Hey everybody, just getting situated here, let's see, see myself on the periscope is just delayed this morning, there's no good way around that. Seems like there might be some, no issues, cancel, it's hard for me to see your comments if I can't watch the broadcast on the, oh there I am, I mean, you know, I can only do so much, let's see, okay there, there we go. Alright, so I'm going to set my timer, we have 10 minutes, after me go to Shile728, she's the last one, good morning everybody, you're sideways, but we don't have time for me to fix it. I want to try to do a journals page spread in my small delusions journal, and we don't really have time to draw, wait for things to dry, good morning everybody. So when you're doing a timed challenge like this, you need to just work with everything wet, you don't have time for stuff to dry, I'll probably do some pen work on here like later after the broadcast, I just have some scraps of tissue paper here on my desk, this is just some layers of wipe off paint from other projects, I'm going to try to keep up with comments while I'm doing this, no guarantees, you know, there we go. This is, I am using Liquitex Matte Medium, it's a fluid matte medium, and I'm going to put some layers of some few collage bits I have laying on my desk on top of the wipe off paint that's on my page, if I wasn't doing a timed challenge I wouldn't necessarily do my layers in this way, but because I am, thank you so much, I never in a million years thought a few years ago I'd be doing art on the internet and teaching, it never occurred to me, to be perfectly honest, so I'm just using up my bits and pieces I have here, I also have this quote I pulled out of my word box last night, it was right on top, life is good, like how much more perfect is that, normally I would put this on last and I would do layers and paint first, but because we are, we're doing a timed challenge, we have only a few minutes left, so I'm going to actually put it on now, a lot of us use fluid matte medium because it's easier and it's very matte and it's not sticky, but I have mod podge around and I have collage podge around and I like both of them, so it just, I use those more of a sealer, so I'm going to put this on here and I'm going to take my, this is a frosting spreader from the dollar store and I'm going to just make sure things are pushed down into the matte medium, I am going to take my dryer out, we're going to dry this a little bit, yeah when I paint, when I'm painting I just take the extra paint and I always have this little journal next to my table and I just wipe off the paint or stencils in two pages on this journal, I have a few pages I've done and this is a journal where we're experimenting with incorporating water color into our mixed media projects and I'm going to do that next, I just want to dry off the matte medium a little bit, okay so I have a couple of watercolor palettes here on my table that I use just for this and these are ones that are inexpensive, I don't care too much if they get contaminated by acrylic paint, they're not artist quality, so I can use them with my mixed media and not be worried, you know that I'm going to ruin the paint palette by getting something in it, yeah the matte medium holds everything down, sometimes if you have a really thick piece of paper then you need to really use gel medium, the heavy gel, I keep golden extra heavy gel around, if you have a piece of paper that's really thick, this is a small, it is a small delusions journal and now I'm putting watercolor on here, the watercolor is going to resist, be I'm sorry, the paint and the matte medium are going to resist the watercolor, the acrylic paint more than the matte medium, the watercolor will absorb right into any place where there's raw paper, five minutes, we have five minutes but I'm just putting a layer of watercolor into the background to color up anything that's still raw paper, now throw that away, got a garbage can right next to me, see if I can do some more drawing, okay so now I'm going to just take my fingers and I have a few different colors of paint here and this is acrylic paint, these are Dina Wakeley paints, a paper towel, that was just a paper towel, Susan is up next, I'm sure she's going to have something fun and interesting for us all to watch, I'm just adding painty marks with my fingers, I picked colors that would coordinate with the quote, the color of the paper, the quote paper and the colors that were already on here and white is a good, I don't know if things get too, if things get too muddy and too crazy, add some white in there, that's a good calming down color but you see you still see some of the layers and things showing through your paint and it's really interesting, the more layers that you put the better it is, the Dilutions Journal is by Ranger and they make a few different ones now, this is the small one, this is a great journal for taking with you when you're traveling or if you're doing art sort of on the go, I have a few tools here, this is like a vegetable brush, I just got the all black one recently, this is a pipe fitting from the hardware store, the paper is pretty good, it doesn't take lots of watercolor really well but it's pretty good, I have a bunch of different things here and I'm just trying to figure out what I want to make marks with but I need to hurry up because I only have two minutes, I'm gonna do the red, I'm gonna just, you know, I'm always telling you guys to follow your instincts, so just use some found objects to make marks on your page and keep going and there's no reason why you have to do lots of complicated nonsense to create an interesting journal page, empty ribbon spools are fabulous, pipe fittings are fabulous, this little piece I use a lot and this is from the paper roll from a store I used to work at, we were changing the paper towel roll in the bath ladies bathroom and this was on the end of the roll and they were gonna throw this away and I said can I have that and it makes interesting marks, this is a square dice eraser, again interesting marks, this is a piece of a silicone hot pad, this is a vegetable brush, these are some of my favorite mark making tools, we have a minute left, if Susan's up and live she should put up some emojis, if your paint is dry you can come in with a paint pen to make some more marks, my paint is not dry so I'm using a paint brush, so there's Susan's emojis and there's my 10 minutes and the page is pretty done, I think I'm gonna leave it and let it dry a bit and then I'll come in with some pens, the red kitchen supplies from Dollar Tree are fabulous, you guys are welcome, so here's just a quick way to do a journal page, it doesn't have to be complicated, just have fun and enjoy your supplies, hotel key cards are fabulous, you're welcome, my only problem is knowing when to stop, so you guys all go over and join Susan, anybody who's still here and I will see you all later


What is going on guys walking back to the channel critical overload here? So we'll be talking about saw ex this video here again today. So saw ex apparently out at comic-con News came out from debt line is who I first saw reporting this and then I got a press release email Stating that the film has now been pushed up So it's coming out on September 29th now instead of the original release date the upcoming Midquel that is set between the events of saw and saw to that was actually now confirmed in the latest press release That was sent to me So it's coming out a month earlier now on September 29th in this video I also will be discussing some other tidbits about the trailer what to expect in the trailer and how long the trailer is Coming from a trusted saw insider over on the saw subreddit page But saw ex will follow John Kramer who is back Tobin Bell is back We actually got our first look at him today the steel that's really been released is actually quite good The most disturbing installment of the saw franchise yet explores the untold chapter of jigsaw's most personal game Set between the events of saw and saw to a sick and desperate John travels to Mexico for a risky and experimental medical Procedure in hopes of a miracle cure for his cancer only to discover the entire operation is a scam to defraud the most vulnerable Armed with a newfound purpose The infamous serial killer returns to his work turning the tables on the con artists in his signature visceral way through Devious deranged and ingenious traps. Now. We know this has Tobin Bell back. Shawnee Smith is back the actor who plays Hoffman is expected to return and Now we know that the rumored plot that I kind of touched touched off many times in countless videos months for several months Leading up to this actual confirmation. It has been confirmed that we're going to Mexico John is going to be targeting targeting a corrupt doctor viewer non had told us about this a couple months back and According to deadline the studio is so excited about the next sequel and its testing which to me Indicates that some test screenings have already happened and they've been overly positive that they decided to move up the picks Release date from October 27th to September 29th. Now part of me also was curious How much of this had to do with not wanting to compete and go head to head with the more profitable? Movie that might have been coming out that same month or well It is still coming out that same month, which is the Five Nights at Freddy movie, but whatever Now jumping into the tidbits about the insider who was sharing things over on the saw subreddit This is someone named saw space official. They actually have a Twitter account as well That I'll be referencing this terms of what you can expect in the trailer They are a trusted insider over on the saw subreddit page who has revealed when we should have the poster and the trailer for saw X and they disclose the runtime of the trailer So here's what they had to say about the trailer in response to somebody over on a Reddit thread that I'll leave a link to in the description of this video When talking about if they were able to be successful in not knowing as much going into this as they would have liked to They said they have not succeeded I'm very limited about what I can talk about But you might want to avoid seeing the trailer if you're wanting to remain surprised and unspoilt as it's a little too revealing of the main Plot. I'm expecting the poster to drop the day before which is Or but certainly by next weekend you should have that and the trailer to salivate over So next week is when I'm now going to be expecting the poster in the