Hello, and welcome to this live-streamed event to celebrate the 10th anniversary of the conversation. I'm Caroline Fisher, Associate Professor of Journalism at the University of Canberra. To mark this 10th birthday, the conversation has published a book of essays that put the website on the map, and it's called No You're Not Entitled to Your Opinion and 49 Other Essays That Got the World Talking. Now to launch the book, Michelle Gratton, Professorial Fellow with the University of Canberra, joins me. And Peter Martin, the Business and Economy Editor of the conversation, who's also a Visiting Fellow with the Crawford School at the ANU. We're going to be discussing the highlights and lowlights of 2021, and maybe they'll take a punt at what 2022 might be like as well. But before we get started, can I acknowledge that we are holding this event on the lands of the Ngunnawal people, and I acknowledge the traditional custodians of the various lands on which you all are watching this event today. Now we will also be taking questions from you. So please, if you have a question, type it into the Q&A section on your screen. So with all of that introduction done with, hello, Michelle and Peter. Hi, and hi to our audience. That's all right. So 2021 has been an enormous year, dominated by the COVID pandemic, lots of issues surrounding climate change, trust, integrity, China, now a looming election. So there's a lot for us to talk to in a short hour. Let's start with the most recent events. Michelle, the Prime Minister has returned from the climate change talks, COP26 from Glasgow, with a very bad report card, ranking last for climate policy. Is this deserved, and will he be worried about it? I think it is deserved to a fair extent. The government tried to dress up its climate policy, and of course we saw that rather agonising negotiation with the nationals to get to the net zero 2050 target commitment. But nevertheless, because in particular Australia hadn't improved its ambition for the medium term for 2030, I don't think anyone abroad anyway was deceived about the fact that Australia remains a laggard in climate policy. But that was over there. And I think it's interesting that in these last few days, the Prime Minister has plowed on and really tried to say, well, we've got the answer. Everyone will know it's technology, not taxes, even though quite a lot of the policy in fact is paid for by your taxes, because the government's investing all sorts of money. Yesterday announced 500 million for a new fund to promote new technologies. And it's interesting that in this first hit the ground tour that he's been doing this week, he's actually been playing on the climate issue. He's been to the coal area of the Hunter, and he was in Melbourne in marginal leafy seats. And so he's trying to take what would be objectively by commentators described as a weakness and turn it on its head, turn it into some sort of positive or at least a neutral. And that shows that when it comes to campaigning, Scott Morrison is bold and brazen. And of course, he is therefore a threat to his labor opponents for that very reason. OK, so this is Australian way, the the the Australian way. That's right. I mean, is it going to get us to zero by 2050, Peter? I can trust where we are now. Well, I suppose it's similarity with the war, the Second World War. In that time, it's the only time before now when people were locked up in the houses, right? There was a curfew, same, right? Different reasons, but we were on a war footing as we've been on and off for the last two years. In that time, the government planned the motor industry, it planned that Holden was going to start making cars in Australia. It planned all sorts of things. It managed to do two things at once, right? We've also been doing two things at once. And yet they've been the sort of things a student would do the night before an essay was due.  And they're coming up with slogans. And there are many of them. I suppose they're road testing them. They'll probably narrow them down to one or two by the election. But it is such a contrast. The last time we had a national crisis, we were able to plan for the future. The future that followed the Second World War was absolutely wonderful. You saw Australia's economic growth take off in a way that... Well, in a way it hasn't since, in a way that it didn't before. I wonder what's going to happen after this. Now, you asked the question, you know, what are we going to get to by 2050? Essentially, it's sort of a Clayton's policy. We don't know, of course. They haven't released the modelling. They've released four dot points saying that don't worry, the economy will be rigid-edged and this won't cost us anything. I don't know whether that's right or not. I suspect they haven't done their homework. I suspect they haven't done the detailed work. My even greater fear is that it's the same with labour. But we don't know yet because they also haven't told us the details of what they're announcing. I think they might be hoarding it back. They might have been working on it. Well, they have been working on it. But waiting for the last quarter, I think it is, you know, kicking into the wind was the... Something like that. But I think they have to start fairly soon kicking into the wind because there's not much wind behind there back at the moment in terms of broad policy. I think that... Climate change is... Well, climate change will probably come out early December, something like that. And it's perfectly reasonable for labour to keep back its policy till it sees Glasgow. Now it's saying till it sees the modeling. But it needs to get it out before Christmas. But more generally, I think that labour is taking a bit of a risk because it thinks that let the government's faults be on display. And of course, on some fronts, that's a good strategy. But you can be a small target. But people, especially in uncertain times, tend to feel, well, why change? So I do think that labour needs to get into a gallop pretty soon. This is very important, by the way, on uncertain times. In a way, the times are not uncertain. There's a piece I wrote about this in the conversation this week. If you look at the typical Australian kind of person that Morrison is focused on, the kind of person who will decide the election, completely unexpectedly, if you go back to when COVID began, they've kept their job, their investments if they had them, or their superannuation, or their house price has been going crazy. There are more jobs available for them. That is, there are more vacancies than ever before. We had just before the lockdowns, which temporarily, from the middle of the year, cut things back in the two biggest states. But just before those, we had more hours worked than ever before. And by the way, that's not people working long hours. That's people in jobs working reasonable hours. We had a greater proportion of the population working. than ever before. These are the kind of situations where people don't feel uncertain. They don't think they're at risk of losing their job. Wages are picking up. Wage growth is picking up. Not as high as it needs to be. But what people notice is that they are not under threat. Now, there has been a threat from house prices. They've actually been climbing so fast, 21% in the last year, that it's been frightening people because of actions to the Reserve Bank and the Prudential Regulation Authority have taken their likely to ease off to also be less threatening. Interest rates are unlikely to climb. The Reserve Bank says for some time, maybe another two years. So you've got a situation where I don't think people feel uncertain. I think they feel, to use that awful phrase of several elections ago, you know the one 25 years ago, relaxed and comfortable. It's uncomfortable. And in that kind of situation, now they could certainly toss the government out because you can feel relaxed and comfortable and not thank the government for it. But it's not a period of uncertainty where you're frightened. You could go the other way though, Michelle. I mean, we've had this, you know, deep period of upheaval because of COVID and things are looking better than perhaps people had forecast. So they might reward the government for managing the situation very well. I think I take a slightly different view to Peter. I think it's a bit more granular because I do think a lot of people feel really stressed about what they've been through in the last couple of years. The macro picture is very good. And the outlook, as Peter has said, is also very positive. But nevertheless, if they've been homeschooling, if they've had doubts about the employment, if they've been trying to work from home themselves while three kids are racing around a relatively small house. And that's a gender thing. Let alone an apartment that is stressful. And I think people were worried about their health and worried about the extended families, health, their parents and so on. So I think at least among some people, the stress level has been quite high in terms of the outlook. My feeling is that people are somewhat over Scott Morrison. I think they're starting to see through the slogans. And just to come back to the climate issue, it's interesting that this week he's become this great convert to electric cars. And at the press conference, people were saying, well, what about what you said last election? You said it would end the weekend when you were condemning Labour's policy. You said people would have cords outside of apartment buildings to charge them. In other words, they were pointing out that he'd done this great turnaround without good cause, particularly because everyone knew electric cars were coming even back in 2019. So I think they're critical of Morrison. On the other hand, I think they're not that impressed with Anthony Albanese. Nice bloke, but what is he offering? So we sort of get the feeling that regardless of the polls, we're sort of in this status quo position, which could even end with a hung parliament with just a few seats going one way or the other or crossing over some seats going one way, some the other and almost a random result. Now, that is not a prediction. We all know it's very dangerous. You heard it here first. Very dangerous to predict elections. But as we sit here today, you get that feeling that and also I think people, because they've been through a rough time, have turned off politics. They really feel there's too much shouting. There's too much noise. There's too much hypocrisy. Everyone's talking a great deal more than the listeners want to hear. And therefore, the general population are tuning out till they have to, thanks to compulsory voting, tune in. Oh, I'm wondering whether, in fact, that might be the prime minister's strategy, which is to start his campaign. The week that we're doing this live, he essentially started his campaign, visiting marginal seats, making... Well, he hasn't been able to.  He started his campaign. What if his plan is to continue it day by day so that people get so turned off that by the time they vote, say in May, they don't care anymore and nothing the opposition says, nothing the opposition announces in the last quarter can get through because he has bored them with anything to do with politics? Or at least, you know, wallpapered, you know, just, yes, dominated the coverage. Look, there's a lot of issues raised there, you know, and let's try and go back to some of them individually. If we go back to the slogans issue, and this sort of the U-turn, I guess, on the electric vehicles that we've witnessed this week, this kind of speaks, though, to a bigger question around trust, I guess.  