should we stop there wrangly before they're at each other's throat, sir? I gave up hearing that long ago, Thompson. He's always been like this. He wouldn't at the Constitutional Convention. Day after day of the bitterest jealousies and wrangling you've ever heard, states seemed unwilling to get together on anything. Yet they ended up by writing us the Constitution. Yeah, come on. Tighter. He's fixing this wheel. Yeah, that's what I want to know. Who's fixing it? New Yorkers. Marylanders. Gentlemen. Well, anyway, there she is. They got it all fixed, General. It's all fixed now. I'm going to tell you, we Marylanders have the wheel on, General. All patched up, sir. She will come off again right away. Yes, sir. She's fixing the car. You see, Thompson, the way it works, everybody wants to help. There's confusion and out of chaos comes order. So we see our democracy function right at our coach door. Gentlemen, my thanks to all you Americans. You're welcome, sir. Good along, Sam. Good afternoon. Good afternoon. Good afternoon. See, Mr. Thompson, the wheels do get put on. The coach does move forward. Yes, day by day, the inaugural coach moving forward, rolling closer to New York, closer to new responsibilities and fresh problems. And all along the way, men who yesterday were rebels or loyalists, Virginians or New Yorkers, today stand shoulder to shoulder, cheering a tired man, jumping along in his coach. On past Aberdeen and Wilmington, over into Pennsylvania and down a winding, rutty road to Malloy's Tavern. And an old friend comes out to meet the coach, an old friend of Union and of the people, witty, wise, much the same for all his 83 years as he climbs gruntingly aboard and sits back smiling as the inaugural coach rolls on toward the nearby bells of Philadelphia town. Sound much as they did when we rode away from the Constitutional Convention. God has granted us our Union, Dr. Franklin. Well, and with you at the helm, we shall keep it. Your Highness. Highness? What sort of language is that? New York language. Now, there's been real commotion over titles and preeminences. Did they call you Highness? May it please your Excellency, or merely the President of the United States in protector of their liberties. But no one could agree, so I believe we'll simmer down to play in Mr. President. It'll be harsher names before the year is out. Oh, come, come now, my old friend. Don't frown so. The days of 76 are forever gone. It'll make me ashamed, Dr. Franklin, to be a grumbling old man at 56. When you were 70, you were cheerfully voyaging to France to find this aid, and to be loved by the foreigners.  All right? I was quaint, sir, quaint. It was a wonder they didn't clap me into a carnival play. But they sent us supplies and ships and money we could not have done without. Ah, yes, and men, like Lafayette, I almost forgot. Mistress Washington will have my scalp if I don't thank you again for that Parisian bonnet you sent her. Well, she wears it still with the indignant admiration of all the women.  Copied from one design for the Marquis Jean de Troyes. Marquis? Madame de Pompadour. Oh, ah, clever woman. Oh, here we are, of Mr. Robert Morris. See, a candle in every window. Ah, how brilliantly they've lighted the house in your honor. Surely not brilliantly lighted after seeing the colors of their side. It may be monstrous patriotic, I mean. But somehow the smallest candle in Philadelphia sheds more light than a thousand of King Louis Candleau. You're welcome, General. Thank you, Mr. Morris. You too, Dr. Franklin. Thank you. You follow me? My pleasure. Give the horses an exclamation of old Sam for a long day. Yes, sir. Will you come in, gentlemen? Our humble home is yours. Humble home, Mr. Morris? He's the most elegant in the state. Ah, Mr. Morris.  Each time we met during the revolution, sir, you were near bankruptcy because of your loans to us. I remember. Will you take chairs, gentlemen? Thank you. Yeah. Mr. Morris, may I? Yes, thank you, General. Ah, it's a curious thing, Dr. Franklin. But whenever I see this charming lady, even at her most bewitching gowns, I can think of nothing gallant to say because my mind prosaically reverts to shirts. Yes, General. Oh, yes, those shirts. There were hundreds, weren't there, General? Yes, Mr. Morris, there were. Simple articles worn by all manner of men, rich or poor, yet, when I think of you and those shirts, Mr. Morris, I think of the time when our men had none to their backs. And it was at the place they named after you, sir, Morris Town, in the winter of 1780. Morris Town. We'd believed the winter before that nothing could be as bad as Valley Forge, and it was. Poor remnants of the army were struggling to ward off. General, I can no longer stand by and watch the sufferings of the men. Surely there is something. If the men can stand it, Colonel Hamilton, we must stand it, too. What snow and ice and below zero weather, and the men wrapping tattered pieces of blanket around their bare shoulders. How can you sit there so impassive? This is not new to me, lad, nor to them. You were not at Valley Forge last year. I heard of the bloody footprints and the snow, but I didn't believe it. We've got to help them find supplies, issue something. Issue? In God's name, issue what? Without money, without provisions, without clothing. Our troops are fast approaching