trailer to drop Hell if you get me to 10k followers on Twitter, they said I'll leak them both of course That's that's just a joke They said they would have been happy with keeping the trailer minimalistic But those involved wanted wanted it to pitch further by revealing a lot more They said they can't discuss specifics, but I hope you all have hope you all have fun with it and love it The trailer apparently is two minutes and 30 seconds by the way So what's shown in the trailer? Well if I head over to their Twitter page, they had up a poll on July 7th asking what do you want from the Saw X trailer this month? They said some of the options were cameos John Kramer, Billy and Trap Previews and the other one was all of the above Now they followed up not too long ago less than a day ago They responded to this tweet from July 7 saying the majority wanted all of the above You might just get what you wish for so now I'm going to expect this trailer contains cameos John Kramer Billy and Trap Previews, which is what any Saw fan would want from a Saw trailer But in in fairness to them because it sounds like they've already seen it Perhaps the context of what they show is just a little bit too revealing and it doesn't leave a lot of surprises left for the film So if you're someone who again thinks that watching trailers and knowing a lot about the movie before even watching it ruins the experience for you Maybe you should avoid the trailer according to Saw space official But if you don't care and you're someone who mostly cares about execution like myself Go all in have nuts. It sounds like the trailer is gonna be action packed Sounds like the trailer is going to really entice us to get to the theater on September 29th I don't know when I will be seeing it I do expect to see it early and of course I will have a review up on my channel like I did with the last Saw project spiral from the book of Saw But all in good time. This was a very exciting bit of news that came out I didn't expect this to come out today I did know that we were going to get the exorcist poster today because I've seen several people Credible and some that aren't really necessarily as credible mentioning it because I guess they must have gotten it from these other credible people But yeah, we got the exorcist poster today, but I wasn't expecting anything about Saw X to come out I was expecting Saw X to have something at that Convention or the panel it has set up next weekend Which explains why we're getting the poster and the trailer according to Saw space official It looks like that's when we should expect it sometime next week So you guys let me know what you think about this down in the comment section below Are you excited for Saw X? Why or why not? My thing with Saw X is again I mostly just want us to have a film that is something I can sit down watch in cohesion with Saw Saw 2 Saw 3 and call it call it quit I'm not saying that I can't watch the other Saw films But I personally feel that with the Saw franchise, I was falling out of love with it as it progressed Yes, all the movies I can admit are fun to watch For the gore because I love some gore But in terms of the overall quality comparing it to those first few films Nothing beats those first three for me. Nothing's beating them. I would I do think that spiral was adequate enough Uh, I just didn't I fell out of love with a lot of the later entries I can revisit them But if I now have a quadrilogy I can sit down and look at I'll have no problem sitting down and turning on Saw Saw X then turning on Saw 2 then turning on Saw 3 and calling it quits and then turning on spiral If I feel like watching spiral you guys again, let me know what you think about this down in the comment section below I think they really just need to focus on giving John Kramer a proper Send-off they don't need to do anything else set in between any other movies with John Kramer We know John Kramer's story and how it ends Don't try to unwrite or don't try to rewrite the history by making him alive again or anything like that The man was killed Probably shouldn't have killed him that early because he kept on returning although admittedly he didn't come back to life They were just still using him Perhaps he still could have benefited from being kept alive But they killed him very early on in the series and hopefully what saw X they just give him an appropriate send-off that can Usher in a new era of Saw films for years to come If that's what happens at the box office and if the box office is anything to go off of because you know That's what matters at the end of the day Let me know what you guys think about this down in the comment section below If you haven't already of course make sure you subscribe turn on post notification numbers the video in the description I'll have links on my social media accounts. I'm on facebook twitter and instagram You can message me there of course let me know if there's any movies news or reviews I'm gonna cover in the future and with all that in mind guys. I will see you in the next video


Happy Friday everybody, today's Friday, July 10th. Welcome to this week's video update. Hope everybody had a great week of trading. We're gonna talk about the alerts from the week. We'll talk about our current positions in the portfolio. I will give you an update on the day trading stuff and then to start with, let's just talk about the markets for a minute. So we're looking at a chart of SPX and it's been kind of a crazy week. And as you can see here, I'm on the year-to-date percentage here, so S&Ps are only down 2% on the year, year-to-date, since January 1st. Here's the sixth, so here's Monday. Had a big up day on Monday. Tuesday, big down day.  Then a big down day and came back and then was down again and then up again. So just a real back and forth kind of week and some pretty sizable moves but really didn't go anywhere. I mean, ended up for the week of a pretty narrow range with some massive swings. So that's kind of been the name of the game here. I think, I mean, the way this thing is looking, it's setting up. We had this last week was a huge rally and that was just kind of bouncing around. I look for this thing in the near term to head higher. Initially, I thought, especially after we had this break here, I thought we were gonna bounce around and then potentially head lower but I think in the short term, we are going to head higher. And now, does that mean we change our strategy within our portfolio?  You never know what's gonna happen. We're still carrying short delta but we're only about one to one. We're a little bit less than one to one on our short delta versus our theta. So we'll still keep adding Iron Ducks, adding weekly double calendars, selling premium, implied volatility is still nice and elevated. I mean, if you look at the IV percentile, we're talking, it was still in the 60s, still at 63. So good, still some rich premium out there to sell. Still, obviously, still some uncertainty with the options being elevated the way that they are. So that is what we'll continue to do but we're not going to add any new short delta right away. So if this thing does in fact push higher, break up to new highs, at that point, then we might start layering in some additional bunkers and things like that. But for now, we're just gonna, we're not gonna get long by any means but we're not gonna get overly short either. And so I like our position where we're structured with just a little bit of short delta but not overly short and just continue to add some of these shorter duration, doing a lot more defined risk spreads and letting this thing play out. So that is the plan. Let's go to the alerts, starting with Monday the sixth. Our first alert was a rolling adjusting trade in ZB. So we had a short strangle, it's inverted, adjusted. Got down to 18 days to expiration. So we just rolled out to the next expiration to extend duration, collected a nice credit to do so. So if we go to the platform and take a look, oh wait, this is actually one of my personal accounts. Actually before we jump into that, I do, this isn't part of the alerts portfolio but I do want to, I wanna show you guys something. Let me zoom this out. So I wanna show you what I'm doing with this portfolio and I'm doing it just to kinda test and I'll prepare more details for you, the pro members, just so you can kinda understand what's going on. Basically, back in early February, so it was kinda before the whole corona crash happened, I funded a new account and I said okay, with this account, I just wanna test this cause I kinda went through the metrics and data and calculated kinda what this would look like and I said okay, what if I just did bunkers and iron ducks and weekly double calendars and that was it and I had some specific criteria that I was gonna follow. Well, if you remember at this point, we were adding in some VIX bunkers and for those of you who are part of this, when this happened, we had these VIX bunkers and based on the term structure of the VIX, they did not give us the downside or the benefit from this downside flush that we were hoping for and so I put money in this account and at about this point, the account was down like 15, 20, maybe even more, 15 or 20% and so I got rid of the VIX bunkers, we redid that whole situation with the new bunkers that we used today using regular indices and so when we got this little bounce here, I added those new bunkers back in and obviously with this flush down, those worked really well and so and then I added another, well, I'll tell you, I initially added $100,000 to this account and then I put another 100,000 in so I've put in a total of 200 and so that's not important. What I wanna share with you now is, so we had that big flush and then obviously we've had this massive rally that we're seeing here and by doing primarily just, I've done a few other little things here and there, like I've bought some puts for some short term protection and I've done some other things but primarily it's just iron ducks, some weekly double calendars and bunkers for downside protection. Now the account is up over 20% today, as of today. It's up over 20% and so in the last, what is that, four or five months, so I did 100 then I added another 100 somewhere in March so we're at 200 and it's over 240 so we're up 20% to date so whatever that is, I'm not sure what that would be annualized at this point but so anyway that's where we're at. So if we look at, if I go to like SPX for example, I'll just show you how many, well let's go to the trade tab. We teach the iron duck and we teach, you can put