There's been a lot of commentary about the fact that he has perhaps a history of telling untruths, et cetera. Is this going to be a problem for him, do you think? I think it's somewhat of a problem. I think on the French issue that the ordinary voters would take the side of the Australians rather than the French for ordinary nationalistic, patriotic reasons. But that feeds into the wider narrative that he's been slippery, and it really came through again yesterday when he was confronted with these things that he'd said on electric cars. And someone said, hey, how can you possibly, you know, be supporting this policy now when you campaigned against electric cars? And he said, no, I didn't, you know. It wasn't the electric cars. It was Labour's policy. Now, if you go back to his quote's last election, that might be literally true. There is a line where he says, I've got nothing against electric cars as such. But in substance, everyone knows that he was campaigning against electric cars. And it's just a small example of the wider problem that he will say things that are not ground that wouldn't pass the fact check. And he will also never say, look, I got that wrong and now I'm going to do this. Or I have changed my mind, but here are my reasons for doing so. The Peter Beattie principle of apologizing. Now, maybe that was just a tactic too. But nevertheless, I think that a politician's failure to be able to do that to admit fault is not a positive. On the general question of trust, it was interesting during the pandemic, initially politicians and governments and other institutions saw an increase in public trust, which had got down to very low levels. But now I think that the trend is again towards distrust. So I think that we go into this next election with a very skeptical, cynical electorate. And that's going to be hard for both sides to deal with. On the other hand, he sort of proved to himself or the coalition proved to itself that it could perform an extreme about face and own it with the COVID response. So during the global financial crisis, it attacked those $800 checks and so on. It attacked going into deficit, attacked all of that, sent out bigger checks, right? Sent out a level of public support, which was greater than Russia, that is to say we had more people employed or their employment funded by the government than did Russia, although not China for that period, and was able to own the about face as, look, things are far too important to concentrate on what we said before when Labor was doing it. This is the right thing and we're doing it. And that worked. So maybe he's figuring it can do with smaller things as well. Well, that's interesting. So that's right.  And so I don't, he's lying in my interest. Well, I think it's whether it reaches a tipping point, whether the narrative becomes so strong that a politician doesn't tell the truth, isn't Frank, or whether it's below that as it were. And it's hard to tell at this point, but I must say I do think that people are becoming more alert to this than they were a few months ago. And also you've got to again factor in the reality that elections are two horse races with a few ponies on the side running, Senate races and so on. But the two main contenders are against each other. So people are saying, what do I think of Scott Morrison and the government? What do I think of Anthony Albanese and the Labour Party? And it's how that balance comes out. And perhaps, you know, you might be able to trust everything that I say, but you can trust me on the economy. Is that the line they're going to run? Yes, but also they'll run any line. I mean, the problem, and Michelle and I talk about this in the office we share, the conversation office in Parliament House is whenever Labour does say something, it doesn't matter what it is. It doesn't matter if it's quite inoffensive, quite reasonable. It will be attacked as the greatest threat, a housing crisis we're going to collapse. Remember, if Labour's policies, which are probably the kind of policies that are needed and probably wouldn't hurt if housing prices came off a bit, but everything he has this way, this very effective way of building everything up into a crisis. Now, and also doing the opposite. So for instance, Morrison, the Prime Minister, was the Treasurer. When he was the Treasurer, he said maybe there was a case for winding back the number of houses that people could negatively gear. He seemed to have forgotten that. And when Labour suggested something along those lines, he went all out on them as being the worst thing ever. So the real danger is that, not the danger, but whatever Labour says, and it will have to start saying things, it's a real risk.   Well, he's not called Scotty for marketing for nothing. And I think he can deliver a punch with lines. So this new line is, can do capitalism. Is that what came out just today? Was that at a... Yes, he's now, this week, stressing that when it comes to climate policy, the coalition is facilitating the private sector, facilitating work in technology companies, doing things and so on. Whereas Labour wants to tell you what to do, i.e. regulation and so on.  It's talking about electric cars. Now, that was obviously a momentary overreach, but it's an example of the kind of exaggeration. I don't think Labour does. But he's setting up this, I guess, going back to traditional coalition positions of facilitating private enterprise, as opposed to more control. That's the debate he seems to be trying to set up. So where does this leave Labour? Not just with climate change, but, I don't know, it seems to me that they are being wedged, that there is action on climate change now. How will Labour try to position themselves around this? I think it's really difficult. And the climate policy illustrates that. At the moment, there's been an internal debate going on in Labour about whether it just virtually matches the government policy, very little ambition beyond the government policy, or whether it goes for a bigger hit, thinking that that issue is going to be important to the vote in certain areas. And that really is a microcosm of where it's placed on all sorts of issues. It's big theme is jobs, but jobs is very important. Jobs is the wrong theme, by the way. We've got a lot of jobs. And everyone believes in it. That was the case earlier on. No, but it's the case in the... Going into the election, jobs is the wrong theme. No one is concerned about jobs. Maybe in a few years' time, they will be. They're not. It's not going to work. And also on climate change, I think Labour had this problem, which we all know about last time, between different messages in the South and in the North. And now the government's got that problem. And on the Northern Front, the Queensland Front, there's no doubt that the Nationals are getting some blowback about the 2050 thing. But Labour will also have that same problem, perhaps to a bit lesser extent this time, because the emphasis is on the government's difficulty. But Labour, if you're running Labour's strategy, I think you would be scratching your head, because it's very hard to find room to move, room to position, especially as Anthony Albanese is in this small target, no risk. So what about the issue of integrity and not the slow movement on a federal integrity commission? Well, I think that's an important issue. I think it is something that people care about, and we're seeing currently integrity questions in both the Victorian Labour Party and the Victorian Liberal Party, and they've brought in federal figures with the accusations and on the Labour side admissions. I think the independent candidates will run very hard on integrity. Whether it will turn out to be a vote changer for Mr and Mrs Parramatta, Ms Moody Ponds, is another question, though. So with the economy, you're saying is strong, there's not a problem with jobs. I think there is one potential problem. One problem Labour could zero in on, and that's housing. It's not that houses are unaffordable once you've got one. Mortgages are easier to look after at the moment than they have been. Rents on the whole are not, depends on the city you are, but Rents are not doing anything out of the ordinary. It's the ability to get a house and the fear that your children, people you know can't do, if you've got a house, can't do what you did. I think that's very, very potent. I liken it almost to the concern people had over drugs years ago when all sorts of people's children were becoming drug addicts. You know, it could happen to someone you know they might never be able to buy a house. If Labour was able to harness that, that would be great. Unfortunately, Labour was two elections early, really. It's tried to focus on that in the last two elections. Now it really is a problem. High house prices really would turn votes. I think that's something. If you ask sort of an economic weakness for the government, something that needs to be fixed, it's that. I agree it's a big issue and an obvious issue. On the other hand, like so many issues, there are various stakeholders, aren't there? Because if people have a house and they feel prices are going to be contained or rises are going to be contained, then they become defensive. I think it's moved beyond that. And I think it moved beyond that just this year. Let's go back to the beginning of this year. House prices were not moving and that was the expectation, the conversation every six months, surveys economists. That was the expectation, no moves in house prices. From about January, they've shot up by about one-fifth. In Sydney, prices were increasing at the rate of $1,000 a day, right? Melbourne prices, $600 a day. I think that the calculus that the on the part of people who own houses, who have mortgages changed. You know, you could almost feel it changing this year in conversations. And this is a conversation piece everywhere, wherever you go, people are dismayed about what's happening. And the people who have houses are no longer feeling predominantly pleased about it. They're feeling bewildered and frightened. This was not the case a year ago. It certainly wasn't the case two elections ago. I think they've sort of banked that. Okay, house prices have risen. That was nice, undeserved, unexpected, but we've got this real problem. And that's a classic psychological thing, or if you like, behavioural economics thing. We notice problems much more than we're very ungrateful people that I think people are more concerned about people being locked out of ever being able to afford houses than they are grateful for some increase in the value of their house. It was my understanding earlier in the year too that Labor was potentially banking on, you know, the shambles of the vaccine rollout that that would sort of have... There was a shambles at the time. ...that would continue to have sort of negative flow on effects that perhaps once the borders opened and things relaxed that the death toll might end up being a critical issue for them. So where do you think they are now with that? Is that a card that they can play or has that been neutralised as well? No, I think that in terms of the shambles of the rollout that's probably