nakedness. Our hospitals without medicine, our sick without nutriment. In short, sir, we live upon devices and expedience. Somehow we must go on. For years it may be we must go on. We must go on. Yes, my friends, that's the way it was then. Men and long after. Devices and expedience. Yet here we sit, drinking wine before a fire. And the days of the revolution seem so far off. Yet Morristown went on and on. While you, Mr. Morris, were pledging your own credit to keep the colonies growing, your good lady and her friends somehow scraped up money for the army. An incredible sum to be spent on shirts for the naked backs of soldiers. So you see, Mr. Morris, when I see you, I see shirts. I hardly know what to say. I do. A toast, Mr. Morris, to the women of Pennsylvania. With your permission, Mr. Franklin, a toast to the women of the United States. And more toasts at every stop as the inaugural coach rolls up through the green hills of Pennsylvania to Coven's ferry with Trenton just across the wide Delaware and thousands lining the banks on the Trenton side, cheering and waving to the inaugural coach, slowly moving towards the Montefairy boat. Decked with blue Liberty caps and an unfamiliar new striped and starred flag. A wonderful scene for a man to see. Even a tired man. What do the people and the sun striking on the Delaware water seem to fade away? Does the wind and sleet of another crossing blow instead? And the sound of oarlocks muffled with woollen and the ice scraping and bumping along boats. Boats filled with ill-clad soldiers stealthily crossing the Delaware. Crossing on Christmas night to swoop down on the Hessians roistering in Trenton taverns. Does another day look down on this joyful inaugural crowd at Trenton? General, may I fetch your great coat? You're shivering, yet the day is warm and sunlit. And on up through New Jersey, through Princeton, Kingston and New Brunswick and finally Elizabeth Town, out of the coach and away from so many ghosts and grim memories, out onto New York Bay aboard a special inaugural barge down for the foot of Wall Street. Past ships and rowboats and frigates full of cheering people. And now, another boat drawing alongside the inaugural barge. And Washington's old aide to come, Alexander Hamilton, coming aboard. Very pleasant to see you again, Colonel. I couldn't stay away, sir. Would you expect a vain man not to be where all could gaze on him? With you, they should be cheering, lad. Your Federalist papers which brought New York into the Union. Then how, Mr. Vice President, John Adams must be cursing me. Why, he's worried himself into a prostration over the inaugural problems. His latest will to the Senate goes something like this. Gentlemen, I am President of the Senate. Yet, when the President comes into the Senate, what shall I be? I cannot be President then. I cannot, I cannot. Exactly the voice of Mr. Adams. Look ahead there to New York and all those people. Sir, you should be laughing with joy. Yes, it is a miracle indeed. Settled by Belgians, seized by the Dutch, conquered by the English, full of Scots and French. Yet today, all Americans. Well then, Mr. President, smile, laugh, enjoy life. This is only the beginning, smallest beginning. The real struggle is ahead of us. Now we must build on the freedom we've won and heal hatreds, learn unity. At a time where a statesman and a politician, young Madison or Tom Jefferson, dear wise, political Ben Franklin, you should not have chosen a rough, untactful old soldier. It shouldn't be. You're wrong, sir. Listen, they sing to you aboard that suit. Had to begin the long journey of these United States. April 30th, 1789, the final day of this journey up from Mount Vernon. The first day of a new nation. At high noon, a procession is starting from the presidential mansion toward Federal Hall. Troops of horses and artillery, companies of grenadiers and infantry, battalions of sharp shooters, soldiers in full regalia, in a hollow square facing Federal Hall, straight lines of soldiers, impassive, uniforms glittering in the sunlight, and then behind them the new citizens of a new nation see the great, open coach and the brilliant parade moving up through cheering crowds up Wall Street, past Trinity Church in St. Paul's, where he worships. And now they see him. See him standing in the sunlight, a tall, loose figure, clad in simple brown. And now the parade comes to a halt in front of Federal Hall, beneath the great golden eagle, poised among 13 shining stars far up on the cornice. And in a few minutes, Chancellor Livingston stands on the balcony at the party of gentlemen. Behind them, doors open, and the chancler's voice rings out to the throngs below. You do solemnly swear that you will faithfully execute the office of President of the United States and will to the best of your ability preserve, protect, and defend the Constitution of the United States. I solemnly swear that I will faithfully execute the office of the President of the United States and I will to the best of my ability preserve, protect, and defend the Constitution of the United States. So help me God. Long live George Washington, President of the United States. The invisible hand of the almighty being guide the people of the United States to wise measures. For our free government must win the affection of its citizens and command the respect