these on anywhere from one to 21 days to expiration so if you look in every single cycle I have iron ducks. I've got it, I did some with just one day of expiration. Now most of these I'm putting on with 21 days to expiration but they're obviously getting closer and closer to expiration so that's where you see, I have iron ducks in every single cycle between now and 21 days to expiration. So you see, I think I posted this one in the community, this was with three contracts and obviously beak profit there, that one expired today, I just put that one on yesterday. You know in the 13th I've got duck with one contract, two, I've got a couple calendars in here but as you can see I've got a lot of iron ducks here just in SPX that I'm working here and then we've got, let me just go to the monitor tab, then we've got bunkers. So I've got bunkers in DIA, IWM, QQQ and SPY and these are just, I'm just using these for the bunkers and I'm just kind of spreading these out over different durations. I've got iron ducks in SPX, I've got a reverse duck in shop. I was gonna put this out as an actual alert but the liquidity is just so thin that I didn't want a bunch of people jumping in that when it's not very liquid but that's a reverse duck just with the SKU and then some double calendars, I've been doing those in NDX and so that's what I've been doing and so I point this out for one reason, I didn't even mean to talk about this, this wasn't part of the plan but I get a lot of questions especially from newer members who say which strategies should I focus on first, right? And I think this is a great way to really start building a portfolio is focusing on iron ducks, weekly double calendars and bunkers. You get the bunkers in there for that downside protection and it's been doing really, really well and I'll update you guys as this kind of goes on, I haven't really even mentioned it but because I just wanted to kind of see how it was playing out and all that good stuff but that's all we're doing it. Like I said, I got a couple long puts and I'm letting the cat out of the bag here. Vertigo, that's what I'm calling one of our newest strategies that I'm testing so after the day trading stuff comes out, our next strategy course that we're doing is gonna be called, the strategy is gonna be called Vertigo. Another one of my beautiful naming conventions. You guys will love it though. This thing is, it's pretty awesome so can't wait to share that with you as well but I just wanna kind of give you that little tidbit on what's going on there. So, okay so here is ZB and Price is hanging out here in the upper end of the range if you look at just the untested side of the put still got a lot of juice, a lot of premium in those options so not looking to roll those up or out yet. We've got still 42 days left in that cycle so just playing the waiting game. Hopefully we can get a little bit of downside action in bonds. You would have thought with kind of the way the stock market's acting we would have got a little bit more downside action in bonds but not so much. There you are, they're staying pretty bid so we'll just continue to manage that. Next trade, SPX did a opening trade. We added a weekly double calendar in SPX that expired today on Friday so we already had one so this is the second one that we added. I'll get to the closing of those here in just a second. In SPY did an iron duck, we did that one with 10 days to expiration so let's go to SPY. Here's an iron condor that we still have on and then the duck that we just put on is this one here. So this expires 718 so you can see price with the up move today. It's up in the beak a little bit but still a decent chance that it could possibly get back down to the duck head so we will take that off by next week. Remember an SPY, I mean if this thing runs up the beak and we'll take it off early and just book beak profit if we're getting close to expiration and there's a chance it could expire in between these strikes then we'll definitely close it out instead of letting it expire or between these strikes. That's when you can get assigned so we won't want to mess with that but hopefully we get a little bit of downside, get into the duck head, we'll see what happens. Next trade, IWM rolling adjusting trade. So this is one of our long put verticals. We were over 50% of max profit on one of those down days in IWM and so we went ahead and just rolled that out, kept the short delta in our portfolio. Let's take a look at IWM. So here's one of the, let's just go through all the IWM. So here's one of the bunkers we have, need some downside action to benefit that. We've got another bunker in IWM. We're up a little bit on this one, hoping to get some down movement. We really want to be out of this late next week or early the following week so hopefully we can get a little bit of a flush down and book a profit on that one but we'll see what happens there. Either way we'll be out of that one within the next couple weeks. And then here is one of our long put verticals. Price is hanging out right here, pretty close to where we had rolled it. And then this one right here, it looks like price is right there on the hash, right there on the breakeven point. So just holding these for that downside, downside potential protection. Next trade, rolling adjusting trade in NG Natty Gas. So we had a short strangle in Nat Gas which had been adjusted into a straddle went ahead and rolled this out, kept the strikes exactly the same so we've still got the 1.9 straddle. So let's take a look at that. It was pretty centered when we rolled it so we were able to book a nice piece on that. Still getting, still working our way back to profits in this trade overall but that one helped a lot. Now we're still pretty centered. We're up about $192 since we rolled it. So just waiting for some more time to pass, data decay and hopefully we can get back to profits here pretty quick in our Natty Gas strangle. Next trade, opening adjusting trade in GC in gold. So we had one iron condor. We added another iron condor in the next cycle. At that point our other one had 21 days. This one that we added had 50 days to expiration. So if we take a look at both of those I actually had an order in to get out of this one right around 40% of max profit and it just never quite got there. We just need a tiny, tiny little more downtick in gold and we will book 40% of max profit on that piece. And then the one that we just added here we're up about 40 bucks since we did that trade. I just waiting for some more time to pass on that one. Next trade, rut. Did an iron duck in rut. Just as another symbol I mentioned, rut is just 10 times the size of IWM so you can always do IWM on this if you wanna stay smaller. And so let's take a look at our rut iron duck. Now we put this one on pretty close to the open on that morning. And if you remember, let's go to the chart. So let's see, we put it on, what day was that? On the ninth. So we put that on the ninth which was this day here. Yeah, so we put this on right at the beginning of the day and what happened? Well, this thing just tanked. I got a couple of questions in the community like, hey, why are your deltas at like the 50 and instead of the 65?  So for those of you who waited and didn't get in right when we did, you got a much better entry somewhere down here, hopefully. So, but of course then today had a big rebound in the Russell and so now we're basically right back to where we started in the beak a little bit, not much profit or loss. And so we're just holding this and this one expires on the 25th. So we've got at this point 14 days left until that one expires. And we'll continue to do this. I wanna continue to, I really like the portfolio that I was showing you guys with a lot of ducks, a lot of wild weekly double calendars and some bunkers for the downside protection and then mixing in some iron condor, short strangle. So that's kind of where we're building this portfolio. I think by doing that, we're gonna be taking a lot less risk than we actually were previously. We're gonna be having more defined risk and we can be using less capital and be more profitable. So obviously that's the goal, right? We wanna take as little risk as possible and make as much profit as possible. And so that's where we're going. And I mean, I've been trading for 20 years now and still continue to learn new stuff all the time. And so sometimes I get members jump in and they feel like they should know stuff after watching a few videos and watching the courses once. And just understand, I mean, this trading is a journey and you just start to notice different things and learn different things and how different things can affect other things. And so it's just kind of that market awareness and trading awareness over time. And so I think you guys know, I've never thought of myself as a know-it-all. When it comes to anything in fact in trading, even though I've been doing it for 20 years, still continue to learn every day. And that's the cool thing about trading.  Okay, next trade, closing trade in SPX. So this is one of our weekly double calendars. So this one, these were a little interesting, kind of frustrating this week. If we go to SPX, let's go to, let's go back to the charts real quick. So remember, we had a couple of these on and what we've been doing lately is try to have a couple on at different price levels and then we'll take off one on Thursday with one date expiration. We'll take off one on Friday with zero days to expiration or the last trading day. And so this one, I mean, on this day here on Thursday when the market opened up pretty flat and they just shot down. I mean, that made implied volatility spike, right? Like it normally does. And I didn't want to take that off because, or excuse me, I wanted to take the one off because A, when price was way down here, it was getting somewhat near to the break even. So I didn't want to wake up the next day and stocks up way down here and then take a big loss on it. And so we wanted to kind of stick with the program, take one off, reduce exposure. So we booked a little bit of a profit on that one. And then obviously what happened when stocks ran back higher is, man, I mean, it really just crushed implied volatility. And then of course, today, the continuation of that rally just continued to crush implied volatility. So we got out at one for, I can't remember what we booked. I think like 55 bucks. And then the one we took off today, we booked $225.  