passed in most people's minds. Whether the transition to a more open community society is going to produce new pressures on hospitals and cases and so on. It doesn't seem to have been as severe as expected so far, but COVID is very unpredictable. We thought if we were doing this a year ago, we would be thinking that we were coming out of the pandemic, right? And then we had this terrible 12 months. So you can't be sure what's going to happen on the COVID front. But so far, touch wood, we seem to not be having those transition problems as severely as some anticipated. Okay, so look, before we go to some questions from the audience and they're coming in, which is wonderful, when do you think the election is likely to be called? Asking you to put your reputation on the line, Michelle. Well, what the government is talking about now is having an April budget so that it gets another chance to dance on the stage, as it were, and show off some good- We'll show off those good figures and good forecasts. And that would mean a May election. So that's what people are saying internally in the government. Now, the other option is a March election. And with elections, you can never rule out a change of mind, but that was being talked about a few weeks ago, but now the emphasis appears to be moving to May because of the budget opportunity. Again, don't hold me to it when we see an election in March. Okay, I promise not to. Actually, a budget is perfect because a budget is like a campaign launch except it's compulsory. Every TV station covers the speech, special programs that night, wrap-around edition of newspapers. It's the opportunity to spell out your program. So it's pretty worthwhile to use. It's a free kick, a big free open. I believe there's, I'm joking, I know there is, a budget in reply speech a few nights later that no one watched. So it's a very good way to launch the campaign. And the news will be good economically. The news will be very attractive. Especially when the government really does not seem to have any great, bright, shiny program. A budget does frame, as Peter says, what appears to be very good news coming. And also just... They can use it to launch a program. Yes, just puts it all together and makes more of it than might be actually there. Making it harder for labor and narrowing their campaign, I imagine. Well, it means that labor has to then reply, and I don't mean just in the budget reply, but reply, react to the budget. So it's not necessarily on the offensive at that point. However, the budget speech in those circumstances can be used quite productively by labor. But its task would be a bit more difficult. That's provided the budget doesn't flop, in which case its task becomes not so hard. Good, look, there's lots of questions coming in. We might just return to the housing issue just for a second. So there's a question from Alan. Could it be that a crash in housing is also coming? It's highly likely. It's not likely right now because the authorities are fully aware of this. So the Prudential Regulation Authority, APRA, has written to the banks telling them to prepare borrowers for a 3 percentage point increase on top of what they're paying now. So in other words, what's 3 plus 3? 6% mortgage can new borrowers cope with a 6% mortgage instead of a 3. And that's designed to take the heat out of it slowly. That cuts the maximum amount someone can borrow. The Reserve Bank has done a measure which has ended those ultra-cheap 3-year fixed mortgages. You can't get one now. So they're aware of this. The authorities are aware of this and are trying to take the heat out slowly. Now, after jumping 20% and maybe a bit more before it turns down, could something fall of that order? Yes, we've seen falls of 10% just a few years ago. Might it be worse? They'll do everything they can to make sure it's not. And they've already started. So it's the act of slowly deflating the balloon. And hopefully they'll succeed. They won't, eh? Yes. Well, I mean, my teenage children are for very few. They'll never own it. You're an example. Or your family. My family, that's right. OK, there's a question from Janice. We started the year raising the important issue of gendered violence and gender inequality but don't seem to have made any progress. Have we, she asks. I mean, that issue seems to have really kind of dropped off, hasn't it, dropped off the agenda? I think yes and no. I think in terms of dropping off, I think that it's much more in people's minds than it was. And one big question will be how women voters react, particularly to the government and to the prime minister. He's obviously made efforts to appear to be empathetic on this issue, but I think most people would think that those efforts have not succeeded certainly as much as the government would hope. So we don't know yet how it will affect people's voting. On the issue itself, there's been a lot of money poured into this area, but it's a bit like Indigenous affairs. Somehow the answers are so difficult to find and we're certainly a long way from dealing effectively with domestic violence in particular. That of course is not just at one government level but states and federal government. And it's one of those in what the political scientists would call wicked problems, I guess. It just does not seem to respond adequately to the policies that governments bring forward. But I definitely think that the role of gender issues is a very pertinent one at this election. It's not at the moment on the front line of issues, but it is there in people's minds because of everything that's happened this year. And by the way, it's something Labour could do, which is more or less impervious to attack. You could not imagine Scott Morrison wading in and saying what you are preparing to do, even if it's something big about gender violence, will create some problem. I've been looking at the statistics for all kinds of health measures since the Institute of Health and Welfare has put them together since COVID. And almost all of the bad things that people expected didn't happen. There weren't more suicides, there were fewer and so on. The one thing that rose during the COVID lockdowns was domestic violence. That is the one clear negative effect. Aside from COVID itself, of COVID, nothing else, you know, deaths from flu were way down, deaths from everything else were lower than usual, but domestic violence increased in the last two years. Now, if Labour, it seems to be almost a guaranteed successful thing to do, to put up a serious policy about that, and I think it's one of the few areas where the Prime Minister won't be able to jump on it. But it has to find the policy solutions that people haven't thought of or tried already. It just seems such a difficult issue to grapple with because it really goes to a whole lot of other issues. It goes to people's housing and living conditions and family structures and all sorts of laws about looking after children in separated families and all sorts of things. But, you know, closer to home, your workplace, I mean, you're up at Parliament House. There's a lot of focus on the culture within Parliament House itself. Has it changed? Has there been progress this year? Well, certainly, I think that people have become much more aware of the fact that the need to be better structures in place for staff when they're... And staff have been away from the bill. Yes, hardly anyone's there. So... That's right, you chance for harassment. Well, that's right. But I think that there have been structures put in place there. But in a sense, while we all concentrate on Parliament House, the real problems are out there in the community, in the suburbs, among ordinary people. And those are the things that governments and opposition should be concentrating on in their policies. You said that domestic violence is one of the only sort of areas that we saw problems rising. Wouldn't you add youth mental health to that? Well, it depends how you measure it. Well, almost, however, you measure mental health, there's nothing to see on the stats. Now, that doesn't mean that there won't be problems. You know, you would expect mental health problems to rise during lockdowns. It hasn't happened. Totally amongst young people, as a mother of teenagers again, I guess I raised that, it's very common. Yeah, well, you know, the saying is that data is not the plural of anecdote. No, that's of course. One of the insurance companies, Clearview, was asked about this in Senate hearings, and they said, they prepared for a big increase, the most extreme manifestation of mental health problems is suicide. They prepared for a big increase, and in fact, they got a decrease. And then they went searching for answers. Why? And what they found was that there was a feeling, this is about the first lockdowns last year, there was a feeling that, yeah, things might be awful for me, but they're awful for everyone. We're in this together, far from physically alone, but far from alone. So you would think there would be those problems, and I wouldn't be surprised if they turn up, and I wouldn't be surprised if they turn up with a delay. But the domestic violence has happened without a delay, right? Okay. But to the extent there are problems with youth mental health, more generally, not just with the pandemic, that of course feeds into the domestic violence problem in the future. Because if people are in a bad state when they're teenagers, when they're young, they're more likely to not be able to cope, in some cases, to become violent, to react so badly, to stress later on in their lives. So it just shows the interaction and the complexity of these problems. Indeed. Going to now another question from the audience. This time it's from Sue. It's returning to this discussion that we're having about trust and honesty and truth. So can Albanese cut through by campaigning on honesty? Or, as you suggested, Michelle, is the electorate perhaps too cynical? Do all politicians lie? Is it not possible for a politician to campaign on honesty? Well, I think people have come to the view that all politicians, most politicians are dodgy best and untrustworthy at worst. But again, it comes back to this tipping point thing. I think that there is some fertile ground for the opposition there, but I think that it's just one of a number of things that they have to move to. They can't just rely on this. And also I think that there are levels of this. People can think, well, I regard such and such a politician as dodgy, but I think he or she would be a strong economic manager. So it's where people place the trust in terms of the hierarchy of issues. And if they believe that on the things they regard as big issues, the person is competent or the government is competent, then the other things tend to be pushed down a bit. However, I wonder when the campaign formally comes, whether the prime minister will be invoking the word trust so much in terms of, say, even the economy. I know Josh Freidenberg in particular is doing this at the moment, but maybe the government will feel that the word trust is a bit difficult, a bit overused and that there's a problem not just with Morrison, but this wider perception of politicians and trust not really fitting together. Interesting. It was also very effective to use against Shorten because the previous Labour leader had been part of the knifing in the back of Rudd, then Gillard, then stood before the people