of the world. The preservation of the sacred fire of liberty and the destiny of the Republican form of government are justly considered as deeply, perhaps finally, staked on the experiment entrusted to the American people. For their portrayal of George Washington's momentous journey that ended in New York with his inauguration as our nation's first president and our DuPont brings you news of chemistry at work in our world. Everyone has seen pictures of Mount Vernon, Washington's home, white and gracious among its stately trees. Its white paint was once a mark of distinction but not a lasting one for the paint of those days had to be replaced with discouraging frequency. Washington, the practical economist would no doubt have been pleased with modern house paints which actually clean themselves. DuPont chemists now make a paint for out of doors which starts white and stays white for it literally washes itself. You put it on and a few months later or a little longer if there are unusual climate or dirt conditions in your neighborhood a fine white powder forms on the surface. The first heavy rain washes off the powder and takes the dirt along with it. Few people have any idea how much progress has been made in paint chemistry. Take a single color, ivory. Ivory is one of the simplest colors. Old-fashioned painters used to mix it by stirring a little raw umber into a bucket of white. Here's how DuPont chemists mix interior gloss ivory. It is made from titanium oxide and calcium sulfate in a mixture of vegetable drying oils, lead naphthenate and a mineral solvent, a reaction product of lead and manganese with linoleic acid and a petroleum solvent, chrome yellow ground in linseed oil, chrome orange. Well, that gives you some idea. DuPont paint chemists have to be familiar with over 900 raw materials that are used in present-day manufacture of paints. In its preparation, a modern paint is complicated. Miles of pipe, tanks the size of houses, tons of material that must be carefully weighed, months of research, the labor of dozens of chemists and hundreds of operators, the pretesting of every ingredient, the testing of intermediate materials, the testing of the finished product. All of that goes into a quart of interior gloss ivory that costs you a few cents more than a dollar. Modern paints aren't better just because they last longer, although they do last longer. Paint chemists are proud of today's paints because they sit up and do tricks. Tricks of specialization. Automobile lacquers, for example. Thanks to DuCo Lacquer, the finishing of an automobile has been cut from many days to a few hours. Because this helps speed up production, it is one of the reasons why you pay less for your car today.  And a word about variety of color. The old masters knew only about 30 pigments all told. DuPont makes 12,000 colors based on blends of pigments and lakes that once were never dreamed of. And from DuPont laboratories comes a steady stream of new pigments to improve the permanence of appearance of finishes and widen the range of attractive colors. America is a brighter, gayer place to live in today because paint chemists make their contribution to the DuPont pledge better things for better living through chemistry. And now the star of next week's program, Carl Swanson of the Cavalcade Players. Ladies and gentlemen, next week our play is taken from the life of the great American writer Edgar Allan Poe. It's a story of a dramatic walk through the rain on a night in 1849 when this strange, talented genius reviewed the story of his life. A life of shattered dreams out of which he created his masterpieces in poetry in the short story. We hope you'll join us for this broadcast next week. In support of John McIntyre as General Washington on this performance of the Cavalcade were George Cullorus as Colonel Humphries, William Johnstone as Alexander Hamilton, Carl Swanson as Dr. Franklin and Jeanette Nolan as Martha Washington. The narrator was Richard Stark. On the Cavalcade of America, your announcer is Clayton Collier and Best Wishes from DuPont.


So today we are reviewing Ghost in the Wires by Kevin Mitnick. So what did you think of the book? Well it was very good, I really enjoyed it. Yeah it did, it had all the great elements that makes a great story. It had... and he used good describing words. He used very good describing words to explain his adventures. It had everything. It had laughter, humour. It had drama. Oh man, what will happen now? Will he get away from him? Maybe he'll get defiled. It had sadness. Happiness. Oh it's so cute isn't it. Oh man I just love that bit. So all in all it was a great book, really enjoyable and I strongly recommend you go to Amazon and get an insight into the mind of one of the most infamous hackers that has ever lived. And he's free now darling, you can put it down. He's never going to be free! Maybe so, maybe he'll never be free of his past but we can only give him a chance. However if you're expecting a book in which he would just apologise for the whole 20 chapters then it's probably not the book for you. If you're just looking only for stories you probably better get off the art of deception, just stories, no personal life. But if you want to get an insight into his mind then go to Amazon and buy the book now. Stay to go my friends. Hold on that was my line.