Although, obviously we would love to book more, but we booked two profits on both of them, one small, one decent. And that's just, you never know what the market's gonna do. You gotta take what the market gives you, a couple of weeks. We took off one for over $1300 in profit. So it just depends on what volatility does. Those things are so volatility sensitive that you've just gotta kind of play the probabilities, put them on, take them off, take what you get and just rinse and repeat. So that's what we're doing there. Next one, so this was the one we took off this morning, booked almost 30% return on capital on that one. And so we were out of both of those, did that first thing in the morning. And then today, Friday, we also put on another one. And in the next cycle, did this one with seven days in the front week and 10 days in the back. So let's take a look at that one. And got a late day push. I mean, the S&P's up 39. They were kind of just hanging around down on the day and then kind of just hanging around and then late day just rallied, the market closed about 40 minutes ago. So here's this one. So obviously we put this on, price was more centered and this SAG in the chart was more like up here, but with the late day rally, we also got some additional volatility contraction. And so price is hanging out right here up about 20 bucks since we put it on this morning. But just gonna wait till next week. This expires next Friday. And with price already moving, I mean, especially if price moves higher on Monday, we'll add on another one of these centered and have a couple. I'd like to have a couple exposures. I did get a question from, I think it was Suresh in the community, like why are we putting on two? And we want the exposure. I mean, these are only costing us, you know, in this case, $800 some for one. And so, you know, we want more exposure than that. But instead of putting this on with two contracts right here at one price level, we will put one on, wait a day or two, let price move around a little bit and put on another one. So we're hitting at different price levels, different volatility levels. And then we have that, both of those exposure. Now, one thing he mentioned, and I guess I can't remember or I wasn't paying attention to the buying capital required on TastyWorks. But, and I forgot to check, but it sounds like maybe TastyWorks is requiring more than the debit paid in buying power. Is that true? If I could get confirmation from Suresh or somebody, I meant to follow up on that.  So it's pretty minimal. I mean, you're just paying the debit that it's requiring. So not sure what that's about with some of these other brokers. Maybe it was E-trade, I can't remember. Anyway, hopefully we get that figured out. Let me know if you have more information on that so I can pass that along to other members as well. All right, back to the alerts. Rolling, and so last one, rolling and justing trading QQQ. So we had one of our short call verticals, price kind of moved way out of range. Plus there's only seven days left. So we went ahead and just rolled this out. Adjusted the strikes accordingly and to keep that short delta exposure. So let's take a look at the QQQs. We've still got two sets of short call verticals. Here's the one that we just rolled. And then the other one is still in July. So only seven days left. So we'll be rolling this out next week. Hopefully we get a little bit of a down move before we do so. And then while we're on QQQ, we do have a bunker here. Price is hanging out right here. Just looking for some downside action to benefit that. So let's take a look at some of our other positions. Starting with ES, we've got a long put vertical. This one's only got seven days to the left expiration as well. So we'll be rolling that one out next week. And then this one has already been rolled out. Still prices out of range. So we need a little bit of downside action to get back into range there. I mentioned gold. I mentioned netty gas. I mentioned bonds. Apple, I've got this long put vertical here. Price is just outside range. Looking for some downside to get back into range on Apple. Same with DE, another market's closed. So don't pay attention to this P&L line. That's not correct, but we're just outside of the range here on John Deere. So we need some downside action to benefit that one. DIA, we've got two sets of short call verticals. Both of them are out in August. This one's just outside of the range. And this one is just inside the range. I mentioned IWM, mentioned the Q's, mentioned BRUT, SMH. So we've got this adjusted short strangle. Price is hanging out outside of the range here. But remember, after we've adjusted, just because it goes near the break even doesn't mean anything. We're really looking at how much value is left in that untested side. And as you can see, we got a lot of premiums still left in those puts. So not looking to roll that up yet. Plus we are in August with 42 days. So a lot of time left there. I mentioned SPX, I mentioned SPY. SPXBI, we've got this short strangle which has been adjusted into a straddle. And so Price is hanging out right here. So just playing the waiting game and that. That is out in August. So we've got plenty of time there. And then lastly, XLK, this one is also in July. And so we'll be rolling this out to August next week. Again, just another short delta piece. So those are all the trades. Those are all the alerts. All right, let's jump into the day trading stuff. I'll give you guys a little recap of what's going on. If you want to follow along on a daily basis, we post at the end of the day, we kind of post what our profit or losses with a little bit of commentary in the Facebook group. So just go to Facebook, you can join the group. It's just go to Facebook and search for day trading, options for income or search for navigation trading. You'll find it and you can join that and kind of follow along. That's what we're gonna be doing a lot of the posting and stuff until we roll this thing out and beyond. So what would we do? We're up a little over 2,700 bucks for the week. So let's break that down on Monday. Monday was our worst day. Ended up losing a little over 1,200.  That was kind of the one that I'd let get away from me. And I was trading fairly conservative, fairly small size, but just let that one get away. Should have cut that one a lot sooner. I'm getting a lot better at cutting losses quicker and kind of letting the winners run a little bit better. Like BA, for example, only a $20 loss. And so that one was cut, which ended up turning into a bigger loser. So that was good there. Let's see, next day. Next day, 484. So on this one, I posted in the Facebook group, this was actually a pretty frustrating day. I couple, well, one excuse, I don't like to make excuses, but one excuse is I had to be on this conference call. So I was kind of like watching, listening to this conference call and trying to trade at the same time. But what happened was, and I think sometimes, some people will have this kind of emotional reaction when they're trading the strategy too is, you know, every trading is really driven by fear and greed, right? You guys have heard me talk about this before, where either you're doing things at a greed for making money or you're not doing things or you're doing things out of fear of losing money, right? And so on this day, for whatever reason, I don't, I really, you know, I'm trying to really pay attention to my emotions and how I'm feeling while I'm trading because I think it's very helpful specifically for this day trading you'll find out. And what I did this day, for whatever reason, I just, I kind of froze. Like I didn't, like I missed several thousand dollars worth of opportunity that I just, I was looking at it and I thought that is a great setup. I should get in here. And for whatever reason, I was like a deer in the headlights and just didn't get in. But anyway, I don't want to belabor that, but you know, book 484. So I was just kind of frustrated. I just shut down my platform and then realized I never got a screenshot, but that was the seventh. Okay, on seven, eight, I started doing some additional testing. A, I'd been doing all this day trading on TastyWorks, so I wanted to just do it on TOS a little bit as well. And at the same time, I wanted to test out some of the pairs trading, the intraday pairs trading that will be doing as well. And so, so that's why I just put it all on here because it was on multiple platforms. So we've got, did a pairs trade in the Nasdaq Dow, booked a couple hundred bucks on that. And then did several pairs trades on the NQ and the Russell, so Nasdaq Russell. So booked a nice profit between those. And then these, these were not pairs trades. So this is the mini ES and that's the mini Dow, which we're gonna be, they're very liquid. And so these are, these futures are one-tenth the size of the normal E-mini futures. So you've got the E-mini S&P, which is 50 bucks a point. For every point the S&P moves, you either make or lose $50. Well, the mini, or excuse me, the micro ES is one-tenth that size. So for every point that the S&P moves, you make or lose five bucks. So very manageable, especially for smaller accounts. And they're gonna be great trading tools for this day trading strategy as well. One, because they don't, when you trade futures, there's no pattern day trading restriction. So that's only on stocks, which it's only on equities, which includes stocks and stock options. But on futures, you can trade as much as you want. It's just a totally different governing body. Doesn't make much sense of why they let you trade futures, which are super leveraged. And they restrict you on trading stocks if your accounts under 25 grand. So don't ask me why that is.  But so anyway, so these were the ES and the YM, these two here, these were not pairs trades. These were individual trades that we were just testing on the strategy. So booked a little bit of profit on those. And then took a couple trade, just a couple trades in stocks, because I wasn't watching them as much, so I was messing with these more testing. But took a couple trades in Microsoft and Baidu, ended up booking a nice overall profit on the day, a little over 2,200.  