asking for trust. So happiness is in a better situation. Yeah, indeed. So all right, now we were talking about polling earlier. Harold has asked a question. He says, given the result of the last federal election, can we trust any polling for the next election? Whose polling is likely to be more believable? Party internal polling or public polling? Have you got any thoughts on this, either of you? Well, I think what happened at the last election has been a good lesson. It was a debacle. The polls were wrong. Not to over, really wrong. Not to over trust polling. That, you know, we tend to report it in terms of a point here, a point there. Well, anyone who's done any statistics knows that that's not a very good way to go and you wouldn't get through a statistic exam if you did that. But nevertheless, polling is, frankly, all we have. So don't rely on it too much. Know that sometimes it's going to be wrong. Know that politics is incredibly volatile at the moment and therefore, you know, things can change really, really quickly, but also parties these days particularly rely on focus groups. But small groups, three times the number of people here, four times, and they chat about things and parties pick up things from that. So that can be more enlightening than quantitative polling in certain circumstances. I think that there is a kind of poll that you can trust. It's a long-term poll. It's the ANU poll of what matters to voters. What this shows is terribly important for a political party to take notice, and I'm sure they do. So take two issues, tax being one. Remember when everyone was concerned that their taxes were too high? That was in the 1980s, 1990s. Back then, 23% of people nominated tax as the most important issue. Only 9% nominated health. Go forward today. The lines have crossed over. 22% of people, same proportion, really. Nominate health as being the number one issue. 12% of people are worried about their tax. So the, and this is partly a result of growing affluence, partly a result of getting older. This is pre-COVID, but it shows that people's views have changed away from the what's in it for my pay packet toward will I be looked after? That's an important, and it's polling, that's why I mentioned it, but that's an important sort of long-term change that, you know, assuming the answers are right and you can see the graph moving over time. So, you know, I guess it's right. And I assume it's not because people are lying because there's no reason for people to lie more than they did in the past. People are no longer as concerned about the hip pocket as they were, they're more concerned about being looked after. And you can see this in the government's response to COVID, right? The government's not talking about getting the budget back in the black. It realizes that really doesn't matter to people when people are concerned about their health, which is sort of number one. So that sort of polling, I think, has real lessons in it. That's attitudinal polling, I guess, you know, taking a pulse of the attitudes in the community. Well, what matters to you is the question, what matters most. Right, what matters to you. But when it comes to yes, predicting the outcome of an election, then the polling is less reliable. Well, because there's such a mix of things in the way people vote. And some people will just be in a bad mood with life and the government and vote just on that ground. Others will vote more specifically on issues. Others will think about the leaders. It's a mix of issues for individuals and among individual voters. Of course, there's a different mix of issues. Well, among those issues, right at the center of voting, will be, can you please show us your ID card? If the government succeeds. Now, people have written about this in the conversation this week, asking the standard question, is there a reason for it? But you can think if it does happen, you can think that someone who is a bit miffed at being asked this, when they've been compelled to go to the place and vote and have queued up might be in a nag row mood. Well, there was a whole election centered on an ID card, which could never be implemented because the legislation was stuffed anyway over the basis of it. Unconstitutional, yeah. And the future of this change for ID? I don't know how it'll go in the Senate. The government is very anxious to put it through but there's not a lot of time. There'll probably be some Senate inquiry, I guess, over the summer and assuming that the parliament comes back, that goes back to the male election, could go anyway in the Senate. Okay, there's a few questions coming up about Labor and its position.  Janice is asking, having been burnt last time with an ambitious vision for reforming the nation, do you think Labor will be prepared to show any vision this time, Michelle? Well, I think it's looking for vision and vision is very elusive. We saw vision in the 72 election with Whitlam. We saw vision in 83 with Hawke reconciliation coming together and so on. Vision is elusive, if you know of any and you want to help Labor ring Athneal, I think you need to be the person. You mentioned those people, right? Not everyone is Hawke, right? Not everyone is Whitlam and not everyone was Rudd who had this vision of endorsing the climate policies and so on. You almost need to be a particular person rather than just happen to have vision. But if you mean vision in terms of policy, then I think small target, modest policies, a couple of showstoppers, but not too much in the way of garish lights about them. Okay, now, Joan would love to see Labor campaign on a real anti-corruption body. Again, we talked about this a little bit earlier, for example, with Royal Commission powers. Do you think it could happen? I think Labor will campaign on a robust body. We don't know what will happen to the government's legislation, which we haven't yet seen, but it'll be, its body would be a weak body, very blunt teeth, and Labor will make that a point of differentiation. And I think that'll go down quite well with people. Okay, and Alfred is asking, the Prime Minister's message seems to be, now we're going back to climate change early on in the discussion, the Prime Minister's message seems to be that technology for action to combat climate change will solve everything. Do you agree with that, Peter? Oh, definitionally. There's got no real content in it. I mean, yes, the solutions will be people doing things differently, which will involve different technology, the electrification of almost everything we can, and you're getting to the situation now with South Australia in the last month on several occasions has been 100% powered by solar, something that people thought was impossible. So technology will, the question is whether, well, how do you achieve that? I'll tell you how you probably don't achieve it. You don't achieve it by doing one of the things the government is talking about doing, and that's funding research into new technologies. The concept that a country of Australia's size could, with all due respect to university researchers, could come up with a breakthrough and that that's an efficient way to spend taxpayer dollars, whereas what you could do is spend taxpayer dollars encouraging the use of something which other people have come up with, or you could impose, okay, this government doesn't like carbon prices, fair enough. You could art law beyond a certain date, the import of petrol-powered vehicles as a number of other countries are doing. That would speed the adoption of technology. So, yeah, obviously technology is going to do things. Economists would say that the best way of getting that technological change, technological adoption at the least cost is a carbon price, but I don't think either party will be, or we know that neither party will be proposing that. Is this the technology solution though? I mean, is that attractive to voters? It sort of relieves them of the responsibility to have to take personal action. Technology will solve it. It sounds good, but I think those who, for whom climate change is about changer, will believe, and I think rightly, that you need more than technology, and that you do have to pay a price, not necessarily a formal carbon price, but it's a big change and it will involve, in the shorter term, some people paying a price and the community generally having to pay some prices, but most people, majority of people would think that that's worth it. It's a question of how high that price is, I guess, which determines people's attitude. Now, one issue that was big on the agenda throughout the year was Australia's relationship with China. Where are we now at the end of the year in relation to that? We've had diplomatic problems, obviously, with France. So I guess just reflecting on our diplomatic relationships at the end of this turbulent year. I think China is real well to state the obvious is really an incredibly challenging issue, not just in the immediate term, but in the decades ahead, and that involves not just reading how China is now, but trying to read how it will be in the future. We've seen over the decades changes in the regime in China and its position, and so the pessimists would say, I guess, that it's just going to become more and more assertive and on some fronts, aggressive. The optimists might say, well, eventually, there will be a swing back to a somewhat more liberal regime, even if it's not in the terms that we would understand small liberalism as it were. But in terms of policy, we're in a not good position, obviously, with China. We've got various trade blocks. We are trying to prepare our defences to buttress our position, and that goes to the sub-argument, but that's going to be a long way away, the delivery of those nuclear-powered submarines. So I think China is a dilemma for the forward policy thinkers and an immediate problem in terms of our response and our trade. And we are going to lose our trade with China. The big thing we saw China is iron ore. China wants to move away from Australian iron ore as soon as Brazil gets its house in order and they've already stopped buying a lot of other things. But we have, and we're going to lose our coal exports anyway for the climate reasons, we have an opportunity to sell sun cable, selling solar power to Singapore and so on. We have an opportunity to do an awful lot to replace China, selling to a whole range of countries, which is probably a safer situation to be in.  Thank you. We have run out of time. Thank you very, very much, Michelle and Peter, for all of your insights. Throughout the year, not just for today, it's fantastic to have you there commentating with such expertise for the readers of the conversation. That's wonderful. Thanks very much. But before we go, I did also want to thank you, the audience, for participating and for the excellent questions that came through. And there are many more there that we weren't able to get to. So I'm sorry about that. But thanks very much for your participation. If you would like to get a copy of the book that has been launched today by The Conversation, you can find it at all good bookstores and also through online bookshops. So thank you very much again for your participation. See you later.


to move the pole right now, right? There's something easy to do right now. Do you guys come in? Yeah, we do, sir. I can't see what's going on with this. Well, I'll be out there with my team.