Hey, everyone welcome to today's day trading update today's Friday Friday the 13th of November I hope everybody had a great week of trading ending the week on a nice positive note plus 536 dollars on the day to also keep it a green week So let's recap the trades and then we will do a little recap of the of the full week Mighty 90 today plus 149 had three winners One small loser in Facebook of 33 books 33 bucks. So small winners Got in these and took a little bit of heat and it came back and we were able to end up positive both on Apple win and Boeing and then just a small loser on Facebook. So plus 149 No, no runner or excuse me. No pairs trades all week and then on the runner side.   I just had really one bad trade on the mighty 90 and that was uber and so Good good there runners plus 182 on the week You know this week just overall. I mean Thursday obviously was the killer I talked about this in yesterday's video, but just could not get in sync with anything anything had a had just a Batch of losers got got chopped up quite a bit. Just did not feel I I used smaller position size most of the week and then I Don't know just didn't just didn't feel Good about my trading like I usually do so Hopefully next week will be better, but hey, you know what if you can have a bad week and still come out green that is that's a good thing so plus 205 on the week and Next week we'll be streaming live Monday through Thursday So at the market open 830 central time in the live stream room If you want to join us make sure you check that out We won't be streaming on Friday, but Monday through Thursday next week We'll be good to go so keep your eyes on the calendar in the live stream room and we'll keep that updated Everybody have a great weekend talk to you next week


Hello and welcome to News Clique. I am Paranjwai Gohar Chakruta. The Aam Aadmi Party has both the Indian National Congress and the Bharti Janta Party got something wrong in their understanding of the working of the Aam Aadmi Party led by the Chief Minister of Delhi, Arvind Kejriwan. This is a question several political analysts are asking other than the Bharti Janta Party and the Indian National Congress. The Aam Aadmi Party happens to be the only political party in India which is in power in two states, assuming you want to describe Delhi as a state. Be that as it may, Arvind Kejriwan is a polarizing personality. Those affiliated to the Congress love to describe him as he and his party as the B team of the BJP. So to discuss this and related issues, I have with me all the way from the United Kingdom. A young political analyst, Kesha Guha, he's been writing regularly on politics for NDTV.com. He studied history and politics in Harvard, grew up in Bengaluru, has written a novel, a work of fiction in 2019 called Accidental Magic published by Harper Collins. Thank you so much, Kesha for being with us, for being with the viewers of NewsClick. On the 26th of August, you wrote in your column in NDTV that both the Congress and the BJP failed to understand Arvind Kejriwan. If you can summarize your views of what you wrote in that article and then I'd like to segment our conversation into a few parts. We talk a little bit about whether the Amadbhi Party is really like the BJP's B team or it's supposed to be the Congress's A team. We look at the ideology or the lack of ideology or the absence of ideology of the Amadbhi Party and look ahead a little bit about its future. As it aspires to be an important plan in the forthcoming assembly elections in Gujarat. So let's start with you summarizing some of the main points you made in what you wrote. When I said that the Congress and the BJP failed or struggled to understand, this is what I meant. So you have to go back to the origins of Arvind Kejriwan. So the Amadbhi Party is a descendant of the 2011-2012 India against corruption movement. Now the IAC was one of the really major factors that helped to delegitimize and eventually bring down the UPI government of the Gandhi's and Manmohan Singh. And that legacy is important. The origin story is important because it's always been the view of people within the Congress that IAC was not some autonomous civil society movement that just rose up from the ground. Because the question was not spontaneous. Because the question they always ask is where did all these people come from? How did you fill Ram Deela Mehta? People in Delhi have not heard of Anna. Not everybody has heard of Anna, sorry. How do you organize this? And the answer that they give, at least in private, it's difficult for them to prove is that all this happened with the connivance of the BJP and RSS. And they provided the organization, they provided the trust. Now they can't prove it. What can be proved is what you've written in your article. And there's several people who are today with the BJP who are quite active in the India against corruption movement. I just came forward, you can elaborate on all of them. General V.K. Singh, former Chief of the Indian Army who is now Minister of State. We look at Kiran Mehdi, went on to become the governor of Puducherry, Anupam Kher, well-known actor. And of course, Baba Ramdev who allegedly wore a saree and disappeared in the middle of the night. Yes, please. Yeah, that's exactly right. And Baba Ramdev of course brought with him his followers as well. And yeah, one of the things I say in the article is if you look at the 2015 Delhi elections, it was a contest between two alumni of India against corruption. I mean Kejriwal and Kiran Mehdi. So, now what I say in the article is that even if this is true, now I don't know if this is true. I don't know if you know it's true, but even if it is true that there was BJP RSS involvement in India against corruption. It doesn't mean that R is the B team of the BJP because as I say, since from 1947 till 2014, the Congress