So I mentioned this in the Facebook group, but so I was doing this on TOS, I was trading on Tastyworks, and then I also placed these couple trades in the new navigation trading platform that we're coming out with. So this is something that we're working with a group. And please don't ask questions, because this is a little ways away. We're still working on it, but we're helping customize and develop a platform. The cool thing about it is it's gonna be completely customized to exactly the way that we trade. Initially we're gonna roll it out, specifically just for the day trading, because it's, well, a couple things. One, zero commissions on stocks, zero commissions on options. So that alone is pretty awesome. And I've noticed how much I've racked up in commissions, even on Tastyworks with this day trading, because you are trading so much, that commissions are definitely a big factor. They're a factor in our normal trading as well, but even more so on these short, intraday trades. So good stuff. So just all I can really say about it right now is zero stocks commissions, zero options commissions, which is awesome. And then it will be able to customize it for exactly what we wanna do here. So what I was saying is we're gonna initially roll it out just for the day trading, because the ease of use in the commission structure, and then next we'll be rolling it out to be able to be used for all of our strategies. And we'll have some pretty cool stuff where our trade alerts will actually, as soon as we place them, they'll just pop up. If you're trading on this platform, it'll just pop up in the platform and you can just click on it and send it to place the trade as well. So it'll make that a lot easier, even easier than copying and pasting into Thinkorswim. And we'll also have all of our kind of proprietary strategies built in. So if you wanna trade an iron duck, you can just click on iron duck and it automatically populates and then you can kind of tweak the strikes to make it fit depending on your timeframe and all that kind of stuff. We'll have the weekly double calendar built in so you can automatically just click on the dropdown, populate it and boom, trade it. So it's gonna be pretty awesome. Like I said, things with software always take a lot longer, so I'm not putting any kind of timeframe on it. So please don't ask when it's coming. I don't know yet. We were supposed to roll out our membership site, our new membership site in November of last year, and that ended up taking months longer than expected. And so for something like this with a trading software, there's a lot of coding and custom stuff going on. So pretty excited about it, but it's gonna be a little while, but I just wanna kind of give you a heads up on specifically, cause I'm talking about how we're testing on it. So I just wanted to give you a little bit more detail, but that's coming soon. And one other question I did get in the community that I can confirm is it will be available for international, not just US accounts as well. So that should be music to a lot of our Canadian friends as well as overseas folks. So that's what I know on that. Next day, seven nine. So did a nice pairs trade in the Dow, Dow and Nasdaq booked a little under 700 bucks on that one and a few trades in Boba, Microsoft and Vidya, booked trades in there. I'm trying to come up with, going forward, I haven't completely decided cause I wanna incorporate some of these pairs trades along with our other day trading strategies, but really just trying to define, cause one of the questions I keep getting was, well, how much capital did you use? How much, which is important. I understand how much capital did you use to get these results? Well, on this one, I was doing one contract in NQ, one contract in YM. So whatever your broker needs for buying power requirements, that's what that was. So 4,000 per, I think, maybe 5,000 per. So somewhere between eight and 10,000 to do this. Now, you could have done the Minis, which is a 10th of that. So the movement is a 10th, the buying power requirements is a 10th. So if you're doing the Minis, you could have done one contract and did that for $800 to $1,000. So that would be the capital I used there. And then on these, that's what I'm really trying to define on the options trades is how much capital do I wanna use per trade? Although I do like to fluctuate that a bit. And, but more importantly, what's the maximum amount of capital that I'll use on any one day, right? And so like on this day, let's say I was using eight to 10 on this, then I was out of that. And so on these, I probably only used a max of, I can't remember if I was in all three of these at the same time or at separate times. But let's say I was in all three at the same time, I wouldn't have been using more than 5,000 in capital, maybe. So pretty, you know, fairly minimal. All right. And then lastly, today, I was even trading even smaller. I don't think I used, you know, as you can see here, just trading on Tasty Works and I was trading the minis, the micros. And so did a pairs trade here and I'm losing like 30 bucks on that one. Did a, just a straight micro futures trade on that one booked a tiny profit. And then the normal options trades here.  I'm not always looking exactly how much buying power I'm using. I'm obviously having an account sizable enough that I'm not pushing up against any limits. And so I'm trading pretty minimal for the account size that I have. So I'm not paying attention to that and I'm getting in and out of trades. So it's hard to say how much I was using at any one time, but if I had to kind of guess, I would probably be using only around two or 3,000 at any one time on all these trades. So pretty minimal, of course. You know, today wasn't a, today wasn't a knock it out of the park day either, just, but it was a little bit of a green day. So that's where we're at on all of those. So total for the week, like I said, a little over 27 hundred bucks. So not too shabby for a week's trading. Now the other thing it was, you know, I was pretty distracting when I was trying to trade on Toss and Tasty Works and the other platform, which I would not advise for anybody. Two is pretty manageable. You know, a lot of times I'm trading on Toss and Tasty Works all the time. So I'm used to that. Adding a third one in, that was a little, that was a little too much. And so as you can see the next couple of days, I kind of held off on that. Anyway, that is the day trading recap. August 6th is when we're gonna be doing the class. I mentioned this on one of our trade hacker updates. I think it's gonna be at four o'clock central time. We'll be, once we get all the details put together, we'll get the link for you can sign up to attend the class, save your spot, all that good stuff. But it's probably gonna be around four o'clock PM central standard time on August 6th. So if you want to save the date, go ahead and do that and that's the plan. The other thing I haven't really decided yet on what we're gonna do as far as streaming goes. It's a pretty big commitment for me to make sure that I'm streaming, 8.30 a.m. to 10 a.m. every single day. I mean, I'm gonna have to have somebody else being able to run it. I mean, if I'm on vacation for a week, I'm not gonna be able to be in the room. So we gotta figure out what we're gonna do there. So I haven't decided exactly what we're gonna do as far. We can't send out the day trade alerts like we do our current ones. It's just it moves too fast. By the time you get a text message or an email or it's posted, it could be too late. So these have to be, we're gonna be doing some streaming so you can watch live. We'll be calling out the trades, that kind of thing, but we haven't determined exactly what that's gonna look like or how we're gonna structure that because the one thing about trading that I love, especially specifically the way that we trade is the freedom. And if I'm committing to the live streaming every morning have to be in front of my computer. Now, most of the time I am anyway, but there are times when I'm not gonna be able to do during that specific time period. So I've gotta figure out what I can commit to. I don't wanna commit to something and then have to back out or whatever. So we'll figure that out, but just know the class is coming. So we'll get that into your hands. We will be doing some live streaming around that after the class, but the class is August 6th. So look for that, we'll be sending out emails, post it on social media, make sure you're following us. And then obviously in the Facebook group, you can follow us. That's where we're kind of updating everything on the day trading stuff if you're interested. So that's all I got for you. Everybody have a great weekend. Have a fantastic, safe time. Recharge the batteries, look forward to Monday. See you then.


When it comes to pinning down the government on Dominic Cummings' trip to Durham, Brent's elite journalism call have been having a bit of a mare at the daily Downing Street briefing. Uh, the media now please. Ian Watson from BBC. Ian, I think you need to unmute. Can we get Ian's audio? And hey, we all fumble the ball sometimes. Today, in an unprecedented move, Cummings will address the nation directly and field questions from the press himself. The stakes have never been higher and there's no room for flubs at this level. So what can journalists do to make sure the public are kept properly informed and are powerful are held to account? Well, firstly, it would be infinitely more effective for journalists to stop with the grandstanding and ask one simple question and one follow-up if they're able to. Aid in a prima facie sense reached three of the lockdown. Let me clear Prime Minister and saying that he behaved honorably, did the right thing by, you know, yes, no, not sure. And secondly, absolutely nobody wants to hear Tolstoy's war and peace in the leader. Get to the point, pin the government down on statements of fact and reiterate the question if it goes unanswered. Because here's what we really need to know. How many times did Dominic Cummings travel between London and Durham during lockdown? Was there, in Dr Jenny Harry's words, an extreme risk to life which could justify the Cummings family driving 260 miles to Durham to seek alternative childcare arrangements, which in the end were never used? Why, in neither of the spectator pieces written by Dominic Cummings or Mary Wakefield, was it not mentioned that they had self-isolated in Durham rather than London? Same goes by the way for Mary Wakefield's interview on BBC Radio 4. When did the Prime Minister first learn of Dominic Cummings' trip to Durham? What is the explanation, if any, for a car with a number plate linked to Dominic Cummings being spotted at Barnard Castle? And last but not least, Grant Schapp said that Dominic Cummings flatly denied that Durham police had spoken to any member of his family. This was in turn contradicted by Durham police who said that they had spoken to Dominic Cummings's father, so who is telling the truth? Durham police or Dominic Cummings?