Why are macrobiotic diets apparently so effective of reducing blood sugar levels and diabetes within just a few weeks' time? Because the diet is centered around whole grains, brown rice, barley, and millet, maybe the high fiber intake is improving the gut microbiome, the friendly flora, and the colons of diabetics, and that's leading to reduction in insulin resistance? Or maybe it's because it also has lots of vegetables. Maybe it's kind of correcting some kind of low-grade acidosis from the high levels of animal protein in their regular diets? Regardless, this was after just 21 days. Can macrobiotic diets also help with longer-term blood sugar control? How about a six-month dietary intervention with wildly out-of-control blood sugars? Hemoglobin A1C offers a sense of one's average blood sugars over the previous few months, so an A1C level of five would mean over the last few months your blood sugars have been double digits most of the time. In your sugars have been normal, healthy, non-diabetic. But an A1C of like six is pre-diabetes territory, and six and a half can be a sign of full-blown diabetes. But under seven is considered controlled diabetes. That's what diabetics are striving towards with pills and insulin injections, and anything over seven is considered out-of-control diabetes. The average A1C level in the macrobiotic diet study started out off the charts at 12.6, meaning for months they'd been averaging blood sugars in the 300s despite all being on insulin injections. But then they were placed on the so-called MAPI2 diet, a strictly plant-based, macrobiotic-style diet centered around whole grains, vegetables, and beans, with some sesame seeds and green tea. What happened? A1C levels started out with a wildly out-of-control diabetic 12.6 despite daily insulin injections, and since six months eating that diet ended up averaging a non-diabetic 5.7. And are you ready for this? That was after they all were able to eliminate their insulin. They went from 100% on insulin without a controlled diabetes to 0% on insulin, averaging non-diabetic blood sugars. That's the power of plants. And three-quarters were off all their diabetes medications completely in just six months' time. And what are the side effects? How about LDL cholesterol dropping 20%, triglycerides dropping nearly 40%, although of course anyone starting a strictly plant-based diet must ensure a regular, reliable source of vitamin B12? All we need now is a randomized controlled trial, and here it is, type 2 diabetics are randomized to the macrobiotic diet versus the recommended, American Diabetes Association type diet. So here's an example of a typical day on the macrobiotic diet. A savory whole grain cake for breakfast with green tea with brown rice sesame balls for a snack, lunch was a vegetable millet soup and a brown rice salad with lots of vegetable sides, and at zuki beans, more whole grain snacks, and a dinner similar to lunch, vegetable barley soup, lots of vegetables, chickpeas, green tea throughout the day. Whereas the more standard diabetic diet group got a day like this, low-fat milk, whole wheat bread, kind of a Mediterranean lunch with vegetables and beans, fruit for a snack, and a bean and vegetable soup, whole grain bread, a Gretti is like a green leafy vegetable, and baked fish. I have to say, that's a pretty healthy controlled diet. I mean, they could have compared it to some trashy diet, but they wanted to be like, look, this is what the diabetes group say is best, so let's stack our diet against theirs. Okay, so what happened? The macrobotic diet won out on every measure of blood sugar control. Check out these numbers. They all started out with fasting blood sugars in the 120s. That's bad, but they were, after all, diabetics. Normal fasting blood sugars, like when you wake up in the morning before breakfast, should be at least down in the double digits, under 100. When they put people on this relatively healthy diabetes association diet, their blood sugars got better over the three-week study from the 120s down into the one teens, so that's like the best the official diabetes-recommended diets can do. Compare that to an isocaloric macrobotic diet, meaning the same number of calories. This is what the macrobotic diet did, better within days and hitting normal fasting blood sugars within a week. 100% of those on the macrobotic diet got down to at least under 110, whereas less than half of those on the diabetes diet did. And this was on fewer drugs. In the control group, one person was able to reduce their oral hypoglycemic medications, whereas five of the seven on such drugs in the macrobotic group had to stop taking them. Otherwise, their blood sugars would have fallen too low, so better results on fewer drugs. That's the power of a really healthy diet.  I mean, look at this. They took diabetics and put them on a 73% carbohydrate diet, adding 100 grams of carbs to their daily diet, and in the form of grains. And what happened? Did their blood sugar skyrocket out of control? No, they got better, significantly better in a matter of days, with average fasting blood sugar starting out at 129, falling to 95, and holy moly, look at their LDL cholesterol down to 62 and nearly 48% drop in three weeks.


12 weeks ago, Mahan was a pizza-loving night out. He spent nights working and drinking and days sleeping and eating. My lifestyle doesn't lend itself to diet and exercise. After a heroic start, he crash-landed. I ruined it. Push! And it looked like he might be defeated. I was expecting his fitness to be a lot better than it is now. Luckily, Vicky had a plan to get him airborne again. I'm sending you a boot camp. 20 seconds remaining! Good news. He lost five pounds. I'm absolutely buzzing. But is it enough to make up for a last time? He's giving me feeling it now. Three months of hard work. Let's see what it looks like. It's nerve-racking. Definitely is. I am so nervous. I just can't wait to see Mahan. Come on, Mahan! What's taking so long? You can't have stage fright now! He just needs to hurry up. No, thank you. I'm walking in my swimwear to my friends and it feels amazing.  You're looking good. I'm very well-dressed, clean-shocked. When he came out of that sea, it was a bit of a gasp. He looks amazing. I'm really proud of him. You actually look very different. You're proud. Very proud, yeah. Mahan looks absolutely incredible. I've never in my life seen him like that. I'm actually in utter shock. How are you feeling? I'm feeling good. I was so nervous. You know, I never get anything out. No, I'm out. I feel like a new man. Mahan 2.0. Feeling good, confident, happy. You look confident. But it's only the beginning. In just 12 weeks, Mahan's gone from doughy to defiant. He's lost the stuffing from his crust and added some lean meat to his arms and shoulders. That's one tasty transformation. Judging by Vicki's reaction on the beach, I think I'm made of proud. You look so good. They're hair, everything, and your face. You look so good. Amazing, amazing. And I can see it all. They're a smooth, sleek, more aerodynamic view. Makes it easier for you to slide up into all the females' DMs. It looks so sleek from his head to his toes.  I've still got a tiny bit of moves. They're just a bit more hard work, you know, Jim? You're going to maintain it now. You're going to keep the new healthy lifestyle. 100%. I've got a taste to know. You've got to do it like it's only the beginning. This feeling is just the best. I feel so confident, so happy. Now, yes, super in my hand. Super in my hand, yeah. Super in my hand. So watch out, ladies. He's hairless and he's coming for you. 12 weeks ago, it was as if he'd lost his spark. Today, I see a thinner, healthier, stronger, more confident man. It's all I wanted from Vicki, and he looks thrilled.


So you want to be a word press developer in 2021 where you reach the right video? Let me explain this video is brought to you by digital academy You're number one source to learning programming by us and get to that six-figure freelance salary you desire our courses include our SQL project course our freelance kickstarter our pipeline course and our interview programming course and much much more So if you haven't already go ahead and click the link below to get to our free Seven-step freelance guide so that we can help take your career to the next level. I'll see you guys in the course All right guys, let's jump right into this problem here Should you become a word press developer in 2021? The quick answer is yes Any demand that the customer have in the industry and you got multiple people having that same issue is gonna be Opportunity for you to jump in that development space The question is is it gonna be right for you?  These are questions that you're gonna have to ask in order to make that. Yes be a Really? Yes going forward. So that being said guys, you want to make sure you do your research You want to make sure you have that work and a lot of guys may say well, right? I can just go one fiverr or up work or things like that, which is great If you got the background RA you got the portfolio Then you'll be able to get those jobs what people don't tell you about those freelance platforms are is it's so hard to get your first job if you're not experienced and people just they either want you work for free at the beginning or They don't want to pay you anything and it's just hard for you to get a job in general So that's why I tell you guys the best shot to get work Sustainable work over time is gonna be a local market and then you expand from there because once you get that Experience once you know your market your niche your industry that you can solve development problems in Everything gets so so much better. So wordpress. Yes, it's a great platform Yes, you can get started and most companies even if they don't have wordpress. They have some kind of web based Platform or website that integrates with that primary management system same concepts apply Maybe it don't use PHP in my sequel But it use similar technology where you just learn a syntax and you'll be going so the knowledge that you'll learn from wordpress Translate to other web development applications as well Fun fact before I go into the details guys PHP is a really good language to learn first along with Python add my sequel or My sequel to that mix you're ready to go guys. So just quick tip on that So what I need you guys to do before we really jump into this go to the comment section and Tell me about your problem. What are you struggling with wordpress? As far as just becoming a wordpress developer, what are your concerns? All that below so we can start a conversation and I can help Lead you guys in the right direction that means that guys I Leverage wordpress for years if you don't take away anything from this video is wordpress is 25% of the website side there So that being said, there's gonna be a built-in demand for What you guys are getting wrong is is what type of projects is with that man? You think you just gonna come in and just really rewrite wordpress or rewrite modules just completely from scratch That's not the case here wordpress is mature. You got a lot of plugins You got a lot of top developers. So a lot of the work is gonna be integration work with different systems It could be your management system accounting marketing sales Got a lot of options there. That's where the big bucks is as far as wordpress development You can still do some work on the The theme side and even the plug-in side I will highly recommend you guys to kind of look at different market different niches I had a client the other day was wanting to do some tracking on their website as far as just When they're when the clients are different prospects actually go to a website They want to prioritize them and know who to contact