was a dominant poll of Indian politics. More dominant at some times than at others perhaps, but by and large, the Congress was the only true pan-India party. Before 2014, the BJP had almost no presence in several states. In fact, it was thought that the BJP could not win an overall majority because in the south of the east of the country, it didn't have a strong enough presence. Now, of course, the BJP is an active organized energetic party even in states like Kerala and Tamil Nadu. But that was not necessarily the case 10 years ago, Odisha, West Bengal, the way they have done since then, you know, it wasn't the case 10 years ago. So the Congress was a dominant poll from 1947 onwards. And what that has meant in practice is all kinds of people have entered into partnerships, informal, formal in order to take on the Congress. Left and right, the communists and the BJP have worked together in 1989, where they had a kind of informal seed sharing alliance. And again, in 2008 after the... I'll tell you again, I'm interrupting you. In your own article, you go back further in time. You go back to the 70s. Okay, you have Prakash Narayan, Babu Jamjeevan Ram. You don't have to mention Jyoti Basu and Inderjeet Gupta of the left or Prakash Karad. And of course, you had even earlier, Samraj and Rajagopalacharya at different points of time to post the Congress. Yes, exactly. And I think in 1967, the opposition was divided. And after that, there was a view that if we're divided, we'll allow the Congress to win even when they're unpopular. And so as a result, yes, Rajapalacharya was a good example. Someone who was willing to enter into alliances with people whom he ideologically opposed to fight the Congress. And so I said, look, the fact that Arun Kejriwal may have been on the same side as the BJP once, that's because they had a common enemy, the Congress. It doesn't mean that it's because they share a common ideology or that they'll always be together or that they're working together today. I just want to just summarize the other argument of the argument, which is to do with how the BJP fails to understand. And that is to do with essentially what I say there is the BJP has spent the last decade expanding across India and partly they've offered a program, you know, a program of nationalism, of the charismatic leadership of the Prime Minister, but they've also employed what I call negative rebranding tactics against the other parties. So look, if you think of parties as a brand, they have their own image that they would like to spread. And conversely, the opposition is going to try to rebrand them in a different way. So the BJP, I said, has three main tactics, which I call it their rebranding toolkit, which are firstly to brand the party as either the party of the Muslims or a party of some specific caste. Or a party that abuses the Muslims. Yes, exactly. But also or a party of a specific caste group that's favoring a specific caste group. So for example, in Telangana, they accuse the ruling TRS of favoring the Velama caste or the BSP, they said they're not a Dalit party, they're a Jata party. So these kinds of strategies are the kind of the first one. The second is to accuse them of the second is to focus on the fact that this party is a dynastic party, where the BJP is a non at least at the top levels and non dynastic party. And the third is to make allegations of corruption. And so what I say in the article is that all of these three strategies, you know, Muslim appeasement or saying that you're a party of a specific caste group, dynasty and corruption. It's not been easy for them to apply these three strategies. These are the three. Okay. So Keshav, let's take up each of these points one by one. So let's talk about the alleged, you know, sort of appeasement of a certain community or Muslims or whatever. So let's focus on that for the time. And let's say that, yes, Arun KGY, it's often pointed out, never went to Shahid Bah. Whether a protest against the Citizenship Amendment Act or the National Register of Citizens. He, maybe some of his colleagues, some of the other ministers in his government, he didn't go to Northeast Delhi after there were riots in early 2020, in early 2020. That's correct. It's in early 2020, you know, around the time Donald Trump visited Delhi. Yes, Arun KGY can recite the Hanuman Chalisa. Okay, it's not just visiting temples or organizing tours of these Hindu religious places. That's not all. At the same time, Arun KGY sort of uses it selectively. I'll give you one example. When there was a human cry about this film, Kashmir Files, he took them on. Yes. Why are you asking the Delhi government to give you entertainment tax exemption? You want more people to see Kashmir Files? Put it up on YouTube, let everybody have, you know, watch it. So when it comes to this whole issue of Muslim appeasement, Arun KGY plays in both ways, isn't it? That's right. And I remember right after they had won in Punjab, I remember the speech that he gave right after they had won in Punjab.  But I think Kashmir Files is one of the only cases where he very directly took on the BJP on this issue. I think that it's very important to remember that Arun KGY was an open supporter of the government's replication of Article 370 and 35. Absolutely correct. And was basically silent on all issues to do with Ayodhya. So he and now I guess the real question is does all this mean to come back to other point about the B team? You know, does this mean that he actually looks like a person, is he an experienced politician? So my impression is from, you know, having lived for many years in Delhi under this up government is that their approach to these issues is to try to avoid risk. There are parties that look to see how can we avoid getting ourselves into trouble. And the second is that they have a very, very robust, at least in Delhi, a very, very robust system of understanding what you might call the sentiment on the ground. Now, you see, it's a two way thing because parties also have the ability to shape the sentiment on the ground. But I think ARP is essentially trying to find out in real time what to go to think about something and then respond as opposed to a party with a strong ideology. In fact, the phrase that you have used is that it seems to be devoid of ideology. I mean, at one level, it's sometimes with the so-called Nitholawala socialists or leftists.  