This is covering the spread part of the Fandall podcast network Some top-tier college football teams are being put to the test this weekend with some high-level matchups across college football We are here today to break down those matchups outline betting markets for those games where ads Model sees value and get you ready for week five across college football This is covering the spread right here on the Fandall podcast network in our Fandall research My name is Jim Sonnis. I am a managing editor of digital media for Fandall research joined here as I am every Wednesday by Dr. Ed Fang you can find his work at the power bank comm and check him out on Twitter at the power rank Ed Week five is coming at us. How you doing today? I'm doing great. It was it was a fun last Saturday Especially with the way it closed out with the house. They had a Notre Dame It doesn't really get any better than that in terms of sports and excitement and yeah Hopefully we can have another great week Yeah, go from there. And that was a very ed game So we talked a lot about previously how you like those low scoring defensive games when it's because of good defense And it seems like it's a lot like we discussed last week where Ohio State's defense is playing a lot better than they have in the past They played well there with Notre Dame stepped up, too. So I feel like that game was kind of just right up your alley Yeah, I mean it was up my alley in so many ways in a weird way I think you guys all know I live in Ann Arbor and I'm a Michigan fan and have become the biggest A pot Ohio State apologist over the last two years, which is just very strange and I continued to do it I don't know. It's just my job as an analyst.  I Think Ohio State's really good. I think But I mean, you know, I'm not sure necessarily the numbers really Like shown out or anything about that but man, you know, he stepped back there and he's not CJ Stroud and he's not Bryce young But he drops back and he can hit those medium passes and he's got the best set of wide receivers in college football So I don't really see any reason to doubt this kid You know results, you know, even if even if they don't like, you know, push it in over the goal line against ten guys Like I think I think I saw a lot from him. Yeah, actually tough test there, too In that environment being on the road there, obviously there were a decent number of Ohio State fans of that game But still a tough spot to be in for your first like high level start like that So pretty impressive showing where to talk about the top end of the nation for this week We're gonna talk about the Georgia games they take on Auburn, Texas versus Kansas But also some Pac-12 teams making some noise early on in 2023 all that coming up here in just one second First day reminder to make sure you're subscribed to covering the spread wherever you get your podcasts our preview of Thursday night between the Lions and the Packers coming up later on Wednesday or early Thursday via Tom Vecchio prime Tom Tom breaking down that game I gave my first look at week four NFL spreads on yesterday's show if we talk some Futures with Ryan Williams all those right here in the covering the spread podcast feed all the daily shows were up on the YouTube page as well and all these shows on fandal TV plus to get fandal TV plus go to fandal comm Slash watch and log in with your fandal account to string up an Adams live or watch covering the spread the solo shot the heat check All right there You can also find a fandal TV plus on Amazon fire Apple TV and Roku devices Snap into action this NFL season with fandal America's number one sportsbook right now new customers Get $200 in bonus bets guaranteed when you place a $5 bet That's $200 in bonus bets win or lose if you've been thinking about joining fandal There is no better time to get in on the action the app is so easy to use There's a wide range of betting options including spreads player props totals and more so visit fandal comm and kickoff the NFL season Fandal official partner out the NFL must be 21 plus and present in select states Fandal is offering online sports waging in Kansas under an agreement with Kansas star casino LLC first online real-money wager Only $10 first deposit required bonus issued is non-letrable bonus bets that expire seven days after a seat Restrictions apply see terms at sportsbook.fandal.com gambling problem call 1,800 gambler Or visit fandal.com slash rg in Colorado, Iowa, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Illinois, Tennessee and Virginia Call 1,800 next step or text next head to 5334 to in Arizona 1-888-789-7777 Or visit ccpg.org such chat Connecticut 1,809 with it in Indiana 105 to 240 700 visit ksgamblinghealth.com in Kansas 1-877-770 stop in Louisiana MD gambling health at Oregon, Maryland 1-800 gambler net in West Virginia call 1-805-2-2 4700 in Wyoming hope is here was a gambling helpline ma.org or call you 100 3 2 7 50 50 for 247 support in Massachusetts or call 1-877-8 open Y or text open Y in New York Now I had we knew going into this year that Georgia, Michigan, Ohio state would all be very good teams and that's played out for sure but pack 12 Going down swinging in 2023 Washington is looking good USC Oregon They're all 4-0 so far and they've done it against in pretty impressive fashion so Looking at at the ceiling of those teams because it requires a ceiling to make a run for a national championship Do you think any of those three pack 12 teams have the ceiling to make a run at actually winning the whole championship? Jim before we talk about the pack 12. I gotta I gotta say that I don't actually really believe that Georgia, Michigan Ohio state have have been all that great Um, you know, Georgia has dropped almost nine points in my ratings since the beginning of the season We'll talk about them a little bit more later in the show Michigan can't really break explosive plays in the ground game. Uh, like they could last year I'm not sure that defense is all that great. Uh, which we'll talk about a little bit more on the show as well I guess we already talked about Ohio state Suffice to say, I mean, I have Georgia as the best team in the nation in my member numbers at about 21 and a half points Last year, there were three teams that were well clear of that rating The rating being how good you are compared to an average FBS team So I really think the narrative is that most of the top teams suck compared to where they've been in the past And I think this is an interesting year to see You know who can break through and so you asked. Well, can any of the the pack 12 teams break through? I think the simple answer is no because they all play each other So, I mean, it's going to be an incredible pack 12 slate Later in the year simply because USC had both Oregon and Washington on their schedule Um, I mean, I think you can poke holes at uh, and all these teams, you know I mean USC let Arizona state score 28 points on them. I mean, this was a team that we knew Uh Look Oregon look great, but uh, my numbers say they can't stop the run their success rate Adjusted for opponent in rushing success rate on defense is terrible. So maybe that small sample size They clearly got a pretty good result Against Colorado. I was a little bit bummed that that game was such a snoozer, but And then Washington, you know, I'm not not completely sure that Washington's defense is good enough They're clearly lighting it up on the scoreboard and I think that's a lot of fun So I think the one answer is no that these teams can't do it But the other answer is well Maybe because when you look at the history of college football and who wins National championships, um, except for the last two years with Stetson Bennett You're you're legitimately talking about a team that has a quarterback that's going to get picked first in the NFL draft Certainly have that in USC and Caleb Williams. I think he is going to be number one I I haven't looked at any mock drafts, but I I got if you don't like you're good rapidly Moving up those ranks, man is really nice to have three elite receivers come back and and you know Play together for the second year straight. So you certainly have a quarterback play I'm not a huge fan of bow nicks, but man Uh, I I still feel like that I'm putting some of the the Auburn bow nicks on him I think he's been, you know, he's been pretty good numbers wise At or again, I think, you know, they played exceptionally well against Colorado. We're not going to see that every week with them But yes, so they have the quarterback play, uh, and maybe maybe that pushes them over the edge And it's it's for all three teams. They have the quarterback play and also like you said It seems like things are a bit more wide open this year because Georgia has not been Quite as good as we thought they may be coming into this year. So The door is at least somewhat a jar for someone to step in. Do you think that's uh advantage to michigan? Like are they the prime contender to step in and fill the void that Georgia hasn't vacated but is like They're opening the door crack a little bit wider than it was before Who do you think steps in to fill that void to top the top of nature? For sure. I think it's half open really, uh, I still think Georgia is the team to beat. Um I don't know. I mean, I I really haven't been overly impressed with with michigan I think the expectations that people had coming in the season number two in the preseason ap poll They really haven't been there. They they kind of drop a little bit my ratings every week. Uh, they really haven't, um I don't know they haven't been impressive You know, I made the point in the beginning the reason that the defense was, you know, just good enough last year They look Kind of just good enough this year. Uh, it's not a unit that, uh, you know, it's been really lights out It's nice to jj. McCarthy's been playing. Oh, I think he's taking his game to the next level passing game has been better Well, like I said, they can't break explosive plays on the ground this year for whatever reason Uh, I think the reason is that explosive plays are just kind of random And I mean, I was looking at some of the offensive pff offensive line grades This year versus last year for michigan. They look similar. Um, I'm not a huge I haven't been really looking at pff grades for for college football for too long. I get it. I have a better sense for What that means, you know, I mean, I've been looking at them for years for carpet grades for corners So, uh in the f l But it's kind of nice my pff prescription subscription now May access to all the college football data. So that's super nice. So I've been kind of getting into that a little bit more Um, anyways, I don't know. We'll see. I'm not sure michigan's that team. Um, so It'll make things more fun though at least and we'll definitely take that for sure. All right Let's talk about uh, we'll talk about georgia in a second with their game against auburn But let's start things off here by talking about a big battle In texas. Kansas is going there undefeated so far They're facing texas and right now this spread is 16 and a half that is down from 17 yesterday at fangirl sports book total Is 61 and a half net you were on kansas last week and They played great in the second half covered a half point spread at home And they came through but now they're on the road big underdogs. So Do you have faith kansas can keep this thing this thing close or getting the market is spot on with this one Yeah, we'll see. I mean two years ago, kansas beat texas and and I remember watching that game and thinking man What is this sarka doing? Two years have passed and I think both these programs have really been elevated since then You know, kansas is kind of who we thought they were uh, this preseason their offense is awesome Their second when I look at adjusted success rate and there's really no reason to believe that's a fluke They were an awesome offense last year as well And defense is not particularly good. I haven't 63rd in adjusted success rate. That's kind of where we expected them That was the side that that we would question Texas really had a great showing so far in terms of the results The defense has been phenomenal the tops of the nation In my numbers the offense is 61st, which is uh, you know, higher than they were a week ago Which I was sure was kind of a small sample size artifact. They're up to 61st Still seems a little low for the talent that they have And I