first because they got this a large library of Prospects that they have to call and they want to prioritize that based off of who came to their website who? More likely to buy wet web pages and all that stuff And we created something really good solution for them and it was driven off wordpress and JavaScript and Google Analytics and Google Tag Manager a lot of stuff out of the box You guys can learn millions of companies have that particularly need you just got to explain the value of it and how Translate to their industry knowledge. That's the kind of stuff that's gonna get you ahead guys And what I normally tell you guys I talk about that in my seven-step guide If you don't if you haven't go ahead and get that that's gonna help you guys really take things to the next level guys on that deal So if you don't take anything away from this video the one thing I will tell you guys is yes Wordpress is in demand the low-hanging fruit stuff has dried up for the most part Hey, I need to set up a brand new wordpress site and you come in designer. Yeah, there are some opportunities out there But it's not as much as it used to be because people who wanted a wordpress website more than likely got one Maybe it's outdated. Maybe it need to be updated Maybe they need to make some changes to it to get it up to date So they move faster from a performance standpoint, but they already have something established And you guys can come in and add value on the integration side Maybe some plug-in work from here and here things, you know, they may have me personally Unless a client have a specific need for a custom theme There you have enough theme companies out there that you can find what you want at least 80% And then you call the other 20 do a Sub theme or or something like that. That's just my opinion You know, some of you guys just love being in the weeds love doing development. I'm trying to save my my time I'm not trying to reinvent wheel. That's just a strategy of mine. Just quick note right there as well So don't check out my seven-step guide guys if you haven't already I'm gonna get you guys started and if you already start signed up for my seven-step guide Also by my premium courses my two kids gonna help you guys First of all find work on the front end back in the database side And also really get you ahead when it comes to software development interviews. I'll let below it great prices guys So go ahead and check that out. That being said only thing I like to end with guys is WordPress don't think of WordPress as a Program language or application think of WordPress as a solution for the client's problem That's gonna make you're gonna force you to start thinking in a way that's gonna Identify problems you can solve and then when you come into these interviews of these presentations, you're thinking from a solution based Perspective and not just a technology based perspective. You need to technology based once you've kind of got their attention And they know okay He or she knows about WordPress and they know how to solve a problem. How much do they know? Just give them a little nugget of the technology. Let them know Hey, I know the technical side too, but I'm here to solve your problem How whatever they may be if it's something in my skill set we can take care of that guy So like subscribe to the content if you have not already comment below about your particular situation so that we can get started on helping you solve that and If you haven't already, I'm putting link on the screen right here to my seven step guide and I'm also Check out my premium courses as well like subscribe to the content hit that like button. I'll see you guys in the next video. Peace


This is stock number 9J441A. We are here at Summit Automotive in Fond du Lac, Wisconsin. You're new and used sports car headquarters. Today we are checking out this extremely clean 2017 Chevy Camaro. LT1 with the RS package. This vehicle has the 3.6 liter V6 motor, which pumps out 323 horsepower. From this HD video you will be able to tell that this car is extremely clean all the way around inside and out. Red hot is the color we shoot all of our videos in 1080p, so if you have HD capabilities on your computer, tablet, or a smartphone device, turn them on right now because it is like you're right here looking at the car with me and definitely your best way to check out the vehicle before seeing it in person so that you can make a smart buying decision before even making the trip. And if you want to check out more pictures in the upper right hand part of your screen is a link right to our website so click that and check us out. It has the 20 inch painted alloy rims, Goodyear Eagle all season tires. These are 245, 40R20s and they have a good amount of tread left. I'd say right around half, maybe a little bit more. You can see any dents or dings on that front fender, really nice condition. Has the projector lamp headlamps, the LED running lights, the LED fog lamps. All of our vehicles go through a state of Wisconsin state inspection and this one has been through our process and is all ready to go, fresh oil and filter change. All the fluids have been checked and topped off. Pastner side rim is an excellent condition as well. No major scuffs or scrapes on that. On this side of the car you can see just how clean the body is, how reflective and mirror-like that paint is. We take these HD videos so if you are far away or even if you're close by and just cannot make the trip down you can still see the vehicle, hear the vehicle and have confidence in what you're looking at before you even get here. So that when you do get here there's absolutely no surprises. To that effect we offer a Summit Auto Fastpass in the upper right hand part of your screen where you can apply for financing, get pre-approved, see payment options and even appraise a trade if you have one, all right on our website. So when you get here you're all ready to go. Back rim is an excellent shape and the back tires have just as much tread as those front tires. These videos really help out with that process so you can make an educated decision on your vehicle purchase before actually seeing the vehicle. The rear deck lid is in excellent shape as well. Didn't see any denser dings on that. Has the chrome tipped exhaust, the RS badge on the back there. Driver's side rear quarter is in excellent condition. And the back rim is in really nice shape as well. Down the rest of this side, very nice and clean.  You get power driver's seat, no rips or tears on that seat. Side current airbags. Comes with factory floor mats, Bose sound system, power windows, power locks. We'll take a quick look at the trunk. There's the front license plate holder if you were wondering. Those seats do fold down for extra storage in the trunk. And you can fit two people back here. It does have the latch child safety system for child car seats. If you want to try and get a car seat back there, good luck. Trunk area is very clean as well. If you're wondering where the code sticker was on these Camaros, they're back here. Very clean back here. Storage area underneath there. And we'll check out inside a little bit more. As we hop inside the car here, you can see that this one has 32,894 miles. Instrument cluster is very nice and clean. Comes with the leather wrapped steering wheel, Bluetooth and information center controls on your right. Cruise controls and favorite controls on your left. And it does have the flat bottom steering wheel. You also have the thumb pads on the steering wheel. And it has nice leather, heavy duty leather wrapped steering wheel. This one comes with the Chevy MyLink system. AM, FM and Sirius XM radio capabilities. You also have a projection option where you can do Android Auto, Apple CarPlay on there. This is also where your backup camera shows up. You have your climate control right there. Automatic transmission, stability control. And you can change your driving modes. You got tour, sport, snow and ice. So different driving modes there. Passengers side seat and floor mat are in excellent condition. Really a good looking two tone gray and black seat. Headliner is nice and clean. No rips or tears in that. And you do get map lights up there. And on-star capabilities in the rear view mirror. We will take a quick look under the hood. And once again, this does have the Bose sound system. And I would personally like to thank you for checking out the video today. And hopefully from this HD video, you will have been able to tell just how clean this car is all the way around inside and out. Under the hood, we have the 3.6 liter V6 motor. 323 horsepower engine bay is super clean. This car has been fully safety and inspected by our service shop. It has a fresh oil and filter change. All the fluids have been checked and topped off. 28 miles per gallon on the highway. 19 miles per gallon in the city. So great fuel mileage for a sports car. And to see more pictures of this car. One of our other 450 new and used cars, trucks, SUVs, minivans, Wranglers, sports cars. You name it, we got it.  From two locations, all at SummitAuto.com. And if you'd like to check out more HD videos, you can go to www.YouTube.com. Summit Auto. Remember to like, subscribe, and share on this video and all the videos that you see there. In fact, in a second, you will see a link to subscribe to our YouTube channel on your left. 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Hi, and how are you all today? I'm Priyanka. The question says, prove that the coefficient of x raised to the power n in 1 plus x raised to the power 2n is twice the coefficient of x raised to the power n in 1 plus x raised to the power 2n minus 1. Before proceeding on with the solution, we should be well versed with the general term in the expansion of 1 plus x raised to the power 2n. That is, if we have to find the 1 plus rth, r plus one-th term, it will be equal to c 2n comma r x raised to the power r. Now, if we put r is equal to n, we have n plus 1 is equal to c 2n. Now, in the case of r, we have n. So, we have this. Now, the coefficient of x raised to the power n above we have c 2n comma n. Right? Let this be the first equation. Similarly, for 1 plus x raised to the power 2n minus 1 the coefficient of x raised to the power n will be what? It will be equal to c 2n minus 1 comma n. Now, according to the question, let this be the second equation. According to the question given to us, we have to prove 2n comma n is equal to twice the coefficient of x raised to the power n in 1 plus x raised to the power 2n minus 1. That is c 2n minus 1 comma n. Now, we need to prove this thing. So, we have 2n factorial divided by n factorial 2n minus n factorial. And here it can be written as 2 multiplied by 2n minus 1 factorial divided by n factorial in bracket 2n minus 1 minus n factorial. Solving, we have 2n factorial divided by n factorial, 2n minus n factorial will be n factorial itself. It is equal to 2 multiplied by 2n minus 1 factorial divided by n factorial. And here it can be written as n minus 1 factorial. As on subtracting n from 2n, we are left with n and then we have minus 1. Further, 2n factorial divided by n factorial n factorial is equal to 2 multiplied by 2n minus 1 factorial divided by n factorial n minus 1 factorial. Now here, on multiplying the numerator, the denominator by n on RHS, we have in LHS, we have 2n factorial divided by n factorial n factorial. Now on this, we have 2n 2n minus 1 factorial divided by n factorial n minus 1 factorial. That is, now here, this can be written as 2n factorial only. This in the numerator can be written as 2n factorial n factorial. Now n minus 1 factorial is the expansion of n factorial only. So LHS will be equal to RHS and hence, we have proved the required given thing. This ends the question. Take care. .