So in that Prashant Bhushan and Yadav who were once a part of not just the India against corruption movement, but also with the Ahmadi Party, who parted ways with him. They accuse him of being no different from any of the opportunistic political parties he opposes from time to time.  Well, it's a fact that three years ago, he wrote an article saying that the country needs the Congress to disappear, and that we won't move forward, the opposition can't move forward unless the Congress disappears. I think what that illustrates, Pundra, is just, again, that in politics everything is contingent and today someone is your enemy and tomorrow they... No permanent friends, no permanent enemies. I just want to say one, just on the point of ideology and Muslim appeasement. See, there are both gains and loses from this because, as a really does not have credibility among minority voters, as a party that will be a defender of India's pluralist secular constitution and, such as we say, social and political tradition. So in both the 2017 and 2019 elections, I think Kejriwal quite openly said that he felt that Muslim voters at the last minute had moved to the Congress. And he framed this as kind of a betrayal, but I think the reality is that that's because our party had not been able to establish that credibility. You could argue that our everybody took the Muslim voters almost for granted. Then, you know, I don't have to go to Scheinbach, I don't have to go to Northeast Delhi. You're anyway going to vote for me. Yeah, and I think that now they feel that because the Congress is all but wiped out in Delhi, Muslim voters have no other choice. Okay, we'll have to vote for them by default. Okay, let's move quickly to the second issue on family domination. Parivar, wow, you rightly pointed out another Modi, you know, Modi can take on the Congress on the whole issue of dynasty, but he can't take on the Ahmadi party. So, you know, that is one thing. I mean, so from time to time, somebody, I mean, from the Ahmadi party will take a pot shot.  So this again somewhat, you know, you pick and choose the issue depending on what suits you. Yeah, but the dynasty part I think is a very important one. I think brief history lesson is in order. Look, dynasty really starts when Indira Gandhi brings Sandra Gandhi into the Congress. Not one minute, not when Pandit Nehru brings Indira Gandhi. That's a good point. So the reason I say this is because, look, Muzila Nehru was president of the Congress. Jawaharlal Nehru was president of the Congress. Indira Gandhi was president of the Congress. But when Pandit Nehru died, he was not succeeded by Indira Gandhi. He was succeeded by Lal Mahadev Shastri. Yes, Shastri brought Indira into his cabinet. But there was no call for Nehru to be succeeded by Indira Gandhi. There's absolutely no evidence that Nehru wanted to be succeeded by Indira Gandhi. Indira Gandhi by contrast brought Sanjay Gandhi who was 23 or 24 years old while she had been, you know, almost 50 when she became Prime Minister. She brought him into politics. She gave him, when he, before he held any political office, a huge amount of power. And it was very clear that he was going to be her successor. And then when he died in, you know, he's in a, in a plane crash, she then brought the other Sunrati into politics. And when she died, there was no question that anybody else would succeed her. So after she did this, party after party across India established the principle of domestic succession. The Akali Dal, the PMK, the... You can name many of the regional parties, the Samajwadi party that you can even accuse the Srinomul Congress of not being very different. Exactly, exactly. And for the Biju Janta Dal? Exactly. Well, no, no, no. I switch to the Biju Janta Dal. I think the Biju Janta Dal is the fact that Naveen Patnaik has no children. Okay. It has allowed him to escape the usual a problem that a dynastic party attracts. So people still see him as self-sacrificing. They think of him as someone who gave up a life in Delhi or an international life to come and serve. You can talk about the Shiv Sena also. And the key point here is that, there's two things that I have to be said. The first is that dynastic, I call dynasticism an incurable disease. Once a party has become dynastic, it has never reversed. It has never happened in the history of Indian politics. There are parties that had become dynastic, reversed, and went back to being non-dynastic. The second thing is, as far as the voter is concerned, and this is really important because people keep saying, what about Jaysha? What about Anurag Thakur? Voters care about the top of the party. They are not looking at whether an individual MLA or MP is the son of another MLA or MP. They are asking, on what basis does the top job of the party? Okay, all right. So I think you made an important point. Let's quickly move on in the interest of time to look at the third point to be it on the issue of corruption. You referred to how Jaya Lalitha's popularity was apparently not dented despite the fact that she was prosecuted and actually jailed for corrupt practices. You start your article in NTTV.com by saying, in 2015 on the eve of elections, the BJP talked about Hvala at midnight and the then Minister of State for Commerce, Nirmala