expect that number to kind of go up as we get more data You know, my numbers have uh texas by about 14 and a half point. I honestly don't really see any reason not to take swing Oh, it's it's obviously I feel like it's a bet that Can certainly lose, right? You know, you can have a game where where texas is going to upgrade on both sides of the ball and maybe kansas has a Bed game on offense, uh, but the numbers like it. I do think there's a little bit of value here on the road dog And I think the reassuring thing from that perspective is that Kansas has an offense that can score when they're trailing. I know that's kind of my concern. Usually ed is Can this team make up ground if they fall behind or will it be kind of a cascading effect where they fall down And then can't claw the way back But I think with kansas and that offense we can probably have faith that if they do fall down early They can still at least make that game somewhat competitive. Is that factor in for you in being okay with a larger spread here? yeah, I mean I Think there's there's the opportunity for backdoor covers here. Uh, if things get out of hand, uh, texas defense like I mentioned and looks really good in the number so far, but um, you know, like I said, it's like it's not a game I love But I I actually just don't see any reason to go against my numbers here You know, I have this about two touchdowns seems a little bit big at 16 and a half Okay, so ed likes kansas plus 16 and a half, which is minus 108 at vandal sports book for that one Let's talk now about the number one team ed was discussing before that is the georgia bulldogs and this weekend Going to auburn obviously this matchup not as fun as it would have been had auburn not put up a stinker last week Uh, but right now georgia 14 and a half point favorite total in this game is 46 and a half And obviously auburn coming off a pretty rough loss to texas a and m Hosting the number one team in the nation now ed, but the spread is 14 and a half They're at home and it's a pretty low total relative to that spread So what is your view of this game georgia versus auburn? Yeah, I mean, I actually really haven't seen georgia play. Um, Clearly the results haven't been up to expectations for for what we've expected for them When I look at some of my just the numbers they're Dense and 26 and which is not what we expect of georgia, but also not awful either And you know georgia is georgia is georgia I mean, I think you know, there was like a team two years ago that We'd have some question marks because they haven't won a national title and now they've won two So we kind of give them the benefit of the doubt um, you know on auburn is kind of a different story It's hue freezes first year there and um Yeah, you know, it's it's it's not looking good. You know, they lost 27 to 10 last week against texas a&m and The years down they had was on defense they brought in patent thorn the quarterback from michigan state and uh, you know He didn't take all the snaps last week. It looks like he's gonna start again this week Uh, a huge amount of transfer number of transfers that he was brought in in his first year None of the numbers look particularly good So, I mean I have this game With georgia as an 11 point favorite I have no interest in betting auburn. I think there's just too many issues with this team in its first year There's no stability at the quarterback position There's nothing except for maybe the secondary in the past defense that you can say with auburn. Hey, they're good And you're playing the best team in nation still Is uh, this is a definite pass for me Yeah, so even though it's a bigger value by your model It just kind of lack of faith in the auburn versus kansas um You have faith in them. So I think it makes sense why you would be Okay passing on this one despite the fact you're okay taking kansas. I do the exact same thing So uh fully on board of that approach in general despite the fact you do see value in auburn based on the numbers Let's finish up here by talking about noter dame at duke and right now Noter dame is a five and a half point favorite on the road for this game total in this game Is not too shabby a 51 and a half right now at fandall sportsbook and obviously noted name Tough losses past weekend against ohio state But duke is taking care of business against inferior teams ever since that big win over clemson in week one So how does duke measure up against a very tough foe in noter dame here? Well duke really ain't played nobody I know they had clemson at the beginning of the year But that was a really freaky game where turnovers are really the biggest Factor in that game. I was looking back at my numbers. I only adjusted duke up about a point after that game and uh, you know Sorry about your northwest wildcats, but the schedule really hasn't been that tough for them since you know, um, so Yeah, you know I mean you look at mike elco in a second year and they had a great nine and four year last year But lots of turnover luck I was looking at my numbers last year And they were about a little bit only slightly better than fbs average when I looked at all my adjusted quantities For uh, just the 2022 season. So um any underlying metrics, they were not really a nine and four team They have been better on both sides of the ball this year, but You know, it's still not a team that I think is at an elite level You know noted aim Are we getting a little bit of a discount here because of what happened last week, right? You know, do they put 11 guys on the field and get that win? You know, what is this spread? Uh, I'm actually making this Notre Dame by eight. Um, you know, I think this Notre Dame's team is pretty good You know the 15th on offense of my justice success rate, uh, 35th on defense I think there's enough talent on the defensive side of the ball and certainly, uh, coach marcus freeman is a defensive guy Uh, it really does help to put 11 guys out on the field though Uh, you know, I mean, I think the only reason you would not bet this is you know that It's a road favorite, uh here Maybe there's a little bit let down after last week. I don't know. My numbers have eight I do think there's a little bit of value under the game here. Is it too much? Yeah, and it's important to keep in mind too like your numbers know that they're on the road So it's not as if like the road favorite thing should be a massive concern because it's not something that's like not accounted for already in the model Right and I'm I'm pretty sure I have this as the bigger home field advantage because it's kind of a conference game But it's really not a conference Kind of situation for Notre Dame Oh, that's interesting. I really should put usd and stanford in Notre Dame's conference, right? Because they go there Every other year. I don't have that yet. I might have to adjust that. Anyway, um, yeah Yeah, that's certainly accounted for. Um, I mean, I think the reason my numbers like Notre Dame is that they just haven't really moved on Duke since the beginning of the year right and they've taken care of business against bad teams, which is important too, but Again, your numbers know that and still have not and they still have not moved like your numbers know that they still have not moved I think that's an important thing to note as well Okay, so Ed is liking Kansas plus 16 and a half and Notre Dame minus five and a half Which is minus 115 right now at fan dual sports book A lot of other games this week on tap ed. Where else do you see value for week number five in college football? Right. I mean, I think the one last game that I really want to talk about is this michigan nebraska game and There is this total at 39 and a half is pretty interesting uh So nebraska, it doesn't look like jeff simms is playing anymore at the quarterback position That's it's the backup or whoever was the backup at the beginning of the year that's been playing He looks like another guy. Uh, that is is running the ball Nebraska's down their top two running backs Um, the weather is interesting in this game. It's supposed to be High 80s with 18 mile per hour winds, which is not exactly a combination that that you see a lot and Yeah, so michigan should win this game. They should win it comfortably, but Uh, a total of 39 and a half just seems way too small for me I have this closer to 50 and I don't think 50 should be the number because there are some situations in terms of injuries In terms of the wind Um You know, maybe it's the wind that that kind of slows down that michigan passing attack that has been I think a lot better than last year 39 and a half seems kind of insanely small to me. Um, I think there's a little bit of value here in the over And it kind of goes back to what you were discussing before michigan is not busted off the long run so far But there could be a lot of randomness in big plays Maybe if they were due for negative aggression last year, they could be due for positive aggression in that department this year Especially looking at the pff blocking numbers you were alluding to if they're blocking the blocking pretty well still Um got a lot of the same personnel back I feel like you could expect them to run the ball better going forward and get bigger plays Which could help account for why this number is so low because they have not done that yet And that could also help them if the wind does wind up being as bad as projected on saturday Yeah, we shall see too, you know and like, you know, I have let's see I have the spread of this like 14 15 So i'm pretty close to the number, but like if you really think this total is going to be that small and the spread's that high There there there's it just seems like there's a way to bet this with with value Uh, i'm going to take the i'm going to take over 39 and a half because that just seems too small Even given the circumstances right that number right now fangirls sportsbook over 39 and a half is minus 105 for michigan and nebraska That is all that we have here for today on covering the spread But as always ed is back with us once again tomorrow for nfl week number four preview breaking down This week's biggest games in the nfl to get that as it is posted. Make sure you're subscribed to covering the spread Wherever you get your podcast you can also find us on the fandal youtube page and fanduel tv plus edit people are looking for Your numbers looking for a five nugget saturday. It's on it for your email newsletter. Where can they do all that? Yeah, you can find everything I do at thepowerank.com five nugget saturday is I think what most people come by for It's my curated list of sports betting tips and analytics every saturday at 10 a.m Sign up for that at thepowerank.com All right, you can find out on twitter at the power rank i am on twitter at jim sonnis j i m s a n n e s You can also follow at fanduel research at fanduel research want to thank you all for tuning in for today We'll talk to you once again tomorrow. This has been covering the spread right here on the fanduel podcast network