If we want to talk about the most perfect wedding, the most Islamic wedding, it was the wedding of Amir al-Mu'mineen al-Salam and Fatima al-Zahra. The most beautiful wedding, the most successful wedding, the most simple wedding, and the wedding that brought the most, the happiest marriage, the happiest marriage, and the most successful marriage. Imam al-Salam came to propose the Fatima al-Zahra. First, Abu Bakr came and proposed, if you remember, from my lecture. He was rejected. Omar came and proposed to Fatima al-Zahra. He was also denied. They came to him, they both, Abu Bakr and Omar, they came to Imam Ali al-Salam. They told him, look, we proposed to Rasulullah for Fatima al-Zahra, as a hand in marriage, and we were both denied. You go and propose. Amir al-Mu'mineen said, okay, he went. He knocked at the door of Rasulullah, sallallahu alaihi wa ala. Rasulullah greeted him. He sat down and he put his head to the ground, very shy, very embarrassed, not able to say a word.  Have you heard of the story of the young man who went and proposed and he was chewing gum? Let me tell you the story, sallallahu alaihi wa ala. A young man goes and he proposes to a father and he was chewing gum. You know, in our culture, that's very disrespectful.  So the father-in-law, the man, the father of the lady, he told him, do you always chew gum in front of adults? He said, no, no, no. But you know, it's this nicotine gum. Told him, why are you chewing that kind of gum? He said, well, you know, I'm trying to quit smoking. He said, oh, so you smoke? He said, well, yeah, you know, when you're trying to quit taking drugs, you start smoking cigarettes. He told him, so you used to take drugs? He said, well, obviously, when you're in jail, you learn to take drugs. He said, you're in jail?   He said, yeah. He told him, who? He said, some father, I went, I proposed to his daughter who refused, so I killed him. Imam Ali alaihi salam, he comes in the presence of Rasulullah sallallahu alaihi wa ala. His head is down. He doesn't say a word. He's embarrassed. He's shy. He couldn't even say that I'm here to propose. Rasulullah sallallahu alaihi began. He took the initiative. He told him, ya Ali, perhaps you're here to propose to my daughter Fatima. He said, indeed, ya Rasulullah, indeed. Rasulullah got up and he came and he asked Fatima Tazzara alaihi salam. He said, that Ameer al-Mu'mineen, Ali ibn Bitalib, your cousin, is here proposing to you. What do you say? Fatima Tazzara alaihi salam also, she put her head down, not saying a word. You know, not like young ladies today when a handsome guy comes and proposes.  Fatima Tazzara alaihi salam put her head down. She didn't say a word. She didn't say a word. Rasulullah here said his famous statement. He said, subhanallah, Sukhutuha ar-Rawaha, that her silence is a sign of her what? Acceptance. Acceptance. And this became a general law. A general law that if a young lady she's proposed to and she remained silent, then it's a sign of her what? Acceptance, because if she does not accept, she'll say something. But if she accepts, she's embarrassed in front of her father to say so. She remained quiet. Rasulullah realized that she accepted. Jibrail comes down and he said, Ya Rasulullah, Allah swt has recited the nikah up in the sky among the angels. Among the angels the nikah of Ali ibn Abi Talib and Fatima Tazzara has been recited and Allah says, Give the light to the light. Give Ali ibn Abi Talib to Fatima Tazzara. They prepared for the wedding. They prepared for the marriage. Rasulullah asked Ali ibn Abi Talib, what do you own? What do you own? What do you have? He said, Ya Rasulullah, I only own two things. My sword and my shield, these are the two things that I own and I own a very small house. I'm a believer. Rasulullah sallallahu alaihi wa sallam told him, Ask for your sword, then you can't sell it because we need your sword. Islam needs your sword. As for your shield, you don't need your shield Ali ibn Abi Talib.  He went and he sold it and with the price of the shield he was able to furnish his house. Very simple furnisher. He furnished the house. The night of the wedding, Fatima Tazzara and the famous story. Fatima Tazzara had a wedding dress prepared for her. The night of her wedding, a poor lady came and knocked at the door and asked for something. Fatima Tazzara goes, she left everything she came and she gave her the wedding dress. She gave her her wedding dress. Rasulullah sallallahu alaihi wa sallam told her, Why did you give your wedding dress? She said, because the Quran says You will not receive righteousness until you give that which you love. You know these people, they donate the things that they don't need. The old clothes, whatever that's old, they give it to the poor. True righteousness is when you give the things that you need the most. The things that you like the most. She gave her wedding dress on the day of the wedding. It was simple food, simple food. It was one sheep with some dates and some milk. That was very good food back then. And it was enough for everyone. It was enough for everyone. There was no music, there was no DJ, there was no dancing. Instead there was poetry recited. Fátima is the greatest lady from all the women.  Beautiful wedding, beautiful people, beautiful bride, beautiful groom. And when they finally met, Rasulullah sallallahu alaihi wa sallam took the hands of Ali ibn Abi Talib and the hand of Fátima al-Zahra alaihi sallam and they put their hands together. And he told Fátima, Fátima you're marrying the best of husbands. This is the best husband, take care of your husband. And ya Ali, you're marrying the best of wives. This is the best wife, take care of my daughter ya Ali. I'm entrusting you with my daughter ya Ali. This was the best wedding in the Islamic history between the best husband and the best wife.


Alright guys this is the brand new Scorpsi by FeiyuTech is their latest gimbal that's the follow-up to the Scorps. This one is the more affordable version coming in at just $269. I will explain why this is a lot more cheaper than the original Scorps and what functionalities you do get with this. I'm going to start off with unboxing this. You can see from the front of the box this has a 2,500 mAh battery which gives you roughly around 10 to 13 hours of usage time which is absolutely brilliant and this is also complemented with a brand new FeiyuTech Scorps app which I will also showcase. Inside the box you have yourself the quick start guide just to quickly show you some key information from the user guide. I will cover the buttons and the operations but just to give you an idea this is a very important page so if you guys would like to pause the video and take a look at this more information then please go ahead. So this is the Scorpsi, it's pretty much exactly the same design as the Scorpsi. You get yourself the gimbal, you have a tripod, you have here two quick release plates that I will be attaching with my Sony a7c. Of course this is the gimbal I will take this out and the great thing about this that you may have seen already on the Scorpsi website this has its own tripod legs that are in the shape of a scorpion. Without having the need to use a separate tripod this can stand on its own and finally there's a box of accessories just here. You have various different control cables, you have the usb-c charging cable for the gimbal, a couple of other things you have yourself the lens mount for those cameras that have large lenses and I will attach this to showcase that capability. The majority of the users will have a large lens then you have some screws as well to connect both of these release plates and an allen key. So now that's everything in the box let's go ahead and show you the design of the Scorpsi and how to set it up by balancing my camera onto the gimbal. One of the key differences between this Scorpsi and the previous Scorpsi model is that this doesn't have the LCD display, it has just simple plain buttons. Of course when you have the digital display you have more flexibility to dive into more detailed options and scenarios and different modes. You can even go into settings and look at the firmware versions that's not possible to do with this one but you can use the app to do almost exactly the same things but you'll have to connect the app via bluetooth to get all of that capability. So now let's dive in a little bit more about the buttons and the ports on this gimbal. So just from the front control panel you'll see there's a joystick, the shutter button, the mode button here for tilt, roll and pan. You can also lock all of these to have locked mode. You have the auto rotation button which you can then cycle left or right. The battery indicator there is on the top and then this is the light indicator for your connection. Just on the left hand side of this you have the rotation button for portrait mode so if you double tap this this can go from landscape to portrait. You have yourself the power button there on the right hand side. These A B buttons are to have automatic trajectory and I will showcase an example of this and this was great for capturing time lapse or panorama footage or just any perfect B roll footage from one start point to another. On the left hand side you have the first person view button so all of the axes the three axes will be unlocked and this will follow your movement of the gimbal. This button is to switch the mode for the magic wheel so if you press this once you'll hear a beep notification when you turn this this will allow the axes to be switched between either the tilt, roll or the pan and I'll showcase that an example as well. You have various different screws to lock in the different axes and various different ways to position the gimbal. These are connection ports that you have just underneath the release plate both at the front and the back. To connect my camera I will be connecting via USB-C into this camera port here and set it up on my Sony a7c then you have three positions for these silver lock buttons. This will lock the axes in place which is why you're seeing this in a folded design. To unlock them you have this one here one just under there and then one at the back under here so let me go ahead and unlock those three like so. I can start moving that this one I can start moving this way and then the final one now I can start moving this pretty much in all directions. At this stage I should be ready to now put on my camera and balance the gimbal before I do that I want to make sure I have the release plates connected properly to my camera. Now I generally use a tripod which has its own release plate already on there and technically if you have a very small lens and you don't need to use the lens holder then you can just use your own release plate which I think is great that attaches to this universal mount here so this is adjustable you can literally connect it into there and the switch between your tripod and the gimbal very easily but because of the size of my camera I'm going to be using the larger release plate which I will then connect the smaller release plate on top of it with the lens mount and then connect it to the gimbal so let me do