Sita Ramana, our present finance minister accused the Amadbhi party of laundering huge sums of money, humongous sums of money, Arvind Kejriwalu being a so-called chore. Finally, the Amadbhi party worked 167 out of the 70 seats in Delhi and the BJP didn't talk about this again every now and then. Now the new issue again, the so-called liquor or whatever excise duty or liquor scandal. Now, there's a counter attack. Manish Surya says, oh, they didn't find anything. Prime Minister Modi's department's enforcement directorate, these guys rated me, what did they get? Nothing. And then they sort of counter attack. Arvind Kejriwalu says, you know, the BJP has bought over 270 MLAs in Madhya Pradesh, Karnataka, Goa, Manipur, Meghalaya, Arunachal, Maharashtra, etc. etc. etc. And if you assume him, he spent 20 crore on buying each MLA, he would have spent 45,400 crore. That's a direct attack. So this issue of corruption as an issue, as a political issue, your thoughts? So what matters with corruption is not whether you are corrupt, but two other things. The first is whether people perceive you to be corrupt. And the second is how they feel about you. Let's take the example of the current government. If you look at the scheme like Electoral Bonds. And Electoral Bonds, it should be said, the opposition parties don't oppose with any energy. And my suspicion is if an opposition government came to power, I don't think they would scrap Electoral Bonds. That's quite a cynical view we have to wait and watch. Because if you look at the way the opposition talks, especially the Congress, they just complain about how few Electoral Bonds they get. They don't really attack the scheme as a whole. And I think the reason, I mean, voters, in 2019, Rahul Gandhi's whole campaign was predicated on the approach and I want to reverse this situation where Mr. Modi is perceived to be honest and my party is perceived to be corrupt. And going all the way back to Bofors. Yeah, and eventually we know what happened. Chokhidhar Chor hai, Ham Chokhidhar, Rafael Deal, etc. And the point there was that voters did not find Rahul Gandhi to be a credible messenger for that message. So who the credible messenger would be is another question. But if Rahul Gandhi was saying that Modi is a Chor, voters weren't buying it. And the point there is it's very, very difficult to just accusing someone of corruption.  We're not here saying that similarly in BJP, by merely accusing Arvind Mejwala and Manish Sisodia to be Chors, again may not have much of an impact, which really brings me to the next part of what I was saying.   You transfer money to the bank account, you build toilets, you give cooking gas cylinders and still the Prime Minister talks about the railway culture. Now, here again we see the fight. The Ahmadini Party says on the healthcare front, on the education front, we've done great work. The same thing happens. You see, okay, your Mahalla clinics, your government schools, which are today supposed to be better than public schools in the national capital. And when the New York Times writes a detailed article, the BJP says it's paid news to the extent where the New York Times itself issues kind of rejoined saying, no, we haven't paid and nobody's paid us to write this report kind of thing and it all coincided. Front page of NYT and the rage on Manish Sisodia. Your thoughts. So I think this issue, this rave issue is one where firstly I felt that for the first time that the BJP's heart didn't seem to be in what they were saying. So when the BJP goes after the Congress for corruption, when they go after the Congress for dynasty, when they go after the Congress for Muslim appeasement, so to speak, when they go after the Congress for being a party of Khan market liberals, they really believe it. I mean, these are not just cynical political tactics. Everyone from the BJP leaders down to the BJP boot worker passionately believes in these arguments. And that gives those arguments a certain force. And here with the with the rave D that force is not there but look at I think here I have to say up has, you know, simply outplayed the BJP, because instead of imagine if it was the other way around the BJP's first approach is to accuse you of hypocrisy what they call what about But KJW didn't say, what about Ujwala is that a free free be whatever PM Kisan is that a free be what about rations are those free be instead he talked about his own popular schemes. He said, he's education free be our mohalla clinic freebies are, you know, buses freebies. And it because his work is at least because on those issues his work is popular, it actually allowed him to take control of the narrative. And it's a I think it's just another sign that the BJP is still looking for that message what is that anti up message that is really going to work. The really thing to me shows that they haven't found it yet. Okay, so so really, two last questions to you. What do you see the near term, or even the long term future of the Ahmadi party. I mean, yes, in Gujarat it certainly wants to replace the Congress as the principal opposition party, if not come to power, of course, these are things they will never say publicly but that's the expectation. You see, the up having failed to, you know, expand its footprint in Goa way back if you go back to 2014, Arvind K.G. Wal was a man in a hurry, he was all over he even contested against the Prime Minister against Mr. Narendra Modi from Banaras. And he didn't make him, he didn't get very far, whether in your own state of Karnataka up has, you know, tried to expand its footprint in Maharashtra everywhere and not succeeded. Maybe we would agree they were premature etc. etc. So how do you see the near term and the medium term future of the Ahmadi party? That's my penultimate question. Yes, so I wouldn't directly answer it, but I think just