do you guys remember the asmr buddy good because i do and i liked it i liked it and i also liked the keyboard sounds replicate the experience for you guys quickly realized when i was brainstorming ideas that most likely i wouldn't be able to create anything good or original at least nothing or taking at least maybe three or four hours to do it so i thought maybe i would show you general as you can do that i've learned in the last year and that it might be fun for a short little video to consider maybe switching from powershell to command dot exe and now we're ended and i type help you can see you can see a lot of different commands and we can type help after all of these and i can probably benefit from spreading it out there we go all right i guess that just gives me the version well as you can see here that's a preview pane so i can make it smaller more easy to work with here um this little script here probably outside of the field division right now i guess i'll probably be right right around here cutting my face off if i do that no i would that would just be out of the screen the way i set it up i just started with the very first thing that you would write in this at echo off it is based around the echo command which displays things on the keyboard on the screen and the and the i'm gonna get my thoughts together the command so if i wanted to characters to use that that's how that works but if i saved that file in theory i can double click this is the asmr buddy over here i modified it but that's uh that's the sassy version sassy in the human sense cool cool cool so build transparent command prompt here oh you guys would remember it if you saw the other video but it's the problem with these 4k i tried to get a future proof laptop when i bought my most recent laptop and i love this thing it took me three months to pay it off but it was i think it's worth it but the 4k i'm finding that it isn't supported with a lot of programs that i use so from a day to day basis i'm having trouble with some old programs so this says set a local environment where variables will be local and i can end so i could set there equals when you say that well that's not very asmr i guess i could close that so if i echo wrapping it in exclamation points it's just a way to ask for the value that's stored inside in this case it would be the letters asmr should in this case show and we would get a display of hello sleepyheads and asmr and now because i ended local right here i should be able to echo far again and it shouldn't have any value stored in it and it might though there's a lot of interesting things that i don't usually expect to happen that happens and then i find out how it works and pretty much why i came up with that channel name because that seems to be one of the things i'm interested in is just trying things to find out about them all right so we said pause there and if i save that just hit control s and run this i messed up i didn't hit um say i wrote end space local you want a space single command our variable that's stored right here inside the local area in my little cursor with the 4k it's so small sometimes it's hard to get it right in that little sweet spot and we end local and uh next after i hit any key in this screen that pause right here will be deactivated i guess yeah interesting so that's what i expected surprising that but ironically i was surprised to get what i expected because i uh kind of pretty much super not smart when it comes to anything with computers relative to all the people i'm surrounded by which is a good thing i think i heard somewhere the other day that you were the average of the five closest people to you or the five people you're closest to so it's good to have two or three um that you're more skilled at in some areas and two or three that are more skilled than you you know that you can learn from or you would maybe consider more successful than you and it's good because teaching helps you understand the information better kind of like what i'm doing now and on the other end it's not it's not smart to be the smartest one in your group i think and it does seem to ring true um all right so next we could i'll try to stay on the keyboard here if i it's probably a cool thing to do let me see bring it over here out of your view for a second go in my personal files and see i could find something and we could do that so this is a generic file here of the type that i work with one of the things i could do here i guess i really don't need that show you guys how to change the color from to make it a green text on a black background i think it's a there we go if i wanted to know more about anything really you can type you can type help afterwards or you can type forward slash question mark and that'll bring up you know what i want to make this text a little bit smaller the font there we go yeah that's better i find it hard to focus um if if things are too bold and too large taking up too much of the screen so real quick let's change the opacity well that's really opaque or wait that's good that's a good value right there so yeah if i hit you know if i want to make red text they they're basically hex hex a decimal digits so they have a equivalent binary value of four bits yeah you can make it whatever you want so color if i want to make a purple text with a i'll do light purple with a black with a what do i want what do i want to do something cool i like black backgrounds the most so uh blue i guess is kind of cool you could do let's do light blue so that's nine on a blue background so color 91 and oh that's hard to see if you hit up you can repeat your last command or go through your history of commands there we go i made it black text there but anyways you you guys get the point so we'll do a zero it's not bad kind of kind of cool two zero that's it zero black background and it's still not what i want so i must want light green light green is probably the one i'm looking for there we go choices and let's clear screen there we go so back to this i'll just show you guys real quick let me show you what to do with this if want to so what's this what's this file called el tabs dot tab so if i want to i want to search through the file and i want to grab the first and so if i want to grab only a day so this is the um this is basically just we do tests and we take little records and this is the record number and it has a corresponding time stamp with it which would be this right there and then the duration of that little data set and then a record and these are just different types of calibrations calibrations you can do right there so and this is just a run bit is just to denote that they're all a certain a certain they fit with a certain certain type of of data that you can parse out of a really really big file we want to grab the date the time stamp and maybe the duration i would use a for loop to loop through the file so forward slash f to let let us know that we're looking through a file and then i define my little variable that's going to hold the value it's going to hold the value every time it it's going to go incrementally through the file and each part of the file that it's currently on it will do it will do something that i'm about to tell you let's see if so what it's going to do and you literally type the word do will i'm going to store the value that a currently is so got right here and i got a the place but essentially what's going to happen is it's going to go through and i'm going to tell it to look for a tab so right there that's a tab all that space after the two is considered a tab and that's what that tab file means and every time it sees a tab it's going to know to stop and gather all the data before that tab and the tab is important because it'll let me tell this variable when to do store store certain values i guess then i can do stuff with these certain values and let's see so the token token word just means that yeah i guess the easiest way to explain it is that each the way this for loop goes through these files is line by line and line each line is broken up by the tabs into different tokens so token one would be this and then there's a tab so that says to increment the value to token two and this becomes token two from this tab to this tab and you can see it goes up so each tab creates a new instance of a token and you can say i want the second and third tokens right there which would be this is one so it would be number two and number three right there so this for loop is going to go through this file line by line and in this variable right here it will store the token two and because i called this a if i asked it to store another value which i did here token three it'll automatically create the next logical alphabet alphabetical character it's gonna say alphanumeric two has a new variable in which to hold the token three the third token value of it so um now token two will be held in variable a and then it will create a variable b in which this token will be stored and before it goes on to line two it'll do what i tell it to with the uh with the data so i i was really fascinated by how logical i think i think i said that in the asmr buddy but um i think that's why i can see the appeal of this too for a lot of people because it's so logical if whenever there's a bug or a crash even though it can be very very difficult to solve it's ultimately something very rational and very logical um that ends up being the solution so it's you know it's um um and it's very satisfying to know that you you can search and it won't be in vain whereas in reality in the real world we often get perplexed by things for which we have no solution and we probably won't ever have a solution for so i'm going to set duration equal to wrap those in quotation marks echo the values and label it and just call it time even though it's the same name as the variable that what i'm what i just typed doesn't have any value other than its literal value right there i'll i'll call it time of day and now we will use time so whatever is stored so basically the first line it'll say okay this is token two and we're gonna store it in a and then i'm gonna whatever's in a i'm gonna say store in time because that when it reaches the next line well i guess i didn't have to do that actually yeah maybe i could have just said yeah let's try that see i explained something and then i understand it a little better or just realize i'm an idiot so i'm gonna say time of day and equals whatever value is in d you are ever going to output that to a new text file we're gonna say asmr dot goods dot text and that should do it all right so if we yeah i don't even have to end it i can just hit save and uh hopefully it works let me look at it one more time and hopefully it works by jsmr we all don't do it the cool way type it it's in the wrong folder see the tree so i'm going to just copy that file as a tab or because it wasn't tab it was um short for event event list absolute value so let's see if i can copy this i got a sneeze trying to to list all my files there we go and it even gives you a timestamp too very cool i don't see my file all right let's go to that so i i copied it i copied it correctly but i named it cd i thought i was copying it i guess by default it copies into the current directory that was weird and label it el labs el labs and now now let's try this asmr goods not text so let's type it out so if we type out asmr goods dot text there we go all right i can also open it in no pad if you just type no pad and the file name should open up kind of cool so yeah i mean this is uh very rudimentary stuff obviously yeah it's it's i think it's very a fulfilling very satisfying i guess is the word to see your little script you know that little that's all it took and really i don't think i needed that probably could have gotten away with just that but anyways i just enjoy the tangible result as tangible as digital is but you you can create stuff you know you can go in and manipulate stuff and so i'm gonna delete that file and i'm gonna run our little thing and you know what don't pay attention to that firefox tab so i'm gonna do that and let's verify that my little modification worked hopefully it did all right cool and i guess that didn't really show you guys but i did in fact i'm set it by date let's see it's 10 23 at night here um i can delete that and then if i try to open it there is no it wants to create a new file because i deleted it so that let you know that i did in fact delete that file um but anyways yeah i thought it was kind of cool and yeah you can just do that hit enter and it works and creates that file and uh hit alt alt f4 to close and then close that one and then cls clear that screen close that and i can say goodbye to you guys because it's not a operable program or batch file or internal or external command it is neither those or either or any of those things so yeah that was a little fun very basic show and tell of uh what's trapped inside that operating system of yours unless you get a linux then it's more powerful but as always i hope you guys enjoyed it and uh i will see you very shortly hopefully if i keep up my every other day posting i just had a lot of time recently so i i tried to i don't know i've had a lot of ideas on my head on my in my mind in my head on my mind uh none of which apparently deal with saying things correctly grammatically but yeah so i don't know i just thought there's some interesting things i'd like to do for you and uh if you guys keep watching i'll keep posting and more importantly leave comments too and subs don't hurt i guess but you don't have to sub to watch my stuff your support is so appreciated as always it really does mean a lot and uh i try my best to comment to all of you guys so if i miss you just keep bugging me until i do but until then and until i hear from you guys and until the next video i hope you guys sleep well night guys