that now. Now that I've positioned this on top of my camera this is where the allen key comes into play because to get through the gap you would need to use the allen key to tighten the bottom screw to the camera. The final step the lens mount so you position that on top you have one more screw that will go through the top here there we go and this will hold that in place. Now that I have everything connected here it is only at this point I can now go ahead and try to balance on my gimbal. Before I do that one other thing that I really like to mention which I think is a great feature is you have this red circle slider once you've positioned everything and you've got it balanced you can move this over the plate that it's on and use that as a marker for the next time to have your gimbal in the exact correct position to get it balanced very quickly and you have that in various different locations so you've got it on multiple axes as well so very easy to slide so I will go ahead and this is the position I will put it in in fact I will put on the tripod. Alright so the gimbal is now fully balanced it's currently off one thing I would recommend is watch the gimbal balancing tutorial by Feiyatek I'll have it linked down below it's not as simple as just balancing the camera facing forward just like this and it's going to work you need to balance it in three different positions separately for the pan roll and tilt axes so make sure that's done so you'll be able to use some of the other functionalities like the portrait mode and the auto rotation mode so now I'm going to go ahead and turn the camera on I've got it connected with my USB-C cable and then I'm going to turn the gimbal on there we go it's now centered you have the trigger button here which you can double tap to re-center it so if I use the joystick to move it left and right double tap it will center it if I want to turn the camera around into selfie mode then I can triple tap and it's very quick and easy to do that there we go now one of the key things that you know I really like about this is that this has an inbuilt you know handle or versatile arm in my previous Feiyatek gimbal reviews I have the AK2000S that has an attachable versatile arm that you screw into place and here it is now this one it can sometimes you know scratch the side of the gimbal you can remove it but this has been a massive help when trying to get the most stable footage for my videos so for the Scorpsi to have this inbuilt I think that is a great step and all of my shooting goes a long way when I use the versatile arms now everything is ready for me to show you some simple footage taken with this gimbal I've made sure to set the central gravity red dots in the different various axes so that I can remember this position next time I wanted to place my camera back onto this gimbal you can buy some accessories so you can get the follow focus kit that you can attach and use the magic wheel for that you can also get a unipod an additional tripod a long one and various other things that you can check out on the Feiyatek website now it's so quick and easy for me to just grip the handle from the back and from the bottom and then start shooting left and right in pan mode one thing I really like is if I wanted to use this for maybe my social media and I want to shoot in portrait it's quick and easy to that's all I have to do is double press the portrait button just on the left of the handle and it very quickly does that before I showcase let me just recenter this double press the portrait button you'll see that it automatically does and does this bring it back and then you have it now let me show you the portrait mode when you do switch to portrait mode it goes from just pan mode only to FPV mode so I'm going to double press the portrait button how quick and easy was that and there you go very stable portrait footage and then I can just switch it back put it back into pan mode and there you have it let's take a look at some examples of me showcasing normal footage taken with the gimbal in pan mode and also in portrait mode the next standout feature I wanted to highlight is the auto rotation mode so you see we have the a button just on the handle here then you have left and right once you start pressing the a button for auto rotation then you can press either left depending on how you want the spin of the gimbal to go or you can have it go right so let me show you an example of that now I'll place it down I'll press auto and then I'll press left and you'll see it starts spinning left you'll create some really good footage press it again to stop there we go and if you want it to go right press auto and then press the right button and look how stable and steady that footage is with the rotations so loads of different things that you can do with this press the rotation button again and it goes back to center so that's another great thing and here's some examples using the auto rotation with the magic wheel by default you can switch between pan tilt and roll so you can see how responsive and how smooth that is if you press the switch button press the switch button just next to the magic wheel you'll hear a beep and then now it goes on to the pan axis press again and it goes to the roll so whatever you like to do get the perfect type of footage however you want to tilt the camera you can do that with the magic wheel very well now here's some example footage of me recording using the magic wheel with my shooting okay so as I mentioned earlier this one doesn't have an LCD screen on the handle here and there's limited functionality compared to the scope model that you can do directly from the gimbal itself so I wanted to showcase the ability of using the feyotech scope app which is very quick and easy to connect so whilst the gimbal is on this is automatically picked up the gimbal next to it click on that to connect and you can see straight away how quickly it connected now i'm just going to run through some of the features of the app as well to show you the capabilities and how you can also use the app to control various different things that you can't do using the scope c on its own just on the left hand side here you have scenario this is where you can also do the auto rotation but one thing I really like about this is the time lapse and panorama modes you can also track video here as well and choose this to control the gimbal you also have button settings so you can adjust the trigger button or the ab trajectory button which I will showcase a demo of of doing various different things in various different modes so you can have ptf pan follow first person view flash follow and locked mode you can also adjust the knob settings so like I just showed you can use the button on the left hand side of the gimbal to make the switch between roll pan and tilt you can also do that using the app follow speed you can adjust the speed of the actual gimbal itself for when it does follow I've currently set it to slow because I think that just gives me the best footage and the most stable and smooth footage but you can adjust that however you like you can connect your camera if you have a compatible one directly to the app and then you can also change the camera settings from here but I haven't set that myself so I won't go into that you also have the motor power which you can adjust the speeds for each of the different axes you can do the horizontal calibration from here you can go to more settings and then you can silent the boot up noises you can disable selfie modes or you can do manual lock but if you click on the scope app there at the top this is where you can control the gimbal so right there in the middle you have the joystick so you can see how quick and responsive that is and how quickly it adjusts then you can also switch between the different options here so I've resented it this is now flash follow you can also switch to portrait mode using this you can go to selfie mode go back to center you can start recording and capturing your footage with the shutter button there between the pictures and videos and then you also have the different pan tilt and follow mode options and you can also have locked mode as well so various different things you can do with the app itself what I want to do is show you some examples of the scenarios which I think will look great so I'm going to give you an example of panorama that I've taken using the app a time lapse and also I'm going to showcase the ab trajectory which tracks the video movement so let me put the phone into the side I'm going to quickly show you here how to do this so you have two buttons a and b you hold down each button for about five seconds but you reposition the camera in between so if my camera I want it to start in this position I will hold down a and you'll hear a beep there we go now I can reposition it let's say I'll go this way and I'll go up a little bit and point there that I will set as the b position there we go now I just need to click on either a and b to go back in those rotations so if I press a once you can see it's slowly reversing back to that starting point from a this is perfect to get either b roll footage cinematic footage time lapse anything like that and I just think it's absolutely great to set that if you want to use that as a common way to showcase different subjects if I press b it will go back that same way in that very nice slow motion then you can also change the speed and adjustment of this using the app as well which I think you know the functionality of having this in a compact gimbal like this in a very affordable gimbal I think is brilliant now let's take a look at some examples of me just using the ab trajectory buttons to get these types of shots all right guys hopefully you found that review useful and you like the look of the scope see to come in at $269 compared to the scope like I mentioned you have to give up that functionality of the digital display on the handle itself to give you more of those options of how you can basically control and use some of the features of the gimbal and this also doesn't come with a carry case which the scope does but personally for me I think that's a great price for all of the features that you do get with this and sometimes simplicity for me is better than complexity but the scope is also a very great gimbal for those people that like to get the maximum advanced set of features and they do travel a lot with their gimbals so having that carry case is a great option as well but as always if you guys have any questions about this gimbal then make sure to drop a comment down below and I'll get back to you as soon as I can I'm super happy battery life is great I charge it with the USB port just underneath the magic wheel there and I pretty much am going to use this for all of my shoots because it's so easy to hold the ergonomic grip the features and all of that packed into just a simple and easy setup of a gimbal like this which looks great by the way is a big win for me so hopefully you found that useful make sure to subscribe I have new tech videos out every week with cool gadgets like this and I will catch you guys at the next one take care