to add to what you say in the question, I think you should also be remembered that the Ahmadi party, whether by its own intention or whether by the, as a consequence of the way it does its business, is not a part of this broader anti-Modi opposition coalition. The rest of the opposition is very suspicious of the Ahmadi party because they think of it as being a BJP type party that has the aspiration to eat into their woodsheds and eventually replace them. And the BJP is equally, you know, as suspicious or you would say even worried. The BJP and the AAP are the two parties in India that have no genuine friends. I mean, the BJP had two long standing alliances with the Akali Dal and the Shiv Sena and they've managed to break or lose both and with the JDU as well. And Arvind KGP was supported the farmers' education. Exactly. And done incredibly well in Punjab, better than its own expectations. So in terms of the future of Ahmadi, well, the reasons to be skeptical, is that the AAP has currently is a party with zero Lok Sabha seats. So that's, you know, let's remember exactly what we're talking about here. It's a party that's up against the BJP is a social movement going back to the 1920s. It's a political party attached to a social movement like the Congress used to be. Yeah, this is going to be 100 years old in 2025. Exactly. And here you have a movement that really started in 2011-2012 in the home of India against corruption and then the Ahmadini Party. The BJP is a truly pan-India party. AAP really is not. You could also perhaps, let's see, but one could perhaps raise some certain concerns about the AAP statics, you know, because for example, they have chosen to emphasize Gujarat, rather than Himachal or previously Uttarakhand. They are also in Himachal, maybe not in Himachal. Of course. Of course. But if you look at where Arvind Kejriwal is spending his time, he's looking at Gujarat as being a place. In fact, the day after Manish Sodhya was raided, he and Arvind Kejriwal are campaigning in Gujarat. Exactly. And the AAP's ambition in Gujarat appears or the summit of the ambitions in this election is to come second, not to come first. The idea is can you displace the Congress and can you emerge as the second largest party in Gujarat. But I think the reasons, on the other hand, to be optimistic about AAP or AAP's prospects are, the first is, or who is it? You know, it's just the only person who has the only party that is showing the ambition to go nationalist is AAP. And as long as, I think, look, is there any evidence that the Congress is going to reverse the trend of recent decades?  It is a straight line trend of secular decline for the Congress. There would be exception of 1984. Exactly. Which is really an election shaped by Indira Gandhi's death. After that, 89, 91, 96, all the way to 2019, you are seeing the Congress slipping back at every election. 2009 is the one little moment where the vote shed temporarily goes up. 2004, 2009, the UPA. Even 2004, there was more cases of switching to other alliances. I mean, the Congress only had 145. That's correct. That's correct. So there is a vacuum. And look, the BJP is not the party that it was 10 years ago because India is a young country. I'm 31 and I'm actually probably older than the average Indian because India... The median age of India is supposed to be some people say 27, some people say 26. Exactly. Exactly. And by now we are supposed to have overtaken China. Exactly. And that means that hundreds of millions, a majority of Indians have only really known Mr. Modi. In their whole lives, they've only really known Prime Minister Modi. So if you look at something like the Agni Party, the protests against the Agni Party scheme, what they tell you is that the BJP is not the insurgent anymore. It's the establishment. When people think of a Sarkar or Pradhan Mantri, they think of BJP and Narendra Modi. It's the new party of government. And that means that you have to own the consequences of your governance. And gravity and politics always applies. No one's popularity is permanent. Even Pandit Nairu's popularity had faded by the end of his life. And once there is eventually that discontent is directed at the government. And that is I suppose what Arvind Kejriwal is counting on, that he builds up his party and when voters want to change, he would be the only person who is providing them with that option. Okay, Keshav, we've run out of time. This is positively my last question and a personal one.  You have been interviewed on your book, which is Accident of Magic in 2019. You interviewed people, but I presume this is one of the first times or perhaps the first time that you are being interviewed on the political situation. When are you going to follow in your father's footsteps and write a book of non-fiction? I know you're going to write, you have another book of fiction happening, but when will my friend Ram Guha San who writes something on history or contemporary politics, can we expect that? Yeah, I don't know. We both write, but I think probably very different books and fiction is really my main thing. But we'll see. I mean, nothing immediately planned on that. We'll keep writing articles. Thank you so much, Keshav. On behalf of the viewers of New Slick, all those who heard you and watched you, thank you very much for giving us your time from the United Kingdom early in the morning for you when we're recording this program. And for the viewers of New Slick, that was Keshav Guha evaluating the working of the Ahmadi Party. So you keep watching New Slick. Subscribe to this channel, become a subscriber of New Slick. Yes, do support independent journalism. There's too much of the media in India, which is go the media to use Ravish Kumar's famous word. Support independent journalism. Keep watching New Slick. Thank you very much for being with us.